Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants: Final Listing Determinations on Proposal To List 66 Reef-Building Coral Species and To Reclassify Elkhorn and Staghorn Corals, 53851-54123 [2014-20814]
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Vol. 79
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No. 175
September 10, 2014
Part II
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National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
50 CFR Part 223
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants: Final Listing
Determinations on Proposal To List 66 Reef-Building Coral Species and To
Reclassify Elkhorn and Staghorn Corals; Final Rule
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Federal Register / Vol. 79, No. 175 / Wednesday, September 10, 2014 / Rules and Regulations
National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration
50 CFR Part 223
[Docket No. 0911231415–4826–04]
RIN 0648–XT12
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
and Plants: Final Listing
Determinations on Proposal To List 66
Reef-Building Coral Species and To
Reclassify Elkhorn and Staghorn
Corals
National Marine Fisheries
Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
Commerce.
ACTION: Final rule.
AGENCY:
We, the National Marine
Fisheries Service (NMFS), are
publishing this final rule to implement
our final determination to list the
following 20 species as threatened: five
in the Caribbean (Dendrogyra cylindrus,
Orbicella annularis, Orbicella faveolata,
Orbicella franksi, and Mycetophyllia
ferox); and 15 in the Indo-Pacific
(Acropora globiceps, Acropora
jacquelineae, Acropora lokani,
Acropora pharaonis, Acropora retusa,
Acropora rudis, Acropora speciosa,
Acropora tenella, Anacropora spinosa,
Euphyllia paradivisa, Isopora
crateriformis, Montipora australiensis,
Pavona diffluens, Porites napopora, and
Seriatopora aculeata) under the
Endangered Species Act (ESA) of 1973,
as amended. The two species currently
listed as threatened (Acropora
cervicornis and Acropora palmata) in
the Caribbean still warrant listing as
threatened. We also determined that a
total of 43 proposed species do not
warrant listing as endangered or
threatened species, and three proposed
species are not determinable under the
ESA. We have reviewed the status of the
species and efforts being made to
protect the species, and public
comments received on the proposed
rule, and we have made our
determinations based on the best
scientific and commercial data
available. We also solicit information
that may be relevant to the designation
of critical habitat for the 20 species
newly listed under this final rule.
DATES: The effective date of this final
rule is October 10, 2014. Responses to
the request for information regarding a
subsequent ESA section 4(d) Rule and
critical habitat designation must be
received by November 10, 2014.
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SUMMARY:
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Submit responses to the
request for information regarding a
subsequent ESA section 4(d) Rule and
critical habitat designation to National
Marine Fisheries Service, Pacific Islands
Regional Office, NOAA Inouye Regional
Center, 1845 Wasp Blvd., Building 176,
Honolulu, HI 96818; or National Marine
Fisheries Service, Southeast Regional
Office, 263 13th Avenue South, Saint
Petersburg, FL 33701.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Lance Smith, NMFS, Pacific Island
Regional Office, 808–725–5131; Jennifer
Moore, NMFS, Southeast Regional
Office, 727–824–5312; or Marta
Nammack, NMFS, Office of Protected
Resources, 301–427–8469. A list of the
literature cited in this rule is available
at https://coral.sero.nmfs.noaa.gov and
https://www.fpir.noaa.gov/PRD/prd_
coral.html.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
ADDRESSES:
DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
Background
On October 20, 2009, the Center for
Biological Diversity (CBD) petitioned us
to list 83 reef-building corals as
threatened or endangered under the
Endangered Species Act (ESA) and
designate critical habitat. The 83 species
included in the petition were:
Acanthastrea brevis, Acanthastrea
hemprichii, Acanthastrea ishigakiensis,
Acanthastrea regularis, Acropora
aculeus, Acropora acuminata, Acropora
aspera, Acropora dendrum, Acropora
donei, Acropora globiceps, Acropora
horrida, Acropora jacquelineae,
Acropora listeri, Acropora lokani,
Acropora microclados, Acropora
palmerae, Acropora paniculata,
Acropora pharaonis, Acropora
polystoma, Acropora retusa, Acropora
rudis, Acropora speciosa, Acropora
striata, Acropora tenella, Acropora
vaughani, Acropora verweyi, Agaricia
lamarcki, Alveopora allingi, Alveopora
fenestrata, Alveopora verrilliana,
Anacropora puertogalerae, Anacropora
spinosa, Astreopora cucullata,
Barabattoia laddi, Caulastrea
echinulata, Cyphastrea agassizi,
Cyphastrea ocellina, Dendrogyra
cylindrus, Dichocoenia stokesii,
Euphyllia cristata, Euphyllia
paraancora, Euphyllia paradivisa,
Galaxea astreata, Heliopora coerulea,
Isopora crateriformis, Isopora cuneata,
Leptoseris incrustans, Leptoseris yabei,
Millepora foveolata, Millepora tuberosa,
Montastraea annularis, Montastraea
faveolata, Montastraea franksi,
Montipora angulata, Montipora
australiensis, Montipora calcarea,
Montipora caliculata, Montipora
dilatata, Montipora flabellata,
Montipora lobulata, Montipora patula,
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Mycetophyllia ferox, Oculina varicosa,
Pachyseris rugosa, Pavona bipartita,
Pavona cactus, Pavona decussata,
Pavona diffluens, Pavona venosa,
Pectinia alcicornis, Physogyra
lichtensteini, Pocillopora danae,
Pocillopora elegans, Porites
horizontalata, Porites napopora, Porites
nigrescens, Porites pukoensis,
Psammocora stellata, Seriatopora
aculeata, Turbinaria mesenterina,
Turbinaria peltata, Turbinaria
reniformis, and Turbinaria stellulata.
Eight of the petitioned species occur in
the Caribbean, and 75 of the petitioned
species occur in the Indo-Pacific region.
Most of the 83 species can be found in
the United States, its territories (Puerto
Rico, U.S. Virgin Islands, Navassa,
Northern Mariana Islands, Guam,
American Samoa, Pacific Remote Island
Areas), or its freely associated states
(Republic of the Marshall Islands,
Federated States of Micronesia, and
Republic of Palau), though many occur
more frequently in other countries.
On February 10, 2010, we published
a 90-day finding (75 FR 6616) that CBD
had presented substantial information
indicating the petitioned actions may be
warranted for all of the petitioned
species except for the Caribbean species
Oculina varicosa. We also announced
the initiation of a formal status review
of the remaining 82 petitioned species,
and we solicited input from the public
on six categories of information: (1)
Historical and current distribution and
abundance of these species throughout
their ranges (U.S. and foreign waters);
(2) historical and current condition of
these species and their habitat; (3)
population density and trends; (4) the
effects of climate change on the
distribution and condition of these coral
species and other organisms in coral
reef ecosystems over the short and long
term; (5) the effects of all other threats
including dredging, coastal
development, coastal point source
pollution, agricultural and land use
practices, disease, predation, reef
fishing, aquarium trade, physical
damage from boats and anchors, marine
debris, and aquatic invasive species on
the distribution and abundance of these
coral species over the short- and longterm; and (6) management programs for
conservation of these species, including
mitigation measures related to any of
the threats listed under No. 5 above.
The ESA requires us to make
determinations on whether species are
threatened or endangered ‘‘solely on the
basis of the best scientific and
commercial data available * * * after
conducting a review of the status of the
species * * * ’’ (16 U.S.C. 1533).
Further, our implementing regulations
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specifically direct us not to take
possible economic or other impacts of
listing species into consideration (50
CFR 424.11(b)). We convened a Coral
Biological Review Team (BRT)
composed of seven Federal scientists
from NMFS’ Pacific Islands, Northwest,
and Southeast Fisheries Science
Centers, as well as the U.S. Geological
Survey and National Park Service. The
members of the BRT are a diverse group
of scientists with expertise in coral
biology, coral ecology, coral taxonomy,
physical oceanography, global climate
change, coral population dynamics and
endangered species extinction risk
evaluations. The BRT’s comprehensive,
peer-reviewed Status Review Report
(SRR; Brainard et al., 2011) incorporates
and summarizes the best available
scientific and commercial information
as of August 2011 on the following
topics: (1) Long-term trends in
abundance throughout each species’
range; (2) potential factors for any
decline of each species throughout its
range (human population, ocean
warming, ocean acidification,
overharvesting, natural predation,
disease, habitat loss, etc.); (3) historical
and current range, distribution, and
habitat use of each species; (4) historical
and current estimates of population size
and available habitat; and (5) knowledge
of various life history parameters (size/
age at maturity, fecundity, length of
larval stage, larval dispersal dynamics,
etc.). The SRR evaluates the status of
each species, identifies threats to the
species, and estimates the risk of
extinction for each of the species out to
the year 2100. The BRT also considered
the petition, comments we received as
a result of the 90-day finding (75 FR
6616; February 10, 2010), and the
results of the peer review of the draft
SRR, and incorporated relevant
information from these sources into the
final SRR. Additionally, we developed a
supplementary, peer-reviewed Draft
Management Report (NMFS, 2012a) to
identify information relevant to ESA
factor 4(a)(1)(D), inadequacy of existing
regulatory mechanisms, and protective
efforts that may provide protection to
the corals pursuant to ESA section 4(b).
The response to the petition to list 83
coral species is one of the broadest and
most complex listing reviews we have
ever undertaken. Given the petition’s
scale and the precedential nature of the
issues, we determined that our decisionmaking process would be strengthened
if we took additional time to allow the
public, non-Federal experts, nongovernmental organizations, state and
territorial governments, and academics
to review and provide information
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related to the SRR and the Draft
Management Report prior to issuing our
12-month finding. Thus on April 17,
2012, we published a Federal Register
notice announcing the availability of the
SRR and the Draft Management Report,
and specifically requested information
on the following: (1) Relevant scientific
information collected or produced since
the completion of the SRR or any
relevant scientific information not
included in the SRR; and (2) relevant
management information not included
in the Draft Management Report, such as
descriptions of regulatory mechanisms
for greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions
globally, and for local threats in the 83
foreign countries and the United States,
its territories (Puerto Rico, U.S. Virgin
Islands, Navassa, Northern Mariana
Islands, Guam, American Samoa, Pacific
Remote Island Areas), or its freely
associated states (Republic of the
Marshall Islands, Federated States of
Micronesia, and Republic of Palau),
where the 82 petitioned coral species
collectively occur. Further, in June
2012, we held listening sessions and
scientific workshops in the Southeast
region and Pacific Islands region to
engage the scientific community and the
public in-person. During this public
engagement period, which ended on
July 31, 2012, we received over 42,000
letters and emails. Also, we were
provided with or we identified
approximately 400 relevant scientific
articles, reports, or presentations that
were produced since the SRR was
finalized, or not originally included in
the SRR. We compiled and synthesized
all relevant information that we
identified or received into the
Supplemental Information Report (SIR;
NMFS, 2012c). Additionally, we
incorporated all relevant management
and conservation information into the
Final Management Report (NMFS,
2012b). Therefore, the 82 candidate
coral species comprehensive status
review consists of the SRR (Brainard et
al., 2011), the SIR (NMFS, 2012c), and
the Final Management Report (NMFS,
2012b).
On December 7, 2012, we published
a proposed rule (77 FR 73219) to list 12
of the petitioned coral species as
endangered (five Caribbean and seven
Indo-Pacific) and 54 coral species as
threatened (two Caribbean and 52 IndoPacific), and we determined 16 coral
species (all Indo-Pacific) did not
warrant listing as threatened or
endangered under the ESA. This was
the final agency action for those species
which we determined were not
warranted for listing. We also
determined that two currently listed
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Caribbean corals (Acropora cervicornis
and Acropora palmata) warranted
reclassification from threatened to
endangered. The findings in the
proposed rule were based on the
information contained within the
reports described above (SRR, SIR, and
Final Management Report). During a 90day comment period, we solicited
comments from the public, other
concerned governmental agencies, the
scientific community, industry, foreign
nations in which the species occur, and
any other interested parties on our
proposal. We later extended the public
comment period by 30 days, making the
full comment period 120 days. We
received approximately 32,000
comments through electronic
submissions, letters, and oral testimony
from public hearings held in Dania
Beach, FL; Key Largo, FL; Key West, FL;
Rio Piedras, Puerto Rico; Mayaguez,
Puerto Rico; Christiansted, St. Croix,
U.S. Virgin Islands; Charlotte Amalie,
St. Thomas, U.S. Virgin Islands; Hilo,
Hawaii, HI; Kailua Kona, Hawaii, HI;
Kaunakakai, Molokai, HI; Wailuku,
Maui, HI; Lihue, Kauai, HI; Honolulu,
Oahu, HI; Hagatna, Guam; Saipan,
Commonwealth of the Northern
Marianas Islands (CNMI); Tinian, CNMI;
Rota, CNMI; Tutuila, American Samoa;
and Washington, DC.
During the public comment period,
we received numerous comments on the
proposed listing and the sufficiency or
accuracy of the available data used to
support the proposed listing
determinations. In particular, comments
raised questions and provided varied,
often conflicting, information regarding
the following topics:
(1) The proposed species’ listing
statuses (e.g., certain species proposed
as endangered should be threatened);
(2) the sufficiency and quality, or lack
thereof, of the species-specific
information used for each species’
proposed listing determination;
(3) the accuracy of the methods used
to analyze the available information to
assess extinction risk (including NMFS’
‘‘Determination Tool’’) and derive
listing statuses for each of the proposed
species;
(4) the ability of corals to adapt or
acclimatize to ocean warming and
acidification;
(5) the reliability, certainty, scale, and
variability of future modeling and
predictions of climate change; and
(6) the effect local management efforts
have on coral resilience.
After considering these comments, we
found that substantial disagreement
existed regarding the sufficiency and
accuracy of the available data used in
support of the proposed determinations.
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As a result, we determined it was
necessary to solicit additional data from
those scientists who were identified by
public comments and others who may
have additional data to assist in
resolving the substantial disagreement.
Therefore, pursuant to the ESA section
4(b)(6)(B)(i), we determined that a 6month extension of the deadline for
final determinations on the proposed
rule was necessary (78 FR 57835;
September 20, 2013). We completed our
data collection effort in the fall of 2013,
and the relevant information that we
received or collected was considered in
the formulation of this final rule. The
data collection effort was the final step
in our thorough process to assemble the
best available information on the status
of the species addressed in this final
rule. As a result, this final rule
represents a logical evolution from the
proposed rule, including some changes
in our overall decision-making
framework and a holistic
reconsideration of the key elements that
contribute to a species’ listing status, as
described in detail throughout this rule.
Consequently, most of the listing
determinations have changed between
the proposed and final rules.
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Listing Species Under the Endangered
Species Act
We are responsible for determining
whether the 66 proposed coral species
should be listed as threatened or
endangered under the ESA, and whether
the two species proposed for
reclassification should be listed as
endangered under the ESA (16 U.S.C.
1531 et seq.). Clonal, colonial
organisms, such as corals, are vastly
different in their biology and ecology
than vertebrates, which are typically the
focus of ESA status reviews. Therefore,
concepts and terms that are typically
applied to vertebrates have very distinct
meanings when applied to corals. A
‘rare’ coral may have millions of
colonies as compared to a ‘rare’
vertebrate, which may only have
hundreds of individuals. To be
considered for listing under the ESA, a
group of organisms must constitute a
‘‘species,’’ which is defined in section 3
of the ESA to include ‘‘any subspecies
of fish or wildlife or plants, and any
distinct population segment of any
species of vertebrate fish or wildlife
which interbreeds when mature.’’ In the
case of reef-building corals, the decision
that a species is a listable entity is often
complicated by several aspects of their
biology including individual
delineation, taxonomic uncertainty,
identification uncertainty, and life
history (e.g., colonialism and clonality).
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Section 3 of the ESA further defines
an endangered species as ‘‘any species
which is in danger of extinction
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range’’ and a threatened species as
one ‘‘which is likely to become an
endangered species within the
foreseeable future throughout all or a
significant portion of its range.’’ Section
4(a)(1) of the ESA requires us to
determine whether any species is
endangered or threatened due to any
one or a combination of the following
five factors: (A) The present or
threatened destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat or range; (B)
overutilization for commercial,
recreational, scientific, or educational
purposes; (C) disease or predation; (D)
the inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms; or (E) other natural or
manmade factors affecting its continued
existence. We are required to make
listing determinations based solely on
the best scientific and commercial data
available after conducting a review of
the status of the species and after taking
into account efforts being made by any
state or foreign nation to protect the
species.
This finding begins with an overview
of coral biology, ecology, and taxonomy
in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
below, including whether each
proposed species meets the definition of
a ‘‘species’’ for purposes of the ESA.
Specifically, are the proposed species
determinable under the ESA given any
discrepancies between their current
morphologically-based taxonomy and
any new genetic information that may
result in taxonomic reclassification.
Other relevant background information
in this section includes the general
characteristics of the habitats and
environments in which the proposed
species are found. The finding then
summarizes information on factors
adversely affecting and posing
extinction risk to corals in general in the
Threats Evaluation section. The Risk
Analyses section then describes the
framework applied to each of the
species that resulted in final listing
statuses for the proposed species. The
Species-specific Information and
Determinations section provides the
best available species-specific
information, which, coupled with the
general portions of this final rule,
provide the basis for the individual
determinations for final listing status.
Finally, we assessed efforts being made
to protect the species and determined if
these efforts are adequate to mitigate
impacts and threats to the extent that a
species does not meet one of the
statutory statuses.
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Given the precedential and complex
nature of this rule-making process, we
took extra steps to assemble the best
available information for informing the
final listing determinations. Efforts to
acquire this information first included
the formation of an expert scientific
panel (BRT) that used the best available
scientific information at that time in a
structured decision-making process to
inform and write the SRR. Further, this
process provided numerous
opportunities for public input,
including a public comment period after
the 90-day finding in 2010 (75 FR 6616;
February 10, 2012), a unique public
information-gathering period (77 FR
22749; April 17, 2012) prior to the
release of the proposed rule in 2012,
and a 120-day formal public comment
period after the publication of the
proposed rule. Finally, in a targeted
data-solicitation effort to resolve
substantial scientific disagreement in
the public comments on the proposed
rule, we published a 6-month extension
in September 2013 to gather additional
information to further inform our final
decisions (78 FR 57835; September 20,
2013). Over the course of this multi-year
process, we gathered and reviewed
thousands of scientific papers, journal
articles, reports, and presentations
(bibliography and select documents
available at https://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/
pr/species/invertebrates/corals.htm). In
addition, we held a total of 19 public
hearings in 2012 and 2013 throughout
the Southeast and Pacific Islands
regions, and received and reviewed over
75,000 public comments during the
information-gathering period in 2012
and the proposed rule public comment
period in 2012–2013, combined. These
efforts ensure that this final rule is
based upon the best available
information on the proposed species at
this time, as explained in more detail
below.
Summary of Comments Received
Below we address the comments
received pertaining to the proposed
listings or reclassifications of the 68
coral species in the December 7, 2012,
proposed rule (77 FR 73219). During the
120-day public comment period from
December 7, 2012, to April 6, 2013, we
received 1,120 written and verbal
responses (including public testimony
during the 19 public hearings). This
included 1,119 unique comments on the
proposed listings or reclassifications
and 32,000 action alert responses in
support of the rule organized by the
petitioner CBD, which substantively
constitutes one unique comment, and.
The public comments received covered
a wide breadth of topics, many of which
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were significant and within the scope of
this rule-making. We summarized the
comments, and these summaries and
our responses are organized according
to the sections of the proposed rule on
which those comments were based. We
have considered all public comments,
and we provide responses to all relevant
issues raised by comments. We have not
responded to comments outside the
scope of this rulemaking, such as
comments regarding the potential
economic impacts of ESA listings,
comments suggesting that certain types
of activities be covered in any future
regulations pursuant to ESA section 4(d)
for threatened species, or whether ESA
listings are appropriate for species
threatened by climate change. As
explained in the Background above, this
final rule was extended by 6 months to
resolve substantial scientific
disagreement in the public comments
on six topics related to the proposed
listing.
Comments on Taxonomic Uncertainty
in Reef-Building Corals
Comment 1: Many public comments
on the proposed listing rule stated that
species identification uncertainties and
taxonomic uncertainties associated with
many reef-building corals are
problematic for the ESA listing
determination process. Four comments
specifically stated that the ability to
determine the status of coral species
under the ESA is impeded by the
taxonomic uncertainty of many coral
species. Two comments stated that
genetic and genomic science is just
beginning for corals, and as it develops
it will likely show the current
morphologically-based taxonomy is
incorrect, completely changing current
coral taxonomy. Therefore, management
decisions based on the current
taxonomy should be approached with
caution. One comment stated that
proper species identification, especially
for the Indo-Pacific Acropora genus, is
difficult and exacerbated by the use of
outdated and inadequate information.
Most of these comments are based on
species identification uncertainties and
the conflicting taxonomic results
between recent genetics studies and
traditional morphology-based
taxonomy, and comments identified two
potential problems: (1) Species
identification and taxonomic
uncertainty prevents many reef-building
coral taxa, especially in the Indo-Pacific,
from being determinable species under
the ESA; and (2) even if these taxa are
determinable species under the ESA, the
taxonomic uncertainty confounds the
available information regarding the
status of each species, thus it is not
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possible to determine the listing status
of these species with adequate
confidence.
Response: The comments correctly
note that in some instances, lack of
information, or ambiguity and
uncertainty in available information, is
so great that any listing determination
on such a basis would be arbitrary. In
our judgment, that is not the case for the
proposed species, with a few exceptions
noted below. The SRR concluded that
the 68 species in the proposed rule were
determinable, including the species for
which the SRR found that splitting or
lumping petitioned species was
necessary based on genetic studies. For
the proposed rule, we agreed with the
SRR, and considered the 68 species to
be determinable for purposes of
conducting a status review and
determining listing status under the
ESA.
The public comments did not provide
any studies or results, nor did we find
any new studies or results, that
significantly contradict the
consideration of the traditional,
morphologically described species as
determinable species, with the
exception of Pocillopora. We
acknowledged in the proposed rule,
however, that the taxonomic uncertainty
for reef-building corals is not only real
(Brainard et al., 2011), but increasing in
recent years as genetics studies have
advanced (Stat et al., 2012; Veron,
2013). In the case of Pocillopora species,
the taxonomic uncertainty has recently
increased substantially such that the
three proposed species in this genus are
not determinable under the ESA (see
Comment 2). For the remaining 65
species, the best available scientific
information continues to support their
classification as species. The taxonomic
uncertainty associated with each species
is considered along with other types of
uncertainty when determining the status
of each species in the Species-specific
Information and Determinations section.
In this way, the species identification
and taxonomic uncertainty for each
species is acknowledged and
incorporated into each of the 65
determinations in this final rule.
In this final rule, even though
Millepora foveolata and Montipora
lobulata were affirmed to be valid
species, and there are few if any
taxonomic uncertainty issues, the two
species are so difficult to identify in the
field that there is very little reliable
information available for either species
(Fenner, 2014b). Thus, as described in
the Species-specific Information and
Determinations below for M. foveolata
and M. lobulata, the species
identification uncertainty is so high for
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these species that there is not sufficient
evidence to support listing
determinations of threatened or
endangered for either species. This is
explained in more detail in each
species’ individual determination.
Comment 2: Related to Comment 1,
one comment identified Pocillopora as a
problematic taxon and provided a recent
scientific paper describing new genetic
evidence of taxonomic contradictions
between genetic and morphologic
´
results for Pocillopora species (Pinzon
et al., 2013).
Response: Based on information
summarized in the SRR, the proposed
rule split P. elegans into Indo-Pacific
and Eastern Pacific nominal species,
and proposed P. elegans (Indo-Pacific),
P. elegans (Eastern Pacific), and P.
danae for listing (P. danae only occurs
in the Indo-Pacific). However, after
considering new information on
taxonomic uncertainty throughout the
genus Pocillopora that has become
available since the publication of the
proposed rule, including the paper
´
(Pinzon et al., 2013) submitted by the
commenter, we no longer consider the
three Pocillopora species that were
proposed for listing to be determinable
under the ESA. A range-wide
phylogeographic survey that included
most currently recognized pocilloporid
species found that reliance on colony
morphology is broadly unreliable for
species identification, and that several
genetic groups have highly limited
geographic distributions. The study
concluded that ‘‘a taxonomic revision
informed foremost by genetic evidence
´
is needed for the entire genus’’ (Pinzon
et al., 2013). Similarly, a
phylogeographic survey of several
currently recognized pocilloporid
species representing a range of atypical
morphologies thought to be rare or
endemic to remote locations throughout
the Indo-Pacific found that: (1) The
current taxonomy of Pocillopora based
on colony morphology shows little
correspondence with genetic groups; (2)
colony morphology is far more variable
than previously thought; and (3) there
are numerous cryptic lineages (i.e., two
or more distinct lineages that are
classified as one due to morphological
similarities). The study concluded that
‘‘the genus Pocillopora is in need of
taxonomic revision using a combination
of genetic, microscopic characters, and
reproductive data to accurately
delineate species’’ (Marti-Puig et al.,
2013). Likewise, a more limited study of
several currently recognized
pocilloporid species in Moorea found
that genetic groups do not correspond to
colony morphology, and exhibit a wide
range of morphological variation
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(Forsman et al., 2013). These studies
demonstrate that colony morphology in
pocilloporids is a poor indicator of
taxonomic relationships, for the
following reasons: (1) Morphologically
similar colonies may not be the same
species (i.e., colonies of different
species appear similar because of
similar environmental conditions or
other reasons); and (2) morphologically
different colonies may be the same
species (i.e., colonies of the same
species appear different because of
different environmental conditions or
other reasons).
While the current literature supports
the taxonomic division of pocilloporids
geographically into Indo-Pacific and
Eastern Pacific groups, it indicates a
high level of taxonomic uncertainty for
all Pocillopora species that are found in
both areas, such as P. elegans. Within
these two geographic areas, colonies
that resemble P. elegans may be
different species, including possibly
still undescribed species. That is,
colonies may merely resemble P.
elegans because of similar
environmental conditions or other
reasons, but actually may be different
species. And the opposite type of
taxonomic uncertainty also appears to
be common, as colonies that do not
resemble P. elegans may actually be P.
elegans. That is, colonies that are P.
elegans appear different because of
different environmental conditions or
other reasons (Forsman et al., 2013;
´
Marti-Puig et al., 2013; Pinzon et al.,
2013). The recently appreciated
taxonomic uncertainty is in addition to
the historical morphological taxonomic
uncertainty within the genus
Pocillopora and for P. elegans
specifically (Veron, 2013; Veron, 2014).
While P. danae does not occur in the
Eastern Pacific, similar taxonomic
uncertainty problems occur for this
species. That is, this species also had
historical morphological taxonomic
uncertainty (Veron, 2013), which has
recently been compounded by genetic
taxonomic uncertainty, leading Veron
(2014) to conclude that the species
likely requires a taxonomic revision. A
new taxonomic revision of Pocillopora
was published, in which P. danae was
found to be a synonym of P. verrucosa,
resulting in the traditional P. danae
being included within P. verrucosa
(Schmidt-Roach et al., 2014). However,
the overall taxonomic uncertainty
within Pocillopora, including for P.
elegans and P. danae, has not been
resolved, and in fact continues to
increase as more studies are conducted.
Thus, at this time, Pocillopora species
are not determinable under the ESA.
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Therefore, we are withdrawing our
proposal to list P. elegans (Indo-Pacific)
as threatened, P. elegans (Eastern
Pacific) as endangered, and P. danae as
threatened; these species are not
considered further in this final rule.
Comment 3: Several comments
objected to our agreement with the
SRR’s (Brainard et al., 2011) lumping of
Montipora dilitata, M. flabellata, and M.
turgescens into a single species, as well
as the lumping of M. patula and M.
verrilli into a single species, based on
the results of a single genetics study by
Forsman et al. (2010).
Response: The objections in the
public comments to lumping Montipora
dilitata/M. flabellata/M. turgescens and
M. patula/M. verrilli did not provide
any new or supplemental information,
nor did we find any new or
supplemental information, contradicting
the key study used by the SRR to
consider these species as a group. We
must use the best available science on
which to base our determinations, and
there is no indication that Forsman et al.
(2010) is in error. However, as discussed
in the response to Comment 1, we
acknowledge that coral taxonomy is a
rapidly growing field and that is creates
uncertainty in determining a species
under the ESA. This taxonomic
uncertainty is considered in the
individual Species-specific Information
and Determination for the Montipora.
Comments on Reproductive Life History
of Reef-Building Corals
Comment 4: There were only a few
comments related to the reproductive
life history of corals. One comment
stated that coral reef connectivity data
are sparse, and while the majority of
published studies on coral larval
dispersal report evidence of local
seeding and replenishment of reefs,
other models and studies report
sporadic periods of longer distance
dispersal and recruitment events. The
commenter felt that the proposed rule
did not adequately address coral
population dynamics and connectivity
in determining the status of the
candidate coral species under the ESA.
Another comment stated that there is
almost no information on any of the
species’ trends or recruitment rates, and
the limited information available is
based on qualitative opinion, not
quantitative data. The comment also
pointed out that the proposed rule
agreed that the term ‘recruit’ could be
difficult to apply in the case of corals,
which reproduce both sexually and
asexually, and that the number of
recruits per spawner depends on the age
or size at which an entity is defined as
a recruit. These comments assert that
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there is insufficient information on
productivity and connectivity on which
to base listing decisions.
Response: Coral reproduction and
connectivity are addressed generally in
the Reproductive Life History of Reefbuilding Corals section. As each
proposed coral species has a different
reproductive life history, we more
comprehensively address each species’
reproduction, connectivity, and
recruitment (when that information was
available) as they relate to each species’
status under the ESA in the Speciesspecific Information and Determinations
section. The public comments did not
provide any studies or information on
reproduction or connectivity for any
species except for Acropora cervicornis
(see Species-specific Information and
Determinations section). Any
supplemental information we found is
included in Species-specific
Information and Determinations section.
Comments on Distribution and
Abundance of Reef Building Corals
Comment 5: We received several
comments regarding the distribution
and abundance of reef-building corals,
mainly regarding the lack of speciesspecific information for many species’
geographic distributions and population
abundances. There were only a few
comments related to determining the
distribution and abundance of reef
building corals, specifically on
extrapolating individual corals to
overall population abundance and
distribution, on which to base a listing
decision. One comment stated that coral
population size and structure across the
world’s oceans is nearly impossible to
determine with any accuracy because
we use crude substitutes for individual
animals in determining population and
range information within a species. For
example, there is a significant difference
between using colony population and
range estimates versus using polyp
population and range estimates, which
are essentially impossible to estimate.
Another comment stated that it is not
accurate to equate percent coral cover
on reefs to population abundance (i.e.,
numbers of individuals). Any loss of
coral cover often is manifest by loss of
coral tissue over large portions of still
living colonies, without the loss of the
individual. Furthermore, it is unclear
whether the loss of many separate but
genetically-identical colonies (‘clones’)
equates to the loss of a single but
genetically-distinct individual if some
of the clone colonies survive. Another
commenter noted that the distributions
of the Indo-Pacific species are largely
unknown due to their incredibly vast
ranges encompassing numerous
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archipelagos that include thousands of
islands and atolls. The commenter
emphasized this point by noting that
there are between 30,000 and 40,000
islands in Oceania which could
potentially have populations of the
proposed coral species. The comments
described above collectively assert that
listing decisions cannot be made due to
the lack of species-specific information.
Response: We acknowledge that it is
difficult to quantify and qualify
distribution and abundance for
individual coral species. The ambiguity
associated with the delineation of the
individual in reef-building corals is
addressed in the Individual Delineation
sub-section in the Corals and Coral
Reefs section, including how we
characterize the delineation of the
individual for the species covered by
this final rule. In response to public
comments, we more adequately address
each species’ distribution and
abundance as those characteristics relate
to each species’ determination status
under the ESA in the Species-specific
Information and Determinations section.
The public comments provided some
useful information on the distribution
and abundance of specific coral species,
and we also collected supplemental
information on distribution and
abundance that is included in the
Species-specific Information and
Determinations section.
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Comments on Coral Reefs, Other Coral
Habitats, and Overview of Candidate
Coral Environments
Comment 6: Some comments asserted
that the proposed rule focused too much
on coral reefs rather than focusing on
coral species. A couple of comments
stated that corals thrive in places that
are not coral reefs, even when nearby
coral reefs are not thriving,
underscoring the notion that reefs are
not species. Another couple of
comments stated that the focus on coral
reefs and reef ecosystems, and the
importance they have to reef-associated
species, is improper for ESA listing
analysis and added that NMFS cannot
simply decide to treat reefs as a species
under the ESA simply because
evaluating reefs is easier.
Response: The proposed rule
acknowledged that reef-building coral
species are not reef-dependent and
provided a description of non-reefal
habitats. Public comments did not
provide information on how to interpret
non-reefal habitat in our analysis, but in
the Coral Habitats sub-section of this
final rule we clarify the relevance of
non-reefal habitats in determining each
species’ status under the ESA (e.g.,
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providing variability in environmental
conditions).
Further, in the Coral and Coral Reefs
section (Individual Delineation and
Species Identification sub-sections), we
explain that we define a coral species as
the ‘‘physiological colony’’ (i.e., unit of
the species that can be identified as an
individual in the field) to ensure that we
are evaluating the individual species
and not coral reefs generally for
determining ESA status. Public
comments did not offer any information
on how to define a coral species, but our
explanations in the Individual
Delineation and Species Identification
sub-sections makes clear that we do not
consider coral reefs as species in this
final rule. However, it should be noted
that defining an individual coral as the
physiological colony in this final rule
did not change how we interpreted
abundance data for any species.
Comment 7: A few comments stated
that the proposed rule lacked speciesspecific information for mesophotic
habitats (deep, lower-light areas, usually
between 30 and 100 m deep). One
comment stated that the coral
communities of many Indo-Pacific
jurisdictions have received little
attention, with vast areas of reef
remaining unexplored, especially for
corals occurring in the mesophotic zone,
which likely harbors populations of
species that can also be found at
shallower depths. Another comment
stated that recent data from NOAAsupported studies of mesophotic reefs
found these extensive and poorly
studied ecosystems serve as refugia for
numerous shallow water coral species,
yet no survey data from these ongoing
studies were included in the proposed
rule. We also received two papers
(Bridge and Guinotte, 2013; Kahng et al.,
2014) that suggested the global diversity
of some mesophotic corals may be
underestimated and the biogeographic
ranges of mesophotic corals are not fully
explored.
Response: The proposed rule briefly
described mesophotic habitats and
acknowledged that the amount of
mesophotic habitat available is
unknown and likely greater than the
amount of shallow reef habitat. The
proposed rule also stated there is greater
coral cover on mesophotic reefs in the
Indo-Pacific than in the Caribbean.
However, more information has become
available on this habitat type since
publication of the proposed rule. Two
papers (Bridge and Guinotte, 2013;
Kahng et al., 2014) provided more
information on the global diversity and
biogeographic ranges of mesophotic
corals and we have collected
information on the magnitude and
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53857
diversity of mesophotic habitat. The
extent of mesophotic habitat is
addressed in the Coral Habitats subsection. Mesophotic habitat’s potential
function as refugia for corals from ocean
warming is addressed in the Spatial and
Temporal Refugia sub-section. Where
mesophotic habitat information is
available for an individual coral species
we have included and considered that
information in the Species-specific
Information and Determinations section.
Comment 8: With regard to coral
habitats being divided into only two
global regions (i.e., Caribbean and IndoPacific), a couple of comments stated
that the Indo-Pacific region was too
coarse. Specifically, the comments
stated that the Hawaiian Islands should
be considered its own region or subregion with Hawaiian species evaluated
separately, due to Hawaii’s isolated
nature and significant number of
endemic species.
Response: We recognize that there
may be numerous distinct sub-regions
throughout the Caribbean and IndoPacific basins for some or all species,
and that some coral species are endemic
to Hawaii. However, under the ESA, we
must evaluate the status of the species
throughout their entire ranges.
Invertebrate species, such as corals,
cannot be divided further into Distinct
Populations Segments (DPS) under the
ESA, since DPS specifically refer only to
vertebrate species. Therefore, we cannot
identify sub-regions, such as Hawaii, as
its own distinct geographic range and
evaluate the status of more broadly
distributed species only within that
specific area. In addition, as described
in the Risk Analyses—Statutory
Standard sub-section of this final rule,
we were not able to identify a
significant portion of its range (SPOIR)
for any of the proposed corals and
therefore could not evaluate whether the
status of the species within that portion
of its range impacts the overall status of
the species throughout its range.
Comment 9: We received a few
comments regarding the consideration
and inclusion of Traditional Ecological
Knowledge (TEK), particularly from
local island cultures (Hawaiian,
Chamorro, and Samoan), as best
available information for our listing
determination process. One comment
noted the importance of corals and coral
reefs to island cultures in the Pacific
Islands region, in particular to native
Hawaiians. The comment criticized the
lack of TEK in the SRR and proposed
rule for the candidate corals, stating that
coral biology and ecology is a
fundamental part of TEK, and that their
TEK is part of best available science.
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Response: We agree that TEK provides
an important and unique perspective on
local ecosystems, their status, threats,
and changes over time; when relevant
information was made available to us,
we incorporated it into the proposed
rule. We also acknowledge that this
information is not necessarily accessible
in academic peer reviewed journals or
text books. Therefore, we requested any
additional TEK-related information on
the biology, ecology, threats, and
extinction risks of the 65 coral species
on numerous occasions for inclusion
within this final rule. While we received
public comments and listened to several
public testimonies from community
members in both the Pacific Islands and
Southeast regions that disagreed with
our proposed listing determinations, we
did not receive any TEK-related
information or data on the biology,
ecology, threats, or extinction risks for
any of the 65 coral species within this
final rule.
Comments on Threats Evaluation
Comment 10: We received a large
number of public comments on the
various threats to corals and coral reefs.
In addition to the specific comments on
the nine most important threats, one
comment stated that there should be no
doubt that corals and coral reefs
throughout the world are in serious
trouble and in decline due to the effects
of anthropogenic stressors. Another
commenter asked whether the mere
threats from anthropogenic impacts are
sufficient for ESA listing. Yet another
commenter requested that recreational
boating activities should be recognized
as a specific threat, even though
recreational boating activities may only
present a relatively minor risk to coral
species.
Response: As described in the
proposed rule, there are nine threats
considered to be the most significant to
the current or expected future extinction
risk of reef-building corals. The
comments and responses on these nine
threats (ocean warming, disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade) are
addressed individually below. We
acknowledged that recreational boating
activities may present some risk to coral
species and it was included in the
description of the threat ‘‘Humaninduced Physical Damage’’ in the SRR.
However, we determined that threat’s
contribution to the extinction risk of
corals, generally, is negligible to low.
We also recognized that
anthropogenic threats are affecting coral
species worldwide and may be
sufficient for an ESA listing if the
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species meets the definition of
threatened or endangered. That is, if the
species is currently in danger of
extinction or may become so in the
foreseeable future due to any one or a
combination of the five factors under
Section 4 of the ESA (in which the
various threats are categorized) then the
species may be listed.
Comments on Global Climate Change—
General Overview
Comment 11: We received many
comments on the general treatment of
global climate change in the proposed
rule and supporting documents. The
Global Climate Change—General
Overview section in the proposed rule
and the global climate change portion of
the SRR describe past, current, and
future GHG emissions and atmospheric
concentrations and the associated past,
current, and future general effects on
coral reef ecosystems, based primarily
on the International Panel on Climate
Change’s (IPCC) Fourth Assessment
Report (AR4), The Physical Basis (IPCC,
2007) and supporting literature.
Some comments stated that we did
not adequately account for the
uncertainty in climate change modeling.
A few comments stated that global
temperature has been stable for the last
ten years or that warming has slowed
down since 2000. One commenter
provided two recent papers (Guemas et
al., 2013; Hansen et al., 2012) that
showed global mean surface
temperatures did not increase as much
as had been predicted from 2000 to
2010.
Some comments stated that GHG
emissions and global temperatures
continue to rise unabated. One comment
referenced two studies (Frieler et al.,
2012; van Hooidonk et al., 2013b) that
projected the frequency of coral reef
bleaching under different levels of
warming and emissions scenarios,
indicating that significant and
immediate GHG reductions are critical
to prevent coral reefs from degradation
and collapse. Another comment also
referenced van Hooidonk et al. (2013b)
and stated that targets for atmospheric
carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations
must be lower than 450 parts per
million (ppm) to protect coral reef
ecosystems. Yet another comment stated
that scientific modeling indicates that
within 40 to 50 years, reef decline will
pass a tipping point, largely due to the
increasing impacts of climate change,
and may not be reversible over
ecological time scales. Another
comment pointed out that climate
change also could likely increase corals’
exposure to cold water stress, which
studies have shown can cause extensive
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mortality of corals (Colella et al., 2012;
Schopmeyer et al., 2012).
Response: We agree with commenters
and acknowledge that there is
uncertainty associated with climate
change projections. Climate change
projections over the foreseeable future
are associated with three major sources
of uncertainty: (1) The projected rate of
increase for GHG concentrations; (2)
strength of the climate’s response to
GHG concentrations; and (3) large
natural variations. The recent warming
slow-down is an example of a large
natural variation that was not
anticipated by previous models.
However, AR4’s projections were built
upon scientifically accepted principles,
which fairly simulated many large scale
aspects of present-day conditions,
providing the best available information
on climate change at the time the
proposed rule was published. The
IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report (AR5),
Climate Change 2013: The Physical
Science Basis (IPCC, 2013), commonly
referred to as the Working Group I
Report (WGI) became available in
September 2013, and supersedes AR4;
accordingly, this final rule relies on the
information provided in AR5’s WGI.
Despite the advance of climate change
science in recent years, there is still
complexity and uncertainty associated
with projections of global climate
change. However, the current state of
climate change science is capable of
producing informative projections that
provide a rational basis for considering
likely patterns in future climate changerelated threats to reef-building corals.
More detail on the overall complexity
associated with projections of global
climate change, major sources of
uncertainty in climate change
projections, and a summary of AR5’s
WGI, including the pathway that we
consider the most impactful to corals,
are addressed in Threats Evaluation—
Global Climate Change Overview subsection.
We also acknowledge the observed
recent hiatus/slow-down in the rate of
global surface air temperature increase,
and we have accordingly provided a
description of the hiatus/slowdown and
its implications in the Threats
Evaluation—Ocean Warming subsection. In summary, despite
unprecedented levels of GHG emissions
in recent years, a slow-down in global
mean surface air temperature warming
has occurred since 1998, which AR5’s
WGI refers to as a ‘‘hiatus.’’ Despite this
slowdown in warming, the period since
1998 is the warmest recorded and ‘‘Each
of the last three decades has been
successively warmer at the Earth’s
surface than any preceding decade since
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1850.’’ The slow-down in global mean
surface warming since 1998 is not fully
explained by AR4 or AR5 WGI’s models,
but is consistent with the substantial
decadal and interannual variability seen
in the instrumental record and may
result, in part, from the selection of
beginning and end dates for such
analyses.
Public comments provided
supplemental information on several
aspects of global climate change, as
described above. We also collected
information to inform how we assess the
effects of global climate change to
corals, including the IPCC Working
Group II report on impacts, adaptation,
and vulnerability. We maintain that
global climate change is central to
assessing extinction risk for the corals in
this final rule. As described in more
detail in the Threats Evaluation—Global
Climate Change Overview sub-section
below, the supplemental information
underscores the complexity and
uncertainty associated with projecting
the extent and severity of effects of
global climate change across the ranges
of reef-building corals.
Comments on Ocean Warming (High
Importance Threat, ESA Factor E)
Comment 12: We received several
comments on general future projections
of ocean warming levels. One
commenter stated that climate change
models applied in our assessment are
too coarse to accurately predict the
conditions reefs will experience in the
future and that real conditions are
impacted by bathymetry, water mixing,
wind patterns, fresh water inputs, and
other bio-geographic factors. The
commenter concluded that existing
projections for sea surface temperature
are not sufficient to conclude the
species face an existential threat. Other
comments also criticized the use of
AR4’s worst-case scenario as the basis
for determining the most likely future
scenario with regard to ocean warming,
and related topics such as the proposed
rule’s lack of consideration for the post1998 hiatus in global warming.
Response: In the proposed rule, we
discussed the numerous, complex
spatial and temporal factors that
compound uncertainty associated with
projecting effects of ocean warming on
corals in the future, and we have
determined that ocean warming will not
affect all species in all locations
uniformly over the foreseeable future.
We believe that different bio-geographic
factors such as bathymetry, water
mixing, wind patterns, and fresh water
will likely impact conditions corals will
experience over the foreseeable future.
We also recognized that global climate
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change models are associated with
uncertainty, as discussed in response to
comment 11 above. However, in
response to comments on ocean
warming projections, such as criticism
of the reliance of the proposed rule and
supporting documents on AR4 (IPCC,
2007) and the lack of consideration of
the ocean warming hiatus, we provide a
review of the best available information
on these topics, including AR5’s WGI
Report (IPCC, 2013), in the Threats
Evaluation—Global Climate Change
Overview, Representative Concentration
Pathways (RCP) 8.5 Projections, and
Ocean Warming sub-sections below.
These data support the conclusion in
the proposed rule that ocean warming is
increasing in severity, and is likely to
continue increasing in severity within
the ranges of reef-building corals.
However, a key difference between the
proposed and final rule is that we now
more fully consider the ability of each
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate exposure to threats,
including warming, and place
appropriate emphasis on the nonuniform nature of global threats at the
regional and local levels that allows
habitat heterogeneity to play a role in
buffering a species against vulnerability
to extinction. The significance of coral
abundance and distribution, and habitat
heterogeneity, to this final rule is
described in more detail in the Corals
and Coral Reefs, Risk Analyses and
Species-specific Information and
Determinations sections of this rule.
After reviewing the public comments
and information provided in AR5’s WGI
our conclusion regarding the threat of
ocean warming remains unchanged
from the proposed rule. We maintain
that ocean warming is a high
importance threat in assessing global
extinction risk for the corals in this final
rule, while we also acknowledge that
the interpretation of future climate
change threats to corals is associated
with complexity and uncertainty, and
that effects on individual species of reefbuilding corals are difficult to determine
as described in more detail in the
Threats Evaluation—Global Climate
Change Overview subsection below.
Comment 13: Many comments
criticized the proposed rule for not
accounting for spatial variability in
ocean warming and overlooking
regional and local variability in
conditions leading to warming-induced
bleaching, which may be more or less
severe regionally or locally than the
overall warming. For example, we
received two comments requesting us to
review the literature for information
regarding current and projected regional
differences in sea surface temperature
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53859
anomalies and for variations in the
responses of individual coral species
across their ranges. Comments noted
that coral species and their symbionts
are not uniformly susceptible and/or
resilient to climate change across their
ranges. That variability results in
heterogeneous responses of coral
species to ocean warming both in
different parts of the ranges and also at
different rates in the future. Another
comment provided information from
van Hooidonk (2013b) regarding spatial
and temporal variability of ocean
warming within different regions. The
commenter identified reef locations that
appear to be less vulnerable to
bleaching, including the southern Great
Barrier Reef (GBR), the western Indian
Ocean, Persian Gulf, Red Sea, Thailand,
New Caledonia and French Polynesia,
as well as other locations that appear to
be more vulnerable to bleaching,
including the western Pacific warm
pool, northwestern Australia, west
Papua New Guinea and the central
Pacific islands of Tokelau. Another
commenter stated that the corals at
Flower Garden Banks National Marine
Sanctuary seem to be less affected by
elevated sea surface temperatures that
are impacting corals in other parts of the
wider Caribbean.
Response: We discussed spatial (i.e.,
regional and/or local) variability of
ocean warming impacts to corals in the
proposed rule and we agree that ocean
warming will not affect all species in all
locations uniformly over the foreseeable
future, and that different regions are
predicted to experience the effects of
ocean warming on different time scales
and at different magnitudes than others.
We provide a review of all the best
available information on spatial
variability in ocean warming, including
any information provided via public
comment or gathered ourselves since
the proposed rule was published, in the
Threats Evaluation—Global Climate
Change Overview, RCP8.5 Projections,
and Ocean Warming sub-sections below.
These data support the conclusion in
the proposed rule that ocean warming is
increasing in severity, and likely to
continue increasing in severity within
the ranges of reef-building corals. This
review also underscores the complexity
and uncertainty associated with spatial
variability in ocean warming across the
ranges of reef-building corals. A key
difference between the proposed and
final rule is that we now more fully
consider the ability of each species’
spatial and demographic traits to
moderate exposure to threats, including
warming, and place appropriate
emphasis on the non-uniform nature of
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global threats at the regional and local
levels which allows habitat
heterogeneity to play a role in buffering
a species against vulnerability to
extinction. The significance of coral
abundance and distribution and habitat
heterogeneity to this final rule is
described in more detail in the Corals
and Coral Reefs, Risk Analyses and
Species-specific Information and
Determinations sections of this rule.
Comment 14: Comments on the
overview of ocean warming and coral
reefs focused on projected effects of
ocean warming on coral reef
ecosystems, rather than on reef-building
coral species. These comments comprise
two distinct views. Some comments
emphasized that coral reefs are likely to
decline sharply in the future because of
increasing GHG emissions, while other
comments emphasized that recent
reviews indicate a wide range of
possible responses by coral species. For
example, one commenter cited Frieler et
al. (2012) and stated that the estimated
frequency of coral bleaching at different
levels of global warming showed that
limiting warming to 1.5 °C above preindustrial levels is unlikely to protect
most of the world’s reefs from
degradation. The commenter further
explained that even under the lowest of
the IPCC AR5 emissions scenarios
(RCP3–PD) and optimistic assumptions
regarding thermal adaptation,
approximately one-third (range from 9
to 60 percent) of the world’s coral reefs
will experience long-term degradation.
Another commenter cited Donner (2009)
and similarly stated that the projected
increase in sea surface temperatures due
to the physical commitment from the
present accumulation of GHGs due to
anthropogenic activity, as well as the
amount of GHGs likely to be emitted, is
sufficient to cause frequent and higher
magnitude heat stress for the majority of
the world’s coral reefs by 2050. Another
commenter provided information from
Kiessling et al. (2004) and Carpenter et
al. (2008) and asserted that if bleaching
events become very frequent, many
species may be unable to maintain
breeding populations as repeated
bleaching causes potentially irreversible
declines, perhaps mimicking conditions
that led to previous coral extinctions. In
contrast, some commenters disagreed
with our conclusion of the projected
effects of ocean warming on corals and
coral reef ecosystems in the proposed
rule. As described above in Comment
13, many commenters pointed out
several studies showing regional and
local variability in responses of corals
and coral reefs to ocean warming.
Response: We summarized the best
available information on the interaction
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between ocean warming and corals reefs
in the proposed rule, and concluded
that ocean warming is a severe and
increasing threat to corals. The public
comments and supporting papers we
received on the overview of ocean
warming and coral reefs generally
support the conclusion in the proposed
rule that ocean warming is an important
and increasing threat to coral reefs.
However, the other comments
underscore the uncertainty associated
with projecting the effects of ocean
warming on coral reefs in the future,
and as described in our response to
Comment 13, we also acknowledge that
there is and will continue to be regional
and local variability in responses of
corals to ocean warming over the
foreseeable future. We acknowledge that
ocean warming will not act uniformly
on all species at all times over the
foreseeable future. Further, we
recognize that the responses of each
species to ocean warming will vary
across their ranges over the foreseeable
future. Additionally, as described in
previous comment responses, a key
difference between the proposed and
final rule is that we now more fully
consider the threat-buffering capacity of
each species’ unique characteristics, and
place appropriate emphasis on the nonuniform nature of global threats at the
regional and local levels which allows
habitat heterogeneity to play a role in
buffering a species against vulnerability
to extinction.
Comment 15: We received comments
on specific effects of ocean warming on
reef-building corals that covered various
topics, including the interactions of
warming-induced bleaching with other
threats. For example, one commenter
noted that anthropogenic climate
change (e.g., ocean warming) weakens
coral colonies and renders them more
susceptible to disease, which is also
covered in the Threats Evaluation—
Disease sub-section below. Other
commenters also emphasized the
potential for ocean warming to act
synergistically with other threats such
as nutrification as well as overfishing.
Another commenter provided
`
information from Ferrier-Pages et al.
(2010) suggesting remarkable tolerance
to global change, such as the potential
to reduce bleaching vulnerability
through increased feeding rates.
Response: In the proposed rule, we
discussed how multiple threats stress
corals simultaneously or sequentially,
whether the effects are cumulative (the
sum of individual stresses) or
interactive (e.g., synergistic or
antagonistic). The comments and
supporting papers we received on these
topics provide supplemental
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information (such as synergistic effects
of ocean warming with other threats),
which has been incorporated and
considered in our assessment, as
described in more detail in the Threats
Evaluation—Ocean Warming subsection. The comments and supporting
papers support the conclusion in the
proposed rule that the impacts of ocean
warming on reef-building corals are
increasing in severity and likely to
continue increasing in severity. This
information also underscores the great
complexity and high uncertainty
associated with the various specific
effects of ocean warming, including
synergistic effects with other threats,
across the ranges of reef-building corals.
We continue to acknowledge that
susceptibility of a species to a threat
depends on the combination of: (1)
Direct effects of the threat on the
species; and (2) the cumulative and
interactive (synergistic or antagonistic)
effects of the threat with the effects of
other threats on the species. In the
proposed rule, we considered how the
cumulative or interactive effects altered
the rating assigned to a threat
susceptibility in isolation. However,
upon further consideration, we need to
evaluate the extent to which one threat
influences the susceptibility of an
individual species to another threat
with more species-specific information,
in connection with all the other
elements that influence a species’
extinction risk. Generally, cumulative
and interactive processes are complex
and uncertain and existing information
about threats interactions is only based
on a few studies on a few species.
Where possible, when we have speciesspecific or applicable genus-level
information on cumulative or
interactive effects, we have applied this
information to that particular species’
susceptibilities in a more integrated
manner.
Comment 16: We received several
comments on the capacity of reefbuilding corals for acclimatization and
adaptation to ocean warming, covering
various specific characteristics of reefbuilding corals that may contribute to
such capacity. Mostly, commenters
asserted that we did not adequately
consider the ability of corals to
acclimatize or adapt to changing
temperatures. Several comments cited
empirical evidence that corals have
already adapted to ocean warming,
thereby demonstrating the potential for
acclimatization or adaptation. For
example, one comment letter provided
information from Pandolfi et al. (2011)
and Cahill et al. (2013) stating that more
recent analyses incorporating thermal
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tolerance of species indicate a wide
range of outcomes including
maintenance of comparable levels of
cover to 2100 and beyond. Another
commenter provided data from Maynard
et al. (2008) and Guest et al. (2012)
showing that many types of coral show
surprisingly large (∼0.5–1 °C) increases
in thermal tolerance after a single mass
bleaching event, due to either
adaptation or acclimatization. In
another comment letter, information
provided from Jones and Berkelmans
(2010) and Baker et al. (2004) show that
the acclimatization potential of corals to
increased temperatures is an active area
of research, with a focus on identifying
heat-resistant phenotypes. Another
commenter pointed to the coral species
that occur in the Arabian Gulf as an
example of species adapting to warmer
temperatures.
Response: In the proposed rule we
acknowledged that there is some
evidence to suggest that reef-building
corals may have various mechanisms for
acclimatization and adaptation to ocean
warming. These topics were described
in the Ocean Warming sub-section of
the proposed rule, and we concluded
that existing scientific information was
inconclusive on how these processes
may affect individual corals’ extinction
risk, given the projected intensity and
rate of ocean warming. The public
comments and supporting papers have
been incorporated and considered in
our assessment, as described in more
detail in the Threats Evaluation—Ocean
Warming sub-section and the Speciesspecific Information and Determinations
section. However, the supplemental
information does not alter the
conclusion in the proposed rule that the
capacity for acclimatization and
adaptation of reef-building corals to
ocean warming is inconclusive for
corals generally at this time.
Comments on Disease (High Importance
Threat, ESA Factor C)
Comment 17: One comment regarding
the decline of Caribbean coral
populations cited land-use changes as
well as disease outbreaks (among other
local threats) as the causes of Caribbean
coral decline rather than climate
change. Some comments also provided
such information pertaining to specific
species. For example, one comment
stated that the genetic diversity of
Acropora cervicornis in Florida may be
sufficient to maintain viability and
resilience to environmental
perturbations and disease.
Response: The proposed rule
described how disease had a major role
in the initial decline of Caribbean coral
populations as described in the Coral
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Reefs, Other Coral Habitats, and
Overview of Candidate Coral
Environments sections of the proposed
rule. Further, in the Threats
Evaluation—Disease section of this rule,
we acknowledge diseases are of high
importance with regard to extinction
risk of corals. However, in assessing
extinction risk over the foreseeable
future, climate change-related threats
are highly important to all reef-building
corals. Any species-specific information
provided on disease is included in the
Species-specific Information and
Determinations section later in this rule.
Comment 18: One commenter noted
the explicit link between coral
bleaching, disease, and the larger
driving environmental factor of climate
change by citing several studies that
show anthropogenic climate change
weakens coral colonies and renders
them more susceptible to disease
(Harvell et al., 1999; Harvell et al., 2002;
Knowlton, 2001). Another commenter
provided information from Muller and
van Woesik (2012), stating that
exceeding environmental disease
thresholds will most likely become
increasingly common in rapidly
warming oceans, leading to more
frequent coral-disease outbreaks. The
study suggested that that the expression
of some coral diseases occurs when (1)
environmental thresholds are exceeded
and (2) these environmental conditions
either weaken the corals, which are then
more susceptible to infection, or
increase the virulence or abundance of
pathogens. In other words, corals that
experience bleaching are more likely to
suffer from disease outbreaks and
subsequent mortality.
Response: In the proposed rule, we
described the importance of disease as
a threat to corals and the potential for
disease to act synergistically with other
threats such as ocean warming. We also
understand that assessing the threat of
disease is highly complex, as the cause
or causes of many coral diseases
remains either unknown or poorly
understood. Overall, the public
comments we received underscored and
supported the analysis in the SRR and
the proposed rule. In addition to public
comments, we collected a significant
amount of information on disease that
became available since the proposed
rule published. Thus, we maintain that
disease is a high importance threat to
the extinction risks of the 65 corals in
this final rule. All of the supplemental
information received or otherwise
collected has been detailed and
summarized in the Threats Evaluation—
Disease sub-section of this final rule.
The extent to which the extinction risk
of a particular coral species is impacted
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by disease is discussed in more detail in
the Species-specific Information and
Determinations section below.
Comments on Ocean Acidification
(Medium-High Importance Threat, ESA
Factor E)
Comment 19: We received public
comments on the description of and
future projections of ocean acidification,
which provided information on the
complexity of ocean chemistry on
corals, and criticism of the use of the
AR4’s worst-case scenario as the basis
for determining the most likely future
scenario with regard to ocean
acidification. For example, one
commenter asserted that global
projections of ocean acidification are too
coarse and do not take into
consideration competing and extremely
localized factors that affect local CO2
concentrations (e.g., local atmospheric
processes, local biological processes,
local temperature, and upwelling from
deeper waters). The commenter
emphasized that despite acknowledging
the multitude of local, regional, and
seasonal factors that may cause local
CO2 concentrations to increase and pH
to decrease, we opted instead to base
our reef-scale threat analysis on
generalized acidification predictions
from global models. Other commenters
also criticized our reliance on the IPCC’s
AR4 report as the basis for our threat
evaluation of ocean acidification to
corals.
Response: In the proposed rule we
acknowledged that numerous, complex
spatial and temporal factors compound
uncertainty associated with projecting
effects of ocean acidification on corals
in the future. We also acknowledged
that global climate change models are
associated with uncertainty. We further
acknowledge that the interpretation of
future climate change threats to corals is
complex and that effects on individual
species of reef-building corals are
difficult to determine, as described in
more detail in the Threats Evaluation—
Global Climate Change Overview
subsection. However, we agree with
commenters that ocean acidification
will not affect all species in all locations
uniformly over the foreseeable future,
and that different locations will
experience the effects of ocean
acidification at different time scales and
at different magnitudes than others. We
provide a review of all the best available
information, including a review of
AR5’s WGI (IPCC, 2013) in the Threats
Evaluation—Global Climate Change
Overview, RCP8.5 Projections, and
Ocean Acidification sub-sections. Upon
review of the information provided in
AR5’s WGI and public comments, our
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conclusion regarding the threat of ocean
acidification remains unchanged from
the proposed rule. We maintain that
ocean acidification is increasing in
severity, and is likely to continue
increasing in severity, within the ranges
of reef-building corals, and is a mediumhigh importance threat in assessing
extinction risk for the 65 corals in this
final rule. However, as described in
earlier comment responses, a key
difference between the proposed and
final rule is that we now more fully
consider the ability of each species’
spatial and demographic traits to
moderate the impacts of threats, and we
place appropriate emphasis on the nonuniform nature of global threats at the
regional and local levels which allows
habitat heterogeneity to play a role in
buffering a species against vulnerability
to extinction.
Comment 20: We received a comment
regarding variability in ocean
acidification on coral reefs related to
fluctuations in pH from localized factors
such as seagrass beds. The commenter
provided information from Manzello et
al. (2012) indicating that local and
regional biochemical processes buffer
effects of ocean acidification in
locations such as the Gulf of Mexico and
South Atlantic. Manzello et al. (2012)
reported that the photosynthetic uptake
and sequestering of carbon dioxide by
seagrasses and other macroalgae and the
positive growth response by seagrasses
to increasing dissolved carbon dioxide
(Palacios and Zimmerman, 2007) may
create ocean acidification refugia for
corals. Comments on specific effects of
ocean acidification on coral reefs and
reef-building corals focused on capacity
for acclimatization of corals to
acidification, and evidence that some
coral species are resistant to low pH.
Response: In the proposed rule, we
discussed that numerous, complex
spatial and temporal factors compound
uncertainty associated with projecting
effects of ocean acidification on corals
and coral reefs in the future, and we
agree with the comment that ocean
acidification will not affect all species
in all locations uniformly over the
foreseeable future, and that different
locations will experience the effects of
ocean acidification at different time
scales and at different magnitudes than
others. In response to comments on
spatial variability of ocean acidification,
such as lack of consideration of
localized increase in pH from adjacent
seagrass beds, we provide a review of
the best available information on spatial
variability in ocean acidification,
including any information provided by
public comments as well as any
information we gathered ourselves since
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the proposed rule was published, in the
Threats Evaluation—RCP8.5 Projections
and Ocean Acidification sub-sections.
These data in our view still support the
conclusion in the proposed rule that
ocean acidification is increasing in
severity, and likely to continue
increasing in severity within the ranges
of reef-building corals; however, as
described in earlier comment responses,
a key difference between the proposed
and final rule is that we now more fully
consider the threat moderation capacity
of each species’ spatial and
demographic traits, and of habitat
heterogeneity.
Comment 21: We received one
comment that identified a couple of
ocean acidification and coral reef
calcification rate studies that were not
included in the SRR and proposed rule.
The commenter provided two studies:
One showing that coral calcification
increases with global warming (McNeil
et al., 2004), and another study showing
that corals are already thriving in
conditions similar to the ocean
acidification conditions predicted by
the IPCC for 2100 (Hofmann et al.,
2011).
Response: In the proposed rule and
supporting documents we
acknowledged that some exceptional
areas exist where reef-building coral
communities appear to be thriving
under naturally high CO2
concentrations. As described in the
comment response above to Comment
19, we agree that ocean acidification
will not act uniformly on all species in
all locations over the foreseeable future.
We provide a review of all the best
information available on the threat of
ocean acidification, including these
studies, which we received in public
comments, and any information we
gathered ourselves in the Threats
Evaluation—Ocean Acidification subsection (e.g., Shamberger et al., in
press). This supplemental information
supports the proposed rule’s conclusion
that the threat of ocean acidification has
already impacted corals and coral reefs
and will become increasingly severe
from now to 2100, with increasingly
severe consequences for corals and coral
reefs. However, as described in previous
comment responses, a key difference
between the proposed and final rule is
that we now more fully consider the
capacity of each species’ spatial and
demographic traits, and habitat
heterogeneity, to buffer a species against
vulnerability to extinction.
Comment 22: We received a detailed
comment letter with supporting papers
regarding specific effects of ocean
acidification on reef-building corals,
such as effects on reef accretion, effects
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on larvae and juvenile corals, and
interactive or synergistic effects with
other environmental variables. For
example, the commenter pointed out
several studies that underscore the
potential impact of ocean acidification
on reef calcification rates, noting that
even under the most optimistic
modeling scenario, 98 percent of reefs
would be chemically stressed by 2050.
The commenter also emphasized that
corals may have a limited ability to
adapt to ocean acidification based on an
in-situ study of two corals in Florida
Bay (Okazaki et al., 2013).
Response: The comment letter and
supporting papers support the
conclusion in the proposed rule that
ocean acidification is increasing in
severity, and likely to continue
increasing in severity, within the ranges
of reef-building corals, resulting in
various detrimental impacts. This
information also underscores the
complexity and uncertainty associated
with the various specific effects of ocean
acidification, including interactive or
synergistic effects with other threats,
across the ranges of reef-building corals
as well as predicting adaptive capacity.
The information provided by the
commenter and the supporting papers
regarding the specific effects of ocean
acidification on corals and coral reefs
have been incorporated and described
in more detail in the Threats
Evaluation—Ocean Acidification subsection.
Comments on Trophic Effects of Fishing
(Medium Importance Threat, ESA
Factor A)
Comment 23: One comment provided
supplemental information that was not
included in the proposed rule regarding
the role of herbivorous fish in terms of
building and maintaining reef
resilience. The commenter stated that
‘‘overfishing also degrades coral reefs,
particularly by depleting key functional
groups, such as herbivores, that reduce
turf algae on reefs and maintain optimal
conditions for coral growth and
recruitment’’ and provided Keller et al.
(2009) as a reference. Another
commenter also described the
importance of herbivorous functional
groups, and stated that limiting or
attempting to reduce harvest of
predatory fish may cause ecological
harm by unbalancing a healthy trophic
chain.
Response: The proposed rule
described the importance of trophic
interactions which include reducing
herbivorous fish species that control
algal growth, limiting the size structure
of fish populations, reducing species
richness of herbivorous fish, and
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releasing corallivores from predator
control. The supplemental information
provided by public comments supports
our conclusion in the proposed rule that
healthy levels of herbivorous functional
groups are essential to coral reef
ecosystem resilience in light of climate
change-related threats. Detailed
information regarding the trophic effects
of fishing can be found in the Threats
Evaluation—Trophic Effects of Fishing
sub-section as well as the Inadequacy of
Existing Regulatory Mechanisms—Reef
Resilience sub-section.
Comment 24: One commenter stated
that fish landings have been stable for
30 years in St. Thomas, U.S. Virgin
Islands, with many species increasing in
size, indicating that overfishing is not
occurring in this location or
contributing to the status of the
Caribbean species in that area. The
commenter also pointed out numerous
sources of sediments and nutrients, and
coastal development projects in the U.S.
Virgin Islands as the main contributors
to coral reef decline rather than
overfishing. Other commenters also
disagreed that overfishing was
contributing to coral reef decline in
Hawaii and highlighted significant
increases in tourism and in-water
recreational activities as local drivers of
reef decline in that area.
Response: Although not explicitly
stated in the proposed rule, we agree
that levels of fishing effort vary
throughout the ranges of the 65 corals
under consideration. We did
acknowledge that exposure to this threat
varies throughout the ranges of the
proposed species and between the
Caribbean and Indo-Pacific. In the
proposed rule, we also recognized that
management and regulation of
commercial and recreational fisheries
are inconsistent throughout the coral
reef world. When evaluating the current
and potential threat impacts from
trophic effects of fishing, we are
required to assess this threat throughout
the entire ranges of the 65 coral species
in this final listing. We understand that
levels and impacts of overfishing differ
depending on the particular location
under evaluation; however, we maintain
that the trophic effects of fishing
represent a medium importance threat
to the extinction risk of all 65 coral
species in this final rule.
Comment 25: One commenter stated
that we failed to consider human
demography in terms of our analysis of
fishing impacts to corals. The
commenter noted that large swaths of
area throughout Oceania are being
depopulated in favor of more
metropolitan countries, which reduces
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the level of human impacts to corals,
including fishing pressure.
Response: The issues of human
demography and population trends
were covered explicitly in the SRR and
considered in the proposed rule. While
there may be some areas being
depopulated, increased human
population and consumption of natural
resources are root causes for increases in
fishing (particularly of herbivores) at
many locations around the globe
(Brainard et al., 2011). Data from the
World Bank show human population
abundance and density have increased
in all five coral reef regions since 1960
(i.e., Indian Ocean, Caribbean, Southeast
Asia, Pacific, and Middle East), with the
greatest human population densities
and increases in population density in
the Southeast Asia and Indian Ocean
regions. In these regions, current human
population densities are 4–5 times
greater than the global average and
probably suggest the greatest local
human-induced effects to corals and
coral reefs. In the areas in closest
proximity to coral reefs, the Southeast
Asian, Indian Ocean and Middle East
regions have the highest densities of
people per reef area (Burke et al., 2011).
However, these data are regional
averages. We do not dispute that human
demography within any of these regions
may be shifting to higher density in
metropolitan areas, resulting in a
decrease of human disturbance in some
portions of these regions. The regional
trend data suggest increasing risks to
corals and coral reefs overall (Brainard
et al., 2011). However, because we must
consider the extent to which a particular
threat impacts each species throughout
its entire range, we still maintain that
overfishing is a medium importance
threat to all 65 coral species in this final
rule.
Comments on Sedimentation (LowMedium Importance Threat, ESA
Factors A and E)
Comment 26: We received some
public comments on sedimentation as a
threat to the 65 coral species in this
final rule. Comments generally
underscored the importance of
sedimentation as a considerable local
threat to corals and pointed out the
potential of sedimentation to interact
and potentially exacerbate other threats,
as well as to reduce coral resilience. For
example, we received a detailed
comment asserting that prospects for
recovery of certain reef sites in the
Caribbean from acute episodes of
hurricane damage or die-offs from
bleaching and disease (brought on by
ocean warming) are extremely poor
without sustained recruitment, which
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may be prevented by sediment
preempting larval attachment. Further,
the commenter identified sedimentation
(among other local threats) as a local
threat with the capability of
exacerbating bleaching and disease
impacts, thereby reducing the resilience
of corals. One commenter pointed out
that mass mortality of Acropora palmata
at Vega Baja, Puerto Rico, was caused in
part by sedimentation. Another
commenter stated that near shore
marine-origin sediments have almost
completely been replaced by terrestrial
sediments due to a lack of land use
controls, resulting in near total mortality
of nearshore Acropora stands in the U.S.
Virgin Islands. Other commenters
identified the negative impacts of
sedimentation to reefs on the Hawaiian
Island of Molokai, emphasizing the
issue of run-off from large rain events in
certain areas. In general, these
comments emphasize the importance of
sedimentation as a threat to the 65 coral
species in this final rule, with some
asserting that this threat is as important,
if not more important, than the higher
rated threat of reef fishing.
Response: We acknowledge all of the
public comments and information we
received on the threat of sedimentation
to the 65 coral species in this final rule.
As summarized in the proposed rule, we
also recognize the possibility for
sedimentation to interact with other
global and local threats and potentially
reduce the resiliency of coral reef
ecosystems and/or impede recovery. In
addition to public comments, we also
collected supplemental scientific
information regarding the impacts of
sedimentation to corals that became
available after the proposed rule was
published. The findings from these
studies and more detailed information
regarding the evaluation of
sedimentation as a threat to coral reefs
can be found in the Threats
Evaluation—Sedimentation sub-section.
We also acknowledge the concern that
some comments expressed regarding the
importance of this threat in comparison
to other local threats. However, for
corals in general, we maintain that
sedimentation is a low-medium threat to
the extinction risk of the 65 corals in
this final rule. Any species-specific
information we received on
sedimentation is included in the
Species-specific Information and
Determinations section.
Comments on Nutrients (Low-Medium
Importance Threat, ESA Factors A and
E)
Comment 27: We received limited
public comments on nutrient
enrichment of nearshore waters (i.e.,
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eutrophication) and its impacts to coral
reef ecosystems. Comments generally
underscored the importance of nutrient
enrichment as a considerable local
threat to corals, and emphasized the
potential of nutrient enrichment to
interact and potentially exacerbate other
threats, as well as reduce coral reef
resiliency. For example, we received a
detailed comment letter that provided
studies regarding the impacts of nutrient
enrichment to coral species. These
studies, which became available after
the proposed rule was published,
provide evidence that nutrient
enrichment can worsen thermal stress
on inshore reef communities, and that
management actions to reduce coastal
nutrient enrichment can improve the
resistance and resilience of vulnerable
coastal coral reefs to ocean warming.
Another comment detailed some of the
impacts of nutrients in the U.S. Virgin
Islands. For example, industrial effluent
in St. Croix allegedly impacted fisheries
in the area to the point where fishermen
struggle to sell their catch due to
perceived contamination. Further, a
sewage pumping station in another area
impacted nursery grounds for spiny
lobsters. We received other comments
regarding the negative impacts of
nutrient enrichment in various locations
in Florida and Hawaii from sewage
outfalls and other land-based sources of
pollution. In general, comments
emphasized the importance of nutrients
as a threat to the 65 coral species in this
final rule, some asserting that this threat
is as important, if not more, than the
higher rated threat of reef fishing.
Response: In the proposed rule we
described the threat nutrient enrichment
poses to corals. The public comments
and supporting papers regarding the
impacts of nutrients to coral reef
ecosystems have been considered and
incorporated into our assessment, as
described in more detail in the Threats
Evaluation—Nutrients sub-section. We
also acknowledge the concern that some
comments expressed regarding the
importance of this threat in comparison
to other local threats. However, for
corals in general, we maintain that
nutrient enrichment is a low-medium
threat to the extinction risk of the 65
corals in this final rule. Any speciesspecific information we received on
nutrient enrichment is included in the
Species-specific Information and
Determinations section.
Comments on Sea-Level Rise (LowMedium Threat, ESA Factor A)
Comment 28: We received one public
comment that cited the Consensus
Statement on Climate Change and Coral
Reefs (drafted by a working group of
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eminent scientists and endorsed by
hundreds of scientists to address the
topic of climate change impacts on coral
reefs; ICRS, 2012) as a source of
estimates of sea-level rise by the end of
this century. However, the comment did
not expound upon the potential
ramifications of these estimates. We did
not receive any other public comments
or gather new or supplemental
information on the threat of sea-level
rise to the 65 corals in this final rule.
Response: Although we received only
one public comment on this topic, we
collected supplemental information
regarding the threat of sea-level rise to
corals as a result of the IPCC’s AR5.
These findings are summarized in the
Threats Evaluation—Sea-Level Rise subsection.
Comments on Predation (Low Threat,
ESA Factor C)
Comment 29: We received very few
comments regarding the threat of
predation to the 65 corals in this final
rule. The majority of comments we
received regarding predation were
specific to individual species in Guam.
For example, we received a detailed
comment letter that included suggested
changes to individual species
vulnerability ratings to predation, as a
result of local crown-of-thorns seastar
(Acanthaster planci) predation levels.
One commenter cautioned us in terms
of inferring predation vulnerabilities for
certain species from genus-level
information. Other comments identified
predation as a threat to corals, but
provided no further information or
scientific references.
Response: We acknowledge all of the
public comments and information we
received on the threat of predation to
the 65 coral species in this final rule.
The extent to which the extinction risk
of a coral species is impacted by
predation is discussed in more detail in
the Species-specific Information and
Determinations section, including any
information we received from specific
locations. We also agree that inferring
susceptibility to threats from genuslevel information is not always
appropriate. However, that particular
comment referenced a species we
deemed Not Warranted for listing under
the ESA, and are no longer considering.
In addition to public comments, we
collected information regarding the
variable effects predation has on certain
coral species. These studies are detailed
and summarized in the Threats
Evaluation—Predation sub-section.
Overall, we maintain that predation is a
low level threat to the extinction risk of
corals in general.
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Comments on Collection and Trade
(Low Threat, ESA Factor B)
Comment 30: We received hundreds
of comments that strongly criticized our
characterization of the trade industry as
a whole, stating that our analysis failed
to use current science and/or
commercial information about the coral
trade. Commenters also asserted that we
did not adequately consider aquaculture
and mariculture industries as a potential
alternative to alleviate pressures from
wild collection practices. For example,
we received a detailed comment
regarding the mariculture industry in
Indonesia, stating that in the last five
years, the coral trade communities of
Indonesia have developed coral
mariculture with long-term objectives of
reducing the wild harvest of coral
species for the live coral trade. Another
comment letter provided information
from recent papers by Rhyne et al.
(2012) and Wood et al. (2012) that report
declining trade in wild-harvested
Pacific corals and remarkable growth in
the production and trade in cultured
corals from Pacific countries. Overall,
many comments asserted that a shift
from wild collected corals to cultured
corals is occurring as a result of
increasing aquaculture and mariculture
operations both within the United States
and major source countries such as
Indonesia.
Response: We agree with commenters
that the SRR and proposed rule did not
adequately describe the full scope of the
marine ornamental trade industry and
the contribution of captive culture in
terms of alleviating pressures from wild
collection. We agree that some
significant progress has been made in
terms of shifting from wild collection of
corals to trade of aquacultured and/or
maricultured corals as a result of both
U.S. domestic production and
production of corals in major source
countries such as Indonesia. In addition
to public comments we also collected a
large amount of supplemental
information on coral collection and
trade. Specifically, we collected
information about (1) the physical and
ecological impacts of wild collection of
coral colonies and/or fragments from
their natural habitats; and (2) captive
culture (i.e., mariculture and
aquaculture) including information on
operations and the role of home aquaria
as it relates to trade. All of the public
comments and supporting papers have
been considered and incorporated into
our assessment as described in more
detail in the Threats Evaluation—
Collection and Trade sub-section.
However, this information does not
change our determination that the threat
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is of low importance to the extinction
risk of corals, generally.
Comment 31: We also received
numerous comments that strongly
disagreed with our characterization and
conclusion regarding the adequacy of
regulatory mechanisms within the coral
trade industry, particularly CITES and
other laws in major source countries
such as Indonesia. Many commenters
assert that CITES and various
regulations provide adequate
restrictions and requirements for the
ornamental trade of coral reef species,
such that trade has much less of a
negative impact on the extinction risk of
the 65 coral species than was portrayed
by the proposed rule and supporting
documents. One commenter also
described Indonesia’s development of
regulations for their mariculture
industry that is helping to alleviate wild
collection pressures.
Response: In the proposed rule we
described that there are some
protections afforded via CITES and
various other national regulations in
some countries where trade of coral reef
species is prevalent. However, we agree
that our evaluation of trade regulations
was incomplete. There are numerous
challenges in documenting trends in
trade due to deficiencies of CITES
import and export data, and the most
recent information is conflicting. Some
reports state that 98 percent of reefbuilding corals within the aquarium
trade are still wild collected, with only
two percent originating from
maricultured sources (Thornhill, 2012).
In contrast, another report shows that
maricultured corals accounted for
approximately 20 percent of the trade in
2010 (Wood et al., 2012). Further,
adequate tracking of wild and
maricultured corals along the supply
chain from ocean to aquarium is
extremely difficult, yet necessary for
determining the true dimensions and
impacts of the industry (Cohen et al.,
2013). Additionally, the level of wild
collection of reef-building corals may be
underestimated due to an
undocumented illegal trade and a
significant amount of mortality along
the supply chain from reef to aquarium
(Thornhill, 2012). There are many other
issues and discrepancies related to
assessing the overall impacts of the
trade and the adequacy of regulations
like CITES; however, collection and
trade was ultimately ranked as a low
level threat to corals in general by the
BRT and in the proposed rule. Further,
no one species of coral was determined
to be threatened or endangered solely
due to the effects of the coral trade
industry, and that is still true for the
final determinations in this rule.
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Therefore, while we agree CITES
provides some protections for corals in
the trade industry, we maintain that the
threat from collection and trade is low
and does not dictate the listing status of
any individual species. In addition to
public comments, we collected some
supplemental information on regulatory
mechanisms for the global marine
ornamental trade industry, including
details regarding trade of both live and
dead corals and other coral reef wildlife.
In light of the public comments and
information we received regarding the
ornamental trade industry, the Threat
Evaluation—Collection and Trade subsection discusses the trade and its
impacts to corals in detail, including
information regarding the physical and
ecological impacts as a result of the
collection process, advances in
aquaculture and mariculture industries,
as well as issues and trends in trade of
both live and dead coral. Any speciesspecific information we received on
collection and trade is included in the
Species-specific Information and
Determinations section.
Comments on Inadequacy of Existing
Regulatory Mechanisms (ESA Factor D)
and Conservation Efforts
Comment 32: We received several
comments that critiqued our evaluation
of local regulatory mechanisms and
conservation efforts. Some comments
asserted that we failed to adequately
consider the beneficial effects of local
management actions and conservation
efforts with regard to building reef
resilience in the face of climate change.
For example, we received a comment
letter that stated a broad consensus
exists for management to increase
marine ecosystem resilience to climate
change by reducing local anthropogenic
stressors and reduction of these
stressors may boost the ability of
species, communities, and ecosystems
to tolerate climate-related stresses or
recover after impacts have occurred.
Another commenter emphasized the
importance of local management for
increasing coral reef resiliency,
including management of land-use
changes and water quality, as well as
utilizing coral reef restoration
techniques. Overall, these comments
disagreed with our characterization
regarding the effectiveness of local
regulatory mechanisms and
conservation efforts in the face of
climate change related threats and urged
us to consider the concept of reef
resilience.
Response: We recognize that certain
aspects of local management actions and
conservation efforts need more
explanation than was provided in the
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proposed rule and Management Report
(NMFS, 2012b). This final rule provides
that additional explanation, as
summarized here. There is an emerging
body of literature regarding the concept
of reef resilience, defined as an
ecosystem’s capacity to absorb recurrent
shocks or disturbances and adapt to
change without compromising its
ecological function or structural
integrity (Hughes et al., 2010; Obura,
2005). Recent evidence suggests that
managing local scale disturbances for
resilience will be crucial to maintaining
complex, bio-diverse coral reef
ecosystems given the predicted
widespread impacts of climate change
related threats (Anthony et al., 2011).
Therefore, we recognize that effective
local laws and regulations as well as
conservation projects and programs may
help reduce impacts to corals and coral
reefs from threats on an ecosystem level,
positively affecting the timeframe at
which corals may become in danger of
extinction by providing a protective
temporal buffer (i.e., resiliency) to
individual coral species in the face of
climate change related threats. Some
evidence suggests that local
management actions, particularly of
fisheries (specifically, no-take marine
reserves) and watersheds, can delay reef
loss by at least a decade under
‘‘business-as-usual’’ rises in GHG
emissions (Jackson et al., 2014; Kennedy
et al., 2013; Marshall and Schuttenberg,
2006; Mumby and Steneck, 2011).
However, many scientists strongly
suggest that these local actions be
combined with a low-carbon economy
to prevent further degradation of reef
structures and associated ecosystems
(Kennedy et al., 2013).
We cannot definitively say whether
and to what degree the presence of
regulations in a particular location is
currently conferring resilience benefits
for any particular species. Overall, we
agree that local regulatory actions and
conservation efforts to reduce threats are
imperative for resiliency of coral reef
ecosystems in the face of climate
change. However, for purposes of
evaluating the inadequacy of regulatory
mechanisms as well as conservation
efforts under the ESA, we are unable to
definitively establish the current status
and effectiveness of local regulation of
impacts from local threats for any
particular species in any given location,
with the exception of local regulatory
mechanisms for Acropora palmata and
A. cervicornis, which were evaluated in
detail in the 2005 status review for those
species. Further, we maintain that
global regulations to reduce impacts
from climate change are inadequate at
this time. For more detailed information
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about our evaluation of how local
regulatory mechanisms relate to
building coral reef resilience, please
refer to the Threats Evaluation—
Inadequacy of Existing Regulatory
Mechanisms sub-section. Likewise, for
more detailed information about our
evaluation of conservation efforts please
refer to the Conservation Efforts subsection.
Comment 33: We received some
comments that disagreed with our
characterization of local regulatory
mechanisms in general, asserting that
certain local laws are sufficient for
protection of corals, thus rendering
additional protection via the ESA
unnecessary. For example, we heard
from several commenters who believe
there are adequate regulations to
prohibit the damage of reef-building
corals, such that additional protections
from the ESA are redundant. We also
received comments that disagreed with
our characterization of conservation
efforts. For example, we received a
comment that disagreed with our
conclusion regarding conservation
efforts, asserting that coral conservation
actions already have, and will continue
to, contribute to coral species recovery.
Examples of conservation efforts that
were not included in the Final
Management Report (FMR; NMFS,
2012b) include ongoing coral reef
restoration projects, specifically in
Florida and the wider-Caribbean, as
well as aquaculture and mariculture
efforts both internationally (e.g.,
Indonesia) and within the United States
to try to alleviate wild collection
pressure on coral reef ecosystems.
Comments urged us to take these efforts
into consideration for evaluating the
status of the 65 corals in this final rule.
Response: We recognize that certain
locations have effective local laws,
regulations, and programs that address
local threats and provide for the
protection and conservation of coral
species. For example, it is illegal to
collect or harvest reef-building coral
species in all U.S. states, territories, and
commonwealths. Some laws even
prohibit harming any reef-building coral
species through activities such as boat
groundings and impose penalties and
fines for doing so. However, we must
evaluate whether regulatory
mechanisms are inadequate for corals
across their entire ranges rather than in
any one specific location. Likewise, our
analysis of conservation efforts must
also include the entirety of the species’
ranges, and it must consider whether
those efforts will result in recovering the
species to the point of ameliorating
threats throughout the species’ range to
such a degree that a species should be
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listed as threatened rather than
endangered or even not at all. Therefore,
we cannot solely consider whether
regulations or conservation efforts in the
United States or any other particular
location are sufficient for reducing
threats to corals. The importance of
global climate change-related threats to
the extinction risk of these corals makes
it even more problematic to limit our
assessment of conservation efforts and
the adequacy of regulatory mechanisms
to individual countries. For these corals,
we are required to consider the
adequacy of regulatory mechanisms for
reducing GHG emissions and curbing
the rate of global climate change.
For this final rule, we assessed
regulatory mechanisms and
conservation efforts in a more speciesspecific approach. To better capture the
full breadth of existing regulatory
mechanisms, in addition to the
individual country descriptions in the
Final Management Report, we recharacterized and summarized the
presence of existing regulatory
mechanisms throughout all the
countries in the range of each individual
species. The Inadequacy of Threats
Evaluation—Existing Regulatory
Mechanisms sub-section provides more
detailed information on that range-wide
evaluation process, as well as the
Species Descriptions for the results. For
more detailed information about our
evaluation of the inadequacy of local
management actions, please refer to the
Threats Evaluations—Inadequacy of
Existing Regulatory Mechanisms subsection. For more detailed information
about our evaluation of conservation
efforts, please refer to the Conservation
Efforts sub-section of this rule.
Comment 34: Several comments
identified potential errors, omissions,
and/or inaccurate characterizations
within the Final Management Report
(NMFS, 2012b). For example, we
received a comment letter pointing out
several omissions and inaccuracies
regarding Federal management
responsibilities for an extensive area of
lands and waters in the Pacific Ocean.
Many other comments provided
additional laws, regulations, or
conservation efforts that were not
described in the Final Management
Report or identified previously during
the public engagement period during
the summer of 2012. For example, one
commenter requested our inclusion of
Guam Public law 24–87 that ensures
Guam’s marine preserves are protected
from recreational/commercial activities
that may prove detrimental to fragile
ecosystems. Another commenter
pointed out that we omitted information
regarding certain National Wildlife
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Refuges and National Parks that include
coral reefs. We also received a public
comment letter requesting us to
consider information regarding
Indonesia’s Coral Reef Rehabilitation
and Management Program as a
conservation effort.
Response: We acknowledge that the
Final Management Report had some
minor errors and omissions. However, it
should be noted that the Final
Management Report was not intended to
be an exhaustive document; rather, it
aimed to capture the breadth of existing
regulatory mechanisms and
conservation efforts that may reduce
threat impacts to corals and coral reefs.
Due to the immense number of
regulatory mechanisms that exist
throughout the entire ranges of the 65
coral species (i.e., 84 countries), the
Management Report was not intended to
identify every individual law and
regulation that may have an effect on
corals or their threats in every country
within the species’ ranges. However,
any additional laws and regulations that
were brought to our attention through
the public comments were noted and
considered in the analysis of
inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms presented in this final rule
under the Threats Evaluation—
Inadequacy of Existing Regulatory
Mechanisms sub-section.
Comments on Risk Analyses
Comment 35: We received many
comments regarding the composition of
the BRT. Some comments disagreed
with the selection of BRT members,
asserting that because all seven
members of the BRT were Federal
employees, non-Federal coral biologists
with expertise in the field within
specific regions (e.g., Hawaii) were
overlooked, thus casting doubt on the
qualifications of the BRT members and
the results of the status review. One
comment suggested that the BRT
member votes should have been
weighted to reflect their level of
expertise in the different types of corals
undergoing review. Another comment
stated that it would not be possible for
certain members of the BRT to act in a
neutral or unbiased manner because
they are strong proponents of
establishing Marine Monuments,
sanctuaries, and MPAs for the
protection of coral reef systems
throughout the U.S. Pacific Islands. Yet
another comment stated there was no
independent verification from experts
who did not have a stake in the Federal
ESA listing processes.
Response: According to agency
guidance, members of the BRT should
have expertise in the particular species’
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biology, population dynamics or
ecology, or other relevant disciplines
(e.g., ocean/environmental/climate
processes, analytical techniques,
population genetics, extinction risk, or
pertinent threats). Additionally, NMFS
must also consider team composition in
light of the Federal Advisory Committee
Act (FACA). Generally, any committee
or group established for the purpose of
providing consensus advice or
recommendations to a Federal agency is
subject to the procedural requirements
of FACA. Biological Review Teams are
subject to FACA because their
assessments constitute group advice
upon which NMFS may base its
determinations as to whether to list
species as endangered or threatened
under the ESA. Based on the
requirements of FACA, the team must
therefore be composed of Federal
officials and employees, and specific
classes of state employees, unless
specifically exempted. As such, the
coral BRT was composed of seven
Federal scientists from NMFS’s Pacific
Islands, Northwest, and Southeast
Fisheries Science Centers and the U.S.
Geological Survey and National Park
Service. The members of the BRT are a
diverse group of scientists with
expertise in coral biology, coral ecology,
coral taxonomy, physical oceanography,
global climate change, and coral
population dynamics. Additionally, the
BRT consulted with numerous nonFederal scientists and subject matter
experts during the status review, and
had their work peer reviewed, to ensure
the best available information was
utilized in the SRR. These subject
matter experts are detailed in the
Acknowledgements of the SRR. Last, we
provided extraordinary opportunities
for non-Federal scientists to provide
their expertise prior to the publication
of the proposed rule, including two
scientific workshops held in the
summer of 2012. All information
received was considered in the
proposed rule.
Comment 36: We received numerous
criticisms regarding the evaluation
methods used by the BRT. Many
comments criticized the Critical Risk
Threshold voting method used by the
BRT for developing extinction risk
values for the 82 corals within the
proposed rule. Some comments asserted
that the voting process relied on
subjective opinion rather than scientific
facts, while other comments stated that
the anonymous scoring system by the
BRT could not truly be anonymous.
Still, other comments pointed out
critical errors or flaws in the BRT’s
methods. For example, one comment
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stated that ranking each coral species
relative to the rankings of other coral
species does not inform NMFS of the
risk status of an individual coral
species. Another comment stated the
Critical Risk Threshold graphs have an
inappropriate and misleading
quantitative horizontal axis, which
suggests higher threat levels than
estimated by the BRT. A couple of
comments questioned the assignment of
levels of confidence in the outcomes of
the BRT voting process given the lack of
information on which those outcomes
were based, noting there was not a high
degree of certainty between the experts.
Response: The voting methods used
by the BRT are consistent with previous
agency listing determinations that
utilized similar structured decision
making techniques. This approach is
typically used when quantitative
modeling of extinction risk is not a
viable option due to a lack of precise
quantitative population data. The BRT’s
voting relied upon professional
interpretation of the best available
scientific information at the time,
including qualitative assessments. This
approach allowed the BRT to explicitly
address various ranges of uncertainty
within their voting. We also emphasize
that the determinations in the proposed
rule did not solely rely on information
within the SRR and the voting outcomes
of the BRT. As described previously in
the proposed rule and throughout this
final rule, numerous sources of
information were considered and
incorporated in the listing
determination process, as described in
explicit detail in the Risk Analyses and
Species-specific Information and
Determinations sections. Additionally,
the ESA does not require quantitative
precision when estimating extinction
risk and determining whether a species
warrants listing as threatened or
endangered under the ESA. Rather, the
decision must be reasonable and based
solely on the best scientific and
commercial information available at the
time of the decision, even in light of
considerable uncertainty.
Comment 37: We received several
comments that criticized how the
proposed rule and supporting
documents inferred species’
characteristics based on genus-level
information (i.e., the proposed rule
assumed that information for other
species in the genus applied to the
proposed species in that genus). A few
comments stated that the BRT only
considered threats to the taxonomic
class and therefore it conducted no
individual species threat analysis for
any of the candidate coral species. Most
comments stated that genus-level info
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on response to threats, abundance, and
other characteristics were improperly
extrapolated to species because there are
numerous examples in the literature in
which ecological or physiological traits
are not consistent across species within
a genus.
Response: In the proposed rule, we
relied on higher taxonomic level (i.e.,
genus or family) information for threats
susceptibilities when species-specific
susceptibilities were not available. We
acknowledge that there is intra-genus or
intra-family variability in response to
threats in many cases. In response to
criticism of how the proposed rule and
supporting documents inferred species’
characteristics based on genus-level
information, this final rule does not
automatically assume that genus-level
information for other species in the
genus applies to the proposed species in
that genus. Rather, a careful analysis of
genus-level information is incorporated
into the Species-specific Information
and Determination sections below for
each of the 21 genera in which the 65
species belong. That is, as a preface to
the Species-specific Information and
Determinations for species in a genus,
this final rule includes a description of
the available information for other
species in the genus that are not part of
this final rule, and an analysis of the
degree of applicability of that
information to the species included in
this final rule. Further, in no case in this
final rule do we extrapolate from familylevel information.
Comment 38: We received multiple
comments criticizing the definition of
‘‘foreseeable future’’ in the proposed
rule and supporting documents out to
the year 2100 because it is too far into
the future. One comment stated that
climate change projections beyond 50
years have a high degree of uncertainty
and may be impacted by numerous
unforeseen and unpredictable
circumstances, and thus identifying the
foreseeable future as out to the year
2100 is not appropriate. Another
comment stated that our use of 2100 for
the foreseeable future is contrary to
previous decisions made by FWS and
NMFS, and there have been no
breakthroughs in climate modeling to
justify our new position on the
reliability of long-term climate
modeling.
Response: Consistent with our
practice for all species listing
determinations, we established that the
appropriate period of time
corresponding to the foreseeable future
is a function of the particular type of
threats, the life-history characteristics,
and the specific habitat requirements for
the coral species under consideration.
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The timeframe established for the
foreseeable future considered the time
necessary to provide for the
conservation and recovery of each
threatened species and the ecosystems
upon which they depend. It was also a
function of the reliability of available
data regarding the identified threats and
extends only as far as the data allow for
making reasonable predictions about the
species’ response to those threats. In the
proposed rule, we explained that our
choice of the year 2100 as the
‘‘foreseeable future’’ for analysis of
global climate change was based on
AR4’s use of 2100 as the end-point for
most of its global climate change
models. Similarly, most of AR5’s WGI
models also use 2100 as the end-point
(some models go beyond 2100) and
AR5’s WGI reinforces our original
rationale for defining the foreseeable
future as the period of time from the
present to the year 2100. For global
climate change threats, there is strong
support for considering the foreseeable
future as the period from the present to
2100 in AR5’s WGI and its cited
literature (IPCC, 2013). However, we
agree that the foreseeable future for
purposes of other threats to the species
and the species’ responses thereto does
not necessarily extend out to 2100.
Therefore, in this final rule, we clarify
that 2100 simply marks the outer
temporal bounds for consideration of
climate change-related threats, and does
not frame our analysis across all threats
or our ultimate listing determinations.
Further discussion of the foreseeable
future is presented in the Foreseeable
Future subsections of the Threats
Evaluation and Risk Analysis sections
below.
Comment 39: There were many
comments on the quantity and quality of
information used to make listing
decisions for the candidate coral species
in the proposed rule. Several comments
stated that the present biological data do
not support the proposed listings. They
stated that the available science was
insufficient and not compelling enough
to demonstrate the need to make a
decision under the ESA. A few
comments criticized the use of IUCN
data as a surrogate for ‘‘true scientific
data’’ on species distribution and
abundance. Many comments stated that
useful information was available,
especially on coral trade and
mariculture, but the BRT did not use it,
which led to serious errors in the SRR.
The study by Rhyne et al. (2012) was
given as an example. Other comments
stated that there was little data
regarding individual species’ population
numbers and trends, so NMFS did not
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conduct the species-specific analyses
required under the ESA. In general, the
commenters indicated that the voting
process by the BRT seemed very
subjective, with the results coming from
the individual scientists’ perception of
extinction rather than solid scientific
data.
Response: The proposed rule and the
SRR did conduct a species by species
analysis of extinction risk for each of the
candidate corals. However, in the
proposed rule, the presentation of the
information on which we based our
determinations may have been unclear
because of our use of the Determination
Tool as an organizational mechanism to
present the enormous amount of data. In
response to criticism of the lack of
sufficient species-specific information
in the proposed rule and supporting
documents on distribution, abundance,
threat susceptibilities, and other
information, this final rule clarifies and
explains how the information relating to
the taxonomic, field identification,
distribution, abundance, life history,
threat susceptibilities, and management
information for each of the 65 coral
species were evaluated in reaching the
final listing determinations. The
presentation of the information includes
the information on which the proposed
rule was based, information submitted
by public comments, and information
we gathered after the proposed rule
published. The information was also
analyzed in an integrated, nonformulaic framework instead of in a
linear, formulaic framework as it was in
the Determination Tool. The resulting
information provides the basis for the 65
listing determinations in this final rule.
In addition, while IUCN listings were
used by the petitioner as one criterion
for selecting coral species in the original
2009 petition, and IUCN maps were
used in the 2011 SRR, no IUCN data or
information is used in this final rule
because it does not represent the current
best available species-specific
information. To explain more clearly the
changes from the proposed to the final
listings, we included an Overview of
Methods and Key Changes Applied in
Final Determination Framework subsection within the Risk Analyses section
to illustrate how all of the available
information was considered for each
species and how it contributed to each
species’ listing status. As a result, the 65
species-specific determinations below
are based on the best available speciesspecific information and improves upon
the proposed rule.
Comment 40: We received a couple of
comments disagreeing with the
characterization of the level of
extinction risk inherent for a species
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due to its occurrence in the Caribbean.
One comment stated that the BRT’s
determination that the entire Caribbean
is sufficiently limited in geographic
scale to be a factor that increases the
extinction risk of all corals in the
Caribbean is at odds with genetic data.
The commenter provided references
(Baums et al., 2005b; Baums et al.,
2006a; Murdoch and Aronson, 1999;
Vollmer and Palumbi, 2007) that show
that, while it is clear that regional-scale
processes such as bleaching and disease
are acting on all these reefs
simultaneously, no two reefs or areas
respond the same to these disturbances.
Another comment asserted that no
threat to Caribbean Acropora is
imminent, and therefore endangered
listings are not supportable for these
species.
Response: Geographic distribution is
one of many factors we must evaluate to
determine a species’ status. We agree
with commenters that an inherent
increase in extinction risk solely due to
occurrence in the Caribbean is not
accurate; rather, the ratings in the
Determination Tool regarding basin
occupancy were an inadvertent function
of comparing the Caribbean basin to the
Indo-Pacific basin. That is, the
automatic increase in extinction risk for
species occurring in the smaller, more
disturbed Caribbean was only relative in
comparison to species occurring in the
larger, less disturbed Indo-Pacific. In
light of public comments, we
determined that absolute range size in
both the Caribbean and Indo-pacific was
inadvertently under-estimated in the
proposed rule. As a result, we now give
consideration to geographic distribution
in terms of absolute size rather than
relative size in both the Caribbean and
Indo-Pacific. We still maintain that the
Caribbean is a highly disturbed basin
that has experienced loss of resilience;
however, the reconsideration of absolute
distribution represents one piece of a
more holistic approach to linking each
species’ characteristics to each species’
status. The implications of occurrence
in the Caribbean and more detailed
descriptions of geographic ranges and
how they may affect extinction risk are
now provided in more detail for all
species individually in the Risk
Analyses and Species-specific
Information and Determinations
sections below.
We also explicitly incorporated
consideration of regional and local
variability in response to threats. We
have also endeavored to provide a
clearer discussion of how we assessed
the vulnerability of each coral species,
not just the Caribbean Acropora, to the
major threats. The evolution of the
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Determination Tool into a more
comprehensive Determination
Framework is described in the Risk
Analyses section of this final rule
below.
Comments on the Determination Tool
Comment 41: Commenters criticized
that the Determination Tool equated
species’ characteristics to outcomes
without adequate rationale. For
example, one commenter stated that the
Determination Tool suffers from a lack
of transparency because we did not
provide any information regarding how
the rating values in the Determination
Tool were assigned, who made the
determinations, what their expertise
was, or on what basis the decisions were
made.
Several comments stated that the
Determination Tool’s decision points
and resulting outcomes depended on
species-specific information that was
not available. For example, one
commenter asserted that there is little to
no experimental data provided in the
proposed rule documentation to support
the ratings used in the Determination
Tool. Another commenter noted that
there is almost no information on many
of the species’ abundances, geographic
ranges, trends or recruitment rates, and
that the ratings for these were based
solely on qualitative opinion. Similarly,
another commenter used ocean
acidification as an example, stating that
due to the large degree of uncertainty
regarding the impacts of ocean
acidification on coral species it is
difficult to quantify the level of risk
ocean acidification poses to the species.
The commenter concluded by stating
that assigning levels of ocean
acidification-associated risk within the
Determination Tool is a difficult
proposition. Another commenter
deemed the Determination Tool analysis
and results arbitrary. The commenter
stated that the analysis and results of
the Determination Tool were based on
the same faulty assumptions,
extrapolations, assessments, and
approximations of the seven BRT
members and were based on very little,
if any, species-specific spatial
distribution or abundance data for a
number of the proposed species.
Commenters claimed the
Determination Tool was flawed and
equated species’ characteristics to
listing outcomes too conservatively,
especially for proposed endangered
species. We received a detailed
comment letter that outlined several
criticisms of the Determination Tool and
its four elements with regard to species
outcomes. The Determination Tool was
labeled faulty because it was deemed
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inherently biased towards listing. The
commenter criticized that the first
element in the Determination Tool was
just a re-hash of the BRT’s highly
subjective ranking of threats and
vulnerabilities. The commenter also
asserted that nowhere in the four
elements of the Determination Tool is
there a discussion of imminence or a
discussion of why we considered a
species that meets any of the four factors
to be ‘‘on the brink’’ of extinction. The
commenter asserted that we not only
failed to adhere to the legal standard of
endangered, but we did so on extremely
poor evidence. Further, the commenter
criticized the results of the BRT voting
as well as the Determination Tool for
ranking each of the coral species’ in a
relative fashion, and as a result, asserted
that our approach in determining
extinction risk for each species was
flawed.
Several comments pointed out
additional perceived flaws in the
Determination Tool. For example, one
commenter stated that the
Determination Tool dismissed the
potential benefits of management
efforts. Another commenter noted that
the Determination Tool did not
incorporate or consider projections of
adaptation potential over the foreseeable
future (i.e., 2100). More specifically, the
commenter asserted that the
Determination Tool did not sufficiently
consider the ability of corals to migrate
(i.e., undergo range expansion/shift) and
adapt to changing conditions, especially
when local stressors are well managed.
One commenter also suggested that the
Determination Tool conflicted with the
SRR (e.g., by giving too much weight to
distribution when the range maps that
the BRT relied upon were not precise).
Similarly, commenters also criticized us
for overemphasizing the importance of
qualitative rankings for species’
abundance (e.g., common, uncommon,
rare) in the Determination Tool, stating
that a coral species’ rarity does not
necessarily correspond to its
vulnerability to extinction.
Response: We acknowledge that
several aspects of the process by which
we produced our determinations in the
proposed rule were not described or
explained clearly enough. The
Determination Tool in the proposed rule
was a central aspect of a larger overall
framework for making our decisions, as
it organized and standardized our
presentation of the risk factors, but we
acknowledge that the larger
determination framework was not
sufficiently explained in the proposed
rule. This lack of a clear explanation led
to an overemphasis on and
misunderstanding of the Determination
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Tool, which was one component of the
determination framework. To better
explain how the Determination Tool
assessed risk and derived listing
statuses we conclude that, as some
public comments suggested, the
Determination Tool was too linear and
deterministic. We describe our final
determination framework in greater
detail in the Risk Analyses—Final
Determination Framework sub-section
below, and utilize a more holistic
approach in considering all of the
available information for each species.
As described in that section, the nonformulaic approach used in this final
rule, is more species-specific, and
allowed us to address the concern that
sufficient species-specific information
was not available.
In summary, the Final Determination
Framework in this final rule is
composed of seven elements. The first
element is describing the statutory
standards for corals. The second, third,
fourth, and fifth elements are
identifying and analyzing all the
appropriate species-specific and general
characteristics that influence extinction
risk for a coral species. The sixth
element is relating a species’
characteristics to a particular extinction
risk at appropriate spatial and temporal
scales. The seventh element is explicitly
stating how each species’ extinction risk
meets the statutory listing definitions as
applied to corals, resulting in an
ultimate listing status. As a last
consideration, we determine if any
conservation efforts are abating the
threats to the species such that it
changes the individual species’ listing
status (i.e., an endangered species’
extinction risk is reduced such that it is
threatened or that a threatened species
is not warranted). This method of
implementing our Final Determination
Framework for every species
individually is intended to be more
transparent, by showing how complete
use is made of available information to
reach individual listing decisions.
We believe that there is still
significant value in applying a
standardized framework to each of the
species to ensure consistency
throughout the 65 individual
determinations, but now do that in a
narrative fashion in which there are no
recipes or formulas for endangered,
threatened, and not warranted species.
This approach allows for the
consideration of the system as a whole
(i.e., synergistically evaluating each
species’ demography, spatial
characteristics, threat susceptibilities,
and current and future environmental
conditions independently of the other
species), leading us to species-specific
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conclusions about vulnerability to
extinction.
In response to the criticism that the
Determination Tool did not
appropriately evaluate the imminence of
danger of extinction in proposing to list
corals as endangered, in this final rule
we more fully explain the biological
characteristics and distinctions between
endangered and threatened corals, and
corals not warranting listing under the
ESA, and relate each species’ particular
characteristics to one of those
classifications. These characteristics and
the distinctions between them as they
relate to the three ESA classifications
are explained in the Statutory Standards
sub-section of the Risk Analyses section.
Comments on Significant Portion of Its
Range (SPOIR)
Comment 42: We received one
comment regarding the identification of
a significant portion of its range to
support not warranted determinations
for the proposed coral species found in
Hawaii. The commenter asserted that
the species of corals proposed for listing
in Hawaii are abundant, relatively
healthy, and relatively insulated from
impacts of the primary identified
threats. As a result, the species will
presumably persist in Hawaii, despite
more immediate threats in other
portions of their ranges, ultimately
preventing the species from going
extinct. Thus, the commenter argues
that a significant portion of its range
should be identified for these species,
rendering the species not warranted for
listing.
Response: The commenter
misunderstands the function of the
SPOIR analysis. As discussed in the
Statutory Standard sub-section below, a
SPOIR analysis is performed to ensure
that a species that has been found not
to be endangered or threatened based on
the range-wide analysis is still
considered for listing if any portions of
its range meet the criteria of the SPOIR
Final Policy. Therefore, the function of
a SPOIR is not to avoid a listing but to
still consider a listing. In any case, as
described in the Risk Analyses section
below, the results of our analysis of
SPOIR are unchanged from the
proposed rule, after considering all
comments and supplemental
information. At this time, no SPOIR is
determinable for any of the proposed
species. Thus, our analysis of each
species at the range-wide level is
determinative, and no portions of the
range require further examination.
Nevertheless, we agree with the general
underlying premise of the comment,
which is that if a species has significant
areas of refugia or diversity of habitat,
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those are factors that provide additional
buffering against extinction risk. We
have incorporated that consideration in
the final rule through our Final
Determination Framework and speciesspecific evaluations.
Comments on Listing Determinations
Comment 43: We received numerous
comments referring to the actual listing
determinations of the 82 candidate coral
species in the proposed rule. Many of
those comments referred to specific
coral species and to specific aspects of
those species determinations. Those
comments are discussed in detail in the
Caribbean Species: Listing
Determinations, Indo-Pacific Species:
Listing Determinations, and
Reclassification of Acropora palmata
and A. cervicornis comment response
sections below. The other comments
regarding listing determinations
centered on the lack of species-specific
information on which the species
determinations were based. Some
comments were very skeptical that the
assumptions being made from limited
scientific information on individual
coral species, which the proposed rule
recognized, could justify the listing
proposals. These commenters asserted
that further studies and surveys should
be performed to gather factual and
relevant data on the status of the coral
species, which could potentially change
the assumptions used to make the
listing determinations. Some comments
specifically stated that a much better
understanding of the global distribution
and abundance of the species, including
developing better species distribution
maps, is critical to making an informed
listing decision. Yet other comments
stated that the proposed rule did not
take into account the variability of
response to threats that corals can have
based on species, location, habitat type,
and other factors that define an
individual coral. Other comments
suggested that NMFS was using global
climate predictions as a substitute
measure for species population and
distribution information for listing
purposes.
Response: We recognize that speciesspecific information was fairly limited
for many of the proposed species.
However, since the proposed rule was
published, we have received or
collected information for all species,
including supplemental distribution
and abundance information for 63 of the
65 species in this final rule as a result
of the data collection effort by Veron
(2014). In addition to updating all of the
general information regarding coral reef
biology, ecology, demography, and
threat susceptibilities, we also
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incorporated this supplemental
information in our discussions in the
individual species-specific listing
determinations in that section of this
final rule. In light of the supplemental
species-specific information, and the
change to a more holistic and speciesspecific determination framework, we
considered the ability of each species’
distribution and abundance traits to
affect vulnerability to extinction in the
context of the statutory definitions of
threatened and endangered for each
species. In most cases, this
consideration led to changes in listing
status from the proposed rule. These
species-specific assessments consider
all of the public comments and available
information for each species and
provide a detailed description of what is
and is not known for each species,
including susceptibilities to all
identified threats and vulnerability to
extinction
Comment 44: We received several
letters alerting us to an extensive
ongoing effort by coral expert, Dr. J.E.N.
‘‘Charlie’’ Veron, to gather previously
unpublished information for all reefbuilding corals of the world, including
the 65 corals in this final rule. The
resulting report (Veron, 2014) updates
species-specific information on semiquantitative (i.e., survey data from 2,984
individual sites) and qualitative
population abundance estimates (i.e.,
Veron’s subjective estimates covering a
full range of habitats and most
ecoregions the author has worked in),
geographic distribution, principle
habitat, and identification issues.
Comments stated that given the lack of
species-specific information on
quantitative abundances and geographic
distribution for most of our Indo-Pacific
species, this effort proves extremely
relevant to our listing decisions within
this final rule.
Response: We agree with comments
that information from Veron (2014)
supplemented the existing speciesspecific information relied on in the
proposed rule and that this information
is relevant to the determinations made
in this final rule. Thus, the
supplemental information received in
the report (Veron, 2014) was made
available to the public on NOAA’s Web
site, and has been incorporated into the
Species-specific Information and
Determinations section for the 63
species covered in the report, Veron
(2014) does not cover non-scleractinian
corals in his report, and thus did not
provide information for the Millepora
species in this final rule).
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Comments on Alternatives To Listing
Under the ESA
Comment 45: We received several
comments that suggested alternatives to
ESA listing such as Candidate
Conservation Agreements (CCAs),
adding the proposed corals to the
Species of Concern list, and extending
the time period in which to make a
determination to allow for the gathering
of additional scientific data. One
commenter suggested using CCAs, citing
lack of species-specific information and
other concerns as justification.
Comments also asserted that because
NOAA has no authority under the ESA
to protect corals from climate change,
CCAs could provide the same
conservation benefits as ESA listings.
Response: While we acknowledge that
CCAs provide conservation value for
candidate species, no such agreements
exist for any of the proposed species.
Therefore, we are unable to determine a
species’ status on the basis of the
conservation provided by a CCA.
Further, in the Conservation Efforts
section we determined that there are no
conservation efforts currently or
planned in the future that are expected
to improve the overall status of any of
the 65 coral species in this final rule,
such that the additional protections
provided by the ESA are not warranted.
We also considered the potential for
utilizing the Species of Concern
designation, which was suggested in
lieu of ESA listings due to a lack of
species-specific information and
taxonomic uncertainty. This designation
can be used if we decide a species is not
warranted for listing under the ESA
because we are unable to confidently
assess the level of extinction risk, even
qualitatively. Ultimately, based on the
best available scientific information, we
concluded that all 65 corals within this
final rule are determinable species
under the ESA. We also concluded that
we have enough information to
qualitatively assess the level of
extinction risk and make listing
determinations for most of the 65
species in this final rule with some
degree of confidence. The species that
are determined to be not warranted for
listing due to a lack of sufficient
information to assess their status are
clearly described as such in the
individual species determinations.
Those species may be considered for
inclusion on the Species of Concern list
after this listing rule becomes final.
Extending the time period in which to
make final species determinations in
order to collect more scientific data is
not permissible under the ESA. We are
required to use the best scientific and
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commercial data available within the
applicable statutory timeframes for
responding to petitions, as the basis for
our final determinations.
Comment 46: We received comments
that criticized our proposed
determinations due to their assumed
inconsistency with other recent agency
decisions, such as the Not Warranted
bumphead parrotfish 12-month finding,
and the negative Alaska deep-sea corals
90-day finding. Comments cited a lack
of adequate species-specific information
and taxonomic uncertainty as
justification for the previous not
warranted and negative determinations
for bumphead parrotfish and Alaskan
corals, and claimed that the proposed
rule for the 68 reef-building corals
suffers from the same level of
uncertainty. Comments thus concluded
that NOAA’s decision to propose 68
reef-building corals for listing under the
ESA is inconsistent with previous
agency decisions and that there is a lack
of adequate species-specific information
to proceed with final listings.
Response: We respond to each
petition based on the information
presented within that petition and, if we
conduct a status review, on the best
scientific and commercial information
available for each petitioned species at
the time. We disagree that this final rule
for 65 reef-building corals is
inconsistent with our previous Not
Warranted 12-month finding for the
bumphead parrotfish. Primary threats to
bumphead parrotfish, a coral reefassociated fish, were determined to be
adult harvest and juvenile habitat loss.
As a result of a thorough status review,
the bumphead parrotfish received a Not
Warranted determination largely due to
its current abundance, life history,
existing local management in the form
of spear fishing regulations, and
protections for mangrove habitat.
Overall, the differences between
bumphead parrotfish and the reefbuilding corals in this final rule are vast;
however, we have complied with the
requirements set forth under the ESA in
each case.
Likewise, we disagree that this final
rule is inconsistent with the negative
90-day finding for 44 Alaska deep-sea
corals. The Alaska deep-sea coral
species are non-reef building and
exhibit many different characteristics
than shallow-water tropical corals,
which have been comparatively well
researched. The Alaska corals were
petitioned due to climate change related
threats, as well as physical threats from
commercial fisheries. NOAA considered
these factors, but found that there are no
empirical studies that have shown
harmful effects of climate change related
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threats to these deep-sea corals or to
similar corals in the area. Additionally,
ocean acidification research cited in the
petition was conducted on mostly
tropical, reef-building corals that are
very different from deep-sea corals; no
inference could be made about the
potential effects to the status of deep-sea
corals from this information. Finally,
there have been large swaths of fishing
ground closures in Alaska since 2005
and NOAA determined that these
closures were sufficient for protecting
deep-water corals from bottom-contact
fishing activities. Overall, differences
between the Alaska deep-water corals
and the reef-building corals in this final
rule are vast; however, we have
complied with the requirements set
forth under the ESA in each case.
Comments on Caribbean Species:
Listing Determinations
Comment 47: We received some
comments that expressed disagreement
with our proposed threatened
determinations for some Caribbean
species. For example, one comment
disagreed with our proposed threatened
listing of Dichocoenia stokesi, citing the
following as justification: Large
population numbers (even after the
White Plague Type II epidemic), broad
distribution among multiple habitat
types (especially hard-bottom habitats),
high relative abundance among all
corals in the region, and the presently
low prevalence of White Plague Type II.
Another comment stated that D. stokesi
is among the most common species in
Florida, and that population estimates
approached 100 million colonies in
2005, with no apparent downward
trend. In addition, we received
comments about the proposed
threatened determination for Agaricia
lamarcki. Comments argued that due to
potentially larger populations not yet
surveyed in deeper waters, the
threatened status for A. lamarcki is not
warranted. Many comments disagreed
with the proposed endangered
determinations for the Orbicella
(formerly Montastraea) annularis
complex (i.e., O. annularis, O. faveolata,
and O. franksi). One comment provided
information from van Woesik et al.
(2012) as justification for listing O.
annularis complex as threatened rather
than endangered. Other comments
submitted a technical report (Miller et
al., 2013) from the Nova Southeastern
University on population abundance
estimates and trends for the Caribbean
coral species in the Florida Keys, in
opposition to all proposed endangered
listing determinations, including the
proposed endangered determinations for
the Orbicella species as well as
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Dendrogyra cylindrus and
Mycetophyllia ferox. Miller et al. (2013)
provided recommended changes to the
proposed listing statuses for each of the
proposed Caribbean species using their
population and distribution estimates as
support. We received other comment
letters that also noted the large
population abundances of several of the
Caribbean species, despite some local
declines (i.e., O. annularis and O.
faveolata). One comment also noted that
for five of the Caribbean species (i.e., O.
franksi, D. cylindrus, M. ferox, D.
stokesi, and A. lamarcki) there is a
complete lack of population data to
support ESA listings. We also received
information regarding the ecology of O.
annularis and O. faveolata in opposition
to their proposed endangered
determinations, but supporting
threatened listings. One comment
argued that the total population number
estimates of these two species are very
large and that, in light of their broad
depth ranges and multi-habitat
distributions, these species are
relatively resistant (in ecologic time) to
extinction. Accordingly, the comment
asserted that these species’ potential
listing is contrary to their ecology,
especially in light of their remaining
substantial population numbers both in
Florida and throughout their range.
Response: Since the proposed rule
was published, we received and
collected supplemental information for
all the Caribbean species, including
updated distribution and abundance
information. Therefore, we updated and
expanded our individual speciesspecific descriptions in the Speciesspecific Information and Determinations
section for all 65 reef-building corals
within this final rule. These speciesspecific assessments consider the public
comments and available information for
each species, and explain what is and is
not known for each species, including
susceptibilities to the identified threats
and overall vulnerability to extinction.
Further, as described in earlier comment
responses, we now more fully consider
the ability of abundance, distribution
and habitat heterogeneity to affect
vulnerability to extinction in the context
of the statutory definitions of threatened
and endangered as applied to corals.
The reconsiderations of the spatial and
demographic factors contributed to
changes in all the Caribbean species’
statuses in this final rule. Thus, as
described in detail in the Speciesspecific Information and Determinations
section, based on the public comments,
best available information, and the Final
Determination Framework, we are
revising our proposal to list O.
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annularis, O. faveolata, O. franksi, D.
cylindrus, and M. ferox as endangered
species. Our final determination for
these species is to list them as
threatened species. We have determined
D. stokesi and A. lamarcki do not
warrant listing.
Comments on Indo-Pacific Species:
Listing Determinations
Comment 48: We received several
comments regarding our proposed
threatened and endangered
determinations for various Indo-Pacific
species. Several comments disagreed
with our proposed threatened
determinations for the Hawaiian
Montipora clades (M. dilitata/flabellata/
turgescens and M. patula/verrilli). As
described in more detail below,
comments disagreed with the status of
these clades and suggested they be
assessed individually rather than
lumped into groups (see Comment 49
below for more details). Taxonomic
uncertainty as it relates to the Genus
Montipora and the decision to lump
these two groups of species is addressed
in more detail in the response to
comments on taxonomic uncertainty
(Comment 3 above). Comments also
asserted that the Montipora clades not
only have significantly large geographic
ranges, but also include some of the
most common coral species in Hawaii,
thus rendering these clades not
warranted for threatened listing. We
received many other comments that
disagreed with the proposed threatened
determinations for a number of the
Indo-Pacific coral species, but we did
not receive any additional substantive
information or data for consideration of
those arguments.
One commenter provided information
regarding the proposed endangered
status of Pocillopora elegans in the
Eastern Pacific. Evidence from
southwestern Nicaragua suggests that P.
elegans has undergone extensive
mortality, with only a few fragmented
and small colonies persisting. The data
provided, while limited, supports a
wider body of evidence suggesting
particular vulnerability of P. elegans in
the Eastern Pacific Ocean. However, as
described above in Comments on
Taxonomic Uncertainty in Reef-building
Corals, new information on Pocillopora
species has resulted in our
determination that P. elegans is not
determinable under the ESA.
The main argument against our
proposed endangered determinations for
Indo-Pacific species is a lack of
adequate species-specific information to
support an endangered status. For
example, one comment letter noted the
percentage of references used in the SRR
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that provided species-specific
information for each of the proposed
endangered species (e.g., only two
percent, 5.9 percent and 9.4 percent of
the references used in the SRR provided
species-specific information for
Acropora rudis, Acropora lokani, and
Acropora jacquelineae, respectively).
We also received comments regarding
the proposed endangered
determinations for various Acropora
species, particularly A. lokani and A.
jacquelineae. For example, one
comment emphasized the lack of
adequate data for the proposed
endangered determination of A.
jacquelineae, citing questionable
taxonomic status and lack of density
estimates and distribution information.
Likewise, another comment criticized
the proposed endangered determination
for A. lokani, stating that there is
virtually no published information
available for this species. Another
comment letter recommended
threatened designations for A.
jacquelineae, A. lokani, and A. rudis
rather than endangered, based on van
Woesik et al. (2012), and stated that
Euphyllia paradivisa absolutely does
not warrant endangered status. We
received other comments in
disagreement with our proposed
endangered determinations, but they
did not include any other substantive
information or data to consider.
Response: We recognize that speciesspecific information was limited for
many of the Indo-Pacific species. Since
the proposed rule was published,
however, we have received or collected
supplemental information for several
species, including updated distribution
and abundance information for 63 of the
65 species in this final rule as a result
of the data collection effort by Veron
(2014). As a result, we substantially
updated and expanded our individual
species-specific descriptions in the
Species-specific Information and
Determinations section for all 65 reefbuilding corals within this final rule.
These species-specific assessments
consider all of the public comments and
available information for each species,
and provide a detailed description of
what is and is not known for each
species, including vulnerabilities to all
identified threats.
Comment 49: We received some
comments that provided speciesspecific information for various IndoPacific species that is being applied in
this final rule. The species-specific
information we received predominantly
relates to relative abundance and
geographic distributions. We
specifically received comments on
abundance for the following Indo-
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Pacific species: Acropora aspera, Porites
nigrescens, Acropora diversa, and
Isopora cuneata. We specifically
received comments on distribution for
the following Indo-Pacific species:
Alveopora allingi, Acropora palmerae,
Acropora paniculata, Acropora
jacquelineae, Acropora rudis, Euphyllia
paradivisa, Acanthastrea brevis,
Acanthastrea ishigakiensis,
Acanthastrea regularis, Acropora
globiceps, Acropora lokani, Acropora
striata, Alveopora fenestrata, Alveopora
verilliana, Astreopora cucullata,
Barabattoia laddi, Euphyllia
paraancora, Millepora tuberosa, Pavona
diffluens, Pocillopora danae, Acropora
verweyi, and the Montipora clades that
are discussed in more detail below. We
received several detailed comment
letters that provided species-specific
information regarding the Hawaiian
Montipora clades (i.e., Montipora
dilatata/flabellata/turgescens and
Montipora patula/verrilli). Several of the
comments provided references to
journal articles or other reports as new
species-specific information. Some of
those references were already available
to NMFS and some constituted
supplemental information we did not
consider in the proposed rule. We
received three comments specific to
genetics of Indo-Pacific species
specifically referring to Pavona species
at mesophotic depths and to Pocillopora
species. Species-specific comments
regarding taxonomy were specific to
Acropora acuminata, Acropora
paniculata, and Acropora polystoma.
Comments with species-specific
information on threat vulnerabilities
applied to Acropora aculeus, Acropora
aspera, Acropora paniculata, Acropora
polystoma, Montipora patula,
Montipora flabellata, Pocillopora
elegans, Porites horizontalata, and
Seriatopora aculeata.
Response: Overall, most of the
supplemental information we received
for the Indo-Pacific species was specific
to certain geographic locations;
however, we must evaluate the status of
the species throughout the entirety of
their ranges. As described in earlier
comment responses, we now more fully
consider the ability of spatial and
demographic traits, as well as the
heterogeneous habitats occupied by all
of the Indo-Pacific species, to affect
vulnerability to extinction in the context
of the statutory definitions of threatened
and endangered for each species. For
many of the Indo-Pacific species, their
geographic ranges include waters
between the east coast of Africa and
French Polynesia. As described in detail
in the Species-specific Information and
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Determinations section, based on the
Final Determination Framework and
supplemental information, we are
maintaining our proposals to list
Acropora globiceps, Acropora
pharaonis, Acropora retusa, Acropora
speciosa, Acropora tenella, Isopora
crateriformis, Montipora australiensis,
Pavona diffluens, Porites napopora, and
Seriatopora aculeata as threatened in
this final rule. Five Indo-Pacific coral
species determinations changed from
endangered in the proposed rule to
threatened in the final rule: Acropora
jacquelineae, Acropora lokani,
Acropora rudis, Anacropora spinosa,
and Euphyllia paradivisa. Forty IndoPacific coral species’ determinations
changed from threatened in the
proposed rule to not warranted in the
final rule: Acanthastrea brevis,
Acanthastrea hemprichii, Acanthastrea
ishigakiensis, Acanthastrea regularis,
Acropora aculeus, Acropora acuminata,
Acropora aspera, Acropora dendrum,
Acropora donei, Acropora horrida,
Acropora listeri, Acropora microclados,
Acropora palmerae, Acropora
paniculata, Acropora polystoma,
Acropora striata, Acropora vaughani,
Acropora verweyi, Alveopora allingi,
Alveopora fenestrata, Alveopora
verrilliana, Anacropora puertogalerae,
Astreopora cucullata, Barabattoia laddi,
Caulastrea echinulata, Euphyllia
cristata, Euphyllia paraancora, Isopora
cuneata, Millepora tuberosa, Montipora
angulata, Montipora calcarea,
Montipora caliculata, Montipora
dilatata/flabellata/turgescens,
Montipora lobulata, Montipora patula/
verrilli, Pachyseris rugosa, Pectinia
alcicornis, Physogyra lichtensteini,
Porites horizontalata, and Porites
nigrescens. Finally, Millepora foveolata
changed from endangered in the
proposed rule to not warranted in the
final rule.
Last, as described in Comment 2,
three coral species determinations
changed from endangered or threatened
in the proposed rule to not determinable
in the final rule: Pocillopora elegans
(eastern Pacific) warranted listing as
endangered in the proposed rule but
was considered not determinable in the
final rule, and Pocillopora danae and
Pocillopora elegans (Indo-Pacific)
warranted listing as threatened in the
proposed rule but were considered not
determinable in the final rule.
Comments on Reclassification of
Acropora palmata and Acropora
cervicornis
Comment 50: Several comments
disagreed with our proposal to reclassify
the Caribbean species A. cervicornis and
A. palmata from threatened to
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endangered. Most comments agreed
with the current status of threatened for
the Caribbean acroporid species. Many
comments cited increasing abundances,
recovering populations, and significant
advances in active restoration projects
as justification for not reclassifying
them as endangered. One comment
opposed the proposed reclassification,
citing population numbers (Miller et al.,
2013), genetic diversity (Hemond and
Vollmer, 2010), forward-looking
population models and extinction
models based on paleontological data
(van Woesik et al., 2012), and a better
understanding of the causes of and
resistance to mortality (Kline and
Vollmer, 2011; Vollmer and Kline, 2008)
as justification. Comments also stated
that there has been no significant
change in the population status of the
acroporids since their initial listing in
2006, and populations are relatively
stable and recovering in some areas.
One commenter also emphasized that A.
cervicornis in particular does not
warrant endangered listing status due to
its presence throughout its entire
biogeographical range, population
expansion northward in south Florida,
and its ability to still reproduce
sexually. One commenter asserted that
reclassifying the Caribbean Acropora
species to endangered is not warranted
because the threats to these species are
not imminent. Additionally, many
comments cited the growing number of
successful restoration projects
throughout southeast Florida and the
Caribbean (Hollarsmith et al., 2012;
Johnson et al., 2011; Young et al., 2012)
that continue to aid in conservation of
acroporids and help recover genetically
viable populations. Overall, comments
suggest the Caribbean acroporids should
remain threatened under the ESA, and
do not warrant reclassification to
endangered status. However, we did
receive one comment letter in support of
the reclassifications for the Caribbean
acroporids.
Response: As described previously,
we have revised and provided a clearer
explanation of our decision-making
framework to further strengthen our
final listing determinations. As with all
other species in this final rule, we
updated all of the general information
regarding coral reef biology, ecology,
demography, and threat susceptibilities
relevant to the Caribbean acroporids,
and thus we substantially updated and
expanded our individual speciesspecific descriptions for these species in
the Species-specific Information and
Determinations section. Further, as
previously described in earlier comment
responses, we more fully consider in
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this final rule the ability of spatial and
demographic traits, as well as habitat
heterogeneity, to affect vulnerability of
the Caribbean acroporids to extinction
in the context of the statutory
definitions of threatened and
endangered for corals.
We also carefully considered the
significant progress of active restoration
projects in the state of Florida and the
wider-Caribbean. We agree that these
efforts confer conservation and potential
recovery benefits for the species;
however, these efforts, to date, are very
limited in scale compared to the species
ranges and should not be considered a
panacea for conserving and recovering
the Caribbean acroporids. The
Conservation Efforts section of this rule
provides more information on active
coral reef restoration efforts. As
described in detail in the Speciesspecific Information and Determinations
section, based on the Final
Determination Framework and
supplemental information, we are
changing our proposal to reclassify A.
palmata and A. cervicornis as
endangered species. Acropora palmata
and A. cervicornis will remain listed as
threatened species.
Comments on Effects of Listing
Comment 51: We received several
comments that described potential
negative effects that could result from
ESA coral listings. These include
regulatory burdens in the form of permit
applications and other various
paperwork, consultations and biological
opinions, postponement of in-water
maintenance activities, and increased
costs associated with harbor
improvement projects. We also received
numerous comments expressing
concern about impacts to cultural
practices as a result of listing, including
native artists’ livelihoods, reef access by
indigenous peoples, fishing, lime
production, customary navigation and
seafaring, and specifically native
Hawaiian recreational and cultural
practices, and the cultural needs and
practices of American Samoa. One
comment expressed concern that
reclassifying A. palmata and A.
cervicornis from threatened to
endangered will impede ongoing
restoration and recovery efforts. We
received one comment encouraging
NMFS to make sure we have adequate
staff to carry out the additional
workload associated with ESA Section 7
consultations for any coral species that
are listed in this final rule.
Response: The ESA explicitly restricts
the factors that can be considered in
listing decisions. Listing decisions can
be based solely on the best scientific
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and commercial data available, after
conducting a status review and taking
conservation measures into account.
Therefore, comments relevant to the
proposed listing include those
comments that provide additional
substantive information regarding
whether a species is in danger of
extinction or likely to become so in the
foreseeable future (e.g., the biology,
status, and/or threats to the species,
evaluation methodologies, effectiveness
of conservation measures, accuracy and
comprehensiveness of best available
information, etc.). We are unable to
consider other types of comments in a
listing determination (e.g., socioeconomic or policy impacts). However,
after we implement the final listings, we
will work with our stakeholders and
affected entities to reduce the impact of
the listings while still providing for the
conservation of the listed corals.
Comments on Critical Habitat
Comment 52: We received three
comments related to critical habitat.
One commenter offered to provide
information to assist in the economic
analysis required for critical habitat
designation. A second commenter
proposed the use of NOAA benthic
habitat maps to define areas of critical
habitat for listed corals and requested
reconsideration of designated critical
habitat for Acropora palmata and
Acropora cervicornis. A third
commenter requested to be consulted
during critical habitat designation to
ensure the operation of their facilities
would not be affected.
Response: The comments summarized
above do not provide substantive
information to help inform the final
species determinations. NMFS is
required to designate critical habitat at
the time of final rule publication, unless
we determine that critical habitat is
undeterminable at that time. Below, we
discuss our determination that critical
habitat is not currently determinable for
the species being newly listed through
this final rule. Designation of critical
habitat will occur via a separate rulemaking process once this final rule is
published, which will include
opportunities for public participation
and input. As such, the comments
described above are noted but are not
responded to further in this final rule.
Comments on ESA Section 9 Take
Prohibitions
Comment 53: We received 12
comments specific to ESA 4(d) rulemaking, which is discussed in the
Section 9 Take Prohibitions section of
the proposed rule. Eight of these
comments requested or suggested
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exemptions from Section 9 take
prohibitions for specific activities that
should be included in a 4(d) rule issued
for threatened species listed in this final
rule. Two comments recommended that
lawful emissions of GHG should be
included as an exception in any future
4(d) rule. Two other comments said the
opposite, stating that NMFS should not
consider GHG emissions in the context
of the ESA.
Response: The comments described
above did not provide substantive
information to help inform the final
listing determinations for the 65 coral
species. NMFS is not required to issue
a 4(d) rule for threatened species in
conjunction with a final ESA listing. We
will do so only if we determine it is
necessary and advisable for the
conservation of threatened species. If we
make that finding for threatened species
listed in this final rule, issuance of a
4(d) rule is a separate rule-making
process that will include specific
opportunities for public input. As such,
the comments above are noted but not
responded to further in this final rule.
Comments on Identification of Those
Activities That Would Constitute a
Violation of Section 9 of the ESA
Comment 54: We received numerous
comments regarding concerns over the
definition of ‘‘take’’ for corals under the
ESA. Comments questioned how we
would define ‘‘take’’ if corals are listed,
considering their unique biological and
ecological characteristics (i.e., corals are
colonial and clonal organisms). One
commenter pointed out a lack of
certainty regarding the threshold of
‘‘take’’ for coral larvae. Another
commenter thought it was unclear how
people would know if they are ‘‘taking’’
a listed coral and expressed concern
about the ability to conduct cultural
practices. A third commenter stated
that, in the example of corals, the stated
goals of the ESA are at odds with the
best plan for the recovery of any coral
species.
Response: We agree that defining
‘‘take’’ of corals under the ESA is both
unique and challenging, because of the
biology of reef-building corals. As
described below under Corals and Coral
Reefs—Individual Delineation, these
species are both colonial (i.e., capable of
creating colonies from multiple
genetically-identical polyps) and clonal
(i.e., capable of asexual reproduction to
create genetic duplicates). The ESA take
prohibitions only apply to endangered
species immediately upon listing. No
species in this final rule are being listed
as endangered; therefore, we do not
define activities that may result in take
in this final rule, because take is not
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automatically prohibited for threatened
species. Should we deem it necessary
and advisable that extending any of the
ESA section 9 prohibitions, including
take prohibitions, is necessary for the
conservation of any of the newly-list
threatened coral, we will do so in a
subsequent rule-making.
Comments on Policies on Role of Peer
Review
Comment 55: We received two
comments that criticized NMFS for not
conducting peer review on the proposed
rule. One commenter stated the
following: ‘‘The Department of
Commerce issued guidelines to comply
with the OMB mandate, publishing the
final Guidelines for Ensuring and
Maximizing the Quality, Objectivity,
Utility, and Integrity of Disseminated
Information in October 2002. As part of
the NOAA guidelines, the agency must
apply a higher standard to ‘influential
scientific information’ (‘ISI’), which is
defined as scientific information the
agency reasonably can determine will
have or does have a clear and
substantial impact on important public
policies or private sector decisions.’ Id.
ISI is subject to the more stringent
information standards in the OMB’s
Final Information Quality Bulletin for
Peer Review (‘‘OMB Peer Review
Bulletin’’), which requires peer review
by qualified specialists in the relevant
field (70 F.R. 2664; January 14, 2005).’’
Response: The proposed rule itself
was not peer reviewed. However, the
supporting documents that formed the
basis for the determinations in the
proposed rule (e.g., the SRR, FMR) were
independently peer reviewed by subject
matter experts. In addition, much of the
information we received as a result of
the public engagement and public
comment periods and incorporated into
this final rule was independently peer
reviewed. During the public comment
period and subsequent 6-month
extension solicitation, we received
critical review of the information on
which the proposed rule was based from
several coral reef experts. As a result,
the information used to form the basis
of our final listing determinations
represents the best available scientific
and commercial information to date on
the 65 reef-building coral species within
this final rule, and that we have
complied with all applicable policies
and guidance on peer review.
Comments Outside of the Scope of the
Proposed Rule
We received numerous public
comments in response to the proposed
rule that are outside the scope of this
rulemaking. Below are brief
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explanations to note the comments were
received and explain why they are not
considered relevant to the content of the
proposed rule.
Comment 56: We received several
comments regarding concerns over
potential economic impacts as a result
of listing coral species from various
concerned parties. In addition, we
received many comments criticizing the
proposed rule as an inappropriate use of
the ESA to protect corals in the face of
global climate change. Some comments
emphasized that the ESA is not
designed to regulate GHGs and thus
ESA listings are not a prudent use of
time and resources. Comments also
cited impacts to cultural practices
related to marine resource use in
opposition of ESA coral listings.
Response: Due to the statutory
requirements of the ESA, comments
relevant to the proposed listing include
those comments that provide additional
substantive information regarding any
facet of the proposed rule (e.g., the
biology, status, and/or threats to the
species, evaluation methodologies,
accuracy and comprehensiveness of best
available information, etc.). Comments
not relevant to this rule making are
those comments that are not related to
the content of the proposed rule and/or
comments that we are legally unable to
consider in a listing determination (e.g.,
economic impacts). While we are
required to review and consider all
comments, comments on issues outside
the scope of the proposed rule, such as
the comments described above, were
noted, but are generally not responded
to in this final rule.
Comment 57: Several commenters
provided general support for the
proposed listings but did not provide
substantive information or specific
comments on the content of the
proposed rule.
Response: General support for the
proposed action does not constitute
submission of substantive information
regarding any facet of the proposed rule.
Therefore, these comments were noted
but are not responded to in this final
rule.
Comment 58: We received three
comments pertaining directly to one or
more of the 16 Not Warranted findings
that were issued simultaneously with
the proposed rule. One commenter
questioned why some Caribbean species
were determined to be Not Warranted
while others are proposed because
threats to all species appear to be the
same. Another commenter stated that
Porites pukoensis should have been
proposed for listing based solely on the
fact that it is endemic to Hawaii. A third
commenter provided information on
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Turbinaria reniformis’ tolerance to
threats associated with climate change.
Response: A Not Warranted finding is
a final decision for which public
comments are not solicited. Therefore,
comments on the not warranted findings
are noted but not considered relevant to
the content of the proposed rule and are
not responded to directly in this final
rule. We do note, however, that species
determinations are based on more than
just geographic range or existing threats
alone and not warranted determinations
were reached by considering all
available information on species
abundance, range, depth distribution,
and threat vulnerabilities including
susceptibility and exposure, as is
described in more detail in the not
warranted findings.
As also described in the proposed
rule, a threatened coral is likely to
become an endangered coral within the
foreseeable future throughout all or a
significant portion of its range. For
threatened species, there is a temporal
delay in extinction risk afforded by
some characteristics of the species, such
as broader distribution, larger
populations, lower vulnerability to the
most important threats, and better
management. Threatened species are
less vulnerable than endangered
species, but still have characteristics
that are likely to put them at elevated
extinction risk within the foreseeable
future. For each of the 65 species under
consideration, we explain how a
species’ characteristics and its ability to
provide buffering capacity to the
identified threats influences its
extinction risk over the foreseeable
future. Some of the 65 species in this
final rule meet the definition of
threatened, as explained in the species
sections below.
Basis of Listing Determinations
The following sections summarize all
of the best available information on reefbuilding corals in general, which
provides the baseline context and
foundation for our species-specific
listing determinations. While this
general information illustrates that the
most important threats are currently
increasing in severity, and likely to
continue increasing further in the
foreseeable future, it also illustrates that
the impacts from these threats, both
currently and over the foreseeable
future, are difficult to interpret and do
not necessarily correlate to increased
vulnerability to extinction due to the
biological and physical variability and
complexity of corals and their habitat.
Accordingly, our Final Determination
Framework and species determinations
are based upon an analysis of the best
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available species-specific information
evaluated within a worsening future
environment.
In addition to the comments we
received on the proposed rule that
include new or supplemental
information, we have continued to
collect information that has either
emerged since the publication of the
proposed rule or that was published at
the time of the proposed rule, but had
been inadvertently overlooked. This
latter category also includes literature
cited in the SRR or SIR, but that was
further examined to provide relevant
information. Therefore, we consider
‘‘supplemental information’’ to be that
which was not considered at the time of
the proposed rule that expands upon the
themes in the proposed rule, but does
not fundamentally change a finding
from the proposed rule. ‘‘New
information’’ is considered to be that
which is novel and results in a change
to a finding in the proposed rule. To
distinguish between the information on
which the proposed rule was based from
new or supplemental information, we
will only cite the primary literature for
new or supplemental information. For
clarity, we will distinguish whether the
information was identified via public
comment or if we gathered it ourselves.
All the general information on reefbuilding corals, which provides the
appropriate context for our speciesspecific determinations, is provided in
the Corals and Coral Reefs and Threats
Evaluation sections. The Risk Analyses
section follows and describes our
methods and final determination
framework for making our
determinations. Last, we provide the
individual listing determinations in the
Species-specific Information and
Determinations section, which are based
on all of the best available information
for each coral species.
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Corals and Coral Reefs
This section provides a summary of
the best available information on the
biology and habitat of reef-building
corals as it pertains to this final rule.
First, we briefly summarize the
information from the proposed rule,
which is based on the SRR and SIR. We
also address all relevant comments
received pertaining to the biology and
habitats of reef-building corals. Further,
we provide supplemental information
relevant to biology and habitat of corals
that we gathered during the period
between the proposed and this final
rule. This information provides part of
the context in which we evaluate the
species’ status and illustrates the unique
nature of this evaluation compared to
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typical NMFS’ ESA listing
determinations (i.e., vertebrates).
As summarized in the proposed rule,
corals are marine invertebrates in the
phylum Cnidaria that occur as polyps,
usually forming colonies of many clonal
polyps on a calcium carbonate skeleton.
The Cnidaria include true stony corals
(class Anthozoa, order Scleractinia), the
blue coral (class Anthozoa, order
Helioporacea), and fire corals (class
Hydrozoa, order Milleporina). All 68
proposed species are reef-building
corals, because they secrete massive
calcium carbonate skeletons that form
the physical structure of coral reefs.
Reef-building coral species collectively
produce coral reefs over time in highgrowth conditions, but these species
also occur in non-reef habitats (i.e., they
are reef-building, but not reefdependent). There are approximately
800 species of reef-building corals in the
world.
Most corals form complex colonies
made up of a tissue layer of polyps (a
column with mouth and tentacles on the
upper side) growing on top of a calcium
carbonate skeleton, which the polyps
produce through the process of
calcification. Millepora fire corals are
also reef-building species, but unlike the
stony corals, they have nearmicroscopic polyps containing tentacles
with stinging cells.
Individual Delineation
Comment 5 identified the lack of
clarity on and complexity of the
delineation of the ‘‘individual’’ with
respect to corals and its influence in
estimating population abundance. We
agree that this is a complex issue and
did not provide sufficient details on
how we identified what an individual is
and how the consideration of this issue
factored into our estimates of
abundances for each of the proposed
species in the proposed rule. Thus, in
this final rule, we provide details on
how we considered individual
delineation in the proposed rule and
this final rule.
Reef-building corals are clonal
organisms. A single larva will develop
into a discrete unit (the primary polyp)
that then produces modular units (i.e.,
genetically-identical copies of the
primary polyp) of itself, which are
connected seamlessly through tissue
and skeleton. These modular units may
be solitary (e.g., fungiid corals) or
colonial. Most reef-building coral
species are colonial, including all
species covered in this final rule.
Colony growth is achieved mainly
through the addition of more polyps,
and colony growth is indeterminate.
The colony can continue to exist even
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if numerous polyps die, or if the colony
is broken apart or otherwise damaged.
The biology of such clonal, colonial
species creates ambiguity with regard to
delineation of the individual in reefbuilding corals, specifically: (1) Polyps
versus colonies; (2) sexually-produced
versus asexually-produced colonies; and
(3) difficulty determining colony
boundaries. Each source of ambiguity is
addressed below, leading to a
conclusion regarding the delineation of
the ‘‘individual’’ for the species covered
by this final rule, which was not
specifically defined in the proposed
rule. Though not specifically defined,
we applied this same concept of the
individual in the proposed rule.
The polyp could be considered as the
smallest unit of the individual for reefbuilding corals. Each polyp in a coral
colony consists of a column of tissue
with a mouth and tentacles on the upper
side, growing in a cup-like skeletal
structure (the corallite) made of calcium
carbonate that the polyp produces
through calcification. The polyps are the
building blocks of the colony, and most
colony growth occurs by increasing the
number of polyps and supporting
skeleton. Polyps carry out the biological
functions of feeding, calcification, and
reproduction. However, because the
polyps within a colony are modular
units, and connected to one another
physiologically (i.e., via nerve net and
gastrovascular cavity, and are the same
sex), single polyps within a colony are
not considered to be individuals for
purposes of this final rule.
Alternatively, only colonies
originating from sexually-produced
larvae could be considered as the
individual for reef-building corals.
Colonies are founded by either sexuallyproduced larvae that settle and become
the primary polyp of a colony, or
asexually-produced fragments of preexisting colonies that break off to form
a new colony. Fragments from the same
colony can fuse back together into the
same colony if they are close enough to
grow together. Fragmentation in
branching species may lead to a large
number of asexually-produced,
genetically identical colonies,
commonly resulting in a population
made up of more asexually-produced
colonies than sexually-produced
colonies (Hughes, 1984). Sexuallyproduced colonies are important to the
population by increasing the genetic
diversity of the population, and colonies
originating from asexually-produced
fragments do not contribute to the
effective population (i.e., group of
genetically unique individuals). Asexual
reproduction, though it does not create
new genetic individuals, is likely the
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more critical mode for some species,
especially branching species, allowing
them to grow, occupy space, and persist
between relatively rare events of sexual
reproduction. Sexually- and asexuallyproduced colonies often cannot be
distinguished from one another in the
field, but are identifiable as an
individual, in most cases. Thus, we use
the concept of the ‘‘physiological
colony’’ as the entity that can be
considered an individual. The
physiological colony for reef-building
colonial species is defined here as any
colony of the species, whether sexually
or asexually produced.
A physiological colony is generally
autonomous from other colonies of the
same species. However, colony
morphology, partial colony mortality,
and other colony growth characteristics
(e.g., formation of stands or thickets) can
complicate the delineation of
physiological colonies from one another
in the field. For example, the overall
colony morphology of many encrusting
species (e.g., some Montipora species) is
largely dictated by the underlying
substrate. In those cases, colony shape
may not distinguish colonies from one
another, and boundaries between
separate encrusting colonies that have
grown together may be difficult or
impossible to make out visually. Partial
mortality of colonies, especially larger
colonies, can also mask the boundaries
between colonies, because the algaeencrusted coral skeleton of a partially
dead colony may appear to delineate
two or more colonies. In addition, many
reef-building coral species occur in
stands or thickets that may be tens of
meters or more in diameter (e.g., some
Acropora species), possibly consisting
of multiple colonies or only one large
colony, also masking the boundaries
between colonies. In each of these
instances, the actual number of
genetically-distinct individuals can only
be determined through genetic analysis.
Those techniques have not been
established for all coral species and are
not feasible to conduct for every reef
assessment. Therefore, most reef
assessments for coral abundance also
use the concept of the physiological
colony as the unit for enumerating
species.
Despite the challenges in individual
delineation of clonal, colonial reefbuilding corals, this final rule considers
the ‘‘individual’’ for each of the
proposed species to be the physiological
colony, as defined above. That is,
polyps are not considered individuals,
but sexually- and asexually-produced
colonies are considered individuals
because they are a type of physiological
colony and are the unit that can be
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identified in the field. We acknowledge
that there are limitations with this
definition of the individual, including
usually-unknown proportions of
genetically-distinct individuals in a
population and the difficulty with the
determination of physiological colony
boundaries. But defining the individual
this way is the most supportable for this
final rule based on the best available
science. While we did not specifically
name the individual as the
physiological colony in the proposed
rule, it is how we considered the
individual in the proposed rule because
the majority of the information on
abundance is based on the physiological
colony which can be readily identified
and counted in field surveys. Thus, in
our species determinations we use the
physiological colony to inform how we
estimate abundance of a coral species
because that is how field surveys
estimate coral abundance. Using the
physiological colony to estimate
abundance in the final rule does not
change how we estimated abundance in
the proposed rule, in which we also
relied on information that uses the
physiological colony to report
abundance estimates. If we have
information on the effective population
size (i.e., proportion of clonality) for a
species, that information is also
considered.
Taxonomic Uncertainty in Reef-Building
Corals
To determine if the proposed corals
meet the ESA definition of a species, we
had to address issues related to the
taxonomic uncertainty in corals (e.g.,
reliance on morphological features
rather than genetic and genomic science
to delineate species) and corals’
evolutionary history of reticulate
processes (i.e., individual lineages
showing repeated cycles of divergence
and convergence via hybridization). To
address taxonomic uncertainty related
to species delineation, except as
described below where genetic
information was available, the proposed
rule considered the nominal species
designation as listed in the petition,
acknowledging that future research may
result in taxonomic reclassification of
some of the candidate species.
Additionally, to address complex
reticulate processes in corals, the BRT
attempted to distinguish between a
‘‘good species’’ that has a hybrid
history—meaning it may display genetic
signatures of interbreeding and backcrossing in its evolutionary history—
and a ‘‘hybrid species’’ that is composed
entirely of hybrid individuals (as in the
case of Acropora prolifera, discussed in
the status review of acroporid corals in
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the Caribbean; Acropora Biological
Review Team, 2005). The best available
information indicates that, while several
of the candidate species have hybrid
histories, there is no evidence to suggest
any of them are ‘‘hybrid species’’ (that
is, all individuals of a species being F1
hybrids); thus, they were all considered
to meet the definition of a ‘‘species.’’
Studies elucidating complex
taxonomic histories were available for
several of the genera addressed in the
status review, and we were able to
incorporate those into our species
determinations. Thus, while we made
species determinations for most of the
82 candidate coral species on the
nominal species included in the
petition, we made alternate
determinations on the proper taxonomic
classification for the candidate species
Montipora dilatata and M. flabellata;
Montipora patula and Porites pukoensis
based on genetic studies. We decided to
subsume a nominal species (morphospecies) into a larger clade whenever
genetic studies failed to distinguish
between them (e.g., Montipora dilatata,
M. flabellata, and M. turgescens (not
petitioned) and Porites Clade 1 forma
pukoensis). Comment 3 objected to the
lumping of the Montipora species based
solely on one study. However, because
the commenter did not provide any
contrary information and we did not
find any new or supplemental
information suggesting that subsuming
the Montipora species into a larger clade
is incorrect, we are maintaining our
determination that M. dilitata/M.
flabellata/M. turgescens and M. patula/
M. verrilli are considered species under
the ESA.
In the proposed rule, Pocillopora
elegans was split into two separate
species because the two geographicallydistant populations have different
modes of reproduction. Additionally,
the proposed rule examined the listing
status of P. danae. After consideration
of the information on taxonomic
uncertainty, including from the
proposed rule and supporting
documents, Comment 2, and new
information, we have determined that
these three Pocillopora species (P.
elegans (Eastern Pacific), P. elegans
(Indo-Pacific), and P. danae), are not
listable entities under the ESA. As
explained in the response to Comment
2, new information on the three
proposed Pocillopora species proposed
for listing indicates an increasing level
of taxonomic uncertainty to the point
that these three species are not listable
entities under the ESA at this time.
Thus, this final rule considers 65 of the
68 species included in the proposed
rule. However, even though these
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remaining 65 species are determinable
under the ESA, some uncertainty
regarding taxonomy and certain species
identification remains. These
uncertainties are addressed for each
species in the Species-specific
Information and Determinations
sections.
In addition to these specific examples
of species delineation, Comment 1
stated that taxonomic uncertainties
associated with many reef-building
coral species are problematic for the
ESA listing determination process. We
acknowledge the clear delineation
among individuals that characterizes
vertebrate species is often absent in reefbuilding coral species. This final rule
addresses that ambiguity with the
general introductions in this subsection, then by providing speciesspecific information for each species.
Therefore, the level of taxonomic
uncertainty is addressed for each of the
species in this final rule in the Speciesspecific Information and Determinations
sub-sections below.
Species Identification
We received several comments related
to the difficulty in coral species
identification (see Comment 1). In the
proposed rule we acknowledged the
difficulty in identification and how that
affected the ability to accurately infer
abundances for individual species (see
proposed rule Distribution and
Abundance section). However, we did
not discuss the species identification
uncertainty on a species by species
basis. In this sub-section, we more fully
describe the challenge of species
identification. In the Species-specific
Information and Determinations section,
we address the identification
uncertainty for each species, and
determine if that uncertainly affects the
reliability of the distribution and
abundance information described for
each species, based on expert analysis
(Fenner, 2014b).
In this final rule ‘‘species
identification’’ refers to the assignment
of a given individual to a species based
on its appearance in the field or lab. In
contrast, ‘‘species delineation’’ refers to
the definition of reef-building corals as
distinct species based on their scientific
classification or taxonomy (covered in
the previous sub-section). Many reefbuilding coral species are difficult to
identify for many reasons, including: (1)
The high biodiversity of reef-building
corals; (2) the high morphological
plasticity in many reef-building coral
species; and (3) the different methods
used for species identification. An
example of all three factors working
together (high biodiversity,
morphological plasticity, different
methods) is provided by massive Porites
species: Many species occur together in
the same habitats and locations,
morphological plasticity is high for both
colony shape and corallite structure,
and experts disagree about how to
distinguish the species (Forsman et al.,
2009; Veron, 2000).
Coral species identification is based
on the assumption that the taxonomy is
correct. The high biodiversity, high
morphological plasticity, and different
methodologies create species
identification problems even when the
taxonomy is correct. But if the
taxonomy is not correct, the species
identification problems described here
are irrelevant because species with a
high level of taxonomic uncertainty
(e.g., the Pocillopora species in this final
rule) are not listable entities under the
ESA. Both the species delineation and
species identification problems are
highly species-specific, and are
addressed for each species in the
Species-specific Information and
Determinations section.
Reproductive Life History of ReefBuilding Corals
As summarized in the proposed rule,
corals use a number of diverse
reproductive strategies that have been
researched extensively; however, many
individual species’ reproductive modes
remain poorly described. Most coral
species use both sexual and asexual
propagation. Sexual reproduction in
corals is primarily through
gametogenesis (i.e., development of eggs
and sperm within the polyps near the
base). Some coral species have separate
sexes (gonochoric), while others are
hermaphroditic. Strategies for
fertilization are either by ‘‘brooding’’ or
‘‘broadcast spawning’’ (i.e., internal or
external fertilization, respectively).
Asexual reproduction in coral species
most commonly involves fragmentation,
where colony pieces or fragments are
dislodged from larger colonies to
establish new colonies, although the
budding of new polyps within a colony
can also be considered asexual
reproduction. In many species of
branching corals, fragmentation is a
common and sometimes dominant
means of propagation.
Depending on the mode of
fertilization, coral larvae (called
planulae) undergo development either
mostly within the mother colony
(brooders) or outside of the mother
colony, adrift in the ocean (broadcast
spawners). In either mode of larval
development, larvae presumably
experience considerable mortality (up to
90 percent or more) from predation or
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other factors prior to settlement and
metamorphosis. Such mortality cannot
be directly observed, but is inferred
from the large amount of eggs and sperm
spawned versus the much smaller
number of recruits observed later. Coral
larvae are relatively poor swimmers;
therefore, their dispersal distances
largely depend on the duration of the
pelagic phase and the speed and
direction of water currents transporting
the larvae. The documented maximum
larval life span is 244 days (Montastraea
magnistellata), suggesting that the
potential for long-term dispersal of coral
larvae, at least for some species, may be
substantially greater than previously
understood and may partially explain
the large geographic ranges of many
species.
The spatial and temporal patterns of
coral recruitment have been studied
extensively. Biological and physical
factors that have been shown to affect
spatial and temporal patterns of coral
recruitment include substrate
availability and community structure,
grazing pressure, fecundity, mode and
timing of reproduction, behavior of
larvae, hurricane disturbance, physical
oceanography, the structure of
established coral assemblages, and
chemical cues. Additionally, factors
other than dispersal may influence
recruitment, and several other factors
may influence reproductive success and
reproductive isolation, including
external cues, genetic precision, and
conspecific signaling.
In general, on proper stimulation,
coral larvae settle and metamorphose on
appropriate substrates. Some evidence
indicates that chemical cues from
crustose coralline algae, microbial films,
and/or other reef organisms or acoustic
cues from reef environments stimulate
settlement behaviors. Calcification
begins with the forming of the basal
plate. Buds formed on the initial
corallite develop into daughter
corallites. Once larvae are able to settle
onto appropriate hard substrate,
metabolic energy is diverted to colony
growth and maintenance. Because
newly settled corals barely protrude
above the substrate, juveniles need to
reach a certain size to limit damage or
mortality from threats such as grazing,
sediment burial, and algal overgrowth.
In some species, it appears that there is
virtually no limit to colony size beyond
structural integrity of the colony
skeleton, as polyps apparently can bud
indefinitely.
Comment 4 identified the lack of
information on coral population
dynamics and connectivity; however, it
did not provide any supplemental
information, other than for Acropora
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cervicornis, which will be considered in
that species’ determination. Therefore,
the section above is a summary of the
information on coral reproductive life
history from the proposed rule as it
contributes to the extinction risk
analyses for the proposed corals. In our
species determinations, we consider life
history characteristics that may
contribute to extinction risk. For
example, species with high recruitment
rates or fast growth rates may have the
ability to more quickly recover from
disturbances. Additionally, long-lived
species with large colony size can
sustain partial mortality (fission) and
still have potential for persistence and
regrowth. However, detailed life history
information is not available for all of the
species considered in this final rule,
though it is used when available.
Distribution and Abundance of ReefBuilding Corals
The proposed corals are distributed
throughout the wider-Caribbean (i.e.,
the tropical and sub-tropical waters of
the Caribbean Sea, western Atlantic
Ocean, and Gulf of Mexico; herein
referred to collectively as ‘‘Caribbean’’),
the Indo-Pacific biogeographic region
(i.e., the tropical and sub-tropical waters
of the Indian Ocean, the western and
central Pacific Ocean, and the seas
connecting the two in the general area
of Indonesia), and the tropical and subtropical waters of the eastern Pacific
Ocean. In our species determinations,
spatial and demographic traits inform
our evaluation of a species’ current
status and its capacity to respond to
changing conditions over the
foreseeable future. One important
demographic trait is absolute
abundance, which is a function of local
density (either quantitative or
qualitative) and range size. Absolute
abundance is more informative than a
relative description of abundance for
corals such as ‘‘rare,’’ because even a
coral species described as ‘‘rare’’ may
still have millions of individual
colonies or more (i.e., few individuals
per unit area spread across a very large
area). Similarly, the spatial trait of
geographic distributions are not
considered on a relative scale (i.e.,
narrow, moderate, wide as we did in the
proposed rule), but rather considered on
an absolute scale, which for even the
smallest species distribution
encompasses millions of square miles.
As described in the Individual
Delineation sub-section, determining
abundance of the proposed corals
presents a unique challenge because
corals are clonal, colonial invertebrates,
and colony growth occurs by the
addition of new polyps. In addition,
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colonies can exhibit partial mortality in
which a subset of the polyps in a colony
dies, but the colony persists. Colonial
species present a special challenge in
determining the appropriate unit to
evaluate for status. In addition, new
coral colonies, particularly in branching
species, can be added to a population by
fragmentation (breakage from an
existing colony of a branch that
reattaches to the substrate and grows) as
well as by sexual reproduction (see
above, and Fig. 2.2.1 in SRR).
Fragmentation results in multiple,
genetically identical colonies (ramets)
while sexual reproduction results in the
creation of new genetically distinct
individuals (genotypes or genets).
In the proposed rule, quantitative
abundance estimates were available for
only a few of the candidate species. In
the Indo-Pacific, many reports and longterm monitoring programs describe
coral percent cover only to genus level
because of the substantial diversity
within many genera and difficulties in
field identification among congeneric
species. In the Caribbean, most of the
candidate species are either too few in
numbers to document meaningful
trends in abundance from literature
reports (e.g., Dendrogyra cylindrus), or
commonly identified only to genus
(Mycetophyllia and Agaricia spp.), or
potentially misidentified as another
species. At the time of the proposed
rule, the only comprehensive
abundance data in the Caribbean were
for the three Orbicella species, partially
because they historically made up a
predominant part of live coral cover.
Even for these species, the time series
data are often of very short duration
(they were not separated as sibling
species until the early 1990s and many
surveys continue to report them as
‘‘Orbicella annularis complex’’) and
cover a very limited portion of the
species range (e.g., the time series only
monitors a sub-section of a single
national park). In general, the available
quantitative abundance data were so
limited or compromised due to factors
such as small survey sample sizes, lack
of species-specific data, etc., that they
were considerably less informative for
evaluating the risk to species than other
data, and were therefore generally not
included as part of the individual
species extinction risk evaluations.
Comment 47 provided quantitative
abundance estimates from Florida for all
of the proposed corals in the Caribbean.
In addition, we gathered supplemental
information providing quantitative
abundance estimates and distribution
for individual species in the Caribbean
and Indo-Pacific. These data are
included and described in the
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individual extinction risk assessments
for those species in the Species-specific
Information and Determinations section.
Unlike quantitative abundance data,
qualitative abundance characterizations
(e.g., rare, common), were available for
all species (Veron, 2000), and were
considered in the proposed rule’s
individual species extinction risk
evaluations. These estimates are the
subjective opinion of the author and are
meant to indicate relative abundance
between the categories. That is, a rare
species has fewer individuals as
compared to an uncommon one, and an
uncommon species has fewer
individuals than a common one. These
estimates are also meant to describe the
author’s opinion of the qualitative
abundance of the species throughout its
range, and not necessarily an estimate of
the abundance at an individual location.
Since the proposed rule was published,
semi-quantitative (i.e., survey data from
2,984 individual sites) and updated
non-quantitative (i.e., the author’s
subjective estimates covering a full
range of habitats and most ecoregions
the author has worked in) abundance
estimates were provided for 63 of the 65
corals covered in this final rule (Veron,
2014). In addition to the semiquantitative and non-quantitative
estimates, Veron (2014) provided
occupancy of each species within the
approximately 150 ecoregions he has
defined. An ecoregion is defined as an
area that is internally cohesive (i.e.,
areas with similar habitats share similar
species complements), but externally
distinct from neighboring regions
(https://coral.aims.gov.au/). Ecoregions
are widely used in biogeography
because they incorporate a substantial
amount of background knowledge, are a
good platform for statistical analysis,
and allow the pooling and comparison
of different datasets from the same
ecoregion. Ecoregions are not equal in
size and thus occupancy in the same
number of ecoregions by two different
species does not indicate the same range
size. Rather, the number of ecoregions
occupied is a good indication of the
diversity of habitats and geographic
distribution in which a species may be
found. These data are included in the
individual extinction risk assessments
for those species in the Species-specific
Information and Determinations section.
As previously described in the
Individual Delineation section, clonal,
colonial organisms, such as corals, are
vastly different in their biology and
ecology than vertebrates, which are
typically the focus of ESA status
reviews. Therefore, concepts and terms
that are typically applied to vertebrates
have very distinct meanings when
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applied to corals. A ‘rare’ coral may still
have millions of colonies as compared
to a ‘rare’ vertebrate, which may only
have hundreds of individuals.
Coral Habitats
As summarized in the Coral Reefs,
Other Coral Habitats, and Overview of
Candidate Coral Environments section
of the proposed rule, a ‘‘coral reef’’ is a
complex three-dimensional structure
occurring from the surface to
approximately 30 to 40 meters of depth
resulting from the skeletal growth of
reef-building corals that provides
habitat, food, and shelter for numerous
marine species. As such, coral reefs
foster exceptionally high biodiversity
and provide the following essential
functional roles: Primary production
and recycling of nutrients in relatively
nutrient poor (oligotrophic) seas,
calcium carbonate deposition yielding
reef construction, sand production,
modification of near-field or local water
circulation patterns, and habitat for
secondary production, including
fisheries. These functional roles yield
important ecosystem services in
addition to direct economic benefits to
human societies such as traditional and
cultural uses, food security, tourism,
and potential biomedical compounds.
Coral reefs protect shorelines, coastal
ecosystems, and coastal inhabitants
from high seas, severe storm surge, and
tsunamis.
The three broad categories of coral
reefs are fringing reefs, barrier reefs, and
atolls. Fringing reefs are mostly close to
coastlines, and usually have a high
component of non-carbonate sediment.
Barrier reefs are offshore and are
composed of wave-resistant
consolidated limestone. Atolls are
usually a wall of reefs partially or
completely enclosing a central lagoon.
There are not sharp differences that
clearly mark boundaries between reef
types. For example, fringing reefs
gradually become barrier reefs with
increasing distance from shore. Also,
the shape of both barrier reefs and atolls
is largely determined by the bathymetry
of the substratum, producing many
irregularly shaped reefs that are
intermediary between the two types.
Isolated reefs that do not fit any of these
descriptions are referred to as platform
reefs (Veron, 2000).
Despite the differences between the
reef categories, most fringing reefs,
barrier reefs, atolls, and platform reefs
consist of a reef slope, a reef crest, and
a back-reef, which in turn are typically
characterized by distinctive habitats.
The reef slope is the seaward side of the
coral reef between the reef crest and the
deep ocean, and generally includes
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upper fore-reefs or upper slopes
(approximately 5–10 to 10–20 m depth),
mid-slopes that often occur as terraces
or shelves (approximately 10–20 to 20–
30 m depth), and deep fore-reefs, lower
slopes, or walls (approximately 30–40 m
depth) that transition to mesophotic
areas (greater than 30–40 m depth). The
reef crest (approximately 0 to 5–10 m
depth) forms the boundary between the
reef slope and back-reef, and generally
includes a consolidated ridge or rim
where the waves break, and a lower reef
crest on the seaward side of the algal
ridge often made of up of buttresses and
surge channels (i.e., spur-and-groove
structures). The back-reef lies between
the reef crest and land (or middle of the
lagoon, in the case of atolls). The backreef generally includes reef flats
(approximately 0 to 1–5 m depth) and
lagoons (approximately 1–5 to over 30
m depth), interlaced with tide pools,
channels, patch reefs, and other
features. The characteristics of these
habitat types vary greatly by reef
categories, locations, latitudes,
frequency of disturbance, etc., and there
is also much habitat variability within
each habitat type, together constituting
the habitat heterogeneity of coral reefs,
as described further below.
Fringing reefs occur adjacent to
coastlines, and subsequently the
habitats associated with their reef slopes
and back-reefs may be quite different
than on barrier reefs or atolls. The reef
slopes of many fringing reefs that are
protected from strong wave action (e.g.,
on leeward sides of islands) consist of
unconsolidated material sloping gently
towards deeper water, while those of
fringing reefs in more exposed areas
(e.g. windward sides of islands) are
usually more consolidated. On many
fringing reefs, even on the reef slope,
natural turbidity and sedimentation may
be high due to proximity to land.
Fringing reefs typically have narrow
back-reefs consisting of a reef flat
abutting the reef crest, and possibly tide
pools, channels, or small lagoons
between the reef flat and shore (Goreau,
1959; Veron, 2000). Barrier reefs
typically form tens to hundreds of
kilometers from coastlines, their reef
slopes are composed of consolidated
limestone that may plunge steeply to
deeper water, and natural turbidity and
sedimentation are very low due to
distance from land. Thus the
characteristics of their reef slope
habitats can be quite different than on
fringing reefs. Barrier reefs are exposed
to very strong wave action, and their
reef crests can vary from high,
consolidated algal ridges to
unconsolidated shingle ramparts to low
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and wide indistinct crests. In addition,
barrier reefs typically have immense
back-reefs consisting of reef flats
abutting the reef crest, and large lagoons
that may vary from clear and sandy near
the reef to turbid and muddy near land,
and include various features such as
patch reefs and islands (Maxwell, 1968).
Atolls occur in oceanic waters far from
land, and may be hundreds of
kilometers across. Their reef slopes
often form vertical walls dropping into
abyssal waters, and their back-reefs
consist of large, clear lagoons (Veron,
2000; Wells, 1951). Environmental
conditions vary greatly between the
habitat types found on the reefs slopes,
reef crests, and back-reefs of the world’s
coral reefs. In addition, much variability
also occurs within each habitat type. For
example, Maxwell (1968) describes six
geomorphological types of reef crests,
and how the different environmental
conditions provide ‘‘coral zones’’
unique to each type of reef crest. The
physical diversity of coral reef habitat is
illustrated by Kuchler (1986), who notes
that the scientific literature on the GBR
alone used over 20 terms for the reef
slope or its habitats, over 50 terms for
the reef crest or its habitats, and over
100 terms for the reef flat and lagoon
and their habitats.
In conclusion, five main points are
important regarding coral habitat on
coral reefs (as opposed to non-reefal and
mesophotic habitats) for this final rule:
(1) Regardless of reef category, reefs
generally consist of reef slopes, reef
crests, and back-reefs, each of which
have distinct habitats, but those habitats
can be highly variable between reef
types and locations; (2) spatial
variability in coral habitat conditions is
very high between habitat types, as well
as within the habitat types described
above (i.e., deep fore-reefs, walls, midslopes, upper reef slopes, lower reef
crests, algal ridges, reef flats, and
lagoons), producing highly variable
environmental conditions across both
large and small spatial scales at any
given point in time; (3) temporal
variability in coral habitat conditions is
also very high, both cyclically (e.g., from
tidal, seasonal, annual, and decadal
cycles) and episodically (e.g., storms,
temperature anomalies, etc.); (4)
together this spatial and temporal
variability in environmental conditions
across multiple scales produces the very
high habitat heterogeneity of coral reefs;
and (5) while most coral species in this
final rule are more common in certain
reef habitat types, they are typically
found in many different habitat types.
Reef-building corals have specific
habitat requirements, including hard
substrate, narrow mean temperature
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range, adequate light, and adequate
water flow. These habitat requirements
most commonly occur on the shallow
tropical and subtropical coral reefs
described above, but also occur in nonreefal and mesophotic areas. All of the
proposed species require hard
substrates. Thus, in this final rule, ‘‘nonreefal habitats’’ refers to hard substrates
where reef-building corals can grow,
including marginal habitats where
conditions prevent reef development
(e.g., turbid or high-latitude or
upwelling-influenced areas) and
recently available habitat (e.g., lava
flows). The term ‘‘mesophotic habitats’’
refers to hard substrates deeper than 30
m. Coral reefs, non-reefal areas, and
mesophotic areas are not necessarily
sharply delineated from one another,
thus one may gradually blend into
another. We anticipate the total area of
non-reefal and mesophotic habitats is
greater than the total area of shallow
coral reef habitats within the ranges of
the corals in this final rule.
Comments 6 and 7 suggested that we
did not consider non-reefal habitats and
mesophotic habitats adequately in our
proposed rule. However, these
comments did not provide any new or
supplemental information on how to
interpret the importance of these
habitats in our extinction risk analysis.
Comment 7 includes two studies that
provide supplemental information on
the extent of mesophotic reefs. In
addition to the public comment
received on the diversity and
complexity of coral reef habitats,
supplemental information has become
available on non-reefal and mesophotic
habitats since the publication of the
proposed rule. The following subsections on non-reefal and mesophotic
habitats are intended to illustrate the
diversity of reef-building coral habitats,
but are not intended to provide an
exhaustive list of them.
Non-reefal habitats include marginal
habitats (Perry and Larcombe, 2003), as
well as newly available natural habitats
such as the hard substrates created by
lava flows (Grigg and Maragos, 1974),
tsunamis (scoured bedrock or
transported boulders (Goto et al., 2010)),
or other episodic processes. Non-reefal
habitats are defined as areas where
environmental conditions prevent reef
formation but reef-building corals are
present. Marginal habitats are much
more common than newly-available
natural habitats. Marginal habitats are
very diverse, as they occur where
seawater temperatures or light levels are
sub-optimal (i.e., inadequate for high
skeletal growth but still allowing reefbuilding corals to survive), and thus
include environments that are turbid
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(Blakeway et al., 2013; Browne et al.,
2012), very warm (Riegl and Purkis,
2012; Riegl et al., 2011), or cold because
of high latitude (Dalton and Roff, 2013;
Lybolt et al., 2011) or upwelling
(Alvarado et al., 2011; Manzello et al.,
2008), and other environments (Couce et
al., 2012; Done, 1982; Perry and
Larcombe, 2003). Some coral species
can also live on soft substrates, such as
Manicina areolata in the Caribbean,
staghorns (Acropora) that must begin on
hard substrate but can then grow over
soft substrates, and Catalaphyllia
jardini, which is common in some soft
substrates in Australia. Such habitat is
not necessarily indicative of lowdiversity coral assemblages, as shown
by turbid sites, which have been
documented to support over 160 species
of reef-building corals (Perry and
Larcombe, 2003), and fresh lava flows,
which have been documented to
support fully recovered coral
communities only 20 years after the
flow (Grigg and Maragos, 1974).
Marginal habitats expands the diversity
of environmental conditions that can
support some reef-building corals and
therefore may provide refugia from
some threats affecting shallow coral reef
habitat, as described in the Spatial and
Temporal Refugia sub-section below.
Since 2012, research on mesophotic
habitats has demonstrated that many
reef-building corals have greater depth
distributions than previously reported.
Twenty-two of the proposed species
have been reported from mesophotic
depths (i.e., 30 m or more) and several
more reported at 25 m. For other
species, their biogeographic ranges may
be underestimated due to lack of
mesophotic exploration. These studies
demonstrate that some species in
shallow coral reef habitats readily
extend to mesophotic depths if water
clarity and temperatures remain
favorable (Kahng et al., 2014). For
example, investigations in American
Samoa (Bare et al., 2010), the Hawaiian
Archipelago (Kahng et al., 2010; Rooney
et al., 2010), and the Mariana
Archipelago (Rooney et al., 2012), have
revealed extensive mesophotic coral reef
ecosystems. While classically
considered to be limited to 100 m,
mesophotic reefs have been observed as
deep as 130 m in some of these areas,
including at depths in excess of 150 m
in the Au‘au Channel of Hawaii (BlythSkyrme et al., 2013). Likewise,
investigations on Australia’s GBR found
extensive mesophotic habitats both
along the continental shelf-edge and on
submerged reefs inside the lagoon of the
GBR, both of which support previously
unknown communities of reef-building
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53881
corals (Bridge et al., 2012a; Bridge and
Guinotte, 2013; Bridge et al., 2012b). As
noted in one of these recent papers,
several coral species (including
Acropora aculeus, A. jacquelineae, and
A. tenella) are common and
geographically widespread in deeper
waters (30–60 m; Bridge et al., 2013b).
Other recent studies in Curacao
¸
(Bongaerts et al., 2013), Bermuda (Locke
et al., 2013), and Hawaii (Luck et al.,
2013) reveal extensive mesophotic
habitats and reef-building coral
communities. These studies expand the
known potential habitats for reefbuilding corals, but species diversity
and abundances have not been welldocumented due to the relative
inaccessibility of these habitats to
divers.
In summary, the magnitude of
habitats potentially supporting reefbuilding coral species is extremely
large, and much larger than the 0.2
percent of the marine environment
provided in the SRR. Globally, some
reef-building corals can occur in
shallow coral reef, non-reefal, and/or
mesophotic habitats. These three types
of general habitats combined provide
the overall physical environment of
many species, and supplemental
information on non-reefal and
mesophotic habitats indicates that their
magnitude is larger than previously
understood.
Inter-Basin Comparisons
As described in the proposed rule, the
Caribbean and Indo-Pacific basins
contrast greatly both in size and in
condition. The Caribbean basin is
geographically small and partially
enclosed, has high levels of
connectivity, and has relatively high
human population densities. The widerCaribbean occupies five million square
km of water and has approximately
55,000 km of coastline, including
approximately 5,000 islands. Shallow
coral reefs occupy approximately 25,000
square km (including ≈2,000 square km
within U.S. waters), or about 10 percent
of the total shallow coral reefs of the
world. The amount of non-reefal and
mesophotic habitat that could
potentially be occupied by corals in the
Caribbean is unknown, but is
potentially greater than the area of
shallow coral reefs in the Caribbean.
The Caribbean region has experienced
numerous disturbances to coral reef
systems throughout recorded human
history. Fishing has affected Caribbean
reefs since before European contact, and
continues to be a threat. Beginning in
the early 1980s, a series of basin-scale
disturbances has led to altered
community states, and a loss of
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resilience (i.e., inability of corals and
coral communities to recover after a
disturbance event). Massive, Caribbeanwide mortality events from disease
conditions of both the keystone grazing
urchin Diadema antillarum and the
dominant branching coral species
Acropora palmata and Acropora
cervicornis precipitated widespread and
dramatic changes in reef community
structure. None of the three important
keystone species (Acropora palmata,
Acropora cervicornis, and Diadema
antillarum) have shown much recovery
over decadal time scales. In addition,
continuing coral mortality from periodic
acute events such as hurricanes, disease
outbreaks, and bleaching events from
ocean warming have added to the poor
state of Caribbean coral populations and
yielded a remnant coral community
with increased dominance by weedy
brooding species, decreased overall
coral cover, and increased macroalgal
cover. Additionally, iron enrichment in
the Caribbean may predispose the basin
to algal growth. Further, coral growth
rates in the Caribbean have been
declining over decades.
Caribbean-wide meta-analyses suggest
that the current combination of
disturbances, stressful environmental
factors such as elevated ocean
temperatures, nutrients and sediment
loads, and reduced observed coral
reproduction and recruitment have
yielded a loss of resilience, even to
natural disturbances such as hurricanes.
Coral cover (percentage of reef
substrate occupied by live coral) across
the region has declined from
approximately 50 percent in the 1970s
to approximately 10 percent in the early
2000s (i.e., lower densities throughout
the range, not range contraction), with
concurrent changes between subregions
in overall benthic composition and
variation in dominant species. However,
supplemental information suggests that
this estimate of coral cover decline in
the Caribbean is an oversimplification.
In the Caribbean, quantitative surveys of
a few dozen sites from before the early
1980s suggest the regional mean for
coral cover was 30–40 percent around
1980 (Gardner et al., 2003; Schutte et
al., 2010). Supplemental information
based on more complete sampling effort
(i.e., meta-analysis of 35,000
quantitative reef surveys from 1969 to
2012) indicates higher levels of
‘‘current’’ percent live coral cover in the
Caribbean than described in the
proposed rule. For example, a recent
study found that average coral cover
throughout the wider-Caribbean
declined by 66 percent from an overall
average of 41 percent between 1969–
1983 to 14 percent today, slightly higher
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than the 10 percent reported earlier. The
earlier reports were based on less
thorough sampling of the available data,
and were also dominated by data from
the Florida Keys, U.S. Virgin Islands,
and Jamaica, which may not be
representative of the entire Caribbean
(Jackson et al. 2014).
In conclusion, the supplemental
information regarding live coral cover
does not dispute that there has been a
long-term overall decline in live coral
cover in the Caribbean and that those
declines are likely ongoing and likely to
continue in the future as a result of a
multitude of global and local threats at
all spatial scales. These wide-scale
changes in coral populations and
communities have affected habitat
complexity and may have already
reduced overall reef fish abundances.
These trends are expected to continue.
However, as the above information
illustrates, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that may not be indicative of
conditions throughout the basin.
Ocean basin size and diversity of
habitats (e.g., reef-flats, forereef,
mesophotic, non-reefal), as well as some
vast expanses of ocean area with only
very local, spatially-limited, direct
human influences, have provided
substantial buffering of Indo-Pacific
corals from many of the threats and
declines manifest across the Caribbean.
The Indo-Pacific (Indian and Pacific
Oceans) is enormous and hosts much
greater coral diversity than the
Caribbean region (∼700 coral species
compared with 65 coral species). The
Indo-Pacific region encompasses the
tropical and sub-tropical waters of the
Indian Ocean, the western and central
Pacific Ocean, and the seas connecting
the two in the general area of Indonesia.
This vast region occupies at least 60
million square km of water (more than
ten times larger than the Caribbean), and
includes 50,000 islands and over 40,000
km of continental coastline, spanning
approximately 180 degrees of longitude
and 60 degrees of latitude. There are
approximately 240,000 square km of
shallow coral reefs in this vast region,
which is more than 90 percent of the
total coral reefs of the world. In
addition, the Indo-Pacific includes
abundant non-reefal habitat, as well as
vast but scarcely known mesophotic
areas that provide coral habitat. The
amount of non-reefal and mesophotic
habitat that could potentially be
occupied by corals in the Indo-Pacific is
unknown, but is likely greater than the
area of shallow coral reefs in the IndoPacific (NMFS, 2012b; SIR Section 4.3).
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While the reef communities in the
Caribbean may have poor resilience, the
reefs in the central Pacific (e.g.,
American Samoa, Moorea, Fiji, Palau,
and the Northwestern Hawaiian Islands)
appear to remain much more resilient
despite major bleaching events from
ocean warming, hurricanes, and crownof-thorns seastar predation outbreaks.
That is, even though the reefs have
experienced significant impacts, corals
have been able to recover, as described
below. Several factors likely result in
greater resilience in the Indo-Pacific
than in the Caribbean: (1) The IndoPacific is more than 10-fold larger than
the Caribbean, including many remote
areas; (2) the Indo-Pacific has
approximately 10-fold greater diversity
of reef-building coral species than the
Caribbean; (3) broad-scale Caribbean
reef degradation likely began earlier
than in the Indo-Pacific; (4) iron
enrichment in the Caribbean may
predispose it to algal growth versus lack
of broad-scale iron enrichment in the
Indo-Pacific; (5) there is greater coral
cover on mesophotic reefs in the IndoPacific than in the Caribbean; and (6)
there is greater resilience to algal phase
shifts in the Indo-Pacific than in the
Caribbean.
Even given the relatively higher
resilience in the Indo-Pacific as
compared to the Caribbean, one metaanalysis of overall coral status
throughout the Indo-Pacific indicates
that substantial loss of coral cover (i.e.,
lower densities throughout the range,
but not range contraction) has already
occurred in most subregions. As of
2002–2003, the Indo-Pacific had an
overall average of approximately 20
percent live coral cover, down from
approximately 50 percent since the
1970s. However, supplemental
information refines this estimate. Data
from 154 surveys of reefs across the
Pacific performed between 1980 and
1982 had mean live coral cover of 42.5
percent (Bruno and Selig, 2007). Coral
cover in the Indian Ocean declined from
approximately 40 percent prior to the
1998 bleaching event to approximately
22 percent; subsequently, mean coral
cover increased to approximately 30
percent by 2005 (Ateweberhan et al.,
2011) Live coral cover likely had
already declined in all regions before
1980, but region-wide quantitative data
is generally lacking. For example, local
surveys before 1980 from several parts
of the Indo-Pacific documented live
coral cover of 50 to 70 percent (Gomez
et al., 1981).
Unlike the Caribbean, no recent
region-wide reports of current, overall
live coral cover are available for the
Indo-Pacific as a whole. However,
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recent reports from parts of the region
have found current live coral cover
higher than the 20 percent for the region
reported earlier, and stable or increasing
live coral cover. For example,
monitoring data collected annually from
47 sites on the GBR from 1995 to 2009
averaged 29 percent live coral cover.
More importantly, this study found no
evidence of consistent, system-wide
decline in coral cover since 1995.
Instead, fluctuations in coral cover at
sub-regional scales (10–100 km), driven
mostly by changes in fast-growing
Acroporidae, occurred as a result of
localized disturbance events and
subsequent recovery (Osborne et al.,
2011). However, another recent study
based on 2,258 surveys of 214 GBR reefs
over 1985–2012, showed declines in
live coral cover from 28 percent to 14
percent, a loss of half of the initial coral
cover. In the Philippines, a study of 317
sites from 1981 to 2010 averaged 36
percent live coral cover, and showed an
overall increase from 29 percent in 1981
to 37 percent in 2010 (Magdaong et al.,
2013). A study of 366 sites from 1977 to
2005 in the Indian Ocean documented
large initial decline from approximately
35 percent live coral cover to
approximately 15 percent at most sites
following the 1998 bleaching event,
followed by partial recovery to
approximately 25 percent, and then
stability of live coral cover
(Ateweberhan et al., 2011). Likewise, a
study in Western Australia from 2005 to
2009, following the 2005 bleaching
event, documented declines to 10
percent live coral cover as a result of the
event and then subsequent recovery to
30 percent (Ceccarelli et al., 2011). A
study in the Andaman Islands from
2010 to 2012 following the 2010
bleaching also documented substantial
recovery of live coral cover (Marimuthu
et al., 2012; Osborne et al., 2011).
These recent studies illustrate the
dynamic nature of live coral cover,
especially recovery from the 1998
bleaching event. It is likely that the
overall basin-wide live coral cover in
both the Caribbean and the Indo-Pacific
has declined over decadal and centurial
time scales, but with fluctuations on
shorter time scales and within smaller
geographic scales. This is significant
because coral decline doesn’t occur in
every location at every time scale.
Rather, there are periods of decline and
recovery over shorter time periods in
various locations throughout the larger
basins. This has broad implications
when analyzing the temporal and
spatial elements of a coral species’
extinction risk.
Disagreements over the methods of
how to measure live coral cover have
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led to different results in studies
measuring changes in live coral cover
over time. For example, one study
(Bellwood et al., 2004) reported
approximately 50 percent declines in
live coral cover on GBR over the last
several decades, but another study
disagreed (Sweatman et al., 2011),
making the case for considerably
smaller declines, using a different
method. Both studies provided detailed
support for their methods and findings
(Hughes et al., 2011; Sweatman and
Syms, 2011). Studies supporting both
results have since been published
(De’ath et al., 2012; Osborne et al.,
2011), and such disagreements illustrate
the complexity of determining trends in
live coral cover.
In conclusion, the supplemental
information regarding live coral cover
does not dispute that there has been a
long-term overall decline in live coral
cover in both the Caribbean and IndoPacific, and that those declines are
likely ongoing and likely to continue in
the future due to a multitude of global
and local threats at all spatial scales.
Further, both basins have experienced
conditions leading to coral mortality
and prevention of full recovery;
however, the Caribbean has been more
greatly impacted. While basin-wide
averages are useful for large-scale
comparisons, they do not describe
conditions at finer, regional scales. For
example, decreases in overall live coral
cover have occurred since 2002 in some
areas, such as on the GBR, while
increases have occurred in other areas,
such as in American Samoa. As the
supplemental information further
illustrates, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context. Live coral cover trends are
complex, dynamic, and highly variable
across space and time. Thus their
interpretation requires the appropriate
spatial-temporal context (i.e., entire
range or each species now and through
foreseeable future), and an
understanding of the various physical,
biological, and ecological processes at
work within coral communities and
coral reef ecosystems.
In the proposed rule, we provided a
summary of conditions in the eastern
Pacific to illustrate the contrast to the
conditions in Indo-Pacific and
Caribbean. This description was
relevant because the range of one of our
candidate species, Pocillopora elegans
(eastern Pacific), was restricted to the
eastern Pacific. Because we are no
longer considering the three proposed
Pocillopora species in this final rule, a
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53883
detailed description of the eastern
Pacific is not necessary.
Spatial and Temporal Refugia
Comment 7 suggested that certain
habitats (e.g., mesophotic) may provide
refugia for shallow water corals.
Therefore, we provide the following
discussion of temporal and spatial
refugia. Some of these concepts were
discussed in the Threats Evaluation
section of the proposed rule as they
relate to exposure of corals to the
various threats and how exposure
influences extinction risk. The above
information on coral habitats illustrates
the enormous heterogeneity of the
environments that many of these species
inhabit. Each species occurs in a
patchwork of variable habitat conditions
at any given point in time, with certain
combinations of variables at certain
locations producing favorable
conditions that may provide refugia
from threats such as ocean warming.
Habitat conditions are highly variable
over time in different ways, including
cyclically (e.g., from tidal, seasonal,
annual, and decadal cycles),
episodically (e.g., storms, temperature
anomalies, etc.), and linearly (e.g.,
gradual thermal regime changes, which
will both degrade and improve habitat,
depending on location and initial
conditions). The dynamic nature of reefbuilding coral habitats may provide
refugia for some corals from some
threats, both spatially and temporally
(Fine et al., 2013; McClanahan et al.,
2011; Riegl and Piller, 2003).
Some habitats have natural features
that reduce stress from extremely high
temperatures or light levels (i.e., the
most common causes of coral
bleaching), which may provide spatial
refugia for some reef-building coral
species from ocean warming and other
threats. Deeper water may be cooler
depending on the amount of mixing,
and is exposed to less light (i.e.,
irradiance). Mesophotic habitats are
very extensive, and recent investigations
provide evidence that mesophotic
habitat functions as refugia for some
reef-building corals. A review of
mesophotic habitat on Australia’s GBR
concluded that reef-building corals in
mesophotic habitat are less likely to be
affected by warming-induced bleaching
events than their counterparts on nearby
shallow reefs (Bridge et al., 2012a).
Mesophotic habitat may also be
important for recovery of corals
disturbed coral reefs by providing
sources of propagules to recolonize
shallow reefs following disturbances
(Bridge and Guinotte, 2013). A 37-year
record from the eastern Pacific across
˜
the two most severe El Nino events on
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record (1982–83 and 1997–98) shows
how an exceptionally thermallysensitive reef-building fire coral,
Millepora intricata, twice survived
catastrophic bleaching in a deeper water
refuge (>11 m depth). During both
events, M. intricata was extirpated
across its range in shallow water but
showed recovery within several years,
while two other fire corals without
deep-water populations were driven to
regional extinction (Smith et al., in
press).
The refuge value of mesophotic
habitats is limited, however. Only about
one-quarter of all reef-building coral
species occur at mesophotic depths
(Bongaerts et al., 2012) and only 22 of
our proposed species. Also, there is
limited connectivity between
mesophotic and shallow coral habitats,
at least for some species, suggesting that
the actual likelihood of mesophotic
corals repopulating shallow reef habitats
is low for those species. For example,
genetic connectivity between
mesophotic and shallow populations is
high in Seriatopora hystrix on the GBR
(van Oppen et al., 2011) and Millepora
intricata in the eastern Pacific (Smith et
al., in press), but low for Montastraea
cavernosa in the Caribbean (Brazeau et
al., 2013).
Marginal habitats are also extensive,
and recent investigations provide
evidence that marginal habitat also
functions as refugia for some reefbuilding corals. Marginal habitats
include turbid (Blakeway et al., 2013;
Browne et al., 2012), very warm (Riegl
and Purkis, 2012; Riegl et al., 2011),
cold (Dalton and Roff, 2013; Lybolt et
al., 2011), soft substrate, and other
environments (Couce et al., 2012; Done,
1982; Perry and Larcombe, 2003) with
sub-optimal coral growth conditions. A
study of future coral habitat suitability
under ocean warming and acidification
suggests that marginal habitats may
provide important refugia for some reefbuilding corals (Couce et al., 2013b),
though not all coral species can survive
in these habitats. The study found that
the IPCC AR4’s higher emission
scenarios are all likely to result in: (1)
Range expansion at the high-latitude
boundaries; (2) no decreased suitability
in currently marginal eastern Equatorial
Pacific locations as well as in the
Atlantic generally; and (3) severe
temperature-driven impacts in the
western Equatorial Pacific (Coral
Triangle) and surrounding regions.
These findings led to the conclusion
that marginal habitat is likely to
function as a patchwork of refuge
habitats for some reef-building corals in
both the Indo-Pacific and Atlantic as
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ocean warming and acidification
increase over the twenty-first century.
Aside from mesophotic and marginal
habitats, other types of habitats may
provide refuge for reef-building corals
from ocean warming and other threats.
Some of these have long been known to
reduce thermal stress, such as those
habitats with highly-fluctuating
conditions, strong currents from wind or
tides, and shading from frequent cloud
cover or complex bathymetry, as
described in the proposed rule and
supporting documents. Supplemental
information suggests other
oceanographic features may also
provide refuge from ocean warming
both currently and the foreseeable
future, such as: (1) Large-scale
upwelling in both the Pacific
(Karnauskas and Cohen, 2012) and
Caribbean (Bayraktarov et al., 2012); (2)
the similar but smaller-scale
phenomenon of internal tidal bores that
transport cooler, deeper water to
warmer, shallower areas (Storlazzi et al.,
2013); (3) and the wakes of relatively
cool water left by the passage of tropical
cyclones (Carrigan, 2012). Most of the
refugia described above are with regard
to ocean warming, but some of these
habitat types provide refugia potential
from ocean acidification, such as highlyfluctuating habitats which limit pH
minima via tidal flux (Shaw et al.,
2012), and from disease and
sedimentation, such as high-energy
habitats which provide flushing that
reduces conditions conducive to disease
and removes sediment. Seagrass beds
provide beneficial changes in ocean
chemistry to seawater on adjacent reefs,
providing local refugia to ocean
acidification (Manzello et al., 2012).
Depth also provides some refugia
potential from disease, as most studies
show a negative correlation between
depth and coral disease incidence.
However, some studies show no such
correlation, and disease incidence can
be comparable between mesophotic and
shallow depths (Brandt et al., 2012).
Thermal regime changes from ocean
warming will have opposite effects on
habitat, depending on location: In
locations already near the thermal
maxima of reef-building corals, warming
will degrade habitat, but in locations
currently too cool for these species,
warming will improve habitat, if other
habitat features conducive to reef
growth are also present, such as hard
substrate and appropriate light and
water chemistry conditions. Geological
evidence from past global warming
periods shows a pattern of poleward
expansion of some reef-building coral
ranges, coupled with decline in
equatorial areas (Kiessling et al., 2012)
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and expansion into temperate areas
(Woodroffe et al., 2010). Predicted
ocean warming in the twenty-first
century is expected to result in a similar
pattern of poleward expansion, thus
newly-colonized areas may provide
temporary refugia for some species (van
Hooidonk et al., 2013b). For example,
models suggest that such expansion of
reef-building corals could occur at the
rate of 1–4 km per year in Japan (Yara
et al., 2011). As temperatures increase to
the optimal range for reef-building
corals in these northerly and southerly
areas, however, the simultaneous
increase in ocean acidification may
negate the suitability of these areas (van
Hooidonk et al., 2014; Yara et al., 2012).
While it may appear that there is no
long-term, large-scale refugia from both
ocean warming and ocean acidification
(van Hooidonk et al., 2014), on a finer
regional and/or reef-scale, there is still
a large amount of refugia in the form of
heterogeneous habitat, including
mesophotic, non-reefal, and marginal
habitats, that provide a buffer to corals
from threats into the foreseeable future.
Corals and Coral Reefs Conclusion
The above general information on
reef-building coral biology and habitat
leads to several important overall points
that apply both currently and over the
foreseeable future. With regard to reefbuilding coral biology, first,
delineations between individual
colonies of the same species, and
between species, can be highly
uncertain, creating ambiguity with
regard to the status of species—specific
sources of uncertainty include unclear
individual delineations, taxonomic
uncertainty, and species identification
uncertainty. Thus, in our species
determinations we use the physiological
colony to inform how we estimate
abundance of a coral species because
that is how field surveys estimate coral
abundance. Using the physiological
colony to estimate abundance in the
final rule does not change how we
estimated abundance in the proposed
rule, in which we also relied on
information that uses the physiological
colony to report abundance estimates. If
we have new or supplemental
information on the effective population
size (e.g., proportion of clonality) for a
species, that information is also
considered. Second, while corals can
reproduce both sexually and asexually,
abundance estimates are based solely on
the physical number of coral colonies
that does not recognize mode of
reproduction. Dispersal and recruitment
patterns are highly variable across space
and time, leading to complex and poorly
understood population dynamics and
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connectivity. In our species
determinations, we consider life history
characteristics that may contribute to
extinction risk. For example, species
with high recruitment rates or fast
growth rates may have the ability to
more quickly recover from disturbances.
Additionally, long-lived species with
large colony size can sustain partial
mortality (fission) and still have
potential for persistence and regrowth.
Third, all species considered in this
final rule occur in multiple habitat types
and have considerable distributions that
encompass at least thousands of islands
and multiple habitat types, which
influences absolute abundances—the
absolute distributions and absolute
abundances of these species are key
components of their vulnerability to
extinction. Therefore, in our species
determinations, the spatial and
demographic traits of absolute
abundance and absolute distribution
inform our evaluation of a species’
current status and its capacity to
respond to changing conditions over the
foreseeable future.
Additionally, because of variability
between species, some generalities
cannot be assumed to apply equally to
each species. Therefore, in our species
determinations we consider the
complex nature of coral biology and
assume that for all species, responses to
threats will be variable between
individual coral colonies and even
between different portions of the same
colony. The best available speciesspecific information for each of the 65
species is provided in the Speciesspecific Information and Determinations
sub-sections below.
With regard to reef-building coral
habitat, first, the heterogeneity of reefbuilding coral habitat varies greatly both
spatially and temporally. That is, the
habitat of a given species varies
spatially (i.e., even the smallest ranges
of the species included in this final rule
encompass thousands of islands and
multiple habitat types) and temporally
(i.e., varies over time in response to
disturbances and recoveries). Second,
some habitat types are understudied
(e.g., mesophotic and marginal) so data
about their contribution to the
distribution and abundance of
individual coral species are limited, as
well as the possibility of refugia from
particular threats being underestimated.
Third, a diversity of habitats likely
helps some species capacity to
acclimatize and adapt to changing
conditions, especially extreme habitats.
For example, while some colonies die
during the stressful conditions common
to extreme habitats, other colonies at the
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same reef survive and acclimatize,
potentially leading to adaptation. The
magnitude and diversity of reef-building
coral habitats creates high physical
heterogeneity across the ranges of these
species, providing habitat refugia from
threats. Some of these refuge habitats
may already be occupied by the species;
others could become occupied as their
suitability changes, assuming the
species are able to reproduce and
successfully recruit into these areas. The
habitat heterogeneity and refugia lead to
variable micro-climates at a reef scale
that leads to variable responses by reefbuilding corals to threats, both spatially
and over time, which adds complexity
to assessing the status of species in a
worsening environment.
Overall, in our species
determinations, we recognize that the
exposure and response of a coral species
to global threats varies spatially and
temporally based on variability in the
species’ habitat and distribution. All
species considered in this final rule
occur in multiple habitat types, or reef
environments, and have distributions
that encompass diverse physical
environmental conditions that influence
how that species responds to global
threats. As such, the concept of
heterogeneous habitat influences
extinction risk for all species in this
final rule because each species
experiences a wide variety of conditions
throughout its range which allows for
variable responses to global and local
threats.
Threats Evaluation
Section 4(a)(1) of the ESA and NMFS’
implementing regulations (50 CFR 424)
state that the agency must determine
whether a species is endangered or
threatened because of any one or a
combination of five factors: (A) Present
or threatened destruction, modification,
or curtailment of habitat or range; (B)
overutilization for commercial,
recreational, scientific, or educational
purposes; (C) disease or predation; (D)
inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms; or (E) other natural or
manmade factors affecting its continued
existence. In the proposed rule, our
evaluation of the five factors was
informed by the SRR and SIR for factors
A–C and E; and the Final Management
Report for factor D. We identified factors
acting directly as stressors to the 82
coral species (e.g., sedimentation and
elevated ocean temperatures) as distinct
from the sources responsible for those
factors (e.g., land management practices
and climate change) and qualitatively
evaluated the impact each threat has on
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the candidate species’ extinction risk
over the foreseeable future.
The proposed rule qualitatively
ranked each threat as high, medium,
low, or negligible (or combinations of
two; e.g., ‘‘low-medium’’) importance in
terms of their contribution to extinction
risk of all coral species across their
ranges. These qualitative rankings
considered: (1) The severity of the
threat; (2) the geographic scope of the
threat; (3) the level of certainty that
corals in general (given the paucity of
species-level information) are affected
by each threat; (4) the projections of
potential changes in the threat; and (5)
the impacts of the threat on each
species. Global climate change directly
influences two of the three highest
ranked threats, ocean warming and
ocean acidification, and indirectly
(through ocean warming) influences the
remaining highest ranked threat,
disease.
We identified nine threats (see Table
1) as posing either current or future
extinction risk to the proposed corals.
However, the SRR identified 19 threats
that affect corals. The ten threats not
included in Table 1 did not rank highly
in their contribution to extinction risk,
although they do adversely affect the
species. Ocean warming, ocean
acidification, and disease are
overarching threats of high or mediumhigh importance when evaluating the
extinction risk of the proposed species.
These impacts are currently occurring,
and are expected to worsen, posing
increasingly severe effects on the
species considered in this final rule.
Other threats are of medium or mediumlow importance when evaluating
extinction risk because their effects are
largely indirect and/or local to regional
in spatial scale. These include trophic
effects of fishing, sea-level rise, and
water quality issues related to
sedimentation and nutrients. The
remaining threats can be locally acute,
but because they affect limited
geographic areas, they are of low
importance when evaluating extinction
risk. Examples in this category are
predation or collection for the
ornamental trade industry. These threats
are more significant to certain species,
such as those with naturally low
abundance and/or those at severely
depleted population levels. However,
none of the species in this final rule can
be characterized as such.
Table 1. The nine most important
threats contributing to extinction risk
for corals in general and ordered
according to importance. The threat is
paired with its corresponding ESA
section 4 factor in the last column.
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Threat
Importance
Ocean Warming ......................................................................................................................................
Disease ...................................................................................................................................................
Ocean Acidification .................................................................................................................................
Trophic Effects of Fishing .......................................................................................................................
Sedimentation .........................................................................................................................................
Nutrients ..................................................................................................................................................
Sea-Level Rise ........................................................................................................................................
Predation .................................................................................................................................................
Collection and Trade ...............................................................................................................................
High .......................
High .......................
Medium-High ..........
Medium ..................
Low-Medium ..........
Low-Medium ..........
Low-Medium ..........
Low ........................
Low ........................
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Some comments (e.g., Comment 26)
suggested that local threats, such as
sedimentation, are more important
locally to species’ extinction risk than
the higher rated threats. In the proposed
rule, we acknowledged that some of the
local threats have been the cause of
mass coral mortality in particular
locations. Further, supplemental
information provides evidence that local
threats, such as overfishing and disease,
have actually been more significant
drivers of past coral reef species decline,
particularly in the Caribbean (Jackson et
al., 2014). However, we must evaluate
all threats that pose an extinction risk to
the proposed species over the
foreseeable future. Given the predicted
impacts of climate-related threats over
the foreseeable future, we maintain the
relative importance ranking of the
threats to reef-building corals generally.
However, we acknowledge that lower
importance threats also pose significant
risk to individual species in certain
locations.
Foreseeable Future
In the proposed rule, we established
that the appropriate period of time
corresponding to the foreseeable future
is a function of the particular types of
threats, the life-history characteristics,
and the specific habitat requirements for
the coral species under consideration.
The timeframe corresponding to the
foreseeable future takes into account the
time necessary to provide for the
conservation and recovery of each
threatened species (e.g., recruitment
rate, growth rate, etc.) and the
ecosystems upon which they depend,
but is also a function of the reliability
of available data regarding the identified
threats and extends only as far as the
data allow for making reasonable
predictions about the species’ response
to those threats. As is discussed further
in the Foreseeable Future and Current
and Future Environmental Conditions
subsections of the Risk Analysis section
below, the period of time over which
individual threats and responses may be
projected varies according to the nature
of the threat and the type of information
available about that threat and the
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species’ likely response. As described
below, the more vulnerable a coral
species is to the high importance threats
(i.e., ocean warming, diseases, ocean
acidification), the more likely the
species is at risk of extinction, either
now or within the foreseeable future.
The threats related to global climate
change (e.g., bleaching from ocean
warming, ocean acidification) pose the
greatest potential extinction risk to
corals and have been evaluated with
sufficient certainty out to the year 2100.
Comment 38 provides a summary of
the comments we received on the
determination of foreseeable future in
the proposed rule and supporting
documents as extending out to the year
2100. Many comments criticized the use
of 2100 because they considered it to be
too far into the future. We do not agree
that 2100 is too far in the future to be
considered foreseeable as it pertains to
projections regarding climate-change
related threats. As described in detail in
the Global Climate Change—General
Overview section, the IPCC Fifth
Assessment Report (AR5), Climate
Change 2013: The Physical Science
Basis (IPCC, 2013), commonly referred
to as the Working Group I Report (WGI),
is a continuation of AR4. Most of AR5
WGI’s models also use 2100 as the endpoint (some models go beyond 2100)
and the supplemental information
included in AR5 reinforces our original
basis for defining the foreseeable future
as the period of time from the present
to the year 2100 (IPCC, 2013). That is,
the foreseeable future is not defined as
the year 2100, but rather as the time
period from the present to the year
2100, with increasing uncertainty in
climate change projections over that
time period. So while precise conditions
during the year 2100 are not reasonably
foreseeable, the general trend in
conditions during the period of time
from now to 2100 including the period
2081 to 2100 is reasonably foreseeable
as a whole, although less so through
time. Because the time period of the
present to the year 2100 is strongly
supported as a reasonably foreseeable
timeframe in the climate science
projections in AR5’s WGI, and because
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Section 4 factor
E.
C.
E.
A.
A and E.
A and E.
A.
C.
B.
the climate-related impacts to coral reefs
may be substantial within that
timeframe, our conclusion that 2100 is
the appropriate timeframe for purposes
of analyzing climate change-related
threats remains unchanged.
Nine Most Important Threats to ReefBuilding Corals
As described above and shown in
Table 1, we considered nine threats to
be the most important to the current or
expected future extinction risk of reefbuilding corals: Ocean warming,
disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of reef fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. Vulnerability of a
coral species to a threat is a function of
susceptibility and exposure, considered
at the appropriate spatial and temporal
scales. In this finding, the spatial scale
is the current range of the species, and
the temporal scale is from now through
the foreseeable future. Susceptibility
refers to the response of coral colonies
to the adverse conditions produced by
the threat. Susceptibility of a coral
species to a threat is primarily a
function of biological processes and
characteristics, and can vary greatly
between and within taxa. Susceptibility
depends on direct effects of the threat
on the species, and it also depends on
the cumulative (i.e., additive) and
interactive (i.e., synergistic or
antagonistic) effects of multiple threats
acting simultaneously on the species.
Exposure refers to the degree to which
the species is likely to be subjected to
the threats throughout its range, so the
overall vulnerability of a coral species to
threats depends on the proportion of
colonies that are exposed to the threats.
Thus, the exposure of a species to
threats, on a range-wide scale, is a
function of physical processes and
characteristics that affect the frequency
or degree to which individual colonies
experience the threats and the ability of
its spatial and demographic traits to
affect its overall vulnerability. A species
may not necessarily be highly
vulnerable to a threat even when it is
highly susceptible to the threat, if
exposure is low over the appropriate
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spatial and temporal scales.
Consideration of the appropriate spatial
and temporal scales is particularly
important, because of potential high
variability in some threats over the large
spatial scales. The nine most important
threats are summarized below,
including general descriptions of
susceptibility and exposure. Speciesspecific threat susceptibilities are
described in the Species-specific
Information and Determinations section.
Global Climate Change—General
Overview
Several of the most important threats
contributing to the extinction risk of
corals are related to global climate
change. The main concerns regarding
impacts of global climate change on
coral reefs generally, and on the
proposed corals in particular, are the
magnitude and the rapid pace of change
in GHG concentrations (e.g., carbon
dioxide (CO2) and methane) and
atmospheric warming since the
Industrial Revolution in the mid-19th
century. These changes are increasing
the warming of the global climate
system and altering the carbonate
chemistry of the ocean (ocean
acidification), which affects a number of
biological processes in corals, including
secretion of their skeletons. The
description and analysis of global
climate change in the proposed rule and
supporting documents were based
largely on the IPCC AR4, The Physical
Science Basis (IPCC, 2007) and
supporting literature. Supplemental
information gathered during the public
engagement period shows that global
temperatures continue to increase and
that temperature patterns differ
regionally.
As summarized in Comment 11, we
received many comments on our
analysis of global climate change in the
proposed rule. Some commenters
asserted that we did not adequately
portray the level of uncertainty
associated with the available climate
change models. Others provided
information that global GHG emissions
and global temperatures continue to rise
unabated. Additionally, significant
supplemental information has become
available on global climate change since
the proposed rule, specifically, AR5’s
WGI (IPCC, 2013), and its companion
report, Climate Change 2014: Impacts,
Adaptation, and Vulnerability,
commonly referred to as the Working
Group II Report (WGII; IPCC, 2014).
The IPCC has summarized the major
sources of uncertainty associated with
AR5’s WGI projections of global climate
change as: (1) The projected rate of
increase for GHG concentrations; (2)
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strength of the climate’s response to
GHG concentrations; and (3) large
natural variations. The warming rate
slow-down (or ‘‘hiatus’’ discussed in the
Threats Evaluation—Ocean Warming
section) since 1998 is an example of a
large natural variation that was not
predicted by the models at that time.
However, AR4’s projections are built on
scientifically sound principles, and they
fairly simulate many large-scale aspects
of present-day conditions, and thereby
provided the best available information
on climate change at the time the
proposed rule was published. Overall
uncertainty is not necessarily any
greater in AR5 than in AR4, but rather
the uncertainty is understood better and
expressed more clearly in AR5’s WGI
(IPCC, 2007; IPCC, 2013; Knutti and Jan
´
Sedlacek, 2012). AR5’s WGI represents
the largest synthesis of global climate
change physical science ever compiled,
and a substantial advance from AR4.
WGI is divided into four sections that
examine observations, drivers,
understanding, and projections of
changes to the global climate system.
The primary results of these four
sections relevant to this rule are
summarized below; then a summary of
the potential impacts to corals resulting
from the IPCC climate change scenario
that we consider to be the most
impactful to corals is provided in the
RCP8.5 Projections section below, with
a focus on ocean warming and
acidification, two of the most important
threats to corals.
The first section of WGI considers
observations of changes in the climate
system, which refers to description of
past climate patterns, and the certainty
associated with the same. The overall
conclusion of this section is that
warming of the climate system is
unequivocal and since the 1950s, many
of the observed changes are
unprecedented over decades to
millennia. With regard to ocean
warming, it is ‘‘virtually certain’’ that
the upper ocean (0–700 m) warmed
from 1971 to 2010. With regard to ocean
acidification, it is ‘‘very likely’’ that the
pH of surface ocean waters has
decreased as a result of ocean uptake of
anthropogenic CO2 from the
atmosphere. With regard to sea-level
rise, it is ‘‘virtually certain’’ that the
global mean sea level rose by 19 cm
from 1901 to 2010 (IPCC, 2013).
The second section of WGI considers
drivers of changes in the climate system,
which refers to explanations of factors
forcing climate patterns. Natural and
anthropogenic substances and processes
that alter the Earth’s energy budget are
drivers of climate change. In AR5,
radiative forcing (RF, measured in watts
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53887
per square meter, W/m2) quantifies
energy fluxes caused by changes in
these drivers relative to the year 1750.
Increasing RF leads to surface warming,
and decreasing RF leads to surface
cooling. The concentration of CO2 in the
atmosphere is the dominant
anthropogenic driver. Higher
atmospheric CO2 results in: Ocean
warming via the greenhouse effect,
ocean acidification via oceanic uptake
of CO2, and rising sea levels via ice
melting and thermal expansion. Patterns
in solar activity and major volcanic
eruptions are the two dominant natural
drivers. Solar activity can either
increase or decrease RF, whereas major
volcanic eruptions only decrease RF.
Current total RF relative to 1750 is
positive, and has led to an uptake of
energy by the climate system. The
largest contribution to current total RF
is the increasing atmospheric
concentration of CO2 since 1750, most
of which has been anthropogenic CO2
emitted since 1860, and the mean rate
of increase in CO2 is unprecedented in
the past 20,000 years. Current CO2
levels (∼400 ppm) will result in
continued warming even if
anthropogenic emissions went to zero
now (this is referred to as
‘‘commitment’’ to future warming from
the CO2 build-up already in the
atmosphere), but reducing emissions
now would strongly influence the levels
of future warming (IPCC, 2013).
The third section of WGI describes
past climate patterns to understand the
changes in the climate system. It is
‘‘extremely likely’’ that human activities
caused more than half of the observed
increase in global average surface
temperature from 1951 to 2010.
Anthropogenic GHGs have ‘‘very likely’’
made a substantial contribution to
upper-ocean warming (above 700 m)
observed since the 1970s. It is also ‘‘very
likely’’ that oceanic uptake of
anthropogenic CO2 has reduced surface
water pH. The anthropogenic ocean
warming observed since the 1970s has
contributed to global sea-level rise over
this period through ice melting and
thermal expansion (IPCC, 2013).
The fourth section of WGI uses
projected changes in the climate system
to model potential patterns of future
climate. WGI uses a new set of four
representative concentration pathways
(RCP) that provide a standard
framework for consistently modeling
future climate change. These replace the
old Special Report on Emissions
Scenarios (SRES) system used in prior
assessments. The new RCPs are named
according to increases in radiative
forcing (RF) relative to the 1986–2005
average by the year 2100 of 2.6, 4.5, 6.0,
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and 8.5 W/m2, RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0,
and RCP8.5. The four new pathways
have atmospheric CO2 equivalents of
421 (RCP2.6), 538 (RCP4.5), 670
(RCP6.0), and 936 ppm (RCP 8.5) in
2100, and follow very different
trajectories to reach those endpoints.
The purpose of the RCPs was to
explicitly explore the impact of different
climate policies in addition to the noclimate-policy scenarios explored in the
earlier scenarios (Van Vuuren et al.,
2011). The four new pathways were
developed with the intent of providing
a wide range of total climate forcing to
guide policy discussions and
specifically include one mitigation
pathway leading to a very low forcing
level (RCP2.6), two stabilization
pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP6), and one
pathway with continued high GHG
emissions (RCP8.5).
The RCP method more strongly
represents the physical processes
underlying climate change, and various
factors affecting GHG emissions
globally, than previous methods. WGI
adjusts the likely global surface
warming that would result from a
doubling of atmospheric CO2 to
1.5–4.5 °C (compared to AR4’s estimate
of 2.0–4.5 °C), due to improved
understanding of the climate system, the
extended temperature record in the
atmosphere and ocean, and new
estimates of radiative forcing to GHG
concentrations. Taken together, the four
new pathways project wide ranges of
increases in ocean warming, ocean
acidification, and sea level rise globally
throughout the 21st century with
conditions seen in RCP 2.6–6.0
requiring significant changes in
anthropogenic GHG emissions (IPCC,
2013).
The proposed rule and supporting
documents assumed that AR4’s highestemission scenario A1FI was the most
likely to occur for two reasons: (1)
Recent annual GHG emission growth
rates had exceeded the GHG emission
growth rates in A1F1 (except 2009 when
the global recession slowed growth);
and (2) there were no indications that
major reductions in GHG emissions
would occur in the near to mid-term
future (decades) through national or
international policies or major changes
in the global fossil fuel economy
(Brainard et al., 2011). Recent annual
GHG emission growth rates (except
2009) exceed the GHG emission growth
´ ´
rates in RCP8.5 (Le Quere et al., 2013).
While the President’s Climate Action
Plan and intensified international
climate negotiations may change global
emissions trajectories, we make the
conservative assumption to evaluate
RCP8.5, and its projections for ocean
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warming and ocean acidification, in our
assessment of extinction risk for the
corals in the final rule. RCP8.5 is the
scenario with the highest GHG
emissions rate and subsequent future
GHG levels; thus it would be the most
impactful to corals through ocean
warming and ocean acidification.
However, should another of the IPCC
RCPs ultimately be realized, the
negative impacts to corals would be
lower.
As described above, we received and
collected significant supplemental
information regarding our consideration
of global climate change in the proposed
rule. Additional observations, data, and
testing have produced better models and
a greater understanding of the
uncertainty inherent in climate change
projections. Annual GHG emission rates
continue to climb to record levels, and
the last decade has been the warmest on
record, underscoring the proposed rule’s
conclusions about climate change
threats to reef-building corals. We
conclude that the supplemental
information supports the central
premise of the proposed rule that global
climate change-related threats have
already caused widespread impacts to
corals and coral reefs and these impacts
will become increasingly severe from
now to 2100, with correspondingly
severe consequences for corals and coral
reefs. However, we acknowledge that
the interpretation of future climate
change threats to corals and coral reefs
is associated with complexity and
uncertainty, and that precise effects on
individual species of reef-building
corals are difficult to determine.
Species-specific threat susceptibilities
of each of the 65 species in this final
rule to the threats resulting from global
climate change are described in the
Species-specific Information and
Determinations section below.
RCP8.5 Projections
Because we have determined that
RCP8.5 is the most impactful pathway
to corals, we provide a summary of
RCP8.5’s projections over the
foreseeable future for ocean warming
and ocean acidification (IPCC, 2013).
Where possible, projections are
provided for the near-term (to midcentury) and long-term (to 2100), and
globally and regionally (Indo-Pacific
and Caribbean). Implications for coral
reefs are also described.
Ocean Warming. Under RCP8.5,
annual averaged, globally averaged,
surface ocean temperature is projected
to increase by approximately 0.7 °C by
2030 and 1.4 °C by 2060 compared to
the 1986–2005 average, with the 10 to
90 percent range increasing over that
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time period to approximately +/¥0.7 °C
by 2060 (IPCC, 2013; WGI Figure 11.19).
Projected changes in annual mean ocean
temperature between 60 °N and 60 °S
latitude in 2081–2100 are shown in WGI
Figure 12.12. Under RCP8.5, annual
mean surface ocean temperature
between 60 °N and 60 °S latitude is
projected to increase by approximately
3.5 °C by 2081–2100 compared to the
1986–2005 average (IPCC, 2013; WGI
Figure 12.12). A different graph using
the same data shows global annual
mean surface ocean temperature is
projected to increase by approximately
3.5 °C by 2081–2100 compared to the
1986–2005 average, with 5 to 95 percent
range of +/¥1–1.5 °C (IPCC, 2013;
Figure AI.SM8.5.4). Thus, RCP8.5
projects that global annual mean ocean
surface temperatures will increase by
approximately 0.4–1 °C by 2030,
approximately 0.7–2 °C by 2060, and
approximately 2–5 °C by 2081–2100
(IPCC, 2013).
Projected changes in Indo-Pacific
annual median ocean surface
temperatures (i.e., WGI’s West Indian
Ocean, North Indian Ocean, Southeast
Asia, North Australia, and Pacific
Islands regions), and Caribbean annual
median land and ocean combined
surface temperatures, compared to the
1986–2005 average are shown in the
figures in WGI’s Annex I’s
Supplementary Material for RCP8.5 for
these six WGI regions, which together
cover the ranges of the species included
in this final rule. The figures include
graphs in the upper right showing the
projected median temperature increase
to 2100 under RCP8.5, the 25 to 75
percent range, and the 5 to 95 percent
range. The figures also includes maps of
each region showing projected changes
spatially under RCP8.5 for the time
periods 2016–2035, 2046–2065, and
2081–2100, and for the 25 percent, 50
percent, and 75 percent projections
under RCP8.5 for each of these time
periods. For the Caribbean, the range of
projections spanned by the 25, 50, and
75 percent range maps are: For 2016–
2035, increases of 0.5–1.0 °C; for 2046–
2065, increases of 1.0–3.0 °C; and for
2081–2100, increases of 2.0–4.0 °C.
Spatial variability in the projections
consists mostly of larger increases in the
Greater Antilles and Jamaica, and lower
increases in the Lesser Antilles and the
Bahamas (Figure AI.SM8.5.44). The
percent ranges in the projections
described above are from the maps and
are for the 25 to 75 percent range,
however range of projections within the
5 to 95 percent range are considerably
greater, as shown in the bar-and-whisker
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graph in the upper right of each figure
(IPCC, 2013).
For the Indo-Pacific (WGI’s West
Indian Ocean, North Indian Ocean,
Southeast Asia, North Australia, and
Pacific Islands regions), the range of
projections spanned by the 25, 50, and
75 percent range maps are: For 2016–
2035, increases of 0.0–1.0 °C; for 2046–
2065, increases of 1.0–3.0 °C; and for
2081–2100, increases of 2.0–5.0 °C.
Spatial variability in the projections
consists mostly of larger increases in the
Red Sea, Persian Gulf, and the Coral
Triangle, and lower increases in the
central and eastern Indian Ocean and
south-central Pacific (Figures
AI.SM8.5.92, 116, 124, 132, and 140).
The percent ranges in the projections
described above are from the maps and
are for the 25 to 75 percent range,
however range of projections within the
5 to 95 percent range are considerably
greater, as shown in the bar-and-whisker
graph in the upper right of each figure
(IPCC, 2013).
To summarize ocean warming
projections, RCP8.5 projects annual
median ocean surface temperature
increases for the Indo-Pacific, and
annual median land and ocean
combined surface temperature increases
for the Caribbean. Projected median
temperatures, and associated 25 to 75
percent range and 5 to 95 percent range,
are provided for the time periods of
2016–2035, 2046–2065, and 2081–2100.
We interpret these projections as
follows: (1) Global annual median ocean
surface temperatures are likely to rise
approximately 2–5 °C by 2081–2100,
exacerbating the impacts of ocean
warming on reef-building corals; (2)
these global mean projections are not
necessarily representative of ocean
surface temperature conditions
throughout the ranges and habitats of
the species in this final rule through the
foreseeable future, due to spatial
variability and statistical range of the
RCP8.5 ocean warming projections
described above for the Indo-Pacific and
Caribbean regions; and (3) ocean surface
temperature conditions in the
foreseeable future within the ranges of
the species in this final rule are
assumed to vary spatially at the coarse
spatial scales shown in WGI for the
Indo-Pacific and Caribbean regions, and
more so at finer spatial scales, and to
fall within the statistical ranges
projected for the Indo-Pacific and
Caribbean regions.
Ocean Acidification. Under RCP8.5,
mean surface pH in the tropics (20 °N
to 20 °S) is projected to decline from the
current pH of approximately 8.05 to
approximately 7.95 by 2050, and to
approximately 7.75 by 2100, or a
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reduction of 0.31 (statistical range of
0.30 to 0.32) by 2100 (IPCC, 2013; WGI
Figure 6.28a). Projected changes in
global surface pH in the 2090s
compared to the 1990s under RCP8.5 are
shown in the map in WGI Figure 6.28b.
In the tropical Indo-Pacific, decreases of
0.25 to 0.40 are projected, with the
lower decreases in the central and
eastern Pacific, and the higher decreases
in the GBR area and the northern
Philippines, while most of the
Caribbean is projected to decrease in pH
by 0.30 to 0.35. The pH reductions
associated with RCP8.5 are projected to
result in declining aragonite saturation
states, as shown in WGI Figure 6.29.
Projected median surface aragonite
saturation states of the world’s oceans
are shown for 2050 and 2100 in Figure
6.29d and f respectively, and by depth
for the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans in
2100 in Figure 6.29c and e respectively.
Surface aragonite saturation states in the
tropical Indo-Pacific and Caribbean are
projected to decline from current levels
of over 3, to less than 2.5 by 2100, with
similar spatial patterns as for pH
reductions (IPCC, 2013; WGI Figure
6.29). Statistical range is not provided
for aragonite saturation state, but we
assume it to be similar to that associated
with pH projections. As shown in
Figures 6.28 and 6.29, spatial variability
is projected under RCP8.5 for both pH
and aragonite saturation state reductions
over the foreseeable future within the
ranges of the species included in this
final rule (IPCC, 2013).
We interpret RCP8.5’s ocean
acidification projections as follows: (1)
Mean surface pH in the tropics is
projected to decline by approximately
0.31 to approximately 7.75 by 2100,
with a subsequent large decline in
aragonite saturation state in surface
tropical waters, exacerbating the
impacts of ocean acidification on reefbuilding corals; (2) surface pH and
aragonite saturation state conditions
throughout the ranges of the species in
this final rule through the foreseeable
future are not necessarily represented by
these mean projections, due to the
spatial variability within the IndoPacific and Caribbean regions, and the
statistical range of the RCP8.5 ocean
acidification projections; and (3) surface
pH and aragonite saturation state
conditions in the foreseeable future
within the ranges of the species in this
final rule are assumed to vary spatially
at the coarse spatial scales shown in
WGI for the Indo-Pacific and Caribbean
regions, and more so at finer spatial
scales, and to fall within the statistical
ranges projected for the Indo-Pacific and
Caribbean regions.
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Implications for Coral Reef
Ecosystems. AR5’s WGII Report
describes the effects of WGI’s climate
change projections on the world’s
ecosystems, including coral reefs. The
report includes a description of
‘‘Projected Impacts’’ on coral reefs of all
four WGI pathways combined, and a
general overview of projected impacts to
coral reefs. While this information does
not specifically describe projected
impacts of RCP8.5 to coral reefs by
2100, it strongly suggests that the
projected impacts of ocean warming and
ocean acidification will increase (IPCC,
2014). Likewise, the recent U.S.
National Climate Assessment (NCA)
report describes the effects of projected
climate change on United States
ecosystems, including coral reefs.
Chapter 24 of the report includes a brief
and general description of projected
climate change without specifically
examining any particular pathway
(Doney et al., 2014). As with WGII,
while the NCA report does not
specifically describe projected impacts
of RCP8.5 to coral reefs by 2100, it
strongly suggests that the projected
impacts of ocean warming and ocean
acidification will increase on United
States coral reefs.
Recent papers specifically address
future changes in Indo-Pacific and
Caribbean coral reef ecosystems
resulting from RCP8.5’s projections of
combined ocean warming and ocean
acidification, including Couce et al.
(2013a) and van Hooidonk et al. (2014).
Couce et al. (2013a) uses RCP8.5’s ocean
warming and ocean acidification
projections to develop predictions of
‘‘average change in suitability’’ of coral
reef habitat by 2070, concluding that
declines in conditions will be driven
primarily by ocean warming, and vary
spatially within the ranges of the
species included in this final rule.
Couce et al. (2013) predicts marked
declines in environmental suitability for
shallow coral reef habitats across the
equatorial western Pacific and adjacent
areas (e.g., Coral Triangle) by 2070, and
generally less favorable conditions
elsewhere on Indo-Pacific and
Caribbean coral reefs. Some coral reef
areas show little or no change in
environmental suitability by 2070,
including portions of the western Indian
and central Pacific Oceans, likely
because seawater temperatures are
moderated by physical factors such as
higher latitudes or upwelling but
aragonite saturation states are suitable
(Couce et al., 2013a; Fig. 1e). Many
species included in this final rule occur
in areas of the western Indian and
central Pacific Oceans predicted to have
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little or no change in environmental
suitability by 2070. Notably, the paper
concluded the detrimental effect of
higher ocean warming appears to
strongly outweigh the impacts of lower
aragonite saturation states for tropical
shallow water coral reefs (Couce et al.,
2013a).
van Hooidonk et al. (2014) also
applies RCP8.5’s ocean warming and
ocean acidification projections to
predict ‘‘when severe coral bleaching
events start to occur annually, and of
changes in aragonite saturation state’’
over the 21st century. The paper
concludes that 90 percent of all coral
reefs are projected to experience severe
bleaching annually by 2055, that five
percent declines in calcification are
projected for all reef locations by 2034,
with the predicted changes in
conditions varing spatially across the
geographic ranges of the species
included in this final rule. These
authors predicted that the most rapid
increases in ocean warming will occur
in the western equatorial Pacific, the
slowest in the Indian Ocean, eastern
Pacific Ocean, and high latitude areas,
and intermediate elsewhere (van
Hooidonk et al., 2014; Fig 1a). The most
rapid declines in aragonite saturation
state are predicted for the same general
areas as the slowest warming, the
slowest declines in aragonite saturation
state in roughly the same areas as the
most rapid warming, and intermediate
elsewhere in the Indo-Pacific and in the
Caribbean (van Hooidonk et al., 2014;
Fig 1d). One of the paper’s conclusions
is that there are no real refugia for coral
reefs to the combined threats of higher
ocean warming and lower aragonite
saturation states (van Hooidonk et al.,
2014).
Several points to consider when
interpreting Couce et al. (2013a) and
van Hooidonk et al. (2014) are: (1) The
different results and conclusions are
likely due to the different methods, and
illustrate the sensitivity and variability
in predicting the impacts of projected
changes in climate on coral reefs; (2)
both papers used very coarse spatial
scales (1° × 1° cells, or >10,000 km2 at
the Equator), thus each cell can include
many different reefs that collectively
represent diverse coral communities
and habitats, which in turn can affect
the local spatial and temporal patterns
of coral responses to ocean warming and
acidification; (3) both papers predict
high spatial variability in future
conditions across coral reefs, and both
show the western equatorial Pacific as
having the most degraded future
conditions, and parts of the Indian
Ocean, central Pacific, and some
outlying areas as having less degraded
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future conditions; and (4) neither paper
analyzed the impacts of future climate
change on individual coral species.
In conclusion, RCP8.5 projects
impacts to global coral reef ecosystems
over the foreseeable future from the
combined effects of increased ocean
temperature and ocean acidification, the
effects of which are likley to be
compounded by increasing coral
disease, trophic effects of fishing, landbased sources of pollution, and other
threats to corals. However, projecting
species-specific responses to global
threats is complicated by several
physical and biological factors: (1)
Global projections of changes to ocean
temperatures and acidification over the
foreseeable future are associated with
three major sources of uncertainty (GHG
emissions assumptions, strength of the
climate’s response to GHG
concentrations, and large natural
variations); (2) there is spatial variability
in projected environmental conditions
across the ranges of the species in this
final rule at any given point in time; and
(3) species-specific responses depend on
many biological characteristics,
including, at a minimum, distribution,
abundance, life history, susceptibility to
threats, and capacity for acclimatization.
The available species-specific
information on how species in this final
rule respond to climage change is
limited. Therefore, analysis of the
biological characteristics on a case-bycase basis is emphasized in considering
a species’ vulnerability to extinction.
Ocean Warming (High Importance
Threat, ESA Factor E)
Ocean warming is considered under
ESA Factor E—other natural or
manmade factors affecting the
continued existence of the species—
because the effect of the threat results
from human activity and affects
individuals of the species directly, and
not their habitats. In the proposed rule,
we described the threat from ocean
warming as follows. Mean seawater
temperatures in reef-building coral
habitat in both the Caribbean and IndoPacific have increased during the past
few decades, and are predicted to
continue to rise between now and 2100.
As also described in the proposed rule,
the frequency of warm-season
temperature extremes (warming events)
in reef-building coral habitat in both the
Caribbean and Indo-Pacific has
increased during the past two decades,
and it is also predicted to increase
between now and 2100.
Ocean warming is one of the most
important threats posing extinction risks
to the proposed coral species; however,
individual susceptibility varies among
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species. The primary observable coral
response to ocean warming is bleaching
of adult coral colonies, wherein corals
expel their symbiotic zooxanthellae in
response to stress. For many corals, an
episodic increase of only 1 °C–2 °C
above the normal local seasonal
maximum ocean temperature can
induce bleaching. Corals can withstand
mild to moderate bleaching; however,
severe, repeated, or prolonged bleaching
can lead to colony death. Coral
bleaching patterns are complex, with
several species exhibiting seasonal
cycles in symbiotic dinoflagellate
density. Thermal stress has led to
bleaching and associated mass mortality
in many coral species during the past 25
years. In addition to coral bleaching,
other effects of ocean warming
detrimentally affect virtually every lifehistory stage in reef-building corals.
Impaired fertilization, developmental
abnormalities, mortality, impaired
settlement success, and impaired
calcification of early life phases have all
been documented. In the proposed rule,
we relied heavily on AR4 in evaluating
extinction risk from ocean warming
because it contained the most
thoroughly documented and reviewed
assessments of future climate and
represented the best available scientific
information on potential future changes
in the earth’s climate system. Emission
rates in recent years have met or
exceeded levels predicted by AR4’s
worst-case scenarios, resulting in all
scenarios underestimating the projected
climate condition.
Exposure of colonies of a species to
ocean warming can vary greatly across
its range, depending on colony location
(e.g., latitude, depth, bathymetry,
habitat type, etc.) and physical
processes that affect seawater
temperature and its effects on coral
colonies (e.g., winds, currents,
upwelling shading, tides, etc.). Colony
location can moderate exposure of
colonies of the species to ocean
warming by latitude or depth, because
colonies in higher latitudes and/or
deeper areas are usually less affected by
warming events. Deeper areas are
generally less affected typically because
lower irradiance reduces the likelihood
of warming-induced bleaching. Also,
some locations are blocked from warm
currents by bathymetric features, and
some habitat types reduce the effects of
warm water, such as highly fluctuating
environments. Physical processes can
moderate exposure of colonies of the
species to ocean warming in many
ways, including processes that increase
mixing (e.g., wind, currents, tides),
reduce seawater temperature (e.g.,
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upwelling, runoff), or increase shading
(e.g. turbidity, cloud cover). Exposure of
colonies of a species to ocean warming
will likely vary annually and decadally,
while increasing over time, because: (1)
Numerous annual and decadal
processes that affect seawater
temperatures will continue to occur in
the future (e.g., inter-decadal variability
in seawater temperatures and upwelling
˜
related to El-Nino Southern Oscillation);
and (2) ocean warming is predicted to
substantially increase by 2100.
Multiple threats stress corals
simultaneously or sequentially, whether
the effects are cumulative (the sum of
individual stresses) or interactive (e.g.,
synergistic or antagonistic). Ocean
warming is likely to interact with many
other threats, especially considering the
long-term consequences of repeated
thermal stress, and that ocean warming
is expected to continue to increase over
the foreseeable future. Increased
seawater temperature can lower
resistance to coral diseases and reduce
coral health and survivorship. Coral
disease outbreaks often have either
accompanied or immediately followed
bleaching events, and also follow
seasonal patterns of high seawater
temperatures. The effects of greater
ocean warming (e.g., increased
bleaching, which kills or weakens
colonies) are expected to interact with
the effects of higher storm intensity
(e.g., increased breakage of dead or
weakened colonies), resulting in an
increased rate of coral declines.
Likewise, ocean acidification and
nutrients may reduce thermal
thresholds to bleaching, increase
mortality, and slow recovery.
There is also mounting evidence that
warming ocean temperatures can have
direct impacts on early life stages of
corals, including abnormal embryonic
development at 32 °C and complete
fertilization failure at 34 °C for one
Indo-Pacific Acropora species. In
addition to abnormal embryonic
development, symbiosis establishment,
larval survivorship, and settlement
success have been shown to be impaired
in Caribbean brooding and broadcasting
coral species at temperatures as low as
30 °C–32 °C. Further, the rate of larval
development for spawning species is
appreciably accelerated at warmer
temperatures, which suggests that total
dispersal distances could also be
reduced, potentially decreasing the
likelihood of successful settlement and
the replenishment of extirpated areas.
Finally, warming will continue
causing increased stratification of the
upper ocean because water density
decreases with increasing temperature.
Increased stratification results in
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decreased vertical mixing of both heat
and nutrients, leaving surface waters
warmer and nutrient-poor. While the
implications for corals and coral reefs of
these increases in warming-induced
stratification have not been well
studied, it is likely that these changes
will both exacerbate the temperature
effects described above (e.g., increase
bleaching and decrease recovery) and
decrease the overall net productivity of
coral reef ecosystems (e.g., fewer
nutrients) throughout the tropics and
subtropics.
Overall, there is ample evidence that
climate change (including that which is
already committed to occur from past
GHG emissions and that which is
reasonably certain to result from
continuing and future emissions) will
follow a trajectory that will have a major
impact on corals. There has been a
recent research emphasis on the
processes of acclimatization and
adaptation in corals, but in the proposed
rule we determined that, taken together,
the body of research was inconclusive
as to how these processes may affect
individual corals’ extinction risk, given
the projected intensity and rate of ocean
warming. As detailed in Comments 12–
16, we received numerous comments
related to ocean warming threats to
corals that focused on the following
aspects: (1) General future projections of
ocean warming levels; (2) accounting for
spatial variability; (3) the future decline
of coral reefs because of increasing GHG
emissions; (4) the possibility of wide
ranging responses by coral reef
ecosystems; (5) the specific effects of
ocean warming on reef-building corals;
and (6) the capacity of reef-building
corals for acclimatization and
adaptation to ocean warming.
With regard to the future projections
of global climate change, the proposed
rule and supporting documents
assumed that AR4’s highest-emission
scenario A1FI was the most likely. As
discussed in Global Climate Change—
General Overview, we assume that for
corals RCP8.5 is the most impactful
pathway for present to the year 2100.
Ocean warming projections and
implications for coral reefs are
described above in the RCP8.5
Projections section.
Comment 12 also criticized our lack
of consideration of the post-1998 hiatus
in global warming. The proposed rule
did not consider this phenomenon as
the issue was only emerging during the
time the proposed rule was drafted.
However, because supplemental
information has become available since
that time, we consider it here. Despite
unprecedented levels of GHG emissions
in recent years, a slow-down in global
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mean surface air temperature warming
has occurred since 1998, which AR5’s
WGI refers to as a ‘‘hiatus.’’ Despite this
slowdown in warming, the period since
1998 is the warmest recorded and ‘‘Each
of the last three decades has been
successively warmer at the Earth’s
surface than any preceding decade since
1850.’’
The slow-down in global mean
surface warming since 1998 is not fully
explained by AR4 or AR5 WGI’s models,
but is consistent with the substantial
decadal and interannual variability seen
in the instrumental record and may
result, in part, from the selection of
beginning and end dates for such
analyses. Possible factors in the slowdown may include the following: Heat
absorption by the deep ocean (Guemas
et al., 2013; Levitus et al., 2012)
facilitated by stronger than normal trade
winds (England et al., 2014), volcanic
eruptions over the last decade (Santer et
˜
al., 2014), La Nina-like decadal cooling
that produces multi-year periods of
slower warming than the long-term
anthropogenic forced warming trend
(Benestad, 2012; Easterling and Wehner,
2009; Kosaka and Xie, 2013), inherent
variability within the climate system
that cannot currently be modeled, and
potentially other factors (IPCC, 2013).
As explained above, the major sources
of uncertainty in climate change
projections such as AR4 or AR5’s WGI
are: (1) The projected rate of increase for
GHG concentrations; (2) strength of the
climate’s response to GHG
concentrations; and (3) large natural
variations. The slow-down in warming
since 1998 is an example of a large
natural variation that could not be
predicted, at least by the models at that
time.
Comment 12 identified several
sources of spatial variability in ocean
warming and requested our
consideration of additional information.
The proposed rule acknowledged both
spatial and temporal variability in ocean
warming and considered the effect that
variability would have on the proposed
corals. However, we acknowledge that
supplemental information has since
become available, and we consider it
here. Regional and local variability in
ocean warming conditions may lead to
warming-induced bleaching that is more
or less severe regionally or locally than
globally. A hot spot of ocean warming
occurs in the equatorial western Pacific
where regional warming is higher than
overall warming in the Indo-Pacific,
exposing corals and coral reefs in this
area to a higher risk of warming-induced
bleaching. The hot spot overlaps the
Coral Triangle (Couce et al., 2013b;
Lough, 2012; Teneva et al., 2012; van
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Hooidonk et al., 2013b). Several other
areas in the Indo-Pacific have been
identified as having lower than average
warming, including the western Indian
Ocean, Thailand, the southern GBR,
central French Polynesia, and the
eastern equatorial Pacific, potentially
resulting in relatively lower risk of
warming-induced coral bleaching in
these areas (Couce et al., 2013b; van
Hooidonk et al., 2013b). Spatial
variability in ocean warming is lower in
the much smaller Caribbean, and there
are fewer areas there with lower than
average warming (Buddemeier et al.,
2011). The regional and local
heterogeneity in ocean warming likely
results in high variability in coral
responses across spatial scales (Selig et
al., 2010).
There are several types of temporal
variability in ocean warming on coral
reefs. First, the rate of ocean warming
itself changes over time. For example,
ocean warming has increased in the
Indo-Pacific since 1950, but at different
rates at different times (Lough, 2012).
Second, different periods of ocean
warming can result in variability in
warming-induced bleaching at the same
location. For example, a study in
Thailand showed significant differences
in the susceptibility of coral taxa to
bleaching events between the years 1998
and 2010 and among coral species at the
same site (Sutthacheep et al., 2013).
Spatial variability in ocean warming
between sites also results in temporal
variability in ocean warming impacts, as
the different areas are subsequently
affected at different rates into the future
(van Hooidonk et al., 2013b). For
example, a recent study found that
Australian subtropical reef-building
coral communities are affected by ocean
warming more slowly than tropical reefbuilding coral communities, resulting in
slower rates of changes in the
subtropical than tropical communities
(Dalton and Roff, 2013). These studies
underscore the temporal variability of
ocean warming and warming-induced
bleaching across the ranges of reefbuilding coral species, complicating the
interpretation of the effects of ocean
warming on any given coral species
across its range and over time.
Mesophotic and marginal habitats
serving as refugia from ocean warming
are relatively new and potentially
important considerations for the
vulnerability of coral species to ocean
warming. Mesophotic habitats continue
to be explored, with new surveys
finding larger habitat areas and greater
depth distributions for some reefbuilding corals (Blyth-Skyrme et al.,
2013; Bridge and Guinotte, 2012).
Supplemental information demonstrates
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the potential for mesophotic habitat to
provide refugia from ocean warming
(Bridge et al., 2013a; Smith et al., in
press), although it does not always do so
(Neal et al., 2013). Marginal habitats,
such as high latitude sites, upwelling
regions, and turbid areas like the GBR
inner shelf, also may provide refugia
from ocean warming for some species in
some conditions (Browne et al., 2012;
Couce et al., 2013b; Dalton and Roff,
2013), but not others (Lybolt et al.,
2011). Taken together, mesophotic and
marginal habitats may represent a
network of refugia from ocean warming
for some species.
Comment 14 emphasized both that
coral reefs are likely to decline sharply
in the future because of increasing GHG
emissions (e.g., Carpenter et al., 2008;
Donner, 2009; Frieler et al., 2012;
Kiessling and Baron-Szabo, 2004) and
that a wide range of responses by coral
reef ecosystems are possible. Studies
provided by commenters, and others on
recent modeling results (Frieler et al.,
2012; van Hooidonk and Huber, 2012;
van Hooidonk et al., 2013b) and
scientific opinion statements (Birkeland
et al., 2013; ICRS, 2012) suggest
disastrous effects of ocean warming, in
combination with other threats, on coral
reef ecosystems. For example, even in
AR5 WGI’s best-case pathway (RCP2.6)
where CO2 equivalent concentrations
peak at 455 ppm, one model suggests
that 95 percent of coral reefs will
experience annual bleaching conditions
by the end of the century (van Hooidonk
et al. 2013b). Another model suggests
that preserving more than 10 percent of
coral reefs worldwide would require
limiting warming to less than 1.5 °C
above pre-industrial levels. Even
assuming high adaptive capacity of
corals and the more optimistic AR5
pathways, the model suggests that onethird of the world’s coral reefs are
projected to be subject to long-term
degradation (Frieler et al., 2012). In
addition, the combined effects of ocean
warming and ocean acidification would
produce even more severe impacts on
coral reefs globally (van Hooidonk et al.,
2013a; Yara et al., 2012).
These and other studies predict the
irreversible disappearance of coral reefs
on a global scale in the next few
decades. However, other recent studies
suggest that coral reef degradation
resulting from global climate change
threats alone is likely to be a more
spatially, temporally, and taxonomically
heterogeneous process. These studies
indicate that coral reef ecosystems,
rather than disappear entirely as a result
of future impacts, will likely persist, but
with unpredictable changes in the
composition of coral species and
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ecological functions (Hughes et al.,
2012; Pandolfi et al., 2011). Many
factors contribute to the heterogeneous
responses of coral reefs to climate
change threats, including complexity
associated with coral reef habitat, as
well as the biology of reef-building coral
species themselves. As described in the
Corals and Coral Reefs section, the
exceptional complexity, extent, and
diversity of coral reef habitat increases
the uncertainty associated with coarse
modeling of reef responses to climate
change threats. Likewise, many aspects
of reef-building coral biology contribute
to complex responses to ocean warming,
including species-level processes such
as capacity for acclimatization and
adaptation (Palumbi et al., 2014), the
potential for range expansion (Yamano
et al., 2011; Yara et al., 2011), and
community-level processes such as
changes in competition and predation
(Cahill et al., 2013; Hughes et al., 2012).
These different processes occur
simultaneously, and contribute to
highly-variable, complex, and uncertain
responses of reef-building coral species
and in turn coral reefs to climate
changes threats like ocean warming.
Moreover, management of local threats
can increase resilience of coral reefs to
ocean warming and other global climate
change threats (Jackson et al., 2014;
Pandolfi et al., 2011), as described
further in the Threats Evaluation—
Inadequacy of Existing Regulatory
Mechanisms section.
Comment 15 focused on the specific
effects of ocean warming on reefbuilding corals. The proposed rule
described the known specific effects of
ocean warming as well as the threats
that act simultaneously or sequentially,
and whether the effects are cumulative
(the sum of individual stresses) or
interactive (e.g., synergistic or
antagonistic). The rapidly growing
literature on synergistic effects of ocean
warming-induced bleaching with other
threats demonstrates that bleaching is
exacerbated by nutrients (Cunning and
Baker, 2013; Vega Thurber et al., 2013;
Wiedenmann et al., 2013), disease is
exacerbated by warm temperatures and
bleaching (Ban et al., 2013; Bruno et al.,
2007; Muller and van Woesik, 2012;
Rogers and Muller, 2012), ocean
warming and acidification may impact
corals in opposite but converging ways
(van Hooidonk et al., 2013a; Yara et al.,
2012), and bleaching is exacerbated by
a variety of physical factors (Yee and
Barron, 2010) or can be reduced by
biological factors (Connolly et al., 2012;
Fabricius et al., 2013). Other
information on species-specifics effects
of ocean warming is provided in the
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Species-specific Information and
Determinations section below.
Comment 15 focused on the potential
capacity of reef-building corals for
acclimatization and adaptation to ocean
warming and provided several new
studies (Cahill et al., 2013; Guest et al.,
2012; Jones and Berkelmans, 2010) and
some that we considered in the
proposed rule (Baker et al., 2004;
Maynard et al., 2008; Pandolfi et al.,
2011). Identified mechanisms include
symbiont shuffling (Baker, 2012;
Cunning et al., 2013; Ortiz et al., 2013;
Silverstein et al., 2012), symbiont
shading by host pigments or tissue
(Mayfield et al., 2013; Smith et al.,
2013a), host genotype expression
(Baums et al., 2013; Granados-Cifuentes
et al., 2013; Meyer et al., 2011), and host
protein expression (Barshis et al., 2013;
Voolstra et al., 2011). As described in
the Corals and Coral Reefs section, the
dynamic association of host coral and
symbiotic zooxanthellae and microbes
provides potential for acclimatization or
adaptation of some reef-building coral
species to environmental changes.
Many recent studies provide evidence
that certain reef-building coral
communities have acclimated or
adapted to ocean warming, at least to
some degree. The bleaching and
mortality of some colonies of a coral
species on a reef, followed by the
recovery of hardier colonies, is the
process by which acclimatization and
adaptation of a species to ocean
warming occurs. Examples of bleaching,
mortality, and recovery provide
information about the capacity for
acclimatization and adaptation. Several
such examples were provided in the
proposed rule and supporting
documents (Diaz-Pulido et al., 2009;
Hueerkamp et al., 2001; Kayanne et al.,
2002). More recently, many relevant
studies have become available on the
effects of the 1998 bleaching event. For
example, in comparisons of 1998 and
2010 bleaching events and recovery in
southeast Asia, some coral species
demonstrated more resistance to
bleaching in 2010, suggesting
acclimatization or adaptation to thermal
stress (Sutthacheep et al., 2013). In a
study on an isolated reef in Australia,
recovery of coral cover occurred within
12 years of the 1998 bleaching event
(Gilmour et al., 2013). In contrast,
studies in the U.S. Virgin Islands and
Florida demonstrated little if any
recovery in the 10 to 12 years following
the 1998 bleaching event (Rogers and
Muller, 2012; Ruzicka et al., 2013).
A recent analysis comparing observed
versus predicted coral bleaching events
suggests that corals may have already
responded adaptively to some warming
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since the Industrial Revolution because
observed bleaching responses are lower
than predicted by the warm temperature
anomalies (Logan et al., 2013). A recent
study of fast-growing, shallow water
coral species demonstrated that
acclimatization and adaptive responses
allowed them to inhabit reef areas with
water temperatures far above their
expected tolerances (Palumbi et al.,
2014). Similar to the mechanisms of
coral acclimatization and adaptation
described above, there is a rapidly
growing body of literature on the
responses of corals to ocean warming
(Ateweberhan et al., 2013; Baker et al.,
2013; Bellantuono et al., 2012; Castillo
et al., 2012; Coles and Riegl, 2013; Penin
et al., 2013). These studies help explain
the capacity for reef-building corals to
acclimatize and adapt to ocean warming
and warming-induced bleaching and
suggest some limited capacity. However,
any such capacity is highly dependent
on species, location, habitat type, and
many other factors. Available speciesspecific information on vulnerability to
ocean warming and warming-induced
bleaching, including evidence of
acclimatization or adaptation, is
provided in the Species-specific
Information and Determination sections
below.
After considering this supplemental
information in addition to that which
was available for the proposed rule, our
conclusion regarding ocean warming
remains unchanged from the proposed
rule, in that we consider ocean warming
to be of high importance in contributing
to extinction risk for the 65 corals in
this final rule. However, we
acknowledge that the interpretation of
future ocean warming and warminginduced impacts to corals and coral
reefs is associated with complexity and
uncertainty, and that precise effects on
individual species of reef-building
corals are especially difficult to
determine. The impact of ocean
warming may be mediated by several
factors and the extent to which the
extinction risk of a coral species is
impacted by ocean warming depends on
its particular level of susceptibility,
combined with its spatial and
demographic characteristics in the
context of worsening environmental
conditions out to 2100, which is
discussed in detail for each species in
the Species-specific Information and
Determinations section.
Disease (High Importance Threat, ESA
Factor C)
Disease is considered under ESA
Factor C—disease or predation. In the
proposed rule we described the threat of
disease as follows. Disease adversely
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affects various coral life history events
by, among other processes, causing
adult mortality, reducing sexual and
asexual reproductive success, and
impairing colony growth. A diseased
state results from a complex interplay of
factors including the cause or agent
(e.g., pathogen, environmental toxicant),
the host, and the environment. All coral
disease impacts are presumed to be
attributable to infectious diseases or to
poorly-described genetic defects. Coral
disease often produces acute tissue loss.
Other manifestations of disease in the
broader sense, such as coral bleaching
from ocean warming, are incorporated
under other factors (e.g., manmade
factors such as ocean warming as a
result of climate change).
Coral diseases are a common and
significant threat affecting most or all
coral species and regions to some
degree, although the scientific
understanding of individual disease
causes in corals remains very poor. The
incidence of coral disease appears to be
expanding geographically in the IndoPacific, and there is evidence that corals
with massive morphology species are
not recovering from disease events in
certain locations. The prevalence of
disease is highly variable between sites
and species. Increased prevalence and
severity of diseases is correlated with
increased water temperatures, which
may correspond to increased virulence
of pathogens, decreased resistance of
hosts, or both. Moreover, the expanding
coral disease threat may result from
opportunistic pathogens that become
damaging only in situations where the
host integrity is compromised by
physiological stress or immune
suppression. Overall, there is mounting
evidence that warming temperatures
and coral bleaching responses are linked
(albeit with mixed correlations) with
increased coral disease prevalence and
mortality. Complex aspects of
temperature regimes, including winter
and summer extremes, may influence
disease outbreaks. Bleaching and coral
abundance seem to increase the
susceptibility of corals to disease
contraction. Further, most recent
research shows strong correlations
between elevated human population
density in close proximity to coral reefs
and disease prevalence in corals.
Although disease causes in corals
remain poorly understood, some general
patterns of biological susceptibility are
beginning to emerge. There appear to be
predictable patterns of immune capacity
across coral families, corresponding
with trade-offs with their life history
traits, such as reproductive output and
growth rate. Both Acroporidae and
Pocilloporidae have low immunity to
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disease. However, both of these families
have intermediate to high reproductive
outputs. Both Faviidae and Mussidae
are intermediate to high in terms of
disease immunity and reproductive
output. Finally, while Poritidae has high
immunity to disease, it has a low
reproductive output.
The effects of coral disease depend on
exposure of the species to the threat,
which varies spatially across the range
of the species and temporally over time.
Exposure to coral disease is moderated
by distance of some coral habitats from
the primary causes of most disease
outbreaks, such as stressors resulting
from sedimentation and nutrient overenrichment. Exposure to coral disease
can also be moderated by depth of many
habitats, with deep habitats generally
being less affected by disease outbreaks
associated with stressors resulting from
ocean warming. Disease exposure in
remote areas and deep habitats appears
to be low but gradually increasing.
Exposure to coral disease will increase
as factors that increase disease
outbreaks (e.g., warming events) expand
over time.
As explained above, disease may be
caused by threats such as ocean
warming and bleaching, nutrients, and
toxins. However, interactive effects
between independently-arising disease
and other threats are also important,
because diseased colonies are more
susceptible to the effects of some other
threats. For example, diseased or
recovering colonies may become more
quickly stressed than healthy colonies
by land-based sources of pollution
(sedimentation, nutrients, and toxins),
may more quickly succumb to
predators, and may more easily break
during storms or as a result of other
physical impacts.
Comments 17 and 18 discussed the
importance of disease as a threat to
corals and provided a few scientific
studies (Harvell et al., 1999; Harvell et
al., 2002; Muller and van Woesik, 2012;
Rogers and Muller, 2012) to emphasize
this importance. Muller and van Woesik
(2012) examined spatial epidemiology
in the Caribbean to test if pathogens are
contagious and spread from infected to
susceptible hosts. They found no
evidence of clustering for these diseases,
so they did not follow a contagious
disease model. They suggest the
expression of coral disease is a two-step
model: Environmental thresholds are
exceeded, then those conditions either
weaken the coral or increase the
virulence of the pathogen (Muller and
van Woesik, 2012).
We also gathered supplemental
information on the threat of disease
since the proposed rule was published.
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Burge et al. (2014) summarized the
current understanding of interactions
among coral disease, elevated
temperature, and bleaching. This
supplemental information provides
further insight of coral disease impacts
at the individual level and the local
aggregation level, and provides future
predictions for the role of coral disease
at the population level.
At the individual level, recent studies
examine both underlying factors and
mechanistic explanations for the
contraction and expansion of coral
disease. For example, one study
investigated microbial community
dynamics in the mucus layer of corals
to understand how the surface microbial
community responds to changes in
environmental conditions and under
what circumstances it becomes
vulnerable to overgrowth by pathogens.
They found that a transient thermal
anomaly can cause the microbial
community to shift from a stable state
dominated by antibiotic microbes to a
stable state dominated by pathogens.
Beneficial microbes may not be able to
resume dominance after a temperature
disturbance until the environment
becomes considerably more favorable
for them (Mao-Jones et al., 2010).
Another study conducted a metaanalysis to determine whether the
presence of particular microbial taxa
correlates with the state of coral health
and found distinct differences in the
microbial taxa present in diseased and
healthy corals (Mouchka et al., 2010). A
third study investigated three variables
commonly associated with immunity in
hard and soft corals spanning ten
families on the GBR. They found that all
three variables (phenlyoxidase activity,
size of melanin containing granular
cells, and fluorescent protein
concentrations) were significant
predictors of susceptibility (Palmer et
al., 2010). Many other studies have
focused on bacterial or eukaryotic
pathogens as the source of coral disease;
however, a more recent study examined
the role of viruses and determined that
a specific group of viruses is associated
with diseased Caribbean corals (Soffer et
al., 2013).
Several studies provide further
evidence of disease outbreaks that were
significantly correlated with bleaching
events. The bleaching occurred first,
then several months to a year later, there
were significant increases in disease
prevalence in bleached areas (Ban et al.,
2013; Brandt and McManus, 2009;
Bruno et al., 2007; Croquer et al., 2006;
Croquer and Weil, 2009; Miller et al.,
2009). The specific interactions between
the two phenomena varied among
disease-bleaching combinations. Results
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from one of these studies suggest the
hypothesized relationship between
bleaching and disease events may be
weaker than previously thought, and
more likely to be driven by common
responses to environmental stressors,
rather than directly facilitating one
another.
Ateweberhan et al. (2013) reviewed
and summarized interactions between
important threats to corals. They note
that disease can interact not only with
ocean warming and bleaching events,
but may also be exacerbated by
sedimentation, nutrients, overfishing,
and destructive practices on coral reefs.
From a broad, population-wide
perspective, Yakob and Mumby (2011)
provide an important alternative context
in which to demonstrate that high
population turnover within novel
ecosystems (those that are different from
the past and created by climate change)
may enhance coral resistance to disease.
They emphasize the need to move away
from future projections based on
historical trends and start to account for
novel behavior of ecosystems under
climate change.
After considering this supplemental
information in addition to that which
was available for the proposed rule, our
conclusion regarding disease remains
unchanged from the proposed rule, in
that we consider coral disease to be of
high importance in contributing to
extinction risk for the 65 corals in this
final rule. The impact of disease may be
mediated by several factors and the
extent to which the extinction risk of a
coral species is impacted by disease
depends on its particular level of
susceptibility, combined with its spatial
and demographic characteristics in the
context of worsening environmental
conditions out to 2100, which is
discussed in detail for each species in
the Species-specific Information and
Determinations section.
Ocean Acidification (Medium-High
Importance Threat, ESA Factor E)
Ocean acidification is considered
under ESA Factor E—other natural or
manmade factors affecting the
continued existence of the species—
because the effect is a result of human
activity and affects individuals of the
coral species more so than their
habitats. In the proposed rule we
described that ocean acidification is a
result of global climate change caused
by increased GHG accumulation in the
atmosphere. Reef-building corals
produce skeletons made of the aragonite
form of calcium carbonate; thus,
reductions in aragonite saturation state
caused by ocean acidification pose a
major threat to these species and other
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marine calcifiers. Ocean acidification
has the potential to cause substantial
reduction in coral calcification and reef
cementation. Further, ocean
acidification adversely affects adult
growth rates and fecundity, fertilization,
pelagic planula settlement, polyp
development, and juvenile growth. The
impacts of ocean acidification can lead
to increased colony breakage and
fragmentation and mortality. Based on
observations in areas with naturally low
pH, the effects of increasing ocean
acidification may also include potential
reductions in coral size, cover, diversity,
and structural complexity.
As CO2 concentrations increase in the
atmosphere, more CO2 is absorbed by
the oceans, causing lower pH and
reduced availability of carbonate ions,
which in turn results in lower aragonite
saturation state in seawater. Because of
the increase in CO2 and other GHGs in
the atmosphere since the Industrial
Revolution, ocean acidification has
already occurred throughout the world’s
oceans, including in the Caribbean and
Indo-Pacific, and is predicted to
considerably increase between now and
2100, as described above in the RCP8.5
Projections section. Along with ocean
warming and disease, we considered
ocean acidification to be one of the most
important threats posing extinction risks
to coral species between now and the
year 2100; however, individual
susceptibility varies among the
proposed species.
Numerous laboratory and field
experiments have shown a relationship
between elevated CO2 and decreased
calcification rates in some corals and
other calcium carbonate secreting
organisms. However, because only a few
species have been tested for such
effects, it is uncertain how most will
fare in increasingly acidified oceans. In
addition to laboratory studies, recent
field studies have demonstrated a
decline in linear growth rates of some
coral species, suggesting that ocean
acidification is already significantly
reducing growth of corals on reefs.
However, this has not been widely
demonstrated across coral species and
reef locations, suggesting speciesspecific effects and localized variability
in aragonite saturation state. A potential
secondary effect is that ocean
acidification may reduce the threshold
at which bleaching occurs. Overall, the
best available information demonstrates
that most corals exhibit declining
calcification rates with rising CO2
concentrations, declining pH, and
declining aragonite saturation state,
although the rate and mode of decline
can vary among species. Recent studies
also discuss the physiological effects of
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ocean acidification on corals and their
responses. Corals are able to regulate pH
within their tissues, maintaining higher
pH values in their tissues than the pH
of surrounding waters. This is an
important mechanism in naturally
highly-fluctuating environments (e.g.,
many backreef pools have diurnally
fluctuating pH) and suggests that corals
have some adaptive capacity to
acidification. However, as with ocean
warming, there is high uncertainty as to
whether corals will be able to adapt
quickly enough to the projected changes
in aragonite saturation state.
In addition to the direct effects on
coral calcification and growth, ocean
acidification may also affect coral
recruitment, reef cementation, and other
important reef-building species like
crustose coralline algae. Studies suggest
that the low pH associated with ocean
acidification may impact coral larvae in
several ways, including reduced
survival and recruitment. Ocean
acidification may influence settlement
of coral larvae on coral reefs more by
indirect alterations of the benthic
community, which provides settlement
cues, than by direct physiological
disruption. A major potential impact
from ocean acidification is a reduction
in the structural stability of corals and
reefs, which results both from increases
in bioerosion and decreases in reef
cementation. As atmospheric CO2 rises
globally, reef-building corals are
expected to calcify more slowly and
become more fragile. Declining growth
rates of crustose coralline algae may
facilitate increased bioerosion of coral
reefs from ocean acidification. Studies
demonstrate that ocean acidification
will likely have a great impact on corals
and reef communities by affecting
community composition and dynamics,
exacerbating the effects of disease and
other stressors (e.g., temperature),
contributing to habitat loss, and
affecting symbiont function. Some
studies have found that an atmospheric
CO2-level twice as high as pre-industrial
levels will start to dissolve coral reefs;
this level could be reached as early as
the middle of this century. Further, the
rate of acidification may be an order of
magnitude faster than what occurred 55
million years ago during the PaleoceneEocene Thermal Maximum (i.e., the
period in which global temperatures
rose 5 to 9 °C, providing a context in
which to understand climate change).
While CO2 levels in the surface waters
of the ocean are generally in equilibrium
with the lower atmosphere, there can be
considerable variability in seawater pH
across reef-building coral habitats,
resulting in colonies of a species
experiencing high spatial variability in
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exposure to ocean acidification. The
spatial variability in seawater pH occurs
from reef to global scales, driven by
numerous physical and biological
characteristics and processes, including:
Seawater temperature; proximity to
land-based runoff and seeps; proximity
to sources of oceanic CO2; salinity;
nutrients; photosynthesis; and
respiration. In cooler waters, CO2
absorption is higher, driving pH and
aragonite saturation state lower, thus
relatively cool coral habitats are more
susceptible to acidification, such as
those at higher latitudes, in upwelling
areas, and in deeper environments. On
coral reefs, wave and wind-induced
mixing typically maintain roughly
similar temperatures in the shallow
photic zone preferred by most reefbuilding corals, thus the deeper
environments that are more susceptible
to acidification are generally below this
photic zone.
Land-based runoff decreases salinity
and increases nutrients, both of which
can raise pH. Local sources of oceanic
CO2 like upwelling and volcanic seeps
lower pH. Photosynthesis in algae and
seagrass beds draws down CO2, raising
pH. High variability over various timescales is produced by numerous
processes, including diurnal cycles of
photosynthesis and respiration, seasonal
variability in seawater temperatures,
and decadal cycles in upwelling.
Temporal variability in pH can be very
high diurnally in highly-fluctuating or
semi-enclosed habitats such as reef flats
and back-reef pools, due to high
photosynthesis during the day (pH goes
up) and high respiration during the
night (pH goes down). In fact, pH
fluctuations during one 24-hr period in
such reef-building coral habitats can
exceed the magnitude of change
expected by 2100 in open ocean
subtropical and tropical waters. As with
spatial variability in exposure to ocean
warming, temporal variability in
exposure to ocean acidification is a
combination of high variability over
short time-scales together with longterm increases. While exposure of the
proposed coral species to ocean
acidification varies greatly both
spatially and temporally, it is expected
to increase for all species across their
ranges between now and 2100.
Ocean acidification likely interacts
with other threats, especially
considering that ocean acidification is
expected to continue to increase over
the foreseeable future. For example,
ocean acidification may reduce the
threshold at which bleaching occurs,
increasing the threat posed by ocean
warming. One of the key impacts of
ocean acidification is reduced
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calcification, resulting in reduced
skeletal growth and skeletal density,
which may lead to numerous interactive
effects with other threats. Reduced
skeletal growth compromises the ability
of coral colonies to compete for space
against algae, which grows more quickly
as nutrient over-enrichment increases,
especially if not held in check by
herbivores. Reduced skeletal density
weakens coral skeletons, resulting in
greater colony breakage from natural
and human-induced physical damage.
As discussed in Comments 18–21, we
received numerous comments related to
the threat to corals from ocean
acidification including: (1) The
overview and future projections of
ocean acidification; (2) variability in
ocean acidification; and (3) specific
effects of ocean acidification on reefbuilding corals.
Comment 17 stated that we
oversimplified the complexity and
variability in the future projections of
ocean acidification, and criticized our
reliance on AR4 as the basis for our
threat evaluation. In the proposed rule,
we acknowledged the uncertainty
associated with projections of ocean
acidification from global climate
change. However, while there are many
sources of uncertainty in climate change
projections, and likewise for ocean
acidification, the ocean acidification
projections in AR4 and AR5’s WGI
represent the best available information.
The proposed rule and supporting
documents assumed that AR4’s highestemission scenario A1F1 was the most
likely to occur. Now that AR5’s WGI is
available, we consider the most
impactful pathway to coral is WGI’s
RCP8.5, which includes ocean
acidification projections. These
projections are described above in the
RCP8.5 Projections section, along with
two independent analyses of the effects
of ocean acidification projections in
RCP8.5 on coral reefs in the 21st
century. As noted in the RCP8.5
Projections section, there is uncertainty
in these ocean acidification projections
for coral reefs.
Comment 18 specifically cites
Manzello et al. (2012) and Palacios and
Zimmerman (2012; 2007) to illustrate
that variability in ocean acidification on
coral reefs can be buffered by local and
regional biogeochemical processes
within seagrass beds. Additionally,
biogeochemical processes within coral
reef communities (Andersson et al.,
2013) may buffer the effects of
decreasing pH. Other scientific studies
identify mechanisms that can exacerbate
changes in seawater pH around coral
reefs from ocean acidification, such as
diurnal variability that can amplify CO2
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in seawater around coral reefs (Shaw et
al., 2013). On larger scales, a recent
study demonstrated that some coastal
areas of the Gulf of Mexico and South
Atlantic were buffered against ocean
acidification because of the input of
fresh, alkaline surface waters carrying
dissolved inorganic carbon (Wang et al.,
2013). Variability in ocean acidification
at basin and global scales is influenced
largely by upwelling and latitude, with
more acidification in areas of high
upwelling and lower temperatures. The
interaction of ocean acidification with
ocean warming produces basin-level
patterns of higher and lower habitat
suitability for reef-building corals
(Couce et al., 2013b; van Hooidonk et
al., 2013a; Yara et al., 2012).
Comments 19 and 20 underscore
specific effects to corals from ocean
acidification identified in the proposed
rule, including: (1) Effects on reef
accretion; (2) effects on larvae and
juvenile corals; (3) interactive effects
with other environmental variables; and
(4) miscellaneous effects. Recent
research identifies impacts of ocean
acidification on reef accretion due to
reduced coral calcification (Chan and
Connolly, 2013) and impacts on
crustose coralline algae (Doropoulos and
Diaz-Pulido, 2013). Recent research has
also found that impacts of ocean
acidification on brooded larvae of
Pocillopora damicornis were higher
when the larvae were released earlier
(Cumbo et al., 2013) and that
nutritionally replete juvenile corals
were less susceptible to ocean
acidification than nutritionally deprived
juveniles (Drenkard et al., 2013).
Many recent studies have investigated
the interactive effects of ocean
acidification with other environmental
variables. The opposing effects of ocean
warming and ocean acidification were
discussed in a study that demonstrated
low light conditions can exacerbate
ocean acidification effects. Low-light
conditions can provide a refuge for reefbuilding corals from thermal and light
stress, but this study suggests that lower
light availability will potentially
increase the susceptibility of key coral
species to ocean acidification (Suggett et
al., 2013). Another study predicts that
increasing storms predicted by climate
change, together with ocean
acidification, are likely to increase
collapse of table corals (Madin et al.,
2012). Salinity extremes on a nearshore
coral community did not affect the
sensitivity of reef-building corals to
ocean acidification (Okazaki et al.,
2013). Finally, several studies have
investigated the simultaneous effects of
ocean warming and ocean acidification,
most of which have found harmful
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synergistic effects (Ateweberhan et al.,
2013; Dove et al., 2013; Kroeker et al.,
2013), but not all (Wall et al., 2013).
However, impacts of ocean acidification
are more rapid in cool water, such as in
mesophotic habitat (Cerrano et al., 2013)
and temperate areas (Yara et al., 2012).
Several other recent papers also
provide information on the impacts of
ocean acidification on reef-building
corals. A study of the effects of ocean
acidification on primary polyps with
and without zooxanthellae found that
polyps with zooxanthellae had higher
tolerance to ocean acidification,
suggesting that coral species that
acquire symbionts from the
environment will be more vulnerable to
ocean acidification than corals that
maternally acquire symbionts (i.e.,
brooding species; Ohki et al., 2013). A
study of Porites corals at a field site with
naturally low pH found that the corals
were not able to acclimatize enough to
prevent the impacts of local ocean
acidification on their skeletal growth
and development, despite spending
their entire lifespan in low pH seawater
(Crook et al., 2013). A study of the
effects of ocean acidification on
different coral species in different
environments found that effects were
highly species-dependent, and
furthermore, that effects within a
species depended on the environment
(Kroeker et al., 2013).
After considering this supplemental
information in addition to that which
was available for the proposed rule, our
conclusion regarding ocean acidification
remains unchanged from the proposed
rule, in that we consider ocean
acidification to be of medium-high
importance in contributing to extinction
risk for the 65 corals in this final rule.
However, we acknowledge that the
interpretation of future ocean
acidification and acidification-induced
impacts to corals and coral reefs is
associated with complexity and
uncertainty and that the effects on
individual species of reef-building
corals are especially difficult to
determine. The impact of ocean
acidification may be mediated by
several factors and the extent to which
the extinction risk of a coral species is
impacted by ocean acidification
depends on its particular level of
susceptibility, combined with its spatial
and demographic characteristics in the
context of worsening environmental
conditions out to 2100, which is
discussed in detail for each species in
the Species-specific Information and
Determinations section.
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Trophic Effects of Fishing (Medium
Importance Threat, ESA Factor A)
Trophic effects of fishing are
considered under ESA Factor A—the
present or threatened destruction,
modification, or curtailment of its
habitat or range—because the main
effect of concern is to limit availability
of habitat for corals. In the proposed
rule we described the threat of the
trophic effects of reef fishing as follows.
Fishing, particularly overfishing, can
have large scale, long-term ecosystemlevel effects that can change ecosystem
structure from coral-dominated reefs to
algal-dominated reefs (‘‘phase shifts’’).
Even fishing pressure that doesn’t rise to
the level of overfishing potentially can
alter trophic interactions that are
important in structuring coral reef
ecosystems. These trophic interactions
include reducing population abundance
of herbivorous fish species that control
algal growth, limiting the size structure
of fish populations, reducing species
richness of herbivorous fish, and
releasing corallivores from predator
control. Thus, an important aspect of
maintaining resilience in coral reef
ecosystems is to sustain populations of
herbivores, especially the larger scarine
herbivorous wrasses such as parrotfish.
On topographically complex reefs,
population densities can average well
over a million herbivorous fishes per
km2, and standing stocks can reach 45
metric tons per km2. In the Caribbean,
parrotfishes can graze at rates of more
than 150,000 bites per square meter per
day, and thereby remove up to 90–100
percent of the daily primary production
(e.g., algae). Under these conditions of
topographic complexity with substantial
populations of herbivorous fishes, as
long as the cover of living coral is high
and resistant to mortality from
environmental changes, it is very
unlikely that the algae will take over
and dominate the substrate. However, if
herbivorous fish populations,
particularly large-bodied parrotfish, are
heavily fished and a major mortality of
coral colonies occurs, then algae can
grow rapidly and prevent the recovery
of the coral population. The ecosystem
can then collapse into an alternative
stable state, a persistent phase shift in
which algae replace corals as the
dominant reef species. Although algae
can have negative effects on adult coral
colonies (e.g., overgrowth, bleaching
from toxic compounds), the ecosystemlevel effects of algae are primarily from
inhibited coral recruitment.
Filamentous algae can prevent the
colonization of the substrate by planula
larvae by creating sediment traps that
obstruct access to a hard substrate for
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attachment. Additionally, macroalgae
can suppress the successful colonization
of the substrate by corals through
occupation of the available space,
shading, abrasion, chemical poisoning,
and infection with bacterial disease.
Overfishing can have further impacts
on coral mortality via trophic cascades.
In general larger fish are targeted,
resulting in fish populations of small
individuals. For parrotfishes, the effect
of grazing by individuals greater than 20
cm in length is substantially greater
than that by smaller fish. Up to 75
individual parrotfishes with lengths of
about 15 cm are necessary to have the
same reduction in algae and promotion
of coral recruitment as a single
individual 35 cm in length. Species
richness of the herbivorous fish
population is also very beneficial to
maintaining available substrate
potentially leading to enhanced coral
populations. Because of differences in
their feeding behaviors, several species
of herbivorous fishes with
complementary feeding behaviors can
have a substantially greater positive
effect than a similar biomass of a single
species on reducing the standing stock
of macroalgae, of increasing the cover of
crustose coralline algae, and increasing
live coral cover.
Exposure to the trophic effects of
fishing in the Caribbean may be
moderated by distance of some coral
habitats from fishing effort. Exposure to
the trophic effects of fishing in the IndoPacific is likely more moderated by
distance than in the Caribbean, due to
a greater proportion of reef-building
coral habitats located in remote areas
away from fishing effort. Exposure to
the trophic effects of reef fishing may
also moderated by depth of many
habitats in both regions, but again more
so in the Indo-Pacific than in the
Caribbean. Deep habitats are generally
less affected by the trophic effects of
fishing, especially in the Indo-Pacific.
Exposure to the trophic effects of fishing
will increase as the human population
increases over time.
The trophic effects of fishing are
likely to interact with many other
threats, especially considering that
fishing impacts are likely to increase
within the ranges of many of the
proposed corals over the foreseeable
future. For example, when carnivorous
fishes are overfished, corallivore
populations may increase, resulting in
greater predation on corals. Further,
overfishing appears to increase the
frequency of coral disease. Fishing
activity usually targets the larger apex
predators. When predators are removed,
corallivorous butterfly fishes become
more abundant and can transmit disease
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from one coral colony to another as they
transit and consume from each coral
colony. With increasing abundance,
they transmit disease to higher
proportions of the corals within the
population.
Comments 21–23 focused on the
following aspects of the trophic effects
of reef fishing: (1) The importance of the
threat to coral reefs; (2) higher
importance localized threats; and (3)
consideration of human demography.
Comment 21 highlighted Keller et al.
(2009), which provides additional
support for the importance herbivores
play in the maintenance of recruitment
habitat. Further, recent information
shows that one of the most detrimental
effects of unsustainable fishing pressure
is the alteration of trophic interactions
that are particularly important in
structuring coral reef ecosystems
(Jackson et al., 2012; Jackson et al.,
2014; Ruppert et al., 2013). These
trophic interactions include reducing
population abundance of herbivorous
fish species that control algal growth,
limiting the size structure of fish
populations, reducing species richness
of herbivorous fish, and releasing
corallivores from predator control.
Thus, an important aspect of
maintaining resilience in coral reef
ecosystems is to sustain functional
populations of herbivores, especially the
larger parrotfish and other key
functional herbivorous fish (Hughes et
al., 2010; Jackson et al., 2012; Jackson et
al., 2014; Kennedy et al., 2013). Further,
Jackson et al. (2014) considers
overfishing (associated with high
human densities) to be one of the major
causes of the region-wide decline in
Caribbean corals while acknowledging
that climate threats are likely to be
major sources of mortality in the future.
In addition to direct overfishing of
primary consumers such as parrotfish,
recent studies found that overfishing of
top reef predators such as sharks and
other predatory fish, such as large
groupers in the Caribbean, can have an
impact that cascades down the food
chain, potentially contributing to
mesopredator release, and ultimately
altering the numbers of primary
consumers available to control algal
growth (Jackson et al., 2012; Jackson et
al., 2014; Ruppert et al., 2013).
After considering this supplemental
information in addition to that which
was available for the proposed rule, our
conclusion regarding the trophic effects
of fishing remains unchanged from the
proposed rule. Trophic effects of fishing
are a medium importance threat in
assessing global extinction risk for the
65 corals in this final rule. Because the
main effect of trophic effects of reef
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fishing is habitat alteration, there are no
species-specific levels of exposure and
susceptibility. However, the extent to
which an individual species’
recruitment is affected is discussed in
more detail in the Species-specific
Information and Determinations section,
when species-specific information is
available.
Sedimentation (Low-Medium
Importance Threat, ESA Factors A and
E)
Sedimentation is considered under
ESA Factor A—the present or
threatened destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat or range—and
ESA Factor E—other natural or
manmade factors affecting the
continued existence of the species—
because the effect of the threat, resulting
from human activity, is both to limit the
availability of habitat for corals and to
directly impact individuals of coral
species. In the proposed rule we
described the threat of sedimentation as
follows. Human activities in coastal and
inland watersheds introduce sediment
into the ocean by a variety of
mechanisms, including river discharge,
surface runoff, groundwater seeps, and
atmospheric deposition. Humans also
introduce sewage into coastal waters
through direct discharge, treatment
plants, and septic leakage. Elevated
sediment levels are generated by poor
land use practices and coastal and
nearshore construction.
The most common direct effect of
sedimentation is deposition of sediment
on coral surfaces as sediment settles out
from the water column. Corals with
certain morphologies (e.g., mounding)
can passively reject settling sediments.
In addition, corals can actively displace
sediment by ciliary action or mucous
production, both of which require
energetic expenditures. Corals with
large calices (skeletal component that
holds the polyp) tend to be better at
actively rejecting sediment. Some coral
species can tolerate complete burial for
several days. Corals that are
unsuccessful in removing sediment will
be smothered and die. Sediment can
also induce sublethal effects, such as
reductions in tissue thickness, polyp
swelling, zooxanthellae loss, and excess
mucus production. In addition,
suspended sediment can reduce the
amount of light in the water column,
making less energy available for coral
photosynthesis and growth.
Sedimentation also impedes fertilization
of spawned gametes and reduces larval
settlement and survival of recruits and
juveniles.
Although it is difficult to
quantitatively predict the extinction risk
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that sedimentation poses to the corals
under consideration, human activity has
resulted in quantifiable increases in
sediment inputs in some reef areas.
Continued increases in coastal human
populations combined with poor land
use and nearshore development
practices will likely increase sediment
delivery to reef systems. Nearshore
sediment levels will also likely increase
with sea-level rise. Greater inundation
of reef flats can erode soil at the
shoreline and resuspend lagoon
deposits, producing greater sediment
transport and potentially leading to
leeward reefs being flooded with turbid
lagoon waters or buried by off-bank
sediment transport. Sediment stress and
turbidity also can induce bleaching,
although some corals may be more
tolerant of elevated short-term levels of
sedimentation.
Exposure to sedimentation can be
moderated by distance of some coral
habitats from areas where sedimentation
is chronically or sporadically heavy,
resulting in some habitats being
unaffected or very lightly affected by
sedimentation. Exposure to
sedimentation for particular species
may also be moderated by depth of
habitats. Exposure to sedimentation is
expected to increase as human activities
that produce sedimentation expand over
time.
Sedimentation is also likely to
interact with many other threats, such
as other land-based sources of pollution
and warming-induced bleaching,
especially considering that
sedimentation is likely to increase
across the ranges of many of the 65
species over the foreseeable future. For
example, when coral communities that
are chronically affected by
sedimentation experience a warminginduced bleaching event, a disease
outbreak, or a toxic spill, the
consequences for those corals can be
much more severe than in communities
not affected by sedimentation.
Comment 25 underscored the
importance of sedimentation as a
considerable local threat to corals, and
highlighted the potential of
sedimentation to interact and
potentially exacerbate other threats. A
few commenters provided references
´
(Bonkosky et al., 2009; HernandezDelgado et al., 2012; Hernandez-Delgado
et al., 2011) that discussed
sedimentation as a threat to corals.
We also gathered supplemental
studies on the threat of sedimentation
since the proposed rule was published.
Three points in particular from the
proposed rule were affirmed by the
supplemental studies. Sedimentation
can have interactive effects with other
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stressors including disease and climate
factors such as bleaching susceptibility
and reduced calcification (Ateweberhan
et al., 2013; Suggett et al., 2013). MPAs
provide little protection against indirect
stressors like sedimentation from
upland activities (Halpern et al., 2013).
The effects of sedimentation can be
variable for different coral species and
may depend on other environmental
conditions (Blakeway et al., 2013;
Suggett et al., 2013).
After considering this supplemental
information in addition to that which
was available for the proposed rule, our
conclusion regarding sedimentation
remains unchanged from the proposed
rule. Sedimentation is a low to medium
importance threat in assessing global
extinction risk for the 65 corals in this
final rule. The impact of sedimentation
may be mediated by several factors and
the extent to which the extinction risk
of a coral species is impacted by
sedimentation depends on its particular
level of susceptibility combined with it
spatial and demographic characteristics
in the context of worsening
environmental conditions out to 2100,
which is considered for each species in
the Species-specific Information and
Determinations section.
Nutrients (Low-Medium Importance
Threat, ESA Factors A and E)
Nutrient enrichment is considered
under ESA Factor A—the present or
threatened destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat or range—and
ESA Factor E—other natural or
manmade factors affecting the
continued existence of the species—
because the effect of the threat, resulting
from human activity, is both to limit the
availability of habitat for corals and
directly impact individuals of coral
species. In the proposed rule we
described the threat of nutrient overenrichment as follows. Elevated
nutrients affect corals through two main
mechanisms: Direct impacts on coral
physiology and indirect effects through
nutrient-stimulation of other
community components (e.g.,
macroalgal turfs and seaweeds, and
filter feeders) that compete with corals
for space on the reef. Increased nutrients
can decrease calcification; however,
nutrients may also enhance linear
extension, while reducing skeletal
density. Either condition results in
corals that are more prone to breakage
or erosion, but individual species do
have varying tolerances to increased
nutrients. The main vectors of
anthropogenic nutrients are pointsource discharges (such as rivers or
sewage outfalls) and surface runoff from
modified watersheds. Natural processes,
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such as in situ nitrogen fixation and
delivery of nutrient-rich deep water by
internal waves and upwelling also bring
nutrients to coral reefs.
Exposure to nutrients can be
moderated by distance of some coral
habitats from areas where nutrients are
chronically or sporadically heavy (e.g.,
heavily populated areas). However,
nutrient over-enrichment can still result
from sparsely populated areas; and
these nutrients can be quickly
transported large distances. Therefore,
distance is less of a moderating factor
for nutrients than for sedimentation.
Similarly, although nutrient exposure
may also be moderated by the depth of
some habitats, nutrient impacts extend
deeper than sedimentation impacts.
Exposure to nutrients is expected to
increase as human activities that
produce nutrients expand over time.
Nutrients are likely to interact with
many other threats, especially
considering that nutrient overenrichment is likely to increase across
the ranges of many of the 65 corals over
the foreseeable future. For example,
when coral communities that are
chronically affected by nutrients
experience a warming-induced
bleaching event, a disease outbreak, or
a toxic spill, the consequences for corals
can be much more severe than in
communities not affected by nutrients.
Comment 26 supported and reiterated
the effects nutrients can have on corals.
Some of the individual commenters
provided studies (Bonkosky et al., 2009;
Connolly et al., 2012; Cunning and
Baker, 2013; Fabricius et al., 2013;
Hernandez-Delgado et al., 2011;
´
Hernandez-Delgado et al., 2008;
´
´
Mendez-Lazaro et al., 2012;
Wiedenmann et al., 2013) to reinforce
their support. Bonkosky et al. (2009)
provided further evidence that elevated
turbidity and nutrient enrichment from
human waste discharge has an extensive
impact on coral reef ecosystems. In
response to contradictory results from
other studies as to whether nutrients
increase thermal stress or increase
resistance to higher temperature for
corals, Fabricius et al. (2013) exposed
corals to both elevated nutrients and
heat stress. They found higher mortality
occurred in the elevated nutrient-heat
stress treatments versus heat-stressed
alone and controls. Wiedenmann et al.
(2013) found that unfavorable ratios of
dissolved inorganic nutrients in the
water column led to phosphate
starvation of symbiotic algae, reducing
thermal tolerance. Cunning and Baker
(2013) found higher nutrient loads can
lead to higher densities of symbionts,
and corals with higher densities of
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symbionts were more susceptible to
bleaching.
We also gathered supplemental
information on how elevated nutrients
interact with other threats, including
coral bleaching and disease. One study
tested the interactive effects of nutrient
loading with both bleaching and disease
and found that coral disease prevalence
and severity as well as coral bleaching
were increased in nutrient enriched
plots (Vega Thurber et al., 2013).
Ateweberhan et al. (2013) note that most
studies on the subject of nutrient
enrichment and high temperatures also
present evidence of negative effects on
calcification due to higher nutrient
levels, although both positive and
negative effects have been reported.
Nutrient enrichment can also interact
with the threat of coral disease by
encouraging the proliferation of diseasecausing microorganisms and bioeroders,
such as boring sponges, and intensifying
the growth of fleshy macroalgae that
harbor and spread coral diseases
(Ateweberhan et al., 2013; Vega Thurber
et al., 2013).
After considering this supplemental
information in addition to that which
was available for the proposed rule, our
conclusion regarding nutrient overenrichment remains unchanged from
the proposed rule. Nutrients are a low
to medium importance threat in
assessing global extinction risk for the
65 corals in this final rule. The impact
of elevated nutrients may be mediated
by several factors and the extent to
which the extinction risk of a coral
species is impacted by nutrient
enrichment depends on its particular
level of susceptibility, combined with
its spatial and demographic
characteristics in the context of
worsening environmental conditions
out to 2100, which is considered for
each species in the Species-specific
Information and Determinations section.
Sea-Level Rise (Low-Medium Threat,
ESA Factor A)
Sea-level rise is considered under
ESA Factor A—the present or
threatened destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat or range—
because the effect of the threat is to the
availability of corals’ habitat and not
directly to the species themselves. In the
proposed rule we described the threat of
sea-level rise as follows. The effects of
sea-level rise may act on various coral
life history events, including larval
settlement, polyp development, and
juvenile growth, and can contribute to
adult mortality and colony
fragmentation, mostly due to increased
sedimentation and decreased water
quality (reduced light availability)
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caused by coastal inundation. The best
available information suggests that sea
level will continue to rise due to
thermal expansion and the melting of
land and sea ice. Theoretically, any rise
in sea-level could potentially provide
additional habitat for corals living near
the sea surface. Many corals that inhabit
the relatively narrow zone near the
ocean surface have rapid growth rates
when healthy, which allowed them to
keep up with sea-level rise during the
past periods of rapid climate change
associated with deglaciation and
warming. However, depending on the
rate and amount of sea-level rise, rapid
rises can lead to reef drowning. Rapid
rises in sea level could affect many of
the proposed coral species by both
submerging them below their common
depth range and, more likely, by
degrading water quality through coastal
erosion and potentially severe
sedimentation or enlargement of lagoons
and shelf areas. Rising sea level is likely
to cause mixed responses in the 65
corals depending on their depth
preferences, sedimentation tolerances,
growth rates, and the nearshore
topography. Reductions in growth rate
due to local stressors, bleaching,
infectious disease, and ocean
acidification may prevent the species
from keeping up with sea-level rise (i.e.,
from growing at a rate that will allow
them to continue to occupy their
preferred depth range despite sea-level
rise).
The rate and amount of future sealevel rise remains uncertain. Until the
past few years, sea-level rise was
predicted to be in the range of only
about one half meter by 2100. However,
more recent estimated rates are higher,
based upon evidence that the Greenland
and Antarctic ice sheets are much more
vulnerable than previously thought.
While there is large variability in
predictions of sea-level rise, AR4 likely
underestimated the rates under all
scenarios.
Fast-growing branching corals were
able to keep up with the first 3 m of sealevel rise during the warming that led to
the last interglacial period. However,
whether the 65 corals in this final rule
will be able to survive 3 m or more of
future sea-level rise will depend on
whether growth rates are reduced as a
result of other risk factors, such as local
environmental stressors, bleaching,
infectious disease, and ocean
acidification. Additionally, lack of
suitable new habitat, limited success in
sexual recruitment, coastal runoff, and
coastal hardening will compound some
corals’ ability to survive rapid sea-level
rise.
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This threat is expected to
disproportionately affect shallow areas
adjacent to degraded coastlines, as
ocean inundation results in higher
levels of sedimentation from the newlyinundated coastlines to the shallow
areas. Exposure to sea-level rise will be
moderated by horizontal and vertical
distances of reef-building coral habitats
from inundated, degraded coastlines.
Exposure to sea-level rise will increase
over time as the rate of rise increases.
Sea-level rise is likely to interact with
other threats, especially considering that
sea-level rise is likely to increase across
the ranges of the 65 corals over the
foreseeable future. In particular, the
inundation of developed areas (e.g.,
urban and agricultural areas) and other
areas where shoreline sediments are
easily eroded by sea-level rise is likely
to degrade water quality of adjacent
coral habitat through increased
sediment and nutrient runoff and the
potential release of toxic contamination.
Comment 27 supported the Consensus
Statement on Climate Change and Coral
Reefs, which specifies that sea-levels
have already risen and that future rising
sea-levels will be accompanied by
increased sedimentation levels. We
received no additional supplemental
information on this threat.
We also gathered supplemental
information to update the analysis
presented in the proposed rule. In the
proposed rule, we noted that AR4 likely
underestimated rates of projected sealevel rise. AR5’s WGI represents a
substantial advance from AR4. The first
section of WGI considers observations of
climate system change, which refers to
descriptions of past climate patterns.
WGI concludes it is virtually certain
that the global mean sea level rose by 19
cm from 1901 to 2010. The
anthropogenic ocean warming observed
since the 1970s has contributed to
global sea-level rise over this period
through ice melting and thermal
expansion. Projections for future sealevel-rise in RCP8.5 for the period 2081
to 2100 are 0.53 to 0.97 meter higher
than the period 1986 to 2005. In
addition, WGI concluded that it is
virtually certain that global mean sealevel rise will continue beyond 2100.
WGI also reported that it is very likely
that in the twenty-first century and
beyond, sea-level change will have a
strong regional pattern (IPCC, 2013).
After considering this supplemental
information in addition to that which
was previously available, our
conclusion regarding sea-level rise
remains unchanged from the proposed
rule. Sea-level rise is a low to medium
importance threat in assessing global
extinction risk for the 65 corals in this
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final rule. The impact of sea-level-rise
may be mediated by some factors and
the extent to which the extinction risk
of a coral species is impacted by sealevel-rise depends on its particular level
of susceptibility, combined with its
spatial and demographic characteristics
in the context of worsening
environmental conditions out to 2100,
which is considered for each species in
the Species-specific Information and
Determinations section.
Predation (Low Threat, ESA Factor C)
Predation is considered under ESA
Factor C—disease or predation. In the
proposed rule we described the threat of
predation as follows. Predation on some
coral genera by many corallivorous
species of fish and invertebrates (e.g.,
snails and seastars) is a chronic, though
occasionally acute, energy drain. It is a
threat that has been identified for most
coral life stages. Thus, predation
factored into the extinction risk analysis
for each of the 65 corals. Numerous
studies have documented the
quantitative impact of predation by
various taxa on coral tissue and
skeleton. Predators can indirectly affect
the distribution of corals by
preferentially consuming faster-growing
coral species, thus allowing slowergrowing corals to compete for space on
the reef. The most notable example of
predation impacts in the Indo-Pacific
are from large aggregations or outbreaks
of crown-of-thorns seastar. The specific
cause of crown-of-thorns seastar
outbreaks is unknown. Crown-of-thorns
seastar can reduce living coral cover to
less than one percent during outbreaks,
changing coral community structure,
promoting algal colonization, and
affecting fish population dynamics.
Exposure to predation by corallivores
is moderated by presence of predators of
the corallivores. For example,
corallivorous reef fish prey on corals,
and piscivorous reef fish and sharks
prey on the corallivores; thus, high
abundances of piscivorous reef fish and
sharks moderate coral predation.
Abundances of piscivorous reef fish and
sharks vary spatially because of
different ecological conditions and
human exploitation levels. Exposure to
predation is also moderated by distance
from physical conditions that allow
corallivore populations to grow. For
example, in the Indo-Pacific, high
nutrient runoff from continents and
high islands improves reproductive
conditions for crown-of-thorns seastar,
thus coral predation by crown-of-thorns
seastar is moderated by distance from
such conditions. Predation can also be
moderated by depth of many habitats
because abundances of many
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corallivorous species decline with
depth. Exposure to predation can
increase over time as conditions change,
but may be moderated by distance and
depth for certain species, which
depends upon the distribution and
abundances of the species.
Predation of coral colonies can
increase the likelihood of the colonies
being infected by disease, and likewise
diseased colonies may be more likely to
be preyed upon. There are likely other
examples of cumulative and interactive
effects of predation with other threats to
corals.
Comment 28 suggested predation and
exposure values for some individual
species, but did not provide
supplemental information on the threat.
We also gathered supplemental
information that supports and reiterates
the analysis presented in the proposed
rule. Bonaldo et al. (2011) documented
spatial and temporal variation in coral
predation by parrotfishes on the Great
Barrier Reef. Lenihan et al. (2011)
assessed the degree to which the
performance of recently recruited
branching corals was influenced by
several factors, including corallivory.
They found that partial predation by
corallivorous fishes is an important but
habitat-modulated constraint for
branching corals and, overall,
corallivory had variable effects on corals
of different genera. Last, De’ath et al.
(2012) documented that 42 percent of
the decline in coral cover on the GBR
is attributable to crown-of-thorns seastar
predation.
After considering this supplemental
information in addition to that which
was available for the proposed rule, our
conclusion regarding predation remains
unchanged from the proposed rule.
Predation is a low importance threat in
assessing global extinction risk for the
65 corals in this final rule. The impact
of predation may be mediated by several
factors and the extent to which the
extinction risk of a coral species is
impacted by predation depends on its
particular level of susceptibility
combined with its spatial and
demographic characteristics in the
context of worsening environmental
conditions out to 2100, which is
considered for each species in the
Species-specific Information and
Determinations section.
Collection and Trade (Low Threat, ESA
Factor B)
Collection and trade is considered
under ESA Factor B—overutilization for
commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes. In the proposed
rule, we described the threat of
collection and trade as follows.
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Globally, 1.5 million live stony coral
colonies are reported to be collected
from at least 45 countries each year,
with the United States consuming the
largest portion of live corals (64 percent)
and live rock (95 percent) for the
aquarium trade. The imports of live
corals taken directly from coral reefs
(not from aquaculture) increased by 600
percent between 1988 and 2007, while
the global trade in live coral increased
by nearly 1,500 percent. Harvest of
stony corals is usually highly
destructive, and results in removing and
discarding large amounts of live coral
that go unsold and damaging reef
habitats around live corals. While
collection is a highly spatially-focused
impact, it can result in significant
impacts and was considered to
contribute to individual species’
extinction risk. However, we ultimately
ranked this threat as low overall because
of species-specific factors (i.e., some
species are preferentially affected) as
well as distance and depth factors that
create barriers to human access.
As described in Comments 29 and 30,
we received a significant amount of
supplemental information via public
comments and gathered supplemental
information on three aspects of the
threat of collection and trade on reefbuilding corals and coral reef
ecosystems: (1) Wild collection of
corals, including information about the
physical and ecological impacts of wild
collection of coral colonies and/or
fragments from their natural habitats; (2)
captive culture including information
regarding the development of
mariculture and aquaculture operations,
as well as the role of home aquaria as
they relate to trade, including all
commercial, recreational, and
educational coral-raising operations in
marine environments as well as in
captivity; and (3) the global marine
ornamental trade industry, including
detailed information regarding trade of
both live and dead corals and other
coral reef wildlife.
For the purposes of this final rule,
collection and trade refers to the
physical process of taking corals from
their natural habitat on coral reefs for
the purpose of sale in the ornamental
trade industry. We define wild
collection as the physical removal or
capture of coral colonies, fragments, and
polyps from their natural habitat. This
section also discusses the use of captive
breeding techniques via aquaculture and
mariculture for the purposes of trade.
Captive culture techniques are
increasingly used to supply the
aquarium trade industry and potentially
reduce the amount of corals collected
from the wild to meet demand
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(Thornhill, 2012; Wood et al., 2012). We
define aquaculture as the land-based
(‘ex situ’) propagation or grow out of
corals. Examples of this include corals
grown in home aquaria or terrestrial
coral farms. We define mariculture as
the ocean-based (‘in situ’) propagation
or grow out of corals. Examples of this
include corals grown in coral farms and
nursery areas in marine environments.
The phrase ‘‘captive culture’’ is used
interchangeably to refer to captive
breeding of corals, both via aquaculture
or mariculture techniques.
The ecological and socio-economic
impacts of the ornamental trade
industry for corals are numerous, and
can include overharvesting, collateral
damage to coral reef habitat, and
potential introduction of exotic species
(Rhyne et al., 2012). Wild collection of
stony corals is usually highly
destructive, resulting in removing and
discarding large amounts of live coral
that often go unsold for various reasons.
Additionally, collection techniques can
be physically damaging to reef habitat
around live corals. In a recent, thorough
review of ecological impacts and
practices of the coral reef wildlife trade,
Thornhill (2012) identifies and
describes five overarching potential
impacts: (1) Effects on target population
such as over-exploitation and local
population extirpations; (2) habitat
impacts such as reduced coral cover,
diversity, and rugosity; (3) effects on
associated species such as decreased
abundance, biomass, and diversity of
reef fish, invertebrates, and other
species due to loss or destruction of
habitat; (4) ecosystem impacts such as
increased degradation and erosion
leading to reduced resilience; and (5)
socio-economic impacts such as user
group conflict between tourists, fishers,
etc.
Collection and trade of coral colonies
can also increase the likelihood of the
colonies being infected by disease, as a
result of both the directed and
incidental breakage of colonies, which
are then more easily infected (Brainard
et al., 2011). Further, destructive
practices for collection of other coral
reef wildlife, such as the use of cyanide
for capturing reef fish, can also have
deleterious effects on coral reef habitat
in general. Currently, cyanide fishing is
practiced in 15 countries, many of
which are major marine wildlife trade
exporters (Thornhill, 2012). There are
likely many other examples of
cumulative and interactive effects of
collection and trade that pose a threat to
corals. Given the paucity of data for the
coral reef wildlife trade, it is difficult to
accurately estimate mortality rates
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directly resulting from collection
practices (Thornhill, 2012).
The rapid increase of coral reef
species entering markets in the United
States and Europe and the sustainability
of the aquarium trade in terms of
driving collection of wild specimens
have been of great concern to
governments, scientists,
conservationists, and conscientious
aquarium hobbyists alike (Olivotto et
al., 2011; Rhyne and Tlusty, 2012).
However, production of marine wildlife
for home aquaria (i.e., the aquarium
hobbyist trade) through captive culture
is an increasingly growing sector of the
ornamental trade industry. Recently,
advances in both aquaculture and
mariculture propagation techniques
show promise in shifting the demand of
the ornamental trade industry away
from wild-collected corals to corals
reared via captive-culture techniques.
Such techniques are possible since
many corals, especially fast-growing
branching corals, are capable of asexual
reproduction via a process known as
fragmentation or ‘‘fragging’’ (Brainard et
al., 2011; Rhyne et al., 2012). According
to CITES import and export reports,
maricultured corals accounted for
approximately 20 percent of total live
trade in 2010 (Wood et al. 2012), but
other studies suggest that captivecultured corals account for only 2
percent of the live coral trade
(Thornhill, 2012).
Globally, there are approximately two
million aquarium hobbyists involved in
a complex trade network that sells an
estimated 50 million corals every year to
use (Rhyne et al., 2012). According to
the Florida Department of Agriculture
and Consumer Services, there are 87
certified aquaculture facilities listing
corals as a product in Florida alone. The
study hypothesized that a notable
decline in U.S. imports of corals
occurred after 2006 as a result of
increased domestic coral production as
well as the global economic downturn.
Import reports do not account for this
‘‘hidden’’ domestic production, and
statistical tracking of this type of coral
production is lacking (Rhyne et al.,
2012). In addition to increasing
domestic production of corals, some
major source countries such as
Indonesia are increasing production via
mariculture activities to reduce wild
collection pressure on coral reefs, and
supporting coral farming as a potential
alternative to fishing for reef fish and
collection of wild corals (Pomeroy et al.,
2006). For example, according to 2009
U.S. import reports, 26 percent of
Acropora species were identified under
CITES codes which indicated that these
colonies were produced via captive-
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culture techniques (Rhyne et al., 2012).
However, since CITES codes are selfdetermined by exporter countries, there
may be some inconsistencies in how
those codes are applied (Wood et al.,
2012). As of 2008, there were 55 coral
farms scattered throughout the different
provinces of Indonesia (Timotius et al.,
2009); however, this number may be
increasing since Indonesia’s government
has mandated companies and traders
involved in the coral trade to utilize
captive culture techniques in hopes of
eventually phasing out wild collection
of corals.
There are a number of challenges
associated with developing aquaculture
or mariculture operations for coral
species, including technical capacity
and know-how, high capital
investments and operating costs, and
high levels of production risk (Ferse et
al., 2012; Pomeroy et al., 2006).
Culturing corals has not been an easy
task, predominantly due to the lack of
knowledge regarding reproductive and
larval biology for most traded species
(Olivotto et al., 2011). Further, most
mariculture operations tend to focus
predominantly on fast-growing corals,
while successful propagation techniques
for the popular slow-growing, largepolyp species have not yet been
developed (Wood et al., 2012). There is
also the increasingly popular trend of
using ocean-based coral nurseries for
the purposes of propagating coral
fragments to a suitable size and
subsequently out-planting those coral
fragments on degraded reefs to aid in
reef restoration efforts. These types of
activities are also considered in the
Conservation Efforts section of the rule.
The export of marine organisms for
the ornamental trade industry is a global
industry. As described in the proposed
rule, it is estimated that 1.5 million live
stony coral colonies are collected from
at least 45 countries each year, with an
estimated 11 to 12 million coral pieces
(i.e., fragments from larger colonies)
traded every year (Brainard et al., 2011;
Wabnitz, 2003). In addition to live stony
corals, approximately 13 to 40 million
reef fish, four million pounds of dead
coral skeleton, and nine to 10 million
other invertebrates are extracted from
coral reef ecosystems across the world
(Thornhill, 2012). For corals, trade can
be broken down into several categories,
including: Coral rock (i.e., rock and
substrate that may have live settled
coral polyps among other marine
organisms), live wild coral, live
maricultured coral, and dead coral
skeleton. Yet, numbers of corals traded
in these categories are very difficult to
accurately estimate for a variety of
reasons. First, corals are colonial, vary
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in size, and can be fragmented into
many smaller pieces. Additionally,
reporting of trade volume is inconsistent
and varies between reporting pieces and
weight, and live rock and corals are
often confused with each other and
misreported (Thornhill, 2012).
Currently, Indonesia is the primary
source country of live corals; it exports
approximately one million corals
annually and represents an estimated 91
percent of the global supply market as
of 2005 (Bruckner and Borneman, 2006;
Thornhill, 2012; Timotius et al., 2009).
Other major exporters of scleractinian
corals include Fiji, Solomon Islands,
Tonga, and Australia. The largest
importers of coral reef wildlife include
the United States, European Union, and
Japan. The United States accounted for
an average of 61 percent of global
imports from 2000–2010 (Wood et al.,
2012). Imports of live corals into the
United States taken directly from coral
reefs (not from aquacultured or
maricultured sources) increased by 600
percent between 1988 and 2007, while
the global imports of live coral
increased by nearly 1,500 percent
(Brainard et al., 2011; Thornhill, 2012;
Tissot et al., 2010). Import and export
data shows overall increasing trends for
trade of live coral pieces between 2000–
2009, with a slight dip in 2010 (Wood
et al., 2012). In addition,
undocumented, illegal live coral trade is
estimated to represent approximately 25
percent of the legal trade level, although
these numbers are difficult to estimate
considering the secretive nature of the
illegal trade (Jones, 2008; Thornhill,
2012).
The international coral trade was
established by 1950 and was dominated
by the Philippines until 1977 when a
national ban on wild collection and
export was introduced (Wood et al.,
2012). It was then that Indonesia
surpassed the Philippines to provide the
majority of corals to the market. In the
1980s and 1990s, the international coral
trade still focused on the trade of dead
´
coral skeletons for home decor and
curios. In recent years, the focus has
shifted to live corals for the marine reef
aquarium trade due to increased interest
in home aquaria and advances in coral
husbandry in North America and
Europe, as well as the advent of modern
air cargo methods (Rhyne et al., 2012;
Thornhill, 2012; Wood et al., 2012). As
stated previously, there is a complex
global trade network of approximately
two million aquarium hobbyists that
sells upwards of 50 million coral reef
animals every year (Rhyne et al., 2012).
Collection of corals for display in public
aquaria for educational purposes
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represents a small portion of the coral
reef wildlife trade, and public aquaria
likely produce as many corals as they
consume by using captive-culture
techniques (Thornhill, 2012).
There has been some significant
progress in captive culture of coral
species using aquaculture and/or
mariculture for the purposes of trade.
Still, commercial-scale production of
most species currently suffers several
technical bottlenecks, including the
long and often arduous supply chain
from ocean to aquarium (e.g., capture,
collection, handling, and transport),
which often results in mortality ranging
from a few percent up to 80 percent. For
example, in an analysis of confiscated
coral shipments, a majority of the corals
were found in poor condition. On the
way to their final destination, coral
colonies may experience significant
temperature drops in the shipping
water, poor water quality, and physical
damage from repeated handling of the
shipping boxes and bags resulting in
mortality of a large proportion of
colonies through subsequent bacterial
infections (Jones, 2008). These nonreported rates of biomass loss may
significantly underestimate the
ecological impacts of the trade as more
corals are collected to make up the
losses (Cohen et al., 2013; Thornhill,
2012). Distinguishing between
specimens collected under regulated
conditions from those collected using
illegal or destructive fishing practices is
very difficult (Cohen et al., 2013;
Wabnitz, 2003).
Traceability and tracking of cultured
corals versus wild-collected corals is
extremely difficult as there is no
morphological or biological difference
between them, making distinction
almost impossible (Olivotto et al., 2011).
For example, a coral can be broken into
fragments and labeled as cultured, when
in fact it was collected from the wild.
There is some evidence to suggest that
culture of live corals has the potential
to affect trends in the trade industry by
reducing wild collection and provide an
economically and financially feasible
alternative livelihood for local
communities in the Indo-Pacific. Even
so, coral mariculture development in
the Indo-Pacific is still in its infancy
and requires a number of conditions to
be met in order for these operations to
be commercially profitable, sustainable,
and traceable (Cohen et al., 2013;
Pomeroy et al., 2006). It is also
important to note that not all species
lend themselves to culture. In fact, only
a small number of coral genera have the
ability to be commercially cultured
(Rhyne et al., 2012). According to some
sources, approximately 98 percent of
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live corals in the ornamental trade are
still collected from the wild, with only
2 percent originating from captive bred
sources such as coral farms and
nurseries (Ferse et al., 2012; Thornhill,
2012), but, according to a different
analysis of import reports between 2000
and 2010, captive cultured corals made
up approximately 20 percent of total
imports, and these originated almost
entirely from Indonesia (Wood et al.,
2012). Therefore, there are still
significant data deficiencies and a large
amount of uncertainty as to how much
of an impact captive cultured corals are
having on the ornamental trade.
Significant supplemental information
was received in public comments on the
proposed rule or otherwise gathered on
collection and trade of coral species. As
previously described in the SRR and
proposed rule, there are numerous
ecological impacts from the physical
process of removing corals and other
wildlife from the reef. Trade practices
that rely on the collection of wild
individuals may damage or destroy
adult and juvenile reef corals.
Additionally, removal of reef fish and
other organisms for trade purposes may
also result in ecological impacts to reef
ecosystems (Brainard et al., 2011). The
ten most popular coral genera involved
in the ornamental trade by volume are:
Acropora (Indo-Pacific only), Euphyllia,
Goniopora, Trachyphyllia, Plerogyra,
Montipora, Heliofungia, Lobophyllia,
Porites, and Turbinaria (Jones, 2008;
Thornhill, 2012), all of which represent
31 of the coral species considered in
this final rule. Acropora species are in
the highest demand followed by the
large polyp species such as Euphyllia
(Jones, 2008). Culturing corals through
aquaculture and/or mariculture
techniques is becoming an increasingly
popular tool to help move the aquarium
trade away from collection of wild
corals. Still, these techniques are fairly
new and in need of many improvements
before being considered a viable
solution in shifting market demand from
wild-collected to captive cultured
corals. As it currently stands, the
amount of unreported, illegal, and
unregulated collection, combined with
the large amount of biomass loss along
the supply chain raises serious
questions as to the sustainability of the
ornamental trade (Cohen et al., 2013).
Overall, collection and trade of coral
reef wildlife is considered to contribute
to some individual species’ extinction
risk.
In our previous analysis, collection
and trade were generally considered to
be a threat to coral reefs, as well as
particular individual coral species, but
extinction risk as a result of collection
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and trade activities for the 65 corals
proposed for ESA listing was considered
to be ‘‘low’’ (Brainard et al., 2011). After
considering this supplemental
information in addition to that which
was available for the proposed rule, our
conclusion regarding the threat of
collection and trade remains unchanged
from the proposed rule. Collection and
trade is a low importance threat in
assessing global extinction risk for the
65 corals in this final rule, and even less
so for the seven Caribbean species due
to undesirable appearance and growth
characteristics for trade. The impact of
collection and trade may be mediated by
several factors and the extent to which
the extinction risk of a coral species is
impacted by collection and trade
depends on its particular level of
susceptibility, combined with its spatial
and demographic characteristics in the
context of worsening environmental
conditions out to 2100, which is
considered for each species in the
Species Information and Determinations
section. Information regarding the
adequacy of regulations related to the
marine ornamental trade such as CITES
and other laws can be found in the
Local Regulatory Mechanisms section of
the Final Management Report (NMFS,
2012b). Additionally, coral restoration
projects using ocean-based, nurseryreared corals are also becoming
increasingly popular as a complement to
existing management tools. Information
related to the roles that coral farms,
coral nurseries, and aquaria (both public
and private) play in coral reef
conservation is discussed in the
Conservation Efforts sub-section of the
rule.
Inadequacy of Existing Regulatory
Mechanisms (ESA Factor D)
Regulatory mechanisms are
considered under Factor D—Inadequacy
of Existing Regulatory Mechanisms. As
previously described in the proposed
rule, we developed a Draft Management
Report to assess the contribution of
‘‘inadequacy of regulatory mechanisms’’
to the extinction risk of corals. The Draft
Management Report identified: (1)
Existing regulatory mechanisms relevant
to threats to the 82 candidate coral
species; and (2) conservation efforts
with regard to the status of the 82
candidate coral species. This Draft was
peer reviewed and released with the
SRR in April 2012, with a request for
any information that we may have
omitted. We incorporated all of the
information we received into the Final
Management Report, which formed the
basis of our evaluation of this factor’s
effect on the extinction risk of the 82
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candidate coral species in the proposed
rule.
The Final Management Report
identified existing regulatory
mechanisms that were relevant to the
threats to coral species. It was organized
in two sections: (1) Existing regulatory
mechanisms that are relevant to
addressing global-scale threats to
addressing other threats to corals. The
proposed rule summarized the
information from that report as follows.
Greenhouse gas emissions are
regulated through multi-state
agreements, at the international level,
and through statutes and regulations, at
the national, state, or provincial level.
One of the key international agreements
relevant to attempts to control GHG
emissions, the Copenhagen Accord, was
developed in 2009 by the Conference of
Parties to the United Nations
Framework Convention on Climate
Change. The Copenhagen Accord
identifies specific information provided
by Parties on quantified economy-wide
emissions targets for 2020 and on
nationally appropriate mitigation
actions to the goal of capping increasing
average global temperature at 2 °C above
pre-industrial levels. Overall, the
proposed rule concluded that existing
regulatory mechanisms with the
objective of reducing GHG emissions
were inadequate to prevent the impacts
to corals and coral reefs from ocean
warming, ocean acidification, and other
climate change-related threats. After an
in-depth analysis of international
agreements to curb GHG emissions and
their respective progress, it appeared
unlikely that Parties would be able to
collectively achieve, in the near term,
climate change avoidance goals outlined
via international agreements.
Additionally, none of the major global
initiatives appeared to be ambitious
enough, even if all terms were met, to
reduce GHG emissions to the level
necessary to minimize impacts to coral
reefs and prevent what are predicted to
be severe consequences for corals
worldwide. The evidence suggested that
existing regulatory mechanisms at the
global scale in the form of international
agreements to reduce GHG emissions
were insufficient to prevent widespread
impacts to corals.
Existing regulatory mechanisms
directly or indirectly addressing the
localized threats identified in the
proposed rule (i.e., those threats not
related to GHGs and global climate
change) are primarily national and local
fisheries, coastal, and watershed
management laws and regulations in the
84 countries within the collective ranges
of the 82 coral species. Because of the
large number of threats, and the
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immense number of regulatory
mechanisms in the 84 countries, we
concluded in the proposed rule that a
regulation-by-regulation assessment of
adequacy was not possible.
Furthermore, with the exception of
Acropora palmata and A. cervicornis in
the Caribbean, there was not enough
information available to determine the
effects of specific regulatory
mechanisms on individual coral
species, given the lack of information on
specific locations of individual species
(the adequacy of existing local
regulatory mechanisms relevant to
threats impacting the Caribbean
acroporids was evaluated in detail in
those species’ 2005 status review, and
that information is incorporated into
this rule’s final findings for those
species). However, general patterns
included: (1) Fisheries management
regimes regulate reef fishing in many
parts of the collective ranges of the
proposed coral species, albeit at varying
levels of success; (2) laws addressing
land-based sources of pollution are less
effective than those regulating fisheries;
(3) coral reef and coastal marine
protected areas have increased severalfold in the last decade, reducing some
threats through regulation or banning of
fishing, coastal development, and other
activities contributing to localized
threats; and (4) the most effective
regulatory mechanisms address the
threats other than climate change. We
generally concluded that because the
local threats have impacted and
continue to impact corals across their
ranges, collectively, the existing
regulations were not preventing or
controlling local threats. Further, there
was insufficient information to
determine if an individual species was
impacted by inadequacy of individual
existing regulations.
We received public comments and
supplemental information on the
inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms. As a result, we
incorporated any information we
received into this final rule, which
supplemented the basis for our final
analysis and determination of the
inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms in each species
determination.
Comments 31–33 provided
supplemental information, which we
incorporated into this final rule.
Specifically, we received information on
how local management actions
potentially confer resilience benefits to
coral reef ecosystems. The public
comments and supplemental
information on the inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms are
discussed below in three sections: (1)
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Updates to adequacy of global
regulatory mechanisms; (2) updates to
adequacy of local regulatory
mechanisms; and (3) local management
as it applies to reef resilience.
Since the release of the Final
Management Report, there have been
two additional conferences of the
Parties to the United National
Framework Convention on Climate
Change. In 2012, the Parties met in
Doha, Qatar, and they met again in
Warsaw, Poland in 2013. The resulting
decisions from both meetings were
primarily to continue ongoing efforts to
reach a new agreement for emissions
reductions to be adopted at the 2015
meeting in Paris, and to have those
implemented by 2020. The new
agreement would maintain the same
overall goal as the Copenhagen Accord,
to cap additional warming at 2 °C.
Within the United States, President
Barack Obama released the President’s
Climate Action Plan in June 2013. The
plan is three-pronged, including
proposed actions for mitigation,
adaptation, and international
leadership. The actions listed for
mitigation include completing carbon
pollution standards for new and existing
power plants, accelerating clean energy
permitting, increasing funding for clean
energy innovation and technology,
increasing fuel economy standards,
increasing energy efficiency in homes
businesses and factories, and reducing
other GHG emissions including
hydrofluorocarbons and methane. The
plan states that the United States is still
committed to reducing GHG emissions
17 percent below 2005 levels by 2020 if
all other major economies agree to
similar reductions. Additional efforts
made domestically related to climate
change are more focused on facilitating
adaptation to the impending changes to
the environment due to climate change
in order to maintain the country’s
natural and economic resources, but do
not directly address the emission of
GHGs.
As described in the proposed rule,
existing regulatory mechanisms directly
or indirectly addressing all of the
localized threats identified in the SRR
(i.e., those threats not related to GHGs
and global climate change) are primarily
national and local fisheries, coastal, and
watershed management laws and
regulations in the 84 countries within
the collective ranges of the 65 coral
species. This final rule incorporates any
information we received via public
comment regarding recent local
regulatory mechanisms or local
regulatory mechanisms that were either
previously mischaracterized or
inadvertently omitted. This includes
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some additions of various local laws as
well as supplemental information
regarding regulations pertaining to
collection and trade of coral species. In
addition, to better capture the breadth
and scope of existing regulatory
mechanisms on a species-by-species
basis, we evaluated the presence and
scope of five different categories of
regulatory mechanisms in each of the 84
countries throughout the ranges of the
65 corals in this final rule. These
categories of laws include: General
protection of corals, reef fishing, marine
protected areas, wild collection, and
pollution.
For each coral species, we considered
the relevant national laws, regulations,
and other similar mechanisms that may
reduce any of the threats described in
our threat analyses for all countries in
which the coral species has confirmed
records of occurrence. To find each
country where our 65 coral species have
confirmed occurrence we used Veron’s
updated report on the listed coral
species and their occurrence in various
ecoregions (Veron, 2014). In considering
countries’ regulatory mechanisms, we
give strongest weight to statutes and
their implementing regulations and to
management direction that stems from
those laws and regulations.
In analyzing local regulatory
mechanisms available for each coral
species, five general categories emerged:
General coral protection, coral
collection control, fishing controls,
pollution controls, and managed areas.
General coral protection regulatory
mechanisms include overarching
environmental laws that may protect
corals from damage, harm, and
destruction, and specific coral reef
management laws. In some instances,
these general coral protection regulatory
mechanisms are limited in scope
because they apply only to certain areas
or only regulate coral reef damage and
do not prohibit it completely.
Coral collection regulatory
mechanisms include specific laws that
prohibit the collection, harvest, and
mining of corals. In some instances,
these coral collection regulatory
mechanisms are limited in scope
because they apply only to certain areas
or are regulated but not prohibited.
Pollution control regulatory
mechanisms include oil pollution laws,
marine pollution laws, ship-based
pollution laws, and coastal land use and
development laws. In some instances,
pollution regulatory mechanisms are
limited in scope because they apply
only to certain areas or to specific
sources of pollution.
Fishing regulatory mechanisms
include fisheries regulations that pertain
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to reefs or regulations that prohibit
explosives, poisons and chemicals,
electrocution, spearfishing, specific
mesh sizes of nets, or other fishing gear.
In some instances, fishing regulatory
mechanisms are limited in scope
because they apply only to certain areas,
or not all reef-damaging fishing methods
are prohibited, or reef-damaging fishing
methods are regulated but not
prohibited.
Managed area regulatory mechanisms
include the capacity to create national
parks and reserves, sanctuaries, and
marine protected areas. In some
instances, managed area regulatory
mechanisms are limited in scope,
primarily because the managed area
provides limited protection for coral
reefs, only small percentages of the
countries’ coral reefs are protected
within the managed areas, or the
managed areas are not well
administered.
The management results for each
species can be found in the SpeciesSpecific Information and Determination
section of this rule. It should be noted
that while some of these regulatory
mechanisms were categorized as
‘‘limited in scope,’’ it does not
necessarily mean they are inadequate
under ESA section 4(a)(1) Factor D.
We received a significant amount of
information regarding the role of local
management actions in building
resilience into reef ecosystems. This
section describes the emerging body of
literature regarding the concept of reef
resilience, defined as an ecosystem’s
capacity to absorb recurrent shocks or
disturbances and adapt to change
without compromising its ecological
function or structural integrity. Until
recently, the main drivers of coral reef
decline included overfishing of
herbivorous fish and nutrient loading
from agriculture and other land-based
sources of pollution. These stressors
caused widespread changes in reef
ecosystems over the past couple of
centuries, and ultimately led to
ecological shifts from coral-dominated
systems to systems overrun by fleshy
algae. These localized disturbances are
now being compounded by climate
change related threats, including
increasingly frequent coral bleaching
events as a result of ocean warming.
Many factors contribute to coral reef
ecosystem resilience, including
ecosystem condition, biological
diversity, connectivity between areas,
and local environmental conditions
(Marshall and Schuttenberg, 2006;
Obura, 2005). Implementing local
actions that either protect or strengthen
these resilience-conferring factors has
the potential to help coral reef
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ecosystems survive predicted increases
in the frequency, duration, and severity
of mass coral bleaching events (Obura,
2005) and may help reduce the
extinction risk of some individual coral
species.
In terms of local management actions,
many acute disturbances such as coral
bleaching are out of the direct control of
reef managers and cannot be mitigated
directly. Actions that can be taken to
build reef resilience and enhance reef
recovery include reducing physical
disturbance and injury as a result of
recreational activities, managing local
watersheds and coastal areas to prevent
sedimentation and nutrient run-off, and
reducing fishing pressures on important
herbivorous fish (Jackson et al., 2014;
Kennedy et al., 2013; Marshall and
Schuttenberg, 2006; Mumby and
Steneck, 2011). For example, a recent
study shows that eutrophication can
increase thermal stress on inshore reef
communities and management actions
to reduce coastal eutrophication can
improve the resistance and resilience of
vulnerable coastal coral reefs to ocean
warming (Fabricius et al., 2013).
Additionally, herbivorous fish play a
crucial role in the recovery of coral reefs
after major disturbance events. Severe
warming and increases in ocean
acidification alone can reduce resilience
of coral reef ecosystems, particularly if
those systems are already subject to
overfishing of the key functional groups
of herbivorous reef fishes and nutrient
loading (Anthony et al., 2011; Bellwood
et al., 2004). Elevated populations of
herbivores have the potential to confer
resilience benefits by encouraging
greater niche diversification and
creating functional redundancy. For
example, it has been demonstrated that
two complementary herbivore species
were more successful at controlling
algal blooms than a single species on its
own, and management of herbivorous
fish can help in reef regeneration after
episodes of bleaching or disease that are
impossible to locally regulate (Bellwood
et al., 2004; Burkepile and Hay, 2008;
Roff and Mumby, 2012). Conversely,
even unexploited populations of
herbivorous fishes do not guarantee reef
resilience; therefore, some reefs could
lose resilience even under relatively low
fishing pressure (Cheal et al., 2010).
Therefore, the entire suite of local
threats and disturbances should be
minimized through local management
actions to ensure that reef resilience and
recovery are also maximized.
Establishing MPA networks is generally
accepted as one of the more common
management tools to help reduce
impacts to coral reefs and build
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resilience (Burke et al., 2011; Keller et
al., 2009).
In a 2013 global review of 10,280
MPAs, it was found that approximately
2.93 percent of the world’s oceans have
MPA coverage; however, coverage does
not necessarily equate to protection.
Marine protected areas have often failed
to prevent ongoing local threats such as
overfishing due to management and/or
design failure, as well as lack of local
support, poor compliance, and
inadequate resources to promote
educational awareness and enforcement
(Hughes et al., 2007; Hughes et al., 2010;
Spalding et al., 2013). A study by the
World Resources Institute found that
only 6 percent of the world’s reefs occur
in effectively managed MPAs (Burke et
al., 2011). Further, scientists are just
beginning to understand spatial patterns
of coral responses to disturbance. Efforts
to identify coral reef areas with the
greatest resilience are crucial for siting
MPAs. This information has the
potential to assist in future MPA design
and management so that resistant
patches of coral reef can be protected to
ensure continued connectivity and
subsequent recovery of nearby reefs that
are less resistant. These strategies of
tailoring management efforts across the
marine environment depending on
various responses to disturbance are
still in their infancy, but it may
eventually prove essential in adaptive
management of reef resources in the face
of future climate change-related
disturbances (Mumby and Steneck,
2011). For these reasons, while MPAs
are an important tool in response to the
global degradation of coral reefs, they
should not be considered a panacea
(Hughes et al., 2007).
In general, recent evidence suggests
that management of local scale
disturbances is essential to maintaining
an adequate coral population density for
successful reproduction and
maintenance of genetic diversity and is
therefore crucial to maintaining
complex, bio-diverse coral reef
ecosystems, given the predicted
widespread impacts of climate change
related threats (e.g., Anthony et al.,
2011). The presence of effective local
laws and regulations has the potential to
help reduce impacts to coral reefs from
threats on an ecosystem level,
potentially extending the timeframe at
which individual coral species may be
in danger of extinction by providing a
protective temporal buffer (i.e.,
resiliency). Some evidence suggests that
local management actions, particularly
of fisheries (specifically, no-take marine
reserves) and watersheds, can enhance
the ability of species, communities, and
ecosystems to tolerate climate change-
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related stressors, and potentially delay
reef loss by at least a decade under
‘‘business-as-usual’’ rises in GHG
emissions (Keller et al., 2008; Kennedy
et al., 2013). In the Caribbean especially,
local regulation of fisheries for
herbivorous fish species (specifically
parrotfish) is deemed one of the most
important local actions to safeguard
coral reefs in the face of looming climate
change threats (Jackson et al., 2014). It
also has been strongly suggested that
local management be combined with a
low-carbon economy to prevent further
degradation of reef structures and
associated ecosystems (Birkeland et al.,
2013; Kennedy et al., 2013).
After considering this supplemental
information in addition to that which
was available for the proposed rule, our
conclusion regarding the inadequacy of
regulatory mechanisms addressing
global threats to corals from GHG
emissions remains unchanged from the
proposed rule. That is, without any
substantive changes in emissions
reduction pledges from any major
economies and without any noteworthy
additional efforts to actually reduce
GHG emissions, the supplemental
information considered in this final rule
regarding regulatory mechanisms does
not change the previous analysis. We
reach the same conclusions regarding
local regulatory mechanisms as
described in the proposed rule, with the
exceptions of Acropora palmata and A.
cervicornis. For these species, we have
incorporated into this final rule, the
analysis of adequacy of regulatory
mechanisms included in the 2005 status
review and 2006 listing of these species
as threatened. Those documents
concluded that existing regulatory
mechanisms are inadequate to address
local and global threats affecting these
species, and as such are contributing to
the threatened status of these species.
Because the local threats have
impacted and continue to impact corals
across their ranges, we still generally
conclude that, collectively, the existing
regulations are not currently preventing
or controlling local threats across the
entire range of any of the 65 species. We
still do not have sufficient information
to determine if an individual species’
extinction risk is exacerbated by
inadequacy of individual existing
regulations. On the other hand, the best
available information suggests that local
management may confer resilience
benefits for coral reefs on an ecosystem
level, which could extend the timeframe
at which individual coral species may
be at risk of extinction by providing a
protective temporal buffer in the face of
climate change-related threats. That is,
implementing effective local
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management actions may allow for coral
to persist while awaiting significant
global progress to curb GHGs. Overall,
we maintain that in the absence of
effective global regulatory mechanisms
to reduce impacts from climate change
to corals, the inadequacy of existing
regulatory mechanisms at global and
local scales poses an extinction risk
threat to all of the corals that are
vulnerable to climate-related threats.
Threats Evaluation Conclusion
The above information on threats to
reef-building corals leads to several
important overall points that apply both
currently and over the foreseeable
future. First, the period of time over
which individual threats and responses
may be projected varies according to the
nature of the threat and the type of
information available about that threat
and the species’ likely response. The
threats related to global climate change
pose the greatest potential extinction
risk to corals and have been evaluated
with sufficient certainty out to the year
2100. Second, we expect an overall
increase in threats, especially those
related to global climate change as
projected by RCP8.5 to 2100. Third,
RCP8.5’s projections of conditions on
coral reefs within the ranges of the
species covered by this rule over the
foreseeable future are based on
spatially-coarse analyses associated
with high uncertainty, in particular at
local spatial scales. Finally and most
importantly, determining the effects of
global threats on an individual coral
species over the foreseeable future is
complicated by the combination of: (1)
Uncertainty associated with projected
ocean warming and acidification
threats; (2) regional and local variability
in global threats; (3) large distributions
and high habitat heterogeneity of the
species in this final rule; and (4) limited
species-specific information on
responses to global threats.
Thus, in our species determinations,
we recognize that the best available
information indicates the impacts of
climate change will likely increase in
the foreseeable future. However, there
are limitations to using this global,
coarse-scale information for determining
vulnerability to extinction for
individual coral species. Climate change
projections over the foreseeable future
are associated with three major sources
of uncertainty; (1) The projected rate of
increase for GHG concentrations; (2)
strength of the climate’s response to
GHG concentrations; and (3) large
natural variations. The recent warming
slow-down is an example of a large
natural variation that was not
anticipated by previous models. Reports
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that discuss the future impacts of
climate change on coral reefs indicate
variability in both the models
underlying these changes and the extent
of potential impacts to the coral
ecosystem. Recognizing uncertainty and
spatial variability in climate change
projections, and the spatial variability in
environmental conditions on coral
habitat, in our species determinations
we emphasize the role that
heterogeneous habitat and spatial and
demographic traits play in evaluating
extinction risk. We also consider in our
determinations that each species in this
final rule experiences a wide variety of
conditions throughout its range that
helps mitigate the impacts of global and
local threats to some degree. Finally, we
don’t consider projections of impacts to
coral reef ecosystems to definitively
represent impacts to individual coral
species, because coral reef communities
typically consist of dozens to hundreds
of reef-building coral species, each of
which may respond differently to
environmental and ecological changes.
In addition, reef-building corals are not
limited to occupying only coral reefs.
Risk Analyses
Many factors can contribute to an
individual species’ extinction risk. The
process of extinction usually occurs in
phases, first affecting individual
populations or sub-populations, and
then progressing to the species level.
Extinction can occur as a result of
stochastic processes that affect birth and
death and mortality from catastrophic
events. A species’ biological traits can
influence extinction risk both in terms
of vulnerability to environmental
perturbations and effects on population
dynamics. Extinction risk is also
influenced by depensatory effects,
which are self-reinforcing processes
(i.e., positive feedbacks) that accelerate
species loss as its population density
declines.
The proposed rule described our
framework for evaluating extinction risk
and making listing determinations in
the Risk Analyses section. There were
multiple steps in our process of
evaluating the listing status of each
species. The initial step in developing
the framework consisted of evaluating
the ESA definitions of ‘‘endangered’’
and ‘‘threatened’’ and how those
definitions apply to corals. The
application of those definitions was
based on the background of the Context
for Extinction Risk and General Threats
sections of the proposed rule.
We then considered the elements that
contribute to the extinction risk of
corals in the Risk Analyses section of
the proposed rule. The following is a list
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of the specific elements within their
respective categories: (1) Vulnerability
to threats, including each of the nine
most important threats, based on a
species’ susceptibility and exposure to
each of the threats; (2) demography,
including abundance, trends in
abundance, and relative recruitment
rate; and (3) spatial structure, including
overall distribution, which is a
combination of geographic and depth
distributions, and ocean basin. In order
to evaluate the best available
information for each of the 82 candidate
corals and consider all elements in each
of these categories, we developed a
Determination Tool to organize and
consistently interpret the information in
the SRR, FMR, and SIR and apply it to
the definitions of threatened,
endangered, and not warranted species
developed for corals, in a decision
framework that we developed to
specifically apply to corals.
In the proposed rule, we linked the
major elements of our Risk Analyses,
vulnerability to threats, demography,
and spatial structure, to the ESA listing
categories. We described endangered
species as having a current extinction
risk; they are highly vulnerable to one
or more of the high importance threats
and have either already been seriously
adversely affected by one of these
threats, as evidenced by a declining
trend and high susceptibility to that
threat, or they lack a buffer to protect
them from serious adverse effects from
these threats in the future. We described
threatened species as not currently
being in danger of extinction, but are
likely to become so within the
foreseeable future. They are highly or
moderately vulnerable to one or more of
the high importance threats or highly
vulnerable to one or more of the lower
importance threats, but have either not
yet exhibited effects in their populations
or they have the buffering protection of
more common abundance or wider
overall distribution. We described not
warranted species as not being in danger
of extinction currently and not likely to
become so within the foreseeable future
because they have: Low vulnerability to
the high importance threats, or low or
moderate vulnerability to all the lower
importance threats, and common
abundance or wide overall distribution.
The proposed rule described the basis
for our determination of the foreseeable
future for the purposes of projecting
climate-related threats in the Threats
Evaluation and Risk Analyses sections,
and was supported by several other
sections (e.g., Global Climate Change—
Overview). Consistent with our practice
for all species listing determinations, we
established that the appropriate period
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of time corresponding to the foreseeable
future is a function of the particular
type of threats, the life-history
characteristics, and the specific habitat
requirements for the coral species under
consideration. The timeframe
established for the foreseeable future
considered the time necessary to
provide for the conservation and
recovery of each threatened species and
the ecosystems upon which they
depend. It was also a function of the
reliability of available data regarding the
identified threats and extends only as
far as the data allow for making
reasonable predictions about the
species’ response to those threats. We
agreed with the BRT’s assessment that
the threats related to climate change had
been sufficiently characterized and
predicted through the end of this
century. Therefore, in the proposed rule,
we determined the year 2100 to be the
appropriate outer limit of foreseeability
as to climate change-related threats.
In the proposed rule, we evaluated
each species throughout its entire range,
because no SPOIRs were identified, and
that assessment has not changed in the
final rule as described further below in
the Statutory Standards sub-section.
While we did receive additional
qualitative information on the
abundances and distributions of the 65
proposed species, nothing in that data
indicated that any portions of the range
of any of the species warranted further
evaluation under the applicable
standards of the final SPOIR Policy, as
discussed in the Statutory Standards
sub-section below. The last step in
developing the proposed listing
determinations was to evaluate
‘‘Conservation Efforts’’ to determine if
they would change the basis for listing
a species by alleviating threats or
recovering populations. We concluded
that conservation efforts on global and
local scales did not change the status
determined using our decision
framework for any of the 82 candidate
species.
Comments 32–34 and 37–42 focused
on four aspects of the listing
determination process in the proposed
rule: (1) The Determination Tool, (2) the
foreseeable future, (3) the SPOIR
analysis, and (4) conservation efforts.
The comments we received identified
deficiencies in the proposed rule’s
Determination Tool, leading to a change
in our approach from a formulaic
framework to describe extinction risk, to
a non-formulaic framework to describe
vulnerability to extinction. That is, the
final determination framework
integrates different types of information
in a holistic manner that better
represents all the available information,
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including complexity and uncertainty,
than was possible using the linear
Determination Tool in the proposed
rule. In this section, we explain the final
determination framework process that
we used to determine each of the
species’ statuses, how it is different
from the proposed rule, and how new
and supplemental information was
incorporated.
In the proposed rule we described our
determination approach in the Risk
Analyses and Detailed Description of
Determination Tool Elements sections,
in which we discussed the elements that
affect a coral’s extinction risk. Below we
describe how that determination
approach has been adapted for this final
rule and applied to the Statutory
Standards, in light of and in response to
public comments.
Final Determination Framework
Overview of Key Changes Applied in
Final Determinations. We received
many comments questioning the
accuracy of the methods used to analyze
the available information to assess
extinction risk and derive listing
statuses for each of the proposed
species, including how the
Determination Tool was used. After
considering these comments, and as
discussed above, our findings in the
proposed rule were influenced by how
we believed coral species would react to
environmental changes now and over
the foreseeable future. Given the current
effects and projections of climate change
impacts to the marine environment into
the foreseeable future and the
information we had at the time of the
proposed rule on coral response to
existing and predicted environmental
stressors, we determined that many of
the coral species met the definition of
‘‘endangered species’’ or ‘‘threatened
species.’’ In explaining how the
Determination Tool assessed risk and
derived listing statuses we concluded
that, as some public comments
suggested, the Determination Tool was
too linear and deterministic. This led to
listing determinations in the proposed
rule that were based, in large part, on
applying the endangered and threatened
standard to relative characteristics
instead of applying the endangered and
threatened standard to each individual
species independently to determine
their listing status.
In this rule, we have changed our
determinations for many of the species
for two general reasons: (1) Informed by
public comments, we refined the way
we apply the available information to
determine vulnerability to extinction;
and (2) we received via public
comments, or gathered ourselves,
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information that expanded our existing
knowledge.
We received and gathered specific
information about spatial, demographic,
and other characteristics of individual
coral species, and the public comments
provided general scientific criticism
about how we weighed these factors. In
the proposed rule, we gave greater
consideration to susceptibility to threats
but did not fully recognize the extent to
which spatial, demographic, and other
characteristics of corals can moderate
vulnerability to extinction. After
considering all of the available
information and public comments, in
this final rule we continue to recognize
the threats that the species face, but we
also place more emphasis on buffers
against those threats and revisit the
predicted population responses of
individual species to the threats, giving
full consideration to their current
spatial, demographic, and other
characteristics. For example, we took
into account that many of the species,
when viewed on their own rather than
in relation to other coral species or
vertebrate species, have more
substantial absolute abundances than
the prior methodology accounted for.
We also took into account that in
many instances coral species occupy a
wide range of habitats, including areas
that can act as refugia from warming,
which moderate the predicted impacts
across coarse-scale areas. As explained
generally above, and in regard to
individual species below, the species in
this final rule will be negatively
impacted by future conditions, but in
light of our consideration of factors and
characteristics discussed above, we find
they are not currently in danger of
extinction and do not meet the
definition of endangered. We do,
however, conclude that some species
are likely to become in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future
and thus meet the definition of
threatened. We also find that listing is
not warranted for some species that
were previously proposed for listing.
In this final rule, we acknowledge that
there are no recipes or formulas for
endangered, threatened, or not
warranted coral species, especially
given the variability in coral species’
biology and ecology, and the variability
in available information from species to
species. Accordingly, the final
framework allows for consideration of
each coral’s circumstances as a whole
(simultaneously evaluating each
species’ demography, spatial
characteristics, threat susceptibilities,
and current and future environmental
conditions independently of the other
species), leading us to species-specific
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conclusions about vulnerability to
extinction.
The final determination framework
used in this final rule is composed of
seven elements. The first element is
describing the statutory standards. The
second, third, fourth, and fifth elements
are identifying and analyzing all the
appropriate species-specific and general
characteristics that influence extinction
risk for a coral species. The sixth
element is relating a species’
characteristics to a particular extinction
risk at appropriate spatial and temporal
scales. The seventh element is explicitly
stating how each species’ extinction risk
meets the statutory listing definitions as
applied to corals, resulting in an
ultimate listing status. A final
consideration in evaluating listing status
is whether current or planned
conservation efforts improve the overall
status of any of the 65 species such that
the additional protections of the ESA
are not warranted.
In moving to an integrated, nonformulaic framework, some of our key
assumptions about vulnerability to
extinction changed due to analyzing the
different aspects of each species’
characteristics independently (on an
absolute scale), instead of being rated
with the other proposed corals species
(on a relative scale). We rely on the
following guiding principles extracted
from each of the sections in the first part
of this rule, providing the context and
background information for the species
determinations, in order to determine
each species’ listing status:
• Clonal, colonial organisms, such as
corals, are vastly different in their
biology and ecology than many other
species listed by NMFS under the
Endangered Species Act.
• In our species determinations, we
give appropriate consideration to the
complex nature of coral biology and
variability in responses to threats
between individual coral colonies and
even between different portions of the
same colony.
• In our species determinations,
absolute abundance and absolute
distribution inform our evaluation of a
species’ current status and its capacity
to respond to changing conditions over
the foreseeable future.
• The concept of heterogeneous
habitat influences extinction risk for all
species in this final rule because each
species experiences a wide variety of
conditions throughout its range, which
allows for variable responses to global
and local threats.
• We recognize that the best available
information indicates the impacts of
climate change will likely increase in
the foreseeable future. However, there
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are limitations to using this global,
coarse-scale information for determining
vulnerability to extinction for
individual coral species.
• In our species determinations, we
don’t consider projections of impacts to
coral reef ecosystems to definitively
represent impacts to individual coral
species, because coral communities
typically consist of dozens to hundreds
of coral species, each of which may
respond differently to environmental
and ecological changes.
• Recognizing the uncertainty and
spatial variability in climate change
projections, and the spatial variability in
environmental conditions on coral
habitat, in our species determinations
we emphasize the role that
heterogeneous habitat and absolute
demographic and spatial characteristics
play in evaluating extinction risk.
We have ordered the informational
categories in the Species-specific
Information and Determinations
sections below for clarity in describing
the species-specific elements and their
interaction in contributing to each
species’ vulnerability to extinction as
follows: (1) Spatial Information—overall
distribution and ocean basin, habitat; (2)
Demographic Information—abundance,
trends in abundance, relative
recruitment rate; and (3) Susceptibility
to threats based on a species’
susceptibility to each of the nine threats.
Further, when information is available
that does not fall into one of the
categories or elements identified above,
but is relevant to extinction risk, we
provide it under the Other Biological
Information category. In each species
determination, we refer back to the
specific guiding principles that played a
role in how we consider the speciesspecific information and the sections in
which they are described in more detail.
Statutory Standards
The definitions of endangered and
threatened species under section 3 of
the ESA, wherein (1) an ‘‘endangered
species’’ is defined as ‘‘any species
which is in danger of extinction
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range’’, and (2) a ‘‘threatened
species’’ is defined as ‘‘any species
which is likely to become an
endangered species in the foreseeable
future throughout all or a significant
portion of its range,’’ formed the basis
of our determination framework.
Considered at both the spatial and
temporal scales applicable to each of
those listing statuses, an endangered
species currently faces an extinction risk
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range and a threatened species is
likely to become endangered throughout
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all or a significant portion of its range
within the foreseeable future. In other
words, the primary statutory difference
between a threatened and endangered
species is the timing of when a species
may be in danger of extinction, either
presently (endangered) or in the
foreseeable future (threatened). Further,
as discussed below, no significant
portions of their ranges could be
determined for any of our proposed
species; thus, the only spatial scale we
consider is each species’ entire range.
Court opinions produced in litigation
challenging the listing of the polar bear
as threatened provides a thorough
discussion of the ESA’s definitions and
the Services’ broad discretion to
determine on a case-by-case basis
whether a species is in danger of
extinction (see, In Re Polar Bear
Endangered Species Act Listing and
§ 4(d) Rule Litigation, 794 F. Supp.2d 65
(D.D.C. 2011); aff’d, 709 F.3d 1 (D.C. Cir.
2013); 748 F. Supp.2d 19 (D.D.C. 2010)).
The Court determined that the phrase
‘‘in danger of extinction’’ is ambiguous.
The Court held that there is a temporal
distinction between endangered and
threatened species in terms of the
proximity of the ‘‘danger’’ of extinction,
noting that the definition of
‘‘endangered species’’ is phrased in the
present tense, whereas a threatened
species is ‘‘likely to become’’ so in the
future. However, the Court also ruled
that neither the ESA nor its legislative
history compels the interpretation of
‘‘endangered’’ as a species being in
‘‘imminent’’ risk of extinction. Thus, in
the context of the ESA, a key statutory
difference between a threatened and
endangered species is the timing of
when a species may be in danger of
extinction, either now (endangered) or
in the foreseeable future (threatened).
The Court ruled that although
imminence of harm is clearly one factor
that the Services weigh in their
decision-making process, it is not
necessarily a limiting factor, and that
Congress did not intend to make any
single factor controlling when drawing
the distinction between endangered and
threatened species. In many cases, the
Services might appropriately find that
the imminence of a particular threat is
the dispositive factor that warrants
listing a species as ‘threatened’ rather
than ‘endangered,’ or vice versa. To be
listed as endangered does not require
that extinction be certain or probable,
and that it is possible for a species
validly listed as ‘‘endangered’’ to
actually persist indefinitely. Due to the
ambiguous nature of the statutory terms,
we have defined ‘‘endangered’’ and
‘‘threatened’’ at the end of the
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Foreseeable Future sub-section below in
the context of the particular species
(corals) being considered for listing.
Significant Portion of its Range
(SPOIR). The ESA’s definitions of
‘‘endangered species’’ and ‘‘threatened
species’’ refer to two spatial scales,
providing that a species may be
imperiled ‘‘throughout all’’ of or ‘‘in a
significant portion of’’ its range. 16
U.S.C. 1532(6); (20). NMFS has
interpreted the ‘‘significant portion of
its range’’ language in a policy that has
recently been finalized. See ‘‘Final
Policy on Interpretation of the Phrase
‘Significant Portion of its Range’ in the
Endangered Species Act’s Definitions of
‘Endangered Species’ and ‘Threatened
Species’ ’’ (79 FR 37578; July 1, 2014)
(‘‘Final Policy’’). In developing our
proposed rule, our analysis was
informed by the Draft Policy that was
published in December 2011 (76 FR
76987; December 9, 2011). As we
explained in the proposed rule, we were
unable to identify any portions of the
species’ ranges that might require closer
analysis as potential SPOIRs, due in
large part to a lack of species-specific
information regarding abundance,
geographic distribution, diversity, and
productivity (77 FR 73247).
The Final Policy, which we must now
apply, differs in two key respects from
the Draft Policy. Neither changes the
ultimate result in this case, which is
that no SPOIRs can be identified. First,
the Final Policy specifies that no
portions of a species’ range can be
‘‘significant,’’ and thus no SPOIR
analysis need be done, where the rangewide status analysis leads to a
conclusion that listing the entire species
as threatened or endangered is
warranted. (Under the Draft Policy, even
if a species were found to warrant
listing as ‘‘threatened,’’ the agency still
needed to consider whether any
portions of the range may be
significant). Second, the final policy
defines ‘‘significant’’ to include not only
those portions where the individuals are
so biologically significant that without
them the entire species would meet the
definition of ‘‘endangered’’ (the
standard in the Draft Policy), but also
those portions whose loss would render
the species ‘‘threatened.’’
In this case, our framework evaluates
each species throughout its range to
determine extinction risk. If a species is
determined to be threatened or
endangered based on the rangewide
analysis, no further evaluation is
warranted. However, if a species is
found to be not warranted at the spatial
scale of its entire range, we must
consider if a SPOIR exists that may be
both highly biologically important and
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at higher extinction risk, such that its
loss would render the entire species
endangered or threatened. An
evaluation is required only where there
is information to suggest that a
particular portion of the range is likely
to be both ‘‘significant’’ as defined in
the policy and to qualify as endangered
or threatened (79 FR 37586).
As described in the proposed rule, the
BRT did not identify any portions of the
range for any of the 82 coral species as
being potentially ‘‘significant’’ or at a
higher extinction risk. Because there
was a general lack of species-specific
data regarding quantitative abundance,
distribution, diversity, and productivity
of coral species, we were not able to
identify any portions of any of the
species’ ranges that could be considered
unusually biologically significant.
Further, we had no information to
indicate that particular local threats
were more severe in a particular portion
of an individual species’ range.
No supplemental information was
received in response to the proposed
rule that provides support for
identification of a SPOIR for any of the
proposed species. While we did receive
supplemental information on the
qualitative abundances and
distributions for some species, nothing
in that data suggests that any particular
portion of any proposed species range is
unusually biologically significant. We
do not have any information that would
help elucidate whether any species is at
higher exposure to threats in a
particular area of its range (i.e., where
threats may be so acute or concentrated
that current conditions are likely to
render the species there at significantly
higher risk of extinction than the overall
species). Thus, we did not identify any
SPOIR for any species, and so our
determination as to each species is
based on the best available information
about the species’ status throughout its
range.
Foreseeable Future. The ‘‘foreseeable
future’’ is integral to the definition of a
threatened species. It is the timeframe
over which we evaluate a species’
extinction risk if it is not currently in
danger of extinction. As described in the
proposed rule, the identification of the
foreseeable future is unique to every
listing decision. It is based on the
particular type of threats, the life-history
characteristics, and the specific habitat
requirements for the species under
consideration.
For this Final Rule, we clarify that the
‘‘foreseeable future’’ is that period of
time over which we are able to make
reliable projections about all of the
significant threats affecting the species
and the species’ likely response to those
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threats. Projections need not be
‘‘certain’’ to be reliable, so long as we
are able to make predictions with a
reasonable degree of confidence based
on available information. In the
proposed rule, we identified the year
2100 as marking the outer limit of the
foreseeable future based upon the ability
to make projections about the primary
threats to corals—those stemming from
global climate change—over that period
(77 FR 73226). However, in identifying
2100 as the limit of the foreseeable
future for purpose of analyzing those
threats, we did not intend to establish
that year as the only relevant benchmark
for analyzing all threats to the species or
the species’ response thereto.
Because neither the ESA nor
implementing regulations define
‘‘foreseeable future,’’ the term is
ambiguous, and Congress has left broad
discretion to the Secretary to determine
what period of time is reasonable for
each species. This does not require
identifying a specific year or period of
time to frame our analysis, particularly
where there is inadequate specific data
to do so. See ‘‘Memorandum Opinion:
The Meaning of ‘Foreseeable Future’ in
Section 3(20) of the Endangered Species
Act’’ (M–37021, Department of the
Interior Office of the Solicitor, January
16, 2009). The appropriate timescales
for analyzing various threats will vary
with the data available about each
threat. In making our final listing
determinations we must synthesize all
available information and forecast the
species’ status into the future only as far
as we reliably are able based on the best
available scientific and commercial
information and best professional
judgment.
In the case of corals, we can make
reasonable assessments as to the most
significant environmental factors facing
the coral species between now and
2100. We have explained that this time
period, which is consistently used by
most current global models and the
IPCC reports, allows for reliable and
reasonable projections about climate
change-related threats. As described in
the Threats Evaluation—Foreseeable
Future and Global Climate Change
Overview sections above, 2100 was
selected as the limit of foreseeability for
climate change-related threats based on
AR4’s and AR5 WGI’s use of 2100 as the
end-point for most of its global climate
change models (IPCC, 2013). Public
comments asserted that the models used
in climate predictions are too uncertain
to reliably predict climate conditions
out to 2100. However, as we have
explained in our response to Comment
38 and elsewhere in this final rule,
supplemental information supports, and
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we reaffirm our choice of, identifying
2100 as the timeframe over which we
can make reliable predictions about
climate change-related threats.
However, global climate change is not
the only relevant threat to the species,
and the range of available data differs as
to these other threats (such as predation,
sedimentation, etc.). Further, in
reaching our conclusions and ultimate
listing determinations, we need to
assess how the species will react to the
various stressors identified in this rule.
For example, to the extent it was
available, we considered a significant
amount of information on the current
spatial and demographic features of the
species, based on various types of
information which support varying
degrees of projection into the future.
Thus, while the year 2100 is a reliable
end-point for projecting climate changerelated threats, it is not valid across the
range of threats for the species and
should not be misunderstood as driving
our forecasts of the species’ statuses.
For all of these species, we concluded
based on the best available scientific
and commercial information that their
spatial, demographic, or other
characteristics buffer them against
current endangerment of extinction.
However, over the foreseeable future,
the ability of spatial and demographic
traits to provide a buffer against the
danger of extinction is expected to
diminish as colonies within particular
areas are impacted due to climate
change and other negative stressors. We
considered, at a species level, whether
these predicted conditions may cause
the species to become in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future.
However, there are varying degrees of
certainty about the responses of corals
to stressors. We can be confident that
certain mitigating elements of the life
history for some of these species will
not change, such as their ability to
reproduce asexually or the ability to
persist in a range of depths. But we are
less confident in other aspects, such as
precisely where and when local
extirpations may occur.
For this final rule, then, we make
clear that our listing determinations are
reached on the totality of the best
available information about the threats
to the species and the species’ likely
response to them over time. Our
determinations reflect our consideration
of that information, as well as
application of our professional
judgment regarding how far into the
future we can reliably project either the
underlying threats or the species’
response. However, in light of the
number of variables pertaining to the
stressors and buffering traits among the
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corals species evaluated, and the limited
availability and incomplete nature of
quantitative data on these species, a
quantitative assessment of these
projections is not possible. Therefore
our assessment of the foreseeable future
is necessarily qualitative. Given the
biological traits and life history
strategies of the corals evaluated in this
rule, including their relatively long lifespans, the period of time over which we
are able to make reliable projections is
the next several decades. This general
timeframe thus frames our listing
determinations. Although we recognize
that climate related threats will persist
beyond this horizon, we find it both
infeasible on the information available
and unnecessary to attempt to identify
the foreseeable future across the full
range of threats to the species and the
species’ response with more precision.
In the proposed rule, we considered
how the temporal scales were
appropriately factored into our
evaluations of whether a species was in
danger of extinction now, likely to
become in danger of extinction in the
foreseeable future, or not warranted for
listing. For example, two major factors
determining the immediacy of the
danger of extinction for corals are the
relatively high degree of certainty of
impacts from high importance threats
and a species’ current or future capacity
to resist adverse effects. Under the
proposed rule’s Determination Tool
approach, endangered species were
species with a current high extinction
risk; they were highly vulnerable to one
or more of the high importance threats
and had either already been seriously
adversely affected by one of these
threats, as evidenced by a declining
trend, and high susceptibility to that
threat, or they lacked a buffer to protect
them from serious adverse effects from
these threats in the future. While a
threatened species under the proposed
rule might be impacted by the same
threats as an endangered species, it was
less exposed or less susceptible,
providing greater buffering capacity to
those same threats when compared to an
endangered species.
In response to public comments
critical of our equating species’ listing
statuses with outcomes of the
determination tool, here we more fully
explain the biological characteristics
and distinctions between endangered
and threatened corals, and corals not
warranting listing under the ESA. Under
the final rule’s determination
framework, an endangered species is at
such risk of extinction, that it is
currently ‘‘in danger’’ of extinction
throughout its range. As such, an
endangered coral species is of such low
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abundance or is so spatially fragmented
that the species is currently in danger of
extinction. Several processes may
contribute to the danger of extinction
(e.g., depensatory process, catastrophic
events). Depensatory processes include
reproductive failure from low density of
reproductive individuals and genetic
processes such as inbreeding. A coral
species with these characteristics would
be vulnerable to background
environmental variation if a large
proportion of the existing population
were concentrated in an area that
experienced an environmental anomaly
leading to high mortality. Similarly, an
endangered coral species could be of
such low abundance that one
catastrophic event or a series of severe,
sudden, and deleterious environmental
events could cause mortality of a large
enough proportion of the existing
population that the remaining
population would be unable to
reproduce and/or recover. A coral
species that meets the endangered
standard is not necessarily characterized
by a single factor (e.g., abundance
number, density, spatial distribution, or
trend value) but could also be
characterized by combinations of factors
encompassing multiple life history
characteristics and other important
ecological features, as described above.
Different combinations of such factors
may result in endangered status from
species to species.
Under the final rule’s determination
framework, a threatened coral species
also is at a risk of extinction due to its
spatial and demographic characteristics
and threat susceptibilities; however
those traits still provide sufficient
buffering capacity against being in
danger of extinction currently. In other
words, the species has an abundance
and distribution sufficient for it to be
not currently of such low abundance or
so spatially fragmented to be in danger
of extinction, but is likely to become so
within the foreseeable future throughout
it range. Similar to an endangered
species, a coral species that meets the
threatened standard is not necessarily
characterized by a single factor (e.g.,
abundance number, density, spatial
distribution, or trend value) but could
also be characterized by combinations of
factors encompassing multiple life
history characteristics and other
important ecological features, as
described above. Different combinations
of such factors may result in threatened
status from species to species.
Thus, there is a temporal distinction
between endangered and threatened
species in terms of the proximity of the
danger of extinction based on the
sufficiency of characteristics to provide
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buffering capacity against threats that
cause elevated extinction risk. It is
worth noting that this temporal
distinction is broad, and a threatened
species could likely become an
endangered species anytime within the
foreseeable future.
Under the final rule’s determination
framework, a coral species that is not
warranted for listing has spatial and
demographic traits and threat
susceptibilities that, when considered in
combination, provide sufficient
buffering capacity against being in
danger of extinction within the
foreseeable future throughout its range.
In other words, it has sufficient
abundance and distribution, when
considering the species’ threat
susceptibilities and future projections of
threats, it is not likely to become of such
low abundance or so spatially
fragmented to be in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. A not warranted species also
may not be susceptible to the threats at
a sufficient level to cause any major
change in the species abundance.
In summary, the basic structure of our
final determination framework is
formed by the relevant spatial and
temporal scales over which each coral
species’ extinction risk is evaluated. An
endangered coral species is currently in
danger of extinction throughout its
entire range. A threatened species is
likely to become endangered throughout
its entire range within the foreseeable
future.
Spatial Structure
We consider spatial elements that
increase a species’ risk of extinction,
alone or in combination with other
threats, under ESA Factor E—other
natural or manmade factors affecting the
continued existence of the species.
Spatial structure is important at a
variety of scales. At small spatial scales
within a single population, issues of
gamete density and other Allee effects
can have significant impacts on
population persistence. At large spatial
scales, geographic distribution can
buffer a population or a species from
environmental fluctuations or
catastrophic events by ‘‘spreading the
risk’’ among multiple populations. We
explicitly described how exposure to
individual threats varies at different
spatial scales in the Threats Evaluation
section above. Generally, having a larger
geographic or depth distribution
provides more potential area to occupy.
However, if populations become too
isolated gene flow and larval
connectivity may be reduced, making
the species less likely to recover from
mortality events. Thus, a robust spatial
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structure includes larger geographic
distributions with adequate connectivity
to maintain proximity of populations
and individuals within the range. We
consider geographic distribution and
depth distribution (and connectivity,
when we have that information) in
describing the overall distribution for
each species.
We also consider the ocean basin in
which a species exists. As described in
the Corals and Coral Reefs—Inter-basin
Comparisons, the Indo-Pacific occupies
at least 60 million square km of water
(more than ten times larger than the
Caribbean), and includes 50,000 islands
and over 40,000 km of continental
coastline, spanning approximately 180
degrees of longitude and 60 degrees of
latitude. Thus, occupying only a small
portion of the Indo-Pacific basin can
still be a geographically large
distribution for an individual coral
species. In contrast, the Caribbean basin
is relatively geographically small and
partially enclosed, but biologically wellconnected. The Caribbean also has
relatively high human population
densities with a long history of
adversely affecting coral reef systems
across the basin. In the proposed rule
we determined that if a species is
restricted to the Caribbean, its overall
range was considered narrow and its
extinction risk was significantly
increased, which greatly contributed to
an endangered or threatened
determination. Comment 40 criticizes
our characterization of the Caribbean in
this manner, stating that the BRT’s
determination that the entire Caribbean
is sufficiently limited in geographic
scale to be a factor that increases the
extinction risk of all corals in the
Caribbean is at odds with genetic data.
The commenter provided references to
support the conclusion that, while it is
clear that regional-scale processes such
as bleaching and disease are acting on
all these reefs in the Caribbean basin
simultaneously, all reefs should not be
presumed to respond the same to these
disturbances. Upon consideration of the
comment and the fact that the
Determination Tool ratings regarding
basin occupancy were an inadvertent
function of comparing the Caribbean
basin to Indo-Pacific basin (i.e., the
automatic increase in extinction risk for
species occurring in the smaller, more
disturbed Caribbean was only relative in
comparison to species occurring in the
larger, less disturbed Indo-Pacific) we
re-evaluated our characterization of the
Caribbean. We now consider the
absolute (non-relative) size of the basin
and the amount of heterogeneity in the
system; therefore, we no longer
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conclude that presence within the
Caribbean basin automatically increases
extinction risk (because many of the
Caribbean coral species occupy a large
portion of habitat compared to the total
habitat available to them and the
heterogeneous nature of that habitat). In
general, we still consider distribution in
the Caribbean to be problematic, but
will now consider the influence of a
Caribbean distribution on extinction
risk on a species-by-species basis. For
example, if a species has a Caribbeanwide geographic distribution and large
depth distribution, and isn’t susceptible
to or exposed to threats now or through
the foreseeable future, then a Caribbean
basin distribution alone doesn’t
automatically increase the species’
extinction risk. In the Species-specific
Information and Determinations section
of this final rule, we describe the extent
to which an individual species’
extinction risk is influenced by its
specific geographic, depth, and habitat
distributions within each basin.
Demography
Demographic elements that cause a
species to be at heightened risk of
extinction, alone or in combination with
threats under other listing factors, are
considered under ESA Factor E—other
natural or manmade factors affecting the
continued existence of the species. In
the proposed rule, we used speciesspecific qualitative abundance
estimates, coded as ‘‘common,’’
‘‘uncommon,’’ or ‘‘rare’’ for the
candidate species because it was the
only abundance metric that was
available for all of the 82 candidate
species. As mentioned above in the
Distribution and Abundance of Reefbuilding Corals sub-section, these
qualitative estimates are the subjective
opinion of particular authors on their
particular survey data and are meant to
indicate relative abundance between the
categories. That is, a rare species has
fewer individuals as compared to an
uncommon one, and an uncommon
species has fewer individuals than a
common one. These estimates are also
meant to describe an author’s opinion of
the qualitative abundance of the species
throughout its range, but not an estimate
of the abundance at an individual
location. In general, ‘‘rare’’ or
‘‘uncommon’’ species are more
vulnerable than ‘‘common’’ ones,
although some species are naturally rare
and have likely persisted in that rare
state for tens of thousands of years or
longer. However, naturally rare species
can be at greater risk of extinction than
naturally more common species when
confronted with global threats to which
they are vulnerable. In our final
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determination framework, rarity or
uncommonness may increase extinction
risk, but alone it does not automatically
contribute to a finding of an endangered
or threatened status.
Trends in abundance directly
demonstrate how a particular species
responds under current or recent-past
conditions. Generally, a continuing
downward trend likely increases
extinction risk, while stabilization or a
continuing upward trend likely
decreases extinction risk. Trend data for
the 65 species are scarce, but we
describe the extent to which an
individual species’ extinction risk is
influenced by its trend data when the
information is available.
Productivity is another important
indicator of extinction risk. Productivity
is defined here as the tendency of the
population to increase in abundance
and is often expressed as ‘‘recruits per
spawner,’’ although the term ‘‘recruit’’
can be difficult to apply in the case of
corals, which reproduce both sexually
and asexually (see Individual
Delineation sub-section). Some of the
proposed coral species are long-lived,
with low or episodic productivity,
making them vulnerable to trends of
increased mortality or catastrophic
mortality events. Overall, recruitment
rate estimates for the proposed species
are scarce, but in cases where estimates
were available analysis of how that
species’ extinction risk is influenced by
its relative recruitment rate is
considered in the Species-specific
Information and Determinations section
below.
Susceptibility to Threats
Susceptibility of a coral species to a
threat is primarily a function of
biological processes and characteristics,
and can vary greatly between and
within taxa. Susceptibility of a species
to a threat depends on the combination
of: (1) Direct effects of the threat on the
species; and (2) the cumulative and
interactive (synergistic or antagonistic)
effects of the threat with the effects of
other threats on the species. In the
proposed rule, we considered how the
cumulative or interactive effects altered
the rating assigned to a threat
susceptibility in isolation. However,
upon further consideration, we need to
evaluate the extent to which one threat
influences the susceptibility of an
individual species to another threat
with more species-specific information,
in connection with all the other
elements that influence a species’
extinction risk. Generally, cumulative
and interactive processes are complex
and uncertain and existing information
about threats interactions is only based
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on a few studies on a few species.
Where possible, when we have speciesspecific cumulative or interactive effects
information, we have applied this
information to that particular species’
susceptibilities in a more integrated
manner. Species-specific threat
susceptibilities are described in the
Species-specific Information and
Determinations section.
The three most important threats that
contribute to the proposed coral species’
extinction risk are ocean warming,
disease, and ocean acidification. We
considered these threats to be the most
significant threats posing extinction risk
to the proposed coral species currently
and out to the year 2100. Threats of
lower importance (trophic effects of reef
fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sealevel rise, predation, and collection and
trade) also contributed to our findings
on extinction risk, but to a lesser extent.
Current and Future Environmental
Conditions
The general information described in
the preceding sections of this final rule
illustrates that the most important
threats are currently increasing and
likely to increase further in the
foreseeable future (Threats Evaluation),
but that the impacts from these threats
currently and in the foreseeable future
are difficult to interpret and do not
necessarily correlate to an increased
vulnerability to extinction due to the
biological and physical complexity of
corals and their habitat (Corals and
Corals Reefs, Threats Evaluation).
The information on corals, coral reefs,
coral habitat, and threats to reefbuilding corals in a changing climate
leads to several important points that
apply both currently and over the
foreseeable future. First, the foreseeable
future for purposes of our ultimate
listing determinations is described
qualitatively and encompasses the next
several decades. For purposes of
analyzing the specific threats related to
climate change, we have identified the
foreseeable time period over which we
can make reliable projections to extend
over the period from now to the year
2100. There is increased uncertainty
over that time period as conditions that
are analyzed closer to the year 2100
become less foreseeable. That is, the
general trend in conditions during the
period of time from now to 2100 is
reasonably foreseeable as a whole, but
conditions become more difficult to
accurately predict through time.
Second, there is an overall increasing
trend of threat severity, especially for
threats related to global climate change
as projected by RCP8.5 to 2100. Third,
while some models suggest disastrous
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effects of RCP8.5 on coral reefs by 2100,
such projections are based on spatially
coarse analyses associated with high
uncertainty, especially at local spatial
scales. In sum, determining the effects
of global threats on an individual coral
species over the foreseeable future is
complicated by the combination of: (1)
Uncertainty associated with projected
ocean warming and acidification
threats; (2) regional and local variability
in global threats; (3) large distributions
and high habitat heterogeneity of the
species in this final rule; and (4) limited
species-specific information on
responses to global threats.
Vulnerability to Extinction
The vulnerability of a species to
extinction is a complex function of
physiology, life history, morphology,
spatial distribution, and interaction
with threats (the biological context). The
biological context for a species’
vulnerability to threats dictates the
ecological interactions that ultimately
determine how a species responds to
threats, such as competition and
predation (the ecological context). For
example, a species that suffers high
mortality from a bleaching event also
may be able to recover quickly because
its high dispersal and skeletal growth
enable efficient recolonization and
strong competition. Thus, the initial
response to threats does not necessarily
mean the species is vulnerable.
Vulnerability of a coral species to
extinction also depends on the
proportion of colonies that are exposed
to threats and their different responses
to those threats. In the proposed rule
there was little variation between
species for exposure to a given threat in
the assigned ratings (e.g., exposure to
ocean warming was rated the same for
all 82 species, which should not
automatically be the case because for
species that have drastically different
distributions and abundances). For this
final rule, a coral species’ vulnerability
to extinction is now evaluated to be
holistically influenced by its
demographic and spatial characteristics,
threat susceptibilities, and current and
future environmental conditions. We
believe this more complete and
integrated treatment of the factors that
influence a coral’s vulnerability to
extinction will lead to a more accurate
characterization of whether or not a
species currently faces an extinction
risk throughout its entire range.
Species Status
After analyzing all of the relevant
species-specific demographic and
spatial characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and general information
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on current and future environmental
conditions, we relate those
characteristics to the particular species’
status. This is the key component of the
determination that explains how certain
species characteristics translate to a
particular extinction risk at appropriate
spatial and temporal scales. These
determinations are heavily influenced
by the quantity and quality of speciesspecific information, especially the
species’ demographic and distribution
characteristics. We received many
public comments regarding the lack of
quantity and quality of information
available for each of the species; those
commenters asserted that our species
determinations were therefore
unfounded. By specifically considering
all the currently available speciesspecific information (both information
that we used in the proposed rule and
the considerable amount of information
that has become available since the
proposed rule), we are able to produce
more robust evaluations of the
information and species determinations.
Recognizing the uncertainty and spatial
variability of climate change projections
and the limited species-specific
information on how species in this final
rule respond to climate change, we
emphasize a species’ demographic and
spatial characteristics in how its
vulnerability to extinction is affected
now and through the foreseeable future.
In finalizing a species determination
we translate the species’ status directly
into a listing category using the
statutory standards. In the proposed
rule, we satisfied this step by using an
organizational process called the
outcome key, based on ratings in the
Determination Tool. The key was
intended to identify the general species
characteristics and combinations that
equate to a particular listing status.
However, the outcome key in the
proposed rule was too formulaic, and
did not explain our comprehensive
consideration of the species
characteristics that influenced their
listing status, and was also based on
relative ratings from the Determination
Tool. Therefore, the presentation of our
final determination framework is more
clearly articulated in this final rule by
explicitly describing the considerations
for each the 65 species in narrative
format and how they relate to the
statutory standards
In summary, the determination
framework used in this final rule is
composed of seven elements. The first
element is describing the statutory
standards. The second, third, fourth,
and fifth elements are identifying and
analyzing all the appropriate speciesspecific and general characteristics that
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53913
influence extinction risk for a coral
species. The sixth element is relating a
species’ characteristics to a particular
extinction risk at appropriate spatial
and temporal scales. The seventh
element is explicitly stating how each
species’ extinction risk meets the
statutory listing definitions as applied to
corals, resulting in an ultimate listing
status. A final consideration in
evaluating listing status is whether
current or planned conservation efforts
improve the overall status of any of the
65 species such that the additional
protections of the ESA are not
warranted. We explicitly apply the
determination framework to each
species in our narrative evaluations.
This approach provides consistency
across all of the 65 final listing
determinations, but also produces
individual determinations that are
independent of the other 65 coral
species.
Conservation Efforts
The effect conservation efforts have
on an individual species’ listing status
is the last consideration in making a
final determination. Because many
conservation efforts are not speciesspecific, we provide our analysis of the
effectiveness of conservation efforts for
corals generally prior to making
individual species determinations. Our
conclusions regarding conservation
efforts in this section apply to all of the
proposed species. However, in some
cases, we are able to identify speciesspecific conservation efforts and
therefore evaluate them separately in
the Species-specific Information and
Determinations section.
Section 4(b)(1)(A) of the ESA requires
the Secretary, when making a listing
determination for a species, to take into
account those efforts, if any, being made
by any State or foreign nation to protect
the species. In evaluating the efficacy of
protective efforts, we rely on the
Services’ joint ‘‘Policy for Evaluation of
Conservation Efforts When Making
Listing Decisions’’ (‘‘PECE;’’ 68 FR
15100; March 28, 2003). The PECE
requires us to consider whether any
conservation efforts recently adopted or
implemented, but not yet proven to be
successful, will result in improving the
species’ status to the point at which
listing is not warranted, or contribute to
a threatened rather than endangered
status.
For the proposed rule, we developed
a Management Report that identified
existing conservation efforts relevant to
both global and local threats to corals.
A draft of this report was peer reviewed
and made available to the public with
the SRR in April 2012. At that time, we
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requested any new or inadvertently
overlooked existing information. The
information that we received was
incorporated into the Final Management
Report (NMFS, 2012b), which formed
the basis of our initial PECE evaluation.
The information, analysis, and
conclusions regarding conservation
efforts in the proposed rule and
supporting documents apply to this
final rule, unless otherwise noted
below.
Comments 30–32 focus on our
consideration of conservation efforts in
the proposed rule. In response to public
comments on the proposed rule, we
incorporated into our analyses in the
final rule relevant information on
conservation efforts that are new or that
may have been inadvertently omitted or
mischaracterized. Thus, this final rule
incorporates information we received as
a result of the public comment period,
identifies existing conservation efforts
that are relevant to the threats to the 65
coral species in this final rule, both for
global-scale threats to corals linked to
GHG emissions and other threats to
corals. In particular, we received
supplemental information regarding
coral reef restoration efforts in Florida
and the wider-Caribbean. We also
received supplemental information
regarding efforts to utilize captiveculture techniques to supplement the
coral reef wildlife trade industry and
reduce collection pressure on wild coral
species. Specifically, we received
information regarding Indonesia’s
mariculture operations as well as efforts
in the United States to commercially
and recreationally farm corals. This
information on coral reef restoration,
captive culture efforts for trade
purposes, and local conservation efforts
as it applies to reef resilience is
described further below.
We received some supplemental
information regarding the ongoing coral
reef restoration efforts being made in
South Florida as well as the widerCaribbean, predominantly for staghorn
and elkhorn corals (Acropora
cervicornis and A. palmata,
respectively). We briefly mentioned
active coral restoration in the proposed
rule as an important conservation action
for corals, but did not describe these
efforts in great detail. Coral reef
restoration efforts encompass a variety
of activities, and they are increasingly
utilized to enhance, restore, and recover
coral reef ecosystems and species
(Bowden-Kerby et al., 2005; Bruckner
and Bruckner, 2001; Lirman et al.,
2010b). These activities may include
post-ship grounding ‘‘triage’’ (e.g.,
stabilizing substrate and salvaging
corals and sponges), active predator and
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algae removal, larval seeding, and active
restoration via coral propagation and
outplanting activities. As a result of the
2009 American Recovery and
Reinvestment Act, Federal funding
through NOAA enabled a network of
coral nurseries to expand throughout
south Florida and the U.S. Virgin
Islands to help recover threatened
staghorn and elkhorn corals. These
types of in-water coral nurseries have
proven successful for propagating corals
and serving as genetic repositories to
help replenish and restore denuded
reefs (Schopmeyer et al., 2012; Young et
al., 2012). In 2012 alone, it was
estimated these nurseries housed 30,000
corals, with more than 6,000 corals
outplanted to surrounding reefs (The
Nature Conservancy, 2012). Further,
successful spawning of these outplanted
corals has been reported on several
occasions since the first event occurred
in 2009 (Coral Restoration Foundation,
2013). Still, it should be emphasized
that coral reef restoration should not be
expected to recover entire reef tracts or
species; rather, coral reef restoration can
serve as a complementary tool to other
management strategies such as fisheries
management, coastal zone and
watershed management, marine
protected areas, and others. In a
comprehensive review of restoration
activities conducted in Florida and the
wider-Caribbean, Young et al. (2012)
found that most practitioners
recommended that active restoration
activities always be conducted in
conjunction with robust local and
regional management strategies to
minimize the impacts of global and
local threats. This is because coral reef
restoration efforts can prove futile if the
initial elements of degradation have not
been mitigated (Jaap, 2000; Precht and
Aronson, 2006; Young et al., 2012).
As described above in the Threats
Evaluation—Collection and Trade
section of this rule, we received a
significant amount of information
regarding the potential conservation
benefits of increasing international and
domestic commercial and recreational
production of corals via significant
advances in captive-culture techniques
(i.e., mariculture and aquaculture).
Specifically, we received supplemental
information regarding the mariculture
efforts conducted in Indonesia to reduce
the amount of corals collected in the
wild, thereby potentially reducing the
threat of the marine ornamental trade
industry on corals and coral reefs. As
the largest exporter of corals in the
world, shifting from wild-collected
corals to captive cultured corals is an
important conservation effort for
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preserving the integrity of wild reefs
and coral species in Indonesia.
However, there are still many challenges
and obstacles related to captive culture
of corals that are detailed in the Threats
Evaluation, Trade and Collection
section above. Any relevant information
regarding this topic has also been
incorporated into the analysis of
conservation efforts in this final rule.
We received information regarding
the role of local management actions
and conservation efforts with regard to
reef resilience. Conservation projects
and programs such as international
agreements and memoranda of
understanding, coral reef monitoring,
voluntary protected areas, restoration
activities, and outreach and education
initiatives, among others, play an
integral role in building and
maintaining resilience within coral reef
ecosystems as well as raising public
awareness. More detailed information
regarding local actions as they relate to
reef resilience are described above in
the Threats Evaluation, Inadequacy of
Existing Regulatory Mechanisms section
of this final rule.
As described above, we received
supplemental information about local
conservation efforts since the
publication of the proposed rule.
However, we did not receive any
supplemental information that changes
our previous conclusions regarding
global conservation efforts to slow
climate change-related impacts. After
considering this supplemental
information in addition to that which
was available for the proposed rule, our
conclusions regarding conservation
efforts remain unchanged. Overall, the
numerous coral reef conservation
projects are increasing and
strengthening resiliency within coral
reef ecosystems on a local level, and can
provide a protective temporal buffer for
corals in the face of climate change
related threats. Coral reef restoration
activities, particularly of the Caribbean
acroporid species, are expected to assist
in recovery efforts, but they cannot be
considered a panacea. In the absence of
effective global efforts to reduce impacts
from climate change, there are no
conservation efforts currently or
planned in the future that are expected
to improve the overall status of any of
the listed species in this final rule, such
that the additional protections provided
by the ESA are not warranted.
Species-Specific Information and
Determinations
Introduction
This section summarizes the best
available information for each of the 65
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species of coral considered in this final
rule. The best available information is
comprised of the proposed rule and its
supporting documents, and information
that we either gathered ourselves or
received as a result of public comments.
To distinguish between the information
on which the proposed rule was based
from new or supplemental information,
we will only cite the primary literature
for new or supplemental information.
For clarity, we will distinguish whether
the information was identified via
public comment or if we gathered it
ourselves.
Spatial, demographic, and other
relevant biological information, threat
susceptibilities, and information on
regulatory mechanisms are all presented
for each species. Because speciesspecific information is limited for many
of the proposed species, genus-level
information is highly relevant to our
determinations. Therefore, we provide
relevant information for each genus
prior to providing the specific
information for species within that
genus. Specifically, genus-level
information on threat susceptibilities is
relevant to species when the available
genus-level information can be
appropriately applied to the species.
Therefore, in each genus description, we
provide a section that summarizes
genus-level threat susceptibility
information that was provided in the
SRR and SIR, as well as in the public
comments and supplemental
information. Threat susceptibility
conclusions are then provided
considering the applicability of the
genus-level information to an unstudied
species within that genus. These
conclusions will be applied, as
appropriate, in the appropriate species
descriptions.
Caribbean Species Determinations
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Genus Agaricia
Introduction
There are seven species in the genus
Agaricia, all of which occur in the
Caribbean (Veron, 2000). Colonies are
composed of plates, which are flat,
horizontal, or upright. The latter are
usually contorted and fused. Some
species such as A. humilis and Agaricia
fragilis tend to be small and somewhat
circular in shape while others like
Agaricia lamarcki and Agaricia
grahamae can form large, plating
colonies.
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following genus-level information on
Agaricia’s distribution, habitat, and
depth range: Agaricia can be found at
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depths of 50 to 100 m on mesophotic
reefs.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on Agaricia’s distribution, habitat, and
depth range. Supplemental information
we found includes the following.
Bongaerts et al. (2013) studied the depth
distribution and genetic diversity of five
agariciid species (A. humilis, A.
agaricites, A. lamarcki, A. grahamae,
and Helioseris cucullata [= Leptoseris
cucullata]) and their symbiotic
zooxanthellae in Curacao. They found a
¸
distinct depth distribution among the
species. Agaricia humilis and A.
agaricites were more common at
shallow depths, and A. lamarcki, A.
grahamae, and H. cucullata were more
common at deeper depths. They also
found genetic segregation between coral
host-symbiont communities at shallow
and mesophotic depths.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following genus level information on
Agaricia’s abundance and population
trends: Coral specimens collected in
2010 from a mesophotic reef at Pulley
Ridge, Florida suggest that corals, such
as Agaricia spp., that appear live in
video images may actually be covered
with algae rather than live coral tissue.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on Agaricia’s abundance or population
trends. Supplemental information we
found on Agaricia’s population trends
includes the following: Stokes et al.
(2010) reported a decrease in cover of
Agaricia spp. in the Netherlands
Antilles between 1982 and 2008 at all
depths surveyed (10 to 30 m). An
analysis of Caribbean monitoring data
from 1970 to 2012 found that large,
plating Agaricia spp. were one of the
species groups that suffered the greatest
proportional losses (Jackson et al.,
2014).
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the life history
of the genus Agaricia. In general,
Agaricia spp. are gonochoric brooders.
Several species such as Agaricia
agaricites, A. tenuifolia, and A. humilis
are known to use chemical cues from
crustose coralline algae to mediate
settlement.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
life history of the genus Agaricia.
Supplemental information we found on
Agaricia’s life history includes the
following: Agaricia spp. can be one of
the dominant taxonomic groups found
in recruitment studies (Bak and Engel,
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53915
1979; Rogers et al., 1984; Shearer and
Coffroth, 2006).
Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR did not provide any
genus level information on the
susceptibility of Agaricia to ocean
warming, and the public comments did
not provide any new or supplemental
information. Supplemental information
we found on the susceptibility of the
genus Agaricia to ocean warming
includes the following: Agaricia is
considered highly susceptible to
bleaching. Agaricia spp. were the most
susceptible to bleaching of the corals
monitored during an unanticipated
bleaching event at a remote,
uninhabited island (Navassa), with
higher bleaching prevalence at deeper
sites (Miller et al., 2011a). During the
1998 bleaching event in Belize, A.
tenuifolia, a dominant coral, was nearly
eradicated from the Channel Cay reef
complex (Aronson et al., 2002). During
the 2005 bleaching event, nearly all
Agaricia spp. were bleached at longterm monitoring sites in Buck Island
National Monument, and they remained
bleached comparatively longer than
other species monitored (Clark et al.,
2009). Manzello et al. (2007)
characterized Agaricia as having high
susceptibility to bleaching in their study
identifying bleaching indices and
thresholds in the Florida Reef Tract, the
Bahamas, and St. Croix, U.S. Virgin
Islands. A long-term study in the
Florida Keys found that bleaching
prevalence was increased four to seven
times by nutrient-enrichment in
Agaricia spp., the only genus that
showed such a response (Vega Thurber
et al., 2014). This study indicated that
the temperature threshold for bleaching
may have been lowered by the nutrient
enrichment. Notably, after removal of
the nutrient enrichment, bleaching
prevalence returned to background
levels. Thus, we conclude that, absent
species-specific information, species in
the genus Agaricia should be considered
highly susceptible to ocean warminginduced bleaching.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any
genus level information on the
susceptibility of Agaricia to disease, and
the public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information.
Supplemental information we found on
the susceptibility of the genus Agaricia
to disease includes the following. A
study of coral diseases across the widerCaribbean during the summer and fall of
2005 found the genus Agaricia, along
with seven other major reef-building
genera, to be particularly susceptible to
coral diseases including white plague
type II, Caribbean ciliate infection, and
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to be infected with multiple diseases at
the same time (Croquer and Weil, 2009).
Agaricia agaricites decreased 87 percent
in mean cover from the disease outbreak
following the 2005 bleaching event in
the U.S. Virgin Islands (Miller et al.,
2009). Thus, we conclude that, absent
species-specific information, species in
the genus Agaricia should be considered
highly susceptible to diseases.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
susceptibility of Agaricia to
acidification. No specific research has
addressed the effects of acidification on
the genus Agaricia. However, most
corals studied have shown negative
relationships between acidification and
growth, and acidification is likely to
contribute to reef destruction in the
future. While ocean acidification has
not been demonstrated to have caused
appreciable declines in coral
populations so far, it is considered a
significant threat to corals by 2100.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of Agaricia to
acidification. Supplemental information
we found on the susceptibility of the
genus Agaricia to acidification includes
the following. Crook et al. (2012)
surveyed coral populations near
submarine springs close to the
Mesoamerican Reef in Mexico where
water aragonite saturation state was
naturally low due to groundwater
seepage. Agaricia spp. were found near
the springs, but only in waters with an
aragonite saturation state greater than
2.5, indicating these species may be less
tolerant than other coral species that
were able to grow in under-saturated
waters. Thus, we conclude that, absent
species-specific information, species in
the genus Agaricia should be considered
to have some susceptibility to
acidification.
The SRR and SIR provided genus
level information on the susceptibility
of Agaricia to sedimentation. The
typically small calices of Agaricia spp.
are not efficient at rejecting sediment,
and species with horizontally-oriented
plates or encrusting morphologies could
be more sediment-susceptible than
species with vertically-oriented plates
as evidenced by fine sediment
suspended in hurricanes that caused
higher mortality in platy corals than
hemispherical or non-flat ones. The
public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of the genus Agaricia to
sedimentation, and we did not find any
new or supplemental information. Thus,
we conclude that, absent speciesspecific information, species in the
genus Agaricia should be considered to
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have some susceptibility to
sedimentation.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any
genus level information on the
susceptibility of Agaricia to nutrients,
and the public comments did not
provide any new or supplemental
information. Supplemental information
we found on the susceptibility of
Agaricia spp. to nutrients includes the
following. Treatment of A. tenuifolia
with low (5 mg per l) and high (25 mg
per l) doses of organic carbon resulted
in 73 to 77 percent mortality,
respectively, compared to 10 percent
mortality of controls (Kuntz et al. 2005).
Treatment of A. tenuifolia with nitrate
(7.5 mM), ammonium (25 mM), and
phosphate (2.5 mM) caused about 50
percent mortality compared to 10
percent in controls (Kuntz et al. 2005).
Thus, we conclude that, absent speciesspecific information, species in the
genus Agaricia should be considered to
have high susceptibility to nutrient
enrichment based on this study in
combination with the Vega Thurber et
al. (2014) study that found increased
bleaching in the presence of chronic
nutrient enrichment.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any
information on the susceptibility of
Agaricia spp. to any other threats. The
public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information, and
we did not find any new or
supplemental information on the
susceptibility of Agaricia to any other
threats.
Genus Conclusion
The studies cited above indicate that
Agaricia spp. are highly susceptible to
warming. In at least one location, a
bleaching event resulted in 100 percent
mortality of one Agaricia species. The
genus also appears to be highly
susceptible to diseases that can result in
high rates of mortality and to be highly
susceptible to impacts of nutrients.
However, as described below, there is a
fair amount of species-specific
information for individual Agaricia
species; therefore, we generally do not
rely on the genus-level information to
inform species level determinations.
When necessary the appropriate
inference is described in the speciesspecific information.
Agaricia lamarcki
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. lamarcki’s
morphology and taxonomy. Agaricia
lamarcki has flat, unifacial, or
encrusting plates that are commonly
arranged in whorls. It is identifiable by
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its morphology and the presence of
white stars at the mouths. Agaricia
lamarcki does not appear to have
taxonomic problems.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information, and
we did not find any new or
supplemental information on A.
lamarcki’s morphology or taxonomy.
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. lamarcki’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Agaricia lamarcki can be found in the
western Atlantic off south Florida as far
north as Palm Beach County, in the Gulf
of Mexico including the Flower Garden
Banks, and throughout the Caribbean
including the Bahamas. Agaricia
lamarcki is rare in shallow reef
environments of 3 to 15 m, but is
common at deeper depths of 20 to 100
m where it can be one of the dominant
coral species. It is found in shaded or
reduced light environments, on slopes
and walls, and on mesophotic reefs in
Curacao, Florida, Jamaica, Puerto Rico,
¸
and the U.S. Virgin Islands.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on A.
lamarcki’s distribution, habitat, or depth
range. Supplemental information we
found on A. lamarcki’s distribution
includes the following. Veron (2014)
confirms the presence of A. lamarcki in
seven out of 11 possible ecoregions in
the western Atlantic and greater
Caribbean that contain corals, and he
strongly predicts the presence of A.
lamarcki in the ecoregion surrounding
the Flower Garden Banks based on
published record or confirmed
occurrence in surrounding ecoregions.
The three ecoregions in which it is not
reported are off the coasts of Bermuda,
Brazil, and the southeast U.S. north of
south Florida. We did not find any new
or supplemental information on A.
lamarcki’s habitat or depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. lamarcki’s
abundance and population trends.
Agaricia lamarcki is reported as
common. In the Netherlands Antilles, A.
lamarcki increased in abundance or
remained stable on reefs 30 to 40 m in
depth from 1973 to 1992.
The public comments provided
supplemental information on A.
lamarcki’s abundance. Population
estimates of A. lamarcki in the Florida
Keys extrapolated from stratified
random samples were 3.1 ± 1.3 million
(standard error (SE)) colonies in 2005
and 0.2 ± 0.2 million colonies in 2012.
No colonies were observed in 2009, but
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fewer deep sites (>20 m) were surveyed
in 2009 and 2012 compared to 2005.
Most colonies observed were 20 to 30
cm in diameter, and partial mortality
was highest (50 percent) in the largest
size class (30 to 40 cm). Agaricia
lamarcki ranked 35th in abundance out
of 47 species in 2005 and 37th out of 40
species in 2012. In the Dry Tortugas,
Florida, where more deep sites were
surveyed, A. lamarcki ranked 12th out
of 43 species in 2006, with population
estimates extrapolated to 14.3 ± 2.6
million colonies. It ranked 22nd out of
40 species in 2008 with populations
estimates extrapolated to 2.1 ± 0.5
million colonies. Most of the colonies in
2006 were 10 to 30 cm in diameter, but
colonies greater than 90 cm were
observed. Partial mortality was highest
in the 30 to 40 cm size class
(approximately 35 percent) in 2006 and
highest in the 20 to 30 cm size class
(approximately 20 percent) in 2008. In
2008, most of the colonies were 0 to 10
cm in size, and the largest colonies
observed were in the 50 to 60 cm size
class (Miller et al., 2013). Because
population estimates were extrapolated
from random samples, differences in
population numbers between years are
more likely a function of sampling effort
rather than population trends over time.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on A.
lamarcki’s population trends.
Supplemental information we found
on A. lamarcki’s abundance and
population trends includes the
following. Between 1977 and 1987,
colonies of A. lamarcki in monitored
plots in Jamaica decreased from 34 to 31
colonies, indicating the net production
by sexual and asexual means was not
enough to compensate for mortality of
the originally present colonies (Hughes,
1988). More than 40 percent of the
colonies present in 1987 were derived
from asexual fission of the original
colonies present in 1977, and none of
the six sexual recruits survived until the
end of the study period (Hughes, 1988).
In the U.S. Virgin Islands, A. lamarcki
was the eleventh most common coral in
terms of cover out of 55 species, and
average cover across 18 monitoring sites
was 1.2 ± 0.3 (SE) percent in 2012
(Smith, 2013).
All information on A. lamarcki’s
abundance and population trends can
be summarized as follows. Based on
population estimates, there are at least
tens of millions of A. lamarcki colonies
present in the Florida Keys and Dry
Tortugas combined. Absolute
abundance is higher than the estimate
from these two locations given the
presence of this species in many other
locations throughout its range.
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Population trends indicate this species
may be declining in some areas, but
because some of the trend data is
lumped by genus or genus plus
morphology, there is uncertainty that
the trends represent A. lamarcki
specifically. Thus, we conclude that A.
lamarcki has likely declined in some
areas and the population numbers at
least in the tens of millions of colonies.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. lamarcki’s
life history. No information on the
reproductive strategy of A. lamarcki is
available, but congeners are gonochoric
brooders. Larval settlement occurs
primarily at deeper depths (26 to 37 m),
but the species has also been found at
shallower depths. Recruitment rates of
A. lamarcki are low (e.g., only one of
1,074 Agaricia recruits at the Flower
Garden Banks may have been A.
lamarcki), and net gains from sexual
recruitment may be negligible at a
decadal time scale. Population numbers
may be maintained through asexual
fission of larger colonies into smaller
daughter colonies. Growth rates are
slow; radial growth measurements from
Jamaica ranged from zero to 1.4 cm per
year and averaged approximately 0.5 cm
per year. Growth rates are a bit slower,
ranging from zero to 1.0 cm per year, at
depths greater than 20 m. Maximum
colony size is approximately two
meters. Agaricia lamarcki is a relatively
long-lived species, and individual
colonies may persist for greater than a
century. Based on monitoring in
Jamaica, the half-life (mortality of half of
monitored colonies) of A. lamarcki is 17
years. Mortality rates are size-specific
(ranging from 10 to 25 percent), and
partial mortality rates are high (ranging
from 22 to 90 percent). Overall,
demographic characteristics are low
recruitment, high colony survival, and
high partial mortality.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on A.
lamarcki life history. Supplemental
information we found on A. lamarcki
life history includes the following.
Darling et al. (2012) performed a traitbased analysis to categorize coral
species into four life history strategies:
Generalist, weedy, competitive, and
stress-tolerant. The classifications were
primarily separated by colony
morphology, growth rate, and
reproductive mode. Agaricia lamarcki
was classified as a ‘‘weedy’’ species,
thus likely more tolerant of
environmental stress.
The SRR, SIR, and the public
comments did not provide new or
supplemental biological information for
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A. lamarcki. Supplemental biological
information we found about A. lamarcki
includes the following. Out of five
agariciid species sampled at a single reef
in Curacao, A. lamarcki was the only
¸
species that harbored multiple symbiont
profiles across depth distribution; the
other four species had only a single
symbiont profile across depth. The
symbiont community associated with A.
lamarcki at 40 m depth was
significantly different from those at both
10 m and 25 m (Bongaerts et al., 2013).
Susceptibility to Threats
The threat susceptibility information
from the SRR and SIR was interpreted
in the proposed rule for A. lamarcki’s
vulnerabilities to threats as follows:
Moderate vulnerability to ocean
warming, disease, acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation, and
nutrients; and low vulnerability to sea
level rise and collection and trade. No
conclusions on A. lamarcki’s
vulnerability to predation were made
due to lack of available information on
its susceptibility to this threat.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
susceptibility of A. lamarcki to ocean
warming. Agaricia lamarcki is
susceptible to bleaching from both high
and low temperature anomalies. In
laboratory studies, A. lamarcki had
almost complete disruption of
photosynthesis at 32 °C to 34 °C.
Bleaching can be extensive; however, it
may not result in mortality in A.
lamarcki.
Van Woesik et al. (2012) developed a
coral resiliency index to evaluate
extinction risk due to bleaching, based
on biological traits and processes.
Evaluations were performed at the
genus level. They rated the resiliency of
Agaricia as ¥2 out of a range of ¥6 to
7 observed in other coral genera. Less
than or equal to ¥3 was considered
highly vulnerable to extinction, and
greater than or equal to 4 was
considered highly tolerant. Thus,
Agaricia was rated closer to the
vulnerable end of the spectrum, though
not highly vulnerable. This study was in
the SIR, but the findings specific to
Agaricia were not included. The public
comments (comment 47) indicated the
results of this study should be
considered in the listing status of A.
lamarcki.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of A. lamarcki to
ocean warming. Supplemental
information we found on the
susceptibility of A. lamarcki to ocean
warming includes the following. During
the 2005 bleaching event, greater than
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80 percent of A. lamarcki colonies
bleached at 12 sites in Puerto Rico
(Waddell and Clarke, 2008). In the U.S.
Virgin Islands, an average of 59 percent
of A. lamarcki colonies (n = 11)
bleached, and nine percent paled during
the 2010 bleaching event (Smith et al.,
2013b). Agaricia lamarcki had high
resistance to both hot and cold water
anomalies that impacted the Florida
Keys in 2005 and 2010, respectively, as
indicated by their low tissue mortality
compared to other coral species
monitored (Lirman et al., 2011).
All sources of information are used to
describe A. lamarcki’s susceptibility to
ocean warming as follows. Agaricia
lamarcki has some susceptibility to
ocean warming as evidenced by
extensive bleaching during warm water
temperature anomalies but observed low
bleaching-related mortality. The
available information does not support
a more precise description of
susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any
species-specific information on
susceptibility of A. lamarcki to ocean
acidification. The public comments did
not provide new or supplemental
information on the susceptibility of A.
lamarcki to acidification, and we did
not find any new or supplemental
information.
All sources of information are used to
describe A. lamarcki’s susceptibility to
acidification as follows. There is
uncertainty about how A. lamarcki will
respond to ocean acidification, but there
is genus-level evidence that Agaricia are
not among the more tolerant species
from areas of water with naturally lower
aragonite saturation state. Thus, A.
lamarcki likely has some susceptibility
to ocean acidification, but the available
information does not support a more
precise description of susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. lamarcki’s
susceptibility to disease. White plague
infections in A. lamarcki have been
observed in Florida, Colombia, and St.
Lucia, though no incidence of disease
was observed in the Florida Keys in
1996 to 1998. Ciliate infections have
been documented in A. lamarcki, and
tumors may affect this species. The
ecological and population impacts of
disease have not been established for A.
lamarcki.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of A. lamarcki to
disease, and we did not find any new or
supplemental information on A.
lamarcki’s susceptibility to disease.
All source of information are used to
describe A. lamarcki’s susceptibility to
disease as follows. Agaricia lamarcki is
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susceptible to several diseases,
including white plague, which has one
of the fastest progression rates recorded
in the Caribbean. However, there is no
information on the population level
effects of disease on A. lamarcki (e.g.,
rates of infection, percentage of
population affected, and amounts of
tissue loss). Genus-level information
indicates high susceptibility to a disease
outbreak following a bleaching event,
indicating A. lamarcki is likely highly
susceptible to disease.
The SIR and SRR did not provide any
species-specific information on the
trophic effects of fishing on A. lamarcki.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information, and
we did not find new or supplemental
information on the trophic effects of
fishing on A. lamarcki. However, due to
the level of reef fishing conducted in the
Caribbean, coupled with Diadema dieoff and lack of significant recovery,
competition with algae can adversely
affect coral recruitment. Thus, A.
lamarcki likely has some susceptibility
to the trophic effects of fishing because
of low recruitment rates, though the
available information does not support
a more precise description of
susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on susceptibility
of A. lamarcki to sedimentation.
Agaricia lamarcki could be susceptible
to sedimentation based on calix and
colony morphology. This conclusion
was based on genus-level information
on susceptibility to sedimentation. The
public comments did not provide new
or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of A. lamarcki to
sedimentation, and we did not find new
or supplemental information.
All sources of information are used to
describe A. lamarcki’s susceptibility to
sedimentation as follows. There is no
species-specific information on the
susceptibility of A. lamarcki to
sedimentation. However, based on
genus-level information, colony
morphology and skeletal structure of A.
lamarcki indicate it is likely poor at
removing sediment. Thus, A. lamarcki
likely has some susceptibility to
sedimentation, but the available
information does not support a more
precise description of susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any
information on the susceptibility of A.
lamarcki to nutrients, and the public
comments did not provide any new or
supplemental information.
Supplemental information we gathered
at the genus-level indicates that A.
lamarcki is likely highly susceptible to
nutrient enrichment.
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The SRR and SIR did not provide
species-specific information on the
effects of sea level rise on A. lamarcki.
The SRR described sea level rise as an
overall low to medium threat for all
coral species. The public comments did
not provide new or supplemental
information on A. lamarcki’s
susceptibility to sea level rise, and we
did not find any new or supplemental
information. Thus, we conclude that A.
lamarcki has some susceptibility to sea
level rise, but the available information
does not provide a more precise
description of susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
susceptibility of A. lamarcki to
collection and trade. Only light trade
has been recorded with gross exports
averaging fewer than 10 pieces of coral
annually between 2000 and 2005. The
public comments did not provide new
or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of A. lamarcki to
collection and trade. Supplemental
information we found confirms that
collection and trade of A. lamarcki
remained low between 2000 and 2012
with gross exports averaging fewer than
10 pieces of coral annually (data
available at https://trade.cites.org/).
Thus, we conclude that A. lamarcki has
low susceptibility to collection and
trade.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
susceptibility of A. larmarcki to
predation. Predation effects on A.
lamarcki are unknown. The public
comments did not provide any new or
supplemental information, and we did
not find any new or supplemental
information on the susceptibility of A.
lamarcki to predation. We conclude that
while A. lamarcki likely has some
susceptibility to predation, available
information is lacking, and we cannot
say whether it is a threat.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we relied on
information from the Final Management
Report for evaluating the existing
regulatory mechanisms for controlling
threats to all corals. However, we did
not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. lamarcki. Public comments were
critical of that approach, and we
therefore attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms and conservation efforts on
a species basis, where possible, in this
final rule. Records confirm that Agaricia
lamarcki occurs in eight Atlantic
ecoregions that encompass 26
kingdom’s and countries’ EEZs. The 26
kingdoms and countries are Antigua &
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Barbuda, Bahamas, Barbados, Belize,
Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominica,
Dominican Republic, French Antilles,
Grenada, Guatemala, Haiti, Kingdom of
the Netherlands, Honduras, Jamaica,
Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, St. Kitts &
Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent &
Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago,
United Kingdom (British Overseas
Territories), United States (including
U.S. Caribbean Territories), and
Venezuela. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to A. lamarcki, described first
as a percentage of the above kingdoms
and countries that utilize them to any
degree, and second as a percentage of
those countries and kingdoms whose
regulatory mechanisms may be limited
in scope, are as follows: General coral
protection (31 percent with 12 percent
limited in scope), coral collection (50
percent with 27 percent limited in
scope), pollution control (31 percent
with 15 percent limited in scope),
fishing regulations on reefs (73 percent
with 50 percent limited in scope),
managing areas for protection and
conservation (88 percent with 31
percent limited in scope). The most
common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. lamarcki are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. However,
half of the reef fishing regulations are
limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection for the species.
General coral protection and collection
laws, along with pollution control laws,
are much less common regulatory
mechanisms for the management of A.
lamarcki.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic traits, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that the factors that increase the
extinction risk for A. lamarcki include
the widespread decline in
environmental conditions in the
Caribbean, potential losses to disease,
severe effects of bleaching, and limited
sediment tolerance. Factors that reduce
extinction risk include occurrence
primarily at great depth, where
disturbance events are less frequent, and
life history characteristics that have
allowed the species to remain relatively
persistent compared to other deep corals
despite low rates of sexual recruitment.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
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knowledge regarding the species’
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
lamarcki, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Although it is
geographically located in the heavily
disturbed Caribbean, A. lamarcki’s
predominant occurrence at depths of 20
to 100 m reduces its exposure to
disturbance events that have resulted in
the decreased resilience of reefs in the
Caribbean and moderates vulnerability
to extinction over the foreseeable future.
Agaricia lamarcki’s life history
characteristics of large colony size and
long life span have enabled it to remain
relatively persistent despite slow growth
and low recruitment rates, thus
moderating vulnerability to extinction.
Although we concluded that A.
lamarcki is likely highly susceptible to
disease, population level effects of
disease have not been documented in A.
lamarcki thus far, indicating the
currently low vulnerability to extinction
from this threat. Additionally, although
A. lamarcki has been observed to have
high levels of warming-induced
bleaching, bleaching-related mortality
appears to be low, indicating that
vulnerability to extinction from ocean
warming is currently low. Deeper areas
of A. lamarcki’s range will usually have
lower temperatures than surface waters,
and acidification is generally predicted
to accelerate most in waters that are
deeper and cooler than those in which
the species occurs. Agaricia lamarcki’s
habitat includes shaded or reduced light
environments, slopes, walls, and
mesophotic reefs. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is
not limited to one habitat type but
occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that are predicted, on
local and regional scales, to experience
highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. Agaricia lamarcki’s absolute
abundance has been estimated as at
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least tens of millions of colonies in the
Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas
combined and is higher than the
estimate from these two locations due to
the occurrence of the species in many
other areas throughout its range. Its
abundance, life history characteristics,
and depth distribution, combined with
spatial variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species’ range,
moderate vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform, and there
will likely be a large number of colonies
that are either not exposed or do not
negatively respond to a threat at any
given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
lamarcki was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: Moderate
vulnerability to ocean warming (E),
disease (C), and acidification (E); low
relative recruitment rate (E); moderate
overall distribution (based on narrow
geographic distribution and wide depth
distribution (E); restriction to the
Caribbean (E); and inadequacy of
regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. lamarcki
from threatened to not warranted. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on A.
lamarcki’ spatial structure, demography,
threat susceptibilities, and management
none of the five ESA listing factors,
alone or in combination, are causing
this species to be likely to become
endangered throughout its range within
the foreseeable future, and thus it is not
warranted for listing at this time
because:
(1) Agaricia lamarcki’s predominant
occurrence at depths of 20 to 100 m in
heterogeneous habitats, including
shaded or reduced light environments,
on slopes and walls, and on mesophotic
reefs, throughout the Caribbean basin
reduces exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not
occur uniformly throughout the species’
range. As explained above in the
Threats Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future; and
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(2) Agaricia lamarcki’s absolute
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies based on estimates from two
locations. Absolute abundance is higher
than estimates from these locations
since it occurs in many other locations
throughout its range. This provides
buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and
variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the
Corals and Coral Reefs section above,
the more colonies a species has, the
lower the proportion of colonies that are
likely to be exposed to a particular
threat at a particular time, and all
individuals that are exposed will not
have the same response.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
worsen in severity, and the species’
exposure to the threats increases
throughout its range. Should the species
experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, A. lamarcki is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, A.
lamarcki is not warranted for listing at
this time under any of the listing factors,
and we withdraw our proposal to list
the species as threatened.
Genus Mycetophyllia
There are five species in the genus
Mycetophyllia that all occur in the
western Atlantic and Caribbean (Veron,
2000). Most species of Mycetophyllia
can be difficult to distinguish in the
field, and many studies report data to
the genus level rather than species.
Therefore, all information reported for
the genus appears in this section, and
information reported specifically for M.
ferox is presented in the species section.
Demographic Information
The SRR, SIR, and the public
comments did not provide information
on Mycetophyllia abundance or
population trends. Supplemental
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information we found on
Mycetophyllia’s abundance and
population trends includes the
following. Percent cover of
Mycetophyllia spp. between 2001 and
2006 was less than approximately 0.02
percent on St. John (233 sites surveyed)
and St. Croix (768 sites surveyed), U.S.
Virgin Islands and La Parguera, Puerto
Rico (Waddell and Clarke, 2008).
Similarly, cover of Mycetophyllia spp.
on the mesophotic Hind Bank in the
U.S. Virgin Islands was 0.02 ± 0.01
percent in 2007 (Smith et al., 2010).
Cover of Mycetophyllia spp. was 0.1
percent between 2002 and 2004 on four
islands in the Bahamas Archipelago
(Roff et al., 2011). Between 2005 and
2007, Mycetophyllia spp. comprised 0.1
percent or less of the coral cover and
occurred in densities of 1.0 colony per
10 m2 in parts of southeast Florida and
the Florida Keys (Wagner et al., 2010).
In Roatan, Honduras, Mycetophyllia sp.
cover in permanent photo-stations
increased between 1996 and 1998 from
0.57 percent to 0.77 percent but
subsequently decreased to 0.26 percent
in 2003 and 0.15 percent in 2005 (Riegl
et al., 2009).
Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR, SIR, and public comments
did not provide information on
Mycetophyllia’s susceptibility to threats.
Supplemental information we found on
Mycetophyllia’s susceptibility to ocean
warming includes the following. During
the 1995 bleaching event in Belize, 24
percent of 21 colonies monitored
Mycetophyllia bleached (McField,
1999). In Roatan, Honduras, 11 percent
[sic]of 10 monitored Mycetophyllia sp.
colonies bleached and 11 percent [sic]
partially bleached during the 1998
bleaching event; mortality of
Mycetophyllia colonies was 11 percent
(Riegl et al., 2009).
Bleaching of Mycetophyllia was 62
percent across all 28 locations surveyed
in Puerto Rico during the 2005
temperature anomaly (Waddell and
Clarke, 2008). Additionally, a postbleaching outbreak of white plague
resulted in a massive collapse of
Mycetophyllia colonies at most reefs on
the east, south, and west coasts of
Puerto Rico and reproductive failure
during the 2006 mass spawning
(Waddell and Clarke, 2008). Off Mona
and Desecheo Islands, Puerto Rico in
2005, paling occurred in 65 percent of
Mycetophyllia colonies, and bleaching
occurred in 10 percent (Bruckner and
Hill, 2009).
In surveys conducted between August
and October 2005 to 2009 from the
lower Florida Keys to Martin County,
average mortality of Mycetophyllia spp.
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was 0.6 ± 6.4 percent, which was the
eighth highest out of 25 of the most
abundant species (Lirman et al., 2011).
During the 2010 cold-water event,
average mortality of Mycetophyllia spp.
across 76 sites from the lower Florida
Keys to Martin County was 15.0 ± 28.3
percent, which was the eleventh highest
of the 25 most abundant species (Lirman
et al., 2011).
During the 2005 bleaching event,
Mycetophyllia spp. were among the
most severely affected of 22 coral
species reported to have bleached across
91 of 94 sites in northeast St. Croix, U.S.
Virgin Islands (Wilkinson and Souter,
2008). In the U.S. Virgin Islands, the one
colony of Mycetophyllia sp. observed at
18 sites, bleached during 2005. Six
colonies were subsequently monitored
after the 2010 mild bleaching event with
average of eight percent bleaching
(Smith et al., 2013b).
Supplemental information we found
on the susceptibility of Mycetophyllia to
disease includes the following. White
plague (Nugues, 2002) and red band
disease (Waddell, 2005) have been
reported to infect Mycetophyllia species.
In 2004, prevalence of disease in
Mycetophyllia was approximately two
to three percent in Mexico (Harvell et
al., 2007).
Mycetophyllia ferox
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. ferox’s
morphology and taxonomy.
Mycetophyllia ferox forms a thin,
encrusting plate that is weakly attached.
Mycetophyllia ferox is taxonomically
distinct. Maximum colony size is 50 cm.
Public comments did not provide new
or supplemental information on M.
ferox’s taxonomy or morphology.
Supplemental information we found on
M. ferox’s taxonomy and morphology
includes the following. Zlatarski and
Estalella (1982) reported 14 out of 25
Mycetophyllia colonies collected from
Cuba were intermediate between M.
ferox, and M. lamarkiana, and parts of
two colonies were comparable to M.
ferox or M. lamarkiana, illustrating
potential morphological plasticity
between species.
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. ferox’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Mycetophyllia ferox occurs in the
western Atlantic and throughout the
wider Caribbean. It has not been
reported in the Flower Garden Banks
(Gulf of Mexico) or in Bermuda. It has
been reported in reef environments in
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water depths of 5 to 90 m, including
shallow and mesophotic habitats.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on M.
ferox’s distribution, habitat, or depth
range. Supplemental information we
found on M. ferox’s distribution
includes the following. Veron (2014)
confirms the occurrence of M. ferox in
seven out of a possible 11 ecoregions in
the Caribbean and western Atlantic that
contain corals. The four ecoregions
where it is not reported are the Flower
Garden Banks, off the coasts of
Bermuda, Brazil, and the southeast U.S.
north of south Florida. We did not find
any supplemental information on M.
ferox’s habitat or depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. ferox’s
abundance and population trends.
Mycetophyllia ferox is usually
uncommon or rare, constituting less
than 0.1 percent of all coral species at
generally less than one percent of the
benthic cover. Density of M. ferox in
southeast Florida and the Florida Keys
was approximately 0.8 colonies per 10
m2 between 2005 and 2007. There is
indication that the species was much
more abundant in the upper Florida
Keys in the 1970s. In a survey of 97
stations in the Florida Keys, M. ferox
declined in occurrence from 20 stations
in 1996 to four stations in 2009. At 21
stations in the Dry Tortugas, M. ferox
declined in occurrence from eight
stations in 2004 to three stations in
2009.
The public comments provided the
following supplemental information on
M. ferox’s abundance. In stratified
random surveys in the Florida Keys, M.
ferox ranked 39th most abundant out of
47 in 2005, 43rd out of 43 in 2009, and
40th out of 40 in 2012. Extrapolated
population estimates were 1.0 ± 0.7 (SE)
million in 2005, 9,500 ± 9,500 (SE)
colonies in 2009, and 7,000 ± 7,000 (SE)
in 2012 . These abundance estimates are
based on random surveys, and
differences between years are more
likely a result of sampling effort rather
than population trends. The most
abundant size class was 10 to 20 cm
diameter that equaled the combined
abundance of the other size classes. The
largest size class was 30 to 40 cm.
Average partial mortality per size class
ranged from nearly 0 to 50 percent and
was greatest in the 20 to 30 cm size class
(Miller et al., 2013).
In the Dry Tortugas, Florida, M. ferox
ranked 35th most abundant out of 43
species in 2006 and 30th out of 40 in
2008. Population estimates were 0.5 ±
0.4 (SE) million in 2006 and 0.5 ± 0.2
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million (SE) in 2008. The number of
colonies in 2006 was similar between
the 0 to 10 cm and 10 to 20 cm size
classes, and the largest colonies were in
the 20 to 30 cm size class. Greatest
partial mortality was around 10 percent.
Two years later, in 2008, the highest
proportion of colonies was in the 20 to
30 cm size class, and the largest
colonies were in the 40 to 50 cm size
class. The greatest partial mortality was
about 60 percent in the 30 to 40 cm size
class, however the number of colonies at
that size were few (Miller et al., 2013).
Supplemental information we found
on M. ferox’s abundance and population
trends confirms M. ferox’s low percent
cover, encounter rate, and density. In a
survey of Utila, Honduras between 1999
and 2000, M. ferox was observed at eight
percent of 784 surveyed sites and was
the 36th most commonly observed out
of 46 coral species; other Mycetophyllia
species were seen more commonly
(Afzal et al., 2001). In surveys of remote
southwest reefs of Cuba, M. ferox was
observed at one of 38 reef-front sites,
with average abundance was 0.004 ±
0.027 (standard deviation (SD)) colonies
per 10 m transect; this was
comparatively lower than the other
three Mycetophyllia species observed
(Alcolado et al., 2010). Between 1998
and 2004, cover of M. ferox ranged
between 0.3 and 0.4 percent in three of
six sites monitored in Colombia
(Rodriguez-Ramirez et al., 2010). In
Barbados, M. ferox was observed on one
of seven reefs surveyed, and the average
cover was 0.04 percent (Tomascik and
Sander, 1987).
Benthic cover of M. ferox in the Red
Hind Marine Conservation District off
St. Thomas, U.S. Virgin Islands, which
includes mesophotic coral reefs, was
0.003 ± 0.004 percent in 2007,
accounting for 0.02 percent of coral
cover, and ranking 20th highest in cover
out of 21 coral species (Nemeth et al.,
2008; Smith et al., 2010). In the U.S.
Virgin Islands between 2001 and 2012,
cover of M. ferox appeared in 12 of 33
survey sites and accounted for 0.01
percent of the benthos, and 0.07 percent
of the coral cover, ranking as 13th most
common (Smith, 2013).
In 1981, M. ferox was observed on one
of four reefs surveyed in the upper
Florida Keys at 0.1 percent cover
(Burns, 1985). In surveys of the Florida
Keys between 1996 and 2003, cover of
M. ferox was 0.022, 0.005, and less than
0.001 percent on patch reefs, deep
offshore reefs, and shallow offshore
reefs, respectively (Somerfield et al.,
2008). At permanent monitoring stations
in the Florida Keys, the number of
stations where M. ferox was present
declined between 1996 and 2003
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53921
(Waddell, 2005). Between 2005 and
2010, M. ferox was one of 42 species
surveyed and was found the least
abundant being observed at densities of
0.02 and 0.01 colonies per 10 m2 on
mid-channel reefs and fore-reefs,
respectively, on the Florida reef tract
(Burman et al., 2012).
All information on M. ferox’s
abundance and population trends can
be summarized as follows.
Mycetophyllia ferox has been reported
to occur on 3 to 50 percent of reefs
surveyed and is one of the least
common coral species observed. On
reefs where M. ferox is found, it
generally occurs at abundances of less
than one colony per 10 m2 and percent
cover of less than 0.1 percent. Based on
population estimates, there are at least
hundreds of thousands of M. ferox
colonies present in the Florida Keys and
Dry Tortugas combined. Absolute
abundance is higher than the estimate
from these two locations given the
presence of this species in many other
locations throughout its range. Low
encounter rate and percent cover
coupled with the tendency to include
Mycetophyllia spp. at the genus level
make it difficult to discern population
trends of M. ferox from monitoring data.
However, reported losses of M. ferox
from monitoring stations in the Florida
Keys and Dry Tortugas (63 to 80 percent
loss) indicate population decline in
these locations. Based on declines in
Florida, we conclude M. ferox has likely
declined throughout its range.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. ferox’s life
history. Mycetophyllia ferox is a
hermaphroditic brooding species.
Colony size at first reproduction is
greater than 100 cm2. Recruitment of M.
ferox appears to be very low, even in
studies from the 1970s.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on M.
ferox’s life history. Supplemental
information we found on M. ferox’s life
history includes the following.
Mycetophyllia ferox has a lower
fecundity compared to M. aliciae, M.
lamarckiana and M. danaana (Morales
Tirado, 2006). Over a 10 year period, no
colonies of M. ferox were observed to
recruit to an anchor-damaged site in the
U.S. Virgin Islands although adults were
observed on the adjacent reef (Rogers
and Garrison, 2001). Darling et al.
(2012) performed a biological trait-based
analysis to categorize coral species into
four life history strategies: Generalist,
weedy, competitive, and stress-tolerant.
Mycetophyllia ferox was classified as a
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‘‘weedy’’ species, thus likely more
tolerant of environmental stress.
Susceptibility to Threats
The threat susceptibility information
from the SRR and SIR was interpreted
in the proposed rule for M. ferox’s
vulnerabilities to threats as follows:
High vulnerability to disease and
nutrient enrichment; moderate
vulnerability to ocean warming,
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
and sedimentation; and low
vulnerability to sea level rise, predation,
and collection and trade.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. ferox’s
susceptibility to ocean warming. No
bleached M. ferox colonies were
observed in Florida or Barbados in a
wide-scale survey during the 2005 massbleaching event, although the number of
colonies was small.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of M. ferox to ocean
warming. Supplemental information we
found on the susceptibility of M. ferox
to ocean warming includes the
following. In surveys of the lower
Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas during
the 1998 bleaching event, approximately
20 percent of M. ferox colonies
bleached; out of the 14 species reported
to have experienced bleaching of at least
50 percent of the colony, M. ferox was
one of the least affected (Waddell,
2005). Approximately 50 percent of M.
ferox colonies bleached at 12 locations
in Puerto Rico during the 2005
bleaching event (Waddell and Clarke,
2008). During the 2005 Caribbean
bleaching event, neither of the two
colonies of M. ferox monitored at six
sites in Barbados bleached; an average
of 71 percent of all coral colonies
bleached at those six sites during the
event (Oxenford et al., 2008).
All sources of information are used to
describe M. ferox’s susceptibility to
ocean warming as follows. The
bleaching reports available specifically
for M. ferox and at the genus level
indicate similar trends of relatively low
bleaching observed in 1995, 1998, and
2010 (less than 25 percent) and higher
levels (50 to 65) or no bleaching in the
more severe 2005 bleaching event.
Reproductive failure and a disease
outbreak were reported for the genus
after the 2005 bleaching event. Although
bleaching of most coral species is
spatially and temporally variable,
understanding the susceptibility of M.
ferox is somewhat confounded by the
species’ low sample size in any given
survey due to its low encounter rate. We
conclude that M. ferox has some
susceptibility to ocean warming.
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However, the available information does
not support a more precise description
of susceptibility to this threat.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
susceptibility of M. ferox to
acidification. No specific research has
addressed the effects of acidification on
the genus Mycetophyllia. However, most
corals studied have shown negative
relationships between acidification and
growth, and acidification is likely to
contribute to reef destruction in the
future. While ocean acidification has
not been demonstrated to have caused
appreciable declines in coral
populations to date, it is considered to
become a significant threat to corals by
2100.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of M. ferox to
acidification, and we did not find any
new or supplemental information.
All sources of information are used to
describe M. ferox’s susceptibility to
acidification as follows. There is
uncertainty about how M. ferox will
respond to ocean acidification. Based on
the negative effects of acidification on
growth of most corals, M. ferox likely
has some susceptibility to acidification.
The available information does not
support a more precise description of
susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. ferox’s
susceptibility to disease. Mycetophyllia
ferox is susceptible to white plague.
Diseased M. ferox colonies were
reported in the upper Florida Keys in
the mid-1970s; between 24 and 73
percent of M. ferox colonies were
infected per site. At one reef site, 20 to
30 percent of the M. ferox colonies died
from disease during a one-year period.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of M. ferox to disease.
Supplemental information we found on
the susceptibility of M. ferox to disease
includes the following. Porter et al.
(2001) report the loss of M. ferox from
many of the permanent monitoring
stations (160 stations at 40 sites) in the
Florida Keys between 1996 and 1998
due to coral disease.
All sources of information are used to
describe M. ferox’s susceptibility to
disease as follows. From reports in the
Florida Keys, M. ferox appears to be
highly susceptible to disease,
specifically white plague, and reports of
high losses and correlation with higher
temperatures date back to the mid-1970s
(Dustan, 1977). Although heavy impacts
of disease on M. ferox have not been
reported in other locations, an outbreak
of white plague was credited with
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causing heavy mortality at the genus
level in Puerto Rico after the 2005
bleaching event. We conclude that the
susceptibility of M. ferox to disease is
high.
The SIR and SRR did not provide any
species-specific information on the
trophic effects of fishing on M. ferox.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information, and
we did not find new or supplemental
information on the trophic effects of
fishing on M. ferox. However, due to the
level of reef fishing conducted in the
Caribbean, coupled with Diadema dieoff and lack of significant recovery,
competition with algae can adversely
affect coral recruitment. Thus, M. ferox
likely has some susceptibility to the
trophic effects of fishing given its low
recruitment rates. The available
information does not support a more
precise description of susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
susceptibility of M. ferox to nutrient
enrichment. Mycetophyllia ferox
appeared to be absent at fringing reef
sites in Barbados impacted by sewage
pollution.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of M. ferox to
nutrient enrichment, and we did not
find any new or supplemental
information.
All sources of information are used to
describe M. ferox’s susceptibility to
nutrient enrichment as follows.
Mycetophyllia ferox may be susceptible
to nutrient enrichment as evidenced by
its absence from eutrophic sites in one
location. However, there is uncertainty
about whether the absence is a result of
eutrophic conditions or a result of
uncommon or rare occurrence.
Therefore, we conclude that M. ferox
likely has some susceptibility to
nutrient enrichment. However, the
available information does not support
a more precise description of
susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any
species or genus information on the
susceptibility of M. ferox to
sedimentation but provided the
following. Land-based sources of
pollution (including sediment) often act
in concert rather than individually and
are influenced by other biological (e.g.,
herbivory) and hydrological factors.
Collectively, land-based sources of
pollution are unlikely to produce
extinction at a global scale; however,
they may pose significant threats at
local scales and reduce the resilience of
corals to bleaching.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
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susceptibility of M. ferox to
sedimentation, and we did not find any
new or supplemental information. We
conclude that M. ferox has some level of
susceptibility to sedimentation, but the
available information does not support
a more precise description of
susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
susceptibility of M. ferox to predation.
Mycetophyllia ferox has not been
susceptible to predation. Public
comments did not provide new or
supplemental information on M. ferox’s
susceptibility to predation, and we did
not find any new or supplemental
information. We conclude that M. ferox
has low susceptibility to predation.
The SRR and SIR did not provide
species-specific information on the
effects of sea level rise on M. ferox. The
SRR described sea level rise as an
overall low to medium threat for all
coral species. The public comments did
not provide new or supplemental
information on M. ferox’s susceptibility
to sea level rise, and we did not find any
new or supplemental information. Thus,
we conclude that M. ferox has some
susceptibility to sea level rise, but the
available information does not provide
a more precise description of
susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. ferox’s
susceptibility to collection and trade.
Mycetophyllia ferox is not reported to be
an important species for trade. Exports
of M. ferox were ten pieces in 2000, two
in 2003, and five in 2007.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of M. ferox to collection
and trade. Supplemental information we
found confirmed low collection and
trade of M. ferox with gross exports
between 2000 and 2012 averaging fewer
than two corals per year (data available
at https://trade.cites.org/). Thus, we
conclude that M. ferox has low
susceptibility to collection and trade.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we relied on
information from the Final Management
Report for evaluating the existing
regulatory mechanisms for controlling
threats to all corals. However, we did
not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
M. ferox. Public comments were critical
of that approach, and we therefore
attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms and conservation efforts on
a species basis, where possible, in this
final rule. Records confirm that M. ferox
occurs in seven Atlantic ecoregions that
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encompass 26 kingdom’s or countries’
EEZs. The 26 kingdoms and countries
are Antigua & Barbuda, Bahamas,
Barbados, Belize, Colombia, Costa Rica,
Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic,
French Antilles, Grenada, Guatemala,
Haiti, Honduras, Jamaica, Kingdom of
the Netherlands, Mexico, Nicaragua,
Panama, St. Kitts & Nevis, St. Lucia, St.
Vincent & Grenadines, Trinidad and
Tobago, United Kingdom (British
Overseas Territories), United States
(including U.S. Caribbean Territories),
and Venezuela. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to M. ferox,
described first as a percentage of the
above kingdoms and countries that
utilize them to any degree, and, second
as the percentages of those kingdoms
and countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope,
are as follows general coral protection
(31 percent with 12 percent limited in
scope), coral collection (50 percent with
27 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (31 percent with 15 percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on
reefs (73 percent with 50 percent
limited in scope), managing areas for
protection and conservation (88 percent
with 31 percent limited in scope). The
most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for M. ferox are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. However,
half of the reef-fish fishing regulations
are limited in scope and may not
provide substantial protection for the
coral species. General coral protection
and collection laws, along with
pollution control laws, are much less
common regulatory mechanisms for the
management of M. ferox.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic traits, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that the factors that increase the
extinction risk for M. ferox include
disease, rare abundance, and observed
declines in abundance.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species’
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
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species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of M.
ferox, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Mycetophyllia ferox
has declined due to disease in at least
a portion of its range and has low
recruitment, which limits its capacity
for recovery from mortality events and
exacerbates vulnerability to extinction.
Despite the large number of islands and
environments that are included in the
species’ range, geographic distribution
in the highly disturbed Caribbean
exacerbates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because M.
ferox is limited to an area with high,
localized human impacts and predicted
increasing threats. Its depth range of five
to 90 meters moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower temperatures than
surface waters, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in
waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. Its
habitat includes shallow and
mesophotic reefs which moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species
occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that are predicted, on
local and regional scales, to experience
highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. Mycetophyllia ferox is usually
uncommon to rare throughout its range.
Its absolute abundance has been
estimated as at least hundreds of
thousands of colonies in the Florida
Keys and Dry Tortugas combined and is
higher than the estimate from these two
locations due to the occurrence of the
species in many other areas throughout
its range. Its abundance, combined with
spatial variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species’ range,
moderate vulnerability to extinction
because the threats are non-uniform,
and there will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the
determination tool formula approach,
M. ferox was proposed for listing as
endangered because of: High
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vulnerability to disease (C); moderate
vulnerability to ocean warming (E) and
acidification (E); high vulnerability to
nutrient over-enrichment (A and E); rare
general range-wide abundance (E);
decreasing trend in abundance (E); low
relative recruitment rate (E); moderate
overall distribution (based on narrow
geographic distribution and wide depth
distribution (E); restriction to the
Caribbean (E); and inadequacy of
regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for M. ferox from
endangered to threatened. We made this
determination based on a more speciesspecific and holistic approach,
including consideration of the buffering
capacity of this species’ spatial and
demographic traits, and the best
available information above on M.
ferox’s spatial structure, demography,
threat susceptibilities, and management.
This combination of factors indicates
that M. ferox is likely to become
endangered throughout its range within
the foreseeable future, and thus
warrants listing as threatened at this
time, because:
(1) Mycetophyllia ferox is highly
susceptible to disease (C) and
susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), acidification (E), trophic
effects of fishing (A), nutrients (A, E),
and sedimentation (A, E). These threats
are expected to continue and increase
into the future. In addition, the species
is at heightened extinction risk due to
inadequate existing regulatory
mechanisms to address global threats
(D);
(2) Mycetophyllia ferox has
experienced significant declines in
Florida and has likely experienced
decline in other locations in its range;
(3) Mycetophyllia ferox has a usually
uncommon to rare occurrence
throughout its range, which heightens
the potential effect of localized
mortality events and leaves the species
vulnerable to becoming of such low
abundance within the foreseeable future
that it may be at risk from depensatory
processes, environmental stochasticity,
or catastrophic events, as explained in
more detail in the Corals and Coral
Reefs and Risk Analyses sections;
(4) Mycetophyllia ferox is
geographically located in the highly
disturbed Caribbean where localized
human impacts are high and threats are
predicted to increase as described in the
Threats Evaluation section. A range
constrained to this particular geographic
area that is likely to experience severe
and increasing threats indicates that a
high proportion of the population of this
species is likely to be exposed to those
threats over the foreseeable future; and
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(5) Mycetophyllia ferox’s low
recruitment limits the capacity for
recovery from threat-induced mortality
events throughout the range over the
foreseeable future.
The combination of these
characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates that the species is
likely to be in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range and warrants listing as
threatened at this time due to factors A,
C, D, and E.
The available information above on
M. ferox’s spatial structure,
demography, threat vulnerabilities, and
management also indicate that the
species is not currently in danger of
extinction and thus does not warrant
listing as Endangered because:
(1) While Mycetophyllia ferox’s
distribution within the Caribbean
increases its risk of exposure to threats
as described above, its depth
distribution is five to 90 m and its
habitat includes various shallow and
mesophotic reef environments. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
currently because the species is not
limited to one habitat type but occurs in
numerous types of reef environments
that will experience highly variable
thermal regimes and ocean chemistry on
local and regional scales at any given
point in time, as described in more
detail in the Coral Habitat and Threats
Evaluation sections. There is no
evidence to suggest that the species is so
spatially fragmented that depensatory
processes, environmental stochasticity,
or the potential for catastrophic events
currently pose a high risk to the survival
of the species; and
(2) Mycetophyllia ferox’s absolute
abundance is at least hundreds of
thousands of colonies based on
estimates from two locations. Absolute
abundance is higher than estimates from
these locations since M. ferox occurs in
many other locations throughout its
range. This absolute abundance allows
for variation in the responses of
individuals to threats to play a role in
moderating vulnerability to extinction
for the species to some degree, as
described in more detail in the Corals
and Coral Reefs section. Its absolute
abundance indicates it is currently able
to avoid high mortality from
environmental stochasticity, and
mortality of a high proportion of its
population from catastrophic events.
The combination of these
characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of
one that is currently in danger of
extinction, as described previously in
the Risk Analyses section, and thus does
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not warrant listing as endangered at this
time.
Range-wide, multitudes of
conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting M.
ferox. However, considering the global
scale of the most important threats to
the species, and the ineffectiveness of
conservation efforts at addressing the
root cause of global threats (i.e., GHG
emissions), we do not believe that any
current conservation efforts or
conservation efforts planned in the
future will result in affecting the
species’ status to the point at which
listing is not warranted.
Genus Dendrogyra
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on morphology
and taxonomy of Dendrogyra.
Dendrogyra cylindrus is the only species
in the genus Dendrogyra. It is easily
identifiable, and there is no taxonomic
confusion. The public comments did
not provide new or supplemental
information on the morphology or
taxonomy of D. cylindrus, and we did
not find any new or supplemental
information.
Dendrogyra cylindrus
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
morphology of D. cylindrus. Dendrogyra
cylindrus forms cylindrical columns on
top of encrusting bases. Colonies are
generally grey-brown in color and may
reach three meters in height. Tentacles
remain extended during the day, giving
columns a furry appearance.
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on D. cylindrus’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Dendrogyra cylindrus is present in the
western Atlantic and throughout the
greater Caribbean. The SRR reports a
single known colony in Bermuda that is
in poor condition. Dendrogyra cylindrus
inhabits most reef environments in
water depths ranging from one to 25 m.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on D.
cylindrus’s distribution, habitat, or
depth range. Supplemental information
we found on D. cylindrus’s distribution,
habitat, and depth range include the
following. Dendrogyra cylindrus is
absent from the southwest Gulf of
Mexico (Tunnell, 1988). There is fossil
evidence of the presence of D. cylindrus
off Panama less than 1000 years ago, but
it has been reported as absent today
(Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation
Commission, 2013). Veron (2014)
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confirms the presence of D. cylindrus in
seven out of a potential 11 ecoregions in
the western Atlantic and widerCaribbean that are known to contain
corals. The four ecoregions in which it
is not reported are the Flower Garden
Banks and off the coasts of Bermuda,
Brazil, and the southeast U.S. north of
south Florida. Although D. cylindrus’s
depth range is 1 to 25 m, it is most
common between five and 15 m depth
(Acosta and Acevedo, 2006; Cairns,
1982; Goreau and Wells, 1967).
All information on D. cylindrus’s
distribution can be summarized as
follows. Dendrogyra cylindrus is
distributed throughout most of the
greater Caribbean in most reef
environments between 1 to 25 m depth.
It currently appears to be absent from
Panama where it historically occurred
within the last 1000 years.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on D. cylindrus’s
abundance and population trends.
Dendrogyra cylindrus is uncommon but
conspicuous with scattered, isolated
colonies. It is rarely found in
aggregations. Dendrogyra cylindrus has
been reported to be common on
Pleistocene reefs around Grand Cayman,
but rare on modern reefs. In monitoring
studies, cover is generally less than one
percent. Between 2005 and 2007, mean
density of D. cylindrus was
approximately 0.5 colonies per 10 m2 in
the Florida Keys. In a study of D.
cylindrus demographics at Providencia
Island, Colombia, a total of 283 D.
cylindrus colonies were detected in a
survey of 1.66 km2 for and overall
density of 172.0 ± 177.0 (SE) colonies
per km2.
The public comments provided
supplemental information on D.
cylindrus’s abundance but not on
population trends. In stratified random
samples of the Florida Keys, D.
cylindrus ranked least common out of
47 coral species in 2005 and 41 out of
43 species in 2009. Based on random
surveys stratified by habitat type,
extrapolated abundance for the Florida
Keys was 23,000 ± 23,000 (SE) colonies
in 2005 and 25,000 ± 25,000 (SE)
colonies in 2009. Because these
population estimates were based on
random sampling, differences between
years is more likely a function of
sampling effort rather than an indication
of population trends. All D. cylindrus
colonies reported in 2005 were in the 70
to 80 cm diameter size class with less
than two percent partial mortality. Four
years later in 2009, all reported colonies
were greater than 90 cm. No D.
cylindrus colonies were encountered in
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600 surveys from Key Biscayne to Key
West, Florida in 2012, with the authors
noting sampling design was not
optimized for this species. This species
was not reported in the Dry Tortugas in
2006 and 2008, and rarely encountered
during pilot studies conducted over
several years (1999 to 2002) ranking
49th out of 49 coral species (Miller et
al., 2013).
Supplemental information we found
on D. cylindrus’s abundance and
population trends confirms the
uncommon occurrence, rare encounter
rate, low percent cover, and low
density. During surveys of Utila,
Honduras between 1999 and 2000, D.
cylindrus was sighted in 19.6 percent of
784 surveys and ranked 26th most
common in abundance out of 48 coral
species (Afzal et al., 2001). In surveys of
the upper Florida Keys in 2011, D.
cylindrus was the second rarest out of
37 coral species and encountered at one
percent of sites (Miller et al., 2011b).
In stratified random surveys from
Palm Beach County to the Dry Tortugas,
Florida between 2005 and 2010, D.
cylindrus was seen only on the ridge
complex and mid-channel reefs at
densities of 1.09 and 0.1 colonies per 10
m2, respectively (Burman et al., 2012).
Average number of D. cylindrus
colonies in remote reefs off southwest
Cuba was 0.013 ± 0.045 colonies per 10
m transect, and the species ranked sixth
rarest out of 38 coral species (Alcolado
et al., 2010).
Out of 283 D. cylindrus colonies at
Providencia Island, Colombia, 70 were
fragments resulting from asexual
fragmentation, and no sexual recruits
were observed. Size class distribution
was skewed to smaller size classes less
than 60 cm in height, and average
colony height was 73.8 ± 46.0 cm
(Acosta and Acevedo, 2006).
Dendrogyra cylindrus’s average
percent cover was 0.002 on patch reefs
and 0.303 in shallow offshore reefs in
annual surveys of 37 sites in the Florida
Keys between 1996 and 2003
(Somerfield et al., 2008). At permanent
monitoring stations in the U.S. Virgin
Islands, D. cylindrus has been observed
in low abundance at 10 of 33 sites and,
where present, ranged in cover from less
than 0.05 percent to 0.22 percent
(Smith, 2013). In Dominica, D. cylindrus
comprised less than 0.9 percent cover
and was present at 13.3 percent of 31
surveyed sites (Steiner, 2003). At seven
fringing reefs off Barbados, D. cylindrus
was observed on one reef, and cover was
2.7 ± 1.4 percent (Tomascik and Sander,
1987). In monitored photo-stations in
Roatan, Honduras, cover of D. cylindrus
increased slightly from 1.35 percent in
1996 to 1.67 percent in 1999 and then
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declined to 0.44 percent in 2003 and
0.43 percent in 2005 (Riegl et al., 2009).
In the U.S. Virgin Islands, seven percent
of 26 monitored colonies experienced
total colony mortality between 2005 and
2007, though the very low cover of D.
cylindrus (0.04 percent) remained
relatively stable during this time period
(Smith et al., 2013b).
All sources of information on D.
cylindrus’s abundance and population
trends can be summarized as follows.
Based on population estimates, there are
at least tens of thousands of D. cylindrus
colonies present in the Florida Keys.
Absolute abundance is higher than the
estimate from this location given the
presence of this species in many other
locations throughout its range. Although
there is evidence of potentially higher
population levels in some areas of the
Caribbean during the Pleistocence, D.
cylindrus is currently uncommon to
rare. Few studies report D. cylindrus
population trends, and the low
abundance and infrequent encounter
rate in monitoring programs result in
small samples sizes. The low coral cover
of this species renders monitoring data
difficult to extrapolate to realize trends.
Therefore, we conclude that D.
cylindrus is naturally uncommon to rare
and that trends are unknown.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on D. cylindrus’s
life history. Dendrogyra cylindrus is a
gonochoric (separate sexes) broadcast
spawning species with relatively low
annual egg production for its size. The
combination of gonochoric spawning
with persistently low population
densities is expected to yield low rates
of successful fertilization and low larval
supply. Sexual recruitment of this
species is low, and reported juvenile
colonies in the Caribbean are lacking.
Dendrogyra cylindrus can propagate by
fragmentation following storms or other
physical disturbance. Average growth
rates of 1.8 to 2.0 cm per year in linear
extension have been reported in the
Florida Keys compared to 0.8 cm per
year in Colombia and Curacao. Partial
¸
mortality rates are size-specific with
larger colonies having greater rates.
Frequency of partial mortality can be
high (65 percent of 185 colonies
surveyed in Colombia), while the
amount of partial mortality per colony
is generally low (average of 3 percent of
tissue area affected per colony).
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on D.
cylindrus’s life history. Supplemental
information we found on D. cylindrus’s
life history includes the following.
Spawning observations have been made
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several nights after the full moon of
August in the Florida Keys (Neely et al.,
2013; Waddell and Clarke, 2008).
Darling et al. (2012) performed a
biological trait-based analysis to
categorize coral species into four life
history strategies: Generalist, weedy,
competitive, and stress-tolerant. The
classifications were primarily separated
by colony morphology, growth rate, and
reproductive mode. Dendrogyra
cylindrus was classified as a
‘‘competitive’’ species, thus likely more
vulnerable to environmental stress.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following other biological information
for D. cylindrus. Dendrogyra cylindrus
appears to be sensitive to cold
temperatures. Feeding rates (removal of
suspended particles in seawater) are low
relative to most other Caribbean corals,
indicating it is primarily a tentacle
feeder rather than a suspension feeder.
However, D. cylindrus has a relatively
high photosynthetic rate, and stable
isotope values suggest it receives
substantial amounts of photosynthetic
products from its zooxanthellae.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental biological
information for D. cylindrus.
Supplemental information we found
confirms that D. cylindrus is sensitive to
cold temperatures and is summarized as
follows. In laboratory studies of cold
shock, D. cylindrus had the highest
zooxanthellae expulsion rate of three
species tested at 12 degrees C
(Muscatine et al., 1991). During the
2010 cold water event in the Florida
Keys, D. cylindrus was one of the most
affected coral species with 100 percent
mortality on surveyed inshore reefs
(Kemp et al., 2011).
Susceptibility to Threats
The threat susceptibility information
from the SRR and SIR was interpreted
in the proposed rule for D. cylindrus’s
vulnerabilities to threats as follows:
High vulnerability to disease; moderate
vulnerability to ocean warming,
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, and nutrient enrichment;
and low vulnerability to sea level rise,
predation, and collection and trade.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
susceptibility of D. cylindrus to ocean
warming. There are conflicting
characterizations of bleaching
susceptibility of D. cylindrus in the
literature. The species was bleachingresistant during the 1983 massbleaching event in Florida.
Characterizations of the 2005 massbleaching event in southern Florida and
in the U.S. Virgin Islands noted that no
bleached D. cylindrus colonies were
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observed, but during the same event in
Barbados 100 percent of 15 D. cylindrus
colonies bleached.
Van Woesik et al. (2012) developed a
coral resiliency index based on
biological traits and processes to
evaluate extinction risk due to
bleaching. Evaluations were performed
at the genus level. They rated the
resiliency of D. cylindrus as 3 out of a
range of ¥6 to 7 observed in other coral
genera. Less than or equal to ¥3 was
considered highly vulnerable to
extinction, and greater than or equal to
4 was considered highly tolerant. Thus,
D. cylindrus was rated as moderately
tolerant. While this study was included
in the SIR, species-specific findings for
Dendrogyra were not included. The
public comments (Comment 47)
indicated the results of this study
should be considered in the listing
status of D. cylindrus.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of D. cylindrus to ocean
warming. Supplemental information we
found confirms the variable
susceptibility of D. cylindrus to ocean
warming and bleaching. Dendrogyra
cylindrus was among 42 species
reported not to have bleached at various
locations in the western Atlantic
(British Virgin Islands, Jamaica, and
Mona Island) during the 1987 bleaching
event, while the authors noted these
species were reported bleached at other
locations or other areas by others
(Williams and Bunkley-Williams, 1990).
None of the 18 D. cylindrus colonies
monitored in Roatan, Honduras
experienced bleaching or mortality in
the 1998 event where bleaching ranged
from zero to 89 percent in the 22 species
monitored (Riegl et al., 2009). Across 12
locations in Puerto Rico, 100 percent of
D. cylindrus colonies bleached during
the 2005 temperature anomaly (Waddell
and Clarke, 2008). However, Bruckner
and Hill (2009) report less severe D.
cylindrus bleaching during the 2005
event in Puerto Rico; approximately 25
percent paled and 10 percent bleached
on reefs off Mona and Desecheo Islands,
which was relatively low compared to
some other species such as Orbicella
faveolata, which had approximately 60
percent bleached colonies. At Dairy Bull
Reef in Jamaica, 50 percent of D.
cylindrus colonies bleached during the
2005 bleaching event, but no mortality
was reported for this species (Quinn and
Kojis, 2008). An average of 33 percent
of the monitored D. cylindrus colonies
in the U.S. Virgin Islands bleached in
2005, and 67 percent paled. None of the
monitored colonies bleached or paled
during the less severe 2010 bleaching
event (Smith et al., 2013b).
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All sources of information are used to
describe D. cylindrus’s susceptibility to
ocean warming as follows. There are
conflicting characterizations of the
susceptibility of D. cylindrus to
bleaching. Some locations experienced
high bleaching of up to 100 percent of
D. cylindrus colonies during the 2005
Caribbean bleaching event while others
had a smaller proportion of colonies
bleach (10 to 50 percent). Reports of low
mortality after less severe bleaching
indicate potential resilience, though
mortality information is absent from
locations that reported high bleaching
frequency. Although bleaching of most
coral species is spatially and temporally
variable, understanding the
susceptibility of D. cylindrus is further
confounded by the species’ rarity and,
hence, low sample size in any given
survey. We conclude that although D.
cylindrus appears to have resistance to
bleaching from warmer temperatures in
some portions of its range under some
circumstances, it is likely to have some
susceptibility to ocean warming, given
the high rates of bleaching observed at
times. However, the available
information does not support a more
detailed description of susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
susceptibility of D. cylindrus to
acidification. No specific research has
addressed the effects of acidification on
the genus Dendrogyra. However, most
corals studied have shown negative
relationships between acidification and
growth, and acidification is likely to
contribute to reef destruction in the
future. While ocean acidification has
not been demonstrated to have caused
appreciable declines in coral
populations so far, it is considered a
significant threat to corals by 2100.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of D. cylindrus to
acidification, and we did not find any
new or supplemental information.
All sources of information are used to
describe D. cylindrus’s susceptibility to
acidification as follows. Dendrogyra
cylindrus likely has some susceptibility
to acidification, but the available
information does not support a more
precise description of susceptibility to
this threat.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
susceptibility of D. cylindrus to disease.
Dendrogyra cylindrus is susceptible to
black band disease and white plague,
though impacts from white plague are
likely more extensive because of rapid
progression rates. The large colony size
suggests that individual colonies are
less likely to suffer complete mortality
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from a given disease exposure, but low
colony density suggests that even small
degrees of mortality increase extinction
risk.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of D. cylindrus to disease.
Supplemental information we found on
the susceptibility of D. cylindrus to
disease includes the following. In a
January 2002 survey at Providencia
Island, Colombia, 4.2 percent of D.
cylindrus colonies (n=185) exhibited
white plague type II (Acosta and
Acevedo, 2006). The prevalence of
diseased D. cylindrus colonies was
approximately three percent in Mexico
from 2002 to 2004 (Ward et al., 2006).
Though white diseases were reported to
cause colony mortality in some coral
species in the U.S. Virgin Islands after
the 2005 Caribbean bleaching event,
none of the monitored D. cylindrus
colonies exhibited signs of white
disease (Smith et al., 2013b).
All sources of information are used to
describe D. cylindrus’s susceptibility to
disease as follows. Disease appears to be
present in about three to four percent of
the population in some locations.
Because no studies have tracked disease
progression in D. cylindrus, the effects
of disease are uncertain at both the
colony and population level. However,
the reported low partial mortality and
large colony size suggest that individual
colonies are less likely to suffer
complete colony mortality from a given
disease exposure. Therefore, we
conclude that D. cylindrus has some
susceptibility to disease, but the
available information does not support
a more precise description of
susceptibility to this threat.
The SIR and SRR did not provide any
species-specific information on the
trophic effects of fishing on D.
cylindrus. The public comments did not
provide new or supplemental
information, and we did not find new or
supplemental information on the
trophic effects of fishing on D.
cylindrus. However, due to the level of
reef fishing conducted in the Caribbean,
coupled with Diadema die-off and lack
of significant recovery, competition
with algae can adversely affect coral
recruitment. This effect coupled with
the species’ low recruitment rate
indicates it likely has some
susceptibility to the trophic effects of
fishing. The available information does
not support a more precise description
of its susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
susceptibility of D. cylindrus to
sedimentation. The rate of sand removal
from D. cylindrus tissues in laboratory
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conditions was intermediate among 19
Caribbean coral species tested.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of D. cylindrus to
sedimentation. Supplemental
information we found includes the
following. Dendrogyra cylindrus, along
with Acropora spp. and Meandrina
meandrites, was found in fossil
assemblages only on the reef tract and
not on the lagoonal patch reefs around
Grand Cayman, suggesting that this
species may be ineffective at sediment
rejection like the other two species or
may be intolerant of turbidity (Hunter
and Jones, 1996).
All sources of information are used to
describe D. cylindrus’s susceptibility to
sedimentation as follows. Dendrogyra
cylindrus appears to be moderately
capable of removing sediment from its
tissue. However, D. cylindrus may be
more sensitive to turbidity due to its
high reliance on nutrition from
photosynthesis and as evidenced by the
geologic record. Therefore, we conclude
that D. cylindrus has some susceptibility
to sedimentation, but the available
information does not support a more
precise description of susceptibility to
this threat.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
susceptibility of D. cylindrus to nutrient
enrichment. Along a eutrophication
gradient in Barbados, D. cylindrus was
found at a single site, one of those
farthest removed from pollution. The
public comments did not provide new
or supplemental on the susceptibility of
D. cylindrus to nutrient enrichment, and
we did not find any new or
supplemental information.
All sources of information are used to
describe D. cylindrus’s susceptibility to
nutrient enrichment as follows.
Dendrogyra cylindrus may be
susceptible to nutrient enrichment as
evidenced by its absence from eutrophic
sites in one location. However, there is
uncertainty about whether its absence is
a result of eutrophic conditions or a
result of its naturally uncommon or rare
occurrence. Therefore, we conclude that
D. cylindrus likely has some
susceptibility to nutrient enrichment.
However, the available information does
not support a more precise description
of its susceptibility to this threat.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
susceptibility of D. cylindrus to
predation. The corallivorous fireworm
Hermodice carunculata has been
observed feeding on diseased colonies
of D. cylindrus, but generally, predation
is not observed to cause noticeable
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mortality on D. cylindrus, despite its
rarity.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on D.
cylindrus’s susceptibility to predation.
Supplemental information we found
includes the following. The sea urchin,
Diadema antillarum, has been reported
to cause partial mortality at the base of
D. cylindrus colonies (Acosta and
Acevedo, 2006).
All sources of information are used to
describe D. cylindrus’s susceptibility to
predation as follows. The low amounts
of observed mortality indicate D.
cylindrus has low susceptibility to
predation.
The SRR and SIR did not provide
species-specific information on the
effects of sea level rise on D. cylindrus.
The SRR described sea level rise as an
overall low to medium threat for all
coral species. The public comments did
not provide new or supplemental
information on D. cylindrus’s
susceptibility to sea level rise, and we
did not find any new or supplemental
information. Thus, we conclude that D.
cylindrus has some susceptibility to sea
level rise, but the available information
does not support a more precise
description of susceptibility to this
threat.
The SRR and SIR provided
information on D. cylindrus’s
susceptibility to collection and trade.
Overall trade reports indicate very low
rates of international trade of D.
cylindrus. It is possible that historical
curio collecting of D. cylindrus may
have significantly reduced populations
off Florida.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information of the
susceptibility of D. cylindrus to
collection and trade. Supplemental
information we found confirms what
was provided by the SRR and SIR. Prior
to its ban in the 1980s, collection of D.
cylindrus for curios was once
widespread off the coast of Florida
(Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation
Commission, 2013). From 2000 to 2012,
international trade of this species was
low with gross exports ranging from
zero to nine corals per year (average less
than two per year; data available at
https://trade.cites.org).
All sources of information are used to
describe D. cylindrus’s susceptibility to
collection and trade as follows. In the
past, collection and trade may have had
a large effect on the population in some
locations like Florida. However,
collection and trade likely does not have
a large impact on the population
currently. Therefore, we conclude that
the susceptibility of D. cylindrus to
collection and trade is currently low.
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Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we relied on
information from the Final Management
Report for evaluating the existing
regulatory mechanisms for controlling
threats to all corals. However, we did
not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
D. cylindrus. Public comments were
critical of that approach, and we
therefore attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms and conservation efforts on
a species basis, where possible, in this
final rule. Records confirm that D.
cylindrus occurs in seven Atlantic
ecoregions that encompass 26
kingdom’s and countries’ EEZs. The 26
kingdoms and countries are Antigua &
Barbuda, Bahamas, Barbados, Belize,
Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominica,
Dominican Republic, French Antilles,
Grenada, Guatemala, Haiti, Kingdom of
the Netherlands, Honduras, Jamaica,
Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, St. Kitts &
Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent &
Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago,
United Kingdom (British Caribbean
Territories), United States (including
U.S. Caribbean Territories), and
Venezuela. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to D. cylindrus, described first
as a percentage of the above kingdoms
and countries that utilize them to any
degree, and, second as the percentages
of those kingdoms and countries whose
regulatory mechanisms may be limited
in scope, are as follows: General coral
protection (31 percent with 12 percent
limited in scope), coral collection (50
percent with 27 percent limited in
scope), pollution control (31 percent
with 15 percent limited in scope),
fishing regulations on reefs (73 percent
with 50 percent limited in scope),
managing areas for protection and
conservation (88 percent with 31
percent limited in scope). The most
common regulatory mechanisms in
place for D. cylindrus are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. However,
half of the reef fishing regulations are
limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection for the species.
General coral protection and collection
laws, along with pollution control laws,
are much less common regulatory
mechanisms for the management of D.
cylindrus.
Dendrogyra cylindrus is listed as
threatened on the State of Florida
endangered and threatened species list.
The state has an action plan for
conservation of the species with several
objectives including stabilizing or
increasing the existing population, the
current area of occupancy, and the
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number of sexually mature individuals
and evaluating the reproductive
potential of the population over the next
decade (Florida Fish and Wildlife
Conservation Commission, 2013).
However, the management plan
recognizes that there are threats to D.
cylindrus that need to be addressed
outside the scope of the plan in order to
improve the status of this species.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its demographic and
spatial characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that the factors that increase the
extinction risk for D. cylindrus include
the overall low population density and
low population size, gonochoric
spawning mode and lack of observed
sexual recruitment, and susceptibility to
observed disease mortality. The SRR
acknowledged that, given the apparent
naturally rare status of this species,
some undescribed adaptations to low
population density may exist in this
species, particularly with regard to
overcoming fertilization limitation
between spawned gametes from
gonochoric parent colonies that are at
great distance from one another.
Nonetheless, the pervasiveness of
threats characterizing the Caribbean
region was deemed to represent
substantial extinction risk given this
species’ low population size.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species’
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of D.
cylindrus, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Dendrogyra cylindrus
is susceptible to a number of threats, but
there is little evidence of population
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declines thus far. Despite the large
number of islands and environments
that are included in the species’ range,
geographic distribution in the highly
disturbed Caribbean exacerbates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because D. cylindrus
is limited to an area with high, localized
human impacts and predicted
increasing threats. Dendrogyra cylindrus
inhabits most reef environments in
water depths ranging from 1 to 25 m
which moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species occurs in numerous
types of reef environments that are
predicted, on local and regional scales,
to experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time. It is naturally rare.
Estimates of absolute abundance are at
least tens of thousands of colonies in the
Florida Keys, and absolute abundance is
higher than estimates from this location
due to the occurrence of the species in
many other areas throughout its range.
It is a gonochoric broadcast spawner
with observed low sexual recruitment.
Its low abundance, combined with its
geographic location, exacerbates
vulnerability to extinction because
increasingly severe conditions within
the species’ range are likely to affect a
high proportion of its population at any
given point in time, and low sexual
recruitment is likely to inhibit recovery
potential from mortality events, further
exacerbating its vulnerability to
extinction.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the
determination tool formula approach, D.
cylindrus was proposed for listing as
endangered because of: High
vulnerability to disease (C); moderate
vulnerability to ocean warming (E) and
acidification (E); rare general range-wide
abundance (E); low relative recruitment
rate (E); narrow overall distribution
(based on narrow geographic
distribution and moderate depth
distribution (E); restriction to the
Caribbean (E); and inadequacy of
regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for D. cylindrus
from endangered to threatened. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
approach, including consideration of
the buffering capacity of this species’
spatial and demographic traits, and the
best available information above on D.
cylindrus’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management. This combination of
factors indicates that D. cylindrus is
likely to become endangered throughout
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its range within the foreseeable future,
and thus warrants listing as threatened
at this time, because:
(1) Dendrogyra cylindrus is
susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), disease (C), acidification (E),
nutrient enrichment (A and E),
sedimentation (A and E), and trophic
effects of fishing (A). These threats are
expected to continue and increase into
the future. In addition, the species is at
heightened extinction risk due to
inadequate existing regulatory
mechanisms to address global threats
(D).
(2) Dendrogyra cylindrus is
geographically located in the highly
disturbed Caribbean where localized
human impacts are high and threats are
predicted to increase as described in the
Threats Evaluation section. A range
constrained to this particular geographic
area that is likely to experience severe
and increasing threats indicates that a
high proportion of the population of this
species is likely to be exposed to those
threats over the foreseeable future;
(3) Dendrogyra cylindrus has an
uncommon to rare occurrence
throughout its range, which heightens
the potential effect of localized
mortality events and leaves the species
vulnerable to becoming of such low
abundance within the foreseeable future
that it may be at risk from depensatory
processes, environmental stochasticity,
or catastrophic events, as explained in
more detail in the Corals and Coral
Reefs and Risk Analyses sections; and
(4) Dendrogyra cylindrus’s low sexual
recruitment limits its capacity for
recovery from threat-induced mortality
events throughout its range over the
foreseeable future.
The combination of these
characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates the species is likely to
be in danger of extinction within the
foreseeable future throughout its range
and warrants listing as threatened at this
time due to factors A, C, D, and E.
The available information above on D.
cylindrus spatial structure, demography,
threat susceptibilities, and management
also indicate that the species is not
currently in danger of extinction and
thus does not warrant listing as
Endangered because:
(1) There is little evidence of D.
cylindrus population declines (i.e., the
species continues to be naturally rare);
(2) Dendrogyra cylindrus shows
evidence of resistance to bleaching from
warmer temperatures in some portions
of its range under some circumstances
(e.g., Roatan, Honduras); and
(3) While D. cylindrus’s distribution
within the Caribbean increases its risk
of exposure to threats as described
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above, its habitat includes most reef
environments in water depths ranging
from one to 25 m. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction currently
because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous
types of reef environments that will
experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry on local
and regional scales at any given point in
time, as described in more detail in the
Coral Habitat and Threats Evaluation
sections.
The combination of these
characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of
one that is currently in danger of
extinction, as described previously in
the Risk Analyses section, and thus does
not warrant listing as endangered at this
time.
Last, D. cylindrus is listed as
threatened on the State of Florida
endangered and threatened species list,
and an action plan for conservation has
recently been developed.
Implementation of the action plan will
no doubt have benefits to the species,
but it is too soon to evaluate its
effectiveness for conserving the species.
Further, considering the global scale of
the most important threats to the
species, and the ineffectiveness of
conservation efforts at addressing the
root cause of global threats (i.e., GHG
emissions), we do not believe that any
current conservation efforts or
conservation efforts planned in the
future will result in affecting the
species’ status to the point at which
listing is not warranted.
Genus Dichocoenia
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on Dichocoenia’s
morphology and taxonomy. There are
potentially two species in the genus
Dichocoenia: Dichocoenia stokesi and
Dichocoenia stellaris. Dichocoenia
stellaris has been described as differing
from D. stokesi by its pancake-like
colony morphology and dominance of
smaller, circular calices. Some coral
taxonomists consider there to be only
one species, D. stokesi, as specimens
have all variations of skeletal shape and
valley length. The public comments did
not provide any new or supplemental
information on Dichocoenia’s taxonomy
or morphology, and we did not find any
new or supplemental information.
Most studies over the last several
decades describe D. stokesi and do not
separately report data for colonies with
D. stellaris morphology. Because D.
stokesi was petitioned for listing and D.
stellaris was not, we considered all
information on D. stokesi and did not
consider information on D. stellaris,
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53929
despite some uncertainty of whether or
not these are the same species. If D.
stokesi is accepted to include all sizes
of calices, it is easy to identify; if not
then species delineations are somewhat
arbitrary. We did not find any
supplemental information on
Dichocoenia’s taxonomy.
Dichocoenia stokesi
Introduction
Dichocoenia stokesi forms moundingspherical colonies that are usually
orange-brown but sometimes green.
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on D. stokesi’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Dichocoenia stokesi is located in the
western Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico
(including the Florida Middle Grounds
and Flower Garden Banks), and
throughout the Caribbean. It is also
reported in Bermuda, though it is rare.
Dichocoenia stokesi occurs in most reef
environments within its range,
including mesophotic reefs, back- and
fore-reef environments, rocky reefs,
lagoons, spur-and-groove formations,
channels, and occasionally at the base of
reefs. It has been reported in water
depths ranging from two to 72 m.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on D. stokesi’s distribution, habitat, or
depth range. Supplemental information
we found includes the following. Veron
(2014) confirmed the occurrence of D.
stokesi in nine out of 11 ecoregions in
the western Atlantic and widerCaribbean known to contain corals. The
two ecoregions in which it is not
reported are off the coasts of Brazil, and
the southeast U.S. north of south
Florida. Kahng et al. (2010) report that
D. stokesi is relatively abundant and
dominates the coral community on
mesophotic reefs greater than 40 m
depth in the northern Gulf of Mexico
but not in Belize, Puerto Rico, U.S.
Virgin Islands, Jamaica, Curacao,
Florida, Bermuda, Bahamas, or
Barbados.
All information on D. stokesi’s
distribution can be summarized as
follows. Dichocoenia stokesi is
distributed throughout most of the
greater Caribbean in most reef
environments within its range,
including mesophotic reefs.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on D. stokesi
abundance. Dichocoenia stokesi is
characterized as usually uncommon. In
surveys of southeast Florida and the
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Florida Keys between 2005 and 2007, D.
stokesi comprised between 1.8 and 7.0
percent of all coral colonies observed
and was present at a density of
approximately 1.7 colonies per 10 m2,
which was the ninth most abundant out
of an observed 43 coral species.
The public comments provided the
following supplemental information on
D. stokesi’s abundance. In stratified
random surveys conducted by Miller et
al. (2013) in the Florida Keys, D. stokesi
ranked as the 8th most abundant species
or higher in 2005, 2009, and 2012.
Extrapolated abundance was 97.8 ± 13.1
(SE) million colonies in 2005, 53.8 ± 9.7
(SE) million colonies in 2009, and 81.6
± 10.0 (SE) million colonies in 2012.
Because population estimates were
based on random sampling, differences
between years are more likely a function
of sampling effort rather than an
indication of population trends. Most
colonies were 30 cm or less in size, and
size class distributions remained similar
among the three sample periods (2005,
2009, and 2012). Larger colonies
typically exhibited more partial
mortality, which ranged between 20 and
80 percent for colonies larger than 10
cm.
In the Dry Tortugas, D. stokesi was
ranked 12th and 14th most common in
2006 and 2008, respectively.
Extrapolated colony abundance was
12.1 ± 4.1 (SE) million colonies in 2006
and 7.1 ± 1.1 (SE) million colonies in
2008. All D. stokesi colonies observed
were 40 cm or less in 2006, and 20 cm
or less in 2008. Partial mortality was
higher in larger colonies and ranged
from approximately 20 to 65 percent in
colonies larger than 10 cm (Miller et al.,
2013).
Supplemental information we found
on D. stokesi’s abundance includes the
following. In surveys of Utila, Honduras
between 1999 and 2000, D. stokesi was
the eighth most common species and
was sighted in 52.6 percent of 784
surveys (Afzal et al., 2001). Dichocoenia
stokesi has been observed in low
abundance at 17 of 33 monitoring sites
in the U.S. Virgin Islands and is the
33rd most common species by percent
cover (Smith, 2013). Off southeast
Florida, D. stokesi comprised 6.8
percent of the coral population between
9 and 32 m depth and was ranked the
5th most abundant coral species out of
27 coral species encountered (Goldberg,
1973). In surveys of Conch Reef in the
Florida Keys in 1995, juvenile D. stokesi
comprised between approximately two
and six percent of the overall juvenile
coral population, and the highest
proportion occurred at 14 m and
decreased with depth (Edmunds et al.,
2004). Off South Caicos Island, D.
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stokesi was most frequently
encountered on shallow pavement (9 m)
and comprised 15 percent of all coral
colonies counted; however on the
deeper spur and groove (18 m) and forereef (27 m), it comprised 2 and 0.7
percent of colonies counted,
respectively (Steiner, 1999). Bak and
Meesters (1999) report that about 50
percent of D. stokesi colonies surveyed
in Florida and Curacao were in the 10
to 20 cm size class.
Between 1996 and 2003, average
cover of D. stokesi per habitat type
ranged from 0.02 to 0.12 percent in the
Florida Keys and was highest on patch
reefs (Somerfield et al., 2008). Of three
sites surveyed in Bermuda, cover of D.
stokesi was 0.02 ± 0.03 percent at one
site (Dodge et al., 1982). In surveys off
Colombia from 1998 to 2004, D. stokesi
cover ranged from 0.02 to 0.6 percent,
but the species was only present in nine
out of 32 sites (Rodriguez-Ramirez et al.,
2010). In the Bahamas Archipelago,
cover of D. stokesi was on average 0.01
to 0.02 percent in 2002 to 2004 (Roff et
al., 2011). In Dominica, D. stokesi was
observed in 47 percent of 31 sites
surveyed and comprised less than one
percent cover (Steiner, 2003).
Dichocoenia stokesi was present on four
out of seven fringing reefs off Barbados
and comprised between 0.1 and 0.6
percent cover (Tomascik and Sander,
1987).
On remote reefs off southwest Cuba,
D. stokesi was observed on 30 reef front
sites at densities of 0.052 ± 0.096 (SD)
colonies per 10 m transect, but was not
observed at any of the 38 surveys of the
reef crest (Alcolado et al., 2010). In
1,176 sites surveyed in southeast
Florida and the Florida Keys between
2005 and 2010, density of D. stokesi
ranged from 0.07 to 2.35 colonies per 10
m2 on reef zones where they were
found, and this species was the eighth
most abundant species out of 42 coral
species encountered (Burman et al.,
2012).
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on population
trends of D. stokesi. A comparison of
survey data from 19 sites in Spaanse
Water, Curacao in 1961 and 1992
indicated an 80 percent decrease in
relative abundance of D. stokesi
between the two survey periods. In
surveys of the Florida Keys between
1995 and 2002 during and after a
disease outbreak, the average number of
D. stokesi colonies per 314-m2 site
decreased from 44.3 to 11.2, a decline of
almost 75 percent. The maximum
number of D. stokesi colonies per site
decreased from 95 to 43, and the
minimum number of colonies per site
decreased from ten to one. There was a
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shift in the size class distribution
between 1998 and 2002 with a decrease
in the frequency of smaller size classes
and a shift from dominance by smaller
size classes to a more even distribution
across small to larger size classes. Two
D. stokesi recruits were found after the
disease but did not survive to the
following year. No colonies greater than
25 cm were observed in 1998, four years
later (2002) many colonies greater than
25 cm were observed up to 55 cm.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on D.
stokesi’s population trends, and we did
not find any new or supplemental
information.
All information on D. stokesi’s
abundance and population trends can
be summarized as follows. Dichocoenia
stokesi has been characterized as
usually uncommon but is usually
reported as one of the top 10 most
abundant species where estimates are
available. Based on population
estimates, there are at least tens of
millions of D. stokesi colonies present in
both the Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas.
Absolute abundance is higher than the
estimate from these two locations given
the presence of this species in many
other locations throughout its range.
The characterization of its occurrence as
usually uncommon gives the impression
of a lower population abundance than is
indicated by population estimates.
Density estimates range from 0.05 to
2.35 colonies per 10 m2. The sometimes
low density and small colony size result
in low percent cover estimates,
generally between 0.01 and less than 1
percent, and make it difficult to track
population trends from percent cover
data. Trend data indicate D. stokesi has
decreased in abundance in at least two
locations (i.e., the Florida Keys, and a
bay in Curacao). Presence of juveniles in
several locations indicates recruitment
is occurring. Recovery from severe
population declines in the Florida Keys
after a disease event was not reported
seven years later. Thus, we conclude
that population decline has occurred in
some locations and that the species’
absolute abundance is greater than
hundreds of millions of colonies.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on D. stokesi’s
life history. Dichocoenia stokesi is a
gonochoric broadcast spawner with an
overall sex ratio of 2 to 1 (male to
female) in southeast Florida where a
small portion of hermaphroditic
colonies (approximately 18 percent)
were observed. Minimum size at
reproduction was 160 cm2, and two
potential spawning events per year were
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inferred: one in late August/early
September and a second in October.
Recruitment levels, inferred from the
presence of juveniles, is intermediate
compared to other Caribbean coral
species. Very low densities of
Dichocoenia juveniles (approximately
one percent of total juvenile colonies)
have been observed in the Netherlands
Antilles. Mean D. stokesi juvenile
density among 566 sites surveyed
during 1999 to 2009 averaged 0.11 per
m2 but reached as high as one juvenile
per m2 in certain habitats. The annual
growth rate of D. stokesi has been
reported as 2 to 7 mm per year in
diameter and 2 to 5.2 mm per year in
height.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
life history of D. stokesi. Supplemental
information we found on the life history
of D. stokesi includes the following.
Chiappone and Sullivan (1996) reported
density of juvenile D. stokesi range from
0.02 to 0.26 per m2 at five out of nine
sites surveyed in the Florida Keys
between 1993 and 1994. Darling et al.
(2012) performed a biological trait-based
analysis to categorize coral species into
four life history strategies: Generalist,
weedy, competitive, and stress-tolerant.
The classifications were primarily
separated by colony morphology,
growth rate, and reproductive mode.
Dichocoenia stokesi was classified as a
‘‘stress-tolerant’’ species, thus likely
more tolerant of environmental stress.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following other biological information
about D. stokesi. The mounding
morphology and large corallite diameter
of D. stokesi enhance turbulence near
the surface of colonies. This should, in
turn, enhance mass transfer, which
affects photosynthesis and respiration in
D. stokesi as well as prey capture and
nutrient uptake. Thresholds for uptake
of inorganic nitrogen in D. stokesi have
been reported to be fairly low (150 nM),
giving it a potential advantage in
nutrient-poor conditions.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on D.
stokesi’s biology. Supplemental
information we found on D. stokesi’s
biology includes the following. At 76
sites surveyed in the Florida Keys
during the 2010 cold-water event,
approximately 15 percent of D. stokesi
paled, and approximately one percent
bleached. Mortality was approximately
four percent (The Nature Conservancy,
2010).
Susceptibility to Threats
The threat susceptibility information
from the SRR and SIR was interpreted
in the proposed rule for D. stokesi’s
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vulnerabilities to threats as follows:
High vulnerability to disease; moderate
vulnerability to ocean warming,
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
and sedimentation; and low
vulnerability to sea level rise, predation,
and collection and trade.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
susceptibility of D. stokesi to ocean
warming. Of the 28 coral species that
bleached along the Florida reef tract
from Martin County through the lower
Florida Keys from 2005 to 2007, D.
stokesi had the lowest bleaching
prevalence. During the 2005 Caribbean
mass-bleaching event, it ranked 16th of
21 species in bleaching prevalence in
Barbados and was observed to be
bleaching-tolerant in the U.S. Virgin
Islands.
Van Woesik et al. (2012) developed a
coral resiliency index based on
biological traits and processes to
evaluate extinction risk due to
bleaching. Evaluations were performed
at the genus level. They rated the
resiliency of Dichocoenia as 0 out of a
range of ¥6 to 7 observed in other coral
genera. Less than or equal to ¥3 was
considered highly vulnerable to
extinction, and greater than or equal to
4 was considered highly tolerant. Thus,
Dichocoenia was rated in the middle.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of D. stokesi to ocean
warming. Supplemental information we
found on the susceptibility of D. stokesi
to ocean warming includes the
following. During the 1998 bleaching
event, an average of 20 percent of D.
stokesi colonies were greater than 50
percent bleached in the lower Florida
Keys and Dry Tortugas; however, this
was the lowest of 14 species that
bleached (Waddell, 2005). Of the 22
species monitored off Roatan, Honduras,
D. stokesi was one of eight species that
did not bleach during the 1998
bleaching event (Riegl et al., 2009).
During the 2005 temperature
anomaly, D. stokesi colonies were fully
bleached around La Parguera, Puerto
Rico but were less frequently bleached
at other locations around Puerto Rico
(Waddell and Clarke, 2008). Off of Mona
and Desecheo Islands, Puerto Rico,
about 25 percent of D. stokesi paled and
about 10 percent bleached; in the 16
coral species surveyed, bleaching
ranged from less than five percent to
approximately 60 percent of colonies
(Bruckner and Hill, 2009). During the
2005 bleaching event, approximately 30
percent of D. stokesi colonies on six
reefs bleached in Barbados, and D.
stokesi around Grand Cayman
experienced total bleaching (Wilkinson
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and Souter, 2008). None of the
monitored D. stokesi colonies in the
U.S. Virgin Islands bleached, and 67
percent paled during the 2005 bleaching
event (Smith et al., 2013b). In the
Florida Keys, D. stokesi ranked 19th out
of 25 species in amount of mortality
during the 2005 bleaching event
(Lirman et al., 2011).
All sources of information are used to
describe D. stokesi’s susceptibility to
ocean warming as follows. Reported
bleaching of D. stokesi ranges from zero
to about 60 percent. While reported
bleaching of D. stokesi is temporally and
spatially variable, compared to other
Caribbean coral species, D. stokesi
appears to be among the less susceptible
to temperature-induced bleaching.
Additionally, a report from the Florida
Keys indicates that bleaching-induced
mortality of D. stokesi was among the
lowest compared to other Caribbean
coral species. Thus, we conclude that D.
stokesi has some susceptibility to ocean
warming. However, the available
information does not support a more
precise description of susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
susceptibility of D. stokesi to
acidification. No specific research has
addressed the effects of acidification on
the genus Dichocoenia. However, most
corals studied have shown negative
relationships between acidification and
growth, and acidification is likely to
contribute to reef destruction in the
future. While ocean acidification has
not been demonstrated to have caused
appreciable declines in coral
populations so far, it is considered a
significant threat to corals by 2100.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of D. stokesi to
acidification, and we did not find any
new or supplemental information.
All sources of information are used to
describe D. stokesi’s susceptibility to
acidification as follows. There is
uncertainty about how D. stokesi will
respond to ocean acidification, but
based on the negative effects of
acidification on growth of most corals,
D. stokesi likely has some susceptibility
to acidification. The available
information does not support a more
precise description of susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on D. stokesi’s
susceptibility to disease. Black band
disease, dark spot syndrome, and white
plague have been reported to affect D.
stokesi. In an outbreak of white plague
in St. Lucia in 1997, six surveyed
colonies of D. stokesi were infected, and
average tissue mortality was about 65
percent. In surveys in Dominica
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between 2000 and 2002, D. stokesi was
one of four coral species most
commonly affected by disease, and
white plague predominantly affected
larger-sized colonies. Of 17 species
affected by white plague in the Florida
Keys, D. stokesi was the most
susceptible.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of D. stokesi to disease.
Supplemental information we found on
the susceptibility of D. stokesi to disease
includes the following. In 1991, an
outbreak of white plague was observed
on Mona Island, Puerto Rico that
affected 14 species, with the highest
prevalence among small, massive corals
including D. stokesi, many of which
died within one to two weeks (Waddell,
2005). In Mexico, disease was prevalent
on approximately one percent of D.
stokesi colonies surveyed in 2004 (Ward
et al., 2006).
During an outbreak of white plague
type II in the Florida Keys in 1995,
mortality of D. stokesi averaged 26
percent and ranged from 0 to 38 percent
(Richardson et al., 1998). The disease
routinely caused whole colony mortality
within two to three days due to its
infection of small coral colonies
(usually less than 10 cm in diameter)
and aggressive progression rate (up to 2
cm per day; Richardson, 1998). Between
1996 and 1998, out of 160 monitoring
stations at 40 sites in the Florida Keys,
the number of stations with D. stokesi
colonies affected by disease increased
through time with two stations affected
in 1996, 22 in 1997, and 45 in 1998
(Porter et al., 2001). However, no white
plague was observed in D. stokesi in
2002 at the sites with the reported
outbreak in 1995 (Richardson and Voss,
2005).
Disease surveys at St. Croix, U.S.
Virgin Islands during the summer of
2001 revealed that D. stokesi had the
highest prevalence of white plague type
II out of seven species infected and the
highest disease-related mortality
(Kaczmarsky et al., 2005). The
prevalence of white plague type II on D.
stokesi was 41 percent at one location
and 60 percent at a second site. Of 107
D. stokesi colonies, 38 were infected,
and 26 percent of the infected colonies,
or 9.4 percent of the sample population,
died within two months (Kaczmarsky et
al., 2005). After the 2005 bleaching
event, 100 percent of monitored D.
stokesi colonies in the U.S. Virgin
Islands were infected with disease in
2006, but none of the colonies
experienced total colony mortality
(Smith et al., 2013b).
All sources of information are used to
describe D. stokesi’s susceptibility to
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disease as follows. Although D. stokesi
is susceptible to several diseases, the
most severe impacts have been the
result of white plague. Low prevalence
of diseased D. stokesi colonies have
been reported from some locations, but
outbreaks of white plague have caused
rapid and substantial mortality in some
other sites. Outbreaks in Puerto Rico
and St. Lucia, while affecting D. stokesi,
do not appear to have caused as severe
mortality as in the Florida Keys and
U.S. Virgin Islands. Thus, we conclude
that D. stokesi has high susceptibility to
disease.
The SIR and SRR did not provide any
species-specific information on the
trophic effects of fishing on D. stokesi.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on the trophic effects of fishing on D.
stokesi, and we did not find any new or
supplemental information. However,
due to the level of reef fishing
conducted in the Caribbean, coupled
with Diadema die-off and lack of
significant recovery, competition with
algae can adversely affect coral
recruitment. Based on D. stokesi’s
inferred recruitment rates, we conclude
that it likely has low susceptibility to
trophic effects of fishing.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on susceptibility
of D. stokesi to sedimentation. A
laboratory study examining oil/
sediment rejection indicated that out of
19 Caribbean coral species examined, D.
stokesi was intermediate in the rate of
sediment removal from its tissues. In
laboratory experiments, D. stokesi
exhibited significant increases in
respiration after 3 days of exposure to
turbidity levels of 28 to 30 NTU, which
are within allowable levels as regulated
by the State of Florida for coastal
construction projects. While light levels
and photosynthesis were not affected,
after six days of exposure to 14 to 16
NTU of turbidity, gross photosynthesis
to respiration ratios were less than one
in this species, and excessive mucus
production was observed.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of D. stokesi to
sedimentation. Supplemental
information we found on the
susceptibility of D. stokesi to
sedimentation includes the following.
The large calices, number of septa, and
calical relief of D. stokesi give this
species the capability to remove both
fine sediment and larger grain sizes
through polyp distension (Hubbard and
Pocock, 1972).
All sources of information are used to
describe D. stokesi’s susceptibility to
sedimentation as follows. Dichocoenia
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stokesi is more tolerant of sedimentation
than other coral species as it has the
ability to remove both larger grain size
and finer sediment. However, prolonged
exposure (several days) to turbidity has
been shown to cause physiological
stress. We conclude that D. stokesi has
some susceptibility to sedimentation.
However, the available information does
not support a more precise description
of susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any
species or genus information on the
susceptibility of D. stokesi to nutrients
but provided the following. Land-based
sources of pollution (including
nutrients) often act in concert rather
than individually and are influenced by
other biological (e.g., herbivory) and
hydrological factors. Collectively, landbased sources of pollution are unlikely
to produce extinction at a global scale;
however, they may pose significant
threats at local scales and reduce the
resilience of corals to bleaching.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of D. stokesi to nutrients,
and we did not find any new or
supplemental information. Based on our
knowledge that nutrients in general
have a negative effect on corals, we
conclude that D. stokesi has some level
of susceptibility to nutrients, but the
available information does not support
a more precise description of
susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
susceptibility of D. stokesi to predation.
Dichocoenia stokesi is minimally
affected by predation. Sponges such as
Chondrilla nucula and Ectoplaysia ferox
can overgrow and cause tissue loss in D.
stokesi, especially if unchecked by
spongivores. Dichocoenia stokesi had
the highest density of boring bivalves
(average 7.5 bivalves per colony) of the
three coral species examined.
The public comments provided
supplemental information on D.
stokesi’s susceptibility to predation.
Predation by Coralliophila snails was
recorded on 1.8 percent of the 502 D.
stokesi colonies assessed for condition
in 2012 surveys in the Florida Keys
(Miller et al., 2013). We did not find any
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of D. stokesi to predation.
All sources of information confirm
that predation does not appear to
significantly affect D. stokesi. Thus, we
conclude that D. stokesi has low
susceptibility to predation.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
susceptibility of D. stokesi to collection
and trade. Collection and trade are not
considered a threat to D. stokesi. The
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public comments did not provide new
or supplemental information.
Supplemental information we found on
collection and trade includes the
following. Collection and trade of D.
stokesi appear to be low and primarily
for scientific purposes. Gross exports
between 2000 and 2012 averaged 35
corals per year (data available at https://
trade.cites.org). Thus, we conclude that
D. stokesi has low susceptibility to
collection and trade.
The SRR and SIR did not provide
species-specific information on the
effects of sea level rise on D. stokesi.
The SRR described sea level rise as an
overall low to medium threat for all
coral species. The public comments did
not provide new or supplemental
information on D. stokesi’s
susceptibility to sea level rise, and we
did not find any new or supplemental
information. Thus, we conclude that D.
stokesi has some susceptibility to sea
level rise, but the available information
does not provide a more precise
description of susceptibility.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we relied on
information from the Final Management
Report for evaluating the existing
regulatory mechanisms for controlling
threats to all corals. However, we did
not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanism or conservation efforts for D.
stokesi. Public comments were critical
of that approach, and we therefore
attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms and conservation efforts on
a species basis, where possible, in this
final rule. Records confirm that
Dichocoenia stokesi occurs in nine
Atlantic ecoregions that encompass 26
kingdom’s and countries’ EEZs. The 26
kingdoms and countries are Antigua &
Barbuda, Bahamas, Barbados, Belize,
Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominica,
Dominican Republic, French Antilles,
Grenada, Guatemala, Haiti, Kingdom of
the Netherlands, Honduras, Jamaica,
Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, St. Kitts &
Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent &
Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago,
United Kingdom (British Overseas
Territories), United States (including
U.S. Caribbean Territories), and
Venezuela. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to D. stokesi, described first as
a percentage of the above countries and
kingdoms that utilize them to any
degree, and second as the percentages of
those countries and kingdoms whose
regulatory mechanisms may be limited
in scope, are as follows: General coral
protection (31 percent with 12 percent
limited in scope), coral collection (50
percent with 27 percent limited in
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scope), pollution control (31 percent
with 15 percent limited in scope),
fishing regulations on reefs (73 percent
with 50 percent limited in scope),
managing areas for protection and
conservation (88 percent with 31
percent limited in scope). The most
common regulatory mechanisms in
place for D. stokesi are reef-fish fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. However,
half of the reef-fish fishing regulations
are limited in scope and may not
provide substantial protection for the
species. General coral protection and
collection laws, along with pollution
control laws, are much less common
regulatory mechanisms for the
management of D. stokesi.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic traits, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that the factors that increase the
potential extinction risk for D. stokesi
include documented population-level
impacts from disease. Factors that
reduce potential extinction risk are
relatively high abundance and
persistence across many habitat types,
including nearshore and mesophotic
reefs. Residency in a wide range of
habitat types suggests the species has a
wide tolerance to environmental
conditions and, therefore, better
capacity to deal with changing
environmental regimes.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species’
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of D.
stokesi, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Although it is
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geographically located in the heavily
disturbed Caribbean, D. stokesi occurs
in a wide range of habitats, including
mesophotic reefs, back- and fore-reef
environments, rocky reefs, lagoons,
spur-and-groove formations, channels,
and occasionally at the base of reefs.
This distribution in a wide range of
environments suggests the species will
be better able to withstand changing
environmental conditions and
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because the
numerous types of reef environments in
which the species occurs are predicted,
on local and regional scales, to
experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time. It has been reported
in water depths ranging from 2 to 72 m.
Deeper areas of D. stokesi’s range will
usually have lower temperatures than
surface waters, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in
waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. The
species is highly susceptible to disease,
and outbreaks have resulted in high
colony mortality in some locations in its
range. However, D. stokesi’s abundance
has been estimated as at least tens of
millions of colonies in both the Florida
Keys and Dry Tortugas and is higher
than the estimate from these two
locations due to the occurrence of the
species in many other areas throughout
its range. Additionally, sexual
recruitment, as evidenced by presence
of juvenile colonies, is comparatively
higher than many other Caribbean coral
species, enhancing recovery potential
from mortality events, thus moderating
vulnerability to extinction. The
combination of wide habitat occupancy,
abundance, life history characteristics,
and depth distribution, combined with
spatial variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species’ range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform, and there
will likely be a large number of colonies
that are either not exposed or do not
negatively respond to a threat at any
given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the
determination tool formula approach, D.
stokesi was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to disease (C); moderate
vulnerability to ocean warming (E) and
acidification (E); moderate overall
distribution (based on narrow
geographic distribution and wide depth
distribution (E); restriction to the
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Caribbean (E); and inadequacy of
regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for D. stokesi from
threatened to not warranted. We made
this determination based on a more
species-specific and holistic assessment
of whether this species meets the
definition of either a threatened or
endangered coral, including more
appropriate consideration of the
buffering capacity of this species’ spatial
and demographic traits to lessen its
vulnerability to threats. Thus, based on
the best available information above on
D. stokesi’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
it is not warranted for listing at this time
because:
(1) Dichocoenia stokesi’s distribution
in depths of two to 72 m in
heterogeneous habitats, including
mesophotic reefs, back- and fore-reef
environments, rocky reefs, lagoons,
spur-and-groove formations, channels,
and occasionally at the base of reefs,
throughout the Caribbean basin reduces
exposure to any given threat event or
adverse condition that does not occur
uniformly throughout the species’ range.
As explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Dichocoenia stokesi is usually
reported in the top ten most abundant
coral species in the Caribbean, and its
total absolute abundance is at least tens
of millions of colonies based on
estimates from two locations. Absolute
abundance is higher than estimates from
these locations since it occurs in many
other locations throughout its range.
This provides buffering capacity in the
form of absolute numbers of colonies
and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the
Corals and Coral Reefs section above,
the more colonies a species has, the
lower the proportion of colonies that are
likely to be exposed to a particular
threat at a particular time, and all
individuals that are exposed will not
have the same response;
(3) Dichocoenia stokesi occurs in most
reef habitats, including mesophotic
reefs, back- and fore-reef environments,
rocky reefs, lagoons, spur-and-groove
formations, channels, and occasionally
at the base of reefs, indicating wide
tolerance of environmental conditions
and better capacity to deal with
changing environmental regimes; and
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(4) Presence of juvenile D. stokesi
colonies indicates that recruitment is
likely occurring, enhancing recovery
potential from mortality events.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. This species’ extinction risk
may increase in the future if global
threats continue and worsen in severity
and the species’ exposure to the threats
increases throughout its range. Should
the species experience reduced
abundance or range constriction of a
certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to
threats will diminish. However, D.
stokesi is not likely to become of such
low abundance or so spatially
fragmented as to be in danger of
extinction due to depensatory processes,
the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for
mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. Therefore, D. stokesi is not
warranted for listing at this time under
any of the listing factors, and we
withdraw our proposal to list the
species as threatened.
Genus Orbicella (formerly Montastraea)
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the taxonomy
and morphology of the genus
Montastraea. The genus Montastraea
contained four Caribbean species: M.
cavernosa, M. annularis, M. faveolata,
and M. franksi. Prior to the 1990s, M.
annularis, M. faveolata, and M. franksi
were considered one species, M.
annularis. However, M. annularis was
broken into the three sibling species
based on behavioral, biochemical, and
morphological criteria. These three
species are often grouped into the M.
annularis species complex. Subsequent
reproductive and genetic studies have
generally supported the partitioning of
the complex into three species.
Montastraea faveolata is the most
genetically distinct while M. annularis
and M. franksi are less so.
The public comments provided the
following new information on
Montastraea’s taxonomy. In 2012, the
genus Montastraea was split, and M.
annularis, M. faveolata, and M. franksi
were assigned to the genus Orbicella
(Budd et al., 2012). From this point
forward, we will refer to the genus and
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species by their current taxonomic
classification in the genus Orbicella. We
did not find any new or supplemental
information on Orbicella’s taxonomy or
morphology.
Some studies report on the species
complex rather than individual species
since visual distinction can be difficult
from video or photographic surveys or
in small colonies where morphology is
more difficult to discern. This section
will report information on the species
complex and on O. annularis from
studies pre-dating 1994 when the
species was split into three nominal
species.
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provide the
following information on Orbicella’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
The species complex has been found at
depths to 90 m. It is dominant on
mesophotic reefs in Puerto Rico and the
U.S. Virgin Islands at depths of 30 to 45
m, and it is found at depths up to 70 to
90 m in these locations.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on
Orbicella’s distribution, habitat, or
depth range. Supplemental information
we found on Orbicella’s depth range
includes the following. All three species
occupy a large depth range. Although
there is depth overlap in species
occurrence, there is larger variance and
overlap in species abundances in
shallow versus deep water (Pandolfi and
Budd, 2008). Orbicella faveolata tends
to have the shallowest depth
distribution, and O. franksi tends to
have the deepest (Pandolfi and Budd,
2008; Weil and Knowlton, 1994). At
three study sites in Belize, O. faveolata
was the most abundant member of the
species complex between 2 and 5 m
depth; O. annularis was the most
abundant at depths of 10 to 15 m, and
O. franksi was the most abundant at
depths of 20 to 30 m (Pandolfi and
Budd, 2008). Orbicella annularis species
complex can be relatively abundant at
mesophotic depths in the Bahamas,
Belize, Jamaica, Puerto Rico, U.S. Virgin
Islands, and Curacao (Kahng et al.,
2010).
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on abundance
and population trends of the Orbicella
annularis species complex. The species
complex has historically been a
dominant component on Caribbean
coral reefs, characterizing the so-called
‘‘buttress zone’’ and ‘‘annularis zone’’ in
the classical descriptions of Caribbean
reefs. The species complex is the major
reef-builder in the greater Caribbean,
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since the die-off of Acropora spp., due
to their large size and high abundance.
Numerous examples of population
decline of the Orbicella annularis
species complex were described, and
the results are summarized as follows.
Decline in the Florida Keys between the
late 1970s and 2003 was approximately
80 to 95 percent, with further losses
during the 2012 cold weather event.
Decadal-scale declines across the remote
islands of Navassa, Mona, and Desecheo
in the central Caribbean impacted 85
percent of colonies found there. In the
U.S. Caribbean (U.S. Virgin Islands and
Puerto Rico), an 80 to 90 percent decline
has been reported over the past two
decades. Percent cover was reportedly
stable in Curacao in the mid-1970s, an
85 percent increase in partial mortality
occurred between 1998 and 2005.
Between 1975 and 1998 at Glovers Reef
in Belize, a 38 to 75 percent decline in
relative cover occurred with a further 40
percent decline since. Colonies in
Colombia were stable between 1998 and
2003 although demographic changes
imply some degree of decline. Surveys
of population structure across five
countries found a significant increase in
small ramets (tissue isolates that are
genetically identical but physiologically
separate from the parent colony) less
than 500 cm2 (211 percent for O.
annularis, 168 percent for O. faveolata,
137 percent for O. franksi), while the
proportion of large (1,500- 30,000 cm2),
completely live colonies declined by 51
to 57 percent.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on
Orbicella’s abundance and population
trends. Supplemental information we
found on Orbicella’s abundance and
population trends is provided as
follows. In a survey of 185 sites in five
countries (Bahamas, Bonaire, Cayman
Islands, Puerto Rico, and St. Kitts and
Nevis) between 2010 and 2011,
Orbicella annularis species complex
exhibited mean tissue mortality of 29 to
66 percent, which was higher than other
species exhibiting mean 8 to 17 percent
tissue mortality. Total mortality of O.
annularis species complex were
observed (five to seven percent of the
total); however mortality of large
colonies mostly resulted in multiple
smaller ramets Mortality was attributed
primarily to outbreaks of white plague
and yellow band disease, which
emerged as corals began recovering from
mass bleaching events. This was
followed by increased predation and
removal of live tissue by damselfish to
cultivate algal lawns (Bruckner, 2012a).
In 1998 O. annularis species complex
covered more of the benthos than any
other coral taxon at nine monitored sites
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off Mona and Desecheo Islands, Puerto
Rico: 47 percent on reefs off Desecheo
Island and 32 percent off Mona Island.
In 2008 live cover of O. annularis
species complex ranged from 0 to 14
percent with 95 percent decline off
Desecheo Island and 78 percent decline
off Mona Island. This was accompanied
with large changes in the size frequency
distribution and extent of partial
mortality, with size structure remaining
constant. The amount of living tissue
declined by 55 percent due to partial
mortality affecting medium and large
colonies, with an increase in the
number of colonies with small (less than
10 cm diameter) tissue remnants.
Sponges and macroalgae colonized
newly exposed area, and sponges
appeared to be preventing re-sheeting of
tissue remnants. No Orbicella spp.
recruits were observed during the ten
year study (Bruckner and Hill, 2009).
Surveys at three reefs in western
Curacao in 1998 found 46 percent of all
corals were O. annularis species
complex. In 2005, O. annularis species
complex remained the dominant coral
species but declined in abundance to 38
percent of the overall coral population
(decreases in abundance occurred in O.
faveolata and O. annularis, but not O.
franksi). In 1998 mean diameter of O.
annularis species complex colonies
were 62 cm and less than 10 percent of
all O. annularis species complex
colonies were less than 30 cm in
diameter. Partial mortality of O.
annularis species complex increased 85
percent between 1997 and 2005 with
losses of O. annularis and O. faveolata
(partial mortality 42 to 48 percent and
total mortality 6 percent for the two
species combined) larger than O.
franksi. The most significant losses were
due to yellow band disease and white
plague. No recruits of O. annularis
species complex were observed between
1997 and 2005 in transects or on
skeletons of tagged colonies exposed
through mortality from disease
(Bruckner and Bruckner, 2006a).
McClanahan and Muthiga (1998)
surveyed 20 patch reefs in Glovers Reef
atoll off Belize between 1996 and 1997
and compared their results to surveys of
16 patch reefs in the same general area
conducted between 1970 and 1971.
They found that O. annularis species
complex experienced an overall 62
percent decrease in cover. Average
cover of O. annularis species complex
was seven percent in 1996 and 1997.
The O. annularis species complex
often makes up the largest proportion of
coral cover on Caribbean reefs. In
surveys conducted on four reefs in
Biscayne National Park, Florida in 1981,
cover of O. annularis species complex
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ranged between approximately 25 and
50 percent on three of the reefs, and no
O. annularis species complex colonies
were observed in transects on the fourth
reef (Burns, 1985). In stratified random
surveys in 2007–2008, O. annularis
species complex was the dominant coral
by percent cover in the Red Hind
Marine Conservation District off St.
Thomas, U.S. Virgin Islands, at depths
of 34 to 47 m. Orbicella annularis
species complex averaged 15 percent
cover (range zero to 48 percent) and
made up 92 percent of the 25 percent
average coral cover (Nemeth et al.,
2008).
In a survey of 185 sites in five
countries (Bahamas, Bonaire, Cayman
Islands, Puerto Rico, and St. Kitts and
Nevis) in 2010 to 2011, density of O.
annularis species complex ranged from
0.3 to 2.7 colonies per m2 and
comprised between 9 and 30 percent of
all corals greater than 4 cm diameter.
The mean diameter ranged from 44 to 89
cm, and the size structure (planar
surface area) had a bell shaped
distribution, with only a few colonies
less than 500 cm2 or greater than 10,000
cm2 (Bruckner, 2012a).
In surveys of juvenile corals (less than
4 cm diameter) on nine reefs in the
Florida Keys between 1993 and 1994,
density of O. annularis species complex
ranged between 0.02 and 0.04 juvenile
corals per m2 on six of the nine reefs.
Density of O. annularis species complex
juveniles was correlated with nonjuvenile O. annularis species complex
density and with depth. The majority of
non-juveniles were smaller than the
reproductive size of 100 cm2
(Chiappone and Sullivan, 1996).
Surveys in Bonaire in 2008 showed
that the O. annularis species complex
dominated coral cover in depths less
than 20 m and cover was similar to that
reported in 1982. However, all sites
surveyed in 2008 showed signs of
disease and partial mortality in a large
number of the massive colonies, and
many were reduced to a patchwork of
live tissue and dead areas colonized by
algae (Stokes et al., 2010).
At 25 sites surveyed in Bonaire in
2011, O. annularis species complex was
the dominant coral taxa occupying
approximately 20 to 25 percent of the
benthos and making up 46 percent of
the total live coral cover. It was
dominant in terms of abundance,
making up approximately 27 percent of
all corals. Orbicella annularis was
significantly more abundant than O.
franksi and O. faveolata on the northern
reefs but not on southern reefs. Most
colonies were between 30 and 80 cm
diameter with size structure of O.
annularis species complex in a bell
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shaped distribution around this range;
there were few colonies less than 20 cm
and few very large colonies greater than
200 cm, with a small peak at the 150 to
199 cm range. There was a notable
absence of colonies less than 10 cm
diameter (as measured by the skeleton,
not live tissue) and an absence of
recruits. A total of 73 out of 1602
colonies (4.5 percent) had completely
died. Surviving colonies (n=1529) had a
mean of 28 percent partial mortality. On
average, each colony was divided into
6.6 tissue remnants. Several sites
contained a high abundance of large,
unblemished O. annularis species
complex colonies (Bruckner, 2012c).
Between 1999 and 2009, overall cover
of O. annularis species complex in the
Florida Keys declined, but differed by
habitat type (Ruzicka et al., 2013).
Percent cover declined on the deep and
shallow fore-reefs but remained stable
on patch reefs (Ruzicka et al., 2013). The
2010 cold-water event reduced cover of
O. annularis species complex from 4.4
percent to 0.6 percent on four patch
reefs in the upper and middle Florida
Keys. Greater than 50 percent of O.
annularis species complex colonies
across all size classes suffered lethal or
severe mortality, and 93 percent of all
O. annularis species complex colonies
surveyed suffered complete or partial
mortality. The species complex suffered
the highest mortality of all coral species
affected (Colella et al., 2012). A
comparison of 1995 and 2005 surveys of
O. annularis species complex at 13
patch reefs in the Florida Keys reported
ten sites had between 5 and 40 percent
more dead areas (Gischler, 2007).
Density of juvenile O. annularis
species complex increased from 0.07
juveniles per m2 prior to 2008, to 0.15
juveniles per m2 and continued at 0.12
juveniles per m2 in 2009 at 4 km area
on the south side of St. John, U.S. Virgin
Islands that has been monitored for 16
years. These densities were driven by
seven to nine colonies per year, and the
increased density did not extend
outside the initial survey area when
expanded to other areas around St. John.
While not possible to distinguish the
species in the field, the authors
conclude juveniles were most likely O.
annularis due to the abundance of O.
annularis on adjacent reefs and the
rarity of the presence of the other two
species in water less than 9 m
(Edmunds et al., 2011).
At Yawzi Point, St. John, U.S. Virgin
Islands, the percentage of total coral
cover declined by more than 50 percent
between 1987 to 1998, from 45 percent
to 20 percent. In 1988, 94 percent of the
coral cover at Yawzi was O. annularis
species complex mostly O. annularis (97
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percent), with a few colonies of O.
faveolata (6 percent). Despite a
reduction in total cover, O. annularis
species complex remained spatially
dominant in 1998 at 96 percent of the
coral cover (Edmunds, 2002). Coral
cover at this site again declined an
additional 65 percent between 1999 and
2011 to seven percent cover, with O.
annularis species complex remaining
dominant at 77 percent of the coral
cover (Edmunds, 2013).
At Tektite Reef, St. John, U.S. Virgin
Islands, total coral cover increased from
32 percent in 1987 to 43 percent in 1998
but then decreased to 29 percent in 2011
(Edmunds, 2002; Edmunds, 2013). In
1988, 79 percent of the species complex
was O. annularis, with lesser amounts
of O. faveolata (one percent) and O.
franksi (21 percent) (Edmunds, 2002).
Greater than 72 percent of coral was O.
annularis species complex in all survey
years (Edmunds, 2013).
Surveys of the Flower Garden Banks
between 1974 and 1980 found cover of
O. annularis species complex between
approximately 23 and 40 percent in
areas less than 36 m depth (Bright et al.,
1984). Orbicella annularis species
complex was the dominant coral
between 2002 and 2003 at 32 percent
cover (Aronson et al., 2005). In random
surveys between 2002 and 2006, O.
annularis species complex
(predominantly O. franksi) was the
dominant coral in the Flower Garden
Banks comprising between 27 and 40
percent benthic cover (Hickerson et al.,
2008). In permanent photo quadrats (8
m2 total), cover of O. annularis species
complex (as measured by planar surface
area of individual colonies) fluctuated
between approximately 20 and 45
percent cover in the East Flower
Gardens between 1992 and 2006 with
periods of sharp increase and decrease
in cover (Hickerson et al., 2008). Cover
in west Flower Gardens was between 22
and 40 percent over the same time
period and had less annual variability
and a generally increasing or stable
trend through time (Hickerson et al.,
2008).
Surveys of five sites in the Mexican
Yucatan in 1985 and 2005 revealed a
decrease in relative cover of O.
annularis species complex. At four out
of the five sites, cover of O. annularis
species complex decreased from
between approximately 50 and 60
percent in 1985 to between
approximately 10 and 25 percent in
2005. The fifth site had a less dramatic
decrease in relative cover from
approximately 35 percent to 30 percent
cover during this 20-year interval.
Disease appeared to be the main cause
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of decline, but hurricanes may have also
played a role (Harvell et al., 2007).
Size transition matrices were derived
from Orbicella growth, mortality, and
recruitment rates between 1998 and
2003 from four sites in the lower Florida
Keys. Forecasting 15 years into the
future predicted a steady decline in all
size classes except the smallest (less
than 5 cm) due to insufficient
recruitment to offset mortality and low
growth rates of the smaller size classes.
Mortality rates were assumed at
approximately 40 percent for the
smallest size class declining to about 5
percent for the largest (Smith and
Aronson, 2006).
All information on Orbicella’s
abundance and population trends can
be summarized as follows. The O.
annularis species complex historically
dominated fore-reef sites throughout the
Caribbean both in abundance and cover
and formed dense assemblages of large,
hundreds-of-years old colonies and few
small colonies (Bruckner, 2012a).
However, recent declines in O.
annularis species complex cover have
been reported. Major declines range
from approximately 50 to 95 percent in
locations including Puerto Rico, Belize,
the Florida Keys, Mexico, and the U.S.
Virgin Islands, and lower levels of
decline (5 to 33 percent) have been
reported at individual sites within some
of these same locations. There have also
been reports of more stable percent
cover trends (e.g., Bonaire) and periods
of increase (e.g., Flower Garden Banks).
Observed declines in total coral cover in
the Caribbean, since the major decline
of Acropora spp. in the 1980s, have
often been a result of the decline of the
O. annularis species complex since the
taxa can make up a large proportion of
the total coral cover. Despite decreases,
the O. annularis species complex
continues to be reported as the
dominant coral taxa, albeit at times its
relative dominance has decreased to a
lower percentage of the total coral cover
(e.g., Curacao, U.S. Virgin Islands).
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on Orbicella life
history. Orbicella spp. have growth rates
of approximately 1 cm per year, ranging
from 0.06 to 1.2 cm per year. They grow
more slowly in deeper water and in less
clear water. Large colonies have lower
total mortality rates than juvenile and
small colonies.
All three species of the O. annularis
complex are hermaphroditic broadcast
spawners, with spawning concentrated
on six to eight nights following the full
moon in late August, September, or
early October. Orbicella faveolata is
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largely reproductively incompatible
with O. franksi and O. annularis, and it
spawns about one to two hours earlier.
Fertilization success measured in the
field was generally below 15 percent for
all three species being closely linked to
the number of colonies concurrently
spawning. In Puerto Rico, minimum
size at reproduction for the O. annularis
species complex was 83 cm2.
Successful recruitment by the O.
annularis species complex species has
seemingly always been rare. Only a
single recruit of Orbicella was observed
over 18 years of intensive observation of
12 m2 of reef in Discovery Bay, Jamaica.
Many other studies throughout the
Caribbean also report negligible to
absent recruitment of the species
complex.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
life history of Orbicella. Supplemental
information we found on the life history
of Orbicella includes the following.
Orbicella franksi spawns an average of
110 minutes before O. annularis, and
120 minutes before O. faveolata (Fogarty
et al., 2012a). Gametes can disperse over
500 m in 100 minutes, and O. franksi
sperm viability decreases after two
hours (Levitan et al., 2004). Orbicella
franksi and O. annularis gametes are
compatible, though other mechanisms
associated with the temporal isolation of
spawning, including gamete aging,
dilution, and dispersal, make
hybridization less likely (Knowlton et
al., 1997; Levitan et al., 2004). All three
species are largely self-incompatible
(Knowlton et al., 1997; Szmant et al.,
1997). Size at sexual maturity is
generally about 200 cm2 (SzmantFroelich, 1985). Colonies that were
fragmented experimentally to sizes
smaller than 100 cm2 were generally
found to have lower fecundity
indicating that frequent fragmentation
and partial mortality can affect
reproductive capacity (Szmant-Froelich
1985).
Smith and Aronson (2006) reported
18 Orbicella recruits between 1998 and
2003 in 384 permanent monitoring
quadrats (237 m2) in the lower Florida
Keys. The ability of the species complex
to dominate with such low recruitment
rates has been described as a storage
effect whereby large, old colonies are
able to persist and maintain the
population until favorable conditions
for recruitment occur (Edmunds and
Elahi, 2007). However, potential
problems may exist for species
employing storage effects if favorable
conditions for recruitment occur so
infrequently that they fall outside the
life span of the cohort (Foster et al.,
2013).
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All sources of information are used to
summarize Orbicella’s life history as
follows. Orbicella species have slow
growth rates, late reproductive maturity,
and low recruitment rates. Colonies can
grow very large and live for centuries.
Large colonies have lower total
mortality than small colonies, and
partial mortality of large colonies can
result in the production of ramets. The
historical absence of small colonies and
few observed recruits, even though large
numbers of gametes are produced on an
annual basis, suggests that recruitment
events are rare and were less important
for the survival of the O. annularis
species complex in the past (Bruckner,
2012a). Large colonies in the species
complex maintain the population until
conditions favorable for recruitment
occur; however, poor conditions can
influence recruitment periodicity. While
the life history strategy of the O.
annularis species complex has allowed
the taxa to remain abundant, we
conclude that the buffering capacity of
this life history strategy has been
reduced by recent population declines
and partial mortality, particularly in
large colonies.
The SRR, SIR, and public comments
did not provide other biological
information on the Orbicella annularis
species complex. Supplemental
biological information we found on
Orbicella is provided as follows. The
Orbicella annularis species complex is
sensitive to cold water. In laboratory
experiments, O. annularis species
complex released zooxanthellae when
shocked with cold water between 12
and 18 degrees C, and the response
decreased with increasing temperature
(Muscatine et al., 1991).
Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on Orbicella’s
susceptibility to ocean warming. The
Orbicella annularis species complex is
moderately to highly susceptible to
bleaching. The composition of
zooxanthellae in at least some areas
changes in response to bleaching.
Bleaching has been shown to prevent
reproduction in the following season
after recovering normal pigmentation.
Particularly well documented mortality
following severe mass bleaching in 2005
highlights the immense impact thermal
stress events and their aftermath can
have on the Orbicella annularis species
complex. A significant correlation was
found between bleaching in 2005 and
the prevalence of yellow band disease
and white plague affecting the Orbicella
species complex. Additionally, in
laboratory experiments, mortality due to
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53937
yellow band disease increased with
increasing temperatures.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of Orbicella to ocean
warming. Supplemental information we
found on Orbicella’s susceptibility to
ocean warming confirms and expands
the information in the SRR and SIR. The
O. annularis species complex often has
one of the highest bleaching levels
among reported species. Extended
recovery times have been reported, and
disease outbreaks have often followed
bleaching events. On Carysfort Reef in
the Florida Keys, greater than 90 percent
of O. annularis species complex
colonies were bleached in March 1988
after the 1987 Caribbean bleaching
event; however, no colony mortality was
observed between 1986 and 1988 (Fitt et
al., 1993). Colonies of the O. annularis
species complex in the Florida Keys that
remained bleached seven months
following the 1987 bleaching event
experienced reproductive failure during
the reproductive season following the
bleaching event. Colonies that recovered
after bleaching events were able to
follow a normal reproductive cycle, but
bleached colonies of O. annularis
species complex were unable to
complete gametogenesis (Szmant and
Gassman, 1990). Compared to recovered
colonies, bleached colonies had lower
tissue biomass, lower carbon-to-nitrogen
ratios, and reduced growth, indicating
the energy reserves needed for
successful reproduction were not
available (Szmant and Gassman, 1990).
During the 1987 bleaching event, 90
percent of all O. annularis species
complex colonies surveyed at 30 m in
the Cayman Islands were bleached.
Bleaching was less severe at 46 m with
14 percent of O. annularis species
complex colonies bleached. Five
months after bleaching was first
observed in the Cayman Islands, 54
percent of bleached O. annularis species
complex colonies had not recovered.
Orbicella annularis species complex
had the slowest recovery of the 28 coral
species observed to bleach (Ghiold and
Smith, 1990).
In a 1995 bleaching event in Belize, O.
annularis species complex was the most
affected coral taxon with 76 percent of
the 2,126 surveyed colonies affected.
Seven percent of the 904 colonies
surveyed six months after the bleaching
event remained bleached. Twenty-six
percent of tagged O. annularis species
complex colonies (n=19) exhibited
partial mortality due to bleaching or
post-bleaching infection by black band
disease (McField, 1999).
In 20 surveys across 302 sites
throughout the wider Caribbean, O.
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annularis species complex and Agaricia
tenuifolia were the taxa most impacted
by the 1998 bleaching event (Ginsburg
and Lang, 2003; Kramer, 2003).
Subsequent disease outbreaks were also
recorded in O. annularis and O.
faveolata off Curacao, the Cayman
¸
Islands, Costa Rica, and some of the
Virgin Islands after the bleaching event.
Bleaching and disease related mortality
heavily impacted the O. annularis
species complex (Ginsburg and Lang,
2003).
During the 2005 bleaching event,
approximately 70 percent of O.
annularis species complex colonies
bleached both in sites less than 10 m in
depth and in sites greater than 15 m in
depth on the west and southwest coasts
of Barbados (Oxenford et al., 2008).
Bleaching was observed in 2005 at 86 of
94 sites (91 percent) surveyed in Buck
Island Reef, U.S. Virgin Islands. Ninetyfour percent of the cover of O. annularis
species complex bleached (Clark et al.,
2009).
The 2005 bleaching event resulted in
a 51 percent decrease in the cover of O.
annularis species complex at five sites
in the U.S. Virgin Islands between 2005
and 2007. Bleaching occurred in 16 of
the 21 species of coral at the five sites
with maximum tissue area bleached
between 98 to 99.5 percent for the O.
annularis species complex. Mortality
after the bleaching event occurred
primarily from a subsequent regional
outbreak of coral disease,
predominantly white plague, not the
bleaching itself. The highest rate of
mortality of the 19 species affected by
the white plague was the Orbicella
annularis species complex with 94.5
percent of disease lesions occurring on
Orbicella annularis species complex.
Total coral cover declined from 21
percent to 10 percent, and speciesspecific changes in coral cover affected
the relative abundance of coral species
on the reef. Overall relative abundance
of O. annularis species complex
declined from an initial average of 79 to
59 percent of live coral cover (Miller et
al., 2009).
Stratified random surveys on backreefs and fore-reefs between one and 30
m depth off Puerto Rico (Mona and
Desecho Islands, La Parguera,
Mayaguez, Boqueron, and Rincon) in
2005 and 2006 revealed bleaching was
most severe in O. annularis species
complex with 94 percent of colonies
bleached. After bleaching, a disease
outbreak occurred, and O. annularis
species complex suffered extensive
partial and total mortality. Coral cover
declined between 40 and 60 percent and
was primarily driven by mortality of O.
annularis species complex.
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Additionally, the severe tissue loss and
prolonged bleaching stress resulted in
reproductive collapse of O. annularis
species complex during the 2006 mass
spawning cycle (Waddell and Clarke,
2008).
The 2005 bleaching affected greater
than 95 percent of O. annularis species
complex in Mona and Desecheo Islands,
Puerto Rico and was followed by a
disease outbreak that both caused
extensive mortality (Bruckner and Hill,
2009). A study of 36 sites across six
´
countries (Grenada, Curacao, Panama,
¸
Puerto Rico, Cayman Islands, and
Bermuda) and three depth habitats (less
than 4 m, 5 to 12 m, and greater than
15 m) found a significant correlation
between the 2005 bleaching and
prevalence of yellow band disease and
white plague in O. annularis species
complex (Croquer and Weil, 2009).
Orbicella annularis species complex
bleached at all depths surveyed in
Grenada (23 to 52 percent of colonies),
Puerto Rico (21 to 40 percent), and
Cayman Islands (16 to 44 percent). The
species complex did not experience
bleaching in Curacao or Bermuda, both
locations reported very low bleaching
across all genera examined (Croquer and
Weil, 2009). Bleaching of O. annularis
species complex varied by depth in
Panama with bleaching occurring in 11
percent of colonies in depths less than
4 m and in15 percent of colonies in
depths between 5 and 12 m, but no
bleaching occurred in deep depths
greater than 15 m (Croquer and Weil,
2009). Smith et al. (2013b) described
species responses to the 2005 and 2010
bleaching events in St. Thomas, St.
Croix, and St. John, U.S. Virgin Islands.
The response of the O. annularis species
complex (mostly O. faveolata and O.
franksi with the likelihood of small
numbers of O. annularis) to the 2005
bleaching event was high to moderate
initial response of bleaching prevalence,
high disease prevalence, high mortality,
a large decline in coral cover, and
increasing or stable colony abundance.
Average bleaching was 66 percent, and
paling was 27 percent in 2005. Disease
prevalence in O. annularis complex was
17 percent after the 2005 bleaching
event. In the milder 2010 bleaching
event, 35 percent of O. annularis species
complex colonies bleached, and 47
percent of O. annularis species complex
colonies paled. Less than one percent of
O. annularis species complex colonies
suffered total mortality, but percent
cover decreased from seven percent
cover of O. annularis species complex
in 2005 before bleaching to less than
three percent in 2007. By 2010, there
was a slight increase in percent cover to
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about four percent. Orbicella annularis
species complex lost a large proportion
of colonies in the largest size class and
showed a significant increase in colony
abundance, likely due to the increase in
abundance of colonies in smaller size
classes resulting from partial mortality
of larger colonies.
Van Woesik et al. (2012) developed a
coral resiliency index based on
biological traits and processes to
evaluate extinction risk due to
bleaching. Evaluations were performed
at the genus level, but genera were
separated between the Caribbean and
Indo-Pacific. They rated the resilience
score for the O. annularis species
complex as four out of a range of -6 to
7 observed in other coral genera. Less
than or equal to -3 was considered
highly vulnerable to extinction, and
greater than or equal to 4 was
considered highly tolerant. Thus, O.
annularis species complex was rated as
highly tolerant. However, Smith et al.
(2013b) concluded that large faviids,
such as the O. annularis species
complex, seem very susceptible to longterm population declines because of
their poor response to stress response
when bleaching, disease, and mortality
were considered. The O. annularis
species complex was found to be likely
less equipped to recovery after
bleaching because they tend to grow
slowly, have lower fecundity, and are
more susceptible to mortality when
small (Smith et al., 2013b). While the
van Woesik et al. (2012) study was in
the SIR, the findings specific to
Orbicella were not included. The public
comments indicated the results of this
study should be considered in the
listing status of the three species in the
Orbicella species complex.
All sources of information are used to
describe Orbicella’s susceptibility to
ocean warming as follows. The O.
annularis species complex is highly
susceptible to ocean warming.
Bleaching often occurs in 76 to 94
percent of O. annularis species complex
colonies during bleaching events, and
Orbicella spp. are one of the taxa most
affected by high temperatures. Colonies
in deeper water have been reported to
bleach less severely. Recovery from
bleaching can take longer for the species
complex than for other coral species,
and prolonged stress from bleaching has
been cited as a possible reason for
reproductive failure following bleaching
events. Mortality from temperature
anomalies is often due to subsequent
disease outbreaks. Thus, we conclude
that the O. annularis species complex is
highly susceptible to ocean warming.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on Orbicella’s
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susceptibility to acidification. The only
study conducted regarding the impact of
acidification on this genus is a field
study that did not find any change in O.
faveolata calcification in field-sampled
colonies from the Florida Keys up
through 1996. Preliminary experiments
testing effects of acidification on
fertilization and settlement success of O.
annularis species complex show results
that are consistent with the significant
impairments demonstrated for A.
palmata.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of the Orbicella species
complex to acidification. Supplemental
information we found on the
susceptibility of the Orbicella species
complex to acidification includes the
following. In laboratory experiments,
reproduction of O. faveolata was
negatively impacted by increasing
carbon dioxide, and impairment of
fertilization was exacerbated at lower
sperm concentrations (Albright, 2011b).
Fertilization success was reduced by 25
percent at 529 matm (43 percent
fertilization) and 40 percent at 712 matm
(34 percent fertilization) compared to
controls at 435 matm (57 percent
fertilization; Albright, 2011a).
Additionally, growth rate of O. faveolata
was reduced under lower pH conditions
(7.6) compared to higher pH conditions
(8.1) after 120 days of exposure (Hall et
al., 2012).
All sources of information are used to
describe Orbicella’s susceptibility to
acidification as follows. Laboratory
studies indicate that Orbicella is
susceptible to ocean acidification both
through reduced fertilization of gametes
and reduced growth of colonies. Thus,
we conclude that the Orbicella species
complex is highly susceptible to ocean
acidification.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on Orbicella’s
susceptibility to disease. White plague
and yellow band (also called yellow
blotch) disease have caused profound
population decline of the Orbicella
annularis species complex both with
and without prior bleaching.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of Orbicella spp. to
disease. Supplemental information we
found on Orbicella’s susceptibility to
disease confirms and expands the
information in the SRR and SIR.
Orbicella spp. are susceptible to black
band disease and dark spot syndrome
(Alcolado et al., 2010). Additionally, an
unknown disease was observed in the
Red Hind Marine Conservation District
in the U.S. Virgin Islands and affected
39 percent of O. annularis species
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complex colonies (Smith et al., 2010).
White plague is one of the most
aggressive coral diseases in the
Caribbean with progression rates of 1 to
10 cm per day (Bruckner and Hill,
2009). Tissue loss from yellow band
disease is slow, averaging 0.5 to 1 cm
per month, though tissue loss can be
significant over the long term since
colonies can remain infected for years
and can have multiple lesions per
colony (Bruckner and Bruckner, 2006b).
In the Florida Keys, the prevalence of
white plague increased between 1996
and 2002. No O. annularis species
complex colonies with white plague
were reported within monitoring
stations in 1996, but infected colonies
appeared in 32 stations in 2002
(Waddell, 2005). Orbicella annularis
species complex had the highest
prevalence (up to 12 percent) of the 21
species affected by white plague in
Puerto Rico between 1998 and 2008
(Bruckner and Hill, 2009). In Mexico, O.
annularis species complex had the
highest disease prevalence in surveys
during 2004 (27 percent, Ward et al.,
2006). Surveys in four locations
(Netherlands Antilles, Grenada, Turks
and Caicos, and U.S. Virgin Islands)
between 1997 and 1998 revealed that
prevalence of yellow band in O.
annularis species complex ranged from
18 to 91 percent.
Tagged colonies with yellow band
disease in Puerto Rico lost an average of
32 percent of their tissue over four
years, and the percent of partial
mortality appeared to increase with
colony size (Bruckner and Bruckner,
2006b). Eight percent of infected
colonies died completely (most were 50
cm or less in size), and larger colonies
lost between 60 and 85 percent of their
tissue (Bruckner and Bruckner, 2006b).
Eighty-five percent of colonies with
yellow band disease tagged in 1999 still
had active signs of the disease in 2003
(Bruckner and Bruckner, 2006b). In
1999, yellow band disease affected up to
50 percent of all O. annularis species
complex colonies at permanent sites in
Puerto Rico, including many of the
largest (2 to 3 m diameter and height)
and presumably oldest colonies
(Waddell and Clarke, 2008).
In Curacao, yellow band disease
affected from three to 49 percent of all
O. annularis species complex colonies
within transects conducted on western
reefs between 1997 and 2005. The
highest prevalence of yellow band
disease occurred in 1997 and 1998.
Thirty-one to 49 percent of O. annularis
species complex colonies were affected
in eastern Curacao, and 24 percent were
affected in western Curacao. The
numbers of new infections declined
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from 2000 to 2005. Yellow band disease
affected larger corals more frequently
than small corals. Over 21 percent of the
colonies tagged with yellow band
disease between 1997 and 1999 were
still infected in 2005. Of the remainder,
44 percent died, 2 percent were affected
by other diseases, and 32 percent no
longer had signs of yellow band disease
but had large amounts (most greater
than 90 percent) of partial mortality
(Bruckner and Bruckner, 2006a).
Disease prevalence in O. annularis
species complex (O. annularis and O.
faveolata) at three reefs off Mexico
increased from between zero and four
percent in 1996 and 1998 to between 26
and 37 percent in 2001. The increase
was due to the proliferation of yellow
band disease, though black band disease
and white plague were also present.
Partial mortality also increased over this
same period from 20 to 35 percent of O.
annularis species complex colonies at
one site and from 35 to 52 percent at
another (Jordan-Dahlgren et al., 2005).
At 253 sites surveyed in 2009 in St.
Croix and St. John, U.S. Virgin Islands
and La Parguera, Puerto Rico, the
average number of healthy O. annularis
species complex colonies was 182 (± 33
SE) per 100 m2. Yellow band was
present on an average of about one
percent of colonies (Muller and van
Woesik, 2012).
All sources of information are used to
describe Orbicella’s susceptibility to
disease as follows. Disease can affect a
large proportion of the Orbicella spp.
population (3 to 91 percent),
particularly during outbreaks following
bleaching events, and can cause
extensive mortality. Partial mortality
can be high (32 to greater than 90
percent) and can result in multiple
ramets. White plague and yellow band
disease have had the greatest effect and
can disproportionately affect larger
colonies in the species complex. Total
colony mortality is less likely for larger
colonies than for smaller colonies, and
partial mortality can lead to changes in
colony size distribution as observed in
Puerto Rico, U.S. Virgin Islands, and a
study in Bahamas, Bonaire, Cayman
Islands, and St. Kitts and Nevis. Thus,
we conclude that the O. annularis
species complex is highly susceptible to
disease.
The SIR and SRR did not provide any
information on the trophic effects of
fishing on Orbicella. The public
comments did not provide new or
supplemental information, and we did
not find new or supplemental
information on the trophic effects of
fishing on Orbicella. However, as
described above in Caribbean Genera
and Species—Introduction, due to the
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level of reef fishing conducted in the
Caribbean, coupled with Diadema dieoff and lack of significant recovery,
competition with algae can adversely
affect coral recruitment. This effect
coupled with Orbicella’s low
recruitment rate indicates it likely has
some susceptibility to the trophic effects
of fishing. The available information
does not support a more precise
description of its susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
susceptibility of Orbicella to
sedimentation. Orbicella has shown a
decline in growth at sediment impacted
sites in Puerto Rico and during periods
of construction in Aruba. Along a
gradient of continental influence in the
southern Gulf of Mexico, density and
calcification rate of O. annularis
decreased with increasing turbidity and
sedimentation while extension rate
increased with increasing turbidity and
sedimentation.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of Orbicella to
sedimentation. Supplemental
information we found on the
susceptibility of the Orbicella annularis
species complex confirms the
information in the SRR and SIR. The
Orbicella annularis species complex
appears to be moderately capable of
removing sediment from the colony
surface. Colonies receiving single
applications of 200 or 400 mg sediment
per cm2 showed no evidence of damage
while 800 mg per cm2 caused mortality
(Rogers, 1983). Sedimentation has been
found to negatively affect O. annularis
species complex primary production,
growth rates, and abundance (Pastorok
and Bilyard, 1985). An observed
difference in average colony size at two
sites in Puerto Rico led Loya (1976) to
conclude turbidity negatively affects
growth of O. annularis species complex
since colony size was half as large at the
sediment-impacted site (23 cm versus 9
cm).
All sources of information are used to
describe Orbicella’s susceptibility to
sedimentation as follows. Although the
species complex is moderately capable
of removing sediment from the colony
surface, sedimentation negatively affects
primary production, growth rates,
calcification, colony size, and
abundance. Thus, we conclude that the
O. annularis species complex is highly
susceptible to sedimentation.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
susceptibility of Orbicella to nutrient
enrichment. Orbicella had an increasing
growth rate with improving
environmental conditions in Barbados.
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Additionally, decreasing growth rate of
Orbicella over a 30-year period was
attributed to deterioration of water
quality.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of Orbicella to nutrient
enrichment. Supplemental information
we found on the susceptibility of the
Orbicella species complex confirms and
expands the information in the SRR and
SIR. Two growth forms of O. annularis
species complex, columnar (likely O.
faveolata) and lobate (likely O.
annularis) were found to have
increasing average growth rates with
improving environmental conditions
away from a eutrophication gradient in
Barbados (Tomascik, 1990). Although
nutrient concentration was negatively
correlated with growth, suspended
particulate matter resulting from
eutrophication, rather than the nutrients
themselves, was postulated to be the
cause of observed decreased growth
rates (Tomascik and Sander, 1985). A
general pattern of decreasing growth
rates of the columnar growth form
between 1950 and 1983 may be directly
related to the deterioration of water
quality along the west coast of the
island (Tomascik, 1990). Additionally,
Orbicella spp. did not recruit to
settlement plates on the most eutrophic
reef, and recruitment of Orbicella spp.
increased at sites with decreasing
eutrophication along the eutrophication
gradient (Tomascik, 1991). Field
experiments indicate that nutrient
enrichment significantly increases
yellow band disease severity in O.
annularis and O. franksi through
increased tissue loss (Bruno et al.,
2003).
All sources of information are used to
describe Orbicella’s susceptibility to
nutrient enrichment as follows. The
Orbicella annularis species complex is
susceptible to nutrient enrichment
through reduced growth rates, lowered
recruitment, and increased disease
severity. Thus, we conclude that the O.
annularis species complex is highly
susceptible to nutrient enrichment.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
susceptibility of Orbicella to predation.
Predators of the O. annularis species
complex include the corallivorous snail
Coralliophila abbreviata and some
species of parrotfish including
Sparisoma viride and S. aurofrenatum.
Additionally, damselfish remove live
coral tissue to build algal gardens. The
large decline of Acropora spp. in the
Caribbean, likely resulted in greater
impacts by damselfishes on other highdimension corals, including the O.
annularis species complex.
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Public comments did not provide new
or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of Orbicella to predation.
Supplemental information we found on
the susceptibility of the Orbicella
species complex includes the following.
Surveys of six sites in Navassa found
between zero and 33 percent of O.
annularis species complex colonies
(average 17 percent across all sites) were
affected by C. abbreviata (Miller et al.,
2005). The O. annularis species
complex was the preferred target of
parrotfish across all reef habitats in a
study on the Belize barrier reef.
Incidence of parrotfish grazing was
highest on O. annularis (over 55 percent
of colonies), followed by O. franksi and
O. faveolata, respectively (Rotjan, 2007).
In most habitats, a few colonies of
Orbicella spp. were more heavily grazed
by parrotfishes, while the majority
showed little or no parrotfish grazing
(Rotjan and Lewis, 2006).
All sources of information are used to
describe Orbicella’s susceptibility to
predation as follows. The O. annularis
species complex is susceptible to
several predators. Current effects of
predation appear to be low. Thus, we
conclude the O. annularis species
complex has low susceptibility to
predation.
The SRR and SIR did not provide
information on the effects of sea level
rise on Orbicella. The SRR described sea
level rise as an overall low to medium
threat for all coral species. The public
comments did not provide new or
supplemental information on Orbicella’s
susceptibility to sea level rise, and we
did not find any new or supplemental
information. Thus, we conclude that
Orbicella has some susceptibility to sea
level rise, but the available information
does not support a more precise
description of susceptibility to this
threat.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
susceptibility of the Orbicella species
complex to collection and trade. The
Orbicella complex species have a very
low occurrence in the CITES trade
databases. Hence, collection and trade is
not considered a significant threat to the
Orbicella annularis complex species.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of the Orbicella species
complex to trade. Supplemental
information we found on the
susceptibility of species in the Orbicella
complex to collection and trade is
described in each of the individual
species sections.
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Genus Conclusion
The O. annularis species complex is
distributed throughout the Caribbean
and occupies a variety of habitats across
a large depth range, including
mesophotic depths to 90 m. Over the
last twenty years, major declines of
approximately 50 to 95 percent have
occurred. In addition, changes in size
frequency distribution have sometimes
accompanied decreases in cover,
resulting in fewer large colonies that
impact the buffering capacity of the
species complex’s life history strategy.
Despite decline, the O. annularis
species complex continues to be
reported as the dominant coral taxon,
sometimes at a lower percentage of the
total coral cover.
The species complex has highly
susceptibility to ocean warming,
acidification, disease, sedimentation,
and nutrients; some susceptibility to
trophic effects of fishing and sea level
rise; and low susceptibility to predation.
Susceptibility to collection and trade is
described in each of the individual
species sections.
Orbicella faveolata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on O. faveolata’s
morphology. Orbicella faveolata grows
in heads or sheets, the surface of which
may be smooth or have keels or bumps.
The skeleton is much less dense than in
the other two Orbicella species. Colony
diameter can reach up to 10 m with a
height of 4 to 5 m. The public comments
did not provide new or supplemental
information on O. faveolata’s
morphology, and we did not find any
new or supplemental information.
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Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
distribution, habitat and depth range of
O. faveolata. Orbicella faveolata occurs
in the western Atlantic and throughout
the Caribbean, including Bahamas,
Flower Garden Banks, and the entire
Caribbean coastline. There is conflicting
information on whether or not it occurs
in Bermuda. Orbicella faveolata has
been reported in most reef habitats and
is often the most abundant coral
between 10 and 20 m in fore-reef
environments. The depth range of O.
faveolata has been reported as 0.5 to 40
m, though the species complex has been
reported to depths of 90 m, indicating
O. faveolata’s depth distribution is
likely deeper than 40 m. Orbicella
species are a common, often dominant
component of Caribbean mesophotic
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reefs, suggesting the potential for deep
refugia for O. faveolata.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on O.
faveolata’s distribution, habitat, or
depth range. Supplemental information
we found includes the following. Veron
(2014) confirmed the occurrence of O.
faveolata in five out of his 11 ecoregions
in the west Atlantic and greater
Caribbean known to contain corals and
strongly predicted its presence in an
additional three ecoregions (off
Colombia and Venezuela; Jamaica and
Cayman Islands; and Florida and the
Bahamas). Many studies have confirmed
the presence of O. faveolata in these
additional three ecoregions (Bayraktarov
et al., 2012; Bruckner, 2012a; Burman et
al., 2012). The ecoregions where Veron
(2014) reported the absence of O.
faveolata are off the coasts of Brazil,
Bermuda, and the southeastern U.S.
north of southern Florida (Veron, 2014).
Smith (2013) reported that O. faveolata
is found in the U.S. Virgin Islands
across all depths to about 45 m.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on O. faveolata’s
abundance and population trends.
Orbicella faveolata is considered
common.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on O.
faveolata’s population trends but
provided the following supplemental
information on O. faveolata’s
abundance. Extrapolated population
estimates from stratified random
samples in the Florida Keys were 39.7
± 8 million (SE) colonies in 2005, 21.9
± 7 million (SE) colonies in 2009, and
47.3 ± 14.5 million (SE) colonies in
2012. The greatest proportion of
colonies tended to fall in the 10 to 20
cm and 20 to 30 cm size classes in all
survey years, but there was a fairly large
proportion of colonies in the greater
than 90 cm size class. Partial mortality
of the colonies was between 10 and 60
percent surface across all size classes. In
the Dry Tortugas, Florida, O. faveolata
ranked seventh most abundant out of 43
coral species in 2006 and fifth most
abundant out of 40 in 2008.
Extrapolated population estimates were
36.1 ± 4.8 million (SE) colonies in 2006
and 30 ± 3.3 million (SE) colonies in
2008. The size classes with the largest
proportion of colonies were 10 to 20 cm
and 20 to 30 cm, but there was a fairly
large proportion of colonies in the
greater than 90 cm size class. Partial
mortality of the colonies ranged
between approximately two percent and
50 percent. Because these population
abundance estimates are based on
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random surveys, differences between
years may be attributed to sampling
effort rather than population trends
(Miller et al., 2013).
Supplemental information we found
on O. faveolata’s abundance and
population trends includes the
following. In a survey of 31 sites in
Dominica between 1999 and 2002, O.
faveolata was present at 80 percent of
the sites at one to ten percent cover
(Steiner, 2003). In a 1995 survey of 16
reefs in the Florida Keys, O. faveolata
ranked as the coral species with the
second highest percent cover (Murdoch
and Aronson, 1999). On 84 patch reefs
(3 to 5 m depth) spanning 240 km in the
Florida Keys, O. faveolata was the third
most abundant coral species comprising
seven percent of the 17,568 colonies
encountered and was present at 95
percent of surveyed reefs between 2001
and 2003 (Lirman and Fong, 2007). In
surveys of 280 sites in the upper Florida
Keys in 2011, O. faveolata was present
at 87 percent of sites visited (Miller et
al., 2011b). In 2003 on the East Flower
Garden Bank, O. faveolata comprised
ten percent of the 76.5 percent coral
cover on reefs 32 to 40 m, and partial
mortality due to bleaching, disease, and
predation were rare at monitoring
stations (Precht et al., 2005).
Colony density ranges from
approximately 0.1 to 1.8 colonies per 10
m2 and varies by habitat and location.
In surveys along the Florida reef tract
from Martin County to the lower Florida
Keys, density of O. faveolata was
approximately 1.6 colonies per 10 m2
(Wagner et al., 2010). On remote reefs
off southwest Cuba, density of O.
faveolata was 0.12 ± 0.20 (SD) colonies
per 10 m transect on 38 reef-crest sites
and 1.26 ± 1.06 colonies per 10 m
transect on 30 reef-front sites (Alcolado
et al. 2010). In surveys of 1,176 sites in
southeast Florida, the Dry Tortugas, and
the Florida Keys between 2005 and
2010, density of O. faveolata ranged
between 0.17 and 1.75 colonies per 10
m2 and was highest on mid-channel
reefs followed by offshore patch reefs
and fore-reefs (Burman et al., 2012).
Along the east coast of Florida, density
was highest in areas south of Miami at
0.94 colonies per 10 m2 compared to
0.11 colonies per 10 m2 in Palm Beach
and Broward Counties (Burman et al.,
2012).
Orbicella faveolata is the sixth most
abundant species by percent cover in
permanent monitoring stations in the
U.S. Virgin Islands. The species
complex had the highest abundance and
included all colonies where species
identification was uncertain. Therefore,
O. faveolata is likely more abundant.
Population estimates in the 49 km2 Red
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Hind Marine Conservation District are at
least 16 million colonies (Smith, 2013).
Population trend data exists for
several locations. At nine sites off Mona
and Desecheo Islands, Puerto Rico, no
species extirpations were noted at any
site over ten years of monitoring
between 1998 and 2008 (Bruckner and
Hill, 2009). Both O. faveolata and O.
annularis sustained the large losses
during the period. The number of
colonies of O. faveolata decreased by 36
and 48 percent at Mona and Desecheo
Islands, respectively (Bruckner and Hill,
2009). In 1998, 27 percent of all corals
at six sites surveyed off Mona Island
were O. faveolata colonies, but
decreased to approximately 11 percent
in 2008 (Bruckner and Hill, 2009). At
Desecheo Island, 12 percent of all coral
colonies were O. faveolata in 2000
compared to seven percent in 2008.
In a survey of 185 sites in five
countries (Bahamas, Bonaire, Cayman
Islands, Puerto Rico, and St. Kitts and
Nevis) between 2010 and 2011, size of
O. faveolata colonies was significantly
greater than O. franksi and O. annularis.
The total mean partial mortality of O.
faveolata at all sites was 38 percent. The
total live area occupied by O. faveolata
declined by a mean of 65 percent, and
mean colony size declined from 4005
cm2 to 1413 cm2. At the same time,
there was a 168 percent increase in
small tissue remnants less than 500 cm2,
while the proportion of completely live
large (1,500 to 30,000 cm2) colonies
decreased. Orbicella faveolata colonies
in Puerto Rico were much larger and
sustained higher levels of mortality
compared to the other four countries.
Colonies in Bonaire were also large but
experienced much lower levels of
mortality. Mortality was attributed
primarily to outbreaks of white plague
and yellow band disease, which
emerged as corals began recovering from
mass bleaching events. This was
followed by increased predation and
removal of live tissue by damselfish to
cultivate algal lawns (Bruckner, 2012a).
All information on O. faveolata’s
abundance and population trends can
be summarized as follows. Orbicella
faveolata is a common species
throughout the greater Caribbean. Based
on population estimates, there are at
least tens of millions of colonies present
in each of several locations including
the Florida Keys, Dry Tortugas, and the
U.S. Virgin Islands. Absolute abundance
is higher than the estimate from these
three locations given the presence of
this species in many other locations
throughout its range. Population decline
has occurred over the past few decades
with a 65 percent loss in O. faveolata
cover across five countries. Losses of O.
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faveolata from Mona and Descheo
Islands, Puerto Rico include a 36 to 48
percent reduction in abundance and a
decrease of 42 to 59 percent in its
relative abundance (i.e., proportion
relative to all coral colonies). High
partial mortality of colonies has led to
smaller colony sizes and a decrease of
larger colonies in some locations such
as the Bahamas, Bonaire, Puerto Rico,
Cayman Islands, and St. Kitts and Nevis.
Partial colony mortality is lower in
some areas such as the Flower Garden
Banks. We conclude that O. faveolata
has declined but remains common and
likely has at least tens of millions of
colonies throughout its range.
Additionally as discussed in the genus
section, we conclude that the buffering
capacity of O. faveolata’s life history
strategy that has allowed it to remain
abundant has been reduced by the
recent population declines and amounts
of partial mortality, particularly in large
colonies.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on O. faveolata’s
life history. In many life history
characteristics, including growth rates,
tissue regeneration, and egg size, O.
faveolata is considered intermediate
between O. annularis and O. franksi.
Spatial distribution may affect fecundity
on the reef, with deeper colonies of O.
faveolata being less fecund due to
greater polyp spacing.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
life history of O. faveolata.
Supplemental information we found on
O. faveolata’s life history includes the
following. Reported growth rates of O.
faveolata range between 0.3 and 1.6 cm
˜´
per year (Cruz-Pinon et al., 2003;
Tomascik, 1990; Villinski, 2003;
Waddell, 2005). Graham and van
Woesik (2013) report that 44 percent of
small colonies of O. faveolata in Puerto
Morelos, Mexico, resulting from partial
colony mortality produced eggs at sizes
smaller than maturation. The number of
eggs produced per unit area of smaller
fragments was significantly less than in
larger size classes. Szmant and Miller
(2005) reported low post-settlement
survivorship for O. faveolata
transplanted to the field with only three
to 15 percent remaining alive after 30
days. Post-settlement survivorship was
much lower than the 29 percent
observed for A. palmata after seven
months (Szmant and Miller, 2005).
Darling et al. (2012) performed a
biological trait-based analysis to
categorize coral species into four life
history strategies: Generalist, weedy,
competitive, and stress-tolerant. The
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classifications were primarily separated
by colony morphology, growth rate, and
reproductive mode. Orbicella faveolata
was classified as a ‘‘generalist’’ species,
thus likely less vulnerable to
environmental stress.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following other biological information
on O. faveolata. Surveys at an inshore
patch reef in the Florida Keys that
experienced temperatures less than 18
degrees C for 11 days revealed speciesspecific cold-water susceptibility and
survivorship. Orbicella faveolata was
one of the more susceptible species with
90 percent of colonies experiencing total
colony mortality, including some
colonies estimated to be more than 200
years old (Kemp et al., 2011). In surveys
from Martin County to the lower Florida
Keys, O. faveolata was the second most
susceptible coral species experiencing
an average of 37 percent partial
mortality (Lirman et al., 2011).
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental biological
information on O. faveolata.
Supplemental biological information we
found on O. faveolata includes the
following. Samples (n = 182) of O.
faveolata from the upper and lower
Florida Keys and Mexico showed three
well-defined populations based on five
genetic markers, but the populations
were not stratified by geography,
indicating they were shared among the
three regions (Baums et al., 2010). Of ten
O. faveolata colonies observed to spawn
at a site off Bocas del Toro, Panama,
colonies sorted into three spatially
arranged genotypes (Levitan et al.,
2011).
Orbicella faveolata larvae are
sensitive to ultraviolet radiation during
the motile planula stage through the
onset of larval competence (Aranda et
al., 2011). Of six Caribbean coral species
exposed to high solar irradiation, O.
faveolata and Stephanocoenia
intersepta had the most severe decline
in photochemical efficiency resulting in
severe tissue loss and mortality (Fournie
et al., 2012).
Experiments exposing O. faveolata to
high temperatures (up to 35 degrees C)
revealed that the corals produced heat
shock proteins at temperatures between
33 and 35 degrees C even for very short
exposures (2 h) but did respond at
temperatures between 27 and 31 degrees
C when exposed from 2 hours to one
week (Black et al., 1995).
Thornhill et al. (2006) repeatedly
sampled symbiont composition of
colonies of six coral species in the
Bahamas and the Florida Keys in 1998
and 2000 to 2004, during and after the
1997–98 bleaching event. Symbioses in
O. faveolata remained stable at virtually
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all sites in the Bahamas and the Florida
Keys. Individual colonies usually
showed fidelity over time to one
particular Symbiodinium partner, and
changing symbiont types was rare, thus
indicating acclimation to warming
temperatures may not occur by
symbiont shuffling.
Susceptibility to Threats
The threat susceptibility information
from the SRR and SIR was interpreted
in the proposed rule for O. faveolata’s
vulnerabilities to threats as follows:
High vulnerability to ocean warming,
disease, acidification, sedimentation,
and nutrient enrichment; moderate
vulnerability to the trophic effects of
fishing; and low vulnerability to sea
level rise, predation, and collection and
trade.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
susceptibility of O. faveolata to ocean
warming. Recent work in the
Mesoamerican reef system indicated
that O. faveolata had reduced thermal
tolerance in locations with increasing
human populations and over time,
implying increasing local threats. At
sites in Navassa, O. faveolata and
Agaricia spp. were the most susceptible
to bleaching. Approximately 90 percent
of O. faveolata colonies (n = 334)
bleached at deeper sites (>18 m), and
approximately 60 percent of O.
faveolata colonies (n = 20) bleached at
shallower sites (<10 m) in 2006. During
a moderate bleaching event in Colombia
in 2010, 100 percent of O. faveolata
colonies bleached at a site in Gayraca
Bay, and 50 percent of O. faveolata
colonies were dead and completely
overgrown by algae in 2011
(Bayraktarov et al., 2012).
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of O. faveolata to ocean
warming. Supplemental information we
found on the susceptibility of O.
faveolata to ocean warming includes the
following. Stratified random surveys on
back-reefs and fore-reefs between one
and 30 m depth off Puerto Rico (Mona
and Desecho Islands, La Parguera,
Mayaguez, Boqueron, and Rincon) in
2005 and 2006 revealed severe
bleaching in O. faveolata with
approximately 90 percent of colonies
bleached (Waddell and Clarke, 2008).
Surveys from 2005 to 2007 along the
Florida reef tract from Martin County to
the lower Florida Keys indicated that O.
faveolata had the 13th highest bleaching
prevalence out of 30 species observed to
bleach (Wagner et al., 2010). During a
2009 bleaching event on Little Cayman,
of the ten coral species that bleached, O.
faveolata had the third highest
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bleaching prevalence with
approximately 37 percent of colonies
bleached (van Hooidonk et al., 2012).
Coral cores from 92 colonies of O.
faveolata from the Mesoamerican Reef
around Belize and Honduras indicate
that the bleaching event in 1998 was
unprecedented in the prior century
despite periods of higher temperatures
and solar irradiance (Carilli et al., 2010).
The authors of the study concluded that
bleaching in 1998 likely stemmed from
reduced thermal tolerance due to the
synergistic impacts of chronic local
stressors stemming from land-based
sources of pollution (Carilli et al., 2010).
Coral cores collected from four sites in
Belize indicate that O. faveolata that
experienced higher chronic stress were
more severely affected by bleaching and
had a much slower recovery after the
severe 1998 bleaching event (Carilli et
al., 2009). Coral growth rates at sites
with higher local anthropogenic
stressors remained suppressed for at
least eight years, while coral growth
rates at sites with lower stress recovered
in two to three years (Carilli et al.,
2009). Based on samples of O. faveolata
and O. franksi collected from the
Mesoamerican Barrier Reef, calcification
of these two species is projected to cease
at 35 degrees C in this location, even
without an increase in acidification
(Carricart-Ganivet et al., 2012).
Collections from Chinchorro Bank
indicate that calcification of O.
faveolata decreased 20 percent over the
period of 1985 to 2009 where there was
a 0.6 degree C increase in sea surface
temperature (equivalent to 2.4 degrees C
per century; Carricart-Ganivet et al.,
2012).
Polato et al. (2010) raised O. faveolata
larvae derived from three to four
colonies from Florida and Mexico under
mean and elevated (1 to 2 degrees above
summer mean) temperatures. Both
locations had misshapen embryos at the
elevated temperature, but the percentage
was higher in the embryos from Florida.
They found conserved and locationspecific variation in gene expression in
processes related to apoptosis
(programmed cell death), cell
structuring, adhesion and development,
energy and protein metabolism, and
response to stress.
Voolstra et al. (2009) exposed O.
faveolata embryos to temperatures of
27.5, 29, and 31.5 degrees C directly
after fertilization and measured
differences in gene expression after 12
and 48 hours. They found a higher
number of misshapen embryos after 12
hours at 29 and 31.5 degrees C in
comparison to embryos kept at 27.5
degrees C. However, after 48 hours, the
proportion of misshapen embryos
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decreased for embryos kept at 29 and
31.5 degrees C, and increased for
embryos kept at 27.5 degrees C.
Increased temperatures may lead to
oxidative stress, apoptosis, and a
structural reconfiguration of the
cytoskeletal network. However, embryos
responded differently depending on
exposure time and temperature level.
Embryos showed expression of stressrelated genes at a temperature of 29
degrees C but seemed to be able to
counteract the initial response over
time. Embryos at 31.5 degrees C
displayed continuous expression of
stress genes.
During the 2005 bleaching event,
larger colonies of O. faveolata
experienced more intensive bleaching
than smaller colonies at inshore patch
reefs of the Florida Keys (Brandt, 2009).
Orbicella faveolata was one of the most
affected species with approximately 80
percent of colonies (n = 77) bleached
and, out of eight species that bleached,
had the fourth highest bleaching
prevalence (Brandt, 2009). Orbicella
faveolata colonies with greater
bleaching intensities later developed
white plague disease (Brandt and
McManus, 2009). White plague affected
approximately ten percent of O.
faveolata colonies and resulted in less
than five percent tissue loss in all but
two infected corals which experienced
greater than five percent tissue loss
(Brandt and McManus, 2009).
All sources of information are used to
describe O. faveolata’s susceptibility to
ocean warming as follows. Orbicella
faveolata is highly susceptible to
elevated temperatures. In lab
experiments, elevated temperatures
resulted in misshapen embryos and
differential gene expression in larvae
that could indicate negative effects on
larval development and survival.
Bleaching susceptibility is generally
high with 37 to 100 percent of O.
faveolata colonies reported to bleach
during several bleaching events.
Chronic local stressors can exacerbate
the effects of warming temperatures,
which can result in slower recovery
from bleaching, reduced calcification,
and slower growth rates for several
years following bleaching. Additionally,
disease outbreaks affecting O. faveolata
have been linked to elevated
temperature as they have occurred after
bleaching events. We conclude that O.
faveolata is highly susceptible to
elevated temperature.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on O. faveolata’s
susceptibility to acidification. A field
study did not find any change in O.
faveolata’s calcification in field-
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sampled colonies from the Florida Keys
up through 1996.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of O. faveolata to
acidification. Supplemental information
we found on the susceptibility of O.
faveolata to acidification includes the
following. In laboratory experiments,
reproduction of O. faveolata was
negatively impacted by increasing CO2,
and impairment of fertilization was
exacerbated at lower sperm
concentrations (Albright, 2011b).
Fertilization success was reduced by 25
percent at 529 matm (43 percent
fertilization) and 40 percent at 712 matm
(34 percent fertilization) compared to
controls at 435 matm (57 percent
fertilization; Albright, 2011a).
Additionally, growth rate of O. faveolata
was reduced under lower pH conditions
(7.6) compared to higher pH conditions
(8.1) after 120 days of exposure (Hall et
al., 2012).
All sources of information are used to
describe O. faveolata’s susceptibility to
acidification as follows. Laboratory
studies indicate that O. faveolata is
susceptible to ocean acidification both
through reduced fertilization of gametes
and reduced growth of colonies. Thus,
we conclude that O. faveolata is highly
susceptible to ocean acidification.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any
species-specific information on the
susceptibility of O. faveolata to disease.
The public comments also did not
provide new or supplemental
information on the susceptibility of O.
faveolata to disease. Supplemental
information we found on the
susceptibility of O. faveolata to disease
confirms the information on the
Orbicella species complex and includes
the following. Disease affected corals in
Puerto Rico after the 2005 bleaching
event, and O. faveolata was the species
most affected (Bruckner and Hill, 2009).
A 1998 outbreak of white plague on
three surveyed reefs in St. Lucia affected
19 percent of O. faveolata colonies, and
O. faveolata was the species most
affected (Nugues, 2002). Larger colonies
in St. Lucia were more likely to get
infected, but they were less likely to
suffer complete mortality (Nugues,
2002). Tissue mortality of marked O.
faveolata colonies was 51 percent, and
no colonies showed regrowth during the
8 month study period (Nugues, 2002).
Disease surveys conducted between
August and December 1999 at 19 reef
sites from six geographic areas across
the wider Caribbean (Bermuda, Puerto
Rico, Bonaire, Venezuela, Colombia,
and Jamaica) revealed that O. faveolata
showed the second highest incidence of
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disease at 4.7 to 10.4 percent across
geographic locations (Weil et al., 2002).
Surveys at five sites along the west
coast of Dominica between 2000 and
2002 revealed that O. faveolata was one
of the species most susceptible to
disease. Of the 12 species infected by
white plague in 2000, O. faveolata
ranked second highest in disease
prevalence (18.4 percent of infected
colonies were O. faveolata); it ranked
third in 2001 out of 14 species (12.7
percent) and second in 2002 out of 13
species (18.8 percent). In addition,
white plague infected the larger size
classes of O. faveolata. Although only
one colony experienced total colony
mortality, O. faveolata had the highest
amount of tissue loss in each year and
in the three years combined (Borger and
Steiner, 2005).
Yellow band disease in O. faveolata
increased in abundance between 1999
and 2004 on reefs near La Parguera and
Desecheo and Mona Islands, Puerto Rico
(Waddell, 2005). Yellow band disease
mean lesion growth rates on O.
faveolata in La Parguera, Puerto Rico
had a significant positive correlation
with mean yearly surface water
temperatures between 1998 and 2010
(Burge et al., 2014). In Curacao colonies
of O. faveolata infected with yellow
band disease lost 90 percent of their
tissue between 1997 and 2005 (Bruckner
and Bruckner, 2006a). Only the
unaffected parts of colonies continued
to grow, and only the smallest lesions
caused by disease healed (Bruckner and
Bruckner, 2006a). Partial mortality was
higher in 2005 (average of 40 percent)
than in 1998 (Bruckner and Bruckner,
2006a). Outbreaks of white plague
occurred in 2001 and 2005 and infected
O. faveolata and O. annularis with the
highest frequency (Bruckner and
Bruckner, 2006a).
Yellow band disease significantly
affects O. faveolata reproductive output.
Fecundity of diseased lesions was
significantly lower than transition and
healthy-looking tissues on diseased
colonies. Diseased lesions had 99
percent fewer eggs compared to undiseased control colonies. Fecundity in
transition areas was 24 percent less than
healthy-looking areas of diseased
colonies and was significantly lower (50
percent) than in un-diseased control
colonies. Healthy-looking tissues of
diseased colonies had 27 percent lower
fecundity compared to un-diseased
control colonies. Furthermore, in
colonies that had recovered from
disease, small tissue remnants (less than
100 cm2) had 84 percent lower
fecundity compared to un-diseased
controls, and large tissue remnants (400
to 1000 cm2) had 64 percent lower
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fecundity compared to un-diseased
controls (Weil et al., 2009).
All sources of information are used to
describe O. faveolata’s susceptibility to
disease as follows. Orbicella faveolata is
often among the coral species with the
highest disease prevalence and tissue
loss. Outbreaks have been reported to
affect ten to 19 percent of O. faveolata
colonies, and yellow band disease and
white plague have the greatest effect.
Disease often affects larger colonies, and
reported tissue loss due to disease
ranges from five to 90 percent.
Additionally, yellow band disease
results in lower fecundity in diseased
and recovered colonies of O. faveolata.
Therefore, we conclude that O.
faveolata is highly susceptible to
disease.
The SIR and SRR did not provide any
species-specific information on the
trophic effects of fishing on O.
faveolata. The public comments did not
provide new or supplemental
information, and we did not find
supplemental information on the
trophic effects of fishing on O.
faveolata. However, due to the level of
reef fishing conducted in the Caribbean,
coupled with Diadema die-off and lack
of significant recovery, competition
with algae can adversely affect coral
recruitment. Thus, O. faveolata likely
has some susceptibility to the trophic
effects of fishing given its low
recruitment rates. However, the
available information does not support
a more precise description of
susceptibility to this threat.
The SRR and SIR did not provide
species-specific information on the
susceptibility of O. faveolata to
sedimentation, and the public
comments did not provide new or
supplemental information on its
susceptibility to this threat.
Supplemental information we found
confirms the information on the
susceptibility of the Orbicella species
complex to sedimentation and includes
the following. In St. Lucia, rates of
partial mortality of O. annularis and O.
faveolata were higher close to river
mouths where sediments were
deposited than they were farther from
the river mouths, indicating the
sensitivity of these two species to
sedimentation (Nugues and Roberts,
2003).
All sources of information are used to
describe O. faveolata’s susceptibility to
sedimentation as follows.
Sedimentation can cause partial
mortality of O. faveolata, and genuslevel information indicates that
sedimentation negatively affects
primary production, growth rates,
calcification, colony size, and
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abundance. Therefore, we conclude that
O. faveolata is highly susceptible to
sedimentation.
The SRR, SIR, and public comments
did not provide information on the
susceptibility of O. faveolata to nutrient
enrichment, and we did not find any
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of O. faveolata to nutrient
enrichment.
All sources of information are used to
describe O. faveolata’s susceptibility to
nutrient enrichment as follows.
Although there is no species-specific
information, the Orbicella species
complex is susceptible to nutrient
enrichment through reduced growth
rates, lowered recruitment, and
increased disease severity. Therefore,
based on genus-level information, we
conclude that O. faveolata is likely
highly susceptible to nutrient
enrichment.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
susceptibility of O. faveolata to
predation. Under laboratory conditions,
black band disease was transmitted to
healthy O. faveolata fragments in the
presence of the butterflyfish Chaetodon
capistratus but not in aquaria without
the fish present, suggesting that the fish
acts as a disease vector (Aeby and
Santavy, 2006).
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of O. faveolata to
predation. Supplemental information
we found on the susceptibility of O.
faveolata to predation includes the
following. In surveys of the Florida Keys
in 2012, two percent of O. faveolata
colonies were affected by predation by
the corallivorous snail C. abbreviata
(Miller et al., 2013). Parrotfish consume
O. annularis and O. faveolata more
intensively than other coral species, but
tissue regeneration capabilities appear
to be high enough to counterbalance
loss from predation (Mumby, 2009).
All sources of information are used to
describe O. faveolata’s susceptibility to
predation as follows. Orbicella faveolata
is affected by a number of predators, but
losses appear to be minimal. We
conclude that O. faveolata has low
susceptibility to predation.
The SRR and SIR did not provide
information on the effects of sea level
rise on O. faveolata. The SRR described
sea level rise as an overall low to
medium threat for all coral species. The
public comments did not provide new
or supplemental information on O.
faveolata’s susceptibility to sea level
rise, and we did not find any new or
supplemental information. Thus, we
conclude that O. faveolata has some
susceptibility to sea level rise, but the
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available information does not support
a more precise description of
susceptibility to this threat.
The SRR and SIR did not provide
species-specific information on the
susceptibility of O. faveolata to
collection and trade, and the public
comments did not provide new or
supplemental information on its
susceptibility to this threat.
Supplemental information we found
confirms the information in the SRR and
SIR that collection and trade is not a
significant threat for the Orbicella
species complex. Over the last decade,
collection and trade of this species has
been primarily for scientific research
rather than commercial purposes. Gross
exports for collection and trade of O.
faveolata between 2000 and 2012
averaged 271 specimens (data available
at https://trade.cites.org). We conclude
that O. faveolata has low susceptibility
to collection and trade.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we relied on
information from the Final Management
Report for evaluating the existing
regulatory mechanisms for controlling
threats to all corals. However, we did
not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanism or conservation efforts for
O. faveolata. Public comments were
critical of that approach, and we
therefore attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms and conservation efforts on
a species basis, where possible, in this
final rule. Records confirm that O.
faveolata occurs in five Atlantic
ecoregions, and studies and
observations have confirmed the
presence of O. faveolata in an additional
three ecoregions (Burman et al., 2012).
These eight ecoregions encompass 26
kingdom’s and countries’ EEZs. The 26
kingdoms and countries are Antigua &
Barbuda, Bahamas, Barbados, Belize,
Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominica,
Dominican Republic, French Antilles,
Grenada, Guatemala, Haiti, Kingdom of
the Netherlands, Honduras, Jamaica,
Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, St. Kitts &
Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent &
Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago,
United Kingdom (British Caribbean
Territories and possibly Bermuda),
United States (including U.S. Caribbean
Territories), and Venezuela. The
regulatory mechanisms relevant to O.
faveolata, described first as a percentage
of the above kingdoms and countries
that utilize them to any degree, and
second as the percentages of those
kingdoms and countries whose
regulatory mechanisms may be limited
in scope, are as follows: General coral
protection (31 percent with 12 percent
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limited in scope), coral collection (50
percent with 27 percent limited in
scope), pollution control (31 percent
with 15 percent limited in scope),
fishing regulations on reefs (73 percent
with 50 percent limited in scope),
managing areas for protection and
conservation (88 percent with 31
percent limited in scope). The most
common regulatory mechanisms in
place for O. faveolata are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. However,
half of the reef fishing regulations are
limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection for the species.
General coral protection and collection
laws, along with pollution control laws,
are much less common regulatory
mechanisms for the management of O.
faveolata.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic traits, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that the factors that increase the
extinction risk for O. faveolata are its
extremely low productivity (growth and
recruitment), documented dramatic
recent declines, and its restriction to the
highly disturbed/degraded wider
Caribbean region.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species’
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of O.
faveolata, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. The species has
undergone major declines mostly due to
warming-induced bleaching and
disease. There is evidence of synergistic
effects of threats for this species
including disease outbreaks following
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bleaching events and reduced thermal
tolerance due to chronic local stressors
stemming from land-based sources of
pollution. Orbicella faveolata is highly
susceptible to a number of threats, and
cumulative effects of multiple threats
have likely contributed to its decline
and exacerbate vulnerability to
extinction. Despite high declines, the
species is still common and remains one
of the most abundant species on
Caribbean reefs. Its life history
characteristics of large colony size and
long life span have enabled it to remain
relatively persistent despite slow growth
and low recruitment rates, thus
moderating vulnerability to extinction.
However, the buffering capacity of these
life history characteristics is expected to
decrease as colonies shift to smaller size
classes as has been observed in
locations in its range. Its absolute
population abundance has been
estimated as at least tens of millions of
colonies in each of several locations
including the Florida Keys, Dry
Tortugas, and the U.S. Virgin Islands
and is higher than the estimate from
these three locations due to the
occurrence of the species in many other
areas throughout its range. Despite the
large number of islands and
environments that are included in the
species’ range, geographic distribution
in the highly disturbed Caribbean
exacerbates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because O.
faveolata is limited to an area with high,
localized human impacts and predicted
increasing threats. Its depth range of 0.5
to at least 40 m, possibly up to 90 m,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because
deeper areas of its range will usually
have lower temperatures than surface
waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters
that are deeper and cooler than those in
which the species occurs. Orbicella
faveolata occurs in most reef habitats,
including both shallow and mesophotic
reefs, which moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species occurs in numerous
types of reef environments that are
predicted, on local and regional scales,
to experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time. Its abundance, life
history characteristics, and depth
distribution, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species’ range,
moderate vulnerability to extinction
because the threats are non-uniform,
and there will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
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or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the
determination tool formula approach, O.
faveolata was proposed for listing as
endangered because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (E),
disease (C), and ocean acidification (E);
high vulnerability to sedimentation (A
and E) and nutrient over-enrichment (A
and E); decreasing trend in abundance
(E); low relative recruitment rate (E);
moderate overall distribution (based on
narrow geographic distribution and
wide depth distribution) (E); restriction
to the Caribbean (E); and inadequacy of
regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for O. faveolata
from endangered to threatened. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
approach, including consideration of
the buffering capacity of this species’
spatial and demographic traits, and the
best available information above on O.
faveolata’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management. This combination of
factors indicates that O. faveolata is
likely to become endangered throughout
its range within the foreseeable future,
and thus warrants listing as threatened
at this time, because:
(1) Orbicella faveolata is highly
susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), disease (C), ocean
acidification (E), sedimentation (A, E),
and nutrients (A, E) and susceptible to
trophic effects of fishing (A). These
threats are expected to continue and
increase into the future. In addition, the
species is at heightened extinction risk
due to inadequate existing regulatory
mechanisms to address global threats
(D);
(2) Orbicella faveolata is
geographically located in the highly
disturbed Caribbean where localized
human impacts are high and threats are
predicted to increase as described in the
Threats Evaluation section. A range
constrained to this particular geographic
area that is likely to experience severe
and increasing threats indicates that a
high proportion of the population of this
species is likely to be exposed to those
threats over the foreseeable future;
(3) Orbicella faveolata has
experienced substantial declines in
abundance and percent cover over the
past two decades; and
(4) Orbicella faveolata’s slow growth
rate and low sexual recruitment limit its
capacity for recovery from threatinduced mortality events throughout its
range over the foreseeable future.
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Additionally, shifts to smaller size
classes via fission and partial mortality
of older, larger colonies, have reduced
the buffering capacity of O. faveolata’s
life history strategy.
The combination of these
characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates that the species is
likely to be in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range, and warrants listing as
threatened at this time due to factors A,
C, D, and E.
The available information above on O.
faveolata’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management also indicate that the
species is not currently in danger of
extinction and thus does not warrant
listing as Endangered because:
(1) While Orbicella faveolata’s
distribution within the Caribbean
increases its risk of exposure to threats
as described above, its known depth
distribution is between 0.5 and 45 m,
with occurrence by the complex as deep
as 90 m, and its habitat includes various
shallow and mesophotic reef
environments. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction currently
because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous
types of reef environments that will
experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry on local
and regional scales at any given point in
time, as described in more detail in the
Coral Habitat and Threats Evaluation
sections. There is no evidence to suggest
that the species is so spatially
fragmented that depensatory processes,
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for catastrophic events
currently pose a high risk to the survival
of the species; and
(2) Although O. faveolata’s abundance
has declined, it still has a common
occurrence and remains one of the most
dominant corals in the Caribbean. Its
absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies based on estimates
from three locations. Absolute
abundance is higher than estimates from
these locations since it occurs in many
other locations throughout its range.
This absolute abundance allows for
variation in the responses of individuals
to threats to play a role in moderating
vulnerability to extinction for the
species to some degree, as described in
more detail in the Corals and Coral
Reefs section. There is no evidence of
depensatory processes such as
reproductive failure from low density of
reproductive individuals and genetic
processes such as inbreeding affecting
this species. Thus, its absolute
abundance indicates it is currently able
to avoid high mortality from
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environmental stochasticity, and
mortality of a high proportion of its
population from catastrophic events.
The combination of these
characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of
one that is currently in danger of
extinction, as described previously in
the Risk Analyses section, and thus does
not warrant listing as endangered at this
time.
Range-wide, multitudes of
conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting O.
faveolata. However, considering the
global scale of the most important
threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at
addressing the root cause of global
threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not
believe that any current conservation
efforts or conservation efforts planned
in the future will result in affecting the
species’ status to the point at which
listing is not warranted.
Orbicella franksi
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on O. franksi’s
morphology. Orbicella franksi is
distinguished by large, unevenly
arrayed polyps that give the colony its
characteristic irregular surface. Colony
form is variable, and the skeleton is
dense with poorly developed annual
bands. Colony diameter can reach up to
5 m with a height of up to 2 m. The
public comments did not provide new
or supplemental information on O.
franksi’s morphology, and we did not
find any new or supplemental
information.
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Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on O. franksi’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Orbicella franksi is distributed in the
western Atlantic and throughout the
Caribbean Sea including in the
Bahamas, Bermuda, and the Flower
Garden Banks. Orbicella franksi tends to
have a deeper distribution than the
other two species in the Orbicella
species complex.
It occupies most reef environments
and has been reported from water
depths ranging from 5 to 50 m, with the
species complex reported to 90 m.
Orbicella species are a common, often
dominant, component of Caribbean
mesophotic reefs, suggesting the
potential for deep refugia for O. franksi.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on O.
franksi’s distribution, habitat, or depth
range. We did not find new or
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supplemental information on O.
franksi’s habitat or depth range.
Supplemental information we found on
O. franksi’s distribution includes the
following. Veron (2014) confirmed the
occurrence of O. franksi in six out of his
11 ecoregions in the western Atlantic
and greater Caribbean known to contain
corals and strongly predicted its
presence in an additional three
ecoregions (off Colombia/Venezuela,
Cuba/Cayman Islands, and Jamaica).
Other studies confirm the presence of O.
franksi in three other ecoregions
(Alcolado et al., 2010; Bayraktarov et al.,
2012; Bruckner, 2012c; Weil et al.,
2002). The two ecoregions where O.
franksi has not been found are off the
coasts of Brazil and the southeastern
U.S. north of southern Florida (Veron,
2014).
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on O. franksi’s
abundance and population trends.
Orbicella franksi is reported as
common.
The public comments provided the
following supplemental information on
O. franksi’s abundance and population
trends. In surveys throughout the
Florida Keys, O. franksi in 2005 ranked
26th most abundant out of 47 coral
species, 32nd out of 43 in 2009, and
33rd out of 40 in 2012. Extrapolated
population estimates from stratified
random surveys were 8.0 ± 3.5 million
(SE) colonies in 2005, 0.3 ± 0.2 million
(SE) colonies in 2009, and 0.4 ± 0.4
million (SE) colonies in 2012. The
authors note that differences in
extrapolated abundance between years
were more likely a function of sampling
effort rather than an indication of
population trends. In 2005, the greatest
proportions of colonies were in the
smaller size classes of 10 to 20 cm and
20 to 30 cm. Partial colony mortality
ranged from zero to approximately 73
percent and was generally higher in
larger colonies (Miller et al., 2013).
In the Dry Tortugas, Florida, O.
franksi ranked fourth highest in
abundance out of 43 coral species in
2006 and eighth out of 40 in 2008.
Extrapolated population estimates were
79 ± 19 million (SE) colonies in 2006
and 18.2 ± 4.1 million (SE) colonies in
2008. The authors note the difference in
estimates between years was more likely
a function of sampling effort rather than
population decline. In the first year of
the study (i.e., 2006), the greatest
proportion of colonies were in the size
class 20 to 30 cm with twice as many
colonies as the next most numerous size
class, and a fair number of colonies in
the largest size class of greater than 90
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cm. Partial colony mortality ranged from
approximately ten to 55 percent. Two
years later in 2008 no size class was
found to dominate, and proportion of
colonies in the medium to large size
classes (60 to 90 cm) appeared to be less
than in 2006. The number of colonies in
the largest size class of greater than 90
cm remained consistent. Partial colony
mortality ranged from approximately 15
to 75 percent (Miller et al., 2013).
Supplemental information we found
on O. franksi’s abundance and
population trends includes the
following. In a 1995 survey of 16 reefs
in the Florida Keys, O. franksi has the
highest percent cover of all species
(Murdoch and Aronson, 1999). In a
survey of 31 sites in Dominica between
1999 and 2002, O. franksi was present
in seven percent of the sites at less than
one percent cover (Steiner, 2003). In
2003 on the east Flower Garden Bank,
O. franksi comprised 46 percent of the
76.5 percent coral cover on reefs 32 to
40 m in depth, and partial coral
mortality due to bleaching, disease, and
predation was rare in survey stations
(Precht et al., 2005).
Reported density is variable by
location and habitat and is reported to
range from 0.02 to 1.05 colonies per 10
m2. In surveys of 1,176 sites in
southeast Florida, the Dry Tortugas, and
the Florida Keys between 2005 and
2010, density of O. franksi ranged
between 0.04 and 0.47 colonies per 10
m2 and was highest on the offshore
patch reef and fore-reef habitats
(Burman et al., 2012). In south Florida,
density was highest in areas south of
Miami at 0.44 colonies per 10 m2
compared to 0.02 colonies per 10 m2 in
Palm Beach and Broward Counties
(Burman et al., 2012). Along the Florida
reef tract from Martin County to the
lower Florida Keys, density of O. franksi
was approximately 0.9 colonies per 10
m2 (Wagner et al., 2010). On remote
reefs off southwest Cuba, colony density
was 0.083 ± 0.17 (SD) per 10 m transect
on 38 reef-crest sites and 1.05 ± 1.02
colonies per 10 m transect on 30 reeffront sites (Alcolado et al., 2010). The
number of O. franksi colonies in Cuba
with partial colony mortality were far
more frequent than those with no
mortality across all size classes, except
for one (i.e., less than 50 cm) that had
similar frequency of colonies with and
without partial mortality (Alcolado et
al., 2010).
In the U.S. Virgin Islands, O. franksi
is the second most abundant species by
percent cover at permanent monitoring
stations. However, because the species
complex, which is the most abundant by
cover, was included as a category when
individual Orbicella species could not
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be identified with certainty, it is likely
that O. franksi is the most abundant.
Population estimates of O. franksi in the
49 km2 Red Hind Marine Conservation
District are at least 34 million colonies
(Smith, 2013).
Abundance in Curacao and Puerto
Rico and appears to be stable over an
eight to ten year period. In Curacao,
abundance was stable between 1997 and
2005, with partial mortality similar or
less in 2005 compared to 1998
(Bruckner and Bruckner, 2006a).
Abundance was also stable between
1998–2008 at nine sites off Mona and
Desecheo Islands, Puerto Rico. In 1998,
4 percent of all corals at six sites
surveyed off Mona Island were O.
franksi colonies in 1998 and
approximately five percent in 2008; at
Desecheo Island, about two percent of
all coral colonies were O. franksi in both
2000 and 2008 (Bruckner and Hill,
2009).
On the other hand, colony size has
decreased over the past several decades.
A survey of 185 sites (2010 and 2011)
in five countries (Bahamas, Bonaire,
Cayman Islands, Puerto Rico, and St.
Kitts and Nevis) reported the size of O.
franksi and O. annularis colonies as
significantly smaller than O. faveolata.
The total mean partial mortality of O.
franksi was 25 percent. Overall, the total
live area occupied by O. franksi
declined by a mean of 38 percent, and
mean colony size declined from 1356
cm2 to 845 cm2. At the same time there
was a 137 percent increase in small
tissue remnants less than 500 cm2, along
with a decline in the proportion of large
(1,500 to 30,000 cm2), completely alive
colonies. Mortality was attributed
primarily to outbreaks of white plague
and yellow band disease, which
emerged as corals began recovering from
mass bleaching events. This was
followed by increased predation and
removal of live tissue by damselfish to
cultivate algal lawns (Bruckner, 2012a).
All information on O. franksi’s
abundance and population trends can
be summarized as follows. Based on
population estimates, there are at least
tens of millions of colonies present in
both the Dry Tortugas and U.S. Virgin
Islands. Absolute abundance is higher
than the estimate from these two
locations given the presence of this
species in many other locations
throughout its range. The frequency and
extent of partial mortality, especially in
larger colonies of O. franksi, appear to
be high in some locations such as
Florida and Cuba, though other
locations like the Flower Garden Banks
appear to have lower amounts of partial
mortality. A decrease in O. franksi
percent cover by 38 percent, and a shift
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to smaller colony size across five
countries, suggest that population
decline has occurred in some areas;
colony abundance appears to be stable
in other areas. We conclude that while
population decline has occurred, O.
franksi is still common with the number
of colonies at least in the tens of
millions. Additionally, as discussed in
the genus section, we conclude that the
buffering capacity of O. franksi’s life
history strategy that has allowed it to
remain abundant has been reduced by
the recent population declines and
amounts of partial mortality,
particularly in large colonies.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on O. franksi’s
life history. The growth rate for O.
franksi is reported to be slower, and
spawning is reported to be about one to
two hours earlier than O. annularis and
O. faveolata.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on O.
franksi’s life history. Supplemental
information we found on O. franksi’s
life history includes the following. Of
361 colonies of O. franksi tagged in
Bocas del Toro, Panama, larger colonies
were noted to spawn more frequently
than smaller colonies between 2002 and
2009 (Levitan et al., 2011). Darling et al.
(2012) performed a biological trait-based
analysis to categorize coral species into
four life history strategies: Generalist,
weedy, competitive, and stress-tolerant.
The classifications were primarily
separated by colony morphology,
growth rate, and reproductive mode.
Orbicella franksi was classified as a
‘‘generalist’’ species, thus likely less
vulnerable to environmental stress.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following other biological information
on O. franksi. Low tissue biomass can
render specific colonies of O. franksi
susceptible to mortality from stress
events, such as bleaching or disease.
This suggests that differential mortality
among individuals, species, and reefs
from stress events such as bleaching or
disease may be at least partially a
function of differential colony biomass
(indicating overall coral health) as
opposed to genetic or physiologic
differences among corals or their
symbionts.
In a 2010 cold-water event that
affected south Florida, O. franksi ranked
as the 14th most susceptible coral
species out of 25 of the most abundant
coral species. Average partial mortality
was eight percent in surveys from
Martin County to the lower Florida Keys
after the 2010 cold-water event
compared to 0.4 percent average
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mortality during summer surveys
between 2005 and 2009.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental biological
information on O. franksi.
Supplemental biological information we
found on O. franksi includes the
following. Of 351 O. franksi colonies
observed to spawn at a site off Bocas del
Toro, Panama, 324 were unique
genotypes. Over 90 percent of O. franksi
corals on this reef were the product of
sexual reproduction, and 19 genetic
individuals had asexually propagated
colonies made up of two to four
spatially adjacent ramets each.
Individuals within a genotype spawned
more synchronously than individuals of
different genotypes. Additionally,
within 5m, colonies nearby spawned
more synchronously than farther spaced
colonies, regardless of genotype. At
distances greater than 5m, spawning
was random between colonies (Levitan
et al., 2011).
In a study of symbiont composition of
repeatedly sampled colonies of six
species in the Bahamas and the Florida
Keys (1998, and 2000 to 2004), major
changes in symbiont dominance over
time were observed at certain Florida
Keys reefs in O. annularis and O.
franksi. Some colonies of O. annularis
and O. franksi exhibited shifts in their
associations attributed to recovery from
the stresses of the 1997–98 bleaching
event. Most transitions in symbiont
identity ended in 2002, three to five
years after the 1997–98 bleaching event
(Thornhill et al., 2006).
Susceptibility to Threats
The threat susceptibility information
from the SRR and SIR was interpreted
in the proposed rule for O. franksi’s
vulnerability to threats as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming, disease,
acidification, sedimentation, and
nutrient enrichment; moderate
vulnerability to the trophic effects of
fishing; and low vulnerability to sea
level rise, predation, and collection and
trade.
The SRR and SIR did not provide
species-specific information on the
susceptibility of O. franksi to ocean
warming. The public comments did not
provide new or supplemental
information on the susceptibility of O.
franksi to ocean warming. Supplemental
information we found on the
susceptibility of O. franksi to ocean
warming includes the following. A high
percentage of O. franksi colonies
experience bleaching during warm
water temperature anomalies. Stratified
random surveys on back-reefs and forereefs between one and 30 m depth off
Puerto Rico (Mona and Desecho Islands,
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La Parguera, Mayaguez, Boqueron, and
Rincon) in 2005 and 2006 revealed
severe bleaching in O. franksi with
approximately 90 percent of colonies
bleached (Waddell and Clarke, 2008).
Surveys from 2005 to 2007 along the
Florida reef tract from Martin County to
the lower Florida Keys indicated O.
franksi had the tenth highest bleaching
prevalence out of 30 species observed to
bleach (Wagner et al., 2010). During a
moderate bleaching event in Colombia
in 2010, 88 percent of O. franksi
bleached, and 12 percent paled at a site
in Gayraca Bay (Bayraktarov et al.,
2012). In 2011, 75 percent of O. franksi
were dead and completely overgrown by
algae (Bayraktarov et al., 2012). Based
on samples of O. franksi and O.
faveolata collected from the
Mesoamerican Barrier Reef, calcification
of these two species is projected to cease
at 35 degrees C in this location in the
absence of acidification (CarricartGanivet et al., 2012).
All sources of information are used to
describe O. franksi’s susceptibility to
ocean warming as follows. Available
information indicates that O. franksi is
highly susceptible to warming
temperatures with a reported 88 to 90
percent bleaching frequency. Reported
bleaching-related mortality from one
study is high at 75 percent. There is
indication that symbiont shuffling after
bleaching in O. franksi. We conclude
that O. franksi is highly susceptible to
ocean warming.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any
species-specific information on the
susceptibility of O. franksi to
acidification, and the public comments
did not provide new or supplemental
information on its susceptibility to this
threat. We did not find any new or
supplemental information on the
susceptibility of O. franksi to
acidification. Although there is no
species-specific information on the
susceptibility of O. franksi to ocean
acidification, genus information
indicates that the species complex has
reduced growth and fertilization success
under acidic conditions. Thus, we
conclude O. franksi likely has high
susceptibility to ocean acidification.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any
species-specific information on the
susceptibility of O. franksi to disease.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of O. franksi to disease.
Supplemental information we found on
the susceptibility of O. franksi to
disease includes the following. Disease
surveys conducted between August and
December 1999 at 19 reef sites from six
geographic areas across the wider
Caribbean (Bermuda, Puerto Rico,
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Bonaire, Venezuela, Colombia, and
Jamaica) revealed that O. franksi had the
third highest incidence of disease at 1.1
to 5.6 percent across geographic
locations (Weil et al., 2002). Between
1998 and 2000, O. franksi was one of six
coral species identified in the Virgin
Islands as most susceptible to disease
(Waddell, 2005). In 2004 in Mexico,
disease prevalence was highest in O.
franksi with 41 percent of colonies
infected, followed by 34 percent of O.
annularis colonies and 31 percent of O.
faveolata colonies (Ward et al., 2006). In
Curacao colonies of O. franksi infected
with yellow band disease lost an
average of 30 percent of their tissue
between 1997 and 2005, but some
tagged colonies exhibited re-sheeting
over disease lesions (Bruckner and
Bruckner, 2006a).
All sources of information are used to
describe O. franksi’s susceptibility to
disease as follows. Orbicella franksi is
often reported as among the species
with the highest disease prevalence.
Although there are few quantitative
studies of the effects of disease on O.
franksi, there is evidence that partial
mortality can average about 25 to 30
percent and that disease can cause shifts
to smaller size classes. Thus, we
conclude that O. franksi is highly
susceptible to disease.
The SIR and SRR did not provide any
species-specific information on the
trophic effects of fishing on O. franksi.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information, and
we did not find new or supplemental
information on the trophic effects of
fishing on O. franksi. However, due to
the level of reef fishing conducted in the
Caribbean, coupled with Diadema dieoff and lack of significant recovery,
competition with algae can adversely
affect coral recruitment. Thus, O.
franksi likely has some susceptibility to
the trophic effects of fishing given its
low recruitment rates.
The SRR, SIR, and public comments
did not provide information on the
susceptibility of O. franksi to
sedimentation, and we did not find any
new or supplemental information. All
sources of information are used to
describe O. franksi’s susceptibility to
sedimentation as follows. Genus
information indicates sedimentation
negatively affects primary production,
growth rates, calcification, colony size,
and abundance. Therefore, we conclude
that O. franksi is highly susceptible to
sedimentation.
The SRR, SIR, and public comments
do not provide information on the
susceptibility of O. franksi to nutrient
enrichment. Supplemental information
we found on the susceptibility of O.
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53949
franksi to nutrient enrichment includes
the following. Field experiments
indicate that nutrient enrichment
significantly increases yellow band
disease severity in O. annularis and O.
franksi through increased tissue loss
(Bruno et al., 2003).
All sources of information are used to
describe O. franksi’s susceptibility to
nutrient enrichment as follows. Genus
level information indicates O. franksi is
likely susceptible to nutrient
enrichment through reduced growth
rates and lower recruitment.
Additionally, nutrient enrichment has
been shown to increase the severity of
yellow band disease in O. franksi. Thus,
we conclude that O. franksi is highly
susceptible to nutrient enrichment.
The SRR and SIR do not provide
species-specific information on the
susceptibility of O. franksi to predation.
Likewise, the public comments do not
provide new or supplemental
information on the susceptibility of O.
franksi to predation. Supplemental
information we found on the
susceptibility of O. franksi to predation
includes the following. Incidence of
parrotfish grazing on the Belize barrier
reef was second highest on O. franksi.
However, in most habitats, the majority
of Orbicella spp. showed little or no
parrotfish grazing while only a few
colonies were more heavily grazed,
indicating low impact to the species
overall (Rotjan, 2007).
All sources of information are used to
describe O. franksi’s susceptibility to
predation as follows. Genus-level
information indicates O. franksi is
affected by a number of predators, but
both species-level and genus-level
impacts appear to be minimal. We
conclude that O. franksi has low
susceptibility to predation.
The SRR and SIR did not provide
information on the effects of sea level
rise on O. franksi. The SRR described
sea level rise as an overall low to
medium threat for all coral species. The
public comments did not provide new
or supplemental information on O.
franksi’s susceptibility to sea level rise,
and we did not find any new or
supplemental information. Thus, we
conclude that O. franksi has some
susceptibility to sea level rise, but the
available information does not support
a more precise description of
susceptibility to this threat.
The SRR and SIR do not provide
species-specific information on the
susceptibility of O. franksi to collection
and trade, and the public comments do
not provide new or supplemental
information on its susceptibility to this
threat. Supplemental information we
found confirms the information in the
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SRR and SIR that collection and trade is
not a significant threat for the Orbicella
species complex. Over the last decade,
collection and trade of O. franksi has
been primarily for scientific research
rather than commercial purposes.
Annual gross exports for collection and
trade of O. franksi between 2000 and
2012 averaged 40 specimens (data
available at https://trade.cites.org). Thus,
we conclude that O. franksi has low
susceptibility to collection and trade.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we relied on
information from the Final Management
Report for evaluating the existing
regulatory mechanisms for controlling
threats to all corals. However, we did
not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanism or conservation efforts for
O. franksi. Public comments were
critical of that approach, and we
therefore attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms and conservation efforts on
a species basis, where possible, in this
final rule. Records confirm that O.
franksi occurs in six Atlantic
ecoregions, and studies have confirmed
the presence of O. franksi in an
additional three ecoregions. These nine
ecoregions encompass 26 kingdoms’ and
countries’ EEZs, and the 26 kingdoms
and countries are Antigua & Barbuda,
Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Colombia,
Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican
Republic, French Antilles, Grenada,
Guatemala, Haiti, Kingdom of the
Netherlands, Honduras, Jamaica,
Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, St. Kitts &
Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent &
Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago,
United Kingdom (British Caribbean
Territories and Bermuda), United States
(including U.S. Caribbean Territories),
and Venezuela. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to O. franksi,
described first as a percentage of the
above kingdoms and countries that
utilize them to any degree, and second
as the percentage of those kingdoms and
countries whose regulatory mechanisms
may be limited in scope, are as follows:
General coral protection (31 percent
with 12 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (50 percent with 27 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (31
percent with 15 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (73
percent with 50 percent limited in
scope), managing areas for protection
and conservation (88 percent with 31
percent limited in scope). The most
common regulatory mechanisms in
place for O. franksi are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. However,
half of the reef fishing regulations are
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limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection for the species.
General coral protection and collection
laws, along with pollution control laws,
are much less common regulatory
mechanisms for the management of O.
franksi.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic traits, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that the factors that increase the
extinction risk for O. franksi are
extremely low productivity (growth and
recruitment), documented dramatic
recent declines, and its restriction to the
highly disturbed and degraded wider
Caribbean region. All of these factors
combined to yield a very high estimated
extinction risk. It had a marginally
lower risk estimate than the other two
O. annularis complex species because of
greater distribution in deep and
mesophotic depth habitats, which are
expected to experience lesser exposure
to some surface-based threats.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species’
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of O.
franksi, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. The species has
undergone declines most likely from
disease and warming-induced
bleaching. There is evidence of
synergistic effects of threats for this
species including increased disease
severity with nutrient enrichment.
Orbicella franksi is highly susceptible to
a number of threats, and cumulative
effects of multiple threats have likely
contributed to its decline and exacerbate
vulnerability to extinction. Despite
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declines, the species is still common
and remains one of the most abundant
species on Caribbean reefs. Its life
history characteristics of large colony
size and long life span have enabled it
to remain relatively persistent despite
slow growth and low recruitment rates,
thus moderating vulnerability to
extinction. However, the buffering
capacity of these life history
characteristics is expected to decrease as
colonies shift to smaller size classes as
has been observed in locations in its
range. Its absolute population
abundance has been estimated as at
least tens of millions of colonies in both
a portion of the U.S. Virgin Islands and
the Dry Tortugas and is higher than the
estimate from these two locations due to
the occurrence of the species in many
other areas throughout its range. Despite
the large number of islands and
environments that are included in the
species’ range, geographic distribution
in the highly disturbed Caribbean
exacerbates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because O.
franksi is limited to an area with high,
localized human impacts and predicted
increasing threats. Its depth range of five
to at least 50 m, possibly up to 90 m,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because
deeper areas of its range will usually
have lower temperatures than surface
waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters
that are deeper and cooler than those in
which the species occurs. Orbicella
franksi occurs in most reef habitats,
including both shallow and mesophotic
reefs, which moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species occurs in numerous
types of reef environments that are
predicted, on local and regional scales,
to experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time. Its abundance, life
history characteristics, and depth
distribution, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species’ range,
moderate vulnerability to extinction
because the threats are non-uniform,
and there will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the
determination tool formula approach, O.
franksi was proposed for listing as
endangered because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (E)
disease (C), and ocean acidification (E);
high vulnerability to sedimentation (A
and E) and nutrient over-enrichment (A
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and E); decreasing trend in abundance
(E); low relative recruitment rate (E);
moderate overall distribution (based on
narrow geographic distribution and
wide depth distribution (E); restriction
to the Caribbean (E); and inadequacy of
regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for O. franksi from
endangered to threatened. We made this
determination based on a more speciesspecific and holistic approach,
including consideration of the buffering
capacity of this species’ spatial and
demographic traits, and the best
available information above on O.
franksi’s spatial structure, demography,
threat susceptibilities, and management.
This combination of factors indicates
that O. franksi is likely to become
endangered throughout its range within
the foreseeable future, and thus
warrants listing as threatened at this
time, because:
(1) Orbicella franksi is highly
susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), disease (C), nutrients (A, E),
ocean acidification (E), and
sedimentation (A, E) and susceptible to
trophic effects of fishing (A). These
threats are expected to continue and
increase into the future. In addition, the
species is at heightened extinction risk
due to inadequate existing regulatory
mechanisms to address global threats
(D);
(2) Orbicella franksi is geographically
located in the highly disturbed
Caribbean where localized human
impacts are high and threats are
predicted to increase as described in the
Threats Evaluation section. A range
constrained to this particular geographic
area that is likely to experience severe
and increasing threats indicates that a
high proportion of the population of this
species is likely to be exposed to those
threats over the foreseeable future;
(3) Orbicella franksi has experienced
a decline in benthic cover over the past
two decades; and
(4) Orbicella franksi’s slow growth
rate and low sexual recruitment limits
its capacity for recovery from threatinduced mortality events throughout its
range over the foreseeable future.
Additionally, shifts to smaller size
classes via fission and partial mortality
of older, larger colonies, have reduced
the buffering capacity of O. franksi’s life
history strategy.
The combination of these
characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates that the species is
likely to be in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range, and warrants listing as
threatened at this time due to factors A,
C, D, and E.
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The available information above on O.
franksi spatial structure, demography,
threat susceptibilities, and management
also indicate that the species is not
currently in danger of extinction and
thus does not warrant listing as
Endangered because:
(1) While Orbicella franksi’s
distribution within the Caribbean
increases its risk of exposure to threats
as described above, its known depth
distribution is between 5 and 50 m, with
occurrence by the species complex as
deep as 90 m, and its habitat includes
various shallow and mesophotic reef
environments. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction currently
because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous
types of reef environments that will
experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry on local
and regional scales at any given point in
time, as described in more detail in the
Coral Habitat and Threats Evaluation
sections. There is no evidence to suggest
that the species is so spatially
fragmented that depensatory processes,
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for catastrophic events
currently pose a high risk to the survival
of the species;
(2) Although O. franksi has declined
in percent cover and colony size, there
is evidence that population abundance
has remained stable in some locations
over a decadal time scale; and
(3) Orbicella franksi has a common
occurrence and remains one of the most
dominant corals in the Caribbean. It has
an absolute abundance of at least tens of
millions of colonies based on estimates
from two locations. Absolute abundance
is higher than estimates from these
locations since it occurs in many other
locations throughout its range. This
absolute abundance allows for variation
in the responses of individuals to
threats to play a role in moderating
vulnerability to extinction for the
species to some degree, as described in
more detail in the Corals and Coral
Reefs section. There is no evidence of
depensatory processes such as
reproductive failure from low density of
reproductive individuals and genetic
processes such as inbreeding affecting
this species. Thus, its absolute
abundance indicates it is currently able
to avoid high mortality from
environmental stochasticity, and
mortality of a high proportion of its
population from catastrophic events.
The combination of these
characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of
one that is currently in danger of
extinction, as described previously in
the Risk Analyses section and thus does
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not warrant listing as endangered at this
time.
Range-wide, multitudes of
conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting O.
franksi. However, considering the global
scale of the most important threats to
the species, and the ineffectiveness of
conservation efforts at addressing the
root cause of global threats (i.e., GHG
emissions), we do not believe that any
current conservation efforts or
conservation efforts planned in the
future will result in affecting the
species’ status to the point at which
listing is not warranted.
Orbicella annularis
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on O. annularis’
morphology. Orbicella annularis
colonies grow in columns that exhibit
rapid and regular upward growth. In
contrast to the other two Orbicella
species, margins on the sides of
columns are typically dead. Live colony
surfaces usually lack ridges or bumps.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on O.
annularis’ morphology, and we did not
find any new or supplemental
information.
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
distribution, habitat and depth range of
O. annularis. Orbicella annularis is
common throughout the western
Atlantic and greater Caribbean
including the Flower Garden Banks but
may be absent from Bermuda. Two
personal communications were cited:
one confirming its rarity in Bermuda,
and the other stating O. annularis had
not been seen in Bermuda. Orbicella
annularis is reported from most reef
environments in depths of 0.5 to 20 m.
The Orbicella species complex is a
common, often dominant component of
Caribbean mesophotic reefs, suggesting
the potential for deep refugia across a
broader depth range, but O. annularis is
generally described with a shallower
distribution.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on O.
annularis’ distribution, habitat, or depth
range. Supplemental information we
found includes the following. Veron
(2014) confirmed the occurrence of O.
annularis in nine out of his 11
ecoregions in the western Atlantic and
greater Caribbean known to contain
corals, but indicated one of these
ecoregions (Bermuda) has published
records of occurrence that need further
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investigation. Locke (2013) indicated
early records of O. annularis in
Bermuda may be incorrect since this
species was historically undifferentiated
from O. franksi and O. faveolata. The
two ecoregions in which it is not found
are off the coasts of Brazil and the
southeastern U.S. north of southern
Florida (Veron, 2014).
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Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on O. annularis’
abundance and population trends.
Orbicella annularis has been described
as common overall. Demographic data
collected in Puerto Rico over nine years
straddling the 2005 bleaching event
showed that population growth rates
were stable in the pre-bleaching period
(2001–2005) but declined one year after
the bleaching event. Population growth
rates declined even further two years
after the bleaching event but returned to
stasis the following year.
The public comments provided the
following supplemental information on
O. annularis’ abundance and population
trends. In the Florida Keys, abundance
of O. annularis ranked 30 out of 47 coral
species in 2005, 13 out of 43 in 2009,
and 12 out of 40 in 2012. Extrapolated
population estimates from stratified
random samples were 5.6 million ± 2.7
million (SE) in 2005, 11.5 million ± 4.5
million (SE) in 2009, and 24.3 million
± 12.4 million (SE) in 2012. Size class
distribution was somewhat variable
between survey years, with a larger
proportion of colonies in the smaller
size classes in 2005 compared to 2009
and 2012 and a greater proportion of
colonies in the largest size class (>90
cm) in 2012 compared to 2005 and
2009. Partial colony mortality was
lowest less than 10 cm (as low as
approximately 5 percent) up to
approximately 70 percent in the larger
size classes. In the Dry Tortugas,
Florida, abundance of O. annularis
ranked 41 out of 43 in 2006 and 31 out
of 40 in 2008. The extrapolated
population estimate was 0.5 million ±
0.3 million (SE) colonies in 2008.
Differences in population estimates
between years may be attributed to
sampling effort rather than population
trends (Miller et al., 2013).
Supplemental information we found
on O. annularis’ abundance and
population trends includes the
following. In Utila, Honduras, O.
annularis was present at 80 percent of
sites surveyed between 1999 and 2000
and was the second most common coral
species (Afzal et al., 2001). In a survey
of 31 sites in Dominica between 1999
and 2002, O. annularis was present at
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20 percent of the sites at one to ten
percent cover (Steiner, 2003).
Colony density varies by habitat and
location, and range from less than 0.1 to
greater than one colony per 10 m2. In
surveys of 1,176 sites in southeast
Florida, the Dry Tortugas, and the
Florida Keys between 2005 and 2010,
density of O. annularis ranged between
0.09 and 0.84 colonies per 10 m2 and
was highest on mid-channel reefs
followed by inshore reefs, offshore
patch reefs, and fore-reefs (Burman et
al., 2012). Along the east coast of
Florida, density was highest in areas
south of Miami (0.34 colonies per 10
m2) compared to Palm Beach and
Broward Counties (0.04 colonies per 10
m2, Burman et al., 2012). In surveys
between 2005 to 2007 along the Florida
reef tract from Martin County to the
lower Florida Keys, density of O.
annularis was approximately 1.3
colonies per 10 m2 (Wagner et al., 2010).
Off southwest Cuba on remote reefs, O.
annularis density was 0.31 ± 0.46 (SD)
per 10 m transect on 38 reef-crest sites
and 1.58 ± 1.29 colonies per 10 m
transect on 30 reef-front sites. Colonies
with partial mortality were far more
frequent than those with no partial
mortality which only occurred in the
size class less than 100 cm (Alcolado et
al., 2010).
Population trends are available from a
number of studies. In a study of sites
inside and outside a marine protected
area in Belize, O. annularis cover
declined significantly over a ten year
period (1998/99 to 2008/09)
(Huntington et al., 2011). In a study of
ten sites inside and outside of a marine
reserve in the Exuma Cays, Bahamas,
cover of O. annularis increased between
2004 and 2007 inside the protected area
and decreased outside the protected
area (Mumby and Harborne, 2010).
Between 1996 and 2006, O. annularis
declined in cover by 37 percent in
permanent monitoring stations in the
Florida Keys (Waddell and Clarke,
2008), and, cover of O. annularis in
permanent monitoring stations between
1996 and 1998 on a reef in the upper
Florida Keys declined 71 percent (Porter
et al., 2001).
Orbicella annularis is the third most
abundant coral by percent cover in
permanent monitoring stations in the
U.S. Virgin Islands. A decline of 60
percent was observed between 2001 and
2012 primarily due to bleaching in
2005. However, most of the mortality
was partial mortality, and colony
density in monitoring stations did not
change (Smith, 2013).
At nine sites off Mona and Desecheo
Islands, Puerto Rico, no species
extirpations were noted at any site over
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10 years of monitoring between 1995
and 2008. However, O. faveolata and O.
annularis sustained the largest losses
with the number of colonies of O.
annularis decreasing by 19 and 20
percent at Mona and Desecheo Islands,
respectively. In 1998, eight percent of
all corals at six sites surveyed off Mona
Island were O. annularis colonies,
dipping to approximately 6 percent in
2008. At Desecheo Island, 14 percent of
all coral colonies were O. annularis in
2000 and 13 percent in 2008 (Bruckner
and Hill, 2009).
Surveys of a degraded and a less
degraded site in a marine protected area
in Cartagena, Colombia, revealed that
while large, old colonies of O. annularis
were present, colonies had experienced
high partial mortality that caused high
fission rates and a dominance of small,
non-reproductive ramets. Ramets that
were non-reproductive or less fertile
(less than 46 cm2) accounted for 72
percent and 55 percent of the
population at the surveyed sites, and
only one percent and six percent of the
ramets at the sites were large enough
(200 cm2) to be fully reproductive. In
addition to the small ramet size, the lack
of sexual recruitment led the authors to
conclude that both populations were in
decline, especially at the more degraded
reef where mortality was higher and
ramets were smaller, as individual
colonies seemed to be growing old
without being replaced (AlvaradoChacon and Acosta, 2009).
In a survey of 185 sites in five
countries (Bahamas, Bonaire, Cayman
Islands, Puerto Rico, and St. Kitts and
Nevis) in 2010 to 2011, size of O.
annularis and O. franksi colonies was
significantly less than O. faveolata.
Total mean partial mortality of O.
annularis colonies at all sites was 40
percent. Overall, the total area occupied
by live O. annularis declined by a mean
of 51 percent, and mean colony size
declined from 1927 cm2 to 939 cm2.
There was a 211 percent increase in
small tissue remnants less than 500 cm2,
while the proportion of completely live
large (1,500–30,000 cm2) colonies
declined. Orbicella annularis colonies
in Puerto Rico were much larger with
large amounts of dead sections. In
contrast, colonies in Bonaire were also
large with greater amounts of live tissue.
The presence of dead sections was
attributed primarily to outbreaks of
white plague and yellow band disease,
which emerged as corals began
recovering from mass bleaching events.
This was followed by increased
predation and removal of live tissue by
damselfish algal lawns (Bruckner,
2012a).
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Hughes and Tanner (2000)
documented the demographics of O.
annularis in Jamaica from 1977 to 1993.
At the beginning of the study, 86
colonies were present within monitored
stations. The number of colonies
increased 40 to 42 percent between 1986
and 1987 due to fission (occurring at the
same time as a decline in cover) and
subsequently declined steadily to 40
colonies by 1993. Rates of survival,
population growth, and recruitment
declined over time, and the size
structure became increasingly
dominated by smaller size classes
(Hughes and Tanner, 2000). Mortality
increased sharply between 1990 and
1993 due to the presence of smaller,
more vulnerable colonies formed by
partial mortality of larger colonies
(Hughes, 1996). The persistence of large
colonies had the greatest effect on
population growth, and simulations
indicated that the levels of recruitment
needed to maintain population levels at
1977 levels increased sharply over time
(Hughes and Tanner, 2000). Simulations
with no sexual recruitment indicated
that the population dynamics in the
most recent period (1987 to 1993)
forecasted a population of zero within
approximately 25 years. Simulation
using the population dynamics observed
between 1982 to 1987 would result in a
slower decline while the dynamics
observed between 1977 and 1982 would
result in population growth (Hughes
and Tanner, 2000).
Cover of O. annularis at Yawzi Point,
St. John, U.S. Virgin Islands declined
from 41 percent in 1988 to
approximately 12 percent by 2003 with
a rapid decline beginning with the
aftermath of Hurricane Hugo in 1989
and continuing between 1994 and 1999
during a time of two hurricanes (1995)
and a year of unusually high sea
temperature (1998), and remaining
statistically unchanged between 1999
and 2003. Colony abundances declined
from 47 to 20 colonies per m2 between
1988 and 2003, due mostly to the death
and fission of medium to large colonies
(≥151 cm2). Meanwhile, the population
size class structure shifted between
1988 and 2003 to a higher proportion of
smaller colonies in 2003 (60 percent less
than 50 cm2 in 1988 versus 70 percent
in 2003) and lower proportion of large
colonies (6 percent greater than 250 cm2
in 1988 versus 3 percent in 2003). The
changes in population size structure
indicated a population decline
coincident with the period of apparent
stable coral cover. Population modeling
forecasts the 1988 size structure would
not be reestablished by recruitment and
a strong likelihood of extirpation of O.
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annularis at this site within 50 years
(Edmunds and Elahi, 2007).
Orbicella annularis colonies were
monitored between 2001 and 2009 at
Culebra Island, Puerto Rico. The
population was in demographic
equilibrium (high rates of survival and
stasis) before the 2005 bleaching event
but suffered a significant decline in
growth rate (mortality and shrinkage) for
two consecutive years after the
bleaching event. Partial tissue mortality
due to bleaching caused dramatic
colony fragmentation that resulted in a
population made up almost entirely of
small colonies by 2007 (97 percent were
less than 50 cm2). Three years after the
bleaching event, the population
stabilized at a number of colonies
reduced by about half, with fewer
medium to large size colonies and more
´
smaller colonies (Hernandez-Pacheco et
al., 2011).
All information on O. annularis’
abundance and population trends can
be summarized as follows. Historically,
O. annularis was considered to be one
of the most abundant species in the
Caribbean (Weil and Knowlton, 1994).
Percent cover has declined between 37
to 90 percent over the past several
decades at reefs at Jamaica, Belize,
Florida Keys, Bahamas, Bonaire,
Cayman Islands, Curacao, Puerto Rico,
U.S. Virgin Islands, and St. Kitts and
Nevis. Based on population estimates,
there are at least tens of millions of O.
annularis colonies present in the
Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas
combined. Absolute abundance is
higher than the estimate from these two
locations given the presence of this
species in many other locations
throughout its range. Orbicella
annularis remains common in
occurrence. Abundance has decreased
in some areas between 19 to 57 percent,
and shifts to smaller size classes have
occurred in locations such as Jamaica,
Colombia, Bahamas, Bonaire, Cayman
Islands, Puerto Rico, U.S. Virgin Islands,
and St. Kitts and Nevis. At some reefs,
a large proportion of the population is
comprised of non-fertile or lessreproductive size classes. Several
population projections indicate
population decline in the future is likely
at specific sites, and local extirpation is
possible within 25 to 50 years at
conditions of high mortality, low
recruitment, and slow growth rates. We
conclude that while substantial
population decline has occurred in O.
annularis, it is still common throughout
the Caribbean and remains one of the
dominant species numbering at least in
the tens of millions of colonies.
Additionally, as discussed in the genus
section, we conclude that the buffering
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53953
capacity of O. annularis’ life history
strategy that has allowed it to remain
abundant has been reduced by the
recent population declines and amounts
of partial mortality, particularly in large
colonies.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on O. annularis’
life history. Orbicella annularis is
reported to have slightly smaller egg
size and potentially smaller size/age at
first reproduction that the other two
species of the Orbicella genus.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
life history of O. annularis.
Supplemental information we found on
O. annularis’ life history includes the
following. The reported growth rate of
O. annularis is 0.4 to 1.2 cm per year
˜´
(Cruz-Pinon et al., 2003; Tomascik,
1990). Darling et al. (2012) performed a
biological trait-based analysis to
categorize coral species into four life
history strategies: Generalist, weedy,
competitive, and stress-tolerant. The
classifications were primarily separated
by colony morphology, growth rate, and
reproductive mode. Orbicella annularis
was classified as a ‘‘stress-tolerant’’
species, thus likely less vulnerable to
environmental stress.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following other biological information
for O. annularis. Eight percent of O.
annularis genotypes across three sites in
Belize were clones. Low tissue biomass
can render specific colonies of O.
annularis susceptible to mortality from
stress events, such as bleaching or
disease. This suggests that differential
mortality among individuals, species,
and reefs from stress events such as
bleaching or disease may be at least
partially a function of differential
colony biomass (indicating overall coral
health) as opposed to genetic or
physiologic differences among corals or
their symbionts.
In a 2010 cold-water event that
affected south Florida, mortality of O.
annularis was higher than any other
coral species in surveys from Martin
County to the lower Florida Keys.
Average partial mortality was 56 percent
during the cold-water event compared
to 0.3 percent from 2005 to 2009.
Surveys at a Florida Keys inshore patch
reef, which experienced temperatures
less than 18 degrees C for 11 days,
revealed O. annularis was one of the
most susceptible coral species with all
colonies experiencing total colony
mortality.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental biological
information on O. annularis.
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Supplemental biological information we
found includes the following. Of 117
colonies of O. annularis observed to
spawn at a reef site off Bocas del Toro,
Panama, there were 21 distinct
genotypes, meaning that 82 percent of
the colonies were clones (Levitan et al.,
2011). Individuals within a genotype
spawned more synchronously than
individuals of different genotypes.
Colonies nearby spawned more
synchronously regardless of genotype,
out to about 5 m. When colonies were
farther away, spawning was random.
Of 137 O. annularis colonies sampled
in Honduras, 118 were distinct
genotypes, meaning that 14 percent of
the colonies were clones. Over 90
percent of genotypes were represented
by a single colony, and 8 percent of the
genotypes were represented by two or
three colonies. One genotype had 14
colonies. Distance between clones
ranged between 0.15 m to 6.94 m (Foster
et al., 2007).
Genetic sampling of 698 O. annularis
colonies from 18 reefs within five
countries in the Caribbean (Belize,
Bahamas, Columbia, Curacao, and
Honduras) revealed 466 distinct
genotypes (approximately 33 percent
clones). Genotypic diversity varied
across the species’ range from
genetically diverse populations in
Colombia, where every colony was
unique, to genetically depauperate
populations in Belize and Curacao,
where a few genetic clones dominated.
The contribution of clones to the local
abundance of O. annularis increased in
areas with greater hurricane frequency.
Sites with higher genotypic diversity
were dominated by larger colonies, and
sites that experienced more frequent
hurricanes were composed of smaller
colonies than sites with less frequent
hurricanes (Foster et al., 2013).
Tissue samples of 1,424 O. annularis
colonies at 26 reefs in 16 regions of the
Caribbean (Bahamas, Cuba, Dominican
Republic, Puerto Rico, British Virgin
Islands, Dominica, Barbados, Tobago,
Venezuela, Netherlands Antilles,
Colombia, Nicaragua, Jamaica, Cayman
Islands, Belize, and Honduras)
produced 943 distinct genotypes (34
percent clones). Three coarse
population clusters of O. annularis were
detected: eastern (Lesser Antilles,
Venezuela, and Netherlands Antilles),
western (Bahamas, Cuba, Belize, and
Cayman Islands), and central (Jamaica,
Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia, Puerto
Rico, British Virgin Islands, and
Dominican Republic). No barrier to gene
flow based on absolute geographic
distance was apparent (Foster et al.,
2012).
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In a study of symbiont composition of
repeatedly sampled colonies of six
species in the Bahamas and the Florida
Keys in 1998 and 2000 to 2004, major
changes in symbiont dominance with
time were observed in O. annularis and
O. franksi at certain reefs in the Florida
Keys. Some colonies of O. annularis and
O. franksi exhibited shifts in their
associations attributed to recovery from
the stresses of the 1997–1998 bleaching
event. Most transitions in symbiont
identity ended in 2002, three to five
years after the 1997–98 bleaching event
(Thornhill et al., 2006).
All other biological information can
be summarized as follows. Asexual
fission and partial mortality can lead to
multiple ramets. The percentage of
unique genotypes is variable by location
and is reported to range between 18 and
86 percent (14 to 82 percent are clones).
Colonies in areas with higher
disturbance from hurricanes tend to
have more clonality. Genetic data
indicate that there is some population
structure in the eastern, central, and
western Caribbean with population
connectivity within areas but not across.
Although O. annularis is still abundant,
it may exhibit high clonality in some
locations.
Susceptibility to Threats
The threat susceptibility information
from the SRR and SIR was interpreted
in the proposed rule for O. annularis’
vulnerabilities to threats as follows:
High vulnerability to ocean warming,
disease, acidification, sedimentation,
and nutrient enrichment; moderate
vulnerability to the trophic effects of
fishing; and low vulnerability to sea
level rise, predation, and collection and
trade.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
susceptibility of O. annularis to ocean
warming. Simulation models using
demographic data collected in Puerto
Rico over nine years straddling the 2005
bleaching forecasted extinction of the
population within 100 years at a
bleaching frequency of once every five
to ten years.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of O. annularis to ocean
warming. Supplemental information we
found on the susceptibility of O.
annularis to ocean warming includes
the following. Surveys from 19 locations
throughout the Caribbean indicated the
bleaching event of 1995–96 was most
extensive in the central and western
Caribbean but only slight in the Lesser
Antilles and Bermuda. Mortality of O.
annularis from bleaching ranged from 2
to 30 percent at eight locations six
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months after the onset of bleaching
(Alcolado et al., 2001).
Eight of 15 colonies of O. annularis
monitored in Jamaica from 1994 to 1997
bleached in 1995. Bleaching affected
polyp tissue depth, skeletal extension
rate, reproduction, and density band
formation, but the rate of recovery of
each of these characteristics varied.
Tissue depth recovered within 4 to 8
weeks after normal color returned, and
growth rates returned to pre-bleaching
levels once color and tissue depth
returned. However, one year post
bleaching, reproductive failure occurred
in severely bleached colonies (bleached
for 4 months and pale for an additional
3 months), and colonies that bleached
mildly (bleached for 2 months with pale
color for an additional 1 to 3 months)
experienced reduced reproduction.
Reproductive output of bleached
colonies continued to be reduced two
years after bleaching (Mendes and
Woodley, 2002).
Stratified random surveys on backreefs and fore-reefs between one and 30
m depth off Puerto Rico (Mona and
Desecho Islands, La Parguera,
Mayaguez, Boqueron, and Rincon) in
2005 and 2006 revealed severe
bleaching in O. annularis with greater
than 95 percent of colonies bleached
(Waddell and Clarke, 2008). Surveys
from 2005 to 2007 along the Florida reef
tract from Martin County to the lower
Florida Keys indicated that O. annularis
had the seventh highest bleaching
prevalence out of 30 species observed
(Wagner et al., 2010). During a 2009
bleaching event on Little Cayman, of the
ten coral species that bleached, O.
annularis had the second highest
bleaching prevalence with
approximately 45 percent of colonies
bleached (van Hooidonk et al., 2012).
Surveys at Culebra Island, Puerto Rico
revealed extensive bleaching in 2005
with all of the O. annularis colonies in
monitored transects bleached, and many
of the surviving colonies remained pale
in color after a year. Cover of O.
annularis was reduced from 28 percent
prior to the bleaching event in 2005 to
´
8 percent in 2009 (Hernandez-Pacheco
et al., 2011).
In Barbados, the prevalence and
abundance of the zooxanthellae
Symbiodinium trenchi (D1a) increased
in colonies of O. annularis in the weeks
leading up to and during the 2005
bleaching event, and disproportionately
dominated O. annularis colonies that
did not bleach. In the 2-year period
following the bleaching event, S. trenchi
was displaced by other strains of
Symbiodinium that were more
competitive under less stressful
conditions. The authors concluded that
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it was unclear whether the rise and fall
of S. trenchi was ecologically beneficial
or whether its increased prevalence was
an indicator of weakening coral health
(LaJeunesse et al., 2009).
Across the U.S. Virgin Islands,
average bleaching of O. annularis was
66 percent, and paling was 16 percent,
during the 2005 bleaching event.
Disease prevalence of O. annularis was
5 percent after the 2005 bleaching. In
the milder 2010 bleaching event, 58
percent of O. annularis colonies
bleached, and 28 percent of the colonies
paled. No O. annularis colonies suffered
total mortality, but percent cover
decreased from the 2.5 percent cover in
2005 before bleaching to about one
percent in 2010. There was a reduction
in the proportion of larger sized
colonies and an increase in the
proportion of smaller sized colonies due
to fission of larger colonies. The authors
concluded that the susceptibility to
disease increased the impact of
bleaching, making O. annularis less
tolerant overall to ocean warming
(Smith et al., 2013b).
All sources of information are used to
describe O. annularis’ susceptibility to
ocean warming as follows. Orbicella
annularis is highly susceptible to
bleaching with 45 to 100 percent of
colonies observed to bleach. Reported
mortality from bleaching ranges from
two to 71 percent. Recovery after
bleaching is slow with paled colonies
observed for up to a year. Reproductive
failure can occur a year after bleaching,
and reduced reproduction has been
observed two years post bleaching.
There is indication that symbiont
shuffling can occur prior to, during, and
after bleaching events and result in
bleaching resistance in individual
colonies. We conclude that O. annularis
is highly susceptible to ocean warming.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any
species-specific information on the
susceptibility of O. annularis to
acidification, and the public comments
did not provide new or supplemental
information on its susceptibility to this
threat. We did not find any new or
supplemental information on the
susceptibility of O. annularis to
acidification. Although there is no
species-specific information on the
susceptibility of O. annularis to ocean
acidification, genus information
indicates the species complex has
reduced growth and fertilization success
under acidic conditions. Thus, we
conclude O. annularis likely has high
susceptibility to ocean acidification.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any
species-specific information on the
susceptibility of O. annularis to disease.
The public comments did not provide
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new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of O. annularis to disease.
Supplemental information we found on
the susceptibility of O. annularis to
disease confirms the information on the
Orbicella species complex and includes
the following. Surveys at five sites along
the west coast of Dominica between
2000 and 2002 revealed O. annularis
was one of the species most susceptible
to disease. Of the 12 species infected by
white plague in 2000, O. annularis
ranked third highest in disease
prevalence (14.1 percent of infected
colonies were O. annularis). It ranked
second in 2001 out of 14 species (20.3
percent) and third in 2002 out of 13
species (12.7 percent). Although only
one colony experienced total colony
mortality, O. annularis had the third
highest amount of tissue loss in the
three years combined (11,717 cm2).
Black band disease affected O. annularis
in 2000 but not in any of the other
survey years (Borger and Steiner, 2005).
In a 1998 outbreak of white plague in
St. Lucia, three percent of O. annularis
were affected, which was the lowest
prevalence of disease of six species
studied (Nugues, 2002). In surveys after
the 2010 bleaching event and the
passage of a hurricane, 93 percent of
diseased colonies (111 of 119 colonies)
surveyed in radial transects in Brewers
Bay, U.S. Virgin Islands were O.
annularis (Brandt et al., 2013). Yellow
band disease in O. annularis increased
in prevalence between 1999 and 2004
on reefs near La Parguera and Desecheo
and Mona Islands, Puerto Rico
(Waddell, 2005).
Disease surveys conducted between
August and December 1999 at 19 reef
sites from six geographic areas across
the wider Caribbean (Bermuda, Puerto
Rico, Bonaire, Venezuela, Colombia,
and Jamaica) revealed that O. annularis
showed the highest incidence of disease
at 5.5 to 12.6 percent across geographic
locations. Yellow band disease showed
higher incidences in Bonaire and
Venezuela where a high proportion of
recently dead ramets of O. annularis
that most probably died from the
disease were observed (Weil et al.,
2002).
In Curacao, colonies of O. annularis
infected with yellow band disease lost
90 percent of their tissue between 1997
and 2005. Only the unaffected parts of
colonies continued to grow, and only
the smallest lesions healed. Partial
mortality was higher in 2005 (average of
40 percent) than in 1998. Outbreaks of
white plague occurred in 2001 and 2005
and infected O. faveolata and O.
annularis with the highest frequency
(Bruckner and Bruckner, 2006a).
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All sources of information are used to
describe O. annularis’ susceptibility to
disease as follows. Most studies report
O. annularis as among the species with
the highest disease prevalence. Disease
can cause extensive loss in coral cover,
high levels of partial colony mortality,
and changes in the relative proportions
of smaller and larger colonies,
particularly when outbreaks occur after
bleaching events. Thus, we conclude
that O. annularis is highly susceptible to
disease.
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the
susceptibility of O. annularis to the
trophic effects of fishing. Interactions
between O. annularis and four types of
benthic algae (encrusting calcified red
algae, fleshy brown macroalgae, upright
calcareous green algae, and a mixed
assemblage of turf algae) indicate that
each alga exerts its own characteristic
suite of effects on the coral holobiont,
and that micro-scale dynamics have the
potential to drive changes in reef
community composition. Negative
impacts spanned the range from microscale changes in microbial communities
and oxygen drawdown to colony-scale
effects such as damage to adjacent
polyps and lowered fecundity of the
adjacent colony. The public comments
did not provide new or supplemental
information on the susceptibility of O.
annularis to the trophic effects of
fishing, and we did not find any new or
supplemental information.
All sources of information are used to
describe O. annularis’ susceptibility to
the trophic effects of fishing as follows.
Due to the level of reef fishing
conducted in the Caribbean, coupled
with Diadema die-off and lack of
significant recovery, competition with
algae can adversely affect coral
recruitment. In addition, competition
with algae can lead to micro-scale to
colony-level negative impacts to O.
annularis. Thus, we conclude that O.
annularis has some susceptibility to the
trophic effects of fishing. The available
information does not support a more
precise description of susceptibility to
this threat.
The SRR and SIR did not provide
species-specific information on the
susceptibility of O. annularis to
sedimentation, and the public
comments did not provide new or
supplemental information on its
susceptibility to this threat.
Supplemental information we found
confirms the information on the
susceptibility of the Orbicella species
complex to sedimentation and includes
the following. In St. Lucia, rates of
partial mortality of O. annularis and O.
faveolata were higher close to river
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mouths where sediments were
deposited than they were farther from
the river mouths, indicating sensitivity
of these two species to sedimentation
(Nugues and Roberts, 2003).
Additionally, at five study sites in
Puerto Rico, the cover of O. annularis
decreased significantly with a high
content of terrigenous sediments (Torres
and Morelock, 2002).
All sources of information are used to
describe O. annularis’ susceptibility to
sedimentation as follows.
Sedimentation can cause partial
mortality and decreased coral cover of
O. annularis. In addition, genus
information indicates sedimentation
negatively affects primary production,
growth rates, calcification, colony size,
and abundance. Therefore, we conclude
that O. annularis has high susceptibility
to sedimentation.
The SRR, SIR, and public comments
do not provide information on the
susceptibility of O. annularis to nutrient
enrichment. Supplemental information
we found on the susceptibility of O.
annularis to nutrient enrichment
includes the following. Field
experiments indicate that nutrient
enrichment significantly increases
yellow band disease severity in O.
annularis and O. franksi through
increased tissue loss (Bruno et al.,
2003). In laboratory experiments,
dissolved organic carbon caused
significantly higher mortality of O.
annularis after 30 days of exposure
compared to controls while nutrients
(phosphate, nitrate, and ammonia) did
not (Kline et al., 2006; Kuntz et al.,
2005). Dissolved organic carbon levels
that resulted in significantly higher
mortality compared to controls were
12.5 mg per L glucose, and 25 mg per
L lactose, starch, galactose, and glucose,
which were all levels reported for
impacted reefs (Kline et al., 2006; Kuntz
et al., 2005).
All sources of information are used to
describe O. annularis’ susceptibility to
nutrient enrichment as follows. Elevated
nutrients cause increased disease
severity in O. annularis. Genus level
information indicates elevated nutrients
also cause reduced growth rates and
lowered recruitment. Therefore, we
conclude that O. annularis has high
susceptibility to nutrients.
The SRR and SIR do not provide
species-specific information on the
susceptibility of O. annularis to
predation. Likewise, the public
comments do not provide information
on the susceptibility of O. annularis to
predation. Supplemental information
we found on the susceptibility of O.
annularis to predation includes the
following. Predation by the
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corallivorous snail C. abbreviata was
present on 2.5 percent of O. annularis
colonies surveyed in the Florida Keys in
2012 (Miller et al., 2013). Parrotfish
consume O. annularis and O. faveolata
more intensively than other coral
species, but tissue regeneration
capabilities appear to be high enough to
counterbalance loss from predation
(Mumby, 2009).
All sources of information are used to
describe O. annularis’ susceptibility to
predation as follows. Orbicella
annularis is affected by a number of
predators, but losses appear to be
minimal. We conclude that O. annularis
has low susceptibility to predation.
The SRR and SIR did not provide
information on the effects of sea level
rise on O. annularis. The SRR described
sea level rise as an overall low to
medium threat for all coral species. The
public comments did not provide new
or supplemental information on O.
annularis’ susceptibility to sea level
rise, and we did not find any new or
supplemental information. Thus, we
conclude that O. annularis has some
susceptibility to sea level rise, but the
available information does not support
a more precise description of
susceptibility to this threat.
The SRR and SIR did not provide
species-specific information on the
susceptibility of O. annularis to
collection and trade, and the public
comments did not provide new or
supplemental information on its
susceptibility to this threat.
Supplemental information we found
confirms the information in the SRR and
SIR that collection and trade is not a
significant threat for the Orbicella
species complex. Over the last decade,
collection and trade of this species has
been primarily for scientific research
rather than commercial purposes.
Annual gross exports for collection and
trade of O. annularis between 2000 and
2012 averaged 1,178 specimens (data
available at https://trade.cites.org). Thus,
we conclude that O. annularis has a low
susceptibility to collection and trade.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we relied on
information from the Final Management
Report for evaluating the existing
regulatory mechanisms for controlling
threats to all corals. However, we did
not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanism or conservation efforts for
O. annularis. Public comments were
critical of that approach, and we
therefore attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms and conservation efforts on
a species basis, where possible, in this
final rule. Records confirm that O.
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annularis occurs in nine Atlantic
ecoregions that encompass 26
kingdom’s and countries’ EEZs. The 26
kingdoms and countries are Antigua &
Barbuda, Bahamas, Barbados, Belize,
Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominica,
Dominican Republic, French Antilles,
Grenada, Guatemala, Haiti, Kingdom of
the Netherlands, Honduras, Jamaica,
Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, St. Kitts &
Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent &
Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago,
United Kingdom (British Caribbean
Territories and possibly Bermuda),
United States (including U.S. Caribbean
Territories), and Venezuela. The
regulatory mechanisms relevant to O.
annularis, described first as a
percentage of the above kingdoms and
countries that utilize them to any
degree, and second as the percentage of
those kingdoms and countries whose
regulatory mechanisms may be limited
in scope, are as follows: General coral
protection (31 percent with 12 percent
limited in scope), coral collection (50
percent with 27 percent limited in
scope), pollution control (31 percent
with 15 percent limited in scope),
fishing regulations on reefs (73 percent
with 50 percent limited in scope),
managing areas for protection and
conservation (88 percent with 31
percent limited in scope). The most
common regulatory mechanisms in
place for O. annularis are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. However,
half of the reef fishing regulations are
limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection for the species.
General coral protection and collection
laws, along with pollution control laws,
are much less common regulatory
mechanisms for the management of O.
annularis.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic traits, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that the factors that increase the
extinction risk for O. annularis include
very low productivity (growth and
recruitment), documented dramatic
declines in abundance, restriction to the
degraded reefs of the wider Caribbean
region, and preferential occurrence in
shallow habitats (yielding potentially
greater exposure to surface-based
threats.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
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described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species’
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of O.
annularis, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. The species has
undergone major declines mostly due to
warming-induced bleaching and
disease. Several population projections
indicate population decline in the
future is likely at specific sites and that
local extirpation is possible within 25 to
50 years at conditions of high mortality,
low recruitment, and slow growth rates.
There is evidence of synergistic effects
of threats for this species including
disease outbreaks following bleaching
events and increased disease severity
with nutrient enrichment. Orbicella
annularis is highly susceptible to a
number of threats, and cumulative
effects of multiple threats have likely
contributed to its decline and exacerbate
vulnerability to extinction. Despite high
declines, the species is still common
and remains one of the most abundant
species on Caribbean reefs. Its life
history characteristics of large colony
size and long life span have enabled it
to remain relatively persistent despite
slow growth and low recruitment rates,
thus moderating vulnerability to
extinction. However, the buffering
capacity of these life history
characteristics is expected to decrease as
colonies shift to smaller size classes as
has been observed in locations in its
range. Its absolute population
abundance has been estimated as at
least tens of millions of colonies in the
Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas
combined and is higher than the
estimate from these two locations due to
the occurrence of the species in many
other areas throughout its range. Despite
the large number of islands and
environments that are included in the
species’ range, geographic distribution
in the highly disturbed Caribbean
exacerbates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because O.
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annularis is limited to an area with
high, localized human impacts and
predicted increasing threats. Orbicella
annularis occurs in most reef habitats
0.5 to 20 m in depth which moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species
occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that are predicted, on
local and regional scales, to experience
highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. Its abundance and life history
characteristics combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species’ range,
moderate vulnerability to extinction
because the threats are non-uniform,
and there will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the
determination tool formula approach, O.
annularis was proposed for listing as
endangered because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (E)
disease (C), and ocean acidification (E);
high vulnerability to sedimentation (A
and E) and nutrient over-enrichment (A
and E); decreasing trend in abundance
(E); low relative recruitment rate (E);
narrow overall distribution (based on
narrow geographic distribution and
moderate depth distribution (E);
restriction to the Caribbean; and
inadequacy of regulatory mechanisms
(D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for O. annularis
from endangered to threatened. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
approach, including consideration of
the buffering capacity of this species’
spatial and demographic traits, and the
best available information above on O.
annularis’ spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management. The combination of these
factors indicates that O. annularis is
likely to become endangered throughout
its range within the foreseeable future,
and thus warrants listing as threatened
at this time, because:
(1) Orbicella annularis is susceptible
to ocean warming (ESA Factor E),
disease (C), sedimentation (A, E),
nutrients (A, E), and ocean acidification
(E) and susceptible to trophic effects of
fishing (A). These threats are expected
to continue and increase into the future.
In addition, the species is at heightened
extinction risk due to inadequate
existing regulatory mechanisms to
address global threats (D);
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(2) Orbicella is geographically located
in the highly disturbed Caribbean where
localized human impacts are high and
threats are predicted to increase as
described in the Threats Evaluation
section. A range constrained to this
particular geographic area that is likely
to experience severe and increasing
threats indicates that a high proportion
of the population of this species is likely
to be exposed to those threats over the
foreseeable future;
(3) Orbicella annularis has undergone
declines in abundance and percent
cover over the past two decades;
(4) Orbicella annularis’ slow growth
rate and low sexual recruitment limit its
capacity for recovery from threatinduced mortality events throughout its
range over the foreseeable future.
Additionally, shifts to smaller size
classes via fission and partial mortality
of older, larger colonies, have reduced
the buffering capacity of O. annularis’
life history strategy; and
(5) Several population projections and
simulations predict continued
population declines and local
extirpation at specific sites within the
foreseeable future.
The combination of these
characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates that the species is
likely to be in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range, and warrants listing as
threatened at this time due to factors A,
C, D, and E.
The available information above on O.
annularis’ spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management also indicate that the
species is not currently in danger of
extinction and thus does not warrant
listing as Endangered because:
(1) While Orbicella annularis’
distribution within the Caribbean
increases its risk of exposure to threats
as described above, its habitat includes
most reef environments in water depths
ranging from 0.5 to 20 m. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
currently because the species is not
limited to one habitat type but occurs in
numerous types of reef environments
will experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry on local
and regional scales at any given point in
time, as described in more detail in the
Coral Habitat and Threats Evaluation
sections. There is no evidence to suggest
that the species is so spatially
fragmented that depensatory processes,
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for catastrophic events
currently pose a high risk to the survival
of the species;
(2) Although O. annularis’ abundance
has declined, it still has a common
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occurrence and remains one of the most
dominant corals in the Caribbean. Its
absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies based on estimates
from two locations. Absolute abundance
is higher than estimates from these
locations since it occurs in many other
locations throughout its range. This
absolute abundance allows for variation
in the responses of individuals to
threats to play a role in moderating
vulnerability to extinction for the
species to some degree, as described in
more detail in the Corals and Coral
Reefs section. There is no evidence of
depensatory processes such as
reproductive failure from low density of
reproductive individuals and genetic
processes such as inbreeding affecting
this species. Thus, its absolute
abundance indicates it is currently able
to avoid high mortality from
environmental stochasticity, and
mortality of a high proportion of its
population from catastrophic events;
and
(3) Some evidence shows that
symbiont shuffling can occur prior to,
during, and after bleaching events and
result in bleaching resistance in
individual colonies. This indicates O.
annularis may have some buffering
capacity against warming-induced
bleaching.
The combination of these
characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of
one that is currently in danger of
extinction, as described previously in
the Risk Analyses section and thus does
not warrant listing as endangered at this
time.
Range-wide, multitudes of
conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting O.
annularis. However, considering the
global scale of the most important
threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at
addressing the root cause of global
threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not
believe that any current conservation
efforts or conservation efforts planned
in the future will result in affecting the
species’ status to the point at which
listing is not warranted.
Genus Acropora (Caribbean)
Acropora is the only genus
considered in this rule that has species
from both the Caribbean and the IndoPacific. Genus-level information for the
Indo-Pacific species is described later
under the section heading Genus
Acropora (Indo-Pacific). Colonies in the
Caribbean are all branching. There are
over 300 nominal species in the genus
Acropora, but in the Caribbean, there
are only two species and one hybrid.
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Acropora cervicornis and A. palmata
can interbreed to form the hybrid A.
prolifera (Brainard et al., 2011).
Acropora cervicornis shows genetic
evidence of introgression or backcrossing with the hybrid A. prolifera
while A. palmata does not (Brainard et
al., 2011). The reason may be that A.
palmata eggs are more resistant to
fertilization in comparison to A.
cervicornis eggs, as evidenced by an
order of magnitude higher sperm
needed to maximize conspecific
fertilization, lower rates of
heterospecific fertilization, and reduced
viability after four hours (Fogarty et al.,
2012c).
Caribbean acroporiids are easily
distinguishable and heavily studied.
Therefore, this final rule does not
provide an exhaustive discussion of the
spatial, demographic, and threat
vulnerabilities at the genus level. That
information is described below for each
species.
Acropora cervicornis
Introduction
Acropora cervicornis is characterized
by antler-like colonies with straight or
slightly curved, cylindrical branches.
The diameter of branches ranges from
0.25 to 5 cm (Lirman et al., 2010a), and
linear branch growth rates have been
reported to range between 3 and 11.5 cm
per year (Acropora Biological Review
Team, 2005). The species can exist as
isolated branches, individual colonies
up to about 1.5 m diameter, and thickets
comprised of multiple colonies that are
difficult to distinguish (Acropora
Biological Review Team, 2005).
Spatial Information
Information on A. cervicornis’
distribution, habitat, and depth range
that we considered in the proposed rule
includes the following. Acropora
cervicornis is distributed throughout the
Caribbean, in the southwestern Gulf of
Mexico, and in the western Atlantic.
The fossil record indicates that during
the Holocene, A. cervicornis was present
as far north as Palm Beach County in
southeast Florida (Lighty et al., 1978),
which is also the northern extent of its
current distribution (Goldberg, 1973).
Acropora cervicornis naturally occurs
on spur and groove, bank reef, patch
reef, and transitional reef habitats, as
well as on limestone ridges, terraces,
and hardbottom habitats (Cairns, 1982;
Davis, 1982; Gilmore and Hall, 1976;
Goldberg, 1973; Jaap, 1984; Miller et al.,
2008; Wheaton and Jaap, 1988). It
commonly grows in water ranging from
five to 20 m in depth and has rarely
been found to 60 m (Davis, 1982; Jaap,
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1984; Jaap et al., 1989; Schuhmacher
and Zibrowius, 1985; Wheaton and Jaap,
1988). At the northern extent of its
range, it grows in deeper water (16 to 30
m; Goldberg, 1973). Historically,
staghorn coral was one of the primary
constructors of mid-depth (10 to 15 m)
reef terraces in the western Caribbean,
including Jamaica, the Cayman Islands,
Belize, and some reefs along the eastern
Yucatan peninsula (Adey, 1978). In the
Florida Keys, A. cervicornis occurs in
various habitats but is most prevalent on
patch reefs as opposed to their former
abundance in deeper fore-reef habitats
(Miller et al., 2008). There is no
evidence of range constriction, though
loss of A. cervicornis at the reef level
has occurred (Acropora Biological
Review Team, 2005).
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on A.
cervicornis’ habitat or depth range. The
public comments provided the
following supplemental information on
the distribution of A. cervicornis. Precht
and Aronson (2004) postulate that
coincident with climate warming, A.
cervicornis only recently re-occupied its
historic range after contracting to south
of Miami, Florida during the late
Holocene. They based this idea on the
presence of large thickets off Ft.
Lauderdale, Florida which were
discovered in 1998 and had not been
reported in the 1970s or 1980s (Precht
and Aronson, 2004). However, because
the presence of A. cervicornis in Palm
Beach County, north of Ft. Lauderdale,
was reported in the early 1970s (though
no thicket formation was reported;
Goldberg, 1973), there is uncertainty
associated with whether these thickets
were present prior to their discovery or
if they recently appeared coincident
with warming.
We did not find any new or
supplemental information on habitat or
depth range. Supplemental information
we found on A. cervicornis’ distribution
is consistent with information
considered in the proposed rule and
includes the following. Veron (2014)
confirms the presence of A. cervicornis
in seven out of a potential 11 ecoregions
in the western Atlantic and greater
Caribbean that are known to contain
corals. The four ecoregions in which it
is not found are the Flower Garden
Banks and off the coasts of Bermuda,
Brazil, and the southeast U.S. north of
south Florida. The proportion of reefs
with A. cervicornis present decreased
dramatically after the Caribbean-wide
mass mortality in the 1970s and 1980s,
indicating the spatial structure of the
species has been affected by extirpation
from many localized areas throughout
its range (Jackson et al., 2014).
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Demographic Information
Information on A. cervicornis’
abundance and population trends that
we considered in the proposed rule
includes the following. Acropora
cervicornis has been described as
sometimes common (Veron, 2000) and
uncommon (Carpenter et al., 2008).
Acropora cervicornis historically was
one of the dominant species on most
Caribbean reefs, forming large,
monotypic thickets and giving rise to
the nominal distinct zone in classical
descriptions of Caribbean reef
morphology (Goreau, 1959). Massive,
Caribbean-wide mortality, apparently
primarily from white band disease
(Aronson and Precht, 2001), spread
throughout the Caribbean in the mid1970s to mid-1980s and precipitated
widespread and radical changes in reef
community structure (Brainard et al.,
2011). In addition, continuing coral
mortality from periodic acute events
such as hurricanes, disease outbreaks,
and mass bleaching events has added to
the decline of A. cervicornis (Brainard et
al., 2011). In locations where
quantitative data are available (Florida,
Jamaica, U.S. Virgin Islands, Belize),
there was a reduction of approximately
92 to greater than 97 percent between
the 1970s and early 2000s (Acropora
Biological Review Team, 2005).
Fossil evidence from the Dominican
Republic indicates that Holocene A.
cervicornis was capable of thriving for
thousands of years under highly
variable temperature and salinity
conditions and suggests that the recent
decline in A. cervicornis is anomalous
(Greer et al., 2009). Additional fossil
evidence from Belize indicates that the
recent decline of A. cervicornis is
without precedent during the late
Holocene (Aronson and Precht, 2001).
In contrast, two 500 year gaps in the
fossil record, around 3 and 4.5 thousand
years ago where dated A. cervicornis
fragments were not observed in samples
from the Florida Keys, suggests that the
recent decline may not be without
precedent (Shinn et al., 2003). However,
this study was based on radiocarbon
dating of A. cervicornis fragments, for
which the time of transport and
deposition are not known, so there is
uncertainty of whether these gaps
represent the absence of A. cervicornis
or variable storm depositional history
(Shinn et al., 2003).
Since the 2006 listing of A.
cervicornis as threatened, continued
population declines have occurred in
some locations with certain populations
of both species decreasing up to an
additional 50 percent or more (Colella et
al., 2012; Lundgren and Hillis-Starr,
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2008; Muller et al., 2008; Rogers and
Muller, 2012; Williams et al., 2008).
Public comments provided the
following supplemental information on
A. cervicornis’ abundance and
population trends. There are some small
pockets of remnant robust populations
such as in southeast Florida (VargasAngel et al., 2003), Honduras (Keck et
al., 2005; Riegl et al., 2009), and
Dominican Republic (Lirman et al.,
2010a). Additionally, Lidz and Zawada
(2013) observed 400 colonies of A.
cervicornis along 70.2 km of transects
near Pulaski Shoal in the Dry Tortugas
where the species had not been seen
since the cold water die-off of the 1970s.
Cover of A. cervicornis increased on a
Jamaican reef from 0.6 percent in 1995
to 10.5 percent in 2004 (Idjadi et al.,
2006).
Riegl et al. (2009) monitored A.
cervicornis in photo plots on the
fringing reef near Roatan, Honduras
from 1996 to 2005. Acropora cervicornis
cover was 0.42 percent in 1996,
declined to 0.14 percent in 1999 after
the Caribbean bleaching event in 1998
and mortality from run-off associated
with a Category 5 hurricane, and
decreased further to 0.09 percent in
2005. Acropora cervicornis colony
frequency decreased 71 percent between
1997 and 1999. In sharp contrast,
offshore banks near Roatan had dense
thickets of A. cervicornis with 31
percent cover in photo-quadrats in 2005
and appeared to survive the 1998
bleaching event and hurricane, most
likely due to bathymetric separation
from land and greater flushing.
Modeling showed that under
undisturbed conditions, retention of the
dense A. cervicornis stands on the banks
off Roatan is likely with a possible
increased shift towards dominance by
other coral species. However, the
authors note that because their data and
the literature seem to point to extrinsic
factors as driving the decline of A.
cervicornis, it is unclear what the future
may hold for this dense population
(Riegl et al., 2009).
Miller et al. (2013) extrapolated
population abundance of A. cervicornis
in the Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas
from stratified random samples across
habitat types. Population estimates of A.
cervicornis in the Florida Keys were
10.2 ± 4.6 (SE) million colonies in 2005,
6.9 ± 2.4 (SE) million colonies in 2007,
and 10.0 ± 3.1 (SE) million colonies in
2012. In the Dry Tortugas population
estimates were 0.4 ± 0.4 (SE) million
colonies in 2006 and 3.5 ± 2.9 (SE)
million colonies in 2008, though the
authors note their sampling scheme in
the Dry Tortugas was not optimized for
A. cervicornis. Because these population
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53959
estimates were based on random
sampling, differences in abundance
estimates between years may be more
likely a function of sampling effort
rather than population trends. In both
the Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas, most
of the population was dominated by
small colonies less than 30 cm diameter.
In the Florida Keys, partial mortality
was highest in 2005, with up to 80
percent mortality observed, and lowest
in 2007 with a maximum of 30 percent.
In 2012, partial mortality ranged from
20 to 50 percent across most size
classes.
Supplemental information we found
on A. cervicornis’ abundance and
population trends includes the
following. Acropora cervicornis was
observed in 21 out of 301 stations
between 2011 and 2013 in stratified
random surveys designed to detect
Acropora colonies along the south,
southeast, southwest, and west coasts of
Puerto Rico, and it was observed at an
additional 16 sites outside of the
´
surveyed area (Garcıa Sais et al., 2013).
The largest colony was 60 cm, and
density ranged from 1 to 10 colonies per
´
15 m2 (Garcıa Sais et al., 2013).
While cover of A. cervicornis
increased from 0.6 percent in 1995 to
10.5 percent in 2004 (Idjadi et al., 2006)
and 44 percent in 2005 on a Jamaican
reef, it collapsed after the 2005
bleaching event and subsequent disease
to less than 0.5 percent in 2006 (Quinn
and Kojis 2008). A cold water die-off in
the Florida Keys in January 2010
resulted in the complete mortality of all
A. cervicornis colonies at 45 of the 74
reefs surveyed (61 percent), spanning
the lower to upper Florida Keys
(Schopmeyer et al., 2012). Walker et al.
(2012) report increasing size of two
thickets (expansion of up to 7.5 times
the original size of one of the thickets)
monitored off southeast Florida and also
noted that cover within monitored plots
concurrently decreased by about 50
percent, highlighting the dynamic
nature of A. cervicornis distribution via
fragmentation and re-attachment.
New information we found on
population trends includes the
following. A report on the status and
trends of Caribbean corals over the last
century indicates that cover of A.
cervicornis has remained relatively
stable (though much reduced)
throughout the region since the large
mortality events of the 1970s and 1980s.
The frequency of reefs at which A.
cervicornis was described as the
dominant coral has remained stable.
The number of reefs with A. cervicornis
present declined during the 1980s (from
approximately 50 to 30 percent of reefs),
remained relatively stable through the
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1990s, and decreased to approximately
20 percent of the reefs 2000–2004, and
approximately 10 percent 2005–2011
(Jackson et al., 2014).
We summarize all sources of
information on A. cervicornis’
abundance and population trends as
follows. Based on population estimates,
there are at least tens of millions of
colonies present in the Florida Keys and
Dry Tortugas combined. Absolute
abundance is higher than the estimate
from these two locations given the
presence of this species in many other
locations throughout its range. The
effective population size is smaller than
indicated by abundance estimates due
to the tendency for asexual
reproduction. There is no evidence of
range constriction or extirpation at the
island level. However the species is
absent at the reef level. Populations
appear to consist mostly of isolated
colonies or small groups of colonies
compared to the vast thickets once
prominent throughout its range, with
thickets still a prominent feature at only
a handful of known locations. Across
the Caribbean, percent cover appears to
have remained relatively stable since
the population crash in the 1980s.
Frequency of occurrence has decreased
since the 1980s. There are examples of
increasing trends in some locations (Dry
Tortugas and southeast Florida), but not
over larger spatial scales or longer time
frames. Population model projections
from Honduras at one of the only
known-remaining thickets indicate the
retention of this dense stand under
undisturbed conditions. If refuge
populations are able to persist, it is
unclear whether they would be able to
repopulate nearby reefs as observed
sexual recruitment is low. Thus, we
conclude that the species has undergone
substantial population decline and
decreases in the extent of occurrence
throughout its range. Percent benthic
cover and proportion of reefs where A.
cervicornis is dominant have remained
stable since the mid-1980s and since the
listing of the species as threatened in
2006. We also conclude that population
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies, but likely to decrease in the
future with increasing threats.
Other Biological Information
Information on A. cervicornis’ life
history that we considered in the
proposed rule includes the following.
Acropora cervicornis is a
hermaphroditic broadcast spawning
species. The spawning season occurs
several nights after the full moon in
July, August, or September, but may be
split over the course of more than one
lunar cycle (Szmant, 1986; Vargas-Angel
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et al., 2006). The estimated size at
sexual maturity is 17 cm branch length,
and large colonies produce
proportionally more gametes than small
colonies (Soong and Lang, 1992). Basal
and branch tip tissue is not fertile
(Soong and Lang, 1992). Sexual
recruitment rates are low, and this
species is generally not observed in
coral settlement studies. However,
laboratory studies have found that
certain species of crustose-coralline
algae facilitate larval settlement and
post-settlement survival (RitsonWilliams et al., 2010).
Reproduction occurs primarily
through asexual fragmentation that
produces multiple colonies that are
genetically identical (Tunnicliffe, 1981).
The combination of branching
morphology, asexual fragmentation, and
fast growth rates can lead to persistence
of large areas dominated by A.
cervicornis.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on A.
cervicornis’ life history. Supplemental
information we found on life history
includes the following. Darling et al.
(2012) performed a biological trait-based
analysis to categorize coral species into
four life history strategies: Generalist,
weedy, competitive, and stress-tolerant.
The classifications were primarily
separated by colony morphology,
growth rate, and reproductive mode.
Acropora cervicornis was classified as a
‘‘competitive’’ species, thus likely more
vulnerable to environmental stress.
All information on A. cervicornis’ life
history can be summarized as follows.
The combination of rapid skeletal
growth rates and frequent asexual
reproduction by fragmentation can
enable effective competition and can
facilitate potential recovery from
disturbances when environmental
conditions permit. However, low sexual
reproduction can lead to reduced
genetic diversity and limits the capacity
to repopulate sites.
Other biological information on A.
cervicornis that we considered in the
proposed rule includes the following.
Vollmer and Palumbi (2007) examined
22 populations of A. cervicornis from
nine regions in the Caribbean (Panama,
Belize, Mexico, Florida, Bahamas, Turks
and Caicos, Jamaica, Puerto Rico, and
Curacao) and concluded that
¸
populations greater than 500 km apart
are genetically differentiated with low
gene flow across the greater Caribbean.
Fine-scale genetic differences have been
detected at reefs separated by as little as
2 km, suggesting that gene flow in A.
cervicornis may not occur at much
smaller spatial scales (Garcia Reyes and
Schizas, 2010; Vollmer and Palumbi,
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2007). This fine-scale population
structure was greater when considering
genes of A. palmata introgressed in A.
cervicornis due to back-crossing of the
hybrid A. prolifera with A. cervicornis
(Garcia Reyes and Schizas, 2010;
Vollmer and Palumbi, 2007).
Populations in Florida and Honduras
are genetically distinct from each other
and other populations in the U.S. Virgin
Islands, Puerto Rico, Bahamas, and
Navassa (Baums et al., 2010), indicating
little to no larval connectivity. However,
some potential connectivity between the
U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico was
detected and also between Navassa and
the Bahamas (Baums et al., 2010).
Florida populations of A. cervicornis
have high levels of both genetic
diversity and connectivity, with
evidence suggesting the western
Caribbean has historically been the
source of genetic variation for Florida
(Hemond and Vollmer, 2010). Colonies
of A. cervicornis in Florida mostly
harbored zooxanthellae Clade A, but
colonies from inshore and mid-channel
reefs, which experience higher
sedimentation and temperature
fluctuations than reefs further offshore,
had a higher prominence of Clades C
and D, revealing the influence of habitat
on zooxanthellae associations (Baums et
al., 2010).
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental biological
information on A. cervicornis, and we
did not find any new or supplemental
biological information. All information
on A. cervicornis’ biology can be
summarized as follows. Connectivity
over distances of greater than 500 km is
limited, and there is evidence of
restricted gene flow over much smaller
spatial scales. Genetic diversity appears
to be relatively high in some areas like
the Florida Keys.
Susceptibility to Threats
Information on threat susceptibilities
was interpreted in the proposed rule for
A. cervicornis’ vulnerabilities to threats
as follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming, disease, acidification,
sedimentation, and nutrient enrichment;
moderate vulnerability to the trophic
effects of fishing and predation; and low
vulnerability to sea level rise and
collection and trade.
Information on A. cervicornis’
susceptibility to disease that we
considered in the proposed rule
includes the following. Disease is
believed to be the primary cause of the
region-wide decline of A. cervicornis
beginning in the late 1970s (Aronson
and Precht, 2001) and continues to have
a large impact on the species. White
band disease is generally associated
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with the majority of disease-related
mortalities, but several other diseases
affect A. cervicornis. Ritchie and Smith
(1995; 1998) described white band
disease type II which is linked with a
bacterial infection by Vibrio carchariae
(Ritchie and Smith, 1998), also referred
to as V. charchariae and V. harveyi (GilAgudelo et al., 2006). Williams and
Miller (2005) reported an outbreak of a
transmissible disease that caused rapid
tissue loss on A. cervicornis in the
Florida Keys in 2003. The disease
manifested as irregular, multifocal
tissue lesions with apparently healthy
tissue remaining in between, a
description similar to A. palmata
afflicted with white pox. Additionally
ciliate infections have been reported by
Croquer et al. (2006) at several locations
in the Caribbean.
Few studies follow the progression of
disease in individual colonies over time,
but there are reports of instantaneous
levels of disease at various locations.
The Acropora Biological Review Team
(2005) reported that in the 1997 to 2000
AGRRA surveys, at least 6 percent of A.
cervicornis colonies were diseased, with
greater prevalence documented from the
Turks and Caicos (21 percent), Cayman
Islands (20 percent), U.S. Virgin Islands
(13 percent), and Cuba (8 percent). No
disease was recorded on A. cervicornis
in Jamaica, Mexico, Netherlands
Antilles, Panama, and Venezuela during
the 1997 to 2000 AGRRA surveys
(Acropora Biological Review Team,
2005). Between 2001 and 2002, disease
was detected at all monitored thickets
off Ft. Lauderdale, Florida with
mortality ranging from 0.1 to 7.5 percent
per site and a mean of 1.8 percent of
colony surface area affected (VargasAngel et al., 2003). Evidence of white
band disease was observed on 5.3
percent of A. cervicornis colonies in
February 2010 at Cabezos del Cayo,
Dominican Republic (Lirman et al.,
2010a). During a disease outbreak in the
Florida Keys in 2003, 72 percent of the
20 tagged A. cervicornis colonies were
infected; 28 percent of these suffered
complete mortality while many more
colonies ended up as remnants of live
tissue (less than 10 percent of colony
alive; Williams and Miller, 2005).
The public comments provided the
following supplemental information on
the susceptibility of A. cervicornis to
disease. No disease was detected in
stratified random surveys in the Florida
Keys in 2007 (Miller et al., 2013).
Vollmer and Kline (2008) found that six
percent of A. cervicornis genotypes
(three out of 49) were resistant to white
band disease during in situ transmission
assays in Bocas del Toro, Panama.
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Supplemental information we found
on the susceptibility of A. cervicornis to
disease includes the following. In
Honduras, diseases were present in 32
percent of colonies (n = 181) monitored
annually from 1996 to 2005 (Riegl et al.,
2009). Between zero and 30 percent of
A. cervicornis colonies monitored in the
middle Florida Keys were affected by
disease from 2011 to 2012 (Lunz, 2013).
About five percent were affected by
rapid tissue loss during each quarterly
monitoring period (Lunz, 2013).
All information on the susceptibility
of A. cervicornis to disease can be
summarized as follows. Acropora
cervicornis is highly susceptible to
disease as evidenced by the massmortality event in the 1970s and 1980s.
Although disease is both spatially and
temporally variable, about five to six
percent of A. cervicornis colonies
appear to be affected by disease at any
one time, though incidence of disease
has been reported to range from zero to
32 percent and up to 72 percent during
an outbreak. There is indication that
some colonies may be resistant to white
band disease. Acropora cervicornis is
also susceptible to several diseases
including one that causes rapid tissue
loss from multi-focal lesions. Because
few studies track diseased colonies over
time, determining the present-day
colony and population level effects of
disease is difficult. One study that
monitored individual colonies during
an outbreak found that disease can be a
major cause of both partial and total
colony mortality (Williams and Miller,
2005). Thus, we conclude that A.
cervicornis is highly susceptible to
disease.
Information on A. cervicornis’
susceptibility to ocean warming that we
considered in the proposed rule
includes the following. Acropora
cervicornis was one of the most heavily
affected species during a 1987 to 1988
bleaching event in the Cayman Islands
with 100 percent of colonies bleached
on the deep reef terrace (18 to 29 m
depth) and 83 percent bleached on the
shallow reef terrace (Ghiold and Smith,
1990). In Puerto Rico, about 75 percent
of A. cervicornis colonies bleached at 12
monitored sites during the 2005
Caribbean bleaching event (Waddell and
Clarke, 2008). At Culebra Island, Puerto
Rico approximately 90 percent of the A.
cervicornis colonies had partial or total
mortality during and after the 2005
bleaching event, and bleaching stress
and mortality are believed to have
resulted in the reproductive failure to
subsequently spawn in 2006 (Waddell
and Clarke, 2008).
Repeat sampling of colonies in the
Florida Keys and Bahamas in 1998, and
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53961
seasonally between March 2000 and
August 2004, showed that colonies of A.
cervicornis were stable with their
associations with Symbiodinium type
A3 but sometimes had mixed symbiosis
with Symbiodinium type (B1) (Thornhill
et al., 2006). The associations with
Symbiodinium type (B1) were always
short-lived (gone by next sampling
period) and did not appear to be
correlated with seasonal fluctuations or
to follow the 1997 to 1998 bleaching
event (Thornhill et al., 2006). Most of
the mixed symbiosis events were
limited to a single colony except for one
sampling period in August 2001 when
all colonies at one of the Bahamian sites
had mixed symbionts.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of A. cervicornis to ocean
warming. Supplemental information we
found on the susceptibility of A.
cervicornis to ocean warming includes
the following. In Roatan, Honduras,
Riegl et al. (2009) monitored A.
cervicornis and found none were
bleached fully during the 1998
bleaching event, with the fourth highest
partial bleaching frequency, and the
highest mortality of 22 species
monitored. During the 2005 bleaching
event with 17 species observed, only A.
cervicornis and A. palmata bleached
100 percent (all colonies bleached
completely white) at two reefs in
Jamaica with 90 percent mortality at one
site and 10 percent at the other (Quinn
and Kojis, 2008).
Van Woesik et al. (2012) developed a
coral resiliency index based on
biological traits and processes to
evaluate extinction risk due to
bleaching. Evaluations were performed
at the genus level with genera separated
between the Caribbean and Indo-Pacific.
They reported A. cervicornis as highly
vulnerable to extinction due to
bleaching.
All information on the susceptibility
of A. cervicornis to ocean warming can
be summarized as follows. Acropora
cervicornis is highly susceptible to
bleaching in comparison to other coral
species, and mortality after bleaching
events is variable. Algal symbionts did
not shift in A. cervicornis after the 1998
bleaching event, indicating the ability of
this species to acclimatize to rising
temperatures may not occur through
this mechanism. Data from Puerto Rico
and Jamaica following the 2005
Caribbean bleaching event indicate that
temperature anomalies can have a large
impact on total and partial mortality
and reproductive output. Thus, we
conclude that A. cervicornis is highly
susceptible to ocean warming.
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Information on A. cervicornis’
susceptibility to acidification that we
considered in the proposed rule
includes the following. Renegar and
Riegl (2005) performed laboratory
experiments to examine the effect of
nutrients and carbon dioxide on A.
cervicornis growth. They found
significantly reduced growth under
carbon dioxide levels of 700 to 800
matm, predicted to occur this century,
compared to controls. In addition, when
elevated carbon dioxide was combined
with increased nitrate and phosphate,
growth rates were further reduced. The
effect of combined nitrate, phosphate,
and carbon dioxide appeared to be
antagonistic at lower nutrient
concentrations and additive at higher
concentrations (compared to those
nutrients paired with carbon dioxide
separately). All corals in the combined
nitrate, phosphate, and carbon dioxide
treatment experienced total mortality,
indicating the severe stress this
combination induced.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of A. cervicornis to
acidification. Supplemental information
we found on the susceptibility of A.
cervicornis to acidification includes the
following. Enochs et al. (2014)
examined the effects of carbon dioxide
and light intensity on A. cervicornis.
They found that carbon dioxide levels
projected to occur by the end of the
century from ocean acidification caused
reduced calcification and skeletal
density but no change in linear
extension, surface area, or volume. High
light intensity did not ameliorate
reductions in calcification, and the
authors concluded that the high light
intensity necessary to reach saturation
of photosynthesis and calcification in A.
cervicornis may limit the effectiveness
of this potentially protective
mechanism.
All information on the susceptibility
of A. cervicornis to acidification can be
summarized as follows. Acropora
cervicornis is susceptible to
acidification through reduced growth,
calcification, and skeletal density, and
the effects of increased carbon dioxide
combined with increased nutrients
appear to be much worse than either
stressor alone, and caused 100 percent
mortality in some combination in one
laboratory study. Therefore, we
conclude that A. cervicornis is highly
susceptible to acidification.
There is no species-specific
information on the trophic effects of
fishing on A. cervicornis. However, due
to the level of reef fishing conducted in
the Caribbean, coupled with Diadema
die-off and lack of significant recovery,
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recruitment habitat is limited. Thus, we
conclude that A. cervicornis has some
susceptibility to the trophic effects of
fishing due to its low recruitment rates.
However, the available information does
not support a more precise description
of susceptibility to this threat.
All information on A. cervicornis’
susceptibility to sedimentation that we
considered in the proposed rule
includes the following. Exposure to
drilling mud reduced calcification rates
and protein concentrations in A.
cervicornis, and exposure to equivalent
concentrations of kaolin produced no
drop in proteins and a lower drop in
calcification rate, indicating the toxic
effects of drilling mud are not due solely
to increases in turbidity (Kendall et al.,
1983).
Acropora cervicornis has poor
capacity to remove coarser sediments
(250–2000 mm) and only slightly more
capacity for removing finer sediments
(62–250 mm; Hubbard and Pocock,
1972). Water movement (turbulence)
and gravity are probably more important
in removing sediments from this species
than its capabilities of sloughing
sediments in still water (Porter, 1987).
In field experiments in Puerto Rico, A.
cervicornis was less sensitive to single
applications (200 mg per cm2, 400 mg
per cm2, and 800 mg per cm2) of coarse
sediment (mean grain size 0.5 mm) than
A. palmata and Orbicella annularis,
likely due to morphology that facilitated
passive sediment removal, though some
bleaching near the base of the colonies
did occur (Rogers, 1983).
Lab experiments testing the effects of
sedimentation and phosphate on A.
cervicornis indicated that sedimentclearing rates declined with increased
exposure from less than two hours to up
to 24 hours after four weeks of
treatment. Treatments resulted in
degenerative changes to tissue,
zooxanthellae, and gonad development
and were more severe in sediment and
sediment plus phosphate treatments in
comparison to controls and phosphate
alone (Hodel and Vargas-Angel, 2007).
Acropora cervicornis is sensitive to
turbidity because it is highly reliant on
sunlight for nutrition (Lewis, 1977;
Porter, 1976). Rogers (1979) shaded a 20
m2 area of reef as a partial simulation of
conditions from turbidity and found
that A. cervicornis was the first species
to respond by bleaching. Three weeks
after shading was initiated, most
colonies of A. cervicornis were
bleached. After shading was terminated
at five weeks, at the sixth week, most
branches were dead and covered with
algae with growth tips deteriorating or
grazed away, but a few branches
recovered. After seven weeks, there
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were more algae on the branches and
further disintegration of branch tips.
Fossil material collected from Bocas
del Toro, Panama indicated that A.
cervicornis declined in lagoonal areas
prior to 1960, coincident with intensive
land clearing, and continued to decline
offshore after 1960, with community
structure more tolerant of turbid
conditions (Cramer et al., 2012).
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on A.
cervicornis’ susceptibility to
sedimentation, and we did not find any
new or supplemental information. All
information on the susceptibility of A.
cervicornis to sedimentation can be
summarized as follows. Acropora
cervicornis is susceptible to
sedimentation through its sensitivity to
turbidity, and increased run-off from
land clearing has resulted in mortality
of this species. In addition, laboratory
studies indicate the combination of
sedimentation and nutrient enrichment
appears to be worse than the effects of
either of these two stressors alone. Thus,
we conclude that A. cervicornis has high
susceptibility to sedimentation.
Information on A. cervicornis’
susceptibility to nutrient enrichment
that we considered in the proposed rule
includes the following. Renegar and
Riegl (2005) performed laboratory
experiments to examine the effect of
nutrients and carbon dioxide on A.
cervicornis growth. Under the nutrient
treatments alone, A. cervicornis
experienced significantly lower growth
rates under the higher nitrate and higher
phosphate treatments, though not under
the lower levels, and the combined
nitrate and phosphate treatment
produced significantly lower growth
under both the low and high levels. All
corals in the combined nitrate,
phosphate, and carbon dioxide
treatment experienced total mortality,
indicating the severe stress this
combination induced.
Lab experiments testing the effects of
sedimentation and phosphate on A.
cervicornis indicated that degenerative
changes to tissue, zooxanthellae, and
gonad development were more severe in
sediment plus phosphate treatments in
comparison to controls and phosphate
alone (Hodel and Vargas-Angel, 2007).
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of A. cervicornis to
nutrient enrichment, and we did not
find any new or supplemental
information on its susceptibility to this
threat. All information on the
susceptibility of A. cervicornis to
nutrient enrichment can be summarized
as follows. Elevated nutrients can cause
decreased growth in A. cervicornis. The
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combined effects of nutrients with other
stressors such as elevated carbon
dioxide and sedimentation appear to be
worse than the effects of nutrients alone,
and can cause colony mortality in some
combinations. Thus, we conclude that
A. cervicornis is highly susceptible to
nutrient enrichment.
Information on A. cervicornis’
susceptibility to predation that we
considered in the proposed rule
includes the following. Known
predators of A. cervicornis include the
corallivorous snail Coralliophila
abbreviata and the polychaete fireworm
Hermodice carunculata. Fireworms
engulf growing branch tips and devour
the live tissue; removal of tissue from
growing branch tips of A. cervicornis
may negatively affect colony growth.
Corallivorous snails have also been
shown to transmit a disease that causes
rapid tissue loss in A. cervicornis
(Williams and Miller, 2005). Several
species of fish including, threespot
damselfish Stegastes planifrons and
yellowtail damselfish Microspathodon
chrysurus, do not directly feed on coral
but remove live tissue to cultivate algal
gardens.
In all thickets monitored off Ft.
Lauderdale, Florida between 2001 and
2002, densities of fireworms ranged
between 18 and 86 individuals per
hectare, with predation scars affecting
less than 0.2 percent of the A.
cervicornis cover (Vargas-Angel et al.,
2003). Within the survey quadrats,
fireworm scar sizes ranged from 1.0 to
8.0 cm, and densities ranged from 0 to
30 per m2 (Vargas-Angel et al., 2003).
Evidence of fireworm predation was
observed on 20.3 percent of colonies in
Cabezos del Cayo, Dominican Republic
in 2010 (Lirman et al., 2010a).
Yellowtail damselfish and three-spot
damselfish were present on A.
cervicornis colonies at a density of 0.50
and 0.96 fish per m2, respectively, in the
Dry Tortugas National Park, near Garden
Key, Florida in 2004 (Wilkes et al.,
2008).
The public comments provided the
following supplemental information on
the susceptibility of A. cervicornis to
predation. In stratified random samples
in the Florida Keys, damselfish algal
gardens were detected on 1.9 percent of
colonies in 2007 and 2.6 percent of
colonies in 2012. Snail predation was
detected on 1.3 percent of colonies in
2012 (Miller et al., 2013).
Supplemental information we found
on the susceptibility of A. cervicornis to
predation includes the following. In
Cabezos del Cayo, Dominican Republic,
30 percent of colonies occurred within
established damselfish territories, and
corallivorous snails were found on 11.3
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percent of A. cervicornis colonies in
2010 (Lirman et al., 2010a). In
permanent monitoring plots in the
middle Florida Keys between 2011 and
2012, about ten percent of fate-tracked
A. cervicornis colonies were affected by
fireworm predation, about five percent
were affected by damselfish, and about
five percent were affected by
corallivorous snails (Lunz, 2013).
All information on the susceptibility
of A. cervicornis to predation can be
summarized as follows. Predators can
have a negative impact on A. cervicornis
through both tissue removal and the
spread of disease. Predation pressure
appears spatially variable. Removal of
tissue from growing branch tips of A.
cervicornis may negatively affect colony
growth, but the impact is unknown as
most studies do not report on the same
colonies through time, inhibiting
evaluation of the longer-term impact of
these predators on individual colonies
and populations. We conclude that A.
cervicornis is highly susceptible to
predation.
Information on A. cervicornis’
susceptibility to collection and trade
that we considered in the proposed rule
includes the following. Over the last
decade, collection and trade of this
species has been low.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of A. cervicornis to
collection and trade. Supplemental
information we found includes the
following. Over the last decade,
collection and trade of this species has
been primarily for scientific research
rather than commercial purposes. Gross
exports averaged approximately 2,500
pieces of coral per year between 2000
and 2012 (data available at https://
trade.cites.org). We conclude that A.
cervicornis has low susceptibility to
collection and trade.
There is no species-specific
information on the susceptibility of A.
cervicornis to sea level rise. The SRR
described sea level rise as an overall low
to medium threat for all coral species.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on A.
cervicornis’ susceptibility to sea level
rise, and we did not find any new or
supplemental information. Thus, we
conclude that A. cervicornis has some
susceptibility to sea level rise, but the
available information does not support
a more precise description of
susceptibility to this threat.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we relied on
information from the Final Management
Report for evaluating the existing
regulatory mechanisms for controlling
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53963
threats to all corals. However, we did
not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. cervicornis. Public comments were
critical of that approach, and we
therefore attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms and conservation efforts on
a species basis, where possible, in this
final rule. We also incorporate here, the
evaluation of threats to this species
conducted in the 2005 status review.
Records confirm that A. cervicornis
occurs in seven Atlantic ecoregions that
encompass 26 kingdom’s and countries’
EEZs. The 26 kingdoms and countries
are Antigua & Barbuda, Bahamas,
Barbados, Belize, Colombia, Costa Rica,
Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic,
French Antilles, Grenada, Guatemala,
Haiti, Kingdom of the Netherlands,
Honduras, Jamaica, Mexico, Nicaragua,
Panama, St. Kitts & Nevis, St. Lucia, St.
Vincent & Grenadines, Trinidad and
Tobago, United Kingdom (British
Caribbean Territories), United States
(including U.S. Caribbean Territories),
and Venezuela. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to A. cervicornis,
described first as a percentage of the
above kingdoms and countries that
utilize them to any degree, and second
as the percentages of those kingdoms
and countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope,
are as follows: General coral protection
(31 percent with 12 percent limited in
scope), coral collection (50 percent with
27 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (31 percent with 15 percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on
reefs (73 percent with 50 percent
limited in scope), managing areas for
protection and conservation (88 percent
with 31 percent limited in scope). The
most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. cervicornis are fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. However,
half of the fishing regulations are
limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection for the species.
General coral protection and collection
laws, along with pollution control laws,
are much less common regulatory
mechanisms for the management of A.
cervicornis. The 2005 status review and
2006 listing concluded that existing
regulatory mechanisms are inadequate
to control both global and local threats,
and are contributing to the threatened
status of the species, and we incorporate
that analysis here.
Additionally, the public comments
suggested that we did not fully consider
the effects that conservation efforts have
on the status of A. cervicornis.
Therefore, conservation efforts are
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described as follows. Conservation
efforts have been underway for A.
cervicornis for a number of years. Of 60
Acropora restoration efforts identified
in 14 Caribbean countries, 88 percent
used A. cervicornis including efforts in
Belize, Colombia, Curacao, Dominican
¸
Republic, Guadalupe, Honduras,
Jamaica, Mexico, Puerto Rico, Turks and
Caicos, U.S. Virgin Islands, and the
Florida Keys (Young et al., 2012). The
most popular method is to use coral
nurseries to propagate A. cervicornis for
restoration (Johnson et al., 2011; Young
et al., 2012). Fast growth rates,
branching morphology, and asexual
reproduction through fragmentation
make A. cervicornis an ideal candidate
for active propagation. The use of coral
nursery techniques has been shown to
be effective and only temporarily affect
wild donor colonies from which
fragments are taken to initially stock
nurseries (Lirman et al., 2010b).
Survivorship is high (greater than 70
percent) in nurseries during the first
year, but mortality due to storms,
temperature anomalies, predation, and
water quality have been reported
(Young et al., 2012). Survival rates are
variable after transplanting, ranging
between 43 and 95 percent during the
first year (Hollarsmith et al., 2012;
Young et al., 2012). Mortality rates of
non-nursery raised transplanted A.
cervicornis after five years were similar
to those of reference or wild colonies
(Garrison and Ward, 2008).
In conclusion, there are many
conservation efforts aimed at increasing
abundance and diversity of A.
cervicornis throughout the Caribbean.
These efforts are important, but not
enough to ensure conservation unless
combined with efforts to reduce the
underlying threats and causes of
mortality (Young et al., 2012). Thus,
while conservation efforts will likely
enhance recovery and conservation of
A. cervicornis at small spatial scales,
they are unlikely to affect the overall
status of the species, given the global
nature of threats.
Vulnerability to Extinction
In 2006, A. cervicornis was listed as
threatened, i.e., likely to become in
danger of extinction within the next 30
years, due to: (1) Recent drastic declines
in abundance of the species that have
occurred throughout its geographic
range and abundances at historic lows;
(2) the potential constriction of broad
geographic ranges due to local
extirpations resulting from a single
stochastic event (e.g., hurricanes, new
disease outbreak); (3) limited sexual
recruitment in some areas and unknown
levels in most; and (4) occurrence of the
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Allee effect (in which fertilization
success declines greatly as adult density
declines).
The species was not listed as
endangered, i.e., currently in danger of
extinction, because: (1) It was showing
limited, localized recovery; (2) rangewide, the rate of decline appeared to
have stabilized and was comparatively
slow as evidenced by persistence at
reduced abundances for the past two
decades; (3) it was buffered against
major threats by the large number of
colonies, large geographic range, and
asexual reproduction; and (4) as shown
by the geologic record, the species has
persisted through climate cooling and
heating fluctuation periods over
millions of years, whereas other corals
have gone extinct.
In 2012, A. cervicornis was proposed
for listing as endangered because
information available since the original
2006 listing as threatened suggested: (1)
Population declines have continued to
occur, with certain populations of both
species decreasing up to an additional
50 percent or more since the time of
listing; (2) there are documented
instances of recruitment failure in some
populations; (3) minimal levels of
thermal stress (e.g., 30 degrees C) have
been shown to impair larval
development, larval survivorship, and
settlement success of A. palmata; (4)
near-future levels of acidification have
been demonstrated to impair
fertilization, settlement success, and
post-settlement growth rates in A.
palmata; (5) on average 50 percent of
the colonies are clones, meaning the
effective number of genetic individuals
is half the total population size; (6) the
species’ ranges are not known to have
contracted, but with continued declines
local extirpations are likely, resulting in
a reduction of absolute range size.
Furthermore, we took into account that
the BRT identified restriction to the
Caribbean as a spatial factor increasing
extinction risk, though, among other
things, exposure to high levels of human
disturbance that result in pollution and
breakage impacts. Also, while asexual
reproduction (fragmentation) provides a
source for new colonies (albeit clones)
that can buffer natural demographic and
environmental variability remains true,
we believed that reliance on asexual
reproduction is not sufficient to prevent
extinction of the species. Last, the
previous status review and listing
determination underestimated the
global climate change-associated
impacts to A. palmata and A.
cervicornis, based on our current
knowledge of trends in emissions, likely
warming scenarios, and ocean
acidification. In particular, in the
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previous determination, we identified
ocean acidification only as a factor that
‘‘may be contributing’’ to the status of
two species, in comparison to our
current understanding that ocean
acidification is one of the three highest
order threats affecting extinction risk for
corals.
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic traits, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. Subsequent to the
proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific
information, described above, that
expands our knowledge regarding the
species’ abundance, distribution, and
threat susceptibilities. We developed
our assessment of the species’
vulnerability to extinction using all the
available information. As explained in
the Risk Analyses section, our
assessment in this final rule emphasizes
the ability of the species’ spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or
exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach
we used in the proposed rule, which
emphasized the species’ susceptibility
to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
cervicornis, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. The species has
undergone substantial population
decline and decreases in the extent of
occurrence throughout its range due
mostly to disease. Although localized
mortality events have continued to
occur, percent benthic cover and
proportion of reefs where A. cervicornis
is dominant have remained stable over
its range since the mid-1980s. There is
evidence of synergistic effects of threats
for this species including worse effects
of nutrients in combination with
acidification and sedimentation.
Acropora cervicornis is highly
susceptible to a number of threats, and
cumulative effects of multiple threats
are likely to exacerbate vulnerability to
extinction. Despite the large number of
islands and environments that are
included in the species’ range,
geographic distribution in the highly
disturbed Caribbean exacerbates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because A. cervicornis
is limited to an area with high, localized
human impacts and predicted
increasing threats. Acropora cervicornis
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commonly occurs in water ranging from
5 to 20 m in depth, though occurs in
deeper depths of 16–30 m at the
northern extent of its range, and has
been rarely found to 60 m in depth. It
occurs in spur and groove, bank reef,
patch reef, and transitional reef habitats,
as well as on limestone ridges, terraces,
and hardbottom habitats. This habitat
heterogeneity moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species occurs in numerous
types of reef environments that are
predicted, on local and regional scales,
to experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time. Its absolute
population abundance has been
estimated as at least tens of millions of
colonies in the Florida Keys and Dry
Tortugas combined and is higher and is
higher than the estimate from these two
locations due to the occurrence of the
species in many other areas throughout
its range. Acropora cervicornis has low
sexual recruitment rates, which
exacerbates vulnerability to extinction
due to decreased ability to recover from
mortality events when all colonies at a
site are extirpated. In contrast, its fast
growth rates and propensity for
formation of clones through asexual
fragmentation enables it to expand
between rare events of sexual
recruitment and increases its potential
for local recovery from mortality events,
thus moderating vulnerability to
extinction. Its abundance and life
history characteristics, combined with
spatial variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species’ range,
moderate vulnerability to extinction
because the threats are non-uniform,
and there will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
cervicornis was proposed for listing as
endangered because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (E),
ocean acidification (E) and disease (C);
high vulnerability to sedimentation (A
and E) and nutrient over-enrichment (A
and E); uncommon abundance (E);
decreasing trend in abundance (E); low
relative recruitment rate (E); narrow
overall distribution (E); restriction to the
Caribbean (E); and inadequacy of
regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. cervicornis
from endangered to threatened. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
approach, including consideration of
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the buffering capacity of this species’
spatial and demographic traits, and the
best available information above on A.
cervicornis’ spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management. The combination of these
factors indicates that A. cervicornis is
likely to become endangered throughout
its range within the foreseeable future,
and thus warrants listing as threatened
at this time, because:
(1) Acropora cervicornis is highly
susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), disease (C), ocean
acidification (E), sedimentation (A, E),
nutrients (A, E), and predation (C) and
susceptible to trophic effects of fishing
(A), depensatory population effects from
rapid, drastic declines and low sexual
recruitment (E), and anthropogenic and
natural abrasion and breakage (A, E).
These threats are expected to continue
and increase into the future. In addition,
the species is at heightened extinction
risk due to inadequate existing
regulatory mechanisms to address both
local and global threats (D);
(2) Acropora cervicornis is
geographically located in the highly
disturbed Caribbean where localized
human impacts are high and threats are
predicted to increase as described in the
Threats Evaluation section. A range
constrained to this particular geographic
area that is likely to experience severe
and increasing threats indicates that a
high proportion of the population of this
species is likely to be exposed to those
threats over the foreseeable future; and
(3) Acropora cervicornis’ abundance
is still a fraction of what it was before
the mass mortality in the 1970s and
1980s, and its presence on reefs
throughout its range has continued to
decrease over the last decade.
The combination of these
characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates that the species is
likely to be in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range and warrants listing as
threatened at this time due to factors A,
C, D, and E.
The available information above on A.
cervicornis’ spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management also indicate that the
species is not currently in danger of
extinction and thus does not warrant
listing as Endangered because:
(1) While A. cervicornis’ distribution
within the Caribbean increases its risk
of exposure to threats as described
above, its habitat includes spur and
groove, bank reef, patch reef, and
transitional reef habitats, as well as
limestone ridges, terraces, and
hardbottom habitats in water depths
ranging from 5 to 60 m. This moderates
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53965
vulnerability to extinction currently
because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous
types of reef environments that will
experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry on local
and regional scales at any given point in
time, as described in more detail in the
Coral Habitat and Threats Evaluation
sections;
(2) Acropora cervicornis’ absolute
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies based on estimates from two
locations. Absolute abundance is higher
than estimates from these locations
since A. cervicornis occurs in many
other locations throughout its range,
including a few small pockets of robust
remnant populations. This absolute
abundance allows for variation in the
responses of individuals to threats to
play a role in moderating vulnerability
to extinction for the species to some
degree, as described in more detail in
the Corals and Coral Reefs section;
(3) Recent information indicates that
percent cover and proportions of
Caribbean sites where A. cervicornis is
dominant have stabilized;
(4) Acropora cervicornis shows
evidence of limited population
expansion in some portions of its range
under some circumstances (e.g., Dry
Tortugas, southeast Florida); and
(5) Acropora cervicornis has fast
growth rates and high capacity to
produce clones through asexual
fragmentation, which can aid in
recovery from mortality events.
The combination of these
characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of
one that is currently in danger of
extinction, as described previously in
the Risk Analyses section, and thus does
not warrant listing as endangered at this
time. Therefore, we withdraw our
proposal to list A. cervicornis as
endangered.
Progress has been made with A.
cervicornis-specific conservation and
restoration projects, albeit small-scale,
and these projects are likely to increase
in the future. Within some countries, A.
cervicornis-specific conservation and
restoration projects show promise for
enhancing species recovery at very
small spatial scales and for facilitating
the persistence of the species in some
areas in the face of continuing threats.
Range-wide, a multitude of conservation
efforts are already broadly employed
specifically for A. cervicornis. However,
considering the global scale of the most
important threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at
addressing the root cause of global
threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not
believe that any current conservation
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efforts or conservation efforts planned
in the future will result in affecting the
species’ status to the point at which
listing is not warranted.
A. palmata
Introduction
Acropora palmata colonies have
frond-like branches, which appear
flattened to near round, and typically
radiate out from a central trunk and
angle upward. Branches are up to 50 cm
wide and range in thickness from 4 to
5 cm. Individual colonies can grow to at
least 2 m in height and 4 m in diameter
(Acropora Biological Review Team,
2005). Colonies of A. palmata can grow
in nearly mono-specific, dense stands
and form an interlocking framework
known as thickets.
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Spatial Information
Information on A. palmata’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range
that we considered in the proposed rule
includes the following. Acropora
palmata is distributed throughout the
western Atlantic, Caribbean, and Gulf of
Mexico. The northern extent of the
range in the Atlantic is Broward County,
Florida where it is relatively rare (only
a few known colonies), but fossil A.
palmata reef framework extends into
Palm Beach County, Florida. There are
two known colonies of A. palmata,
which were discovered only recently in
2003 and 2005, at the Flower Garden
Banks, located 161 km off the coast of
Texas in the Gulf of Mexico (Zimmer et
al., 2006).
Acropora palmata often grows in
thickets in fringing and barrier reefs
(Jaap, 1984; Tomascik and Sander, 1987;
Wheaton and Jaap, 1988) and formed
extensive barrier-reef structures in
Belize (Cairns, 1982), the greater and
lesser Corn Islands, Nicaragua (Lighty et
al., 1982), and Roatan, Honduras, and
built extensive fringing reef structures
throughout much of the Caribbean
(Adey, 1978). Acropora palmata
commonly grows in turbulent water on
the fore-reef, reef crest, and shallow
spur-and-groove zone (Cairns, 1982;
Miller et al., 2008; Rogers et al., 1982;
Shinn, 1963) in water ranging from 1 to
5 m depth. Early studies termed the reef
crest and adjacent seaward areas from
the surface to five or six meters depth
the ‘‘palmata zone’’ because of the
domination by the species (Goreau,
1959; Shinn, 1963). Maximum depth of
framework construction ranges from 3 to
12 m, and colonies generally do not
form thickets below a depth of 5 m
(Lighty et al., 1982). Although A.
palmata’s predominant habitat is reef
crests and shallow fore-reefs less than
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12 m depth, it also occurs in back-reef
environments and in depths up to 30 m.
Extensive stands of dead colonies
throughout the range occurred after
mass mortalities during the 1970s and
1980s (see Demographic Information
Below). There is no evidence of overall
range constriction from the mass
mortalities, but local extirpations are
likely (Jackson et al., 2014), resulting in
a reduction of absolute range size.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on A.
palmata’s habitat or depth range but
provided the following supplemental
information on its distribution. Precht
and Aronson (2004) suggested that the
recent expansion of A. palmata to the
Flower Garden Banks (Zimmer et al.,
2006) is possibly due to climate
warming.
Supplemental information we found
on A. palmata’s distribution is
consistent with prior information. Veron
(2014) confirms the occurrence of A.
palmata in eight of a potential 11
ecoregions in the western Atlantic and
wider-Caribbean that are known to
contain corals. The three ecoregions in
which A. palmata is not found are off
the coasts of Bermuda, Brazil, and the
southeast U.S. north of south Florida.
The presence of the species in the
Flower Garden Banks may represent a
recent re-occupation of its historic range
since fossil evidence indicates this
species occupied the Flower Garden
Banks during the early Holocene but
disappeared in the middle Holocene
due to sea level rise and possibly
cooling temperatures (Precht et al.,
2014). Finally, the spatial structure of
the species has been affected by
extirpation from many localized areas
throughout its range (Jackson et al.,
2014).
Supplemental information we found
on A. palmata’s habitat and depth
includes the following. Goreau (1959)
described ten habitat zones on a
Jamaican fringing reef from inshore to
the deep slope, finding A. palmata in
eight of the ten zones. Acropora
palmata was very abundant in the reef
crest zones, but also common in several
other zones further inshore (the reef flat,
rear, channel or lagoon, and inshore
zones), and rare on the reef slope to 15
meters depth. Although A. palmata is
currently much less common
throughout its range than it was prior to
the mid-1980s, it still occurs in multiple
habitats and to depths of one to 30 m.
For example, a 2005 study of Bonaire
back-reefs found A. palmata at three of
six sites, including within inshore and
lagoon habitats, ranging from seven to
15 m depth. In 2003, aggregations of A.
palmata were reported from patch reefs
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at 10 to 20 m depth within the lagoon
of Serrano Bank (Sanchez and Pizarro,
2005).
Demographic Information
Information on A. palmata’s
abundance and population trends that
we considered in the proposed rule
includes the following. Acropora
palmata has been described as usually
common (Veron, 2000) and uncommon
(Carpenter et al., 2008). Acropora
palmata was historically one of the
dominant species on Caribbean reefs,
forming large, monotypic thickets and
giving rise to the nominal distinct zone
in classical descriptions of Caribbean
reef morphology (Goreau, 1959). Mass
mortality, apparently from white-band
disease (Aronson and Precht, 2001),
spread throughout the Caribbean in the
mid-1970s to mid-1980s and
precipitated widespread and radical
changes in reef community structure
(Brainard et al., 2011). This mass
mortality occurred throughout the range
of the species within all Caribbean
countries and archipelagos, even on
reefs and banks far from localized
human influence (Aronson and Precht,
2001; Wilkinson, 2008). In addition,
continuing coral mortality from periodic
acute events such as hurricanes, disease
outbreaks, and mass bleaching events
added to the decline of A. palmata
(Brainard et al., 2011). In locations
where historic quantitative data are
available (Florida, Jamaica, U.S. Virgin
Islands), there was a reduction of greater
than 97 percent between the 1970s and
early 2000s (Acropora Biological
Review Team, 2005).
Since the 2006 listing of A. palmata
as threatened, continued population
declines have occurred in some
locations with certain populations of A.
palmata and A. cervicornis decreasing
up to an additional 50 percent or more
(Colella et al., 2012; Lundgren and
Hillis-Starr, 2008; Muller et al., 2008;
Rogers and Muller, 2012; Williams et
al., 2008). In addition, Williams et al.
(2008) reported recruitment failure
between 2004 and 2007 in the upper
Florida Keys after a major hurricane
season in 2005; less than five percent of
the fragments produced recruited into
the population.
The public comments provided the
following supplemental information on
A. palmata’s abundance and population
trends. Several studies describe A.
palmata populations that are showing
some signs of recovery or are in good
condition including in the Turks and
Caicos Islands (Schelten et al., 2006),
U.S. Virgin Islands (Grober-Dunsmore et
al., 2006; Mayor et al., 2006; Rogers and
Muller, 2012), Venezuela (Zubillaga et
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al., 2008), and Belize (Macintyre and
Toscano, 2007).
Extrapolated population estimates of
A. palmata from stratified random
samples across habitat types in the
Florida Keys were 0.6 ± 0.5 million (SE)
colonies in 2005, 1.0 ± 0.3 million (SE)
colonies in 2007, and 0.5 ± 0.3 million
colonies in 2012. Because these
population estimates are based on
random sampling, differences between
years may be a function of sampling
effort rather than an indication of
population trends. Relative to the
abundance of other corals in the Florida
Keys region, A. palmata was among the
least abundant, ranking among corals
that are naturally rare in abundance. No
colonies of A. palmata were observed in
surveys of the Dry Tortugas in 2006 and
2008. The size class distribution of the
Florida Keys population included both
small and large individuals (> 260 cm),
but after 2005 the majority of the
colonies were smaller in size. These
smallest corals (0 to 20 cm) had
approximately zero to two percent
partial mortality during all three survey
years. Partial mortality across all other
size classes was approximately 20 to 70
percent in 2005, 5 to 50 percent in 2007,
and 15 to 90 percent in 2012 (Miller et
al., 2013).
Supplemental information we found
on A. palmata’s abundance includes the
following. Relatively abundant A.
palmata communities have been
documented from various locations,
including Cuba (Alcolado et al., 2010;
´
´
Gonzalez-Dıaz et al., 2010), Colombia
(Sanchez and Pizarro, 2005), Venezuela
´
´
(Martınez and Rodrıguez Quintal, 2012),
Navassa (Bruckner, 2012b), Jamaica
(Jackson et al., 2014), and the U.S.
Virgin Islands (Muller et al., 2014).
Density estimates from sites in Cuba
range from 0.14 colonies per m2
(Alcolado et al., 2010) to 0.18 colonies
´
´
per m2 (Gonzalez-Dıaz et al., 2010).
Maximum A. palmata density at ten
sites in St. John, U.S. Virgin Islands was
0.18 colonies per m2 (Muller et al.,
2014).
Mayor et al. (2006) reported the
abundance of A. palmata in Buck Island
Reef National Monument, St. Croix, U.S.
Virgin Islands. They surveyed 617 sites
from May to June 2004 and extrapolated
density observed per habitat type to
total available habitat. Within an area of
795 ha, they estimated 97,232–134,371
(95% confidence limits) A. palmata
colonies with any dimension of
connected live tissue greater than one
meter. Mean densities (colonies ≥ 1 m)
were 0.019 colonies per m2 in branching
coral-dominated habitats and 0.013
colonies per m2 in other hard bottom
habitats.
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Puerto Rico contains the greatest
known extent of A. palmata in the U.S.
Caribbean. Between 2006 and 2007, a
survey of 431 random points in habitat
suitable for A. palmata in six marine
protected areas in Puerto Rico revealed
a variable density of zero to 52 A.
palmata colonies per 100 m2 (0.52
colonies per m2), with average density
of 3.3 colonies per 100 m2 (0.03 colonies
per m2). Total loss of A. palmata was
evidenced in 13.6 percent of the random
survey areas where only dead standing
¨
colonies were present (Scharer et al.,
2009).
In stratified random surveys along the
south, southeast, southwest, and west
coasts of Puerto Rico designed to locate
Acropora colonies, A. palmata was
observed at five out of 301 stations with
sightings outside of the survey area at an
´
additional two stations (Garcıa Sais et
al., 2013). Acropora palmata colonies
were absent from survey sites along the
southeast coast. Maximum density was
18 colonies per 15 m2 (1.2 colonies per
m2), and maximum colony size was 2.3
´
m in diameter (Garcıa Sais et al., 2013).
Zubillaga et al. (2005) report densities
of 3.2 colonies of A. palmata per 10 m2
(0.32 colonies per m2) in Los Roques
National Park, Venezuela. At ten sites
surveyed in the national park in 2003 to
2004, density ranged from 0 to 3.4
colonies per 10 m2 (0 to 0.34 colonies
per m2) with four of the sites showing
only standing dead colonies (Zubillaga
et al., 2008). In the six sites with live
colonies, small (0.1 to 50 cm2) and
medium-sized (50 to 4,550 cm2)
colonies predominated over larger-sized
(4,550 to16,500 cm2) colonies.
At Los Colorados reef in northwestern
Cuba, a 2006 study at 12 reef crest
sampling stations reported average A.
palmata densities of 0.18 colonies per
m2, and that A. palmata made up 8.7
percent of the total live coral colonies at
the study sites. The study also reported
that the nearby Baracoa and Rincon de
Guanabo reefs had similar A. palmata
´
´
densities (Gonzalez-Dıaz et al., 2010).
The size of A. palmata colonies
indicates some recruitment in Cuba, but
not the proportions of sexual versus
asexual recruits. In a 2005 study of 280
A. palmata colonies at four sites on the
north coast of Cuba, 30.4 percent were
´
less than 10 cm in diameter (Gonzalez´
Dıaz et al., 2008). In a 2006 study of
approximately 1,100 A. palmata
colonies at three sites on the north coast
of Cuba, diameter and height sizeclasses were measured (<2, 3–5, 6–7, 8–
10, 11–80, and >80 cm). For the three
sites combined, there were
approximately 25 to 100 colonies in
each of the four smaller size classes
´
(Perera-Perez et al., 2012).
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53967
Supplemental information we found
on A. palmata’s population trends
includes the following. At eight of 11
sites in St. John, U.S. Virgin Islands,
colonies of A. palmata increased in
abundance, between 2001 and 2003,
particularly in the smallest size class,
with the number of colonies in the
largest size class decreasing (GroberDunsmore et al., 2006). Colonies of A.
palmata monitored monthly between
2003 and 2009 in Haulover Bay on St.
John, U.S. Virgin Islands suffered
bleaching and mortality from disease
but showed an increase in abundance
and size at the end of the monitoring
period (Rogers and Muller, 2012). The
overall density of A. palmata colonies
around St. John did not significantly
differ between 2004 and 2010 with six
out of the ten sites showing an increase
in colony density. Size frequency
distribution did not significantly change
at seven of the 10 sites, with two sites
showing an increased abundance of
large-sized (> 51 cm) colonies (Muller et
al., 2014).
In Colombia, A. palmata was present
at four of the 32 plots (three of the six
reefs) monitored annually from 1998 to
2004. Coverage of A. palmata ranged
from 0.8 to 2.4 percent. Over the eightyear period, the species was stable at
two reefs and declined at the other reef,
likely in response to a hurricane in 1999
(Rodriguez-Ramirez et al., 2010).
MacIntyre and Toscano (2007) report
the return of ‘‘numerous large colonies’’
of A. palmata on the shallow fore-reef
at the southern limit of Carrie Bow Cay,
Belize though no quantitative data were
presented.
Colonies monitored in the upper
Florida Keys showed a greater than 50
percent loss of tissue as well as a
decline in the number of colonies, and
a decline in the dominance by large
colonies between 2004 and 2010 (Vardi
et al., 2012; Williams and Miller, 2012).
Elasticity analysis from a population
model based on data from the Florida
Keys has shown that the largest
individuals have the greatest
contribution to the rate of change in
population size (Vardi et al., 2012).
Between 2010 and 2013 A. palmata in
the middle and lower Florida Keys had
mixed trends. Population densities
remained relatively stable at two sites
and decreased at two sites by 21 and 28
percent (Lunz, 2013).
Acropora palmata monitored in
Curacao between 2009 and 2011
¸
decreased in abundance, increased in
colony size, with stable tissue
abundance following hurricane damage
(Bright et al., 2013). The authors
explained that the apparently
conflicting trends of increasing colony
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size but similar tissue abundance likely
resulted from the loss of small-sized
colonies that skewed the distribution to
larger size classes, rather than colony
growth.
Simulation models using data from
matrix models of A. palmata colonies
from specific sites in Curacao (2006–
¸
2011), the Florida Keys (2004–2011),
Jamaica (2007–2010), Navassa (2006 and
2009), Puerto Rico (2007 and 2010), and
the British Virgin Islands (2006 and
2007) indicate that most of these studied
populations will continue to decline in
size and extent by 2100 if background
environmental conditions remain
unchanged (Vardi, 2011). In contrast,
the studied populations in Jamaica were
projected to increase in abundance, and
studied populations in Navassa were
projected to remain stable. Studied
populations in the British Virgin Islands
were predicted to decrease slightly from
their initial very low levels. Studied
populations in Florida, Curacao, and
¸
Puerto Rico were predicted to decline to
zero by 2100. Because the study period
did not include physical damage
(storms), the population simulations in
Jamaica, Navassa, and the British Virgin
Islands may have contributed to the
differing projected trends at sites in
these locations.
New information we found on
population trends includes the
following. A report on the status and
trends of Caribbean corals over the last
century indicates that cover of A.
palmata has remained relatively stable
at approximately one percent
throughout the region since the large
mortality events of the 1970s and 1980s.
The report also indicates that the
number of reefs with A. palmata present
steadily declined from the 1980s to
2000–2004, then remained stable
between 2000–2004 and 2005–2011.
Acropora palmata was present at about
20 percent of reefs surveyed in both the
5-year period of 2000–2004 and the 7year period of 2005–2011. Acropora
palmata was dominant on
approximately five to ten percent of
hundreds of reef sites surveyed
throughout the Caribbean during the
four periods of 1990–1994, 1995–1999,
2000–2004, and 2005–2011 (Jackson et
al., 2014).
All information on A. palmata’s
abundance and population trends is
summarized as follows. Based on
population estimates there are at least
hundreds of thousands of A. palmata
colonies present in both the Florida
Keys and St. Croix, U.S. Virgin Islands.
Absolute abundance is higher than
estimates from these two locations given
the presence of this species in many
other locations throughout its range.
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The effective population size is smaller
than indicated by abundance estimates
due to the tendency for asexual
reproduction. Across the Caribbean,
percent cover appears to have remained
relatively stable since the population
crash in the 1980s. Frequency of
occurrence has decreased since the
1980s, indicating potential decreases in
the extent of occurrence and effects on
the species’ range. However, the
proportions of Caribbean sites where A.
palmata is present and dominant have
recently stabilized. There are locations
such as the U.S. Virgin Islands where
populations of A. palmata appear stable
or possibly increasing in abundance and
some such as the Florida Keys where
population number appears to be
decreasing. In some cases when size
class distribution is not reported, there
is uncertainty of whether increases in
abundance indicate growing
populations or fragmentation of larger
size classes into more small-sized
colonies. From locations where size
class distribution is reported, there is
evidence of recruitment, but not the
proportions of sexual versus asexual
recruits. The best evidence of recovery
would come from multi-year studies
showing an increase in the overall
amount of living tissue of this species,
growth of existing colonies, and an
increase in the number of small corals
arising from sexual recruitment (Rogers
and Muller, 2012). Simulation models
predict by 2100 that A. palmata will
become absent at specific sites in
several locations (Florida, Curacao, and
Puerto Rico), decrease at specific sites in
the British Virgin Islands, remain stable
at specific sites in Navassa, and increase
at specific sites in Jamaica. These
simulations are based on the
assumption that conditions experienced
during the monitoring period, ranging
from one to seven years depending on
location, would remain unchanged in
the future. We conclude there has been
a significant decline of A. palmata
throughout its range, with recent
population stability at low percent
coverage. We also conclude that
absolute abundance is at least hundreds
of thousands of colonies, but likely to
decrease in the future with increasing
threats.
Other Biological Information
Information on A. palmata’s life
history that we considered in the
proposed rule includes the following.
Growth rates, measured as skeletal
extension of the end of branches, range
from 4 to 11 cm per year (Acropora
Biological Review Team, 2005) but in
Curacao have been reported to be slower
¸
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today than they were several decades
ago (Brainard et al., 2011).
Acropora palmata is a hermaphroditic
broadcast spawning species that
reproduces after the full moon of July,
August, and/or September (Acropora
Biological Review Team, 2005). The
estimated size at sexual maturity is 1600
cm2, and growing edges and encrusting
base areas are not fertile (Soong and
Lang, 1992). Larger colonies have higher
fecundity per unit area, as do the upper
branch surfaces (Soong and Lang, 1992).
Although self-fertilization is possible, A.
palmata is largely self-incompatible
(Baums et al., 2005a; Fogarty et al.,
2012b).
Reproduction occurs primarily
through asexual fragmentation that
produces multiple colonies that are
genetically identical (Bak and Criens,
1982; Highsmith, 1982; Lirman, 2000;
Miller et al., 2007; Wallace, 1985).
Storms can be an important mechanism
to produce fragments to establish new
colonies (Fong and Lirman, 1995).
Fragmentation is an important mode of
reproduction in many reef-building
corals, especially for branching species
such as A. palmata (Highsmith, 1982;
Lirman, 2000; Wallace, 1985). However,
in the Florida Keys where populations
have declined, there have been reports
of failure of asexual recruitment due to
high fragment mortality after storms
(Porter et al., 2012; Williams and Miller,
2010; Williams et al., 2008).
Sexual recruitment rates are low, and
this species is generally not observed in
coral settlement studies. Laboratory
studies have found that certain species
of crustose-coralline algae facilitate
larval settlement and post-settlement
survival (Ritson-Williams et al., 2010).
Rates of post-settlement mortality after
nine months are high based on
settlement experiments (Szmant and
Miller, 2005).
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on A.
palmata’s life history. Supplemental
information we found on A. palmata’s
life history includes the following. Split
spawning (spawning over a two month
period) has been reported from the
Florida Keys (Fogarty et al., 2012b).
Laboratory experiments have shown
that some individuals (i.e., genotypes)
are sexually incompatible (Baums et al.,
2013) and that the proportion of eggs
fertilized increases with higher sperm
concentration (Fogarty et al., 2012b).
Experiments using gametes collected in
Florida had lower fertilization rates than
those from Belize, possibly due to
genotype incompatibilities (Fogarty et
al., 2012b).
Darling et al. (2012) performed a
biological trait-based analysis to
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categorize coral species into four life
history strategies: Generalist, weedy,
competitive, and stress-tolerant. The
classifications were primarily separated
by colony morphology, growth rate, and
reproductive mode. Acropora palmata
was classified as a ‘‘competitive’’
species, thus likely more vulnerable to
environmental stress.
All information on A. palmata’s life
history can be summarized as follows.
The combination of rapid skeletal
growth rates and frequent asexual
reproduction by fragmentation can
enable effective competition within, and
domination of, reef-building coral
communities in high-energy
environments such as reef crests. Rapid
skeletal growth rates and frequent
asexual reproduction by fragmentation
facilitate potential recovery from
disturbances when environmental
conditions permit (Highsmith, 1982;
Lirman, 2000). However, low sexual
reproduction can lead to reduced
genetic diversity and limits the capacity
to repopulate sites.
Other biological information on A.
palmata that we considered in the
proposed rule includes the following.
Genetic samples from 11 locations
throughout the Caribbean indicate that
A. palmata populations in the eastern
Caribbean (St. Vincent and the
Grenadines, U.S. Virgin Islands,
Curacao, and Bonaire) have had little or
¸
no genetic exchange with populations in
the western Atlantic and western
Caribbean (Bahamas, Florida, Mexico,
Panama, Navassa, and Puerto Rico)
(Baums et al., 2005b). While Puerto Rico
is more closely connected with the
western Caribbean, it is an area of
mixing with contributions from both
regions (Baums et al., 2005b). Models
suggest that the Mona Passage between
the Dominican Republic and Puerto
Rico acts as a filter for larval dispersal
and gene flow between the eastern
Caribbean and western Caribbean
(Baums et al., 2006b).
The western Caribbean is
characterized by genetically
depauperate populations with lower
densities (0.13 ± 0.08 colonies per m2),
while denser (0.30 ± 0.21 colonies per
m2), genotypically rich stands
characterize the eastern Caribbean
(Baums et al., 2006a). Baums et al.
(2006a) concluded that the western
Caribbean had higher rates of asexual
recruitment and that the eastern
Caribbean had higher rates of sexual
recruitment. They postulated these
geographic differences in the
contribution of reproductive modes to
population structure may be related to
habitat characteristics, possibly the
amount of shelf area available.
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Genotypic diversity is highly variable.
At two sites in the Florida Keys, only
one genotype per site was detected out
of 20 colonies sampled at each site
(Baums et al., 2005b). In contrast, all 15
colonies sampled in Navassa had
unique genotypes (Baums et al., 2006a).
Some sites have relatively high
genotypic diversity such as in Los
Roques, Venezuela (118 unique
genotpyes out of 120 samples; Zubillaga
et al., 2008) and in Bonaire and Curacao
(18 genotypes of 22 samples and 19
genotypes of 20 samples, respectively;
Baums et al., 2006a). In the Bahamas,
about one third of the sampled colonies
were unique genotypes, and in Panama
between 24 and 65 percent of the
sampled colonies had unique genotypes,
depending on the site (Baums et al.,
2006a).
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental biological
information on A. palmata.
Supplemental biological information we
found includes the following. A genetic
study found significant population
structure in Puerto Rico locations (Mona
Island, Desecheo Island, La Parguerain,
La Parguera) both between reefs and
between locations; population structure
in La Parguera suggests restriction of
gene flow between some reefs in close
proximity (Garcia Reyes and Schizas,
2010). A more-recent study provided
additional detail on the genetic
structure of A. palmata in Puerto Rico,
as compared to Curacao, the Bahamas,
and Guadeloupe that found unique
genotypes in 75 percent of the samples
`
with high genetic diversity (Mege et al.,
2014). The recent results support two
separate populations of A. palmata in
the eastern Caribbean and western
Caribbean; however, there is less
evidence for separation at Mona
Passage, as found by Baums et al.
(2006b).
All biological information on A.
palmata can be summarized as follows.
Genotypic diversity is variable across
the range with some populations
showing evidence of higher input from
sexual recruitment versus others that
rely more heavily on asexual
recruitment for population
maintenance. There are many areas with
many unique genotypes. Connectivity
and mixing appear limited across larger
geographic scales with eastern
Caribbean populations relatively
isolated from western Caribbean
populations, with evidence of
population structure at a local scale in
some locations.
Susceptibility to Threats
Information on threat susceptibilities
was interpreted in the proposed rule for
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A. palmata’s vulnerability to threats as
follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming, disease, acidification,
sedimentation, and nutrient enrichment;
moderate vulnerability to the trophic
effects of fishing and predation; and low
vulnerability to sea level rise and
collection and trade.
Information on A. palmata’s
susceptibility to disease that we
considered in the proposed rule
includes the following. Disease is
believed to be the primary cause of the
region-wide decline of A. palmata
beginning in the late 1970s and
continues to have a large effect on the
species. White band disease was
generally associated with the majority of
disease-related mortalities in A. palmata
from the 1970s to 1990s (Aronson and
Precht, 2001). White pox has been
described as having severe impacts on
A. palmata, and most monitoring
information after 2000 indicates that
lesion patterns resembling white pox
have higher prevalence than patterns
resembling white band disease
(Acropora Biological Review Team,
2005). In the Florida Keys, the causative
agent of white pox was identified as a
bacterium linked to human sewage and
potential vectors/reservoirs such as
corallivores (Patterson et al., 2002;
Sutherland et al., 2011).
The effects of white pox appear to be
exacerbated by higher temperatures. In
Hawksnest Bay, U.S. Virgin Islands
during the 2005 bleaching event, the
prevalence of white pox had a positive
linear relationship with temperature,
with mortality increasing with
bleaching, indicating a decreased
resilience to disease when colonies were
stressed (Muller et al., 2008).
Disease is temporally and spatially
variable and is often reported as an
instantaneous measure of prevalence
(percent of colonies affected by disease)
that provides only a snapshot in time.
For instance, in Puerto Rico disease
affected an average of 6.7 percent of
colonies from December 2006 to October
¨
2007 (Scharer et al., 2009). In St. Croix
U.S. Virgin Islands, white band disease
affected three percent of the colonies
surveyed in Buck Island Reef National
Monument between May and June 2004
(Mayor et al., 2006).
Studies of permanently marked
colonies, or monitoring plots, show
longer-term trends of disease and
mortality over time. From January 2003
to December 2009, 90 percent of the 69
monitored A. palmata colonies in
Haulover Bay, St. John, U.S. Virgin
Islands exhibited signs of disease, and
the most significant cause of whole
colony mortality (Rogers and Muller,
2012). Of colonies monitored in the
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Florida Keys from 2004 to 2011, disease
was the second highest cause of tissue
mortality after physical damage from
storms (33 percent of all mortality
attributed to disease, Williams and
Miller, 2012).
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of A. palmata to disease,
and we did not find any new or
supplemental information. Information
on the susceptibility of A. palmata to
disease can be summarized as follows.
Acropora palmata is highly susceptible
to disease as evidenced by the massmortality event in the 1970s and 1980s.
White pox seems to be more common
today than white band disease. The
effects of disease are spatially and
temporally (both seasonally and interannually) variable. Results from longerterm monitoring studies in the U.S.
Virgin Islands and the Florida Keys
indicate that disease can be a major
cause of both partial and total colony
mortality. Thus, we conclude that A.
palmata is highly susceptible to disease.
Information on A. palmata’s
susceptibility to ocean warming that we
considered in the proposed rule
includes the following. High
temperatures can cause bleaching and
mortality of A. palmata. In St. Croix,
U.S. Virgin Islands, colonies
differentially bleached in Buck Island
National Monument during the 2005
Caribbean-wide mass bleaching event;
colonies in the shallower back reef
bleached earlier and suffered greater
tissue loss than those located elsewhere
(Lundgren and Hillis-Starr, 2008). Data
from two sites in Jamaica, found 100
percent of A. palmata colonies bleached
at both sites in 2005, with greater than
50 percent of the colonies suffering
partial mortality (Quinn and Kojis,
2008). At one site, bleached colonies
had complete mortality only
occasionally, and 15 percent of bleached
colonies died at the second site (Quinn
and Kojis, 2008). In Trunk Bay and
Saltpond, St. John, U.S. Virgin Islands,
almost half of the colonies that bleached
in 2005 suffered partial or complete
mortality (44 percent of 27 colonies and
40 percent of 107 colonies, respectively,
Rogers et al., 2006). Negligible bleaching
of A. palmata was observed during a
2006 bleaching event in Navassa that
affected corals at deeper depths
(between 18 and 37 m) more
significantly than at shallower depths
(<10 m), likely due to decreased water
motion at the deeper sites (Miller et al.,
2011a). Repeated sampling of the same
colonies in the Florida Keys and
Bahamas in 1998 and seasonally
between March 2000 and August 2004
showed that colonies of A. palmata did
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not change their association with
Symbiodinium type A3 throughout the
study period that included the 1997–98
bleaching event (Thornhill et al., 2006).
High water temperatures also affect A.
palmata reproduction. Acropora
palmata embryos and larvae exhibited
more developmental abnormalities,
lower survivorship, and decreased
settlement at 30 degrees and 31.5
degrees C compared to those at 28
degrees C (Randall and Szmant, 2009).
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of A. palmata to ocean
warming. Supplemental information we
found includes the following. Acropora
palmata larvae exhibited faster
development and faster swimming
speed at 30 and 31.5 degrees C
compared to controls at 27 and 28
degrees C (Baums et al., 2013). The
authors suggested these changes could
decrease average larval dispersal
distances, and cause earlier larval
settlement, thereby affecting gene flow
among populations (Baums et al., 2013).
A 14-year study was conducted at
nine sites around Little Cayman from
1999 to 2012 of live coral cover, juvenile
densities, and size structure of coral
colonies to determine response to the
1998 bleaching event inside versus
outside of marine protected areas. Over
the first half of the study, bleaching and
disease caused live cover to decrease
from 26 percent to 14 percent in all
corals, with full recovery seven years
later with no differences inside versus
outside of marine protected areas. The
numbers of A. palmata colonies in
regularly-observed size-classes did not
decrease during this study, which the
authors suggested may indicate
resistance to bleaching and disease. The
study concluded that the health of the
coral assemblage and the similarity of
responses inside and outside the marine
protected area suggested that negligible
anthropogenic disturbance at the local
scale was a key factor underlying the
observed resilience (Manfrino et al.,
2013).
Van Woesik et al. (2012) developed a
coral resiliency index based on
biological traits and processes to
evaluate extinction risk due to
bleaching. Evaluations were performed
at the genus level, but genera were
separated between the Caribbean and
Indo-Pacific. They indicated that A.
palmata is highly vulnerable to
extinction.
All information on the susceptibility
of A. palmata to ocean warming can be
summarized as follows. High water
temperatures affect A. palmata through
bleaching, lowered resistance to disease,
and effects on reproduction.
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Temperature-induced bleaching and
mortality following bleaching are
temporally and spatially variable.
Bleaching associated with the high
temperatures in 2005 had a large impact
on A. palmata with 40 to 50 percent of
bleached colonies suffering either
partial or complete mortality in several
locations. Algal symbionts did not shift
in A. palmata after the 1998 bleaching
event indicating the ability to adapt to
rising temperatures may not occur
through this mechanism. However,
Acropora palmata showed evidence of
resistance to bleaching from warmer
temperatures in some portions of its
range under some circumstances (Little
Cayman). Through the effects on
reproduction, high temperatures can
potentially decrease larval supply and
settlement success, decrease average
larval dispersal distances, and cause
earlier larval settlement, thereby
affecting gene flow among populations.
Therefore, we conclude that A. palmata
is highly susceptible to ocean warming.
Information on A. palmata’s
susceptibility to acidification that we
considered in the proposed rule
includes the following. Ocean
acidification has a negative impact on
early life stages of A. palmata.
Compared to controls at 400 matm,
carbon dioxide levels of 560 and 800
matm, predicted to occur this century,
reduced the rate of fertilization and
settlement (combined 52 and 73
percent, respectively) and postsettlement growth (39 and 50 percent,
respectively) of A. palmata in lab
experiments, and impairment of
fertilization was exacerbated at lower
sperm concentrations (Albright et al.,
2010).
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of A. palmata to
acidification. Supplemental information
we found on its susceptibility to this
threat includes the following. No effects
on the progression or timing of larval
development, or embryo and larval size
were detected at elevated carbon
dioxide levels of 700 matm or 1000 matm
(Medina-Rosas et al., 2013).
All information on the susceptibility
of A. palmata to acidification can be
summarized as follows. Ocean
acidification will likely impact
fertilization, settlement success, and
post-settlement growth of A. palmata.
Therefore, we conclude that A. palmata
is highly susceptible to acidification.
There is no species-specific
information on the trophic effects of
fishing on A. palmata. However, due to
the level of reef fishing conducted in the
Caribbean, coupled with Diadema dieoff and lack of significant recovery,
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recruitment habitat is limited.
Therefore, the trophic effects of reef
fishing adversely affects A. palmata’s
recruitment habitat. Thus, we conclude
that A. palmata has some susceptibility
to the trophic effects of reef fishing due
to low natural recruitment rates.
However, the available information does
not support a more precise description
of susceptibility to this threat.
Information on A. palmata’s
susceptibility to sedimentation that we
considered in the proposed rule
includes the following. The morphology
of A. palmata contributes to its
sensitivity to sedimentation as it is
poorer at removing sediment compared
to mounding corals such as Orbicella
annularis and Diploria strigosa (AbdelSalam et al., 1988). Out of five species
tested, A. palmata was the least tolerant
of sediment exposure; single
applications of 200 mg per cm2 to
colonies caused coral tissue death as
sediments accumulated on the flattened,
horizontal surfaces (Rogers, 1983). It is
generally unable to remove coarser
sediments and only weakly able to
remove finer sediments (Acropora
Biological Review Team, 2005). Water
movement and gravity are probably
more important in removing sediments
from this species than their capabilities
of sloughing sediments in stagnant
water (Acropora Biological Review
Team, 2005). Because A. palmata is
highly dependent on sunlight for
nutrition, it is also sensitive to
suspended sediments that reduce water
clarity (Porter, 1976).
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on A.
palmata’s susceptibility to
sedimentation. Supplemental
information we found on the
susceptibility of A. palmata to
sedimentation includes the following. In
Vega Baja, Puerto Rico, A. palmata
mortality increased to 52 percent
concurrent with pollution and
sedimentation associated with raw
sewage and beach nourishment,
respectively, between December 2008
and June 2009 (Hernandez-Delgado et
al., 2011). Mortality presented as patchy
necrosis-like and white pox-like
conditions that impacted local reefs
following anthropogenic disturbances
and was higher inside the shallow
platform (52 to 69 percent) and closer to
the source of pollution (81 to 97
percent) compared to the outer reef (34
to 37 percent; Hernandez-Delgado et al.,
2011).
All information on the susceptibility
of A. palmata to sedimentation can be
summarized as follows. Acropora
palmata is sensitive to sedimentation
due to its poor capability of removing
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sediment and its high reliance on clear
water for nutrition, and sedimentation
can cause tissue mortality. We conclude
that A. palmata is highly susceptible to
sedimentation.
Information on A. palmata’s
susceptibility to nutrient enrichment
that we considered in the proposed rule
includes the following. There are few
studies of the effects of nutrients on A.
palmata. Field experiments indicate
that the mean net rate of uptake of
nitrate by A. palmata exceeds that of
ammonium by a factor of two and that
A. palmata does not uptake nitrite
(Bythell, 1990).
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of A. palmata to nutrient
enrichment. Supplemental information
we found on the susceptibility to this
threat includes the following. In Vega
Baja, Puerto Rico, A. palmata mortality
increased to 52 percent concurrent with
pollution and sedimentation associated
with raw sewage and beach
nourishment, respectively, between
December 2008 and June 2009
(Hernandez-Delgado et al., 2011).
Mortality presented as patchy necrosislike and white pox-like conditions that
impacted local reefs following
anthropogenic disturbances and was
higher inside the shallow platform (52
to 69 percent) and closer to the source
of pollution (81 to 97 percent) compared
to the outer reef (34 to 37 percent;
Hernandez-Delgado et al., 2011).
All information on the susceptibility
of A. palmata to nutrient enrichment
can be summarized as follows. Acropora
palmata is sensitive to nutrients as
evidenced by increased mortality after
exposure to raw sewage. We conclude
that A. palmata is highly susceptible to
nutrient enrichment.
Information on A. palmata’s
susceptibility to predation that we
considered in the proposed rule
includes the following. There are
several known predators of A. palmata
including the corallivorous snail
Coralliophila abbreviata (Baums et al.,
2003) and the polychaete worm
Hermodice carrunculata. Incidental
corallivores that affect A. palmata
include several species of fish such as
stoplight parrotfish Sparisoma viride
and three-spot damselfish Stegastes
planifrons. Stegastes planifrons does
not directly feed on the coral but
removes live tissue to cultivate algal
gardens. Likewise, parrotfish are
primarily herbivores and may be feeding
on endolithic algae in coral tissue
(Bruckner et al., 2000). Monitoring in
the Florida Keys indicates that
parrotfish bites on A. palmata usually
heal in a matter of weeks to months
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53971
(Acropora Biological Review Team,
2005). Predators have been identified as
potential vectors and reservoirs of
disease (Sutherland et al. 2011).
The corallivorous snail C. abbreviata
is the main predator, removing up to 16
cm2 of tissue per day (Brawley and
Adey 1982), and there is evidence that
they concentrate on remnant Acropora
populations following decline
(Acropora Biological Review Team,
2005). Severity of predation is variable,
and Coralliophila seem to be extremely
rare or absent on Acropora spp. in
certain areas such as the Dry Tortugas,
Florida and Bocas del Toro, Panama
(Acropora Biological Review Team,
2005). In St. John, U.S. Virgin Islands,
snail predation affected a total of six
percent of the colonies across 29 sites,
but at individual sites, predation
affected up to 60 percent of the colonies
(Grober-Dunsmore et al., 2006). In Los
Roques, Venezuela snail predation was
the most common cause of partial
mortality (4 to 20 percent), and it
affected 0.72 to 10.6 percent of the
colonies (Zubillaga et al., 2008). Surveys
of 235 sites throughout the Florida Keys
in 2007 revealed that about five percent
of the A. palmata colonies assessed for
condition were affected via predation by
snails and damselfish (Miller et al.,
2008). In Puerto Rico, infestations of
corallivorous snails were observed on
three percent of all A. palmata colonies
surveyed and ranged from 0.9 to 10.6
¨
percent per site (Scharer et al., 2009).
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of A. palmata to
predation. Supplemental information
we found on the susceptibility of A.
palmata to predation includes the
following. Of the 50 percent tissue loss
experienced during monitoring in the
Florida Keys between 2004 and 2010,
snail predation accounted for 15 percent
after storm damage (42 percent) and
disease (33 percent; Williams and
Miller, 2012). The honeycomb cowfish
Acanthostracion polygonius has been
observed biting A. palmata and causing
tissue lesions; it is unknown whether
the fish is actively feeding on the coral
tissue or if lesions are a by-product of
its foraging mode (Williams and Bright,
2013). Lesions healed rapidly (less than
six weeks) and did not contribute to
significant losses of live tissue
(Williams and Bright, 2013).
All information on the susceptibility
of A. palmata to predation can be
summarized as follows. Predators can
have an impact on A. palmata both
through tissue removal and the potential
to spread disease. Predation pressure is
spatially variable and almost nonexistent in some locations. However, the
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effects of predation can become more
severe if colonies decrease in abundance
and density, as predators focus on the
remaining living colonies. Therefore, we
conclude that A. palmata has high
susceptibility to predation.
Information on A. palmata’s
susceptibility to sea level rise that we
considered in the proposed rule
includes the following. In-place
colonies of A. palmata have been used
in the geologic record for reconstructing
Holocene sea level because this species
only develops monospecific thickets in
waters less than 5 m deep and is
generally limited to depths of 10 m or
less (Blanchon, 2005; Blanchon et al.,
2009). A sustained sea level rise of more
than 14 mm per year is likely to
displace A. palmata from its thicketforming, framework-building depth
range (≤5 m) into its remaining habitat
range where a mixed framework is
likely to develop (Brainard et al., 2011).
In the Yucatan region of Mexico during
the warming that led to the last
interglacial period, A. palmata was able
to keep up with the first 3 m of rapid
sea-level rise; continued sea-level rise
led to the demise of the original forereef crests inhabited by A. palmata, the
retreat of A. palmata to a more inland
site, and back-stepping of the reef crest
as sea level rose an additional 2 to 3 m
(total of 6 m over an ecological time
scale; Brainard et al., 2011).
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information on A.
palmata’s susceptibility to sea level rise,
and we did not find any new or
supplemental information. All
information on the susceptibility of A.
palmata to sea level rise can be
summarized as follows. The fast growth
rate of A. palmata could accommodate
deeper water. We conclude that A.
palmata has a low susceptibility to sea
level rise.
Information on A. palmata’s
susceptibility to collection and trade
that we considered in the proposed rule
includes the following. Over the last
decade, collection and trade of this
species has been low. The public
comments did not provide new or
supplemental information on the
susceptibility of A. palmata to
collection and trade. Supplemental
information we found includes the
following. Gross exports averaged 2,120
pieces of coral per year between 2000
and 2012 and have primarily been for
scientific purposes (data available at
https://trade.cites.org). We conclude that
A. palmata has low susceptibility to
collection and trade.
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Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we relied on
information from the Final Management
Report for evaluating the existing
regulatory mechanisms for controlling
threats to all corals. However, we did
not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. palmata. Public comments were
critical of that approach, and we
therefore attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms and conservation efforts on
a species basis, where possible, in this
final rule. We also incorporate here, the
evaluation of threats to this species
conducted in the 2005 status review.
Records confirm that A. palmata occurs
in eight Atlantic ecoregions that
encompass 26 kingdom’s and countries’
EEZs. The 26 kingdoms and countries
are Antigua & Barbuda, Bahamas,
Barbados, Belize, Colombia, Costa Rica,
Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic,
French Antilles, Grenada, Guatemala,
Haiti, Kingdom of the Netherlands,
Honduras, Jamaica, Mexico, Nicaragua,
Panama, St. Kitts & Nevis, St. Lucia, St.
Vincent & Grenadines, Trinidad and
Tobago, United Kingdom (British
Caribbean Territories), United States
(including U.S. Caribbean Territories),
and Venezuela. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to A. palmata,
described first as a percentage of the
above kingdoms and countries that
utilize them to any degree, and second
as the percentages of those kingdoms
and countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope,
are as follows: General coral protection
(31 percent with 12 percent limited in
scope), coral collection (50 percent with
27 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (31 percent with 15 percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on
reefs (73 percent with 50 percent
limited in scope), managing areas for
protection and conservation (88 percent
with 31 percent limited in scope). The
most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. palmata are fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. However,
half of the fishing regulations are
limited in scope. General coral
protection and collection laws, along
with pollution control laws, are much
less common regulatory mechanisms for
the management of A. palmata. The
2005 status review and 2006 listing
concluded that existing regulatory
mechanisms are inadequate to control
both global and local threats, and are
contributing to the threatened status of
the species, and we incorporate that
analysis here.
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Additionally, the public comments
suggested that we did not fully consider
the effects that conservation efforts have
on the status of A. palmata. Therefore,
conservation efforts are described as
follows. Conservation efforts have been
underway for A. palmata for a number
of years. Of 60 Acropora restoration
efforts identified in 14 Caribbean
countries, 52 percent used A. palmata,
including efforts in Belize, British
Virgin Islands, Colombia, Curacao,
Dominican Republic, Guadalupe,
Jamaica, Mexico, Puerto Rico, Turks and
Caicos, U.S. Virgin Islands, and Florida
(Young et al., 2012). SECORE, a
conservation organization comprised of
public aquariums, zoos, and researchers,
holds annual workshops to
accommodate sexual fertilization of A.
palmata eggs collected from the wild,
with the intent of rearing larvae for
development of ex situ populations for
conservation (Petersen et al., 2008).
However, to date, A. palmata colonies
produced through in vitro fertilization
have rarely been planted into the wild
for restoration (but see Roik et al., 2011;
Szmant and Miller, 2005).
Restoration efforts involving A.
palmata more typically re-attach
fragments after physical disturbance
such as storms or ship groundings
(Bruckner and Bruckner, 2001; Garrison
and Ward, 2008) or grow colonies in
coral nurseries (Becker and Mueller,
2001; Bowden-Kerby and Carne, 2012;
Johnson et al., 2011) to outplant. Fast
growth rates, branching morphology,
and asexual reproduction through
fragmentation make A. palmata an ideal
candidate for active propagation, and
there are a number of offshore nurseries
that are producing corals for use in
restoration and re-establishment of
degraded populations. High
survivorship (>70 percent) of coral
fragments has been found within coral
nurseries during the first year of
propagation (Young et al., 2012).
Survival rates after transplanting are
variable, ranging between 43 and 95
percent during the first year, and
decreasing in some studies using nonnursery raised fragments to 0 to 20
percent after five years (Young et al.,
2012).
In conclusion, there are many
conservation efforts aimed at increasing
abundance and genetic diversity of A.
palmata throughout the Caribbean.
These efforts are important, but not
enough to ensure conservation unless
combined with efforts to reduce the
underlying threats and causes of
mortality (Young et al., 2012). While
conservation efforts will likely enhance
recovery and conservation of A. palmata
at small spatial scales, they are unlikely
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to affect the status of the species, given
the global nature of threats.
Vulnerability to Extinction
In 2006, A. palmata was listed as
threatened, i.e., likely to become in
danger of extinction within the next 30
years, due to: (1) Recent drastic declines
in abundance of the species that have
occurred throughout its geographic
range and abundances at historic lows;
(2) the potential constriction of broad
geographic ranges due to local
extirpations resulting from a single
stochastic event (e.g., hurricanes, new
disease outbreak); (3) limited sexual
recruitment in some areas and unknown
levels in most; and (4) occurrence of the
Allee effect (in which fertilization
success declines greatly as adult density
declines).
The species was not listed as
endangered, i.e., currently in danger of
extinction, because: (1) It was showing
limited, localized recovery; (2) rangewide, the rate of decline appeared to
have stabilized and was comparatively
slow as evidenced by persistence at
reduced abundances for the past two
decades; (3) it was buffered against
major threats by the large number of
colonies, large geographic range, and
asexual reproduction; and (4) as shown
by the geologic record, the species has
persisted through climate cooling and
heating fluctuation periods over
millions of years, whereas other corals
have gone extinct.
In 2012, A. palmata was proposed for
listing as endangered because
information available since the original
2006 listing as threatened suggested: (1)
Population declines have continued to
occur, with certain populations of both
species decreasing up to an additional
50 percent or more since the time of
listing; (2) there are documented
instances of recruitment failure in some
populations; (3) minimal levels of
thermal stress (e.g., 30 degrees C) have
been shown to impair larval
development, larval survivorship, and
settlement success of A. palmata; (4)
near-future levels of acidification have
been demonstrated to impair
fertilization, settlement success, and
post-settlement growth rates in A.
palmata; (5) on average 50 percent of
the colonies are clones, meaning the
effective number of genetic individuals
is half the total population size; (6) the
species’ ranges are not known to have
contracted, but with continued declines
local extirpations are likely, resulting in
a reduction of absolute range size.
Furthermore, we took into account that
the BRT identified restriction to the
Caribbean as a spatial factor increasing
extinction risk, though, among other
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things, exposure to high levels of human
disturbance that result in pollution and
breakage impacts. Also, while asexual
reproduction (fragmentation) provides a
source for new colonies (albeit clones)
that can buffer natural demographic and
environmental variability remains true,
we believed that reliance on asexual
reproduction is not sufficient to prevent
extinction of the species. Last, the
previous status review and listing
determination underestimated the
global climate change-associated
impacts to A. palmata and A.
cervicornis, based on our current
knowledge of trends in emissions, likely
warming scenarios, and ocean
acidification. In particular, in the
previous determination, we identified
ocean acidification only as a factor that
‘‘may be contributing’’ to the status of
two species, in comparison to our
current understanding that ocean
acidification is one of the three highest
order threats affecting extinction risk for
corals.
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic traits, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. Subsequent to the
proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific
information, described above, that
expands our knowledge regarding the
species’ abundance, distribution, and
threat susceptibilities. We developed
our assessment of the species’
vulnerability to extinction using all the
available information. As explained in
the Risk Analyses section, our
assessment in this final rule emphasizes
the ability of the species’ spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or
exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach
we used in the proposed rule, which
emphasized the species’ susceptibility
to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
palmata, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. The species has
undergone substantial population
decline and decreases in the extent of
occurrence throughout its range due
mostly to disease. Although localized
mortality events have continued to
occur, percent benthic cover and
proportion of reefs where A. palmata is
dominant have remained stable over its
range since the mid-1980s. There is
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evidence of synergistic effects of threats
for this species including disease
outbreaks following bleaching events.
Acropora palmata is highly susceptible
to a number of threats, and cumulative
effects of multiple threats are likely to
exacerbate vulnerability to extinction.
Despite the large number of islands and
environments that are included in the
species’ range, geographic distribution
in the highly disturbed Caribbean
exacerbates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because A.
palmata is limited to an area with high
localized human impacts and predicted
increasing threats. Acropora palmata
occurs in turbulent water on the back
reef, fore reef, reef crest, and spur and
groove zone in water ranging from 1 to
30 m in depth. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species
occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. Its
absolute population abundance has
been estimated as at least hundreds of
thousands of colonies in both Florida
and a portion of the U.S. Virgin Islands
and is higher than the estimate from
these two locations due to the
occurrence of the species in many other
areas throughout its range. Acropora
palmata has low sexual recruitment
rates, which exacerbates vulnerability to
extinction due to decreased ability to
recover from mortality events when all
colonies at a site are extirpated. In
contrast, its fast growth rates and
propensity for formation of clones
through asexual fragmentation enables it
to expand between rare events of sexual
recruitment and increases its potential
for local recovery from mortality events,
thus moderating vulnerability to
extinction. Its abundance and life
history characteristics, combined with
spatial variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species’ range,
moderate vulnerability to extinction
because the threats are non-uniform,
and there will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
palmata was proposed for listing as
endangered because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (E),
ocean acidification (E) and disease (C);
high vulnerability to sedimentation (A
and E) and nutrient over-enrichment (A
and E); uncommon abundance (E);
decreasing trend in abundance (E); low
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relative recruitment rate (E); narrow
overall distribution (E); restriction to the
Caribbean (E); and inadequacy of
regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. palmata
from endangered to threatened. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
approach, including consideration of
the buffering capacity of this species’
spatial and demographic traits, and the
best available information above on A.
palmata’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management. The combination of these
factors indicates that A. palmata is
likely to become endangered throughout
its range within the foreseeable future,
and thus warrants listing as threatened
at this time, because:
(1) Acropora palmata is highly
susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), disease (C), ocean
acidification (E), sedimentation (A, E),
nutrients (A, E), and predation (C) and
susceptible to trophic effects of fishing
(A), depensatory population effects from
rapid, drastic declines and low sexual
recruitment (C), and anthropogenic and
natural abrasion and breakage (A, E).
These threats are expected to continue
and increase into the future. In addition,
the species is at heightened extinction
risk due to inadequate existing
regulatory mechanisms to address local
and global threats (D);
(2) Acropora palmata is
geographically located in the highly
disturbed Caribbean, where localized
human impacts are high and threats are
predicted to increase as described in the
Threats Evaluation section. A range
constrained to this particular geographic
area that is likely to experience severe
and increasing threats indicates that a
high proportion of the population of this
species is likely to be exposed to those
threats over the foreseeable future; and
(3) Acropora palmata’s abundance is
still a fraction of what it was before the
mass mortality in the 1970s and 1980s,
and recent population models forecast
the extirpation of the species from some
locations over the foreseeable future.
The combination of these
characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates that the species is
likely to be in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range and warrants listing as
threatened at this time due to factors A,
C, D, and E.
The available information above on A.
palmata’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management also indicate that the
species is not currently in danger of
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extinction and thus does not warrant
listing as Endangered because:
(1) While A. palmata’s distribution in
the Caribbean increases its risk of
exposure to threats as described above,
its habitat includes back reef
environments and turbulent water on
the fore reef, reef crest, shallow spur
and groove zone. It is most commonly
found in depths of one to 12 m but is
also found in depths up to 30 m. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
currently because the species is not
limited to one habitat type but occurs in
numerous types of reef environments
that will experience highly variable
thermal regimes and ocean chemistry on
local and regional scales at any given
point in time, as described in more
detail in the Coral Habitat and Threats
Evaluation sections;
(2) Acropora palmata’s absolute
abundance is at least hundreds of
thousands of colonies based on
estimates from two locations in its
range. Absolute abundance is higher
than estimates from these locations
since A. palmata occurs in many other
locations throughout its range. This
absolute abundance allows for variation
in the responses of individuals to
threats to play a role in moderating
vulnerability to extinction for the
species to some degree, as described in
more detail in the Corals and Coral
Reefs section;
(3) Recent information indicates that
proportions of Caribbean sites where A.
palmata is present and dominant have
stabilized;
(4) Acropora palmata has fast growth
rates and high capacity to produce
clones through asexual fragmentation,
which can aid in local recovery from
mortality events; and
(5) Acropora palmata shows evidence
of resistance to bleaching from warmer
temperatures in some portions of its
range under some circumstances (e.g.
Little Cayman).
The combination of these
characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of
one that is currently in danger of
extinction, as described previously in
the Risk Analyses section and thus does
not warrant listing as endangered at this
time. Therefore, we withdraw our
proposal to list A. palmata as
endangered.
Progress has been made with A.
palmata-specific conservation and
restoration projects, albeit small-scale,
and these projects are likely to increase
in the future. Within some countries, A.
palmata-specific conservation and
restoration projects show promise for
enhancing species recovery at very
small spatial scales and facilitating the
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persistence of the species in some areas
in the face of continuing threats. Rangewide, a multitude of conservation efforts
are already broadly employed
specifically for A. palmata. However,
considering the global scale of the most
important threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at
addressing the root cause of global
threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not
believe that any current conservation
efforts or conservation efforts planned
in the future will result in affecting the
species’ status to the point at which
listing is not warranted.
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations
Absolute abundance is approximated
at a coarse scale in the Demographic
Information sections for most of the
Indo-Pacific species, based on a
comparison of corrected data from
Richards et al. (2008) and the
distribution and abundance results from
Veron (2014). Mean global census sizes
for four species in this final rule
(Acropora jacquelineae, A. lokani, A.
speciosa, and A. tenella) are provided in
Richards et al. (2008). An error in the
global census size formula (Richards et
al. 2008, Supplementary Information
file Methods_S1) resulted in 1,000-fold
under-estimates of global census size in
Richards et al. (2008) for these four
species, as confirmed by NMFS with the
author in 2013. Richards et al.’s (2008)
corrected census results were compared
with Veron’s ecoregion distribution and
semi-quantitative abundance results to
derive coarse approximations of
absolute abundance. For each species,
the resulting absolute abundance is
described as either ‘‘at least millions of
colonies,’’ or ‘‘at least tens of millions
of colonies’’ (NMFS, 2014). Although
this comparison produces only very
general approximations of abundance,
large scale estimates are sufficient for
considering whether population size
provides buffering capacity within the
context of our listing determinations.
Genus Millepora
Genus Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided no genuslevel introduction information for
Millepora. However, they did provide
the following information on
reproduction in the genus. Millepora
species are hydrozoans, thus their life
history cycle includes a medusae stage,
a free-swimming, bell-shaped form
(‘‘jellyfish’’) that produces gametes.
Reproduction is seasonal. The adult
coral colonies produce tiny medusae,
which release gametes within a few
days after being released from the
colony. Medusae are in separate sexes,
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and the milleporid medusae of some
species live for only a few hours. The
gametes of some milleporids can
become mature in 20 to 30 days, more
rapidly than for many scleractinians.
Hydrozoan corals of the genus Millepora
are the only reef-building corals with
medusae as part of their life history.
Branching and columnar forms of
Millepora are subject to fragmentation
and may use this mechanism to
reproduce asexually; unlike
scleractinian corals, the survival of
Millepora fragments may not be sizedependent.
There is only one genus in the Family
Milleporidae, the genus Millepora.
About 16 species of Millepora are
currently considered valid. While all
coral species in this final rule are
‘‘cnidarians’’ (Phylum Cnidaria),
Millepora are ‘‘hydrozoans’’ (Class
Hydrozoa, which includes jellyfish),
whereas all other species in this rule are
‘‘scleractinians’’ (Class Anthozoa, Order
Scleractinia). Like other reef-building
corals, Millepora species contain
zooxanthellae, produce calcium
carbonate skeletons, may grow fast, and
are thus major contributors to the
physical structure of coral reefs. Unlike
other reef-building corals, the surfaces
of Millepora colonies are covered with
tiny polyps that look like hairs,
containing stinging cells to capture
prey. Most species can sting humans
with the same stinging cells, hence the
common name ‘‘fire corals.’’ Colonies of
Millepora species are encrusting,
branching, foliose (leafy), or
combinations of these forms. The
biology and ecology of Millepora are
reviewed in Lewis (2006).
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Millepora.
The genus Millepora has been called a
bleaching ‘‘loser.’’ Millepora species are
ranked as the most susceptible to
bleaching in response to high seawater
temperatures of any of the 40 genera or
other categories of hermatypic corals in
the Great Barrier Reef. The genus has
been reported to be highly susceptible to
bleaching in the western Indian Ocean
and appears to have experienced local
extirpations in the tropical eastern
Pacific. Low bleaching occurred in
Millepora in Moorea during the 1991
event, but elevated temperatures can
also kill Millepora even in the absence
of bleaching. At elevated temperatures,
Millepora dichotoma showed decreased
zooxanthellae density, changes in
chlorophyll concentrations, and
decreased calcification. Millepora
species are among the first to bleach and
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die in response to high temperature
events, but they also seem to have a
high capacity for quickly recovering by
recruiting new colonies.
Millepora have been observed with a
greater than 20 percent prevalence of
skeleton-eroding-band disease in the
Red Sea. There are reports of black-band
disease on Millepora on the Great
Barrier Reef and white plague in
Florida. Few other reports exist for the
Pacific, and Caribbean congeners have
been observed with a small number of
diseases.
Millepora species are known to be
preyed on by the crown-of-thorns
seastar Acanthaster planci, although
they are less preferred prey than
acroporids and perhaps most
scleractinians. Millepora species are
also preyed on by the polychaete
Hermodice carunculata, the nudibranch
mollusk Phyllidia, and filefish of the
genera Alutera and Cantherhines.
Although Millepora species tend to
favor relatively clear water with low
rates of sedimentation, they were
reported to be among the last 17 out of
42 genera to drop out along a gradient
of increasing rate of sedimentation.
Millepora also showed increased
relative abundance and colony size on
sediment impacted reefs in Kenya.
Though little is known about effects of
nutrients on Pacific Millepora,
Caribbean congeners were found to
decrease in percent cover on eutrophic
reefs in Barbados.
The genus Millepora has been
involved in international trade from
Indonesia, Solomon Islands, and Fiji
with reported exports between 200 and
3000 pieces per year in the years 2000–
2008. Reported exports from Vietnam,
Malaysia, and Tonga were less than
1000 pieces per year in the same time
period.
Public comments did not provide any
information on the genus Millepora. We
gathered supplemental information on
the susceptibilities of Millepora species
to some threats, including the following.
High bleaching and mortality in
Millepora species has been reported in
response to warming events. All
Millepora colonies on reef flats of two
islands in the Thousand Islands of
Indonesia died in the 1983 El Nino mass
bleaching (Brown and Suharsono, 1990).
In contrast, Millepora colonies showed
no evidence of bleaching in Moorea,
French Polynesia in the 1991 bleaching
event other than occasional mild paling
(Gleason, 1993). In Palau in 2000, some
mortality was seen among Millepora
colonies (Bruno et al., 2001). Almost all
Millepora colonies in study sites outside
of marine protected areas in Kenya were
killed by mass bleaching in 1998, but in
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53975
protected sites there was actually an
increase in Millepora colonies
(McClanahan et al., 2001). Millepora
colonies had a bleaching index of 23.06
for eight countries in the western Indian
Ocean in 1998–2005, which was 12th
highest of the 45 genera recorded, and
56 percent of the highest value
(McClanahan et al., 2007a). Millepora
had the highest bleaching level of any
genus in Australia, and a moderately
high level in Kenya in 1998 (Pandolfi et
al., 2011). Millepora colonies in
Okinawa, Japan, experienced sharp
drops in populations following the 1998
and 2010 mass bleaching episodes
(Hongo and Yamano, 2013). At
Mauritius in a bleaching event in 2004,
Millepora had a bleaching index of 35,
the second highest of the 32 genera
recorded (McClanahan et al., 2005a).
Millepora colonies had the highest level
of bleaching among the corals of the
Socotra islands of Yemen, just outside
the Red Sea, in 1998 (DeVantier et al.,
2005).
While Millepora species are among
the most susceptible of all reef-building
corals to warming-induced bleaching,
they also often recover more quickly
than scleractinians, opportunistically
over-growing bleached colonies. Such
relatively rapid recovery by Millepora
species from bleaching events has been
observed in both the Indo-Pacific and
Caribbean, and is facilitated by short
colony life and ready regeneration of
fragments (Lewis, 2006). At a forereef
site in the Marquesas Islands, French
Polynesia, Millepora platyphyllia
overgrew dead scleractinian colonies to
form a large monospecific stand
´
¨
(Andrefouet et al., 2014). At a back-reef
site on Ofu Island, American Samoa,
following a bleaching event in 2002 that
killed almost all Millepora dichotoma,
colonies appeared and became fairly
common within a few years (Doug
Fenner, personal comm.). Following
both the 1982–83 and 1997–98 warming
events, Millepora intricata was
extirpated from shallow water in the
eastern Pacific, but showed recovery
within several years, likely because of
recolonization from deep water (Smith
et al., in press). In contrast, a long-term
study showed that three Millepora
species were ‘‘long-term losers’’ (i.e.,
populations decreased to zero, and
remained there) following mass
bleaching events in Japan in 1998 and
2010, while two other species of
Millepora were ‘‘neither winners nor
losers’’ (i.e., changes in their
populations were not significant) (van
Woesik et al., 2011).
Millepora colonies in the Great Barrier
Reef had low susceptibility to Skeletal
Eroding Band (the most prevalent
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disease on the GBR), with a prevalence
of 0.4 percent out of 4,068 colonies
surveyed (Page and Willis, 2007).
Several recent studies compare
vulnerabilities across genera or species
for a large number of reef-building coral
species, and the results of these studies
are summarized below with regard to
Millepora. Foden et al. (2013) developed
a framework for evaluating the
vulnerability of corals (and birds and
amphibians) to extinction due to climate
change. They categorized all of the six
species of Millepora, which they
reported on as having a low
vulnerability to climate change. A field
study that tracked the responses of 46
reef-building coral species in southern
Japan from 1997 to 2010 through two
bleaching events in 1998 and 2001 rated
three Millepora species as neither
winners nor losers, and two Millepora
species as long term losers. Three of the
Millepora species were branching and
all three branching species were ‘‘long
term losers,’’ one species is encrusting
and one produces plates, and those two
species were neither long term winners
or losers (van Woesik et al., 2011).
There is no information available on the
effects of any other threat for Millepora
species.
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the
SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information we can make
the following inferences about the
susceptibilities of an unstudied
Millepora species to ocean warming,
disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, or
collection and trade. The large majority
of studies report that Millepora species
are highly susceptible to thermal stress
and bleaching, but vulnerability may be
moderated by the capacity for rapid
recovery in some species. An unstudied
species of Millepora such as M. tuberosa
can be predicted in a bleaching event to
not be a ‘‘winner’’ in the long term, but
it cannot be predicted whether they will
be a long term loser, or neither a winner
or loser. Thus, an unstudied species of
Millepora is likely to be highly
susceptible to ocean warming. Based on
the above information, an unstudied
species of Millepora is likely to have
some susceptibility to disease,
sedimentation, nutrients, and predation.
The SRR rated ocean acidification as
‘‘medium-high’’ importance, the third
most important threat to corals overall,
because of the likely effects of
decreasing ocean pH on coral
calcification and reproduction. Thus, an
unstudied Millepora species is likely to
have some susceptibility to ocean
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acidification. The SRR rated the trophic
effects of fishing as ‘‘medium’’
importance, the fourth most important
threat to corals overall. This threat was
not addressed at the genus or species
level in the SRR or SIR, because it is an
ecosystem-level process. That is,
removal of herbivorous fish from coral
reef systems by fishing alters trophic
interactions by reducing herbivory on
algae, thereby providing a competitive
advantage for space to algae over coral.
Thus, the SRR did not discuss this
threat in terms of coral taxa, as its
effects are difficult to distinguish
between coral genera and species.
Therefore, an unstudied Millepora
species is likely to have some
susceptibility to the trophic effects of
fishing. The SRR rated sea-level rise as
‘‘low-medium’’ importance to corals
overall. This threat was not addressed at
the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR. Increasing sea levels may increase
land-based sources of pollution due to
inundation, resulting in changes to coral
community structure, most likely to
sediment-tolerant assemblages and
slower growing species. Because
Millepora are not generally sedimenttolerant and are faster growing species,
an unstudied Millepora species is likely
to have some susceptibility to sea-level
rise. The SRR rated ornamental trade
(referred to in the proposed rule as
Collection and Trade) as ‘‘low’’
importance to corals overall, and this
threat is addressed at both the genus
and species levels in the SRR. Because
Millepora species are widely collected
and traded, an unstudied Millepora
species is likely to have some
susceptibility to collection and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied Millepora
species is likely to be highly susceptible
to ocean warming (i.e., thermal stress,
leading to warming-induced bleaching),
and to have some susceptibility to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade.
Millepora foveolata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M.
foveoloata’s morphology and taxonomy.
Colonies of Millepora foveolata form
thin encrusting laminae that adhere
closely to the underlying substrata.
Millepora foveolata is sometimes
confused with the similarly encrusting
Millepora exaesa.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on M. foveoloata’s morphology and
taxonomy. However, we gathered
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supplemental information on M.
foveoloata that indicates a very high
level of species identification
uncertainty, because its distinctive
features are very small and difficult to
learn. In addition, no pictures of live
colonies have been published of this
species. Corals of the World (Veron,
2000) does not include nonscleractinians such Millepora species,
making it very difficult to obtain reliable
reference material. Many coral experts
also ignore Millepora species, but even
those that are interested in them have
little opportunity to hone identification
skills because the species is quite rare
and not often encountered on surveys.
Thus, even though M. foveolata is
considered a valid species, and there are
no known taxonomic uncertainty issues,
the species is so difficult to identify in
the field that there is very little reliable
information available for this species
(Fenner, 2014b). Thus, a high
proportion of the information on M.
foveolata’s distribution and abundance
information in the SRR or SIR is likely
based on inaccurate field
identifications, thus we do not consider
this information to be sufficiently
reliable, and are unable to provide a
reliable species description for M.
foveolata in this final rule.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, M. foveolata was
proposed for listing as endangered
because of: High vulnerability to ocean
warming (ESA Factor E); moderate
vulnerability to disease (C) and
acidification (E); uncommon generalized
range wide abundance (E); narrow
overall distribution (based on narrow
geographic distribution and shallow
depth distribution (E); and inadequacy
of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
Based on the lack of information on
M. foveolata’s distribution, abundance,
and threat vulnerabilities due to this
species’ identification uncertainty, we
believe there is not sufficient evidence
to support a listing determination of
threatened or endangered. Therefore, we
find that listing is not warranted at this
time.
Millepora tuberosa
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. tuberosa’s
morphology and taxonomy. Millepora
tuberosa’s colony morphology consists
of thin (about 1 mm at encrusting
peripheral margins) to moderately thick
(3 cm or more in the central regions of
larger colonies) encrusting laminae that
closely adhere to the underlying
substrata. They are always encrusting
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and so do not make vertical plates or
branches, although they can be nodular
or lumpy, especially when they encrust
rubble. Millepora tuberosa is often
found as small colonies (5 to 30 cm
diameter) but can be greater than one
meter in diameter. The SIR reports that
several authors have commented that
people could inadvertently misidentify
M. tuberosa colonies as crustose
coralline algae, and the SIR reports it
can look similar to Psammocora
nierstrazi if they have similar color.
There is some taxonomic uncertainty, as
M. tuberosa has been synonymized with
Millepora exaesa in one review. The
problem may be that the skeletons are
quite similar, but the living colonies
appear quite different, mainly in color;
M. tuberosa is a wine color, unlike other
Millepora species.
The public comments and
information we gathered did not
provide any new or supplemental
information on morphology or
taxonomy. We gathered supplemental
information, which confirmed that M.
tuberosa has moderate taxonomic
uncertainty, but is easily identified.
Millepora tuberosa is distinctive and not
difficult to identify by experts, thus the
distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is
sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. tuberosa’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Millepora tuberosa is known from
Mauritius, Taiwan, Mariana Islands,
Caroline Islands, American Samoa, and
New Caledonia. The species occurs in a
broad range of habitats on the reef slope,
reef crest, and back-reef, including but
not limited to lower reef crests, upper
reef slopes, and lagoons, from 1 to at
least 12 m depth.
Public comments and information we
gathered provided new or supplemental
information on M. tuberosa’s
distribution. One public comment stated
M. tuberosa has been reported from a
variety of sources suggesting that its
range extends from that shown in the
proposed rule westward to Madagascar,
indicating a broader distribution than
shown in the proposed rule. We
gathered supplemental information,
including results from surveys carried
out from 2005 to 2014 in New
Caledonia, American Samoa, the
Northern Mariana Islands, Nauru,
Tonga, and the Chagos Islands, that
confirmed the occurrence of M. tuberosa
in the first three areas but did not find
it in the latter three areas (D. Fenner,
personal comm.). Many experts,
including Veron, do not record the
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presence of Millepora species, thus the
small number of reliable observations
for this species likely indicates underreporting rather than a reflection of its
actual distribution or overall
abundance. However, surveys by
Millepora experts have not found the
species at all coral reef sites surveyed
within the areas encompassed by its
known locations. Thus we conclude that
the available information suggests a
patchy range bounded by east Africa,
Taiwan, Mariana Islands, Caroline
Islands, American Samoa, and New
Caledonia, and that the species’ range
makes up approximately one third to
one half of the coral reef areas within
the Indo-Pacific.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. tuberosa’s
abundance. The SRR stated that the
species is most often reported as
occasional, but in Guam it is
predominant in an area of lagoonal reef
south of Agat Boat Harbor. The SIR cited
several sources of information not
available in the SRR, and concluded
that the species’ abundance should be
considered common.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on M. tuberosa’s abundance. We
gathered supplemental information,
including abundance results from
surveys conducted in New Caledonia,
American Samoa, and the Northern
Mariana Islands between 2005 and
2013. In New Caledonia, 87 sites were
surveyed from 2006 to 2009, and only
a single colony of M tuberosa was
found. At 67 sites surveyed in American
Samoa from 2005 to 2010, M. tuberosa
was found at 18 sites (of the sites, 31
were on Tutuila, and the species was
found at 13 of them). At 22 sites
surveyed in the Northern Mariana
Islands in 2013, M. tuberosa was found
at three sites (D. Fenner, personal
comm.). At sites where M. tuberosa has
been actively surveyed (i.e., by coral
abundance monitoring programs that
includes Millepora experts), the
available information shows wide
variability in the species’ abundance,
from dominant or common (Guam) to
uncommon (Tutuila, Northern Mariana
Islands) to rare (New Caledonia). Based
on the available information, we
conclude that M. tuberosa’s overall
abundance is common or uncommon
overall, but locally rare.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For M. tuberosa, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
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at 59 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 22 percent
(Carpenter et al., 2008). This estimated
decline is approximately 50 percent
higher than most other Indo-Pacific
species included in the Carpenter paper,
apparently because of the combined
restricted geographic and depth ranges.
However, as summarized above in the
Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live
coral cover trends are highly variable
both spatially and temporally,
producing patterns on small scales that
can be easily taken out of context, thus
quantitative inferences to speciesspecific trends should be interpreted
with caution. At the same time, an
extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and
shifts to reef communities dominated by
hardier coral species or algae over the
past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004;
Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale
and Szmant, 2012). These changes have
likely occurred, and are occurring, from
a combination of global and local
threats. Given that M. tuberosa probably
occurs in many areas affected by these
broad changes, and that it has some
susceptibility to both global and local
threats, we conclude that it is likely to
have declined in abundance over the
past 50 to 100 years, but a precise
quantification is not possible based on
the limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The public comments and
information we gathered did not
provide additional biological
information on M. tuberosa.
Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided speciesspecific information on the
susceptibility of M. tuberosa to
sedimentation, predation, and
secondary effects of heavy fishing
pressure. The relatively high abundance
of this species on Guam suggests it is
resistant to those threats. Genus-level
information is provided for the effects
on Millepora of ocean warming, disease,
predation, land-based sources of
pollution (i.e., sedimentation, nutrients,
toxins, and salinity), and collection and
trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide
any other species-specific information
on the effects of these threats on M.
tuberosa. The threat susceptibility and
exposure information from the SRR and
SIR was interpreted in the proposed rule
for M. tuberosa’s vulnerabilities to
threats as follows: High vulnerability to
ocean warming, moderate
vulnerabilities to disease, acidification,
trophic effects of fishing, nutrients, and
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low vulnerabilities to predation,
sedimentation, sea-level rise, and
collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on M.
tuberosa’s threat susceptibilities. We
gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Millepora tuberosa has
been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching but not coral
disease, but these ratings are not based
on species-specific data (Carpenter et
al., 2008). Some colonies in American
Samoa and Guam have been observed to
have a discolored yellow area around
part of the perimeter, which appeared to
be a non-lethal disease (not all colonies
had it, and no mortality was seen. No
other disease was seen (Fenner, 2014a).
There is no other species-specific
information for the exposure or
susceptibility of M. tuberosa to any
threat. Based on information provided
in the genus description above, M.
tuberosa is likely to be highly
susceptible to ocean warming, and has
some susceptibilities to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on regulatory mechanisms
or conservation efforts for M. tuberosa.
Criticisms of our approach received
during public comment led us to the
following analysis to attempt to analyze
regulatory mechanisms on a species
basis.
Veron’s updated report on the listed
coral species and their occurrence in
various ecoregions (Veron, 2014) did not
include M. tuberosa. To determine what
countries the species occurs in we used
the SRR, IUCN Red List of Threatened
Species, and other sources where the
species has been confirmed (Fenner,
2011) and conclude that the species
occurs in a minimum of six countries’
EEZs. Those six countries are the
Federated States of Micronesia, France
(New Caledonia), Mauritius, Palau,
Taiwan, and the United States (CNMI,
Guam, American Samoa). As noted in
the Spatial Information paragraph
above, it is likely the species occurs in
a number of other countries, but we
cannot determine which ones at this
time, thus this management analysis is
limited to the six countries where the
species has been confirmed.
The regulatory mechanisms available
to M. tuberosa, described first as a
percentage of the above countries that
utilize them to any degree, and second
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as the percentage of those countries
whose regulatory mechanisms are
limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (33 percent with none
limited in scope), coral collection (67
percent with 17 limited in scope),
pollution control (33 percent with 17
percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (100 percent with
17 percent limited in scope), managing
areas for protection and conservation
(100 percent with none limited in
scope). The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for M. tuberosa are
reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection laws are
also somewhat utilized. General coral
protection and pollution control laws
are much less common regulatory
mechanisms for the management of M.
tuberosa.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that the high bleaching rate, based on
genus-level information, is the primary
threat of extinction for M. tuberosa,
which was compounded by the disjunct
geographic range. The SRR also stated
that factors that potentially reduce the
extinction risk are that M. tuberosa
might be more common than previously
observed, and that like other Millepora
species, it likely has a high capacity for
recovering from bleaching.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of M.
tuberosa, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
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distribution, based on the available
information, includes patchy areas from
the western Indian Ocean across the
western and central Pacific, as far east
as American Samoa. Its geographic
distribution moderates vulnerability to
extinction because some areas within its
range are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification over
the foreseeable future, including the
western Indian Ocean, the central
Pacific, and other areas, so portions of
the population in these areas will be
less exposed to severe conditions. Its
depth range is from zero to at least 12
meters. On one hand, its depth range
may moderate vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower irradiance than
surface waters, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in
waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. On
the other hand, its depth range may
exacerbate vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future if the species
occurs predominantly in the shallower
portion of its depth range, since those
areas will have higher irradiance and
thus be more severely affected by
warming-induced bleaching. Its habitat
includes lower reef crests, upper reef
slopes, and lagoons, which moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is
not limited to one habitat type but
occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time.
While the species is locally rare, its
overall abundance is common or
uncommon. Thus, its overall
abundance, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach,
M. tuberosa was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
common generalized range wide
abundance (E); narrow overall
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distribution (based on narrow
geographic distribution and shallow
depth distribution (E); and inadequacy
of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for M. tuberosa
from threatened to not warranted. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on M.
tuberosa’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
it is not warranted for listing at this
time, because:
(1) Millepora tuberosa’s distribution
stretches across the Indian Ocean and
most of the Pacific Ocean and is spread
over a very large area. While some areas
within its range are projected to be
affected by warming and acidification,
other areas are projected to have less
than average warming and acidification,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas. This
distribution and the heterogeneous
habitats it occupies reduce exposure to
any given threat event or adverse
condition that does not occur uniformly
throughout the species range. As
explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future; and
(2) Millepora tuberosa’s abundance is
described as common or uncommon
overall which, in terms of relative
abundance of corals and in combination
with the size of its range, indicates this
species likely numbers in the tens or
hundreds of millions of colonies, at
least. This provides buffering capacity
in the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility
between individual colonies. As
discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs
section above, the more colonies a
species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to
a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will
not have the same response.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
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importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses significant buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that M. tuberosa’s
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
worsen in severity, likely resulting in
the continued decline of this species
into the future. As the species
experiences reduced abundance or
range constriction of a certain
magnitude, its ability to moderate
exposure to threats will diminish.
However, the species is not likely to
become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger
of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, M.
tuberosa is not warranted for listing at
this time under any of the listing factors.
Genus Seriatopora
Genus Introduction
The family Pocilloporidae includes
three genera: Pocillopora, Seriatopora,
and Stylophora. Seriatopora contains
six species, all occurring in the IndoPacific (Veron, 2000). Seriatopora
species have branching colonies. The
SRR and SIR provided no genus-level
introductory information on
Seriatopora.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus
Seriatopora. Species in the genus
Seriatopora are highly susceptible to
bleaching across regions, including
Micronesia the GBR, and the western
Indian Ocean. The genus Seriatopora is
known to be susceptible to predation by
snails and the crown-of-thorns seastar,
Acanthaster planci. The genus
Seriatopora has been heavily traded,
primarily from Fiji and Indonesia (and
occasionally the Philippines and
Taiwan). Many records are at the genus
level; trade was heavy in the mid-1980s
(exceeding 134,000 pieces in 1987).
Seriatopora hystrix is the most heavily
exploited species, although Seriatopora
caliendrum is also exported.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on the threat susceptibilities of the
genus Seriatopora. We gathered
supplemental information, which
provided the following. There are
several reports of high bleaching and
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53979
mortality in Seriatopora species in
response to warming events. In response
to the 1998 warming event, Seriatopora
colonies in Palau had high levels of
bleaching with high mortality (Bruno et
al., 2001). In response to the same
warming event, over half of Seriatopora
colonies in study sites within Kenyan
marine protected areas were killed by
mass bleaching (McClanahan et al.,
2001). A large study of the bleaching
responses of over 100 coral species on
the GBR to the 1998 bleaching event
included one Seriatopora species,
Seriatopora hystrix. For this species,
approximately 40 percent of the
observed colonies were bleached,
resulting in S. hystrix being more
affected than most of the Pocilloporidae
and Acroporidae species in the study,
and one of the 20 most affected species
in the entire study (Done et al., 2003b).
In response to a 2008 bleaching event
in Papua New Guinea, two
Pocilloporidae species (including S.
hystrix) and 14 Acroporidae species
were monitored, and each species’
relative susceptibility to bleaching was
evaluated in relationship to the other
species in the study. Nine of the 16
species, including S. hystrix, had
moderate susceptibility to bleaching,
while five species were rated as severe
or high susceptibilities, and two as low.
Of the 139 S. hystrix colonies monitored
in the study, 126 bleached (Bonin,
2012). In response to a 2004 warming
event in Mauritius, the genus
Seriatopora was the most bleached of
the 32 genera recorded (McClanahan et
al., 2005b). In eight countries in the
western Indian Ocean in 1998–2005, the
Seriatopora genus had a bleaching
index of 32, the fourth highest of the 45
genera recorded, and 75 percent of the
highest value (McClanahan et al.,
2007a).
McClanahan et al. (2007a) calculated
a relative extinction risk score based on
bleaching for genera of corals in the
western Indian Ocean. The index of
extinction risk was proportional to the
degree of bleaching and inversely
proportional to the abundance and
number of reefs on which a taxon was
found. The index of extinction risk for
Seriatopora was the eighth highest out
of 47 genera, with a score of 0.46 based
on a scale of zero to one, with one being
the score of the highest extinction risk.
With regard to disease, two reports
from the GBR provide contrasting
information regarding the
susceptibilities of Seriatopora species to
various coral diseases. One study found
that Black Band Disease was nearly
absent on colonies of Seriatopora
species (Page and Willis, 2006). In
contrast, colonies of Seriatopora species
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had high susceptibility to Skeletal
Eroding Band, with a prevalence of 5.8
percent. Skeletal Eroding Band is the
most prevalent disease on the GBR (Page
and Willis, 2007). Seriatopora in
Indonesia was reported to have no
diseases (Haapkyla et al., 2007). There
is no information available on the
effects of any other threat for
Seriatopora species.
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the
SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make
the following inferences about the
susceptibilities of an unstudied
Seriatopora species to ocean warming,
disease, ocean acidification,
sedimentation, nutrients, trophic effects
of fishing, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. The SRR rated
ocean warming and disease as ‘‘high’’
importance to corals. These were rated
as the three most important threats to
reef-building corals overall. All studies
on thermal stress in Seriatopora report
high levels of bleaching in response to
warming events. Thus, we conclude that
Seriatopora likely has high
susceptibility to ocean warming. Studies
reported that one disease did not infect
Seriatopora, but another did at high
prevalence, and no diseases infected it
in Indonesia. Thus, we conclude that
Seriatopora has some susceptibility to
disease. Although there is no other
genus-level or species-specific
information on the susceptibilities of
Seriatopora species to ocean
acidification, the SRR rated it as
‘‘medium-high’’ importance to corals.
Thus, we conclude that an unstudied
Seriatopora species has some
susceptibility to ocean acidification.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of
fishing as ‘‘medium’’ importance, the
fourth most important threat to corals
overall. This threat was not addressed at
the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level
process. That is, removal of herbivorous
fish from coral reef systems by fishing
alters trophic interactions by reducing
herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae
over coral. Thus, the SRR did not
discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa,
as its effects are difficult to distinguish
between coral genera and species.
Therefore, we conclude that an
unstudied Seriatopora species has some
susceptibility to the trophic effects of
fishing.
Although there is no genus-level or
species-specific information on the
susceptibilities of Seriatopora species to
sedimentation or nutrients, the SRR
rated both threats as ‘‘low-medium’’
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importance to corals. Thus, we conclude
that an unstudied Seriatopora species
has some susceptibility to these threats.
Sea-level rise was also rated as ‘‘lowmedium’’ importance to corals.
Increasing sea levels may increase landbased sources of pollution due to
inundation, resulting in changes to coral
community structure, thus an unstudied
Seriatopora species is likely to have
some susceptibility to sea-level rise. The
SRR rated predation and ornamental
trade (referred to in the proposed rule as
Collection and Trade) as ‘‘low’’
importance to corals overall.
Seriatopora is preyed on by both snails
and crown-of-thorns starfish. Thus we
conclude that Seriatopora has some
susceptibility to predation. Seriatopora
is heavily traded, thus we conclude that
Seriatopora has some susceptibility to
collection and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied
Seriatopora species is likely to be highly
susceptible to ocean warming, and to
have some susceptibility to disease,
ocean acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sealevel rise, predation, and collection and
trade.
Seriatopora aculeata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on S. aculeata’s
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as thick, short, tapered
branches, usually in fused clumps. The
taxonomy was described as somewhat
uncertain, because genetic studies have
not corresponded well with morphology
for S. aculeata and other species of
Seriatopora. Similar species,
Seriatopora stellata and S. hystrix, can
have similar branching structures in
shallow, exposed reef flats.
The public comments and
information we gathered did not
provide any new or supplemental
information on morphology, and
confirmed that there is a moderate level
of taxonomic uncertainty for S.
aculeata, and that there is a moderate
level of species identification
uncertainty for this species. Veron
(Veron, 2014) states that S. aculeata is
sometimes confused with S. stellata, but
Veron (Veron, 2000; Veron, 2014)
continues to consider it a valid species,
and we conclude it can be identified by
experts, and that the distribution and
abundance information described below
for this species is sufficiently reliable
(Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on S. aculeata’s
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distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Seriatopora aculeata is distributed from
Australia, Fiji, Indonesia, Japan, Papua
New Guinea, and Madagascar to the
Marshall Islands. The SRR and SIR
described S. aculeata’s habitat as
shallow reef environments, and its
depth range as three to 40 meters. The
SIR reported it in Guam and the
Northern Marianas.
The public comments and
information we gathered provided
supplemental information on the
distribution and habitat of S. aculeata.
One public comment stated that in
Guam, the few specimens of S. aculeata
observed since 2004 were found in areas
with high rates of sedimentation. Thus,
based on all the available information,
S. aculeata’s habitat can be summarized
as follows: The species occurs in a
broad range of habitats on the reef slope
and back-reef, including but not limited
to upper reef slopes, mid-slope terraces,
lower reef slopes, reef flats, and lagoons.
Supplemental information provided the
following. Veron (2014) provides an
updated, much more detailed range map
for this species than the maps used in
the SRR. Veron reports that S. aculeata
is confirmed in 19 of his 133 IndoPacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional
seven.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on S. aculeata’s
abundance. Seriatopora aculeata has
been reported as uncommon.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on S. aculeata’s abundance, but the
supplemental information provided the
following. Veron (2014) reports that S.
aculeata occupied 10.3 percent of 2,984
dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean
abundance rating of 1.70 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it
was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘common,’’ and overall abundance was
described as ‘‘uncommon.’’ Veron did
not infer trends in abundance from
these data. As described in the IndoPacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For S. aculeata, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
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at 37 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 14
percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that S.
aculeata occurs in many areas affected
by these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but
quantification is not possible based on
the limited species-specific information.
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Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on S. aculeata’s
life history. Little is known of S.
aculeata’s life history. The much more
common species, S. hystrix, is a
simultaneous hermaphrodite that
reproduces sexually via brooded larvae.
The public comments and information
we gathered provided no additional
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe S. aculeata’s threats, the
SRR and SIR provided genus-level
information for the effects on
Seriatopora of o ocean warming,
disease, acidification, sedimentation,
nutrients, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide
any species-specific information on the
effects of these threats on S. aculeata,
except for a single export record from
Indonesia for four pieces of the species
in 2008. We interpreted the threat
susceptibility and exposure information
from the SRR and SIR in the proposed
rule for S. aculeata’s vulnerabilities as
follows. High vulnerability to ocean
warming; moderate vulnerability to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of reef fishing, nutrients, and
predation; and low vulnerability to
sedimentation, sea level rise, and
collection and trade.
Public comments provided some
supplemental information on S.
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aculeata’s threat susceptibilities. One
comment stated that the depth range for
S. aculeata on the reef slopes of Guam
are coincident with those of the crownof-thorns starfish, both of which are
below 5 to 7 meters depth, exposing S.
aculeata to predation. Seriatopora
aculeata has been rated as not
moderately or highly susceptible to
bleaching and disease, but this rating is
not based on species-specific data
(Carpenter et al. 2008). There is no
supplemental species-specific
information for the susceptibility of S.
aculeata to any threat. Based on
information provided in the Seriatopora
genus description above, S. aculeata is
likely to be highly susceptible to ocean
warming, and is likely to have some
susceptibility to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade. The
available information does not support
more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of S. aculeata to the
threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms.
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
S. aculeata. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to the following analysis to attempt to
analyze regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that S.
aculeata occurs in 19 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 10 countries’
EEZs. The 10 countries are Federated
States of Micronesia, France (French
Pacific Island Territories), Indonesia,
Japan, Palau, Papua New Guinea,
Philippines, Solomon Islands, TimorLeste, and the United States (CNMI,
Guam, PRIAs). The regulatory
mechanisms available to S. aculeata,
described first as a percentage of the
above countries that utilize them to any
degree, and second as the percentage of
those countries whose regulatory
mechanisms are limited in scope, are as
follows: General coral protection (40
percent with none limited in scope),
coral collection (70 percent with 20
percent limited in scope), pollution
control (30 percent with 20 percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on
reefs (100 percent with none limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (100
percent with none limited in scope).
The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for S. aculeata are
reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection laws are
also heavily utilized for the species.
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General coral protection and pollution
control laws are less common regulatory
mechanisms for the management of S.
aculeata.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that the primary factor that increases the
potential extinction risk is its high
bleaching susceptibility. The genus
Seriatopora is heavily traded, but not
often identified to species. Heavy use in
the aquarium trade implies the potential
for local extirpation for this usually
uncommon species.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of S.
aculeata, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution is limited to parts of the
Coral Triangle and the western
equatorial Pacific Ocean. Despite the
large number of islands and
environments that are included in the
species’ range, this range exacerbates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because it is mostly
limited to an area projected to have the
most rapid and severe impacts from
climate change and localized human
impacts for coral reefs over the 21st
century. Its depth range of 40 meters
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because
deeper areas of its range will usually
have lower irradiance than surface
waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters
that are deeper and cooler than those in
which the species occurs. The species
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occurs in a broad range of habitats on
the reef slope and back-reef, including
but not limited to upper reef slopes,
mid-slope terraces, lower reef slopes,
reef flats, and lagoons. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is
not limited to one habitat type but
occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time.
There is not enough information about
its abundance to determine if it
moderates or exacerbates extinction. It
is common and has at least millions of
colonies, but the great majority of the
population is within an area expected to
be severely impacted by threats over the
foreseeable future. While depth
distribution and habitat variability
moderate vulnerability to extinction, the
combination of its geographic
distribution and high susceptibility to
ocean warming are likely to be more
influential to the status of this species
over the foreseeable future, because of
the projected severity of ocean warming
throughout the species’ range in the
foreseeable future, and its high
susceptibility to this threat.
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Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the
determination tool formula approach, S.
aculeata was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderate overall
distribution (based on moderate
geographic distribution and moderate
depth distribution (E); and inadequacy
of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we maintain the
listing determination for S. aculeata as
threatened. Based on the best available
information provided above on S.
aculeata’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management indicate that it is likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
warrants listing as threatened at this
time, because:
(1) Seriatopora aculeata is highly
susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), and susceptible to disease (C)
ocean acidification (E), trophic effects of
fishing (A), nutrients (A, E), and
collection and trade (B). In addition,
existing regulatory mechanisms to
address global threats that contribute to
extinction risk for this species are
inadequate (D); and
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(2) Seriatopora aculeata’s distribution
is constrained to the Coral Triangle and
western equatorial Pacific, which is
projected to have the most rapid and
severe impacts from climate change and
localized human impacts for coral reefs
over the 21st century, as described in
the Threats Evaluation. Multiple ocean
warming events have already occurred
within the western equatorial Pacific
that suggest future ocean warming
events may be more severe than average
in this part of the world. A range
constrained to this particular geographic
area that is likely to experience severe
and increasing threats indicates that a
high proportion of the population of this
species is likely to be exposed to those
threats over the foreseeable future.
The combination of these
characteristics and projections of future
threats indicates that the species is
likely to be in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range and warrants listing as
threatened at this time due to factors A,
C, D, and E.
The available information above on S.
aculeata’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management also indicate that the
species is not currently in danger of
extinction and thus does not warrant
listing as Endangered because:
(1) While half of S. aculeatas’ range is
within the Coral Triangle which
increases its extinction risk as described
above, its habitat includes various
shallow reef environments down to 40
meters. This moderates vulnerability to
extinction currently because the species
is not limited to one habitat type but
occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, at local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time, as
described in more detail in the Coral
Habitat sub-section and Threats
Evaluation section. There is no evidence
to suggest that the species is so spatially
fragmented that depensatory processes,
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for catastrophic events
currently pose a high risk to the survival
of the species;
(2) Seriatopora aculeata occurs down
to at least 40 m so its depth range will
provide some refugia from threats
because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower irradiance than
surface water, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in
waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs; and
(3) Seriatopora aculeata’s absolute
abundance is at least millions of
colonies, which allows for variation in
the responses of individuals to threats to
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play a role in moderating vulnerability
to extinction for the species to some
degree, as described in more detail in
the Corals and Coral Reefs section.
There is no evidence of depensatory
processes such as reproductive failure
from low density of reproductive
individuals and genetic processes such
as inbreeding affecting this species.
Thus, its absolute abundance indicates
it is currently able to avoid high
mortality from environmental
stochasticity, and mortality of a high
proportion of its population from
catastrophic events.
The combination of these
characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of
one that is currently in danger of
extinction, as described previously in
the Risk Analyses section, and thus does
not warrant listing as endangered at this
time.
Range-wide, a multitude of
conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting S.
aculeata. However, considering the
global scale of the most important
threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at
addressing the root cause of global
threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not
believe that any current conservation
efforts or conservation efforts planned
in the future will result in affecting the
species status to the point at which
listing is not warranted.
Genus Acropora, Indo-Pacific
Genus Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided an
introduction to Indo-Pacific Acropora,
covering geological history, taxonomy,
life history, and threat susceptibilities of
the genus as a whole. Acropora colonies
are usually branching, bushy, or platelike, rarely encrusting or submassive.
Acropora is by far the largest genus of
corals with over 150 species, and
dominates many reefs, making Acropora
the most important single genus of
corals in the world. Almost all species
of Acropora are in the Indo-Pacific.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on genus-level
threat susceptibilities for Indo-Pacific
Acropora. Acropora are widely reported
to be more sensitive to bleaching in
response to high temperatures than
other coral genera. Some studies report
branching species of Acropora to bleach
more than table species, but other
studies do not find this. Bleaching
mortality in Acropora can be very
severe. Larval connectivity and survival
of partially-dead colonies are probably
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important in population recovery.
Bleaching of Acropora has been
followed by disease outbreaks and by
reduced fecundity for a year or two.
Fertilization and larval stages of
Acropora are particularly sensitive to
high temperatures.
Ocean acidification decreases the rate
of calcification in Acropora. For one
species of Acropora in the Caribbean,
decreases in growth rates on reefs over
decades has been attributed to
acidification. Acidification negatively
affects a variety of stages of
reproduction in Acropora.
Acropora are vulnerable to most of
the diseases that infect coral, and are
more commonly affected by acute and
lethal diseases (‘‘white diseases’’ or
tissue loss) than other corals. Such
lethal diseases have been the major
cause of the loss of most Acropora in the
Caribbean. The reduction of coral
populations by disease leads to negative
synergisms, as it reduces Acropora
reproductive output and can lead to
recruitment failure, making population
recovery very difficult.
Acropora are preferred prey for most
predators that prey on coral, including
the crown-of-thorns starfish, a variety of
snails including Drupella, butterflyfish,
and fireworms. Individual territorial
butterflyfish can take 400–700 bites per
hour, and butterflyfish densities can be
50–70 per 1000m2, demonstrating
possible intense predation on Acropora.
Acropora have low carbon and protein
content in their tissues so a low nutrient
value, yet are still preferred prey. This
suggests that instead of investing in
chemical defenses against predation,
Acropora invests its energy in rapid
growth. However, when coral
populations are greatly reduced, the
predatory pressure is increased on
colonies, and can exert a positivefeedback effect (Allee Effect or
depensation) that makes populations
unstable and can lead to collapse or lack
of recovery.
In general, Acropora species are
relatively more susceptible to the effects
of sedimentation than many other reefbuilding corals. Though certain growth
forms (e.g., cylindrical branches) may be
more effective at passive sediment
rejection than others, Acropora are
generally not adept at actively removing
sediment. Acropora have also shown
particular sensitivity to shading, an
effect of turbid waters resulting from
sedimentation. In addition, adult
colonies of Acropora have reportedly
shown impacts from sedimentation
especially during reproduction.
Acropora species are also relatively
more susceptible to the effects of
nutrients, especially with regard to
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reproduction and recruitment. Elevated
nutrients have been shown to reduce
fertilization success, survival, and
settlement of Acropora larvae. Further,
iron-rich ‘‘red’’ soils typical of tropical
islands, as well as other chemicals in
run-off, interfere with synchronization
of spawning among colonies, egg-sperm
recognition and interactions,
fertilization, and embryo development.
Acropora species are heavily
collected and widely traded
internationally. Trade quotas and
reports are typically listed only at the
genus level, making any species-specific
inferences with regard to this threat very
difficult.
The public comments did not provide
any supplemental information on genuslevel threat susceptibilities for IndoPacific Acropora. However, we gathered
supplemental information, which
provides the following genus-level
information on threat susceptibilities of
Indo-Pacific Acropora for ocean
warming, disease, ocean acidification,
and predation. With regard to
susceptibility to ocean warming, Fisk
and Done (1985) report bleaching
patterns on a site on the Great Barrier
Reef in 1982 to 1983. Most species of
Acropora in shallow water had
significant mortality, but Acropora
hyacinthus did not. Mortality varied by
species and site. Brown and Suharsono
˜
(1990) reported that the 1983 El Nino
caused a mass bleaching event in the
Thousand Islands, Indonesia. The mass
bleaching event killed all Acropora (22
species) in the transects on the reef flats
of two islands (Brown and Suharsono,
1990). Gleason (1993) reported that
Acropora was the second most affected
genus by bleaching (Montastraea was
the most affected) in Moorea, French
Polynesia in 1991, and that it had the
greatest mortality. McClanahan et al.
(2001) report that almost all Acropora in
study sites in Kenya were killed by mass
bleaching in 1998. Kayanne et al. (2002)
reported that in 1998 in the Ryukyu
Islands of Japan, branching Acropora
was susceptible to bleaching and
mortality was high. The branching
species in this study were primarily A.
formosa (= A. muricata) and also A.
pulchra and A. palifera (= Isopora
palifera). Hughes et al. (2003) reported
that 11 Acropora species ranged from 0
to 100 percent affected by bleaching in
Raiatea, French Polynesia, in 2002.
Done et al. (2003b) reported that 46
Acropora species ranged from 0 to 44
percent affected by bleaching on the
Great Barrier Reef in 2003.
Based on a bleaching index scaled
from 0 to 100 (with 0 as no bleaching
and 100 as complete bleaching),
McClanahan et al. (2004) reported that
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during mass bleaching in 1998,
Acropora had a higher index in Kenya
(80) than in Australia (40); temperatures
were higher in Kenya. Acropora in
Mauritius had an index of 39, the fifth
highest of the 32 genera recorded,
following a 2004 bleaching event
(McClanahan et al., 2005a). Acropora
had an index of 28.9 for eight countries
in the western Indian Ocean in 1998–
2005, which was fifth highest of the 45
genera recorded (McClanahan et al.,
2007a). The abundance of Acropora
after 1998 in the western Indian Ocean
decreased strongly in proportion to the
number of degree heating weeks in 1998
(McClanahan et al., 2007b). Based on a
bleaching index scaled from 0 to 250
(with 0 as no bleaching and 250 as
complete bleaching), Pandolfi et al.
(2011) report that Acropora bleached
heavily in Kenya and moderately in
Australia in 1998, with scores of 225
and 120, respectively. Acropora had a
moderate percentage of bleaching on
Howland and Baker islands in the U.S.
Pacific in early 2010, with 28.7 percent
bleached on Baker and 47.7 percent on
Howland. Acropora was the fifth mostbleached genus out of 14 genera, and
was 60 percent as bleached as the most
bleached genus (Vargas-Angel et al.,
2011).
During a mass-bleaching event in
Western Australia in 2010–2011,
Acropora had the highest mortality with
100 percent mortality of colonies larger
than 10 cm diameter in size, and
Montipora the second highest mortality,
while massive and encrusting corals,
such as Porites and faviids, had much
higher survival rates. Colonies less than
10 cm diameter were not killed
(Depczynski et al., 2012). Acropora in
the turbid waters off Okinawa, Japan,
experienced sharp drops in populations
following the 1998 and 2010 mass
bleaching episodes (Hongo and Yamano,
2013). Sutthacheep et al. (2013) report
that all colonies of one species of
Acropora were completely bleached at
Laem Set at Samui Island in the western
Gulf of Thailand in 1998 and 80 percent
of the colonies of the other reef-building
coral species were as well. In 2010, 80
percent colonies of one species were
completely bleached and all colonies of
the other species were partly bleached.
After the 1998 bleaching event, 72
percent of colonies had complete
mortality, and after the 2010 event, all
bleached colonies had complete
mortality.
Bleaching does not always result in
mortality, thus it is important to
consider bleaching-induced mortality
and bleaching rates from a single event,
as well as the recovery of a population
over time to a bleaching event. In Kenya
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in 1998, mortality in Acropora was sixth
highest of the 18 genera, and 55 percent
of the genus with the most mortality
(McClanahan, 2004). Three species of
Acropora were long-term winners
following mass bleaching events in
Japan (decreasing from 3.4 percent cover
to 0 percent then increasing to 3.5
percent; decreasing from 0.2 percent to
0 percent and then increasing to 3.2
percent; decreasing from 1.2 percent
cover to 0 percent and then increasing
to 0.7 percent), and one species was
neither a winner or a loser (van Woesik
et al., 2011). Bridge et al. (2013a) report
that Acropora mortality after bleaching
was higher than for all corals as a
whole. Total coral mortality at 0 to 2 m
depth was 70 percent, while it was 90
percent for Acropora, and at 3 to 4 m
depth it was 20 percent for all corals but
60 percent for Acropora (Bridge et al.,
2013a).
Species or genera that readily bleach
but recover quickly are relatively
resilient to warming-induced bleaching.
For example, the genus Acropora
received a +1 resilience score based on
trait and process scores assigned to the
genus (van Woesik et al., 2012). Traits
and processes were chosen which were
thought to confer resilience to climate
change. Resilience scores of 16 IndoPacific genera that were evaluated
varied between +7 and ¥5. Scores
below 0 were correlated with a high
extinction probability (van Woesik et
al., 2012). McClanahan et al. (2007a)
calculated a relative extinction risk
score based on bleaching for genera of
corals in the western Indian Ocean. The
index of extinction risk was
proportional to the degree of bleaching
and inversely proportional to the
abundance and number of reefs on
which a taxon was found. The index of
extinction risk for Acropora was the
ninth lowest out of 47 genera, with a
score of 0.11 based on a scale of 0 to 1,
with 1 being the score of the highest
extinction risk (McClanahan et al.,
2007a).
Diseases have been reported to be
more common in Acropora than in other
corals in some areas of the Indo-Pacific,
such as the Northwest Hawaiian Islands
(Aeby, 2006) and American Samoa
(Fenner et al., 2008). However, in the
Philippines, Porites was the dominant
host with almost all disease observed in
that genus, and only rarely observed on
Acropora (Raymundo et al., 2005). In
New Caledonia, Turbinaria had the
highest disease prevalence of any genus
with 2.5% infected, while Acropora was
tied with Montipora for the least disease
among the 12 most common genera
affected, with less than 0.1% infected
(Tribollet et al., 2011). On the Great
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Barrier Reef, Pocilloporidae and
Acroporidae have the highest
prevalence of families, and diseases
have been recorded on at least 23
species of Acropora (Willis et al., 2004).
Black band disease on the Great Barrier
Reef is concentrated in staghorn
Acropora species with 76 diseased
colonies counted in one study, and
Acropora species with other colony
morphologies (tables, bushy, corymbose,
digitate, bottlebrush) had far fewer
diseased colonies (Page and Willis,
2006). In American Samoa, French
Frigate Shoals (Hawaii) and Johnston
Atoll, two species of table Acropora (A.
hyacinthus and A. cytherea) had larger
numbers of colonies (13 each) with
growth anomalies in transects than any
of 10 other taxa, and much higher than
one other table coral (A. clathrata, with
one; Work et al., 2008). In Indonesia,
bushy Acropora had the highest
prevalence (8%) of disease of any taxon
(out of 35 taxa), while corymbose
Acropora was the eighth highest taxon
and second highest Acropora group
with 0.5 percent disease, and all other
Acropora groups (tabulate, bottlebrush,
digitate, and staghorn) had 0 percent
disease (Haapkyla et al., 2007).
Ocean acidification can have a variety
of effects on Indo-Pacific Acropora
species. While increased CO2 does not
appear to affect the survival of
unidentified Acropora larvae,
postsettlement skeletal growth of the
polyps of unidentified Acropora species
(Suwa et al., 2010) and A. digitifera
(Inoue et al., 2011) are impaired. In
addition, increased CO2 impairs the rate
of zooxanthellae acquisition in the
polyps of A. digitifera (Inoue et al.,
2011) and A. millepora (Kaniewska et
al., 2012). In Caribbean Acropora
species, fertilization and settlement are
impaired by increased CO2 (Albright et
al., 2010). Elevated CO2 also induces
bleaching in Acropora, even more so
than temperature increases (Anthony et
al., 2008). Carbon dioxide enrichment to
600 to 790 ppm enhanced maximum
photosynthetic rates in A. formosa
(Crawley et al., 2010), but elevated CO2
levels had no effect on photosynthesis
or respiration in A. eurystoma
(Schneider and Erez, 2006). A study of
the effects of near-term ocean
acidification and elevated seawater
temperature on the physiology of A.
aspera suggested that gene expression of
key metabolic proteins is impacted by
the synergistic effects of near term ocean
acidification (i.e., the conditions
expected to result from 50–90 ppm CO2
above current atmospheric levels) and
ocean warming (Ogawa et al., 2013a).
Physical factors may moderate impacts
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of acidification, as shown by a study of
A. hyacinthus, which found that natural
daily oscillations in CO2 may reduce the
locally negative effects of increasing
ocean acidification (Comeau et al.,
2014). Moderate increases in CO2 may
enhance Acropora growth and
calcification rates in some species,
however, at higher CO2 levels, growth
and calcification rates drop to zero.
More consistently across species,
elevated CO2 tends to decrease
Acropora growth and calcification rates
(Anthony et al., 2008; Chauvin et al.,
2011; Purkis et al., 2011; Schneider and
Erez, 2006; Suggett et al., 2013).
Acropora species appear to be more
susceptible to acidification than most
other genera, as demonstrated by the
lack of Acropora species in coral
communities existing in naturally low
pH waters (Fabricius et al., 2011).
With regard to predation, De’ath and
Moran (1998) reported that Acropora
was the most preferred prey of crownof-thorns starfish out of the 10 most
common genera on 15 reefs in the Great
Barrier Reef (preferred 14:1 over Porites,
the least preferred genus). Pratchett
(2001) reported that in a choice
experiment, crown-of-thorns starfish
always ate Acropora colonies before
eating colonies of other genera. This was
true of all four of the Acropora species
tested. When a crown-of-thorns starfish
has finished eating preferred species, it
moves to eating less preferred species,
and thus in an outbreak, almost all
species may be eaten (Pratchett et al.,
2001). The snail Drupella rugosa
preferred to eat Acropora pruinosa over
Montipora informis, one agaricid and
four faviid corals in laboratory tests in
Hong Kong (Morton et al., 2002).
The public comments did not provide
any supplemental information on genuslevel threat susceptibilities for IndoPacific Acropora. We gathered the
supplemental information above, which
provides genus-level information on
threat susceptibilities of Indo-Pacific
Acropora for ocean warming, disease,
ocean acidification, and predation. We
did not gather any supplemental
information on the other threats (i.e.,
sedimentation, nutrients, trophic effects
of fishing, sea-level rise, or collection
and trade).
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the
SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we make the
following inferences regarding the
susceptibilities of an unstudied
Acropora species to ocean warming,
disease, ocean acidification, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, trophic effects
of fishing, sea-level rise, and collection
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and trade. Nearly all the studies cited on
thermal stress in Acropora report high
levels of bleaching in response to
warming events. Thus, it is possible to
predict that an unstudied Acropora
species is likely to be highly susceptible
to warming-induced bleaching, as long
as some considerations are kept in
mind: (1) Despite high overall
susceptibility within the genus to
warming-induced bleaching, there can
be high variability between species and
habitats (Done et al., 2003b); (2) colonies
that bleach do not necessarily die (in
general, Acropora species have higher
post-bleaching mortality than corals as a
whole, but there is high variability in
response throughout the genus); (3)
recovery from bleaching provides the
mechanism for acclimatization; and (4)
while most Acropora species readily
bleach in response to warming events,
most also have the capacity to
reestablish local populations relatively
quickly through their rapid growth and
asexual reproduction capacity.
The studies cited above suggest that
diseases are generally more common in
Acropora than other coral genera,
although there are numerous
documented exceptions, depending on
location. These studies also demonstrate
high variability in disease susceptibility
across Acropora species, depending on
growth form, with wide divergence of
disease susceptibilities among colony
morphological groups under the same
conditions. Thus, it is possible to
predict that an unstudied Acropora
species is likely to have some
susceptibility to disease.
The studies cited above on ocean
acidification in Acropora report impacts
on skeletal growth rates. Thus, it is
possible to predict that an unstudied
Acropora species is likely to have some
susceptibility to ocean acidification in
terms of impacts on skeletal growth. The
studies cited above on predation in
Acropora report that predators such as
crown-of-thorns starfish and Drupella
snails prefer to eat Acropora over other
genera. Thus, it is possible to predict
that an unstudied Acropora species is
likely to have some susceptibility to
predation. Most studies summarized in
the SRR on the effects of land-based
sources of pollution suggest that an
unstudied Acropora species is likely to
have some susceptibility to
sedimentation and nutrient enrichment.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of
fishing as ‘‘medium’’ importance, and it
was the fourth most important threat to
corals overall. This threat was not
addressed at the genus or species level
in the SRR or SIR, because it is an
ecosystem-level process. That is,
removal of herbivorous fish from coral
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reef systems by fishing alters trophic
interactions by reducing herbivory on
algae, thereby providing a competitive
advantage for space to algae over coral.
Thus, the SRR did not discuss this
threat in terms of coral taxa, as its
effects are difficult to distinguish
between coral genera and species.
Accordingly, an unstudied Acropora
species is likely to have some
susceptibility to the trophic effects of
fishing.
The SRR rated sea-level rise as ‘‘lowmedium’’ importance to corals overall.
This threat was not addressed at the
genus or species level in the SRR or SIR.
Increasing sea levels may provide new
coral habitats by submergence of hard
substrates; however sea-level rise is also
likely to increase land-based sources of
pollution due to inundation, resulting in
changes to coral community structure,
most likely to sediment-tolerant
assemblages and slower-growing
species. Because Acropora are not
generally sediment-tolerant and are
faster growing species, an unstudied
Acropora species is likely to have some
susceptibility to sea-level rise.
The SRR rated ornamental trade
(referred to in the proposed rule as
Collection and Trade) as ‘‘low’’
importance to corals overall, and this
threat was addressed at both the genus
and species levels in the SRR. Because
Acropora species are some of the most
popular coral species to collect and
trade, an unstudied Acropora species is
likely to have some susceptibility to
collection and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied Acropora
species is likely to be highly susceptible
to ocean warming and to have some
susceptibility to disease, acidification,
sedimentation, nutrients, trophic effects
of fishing, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade.
Acropora aculeus
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. aculeus’
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as small bushy colonies
with flat tops, and taxonomy was
described as having no taxonomic issues
but being similar in appearance to A.
latistella.
The public comments and
information we gathered provided
information on the morphology or
taxonomy of A. aculeus. One public
comment stated that specimens
collected in the Mariana Islands and
identified by coral expert Richard H.
Randall as A. aculeus appear to be
different than colonies described as A.
aculeus in references used in the SRR.
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Also, one public comment stated that
specimens collected in American Samoa
and identified by the American Samoa
Department of Marine and Water
Resources as A. jacquelineae appear to
be A. aculeus, thereby illustrating the
species identification uncertainties
associated with this species. In addition,
we gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which states
that this species is distinctive. Thus,
while the public comments and
supplemental information provided
some information on the taxonomy of A.
aculeus, we conclude it can be
identified by experts, and that the
distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is
sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. aculeus’
distribution, habitat, and depth range:
Acropora aculeus is distributed from
East Africa to the Pitcairn Islands in the
eastern Pacific. The SRR and SIR
reported the species as having the 15th
largest range of 114 Acropora species in
a large study. Its predominant habitat is
shallow lagoons, and it is also found in
other habitats protected from direct
wave action on back-reefs and reef
slopes, and its depth range is low tide
to at least 20 m.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on A. aculeus’ distribution. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that this
species is confirmed in 68 of his 133
Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional
16. Wallace (1999b) reports its
occurrence in 24 of her 29 Indo-Pacific
areas, many of which are significantly
larger than Veron’s ecoregions. Richards
(2009) calculated the geographic range
of A. aculeus at over 100 million km2.
The public comments and information
we gathered provided nothing
additional on A. aculeus’ habitat and
depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. aculeus’
abundance. Acropora aculeus has been
reported as generally common and
locally abundant, especially in the
central Indo-Pacific, and that it is
particularly abundant in shallow
lagoons and common in most habitats
where it is protected from direct wave
action.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on A. aculeus’ abundance. We gathered
supplemental information, including
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Richards (2009) and Richards et al.
(2013b), which concluded that this
species is globally widespread, locally
widespread, and locally common. Based
on these results, the authors concluded
that A. aculeus is among the most
abundant Acropora species, and also
among those Acropora species that are
most likely to persist in the future. They
placed 12 species in this category out of
85 species of Acropora. Veron (2014)
reports that A. aculeus occupied 32.1
percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in
30 ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and
had a mean abundance rating of 1.55 on
a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in
which it was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘common.’’ Overall abundance was
described as ‘‘usually common in the
central Indo-Pacific, uncommon
elsewhere.’’ Veron did not infer
abundance trend results from these data.
As described in the Indo-Pacific Species
Determinations introduction above,
based on results from Richards et al.
(2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at
least tens of millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. aculeus, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 37 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 15
percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparisons subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context. Thus quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred and
are occurring from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
aculeus occurs in many areas affected
by these broad changes, and that it is
likely has some susceptibility to both
global and local threats, we conclude
that it is likely to have declined in
abundance over the past 50 to 100 years,
but quantification is not possible based
on the limited species-specific
information.
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Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. aculeus’
life history. Acropora aculeus is a
hermaphroditic spawner that is a
participant in mass broadcast spawning
in some localities. The public comments
and information we gathered provided
no additional biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. aculeus’ threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acropora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection
and trade. The SRR and SIR did not
provide any other species-specific
information on the effects of these
threats on A. aculeus. We interpreted
the threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the
proposed rule for A. aculeus’
vulnerabilities as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerabilities to disease,
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
nutrient over-enrichment, and
predation, and low vulnerabilities to
sedimentation, sea-level rise, and
collection and trade.
Public comments provided some
supplemental information on A.
aculeus’ threat susceptibilities. One
comment stated that A. aculeus is more
susceptible to predation than indicated
in the proposed rule because of the
overlap in the depth ranges of this
species with crown of thorns starfish. In
addition, we gathered the following
species-specific and genus-level
supplemental information on this
species’ threat susceptibilities. Acropora
aculeus has been rated as moderately or
highly susceptible to bleaching, but this
rating is not based on species-specific
data (Carpenter et al., 2008). Done et al.
(2003b) report 20 percent of A. aculeus
colonies were affected by bleaching on
the GBR in 2002, and the species ranked
31st in proportion of coral colonies on
the GBR that were bleached and killed
out of 52 studied Acropora species. That
is, 30 of the 52 species bleached more
than A. aculeus, and 21 bleached less.
Bonin (2012) reported that A. aculeus
had a ‘‘high’’ susceptibility to bleaching
in Kimbe Bay, Papua New Guinea on a
scale of ‘‘severe,’’ ‘‘high,’’ ‘‘moderate,’’
and ‘‘lowest.’’ Acropora aculeus was
fourth highest out of 16 species, with 50
percent of colonies either severely
bleached or dead. The most severely
affected species had 74 percent of
colonies either severely bleached or
dead (Bonin, 2012).
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Acropora aculeus has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to
disease, but this rating is not based on
species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). Page and Willis (2007) reported
that Skeletal Eroding Band has been
found in A. aculeus. Skeletal Eroding
Band is the most prevalent disease on
the Great Barrier Reef. They also
reported that corymbose Acropora had
moderate susceptibility to Skeletal
Eroding Band in the Great Barrier Reef,
with a prevalence of 2.4 percent (Page
and Willis, 2007). No other speciesspecific information is available for the
susceptibility of A. aculeus to any other
threat.
Based on information from other
Acropora species provided in the genus
description above, A. aculeus may be
susceptible to the effects of ocean
acidification on skeletal growth. Genuslevel information also suggests that A.
aculeus is susceptible to trophic effects
of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients,
predation, sea-level rise, and collection
and trade. Thus, based on the available
species-specific and genus information
summarized above, A. aculeus is likely
highly susceptible to ocean warming,
and also likely has some susceptibilities
to disease, acidification, trophic effects
of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients,
predation, sea-level rise, and collection
and trade. The available information
does not support more precise ratings of
the susceptibilities of A. aculeus to the
threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. aculeus. Public comments were
critical of that approach, and we
therefore attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms and conservation efforts on
a species basis, where possible, in this
final rule. Records confirm that A.
aculeus occurs in 68 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 39 countries’
EEZs. The 39 countries are Australia,
Bangladesh, Brunei, China, Comoros
Islands, Federated States of Micronesia,
Fiji, France (French Pacific Island
Territories), India (including Andaman
and Nicobar Islands), Indonesia, Japan,
Kenya, Kiribati, Madagascar, Malaysia,
Maldives, Marshall Islands, Mauritius,
Mozambique, Myanmar, New Zealand
(Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Seychelles,
Solomon Islands, South Africa, Sri
Lanka, Taiwan, Tanzania, Thailand,
Tonga, Tuvalu, United Kingdom (British
Indian Ocean Territory and Pitcairn
Islands), United States (CNMI, Guam,
American Samoa, PRIAs), Vanuatu, and
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Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to A. aculeus, described first as
the percentage of the above countries
that utilize them to any degree, and
second as the percentages of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms
may be limited in scope, are as follows:
General coral protection (28 percent
with 8 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (56 percent with 31 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (38
percent with 10 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (95
percent with 26 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (97 percent
with 8 percent limited in scope). The
most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. aculeus are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral
collection laws are also somewhat
common for the species, but 31 percent
of coral collection laws are limited in
scope and may not provide substantial
protection. General coral protection and
pollution control laws are much less
common regulatory mechanisms for the
management of A. aculeus.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that the high bleaching rate of the
Acropora genus is the primary known
threat of extinction for A. aculeus. It
listed factors that reduce A. aculeus’
threat of extinction including its
geographic range, depth range,
abundance, and variable habitats.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
aculeus, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
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above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes most of the coral
reef ecoregions in the Indian Ocean and
western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates
vulnerability to extinction because some
areas within its range are projected to
have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas, so
portions of the population in these areas
will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is from low
tide to at least 20 meters. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because
deeper areas of its range will usually
have lower irradiance than surface
waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters
that are deeper and cooler than those in
which the species occurs. Its
predominant habitat is shallow lagoons,
and it is found in other habitats
protected from direct wave action on
back-reefs and reef slopes. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type
but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. Its
absolute abundance of at least tens of
millions of colonies, combined with
spatial variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
aculeus was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
common generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution
(based on wide geographic distribution
and moderate depth distribution (E);
and inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. aculeus
from threatened to not warranted. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
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assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on A.
aculeus’ spatial structure, demography,
threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors,
alone or in combination, are causing
this species to be likely to become
endangered throughout its range within
the foreseeable future, and thus it is not
warranted for listing at this time,
because:
(1) Acropora aculeus’ distribution
across the Indian Ocean and most of the
Pacific Ocean is spread over a very large
area. While some areas within its range
are projected to be affected by warming
and acidification, other areas are
projected to have less than average
warming and acidification, including
the western Indian Ocean, the central
Pacific, and other areas. This
distribution and the heterogeneous
habitats it occupies reduce exposure to
any given threat event or adverse
condition that does not occur uniformly
throughout the species range. As
explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future);
(2) Acropora aculeus’ total absolute
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies, providing buffering capacity in
the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility
between individual colonies. As
discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs
section above, the more colonies a
species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to
a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will
not have the same response; and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast
grower, enhancing recovery potential
from mortality events as described in
the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
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worsen in severity and the species’
exposure to the threats increases
throughout its range. Should the species
experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, A.
aculeus is not warranted for listing at
this time under any of the listing factors.
Acropora acuminata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A.
acuminata’s morphology and taxonomy.
Morphology was described as typically
forming a tabular base of fused
horizontal branches that turn upward
and taper to points, and the taxonomy
was described as having no taxonomic
issues, but colonies turn black when
dried.
The public comments and
information we gathered provided
information on the morphology or
taxonomy of A. acuminata. One public
comment letter stated that specimens of
A. acuminata in the Mariana Islands
may be a different species or a distinct
sub-species, based on colony
morphology. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014),
which states that this species is
distinctive. While the public comments
and supplemental information provided
some information on the morphology
and taxonomy of A. acuminata, it is
sufficiently distinctive to be identified
by experts, thus we conclude that the
distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is
sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
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Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A.
acuminata’s distribution, habitat, and
depth range. Acropora acuminata’s
distribution is from the Red Sea to the
Pitcairn Islands in the eastern Pacific,
covering 110 million km2, the 5th
largest range of 114 Acropora species in
a large study. In general, its habitat is
upper reef slopes and mid-slope terraces
and shelves in turbid or clear water at
15–20 m of depth. In Guam, its habitat
is deeper reef flat areas and channel
slopes.
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The public comments and
information we gathered provided
information on the distribution and
habitat of A. acuminata. One public
comment letter stated that A. acuminata
in the Mariana Islands appears to be
restricted to reef flats and upper reef
slopes in protected to semi-protected
areas. Thus, based on all the available
information, A. acuminata’s habitat can
be summarized as follows: Its
predominant habitat is upper reef slopes
and mid-slope terraces and shelves in
turbid or clear water, and it also occurs
in back-reef habitats including reef flats
and channels. Its depth range is
approximately two to 20 m depth. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports
that A. acuminata is confirmed in 60 of
his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions and is
strongly predicted to be found in an
additional 12. Wallace (1999b) reports
its occurrence in 23 of her 29 IndoPacific areas, many of which are
significantly larger than Veron’s
ecoregions.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A.
acuminata’s abundance. Acropora
acuminata has been reported to
occasionally live in extensive clumps
with dimensions of several meters, and
it can be very common in the center of
its range (e.g., Indonesia), but it can be
uncommon in the outer parts of its
range. The public comments and
information we gathered provided
information on the abundance of A.
acuminata. A public comment letter
stated that A. acuminata in the Mariana
Islands is uncommon to rare. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Richards (2009) and Richards
et al. (2013b), which conclude from
their data that this species is globally
widespread, locally restricted, and
locally rare, and thus in the second
rarest category of Acropora with the
predicted consequence of persistence.
They placed 39 species in this category
out of 85 species of Acropora. Veron
(2014) reports that A. acuminata
occupied 4.7 percent of 2,984 dive sites
sampled in 30 ecoregions of the IndoPacific, and had a mean abundance
rating of 1.21 on a 1 to 5 rating scale at
those sites in which it was found. Based
on this semi-quantitative system, the
species’ abundance was characterized as
‘‘uncommon.’’ Overall abundance was
described as ‘‘sometimes common.’’
Veron did not infer trends in abundance
from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
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(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least tens of millions
of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. acuminata, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 35 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 14
percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context. Thus, quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
acuminata occurs in many areas
affected by these broad changes, and
that it has some susceptibility to both
global and local threats, we conclude
that it is likely to have declined in
abundance over the past 50 to 100 years,
but a precise quantification is not
possible based on the limited speciesspecific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A.
acuminata’s life history. Like most of its
congeners, A. acuminata is a broadcast
spawner. However, some degree of
reproductive isolation probably occurs
in some locations because the species
does not spawn synchronously with the
majority of its congeners. The public
comments and information we gathered
provided no additional biological
information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. acuminata’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acropora of ocean warming,
disease, acidification, sedimentation,
nutrients, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR and SIR also stated that
Acropora acuminata is the only
Acropora known to not be preferred as
prey by the crown-of-thorns starfish,
thus susceptibility to predation appears
to be low. The SRR and SIR did not
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provide any other species-specific
information on the effects of these
threats on A. acuminata. The threat
susceptibility and exposure information
from the SRR and SIR was interpreted
in the proposed rule for A. acuminata’s
vulnerabilities to threats: High
vulnerability to ocean warming;
moderate vulnerability to disease,
acidification, trophic effects of reef
fishing, and nutrient over-enrichment;
and low vulnerability to sedimentation,
sea-level rise, predation, and collection
and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
information on A. acuminata’s threat
susceptibilities. We gathered the
following species-specific and genuslevel supplemental information on this
species’ threat susceptibilities. Acropora
acuminata has been rated as moderately
or highly susceptible to bleaching and
coral disease, but these ratings are not
based on species-specific data
(Carpenter et al., 2008). Based on
information from other Acropora
species provided in the genus
description above, A. acuminata likely
has high susceptibility ocean warming,
and also has some susceptibilities to
coral disease, acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. Thus, based on the
available species-specific and genus
information summarized above, A.
acuminata is likely highly susceptible
to ocean warming, likely has some
susceptibilities to disease, acidification,
sedimentation, nutrients, trophic effects
of fishing, sea-level rise, and collection
and trade, and also has low
susceptibility to predation.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. acuminata. Public comments were
critical of that approach, and we
therefore attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms and conservation efforts on
a species basis, where possible, in this
final rule. Records confirm that A.
acuminata occurs in 60 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 42 countries’
EEZs. The 42 countries are Australia,
Brunei, China, Comoros Islands,
Djibouti, Egypt, Eritrea, Federated States
of Micronesia, Fiji, France (French
Pacific Island Territories), Indonesia,
Israel, Japan, Jordan, Kiribati,
Madagascar, Malaysia, Maldives,
Marshall Islands, Mauritius, Myanmar,
Nauru, New Zealand (Tokelau), Niue,
Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines,
Samoa, Saudi Arabia, Seychelles,
Solomon Islands, Sri Lanka, Sudan,
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Taiwan, Thailand, Tonga, Tuvalu,
United Kingdom (British Indian Ocean
Territory, Pitcairn Islands), United
States (CNMI, Guam, American Samoa,
PRIAs), Vanuatu, Vietnam, and Yemen.
The regulatory mechanisms available to
A. acuminata, described first as a
percentage of the above countries that
utilize them to any degree, and second
as the percentages of those countries
whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are general coral
protection (29 percent with 7 percent
limited in scope), coral collection (60
percent with 29 percent limited in
scope), pollution control (45 percent
with 7 percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (90 percent with 21
percent limited in scope), and managing
areas for protection and conservation
(93 percent with 10 percent limited in
scope). The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for A. acuminata
are reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are also
somewhat utilized for the species, but
29 percent of coral collection laws are
limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection. General coral
protection laws are much less
prominent regulatory mechanisms for
the management of A. acuminata.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that the high bleaching rate of the
Acropora genus is the primary known
threat of extinction for A. acuminata. It
listed factors that reduce the threat of
extinction including the very wide
geographic range, the broad depth range,
the fact that it is often common and
sometimes abundant, and the somewhat
broad range of suitable habitats for A.
acuminata.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
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53989
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
acuminata, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes most of the coral
reef ecoregions in the Indian Ocean and
western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates
vulnerability to extinction because some
areas within its range are projected to
have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas, so
portions of the population in these areas
will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is from 15 to
at least 20 meters. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas
of its range will usually have lower
irradiance than surface waters, and
acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper
and cooler than those in which the
species occurs. Its habitat includes
multiple habitat types on both the reef
slope and back reef. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is
not limited to one habitat type but
occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. In
addition, turbidity can mitigate against
the effects of high irradiance by
blocking it from the water column in
turbid environments. Its absolute
abundance of at least tens of millions of
colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and ocean
acidification across the species’ range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the
determination tool formula, A.
acuminata was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
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abundance (E); wide overall distribution
(based on wide geographic distribution
and moderate depth distribution (E);
and inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. acuminata
from threatened to not warranted. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on A.
acuminata’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to become
endangered throughout its range within
the foreseeable future, and thus it is not
warranted for listing at this time,
because:
(1) Acropora acuminata’s distribution
across the Indian Ocean and most of the
Pacific Ocean is spread over a very large
area. While some areas within its range
are projected to be affected by warming
and acidification, other areas are
projected to have less than average
warming and acidification, including
the western Indian Ocean, the central
Pacific, and other areas. This
distribution and the heterogeneous
habitats it occupies reduce exposure to
any given threat event or adverse
condition that does not occur uniformly
throughout the species’ range. As
explained in the Threats Evaluation
section, we have not identified any
threat that is expected to occur
uniformly throughout the species’ range
within the foreseeable future;
(2) Acropora acuminata’s total
absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering
capacity in the form of absolute
numbers of colonies and variation in
susceptibility between individual
colonies. As discussed in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section above, the more
colonies a species has, the lower the
proportion of colonies that are likely to
be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all the individuals
that are exposed will not have the same
response; and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast
grower, enhancing recovery potential
from mortality events as described in
the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above.
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Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
increase in severity and the species
exposure to threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience
reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, A.
acuminata is not warranted for listing at
this time under any of the listing factors.
species in a large study. It occurs in a
broad range of habitats and its depth
range as low tide to at least 10 m.
The public comments did not provide
supplemental information on A.
aspera’s distribution. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that this
species is confirmed in 68 of his 133
Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and is strongly
predicted to be found in an additional
17. Wallace (1999b) reports its
occurrence in 21 of her 29 Indo-Pacific
areas, many of which are significantly
larger than Veron’s ecoregions, and
Richards (2009) calculated the
geographic range of A. aspera at 70
million km 2. Wallace (1999b) describes
its habitat as ‘‘intertidal/shallow
subtidal,’’ and in much of its range the
species is confined to reef flats. Thus,
based on all the available information,
A. aspera’s habitat can be summarized
as follows: The species occurs in a
broad range of habitats on the reef slope
and back-reef, including but not limited
to lower reef crests, upper reef slopes,
reef flats, and lagoons. Its depth range
is approximately low tide to 20 m
depth.
Acropora aspera
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. aspera’s
abundance. Acropora aspera has been
reported as sometimes locally common
and it can occasionally live in extensive
clumps with dimensions of several
meters.
The public comments and
information we gathered provided
information on the abundance of A.
aspera. One public comment letter
stated that A. aspera is relatively limited
in abundance in Guam compared to cooccurring arborescent species such as
Acropora pulchra and Acropora
muricata. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014),
which reports that A. aspera occupied
7.5 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled
in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and
had a mean abundance rating of 1.76 on
a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in
which it was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘common.’’ Overall abundance was
described as ‘‘sometimes common.’’
Veron did not infer trends in abundance
from these data. Acropora aspera is a
reef flat species, and reef flats have a
larger global area than reef slopes
(Vecsei, 2004). This information is
relevant because most coral abundance
surveys are carried out only on reef
slopes, and thus may significantly
underestimate the abundance of species
such as A. aspera that are more common
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. aspera’s
morphology and taxonomy. The
morphology was described as
arborescent or bushy clumps which may
have largely vertical branches, and the
taxonomy was described as having no
taxonomic issues.
The public comments did not provide
supplemental information on
morphology. We gathered supplemental
information, including van Oppen et al.
(2001), which found that A. aspera is
the only genetically distinct member of
the A. aspera group of Acropora species,
a group of morphologically similar
species that hybridize at least
occasionally. Other supplemental
information we gathered was Veron
(2014), which states that A. aspera is
distinctive, thus we conclude it is
sufficiently distinctive to be identified
by experts, and that the distribution and
abundance information described below
for this species is sufficiently reliable
(Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. aspera’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Acropora aspera is distributed from the
Red Sea to the Samoan Islands. The
species has a relatively broad range, the
46th largest range of 114 Acropora
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on reef-flats than reef slopes. In
American Samoa, A. aspera forms
clumps on reef flats many meters across,
as much as about 100 m some places (D.
Fenner, personal comm.). Richards
(2009) and Richards et al. (2013b)
conclude from their data that this
species is globally widespread, locally
restricted, and locally common, and
thus in one of the categories of highest
abundance with the predicted
consequence of persistence. As
described in the Indo-Pacific Species
Determinations introduction above,
based on results from Richards et al.
(2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at
least tens of millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. aspera, the overall decline
in abundance (‘‘Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 37
percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (‘‘Backcast Percent Population Reduction’’)
was estimated at 15 percent. However,
as summarized above in the Inter-basin
Comparison sub-section, live coral cover
trends are highly variable both spatially
and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out
of context, thus quantitative inferences
of species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
aspera occurs in many areas affected by
these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible
based on the limited species-specific
information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. aspera’s
life history. Acropora aspera is a
hermaphroditic spawner. While it is a
participant in mass broadcast spawning
in some localities, asynchronous gamete
development on the Great Barrier Reef
and New Caledonia may provide a
degree of reproductive isolation,
although A. aspera has been shown to
hybridize with other acroporids. Gamete
development in A. aspera may be
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aborted in years with storm impacts.
Asexual reproduction can account for
the majority of A. aspera population
structure in certain areas and can lead
to local dominance.
The public comments provided no
supplemental biological information.
We gathered the following information.
In a study of biological traits of coral
species, Darling et al. (2012) found that
all of over 30 Acropora species studied
were classified as ‘‘competitive’’ species
which were considered to be less
tolerant of environmental stress and
disturbance than those species that were
classified as ‘‘stress-tolerant,’’
‘‘generalist,’’ or ‘‘weedy’’, because of
documented shifts in coral communities
from ‘‘competitive’’ to the other
categories. Acropora aspera was one of
the Acropora species studied, and was
classified as ‘‘competitive’’ as were all
other Acropora species.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. aspera’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acropora of ocean warming,
disease, acidification, sedimentation,
nutrients, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide
any species-specific information on the
effects of these threats on A. aspera. The
threat exposure and susceptibility
information from the SRR and SIR was
interpreted in the proposed rule for A.
aspera’s vulnerabilities to threats as
follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming, moderate vulnerabilities to
disease, acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, nutrients, and predation, and
low vulnerabilities to sedimentation,
sea-level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide
supplemental information on A.
aspera’s threat susceptibilities. We
gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Acropora aspera was
rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching and disease,
but this rating is not based on speciesspecific data (Carpenter et al., 2008).
Done et al. (2003b) reported that 33
percent of A. aspera’s colonies on the
GBR were affected by bleaching in 2002,
and the species ranked 9th in
proportion of coral colonies that were
bleached out of 52 studied Acropora
species. That is, eight of the 52 species
bleached more than A. aspera, and 43
bleached less.
Acropora aspera experiences subacute black-band disease (UNEP, 2010),
as well as ciliate infections (Antonius
and Lipscomb, 2000). Page and Willis
(2007) reported that Skeletal Eroding
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53991
Band has been found in A. aspera. They
also reported that bushy Acropora had
high susceptibility to Skeletal Eroding
Band on the GBR, with a prevalence of
3.1 percent. Skeletal Eroding Band is the
most prevalent disease on the GBR. A
study of the effects of near-term ocean
acidification and elevated seawater
temperature on the physiology of A.
aspera suggested that gene expression of
key metabolic proteins is impacted by
the synergistic effects of near term ocean
acidification (i.e., the conditions
expected to result from 50 to 90 ppm
CO2 above current atmospheric levels)
and ocean warming (Ogawa et al.,
2013b). Acropora aspera is a preferred
prey of crown-of-thorns seastar (Sonoda
and Paul, 1993). With regard to
sedimentation, A. aspera was found to
be relatively tolerant of silty, turbid
water in the South China Sea (Latypov
and Dautova, 2005). No other speciesspecific information is available for the
susceptibility of A. aspera to any other
threat.
Based on the available genus-level
and species-specific information, A.
aspera is likely highly susceptible to
ocean warming, and it also likely has
some susceptibilities to disease,
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade. The
available information does not support
more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of A. aspera to the
threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. aspera. Public comments were
critical of that approach, and we
therefore attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms and conservation efforts on
a species basis, where possible, in this
final rule. Records confirm that
Acropora aspera occurs in 68 IndoPacific ecoregions that encompass 44
countries’ EEZs. The 44 countries are
Australia (including Cocos-Keeling
Islands), Bahrain, Brunei, Cambodia,
China, Federated States of Micronesia,
Fiji, France (French Pacific Island
Territories), India (including Andaman
and Nicobar Islands), Indonesia, Iran,
Japan, Kiribati, Kuwait, Madagascar,
Malaysia, Maldives, Marshall Islands,
Mauritius, Myanmar, New Zealand
(Tokelau), Niue, Oman, Palau, Papua
New Guinea, Philippines, Qatar, Samoa,
Saudi Arabia, Seychelles, Singapore,
Solomon Islands, Sri Lanka, Taiwan,
Thailand, Timor-Leste, Tonga, Tuvalu,
United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom
(British Indian Ocean Territory), United
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States (CNMI, Guam, American Samoa,
PRIAs), Vanuatu, Vietnam, and Yemen.
The regulatory mechanisms available to
A. aspera, described first as a percentage
of the above countries that utilize them
to any degree, and second as the
percentage of those countries whose
regulatory mechanisms are limited in
scope, are as follows: General coral
protection (32 percent with 9 percent
limited in scope), coral collection (52
percent with 25 percent limited in
scope), pollution control (43 percent
with 7 percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (91 percent with 23
percent limited in scope), and managing
areas for protection and conservation
(89 percent with 9 percent limited in
scope). The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for A. aspera are
reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are also
somewhat utilized for the species, but
25 percent of coral collection laws are
limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection. General coral
protection laws are much less common
regulatory mechanisms for the
management of A. aspera.
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Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that the high bleaching rate of the
Acropora genus is the primary known
threat of extinction for A. aspera. It
listed factors that reduce the threat of
extinction including the wide
geographic range, the fact that it is often
common and sometimes abundant, and
the somewhat broad range of suitable
habitats for A. aspera.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
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The following characteristics of A.
aspera, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes most of the coral
reef ecoregions in the Indian Ocean and
western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates
vulnerability to extinction because some
areas within its range are projected to
have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas, so
portions of the population in these areas
will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is from low
tide to at least 10 meters. Assuming that
the species’ depth distribution is limited
to 10 meters, this exacerbates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because shallow areas
are more likely to be affected by
warming-induced bleaching and disease
than deeper areas. Its habitat includes
lower reef crests, upper reef slopes, reef
flats, and lagoons. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is
not limited to one habitat type but
occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. Its
absolute abundance of at least tens of
millions of colonies, combined with
spatial variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
aspera was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
common generalized range wide
abundance (E); narrow overall
distribution (based on moderate
geographic distribution and shallow
depth distribution (E); and inadequacy
of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. aspera from
threatened to not warranted. We made
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this determination based on a more
species-specific and holistic assessment
of whether this species meets the
definition of either a threatened or
endangered coral largely in response to
public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the
buffering capacity of this species’ spatial
and demographic traits to lessen its
vulnerability to threats. Thus, based on
the best available information above on
A. aspera’ spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
it is not warranted for listing at this
time, because:
(1) Acropora aspera’s distribution is
spread over a very large area. While
some areas within its range are
projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, other areas are projected
to have less than average warming and
acidification, including the western
Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and
other areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies
reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not
occur uniformly throughout the species
range. As explained above in the
Threats Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Acropora aspera’s absolute
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies, providing buffering capacity in
the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility
between individual colonies. As
discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs
section above, the more colonies a
species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to
a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will
not have the same response; and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast
grower, enhancing recovery potential
from mortality events as described in
the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
worsen in severity and the species’
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exposure to the threats increases
throughout its range. Should the species
experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, A.
aculeus is not warranted for listing at
this time under any of the listing factors.
Acropora dendrum
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. dendrum’s
morphology and taxonomy. The
morphology was described as plates 0.5
to1 m diameter, with widely spaced
vertical branchlets, and taxonomy was
described as having no taxonomic
issues. However, A. dendrum is ‘‘poorly
characterized and may indeed be a
‘phantom’ species, being made up from
specimens that cannot be allocated to
other species.’’ However, the BRT treats
it as a nominal species. They stated that
it is most similar to Heteropora
appressa and A. microclados.
The public comments did not provide
supplemental information on
morphology or taxonomy. We gathered
supplemental information, which
confirmed that while there is some
taxonomic uncertainty for A. dendrum,
it is recognized as valid by experts
(Veron, 2000; Veron, 2014; Wallace,
1999b). Veron (2014) states that A.
dendrum is distinctive, thus we
conclude it is sufficiently distinctive to
be identified by experts, and that the
distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is
sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
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Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. dendrum’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Acropora dendrum is distributed from
the north-central Indian Ocean to Fiji,
and from Japan to the Great Barrier Reef.
The species’ predominant habitat is
upper reef slopes and mid-slope
terraces, and its depth range is 5 to 20
m. Upper reef slopes and mid-slope
terraces extend seaward from the reef
crest toward the open ocean, forming
one of the most common and
widespread coral reef habitats. They
vary in gradient from gentle to steep,
and include a great deal of physical
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complexity, including ridges, furrows,
walls, caves, and other structures,
collectively providing highly diverse
coral habitats.
The public comments did not provide
supplemental information on A.
dendrum’s distribution. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that this
species is confirmed in 32 of his 133
Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and is strongly
predicted to be found in an additional
20. Wallace (1999b) reports its
occurrence in nine of her 29 IndoPacific areas, many of which are
significantly larger than Veron’s
ecoregions, and Richards (2009)
reported the species as having the 48th
smallest range of 114 Acropora species
in a large study and calculated the
geographic range at over 20 million km2.
Acropora dendrum occurs on exposed
reef fronts where Acropora diversity is
high (Veron and Wallace, 1984). The
public comments and information we
gathered provided nothing additional on
A. dendrum’s habitat and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. dendrum’s
abundance. Acropora dendrum has been
reported as uncommon or rare.
The public comments did not provide
supplemental information on A.
dendrum’s abundance. We gathered
supplemental information, which
indicates that there are no locations
recorded where A. dendrum is common
or even more abundant than a rare
species (Wallace, 1999b). Veron (2014)
provides a much more detailed range
map for this species than the maps used
in the SRR, and reports that A. dendrum
occupied 2.0 percent of 2,984 dive sites
sampled in 30 ecoregions of the IndoPacific, and had a mean abundance
rating of 1.11 on a 1 to 5 rating scale at
those sites in which it was found. Based
on this semi-quantitative system, the
species’ abundance was characterized as
‘‘uncommon.’’ Overall abundance was
described as ‘‘rare.’’ Veron did not infer
trends in abundance from these data. As
described in the Indo-Pacific Species
Determinations introduction above,
based on results from Richards et al.
(2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at
least tens of millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. dendrum, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 35 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
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53993
Reduction’’) was estimated at 14
percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences of
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
dendrum occurs in many areas affected
by these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible
based on the limited species-specific
information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. dendrum’s
life history. Like most of its congeners,
A. dendrum is a hermaphroditic
spawner (Mezaki et al., 2007; Wallace,
1985) with lecithotrophic (yolk-sac)
larvae (Baird et al., 2009). The public
comments and information we gathered
provided no supplemental biological
information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. dendrum’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acropora of ocean warming,
disease, acidification, sedimentation,
nutrients, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide
any other species-specific information
on the effects of these threats on A.
dendrum. We interpreted the threat
susceptibility and exposure information
from the SRR and SIR in the proposed
rule for A. dendrum’s vulnerabilities as
follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming, moderate vulnerabilities to
disease, acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, nutrients, and predation, and
low vulnerabilities to sedimentation,
sea-level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide
supplemental information on A.
dendrum’s threat susceptibilities. We
gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Acropora dendrum has
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been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching and disease,
but these ratings are not based on
species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). Based on information from other
Acropora species provided in the genus
description above, A. dendrum is likely
to be highly susceptible to ocean
warming, and also has some
susceptibilities to disease, acidification,
trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. The available
information does not support more
precise ratings of the susceptibilities of
A. dendrum to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. dendrum. Public comments were
critical of that approach, and we
therefore attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms and conservation efforts on
a species basis, where possible, in this
final rule. Acropora dendrum has
confirmed records of occurrence in 32
Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass
14 countries’ EEZs. The 14 countries are
Australia, Brunei, China, France (French
Pacific Island Territories), Indonesia,
Japan, Malaysia, Myanmar, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, Solomon Islands,
Thailand, Vanuatu, and Vietnam. The
regulatory mechanisms available to A.
dendrum, described first as a percentage
of the above countries that utilize them
to any degree, and second as the
percentage of those countries whose
regulatory mechanisms are limited in
scope, are as follows: General coral
protection (36 percent with seven
percent limited in scope), coral
collection (57 percent with 29 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (43
percent with 21 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (100
percent with 21 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (93 percent
with none limited in scope). The most
common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. dendrum are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral
collection and pollution control laws
are also somewhat utilized for the
species, but 29 percent of those laws are
limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection. General coral
protection laws are much less common
regulatory mechanisms for the
management of A. dendrum.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
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vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that the high bleaching rate of the
Acropora genus is the primary known
threat of extinction for A. dendrum. It
listed factors that reduce the threat of
extinction, including the fairly wide
geographic range, the depth range, and
the somewhat broad range of suitable
habitats.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
dendrum, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic range
extends from western Malaysia to
Vanuatu, and southern Japan to the
GBR. On one hand, this moderates
vulnerability to extinction because the
high latitude areas in the northern and
southern portions of its range are
projected to have less than average
warming over the foreseeable future,
thus populations in these areas will be
less exposed to severe warming
conditions. On the other hand, the
species’ geographic distribution
exacerbates vulnerability to extinction
because much of it lies within the
western equatorial Pacific, an area
projected to have the highest seawater
temperatures in the foreseeable future.
Its depth range is from 5 to 20 meters.
This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower irradiance than
surface waters, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in
waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. Its
habitat includes upper reef slopes and
mid-slope terraces. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
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foreseeable future because upper reef
slopes and mid-slope terraces are
physically diverse and widespread, thus
the species occurs in reef environments
that will, on local and regional scales,
experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time. Its absolute
abundance of at least tens of millions of
colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
dendrum was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E); rare
generalized range wide abundance (E);
moderate overall distribution (based on
moderate geographic distribution and
moderate depth distribution (E); and
inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. dendrum
from threatened to not warranted. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on A.
dendrum’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
it is not warranted for listing at this
time, because:
(1) Acropora dendrum’s distribution
is spread over a very large area. While
some areas within its range are
projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, other areas are projected
to have less than average warming and
acidification, including the central
Pacific and other areas. This
distribution and the heterogeneous
habitats it occupies reduce exposure to
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any given threat event or adverse
condition that does not occur uniformly
throughout the species range. As
explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Acropora dendrum’s absolute
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies, providing buffering capacity in
the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility
between individual colonies. As
discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs
section above, the more colonies a
species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to
a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will
not have the same response; and
(3) As with other Acropora species, it
is a broadcast spawner and fast grower,
enhancing recovery potential from
mortality events.
Notwithstanding projections through
2100 that indicate increased severity
over time of the three high importance
threats, the combination of these
biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
worsen in severity and the species’
exposure to the threats increases
throughout its range. Should the species
experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, A.
dendrum is not warranted for listing at
this time under any of the listing factors.
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Acropora donei
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. donei’s
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as table-like, up to 2 m
diameter, with branchlets that are
horizontal near the edge but upturned in
the middle, and taxonomy was
described as having no taxonomic
issues, but being similar in appearance
to A. yongei.
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The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on morphology or taxonomy. We
gathered supplemental information,
which indicated that there is some
taxonomic uncertainty with this species,
but that it is recognized as valid by
experts (Fukami et al., 2004; Veron,
2000). Veron (2014) states that A. donei
is distinctive, thus we conclude it is
sufficiently distinctive to be identified
by experts, and that the distribution and
abundance information described below
for this species is sufficiently reliable
(Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. donei’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Acropora donei is distributed from the
northern Indian Ocean to the central
Indo-Pacific, and from Australia to
Japan. They reported that it had the 44th
largest range of 114 Acropora species
examined. The species’ habitat is upper
reef slopes and mid-slope terraces. It
may be restricted habitats where
Acropora diversity is high, but this
includes a large proportion of the IndoPacific’s reef slopes. Its depth range is
5 to 20 m.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on A. donei’s distribution. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which provides an
updated, much more detailed range map
for this species than the maps used in
the SRR. Veron reports that A. donei is
confirmed in 50 of his 133 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions, and is strongly predicted to
be found in an additional 17. Wallace
(1999b) reports its occurrence in 20 of
her 29 Indo-Pacific areas, many of
which are significantly larger than
Veron’s ecoregions. Acropora donei has
a relatively broad range overall,
estimated at 75 million km2 (Richards,
2009). The public comments and
information we gathered provided
nothing additional on A. donei’s habitat
and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. donei’s
abundance. Acropora donei has been
reported to be uncommon. Richards
(2009) concluded that A. donei is
globally widespread, locally restricted,
and locally rare, and thus in the second
rarest category of Acropora with the
predicted consequence of local
extinction. The public comments and
information we gathered provided
information on A. donei’s abundance.
One public comment stated that a
recently published paper (Kayanne et
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53995
al., 2012) reported that A. donei was
among the second most abundant group
of corals on Okinotorishima, Japan, and
was classified as ‘‘common’’ (paper was
provided with the comment). We
gathered supplemental information,
which reports that A. donei is a
common species on Indonesian reefs
and reefs of the South China Sea and
Japan (Wallace and Wolstenholme,
1998). Veron (2014) reports that A.
donei occupied 4.7 percent of 2,984
dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean
abundance rating of 1.16 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it
was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘uncommon,’’ and overall abundance
was also described as ‘‘uncommon.’’
Veron did not infer trends in abundance
from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least tens of millions
of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. donei, the overall decline
in abundance (‘‘Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 37
percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (‘‘Backcast Percent Population Reduction’’)
was estimated at 15 percent. However,
as summarized above in the Inter-basin
Comparison sub-section, live coral cover
trends are highly variable both spatially
and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out
of context, thus quantitative inferences
to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
donei occurs in many areas affected by
these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible
based on the limited species-specific
information.
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Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. donei’s life
history. Acropora donei is a
hermaphroditic spawner with
lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae. The
public comments and information we
gathered provided no additional
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. donei’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acropora of ocean warming,
disease, acidification, sedimentation,
nutrients, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide
any other species-specific information
on the effects of these threats on A.
donei. We interpreted the threat
susceptibility and exposure information
from the SRR and SIR in the proposed
rule for A. donei’s vulnerabilities as
follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming, moderate vulnerabilities to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, nutrients, and
predation, and low vulnerabilities to
sedimentation, sea-level rise, and
collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
donei’s threat susceptibilities. We
gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Acropora donei has
been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching and disease,
but these ratings are not based on
species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). Based on information from other
Acropora species provided in the genus
description above, A. donei is likely
highly susceptible to ocean warming,
and likely has some susceptibilities to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. The available
information does not support more
precise ratings of the susceptibilities of
A. donei to the threats.
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Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. donei. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to the following analysis to attempt to
analyze regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that A.
donei occurs in 68 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 34 countries’
EEZs. The 34 countries are Australia,
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Brunei, China, Comoros Islands,
Djibouti, Eritrea, Federated States of
Micronesia, Fiji, France (French Pacific
Island Territories), Indonesia, Japan,
Kiribati, Madagascar, Malaysia,
Maldives, Marshall Islands, Myanmar,
New Zealand (Tokelau), Niue, Palau,
Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Samoa,
Saudi Arabia, Solomon Islands, Sri
Lanka, Taiwan, Thailand, Tonga,
Tuvalu, United States (American
Samoa, PRIAs), Vanuatu, Vietnam, and
Yemen. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to A. donei, described first as
the percentage of the above countries
that utilize them to any degree, and
second as the percentages of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms
may be limited in scope, are as follows:
General coral protection (32 percent
with 6 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (59 percent with 29 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (44
percent with 9 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (97
percent with 15 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (94 percent
with 3 percent limited in scope). The
most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. donei are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral
collection and pollution control laws
are also somewhat utilized for the
species, but 29 percent of coral
collection laws are limited in scope and
may not provide substantial protection.
General coral protection laws are much
less common regulatory mechanisms for
the management of A. donei.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that the high bleaching rate of the
Acropora genus is the primary known
threat of extinction for A. donei. It listed
factors that reduce the threat of
extinction including the moderate
geographic and depth ranges.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
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species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
donei, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes most of the coral
reef ecoregions in the Indian Ocean and
western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates
vulnerability to extinction because some
areas within its range are projected to
have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas, so
portions of the population in these areas
will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is from five
to at least 20 meters. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas
of its range will usually have lower
irradiance than surface, and
acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper
and cooler than those in which the
species occurs. Its habitat includes
upper reef slopes and mid-slope
terraces. This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous
types of reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience
highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. Its absolute abundance of at least
tens of millions of colonies, combined
with spatial variability in ocean
warming and acidification across the
species range, moderates vulnerability
to extinction because the increasingly
severe conditions expected in the
foreseeable future will be non-uniform
and therefore will likely be a large
number of colonies that are either not
exposed or do not negatively respond to
a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula, A. donei
was proposed for listing as threatened
because of: High vulnerability to ocean
warming (ESA Factor E); moderate
vulnerability to disease (C) and
acidification (E); uncommon generalized
range wide abundance (E); moderate
overall distribution (based on moderate
geographic distribution and moderate
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depth distribution (E); and inadequacy
of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. donei from
threatened to not warranted. We made
this decision based on a more speciesspecific and holistic assessment of
whether this species meets the
definition of either a threatened or
endangered coral largely in response to
public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the
buffering capacity of this species’ spatial
and demographic traits to lessen its
vulnerability to threats. Thus, based on
the best available information above on
A. donei’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management none of the five ESA
factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to be endangered
throughout its range within the
foreseeable future, and thus it is not
warranted for listing at this time,
because:
(1) Acropora donei’s distribution
across the Indian Ocean and most of the
Pacific Ocean is spread over a very large
area. While some areas within its range
are projected to be affected by warming
and acidification, other areas are
projected to have less than average
warming and acidification, including
the western Indian Ocean, the central
Pacific, and other areas. This
distribution and the heterogeneous
habitats it occupies reduce exposure to
any given threat event or adverse
condition that does not occur uniformly
throughout the species range. As
explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future);
(2) Acropora donei’s total absolute
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies, providing buffering capacity in
the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility
between individual colonies. As
discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs
section above, the more colonies a
species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to
a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will
not have the same response; and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast
grower, enhancing recovery potential
from mortality events as described in
the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
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possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
worsen in severity and the species’
exposure to the threats increases
throughout its range. Should the species
experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, A.
donei is not warranted for listing at this
time under any of the listing factors.
Acropora globiceps
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. globiceps’
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as digitate and usually
small, and taxonomy was described as
having no taxonomic issues, but radial
corallites were reported similar to
Acropora secale and Acropora retusa. It
appears similar to Acropora gemmifera,
but in strong wave action is similar to
Acropora monticulosa.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on morphology and taxonomy. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Wallace (1999b), which states
that A. globiceps’ branch thickness and
colony shape is similar to that of
Acropora humilis, and its branch shape
and radial corallite morphology is
similar to that of Acropora samoensis. It
appears that this species has often been
mistaken for A. humilis (Fenner, 2014b).
Veron (2014) states that A. globiceps is
distinctive, thus we conclude it can be
identified by experts, and that the
distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is
sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. globiceps’
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Acropora globiceps is distributed from
the oceanic west Pacific to the central
Pacific as far east as the Pitcairn Islands.
The species has the 27th smallest range
of 114 Acropora species in a large study.
The species occurs on upper reef slopes,
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53997
reef flats, and adjacent habitats in
depths ranging from 0 to 8 m.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on A. globiceps’ distribution. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports
that A. globiceps is confirmed in 22 of
his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and
strongly predicted to be found in an
additional 16. Wallace (1999b) reports
its occurrence in seven of her 29 IndoPacific areas, many of which are
significantly larger than Veron’s
ecoregions. Wallace’s (1999b) map
shows it from a smaller area than Veron
(Veron, 2000; Veron, 2014). Based on
the Wallace (1999b) range, A. globiceps
has a relatively small range, estimated at
5 million km2 (Richards, 2009). The
public comments and information we
gathered provided nothing additional on
A. globiceps’ habitat and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. globiceps’
abundance. Acropora globiceps has
been reported as common (Veron, 2000).
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on A. globiceps’ abundance. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports
that A. globiceps occupied 3.2 percent
of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had
a mean abundance rating of 1.95 on a 1
to 5 rating scale at those sites in which
it was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘uncommon.’’ Overall abundance was
described as ‘‘sometimes common.’’
Veron did not infer trends in abundance
from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least tens of millions
of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. globiceps, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 35 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 14 percent
(Carpenter et al., 2008). However, as
summarized above in the Inter-basin
Comparison sub-section, live coral cover
trends are highly variable both spatially
and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out
of context, thus quantitative inferences
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to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
globiceps occurs in many areas affected
by these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible
due to the limited species-specific
information.
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Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. globiceps’
life history. Acropora globiceps is a
hermaphroditic spawner with
lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae. The
public comments and information we
gathered did not provide additional
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. globiceps’ threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acropora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, and nutrients. The SRR
and SIR did not provide any other
species-specific information on the
effects of these threats on A. globiceps.
The exposure and susceptibility threat
information from the SRR and SIR was
interpreted in the proposed rule for A.
globiceps’ vulnerabilities to threats as
follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming, moderate vulnerabilities to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, nutrients, and
predation, and low vulnerabilities to
sedimentation, sea-level rise, and
collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
globiceps’ threat susceptibilities. We
gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Acropora globiceps has
been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching and disease,
but these ratings are not based on
species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). Based on information from other
Acropora species provided in the genus
description above, A. globiceps is likely
highly susceptible to ocean warming,
and also likely has some susceptibilities
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to disease, acidification, trophic effects
of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sealevel rise, predation, and collection and
trade. The available information does
not support more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of A. globiceps to the
threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. globiceps. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to the following analysis to attempt to
analyze regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that A.
globiceps occurs in 22 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 19 countries’
EEZs. The 19 countries are Australia,
Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji,
France (French Pacific Island
Territories), Indonesia, Japan, New
Zealand (Cook Islands, Tokelau), Niue,
Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines,
Samoa, Solomon Islands, Timor-Leste,
Tonga, Tuvalu, United Kingdom
(Pitcairn Islands), United States (CNMI,
Guam, American Samoa), and Vietnam.
The regulatory mechanisms relevant to
A. globiceps, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that
utilize them to any degree and second,
as the percentages of those countries
whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (32 percent with none
limited in scope), coral collection (74
percent with 37 percent limited in
scope), pollution control (42 percent
with 16 percent limited in scope),
fishing regulations on reefs (100 percent
with 11 percent limited in scope), and
managing areas for protection and
conservation (100 percent with 5
percent limited in scope). The most
common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. globiceps are reef fishing
regulations, area management for
protection and conservation, and coral
collection laws. However, 37 percent of
coral collection laws are limited in
scope and may not provide substantial
protection. Pollution control laws are
also somewhat utilized for the species.
General coral protection laws are much
less common regulatory mechanisms for
the management of A. globiceps.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
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that the high bleaching rate of the
Acropora genus is the primary known
threat of extinction for A. globiceps, but
the narrow depth range also increases
the risk of extinction. It listed factors
that reduce the threat of extinction
including common abundance and
persistence in intertidal habitats.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
globiceps, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes the Coral Triangle,
but also includes many coral reef
ecoregions in the western and central
Pacific Ocean, as far east as the Pitcairn
Islands. Some areas within its range are
projected to have less than average
warming and acidification over the
foreseeable future, including the central
Pacific, so portions of the population in
these areas will be less exposed to
severe conditions. On the other hand,
the Coral Triangle area is projected to
have the most rapid and severe impacts
from climate change and localized
human impacts for coral reefs over the
21st century. As such, its geographic
distribution has the ability to both
moderate and exacerbate vulnerability
to extinction. Its depth range of zero to
8 meters exacerbates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because a large proportion of the
population is restricted to shallow areas.
Shallow reef areas can be physically
diverse, but are often subjected to
frequent changes in environmental
conditions, extremes, high irradiance,
and simultaneous effects from multiple
stressors, both local and global in
nature. Its habitat includes upper reef
slopes, reef flats, and adjacent habitats.
This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous
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types of reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience
highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. Its absolute abundance of at least
tens of millions of colonies combined
with spatial variability in ocean
warming and acidification across the
species range, moderates vulnerability
to extinction because the increasingly
severe conditions expected in the
foreseeable future will be non-uniform
and therefore will likely be a large
number of colonies that are either not
exposed or do not negatively respond to
a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
globiceps was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
common generalized range wide
abundance (E); narrow overall
distribution (based on moderate
geographic distribution and narrow
depth distribution (E); and inadequacy
of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we maintain the
listing determination for A. globiceps.
Based on the best available information
provided above on A. globicep’s spatial
structure, demography, threat
susceptibilities, and management
indicate that it is likely to become
endangered throughout its range within
the foreseeable future, and thus
warrants listing as threatened at this
time, because:
(1) Acropora globiceps is highly
susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), and susceptible to disease (C),
ocean acidification (E), trophic effects of
fishing (A, E), nutrients (A, E), and
predation (C). These threats are
expected to continue and increase into
the future. In addition, existing
regulatory mechanisms to address global
threats that contribute to extinction risk
for this species are inadequate (D); and
(2) Acropora globiceps occurs
primarily in depths of zero to eight
meters which can be considered a
shallow depth range compared to the
overall depth of occurrence for reef
building corals in general. Shallow reef
areas are often subjected to highly
variable environmental conditions,
extremes, high irradiance, and
simultaneous effects from multiple
stressors, both local and global in
nature. A limited depth range reduces
the absolute area in which the species
may occur throughout its geographic
range and indicates that a large
proportion of the population is likely to
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be exposed to threats that are worse in
shallow habitats, such as
simultaneously elevated irradiance and
seawater temperatures, as well as
localized impacts.
The combination of these
characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates that the species is
likely to be in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range and warrants listing as
threatened at this time due to factors A,
C, D, and E.
The available information above on A.
globiceps’ spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management also indicate that the
species is not currently in danger of
extinction and thus does not warrant
listing as Endangered because:
(1) While A. globiceps’ distribution
includes the Coral Triangle area, it also
includes many ecoregions throughout
the central Pacific from Japan down to
New Caledonia and as far east as the
Pitcairn Islands. This distribution
includes some areas within its range
that are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification over
the foreseeable future, including the
central Pacific, so portions of the
population in these areas will be less
exposed to severe conditions.
(2) Acropora globiceps’ absolute
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies which allows for variation in
the responses of individuals to threats to
play a role in moderating vulnerability
to extinction for the species to some
degree, as described in more detail in
the Corals and Coral Reefs section.
There is no evidence of depensatory
processes such as reproductive failure
from low density of reproductive
individuals and genetic processes such
as inbreeding affecting this species.
Thus, its absolute abundance indicates
it is currently able to avoid high
mortality from environmental
stochasticity, and mortality of a high
proportion of its population from
catastrophic events.
The combination of these
characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of
one that is currently in danger of
extinction, as described previously in
the Risk Analyses section, and thus does
not warrant listing as endangered at this
time.
Range-wide, a multitude of
conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting A.
globiceps. However, considering the
global scale of the most important
threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at
addressing the root cause of global
threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not
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53999
believe that any current conservation
efforts or conservation efforts planned
in the future will result in affecting the
species status to the point at which
listing is not warranted.
Acropora horrida
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. horrida’s
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as usually open
branched, becoming bushy on upper
reef slopes and in shallow lagoons. No
taxonomic issues were raised, but A.
horrida was stated to be similar to
Acropora tortuosa, and Acropora
vaughani.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on morphology or taxonomy. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which states
that A. horrida is distinctive, thus we
conclude it can be identified by experts,
and that the distribution and abundance
information described below for this
species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. horrida’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Acropora horrida is distributed from the
Red Sea to French Polynesia. The
species has a very broad range overall,
having the 14th largest range of 114
Acropora species examined. It is found
in numerous reef slope and back-reef
habitats with turbid water, including
but not limited to, upper reef slopes,
mid-slope terraces, lagoons, and
adjacent habitats. The SRR described its
depth range as 5 to 20 m.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on A. horrida’s distribution. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports
that this species is confirmed in 61 of
his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and
strongly predicted to be found in an
additional 22. Wallace (1999b) reports
its occurrence in 24 of her 29 IndoPacific areas, many of which are
significantly larger than Veron’s
ecoregions. Richards (2009) calculated
the geographic range of A. horrida at
over 100 million km2. Wallace (1999b)
reports the depths from which A.
horrida specimens were collected
ranged from 17 to 39 m.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. horrida’s
abundance. Acropora horrida has been
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reported as usually uncommon. This is
a species that is globally widespread,
locally restricted, and locally rare, and
thus in the second rarest category of
Acropora with the predicted
consequence of local extinction. The
public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
horrida’s abundance. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that A.
horrida occupied 8.9 percent of 2,984
dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean
abundance rating of 1.70 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it
was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘common.’’ Overall abundance was
described as ‘‘uncommon.’’ Veron did
not infer trends in abundance from
these data. As described in the IndoPacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least tens of millions
of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. horrida, the overall decline
in abundance (‘‘Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 36
percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (‘‘Backcast Percent Population Reduction’’)
was estimated at 15 percent. However,
as summarized above in the Inter-basin
Comparison sub-section, live coral cover
trends are highly variable both spatially
and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out
of context, thus quantitative inferences
to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
horrida occurs in many areas affected by
these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible
based on the limited species-specific
information.
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Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. horrida’s
life history. Acropora horrida is a
hermaphroditic spawner with
lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae. Mean
egg size for A. horrida has been
recorded as 0.64 mm and mean polyp
fecundity has been recorded as 9.0 eggs
per polyp. This species did synchronize
its spawning with other Acropora
species on the central GBR during the
major multispecies spawning events in
early summer 1981–1983.
Public comments provided no
additional biological information. We
gathered the following supplemental
information on the life history of A.
horrida. Darling et al. (2012) found that
all of over 30 Acropora species studied
were classified as ‘‘competitive’’ species
which were considered to be less
tolerant of environmental stress and
disturbance than those species that were
classified as ‘‘stress-tolerant,’’
‘‘generalist,’’ or ‘‘weedy,’’ because of
documented shifts in coral communities
from ‘‘competitive’’ to the other
categories. Acropora horrida was one of
the Acropora species studied.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. horrida’ threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acropora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection
and trade. The SRR and SIR also
provided the following species-specific
information on A. horrida’s threats.
With regard to ocean warming, A.
horrida is thought to have been locally
extirpated in the Arabian Gulf after the
1996 and 1998 bleaching events, but the
species is considered less susceptible to
bleaching than other Acropora spp. The
SRR and SIR did not provide any
species-specific information on the
effects of these threats on A. horrida. We
interpreted the threat susceptibility and
exposure information from the SRR and
SIR in the proposed rule for A. horrida’s
vulnerabilities as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerabilities to disease,
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
nutrients, and predation, and low
vulnerabilities to sedimentation, sealevel rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
lokani’s threat susceptibilities. We
gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Acropora horrida has
been rated as moderately or highly
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susceptible to bleaching and disease,
but these ratings are not based on
species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). Done et al. (2003b) reported that
20 percent of A. horrida colonies on the
Great Barrier Reef were affected by
bleaching in 2002, and the species
ranked 29th in proportion of coral
colonies that were bleached and killed
out of 52 studied Acropora species. That
is, 28 of the 52 species bleached more
than A. horrida, and 23 bleached less.
No other species-specific information
is available for the susceptibility of A.
horrida to any other threat. Based on
information from other Acropora
species provided in the genus
description above, A. horrida may be
susceptible to the effects of disease,
ocean acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sealevel rise, predation, and collection and
trade. Thus, based on the available
species-specific and genus information
summarized above, A. horrida is likely
highly susceptible to ocean warming,
and also likely has some susceptibilities
to disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
and collection and trade. The available
information does not support more
precise ratings of the susceptibilities of
A. horrida to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. horrida. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to the following analysis to attempt to
analyze regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that A.
horrida occurs in 61 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 45 countries’
EEZs. The 45 countries are Australia,
Bahrain, China, Djibouti, Egypt, Eritrea,
Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji,
France (French Pacific Island
Territories), Indonesia, Iran, Israel,
Japan, Jordan, Kenya, Kiribati, Kuwait,
Madagascar, Malaysia, Maldives,
Marshall Islands, Mauritius,
Mozambique, Myanmar, New Zealand
(Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, Qatar, Samoa,
Saudi Arabia, Seychelles, Solomon
Islands, Sudan, Taiwan, Tanzania,
Thailand, Tonga, Tuvalu, United Arab
Emirates, United Kingdom (British
Indian Ocean Territory), United States
(American Samoa, PRIAs), Vietnam, and
Yemen. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to A. horrida, described first as
the percentage of the above countries
that utilize them to any degree and
second, as the percentages of those
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countries whose regulatory mechanisms
may be limited in scope, are as follows:
General coral protection (24 percent
with 2 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (58 percent with 24 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (44
percent with 7 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (87
percent with 24 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (87 percent
with 11 percent limited in scope). The
most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. horrida are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral
collection and pollution control laws
are also somewhat utilized for the
species, but 24 percent of coral
collection laws are limited in scope and
may not provide substantial protection.
General coral protection laws are much
less common regulatory mechanisms for
the management of A. horrida.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that the high bleaching rate of the
Acropora genus is the primary known
threat of extinction for A. horrida. It
listed factors that reduce the threat of
extinction including the very wide
geographic range, with large local
distributions, and tolerance for turbid
water.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
horrida, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes most of the coral
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reef ecoregions in the Indian Ocean and
western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates
vulnerability to extinction because some
areas within its range are projected to
have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas, so
portions of the population in these areas
will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is from five
to 39 meters. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas
of its range will usually have lower
irradiance than surface waters, and
acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper
and cooler than those in which the
species occurs. Its habitat includes
numerous reef slope and back-reef
habitats with turbid water, including
but not limited to, upper reef slopes,
mid-slope terraces, lagoons, and
adjacent habitats. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is
not limited to one habitat type but
occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. In
addition, turbidity can mitigate the
effects of high irradiance by blocking it
from the water column. Its absolute
abundance of at least tens of millions of
colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
horrida was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution
(based on wide geographic distribution
and moderate depth distribution (E);
and inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. horrida from
threatened to not warranted. We made
this determination based on a more
species-specific and holistic assessment
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of whether this species meets the
definition of either a threatened or
endangered coral largely in response to
public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the
buffering capacity of this species’ spatial
and demographic traits to lessen its
vulnerability to threats. Thus, based on
the best available information above on
A. horrida’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
it is not warranted for listing at this
time, because:
(1) Acropora horrida’s distribution
from the Red Sea across the Indian
Ocean and most of the Pacific Ocean is
spread over a very large area. While
some areas within its range are
projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, other areas are projected
to have less than average warming and
acidification, including the western
Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and
other areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies
reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not
occur uniformly throughout the species
range. As explained above in the
Threats Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Acropora horrida’s total absolute
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies, providing buffering capacity in
the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility
between individual colonies. As
discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs
section above, the more colonies a
species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to
a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will
not have the same response; and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast
grower, enhancing recovery potential
from mortality events as described in
the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
increase in severity and the species
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exposure to threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience
reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, A.
horrida is not warranted for listing at
this time under any of the listing factors.
Acropora jacquelineae
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A.
jacquelineae’s morphology and
taxonomy. The morphology was
described as flat plates up to 1 m in
diameter. Viewed from above, plates are
covered with a mass of fine delicatelycurved axial corallites giving an almost
moss-like appearance. Evidence from
genetics indicates it is not a hybrid, and
so the SRR considered it a valid species.
The public comments and
information we gathered provided
supplemental information on the
morphology or taxonomy of A.
jacquelineae. One public comment
stated that specimens collected in
American Samoa and identified by the
American Samoa Department of Marine
and Water Resources as A. jacquelineae
appear to be A. aculeus, thereby
illustrating the species identification
uncertainties associated with this
species. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014),
which states that A. jacquelineae is
distinctive when compared with other
species but not on its own. We conclude
the species can be identified by experts
(Fenner, 2014b). Thus, we conclude that
the distribution and abundance
information described below for this
species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
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Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A.
jacquelineae’s distribution, habitat, and
depth range. Acropora jacquelineae is
distributed within the Coral Triangle
including Papua New Guinea, and is
reported from American Samoa. The
species has a limited range overall, the
22nd smallest range of 114 Acropora
species. It is found in numerous
subtidal reef slope and back-reef
habitats, including but not limited to,
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lower reef slopes, walls and ledges, midslopes, and upper reef slopes protected
from wave action, and its depth range is
10 to 35 m.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on A. jacquelineae’s distribution,
habitat, or depth range. We gathered
supplemental information on its
distribution, including Veron (2014),
which reports that A. jacquelineae is
confirmed in 12 of his 133 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be
found in an additional five. Wallace
(1999b) reports its occurrence in seven
of her 29 Indo-Pacific areas, many of
which are larger than Veron’s
ecoregions. Richards (2009) calculated
the geographic range of this species at
2 million km2, which was 1.8 percent of
the size of the largest range for any
species.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A.
jacquelineae’s abundance. Acropora
jacquelineae has been reported as
uncommon.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on A. jacquelineae’s abundance. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Richards (2009) and Richards
et al. (2013b), which conclude from
their data that A. jacquelineae is
globally restricted, locally restricted,
and locally rare, and thus in the rarest
category of Acropora with the predicted
consequence of global extinction. They
placed 15 species in this category out of
85 species of Acropora. Bonin (2012)
reported that A. jacquelineae was the
19th most abundant species of Acropora
in Kimbe Bay, Papua New Guinea, with
about 18 percent of the abundance of
the most abundant species of Acropora.
Veron (2014) reports that A.
jacquelineae occupied 1.6 percent of
2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had
a mean abundance rating of 1.44 on a 1
to 5 rating scale at those sites in which
it was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘uncommon.’’ Overall abundance was
also described as ‘‘uncommon.’’ Veron
did not infer trends in abundance from
these data.
Richards et al. (2008) reported that A.
jacquelineae had the 14th lowest
population of the 15 rare Acropora
species they studied. Richards et al.
(2008) gave the total world population
of this species as 31,599 +/-17,358
colonies, and the effective population
size (i.e., a mathematical estimate of the
size of the breeding population) as 3,476
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colonies. The calculation of the total
world population of this species was
flawed, since the area of 1 km2 was
given as 1,000 m2 (Richards et al., 2008:
Appendix 1), when it is actually
1,000,000 m2. Thus, the correct
population estimate is 1,000 times
greater than stated, or a total population
size of 31,599,000 colonies, and an
effective population size of 3,476,000
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. jacquelineae, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 37 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 14
percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
jacquelineae occurs in many areas
affected by these broad changes, and has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible
based on the limited species-specific
information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A.
jacquelineae’s life history. Acropora
jacquelineae is a hermaphroditic
spawner with lecithotrophic (yolk-sac)
larvae. The public comments and
information we gathered did not
provide anything additional to the
above-described biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. jacquelineae’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acropora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection
and trade. The SRR and SIR did not
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provide any species-specific
information on the effects of these
threats on A. jacquelineae. We
interpreted the threat susceptibility and
exposure information from the SRR and
SIR in the proposed rule for A.
jacquelineae’s vulnerabilities as follows:
High vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
nutrients, and predation, and low
vulnerability to sedimentation, sea-level
rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
jacquelineae’s threat susceptibilities.
We gathered the following speciesspecific and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Acropora jacquelineae
has been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching and disease,
but this rating is not based on speciesspecific data (Carpenter et al., 2008).
There is no species-specific information
for the exposure or susceptibility of A.
jacquelineae to any threat. Thus, based
on the available genus information
summarized above, A. jacquelineae is
likely highly susceptible to ocean
warming, and also likely has some
susceptibility to disease, ocean
acidification, sedimentation, nutrients,
trophic effects of fishing, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade. The
available information does not support
more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of A. jacquelineae to the
threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. jacquelineae. Criticisms of our
approach received during public
comment led us to the following
analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records
confirm that A. jacquelineae occurs in
12 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that
encompass five countries’ EEZs. The
five countries are Federated States of
Micronesia, Indonesia, Papua New
Guinea, Solomon Islands, and TimorLeste. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to A. jacquelineae, described
first as the percentage of the above
countries that utilize them to any degree
and second, as the percentages of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms
may be limited in scope, are as follows:
General coral protection (20 percent
with none limited in scope), coral
collection (40 percent with none limited
in scope), pollution control (20 percent
with 20 percent limited in scope),
fishing regulations on reefs (100 percent
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with none limited in scope), and
managing areas for protection and
conservation (100 percent with none
limited in scope). The most common
regulatory mechanisms in place for A.
jacquelineae are reef fishing regulations
and area management for protection and
conservation. General coral protection,
coral collection, and pollution control
laws are much less common regulatory
mechanisms for the management of A.
jacquelineae.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that the high bleaching rate of the
Acropora genus is the primary known
threat of extinction for A. jacquelineae.
It listed factors that contribute to the
threat of extinction including limited
range, small local distribution and small
local abundance, as well as the
possibility of genetic introgression.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
jacquelineae, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution is limited almost
exclusively to the Coral Triangle in the
western equatorial Pacific Ocean.
Despite the large number of islands and
environments that are included in the
species range, this range exacerbates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because it is limited
to the area projected to have the most
rapid and severe impacts from climate
change and localized human impacts for
coral reefs over the 21st century. Its
depth range of ten to 35 meters
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54003
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because
deeper areas of its range will usually
have lower irradiance than surface
waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters
that are deeper and cooler than those in
which the species occurs. Its habitat
includes lower reef slopes, walls and
ledges, mid-slopes, and upper reef
slopes protected from wave action. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type
but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. Its
effective population size estimate of
approximately 3.5 million colonies,
combined with the location of its range,
exacerbates vulnerability to extinction
because increasingly severe conditions
within the limited species range are
likely to affect a high proportion of its
effective population at any given point
in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
jacquelineae was proposed for listing as
endangered because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E); rare
generalized range wide abundance (E);
narrow overall distribution (based on
narrow geographic distribution and
moderate depth distribution (E); and
inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. jacquelineae
from endangered to threatened. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including adequate consideration of the
buffering capacity of this species’ spatial
and demographic traits to lessen its
vulnerability to threats. Thus, based on
the best available information provided
above on A. jacquelineae’s spatial
structure, demography, threat
susceptibilities, and management
indicate that it is likely to become
endangered throughout its range within
the foreseeable future, and thus
warrants listing as threatened at this
time, because:
(1) Acropora jacquelineae is highly
susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), and susceptible to disease (C),
ocean acidification (E), trophic effects of
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fishing (A), predation (C), and nutrient
enrichment (A, E). These threats are
expected to continue and increase into
the future. In addition existing
regulatory mechanisms to address global
threats that contribute to extinction risk
for this species are inadequate (D).
(2) Acropora jacquelineae’s
distribution is constrained mostly to the
Coral Triangle and western equatorial
Pacific, which is projected to have the
most rapid and severe impacts from
climate change and localized human
impacts for coral reefs over the 21st
century, as described in the Threats
Evaluation. Multiple ocean warming
events have already occurred within the
western equatorial Pacific that suggest
future ocean warming events may be
more severe than average in this part of
the world. A range constrained to this
particular geographic area that is likely
to experience severe and increasing
threats indicates that a high proportion
of the population of this species is likely
to be exposed to those threats over the
foreseeable future; and
(3) Acropora jacquelineae’s absolute
abundance is estimated to be 31 million
colonies, however its estimated effective
population size is much lower at
approximately 3.5 million genetically
distinct individuals. Considering the
limited range of this species in an area
where severe and increasing impacts are
predicted, this level of abundance
leaves the species vulnerable to
becoming of such low abundance within
the foreseeable future that it may be at
risk from depensatory processes,
environmental stochasticity, or
catastrophic events, as explained in
more detail in the Corals and Coral
Reefs and Risk Analyses sections.
The combination of these
characteristics and projections of future
threats indicates that the species is
likely to be in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range and warrants listing as
threatened at this time due to factors A,
C, D, and E.
The available information above on A.
jacquelineae’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management also indicate that the
species the species is not currently in
danger of extinction and thus does not
warrant listing as Endangered because:
(1) While A. jacquelineae’s
distribution is constrained mostly to the
Coral Triangle which increases it
extinction risk as described above, its
habitat includes sub-tidal walls, ledges
on walls, and shallow reef slopes
protected from wave action. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
currently because the species is not
limited to one habitat type but occurs in
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numerous types of reef environments
that will, on local and regional scales,
experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time, as described in
more detail in the Coral Habitat subsection and Threats Evaluation section.
There is no evidence to suggest the
species is so spatially fragmented that
depensatory processes, environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for
catastrophic events currently pose a
high risk to the survival of the species;
(2) Acropora jacquelineae’s absolute
abundance is tens of millions of
colonies and effective population size is
still millions of colonies which allows
for variation in the responses of
individuals to threats to play a role in
moderating vulnerability to extinction
for the species to some degree, as
described in more detail in the Corals
and Coral Reefs section. There is no
evidence of depensatory processes such
as reproductive failure from low density
of reproductive individuals and genetic
processes such as inbreeding affecting
this species. Thus, its absolute
abundance indicates it is currently able
to avoid high mortality from
environmental stochasticity, and
mortality of a high proportion of its
population from catastrophic events;
and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast
grower, enhancing recovery potential
from mortality events, as described in
the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above.
The combination of these
characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of
one that is currently in danger of
extinction, as described previously in
the Risk Analyses section, and thus does
not warrant listing as endangered at this
time.
Range-wide, a multitude of
conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting A.
jacquelineae. However, considering the
global scale of the most important
threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at
addressing the root cause of global
threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not
believe that any current conservation
efforts or conservation efforts planned
in the future will result in affecting the
species status to the point at which
listing is not warranted.
Acropora listeri
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. listeri’s
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as irregular clumps or
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plates with thick branches of highly
irregular length and shape, and the
taxonomy was described as having no
taxonomic issues but this species was
reported to be similar to Acropora
polystoma and Acropora lutkeni, and is
not easily identified in the field.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on morphology or taxonomy. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which states
that A. listeri is distinctive, thus we
conclude the distribution and
abundance information described below
for this species is sufficiently reliable
(Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. listeri’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Acropora listeri is distributed from the
Red Sea through the Indian Ocean to the
southeast Pacific. The species has a very
broad range overall, the 13th largest
range of 114 Acropora species. Its
predominant habitat is lower reef crests
and upper reef slopes in strong wave
action, and adjacent or similar habitats.
Its depth range is from near the surface
to 15 m deep.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on A. listeri’s distribution, habitat, or
depth range. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014),
which reports that this species is
confirmed in 54 of his 133 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be
found in an additional 14. Wallace
(1999b) reports its occurrence in 21 of
her 29 Indo-Pacific areas (Wallace,
1999b), many of which are larger than
Veron’s ecoregions. Richards (2009)
calculated the geographic range of A.
listeri at 105 million km2.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. listeri’s
abundance. Acropora listeri has been
reported as uncommon. This species is
globally widespread, locally restricted,
and locally rare, and thus in the second
rarest category of Acropora with the
predicted consequence of local
extinction.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on A. listeri’s abundance. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that A.
listeri occupied 5.5 percent of 2,984
dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean
abundance rating of 1.35 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it
was found. Based on this semi-
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quantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘uncommon.’’ and overall abundance
was also described as ‘‘uncommon.’’
Veron did not infer trends in abundance
from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least tens of millions
of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. listeri, the overall decline
in abundance (‘‘Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 35
percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (‘‘Backcast Percent Population Reduction’’)
was estimated at 14 percent. However,
as summarized above in the Inter-basin
Comparison sub-section, live coral cover
trends are highly variable both spatially
and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out
of context, thus quantitative inferences
to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
listeri occurs in many areas affected by
these broad changes, and has some
susceptibility to both global and local
threats, we conclude that it is likely to
have declined in abundance over the
past 50 to 100 years, but a precise
quantification is not possible based on
the limited species-specific information.
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Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. listeri’s life
history. Acropora listeri is a
hermaphroditic spawner with
lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae. The
public comments and information we
gathered did not provide anything
additional to the above-described
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. listeri’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acropora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection
and trade. The SRR and SIR did not
provide any species-specific
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information on the effects of these
threats on A. listeri. We interpreted the
threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the
proposed rule for A. listeri’s
vulnerabilities as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
nutrients, and predation, and low
vulnerability to sedimentation, sea-level
rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
listeri’s threat susceptibilities. We
gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Acropora listeri has
been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching and disease,
but this rating is not based on speciesspecific data (Carpenter et al., 2008).
Done et al. (2003b) report 20 percent of
A. listeri colonies were affected by
bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef in
2002, which was 47 percent as much as
the most affected species (Brown and
Cossins, 2011).
With regard to disease, A. listeri has
been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching and disease,
but this rating is not based on speciesspecific data (Carpenter et al., 2008).
Skeletal Eroding Band is the most
prevalent disease on the GBR, and it has
been found in A. listeri. Acropora
species with similar morphology to A.
listeri had moderate susceptibility to
this disease on the GBR, with a
prevalence of 2.4 percent (Page and
Willis, 2007). No other species-specific
information is available for the
susceptibility of A. listeri to any other
threat. Based on information from other
Acropora species provided in the genus
description above, A. listeri may be
susceptible to the effects of ocean
acidification, sedimentation, and
nutrients, and predation. Thus, based on
the available species-specific and genus
information summarized above, A.
listeri likely is highly susceptible to
ocean warming, and also likely has
some susceptibility to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade. The
available information does not support
more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of A. listeri to the
threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. listeri. Criticisms of our approach
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54005
received during public comment led us
to the following analysis to attempt to
analyze regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that A.
listeri occurs in 54 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 40 countries’
EEZs. The 40 countries are Australia,
Brunei, China, Djibouti, Egypt, Eritrea,
Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji,
France (French Pacific Island
Territories), India (Andaman and
Nicobar Islands), Indonesia, Israel,
Japan, Jordan, Kiribati, Malaysia,
Marshall Islands, Mauritius, Myanmar,
New Zealand (Tokelau), Niue, Palau,
Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Samoa,
Saudi Arabia, Seychelles, Solomon
Islands, Sri Lanka, Sudan, Taiwan,
Tanzania, Timor-Leste, Tonga, Tuvalu,
United Kingdom (British Indian Ocean
Territory, Pitcairn Islands), United
States (CNMI, Guam, American Samoa,
PRIAs), Vanuatu, Vietnam, and Yemen.
The regulatory mechanisms relevant to
A. listeri, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that
utilize them to any degree and second,
as the percentages of those countries
whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (30 percent with 8
percent limited in scope), coral
collection (63 percent with 30 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (45
percent with 8 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (90
percent with 23 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (95 percent
with 10 percent limited in scope). The
most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. listeri are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral
collection and pollution control laws
are also somewhat common for the
species, but 30 percent of coral
collection laws are limited in scope and
may not provide substantial protection.
General coral protection laws are much
less prominent regulatory mechanisms
for the management of A. listeri.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that the high bleaching rate of the
Acropora genus is the primary known
threat of extinction for A. listeri. Its
limited local distribution was also listed
as a contributing factor to its threat of
extinction. The SRR also listed factors
that reduce the threat of extinction
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including its broad geographic range
and tolerance for high-energy
environments.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
listeri, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution stretches from the Red Sea
and east coast of Africa, across the
Indian Ocean and over to the southeast
Pacific Ocean. Its geographic
distribution moderates vulnerability to
extinction because some areas within its
range are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification over
the foreseeable future, including the
western Indian Ocean, the central
Pacific, and other areas, so portions of
the population in these areas will be
less exposed to severe conditions. Its
depth range is from near the surface to
15 meters. On one hand, its depth range
may moderate vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower irradiance than
surface waters, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in
waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. On
the other hand, its depth range may
exacerbate vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future if the species
occurs predominantly in the shallower
portion of its depth range, since those
areas will have higher irradiance and
thus be more severely affected by
warming-induced bleaching. Its habitat
includes lower reef crests, upper reef
slopes, and other habitats exposed to
strong wave action, and its depth range
is from near the surface to 15 m deep.
This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous
types of reef environments that will, on
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local and regional scales, experience
highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. In addition, reef zones with strong
wave action experience high levels of
mixing which can dilute adverse
environmental conditions. Its absolute
abundance of at least tens of millions of
colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
listeri was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderate overall
distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and shallow depth
distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. aculeus
from threatened to not warranted. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information provided on A.
listeri’s spatial structure, demography,
threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors,
alone or in combination, are causing
this species to be likely to become
endangered throughout its range within
the foreseeable future, and thus is not
warranted for listing at this time,
because:
(1) Acropora listeri’s distribution from
the Red Sea across the Indian Ocean and
most of the Pacific Ocean is spread over
a very large area. While some areas
within its range are projected to be
affected by warming and acidification,
other areas are projected to have less
than average warming and acidification,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas. This
distribution and the heterogeneous
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habitats it occupies reduce exposure to
any given threat event or adverse
condition that does not occur uniformly
throughout the species range. As
explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Acropora listeri’s absolute
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies, providing buffering capacity in
the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility
between individual colonies. As
discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs
section above, the more colonies a
species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to
a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will
not have the same response; and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast
grower, enhancing recovery potential
from mortality events, as described in
the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
increase in severity and the species
exposure to threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience
reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, A.
listeri is not warranted for listing at this
time under any of the listing factors.
Acropora lokani
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. lokani’s
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as small bushy colonies
of forked branches, and taxonomy was
described as having no taxonomic issues
but being similar in appearance to some
other Acropora species.
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The public comments did not provide
supplemental information on
morphology or taxonomy. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which states that A.
lokani is distinctive, thus we conclude
it can be identified by experts, and that
the distribution and abundance
information described below for this
species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
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Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. lokani’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Acropora lokani occurs from central
Indonesia to Fiji. The species has the
33rd smallest range of 114 Acropora
species in a large study. However, as
described below, this was an error, as A.
lokani actually had the 30th smallest
range in the study. A. lokani occurs in
reef slope and back-reef habitats,
including at least upper reef-slopes,
mid-slopes, and lagoon patch reefs, and
its depth range as 8 to 25 m.
The public comments and
information we gathered provided
information on the distribution of A.
lokani. One public comment letter
indicated that the range map for A.
lokani mistakenly included American
Samoa. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014),
which provides an much more detailed
range map for this species than the
maps used in the SRR. Veron reports
that this species is confirmed in 14 of
his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions is
strongly predicted to be found in an
additional six, and confirms that the
species is not known to occur in
American Samoa. Wallace (1999)
reports its occurrence in four of her 29
Indo-Pacific areas, many of which are
significantly larger than Veron’s
ecoregions. Richards (2009) calculated
the geographic range of this species at
over 5 million km2, which was the 30th
smallest among the 114 Acropora
species for which ranges were
calculated, and 3.6 percent of the size of
the largest range for any species.
Richards et al. (Richards et al., 2013a)
calculate the range of this species as 8.5
million km2. The public comments and
information we gathered provided
nothing additional on A. lokani’s habitat
and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. lokani’s
abundance. Acropora lokani has been
reported as uncommon, but sometimes
common.
The public comments did not provide
supplemental information on A. lokani’s
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abundance. We gathered supplemental
information, including Richards et al.
(2013b), which concludes that this
species is globally restricted, locally
restricted, and locally rare, and thus in
the rarest category of Acropora with the
predicted consequence of global
extinction. They placed 15 species in
this category out of 85 species of
Acropora (Richards et al., 2013b). Veron
(2014) reports that A. lokani occupied
2.75 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled
in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and
had a mean abundance rating of 1.44 on
a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in
which it was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘uncommon.’’ Overall abundance was
described as ‘‘sometimes common.’’
Veron did not infer trends in abundance
from these data.
Richards et al. (2008) reported that A.
lokani had the eleventh lowest
population of the 15 rare Acropora
species they studied. Richards et al.
(2008) gave the total world population
of this species as about 18,960 +/-9480
colonies, and the effective population
size (i.e., a mathematical estimate of the
size of the breeding population) as about
2,086 colonies. The calculation of the
total world population of this species
was flawed, since the area of 1 km2 was
given as 1,000 m2 (Richards et al., 2008:
Appendix 1), when it is actually
1,000,000 m2. Thus, the correct
population estimate is 1,000 times
greater than stated, or a total population
size of 18,960,000 colonies, and an
effective population size of 2,086,000
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. lokani, the overall decline
in abundance (‘‘Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 36
percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (‘‘Backcast Percent Population Reduction’’)
was estimated at 14 percent. However,
as summarized above in the Inter-basin
Comparisons sub-section, live coral
cover trends are highly variable both
spatially and temporally, producing
patterns on small scales that can be
easily taken out of context. Thus
quantitative inferences to speciesspecific trends should be interpreted
with caution. At the same time, an
extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and
shifts to reef communities dominated by
hardier coral species or algae over the
past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004;
Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale
and Szmant, 2012). These changes have
likely occurred, and are occurring, from
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54007
a combination of global and local
threats. Given that A. lokani occurs in
many areas affected by these broad
changes, and that it has some
susceptibility to both global and local
threats, we conclude that it is likely to
have declined in abundance over the
past 50 to 100 years, but a precise
quantification is not possible based on
the limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. lokani’s life
history. Acropora lokani is assumed to
be a hermaphroditic spawner with
lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae. The
public comments and information we
gathered did not provide anything
additional to the above-described
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. lokani’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acropora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection
and trade. The SRR and SIR did not
provide any species-specific
information on the effects of these
threats on A. lokani. We interpreted the
threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the
proposed rule for A. lokani’s
vulnerabilities as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerabilities to disease,
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
nutrients, and predation, and low
vulnerabilities to sedimentation, sealevel rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
lokani’s threat susceptibilities. We
gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Acropora lokani has
been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to thermal bleaching and
disease, but these ratings are not based
on species-specific data (Carpenter et
al., 2008). Based on information from
other Acropora species provided in the
genus description above, A. lokani is
likely highly susceptible to ocean
warming, and likely has some
susceptibility to disease, acidification,
trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. The available
information does not support more
precise ratings of the susceptibilities of
A. lokani to the threats.
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Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. lokani. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to the following analysis to attempt to
analyze regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that A.
lokani occurs in 14 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass nine
countries’ EEZs. The nine countries are
Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji,
France (French Pacific Island
Territories), Indonesia, Palau, Papua
New Guinea, Philippines, Solomon
Islands, and Timor-Leste. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to A. lokani,
described first as a percentage of the
above countries that utilize them to any
degree, and second as the percentage of
those countries whose regulatory
mechanisms are limited in scope, are as
follows: General coral protection (33
percent with none limited in scope),
coral collection (67 percent with 22
percent limited in scope), pollution
control (33 percent with 22 percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on
reefs (100 percent with none limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (100
percent with none limited in scope).
The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for A. lokani are
coral collection laws, reef fishing
regulations, and area management for
protection and conservation. General
coral protection and pollution control
laws are much less common regulatory
mechanisms for the management of A.
lokani.
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Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that the high bleaching rate of the
Acropora genus is the primary known
threat of extinction for A. lokani, with
the potential for extinction increased by
the smallest effective population size of
species with actual data, limited
geographic and restricted latitudinal
range, and also the small global
distribution, small local distributions,
and small local abundances.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
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abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
lokani, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution is limited to parts of the
Coral Triangle and the western
equatorial Pacific Ocean. Despite the
large number of islands and
environments that are included in the
species’ range, this range exacerbates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because it is mostly
limited to an area projected to have the
most rapid and severe impacts from
climate change and localized human
impacts for coral reefs over the 21st
century. Its depth range of eight to 25
meters moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower irradiance than
surface waters, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in
waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. Its
habitat includes at least upper reefslopes, mid-slopes, and lagoon patch
reefs. This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous
types of reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience
highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. Its effective population size of two
million colonies, combined with the
location of its range, exacerbates
vulnerability to extinction because
increasingly severe conditions within
the limited species range are likely to
affect a high proportion of its effective
population at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
lokani was proposed for listing as
endangered because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E); rare
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generalized range wide abundance (E);
overall narrow distribution (based on
narrow geographic distribution and
moderate depth distribution (E); and
inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. lokani from
endangered to threatened. No
supplemental information or public
comments changed our assessment of
the type and severity of threats affecting
A. lokani. Rather, we made this
determination based on a more speciesspecific and holistic assessment of
whether this species meets the
definition of either a threatened or
endangered coral largely in response to
public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the
buffering capacity of this species’ spatial
and demographic traits to lessen its
vulnerability to threats. Thus, based on
the best available information provided
above on A. lokani’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management indicate that it is likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
warrants listing as threatened at this
time, because:
(1) Acropora lokani is highly
susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), and susceptible to disease (C)
ocean acidification (E), trophic effects of
fishing (A), nutrients (A, E), and
predation (C). These threats are
expected to continue and increase into
the future. In addition, existing
regulatory mechanisms to address global
threats that contribute to extinction risk
for this species are inadequate (D).
(2) Acropora lokani’s distribution is
mostly constrained to the Coral Triangle
and western equatorial Pacific, which is
projected to have the most rapid and
severe impacts from climate change and
localized human impacts for coral reefs
over the 21st century, as described in
the Threats Evaluation. Multiple ocean
warming events have already occurred
within the western equatorial Pacific
that suggest future ocean warming
events may be more severe than average
in this part of the world. A range
constrained to this particular geographic
area that is likely to experience severe
and increasing threats indicates that a
high proportion of the population of this
species is likely to be exposed to those
threats over the foreseeable future; and
(3) Acropora lokani’s absolute
abundance is estimated to be 19 million
colonies, however its estimated effective
population size is much lower at around
two million genetically distinct
colonies. Considering the limited range
of this species in an area where severe
and increasing impacts are predicted,
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this level of abundance leaves the
species vulnerable to becoming of such
low abundance within the foreseeable
future that it may be at risk from
depensatory processes, environmental
stochasticity, or catastrophic events, as
explained in more detail in the Corals
and Coral Reefs and Risk Analyses
sections.
The combination of these
characteristics and projections of future
threats indicates that the species is
likely to be in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range and warrants listing as
threatened at this time due to factors A,
C, D, and E.
The available information above on A.
lokani’s spatial structure, demography,
threat susceptibilities, and management
also indicate that the species is not
currently in danger of extinction and
thus does not warrant listing as
Endangered because:
(1) While A. lokani’s distribution is
constrained mostly to the Coral Triangle
which increases it extinction risk as
described above, its habitat includes
sheltered lagoon patch reefs and other
shallow reef environments. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
currently because the species is not
limited to one habitat type but occurs in
numerous types of reef environments
that will, on local and regional scales,
experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time, as described in
more detail in the Coral Habitat and
Threats Evaluation sections. There is no
evidence to suggest that the species is so
spatially fragmented that depensatory
processes, environmental stochasticity,
or the potential for catastrophic events
currently pose a high risk to the survival
of the species; and
(2) Acropora lokani’s absolute
abundance is tens of millions of
colonies, and effective population size
is still millions of colonies which allows
for variation in the responses of
individuals to threats to play a role in
moderating vulnerability to extinction
for the species to some degree, as
described in more detail in the Corals
and Coral Reefs section. There is no
evidence of depensatory processes such
as reproductive failure from low density
of reproductive individuals and genetic
processes such as inbreeding affecting
this species. Thus, its absolute
abundance indicates it is currently able
to avoid high mortality from
environmental stochasticity, and
mortality of a high proportion of its
population from catastrophic events.
The combination of these
characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of
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one that is currently in danger of
extinction, as described previously in
the Risk Analyses section, and thus does
not warrant listing as endangered at this
time.
Range-wide, a multitude of
conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting A.
lokani. However, considering the global
scale of the most important threats to
the species, and the ineffectiveness of
conservation efforts at addressing the
root cause of global threats (i.e., GHG
emissions), we do not believe that any
current conservation efforts or
conservation efforts planned in the
future will result in affecting the species
status to the point at which listing is not
warranted.
Acropora microclados
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A.
microclados’ morphology and
taxonomy. Morphology was described
as plates up to 1 m diameter, with short,
uniform, evenly spaced, tapered
branchlets up to 10 mm thick at the
base, and taxonomy was described as
having no taxonomic issues but that it
is most similar to A. massawensis, A.
lamarcki, and A. macrostoma.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on morphology or taxonomy. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which states
that A. microclados is distinctive, thus
we conclude it can be identified by
experts, and that the distribution and
abundance information described below
for this species is sufficiently reliable
(Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A.
microclados’ distribution, habitat, and
depth range. Acropora microclados is
distributed from the Red Sea, to the
central Pacific. The species has a broad
range overall with the 20th largest range
of 114 Acropora species. Its habitat is
predominantly lower reef crests, upper
reef slopes, and mid-slope terraces, and
its depth range is from five to 20 m.
The public comments provided the
following supplemental information on
A. microclados’ distribution. One public
comment stated that the species has not
been confirmed in the Commonwealth
of the Northern Mariana Islands by
expert Richard H. Randall, in
contradiction to the SRR. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that this
species is confirmed in 56 of his 133
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Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional
18. Wallace (1999b) reports its
occurrence in 21 of her 29 Indo-Pacific
areas, many of which are larger than
Veron’s ecoregions. Richards (2009)
calculated the geographic range of A.
microclados at 100 million km2. The
public comments and information we
gathered provided nothing additional on
A. microclados’ habitat and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A.
microclados’ abundance. Acropora
microclados has been reported as
uncommon. This species is globally
widespread, locally restricted, and
locally rare, and thus in the second
rarest category of Acropora with the
predicted consequence of local
extinction. The public comments did
not provide any new or supplemental
information on A. microclados’
abundance. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014),
which reports that A. microclados
occupied 15.2 percent of 2,984 dive
sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the
Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance
rating of 1.51 on a 1 to 5 rating scale at
those sites in which it was found. Based
on this semi-quantitative system, the
species’ abundance was characterized as
‘‘common.’’ Overall abundance was also
described as ‘‘usually uncommon.’’
Veron did not infer trends in abundance
from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least tens of millions
of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. microclados, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 33 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 14
percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
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(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
microclados occurs in many areas
affected by these broad changes, and
that it has some susceptibility to both
global and local threats, we conclude
that it is likely to have declined in
abundance over the past 50 to 100 years,
but a precise quantification is not
possible based on the limited speciesspecific information.
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Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A.
microclados’ life history. Acropora
microclados is a hermaphroditic
spawner with lecithotrophic (yolk-sac)
larvae. The public comments and
information we gathered did not
provide anything additional to the
above-described biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. microclados’ threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acropora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection
and trade. The SRR and SIR did not
provide any species-specific
information on the effects of these
threats on A. microclados. We
interpreted the threat susceptibility and
exposure information from the SRR and
SIR in the proposed rule for A.
microclados’ vulnerabilities as follows:
High vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerabilities to disease,
ocean acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, nutrients, and predation, and
low vulnerabilities to sedimentation,
sea-level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments provided some
supplemental information on A.
microclados’ threat susceptibilities. One
comment stated that A. microclados is
more susceptible to predation than
indicated in the proposed rule because
of the overlap in the depth ranges of this
species with crown of thorns starfish.
We gathered the following speciesspecific and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Acropora microclados
has been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching and disease,
but this rating is not based on speciesspecific data (Carpenter et al., 2008).
Supplemental species-specific
information is available on the
susceptibility of A. microclados to
ocean warming. In a study of ocean
warming of Acropora species on the
GBR, A. microclados had low bleaching
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susceptibility: of 48 Acropora species,
only three species had no bleaching,
including A. microclados (Done et al.,
2003b). In a study of ocean warming of
Acropora species in Kimbe Bay, Papua
New Guinea, A. microclados had
moderate bleaching susceptibility: of 16
Acropora species, A. microclados had
the sixth highest level of bleaching, with
seven percent mortality compared to 40
percent for the highest species, and was
rated ‘‘moderate’’ on a scale of severe,
high, moderate, and least (Bonin, 2012).
No other species-specific information is
available for the susceptibility of A.
microclados to any other threat. Based
on information from other Acropora
species provided in the genus
description above, A. microclados may
be susceptible to ocean warming,
disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. Thus, based on the
available species-specific and genus
information summarized above, A.
microclados likely has some
susceptibility to ocean warming,
disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. The available
information does not support more
precise ratings of the susceptibilities of
A. microclados to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. microclados. Criticisms of our
approach received during public
comment led us to the following
analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records
confirm that A. microclados occurs in
56 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that
encompass 37 countries’ EEZs. The 37
countries are Australia, China, Comoros
Islands, Djibouti, Egypt, Eritrea,
Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji,
France (French Pacific Island
Territories), Indonesia, Israel, Japan,
Jordan, Malaysia, Maldives, Marshall
Islands, Mauritius, Myanmar, New
Zealand (Cook Islands, Tokelau), Niue,
Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines,
Samoa, Saudi Arabia, Seychelles,
Solomon Islands, Sudan, Taiwan,
Thailand, Tonga, Tuvalu, United
Kingdom (British Indian Ocean
Territory, Pitcairn Islands), United
States (CNMI, Guam, American Samoa,
PRIAs), Vanuatu, Vietnam, and Yemen.
The regulatory mechanisms relevant to
A. microclados, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that
utilize them to any degree and second,
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as the percentages of those countries
whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (27 percent with 5
percent limited in scope), coral
collection (62 percent with 30 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (46
percent with 8 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (89
percent with 16 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (95 percent
with 11 percent limited in scope). The
most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. microclados are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral
collection and pollution control laws
are also somewhat common for the
species, but 30 percent of coral
collection laws are limited in scope and
may not provide substantial protection.
General coral protection laws are much
less prominent regulatory mechanisms
for the management of A. microclados.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that the high bleaching rate of the
Acropora genus is the primary known
threat of extinction for A. microclados.
The threat of extinction may be
increased to by its limited local
distribution and uncommon local
abundance. The SRR also listed factors
that reduce the threat of extinction
including the species’ geographic and
depth ranges.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
microclados, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
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extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes most of the coral
reef ecoregions in the Indian Ocean and
western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates
vulnerability to extinction because some
areas within its range are projected to
have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas, so
portions of the population in these areas
will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is from five
to 20 meters. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas
of its range will usually have lower
irradiance than surface waters, and
acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper
and cooler than those in which the
species occurs. Its habitat is
predominantly lower reef crests, upper
reef slopes, and mid-slope terraces. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type
but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. Its
absolute abundance of at least tens of
millions of colonies, combined with
spatial variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time. In addition,
two species-specific studies indicate
that, unlike many other Acropora
species, A. microclados is not highly
susceptible to warming-induced
bleaching, one of the primary threats
identified for corals.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
microclados was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution
(based on wide geographic distribution
and moderate depth distribution (E);
and inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. microclados
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from threatened to not warranted. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on A.
microclados’ spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
it is not warranted for listing at this
time, because:
(1) While the species has some
susceptibility to bleaching, unlike most
other Acropora species, it does not
appear to be highly susceptible to this
threat, as shown by two newly available
species-specific studies;
(2) Acropora microclados’
distribution from the Red Sea across the
Indian Ocean and most of the Pacific
Ocean includes is spread over a very
large area. While some areas within its
range are projected to be affected by
warming and acidification, other areas
are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification, including
the western Indian Ocean, the central
Pacific, and other areas. This
distribution and the heterogeneous
habitats it occupies reduce exposure to
any given threat event or adverse
condition that does not occur uniformly
throughout the species range. As
explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future;
(3) Acropora microclados’ absolute
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies, providing buffering capacity in
the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility
between individual colonies. As
discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs
section above, the more colonies a
species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to
a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will
not have the same response; and
(4) It is a broadcast spawner and fast
grower, enhancing recovery potential
from mortality events, as described in
the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
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severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
increase in severity and the species
exposure to threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience
reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, A.
microclados is not warranted for listing
at this time under any of the listing
factors.
Acropora palmerae
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. palmerae’s
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as encrusting with or
without short, irregularly shaped
branches. Colonies seldom exceed 1 m
across. There is doubt as to whether A.
palmerae is a separate species or a
strong-water form of A. robusta;
however, in the absence of genetic
information, the BRT considered it a
valid species. A. palmerae is like the
encrusting base of A. robusta, but it has
smaller branches, if any.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on morphology or taxonomy. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Wallace (1999b) and Veron
(Veron, 2000), who both considered it a
valid species. In addition, Veron (2014)
states that A. palmerae is distinctive,
thus we conclude it can be identified by
experts, and that the distribution and
abundance information described below
for this species is sufficiently reliable
(Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. palmerae’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Acropora palmerae is distributed from
the northern Indian Ocean to the central
Indo-Pacific and central Pacific. The
species has a moderate range overall,
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with the 52nd largest range of 114
Acropora species. The SRR and SIR
reported that it occurs in most reef slope
and back-reef habitats, including upper
reef slopes, lower reef crests, and reef
flats, with a depth range of five to 20 m.
The public comments and information
we gathered provided the following
information on A. palmerae’s
distribution. One public comment stated
that the depth distribution appears to be
restricted to depths of less than 12 m,
based on observations in Guam and
reports from elsewhere. We gathered
supplemental information, including
observations that the depth range of A.
palmerae in American Samoa is low
tide to about 5 m deep, and on Tinian
Island in the Marianas it is from about
2 to 5 m (D. Fenner, pers.
communication). Thus, based on all the
available information, A. palmerae’s
habitat includes upper reef slopes, midslope terraces, lower reef crests, and reef
flats. Based on all the information from
across its range, we consider its depth
range to be from two to 20 m depth.
Veron (2014) reports that A. palmerae is
confirmed in 42 of his 133 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be
found in an additional 17. Wallace
(1999b) reports its occurrence in seven
of her 29 Indo-Pacific areas, many of
which are larger than Veron’s
ecoregions. Richards (2009) calculated
the geographic range at over 60 million
km2.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. palmerae’s
abundance. Acropora palmerae has
been reported as uncommon.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on A. palmerae’s abundance. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports
that A. palmerae occupied 2.7 percent
of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had
a mean abundance rating of 1.81 on a 1
to 5 rating scale at those sites in which
it was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘uncommon,’’ and overall abundance
was also described as ‘‘uncommon.’’
Veron did not infer trends in abundance
from these data. Acropora palmerae can
be abundant within a very narrow depth
range in shallow water (as it is on the
west coast of Tinian in the Marianas),
which may be missed in some surveys
(D. Fenner, personal comm.). As
described in the Indo-Pacific Species
Determinations introduction above,
based on results from Richards et al.
(2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
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abundance of this species is likely at
least tens of millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. palmerae, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 39 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 15
percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
palmerae occurs in many areas affected
by these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible
based on the limited species-specific
information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. palmerae’s
life history. Like most other Acropora
species, A. palmerae is a
hermaphroditic spawner with
lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae. Unlike
most other Acropora species, colonies of
A. palmerae can be entirely encrusting
with no branches (or colonies may have
short, irregularly-shaped branches). The
public comments and information we
gathered did not provide anything
additional to the above-described
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. palmerae’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acropora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection
and trade. The SRR and SIR did not
provide any species-specific
information on the effects of these
threats on A. palmerae. We interpreted
the threat susceptibility and exposure
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information from the SRR and SIR in the
proposed rule for A. palmerae’s
vulnerabilities as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerabilities to disease,
ocean acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, nutrients, and predation, and
low vulnerabilities to sedimentation,
sea-level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
palmerae’s threat susceptibilities. We
gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Acropora palmerae has
been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to thermal bleaching and
coral disease, but these ratings are not
based on species-specific data
(Carpenter et al., 2008). No other
species-specific information is available
for the susceptibility of A. palmerae to
any other threat. Based on information
from other Acropora species provided
in the genus description above, A.
palmerae is likely highly susceptible to
ocean warming, and also has some
susceptibilities to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade. The
available information does not support
more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of A. palmerae to the
threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. palmerae. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to the following analysis to attempt to
analyze regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that A.
palmerae occurs in 42 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 28 countries’
EEZs. The 28 countries are Australia,
China, Federated States of Micronesia,
Fiji, France (French Pacific Island
Territories), India (including Andaman
and Nicobar Islands), Indonesia, Japan,
Marshall Islands, Mauritius, Myanmar,
New Zealand (Cook Islands, Tokelau),
Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea,
Philippines, Samoa, Seychelles,
Solomon Islands, Sri Lanka, Taiwan,
Thailand, Timor-Leste, Tonga, Tuvalu,
United States (CNMI, Guam, American
Samoa, PRIAs), Vanuatu, and Vietnam.
The regulatory mechanisms relevant to
A. palmerae, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that
utilize them, to any degree and second,
as the percentages of those countries
whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General
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coral protection (36 percent with 11
percent limited in scope), coral
collection (57 percent with 29 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (39
percent with 11 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (96
percent with 11 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (96 percent
with 4 percent limited in scope). The
most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. palmerae are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral
collection and pollution control laws
are also somewhat common for the
species, but 29 percent of coral
collection laws are limited in scope and
may not provide substantial protection.
General coral protection laws are much
less prominent regulatory mechanisms
for the management of A. palmerae.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that the high bleaching rate of the
Acropora genus is the primary known
threat of extinction for A. palmerae. It
listed factors that reduce the threat of
extinction including its very broad
geographic range, the fact that it is often
common and sometimes abundant, and
the broad range of suitable habitat types
for A. palmerae.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
palmerae, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes most of the coral
reef ecoregions in the Indian Ocean and
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western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates
vulnerability to extinction because some
areas within its range are projected to
have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas, so
portions of the population in these areas
will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is from the
surface to as much as 20 meters. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because
deeper areas of its range will usually
have lower irradiance than surface
waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters
that are deeper and cooler than those in
which the species occurs. Its habitat
includes upper reef slopes, mid-slope
terraces, lower reef crests, and reef flats
in depth ranging from two to 20 m
depth. This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous
types of reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience
highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. Reef zones subject to high wave
action also experience high levels of
mixing which can dilute adverse
environmental conditions. Its absolute
abundance of at least tens of millions of
colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
palmerae was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderately wide
distribution (based on moderate
geographic distribution and moderate
depth distribution (E); and inadequacy
of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. palmerae
from threatened to not warranted. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
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threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on A.
palmerae’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
is not warranted for listing at this time,
because:
(1) Acropora palmerae’s distribution
across the Indian Ocean and most of the
Pacific Ocean is spread over a very large
area. While some areas within its range
are projected to be affected by warming
and acidification, other areas are
projected to have less than average
warming and acidification, including
the western Indian Ocean, the central
Pacific, and other areas. This
distribution and the wide variety of
habitat types it occupies reduce
exposure to any given threat event or
adverse condition that does not occur
uniformly throughout the species range.
As explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Acropora palmerae’s absolute
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies, providing buffering capacity in
the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility
between individual colonies. As
discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs
section above, the more colonies a
species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to
a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will
not have the same response; and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast
grower, enhancing recovery potential
from mortality events, as described in
the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
increase in severity and the species
exposure to threats increases throughout
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its range. Should the species experience
reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, A.
palmerae is not warranted for listing at
this time under any of the listing factors.
Acropora paniculata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A.
paniculata’s morphology and taxonomy.
Morphology was described as large
plates or tables that are 25 mm thick and
frequently greater than 1 m across, and
taxonomy was described as having no
taxonomic issues, but it is quite similar
to A. cytherea and similar to A.
jacquelineae.
The public comments and
information we gathered provided
information on morphology and
taxonomy of A. paniculata. One public
comment stated that in Hawaii, colony
morphology of A. paniculata resembles
that of A. cytherea, but that A.
paniculata occurs at greater depths than
A. cytherea, which opens the possibility
of them being the same species that
changes growth forms at different
depths. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014),
which states that A. paniculata is
distinctive, thus we conclude it can be
identified by experts, and that the
distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is
sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
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Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A.
paniculata’s distribution, habitat, and
depth range. Acropora paniculata is
distributed from the Red Sea and Indian
Ocean to the west and central Pacific,
including within the Mariana Islands.
The species has a moderately broad
range, the 40th largest range of 114
Acropora species. Its habitat includes
numerous reef slope and back-reef
habitats, including at least upper reef
slopes, mid-slope terraces, lower reef
slopes, and sheltered lagoons, and its
depth range is 10 to 35 m.
The public comments and the
supplemental information provided the
following information on A.
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paniculata’s distribution. One public
comment stated that occurrence of A.
paniculata within the Mariana Islands
has not been confirmed by expert
Richard H. Randall, in contradiction to
the SRR. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014),
which reports that A. paniculata is
confirmed in 51 of his 133 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be
found in an additional 15. Wallace
(1999b) reports its occurrence in 19 of
her 29 Indo-Pacific areas, many of
which are larger than Veron’s
ecoregions. Richards (2009) calculated
the geographic range at 80 million km2.
The public comments and information
we gathered provided nothing
additional on A. paniculata’s habitat
and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A.
paniculata’s abundance. Acropora
paniculata has been reported as
uncommon to rare (Veron, 2000).
Richards (2009) concluded that this
species is globally widespread, locally
restricted, and locally rare, and thus in
the second rarest category of Acropora
with the predicted consequence of local
extinction.
The public comments and
information we gathered provided the
following information on A.
paniculata’s abundance. One public
comment stated that Fenner’s 2005 book
Corals of Hawaii notes that in the
Hawaiian Islands, A. paniculata is ‘‘not
common,’’ which the commenter argued
demonstrates that the species is not rare,
at least in Hawaii. We gathered
supplemental information, including
observations made in 2014 that A.
paniculata is one of the most common
corals in the Chagos Islands in the
Indian Ocean, where it has recovered
rapidly from the 1998 mass bleaching
event (D. Fenner, personal comm.).
Veron (2014) reports that A. paniculata
occupied 14.3 percent of 2,984 dive
sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the
Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance
rating of 1.43 on a 1 to 5 rating scale at
those sites in which it was found. Based
on this semi-quantitative system, the
species’ abundance was characterized as
‘‘common,’’ and overall abundance was
described as ‘‘uncommon.’’ Veron did
not infer trends in abundance from
these data. As described in the IndoPacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least tens of millions
of colonies.
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Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. paniculata, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 35 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 14 percent
in the study. However, as summarized
above in the Inter-basin Comparison
sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
paniculata occurs in many areas
affected by these broad changes, and
that it has some susceptibility to both
global and local threats, we conclude
that it is likely to have declined in
abundance over the past 50 to 100 years,
but a precise quantification is not
possible based on the limited speciesspecific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A.
paniculata’s life history. Like most other
Acropora species, A. paniculata is a
hermaphroditic spawner with
lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae. The
public comments and information we
gathered did not provide anything
additional to the above-described
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. paniculata’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acropora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection
and trade. The SRR and SIR did not
provide any species-specific
information on the effects of these
threats on A. paniculata. We interpreted
the threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the
proposed rule for A. paniculata’s
vulnerabilities as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerabilities to disease,
ocean acidification, trophic effects of
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fishing, nutrients, and predation, and
low vulnerabilities to sedimentation,
sea-level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
paniculata’s threat susceptibilities. We
gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Acropora paniculata
has been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching and disease,
but these ratings are not based on
species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). No other species-specific
information is available for the
susceptibility of A. paniculata to any
other threat. Based on information from
other Acropora species provided in the
genus description above, A. paniculata
likely is highly susceptible to ocean
warming, and also has some
susceptibility to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade. The
available information does not support
more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of A. paniculata to the
threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. paniculata. Criticisms of our
approach received during public
comment led us to the following
analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records
confirm that A. paniculata occurs in 51
Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass
37 countries’ EEZs. The 37 countries are
Australia (including Cocos-Keeling
Islands), China, Comoros Islands, Egypt,
Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji,
France (French Pacific Island
Territories), India (Andaman and
Nicobar Islands), Indonesia, Israel,
Japan, Jordan, Kiribati, Madagascar,
Malaysia, Maldives, Marshall Islands,
Mauritius, Myanmar, Nauru, New
Zealand (Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua
New Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Saudi
Arabia, Solomon Islands, Sudan,
Taiwan, Thailand, Tonga, Tuvalu,
United Kingdom (British Indian Ocean
Territory), United States (Hawaii,
American Samoa, PRIAs), Vanuatu, and
Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to A. paniculata, described first
as the percentage of the above countries
that utilize them to any degree and
second, as the percentages of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms
may be limited in scope, are as follows:
General coral protection (24 percent
with 3 percent limited in scope), coral
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collection (59 percent with 30 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (43
percent with 8 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (89
percent with 22 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (95 percent
with 11 percent limited in scope). The
most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. paniculata are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral
collection and pollution control laws
are also somewhat common for the
species, but 30 percent of coral
collection laws are limited in scope and
may not provide substantial protection.
General coral protection laws are much
less prominent regulatory mechanisms
for the management of A. paniculata.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that the high bleaching rate of the
Acropora genus is the primary known
threat of extinction for A. paniculata. It
listed factors that reduce the threat of
extinction including the moderately
wide geographic range, presence in
deeper habitats, and being common in
New Guinea though rare elsewhere.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
paniculata, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes most of the coral
reef ecoregions in the Indian Ocean and
western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates
vulnerability to extinction because some
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54015
areas within its range are projected to
have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas, so
portions of the population in these areas
will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is from 10 to
35 meters. This moderates vulnerability
to extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower irradiance than
surface waters, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in
waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. Its
habitat includes at least upper reef
slopes, mid-slope terraces, lower reef
slopes, and sheltered lagoons. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type
but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. Its
absolute abundance of at least tens of
millions of colonies, combined with
spatial variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
paniculata was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution
(based on wide geographic distribution
and moderate depth distribution (E);
and inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. paniculata
from threatened to not warranted. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on A.
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paniculata’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
is not warranted for listing at this time,
because:
(1) Acropora paniculata’s distribution
from the Red Sea across the Indian
Ocean and most of the Pacific Ocean is
spread over a very large area. While
some areas within its range are
projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, other areas are projected
to have less than average warming and
acidification, including the western
Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and
other areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies
reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not
occur uniformly throughout the species
range. As explained above in the
Threats Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Acropora paniculata’s absolute
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies, providing buffering capacity in
the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility
between individual colonies. As
discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs
section above, the more colonies a
species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to
a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will
not have the same response; and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast
grower, enhancing recovery potential
from mortality events as described in
the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
increase in severity and the species
exposure to threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience
reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
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danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, A.
paniculata is not warranted for listing at
this time under any of the listing factors.
Acropora pharaonis
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. pharaonis’
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as large horizontal tables
or irregular clusters of horizontal or
upright interlinked contorted branches,
and taxonomy was described as having
no taxonomic issues but being similar in
appearance to Acropora clathrata and
Acropora plumosa.
The public comments did not provide
supplemental information on
morphology or taxonomy. We gathered
supplemental information, including
that A. pharaonis is recognized as valid
by experts (Veron, 2000; Veron, 2014;
Wallace, 1999a). Veron (2014) also
states that records of this species in the
Pacific by other authors are likely to be
another, probably undescribed species.
However, we conclude the species can
be identified by experts, thus the
distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is
sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. pharaonis’
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Acropora pharaonis has a disjoint
distribution, being present in the Red
Sea and western/northern Indian Ocean,
and areas in the Pacific Ocean. It notes
that IUCN stated that there are doubts
about the Pacific records. The species
has the 14th smallest range of 114
Acropora species. Its habitat includes
reef slope and back-reef habitats,
including at least upper reef slopes,
mid-slope terraces, and lagoons, and its
depth range is 5 to 25 meters.
The public comments did not provide
supplemental information on A.
pharaonis’ distribution. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that A.
pharaonis is confirmed in 11 of his 133
Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional
eight. All 19 of these ecoregions are in
the Indian Ocean. Wallace (1999b)
reports its occurrence in six of her 29
Indo-Pacific areas, many of which are
larger than Veron’s ecoregions, stating
that, ‘‘This unusual species appears to
be restricted to the Red Sea.’’ Richards
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(2009) estimated its range at 1.4 million
km2. The public comments and
information we gathered provided
nothing additional on A. pharaonis’
habitat and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. pharaonis’
abundance. Acropora pharaonis has
been reported as common. The public
comments did not provide
supplemental information on A.
pharaonis’ abundance. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that A.
pharaonis occupied 3.6 percent of 2,984
dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean
abundance rating of 1.80 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it
was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘uncommon.’’ Overall abundance was
described as ‘‘common in the Red Sea,
uncommon elsewhere.’’ Veron did not
infer trends in abundance from these
data. As described in the Indo-Pacific
Species Determinations introduction
above, based on results from Richards et
al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at
least millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. pharaonis, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 30 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 14
percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
pharaonis occurs in areas affected by
these broad changes, and has some
susceptibility to both global and local
threats, we conclude that it is likely to
have declined in abundance over the
past 50 to 100 years, but a precise
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quantification is not possible based on
the limited species-specific information.
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Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. pharaonis’
life history. Acropora pharaonis is a
hermaphroditic spawner with
lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae. The
public comments and information we
gathered did not provide anything
additional to the above-described
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. pharaonis’ threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acropora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection
and trade. The SRR also reported that A.
pharaonis was locally extirpated in the
SE Arabian Gulf after the combined
impacts of the 1996 and 1998 bleaching
events, and that the species is
susceptible to several diseases that
affect reproduction including reduced
fecundity. We interpreted the threat
susceptibility and exposure information
from the SRR and SIR in the proposed
rule for A. pharaonis’ vulnerabilities as
follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming and disease, moderate
vulnerabilities to ocean acidification,
trophic effects of fishing, nutrients, and
predation, and low vulnerabilities to
sedimentation, sea-level rise, and
collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide
supplemental information on A.
pharaonis’ threat susceptibilities. We
gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Acropora pharaonis has
been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching and disease,
but these ratings are not based on
species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). No other species-specific
information is available for the
susceptibility of A. pharaonis to any
other threat. Based on information from
other Acropora species provided in the
genus description above, A. pharaonis
likely has high susceptibility ocean
warming, and also likely has some
susceptibility to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
and collection and trade. Based on the
available information, high
susceptibility to disease (as stated in the
proposed rule for this species) is not
supported. The available information
does not support more precise ratings of
the susceptibilities of A. pharaonis to
the threats.
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Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. pharaonis. Criticisms of our
approach received during public
comment led us to the following
analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records
confirm that A. pharaonis occurs in 11
Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass
21 countries’ EEZs. The 21 countries are
Bahrain, Djibouti, Egypt, Eritrea, France
(French Pacific Island Territories),
India, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait,
Madagascar, Maldives, Mauritius, Qatar,
Saudi Arabia, Seychelles, Somalia, Sri
Lanka, Sudan, United Arab Emirates,
and Yemen. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to A. pharaonis, described first
as the percentage of the above countries
that utilize them to any degree and
second, as the percentages of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms
may be limited in scope, are as follows:
General coral protection (29 percent
with 10 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (43 percent with five percent
limited in scope), pollution control (52
percent with five percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (76
percent with 24 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (71 percent
with 14 percent limited in scope). The
most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. pharaonis are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral
collection and pollution control laws
are also somewhat common for the
species. General coral protection laws
are much less prominent regulatory
mechanisms for the management of A.
pharaonis.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that the high bleaching rate of the
Acropora genus is the primary known
threat of extinction for A. pharaonis.
This is exacerbated by its restricted
range and the need for protected
habitats. The SRR also listed factors that
reduce the threat of extinction including
its moderate depth range (5 m to 25 m)
and its common abundance levels in the
Red Sea.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
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species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
pharaonis, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes the Red Sea and
Arabian Gulf, but relatively few islands.
This exacerbates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because it is restricted a portion of the
Indian Ocean with a limited amount of
island and offshore habitat, and
includes areas projected to have the
most rapid and severe impacts from
climate change and localized human
impacts for coral reefs over the 21st
century (i.e., the Red Sea and the
Arabian Gulf). Its depth range of five to
25 meters moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower irradiance than
surface waters, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in
waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. Its
habitat includes reef slope and back-reef
habitats, including at least upper reef
slopes, mid-slope terraces, and lagoons.
This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous
types of reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience
highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. There is not enough information
about its abundance to determine if it
moderates or exacerbates extinction: It
is common in the Red Sea, uncommon
elsewhere, and has at least millions of
colonies, but the Red Sea and Arabian
Gulf portions of the population are
expected to be severely impacted by
threats over the foreseeable future.
While depth distribution and habitat
variability moderate vulnerability to
extinction, the combination of its
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geographic distribution and high
susceptibility to ocean warming are
likely to be more influential to the status
of this species over the foreseeable
future, because of the projected severity
of ocean warming in much of the
species’ range in the foreseeable future,
and its high susceptibility to this threat.
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Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
pharaonis was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E) and disease (C); moderate
vulnerability to acidification (E);
common generalized range wide
abundance (E); narrow overall
distribution (based on narrow
geographic distribution and moderate
depth distribution (E); and inadequacy
of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we confirmed the
species’ proposed listing determination
as threatened. Based on the best
available information provided above on
A. pharaonis’ spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management indicate that it is likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
still warrants listing as threatened at
this time, because:
(1) Acropora pharaonis is highly
susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), and susceptible to disease (C),
ocean acidification (E), trophic effects of
fishing (A), predation (C), and nutrients
(A, E). These threats are expected to
continue and increase into the future. In
addition, existing regulatory
mechanisms to address global threats
that contribute to extinction risk for this
species are inadequate (D).
(2) Acropora pharaonis’ distribution
is constrained entirely to the Red Sea,
Arabian Gulf, and western and central
Indian Ocean where projections of
ocean warming and local threats (e.g.,
land-based sources of pollution) are
both frequent and severe over the
foreseeable future compared to other
areas of the Indo-Pacific. A range
constrained to a particular geographic
area that is likely to experience severe
and worsening threats indicates that a
high proportion of the population of this
species is likely to be exposed to those
threats over the foreseeable future; and
(3) Acropora pharaonis suffered
documented local extirpation in the
southeast Arabian Gulf after the
combined impacts of the 1996 and 1998
bleaching events, providing evidence
that this species has already been
severely impacted by ocean warming in
some parts of its range.
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The combination of these
characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates that the species is
likely to be in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range and warrants listing as
threatened at this time due to factors A,
C, D, and E.
The available information above on A.
pharaonis’ spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management also indicate that the
species the species is not currently in
danger of extinction and thus does not
warrant listing as Endangered because:
(1) While A. pharaonis’ distribution
in only the Indian Ocean and the
Middle East, which increases it
extinction risk as described above, its
habitat includes sheltered lagoon patch
reefs and other shallow reef
environments. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction currently
because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous
types of reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience
highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry at any given point in
time, as described in more detail in the
Coral Habitat and Threats Evaluation
sections. There is no evidence that the
species is so spatially fragmented or
geographically constrained that
depensatory processes, environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for
catastrophic events currently pose a
high risk to the survival of the species;
and
(2) Acropora pharaonis absolute
abundance is at least millions of
colonies, which allows for variation in
the responses of individuals to threats to
play a role in moderating vulnerability
to extinction for the species to some
degree, as described in more detail in
the Corals and Coral Reefs section.
There is no evidence of depensatory
processes such as reproductive failure
from low density of reproductive
individuals and genetic processes such
as inbreeding affecting this species.
Thus, its absolute abundance indicates
it is currently able to avoid high
mortality from environmental
stochasticity, and mortality of a high
proportion of its population from
catastrophic events.
The combination of these
characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of
one that is currently in danger of
extinction, as described previously in
the Risk Analyses section, and thus does
not warrant listing as endangered at this
time.
Range-wide, a multitude of
conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting A.
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pharaonis. However, considering the
global scale of the most important
threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at
addressing the root cause of global
threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not
believe that any current conservation
efforts or conservation efforts planned
in the future will result in affecting the
species status to the point at which
listing is not warranted.
Acropora polystoma
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. polystoma’s
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as irregular clumps or
plates with tapered branches of similar
length and shape, and being similar to
A. massawensis and A. polystoma. The
taxonomy was described as not having
much uncertainty, except in the
Mariana Islands where specimens
previously identified as A. polystoma
may be a different species.
The public comments and
information we gathered provided
information on morphology or
taxonomy of A. polystoma. One public
comment stated that specimens of A.
polystoma in Guam may represent a
different species. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which states that A.
polystoma is distinctive, thus we
conclude it can be identified by experts,
and that the distribution and abundance
information described below for this
species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. polystoma’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Acropora polystoma is distributed from
the Red Sea to the Indian Ocean to the
central Pacific. The species has the 28th
largest range of 114 Acropora species.
Its habitat includes areas exposed to
strong wave action, including upper reef
slopes, lower reef crests, reef flats, and
other habitats, and its depth range is
three to 10 meters.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on A. polystoma’s distribution. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports
that this species is confirmed in 48 of
his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and
strongly predicted to be found in an
additional 19. Wallace (1999b) reports
its occurrence in 19 of her 29 IndoPacific areas, many of which are
significantly larger than Veron’s
ecoregions. Richards (2009) calculated
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the geographic range of A. polystoma at
85 million km2. The public comments
and information we gathered provided
nothing additional on A. polystoma’s
habitat and depth range.
precise quantification is not possible
based on the limited species-specific
information.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. polystoma’s
abundance. Acropora polystoma has
been reported as uncommon.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on A. polystoma’s abundance. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports
that A. polystoma occupied 6.7 percent
of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had
a mean abundance rating of 1.74 on a 1
to 5 rating scale at those sites in which
it was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘common.’’ Overall abundance was
described as ‘‘uncommon.’’ Veron did
not infer trends in abundance from
these data. As described in the IndoPacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least tens of millions
of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. polystoma, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 35 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 14
percent. However, as summarized above
in in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
polystoma occurs in many areas affected
by these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. polystoma’s
life history. Acropora polystoma is a
hermaphroditic spawner with
lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae. The
public comments and information we
gathered did not provide anything
additional to the above-described
biological information.
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Other Biological Information
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. polystoma’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acropora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection
and trade. The SRR and SIR did not
provide any species-specific
information on the effects of these
threats on A. polystoma. We interpreted
the threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the
proposed rule for A. polystoma’s
vulnerabilities as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming and
disease, moderate vulnerabilities to
ocean acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, nutrients, and predation, and
low vulnerabilities to sedimentation,
sea-level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
polystoma’s threat susceptibilities. We
gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. A. polystoma has been
rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching and warminginduced disease, but these ratings are
not based on species-specific data
(Carpenter et al., 2008). No other
species-specific information is available
for the susceptibility of A. polystoma to
any other threat. Based on information
from other Acropora species provided
in the genus description above, A.
polystoma likely has high susceptibility
ocean warming, and also likely has
some susceptibilities to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
and collection and trade. Based on the
available information, high
susceptibility to disease, as stated in the
proposed rule for this species, is not
supported. The available information
does not support more precise ratings of
the susceptibilities of A. polystoma to
the threats.
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54019
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. polystoma. Criticisms of our
approach received during public
comment led us to the following
analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records
confirm that A. polystoma occurs in 48
Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass
41 countries’ EEZs. The 41 countries are
Australia, Brunei, China, Djibouti,
Egypt, Eritrea, Federated States of
Micronesia, Fiji, France (French Pacific
Island Territories), India (Andaman and
Nicobar Islands), Indonesia, Israel,
Japan, Jordan, Kenya, Madagascar,
Malaysia, Maldives, Marshall Islands,
Mauritius, Myanmar, New Zealand
(Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Saudi
Arabia, Solomon Islands, Sudan,
Taiwan, Tanzania, Thailand, TimorLeste, Tonga, Tuvalu, United Kingdom
(British Indian Ocean Territory), United
States (CNMI, Guam, American Samoa,
PRIAs), Vanuatu, Vietnam, and Yemen.
The regulatory mechanisms relevant to
A. polystoma, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that
utilize them to any degree and second,
the percentages of those countries
whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (24 percent with two
percent limited in scope), coral
collection (63 percent with 32 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (39
percent with seven percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (90
percent with 20 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (95 percent
with 10 percent limited in scope). The
most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. polystoma are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral
collection and pollution control laws
are also somewhat common for the
species, but 32 percent of coral
collection laws are limited in scope and
may not provide substantial protection.
General coral protection laws are much
less prominent regulatory mechanisms
for the management of A. polystoma.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
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that the high bleaching rate of the
Acropora genus is the primary known
threat of extinction for A. polystoma,
which is exacerbated by the relatively
restricted depth range and the
uncommon abundance. It listed factors
that reduce the threat of extinction
including the wide geographic range,
and the intertidal habitat which may
indicate potentially increased tolerance.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
polystoma, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes most of the coral
reef ecoregions in the Indian Ocean and
western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates
vulnerability to extinction because some
areas within its range are projected to
have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas, so
portions of the population in these areas
will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth distribution down
to 10 meters may exacerbate the species
exposure to some threats that are more
severe in shallower water. Shallow reef
environments can experience frequent
changes in environmental conditions,
extremes, high irradiance, and multiple
stressors simultaneously. However, its
habitat includes areas exposed to strong
wave action, including upper reef
slopes, lower reef crests, reef flats, and
other high energy habitats. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type
but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. In
addition, areas of high currents and/or
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wave action experience high levels of
mixing which can dilute adverse
environmental conditions. Its absolute
abundance of at least tens of millions of
colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
polystoma was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderate overall
distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and shallow depth
distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. polystoma
from threatened to not warranted. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on A.
polystoma’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
is not warranted for listing at this time,
because:
(1) Acropora polystoma’s distribution
across the Red Sea, Indian Ocean and
most of the Pacific Ocean is spread over
a very large area. While some areas
within its range are projected to be
affected by warming and acidification,
other areas are projected to have less
than average warming and acidification,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas. This
distribution and the heterogeneous
habitats it occupies reduce exposure to
any given threat event or adverse
condition that does not occur uniformly
throughout the species range. As
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explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Acropora polystoma’s absolute
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies, providing buffering capacity in
the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility
between individual colonies. As
discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs
section above, the more colonies a
species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to
a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will
not have the same response; and
(3) A. polystoma is a broadcast
spawner and fast grower, enhancing
recovery potential from mortality events
as described in the Corals and Coral
Reefs section above.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future as global threats continue and
increase in severity and the species
exposure to threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience
reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, A.
polystoma is not warranted for listing at
this time under any of the listing factors.
Acropora retusa
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. retusa’s
morphology and taxonomy. The
morphology was described as flat plates
with short thick digitate branchlets and
taxonomy was described as having no
taxonomic issues, but it is similar to
Acropora branchi, Acropora gemmifera,
and Acropora monticulosa.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on morphology or taxonomy of A.
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retusa. We gathered supplemental
information, which indicated that while
there is some taxonomic uncertainty for
this species, it is recognized as valid by
experts (Veron, 2000; Wallace, 1999a).
Veron (2014) states that A. retusa is
readily confused with other Acropora,
but we conclude it can be identified by
experts, and that the distribution and
abundance information described below
for this species is sufficiently reliable
(Fenner, 2014b).
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Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. retusa’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Acropora retusa is distributed from the
Red Sea and the Indian Ocean to the
central Pacific. The species has the 52nd
largest range of 114 Acropora species.
Its habitat includes shallow reef slope
and back-reef areas, such as upper reef
slopes, reef flats, shallow lagoons, and
its depth range is one to five meters.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on A. retusa’s distribution. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that this
species is confirmed in 23 of his 133
Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional
21. Wallace (1999b) reports its
occurrence in five of her 29 Indo-Pacific
areas, many of which are larger than
Veron’s ecoregions. Richards (2009)
estimated its range at 68 million km2.
The public comments and information
we gathered provided nothing
additional on A. retusa’s habitat and
depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. retusa’s
abundance. Acropora retusa has been
reported as common in South Africa
and uncommon elsewhere. The public
comments did not provide any new or
supplemental information on A. retusa’s
abundance. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014),
which reports that A. retusa occupied
0.5 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled
in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and
had a mean abundance rating of 1.21 on
a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in
which it was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as ‘‘rare.’’
Overall abundance was described as
‘‘common in South Africa, rare
elsewhere.’’ Veron did not infer trends
in abundance from these data. As
described in the Indo-Pacific Species
Determinations introduction above,
based on results from Richards et al.
(2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
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abundance of this species is likely at
least millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. retusa, the overall decline
in abundance (‘‘Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 49
percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (‘‘Backcast Percent Population Reduction’’)
was estimated at 18 percent. However,
as summarized above in the Inter-basin
Comparison sub-section, live coral cover
trends are highly variable both spatially
and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out
of context, thus quantitative inferences
to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
retusa occurs in many areas affected by
these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible
due to the limited amount of speciesspecific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. retusa’s life
history. Acropora retusa is a
hermaphroditic spawner with
lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae. The
public comments and information we
gathered did not provide anything
additional to the above-described
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. retusa’ threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acropora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection
and trade. The SRR and SIR did not
provide any other species-specific
information on the effects of these
threats on A. retusa. We interpreted the
threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the
proposed rule for A. retusa’s
vulnerabilities as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerabilities to disease,
ocean acidification, trophic effects of
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fishing, nutrients, and predation, and
low vulnerabilities to sedimentation,
sea-level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
retusa’s threat susceptibilities. We
gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Acropora retusa has
been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching and disease,
but these ratings are not based on
species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). No other species-specific
information is available for the
susceptibility of A. retusa to any other
threat. Based on information from other
Acropora species provided in the genus
description above, A. retusa is likely
highly susceptible to ocean warming,
and also likely has some susceptibilities
to disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. The available
information does not support more
precise ratings of the susceptibilities of
A. retusa to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. retusa. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to the following analysis to attempt to
analyze regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that A.
retusa occurs in 23 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 26 countries’
EEZs. The 26 countries are Brunei,
Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji,
France (French Pacific Island
Territories), India, Indonesia, Japan,
Kenya, Madagascar, Malaysia,
Mauritius, Mozambique, New Zealand
(Cook Islands, Tokelau), Niue, Palau,
Papua New Guinea, Samoa, Seychelles,
Solomon Islands, South Africa, Sri
Lanka, Tanzania, Tonga, Tuvalu, United
States (CNMI, Guam, American Samoa),
and Vietnam. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to A. retusa,
described first as the percentage of the
above countries that utilize them to any
degree and second, as the percentages of
those countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope,
are as follows: General coral protection
(19 percent with eight percent limited in
scope), coral collection (58 percent with
35 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (38 percent with 12 percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on
reefs (96 percent with 23 percent
limited in scope), and managing areas
for protection and conservation (100
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percent with none limited in scope).
The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for A. retusa are
reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are also
somewhat common for the species, but
35 percent of coral collection laws are
limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection. General coral
protection laws are much less
prominent regulatory mechanisms for
the management of A. retusa.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that the high bleaching rate of the
Acropora genus is the primary known
threat of extinction for A. retusa. The
species’ rarity adds to its risk of
extinction. The SRR also listed factors
that reduce the threat of extinction
including its geographic range and its
occurrence in tidal pools (suggesting
high physiological stress tolerance).
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
retusa, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes many coral reef
ecoregions in the Indian Ocean and
western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates
vulnerability to extinction because some
areas within its range are projected to
have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas, so
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portions of the population in these areas
will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range of zero to
five meters exacerbates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future.
Shallow reef areas are often subjected to
highly variable environmental
conditions, extremes, high irradiance,
and simultaneous effects from multiple
stressors, both local and global in
nature. A species restricted to such
shallow depths is likely to have a high
proportion of individuals exposed to
higher levels of irradiance and other
threats that are more severe in shallow
habitats. Its habitat includes shallow
reef slope and back-reef areas, such as
upper reef slopes, reef flats, and shallow
lagoons. While this generally moderates
vulnerability to extinction for most
species that can occupy a diverse set of
habitat types, in this case, habitat
heterogeneity likely does not provide
much moderation of exposure to threats
because of the shallow depth restriction
for this species. Its absolute abundance
of at least millions of colonies,
combined with spatial variability in
ocean warming and acidification across
the species range, moderates
vulnerability to extinction because the
increasingly severe conditions expected
in the foreseeable future will be nonuniform and therefore will likely be a
large number of colonies that are either
not exposed or do not negatively
respond to a threat at any given point
in time. However, its qualitative
abundance is described as rare, which
combined with its restricted depth
distribution indicates it is likely that a
high proportion of individuals will be
affected by threats that are typically
more severe in shallow habitats at any
given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the listing
determination tool approach, A. retusa
was proposed for listing as threatened
because of: High vulnerability to ocean
warming (ESA Factor E); moderate
vulnerability to disease (C) and
acidification (E); uncommon generalized
range wide abundance (E); moderate
overall distribution (based on wide
geographic distribution and shallow
depth distribution (E); and inadequacy
of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we maintain the
species’ proposed listing determination
as threatened. Based on the best
available information provided above on
A. retusa’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management indicate that it is likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
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warrants listing as threatened at this
time, because:
(1) Acropora retusa is highly
susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), and susceptible to disease (C),
ocean acidification (E), trophic effects of
fishing (A), predation (C), and nutrients
(A, E). These threats are expected to
continue and increase into the future. In
addition, existing regulatory
mechanisms addressing global threats
that contribute to extinction risk for this
species inadequate (D);
(2) Acropora retusa is restricted to
shallow habitat (zero to five meters),
where many global and local threats
may be more severe, especially near
populated areas. Shallow reef areas are
often subjected to highly variable
environmental conditions, extremes,
high irradiance, and simultaneous
effects from multiple stressors, both
local and global in nature. A limited
depth range also reduces the absolute
area in which the species may occur
throughout its geographic range, and
indicates that a large proportion of the
population is likely to be exposed to
threats that are worse in shallow
habitats, such as simultaneously
elevated irradiance and seawater
temperatures, as well as localized
impacts; and
(3) Acropora retusa’s abundance is
considered rare overall. This level of
abundance, combined with its restricted
depth distribution where impacts are
more severe, leaves the species
vulnerable to becoming of such low
abundance within the foreseeable future
that it may be at risk from depensatory
processes, environmental stochasticity,
or catastrophic events, as explained in
more detail in the Corals and Coral
Reefs and Risk Analyses sections.
The combination of these
characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates that the species is
likely to be in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range and warrants listing as
threatened at this time due to factors A,
C, D, and E.
The available information above on A.
retusa’s spatial structure, demography,
threat susceptibilities, and management
also indicate that the species is not
currently in danger of extinction and
thus does not warrant listing as
Endangered because:
(1) Acropora retusa’s distribution
from South Africa to the Pitcairn Islands
is spread over a very large area. While
some areas within its range are
projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, other areas are projected
to have less than average warming and
acidification, including the western
Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and
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other areas. This distribution reduces
exposure to any given threat event or
adverse condition that does not occur
uniformly throughout the species range.
As explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future;
(2) While Acropora retusa is limited
to shallow depths, which increases its
extinction risk as described above, its
geographic range encompasses
heterogeneous habitat, the benefits of
which are explained in detail in the
Coral Habitat sub-section above, across
almost half of the coral reef area in the
Indo-Pacific, and there is no evidence to
suggest that it is so spatially fragmented
that depensatory processes,
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for catastrophic events
currently pose a high risk to the survival
of the species; and
(3) While Acropora retusa’s
qualitative abundance is characterized
as rare, its absolute abundance is at least
millions of colonies. Additionally, A.
retusa is considered common in a
portion of its range (South Africa),
indicating it is not of such low
abundance that depensatory processes,
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for catastrophic events
currently pose a high risk to the survival
of the species.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of
one that is currently in danger of
extinction, as described previously in
the Risk Analyses section, and thus does
not warrant listing as endangered at this
time.
Range-wide, a multitude of
conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting A.
retusa. However, considering the global
scale of the most important threats to
the species, and the ineffectiveness of
conservation efforts at addressing the
root cause of global threats (i.e., GHG
emissions), we do not believe that any
current conservation efforts or
conservation efforts planned in the
future will result in affecting the species
status to the point at which listing is not
warranted.
Acropora rudis
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. rudis’
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
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was described as arborescent with large,
tapered, prostate branches, reaching a
maximum size of 50 cm and taxonomy
was described as having no taxonomic
issues but being similar in appearance
to A. hemprichii and A. variolosa.
The public comments and
information we gathered provided
information on morphology or
taxonomy. One public comment stated
that specimens collected in American
Samoa and identified by the American
Samoa Department of Marine and Water
Resources as A. rudis appear to be A.
aculeus, thereby illustrating the species
identification uncertainties associated
with this species. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which states that A. rudis
is readily confused with Acropora
schmitti in shallow habitats, but is very
distinctive otherwise, thus we conclude
it can be identified by experts, and that
the distribution and abundance
information described below for this
species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. rudis’
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Acropora rudis’ distribution has long
been thought by Veron and others to be
restricted to the northeastern Indian
Ocean, with recent reports by Fenner
suggesting it may also occur in New
Caledonia and the Samoas. The species
has the 24th smallest range of 114
Acropora species. Its predominant
habitat is lower reef crests and upper
reef slopes in three to 15 m of depth.
The public comments did not provide
supplemental information on A. rudis’
distribution. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014),
which provides much more detailed
range map for this species than the
maps used in the SRR. Veron reports
that this species is confirmed in seven
of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and
strongly predicted to be found in an
additional two. Veron (2014) does not
show it in New Caledonia and the
Samoas, apparently because he does not
believe there is enough information
available to strongly predict its
occurrence there. Wallace (1999b)
reports its occurrence in four of her 29
Indo-Pacific areas, many of which are
larger than Veron’s ecoregions. Richards
(2009) calculated the geographic range
of A. rudis at two million km2, which
was the 24th smallest range of the 114
Acropora species examined. The public
comments and information we gathered
provided nothing additional on A. rudis’
habitat and depth range.
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Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. rudis’
abundance. Acropora rudis has been
reported as uncommon, however, it has
been noted to comprise as much as half
of the Acropora in some areas.
The public comments did not provide
supplemental information on A. rudis’
abundance. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014),
which reports that A. rudis occupied 0.1
percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in
30 ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and
had a mean abundance rating of 1.25 on
a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in
which it was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as ‘‘rare.’’
Overall abundance was described as
‘‘uncommon.’’ Veron did not infer
trends in abundance from these data.
Other information indicates that A.
rudis can be locally common, as it has
been reported to comprise as much as
half of the Acropora in the area south
of the Hikkaduwa Nature Reserve in Sri
Lanka (Rajasuriya, 2002). As described
in the Indo-Pacific Species
Determinations introduction above,
based on results from Richards et al.
(2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at
least millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. rudis, the overall decline
in abundance (‘‘Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 59
percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (‘‘Backcast Percent Population Reduction’’)
was estimated at 22 percent. This
estimated decline is approximately 50
percent higher than most other IndoPacific Acropora species included in the
paper, apparently because of the
combined restricted geographic and
depth ranges (Carpenter et al., 2008).
However, as summarized above in the
Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live
coral cover trends are highly variable
both spatially and temporally,
producing patterns on small scales that
can be easily taken out of context, thus
quantitative inferences to speciesspecific trends should be interpreted
with caution. At the same time, an
extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and
shifts to reef communities dominated by
hardier coral species or algae over the
past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004;
Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale
and Szmant, 2012). These changes have
likely occurred, and are occurring, from
a combination of global and local
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threats. Given that A. rudis occurs in
many areas affected by these broad
changes, and that it has some
susceptibility to both global and local
threats, we conclude that it is likely to
have declined in abundance over the
past 50 to 100 years, but a precise
quantification is not possible based on
the limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. rudis’ life
history. There is no information
available on the reproductive biology of
A. rudis, but all other Acropora studied
to date are hermaphroditic broadcast
spawners. The public comments and
information we gathered did not
provide anything additional to the
above-described biological information.
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Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. rudis’ threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acropora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, and nutrients. The SRR
and SIR did not provide any speciesspecific information on the effects of
these threats on A. rudis. We interpreted
the threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the
proposed rule for A. rudis’
vulnerabilities as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerabilities to disease,
ocean acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, nutrients, and predation, and
low vulnerabilities to sedimentation,
sea-level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide
supplemental information on A. rudis’
threat susceptibilities. We gathered the
following species-specific and genuslevel supplemental information on this
species’ threat susceptibilities. Acropora
rudis has been rated as moderately or
highly susceptible to bleaching and
disease, but these ratings are not based
on species-specific data (Carpenter et
al., 2008). No other species-specific
information is available for the
susceptibility of A. rudis to any other
threat. Based on information from other
Acropora species provided in the genus
description above, A. rudis is likely
highly susceptible to ocean warming,
and also likely has some susceptibilities
to disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. The available
information does not support more
precise ratings of the susceptibilities of
A. rudis to the threats.
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Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. rudis. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to the following analysis to attempt to
analyze regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that A.
rudis occurs in seven Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass eight
countries’ EEZs. The eight countries are
Bangladesh, India (Andaman and
Nicobar Islands), Indonesia, Malaysia,
Maldives, Myanmar, Sri Lanka, and
Thailand. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to A. rudis, described first as
the percentage of the above countries
that utilize them to any degree and
second, as the percentages of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms
may be limited in scope, are as follows:
General coral protection (25 percent
with 13 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (38 percent with 13 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (50
percent with 13 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (100
percent with 25 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (88 percent
with 13 percent limited in scope). The
most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. rudis are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral
collection and pollution control laws
are also somewhat common for the
species. General coral protection laws
are much less common regulatory
mechanisms for the management of A.
rudis.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk of A. rudis include the
relatively high susceptibility of the
genus Acropora to common threats, and
a particularly narrow and somewhat
disjointed biogeographic range with
limited latitudinal extent. They stated
that there are no factors that notably
reduce the threat of extinction.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
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susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
rudis, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes the Maldives and
parts of the northeastern Indian Ocean.
This range exacerbates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because it is restricted to an area
projected to experience severe climate
change and localized impacts within the
foreseeable future. Its depth range is
three to 15 meters. On one hand, its
depth range may moderate vulnerability
to extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower irradiance than
surface waters, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in
waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. On
the other hand, its depth range may
exacerbate vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future if the species
occurs predominantly in the shallower
portion of its depth range, since those
areas will have higher irradiance and
thus will be more severely affected by
warming-induced bleaching. Its habitat
includes lower reef crests and upper
reef slopes. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because upper reef
slopes are physically diverse and
widespread reef areas, thus the species
occurs in reef environments that will,
on local and regional scales, experience
highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. It is rare, but has at least millions
of colonies. On one hand, its depth
range may moderate vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower irradiance than
surface waters, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in
waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. On
the other hand, its depth range may
exacerbate vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future if the species
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occurs predominantly in the shallower
portion of its depth range, since those
areas will have higher irradiance and
thus will be more severely affected by
warming-induced bleaching. Its absolute
abundance of at least millions of
colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time. However, its
qualitative abundance is described as
rare, which combined with its restricted
depth distribution indicates it is likely
that a high proportion of individuals
will be affected by threats that are
typically more severe in shallow
habitats at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
rudis was proposed for listing as
endangered because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); narrow overall
distribution (based on narrow
geographic distribution and shallow
depth distribution (E); and inadequacy
of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. rudis from
endangered to threatened. We made this
determination based on a more speciesspecific and holistic assessment of
whether this species meets the
definition of either a threatened or
endangered coral largely in response to
public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the
buffering capacity of this species’ spatial
and demographic traits to lessen its
vulnerability to threats. Thus, based on
the best available information provided
above on A. rudis’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management indicate that it is likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
warrants listing as threatened at this
time, because:
(1) Acropora rudis is highly
susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), and susceptible to disease (C),
ocean acidification (E), trophic effects of
fishing (A), predation (C), and nutrients
(A, E). These threats are expected to
continue and increase into the future. In
addition, existing regulatory
mechanisms to address global threats
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that contribute to extinction risk for this
species are inadequate (D);
(2) Acropora rudis’ geographic
distribution is restricted to the Maldives
and northeastern Indian Ocean. While
coral reefs in this area are projected to
experience climate change effects later
than the average predictions of severe
conditions, it is nevertheless projected
to experience severe impacts from
combined climate change and localized
human impacts for coral reefs within
the foreseeable future. In addition, its
range is constrained to a particular
geographic area such that a high
proportion of the population of this
species is likely to be exposed to threats
that occur throughout this range over
the foreseeable future; and
(3) While A. rudis’ abundance can be
locally common, overall it is considered
uncommon or rare, which means it does
not possess as much buffering capacity
in the form of variability in response
between individuals or absolute
abundance that would be afforded to a
more abundant or common species.
Considering the limited range of this
species, this level of abundance leaves
the species vulnerable to becoming of
such low abundance within the
foreseeable future that it may be at risk
from depensatory processes,
environmental stochasticity, or
catastrophic events, as explained in
more detail in the Corals and Coral
Reefs and Risk Analyses sections.
The combination of these
characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates that the species is
likely to be in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range and warrants listing as
threatened at this time due to factors A,
C, D, and E.
The available information above on A.
rudis’ spatial structure, demography,
threat susceptibilities, and management
also indicate that the species is not
currently in danger of extinction and
thus does not warrant listing as
Endangered because:
(1) While A. rudis’ distribution is
restricted to the Maldives and
northeastern Indian Ocean, its habitat is
upper reef slopes of fringing reefs. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
currently because the species occurs in
common and variable habitats that are
predicted, on local and regional scales,
to experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time, as described in
more detail in the Coral Habitat and
Threats Evaluation sections. There is no
evidence to suggest it is so spatially
fragmented that depensatory processes,
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for catastrophic events
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currently pose a high risk to the survival
of the species; and
(2) Acropora rudis’ abundance is
locally common in portions of its range,
it has at least millions of colonies, and
there is no evidence of depensatory
processes such as reproductive failure
from low density of reproductive
individuals and genetic processes such
as inbreeding affecting this species.
Thus, its abundance indicates it is
currently able to avoid high mortality
from environmental stochasticity, and
mortality of a high proportion of its
population from catastrophic events;
The combination of these
characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of
one that is currently in danger of
extinction, as described previously in
the Risk Analyses section, and thus does
not warrant listing as endangered at this
time.
Range-wide, a multitude of
conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting A.
rudis. However, considering the global
scale of the most important threats to
the species, and the ineffectiveness of
conservation efforts at addressing the
root cause of global threats (i.e., GHG
emissions), we do not believe that any
current conservation efforts or
conservation efforts planned in the
future will result in affecting the species
status to the point at which listing is not
warranted.
Acropora speciosa
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. speciosa’s
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as thick cushions or
bottlebrush branches and taxonomy was
described as having no taxonomic issues
but being similar in appearance to A.
echinata and A. granulosa.
The public comments did not provide
supplemental information on
morphology or taxonomy. We gathered
supplemental information, including by
Wallace (1999b), indicating species
identification uncertainty for A.
speciosa. However, Veron (2014) states
that A. speciosa is distinctive so we
conclude it can be identified by experts
and that the distribution and abundance
information described below for this
species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. speciosa’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Acropora speciosa is distributed from
Indonesia to French Polynesia. The
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species has the 51st smallest range of
114 Acropora species. It occurs on
lower reef slopes and walls, especially
those characterized by clear water and
high Acropora diversity on steep slopes.
Its depth range is 12 to 40 meters, and
it has been found in mesophotic
habitats.
The public comments did not provide
supplemental information on A.
speciosa’s distribution. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that A.
speciosa is confirmed in 26 of his 133
Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional
12. Wallace (1999b) reports its
occurrence in 10 of her 29 Indo-Pacific
areas, many of which are larger than
Veron’s ecoregions. Richards (2009)
estimated its range at 20 million km2.
The species was tentatively identified in
mesophotic assemblages in American
Samoa: ‘‘Shallow, plate-like reefs (more
than 50 m) were comprised mostly of
Acropora spp., possibly A. clathrata, A.
speciosa, and A. crateriformis’’ (Bare et
al., 2010). The public comments and
information we gathered provided
nothing additional on A. speciosa’s
habitat and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. speciosa’s
abundance. Acropora speciosa has been
reported as uncommon.
The public comments did not provide
supplemental information on A.
speciosa’s abundance. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Richards et al. (2013b), which
concludes that this species is globally
widespread, locally restricted, and
locally rare, and thus in the second
rarest category of Acropora with the
predicted consequence of local
extinction. Veron (2014) reports that A.
speciosa occupied 8.3 percent of 2,984
dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean
abundance rating of 1.60 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it
was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘common.’’ Overall abundance was
described as ‘‘usually uncommon.’’
Veron did not infer trends in abundance
from these data.
Richards et al. (2008) reported that A.
speciosa had the ninth smallest
population of the 15 rare Acropora
species they studied. Richards et al.
(2008: Appendix 1) gave the total world
population of this species as 10,942 ±
5,471 colonies, and the effective
population size (i.e., a mathematical
estimate of the size of the breeding
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population) as 1,204 colonies. The
calculation of the total world population
of this species was flawed, since the
area of 1 km2 was given as 1,000 m2,
when it is actually 1,000,000 m2. Thus,
the correct population estimate is 1,000
times greater than stated, or a total
population size of 10,942,000 colonies,
and an effective population size of
1,204,000 colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. speciosa, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 35 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 14
percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
speciosa occurs in many areas affected
by these broad changes, and likely has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible
based on the limited species-specific
information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. speciosa’s
life history. Based on information from
other Acropora species, A. speciosa is
most likely a hermaphroditic spawner
with lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae.
The public comments and information
we gathered did not provide anything
additional to the above-described
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. speciosa’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acropora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, and nutrients. The SRR
and SIR did not provide any species-
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specific information on the effects of
these threats on A. speciosa. We
interpreted the threat susceptibility and
exposure information from the SRR and
SIR in the proposed rule for A.
speciosa’s vulnerabilities as follows:
High vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerabilities to disease,
ocean acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, nutrients, and predation, and
low vulnerabilities to sedimentation,
sea-level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide
supplemental information on A.
speciosa’s threat susceptibilities. We
gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Acropora speciosa has
been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching and coral
disease, but these ratings are not based
on species-specific data (Carpenter et
al., 2008). No other species-specific
information is available for the
susceptibility of A. speciosa to any other
threat. Based on information from other
Acropora species provided in the genus
description above, A. speciosa likely is
highly susceptible to ocean warming,
and also likely has some susceptibility
to disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. The available
information does not support more
precise ratings of the susceptibilities of
A. speciosa to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. speciosa. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to the following analysis to attempt to
analyze regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that A.
speciosa occurs in 26 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 18 countries’
EEZs. The 18 countries are Australia,
Brunei, China, Federated States of
Micronesia, Fiji, France (French Pacific
Island Territories), Indonesia, Malaysia,
Maldives, Marshall Islands, Palau,
Papua New Guinea, Philippines,
Solomon Islands, Taiwan, Timor-Leste,
United States (PRIAs), and Vietnam.
The regulatory mechanisms relevant to
A. speciosa, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that
utilize them to any degree and second,
as the percentages of those countries
whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (39 percent with none
limited in scope), coral collection (67
percent with 28 percent limited in
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scope), pollution control (50 percent
with 17 percent limited in scope),
fishing regulations on reefs (94 percent
with 17 percent limited in scope), and
managing areas for protection and
conservation (100 percent with six
percent limited in scope). The most
common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. speciosa are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral
collection and pollution control laws
are also common for the species, but 28
percent of coral collection laws are
limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection. General coral
protection laws are less common
regulatory mechanisms for the
management of A. speciosa.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for A. speciosa include
the relatively high susceptibility of the
genus Acropora to common threats. It
listed factors that reduce the threat of
extinction for this species including
high local abundance and broad depth
range.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
speciosa, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes most of the
ecoregions in the Coral Triangle, the
western Pacific, and the GBR, as well as
parts of the Indian Ocean and central
Pacific. Its geographic distribution
moderates vulnerability to extinction
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because some areas within its range are
projected to have less than average
warming and acidification over the
foreseeable future, including the central
Pacific, so portions of the population in
these areas will be less exposed to
severe conditions. Its depth range of 12
to 40 moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower irradiance than
surface waters. However, while
acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate more quickly in waters that
are deeper and cooler than those in
which the species occurs, the lower
portion of its depth range may be
affected by acidification over the
foreseeable future. Its habitat is lower
reef slopes and walls, especially those
characterized by clear water and high
Acropora diversity on steep slopes. This
specialized habitat may exacerbate
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is
somewhat limited in its habitat,
reducing the buffering capacity of
habitat heterogeneity. While the
geographic distribution, depth
distribution, and habitat of A. speciosa
all may moderate extinction risk over
the foreseeable future, its effective
population size of 1.2 million colonies
substantially exacerbate extinction risk
over the foreseeable future, because
increasingly severe conditions are likely
to affect a high proportion of its
effective population at any given point
in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
speciosa was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderate overall
distribution (based on moderate
geographic distribution and moderate
depth distribution (E); and inadequacy
of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we maintain the
species’ proposed listing determination
as threatened. Based on the best
available information provided above on
A. speciosa’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management indicate that it is likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
warrants listing as threatened at this
time, because:
(1) Acropora speciosa is highly
susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), and susceptible to disease (C),
ocean acidification (E), trophic effects of
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fishing (A), predation (C), and nutrient
enrichment (A, E). These threats are
expected to continue and increase into
the future. In addition, existing
regulatory mechanisms to address global
threats that contribute to extinction risk
for this species are inadequate (D);
(2) Although A. speciosa’s habitat
includes mesophotic depths which may
provide some buffering capacity against
threats that are more severe in shallower
reef environments such as warming, its
habitat is quite specialized, which may
limit buffering capacity if threats are
more pronounced within the type of
habitat where the species occurs within;
and
(3) Acropora speciosa’s effective
population size of 1.2 million
genetically distinct colonies could
increase vulnerability to extinction if a
high proportion of the effective
population occurs within the parts of its
range most affected by threats,
potentially causing the species to
decline to such low abundance within
the foreseeable future that it may be at
risk from depensatory processes,
environmental stochasticity, or
catastrophic events.
The combination of these
characteristics and projections of future
threats indicates that the species is
likely to be in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range and warrants listing as
threatened at this time due to factors A,
C, D, and E.
The available information above on A.
speciosa’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management also indicate that the
species is not currently in danger of
extinction and thus does not warrant
listing as Endangered because:
(1) Acropora speciosa lives at depths
of at least 40 m, providing some
buffering capacity against threatinduced mortality events that may be
more severe in shallow habitats; and
(2) Acropora speciosa’s total
population size is estimated at 10.9
million colonies, approximately ten
times the size of its effective population,
providing a buffer against the species
declining to such low abundance that
depensatory processes, environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for
catastrophic events currently pose a
high risk to the survival of the species.
The combination of these
characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of
one that is currently in danger of
extinction, as described previously in
the Risk Analyses section, and thus does
not warrant listing as endangered at this
time.
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Range-wide, a multitude of
conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting A.
speciosa. However, considering the
global scale of the most important
threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at
addressing the root cause of global
threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not
believe that any current conservation
efforts or conservation efforts planned
in the future will result in affecting the
species status to the point at which
listing is not warranted.
Acropora striata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. striata’s
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as dense thickets with
short cylindrical branches, and
taxonomy was described as having no
taxonomic issues but being similar in
appearance to A. tumida, A. sekesiensis,
and A. parahemprichii.
The public comments and
information we gathered provided
supplemental information on
morphology or taxonomy. One public
comment stated that specimens reported
as A. striata in Guam differ in colony
form and in other characteristics from
the species described as A. striata in
Veron (2000). We gathered
supplemental information, including
Wallace (1999b), which provide
contradictory information to Veron
(2000) regarding the morphology of this
species. Veron (2014) states that A.
striata is easily confused with other
Acropora with a bushy growth form.
Although there is uncertainty, we
conclude that A. striata can be
identified by experts, and that the
distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is
sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
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Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. striata’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Acropora striata is distributed from
Indonesia to French Polynesia, and
possibly to Japan. The species has the
54th largest range of 114 Acropora
species. Its predominant habitat is
upper reef slopes, and it occurs in other
shallow habitats such as mid-slopes and
lagoons, and its depth range is at 10 to
25 m.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on A. striata’s distribution. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that A.
striata is confirmed in 36 of his 133
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Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional
17. Wallace (1999b) reports its
occurrence in 16 of her 29 Indo-Pacific
areas, many of which are larger than
Veron’s ecoregions. Richards (2009)
estimated its range at 50 million km2.
The public comments and information
we gathered provided nothing
additional on A. striata’s habitat and
depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. striata’s
abundance. Acropora striata has rare
overall abundance but may be locally
dominant in some areas in Japan.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on A. striata’s abundance. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Richards et al. (2013b), which
concludes that this species is globally
widespread, locally widespread, and
locally rare. Veron (2014) reports that A.
striata occupied 3.2 percent of 2,984
dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean
abundance rating of 1.38 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it
was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘uncommon.’’ Overall abundance was
described as ‘‘may be locally dominant
in Japan, uncommon elsewhere.’’ Veron
did not infer trends in abundance from
these data. As described in the IndoPacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least tens of millions
of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. striata, the overall decline
in abundance (‘‘Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 36
percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (‘‘Backcast Percent Population Reduction’’)
was estimated at 14 percent. However,
as summarized above in the Inter-basin
Comparison sub-section, live coral cover
trends are highly variable both spatially
and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out
of context, thus quantitative inferences
to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
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et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
striata occurs in many areas affected by
these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years but a
precise quantification is not possible
due to the limited amount of speciesspecific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. striata’s life
history. Acropora striata is a
hermaphroditic spawner, with larval
development and settlement taking five
to 10 days, and larvae remaining
competent for 31 days. The public
comments and information we gathered
did not provide anything additional to
the above-described biological
information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. striata’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acropora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection
and trade. The SRR and SIR did not
provide any species-specific
information on the effects of these
threats on A. striata. We interpreted the
threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the
proposed rule for A. striata’s
vulnerabilities as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerabilities to disease,
ocean acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, nutrients, and predation, and
low vulnerabilities to sedimentation,
sea-level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
striata’s threat susceptibilities. We
gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Acropora striata has
been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching and disease,
but these ratings are not based on
species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). There is no species-specific
information for the susceptibility of A.
striata to any threat. Based on
information from other Acropora
species provided in the genus
description above, A. striata is likely
highly susceptible to ocean warming,
and also likely has some susceptibility
to disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation,
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nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. The available
information does not support more
precise ratings of the susceptibilities of
A. striata to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. striata. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to the following analysis to attempt to
analyze regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that A.
striata occurs in 36 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 38 countries’
EEZs. The 38 countries are Australia,
China, Comoros Islands, Egypt,
Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji,
France (French Pacific Island
Territories), Indonesia, Israel, Japan,
Jordan, Kenya, Kiribati, Madagascar,
Malaysia, Maldives, Marshall Islands,
Mauritius, Myanmar, Nauru, New
Zealand (Cook Islands, Tokelau), Niue,
Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines,
Samoa, Saudi Arabia, Seychelles,
Solomon Islands, Sudan, Taiwan,
Tanzania, Thailand, Timor-Leste,
Tonga, Tuvalu, United States (CNMI,
Guam, American Samoa, PRIAs), and
Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to A. striata, described first as
the percentage of the above countries
that utilize them to any degree and
second, as the percentages of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms
may be limited in scope, are as follows:
General coral protection (26 percent
with 3 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (58 percent with 26 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (45
percent with eight percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (89
percent with 21 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (95 percent
with eight percent limited in scope).
The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for A. striata are
reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are also
somewhat common for the species, but
26 percent of coral collection laws are
limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection. General coral
protection laws are much less
prominent regulatory mechanisms for
the management of A. striata.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
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demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for A. striata include its
locally rare abundance. Factors that
reduce the potential extinction risk A.
striata include its relatively broad global
distribution. Subsequent to the
proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific
information, described above, that
expands our knowledge regarding the
species abundance, distribution, and
threat susceptibilities. We developed
our assessment of the species’
vulnerability to extinction using all the
available information. As explained in
the Risk Analyses section, our
assessment in this final rule emphasizes
the ability of the species’ spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or
exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach
we used in the proposed rule, which
emphasized the species’ susceptibility
to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
striata, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes most of the coral
reef ecoregions in the Indian Ocean and
western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates
vulnerability to extinction because some
areas within its range are projected to
have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas, so
portions of the population in these areas
will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is from ten
to 25 meters. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas
of its range will usually have lower
temperatures than surface waters due to
local and micro-habitat variability in
environmental conditions, and
acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper
and cooler than those in which the
species occurs. Its habitat includes
upper reef slopes, mid-slopes and
lagoons. This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous
types of reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience
highly variable thermal regimes and
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ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. Its absolute abundance of at least
tens of millions of colonies, combined
with spatial variability in ocean
warming and acidification across the
species range, moderates vulnerability
to extinction because the increasingly
severe conditions expected in the
foreseeable future will be non-uniform
and therefore will likely be a large
number of colonies that are either not
exposed or do not negatively respond to
a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
striata was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderate overall
distribution (based on moderate
geographic distribution and moderate
depth distribution (E); and inadequacy
of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. striata from
threatened to not warranted. We made
this determination based on a more
species-specific and holistic assessment
of whether this species meets the
definition of either a threatened or
endangered coral largely in response to
public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the
buffering capacity of this species’ spatial
and demographic traits to lessen its
vulnerability to threats. Thus, based on
the best available information above on
A. striata’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
it is not warranted for listing at this
time, because:
(1) Acropora striata’s distribution
across most of the Pacific Ocean is
spread over a very large area. While
some areas within its range are
projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, other areas are projected
to have less than average warming and
acidification, including the western
Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and
other areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies
reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not
occur uniformly throughout the species
range. As explained above in the
Threats Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
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occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future);
(2) Acropora striata’s total absolute
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies, providing buffering capacity in
the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility
between individual colonies. As
discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs
section above, the more colonies a
species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to
a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will
not have the same response; and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast
grower, enhancing recovery potential
from mortality events as described in
the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
increase in severity and the species
exposure to threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience
reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, A.
striata is not warranted for listing at this
time under any of the listing factors.
Acropora tenella
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Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. tenella’s
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as horizontal, platy
colonies with flattened branches, and
taxonomy was described as having no
taxonomic issues but being similar in
appearance to Acropora pichoni.
The public comments did not provide
supplemental information on
morphology or taxonomy. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which states that A.
tenella is readily confused with other
flattened, finely branched Acropora.
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However, the species is recognized as
valid and distinct by experts (Veron,
2000; Wallace, 1999a), so we conclude
it can be identified by experts and that
the distribution and abundance
information described below for this
species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. tenella’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Acropora tenella is distributed from
Japan to Indonesia to New Guinea and
the Marshall Islands. The species has
the 43rd smallest range of 114 Acropora
species. Its habitat is lower reef slopes
and shelves between 40 and 70 meters,
and it apparently is specialized for
calm, deep conditions.
The public comments did not provide
supplemental information on A.
tenella’s distribution. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that A.
tenella is confirmed in 18 of his 133
Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional
six. Wallace (1999b) reports its
occurrence in six of her 29 Indo-Pacific
areas, many of which are larger than
Veron’s ecoregions. Richards (2009)
estimated its range at 15 million km2,
which was the 43rd smallest range of
114 Acropora species examined.
Acropora tenella was one of three
species that dominated mesophotic reef
habitat in Okinawa between 35 and 47
m depth (Sinniger et al., 2013).
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. tenella’s
abundance. Acropora tenella has been
reported as locally common in some
locations.
The public comments did not provide
supplemental information on A.
tenella’s abundance. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Richards (2013b), which concludes that
this species is globally widespread,
locally restricted, and locally rare, and
thus in the second rarest category of
Acropora with the predicted
consequence of local extinction. Veron
(2014) reports that A. tenella occupied
0.4 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled
in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and
had a mean abundance rating of 1.25 on
a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in
which it was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as ‘‘rare,’’
and its overall abundance was also
described as ‘‘rare.’’ Veron did not infer
trends in abundance from these data.
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Richards et al. (2008) reported that A.
tenella had the seventh lowest
population of the 15 rare Acropora
species they studied. Richards et al.
(2008) gave the total world population
of this species as about 5207 +/-1606
colonies, and the effective population
size (i.e., a mathematical estimate of the
size of the breeding population) as about
573 colonies (Richards et al., 2008). The
calculation of the total world population
of this species was flawed, since the
area of 1 km2 was given as 1,000 m2
(Richards et al., 2008: Appendix 1),
when it is actually 1,000,000 m2. Thus,
the correct population estimate is 1,000
times greater than stated, or a total
population size of 5,207,000 colonies,
and an effective population size of
573,000 colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. tenella, the overall decline
in abundance (‘‘Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 39
percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (‘‘Backcast Percent Population Reduction’’)
was estimated at 15 percent. However,
as summarized above in the Inter-basin
Comparison sub-section, live coral cover
trends are highly variable both spatially
and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out
of context, thus quantitative inferences
to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
tenella occurs in many areas affected by
these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible
based on the limited species-specific
information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. tenella’s
life history. Based on information from
other Acropora species, A. tenella is
most likely a hermaphroditic spawner
with lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae.
The public comments and information
we gathered did not provide anything
additional to the above-described
biological information.
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Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. tenella’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acropora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection
and trade. The SRR and SIR did not
provide any species-specific
information on the effects of these
threats on A. tenella. We interpreted the
threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the
proposed rule for A. tenella’s
vulnerabilities as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerabilities to disease,
ocean acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, nutrients, and predation, and
low vulnerabilities to sedimentation,
sea-level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide
supplemental information on A.
tenella’s threat susceptibilities. We
gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Acropora tenella has
been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching and disease,
but these ratings are not based on
species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). No other species-specific
information is available for the
susceptibility of A. tenella to any other
threat. Based on information from other
Acropora species provided in the genus
description above, A. tenella is likely
highly susceptible to ocean warming,
and also likely has some susceptibilities
to disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. The available
information does not support more
precise ratings of the susceptibilities of
A. tenella to the threats.
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Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. tenella. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to the following analysis to attempt to
analyze regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that A.
tenella occurs in 18 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 12 countries’
EEZs. The 12 countries are Brunei,
China, Federated States of Micronesia,
Indonesia, Japan, Marshall Islands,
Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines,
Taiwan, United States (PRIAs), and
Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to A. tenella, described first as
the percentage of the above countries
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that utilize them to any degree and
second, as the percentages of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms
may be limited in scope, are as follows:
General coral protection (25 percent
with none limited in scope), coral
collection (58 percent with 33 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (33
percent with 17 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (92
percent with 17 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (100
percent with eight percent limited in
scope). The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for A. tenella are
reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection laws are
also somewhat common for the species,
but 33 percent of coral collection laws
are limited in scope and may not
provide substantial protection. General
coral protection and pollution control
laws are much less prominent
regulatory mechanisms for the
management of A. tenella.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that one factor that reduces the potential
extinction risk for this species is its
deep depth range, which reduces
exposure to surface-based threats.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
tenella, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution is limited to the Coral
Triangle and parts of the western
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54031
equatorial Pacific Ocean. Despite the
large number of islands and
environments that are included in the
species’ range, this range exacerbates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because it is mostly
limited to an area projected to have the
most rapid and severe impacts from
climate change and localized human
impacts for coral reefs over the 21st
century. Its mesophotic depth range of
40 to 70 meters moderates vulnerability
to extinction over the foreseeable future
because of lower irradiance, sharply
reducing warming-induced bleaching.
In addition, other threats usually occur
at lower levels at such depths, such as
sedimentation resulting from land-based
sources of pollution. However, unlike
the other Acropora species in this final
rule, A. tenella’s mesophotic habitat
may often have substantially cooler
temperatures than the shallower photic
zone, and thus more likely to be affected
by increasing acidification over the
foreseeable future. Its habitat consists of
lower reef slopes and shelves spanning
40 to 70 meters of depth, a much
different habitat than the surface and
shallow reef habitats occupied by the
other Acropora species in this final rule.
Its habitat may moderate vulnerability
to extinction over the foreseeable future
because of variable conditions at any
given point in time. However, its habitat
may exacerbate extinction risk over the
foreseeable future because increasing
acidification is expected to vary less
spatially at these depths on coral reefs
than in shallower areas on coral reefs.
Its effective population size of
approximately half a million colonies,
combined with the location of its range,
exacerbates vulnerability to extinction
because increasingly severe conditions
within the limited species range are
likely to affect a high proportion of its
effective population at any given point
in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
tenella was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution
(based on moderate geographic
distribution and wide depth
distribution, E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we maintain the
species’ proposed listing determination
as threatened. Based on the best
available information provided above on
A. tenella’s spatial structure,
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demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management indicate that it is likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
warrants listing as threatened at this
time, because:
(1) Acropora tenella is highly
susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), and susceptible to disease (C),
ocean acidification (E), trophic effects of
fishing (A), predation (C), and nutrient
enrichment (A, E). These threats are
expected to continue and increase into
the future. Although its mesophotic
depth distribution may provide some
buffering capacity against threats that
are more severe in shallower reef
environments, it may not provide
buffering capacity against other threats
for which depth is a less influential
factor, like acidification and disease. In
addition, existing regulatory
mechanisms to address global threats
that contribute to extinction risk for this
species are inadequate (D);
(2) Acropora tenella’s distribution is
constrained mostly within the Coral
Triangle and western equatorial Pacific,
which is projected to have the most
rapid and severe impacts from climate
change and localized human impacts for
coral reefs over the 21st century, as
described in the Threats Evaluation.
Multiple ocean warming events have
already occurred within the western
equatorial Pacific that suggest future
ocean warming events may be more
severe than average in this part of the
world. Although the mesophotic range
of the species reduces the impacts of
warming, disease, and localized human
impacts, the species occurs at
mesophotic depths where the effects of
acidification are expected to be greater
over the foreseeable future than in
shallower areas; and
(3) Acropora tenella’s effective
population size of 0.5 million colonies
could increase vulnerability to
extinction if a high proportion of the
effective population occurs within the
parts of its range most affected by
threats, potentially causing the species
to decline to such low abundance
within the foreseeable future that it may
be at risk from depensatory processes,
environmental stochasticity, or
catastrophic events.
The combination of these
characteristics and projections of future
threats indicates that the species is
likely to be in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range and warrants listing as
threatened at this time due to factors A,
C, D, and E.
The available information above on A.
tenella’s spatial structure, demography,
threat susceptibilities, and management
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also indicate that the species is not
currently in danger of extinction and
thus does not warrant listing as
Endangered because:
(1) While Acropora tenella’s range is
constrained to mesophotic habitat in the
Coral Triangle and western Pacific, its
habitat heterogeneity moderates
vulnerability to extinction currently
because of variable conditions at any
given point in time. There is no
evidence to suggest that the species is
not so spatially fragmented or
geographically constrained that
depensatory processes, environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for
catastrophic events currently pose a
high risk to the survival of the species;
and
(2) Acropora tenella’s mesophotic
depth distribution provides some
buffering capacity against threats that
are more severe in shallower
environments such as nutrient
enrichment, sedimentation, and ocean
warming;
(3) Acropora tenella’s total population
size is estimated at five million
colonies, approximately ten times the
size of its effective population,
providing a buffer against the species
declining to such low abundance that
depensatory processes, environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for
catastrophic events currently pose a
high risk to the survival of the species.
The combination of these
characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of
one that is currently in danger of
extinction, as described previously in
the Risk Analyses section, and thus does
not warrant listing as endangered at this
time. Range-wide, a multitude of
conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting A.
tenella. However, considering the global
scale of the most important threats to
the species, and the ineffectiveness of
conservation efforts at addressing the
root cause of global threats (i.e., GHG
emissions), we do not believe that any
current conservation efforts or
conservation efforts planned in the
future will result in affecting the species
status to the point at which listing is not
warranted.
Acropora vaughani
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. vaughani’s
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as open-branched, bushy,
arborescent colonies, and the taxonomy
was described as having no taxonomic
issues but being similar to A. horrida, A.
tortuosa, A. rufus and A. austera.
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The public comments did not provide
supplemental information on
morphology or taxonomy. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which indicates that A.
vaughani is distinctive, thus we
conclude it can be identified by experts,
and that the distribution and abundance
information described below for this
species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. vaughani’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Acropora vaughani is distributed from
the Red Sea to Fiji. The species has the
34th largest range of 114 Acropora
species. It is found in numerous reef
slope and back-reef habitats with turbid
water, including but not limited to,
upper reef slopes, mid-slope terraces,
lagoons, and adjacent habitats, and the
depth range is from low tide to 20 or 30
meters.
The public comments did not provide
supplemental information on A.
vaughani’s distribution. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), who reports that A.
vaughani is confirmed in 59 of his 133
Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional
13. Wallace (1999b) reports its
occurrence in 24 of her 29 Indo-Pacific
areas, many of which are larger than
Veron’s ecoregions. Richards (2009)
calculated the geographic range of A.
vaughani at over 80 million km2. The
public comments and information we
gathered provided nothing additional on
A. vaughani’s habitat and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. vaughani’s
abundance. Acropora vaughani is
reported to be uncommon. The public
comments did not provide
supplemental information on A.
vaughani’s abundance. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Richards et al. (2013b), which conclude
from their data that this species is
globally widespread, locally restricted,
and locally rare, and thus in the second
rarest category of Acropora with the
predicted consequence of local
extinction. Veron (2014) reports that A.
vaughani occupied 7.5 percent of 2,984
dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean
abundance rating of 1.69 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it
was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘common.’’ Overall abundance was
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described as ‘‘uncommon.’’ Veron did
not infer trends in abundance from
these data. As described in the IndoPacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least tens of millions
of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. vaughani, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 35 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 14
percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
vaughani occurs in many areas affected
by these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible
based on the limited species-specific
information.
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Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. vaughani’s
life history. Acropora vaughani is a
hermaphroditic spawner with
lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae. It is one
of several Acropora that achieve
reproductive isolation by spawning
earlier in the evening than other species.
The public comments and information
we gathered did not provide anything
additional to the above-described
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. vaughani’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acropora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection
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and trade. The SRR and SIR also
provided species-specific information
reporting that Acropora species
including A. vaughani suffered greater
than 90 percent mortality during the
1996 and 1998 bleaching events in the
southeastern Arabian Gulf, but that
portions of some A. vaughani survived,
contributing to potentially accelerated
recovery. The SRR and SIR did not
provide any other species-specific
information on the effects of these
threats on A. vaughani. We interpreted
the threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the
proposed rule for A. vaughani’s
vulnerabilities as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerabilities to disease,
ocean acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, nutrients, and predation, and
low vulnerabilities to sedimentation,
sea-level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments provided some
supplemental information on A.
vaughani’s threat susceptibilities. One
comment stated that A. vaughani is
more susceptible to predation than
indicated in the proposed rule because
of the overlap in the depth ranges of this
species with crown of thorns starfish.
We gathered the following speciesspecific and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Acropora vaughani has
been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching, but this rating
is not based on species-specific data
(Carpenter et al., 2008). All Acropora
species in the southeastern Arabian
Gulf, including A. vaughani, suffered
nearly complete mortality during the
1996 bleaching event (Riegl, 1999), but
some A. vaughani colonies survived the
1998 mass bleaching event (Riegl and
Piller, 2001). No other species-specific
information is available for the
susceptibility of A. vaughani to any
other threat. For the other threats, based
on information from other Acropora
species provided in the genus
description above, A. vaughani may be
susceptible to the effects of coral
disease, ocean acidification, predation,
sedimentation, nutrient enrichment,
trophic effects of fishing, sea-level rise,
and collection and trade. Thus, based on
the available species-specific and genus
information summarized above, A.
vaughani is likely highly susceptible to
ocean warming, and also likely has
some susceptibilities to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade. The
available information does not support
more precise ratings of the
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54033
susceptibilities of A. vaughani to the
threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. vaughani. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to the following analysis to attempt to
analyze regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that A.
vaughani occurs in 59 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 43 countries’
EEZs. The 43 countries are Australia,
Cambodia, China, Comoros Islands,
Djibouti, Egypt, Eritrea, Federated States
of Micronesia, Fiji, France (French
Pacific Island Territories), India
(Andaman and Nicobar Islands),
Indonesia, Israel, Japan, Jordan, Kenya,
Kiribati, Malaysia, Maldives, Marshall
Islands, Mauritius, Myanmar, New
Zealand (Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua
New Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Saudi
Arabia, Seychelles, Solomon Islands, Sri
Lanka, Sudan, Taiwan, Tanzania,
Thailand, Timor-Leste, Tonga, Tuvalu,
United Kingdom (British Indian Ocean
Territory), United States (CNMI, Guam,
American Samoa, PRIAs), Vietnam, and
Yemen. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to A. vaughani, described first
as the percentage of the above countries
that utilize them to any degree and
second, as the percentages of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms
may be limited in scope, are as follows:
General coral protection (28 percent
with five percent limited in scope),
coral collection (58 percent with 26
percent limited in scope), pollution
control (44 percent with seven percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on
reefs (91 percent with 19 percent
limited in scope), and managing areas
for protection and conservation (95
percent with nine percent limited in
scope). The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for A. vaughani
are reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are also
somewhat common for the species, but
26 percent of coral collection laws are
limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection. General coral
protection laws are much less
prominent regulatory mechanisms for
the management of A. vaughani.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
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susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that factors that reduce the potential
extinction risk for this species include
the broad global distribution, the wide
range of habitats occupied by A.
vaughani, its use in restoration and
replantation, and its known recovery
after bleaching events via tissue
remnants from within the reef
framework.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
vaughani, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes about half of the
coral reef ecoregions in the Indian
Ocean and western and central Pacific
Ocean. Its geographic distribution
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because some areas within its range are
projected to have less than average
warming and acidification over the
foreseeable future, including the
western Indian Ocean, the central
Pacific, and other areas, so portions of
the population in these areas will be
less exposed to severe conditions. Its
depth range is from low tide to 20 or 30
meters. This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower irradiance than
surface waters, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in
waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. Its
habitat includes turbid upper reef
slopes, mid-slope terraces, lagoons, and
adjacent habitats, and the depth range is
from low tide to 20 or 30 meters. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type
but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
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regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. Its
absolute abundance of at least tens of
millions of colonies, combined with
spatial variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
vaughani was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution
(based on wide geographic distribution
and moderate depth distribution (E);
and inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. vaughani
from threatened to not warranted. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on A.
vaughani’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
it is not warranted for listing at this
time, because:
(1) Acropora vaughani’s distribution
is spread over a very large area. While
some areas within its range are
projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, other areas are projected
to have less than average warming and
acidification, including the western
Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and
other areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies
reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not
occur uniformly throughout the species
range. As explained above in the
Threats Evaluation section, we have not
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identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Acropora vaughani’s total
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies, providing buffering capacity in
the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility
between individual colonies. As
discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs
section above, the more colonies a
species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to
a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will
not have the same response; and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast
grower, enhancing recovery potential
from mortality events as described in
the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
worsen in severity and the species’
exposure to the threats increases
throughout its range. Should the species
experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, A.
vaughani is not warranted for listing at
this time under any of the listing factors.
Acropora verweyi
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. verweyi’s
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as clumps with
noticeably rounded or bulb-like
corallites, and taxonomy was described
as having no taxonomic issues.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on morphology or taxonomy. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014) which states
that A. verweyi is distinctive, thus we
conclude it can be identified by experts
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and that the distribution and abundance
information described below for this
species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
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Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. verweyi’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Acropora verweyi is distributed from the
western Indian Ocean to the central
Pacific. The species has the 16th largest
range of 114 Acropora species. Its
habitat is predominantly lower reef
crests, upper reef slopes and other high
energy habitats and its depth range is to
at least 15 m.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on A. verweyi’s distribution. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports
that A. verweyi is confirmed in 63 of his
133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and
strongly predicted to be found in an
additional 17. Wallace (1999b) reports it
from 17 of her 29 Indo-Pacific areas,
many of which are larger than Veron’s
ecoregions. Richards (2009) calculated
the geographic range of A. verweyi at
over 100 million km2. Acropora verweyi
occurs in many different habitats,
including fringing reefs with turbid
water (Veron, 2000), and shallow reef
top and reef edge habitats (Wallace,
1999b). Acropora verweyi occurs on
upper reef slopes, especially those
exposed to wave action or currents
(Veron, 2014). Carpenter et al. (2008)
give the depth range for A. verweyi as
2 to 15 meters.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. verweyi’s
abundance. Acropora verweyi is
generally common, but can be locally
abundant, especially in the western
Indian Ocean. The public comments did
not provide any new or supplemental
information on A. verweyi’s abundance.
We gathered supplemental information,
including Richards et al. (2013b), which
concludes that the species is globally
widespread, locally widespread, and
locally rare. Veron (2014) reports that A.
verweyi occupied 4.7 percent of 2,984
dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean
abundance rating of 1.59 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it
was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘uncommon.’’ Overall abundance was
described as ‘‘occasionally common in
the western Indian Ocean.’’ Veron did
not infer trends in abundance from
these data. As described in the Indo-
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Pacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least tens of millions
of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. verweyi, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 37 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 15
percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
verweyi occurs in many areas affected
by these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. verweyi’s
life history. Acropora verweyi is a
hermaphroditic spawner that is a
participant in mass broadcast spawning
in some localities. The public comments
and information we gathered did not
provide anything additional to the
above-described biological information
based on the limited species-specific
information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. verweyi’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acropora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection
and trade. The SRR and SIR did not
provide any other species-specific
information on the effects of these
threats on A. verweyi. We interpreted
the threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the
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54035
proposed rule for A. verweyi’s
vulnerabilities as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerabilities to disease,
ocean acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, nutrients, and predation, and
low vulnerabilities to sedimentation,
sea-level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
verweyi’s threat susceptibilities. We
gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Acropora verweyi has
been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching and disease,
but these ratings are not based on
species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). Acropora verweyi tolerates high
temperatures in back-reef pools on Ofu,
American Samoa where corals are more
tolerant than elsewhere due to repeated
brief exposure to high temperatures
(Craig et al., 2001), although A. verweyi
is not abundant and acroporids still
bleach some in these pools (Fenner and
Heron, 2008). Acropora verweyi was
relatively resistant to bleaching in
Moorea during the 1991 warming event
(Gleason, 1993). Reduced carbonate
concentrations decrease calcification
rates in A. verweyi (Marubini et al.,
2003). While the overall magnitude of
calcification was similar to the other
coral species tested, A. verweyi showed
reductions in mineral density that other
species did not, potentially making it
more susceptible to bioerosion or
breaking from wave action (Marubini et
al., 2003). No other species-specific
information is available for the
susceptibility of A. verweyi to any other
threat. For the other threats, based on
information from other Acropora
species provided in the genus
description above, A. verweyi may be
susceptible to the effects of disease,
trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. Thus, based on the
available species-specific and genus
information summarized above, A.
verweyi is likely to have some
susceptibility to ocean warming,
disease, acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sealevel rise, predation, and collection and
trade. The available information does
not support more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of A. verweyi to the
threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. verweyi. Criticisms of our approach
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received during public comment led us
to the following analysis to attempt to
analyze regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that A.
verweyi occurs in 63 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 41 countries’
EEZs. The 41 countries are Australia,
Cambodia, China, Comoros Islands,
Egypt, Federated States of Micronesia,
Fiji, France (French Pacific Island
Territories), Indonesia, Israel, Japan,
Jordan, Kenya, Kiribati, Madagascar,
Malaysia, Maldives, Marshall Islands,
Mauritius, Myanmar, Nauru, New
Zealand (Cook Islands, Tokelau), Niue,
Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines,
Samoa, Saudi Arabia, Seychelles,
Solomon Islands, Sri Lanka, Sudan,
Taiwan, Tanzania, Thailand, Tonga,
Tuvalu, United Kingdom (Pitcairn
Islands), United States (CNMI, Guam,
American Samoa, PRIAs), Vanuatu, and
Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to A. verweyi, described first as
the percentage of the above countries
that utilize them to any degree and
second, as the percentages of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms
may be limited in scope, are as follows:
General coral protection (27 percent
with seven percent limited in scope),
coral collection (56 percent with 29
percent limited in scope), pollution
control (44 percent with seven percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on
reefs (90 percent with 22 percent
limited in scope), and managing areas
for protection and conservation (95
percent with 10 percent limited in
scope). The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for A. verweyi are
reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are also
somewhat common for the species, but
29 percent of coral collection laws are
limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection. General coral
protection laws are much less
prominent regulatory mechanisms for
the management of A. verweyi.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that the factors that increase the
potential extinction risk for A. verweyi
include the relatively high susceptibility
of the genus Acropora to common
threats. It listed factors that reduce the
potential extinction risk for A. verweyi
including its very wide latitudinal and
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longitudinal geographic range,
observations of occasional resistance to
thermal stress in shallow backreef pools,
and its relatively common abundance.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
verweyi, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes most of the coral
reef ecoregions in the Indian Ocean and
western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates
vulnerability to extinction because some
areas within its range are projected to
have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas, so
portions of the population in these areas
will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is from low
tide to at least 15 meters. On one hand,
its depth range may moderate
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas
of its range will usually have lower
irradiance than surface waters, and
acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper
and cooler than those in which the
species occurs. On the other hand, its
depth range may exacerbate
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future if the species occurs
predominantly in the shallower portion
of its depth range, since those areas will
have higher irradiance and thus be more
severely affected by warming-induced
bleaching. Its habitat includes lower reef
crests, upper reef slopes and other high
energy habitats. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is
not limited to one habitat type but
occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
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variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. In
addition, areas with good circulation
experience high levels of mixing which
can dilute adverse environmental
conditions. Its absolute abundance of at
least tens to hundreds of millions of
colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
verweyi was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
common generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderate overall
distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and shallow depth
distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. verweyi
from threatened to not warranted. No
supplemental information or public
comments changed our assessment of
the type and severity of threats affecting
A. verweyi. Rather, we made this
determination based on a more speciesspecific and holistic assessment of
whether this species meets the
definition of either a threatened or
endangered coral largely in response to
public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the
buffering capacity of this species’ spatial
and demographic traits to lessen its
vulnerability to threats. Thus, based on
the best available information above on
A. verweyi’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
it is not warranted for listing at this
time, because:
(1) Acropora verweyi’s distribution
across the Indian Ocean and most of the
Pacific Ocean is spread over a very large
area. While some areas within its range
are projected to be affected by warming
and acidification, other areas are
projected to have less than average
warming and acidification, including
the western Indian Ocean, the central
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Pacific, and other areas. This
distribution and the heterogeneous
habitats it occupies reduce exposure to
any given threat event or adverse
condition that does not occur uniformly
throughout the species range. As
explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Acropora verweyi’s absolute
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies, providing buffering capacity in
the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility
between individual colonies. As
discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs
section above, the more colonies a
species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to
a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will
not have the same response; and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast
grower, enhancing recovery potential
from mortality events as described in
the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
increase in severity and the species
exposure to threats increases throughout
its range. Despite its current
distribution, A. verweyi is characterized
as uncommon overall, thus its
abundance may not provide much
buffering capacity in terms of overall
numbers. In addition, A. verweyi
showed reductions in mineral density in
response to reduced carbonate
concentrations, potentially making it
more susceptible to bioerosion or
breaking from wave action as ocean
acidification increases. Should the
species experience reduced abundance
or range constriction of a certain
magnitude, the ability of its range to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, A.
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verweyi is not warranted for listing at
this time under any of the listing factors.
Genus Anacropora
The family Acroporidae includes five
genera, Acropora, Montipora,
Astreopora, Isopora, and Anacropora.
Anacropora contains seven species, all
occurring in the Indo-Pacific. Like most
Acropora species, colonies of
Anacropora species are branching.
Unlike Acropora, there is no corallite on
the tip of the branches of Anacropora
colonies, a diagnostic characteristic of
Acropora (Veron, 2000). Anacropora is
morphologically like branching
Montipora without an encrusting base
(Veron and Wallace, 1985). The SRR
and SIR provided the following genuslevel introductory information on
Anacropora. Morphologic taxonomy has
been unable to resolve whether
Anacropora are recently derived from
Montipora or from Acropora, but genetic
evidence supports the former view.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus
Anacropora. The bleaching
susceptibility in the genus Anacropora
is not well known. In the 1998
bleaching event in Palau, Anacropora
colonies (not identified to species) were
moderately affected relative to other
coral genera, with total mortality of
some Anacropora colonies in some
limited areas, while those in other areas
were unaffected. This was a major
bleaching event, with 48 percent
bleaching overall (all coral species
combined), and bleaching and mortality
of different genera and species ranging
from zero to nearly 100 percent (Bruno
et al., 2001). With regard to predation,
A. puertogalerae have been reported to
be only preyed on by wrasses in
proportion to its availability (Cole et al.,
2010). With regard to sedimentation and
nutrients, some Anacropora species
appear resistant to both these threats
while others appear susceptible
(Mohammed and Mohammed, 2005).
Collection and trade in the genus
Anacropora has been reported to be
negligible, with only 14 pieces reported
in export over the last decade (CITES,
2010).
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on the threat susceptibilities of the
genus Anacropora. We gathered
supplemental information that provided
the following. One study reported that
disease was not found on Anacropora at
a site in Indonesia, while the taxon with
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the highest prevalence out of 25 taxa
had 8 percent prevalence of disease
(Haapkyla et al., 2007).
Genus Conclusion
Genus Introduction
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Based on the information from the
SRR, SIR, public comments, and
information we gathered, we can make
the following inferences about the
susceptibilities of an unstudied
Anacropora species to ocean warming,
disease, acidification, sedimentation,
nutrients, trophic effects of fishing, sealevel rise, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR rated ocean warming
and disease as ‘‘high’’ importance, and
ocean acidification as ‘‘medium-high’’
importance, to corals. These were rated
as the three most important threats to
reef-building corals overall. The one
available study on the effects of ocean
warming on Anacropora reported
variable thermal-induced bleaching
within the genus (Bruno et al., 2001).
While there is no other genus-level or
species-specific information on the
susceptibilities of Anacropora species to
ocean warming, the SRR rated it as
‘‘high’’ importance to corals. Thus, we
conclude that an unstudied Anacropora
species has some susceptibility to ocean
warming. Similarly for ocean
acidification, while there is no genuslevel or species-specific information on
the susceptibilities of Anacropora
species to ocean acidification, the SRR
rated it as ‘‘medium-high’’ importance
to corals. Thus, we conclude that an
unstudied Anacropora species has some
susceptibility to ocean acidification.
The one available study on the effects of
disease on Anacropora reported no
disease on Anacropora colonies
(Haapkyla et al., 2007). However, this
single study is inadequate to imply
susceptibility level for all Anacropora
species, thus we conclude that
Anacropora has some susceptibility to
disease.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of
fishing as ‘‘medium’’ importance, the
fourth most important threat to corals
overall. This threat was not addressed at
the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level
process. That is, removal of herbivorous
fish from coral reef systems by fishing
alters trophic interactions by reducing
herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae
over coral. Thus, the SRR did not
discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa,
as its effects are difficult to distinguish
between coral genera and species.
Therefore, an unstudied Anacropora
species is likely to have some
susceptibility to the trophic effects of
fishing.
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The SRR rated sedimentation,
nutrients, and sea-level rise as ‘‘lowmedium’’ importance to corals overall.
The one available study on the effects of
sedimentation and nutrients
(Mohammed and Mohammed, 2005) on
Anacropora species suggest either
intermediate or variable susceptibilities.
Thus we conclude that an unstudied
Anacropora species has some
susceptibility to sedimentation and
nutrients. Sea-level rise was not
addressed at the genus or species level
in the SRR or SIR. Increasing sea levels
may increase land-based sources of
pollution due to inundation, resulting in
changes to coral community structure,
thus an unstudied Anacropora species
is likely to have some susceptibility to
sea-level rise. The SRR rated predation
and ornamental trade (referred to in the
proposed rule as Collection and Trade)
as ‘‘low’’ importance to corals overall.
The one available study on the effects of
predation (Cole et al., 2010) on
Anacropora species suggest either
intermediate or variable susceptibility,
thus we conclude that an unstudied
Anacropora species has some
susceptibility to predation. Because the
available information suggests that
Anacropora species are lightly collected
and traded, an unstudied Anacropora
species is likely to have low
susceptibility to collection and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied
Anacropora species is likely to have
some susceptibility to ocean warming,
disease, ocean acidification,
sedimentation, nutrients, trophic effects
of fishing, sea-level rise, predation, and
low susceptibility to collection and
trade.
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Anacropora puertogalerae
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A.
puertogalerae’s morphology and
taxonomy. Morphology was described
as compact branches, typically less than
13 mm in diameter and tapering, with
thin spines under corallites, and
taxonomy was described as having no
taxonomic issues but being similar in
appearance to A. spinosa and A. forbesi.
The public comments and
information we gathered did not
provide any new or supplemental
information on morphology, and
confirmed that there are no known
taxonomic problems for A.
puertogalerae, but that there is a
moderate level of species identification
uncertainty for this species. However,
the species can be identified by experts
(Fenner, 2014b), thus we conclude that
the distribution and abundance
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information described below for this
species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A.
puertogalerae’s distribution, habitat,
and depth range. Anacropora
puertogalerae’s distribution is the Coral
Triangle and western equatorial Pacific,
plus southern Japan to the GBR. Its
habitat includes both coral reef and nonreefal environments, including upper
reef slopes, mid-slopes, and lagoons on
reefs, and various substrates in nonreefal areas. Its depth range as five to at
least 20 meters depth.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on A. puertogalerae’s distribution. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports
that A. puertogalerae is confirmed in 26
of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and
strongly predicted to be found in an
additional seven.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A.
puertogalerae’s abundance. Anacropora
puertogalerae is reported to be
uncommon but can form large thickets
in the Philippines.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on A. puertogalerae’s abundance. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which states
that it is sometimes a dominant species
where it occurs. Veron (2014) reports
that A. puertogalerae occupied 4.6
percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in
30 ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and
had a mean abundance rating of 2.02 on
a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in
which it was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘uncommon.’’ Overall abundance was
also described as ‘‘uncommon.’’ Veron
did not infer trends in abundance from
these data. As described in the IndoPacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least tens of millions
of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. puertogalerae, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 38 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
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Reduction’’) was estimated at 15
percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
puertogalerae occurs in many areas
affected by these broad changes, and
that it has some susceptibility to both
global and local threats, we conclude
that it is likely to have declined in
abundance over the past 50 to 100 years,
but a precise quantification is not
possible based on the limited speciesspecific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A.
puertogalerae’s life history. Anacropora
puertogalerae has been reported to be a
simultaneous hermaphrodite and a
broadcast spawner. Clonal structure
suggests the species also reproduces by
fragmentation. Larvae contain
zooxanthellae that can supplement
maternal provisioning with energy
sources provided by their
photosynthesis. The public comments
and information we gathered provided
no additional biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. puertogalerae’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acropora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection
and trade. The SRR and SIR provided
the following species-specific
information on A. puertogalerae’s
threats. In a two month study in Kimbe
Bay, PNG, it was observed that A.
puertogalerae was only preyed on by
wrasses in proportion to its availability
(Cole et al., 2010). The SRR and SIR did
not provide any other species-specific
information on the effects of these
threats on A. puertogalerae. We
interpreted the threat susceptibility and
exposure information from the SRR and
SIR in the proposed rule for A.
puertogalerae’s vulnerabilities as
follows: High vulnerability to ocean
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warming, moderate vulnerability to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, nutrients and
predation, and low vulnerability to
sedimentation, sea level rise, predation,
and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
puertogalerae’s threat susceptibilities.
We gathered the following speciesspecific and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Anacropora
puertogalerae has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to
bleaching and disease, but these ratings
are not based on species-specific data
(Carpenter et al., 2008). Based on the
genus and species-specific information
described above, A. puertogalerae likely
has some susceptibility to ocean
warming, disease, acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, and predation,
and low susceptibility to collection and
trade. The available information does
not support more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of A. puertogalerae to
the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. puertogalerae. Criticisms of our
approach received during public
comment led us to the following
analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records
confirm that A. puertogalerae occurs in
26 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that
encompass 16 countries’ EEZs. The 16
countries are Australia, Brunei, China,
Fiji, France (French Pacific Island
Territories), Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia,
Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines,
Solomon Islands, Taiwan, Timor-Leste,
Vanuatu, and Vietnam. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to A.
puertogalerae, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that
utilize them, to any degree and second,
as the percentages of those countries
whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (38 percent with 6
percent limited in scope), coral
collection (69 percent with 38 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (44
percent with 19 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (100
percent with 19 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (100
percent with none limited in scope).
The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for A.
puertogalerae are reef fishing
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regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral
collection and pollution control laws
are also somewhat common for the
species, but 38 percent of coral
collection laws are limited in scope and
may not provide substantial protection.
General coral protection laws are much
less common regulatory mechanisms for
the management of A. puertogalerae.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that ‘‘factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for A. puertogalerae are
that the high susceptibility to threats
common to members of the genus
Acropora (bleaching, disease, and
predation) are generally considered
appropriate to species in the confamilial
genus Anacropora as well.’’ It noted that
a factor that reduces potential extinction
risk is that A. puertogalerae has a
somewhat broad range.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
puertogalerae, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes many of the coral
reef ecoregions in the western and
central Pacific Ocean; the Coral Triangle
and western equatorial Pacific, plus
southern Japan to the GBR. On one
hand, this moderates vulnerability to
extinction because the high latitude
areas in the northern and southern
portions of its range are projected to
have less than average warming over the
foreseeable future, thus populations in
these areas will be less exposed to
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54039
severe warming conditions. On the
other hand, the species’ geographic
distribution exacerbates vulnerability to
extinction because much of it lies
within the western equatorial Pacific, an
area projected to have the highest
seawater temperatures in the foreseeable
future. Its depth range is from five to at
least 20 meters. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas
of its range will usually have lower
irradiance than surface waters, and
acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper
and cooler than those in which the
species occurs. Its habitat includes both
coral reef and non-reefal environments,
including upper reef slopes, mid-slopes,
and lagoons on reefs, and various
substrates in non-reefal areas. This is
particularly important for moderating
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is
not limited to one habitat type but
occurs in numerous types of reef and
non-reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience
highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. Its absolute abundance of at least
tens of millions of colonies, combined
with spatial variability in ocean
warming and acidification across the
species range, moderates vulnerability
to extinction because the increasingly
severe conditions expected in the
foreseeable future will be non-uniform
and therefore will likely be a large
number of colonies that are either not
exposed or do not negatively respond to
a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
puertogalerae was proposed for listing
as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderate overall
distribution (based on moderate
geographic distribution and moderate
depth distribution (E); and inadequacy
of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A.
puertogalerae from threatened to not
warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and
holistic assessment of whether this
species meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
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traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on A.
puertogalerae’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
is not warranted for listing at this time,
because:
(1) Anacropora puertogalerae’s
distribution is spread over a very large
area. While some areas within its range
are projected to be affected by warming
and acidification, other areas are
projected to have less than average
warming, including high latitude areas
in both the northern and southern
portions of the species’ range. This
distribution and the heterogeneous
habitats it occupies reduce exposure to
any given threat event or adverse
condition that does not occur uniformly
throughout the species range. As
explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Anacropora puertogalerae occurs
in very diverse habitats, including both
coral reef and non-reefal habitats so the
species will experience a variety of
environmental conditions at any given
time; and
(3) Anacropora puertogalerae’s
absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering
capacity in the form of absolute
numbers of colonies and variation in
susceptibility between individual
colonies. As discussed in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section above, the more
colonies a species has, the lower the
proportion of colonies that are likely to
be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that
are exposed will not have the same
response.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
increase in severity and the species
exposure to threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience
reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
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moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future.
Therefore, A. puertogalerae is not
warranted for listing at this time under
any of the listing factors.
Anacropora spinosa
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. spinosa’s
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as compact branches, less
than 10 mm in diameter and tapering.
They have elongate, crowded, irregular
spines that are not strongly tapered, and
taxonomy was described as having no
taxonomic issues but being similar in
appearance to Anacropora
puertogalerae.
The public comments and
information we gathered did not
provide information on morphology,
and confirmed that there are no known
taxonomic problems for A. spinosa and
that there is a moderate level of species
identification uncertainty for this
species. Veron (2014) states that A.
spinosa is easily confused with
Anacropora puertogalerae. However,
the species can be identified by experts
(Fenner, 2014b), thus we conclude that
the distribution and abundance
information described below for this
species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. spinosa’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Anacropora spinosa’s distribution is the
Coral Triangle and southern Japan. Its
habitat includes both coral reef and nonreefal environments, including upper
reef slopes, mid-slopes, and lagoons on
reefs, and various substrates in nonreefal areas. Its depth range is five to 15
meters deep.
The public comments provided the
following information that a photograph
of A. spinosa that appeared in Veron
(2000) was erroneously attributed to
Guam but was actually taken in Palau.
We gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports
that A. spinosa is confirmed in 13 of his
133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and
strongly predicted to be found in an
additional six.
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Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. spinosa’s
abundance. Its abundance is reported to
be uncommon, but it may occur in
extensive tracts in certain areas.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on A. spinosa’s abundance. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that A.
spinosa occupied 1.5 percent of 2,984
dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean
abundance rating of 1.84 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it
was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘uncommon,’’ and overall abundance
was described as ‘‘usually uncommon.’’
Veron did not infer trends in abundance
from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. spinosa, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 58 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 22 percent
in the study. However, as summarized
above in the Inter-basin Comparison
sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
spinosa occurs in many areas affected
by these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible
based on the limited species-specific
information.
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Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. spinosa’s
life history: Anacropora spinosa has
been reported to be a simultaneous
hermaphrodite that broadcast spawns
mature gametes. Planula larvae contain
zooxanthellae that can supplement
maternal provisioning with energy
sources provided by their
photosynthesis. The public comments
and information we gathered did not
provide anything additional to the
above-described biological information.
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Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. spinosa’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Anacropora of ocean
warming, acidification, disease,
predation, sedimentation, nutrients, and
collection and trade. The SRR and SIR
provided the following species-specific
information on A. spinosa’s threats. The
only known export of A. spinosa was a
single specimen from Indonesia in 2005.
We interpreted the threat susceptibility
and exposure information from the SRR
and SIR in the proposed rule for A.
spinosa’s vulnerabilities as follows:
High vulnerability to ocean warming;
moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of reef
fishing, nutrients, and predation, and
low vulnerability to sedimentation, sea
level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
spinosa’s threat susceptibilities, but we
gathered species-specific and genuslevel supplemental information on this
species’ threat exposures. Anacropora
spinosa has been rated as moderately or
highly susceptible to bleaching and
disease, but these ratings are not based
on species-specific data (Carpenter et
al., 2008). No other species-specific
information is available for the
susceptibility of A. spinosa to any other
threat.
Based on information provided in the
genus description above, A. spinosa
likely has some susceptibilities to ocean
warming, disease, acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and
low susceptibility to collection and
trade. The available information does
not support more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of A. spinosa to the
threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
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A. spinosa. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to the following analysis to attempt to
analyze regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that A.
spinosa occurs in 13 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass six
countries’ EEZs. The six countries are
Indonesia, Japan, Palau, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, and the Solomon
Islands. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to A. spinosa, described first as
the percentage of the above countries
that utilize them to any degree and
second, as the percentages of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms
may be limited in scope, are as follows:
General coral protection (17 percent
with none limited in scope), coral
collection (67 percent with 33 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (17
percent with 17 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (100
percent with none limited in scope),
and managing areas for protection and
conservation (100 percent with none
limited in scope). The most common
regulatory mechanisms in place for A.
spinosa are reef fishing regulations and
area management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection laws are
also somewhat common for the species,
but 33 percent of coral collection laws
are limited in scope and may not
provide substantial protection. General
coral protection and pollution control
laws are much less common regulatory
mechanisms for the management of A.
spinosa.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for A. spinosa are that
the high susceptibility to threats
common to members of the genus
Acropora (bleaching, disease, and
predation) are generally considered
appropriate to species in the confamilial
genus Anacropora as well.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
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species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
spinosa, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution is limited to the Coral
Triangle and southern Japan. Despite
the large number of islands and
environments that are included in the
species’ range, this range exacerbates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because it is mostly
limited to an area projected to have the
most rapid and severe impacts from
climate change and localized human
impacts for coral reefs over the 21st
century. Its depth range is five to 15
meters On one hand, its depth range
may moderate vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower irradiance than
surface waters, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in
waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. On
the other hand, its depth range may
exacerbate vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future if the species
occurs predominantly in the shallower
portion of its depth range, since those
areas will have higher irradiance and
thus be more severely affected by
warming-induced bleaching. Its habitat
includes upper reef slopes, mid-slopes,
and lagoons on reefs, and various
substrates in non-reefal areas. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type
but occurs in numerous types of reef
and non-reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience
highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. There is not enough information
about its abundance to determine if it
moderates or exacerbates extinction: It
is uncommon and has at least millions
of colonies, but the great majority of the
population is within an area expected to
be severely impacted by threats over the
foreseeable future.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
spinosa was proposed for listing as
endangered because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
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Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); narrow overall
distribution (based on narrow
geographic distribution and shallow
depth distribution (E); and inadequacy
of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. spinosa
from endangered to threatened. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information provided above on
A. spinosa’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management indicate that it is likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
warrants listing as threatened at this
time, because:
(1) Anacropora spinosa is likely to be
susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), disease (C), ocean
acidification (E), trophic effects of
fishing (A), nutrients (A, E), and
predation (C). In addition, existing
regulatory mechanisms to address global
threats that contribute to extinction risk
for this species are inadequate (D); and
(2) Anacropora spinosa’s distribution
is constrained almost entirely within the
Coral Triangle, which is projected to
have the most rapid and severe impacts
from climate change and localized
human impacts for coral reefs over the
21st century, as described in the Threats
Evaluation. Multiple ocean warming
events have already occurred within the
western equatorial Pacific that suggest
future ocean warming events may be
more severe than average in this part of
the world. A range constrained to this
particular geographic area that is likely
to experience severe and increasing
threats indicates that a high proportion
of the population of this species is likely
to be exposed to those threats over the
foreseeable future.
The combination of these
characteristics and projections of future
threats indicates that the species is
likely to be in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range and warrants listing as
threatened at this time due to factors A,
C, D, and E.
The available information above on A.
spinosa’s spatial structure, demography,
threat susceptibilities, and management
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also indicate that the species is not
currently in danger of extinction and
thus does not warrant listing as
Endangered because:
(1) While A. spinosa’s distribution is
constrained almost entirely to the Coral
Triangle which increases it extinction
risk as described above, its habitat
includes shallow reef environments,
generally in clear or slightly turbid
water and on soft substrates of lower
reef slopes, and it has also been found
in non-reef environments. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
currently because the species is not
limited to one habitat type but occurs in
numerous types of reef and non-reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time, as
described in more detail in the Coral
Habitat and Threats Evaluation sections.
There is no evidence to suggest that the
species is so spatially fragmented that
depensatory processes, environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for
catastrophic events currently pose a
high risk to the survival of the species;
and
(2) Anacropora spinosa’s absolute
abundance is at least millions of
colonies which allows for variation in
the responses of individuals to threats to
play a role in moderating vulnerability
to extinction for the species to some
degree, as described in more detail in
the Corals and Coral Reefs section.
There is no evidence of depensatory
processes such as reproductive failure
from low density of reproductive
individuals and genetic processes such
as inbreeding affecting this species.
Thus, its absolute abundance indicates
it is currently able to avoid high
mortality from environmental
stochasticity, and mortality of a high
proportion of its population from
catastrophic events.
The combination of these
characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of
one that is currently in danger of
extinction, as described previously in
the Risk Analyses section, and thus does
not warrant listing as endangered at this
time.
Range-wide, a multitude of
conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting A.
spinosa. However, considering the
global scale of the most important
threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at
addressing the root cause of global
threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not
believe that any current conservation
efforts or conservation efforts planned
in the future will result in affecting the
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species status to the point at which
listing is not warranted.
Genus Astreopora
Genus Introduction
The family Acroporidae includes five
genera, Acropora, Montipora,
Astreopora, Isopora, and Anacropora.
Astreopora contains 15 species, all
occurring in the Indo-Pacific (Veron,
2000; Wallace et al., 2011). Unlike
Acropora and Anacropora species,
Astreopora colonies are massive,
laminar, or encrusting. The SRR and SIR
provided no genus-level introductory
information on Astreopora.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Astreopora.
Astreopora species can be susceptible to
bleaching, although overall Astreopora
species are less susceptible to bleaching
than other genera within the family
Acroporidae, and often survive when
they do bleach. Congeners have
contracted a fungal disease in Kenya,
and Astreopora myriophthalma was
infected with black-band disease at a
polluted site in Jordan. Trade in the
genus Astreopora has been reported to
be light and sporadic.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on the threat susceptibilities of the
genus Astreopora, but the supplemental
information provided the following. In
Palau in 1998, Astreopora species had
moderate levels of bleaching and
moderate mortality (Bruno et al., 2001).
In Kenya in 1998, three quarters of
Astreopora species within marine
protected areas were affected by mass
bleaching. Although many Astreopora
colonies bleached, none died. Of the 18
genera included in the study, five
genera including Astreopora had some
bleaching but no mortality, and the
bleaching index for Astreopora was the
fifth lowest of the 18 genera
(McClanahan et al., 2004; McClanahan
et al., 2001). In Thailand in 1998 and
2010, all colonies of Astreopora
myriophthalma completely bleached,
but in both events, all colonies
completely recovered (Sutthacheep et
al., 2013). In Mauritius in 2004, the
Astreopora genus had the 23rd highest
bleaching rate of the 32 genera recorded,
and 12 percent of the highest value
(McClanahan et al., 2005a). In eight
countries in the western Indian Ocean
in 1998–2005, the Astreopora genus had
the 21st highest bleaching rate of the 45
genera recorded, and 39 percent of the
highest value (McClanahan et al.,
2007a).
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On the GBR, Astreopora species had
a very low level of Black Band Disease
occurrence, just two percent the level of
this disease found in Acropora species
at the same sites (Page and Willis, 2006).
Likewise, another study from the GBR
reported that Astreopora species had
low susceptibility to Skeletal Eroding
Band, with a prevalence of 0.1 percent.
Skeletal Eroding Band is the most
prevalent coral disease on the GBR
(Page and Willis, 2007). In New
Caledonia, Astreopora was reported to
have a disease prevalence of 0.5 percent,
which was the fifth highest prevalence
of 12 genera reported (Tribollet et al.,
2011). In Indonesia, Astreopora had a
disease prevalence of 1.5 percent, which
was the 2nd highest reported among 35
taxa (Haapkyla et al., 2007).
In a study of sediment rejection in 22
coral species (including one Astreopora
species), A. myriophthalma cleared 98
percent of the sediment within 48
hours, the seventh most efficient of the
22 species at clearing sediment
(Stafford-Smith, 1993). Astreopora
species trade has been reported to be
light and sporadic (CITES, 2010). There
is no information available on the
effects of any other threat for Astreopora
species.
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the
SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make
the following inferences about the
susceptibilities of an unstudied
Astreopora species to ocean warming,
disease, acidification, sedimentation,
nutrients, trophic effects of fishing, sealevel rise, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR rated ocean warming
and disease as ‘‘high’’ importance, and
ocean acidification as ‘‘medium-high’’
importance, to corals. These were rated
as the three most important threats to
reef-building corals overall. The studies
cited above on thermal stress in
Astreopora report moderate levels of
bleaching in response to warming
events, but low mortality levels. The
studies cited above report variable
levels of disease in Astreopora. Thus,
we conclude that Astreopora has some
susceptibility to ocean warming and
disease. Although there is no genuslevel or species-specific information on
the susceptibilities of Astreopora
species to ocean acidification, the SRR
rated it as ‘‘medium-high’’ importance
to corals. Thus, we conclude that an
unstudied Astreopora species has some
susceptibility to ocean acidification.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of
fishing as ‘‘medium’’ importance, the
fourth most important threat to corals
overall. This threat was not addressed at
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the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level
process. That is, removal of herbivorous
fish from coral reef systems by fishing
alters trophic interactions by reducing
herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae
over coral. Thus, the SRR did not
discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa,
as its effects are difficult to distinguish
between coral genera and species.
Therefore, an unstudied Astreopora
species is likely to have some
susceptibility to the trophic effects of
fishing.
The SRR rated sedimentation,
nutrients, and sea-level rise as ‘‘lowmedium’’ importance to corals overall.
The study cited above reports high
sediment rejection efficiency in A.
myriophthalma. This one study is
inadequate to rate the susceptibility as
low, thus we conclude that Astreopora
has some susceptibility to
sedimentation. Although there is no
genus-level or species-specific
information on the susceptibilities of
Astreopora species to nutrients, the SRR
rated it as ‘‘low-medium’’ importance to
corals. Thus, we conclude that an
unstudied Astreopora species has some
susceptibility to nutrients. Sea-level rise
was not addressed at the genus or
species level in the SRR or SIR.
Increasing sea levels may increase landbased sources of pollution due to
inundation, resulting in changes to coral
community structure, thus an unstudied
Astreopora species is likely to have
some susceptibility to sea-level rise.
Although there is no genus-level or
species-specific information on the
susceptibilities of Astreopora species to
predation, there is no information
suggesting they are not susceptible to
these threats. Thus, we conclude that an
unstudied Astreopora species has some
susceptibility to predation. The SRR
rated ornamental trade (referred to in
the proposed rule as Collection and
Trade) as ‘‘low’’ importance to corals
overall. Although there is no other
genus-level or species-specific
information on the susceptibilities of
Astreopora species to collection and
trade, there is no information suggesting
they are not susceptible to these threats.
Thus we conclude that an unstudied
Astreopora species is likely to have
some susceptibility to collection and
trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied
Astreopora species is likely to have
some susceptibility to ocean warming,
disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade.
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Astreopora cucullata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. cucullata’s
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as thick or encrusting
platy colonies, with inclined corallites,
and taxonomy was described as having
no taxonomic issues but being similar to
Astreopora scabra.
The public comments and
information we gathered did not
provide information on morphology,
and confirmed that there are no known
taxonomic problems for A. cucullata,
but that there is a high level of species
identification uncertainty for this
species. Veron (Veron, 2014) states that
A. cucullata is not readily distinguished
from other Astreopora but Veron
(Lamberts, 1980; Lamberts, 1982; Veron,
2000) considers it a valid species, thus
we conclude it is sufficiently distinctive
to be identified by experts, and that the
distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is
sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. cucullata’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Astreopora cucullata’s distribution is a
broad distribution, from the Red Sea
and central Indo-Pacific to the central
Pacific. The SRR and SIR described A.
cucullata’s habitat as protected reef
environments, and the depth range as
five to 15 m. The public comments
provided the following information.
One comment stated that A. cucculata
was recorded from Apra Harbor, Guam,
but no sample or photo was provided
for confirmation. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that A.
cucullata is confirmed in 31 of his 133
Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional
15. Astreopora cucullata occurs in most
reef environments except reef flats
(Lamberts, 1980; Lamberts, 1982; Veron,
2000). It has been reported as ‘‘found
only in deep waters at reef edges’’
(Lamberts, 1980), and is likely to have
a depth range of approximately 3 m to
at least 20 m. Fenner (personal comm.)
reports it is on outer reef slopes in
American Samoa. Thus, based on all the
available information, A. cucullata’s
habitat includes most coral reef habitats,
including at least upper reef slopes,
mid-slope terraces, lower reef slopes,
lower reef crests, and lagoons in depths
ranging from two to 20 m depth.
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Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. cucullata’s
abundance. Astreopora cucullata is
reported as rare. The SIR reported it is
common in parts of its range such as in
American Samoa (Fenner et al., 2008)
and Guam (Lamberts, 1982). Astreopora
cucullata was found in 10 of 51 sites
(Donnelly et al., 2003) and four of 39
sites (Turak and DeVantier, 2003) in
Indonesian national park surveys.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on A. cucullata’s abundance. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports
that A. cucullata occupied 6.8 percent
of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had
a mean abundance rating of 1.25 on a 1
to 5 rating scale at those sites in which
it was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘uncommon,’’ and overall abundance
was described as ‘‘rare.’’ Veron did not
infer trends in abundance from these
data. As described in the Indo-Pacific
Species Determinations introduction
above, based on results from Richards et
al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at
least tens of millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. cucullata, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 34 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 13
percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
cucullata occurs in many areas affected
by these broad changes, and has some
susceptibility to both global and local
threats, we conclude that it is likely to
have declined in abundance over the
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past 50 to 100 years, but a precise
quantification is not possible based on
the limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. cucullata’s
life history. Reproductive characteristics
of A. cucullata have not been
determined. However, other species in
the Astreopora genus (Astreopora
gracilis, Astreopora myriophthalma,
and Astreopora listeri) are
hermaphroditic broadcast spawners.
The public comments and information
we gathered provided no additional
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. cucullata’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Astreopora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection
and trade. The SRR and SIR provided
the following species-specific
information on A. cucullata’s threats. A
single A. cucullata export was reported
from Saudi Arabia in 1999. The SRR
and SIR did not provide any other
species-specific information on the
effects of these threats on A. cucullata.
We interpreted the threat susceptibility
and exposure information from the SRR
and SIR in the proposed rule for A.
cucullata’s vulnerabilities as follows:
High vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of reef
fishing, and nutrients, and low
vulnerability to sedimentation, sea level
rise, predation, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
cucullata’s threats, but we gathered
species-specific and genus-level
supplemental information on this
species’ threat exposures,
susceptibilities, and vulnerabilities.
Astreopora cucullata has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to
bleaching and disease, but these ratings
are not based on species-specific data
(Carpenter et al., 2008). No other
species-specific information is available
for the susceptibility of A. cucullata to
any other threat. Based on the available
genus-level and species information
summarized above, A. cucullata likely
has some susceptibilities to ocean
warming, disease, acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, predation, sea-level rise, and
collection and trade. The available
information does not support more
precise ratings of susceptibilities of A.
cucullata to the threats.
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Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. cucullata. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to the following analysis to attempt to
analyze regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that A.
cucullata occurs in 31 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 30 countries’
EEZs. The 30 countries are Australia,
Brunei, China, Djibouti, Egypt,
Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji,
France (French Pacific Island
Territories), Indonesia, Israel, Jordan,
Malaysia, Marshall Islands, Myanmar,
New Zealand (Tokelau), Niue, Palau,
Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Samoa,
Saudi Arabia, Solomon Islands, Sudan,
Thailand, Timor-Leste, Tonga, Tuvalu,
United States (American Samoa, Guam),
Vietnam, and Yemen. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to A. cucullata,
described first as the percentage of the
above countries that utilize them to any
degree and second, as the percentages of
those countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope,
are as follows: General coral protection
(23 percent with 0 percent limited in
scope), coral collection (67 percent with
30 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (50 percent with 10 percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on
reefs (87 percent with 17 percent
limited in scope), and managing areas
for protection and conservation (97
percent with 10 percent limited in
scope). The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for A. cucullata
are reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are also
somewhat common for the species, but
30 percent of coral collection laws are
limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection. General coral
protection laws are much less common
regulatory mechanisms for the
management of A. cucullata.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for A. cucullata are its
rarity and that it belongs to a family that
is highly susceptible to stress. It listed
factors that reduce the potential
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extinction risk including a widespread
distribution and the fact that it appears
to be less vulnerable to bleaching than
other species in its family.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
cucullata, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes the Red Sea, parts
of the western Indian Ocean, and most
of the ecoregions throughout the
western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates
vulnerability to extinction because some
areas within its range are projected to
have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas, so
portions of the population in these areas
will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is from two
to 20 meters. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas
of its range will usually have lower
irradiance than surface waters, and
acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper
and cooler than those in which the
species occurs. Its habitat includes at
least upper reef slopes, mid-slope
terraces, lower reef slopes, lower reef
crests, and lagoons. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is
not limited to one habitat type but
occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. Its
absolute abundance of at least tens of
millions of colonies, combined with
spatial variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
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because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
cucullata was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
common generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderate overall
distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and shallow depth
distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. cucullata
from threatened to not warranted. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on A.
cucullata’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
is not warranted for listing at this time,
because:
(1) Astreopora cucullata’s distribution
in the Red Sea, central Indo-Pacific, and
the central Pacific Ocean is spread over
a very large area. While some areas
within its range are projected to be
affected by warming and acidification,
other areas are projected to have less
than average warming and acidification,
including the central Pacific, and other
areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies
reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not
occur uniformly throughout the species
range. As explained above in the
Threats Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future; and
(2) While A. cucullata’s qualitative
abundance is characterized as rare, its
absolute abundance at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering
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capacity in the form of absolute
numbers of colonies and variation in
susceptibility between individual
colonies. As discussed in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section above, the more
colonies a species has, the lower the
proportion of colonies that are likely to
be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that
are exposed will not have the same
response.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
increase in severity and the species
exposure to threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience
reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, A.
cucullata is not warranted for listing at
this time under any of the listing factors.
Genus Isopora
Genus Introduction
The family Acroporidae includes five
genera, Acropora, Montipora,
Astreopora, Isopora, and Anacropora.
Isopora was formerly considered a subgenus of Acropora, but was recently
elevated to genus level (Wallace et al.,
2007). The genus contains seven
species, all occurring in the IndoPacific. Isopora have branching or
encrusting colonies. The SRR and SIR
provided no genus-level introductory
information on Isopora.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Isopora.
Isopora cuneata has intermediate
bleaching susceptibility relative to other
acroporids but showed severe losses in
a 2006 mass bleaching event in the
Marshall Islands, with only shaded
bases of colonies surviving. Isopora
cuneata was a common species in the
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Acropora palifera zone of the Chagos,
but I. cuneata was nearly completely
eliminated in 1998 and has not yet
regenerated. Competition with algae
significantly reduces growth rates of I.
cuneata. At high latitude Lord Howe
Island, I. cuneata was found to host five
types of C zooxanthellae, with an ability
to host specialized types in turbid
environments. The species is also
capable of photo-adapting to low light
environments by increasing
zooxanthellae density altering
photosynthetic mechanisms (dark
reaction enzymes or electron transport
rates).
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on the threat susceptibilities of the
genus Isopora. We gathered
supplemental information that provided
the following material. A large study of
the bleaching responses of over 100
coral species on the GBR to the 2002
bleaching event included three Isopora
species (Done et al., 2003b). At that
time, Isopora species were still
considered Acropora species, and they
are listed in the report as Acropora
palifera, A. cuneata, and A.
brueggemanni, but these three species
are now referred to as Isopora palifera,
I. cuneata, and I. brueggemanni. For I.
palifera, approximately 42 percent of
the observed colonies were bleached,
resulting in I. palifera being more
affected than 43 of the 45 Acropora
species in the study, and one of the 20
most affected species in the study. For
I. cuneata and I. brueggemanni,
approximately 20 percent of the
observed colonies for both species were
bleached, an intermediate bleaching
level compared to the 45 Acropora
species in the study (Done et al., 2003b).
In response to a 2008 bleaching event in
Papua New Guinea, two Pocilloporidae
and 14 Acroporidae species (including I.
brueggemanni) were monitored: five of
the 16 species had severe or high
‘‘relative susceptibility’’ to bleaching,
(including I. brueggemanni, which was
rated as high). All 29 I. brueggemanni
colonies were bleached severely, but
none were killed (Bonin, 2012).
In a study of coral disease on the GBR,
approximately one percent of colonies
of observed Isopora were affected by
Skeletal Eroding Band, the most
prevalent coral disease on the GBR
(Page and Willis, 2007). Isopora had a
disease prevalence of 1% in Indonesia,
which was tied for 5th highest among 35
taxa (Haapkyla et al., 2007). Isopora
crateriformis and I. palifera were
affected differently by white diseases in
American Samoa: an outbreak resulted
in low prevalence in I. crateriformis, but
high prevalence in I. palifera (D. Fenner,
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personal comm.). There is no
information available on the effects of
any other threat for Isopora species.
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the
SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make
the following inferences about the
susceptibilities of an unstudied Isopora
species to ocean warming, disease,
acidification, sedimentation, nutrients,
trophic effects of fishing, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade. The
SRR rated ocean warming and disease as
‘‘high’’ importance, and ocean
acidification as ‘‘medium-high’’
importance, to corals. These were rated
as the three most important threats to
reef-building corals overall. The studies
described above report moderate to high
levels of bleaching in Isopora species in
response to warming events. With
regard to disease, the information above
indicates variable levels (from low to
high) of disease in Isopora species.
Thus, we conclude that Isopora is likely
to be highly susceptible to ocean
warming and to have some
susceptibility to disease. Although there
is no genus-level or species-specific
information on the susceptibilities of
Isopora species to ocean acidification,
the SRR rated it as ‘‘medium-high’’
importance to corals. Thus, we conclude
that an unstudied Isopora species has
some susceptibility to ocean
acidification.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of
fishing as ‘‘medium’’ importance, the
fourth most important threat to corals
overall. This threat was not addressed at
the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level
process. That is, removal of herbivorous
fish from coral reef systems by fishing
alters trophic interactions by reducing
herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae
over coral. Thus, the SRR did not
discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa,
as its effects are difficult to distinguish
between coral genera and species.
Therefore, an unstudied Isopora species
is likely to have some susceptibility to
the trophic effects of fishing.
The SRR rated sedimentation,
nutrients, and sea-level rise as ‘‘lowmedium’’ importance to corals overall.
Although there is no genus-level or
species-specific information on the
susceptibilities of Isopora species to
sedimentation or nutrients, the SRR
rated them as ‘‘low-medium’’
importance to corals. Thus, we conclude
that an unstudied Isopora species has
some susceptibility to sedimentation
and nutrients.
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Sea-level rise was not addressed at the
genus or species level in the SRR or SIR.
Increasing sea levels may increase landbased sources of pollution due to
inundation, resulting in changes to coral
community structure, thus an unstudied
Isopora species is likely to have some
susceptibility to sea-level rise. The SRR
rated predation and ornamental trade
(referred to in the proposed rule as
Collection and Trade) as ‘‘low’’
importance to corals overall. Although
there is no genus-level or speciesspecific information on the
susceptibilities of Isopora species to
collection and trade, there is no
information suggesting they are not
susceptible to these threats. Thus, we
conclude that an unstudied Isopora
species has some susceptibility to
collection and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied Isopora
species is likely to be highly susceptible
to ocean warming, and to have some
susceptibility to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade.
Isopora crateriformis
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on I.
crateriformis’ morphology and
taxonomy. Morphology was described
as solid encrusting plates sometimes
over one meter diameter, and taxonomy
was described as having no taxonomic
issues.
The public comments and
information we gathered did not
provide any new or supplemental
information on morphology, but found
that there is a moderate level of
taxonomic uncertainty for I.
crateriformis, and that there is a
moderate level of species identification
uncertainty for this species. Veron
(2014) states that I. crateriformis is
easily confused with I. cuneata, but
Veron (2000; 2014), Wallace (1999b) and
Wallace et al. (2012) continue to
consider it a valid species, and it can be
identified by experts (Fenner, 2014b).
Thus, the distribution and abundance
information described below for this
species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on I.
crateriformis’ distribution, habitat, and
depth range. Isopora crateriformis’
distribution is from Sumatra (Indonesia)
to American Samoa, and there are
reports from the western and central
Indian Ocean that need confirmation.
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The SRR reported that this species is
found most commonly in shallow, highwave energy environments, from low
tide to at least 12 meters deep, and has
been reported from mesophotic depths
(<50 m depth). The SIR reported that I.
crateriformis is one of the most common
species on upper reef slopes of
southwest Tutuila, American Samoa.
Rangewide, its predominant habitat is
reef flats and lower reef crests, and it
also occurs in adjacent habitats such us
upper reef slopes.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on the
distribution and habitat of I.
crateriformis. Isopora crateriformis is
reported from American Samoa (Kenyon
et al., 2010). Veron (2014) reports that
I. crateriformis is confirmed in 13 of his
133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and is
strongly predicted to be found in an
additional 17. Wallace (1999b) reports
its occurrence in three of her 29 IndoPacific areas, many of which are larger
than Veron’s ecoregions. Richards et al.
(2009) calculated the geographic range
of this species at about 11 million km2,
the 35th smallest range of the 114
species of Acropora and Isopora that
she calculated. Worldwide, reef flats
have a larger area than reef slopes
(Vecsei, 2004). Most coral abundance
surveys are carried out only on reef
slopes, and thus may significantly
underestimate the abundance of species
such as I. crateriformis that are more
common on reef flats than reef slopes.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported I.
crateriformis’ abundance as sometimes
common and occasionally locally
abundant. Isopora crateriformis has
been reported as common in Indonesia
(Veron, 2000) and as one of the most
prevalent corals in American Samoa
(Birkeland et al., 1987).
Public comments did not provide
information on the abundance of I.
crateriformis. We gathered
supplemental information, which
includes the following. Richards et al.
(2013b) conclude from their data that
this species is globally widespread,
locally restricted, and locally rare, and
thus in the second rarest category with
the predicted consequence of local
extinction. Veron (2014) reports that I.
crateriformis occupied 0.3 percent of
2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had
a mean abundance rating of 1.4 on a 1
to 5 rating scale at those sites in which
it was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as ‘‘rare.’’
Overall abundance was described as
‘‘occasionally common on reef flats.’’
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Veron did not infer trends in abundance
from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For I. crateriformis, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 38 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 14
percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences of
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that I.
crateriformis occurs in many areas
affected by these broad changes, and
likely has some susceptibility to both
global and local threats, we conclude
that it is likely to have declined in
abundance over the past 50 to 100 years,
but a precise quantification is not
possible based on the limited speciesspecific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on I.
crateriformis’ life history. Isopora
crateriformis is not prone to asexual
reproduction via fragmentation, based
on its semi-encrusting morphology.
Supplemental information we gathered
added that, while I. crateriformis often
has a lower plate edge on colonies on
slopes, colonies are very hard and thus
unlikely to fragment often (D. Fenner,
personal comm.). Public comments did
not provide anything additional to the
above-described biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe I. crateriformis’ threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Isopora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, sedimentation,
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nutrients, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide
any other species-specific information
on the effects of these threats on I.
crateriformis. We interpreted threat
susceptibility and exposure information
from the SRR and SIR in the proposed
rule for I. crateriformis’ vulnerabilities
as follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming, moderate vulnerability to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of reef fishing, and nutrients, and
low vulnerability to sedimentation, sea
level rise, predation, and collection and
trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on I.
crateriformis’ threat susceptibilities. We
gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Isopora crateriformis is
not rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching or disease, but
this rating is not based on speciesspecific data (Carpenter et al., 2008).
Based on information for the genus
Isopora, an unstudied species such as I.
crateriformis can be predicted to have
high susceptibility to ocean warming.
Fenner (personal comm.) reports seeing
a ‘‘white disease’’ or ‘‘tissue loss’’ on I.
crateriformis that appeared similar to
white syndrome during a brief disease
outbreak in American Samoa, but
prevalence was low. Since only one
observation of disease on I. crateriformis
is reported, it is likely that I.
crateriformis has some susceptibility to
disease. Based on species-specific and
genus-level information described
above, I. crateriformis likely is highly
susceptible to ocean warming and likely
has some susceptibility to disease,
ocean acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sealevel rise, predation, and collection and
trade. The available information does
not support more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of I. crateriformis to the
threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
I. crateriformis. We received criticism of
that approach in public comments and
in response we present a speciesspecific analysis of regulatory
mechanisms in this final rule. Records
confirm that I. crateriformis occurs in 13
Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass
17 countries’ EEZs. The 17 countries are
Australia, Brunei, Fiji, France (French
Pacific Island Territories), Indonesia,
Kiribati, Malaysia, New Zealand
(Tokelau), Niue, Papua New Guinea,
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Philippines, Samoa, Solomon Islands,
Timor-Leste, Tonga, Tuvalu, and the
United States (American Samoa). The
regulatory mechanisms relevant to I.
crateriformis, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that
utilize them to any degree and second,
as the percentage of those countries
whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (41 percent with none
limited in scope), coral collection (82
percent with 35 percent limited in
scope), pollution control (53 percent
with 12 percent limited in scope),
fishing regulations on reefs (100 percent
with 24 percent limited in scope), and
managing areas for protection and
conservation (100 percent with none
limited in scope). The most common
regulatory mechanisms in place for I.
crateriformis are reef fishing regulations
and area management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are also common
for the species, but 35 percent of coral
collection laws are limited in scope and
may not provide substantial protection.
General coral protection laws are the
least common regulatory mechanisms
for the management of I. crateriformis.
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Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that factors that increase the risk of
extinction were the high susceptibility
to threats inferred to be common to
members of the family Acroporidae. It
listed factors that reduce the risk of
extinction including its prevalence in
areas of heavy wave action as water
motion can reduce bleaching
vulnerability.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
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The following characteristics of I.
crateriformis, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic range
extends from Sumatra (Indonesia) to
American Samoa, and the Philippines to
the GBR. On one hand, this moderates
vulnerability to extinction because the
central Pacific portion of its range is
projected to have less than average
warming over the foreseeable future,
thus population in these areas will be
less exposed to severe warming
conditions. On the other hand, the
species’ geographic distribution
exacerbates vulnerability to extinction
because much of it lies within the
western equatorial Pacific, an area
projected to have the highest seawater
temperatures in the foreseeable future.
Its depth range is from zero to 12
meters. On one hand, its depth range
may moderate vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower irradiance than
surface waters, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in
waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. On
the other hand, its depth range may
exacerbate vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future if the species
occurs predominantly in the shallower
portion of its depth range, since those
areas will have higher irradiance and
thus be more severely affected by
warming-induced bleaching. Its habitat
includes at least reef flats, lower reef
crests, and upper reef slopes. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type
but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time.
Shallow areas may experience more
frequent changing environmental
conditions, extremes, high irradiance,
and multiple simultaneous stressors,
however, high energy environments
experience high levels of mixing which
can dilute adverse environmental
conditions. Its absolute abundance of at
least millions of colonies, combined
with spatial variability in ocean
warming and acidification across the
species range, moderates vulnerability
to extinction because the increasingly
severe conditions expected in the
foreseeable future will be non-uniform
and therefore will likely be a large
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number of colonies that are either not
exposed or do not negatively respond to
a threat at any given point in time.
However, its qualitative abundance is
described as rare, which combined with
its restricted depth distribution
indicates it is likely that a high
proportion of individuals will be
affected by threats that are typically
more severe in shallow habitats at any
given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula, I.
crateriformis was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
common generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderate overall
distribution (based on moderate
geographic distribution and moderate
depth distribution (E); and inadequacy
of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we confirmed our
listing determination for I. crateriformis
as threatened. Based on the best
available information provided above on
I. crateriformis’ spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, it is likely to become
endangered throughout its range within
the foreseeable future, and thus
warrants listing as threatened at this
time, because:
(1) Isopora crateriformis is highly
susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), and susceptible to disease (C),
acidification (E), trophic effects of
fishing (A), and nutrients (A, E), and
predation (C). In addition, existing
regulatory mechanisms to address global
threats that contribute to extinction risk
for this species are inadequate (D);
(2) The majority of Isopora
crateriformis’ distribution is within the
Coral Triangle and western equatorial
Pacific, which is projected to have the
most rapid and severe impacts from
climate change and localized human
impacts for coral reefs over the 21st
century, as described in the Threats
Evaluation. Multiple ocean warming
events have already occurred within the
western equatorial Pacific that suggest
future ocean warming events may be
more severe than average in this part of
the world. A range constrained to this
particular geographic area that is likely
to experience severe and increasing
threats indicates that a high proportion
of the population of this species is likely
to be exposed to those threats over the
foreseeable future; and
(3) Isopora crateriformis’ qualitative
abundance is rare overall. Considering
that much of the range of this species
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includes areas where severe and
increasing impacts are predicted, this
level of abundance combined with its
restricted depth distribution, leaves the
species vulnerable to becoming of such
low abundance within the foreseeable
future that it may be at risk from
depensatory processes, environmental
stochasticity, or catastrophic events, as
explained in more detail in the Corals
and Coral Reefs and Risk Analyses
sections.
The combination of these biological
and environmental characteristics and
future projections of threats indicates
that the species is likely to be in danger
of extinction within the foreseeable
future throughout its range and warrants
listing as threatened at this time due to
factors A, C, D, and E.
The available information above on I.
crateriformis’ spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management also indicate that the
species is not currently in danger of
extinction and thus does not warrant
listing as Endangered because:
(1) While I. crateriformis’ distribution
is mostly in the Coral Triangle and
western equatorial Pacific, which
increases it extinction risk as described
above, its habitat includes at least reef
flats, lower reef crests, and upper reef
slopes. This moderates vulnerability to
extinction currently because the species
is not limited to one habitat type but
occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time, as
described in more detail in the Coral
Habitat and Threats Evaluation sections.
(2) While I. crateriformis’ depth range
is primarily restricted to shallow
habitats from zero to 12 meters, it has
been reported from 50 meters in
American Samoa. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because there may be
depth refugia for I. crateriformis in some
parts of its range from threats that are
typically more severe in shallow
habitats.
(3) Even though this species is
considered rare, the absolute abundance
of I. crateriformis is at least millions of
colonies. In addition, it is ‘‘occasionally
common on reef flats,’’ a habitat type
that has larger area than reef slopes.
There is no evidence of depensatory
processes such as reproductive failure
from low density of reproductive
individuals and genetic processes such
as inbreeding affecting this species.
Thus, its absolute abundance indicates
it is currently able to avoid high
mortality from environmental
stochasticity, and mortality of a high
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proportion of its population from
catastrophic events.
The combination of these biological
and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species does not
exhibit the characteristics of one that is
currently in danger of extinction, as
described previously in the Risk
Analyses section, and thus does not
warrant listing as endangered at this
time.
Range-wide, a multitude of
conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting I.
crateriformis. However, considering the
global scale of the most important
threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at
addressing the root cause of global
threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not
believe that any current conservation
efforts or conservation efforts planned
in the future will result in affecting the
species status to the point at which
listing is not warranted.
shallow, high wave-energy
environments. Its predominant habitat
is high energy environments such as
lower reef crests and reef flats, but it is
also found in upper reef slopes, lagoons,
and adjacent habitats. Its depth range is
low tide to 15 meters deep.
Public comments provided the
following information. One public
comment stated that I. cuneata is widely
distributed in Indonesian waters. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014) which reports
that I. cuneata is confirmed in 43 of his
133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and is
strongly predicted to be found in an
additional nine. Wallace (1999b) reports
it from 11 of her 29 Indo-Pacific areas,
many of which are larger than Veron’s
ecoregions. Richards et al. (2009)
calculated the geographic range of I.
cuneata at 27 million km2, which was
the 45th smallest among the 114
Acropora species for which ranges were
calculated.
Isopora cuneata
Demographic Information
Introduction
The SRR and SIR reported I. cuneata’s
abundance as generally common,
occasionally locally abundant, and by
far the most predominant of acroporids
on some areas of the Great Barrier Reef.
Public comments provided the
following information. One public
comment stated that I. cuneata is very
abundant in all Indonesian waters. We
gathered supplemental information
which included the following.
Worldwide, reef flats have a larger area
than reef slopes (Vecsei, 2004). Most
coral abundance surveys are carried out
only on reef slopes, and thus may
significantly underestimate the
abundance of species such as I. cuneata
that are more common on reef flats and
crests than reef slopes. Richards et al.
(2013b) consider this to be a species that
is globally widespread, locally
restricted, and locally rare, and thus in
the second rarest category with the
predicted consequence of local
extinction. Veron (2014) reports that I.
cuneata occupied 5.1 percent of 2,984
dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean
abundance rating of 1.76 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it
was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘uncommon.’’ Overall abundance was
described as ‘‘uncommon.’’ Veron did
not infer trends in abundance from
these data. As described in the IndoPacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on I. cuneata’s
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as sometimes flattened
solid encrusting plates like Isopora
crateriformis, but usually also forms
‘‘Mohawk’’ ridges parallel to the main
wave motion or short flattened blades.
Taxonomy was described as having no
taxonomic issues.
Public comments and information we
gathered provided the following
information on the morphology or
taxonomy of I. cuneata. Isopora cuneata
has moderate taxonomic uncertainty,
and moderate species identification
uncertainty (Fenner, 2014b). Veron
(2014) states that I. cuneata is easily
confused with I. palifera which it
closely resembles, but Veron (2000;
2014), Wallace (1999a) and Wallace et
al. (2012) continue to consider it a valid
species, and it can be identified by
experts (Fenner, 2014b). Thus, we
conclude that the distribution and
abundance information described below
for this species is sufficiently reliable
(Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on I. cuneata’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Isopora cuneata’s distribution is from
the east coast of Africa to the central
Pacific. One expert source does not
recognize records from east Africa
(Riegl, 1995), and the SRR questions
whether they should be checked. The
SRR reported that I. cuneata’s habitat is
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species is likely at least tens of millions
of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For I. cuneata, the overall decline
in abundance (‘‘Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 37
percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (‘‘Backcast Percent Population Reduction’’)
was estimated at 15 percent. However,
as summarized above in the Inter-basin
Comparison sub-section, live coral cover
trends are highly variable both spatially
and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out
of context, thus quantitative inferences
of species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that I.
cuneata occurs in many areas affected
by these broad changes, and likely has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible
due to the limited species-specific
information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on I. cuneata’s
life history. Isopora cuneata is a
simultaneous hermaphroditic brooder.
Larvae lack zooxanthellae, and in some
areas the species can undergo several
seasonal cycles of larval production. Its
brooding life history allows Isopora
species to locally dominate recruitment
at Lord Howe Island, Australia; colonies
of this genus also dominate the adult
population there, suggesting brooding
may drive community structure in
remote areas. Isopora cuneata is not
prone to asexual reproduction via
fragmentation, based on its semiencrusting morphology. The species
shows moderate gene flow but little
potential for large-scale dispersal.
Public comments and information we
gathered did not provide anything
additional to the above-described
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe I. cuneata’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
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effects on Isopora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, sedimentation,
nutrients, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR and SIR also provided
the following species-specific
information on I. cuneata’s threats.
Isopora cuneata showed intermediate
bleaching susceptibility relative to other
acroporids on the Great Barrier Reef in
2002, but showed severe losses in a
2006 mass bleaching event in the
Marshall Islands, with only shaded
bases of colonies surviving. Isopora
cuneata was a common species in the
Acropora palifera zone of the Chagos,
but I. cuneata was nearly completely
eliminated in 1998 and has not yet
regenerated. Competition with algae
significantly reduces growth rates of I.
cuneata. At high latitude Lord Howe
Island, I. cuneata was found to host five
types of C zooxanthellae, with an ability
to host specialized types in turbid
environments. The species is also
capable of photo-adapting to low light
environments by increasing
zooxanthellae density altering
photosynthetic mechanisms (dark
reaction enzymes or electron transport
rates). The SRR and SIR did not provide
any other species-specific information
on the effects of these threats on I.
cuneata. We interpreted threat
susceptibility and exposure information
from the SRR and SIR in the proposed
rule for I. cuneata as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerability to disease,
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
and nutrients, and low vulnerability to
sedimentation, sea-level rise, predation,
and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on I.
cuneata’s threats susceptibilities. We
gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Isopora cuneata has
been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching, but this rating
is not based on species-specific data
(Carpenter et al., 2008). Done et al.
(2003b) reported that 20 percent of I.
cuneata colonies on the GBR were
affected by bleaching in 2002, and the
species ranked 21st in proportion of
coral colonies that were bleached or
partially killed out of 52 studied
Acropora and Isopora species. That is,
20 of the 52 species bleached more than
I. cuneata and 31 bleached less.
Isopora cuneata has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to
disease, but this rating is not based on
species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). Willis et al. (2004) report Black
Band Disease on I. cuneata on No Name
Reef in the Great Barrier Reef. No other
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species-specific information is available
for the susceptibility of I. cuneata to any
other threat. Based on genus-level and
species information, I. cuneata is
predicted to likely be highly susceptible
to ocean warming and to have some
susceptibility to disease, acidification,
trophic effects of fishing, nutrients,
sedimentation, sea-level rise, predation,
and collection and trade.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
I. cuneata. We received criticism of that
approach in public comments and in
response we present a species-specific
analysis of regulatory mechanisms in
this final rule. Records confirm that I.
cuneata occurs in 43 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 23 countries’
EEZs. The 23 countries are Australia,
China, Federated States of Micronesia,
Fiji, France (French Pacific Island
Territories), Indonesia, Japan,
Madagascar, Mauritius, New Zealand
(Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Solomon
Islands, Taiwan, Timor-Leste, Tonga,
Tuvalu, United States (American
Samoa, PRIAs), Vanuatu, and Vietnam.
The regulatory mechanisms relevant to
I. cuneata, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that
utilize them to any degree and second,
as the percentage of those countries
whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (35 percent with four
percent limited in scope), coral
collection (65 percent with 30 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (39
percent with 13 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (100
percent with 13 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (100
percent with none limited in scope).
The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for I. cuneata are
reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection laws are
also somewhat common for the species,
but 30 percent of coral collection laws
are limited in scope and may not
provide substantial protection. General
coral protection and pollution control
laws are much less common regulatory
mechanisms for the management of I.
cuneata.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
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demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that factors that increase potential
extinction risk for I. cuneata are high
susceptibility to threats inferred to be
common to members of the family
Acroporidae. A factor that reduces
potential extinction risk is its
prevalence in areas of heavy wave
action, as water motion may reduce
bleaching vulnerability.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of I.
cuneata, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes most of the coral
reef ecoregions in the Indian Ocean and
western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates
vulnerability to extinction because some
areas within its range are projected to
have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas, so
portions of the population in these areas
will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is from low
tide to at least 15 meters. On one hand,
its depth range may moderate
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas
of its range will usually have lower
irradiance than surface waters, and
acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper
and cooler than those in which the
species occurs. On the other hand, its
depth range may exacerbate
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future if the species occurs
predominantly in the shallower portion
of its depth range, since those areas will
have higher irradiance and thus be more
severely affected by warming-induced
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bleaching. Its habitat includes at least
lower reef crests, reef flats, upper reef
slopes, and lagoons. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is
not limited to one habitat type but
occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. In
addition, high energy environments
experience high levels of mixing which
can dilute adverse environmental
conditions. Its absolute abundance of at
least tens of millions of colonies,
combined with spatial variability in
ocean warming and acidification across
the species range, moderates
vulnerability to extinction because the
increasingly severe conditions expected
in the foreseeable future will be nonuniform and therefore will likely be a
large number of colonies that are either
not exposed or do not negatively
respond to a threat at any given point
in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, I.
cuneata was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
common generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderate overall
distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and shallow depth
distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for I. cuneata from
threatened to not warranted. We made
this determination based on a more
species-specific and holistic assessment
of whether this species meets the
definition of either a threatened or
endangered coral largely in response to
public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the
buffering capacity of this species’ spatial
and demographic traits to lessen its
vulnerability to threats. Thus, based on
the best available information above on
I. cuneata’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
it is not warranted for listing at this
time, because:
(1) Isopora cuneata’s distribution
across the Indian Ocean and most of the
Pacific Ocean is spread over a very large
area. While some areas within its range
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54051
are projected to be affected by warming
and acidification, other areas are
projected to have less than average
warming and acidification, including
the western Indian Ocean, the central
Pacific, and other areas. This
distribution and the heterogeneous
habitat it occupies reduce exposure to
any given threat event or adverse
condition that does not occur uniformly
throughout the species range. As
explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future);
(2) Isopora cuneata’ absolute
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies, providing buffering capacity in
the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility
between individual colonies. As
discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs
section above, the more colonies a
species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to
a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will
not have the same response; and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast
grower, enhancing recovery potential
from mortality events as described in
the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
worsen in severity and the species’
exposure to the threats increases
throughout its range. Should the species
experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, I.
cuneata is not warranted for listing at
this time under any of the listing factors.
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Genus Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided an
introduction to Indo-Pacific Montipora,
covering geological history, taxonomy,
life history, and threat susceptibilities of
the genus as a whole. Montipora
colonies are usually laminar, encrusting,
massive, or branching, and usually have
small protrusions between corallites,
called papillae, tuberculae, or verrucae.
The genus Montipora is the second
largest genus of reef corals, with 75
species currently recognized, all in the
Indo-Pacific.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on genus-level
threat susceptibilities for Montipora.
Montipora has a high susceptibility to
bleaching, just below Acropora and
Millepora. One species of Montipora has
been tested for susceptibility to
acidification, and was predicted to have
10 to 15 percent reductions in growth to
pH by 2100. Montipora species have
moderate susceptibility to diseases.
Montipora has been characterized as a
‘‘sediment-intolerant’’ genus, but
individual species range from tolerant to
intolerant. Elevated nutrients have not
been found to affect Montipora
fecundity or fertilization. Crown-ofthorns seastar prey preferentially on
Montipora and crown-of-thorns seastar
outbreaks can cause substantial
mortality. The genus Montipora is
heavily used in the international
aquarium trade.
The public comments did not provide
any supplemental information on genuslevel threat susceptibilities for IndoPacific Montipora. We gathered
supplemental information, which
provides the following genus-level
information on threat susceptibilities of
Indo-Pacific Montipora for ocean
warming (thermal stress), coral disease,
ocean acidification, and predation. With
regard to thermal stress, almost all
Montipora on the reef flats of two
islands in the Thousand Islands of
Indonesia died in the 1983 El Nino mass
bleaching. A branching species,
Montipora digitata, subsequently
recovered on one island but not the
other (Brown and Suharsono, 1990). In
Moorea in 1998, Montipora was the
third most affected genus by bleaching
after Montastraea and Acropora, and
second in mortality, with slightly less
mortality than Acropora (Gleason,
1993). In Palau in 2000, many but not
all Montipora species had heavy
bleaching. In that event, 48 percent of
all coral colonies of all species were
bleached, with bleaching of different
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genera and species ranging from none to
very high, and mortality from none to
near 100 percent (Bruno et al., 2001). In
Kenya in 1998, unprotected and
protected sites were compared, and it
was found that all Montipora species in
unprotected sites died during the mass
bleaching event while only half of the
Montipora species in marine protected
areas died (McClanahan et al., 2001). In
1998 in Kenya, Tanzania, Mozambique,
and Madagascar, 100 percent of M.
tuberculosa colonies were affected by
bleaching at the peak of bleaching, and
13 percent of the colonies died by the
end of the bleaching event (Obura,
2001). In Raiatea, French Polynesia, in
2002, 53 percent of Montipora
tuberculosa colonies and 18 percent
Montipora caliculata colonies were
bleached respectively, the third and
fifth most bleached species of the 11
coral species included in the study
(Hughes et al., 2003).
On the GBR in 2002, 18 species of
Montipora ranged from zero to 77
percent affected by bleaching (Done et
al., 2003b). During mass bleaching in
1998, Montipora had a higher bleaching
index in Kenya (64) than in Australia
(38), but seawater temperatures were
higher in Kenya (McClanahan et al.,
2004). At Mauritius in a bleaching event
in 2004, Montipora had a bleaching
index of 27, the 8th highest of the 32
genera recorded, which was 41 percent
of the index of the genus with the
highest index (McClanahan et al.,
2005a). In the western Indian Ocean in
1998–2005, Montipora had a bleaching
index of 7.9 for eight countries, which
was 34th highest of the 45 genera
recorded, and 19 percent of the highest
value (McClanahan et al., 2007a). On
Howland and Baker islands in the U.S.
Pacific in early 2010, Montipora had a
low percentage of bleaching with zero
percent bleached on Baker and 4.8
percent on Howland. Montipora was the
13th most bleached genus out of 14
genera reported, with 4 percent as much
bleaching as the most bleached genus
(Vargas-Angel et al., 2011). In a mass
bleaching event in Western Australia,
Acropora had the highest mortality,
with Montipora having the second
highest mortality (87 percent), while
massive and encrusting corals (such as
Porites and faviids) had much higher
survival rates. Colonies less than 10 cm
in size were not killed (Depczynski et
al., 2012).
In Okinawa, Japan, Montipora species
experienced moderate drops in
populations following the 1998 and
2010 mass bleaching episodes (Hongo
and Yamano, 2013). At Laem Set at
Samui Island in the western Gulf of
Thailand in 1998, half of all colonies of
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M. tuberculosa were partly bleached,
and in 2010 all colonies were bleached.
It was the 10th most bleached species
out of 24 species in 1998, and was tied
with seven other species out of 24 for
most bleached in 2010. After the 1998
bleaching event, 75 percent of M.
tuberculosa colonies had partial
mortality, and after the 2010 event all
colonies were dead. In 1998 it was tied
for third place in mortality, and in 2010
it was in a three-way tie for most
mortality (Sutthacheep et al., 2013). In
Kenya in 1998, 47 percent of Montipora
colonies bleached, and of those, 73
percent died. Mortality was the fifth
highest of any coral genus. The
abundance of Montipora after 1998 in
the western Indian Ocean decreased
strongly in proportion to the number of
degree heating weeks in 1998
(McClanahan et al., 2007b). In Japan,
one species of Montipora was a longterm winner following mass bleaching
events (increasing from 0.2 percent to 2
percent cover), one species was a short
term loser but a long term winner
(decreasing from 1.8 percent to zero
percent, and then increasing to 3.3
percent later), and one species was a
long-term loser (decreasing from 1.6
percent to zero percent cover and
staying there) (van Woesik et al., 2011).
With regard to disease, a very low
level of Black Band Disease was found
on Montipora on the Great Barrier Reef,
just 3 percent of the level on staghorn
Acropora (Page and Willis, 2006).
Montipora had a low susceptibility to
Skeletal Eroding Band in the GBR, with
a prevalence of 0.4 percent. Skeletal
Eroding Band is the most prevalent
disease on the GBR (Page and Willis,
2007). Montipora was had the second
lowest rate of disease in American
Samoa of the five genera with the most
disease in American Samoa, with 0.08
percent prevalence. The highest rate of
disease was Acropora with 0.39 percent
prevalence. About 14 percent of sites in
American Samoa have growth
anomalies recorded on Montipora,
compared to 71 percent for white
syndrome on Acropora, so disease is
relatively low on Montipora in
American Samoa (Fenner and Heron,
2008). Montipora had the fourth highest
prevalence of disease of coral genera in
American Samoa at 0.06 percent, with
the highest being Acropora at 0.85
percent (Aeby et al., 2008). In Guam,
Montipora had the fourth highest
prevalence out of 12 genera, with 2
percent of colonies having disease
compared to 6.7% for the highest genus
(Myers and Raymundo, 2009). In New
Caledonia, Montipora was tied for
lowest disease prevalence among 12
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genera, with less than 0.1 percent
prevalence (Tribollet et al., 2011). In
Indonesia, Montipora had the eighth
highest prevalence of disease out of 35
taxa, with 0.5 percent prevalence
compared to 8 percent for the highest
taxon (Haapkyla et al., 2007).
With regards to predation, Montipora
was the third most preferred prey of
crown-of-thorns starfish out of the 10
most common genera on 15 reefs in the
Great Barrier Reef, with a preference
estimate 81 percent as high as the
highest genus (Acropora) (De’ath and
Moran, 1998). With regards to
sedimentation, M. aequituberculata was
the poorest species of 22 at clearing
sediment off itself (Stafford-Smith,
1993).
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the
SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make
the following inferences about the
susceptibilities of an unstudied
Montipora species to ocean warming,
disease, acidification, sedimentation,
nutrients, trophic effects of fishing, sealevel rise, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR rated ocean warming
and disease as ‘‘high’’ importance, and
ocean acidification as ‘‘medium-high’’
importance, to corals. These were rated
as the three most important threats to
reef-building corals overall. Most
studies report that the genus Montipora
shows high rates of bleaching from
ocean warming, almost as much as
Acropora and Millepora. However, there
was a range of bleaching responses
reported for the genus Montipora, and a
study of individual species showed a
wide range of bleaching responses
between species, with some not
bleaching at all. While there is
variability in the available information
on the susceptibility of Montipora
species to ocean warming, most of the
information suggests high susceptibility.
Thus, we conclude that an unstudied
species of Montipora likely is highly
susceptible to ocean warming.
Montipora has been reported to have
low to moderate rates of disease, thus
we conclude that Montipora is likely to
have some susceptibility to disease. One
species of Montipora showed a
reduction in growth at the acidification
level anticipated for the end of the
century, but gamete production was not
affected. Thus we conclude that
Montipora is likely to have some
susceptibility to ocean acidification.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of
fishing as ‘‘medium’’ importance, the
fourth most important threat to corals
overall. This threat was not addressed at
the genus or species level in the SRR or
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SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level
process. That is, removal of herbivorous
fish from coral reef systems by fishing
alters trophic interactions by reducing
herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae
over coral. Thus, the SRR did not
discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa,
as its effects are difficult to distinguish
between coral genera and species.
Therefore, an unstudied Montipora
species is likely to have some
susceptibility to the trophic effects of
fishing.
The SRR rated sedimentation,
nutrients, and sea-level rise as ‘‘lowmedium’’ importance to corals overall.
Montipora has been called a ‘‘sedimentintolerant’’ genus but there are
variations in tolerance between species.
We conclude that Montipora has some
susceptibility to sedimentation.
Elevated nutrients have had no effect on
fecundity or fertilization success in
Montipora, but competition with algae
reduced settlement and survival of
Montipora larvae. We conclude that
Montipora has some susceptibility to
nutrients. Sea-level rise was not
addressed at the genus or species level
in the SRR or SIR. Increasing sea levels
may increase land-based sources of
pollution due to inundation, resulting in
changes to coral community structure,
thus an unstudied Montipora species is
likely to have some susceptibility to sealevel rise. The little available
information on predation of Montipora
suggest that predators prefer to eat
Montipora over most other genera.
Thus, it is possible to predict that an
unstudied Montipora species is likely to
have some susceptibility to predation.
The SRR rated ornamental trade
(referred to in the proposed rule as
Collection and Trade) as ‘‘low’’
importance to corals overall, and this
threat was addressed at both the genus
and species levels in the SRR. Because
Montipora species are some of the more
popular coral species to be collected
and traded, an unstudied Montipora
species is likely to have some
susceptibility to collection and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied
Montipora species is likely to have high
susceptibility to ocean warming, and
some susceptibility to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade.
Montipora angulata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. angulata’s
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as extensive encrusting
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bases with short branches that form
compact clumps and are pale brown in
color. Genetic evidence places M.
angulata in a clade with some other
Montipora species, depending on which
gene is used. The SRR treated M.
angulata as a valid species.
The public comments and
information we gathered did not
provide information on morphology,
and confirmed that the species has low
uncertainty in morphological taxonomy.
Clustering with other species in an
initial genetics study gives moderate
uncertainty. There is a moderate level of
species identification uncertainty for
this species, but Veron (2014) states that
M. angulata is distinctive and Veron
(2000; 2014), considers the species
valid, and that it is sufficiently
distinctive to be identified by experts
(Fenner, 2014b). Thus, we conclude that
the distribution and abundance
information described below for this
species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. angulata’s
distribution, habitat and depth.
Montipora angulata’s distribution is
from the northern and eastern Indian
Ocean to the central Indo-Pacific to the
central Pacific. Its habitat includes
upper reef slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef
crests, and reef flats, and its depth
distribution is one to 20 m.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on M. angulata’s distribution. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports
that this species is confirmed in 34 of
his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and
strongly predicted to be found in an
additional 26.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. angulata’s
abundance. Montipora angulata’s
abundance is mostly rare.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on M. angulata’s abundance. We
gathered supplemental information,
which provided the following
information. Worldwide, reef flats have
a larger area than reef slopes (Vecsei,
2004), and most coral abundance
surveys are carried out only on reef
slopes, and thus may significantly
underestimate the abundance of species
such as M. angulata that occur primarily
on reef flats. Veron (2014) reports that
M. angulata occupied 0.34 percent of
2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had
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a mean abundance rating of 1.3 on a 1
to 5 rating scale at those sites in which
it was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as ‘‘rare,’’
and overall abundance was also
described as ‘‘rare.’’ Veron did not infer
trends in abundance from these data. As
described in the Indo-Pacific Species
Determinations introduction above,
based on results from Richards et al.
(2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at
least millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (Carpenter et al.,
2008) extrapolated species abundance
trend estimates from total live coral
cover trends and habitat types. For M.
angulata, the overall decline in
abundance (‘‘Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 39
percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (‘‘Backcast Percent Population Reduction’’)
was estimated at 16 percent. However,
as summarized above in the Inter-basin
Comparison sub-section, live coral cover
trends are highly variable both spatially
and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out
of context, thus quantitative inferences
to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that M.
angulata occurs in many areas affected
by these broad changes, and likely has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible
due to the limited species-specific
information.
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Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. angulata’s
life history. The sexuality and
reproductive modes have been
determined for 35 other species of
Montipora, all of which are
hermaphroditic broadcast spawners.
Also, the larvae of all other Montipora
species studied contain zooxanthellae
that can supplement maternal
provisioning with energy sources
provided by their photosynthesis. Thus,
these characteristics likely occur in M.
angulata as well. The public comments
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and information we gathered provided
no additional biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe M. angulata’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Montipora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection
and trade. The SRR and SIR also
provided the following species-specific
information on M. angulata’s threats.
Montipora angulata contains Clade C
zooxanthella; this clade varies in its
thermal tolerance, but is generally less
resistant to bleaching than Clade D. The
SRR and SIR did not provide any other
species-specific information on the
effects of these threats on M. angulata.
We interpreted the threat susceptibility
and exposure information from the SRR
and SIR in the proposed rule for M.
angulata’s vulnerabilities as follows:
High vulnerability to ocean warming;
moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of reef
fishing, nutrients, and predation, and
low vulnerability to sedimentation, sea
level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on M.
angulata’s threat susceptibilities. We
gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Montipora angulata has
been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching, but this rating
is not based on species-specific data
(Carpenter et al., 2008). In one study,
colonies of M. angulata contained Clade
C zooxanthellae (Good et al., 2005).
However, other Montipora species are
known to contain Clade D
zooxanthellae, depending on colony
location or depth (LaJeunesse et al.,
2004b; Stat et al., 2009). Thus, it is
possible that broader sampling of M.
angulata colonies would show that this
species also hosts Clade D zooxanthellae
in some habitats. There are no studies
of the effects of any other threats on M.
angulata. Based on species-specific and
genus-level information described
above, M. angulata is likely to be highly
susceptible to ocean warming and likely
to have some susceptibility to disease,
trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. The available
information does not support more
precise ratings of the susceptibilities of
M. angulata to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
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mechanisms or conservation efforts for
M. angulata. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to the following analysis to attempt to
analyze regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that M.
angulata occurs in 34 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 17 countries’
EEZs. The 17 countries are Australia
(including Cocos-Keeling Islands),
Brunei, Cambodia, China, India
(Andaman and Nicobar Islands),
Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Myanmar,
Papua New Guinea, Philippines,
Solomon Islands, Sri Lanka, Taiwan,
Thailand, Timor-Leste, and Vietnam.
The regulatory mechanisms relevant to
M. angulata, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that
utilize them to any degree and second,
as the percentages of those countries
whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (29 percent with 6
percent limited in scope), coral
collection (41 percent with 18 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (35
percent with 12 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (100
percent with 18 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (94 percent
with none limited in scope). The most
common regulatory mechanisms in
place for M. angulata are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. General
coral protection, pollution control, and
coral collection laws are much less
common regulatory mechanisms for the
management of M. angulata.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for this species include
its rare abundance combined with
presumed generic vulnerability to a
range of threats including disease,
bleaching, and predation as well as
potentially increasing threats from
collection and trade. It listed factors that
reduce potential extinction risk
including its relatively wide geographic
distribution.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
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assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of M.
angulata, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes many coral reef
ecoregions in the central Indo-Pacific
oceans. Its geographic distribution
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because some areas within its range are
projected to have less than average
warming and acidification over the
foreseeable future, including the central
Pacific, and other areas, so portions of
the population in these areas will be
less exposed to severe conditions. Its
depth range is from one to 20 meters.
This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower temperatures than
surface waters due to local and microhabitat variability in environmental
conditions, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in
waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. Its
habitat includes upper reef slopes, midslopes, lower reef crests, and reef flats.
This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous
types of reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience
highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. Although its qualitative
abundance is described as rare, its
absolute abundance is at least millions
of colonies, which combined with
spatial variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach,
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M. angulata was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution
(based on wide geographic distribution
and moderate depth distribution (E);
and inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for M. angulata
from threatened to not warranted. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including a more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on M.
angulata’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities,
none of the five ESA listing factors,
alone or in combination, are causing
this species to be likely to become
endangered throughout its range within
the foreseeable future, and thus it is not
warranted for listing at this time,
because:
(1) Montipora angulata’s distribution
across the central Indo-Pacific is spread
over a large area. While some areas
within its range are projected to be
affected by warming and acidification,
other areas are projected to have less
than average warming and acidification,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas. This
distribution and the heterogeneous
habitats it occupies reduce exposure to
any given threat event or adverse
condition that does not occur uniformly
throughout the species range. As
explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future) and
(2) While M. angulata’s qualitative
abundance is characterized as rare, the
species consists of at least millions of
colonies that are broadly distributed,
providing buffering capacity in the form
of absolute numbers of colonies and
variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the
Corals and Coral Reefs section above,
the more colonies a species has, the
lower the proportion of colonies that are
likely to be exposed to a particular
threat at a particular time, and all
individuals that are exposed will not
have the same response.
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54055
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
worsen in severity and the species’
exposure to the threats increases
throughout its range. Should the species
experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, M.
angulata is not warranted for listing at
this time under any of the listing factors.
Montipora australiensis
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M.
australiensis’ morphology and
taxonomy. Morphology was described
as thick plates and irregular columns
that are pale brown, and the taxonomy
was described as having no taxonomic
issues.
The public comments and
information we gathered did not
provide any new or supplemental
information on morphology, and
confirmed that there are no known
taxonomic problems for M.
australiensis. There is a moderate level
of species identification uncertainty for
this species, and Veron (2014) states
that M. australiensis is easily confused
with several other Montipora, but Veron
(2000; 2014) also considers the species
valid, and we consider it is sufficiently
distinctive to be identified by experts
(Fenner, 2014b). Thus, we conclude that
the distribution and abundance
information described below for this
species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M.
australiensis’ distribution, habitat, and
depth range. Montipora australiensis’
distribution is broad longitudinally,
including eastern Africa, the central
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Indo-Pacific, and the entire central
Pacific, its habitat is shallow reef
environments with high wave action,
and its depth range is given as 2 to 30
meters, which the SRR noted seems at
odds with the shallow reef environment
habitat description.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on M. australiensis’ distribution. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports
that this species is confirmed in 17 of
his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and
strongly predicted to be found in an
additional 16. Veron 2014 also provides
a more recent geographic range
description and map for this species
which includes areas in the western
Indian Ocean, and most ecoregions
between southern Japan and the GBR,
and between western Australia and
Vanuatu. We did not gather or receive
any information on habitat or depth,
thus we interpret the available
information as follows: Its predominant
habitat is upper reef slopes, lower reef
crests, and reef flats, and it likely also
occurs on mid-slopes and possibly other
habitats at depths of two to 30 m.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M.
australiensis’ abundance. Montipora
australiensis has been reported as rare.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on M. australiensis’ abundance. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (Veron, 2014), which
reports that M. australiensis occupied
0.40 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled
in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and
had a mean abundance rating of 1.50 on
a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in
which it was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as ‘‘rare.’’
Overall abundance was described as
‘‘usually rare.’’ Veron did not infer
trends in abundance from these data. As
described in the Indo-Pacific Species
Determinations introduction above,
based on results from Richards et al.
(2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at
least millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For M. australiensis, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 37 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 14.
However, as summarized above in the
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Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live
coral cover trends are highly variable
both spatially and temporally,
producing patterns on small scales that
can be easily taken out of context. Thus,
quantitative inferences to speciesspecific trends should be interpreted
with caution. At the same time, an
extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and
shifts to reef communities dominated by
hardier coral species or algae over the
past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004;
Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale
and Szmant, 2012). These changes have
likely occurred, and are occurring, from
a combination of global and local
threats. Given that M. australiensis
occurs in many areas affected by these
broad changes, and likely has some
susceptibility to both global and local
threats, we conclude that it is likely to
have declined in abundance over the
past 50 to 100 years, but a precise
quantification is not possible due to the
limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M.
australiensis’ life history. Sexuality and
reproductive modes have been
determined for 35 other species of
Montipora, all of which are
hermaphroditic broadcast spawners.
Although specific observations have not
been published for this species, the
larvae of all other Montipora species
studied contain zooxanthellae that can
supplement maternal provisioning with
energy sources provided by their
photosynthesis. It is likely these
characteristics occur in this species as
well. The public comments and
information we gathered provided no
additional biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe M. australiensis’ threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Montipora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection
and trade. The SRR and SIR did not
provide any species-specific
information on the effects of these
threats on M. australiensis. We
interpreted the threat susceptibility and
exposure information from the SRR and
SIR in the proposed rule for M.
australiensis’ vulnerabilities as follows:
High vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerability to disease,
acidification, trophic effects of reef
fishing, nutrients, and predation, and
low vulnerability to sedimentation, sea
level rise, and collection and trade.
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Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on M.
australiensis’ threats susceptibilities.
We gathered the following speciesspecific and genus-level information on
this species’ threat susceptibilities.
Montipora australiensis has been rated
as moderately or highly susceptible to
bleaching, but this rating is not based on
species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). There are no species-specific
studies of the effects of any threats on
M. australiensis. Based on the genuslevel information described above, M.
australiensis likely is highly susceptible
to ocean warming, and likely has some
susceptibility to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, predation, and
collection and trade. The available
information does not support more
precise ratings of the susceptibilities of
M. australiensis to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
M. australiensis. Criticisms of our
approach received during public
comment led us to the following
analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records
confirm that M. australiensis occurs in
17 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that
encompass 13 countries’ EEZs. The 13
countries are Australia, Cambodia,
France (French Pacific Island
Territories), Indonesia, Japan,
Madagascar, Mauritius, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, Seychelles,
Solomon Islands, Thailand, and
Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to M. australiensis, first
described as the percentage of the above
countries that utilize them to any degree
and second, as the percentages of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms
may be limited in scope, are as follows:
General coral protection (31 percent
with 8 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (46 percent with 8 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (38
percent with 23 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (100
percent with 8 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (100
percent with none limited in scope).
The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for M.
australiensis are reef fishing regulations
and area management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are also
somewhat common for the species, but
23 percent of pollution control laws are
limited in scope and may not provide
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substantial protection. General coral
protection laws are much less common
regulatory mechanisms for the
management of M. australiensis.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
the factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for M. australiensis
include its rare abundance combined
with presumed generic vulnerability to
a range of threats including disease,
bleaching, and predation. It listed
factors that reduce potential extinction
risk including its relatively wide
geographic distribution.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of M.
australiensis, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution is mostly limited to parts of
the Coral Triangle and the western
Indian Ocean. Despite the large number
of islands and environments that are
included in the species’ range, this
range exacerbates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because it is mostly limited to an area
projected to have the most rapid and
severe impacts from climate change and
localized human impacts for coral reefs
over the 21st century. Its depth range of
two to at least 30 meters moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas
of its range will usually have lower
irradiance than surface waters, and
acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper
and cooler than those in which the
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species occurs. Its habitat includes
upper reef slopes, lower reef crests, reef
flats, and mid-slopes. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is
not limited to one habitat type but
occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time.
Additionally, habitats in high wave
action have increased water mixing that
can reduce irradiance and dilute other
adverse environmental conditions. Its
absolute abundance of at least millions
of colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time. However, its
qualitative abundance is described as
rare, which combined with its restricted
depth distribution indicates it is likely
that a high proportion of individuals
will be affected by threats that are
typically more severe in shallow
habitats at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula, M.
australiensis was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution
(based on wide geographic distribution
and moderate depth distribution (E);
and inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we confirmed the
listing determination for M.
australiensis as threatened. Based on the
best available information provided
above on A. lokani’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management indicate that it is likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
warrants listing as threatened at this
time, because:
(1) Montipora australiensis is highly
susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), and susceptible to disease (C),
ocean acidification (E), trophic effects of
fishing (A), and predation (C), and
nutrients (A, E). These threats are
expected to continue and worsen into
the future. In addition, existing
regulatory mechanisms for global threats
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54057
that contribute to extinction risk for the
species are inadequate (D);
(2) The majority of Montipora
australiensis’ distribution is within the
Coral Triangle which is projected to
have the most rapid and severe impacts
from climate change and localized
human impacts for coral reefs over the
21st century, as described in the Threats
Evaluation. Multiple ocean warming
events have already occurred within the
western equatorial Pacific that suggest
future ocean warming events may be
more severe than average in this part of
the world. A range constrained to this
particular geographic area that is likely
to experience severe and increasing
threats indicates that a high proportion
of the population of this species is likely
to be exposed to those threats over the
foreseeable future; and
(3) Montipora australiensis’
qualitative abundance is rare.
Considering the limited range of this
species in an area where severe and
increasing impacts are predicted, this
level of abundance leaves the species
vulnerable to becoming of such low
abundance within the foreseeable future
that it may be at risk from depensatory
processes, environmental stochasticity,
or catastrophic events, as explained in
more detail in the Corals and Coral
Reefs and Risk Analyses sections.
The combination of these
characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates that the species is
likely to be in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range and warrants listing as
threatened at this time due to factors A,
C, D, and E.
The available information above on
M. australiensis’ spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management also indicate that the
species the species is not currently in
danger of extinction and thus does not
warrant listing as Endangered because:
(1) While M. australiensis’ range is
mostly constrained to the Coral Triangle
which increases it extinction risk as
described above, other areas within its
range are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification, such
as the western Indian Ocean.
Additionally, its habitat includes upper
reef slopes, lower reef crests, and reef
flats, and it likely also occurs on midslopes. This moderates vulnerability to
extinction currently because the species
is not limited to one habitat type but
occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time, as
described in more detail in the Coral
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Habitat and Threats Evaluation sections;
and
(2) While M. australiensis’ qualitative
abundance is characterized as rare, its
absolute abundance is at least millions
of colonies. There is no evidence that
this species is of such low abundance
that depensatory processes,
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for catastrophic events
currently pose a high risk to the survival
of the species.
The combination of these
characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of
one that is currently in danger of
extinction, as described previously in
the Risk Analyses section, and thus does
not warrant listing as endangered at this
time.
Range-wide, a multitude of
conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting M.
australiensis. However, considering the
global scale of the most important
threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at
addressing the root cause of global
threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not
believe that any current conservation
efforts or conservation efforts planned
in the future will result in affecting the
species status to the point at which
listing is not warranted.
Montipora calcarea
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Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. calcarea’s
morphology and taxonomy. The
morphology was described as irregular
thick plates with columnar upgrowths
and are pale brown or blue in color, and
taxonomy was described as having no
taxonomic issues.
The public comments and
information we gathered did not
provide information on morphology,
and confirmed that there are no known
taxonomic problems for M. calcarea.
There is a moderate level of species
identification uncertainty for this
species, and Veron (2014) states that M.
calcarea is easily confused with several
other Montipora, but Veron (2000;
2014), considers the species valid, and
we consider it is sufficiently distinctive
to be identified by experts (Fenner,
2014b). Thus, we conclude the
distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is
sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. calcarea’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Montipora calcarea’s range is fairly
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wide but somewhat discontinuous, it is
known from the Red Sea and east
Africa, parts of the Coral Triangle,
northwestern Australia, and the central
Pacific. Its habitat includes at least
upper reef slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef
crests, and reef flats, and its depth range
as 0 to 20 m.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on M. calcarea’s distribution. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports
that this species is confirmed in 25 of
his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and
strongly predicted to be found in an
additional 24. The public comments and
information we gathered provided
nothing additional on M. calcarea’s
habitat and depth range.
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that M.
calcarea occurs in many areas affected
by these broad changes, and likely has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible
based on the limited species-specific
information.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. calcarea’s
abundance. The abundance of M.
calcarea has been reported as rare, but
may be locally abundant in some areas.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on M. calcarea’s abundance, but the
supplemental information provided the
following. Surveys in Indonesia
recorded the species at eight of 51 sites
(Donnelly et al., 2003), and nine of 39
sites (Turak and DeVantier, 2003).
Veron (2014) reports that M. calcarea
occupied 5.8 percent of 2,984 dive sites
sampled in 30 ecoregions of the IndoPacific, and had a mean abundance
rating of 1.35 on a 1 to 5 rating scale at
those sites in which it was found. Based
on this semi-quantitative system, the
species’ abundance was characterized as
‘‘rare.’’ Overall abundance was
described as ‘‘usually rare.’’ As
described in the Indo-Pacific Species
Determinations introduction above,
based on results from Richards et al.
(2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at
least tens of millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (Carpenter et al.,
2008) extrapolated species abundance
trend estimates from total live coral
cover trends and habitat types. For M.
calcarea, the overall decline in
abundance (‘‘Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 34
percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (‘‘Backcast Percent Population Reduction’’)
was estimated at 13 percent. However,
as summarized above in the Inter-basin
Comparison sub-section, live coral cover
trends are highly variable both spatially
and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out
of context, thus quantitative inferences
to species-specific trends should be
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. calcarea’s
life history. The reproductive
characteristics of M. calcarea have not
been determined. However, sexuality
and reproductive modes have been
determined for 35 other species of
Montipora, all of which are
hermaphroditic broadcast spawners.
Although specific observations have not
been published for this species, the
larvae of all other Montipora species
studied contain zooxanthellae that can
supplement maternal provisioning with
energy sources provided by their
photosynthesis. It is likely these
characteristics occur in this species as
well. The public comments and
information we gathered provided no
additional biological information.
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Susceptibility to Threats
To describe M. calcarea’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Montipora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, sedimentation,
nutrients, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR and SIR also provided
the following species-specific
information on M. calcarea’s threats.
Montipora calcarea was not susceptible
to algal or sediment impacts in
anthropogenically impacted waters in
Egypt, but one of the studies appears to
be a study of the effects of low tide. The
SRR and SIR did not provide any other
species-specific information on the
effects of these threats on M. calcarea.
We interpreted the threat susceptibility
and exposure information from the SRR
and SIR in the proposed rule for M.
calcarea’s vulnerabilities as follows:
High vulnerability to ocean warming;
moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of reef
fishing, nutrients and predation, and
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low vulnerability to sedimentation, sea
level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on M.
calcarea’s threats, but we gathered the
following species-specific and genuslevel information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Montipora calcarea has
been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching but not disease,
but this rating is not based on speciesspecific data (Carpenter et al., 2008).
There are no species-specific studies of
the effects of any threats on M. calcarea.
Based on the genus-level and species
information described above, M.
calcarea likely is highly susceptible to
ocean warming, and also likely has
some susceptibility to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation nutrients, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade. The
available information does not support
more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of M. calcarea to the
threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
M. calcarea. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to the following analysis to attempt to
analyze regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that M.
calcarea occurs in 25 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 28 countries’
EEZs. The 28 countries are Australia,
Brunei, Djibouti, Eritrea, Federated
States of Micronesia, Fiji, France
(French Pacific Island Territories),
Indonesia, Madagascar, Malaysia,
Mauritius, Myanmar, New Zealand
(Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Saudi
Arabia, Seychelles, Solomon Islands,
Thailand, Timor-Leste, Tonga, Tuvalu,
United States (American Samoa),
Vietnam, and Yemen. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to M. calcarea,
described first as the percentage of the
above countries that utilize them to any
degree and second, as the percentages of
those countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope,
are as follows: General coral protection
(29 percent with 4 percent limited in
scope), coral collection (61 percent with
25 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (43 percent with 11 percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on
reefs (100 percent with 14 percent
limited in scope), and managing areas
for protection and conservation (93
percent with none limited in scope).
The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for the species are
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reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are also
somewhat common for M. calcarea, but
25 percent of coral collection laws are
limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection. General coral
protection laws are much less common
regulatory mechanisms for the
management of M. calcarea.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for M. calcarea include
its rare abundance combined with
presumed generic vulnerability to a
range of threats including disease,
bleaching, and predation. It listed
factors that reduce potential extinction
risk including its relatively wide
geographic distribution.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of M.
calcarea, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes the Red Sea and
many of the coral reef ecoregions in the
Indian Ocean and western and central
Pacific Ocean. Its geographic
distribution moderates vulnerability to
extinction because some areas within its
range are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification over
the foreseeable future, including the
western Indian Ocean, the central
Pacific, and other areas, so portions of
the population in these areas will be
less exposed to severe conditions. Its
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54059
depth range is from zero to 20 meters.
This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower irradiance than
surface waters, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in
waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. Its
habitat includes at least upper reef
slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef crests,
and reef flats. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is
not limited to one habitat type but
occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time.
Although its qualitative abundance is
described as rare, its absolute
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies, which combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach,
M. calcarea was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution
(based on wide geographic distribution
and moderate depth distribution (E);
and inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for M. calcarea
from threatened to not warranted. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on M.
calcarea’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
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become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
is not warranted for listing at this time,
because:
(1) Montipora calcarea’s distribution
across the Red Sea, Indian Ocean and
the central Pacific Ocean is spread over
a very large area. While some areas
within its range are projected to be
affected by warming and acidification,
other areas are projected to have less
than average warming and acidification,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas. This
distribution and the heterogeneous
habitats it occupies reduce exposure to
any given threat event or adverse
condition that does not occur uniformly
throughout the species range. As
explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future; and
(2) While M. calcarea’s qualitative
abundance is characterized as rare, the
species consists of at least tens of
millions of colonies that are broadly
distributed, providing buffering capacity
in the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility
between individual colonies. As
discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs
section above, the more colonies a
species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to
a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will
not have the same response.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
increase in severity and the species
exposure to threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience
reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, M.
calcarea is not warranted for listing at
this time under any of the listing factors.
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Montipora caliculata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. caliculata’s
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as brown or blue and
massive, and corallites are a mixture of
immersed and foveolate (in a funnel
shape). The taxonomy was described as
having no taxonomic issues.
The public comments and
information we gathered did not
provide any new or supplemental
information on morphology, and
confirmed that there is little taxonomic
uncertainty for M. caliculata. There is a
moderate level of species identification
uncertainty for this species, and Veron
(2014) states that M. caliculata is easily
confused with several other Montipora,
but Veron (2000; 2014) also considers
the species valid, and we consider it is
sufficiently distinctive to be identified
by experts (Fenner, 2014b). Thus, the
distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is
sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. caliculata’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Montipora caliculata is found in the
central Indo-Pacific and the Pacific as
far east as the Pitcairn Islands. Its
habitat includes at least upper reef
slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef crests,
and reef flats, and its depth range
extends as deep as 20 m.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on M. caliculata’s distribution. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports
that this species is confirmed in 53 of
his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and
strongly predicted to occur in an
additional 29. The public comments and
information we gathered provided
nothing additional on M. caliculata’s
habitat and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. caliculata’s
abundance. Montipora caliculata has
been reported as uncommon.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on M. caliculata’s abundance. We
gathered supplemental information,
including surveys in Indonesia and
Vietnam that recorded the species at ten
of 51 sites (Donnelly et al., 2003), and
five of seven sites (Latypov, 2011),
respectively. Veron (2014) reports that
M. caliculata occupied 12.1 percent of
2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
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ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had
a mean abundance rating of 1.55 on a 1
to 5 rating scale at those sites in which
it was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘common.’’ Overall abundance was
described as ‘‘uncommon.’’ Veron did
not infer trends in abundance from
these data. As described in the IndoPacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least tens of millions
of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (Carpenter et al.,
2008) extrapolated species abundance
trend estimates from total live coral
cover trends and habitat types. For M.
caliculata, the overall decline in
abundance (‘‘Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 36
percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (‘‘Backcast Percent Population Reduction’’)
was estimated at 14 percent. However,
as summarized above in the Inter-basin
Comparison sub-section, live coral cover
trends are highly variable both spatially
and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out
of context, thus quantitative inferences
to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that M.
caliculata occurs in many areas affected
by these broad changes, and likely has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible
based on the limited species-specific
information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. caliculata’s
life history. The sexuality and
reproductive modes have been
determined for 35 other species of
Montipora, all of which are
hermaphroditic broadcast spawners.
Although specific observations have not
been published for this species, the
larvae of all other Montipora species
studied contain zooxanthellae that can
supplement maternal provisioning with
energy sources provided by their
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precise ratings of the susceptibilities of
M. caliculata to the threats.
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photosynthesis. It is likely these
characteristics occur in this species as
well. The public comments and
information we gathered provided no
additional biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe M. caliculata’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Montipora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection
and trade. The SRR and SIR also
provided the following species-specific
information on M. caliculata’s threats.
Montipora caliculata is known to
contain mycosporine-like amino acids,
which can play a role in reducing
bleaching exposure. However, M.
caliculata was the 7th most susceptible
to bleaching of the 18 Montipora listed
on the Great Barrier Reef, but showed
only moderate bleaching (∼ 20%, or less
than half as susceptible as congener
Montipora tuberculosa) in French
Polynesia during the 2002 bleaching
event. The SRR and SIR did not provide
any other species-specific information
on the effects of these threats on M.
caliculata. We interpreted the threat
susceptibility and exposure information
from the SRR and SIR in the proposed
rule for M. caliculata’s vulnerabilities as
follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming; moderate vulnerability to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of reef fishing, nutrients and
predation, and low vulnerability to
sedimentation, sea level rise, and
collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on M.
caliculata’s threats, but we gathered the
following species-specific and genuslevel supplemental information on this
species’ threat susceptibilities.
Montipora caliculata has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to
bleaching, but this rating is not based on
species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). Done et al. (2003b) report 50
percent of colonies of M. caliculata were
affected by bleaching on the GBR in
2002. This was more than 11 out of 17
Montipora species and 67 percent as
much as the species that bleached the
most. No other species-specific
information is available for the
susceptibility of M. caliculata to any
other threat. Based on genus-level and
species information described above, M.
caliculata may be highly susceptible to
ocean warming, and likely has some
susceptibilities to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, predation, and
collection and trade. The available
information does not support more
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Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
M caliculata. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to the following analysis to attempt to
analyze regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that M
caliculata occurs in 53 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 36 countries’
EEZs. The 36 countries are Australia,
Brunei, Cambodia, China, Djibouti,
Eritrea, Federated States of Micronesia,
Fiji, France (French Pacific Island
Territories), India (Andaman and
Nicobar Islands), Indonesia, Japan,
Kiribati, Madagascar, Malaysia,
Marshall Islands, Myanmar, Nauru, New
Zealand (Cook Islands, Tokelau), Niue,
Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines,
Samoa, Saudi Arabia, Solomon Islands,
Taiwan, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Tonga,
Tuvalu, United Kingdom (Pitcairn
Islands), United States (CNMI, Guam,
American Samoa, PRIAs), Vanuatu,
Vietnam, and Yemen. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to M. caliculata,
described first as the percentage of the
above countries that utilize them to any
degree and second, as the percentages of
those countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope,
are as follows: General coral protection
(28 percent with three percent limited
in scope), coral collection (58 percent
with 31 percent limited in scope),
pollution control (36 percent with eight
percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (97 percent with 19
percent limited in scope), and managing
areas for protection and conservation
(92 percent with six percent limited in
scope). The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for M. caliculata
are reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection laws are
also somewhat common for the species,
but 31 percent of coral collection laws
are limited in scope and may not
provide substantial protection. General
coral protection and pollution control
laws are much less common regulatory
mechanisms for the management of M.
caliculata.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
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projections of threats. The SRR stated
that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for M. caliculata include
its presumed generic vulnerability to a
range of threats including disease,
bleaching, and predation. It listed
factors that reduce potential extinction
risk including its relatively wide
geographic distribution.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of M.
caliculata, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes most of the coral
reef ecoregions in the Indian Ocean and
western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates
vulnerability to extinction because some
areas within its range are projected to
have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas, so
portions of the population in these areas
will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is down to
at least 20 meters. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas
of its range will usually have lower
irradiance than surface waters, and
acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper
and cooler than those in which the
species occurs. Its habitat includes at
least upper reef slopes, mid-slopes,
lower reef crests, and reef flats. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type
but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. Its
absolute abundance of at least tens of
millions of colonies, combined with
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spatial variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
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Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach,
M. caliculata was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution
(based on wide geographic distribution
and moderate depth distribution (E);
and inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for M. caliculata
from threatened to not warranted. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on M.
caliculata’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
is not warranted for listing at this time,
because:
(1) Montipora caliculata’s distribution
from the Red Sea across the Indian
Ocean and most of the Pacific Ocean is
spread over a very large area. While
some areas within its range are
projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, other areas are projected
to have less than average warming and
acidification, including the western
Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and
other areas. This distribution
throughout the entire region and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies
reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not
occur uniformly throughout the species
range. As explained above in the
Threats Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
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occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future; and
(2) Montipora caliculata’s absolute
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies, providing buffering capacity in
the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility
between individual colonies. As
discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs
section above, the more colonies a
species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to
a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will
not have the same response.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
increase in severity and the species
exposure to threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience
reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, M.
caliculata is not warranted for listing at
this time under any of the listing factors.
Montipora dilatata/flabellata/turgescens
Introduction
As discussed above in the response to
comments, public comments did not
provide any new or supplemental
information, nor did we find any new or
supplemental information, contradicting
the key study used by the SRR to lump
these nominal species (see SRR for
further explanation) into one species as
a listable entity under the ESA. The SRR
and SIR provided the following
information on M. dilatata/flabellate/
turgescens’ morphology and taxonomy.
Montipora dilatata morphology was
described as colonies that are encrusting
to submassive, with irregular branchlike upgrowths, and are pale to dark
brown in color. Montipora flabellata
morphology was described as colonies
that are encrusting, with irregular lobes,
and usually blue in color, but
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sometimes brown or purple. Montipora
turgescens morphology was described as
colonies that are massive, flat,
hemispherical or columnar and are
brown, cream, or purple in color.
The public comments and
information we gathered did not
provide any new or supplemental
information on morphology, and
confirmed that M. dilatata/flabellata/
turgescens has little taxonomic
uncertainty, but a moderate level of
species identification uncertainty. One
public comment stated that M. dilatata
and M. flabellata were described by
Studer, 1901, instead of Dana, 1846 as
stated in the SRR. Veron (2014) states
that M. dilatata and M. flabellata are
apparently distinctive, and M.
turgescens is distinctive and Veron
(2000; 2014) considers these species
valid, so we consider these
morphological variations of this single
species sufficiently distinctive to be
identified by experts (Fenner, 2014b).
Thus, we consider the distribution and
abundance information described below
for this species is sufficiently reliable
(Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. dilatata/
flabellata/turgescens’ distribution,
habitat, and depth range. The
distribution of this species is the sum of
the distributions of the three nominal
species. Montipora dilatata and M.
flabellata are in Hawaii and M.
turgescens ranges from the Red Sea and
east Africa to French Polynesia, thus the
whole entity ranges from the Red Sea
and east Africa to Hawaii and French
Polynesia. This species’ habitat includes
at least upper reef slopes, mid-slopes,
lower reef slopes, lower reef crests, reef
flats, and lagoons, and extends to 30 m
deep.
The public comments provided the
following supplemental information.
One public comment stated that M.
turgescens that was reported by Fenner
(2005) to be restricted within Hawaii
and the Northwestern Hawaiian Islands.
We gathered supplemental information
which provided the following.
Montipora dilatata was previously only
known from Hawaii, but has recently
been reported to occur in the northern
and southern Line Islands of Kiribati
and the Cook Islands (Veron, 2014).
Within Hawaii, M. dilatata has only
been observed at Kaneohe Bay on Oahu
and at Laysan Island in the
northwestern Hawaiian Islands.
However, the Laysan location has not
been confirmed recently and may need
further investigation. Montipora
flabellata was also previously known
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only from Hawaii (Veron, 2000), but has
recently been reported to occur in the
northern Line Islands of Kiribati (Veron,
2014). In contrast, M. turgescens is
broadly distributed throughout the IndoPacific from South Africa and Socotra
Island to Hawaii and French Polynesia,
and from Japan to the mid-latitudes in
Australia (Veron, 2014). Veron (Veron,
2014)) confirms M. dilatata in four of
his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions
(northwestern and main Hawaiian
Islands and the northern and southern
Line Islands), M. flabellata from three of
the same four ecoregions (all but the
southern Line Islands), and M.
turgescens in 71 (including both Hawaii
ecoregions but neither Line Islands
ecoregions). Thus, M. dilatata/
flabellata/turgescens is confirmed in 73
of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and
strongly predicted to be found in an
additional 30 (Veron, 2014).
Montipora dilatata is reported from
subtidal environments (Veron, 2000). In
the only location within the main
Hawaiian Islands where M. dilatata is
known, Kaneohe Bay on Oahu, it is
limited to shallow water protected from
wave action. Montipora flabellata is
reported from shallow reef
environments, and M. turgescens is
reported from most reef environments
(Veron, 2000). Montipora dilatata and
M. flabellata are both reported from 1 to
10 m depth, whereas M. turgescens has
been reported to 30 m depth (Carpenter
et al., 2008). Thus we consider the
depth range for this species to be from
one to at least 30 meters.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. dilatata/
flabellata/turgescens’ abundance.
Montipora dilatata is rare, M. flabellata
is the 5th most common coral in Hawaii,
and M. turgescens is described as
common.
Public comments provided the
following. One comment provided
quantitative transect data from Hawaii
that included coral cover measures of M.
flabellata. At Kahului Harbor channel
entrance, M. flabellata was the most
abundant coral. At several other sites,
M. flabellata was not recorded or was
recorded at low levels. Supplemental
information provided the following.
Veron (2014) reports that M. dilatata
and M. turgescens occupied 0.03 and
16.66 percent respectively of 2,984 dive
sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the
Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance
rating of 3.0 and 1.40 respectively on a
1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in which
it was found. The ‘‘mean abundance
when present’’ rating of 3.0 for M.
dilatata was the highest of all species in
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Veron (2014), indicating that it was
highly abundant at the few sites where
it was observed. Based on this semiquantitative system, M. dilatata and M.
turgescens’ abundances were
characterized as ‘‘rare’’ and ‘‘common’’
respectively, and overall abundances
were also described as ‘‘rare’’ and
‘‘common’’ respectively. Montipora
flabellata was not encountered in their
surveys because they did not survey in
Hawaii (Veron, 2014). Veron did not
infer trends in abundance from these
data. As described in the Indo-Pacific
Species Determinations introduction
above, based on results from Richards et
al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at
least tens of millions of colonies.
Montipora dilatata and M. turgescens
are rare in the main Hawaiian Islands,
thus they are not recorded in the Hawaii
Coral Reef Assessment and Monitoring
Program (CRAMP) data-sets. In contrast,
CRAMP results indicate that M.
flabellata has an overall statewide mean
cover of 2.2 percent, making it the fifth
most abundant coral in the main
Hawaiian Islands (CRAMP, 2008a).
Jokiel and Brown (2004) reported M.
flabellata as the sixth most abundant
coral in the main Hawaiian Islands,
with 0.7 percent cover. A model
predicted that M. flabellata was sixth in
coral cover of all corals in the Main
Hawaiian Islands, with about 0.3
percent cover (Franklin et al., 2013).
Kenyon and Brainard (2006) reported
that M. flabellata and M. turgescens
along with M. capitata dominate many
backreef locations on the northern three
atolls in the Northwestern Hawaiian
Islands. Hunter (2011) reported that the
number of M. dilatata colonies in
Kaneohe Bay, Oahu has increased with
increasing search effort, and in 2010 a
total of 43 confirmed M. dilatata
colonies were located. This is the only
location in the main Hawaiian Islands
where M. dilatata is known to occur.
There is no overall abundance trend
information for M. dilatata, M.
flabellata, or M. turgescens, but M.
flabellata has been monitored on some
time-series transects in Hawaii. Dollar
and Grigg (2004) monitored coral cover
over 12 and 20 year periods at three
sites in Hawaii, each with multiple
transects: a semi-enclosed embayment
on Maui and two open coastal sites on
Kauai and the Big Island. At the Maui
site, overall live coral cover declined by
approximately 33 percent from 1990 to
2002. Montipora flabellata cover
increased from 6.9 to 7.1 percent of total
live coral cover, and was the fifth most
abundant coral. At the Kauai site,
overall live coral cover increased by
approximately 30 percent from 1983 to
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54063
2002. Montipora flabellata increased
from 7.4 to 14.3 percent of total live
coral cover and was the fourth most
abundant coral. At the Big Island site,
overall live coral cover increased by
approximately 50 percent from 1983 to
2002, but M. flabellata was not present
during the study (Dollar and Grigg,
2004).
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For M. turgescens, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 20 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 9 percent.
Estimates for M. dilatata and M.
flabellata were not available. However,
as summarized above in the Inter-basin
Comparison sub-section, live coral cover
trends are highly variable both spatially
and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out
of context, thus quantitative inferences
to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years.
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that M.
turgescens occurs in many areas affected
by these broad changes, and likely has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible
based on the limited information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. dilatata/
flabellata/turgescens’ life history.
Montipora dilatata/flabellata/turgescens
is a hermaphroditic broadcast spawner.
The public comments and information
we gathered provided no additional
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe M. dilatata/flabellata/
turgescens’ threat susceptibilities, the
SRR and SIR provided genus-level
information for the effects on Montipora
of ocean warming, disease, ocean
acidification, sedimentation, nutrients,
predation, and collection and trade. The
SRR and SIR also provided the
following species-specific information
on M. dilatata/flabellata/turgescens’
threats. Montipora dilatata and M.
flabellata are highly susceptible to
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bleaching, with substantial local
¯
declines of M. dilatata in Kane‘ohe Bay,
Hawai‘i, from bleaching mortality. The
SRR and SIR did not provide any other
species-specific information on the
effects of these threats on M. dilatata/
flabellata/turgescens. We interpreted
the susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the
proposed rule for M. dilatata/flabellata/
turgescens’ vulnerabilities as follows:
High vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of reef
fishing, nutrients, and predation, and
low vulnerability to sedimentation, sea
level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on M.
dilatata/flabellata/turgescens’ threats,
but we gathered the following speciesspecific and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Montipora dilatata, M.
flabellata, and M. turgescens have each
been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching but not to
disease, however, these ratings are not
based on species-specific data
(Carpenter et al. 2008). With regard to
thermal stress, in the Northwest
Hawaiian Islands, M. turgescens
bleached much less severely than
Montipora capitata in 2002 (G. Aeby
personal comm.). Kenyon and Brainard
(2006) report that in 2004, M. capitata
and M. turgescens had high levels of
bleaching in the northern three atolls,
with up to 100 percent bleaching in
some areas. Montipora flabellata,
though, had very low levels of bleaching
(1.2 to 4.7 percent). Jokiel and Brown
(2004) reported that M. dilatata and M.
flabellata had low resistance to
bleaching in 1996 in Hawaii. Montipora
dilatata was the most sensitive species
to bleaching in Kaneohe Bay in 1996. It
was the first to bleach and few survived
the event (Jokiel and Brown, 2004). The
majority of the species-specific and
genus-level information above suggests
that M. dilatata/flabellata/turgescens
likely is highly susceptible to warminginduced bleaching.
With regard to disease, M. turgescens
is specifically described with mortality
from a rapid tissue-loss (‘‘white’’)
syndrome in the Northwestern
Hawaiian Islands, and this condition
affected more than 21 percent of
Montipora colonies in a 2003 survey
(Aeby, 2006). In the main Hawaiian
Islands, an outbreak of filamentous
bacterial diseases began in 2012 on
Kauai, and continued in 2013, heavily
affecting the Montipora species on these
reefs, including Montipora capitata, M.
flabellata, and M. patula (Work, 2013).
This species appears to be highly
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susceptible to these diseases when
environmental conditions are degraded,
especially the larger colonies (Thierry
Work, personal comm.).
Based on genus-level and species
information described above, M.
dilatata/flabellata/turgescens likely is
highly susceptible to ocean warming,
and likely has some susceptibilities to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, predation, and collection and
trade.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
M. dilatata/flabellata/turgescens.
Criticisms of our approach received
during public comment led us to the
following analysis to attempt to analyze
regulatory mechanisms on a species
basis. Records confirm that M dilatata/
flabellata/turgescens occurs in 73 IndoPacific ecoregions that encompass 30
countries’ EEZs. The 30 countries are
Australia (including Norfolk Island),
Brunei, Cambodia, China, Federated
States of Micronesia, Fiji, France
(French Pacific Island Territories), India
(including Andaman and Nicobar
Islands), Indonesia, Japan, Kiribati,
Madagascar, Malaysia, Mauritius,
Myanmar, New Zealand (Cook Islands),
Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines,
Seychelles, Solomon Islands, South
Africa, Sri Lanka, Taiwan, Thailand,
Timor-Leste, United States (Hawaii,
PRIAs), Vanuatu, Vietnam, and Yemen.
The regulatory mechanisms relevant to
M. dilatata/flabellata/turgescens,
described first as the percentage of the
above countries that utilize them to any
degree and second, as the percentages of
those countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope,
are as follows: General coral protection
(33 percent with 10 percent limited in
scope), coral collection (53 percent with
23 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (43 percent with 10 percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on
reefs (97 percent with 20 percent
limited in scope), and managing areas
for protection and conservation (97
percent with none limited in scope).
The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for to M. dilatata/
flabellata/turgescens are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral
collection and pollution control laws
are also somewhat common for the
species, but 23 percent of coral
collection laws are limited in scope and
may not provide substantial protection.
General coral protection laws are less
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common regulatory mechanisms for the
management of M. dilatata/flabellata/
turgescens.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for M. dilatata/flabellata/
turgescens include its presumed generic
vulnerability to a range of threats
including ocean warming, disease,
predation, as well as documented
declines in Hawai‘i of the M. dilatata
component. Factors that reduce
potential extinction risk are the
common occurrence and relatively wide
geographic distribution of the M.
turgescens component.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of M.
dilatata/flabellata/turgescens, in
conjunction with the information
described in the Corals and Coral Reefs
section, Coral Habitat sub-section, and
Threats Evaluation section above, affect
its vulnerability to extinction currently
and over the foreseeable future. Its
geographic distribution includes nearly
all of the coral reef ecoregions in the
Indian Ocean and western and central
Pacific Ocean. Its geographic
distribution moderates vulnerability to
extinction because some areas within its
range are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification over
the foreseeable future, including the
western Indian Ocean, the central
Pacific, and other areas, so portions of
the population in these areas will be
less exposed to severe conditions. Its
depth range is from low tide to at least
30 meters. This moderates vulnerability
to extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower irradiance than
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surface waters, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in
waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. Its
habitat includes at least upper reef
slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef slopes,
lower reef crests, reef flats, and lagoons.
This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous
types of reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience
highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. Its absolute abundance of tens to
hundreds of millions of colonies,
combined with spatial variability in
ocean warming and acidification across
the species range, moderates
vulnerability to extinction because the
increasingly severe conditions expected
in the foreseeable future will be nonuniform and therefore will likely be a
large number of colonies that are either
not exposed or do not negatively
respond to a threat at any given point
in time.
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Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach,
M. dilatata/flabellata/turgescens was
proposed for listing as threatened
because of: High vulnerability to ocean
warming (ESA Factor E); moderate
vulnerability to disease (C) and
acidification (E); common generalized
range wide abundance (E); wide overall
distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and moderate depth
distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for M. dilatata/
flabellata/turgescens from threatened to
not warranted. We made this
determination based on a more speciesspecific and holistic assessment of
whether this species meets the
definition of either a threatened or
endangered coral largely in response to
public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the
buffering capacity of this species’ spatial
and demographic traits to lessen its
vulnerability to threats. Thus, based on
the best available information above on
M. dilatata/flabellata/turgescens’ spatial
structure, demography, threat
susceptibilities, and management, none
of the five ESA listing factors, alone or
in combination, are causing this species
to be likely to become endangered
throughout its range within the
foreseeable future, and thus is not
warranted for listing at this time,
because:
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(1) Montipora dilatata/flabellata/
turgescens’ distribution across the
Indian Ocean and most of the Pacific
Ocean is spread over a very large area.
While some areas within its range are
projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, other areas are projected
to have less than average warming and
acidification, including the western
Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and
other areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies
reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not
occur uniformly throughout the species
range. As explained above in the
Threats Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future; and
(2) Montipora dilatata/flabellata/
turgescens’ absolute abundance is at
least tens of millions of colonies,
providing buffering capacity in the form
of absolute numbers of colonies and
variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the
Corals and Coral Reefs section above,
the more colonies a species has, the
lower the proportion of colonies that are
likely to be exposed to a particular
threat at a particular time, and all
individuals that are exposed will not
have the same response.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
increase in severity and the species
exposure to threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience
reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, M.
dilatata/flabellata/turgescens is not
warranted for listing at this time under
any of the listing factors.
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Montipora lobulata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. lobulata’s
morphology and taxonomy. Colonies of
Montipora lobulata are mottled brown
or white and submassive. Colony
surfaces consist of irregular mounds.
There are no taxonomic issues for M.
lobulata.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on M. lobulata’s morphology and
taxonomy. We gathered supplemental
information on this species, which
indicates a very high level of species
identification uncertainty for this
species. Montipora lobulata is too
difficult to identify on reefs, even for
experts, for the data collected on it to be
reliable. Veron (2014) states that M.
lobulata has a poorly known
distribution and his distribution map is
not suitable for analysis. Although
Veron (2000; 2014), considers the
species valid, we conclude it not
sufficiently distinctive to be reliably
identified (Fenner, 2014b). Thus, we do
not consider the M. lobulata distribution
and abundance information in the SRR
or SIR to be sufficiently reliable and are
unable to provide a reliable species
description for M. lobulata in this final
rule.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach,
M. lobulata was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); narrow overall
distribution (based on narrow
geographic distribution and shallow
depth distribution (E); and inadequacy
of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
Based on the lack of information on
M. lobulata’s distribution, abundance,
and threat susceptibilities due to this
species’ identification uncertainty, we
believe there is not sufficient evidence
to support a listing determination of
threatened or endangered. Therefore, we
find that listing is not warranted at this
time under any factor.
Montipora patula/verrilli
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. patula/
verrilli’s morphology and taxonomy.
Morphology was described as
encrusting or tiered plates that are tan
in color, most often with purple polyps.
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Due to taxonomic issues from recent
genetic and micro-morphological
analyses, the BRT chose to evaluate
extinction risk of Montipora patula/
verrilli as a species since they are
indistinguishable genetically and micromorphologically.
The public comments provided the
following information on morphology
and taxonomy. One public comment
stated that there are subtle but
consistent differences between the two
nominal species, and despite genetic
analysis showing strong similarity
between the two species, it cannot be
conclusive until more of the genome is
analyzed. A second public comment
stated that since the combining of
morphological species into a single
entity was only done for two groups of
species in Hawaii and for none of the
other species around the world, for
consistency these species should be
considered separately. The commenter
stated that these groupings are based on
a single scientific publication that
suggests, but does not state
conclusively, that these species contain
the same identical genomes and that
combining them makes it so that
differences between them in abundance
and physiological characteristics cannot
be separated. The group as a whole,
suggested the commenter, might have
one status while species within the
group could have another. As discussed
above in the response to comments,
public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information
contradicting the SRR to lump these
nominal species (see SRR for further
explanation) into one species as a
listable entity under the ESA.
Supplemental information we
gathered confirms the known taxonomic
problems for M. patula/verrilli, and
reports that there is a moderate level of
species identification uncertainty for
this species. Montipora patula and M.
verrilli are similar (Veron, 2000; Veron,
2014; Wallace, 1999b), and may be
indistinguishable (Fenner, 2005).
However, the species M. patula/verrilli
is distinctive and not difficult to
identify by experts (Fenner, 2014b).
Veron (2014) states that M. patula is
very similar to M. verrilli and Veron
(2000; 2014) considers the species valid.
As already stated, we consider M.
patula/verrilli is sufficiently distinctive
to be identified by experts (Fenner,
2014b). Thus, we conclude that the
distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is
sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. patula/
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verrilli’s distribution, habitat, and depth
range. Montipora patula/verrilli has a
very restricted range, centered on the
Main and Northwestern Hawaiian
Islands. Montipora verrilli has been
reported from some other locations.
Montipora patula has been reported to
occupy shallow reef environments and
reef flats, and is common in wave-swept
environments but less tolerant of
sediment-impacted areas. Montipora
patula/verrilli’s habitat includes at least
upper reef slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef
slopes, lower reef crests, and reef flats.
The depth range is described as shallow
reef flats down to 10 meters depth, with
a report of 40 meters.
The public comments provided the
following information. One public
comment stated that a species that is
highly consistent with Veron’s
description of M. verrilli has been
reported from the Marianas. We
gathered supplemental information,
which stated that M. patula was
considered endemic to the Hawaiian
Islands and Johnston Atoll (Veron,
2000), but is now known to occur
throughout the Hawaiian Islands, and
also in the Line Islands, Marquesas, and
Austral Islands (Veron, 2014). Veron
(2014) reports M. patula as absent from
Johnston Atoll, but this is an error as it
is well known to occur there (Maragos
and Jokiel, 1986); (Coles et al., 2001);
(Brainard et al., 2005; Veron, 2000;
Williams and Miller, 2012); (Lobel and
K., 2008). Veron (2014) does not report
on M. verrilli. Like M. patula, M. verrilli
is reported from the Hawaiian Islands
and Johnston Atoll (Veron, 2000), but is
also reported from the Mariana Islands
and Palau (Randall, 1995; Randall, 2003;
Randall and Myers, 1983). Veron (2014)
reports that M. patula is confirmed in
five of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions
and strongly predicted in an additional
two ecoregions.
Montipora patula is commonly
observed deeper than 10 m throughout
the Hawaiian Islands (Samuel Kahng,
personal comm.), but its deepest depth
range is not reported. The public
comments and information we gathered
provided nothing supplemental on M.
patula/verrilli’s habitat and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. patula/
verrilli’s abundance. Montipora patula
and M. verrilli have been reported as
sometimes common. Montipora patula
is the most abundant of the three
Hawaiian endemic (nominal) Montipora
with overall statewide mean cover of 3.3
percent, making it the fourth most
abundant coral in Hawai‘i. Montipora
verrilli is less abundant in Hawai‘i.
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Dollar and Grigg (2004) show
substantial declines of M. patula on a
subset of their transects over 12 years,
but other transects within sites show
high variability between surveys or
similar cover between the beginning and
end of the study.
The public comments provided the
following information on this species’
demography. One public comment
stated that data from 79 monitoring sites
in Hawaii from 1999 to 2012 suggest
that M. patula and M. verrilli are
experiencing different trajectories in
growth and abundance. A second public
comment stated that the SRR’s
characterization of M. patula’s
populations as declining disregards
public records of numerous long-term
monitoring programs that have
demonstrated its considerable
abundance along the Hawaiian coast
and its resistance to extreme conditions.
A third public comment provided
quantitative coral cover data from a
variety of transects taken in Hawaii.
Montipora patula often had the third,
fourth, or fifth highest coral cover of any
species. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014),
which while he did not conduct
abundance surveys in Hawaii, describes
the overall abundance of M. patula as
‘‘uncommon.’’ Montipora patula is one
of the most common reef-building corals
in Hawaii. Jokiel et al. (2004) reported
that M. patula has an overall statewide
mean cover of 2.7 percent and the
Hawaii Coral Reef Assessment and
Monitoring Program (CRAMP) indicates
that M. patula has an overall statewide
mean cover of 3.3 percent (CRAMP,
2008b). Those mean cover percentages
make M. patula the fourth most
abundant coral in the main Hawaiian
Islands. Fenner (2005) considered M.
patula as one of the five most common
corals in Hawaii. Grigg (1984) found
that M. patula was the fifth most
common coral in the main Hawaiian
Islands. A species distribution model
predicted that M. patula has the second
highest coral cover of all reef-building
coral species in the main Hawaiian
Islands (Franklin et al., 2013).
Montipora verrilli has been reported to
dominate deep, still water along with
another Montipora species at Johnston
Island (Jokiel and Tyler III, 1992) and M.
patula is reported to be one of the two
most common corals at Johnston Island
(NOAA, 2006). In one study, M. patula
was found at every one of the 11
stations at Johnston Island that were
surveyed (Coles et al., 2001). These
three studies may refer to the same
species.
The species has been monitored on
some time-series transects in Hawaii.
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Dollar and Grigg (2004) monitored coral
cover over 12 and 20 year periods at
three sites in Hawaii, each with
multiple transects: a semi-enclosed
embayment on Maui and two open
coastal sites on Kauai and the Big
Island. At the Maui site, overall live
coral cover declined by approximately
33 percent from 1990 to 2002; M. patula
cover declined from 13.8 to 8.2 percent
of total live coral cover, and was the
fourth most abundant coral at this site.
At the Kauai site, overall live coral
cover increased by approximately 30
percent from 1983 to 2002; M. patula
increased from 24.9 to 36.0 percent of
total live coral cover, and was the
second most abundant coral at this site.
At the Big Island site, overall live coral
cover increased by approximately 50
percent from 1983 to 2002; M. patula
increased from 0.7 to 3.3 percent of total
live coral cover, and was the fourth
most abundant coral at this site (Dollar
and Grigg, 2004). Friedlander and
Brown (2005) monitored coral cover for
12 years at 20 transects in Hanalei Bay,
Kauai. Overall live coral cover increased
by approximately 30 percent from 1993
to 2004, M. patula increased from
approximately 50 to 60 percent of total
live coral cover, and was the most
abundant coral (Friedlander and Brown,
2005). In its public comment letter on
the proposed rule, the National Park
Service summarized data collected from
1999 to 2012 at 79 sites at different
depths from the main Hawaiian Islands
(exact locations not identified) showing
that M. patula increased in live coral
cover by approximately 2.3 percent over
the 14 year period at all sites combined.
As described in the Indo-Pacific Species
Determinations introduction above,
based on results from Richards et al.
(2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at
least millions of colonies.
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Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on M. patula/
verrilli’s life history. Montipora patula
and M. verrilli are both documented as
hermaphroditic broadcast spawners.
Release of packaged egg and sperm
bundles has been observed in the
months of July through September at
Coconut Island, Oahu, during two moon
phases: new to first quarter, and full to
third quarter. Although specific larval
descriptions have not been published
for this species, the larvae of all other
Montipora species studied contain
zooxanthellae that can supplement
maternal provisioning with energy
sources provided by their
photosynthesis. The public comments
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and information we gathered provided
no supplemental biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe M. patula/verrilli’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Montipora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, sedimentation,
nutrients, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR and SIR also provided
the following species-specific
information on M. patula/verrilli’s
threats. Montipora patula is among the
most bleaching-susceptible corals in the
Northwestern Hawaiian Islands and
may be moderately susceptible in the
main Hawaiian Islands. What ultimately
became known as the stress-tolerant
zooxanthellae clade D was first
documented in shallow-water M. patula
in Hawai’i, though it also hosts clade C
in deeper waters. Both nominal M.
patula and M. verrilli are specifically
noted with acute disease conditions
(involving tissue loss/partial mortality)
with high frequency of occurrence (over
20 percent of surveyed sites where the
taxa was observed showed disease
signs) and high prevalence (over seven
percent in some sites) in the
Northwestern Hawaiian Islands (Aeby,
2006). This author points out that the
high prevalence sites had suffered
severe bleaching in the previous year.
Montipora patula may be less sediment
tolerant than other Montipora species
(Jokiel et al., 2007), and it did disappear
from survey stations in Pelekane Bay,
Hawai‘i between 1977 and 1996 as the
bay became more impacted by sediment.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any
other species-specific information on
the effects of these threats on M. patula/
verrilli. We interpreted the threat
susceptibility and exposure information
from the SRR and SIR in the proposed
rule for M. patula/verrilli’s
vulnerabilities as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerabilities to disease,
ocean acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, and
predation, and low vulnerability to sealevel rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments provided some
supplemental information on M. patula/
verrilli’s threat susceptibilities. One
public comment stated that in nearshore
areas exposed to extremes of low
salinity and temperature such as the
eastern shore of the island of Hawaii
where there are many streams and
groundwater discharges, M. patula is
one of the most common corals,
sometimes nearly covering the entire
reef surface. Montipora patula is one of
the most common corals in harbors
around the state of Hawaii, where it
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tolerates elevated sediment loading and
resuspension.
We gathered the following speciesspecific and genus-level information on
this species’ threat susceptibilities.
Montipora patula has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to
bleaching and coral disease, but M.
verrilli has not been rated as moderately
or highly susceptible to bleaching and
coral disease, however, these ratings are
not based on species-specific data
(Carpenter et al., 2008). Kenyon and
Brainard (2006) report that M. patula
was the most frequently bleached coral
in Maro, Laysan, and Lisianski in the
Northwestern Hawaiian Islands in 2004.
At Pearl and Hermes reef, more than
half of the M. patula colonies bleached,
although more than half of the colonies
of several other coral species also
bleached. In a bleaching event in 1996,
M. patula was found to have a moderate
sensitivity to bleaching (Jokiel and
Brown, 2004). At Kailua, Oahu, M.
patula was observed to partly bleach
every year for four years in April or May
and October or September (HoeghGuldberg, 1995). Montipora patula
colonies host multiple zooxanthellae
clades, depending on location and
depth. In Hawaii, colonies from
different sites and depths had two
different clades (LaJeunesse et al.,
2004a), and at Johnston Atoll, colonies
from different sites and depths had four
different clades, including the two
found in the Hawaii colonies (Stat et al.,
2009).
In the main Hawaiian Islands, an
outbreak of filamentous bacterial
diseases began in 2012 on Kauai, and
continued in 2013, heavily affecting the
Montipora species on these reefs,
including M. capitata, M. flabellata, and
M. patula (Work, 2013). These
Montipora species appear to be highly
susceptible to these diseases when
environmental conditions are degraded,
especially the larger colonies (Thierry
Work, personal comm.). It is unknown
if these Montipora species are highly
susceptible to these diseases when
environmental conditions are not as
degraded as they are on Kauai. With
regards to sedimentation, the SRR
referred to a study that concluded M.
patula was more sensitive to sediment
than other corals and another study that
concluded M. verrilli was relatively
resistant to sedimentation. No other
species-specific information is available
for the susceptibility of M. patula/
verrilli to any other threat.
Based on genus-level and speciesspecific information described above, M.
patula/verrilli likely is highly
susceptible to ocean warming, likely has
some susceptibility to disease, ocean
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acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade. The
available information does not support
more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of M. patula/verrilli to
the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
M. patula/verrilli. Criticisms of our
approach received during public
comment led us to the following
analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records
confirm that M. patula/verrilli occurs in
eight Indo-Pacific ecoregions that
encompass four countries’ EEZs. The
four countries are France (French
Pacific Island Territories), Kiribati,
Palau, and the United States (Guam,
CNMI, Hawaii, PRIAs). The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to M. patula/
verrilli, described first as the percentage
of the above countries that utilize them
to any degree and second, as the
percentages of those countries whose
regulatory mechanisms may be limited
in scope, are as follows: General coral
protection (75 percent with none
limited in scope), coral collection (100
percent with 25 percent limited in
scope), pollution control (75 percent
with 25 percent limited in scope),
fishing regulations on reefs (100 percent
with 25 percent limited in scope), and
managing areas for protection and
conservation (100 percent with none
limited in scope). All five regulatory
mechanisms are very common for
managing M. patula/verrilli, with only
coral collection, pollution control, and
reef fishing laws somewhat limited in
scope.
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Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for M. patula/verrilli
include its combined very narrow
geographic distribution, restriction to
shallow habitats, and its generic high
susceptibility to a range of threats
(bleaching, predation) and documented
species-specific impacts from disease.
No species characteristics were noted in
the SRR that reduced expectations of
extinction risk.
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Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of M.
patula/verrilli, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes coral reef
ecoregions spanning an arc across the
Pacific Ocean from the Mariana to
Hawaiian to Austral Islands. Its
geographic distribution moderates
vulnerability to extinction because some
areas within its range are projected to
have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future,
including the central Pacific, so portions
of the population in these areas will be
less exposed to severe conditions. Its
depth range is from low tide to more
than 10 meters, possibly as deep as 40
meters. This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower irradiance than
surface waters, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in
waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. Its
habitat includes at least upper reef
slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef slopes,
lower reef crests, and reef flats. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type
but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. Its
common and stable or increasing
abundance in parts of its range,
combined with spatial variability in
ocean warming and acidification across
the species range, moderates
vulnerability to extinction because the
increasingly severe conditions expected
in the foreseeable future will be nonuniform and therefore will likely be a
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large number of colonies that are either
not exposed or do not negatively
respond to a threat at any given point
in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the
determination tool formula approach,
M. patula/verrilli was proposed for
listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
common generalized range wide
abundance (E); narrow overall
distribution (based on narrow
geographic distribution and moderate
depth distribution (E); and inadequacy
of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for M. patula/
verrilli from threatened to not
warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and
holistic assessment of whether this
species meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on M.
patula/verrilli’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
it is not warranted for listing at this
time, because:
(1) Montipora patula/verrilli’s
distribution range is widespread,
although disjointed and not continuous,
from Palau to Hawaii to French
Polynesia. While some areas within its
range are projected to be affected by
warming and acidification, other areas
are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification, including
the central Pacific. This distribution and
the heterogeneous habitats it occupies
reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not
occur uniformly throughout the species
range. As explained above in the
Threats Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Montipora patula/verrilli is one of
the most abundant species in Hawaii, a
major part of its range, and time-series
studies of various sites around Hawaii
since the 1980s seem to show stability
in overall abundance trends in M.
patula. The species’ abundance
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provides buffering capacity in the form
of absolute numbers of colonies and
variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the
Corals and Coral Reefs section above,
the more colonies a species has, the
lower the proportion of colonies that are
likely to be exposed to a particular
threat at a particular time, and all
individuals that are exposed will not
have the same response;
(3) The depth range for M. patula/
verrilli likely extends to 40 m depth,
suggesting the possibility of depth
refuges from ocean warming and other
threats, and indicating a higher absolute
area of potential occupancy within the
species range;
(4) Many of the areas where M.
patula/verrilli is found in the Pacific are
remote and mostly uninhabited,
reducing the likelihood of exposure to
local sources of impacts that result from
human activities; and
(5) All five major categories of
protective regulatory mechanisms
addressing local sources of threats are
implemented by 75 to 100 percent of the
countries within M. patula/verrilli’s
range, with only three categories
somewhat limited in scope.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
worsen in severity and the species’
exposure to the threats increases
throughout its range. Should the species
experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, M.
patula/verrilli is not warranted for
listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Genus Alveopora
Genus Introduction
The family Poritidae consists of six
genera: Porites, Goniopora, Alveopora,
Stylaraea, Poritipora, and Calathistes.
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Alveopora consists of 14 species, all
occurring in the Indo-Pacific (Veron,
2000). Colonies are usually massive,
branching, plating, or a combination.
The SRR and SIR provided no genuslevel introductory information on
Alveopora.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Alveopora.
The genus Alveopora is listed as having
the highest bleaching response from the
17 included genera in the Indian Ocean.
Alveopora had high bleaching in Guam
in 1994 and South Africa in 2000, but
had little bleaching or mortality in Palau
in the 2001 event. Low-to-moderate
bleaching of Alveopora allingi was
observed in East Africa during the
1997–1998 event. A few disease reports
for the genus Alveopora can be found in
the Global Disease Database.
The public comments did not provide
supplemental information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Alveopora.
We gathered supplemental information
that provided the following. In Palau in
2000, Alveopora species had ‘‘relatively
little bleaching and mortality.’’ Forty
eight percent of all colonies of all
species were bleached, and bleaching of
different genera and species ranged from
none to very high, but no quantitative
results were reported for any Alveopora
species (Bruno et al., 2001). In Kenya in
a bleaching event in 1998, all Alveopora
colonies in the study sites were killed
by mass bleaching (McClanahan et al.,
2001). In Mauritius in a bleaching event
in 2004, Alveopora colonies had a
bleaching index of 62, the second
highest of the 32 genera recorded
(McClanahan et al., 2005a). In the
western Indian Ocean, relative
extinction risk scores for coral genera
were calculated based on observed
genus-level bleaching between 1998 and
2005. The index of extinction risk was
proportional to the degree of bleaching,
and inversely proportional to the
abundance and number of reefs on
which a taxon was found on. The index
of extinction risk for Alveopora was the
ninth highest out of 47 genera, with a
score of 0.41 based on a scale of 0 to 1
with 1 being the score of the highest
scoring genus (McClanahan et al.,
2007a). In Indonesia, colonies of
Goniopora and Alveopora had a
combined disease prevalence of about
0.3 percent, which was considered low
(Haapkyla et al., 2007).
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the
SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make
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the following inferences about the
susceptibilities of an unstudied
Alveopora species to ocean warming,
disease, acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sealevel rise, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR rated ocean warming
and disease as ‘‘high’’ importance, and
ocean acidification as ‘‘medium-high’’
importance, to corals. These were rated
as the three most important threats to
reef-building corals overall. The studies
reporting bleaching in the genus
Alveopora reported a wide range of
results, from high levels of bleaching to
low levels of bleaching. There are a few
reports of disease in Alveopora in the
Global Disease database, and Goniopora
and Alveopora had low combined
disease prevalence in Indonesia. Thus,
we conclude that Alveopora is likely to
have some susceptibility to ocean
warming and disease. Although there is
no other genus-level or species-specific
information on the susceptibilities of
Alveopora species to ocean
acidification, the SRR rated it as
‘‘medium-high’’ importance to corals.
Thus, we conclude that an unstudied
Alveopora species is likely to have some
susceptibility to ocean acidification.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of
fishing as ‘‘medium’’ importance, the
fourth most important threat to corals
overall. This threat was not addressed at
the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level
process. That is, removal of herbivorous
fish from coral reef systems by fishing
alters trophic interactions by reducing
herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae
over coral. Thus, the SRR did not
discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa,
as its effects are difficult to distinguish
between coral genera and species.
Therefore, an unstudied Alveopora
species is likely to have some
susceptibility to the trophic effects of
fishing.
The SRR rated sedimentation,
nutrients, and sea-level rise as ‘‘lowmedium’’ importance to corals overall.
Although there is no other genus-level
or species-specific information on the
susceptibilities of Alveopora species to
sedimentation and nutrients, the SRR
rated them as ‘‘low-medium’’
importance to corals. Thus we conclude
that an unstudied Alveopora species is
likely to have some susceptibility to
sedimentation and nutrients. Sea-level
rise was not addressed at the genus or
species level in the SRR or SIR.
Increasing sea levels may increase landbased sources of pollution due to
inundation, resulting in changes to coral
community structure, thus an unstudied
Alveopora species is likely to have some
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susceptibility to sea-level rise. The SRR
rated predation and ornamental trade
(referred to in the proposed rule as
Collection and Trade) as ‘‘low’’
importance to corals overall. Although
there is no other genus-level or speciesspecific information on the
susceptibilities of Alveopora species to
collection and trade, there is no
information suggesting they are not
susceptible to these threats. Thus we
conclude that an unstudied Alveopora
species is likely to have some
susceptibility to collection and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied
Alveopora species is likely to have some
susceptibility to ocean warming,
disease, acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sealevel rise, predation, and collection and
trade.
Alveopora allingi
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. allingi’s
morphology and taxonomy. Its
morphology was described as colonies
being encrusting or having short
irregular lobes with rounded surfaces or
being columnar. Its taxonomy was
described as having no taxonomic
issues, but being similar to Alveopora
catalai and
Alveopora marionensis.
Public comments and information we
gathered did not provide supplemental
information on morphology, and
confirmed that there are no known
taxonomic problems for A. allingi, and
a low level of species identification
uncertainty. Veron (2014) states that A.
allingi is distinctive and Veron (2000;
2014) considers the species valid, thus
we consider it can be identified by
experts and conclude that the
distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is
sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
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Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. allingi’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Alveopora allingi has a very broad
distribution from the Red Sea and
Indian Ocean to most of the Pacific
Ocean. The SRR reported that A.
allingi’s habitat is protected reef
environments and its depth range is five
to 10 m deep. Protected reef
environments includes a large diversity
of habitats, including lagoons, back-reef
pools, leeward reefs, and others.
Public comments provided
supplemental information on the
distribution and habitat of A. allingi. A
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public comment pointed out that in the
Marianas, this species is restricted to
depths greater than 60 meters. The four
type specimens of A. allingi were
dredged from Pago Pago harbor, all from
a depth of 100 feet or more (Hoffmeister,
1925). We also gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014),
which reports that A. allingi is
confirmed in 53 of his 133 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be
found in an additional 27. Thus, based
on all the available information, A.
allingi’s habitat includes lagoons, upper
reef slopes, mid-slope terraces, lower
reef slopes, and mesophotic areas in
depths ranging from five to greater than
60 m.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported A. allingi’s
abundance as usually uncommon.
Public comments did not provide
supplemental information on the
abundance of A. allingi. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that A.
allingi occupied 1.2 percent of 2,984
dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean
abundance rating of 1.27 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it
was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘uncommon,’’ and overall abundance
was described as ‘‘usually uncommon.’’
Veron did not infer trends in abundance
from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least tens of millions
of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. allingi, the overall decline
in abundance (‘‘Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 35
percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (‘‘Backcast Percent Population Reduction’’)
was estimated at 14 percent. However,
as summarized above in the Inter-basin
Comparison sub-section, live coral cover
trends are highly variable both spatially
and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out
of context, thus quantitative inferences
to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
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et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
allingi occurs in many areas affected by
these broad changes, and likely has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible
based on the limited species-specific
information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. allingi’s life
history. On high latitude reefs (28 to 29
degrees South) in the Houtman
Abrolhos Islands, western Australia,
two colonies of A. allingi were sampled
before the main mass spawning nights
in late March 1987. There was no
indication of developed gametes,
suggesting that this species does not
participate in the mass spawning. Public
comments and information we gathered
did not provide anything additional to
the above-described biological
information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. allingi’s threat
susceptibilities, The SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Alveopora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, sedimentation,
nutrients, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR and SIR also provided
the following species-specific
information on A. allingi’s threats. Lowto-moderate bleaching of Alveopora
allingi was observed in East Africa
during the 1997–1998 event. The SRR
and SIR did not provide any other
species-specific information on the
effects of these threats on A. allingi. We
interpreted threat susceptibility and
exposure information from the SRR and
SIR in the proposed rule for A. allingi’s
vulnerabilities as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of reef
fishing, and nutrients, and low
vulnerability to sedimentation, sea level
rise, predation, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide
supplemental information on A. allingi’s
threat susceptibilities. We gathered the
following species-specific and genuslevel supplemental information on this
species’ threat susceptibilities.
Alveopora allingi has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to
bleaching but not to disease, but this
rating is not based on species-specific
data (2008). Based on the genus-level
and species information described
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above, A. allingi is likely to have some
susceptibility to warming-induced
bleaching, disease, acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, seal-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. The available
information does not support more
precise ratings of the susceptibility of A.
allingi to the threats.
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Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. allingi. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to attempt the following analysis of
regulatory mechanisms on a species
basis. Records confirm that A. allingi
occurs in 53 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that
encompass 40 countries’ EEZs. The 40
countries are Australia, Cambodia,
China, Djibouti, Egypt, Eritrea,
Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji,
France (French Pacific Island
Territories), Indonesia, Israel, Japan,
Jordan, Madagascar, Malaysia, Maldives,
Marshall Islands, Mauritius,
Mozambique, Myanmar, New Zealand
(Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Saudi
Arabia, Seychelles, South Africa, Sri
Lanka, Sudan, Taiwan, Tanzania,
Timor-Leste, Tonga, Tuvalu, United
Kingdom (British Indian Ocean
Territory), United States (CNMI, Guam,
American Samoa, PRIAs), Vietnam, and
Yemen. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to A. allingi, described first as
the percentage of the above countries
that utilize them to any degree and
second, as the percentage of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms
may be limited in scope are as follows:
General coral protection (28 percent
with five percent limited in scope),
coral collection (60 percent with 25
percent limited in scope), pollution
control (45 percent with eight percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on
reefs (88 percent with 20 percent
limited in scope), and managing areas
for protection and conservation (95
percent with 10 percent limited in
scope). The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for A. allingi are
reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are also
somewhat common for the species, but
25 percent of coral collection laws are
limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection. General coral
protection laws are much less common
regulatory mechanisms for the
management of A. allingi.
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Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR states
that the high bleaching rate is the
primary known threat of extinction for
A. allingi. It listed factors that reduce
potential extinction risk including that
A. allingi occupies a variety of habitat
types and is broadly distributed both
latitudinally and longitudinally in the
Indo-Pacific.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
allingi, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes many of the coral
reef ecoregions in the Indian Ocean and
western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates
vulnerability to extinction because some
areas within its range are projected to
have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future,
including the western Indian Ocean and
the central Pacific, so portions of the
population in these areas will be less
exposed to severe conditions. Its depth
range is from five to 60 meters. Its depth
range moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because of lower irradiance in the
deeper portion of its range, sharply
reducing warming-induced bleaching.
In addition, other threats usually occur
at lower levels at mesophotic depths,
such as sedimentation resulting from
land-based sources of pollution.
However, A. allingi colonies in
mesophotic habitat may be affected by
increasing acidification over the
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foreseeable future, but the species also
occurs in shallow depths less affected
by acidification. Its habitat includes
lagoons, upper reef slopes, mid-slope
terraces, lower reef slopes, and
mesophotic areas, moderating
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is
not limited to one habitat type but
occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. Its
absolute abundance of at least tens of
millions of colonies, combined with
spatial variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
allingi was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderate overall
distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and shallow depth
distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. allingi from
threatened to not warranted. We made
this determination based on a more
species-specific and holistic assessment
of whether this species meets the
definition of either a threatened or
endangered coral largely in response to
public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the
buffering capacity of this species’ spatial
and demographic traits to lessen its
vulnerability to threats. Thus, based on
the best available information above on
A. allingi’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
it is not warranted for listing at this
time, because:
(1) Alveopora allingi’s distribution
across the Red Sea, Indian Ocean and
most of the Pacific Ocean is spread over
a vast area. While some areas within its
range are projected to be affected by
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warming and acidification, other areas
are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification, including
the western Indian Ocean and the
central Pacific. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies
reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not
occur uniformly throughout the species
range. As explained above in the
Threats Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Alveopora allingi’s depth range
down to 60 m and below includes
depths that provide a refuge from ocean
warming, and increase the absolute area
of potential occupancy throughout the
range of the species; and
(3) Alveopora allingi’s total
population size is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering
capacity in the form of absolute
numbers of colonies and variation in
susceptibility between individual
colonies. As discussed in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section above, the more
colonies a species has, the lower the
proportion of colonies that are likely to
be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that
are exposed will not have the same
response.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
worsen in severity and the species’
exposure to the threats increases
throughout its range. Should the species
experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, A.
allingi is not warranted for listing at this
time under any of the listing factors.
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Alveopora fenestrata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. fenestrata’s
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as generally
hemispherical with the surface divided
into lobes, and the taxonomy was
described as having no taxonomic
issues, but it is similar to Alveopora
marionensis and Alveopora verrilliana.
Public comments and information we
gathered did not provide any new or
supplemental information on
morphology and confirmed that there
are no known taxonomic problems for
A. fenestrata, but that there is a
moderate to high level of species
identification uncertainty for this
species. Veron (2014) states that A.
fenestrata is easily confused with other
Alveopora with similar growth form, but
Veron (2000; 2014) considers the
species valid, and we consider it can be
identified by experts, thus we conclude
that the distribution and abundance
information described below for this
species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. fenestrata’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Alveopora fenestrata has a relatively
broad distribution from the Red Sea and
Indian Ocean to the central Pacific. Its
habitat includes most coral reef
environments, such as upper reef
slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef slopes,
lower reef crests, reef flats, and lagoons,
and its depth range is from three to 30
m.
Public comments provided the
following information. Alveopora
fenestrata occurs in Guam, but is not
confirmed in the Northern Marianas. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014) which reports
that A. fenestrata is confirmed in 39 of
his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and
strongly predicted to be found in an
additional 19.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported that A.
fenestrata’s abundance is uncommon.
Public comments provided the
following information. Alveopora
fenestrata is rare on Guam. We gathered
supplemental information including
Veron (2014) which reports that A.
fenestrata occupied 1.98 percent of
2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had
a mean abundance rating of 1.29 on a 1
to 5 rating scale at those sites in which
it was found. Based on this semi-
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quantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘uncommon,’’ and overall abundance
was also described as ‘‘uncommon.’’
Veron did not infer trends in abundance
from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least tens of millions
of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. fenestrata, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 36 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 14
percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
fenestrata occurs in many areas affected
by these broad changes, and likely has
some susceptibility to both local and
global threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible
based on the limited species-specific
information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR did not provide
supplemental species-specific biological
information for A. fenestrata. Public
comments provided no new or
supplemental biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. fenestrata’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Alveopora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, sedimentation,
nutrients, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide
any other species-specific information
on the effects of these threats on A.
fenestrata. We interpreted threat
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susceptibility and exposure information
from the SRR and SIR in the proposed
rule for A. fenestrata’s vulnerabilities as
follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming, moderate vulnerability to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, and nutrients, and low
vulnerability to sedimentation, sea level
rise, predation, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide
supplemental information on A.
fenestrata’s threat susceptibilities. We
gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’
susceptibilities. Alveopora fenestrata
has been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching but not to
disease, but this rating is not based on
species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). Darling et al. (2012) performed a
biological trait-based analysis to
categorize the relative tolerance of coral
species to environmental stress and A.
fenestrata was classified as a ‘‘stresstolerant’’ species. There is no other
species-specific information for the
susceptibility of A. fenestrata to any
threat. Based on the genus-level and
species information described above, A.
fenestrata is likely to have some
susceptibility to warming-induced
bleaching disease, acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, seal-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. The available
information does not support more
precise ratings of the susceptibility of A.
fenestrata to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. fenestrata. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to attempt the following analysis of
regulatory mechanisms on a species
basis. Records confirm that A. fenestrata
occurs in 39 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that
encompass 27 countries’ EEZs. The 27
countries are Australia, Brunei, China,
Egypt, Federated States of Micronesia,
France (French Pacific Island
Territories), Indonesia, Israel, Jordan,
Kenya, Madagascar, Malaysia, Marshall
Islands, Mauritius, Papua New Guinea,
Philippines, Saudi Arabia, Seychelles,
Solomon Islands, Sri Lanka, Sudan,
Taiwan, Tanzania, Timor-Leste, United
States (CNMI, Guam, PRIAs), Vanuatu,
and Vietnam. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to A. fenestrata,
first described as the percentage of the
above countries that utilize them to any
degree, and second as the percentage of
those countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope,
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are as follows: General coral protection
(33 percent with 11 percent limited in
scope), coral collection (56 percent with
22 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (48 percent with 11 percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on
reefs (85 percent with 22 percent
limited in scope), and managing areas
for protection and conservation (100
percent with 11 percent limited in
scope). The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for A. fenestrata
are reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are also
somewhat common for the species, but
40 percent of coral collection laws are
limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection. General coral
protection laws are much less
prominent regulatory mechanisms for
the management of A. fenestrata.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that a high bleaching rate is the primary
known threat of extinction for A.
fenestrata. It listed factors that reduce
potential extinction risk including
occupying a range of depths and being
broadly distributed both latitudinally
and longitudinally in the Indo-Pacific.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
fenestrata, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes many of the coral
reef ecoregions in the Indian Ocean and
western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
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54073
geographic distribution moderates
vulnerability to extinction because some
areas within its range are projected to
have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future,
including the western Indian Ocean, so
portions of the population in these areas
will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is from three
to 30 meters. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas
of its range will usually have lower
irradiance than surface waters, and
acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper
and cooler than those in which the
species occurs. Its habitat includes
upper reef slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef
slopes, lower reef crests, reef flats, and
lagoons, moderating vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous
types of reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience
highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. Its absolute abundance of at least
tens of millions of colonies, combined
with spatial variability in ocean
warming and acidification across the
species range, moderates vulnerability
to extinction because the increasingly
severe conditions expected in the
foreseeable future will be non-uniform
and therefore will likely be a large
number of colonies that are either not
exposed or do not negatively respond to
a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
fenestrata was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution
(based on wide geographic distribution
and moderate depth distribution (E);
and inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. fenestrata
from threatened to not warranted. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
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available information above on A.
fenestrata’ spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
it is not warranted for listing at this
time, because:
(1) Alveopora fenestrata’s distribution
across approximately three quarters of
the Indo-Pacific region is spread over a
vast area. While some areas within its
range are projected to be affected by
warming and acidification, other areas
are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification, including
the western Indian Ocean and the
central Pacific. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies
reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not
occur uniformly throughout the species
range. As explained above in the
Threats Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Alveopora fenestrata’s depth range
down to 30 m and below includes
depths that provide a refuge from ocean
warming, and increase the absolute area
of potential occupancy throughout the
range of the species; and
(3) Alveopora fenestrata’s total
population size is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering
capacity in the form of absolute
numbers of colonies and variation in
susceptibility between individual
colonies. As discussed in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section above, the more
colonies a species has, the lower the
proportion of colonies that are likely to
be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that
are exposed will not have the same
response.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
worsen in severity and the species’
exposure to the threats increases
throughout its range. Should the species
experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
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likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, A.
fenestrata is not warranted for listing at
this time under any of the listing factors.
Alveopora verrilliana
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. verrilliana’s
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as short irregularly
dividing knob-like branches and the
taxonomy was described as having no
taxonomic issues. Alveopora verrilliana
is similar to Alveopora fenestrata.
Public comments and information we
gathered did not provide any new or
supplemental information on
morphology, and confirmed that there
are no known taxonomic problems for
A. verrilliana, but that there is a high
level of species identification
uncertainty for this species. Veron
(2014) states that A. verrilliana is easily
confused with other Alveopora with a
similar growth form and it is impossible
to confirm many citations of this
species. However, Veron (2000; 2014)
considers the species valid, and we
consider it can be identified by experts,
thus we conclude that the distribution
and abundance information described
below for this species is sufficiently
reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. verrilliana’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Alveopora verrilliana’s distribution is
from the Red Sea to the central IndoPacific to most of the Pacific. Its habitat
includes most coral reef environments,
such as upper reef slopes, mid-slopes,
lower reef slopes, lower reef crests, reef
flats, and lagoons, and its depth range
is three to at least 40 meters depth, and
possibly down to 80 meters (it is not
certain that the identity of the coral at
80 meters has been verified).
Public comments provided the
following supplemental information on
A. verrilliana’s distribution, habitat and
depth range. One public comment stated
that A. verrilliana has been found in the
Marianas on shallow fringing reef
platforms at a depth between 1.5 and 2
meters deep, and a terrace at 17 meters
deep. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014),
which reports that A. verrilliana is
confirmed in 28 of his 133 Indo-Pacific
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ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be
found in an additional 30. One of the 30
strongly predicted ecoregions is the
Main Hawaiian Islands (Veron, 2014),
and may be based on reports that
Hawaii is a similar type ecoregion.
However, there are no reliable reports of
the species being found in the Main
Hawaiian Islands, in spite of many
divers in the water observing coral
species (Douglas Fenner, personal
com.). Veron (2014)’s map indicates that
the report(s) of this species from the Red
Sea have also not been verified.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported A.
verrilliana’s abundance as
‘‘uncommon.’’ Public comments
provided the following supplemental
information on A. verrilliana’s
abundance. One public comment stated
that A. verrilliana is uncommon in the
Marianas with only 10 to12 colonies
recorded so far. We gathered the
following supplemental information on
the abundance of A. verrilliana. Veron
(2014) reports that A. verrilliana
occupied 0.27 percent of 2,984 dive
sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the
Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance
rating of 1.13 on a 1 to 5 rating scale at
those sites in which it was found. Based
on this semi-quantitative system, the
species’ abundance was characterized as
‘‘rare,’’ and overall abundance was
described as ‘‘uncommon.’’ Veron did
not infer trends in abundance from
these data. As described in the IndoPacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. verrilliana, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 34 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 14
percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
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(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
verrilliana occurs in many areas affected
by these broad changes, and likely has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible
based on the limited species-specific
information.
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Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. verrilliana’s
life history. Alveopora verrilliana is a
hermaphroditic broadcast spawner. On
temperate latitude reefs (28 to 29
degrees S) in the Houtman Abrolhos
Islands, western Australia, seven of 12
colonies sampled had ripe gametes, and
spawning was inferred during the time
of mass spawning for this region. Public
comments and information we gathered
did not provide anything additional to
the above-described biological
information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. verrilliana’s threat
susceptibilities, The SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Alveopora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, sedimentation,
nutrients, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide
any other species-specific information
on the effects of these threats on A.
verrilliana. We interpreted threat
susceptibility and exposure information
from the SRR and SIR in the proposed
rule for A. verrilliana’s vulnerabilities as
follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming, moderate vulnerability to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of reef fishing, and nutrients, and
low vulnerability to sedimentation, sea
level rise, predation, and collection and
trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
verrilliana’s threats. We gathered the
following species-specific and genuslevel supplemental information on this
species’ threat susceptibilities.
Alveopora verrilliana has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to
bleaching but not to disease, but this
rating is not based on species-specific
data (2008). There is no species-specific
information for the exposure or
susceptibility of A. verrilliana to any
threat. Based on the genus-level and
species information described above, A.
verrilliana likely has some susceptibility
to ocean warming, disease, acidification,
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trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, seal-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. The available
information does not support more
precise ratings of the susceptibility of A.
verrilliana to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. verrilliana. Criticisms of our
approach received during public
comment led us to attempt the following
analysis of regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that A.
verrilliana occurs in 28 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 23 countries’
EEZs. The 23 countries are Australia,
Brunei, Cambodia, China, Federated
States of Micronesia, France (French
Pacific Island Territories), Indonesia,
Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand
(Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Solomon
Islands, Taiwan, Thailand, Tonga,
Tuvalu, United States (CNMI, Guam,
American Samoa), Vanuatu, and
Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to A. verrilliana, described first
as the percentage of the above countries
that utilize them to any degree, and
second as the percentages of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms
may be limited in scope, are as follows:
General coral protection (30 percent
with 4 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (61 percent with 35 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (39
percent with 13 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (100
percent with 17 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (100
percent with none limited in scope).
The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for A. verrilliana
are reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection laws are
also somewhat common for the species,
but 35 percent of coral collection laws
are limited in scope and may not
provide substantial protection. General
coral protection and pollution control
laws are much less common regulatory
mechanisms for the management of A.
verrilliana.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR states
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54075
that the high bleaching rate is the
primary known threat of extinction for
A. verrilliana. It listed factors that
reduce potential extinction risk
including that A. verrilliana occupies a
variety of habitat types and is broadly
distributed both latitudinally and
longitudinally in the Indo-Pacific.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
verrilliana, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes many of the coral
reef ecoregions in the western and
central Pacific Ocean. Its geographic
distribution moderates vulnerability to
extinction because some areas within its
range are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification over
the foreseeable future, including the
central Pacific, so portions of the
population in these areas will be less
exposed to severe conditions. Its depth
range is from three to 40 meters, which
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because of
lower irradiance in the deeper portion
of its range, sharply reducing warminginduced bleaching. In addition, other
threats usually occur at lower levels at
mesophotic depths, such as
sedimentation resulting from land-based
sources of pollution. However, A.
verrilliana colonies in mesophotic
habitat may be affected by increasing
acidification over the foreseeable future,
but the species also occurs in shallow
depths less affected by acidification. Its
habitat includes most coral reef
environments, such as upper reef
slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef slopes,
lower reef crests, reef flats, and lagoons.
This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous
types of reef environments that will, on
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local and regional scales, experience
highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. Its total abundance is unknown,
and it is uncommon or rare. Its absolute
abundance of at least millions of
colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
verrilliana was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution
(based on wide geographic distribution
and wide depth distribution (E); and
inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. verrilliana
from threatened to not warranted. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on A.
verrilliana’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
it is not warranted for listing at this
time, because:
(1) Alveopora verrilliana’s
distribution across more than half of the
Indo-Pacific region is spread over a vast
area. While some areas within its range
are projected to be affected by warming
and acidification, other areas are
projected to have less than average
warming and acidification, including
the central Pacific. This distribution and
the heterogeneous habitats it occupies
reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not
occur uniformly throughout the species
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range. As explained above in the
Threats Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Alveopora verrilliana’s depth
distribution down to 40 meters includes
depths that provide a refuge from ocean
warming, and increase the absolute area
of potential occupancy throughout the
range of the species; and
(3) Alveopora verrilliana’s total
population size is at least millions of
colonies, providing buffering capacity in
the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility
between individual colonies. As
discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs
section above, the more colonies a
species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to
a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will
not have the same response.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
worsen in severity and the species’
exposure to the threats increases
throughout its range. Should the species
experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, A.
verrilliana is not warranted for listing at
this time under any of the listing factors.
Genus Porites
Genus Introduction
Porites colonies are flat (laminar or
encrusting), massive, or branching.
Massive colonies are spherical or
hemispherical when small, and helmet
or dome-shaped when large, and may be
over five meters across (Veron, 2000).
Porites is the third largest genus of reef
building scleractinia, and Veron (2000)
recognizes 52 species. This description
of the Porites genus focuses on the IndoPacific, where most of the species occur.
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The larvae of all Porites species studied
contain zooxanthellae that can
supplement maternal provisioning with
energy sources provided by their
photosynthesis. The SRR and SIR
provided no genus-level introductory
information on Porites.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Porites. On
the GBR and in the western Indian
Ocean, massive Porites generally have
moderate susceptibility to bleaching,
while branching Porites generally have
higher susceptibility to bleaching,
comparable to Pocillopora and
Acropora. For example, Porites
horizontalata was a bleaching ‘‘loser’’ in
Okinawa, disappearing after the 1998
event. Recent work comparing P. lobata
from extreme lagoonal environments
with individuals from more benign
forereef habitats in American Samoa
indicates that thermal history of these
corals plays a large part in their reaction
to thermal stress.
The SRR reported that a study that
looked at 328 colonies of massive
Porites from 69 reefs of the GBR found
a decline in calcification of 14.2 percent
since 1990, predominantly because
extension declined by 13.3 percent. This
is similar to the estimates of a global
decline in aragonite saturation state of
16 percent since the beginning of global
industrialization. The study agreed with
earlier, more limited work on Porites on
the GBR and in laboratory and
mesocosm experiments that showed
declines in calcification with reduced
aragonite saturation state in P.
cylindrical, P. compressa, and P. lutea
adults, and P. astreoides juveniles.
Acidification has not been found to
interfere with settlement of larvae in P.
astreoides in the Caribbean.
The SRR reported several studies
showing subacute (lesions resulting in
slow progressive tissue loss) tissue loss,
black band disease, and endolithic
hypermycosis in Porites. The SIR
reported that the genus Porites had the
highest prevalence of disease
throughout Guam; however, it may have
also been a function of the fact that
Porites corals are also the most common.
Likewise, in a study from Hawaii, with
12 diseases recorded among three coral
genera, Porites was shown to have the
highest prevalence of disease. Porites
was also shown to have severe damage
as a result of high disease prevalence of
black-band disease in Southeastern
India.
The SRR reported that Porites is
susceptible to crown-of-thorns seastar
(Acanthaster planci) and corallivorous
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snail predation, including predation of
Coralliphilia violacea on both massive
and branching forms. Massive Porites
are susceptible, but not a preferred prey,
of the predatory asteroid Culcita
novaeguineae, and the butterflyfish
Chaetodon unimaculatus. Porites is
intermediate for its sediment tolerance
in the western Indian Ocean. In
contrast, Porites is often found in
relatively turbid waters in Asia and the
eastern Pacific and were considered
sediment tolerant. About 25,000–50,000
pieces of Porites spp. per year are
traded.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on the threat susceptibilities of the
genus Porites. We gathered
supplemental information that provided
the following. Thermal stress was
studied by Gleason (1993), who reported
that Porites was little affected by
bleaching in Moorea, French Polynesia.
Bruno et al. (2001) reported that in
Palau in 2000, four different species of
Porites ranged from low-moderate levels
of bleaching to very high-moderate, and
ranged from low-moderate mortality to
high mortality. Done et al. (2003b)
reported bleaching levels in seven
species of Porites and one
morphological group (massive) of
Porites. Individual species ranged from
eight to 33 percent affected by
bleaching. The two least affected species
(P. cylindrica and P. annae) were
branching and the most affected was
massive (P. vaughani), though it had a
low mortality. Generally, massive
Porites were affected more than average.
The species with the greatest mortality
was a species with columns and plates
(P. rus) though another species (P.
lichen) with columns and plates had a
mortality rate nearly as low as the
lowest mortality species, and another
species with columns (P. heronensis)
had high bleaching (Done et al., 2003b).
Pandolfi et al. (2011) reported that
massive species of Porites bleached
about average for genera in Kenya and
Australia in 1998. A study that
monitored the impacts of the 1998 and
2010 bleaching events on coral in Japan
(van Woesik et al., 2011) reported that
one species of branching Porites was
neither a winner or a loser (increasing
from 1.4 percent cover to four percent
and then decreasing to 0.9 percent), and
six species of branching Porites were
long-term losers (decreasing to 0 percent
cover and staying there). Vargas-Angel
et al. (2011) reported that Porites had a
fairly low percentage of bleaching on
Howland and Baker islands in the U.S.
Pacific, with 16.1 percent on Baker and
24.6 percent on Howland. Porites was
the ninth most-bleached genus out of 14
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genera, and had 32 percent as much
bleaching as the most bleached genus
(Vargas-Angel et al., 2011). Porites in
Okinawa, Japan, experienced no
decrease in populations following the
1998 and 2010 mass bleaching episodes.
Okinawa has turbid waters from runoff
increased by human activities (Hongo
and Yamano, 2013).
In areas of Papua New Guinea, where
volcanic carbon dioxide bubbling
produced pH equal to that predicted for
2100, massive Porites dominated the
community, indicating they are more
resistant to low pH than other corals
(Fabricius et al., 2011). Massive Porites
growth rates in bays in Palau, with pH
approaching that predicted for 2100 and
aragonite saturation equal to that
predicted for 2100, was similar to
colonies in water with current mean pH
and aragonite saturation (Shamberger et
al., in press).
Raymundo et al. (2005) reported that
Porites had the highest levels of disease
in the Philippines, where only rarely
did other genera show disease.
Individual species of Porites differed
greatly in the prevalence of disease,
with zero prevalence in about half of the
species, and a wide range of prevalence
in the others. Further, there was no
consistent difference between massive
and branching species: branching
species displayed the entire range of
prevalence; massive Porites having
relatively high prevalence, though not
as high as three branching species; and
one massive Porites (P. evermanni)
having zero prevalence (Raymundo et
al., 2005). Porites had the lowest
prevalence of disease (0.025 percent) of
the only five genera with diseases
recorded in American Samoa. Porites
tissue loss was found at 15 percent of
sites compared to 71 percent of sites for
Acropora white syndrome, the most
common disease(Fenner and Heron,
2008). In another study in American
Samoa, Porites had the third highest
level of prevalence of any genus, with
a prevalence of 0.11 percent (Aeby et
al., 2008). Growth anomalies are
occasional on massive Porites in
backreef pools on Ofu, American Samoa
but less common on reef slopes in
American Samoa. Growth anomalies are
abundant on one color morph of Porites
cylindrica in one small area of one back
reef pool in Tutuila, American Samoa,
but not on another color morph. A white
disease that is rare on Tutuila, killed all
Porites rus colonies (about 50) in front
of Vaoto Lodge, Ofu, American Samoa.
What appears to possibly be the same
disease is killing all yellow massive
Porites in the Hurricane House back reef
pool on Ofu, American Samoa (Fenner,
2013b). In Guam, Porites had by far the
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54077
highest prevalence, with 6.7 percent of
colonies having disease (Myers and
Raymundo, 2009). Porites was tied for
the second highest disease prevalence of
12 genera in New Caledonia, with 0.7
percent of colonies showing disease
(Tribollet et al., 2011). Porites massive
was tied for third highest disease
prevalence of 35 taxa in Indonesia, with
1.5 percent prevalence. Porites
branching had the 14th highest disease
prevalence of 35 taxa in Indonesia, with
0.25 percent of colonies showing
disease. Other Porites had no disease in
Indonesia (Haapkyla et al., 2007).
Predation was studied by De’ath and
Moran (1998), who reported that Porites
was the least preferred prey of crownof-thorns starfish out of the 10 most
common genera on 15 reefs in the GBR.
Porites species are relatively less
susceptible to the effects of land-based
sources of pollution than many other
reef-building corals. Porites species are
heavily collected and widely traded
internationally. There is no information
on the effects of fishing, sea-level rise,
or any other threat to Porites species.
Genus Conclusions
Based on the information from the
SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make
the following inferences about the
susceptibilities of an unstudied Porites
species to ocean warming, disease,
acidification, sedimentation, nutrients,
trophic effects of fishing, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade. The
SRR rated ocean warming and disease as
‘‘high’’ importance, and ocean
acidification as ‘‘medium-high’’
importance, to corals. These were rated
as the three most important threats to
reef-building corals overall. Most
studies reported moderate to high levels
of bleaching in Porites, but one study
reported low levels and some individual
species had low levels. In three studies,
branching species showed higher levels
of bleaching than massive species, and
one study showed the reverse.
Generally, Porites as a whole has
moderate to high susceptibility to ocean
warming. However, different species of
Porites have a wide range of
susceptibilities to ocean warming, thus
we conclude that an unstudied Porites
species has some susceptibility to ocean
warming. Most studies found high
levels of disease in Porites, but one
study found low levels. We conclude
that an unstudied Porites species has
some susceptibility to disease. Several
studies reported that calcification
declined with decreasing pH in short
term experiments, but massive Porites
are common and have normal growth
rates in natural areas of low pH. We
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conclude that Porites has some
susceptibility to ocean acidification.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of
fishing as ‘‘medium’’ importance, the
fourth most important threat to corals
overall. This threat was not addressed at
the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level
process. That is, removal of herbivorous
fish from coral reef systems by fishing
alters trophic interactions by reducing
herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae
over coral. Thus, the SRR did not
discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa,
as its effects are difficult to distinguish
between coral genera and species.
Therefore, an unstudied Porites species
is likely to have some susceptibility to
the trophic effects of fishing.
The SRR rated sedimentation,
nutrients, and sea-level rise as ‘‘lowmedium’’ importance to corals overall.
Porites is reported to have intermediate
to high sediment tolerance. Thus we
conclude that an unstudied Porites has
some susceptibility to sedimentation.
Although there is no genus-level or
species-specific information on the
susceptibilities of Porites species to
nutrients, the SRR rated it as ‘‘lowmedium’’ importance to corals.. Thus,
we conclude that an unstudied Porites
species has some susceptibility to
nutrients. Sea-level rise was not
addressed at the genus or species level
in the SRR or SIR. Increasing sea levels
may increase land-based sources of
pollution due to inundation, resulting in
changes to coral community structure,
thus an unstudied Porites species is
likely to have some susceptibility to sealevel rise. The SRR rated predation and
ornamental trade (referred to in the
proposed rule as Collection and Trade)
as ‘‘low’’ importance to corals overall.
The only study of predation reporting
on Porites indicated it was a not a
preferred prey item of crown-of-thorns
starfish. Thus, we conclude that Porites
has a low susceptibility to predation.
Porites species are heavily collected and
widely traded internationally. Thus we
conclude that Porites has some
susceptibility to collection and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied Porites
species is likely to have some
susceptibility to ocean warming,
disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, and collection
and trade, and low susceptibility to
predation.
Porites horizontalata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on P.
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horizontalata’s morphology and
taxonomy. Morphology was described
as composites of encrusting plates and
contorted fused branches. With respect
to taxonomy, Porites is known to be
morphologically plastic and multiple
sympatric species frequently exhibit
intergradation of skeletal characteristics.
The results of a study of genetics of
other Porites species found that genetics
did not correspond well with Porites
species based on morphology. The
laminar parts of colonies of P.
horizontalata resemble Porites
vaughani, the branching parts may have
corallites arranged in a star-like pattern
like Porites rus, and the corallite
features are most similar to Porites
eridani.
Public comments and information we
gathered did not provide any new or
supplemental information on
morphology, and confirmed that there
are no known taxonomic problems for P.
horizontalata, and that there is a
moderate level of species identification
uncertainty for this species. Veron
(2000; 2014) states that P. horizontalata
is easily confused with P. rus, but the
species can be identified by experts
(Fenner, 2014b), thus we conclude that
the distribution and abundance
information described below for this
species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on P.
horizontalata’s distribution, habitat, and
depth range. Porites horizontalata’s
distribution is from the central Indian
Ocean to the central Indo-Pacific and
central Pacific. The SRR reported that P.
horizontalata’s habitat is shallow reef
environments, and the depth range is
from five to 20 m, though it is also
known to range into deep water. Porites
horizontalata is uncommon in Guam
and found in deeper quiet waters.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on P.
horizontalata’s distribution. We
gathered supplemental information
including Veron (2014), which reports
that P. horizontalata is confirmed in 28
of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and
strongly predicted to be found in an
additional 13. Supplemental
information on the depth range of P.
horizontalata in American Samoa
indicates it is from about 10 m to at least
30 m deep, and it has been observed at
20 to 30 m of depth in New Caledonia,
where it appears much as it does in
American Samoa in similar locations (D.
Fenner, personal comm.). Thus, based
on all the available information, P.
horizontalata’s habitat includes at least
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upper reef slopes, mid-slope terraces,
lower reef crests, and lagoons in depth
ranging from five to 30 m depth.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on P.
horizontalata’s abundance. Porites
horizontalata has been reported as
sometimes common. Public comments
did not provide any new or
supplemental information on P.
horizontalata’s abundance. We gathered
supplemental information including
Veron (2014) and Richards et al. (2008).
Veron (2014) reports that P.
horizontalata occupied 4.2 percent of
2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had
a mean abundance rating of 1.62 on a 1
to 5 rating scale at those sites in which
it was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘uncommon,’’ and overall abundance
was described as ‘‘sometimes common
in isolated habitats.’’ Veron did not infer
trends in abundance from these data. As
described in the Indo-Pacific Species
Determinations introduction above,
based on results from Richards et al.
(2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at
least tens of millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For P. horizontalata, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 37 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 15
percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that P.
horizontalata occurs in many areas
affected by these broad changes, and
that it likely has some susceptibility to
both global and local threats, we
conclude that it is likely to have
declined in abundance over the past 50
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(Goreau et al., 1972) as well as
observations on Guam suggest that
Porites species in the subgenus
Synaraea are among the least-preferred
Other Biological Information
prey of the crown-of-thorns starfish. The
The SRR and SIR provided the
comment stated that other studies
following information on P.
(Colgan, 1987; Pratchett, 2007) suggest
horizontalata’s life history. Porites
that Porites species in general are among
horizontalata is a gonochoric broadcast
the least preferred prey of crown-ofspawner. Although specific observations thorns. The comment further stated that
have not been published for this
workers on Guam have never seen
species, the larvae of all other Porites
crown-of-thorns predation on P.
species studied contain zooxanthellae
horizontalata and suspect that this
that can supplement maternal
species is among the least preferred prey
provisioning with energy sources
of crown-of-thorns. The comment
provided by their photosynthesis. The
suggests changing the predation
public comments did not provide new
susceptibility to low (3) or moderate to
or supplemental information, and we
low (2.5) in the determination tool. A
did not find new or supplemental
third comment suggested P.
information on the above-described
horizontalata be considered a
biological information.
‘‘Synaraea’’ species instead of a
branching Porites species. The common
Susceptibility to Threats
Synaraea species Porites rus has
To describe P. horizontalata’s threat
bleaching levels that are lower than both
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
Porites branching and Porites massive
provided genus-level information for the corals. Porites horizontalata is within
effects on Porites of ocean warming,
the Synaraea sub-genus and has not
acidification, disease, predation,
been observed to bleach in Guam to
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection date.
and trade. The SRR and SIR also
We gathered the following
provided the following species-specific
supplemental species-specific
information on P. horizontalata’s
information on susceptibility to threats
threats. Porites horizontalata was a
for P. horizontalata. This species has
bleaching ‘‘loser’’ in Okinawa,
been rated as moderately or highly
disappearing after the 1998 event. The
susceptible to bleaching and disease,
SRR and SIR did not provide any other
but this rating is not based on speciesspecies-specific information on the
specific data (Carpenter et al., 2008).
effects of these threats on P.
Porites horizontalata was found to be a
horizontalata. We interpreted threat
long term loser in Japan following
susceptibility and exposure information bleaching events (decreasing from 1.2
from the SRR and SIR in the proposed
percent cover to zero and staying there)
rule for P. horizontalata’s vulnerabilities (van Woesik et al., 2011). Porites
as follows: High vulnerability to ocean
horizontalata had the ninth highest
warming; moderate vulnerability to
disease prevalence of 21 species of
disease, ocean acidification, trophic
Porites in the Philippines. Porites
effects of reef fishing, and nutrients, and horizontalata had a prevalence of 4,
low vulnerability to sedimentation, sea
which was 20 percent of the prevalence
level rise, predation, and collection and of the species with the highest
trade.
prevalence (Raymundo et al., 2005).
Several public comments provided
There is no species-specific information
supplemental information on P.
for the susceptibility of P. horizontalata
horizontalata’s threat susceptibilities.
to any other threat. Based on
One public comment stated that the
information provided in the Porites
Loya (2001) study of the effects of
genus description and the speciesbleaching in Okinawa, which reported
specific information above, P.
P. horizontalata as a loser, did not
horizontalata likely has some
actually directly observe bleaching but
susceptibility to ocean warming,
rather looked at before and after
disease, acidification, trophic effects of
abundances and deduced that species
fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, seahad or had not suffered from bleaching.
level rise, and collection and trade, and
It also stated that the sampling effort
low susceptibility to predation. The
was small and the changes in low
available information does not support
abundances may not even have been
more precise ratings of the
statistically significant. The comment
susceptibilities of P. horizontalata to the
suggests reducing the ocean warming
threats.
component for this species in the
Regulatory Mechanisms
determination tool to moderate to low
In the proposed rule, we did not
(2.5) or to low (3). Another public
provide any species-specific
comment stated that a published study
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to 100 years, but a precise quantification
is not possible based on the limited
species-specific information.
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information on regulatory mechanisms
or conservation efforts for P.
horizontalata. Criticisms of our
approach received during public
comment led us to the following
analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records
confirm that P. horizontalata occurs in
28 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that
encompass 25 countries’ EEZs. The 25
countries are Brunei, China, Federated
States of Micronesia, Fiji, France
(French Pacific Island Territories),
Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Marshall
Islands, Myanmar, New Zealand
(Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Solomon
Islands, Taiwan, Thailand, Timor-Leste,
Tonga, Tuvalu, United States (CNMI,
Guam, American Samoa, PRIAs),
Vanuatu, and Vietnam. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to P.
horizontalata, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that
utilize them to any degree and second,
as the percentages of those countries
whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (28 percent with 4
percent limited in scope), coral
collection (64 percent with 40 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (36
percent with 12 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (96
percent with 16 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (96 percent
with 4 percent limited in scope). The
most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for P. horizontalata are reef
fishing regulations and area
management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection laws are
also somewhat utilized for the species,
but 40 percent of coral collection laws
are limited in scope and may not
provide substantial protection. General
coral protection and pollution control
laws are less prominent regulatory
mechanisms for the management of P.
horizontalata.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for P. horizontalata
include the fairly low tolerance to
thermal stress and susceptibility to
acidification based on genus-level
information. It listed factors that reduce
potential extinction risk including the
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species’ broad distribution and the low
predation susceptibility of the genus.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of P.
horizontalata, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes many of the coral
reef ecoregions in the central IndoPacific, and western and central Pacific
Ocean. Its geographic distribution
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because some areas within its range are
projected to have less than average
warming and acidification over the
foreseeable future including the central
Pacific, and other areas, so portions of
the population in these areas will be
less exposed to severe conditions. Its
depth range is from five to 30 meters,
and has been found deeper. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because
deeper areas of its range will usually
have lower irradiance than surface
waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters
that are deeper and cooler than those in
which the species occurs. Its habitat
includes at least upper reef slopes, midslope terraces, lower reef crests, and
lagoons. This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous
types of reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience
highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. Its absolute abundance of at least
tens of millions of colonies, combined
with spatial variability in ocean
warming and acidification across the
species range, moderates vulnerability
to extinction because the increasingly
severe conditions expected in the
foreseeable future will be non-uniform
and therefore will likely be a large
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number of colonies that are either not
exposed or do not negatively respond to
a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, P.
horizontalata was proposed for listing
as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
common generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution
(based on wide geographic distribution
and moderate depth distribution (E);
and inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for P.
horizontalata from threatened to not
warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and
holistic assessment of whether this
species meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on P.
horizontalata’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
is not warranted for listing at this time,
because:
(1) Porites horizontalata’s distribution
across the central Indo-Pacific and
central Pacific Ocean is spread over a
vast area. While some areas within its
range are projected to be affected by
warming and acidification, other areas
are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification, including
the western Indian Ocean, the central
Pacific, and other areas. This
distribution and the heterogeneous
habitats it occupies reduce exposure to
any given threat event or adverse
condition that does not occur uniformly
throughout the species range. As
explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future; and
(2) Porites horizontalata’s absolute
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies, which provides buffering
capacity in the form of absolute
numbers of colonies and variation in
susceptibility between individual
colonies. As discussed in the Corals and
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Coral Reefs section above, the more
colonies a species has, the lower the
proportion of colonies that are likely to
be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that
are exposed will not have the same
response.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future as global threats continue and
increase in severity and the species
exposure to threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience
reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, P.
horizontalata is not warranted for listing
at this time under any of the listing
factors.
Porites napopora
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on P. napopora’s
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as broad basal plates with
irregular clumps of tapered irregularly
fused branches. Porites is known to be
morphologically plastic and multiple
sympatric species frequently exhibit
intergradation of skeletal characteristics.
The results of a study of the genetics did
not correspond well with the Porites
species based on morphology. Porites
napopora is similar to P. nigrescens and
P. negrosensis.
Public comments and information we
gathered did not provide any new or
supplemental information on
morphology, but did confirm that there
is moderate taxonomic uncertainty for
P. napopora and a moderate level of
species identification uncertainty.
Veron (Veron, 2014) states that P.
napopora is distinctive, and P.
napopora can be identified by experts
(Fenner, 2014b), thus we conclude that
the distribution and abundance
information described below for this
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species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
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Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on P. napopora’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
The SRR and SIR described P.
napopora’s distribution as the Coral
Triangle plus Micronesia and the
Marianas Islands. Its habitat includes at
least upper reef slopes, mid-slopes,
lower reef crests, reef flats, and lagoons,
and the depth range as three to 15
meters.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on P.
napopora’s distribution. We gathered
supplemental information including
Veron (Veron, 2014) which provides an
updated, much more detailed range map
for this species than the maps used in
the SRR. Veron reports that this species
is confirmed in 13 of his 133 IndoPacific ecoregions, and is strongly
predicted to be found in an additional
13.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on P. napopora’s
abundance. Porites napopora has been
reported as sometimes common.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on P.
napopora’s abundance. We gathered
supplemental information including
Veron (Veron, 2014), which reports that
P. napopora occupied 2.6 percent of
2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had
a mean abundance rating of 1.79 on a 1
to 5 rating scale at those sites in which
it was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘uncommon,’’ and overall abundance
was described as ‘‘sometimes common
in isolated habitats.’’ Veron did not infer
trends in abundance from these data. As
described in the Indo-Pacific Species
Determinations introduction above,
based on results from Richards et al.
(2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at
least millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For P. napopora, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 33 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 15 percent
in the study. However, as summarized
above in the Inter-basin Comparison
sub-section, live coral cover trends are
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highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that P.
napopora occurs in many areas affected
by these broad changes, and likely has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible
based on the limited species specific
information.
susceptibilities. Porites napopora has
been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to disease but not to
bleaching, but this rating is not based on
species-specific data (2008). With regard
to disease, P. napopora had the 13th
highest disease prevalence of 21 species
of Porites in the Philippines. Porites
napopora had a prevalence of 0.2,
which was one percent of the
prevalence of the species with the
highest prevalence (Raymundo et al.,
2005). There is no species-specific
information for the susceptibility of P.
napopora to any other threat. Based on
information provided in the Porites
genus description above, P. napopora is
predicted to have some susceptibility to
ocean warming, disease, acidification,
and likely has some susceptibility to
trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, and collection
and trade. Genus-level information
indicates this species has low
susceptibility to predation.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on P. napopora’s
life history. Although specific
observations have not been published
for this species, the larvae of all other
Porites species studied contain
zooxanthellae that can supplement
maternal provisioning with energy
sources provided by their
photosynthesis. The public comments
did not provide new or supplemental
information, and we did not find new or
supplemental information on the abovedescribed biological information.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
P. napopora. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to the following analysis to attempt to
analyze regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that P.
napopora occurs in 13 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 10 countries’
EEZs. The 10 countries are Brunei,
China, Federated States of Micronesia,
Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Philippines,
Taiwan, Timor-Leste, and Vietnam. The
regulatory mechanisms relevant to P.
napopora, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that
utilize them to any degree, and second
as the percentages of those countries
whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (30 percent with none
limited in scope), coral collection (60
percent with 30 percent limited in
scope), pollution control (30 percent
with 10 percent limited in scope),
fishing regulations on reefs (100 percent
with 30 percent limited in scope), and
managing areas for protection and
conservation (100 percent with none
limited in scope). The most common
regulatory mechanisms in place for P.
napopora are reef fishing regulations
and area management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection laws are
also somewhat utilized for the species,
but 30 percent of coral collection laws
are limited in scope and may not
provide substantial protection. General
coral protection and pollution control
laws are less prominent regulatory
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe P. napopora’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acropora of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection
and trade. The SRR and SIR did not
provide any other species-specific
information on the effects of these
threats on P. napopora. We interpreted
threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the
proposed rule for P. napopora’s
vulnerabilities as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming;
moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
and nutrients, and low vulnerability to
sedimentation, sea level rise, predation,
and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on P.
napopora’s threat susceptibilities. We
gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
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mechanisms for the management of P.
napopora.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for P. napopora include
the species’ distribution that is
restricted to the western Pacific and the
fairly low tolerance to thermal stress
and susceptibility to acidification based
on genus-level information. It listed
factors that reduce potential extinction
risk including its high tolerance of
sediment stress and turbid water, and
low predation susceptibility of the
genus.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of P.
napopora, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution is limited to parts of the
Coral Triangle and the western
equatorial Pacific Ocean. Despite the
large number of islands and
environments that are included in the
species’ range, this range exacerbates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because it is mostly
limited to an area projected to have the
most rapid and severe impacts from
climate change and localized human
impacts for coral reefs over the 21st
century. Its depth range is down to 15
meters. On one hand, its depth range
may moderate vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower irradiance than
surface waters, and acidification is
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generally predicted to accelerate most in
waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. On
the other hand, its depth range may
exacerbate vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future if the species
occurs predominantly in the shallower
portion of its depth range, since those
areas will have higher irradiance and
thus be more severely affected by
warming-induced bleaching. Its habitat
includes at least upper reef slopes, midslopes, lower reef crests, reef flats, and
lagoons. This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous
types of reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience
highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. There is not enough information
about its abundance to determine if it
moderates or exacerbates extinction: It
is uncommon overall but common in
parts of its range, and has at least
millions of colonies, but the great
majority of the population is within an
area expected to be severely impacted
by threats over the foreseeable future.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, P.
napopora was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
common generalized range wide
abundance (E); narrow overall
distribution (based on moderate
geographic distribution and shallow
depth distribution (E); and inadequacy
of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we did not change
the listing determination for P.
napopora. Based on the best available
information provided above on P.
napopora’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management indicate that it is likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
warrants listing as threatened at this
time, because:
(1) Porites napopora is susceptible to
warming induced bleaching (ESA Factor
E), disease (C), trophic effects of fishing
(A), and nutrients (A, E). These threats
are expected to continue and worsen
into the future. In addition, existing
regulatory mechanisms to address global
threats that contribute to extinction risk
for this species are inadequate (D); and
(2) Porites napopora’s distribution is
constrained mostly to the Coral Triangle
and western equatorial Pacific, which is
projected to have the most rapid and
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severe impacts from climate change and
localized human impacts for coral reefs
over the 21st century, as described in
the Threats Evaluation. Multiple ocean
warming events have already occurred
within the western equatorial Pacific
that suggest future ocean warming
events may be more severe than average
in this part of the world. In addition, the
species has a depth distribution of three
to 15 m. Such a geographic and depth
distribution is likely to experience
severe and increasing threats, indicating
that a high proportion of the population
of this species is likely to be exposed to
those threats over the foreseeable future.
The combination of these
characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates that the species is
likely to be in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range and warrants listing as
threatened at this time due to factors A,
C, D, and E.
The available information above on P.
napopora’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management also indicate that the
species is not currently in danger of
extinction and thus does not warrant
listing as Endangered because:
(1) While P. napopora’s distribution is
restricted mostly to the Coral Triangle,
which increases it extinction risk as
described above, its habitat includes
shallow reef environments, which
describes a variety of reef zones and
habitat types in the coral reef ecosystem.
This moderates vulnerability to
extinction currently because the species
is not limited to one habitat type but
occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time, as
described in more detail in the Coral
Habitat and Threats Evaluation sections.
There is no evidence to suggest that the
species is so spatially fragmented that
depensatory processes, environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for
catastrophic events currently pose a
high risk to the survival of the species;
and
(2) Porites napopora’s its absolute
abundance is likely at least millions of
colonies and is described as ‘‘sometimes
common in isolated habitats’’ providing
areas of localized abundance which
allows for variation in the responses of
individuals to threats to play a role in
moderating vulnerability to extinction
for the species to some degree, as
described in more detail in the Corals
and Coral Reefs section. There is no
evidence of depensatory processes such
as reproductive failure from low density
of reproductive individuals and genetic
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processes such as inbreeding affecting
this species. Thus, its absolute
abundance indicates it is currently able
to avoid high mortality from
environmental stochasticity, and
mortality of a high proportion of its
population from catastrophic events.
The combination of these
characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of
one that is currently in danger of
extinction, as described previously in
the Risk Analyses section, and thus does
not warrant listing as endangered at this
time.
Range-wide, a multitude of
conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting P.
napopora. However, considering the
global scale of the most important
threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at
addressing the root cause of global
threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not
believe that any current conservation
efforts or conservation efforts planned
in the future will result in affecting the
species status to the point at which
listing is not warranted.
Porites nigrescens
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Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on P. nigrescens’
morphology and taxonomy. The
morphology was described as
branching, sometimes with an
encrusting base, and concave calices
give the surface a pitted appearance.
Porites is known to be morphologically
plastic and multiple sympatric species
frequently exhibit intergradation of
skeletal characteristics. The results of a
genetics study did not correspond well
with the Porites species based on
morphology. Porites nigrescens is
similar in appearance to Porites
cylindrica.
The public comments and
information we gathered did not
provide any new or supplemental
information on morphology, and
confirmed that there is moderate
taxonomic uncertainty for P. nigrescens
and that there is a moderate level of
species identification uncertainty for
this species. Veron (2014) states that P.
nigrescens is easily distinguished from
other branching Porites, thus we
conclude it can be identified by experts,
and that the distribution and abundance
information described below for this
species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on P. nigrescens’
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distribution, habitat, and depth range.
The SRR and SIR described P.
nigrescens’ distribution as occurring
from the Red Sea and east Africa to the
central Pacific. Its habitat includes coral
reef environments protected from wave
action, including at least upper reef
slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef slopes,
and lagoons, and its depth range as 0 to
20 meters.
The public comments provided
information that P. nigrescens is widely
distributed in all Indonesian waters. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports
that this species is confirmed in 56 of
his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and
strongly predicted to be found in an
additional 18.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on P. nigrescens’
abundance. Porites nigrescens has been
reported as sometimes common. Where
found, it can be a part of a locally
abundant branching poritid assemblage.
The public comments and
information we gathered provided
supplemental information on P.
nigrescens’ abundance. One public
comment stated that P. nigrescens is
very abundant in all Indonesian waters.
We gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports
that P. nigrescens occupied 29.05
percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in
30 ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and
had a mean abundance rating of 2.01 on
a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in
which it was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as ‘‘very
common.’’ Overall abundance was
described as ‘‘sometimes common.’’
Veron did not infer trends in abundance
from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least tens of millions
of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For P. nigrescens, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 35 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 14 percent
in the study. However, as summarized
above in the Inter-basin Comparison
sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
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54083
context, thus quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that P.
nigrescens occurs in many areas affected
by these broad changes, and that it is
likely has some susceptibility to both
global and local threats, we conclude
that it is likely to have declined in
abundance over the past 50 to 100 years,
but a precise quantification is not
possible based on the limited species
specific information.
Other Biological Information
The public comments and
information we gathered did not
provide any new or supplemental
biological information on P. nigrescens.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe P. nigrescens’ threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Porites of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection
and trade. The SRR and SIR did not
provide any other species-specific
information on the effects of these
threats on P. nigrescens. We interpreted
the threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the
proposed rule for P. nigrescens’
vulnerabilities as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
and nutrients, and low vulnerability to
sedimentation, sea-level rise, predation,
and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on P.
nigrescens’ threat susceptibilities. We
gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Porites nigrescens has
not been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching, but this rating
is not based on species-specific data
(2008). Porites nigrescens appears to
have high susceptibility to thermal
stress and warming-induced bleaching.
Porites nigrescens had high bleaching
rates in East Africa in 1998 (Obura,
2001) and Palau in 2000 (Bruno et al.,
2001). In East Africa, 99 percent of P.
nigrescens colonies were affected by
bleaching at the peak of bleaching in
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1998 in Kenya, Tanzania, Mozambique,
and Madagascar. This was the thirdmost affected species out of 14 species,
and was affected 99 percent as much as
the most affected species. At the end of
bleaching, 87 percent of colonies were
dead, which was the fifth-highest
mortality species, and 94 percent of the
mortality level of the highest mortality
species (Obura, 2001). In Palau in 2000,
P. nigrescens had very high to moderate
bleaching, and very high mortality. Of
all P. nigrescens colonies at the study
site, 48 percent bleached, and bleaching
of different genera and species ranged
from none to very high, with mortality
from zero to near 100 percent (Bruno et
al., 2001). Loya et al. (Loya et al., 2001)
reported that P. nigrescens was a ‘‘loser’’
in a 1998 bleaching event in Japan
where it went down to zero abundance
and cover (Loya et al., 2001).
Porites nigrescens has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to
disease, but these ratings are not based
on species-specific data (Carpenter et
al., 2008). Raymundo et al. (2005)
reported P. nigrescens had the seventhhighest disease prevalence of 21 species
of Porites in the Philippines. Porites
nigrescens had a moderate level of
disease prevalence relevant to the other
coral species in the study. No other
species-specific information is available
for the susceptibility of P. nigrescens to
any other threat.
Based on species-specific and genuslevel information above, P. nigrescens is
likely highly susceptible to ocean
warming and also likely has some
susceptibilities to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade. The
available information does not support
more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of P. nigrescens to the
threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
P. nigrescens. Public comments were
critical of that approach, and we
therefore attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms and conservation efforts on
a species basis, where possible, in this
final rule. Records confirm that P.
nigrescens occurs in 56 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 43 countries’
EEZs. The 43 countries are Australia,
Brunei, Cambodia, China, Djibouti,
Eritrea, Federated States of Micronesia,
Fiji, France (French Pacific Island
Territories), India (Andaman and
Nicobar Islands), Indonesia, Japan,
Kenya, Kiribati, Madagascar, Malaysia,
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Marshall Islands, Mauritius,
Mozambique, Myanmar, New Zealand
(Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Saudi
Arabia, Seychelles, Solomon Islands,
Somalia, South Africa, Sri Lanka,
Taiwan, Tanzania, Thailand, TimorLeste, Tonga, Tuvalu, United Kingdom
(British Indian Ocean Territory), United
States (American Samoa, PRIAs),
Vanuatu, Vietnam, and Yemen. The
regulatory mechanisms available to P.
nigrescens, described first as a
percentage of the above countries that
utilize them to any degree and second,
as the percentages of those countries
whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (28 percent with 7
percent limited in scope), coral
collection (56 percent with 28 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (35
percent with 7 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (95
percent with 23 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (93 percent
with 5 percent limited in scope). The
most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for P. nigrescens are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral
collection laws are somewhat utilized
but some are limited in scope and may
not provide substantial protection for P.
nigrescens. General coral protection and
pollution control laws are much less
prominent regulatory mechanisms for
the management of P. nigrescens.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for P. nigrescens include
the fairly low tolerance to thermal stress
and susceptibility to acidification
impacts in the genus. It listed factors
that reduce potential extinction risk
including the species’ broad
distribution, the high tolerance of
sediment stress and turbid water, and
low disease and predation susceptibility
of the genus.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
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information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of P.
nigrescens, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes most of the coral
reef ecoregions in the Indian Ocean and
western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates
vulnerability to extinction because some
areas within its range are projected to
have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas, so
portions of the population in these areas
will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is down to
at least 20 meters. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas
of its range will usually have lower
irradiance than surface waters, and
acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper
and cooler than those in which the
species occurs. Its habitat includes at
least upper reef slopes, mid-slopes,
lower reef slopes, and lagoons protected
from wave action. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is
not limited to one habitat type but
occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. Its
abundance of at least tens of millions of
colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, P.
nigrescens was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
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Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
common generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution
(based on wide geographic distribution
and moderate depth distribution (E);
and inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for P. nigrescens
from threatened to not warranted. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on P.
nigrescens’ spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
is not warranted for listing at this time,
because:
(1) Porites nigrescens’ distribution
from the Red Sea and east Africa across
most of the Pacific Ocean is spread over
a very large area. While some areas
within its range are projected to be
affected by warming and acidification,
other areas are projected to have less
than average warming and acidification,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas. This
distribution and the heterogeneous
habitats it occupies reduce exposure to
any given threat event or adverse
condition that does not occur uniformly
throughout the species range. As
explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future; and
(2) Porites nigrescens’ absolute
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies, providing buffering capacity in
the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility
between individual colonies. As
discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs
section above, the more colonies a
species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to
a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will
not have the same response.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
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these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
increase in severity and the species
exposure to threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience
reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, P.
nigrescens is not warranted for listing at
this time under any of the listing factors.
Genus Pachyseris
Genus Introduction
The family Agaricidae includes six
genera, Agaricia (Caribbean only),
Leptoseris, Pavona, Pachyseris,
Gardineroseris, and Coeloseris.
Pachyseris contains four species, all in
the Indo-Pacific. Pachyseris species are
foliose, and one species can produce
short columns or branches. The SRR
and SIR provided no genus-level
introductory information on Pachyseris.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Pachyseris.
A series of studies reported that
Pachyseris experiences variable but high
levels of bleaching, though in some
places it may be bleaching tolerant.
Pachyseris’ high bleaching rate and
relative rarity may give it a relatively
high extirpation risk in the western
Indian Ocean. Trade in this genus is
relatively high.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on the threat susceptibilities of the
genus Pachyseris. We gathered
supplemental information that provided
the following details. Pachyseris had a
bleaching index of 8.3 for eight
countries in the western Indian Ocean
in 1998–2005, which was 33rd highest
of the 45 genera recorded, and 20
percent of the highest value. As a genus,
its moderate bleaching rate combined
with relative rarity may give it a
relatively high extirpation risk in the
western Indian Ocean (McClanahan et
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al., 2007a). Done et al. (2003b) reported
that overall bleaching rates for two
species of Pachyseris were 15 percent
and 38 percent on the GBR in 2002,
which were the seventh and third
highest levels of bleaching out of 16
species of Agariciids. There is no
information available on the effects of
any other threat for Pachyseris.
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the
SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make
the following inferences about the
susceptibilities of an unstudied
Pachyseris species to ocean warming,
disease, acidification, sedimentation,
nutrients, trophic effects of fishing, sealevel rise, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR rated ocean warming
and disease as ‘‘high’’ importance, and
ocean acidification as ‘‘medium-high’’
importance, to corals. These were rated
as the three most important threats to
reef-building corals overall. Pachyseris
has a variable level of susceptibility to
bleaching, with most reports of
bleaching being moderate to high. Thus,
we conclude that an unstudied
Pachyseris species is likely to have high
susceptibility to ocean warming.
Although there is no other genus-level
or species-specific information on the
susceptibilities of Pachyseris species to
disease and ocean acidification, the SRR
rated them as ‘‘high’’ and ‘‘mediumhigh’’ importance to corals, respectively.
Thus, we conclude that an unstudied
Pachyseris species is likely to have
some susceptibility to disease and ocean
acidification.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of
fishing as ‘‘medium’’ importance, the
fourth most important threat to corals
overall. This threat was not addressed at
the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level
process. That is, removal of herbivorous
fish from coral reef systems by fishing
alters trophic interactions by reducing
herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae
over coral. Thus, the SRR did not
discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa,
as its effects are difficult to distinguish
between coral genera and species.
Therefore, an unstudied Pachyseris
species is likely to have some
susceptibility to the trophic effects of
fishing.
The SRR rated sedimentation,
nutrients, and sea-level rise as ‘‘lowmedium’’ importance to corals overall.
Although there is no genus-level or
species-specific information on the
susceptibilities of Pachyseris species to
sedimentation and nutrients, the SRR
rated them as ‘‘low-medium’’
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importance to corals.. Thus, we
conclude that an unstudied Pachyseris
species is likely to have some
susceptibility to sedimentation and
nutrients. Sea-level rise was not
addressed at the genus or species level
in the SRR or SIR. Increasing sea levels
may increase land-based sources of
pollution due to inundation, resulting in
changes to coral community structure,
thus an unstudied Pachyseris species is
likely to have some susceptibility to sealevel rise. Although there is no genuslevel or species-specific information on
the susceptibilities of Pachyseris species
to predation, there is no information
suggesting they are not susceptible to
this threat. Thus, we conclude that an
unstudied Pachyseris species has some
susceptibility to predation. The SRR
rated predation and ornamental trade
(referred to in the proposed rule as
Collection and Trade) as ‘‘low’’
importance to corals overall. Because
the available general information
suggests that collection and trade of
Pachyseris species is relatively high, we
conclude an unstudied Pachyseris
species is likely to have some
susceptibility to collection and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied
Pachyseris species is likely to have high
susceptibility to ocean warming, and
some susceptibility to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, predation, sealevel rise, and collection and trade.
Pachyseris rugosa
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Introduction
In The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on P. rugosa’s
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as colonies that are
upright, irregular, fused, bifacial plates,
and taxonomy was described as having
no taxonomic issues, but being similar
to Pachyseris gemmae and Pachyseris
involuta.
Public comments and information we
gathered did not provide any new or
supplemental information on
morphology, and confirmed that there
are no known taxonomic problems for P.
rugosa, and a low level of species
identification uncertainty. Veron (2014)
states that P. rugosa is very distinctive
and Veron (2000; 2014) considers the
species valid, and we consider it can be
identified by experts, thus we conclude
that the distribution and abundance
information described below for this
species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on P. rugosa’s
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distribution, habitat, and depth range.
The SRR and SIR described P. rugosa’s
distribution as from the Red Sea and
east Africa to the central Pacific.
Regarding habitat, the SRR and SIR
stated that P. rugosa may develop into
large mound-shaped colonies in shallow
water but smaller colonies occur in a
wide range of habitats including those
exposed to strong wave action. It is
associated with fine-grained sediments
on the Great Barrier Reef, and could be
an indicator of quiet water or a
moderate energy environment. Thus, its
habitat includes at least upper reef
slopes, mid-slopes, and lagoons. Its
depth range is from five to 20 meters,
and it may be excluded from shallow
environments by excess light.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on P.
rugosa’s distribution. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that this
species is confirmed in 57 of his 133
Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional
17.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported P. rugosa’s
abundance as common.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on P.
rugosa’s abundance. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that P.
rugosa occupied 23.5 percent of 2,984
dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean
abundance rating of 1.45 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it
was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘common,’’ and overall abundance was
also described as ‘‘common.’’ Veron did
not infer trends in abundance from
these data. As described in the IndoPacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least tens of millions
of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For P. rugosa, the overall decline
in abundance (‘‘Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 36
percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (‘‘Backcast Percent Population Reduction’’)
was estimated at 14 percent. However,
as summarized above in the Inter-basin
Comparison sub-section, live coral cover
trends are highly variable both spatially
and temporally, producing patterns on
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small scales that can be easily taken out
of context, thus quantitative inferences
to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that P.
rugosa occurs in many areas affected by
these broad changes, and likely has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible
based on the limited species-specific
information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on P. rugosa’s life
history. Pachyseris rugosa is a
gonochoric broadcast spawner. This
species contains clade C zooxanthellae,
with a predominance of clade C3h in
areas of greater temperature or turbidity.
Public comments and information we
gathered added no new or supplemental
information to the above-described
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe P. rugosa’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Pachyseris of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, sedimentation,
nutrients, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR and SIR also provided
the following species-specific
information on P. rugosa’s threats.
Pachyseris rugosa is vulnerable to a
ciliate disease skeletal eroding band.
Although overall disease presence was
low during a survey in Indonesia, the
black-band progressed across P. rugosa
at an average rate of 0.63cm/d. Mass
mortality of this species on the GBR has
been attributed to crown of thorns
starfish, although predation was not
observed directly. Pachyseris rugosa has
suffered high partial mortality as a
result of dredging, but its branching
structure should make it an efficient
sediment-rejecter. The species
disappeared in Jakarta Bay between
1920 and 2005, which was attributed to
decreased water quality from coastal
development. Pachyseris rugosa
experiences substantial export,
averaging 1195 specimens annually
from 1991 to 2008, decreasing in 1997–
2003, but returning to 2085 per year in
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2004–2008. The SRR and SIR did not
provide any other species-specific
information on the effects of these
threats on P. rugosa. We interpreted
threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the
proposed rule for P. rugosa’s
vulnerabilities as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean
acidification, and trophic effects of
fishing, and low vulnerability to
sedimentation, sea level rise, predation,
and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on P.
rugosa’s susceptibility to threats. We
gathered the following supplemental
species-specific and genus-level
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Pachyseris rugosa has
been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching but not disease,
but this rating is not based on speciesspecific data (Carpenter et al., 2008).
With regard to thermal stress, 15 percent
of P. rugosa colonies were affected by
bleaching on the GBR in 2002. The
median bleaching level among
Agariciidae colonies was 10 percent,
and the maximum was 58 percent. The
only other Pachyseris reported, P.
speciosa, bleached at a rate of 38
percent (Done et al., 2003b). All
colonies of P. rugosa were partly
bleached at Laem Set at Samui Island in
the western Gulf of Thailand in 1998,
and all were completely bleached in
2010. However, after both bleaching
events, all colonies recovered and were
healthy (Sutthacheep et al., 2013). In
Palau in 2000, P. rugosa had variable
but generally high bleaching levels and
high mortality: 48 percent of all colonies
of all species were bleached, and
bleaching of different genera and
species ranged from none to very high,
and mortality from zero to near 100
percent (Bruno et al., 2001). Based on
species specific and genus information
presented above, P. rugosa is predicted
to have a moderate to high level of
susceptibility to bleaching. With regard
to disease, Page and Willis (2007)
reported that skeletal eroding band has
been found in P. rugosa on the GBR,
where it is the most prevalent disease
on corals. However, the prevalence on
P. rugosa was too low to record in
transects. Darling et al. (2012)
performed a biological trait-based
analysis to categorize the relative
tolerance of coral species to
environmental stress. Pachyseris rugosa
was classified as a ‘‘generalist’’ species,
defined as species that can do well in
habitats where competition is limited by
low levels of stress. There are no other
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reports of the effects of any other threats
on P. rugosa. Based on genus-level and
species-specific information describe
above, P. rugosa is likely to have high
susceptibility to ocean warming and
some susceptibility to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
nutrients, sedimentation, sea level rise,
predation, and collection and trade. The
available information does not support
more precise ratings of the susceptibility
of P. rugosa to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanism or conservation efforts for P.
rugosa. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to attempt the following analysis of
regulatory mechanisms on a species
basis. Records confirm that P. rugosa
occurs in 57 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that
encompass 36 countries’ EEZs. The 36
countries are Australia, Brunei, China,
Egypt, Federated States of Micronesia,
Fiji, France (French Pacific Island
Territories), India (including Andaman
and Nicobar Islands), Indonesia, Israel,
Japan, Jordan, Madagascar, Malaysia,
Maldives, Mauritius, Myanmar, New
Zealand (Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua
New Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Saudi
Arabia, Solomon Islands, Sri Lanka,
Sudan, Taiwan, Thailand, Timor-Leste,
Tonga, Tuvalu, United Kingdom (British
Indian Ocean Territory), United States
(American Samoa, PRIAs), Vanuatu, and
Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to P. rugosa, described first as
the percentage of the above countries
that utilize them to any degree, and
second as the percentage of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms
may be limited in scope, are as follows:
General coral protection (28 percent
with 6 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (61 percent with 31 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (44
percent with 8 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (92
percent with 19 percent limited in
scope), managing areas for protection
and conservation (97 percent with 8
percent limited in scope). The most
common regulatory mechanisms in
place for P. rugosa are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral
collection and pollution control laws
are also somewhat common for the
species, but 31 percent of coral
collection laws are limited in scope and
may not provide substantial protection.
General coral protection laws are much
less common regulatory mechanisms for
the management of P. rugosa.
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54087
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for P. rugosa are that it
has had high (but variable) observed
bleaching in response to warming
events, has been observed to be
susceptible to multiple types of disease,
and has been inferred to be susceptible
to poor water quality. Substantial
collection from the aquarium trade
could lead to local extirpation in some
areas. It listed factors that reduce
potential extinction risk including that
P. rugosa has a widespread distribution
from the central Pacific to Africa, and it
can have a high local abundance.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of P.
rugosa, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes most of the coral
reef ecoregions in the Indian Ocean and
western and central Pacific Ocean, and
some in the Red Sea. Its geographic
distribution moderates vulnerability to
extinction because some areas within its
range are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification over
the foreseeable future, including the
western Indian Ocean, the central
Pacific, and other areas, so portions of
the population in these areas will be
less exposed to severe conditions. Its
depth range is from five to at least 20
meters. This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower irradiance than
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surface waters, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in
waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. Its
habitat includes at least upper reef
slopes, mid-slopes, and lagoons. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type
but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. Its
abundance of at least tens of millions of
colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore, there will likely be a large
number of colonies that are either not
exposed or do not negatively respond to
a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, P.
rugosa was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
common generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution
(based on wide geographic distribution
and moderate depth distribution (E);
and inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for P. rugosa from
threatened to not warranted. We made
this determination based on a more
species-specific and holistic assessment
of whether this species meets the
definition of either a threatened or
endangered coral largely in response to
public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the
buffering capacity of this species’ spatial
and demographic traits to lessen its
vulnerability to threats. Thus, based on
the best available information above on
P. rugosa’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to likely become
endangered throughout its range within
the foreseeable future, and thus it is not
warranted for listing at this time,
because:
(1) Pachyseris rugosa’s distribution
from the Red Sea across the Indian
Ocean and most of the Pacific Ocean
includes tens of thousands of islands
and reefs spread over a vast area. While
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some areas within its range are
projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, other areas are projected
to have less than average warming and
acidification, including the western
Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and
other areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies
reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not
occur uniformly throughout the species
range. As explained above in the
Threats Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future; and
(2) Pachyseris rugosa is described as
common throughout its vast geographic
range and its total population size is at
least tens of millions of colonies,
providing buffering capacity in the form
of absolute numbers of colonies and
variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the
Corals and Coral Reefs section above,
the more colonies a species has, the
lower the proportion of colonies that are
likely to be exposed to a particular
threat at a particular time, and all
individuals that are exposed will not
have the same response.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
increase in severity and the species
exposure to threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience
reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, P.
rugosa is not warranted for listing at this
time under any of the listing factors.
Genus Pavona
Genus Introduction
The family Agaricidae includes six
genera, Agaricia (Caribbean only),
Leptoseris, Pavona, Pachyseris,
Gardineroseris, and Coeloseris. Veron
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(Veron, 2000) recognizes 14 species in
the genus Pavona. Colonies of Pavona
species have plates, branches, or are
massive. The SRR and SIR provided no
genus-level introductory information on
Pavona.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Pavona.
One study reports Pavona had mixed
bleaching susceptibility on the GBR.
Other studies reported that both massive
and encrusting Pavona have been highly
susceptible to bleaching in the eastern
Pacific. Calcification in one Pavona
species slowed in reduced aragonite
saturation state. Two massive Pavona in
the eastern Pacific showed little
calcification reduction over 30 years in
response to acidification. The presence
of several species of Pavona in low
aragonite saturation states in the Eastern
Pacific suggests some tolerance to
acidification. There are a medium
number of acute white diseases found in
Pavona by surveys in the Pacific.
Members of the genus Pavona are
susceptible to predation by crown-ofthorns seastar (Acanthaster planci), but
susceptibility is variable among species
in the eastern Pacific. The genus Pavona
is generally regarded as moderately
tolerant to sediment stress. More than
1,000 pieces of Pavona are traded per
year.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on the threat susceptibilities of the
genus Pavona. We gathered
supplemental information that provided
the following. With regard to thermal
stress, Brown and Suharsono (1990)
reported that less than half of the
Pavona on the reef flats of two islands
in the Thousand Islands of Indonesia
died in the 1983 El Nino mass
bleaching. In the mass bleaching event
in 1998 in the Ryukyu Islands of Japan,
Pavona was highly susceptible to
bleaching, and mortality was 100
percent, higher than any other of the six
genera included in the study (Kayanne
et al., 2002). In contrast, during the
same 1998 bleaching event in Kenya,
mortality of Pavona colonies was zero,
and Pavona was one of five genera out
of the 18 genera in the study that had
no mortality (McClanahan et al., 2004).
Pavona’s bleaching index was the
second lowest of the 18 genera
(McClanahan et al., 2004). In a
bleaching event on Palau in 2000, three
species of Pavona had high levels of
bleaching and high mortality. Fortyeight percent of all colonies of all
species were bleached, and both
bleaching and mortality of different
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genera and species ranged from zero to
near 100 percent (Bruno et al., 2001). In
a bleaching event on the GBR in 2002,
between seven percent and 57 percent
of six species of Pavona were affected
(Done et al., 2003b). In a bleaching event
on Mauritius in 2004, Pavona had the
fourth lowest bleaching of the 32 genera
recorded (McClanahan et al., 2005a). In
a bleaching event on Howland and
Baker Islands in 2010, between 32 and
37 percent of Pavona colonies bleached
(Vargas-Angel et al., 2011). During the
same 2010 bleaching event in Thailand,
between 47 and 67 percent of Pavona
colonies bleached (Sutthacheep et al.,
2013).
In a broad study of 45 genera in the
western Indian Ocean in 1998 to 2005,
Pavona ranked 31st in bleaching
susceptibility (McClanahan et al.,
2007a). Pavona had a low prevalence of
disease in Guam, with 0.5% of colonies
with disease, tied for sixth highest
prevalence out of 12 genera, with the
highest genus having 6.7 percent (Myers
and Raymundo, 2009). There is no other
supplemental information on the
susceptibilities or vulnerabilities of
Pavona to other threats.
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the
SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make
the following inferences about the
susceptibilities of an unstudied Pavona
species to ocean warming, disease,
ocean acidification, sedimentation,
nutrients, trophic effects of fishing, sealevel rise, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR rated ocean warming
and disease as ‘‘high’’ importance, and
ocean acidification as ‘‘medium-high’’
importance, to corals. These were rated
as the three most important threats to
reef-building corals overall. There was a
wide range of reported susceptibility of
Pavona colonies to ocean warming and
acidification. One study reported a
moderate disease prevalence in Pavona
and another reported a low prevalence.
Thus, we conclude that an unstudied
Pavona species is likely to have some
susceptibility to ocean warming,
disease, and acidification.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of
fishing as ‘‘medium’’ importance, the
fourth most important threat to corals
overall. This threat was not addressed at
the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level
process. That is, removal of herbivorous
fish from coral reef systems by fishing
alters trophic interactions by reducing
herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae
over coral. Thus, the SRR did not
discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa,
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as its effects are difficult to distinguish
between coral genera and species.
Therefore, an unstudied Pavona species
is likely to be susceptible to the trophic
effects of fishing.
The SRR rated sedimentation,
nutrients, and sea-level rise as ‘‘lowmedium’’ importance to corals overall.
The SRR reported that one study
showed Pavona decussata had an
intermediate level of susceptibility to
sedimentation. Thus, we conclude that
an unstudied Pavona species is likely to
have some susceptibility to
sedimentation. Although there is no
genus-level or species-specific
information on the susceptibilities of
Pavona species to nutrients, the SRR
rated it as ‘‘low-medium’’ importance to
corals.. Thus, we conclude that an
unstudied Pavona species is likely to
have some susceptibility to nutrients.
Sea-level rise was not addressed at the
genus or species level in the SRR or SIR.
Increasing sea levels may increase landbased sources of pollution due to
inundation, resulting in changes to coral
community structure, thus an unstudied
Pavona species is likely to have some
susceptibility to sea-level rise. The SRR
reported that Pavona was susceptible to
starfish predation (but the level varied
by species) and that the genus is traded
in a moderate amount. Thus, we
conclude that an unstudied Pavona
species has some susceptibility to
predation and to collection and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied Pavona
species is likely to have some
susceptibility to ocean warming,
disease, acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, nutrients, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade.
Pavona diffluens
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on P. diffluens’
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as submassive, and the
taxonomy was described as having no
taxonomic issues, but it is similar to
Pavona gigantea and Pavona
explanulata.
The public comments and
information we gathered did not
provide any new or supplemental
information on morphology. There is
high taxonomic uncertainty about
colonies that appear similar to P.
diffluens in the Pacific, but low
taxonomic uncertainty about P.
diffluens in the Red Sea and Indian
Ocean. Both colonies in the Red Sea/
Indian Ocean, and in the Pacific, are
easily distinguished from other Pavona.
Veron (2014) states that, ‘‘We believe
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54089
that Pacific P. diffluens is likely to be a
similar but different species from
western Indian Ocean P. diffluens.’’ We
treat P. diffluens as the colonies in the
Red Sea and Indian Ocean only, as this
is the best currently available scientific
information. Veron (2000; 2014)
considers the species valid, and we
consider it is sufficiently distinctive to
be identified by experts, thus we
conclude that the distribution and
abundance information described below
for this species is sufficiently reliable
(Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on P. diffluens’
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Pavona diffluens occurs from the Red
Sea to the Arabian Gulf, and records
show this species from the Marianas
Islands and American Samoa, but the
records from the Marianas Islands were
unlikely. Its habitat includes at least
upper reef slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef
crests, reef flats, and lagoons, in depths
ranging from five to at least 20 m.
The public comments and
information we gathered provided
supplemental information on the
distribution of P. diffluens. One public
comment stated that the occurrence of
P. diffluens in the Marianas indicates
that this species has a broader range
than has been recognized by the
authors. We gathered supplemental
information, including additional
reports of P. diffluens from American
Samoa (Fenner, 2014b; Kenyon et al.,
2010), but the taxonomic question for
them remains. Veron (2014) reports that
this species is confirmed in five of his
133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and
strongly predicted to be found in an
additional three, all of which are in the
western Indian Ocean. The public
comments and information we gathered
provided nothing new or supplemental
on P. diffluens’ habitat and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on P. diffluens’
abundance. Pavona diffluens has been
reported as uncommon.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on P. diffluens’ abundance, but we
gathered supplemental information that
provided the following: Veron (Fenner,
2014b; Veron, 2014) reported that P.
diffluens occupied 0.47% of 2,984 dive
sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the
Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance
rating of 1.43 on a 1 to 5 rating scale at
those sites in which it was found. Based
on this semi-quantitative system, the
species’ abundance is characterized as
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‘‘rare,’’ and overall abundance is
described as ‘‘uncommon.’’ Veron did
not infer trends in abundance from
these data. As described in the IndoPacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For P. diffluens, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 36 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 20
percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context. Thus, these changes have likely
occurred, and are occurring, from a
combination of global and local threats.
Given that P. diffluens occurs in many
areas affected by these broad changes,
and likely has some susceptibility to
both global and local threats, we
conclude that it is likely to have
declined in abundance over the past 50
to 100 years, but a precise quantification
is not possible based on the limited
species-specific information.
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Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on P. diffluens’
life history. The reproductive
characteristics of P. diffluens have not
been determined, but six other species
in the genus are known to be gonochoric
broadcast spawners. The public
comments did not provide new or
supplemental information, and we did
not find new or supplemental
information on the above-described
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe P. diffluens’ threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Pavona of ocean warming,
disease, acidification, sedimentation,
predation, and collection and trade. The
SRR and SIR did not provide any other
species-specific information on the
effects of these threats on P. diffluens.
We interpreted the threat susceptibility
and exposure information from the SRR
and SIR in the proposed rule as follows:
High vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerabilities to disease,
ocean acidification, and trophic effects
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of fishing, low vulnerabilities to
sedimentation, sea-level rise, predation,
and collection and trade, and unknown
vulnerability to nutrients.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on P.
diffluens’ threat susceptibilities. We
gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. P. diffluens has not
been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching or disease, but
this rating is not based on speciesspecific data (Carpenter et al., 2008).
There is no species-specific information
for the exposure or susceptibility of P.
diffluens to any threat. Based on genuslevel and species information described
above, P. diffluens likely has some
susceptibilities to ocean warming,
disease, acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sealevel rise, predation, and collection and
trade. The available information does
not support more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of P. diffluens to the
threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
P. diffluens. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to the following analysis to attempt to
analyze regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that
Pavona diffluens occurs in five IndoPacific ecoregions that encompass 14
countries’ EEZs. The 14 countries are
Djibouti, Egypt, Eritrea, France (French
Pacific Island Territories), Iran, Israel,
Jordan, Madagascar, Oman, Pakistan,
Saudi Arabia, Sudan, United Arab
Emirates, and Yemen. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to P. diffluens,
described first as the percentage of the
above countries that utilize them to any
degree, and second, as the percentages
of those countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope,
are as follows: General coral protection
(21 percent with 7 percent limited in
scope), coral collection (43 percent with
7 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (64 percent with 7 percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on
reefs (71 percent with 21 percent
limited in scope), and managing areas
for protection and conservation (79
percent with 21 percent limited in
scope). The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for P. diffluens are
reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and
conservation. Pollution control laws are
also common for the species. Coral
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collection and general coral protection
laws are less common regulatory
mechanisms for the management of P.
diffluens.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that P. diffluens’ fairly moderate-to-low
tolerance to thermal stress and the
species’ narrow distribution range
increase the potential extinction risk. It
listed factors that reduce potential
extinction risk for P. diffluens including
its moderate tolerance of sediment stress
and its low susceptibility of the genus
to disease and predation.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of P.
diffluens, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution is limited only to parts of
the western Indian Ocean along coastal
East Africa, the Red Sea, and the Gulf
of Oman. This range exacerbates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because of its size and
localized human impacts for coral reefs
over the 21st century. In addition, parts
of the Red Sea are projected to
experience severe impacts from climate
change more rapidly than other parts of
the Indo-Pacific region. Its depth range
of five to 25 meters moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas
of its range will usually have lower
irradiance than surface waters, and
acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper
and cooler than those in which the
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species occurs. Its habitat includes at
least upper reef slopes, mid-slopes,
lower reef crests, reef flats, and lagoons.
This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous
types of reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience
highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. Its abundance of at least millions
of colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time. However, its
qualitative abundance is described as
rare, which can exacerbate its
vulnerability given its restricted range.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, P.
diffluens was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: Moderate
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), disease (C) and acidification
(E); uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); narrow overall
distribution (based on narrow
geographic distribution and moderate
depth distribution (E); and inadequacy
of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, the listing
determination for P. diffluens remained
threatened. Based on the best available
information provided above on P.
diffluens’ spatial structure, demography,
threat susceptibilities, and management,
it is likely to become endangered
throughout its range within the
foreseeable future, and thus warrants
listing as threatened at this time,
because:
(1) Pavona diffluens is susceptible to
ocean warming (E), disease (C), ocean
acidification (E), trophic effects of
fishing (A), nutrients (A, E), and
predation (C). In addition, the species
has inadequate regulatory mechanisms
for global threats (D);
(2) Pavona diffluens’ distribution is
mostly constrained to a small part of the
Indian Ocean where projections of local
threats (e.g., land-based sources of
pollution) and general effects of climate
change are both frequent and severe
over the foreseeable future. The Red Sea
in particular is projected to experience
frequent warming events sooner than
most other parts of the Indo-Pacific
region. A range constrained to a
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particular geographic area this size,
predicted to experience increasing
threat impacts, indicates that a high
proportion of the population of this
species is likely to be exposed to threats
that occur throughout this range over
the foreseeable future; and
(3) Pavona diffluens’ qualitative
abundance is rare, which means it does
not possess as much buffering capacity
in the form of variability in response
between individuals or absolute
abundance that would be afforded to a
more abundant or common species.
Combined with the limited range of this
species, this level of abundance leaves
the species vulnerable to becoming of
such low abundance within the
foreseeable future that it may be at risk
from depensatory processes,
environmental stochasticity, or
catastrophic events, as explained in
more detail in the Corals and Coral
Reefs and Risk Analyses sections.
The combination of these
characteristics and projections of future
threats indicates that the species is
likely to be in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range and warrants listing as
threatened at this time due to factors A,
C, D, and E.
The available information above on P.
diffluens’ spatial structure, demography,
threat susceptibilities, and management
also indicate that the species is not
currently in danger of extinction and
thus does not warrant listing as
Endangered because:
(1) While P. diffluens’ distribution is
constrained only to parts the western
Indian Ocean along coastal East Africa,
the Red Sea, and the Gulf of Oman, the
species’ range still includes
heterogeneous habitat across its range,
including at least upper reef slopes,
mid-slopes, lower reef crests, reef flats,
and lagoons. Thus, the species is not
limited to one habitat type but occurs in
numerous types of reef environments
that will, on local and regional scales,
experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time, as described in
more detail in the Coral Habitat and
Threats Evaluation sections. There is no
evidence to suggest that the species is so
spatially fragmented or geographically
constrained that depensatory processes,
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for catastrophic events
currently pose a high risk to the survival
of the species; and
(2) While P. diffluens’ qualitative
abundance is rare, its absolute
abundance is at least millions of
colonies, which allows for some
variation in the responses of individuals
to threats. There is no evidence of
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depensatory processes such as
reproductive failure from low density of
reproductive individuals and genetic
processes such as inbreeding affecting
this species. Thus, its abundance
indicates it is currently able to avoid
high mortality from environmental
stochasticity, and mortality of a high
proportion of its population from
catastrophic events.
The combination of these
characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of
one that is currently in danger of
extinction, as described previously in
the Risk Analyses section, and thus does
not warrant listing as endangered at this
time.
Range-wide, a multitude of
conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting P.
diffluens. However, considering the
global scale of the most important
threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at
addressing the root cause of global
threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not
believe that any current conservation
efforts or conservation efforts planned
in the future will result in affecting the
species status to the point at which
listing is not warranted.
Genus Pectinia
Genus Introduction
The family Pectiniidae includes five
genera, Pectinia, Echinomorpha,
Echinophyllia, Oxypora and Mycedium.
Veron (2000) recognizes nine species of
Pectinia. Colonies are laminar to
branching, and may have high walls
separating wide valleys. The SRR and
SIR provided no genus-level
introductory information on Pectinia.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Pectinia. A
case study from the Waikiki Aquarium
reported tolerance of Pectinia alcicornis
to low pH. With regards to disease, the
SRR referred to a study that reported
crustacean parasites in Pectinia lactuca
in American Samoa. However,
taxonomists have not recorded any
Pectinia species there so far (D. Fenner,
personal comm.). Another study
referred to in the SRR reported Pectinia
was not infected by ciliate skeletal
eroding band on the GBR. The SRR
referred to two studies that reported that
Pectinia is tolerant of sediment, one
study that indicated it was tolerant of
high nutrients, and one study that
reported it decreased along a gradient of
reduced water quality. The SRR
reported that Pectinidae species are
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highly susceptible to crown-of-thorns
seastar. The SRR reported that the genus
Pectinia is heavily exported—several
thousand specimens are exported
annually.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on the threat susceptibilities of the
genus Pectinia. We gathered
supplemental information that provided
the following. With regard to thermal
stress, during a bleaching event on the
GBR in 2002, between five and 11
percent of three species of Pectinia were
affected (Done et al., 2003a). In Palau in
2000, Pectinia lactuca and Pectinia
peonia both had high levels of bleaching
and high mortality. Forty-eight percent
of all colonies of all species were
bleached, and both bleaching and
mortality of different genera and species
ranged from zero to near 100 percent
(Bruno et al., 2001). Ruiz-Moreno et al.
(2012) reported that the family
Pectinidae had the highest disease
prevalence of any family of corals in the
Pacific, and third highest of all coral
families they studied in the Caribbean
and Indo-Pacific. However, the family
Pectinidae has five genera, and the
study did not report on the genus
Pectinia. There is no other supplemental
information on the susceptibilities of
Pectina to threats.
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the
SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make
the following inferences about the
susceptibilities of an unstudied Pectinia
species to ocean warming, disease,
ocean acidification, sedimentation,
nutrients, trophic effects of fishing, sealevel rise, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR rated ocean warming
and disease as ‘‘high’’ importance, and
ocean acidification as ‘‘medium-high’’
importance, to corals. These were rated
as the three most important threats to
reef-building corals overall. Pectinia
shows a variable level of warminginduced bleaching, thus we conclude
that an unstudied Pectinia is likely to
have some susceptibility to ocean
warming. Although there is no other
genus-level or species-specific
information on the susceptibility of
Pectinia species to disease, the SRR
rated it as ‘‘high’’ importance to corals,
thus we conclude that an unstudied
Pectinia is likely to have some
susceptibility to disease. One study
reported one species of Pectinia had
some resistant to acidification, thus
with only one study, we conclude that
an unstudied Pectinia is likely to have
some susceptibility to ocean
acidification.
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The SRR rated the trophic effects of
fishing as ‘‘medium’’ importance, the
fourth most important threat to corals
overall. This threat was not addressed at
the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level
process. That is, removal of herbivorous
fish from coral reef systems by fishing
alters trophic interactions by reducing
herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae
over coral. Thus, the SRR did not
discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa,
as its effects are difficult to distinguish
between coral genera and species.
Therefore, an unstudied Pectinia species
is likely to have some susceptibility to
the trophic effects of fishing.
The SRR rated sedimentation,
nutrients, and sea-level rise as ‘‘lowmedium’’ importance to corals overall.
Studies of the effects of sediment and
nutrients on Pectinia were inconsistent,
thus we conclude that an unstudied
Pectinia species is likely to have some
susceptibility to sediment and nutrients.
Sea-level rise was not addressed at the
genus or species level in the SRR or SIR.
Increasing sea levels may increase landbased sources of pollution due to
inundation, resulting in changes to coral
community structure, thus an unstudied
Pectinia species is likely to have some
susceptibility to sea-level rise. The SRR
reported that Pectinidae species are
highly susceptible to crown-of-thorns
seastar, thus we conclude that an
unstudied Pectinia species is likely to
have some susceptibility to collection
and trade. The SRR rated ornamental
trade (referred to in the proposed rule as
Collection and Trade) as ‘‘low’’
importance to corals overall. The SRR
reported that Pectinia is heavily traded,
thus we conclude that an unstudied
Pectinia species is likely to have some
susceptibility to collection and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied Pectinia
species is likely to have some
susceptibility to ocean warming,
disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade.
Pectinia alcicornis
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on P. alcicornis’
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as irregular clusters with
thin, flat, grooved plates and tall,
upward-projecting spires that can
dominate its structure. The taxonomy
was described as having no taxonomic
issues but being similar in appearance
to Pectinia paeonia.
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Public comments and information we
gathered did not provide any new or
supplemental information on
morphology, and confirmed that there
are no known taxonomic problems for P.
alcicornis, but a moderate level of
species identification uncertainty exists.
Veron (2014) states that P. alcicornis is
sometimes confused with other Pectinia
species and Veron (2000; 2014)
considers the species valid, thus we
conclude it can be identified by experts,
and that the distribution and abundance
information described below for this
species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on P. alcicornis’
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
The SRR and SIR described P.
alcicornis’ distribution as broadly
distributed from the northern Indian
Ocean to Fiji. It inhabits turbid water
and other low-light environments in
most coral reef habitats, including at
least upper reef slopes, mid-slopes,
lagoons, and caves, at depths of five to
25 m.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on P.
alcicornis’ distribution. We gathered
supplemental information including,
Veron (2014), which reports that this
species is confirmed in 39 of his 133
Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional
16.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported P.
alcicornis’ abundance as usually
uncommon.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on P.
alcicornis’ abundance. We gathered
supplemental information including
Veron (2014), which reports that P.
alcicornis occupied 16.6 percent of
2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had
a mean abundance rating of 1.6 on a 1
to 5 rating scale at those sites in which
it was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘common,’’ and overall abundance was
described as ‘‘usually uncommon.’’
Veron did not infer trends in abundance
from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least tens of millions
of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
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total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For P. alcicornis, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 38 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 15
percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context. Thus, quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that P.
alcicornis occurs in many areas affected
by these broad changes, and likely has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible
based on the limited species-specific
information.
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Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR reported that P.
alcicornis is a hermaphroditic broadcast
spawner. The public comments and
information we gathered provided no
new or supplemental biological
information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe P. alcicornis’ threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Pectinia of ocean warming,
acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection
and trade. The SRR and SIR also
provided the following species-specific
information on P. alcicornis’ threats.
Pectinia alcicornis showed very little
mortality on the GBR in the 2001–2002
mass bleaching event. Pectinia
alcicornis harbors Clade C
zooxanthellae in Okinawa and the
South China Sea, but contained Clade D
zooxanthellae in Palau after the 2001
mass bleaching event. It is one of many
species that has been raised in the
Waikiki Aquarium, which is
characterized by high-nutrient, low-pH
waters. Although it is generally a
sediment-tolerant genus, P. alcicornis
decreased along a deteriorating water
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quality gradient on the Great Barrier
Reef. Pectinia alcicornis exports were
reported at the species level only for
2000–2003, with a total of 133
specimens reported. The SRR and SIR
did not provide any other speciesspecific information on the effects of
these threats on P. alcicornis. We
interpreted threat susceptibility and
exposure information from the SRR and
SIR in the proposed rule for P.
alcicornis’ vulnerabilities as follows:
High vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
and predation, and low vulnerability to
sedimentation, nutrients, sea level rise,
and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on P.
alcicornis’ threats susceptibilities. We
gathered supplemental species-specific
and genus-level information on this
species’ threat susceptibilities. Pectinia
alcicornis has been rated as moderately
or highly susceptible to bleaching but
not to disease, however this rating is not
based on species-specific data
(Carpenter et al. 2008). With regard to
thermal stress, eight percent of P.
alcicornis was affected by bleaching on
the GBR in 2002. The other two Pectinia
species included in the study were
affected by bleaching at rates of three
percent and 12 percent, and the range
for all members of family Pectiniidae
was zero to 17 percent (Done et al.,
2003a). There is no other supplemental
information on the effects of threats on
this species. Based on genus-level and
species-specific information described
above, P. alcicornis likely has some
susceptibility to ocean warming,
disease, acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sealevel rise, predation, and collection and
trade. The available information does
not support more precise ratings of this
species’ threat susceptibilities.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
P. alcicornis. Public comments were
critical of that approach and we
therefore attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis in this
final rule. Records confirm that Pectinia
alcicornis occurs in 39 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 21 countries’
EEZs. The 21 countries are Australia,
Brunei, China, Federated States of
Micronesia, Fiji, France (French Pacific
Island Territories), India (Andaman and
Nicobar Islands), Indonesia, Japan,
Malaysia, Myanmar, Palau, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, Solomon Islands,
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Sri Lanka, Taiwan, Thailand, TimorLeste, Vanuatu, and Vietnam. The
regulatory mechanisms relevant to P.
alcicornis, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that
utilize them to any degree, and second
as the percentage of those countries
whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (33 percent with 10
percent limited in scope), coral
collection (52 percent with 29 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (38
percent with 14 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (100
percent with 14 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (95 percent
with none limited in scope). The most
common regulatory mechanisms in
place for P. alcicornis are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral
collection laws are also somewhat
utilized for the species, but 29 percent
of coral collection laws are limited in
scope and may not provide substantial
protection. General coral protection and
pollution control laws are less common
regulatory mechanisms for the
management of P. alcicornis.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that high bleaching rate is the primary
threat of extinction for Pectinia,
although P. alcicornis may be relatively
resistant in some areas. Factors that
increase potential extinction risk for P.
alcicornis include susceptibility to
bleaching, predation, and harvesting. It
listed factors that reduce potential
extinction risk including that P.
alcicornis occupies a variety of habitat
types and is broadly distributed both
latitudinally and longitudinally in the
Indo-Pacific.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
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to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of P.
alcicornis, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution is from the northern Indian
Ocean to Fiji. Its geographic distribution
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because some areas within its range are
projected to have less than average
warming and acidification over the
foreseeable future, including the central
Pacific, and other areas, so portions of
the population in these areas will be
less exposed to severe conditions. Its
depth range is five to 25 m. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because
deeper areas of its range will usually
have lower irradiance than surface
waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters
that are deeper and cooler than those in
which the species occurs. Its inhabits
turbid water and other low-light
environments in most coral reef
habitats, including at least upper reef
slopes, mid-slopes, lagoons, and caves.
This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous
types of reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience
highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. Turbidity in particular can
moderate exposure to high irradiance by
blocking light and resulting heat from
the water column. Its absolute
abundance of at least tens of millions of
colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, P.
alcicornis was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution
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(based on wide geographic distribution
and moderate depth distribution (E);
and inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for P. alcicornis
from threatened to not warranted. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on P.
alcicornis’ spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to likely become
endangered throughout its range within
the foreseeable future, and thus it is not
warranted for listing at this time,
because:
(1) Pectinia alcicornis’ distribution
from the northern Indian Ocean through
the western Pacific Ocean to Fiji
includes tens of thousands of islands
and reefs spread over a vast area. While
some areas within its range are
projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, other areas are projected
to have less than average warming and
acidification, including the central
Pacific and other areas. This
distribution and the heterogeneous
habitats it occupies reduce exposure to
any given threat event or adverse
condition that does not occur uniformly
throughout the species range. As
explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Pectinia alcicornis’ total
population size is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering
capacity in the form of absolute
numbers of colonies and variation in
susceptibility between individual
colonies. As discussed in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section above, the more
colonies a species has, the lower the
proportion of colonies that are likely to
be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that
are exposed will not have the same
response; and
(3) Pectinia alcicornis extends down
to 25 meters depth, providing some
buffering capacity against threatinduced mortality events that may be
more severe in shallow habitats;
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Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
worsen in severity and the species’
exposure to the threats increases
throughout its range. Should the species
experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, P.
alcicornis is not warranted for listing at
this time under any of the listing factors.
Genus Acanthastrea
Genus Introduction
The family Mussidae has 13 genera,
eight of which are restricted to the IndoPacific, including Acanthastrea. The
genus Acanthastrea contains 12 known
species. Most Acanthastrea are
encrusting, but one is massive. The SRR
and SIR provided no genus-level
introductory information on
Acanthastrea.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus
Acanthastrea. The genus Acanthastrea
has been reported to be highly
susceptibility to bleaching in Australia
and in the western Indian Ocean. The
genus sustained moderate bleaching in
Palau in 1994 and several Acanthastrea
species were relatively unaffected
during the 2002 event on the GBR (Done
et al., 2003b). Although no exports of
Acanthastrea were reported from 2000–
2009, 1,000 Acanthastrea pieces were
exported from Indonesia in 2010.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on the threat susceptibilities of the
genus Acanthastrea. We gathered
supplemental information which
provided the following details. All
Acanthastrea in protected areas in
Kenya were killed by mass bleaching in
1998 (McClanahan et al., 2001). Out of
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four Acanthastrea species on the GBR,
three species were not affected by the
2002 GBR bleaching event, while 22
percent of one species was affected
(Done et al., 2003b). At Mauritius in a
bleaching event in 2004, Acanthastrea
had a bleaching index of nine, the 22nd
highest of the 32 genera recorded, which
was 14 percent of the index of the genus
with the highest index (McClanahan et
al., 2005a). In the western Indian Ocean
in 1998–2005, Acanthastrea had a
bleaching index of 14.4 for eight
countries, which was 24th highest of the
45 genera recorded, and 35 percent of
the highest value (McClanahan et al.,
2007a).
With regard to land-based sources of
pollution, Stafford-Smith (1993)
reported that 14 of 20 Acanthastrea
echinata samples cleared over 98
percent of sediment within 48 hours,
the 12th best score. This score was 70
percent of the highest scoring species.
There is no other supplemental
information on the effects of threats on
the genus Acanthastrea.
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the
SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make
the following inferences about the
susceptibilities of an unstudied
Acanthastrea species to ocean warming,
disease, ocean acidification,
sedimentation, nutrients, trophic effects
of fishing, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. The SRR rated
ocean warming and disease as ‘‘high’’
importance, and ocean acidification as
‘‘medium-high’’ importance, to corals.
These were rated as the three most
important threats to reef-building corals
overall. The above information on
Acanthastrea shows a wide range of
susceptibility to ocean warming, thus
we conclude that an unstudied
Acanthastrea species is likely to have
some susceptibility to ocean warming.
Although there is no genus-level or
species-specific information on the
susceptibilities of Acanthastrea species
to disease and ocean acidification, the
SRR rated it as ‘‘medium-high’’
importance to corals. Thus, we conclude
that an unstudied Acanthastrea species
is likely to have some susceptibility to
disease and ocean acidification.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of
fishing as ‘‘medium’’ importance, the
fourth most important threat to corals
overall. This threat was not addressed at
the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level
process. That is, removal of herbivorous
fish from coral reef systems by fishing
alters trophic interactions by reducing
herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
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competitive advantage for space to algae
over coral. Thus, the SRR did not
discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa,
as its effects are difficult to distinguish
between coral genera and species.
Therefore, an unstudied Acanthastrea
species is likely to have some
susceptibility to the trophic effects of
fishing.
The SRR rated sedimentation,
nutrients, and sea-level rise as ‘‘lowmedium’’ importance to corals overall.
One study found an Acanthastrea
species to have moderate sedimentclearing ability. Thus we conclude that
an unstudied Acanthastrea species is
likely to have some susceptibility to
sedimentation. Although there is no
genus-level or species-specific
information on the susceptibilities of
Acanthastrea species to nutrients, the
SRR rated it as ‘‘low-medium’’
importance to corals. Thus, we conclude
that an unstudied Acanthastrea species
has some susceptibility to nutrients.
Sea-level rise was not addressed at the
genus or species level in the SRR or SIR.
Increasing sea levels may increase landbased sources of pollution due to
inundation, resulting in changes to coral
community structure, thus an unstudied
Acanthastrea species is likely to have
some susceptibility to sea-level rise. The
SRR rated predation and ornamental
trade (referred to in the proposed rule as
Collection and Trade) as ‘‘low’’
importance to corals overall. Although
there is no genus-level or speciesspecific information on the
susceptibilities of Acanthastrea species
to predation, there is no information
suggesting they are not susceptible to
this threat. Thus, we conclude that an
unstudied Acanthastrea species has
some susceptibility to predation.
Because the available information
suggests that Acanthastrea species are
lightly collected and traded, an
unstudied Acanthastrea species is likely
to have low susceptibility to collection
and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied
Acanthastrea species is likely to have
some susceptibility to ocean warming,
disease, acidification, sedimentation,
nutrients, trophic effects of fishing, sealevel rise, and predation, and is likely
to have low susceptibility to collection
and trade.
Acanthastrea brevis
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. brevis’
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as mostly submassive,
attached and colonial, and the
taxonomy was described as having no
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taxonomic issues but being similar in
appearance to Acanthastrea echinata.
Public comments and information we
gathered did not provide any new or
supplemental information on
morphology, and confirmed that there
are no known taxonomic problems for
A. brevis, but a moderate to high level
of species identification uncertainty.
Veron (2014) states that it is ‘‘readily
confused with Acanthastrea echinata,’’
but Veron (2000; 2014) considers the
species valid, thus we conclude it can
be identified by experts and that the
distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is
sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. brevis’
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Acanthastrea brevis is distributed from
the Red Sea and western Indian Ocean
to American Samoa in the central
Pacific. Its habitat includes all coral reef
habitats, in a depth range of one to 20
m.
Public comments provided the
following information on distribution
for A. brevis. One public comment
stated that A. brevis likely occurs in the
Marianas and will be included in an
upcoming book. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that this
species is confirmed in 29 of his 133
Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional
17. Acanthastrea brevis is found in the
Northern Marianas and American
Samoa as well (D. Fenner, personal
comm.) and the Marianas are one of the
predicted areas for A. brevis in the
Veron (2014) information. Public
comments and information we gathered
did not provide any more information
on the habitat and depth range of this
species.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported A. brevis’
abundance as uncommon but
conspicuous.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
brevis’ abundance. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that A.
brevis occupied 6.5 percent of 2,984
dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean
abundance rating of 1.49 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it
was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘uncommon,’’ and overall abundance
was also described as ‘‘uncommon.’’
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Veron did not infer trends in abundance
from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least tens of millions
of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. brevis, the overall decline
in abundance (‘‘Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 36
percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (‘‘Backcast Percent Population Reduction’’)
was estimated at 14 percent. However,
as summarized above in the Inter-basin
Comparison sub-section, live coral cover
trends are highly variable both spatially
and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out
of context. Thus, quantitative inferences
to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
brevis occurs in many areas affected by
these broad changes, and likely has
some susceptibility to both local and
global threats, we conclude it is likely
to have declined in abundance over the
past 50 to 100 years, but a precise
quantification is not possible based on
the limited species-specific information.
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Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. brevis’ life
history. Although specific larval
descriptions have not been published
for this species, the larvae of three other
Acanthastrea species studied do not
contain zooxanthellae that can
supplement maternal provisioning with
energy sources provided by their
photosynthesis. The public comments
did not provide new or supplemental
information, and we did not find new or
supplemental information on the abovedescribed biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. brevis’ threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acanthastrea of ocean
warming, acidification, disease,
sedimentation, nutrients, predation, and
collection and trade. The SRR and SIR
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did not provide any other speciesspecific information on the effects of
these threats on A. brevis. We
interpreted threat susceptibility and
exposure information from the SRR and
SIR in the proposed rule for A. brevis’
vulnerabilities as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean
acidification, and trophic effects of
fishing, and low vulnerability to
sedimentation, sea level rise, and
collection and trade, and unknown
vulnerability to nutrients.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
brevis’ threats susceptibilities. We
gathered supplemental species-specific
and genus-level information on this
species’ threat susceptibilities.
Acanthastrea brevis was not rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to
bleaching or coral disease by Carpenter
et al. (2008), but they did not use
species-specific data for their ratings.
Based on genus-level and species
information described above, A. brevis
likely has some susceptibility to ocean
warming, disease, ocean acidification,
trophic effects of fishing, nutrients,
sedimentation, sea-level rise, and
predation, and low susceptibility to
collection and trade.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. brevis. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to attempt the following analysis of
regulatory mechanisms on a species
basis. Records confirm that
Acanthastrea brevis occurs in 29 IndoPacific ecoregions that encompass 31
countries’ EEZs. The 31 countries are
Australia, Djibouti, Egypt, Eritrea,
Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji,
France (French Pacific Island
Territories), Indonesia, Israel, Jordan,
Kiribati, Madagascar, Malaysia,
Mauritius, New Zealand (Tokelau),
Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea,
Philippines, Samoa, Saudi Arabia,
Seychelles, Solomon Islands, Sri Lanka,
Sudan, Tonga, Tuvalu, United Kingdom
(British Indian Ocean Territory), United
States (American Samoa), Vietnam, and
Yemen. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to A. brevis, described first as
the percentage of the above countries
that utilize them to any degree, and
second as the percentage of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms
may be limited in scope, are as follows:
General coral protection (29 percent
with 6 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (65 percent with 26 percent
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limited in scope), pollution control (55
percent with 10 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (90
percent with 19 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (97 percent
with 10 percent limited in scope). The
most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. brevis are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral
collection and pollution control laws
are somewhat common for the species,
but 26 percent of coral collection laws
are limited in scope and may not
provide substantial protection. General
coral protection laws are much less
common regulatory mechanisms for the
management of A. brevis.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that high susceptibility to bleaching is
the primary factor that increases
potential extinction risk for A. brevis. It
listed factors that reduce potential
extinction risk for A. brevis including
the fact that it occupies a variety of
habitat types and is broadly distributed,
both latitudinally and longitudinally, in
the Indo-Pacific.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
brevis, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution is from the Red Sea and
western Indian Ocean to American
Samoa in the central Pacific. Its
geographic distribution moderates
vulnerability to extinction because some
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areas within its range are projected to
have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas, so
portions of the population in these areas
will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is from one
to 20 meters. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas
of its range will usually have lower
irradiance than surface waters, and
acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper
and cooler than those in which the
species occurs. Its habitat includes all
coral reef habitats. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is
not limited to one habitat type but
occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. Its
abundance of at least tens of millions of
colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
brevis was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution
(based on wide geographic distribution
and moderate depth distribution (E);
and inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. brevis from
threatened to not warranted. We made
this determination based on a more
species-specific and holistic assessment
of whether this species meets the
definition of either a threatened or
endangered coral largely in response to
public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the
buffering capacity of this species’ spatial
and demographic traits to lessen its
vulnerability to threats. Thus, based on
the best available information above on
A. brevis’ spatial structure, demography,
threat susceptibilities, and management,
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none of the five ESA listing factors,
alone or in combination, are causing
this species to likely become
endangered throughout its range within
the foreseeable future, and thus it is not
warranted for listing at this time,
because:
(1) Acanthastrea brevis’ distribution
from the western Indian Ocean to the
central Pacific across is spread over a
vast area, approximately half of the
Indo-Pacific region. While some areas
within its range are projected to be
affected by warming and acidification,
other areas are projected to have less
than average warming and acidification,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas. This
distribution and the heterogeneous
habitats it occupies reduce exposure to
any given threat event or adverse
condition that does not occur uniformly
throughout the species range. As
explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future; and
(2) Acanthastrea brevis’s absolute
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies, providing buffering capacity in
the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility
between individual colonies. As
discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs
section above, the more colonies a
species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to
a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will
not have the same response.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
worsen in severity and the species’
exposure to the threats increases
throughout its range. Should the species
experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, A.
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54097
brevis is not warranted for listing at this
time under any of the listing factors.
Acanthastrea hemprichii
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A.
hemprichii’s morphology and
taxonomy. Morphology was described
as encrusting to massive and frequently
over one meter across, and the
taxonomy was described as having no
taxonomic issues but being similar in
appearance to Acanthastrea echinata,
Acanthastrea bowerbanki, and
Acanthastrea hillae.
Public comments and information we
gathered did not provide any new or
supplemental information on
morphology, and confirmed that there
are no known taxonomic problems for
A. hemprichii and a low to moderate
level of species identification
uncertainty. Veron (2014) states that A.
hemprichii is usually distinctive and
Veron (2000; 2014) considers the
species valid, thus we conclude it can
be identified by experts and that the
distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is
sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A.
hemprichii’s distribution, habitat, and
depth range. Acanthastrea hemprichii’s
distribution extends from the Red Sea
and east Africa to the central IndoPacific and central Pacific, it occupies
most reef habitats, and its depth range
is from two to 20 m depth.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
hemprichii’s distribution. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that this
species is confirmed in 47 of his 133
Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional
23.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported A.
hemprichii’s abundance as uncommon.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
hemprichii’s abundance. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that A.
hemprichii occupied 11.4 percent of
2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had
a mean abundance rating of 1.47 on a 1
to 5 rating scale at those sites in which
it was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
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‘‘common,’’ and overall abundance was
described as ‘‘uncommon.’’ Veron did
not infer trends in abundance from
these data. As described in the IndoPacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least tens of millions
of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For Acanthastrea hemprichii, the
overall decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 35 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 14
percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context. Thus, quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
hemprichii occurs in many areas
affected by these broad changes, and
likely has some susceptibility to local
and global threats, we conclude it has
likely declined in abundance over the
past 50 to 100 years, but a precise
quantification is not possible based on
the limited species specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A.
hemprichii’s life history. Although
specific larval descriptions have not
been published for this species, the
larvae of three other Acanthastrea
species studied do not contain
zooxanthellae that can supplement
maternal provisioning with energy
sources provided by their
photosynthesis. The public comments
did not provide new or supplemental
information, and we did not find new or
supplemental information on the abovedescribed biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. hemprichii’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
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effects on Acanthastrea of ocean
warming, disease, acidification,
sedimentation, nutrients, predation, and
collection and trade. The SRR and SIR
also provided the following speciesspecific information on A. hemprichii’s
threats. Acanthastrea hemprichii was
relatively unaffected during the 2002
bleaching event on the Great Barrier
Reef. The SRR and SIR did not provide
any other species-specific information
on the effects of these threats on A.
hemprichii. We interpreted threat
susceptibility and exposure information
from the SRR and SIR in the proposed
rule for A. hemprichii’s vulnerabilities
as follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming, moderate vulnerability to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, and predation, low
vulnerability to sedimentation, sea level
rise, and collection and trade, and
unknown susceptibility for nutrients.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
hemprichii’s threats. We gathered
supplemental species-specific and
genus-level information on this species’
threat susceptibilities. Acanthastrea
hemprichii was not rated as moderately
or highly susceptible to bleaching or
disease by Carpenter et al. (2008), but
they did not have species-specific data.
Done et al. (2003b) reported no
bleaching in A. hemprichii on the GBR
in 2002. Eight of 14 species of Mussidae
bleached with six to 26% of colonies
bleached, and for species in other
families, as much as 80% of colonies
bleached. Based on genus-level and
species-specific information described
above, A. hemprichii likely has some
susceptibility to ocean warming,
disease, acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, nutrients, sedimentation, sea
level rise, predation, and collection and
trade. The available information does
not support more precise ratings of the
susceptibility of A. hemprichii to the
threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. hemprichii. Criticisms of our
approach received during public
comment led us to attempt the following
analysis of regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that
Acanthastrea hemprichii occurs in 47
Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass
30 countries’ EEZs. The 30 countries are
Australia, China, Djibouti, Egypt,
Eritrea, Federated States of Micronesia,
Fiji, France (French Pacific Island
Territories), India (Andaman and
Nicobar Islands), Indonesia, Israel,
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Japan, Jordan, Kenya, Madagascar,
Malaysia, Marshall Islands, Myanmar,
Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Saudi
Arabia, Seychelles, Solomon Islands,
Somalia, Sudan, Taiwan, Tanzania,
Thailand, Vietnam, and Yemen. The
regulatory mechanisms relevant to A.
hemprichii, first described as the
percentage of the above countries that
utilize them to any degree, and second
as the percentage of those countries
whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (20 percent with three
percent limited in scope), coral
collection (47 percent with 20 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (43
percent with 10 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (87
percent with 17 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (90 percent
with 10 percent limited in scope). The
most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. hemprichii are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral
collection and pollution control laws
are somewhat common for the species,
but 20 percent of coral collection laws
are limited in scope and may not
provide substantial protection. General
coral protection laws are much less
common regulatory mechanisms for the
management of A. hemprichii.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that high susceptibility to bleaching is
the primary factor that increases
potential extinction risk for A.
hemprichii. It listed factors that reduce
potential extinction risk for A.
hemprichii are includes the fact that it
occupies a variety of habitat types and
is broadly distributed, both latitudinally
and longitudinally, in the Indo-Pacific.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
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to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
hemprichii, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes most of the coral
reef ecoregions in the Red sea and
western Indian Ocean and many in the
central Indo-Pacific and western and
central Pacific Ocean. Its geographic
distribution moderates vulnerability to
extinction because some areas within its
range are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification over
the foreseeable future, including the
western Indian Ocean, the central
Pacific, and other areas, so portions of
the population in these areas will be
less exposed to severe conditions. Its
depth range is from two to 20 meters.
This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower irradiance than
surface waters, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in
waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. Its
habitat includes most reef habitats. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type
but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. Its
abundance of at least tens of millions of
colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
mstockstill on DSK4VPTVN1PROD with RULES2
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
hemprichii was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution
(based on wide geographic distribution
and moderate depth distribution (E);
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and inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. hemprichii
from threatened to not warranted. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on A.
hemprichii’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
is not warranted for listing at this time,
because:
(1) Acanthastrea hemprichii’s
distribution includes the Red Sea and
east coast of Africa, plus many of the
coral reef ecoregions in the central IndoPacific and central Pacific Ocean
includes and is spread over a vast area.
While some areas within its range are
projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, other areas are projected
to have less than average warming and
acidification, including the western
Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and
other areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies
reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not
occur uniformly throughout the species
range. As explained above in the
Threats Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future; and
(2) Acanthastrea hemprichii’s
absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering
capacity in the form of absolute
numbers of colonies and variation in
susceptibility between individual
colonies. As discussed in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section above, the more
colonies a species has, the lower the
proportion of colonies that are likely to
be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that
are exposed will not have the same
response.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
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54099
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
increase in severity and the species
exposure to threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience
reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, A.
hemprichii is not warranted for listing at
this time under any of the listing factors.
Acanthastrea ishigakiensis
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A.
ishigakiensis’ morphology and
taxonomy. Morphology was described
as massive and usually hemispherical
and often more than 0.5 meters across,
and taxonomy was described as having
no taxonomic issues but being similar in
appearance to Acanthastrea hillae and
Symphyllia erythraea.
Public comments and information we
gathered did not provide any new or
supplemental information on
morphology, and confirmed that there
are no known taxonomic problems for
A. ishigakiensis, but that there is a
moderate level of species identification
uncertainty for this species. Veron
(2014) states that A. ishigakiensis is
readily confused with A. hillae, but
Veron (2000; 2014) also considers the
species valid, thus we conclude it can
be identified by experts and that the
distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is
sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on Acanthastrea
ishigakiensis’ distribution, habitat, and
depth range. Acanthastrea ishigakiensis’
distribution extends from the Red Sea
and east coast of Africa to the central
Pacific, but excludes Australia. Its
habitat includes upper reef slopes,
lagoons and other areas protected from
wave action, in depths from one to 15
m depth.
Public comments provided the
following information on A.
ishigakiensis’ distribution. One public
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comment stated that R.H. Randall
recalls seeing this species in Guam at 60
m deep. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014),
which reports that this species is
confirmed in 25 of his 133 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be
found in an additional 19.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported A.
ishigakiensis’ abundance as uncommon
but conspicuous.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
ishigakiensis’ abundance. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that A.
ishigakiensis occupied 2.9 percent of
2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had
a mean abundance rating of 1.3 on a 1
to 5 rating scale at those sites in which
it was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘uncommon,’’ and overall abundance
was described as ‘‘uncommon but
conspicuous.’’ Veron did not infer
trends in abundance from these data. As
described in the Indo-Pacific Species
Determinations introduction above,
based on results from Richards et al.
(2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at
least tens of millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. ishigakiensis, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 34 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 14
percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context. Thus, quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
ishigakiensis occurs in many areas
affected by these broad changes, and
likely has some susceptibility to local
and global threats, we conclude it has
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likely declined in abundance over the
past 50 to 100 years, but a precise
quantification is not possible based on
the lack of species specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A.
ishigakiensis’ life history. Although
specific larval descriptions have not
been published for this species, the
larvae of three other Acanthastrea
species studied do not contain
zooxanthellae that can supplement
maternal provisioning with energy
sources provided by their
photosynthesis. The public comments
did not provide new or supplemental
information, and we did not find new or
supplemental information on the abovedescribed biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. ishigakiensis’ threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acanthastrea of ocean
warming, disease, acidification,
sedimentation, nutrients, predation, and
collection and trade. The SRR and SIR
did not provide any other speciesspecific information on the effects of
these threats on A. ishigakiensis. We
interpreted threat susceptibility and
exposure information from the SRR and
SIR in the proposed rule for A.
ishigakiensis’ vulnerabilities as follows:
High vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
and predation, low vulnerability to
sedimentation, sea level rise, and
collection and trade, and unknown
susceptibility to nutrients.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
ishigakinesis’ threats susceptibilities.
We gathered supplemental speciesspecific and genus-level information on
this species’ threat susceptibilities.
Acanthastrea ishigakiensis was not
rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching or disease by
Carpenter et al. (2008), but they did not
have species-specific data. No speciesspecific information is available for the
susceptibility of A. ishigakiensis to any
threat. Based on genus-level information
described above, A. ishigakiensis likely
has some susceptibility to ocean
warming, disease, ocean acidification,
trophic effects of fishing, nutrients,
sedimentation, sea level rise, predation,
and low susceptibility to collection and
trade.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
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information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. ishigakiensis. Criticisms of our
approach received during public
comment led us to attempt the following
analysis of regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm A.
ishigakiensis occurs in 24 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 25 countries’
EEZs. The 25 countries are Egypt,
Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji,
France (French Pacific Island
Territories), Indonesia, Israel, Japan,
Jordan, Kenya, Madagascar, Malaysia,
Mauritius, Mozambique, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, Saudi Arabia,
Seychelles, Solomon Islands, Sudan,
Tanzania, United States (CNMI, Guam),
Vanuatu, Vietnam, and Yemen.
Regulatory mechanisms relevant to A.
ishigakiensis, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that
utilize them to any degree, and second
as the percentage of those countries
whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (21 percent with eight
percent limited in scope), coral
collection (63 percent with 25 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (50
percent with 13 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (88
percent with 21 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (100
percent with eight percent limited in
scope). The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for A.
ishigakiensis are reef fishing regulations
and area management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are somewhat
common the species, but 25 percent of
coral collection laws are limited in
scope and may not provide substantial
protection. General coral protection
laws are much less common regulatory
mechanisms for the management of A.
ishigakiensis.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that high susceptibility to bleaching is
the primary factor that increases
potential extinction risk for A.
ishigakiensis. It listed factors that
reduce potential extinction risk
including the fact that A. ishigakiensis
is broadly distributed, both latitudinally
and longitudinally, in the Indo-Pacific.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
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species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
ishigakiensis, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes most of the coral
reef ecoregions in the Red Sea and
western Indian Ocean and many in the
western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates
vulnerability to extinction because some
areas within its range are projected to
have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas, so
portions of the population in these areas
will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is from one
to 15 meters, and there is one anecdotal
record from Guam of this species
observed at 60 meters depth. On one
hand, its depth range may moderate
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas
of its range will usually have lower
irradiance than surface waters, and
acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper
and cooler than those in which the
species occurs. On the other hand, its
depth range may exacerbate
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future if the species occurs
predominantly in the shallower portion
of its depth range, since those areas will
have higher irradiance and thus be more
severely affected by warming-induced
bleaching. Its habitat includes upper
reef slopes, lagoons, and other areas
protected from wave action. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type
but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. Its
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absolute abundance of at least tens of
millions of colonies, combined with
spatial variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
ishigakiensis was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderate overall
distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and shallow depth
distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A.
ishigakiensis from threatened to not
warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and
holistic assessment of whether this
species meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on A.
ishigakiensis’ spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
is not warranted for listing at this time,
because:
(1) Acanthastrea ishigakiensis’
distribution includes the Red Sea and
most of the western Indian Ocean along
with many of the coral reef ecoregions
in the western and central Pacific.
While some areas within its range are
projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, other areas are projected
to have less than average warming and
acidification, including the western
Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and
other areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies
reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not
occur uniformly throughout the species
range. As explained above in the
Threats Evaluation section, we have not
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54101
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future; and
(2) Acanthastrea ishigakiensis’
absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering
capacity in the form of absolute
numbers of colonies and variation in
susceptibility between individual
colonies. As discussed in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section above, the more
colonies a species has, the lower the
proportion of colonies that are likely to
be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that
are exposed will not have the same
response.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
increase in severity and the species
exposure to threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience
reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, A.
ishigakiensis is not warranted for listing
at this time under any of the listing
factors.
Acanthastrea regularis
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. regularis’
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as massive and with
corallites united by fused compound
walls, and taxonomy was described as
having no taxonomic issues but being
similar in appearance to Montastraea
and Favia underwater.
Public comments and information we
gathered did not provide any new or
supplemental information on
morphology, and confirmed that there
are no known taxonomic problems for
A. regularis, and a moderate level of
species identification uncertainty for
this species. Veron (2014) states that A.
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regularis is readily confused with Favia
species but Veron (2000; 2014)
considers the species valid, thus we
conclude it can be identified by experts
and that the distribution and abundance
information described below for this
species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
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Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. regularis’
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Acanthastrea regularis’ distribution is
restricted, and includes the Coral
Triangle and some islands in the west
and central Pacific. Its habitat includes
most reef habitats, including upper reef
slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef crests,
reef flats, and lagoons in depths from
two to 20 m.
Public comments provided the
following information on distribution of
A. regularis. One public comment stated
that A. regularis is likely in the
Marianas. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014),
which reports that this species is
confirmed in 17 of his 133 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be
found in an additional 16.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported A.
regularis’ abundance as uncommon.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
regularis’ abundance. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that A.
regularis occupied 5.1 percent of 2,984
dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean
abundance rating of 1.21 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it
was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘uncommon,’’ and overall abundance
was also described as ‘‘uncommon.’’
Veron did not infer trends in abundance
from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For A. regularis, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 36 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 14
percent. However, as summarized above
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in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context. Thus, quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A.
regularis occurs in many areas affected
by these broad changes, and likely has
some susceptibility to local and global
threats, we conclude it has likely
declined in abundance over the past 50
to 100 years, but a precise quantification
is not possible based on the limited
species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on A. regularis’
life history. Although specific larval
descriptions have not been published
for this species, the larvae of three other
Acanthastrea species studied do not
contain zooxanthellae that can
supplement maternal provisioning with
energy sources provided by their
photosynthesis.
The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information, and
we did not find new or supplemental
information on the above-described
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. regularis’ threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Acanthastrea of ocean
warming, acidification, disease,
sedimentation, nutrients, predation, and
collection and trade. The SRR and SIR
did not provide any other speciesspecific information on the effects of
these threats on A. regularis. We
interpreted threat susceptibility and
exposure information from the SRR and
SIR in the proposed rule for A. regularis’
vulnerabilities as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean
acidification, and trophic effects of
fishing, and predation, low vulnerability
to sedimentation, sea level rise, and
collection and trade, and unknown
vulnerability to nutrients.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on A.
regularis’ threat susceptibilities. We
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Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4700
gathered supplemental species-specific
and genus-level information on this
species’ threat susceptibilities.
Acanthastrea regularis was not rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to
bleaching or disease by Carpenter et al.
(2008), but they did not have speciesspecific data. Based on genus-level
information presented above, A.
regularis likely has some susceptibility
to ocean warming, disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
nutrients, sedimentation, sea-level rise,
and predation, and low susceptibility to
collection and trade.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
A. regularis. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to attempt the following analysis of
regulatory mechanisms on a species
basis. Records confirm that A. regularis
occurs in 17 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that
encompass eight countries’ EEZs. The
eight countries are Australia, Federated
States of Micronesia, Fiji, Indonesia,
Malaysia, Papua New Guinea,
Philippines, and Vietnam. The
regulatory mechanisms relevant to A.
regularis, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that
utilize them to any degree, and second
as the percentage of those countries
whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (25 percent with none
limited in scope), coral collection (63
percent with 25 percent limited in
scope), pollution control (63 percent
with 25 percent limited in scope),
fishing regulations on reefs (100 percent
with 13 percent limited in scope), and
managing areas for protection and
conservation (100 percent with none
limited in scope). The most common
regulatory mechanisms in place for A.
regularis are reef fishing regulations and
area management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are also
somewhat common for the species, but
25 percent of those laws are limited in
scope and may not provide substantial
protection. General coral protection
laws are much less common regulatory
mechanisms for the management of A.
regularis.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
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baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that high susceptibility to bleaching is
the primary factor that increases
potential extinction risk for A. regularis.
This species occupies a variety of
habitat types and extends down to 20
meters depth which are factors listed in
the SRR that reduce potential extinction
risk.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A.
regularis, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Acanthastrea
regularis is not highly susceptible to any
of the nine most important threats,
although it has some susceptibility to
each. Its geographic distribution is
mostly constrained to parts of the Coral
Triangle and western equatorial Pacific
Ocean—areas which are projected to
have the most rapid and severe impacts
from climate change and localized
human impacts for coral reefs over the
21st century. For a species that is highly
susceptible to climate change related
threats, this range would exacerbate
vulnerability to extinction but A.
regularis is not highly susceptible
susceptibility. Vulnerability to
extinction may be exacerbated by the
severe nature of local threats predicted
within its range, however, A. regularis
is not highly susceptible to any local
sources of impact either. Its depth range
is from two to 20 meters. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because
deeper areas of its range will usually
have lower irradiance than surface
waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters
that are deeper and cooler than those in
which the species occurs. Its habitat
includes upper reef slopes, mid-slopes,
lower reef crests, reef flats, and lagoons.
This moderates vulnerability to
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extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous
types of reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience
highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. Its absolute abundance of at least
millions of colonies, combined with
spatial variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, A.
regularis was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderate overall
distribution (based on moderate
geographic distribution and moderate
depth distribution (E); and inadequacy
of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for A. regularis
from threatened to not warranted. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on A.
regularis’ spatial structure, demography,
threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors,
alone or in combination, are causing
this species to be likely to become
endangered throughout its range within
the foreseeable future, and thus is not
warranted for listing at this time,
because:
(1) While A. regularis’ distribution is
mostly constrained to parts of the Coral
Triangle and western equatorial Pacific
Ocean, its distribution is spread over a
large area across the Coral Triangle, the
Marianas archipelago, Palau,
Micronesia, and Fiji. While some areas
within its range are projected to be
affected by warming and acidification,
A. regularis is not highly susceptible to
ocean warming, acidification, or any of
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54103
the nine most important threats. This
distribution and the heterogeneous
habitats it occupies reduce exposure to
any given threat event or adverse
condition that does not occur uniformly
throughout the species range. As
explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future; and
(2) Acanthastrea regularis’ absolute
abundance is at least millions of
colonies, providing buffering capacity in
the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility
between individual colonies. As
discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs
section above, the more colonies a
species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to
a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will
not have the same response.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
increase in severity and the species
exposure to threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience
reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, A.
regularis is not warranted for listing at
this time under any of the listing factors.
Genus Barabattoia
Genus Introduction
The family Favidae includes 24
genera, more than any other family,
including Barabattoia. Barabattoia
contains two species, B. laddi and B.
amicorum. Colonies are massive or
encrusting. The SRR and SIR provided
no genus-level introductory information
on Barabattoia.
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Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Barabattoia.
Barabattoia amicorum has low-tomoderate bleaching susceptibility with
an unknown degree of resultant
mortality (Bruno et al., 2001).
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on the threat susceptibilities of the
genus Barabattoia. We gathered
supplemental information that provided
the following. With regard to thermal
stress, B. amicorum experienced low to
moderate bleaching in Palau in 2000,
but mortality was not reported (Bruno et
al., 2001). Forty-eight percent of all
colonies of all species were bleached,
and bleaching of different genera and
species ranged from none to very high,
and mortality of different genera and
species ranged from none to near 100
percent (Bruno et al., 2001). There is no
information on the susceptibilities of
Barabattoia to any other threats.
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Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the
SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make
the following inferences about the
susceptibilities of an unstudied
Barabattoia species to ocean warming,
disease, acidification, sedimentation,
nutrients, trophic effects of fishing, sealevel rise, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR rated ocean warming
and disease as ‘‘high’’ importance, and
ocean acidification as ‘‘medium-high’’
importance, to corals. These were rated
as the three most important threats to
reef-building corals overall. The one
available study on the effects of ocean
warming on Barabattoia found that B.
amicorum in Palau experienced low to
moderate bleaching (Bruno et al., 2001).
Even though there is only one study
available, since there are only two
species within the genus Barabattoia, it
is reasonable to make inferences about
the susceptibility of B. laddi to ocean
warming. Although there is no other
genus-level or species-specific
information on the susceptibilities of
Barabattoia species to ocean warming,
disease, and acidification, the SRR rated
them as ‘‘high’’ or ‘‘medium-high’’
importance to corals. Thus, we conclude
that an unstudied Barabattoia species is
likely to have some susceptibility to
ocean warming, disease, and
acidification.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of
fishing as ‘‘medium’’ importance, the
fourth most important threat to corals
overall. This threat was not addressed at
the genus or species level in the SRR or
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SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level
process. That is, removal of herbivorous
fish from coral reef systems by fishing
alters trophic interactions by reducing
herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae
over coral. Thus, the SRR did not
discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa,
as its effects are difficult to distinguish
between coral genera and species.
Therefore, an unstudied Barabattoia
species is likely to have some
susceptibility to the trophic effects of
fishing.
The SRR rated sedimentation,
nutrients, and sea-level rise as ‘‘lowmedium’’ importance to corals overall.
Although there is no genus-level or
species-specific information on the
susceptibilities of Barabattoia species to
sedimentation and nutrients, there is no
information suggesting they are not
susceptible to these threats. Thus we
conclude that an unstudied Barabattoia
species is likely to have some
susceptibility to sedimentation and
nutrients. Sea-level rise was not
addressed at the genus or species level
in the SRR or SIR. Increasing sea levels
may increase land-based sources of
pollution due to inundation, resulting in
changes to coral community structure,
thus an unstudied Barabattoia species is
likely to have some susceptibility to sealevel rise. The SRR rated predation and
ornamental trade (referred to in the
proposed rule as Collection and Trade)
as ‘‘low’’ importance to corals overall.
Because there is no information on the
effects of predation and ornamental
trade on Barabattoia, we conclude that
Barabattoia has some susceptibility to
predation and ornamental trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied
Barabattoia species is likely to have
some susceptibility to ocean warming,
disease, acidification, disease,
sedimentation, nutrients, trophic effects
of fishing, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade.
Barabattoia laddi
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on B. laddi’s
morphology and taxonomy: the
morphology was described as clusters of
tubular corallites, and the taxonomy
was described as having no taxonomic
issues but being similar in appearance
to B. amicorum and Montastraea sp.
The public comments and
information we gathered did not
provide any new or supplemental
information on morphology, and
confirmed that there are no known
taxonomic problems for B. laddi, and
that there is a low to moderate level of
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species identification uncertainty for
this species, since it is so rare that
surveyors get little experience with it.
Veron (2014) states that B. laddi is
distinctive and Veron (2000; 2014)
considers the species valid, thus we
conclude it is sufficiently distinctive to
be identified by experts, and that the
distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is
sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on B. laddi’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Barabattoia laddi’s range is somewhat
restricted, centered on the Coral
Triangle and extending to the central
Pacific including perhaps French
Polynesia. The SRR and SIR described
B. laddi’s habitat as recorded only from
shallow lagoons, and the depth range as
0 to 10 m. The public comments
provided the following details. One
public comment stated that B. laddi
tentatively occurs in Apra Harbor,
Guam. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014),
which reports that this species is
confirmed in 22 of his 133 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be
found in an additional 15. Surveys in
Indonesia record the species at multiple
sites with depths greater than 10 m
(Bigot and Amir, 2009; Donnelly et al.,
2003; Turak and DeVantier, 2003) and
surveys in the Maldives record the
species at multiple sites with depths up
to 20 m (Bigot and Amir, 2009; Donnelly
et al., 2003; Turak and DeVantier, 2003).
These surveys were done in different
habitats, including reef slopes and
lagoons. Thus, based on all the available
information, B. laddi’s habitat includes
at least upper reef slopes, mid-slope
terraces, and lagoons in depths ranging
from zero to 20 m.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported B. laddi’s
abundance as rare. The public
comments did not provide any new or
supplemental information on B. laddi’s
abundance, but we gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that B.
laddi occupied 5.2 percent of 2,984 dive
sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the
Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance
rating of 1.33 on a 1 to 5 rating scale at
those sites in which it was found. Based
on this semi-quantitative system, the
species’ abundance was characterized as
‘‘uncommon,’’ and overall abundance
was described as ‘‘rare.’’ Veron did not
infer trends in abundance from these
data. As described in the Indo-Pacific
Species Determinations introduction
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above, based on results from Richards et
al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at
least tens of millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For B. laddi, the overall decline
in abundance (‘‘Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 35
percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (‘‘Backcast Percent Population Reduction’’)
was estimated at 14 percent. However,
as summarized above in the Inter-basin
Comparison sub-section, live coral cover
trends are highly variable both spatially
and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out
of context. Thus, quantitative inferences
to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that B.
laddi occurs in many areas affected by
these broad changes, and likely has
some susceptibility to local and global
threats, we conclude that it is likely to
have declined in abundance over the
past 50 to 100 years, but a precise
quantification is not possible based on
the limited species specific information.
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Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on B. laddi’s life
history. The reproductive characteristics
of B. laddi have not been determined.
There is only one other species in the
genus, B. amoricum, which is a
hermaphroditic broadcast spawner that
participated in multispecies spawning
events at Magnetic Island and Orpheus
Island on the Great Barrier Reef. The
larvae of B. amoricum do not contain
zooxanthellae that might supplement
maternal provisioning with energy from
photosynthesis. The public comments
and information we gathered provided
no new or supplemental biological
information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe B. laddi’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Barabattoia of ocean
warming, disease, acidification,
sedimentation, nutrients, predation, and
collection and trade. The SRR and SIR
did not provide any other species-
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specific information on the effects of
these threats on B. laddi. We interpreted
the threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the
proposed rule for B. laddi’s
vulnerabilities as follows: Moderate
vulnerability to ocean warming, disease,
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
and nutrients, low vulnerability to
sedimentation, sea level rise, and
collection and trade, and unknown
vulnerability to predation.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on B.
laddi’s threats. We gathered the
following species-specific supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Barabattoia laddi has
not been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching or disease, but
this rating is not based on speciesspecific data (2008). No other speciesspecific information is available for the
susceptibility of B. laddi to any other
threat. Based on the available genuslevel information described above, B.
laddi likely has some susceptibility to
ocean warming, disease, acidification,
trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, predation, sea-level rise, and
collection and trade. The available
information does not support more
precise ratings of the susceptibility of B.
laddi to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
B. laddi. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to attempt the following analysis of
regulatory mechanisms on a species
basis. Records confirm B. laddi occurs
in 22 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that
encompass 15 countries’ EEZs. The 15
countries are Australia, Brunei, China,
France (French Pacific Island
Territories), Indonesia, Malaysia,
Marshall Islands, Palau, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, Solomon Islands,
Taiwan, United Kingdom (Pitcairn
Islands), United States (PRIAs), and
Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to B. laddi, described first as
the percentage of the above countries
that utilize them to any degree and
second, as the percentages of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms
may be limited in scope, are as follows:
General coral protection (33 percent
with none limited in scope), coral
collection (67 percent with 33 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (47
percent with 20 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (93
percent with 27 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
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54105
protection and conservation (100
percent with 13 percent limited in
scope). The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for B. laddi are
reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are also
somewhat common for the species, but
33 percent of coral collection laws are
limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection. General coral
protection laws are much less common
regulatory mechanisms for the
management of B. laddi.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk are the species’ limited
western Pacific distribution, its
occurrence in shallow lagoons and its
rare abundance.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of B.
laddi, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Barabattoia laddi has
not been rated highly susceptible to
ocean warming or disease, the two most
important threats to corals in this final
rule, nor is it highly susceptible to the
other threats identified in this rule. Its
geographic distribution includes coral
reef ecoregions in the western and
central Pacific Ocean from Malaysia to
the Pitcairn Islands. Its geographic
distribution in combination with its low
to moderate susceptibility to threats,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because it is spread across a large area.
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While its range includes the Coral
Triangle, it also includes some areas
projected to have less than average
warming and acidification over the
foreseeable future, including the central
Pacific so portions of the population in
these areas will be less exposed to
severe conditions, plus those that are
exposed may not show negative
responses because of low or moderate
susceptibility. Its depth range is from
zero to 20 meters. This would
exacerbate vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future for a species
with high susceptibility to the nine most
important threats, but B. laddi is not
highly susceptible. Its habitat includes
at least upper reef slopes, mid-slope
terraces, and lagoons. Its absolute
abundance of at least tens of millions of
colonies, combined with low to
moderate susceptibility and spatial
variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, B.
laddi was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: Moderate
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), disease (C) and acidification
(E); uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); narrow overall
distribution (based on moderate
geographic distribution and shallow
depth distribution (E); and inadequacy
of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for B. laddi from
threatened to not warranted. We made
this determination based on a more
species-specific and holistic assessment
of whether this species meets the
definition of either a threatened or
endangered coral largely in response to
public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the
buffering capacity of this species’ spatial
and demographic traits to lessen its
vulnerability to threats. Thus, based on
the best available information above on
B. laddi’s spatial structure, demography,
threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors,
alone or in combination, are causing
this species to be likely to become
endangered throughout its range within
the foreseeable future, and thus is not
warranted for listing at this time,
because:
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(1) Barabattoia laddi’s distribution
includes many of the coral reef
ecoregions in the western and central
Pacific, from Malaysia as far east as the
Pitcairn Islands, and is spread over a
very large area. While some areas within
its range are projected to be affected by
warming and acidification, other areas
are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification, including
the central Pacific, and other areas. This
distribution and the heterogeneous
habitats it occupies reduce exposure to
any given threat event or adverse
condition that does not occur uniformly
throughout the species range. As
explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Barabattoia laddi’s absolute
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies, providing buffering capacity in
the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility
between individual colonies. As
discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs
section above, the more colonies a
species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to
a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will
not have the same response; and
(3) The best available information
suggests that Barabattoia laddi is not
highly susceptible to any of the nine
threats identified in this rule, so even if
a proportion of its population overlaps
in time and space with a threat event,
many colonies may not exhibit a
negative response.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
increase in severity and the species
exposure to threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience
reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
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throughout its range. Therefore, B. laddi
is not warranted for listing at this time
under any of the listing factors.
Genus Caulastrea
Genus Introduction
The family Favidae includes 24
genera, more than any other family,
including Caulastrea. The genus
Caulastrea contains five species,
including C. echinulata. Colonies are
branching, and branches may be short or
close together. The SRR and SIR
provided no genus-level introductory
information on Caulastrea.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Caulastrea.
Caulastrea furcata was not observed to
bleach in 1998 in Palau.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on the threat susceptibilities of the
genus Caulastrea. We gathered
supplemental information which
provided the following details. In a
study of warming-induced bleaching of
over 100 coral species on the GBR in
2002, approximately 10 percent of C.
furcata colonies were affected by
bleaching, making it one of the least
affected species in the study (Done et
al., 2003b). There is no information on
the susceptibilities or vulnerabilities of
Caulastrea to any other threats.
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the
SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make
the following inferences about the
susceptibilities of an unstudied
Caulastrea species to ocean warming,
disease, acidification, sedimentation,
nutrients, trophic effects of fishing, sealevel rise, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR rated ocean warming
and disease as ‘‘high’’ importance, and
ocean acidification as ‘‘medium-high’’
importance, to corals. These were rated
as the three most important threats to
reef-building corals overall. Caulastrea
has shown low levels or no thermalinduced bleaching in two studies, one
reported in the SRR, and one reported
above (Done et al., 2003b). Thus, we
conclude that an unstudied Caulastrea
is likely to have low susceptibility to
ocean warming. Although there is no
other genus-level or species-specific
information on the susceptibilities of
Caulastrea species to disease and ocean
acidification, the SRR rated them as
‘‘high’’ and ‘‘medium-high’’ importance
to corals, respectively. Thus, we
conclude that an unstudied Caulastrea
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total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For C. echinulata, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 36 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 14
percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context. Thus, quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
Spatial Information
cover and shifts to reef communities
The SRR and SIR provided the
dominated by hardier coral species or
following information on C. echinulata’s algae over the past 50 to 100 years
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
The distribution includes the Coral
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
Triangle and GBR and a few nearby
These changes have likely occurred, and
areas. Its primary habitat is horizontal
are occurring, from a combination of
substrates protected from wave action
global and local threats. Given that C.
and with turbid water, which can occur echinulata occurs in many areas
in a variety of reef habitats, including at affected by these broad changes, and
least upper reef slopes, mid-slopes, and
likely has some susceptibility to local
lagoons. Its depth range is one to 20
and global threats, we conclude that it
meters.
is likely to have declined in abundance
The public comments did not provide over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
any new or supplemental information
precise quantification is not possible
on C. echinulata’s distribution. We
due to the limited species-specific
gathered supplemental information,
information.
including Veron (2014), which reports
Other Biological Information
that this species is confirmed in 15 of
The public comments and
his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and
information we gathered did not
strongly predicted to be found in an
provide any other biological information
additional 12.
on this species.
Demographic Information
Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR reported C.
The SRR and SIR provided the
echinulata’s abundance as uncommon.
following species-specific information
The public comments did not provide
on C. echinulata’s threats. Trade in C.
any new or supplemental information
echinulata is heavy. From 1999 to 2009,
on C. echinulata’s abundance. We
gross exports averaged 8,713 specimens
gathered supplemental information,
annually, with the vast majority
including Veron (2014), which reports
that C. echinulata occupied 0.34 percent originating in Indonesia. Take quotas
over that same period increased from
of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
9,000 in 1999 to 10,670 in 2010. Some
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had
general (i.e., family-level and corala mean abundance rating of 1.3 on a 1
level) information was also provided for
to 5 rating scale at those sites in which
the effects of ocean warming,
it was found. Based on this semiacidification, disease, predation,
quantitative system, the species’
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection
abundance was characterized as ‘‘rare,’’
and overall abundance was described as and trade. The SRR and SIR did not
provide any other species-specific
‘‘uncommon.’’ Veron did not infer
Caulastrea echinulata
trends in abundance from these data. As information on the effects of these
Introduction
threats on C. echinulata. We interpreted
described in the Indo-Pacific Species
threat susceptibility and exposure
The SRR and SIR provided the
Determinations introduction above,
information from the SRR and SIR in the
following information on C. echinulata’s based on results from Richards et al.
proposed rule for C. echinulata’s
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
vulnerabilities as follows: Moderate
was described as elongated, closely
abundance of this species is likely at
vulnerability to ocean warming, disease,
compacted corallites on the ends of
least millions of colonies.
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
branches, and taxonomy was described
as having no taxonomic issues but being species abundance trend estimates from and nutrients, low vulnerability to sea
species is likely to have some
susceptibility to disease and ocean
acidification.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of
fishing as ‘‘medium’’ importance, the
fourth most important threat to corals
overall. This threat was not addressed at
the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level
process. That is, removal of herbivorous
fish from coral reef systems by fishing
alters trophic interactions by reducing
herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae
over coral. Thus, the SRR did not
discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa,
as its effects are difficult to distinguish
between coral genera and species.
Therefore, an unstudied Caulastrea
species is likely to have some
susceptibility to the trophic effects of
fishing.
The SRR rated sedimentation and
nutrients as ‘‘low-medium’’ importance
to corals overall. Although there is no
genus-level or species-specific
information on the susceptibilities of
Caulastrea species to sedimentation and
nutrients, there is no information
suggesting they are not susceptible to
these threats. Thus, we conclude that an
unstudied Caulastrea species is likely to
have some susceptibility to
sedimentation and nutrients. Sea-level
rise was not addressed at the genus or
species level in the SRR or SIR.
Increasing sea levels may increase landbased sources of pollution due to
inundation, resulting in changes to coral
community structure, thus an unstudied
Caulastrea species is likely to have
some susceptibility to sea-level rise. The
SRR rated predation and ornamental
trade (referred to in the proposed rule as
Collection and Trade) as ‘‘low’’
importance to corals overall. There is no
information on the effects of predation
and collection and trade on Caulastrea,
thus we conclude that Caulastrea likely
has some susceptibility to predation and
collection and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied
Caulastrea species is likely to have low
susceptibility to ocean warming, and
some susceptibility to disease, ocean
acidification, sedimentation, nutrients,
trophic effects of fishing, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade.
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similar in appearance to Caulastrea
furcata.
The public comments and
information we gathered did not
provide any new or supplemental
information on morphology, and
indicated that there is moderate
taxonomic uncertainty for C. echinulata
and a moderate level of species
identification uncertainty for this
species. Veron (2014) states that C.
echinulata is commonly confused with
C. furcata, but the species can be
identified by experts (Fenner, 2014b),
thus we conclude that the distribution
and abundance information described
below for this species is sufficiently
reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
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level rise and collection and trade, and
unknown vulnerability to sedimentation
and predation.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on C.
echinulata’s threat susceptibilities. We
gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental
information on this species’ threat
susceptibilities. Caulastrea echinulata
has not been rated as moderately or
highly susceptible to bleaching or
disease, but this rating is not based on
species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). Based on genus information
described above, C. echinulata is likely
to have low susceptibility to ocean
warming, and likely has some
susceptibility to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade. The
available information does not support
more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of C. echinulata to the
threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
C. echinulata. Criticisms of our
approach received during public
comment led us to attempt the following
analysis of regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm C.
echinulata occurs in 15 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 12 countries’
EEZs. The 12 countries are Australia,
Brunei, China, Fiji, Indonesia, Japan,
Malaysia, Palau, Papua New Guinea,
Philippines, Solomon Islands, and
Taiwan. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to C. echinulata, described first
as the percentage of the above countries
that utilize them to any degree and
second, as the percentages of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms
may be limited in scope, are as follows:
General coral protection (25 percent
with none limited in scope), coral
collection (67 percent with 42 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (42
percent with 8 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (100
percent with 25 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (100
percent with none limited in scope).
The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for C. echinulata
are reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are also
somewhat utilized for the species, but
42 percent of coral collection laws are
limited in scope and may not provide
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substantial protection. General coral
protection laws are much less common
regulatory mechanisms for the
management of C. echinulata.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for C. echinulata are its
uncommon abundance and that it is
heavily traded. It listed factors that
reduce potential extinction risk
including that the species distribution is
broad latitudinally, and that its
preferred habitat type (turbid
conditions) may provide some refuge
from global threats such as bleaching (to
which it may have relatively low
susceptibility).
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of C.
echinulata, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Caulastrea
echinulata has low susceptibility to
ocean warming-induced bleaching,
based on species-specific and genuslevel information. Its geographic
distribution is mostly constrained to
parts of the Coral Triangle and western
equatorial Pacific Ocean—areas which
are projected to have the most rapid and
severe impacts from climate change and
localized human impacts for coral reefs
over the 21st century. For a species that
is highly susceptible to climate change
related threats, this range would
exacerbate vulnerability to extinction
but C. echinulata has low susceptibility.
Vulnerability to extinction may be
exacerbated by the severe nature of local
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threats predicted within its range,
however, C. echinulata is not highly
susceptible to any local sources of
impact either. Its depth range is from
one to 20 meters. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas
of its range will usually have lower
irradiance, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters
that are deeper and cooler than those in
which the species occurs. Its habitat
includes horizontal substrates protected
from wave action and with turbid water,
which can occur on at least upper reef
slopes, mid-slopes, and lagoons. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type
but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. In
addition, turbidity can mitigate against
the effects of high irradiance by
blocking it from the water column in
turbid environments. Its absolute
abundance of at least millions of
colonies, combined with its low
susceptibility to ocean warming,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time. Further, its
absolute abundance of at least tens of
millions of colonies also provides
buffering capacity against collection
pressures for the purposes of
international trade.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula, C.
echinulata was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: Moderate
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), disease (C) and acidification
(E); uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); narrow overall
distribution (based on narrow
geographic distribution and moderate
depth distribution (E); and inadequacy
of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for C. echinulata
from threatened to not warranted. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
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of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on C.
echinulata’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
it is not warranted for listing at this
time, because:
(1) Caulastrea echinulata’s low
sensitivity to bleaching and depth range
down to 20 m, along with its preference
for turbid water habitat, all combine to
provide refuge from thermal stress and
may decrease synergistic impacts from
other threats;
(2) While Caulastrea echinulata’s
distribution is mostly constrained to
parts of the Coral Triangle and western
equatorial Pacific Ocean, its distribution
is spread over a large area across the
Coral Triangle, southern Japan and Fiji.
While some areas within its range are
projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, other areas are projected
to have less than average warming and
acidification. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies
reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not
occur uniformly throughout the species
range. As explained above in the
Threats Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future; and
(3) Caulastrea echinulata’s absolute
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies, providing buffering capacity in
the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility
between individual colonies. Its
absolute abundance also provides
buffering capacity against collection
pressures for purposes of international
trade. As discussed in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section above, the more
colonies a species has, the lower the
proportion of colonies that are likely to
be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that
are exposed will not have the same
response.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
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worsen in severity and the species’
exposure to the threats increases
throughout its range. Should the species
experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, C.
echinulata is not warranted for listing at
this time under any of the listing factors.
Genus Euphyllia
Genus Introduction
The family Euphyllidae contains five
genera, all in the Indo-Pacific, including
Euphyllia. The genus Euphyllia contains
eight species. The SRR and SIR
provided no genus-level introductory
information on Euphyllia.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Euphyllia.
Euphyllia species experienced high
bleaching, but mortality is unknown,
following the 1997/1998 mass bleaching
event in Palau. In Indonesia, the family
Euphyllidae had no prevalence of coral
disease. When raised in acidified
conditions, Euphyllia paradivisa
showed little change in skeletal
morphology, while Galaxea and
Stylophora showed substantial skeletal
change and Pocillopora died. The SRR
reported that abundance of Euphyllia
recruits was enhanced in areas where
fish were excluded, indicating it may be
more tolerant of the shaded conditions
created by increased algal biomass in
overfished areas. Euphyllia divisa was
fairly sensitive to exposure to cyanide;
concentrations at or below those used in
cyanide fishing caused a progressive
tissue detachment, microbial infection,
and death. Large patches of Euphyllia
species can form in turbid areas in
Indonesia, suggesting a toleration of
high sediment loads. Euphyllia cristata
is heavily used in the aquarium trade
with species-specific exports or quotas
from Indonesia, Fiji, Malaysia, and
Tonga. Actual reported annual exports
from Indonesia alone averaged over
36,000 pieces from 2000 to 2008.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on the threat susceptibilities of the
genus Euphyllia, except for a public
comment on a study cited in the SRR on
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54109
the effects of ocean acidification on E.
paradivisa, which is discussed in the
description of that species below. We
gathered supplemental information
which provided the following. The 1998
Palau bleaching event affected at least
three Euphyllia species (E. divisa, E.
glabrescens, and E. paraancora), and all
three species reported high levels of
bleaching (Bruno et al., 2001). Euphyllia
was the largest live trade genus from
1985 to 1997 (Green and Shirley, 1999)
and in 1999 (Bruckner, 2001). There is
no other supplemental information on
the effects of threats on the genus
Euphyllia.
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the
SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make
the following inferences about the
susceptibilities of an unstudied
Euphyllia species to ocean warming,
disease, ocean acidification,
sedimentation, nutrients, trophic effects
of fishing, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. The SRR rated
ocean warming and disease as ‘‘high’’
importance, and ocean acidification as
‘‘medium-high’’ importance, to corals.
These were rated as the three most
important threats to reef-building corals
overall. The one available study
reporting the effects of ocean warming
on Euphyllia reported high levels of
bleaching. We conclude that an
unstudied Euphyllia species is likely to
have high susceptibility to ocean
warming. Family Euphyllidae was
found to be disease-free in Indonesia.
However, this single study provides
inadequate information to conclude low
susceptibility to disease, thus we
conclude that an unstudied Euphyllia
species is likely to have some
susceptibility to disease. The one
available study on a Euphyllia species
in acidified water did not show effects
on skeletal growth. This is the Tibbits
(2009) study on E. paradivisa that a
public comment stated is flawed. As
described below in the E. paradivisa
species description below, we reviewed
the study and we concur that the
methods were flawed, thus the study
does not provide an adequate basis to
conclude low susceptibility. Therefore,
we conclude that an unstudied
Euphyllia species is likely to have some
susceptibility to ocean acidification.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of
fishing as ‘‘medium’’ importance, the
fourth most important threat to corals
overall. This threat was not addressed at
the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level
process. That is, removal of herbivorous
fish from coral reef systems by fishing
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alters trophic interactions by reducing
herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae
over coral. Thus, the SRR did not
discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa,
as its effects are difficult to distinguish
between coral genera and species.
Therefore, an unstudied Euphyllia
species is likely to have some
susceptibility to the trophic effects of
fishing.
The SRR rated sedimentation and
nutrients as ‘‘low-medium’’ importance
to corals overall. One study reported
Euphyllia tolerates turbid waters,
suggesting tolerance of sedimentation,
and one study suggested that Euphyllia
may be tolerant of increased algae due
to nutrients. However, these single
studies provide inadequate information
to conclude low susceptibilities, thus
we conclude that an unstudied
Euphyllia species is likely to have some
susceptibility to sedimentation and
nutrients. Sea-level rise was not
addressed at the genus or species level
in the SRR or SIR. Increasing sea levels
may increase land-based sources of
pollution due to inundation, resulting in
changes to coral community structure,
thus an unstudied Euphyllia species is
likely to have some susceptibility to sealevel rise. Although there is no genuslevel or species-specific information on
the susceptibility of Euphyllia species to
predation, there is no information
suggesting they are not susceptible to
these threats. Thus, we conclude that an
unstudied Euphyllia species is likely to
have some susceptibility to predation.
Some Euphyllia species are heavily
exploited in the ornamental trade, thus
we conclude that an unstudied
Euphyllia species is likely to have high
susceptibility to collection and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied Euphyllia
species is likely to have high
susceptibility to ocean warming and
collection and trade, and some
susceptibility to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
and predation.
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Euphyllia cristata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on E. cristata’s
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as branching separate
corallites without a shared wall but
close together, and solitary polyps are
common, and taxonomy was described
as having no taxonomic issues.
Public comments and information we
gathered did not provide any new or
supplemental information on
morphology, and confirmed that there
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are no known taxonomic problems for E.
cristata, and a moderate level of species
identification uncertainty. Veron (2014)
states that E. cristata is sometimes
confused with Euphyllia glabrescens.
However, it can be identified by experts
(Fenner, 2014b), thus we conclude that
the distribution and abundance
information described below for this
species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on E. cristata’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Euphyllia cristata’s distribution is the
central Indo-Pacific and the central
Pacific. Its habitat includes most coral
reef environments, and its depth range
is one to 35 meters.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on E.
cristata’s distribution. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that this
species is confirmed in 37 of his 133
Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional
12. Public comments and information
we gathered did not provide any more
information on E. cristata’s habitat and
depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported E. cristata’s
abundance as uncommon.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on E.
cristata’s abundance. We gathered
supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that E.
cristata occupied 12.1 percent of 2,984
dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean
abundance rating of 1.33 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it
was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘common,’’ and overall abundance was
described as ‘‘uncommon but
conspicuous.’’ Veron did not infer
trends in abundance from these data. As
described in the Indo-Pacific Species
Determinations introduction above,
based on results from Richards et al.
(2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at
least tens of millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For E. cristata, the overall decline
in abundance (‘‘Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 36
percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (‘‘Backcast Percent Population Reduction’’)
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was estimated at 14 percent. However,
as summarized above in the Inter-basin
Comparison sub-section, live coral cover
trends are highly variable both spatially
and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out
of context. Thus, quantitative inferences
to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that E.
cristata occurs in many areas affected by
these broad changes, and likely has
some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible
based on limited species specific
information.
Other Biological Information
The public comments and
information we gathered did not
provide any other biological information
on this species.
Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the
following species-specific information
on E. cristata’s threats. Euphyllia
cristata is heavily used in the aquarium
trade with species-specific exports or
quotas from Indonesia, Fiji, Malaysia,
and Tonga. Actual reported annual
exports from Indonesia alone averaged
over 36,000 pieces from 2000 to 2008.
Genus-level information is provided for
the effects on Euphyllia of ocean
warming, disease, ocean acidification,
land-based sources of pollution
(sedimentation, nutrients, toxins, and
salinity), predation, and collection/
trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide
any other species-specific information
on the effects of these threats on E.
cristata. We interpreted threat
susceptibility and exposure information
from the SRR and SIR in the proposed
rule for E. cristata’s vulnerabilities as
follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming; moderate vulnerability to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, and nutrients, and low
vulnerability to sedimentation, sea level
rise, predation, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on E.
cristata’s threat susceptibilities. We
gathered supplemental species-specific
and genus-level information on this
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species’ threat susceptibilities.
Euphyllia cristata was not rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to
bleaching or coral disease by Carpenter
et al. (2008), but they did not have
species-specific data. There are no
studies of the effects of any threat on
this species. Based on genus-level
information presented above, E. cristata
is likely to have high susceptibility to
ocean warming and collection and
trade, and some susceptibility to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, nutrients,
sedimentation, sea-level rise, and
predation.
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Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
E. cristata. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to attempt the following analysis of
regulatory mechanisms on a species
basis. Records confirm E. cristata occurs
in 37 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that
encompass 21 countries’ EEZs. The 21
countries are Australia, Brunei, China,
Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji,
France (French Pacific Island
Territories), Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia,
Maldives, Myanmar, Palau, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, Solomon Islands,
Taiwan, Thailand, Timor-Leste, United
States (CNMI, Guam), Vanuatu, and
Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to E. cristata, described first as
the percentage of the above countries
that utilize them to any degree, and
second as the percentage of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms
may be limited in scope, are as follows:
General coral protection (38 percent
with five percent limited in scope),
coral collection (62 percent with 29
percent limited in scope), pollution
control (43 percent with 14 percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on
reefs (100 percent with 14 percent
limited in scope), and managing areas
for protection and conservation (95
percent with none limited in scope).
The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for E. cristata are
reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are also
somewhat utilized for the species, but
29 percent of coral collection laws are
limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection. General coral
protection laws are much less common
regulatory mechanisms for the
management of E. cristata.
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Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that factors that increase potential
extinction risk for E. cristata include its
heavy involvement in international
trade combined with its rare existence
but conspicuous colonies, suggesting it
is vulnerable to overexploitation.
Euphyllia cristata appears to be
susceptible to bleaching. The SRR noted
that its geographic distribution is
moderate, although wider than its
congeners under consideration in this
review.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of E.
cristata, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes many of the coral
reef ecoregions from the northern Indian
Ocean through the western and central
Pacific Ocean. Its geographic
distribution moderates vulnerability to
extinction because some areas within its
range are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification over
the foreseeable future, including the
western Indian Ocean, the central
Pacific, and other areas, so portions of
the population in these areas will be
less exposed to severe conditions. Its
depth range is from one to 35 meters.
This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower irradiance than
surface waters, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in
waters that are deeper and cooler than
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54111
those in which the species occurs. Its
habitat includes most coral reef
environments. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is
not limited to one habitat type but
occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. Its
absolute abundance of at least tens of
millions of colonies, combined with
spatial variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time. Further, its
absolute abundance of at least tens of
millions of colonies also provides
buffering capacity against collection
pressures for the purposes of
international trade.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, E.
cristata was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderate overall
distribution (based on moderate
geographic distribution and moderate
depth distribution (E); and inadequacy
of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for E. cristata from
threatened to not warranted. We made
this determination based on a more
species-specific and holistic assessment
of whether this species meets the
definition of either a threatened or
endangered coral largely in response to
public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the
buffering capacity of this species’ spatial
and demographic traits to lessen its
vulnerability to threats. Thus, based on
the best available information above on
E. cristata’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
is not warranted for listing at this time,
because:
(1) Euphyllia cristata’s distribution in
the northern Indian Ocean, central IndoPacific, and central Pacific is spread
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over a vast area. While some areas
within its range are projected to be
affected by warming and acidification,
other areas are projected to have less
than average warming and acidification,
including the central Pacific, and other
areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies
reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not
occur uniformly throughout the species
range. As explained above in the
Threats Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Euphyllia cristata’s absolute
abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies, providing buffering capacity in
the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility
between individual colonies. Its
absolute abundance also provides
buffering capacity against collection
pressures for purposes of international
trade. As discussed in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section above, the more
colonies a species has, the lower the
proportion of colonies that are likely to
be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that
are exposed will not have the same
response; and
(3) Euphyllia cristata occurs from one
to 35 meters of depth which provides
vertical moderation of exposure to
threats and increases the absolute area
of potential occupancy within the
species range, therefore buffering
against extinction risk.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
increase in severity and the species
exposure to threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience
reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, E.
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cristata is not warranted for listing at
this time under any of the listing factors.
Euphyllia paraancora
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on E.
paraancora’s morphology and
taxonomy. Morphology was described
as branching separate corallites without
a shared wall, and tentacles have
anchor-shaped ends. Taxonomy was
described as having no taxonomic issues
but tentacles are similar to Euphyllia
ancora, and the skeleton is the same as
Euphyllia glabrescens, Euphyllia
paraglabrescens, and Euphyllia
paradivisa.
Public comments and information we
gathered did not provide any new or
supplemental information on
morphology, and confirmed that there
are no known taxonomic problems for E.
paraancora, but there is a low level of
species identification uncertainty for
this species. The species can be easily
identified by experts, thus we conclude
that the distribution and abundance
information described below for this
species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on E.
paraancora’s distribution, habitat, and
depth range. Euphyllia paraancora is
found in the Coral Triangle, Taiwan, the
Mariana Islands, New Caledonia and
Vanuatu. The SIR reports that colonies
found in Guam were in turbid
environments. Its habitat includes reef
environments protected from wave
action, including at least upper reef
slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef slopes,
and lagoons, from three to 30 m deep.
One public comment confirmed the
presence of E. paraancora in Guam. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports
that this species is confirmed in 19 of
his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and
strongly predicted to be found in an
additional 15. Euphyllia paraancora has
been reported in water as deep as 70 m
(Carpenter et al., 2008; Rooney et al.,
2012). Based on all the available
information, its habitat includes least
upper reef slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef
slopes, lagoons, and mesophotic areas,
from three to 70 m deep.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported E.
paraancora’s abundance as uncommon.
However, it has reportedly been found
in large monospecific stands at six to 8
m depth in Taiwan.
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Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on E.
paraancora’s abundance. We gathered
supplemental information that provides
the following. Euphyllia paraancora has
been reported from large monospecific
stands at 60 to 70 m depth in Saipan
(Rooney et al., 2012). Veron (2014)
reports that E. paraancora occupied 1.9
percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in
30 ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and
had a mean abundance rating of 1.46 on
a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in
which it was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘uncommon,’’ and overall abundance
was also described as ‘‘uncommon.’’
Veron did not infer trends in abundance
from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results
from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron
(2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For E. paraancora, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 36 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 14
percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context. Thus, quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that E.
paraancora occurs in many areas
affected by these broad changes, and
likely has some susceptibility to both
global and local threats, we conclude
that it is likely to have declined in
abundance over the past 50 to 100 years,
but a precise quantification is not
possible based on limited species
specific information.
Other Biological Information
The public comments and
information we gathered did not
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provide any other biological information
on this species.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe E. paraancora’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided the following species-specific
information on E. paraancora’s threats.
Euphyllia paraancora and its congeners
experienced high bleaching but
mortality is unknown following the
1997/1998 mass bleaching event in
Palau (Bruno et al., 2001). Euphyllia
paraancora in Taiwan contained both
Clades C and D zooxanthellae, with
Clade D primarily in stressful
environments like shallow waters and
reef edges. Euphyllia paraancora is
specifically listed in the CITES
databases with a 2008 annual export
quota of ∼ 5000 (up from 1000 in 2004)
‘‘maricultured’’ pieces from Indonesia
although the meaning of ‘‘maricultured’’
is unclear. Genus-level information is
provided for the effects on Euphyllia of
ocean warming, ocean acidification,
disease, land-based sources of pollution
(sedimentation, nutrients, toxins, and
salinity), predation, and collection/
trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide
any other species-specific information
on the effects of these threats on E.
paraancora. We interpreted threat
susceptibility and exposure information
from the SRR and SIR in the proposed
rule for E. paraancora’s vulnerabilities
as follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming; moderate vulnerability to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, and nutrients, and low
vulnerability to sedimentation, sea level
rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on E.
paraancora’s threats susceptibilities. We
gathered supplemental species-specific
and genus-level information on this
species’ threat susceptibilities.
Euphyllia paraancora was not rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to
bleaching or disease by Carpenter et al.
(2008), but they did not have speciesspecific data. In Palau in 2000, E.
paraancora had high levels of
bleaching, but an unknown level of
mortality. In that event, 48 percent of all
coral colonies of all species were
bleached, with bleaching of different
genera and species ranging from none to
very high, and mortality from none to
near 100 percent (Bruno et al., 2001).
There are no other studies of the effects
of any threat on this species. Combined
with genus-level information presented
above, E. paraancora is likely to have
high susceptibility to ocean warming
and collection and trade. Further based
on genus level information, E.
paraancora can be predicted to have
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some susceptibility to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
nutrients, sedimentation, sea-level rise,
and predation.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
E. paraancora. We received criticism of
that approach in public comments and
in response we present a speciesspecific analysis of regulatory
mechanisms in this final rule. Records
confirm that Euphyllia paraancora
occurs in 19 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that
encompass 16 countries’ EEZs. The 16
countries Australia, Brunei, China,
Federated States of Micronesia, France
(French Pacific Island Territories),
Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Palau,
Papua New Guinea, Philippines,
Solomon Islands, Taiwan, Timor-Leste,
United States (CNMI, Guam), and
Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to E. paraancora, described
first as the percentage of the above
countries that utilize them to any
degree, and second as the percentage of
those countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope,
are as follows: General coral protection
(38 percent with none limited in scope),
coral collection (63 percent with 25
percent limited in scope), pollution
control (44 percent with 19 percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on
reefs (100 percent with 19 percent
limited in scope), and managing areas
for protection and conservation (100
percent with none limited in scope).
The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for E. paraancora
are reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are also
somewhat utilized for the species, but
25 percent of coral collection laws are
limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection. General coral
protection laws are much less common
regulatory mechanisms for the
management of E. paraancora.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that factors that increase potential
extinction risk for E. paraancora
include its heavy involvement in
international trade combined with its
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54113
rare existence but conspicuous colonies,
suggesting it is vulnerable to
overexploitation. The species appears
bleaching-susceptible. Its geographic
distribution is also somewhat restricted,
centered in the threat-prone Coral
Triangle Region.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of E.
paraancora, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution occurs in the Coral
Triangle, the western equatorial Pacific
Ocean, the Mariana Islands, and New
Caledonia. Despite the large number of
islands and environments that are
included in the species’ range, this
range exacerbates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because it is mostly limited to an area
projected to have the most rapid and
severe impacts from climate change and
localized human impacts for coral reefs
over the 21st century. Its depth range
goes down to 70 meters which stretches
into the mesophotic zone. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because
deeper areas of its range will usually
have lower irradiance than surface
waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters
that are deeper and cooler than those in
which the species occurs. Its habitat
includes at least upper reef slopes, midslopes, lower reef slopes, lagoons, and
mesophotic areas. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is
not limited to one habitat type but
occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. Its
absolute abundance of at least millions
of colonies, combined with spatial
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variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time. Further, its
absolute abundance of at least tens of
millions of colonies also provides
buffering capacity against collection
pressures for the purposes of
international trade.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, E.
paraancora was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution
(based on moderate geographic
distribution and wide depth distribution
(E); and inadequacy of existing
regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for E. paraancora
from threatened to not warranted. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on E.
paraancora’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
is not warranted for listing at this time,
because:
(1) Euphyllia paraancora’s depth
distribution of three to 70 m is
exceptionally broad and deep for most
reef-building coral species. The ability
to occupy a broad range of depths likely
provides refugia from threats that may
be more severe in shallow environments
because irradiance is usually lower at
depths at the deeper end of this species’
range. It also increases the absolute area
of potential occupancy throughout the
species range. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies
reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not
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occur uniformly throughout the species
range. As explained above in the
Threats Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future; and
(2) Euphyllia paraancora’s absolute
abundance is at least millions of
colonies, providing buffering capacity in
the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility
between individual colonies. Its
absolute abundance also provides
buffering capacity against collection
pressures for purposes of international
trade. As discussed in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section above, the more
colonies a species has, the lower the
proportion of colonies that are likely to
be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that
are exposed will not have the same
response.
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future as global threats continue and
increase in severity and the species
exposure to threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience
reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, E.
paraancora is not warranted for listing
at this time under any of the listing
factors.
Euphyllia paradivisa
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on E. paradivisa’s
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology
was described as branching separate
corallites without a shared wall and
branching tentacles. The taxonomy was
described as having no taxonomic issues
but having tentacles similar to Euphyllia
divisa and skeleton that is the same as
Euphyllia glabrescens, Euphyllia
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paraglabrescens, and Euphyllia
paraancora.
The public comments and
information we gathered did not
provide any new or supplemental
information on morphology, and
confirmed that there are no known
taxonomic problems for E. paradivisa,
and a low level of species identification
uncertainty for this species. Veron
(2014) states that E. paradivisa is very
distinctive. The species can be easily
identified by experts, thus we conclude
that the distribution and abundance
information described below for this
species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on E. paradivisa’s
distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Euphyllia paradivisa’s distribution is
restricted to the Coral Triangle, and its
habitat is shallow or mid-slope reef
environments protected from wave
action, from five to 20 meters depth.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on E. paradivisa’s distribution. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014) which reports
that E. paradivisa is confirmed in eight
of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and
strongly predicted to be found in an
additional eight. Fenner (2013a)
reported E. paradivisa (supported by
photographs), from American Samoa at
about 25 m deep protected from wave
action. Veron (2014) reports it from
American Samoa based on that record.
Thus, based on all the available
information, E. paradivisa’s habitat
includes environments protected from
wave action on at least upper reef
slopes, mid-slope terraces, and lagoons
in depths ranging from two to 25 m
depth.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported that E.
paradivisa’s abundance is uncommon.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on E. paradivisa’s abundance. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014) which reported
that E. paradivisa occupied 0.2 percent
of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had
a mean abundance rating of 1.5 on a 1
to 5 rating scale at those sites in which
it was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as ‘‘rare,’’
and overall abundance was described as
‘‘uncommon.’’ Veron did not infer
trends in abundance from these data. As
described in the Indo-Pacific Species
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Determinations introduction above,
based on results from Richards et al.
(2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at
least tens of millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For E. paradivisa, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 38 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 15
percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context. Thus, quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that E.
paradivisa occurs in many areas
affected by these broad changes, and
likely has some susceptibility to both
global and local threats, we conclude
that it is likely to have declined in
abundance over the past 50 to 100 years,
but a precise quantification is not
possible due to the limited speciesspecific information.
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Other Biological Information
The public comments and
information we gathered did not
provide any other biological information
on this species.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe E. paradivisa’s threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the
effects on Euphyllia of ocean warming,
disease, acidification, sedimentation,
predation, and collection and trade. The
SRR and SIR also provided the
following species-specific information
on E. paradivisa’s threats. When raised
in acidified conditions, E. paradivisa
showed little change in skeletal
morphology, while Galaxea and
Stylophora showed substantial skeletal
change and Pocillopora died. Euphyllia
paradivisa is specifically listed in the
CITES databases with annual export
quotas of up to 2380 ‘‘maricultured’’
pieces from Indonesia, although the
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meaning of ‘‘maricultured’’ is unclear.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any
other species-specific information on
the effects of these threats on E.
paradivisa. We interpreted the threat
susceptibility and exposure information
from the SRR and SIR in the proposed
rule for E. paradivisa’s vulnerabilities to
threats as follows: High vulnerability to
ocean warming, moderate vulnerability
to disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, and nutrients, low
vulnerability to sedimentation, sea level
rise, and collection and trade, and
unknown vulnerability to predation.
The public comments provided the
following supplemental information on
E. paradivisa’s threat susceptibilities. A
public comment stated that the SRR
appeared to rely solely upon collection
and trade to rate the extinction risk of
this species, subsequently leading to the
proposed Endangered listing. However,
the SRR (and the Determination Tool in
the proposed rule) both considered the
susceptibilities and vulnerabilities of
this species to multiple threats to help
determine its extinction risk and
proposed listing status. Likewise, as
explained in the Determination
Framework section above, this final rule
considers the susceptibilities,
exposures, and vulnerabilities of each
species to the nine major threats to
determine its extinction risk and listing
status, including for E. paradivisa.
The public comment also stated that
an unpublished study cited by the SRR
on the effects of ocean acidification on
E. paradivisa (Tibbits, 2009) is flawed.
The study reported that the skeletal
morphology of E. paradivisa specimens
kept in acidified conditions over a three
month period ‘‘did not change
noticeably.’’ We reviewed the study,
and we concur with the public
comment, in that the methods used in
the study to lower pH were flawed, thus
the results should not be considered
reliable information on the potential
effects of ocean acidification on E.
paradivisa.
We gathered the following speciesspecific supplemental information on
this species’ threat susceptibilities.
Euphyllia paradivisa was not rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to
bleaching and disease, but these ratings
are not based on species-specific data
(Carpenter et al., 2008). Based on the
genus and species-specific information
described above, E. paradivisa is likely
to have high susceptibility to ocean
warming and collection and trade, some
susceptibility to disease, acidification,
trophic effects of fishing, nutrients, and
predation, and low susceptibility to
sedimentation and sea-level rise. The
available information does not support
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54115
more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of E. paradivisa to the
threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanism or conservation efforts for E.
paradivisa. Criticisms of our approach
received during public comment led us
to attempt the following analysis of
regulatory mechanisms on a species
basis. Records confirm that Euphyllia
paradivisa occurs in eight Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 15 countries’
EEZs. The 15 countries are Brunei, Fiji,
France (French Pacific Island
Territories), Indonesia, Malaysia, New
Zealand (Tokelau), Niue, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, TimorLeste, Tonga, Tuvalu, United States
(American Samoa), and Vietnam. The
regulatory mechanisms relevant to E.
paradivisa, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that
utilize them to any degree and second,
as the percentages of those countries
whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (33 percent with none
limited in scope), coral collection (80
percent with 40 percent limited in
scope), pollution control (53 percent
with 20 percent limited in scope),
fishing regulations on reefs (100 percent
with 20 percent limited in scope),
managing areas for protection and
conservation (100 percent with none
limited in scope). The most common
regulatory mechanisms in place for E.
paradivisa are reef fishing regulations
and area management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are also common
for the species, but 40 percent of coral
collection laws are limited in scope and
may not provide substantial protection.
General coral protection laws are much
less common regulatory mechanisms for
the management of E. paradivisa.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for E. paradivisa include
its heavy involvement in international
trade combined with its rare existence
but conspicuous colonies, suggesting it
is vulnerable to overexploitation. The
species appears bleaching-susceptible.
Its geographic distribution is also
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somewhat restricted, centered in the
threat-prone Coral Triangle Region. No
known factors were noted by the BRT to
reduce the extinction risk of this
species.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of E.
paradivisa, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution is mostly limited to parts of
the Coral Triangle. Despite the large
number of islands and environments
that are included in the species’ range,
this range exacerbates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because it is mostly limited to an area
projected to have the most rapid and
severe impacts from climate change and
localized human impacts for coral reefs
over the 21st century. Its depth range of
two to 25 meters moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas
of its range will usually have lower
irradiance than surface waters, and
acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper
and cooler than those in which the
species occurs. Its habitat includes
environments protected from wave
action on at least upper reef slopes, midslope terraces, and lagoons. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type
but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. Its
abundance of at least tens of millions of
colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
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future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time. However, its
qualitative abundance is described as
rare, which can exacerbate its
vulnerability given its restricted range.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula, E.
paradivisa was proposed for listing as
endangered because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); narrow overall
distribution (based on narrow
geographic distribution and moderate
depth distribution (E); and inadequacy
of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed our
listing determination of E. paradivisa
from endangered to threatened. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information provided above on
E. paradivisa’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management indicate that it is likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
warrants listing as threatened at this
time, because:
(1) Euphyllia paradivisa is susceptible
to warming-induced bleaching (ESA
Factor E), disease (C), ocean
acidification (E), trophic effects of
fishing (A), nutrients (A, E), predation
(C), and collection and trade (B). These
threats are expected to continue and
worsen into the future. In addition, the
species has inadequate existing
regulatory mechanisms for global threats
(D).
(2) Euphyllia paradivisa’s distribution
is limited mostly to the Coral Triangle,
which is projected to have the most
rapid and severe impacts from climate
change and localized human impacts for
coral reefs over the 21st century, as
described in the Threats Evaluation.
Multiple ocean warming events have
already occurred within the Coral
Triangle that suggest future ocean
warming events may be more severe
than average in this part of the world.
A range constrained to this particular
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geographic area that is likely to
experience severe and increasing threats
indicates that a high proportion of the
population of this species is likely to be
exposed to those threats over the
foreseeable future; and
(3) Euphyllia paradivisa’s semiquantitative abundance is rare.
Considering the limited range of this
species in an area where severe and
increasing impacts are predicted, this
level of abundance leaves the species
vulnerable to becoming of such low
abundance within the foreseeable future
that it may be at risk from depensatory
processes, environmental stochasticity,
or catastrophic events, as explained in
more detail in the Corals and Coral
Reefs and Risk Analyses sections.
The combination of these
characteristics and projections of future
threats indicates that the species is
likely to be in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range and warrants listing as
threatened at this time due to factors A,
C, D, and E.
The available information above on E.
paradivisa’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management also indicate that the
species is not currently in danger of
extinction and thus does not warrant
listing as Endangered because:
(1) While E. paradivisa’ range is
mostly within the Coral Triangle, which
increases it extinction risk as described
above, its habitat includes environments
protected from wave action on at least
upper reef slopes, mid-slope terraces,
and lagoons. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction currently
because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous
types of reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience
highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry at any given point in
time, as described in more detail in the
Coral Habitat and Threats Evaluation
sections. There is no evidence to suggest
that the species is so spatially
fragmented that depensatory processes,
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for catastrophic events
currently pose a high risk to the survival
of the species; and
(2) While Euphyllia paradivisa’s
qualitative abundance is rare, its
absolute abundance is millions of
colonies, which allows for some
variation in the responses of individuals
to threats. There is no evidence of
depensatory processes such as
reproductive failure from low density of
reproductive individuals and genetic
processes such as inbreeding affecting
this species. Thus, its absolute
abundance indicates it is currently able
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to avoid high mortality from
environmental stochasticity, and
mortality of a high proportion of its
population from catastrophic events.
The combination of these characteristics
indicates that the species does not
exhibit the characteristics of one that is
currently in danger of extinction, as
described previously in the Risk
Analyses section, and thus does not
warrant listing as endangered at this
time.
Range-wide, a multitude of
conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting E.
paradivisa. However, considering the
global scale of the most important
threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at
addressing the root cause of global
threats (i.e., greenhouse gas emissions),
we do not believe that any current
conservation efforts or conservation
efforts planned in the future will result
in affecting the species status to the
point at which listing is not warranted.
Genus Physogyra
Genus Introduction
The family Euphyllidae consists of
five genera: Euphyllia, Catalaphyllia,
Nemenzophyllia, Plerogyra, and
Physogyra. The genus Physogyra is
monospecific, meaning it only includes
P. lichtensteini (Veron, 2000), so there is
no need to provide genus-level
information.
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Physogyra lichtensteini
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on P.
lichtensteini’s morphology and
taxonomy. Morphology was described
as massive or thick, platy and
meandroid forms with short, widely
separated valleys, and taxonomy was
described as having no taxonomic
issues, but being similar to Plerogyra
sinuosa.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on morphology or taxonomy. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which states
that P. lichtensteini is one of the world’s
most distinctive species. In addition,
Veron (2000; 2014) considers the
species valid, thus we conclude it can
be identified by experts and that the
distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is
sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on P.
lichtensteini’s distribution, habitat, and
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depth range. Physogyra lichtensteini is
distributed from the Red Sea and the
Indian Ocean to the western and central
Pacific Ocean. The SRR described P.
lichtensteini’s habitat as turbid reef
environments, crevices and overhangs,
especially in turbid water with tidal
currents, and shallow but shaded waters
such as caves on the GBR, with a depth
range of one to 20 meters. The SIR
added that the species is also known to
occur in clear water.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on P. lichtensteini’s distribution. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports
that P. lichtensteini is confirmed in 54
of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and
strongly predicted to be found in an
additional 18. In addition to shaded
habitats, including turbid and clear
water, P. lichtensteini also occurs in full
sun (D. Fenner, personal comm.), thus
the species occurs in variety of habitats.
Thus, based on all the available
information, P. lichtensteini’s occurs in
both turbid and clear upper reef slopes,
mid-slopes, lower reef crests, reef flats,
lagoons, and caves in depth ranging
from one to 20 m depth.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported P.
lichtensteini’s abundance as common in
turbid water and crevices and
overhangs, especially in turbid water
with tidal currents.
The public comments did not provide
any new or supplemental information
on P. lichtensteini’s abundance. We
gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports
that P. lichtensteini occupied 30.9
percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in
30 ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and
had a mean abundance rating of 1.31 on
a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in
which it was found. Based on this semiquantitative system, the species’
abundance was characterized as
‘‘common,’’ and overall abundance was
described as ‘‘common in protected
habitats.’’ Veron did not infer trends in
abundance from these data. As
described in the Indo-Pacific Species
Determinations introduction above,
based on results from Richards et al.
(2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at
least tens of millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated
species abundance trend estimates from
total live coral cover trends and habitat
types. For P. lichtensteini, the overall
decline in abundance (‘‘Percent
Population Reduction’’) was estimated
at 37 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching
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54117
event (‘‘Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction’’) was estimated at 15
percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison subsection, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of
context. Thus, quantitative inferences to
species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same
time, an extensive body of literature
documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or
algae over the past 50 to 100 years
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi
et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012).
These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that P.
lichtensteini occurs in many areas
affected by these broad changes, and
likely has some susceptibility to global
and local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a
precise quantification is not possible
due to the limited species-specific
information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the
following information on P.
lichtensteini’s life history. Physogyra
lichtensteini is a gonochoric broadcast
spawner. Larvae do not contain
zooxanthellae. The public comments
provided no additional biological
information. We gathered supplemental
information, including the following:
Darling et al. (2012) found that P.
lichtensteini has a ‘‘stress-tolerant’’ life
history strategy, defined as slow growth
and large colonies which can survive
through stress and disturbances.
Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the
following species-specific information
on P. lichtensteini’s threats. Physogyra
lichtensteini has been identified as
vulnerable to extinction due to its high
bleaching rate, low diversity of its
genus, and narrow habitat range. The
species bleached at 31°C in Palau in
1998. Physogyra lichtensteini contains
Clade C zooxanthellae in the South
China Sea. Physogyra lichtensteini is
preyed upon on by butterflyfish in
Indonesia. Since P. lichtensteini prefers
turbid waters the risk of sediment
impacts are low. The genus Physogyra is
heavily traded, primarily exported from
Indonesia. Between 1999 and 2010, the
trade quota for Indonesia has been
approximately 10,000 specimens
annually. The SRR and SIR also
provided genus-level and coral-level
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information for the effects on Physogyra
of thermal stress, acidification, disease,
predation, sedimentation, nutrients, and
collection and trade. The SRR and SIR
did not provide any other speciesspecific information on the effects of
these threats on P. lichtensteini. We
interpreted the threat susceptibility and
exposure information from the SRR and
SIR in the proposed rule for P.
lichtensteini’s vulnerabilities as follows:
High vulnerability to ocean warming;
moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
and nutrients, low vulnerability to
sedimentation, sea level rise, and
collection and trade, and unknown
vulnerability to predation.
Public comments did not provide any
new or supplemental information on P.
lichtensteini’s threat susceptibilities. We
gathered supplemental information,
which provided the following speciesspecific and genus-level information on
this species’ threat susceptibilities.
Physogyra lichtensteini was not rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to
bleaching and coral disease by
Carpenter et al. (2008), but they did not
have species-specific data. In the
western Indian Ocean in 1998–2005, the
genus Physogyra (which only includes
P. lichtensteini) had a bleaching index
of 16.7 for eight countries, which was
19th highest of the 45 genera recorded,
and 45 percent of the highest value. In
this study, P. lichtensteini was
identified as vulnerable to extinction
due to its high bleaching rate, low
diversity of its genus, and narrow
habitat range, and the genus Physogyra
was rated as having the fifth highest
extinction risk of the 45 genera in the
study (McClanahan et al., 2007a). In
Palau in 2000, P. lichtensteini
experienced very high levels of
bleaching and mortality. In that event,
48 percent of all coral colonies of all
species were bleached, with bleaching
of different genera and species ranging
from none to very high, and mortality
from none to near 100 percent (Bruno et
al., 2001). There are no other studies of
the effects of threats on this genus or
species. Based on the species-specific
information above, P. lichtensteini is
likely highly susceptible to ocean
warming. Based on the threat
susceptibility information for other reefbuilding coral genera in this final rule,
P. lichtensteini likely has some
susceptibility to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade. The
available information does not support
more precise ratings of the
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susceptibilities of P. lichtensteini to the
threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not
provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory
mechanisms or conservation efforts for
P. lichtensteini. Criticisms of our
approach received during public
comment led us to attempt the following
analysis of regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm P.
lichtensteini occurs in 54 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 35 countries’
EEZs. The 35 countries are Australia,
Brunei, China, Egypt, Federated States
of Micronesia, Fiji, France (French
Pacific Island Territories), India
(including Andaman and Nicobar
Islands), Indonesia, Israel, Japan, Jordan,
Kenya, Madagascar, Malaysia, Maldives,
Marshall Islands, Mauritius, Myanmar,
Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines,
Saudi Arabia, Seychelles, Solomon
Islands, Sri Lanka, Sudan, Taiwan,
Tanzania, Thailand, Timor-Leste,
United Kingdom (British Indian Ocean
Territory), United States (PRIAs),
Vanuatu, and Vietnam. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to P. lichtensteini,
described first as the percentage of the
above countries that utilize them to any
degree and second, as the percentages of
those countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope,
are as follows: General coral protection
(29 percent with 9 percent limited in
scope), coral collection (57 percent with
29 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (43 percent with 9 percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on
reefs (89 percent with 20 percent
limited in scope), managing areas for
protection and conservation (97 percent
with 11 percent limited in scope). The
most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for P. lichtensteini are reef fishing
regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral
collection and pollution control laws
are also somewhat utilized for the
species, but 29 percent of coral
collection laws are limited in scope and
may not provide substantial protection.
General coral protection laws are less
common regulatory mechanisms for the
management of P. lichtensteini.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk
Analyses section, a species’
vulnerability to extinction results from
the combination of its spatial and
demographic characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and consideration of the
baseline environment and future
projections of threats. The SRR stated
factors that increase the potential
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extinction risk for P. lichtensteini are its
high bleaching rate and that it’s heavily
collected. It listed factors that reduce
potential extinction risk including that
P. lichtensteini has a wide latitudinal
distribution, is common, and tolerates
difficult (turbid) environments.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental
species- or genus-specific information,
described above, that expands our
knowledge regarding the species
abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species’ vulnerability
to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk
Analyses section, our assessment in this
final rule emphasizes the ability of the
species’ spatial and demographic traits
to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed
to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the
species’ susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of P.
lichtensteini, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section, Coral Habitat subsection, and Threats Evaluation section
above, affect its vulnerability to
extinction currently and over the
foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes most of the coral
reef ecoregions in the Indian Ocean and
western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates
vulnerability to extinction because some
areas within its range are projected to
have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas, so
portions of the population in these areas
will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is one to 20
meters. This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower irradiance, and
acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper
and cooler than those in which the
species occurs. Its habitat includes both
turbid and clear upper reef slopes, midslopes, lower reef crests, reef flats,
lagoons, and caves. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is
not limited to one habitat type but
occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. Its
abundance of at least tens of millions of
colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
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moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat
at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the
determination tool formula approach, P.
lichtensteini was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to
disease (C) and acidification (E);
common generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution
(based on wide geographic distribution
and moderate depth distribution (E);
and inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the
listing determination for P. lichtensteini
from threatened to not warranted. We
made this determination based on a
more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments,
including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity
of this species’ spatial and demographic
traits to lessen its vulnerability to
threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on P.
lichtensteini’s spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA
listing factors, alone or in combination,
are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus
it is not warranted for listing at this
time, because:
(1) Physogyra lichtensteini’s
distribution across the Red Sea, Indian
Ocean and most of the Pacific is spread
over a very large area. While some areas
within its range are projected to be
affected by warming and acidification,
other areas are projected to have less
than average warming and acidification,
including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas. This
distribution and the heterogeneous
habitats it occupies reduce exposure to
any given threat event or adverse
condition that does not occur uniformly
throughout the species range. As
explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
occur uniformly throughout the species
range within the foreseeable future);
(2) Physogyra lichtensteini’s total
absolute abundance is at least tens of
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millions of colonies providing buffering
capacity in the form of absolute
numbers of colonies and variation in
susceptibility between individual
colonies. As discussed in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section above, the more
colonies a species has, the lower the
proportion of colonies that are likely to
be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that
are exposed will not have the same
response; and
Notwithstanding the projections
through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high
importance threats, the combination of
these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species
possesses sufficient buffering capacity
to avoid being in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout
its range. It is possible that this species’
extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and
increase in severity and the species
exposure to threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience
reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the
ability of these characteristics to
moderate exposure to threats will
diminish. However, the species is not
likely to become of such low abundance
or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory
processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for mortality from catastrophic
events within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. Therefore, P.
lichtensteini is not warranted for listing
at this time under any of the listing
factors.
Summary of Determinations
In this final rule, we are responsible
for determining whether each of the
proposed coral species meet the
definition of either threatened or
endangered under the ESA based on the
best available information including
that which supported the proposed rule,
and public comments received and
information we gathered since the
proposed rule was published. Section
4(b)(1)(A) of the ESA requires us to
make listing determinations based
solely on the best scientific and
commercial data available after
conducting reviews of the statuses of the
species and after taking into account
efforts being made by any state or
foreign nation to protect the species. We
conclude that conservation efforts are
not protecting any of the coral species
determined to be warranted for listing in
this final rule in a way that would
reduce extinction risk such that a
threatened determination would no
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54119
longer be warranted. Finally, section
4(b)(1)(B) of the ESA requires us to give
consideration to species which (1) have
been designated as requiring protection
from unrestricted commerce by any
foreign nation, or (2) have been
identified as in danger of extinction, or
likely to become so within the
foreseeable future, by any state agency
or by any agency of a foreign nation. All
stony corals are listed under Appendix
II of the Convention on International
Trade in Endangered Species of Wild
Fauna and Flora, which regulates
international trade of species to ensure
survival. Dendrogyra cylindrus, which
we are listing as threatened, is also
listed as threatened by the State of
Florida and all stony corals are
protected under the U.S. Virgin Islands
Indigenous and Endangered Species Act
of 1990. All of the corals in this final
rule, including those we are listing
under the ESA, are listed in the IUCN
Red List of Threatened Species as
vulnerable, endangered, or critically
endangered. The final rule takes into
consideration this information in its
listing determinations.
In the proposed rule we determined
that 12 species warranted listing as
endangered: five in the Caribbean
(Dendrogyra cylindrus, Orbicella
annularis, Orbicella faveolata, Orbicella
franksi, and Mycetophyllia ferox); and
seven in the Indo-Pacific (Millepora
foveolata, Pocillopora elegans (eastern
Pacific), Acropora jacquelineae,
Acropora lokani, Acropora rudis,
Anacropora spinosa, and Euphyllia
paradivisa). We also determined that 54
species warranted listing as threatened:
two in the Caribbean (Agaricia lamarcki
and Dichocoenia stokesii); and 52 in the
Indo-Pacific (Millepora tuberosa,
Pocillopora danae, Pocillopora elegans
(Indo-Pacific), Seriatopora aculeata,
Acropora aculeus, Acropora acuminata,
Acropora aspera, Acropora dendrum,
Acropora donei, Acropora globiceps,
Acropora horrida, Acropora listeri,
Acropora microclados, Acropora
palmerae, Acropora paniculata,
Acropora pharaonis, Acropora
polystoma, Acropora retusa, Acropora
speciosa, Acropora striata, Acropora
tenella, Acropora vaughani, Acropora
verweyi, Anacropora puertogalerae,
Astreopora cucullata, Isopora
crateriformis, Isopora cuneata,
Montipora angulata, Montipora
australiensis, Montipora calcarea,
Montipora caliculata, Montipora
dilatata/flabellata/turgescens,
Montipora lobulata, Montipora patula/
verrilli, Alveopora allingi, Alveopora
fenestrata, Alveopora verrilliana, Porites
horizontalata, Porites napopora, Porites
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nigrescens, Acanthastrea brevis,
Acanthastrea hemprichii, Acanthastrea
ishigakiensis, Acanthastrea regularis,
Pachyseris rugosa, Pectinia alcicornis,
Barabattoia laddi, Pavona diffluens,
Caulastrea echinulata, Euphyllia
cristata, Euphyllia paraancora, and
Physogyra lichtensteini). Finally, we
determined that two species in the
Caribbean currently listed as threatened
(Acropora palmata and Acropora
cervicornis) warranted reclassification
as endangered.
In this final rule we have determined
that no species warrants listing as
endangered. We have determined the
following 20 species warrant listing as
threatened: five in the Caribbean
(Dendrogyra cylindrus, Orbicella
annularis, Orbicella faveolata, Orbicella
franksi, and Mycetophyllia ferox); and
15 in the Indo-Pacific (Acropora
globiceps, Acropora jacquelineae,
Acropora lokani, Acropora pharaonis,
Acropora retusa, Acropora rudis,
Acropora speciosa, Acropora tenella,
Anacropora spinosa, Euphyllia
paradivisa, Isopora crateriformis,
Montipora australiensis, Pavona
diffluens, Porites napopora, and
Seriatopora aculeata). For the two
species in the Caribbean currently listed
as threatened (Acropora cervicornis and
Acropora palmata), through this final
rule we have conducted an updated
status review and threats assessment,
and determined they still warrant listing
as threatened. We also determined that
43 proposed species do not warrant
listing as endangered or threatened: two
in the Caribbean (Agaricia lamarcki,
Dichocoenia stokesii); and 41 in the
Indo-Pacific (Acanthastrea brevis,
Acanthastrea hemprichii, Acanthastrea
ishigakiensis, Acanthastrea regularis,
Acropora aculeus, Acropora acuminata,
Acropora aspera, Acropora dendrum,
Acropora donei, Acropora horrida,
Acropora listeri, Acropora microclados,
Acropora palmerae, Acropora
paniculata, Acropora polystoma,
Acropora striata, Acropora vaughani,
Acropora verweyi, Alveopora allingi,
Alveopora fenestrata, Alveopora
verrilliana, Anacropora puertogalerae,
Astreopora cucullata, Barabattoia laddi,
Caulastrea echinulata, Euphyllia
cristata, Euphyllia paraancora, Isopora
cuneata, Millepora foveolata,
Millepora tuberosa, Montipora angulata,
Montipora calcarea, Montipora
caliculata, Montipora dilatata/
flabellata/turgescens, Montipora
lobulata, Montipora patula/verrilli,
Pachyseris rugosa, Pectinia alcicornis,
Physogyra lichtensteini, Porites
horizontalata, and Porites nigrescens).
Three coral species were not
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determinable due to taxonomic
uncertainty (Pocillopora danae,
Pocillopora elegans (eastern Pacific),
Pocillopora elegans (Indo-Pacific)).
As described previously in the Risk
Analyses section, in this final rule we
took a more holistic approach in
response to public comments and
reconsidered these coral species’
demographic and distribution traits that
buffer or moderate exposure to threats,
and the resulting capacity to respond to
changing conditions into the foreseeable
future. This approach led to changes in
listing status from the proposed rule for
58 of the 68 species while
determinations for 10 species remained
the same. While in some cases, a
warranted species possesses one
particularly compelling characteristic
that increases its vulnerability to
extinction (e.g., a small effective
population size, a depth restriction to
shallow waters, or a highly constrained
geographic range), no one factor in
isolation led to a species being
warranted for listing and the final
determinations are all based on the suite
of demographic, spatial, and
susceptibility components that
influence the species’ vulnerability to
extinction in the face of continuing
threats over the foreseeable future.
Similarly, many of the not warranted
species either lack one compelling
characteristic that increases
vulnerability to extinction or possess
one or more compelling characteristics
that reduce vulnerability to extinction
(e.g., a vast geographic distribution, low
susceptibility to high importance
threats, a depth range extending into
deeper waters, or a large absolute
abundance estimate), but no one factor
in isolation led to a species being not
warranted for listing and the final
determinations are all based on the suite
of demographic, spatial, and
susceptibility components that
influence the species’ vulnerability to
extinction, in the face of continuing
threats over the foreseeable future.
Effects of Listing
Conservation measures provided for
species listed as endangered or
threatened under the ESA may include
recovery plans (16 U.S.C. 1553(f)),
critical habitat designations, Federal
agency consultation requirements (16
U.S.C. 1536), and prohibitions on taking
(16 U.S.C. 1538). Recognition of the
species’ plight through listing promotes
conservation actions by Federal and
state agencies, private groups, and
individuals, as well as the international
community. For listed species, a
recovery program could be
implemented, and critical habitat will
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be designated to the maximum extent
prudent and determinable, for species
that occur in U.S. jurisdiction.
Protective regulations for threatened
corals may be developed for the
conservation of the species. Federal,
state and private sector cooperation and
participation will be necessary to
effectively and efficiently conserve the
listed coral species and the ecosystems
upon which they depend.
Identifying Section 7 Consultation
Requirements
Section 7(a)(2) of the ESA and NMFS/
FWS regulations require Federal
agencies to consult with us on any
actions they authorize, fund, or carry
out if those actions may affect the listed
species or designated critical habitat.
Based on currently available
information, examples of Federal
actions that may affect the 22 coral
species listed as threatened include, but
are not limited to: Energy projects,
discharge of pollution from point
sources, non-point source pollution,
dredging, pile-driving, setting of water
quality standards, vessel traffic,
aquaculture facilities, military activities,
and fisheries management practices.
Critical Habitat
Critical habitat is defined in section 3
of the ESA as: ‘‘(i) the specific areas
within the geographical area occupied
by the species, at the time it is listed in
accordance with the provisions of
section 1533 of this title, on which are
found those physical or biological
features (I) essential to the conservation
of the species and (II) which may
require special management
considerations or protection; and (ii)
specific areas outside the geographical
area occupied by the species at the time
it is listed in accordance with the
provisions of 1533 of this title, upon a
determination by the Secretary that such
areas are essential for the conservation
of the species’’ (16 U.S.C. 1532(5)(A)).
‘‘Conservation’’ means the use of all
methods and procedures needed to
bring the species to the point at which
listing under the ESA is no longer
necessary (16 U.S.C. 1532(3)). Section
4(a)(3)(A) of the ESA requires that, to
the maximum extent prudent and
determinable, critical habitat be
designated concurrently with the final
listing of a species (16 U.S.C.
1533(a)(3)(A)(i)). Further, ESA
implementing regulations at 50 CFR
424.12(h) specify that critical habitat
shall not be designated within foreign
countries or in other areas outside of
U.S. jurisdiction.
The existing designated critical
habitat for Acropora palmata and A.
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cervicornis in the Caribbean (50 CFR
226.216) remains effective with this
final rule. The designation of critical
habitat is not determinable for any of
the newly listed corals at this time due
to the extremely complex biological and
physical requirements of the species.
Although we have gathered information
through the status review and public
comment processes on the habitats
occupied by these species, we currently
do not have enough information to
determine which of features within
those habitats are essential to the
conservation of any of the listed corals
and may require special management
considerations or protection. We will
continue to gather and review other
ongoing studies on the habitat use and
requirements of the newly listed corals
to attempt to identify these features.
Additionally, we need more time to
gather the information needed to
perform the required analyses of the
impacts of the designation. Designations
of critical habitat must be based on the
best scientific data available and must
take into consideration the economic,
national security, and other relevant
impacts of specifying any particular area
as critical habitat. To the maximum
extent prudent and determinable, we
will publish proposed designations of
critical habitat for the newly listed
corals in a separate rule or rules. Once
critical habitat is designated (only in
U.S. jurisdictions), section 7 of the ESA
requires Federal agencies to ensure that
they do not fund, authorize, or carry out
any actions that are likely to destroy or
adversely modify that habitat. This
requirement is in addition to the section
7 requirement that Federal agencies
ensure that their actions are not likely
to jeopardize the continued existence of
listed species.
ESA Section 9 Take Prohibitions
ESA section 9(a) take prohibitions (16
U.S.C. 1538(a)(1)(B)) apply to all species
listed as endangered. These section 9(a)
prohibitions include prohibitions
against importing, exporting, engaging
in foreign or interstate commerce, or
‘‘taking’’ of the species. ‘‘Take’’ is
defined under the ESA as ‘‘to harass,
harm, pursue, hunt, shoot, wound, kill,
trap, capture, or collect, or attempt to
engage in any such conduct.’’ These
prohibitions apply to all persons subject
to the jurisdiction of the United States,
including in the United States, its
territorial sea, or on the high seas. In the
case of threatened species, section 9
prohibitions do not automatically apply.
Section 4(d) of the ESA directs the
Secretary to issue regulations she
considers necessary and advisable for
the conservation of the species, which
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may include applying some or all of the
section 9 prohibitions to these species.
Therefore, pursuant to ESA section 4(d),
subsequent to this rulemaking we will
evaluate whether there are protective
regulations necessary and advisable for
the conservation of any of the 20 species
newly-listed as threatened in this final
rule, including application of some or
all of the take prohibitions. The existing
4(d) rule for Acropora palmata and A.
cervicornis (50 CFR 223.208) will
remain in effect for these threatened
species.
Policies on Role of Peer Review
In December 2004, the Office of
Management and Budget (OMB) issued
a Final Information Quality Bulletin for
Peer Review establishing minimum peer
review standards, a transparent process
for public disclosure of peer review
planning, and opportunities for public
participation. The OMB Bulletin,
implemented under the Information
Quality Act (Public Law 106–554) is
intended to enhance the quality and
credibility of the Federal government’s
scientific information, and applies to
influential or highly influential
scientific information disseminated on
or after June 16, 2005. To satisfy our
requirements under the OMB Bulletin,
the BRT obtained independent peer
review of the draft Status Review
Report, and NMFS obtained
independent peer review of the draft
Management Report. Independent
specialists were selected from the
academic and scientific community,
Federal and state agencies, and/or the
private sector for this review. All peer
reviewer comments were addressed
prior to dissemination of the final SRR
and Management Report.
We determined that the peer review
conducted pursuant to the OMB
Bulletin also satisfied the requirements
of the Services’ 1994 policy for peer
review of scientific data included in
listing decisions (59 FR 34270).
Solicitation of Information
We are soliciting information on
features and areas that may support
designations of critical habitat for the 20
newly listed coral species. Information
provided should identify the physical
and biological features essential to the
conservation of the species and areas
that contain these features for the coral
species proposed to be listed. Areas
outside the occupied geographical area
should also be identified if such areas
themselves are essential to the
conservation of the species. Essential
features may include, but are not
limited to, features specific to
individual species’ ranges, habitats and
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54121
life history characteristics within the
following general categories of habitat
features: (1) Space for individual growth
and for normal behavior; (2) food, water,
air, light, minerals, or other nutritional
or physiological requirements; (3) cover
or shelter; (4) sites for reproduction and
development of offspring; and (5)
habitats that are protected from
disturbance or are representative of the
historical, geographical, and ecological
distributions of the species (50 CFR
424.12(b)). ESA implementing
regulations at 50 CFR 424.12(h) specify
that critical habitat shall not be
designated within foreign countries or
in other areas outside of U.S.
jurisdiction. Therefore, we request
information only on potential areas of
critical habitat within waters in U.S.
jurisdiction.
For features and areas potentially
qualifying as critical habitat, we also
request information describing: (1)
Activities or other threats to the
essential features or activities that could
be affected by designating them as
critical habitat, and (2) the positive and
negative economic, national security
and other relevant impacts, including
benefits to the recovery of the species,
likely to result if these areas are
designated as critical habitat.
Classification
National Environmental Policy Act
The 1982 amendments to the ESA, in
section 4(b)(1)(A), restrict the
information that may be considered
when assessing species for listing. Based
on this limitation of criteria for a listing
decision and NOAA Administrative
Order 216–6 (Environmental Review
Procedures for Implementing the
National Environmental Policy Act), we
have concluded that ESA listing actions
are not subject to requirements of the
National Environmental Policy Act.
Executive Order 12866, Regulatory
Flexibility Act, and Paperwork
Reduction Act
As noted in the Conference Report on
the 1982 amendments to the ESA,
economic impacts cannot be considered
when assessing the status of a species.
Therefore, the economic analysis
requirements of the Regulatory
Flexibility Act are not applicable to
listing actions.
In addition, this final rule is exempt
from review under E.O. 12866.
This final determination does not
contain a collection of information
requirement for the purposes of the
Paperwork Reduction Act.
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Executive Order 13132, Federalism
In accordance with E.O. 13132,
agencies are required to take into
account any federalism impacts of
regulations under development. This
Executive Order includes specific
consultation directives for situations
where a regulation will preempt state
law, or impose substantial direct
compliance costs on state and local
governments (unless required by
statute). Neither of those circumstances
is applicable to this final listing
determination. In keeping with the
intent of the Administration and
Congress to provide continuing and
meaningful dialogue on issues of mutual
state and Federal interest, the proposed
rule was provided to the relevant
agencies in each state in which the
subject species occurs, and these
agencies were invited to comment.
Their comments were addressed with
other comments in the Summary of
Comments Received section.
Executive Order 12898, Environmental
Justice
Executive Order 12898 requires that
Federal actions address environmental
justice in the decision-making process.
In particular, the environmental effects
of the actions should not have a
disproportionate effect on minority and
low-income communities. This final
rule is not expected to have a
disproportionately high effect on
minority populations or low-income
populations.
List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 223
Endangered and threatened species;
Exports; Imports; Transportation.
*
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1531–1543; subpart B,
§ 223.201–202 also issued under 16 U.S.C.
1361 et seq.; 16 U.S.C. 5503(d) for
§ 223.206(d)(9).
2. In § 223.102, in the table, amend
paragraph (e) by removing the two
existing entries under the ‘‘Corals’’
subheading and adding the following 22
entries to read as follows:
■
*
*
*
(e) * * *
*
*
For the reasons set out in the
preamble, 50 CFR part 223 is amended
as follows:
Scientific name
*
1. The authority citation for part 223
continues to read as follows:
■
§ 223.102 Enumeration of threatened
marine and anadromous species.
Dated: August 26, 2014.
Eileen Sobeck,
Assistant Administrator for Fisheries,
National Marine Fisheries Service.
Species 1
Common name
PART 223—THREATENED MARINE
AND ANADROMOUS SPECIES
Citation(s) for listing
determination(s)
Description of listed entity
*
*
*
Critical
habitat
*
ESA rules
*
Corals
Acropora globiceps .............
Entire species .....................
Coral, [no common name] ..
Acropora jacquelineae ........
Entire species .....................
Coral, [no common name] ..
Acropora lokani ...................
Entire species .....................
Coral, [no common name] ..
Acropora pharaonis .............
Entire species .....................
Coral, [no common name] ..
Acropora retusa ..................
Entire species .....................
Coral, [no common name] ..
Acropora rudis .....................
Entire species .....................
Coral, [no common name] ..
Acropora speciosa ..............
Entire species. ....................
Coral, [no common name] ..
Acropora tenella ..................
Entire species. ....................
Coral, [no common name] ..
Anacropora spinosa ............
Entire species .....................
Coral, [no common name] ..
Euphyllia paradivisa ............
Entire species .....................
Coral, [no common name] ..
Isopora crateriformis ...........
Entire species. ....................
Coral, [no common name] ..
Montipora australiensis .......
Entire species. ....................
Coral, [no common name] ..
Pavona diffluens .................
Entire species .....................
Coral, [no common name] ..
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Coral, [no common name] ..
Porites napopora .................
Entire species .....................
Coral, [no common name] ..
Seriatopora aculeata ...........
Entire species .....................
Coral, boulder star ..............
Orbicella franksi ..................
Entire species .....................
Coral, elkhorn ......................
Acropora palmata ................
Entire species .....................
Coral, lobed star .................
Orbicella annularis ..............
Entire species .....................
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NA
NA
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NA
NA
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NA
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226.216
223.208
citation]
NA
NA
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Species 1
Common name
Scientific name
Coral, mountainous star ......
Orbicella faveolata ..............
Entire species .....................
Coral, pillar ..........................
Dendrogyra cylindrus ..........
Entire species .....................
Coral, rough cactus .............
Mycetophyllia ferox .............
Entire species .....................
Coral, staghorn ...................
Acropora cervicornis ...........
Entire species .....................
Citation(s) for listing
determination(s)
Description of listed entity
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
[Insert FR citation &
date of publication in
the Federal Register
[Insert FR citation]
9/10/2014
[Insert FR citation]
9/10/2014
[Insert FR citation]
9/10/2014
*
*
*
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habitat
ESA rules
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
NA
226.216
223.208
*
Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 79, Number 175 (Wednesday, September 10, 2014)]
[Rules and Regulations]
[Pages 53851-54123]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2014-20814]
[[Page 53851]]
Vol. 79
Wednesday,
No. 175
September 10, 2014
Part II
Department of Commerce
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National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
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50 CFR Part 223
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants: Final Listing
Determinations on Proposal To List 66 Reef-Building Coral Species and
To Reclassify Elkhorn and Staghorn Corals; Final Rule
Federal Register / Vol. 79 , No. 175 / Wednesday, September 10, 2014
/ Rules and Regulations
[[Page 53852]]
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DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
50 CFR Part 223
[Docket No. 0911231415-4826-04]
RIN 0648-XT12
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants: Final Listing
Determinations on Proposal To List 66 Reef-Building Coral Species and
To Reclassify Elkhorn and Staghorn Corals
AGENCY: National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Commerce.
ACTION: Final rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: We, the National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS), are
publishing this final rule to implement our final determination to list
the following 20 species as threatened: five in the Caribbean
(Dendrogyra cylindrus, Orbicella annularis, Orbicella faveolata,
Orbicella franksi, and Mycetophyllia ferox); and 15 in the Indo-Pacific
(Acropora globiceps, Acropora jacquelineae, Acropora lokani, Acropora
pharaonis, Acropora retusa, Acropora rudis, Acropora speciosa, Acropora
tenella, Anacropora spinosa, Euphyllia paradivisa, Isopora
crateriformis, Montipora australiensis, Pavona diffluens, Porites
napopora, and Seriatopora aculeata) under the Endangered Species Act
(ESA) of 1973, as amended. The two species currently listed as
threatened (Acropora cervicornis and Acropora palmata) in the Caribbean
still warrant listing as threatened. We also determined that a total of
43 proposed species do not warrant listing as endangered or threatened
species, and three proposed species are not determinable under the ESA.
We have reviewed the status of the species and efforts being made to
protect the species, and public comments received on the proposed rule,
and we have made our determinations based on the best scientific and
commercial data available. We also solicit information that may be
relevant to the designation of critical habitat for the 20 species
newly listed under this final rule.
DATES: The effective date of this final rule is October 10, 2014.
Responses to the request for information regarding a subsequent ESA
section 4(d) Rule and critical habitat designation must be received by
November 10, 2014.
ADDRESSES: Submit responses to the request for information regarding a
subsequent ESA section 4(d) Rule and critical habitat designation to
National Marine Fisheries Service, Pacific Islands Regional Office,
NOAA Inouye Regional Center, 1845 Wasp Blvd., Building 176, Honolulu,
HI 96818; or National Marine Fisheries Service, Southeast Regional
Office, 263 13th Avenue South, Saint Petersburg, FL 33701.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Lance Smith, NMFS, Pacific Island
Regional Office, 808-725-5131; Jennifer Moore, NMFS, Southeast Regional
Office, 727-824-5312; or Marta Nammack, NMFS, Office of Protected
Resources, 301-427-8469. A list of the literature cited in this rule is
available at https://coral.sero.nmfs.noaa.gov and https://
www.fpir.noaa.gov/PRD/prdcoral.html.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background
On October 20, 2009, the Center for Biological Diversity (CBD)
petitioned us to list 83 reef-building corals as threatened or
endangered under the Endangered Species Act (ESA) and designate
critical habitat. The 83 species included in the petition were:
Acanthastrea brevis, Acanthastrea hemprichii, Acanthastrea
ishigakiensis, Acanthastrea regularis, Acropora aculeus, Acropora
acuminata, Acropora aspera, Acropora dendrum, Acropora donei, Acropora
globiceps, Acropora horrida, Acropora jacquelineae, Acropora listeri,
Acropora lokani, Acropora microclados, Acropora palmerae, Acropora
paniculata, Acropora pharaonis, Acropora polystoma, Acropora retusa,
Acropora rudis, Acropora speciosa, Acropora striata, Acropora tenella,
Acropora vaughani, Acropora verweyi, Agaricia lamarcki, Alveopora
allingi, Alveopora fenestrata, Alveopora verrilliana, Anacropora
puertogalerae, Anacropora spinosa, Astreopora cucullata, Barabattoia
laddi, Caulastrea echinulata, Cyphastrea agassizi, Cyphastrea ocellina,
Dendrogyra cylindrus, Dichocoenia stokesii, Euphyllia cristata,
Euphyllia paraancora, Euphyllia paradivisa, Galaxea astreata, Heliopora
coerulea, Isopora crateriformis, Isopora cuneata, Leptoseris
incrustans, Leptoseris yabei, Millepora foveolata, Millepora tuberosa,
Montastraea annularis, Montastraea faveolata, Montastraea franksi,
Montipora angulata, Montipora australiensis, Montipora calcarea,
Montipora caliculata, Montipora dilatata, Montipora flabellata,
Montipora lobulata, Montipora patula, Mycetophyllia ferox, Oculina
varicosa, Pachyseris rugosa, Pavona bipartita, Pavona cactus, Pavona
decussata, Pavona diffluens, Pavona venosa, Pectinia alcicornis,
Physogyra lichtensteini, Pocillopora danae, Pocillopora elegans,
Porites horizontalata, Porites napopora, Porites nigrescens, Porites
pukoensis, Psammocora stellata, Seriatopora aculeata, Turbinaria
mesenterina, Turbinaria peltata, Turbinaria reniformis, and Turbinaria
stellulata. Eight of the petitioned species occur in the Caribbean, and
75 of the petitioned species occur in the Indo-Pacific region. Most of
the 83 species can be found in the United States, its territories
(Puerto Rico, U.S. Virgin Islands, Navassa, Northern Mariana Islands,
Guam, American Samoa, Pacific Remote Island Areas), or its freely
associated states (Republic of the Marshall Islands, Federated States
of Micronesia, and Republic of Palau), though many occur more
frequently in other countries.
On February 10, 2010, we published a 90-day finding (75 FR 6616)
that CBD had presented substantial information indicating the
petitioned actions may be warranted for all of the petitioned species
except for the Caribbean species Oculina varicosa. We also announced
the initiation of a formal status review of the remaining 82 petitioned
species, and we solicited input from the public on six categories of
information: (1) Historical and current distribution and abundance of
these species throughout their ranges (U.S. and foreign waters); (2)
historical and current condition of these species and their habitat;
(3) population density and trends; (4) the effects of climate change on
the distribution and condition of these coral species and other
organisms in coral reef ecosystems over the short and long term; (5)
the effects of all other threats including dredging, coastal
development, coastal point source pollution, agricultural and land use
practices, disease, predation, reef fishing, aquarium trade, physical
damage from boats and anchors, marine debris, and aquatic invasive
species on the distribution and abundance of these coral species over
the short- and long-term; and (6) management programs for conservation
of these species, including mitigation measures related to any of the
threats listed under No. 5 above.
The ESA requires us to make determinations on whether species are
threatened or endangered ``solely on the basis of the best scientific
and commercial data available * * * after conducting a review of the
status of the species * * * '' (16 U.S.C. 1533). Further, our
implementing regulations
[[Page 53853]]
specifically direct us not to take possible economic or other impacts
of listing species into consideration (50 CFR 424.11(b)). We convened a
Coral Biological Review Team (BRT) composed of seven Federal scientists
from NMFS' Pacific Islands, Northwest, and Southeast Fisheries Science
Centers, as well as the U.S. Geological Survey and National Park
Service. The members of the BRT are a diverse group of scientists with
expertise in coral biology, coral ecology, coral taxonomy, physical
oceanography, global climate change, coral population dynamics and
endangered species extinction risk evaluations. The BRT's
comprehensive, peer-reviewed Status Review Report (SRR; Brainard et
al., 2011) incorporates and summarizes the best available scientific
and commercial information as of August 2011 on the following topics:
(1) Long-term trends in abundance throughout each species' range; (2)
potential factors for any decline of each species throughout its range
(human population, ocean warming, ocean acidification, overharvesting,
natural predation, disease, habitat loss, etc.); (3) historical and
current range, distribution, and habitat use of each species; (4)
historical and current estimates of population size and available
habitat; and (5) knowledge of various life history parameters (size/age
at maturity, fecundity, length of larval stage, larval dispersal
dynamics, etc.). The SRR evaluates the status of each species,
identifies threats to the species, and estimates the risk of extinction
for each of the species out to the year 2100. The BRT also considered
the petition, comments we received as a result of the 90-day finding
(75 FR 6616; February 10, 2010), and the results of the peer review of
the draft SRR, and incorporated relevant information from these sources
into the final SRR. Additionally, we developed a supplementary, peer-
reviewed Draft Management Report (NMFS, 2012a) to identify information
relevant to ESA factor 4(a)(1)(D), inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms, and protective efforts that may provide protection to the
corals pursuant to ESA section 4(b).
The response to the petition to list 83 coral species is one of the
broadest and most complex listing reviews we have ever undertaken.
Given the petition's scale and the precedential nature of the issues,
we determined that our decision-making process would be strengthened if
we took additional time to allow the public, non-Federal experts, non-
governmental organizations, state and territorial governments, and
academics to review and provide information related to the SRR and the
Draft Management Report prior to issuing our 12-month finding. Thus on
April 17, 2012, we published a Federal Register notice announcing the
availability of the SRR and the Draft Management Report, and
specifically requested information on the following: (1) Relevant
scientific information collected or produced since the completion of
the SRR or any relevant scientific information not included in the SRR;
and (2) relevant management information not included in the Draft
Management Report, such as descriptions of regulatory mechanisms for
greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions globally, and for local threats in the
83 foreign countries and the United States, its territories (Puerto
Rico, U.S. Virgin Islands, Navassa, Northern Mariana Islands, Guam,
American Samoa, Pacific Remote Island Areas), or its freely associated
states (Republic of the Marshall Islands, Federated States of
Micronesia, and Republic of Palau), where the 82 petitioned coral
species collectively occur. Further, in June 2012, we held listening
sessions and scientific workshops in the Southeast region and Pacific
Islands region to engage the scientific community and the public in-
person. During this public engagement period, which ended on July 31,
2012, we received over 42,000 letters and emails. Also, we were
provided with or we identified approximately 400 relevant scientific
articles, reports, or presentations that were produced since the SRR
was finalized, or not originally included in the SRR. We compiled and
synthesized all relevant information that we identified or received
into the Supplemental Information Report (SIR; NMFS, 2012c).
Additionally, we incorporated all relevant management and conservation
information into the Final Management Report (NMFS, 2012b). Therefore,
the 82 candidate coral species comprehensive status review consists of
the SRR (Brainard et al., 2011), the SIR (NMFS, 2012c), and the Final
Management Report (NMFS, 2012b).
On December 7, 2012, we published a proposed rule (77 FR 73219) to
list 12 of the petitioned coral species as endangered (five Caribbean
and seven Indo-Pacific) and 54 coral species as threatened (two
Caribbean and 52 Indo-Pacific), and we determined 16 coral species (all
Indo-Pacific) did not warrant listing as threatened or endangered under
the ESA. This was the final agency action for those species which we
determined were not warranted for listing. We also determined that two
currently listed Caribbean corals (Acropora cervicornis and Acropora
palmata) warranted reclassification from threatened to endangered. The
findings in the proposed rule were based on the information contained
within the reports described above (SRR, SIR, and Final Management
Report). During a 90-day comment period, we solicited comments from the
public, other concerned governmental agencies, the scientific
community, industry, foreign nations in which the species occur, and
any other interested parties on our proposal. We later extended the
public comment period by 30 days, making the full comment period 120
days. We received approximately 32,000 comments through electronic
submissions, letters, and oral testimony from public hearings held in
Dania Beach, FL; Key Largo, FL; Key West, FL; Rio Piedras, Puerto Rico;
Mayaguez, Puerto Rico; Christiansted, St. Croix, U.S. Virgin Islands;
Charlotte Amalie, St. Thomas, U.S. Virgin Islands; Hilo, Hawaii, HI;
Kailua Kona, Hawaii, HI; Kaunakakai, Molokai, HI; Wailuku, Maui, HI;
Lihue, Kauai, HI; Honolulu, Oahu, HI; Hagatna, Guam; Saipan,
Commonwealth of the Northern Marianas Islands (CNMI); Tinian, CNMI;
Rota, CNMI; Tutuila, American Samoa; and Washington, DC.
During the public comment period, we received numerous comments on
the proposed listing and the sufficiency or accuracy of the available
data used to support the proposed listing determinations. In
particular, comments raised questions and provided varied, often
conflicting, information regarding the following topics:
(1) The proposed species' listing statuses (e.g., certain species
proposed as endangered should be threatened);
(2) the sufficiency and quality, or lack thereof, of the species-
specific information used for each species' proposed listing
determination;
(3) the accuracy of the methods used to analyze the available
information to assess extinction risk (including NMFS' ``Determination
Tool'') and derive listing statuses for each of the proposed species;
(4) the ability of corals to adapt or acclimatize to ocean warming
and acidification;
(5) the reliability, certainty, scale, and variability of future
modeling and predictions of climate change; and
(6) the effect local management efforts have on coral resilience.
After considering these comments, we found that substantial
disagreement existed regarding the sufficiency and accuracy of the
available data used in support of the proposed determinations.
[[Page 53854]]
As a result, we determined it was necessary to solicit additional data
from those scientists who were identified by public comments and others
who may have additional data to assist in resolving the substantial
disagreement. Therefore, pursuant to the ESA section 4(b)(6)(B)(i), we
determined that a 6-month extension of the deadline for final
determinations on the proposed rule was necessary (78 FR 57835;
September 20, 2013). We completed our data collection effort in the
fall of 2013, and the relevant information that we received or
collected was considered in the formulation of this final rule. The
data collection effort was the final step in our thorough process to
assemble the best available information on the status of the species
addressed in this final rule. As a result, this final rule represents a
logical evolution from the proposed rule, including some changes in our
overall decision-making framework and a holistic reconsideration of the
key elements that contribute to a species' listing status, as described
in detail throughout this rule. Consequently, most of the listing
determinations have changed between the proposed and final rules.
Listing Species Under the Endangered Species Act
We are responsible for determining whether the 66 proposed coral
species should be listed as threatened or endangered under the ESA, and
whether the two species proposed for reclassification should be listed
as endangered under the ESA (16 U.S.C. 1531 et seq.). Clonal, colonial
organisms, such as corals, are vastly different in their biology and
ecology than vertebrates, which are typically the focus of ESA status
reviews. Therefore, concepts and terms that are typically applied to
vertebrates have very distinct meanings when applied to corals. A
`rare' coral may have millions of colonies as compared to a `rare'
vertebrate, which may only have hundreds of individuals. To be
considered for listing under the ESA, a group of organisms must
constitute a ``species,'' which is defined in section 3 of the ESA to
include ``any subspecies of fish or wildlife or plants, and any
distinct population segment of any species of vertebrate fish or
wildlife which interbreeds when mature.'' In the case of reef-building
corals, the decision that a species is a listable entity is often
complicated by several aspects of their biology including individual
delineation, taxonomic uncertainty, identification uncertainty, and
life history (e.g., colonialism and clonality).
Section 3 of the ESA further defines an endangered species as ``any
species which is in danger of extinction throughout all or a
significant portion of its range'' and a threatened species as one
``which is likely to become an endangered species within the
foreseeable future throughout all or a significant portion of its
range.'' Section 4(a)(1) of the ESA requires us to determine whether
any species is endangered or threatened due to any one or a combination
of the following five factors: (A) The present or threatened
destruction, modification, or curtailment of its habitat or range; (B)
overutilization for commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes; (C) disease or predation; (D) the inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E) other natural or manmade factors
affecting its continued existence. We are required to make listing
determinations based solely on the best scientific and commercial data
available after conducting a review of the status of the species and
after taking into account efforts being made by any state or foreign
nation to protect the species.
This finding begins with an overview of coral biology, ecology, and
taxonomy in the Corals and Coral Reefs section below, including whether
each proposed species meets the definition of a ``species'' for
purposes of the ESA. Specifically, are the proposed species
determinable under the ESA given any discrepancies between their
current morphologically-based taxonomy and any new genetic information
that may result in taxonomic reclassification. Other relevant
background information in this section includes the general
characteristics of the habitats and environments in which the proposed
species are found. The finding then summarizes information on factors
adversely affecting and posing extinction risk to corals in general in
the Threats Evaluation section. The Risk Analyses section then
describes the framework applied to each of the species that resulted in
final listing statuses for the proposed species. The Species-specific
Information and Determinations section provides the best available
species-specific information, which, coupled with the general portions
of this final rule, provide the basis for the individual determinations
for final listing status. Finally, we assessed efforts being made to
protect the species and determined if these efforts are adequate to
mitigate impacts and threats to the extent that a species does not meet
one of the statutory statuses.
Given the precedential and complex nature of this rule-making
process, we took extra steps to assemble the best available information
for informing the final listing determinations. Efforts to acquire this
information first included the formation of an expert scientific panel
(BRT) that used the best available scientific information at that time
in a structured decision-making process to inform and write the SRR.
Further, this process provided numerous opportunities for public input,
including a public comment period after the 90-day finding in 2010 (75
FR 6616; February 10, 2012), a unique public information-gathering
period (77 FR 22749; April 17, 2012) prior to the release of the
proposed rule in 2012, and a 120-day formal public comment period after
the publication of the proposed rule. Finally, in a targeted data-
solicitation effort to resolve substantial scientific disagreement in
the public comments on the proposed rule, we published a 6-month
extension in September 2013 to gather additional information to further
inform our final decisions (78 FR 57835; September 20, 2013). Over the
course of this multi-year process, we gathered and reviewed thousands
of scientific papers, journal articles, reports, and presentations
(bibliography and select documents available at https://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/species/invertebrates/corals.htm). In addition, we
held a total of 19 public hearings in 2012 and 2013 throughout the
Southeast and Pacific Islands regions, and received and reviewed over
75,000 public comments during the information-gathering period in 2012
and the proposed rule public comment period in 2012-2013, combined.
These efforts ensure that this final rule is based upon the best
available information on the proposed species at this time, as
explained in more detail below.
Summary of Comments Received
Below we address the comments received pertaining to the proposed
listings or reclassifications of the 68 coral species in the December
7, 2012, proposed rule (77 FR 73219). During the 120-day public comment
period from December 7, 2012, to April 6, 2013, we received 1,120
written and verbal responses (including public testimony during the 19
public hearings). This included 1,119 unique comments on the proposed
listings or reclassifications and 32,000 action alert responses in
support of the rule organized by the petitioner CBD, which
substantively constitutes one unique comment, and. The public comments
received covered a wide breadth of topics, many of which
[[Page 53855]]
were significant and within the scope of this rule-making. We
summarized the comments, and these summaries and our responses are
organized according to the sections of the proposed rule on which those
comments were based. We have considered all public comments, and we
provide responses to all relevant issues raised by comments. We have
not responded to comments outside the scope of this rulemaking, such as
comments regarding the potential economic impacts of ESA listings,
comments suggesting that certain types of activities be covered in any
future regulations pursuant to ESA section 4(d) for threatened species,
or whether ESA listings are appropriate for species threatened by
climate change. As explained in the Background above, this final rule
was extended by 6 months to resolve substantial scientific disagreement
in the public comments on six topics related to the proposed listing.
Comments on Taxonomic Uncertainty in Reef-Building Corals
Comment 1: Many public comments on the proposed listing rule stated
that species identification uncertainties and taxonomic uncertainties
associated with many reef-building corals are problematic for the ESA
listing determination process. Four comments specifically stated that
the ability to determine the status of coral species under the ESA is
impeded by the taxonomic uncertainty of many coral species. Two
comments stated that genetic and genomic science is just beginning for
corals, and as it develops it will likely show the current
morphologically-based taxonomy is incorrect, completely changing
current coral taxonomy. Therefore, management decisions based on the
current taxonomy should be approached with caution. One comment stated
that proper species identification, especially for the Indo-Pacific
Acropora genus, is difficult and exacerbated by the use of outdated and
inadequate information.
Most of these comments are based on species identification
uncertainties and the conflicting taxonomic results between recent
genetics studies and traditional morphology-based taxonomy, and
comments identified two potential problems: (1) Species identification
and taxonomic uncertainty prevents many reef-building coral taxa,
especially in the Indo-Pacific, from being determinable species under
the ESA; and (2) even if these taxa are determinable species under the
ESA, the taxonomic uncertainty confounds the available information
regarding the status of each species, thus it is not possible to
determine the listing status of these species with adequate confidence.
Response: The comments correctly note that in some instances, lack
of information, or ambiguity and uncertainty in available information,
is so great that any listing determination on such a basis would be
arbitrary. In our judgment, that is not the case for the proposed
species, with a few exceptions noted below. The SRR concluded that the
68 species in the proposed rule were determinable, including the
species for which the SRR found that splitting or lumping petitioned
species was necessary based on genetic studies. For the proposed rule,
we agreed with the SRR, and considered the 68 species to be
determinable for purposes of conducting a status review and determining
listing status under the ESA.
The public comments did not provide any studies or results, nor did
we find any new studies or results, that significantly contradict the
consideration of the traditional, morphologically described species as
determinable species, with the exception of Pocillopora. We
acknowledged in the proposed rule, however, that the taxonomic
uncertainty for reef-building corals is not only real (Brainard et al.,
2011), but increasing in recent years as genetics studies have advanced
(Stat et al., 2012; Veron, 2013). In the case of Pocillopora species,
the taxonomic uncertainty has recently increased substantially such
that the three proposed species in this genus are not determinable
under the ESA (see Comment 2). For the remaining 65 species, the best
available scientific information continues to support their
classification as species. The taxonomic uncertainty associated with
each species is considered along with other types of uncertainty when
determining the status of each species in the Species-specific
Information and Determinations section. In this way, the species
identification and taxonomic uncertainty for each species is
acknowledged and incorporated into each of the 65 determinations in
this final rule.
In this final rule, even though Millepora foveolata and Montipora
lobulata were affirmed to be valid species, and there are few if any
taxonomic uncertainty issues, the two species are so difficult to
identify in the field that there is very little reliable information
available for either species (Fenner, 2014b). Thus, as described in the
Species-specific Information and Determinations below for M. foveolata
and M. lobulata, the species identification uncertainty is so high for
these species that there is not sufficient evidence to support listing
determinations of threatened or endangered for either species. This is
explained in more detail in each species' individual determination.
Comment 2: Related to Comment 1, one comment identified Pocillopora
as a problematic taxon and provided a recent scientific paper
describing new genetic evidence of taxonomic contradictions between
genetic and morphologic results for Pocillopora species (Pinz[oacute]n
et al., 2013).
Response: Based on information summarized in the SRR, the proposed
rule split P. elegans into Indo-Pacific and Eastern Pacific nominal
species, and proposed P. elegans (Indo-Pacific), P. elegans (Eastern
Pacific), and P. danae for listing (P. danae only occurs in the Indo-
Pacific). However, after considering new information on taxonomic
uncertainty throughout the genus Pocillopora that has become available
since the publication of the proposed rule, including the paper
(Pinz[oacute]n et al., 2013) submitted by the commenter, we no longer
consider the three Pocillopora species that were proposed for listing
to be determinable under the ESA. A range-wide phylogeographic survey
that included most currently recognized pocilloporid species found that
reliance on colony morphology is broadly unreliable for species
identification, and that several genetic groups have highly limited
geographic distributions. The study concluded that ``a taxonomic
revision informed foremost by genetic evidence is needed for the entire
genus'' (Pinz[oacute]n et al., 2013). Similarly, a phylogeographic
survey of several currently recognized pocilloporid species
representing a range of atypical morphologies thought to be rare or
endemic to remote locations throughout the Indo-Pacific found that: (1)
The current taxonomy of Pocillopora based on colony morphology shows
little correspondence with genetic groups; (2) colony morphology is far
more variable than previously thought; and (3) there are numerous
cryptic lineages (i.e., two or more distinct lineages that are
classified as one due to morphological similarities). The study
concluded that ``the genus Pocillopora is in need of taxonomic revision
using a combination of genetic, microscopic characters, and
reproductive data to accurately delineate species'' (Marti-Puig et al.,
2013). Likewise, a more limited study of several currently recognized
pocilloporid species in Moorea found that genetic groups do not
correspond to colony morphology, and exhibit a wide range of
morphological variation
[[Page 53856]]
(Forsman et al., 2013). These studies demonstrate that colony
morphology in pocilloporids is a poor indicator of taxonomic
relationships, for the following reasons: (1) Morphologically similar
colonies may not be the same species (i.e., colonies of different
species appear similar because of similar environmental conditions or
other reasons); and (2) morphologically different colonies may be the
same species (i.e., colonies of the same species appear different
because of different environmental conditions or other reasons).
While the current literature supports the taxonomic division of
pocilloporids geographically into Indo-Pacific and Eastern Pacific
groups, it indicates a high level of taxonomic uncertainty for all
Pocillopora species that are found in both areas, such as P. elegans.
Within these two geographic areas, colonies that resemble P. elegans
may be different species, including possibly still undescribed species.
That is, colonies may merely resemble P. elegans because of similar
environmental conditions or other reasons, but actually may be
different species. And the opposite type of taxonomic uncertainty also
appears to be common, as colonies that do not resemble P. elegans may
actually be P. elegans. That is, colonies that are P. elegans appear
different because of different environmental conditions or other
reasons (Forsman et al., 2013; Marti-Puig et al., 2013; Pinz[oacute]n
et al., 2013). The recently appreciated taxonomic uncertainty is in
addition to the historical morphological taxonomic uncertainty within
the genus Pocillopora and for P. elegans specifically (Veron, 2013;
Veron, 2014). While P. danae does not occur in the Eastern Pacific,
similar taxonomic uncertainty problems occur for this species. That is,
this species also had historical morphological taxonomic uncertainty
(Veron, 2013), which has recently been compounded by genetic taxonomic
uncertainty, leading Veron (2014) to conclude that the species likely
requires a taxonomic revision. A new taxonomic revision of Pocillopora
was published, in which P. danae was found to be a synonym of P.
verrucosa, resulting in the traditional P. danae being included within
P. verrucosa (Schmidt-Roach et al., 2014). However, the overall
taxonomic uncertainty within Pocillopora, including for P. elegans and
P. danae, has not been resolved, and in fact continues to increase as
more studies are conducted. Thus, at this time, Pocillopora species are
not determinable under the ESA. Therefore, we are withdrawing our
proposal to list P. elegans (Indo-Pacific) as threatened, P. elegans
(Eastern Pacific) as endangered, and P. danae as threatened; these
species are not considered further in this final rule.
Comment 3: Several comments objected to our agreement with the
SRR's (Brainard et al., 2011) lumping of Montipora dilitata, M.
flabellata, and M. turgescens into a single species, as well as the
lumping of M. patula and M. verrilli into a single species, based on
the results of a single genetics study by Forsman et al. (2010).
Response: The objections in the public comments to lumping
Montipora dilitata/M. flabellata/M. turgescens and M. patula/M.
verrilli did not provide any new or supplemental information, nor did
we find any new or supplemental information, contradicting the key
study used by the SRR to consider these species as a group. We must use
the best available science on which to base our determinations, and
there is no indication that Forsman et al. (2010) is in error. However,
as discussed in the response to Comment 1, we acknowledge that coral
taxonomy is a rapidly growing field and that is creates uncertainty in
determining a species under the ESA. This taxonomic uncertainty is
considered in the individual Species-specific Information and
Determination for the Montipora.
Comments on Reproductive Life History of Reef-Building Corals
Comment 4: There were only a few comments related to the
reproductive life history of corals. One comment stated that coral reef
connectivity data are sparse, and while the majority of published
studies on coral larval dispersal report evidence of local seeding and
replenishment of reefs, other models and studies report sporadic
periods of longer distance dispersal and recruitment events. The
commenter felt that the proposed rule did not adequately address coral
population dynamics and connectivity in determining the status of the
candidate coral species under the ESA. Another comment stated that
there is almost no information on any of the species' trends or
recruitment rates, and the limited information available is based on
qualitative opinion, not quantitative data. The comment also pointed
out that the proposed rule agreed that the term `recruit' could be
difficult to apply in the case of corals, which reproduce both sexually
and asexually, and that the number of recruits per spawner depends on
the age or size at which an entity is defined as a recruit. These
comments assert that there is insufficient information on productivity
and connectivity on which to base listing decisions.
Response: Coral reproduction and connectivity are addressed
generally in the Reproductive Life History of Reef-building Corals
section. As each proposed coral species has a different reproductive
life history, we more comprehensively address each species'
reproduction, connectivity, and recruitment (when that information was
available) as they relate to each species' status under the ESA in the
Species-specific Information and Determinations section. The public
comments did not provide any studies or information on reproduction or
connectivity for any species except for Acropora cervicornis (see
Species-specific Information and Determinations section). Any
supplemental information we found is included in Species-specific
Information and Determinations section.
Comments on Distribution and Abundance of Reef Building Corals
Comment 5: We received several comments regarding the distribution
and abundance of reef-building corals, mainly regarding the lack of
species-specific information for many species' geographic distributions
and population abundances. There were only a few comments related to
determining the distribution and abundance of reef building corals,
specifically on extrapolating individual corals to overall population
abundance and distribution, on which to base a listing decision. One
comment stated that coral population size and structure across the
world's oceans is nearly impossible to determine with any accuracy
because we use crude substitutes for individual animals in determining
population and range information within a species. For example, there
is a significant difference between using colony population and range
estimates versus using polyp population and range estimates, which are
essentially impossible to estimate. Another comment stated that it is
not accurate to equate percent coral cover on reefs to population
abundance (i.e., numbers of individuals). Any loss of coral cover often
is manifest by loss of coral tissue over large portions of still living
colonies, without the loss of the individual. Furthermore, it is
unclear whether the loss of many separate but genetically-identical
colonies (`clones') equates to the loss of a single but genetically-
distinct individual if some of the clone colonies survive. Another
commenter noted that the distributions of the Indo-Pacific species are
largely unknown due to their incredibly vast ranges encompassing
numerous
[[Page 53857]]
archipelagos that include thousands of islands and atolls. The
commenter emphasized this point by noting that there are between 30,000
and 40,000 islands in Oceania which could potentially have populations
of the proposed coral species. The comments described above
collectively assert that listing decisions cannot be made due to the
lack of species-specific information.
Response: We acknowledge that it is difficult to quantify and
qualify distribution and abundance for individual coral species. The
ambiguity associated with the delineation of the individual in reef-
building corals is addressed in the Individual Delineation sub-section
in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, including how we characterize
the delineation of the individual for the species covered by this final
rule. In response to public comments, we more adequately address each
species' distribution and abundance as those characteristics relate to
each species' determination status under the ESA in the Species-
specific Information and Determinations section. The public comments
provided some useful information on the distribution and abundance of
specific coral species, and we also collected supplemental information
on distribution and abundance that is included in the Species-specific
Information and Determinations section.
Comments on Coral Reefs, Other Coral Habitats, and Overview of
Candidate Coral Environments
Comment 6: Some comments asserted that the proposed rule focused
too much on coral reefs rather than focusing on coral species. A couple
of comments stated that corals thrive in places that are not coral
reefs, even when nearby coral reefs are not thriving, underscoring the
notion that reefs are not species. Another couple of comments stated
that the focus on coral reefs and reef ecosystems, and the importance
they have to reef-associated species, is improper for ESA listing
analysis and added that NMFS cannot simply decide to treat reefs as a
species under the ESA simply because evaluating reefs is easier.
Response: The proposed rule acknowledged that reef-building coral
species are not reef-dependent and provided a description of non-reefal
habitats. Public comments did not provide information on how to
interpret non-reefal habitat in our analysis, but in the Coral Habitats
sub-section of this final rule we clarify the relevance of non-reefal
habitats in determining each species' status under the ESA (e.g.,
providing variability in environmental conditions).
Further, in the Coral and Coral Reefs section (Individual
Delineation and Species Identification sub-sections), we explain that
we define a coral species as the ``physiological colony'' (i.e., unit
of the species that can be identified as an individual in the field) to
ensure that we are evaluating the individual species and not coral
reefs generally for determining ESA status. Public comments did not
offer any information on how to define a coral species, but our
explanations in the Individual Delineation and Species Identification
sub-sections makes clear that we do not consider coral reefs as species
in this final rule. However, it should be noted that defining an
individual coral as the physiological colony in this final rule did not
change how we interpreted abundance data for any species.
Comment 7: A few comments stated that the proposed rule lacked
species-specific information for mesophotic habitats (deep, lower-light
areas, usually between 30 and 100 m deep). One comment stated that the
coral communities of many Indo-Pacific jurisdictions have received
little attention, with vast areas of reef remaining unexplored,
especially for corals occurring in the mesophotic zone, which likely
harbors populations of species that can also be found at shallower
depths. Another comment stated that recent data from NOAA-supported
studies of mesophotic reefs found these extensive and poorly studied
ecosystems serve as refugia for numerous shallow water coral species,
yet no survey data from these ongoing studies were included in the
proposed rule. We also received two papers (Bridge and Guinotte, 2013;
Kahng et al., 2014) that suggested the global diversity of some
mesophotic corals may be underestimated and the biogeographic ranges of
mesophotic corals are not fully explored.
Response: The proposed rule briefly described mesophotic habitats
and acknowledged that the amount of mesophotic habitat available is
unknown and likely greater than the amount of shallow reef habitat. The
proposed rule also stated there is greater coral cover on mesophotic
reefs in the Indo-Pacific than in the Caribbean. However, more
information has become available on this habitat type since publication
of the proposed rule. Two papers (Bridge and Guinotte, 2013; Kahng et
al., 2014) provided more information on the global diversity and
biogeographic ranges of mesophotic corals and we have collected
information on the magnitude and diversity of mesophotic habitat. The
extent of mesophotic habitat is addressed in the Coral Habitats sub-
section. Mesophotic habitat's potential function as refugia for corals
from ocean warming is addressed in the Spatial and Temporal Refugia
sub-section. Where mesophotic habitat information is available for an
individual coral species we have included and considered that
information in the Species-specific Information and Determinations
section.
Comment 8: With regard to coral habitats being divided into only
two global regions (i.e., Caribbean and Indo-Pacific), a couple of
comments stated that the Indo-Pacific region was too coarse.
Specifically, the comments stated that the Hawaiian Islands should be
considered its own region or sub-region with Hawaiian species evaluated
separately, due to Hawaii's isolated nature and significant number of
endemic species.
Response: We recognize that there may be numerous distinct sub-
regions throughout the Caribbean and Indo-Pacific basins for some or
all species, and that some coral species are endemic to Hawaii.
However, under the ESA, we must evaluate the status of the species
throughout their entire ranges. Invertebrate species, such as corals,
cannot be divided further into Distinct Populations Segments (DPS)
under the ESA, since DPS specifically refer only to vertebrate species.
Therefore, we cannot identify sub-regions, such as Hawaii, as its own
distinct geographic range and evaluate the status of more broadly
distributed species only within that specific area. In addition, as
described in the Risk Analyses--Statutory Standard sub-section of this
final rule, we were not able to identify a significant portion of its
range (SPOIR) for any of the proposed corals and therefore could not
evaluate whether the status of the species within that portion of its
range impacts the overall status of the species throughout its range.
Comment 9: We received a few comments regarding the consideration
and inclusion of Traditional Ecological Knowledge (TEK), particularly
from local island cultures (Hawaiian, Chamorro, and Samoan), as best
available information for our listing determination process. One
comment noted the importance of corals and coral reefs to island
cultures in the Pacific Islands region, in particular to native
Hawaiians. The comment criticized the lack of TEK in the SRR and
proposed rule for the candidate corals, stating that coral biology and
ecology is a fundamental part of TEK, and that their TEK is part of
best available science.
[[Page 53858]]
Response: We agree that TEK provides an important and unique
perspective on local ecosystems, their status, threats, and changes
over time; when relevant information was made available to us, we
incorporated it into the proposed rule. We also acknowledge that this
information is not necessarily accessible in academic peer reviewed
journals or text books. Therefore, we requested any additional TEK-
related information on the biology, ecology, threats, and extinction
risks of the 65 coral species on numerous occasions for inclusion
within this final rule. While we received public comments and listened
to several public testimonies from community members in both the
Pacific Islands and Southeast regions that disagreed with our proposed
listing determinations, we did not receive any TEK-related information
or data on the biology, ecology, threats, or extinction risks for any
of the 65 coral species within this final rule.
Comments on Threats Evaluation
Comment 10: We received a large number of public comments on the
various threats to corals and coral reefs. In addition to the specific
comments on the nine most important threats, one comment stated that
there should be no doubt that corals and coral reefs throughout the
world are in serious trouble and in decline due to the effects of
anthropogenic stressors. Another commenter asked whether the mere
threats from anthropogenic impacts are sufficient for ESA listing. Yet
another commenter requested that recreational boating activities should
be recognized as a specific threat, even though recreational boating
activities may only present a relatively minor risk to coral species.
Response: As described in the proposed rule, there are nine threats
considered to be the most significant to the current or expected future
extinction risk of reef-building corals. The comments and responses on
these nine threats (ocean warming, disease, ocean acidification,
trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade) are addressed individually below.
We acknowledged that recreational boating activities may present some
risk to coral species and it was included in the description of the
threat ``Human-induced Physical Damage'' in the SRR. However, we
determined that threat's contribution to the extinction risk of corals,
generally, is negligible to low.
We also recognized that anthropogenic threats are affecting coral
species worldwide and may be sufficient for an ESA listing if the
species meets the definition of threatened or endangered. That is, if
the species is currently in danger of extinction or may become so in
the foreseeable future due to any one or a combination of the five
factors under Section 4 of the ESA (in which the various threats are
categorized) then the species may be listed.
Comments on Global Climate Change--General Overview
Comment 11: We received many comments on the general treatment of
global climate change in the proposed rule and supporting documents.
The Global Climate Change--General Overview section in the proposed
rule and the global climate change portion of the SRR describe past,
current, and future GHG emissions and atmospheric concentrations and
the associated past, current, and future general effects on coral reef
ecosystems, based primarily on the International Panel on Climate
Change's (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4), The Physical Basis
(IPCC, 2007) and supporting literature.
Some comments stated that we did not adequately account for the
uncertainty in climate change modeling. A few comments stated that
global temperature has been stable for the last ten years or that
warming has slowed down since 2000. One commenter provided two recent
papers (Guemas et al., 2013; Hansen et al., 2012) that showed global
mean surface temperatures did not increase as much as had been
predicted from 2000 to 2010.
Some comments stated that GHG emissions and global temperatures
continue to rise unabated. One comment referenced two studies (Frieler
et al., 2012; van Hooidonk et al., 2013b) that projected the frequency
of coral reef bleaching under different levels of warming and emissions
scenarios, indicating that significant and immediate GHG reductions are
critical to prevent coral reefs from degradation and collapse. Another
comment also referenced van Hooidonk et al. (2013b) and stated that
targets for atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations
must be lower than 450 parts per million (ppm) to protect coral reef
ecosystems. Yet another comment stated that scientific modeling
indicates that within 40 to 50 years, reef decline will pass a tipping
point, largely due to the increasing impacts of climate change, and may
not be reversible over ecological time scales. Another comment pointed
out that climate change also could likely increase corals' exposure to
cold water stress, which studies have shown can cause extensive
mortality of corals (Colella et al., 2012; Schopmeyer et al., 2012).
Response: We agree with commenters and acknowledge that there is
uncertainty associated with climate change projections. Climate change
projections over the foreseeable future are associated with three major
sources of uncertainty: (1) The projected rate of increase for GHG
concentrations; (2) strength of the climate's response to GHG
concentrations; and (3) large natural variations. The recent warming
slow-down is an example of a large natural variation that was not
anticipated by previous models. However, AR4's projections were built
upon scientifically accepted principles, which fairly simulated many
large scale aspects of present-day conditions, providing the best
available information on climate change at the time the proposed rule
was published. The IPCC's Fifth Assessment Report (AR5), Climate Change
2013: The Physical Science Basis (IPCC, 2013), commonly referred to as
the Working Group I Report (WGI) became available in September 2013,
and supersedes AR4; accordingly, this final rule relies on the
information provided in AR5's WGI. Despite the advance of climate
change science in recent years, there is still complexity and
uncertainty associated with projections of global climate change.
However, the current state of climate change science is capable of
producing informative projections that provide a rational basis for
considering likely patterns in future climate change-related threats to
reef-building corals. More detail on the overall complexity associated
with projections of global climate change, major sources of uncertainty
in climate change projections, and a summary of AR5's WGI, including
the pathway that we consider the most impactful to corals, are
addressed in Threats Evaluation--Global Climate Change Overview sub-
section.
We also acknowledge the observed recent hiatus/slow-down in the
rate of global surface air temperature increase, and we have
accordingly provided a description of the hiatus/slowdown and its
implications in the Threats Evaluation--Ocean Warming sub-section. In
summary, despite unprecedented levels of GHG emissions in recent years,
a slow-down in global mean surface air temperature warming has occurred
since 1998, which AR5's WGI refers to as a ``hiatus.'' Despite this
slowdown in warming, the period since 1998 is the warmest recorded and
``Each of the last three decades has been successively warmer at the
Earth's surface than any preceding decade since
[[Page 53859]]
1850.'' The slow-down in global mean surface warming since 1998 is not
fully explained by AR4 or AR5 WGI's models, but is consistent with the
substantial decadal and interannual variability seen in the
instrumental record and may result, in part, from the selection of
beginning and end dates for such analyses.
Public comments provided supplemental information on several
aspects of global climate change, as described above. We also collected
information to inform how we assess the effects of global climate
change to corals, including the IPCC Working Group II report on
impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. We maintain that global climate
change is central to assessing extinction risk for the corals in this
final rule. As described in more detail in the Threats Evaluation--
Global Climate Change Overview sub-section below, the supplemental
information underscores the complexity and uncertainty associated with
projecting the extent and severity of effects of global climate change
across the ranges of reef-building corals.
Comments on Ocean Warming (High Importance Threat, ESA Factor E)
Comment 12: We received several comments on general future
projections of ocean warming levels. One commenter stated that climate
change models applied in our assessment are too coarse to accurately
predict the conditions reefs will experience in the future and that
real conditions are impacted by bathymetry, water mixing, wind
patterns, fresh water inputs, and other bio-geographic factors. The
commenter concluded that existing projections for sea surface
temperature are not sufficient to conclude the species face an
existential threat. Other comments also criticized the use of AR4's
worst-case scenario as the basis for determining the most likely future
scenario with regard to ocean warming, and related topics such as the
proposed rule's lack of consideration for the post-1998 hiatus in
global warming.
Response: In the proposed rule, we discussed the numerous, complex
spatial and temporal factors that compound uncertainty associated with
projecting effects of ocean warming on corals in the future, and we
have determined that ocean warming will not affect all species in all
locations uniformly over the foreseeable future. We believe that
different bio-geographic factors such as bathymetry, water mixing, wind
patterns, and fresh water will likely impact conditions corals will
experience over the foreseeable future. We also recognized that global
climate change models are associated with uncertainty, as discussed in
response to comment 11 above. However, in response to comments on ocean
warming projections, such as criticism of the reliance of the proposed
rule and supporting documents on AR4 (IPCC, 2007) and the lack of
consideration of the ocean warming hiatus, we provide a review of the
best available information on these topics, including AR5's WGI Report
(IPCC, 2013), in the Threats Evaluation--Global Climate Change
Overview, Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 8.5 Projections,
and Ocean Warming sub-sections below. These data support the conclusion
in the proposed rule that ocean warming is increasing in severity, and
is likely to continue increasing in severity within the ranges of reef-
building corals. However, a key difference between the proposed and
final rule is that we now more fully consider the ability of each
species' spatial and demographic traits to moderate exposure to
threats, including warming, and place appropriate emphasis on the non-
uniform nature of global threats at the regional and local levels that
allows habitat heterogeneity to play a role in buffering a species
against vulnerability to extinction. The significance of coral
abundance and distribution, and habitat heterogeneity, to this final
rule is described in more detail in the Corals and Coral Reefs, Risk
Analyses and Species-specific Information and Determinations sections
of this rule.
After reviewing the public comments and information provided in
AR5's WGI our conclusion regarding the threat of ocean warming remains
unchanged from the proposed rule. We maintain that ocean warming is a
high importance threat in assessing global extinction risk for the
corals in this final rule, while we also acknowledge that the
interpretation of future climate change threats to corals is associated
with complexity and uncertainty, and that effects on individual species
of reef-building corals are difficult to determine as described in more
detail in the Threats Evaluation--Global Climate Change Overview
subsection below.
Comment 13: Many comments criticized the proposed rule for not
accounting for spatial variability in ocean warming and overlooking
regional and local variability in conditions leading to warming-induced
bleaching, which may be more or less severe regionally or locally than
the overall warming. For example, we received two comments requesting
us to review the literature for information regarding current and
projected regional differences in sea surface temperature anomalies and
for variations in the responses of individual coral species across
their ranges. Comments noted that coral species and their symbionts are
not uniformly susceptible and/or resilient to climate change across
their ranges. That variability results in heterogeneous responses of
coral species to ocean warming both in different parts of the ranges
and also at different rates in the future. Another comment provided
information from van Hooidonk (2013b) regarding spatial and temporal
variability of ocean warming within different regions. The commenter
identified reef locations that appear to be less vulnerable to
bleaching, including the southern Great Barrier Reef (GBR), the western
Indian Ocean, Persian Gulf, Red Sea, Thailand, New Caledonia and French
Polynesia, as well as other locations that appear to be more vulnerable
to bleaching, including the western Pacific warm pool, northwestern
Australia, west Papua New Guinea and the central Pacific islands of
Tokelau. Another commenter stated that the corals at Flower Garden
Banks National Marine Sanctuary seem to be less affected by elevated
sea surface temperatures that are impacting corals in other parts of
the wider Caribbean.
Response: We discussed spatial (i.e., regional and/or local)
variability of ocean warming impacts to corals in the proposed rule and
we agree that ocean warming will not affect all species in all
locations uniformly over the foreseeable future, and that different
regions are predicted to experience the effects of ocean warming on
different time scales and at different magnitudes than others. We
provide a review of all the best available information on spatial
variability in ocean warming, including any information provided via
public comment or gathered ourselves since the proposed rule was
published, in the Threats Evaluation--Global Climate Change Overview,
RCP8.5 Projections, and Ocean Warming sub-sections below. These data
support the conclusion in the proposed rule that ocean warming is
increasing in severity, and likely to continue increasing in severity
within the ranges of reef-building corals. This review also underscores
the complexity and uncertainty associated with spatial variability in
ocean warming across the ranges of reef-building corals. A key
difference between the proposed and final rule is that we now more
fully consider the ability of each species' spatial and demographic
traits to moderate exposure to threats, including warming, and place
appropriate emphasis on the non-uniform nature of
[[Page 53860]]
global threats at the regional and local levels which allows habitat
heterogeneity to play a role in buffering a species against
vulnerability to extinction. The significance of coral abundance and
distribution and habitat heterogeneity to this final rule is described
in more detail in the Corals and Coral Reefs, Risk Analyses and
Species-specific Information and Determinations sections of this rule.
Comment 14: Comments on the overview of ocean warming and coral
reefs focused on projected effects of ocean warming on coral reef
ecosystems, rather than on reef-building coral species. These comments
comprise two distinct views. Some comments emphasized that coral reefs
are likely to decline sharply in the future because of increasing GHG
emissions, while other comments emphasized that recent reviews indicate
a wide range of possible responses by coral species. For example, one
commenter cited Frieler et al. (2012) and stated that the estimated
frequency of coral bleaching at different levels of global warming
showed that limiting warming to 1.5 [deg]C above pre-industrial levels
is unlikely to protect most of the world's reefs from degradation. The
commenter further explained that even under the lowest of the IPCC AR5
emissions scenarios (RCP3-PD) and optimistic assumptions regarding
thermal adaptation, approximately one-third (range from 9 to 60
percent) of the world's coral reefs will experience long-term
degradation. Another commenter cited Donner (2009) and similarly stated
that the projected increase in sea surface temperatures due to the
physical commitment from the present accumulation of GHGs due to
anthropogenic activity, as well as the amount of GHGs likely to be
emitted, is sufficient to cause frequent and higher magnitude heat
stress for the majority of the world's coral reefs by 2050. Another
commenter provided information from Kiessling et al. (2004) and
Carpenter et al. (2008) and asserted that if bleaching events become
very frequent, many species may be unable to maintain breeding
populations as repeated bleaching causes potentially irreversible
declines, perhaps mimicking conditions that led to previous coral
extinctions. In contrast, some commenters disagreed with our conclusion
of the projected effects of ocean warming on corals and coral reef
ecosystems in the proposed rule. As described above in Comment 13, many
commenters pointed out several studies showing regional and local
variability in responses of corals and coral reefs to ocean warming.
Response: We summarized the best available information on the
interaction between ocean warming and corals reefs in the proposed
rule, and concluded that ocean warming is a severe and increasing
threat to corals. The public comments and supporting papers we received
on the overview of ocean warming and coral reefs generally support the
conclusion in the proposed rule that ocean warming is an important and
increasing threat to coral reefs. However, the other comments
underscore the uncertainty associated with projecting the effects of
ocean warming on coral reefs in the future, and as described in our
response to Comment 13, we also acknowledge that there is and will
continue to be regional and local variability in responses of corals to
ocean warming over the foreseeable future. We acknowledge that ocean
warming will not act uniformly on all species at all times over the
foreseeable future. Further, we recognize that the responses of each
species to ocean warming will vary across their ranges over the
foreseeable future. Additionally, as described in previous comment
responses, a key difference between the proposed and final rule is that
we now more fully consider the threat-buffering capacity of each
species' unique characteristics, and place appropriate emphasis on the
non-uniform nature of global threats at the regional and local levels
which allows habitat heterogeneity to play a role in buffering a
species against vulnerability to extinction.
Comment 15: We received comments on specific effects of ocean
warming on reef-building corals that covered various topics, including
the interactions of warming-induced bleaching with other threats. For
example, one commenter noted that anthropogenic climate change (e.g.,
ocean warming) weakens coral colonies and renders them more susceptible
to disease, which is also covered in the Threats Evaluation--Disease
sub-section below. Other commenters also emphasized the potential for
ocean warming to act synergistically with other threats such as
nutrification as well as overfishing. Another commenter provided
information from Ferrier-Pag[egrave]s et al. (2010) suggesting
remarkable tolerance to global change, such as the potential to reduce
bleaching vulnerability through increased feeding rates.
Response: In the proposed rule, we discussed how multiple threats
stress corals simultaneously or sequentially, whether the effects are
cumulative (the sum of individual stresses) or interactive (e.g.,
synergistic or antagonistic). The comments and supporting papers we
received on these topics provide supplemental information (such as
synergistic effects of ocean warming with other threats), which has
been incorporated and considered in our assessment, as described in
more detail in the Threats Evaluation--Ocean Warming sub-section. The
comments and supporting papers support the conclusion in the proposed
rule that the impacts of ocean warming on reef-building corals are
increasing in severity and likely to continue increasing in severity.
This information also underscores the great complexity and high
uncertainty associated with the various specific effects of ocean
warming, including synergistic effects with other threats, across the
ranges of reef-building corals. We continue to acknowledge that
susceptibility of a species to a threat depends on the combination of:
(1) Direct effects of the threat on the species; and (2) the cumulative
and interactive (synergistic or antagonistic) effects of the threat
with the effects of other threats on the species. In the proposed rule,
we considered how the cumulative or interactive effects altered the
rating assigned to a threat susceptibility in isolation. However, upon
further consideration, we need to evaluate the extent to which one
threat influences the susceptibility of an individual species to
another threat with more species-specific information, in connection
with all the other elements that influence a species' extinction risk.
Generally, cumulative and interactive processes are complex and
uncertain and existing information about threats interactions is only
based on a few studies on a few species. Where possible, when we have
species-specific or applicable genus-level information on cumulative or
interactive effects, we have applied this information to that
particular species' susceptibilities in a more integrated manner.
Comment 16: We received several comments on the capacity of reef-
building corals for acclimatization and adaptation to ocean warming,
covering various specific characteristics of reef-building corals that
may contribute to such capacity. Mostly, commenters asserted that we
did not adequately consider the ability of corals to acclimatize or
adapt to changing temperatures. Several comments cited empirical
evidence that corals have already adapted to ocean warming, thereby
demonstrating the potential for acclimatization or adaptation. For
example, one comment letter provided information from Pandolfi et al.
(2011) and Cahill et al. (2013) stating that more recent analyses
incorporating thermal
[[Page 53861]]
tolerance of species indicate a wide range of outcomes including
maintenance of comparable levels of cover to 2100 and beyond. Another
commenter provided data from Maynard et al. (2008) and Guest et al.
(2012) showing that many types of coral show surprisingly large (~0.5-1
[deg]C) increases in thermal tolerance after a single mass bleaching
event, due to either adaptation or acclimatization. In another comment
letter, information provided from Jones and Berkelmans (2010) and Baker
et al. (2004) show that the acclimatization potential of corals to
increased temperatures is an active area of research, with a focus on
identifying heat-resistant phenotypes. Another commenter pointed to the
coral species that occur in the Arabian Gulf as an example of species
adapting to warmer temperatures.
Response: In the proposed rule we acknowledged that there is some
evidence to suggest that reef-building corals may have various
mechanisms for acclimatization and adaptation to ocean warming. These
topics were described in the Ocean Warming sub-section of the proposed
rule, and we concluded that existing scientific information was
inconclusive on how these processes may affect individual corals'
extinction risk, given the projected intensity and rate of ocean
warming. The public comments and supporting papers have been
incorporated and considered in our assessment, as described in more
detail in the Threats Evaluation--Ocean Warming sub-section and the
Species-specific Information and Determinations section. However, the
supplemental information does not alter the conclusion in the proposed
rule that the capacity for acclimatization and adaptation of reef-
building corals to ocean warming is inconclusive for corals generally
at this time.
Comments on Disease (High Importance Threat, ESA Factor C)
Comment 17: One comment regarding the decline of Caribbean coral
populations cited land-use changes as well as disease outbreaks (among
other local threats) as the causes of Caribbean coral decline rather
than climate change. Some comments also provided such information
pertaining to specific species. For example, one comment stated that
the genetic diversity of Acropora cervicornis in Florida may be
sufficient to maintain viability and resilience to environmental
perturbations and disease.
Response: The proposed rule described how disease had a major role
in the initial decline of Caribbean coral populations as described in
the Coral Reefs, Other Coral Habitats, and Overview of Candidate Coral
Environments sections of the proposed rule. Further, in the Threats
Evaluation--Disease section of this rule, we acknowledge diseases are
of high importance with regard to extinction risk of corals. However,
in assessing extinction risk over the foreseeable future, climate
change-related threats are highly important to all reef-building
corals. Any species-specific information provided on disease is
included in the Species-specific Information and Determinations section
later in this rule.
Comment 18: One commenter noted the explicit link between coral
bleaching, disease, and the larger driving environmental factor of
climate change by citing several studies that show anthropogenic
climate change weakens coral colonies and renders them more susceptible
to disease (Harvell et al., 1999; Harvell et al., 2002; Knowlton,
2001). Another commenter provided information from Muller and van
Woesik (2012), stating that exceeding environmental disease thresholds
will most likely become increasingly common in rapidly warming oceans,
leading to more frequent coral-disease outbreaks. The study suggested
that that the expression of some coral diseases occurs when (1)
environmental thresholds are exceeded and (2) these environmental
conditions either weaken the corals, which are then more susceptible to
infection, or increase the virulence or abundance of pathogens. In
other words, corals that experience bleaching are more likely to suffer
from disease outbreaks and subsequent mortality.
Response: In the proposed rule, we described the importance of
disease as a threat to corals and the potential for disease to act
synergistically with other threats such as ocean warming. We also
understand that assessing the threat of disease is highly complex, as
the cause or causes of many coral diseases remains either unknown or
poorly understood. Overall, the public comments we received underscored
and supported the analysis in the SRR and the proposed rule. In
addition to public comments, we collected a significant amount of
information on disease that became available since the proposed rule
published. Thus, we maintain that disease is a high importance threat
to the extinction risks of the 65 corals in this final rule. All of the
supplemental information received or otherwise collected has been
detailed and summarized in the Threats Evaluation--Disease sub-section
of this final rule. The extent to which the extinction risk of a
particular coral species is impacted by disease is discussed in more
detail in the Species-specific Information and Determinations section
below.
Comments on Ocean Acidification (Medium-High Importance Threat, ESA
Factor E)
Comment 19: We received public comments on the description of and
future projections of ocean acidification, which provided information
on the complexity of ocean chemistry on corals, and criticism of the
use of the AR4's worst-case scenario as the basis for determining the
most likely future scenario with regard to ocean acidification. For
example, one commenter asserted that global projections of ocean
acidification are too coarse and do not take into consideration
competing and extremely localized factors that affect local
CO2 concentrations (e.g., local atmospheric processes, local
biological processes, local temperature, and upwelling from deeper
waters). The commenter emphasized that despite acknowledging the
multitude of local, regional, and seasonal factors that may cause local
CO2 concentrations to increase and pH to decrease, we opted
instead to base our reef-scale threat analysis on generalized
acidification predictions from global models. Other commenters also
criticized our reliance on the IPCC's AR4 report as the basis for our
threat evaluation of ocean acidification to corals.
Response: In the proposed rule we acknowledged that numerous,
complex spatial and temporal factors compound uncertainty associated
with projecting effects of ocean acidification on corals in the future.
We also acknowledged that global climate change models are associated
with uncertainty. We further acknowledge that the interpretation of
future climate change threats to corals is complex and that effects on
individual species of reef-building corals are difficult to determine,
as described in more detail in the Threats Evaluation--Global Climate
Change Overview subsection. However, we agree with commenters that
ocean acidification will not affect all species in all locations
uniformly over the foreseeable future, and that different locations
will experience the effects of ocean acidification at different time
scales and at different magnitudes than others. We provide a review of
all the best available information, including a review of AR5's WGI
(IPCC, 2013) in the Threats Evaluation--Global Climate Change Overview,
RCP8.5 Projections, and Ocean Acidification sub-sections. Upon review
of the information provided in AR5's WGI and public comments, our
[[Page 53862]]
conclusion regarding the threat of ocean acidification remains
unchanged from the proposed rule. We maintain that ocean acidification
is increasing in severity, and is likely to continue increasing in
severity, within the ranges of reef-building corals, and is a medium-
high importance threat in assessing extinction risk for the 65 corals
in this final rule. However, as described in earlier comment responses,
a key difference between the proposed and final rule is that we now
more fully consider the ability of each species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate the impacts of threats, and we place
appropriate emphasis on the non-uniform nature of global threats at the
regional and local levels which allows habitat heterogeneity to play a
role in buffering a species against vulnerability to extinction.
Comment 20: We received a comment regarding variability in ocean
acidification on coral reefs related to fluctuations in pH from
localized factors such as seagrass beds. The commenter provided
information from Manzello et al. (2012) indicating that local and
regional biochemical processes buffer effects of ocean acidification in
locations such as the Gulf of Mexico and South Atlantic. Manzello et
al. (2012) reported that the photosynthetic uptake and sequestering of
carbon dioxide by seagrasses and other macroalgae and the positive
growth response by seagrasses to increasing dissolved carbon dioxide
(Palacios and Zimmerman, 2007) may create ocean acidification refugia
for corals. Comments on specific effects of ocean acidification on
coral reefs and reef-building corals focused on capacity for
acclimatization of corals to acidification, and evidence that some
coral species are resistant to low pH.
Response: In the proposed rule, we discussed that numerous, complex
spatial and temporal factors compound uncertainty associated with
projecting effects of ocean acidification on corals and coral reefs in
the future, and we agree with the comment that ocean acidification will
not affect all species in all locations uniformly over the foreseeable
future, and that different locations will experience the effects of
ocean acidification at different time scales and at different
magnitudes than others. In response to comments on spatial variability
of ocean acidification, such as lack of consideration of localized
increase in pH from adjacent seagrass beds, we provide a review of the
best available information on spatial variability in ocean
acidification, including any information provided by public comments as
well as any information we gathered ourselves since the proposed rule
was published, in the Threats Evaluation--RCP8.5 Projections and Ocean
Acidification sub-sections. These data in our view still support the
conclusion in the proposed rule that ocean acidification is increasing
in severity, and likely to continue increasing in severity within the
ranges of reef-building corals; however, as described in earlier
comment responses, a key difference between the proposed and final rule
is that we now more fully consider the threat moderation capacity of
each species' spatial and demographic traits, and of habitat
heterogeneity.
Comment 21: We received one comment that identified a couple of
ocean acidification and coral reef calcification rate studies that were
not included in the SRR and proposed rule. The commenter provided two
studies: One showing that coral calcification increases with global
warming (McNeil et al., 2004), and another study showing that corals
are already thriving in conditions similar to the ocean acidification
conditions predicted by the IPCC for 2100 (Hofmann et al., 2011).
Response: In the proposed rule and supporting documents we
acknowledged that some exceptional areas exist where reef-building
coral communities appear to be thriving under naturally high
CO2 concentrations. As described in the comment response
above to Comment 19, we agree that ocean acidification will not act
uniformly on all species in all locations over the foreseeable future.
We provide a review of all the best information available on the threat
of ocean acidification, including these studies, which we received in
public comments, and any information we gathered ourselves in the
Threats Evaluation--Ocean Acidification sub-section (e.g., Shamberger
et al., in press). This supplemental information supports the proposed
rule's conclusion that the threat of ocean acidification has already
impacted corals and coral reefs and will become increasingly severe
from now to 2100, with increasingly severe consequences for corals and
coral reefs. However, as described in previous comment responses, a key
difference between the proposed and final rule is that we now more
fully consider the capacity of each species' spatial and demographic
traits, and habitat heterogeneity, to buffer a species against
vulnerability to extinction.
Comment 22: We received a detailed comment letter with supporting
papers regarding specific effects of ocean acidification on reef-
building corals, such as effects on reef accretion, effects on larvae
and juvenile corals, and interactive or synergistic effects with other
environmental variables. For example, the commenter pointed out several
studies that underscore the potential impact of ocean acidification on
reef calcification rates, noting that even under the most optimistic
modeling scenario, 98 percent of reefs would be chemically stressed by
2050. The commenter also emphasized that corals may have a limited
ability to adapt to ocean acidification based on an in-situ study of
two corals in Florida Bay (Okazaki et al., 2013).
Response: The comment letter and supporting papers support the
conclusion in the proposed rule that ocean acidification is increasing
in severity, and likely to continue increasing in severity, within the
ranges of reef-building corals, resulting in various detrimental
impacts. This information also underscores the complexity and
uncertainty associated with the various specific effects of ocean
acidification, including interactive or synergistic effects with other
threats, across the ranges of reef-building corals as well as
predicting adaptive capacity. The information provided by the commenter
and the supporting papers regarding the specific effects of ocean
acidification on corals and coral reefs have been incorporated and
described in more detail in the Threats Evaluation--Ocean Acidification
sub-section.
Comments on Trophic Effects of Fishing (Medium Importance Threat, ESA
Factor A)
Comment 23: One comment provided supplemental information that was
not included in the proposed rule regarding the role of herbivorous
fish in terms of building and maintaining reef resilience. The
commenter stated that ``overfishing also degrades coral reefs,
particularly by depleting key functional groups, such as herbivores,
that reduce turf algae on reefs and maintain optimal conditions for
coral growth and recruitment'' and provided Keller et al. (2009) as a
reference. Another commenter also described the importance of
herbivorous functional groups, and stated that limiting or attempting
to reduce harvest of predatory fish may cause ecological harm by
unbalancing a healthy trophic chain.
Response: The proposed rule described the importance of trophic
interactions which include reducing herbivorous fish species that
control algal growth, limiting the size structure of fish populations,
reducing species richness of herbivorous fish, and
[[Page 53863]]
releasing corallivores from predator control. The supplemental
information provided by public comments supports our conclusion in the
proposed rule that healthy levels of herbivorous functional groups are
essential to coral reef ecosystem resilience in light of climate
change-related threats. Detailed information regarding the trophic
effects of fishing can be found in the Threats Evaluation--Trophic
Effects of Fishing sub-section as well as the Inadequacy of Existing
Regulatory Mechanisms--Reef Resilience sub-section.
Comment 24: One commenter stated that fish landings have been
stable for 30 years in St. Thomas, U.S. Virgin Islands, with many
species increasing in size, indicating that overfishing is not
occurring in this location or contributing to the status of the
Caribbean species in that area. The commenter also pointed out numerous
sources of sediments and nutrients, and coastal development projects in
the U.S. Virgin Islands as the main contributors to coral reef decline
rather than overfishing. Other commenters also disagreed that
overfishing was contributing to coral reef decline in Hawaii and
highlighted significant increases in tourism and in-water recreational
activities as local drivers of reef decline in that area.
Response: Although not explicitly stated in the proposed rule, we
agree that levels of fishing effort vary throughout the ranges of the
65 corals under consideration. We did acknowledge that exposure to this
threat varies throughout the ranges of the proposed species and between
the Caribbean and Indo-Pacific. In the proposed rule, we also
recognized that management and regulation of commercial and
recreational fisheries are inconsistent throughout the coral reef
world. When evaluating the current and potential threat impacts from
trophic effects of fishing, we are required to assess this threat
throughout the entire ranges of the 65 coral species in this final
listing. We understand that levels and impacts of overfishing differ
depending on the particular location under evaluation; however, we
maintain that the trophic effects of fishing represent a medium
importance threat to the extinction risk of all 65 coral species in
this final rule.
Comment 25: One commenter stated that we failed to consider human
demography in terms of our analysis of fishing impacts to corals. The
commenter noted that large swaths of area throughout Oceania are being
depopulated in favor of more metropolitan countries, which reduces the
level of human impacts to corals, including fishing pressure.
Response: The issues of human demography and population trends were
covered explicitly in the SRR and considered in the proposed rule.
While there may be some areas being depopulated, increased human
population and consumption of natural resources are root causes for
increases in fishing (particularly of herbivores) at many locations
around the globe (Brainard et al., 2011). Data from the World Bank show
human population abundance and density have increased in all five coral
reef regions since 1960 (i.e., Indian Ocean, Caribbean, Southeast Asia,
Pacific, and Middle East), with the greatest human population densities
and increases in population density in the Southeast Asia and Indian
Ocean regions. In these regions, current human population densities are
4-5 times greater than the global average and probably suggest the
greatest local human-induced effects to corals and coral reefs. In the
areas in closest proximity to coral reefs, the Southeast Asian, Indian
Ocean and Middle East regions have the highest densities of people per
reef area (Burke et al., 2011). However, these data are regional
averages. We do not dispute that human demography within any of these
regions may be shifting to higher density in metropolitan areas,
resulting in a decrease of human disturbance in some portions of these
regions. The regional trend data suggest increasing risks to corals and
coral reefs overall (Brainard et al., 2011). However, because we must
consider the extent to which a particular threat impacts each species
throughout its entire range, we still maintain that overfishing is a
medium importance threat to all 65 coral species in this final rule.
Comments on Sedimentation (Low-Medium Importance Threat, ESA Factors A
and E)
Comment 26: We received some public comments on sedimentation as a
threat to the 65 coral species in this final rule. Comments generally
underscored the importance of sedimentation as a considerable local
threat to corals and pointed out the potential of sedimentation to
interact and potentially exacerbate other threats, as well as to reduce
coral resilience. For example, we received a detailed comment asserting
that prospects for recovery of certain reef sites in the Caribbean from
acute episodes of hurricane damage or die-offs from bleaching and
disease (brought on by ocean warming) are extremely poor without
sustained recruitment, which may be prevented by sediment preempting
larval attachment. Further, the commenter identified sedimentation
(among other local threats) as a local threat with the capability of
exacerbating bleaching and disease impacts, thereby reducing the
resilience of corals. One commenter pointed out that mass mortality of
Acropora palmata at Vega Baja, Puerto Rico, was caused in part by
sedimentation. Another commenter stated that near shore marine-origin
sediments have almost completely been replaced by terrestrial sediments
due to a lack of land use controls, resulting in near total mortality
of nearshore Acropora stands in the U.S. Virgin Islands. Other
commenters identified the negative impacts of sedimentation to reefs on
the Hawaiian Island of Molokai, emphasizing the issue of run-off from
large rain events in certain areas. In general, these comments
emphasize the importance of sedimentation as a threat to the 65 coral
species in this final rule, with some asserting that this threat is as
important, if not more important, than the higher rated threat of reef
fishing.
Response: We acknowledge all of the public comments and information
we received on the threat of sedimentation to the 65 coral species in
this final rule. As summarized in the proposed rule, we also recognize
the possibility for sedimentation to interact with other global and
local threats and potentially reduce the resiliency of coral reef
ecosystems and/or impede recovery. In addition to public comments, we
also collected supplemental scientific information regarding the
impacts of sedimentation to corals that became available after the
proposed rule was published. The findings from these studies and more
detailed information regarding the evaluation of sedimentation as a
threat to coral reefs can be found in the Threats Evaluation--
Sedimentation sub-section. We also acknowledge the concern that some
comments expressed regarding the importance of this threat in
comparison to other local threats. However, for corals in general, we
maintain that sedimentation is a low-medium threat to the extinction
risk of the 65 corals in this final rule. Any species-specific
information we received on sedimentation is included in the Species-
specific Information and Determinations section.
Comments on Nutrients (Low-Medium Importance Threat, ESA Factors A and
E)
Comment 27: We received limited public comments on nutrient
enrichment of nearshore waters (i.e.,
[[Page 53864]]
eutrophication) and its impacts to coral reef ecosystems. Comments
generally underscored the importance of nutrient enrichment as a
considerable local threat to corals, and emphasized the potential of
nutrient enrichment to interact and potentially exacerbate other
threats, as well as reduce coral reef resiliency. For example, we
received a detailed comment letter that provided studies regarding the
impacts of nutrient enrichment to coral species. These studies, which
became available after the proposed rule was published, provide
evidence that nutrient enrichment can worsen thermal stress on inshore
reef communities, and that management actions to reduce coastal
nutrient enrichment can improve the resistance and resilience of
vulnerable coastal coral reefs to ocean warming. Another comment
detailed some of the impacts of nutrients in the U.S. Virgin Islands.
For example, industrial effluent in St. Croix allegedly impacted
fisheries in the area to the point where fishermen struggle to sell
their catch due to perceived contamination. Further, a sewage pumping
station in another area impacted nursery grounds for spiny lobsters. We
received other comments regarding the negative impacts of nutrient
enrichment in various locations in Florida and Hawaii from sewage
outfalls and other land-based sources of pollution. In general,
comments emphasized the importance of nutrients as a threat to the 65
coral species in this final rule, some asserting that this threat is as
important, if not more, than the higher rated threat of reef fishing.
Response: In the proposed rule we described the threat nutrient
enrichment poses to corals. The public comments and supporting papers
regarding the impacts of nutrients to coral reef ecosystems have been
considered and incorporated into our assessment, as described in more
detail in the Threats Evaluation--Nutrients sub-section. We also
acknowledge the concern that some comments expressed regarding the
importance of this threat in comparison to other local threats.
However, for corals in general, we maintain that nutrient enrichment is
a low-medium threat to the extinction risk of the 65 corals in this
final rule. Any species-specific information we received on nutrient
enrichment is included in the Species-specific Information and
Determinations section.
Comments on Sea-Level Rise (Low-Medium Threat, ESA Factor A)
Comment 28: We received one public comment that cited the Consensus
Statement on Climate Change and Coral Reefs (drafted by a working group
of eminent scientists and endorsed by hundreds of scientists to address
the topic of climate change impacts on coral reefs; ICRS, 2012) as a
source of estimates of sea-level rise by the end of this century.
However, the comment did not expound upon the potential ramifications
of these estimates. We did not receive any other public comments or
gather new or supplemental information on the threat of sea-level rise
to the 65 corals in this final rule.
Response: Although we received only one public comment on this
topic, we collected supplemental information regarding the threat of
sea-level rise to corals as a result of the IPCC's AR5. These findings
are summarized in the Threats Evaluation--Sea-Level Rise sub-section.
Comments on Predation (Low Threat, ESA Factor C)
Comment 29: We received very few comments regarding the threat of
predation to the 65 corals in this final rule. The majority of comments
we received regarding predation were specific to individual species in
Guam. For example, we received a detailed comment letter that included
suggested changes to individual species vulnerability ratings to
predation, as a result of local crown-of-thorns seastar (Acanthaster
planci) predation levels. One commenter cautioned us in terms of
inferring predation vulnerabilities for certain species from genus-
level information. Other comments identified predation as a threat to
corals, but provided no further information or scientific references.
Response: We acknowledge all of the public comments and information
we received on the threat of predation to the 65 coral species in this
final rule. The extent to which the extinction risk of a coral species
is impacted by predation is discussed in more detail in the Species-
specific Information and Determinations section, including any
information we received from specific locations. We also agree that
inferring susceptibility to threats from genus-level information is not
always appropriate. However, that particular comment referenced a
species we deemed Not Warranted for listing under the ESA, and are no
longer considering. In addition to public comments, we collected
information regarding the variable effects predation has on certain
coral species. These studies are detailed and summarized in the Threats
Evaluation--Predation sub-section. Overall, we maintain that predation
is a low level threat to the extinction risk of corals in general.
Comments on Collection and Trade (Low Threat, ESA Factor B)
Comment 30: We received hundreds of comments that strongly
criticized our characterization of the trade industry as a whole,
stating that our analysis failed to use current science and/or
commercial information about the coral trade. Commenters also asserted
that we did not adequately consider aquaculture and mariculture
industries as a potential alternative to alleviate pressures from wild
collection practices. For example, we received a detailed comment
regarding the mariculture industry in Indonesia, stating that in the
last five years, the coral trade communities of Indonesia have
developed coral mariculture with long-term objectives of reducing the
wild harvest of coral species for the live coral trade. Another comment
letter provided information from recent papers by Rhyne et al. (2012)
and Wood et al. (2012) that report declining trade in wild-harvested
Pacific corals and remarkable growth in the production and trade in
cultured corals from Pacific countries. Overall, many comments asserted
that a shift from wild collected corals to cultured corals is occurring
as a result of increasing aquaculture and mariculture operations both
within the United States and major source countries such as Indonesia.
Response: We agree with commenters that the SRR and proposed rule
did not adequately describe the full scope of the marine ornamental
trade industry and the contribution of captive culture in terms of
alleviating pressures from wild collection. We agree that some
significant progress has been made in terms of shifting from wild
collection of corals to trade of aquacultured and/or maricultured
corals as a result of both U.S. domestic production and production of
corals in major source countries such as Indonesia. In addition to
public comments we also collected a large amount of supplemental
information on coral collection and trade. Specifically, we collected
information about (1) the physical and ecological impacts of wild
collection of coral colonies and/or fragments from their natural
habitats; and (2) captive culture (i.e., mariculture and aquaculture)
including information on operations and the role of home aquaria as it
relates to trade. All of the public comments and supporting papers have
been considered and incorporated into our assessment as described in
more detail in the Threats Evaluation--Collection and Trade sub-
section. However, this information does not change our determination
that the threat
[[Page 53865]]
is of low importance to the extinction risk of corals, generally.
Comment 31: We also received numerous comments that strongly
disagreed with our characterization and conclusion regarding the
adequacy of regulatory mechanisms within the coral trade industry,
particularly CITES and other laws in major source countries such as
Indonesia. Many commenters assert that CITES and various regulations
provide adequate restrictions and requirements for the ornamental trade
of coral reef species, such that trade has much less of a negative
impact on the extinction risk of the 65 coral species than was
portrayed by the proposed rule and supporting documents. One commenter
also described Indonesia's development of regulations for their
mariculture industry that is helping to alleviate wild collection
pressures.
Response: In the proposed rule we described that there are some
protections afforded via CITES and various other national regulations
in some countries where trade of coral reef species is prevalent.
However, we agree that our evaluation of trade regulations was
incomplete. There are numerous challenges in documenting trends in
trade due to deficiencies of CITES import and export data, and the most
recent information is conflicting. Some reports state that 98 percent
of reef-building corals within the aquarium trade are still wild
collected, with only two percent originating from maricultured sources
(Thornhill, 2012). In contrast, another report shows that maricultured
corals accounted for approximately 20 percent of the trade in 2010
(Wood et al., 2012). Further, adequate tracking of wild and
maricultured corals along the supply chain from ocean to aquarium is
extremely difficult, yet necessary for determining the true dimensions
and impacts of the industry (Cohen et al., 2013). Additionally, the
level of wild collection of reef-building corals may be underestimated
due to an undocumented illegal trade and a significant amount of
mortality along the supply chain from reef to aquarium (Thornhill,
2012). There are many other issues and discrepancies related to
assessing the overall impacts of the trade and the adequacy of
regulations like CITES; however, collection and trade was ultimately
ranked as a low level threat to corals in general by the BRT and in the
proposed rule. Further, no one species of coral was determined to be
threatened or endangered solely due to the effects of the coral trade
industry, and that is still true for the final determinations in this
rule. Therefore, while we agree CITES provides some protections for
corals in the trade industry, we maintain that the threat from
collection and trade is low and does not dictate the listing status of
any individual species. In addition to public comments, we collected
some supplemental information on regulatory mechanisms for the global
marine ornamental trade industry, including details regarding trade of
both live and dead corals and other coral reef wildlife.
In light of the public comments and information we received
regarding the ornamental trade industry, the Threat Evaluation--
Collection and Trade sub-section discusses the trade and its impacts to
corals in detail, including information regarding the physical and
ecological impacts as a result of the collection process, advances in
aquaculture and mariculture industries, as well as issues and trends in
trade of both live and dead coral. Any species-specific information we
received on collection and trade is included in the Species-specific
Information and Determinations section.
Comments on Inadequacy of Existing Regulatory Mechanisms (ESA Factor D)
and Conservation Efforts
Comment 32: We received several comments that critiqued our
evaluation of local regulatory mechanisms and conservation efforts.
Some comments asserted that we failed to adequately consider the
beneficial effects of local management actions and conservation efforts
with regard to building reef resilience in the face of climate change.
For example, we received a comment letter that stated a broad consensus
exists for management to increase marine ecosystem resilience to
climate change by reducing local anthropogenic stressors and reduction
of these stressors may boost the ability of species, communities, and
ecosystems to tolerate climate-related stresses or recover after
impacts have occurred. Another commenter emphasized the importance of
local management for increasing coral reef resiliency, including
management of land-use changes and water quality, as well as utilizing
coral reef restoration techniques. Overall, these comments disagreed
with our characterization regarding the effectiveness of local
regulatory mechanisms and conservation efforts in the face of climate
change related threats and urged us to consider the concept of reef
resilience.
Response: We recognize that certain aspects of local management
actions and conservation efforts need more explanation than was
provided in the proposed rule and Management Report (NMFS, 2012b). This
final rule provides that additional explanation, as summarized here.
There is an emerging body of literature regarding the concept of reef
resilience, defined as an ecosystem's capacity to absorb recurrent
shocks or disturbances and adapt to change without compromising its
ecological function or structural integrity (Hughes et al., 2010;
Obura, 2005). Recent evidence suggests that managing local scale
disturbances for resilience will be crucial to maintaining complex,
bio-diverse coral reef ecosystems given the predicted widespread
impacts of climate change related threats (Anthony et al., 2011).
Therefore, we recognize that effective local laws and regulations
as well as conservation projects and programs may help reduce impacts
to corals and coral reefs from threats on an ecosystem level,
positively affecting the timeframe at which corals may become in danger
of extinction by providing a protective temporal buffer (i.e.,
resiliency) to individual coral species in the face of climate change
related threats. Some evidence suggests that local management actions,
particularly of fisheries (specifically, no-take marine reserves) and
watersheds, can delay reef loss by at least a decade under ``business-
as-usual'' rises in GHG emissions (Jackson et al., 2014; Kennedy et
al., 2013; Marshall and Schuttenberg, 2006; Mumby and Steneck, 2011).
However, many scientists strongly suggest that these local actions be
combined with a low-carbon economy to prevent further degradation of
reef structures and associated ecosystems (Kennedy et al., 2013).
We cannot definitively say whether and to what degree the presence
of regulations in a particular location is currently conferring
resilience benefits for any particular species. Overall, we agree that
local regulatory actions and conservation efforts to reduce threats are
imperative for resiliency of coral reef ecosystems in the face of
climate change. However, for purposes of evaluating the inadequacy of
regulatory mechanisms as well as conservation efforts under the ESA, we
are unable to definitively establish the current status and
effectiveness of local regulation of impacts from local threats for any
particular species in any given location, with the exception of local
regulatory mechanisms for Acropora palmata and A. cervicornis, which
were evaluated in detail in the 2005 status review for those species.
Further, we maintain that global regulations to reduce impacts from
climate change are inadequate at this time. For more detailed
information
[[Page 53866]]
about our evaluation of how local regulatory mechanisms relate to
building coral reef resilience, please refer to the Threats
Evaluation--Inadequacy of Existing Regulatory Mechanisms sub-section.
Likewise, for more detailed information about our evaluation of
conservation efforts please refer to the Conservation Efforts sub-
section.
Comment 33: We received some comments that disagreed with our
characterization of local regulatory mechanisms in general, asserting
that certain local laws are sufficient for protection of corals, thus
rendering additional protection via the ESA unnecessary. For example,
we heard from several commenters who believe there are adequate
regulations to prohibit the damage of reef-building corals, such that
additional protections from the ESA are redundant. We also received
comments that disagreed with our characterization of conservation
efforts. For example, we received a comment that disagreed with our
conclusion regarding conservation efforts, asserting that coral
conservation actions already have, and will continue to, contribute to
coral species recovery. Examples of conservation efforts that were not
included in the Final Management Report (FMR; NMFS, 2012b) include
ongoing coral reef restoration projects, specifically in Florida and
the wider-Caribbean, as well as aquaculture and mariculture efforts
both internationally (e.g., Indonesia) and within the United States to
try to alleviate wild collection pressure on coral reef ecosystems.
Comments urged us to take these efforts into consideration for
evaluating the status of the 65 corals in this final rule.
Response: We recognize that certain locations have effective local
laws, regulations, and programs that address local threats and provide
for the protection and conservation of coral species. For example, it
is illegal to collect or harvest reef-building coral species in all
U.S. states, territories, and commonwealths. Some laws even prohibit
harming any reef-building coral species through activities such as boat
groundings and impose penalties and fines for doing so. However, we
must evaluate whether regulatory mechanisms are inadequate for corals
across their entire ranges rather than in any one specific location.
Likewise, our analysis of conservation efforts must also include the
entirety of the species' ranges, and it must consider whether those
efforts will result in recovering the species to the point of
ameliorating threats throughout the species' range to such a degree
that a species should be listed as threatened rather than endangered or
even not at all. Therefore, we cannot solely consider whether
regulations or conservation efforts in the United States or any other
particular location are sufficient for reducing threats to corals. The
importance of global climate change-related threats to the extinction
risk of these corals makes it even more problematic to limit our
assessment of conservation efforts and the adequacy of regulatory
mechanisms to individual countries. For these corals, we are required
to consider the adequacy of regulatory mechanisms for reducing GHG
emissions and curbing the rate of global climate change.
For this final rule, we assessed regulatory mechanisms and
conservation efforts in a more species-specific approach. To better
capture the full breadth of existing regulatory mechanisms, in addition
to the individual country descriptions in the Final Management Report,
we re-characterized and summarized the presence of existing regulatory
mechanisms throughout all the countries in the range of each individual
species. The Inadequacy of Threats Evaluation--Existing Regulatory
Mechanisms sub-section provides more detailed information on that
range-wide evaluation process, as well as the Species Descriptions for
the results. For more detailed information about our evaluation of the
inadequacy of local management actions, please refer to the Threats
Evaluations--Inadequacy of Existing Regulatory Mechanisms sub-section.
For more detailed information about our evaluation of conservation
efforts, please refer to the Conservation Efforts sub-section of this
rule.
Comment 34: Several comments identified potential errors,
omissions, and/or inaccurate characterizations within the Final
Management Report (NMFS, 2012b). For example, we received a comment
letter pointing out several omissions and inaccuracies regarding
Federal management responsibilities for an extensive area of lands and
waters in the Pacific Ocean. Many other comments provided additional
laws, regulations, or conservation efforts that were not described in
the Final Management Report or identified previously during the public
engagement period during the summer of 2012. For example, one commenter
requested our inclusion of Guam Public law 24-87 that ensures Guam's
marine preserves are protected from recreational/commercial activities
that may prove detrimental to fragile ecosystems. Another commenter
pointed out that we omitted information regarding certain National
Wildlife Refuges and National Parks that include coral reefs. We also
received a public comment letter requesting us to consider information
regarding Indonesia's Coral Reef Rehabilitation and Management Program
as a conservation effort.
Response: We acknowledge that the Final Management Report had some
minor errors and omissions. However, it should be noted that the Final
Management Report was not intended to be an exhaustive document;
rather, it aimed to capture the breadth of existing regulatory
mechanisms and conservation efforts that may reduce threat impacts to
corals and coral reefs. Due to the immense number of regulatory
mechanisms that exist throughout the entire ranges of the 65 coral
species (i.e., 84 countries), the Management Report was not intended to
identify every individual law and regulation that may have an effect on
corals or their threats in every country within the species' ranges.
However, any additional laws and regulations that were brought to our
attention through the public comments were noted and considered in the
analysis of inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms presented in
this final rule under the Threats Evaluation--Inadequacy of Existing
Regulatory Mechanisms sub-section.
Comments on Risk Analyses
Comment 35: We received many comments regarding the composition of
the BRT. Some comments disagreed with the selection of BRT members,
asserting that because all seven members of the BRT were Federal
employees, non-Federal coral biologists with expertise in the field
within specific regions (e.g., Hawaii) were overlooked, thus casting
doubt on the qualifications of the BRT members and the results of the
status review. One comment suggested that the BRT member votes should
have been weighted to reflect their level of expertise in the different
types of corals undergoing review. Another comment stated that it would
not be possible for certain members of the BRT to act in a neutral or
unbiased manner because they are strong proponents of establishing
Marine Monuments, sanctuaries, and MPAs for the protection of coral
reef systems throughout the U.S. Pacific Islands. Yet another comment
stated there was no independent verification from experts who did not
have a stake in the Federal ESA listing processes.
Response: According to agency guidance, members of the BRT should
have expertise in the particular species'
[[Page 53867]]
biology, population dynamics or ecology, or other relevant disciplines
(e.g., ocean/environmental/climate processes, analytical techniques,
population genetics, extinction risk, or pertinent threats).
Additionally, NMFS must also consider team composition in light of the
Federal Advisory Committee Act (FACA). Generally, any committee or
group established for the purpose of providing consensus advice or
recommendations to a Federal agency is subject to the procedural
requirements of FACA. Biological Review Teams are subject to FACA
because their assessments constitute group advice upon which NMFS may
base its determinations as to whether to list species as endangered or
threatened under the ESA. Based on the requirements of FACA, the team
must therefore be composed of Federal officials and employees, and
specific classes of state employees, unless specifically exempted. As
such, the coral BRT was composed of seven Federal scientists from
NMFS's Pacific Islands, Northwest, and Southeast Fisheries Science
Centers and the U.S. Geological Survey and National Park Service. The
members of the BRT are a diverse group of scientists with expertise in
coral biology, coral ecology, coral taxonomy, physical oceanography,
global climate change, and coral population dynamics. Additionally, the
BRT consulted with numerous non-Federal scientists and subject matter
experts during the status review, and had their work peer reviewed, to
ensure the best available information was utilized in the SRR. These
subject matter experts are detailed in the Acknowledgements of the SRR.
Last, we provided extraordinary opportunities for non-Federal
scientists to provide their expertise prior to the publication of the
proposed rule, including two scientific workshops held in the summer of
2012. All information received was considered in the proposed rule.
Comment 36: We received numerous criticisms regarding the
evaluation methods used by the BRT. Many comments criticized the
Critical Risk Threshold voting method used by the BRT for developing
extinction risk values for the 82 corals within the proposed rule. Some
comments asserted that the voting process relied on subjective opinion
rather than scientific facts, while other comments stated that the
anonymous scoring system by the BRT could not truly be anonymous.
Still, other comments pointed out critical errors or flaws in the BRT's
methods. For example, one comment stated that ranking each coral
species relative to the rankings of other coral species does not inform
NMFS of the risk status of an individual coral species. Another comment
stated the Critical Risk Threshold graphs have an inappropriate and
misleading quantitative horizontal axis, which suggests higher threat
levels than estimated by the BRT. A couple of comments questioned the
assignment of levels of confidence in the outcomes of the BRT voting
process given the lack of information on which those outcomes were
based, noting there was not a high degree of certainty between the
experts.
Response: The voting methods used by the BRT are consistent with
previous agency listing determinations that utilized similar structured
decision making techniques. This approach is typically used when
quantitative modeling of extinction risk is not a viable option due to
a lack of precise quantitative population data. The BRT's voting relied
upon professional interpretation of the best available scientific
information at the time, including qualitative assessments. This
approach allowed the BRT to explicitly address various ranges of
uncertainty within their voting. We also emphasize that the
determinations in the proposed rule did not solely rely on information
within the SRR and the voting outcomes of the BRT. As described
previously in the proposed rule and throughout this final rule,
numerous sources of information were considered and incorporated in the
listing determination process, as described in explicit detail in the
Risk Analyses and Species-specific Information and Determinations
sections. Additionally, the ESA does not require quantitative precision
when estimating extinction risk and determining whether a species
warrants listing as threatened or endangered under the ESA. Rather, the
decision must be reasonable and based solely on the best scientific and
commercial information available at the time of the decision, even in
light of considerable uncertainty.
Comment 37: We received several comments that criticized how the
proposed rule and supporting documents inferred species'
characteristics based on genus-level information (i.e., the proposed
rule assumed that information for other species in the genus applied to
the proposed species in that genus). A few comments stated that the BRT
only considered threats to the taxonomic class and therefore it
conducted no individual species threat analysis for any of the
candidate coral species. Most comments stated that genus-level info on
response to threats, abundance, and other characteristics were
improperly extrapolated to species because there are numerous examples
in the literature in which ecological or physiological traits are not
consistent across species within a genus.
Response: In the proposed rule, we relied on higher taxonomic level
(i.e., genus or family) information for threats susceptibilities when
species-specific susceptibilities were not available. We acknowledge
that there is intra-genus or intra-family variability in response to
threats in many cases. In response to criticism of how the proposed
rule and supporting documents inferred species' characteristics based
on genus-level information, this final rule does not automatically
assume that genus-level information for other species in the genus
applies to the proposed species in that genus. Rather, a careful
analysis of genus-level information is incorporated into the Species-
specific Information and Determination sections below for each of the
21 genera in which the 65 species belong. That is, as a preface to the
Species-specific Information and Determinations for species in a genus,
this final rule includes a description of the available information for
other species in the genus that are not part of this final rule, and an
analysis of the degree of applicability of that information to the
species included in this final rule. Further, in no case in this final
rule do we extrapolate from family-level information.
Comment 38: We received multiple comments criticizing the
definition of ``foreseeable future'' in the proposed rule and
supporting documents out to the year 2100 because it is too far into
the future. One comment stated that climate change projections beyond
50 years have a high degree of uncertainty and may be impacted by
numerous unforeseen and unpredictable circumstances, and thus
identifying the foreseeable future as out to the year 2100 is not
appropriate. Another comment stated that our use of 2100 for the
foreseeable future is contrary to previous decisions made by FWS and
NMFS, and there have been no breakthroughs in climate modeling to
justify our new position on the reliability of long-term climate
modeling.
Response: Consistent with our practice for all species listing
determinations, we established that the appropriate period of time
corresponding to the foreseeable future is a function of the particular
type of threats, the life-history characteristics, and the specific
habitat requirements for the coral species under consideration.
[[Page 53868]]
The timeframe established for the foreseeable future considered the
time necessary to provide for the conservation and recovery of each
threatened species and the ecosystems upon which they depend. It was
also a function of the reliability of available data regarding the
identified threats and extends only as far as the data allow for making
reasonable predictions about the species' response to those threats. In
the proposed rule, we explained that our choice of the year 2100 as the
``foreseeable future'' for analysis of global climate change was based
on AR4's use of 2100 as the end-point for most of its global climate
change models. Similarly, most of AR5's WGI models also use 2100 as the
end-point (some models go beyond 2100) and AR5's WGI reinforces our
original rationale for defining the foreseeable future as the period of
time from the present to the year 2100. For global climate change
threats, there is strong support for considering the foreseeable future
as the period from the present to 2100 in AR5's WGI and its cited
literature (IPCC, 2013). However, we agree that the foreseeable future
for purposes of other threats to the species and the species' responses
thereto does not necessarily extend out to 2100. Therefore, in this
final rule, we clarify that 2100 simply marks the outer temporal bounds
for consideration of climate change-related threats, and does not frame
our analysis across all threats or our ultimate listing determinations.
Further discussion of the foreseeable future is presented in the
Foreseeable Future subsections of the Threats Evaluation and Risk
Analysis sections below.
Comment 39: There were many comments on the quantity and quality of
information used to make listing decisions for the candidate coral
species in the proposed rule. Several comments stated that the present
biological data do not support the proposed listings. They stated that
the available science was insufficient and not compelling enough to
demonstrate the need to make a decision under the ESA. A few comments
criticized the use of IUCN data as a surrogate for ``true scientific
data'' on species distribution and abundance. Many comments stated that
useful information was available, especially on coral trade and
mariculture, but the BRT did not use it, which led to serious errors in
the SRR. The study by Rhyne et al. (2012) was given as an example.
Other comments stated that there was little data regarding individual
species' population numbers and trends, so NMFS did not conduct the
species-specific analyses required under the ESA. In general, the
commenters indicated that the voting process by the BRT seemed very
subjective, with the results coming from the individual scientists'
perception of extinction rather than solid scientific data.
Response: The proposed rule and the SRR did conduct a species by
species analysis of extinction risk for each of the candidate corals.
However, in the proposed rule, the presentation of the information on
which we based our determinations may have been unclear because of our
use of the Determination Tool as an organizational mechanism to present
the enormous amount of data. In response to criticism of the lack of
sufficient species-specific information in the proposed rule and
supporting documents on distribution, abundance, threat
susceptibilities, and other information, this final rule clarifies and
explains how the information relating to the taxonomic, field
identification, distribution, abundance, life history, threat
susceptibilities, and management information for each of the 65 coral
species were evaluated in reaching the final listing determinations.
The presentation of the information includes the information on which
the proposed rule was based, information submitted by public comments,
and information we gathered after the proposed rule published. The
information was also analyzed in an integrated, non-formulaic framework
instead of in a linear, formulaic framework as it was in the
Determination Tool. The resulting information provides the basis for
the 65 listing determinations in this final rule. In addition, while
IUCN listings were used by the petitioner as one criterion for
selecting coral species in the original 2009 petition, and IUCN maps
were used in the 2011 SRR, no IUCN data or information is used in this
final rule because it does not represent the current best available
species-specific information. To explain more clearly the changes from
the proposed to the final listings, we included an Overview of Methods
and Key Changes Applied in Final Determination Framework sub-section
within the Risk Analyses section to illustrate how all of the available
information was considered for each species and how it contributed to
each species' listing status. As a result, the 65 species-specific
determinations below are based on the best available species-specific
information and improves upon the proposed rule.
Comment 40: We received a couple of comments disagreeing with the
characterization of the level of extinction risk inherent for a species
due to its occurrence in the Caribbean. One comment stated that the
BRT's determination that the entire Caribbean is sufficiently limited
in geographic scale to be a factor that increases the extinction risk
of all corals in the Caribbean is at odds with genetic data. The
commenter provided references (Baums et al., 2005b; Baums et al.,
2006a; Murdoch and Aronson, 1999; Vollmer and Palumbi, 2007) that show
that, while it is clear that regional-scale processes such as bleaching
and disease are acting on all these reefs simultaneously, no two reefs
or areas respond the same to these disturbances. Another comment
asserted that no threat to Caribbean Acropora is imminent, and
therefore endangered listings are not supportable for these species.
Response: Geographic distribution is one of many factors we must
evaluate to determine a species' status. We agree with commenters that
an inherent increase in extinction risk solely due to occurrence in the
Caribbean is not accurate; rather, the ratings in the Determination
Tool regarding basin occupancy were an inadvertent function of
comparing the Caribbean basin to the Indo-Pacific basin. That is, the
automatic increase in extinction risk for species occurring in the
smaller, more disturbed Caribbean was only relative in comparison to
species occurring in the larger, less disturbed Indo-Pacific. In light
of public comments, we determined that absolute range size in both the
Caribbean and Indo-pacific was inadvertently under-estimated in the
proposed rule. As a result, we now give consideration to geographic
distribution in terms of absolute size rather than relative size in
both the Caribbean and Indo-Pacific. We still maintain that the
Caribbean is a highly disturbed basin that has experienced loss of
resilience; however, the reconsideration of absolute distribution
represents one piece of a more holistic approach to linking each
species' characteristics to each species' status. The implications of
occurrence in the Caribbean and more detailed descriptions of
geographic ranges and how they may affect extinction risk are now
provided in more detail for all species individually in the Risk
Analyses and Species-specific Information and Determinations sections
below.
We also explicitly incorporated consideration of regional and local
variability in response to threats. We have also endeavored to provide
a clearer discussion of how we assessed the vulnerability of each coral
species, not just the Caribbean Acropora, to the major threats. The
evolution of the
[[Page 53869]]
Determination Tool into a more comprehensive Determination Framework is
described in the Risk Analyses section of this final rule below.
Comments on the Determination Tool
Comment 41: Commenters criticized that the Determination Tool
equated species' characteristics to outcomes without adequate
rationale. For example, one commenter stated that the Determination
Tool suffers from a lack of transparency because we did not provide any
information regarding how the rating values in the Determination Tool
were assigned, who made the determinations, what their expertise was,
or on what basis the decisions were made.
Several comments stated that the Determination Tool's decision
points and resulting outcomes depended on species-specific information
that was not available. For example, one commenter asserted that there
is little to no experimental data provided in the proposed rule
documentation to support the ratings used in the Determination Tool.
Another commenter noted that there is almost no information on many of
the species' abundances, geographic ranges, trends or recruitment
rates, and that the ratings for these were based solely on qualitative
opinion. Similarly, another commenter used ocean acidification as an
example, stating that due to the large degree of uncertainty regarding
the impacts of ocean acidification on coral species it is difficult to
quantify the level of risk ocean acidification poses to the species.
The commenter concluded by stating that assigning levels of ocean
acidification-associated risk within the Determination Tool is a
difficult proposition. Another commenter deemed the Determination Tool
analysis and results arbitrary. The commenter stated that the analysis
and results of the Determination Tool were based on the same faulty
assumptions, extrapolations, assessments, and approximations of the
seven BRT members and were based on very little, if any, species-
specific spatial distribution or abundance data for a number of the
proposed species.
Commenters claimed the Determination Tool was flawed and equated
species' characteristics to listing outcomes too conservatively,
especially for proposed endangered species. We received a detailed
comment letter that outlined several criticisms of the Determination
Tool and its four elements with regard to species outcomes. The
Determination Tool was labeled faulty because it was deemed inherently
biased towards listing. The commenter criticized that the first element
in the Determination Tool was just a re-hash of the BRT's highly
subjective ranking of threats and vulnerabilities. The commenter also
asserted that nowhere in the four elements of the Determination Tool is
there a discussion of imminence or a discussion of why we considered a
species that meets any of the four factors to be ``on the brink'' of
extinction. The commenter asserted that we not only failed to adhere to
the legal standard of endangered, but we did so on extremely poor
evidence. Further, the commenter criticized the results of the BRT
voting as well as the Determination Tool for ranking each of the coral
species' in a relative fashion, and as a result, asserted that our
approach in determining extinction risk for each species was flawed.
Several comments pointed out additional perceived flaws in the
Determination Tool. For example, one commenter stated that the
Determination Tool dismissed the potential benefits of management
efforts. Another commenter noted that the Determination Tool did not
incorporate or consider projections of adaptation potential over the
foreseeable future (i.e., 2100). More specifically, the commenter
asserted that the Determination Tool did not sufficiently consider the
ability of corals to migrate (i.e., undergo range expansion/shift) and
adapt to changing conditions, especially when local stressors are well
managed. One commenter also suggested that the Determination Tool
conflicted with the SRR (e.g., by giving too much weight to
distribution when the range maps that the BRT relied upon were not
precise). Similarly, commenters also criticized us for overemphasizing
the importance of qualitative rankings for species' abundance (e.g.,
common, uncommon, rare) in the Determination Tool, stating that a coral
species' rarity does not necessarily correspond to its vulnerability to
extinction.
Response: We acknowledge that several aspects of the process by
which we produced our determinations in the proposed rule were not
described or explained clearly enough. The Determination Tool in the
proposed rule was a central aspect of a larger overall framework for
making our decisions, as it organized and standardized our presentation
of the risk factors, but we acknowledge that the larger determination
framework was not sufficiently explained in the proposed rule. This
lack of a clear explanation led to an overemphasis on and
misunderstanding of the Determination Tool, which was one component of
the determination framework. To better explain how the Determination
Tool assessed risk and derived listing statuses we conclude that, as
some public comments suggested, the Determination Tool was too linear
and deterministic. We describe our final determination framework in
greater detail in the Risk Analyses--Final Determination Framework sub-
section below, and utilize a more holistic approach in considering all
of the available information for each species. As described in that
section, the non-formulaic approach used in this final rule, is more
species-specific, and allowed us to address the concern that sufficient
species-specific information was not available.
In summary, the Final Determination Framework in this final rule is
composed of seven elements. The first element is describing the
statutory standards for corals. The second, third, fourth, and fifth
elements are identifying and analyzing all the appropriate species-
specific and general characteristics that influence extinction risk for
a coral species. The sixth element is relating a species'
characteristics to a particular extinction risk at appropriate spatial
and temporal scales. The seventh element is explicitly stating how each
species' extinction risk meets the statutory listing definitions as
applied to corals, resulting in an ultimate listing status. As a last
consideration, we determine if any conservation efforts are abating the
threats to the species such that it changes the individual species'
listing status (i.e., an endangered species' extinction risk is reduced
such that it is threatened or that a threatened species is not
warranted). This method of implementing our Final Determination
Framework for every species individually is intended to be more
transparent, by showing how complete use is made of available
information to reach individual listing decisions.
We believe that there is still significant value in applying a
standardized framework to each of the species to ensure consistency
throughout the 65 individual determinations, but now do that in a
narrative fashion in which there are no recipes or formulas for
endangered, threatened, and not warranted species. This approach allows
for the consideration of the system as a whole (i.e., synergistically
evaluating each species' demography, spatial characteristics, threat
susceptibilities, and current and future environmental conditions
independently of the other species), leading us to species-specific
[[Page 53870]]
conclusions about vulnerability to extinction.
In response to the criticism that the Determination Tool did not
appropriately evaluate the imminence of danger of extinction in
proposing to list corals as endangered, in this final rule we more
fully explain the biological characteristics and distinctions between
endangered and threatened corals, and corals not warranting listing
under the ESA, and relate each species' particular characteristics to
one of those classifications. These characteristics and the
distinctions between them as they relate to the three ESA
classifications are explained in the Statutory Standards sub-section of
the Risk Analyses section.
Comments on Significant Portion of Its Range (SPOIR)
Comment 42: We received one comment regarding the identification of
a significant portion of its range to support not warranted
determinations for the proposed coral species found in Hawaii. The
commenter asserted that the species of corals proposed for listing in
Hawaii are abundant, relatively healthy, and relatively insulated from
impacts of the primary identified threats. As a result, the species
will presumably persist in Hawaii, despite more immediate threats in
other portions of their ranges, ultimately preventing the species from
going extinct. Thus, the commenter argues that a significant portion of
its range should be identified for these species, rendering the species
not warranted for listing.
Response: The commenter misunderstands the function of the SPOIR
analysis. As discussed in the Statutory Standard sub-section below, a
SPOIR analysis is performed to ensure that a species that has been
found not to be endangered or threatened based on the range-wide
analysis is still considered for listing if any portions of its range
meet the criteria of the SPOIR Final Policy. Therefore, the function of
a SPOIR is not to avoid a listing but to still consider a listing. In
any case, as described in the Risk Analyses section below, the results
of our analysis of SPOIR are unchanged from the proposed rule, after
considering all comments and supplemental information. At this time, no
SPOIR is determinable for any of the proposed species. Thus, our
analysis of each species at the range-wide level is determinative, and
no portions of the range require further examination. Nevertheless, we
agree with the general underlying premise of the comment, which is that
if a species has significant areas of refugia or diversity of habitat,
those are factors that provide additional buffering against extinction
risk. We have incorporated that consideration in the final rule through
our Final Determination Framework and species-specific evaluations.
Comments on Listing Determinations
Comment 43: We received numerous comments referring to the actual
listing determinations of the 82 candidate coral species in the
proposed rule. Many of those comments referred to specific coral
species and to specific aspects of those species determinations. Those
comments are discussed in detail in the Caribbean Species: Listing
Determinations, Indo-Pacific Species: Listing Determinations, and
Reclassification of Acropora palmata and A. cervicornis comment
response sections below. The other comments regarding listing
determinations centered on the lack of species-specific information on
which the species determinations were based. Some comments were very
skeptical that the assumptions being made from limited scientific
information on individual coral species, which the proposed rule
recognized, could justify the listing proposals. These commenters
asserted that further studies and surveys should be performed to gather
factual and relevant data on the status of the coral species, which
could potentially change the assumptions used to make the listing
determinations. Some comments specifically stated that a much better
understanding of the global distribution and abundance of the species,
including developing better species distribution maps, is critical to
making an informed listing decision. Yet other comments stated that the
proposed rule did not take into account the variability of response to
threats that corals can have based on species, location, habitat type,
and other factors that define an individual coral. Other comments
suggested that NMFS was using global climate predictions as a
substitute measure for species population and distribution information
for listing purposes.
Response: We recognize that species-specific information was fairly
limited for many of the proposed species. However, since the proposed
rule was published, we have received or collected information for all
species, including supplemental distribution and abundance information
for 63 of the 65 species in this final rule as a result of the data
collection effort by Veron (2014). In addition to updating all of the
general information regarding coral reef biology, ecology, demography,
and threat susceptibilities, we also incorporated this supplemental
information in our discussions in the individual species-specific
listing determinations in that section of this final rule. In light of
the supplemental species-specific information, and the change to a more
holistic and species-specific determination framework, we considered
the ability of each species' distribution and abundance traits to
affect vulnerability to extinction in the context of the statutory
definitions of threatened and endangered for each species. In most
cases, this consideration led to changes in listing status from the
proposed rule. These species-specific assessments consider all of the
public comments and available information for each species and provide
a detailed description of what is and is not known for each species,
including susceptibilities to all identified threats and vulnerability
to extinction
Comment 44: We received several letters alerting us to an extensive
ongoing effort by coral expert, Dr. J.E.N. ``Charlie'' Veron, to gather
previously unpublished information for all reef-building corals of the
world, including the 65 corals in this final rule. The resulting report
(Veron, 2014) updates species-specific information on semi-quantitative
(i.e., survey data from 2,984 individual sites) and qualitative
population abundance estimates (i.e., Veron's subjective estimates
covering a full range of habitats and most ecoregions the author has
worked in), geographic distribution, principle habitat, and
identification issues. Comments stated that given the lack of species-
specific information on quantitative abundances and geographic
distribution for most of our Indo-Pacific species, this effort proves
extremely relevant to our listing decisions within this final rule.
Response: We agree with comments that information from Veron (2014)
supplemented the existing species-specific information relied on in the
proposed rule and that this information is relevant to the
determinations made in this final rule. Thus, the supplemental
information received in the report (Veron, 2014) was made available to
the public on NOAA's Web site, and has been incorporated into the
Species-specific Information and Determinations section for the 63
species covered in the report, Veron (2014) does not cover non-
scleractinian corals in his report, and thus did not provide
information for the Millepora species in this final rule).
[[Page 53871]]
Comments on Alternatives To Listing Under the ESA
Comment 45: We received several comments that suggested
alternatives to ESA listing such as Candidate Conservation Agreements
(CCAs), adding the proposed corals to the Species of Concern list, and
extending the time period in which to make a determination to allow for
the gathering of additional scientific data. One commenter suggested
using CCAs, citing lack of species-specific information and other
concerns as justification. Comments also asserted that because NOAA has
no authority under the ESA to protect corals from climate change, CCAs
could provide the same conservation benefits as ESA listings.
Response: While we acknowledge that CCAs provide conservation value
for candidate species, no such agreements exist for any of the proposed
species. Therefore, we are unable to determine a species' status on the
basis of the conservation provided by a CCA. Further, in the
Conservation Efforts section we determined that there are no
conservation efforts currently or planned in the future that are
expected to improve the overall status of any of the 65 coral species
in this final rule, such that the additional protections provided by
the ESA are not warranted.
We also considered the potential for utilizing the Species of
Concern designation, which was suggested in lieu of ESA listings due to
a lack of species-specific information and taxonomic uncertainty. This
designation can be used if we decide a species is not warranted for
listing under the ESA because we are unable to confidently assess the
level of extinction risk, even qualitatively. Ultimately, based on the
best available scientific information, we concluded that all 65 corals
within this final rule are determinable species under the ESA. We also
concluded that we have enough information to qualitatively assess the
level of extinction risk and make listing determinations for most of
the 65 species in this final rule with some degree of confidence. The
species that are determined to be not warranted for listing due to a
lack of sufficient information to assess their status are clearly
described as such in the individual species determinations. Those
species may be considered for inclusion on the Species of Concern list
after this listing rule becomes final.
Extending the time period in which to make final species
determinations in order to collect more scientific data is not
permissible under the ESA. We are required to use the best scientific
and commercial data available within the applicable statutory
timeframes for responding to petitions, as the basis for our final
determinations.
Comment 46: We received comments that criticized our proposed
determinations due to their assumed inconsistency with other recent
agency decisions, such as the Not Warranted bumphead parrotfish 12-
month finding, and the negative Alaska deep-sea corals 90-day finding.
Comments cited a lack of adequate species-specific information and
taxonomic uncertainty as justification for the previous not warranted
and negative determinations for bumphead parrotfish and Alaskan corals,
and claimed that the proposed rule for the 68 reef-building corals
suffers from the same level of uncertainty. Comments thus concluded
that NOAA's decision to propose 68 reef-building corals for listing
under the ESA is inconsistent with previous agency decisions and that
there is a lack of adequate species-specific information to proceed
with final listings.
Response: We respond to each petition based on the information
presented within that petition and, if we conduct a status review, on
the best scientific and commercial information available for each
petitioned species at the time. We disagree that this final rule for 65
reef-building corals is inconsistent with our previous Not Warranted
12-month finding for the bumphead parrotfish. Primary threats to
bumphead parrotfish, a coral reef-associated fish, were determined to
be adult harvest and juvenile habitat loss. As a result of a thorough
status review, the bumphead parrotfish received a Not Warranted
determination largely due to its current abundance, life history,
existing local management in the form of spear fishing regulations, and
protections for mangrove habitat. Overall, the differences between
bumphead parrotfish and the reef-building corals in this final rule are
vast; however, we have complied with the requirements set forth under
the ESA in each case.
Likewise, we disagree that this final rule is inconsistent with the
negative 90-day finding for 44 Alaska deep-sea corals. The Alaska deep-
sea coral species are non-reef building and exhibit many different
characteristics than shallow-water tropical corals, which have been
comparatively well researched. The Alaska corals were petitioned due to
climate change related threats, as well as physical threats from
commercial fisheries. NOAA considered these factors, but found that
there are no empirical studies that have shown harmful effects of
climate change related threats to these deep-sea corals or to similar
corals in the area. Additionally, ocean acidification research cited in
the petition was conducted on mostly tropical, reef-building corals
that are very different from deep-sea corals; no inference could be
made about the potential effects to the status of deep-sea corals from
this information. Finally, there have been large swaths of fishing
ground closures in Alaska since 2005 and NOAA determined that these
closures were sufficient for protecting deep-water corals from bottom-
contact fishing activities. Overall, differences between the Alaska
deep-water corals and the reef-building corals in this final rule are
vast; however, we have complied with the requirements set forth under
the ESA in each case.
Comments on Caribbean Species: Listing Determinations
Comment 47: We received some comments that expressed disagreement
with our proposed threatened determinations for some Caribbean species.
For example, one comment disagreed with our proposed threatened listing
of Dichocoenia stokesi, citing the following as justification: Large
population numbers (even after the White Plague Type II epidemic),
broad distribution among multiple habitat types (especially hard-bottom
habitats), high relative abundance among all corals in the region, and
the presently low prevalence of White Plague Type II. Another comment
stated that D. stokesi is among the most common species in Florida, and
that population estimates approached 100 million colonies in 2005, with
no apparent downward trend. In addition, we received comments about the
proposed threatened determination for Agaricia lamarcki. Comments
argued that due to potentially larger populations not yet surveyed in
deeper waters, the threatened status for A. lamarcki is not warranted.
Many comments disagreed with the proposed endangered determinations for
the Orbicella (formerly Montastraea) annularis complex (i.e., O.
annularis, O. faveolata, and O. franksi). One comment provided
information from van Woesik et al. (2012) as justification for listing
O. annularis complex as threatened rather than endangered. Other
comments submitted a technical report (Miller et al., 2013) from the
Nova Southeastern University on population abundance estimates and
trends for the Caribbean coral species in the Florida Keys, in
opposition to all proposed endangered listing determinations, including
the proposed endangered determinations for the Orbicella species as
well as
[[Page 53872]]
Dendrogyra cylindrus and Mycetophyllia ferox. Miller et al. (2013)
provided recommended changes to the proposed listing statuses for each
of the proposed Caribbean species using their population and
distribution estimates as support. We received other comment letters
that also noted the large population abundances of several of the
Caribbean species, despite some local declines (i.e., O. annularis and
O. faveolata). One comment also noted that for five of the Caribbean
species (i.e., O. franksi, D. cylindrus, M. ferox, D. stokesi, and A.
lamarcki) there is a complete lack of population data to support ESA
listings. We also received information regarding the ecology of O.
annularis and O. faveolata in opposition to their proposed endangered
determinations, but supporting threatened listings. One comment argued
that the total population number estimates of these two species are
very large and that, in light of their broad depth ranges and multi-
habitat distributions, these species are relatively resistant (in
ecologic time) to extinction. Accordingly, the comment asserted that
these species' potential listing is contrary to their ecology,
especially in light of their remaining substantial population numbers
both in Florida and throughout their range.
Response: Since the proposed rule was published, we received and
collected supplemental information for all the Caribbean species,
including updated distribution and abundance information. Therefore, we
updated and expanded our individual species-specific descriptions in
the Species-specific Information and Determinations section for all 65
reef-building corals within this final rule. These species-specific
assessments consider the public comments and available information for
each species, and explain what is and is not known for each species,
including susceptibilities to the identified threats and overall
vulnerability to extinction. Further, as described in earlier comment
responses, we now more fully consider the ability of abundance,
distribution and habitat heterogeneity to affect vulnerability to
extinction in the context of the statutory definitions of threatened
and endangered as applied to corals. The reconsiderations of the
spatial and demographic factors contributed to changes in all the
Caribbean species' statuses in this final rule. Thus, as described in
detail in the Species-specific Information and Determinations section,
based on the public comments, best available information, and the Final
Determination Framework, we are revising our proposal to list O.
annularis, O. faveolata, O. franksi, D. cylindrus, and M. ferox as
endangered species. Our final determination for these species is to
list them as threatened species. We have determined D. stokesi and A.
lamarcki do not warrant listing.
Comments on Indo-Pacific Species: Listing Determinations
Comment 48: We received several comments regarding our proposed
threatened and endangered determinations for various Indo-Pacific
species. Several comments disagreed with our proposed threatened
determinations for the Hawaiian Montipora clades (M. dilitata/
flabellata/turgescens and M. patula/verrilli). As described in more
detail below, comments disagreed with the status of these clades and
suggested they be assessed individually rather than lumped into groups
(see Comment 49 below for more details). Taxonomic uncertainty as it
relates to the Genus Montipora and the decision to lump these two
groups of species is addressed in more detail in the response to
comments on taxonomic uncertainty (Comment 3 above). Comments also
asserted that the Montipora clades not only have significantly large
geographic ranges, but also include some of the most common coral
species in Hawaii, thus rendering these clades not warranted for
threatened listing. We received many other comments that disagreed with
the proposed threatened determinations for a number of the Indo-Pacific
coral species, but we did not receive any additional substantive
information or data for consideration of those arguments.
One commenter provided information regarding the proposed
endangered status of Pocillopora elegans in the Eastern Pacific.
Evidence from southwestern Nicaragua suggests that P. elegans has
undergone extensive mortality, with only a few fragmented and small
colonies persisting. The data provided, while limited, supports a wider
body of evidence suggesting particular vulnerability of P. elegans in
the Eastern Pacific Ocean. However, as described above in Comments on
Taxonomic Uncertainty in Reef-building Corals, new information on
Pocillopora species has resulted in our determination that P. elegans
is not determinable under the ESA.
The main argument against our proposed endangered determinations
for Indo-Pacific species is a lack of adequate species-specific
information to support an endangered status. For example, one comment
letter noted the percentage of references used in the SRR that provided
species-specific information for each of the proposed endangered
species (e.g., only two percent, 5.9 percent and 9.4 percent of the
references used in the SRR provided species-specific information for
Acropora rudis, Acropora lokani, and Acropora jacquelineae,
respectively). We also received comments regarding the proposed
endangered determinations for various Acropora species, particularly A.
lokani and A. jacquelineae. For example, one comment emphasized the
lack of adequate data for the proposed endangered determination of A.
jacquelineae, citing questionable taxonomic status and lack of density
estimates and distribution information. Likewise, another comment
criticized the proposed endangered determination for A. lokani, stating
that there is virtually no published information available for this
species. Another comment letter recommended threatened designations for
A. jacquelineae, A. lokani, and A. rudis rather than endangered, based
on van Woesik et al. (2012), and stated that Euphyllia paradivisa
absolutely does not warrant endangered status. We received other
comments in disagreement with our proposed endangered determinations,
but they did not include any other substantive information or data to
consider.
Response: We recognize that species-specific information was
limited for many of the Indo-Pacific species. Since the proposed rule
was published, however, we have received or collected supplemental
information for several species, including updated distribution and
abundance information for 63 of the 65 species in this final rule as a
result of the data collection effort by Veron (2014). As a result, we
substantially updated and expanded our individual species-specific
descriptions in the Species-specific Information and Determinations
section for all 65 reef-building corals within this final rule. These
species-specific assessments consider all of the public comments and
available information for each species, and provide a detailed
description of what is and is not known for each species, including
vulnerabilities to all identified threats.
Comment 49: We received some comments that provided species-
specific information for various Indo-Pacific species that is being
applied in this final rule. The species-specific information we
received predominantly relates to relative abundance and geographic
distributions. We specifically received comments on abundance for the
following Indo-
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Pacific species: Acropora aspera, Porites nigrescens, Acropora diversa,
and Isopora cuneata. We specifically received comments on distribution
for the following Indo-Pacific species: Alveopora allingi, Acropora
palmerae, Acropora paniculata, Acropora jacquelineae, Acropora rudis,
Euphyllia paradivisa, Acanthastrea brevis, Acanthastrea ishigakiensis,
Acanthastrea regularis, Acropora globiceps, Acropora lokani, Acropora
striata, Alveopora fenestrata, Alveopora verilliana, Astreopora
cucullata, Barabattoia laddi, Euphyllia paraancora, Millepora tuberosa,
Pavona diffluens, Pocillopora danae, Acropora verweyi, and the
Montipora clades that are discussed in more detail below. We received
several detailed comment letters that provided species-specific
information regarding the Hawaiian Montipora clades (i.e., Montipora
dilatata/flabellata/turgescens and Montipora patula/verrilli). Several
of the comments provided references to journal articles or other
reports as new species-specific information. Some of those references
were already available to NMFS and some constituted supplemental
information we did not consider in the proposed rule. We received three
comments specific to genetics of Indo-Pacific species specifically
referring to Pavona species at mesophotic depths and to Pocillopora
species. Species-specific comments regarding taxonomy were specific to
Acropora acuminata, Acropora paniculata, and Acropora polystoma.
Comments with species-specific information on threat vulnerabilities
applied to Acropora aculeus, Acropora aspera, Acropora paniculata,
Acropora polystoma, Montipora patula, Montipora flabellata, Pocillopora
elegans, Porites horizontalata, and Seriatopora aculeata.
Response: Overall, most of the supplemental information we received
for the Indo-Pacific species was specific to certain geographic
locations; however, we must evaluate the status of the species
throughout the entirety of their ranges. As described in earlier
comment responses, we now more fully consider the ability of spatial
and demographic traits, as well as the heterogeneous habitats occupied
by all of the Indo-Pacific species, to affect vulnerability to
extinction in the context of the statutory definitions of threatened
and endangered for each species. For many of the Indo-Pacific species,
their geographic ranges include waters between the east coast of Africa
and French Polynesia. As described in detail in the Species-specific
Information and Determinations section, based on the Final
Determination Framework and supplemental information, we are
maintaining our proposals to list Acropora globiceps, Acropora
pharaonis, Acropora retusa, Acropora speciosa, Acropora tenella,
Isopora crateriformis, Montipora australiensis, Pavona diffluens,
Porites napopora, and Seriatopora aculeata as threatened in this final
rule. Five Indo-Pacific coral species determinations changed from
endangered in the proposed rule to threatened in the final rule:
Acropora jacquelineae, Acropora lokani, Acropora rudis, Anacropora
spinosa, and Euphyllia paradivisa. Forty Indo-Pacific coral species'
determinations changed from threatened in the proposed rule to not
warranted in the final rule: Acanthastrea brevis, Acanthastrea
hemprichii, Acanthastrea ishigakiensis, Acanthastrea regularis,
Acropora aculeus, Acropora acuminata, Acropora aspera, Acropora
dendrum, Acropora donei, Acropora horrida, Acropora listeri, Acropora
microclados, Acropora palmerae, Acropora paniculata, Acropora
polystoma, Acropora striata, Acropora vaughani, Acropora verweyi,
Alveopora allingi, Alveopora fenestrata, Alveopora verrilliana,
Anacropora puertogalerae, Astreopora cucullata, Barabattoia laddi,
Caulastrea echinulata, Euphyllia cristata, Euphyllia paraancora,
Isopora cuneata, Millepora tuberosa, Montipora angulata, Montipora
calcarea, Montipora caliculata, Montipora dilatata/flabellata/
turgescens, Montipora lobulata, Montipora patula/verrilli, Pachyseris
rugosa, Pectinia alcicornis, Physogyra lichtensteini, Porites
horizontalata, and Porites nigrescens. Finally, Millepora foveolata
changed from endangered in the proposed rule to not warranted in the
final rule.
Last, as described in Comment 2, three coral species determinations
changed from endangered or threatened in the proposed rule to not
determinable in the final rule: Pocillopora elegans (eastern Pacific)
warranted listing as endangered in the proposed rule but was considered
not determinable in the final rule, and Pocillopora danae and
Pocillopora elegans (Indo-Pacific) warranted listing as threatened in
the proposed rule but were considered not determinable in the final
rule.
Comments on Reclassification of Acropora palmata and Acropora
cervicornis
Comment 50: Several comments disagreed with our proposal to
reclassify the Caribbean species A. cervicornis and A. palmata from
threatened to endangered. Most comments agreed with the current status
of threatened for the Caribbean acroporid species. Many comments cited
increasing abundances, recovering populations, and significant advances
in active restoration projects as justification for not reclassifying
them as endangered. One comment opposed the proposed reclassification,
citing population numbers (Miller et al., 2013), genetic diversity
(Hemond and Vollmer, 2010), forward-looking population models and
extinction models based on paleontological data (van Woesik et al.,
2012), and a better understanding of the causes of and resistance to
mortality (Kline and Vollmer, 2011; Vollmer and Kline, 2008) as
justification. Comments also stated that there has been no significant
change in the population status of the acroporids since their initial
listing in 2006, and populations are relatively stable and recovering
in some areas. One commenter also emphasized that A. cervicornis in
particular does not warrant endangered listing status due to its
presence throughout its entire biogeographical range, population
expansion northward in south Florida, and its ability to still
reproduce sexually. One commenter asserted that reclassifying the
Caribbean Acropora species to endangered is not warranted because the
threats to these species are not imminent. Additionally, many comments
cited the growing number of successful restoration projects throughout
southeast Florida and the Caribbean (Hollarsmith et al., 2012; Johnson
et al., 2011; Young et al., 2012) that continue to aid in conservation
of acroporids and help recover genetically viable populations. Overall,
comments suggest the Caribbean acroporids should remain threatened
under the ESA, and do not warrant reclassification to endangered
status. However, we did receive one comment letter in support of the
reclassifications for the Caribbean acroporids.
Response: As described previously, we have revised and provided a
clearer explanation of our decision-making framework to further
strengthen our final listing determinations. As with all other species
in this final rule, we updated all of the general information regarding
coral reef biology, ecology, demography, and threat susceptibilities
relevant to the Caribbean acroporids, and thus we substantially updated
and expanded our individual species-specific descriptions for these
species in the Species-specific Information and Determinations section.
Further, as previously described in earlier comment responses, we more
fully consider in
[[Page 53874]]
this final rule the ability of spatial and demographic traits, as well
as habitat heterogeneity, to affect vulnerability of the Caribbean
acroporids to extinction in the context of the statutory definitions of
threatened and endangered for corals.
We also carefully considered the significant progress of active
restoration projects in the state of Florida and the wider-Caribbean.
We agree that these efforts confer conservation and potential recovery
benefits for the species; however, these efforts, to date, are very
limited in scale compared to the species ranges and should not be
considered a panacea for conserving and recovering the Caribbean
acroporids. The Conservation Efforts section of this rule provides more
information on active coral reef restoration efforts. As described in
detail in the Species-specific Information and Determinations section,
based on the Final Determination Framework and supplemental
information, we are changing our proposal to reclassify A. palmata and
A. cervicornis as endangered species. Acropora palmata and A.
cervicornis will remain listed as threatened species.
Comments on Effects of Listing
Comment 51: We received several comments that described potential
negative effects that could result from ESA coral listings. These
include regulatory burdens in the form of permit applications and other
various paperwork, consultations and biological opinions, postponement
of in-water maintenance activities, and increased costs associated with
harbor improvement projects. We also received numerous comments
expressing concern about impacts to cultural practices as a result of
listing, including native artists' livelihoods, reef access by
indigenous peoples, fishing, lime production, customary navigation and
seafaring, and specifically native Hawaiian recreational and cultural
practices, and the cultural needs and practices of American Samoa. One
comment expressed concern that reclassifying A. palmata and A.
cervicornis from threatened to endangered will impede ongoing
restoration and recovery efforts. We received one comment encouraging
NMFS to make sure we have adequate staff to carry out the additional
workload associated with ESA Section 7 consultations for any coral
species that are listed in this final rule.
Response: The ESA explicitly restricts the factors that can be
considered in listing decisions. Listing decisions can be based solely
on the best scientific and commercial data available, after conducting
a status review and taking conservation measures into account.
Therefore, comments relevant to the proposed listing include those
comments that provide additional substantive information regarding
whether a species is in danger of extinction or likely to become so in
the foreseeable future (e.g., the biology, status, and/or threats to
the species, evaluation methodologies, effectiveness of conservation
measures, accuracy and comprehensiveness of best available information,
etc.). We are unable to consider other types of comments in a listing
determination (e.g., socio-economic or policy impacts). However, after
we implement the final listings, we will work with our stakeholders and
affected entities to reduce the impact of the listings while still
providing for the conservation of the listed corals.
Comments on Critical Habitat
Comment 52: We received three comments related to critical habitat.
One commenter offered to provide information to assist in the economic
analysis required for critical habitat designation. A second commenter
proposed the use of NOAA benthic habitat maps to define areas of
critical habitat for listed corals and requested reconsideration of
designated critical habitat for Acropora palmata and Acropora
cervicornis. A third commenter requested to be consulted during
critical habitat designation to ensure the operation of their
facilities would not be affected.
Response: The comments summarized above do not provide substantive
information to help inform the final species determinations. NMFS is
required to designate critical habitat at the time of final rule
publication, unless we determine that critical habitat is
undeterminable at that time. Below, we discuss our determination that
critical habitat is not currently determinable for the species being
newly listed through this final rule. Designation of critical habitat
will occur via a separate rule-making process once this final rule is
published, which will include opportunities for public participation
and input. As such, the comments described above are noted but are not
responded to further in this final rule.
Comments on ESA Section 9 Take Prohibitions
Comment 53: We received 12 comments specific to ESA 4(d) rule-
making, which is discussed in the Section 9 Take Prohibitions section
of the proposed rule. Eight of these comments requested or suggested
exemptions from Section 9 take prohibitions for specific activities
that should be included in a 4(d) rule issued for threatened species
listed in this final rule. Two comments recommended that lawful
emissions of GHG should be included as an exception in any future 4(d)
rule. Two other comments said the opposite, stating that NMFS should
not consider GHG emissions in the context of the ESA.
Response: The comments described above did not provide substantive
information to help inform the final listing determinations for the 65
coral species. NMFS is not required to issue a 4(d) rule for threatened
species in conjunction with a final ESA listing. We will do so only if
we determine it is necessary and advisable for the conservation of
threatened species. If we make that finding for threatened species
listed in this final rule, issuance of a 4(d) rule is a separate rule-
making process that will include specific opportunities for public
input. As such, the comments above are noted but not responded to
further in this final rule.
Comments on Identification of Those Activities That Would Constitute a
Violation of Section 9 of the ESA
Comment 54: We received numerous comments regarding concerns over
the definition of ``take'' for corals under the ESA. Comments
questioned how we would define ``take'' if corals are listed,
considering their unique biological and ecological characteristics
(i.e., corals are colonial and clonal organisms). One commenter pointed
out a lack of certainty regarding the threshold of ``take'' for coral
larvae. Another commenter thought it was unclear how people would know
if they are ``taking'' a listed coral and expressed concern about the
ability to conduct cultural practices. A third commenter stated that,
in the example of corals, the stated goals of the ESA are at odds with
the best plan for the recovery of any coral species.
Response: We agree that defining ``take'' of corals under the ESA
is both unique and challenging, because of the biology of reef-building
corals. As described below under Corals and Coral Reefs--Individual
Delineation, these species are both colonial (i.e., capable of creating
colonies from multiple genetically-identical polyps) and clonal (i.e.,
capable of asexual reproduction to create genetic duplicates). The ESA
take prohibitions only apply to endangered species immediately upon
listing. No species in this final rule are being listed as endangered;
therefore, we do not define activities that may result in take in this
final rule, because take is not
[[Page 53875]]
automatically prohibited for threatened species. Should we deem it
necessary and advisable that extending any of the ESA section 9
prohibitions, including take prohibitions, is necessary for the
conservation of any of the newly-list threatened coral, we will do so
in a subsequent rule-making.
Comments on Policies on Role of Peer Review
Comment 55: We received two comments that criticized NMFS for not
conducting peer review on the proposed rule. One commenter stated the
following: ``The Department of Commerce issued guidelines to comply
with the OMB mandate, publishing the final Guidelines for Ensuring and
Maximizing the Quality, Objectivity, Utility, and Integrity of
Disseminated Information in October 2002. As part of the NOAA
guidelines, the agency must apply a higher standard to `influential
scientific information' (`ISI'), which is defined as scientific
information the agency reasonably can determine will have or does have
a clear and substantial impact on important public policies or private
sector decisions.' Id. ISI is subject to the more stringent information
standards in the OMB's Final Information Quality Bulletin for Peer
Review (``OMB Peer Review Bulletin''), which requires peer review by
qualified specialists in the relevant field (70 F.R. 2664; January 14,
2005).''
Response: The proposed rule itself was not peer reviewed. However,
the supporting documents that formed the basis for the determinations
in the proposed rule (e.g., the SRR, FMR) were independently peer
reviewed by subject matter experts. In addition, much of the
information we received as a result of the public engagement and public
comment periods and incorporated into this final rule was independently
peer reviewed. During the public comment period and subsequent 6-month
extension solicitation, we received critical review of the information
on which the proposed rule was based from several coral reef experts.
As a result, the information used to form the basis of our final
listing determinations represents the best available scientific and
commercial information to date on the 65 reef-building coral species
within this final rule, and that we have complied with all applicable
policies and guidance on peer review.
Comments Outside of the Scope of the Proposed Rule
We received numerous public comments in response to the proposed
rule that are outside the scope of this rulemaking. Below are brief
explanations to note the comments were received and explain why they
are not considered relevant to the content of the proposed rule.
Comment 56: We received several comments regarding concerns over
potential economic impacts as a result of listing coral species from
various concerned parties. In addition, we received many comments
criticizing the proposed rule as an inappropriate use of the ESA to
protect corals in the face of global climate change. Some comments
emphasized that the ESA is not designed to regulate GHGs and thus ESA
listings are not a prudent use of time and resources. Comments also
cited impacts to cultural practices related to marine resource use in
opposition of ESA coral listings.
Response: Due to the statutory requirements of the ESA, comments
relevant to the proposed listing include those comments that provide
additional substantive information regarding any facet of the proposed
rule (e.g., the biology, status, and/or threats to the species,
evaluation methodologies, accuracy and comprehensiveness of best
available information, etc.). Comments not relevant to this rule making
are those comments that are not related to the content of the proposed
rule and/or comments that we are legally unable to consider in a
listing determination (e.g., economic impacts). While we are required
to review and consider all comments, comments on issues outside the
scope of the proposed rule, such as the comments described above, were
noted, but are generally not responded to in this final rule.
Comment 57: Several commenters provided general support for the
proposed listings but did not provide substantive information or
specific comments on the content of the proposed rule.
Response: General support for the proposed action does not
constitute submission of substantive information regarding any facet of
the proposed rule. Therefore, these comments were noted but are not
responded to in this final rule.
Comment 58: We received three comments pertaining directly to one
or more of the 16 Not Warranted findings that were issued
simultaneously with the proposed rule. One commenter questioned why
some Caribbean species were determined to be Not Warranted while others
are proposed because threats to all species appear to be the same.
Another commenter stated that Porites pukoensis should have been
proposed for listing based solely on the fact that it is endemic to
Hawaii. A third commenter provided information on Turbinaria
reniformis' tolerance to threats associated with climate change.
Response: A Not Warranted finding is a final decision for which
public comments are not solicited. Therefore, comments on the not
warranted findings are noted but not considered relevant to the content
of the proposed rule and are not responded to directly in this final
rule. We do note, however, that species determinations are based on
more than just geographic range or existing threats alone and not
warranted determinations were reached by considering all available
information on species abundance, range, depth distribution, and threat
vulnerabilities including susceptibility and exposure, as is described
in more detail in the not warranted findings.
As also described in the proposed rule, a threatened coral is
likely to become an endangered coral within the foreseeable future
throughout all or a significant portion of its range. For threatened
species, there is a temporal delay in extinction risk afforded by some
characteristics of the species, such as broader distribution, larger
populations, lower vulnerability to the most important threats, and
better management. Threatened species are less vulnerable than
endangered species, but still have characteristics that are likely to
put them at elevated extinction risk within the foreseeable future. For
each of the 65 species under consideration, we explain how a species'
characteristics and its ability to provide buffering capacity to the
identified threats influences its extinction risk over the foreseeable
future. Some of the 65 species in this final rule meet the definition
of threatened, as explained in the species sections below.
Basis of Listing Determinations
The following sections summarize all of the best available
information on reef-building corals in general, which provides the
baseline context and foundation for our species-specific listing
determinations. While this general information illustrates that the
most important threats are currently increasing in severity, and likely
to continue increasing further in the foreseeable future, it also
illustrates that the impacts from these threats, both currently and
over the foreseeable future, are difficult to interpret and do not
necessarily correlate to increased vulnerability to extinction due to
the biological and physical variability and complexity of corals and
their habitat. Accordingly, our Final Determination Framework and
species determinations are based upon an analysis of the best
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available species-specific information evaluated within a worsening
future environment.
In addition to the comments we received on the proposed rule that
include new or supplemental information, we have continued to collect
information that has either emerged since the publication of the
proposed rule or that was published at the time of the proposed rule,
but had been inadvertently overlooked. This latter category also
includes literature cited in the SRR or SIR, but that was further
examined to provide relevant information. Therefore, we consider
``supplemental information'' to be that which was not considered at the
time of the proposed rule that expands upon the themes in the proposed
rule, but does not fundamentally change a finding from the proposed
rule. ``New information'' is considered to be that which is novel and
results in a change to a finding in the proposed rule. To distinguish
between the information on which the proposed rule was based from new
or supplemental information, we will only cite the primary literature
for new or supplemental information. For clarity, we will distinguish
whether the information was identified via public comment or if we
gathered it ourselves.
All the general information on reef-building corals, which provides
the appropriate context for our species-specific determinations, is
provided in the Corals and Coral Reefs and Threats Evaluation sections.
The Risk Analyses section follows and describes our methods and final
determination framework for making our determinations. Last, we provide
the individual listing determinations in the Species-specific
Information and Determinations section, which are based on all of the
best available information for each coral species.
Corals and Coral Reefs
This section provides a summary of the best available information
on the biology and habitat of reef-building corals as it pertains to
this final rule. First, we briefly summarize the information from the
proposed rule, which is based on the SRR and SIR. We also address all
relevant comments received pertaining to the biology and habitats of
reef-building corals. Further, we provide supplemental information
relevant to biology and habitat of corals that we gathered during the
period between the proposed and this final rule. This information
provides part of the context in which we evaluate the species' status
and illustrates the unique nature of this evaluation compared to
typical NMFS' ESA listing determinations (i.e., vertebrates).
As summarized in the proposed rule, corals are marine invertebrates
in the phylum Cnidaria that occur as polyps, usually forming colonies
of many clonal polyps on a calcium carbonate skeleton. The Cnidaria
include true stony corals (class Anthozoa, order Scleractinia), the
blue coral (class Anthozoa, order Helioporacea), and fire corals (class
Hydrozoa, order Milleporina). All 68 proposed species are reef-building
corals, because they secrete massive calcium carbonate skeletons that
form the physical structure of coral reefs. Reef-building coral species
collectively produce coral reefs over time in high-growth conditions,
but these species also occur in non-reef habitats (i.e., they are reef-
building, but not reef-dependent). There are approximately 800 species
of reef-building corals in the world.
Most corals form complex colonies made up of a tissue layer of
polyps (a column with mouth and tentacles on the upper side) growing on
top of a calcium carbonate skeleton, which the polyps produce through
the process of calcification. Millepora fire corals are also reef-
building species, but unlike the stony corals, they have near-
microscopic polyps containing tentacles with stinging cells.
Individual Delineation
Comment 5 identified the lack of clarity on and complexity of the
delineation of the ``individual'' with respect to corals and its
influence in estimating population abundance. We agree that this is a
complex issue and did not provide sufficient details on how we
identified what an individual is and how the consideration of this
issue factored into our estimates of abundances for each of the
proposed species in the proposed rule. Thus, in this final rule, we
provide details on how we considered individual delineation in the
proposed rule and this final rule.
Reef-building corals are clonal organisms. A single larva will
develop into a discrete unit (the primary polyp) that then produces
modular units (i.e., genetically-identical copies of the primary polyp)
of itself, which are connected seamlessly through tissue and skeleton.
These modular units may be solitary (e.g., fungiid corals) or colonial.
Most reef-building coral species are colonial, including all species
covered in this final rule. Colony growth is achieved mainly through
the addition of more polyps, and colony growth is indeterminate. The
colony can continue to exist even if numerous polyps die, or if the
colony is broken apart or otherwise damaged. The biology of such
clonal, colonial species creates ambiguity with regard to delineation
of the individual in reef-building corals, specifically: (1) Polyps
versus colonies; (2) sexually-produced versus asexually-produced
colonies; and (3) difficulty determining colony boundaries. Each source
of ambiguity is addressed below, leading to a conclusion regarding the
delineation of the ``individual'' for the species covered by this final
rule, which was not specifically defined in the proposed rule. Though
not specifically defined, we applied this same concept of the
individual in the proposed rule.
The polyp could be considered as the smallest unit of the
individual for reef-building corals. Each polyp in a coral colony
consists of a column of tissue with a mouth and tentacles on the upper
side, growing in a cup-like skeletal structure (the corallite) made of
calcium carbonate that the polyp produces through calcification. The
polyps are the building blocks of the colony, and most colony growth
occurs by increasing the number of polyps and supporting skeleton.
Polyps carry out the biological functions of feeding, calcification,
and reproduction. However, because the polyps within a colony are
modular units, and connected to one another physiologically (i.e., via
nerve net and gastrovascular cavity, and are the same sex), single
polyps within a colony are not considered to be individuals for
purposes of this final rule.
Alternatively, only colonies originating from sexually-produced
larvae could be considered as the individual for reef-building corals.
Colonies are founded by either sexually-produced larvae that settle and
become the primary polyp of a colony, or asexually-produced fragments
of pre-existing colonies that break off to form a new colony. Fragments
from the same colony can fuse back together into the same colony if
they are close enough to grow together. Fragmentation in branching
species may lead to a large number of asexually-produced, genetically
identical colonies, commonly resulting in a population made up of more
asexually-produced colonies than sexually-produced colonies (Hughes,
1984). Sexually-produced colonies are important to the population by
increasing the genetic diversity of the population, and colonies
originating from asexually-produced fragments do not contribute to the
effective population (i.e., group of genetically unique individuals).
Asexual reproduction, though it does not create new genetic
individuals, is likely the
[[Page 53877]]
more critical mode for some species, especially branching species,
allowing them to grow, occupy space, and persist between relatively
rare events of sexual reproduction. Sexually- and asexually-produced
colonies often cannot be distinguished from one another in the field,
but are identifiable as an individual, in most cases. Thus, we use the
concept of the ``physiological colony'' as the entity that can be
considered an individual. The physiological colony for reef-building
colonial species is defined here as any colony of the species, whether
sexually or asexually produced.
A physiological colony is generally autonomous from other colonies
of the same species. However, colony morphology, partial colony
mortality, and other colony growth characteristics (e.g., formation of
stands or thickets) can complicate the delineation of physiological
colonies from one another in the field. For example, the overall colony
morphology of many encrusting species (e.g., some Montipora species) is
largely dictated by the underlying substrate. In those cases, colony
shape may not distinguish colonies from one another, and boundaries
between separate encrusting colonies that have grown together may be
difficult or impossible to make out visually. Partial mortality of
colonies, especially larger colonies, can also mask the boundaries
between colonies, because the algae-encrusted coral skeleton of a
partially dead colony may appear to delineate two or more colonies. In
addition, many reef-building coral species occur in stands or thickets
that may be tens of meters or more in diameter (e.g., some Acropora
species), possibly consisting of multiple colonies or only one large
colony, also masking the boundaries between colonies. In each of these
instances, the actual number of genetically-distinct individuals can
only be determined through genetic analysis. Those techniques have not
been established for all coral species and are not feasible to conduct
for every reef assessment. Therefore, most reef assessments for coral
abundance also use the concept of the physiological colony as the unit
for enumerating species.
Despite the challenges in individual delineation of clonal,
colonial reef-building corals, this final rule considers the
``individual'' for each of the proposed species to be the physiological
colony, as defined above. That is, polyps are not considered
individuals, but sexually- and asexually-produced colonies are
considered individuals because they are a type of physiological colony
and are the unit that can be identified in the field. We acknowledge
that there are limitations with this definition of the individual,
including usually-unknown proportions of genetically-distinct
individuals in a population and the difficulty with the determination
of physiological colony boundaries. But defining the individual this
way is the most supportable for this final rule based on the best
available science. While we did not specifically name the individual as
the physiological colony in the proposed rule, it is how we considered
the individual in the proposed rule because the majority of the
information on abundance is based on the physiological colony which can
be readily identified and counted in field surveys. Thus, in our
species determinations we use the physiological colony to inform how we
estimate abundance of a coral species because that is how field surveys
estimate coral abundance. Using the physiological colony to estimate
abundance in the final rule does not change how we estimated abundance
in the proposed rule, in which we also relied on information that uses
the physiological colony to report abundance estimates. If we have
information on the effective population size (i.e., proportion of
clonality) for a species, that information is also considered.
Taxonomic Uncertainty in Reef-Building Corals
To determine if the proposed corals meet the ESA definition of a
species, we had to address issues related to the taxonomic uncertainty
in corals (e.g., reliance on morphological features rather than genetic
and genomic science to delineate species) and corals' evolutionary
history of reticulate processes (i.e., individual lineages showing
repeated cycles of divergence and convergence via hybridization). To
address taxonomic uncertainty related to species delineation, except as
described below where genetic information was available, the proposed
rule considered the nominal species designation as listed in the
petition, acknowledging that future research may result in taxonomic
reclassification of some of the candidate species. Additionally, to
address complex reticulate processes in corals, the BRT attempted to
distinguish between a ``good species'' that has a hybrid history--
meaning it may display genetic signatures of interbreeding and back-
crossing in its evolutionary history--and a ``hybrid species'' that is
composed entirely of hybrid individuals (as in the case of Acropora
prolifera, discussed in the status review of acroporid corals in the
Caribbean; Acropora Biological Review Team, 2005). The best available
information indicates that, while several of the candidate species have
hybrid histories, there is no evidence to suggest any of them are
``hybrid species'' (that is, all individuals of a species being F1
hybrids); thus, they were all considered to meet the definition of a
``species.''
Studies elucidating complex taxonomic histories were available for
several of the genera addressed in the status review, and we were able
to incorporate those into our species determinations. Thus, while we
made species determinations for most of the 82 candidate coral species
on the nominal species included in the petition, we made alternate
determinations on the proper taxonomic classification for the candidate
species Montipora dilatata and M. flabellata; Montipora patula and
Porites pukoensis based on genetic studies. We decided to subsume a
nominal species (morpho-species) into a larger clade whenever genetic
studies failed to distinguish between them (e.g., Montipora dilatata,
M. flabellata, and M. turgescens (not petitioned) and Porites Clade 1
forma pukoensis). Comment 3 objected to the lumping of the Montipora
species based solely on one study. However, because the commenter did
not provide any contrary information and we did not find any new or
supplemental information suggesting that subsuming the Montipora
species into a larger clade is incorrect, we are maintaining our
determination that M. dilitata/M. flabellata/M. turgescens and M.
patula/M. verrilli are considered species under the ESA.
In the proposed rule, Pocillopora elegans was split into two
separate species because the two geographically-distant populations
have different modes of reproduction. Additionally, the proposed rule
examined the listing status of P. danae. After consideration of the
information on taxonomic uncertainty, including from the proposed rule
and supporting documents, Comment 2, and new information, we have
determined that these three Pocillopora species (P. elegans (Eastern
Pacific), P. elegans (Indo-Pacific), and P. danae), are not listable
entities under the ESA. As explained in the response to Comment 2, new
information on the three proposed Pocillopora species proposed for
listing indicates an increasing level of taxonomic uncertainty to the
point that these three species are not listable entities under the ESA
at this time. Thus, this final rule considers 65 of the 68 species
included in the proposed rule. However, even though these
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remaining 65 species are determinable under the ESA, some uncertainty
regarding taxonomy and certain species identification remains. These
uncertainties are addressed for each species in the Species-specific
Information and Determinations sections.
In addition to these specific examples of species delineation,
Comment 1 stated that taxonomic uncertainties associated with many
reef-building coral species are problematic for the ESA listing
determination process. We acknowledge the clear delineation among
individuals that characterizes vertebrate species is often absent in
reef-building coral species. This final rule addresses that ambiguity
with the general introductions in this sub-section, then by providing
species-specific information for each species. Therefore, the level of
taxonomic uncertainty is addressed for each of the species in this
final rule in the Species-specific Information and Determinations sub-
sections below.
Species Identification
We received several comments related to the difficulty in coral
species identification (see Comment 1). In the proposed rule we
acknowledged the difficulty in identification and how that affected the
ability to accurately infer abundances for individual species (see
proposed rule Distribution and Abundance section). However, we did not
discuss the species identification uncertainty on a species by species
basis. In this sub-section, we more fully describe the challenge of
species identification. In the Species-specific Information and
Determinations section, we address the identification uncertainty for
each species, and determine if that uncertainly affects the reliability
of the distribution and abundance information described for each
species, based on expert analysis (Fenner, 2014b).
In this final rule ``species identification'' refers to the
assignment of a given individual to a species based on its appearance
in the field or lab. In contrast, ``species delineation'' refers to the
definition of reef-building corals as distinct species based on their
scientific classification or taxonomy (covered in the previous sub-
section). Many reef-building coral species are difficult to identify
for many reasons, including: (1) The high biodiversity of reef-building
corals; (2) the high morphological plasticity in many reef-building
coral species; and (3) the different methods used for species
identification. An example of all three factors working together (high
biodiversity, morphological plasticity, different methods) is provided
by massive Porites species: Many species occur together in the same
habitats and locations, morphological plasticity is high for both
colony shape and corallite structure, and experts disagree about how to
distinguish the species (Forsman et al., 2009; Veron, 2000).
Coral species identification is based on the assumption that the
taxonomy is correct. The high biodiversity, high morphological
plasticity, and different methodologies create species identification
problems even when the taxonomy is correct. But if the taxonomy is not
correct, the species identification problems described here are
irrelevant because species with a high level of taxonomic uncertainty
(e.g., the Pocillopora species in this final rule) are not listable
entities under the ESA. Both the species delineation and species
identification problems are highly species-specific, and are addressed
for each species in the Species-specific Information and Determinations
section.
Reproductive Life History of Reef-Building Corals
As summarized in the proposed rule, corals use a number of diverse
reproductive strategies that have been researched extensively; however,
many individual species' reproductive modes remain poorly described.
Most coral species use both sexual and asexual propagation. Sexual
reproduction in corals is primarily through gametogenesis (i.e.,
development of eggs and sperm within the polyps near the base). Some
coral species have separate sexes (gonochoric), while others are
hermaphroditic. Strategies for fertilization are either by ``brooding''
or ``broadcast spawning'' (i.e., internal or external fertilization,
respectively). Asexual reproduction in coral species most commonly
involves fragmentation, where colony pieces or fragments are dislodged
from larger colonies to establish new colonies, although the budding of
new polyps within a colony can also be considered asexual reproduction.
In many species of branching corals, fragmentation is a common and
sometimes dominant means of propagation.
Depending on the mode of fertilization, coral larvae (called
planulae) undergo development either mostly within the mother colony
(brooders) or outside of the mother colony, adrift in the ocean
(broadcast spawners). In either mode of larval development, larvae
presumably experience considerable mortality (up to 90 percent or more)
from predation or other factors prior to settlement and metamorphosis.
Such mortality cannot be directly observed, but is inferred from the
large amount of eggs and sperm spawned versus the much smaller number
of recruits observed later. Coral larvae are relatively poor swimmers;
therefore, their dispersal distances largely depend on the duration of
the pelagic phase and the speed and direction of water currents
transporting the larvae. The documented maximum larval life span is 244
days (Montastraea magnistellata), suggesting that the potential for
long-term dispersal of coral larvae, at least for some species, may be
substantially greater than previously understood and may partially
explain the large geographic ranges of many species.
The spatial and temporal patterns of coral recruitment have been
studied extensively. Biological and physical factors that have been
shown to affect spatial and temporal patterns of coral recruitment
include substrate availability and community structure, grazing
pressure, fecundity, mode and timing of reproduction, behavior of
larvae, hurricane disturbance, physical oceanography, the structure of
established coral assemblages, and chemical cues. Additionally, factors
other than dispersal may influence recruitment, and several other
factors may influence reproductive success and reproductive isolation,
including external cues, genetic precision, and conspecific signaling.
In general, on proper stimulation, coral larvae settle and
metamorphose on appropriate substrates. Some evidence indicates that
chemical cues from crustose coralline algae, microbial films, and/or
other reef organisms or acoustic cues from reef environments stimulate
settlement behaviors. Calcification begins with the forming of the
basal plate. Buds formed on the initial corallite develop into daughter
corallites. Once larvae are able to settle onto appropriate hard
substrate, metabolic energy is diverted to colony growth and
maintenance. Because newly settled corals barely protrude above the
substrate, juveniles need to reach a certain size to limit damage or
mortality from threats such as grazing, sediment burial, and algal
overgrowth. In some species, it appears that there is virtually no
limit to colony size beyond structural integrity of the colony
skeleton, as polyps apparently can bud indefinitely.
Comment 4 identified the lack of information on coral population
dynamics and connectivity; however, it did not provide any supplemental
information, other than for Acropora
[[Page 53879]]
cervicornis, which will be considered in that species' determination.
Therefore, the section above is a summary of the information on coral
reproductive life history from the proposed rule as it contributes to
the extinction risk analyses for the proposed corals. In our species
determinations, we consider life history characteristics that may
contribute to extinction risk. For example, species with high
recruitment rates or fast growth rates may have the ability to more
quickly recover from disturbances. Additionally, long-lived species
with large colony size can sustain partial mortality (fission) and
still have potential for persistence and regrowth. However, detailed
life history information is not available for all of the species
considered in this final rule, though it is used when available.
Distribution and Abundance of Reef-Building Corals
The proposed corals are distributed throughout the wider-Caribbean
(i.e., the tropical and sub-tropical waters of the Caribbean Sea,
western Atlantic Ocean, and Gulf of Mexico; herein referred to
collectively as ``Caribbean''), the Indo-Pacific biogeographic region
(i.e., the tropical and sub-tropical waters of the Indian Ocean, the
western and central Pacific Ocean, and the seas connecting the two in
the general area of Indonesia), and the tropical and sub-tropical
waters of the eastern Pacific Ocean. In our species determinations,
spatial and demographic traits inform our evaluation of a species'
current status and its capacity to respond to changing conditions over
the foreseeable future. One important demographic trait is absolute
abundance, which is a function of local density (either quantitative or
qualitative) and range size. Absolute abundance is more informative
than a relative description of abundance for corals such as ``rare,''
because even a coral species described as ``rare'' may still have
millions of individual colonies or more (i.e., few individuals per unit
area spread across a very large area). Similarly, the spatial trait of
geographic distributions are not considered on a relative scale (i.e.,
narrow, moderate, wide as we did in the proposed rule), but rather
considered on an absolute scale, which for even the smallest species
distribution encompasses millions of square miles.
As described in the Individual Delineation sub-section, determining
abundance of the proposed corals presents a unique challenge because
corals are clonal, colonial invertebrates, and colony growth occurs by
the addition of new polyps. In addition, colonies can exhibit partial
mortality in which a subset of the polyps in a colony dies, but the
colony persists. Colonial species present a special challenge in
determining the appropriate unit to evaluate for status. In addition,
new coral colonies, particularly in branching species, can be added to
a population by fragmentation (breakage from an existing colony of a
branch that reattaches to the substrate and grows) as well as by sexual
reproduction (see above, and Fig. 2.2.1 in SRR). Fragmentation results
in multiple, genetically identical colonies (ramets) while sexual
reproduction results in the creation of new genetically distinct
individuals (genotypes or genets).
In the proposed rule, quantitative abundance estimates were
available for only a few of the candidate species. In the Indo-Pacific,
many reports and long-term monitoring programs describe coral percent
cover only to genus level because of the substantial diversity within
many genera and difficulties in field identification among congeneric
species. In the Caribbean, most of the candidate species are either too
few in numbers to document meaningful trends in abundance from
literature reports (e.g., Dendrogyra cylindrus), or commonly identified
only to genus (Mycetophyllia and Agaricia spp.), or potentially
misidentified as another species. At the time of the proposed rule, the
only comprehensive abundance data in the Caribbean were for the three
Orbicella species, partially because they historically made up a
predominant part of live coral cover. Even for these species, the time
series data are often of very short duration (they were not separated
as sibling species until the early 1990s and many surveys continue to
report them as ``Orbicella annularis complex'') and cover a very
limited portion of the species range (e.g., the time series only
monitors a sub-section of a single national park). In general, the
available quantitative abundance data were so limited or compromised
due to factors such as small survey sample sizes, lack of species-
specific data, etc., that they were considerably less informative for
evaluating the risk to species than other data, and were therefore
generally not included as part of the individual species extinction
risk evaluations.
Comment 47 provided quantitative abundance estimates from Florida
for all of the proposed corals in the Caribbean. In addition, we
gathered supplemental information providing quantitative abundance
estimates and distribution for individual species in the Caribbean and
Indo-Pacific. These data are included and described in the individual
extinction risk assessments for those species in the Species-specific
Information and Determinations section.
Unlike quantitative abundance data, qualitative abundance
characterizations (e.g., rare, common), were available for all species
(Veron, 2000), and were considered in the proposed rule's individual
species extinction risk evaluations. These estimates are the subjective
opinion of the author and are meant to indicate relative abundance
between the categories. That is, a rare species has fewer individuals
as compared to an uncommon one, and an uncommon species has fewer
individuals than a common one. These estimates are also meant to
describe the author's opinion of the qualitative abundance of the
species throughout its range, and not necessarily an estimate of the
abundance at an individual location. Since the proposed rule was
published, semi-quantitative (i.e., survey data from 2,984 individual
sites) and updated non-quantitative (i.e., the author's subjective
estimates covering a full range of habitats and most ecoregions the
author has worked in) abundance estimates were provided for 63 of the
65 corals covered in this final rule (Veron, 2014). In addition to the
semi-quantitative and non-quantitative estimates, Veron (2014) provided
occupancy of each species within the approximately 150 ecoregions he
has defined. An ecoregion is defined as an area that is internally
cohesive (i.e., areas with similar habitats share similar species
complements), but externally distinct from neighboring regions (https://coral.aims.gov.au/). Ecoregions are widely used in biogeography because
they incorporate a substantial amount of background knowledge, are a
good platform for statistical analysis, and allow the pooling and
comparison of different datasets from the same ecoregion. Ecoregions
are not equal in size and thus occupancy in the same number of
ecoregions by two different species does not indicate the same range
size. Rather, the number of ecoregions occupied is a good indication of
the diversity of habitats and geographic distribution in which a
species may be found. These data are included in the individual
extinction risk assessments for those species in the Species-specific
Information and Determinations section.
As previously described in the Individual Delineation section,
clonal, colonial organisms, such as corals, are vastly different in
their biology and ecology than vertebrates, which are typically the
focus of ESA status reviews. Therefore, concepts and terms that are
typically applied to vertebrates have very distinct meanings when
[[Page 53880]]
applied to corals. A `rare' coral may still have millions of colonies
as compared to a `rare' vertebrate, which may only have hundreds of
individuals.
Coral Habitats
As summarized in the Coral Reefs, Other Coral Habitats, and
Overview of Candidate Coral Environments section of the proposed rule,
a ``coral reef'' is a complex three-dimensional structure occurring
from the surface to approximately 30 to 40 meters of depth resulting
from the skeletal growth of reef-building corals that provides habitat,
food, and shelter for numerous marine species. As such, coral reefs
foster exceptionally high biodiversity and provide the following
essential functional roles: Primary production and recycling of
nutrients in relatively nutrient poor (oligotrophic) seas, calcium
carbonate deposition yielding reef construction, sand production,
modification of near-field or local water circulation patterns, and
habitat for secondary production, including fisheries. These functional
roles yield important ecosystem services in addition to direct economic
benefits to human societies such as traditional and cultural uses, food
security, tourism, and potential biomedical compounds. Coral reefs
protect shorelines, coastal ecosystems, and coastal inhabitants from
high seas, severe storm surge, and tsunamis.
The three broad categories of coral reefs are fringing reefs,
barrier reefs, and atolls. Fringing reefs are mostly close to
coastlines, and usually have a high component of non-carbonate
sediment. Barrier reefs are offshore and are composed of wave-resistant
consolidated limestone. Atolls are usually a wall of reefs partially or
completely enclosing a central lagoon. There are not sharp differences
that clearly mark boundaries between reef types. For example, fringing
reefs gradually become barrier reefs with increasing distance from
shore. Also, the shape of both barrier reefs and atolls is largely
determined by the bathymetry of the substratum, producing many
irregularly shaped reefs that are intermediary between the two types.
Isolated reefs that do not fit any of these descriptions are referred
to as platform reefs (Veron, 2000).
Despite the differences between the reef categories, most fringing
reefs, barrier reefs, atolls, and platform reefs consist of a reef
slope, a reef crest, and a back-reef, which in turn are typically
characterized by distinctive habitats. The reef slope is the seaward
side of the coral reef between the reef crest and the deep ocean, and
generally includes upper fore-reefs or upper slopes (approximately 5-10
to 10-20 m depth), mid-slopes that often occur as terraces or shelves
(approximately 10-20 to 20-30 m depth), and deep fore-reefs, lower
slopes, or walls (approximately 30-40 m depth) that transition to
mesophotic areas (greater than 30-40 m depth). The reef crest
(approximately 0 to 5-10 m depth) forms the boundary between the reef
slope and back-reef, and generally includes a consolidated ridge or rim
where the waves break, and a lower reef crest on the seaward side of
the algal ridge often made of up of buttresses and surge channels
(i.e., spur-and-groove structures). The back-reef lies between the reef
crest and land (or middle of the lagoon, in the case of atolls). The
back-reef generally includes reef flats (approximately 0 to 1-5 m
depth) and lagoons (approximately 1-5 to over 30 m depth), interlaced
with tide pools, channels, patch reefs, and other features. The
characteristics of these habitat types vary greatly by reef categories,
locations, latitudes, frequency of disturbance, etc., and there is also
much habitat variability within each habitat type, together
constituting the habitat heterogeneity of coral reefs, as described
further below.
Fringing reefs occur adjacent to coastlines, and subsequently the
habitats associated with their reef slopes and back-reefs may be quite
different than on barrier reefs or atolls. The reef slopes of many
fringing reefs that are protected from strong wave action (e.g., on
leeward sides of islands) consist of unconsolidated material sloping
gently towards deeper water, while those of fringing reefs in more
exposed areas (e.g. windward sides of islands) are usually more
consolidated. On many fringing reefs, even on the reef slope, natural
turbidity and sedimentation may be high due to proximity to land.
Fringing reefs typically have narrow back-reefs consisting of a reef
flat abutting the reef crest, and possibly tide pools, channels, or
small lagoons between the reef flat and shore (Goreau, 1959; Veron,
2000). Barrier reefs typically form tens to hundreds of kilometers from
coastlines, their reef slopes are composed of consolidated limestone
that may plunge steeply to deeper water, and natural turbidity and
sedimentation are very low due to distance from land. Thus the
characteristics of their reef slope habitats can be quite different
than on fringing reefs. Barrier reefs are exposed to very strong wave
action, and their reef crests can vary from high, consolidated algal
ridges to unconsolidated shingle ramparts to low and wide indistinct
crests. In addition, barrier reefs typically have immense back-reefs
consisting of reef flats abutting the reef crest, and large lagoons
that may vary from clear and sandy near the reef to turbid and muddy
near land, and include various features such as patch reefs and islands
(Maxwell, 1968). Atolls occur in oceanic waters far from land, and may
be hundreds of kilometers across. Their reef slopes often form vertical
walls dropping into abyssal waters, and their back-reefs consist of
large, clear lagoons (Veron, 2000; Wells, 1951). Environmental
conditions vary greatly between the habitat types found on the reefs
slopes, reef crests, and back-reefs of the world's coral reefs. In
addition, much variability also occurs within each habitat type. For
example, Maxwell (1968) describes six geomorphological types of reef
crests, and how the different environmental conditions provide ``coral
zones'' unique to each type of reef crest. The physical diversity of
coral reef habitat is illustrated by Kuchler (1986), who notes that the
scientific literature on the GBR alone used over 20 terms for the reef
slope or its habitats, over 50 terms for the reef crest or its
habitats, and over 100 terms for the reef flat and lagoon and their
habitats.
In conclusion, five main points are important regarding coral
habitat on coral reefs (as opposed to non-reefal and mesophotic
habitats) for this final rule: (1) Regardless of reef category, reefs
generally consist of reef slopes, reef crests, and back-reefs, each of
which have distinct habitats, but those habitats can be highly variable
between reef types and locations; (2) spatial variability in coral
habitat conditions is very high between habitat types, as well as
within the habitat types described above (i.e., deep fore-reefs, walls,
mid-slopes, upper reef slopes, lower reef crests, algal ridges, reef
flats, and lagoons), producing highly variable environmental conditions
across both large and small spatial scales at any given point in time;
(3) temporal variability in coral habitat conditions is also very high,
both cyclically (e.g., from tidal, seasonal, annual, and decadal
cycles) and episodically (e.g., storms, temperature anomalies, etc.);
(4) together this spatial and temporal variability in environmental
conditions across multiple scales produces the very high habitat
heterogeneity of coral reefs; and (5) while most coral species in this
final rule are more common in certain reef habitat types, they are
typically found in many different habitat types.
Reef-building corals have specific habitat requirements, including
hard substrate, narrow mean temperature
[[Page 53881]]
range, adequate light, and adequate water flow. These habitat
requirements most commonly occur on the shallow tropical and
subtropical coral reefs described above, but also occur in non-reefal
and mesophotic areas. All of the proposed species require hard
substrates. Thus, in this final rule, ``non-reefal habitats'' refers to
hard substrates where reef-building corals can grow, including marginal
habitats where conditions prevent reef development (e.g., turbid or
high-latitude or upwelling-influenced areas) and recently available
habitat (e.g., lava flows). The term ``mesophotic habitats'' refers to
hard substrates deeper than 30 m. Coral reefs, non-reefal areas, and
mesophotic areas are not necessarily sharply delineated from one
another, thus one may gradually blend into another. We anticipate the
total area of non-reefal and mesophotic habitats is greater than the
total area of shallow coral reef habitats within the ranges of the
corals in this final rule.
Comments 6 and 7 suggested that we did not consider non-reefal
habitats and mesophotic habitats adequately in our proposed rule.
However, these comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on how to interpret the importance of these habitats in our
extinction risk analysis. Comment 7 includes two studies that provide
supplemental information on the extent of mesophotic reefs. In addition
to the public comment received on the diversity and complexity of coral
reef habitats, supplemental information has become available on non-
reefal and mesophotic habitats since the publication of the proposed
rule. The following sub-sections on non-reefal and mesophotic habitats
are intended to illustrate the diversity of reef-building coral
habitats, but are not intended to provide an exhaustive list of them.
Non-reefal habitats include marginal habitats (Perry and Larcombe,
2003), as well as newly available natural habitats such as the hard
substrates created by lava flows (Grigg and Maragos, 1974), tsunamis
(scoured bedrock or transported boulders (Goto et al., 2010)), or other
episodic processes. Non-reefal habitats are defined as areas where
environmental conditions prevent reef formation but reef-building
corals are present. Marginal habitats are much more common than newly-
available natural habitats. Marginal habitats are very diverse, as they
occur where seawater temperatures or light levels are sub-optimal
(i.e., inadequate for high skeletal growth but still allowing reef-
building corals to survive), and thus include environments that are
turbid (Blakeway et al., 2013; Browne et al., 2012), very warm (Riegl
and Purkis, 2012; Riegl et al., 2011), or cold because of high latitude
(Dalton and Roff, 2013; Lybolt et al., 2011) or upwelling (Alvarado et
al., 2011; Manzello et al., 2008), and other environments (Couce et
al., 2012; Done, 1982; Perry and Larcombe, 2003). Some coral species
can also live on soft substrates, such as Manicina areolata in the
Caribbean, staghorns (Acropora) that must begin on hard substrate but
can then grow over soft substrates, and Catalaphyllia jardini, which is
common in some soft substrates in Australia. Such habitat is not
necessarily indicative of low-diversity coral assemblages, as shown by
turbid sites, which have been documented to support over 160 species of
reef-building corals (Perry and Larcombe, 2003), and fresh lava flows,
which have been documented to support fully recovered coral communities
only 20 years after the flow (Grigg and Maragos, 1974). Marginal
habitats expands the diversity of environmental conditions that can
support some reef-building corals and therefore may provide refugia
from some threats affecting shallow coral reef habitat, as described in
the Spatial and Temporal Refugia sub-section below.
Since 2012, research on mesophotic habitats has demonstrated that
many reef-building corals have greater depth distributions than
previously reported. Twenty-two of the proposed species have been
reported from mesophotic depths (i.e., 30 m or more) and several more
reported at 25 m. For other species, their biogeographic ranges may be
underestimated due to lack of mesophotic exploration. These studies
demonstrate that some species in shallow coral reef habitats readily
extend to mesophotic depths if water clarity and temperatures remain
favorable (Kahng et al., 2014). For example, investigations in American
Samoa (Bare et al., 2010), the Hawaiian Archipelago (Kahng et al.,
2010; Rooney et al., 2010), and the Mariana Archipelago (Rooney et al.,
2012), have revealed extensive mesophotic coral reef ecosystems. While
classically considered to be limited to 100 m, mesophotic reefs have
been observed as deep as 130 m in some of these areas, including at
depths in excess of 150 m in the Au`au Channel of Hawaii (Blyth-Skyrme
et al., 2013). Likewise, investigations on Australia's GBR found
extensive mesophotic habitats both along the continental shelf-edge and
on submerged reefs inside the lagoon of the GBR, both of which support
previously unknown communities of reef-building corals (Bridge et al.,
2012a; Bridge and Guinotte, 2013; Bridge et al., 2012b). As noted in
one of these recent papers, several coral species (including Acropora
aculeus, A. jacquelineae, and A. tenella) are common and geographically
widespread in deeper waters (30-60 m; Bridge et al., 2013b). Other
recent studies in Cura[ccedil]ao (Bongaerts et al., 2013), Bermuda
(Locke et al., 2013), and Hawaii (Luck et al., 2013) reveal extensive
mesophotic habitats and reef-building coral communities. These studies
expand the known potential habitats for reef-building corals, but
species diversity and abundances have not been well- documented due to
the relative inaccessibility of these habitats to divers.
In summary, the magnitude of habitats potentially supporting reef-
building coral species is extremely large, and much larger than the 0.2
percent of the marine environment provided in the SRR. Globally, some
reef-building corals can occur in shallow coral reef, non-reefal, and/
or mesophotic habitats. These three types of general habitats combined
provide the overall physical environment of many species, and
supplemental information on non-reefal and mesophotic habitats
indicates that their magnitude is larger than previously understood.
Inter-Basin Comparisons
As described in the proposed rule, the Caribbean and Indo-Pacific
basins contrast greatly both in size and in condition. The Caribbean
basin is geographically small and partially enclosed, has high levels
of connectivity, and has relatively high human population densities.
The wider-Caribbean occupies five million square km of water and has
approximately 55,000 km of coastline, including approximately 5,000
islands. Shallow coral reefs occupy approximately 25,000 square km
(including [ap]2,000 square km within U.S. waters), or about 10 percent
of the total shallow coral reefs of the world. The amount of non-reefal
and mesophotic habitat that could potentially be occupied by corals in
the Caribbean is unknown, but is potentially greater than the area of
shallow coral reefs in the Caribbean.
The Caribbean region has experienced numerous disturbances to coral
reef systems throughout recorded human history. Fishing has affected
Caribbean reefs since before European contact, and continues to be a
threat. Beginning in the early 1980s, a series of basin-scale
disturbances has led to altered community states, and a loss of
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resilience (i.e., inability of corals and coral communities to recover
after a disturbance event). Massive, Caribbean-wide mortality events
from disease conditions of both the keystone grazing urchin Diadema
antillarum and the dominant branching coral species Acropora palmata
and Acropora cervicornis precipitated widespread and dramatic changes
in reef community structure. None of the three important keystone
species (Acropora palmata, Acropora cervicornis, and Diadema
antillarum) have shown much recovery over decadal time scales. In
addition, continuing coral mortality from periodic acute events such as
hurricanes, disease outbreaks, and bleaching events from ocean warming
have added to the poor state of Caribbean coral populations and yielded
a remnant coral community with increased dominance by weedy brooding
species, decreased overall coral cover, and increased macroalgal cover.
Additionally, iron enrichment in the Caribbean may predispose the basin
to algal growth. Further, coral growth rates in the Caribbean have been
declining over decades.
Caribbean-wide meta-analyses suggest that the current combination
of disturbances, stressful environmental factors such as elevated ocean
temperatures, nutrients and sediment loads, and reduced observed coral
reproduction and recruitment have yielded a loss of resilience, even to
natural disturbances such as hurricanes.
Coral cover (percentage of reef substrate occupied by live coral)
across the region has declined from approximately 50 percent in the
1970s to approximately 10 percent in the early 2000s (i.e., lower
densities throughout the range, not range contraction), with concurrent
changes between subregions in overall benthic composition and variation
in dominant species. However, supplemental information suggests that
this estimate of coral cover decline in the Caribbean is an
oversimplification. In the Caribbean, quantitative surveys of a few
dozen sites from before the early 1980s suggest the regional mean for
coral cover was 30-40 percent around 1980 (Gardner et al., 2003;
Schutte et al., 2010). Supplemental information based on more complete
sampling effort (i.e., meta-analysis of 35,000 quantitative reef
surveys from 1969 to 2012) indicates higher levels of ``current''
percent live coral cover in the Caribbean than described in the
proposed rule. For example, a recent study found that average coral
cover throughout the wider-Caribbean declined by 66 percent from an
overall average of 41 percent between 1969-1983 to 14 percent today,
slightly higher than the 10 percent reported earlier. The earlier
reports were based on less thorough sampling of the available data, and
were also dominated by data from the Florida Keys, U.S. Virgin Islands,
and Jamaica, which may not be representative of the entire Caribbean
(Jackson et al. 2014).
In conclusion, the supplemental information regarding live coral
cover does not dispute that there has been a long-term overall decline
in live coral cover in the Caribbean and that those declines are likely
ongoing and likely to continue in the future as a result of a multitude
of global and local threats at all spatial scales. These wide-scale
changes in coral populations and communities have affected habitat
complexity and may have already reduced overall reef fish abundances.
These trends are expected to continue. However, as the above
information illustrates, live coral cover trends are highly variable
both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on small scales that
may not be indicative of conditions throughout the basin.
Ocean basin size and diversity of habitats (e.g., reef-flats,
forereef, mesophotic, non-reefal), as well as some vast expanses of
ocean area with only very local, spatially-limited, direct human
influences, have provided substantial buffering of Indo-Pacific corals
from many of the threats and declines manifest across the Caribbean.
The Indo-Pacific (Indian and Pacific Oceans) is enormous and hosts much
greater coral diversity than the Caribbean region (~700 coral species
compared with 65 coral species). The Indo-Pacific region encompasses
the tropical and sub-tropical waters of the Indian Ocean, the western
and central Pacific Ocean, and the seas connecting the two in the
general area of Indonesia. This vast region occupies at least 60
million square km of water (more than ten times larger than the
Caribbean), and includes 50,000 islands and over 40,000 km of
continental coastline, spanning approximately 180 degrees of longitude
and 60 degrees of latitude. There are approximately 240,000 square km
of shallow coral reefs in this vast region, which is more than 90
percent of the total coral reefs of the world. In addition, the Indo-
Pacific includes abundant non-reefal habitat, as well as vast but
scarcely known mesophotic areas that provide coral habitat. The amount
of non-reefal and mesophotic habitat that could potentially be occupied
by corals in the Indo-Pacific is unknown, but is likely greater than
the area of shallow coral reefs in the Indo-Pacific (NMFS, 2012b; SIR
Section 4.3).
While the reef communities in the Caribbean may have poor
resilience, the reefs in the central Pacific (e.g., American Samoa,
Moorea, Fiji, Palau, and the Northwestern Hawaiian Islands) appear to
remain much more resilient despite major bleaching events from ocean
warming, hurricanes, and crown-of-thorns seastar predation outbreaks.
That is, even though the reefs have experienced significant impacts,
corals have been able to recover, as described below. Several factors
likely result in greater resilience in the Indo-Pacific than in the
Caribbean: (1) The Indo-Pacific is more than 10-fold larger than the
Caribbean, including many remote areas; (2) the Indo-Pacific has
approximately 10-fold greater diversity of reef-building coral species
than the Caribbean; (3) broad-scale Caribbean reef degradation likely
began earlier than in the Indo-Pacific; (4) iron enrichment in the
Caribbean may predispose it to algal growth versus lack of broad-scale
iron enrichment in the Indo-Pacific; (5) there is greater coral cover
on mesophotic reefs in the Indo-Pacific than in the Caribbean; and (6)
there is greater resilience to algal phase shifts in the Indo-Pacific
than in the Caribbean.
Even given the relatively higher resilience in the Indo-Pacific as
compared to the Caribbean, one meta-analysis of overall coral status
throughout the Indo-Pacific indicates that substantial loss of coral
cover (i.e., lower densities throughout the range, but not range
contraction) has already occurred in most subregions. As of 2002-2003,
the Indo-Pacific had an overall average of approximately 20 percent
live coral cover, down from approximately 50 percent since the 1970s.
However, supplemental information refines this estimate. Data from 154
surveys of reefs across the Pacific performed between 1980 and 1982 had
mean live coral cover of 42.5 percent (Bruno and Selig, 2007). Coral
cover in the Indian Ocean declined from approximately 40 percent prior
to the 1998 bleaching event to approximately 22 percent; subsequently,
mean coral cover increased to approximately 30 percent by 2005
(Ateweberhan et al., 2011) Live coral cover likely had already declined
in all regions before 1980, but region-wide quantitative data is
generally lacking. For example, local surveys before 1980 from several
parts of the Indo-Pacific documented live coral cover of 50 to 70
percent (Gomez et al., 1981).
Unlike the Caribbean, no recent region-wide reports of current,
overall live coral cover are available for the Indo-Pacific as a whole.
However,
[[Page 53883]]
recent reports from parts of the region have found current live coral
cover higher than the 20 percent for the region reported earlier, and
stable or increasing live coral cover. For example, monitoring data
collected annually from 47 sites on the GBR from 1995 to 2009 averaged
29 percent live coral cover. More importantly, this study found no
evidence of consistent, system-wide decline in coral cover since 1995.
Instead, fluctuations in coral cover at sub-regional scales (10-100
km), driven mostly by changes in fast-growing Acroporidae, occurred as
a result of localized disturbance events and subsequent recovery
(Osborne et al., 2011). However, another recent study based on 2,258
surveys of 214 GBR reefs over 1985-2012, showed declines in live coral
cover from 28 percent to 14 percent, a loss of half of the initial
coral cover. In the Philippines, a study of 317 sites from 1981 to 2010
averaged 36 percent live coral cover, and showed an overall increase
from 29 percent in 1981 to 37 percent in 2010 (Magdaong et al., 2013).
A study of 366 sites from 1977 to 2005 in the Indian Ocean documented
large initial decline from approximately 35 percent live coral cover to
approximately 15 percent at most sites following the 1998 bleaching
event, followed by partial recovery to approximately 25 percent, and
then stability of live coral cover (Ateweberhan et al., 2011).
Likewise, a study in Western Australia from 2005 to 2009, following the
2005 bleaching event, documented declines to 10 percent live coral
cover as a result of the event and then subsequent recovery to 30
percent (Ceccarelli et al., 2011). A study in the Andaman Islands from
2010 to 2012 following the 2010 bleaching also documented substantial
recovery of live coral cover (Marimuthu et al., 2012; Osborne et al.,
2011).
These recent studies illustrate the dynamic nature of live coral
cover, especially recovery from the 1998 bleaching event. It is likely
that the overall basin-wide live coral cover in both the Caribbean and
the Indo-Pacific has declined over decadal and centurial time scales,
but with fluctuations on shorter time scales and within smaller
geographic scales. This is significant because coral decline doesn't
occur in every location at every time scale. Rather, there are periods
of decline and recovery over shorter time periods in various locations
throughout the larger basins. This has broad implications when
analyzing the temporal and spatial elements of a coral species'
extinction risk.
Disagreements over the methods of how to measure live coral cover
have led to different results in studies measuring changes in live
coral cover over time. For example, one study (Bellwood et al., 2004)
reported approximately 50 percent declines in live coral cover on GBR
over the last several decades, but another study disagreed (Sweatman et
al., 2011), making the case for considerably smaller declines, using a
different method. Both studies provided detailed support for their
methods and findings (Hughes et al., 2011; Sweatman and Syms, 2011).
Studies supporting both results have since been published (De'ath et
al., 2012; Osborne et al., 2011), and such disagreements illustrate the
complexity of determining trends in live coral cover.
In conclusion, the supplemental information regarding live coral
cover does not dispute that there has been a long-term overall decline
in live coral cover in both the Caribbean and Indo-Pacific, and that
those declines are likely ongoing and likely to continue in the future
due to a multitude of global and local threats at all spatial scales.
Further, both basins have experienced conditions leading to coral
mortality and prevention of full recovery; however, the Caribbean has
been more greatly impacted. While basin-wide averages are useful for
large-scale comparisons, they do not describe conditions at finer,
regional scales. For example, decreases in overall live coral cover
have occurred since 2002 in some areas, such as on the GBR, while
increases have occurred in other areas, such as in American Samoa. As
the supplemental information further illustrates, live coral cover
trends are highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing
patterns on small scales that can be easily taken out of context. Live
coral cover trends are complex, dynamic, and highly variable across
space and time. Thus their interpretation requires the appropriate
spatial-temporal context (i.e., entire range or each species now and
through foreseeable future), and an understanding of the various
physical, biological, and ecological processes at work within coral
communities and coral reef ecosystems.
In the proposed rule, we provided a summary of conditions in the
eastern Pacific to illustrate the contrast to the conditions in Indo-
Pacific and Caribbean. This description was relevant because the range
of one of our candidate species, Pocillopora elegans (eastern Pacific),
was restricted to the eastern Pacific. Because we are no longer
considering the three proposed Pocillopora species in this final rule,
a detailed description of the eastern Pacific is not necessary.
Spatial and Temporal Refugia
Comment 7 suggested that certain habitats (e.g., mesophotic) may
provide refugia for shallow water corals. Therefore, we provide the
following discussion of temporal and spatial refugia. Some of these
concepts were discussed in the Threats Evaluation section of the
proposed rule as they relate to exposure of corals to the various
threats and how exposure influences extinction risk. The above
information on coral habitats illustrates the enormous heterogeneity of
the environments that many of these species inhabit. Each species
occurs in a patchwork of variable habitat conditions at any given point
in time, with certain combinations of variables at certain locations
producing favorable conditions that may provide refugia from threats
such as ocean warming. Habitat conditions are highly variable over time
in different ways, including cyclically (e.g., from tidal, seasonal,
annual, and decadal cycles), episodically (e.g., storms, temperature
anomalies, etc.), and linearly (e.g., gradual thermal regime changes,
which will both degrade and improve habitat, depending on location and
initial conditions). The dynamic nature of reef-building coral habitats
may provide refugia for some corals from some threats, both spatially
and temporally (Fine et al., 2013; McClanahan et al., 2011; Riegl and
Piller, 2003).
Some habitats have natural features that reduce stress from
extremely high temperatures or light levels (i.e., the most common
causes of coral bleaching), which may provide spatial refugia for some
reef-building coral species from ocean warming and other threats.
Deeper water may be cooler depending on the amount of mixing, and is
exposed to less light (i.e., irradiance). Mesophotic habitats are very
extensive, and recent investigations provide evidence that mesophotic
habitat functions as refugia for some reef-building corals. A review of
mesophotic habitat on Australia's GBR concluded that reef-building
corals in mesophotic habitat are less likely to be affected by warming-
induced bleaching events than their counterparts on nearby shallow
reefs (Bridge et al., 2012a). Mesophotic habitat may also be important
for recovery of corals disturbed coral reefs by providing sources of
propagules to recolonize shallow reefs following disturbances (Bridge
and Guinotte, 2013). A 37-year record from the eastern Pacific across
the two most severe El Ni[ntilde]o events on
[[Page 53884]]
record (1982-83 and 1997-98) shows how an exceptionally thermally-
sensitive reef-building fire coral, Millepora intricata, twice survived
catastrophic bleaching in a deeper water refuge (>11 m depth). During
both events, M. intricata was extirpated across its range in shallow
water but showed recovery within several years, while two other fire
corals without deep-water populations were driven to regional
extinction (Smith et al., in press).
The refuge value of mesophotic habitats is limited, however. Only
about one-quarter of all reef-building coral species occur at
mesophotic depths (Bongaerts et al., 2012) and only 22 of our proposed
species. Also, there is limited connectivity between mesophotic and
shallow coral habitats, at least for some species, suggesting that the
actual likelihood of mesophotic corals repopulating shallow reef
habitats is low for those species. For example, genetic connectivity
between mesophotic and shallow populations is high in Seriatopora
hystrix on the GBR (van Oppen et al., 2011) and Millepora intricata in
the eastern Pacific (Smith et al., in press), but low for Montastraea
cavernosa in the Caribbean (Brazeau et al., 2013).
Marginal habitats are also extensive, and recent investigations
provide evidence that marginal habitat also functions as refugia for
some reef-building corals. Marginal habitats include turbid (Blakeway
et al., 2013; Browne et al., 2012), very warm (Riegl and Purkis, 2012;
Riegl et al., 2011), cold (Dalton and Roff, 2013; Lybolt et al., 2011),
soft substrate, and other environments (Couce et al., 2012; Done, 1982;
Perry and Larcombe, 2003) with sub-optimal coral growth conditions. A
study of future coral habitat suitability under ocean warming and
acidification suggests that marginal habitats may provide important
refugia for some reef-building corals (Couce et al., 2013b), though not
all coral species can survive in these habitats. The study found that
the IPCC AR4's higher emission scenarios are all likely to result in:
(1) Range expansion at the high-latitude boundaries; (2) no decreased
suitability in currently marginal eastern Equatorial Pacific locations
as well as in the Atlantic generally; and (3) severe temperature-driven
impacts in the western Equatorial Pacific (Coral Triangle) and
surrounding regions. These findings led to the conclusion that marginal
habitat is likely to function as a patchwork of refuge habitats for
some reef-building corals in both the Indo-Pacific and Atlantic as
ocean warming and acidification increase over the twenty-first century.
Aside from mesophotic and marginal habitats, other types of
habitats may provide refuge for reef-building corals from ocean warming
and other threats. Some of these have long been known to reduce thermal
stress, such as those habitats with highly-fluctuating conditions,
strong currents from wind or tides, and shading from frequent cloud
cover or complex bathymetry, as described in the proposed rule and
supporting documents. Supplemental information suggests other
oceanographic features may also provide refuge from ocean warming both
currently and the foreseeable future, such as: (1) Large-scale
upwelling in both the Pacific (Karnauskas and Cohen, 2012) and
Caribbean (Bayraktarov et al., 2012); (2) the similar but smaller-scale
phenomenon of internal tidal bores that transport cooler, deeper water
to warmer, shallower areas (Storlazzi et al., 2013); (3) and the wakes
of relatively cool water left by the passage of tropical cyclones
(Carrigan, 2012). Most of the refugia described above are with regard
to ocean warming, but some of these habitat types provide refugia
potential from ocean acidification, such as highly-fluctuating habitats
which limit pH minima via tidal flux (Shaw et al., 2012), and from
disease and sedimentation, such as high-energy habitats which provide
flushing that reduces conditions conducive to disease and removes
sediment. Seagrass beds provide beneficial changes in ocean chemistry
to seawater on adjacent reefs, providing local refugia to ocean
acidification (Manzello et al., 2012). Depth also provides some refugia
potential from disease, as most studies show a negative correlation
between depth and coral disease incidence. However, some studies show
no such correlation, and disease incidence can be comparable between
mesophotic and shallow depths (Brandt et al., 2012).
Thermal regime changes from ocean warming will have opposite
effects on habitat, depending on location: In locations already near
the thermal maxima of reef-building corals, warming will degrade
habitat, but in locations currently too cool for these species, warming
will improve habitat, if other habitat features conducive to reef
growth are also present, such as hard substrate and appropriate light
and water chemistry conditions. Geological evidence from past global
warming periods shows a pattern of poleward expansion of some reef-
building coral ranges, coupled with decline in equatorial areas
(Kiessling et al., 2012) and expansion into temperate areas (Woodroffe
et al., 2010). Predicted ocean warming in the twenty-first century is
expected to result in a similar pattern of poleward expansion, thus
newly-colonized areas may provide temporary refugia for some species
(van Hooidonk et al., 2013b). For example, models suggest that such
expansion of reef-building corals could occur at the rate of 1-4 km per
year in Japan (Yara et al., 2011). As temperatures increase to the
optimal range for reef-building corals in these northerly and southerly
areas, however, the simultaneous increase in ocean acidification may
negate the suitability of these areas (van Hooidonk et al., 2014; Yara
et al., 2012). While it may appear that there is no long-term, large-
scale refugia from both ocean warming and ocean acidification (van
Hooidonk et al., 2014), on a finer regional and/or reef-scale, there is
still a large amount of refugia in the form of heterogeneous habitat,
including mesophotic, non-reefal, and marginal habitats, that provide a
buffer to corals from threats into the foreseeable future.
Corals and Coral Reefs Conclusion
The above general information on reef-building coral biology and
habitat leads to several important overall points that apply both
currently and over the foreseeable future. With regard to reef-building
coral biology, first, delineations between individual colonies of the
same species, and between species, can be highly uncertain, creating
ambiguity with regard to the status of species--specific sources of
uncertainty include unclear individual delineations, taxonomic
uncertainty, and species identification uncertainty. Thus, in our
species determinations we use the physiological colony to inform how we
estimate abundance of a coral species because that is how field surveys
estimate coral abundance. Using the physiological colony to estimate
abundance in the final rule does not change how we estimated abundance
in the proposed rule, in which we also relied on information that uses
the physiological colony to report abundance estimates. If we have new
or supplemental information on the effective population size (e.g.,
proportion of clonality) for a species, that information is also
considered. Second, while corals can reproduce both sexually and
asexually, abundance estimates are based solely on the physical number
of coral colonies that does not recognize mode of reproduction.
Dispersal and recruitment patterns are highly variable across space and
time, leading to complex and poorly understood population dynamics and
[[Page 53885]]
connectivity. In our species determinations, we consider life history
characteristics that may contribute to extinction risk. For example,
species with high recruitment rates or fast growth rates may have the
ability to more quickly recover from disturbances. Additionally, long-
lived species with large colony size can sustain partial mortality
(fission) and still have potential for persistence and regrowth. Third,
all species considered in this final rule occur in multiple habitat
types and have considerable distributions that encompass at least
thousands of islands and multiple habitat types, which influences
absolute abundances--the absolute distributions and absolute abundances
of these species are key components of their vulnerability to
extinction. Therefore, in our species determinations, the spatial and
demographic traits of absolute abundance and absolute distribution
inform our evaluation of a species' current status and its capacity to
respond to changing conditions over the foreseeable future.
Additionally, because of variability between species, some
generalities cannot be assumed to apply equally to each species.
Therefore, in our species determinations we consider the complex nature
of coral biology and assume that for all species, responses to threats
will be variable between individual coral colonies and even between
different portions of the same colony. The best available species-
specific information for each of the 65 species is provided in the
Species-specific Information and Determinations sub-sections below.
With regard to reef-building coral habitat, first, the
heterogeneity of reef-building coral habitat varies greatly both
spatially and temporally. That is, the habitat of a given species
varies spatially (i.e., even the smallest ranges of the species
included in this final rule encompass thousands of islands and multiple
habitat types) and temporally (i.e., varies over time in response to
disturbances and recoveries). Second, some habitat types are
understudied (e.g., mesophotic and marginal) so data about their
contribution to the distribution and abundance of individual coral
species are limited, as well as the possibility of refugia from
particular threats being underestimated. Third, a diversity of habitats
likely helps some species capacity to acclimatize and adapt to changing
conditions, especially extreme habitats. For example, while some
colonies die during the stressful conditions common to extreme
habitats, other colonies at the same reef survive and acclimatize,
potentially leading to adaptation. The magnitude and diversity of reef-
building coral habitats creates high physical heterogeneity across the
ranges of these species, providing habitat refugia from threats. Some
of these refuge habitats may already be occupied by the species; others
could become occupied as their suitability changes, assuming the
species are able to reproduce and successfully recruit into these
areas. The habitat heterogeneity and refugia lead to variable micro-
climates at a reef scale that leads to variable responses by reef-
building corals to threats, both spatially and over time, which adds
complexity to assessing the status of species in a worsening
environment.
Overall, in our species determinations, we recognize that the
exposure and response of a coral species to global threats varies
spatially and temporally based on variability in the species' habitat
and distribution. All species considered in this final rule occur in
multiple habitat types, or reef environments, and have distributions
that encompass diverse physical environmental conditions that influence
how that species responds to global threats. As such, the concept of
heterogeneous habitat influences extinction risk for all species in
this final rule because each species experiences a wide variety of
conditions throughout its range which allows for variable responses to
global and local threats.
Threats Evaluation
Section 4(a)(1) of the ESA and NMFS' implementing regulations (50
CFR 424) state that the agency must determine whether a species is
endangered or threatened because of any one or a combination of five
factors: (A) Present or threatened destruction, modification, or
curtailment of habitat or range; (B) overutilization for commercial,
recreational, scientific, or educational purposes; (C) disease or
predation; (D) inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E)
other natural or manmade factors affecting its continued existence. In
the proposed rule, our evaluation of the five factors was informed by
the SRR and SIR for factors A-C and E; and the Final Management Report
for factor D. We identified factors acting directly as stressors to the
82 coral species (e.g., sedimentation and elevated ocean temperatures)
as distinct from the sources responsible for those factors (e.g., land
management practices and climate change) and qualitatively evaluated
the impact each threat has on the candidate species' extinction risk
over the foreseeable future.
The proposed rule qualitatively ranked each threat as high, medium,
low, or negligible (or combinations of two; e.g., ``low-medium'')
importance in terms of their contribution to extinction risk of all
coral species across their ranges. These qualitative rankings
considered: (1) The severity of the threat; (2) the geographic scope of
the threat; (3) the level of certainty that corals in general (given
the paucity of species-level information) are affected by each threat;
(4) the projections of potential changes in the threat; and (5) the
impacts of the threat on each species. Global climate change directly
influences two of the three highest ranked threats, ocean warming and
ocean acidification, and indirectly (through ocean warming) influences
the remaining highest ranked threat, disease.
We identified nine threats (see Table 1) as posing either current
or future extinction risk to the proposed corals. However, the SRR
identified 19 threats that affect corals. The ten threats not included
in Table 1 did not rank highly in their contribution to extinction
risk, although they do adversely affect the species. Ocean warming,
ocean acidification, and disease are overarching threats of high or
medium-high importance when evaluating the extinction risk of the
proposed species. These impacts are currently occurring, and are
expected to worsen, posing increasingly severe effects on the species
considered in this final rule. Other threats are of medium or medium-
low importance when evaluating extinction risk because their effects
are largely indirect and/or local to regional in spatial scale. These
include trophic effects of fishing, sea-level rise, and water quality
issues related to sedimentation and nutrients. The remaining threats
can be locally acute, but because they affect limited geographic areas,
they are of low importance when evaluating extinction risk. Examples in
this category are predation or collection for the ornamental trade
industry. These threats are more significant to certain species, such
as those with naturally low abundance and/or those at severely depleted
population levels. However, none of the species in this final rule can
be characterized as such.
Table 1. The nine most important threats contributing to extinction
risk for corals in general and ordered according to importance. The
threat is paired with its corresponding ESA section 4 factor in the
last column.
[[Page 53886]]
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Threat Importance Section 4 factor
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Ocean Warming.......................... High............................... E.
Disease................................ High............................... C.
Ocean Acidification.................... Medium-High........................ E.
Trophic Effects of Fishing............. Medium............................. A.
Sedimentation.......................... Low-Medium......................... A and E.
Nutrients.............................. Low-Medium......................... A and E.
Sea-Level Rise......................... Low-Medium......................... A.
Predation.............................. Low................................ C.
Collection and Trade................... Low................................ B.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Some comments (e.g., Comment 26) suggested that local threats, such
as sedimentation, are more important locally to species' extinction
risk than the higher rated threats. In the proposed rule, we
acknowledged that some of the local threats have been the cause of mass
coral mortality in particular locations. Further, supplemental
information provides evidence that local threats, such as overfishing
and disease, have actually been more significant drivers of past coral
reef species decline, particularly in the Caribbean (Jackson et al.,
2014). However, we must evaluate all threats that pose an extinction
risk to the proposed species over the foreseeable future. Given the
predicted impacts of climate-related threats over the foreseeable
future, we maintain the relative importance ranking of the threats to
reef-building corals generally. However, we acknowledge that lower
importance threats also pose significant risk to individual species in
certain locations.
Foreseeable Future
In the proposed rule, we established that the appropriate period of
time corresponding to the foreseeable future is a function of the
particular types of threats, the life-history characteristics, and the
specific habitat requirements for the coral species under
consideration. The timeframe corresponding to the foreseeable future
takes into account the time necessary to provide for the conservation
and recovery of each threatened species (e.g., recruitment rate, growth
rate, etc.) and the ecosystems upon which they depend, but is also a
function of the reliability of available data regarding the identified
threats and extends only as far as the data allow for making reasonable
predictions about the species' response to those threats. As is
discussed further in the Foreseeable Future and Current and Future
Environmental Conditions subsections of the Risk Analysis section
below, the period of time over which individual threats and responses
may be projected varies according to the nature of the threat and the
type of information available about that threat and the species' likely
response. As described below, the more vulnerable a coral species is to
the high importance threats (i.e., ocean warming, diseases, ocean
acidification), the more likely the species is at risk of extinction,
either now or within the foreseeable future. The threats related to
global climate change (e.g., bleaching from ocean warming, ocean
acidification) pose the greatest potential extinction risk to corals
and have been evaluated with sufficient certainty out to the year 2100.
Comment 38 provides a summary of the comments we received on the
determination of foreseeable future in the proposed rule and supporting
documents as extending out to the year 2100. Many comments criticized
the use of 2100 because they considered it to be too far into the
future. We do not agree that 2100 is too far in the future to be
considered foreseeable as it pertains to projections regarding climate-
change related threats. As described in detail in the Global Climate
Change--General Overview section, the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report
(AR5), Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis (IPCC, 2013),
commonly referred to as the Working Group I Report (WGI), is a
continuation of AR4. Most of AR5 WGI's models also use 2100 as the end-
point (some models go beyond 2100) and the supplemental information
included in AR5 reinforces our original basis for defining the
foreseeable future as the period of time from the present to the year
2100 (IPCC, 2013). That is, the foreseeable future is not defined as
the year 2100, but rather as the time period from the present to the
year 2100, with increasing uncertainty in climate change projections
over that time period. So while precise conditions during the year 2100
are not reasonably foreseeable, the general trend in conditions during
the period of time from now to 2100 including the period 2081 to 2100
is reasonably foreseeable as a whole, although less so through time.
Because the time period of the present to the year 2100 is strongly
supported as a reasonably foreseeable timeframe in the climate science
projections in AR5's WGI, and because the climate-related impacts to
coral reefs may be substantial within that timeframe, our conclusion
that 2100 is the appropriate timeframe for purposes of analyzing
climate change-related threats remains unchanged.
Nine Most Important Threats to Reef-Building Corals
As described above and shown in Table 1, we considered nine threats
to be the most important to the current or expected future extinction
risk of reef-building corals: Ocean warming, disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of reef fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and trade.
Vulnerability of a coral species to a threat is a function of
susceptibility and exposure, considered at the appropriate spatial and
temporal scales. In this finding, the spatial scale is the current
range of the species, and the temporal scale is from now through the
foreseeable future. Susceptibility refers to the response of coral
colonies to the adverse conditions produced by the threat.
Susceptibility of a coral species to a threat is primarily a function
of biological processes and characteristics, and can vary greatly
between and within taxa. Susceptibility depends on direct effects of
the threat on the species, and it also depends on the cumulative (i.e.,
additive) and interactive (i.e., synergistic or antagonistic) effects
of multiple threats acting simultaneously on the species. Exposure
refers to the degree to which the species is likely to be subjected to
the threats throughout its range, so the overall vulnerability of a
coral species to threats depends on the proportion of colonies that are
exposed to the threats. Thus, the exposure of a species to threats, on
a range-wide scale, is a function of physical processes and
characteristics that affect the frequency or degree to which individual
colonies experience the threats and the ability of its spatial and
demographic traits to affect its overall vulnerability. A species may
not necessarily be highly vulnerable to a threat even when it is highly
susceptible to the threat, if exposure is low over the appropriate
[[Page 53887]]
spatial and temporal scales. Consideration of the appropriate spatial
and temporal scales is particularly important, because of potential
high variability in some threats over the large spatial scales. The
nine most important threats are summarized below, including general
descriptions of susceptibility and exposure. Species-specific threat
susceptibilities are described in the Species-specific Information and
Determinations section.
Global Climate Change--General Overview
Several of the most important threats contributing to the
extinction risk of corals are related to global climate change. The
main concerns regarding impacts of global climate change on coral reefs
generally, and on the proposed corals in particular, are the magnitude
and the rapid pace of change in GHG concentrations (e.g., carbon
dioxide (CO2) and methane) and atmospheric warming since the
Industrial Revolution in the mid-19th century. These changes are
increasing the warming of the global climate system and altering the
carbonate chemistry of the ocean (ocean acidification), which affects a
number of biological processes in corals, including secretion of their
skeletons. The description and analysis of global climate change in the
proposed rule and supporting documents were based largely on the IPCC
AR4, The Physical Science Basis (IPCC, 2007) and supporting literature.
Supplemental information gathered during the public engagement period
shows that global temperatures continue to increase and that
temperature patterns differ regionally.
As summarized in Comment 11, we received many comments on our
analysis of global climate change in the proposed rule. Some commenters
asserted that we did not adequately portray the level of uncertainty
associated with the available climate change models. Others provided
information that global GHG emissions and global temperatures continue
to rise unabated. Additionally, significant supplemental information
has become available on global climate change since the proposed rule,
specifically, AR5's WGI (IPCC, 2013), and its companion report, Climate
Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability, commonly referred
to as the Working Group II Report (WGII; IPCC, 2014).
The IPCC has summarized the major sources of uncertainty associated
with AR5's WGI projections of global climate change as: (1) The
projected rate of increase for GHG concentrations; (2) strength of the
climate's response to GHG concentrations; and (3) large natural
variations. The warming rate slow-down (or ``hiatus'' discussed in the
Threats Evaluation--Ocean Warming section) since 1998 is an example of
a large natural variation that was not predicted by the models at that
time. However, AR4's projections are built on scientifically sound
principles, and they fairly simulate many large-scale aspects of
present-day conditions, and thereby provided the best available
information on climate change at the time the proposed rule was
published. Overall uncertainty is not necessarily any greater in AR5
than in AR4, but rather the uncertainty is understood better and
expressed more clearly in AR5's WGI (IPCC, 2007; IPCC, 2013; Knutti and
Jan Sedl[aacute]cek, 2012). AR5's WGI represents the largest synthesis
of global climate change physical science ever compiled, and a
substantial advance from AR4. WGI is divided into four sections that
examine observations, drivers, understanding, and projections of
changes to the global climate system. The primary results of these four
sections relevant to this rule are summarized below; then a summary of
the potential impacts to corals resulting from the IPCC climate change
scenario that we consider to be the most impactful to corals is
provided in the RCP8.5 Projections section below, with a focus on ocean
warming and acidification, two of the most important threats to corals.
The first section of WGI considers observations of changes in the
climate system, which refers to description of past climate patterns,
and the certainty associated with the same. The overall conclusion of
this section is that warming of the climate system is unequivocal and
since the 1950s, many of the observed changes are unprecedented over
decades to millennia. With regard to ocean warming, it is ``virtually
certain'' that the upper ocean (0-700 m) warmed from 1971 to 2010. With
regard to ocean acidification, it is ``very likely'' that the pH of
surface ocean waters has decreased as a result of ocean uptake of
anthropogenic CO2 from the atmosphere. With regard to sea-
level rise, it is ``virtually certain'' that the global mean sea level
rose by 19 cm from 1901 to 2010 (IPCC, 2013).
The second section of WGI considers drivers of changes in the
climate system, which refers to explanations of factors forcing climate
patterns. Natural and anthropogenic substances and processes that alter
the Earth's energy budget are drivers of climate change. In AR5,
radiative forcing (RF, measured in watts per square meter, W/m\2\)
quantifies energy fluxes caused by changes in these drivers relative to
the year 1750. Increasing RF leads to surface warming, and decreasing
RF leads to surface cooling. The concentration of CO2 in the
atmosphere is the dominant anthropogenic driver. Higher atmospheric
CO2 results in: Ocean warming via the greenhouse effect,
ocean acidification via oceanic uptake of CO2, and rising
sea levels via ice melting and thermal expansion. Patterns in solar
activity and major volcanic eruptions are the two dominant natural
drivers. Solar activity can either increase or decrease RF, whereas
major volcanic eruptions only decrease RF. Current total RF relative to
1750 is positive, and has led to an uptake of energy by the climate
system. The largest contribution to current total RF is the increasing
atmospheric concentration of CO2 since 1750, most of which
has been anthropogenic CO2 emitted since 1860, and the mean
rate of increase in CO2 is unprecedented in the past 20,000
years. Current CO2 levels (~400 ppm) will result in
continued warming even if anthropogenic emissions went to zero now
(this is referred to as ``commitment'' to future warming from the
CO2 build-up already in the atmosphere), but reducing
emissions now would strongly influence the levels of future warming
(IPCC, 2013).
The third section of WGI describes past climate patterns to
understand the changes in the climate system. It is ``extremely
likely'' that human activities caused more than half of the observed
increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010.
Anthropogenic GHGs have ``very likely'' made a substantial contribution
to upper-ocean warming (above 700 m) observed since the 1970s. It is
also ``very likely'' that oceanic uptake of anthropogenic
CO2 has reduced surface water pH. The anthropogenic ocean
warming observed since the 1970s has contributed to global sea-level
rise over this period through ice melting and thermal expansion (IPCC,
2013).
The fourth section of WGI uses projected changes in the climate
system to model potential patterns of future climate. WGI uses a new
set of four representative concentration pathways (RCP) that provide a
standard framework for consistently modeling future climate change.
These replace the old Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES)
system used in prior assessments. The new RCPs are named according to
increases in radiative forcing (RF) relative to the 1986-2005 average
by the year 2100 of 2.6, 4.5, 6.0,
[[Page 53888]]
and 8.5 W/m\2\, RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP6.0, and RCP8.5. The four new
pathways have atmospheric CO2 equivalents of 421 (RCP2.6),
538 (RCP4.5), 670 (RCP6.0), and 936 ppm (RCP 8.5) in 2100, and follow
very different trajectories to reach those endpoints. The purpose of
the RCPs was to explicitly explore the impact of different climate
policies in addition to the no-climate-policy scenarios explored in the
earlier scenarios (Van Vuuren et al., 2011). The four new pathways were
developed with the intent of providing a wide range of total climate
forcing to guide policy discussions and specifically include one
mitigation pathway leading to a very low forcing level (RCP2.6), two
stabilization pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP6), and one pathway with
continued high GHG emissions (RCP8.5).
The RCP method more strongly represents the physical processes
underlying climate change, and various factors affecting GHG emissions
globally, than previous methods. WGI adjusts the likely global surface
warming that would result from a doubling of atmospheric CO2
to 1.5-4.5 [deg]C (compared to AR4's estimate of 2.0-4.5 [deg]C), due
to improved understanding of the climate system, the extended
temperature record in the atmosphere and ocean, and new estimates of
radiative forcing to GHG concentrations. Taken together, the four new
pathways project wide ranges of increases in ocean warming, ocean
acidification, and sea level rise globally throughout the 21st century
with conditions seen in RCP 2.6-6.0 requiring significant changes in
anthropogenic GHG emissions (IPCC, 2013).
The proposed rule and supporting documents assumed that AR4's
highest-emission scenario A1FI was the most likely to occur for two
reasons: (1) Recent annual GHG emission growth rates had exceeded the
GHG emission growth rates in A1F1 (except 2009 when the global
recession slowed growth); and (2) there were no indications that major
reductions in GHG emissions would occur in the near to mid-term future
(decades) through national or international policies or major changes
in the global fossil fuel economy (Brainard et al., 2011). Recent
annual GHG emission growth rates (except 2009) exceed the GHG emission
growth rates in RCP8.5 (Le Qu[eacute]r[eacute] et al., 2013). While the
President's Climate Action Plan and intensified international climate
negotiations may change global emissions trajectories, we make the
conservative assumption to evaluate RCP8.5, and its projections for
ocean warming and ocean acidification, in our assessment of extinction
risk for the corals in the final rule. RCP8.5 is the scenario with the
highest GHG emissions rate and subsequent future GHG levels; thus it
would be the most impactful to corals through ocean warming and ocean
acidification. However, should another of the IPCC RCPs ultimately be
realized, the negative impacts to corals would be lower.
As described above, we received and collected significant
supplemental information regarding our consideration of global climate
change in the proposed rule. Additional observations, data, and testing
have produced better models and a greater understanding of the
uncertainty inherent in climate change projections. Annual GHG emission
rates continue to climb to record levels, and the last decade has been
the warmest on record, underscoring the proposed rule's conclusions
about climate change threats to reef-building corals. We conclude that
the supplemental information supports the central premise of the
proposed rule that global climate change-related threats have already
caused widespread impacts to corals and coral reefs and these impacts
will become increasingly severe from now to 2100, with correspondingly
severe consequences for corals and coral reefs. However, we acknowledge
that the interpretation of future climate change threats to corals and
coral reefs is associated with complexity and uncertainty, and that
precise effects on individual species of reef-building corals are
difficult to determine. Species-specific threat susceptibilities of
each of the 65 species in this final rule to the threats resulting from
global climate change are described in the Species-specific Information
and Determinations section below.
RCP8.5 Projections
Because we have determined that RCP8.5 is the most impactful
pathway to corals, we provide a summary of RCP8.5's projections over
the foreseeable future for ocean warming and ocean acidification (IPCC,
2013). Where possible, projections are provided for the near-term (to
mid-century) and long-term (to 2100), and globally and regionally
(Indo-Pacific and Caribbean). Implications for coral reefs are also
described.
Ocean Warming. Under RCP8.5, annual averaged, globally averaged,
surface ocean temperature is projected to increase by approximately 0.7
[deg]C by 2030 and 1.4 [deg]C by 2060 compared to the 1986-2005
average, with the 10 to 90 percent range increasing over that time
period to approximately +/-0.7 [deg]C by 2060 (IPCC, 2013; WGI Figure
11.19). Projected changes in annual mean ocean temperature between 60
[deg]N and 60 [deg]S latitude in 2081-2100 are shown in WGI Figure
12.12. Under RCP8.5, annual mean surface ocean temperature between 60
[deg]N and 60 [deg]S latitude is projected to increase by approximately
3.5 [deg]C by 2081-2100 compared to the 1986-2005 average (IPCC, 2013;
WGI Figure 12.12). A different graph using the same data shows global
annual mean surface ocean temperature is projected to increase by
approximately 3.5 [deg]C by 2081-2100 compared to the 1986-2005
average, with 5 to 95 percent range of +/-1-1.5 [deg]C (IPCC, 2013;
Figure AI.SM8.5.4). Thus, RCP8.5 projects that global annual mean ocean
surface temperatures will increase by approximately 0.4-1 [deg]C by
2030, approximately 0.7-2 [deg]C by 2060, and approximately 2-5 [deg]C
by 2081-2100 (IPCC, 2013).
Projected changes in Indo-Pacific annual median ocean surface
temperatures (i.e., WGI's West Indian Ocean, North Indian Ocean,
Southeast Asia, North Australia, and Pacific Islands regions), and
Caribbean annual median land and ocean combined surface temperatures,
compared to the 1986-2005 average are shown in the figures in WGI's
Annex I's Supplementary Material for RCP8.5 for these six WGI regions,
which together cover the ranges of the species included in this final
rule. The figures include graphs in the upper right showing the
projected median temperature increase to 2100 under RCP8.5, the 25 to
75 percent range, and the 5 to 95 percent range. The figures also
includes maps of each region showing projected changes spatially under
RCP8.5 for the time periods 2016-2035, 2046-2065, and 2081-2100, and
for the 25 percent, 50 percent, and 75 percent projections under RCP8.5
for each of these time periods. For the Caribbean, the range of
projections spanned by the 25, 50, and 75 percent range maps are: For
2016-2035, increases of 0.5-1.0 [deg]C; for 2046-2065, increases of
1.0-3.0 [deg]C; and for 2081-2100, increases of 2.0-4.0 [deg]C. Spatial
variability in the projections consists mostly of larger increases in
the Greater Antilles and Jamaica, and lower increases in the Lesser
Antilles and the Bahamas (Figure AI.SM8.5.44). The percent ranges in
the projections described above are from the maps and are for the 25 to
75 percent range, however range of projections within the 5 to 95
percent range are considerably greater, as shown in the bar-and-whisker
[[Page 53889]]
graph in the upper right of each figure (IPCC, 2013).
For the Indo-Pacific (WGI's West Indian Ocean, North Indian Ocean,
Southeast Asia, North Australia, and Pacific Islands regions), the
range of projections spanned by the 25, 50, and 75 percent range maps
are: For 2016-2035, increases of 0.0-1.0 [deg]C; for 2046-2065,
increases of 1.0-3.0 [deg]C; and for 2081-2100, increases of 2.0-5.0
[deg]C. Spatial variability in the projections consists mostly of
larger increases in the Red Sea, Persian Gulf, and the Coral Triangle,
and lower increases in the central and eastern Indian Ocean and south-
central Pacific (Figures AI.SM8.5.92, 116, 124, 132, and 140). The
percent ranges in the projections described above are from the maps and
are for the 25 to 75 percent range, however range of projections within
the 5 to 95 percent range are considerably greater, as shown in the
bar-and-whisker graph in the upper right of each figure (IPCC, 2013).
To summarize ocean warming projections, RCP8.5 projects annual
median ocean surface temperature increases for the Indo-Pacific, and
annual median land and ocean combined surface temperature increases for
the Caribbean. Projected median temperatures, and associated 25 to 75
percent range and 5 to 95 percent range, are provided for the time
periods of 2016-2035, 2046-2065, and 2081-2100. We interpret these
projections as follows: (1) Global annual median ocean surface
temperatures are likely to rise approximately 2-5 [deg]C by 2081-2100,
exacerbating the impacts of ocean warming on reef-building corals; (2)
these global mean projections are not necessarily representative of
ocean surface temperature conditions throughout the ranges and habitats
of the species in this final rule through the foreseeable future, due
to spatial variability and statistical range of the RCP8.5 ocean
warming projections described above for the Indo-Pacific and Caribbean
regions; and (3) ocean surface temperature conditions in the
foreseeable future within the ranges of the species in this final rule
are assumed to vary spatially at the coarse spatial scales shown in WGI
for the Indo-Pacific and Caribbean regions, and more so at finer
spatial scales, and to fall within the statistical ranges projected for
the Indo-Pacific and Caribbean regions.
Ocean Acidification. Under RCP8.5, mean surface pH in the tropics
(20 [deg]N to 20 [deg]S) is projected to decline from the current pH of
approximately 8.05 to approximately 7.95 by 2050, and to approximately
7.75 by 2100, or a reduction of 0.31 (statistical range of 0.30 to
0.32) by 2100 (IPCC, 2013; WGI Figure 6.28a). Projected changes in
global surface pH in the 2090s compared to the 1990s under RCP8.5 are
shown in the map in WGI Figure 6.28b. In the tropical Indo-Pacific,
decreases of 0.25 to 0.40 are projected, with the lower decreases in
the central and eastern Pacific, and the higher decreases in the GBR
area and the northern Philippines, while most of the Caribbean is
projected to decrease in pH by 0.30 to 0.35. The pH reductions
associated with RCP8.5 are projected to result in declining aragonite
saturation states, as shown in WGI Figure 6.29. Projected median
surface aragonite saturation states of the world's oceans are shown for
2050 and 2100 in Figure 6.29d and f respectively, and by depth for the
Atlantic and Pacific Oceans in 2100 in Figure 6.29c and e respectively.
Surface aragonite saturation states in the tropical Indo-Pacific and
Caribbean are projected to decline from current levels of over 3, to
less than 2.5 by 2100, with similar spatial patterns as for pH
reductions (IPCC, 2013; WGI Figure 6.29). Statistical range is not
provided for aragonite saturation state, but we assume it to be similar
to that associated with pH projections. As shown in Figures 6.28 and
6.29, spatial variability is projected under RCP8.5 for both pH and
aragonite saturation state reductions over the foreseeable future
within the ranges of the species included in this final rule (IPCC,
2013).
We interpret RCP8.5's ocean acidification projections as follows:
(1) Mean surface pH in the tropics is projected to decline by
approximately 0.31 to approximately 7.75 by 2100, with a subsequent
large decline in aragonite saturation state in surface tropical waters,
exacerbating the impacts of ocean acidification on reef-building
corals; (2) surface pH and aragonite saturation state conditions
throughout the ranges of the species in this final rule through the
foreseeable future are not necessarily represented by these mean
projections, due to the spatial variability within the Indo-Pacific and
Caribbean regions, and the statistical range of the RCP8.5 ocean
acidification projections; and (3) surface pH and aragonite saturation
state conditions in the foreseeable future within the ranges of the
species in this final rule are assumed to vary spatially at the coarse
spatial scales shown in WGI for the Indo-Pacific and Caribbean regions,
and more so at finer spatial scales, and to fall within the statistical
ranges projected for the Indo-Pacific and Caribbean regions.
Implications for Coral Reef Ecosystems. AR5's WGII Report describes
the effects of WGI's climate change projections on the world's
ecosystems, including coral reefs. The report includes a description of
``Projected Impacts'' on coral reefs of all four WGI pathways combined,
and a general overview of projected impacts to coral reefs. While this
information does not specifically describe projected impacts of RCP8.5
to coral reefs by 2100, it strongly suggests that the projected impacts
of ocean warming and ocean acidification will increase (IPCC, 2014).
Likewise, the recent U.S. National Climate Assessment (NCA) report
describes the effects of projected climate change on United States
ecosystems, including coral reefs. Chapter 24 of the report includes a
brief and general description of projected climate change without
specifically examining any particular pathway (Doney et al., 2014). As
with WGII, while the NCA report does not specifically describe
projected impacts of RCP8.5 to coral reefs by 2100, it strongly
suggests that the projected impacts of ocean warming and ocean
acidification will increase on United States coral reefs.
Recent papers specifically address future changes in Indo-Pacific
and Caribbean coral reef ecosystems resulting from RCP8.5's projections
of combined ocean warming and ocean acidification, including Couce et
al. (2013a) and van Hooidonk et al. (2014). Couce et al. (2013a) uses
RCP8.5's ocean warming and ocean acidification projections to develop
predictions of ``average change in suitability'' of coral reef habitat
by 2070, concluding that declines in conditions will be driven
primarily by ocean warming, and vary spatially within the ranges of the
species included in this final rule. Couce et al. (2013) predicts
marked declines in environmental suitability for shallow coral reef
habitats across the equatorial western Pacific and adjacent areas
(e.g., Coral Triangle) by 2070, and generally less favorable conditions
elsewhere on Indo-Pacific and Caribbean coral reefs. Some coral reef
areas show little or no change in environmental suitability by 2070,
including portions of the western Indian and central Pacific Oceans,
likely because seawater temperatures are moderated by physical factors
such as higher latitudes or upwelling but aragonite saturation states
are suitable (Couce et al., 2013a; Fig. 1e). Many species included in
this final rule occur in areas of the western Indian and central
Pacific Oceans predicted to have
[[Page 53890]]
little or no change in environmental suitability by 2070. Notably, the
paper concluded the detrimental effect of higher ocean warming appears
to strongly outweigh the impacts of lower aragonite saturation states
for tropical shallow water coral reefs (Couce et al., 2013a).
van Hooidonk et al. (2014) also applies RCP8.5's ocean warming and
ocean acidification projections to predict ``when severe coral
bleaching events start to occur annually, and of changes in aragonite
saturation state'' over the 21st century. The paper concludes that 90
percent of all coral reefs are projected to experience severe bleaching
annually by 2055, that five percent declines in calcification are
projected for all reef locations by 2034, with the predicted changes in
conditions varing spatially across the geographic ranges of the species
included in this final rule. These authors predicted that the most
rapid increases in ocean warming will occur in the western equatorial
Pacific, the slowest in the Indian Ocean, eastern Pacific Ocean, and
high latitude areas, and intermediate elsewhere (van Hooidonk et al.,
2014; Fig 1a). The most rapid declines in aragonite saturation state
are predicted for the same general areas as the slowest warming, the
slowest declines in aragonite saturation state in roughly the same
areas as the most rapid warming, and intermediate elsewhere in the
Indo-Pacific and in the Caribbean (van Hooidonk et al., 2014; Fig 1d).
One of the paper's conclusions is that there are no real refugia for
coral reefs to the combined threats of higher ocean warming and lower
aragonite saturation states (van Hooidonk et al., 2014).
Several points to consider when interpreting Couce et al. (2013a)
and van Hooidonk et al. (2014) are: (1) The different results and
conclusions are likely due to the different methods, and illustrate the
sensitivity and variability in predicting the impacts of projected
changes in climate on coral reefs; (2) both papers used very coarse
spatial scales (1[deg] x 1[deg] cells, or >10,000 km\2\ at the
Equator), thus each cell can include many different reefs that
collectively represent diverse coral communities and habitats, which in
turn can affect the local spatial and temporal patterns of coral
responses to ocean warming and acidification; (3) both papers predict
high spatial variability in future conditions across coral reefs, and
both show the western equatorial Pacific as having the most degraded
future conditions, and parts of the Indian Ocean, central Pacific, and
some outlying areas as having less degraded future conditions; and (4)
neither paper analyzed the impacts of future climate change on
individual coral species.
In conclusion, RCP8.5 projects impacts to global coral reef
ecosystems over the foreseeable future from the combined effects of
increased ocean temperature and ocean acidification, the effects of
which are likley to be compounded by increasing coral disease, trophic
effects of fishing, land-based sources of pollution, and other threats
to corals. However, projecting species-specific responses to global
threats is complicated by several physical and biological factors: (1)
Global projections of changes to ocean temperatures and acidification
over the foreseeable future are associated with three major sources of
uncertainty (GHG emissions assumptions, strength of the climate's
response to GHG concentrations, and large natural variations); (2)
there is spatial variability in projected environmental conditions
across the ranges of the species in this final rule at any given point
in time; and (3) species-specific responses depend on many biological
characteristics, including, at a minimum, distribution, abundance, life
history, susceptibility to threats, and capacity for acclimatization.
The available species-specific information on how species in this final
rule respond to climage change is limited. Therefore, analysis of the
biological characteristics on a case-by-case basis is emphasized in
considering a species' vulnerability to extinction.
Ocean Warming (High Importance Threat, ESA Factor E)
Ocean warming is considered under ESA Factor E--other natural or
manmade factors affecting the continued existence of the species--
because the effect of the threat results from human activity and
affects individuals of the species directly, and not their habitats. In
the proposed rule, we described the threat from ocean warming as
follows. Mean seawater temperatures in reef-building coral habitat in
both the Caribbean and Indo-Pacific have increased during the past few
decades, and are predicted to continue to rise between now and 2100. As
also described in the proposed rule, the frequency of warm-season
temperature extremes (warming events) in reef-building coral habitat in
both the Caribbean and Indo-Pacific has increased during the past two
decades, and it is also predicted to increase between now and 2100.
Ocean warming is one of the most important threats posing
extinction risks to the proposed coral species; however, individual
susceptibility varies among species. The primary observable coral
response to ocean warming is bleaching of adult coral colonies, wherein
corals expel their symbiotic zooxanthellae in response to stress. For
many corals, an episodic increase of only 1 [deg]C-2 [deg]C above the
normal local seasonal maximum ocean temperature can induce bleaching.
Corals can withstand mild to moderate bleaching; however, severe,
repeated, or prolonged bleaching can lead to colony death. Coral
bleaching patterns are complex, with several species exhibiting
seasonal cycles in symbiotic dinoflagellate density. Thermal stress has
led to bleaching and associated mass mortality in many coral species
during the past 25 years. In addition to coral bleaching, other effects
of ocean warming detrimentally affect virtually every life-history
stage in reef-building corals. Impaired fertilization, developmental
abnormalities, mortality, impaired settlement success, and impaired
calcification of early life phases have all been documented. In the
proposed rule, we relied heavily on AR4 in evaluating extinction risk
from ocean warming because it contained the most thoroughly documented
and reviewed assessments of future climate and represented the best
available scientific information on potential future changes in the
earth's climate system. Emission rates in recent years have met or
exceeded levels predicted by AR4's worst-case scenarios, resulting in
all scenarios underestimating the projected climate condition.
Exposure of colonies of a species to ocean warming can vary greatly
across its range, depending on colony location (e.g., latitude, depth,
bathymetry, habitat type, etc.) and physical processes that affect
seawater temperature and its effects on coral colonies (e.g., winds,
currents, upwelling shading, tides, etc.). Colony location can moderate
exposure of colonies of the species to ocean warming by latitude or
depth, because colonies in higher latitudes and/or deeper areas are
usually less affected by warming events. Deeper areas are generally
less affected typically because lower irradiance reduces the likelihood
of warming-induced bleaching. Also, some locations are blocked from
warm currents by bathymetric features, and some habitat types reduce
the effects of warm water, such as highly fluctuating environments.
Physical processes can moderate exposure of colonies of the species to
ocean warming in many ways, including processes that increase mixing
(e.g., wind, currents, tides), reduce seawater temperature (e.g.,
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upwelling, runoff), or increase shading (e.g. turbidity, cloud cover).
Exposure of colonies of a species to ocean warming will likely vary
annually and decadally, while increasing over time, because: (1)
Numerous annual and decadal processes that affect seawater temperatures
will continue to occur in the future (e.g., inter-decadal variability
in seawater temperatures and upwelling related to El-Ni[ntilde]o
Southern Oscillation); and (2) ocean warming is predicted to
substantially increase by 2100.
Multiple threats stress corals simultaneously or sequentially,
whether the effects are cumulative (the sum of individual stresses) or
interactive (e.g., synergistic or antagonistic). Ocean warming is
likely to interact with many other threats, especially considering the
long-term consequences of repeated thermal stress, and that ocean
warming is expected to continue to increase over the foreseeable
future. Increased seawater temperature can lower resistance to coral
diseases and reduce coral health and survivorship. Coral disease
outbreaks often have either accompanied or immediately followed
bleaching events, and also follow seasonal patterns of high seawater
temperatures. The effects of greater ocean warming (e.g., increased
bleaching, which kills or weakens colonies) are expected to interact
with the effects of higher storm intensity (e.g., increased breakage of
dead or weakened colonies), resulting in an increased rate of coral
declines. Likewise, ocean acidification and nutrients may reduce
thermal thresholds to bleaching, increase mortality, and slow recovery.
There is also mounting evidence that warming ocean temperatures can
have direct impacts on early life stages of corals, including abnormal
embryonic development at 32 [deg]C and complete fertilization failure
at 34 [deg]C for one Indo-Pacific Acropora species. In addition to
abnormal embryonic development, symbiosis establishment, larval
survivorship, and settlement success have been shown to be impaired in
Caribbean brooding and broadcasting coral species at temperatures as
low as 30 [deg]C-32 [deg]C. Further, the rate of larval development for
spawning species is appreciably accelerated at warmer temperatures,
which suggests that total dispersal distances could also be reduced,
potentially decreasing the likelihood of successful settlement and the
replenishment of extirpated areas.
Finally, warming will continue causing increased stratification of
the upper ocean because water density decreases with increasing
temperature. Increased stratification results in decreased vertical
mixing of both heat and nutrients, leaving surface waters warmer and
nutrient-poor. While the implications for corals and coral reefs of
these increases in warming-induced stratification have not been well
studied, it is likely that these changes will both exacerbate the
temperature effects described above (e.g., increase bleaching and
decrease recovery) and decrease the overall net productivity of coral
reef ecosystems (e.g., fewer nutrients) throughout the tropics and
subtropics.
Overall, there is ample evidence that climate change (including
that which is already committed to occur from past GHG emissions and
that which is reasonably certain to result from continuing and future
emissions) will follow a trajectory that will have a major impact on
corals. There has been a recent research emphasis on the processes of
acclimatization and adaptation in corals, but in the proposed rule we
determined that, taken together, the body of research was inconclusive
as to how these processes may affect individual corals' extinction
risk, given the projected intensity and rate of ocean warming. As
detailed in Comments 12-16, we received numerous comments related to
ocean warming threats to corals that focused on the following aspects:
(1) General future projections of ocean warming levels; (2) accounting
for spatial variability; (3) the future decline of coral reefs because
of increasing GHG emissions; (4) the possibility of wide ranging
responses by coral reef ecosystems; (5) the specific effects of ocean
warming on reef-building corals; and (6) the capacity of reef-building
corals for acclimatization and adaptation to ocean warming.
With regard to the future projections of global climate change, the
proposed rule and supporting documents assumed that AR4's highest-
emission scenario A1FI was the most likely. As discussed in Global
Climate Change--General Overview, we assume that for corals RCP8.5 is
the most impactful pathway for present to the year 2100. Ocean warming
projections and implications for coral reefs are described above in the
RCP8.5 Projections section.
Comment 12 also criticized our lack of consideration of the post-
1998 hiatus in global warming. The proposed rule did not consider this
phenomenon as the issue was only emerging during the time the proposed
rule was drafted. However, because supplemental information has become
available since that time, we consider it here. Despite unprecedented
levels of GHG emissions in recent years, a slow-down in global mean
surface air temperature warming has occurred since 1998, which AR5's
WGI refers to as a ``hiatus.'' Despite this slowdown in warming, the
period since 1998 is the warmest recorded and ``Each of the last three
decades has been successively warmer at the Earth's surface than any
preceding decade since 1850.''
The slow-down in global mean surface warming since 1998 is not
fully explained by AR4 or AR5 WGI's models, but is consistent with the
substantial decadal and interannual variability seen in the
instrumental record and may result, in part, from the selection of
beginning and end dates for such analyses. Possible factors in the
slow-down may include the following: Heat absorption by the deep ocean
(Guemas et al., 2013; Levitus et al., 2012) facilitated by stronger
than normal trade winds (England et al., 2014), volcanic eruptions over
the last decade (Santer et al., 2014), La Ni[ntilde]a-like decadal
cooling that produces multi-year periods of slower warming than the
long-term anthropogenic forced warming trend (Benestad, 2012;
Easterling and Wehner, 2009; Kosaka and Xie, 2013), inherent
variability within the climate system that cannot currently be modeled,
and potentially other factors (IPCC, 2013). As explained above, the
major sources of uncertainty in climate change projections such as AR4
or AR5's WGI are: (1) The projected rate of increase for GHG
concentrations; (2) strength of the climate's response to GHG
concentrations; and (3) large natural variations. The slow-down in
warming since 1998 is an example of a large natural variation that
could not be predicted, at least by the models at that time.
Comment 12 identified several sources of spatial variability in
ocean warming and requested our consideration of additional
information. The proposed rule acknowledged both spatial and temporal
variability in ocean warming and considered the effect that variability
would have on the proposed corals. However, we acknowledge that
supplemental information has since become available, and we consider it
here. Regional and local variability in ocean warming conditions may
lead to warming-induced bleaching that is more or less severe
regionally or locally than globally. A hot spot of ocean warming occurs
in the equatorial western Pacific where regional warming is higher than
overall warming in the Indo-Pacific, exposing corals and coral reefs in
this area to a higher risk of warming-induced bleaching. The hot spot
overlaps the Coral Triangle (Couce et al., 2013b; Lough, 2012; Teneva
et al., 2012; van
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Hooidonk et al., 2013b). Several other areas in the Indo-Pacific have
been identified as having lower than average warming, including the
western Indian Ocean, Thailand, the southern GBR, central French
Polynesia, and the eastern equatorial Pacific, potentially resulting in
relatively lower risk of warming-induced coral bleaching in these areas
(Couce et al., 2013b; van Hooidonk et al., 2013b). Spatial variability
in ocean warming is lower in the much smaller Caribbean, and there are
fewer areas there with lower than average warming (Buddemeier et al.,
2011). The regional and local heterogeneity in ocean warming likely
results in high variability in coral responses across spatial scales
(Selig et al., 2010).
There are several types of temporal variability in ocean warming on
coral reefs. First, the rate of ocean warming itself changes over time.
For example, ocean warming has increased in the Indo-Pacific since
1950, but at different rates at different times (Lough, 2012). Second,
different periods of ocean warming can result in variability in
warming-induced bleaching at the same location. For example, a study in
Thailand showed significant differences in the susceptibility of coral
taxa to bleaching events between the years 1998 and 2010 and among
coral species at the same site (Sutthacheep et al., 2013). Spatial
variability in ocean warming between sites also results in temporal
variability in ocean warming impacts, as the different areas are
subsequently affected at different rates into the future (van Hooidonk
et al., 2013b). For example, a recent study found that Australian
subtropical reef-building coral communities are affected by ocean
warming more slowly than tropical reef-building coral communities,
resulting in slower rates of changes in the subtropical than tropical
communities (Dalton and Roff, 2013). These studies underscore the
temporal variability of ocean warming and warming-induced bleaching
across the ranges of reef-building coral species, complicating the
interpretation of the effects of ocean warming on any given coral
species across its range and over time.
Mesophotic and marginal habitats serving as refugia from ocean
warming are relatively new and potentially important considerations for
the vulnerability of coral species to ocean warming. Mesophotic
habitats continue to be explored, with new surveys finding larger
habitat areas and greater depth distributions for some reef-building
corals (Blyth-Skyrme et al., 2013; Bridge and Guinotte, 2012).
Supplemental information demonstrates the potential for mesophotic
habitat to provide refugia from ocean warming (Bridge et al., 2013a;
Smith et al., in press), although it does not always do so (Neal et
al., 2013). Marginal habitats, such as high latitude sites, upwelling
regions, and turbid areas like the GBR inner shelf, also may provide
refugia from ocean warming for some species in some conditions (Browne
et al., 2012; Couce et al., 2013b; Dalton and Roff, 2013), but not
others (Lybolt et al., 2011). Taken together, mesophotic and marginal
habitats may represent a network of refugia from ocean warming for some
species.
Comment 14 emphasized both that coral reefs are likely to decline
sharply in the future because of increasing GHG emissions (e.g.,
Carpenter et al., 2008; Donner, 2009; Frieler et al., 2012; Kiessling
and Baron-Szabo, 2004) and that a wide range of responses by coral reef
ecosystems are possible. Studies provided by commenters, and others on
recent modeling results (Frieler et al., 2012; van Hooidonk and Huber,
2012; van Hooidonk et al., 2013b) and scientific opinion statements
(Birkeland et al., 2013; ICRS, 2012) suggest disastrous effects of
ocean warming, in combination with other threats, on coral reef
ecosystems. For example, even in AR5 WGI's best-case pathway (RCP2.6)
where CO2 equivalent concentrations peak at 455 ppm, one
model suggests that 95 percent of coral reefs will experience annual
bleaching conditions by the end of the century (van Hooidonk et al.
2013b). Another model suggests that preserving more than 10 percent of
coral reefs worldwide would require limiting warming to less than 1.5
[deg]C above pre-industrial levels. Even assuming high adaptive
capacity of corals and the more optimistic AR5 pathways, the model
suggests that one-third of the world's coral reefs are projected to be
subject to long-term degradation (Frieler et al., 2012). In addition,
the combined effects of ocean warming and ocean acidification would
produce even more severe impacts on coral reefs globally (van Hooidonk
et al., 2013a; Yara et al., 2012).
These and other studies predict the irreversible disappearance of
coral reefs on a global scale in the next few decades. However, other
recent studies suggest that coral reef degradation resulting from
global climate change threats alone is likely to be a more spatially,
temporally, and taxonomically heterogeneous process. These studies
indicate that coral reef ecosystems, rather than disappear entirely as
a result of future impacts, will likely persist, but with unpredictable
changes in the composition of coral species and ecological functions
(Hughes et al., 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2011). Many factors contribute
to the heterogeneous responses of coral reefs to climate change
threats, including complexity associated with coral reef habitat, as
well as the biology of reef-building coral species themselves. As
described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, the exceptional
complexity, extent, and diversity of coral reef habitat increases the
uncertainty associated with coarse modeling of reef responses to
climate change threats. Likewise, many aspects of reef-building coral
biology contribute to complex responses to ocean warming, including
species-level processes such as capacity for acclimatization and
adaptation (Palumbi et al., 2014), the potential for range expansion
(Yamano et al., 2011; Yara et al., 2011), and community-level processes
such as changes in competition and predation (Cahill et al., 2013;
Hughes et al., 2012). These different processes occur simultaneously,
and contribute to highly-variable, complex, and uncertain responses of
reef-building coral species and in turn coral reefs to climate changes
threats like ocean warming. Moreover, management of local threats can
increase resilience of coral reefs to ocean warming and other global
climate change threats (Jackson et al., 2014; Pandolfi et al., 2011),
as described further in the Threats Evaluation--Inadequacy of Existing
Regulatory Mechanisms section.
Comment 15 focused on the specific effects of ocean warming on
reef-building corals. The proposed rule described the known specific
effects of ocean warming as well as the threats that act simultaneously
or sequentially, and whether the effects are cumulative (the sum of
individual stresses) or interactive (e.g., synergistic or
antagonistic). The rapidly growing literature on synergistic effects of
ocean warming-induced bleaching with other threats demonstrates that
bleaching is exacerbated by nutrients (Cunning and Baker, 2013; Vega
Thurber et al., 2013; Wiedenmann et al., 2013), disease is exacerbated
by warm temperatures and bleaching (Ban et al., 2013; Bruno et al.,
2007; Muller and van Woesik, 2012; Rogers and Muller, 2012), ocean
warming and acidification may impact corals in opposite but converging
ways (van Hooidonk et al., 2013a; Yara et al., 2012), and bleaching is
exacerbated by a variety of physical factors (Yee and Barron, 2010) or
can be reduced by biological factors (Connolly et al., 2012; Fabricius
et al., 2013). Other information on species-specifics effects of ocean
warming is provided in the
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Species-specific Information and Determinations section below.
Comment 15 focused on the potential capacity of reef-building
corals for acclimatization and adaptation to ocean warming and provided
several new studies (Cahill et al., 2013; Guest et al., 2012; Jones and
Berkelmans, 2010) and some that we considered in the proposed rule
(Baker et al., 2004; Maynard et al., 2008; Pandolfi et al., 2011).
Identified mechanisms include symbiont shuffling (Baker, 2012; Cunning
et al., 2013; Ortiz et al., 2013; Silverstein et al., 2012), symbiont
shading by host pigments or tissue (Mayfield et al., 2013; Smith et
al., 2013a), host genotype expression (Baums et al., 2013; Granados-
Cifuentes et al., 2013; Meyer et al., 2011), and host protein
expression (Barshis et al., 2013; Voolstra et al., 2011). As described
in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, the dynamic association of host
coral and symbiotic zooxanthellae and microbes provides potential for
acclimatization or adaptation of some reef-building coral species to
environmental changes.
Many recent studies provide evidence that certain reef-building
coral communities have acclimated or adapted to ocean warming, at least
to some degree. The bleaching and mortality of some colonies of a coral
species on a reef, followed by the recovery of hardier colonies, is the
process by which acclimatization and adaptation of a species to ocean
warming occurs. Examples of bleaching, mortality, and recovery provide
information about the capacity for acclimatization and adaptation.
Several such examples were provided in the proposed rule and supporting
documents (Diaz-Pulido et al., 2009; Hueerkamp et al., 2001; Kayanne et
al., 2002). More recently, many relevant studies have become available
on the effects of the 1998 bleaching event. For example, in comparisons
of 1998 and 2010 bleaching events and recovery in southeast Asia, some
coral species demonstrated more resistance to bleaching in 2010,
suggesting acclimatization or adaptation to thermal stress (Sutthacheep
et al., 2013). In a study on an isolated reef in Australia, recovery of
coral cover occurred within 12 years of the 1998 bleaching event
(Gilmour et al., 2013). In contrast, studies in the U.S. Virgin Islands
and Florida demonstrated little if any recovery in the 10 to 12 years
following the 1998 bleaching event (Rogers and Muller, 2012; Ruzicka et
al., 2013).
A recent analysis comparing observed versus predicted coral
bleaching events suggests that corals may have already responded
adaptively to some warming since the Industrial Revolution because
observed bleaching responses are lower than predicted by the warm
temperature anomalies (Logan et al., 2013). A recent study of fast-
growing, shallow water coral species demonstrated that acclimatization
and adaptive responses allowed them to inhabit reef areas with water
temperatures far above their expected tolerances (Palumbi et al.,
2014). Similar to the mechanisms of coral acclimatization and
adaptation described above, there is a rapidly growing body of
literature on the responses of corals to ocean warming (Ateweberhan et
al., 2013; Baker et al., 2013; Bellantuono et al., 2012; Castillo et
al., 2012; Coles and Riegl, 2013; Penin et al., 2013). These studies
help explain the capacity for reef-building corals to acclimatize and
adapt to ocean warming and warming-induced bleaching and suggest some
limited capacity. However, any such capacity is highly dependent on
species, location, habitat type, and many other factors. Available
species-specific information on vulnerability to ocean warming and
warming-induced bleaching, including evidence of acclimatization or
adaptation, is provided in the Species-specific Information and
Determination sections below.
After considering this supplemental information in addition to that
which was available for the proposed rule, our conclusion regarding
ocean warming remains unchanged from the proposed rule, in that we
consider ocean warming to be of high importance in contributing to
extinction risk for the 65 corals in this final rule. However, we
acknowledge that the interpretation of future ocean warming and
warming-induced impacts to corals and coral reefs is associated with
complexity and uncertainty, and that precise effects on individual
species of reef-building corals are especially difficult to determine.
The impact of ocean warming may be mediated by several factors and the
extent to which the extinction risk of a coral species is impacted by
ocean warming depends on its particular level of susceptibility,
combined with its spatial and demographic characteristics in the
context of worsening environmental conditions out to 2100, which is
discussed in detail for each species in the Species-specific
Information and Determinations section.
Disease (High Importance Threat, ESA Factor C)
Disease is considered under ESA Factor C--disease or predation. In
the proposed rule we described the threat of disease as follows.
Disease adversely affects various coral life history events by, among
other processes, causing adult mortality, reducing sexual and asexual
reproductive success, and impairing colony growth. A diseased state
results from a complex interplay of factors including the cause or
agent (e.g., pathogen, environmental toxicant), the host, and the
environment. All coral disease impacts are presumed to be attributable
to infectious diseases or to poorly-described genetic defects. Coral
disease often produces acute tissue loss. Other manifestations of
disease in the broader sense, such as coral bleaching from ocean
warming, are incorporated under other factors (e.g., manmade factors
such as ocean warming as a result of climate change).
Coral diseases are a common and significant threat affecting most
or all coral species and regions to some degree, although the
scientific understanding of individual disease causes in corals remains
very poor. The incidence of coral disease appears to be expanding
geographically in the Indo-Pacific, and there is evidence that corals
with massive morphology species are not recovering from disease events
in certain locations. The prevalence of disease is highly variable
between sites and species. Increased prevalence and severity of
diseases is correlated with increased water temperatures, which may
correspond to increased virulence of pathogens, decreased resistance of
hosts, or both. Moreover, the expanding coral disease threat may result
from opportunistic pathogens that become damaging only in situations
where the host integrity is compromised by physiological stress or
immune suppression. Overall, there is mounting evidence that warming
temperatures and coral bleaching responses are linked (albeit with
mixed correlations) with increased coral disease prevalence and
mortality. Complex aspects of temperature regimes, including winter and
summer extremes, may influence disease outbreaks. Bleaching and coral
abundance seem to increase the susceptibility of corals to disease
contraction. Further, most recent research shows strong correlations
between elevated human population density in close proximity to coral
reefs and disease prevalence in corals.
Although disease causes in corals remain poorly understood, some
general patterns of biological susceptibility are beginning to emerge.
There appear to be predictable patterns of immune capacity across coral
families, corresponding with trade-offs with their life history traits,
such as reproductive output and growth rate. Both Acroporidae and
Pocilloporidae have low immunity to
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disease. However, both of these families have intermediate to high
reproductive outputs. Both Faviidae and Mussidae are intermediate to
high in terms of disease immunity and reproductive output. Finally,
while Poritidae has high immunity to disease, it has a low reproductive
output.
The effects of coral disease depend on exposure of the species to
the threat, which varies spatially across the range of the species and
temporally over time. Exposure to coral disease is moderated by
distance of some coral habitats from the primary causes of most disease
outbreaks, such as stressors resulting from sedimentation and nutrient
over-enrichment. Exposure to coral disease can also be moderated by
depth of many habitats, with deep habitats generally being less
affected by disease outbreaks associated with stressors resulting from
ocean warming. Disease exposure in remote areas and deep habitats
appears to be low but gradually increasing. Exposure to coral disease
will increase as factors that increase disease outbreaks (e.g., warming
events) expand over time.
As explained above, disease may be caused by threats such as ocean
warming and bleaching, nutrients, and toxins. However, interactive
effects between independently-arising disease and other threats are
also important, because diseased colonies are more susceptible to the
effects of some other threats. For example, diseased or recovering
colonies may become more quickly stressed than healthy colonies by
land-based sources of pollution (sedimentation, nutrients, and toxins),
may more quickly succumb to predators, and may more easily break during
storms or as a result of other physical impacts.
Comments 17 and 18 discussed the importance of disease as a threat
to corals and provided a few scientific studies (Harvell et al., 1999;
Harvell et al., 2002; Muller and van Woesik, 2012; Rogers and Muller,
2012) to emphasize this importance. Muller and van Woesik (2012)
examined spatial epidemiology in the Caribbean to test if pathogens are
contagious and spread from infected to susceptible hosts. They found no
evidence of clustering for these diseases, so they did not follow a
contagious disease model. They suggest the expression of coral disease
is a two-step model: Environmental thresholds are exceeded, then those
conditions either weaken the coral or increase the virulence of the
pathogen (Muller and van Woesik, 2012).
We also gathered supplemental information on the threat of disease
since the proposed rule was published. Burge et al. (2014) summarized
the current understanding of interactions among coral disease, elevated
temperature, and bleaching. This supplemental information provides
further insight of coral disease impacts at the individual level and
the local aggregation level, and provides future predictions for the
role of coral disease at the population level.
At the individual level, recent studies examine both underlying
factors and mechanistic explanations for the contraction and expansion
of coral disease. For example, one study investigated microbial
community dynamics in the mucus layer of corals to understand how the
surface microbial community responds to changes in environmental
conditions and under what circumstances it becomes vulnerable to
overgrowth by pathogens. They found that a transient thermal anomaly
can cause the microbial community to shift from a stable state
dominated by antibiotic microbes to a stable state dominated by
pathogens. Beneficial microbes may not be able to resume dominance
after a temperature disturbance until the environment becomes
considerably more favorable for them (Mao-Jones et al., 2010). Another
study conducted a meta-analysis to determine whether the presence of
particular microbial taxa correlates with the state of coral health and
found distinct differences in the microbial taxa present in diseased
and healthy corals (Mouchka et al., 2010). A third study investigated
three variables commonly associated with immunity in hard and soft
corals spanning ten families on the GBR. They found that all three
variables (phenlyoxidase activity, size of melanin containing granular
cells, and fluorescent protein concentrations) were significant
predictors of susceptibility (Palmer et al., 2010). Many other studies
have focused on bacterial or eukaryotic pathogens as the source of
coral disease; however, a more recent study examined the role of
viruses and determined that a specific group of viruses is associated
with diseased Caribbean corals (Soffer et al., 2013).
Several studies provide further evidence of disease outbreaks that
were significantly correlated with bleaching events. The bleaching
occurred first, then several months to a year later, there were
significant increases in disease prevalence in bleached areas (Ban et
al., 2013; Brandt and McManus, 2009; Bruno et al., 2007; Croquer et
al., 2006; Croquer and Weil, 2009; Miller et al., 2009). The specific
interactions between the two phenomena varied among disease-bleaching
combinations. Results from one of these studies suggest the
hypothesized relationship between bleaching and disease events may be
weaker than previously thought, and more likely to be driven by common
responses to environmental stressors, rather than directly facilitating
one another.
Ateweberhan et al. (2013) reviewed and summarized interactions
between important threats to corals. They note that disease can
interact not only with ocean warming and bleaching events, but may also
be exacerbated by sedimentation, nutrients, overfishing, and
destructive practices on coral reefs. From a broad, population-wide
perspective, Yakob and Mumby (2011) provide an important alternative
context in which to demonstrate that high population turnover within
novel ecosystems (those that are different from the past and created by
climate change) may enhance coral resistance to disease. They emphasize
the need to move away from future projections based on historical
trends and start to account for novel behavior of ecosystems under
climate change.
After considering this supplemental information in addition to that
which was available for the proposed rule, our conclusion regarding
disease remains unchanged from the proposed rule, in that we consider
coral disease to be of high importance in contributing to extinction
risk for the 65 corals in this final rule. The impact of disease may be
mediated by several factors and the extent to which the extinction risk
of a coral species is impacted by disease depends on its particular
level of susceptibility, combined with its spatial and demographic
characteristics in the context of worsening environmental conditions
out to 2100, which is discussed in detail for each species in the
Species-specific Information and Determinations section.
Ocean Acidification (Medium-High Importance Threat, ESA Factor E)
Ocean acidification is considered under ESA Factor E--other natural
or manmade factors affecting the continued existence of the species--
because the effect is a result of human activity and affects
individuals of the coral species more so than their habitats. In the
proposed rule we described that ocean acidification is a result of
global climate change caused by increased GHG accumulation in the
atmosphere. Reef-building corals produce skeletons made of the
aragonite form of calcium carbonate; thus, reductions in aragonite
saturation state caused by ocean acidification pose a major threat to
these species and other
[[Page 53895]]
marine calcifiers. Ocean acidification has the potential to cause
substantial reduction in coral calcification and reef cementation.
Further, ocean acidification adversely affects adult growth rates and
fecundity, fertilization, pelagic planula settlement, polyp
development, and juvenile growth. The impacts of ocean acidification
can lead to increased colony breakage and fragmentation and mortality.
Based on observations in areas with naturally low pH, the effects of
increasing ocean acidification may also include potential reductions in
coral size, cover, diversity, and structural complexity.
As CO2 concentrations increase in the atmosphere, more
CO2 is absorbed by the oceans, causing lower pH and reduced
availability of carbonate ions, which in turn results in lower
aragonite saturation state in seawater. Because of the increase in
CO2 and other GHGs in the atmosphere since the Industrial
Revolution, ocean acidification has already occurred throughout the
world's oceans, including in the Caribbean and Indo-Pacific, and is
predicted to considerably increase between now and 2100, as described
above in the RCP8.5 Projections section. Along with ocean warming and
disease, we considered ocean acidification to be one of the most
important threats posing extinction risks to coral species between now
and the year 2100; however, individual susceptibility varies among the
proposed species.
Numerous laboratory and field experiments have shown a relationship
between elevated CO2 and decreased calcification rates in
some corals and other calcium carbonate secreting organisms. However,
because only a few species have been tested for such effects, it is
uncertain how most will fare in increasingly acidified oceans. In
addition to laboratory studies, recent field studies have demonstrated
a decline in linear growth rates of some coral species, suggesting that
ocean acidification is already significantly reducing growth of corals
on reefs. However, this has not been widely demonstrated across coral
species and reef locations, suggesting species-specific effects and
localized variability in aragonite saturation state. A potential
secondary effect is that ocean acidification may reduce the threshold
at which bleaching occurs. Overall, the best available information
demonstrates that most corals exhibit declining calcification rates
with rising CO2 concentrations, declining pH, and declining
aragonite saturation state, although the rate and mode of decline can
vary among species. Recent studies also discuss the physiological
effects of ocean acidification on corals and their responses. Corals
are able to regulate pH within their tissues, maintaining higher pH
values in their tissues than the pH of surrounding waters. This is an
important mechanism in naturally highly-fluctuating environments (e.g.,
many backreef pools have diurnally fluctuating pH) and suggests that
corals have some adaptive capacity to acidification. However, as with
ocean warming, there is high uncertainty as to whether corals will be
able to adapt quickly enough to the projected changes in aragonite
saturation state.
In addition to the direct effects on coral calcification and
growth, ocean acidification may also affect coral recruitment, reef
cementation, and other important reef-building species like crustose
coralline algae. Studies suggest that the low pH associated with ocean
acidification may impact coral larvae in several ways, including
reduced survival and recruitment. Ocean acidification may influence
settlement of coral larvae on coral reefs more by indirect alterations
of the benthic community, which provides settlement cues, than by
direct physiological disruption. A major potential impact from ocean
acidification is a reduction in the structural stability of corals and
reefs, which results both from increases in bioerosion and decreases in
reef cementation. As atmospheric CO2 rises globally, reef-
building corals are expected to calcify more slowly and become more
fragile. Declining growth rates of crustose coralline algae may
facilitate increased bioerosion of coral reefs from ocean
acidification. Studies demonstrate that ocean acidification will likely
have a great impact on corals and reef communities by affecting
community composition and dynamics, exacerbating the effects of disease
and other stressors (e.g., temperature), contributing to habitat loss,
and affecting symbiont function. Some studies have found that an
atmospheric CO2-level twice as high as pre-industrial levels
will start to dissolve coral reefs; this level could be reached as
early as the middle of this century. Further, the rate of acidification
may be an order of magnitude faster than what occurred 55 million years
ago during the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum (i.e., the period in
which global temperatures rose 5 to 9 [deg]C, providing a context in
which to understand climate change).
While CO2 levels in the surface waters of the ocean are
generally in equilibrium with the lower atmosphere, there can be
considerable variability in seawater pH across reef-building coral
habitats, resulting in colonies of a species experiencing high spatial
variability in exposure to ocean acidification. The spatial variability
in seawater pH occurs from reef to global scales, driven by numerous
physical and biological characteristics and processes, including:
Seawater temperature; proximity to land-based runoff and seeps;
proximity to sources of oceanic CO2; salinity; nutrients;
photosynthesis; and respiration. In cooler waters, CO2
absorption is higher, driving pH and aragonite saturation state lower,
thus relatively cool coral habitats are more susceptible to
acidification, such as those at higher latitudes, in upwelling areas,
and in deeper environments. On coral reefs, wave and wind-induced
mixing typically maintain roughly similar temperatures in the shallow
photic zone preferred by most reef-building corals, thus the deeper
environments that are more susceptible to acidification are generally
below this photic zone.
Land-based runoff decreases salinity and increases nutrients, both
of which can raise pH. Local sources of oceanic CO2 like
upwelling and volcanic seeps lower pH. Photosynthesis in algae and
seagrass beds draws down CO2, raising pH. High variability
over various time-scales is produced by numerous processes, including
diurnal cycles of photosynthesis and respiration, seasonal variability
in seawater temperatures, and decadal cycles in upwelling. Temporal
variability in pH can be very high diurnally in highly-fluctuating or
semi-enclosed habitats such as reef flats and back-reef pools, due to
high photosynthesis during the day (pH goes up) and high respiration
during the night (pH goes down). In fact, pH fluctuations during one
24-hr period in such reef-building coral habitats can exceed the
magnitude of change expected by 2100 in open ocean subtropical and
tropical waters. As with spatial variability in exposure to ocean
warming, temporal variability in exposure to ocean acidification is a
combination of high variability over short time-scales together with
long-term increases. While exposure of the proposed coral species to
ocean acidification varies greatly both spatially and temporally, it is
expected to increase for all species across their ranges between now
and 2100.
Ocean acidification likely interacts with other threats, especially
considering that ocean acidification is expected to continue to
increase over the foreseeable future. For example, ocean acidification
may reduce the threshold at which bleaching occurs, increasing the
threat posed by ocean warming. One of the key impacts of ocean
acidification is reduced
[[Page 53896]]
calcification, resulting in reduced skeletal growth and skeletal
density, which may lead to numerous interactive effects with other
threats. Reduced skeletal growth compromises the ability of coral
colonies to compete for space against algae, which grows more quickly
as nutrient over-enrichment increases, especially if not held in check
by herbivores. Reduced skeletal density weakens coral skeletons,
resulting in greater colony breakage from natural and human-induced
physical damage.
As discussed in Comments 18-21, we received numerous comments
related to the threat to corals from ocean acidification including: (1)
The overview and future projections of ocean acidification; (2)
variability in ocean acidification; and (3) specific effects of ocean
acidification on reef-building corals.
Comment 17 stated that we oversimplified the complexity and
variability in the future projections of ocean acidification, and
criticized our reliance on AR4 as the basis for our threat evaluation.
In the proposed rule, we acknowledged the uncertainty associated with
projections of ocean acidification from global climate change. However,
while there are many sources of uncertainty in climate change
projections, and likewise for ocean acidification, the ocean
acidification projections in AR4 and AR5's WGI represent the best
available information. The proposed rule and supporting documents
assumed that AR4's highest-emission scenario A1F1 was the most likely
to occur. Now that AR5's WGI is available, we consider the most
impactful pathway to coral is WGI's RCP8.5, which includes ocean
acidification projections. These projections are described above in the
RCP8.5 Projections section, along with two independent analyses of the
effects of ocean acidification projections in RCP8.5 on coral reefs in
the 21st century. As noted in the RCP8.5 Projections section, there is
uncertainty in these ocean acidification projections for coral reefs.
Comment 18 specifically cites Manzello et al. (2012) and Palacios
and Zimmerman (2012; 2007) to illustrate that variability in ocean
acidification on coral reefs can be buffered by local and regional
biogeochemical processes within seagrass beds. Additionally,
biogeochemical processes within coral reef communities (Andersson et
al., 2013) may buffer the effects of decreasing pH. Other scientific
studies identify mechanisms that can exacerbate changes in seawater pH
around coral reefs from ocean acidification, such as diurnal
variability that can amplify CO2 in seawater around coral
reefs (Shaw et al., 2013). On larger scales, a recent study
demonstrated that some coastal areas of the Gulf of Mexico and South
Atlantic were buffered against ocean acidification because of the input
of fresh, alkaline surface waters carrying dissolved inorganic carbon
(Wang et al., 2013). Variability in ocean acidification at basin and
global scales is influenced largely by upwelling and latitude, with
more acidification in areas of high upwelling and lower temperatures.
The interaction of ocean acidification with ocean warming produces
basin-level patterns of higher and lower habitat suitability for reef-
building corals (Couce et al., 2013b; van Hooidonk et al., 2013a; Yara
et al., 2012).
Comments 19 and 20 underscore specific effects to corals from ocean
acidification identified in the proposed rule, including: (1) Effects
on reef accretion; (2) effects on larvae and juvenile corals; (3)
interactive effects with other environmental variables; and (4)
miscellaneous effects. Recent research identifies impacts of ocean
acidification on reef accretion due to reduced coral calcification
(Chan and Connolly, 2013) and impacts on crustose coralline algae
(Doropoulos and Diaz-Pulido, 2013). Recent research has also found that
impacts of ocean acidification on brooded larvae of Pocillopora
damicornis were higher when the larvae were released earlier (Cumbo et
al., 2013) and that nutritionally replete juvenile corals were less
susceptible to ocean acidification than nutritionally deprived
juveniles (Drenkard et al., 2013).
Many recent studies have investigated the interactive effects of
ocean acidification with other environmental variables. The opposing
effects of ocean warming and ocean acidification were discussed in a
study that demonstrated low light conditions can exacerbate ocean
acidification effects. Low-light conditions can provide a refuge for
reef-building corals from thermal and light stress, but this study
suggests that lower light availability will potentially increase the
susceptibility of key coral species to ocean acidification (Suggett et
al., 2013). Another study predicts that increasing storms predicted by
climate change, together with ocean acidification, are likely to
increase collapse of table corals (Madin et al., 2012). Salinity
extremes on a nearshore coral community did not affect the sensitivity
of reef-building corals to ocean acidification (Okazaki et al., 2013).
Finally, several studies have investigated the simultaneous effects of
ocean warming and ocean acidification, most of which have found harmful
synergistic effects (Ateweberhan et al., 2013; Dove et al., 2013;
Kroeker et al., 2013), but not all (Wall et al., 2013). However,
impacts of ocean acidification are more rapid in cool water, such as in
mesophotic habitat (Cerrano et al., 2013) and temperate areas (Yara et
al., 2012).
Several other recent papers also provide information on the impacts
of ocean acidification on reef-building corals. A study of the effects
of ocean acidification on primary polyps with and without zooxanthellae
found that polyps with zooxanthellae had higher tolerance to ocean
acidification, suggesting that coral species that acquire symbionts
from the environment will be more vulnerable to ocean acidification
than corals that maternally acquire symbionts (i.e., brooding species;
Ohki et al., 2013). A study of Porites corals at a field site with
naturally low pH found that the corals were not able to acclimatize
enough to prevent the impacts of local ocean acidification on their
skeletal growth and development, despite spending their entire lifespan
in low pH seawater (Crook et al., 2013). A study of the effects of
ocean acidification on different coral species in different
environments found that effects were highly species-dependent, and
furthermore, that effects within a species depended on the environment
(Kroeker et al., 2013).
After considering this supplemental information in addition to that
which was available for the proposed rule, our conclusion regarding
ocean acidification remains unchanged from the proposed rule, in that
we consider ocean acidification to be of medium-high importance in
contributing to extinction risk for the 65 corals in this final rule.
However, we acknowledge that the interpretation of future ocean
acidification and acidification-induced impacts to corals and coral
reefs is associated with complexity and uncertainty and that the
effects on individual species of reef-building corals are especially
difficult to determine. The impact of ocean acidification may be
mediated by several factors and the extent to which the extinction risk
of a coral species is impacted by ocean acidification depends on its
particular level of susceptibility, combined with its spatial and
demographic characteristics in the context of worsening environmental
conditions out to 2100, which is discussed in detail for each species
in the Species-specific Information and Determinations section.
[[Page 53897]]
Trophic Effects of Fishing (Medium Importance Threat, ESA Factor A)
Trophic effects of fishing are considered under ESA Factor A--the
present or threatened destruction, modification, or curtailment of its
habitat or range--because the main effect of concern is to limit
availability of habitat for corals. In the proposed rule we described
the threat of the trophic effects of reef fishing as follows. Fishing,
particularly overfishing, can have large scale, long-term ecosystem-
level effects that can change ecosystem structure from coral-dominated
reefs to algal-dominated reefs (``phase shifts''). Even fishing
pressure that doesn't rise to the level of overfishing potentially can
alter trophic interactions that are important in structuring coral reef
ecosystems. These trophic interactions include reducing population
abundance of herbivorous fish species that control algal growth,
limiting the size structure of fish populations, reducing species
richness of herbivorous fish, and releasing corallivores from predator
control. Thus, an important aspect of maintaining resilience in coral
reef ecosystems is to sustain populations of herbivores, especially the
larger scarine herbivorous wrasses such as parrotfish.
On topographically complex reefs, population densities can average
well over a million herbivorous fishes per km\2\, and standing stocks
can reach 45 metric tons per km\2\. In the Caribbean, parrotfishes can
graze at rates of more than 150,000 bites per square meter per day, and
thereby remove up to 90-100 percent of the daily primary production
(e.g., algae). Under these conditions of topographic complexity with
substantial populations of herbivorous fishes, as long as the cover of
living coral is high and resistant to mortality from environmental
changes, it is very unlikely that the algae will take over and dominate
the substrate. However, if herbivorous fish populations, particularly
large-bodied parrotfish, are heavily fished and a major mortality of
coral colonies occurs, then algae can grow rapidly and prevent the
recovery of the coral population. The ecosystem can then collapse into
an alternative stable state, a persistent phase shift in which algae
replace corals as the dominant reef species. Although algae can have
negative effects on adult coral colonies (e.g., overgrowth, bleaching
from toxic compounds), the ecosystem-level effects of algae are
primarily from inhibited coral recruitment. Filamentous algae can
prevent the colonization of the substrate by planula larvae by creating
sediment traps that obstruct access to a hard substrate for attachment.
Additionally, macroalgae can suppress the successful colonization of
the substrate by corals through occupation of the available space,
shading, abrasion, chemical poisoning, and infection with bacterial
disease.
Overfishing can have further impacts on coral mortality via trophic
cascades. In general larger fish are targeted, resulting in fish
populations of small individuals. For parrotfishes, the effect of
grazing by individuals greater than 20 cm in length is substantially
greater than that by smaller fish. Up to 75 individual parrotfishes
with lengths of about 15 cm are necessary to have the same reduction in
algae and promotion of coral recruitment as a single individual 35 cm
in length. Species richness of the herbivorous fish population is also
very beneficial to maintaining available substrate potentially leading
to enhanced coral populations. Because of differences in their feeding
behaviors, several species of herbivorous fishes with complementary
feeding behaviors can have a substantially greater positive effect than
a similar biomass of a single species on reducing the standing stock of
macroalgae, of increasing the cover of crustose coralline algae, and
increasing live coral cover.
Exposure to the trophic effects of fishing in the Caribbean may be
moderated by distance of some coral habitats from fishing effort.
Exposure to the trophic effects of fishing in the Indo-Pacific is
likely more moderated by distance than in the Caribbean, due to a
greater proportion of reef-building coral habitats located in remote
areas away from fishing effort. Exposure to the trophic effects of reef
fishing may also moderated by depth of many habitats in both regions,
but again more so in the Indo-Pacific than in the Caribbean. Deep
habitats are generally less affected by the trophic effects of fishing,
especially in the Indo-Pacific. Exposure to the trophic effects of
fishing will increase as the human population increases over time.
The trophic effects of fishing are likely to interact with many
other threats, especially considering that fishing impacts are likely
to increase within the ranges of many of the proposed corals over the
foreseeable future. For example, when carnivorous fishes are
overfished, corallivore populations may increase, resulting in greater
predation on corals. Further, overfishing appears to increase the
frequency of coral disease. Fishing activity usually targets the larger
apex predators. When predators are removed, corallivorous butterfly
fishes become more abundant and can transmit disease from one coral
colony to another as they transit and consume from each coral colony.
With increasing abundance, they transmit disease to higher proportions
of the corals within the population.
Comments 21-23 focused on the following aspects of the trophic
effects of reef fishing: (1) The importance of the threat to coral
reefs; (2) higher importance localized threats; and (3) consideration
of human demography.
Comment 21 highlighted Keller et al. (2009), which provides
additional support for the importance herbivores play in the
maintenance of recruitment habitat. Further, recent information shows
that one of the most detrimental effects of unsustainable fishing
pressure is the alteration of trophic interactions that are
particularly important in structuring coral reef ecosystems (Jackson et
al., 2012; Jackson et al., 2014; Ruppert et al., 2013). These trophic
interactions include reducing population abundance of herbivorous fish
species that control algal growth, limiting the size structure of fish
populations, reducing species richness of herbivorous fish, and
releasing corallivores from predator control. Thus, an important aspect
of maintaining resilience in coral reef ecosystems is to sustain
functional populations of herbivores, especially the larger parrotfish
and other key functional herbivorous fish (Hughes et al., 2010; Jackson
et al., 2012; Jackson et al., 2014; Kennedy et al., 2013). Further,
Jackson et al. (2014) considers overfishing (associated with high human
densities) to be one of the major causes of the region-wide decline in
Caribbean corals while acknowledging that climate threats are likely to
be major sources of mortality in the future. In addition to direct
overfishing of primary consumers such as parrotfish, recent studies
found that overfishing of top reef predators such as sharks and other
predatory fish, such as large groupers in the Caribbean, can have an
impact that cascades down the food chain, potentially contributing to
mesopredator release, and ultimately altering the numbers of primary
consumers available to control algal growth (Jackson et al., 2012;
Jackson et al., 2014; Ruppert et al., 2013).
After considering this supplemental information in addition to that
which was available for the proposed rule, our conclusion regarding the
trophic effects of fishing remains unchanged from the proposed rule.
Trophic effects of fishing are a medium importance threat in assessing
global extinction risk for the 65 corals in this final rule. Because
the main effect of trophic effects of reef
[[Page 53898]]
fishing is habitat alteration, there are no species-specific levels of
exposure and susceptibility. However, the extent to which an individual
species' recruitment is affected is discussed in more detail in the
Species-specific Information and Determinations section, when species-
specific information is available.
Sedimentation (Low-Medium Importance Threat, ESA Factors A and E)
Sedimentation is considered under ESA Factor A--the present or
threatened destruction, modification, or curtailment of its habitat or
range--and ESA Factor E--other natural or manmade factors affecting the
continued existence of the species--because the effect of the threat,
resulting from human activity, is both to limit the availability of
habitat for corals and to directly impact individuals of coral species.
In the proposed rule we described the threat of sedimentation as
follows. Human activities in coastal and inland watersheds introduce
sediment into the ocean by a variety of mechanisms, including river
discharge, surface runoff, groundwater seeps, and atmospheric
deposition. Humans also introduce sewage into coastal waters through
direct discharge, treatment plants, and septic leakage. Elevated
sediment levels are generated by poor land use practices and coastal
and nearshore construction.
The most common direct effect of sedimentation is deposition of
sediment on coral surfaces as sediment settles out from the water
column. Corals with certain morphologies (e.g., mounding) can passively
reject settling sediments. In addition, corals can actively displace
sediment by ciliary action or mucous production, both of which require
energetic expenditures. Corals with large calices (skeletal component
that holds the polyp) tend to be better at actively rejecting sediment.
Some coral species can tolerate complete burial for several days.
Corals that are unsuccessful in removing sediment will be smothered and
die. Sediment can also induce sublethal effects, such as reductions in
tissue thickness, polyp swelling, zooxanthellae loss, and excess mucus
production. In addition, suspended sediment can reduce the amount of
light in the water column, making less energy available for coral
photosynthesis and growth. Sedimentation also impedes fertilization of
spawned gametes and reduces larval settlement and survival of recruits
and juveniles.
Although it is difficult to quantitatively predict the extinction
risk that sedimentation poses to the corals under consideration, human
activity has resulted in quantifiable increases in sediment inputs in
some reef areas. Continued increases in coastal human populations
combined with poor land use and nearshore development practices will
likely increase sediment delivery to reef systems. Nearshore sediment
levels will also likely increase with sea-level rise. Greater
inundation of reef flats can erode soil at the shoreline and resuspend
lagoon deposits, producing greater sediment transport and potentially
leading to leeward reefs being flooded with turbid lagoon waters or
buried by off-bank sediment transport. Sediment stress and turbidity
also can induce bleaching, although some corals may be more tolerant of
elevated short-term levels of sedimentation.
Exposure to sedimentation can be moderated by distance of some
coral habitats from areas where sedimentation is chronically or
sporadically heavy, resulting in some habitats being unaffected or very
lightly affected by sedimentation. Exposure to sedimentation for
particular species may also be moderated by depth of habitats. Exposure
to sedimentation is expected to increase as human activities that
produce sedimentation expand over time.
Sedimentation is also likely to interact with many other threats,
such as other land-based sources of pollution and warming-induced
bleaching, especially considering that sedimentation is likely to
increase across the ranges of many of the 65 species over the
foreseeable future. For example, when coral communities that are
chronically affected by sedimentation experience a warming-induced
bleaching event, a disease outbreak, or a toxic spill, the consequences
for those corals can be much more severe than in communities not
affected by sedimentation.
Comment 25 underscored the importance of sedimentation as a
considerable local threat to corals, and highlighted the potential of
sedimentation to interact and potentially exacerbate other threats. A
few commenters provided references (Bonkosky et al., 2009;
Hern[aacute]ndez- Delgado et al., 2012; Hernandez-Delgado et al., 2011)
that discussed sedimentation as a threat to corals.
We also gathered supplemental studies on the threat of
sedimentation since the proposed rule was published. Three points in
particular from the proposed rule were affirmed by the supplemental
studies. Sedimentation can have interactive effects with other
stressors including disease and climate factors such as bleaching
susceptibility and reduced calcification (Ateweberhan et al., 2013;
Suggett et al., 2013). MPAs provide little protection against indirect
stressors like sedimentation from upland activities (Halpern et al.,
2013). The effects of sedimentation can be variable for different coral
species and may depend on other environmental conditions (Blakeway et
al., 2013; Suggett et al., 2013).
After considering this supplemental information in addition to that
which was available for the proposed rule, our conclusion regarding
sedimentation remains unchanged from the proposed rule. Sedimentation
is a low to medium importance threat in assessing global extinction
risk for the 65 corals in this final rule. The impact of sedimentation
may be mediated by several factors and the extent to which the
extinction risk of a coral species is impacted by sedimentation depends
on its particular level of susceptibility combined with it spatial and
demographic characteristics in the context of worsening environmental
conditions out to 2100, which is considered for each species in the
Species-specific Information and Determinations section.
Nutrients (Low-Medium Importance Threat, ESA Factors A and E)
Nutrient enrichment is considered under ESA Factor A--the present
or threatened destruction, modification, or curtailment of its habitat
or range--and ESA Factor E--other natural or manmade factors affecting
the continued existence of the species--because the effect of the
threat, resulting from human activity, is both to limit the
availability of habitat for corals and directly impact individuals of
coral species. In the proposed rule we described the threat of nutrient
over-enrichment as follows. Elevated nutrients affect corals through
two main mechanisms: Direct impacts on coral physiology and indirect
effects through nutrient-stimulation of other community components
(e.g., macroalgal turfs and seaweeds, and filter feeders) that compete
with corals for space on the reef. Increased nutrients can decrease
calcification; however, nutrients may also enhance linear extension,
while reducing skeletal density. Either condition results in corals
that are more prone to breakage or erosion, but individual species do
have varying tolerances to increased nutrients. The main vectors of
anthropogenic nutrients are point-source discharges (such as rivers or
sewage outfalls) and surface runoff from modified watersheds. Natural
processes,
[[Page 53899]]
such as in situ nitrogen fixation and delivery of nutrient-rich deep
water by internal waves and upwelling also bring nutrients to coral
reefs.
Exposure to nutrients can be moderated by distance of some coral
habitats from areas where nutrients are chronically or sporadically
heavy (e.g., heavily populated areas). However, nutrient over-
enrichment can still result from sparsely populated areas; and these
nutrients can be quickly transported large distances. Therefore,
distance is less of a moderating factor for nutrients than for
sedimentation. Similarly, although nutrient exposure may also be
moderated by the depth of some habitats, nutrient impacts extend deeper
than sedimentation impacts. Exposure to nutrients is expected to
increase as human activities that produce nutrients expand over time.
Nutrients are likely to interact with many other threats,
especially considering that nutrient over-enrichment is likely to
increase across the ranges of many of the 65 corals over the
foreseeable future. For example, when coral communities that are
chronically affected by nutrients experience a warming-induced
bleaching event, a disease outbreak, or a toxic spill, the consequences
for corals can be much more severe than in communities not affected by
nutrients.
Comment 26 supported and reiterated the effects nutrients can have
on corals. Some of the individual commenters provided studies (Bonkosky
et al., 2009; Connolly et al., 2012; Cunning and Baker, 2013; Fabricius
et al., 2013; Hernandez-Delgado et al., 2011; Hern[aacute]ndez-Delgado
et al., 2008; M[eacute]ndez-L[aacute]zaro et al., 2012; Wiedenmann et
al., 2013) to reinforce their support. Bonkosky et al. (2009) provided
further evidence that elevated turbidity and nutrient enrichment from
human waste discharge has an extensive impact on coral reef ecosystems.
In response to contradictory results from other studies as to whether
nutrients increase thermal stress or increase resistance to higher
temperature for corals, Fabricius et al. (2013) exposed corals to both
elevated nutrients and heat stress. They found higher mortality
occurred in the elevated nutrient-heat stress treatments versus heat-
stressed alone and controls. Wiedenmann et al. (2013) found that
unfavorable ratios of dissolved inorganic nutrients in the water column
led to phosphate starvation of symbiotic algae, reducing thermal
tolerance. Cunning and Baker (2013) found higher nutrient loads can
lead to higher densities of symbionts, and corals with higher densities
of symbionts were more susceptible to bleaching.
We also gathered supplemental information on how elevated nutrients
interact with other threats, including coral bleaching and disease. One
study tested the interactive effects of nutrient loading with both
bleaching and disease and found that coral disease prevalence and
severity as well as coral bleaching were increased in nutrient enriched
plots (Vega Thurber et al., 2013). Ateweberhan et al. (2013) note that
most studies on the subject of nutrient enrichment and high
temperatures also present evidence of negative effects on calcification
due to higher nutrient levels, although both positive and negative
effects have been reported. Nutrient enrichment can also interact with
the threat of coral disease by encouraging the proliferation of
disease-causing microorganisms and bioeroders, such as boring sponges,
and intensifying the growth of fleshy macroalgae that harbor and spread
coral diseases (Ateweberhan et al., 2013; Vega Thurber et al., 2013).
After considering this supplemental information in addition to that
which was available for the proposed rule, our conclusion regarding
nutrient over-enrichment remains unchanged from the proposed rule.
Nutrients are a low to medium importance threat in assessing global
extinction risk for the 65 corals in this final rule. The impact of
elevated nutrients may be mediated by several factors and the extent to
which the extinction risk of a coral species is impacted by nutrient
enrichment depends on its particular level of susceptibility, combined
with its spatial and demographic characteristics in the context of
worsening environmental conditions out to 2100, which is considered for
each species in the Species-specific Information and Determinations
section.
Sea-Level Rise (Low-Medium Threat, ESA Factor A)
Sea-level rise is considered under ESA Factor A--the present or
threatened destruction, modification, or curtailment of its habitat or
range--because the effect of the threat is to the availability of
corals' habitat and not directly to the species themselves. In the
proposed rule we described the threat of sea-level rise as follows. The
effects of sea-level rise may act on various coral life history events,
including larval settlement, polyp development, and juvenile growth,
and can contribute to adult mortality and colony fragmentation, mostly
due to increased sedimentation and decreased water quality (reduced
light availability) caused by coastal inundation. The best available
information suggests that sea level will continue to rise due to
thermal expansion and the melting of land and sea ice. Theoretically,
any rise in sea-level could potentially provide additional habitat for
corals living near the sea surface. Many corals that inhabit the
relatively narrow zone near the ocean surface have rapid growth rates
when healthy, which allowed them to keep up with sea-level rise during
the past periods of rapid climate change associated with deglaciation
and warming. However, depending on the rate and amount of sea-level
rise, rapid rises can lead to reef drowning. Rapid rises in sea level
could affect many of the proposed coral species by both submerging them
below their common depth range and, more likely, by degrading water
quality through coastal erosion and potentially severe sedimentation or
enlargement of lagoons and shelf areas. Rising sea level is likely to
cause mixed responses in the 65 corals depending on their depth
preferences, sedimentation tolerances, growth rates, and the nearshore
topography. Reductions in growth rate due to local stressors,
bleaching, infectious disease, and ocean acidification may prevent the
species from keeping up with sea-level rise (i.e., from growing at a
rate that will allow them to continue to occupy their preferred depth
range despite sea-level rise).
The rate and amount of future sea-level rise remains uncertain.
Until the past few years, sea-level rise was predicted to be in the
range of only about one half meter by 2100. However, more recent
estimated rates are higher, based upon evidence that the Greenland and
Antarctic ice sheets are much more vulnerable than previously thought.
While there is large variability in predictions of sea-level rise, AR4
likely underestimated the rates under all scenarios.
Fast-growing branching corals were able to keep up with the first 3
m of sea-level rise during the warming that led to the last
interglacial period. However, whether the 65 corals in this final rule
will be able to survive 3 m or more of future sea-level rise will
depend on whether growth rates are reduced as a result of other risk
factors, such as local environmental stressors, bleaching, infectious
disease, and ocean acidification. Additionally, lack of suitable new
habitat, limited success in sexual recruitment, coastal runoff, and
coastal hardening will compound some corals' ability to survive rapid
sea-level rise.
[[Page 53900]]
This threat is expected to disproportionately affect shallow areas
adjacent to degraded coastlines, as ocean inundation results in higher
levels of sedimentation from the newly-inundated coastlines to the
shallow areas. Exposure to sea-level rise will be moderated by
horizontal and vertical distances of reef-building coral habitats from
inundated, degraded coastlines. Exposure to sea-level rise will
increase over time as the rate of rise increases.
Sea-level rise is likely to interact with other threats, especially
considering that sea-level rise is likely to increase across the ranges
of the 65 corals over the foreseeable future. In particular, the
inundation of developed areas (e.g., urban and agricultural areas) and
other areas where shoreline sediments are easily eroded by sea-level
rise is likely to degrade water quality of adjacent coral habitat
through increased sediment and nutrient runoff and the potential
release of toxic contamination.
Comment 27 supported the Consensus Statement on Climate Change and
Coral Reefs, which specifies that sea-levels have already risen and
that future rising sea-levels will be accompanied by increased
sedimentation levels. We received no additional supplemental
information on this threat.
We also gathered supplemental information to update the analysis
presented in the proposed rule. In the proposed rule, we noted that AR4
likely underestimated rates of projected sea-level rise. AR5's WGI
represents a substantial advance from AR4. The first section of WGI
considers observations of climate system change, which refers to
descriptions of past climate patterns. WGI concludes it is virtually
certain that the global mean sea level rose by 19 cm from 1901 to 2010.
The anthropogenic ocean warming observed since the 1970s has
contributed to global sea-level rise over this period through ice
melting and thermal expansion. Projections for future sea-level-rise in
RCP8.5 for the period 2081 to 2100 are 0.53 to 0.97 meter higher than
the period 1986 to 2005. In addition, WGI concluded that it is
virtually certain that global mean sea-level rise will continue beyond
2100. WGI also reported that it is very likely that in the twenty-first
century and beyond, sea-level change will have a strong regional
pattern (IPCC, 2013).
After considering this supplemental information in addition to that
which was previously available, our conclusion regarding sea-level rise
remains unchanged from the proposed rule. Sea-level rise is a low to
medium importance threat in assessing global extinction risk for the 65
corals in this final rule. The impact of sea-level-rise may be mediated
by some factors and the extent to which the extinction risk of a coral
species is impacted by sea-level-rise depends on its particular level
of susceptibility, combined with its spatial and demographic
characteristics in the context of worsening environmental conditions
out to 2100, which is considered for each species in the Species-
specific Information and Determinations section.
Predation (Low Threat, ESA Factor C)
Predation is considered under ESA Factor C--disease or predation.
In the proposed rule we described the threat of predation as follows.
Predation on some coral genera by many corallivorous species of fish
and invertebrates (e.g., snails and seastars) is a chronic, though
occasionally acute, energy drain. It is a threat that has been
identified for most coral life stages. Thus, predation factored into
the extinction risk analysis for each of the 65 corals. Numerous
studies have documented the quantitative impact of predation by various
taxa on coral tissue and skeleton. Predators can indirectly affect the
distribution of corals by preferentially consuming faster-growing coral
species, thus allowing slower-growing corals to compete for space on
the reef. The most notable example of predation impacts in the Indo-
Pacific are from large aggregations or outbreaks of crown-of-thorns
seastar. The specific cause of crown-of-thorns seastar outbreaks is
unknown. Crown-of-thorns seastar can reduce living coral cover to less
than one percent during outbreaks, changing coral community structure,
promoting algal colonization, and affecting fish population dynamics.
Exposure to predation by corallivores is moderated by presence of
predators of the corallivores. For example, corallivorous reef fish
prey on corals, and piscivorous reef fish and sharks prey on the
corallivores; thus, high abundances of piscivorous reef fish and sharks
moderate coral predation. Abundances of piscivorous reef fish and
sharks vary spatially because of different ecological conditions and
human exploitation levels. Exposure to predation is also moderated by
distance from physical conditions that allow corallivore populations to
grow. For example, in the Indo-Pacific, high nutrient runoff from
continents and high islands improves reproductive conditions for crown-
of-thorns seastar, thus coral predation by crown-of-thorns seastar is
moderated by distance from such conditions. Predation can also be
moderated by depth of many habitats because abundances of many
corallivorous species decline with depth. Exposure to predation can
increase over time as conditions change, but may be moderated by
distance and depth for certain species, which depends upon the
distribution and abundances of the species.
Predation of coral colonies can increase the likelihood of the
colonies being infected by disease, and likewise diseased colonies may
be more likely to be preyed upon. There are likely other examples of
cumulative and interactive effects of predation with other threats to
corals.
Comment 28 suggested predation and exposure values for some
individual species, but did not provide supplemental information on the
threat. We also gathered supplemental information that supports and
reiterates the analysis presented in the proposed rule. Bonaldo et al.
(2011) documented spatial and temporal variation in coral predation by
parrotfishes on the Great Barrier Reef. Lenihan et al. (2011) assessed
the degree to which the performance of recently recruited branching
corals was influenced by several factors, including corallivory. They
found that partial predation by corallivorous fishes is an important
but habitat-modulated constraint for branching corals and, overall,
corallivory had variable effects on corals of different genera. Last,
De'ath et al. (2012) documented that 42 percent of the decline in coral
cover on the GBR is attributable to crown-of-thorns seastar predation.
After considering this supplemental information in addition to that
which was available for the proposed rule, our conclusion regarding
predation remains unchanged from the proposed rule. Predation is a low
importance threat in assessing global extinction risk for the 65 corals
in this final rule. The impact of predation may be mediated by several
factors and the extent to which the extinction risk of a coral species
is impacted by predation depends on its particular level of
susceptibility combined with its spatial and demographic
characteristics in the context of worsening environmental conditions
out to 2100, which is considered for each species in the Species-
specific Information and Determinations section.
Collection and Trade (Low Threat, ESA Factor B)
Collection and trade is considered under ESA Factor B--
overutilization for commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes. In the proposed rule, we described the threat of
collection and trade as follows.
[[Page 53901]]
Globally, 1.5 million live stony coral colonies are reported to be
collected from at least 45 countries each year, with the United States
consuming the largest portion of live corals (64 percent) and live rock
(95 percent) for the aquarium trade. The imports of live corals taken
directly from coral reefs (not from aquaculture) increased by 600
percent between 1988 and 2007, while the global trade in live coral
increased by nearly 1,500 percent. Harvest of stony corals is usually
highly destructive, and results in removing and discarding large
amounts of live coral that go unsold and damaging reef habitats around
live corals. While collection is a highly spatially-focused impact, it
can result in significant impacts and was considered to contribute to
individual species' extinction risk. However, we ultimately ranked this
threat as low overall because of species-specific factors (i.e., some
species are preferentially affected) as well as distance and depth
factors that create barriers to human access.
As described in Comments 29 and 30, we received a significant
amount of supplemental information via public comments and gathered
supplemental information on three aspects of the threat of collection
and trade on reef-building corals and coral reef ecosystems: (1) Wild
collection of corals, including information about the physical and
ecological impacts of wild collection of coral colonies and/or
fragments from their natural habitats; (2) captive culture including
information regarding the development of mariculture and aquaculture
operations, as well as the role of home aquaria as they relate to
trade, including all commercial, recreational, and educational coral-
raising operations in marine environments as well as in captivity; and
(3) the global marine ornamental trade industry, including detailed
information regarding trade of both live and dead corals and other
coral reef wildlife.
For the purposes of this final rule, collection and trade refers to
the physical process of taking corals from their natural habitat on
coral reefs for the purpose of sale in the ornamental trade industry.
We define wild collection as the physical removal or capture of coral
colonies, fragments, and polyps from their natural habitat. This
section also discusses the use of captive breeding techniques via
aquaculture and mariculture for the purposes of trade. Captive culture
techniques are increasingly used to supply the aquarium trade industry
and potentially reduce the amount of corals collected from the wild to
meet demand (Thornhill, 2012; Wood et al., 2012). We define aquaculture
as the land-based (`ex situ') propagation or grow out of corals.
Examples of this include corals grown in home aquaria or terrestrial
coral farms. We define mariculture as the ocean-based (`in situ')
propagation or grow out of corals. Examples of this include corals
grown in coral farms and nursery areas in marine environments. The
phrase ``captive culture'' is used interchangeably to refer to captive
breeding of corals, both via aquaculture or mariculture techniques.
The ecological and socio-economic impacts of the ornamental trade
industry for corals are numerous, and can include overharvesting,
collateral damage to coral reef habitat, and potential introduction of
exotic species (Rhyne et al., 2012). Wild collection of stony corals is
usually highly destructive, resulting in removing and discarding large
amounts of live coral that often go unsold for various reasons.
Additionally, collection techniques can be physically damaging to reef
habitat around live corals. In a recent, thorough review of ecological
impacts and practices of the coral reef wildlife trade, Thornhill
(2012) identifies and describes five overarching potential impacts: (1)
Effects on target population such as over-exploitation and local
population extirpations; (2) habitat impacts such as reduced coral
cover, diversity, and rugosity; (3) effects on associated species such
as decreased abundance, biomass, and diversity of reef fish,
invertebrates, and other species due to loss or destruction of habitat;
(4) ecosystem impacts such as increased degradation and erosion leading
to reduced resilience; and (5) socio-economic impacts such as user
group conflict between tourists, fishers, etc.
Collection and trade of coral colonies can also increase the
likelihood of the colonies being infected by disease, as a result of
both the directed and incidental breakage of colonies, which are then
more easily infected (Brainard et al., 2011). Further, destructive
practices for collection of other coral reef wildlife, such as the use
of cyanide for capturing reef fish, can also have deleterious effects
on coral reef habitat in general. Currently, cyanide fishing is
practiced in 15 countries, many of which are major marine wildlife
trade exporters (Thornhill, 2012). There are likely many other examples
of cumulative and interactive effects of collection and trade that pose
a threat to corals. Given the paucity of data for the coral reef
wildlife trade, it is difficult to accurately estimate mortality rates
directly resulting from collection practices (Thornhill, 2012).
The rapid increase of coral reef species entering markets in the
United States and Europe and the sustainability of the aquarium trade
in terms of driving collection of wild specimens have been of great
concern to governments, scientists, conservationists, and conscientious
aquarium hobbyists alike (Olivotto et al., 2011; Rhyne and Tlusty,
2012). However, production of marine wildlife for home aquaria (i.e.,
the aquarium hobbyist trade) through captive culture is an increasingly
growing sector of the ornamental trade industry. Recently, advances in
both aquaculture and mariculture propagation techniques show promise in
shifting the demand of the ornamental trade industry away from wild-
collected corals to corals reared via captive-culture techniques. Such
techniques are possible since many corals, especially fast-growing
branching corals, are capable of asexual reproduction via a process
known as fragmentation or ``fragging'' (Brainard et al., 2011; Rhyne et
al., 2012). According to CITES import and export reports, maricultured
corals accounted for approximately 20 percent of total live trade in
2010 (Wood et al. 2012), but other studies suggest that captive-
cultured corals account for only 2 percent of the live coral trade
(Thornhill, 2012).
Globally, there are approximately two million aquarium hobbyists
involved in a complex trade network that sells an estimated 50 million
corals every year to use (Rhyne et al., 2012). According to the Florida
Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services, there are 87 certified
aquaculture facilities listing corals as a product in Florida alone.
The study hypothesized that a notable decline in U.S. imports of corals
occurred after 2006 as a result of increased domestic coral production
as well as the global economic downturn. Import reports do not account
for this ``hidden'' domestic production, and statistical tracking of
this type of coral production is lacking (Rhyne et al., 2012). In
addition to increasing domestic production of corals, some major source
countries such as Indonesia are increasing production via mariculture
activities to reduce wild collection pressure on coral reefs, and
supporting coral farming as a potential alternative to fishing for reef
fish and collection of wild corals (Pomeroy et al., 2006). For example,
according to 2009 U.S. import reports, 26 percent of Acropora species
were identified under CITES codes which indicated that these colonies
were produced via captive-
[[Page 53902]]
culture techniques (Rhyne et al., 2012). However, since CITES codes are
self-determined by exporter countries, there may be some
inconsistencies in how those codes are applied (Wood et al., 2012). As
of 2008, there were 55 coral farms scattered throughout the different
provinces of Indonesia (Timotius et al., 2009); however, this number
may be increasing since Indonesia's government has mandated companies
and traders involved in the coral trade to utilize captive culture
techniques in hopes of eventually phasing out wild collection of
corals.
There are a number of challenges associated with developing
aquaculture or mariculture operations for coral species, including
technical capacity and know-how, high capital investments and operating
costs, and high levels of production risk (Ferse et al., 2012; Pomeroy
et al., 2006). Culturing corals has not been an easy task,
predominantly due to the lack of knowledge regarding reproductive and
larval biology for most traded species (Olivotto et al., 2011).
Further, most mariculture operations tend to focus predominantly on
fast-growing corals, while successful propagation techniques for the
popular slow-growing, large-polyp species have not yet been developed
(Wood et al., 2012). There is also the increasingly popular trend of
using ocean-based coral nurseries for the purposes of propagating coral
fragments to a suitable size and subsequently out-planting those coral
fragments on degraded reefs to aid in reef restoration efforts. These
types of activities are also considered in the Conservation Efforts
section of the rule.
The export of marine organisms for the ornamental trade industry is
a global industry. As described in the proposed rule, it is estimated
that 1.5 million live stony coral colonies are collected from at least
45 countries each year, with an estimated 11 to 12 million coral pieces
(i.e., fragments from larger colonies) traded every year (Brainard et
al., 2011; Wabnitz, 2003). In addition to live stony corals,
approximately 13 to 40 million reef fish, four million pounds of dead
coral skeleton, and nine to 10 million other invertebrates are
extracted from coral reef ecosystems across the world (Thornhill,
2012). For corals, trade can be broken down into several categories,
including: Coral rock (i.e., rock and substrate that may have live
settled coral polyps among other marine organisms), live wild coral,
live maricultured coral, and dead coral skeleton. Yet, numbers of
corals traded in these categories are very difficult to accurately
estimate for a variety of reasons. First, corals are colonial, vary in
size, and can be fragmented into many smaller pieces. Additionally,
reporting of trade volume is inconsistent and varies between reporting
pieces and weight, and live rock and corals are often confused with
each other and misreported (Thornhill, 2012). Currently, Indonesia is
the primary source country of live corals; it exports approximately one
million corals annually and represents an estimated 91 percent of the
global supply market as of 2005 (Bruckner and Borneman, 2006;
Thornhill, 2012; Timotius et al., 2009). Other major exporters of
scleractinian corals include Fiji, Solomon Islands, Tonga, and
Australia. The largest importers of coral reef wildlife include the
United States, European Union, and Japan. The United States accounted
for an average of 61 percent of global imports from 2000-2010 (Wood et
al., 2012). Imports of live corals into the United States taken
directly from coral reefs (not from aquacultured or maricultured
sources) increased by 600 percent between 1988 and 2007, while the
global imports of live coral increased by nearly 1,500 percent
(Brainard et al., 2011; Thornhill, 2012; Tissot et al., 2010). Import
and export data shows overall increasing trends for trade of live coral
pieces between 2000-2009, with a slight dip in 2010 (Wood et al.,
2012). In addition, undocumented, illegal live coral trade is estimated
to represent approximately 25 percent of the legal trade level,
although these numbers are difficult to estimate considering the
secretive nature of the illegal trade (Jones, 2008; Thornhill, 2012).
The international coral trade was established by 1950 and was
dominated by the Philippines until 1977 when a national ban on wild
collection and export was introduced (Wood et al., 2012). It was then
that Indonesia surpassed the Philippines to provide the majority of
corals to the market. In the 1980s and 1990s, the international coral
trade still focused on the trade of dead coral skeletons for home
d[eacute]cor and curios. In recent years, the focus has shifted to live
corals for the marine reef aquarium trade due to increased interest in
home aquaria and advances in coral husbandry in North America and
Europe, as well as the advent of modern air cargo methods (Rhyne et
al., 2012; Thornhill, 2012; Wood et al., 2012). As stated previously,
there is a complex global trade network of approximately two million
aquarium hobbyists that sells upwards of 50 million coral reef animals
every year (Rhyne et al., 2012). Collection of corals for display in
public aquaria for educational purposes represents a small portion of
the coral reef wildlife trade, and public aquaria likely produce as
many corals as they consume by using captive-culture techniques
(Thornhill, 2012).
There has been some significant progress in captive culture of
coral species using aquaculture and/or mariculture for the purposes of
trade. Still, commercial-scale production of most species currently
suffers several technical bottlenecks, including the long and often
arduous supply chain from ocean to aquarium (e.g., capture, collection,
handling, and transport), which often results in mortality ranging from
a few percent up to 80 percent. For example, in an analysis of
confiscated coral shipments, a majority of the corals were found in
poor condition. On the way to their final destination, coral colonies
may experience significant temperature drops in the shipping water,
poor water quality, and physical damage from repeated handling of the
shipping boxes and bags resulting in mortality of a large proportion of
colonies through subsequent bacterial infections (Jones, 2008). These
non-reported rates of biomass loss may significantly underestimate the
ecological impacts of the trade as more corals are collected to make up
the losses (Cohen et al., 2013; Thornhill, 2012). Distinguishing
between specimens collected under regulated conditions from those
collected using illegal or destructive fishing practices is very
difficult (Cohen et al., 2013; Wabnitz, 2003).
Traceability and tracking of cultured corals versus wild-collected
corals is extremely difficult as there is no morphological or
biological difference between them, making distinction almost
impossible (Olivotto et al., 2011). For example, a coral can be broken
into fragments and labeled as cultured, when in fact it was collected
from the wild. There is some evidence to suggest that culture of live
corals has the potential to affect trends in the trade industry by
reducing wild collection and provide an economically and financially
feasible alternative livelihood for local communities in the Indo-
Pacific. Even so, coral mariculture development in the Indo-Pacific is
still in its infancy and requires a number of conditions to be met in
order for these operations to be commercially profitable, sustainable,
and traceable (Cohen et al., 2013; Pomeroy et al., 2006). It is also
important to note that not all species lend themselves to culture. In
fact, only a small number of coral genera have the ability to be
commercially cultured (Rhyne et al., 2012). According to some sources,
approximately 98 percent of
[[Page 53903]]
live corals in the ornamental trade are still collected from the wild,
with only 2 percent originating from captive bred sources such as coral
farms and nurseries (Ferse et al., 2012; Thornhill, 2012), but,
according to a different analysis of import reports between 2000 and
2010, captive cultured corals made up approximately 20 percent of total
imports, and these originated almost entirely from Indonesia (Wood et
al., 2012). Therefore, there are still significant data deficiencies
and a large amount of uncertainty as to how much of an impact captive
cultured corals are having on the ornamental trade.
Significant supplemental information was received in public
comments on the proposed rule or otherwise gathered on collection and
trade of coral species. As previously described in the SRR and proposed
rule, there are numerous ecological impacts from the physical process
of removing corals and other wildlife from the reef. Trade practices
that rely on the collection of wild individuals may damage or destroy
adult and juvenile reef corals. Additionally, removal of reef fish and
other organisms for trade purposes may also result in ecological
impacts to reef ecosystems (Brainard et al., 2011). The ten most
popular coral genera involved in the ornamental trade by volume are:
Acropora (Indo-Pacific only), Euphyllia, Goniopora, Trachyphyllia,
Plerogyra, Montipora, Heliofungia, Lobophyllia, Porites, and Turbinaria
(Jones, 2008; Thornhill, 2012), all of which represent 31 of the coral
species considered in this final rule. Acropora species are in the
highest demand followed by the large polyp species such as Euphyllia
(Jones, 2008). Culturing corals through aquaculture and/or mariculture
techniques is becoming an increasingly popular tool to help move the
aquarium trade away from collection of wild corals. Still, these
techniques are fairly new and in need of many improvements before being
considered a viable solution in shifting market demand from wild-
collected to captive cultured corals. As it currently stands, the
amount of unreported, illegal, and unregulated collection, combined
with the large amount of biomass loss along the supply chain raises
serious questions as to the sustainability of the ornamental trade
(Cohen et al., 2013). Overall, collection and trade of coral reef
wildlife is considered to contribute to some individual species'
extinction risk.
In our previous analysis, collection and trade were generally
considered to be a threat to coral reefs, as well as particular
individual coral species, but extinction risk as a result of collection
and trade activities for the 65 corals proposed for ESA listing was
considered to be ``low'' (Brainard et al., 2011). After considering
this supplemental information in addition to that which was available
for the proposed rule, our conclusion regarding the threat of
collection and trade remains unchanged from the proposed rule.
Collection and trade is a low importance threat in assessing global
extinction risk for the 65 corals in this final rule, and even less so
for the seven Caribbean species due to undesirable appearance and
growth characteristics for trade. The impact of collection and trade
may be mediated by several factors and the extent to which the
extinction risk of a coral species is impacted by collection and trade
depends on its particular level of susceptibility, combined with its
spatial and demographic characteristics in the context of worsening
environmental conditions out to 2100, which is considered for each
species in the Species Information and Determinations section.
Information regarding the adequacy of regulations related to the marine
ornamental trade such as CITES and other laws can be found in the Local
Regulatory Mechanisms section of the Final Management Report (NMFS,
2012b). Additionally, coral restoration projects using ocean-based,
nursery-reared corals are also becoming increasingly popular as a
complement to existing management tools. Information related to the
roles that coral farms, coral nurseries, and aquaria (both public and
private) play in coral reef conservation is discussed in the
Conservation Efforts sub-section of the rule.
Inadequacy of Existing Regulatory Mechanisms (ESA Factor D)
Regulatory mechanisms are considered under Factor D--Inadequacy of
Existing Regulatory Mechanisms. As previously described in the proposed
rule, we developed a Draft Management Report to assess the contribution
of ``inadequacy of regulatory mechanisms'' to the extinction risk of
corals. The Draft Management Report identified: (1) Existing regulatory
mechanisms relevant to threats to the 82 candidate coral species; and
(2) conservation efforts with regard to the status of the 82 candidate
coral species. This Draft was peer reviewed and released with the SRR
in April 2012, with a request for any information that we may have
omitted. We incorporated all of the information we received into the
Final Management Report, which formed the basis of our evaluation of
this factor's effect on the extinction risk of the 82 candidate coral
species in the proposed rule.
The Final Management Report identified existing regulatory
mechanisms that were relevant to the threats to coral species. It was
organized in two sections: (1) Existing regulatory mechanisms that are
relevant to addressing global-scale threats to addressing other threats
to corals. The proposed rule summarized the information from that
report as follows.
Greenhouse gas emissions are regulated through multi-state
agreements, at the international level, and through statutes and
regulations, at the national, state, or provincial level. One of the
key international agreements relevant to attempts to control GHG
emissions, the Copenhagen Accord, was developed in 2009 by the
Conference of Parties to the United Nations Framework Convention on
Climate Change. The Copenhagen Accord identifies specific information
provided by Parties on quantified economy-wide emissions targets for
2020 and on nationally appropriate mitigation actions to the goal of
capping increasing average global temperature at 2 [deg]C above pre-
industrial levels. Overall, the proposed rule concluded that existing
regulatory mechanisms with the objective of reducing GHG emissions were
inadequate to prevent the impacts to corals and coral reefs from ocean
warming, ocean acidification, and other climate change-related threats.
After an in-depth analysis of international agreements to curb GHG
emissions and their respective progress, it appeared unlikely that
Parties would be able to collectively achieve, in the near term,
climate change avoidance goals outlined via international agreements.
Additionally, none of the major global initiatives appeared to be
ambitious enough, even if all terms were met, to reduce GHG emissions
to the level necessary to minimize impacts to coral reefs and prevent
what are predicted to be severe consequences for corals worldwide. The
evidence suggested that existing regulatory mechanisms at the global
scale in the form of international agreements to reduce GHG emissions
were insufficient to prevent widespread impacts to corals.
Existing regulatory mechanisms directly or indirectly addressing
the localized threats identified in the proposed rule (i.e., those
threats not related to GHGs and global climate change) are primarily
national and local fisheries, coastal, and watershed management laws
and regulations in the 84 countries within the collective ranges of the
82 coral species. Because of the large number of threats, and the
[[Page 53904]]
immense number of regulatory mechanisms in the 84 countries, we
concluded in the proposed rule that a regulation-by-regulation
assessment of adequacy was not possible. Furthermore, with the
exception of Acropora palmata and A. cervicornis in the Caribbean,
there was not enough information available to determine the effects of
specific regulatory mechanisms on individual coral species, given the
lack of information on specific locations of individual species (the
adequacy of existing local regulatory mechanisms relevant to threats
impacting the Caribbean acroporids was evaluated in detail in those
species' 2005 status review, and that information is incorporated into
this rule's final findings for those species). However, general
patterns included: (1) Fisheries management regimes regulate reef
fishing in many parts of the collective ranges of the proposed coral
species, albeit at varying levels of success; (2) laws addressing land-
based sources of pollution are less effective than those regulating
fisheries; (3) coral reef and coastal marine protected areas have
increased several-fold in the last decade, reducing some threats
through regulation or banning of fishing, coastal development, and
other activities contributing to localized threats; and (4) the most
effective regulatory mechanisms address the threats other than climate
change. We generally concluded that because the local threats have
impacted and continue to impact corals across their ranges,
collectively, the existing regulations were not preventing or
controlling local threats. Further, there was insufficient information
to determine if an individual species was impacted by inadequacy of
individual existing regulations.
We received public comments and supplemental information on the
inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms. As a result, we
incorporated any information we received into this final rule, which
supplemented the basis for our final analysis and determination of the
inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms in each species
determination.
Comments 31-33 provided supplemental information, which we
incorporated into this final rule. Specifically, we received
information on how local management actions potentially confer
resilience benefits to coral reef ecosystems. The public comments and
supplemental information on the inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms are discussed below in three sections: (1) Updates to
adequacy of global regulatory mechanisms; (2) updates to adequacy of
local regulatory mechanisms; and (3) local management as it applies to
reef resilience.
Since the release of the Final Management Report, there have been
two additional conferences of the Parties to the United National
Framework Convention on Climate Change. In 2012, the Parties met in
Doha, Qatar, and they met again in Warsaw, Poland in 2013. The
resulting decisions from both meetings were primarily to continue
ongoing efforts to reach a new agreement for emissions reductions to be
adopted at the 2015 meeting in Paris, and to have those implemented by
2020. The new agreement would maintain the same overall goal as the
Copenhagen Accord, to cap additional warming at 2 [deg]C. Within the
United States, President Barack Obama released the President's Climate
Action Plan in June 2013. The plan is three-pronged, including proposed
actions for mitigation, adaptation, and international leadership. The
actions listed for mitigation include completing carbon pollution
standards for new and existing power plants, accelerating clean energy
permitting, increasing funding for clean energy innovation and
technology, increasing fuel economy standards, increasing energy
efficiency in homes businesses and factories, and reducing other GHG
emissions including hydrofluorocarbons and methane. The plan states
that the United States is still committed to reducing GHG emissions 17
percent below 2005 levels by 2020 if all other major economies agree to
similar reductions. Additional efforts made domestically related to
climate change are more focused on facilitating adaptation to the
impending changes to the environment due to climate change in order to
maintain the country's natural and economic resources, but do not
directly address the emission of GHGs.
As described in the proposed rule, existing regulatory mechanisms
directly or indirectly addressing all of the localized threats
identified in the SRR (i.e., those threats not related to GHGs and
global climate change) are primarily national and local fisheries,
coastal, and watershed management laws and regulations in the 84
countries within the collective ranges of the 65 coral species. This
final rule incorporates any information we received via public comment
regarding recent local regulatory mechanisms or local regulatory
mechanisms that were either previously mischaracterized or
inadvertently omitted. This includes some additions of various local
laws as well as supplemental information regarding regulations
pertaining to collection and trade of coral species. In addition, to
better capture the breadth and scope of existing regulatory mechanisms
on a species-by-species basis, we evaluated the presence and scope of
five different categories of regulatory mechanisms in each of the 84
countries throughout the ranges of the 65 corals in this final rule.
These categories of laws include: General protection of corals, reef
fishing, marine protected areas, wild collection, and pollution.
For each coral species, we considered the relevant national laws,
regulations, and other similar mechanisms that may reduce any of the
threats described in our threat analyses for all countries in which the
coral species has confirmed records of occurrence. To find each country
where our 65 coral species have confirmed occurrence we used Veron's
updated report on the listed coral species and their occurrence in
various ecoregions (Veron, 2014). In considering countries' regulatory
mechanisms, we give strongest weight to statutes and their implementing
regulations and to management direction that stems from those laws and
regulations.
In analyzing local regulatory mechanisms available for each coral
species, five general categories emerged: General coral protection,
coral collection control, fishing controls, pollution controls, and
managed areas. General coral protection regulatory mechanisms include
overarching environmental laws that may protect corals from damage,
harm, and destruction, and specific coral reef management laws. In some
instances, these general coral protection regulatory mechanisms are
limited in scope because they apply only to certain areas or only
regulate coral reef damage and do not prohibit it completely.
Coral collection regulatory mechanisms include specific laws that
prohibit the collection, harvest, and mining of corals. In some
instances, these coral collection regulatory mechanisms are limited in
scope because they apply only to certain areas or are regulated but not
prohibited.
Pollution control regulatory mechanisms include oil pollution laws,
marine pollution laws, ship-based pollution laws, and coastal land use
and development laws. In some instances, pollution regulatory
mechanisms are limited in scope because they apply only to certain
areas or to specific sources of pollution.
Fishing regulatory mechanisms include fisheries regulations that
pertain
[[Page 53905]]
to reefs or regulations that prohibit explosives, poisons and
chemicals, electrocution, spearfishing, specific mesh sizes of nets, or
other fishing gear. In some instances, fishing regulatory mechanisms
are limited in scope because they apply only to certain areas, or not
all reef-damaging fishing methods are prohibited, or reef-damaging
fishing methods are regulated but not prohibited.
Managed area regulatory mechanisms include the capacity to create
national parks and reserves, sanctuaries, and marine protected areas.
In some instances, managed area regulatory mechanisms are limited in
scope, primarily because the managed area provides limited protection
for coral reefs, only small percentages of the countries' coral reefs
are protected within the managed areas, or the managed areas are not
well administered.
The management results for each species can be found in the
Species-Specific Information and Determination section of this rule. It
should be noted that while some of these regulatory mechanisms were
categorized as ``limited in scope,'' it does not necessarily mean they
are inadequate under ESA section 4(a)(1) Factor D.
We received a significant amount of information regarding the role
of local management actions in building resilience into reef
ecosystems. This section describes the emerging body of literature
regarding the concept of reef resilience, defined as an ecosystem's
capacity to absorb recurrent shocks or disturbances and adapt to change
without compromising its ecological function or structural integrity.
Until recently, the main drivers of coral reef decline included
overfishing of herbivorous fish and nutrient loading from agriculture
and other land-based sources of pollution. These stressors caused
widespread changes in reef ecosystems over the past couple of
centuries, and ultimately led to ecological shifts from coral-dominated
systems to systems overrun by fleshy algae. These localized
disturbances are now being compounded by climate change related
threats, including increasingly frequent coral bleaching events as a
result of ocean warming.
Many factors contribute to coral reef ecosystem resilience,
including ecosystem condition, biological diversity, connectivity
between areas, and local environmental conditions (Marshall and
Schuttenberg, 2006; Obura, 2005). Implementing local actions that
either protect or strengthen these resilience-conferring factors has
the potential to help coral reef ecosystems survive predicted increases
in the frequency, duration, and severity of mass coral bleaching events
(Obura, 2005) and may help reduce the extinction risk of some
individual coral species.
In terms of local management actions, many acute disturbances such
as coral bleaching are out of the direct control of reef managers and
cannot be mitigated directly. Actions that can be taken to build reef
resilience and enhance reef recovery include reducing physical
disturbance and injury as a result of recreational activities, managing
local watersheds and coastal areas to prevent sedimentation and
nutrient run-off, and reducing fishing pressures on important
herbivorous fish (Jackson et al., 2014; Kennedy et al., 2013; Marshall
and Schuttenberg, 2006; Mumby and Steneck, 2011). For example, a recent
study shows that eutrophication can increase thermal stress on inshore
reef communities and management actions to reduce coastal
eutrophication can improve the resistance and resilience of vulnerable
coastal coral reefs to ocean warming (Fabricius et al., 2013).
Additionally, herbivorous fish play a crucial role in the recovery of
coral reefs after major disturbance events. Severe warming and
increases in ocean acidification alone can reduce resilience of coral
reef ecosystems, particularly if those systems are already subject to
overfishing of the key functional groups of herbivorous reef fishes and
nutrient loading (Anthony et al., 2011; Bellwood et al., 2004).
Elevated populations of herbivores have the potential to confer
resilience benefits by encouraging greater niche diversification and
creating functional redundancy. For example, it has been demonstrated
that two complementary herbivore species were more successful at
controlling algal blooms than a single species on its own, and
management of herbivorous fish can help in reef regeneration after
episodes of bleaching or disease that are impossible to locally
regulate (Bellwood et al., 2004; Burkepile and Hay, 2008; Roff and
Mumby, 2012). Conversely, even unexploited populations of herbivorous
fishes do not guarantee reef resilience; therefore, some reefs could
lose resilience even under relatively low fishing pressure (Cheal et
al., 2010). Therefore, the entire suite of local threats and
disturbances should be minimized through local management actions to
ensure that reef resilience and recovery are also maximized.
Establishing MPA networks is generally accepted as one of the more
common management tools to help reduce impacts to coral reefs and build
resilience (Burke et al., 2011; Keller et al., 2009).
In a 2013 global review of 10,280 MPAs, it was found that
approximately 2.93 percent of the world's oceans have MPA coverage;
however, coverage does not necessarily equate to protection. Marine
protected areas have often failed to prevent ongoing local threats such
as overfishing due to management and/or design failure, as well as lack
of local support, poor compliance, and inadequate resources to promote
educational awareness and enforcement (Hughes et al., 2007; Hughes et
al., 2010; Spalding et al., 2013). A study by the World Resources
Institute found that only 6 percent of the world's reefs occur in
effectively managed MPAs (Burke et al., 2011). Further, scientists are
just beginning to understand spatial patterns of coral responses to
disturbance. Efforts to identify coral reef areas with the greatest
resilience are crucial for siting MPAs. This information has the
potential to assist in future MPA design and management so that
resistant patches of coral reef can be protected to ensure continued
connectivity and subsequent recovery of nearby reefs that are less
resistant. These strategies of tailoring management efforts across the
marine environment depending on various responses to disturbance are
still in their infancy, but it may eventually prove essential in
adaptive management of reef resources in the face of future climate
change-related disturbances (Mumby and Steneck, 2011). For these
reasons, while MPAs are an important tool in response to the global
degradation of coral reefs, they should not be considered a panacea
(Hughes et al., 2007).
In general, recent evidence suggests that management of local scale
disturbances is essential to maintaining an adequate coral population
density for successful reproduction and maintenance of genetic
diversity and is therefore crucial to maintaining complex, bio-diverse
coral reef ecosystems, given the predicted widespread impacts of
climate change related threats (e.g., Anthony et al., 2011). The
presence of effective local laws and regulations has the potential to
help reduce impacts to coral reefs from threats on an ecosystem level,
potentially extending the timeframe at which individual coral species
may be in danger of extinction by providing a protective temporal
buffer (i.e., resiliency). Some evidence suggests that local management
actions, particularly of fisheries (specifically, no-take marine
reserves) and watersheds, can enhance the ability of species,
communities, and ecosystems to tolerate climate change-
[[Page 53906]]
related stressors, and potentially delay reef loss by at least a decade
under ``business-as-usual'' rises in GHG emissions (Keller et al.,
2008; Kennedy et al., 2013). In the Caribbean especially, local
regulation of fisheries for herbivorous fish species (specifically
parrotfish) is deemed one of the most important local actions to
safeguard coral reefs in the face of looming climate change threats
(Jackson et al., 2014). It also has been strongly suggested that local
management be combined with a low-carbon economy to prevent further
degradation of reef structures and associated ecosystems (Birkeland et
al., 2013; Kennedy et al., 2013).
After considering this supplemental information in addition to that
which was available for the proposed rule, our conclusion regarding the
inadequacy of regulatory mechanisms addressing global threats to corals
from GHG emissions remains unchanged from the proposed rule. That is,
without any substantive changes in emissions reduction pledges from any
major economies and without any noteworthy additional efforts to
actually reduce GHG emissions, the supplemental information considered
in this final rule regarding regulatory mechanisms does not change the
previous analysis. We reach the same conclusions regarding local
regulatory mechanisms as described in the proposed rule, with the
exceptions of Acropora palmata and A. cervicornis. For these species,
we have incorporated into this final rule, the analysis of adequacy of
regulatory mechanisms included in the 2005 status review and 2006
listing of these species as threatened. Those documents concluded that
existing regulatory mechanisms are inadequate to address local and
global threats affecting these species, and as such are contributing to
the threatened status of these species.
Because the local threats have impacted and continue to impact
corals across their ranges, we still generally conclude that,
collectively, the existing regulations are not currently preventing or
controlling local threats across the entire range of any of the 65
species. We still do not have sufficient information to determine if an
individual species' extinction risk is exacerbated by inadequacy of
individual existing regulations. On the other hand, the best available
information suggests that local management may confer resilience
benefits for coral reefs on an ecosystem level, which could extend the
timeframe at which individual coral species may be at risk of
extinction by providing a protective temporal buffer in the face of
climate change-related threats. That is, implementing effective local
management actions may allow for coral to persist while awaiting
significant global progress to curb GHGs. Overall, we maintain that in
the absence of effective global regulatory mechanisms to reduce impacts
from climate change to corals, the inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms at global and local scales poses an extinction risk threat
to all of the corals that are vulnerable to climate-related threats.
Threats Evaluation Conclusion
The above information on threats to reef-building corals leads to
several important overall points that apply both currently and over the
foreseeable future. First, the period of time over which individual
threats and responses may be projected varies according to the nature
of the threat and the type of information available about that threat
and the species' likely response. The threats related to global climate
change pose the greatest potential extinction risk to corals and have
been evaluated with sufficient certainty out to the year 2100. Second,
we expect an overall increase in threats, especially those related to
global climate change as projected by RCP8.5 to 2100. Third, RCP8.5's
projections of conditions on coral reefs within the ranges of the
species covered by this rule over the foreseeable future are based on
spatially-coarse analyses associated with high uncertainty, in
particular at local spatial scales. Finally and most importantly,
determining the effects of global threats on an individual coral
species over the foreseeable future is complicated by the combination
of: (1) Uncertainty associated with projected ocean warming and
acidification threats; (2) regional and local variability in global
threats; (3) large distributions and high habitat heterogeneity of the
species in this final rule; and (4) limited species-specific
information on responses to global threats.
Thus, in our species determinations, we recognize that the best
available information indicates the impacts of climate change will
likely increase in the foreseeable future. However, there are
limitations to using this global, coarse-scale information for
determining vulnerability to extinction for individual coral species.
Climate change projections over the foreseeable future are associated
with three major sources of uncertainty; (1) The projected rate of
increase for GHG concentrations; (2) strength of the climate's response
to GHG concentrations; and (3) large natural variations. The recent
warming slow-down is an example of a large natural variation that was
not anticipated by previous models. Reports that discuss the future
impacts of climate change on coral reefs indicate variability in both
the models underlying these changes and the extent of potential impacts
to the coral ecosystem. Recognizing uncertainty and spatial variability
in climate change projections, and the spatial variability in
environmental conditions on coral habitat, in our species
determinations we emphasize the role that heterogeneous habitat and
spatial and demographic traits play in evaluating extinction risk. We
also consider in our determinations that each species in this final
rule experiences a wide variety of conditions throughout its range that
helps mitigate the impacts of global and local threats to some degree.
Finally, we don't consider projections of impacts to coral reef
ecosystems to definitively represent impacts to individual coral
species, because coral reef communities typically consist of dozens to
hundreds of reef-building coral species, each of which may respond
differently to environmental and ecological changes. In addition, reef-
building corals are not limited to occupying only coral reefs.
Risk Analyses
Many factors can contribute to an individual species' extinction
risk. The process of extinction usually occurs in phases, first
affecting individual populations or sub-populations, and then
progressing to the species level. Extinction can occur as a result of
stochastic processes that affect birth and death and mortality from
catastrophic events. A species' biological traits can influence
extinction risk both in terms of vulnerability to environmental
perturbations and effects on population dynamics. Extinction risk is
also influenced by depensatory effects, which are self-reinforcing
processes (i.e., positive feedbacks) that accelerate species loss as
its population density declines.
The proposed rule described our framework for evaluating extinction
risk and making listing determinations in the Risk Analyses section.
There were multiple steps in our process of evaluating the listing
status of each species. The initial step in developing the framework
consisted of evaluating the ESA definitions of ``endangered'' and
``threatened'' and how those definitions apply to corals. The
application of those definitions was based on the background of the
Context for Extinction Risk and General Threats sections of the
proposed rule.
We then considered the elements that contribute to the extinction
risk of corals in the Risk Analyses section of the proposed rule. The
following is a list
[[Page 53907]]
of the specific elements within their respective categories: (1)
Vulnerability to threats, including each of the nine most important
threats, based on a species' susceptibility and exposure to each of the
threats; (2) demography, including abundance, trends in abundance, and
relative recruitment rate; and (3) spatial structure, including overall
distribution, which is a combination of geographic and depth
distributions, and ocean basin. In order to evaluate the best available
information for each of the 82 candidate corals and consider all
elements in each of these categories, we developed a Determination Tool
to organize and consistently interpret the information in the SRR, FMR,
and SIR and apply it to the definitions of threatened, endangered, and
not warranted species developed for corals, in a decision framework
that we developed to specifically apply to corals.
In the proposed rule, we linked the major elements of our Risk
Analyses, vulnerability to threats, demography, and spatial structure,
to the ESA listing categories. We described endangered species as
having a current extinction risk; they are highly vulnerable to one or
more of the high importance threats and have either already been
seriously adversely affected by one of these threats, as evidenced by a
declining trend and high susceptibility to that threat, or they lack a
buffer to protect them from serious adverse effects from these threats
in the future. We described threatened species as not currently being
in danger of extinction, but are likely to become so within the
foreseeable future. They are highly or moderately vulnerable to one or
more of the high importance threats or highly vulnerable to one or more
of the lower importance threats, but have either not yet exhibited
effects in their populations or they have the buffering protection of
more common abundance or wider overall distribution. We described not
warranted species as not being in danger of extinction currently and
not likely to become so within the foreseeable future because they
have: Low vulnerability to the high importance threats, or low or
moderate vulnerability to all the lower importance threats, and common
abundance or wide overall distribution.
The proposed rule described the basis for our determination of the
foreseeable future for the purposes of projecting climate-related
threats in the Threats Evaluation and Risk Analyses sections, and was
supported by several other sections (e.g., Global Climate Change--
Overview). Consistent with our practice for all species listing
determinations, we established that the appropriate period of time
corresponding to the foreseeable future is a function of the particular
type of threats, the life-history characteristics, and the specific
habitat requirements for the coral species under consideration. The
timeframe established for the foreseeable future considered the time
necessary to provide for the conservation and recovery of each
threatened species and the ecosystems upon which they depend. It was
also a function of the reliability of available data regarding the
identified threats and extends only as far as the data allow for making
reasonable predictions about the species' response to those threats. We
agreed with the BRT's assessment that the threats related to climate
change had been sufficiently characterized and predicted through the
end of this century. Therefore, in the proposed rule, we determined the
year 2100 to be the appropriate outer limit of foreseeability as to
climate change-related threats.
In the proposed rule, we evaluated each species throughout its
entire range, because no SPOIRs were identified, and that assessment
has not changed in the final rule as described further below in the
Statutory Standards sub-section. While we did receive additional
qualitative information on the abundances and distributions of the 65
proposed species, nothing in that data indicated that any portions of
the range of any of the species warranted further evaluation under the
applicable standards of the final SPOIR Policy, as discussed in the
Statutory Standards sub-section below. The last step in developing the
proposed listing determinations was to evaluate ``Conservation
Efforts'' to determine if they would change the basis for listing a
species by alleviating threats or recovering populations. We concluded
that conservation efforts on global and local scales did not change the
status determined using our decision framework for any of the 82
candidate species.
Comments 32-34 and 37-42 focused on four aspects of the listing
determination process in the proposed rule: (1) The Determination Tool,
(2) the foreseeable future, (3) the SPOIR analysis, and (4)
conservation efforts. The comments we received identified deficiencies
in the proposed rule's Determination Tool, leading to a change in our
approach from a formulaic framework to describe extinction risk, to a
non-formulaic framework to describe vulnerability to extinction. That
is, the final determination framework integrates different types of
information in a holistic manner that better represents all the
available information, including complexity and uncertainty, than was
possible using the linear Determination Tool in the proposed rule. In
this section, we explain the final determination framework process that
we used to determine each of the species' statuses, how it is different
from the proposed rule, and how new and supplemental information was
incorporated.
In the proposed rule we described our determination approach in the
Risk Analyses and Detailed Description of Determination Tool Elements
sections, in which we discussed the elements that affect a coral's
extinction risk. Below we describe how that determination approach has
been adapted for this final rule and applied to the Statutory
Standards, in light of and in response to public comments.
Final Determination Framework
Overview of Key Changes Applied in Final Determinations. We
received many comments questioning the accuracy of the methods used to
analyze the available information to assess extinction risk and derive
listing statuses for each of the proposed species, including how the
Determination Tool was used. After considering these comments, and as
discussed above, our findings in the proposed rule were influenced by
how we believed coral species would react to environmental changes now
and over the foreseeable future. Given the current effects and
projections of climate change impacts to the marine environment into
the foreseeable future and the information we had at the time of the
proposed rule on coral response to existing and predicted environmental
stressors, we determined that many of the coral species met the
definition of ``endangered species'' or ``threatened species.'' In
explaining how the Determination Tool assessed risk and derived listing
statuses we concluded that, as some public comments suggested, the
Determination Tool was too linear and deterministic. This led to
listing determinations in the proposed rule that were based, in large
part, on applying the endangered and threatened standard to relative
characteristics instead of applying the endangered and threatened
standard to each individual species independently to determine their
listing status.
In this rule, we have changed our determinations for many of the
species for two general reasons: (1) Informed by public comments, we
refined the way we apply the available information to determine
vulnerability to extinction; and (2) we received via public comments,
or gathered ourselves,
[[Page 53908]]
information that expanded our existing knowledge.
We received and gathered specific information about spatial,
demographic, and other characteristics of individual coral species, and
the public comments provided general scientific criticism about how we
weighed these factors. In the proposed rule, we gave greater
consideration to susceptibility to threats but did not fully recognize
the extent to which spatial, demographic, and other characteristics of
corals can moderate vulnerability to extinction. After considering all
of the available information and public comments, in this final rule we
continue to recognize the threats that the species face, but we also
place more emphasis on buffers against those threats and revisit the
predicted population responses of individual species to the threats,
giving full consideration to their current spatial, demographic, and
other characteristics. For example, we took into account that many of
the species, when viewed on their own rather than in relation to other
coral species or vertebrate species, have more substantial absolute
abundances than the prior methodology accounted for.
We also took into account that in many instances coral species
occupy a wide range of habitats, including areas that can act as
refugia from warming, which moderate the predicted impacts across
coarse-scale areas. As explained generally above, and in regard to
individual species below, the species in this final rule will be
negatively impacted by future conditions, but in light of our
consideration of factors and characteristics discussed above, we find
they are not currently in danger of extinction and do not meet the
definition of endangered. We do, however, conclude that some species
are likely to become in danger of extinction within the foreseeable
future and thus meet the definition of threatened. We also find that
listing is not warranted for some species that were previously proposed
for listing.
In this final rule, we acknowledge that there are no recipes or
formulas for endangered, threatened, or not warranted coral species,
especially given the variability in coral species' biology and ecology,
and the variability in available information from species to species.
Accordingly, the final framework allows for consideration of each
coral's circumstances as a whole (simultaneously evaluating each
species' demography, spatial characteristics, threat susceptibilities,
and current and future environmental conditions independently of the
other species), leading us to species-specific conclusions about
vulnerability to extinction.
The final determination framework used in this final rule is
composed of seven elements. The first element is describing the
statutory standards. The second, third, fourth, and fifth elements are
identifying and analyzing all the appropriate species-specific and
general characteristics that influence extinction risk for a coral
species. The sixth element is relating a species' characteristics to a
particular extinction risk at appropriate spatial and temporal scales.
The seventh element is explicitly stating how each species' extinction
risk meets the statutory listing definitions as applied to corals,
resulting in an ultimate listing status. A final consideration in
evaluating listing status is whether current or planned conservation
efforts improve the overall status of any of the 65 species such that
the additional protections of the ESA are not warranted.
In moving to an integrated, non-formulaic framework, some of our
key assumptions about vulnerability to extinction changed due to
analyzing the different aspects of each species' characteristics
independently (on an absolute scale), instead of being rated with the
other proposed corals species (on a relative scale). We rely on the
following guiding principles extracted from each of the sections in the
first part of this rule, providing the context and background
information for the species determinations, in order to determine each
species' listing status:
Clonal, colonial organisms, such as corals, are vastly
different in their biology and ecology than many other species listed
by NMFS under the Endangered Species Act.
In our species determinations, we give appropriate
consideration to the complex nature of coral biology and variability in
responses to threats between individual coral colonies and even between
different portions of the same colony.
In our species determinations, absolute abundance and
absolute distribution inform our evaluation of a species' current
status and its capacity to respond to changing conditions over the
foreseeable future.
The concept of heterogeneous habitat influences extinction
risk for all species in this final rule because each species
experiences a wide variety of conditions throughout its range, which
allows for variable responses to global and local threats.
We recognize that the best available information indicates
the impacts of climate change will likely increase in the foreseeable
future. However, there are limitations to using this global, coarse-
scale information for determining vulnerability to extinction for
individual coral species.
In our species determinations, we don't consider
projections of impacts to coral reef ecosystems to definitively
represent impacts to individual coral species, because coral
communities typically consist of dozens to hundreds of coral species,
each of which may respond differently to environmental and ecological
changes.
Recognizing the uncertainty and spatial variability in
climate change projections, and the spatial variability in
environmental conditions on coral habitat, in our species
determinations we emphasize the role that heterogeneous habitat and
absolute demographic and spatial characteristics play in evaluating
extinction risk.
We have ordered the informational categories in the Species-
specific Information and Determinations sections below for clarity in
describing the species-specific elements and their interaction in
contributing to each species' vulnerability to extinction as follows:
(1) Spatial Information--overall distribution and ocean basin, habitat;
(2) Demographic Information--abundance, trends in abundance, relative
recruitment rate; and (3) Susceptibility to threats based on a species'
susceptibility to each of the nine threats. Further, when information
is available that does not fall into one of the categories or elements
identified above, but is relevant to extinction risk, we provide it
under the Other Biological Information category. In each species
determination, we refer back to the specific guiding principles that
played a role in how we consider the species-specific information and
the sections in which they are described in more detail.
Statutory Standards
The definitions of endangered and threatened species under section
3 of the ESA, wherein (1) an ``endangered species'' is defined as ``any
species which is in danger of extinction throughout all or a
significant portion of its range'', and (2) a ``threatened species'' is
defined as ``any species which is likely to become an endangered
species in the foreseeable future throughout all or a significant
portion of its range,'' formed the basis of our determination
framework. Considered at both the spatial and temporal scales
applicable to each of those listing statuses, an endangered species
currently faces an extinction risk throughout all or a significant
portion of its range and a threatened species is likely to become
endangered throughout
[[Page 53909]]
all or a significant portion of its range within the foreseeable
future. In other words, the primary statutory difference between a
threatened and endangered species is the timing of when a species may
be in danger of extinction, either presently (endangered) or in the
foreseeable future (threatened). Further, as discussed below, no
significant portions of their ranges could be determined for any of our
proposed species; thus, the only spatial scale we consider is each
species' entire range.
Court opinions produced in litigation challenging the listing of
the polar bear as threatened provides a thorough discussion of the
ESA's definitions and the Services' broad discretion to determine on a
case-by-case basis whether a species is in danger of extinction (see,
In Re Polar Bear Endangered Species Act Listing and Sec. 4(d) Rule
Litigation, 794 F. Supp.2d 65 (D.D.C. 2011); aff'd, 709 F.3d 1 (D.C.
Cir. 2013); 748 F. Supp.2d 19 (D.D.C. 2010)). The Court determined that
the phrase ``in danger of extinction'' is ambiguous. The Court held
that there is a temporal distinction between endangered and threatened
species in terms of the proximity of the ``danger'' of extinction,
noting that the definition of ``endangered species'' is phrased in the
present tense, whereas a threatened species is ``likely to become'' so
in the future. However, the Court also ruled that neither the ESA nor
its legislative history compels the interpretation of ``endangered'' as
a species being in ``imminent'' risk of extinction. Thus, in the
context of the ESA, a key statutory difference between a threatened and
endangered species is the timing of when a species may be in danger of
extinction, either now (endangered) or in the foreseeable future
(threatened). The Court ruled that although imminence of harm is
clearly one factor that the Services weigh in their decision-making
process, it is not necessarily a limiting factor, and that Congress did
not intend to make any single factor controlling when drawing the
distinction between endangered and threatened species. In many cases,
the Services might appropriately find that the imminence of a
particular threat is the dispositive factor that warrants listing a
species as `threatened' rather than `endangered,' or vice versa. To be
listed as endangered does not require that extinction be certain or
probable, and that it is possible for a species validly listed as
``endangered'' to actually persist indefinitely. Due to the ambiguous
nature of the statutory terms, we have defined ``endangered'' and
``threatened'' at the end of the Foreseeable Future sub-section below
in the context of the particular species (corals) being considered for
listing.
Significant Portion of its Range (SPOIR). The ESA's definitions of
``endangered species'' and ``threatened species'' refer to two spatial
scales, providing that a species may be imperiled ``throughout all'' of
or ``in a significant portion of'' its range. 16 U.S.C. 1532(6); (20).
NMFS has interpreted the ``significant portion of its range'' language
in a policy that has recently been finalized. See ``Final Policy on
Interpretation of the Phrase `Significant Portion of its Range' in the
Endangered Species Act's Definitions of `Endangered Species' and
`Threatened Species' '' (79 FR 37578; July 1, 2014) (``Final Policy'').
In developing our proposed rule, our analysis was informed by the Draft
Policy that was published in December 2011 (76 FR 76987; December 9,
2011). As we explained in the proposed rule, we were unable to identify
any portions of the species' ranges that might require closer analysis
as potential SPOIRs, due in large part to a lack of species-specific
information regarding abundance, geographic distribution, diversity,
and productivity (77 FR 73247).
The Final Policy, which we must now apply, differs in two key
respects from the Draft Policy. Neither changes the ultimate result in
this case, which is that no SPOIRs can be identified. First, the Final
Policy specifies that no portions of a species' range can be
``significant,'' and thus no SPOIR analysis need be done, where the
range-wide status analysis leads to a conclusion that listing the
entire species as threatened or endangered is warranted. (Under the
Draft Policy, even if a species were found to warrant listing as
``threatened,'' the agency still needed to consider whether any
portions of the range may be significant). Second, the final policy
defines ``significant'' to include not only those portions where the
individuals are so biologically significant that without them the
entire species would meet the definition of ``endangered'' (the
standard in the Draft Policy), but also those portions whose loss would
render the species ``threatened.''
In this case, our framework evaluates each species throughout its
range to determine extinction risk. If a species is determined to be
threatened or endangered based on the rangewide analysis, no further
evaluation is warranted. However, if a species is found to be not
warranted at the spatial scale of its entire range, we must consider if
a SPOIR exists that may be both highly biologically important and at
higher extinction risk, such that its loss would render the entire
species endangered or threatened. An evaluation is required only where
there is information to suggest that a particular portion of the range
is likely to be both ``significant'' as defined in the policy and to
qualify as endangered or threatened (79 FR 37586).
As described in the proposed rule, the BRT did not identify any
portions of the range for any of the 82 coral species as being
potentially ``significant'' or at a higher extinction risk. Because
there was a general lack of species-specific data regarding
quantitative abundance, distribution, diversity, and productivity of
coral species, we were not able to identify any portions of any of the
species' ranges that could be considered unusually biologically
significant. Further, we had no information to indicate that particular
local threats were more severe in a particular portion of an individual
species' range.
No supplemental information was received in response to the
proposed rule that provides support for identification of a SPOIR for
any of the proposed species. While we did receive supplemental
information on the qualitative abundances and distributions for some
species, nothing in that data suggests that any particular portion of
any proposed species range is unusually biologically significant. We do
not have any information that would help elucidate whether any species
is at higher exposure to threats in a particular area of its range
(i.e., where threats may be so acute or concentrated that current
conditions are likely to render the species there at significantly
higher risk of extinction than the overall species). Thus, we did not
identify any SPOIR for any species, and so our determination as to each
species is based on the best available information about the species'
status throughout its range.
Foreseeable Future. The ``foreseeable future'' is integral to the
definition of a threatened species. It is the timeframe over which we
evaluate a species' extinction risk if it is not currently in danger of
extinction. As described in the proposed rule, the identification of
the foreseeable future is unique to every listing decision. It is based
on the particular type of threats, the life-history characteristics,
and the specific habitat requirements for the species under
consideration.
For this Final Rule, we clarify that the ``foreseeable future'' is
that period of time over which we are able to make reliable projections
about all of the significant threats affecting the species and the
species' likely response to those
[[Page 53910]]
threats. Projections need not be ``certain'' to be reliable, so long as
we are able to make predictions with a reasonable degree of confidence
based on available information. In the proposed rule, we identified the
year 2100 as marking the outer limit of the foreseeable future based
upon the ability to make projections about the primary threats to
corals--those stemming from global climate change--over that period (77
FR 73226). However, in identifying 2100 as the limit of the foreseeable
future for purpose of analyzing those threats, we did not intend to
establish that year as the only relevant benchmark for analyzing all
threats to the species or the species' response thereto.
Because neither the ESA nor implementing regulations define
``foreseeable future,'' the term is ambiguous, and Congress has left
broad discretion to the Secretary to determine what period of time is
reasonable for each species. This does not require identifying a
specific year or period of time to frame our analysis, particularly
where there is inadequate specific data to do so. See ``Memorandum
Opinion: The Meaning of `Foreseeable Future' in Section 3(20) of the
Endangered Species Act'' (M-37021, Department of the Interior Office of
the Solicitor, January 16, 2009). The appropriate timescales for
analyzing various threats will vary with the data available about each
threat. In making our final listing determinations we must synthesize
all available information and forecast the species' status into the
future only as far as we reliably are able based on the best available
scientific and commercial information and best professional judgment.
In the case of corals, we can make reasonable assessments as to the
most significant environmental factors facing the coral species between
now and 2100. We have explained that this time period, which is
consistently used by most current global models and the IPCC reports,
allows for reliable and reasonable projections about climate change-
related threats. As described in the Threats Evaluation--Foreseeable
Future and Global Climate Change Overview sections above, 2100 was
selected as the limit of foreseeability for climate change-related
threats based on AR4's and AR5 WGI's use of 2100 as the end-point for
most of its global climate change models (IPCC, 2013). Public comments
asserted that the models used in climate predictions are too uncertain
to reliably predict climate conditions out to 2100. However, as we have
explained in our response to Comment 38 and elsewhere in this final
rule, supplemental information supports, and we reaffirm our choice of,
identifying 2100 as the timeframe over which we can make reliable
predictions about climate change-related threats.
However, global climate change is not the only relevant threat to
the species, and the range of available data differs as to these other
threats (such as predation, sedimentation, etc.). Further, in reaching
our conclusions and ultimate listing determinations, we need to assess
how the species will react to the various stressors identified in this
rule. For example, to the extent it was available, we considered a
significant amount of information on the current spatial and
demographic features of the species, based on various types of
information which support varying degrees of projection into the
future. Thus, while the year 2100 is a reliable end-point for
projecting climate change-related threats, it is not valid across the
range of threats for the species and should not be misunderstood as
driving our forecasts of the species' statuses.
For all of these species, we concluded based on the best available
scientific and commercial information that their spatial, demographic,
or other characteristics buffer them against current endangerment of
extinction. However, over the foreseeable future, the ability of
spatial and demographic traits to provide a buffer against the danger
of extinction is expected to diminish as colonies within particular
areas are impacted due to climate change and other negative stressors.
We considered, at a species level, whether these predicted conditions
may cause the species to become in danger of extinction within the
foreseeable future. However, there are varying degrees of certainty
about the responses of corals to stressors. We can be confident that
certain mitigating elements of the life history for some of these
species will not change, such as their ability to reproduce asexually
or the ability to persist in a range of depths. But we are less
confident in other aspects, such as precisely where and when local
extirpations may occur.
For this final rule, then, we make clear that our listing
determinations are reached on the totality of the best available
information about the threats to the species and the species' likely
response to them over time. Our determinations reflect our
consideration of that information, as well as application of our
professional judgment regarding how far into the future we can reliably
project either the underlying threats or the species' response.
However, in light of the number of variables pertaining to the
stressors and buffering traits among the corals species evaluated, and
the limited availability and incomplete nature of quantitative data on
these species, a quantitative assessment of these projections is not
possible. Therefore our assessment of the foreseeable future is
necessarily qualitative. Given the biological traits and life history
strategies of the corals evaluated in this rule, including their
relatively long life-spans, the period of time over which we are able
to make reliable projections is the next several decades. This general
timeframe thus frames our listing determinations. Although we recognize
that climate related threats will persist beyond this horizon, we find
it both infeasible on the information available and unnecessary to
attempt to identify the foreseeable future across the full range of
threats to the species and the species' response with more precision.
In the proposed rule, we considered how the temporal scales were
appropriately factored into our evaluations of whether a species was in
danger of extinction now, likely to become in danger of extinction in
the foreseeable future, or not warranted for listing. For example, two
major factors determining the immediacy of the danger of extinction for
corals are the relatively high degree of certainty of impacts from high
importance threats and a species' current or future capacity to resist
adverse effects. Under the proposed rule's Determination Tool approach,
endangered species were species with a current high extinction risk;
they were highly vulnerable to one or more of the high importance
threats and had either already been seriously adversely affected by one
of these threats, as evidenced by a declining trend, and high
susceptibility to that threat, or they lacked a buffer to protect them
from serious adverse effects from these threats in the future. While a
threatened species under the proposed rule might be impacted by the
same threats as an endangered species, it was less exposed or less
susceptible, providing greater buffering capacity to those same threats
when compared to an endangered species.
In response to public comments critical of our equating species'
listing statuses with outcomes of the determination tool, here we more
fully explain the biological characteristics and distinctions between
endangered and threatened corals, and corals not warranting listing
under the ESA. Under the final rule's determination framework, an
endangered species is at such risk of extinction, that it is currently
``in danger'' of extinction throughout its range. As such, an
endangered coral species is of such low
[[Page 53911]]
abundance or is so spatially fragmented that the species is currently
in danger of extinction. Several processes may contribute to the danger
of extinction (e.g., depensatory process, catastrophic events).
Depensatory processes include reproductive failure from low density of
reproductive individuals and genetic processes such as inbreeding. A
coral species with these characteristics would be vulnerable to
background environmental variation if a large proportion of the
existing population were concentrated in an area that experienced an
environmental anomaly leading to high mortality. Similarly, an
endangered coral species could be of such low abundance that one
catastrophic event or a series of severe, sudden, and deleterious
environmental events could cause mortality of a large enough proportion
of the existing population that the remaining population would be
unable to reproduce and/or recover. A coral species that meets the
endangered standard is not necessarily characterized by a single factor
(e.g., abundance number, density, spatial distribution, or trend value)
but could also be characterized by combinations of factors encompassing
multiple life history characteristics and other important ecological
features, as described above. Different combinations of such factors
may result in endangered status from species to species.
Under the final rule's determination framework, a threatened coral
species also is at a risk of extinction due to its spatial and
demographic characteristics and threat susceptibilities; however those
traits still provide sufficient buffering capacity against being in
danger of extinction currently. In other words, the species has an
abundance and distribution sufficient for it to be not currently of
such low abundance or so spatially fragmented to be in danger of
extinction, but is likely to become so within the foreseeable future
throughout it range. Similar to an endangered species, a coral species
that meets the threatened standard is not necessarily characterized by
a single factor (e.g., abundance number, density, spatial distribution,
or trend value) but could also be characterized by combinations of
factors encompassing multiple life history characteristics and other
important ecological features, as described above. Different
combinations of such factors may result in threatened status from
species to species.
Thus, there is a temporal distinction between endangered and
threatened species in terms of the proximity of the danger of
extinction based on the sufficiency of characteristics to provide
buffering capacity against threats that cause elevated extinction risk.
It is worth noting that this temporal distinction is broad, and a
threatened species could likely become an endangered species anytime
within the foreseeable future.
Under the final rule's determination framework, a coral species
that is not warranted for listing has spatial and demographic traits
and threat susceptibilities that, when considered in combination,
provide sufficient buffering capacity against being in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future throughout its range. In other
words, it has sufficient abundance and distribution, when considering
the species' threat susceptibilities and future projections of threats,
it is not likely to become of such low abundance or so spatially
fragmented to be in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. A not warranted species also may not be
susceptible to the threats at a sufficient level to cause any major
change in the species abundance.
In summary, the basic structure of our final determination
framework is formed by the relevant spatial and temporal scales over
which each coral species' extinction risk is evaluated. An endangered
coral species is currently in danger of extinction throughout its
entire range. A threatened species is likely to become endangered
throughout its entire range within the foreseeable future.
Spatial Structure
We consider spatial elements that increase a species' risk of
extinction, alone or in combination with other threats, under ESA
Factor E--other natural or manmade factors affecting the continued
existence of the species. Spatial structure is important at a variety
of scales. At small spatial scales within a single population, issues
of gamete density and other Allee effects can have significant impacts
on population persistence. At large spatial scales, geographic
distribution can buffer a population or a species from environmental
fluctuations or catastrophic events by ``spreading the risk'' among
multiple populations. We explicitly described how exposure to
individual threats varies at different spatial scales in the Threats
Evaluation section above. Generally, having a larger geographic or
depth distribution provides more potential area to occupy. However, if
populations become too isolated gene flow and larval connectivity may
be reduced, making the species less likely to recover from mortality
events. Thus, a robust spatial structure includes larger geographic
distributions with adequate connectivity to maintain proximity of
populations and individuals within the range. We consider geographic
distribution and depth distribution (and connectivity, when we have
that information) in describing the overall distribution for each
species.
We also consider the ocean basin in which a species exists. As
described in the Corals and Coral Reefs--Inter-basin Comparisons, the
Indo-Pacific occupies at least 60 million square km of water (more than
ten times larger than the Caribbean), and includes 50,000 islands and
over 40,000 km of continental coastline, spanning approximately 180
degrees of longitude and 60 degrees of latitude. Thus, occupying only a
small portion of the Indo-Pacific basin can still be a geographically
large distribution for an individual coral species. In contrast, the
Caribbean basin is relatively geographically small and partially
enclosed, but biologically well-connected. The Caribbean also has
relatively high human population densities with a long history of
adversely affecting coral reef systems across the basin. In the
proposed rule we determined that if a species is restricted to the
Caribbean, its overall range was considered narrow and its extinction
risk was significantly increased, which greatly contributed to an
endangered or threatened determination. Comment 40 criticizes our
characterization of the Caribbean in this manner, stating that the
BRT's determination that the entire Caribbean is sufficiently limited
in geographic scale to be a factor that increases the extinction risk
of all corals in the Caribbean is at odds with genetic data. The
commenter provided references to support the conclusion that, while it
is clear that regional-scale processes such as bleaching and disease
are acting on all these reefs in the Caribbean basin simultaneously,
all reefs should not be presumed to respond the same to these
disturbances. Upon consideration of the comment and the fact that the
Determination Tool ratings regarding basin occupancy were an
inadvertent function of comparing the Caribbean basin to Indo-Pacific
basin (i.e., the automatic increase in extinction risk for species
occurring in the smaller, more disturbed Caribbean was only relative in
comparison to species occurring in the larger, less disturbed Indo-
Pacific) we re-evaluated our characterization of the Caribbean. We now
consider the absolute (non-relative) size of the basin and the amount
of heterogeneity in the system; therefore, we no longer
[[Page 53912]]
conclude that presence within the Caribbean basin automatically
increases extinction risk (because many of the Caribbean coral species
occupy a large portion of habitat compared to the total habitat
available to them and the heterogeneous nature of that habitat). In
general, we still consider distribution in the Caribbean to be
problematic, but will now consider the influence of a Caribbean
distribution on extinction risk on a species-by-species basis. For
example, if a species has a Caribbean-wide geographic distribution and
large depth distribution, and isn't susceptible to or exposed to
threats now or through the foreseeable future, then a Caribbean basin
distribution alone doesn't automatically increase the species'
extinction risk. In the Species-specific Information and Determinations
section of this final rule, we describe the extent to which an
individual species' extinction risk is influenced by its specific
geographic, depth, and habitat distributions within each basin.
Demography
Demographic elements that cause a species to be at heightened risk
of extinction, alone or in combination with threats under other listing
factors, are considered under ESA Factor E--other natural or manmade
factors affecting the continued existence of the species. In the
proposed rule, we used species-specific qualitative abundance
estimates, coded as ``common,'' ``uncommon,'' or ``rare'' for the
candidate species because it was the only abundance metric that was
available for all of the 82 candidate species. As mentioned above in
the Distribution and Abundance of Reef-building Corals sub-section,
these qualitative estimates are the subjective opinion of particular
authors on their particular survey data and are meant to indicate
relative abundance between the categories. That is, a rare species has
fewer individuals as compared to an uncommon one, and an uncommon
species has fewer individuals than a common one. These estimates are
also meant to describe an author's opinion of the qualitative abundance
of the species throughout its range, but not an estimate of the
abundance at an individual location. In general, ``rare'' or
``uncommon'' species are more vulnerable than ``common'' ones, although
some species are naturally rare and have likely persisted in that rare
state for tens of thousands of years or longer. However, naturally rare
species can be at greater risk of extinction than naturally more common
species when confronted with global threats to which they are
vulnerable. In our final determination framework, rarity or
uncommonness may increase extinction risk, but alone it does not
automatically contribute to a finding of an endangered or threatened
status.
Trends in abundance directly demonstrate how a particular species
responds under current or recent-past conditions. Generally, a
continuing downward trend likely increases extinction risk, while
stabilization or a continuing upward trend likely decreases extinction
risk. Trend data for the 65 species are scarce, but we describe the
extent to which an individual species' extinction risk is influenced by
its trend data when the information is available.
Productivity is another important indicator of extinction risk.
Productivity is defined here as the tendency of the population to
increase in abundance and is often expressed as ``recruits per
spawner,'' although the term ``recruit'' can be difficult to apply in
the case of corals, which reproduce both sexually and asexually (see
Individual Delineation sub-section). Some of the proposed coral species
are long-lived, with low or episodic productivity, making them
vulnerable to trends of increased mortality or catastrophic mortality
events. Overall, recruitment rate estimates for the proposed species
are scarce, but in cases where estimates were available analysis of how
that species' extinction risk is influenced by its relative recruitment
rate is considered in the Species-specific Information and
Determinations section below.
Susceptibility to Threats
Susceptibility of a coral species to a threat is primarily a
function of biological processes and characteristics, and can vary
greatly between and within taxa. Susceptibility of a species to a
threat depends on the combination of: (1) Direct effects of the threat
on the species; and (2) the cumulative and interactive (synergistic or
antagonistic) effects of the threat with the effects of other threats
on the species. In the proposed rule, we considered how the cumulative
or interactive effects altered the rating assigned to a threat
susceptibility in isolation. However, upon further consideration, we
need to evaluate the extent to which one threat influences the
susceptibility of an individual species to another threat with more
species-specific information, in connection with all the other elements
that influence a species' extinction risk. Generally, cumulative and
interactive processes are complex and uncertain and existing
information about threats interactions is only based on a few studies
on a few species. Where possible, when we have species-specific
cumulative or interactive effects information, we have applied this
information to that particular species' susceptibilities in a more
integrated manner. Species-specific threat susceptibilities are
described in the Species-specific Information and Determinations
section.
The three most important threats that contribute to the proposed
coral species' extinction risk are ocean warming, disease, and ocean
acidification. We considered these threats to be the most significant
threats posing extinction risk to the proposed coral species currently
and out to the year 2100. Threats of lower importance (trophic effects
of reef fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise, predation,
and collection and trade) also contributed to our findings on
extinction risk, but to a lesser extent.
Current and Future Environmental Conditions
The general information described in the preceding sections of this
final rule illustrates that the most important threats are currently
increasing and likely to increase further in the foreseeable future
(Threats Evaluation), but that the impacts from these threats currently
and in the foreseeable future are difficult to interpret and do not
necessarily correlate to an increased vulnerability to extinction due
to the biological and physical complexity of corals and their habitat
(Corals and Corals Reefs, Threats Evaluation).
The information on corals, coral reefs, coral habitat, and threats
to reef-building corals in a changing climate leads to several
important points that apply both currently and over the foreseeable
future. First, the foreseeable future for purposes of our ultimate
listing determinations is described qualitatively and encompasses the
next several decades. For purposes of analyzing the specific threats
related to climate change, we have identified the foreseeable time
period over which we can make reliable projections to extend over the
period from now to the year 2100. There is increased uncertainty over
that time period as conditions that are analyzed closer to the year
2100 become less foreseeable. That is, the general trend in conditions
during the period of time from now to 2100 is reasonably foreseeable as
a whole, but conditions become more difficult to accurately predict
through time. Second, there is an overall increasing trend of threat
severity, especially for threats related to global climate change as
projected by RCP8.5 to 2100. Third, while some models suggest
disastrous
[[Page 53913]]
effects of RCP8.5 on coral reefs by 2100, such projections are based on
spatially coarse analyses associated with high uncertainty, especially
at local spatial scales. In sum, determining the effects of global
threats on an individual coral species over the foreseeable future is
complicated by the combination of: (1) Uncertainty associated with
projected ocean warming and acidification threats; (2) regional and
local variability in global threats; (3) large distributions and high
habitat heterogeneity of the species in this final rule; and (4)
limited species-specific information on responses to global threats.
Vulnerability to Extinction
The vulnerability of a species to extinction is a complex function
of physiology, life history, morphology, spatial distribution, and
interaction with threats (the biological context). The biological
context for a species' vulnerability to threats dictates the ecological
interactions that ultimately determine how a species responds to
threats, such as competition and predation (the ecological context).
For example, a species that suffers high mortality from a bleaching
event also may be able to recover quickly because its high dispersal
and skeletal growth enable efficient recolonization and strong
competition. Thus, the initial response to threats does not necessarily
mean the species is vulnerable.
Vulnerability of a coral species to extinction also depends on the
proportion of colonies that are exposed to threats and their different
responses to those threats. In the proposed rule there was little
variation between species for exposure to a given threat in the
assigned ratings (e.g., exposure to ocean warming was rated the same
for all 82 species, which should not automatically be the case because
for species that have drastically different distributions and
abundances). For this final rule, a coral species' vulnerability to
extinction is now evaluated to be holistically influenced by its
demographic and spatial characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
current and future environmental conditions. We believe this more
complete and integrated treatment of the factors that influence a
coral's vulnerability to extinction will lead to a more accurate
characterization of whether or not a species currently faces an
extinction risk throughout its entire range.
Species Status
After analyzing all of the relevant species-specific demographic
and spatial characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and general
information on current and future environmental conditions, we relate
those characteristics to the particular species' status. This is the
key component of the determination that explains how certain species
characteristics translate to a particular extinction risk at
appropriate spatial and temporal scales. These determinations are
heavily influenced by the quantity and quality of species-specific
information, especially the species' demographic and distribution
characteristics. We received many public comments regarding the lack of
quantity and quality of information available for each of the species;
those commenters asserted that our species determinations were
therefore unfounded. By specifically considering all the currently
available species-specific information (both information that we used
in the proposed rule and the considerable amount of information that
has become available since the proposed rule), we are able to produce
more robust evaluations of the information and species determinations.
Recognizing the uncertainty and spatial variability of climate change
projections and the limited species-specific information on how species
in this final rule respond to climate change, we emphasize a species'
demographic and spatial characteristics in how its vulnerability to
extinction is affected now and through the foreseeable future.
In finalizing a species determination we translate the species'
status directly into a listing category using the statutory standards.
In the proposed rule, we satisfied this step by using an organizational
process called the outcome key, based on ratings in the Determination
Tool. The key was intended to identify the general species
characteristics and combinations that equate to a particular listing
status. However, the outcome key in the proposed rule was too
formulaic, and did not explain our comprehensive consideration of the
species characteristics that influenced their listing status, and was
also based on relative ratings from the Determination Tool. Therefore,
the presentation of our final determination framework is more clearly
articulated in this final rule by explicitly describing the
considerations for each the 65 species in narrative format and how they
relate to the statutory standards
In summary, the determination framework used in this final rule is
composed of seven elements. The first element is describing the
statutory standards. The second, third, fourth, and fifth elements are
identifying and analyzing all the appropriate species-specific and
general characteristics that influence extinction risk for a coral
species. The sixth element is relating a species' characteristics to a
particular extinction risk at appropriate spatial and temporal scales.
The seventh element is explicitly stating how each species' extinction
risk meets the statutory listing definitions as applied to corals,
resulting in an ultimate listing status. A final consideration in
evaluating listing status is whether current or planned conservation
efforts improve the overall status of any of the 65 species such that
the additional protections of the ESA are not warranted. We explicitly
apply the determination framework to each species in our narrative
evaluations. This approach provides consistency across all of the 65
final listing determinations, but also produces individual
determinations that are independent of the other 65 coral species.
Conservation Efforts
The effect conservation efforts have on an individual species'
listing status is the last consideration in making a final
determination. Because many conservation efforts are not species-
specific, we provide our analysis of the effectiveness of conservation
efforts for corals generally prior to making individual species
determinations. Our conclusions regarding conservation efforts in this
section apply to all of the proposed species. However, in some cases,
we are able to identify species-specific conservation efforts and
therefore evaluate them separately in the Species-specific Information
and Determinations section.
Section 4(b)(1)(A) of the ESA requires the Secretary, when making a
listing determination for a species, to take into account those
efforts, if any, being made by any State or foreign nation to protect
the species. In evaluating the efficacy of protective efforts, we rely
on the Services' joint ``Policy for Evaluation of Conservation Efforts
When Making Listing Decisions'' (``PECE;'' 68 FR 15100; March 28,
2003). The PECE requires us to consider whether any conservation
efforts recently adopted or implemented, but not yet proven to be
successful, will result in improving the species' status to the point
at which listing is not warranted, or contribute to a threatened rather
than endangered status.
For the proposed rule, we developed a Management Report that
identified existing conservation efforts relevant to both global and
local threats to corals. A draft of this report was peer reviewed and
made available to the public with the SRR in April 2012. At that time,
we
[[Page 53914]]
requested any new or inadvertently overlooked existing information. The
information that we received was incorporated into the Final Management
Report (NMFS, 2012b), which formed the basis of our initial PECE
evaluation. The information, analysis, and conclusions regarding
conservation efforts in the proposed rule and supporting documents
apply to this final rule, unless otherwise noted below.
Comments 30-32 focus on our consideration of conservation efforts
in the proposed rule. In response to public comments on the proposed
rule, we incorporated into our analyses in the final rule relevant
information on conservation efforts that are new or that may have been
inadvertently omitted or mischaracterized. Thus, this final rule
incorporates information we received as a result of the public comment
period, identifies existing conservation efforts that are relevant to
the threats to the 65 coral species in this final rule, both for
global-scale threats to corals linked to GHG emissions and other
threats to corals. In particular, we received supplemental information
regarding coral reef restoration efforts in Florida and the wider-
Caribbean. We also received supplemental information regarding efforts
to utilize captive-culture techniques to supplement the coral reef
wildlife trade industry and reduce collection pressure on wild coral
species. Specifically, we received information regarding Indonesia's
mariculture operations as well as efforts in the United States to
commercially and recreationally farm corals. This information on coral
reef restoration, captive culture efforts for trade purposes, and local
conservation efforts as it applies to reef resilience is described
further below.
We received some supplemental information regarding the ongoing
coral reef restoration efforts being made in South Florida as well as
the wider-Caribbean, predominantly for staghorn and elkhorn corals
(Acropora cervicornis and A. palmata, respectively). We briefly
mentioned active coral restoration in the proposed rule as an important
conservation action for corals, but did not describe these efforts in
great detail. Coral reef restoration efforts encompass a variety of
activities, and they are increasingly utilized to enhance, restore, and
recover coral reef ecosystems and species (Bowden-Kerby et al., 2005;
Bruckner and Bruckner, 2001; Lirman et al., 2010b). These activities
may include post-ship grounding ``triage'' (e.g., stabilizing substrate
and salvaging corals and sponges), active predator and algae removal,
larval seeding, and active restoration via coral propagation and
outplanting activities. As a result of the 2009 American Recovery and
Reinvestment Act, Federal funding through NOAA enabled a network of
coral nurseries to expand throughout south Florida and the U.S. Virgin
Islands to help recover threatened staghorn and elkhorn corals. These
types of in-water coral nurseries have proven successful for
propagating corals and serving as genetic repositories to help
replenish and restore denuded reefs (Schopmeyer et al., 2012; Young et
al., 2012). In 2012 alone, it was estimated these nurseries housed
30,000 corals, with more than 6,000 corals outplanted to surrounding
reefs (The Nature Conservancy, 2012). Further, successful spawning of
these outplanted corals has been reported on several occasions since
the first event occurred in 2009 (Coral Restoration Foundation, 2013).
Still, it should be emphasized that coral reef restoration should not
be expected to recover entire reef tracts or species; rather, coral
reef restoration can serve as a complementary tool to other management
strategies such as fisheries management, coastal zone and watershed
management, marine protected areas, and others. In a comprehensive
review of restoration activities conducted in Florida and the wider-
Caribbean, Young et al. (2012) found that most practitioners
recommended that active restoration activities always be conducted in
conjunction with robust local and regional management strategies to
minimize the impacts of global and local threats. This is because coral
reef restoration efforts can prove futile if the initial elements of
degradation have not been mitigated (Jaap, 2000; Precht and Aronson,
2006; Young et al., 2012).
As described above in the Threats Evaluation--Collection and Trade
section of this rule, we received a significant amount of information
regarding the potential conservation benefits of increasing
international and domestic commercial and recreational production of
corals via significant advances in captive-culture techniques (i.e.,
mariculture and aquaculture). Specifically, we received supplemental
information regarding the mariculture efforts conducted in Indonesia to
reduce the amount of corals collected in the wild, thereby potentially
reducing the threat of the marine ornamental trade industry on corals
and coral reefs. As the largest exporter of corals in the world,
shifting from wild-collected corals to captive cultured corals is an
important conservation effort for preserving the integrity of wild
reefs and coral species in Indonesia. However, there are still many
challenges and obstacles related to captive culture of corals that are
detailed in the Threats Evaluation, Trade and Collection section above.
Any relevant information regarding this topic has also been
incorporated into the analysis of conservation efforts in this final
rule.
We received information regarding the role of local management
actions and conservation efforts with regard to reef resilience.
Conservation projects and programs such as international agreements and
memoranda of understanding, coral reef monitoring, voluntary protected
areas, restoration activities, and outreach and education initiatives,
among others, play an integral role in building and maintaining
resilience within coral reef ecosystems as well as raising public
awareness. More detailed information regarding local actions as they
relate to reef resilience are described above in the Threats
Evaluation, Inadequacy of Existing Regulatory Mechanisms section of
this final rule.
As described above, we received supplemental information about
local conservation efforts since the publication of the proposed rule.
However, we did not receive any supplemental information that changes
our previous conclusions regarding global conservation efforts to slow
climate change-related impacts. After considering this supplemental
information in addition to that which was available for the proposed
rule, our conclusions regarding conservation efforts remain unchanged.
Overall, the numerous coral reef conservation projects are increasing
and strengthening resiliency within coral reef ecosystems on a local
level, and can provide a protective temporal buffer for corals in the
face of climate change related threats. Coral reef restoration
activities, particularly of the Caribbean acroporid species, are
expected to assist in recovery efforts, but they cannot be considered a
panacea. In the absence of effective global efforts to reduce impacts
from climate change, there are no conservation efforts currently or
planned in the future that are expected to improve the overall status
of any of the listed species in this final rule, such that the
additional protections provided by the ESA are not warranted.
Species-Specific Information and Determinations
Introduction
This section summarizes the best available information for each of
the 65
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species of coral considered in this final rule. The best available
information is comprised of the proposed rule and its supporting
documents, and information that we either gathered ourselves or
received as a result of public comments. To distinguish between the
information on which the proposed rule was based from new or
supplemental information, we will only cite the primary literature for
new or supplemental information. For clarity, we will distinguish
whether the information was identified via public comment or if we
gathered it ourselves.
Spatial, demographic, and other relevant biological information,
threat susceptibilities, and information on regulatory mechanisms are
all presented for each species. Because species-specific information is
limited for many of the proposed species, genus-level information is
highly relevant to our determinations. Therefore, we provide relevant
information for each genus prior to providing the specific information
for species within that genus. Specifically, genus-level information on
threat susceptibilities is relevant to species when the available
genus-level information can be appropriately applied to the species.
Therefore, in each genus description, we provide a section that
summarizes genus-level threat susceptibility information that was
provided in the SRR and SIR, as well as in the public comments and
supplemental information. Threat susceptibility conclusions are then
provided considering the applicability of the genus-level information
to an unstudied species within that genus. These conclusions will be
applied, as appropriate, in the appropriate species descriptions.
Caribbean Species Determinations
Genus Agaricia
Introduction
There are seven species in the genus Agaricia, all of which occur
in the Caribbean (Veron, 2000). Colonies are composed of plates, which
are flat, horizontal, or upright. The latter are usually contorted and
fused. Some species such as A. humilis and Agaricia fragilis tend to be
small and somewhat circular in shape while others like Agaricia
lamarcki and Agaricia grahamae can form large, plating colonies.
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following genus-level information on
Agaricia's distribution, habitat, and depth range: Agaricia can be
found at depths of 50 to 100 m on mesophotic reefs.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on Agaricia's distribution, habitat, and depth range.
Supplemental information we found includes the following. Bongaerts et
al. (2013) studied the depth distribution and genetic diversity of five
agariciid species (A. humilis, A. agaricites, A. lamarcki, A. grahamae,
and Helioseris cucullata [= Leptoseris cucullata]) and their symbiotic
zooxanthellae in Cura[ccedil]ao. They found a distinct depth
distribution among the species. Agaricia humilis and A. agaricites were
more common at shallow depths, and A. lamarcki, A. grahamae, and H.
cucullata were more common at deeper depths. They also found genetic
segregation between coral host-symbiont communities at shallow and
mesophotic depths.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following genus level information on
Agaricia's abundance and population trends: Coral specimens collected
in 2010 from a mesophotic reef at Pulley Ridge, Florida suggest that
corals, such as Agaricia spp., that appear live in video images may
actually be covered with algae rather than live coral tissue.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on Agaricia's abundance or population trends. Supplemental
information we found on Agaricia's population trends includes the
following: Stokes et al. (2010) reported a decrease in cover of
Agaricia spp. in the Netherlands Antilles between 1982 and 2008 at all
depths surveyed (10 to 30 m). An analysis of Caribbean monitoring data
from 1970 to 2012 found that large, plating Agaricia spp. were one of
the species groups that suffered the greatest proportional losses
(Jackson et al., 2014).
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the life
history of the genus Agaricia. In general, Agaricia spp. are gonochoric
brooders. Several species such as Agaricia agaricites, A. tenuifolia,
and A. humilis are known to use chemical cues from crustose coralline
algae to mediate settlement.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the life history of the genus Agaricia. Supplemental information we
found on Agaricia's life history includes the following: Agaricia spp.
can be one of the dominant taxonomic groups found in recruitment
studies (Bak and Engel, 1979; Rogers et al., 1984; Shearer and
Coffroth, 2006).
Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR did not provide any genus level information on the
susceptibility of Agaricia to ocean warming, and the public comments
did not provide any new or supplemental information. Supplemental
information we found on the susceptibility of the genus Agaricia to
ocean warming includes the following: Agaricia is considered highly
susceptible to bleaching. Agaricia spp. were the most susceptible to
bleaching of the corals monitored during an unanticipated bleaching
event at a remote, uninhabited island (Navassa), with higher bleaching
prevalence at deeper sites (Miller et al., 2011a). During the 1998
bleaching event in Belize, A. tenuifolia, a dominant coral, was nearly
eradicated from the Channel Cay reef complex (Aronson et al., 2002).
During the 2005 bleaching event, nearly all Agaricia spp. were bleached
at long-term monitoring sites in Buck Island National Monument, and
they remained bleached comparatively longer than other species
monitored (Clark et al., 2009). Manzello et al. (2007) characterized
Agaricia as having high susceptibility to bleaching in their study
identifying bleaching indices and thresholds in the Florida Reef Tract,
the Bahamas, and St. Croix, U.S. Virgin Islands. A long-term study in
the Florida Keys found that bleaching prevalence was increased four to
seven times by nutrient-enrichment in Agaricia spp., the only genus
that showed such a response (Vega Thurber et al., 2014). This study
indicated that the temperature threshold for bleaching may have been
lowered by the nutrient enrichment. Notably, after removal of the
nutrient enrichment, bleaching prevalence returned to background
levels. Thus, we conclude that, absent species-specific information,
species in the genus Agaricia should be considered highly susceptible
to ocean warming-induced bleaching.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any genus level information on the
susceptibility of Agaricia to disease, and the public comments did not
provide any new or supplemental information. Supplemental information
we found on the susceptibility of the genus Agaricia to disease
includes the following. A study of coral diseases across the wider-
Caribbean during the summer and fall of 2005 found the genus Agaricia,
along with seven other major reef-building genera, to be particularly
susceptible to coral diseases including white plague type II, Caribbean
ciliate infection, and
[[Page 53916]]
to be infected with multiple diseases at the same time (Croquer and
Weil, 2009). Agaricia agaricites decreased 87 percent in mean cover
from the disease outbreak following the 2005 bleaching event in the
U.S. Virgin Islands (Miller et al., 2009). Thus, we conclude that,
absent species-specific information, species in the genus Agaricia
should be considered highly susceptible to diseases.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
susceptibility of Agaricia to acidification. No specific research has
addressed the effects of acidification on the genus Agaricia. However,
most corals studied have shown negative relationships between
acidification and growth, and acidification is likely to contribute to
reef destruction in the future. While ocean acidification has not been
demonstrated to have caused appreciable declines in coral populations
so far, it is considered a significant threat to corals by 2100.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on the susceptibility of Agaricia to acidification.
Supplemental information we found on the susceptibility of the genus
Agaricia to acidification includes the following. Crook et al. (2012)
surveyed coral populations near submarine springs close to the
Mesoamerican Reef in Mexico where water aragonite saturation state was
naturally low due to groundwater seepage. Agaricia spp. were found near
the springs, but only in waters with an aragonite saturation state
greater than 2.5, indicating these species may be less tolerant than
other coral species that were able to grow in under-saturated waters.
Thus, we conclude that, absent species-specific information, species in
the genus Agaricia should be considered to have some susceptibility to
acidification.
The SRR and SIR provided genus level information on the
susceptibility of Agaricia to sedimentation. The typically small
calices of Agaricia spp. are not efficient at rejecting sediment, and
species with horizontally-oriented plates or encrusting morphologies
could be more sediment-susceptible than species with vertically-
oriented plates as evidenced by fine sediment suspended in hurricanes
that caused higher mortality in platy corals than hemispherical or non-
flat ones. The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on the susceptibility of the genus Agaricia to
sedimentation, and we did not find any new or supplemental information.
Thus, we conclude that, absent species-specific information, species in
the genus Agaricia should be considered to have some susceptibility to
sedimentation.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any genus level information on the
susceptibility of Agaricia to nutrients, and the public comments did
not provide any new or supplemental information. Supplemental
information we found on the susceptibility of Agaricia spp. to
nutrients includes the following. Treatment of A. tenuifolia with low
(5 mg per l) and high (25 mg per l) doses of organic carbon resulted in
73 to 77 percent mortality, respectively, compared to 10 percent
mortality of controls (Kuntz et al. 2005). Treatment of A. tenuifolia
with nitrate (7.5 [mu]M), ammonium (25 [mu]M), and phosphate (2.5
[mu]M) caused about 50 percent mortality compared to 10 percent in
controls (Kuntz et al. 2005). Thus, we conclude that, absent species-
specific information, species in the genus Agaricia should be
considered to have high susceptibility to nutrient enrichment based on
this study in combination with the Vega Thurber et al. (2014) study
that found increased bleaching in the presence of chronic nutrient
enrichment.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any information on the
susceptibility of Agaricia spp. to any other threats. The public
comments did not provide any new or supplemental information, and we
did not find any new or supplemental information on the susceptibility
of Agaricia to any other threats.
Genus Conclusion
The studies cited above indicate that Agaricia spp. are highly
susceptible to warming. In at least one location, a bleaching event
resulted in 100 percent mortality of one Agaricia species. The genus
also appears to be highly susceptible to diseases that can result in
high rates of mortality and to be highly susceptible to impacts of
nutrients. However, as described below, there is a fair amount of
species-specific information for individual Agaricia species;
therefore, we generally do not rely on the genus-level information to
inform species level determinations. When necessary the appropriate
inference is described in the species-specific information.
Agaricia lamarcki
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. lamarcki's
morphology and taxonomy. Agaricia lamarcki has flat, unifacial, or
encrusting plates that are commonly arranged in whorls. It is
identifiable by its morphology and the presence of white stars at the
mouths. Agaricia lamarcki does not appear to have taxonomic problems.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental
information, and we did not find any new or supplemental information on
A. lamarcki's morphology or taxonomy.
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. lamarcki's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Agaricia lamarcki can be found
in the western Atlantic off south Florida as far north as Palm Beach
County, in the Gulf of Mexico including the Flower Garden Banks, and
throughout the Caribbean including the Bahamas. Agaricia lamarcki is
rare in shallow reef environments of 3 to 15 m, but is common at deeper
depths of 20 to 100 m where it can be one of the dominant coral
species. It is found in shaded or reduced light environments, on slopes
and walls, and on mesophotic reefs in Cura[ccedil]ao, Florida, Jamaica,
Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on A. lamarcki's distribution, habitat, or depth range. Supplemental
information we found on A. lamarcki's distribution includes the
following. Veron (2014) confirms the presence of A. lamarcki in seven
out of 11 possible ecoregions in the western Atlantic and greater
Caribbean that contain corals, and he strongly predicts the presence of
A. lamarcki in the ecoregion surrounding the Flower Garden Banks based
on published record or confirmed occurrence in surrounding ecoregions.
The three ecoregions in which it is not reported are off the coasts of
Bermuda, Brazil, and the southeast U.S. north of south Florida. We did
not find any new or supplemental information on A. lamarcki's habitat
or depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. lamarcki's
abundance and population trends. Agaricia lamarcki is reported as
common. In the Netherlands Antilles, A. lamarcki increased in abundance
or remained stable on reefs 30 to 40 m in depth from 1973 to 1992.
The public comments provided supplemental information on A.
lamarcki's abundance. Population estimates of A. lamarcki in the
Florida Keys extrapolated from stratified random samples were 3.1
1.3 million (standard error (SE)) colonies in 2005 and 0.2
0.2 million colonies in 2012. No colonies were observed in
2009, but
[[Page 53917]]
fewer deep sites (>20 m) were surveyed in 2009 and 2012 compared to
2005. Most colonies observed were 20 to 30 cm in diameter, and partial
mortality was highest (50 percent) in the largest size class (30 to 40
cm). Agaricia lamarcki ranked 35th in abundance out of 47 species in
2005 and 37th out of 40 species in 2012. In the Dry Tortugas, Florida,
where more deep sites were surveyed, A. lamarcki ranked 12th out of 43
species in 2006, with population estimates extrapolated to 14.3 2.6 million colonies. It ranked 22nd out of 40 species in 2008
with populations estimates extrapolated to 2.1 0.5 million
colonies. Most of the colonies in 2006 were 10 to 30 cm in diameter,
but colonies greater than 90 cm were observed. Partial mortality was
highest in the 30 to 40 cm size class (approximately 35 percent) in
2006 and highest in the 20 to 30 cm size class (approximately 20
percent) in 2008. In 2008, most of the colonies were 0 to 10 cm in
size, and the largest colonies observed were in the 50 to 60 cm size
class (Miller et al., 2013). Because population estimates were
extrapolated from random samples, differences in population numbers
between years are more likely a function of sampling effort rather than
population trends over time. The public comments did not provide new or
supplemental information on A. lamarcki's population trends.
Supplemental information we found on A. lamarcki's abundance and
population trends includes the following. Between 1977 and 1987,
colonies of A. lamarcki in monitored plots in Jamaica decreased from 34
to 31 colonies, indicating the net production by sexual and asexual
means was not enough to compensate for mortality of the originally
present colonies (Hughes, 1988). More than 40 percent of the colonies
present in 1987 were derived from asexual fission of the original
colonies present in 1977, and none of the six sexual recruits survived
until the end of the study period (Hughes, 1988). In the U.S. Virgin
Islands, A. lamarcki was the eleventh most common coral in terms of
cover out of 55 species, and average cover across 18 monitoring sites
was 1.2 0.3 (SE) percent in 2012 (Smith, 2013).
All information on A. lamarcki's abundance and population trends
can be summarized as follows. Based on population estimates, there are
at least tens of millions of A. lamarcki colonies present in the
Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas combined. Absolute abundance is higher
than the estimate from these two locations given the presence of this
species in many other locations throughout its range. Population trends
indicate this species may be declining in some areas, but because some
of the trend data is lumped by genus or genus plus morphology, there is
uncertainty that the trends represent A. lamarcki specifically. Thus,
we conclude that A. lamarcki has likely declined in some areas and the
population numbers at least in the tens of millions of colonies.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. lamarcki's
life history. No information on the reproductive strategy of A.
lamarcki is available, but congeners are gonochoric brooders. Larval
settlement occurs primarily at deeper depths (26 to 37 m), but the
species has also been found at shallower depths. Recruitment rates of
A. lamarcki are low (e.g., only one of 1,074 Agaricia recruits at the
Flower Garden Banks may have been A. lamarcki), and net gains from
sexual recruitment may be negligible at a decadal time scale.
Population numbers may be maintained through asexual fission of larger
colonies into smaller daughter colonies. Growth rates are slow; radial
growth measurements from Jamaica ranged from zero to 1.4 cm per year
and averaged approximately 0.5 cm per year. Growth rates are a bit
slower, ranging from zero to 1.0 cm per year, at depths greater than 20
m. Maximum colony size is approximately two meters. Agaricia lamarcki
is a relatively long-lived species, and individual colonies may persist
for greater than a century. Based on monitoring in Jamaica, the half-
life (mortality of half of monitored colonies) of A. lamarcki is 17
years. Mortality rates are size-specific (ranging from 10 to 25
percent), and partial mortality rates are high (ranging from 22 to 90
percent). Overall, demographic characteristics are low recruitment,
high colony survival, and high partial mortality.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on A. lamarcki life history. Supplemental information we found on A.
lamarcki life history includes the following. Darling et al. (2012)
performed a trait-based analysis to categorize coral species into four
life history strategies: Generalist, weedy, competitive, and stress-
tolerant. The classifications were primarily separated by colony
morphology, growth rate, and reproductive mode. Agaricia lamarcki was
classified as a ``weedy'' species, thus likely more tolerant of
environmental stress.
The SRR, SIR, and the public comments did not provide new or
supplemental biological information for A. lamarcki. Supplemental
biological information we found about A. lamarcki includes the
following. Out of five agariciid species sampled at a single reef in
Cura[ccedil]ao, A. lamarcki was the only species that harbored multiple
symbiont profiles across depth distribution; the other four species had
only a single symbiont profile across depth. The symbiont community
associated with A. lamarcki at 40 m depth was significantly different
from those at both 10 m and 25 m (Bongaerts et al., 2013).
Susceptibility to Threats
The threat susceptibility information from the SRR and SIR was
interpreted in the proposed rule for A. lamarcki's vulnerabilities to
threats as follows: Moderate vulnerability to ocean warming, disease,
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, and
nutrients; and low vulnerability to sea level rise and collection and
trade. No conclusions on A. lamarcki's vulnerability to predation were
made due to lack of available information on its susceptibility to this
threat.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
susceptibility of A. lamarcki to ocean warming. Agaricia lamarcki is
susceptible to bleaching from both high and low temperature anomalies.
In laboratory studies, A. lamarcki had almost complete disruption of
photosynthesis at 32 [deg]C to 34 [deg]C. Bleaching can be extensive;
however, it may not result in mortality in A. lamarcki.
Van Woesik et al. (2012) developed a coral resiliency index to
evaluate extinction risk due to bleaching, based on biological traits
and processes. Evaluations were performed at the genus level. They
rated the resiliency of Agaricia as -2 out of a range of -6 to 7
observed in other coral genera. Less than or equal to -3 was considered
highly vulnerable to extinction, and greater than or equal to 4 was
considered highly tolerant. Thus, Agaricia was rated closer to the
vulnerable end of the spectrum, though not highly vulnerable. This
study was in the SIR, but the findings specific to Agaricia were not
included. The public comments (comment 47) indicated the results of
this study should be considered in the listing status of A. lamarcki.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on the susceptibility of A. lamarcki to ocean warming.
Supplemental information we found on the susceptibility of A. lamarcki
to ocean warming includes the following. During the 2005 bleaching
event, greater than
[[Page 53918]]
80 percent of A. lamarcki colonies bleached at 12 sites in Puerto Rico
(Waddell and Clarke, 2008). In the U.S. Virgin Islands, an average of
59 percent of A. lamarcki colonies (n = 11) bleached, and nine percent
paled during the 2010 bleaching event (Smith et al., 2013b). Agaricia
lamarcki had high resistance to both hot and cold water anomalies that
impacted the Florida Keys in 2005 and 2010, respectively, as indicated
by their low tissue mortality compared to other coral species monitored
(Lirman et al., 2011).
All sources of information are used to describe A. lamarcki's
susceptibility to ocean warming as follows. Agaricia lamarcki has some
susceptibility to ocean warming as evidenced by extensive bleaching
during warm water temperature anomalies but observed low bleaching-
related mortality. The available information does not support a more
precise description of susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any species-specific information on
susceptibility of A. lamarcki to ocean acidification. The public
comments did not provide new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of A. lamarcki to acidification, and we did not find any
new or supplemental information.
All sources of information are used to describe A. lamarcki's
susceptibility to acidification as follows. There is uncertainty about
how A. lamarcki will respond to ocean acidification, but there is
genus-level evidence that Agaricia are not among the more tolerant
species from areas of water with naturally lower aragonite saturation
state. Thus, A. lamarcki likely has some susceptibility to ocean
acidification, but the available information does not support a more
precise description of susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. lamarcki's
susceptibility to disease. White plague infections in A. lamarcki have
been observed in Florida, Colombia, and St. Lucia, though no incidence
of disease was observed in the Florida Keys in 1996 to 1998. Ciliate
infections have been documented in A. lamarcki, and tumors may affect
this species. The ecological and population impacts of disease have not
been established for A. lamarcki.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on the susceptibility of A. lamarcki to disease, and we did
not find any new or supplemental information on A. lamarcki's
susceptibility to disease.
All source of information are used to describe A. lamarcki's
susceptibility to disease as follows. Agaricia lamarcki is susceptible
to several diseases, including white plague, which has one of the
fastest progression rates recorded in the Caribbean. However, there is
no information on the population level effects of disease on A.
lamarcki (e.g., rates of infection, percentage of population affected,
and amounts of tissue loss). Genus-level information indicates high
susceptibility to a disease outbreak following a bleaching event,
indicating A. lamarcki is likely highly susceptible to disease.
The SIR and SRR did not provide any species-specific information on
the trophic effects of fishing on A. lamarcki. The public comments did
not provide new or supplemental information, and we did not find new or
supplemental information on the trophic effects of fishing on A.
lamarcki. However, due to the level of reef fishing conducted in the
Caribbean, coupled with Diadema die-off and lack of significant
recovery, competition with algae can adversely affect coral
recruitment. Thus, A. lamarcki likely has some susceptibility to the
trophic effects of fishing because of low recruitment rates, though the
available information does not support a more precise description of
susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on
susceptibility of A. lamarcki to sedimentation. Agaricia lamarcki could
be susceptible to sedimentation based on calix and colony morphology.
This conclusion was based on genus-level information on susceptibility
to sedimentation. The public comments did not provide new or
supplemental information on the susceptibility of A. lamarcki to
sedimentation, and we did not find new or supplemental information.
All sources of information are used to describe A. lamarcki's
susceptibility to sedimentation as follows. There is no species-
specific information on the susceptibility of A. lamarcki to
sedimentation. However, based on genus-level information, colony
morphology and skeletal structure of A. lamarcki indicate it is likely
poor at removing sediment. Thus, A. lamarcki likely has some
susceptibility to sedimentation, but the available information does not
support a more precise description of susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any information on the
susceptibility of A. lamarcki to nutrients, and the public comments did
not provide any new or supplemental information. Supplemental
information we gathered at the genus-level indicates that A. lamarcki
is likely highly susceptible to nutrient enrichment.
The SRR and SIR did not provide species-specific information on the
effects of sea level rise on A. lamarcki. The SRR described sea level
rise as an overall low to medium threat for all coral species. The
public comments did not provide new or supplemental information on A.
lamarcki's susceptibility to sea level rise, and we did not find any
new or supplemental information. Thus, we conclude that A. lamarcki has
some susceptibility to sea level rise, but the available information
does not provide a more precise description of susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
susceptibility of A. lamarcki to collection and trade. Only light trade
has been recorded with gross exports averaging fewer than 10 pieces of
coral annually between 2000 and 2005. The public comments did not
provide new or supplemental information on the susceptibility of A.
lamarcki to collection and trade. Supplemental information we found
confirms that collection and trade of A. lamarcki remained low between
2000 and 2012 with gross exports averaging fewer than 10 pieces of
coral annually (data available at https://trade.cites.org/). Thus, we
conclude that A. lamarcki has low susceptibility to collection and
trade.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
susceptibility of A. larmarcki to predation. Predation effects on A.
lamarcki are unknown. The public comments did not provide any new or
supplemental information, and we did not find any new or supplemental
information on the susceptibility of A. lamarcki to predation. We
conclude that while A. lamarcki likely has some susceptibility to
predation, available information is lacking, and we cannot say whether
it is a threat.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we relied on information from the Final
Management Report for evaluating the existing regulatory mechanisms for
controlling threats to all corals. However, we did not provide any
species-specific information on the regulatory mechanisms or
conservation efforts for A. lamarcki. Public comments were critical of
that approach, and we therefore attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms and conservation efforts on a species basis, where possible,
in this final rule. Records confirm that Agaricia lamarcki occurs in
eight Atlantic ecoregions that encompass 26 kingdom's and countries'
EEZs. The 26 kingdoms and countries are Antigua &
[[Page 53919]]
Barbuda, Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba,
Dominica, Dominican Republic, French Antilles, Grenada, Guatemala,
Haiti, Kingdom of the Netherlands, Honduras, Jamaica, Mexico,
Nicaragua, Panama, St. Kitts & Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent &
Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, United Kingdom (British Overseas
Territories), United States (including U.S. Caribbean Territories), and
Venezuela. The regulatory mechanisms relevant to A. lamarcki, described
first as a percentage of the above kingdoms and countries that utilize
them to any degree, and second as a percentage of those countries and
kingdoms whose regulatory mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as
follows: General coral protection (31 percent with 12 percent limited
in scope), coral collection (50 percent with 27 percent limited in
scope), pollution control (31 percent with 15 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (73 percent with 50 percent
limited in scope), managing areas for protection and conservation (88
percent with 31 percent limited in scope). The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for A. lamarcki are reef fishing regulations and
area management for protection and conservation. However, half of the
reef fishing regulations are limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection for the species. General coral protection and
collection laws, along with pollution control laws, are much less
common regulatory mechanisms for the management of A. lamarcki.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic traits, threat susceptibilities, and consideration of
the baseline environment and future projections of threats. The SRR
stated that the factors that increase the extinction risk for A.
lamarcki include the widespread decline in environmental conditions in
the Caribbean, potential losses to disease, severe effects of
bleaching, and limited sediment tolerance. Factors that reduce
extinction risk include occurrence primarily at great depth, where
disturbance events are less frequent, and life history characteristics
that have allowed the species to remain relatively persistent compared
to other deep corals despite low rates of sexual recruitment.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species' abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. lamarcki, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Although it is geographically located in the heavily disturbed
Caribbean, A. lamarcki's predominant occurrence at depths of 20 to 100
m reduces its exposure to disturbance events that have resulted in the
decreased resilience of reefs in the Caribbean and moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future. Agaricia
lamarcki's life history characteristics of large colony size and long
life span have enabled it to remain relatively persistent despite slow
growth and low recruitment rates, thus moderating vulnerability to
extinction. Although we concluded that A. lamarcki is likely highly
susceptible to disease, population level effects of disease have not
been documented in A. lamarcki thus far, indicating the currently low
vulnerability to extinction from this threat. Additionally, although A.
lamarcki has been observed to have high levels of warming-induced
bleaching, bleaching-related mortality appears to be low, indicating
that vulnerability to extinction from ocean warming is currently low.
Deeper areas of A. lamarcki's range will usually have lower
temperatures than surface waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. Agaricia lamarcki's habitat includes
shaded or reduced light environments, slopes, walls, and mesophotic
reefs. This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable
future because the species is not limited to one habitat type but
occurs in numerous types of reef environments that are predicted, on
local and regional scales, to experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in time. Agaricia
lamarcki's absolute abundance has been estimated as at least tens of
millions of colonies in the Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas combined and
is higher than the estimate from these two locations due to the
occurrence of the species in many other areas throughout its range. Its
abundance, life history characteristics, and depth distribution,
combined with spatial variability in ocean warming and acidification
across the species' range, moderate vulnerability to extinction because
the increasingly severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future
will be non-uniform, and there will likely be a large number of
colonies that are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a
threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the determination tool formula
approach, A. lamarcki was proposed for listing as threatened because
of: Moderate vulnerability to ocean warming (E), disease (C), and
acidification (E); low relative recruitment rate (E); moderate overall
distribution (based on narrow geographic distribution and wide depth
distribution (E); restriction to the Caribbean (E); and inadequacy of
regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
lamarcki from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral, including more appropriate consideration of the buffering
capacity of this species' spatial and demographic traits to lessen its
vulnerability to threats. Thus, based on the best available information
above on A. lamarcki' spatial structure, demography, threat
susceptibilities, and management none of the five ESA listing factors,
alone or in combination, are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range within the foreseeable future,
and thus it is not warranted for listing at this time because:
(1) Agaricia lamarcki's predominant occurrence at depths of 20 to
100 m in heterogeneous habitats, including shaded or reduced light
environments, on slopes and walls, and on mesophotic reefs, throughout
the Caribbean basin reduces exposure to any given threat event or
adverse condition that does not occur uniformly throughout the species'
range. As explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we have
not identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly
throughout the species range within the foreseeable future; and
[[Page 53920]]
(2) Agaricia lamarcki's absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies based on estimates from two locations. Absolute
abundance is higher than estimates from these locations since it occurs
in many other locations throughout its range. This provides buffering
capacity in the form of absolute numbers of colonies and variation in
susceptibility between individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals
and Coral Reefs section above, the more colonies a species has, the
lower the proportion of colonies that are likely to be exposed to a
particular threat at a particular time, and all individuals that are
exposed will not have the same response.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and worsen in
severity, and the species' exposure to the threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
A. lamarcki is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, A.
lamarcki is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors, and we withdraw our proposal to list the species as
threatened.
Genus Mycetophyllia
There are five species in the genus Mycetophyllia that all occur in
the western Atlantic and Caribbean (Veron, 2000). Most species of
Mycetophyllia can be difficult to distinguish in the field, and many
studies report data to the genus level rather than species. Therefore,
all information reported for the genus appears in this section, and
information reported specifically for M. ferox is presented in the
species section.
Demographic Information
The SRR, SIR, and the public comments did not provide information
on Mycetophyllia abundance or population trends. Supplemental
information we found on Mycetophyllia's abundance and population trends
includes the following. Percent cover of Mycetophyllia spp. between
2001 and 2006 was less than approximately 0.02 percent on St. John (233
sites surveyed) and St. Croix (768 sites surveyed), U.S. Virgin Islands
and La Parguera, Puerto Rico (Waddell and Clarke, 2008). Similarly,
cover of Mycetophyllia spp. on the mesophotic Hind Bank in the U.S.
Virgin Islands was 0.02 0.01 percent in 2007 (Smith et
al., 2010). Cover of Mycetophyllia spp. was 0.1 percent between 2002
and 2004 on four islands in the Bahamas Archipelago (Roff et al.,
2011). Between 2005 and 2007, Mycetophyllia spp. comprised 0.1 percent
or less of the coral cover and occurred in densities of 1.0 colony per
10 m\2\ in parts of southeast Florida and the Florida Keys (Wagner et
al., 2010). In Roatan, Honduras, Mycetophyllia sp. cover in permanent
photo-stations increased between 1996 and 1998 from 0.57 percent to
0.77 percent but subsequently decreased to 0.26 percent in 2003 and
0.15 percent in 2005 (Riegl et al., 2009).
Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR, SIR, and public comments did not provide information on
Mycetophyllia's susceptibility to threats. Supplemental information we
found on Mycetophyllia's susceptibility to ocean warming includes the
following. During the 1995 bleaching event in Belize, 24 percent of 21
colonies monitored Mycetophyllia bleached (McField, 1999). In Roatan,
Honduras, 11 percent [sic]of 10 monitored Mycetophyllia sp. colonies
bleached and 11 percent [sic] partially bleached during the 1998
bleaching event; mortality of Mycetophyllia colonies was 11 percent
(Riegl et al., 2009).
Bleaching of Mycetophyllia was 62 percent across all 28 locations
surveyed in Puerto Rico during the 2005 temperature anomaly (Waddell
and Clarke, 2008). Additionally, a post-bleaching outbreak of white
plague resulted in a massive collapse of Mycetophyllia colonies at most
reefs on the east, south, and west coasts of Puerto Rico and
reproductive failure during the 2006 mass spawning (Waddell and Clarke,
2008). Off Mona and Desecheo Islands, Puerto Rico in 2005, paling
occurred in 65 percent of Mycetophyllia colonies, and bleaching
occurred in 10 percent (Bruckner and Hill, 2009).
In surveys conducted between August and October 2005 to 2009 from
the lower Florida Keys to Martin County, average mortality of
Mycetophyllia spp. was 0.6 6.4 percent, which was the
eighth highest out of 25 of the most abundant species (Lirman et al.,
2011). During the 2010 cold-water event, average mortality of
Mycetophyllia spp. across 76 sites from the lower Florida Keys to
Martin County was 15.0 28.3 percent, which was the
eleventh highest of the 25 most abundant species (Lirman et al., 2011).
During the 2005 bleaching event, Mycetophyllia spp. were among the
most severely affected of 22 coral species reported to have bleached
across 91 of 94 sites in northeast St. Croix, U.S. Virgin Islands
(Wilkinson and Souter, 2008). In the U.S. Virgin Islands, the one
colony of Mycetophyllia sp. observed at 18 sites, bleached during 2005.
Six colonies were subsequently monitored after the 2010 mild bleaching
event with average of eight percent bleaching (Smith et al., 2013b).
Supplemental information we found on the susceptibility of
Mycetophyllia to disease includes the following. White plague (Nugues,
2002) and red band disease (Waddell, 2005) have been reported to infect
Mycetophyllia species. In 2004, prevalence of disease in Mycetophyllia
was approximately two to three percent in Mexico (Harvell et al.,
2007).
Mycetophyllia ferox
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. ferox's
morphology and taxonomy. Mycetophyllia ferox forms a thin, encrusting
plate that is weakly attached. Mycetophyllia ferox is taxonomically
distinct. Maximum colony size is 50 cm.
Public comments did not provide new or supplemental information on
M. ferox's taxonomy or morphology. Supplemental information we found on
M. ferox's taxonomy and morphology includes the following. Zlatarski
and Estalella (1982) reported 14 out of 25 Mycetophyllia colonies
collected from Cuba were intermediate between M. ferox, and M.
lamarkiana, and parts of two colonies were comparable to M. ferox or M.
lamarkiana, illustrating potential morphological plasticity between
species.
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. ferox's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Mycetophyllia ferox occurs in
the western Atlantic and throughout the wider Caribbean. It has not
been reported in the Flower Garden Banks (Gulf of Mexico) or in
Bermuda. It has been reported in reef environments in
[[Page 53921]]
water depths of 5 to 90 m, including shallow and mesophotic habitats.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on M. ferox's distribution, habitat, or depth range. Supplemental
information we found on M. ferox's distribution includes the following.
Veron (2014) confirms the occurrence of M. ferox in seven out of a
possible 11 ecoregions in the Caribbean and western Atlantic that
contain corals. The four ecoregions where it is not reported are the
Flower Garden Banks, off the coasts of Bermuda, Brazil, and the
southeast U.S. north of south Florida. We did not find any supplemental
information on M. ferox's habitat or depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. ferox's
abundance and population trends. Mycetophyllia ferox is usually
uncommon or rare, constituting less than 0.1 percent of all coral
species at generally less than one percent of the benthic cover.
Density of M. ferox in southeast Florida and the Florida Keys was
approximately 0.8 colonies per 10 m\2\ between 2005 and 2007. There is
indication that the species was much more abundant in the upper Florida
Keys in the 1970s. In a survey of 97 stations in the Florida Keys, M.
ferox declined in occurrence from 20 stations in 1996 to four stations
in 2009. At 21 stations in the Dry Tortugas, M. ferox declined in
occurrence from eight stations in 2004 to three stations in 2009.
The public comments provided the following supplemental information
on M. ferox's abundance. In stratified random surveys in the Florida
Keys, M. ferox ranked 39th most abundant out of 47 in 2005, 43rd out of
43 in 2009, and 40th out of 40 in 2012. Extrapolated population
estimates were 1.0 0.7 (SE) million in 2005, 9,500 9,500 (SE) colonies in 2009, and 7,000 7,000 (SE)
in 2012 . These abundance estimates are based on random surveys, and
differences between years are more likely a result of sampling effort
rather than population trends. The most abundant size class was 10 to
20 cm diameter that equaled the combined abundance of the other size
classes. The largest size class was 30 to 40 cm. Average partial
mortality per size class ranged from nearly 0 to 50 percent and was
greatest in the 20 to 30 cm size class (Miller et al., 2013).
In the Dry Tortugas, Florida, M. ferox ranked 35th most abundant
out of 43 species in 2006 and 30th out of 40 in 2008. Population
estimates were 0.5 0.4 (SE) million in 2006 and 0.5 0.2 million (SE) in 2008. The number of colonies in 2006 was
similar between the 0 to 10 cm and 10 to 20 cm size classes, and the
largest colonies were in the 20 to 30 cm size class. Greatest partial
mortality was around 10 percent. Two years later, in 2008, the highest
proportion of colonies was in the 20 to 30 cm size class, and the
largest colonies were in the 40 to 50 cm size class. The greatest
partial mortality was about 60 percent in the 30 to 40 cm size class,
however the number of colonies at that size were few (Miller et al.,
2013).
Supplemental information we found on M. ferox's abundance and
population trends confirms M. ferox's low percent cover, encounter
rate, and density. In a survey of Utila, Honduras between 1999 and
2000, M. ferox was observed at eight percent of 784 surveyed sites and
was the 36th most commonly observed out of 46 coral species; other
Mycetophyllia species were seen more commonly (Afzal et al., 2001). In
surveys of remote southwest reefs of Cuba, M. ferox was observed at one
of 38 reef-front sites, with average abundance was 0.004
0.027 (standard deviation (SD)) colonies per 10 m transect; this was
comparatively lower than the other three Mycetophyllia species observed
(Alcolado et al., 2010). Between 1998 and 2004, cover of M. ferox
ranged between 0.3 and 0.4 percent in three of six sites monitored in
Colombia (Rodriguez-Ramirez et al., 2010). In Barbados, M. ferox was
observed on one of seven reefs surveyed, and the average cover was 0.04
percent (Tomascik and Sander, 1987).
Benthic cover of M. ferox in the Red Hind Marine Conservation
District off St. Thomas, U.S. Virgin Islands, which includes mesophotic
coral reefs, was 0.003 0.004 percent in 2007, accounting
for 0.02 percent of coral cover, and ranking 20th highest in cover out
of 21 coral species (Nemeth et al., 2008; Smith et al., 2010). In the
U.S. Virgin Islands between 2001 and 2012, cover of M. ferox appeared
in 12 of 33 survey sites and accounted for 0.01 percent of the benthos,
and 0.07 percent of the coral cover, ranking as 13th most common
(Smith, 2013).
In 1981, M. ferox was observed on one of four reefs surveyed in the
upper Florida Keys at 0.1 percent cover (Burns, 1985). In surveys of
the Florida Keys between 1996 and 2003, cover of M. ferox was 0.022,
0.005, and less than 0.001 percent on patch reefs, deep offshore reefs,
and shallow offshore reefs, respectively (Somerfield et al., 2008). At
permanent monitoring stations in the Florida Keys, the number of
stations where M. ferox was present declined between 1996 and 2003
(Waddell, 2005). Between 2005 and 2010, M. ferox was one of 42 species
surveyed and was found the least abundant being observed at densities
of 0.02 and 0.01 colonies per 10 m\2\ on mid-channel reefs and fore-
reefs, respectively, on the Florida reef tract (Burman et al., 2012).
All information on M. ferox's abundance and population trends can
be summarized as follows. Mycetophyllia ferox has been reported to
occur on 3 to 50 percent of reefs surveyed and is one of the least
common coral species observed. On reefs where M. ferox is found, it
generally occurs at abundances of less than one colony per 10 m\2\ and
percent cover of less than 0.1 percent. Based on population estimates,
there are at least hundreds of thousands of M. ferox colonies present
in the Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas combined. Absolute abundance is
higher than the estimate from these two locations given the presence of
this species in many other locations throughout its range. Low
encounter rate and percent cover coupled with the tendency to include
Mycetophyllia spp. at the genus level make it difficult to discern
population trends of M. ferox from monitoring data. However, reported
losses of M. ferox from monitoring stations in the Florida Keys and Dry
Tortugas (63 to 80 percent loss) indicate population decline in these
locations. Based on declines in Florida, we conclude M. ferox has
likely declined throughout its range.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. ferox's
life history. Mycetophyllia ferox is a hermaphroditic brooding species.
Colony size at first reproduction is greater than 100 cm\2\.
Recruitment of M. ferox appears to be very low, even in studies from
the 1970s.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on M. ferox's life history. Supplemental information we found on M.
ferox's life history includes the following. Mycetophyllia ferox has a
lower fecundity compared to M. aliciae, M. lamarckiana and M. danaana
(Morales Tirado, 2006). Over a 10 year period, no colonies of M. ferox
were observed to recruit to an anchor-damaged site in the U.S. Virgin
Islands although adults were observed on the adjacent reef (Rogers and
Garrison, 2001). Darling et al. (2012) performed a biological trait-
based analysis to categorize coral species into four life history
strategies: Generalist, weedy, competitive, and stress-tolerant.
Mycetophyllia ferox was classified as a
[[Page 53922]]
``weedy'' species, thus likely more tolerant of environmental stress.
Susceptibility to Threats
The threat susceptibility information from the SRR and SIR was
interpreted in the proposed rule for M. ferox's vulnerabilities to
threats as follows: High vulnerability to disease and nutrient
enrichment; moderate vulnerability to ocean warming, acidification,
trophic effects of fishing, and sedimentation; and low vulnerability to
sea level rise, predation, and collection and trade.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. ferox's
susceptibility to ocean warming. No bleached M. ferox colonies were
observed in Florida or Barbados in a wide-scale survey during the 2005
mass-bleaching event, although the number of colonies was small.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of M. ferox to ocean warming. Supplemental
information we found on the susceptibility of M. ferox to ocean warming
includes the following. In surveys of the lower Florida Keys and Dry
Tortugas during the 1998 bleaching event, approximately 20 percent of
M. ferox colonies bleached; out of the 14 species reported to have
experienced bleaching of at least 50 percent of the colony, M. ferox
was one of the least affected (Waddell, 2005). Approximately 50 percent
of M. ferox colonies bleached at 12 locations in Puerto Rico during the
2005 bleaching event (Waddell and Clarke, 2008). During the 2005
Caribbean bleaching event, neither of the two colonies of M. ferox
monitored at six sites in Barbados bleached; an average of 71 percent
of all coral colonies bleached at those six sites during the event
(Oxenford et al., 2008).
All sources of information are used to describe M. ferox's
susceptibility to ocean warming as follows. The bleaching reports
available specifically for M. ferox and at the genus level indicate
similar trends of relatively low bleaching observed in 1995, 1998, and
2010 (less than 25 percent) and higher levels (50 to 65) or no
bleaching in the more severe 2005 bleaching event. Reproductive failure
and a disease outbreak were reported for the genus after the 2005
bleaching event. Although bleaching of most coral species is spatially
and temporally variable, understanding the susceptibility of M. ferox
is somewhat confounded by the species' low sample size in any given
survey due to its low encounter rate. We conclude that M. ferox has
some susceptibility to ocean warming. However, the available
information does not support a more precise description of
susceptibility to this threat.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
susceptibility of M. ferox to acidification. No specific research has
addressed the effects of acidification on the genus Mycetophyllia.
However, most corals studied have shown negative relationships between
acidification and growth, and acidification is likely to contribute to
reef destruction in the future. While ocean acidification has not been
demonstrated to have caused appreciable declines in coral populations
to date, it is considered to become a significant threat to corals by
2100.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of M. ferox to acidification, and we did not find
any new or supplemental information.
All sources of information are used to describe M. ferox's
susceptibility to acidification as follows. There is uncertainty about
how M. ferox will respond to ocean acidification. Based on the negative
effects of acidification on growth of most corals, M. ferox likely has
some susceptibility to acidification. The available information does
not support a more precise description of susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. ferox's
susceptibility to disease. Mycetophyllia ferox is susceptible to white
plague. Diseased M. ferox colonies were reported in the upper Florida
Keys in the mid-1970s; between 24 and 73 percent of M. ferox colonies
were infected per site. At one reef site, 20 to 30 percent of the M.
ferox colonies died from disease during a one-year period.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of M. ferox to disease. Supplemental information
we found on the susceptibility of M. ferox to disease includes the
following. Porter et al. (2001) report the loss of M. ferox from many
of the permanent monitoring stations (160 stations at 40 sites) in the
Florida Keys between 1996 and 1998 due to coral disease.
All sources of information are used to describe M. ferox's
susceptibility to disease as follows. From reports in the Florida Keys,
M. ferox appears to be highly susceptible to disease, specifically
white plague, and reports of high losses and correlation with higher
temperatures date back to the mid-1970s (Dustan, 1977). Although heavy
impacts of disease on M. ferox have not been reported in other
locations, an outbreak of white plague was credited with causing heavy
mortality at the genus level in Puerto Rico after the 2005 bleaching
event. We conclude that the susceptibility of M. ferox to disease is
high.
The SIR and SRR did not provide any species-specific information on
the trophic effects of fishing on M. ferox. The public comments did not
provide new or supplemental information, and we did not find new or
supplemental information on the trophic effects of fishing on M. ferox.
However, due to the level of reef fishing conducted in the Caribbean,
coupled with Diadema die-off and lack of significant recovery,
competition with algae can adversely affect coral recruitment. Thus, M.
ferox likely has some susceptibility to the trophic effects of fishing
given its low recruitment rates. The available information does not
support a more precise description of susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
susceptibility of M. ferox to nutrient enrichment. Mycetophyllia ferox
appeared to be absent at fringing reef sites in Barbados impacted by
sewage pollution.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on the susceptibility of M. ferox to nutrient enrichment,
and we did not find any new or supplemental information.
All sources of information are used to describe M. ferox's
susceptibility to nutrient enrichment as follows. Mycetophyllia ferox
may be susceptible to nutrient enrichment as evidenced by its absence
from eutrophic sites in one location. However, there is uncertainty
about whether the absence is a result of eutrophic conditions or a
result of uncommon or rare occurrence. Therefore, we conclude that M.
ferox likely has some susceptibility to nutrient enrichment. However,
the available information does not support a more precise description
of susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any species or genus information on
the susceptibility of M. ferox to sedimentation but provided the
following. Land-based sources of pollution (including sediment) often
act in concert rather than individually and are influenced by other
biological (e.g., herbivory) and hydrological factors. Collectively,
land-based sources of pollution are unlikely to produce extinction at a
global scale; however, they may pose significant threats at local
scales and reduce the resilience of corals to bleaching.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the
[[Page 53923]]
susceptibility of M. ferox to sedimentation, and we did not find any
new or supplemental information. We conclude that M. ferox has some
level of susceptibility to sedimentation, but the available information
does not support a more precise description of susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
susceptibility of M. ferox to predation. Mycetophyllia ferox has not
been susceptible to predation. Public comments did not provide new or
supplemental information on M. ferox's susceptibility to predation, and
we did not find any new or supplemental information. We conclude that
M. ferox has low susceptibility to predation.
The SRR and SIR did not provide species-specific information on the
effects of sea level rise on M. ferox. The SRR described sea level rise
as an overall low to medium threat for all coral species. The public
comments did not provide new or supplemental information on M. ferox's
susceptibility to sea level rise, and we did not find any new or
supplemental information. Thus, we conclude that M. ferox has some
susceptibility to sea level rise, but the available information does
not provide a more precise description of susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. ferox's
susceptibility to collection and trade. Mycetophyllia ferox is not
reported to be an important species for trade. Exports of M. ferox were
ten pieces in 2000, two in 2003, and five in 2007.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of M. ferox to collection and trade. Supplemental
information we found confirmed low collection and trade of M. ferox
with gross exports between 2000 and 2012 averaging fewer than two
corals per year (data available at https://trade.cites.org/). Thus, we
conclude that M. ferox has low susceptibility to collection and trade.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we relied on information from the Final
Management Report for evaluating the existing regulatory mechanisms for
controlling threats to all corals. However, we did not provide any
species-specific information on the regulatory mechanisms or
conservation efforts for M. ferox. Public comments were critical of
that approach, and we therefore attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms and conservation efforts on a species basis, where possible,
in this final rule. Records confirm that M. ferox occurs in seven
Atlantic ecoregions that encompass 26 kingdom's or countries' EEZs. The
26 kingdoms and countries are Antigua & Barbuda, Bahamas, Barbados,
Belize, Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic,
French Antilles, Grenada, Guatemala, Haiti, Honduras, Jamaica, Kingdom
of the Netherlands, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, St. Kitts & Nevis, St.
Lucia, St. Vincent & Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, United Kingdom
(British Overseas Territories), United States (including U.S. Caribbean
Territories), and Venezuela. The regulatory mechanisms relevant to M.
ferox, described first as a percentage of the above kingdoms and
countries that utilize them to any degree, and, second as the
percentages of those kingdoms and countries whose regulatory mechanisms
may be limited in scope, are as follows general coral protection (31
percent with 12 percent limited in scope), coral collection (50 percent
with 27 percent limited in scope), pollution control (31 percent with
15 percent limited in scope), fishing regulations on reefs (73 percent
with 50 percent limited in scope), managing areas for protection and
conservation (88 percent with 31 percent limited in scope). The most
common regulatory mechanisms in place for M. ferox are reef fishing
regulations and area management for protection and conservation.
However, half of the reef-fish fishing regulations are limited in scope
and may not provide substantial protection for the coral species.
General coral protection and collection laws, along with pollution
control laws, are much less common regulatory mechanisms for the
management of M. ferox.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic traits, threat susceptibilities, and consideration of
the baseline environment and future projections of threats. The SRR
stated that the factors that increase the extinction risk for M. ferox
include disease, rare abundance, and observed declines in abundance.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species' abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of M. ferox, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Mycetophyllia ferox has declined due to disease in at least a portion
of its range and has low recruitment, which limits its capacity for
recovery from mortality events and exacerbates vulnerability to
extinction. Despite the large number of islands and environments that
are included in the species' range, geographic distribution in the
highly disturbed Caribbean exacerbates vulnerability to extinction over
the foreseeable future because M. ferox is limited to an area with
high, localized human impacts and predicted increasing threats. Its
depth range of five to 90 meters moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower temperatures than surface waters, and acidification
is generally predicted to accelerate most in waters that are deeper and
cooler than those in which the species occurs. Its habitat includes
shallow and mesophotic reefs which moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future because the species occurs in
numerous types of reef environments that are predicted, on local and
regional scales, to experience highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry at any given point in time. Mycetophyllia ferox is
usually uncommon to rare throughout its range. Its absolute abundance
has been estimated as at least hundreds of thousands of colonies in the
Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas combined and is higher than the estimate
from these two locations due to the occurrence of the species in many
other areas throughout its range. Its abundance, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and acidification across the species'
range, moderate vulnerability to extinction because the threats are
non-uniform, and there will likely be a large number of colonies that
are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at any
given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the determination tool formula
approach, M. ferox was proposed for listing as endangered because of:
High
[[Page 53924]]
vulnerability to disease (C); moderate vulnerability to ocean warming
(E) and acidification (E); high vulnerability to nutrient over-
enrichment (A and E); rare general range-wide abundance (E); decreasing
trend in abundance (E); low relative recruitment rate (E); moderate
overall distribution (based on narrow geographic distribution and wide
depth distribution (E); restriction to the Caribbean (E); and
inadequacy of regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for M.
ferox from endangered to threatened. We made this determination based
on a more species-specific and holistic approach, including
consideration of the buffering capacity of this species' spatial and
demographic traits, and the best available information above on M.
ferox's spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management. This combination of factors indicates that M. ferox is
likely to become endangered throughout its range within the foreseeable
future, and thus warrants listing as threatened at this time, because:
(1) Mycetophyllia ferox is highly susceptible to disease (C) and
susceptible to ocean warming (ESA Factor E), acidification (E), trophic
effects of fishing (A), nutrients (A, E), and sedimentation (A, E).
These threats are expected to continue and increase into the future. In
addition, the species is at heightened extinction risk due to
inadequate existing regulatory mechanisms to address global threats
(D);
(2) Mycetophyllia ferox has experienced significant declines in
Florida and has likely experienced decline in other locations in its
range;
(3) Mycetophyllia ferox has a usually uncommon to rare occurrence
throughout its range, which heightens the potential effect of localized
mortality events and leaves the species vulnerable to becoming of such
low abundance within the foreseeable future that it may be at risk from
depensatory processes, environmental stochasticity, or catastrophic
events, as explained in more detail in the Corals and Coral Reefs and
Risk Analyses sections;
(4) Mycetophyllia ferox is geographically located in the highly
disturbed Caribbean where localized human impacts are high and threats
are predicted to increase as described in the Threats Evaluation
section. A range constrained to this particular geographic area that is
likely to experience severe and increasing threats indicates that a
high proportion of the population of this species is likely to be
exposed to those threats over the foreseeable future; and
(5) Mycetophyllia ferox's low recruitment limits the capacity for
recovery from threat-induced mortality events throughout the range over
the foreseeable future.
The combination of these characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates that the species is likely to be in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future throughout its range and
warrants listing as threatened at this time due to factors A, C, D, and
E.
The available information above on M. ferox's spatial structure,
demography, threat vulnerabilities, and management also indicate that
the species is not currently in danger of extinction and thus does not
warrant listing as Endangered because:
(1) While Mycetophyllia ferox's distribution within the Caribbean
increases its risk of exposure to threats as described above, its depth
distribution is five to 90 m and its habitat includes various shallow
and mesophotic reef environments. This moderates vulnerability to
extinction currently because the species is not limited to one habitat
type but occurs in numerous types of reef environments that will
experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry on local
and regional scales at any given point in time, as described in more
detail in the Coral Habitat and Threats Evaluation sections. There is
no evidence to suggest that the species is so spatially fragmented that
depensatory processes, environmental stochasticity, or the potential
for catastrophic events currently pose a high risk to the survival of
the species; and
(2) Mycetophyllia ferox's absolute abundance is at least hundreds
of thousands of colonies based on estimates from two locations.
Absolute abundance is higher than estimates from these locations since
M. ferox occurs in many other locations throughout its range. This
absolute abundance allows for variation in the responses of individuals
to threats to play a role in moderating vulnerability to extinction for
the species to some degree, as described in more detail in the Corals
and Coral Reefs section. Its absolute abundance indicates it is
currently able to avoid high mortality from environmental
stochasticity, and mortality of a high proportion of its population
from catastrophic events.
The combination of these characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of one that is currently in danger
of extinction, as described previously in the Risk Analyses section,
and thus does not warrant listing as endangered at this time.
Range-wide, multitudes of conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting M. ferox. However, considering the
global scale of the most important threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at addressing the root cause of
global threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not believe that any
current conservation efforts or conservation efforts planned in the
future will result in affecting the species' status to the point at
which listing is not warranted.
Genus Dendrogyra
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on morphology
and taxonomy of Dendrogyra. Dendrogyra cylindrus is the only species in
the genus Dendrogyra. It is easily identifiable, and there is no
taxonomic confusion. The public comments did not provide new or
supplemental information on the morphology or taxonomy of D. cylindrus,
and we did not find any new or supplemental information.
Dendrogyra cylindrus
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
morphology of D. cylindrus. Dendrogyra cylindrus forms cylindrical
columns on top of encrusting bases. Colonies are generally grey-brown
in color and may reach three meters in height. Tentacles remain
extended during the day, giving columns a furry appearance.
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on D.
cylindrus's distribution, habitat, and depth range. Dendrogyra
cylindrus is present in the western Atlantic and throughout the greater
Caribbean. The SRR reports a single known colony in Bermuda that is in
poor condition. Dendrogyra cylindrus inhabits most reef environments in
water depths ranging from one to 25 m.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on D. cylindrus's distribution, habitat, or depth range. Supplemental
information we found on D. cylindrus's distribution, habitat, and depth
range include the following. Dendrogyra cylindrus is absent from the
southwest Gulf of Mexico (Tunnell, 1988). There is fossil evidence of
the presence of D. cylindrus off Panama less than 1000 years ago, but
it has been reported as absent today (Florida Fish and Wildlife
Conservation Commission, 2013). Veron (2014)
[[Page 53925]]
confirms the presence of D. cylindrus in seven out of a potential 11
ecoregions in the western Atlantic and wider-Caribbean that are known
to contain corals. The four ecoregions in which it is not reported are
the Flower Garden Banks and off the coasts of Bermuda, Brazil, and the
southeast U.S. north of south Florida. Although D. cylindrus's depth
range is 1 to 25 m, it is most common between five and 15 m depth
(Acosta and Acevedo, 2006; Cairns, 1982; Goreau and Wells, 1967).
All information on D. cylindrus's distribution can be summarized as
follows. Dendrogyra cylindrus is distributed throughout most of the
greater Caribbean in most reef environments between 1 to 25 m depth. It
currently appears to be absent from Panama where it historically
occurred within the last 1000 years.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on D.
cylindrus's abundance and population trends. Dendrogyra cylindrus is
uncommon but conspicuous with scattered, isolated colonies. It is
rarely found in aggregations. Dendrogyra cylindrus has been reported to
be common on Pleistocene reefs around Grand Cayman, but rare on modern
reefs. In monitoring studies, cover is generally less than one percent.
Between 2005 and 2007, mean density of D. cylindrus was approximately
0.5 colonies per 10 m\2\ in the Florida Keys. In a study of D.
cylindrus demographics at Providencia Island, Colombia, a total of 283
D. cylindrus colonies were detected in a survey of 1.66 km\2\ for and
overall density of 172.0 177.0 (SE) colonies per km\2\.
The public comments provided supplemental information on D.
cylindrus's abundance but not on population trends. In stratified
random samples of the Florida Keys, D. cylindrus ranked least common
out of 47 coral species in 2005 and 41 out of 43 species in 2009. Based
on random surveys stratified by habitat type, extrapolated abundance
for the Florida Keys was 23,000 23,000 (SE) colonies in
2005 and 25,000 25,000 (SE) colonies in 2009. Because
these population estimates were based on random sampling, differences
between years is more likely a function of sampling effort rather than
an indication of population trends. All D. cylindrus colonies reported
in 2005 were in the 70 to 80 cm diameter size class with less than two
percent partial mortality. Four years later in 2009, all reported
colonies were greater than 90 cm. No D. cylindrus colonies were
encountered in 600 surveys from Key Biscayne to Key West, Florida in
2012, with the authors noting sampling design was not optimized for
this species. This species was not reported in the Dry Tortugas in 2006
and 2008, and rarely encountered during pilot studies conducted over
several years (1999 to 2002) ranking 49th out of 49 coral species
(Miller et al., 2013).
Supplemental information we found on D. cylindrus's abundance and
population trends confirms the uncommon occurrence, rare encounter
rate, low percent cover, and low density. During surveys of Utila,
Honduras between 1999 and 2000, D. cylindrus was sighted in 19.6
percent of 784 surveys and ranked 26th most common in abundance out of
48 coral species (Afzal et al., 2001). In surveys of the upper Florida
Keys in 2011, D. cylindrus was the second rarest out of 37 coral
species and encountered at one percent of sites (Miller et al., 2011b).
In stratified random surveys from Palm Beach County to the Dry
Tortugas, Florida between 2005 and 2010, D. cylindrus was seen only on
the ridge complex and mid-channel reefs at densities of 1.09 and 0.1
colonies per 10 m\2\, respectively (Burman et al., 2012). Average
number of D. cylindrus colonies in remote reefs off southwest Cuba was
0.013 0.045 colonies per 10 m transect, and the species
ranked sixth rarest out of 38 coral species (Alcolado et al., 2010).
Out of 283 D. cylindrus colonies at Providencia Island, Colombia,
70 were fragments resulting from asexual fragmentation, and no sexual
recruits were observed. Size class distribution was skewed to smaller
size classes less than 60 cm in height, and average colony height was
73.8 46.0 cm (Acosta and Acevedo, 2006).
Dendrogyra cylindrus's average percent cover was 0.002 on patch
reefs and 0.303 in shallow offshore reefs in annual surveys of 37 sites
in the Florida Keys between 1996 and 2003 (Somerfield et al., 2008). At
permanent monitoring stations in the U.S. Virgin Islands, D. cylindrus
has been observed in low abundance at 10 of 33 sites and, where
present, ranged in cover from less than 0.05 percent to 0.22 percent
(Smith, 2013). In Dominica, D. cylindrus comprised less than 0.9
percent cover and was present at 13.3 percent of 31 surveyed sites
(Steiner, 2003). At seven fringing reefs off Barbados, D. cylindrus was
observed on one reef, and cover was 2.7 1.4 percent
(Tomascik and Sander, 1987). In monitored photo-stations in Roatan,
Honduras, cover of D. cylindrus increased slightly from 1.35 percent in
1996 to 1.67 percent in 1999 and then declined to 0.44 percent in 2003
and 0.43 percent in 2005 (Riegl et al., 2009). In the U.S. Virgin
Islands, seven percent of 26 monitored colonies experienced total
colony mortality between 2005 and 2007, though the very low cover of D.
cylindrus (0.04 percent) remained relatively stable during this time
period (Smith et al., 2013b).
All sources of information on D. cylindrus's abundance and
population trends can be summarized as follows. Based on population
estimates, there are at least tens of thousands of D. cylindrus
colonies present in the Florida Keys. Absolute abundance is higher than
the estimate from this location given the presence of this species in
many other locations throughout its range. Although there is evidence
of potentially higher population levels in some areas of the Caribbean
during the Pleistocence, D. cylindrus is currently uncommon to rare.
Few studies report D. cylindrus population trends, and the low
abundance and infrequent encounter rate in monitoring programs result
in small samples sizes. The low coral cover of this species renders
monitoring data difficult to extrapolate to realize trends. Therefore,
we conclude that D. cylindrus is naturally uncommon to rare and that
trends are unknown.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on D.
cylindrus's life history. Dendrogyra cylindrus is a gonochoric
(separate sexes) broadcast spawning species with relatively low annual
egg production for its size. The combination of gonochoric spawning
with persistently low population densities is expected to yield low
rates of successful fertilization and low larval supply. Sexual
recruitment of this species is low, and reported juvenile colonies in
the Caribbean are lacking. Dendrogyra cylindrus can propagate by
fragmentation following storms or other physical disturbance. Average
growth rates of 1.8 to 2.0 cm per year in linear extension have been
reported in the Florida Keys compared to 0.8 cm per year in Colombia
and Cura[ccedil]ao. Partial mortality rates are size-specific with
larger colonies having greater rates. Frequency of partial mortality
can be high (65 percent of 185 colonies surveyed in Colombia), while
the amount of partial mortality per colony is generally low (average of
3 percent of tissue area affected per colony).
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on D. cylindrus's life history. Supplemental information we found on D.
cylindrus's life history includes the following. Spawning observations
have been made
[[Page 53926]]
several nights after the full moon of August in the Florida Keys (Neely
et al., 2013; Waddell and Clarke, 2008).
Darling et al. (2012) performed a biological trait-based analysis
to categorize coral species into four life history strategies:
Generalist, weedy, competitive, and stress-tolerant. The
classifications were primarily separated by colony morphology, growth
rate, and reproductive mode. Dendrogyra cylindrus was classified as a
``competitive'' species, thus likely more vulnerable to environmental
stress.
The SRR and SIR provided the following other biological information
for D. cylindrus. Dendrogyra cylindrus appears to be sensitive to cold
temperatures. Feeding rates (removal of suspended particles in
seawater) are low relative to most other Caribbean corals, indicating
it is primarily a tentacle feeder rather than a suspension feeder.
However, D. cylindrus has a relatively high photosynthetic rate, and
stable isotope values suggest it receives substantial amounts of
photosynthetic products from its zooxanthellae.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental biological
information for D. cylindrus. Supplemental information we found
confirms that D. cylindrus is sensitive to cold temperatures and is
summarized as follows. In laboratory studies of cold shock, D.
cylindrus had the highest zooxanthellae expulsion rate of three species
tested at 12 degrees C (Muscatine et al., 1991). During the 2010 cold
water event in the Florida Keys, D. cylindrus was one of the most
affected coral species with 100 percent mortality on surveyed inshore
reefs (Kemp et al., 2011).
Susceptibility to Threats
The threat susceptibility information from the SRR and SIR was
interpreted in the proposed rule for D. cylindrus's vulnerabilities to
threats as follows: High vulnerability to disease; moderate
vulnerability to ocean warming, acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, sedimentation, and nutrient enrichment; and low vulnerability
to sea level rise, predation, and collection and trade.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
susceptibility of D. cylindrus to ocean warming. There are conflicting
characterizations of bleaching susceptibility of D. cylindrus in the
literature. The species was bleaching-resistant during the 1983 mass-
bleaching event in Florida. Characterizations of the 2005 mass-
bleaching event in southern Florida and in the U.S. Virgin Islands
noted that no bleached D. cylindrus colonies were observed, but during
the same event in Barbados 100 percent of 15 D. cylindrus colonies
bleached.
Van Woesik et al. (2012) developed a coral resiliency index based
on biological traits and processes to evaluate extinction risk due to
bleaching. Evaluations were performed at the genus level. They rated
the resiliency of D. cylindrus as 3 out of a range of -6 to 7 observed
in other coral genera. Less than or equal to -3 was considered highly
vulnerable to extinction, and greater than or equal to 4 was considered
highly tolerant. Thus, D. cylindrus was rated as moderately tolerant.
While this study was included in the SIR, species-specific findings for
Dendrogyra were not included. The public comments (Comment 47)
indicated the results of this study should be considered in the listing
status of D. cylindrus.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of D. cylindrus to ocean warming. Supplemental
information we found confirms the variable susceptibility of D.
cylindrus to ocean warming and bleaching. Dendrogyra cylindrus was
among 42 species reported not to have bleached at various locations in
the western Atlantic (British Virgin Islands, Jamaica, and Mona Island)
during the 1987 bleaching event, while the authors noted these species
were reported bleached at other locations or other areas by others
(Williams and Bunkley-Williams, 1990). None of the 18 D. cylindrus
colonies monitored in Roatan, Honduras experienced bleaching or
mortality in the 1998 event where bleaching ranged from zero to 89
percent in the 22 species monitored (Riegl et al., 2009). Across 12
locations in Puerto Rico, 100 percent of D. cylindrus colonies bleached
during the 2005 temperature anomaly (Waddell and Clarke, 2008).
However, Bruckner and Hill (2009) report less severe D. cylindrus
bleaching during the 2005 event in Puerto Rico; approximately 25
percent paled and 10 percent bleached on reefs off Mona and Desecheo
Islands, which was relatively low compared to some other species such
as Orbicella faveolata, which had approximately 60 percent bleached
colonies. At Dairy Bull Reef in Jamaica, 50 percent of D. cylindrus
colonies bleached during the 2005 bleaching event, but no mortality was
reported for this species (Quinn and Kojis, 2008). An average of 33
percent of the monitored D. cylindrus colonies in the U.S. Virgin
Islands bleached in 2005, and 67 percent paled. None of the monitored
colonies bleached or paled during the less severe 2010 bleaching event
(Smith et al., 2013b).
All sources of information are used to describe D. cylindrus's
susceptibility to ocean warming as follows. There are conflicting
characterizations of the susceptibility of D. cylindrus to bleaching.
Some locations experienced high bleaching of up to 100 percent of D.
cylindrus colonies during the 2005 Caribbean bleaching event while
others had a smaller proportion of colonies bleach (10 to 50 percent).
Reports of low mortality after less severe bleaching indicate potential
resilience, though mortality information is absent from locations that
reported high bleaching frequency. Although bleaching of most coral
species is spatially and temporally variable, understanding the
susceptibility of D. cylindrus is further confounded by the species'
rarity and, hence, low sample size in any given survey. We conclude
that although D. cylindrus appears to have resistance to bleaching from
warmer temperatures in some portions of its range under some
circumstances, it is likely to have some susceptibility to ocean
warming, given the high rates of bleaching observed at times. However,
the available information does not support a more detailed description
of susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
susceptibility of D. cylindrus to acidification. No specific research
has addressed the effects of acidification on the genus Dendrogyra.
However, most corals studied have shown negative relationships between
acidification and growth, and acidification is likely to contribute to
reef destruction in the future. While ocean acidification has not been
demonstrated to have caused appreciable declines in coral populations
so far, it is considered a significant threat to corals by 2100.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of D. cylindrus to acidification, and we did not
find any new or supplemental information.
All sources of information are used to describe D. cylindrus's
susceptibility to acidification as follows. Dendrogyra cylindrus likely
has some susceptibility to acidification, but the available information
does not support a more precise description of susceptibility to this
threat.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
susceptibility of D. cylindrus to disease. Dendrogyra cylindrus is
susceptible to black band disease and white plague, though impacts from
white plague are likely more extensive because of rapid progression
rates. The large colony size suggests that individual colonies are less
likely to suffer complete mortality
[[Page 53927]]
from a given disease exposure, but low colony density suggests that
even small degrees of mortality increase extinction risk.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of D. cylindrus to disease. Supplemental
information we found on the susceptibility of D. cylindrus to disease
includes the following. In a January 2002 survey at Providencia Island,
Colombia, 4.2 percent of D. cylindrus colonies (n=185) exhibited white
plague type II (Acosta and Acevedo, 2006). The prevalence of diseased
D. cylindrus colonies was approximately three percent in Mexico from
2002 to 2004 (Ward et al., 2006). Though white diseases were reported
to cause colony mortality in some coral species in the U.S. Virgin
Islands after the 2005 Caribbean bleaching event, none of the monitored
D. cylindrus colonies exhibited signs of white disease (Smith et al.,
2013b).
All sources of information are used to describe D. cylindrus's
susceptibility to disease as follows. Disease appears to be present in
about three to four percent of the population in some locations.
Because no studies have tracked disease progression in D. cylindrus,
the effects of disease are uncertain at both the colony and population
level. However, the reported low partial mortality and large colony
size suggest that individual colonies are less likely to suffer
complete colony mortality from a given disease exposure. Therefore, we
conclude that D. cylindrus has some susceptibility to disease, but the
available information does not support a more precise description of
susceptibility to this threat.
The SIR and SRR did not provide any species-specific information on
the trophic effects of fishing on D. cylindrus. The public comments did
not provide new or supplemental information, and we did not find new or
supplemental information on the trophic effects of fishing on D.
cylindrus. However, due to the level of reef fishing conducted in the
Caribbean, coupled with Diadema die-off and lack of significant
recovery, competition with algae can adversely affect coral
recruitment. This effect coupled with the species' low recruitment rate
indicates it likely has some susceptibility to the trophic effects of
fishing. The available information does not support a more precise
description of its susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
susceptibility of D. cylindrus to sedimentation. The rate of sand
removal from D. cylindrus tissues in laboratory conditions was
intermediate among 19 Caribbean coral species tested.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of D. cylindrus to sedimentation. Supplemental
information we found includes the following. Dendrogyra cylindrus,
along with Acropora spp. and Meandrina meandrites, was found in fossil
assemblages only on the reef tract and not on the lagoonal patch reefs
around Grand Cayman, suggesting that this species may be ineffective at
sediment rejection like the other two species or may be intolerant of
turbidity (Hunter and Jones, 1996).
All sources of information are used to describe D. cylindrus's
susceptibility to sedimentation as follows. Dendrogyra cylindrus
appears to be moderately capable of removing sediment from its tissue.
However, D. cylindrus may be more sensitive to turbidity due to its
high reliance on nutrition from photosynthesis and as evidenced by the
geologic record. Therefore, we conclude that D. cylindrus has some
susceptibility to sedimentation, but the available information does not
support a more precise description of susceptibility to this threat.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
susceptibility of D. cylindrus to nutrient enrichment. Along a
eutrophication gradient in Barbados, D. cylindrus was found at a single
site, one of those farthest removed from pollution. The public comments
did not provide new or supplemental on the susceptibility of D.
cylindrus to nutrient enrichment, and we did not find any new or
supplemental information.
All sources of information are used to describe D. cylindrus's
susceptibility to nutrient enrichment as follows. Dendrogyra cylindrus
may be susceptible to nutrient enrichment as evidenced by its absence
from eutrophic sites in one location. However, there is uncertainty
about whether its absence is a result of eutrophic conditions or a
result of its naturally uncommon or rare occurrence. Therefore, we
conclude that D. cylindrus likely has some susceptibility to nutrient
enrichment. However, the available information does not support a more
precise description of its susceptibility to this threat.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
susceptibility of D. cylindrus to predation. The corallivorous fireworm
Hermodice carunculata has been observed feeding on diseased colonies of
D. cylindrus, but generally, predation is not observed to cause
noticeable mortality on D. cylindrus, despite its rarity.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on D. cylindrus's susceptibility to predation. Supplemental information
we found includes the following. The sea urchin, Diadema antillarum,
has been reported to cause partial mortality at the base of D.
cylindrus colonies (Acosta and Acevedo, 2006).
All sources of information are used to describe D. cylindrus's
susceptibility to predation as follows. The low amounts of observed
mortality indicate D. cylindrus has low susceptibility to predation.
The SRR and SIR did not provide species-specific information on the
effects of sea level rise on D. cylindrus. The SRR described sea level
rise as an overall low to medium threat for all coral species. The
public comments did not provide new or supplemental information on D.
cylindrus's susceptibility to sea level rise, and we did not find any
new or supplemental information. Thus, we conclude that D. cylindrus
has some susceptibility to sea level rise, but the available
information does not support a more precise description of
susceptibility to this threat.
The SRR and SIR provided information on D. cylindrus's
susceptibility to collection and trade. Overall trade reports indicate
very low rates of international trade of D. cylindrus. It is possible
that historical curio collecting of D. cylindrus may have significantly
reduced populations off Florida.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
of the susceptibility of D. cylindrus to collection and trade.
Supplemental information we found confirms what was provided by the SRR
and SIR. Prior to its ban in the 1980s, collection of D. cylindrus for
curios was once widespread off the coast of Florida (Florida Fish and
Wildlife Conservation Commission, 2013). From 2000 to 2012,
international trade of this species was low with gross exports ranging
from zero to nine corals per year (average less than two per year; data
available at https://trade.cites.org).
All sources of information are used to describe D. cylindrus's
susceptibility to collection and trade as follows. In the past,
collection and trade may have had a large effect on the population in
some locations like Florida. However, collection and trade likely does
not have a large impact on the population currently. Therefore, we
conclude that the susceptibility of D. cylindrus to collection and
trade is currently low.
[[Page 53928]]
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we relied on information from the Final
Management Report for evaluating the existing regulatory mechanisms for
controlling threats to all corals. However, we did not provide any
species-specific information on the regulatory mechanisms or
conservation efforts for D. cylindrus. Public comments were critical of
that approach, and we therefore attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms and conservation efforts on a species basis, where possible,
in this final rule. Records confirm that D. cylindrus occurs in seven
Atlantic ecoregions that encompass 26 kingdom's and countries' EEZs.
The 26 kingdoms and countries are Antigua & Barbuda, Bahamas, Barbados,
Belize, Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic,
French Antilles, Grenada, Guatemala, Haiti, Kingdom of the Netherlands,
Honduras, Jamaica, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, St. Kitts & Nevis, St.
Lucia, St. Vincent & Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, United Kingdom
(British Caribbean Territories), United States (including U.S.
Caribbean Territories), and Venezuela. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to D. cylindrus, described first as a percentage of the above
kingdoms and countries that utilize them to any degree, and, second as
the percentages of those kingdoms and countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as follows: General coral
protection (31 percent with 12 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (50 percent with 27 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (31 percent with 15 percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (73 percent with 50 percent limited in scope),
managing areas for protection and conservation (88 percent with 31
percent limited in scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for D. cylindrus are reef fishing regulations and area management
for protection and conservation. However, half of the reef fishing
regulations are limited in scope and may not provide substantial
protection for the species. General coral protection and collection
laws, along with pollution control laws, are much less common
regulatory mechanisms for the management of D. cylindrus.
Dendrogyra cylindrus is listed as threatened on the State of
Florida endangered and threatened species list. The state has an action
plan for conservation of the species with several objectives including
stabilizing or increasing the existing population, the current area of
occupancy, and the number of sexually mature individuals and evaluating
the reproductive potential of the population over the next decade
(Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission, 2013). However, the
management plan recognizes that there are threats to D. cylindrus that
need to be addressed outside the scope of the plan in order to improve
the status of this species.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its
demographic and spatial characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that the factors that increase the extinction
risk for D. cylindrus include the overall low population density and
low population size, gonochoric spawning mode and lack of observed
sexual recruitment, and susceptibility to observed disease mortality.
The SRR acknowledged that, given the apparent naturally rare status of
this species, some undescribed adaptations to low population density
may exist in this species, particularly with regard to overcoming
fertilization limitation between spawned gametes from gonochoric parent
colonies that are at great distance from one another. Nonetheless, the
pervasiveness of threats characterizing the Caribbean region was deemed
to represent substantial extinction risk given this species' low
population size.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species' abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of D. cylindrus, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Dendrogyra cylindrus is susceptible to a number of threats, but there
is little evidence of population declines thus far. Despite the large
number of islands and environments that are included in the species'
range, geographic distribution in the highly disturbed Caribbean
exacerbates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because D. cylindrus is limited to an area with high, localized human
impacts and predicted increasing threats. Dendrogyra cylindrus inhabits
most reef environments in water depths ranging from 1 to 25 m which
moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species occurs in numerous types of reef environments that
are predicted, on local and regional scales, to experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. It is naturally rare. Estimates of absolute abundance are at
least tens of thousands of colonies in the Florida Keys, and absolute
abundance is higher than estimates from this location due to the
occurrence of the species in many other areas throughout its range. It
is a gonochoric broadcast spawner with observed low sexual recruitment.
Its low abundance, combined with its geographic location, exacerbates
vulnerability to extinction because increasingly severe conditions
within the species' range are likely to affect a high proportion of its
population at any given point in time, and low sexual recruitment is
likely to inhibit recovery potential from mortality events, further
exacerbating its vulnerability to extinction.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the determination tool formula
approach, D. cylindrus was proposed for listing as endangered because
of: High vulnerability to disease (C); moderate vulnerability to ocean
warming (E) and acidification (E); rare general range-wide abundance
(E); low relative recruitment rate (E); narrow overall distribution
(based on narrow geographic distribution and moderate depth
distribution (E); restriction to the Caribbean (E); and inadequacy of
regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for D.
cylindrus from endangered to threatened. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic approach, including
consideration of the buffering capacity of this species' spatial and
demographic traits, and the best available information above on D.
cylindrus's spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management. This combination of factors indicates that D. cylindrus is
likely to become endangered throughout
[[Page 53929]]
its range within the foreseeable future, and thus warrants listing as
threatened at this time, because:
(1) Dendrogyra cylindrus is susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), disease (C), acidification (E), nutrient enrichment (A and
E), sedimentation (A and E), and trophic effects of fishing (A). These
threats are expected to continue and increase into the future. In
addition, the species is at heightened extinction risk due to
inadequate existing regulatory mechanisms to address global threats
(D).
(2) Dendrogyra cylindrus is geographically located in the highly
disturbed Caribbean where localized human impacts are high and threats
are predicted to increase as described in the Threats Evaluation
section. A range constrained to this particular geographic area that is
likely to experience severe and increasing threats indicates that a
high proportion of the population of this species is likely to be
exposed to those threats over the foreseeable future;
(3) Dendrogyra cylindrus has an uncommon to rare occurrence
throughout its range, which heightens the potential effect of localized
mortality events and leaves the species vulnerable to becoming of such
low abundance within the foreseeable future that it may be at risk from
depensatory processes, environmental stochasticity, or catastrophic
events, as explained in more detail in the Corals and Coral Reefs and
Risk Analyses sections; and
(4) Dendrogyra cylindrus's low sexual recruitment limits its
capacity for recovery from threat-induced mortality events throughout
its range over the foreseeable future.
The combination of these characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates the species is likely to be in danger of extinction
within the foreseeable future throughout its range and warrants listing
as threatened at this time due to factors A, C, D, and E.
The available information above on D. cylindrus spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and management also indicate that
the species is not currently in danger of extinction and thus does not
warrant listing as Endangered because:
(1) There is little evidence of D. cylindrus population declines
(i.e., the species continues to be naturally rare);
(2) Dendrogyra cylindrus shows evidence of resistance to bleaching
from warmer temperatures in some portions of its range under some
circumstances (e.g., Roatan, Honduras); and
(3) While D. cylindrus's distribution within the Caribbean
increases its risk of exposure to threats as described above, its
habitat includes most reef environments in water depths ranging from
one to 25 m. This moderates vulnerability to extinction currently
because the species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in
numerous types of reef environments that will experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry on local and regional
scales at any given point in time, as described in more detail in the
Coral Habitat and Threats Evaluation sections.
The combination of these characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of one that is currently in danger
of extinction, as described previously in the Risk Analyses section,
and thus does not warrant listing as endangered at this time.
Last, D. cylindrus is listed as threatened on the State of Florida
endangered and threatened species list, and an action plan for
conservation has recently been developed. Implementation of the action
plan will no doubt have benefits to the species, but it is too soon to
evaluate its effectiveness for conserving the species. Further,
considering the global scale of the most important threats to the
species, and the ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at addressing
the root cause of global threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not
believe that any current conservation efforts or conservation efforts
planned in the future will result in affecting the species' status to
the point at which listing is not warranted.
Genus Dichocoenia
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on Dichocoenia's
morphology and taxonomy. There are potentially two species in the genus
Dichocoenia: Dichocoenia stokesi and Dichocoenia stellaris. Dichocoenia
stellaris has been described as differing from D. stokesi by its
pancake-like colony morphology and dominance of smaller, circular
calices. Some coral taxonomists consider there to be only one species,
D. stokesi, as specimens have all variations of skeletal shape and
valley length. The public comments did not provide any new or
supplemental information on Dichocoenia's taxonomy or morphology, and
we did not find any new or supplemental information.
Most studies over the last several decades describe D. stokesi and
do not separately report data for colonies with D. stellaris
morphology. Because D. stokesi was petitioned for listing and D.
stellaris was not, we considered all information on D. stokesi and did
not consider information on D. stellaris, despite some uncertainty of
whether or not these are the same species. If D. stokesi is accepted to
include all sizes of calices, it is easy to identify; if not then
species delineations are somewhat arbitrary. We did not find any
supplemental information on Dichocoenia's taxonomy.
Dichocoenia stokesi
Introduction
Dichocoenia stokesi forms mounding-spherical colonies that are
usually orange-brown but sometimes green.
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on D. stokesi's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Dichocoenia stokesi is located
in the western Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico (including the Florida Middle
Grounds and Flower Garden Banks), and throughout the Caribbean. It is
also reported in Bermuda, though it is rare. Dichocoenia stokesi occurs
in most reef environments within its range, including mesophotic reefs,
back- and fore-reef environments, rocky reefs, lagoons, spur-and-groove
formations, channels, and occasionally at the base of reefs. It has
been reported in water depths ranging from two to 72 m.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on D. stokesi's distribution, habitat, or depth range.
Supplemental information we found includes the following. Veron (2014)
confirmed the occurrence of D. stokesi in nine out of 11 ecoregions in
the western Atlantic and wider-Caribbean known to contain corals. The
two ecoregions in which it is not reported are off the coasts of
Brazil, and the southeast U.S. north of south Florida. Kahng et al.
(2010) report that D. stokesi is relatively abundant and dominates the
coral community on mesophotic reefs greater than 40 m depth in the
northern Gulf of Mexico but not in Belize, Puerto Rico, U.S. Virgin
Islands, Jamaica, Curacao, Florida, Bermuda, Bahamas, or Barbados.
All information on D. stokesi's distribution can be summarized as
follows. Dichocoenia stokesi is distributed throughout most of the
greater Caribbean in most reef environments within its range, including
mesophotic reefs.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on D. stokesi
abundance. Dichocoenia stokesi is characterized as usually uncommon. In
surveys of southeast Florida and the
[[Page 53930]]
Florida Keys between 2005 and 2007, D. stokesi comprised between 1.8
and 7.0 percent of all coral colonies observed and was present at a
density of approximately 1.7 colonies per 10 m\2\, which was the ninth
most abundant out of an observed 43 coral species.
The public comments provided the following supplemental information
on D. stokesi's abundance. In stratified random surveys conducted by
Miller et al. (2013) in the Florida Keys, D. stokesi ranked as the 8th
most abundant species or higher in 2005, 2009, and 2012. Extrapolated
abundance was 97.8 13.1 (SE) million colonies in 2005,
53.8 9.7 (SE) million colonies in 2009, and 81.6 10.0 (SE) million colonies in 2012. Because population estimates
were based on random sampling, differences between years are more
likely a function of sampling effort rather than an indication of
population trends. Most colonies were 30 cm or less in size, and size
class distributions remained similar among the three sample periods
(2005, 2009, and 2012). Larger colonies typically exhibited more
partial mortality, which ranged between 20 and 80 percent for colonies
larger than 10 cm.
In the Dry Tortugas, D. stokesi was ranked 12th and 14th most
common in 2006 and 2008, respectively. Extrapolated colony abundance
was 12.1 4.1 (SE) million colonies in 2006 and 7.1 1.1 (SE) million colonies in 2008. All D. stokesi colonies
observed were 40 cm or less in 2006, and 20 cm or less in 2008. Partial
mortality was higher in larger colonies and ranged from approximately
20 to 65 percent in colonies larger than 10 cm (Miller et al., 2013).
Supplemental information we found on D. stokesi's abundance
includes the following. In surveys of Utila, Honduras between 1999 and
2000, D. stokesi was the eighth most common species and was sighted in
52.6 percent of 784 surveys (Afzal et al., 2001). Dichocoenia stokesi
has been observed in low abundance at 17 of 33 monitoring sites in the
U.S. Virgin Islands and is the 33rd most common species by percent
cover (Smith, 2013). Off southeast Florida, D. stokesi comprised 6.8
percent of the coral population between 9 and 32 m depth and was ranked
the 5th most abundant coral species out of 27 coral species encountered
(Goldberg, 1973). In surveys of Conch Reef in the Florida Keys in 1995,
juvenile D. stokesi comprised between approximately two and six percent
of the overall juvenile coral population, and the highest proportion
occurred at 14 m and decreased with depth (Edmunds et al., 2004). Off
South Caicos Island, D. stokesi was most frequently encountered on
shallow pavement (9 m) and comprised 15 percent of all coral colonies
counted; however on the deeper spur and groove (18 m) and fore-reef (27
m), it comprised 2 and 0.7 percent of colonies counted, respectively
(Steiner, 1999). Bak and Meesters (1999) report that about 50 percent
of D. stokesi colonies surveyed in Florida and Curacao were in the 10
to 20 cm size class.
Between 1996 and 2003, average cover of D. stokesi per habitat type
ranged from 0.02 to 0.12 percent in the Florida Keys and was highest on
patch reefs (Somerfield et al., 2008). Of three sites surveyed in
Bermuda, cover of D. stokesi was 0.02 0.03 percent at one
site (Dodge et al., 1982). In surveys off Colombia from 1998 to 2004,
D. stokesi cover ranged from 0.02 to 0.6 percent, but the species was
only present in nine out of 32 sites (Rodriguez-Ramirez et al., 2010).
In the Bahamas Archipelago, cover of D. stokesi was on average 0.01 to
0.02 percent in 2002 to 2004 (Roff et al., 2011). In Dominica, D.
stokesi was observed in 47 percent of 31 sites surveyed and comprised
less than one percent cover (Steiner, 2003). Dichocoenia stokesi was
present on four out of seven fringing reefs off Barbados and comprised
between 0.1 and 0.6 percent cover (Tomascik and Sander, 1987).
On remote reefs off southwest Cuba, D. stokesi was observed on 30
reef front sites at densities of 0.052 0.096 (SD) colonies
per 10 m transect, but was not observed at any of the 38 surveys of the
reef crest (Alcolado et al., 2010). In 1,176 sites surveyed in
southeast Florida and the Florida Keys between 2005 and 2010, density
of D. stokesi ranged from 0.07 to 2.35 colonies per 10 m\2\ on reef
zones where they were found, and this species was the eighth most
abundant species out of 42 coral species encountered (Burman et al.,
2012).
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on population
trends of D. stokesi. A comparison of survey data from 19 sites in
Spaanse Water, Curacao in 1961 and 1992 indicated an 80 percent
decrease in relative abundance of D. stokesi between the two survey
periods. In surveys of the Florida Keys between 1995 and 2002 during
and after a disease outbreak, the average number of D. stokesi colonies
per 314-m2 site decreased from 44.3 to 11.2, a decline of
almost 75 percent. The maximum number of D. stokesi colonies per site
decreased from 95 to 43, and the minimum number of colonies per site
decreased from ten to one. There was a shift in the size class
distribution between 1998 and 2002 with a decrease in the frequency of
smaller size classes and a shift from dominance by smaller size classes
to a more even distribution across small to larger size classes. Two D.
stokesi recruits were found after the disease but did not survive to
the following year. No colonies greater than 25 cm were observed in
1998, four years later (2002) many colonies greater than 25 cm were
observed up to 55 cm.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on D. stokesi's population trends, and we did not find any new or
supplemental information.
All information on D. stokesi's abundance and population trends can
be summarized as follows. Dichocoenia stokesi has been characterized as
usually uncommon but is usually reported as one of the top 10 most
abundant species where estimates are available. Based on population
estimates, there are at least tens of millions of D. stokesi colonies
present in both the Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas. Absolute abundance
is higher than the estimate from these two locations given the presence
of this species in many other locations throughout its range. The
characterization of its occurrence as usually uncommon gives the
impression of a lower population abundance than is indicated by
population estimates. Density estimates range from 0.05 to 2.35
colonies per 10 m\2\. The sometimes low density and small colony size
result in low percent cover estimates, generally between 0.01 and less
than 1 percent, and make it difficult to track population trends from
percent cover data. Trend data indicate D. stokesi has decreased in
abundance in at least two locations (i.e., the Florida Keys, and a bay
in Curacao). Presence of juveniles in several locations indicates
recruitment is occurring. Recovery from severe population declines in
the Florida Keys after a disease event was not reported seven years
later. Thus, we conclude that population decline has occurred in some
locations and that the species' absolute abundance is greater than
hundreds of millions of colonies.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on D. stokesi's
life history. Dichocoenia stokesi is a gonochoric broadcast spawner
with an overall sex ratio of 2 to 1 (male to female) in southeast
Florida where a small portion of hermaphroditic colonies (approximately
18 percent) were observed. Minimum size at reproduction was 160 cm\2\,
and two potential spawning events per year were
[[Page 53931]]
inferred: one in late August/early September and a second in October.
Recruitment levels, inferred from the presence of juveniles, is
intermediate compared to other Caribbean coral species. Very low
densities of Dichocoenia juveniles (approximately one percent of total
juvenile colonies) have been observed in the Netherlands Antilles. Mean
D. stokesi juvenile density among 566 sites surveyed during 1999 to
2009 averaged 0.11 per m\2\ but reached as high as one juvenile per
m\2\ in certain habitats. The annual growth rate of D. stokesi has been
reported as 2 to 7 mm per year in diameter and 2 to 5.2 mm per year in
height.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the life history of D. stokesi. Supplemental information we found on
the life history of D. stokesi includes the following. Chiappone and
Sullivan (1996) reported density of juvenile D. stokesi range from 0.02
to 0.26 per m\2\ at five out of nine sites surveyed in the Florida Keys
between 1993 and 1994. Darling et al. (2012) performed a biological
trait-based analysis to categorize coral species into four life history
strategies: Generalist, weedy, competitive, and stress-tolerant. The
classifications were primarily separated by colony morphology, growth
rate, and reproductive mode. Dichocoenia stokesi was classified as a
``stress-tolerant'' species, thus likely more tolerant of environmental
stress.
The SRR and SIR provided the following other biological information
about D. stokesi. The mounding morphology and large corallite diameter
of D. stokesi enhance turbulence near the surface of colonies. This
should, in turn, enhance mass transfer, which affects photosynthesis
and respiration in D. stokesi as well as prey capture and nutrient
uptake. Thresholds for uptake of inorganic nitrogen in D. stokesi have
been reported to be fairly low (150 nM), giving it a potential
advantage in nutrient-poor conditions.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on D. stokesi's biology. Supplemental information we found on D.
stokesi's biology includes the following. At 76 sites surveyed in the
Florida Keys during the 2010 cold-water event, approximately 15 percent
of D. stokesi paled, and approximately one percent bleached. Mortality
was approximately four percent (The Nature Conservancy, 2010).
Susceptibility to Threats
The threat susceptibility information from the SRR and SIR was
interpreted in the proposed rule for D. stokesi's vulnerabilities to
threats as follows: High vulnerability to disease; moderate
vulnerability to ocean warming, acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, and sedimentation; and low vulnerability to sea level rise,
predation, and collection and trade.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
susceptibility of D. stokesi to ocean warming. Of the 28 coral species
that bleached along the Florida reef tract from Martin County through
the lower Florida Keys from 2005 to 2007, D. stokesi had the lowest
bleaching prevalence. During the 2005 Caribbean mass-bleaching event,
it ranked 16th of 21 species in bleaching prevalence in Barbados and
was observed to be bleaching-tolerant in the U.S. Virgin Islands.
Van Woesik et al. (2012) developed a coral resiliency index based
on biological traits and processes to evaluate extinction risk due to
bleaching. Evaluations were performed at the genus level. They rated
the resiliency of Dichocoenia as 0 out of a range of -6 to 7 observed
in other coral genera. Less than or equal to -3 was considered highly
vulnerable to extinction, and greater than or equal to 4 was considered
highly tolerant. Thus, Dichocoenia was rated in the middle.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of D. stokesi to ocean warming. Supplemental
information we found on the susceptibility of D. stokesi to ocean
warming includes the following. During the 1998 bleaching event, an
average of 20 percent of D. stokesi colonies were greater than 50
percent bleached in the lower Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas; however,
this was the lowest of 14 species that bleached (Waddell, 2005). Of the
22 species monitored off Roatan, Honduras, D. stokesi was one of eight
species that did not bleach during the 1998 bleaching event (Riegl et
al., 2009).
During the 2005 temperature anomaly, D. stokesi colonies were fully
bleached around La Parguera, Puerto Rico but were less frequently
bleached at other locations around Puerto Rico (Waddell and Clarke,
2008). Off of Mona and Desecheo Islands, Puerto Rico, about 25 percent
of D. stokesi paled and about 10 percent bleached; in the 16 coral
species surveyed, bleaching ranged from less than five percent to
approximately 60 percent of colonies (Bruckner and Hill, 2009). During
the 2005 bleaching event, approximately 30 percent of D. stokesi
colonies on six reefs bleached in Barbados, and D. stokesi around Grand
Cayman experienced total bleaching (Wilkinson and Souter, 2008). None
of the monitored D. stokesi colonies in the U.S. Virgin Islands
bleached, and 67 percent paled during the 2005 bleaching event (Smith
et al., 2013b). In the Florida Keys, D. stokesi ranked 19th out of 25
species in amount of mortality during the 2005 bleaching event (Lirman
et al., 2011).
All sources of information are used to describe D. stokesi's
susceptibility to ocean warming as follows. Reported bleaching of D.
stokesi ranges from zero to about 60 percent. While reported bleaching
of D. stokesi is temporally and spatially variable, compared to other
Caribbean coral species, D. stokesi appears to be among the less
susceptible to temperature-induced bleaching. Additionally, a report
from the Florida Keys indicates that bleaching-induced mortality of D.
stokesi was among the lowest compared to other Caribbean coral species.
Thus, we conclude that D. stokesi has some susceptibility to ocean
warming. However, the available information does not support a more
precise description of susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
susceptibility of D. stokesi to acidification. No specific research has
addressed the effects of acidification on the genus Dichocoenia.
However, most corals studied have shown negative relationships between
acidification and growth, and acidification is likely to contribute to
reef destruction in the future. While ocean acidification has not been
demonstrated to have caused appreciable declines in coral populations
so far, it is considered a significant threat to corals by 2100.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of D. stokesi to acidification, and we did not
find any new or supplemental information.
All sources of information are used to describe D. stokesi's
susceptibility to acidification as follows. There is uncertainty about
how D. stokesi will respond to ocean acidification, but based on the
negative effects of acidification on growth of most corals, D. stokesi
likely has some susceptibility to acidification. The available
information does not support a more precise description of
susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on D. stokesi's
susceptibility to disease. Black band disease, dark spot syndrome, and
white plague have been reported to affect D. stokesi. In an outbreak of
white plague in St. Lucia in 1997, six surveyed colonies of D. stokesi
were infected, and average tissue mortality was about 65 percent. In
surveys in Dominica
[[Page 53932]]
between 2000 and 2002, D. stokesi was one of four coral species most
commonly affected by disease, and white plague predominantly affected
larger-sized colonies. Of 17 species affected by white plague in the
Florida Keys, D. stokesi was the most susceptible.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of D. stokesi to disease. Supplemental
information we found on the susceptibility of D. stokesi to disease
includes the following. In 1991, an outbreak of white plague was
observed on Mona Island, Puerto Rico that affected 14 species, with the
highest prevalence among small, massive corals including D. stokesi,
many of which died within one to two weeks (Waddell, 2005). In Mexico,
disease was prevalent on approximately one percent of D. stokesi
colonies surveyed in 2004 (Ward et al., 2006).
During an outbreak of white plague type II in the Florida Keys in
1995, mortality of D. stokesi averaged 26 percent and ranged from 0 to
38 percent (Richardson et al., 1998). The disease routinely caused
whole colony mortality within two to three days due to its infection of
small coral colonies (usually less than 10 cm in diameter) and
aggressive progression rate (up to 2 cm per day; Richardson, 1998).
Between 1996 and 1998, out of 160 monitoring stations at 40 sites in
the Florida Keys, the number of stations with D. stokesi colonies
affected by disease increased through time with two stations affected
in 1996, 22 in 1997, and 45 in 1998 (Porter et al., 2001). However, no
white plague was observed in D. stokesi in 2002 at the sites with the
reported outbreak in 1995 (Richardson and Voss, 2005).
Disease surveys at St. Croix, U.S. Virgin Islands during the summer
of 2001 revealed that D. stokesi had the highest prevalence of white
plague type II out of seven species infected and the highest disease-
related mortality (Kaczmarsky et al., 2005). The prevalence of white
plague type II on D. stokesi was 41 percent at one location and 60
percent at a second site. Of 107 D. stokesi colonies, 38 were infected,
and 26 percent of the infected colonies, or 9.4 percent of the sample
population, died within two months (Kaczmarsky et al., 2005). After the
2005 bleaching event, 100 percent of monitored D. stokesi colonies in
the U.S. Virgin Islands were infected with disease in 2006, but none of
the colonies experienced total colony mortality (Smith et al., 2013b).
All sources of information are used to describe D. stokesi's
susceptibility to disease as follows. Although D. stokesi is
susceptible to several diseases, the most severe impacts have been the
result of white plague. Low prevalence of diseased D. stokesi colonies
have been reported from some locations, but outbreaks of white plague
have caused rapid and substantial mortality in some other sites.
Outbreaks in Puerto Rico and St. Lucia, while affecting D. stokesi, do
not appear to have caused as severe mortality as in the Florida Keys
and U.S. Virgin Islands. Thus, we conclude that D. stokesi has high
susceptibility to disease.
The SIR and SRR did not provide any species-specific information on
the trophic effects of fishing on D. stokesi. The public comments did
not provide any new or supplemental information on the trophic effects
of fishing on D. stokesi, and we did not find any new or supplemental
information. However, due to the level of reef fishing conducted in the
Caribbean, coupled with Diadema die-off and lack of significant
recovery, competition with algae can adversely affect coral
recruitment. Based on D. stokesi's inferred recruitment rates, we
conclude that it likely has low susceptibility to trophic effects of
fishing.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on
susceptibility of D. stokesi to sedimentation. A laboratory study
examining oil/sediment rejection indicated that out of 19 Caribbean
coral species examined, D. stokesi was intermediate in the rate of
sediment removal from its tissues. In laboratory experiments, D.
stokesi exhibited significant increases in respiration after 3 days of
exposure to turbidity levels of 28 to 30 NTU, which are within
allowable levels as regulated by the State of Florida for coastal
construction projects. While light levels and photosynthesis were not
affected, after six days of exposure to 14 to 16 NTU of turbidity,
gross photosynthesis to respiration ratios were less than one in this
species, and excessive mucus production was observed.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of D. stokesi to sedimentation. Supplemental
information we found on the susceptibility of D. stokesi to
sedimentation includes the following. The large calices, number of
septa, and calical relief of D. stokesi give this species the
capability to remove both fine sediment and larger grain sizes through
polyp distension (Hubbard and Pocock, 1972).
All sources of information are used to describe D. stokesi's
susceptibility to sedimentation as follows. Dichocoenia stokesi is more
tolerant of sedimentation than other coral species as it has the
ability to remove both larger grain size and finer sediment. However,
prolonged exposure (several days) to turbidity has been shown to cause
physiological stress. We conclude that D. stokesi has some
susceptibility to sedimentation. However, the available information
does not support a more precise description of susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any species or genus information on
the susceptibility of D. stokesi to nutrients but provided the
following. Land-based sources of pollution (including nutrients) often
act in concert rather than individually and are influenced by other
biological (e.g., herbivory) and hydrological factors. Collectively,
land-based sources of pollution are unlikely to produce extinction at a
global scale; however, they may pose significant threats at local
scales and reduce the resilience of corals to bleaching.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of D. stokesi to nutrients, and we did not find
any new or supplemental information. Based on our knowledge that
nutrients in general have a negative effect on corals, we conclude that
D. stokesi has some level of susceptibility to nutrients, but the
available information does not support a more precise description of
susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
susceptibility of D. stokesi to predation. Dichocoenia stokesi is
minimally affected by predation. Sponges such as Chondrilla nucula and
Ectoplaysia ferox can overgrow and cause tissue loss in D. stokesi,
especially if unchecked by spongivores. Dichocoenia stokesi had the
highest density of boring bivalves (average 7.5 bivalves per colony) of
the three coral species examined.
The public comments provided supplemental information on D.
stokesi's susceptibility to predation. Predation by Coralliophila
snails was recorded on 1.8 percent of the 502 D. stokesi colonies
assessed for condition in 2012 surveys in the Florida Keys (Miller et
al., 2013). We did not find any new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of D. stokesi to predation.
All sources of information confirm that predation does not appear
to significantly affect D. stokesi. Thus, we conclude that D. stokesi
has low susceptibility to predation.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
susceptibility of D. stokesi to collection and trade. Collection and
trade are not considered a threat to D. stokesi. The
[[Page 53933]]
public comments did not provide new or supplemental information.
Supplemental information we found on collection and trade includes the
following. Collection and trade of D. stokesi appear to be low and
primarily for scientific purposes. Gross exports between 2000 and 2012
averaged 35 corals per year (data available at https://trade.cites.org).
Thus, we conclude that D. stokesi has low susceptibility to collection
and trade.
The SRR and SIR did not provide species-specific information on the
effects of sea level rise on D. stokesi. The SRR described sea level
rise as an overall low to medium threat for all coral species. The
public comments did not provide new or supplemental information on D.
stokesi's susceptibility to sea level rise, and we did not find any new
or supplemental information. Thus, we conclude that D. stokesi has some
susceptibility to sea level rise, but the available information does
not provide a more precise description of susceptibility.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we relied on information from the Final
Management Report for evaluating the existing regulatory mechanisms for
controlling threats to all corals. However, we did not provide any
species-specific information on the regulatory mechanism or
conservation efforts for D. stokesi. Public comments were critical of
that approach, and we therefore attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms and conservation efforts on a species basis, where possible,
in this final rule. Records confirm that Dichocoenia stokesi occurs in
nine Atlantic ecoregions that encompass 26 kingdom's and countries'
EEZs. The 26 kingdoms and countries are Antigua & Barbuda, Bahamas,
Barbados, Belize, Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican
Republic, French Antilles, Grenada, Guatemala, Haiti, Kingdom of the
Netherlands, Honduras, Jamaica, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, St. Kitts &
Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent & Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, United
Kingdom (British Overseas Territories), United States (including U.S.
Caribbean Territories), and Venezuela. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to D. stokesi, described first as a percentage of the above
countries and kingdoms that utilize them to any degree, and second as
the percentages of those countries and kingdoms whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as follows: General coral
protection (31 percent with 12 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (50 percent with 27 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (31 percent with 15 percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (73 percent with 50 percent limited in scope),
managing areas for protection and conservation (88 percent with 31
percent limited in scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for D. stokesi are reef-fish fishing regulations and area
management for protection and conservation. However, half of the reef-
fish fishing regulations are limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection for the species. General coral protection and
collection laws, along with pollution control laws, are much less
common regulatory mechanisms for the management of D. stokesi.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic traits, threat susceptibilities, and consideration of
the baseline environment and future projections of threats. The SRR
stated that the factors that increase the potential extinction risk for
D. stokesi include documented population-level impacts from disease.
Factors that reduce potential extinction risk are relatively high
abundance and persistence across many habitat types, including
nearshore and mesophotic reefs. Residency in a wide range of habitat
types suggests the species has a wide tolerance to environmental
conditions and, therefore, better capacity to deal with changing
environmental regimes.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species' abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of D. stokesi, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Although it is geographically located in the heavily disturbed
Caribbean, D. stokesi occurs in a wide range of habitats, including
mesophotic reefs, back- and fore-reef environments, rocky reefs,
lagoons, spur-and-groove formations, channels, and occasionally at the
base of reefs. This distribution in a wide range of environments
suggests the species will be better able to withstand changing
environmental conditions and moderates vulnerability to extinction over
the foreseeable future because the numerous types of reef environments
in which the species occurs are predicted, on local and regional
scales, to experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. It has been reported in water
depths ranging from 2 to 72 m. Deeper areas of D. stokesi's range will
usually have lower temperatures than surface waters, and acidification
is generally predicted to accelerate most in waters that are deeper and
cooler than those in which the species occurs. The species is highly
susceptible to disease, and outbreaks have resulted in high colony
mortality in some locations in its range. However, D. stokesi's
abundance has been estimated as at least tens of millions of colonies
in both the Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas and is higher than the
estimate from these two locations due to the occurrence of the species
in many other areas throughout its range. Additionally, sexual
recruitment, as evidenced by presence of juvenile colonies, is
comparatively higher than many other Caribbean coral species, enhancing
recovery potential from mortality events, thus moderating vulnerability
to extinction. The combination of wide habitat occupancy, abundance,
life history characteristics, and depth distribution, combined with
spatial variability in ocean warming and acidification across the
species' range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because the
increasingly severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future will
be non-uniform, and there will likely be a large number of colonies
that are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at
any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the determination tool formula
approach, D. stokesi was proposed for listing as threatened because of:
High vulnerability to disease (C); moderate vulnerability to ocean
warming (E) and acidification (E); moderate overall distribution (based
on narrow geographic distribution and wide depth distribution (E);
restriction to the
[[Page 53934]]
Caribbean (E); and inadequacy of regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for D.
stokesi from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral, including more appropriate consideration of the buffering
capacity of this species' spatial and demographic traits to lessen its
vulnerability to threats. Thus, based on the best available information
above on D. stokesi's spatial structure, demography, threat
susceptibilities, and management, none of the five ESA listing factors,
alone or in combination, are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range within the foreseeable future,
and thus it is not warranted for listing at this time because:
(1) Dichocoenia stokesi's distribution in depths of two to 72 m in
heterogeneous habitats, including mesophotic reefs, back- and fore-reef
environments, rocky reefs, lagoons, spur-and-groove formations,
channels, and occasionally at the base of reefs, throughout the
Caribbean basin reduces exposure to any given threat event or adverse
condition that does not occur uniformly throughout the species' range.
As explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly throughout
the species range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Dichocoenia stokesi is usually reported in the top ten most
abundant coral species in the Caribbean, and its total absolute
abundance is at least tens of millions of colonies based on estimates
from two locations. Absolute abundance is higher than estimates from
these locations since it occurs in many other locations throughout its
range. This provides buffering capacity in the form of absolute numbers
of colonies and variation in susceptibility between individual
colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section above, the
more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of colonies that
are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will not have the same response;
(3) Dichocoenia stokesi occurs in most reef habitats, including
mesophotic reefs, back- and fore-reef environments, rocky reefs,
lagoons, spur-and-groove formations, channels, and occasionally at the
base of reefs, indicating wide tolerance of environmental conditions
and better capacity to deal with changing environmental regimes; and
(4) Presence of juvenile D. stokesi colonies indicates that
recruitment is likely occurring, enhancing recovery potential from
mortality events.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. This species' extinction risk may increase in the
future if global threats continue and worsen in severity and the
species' exposure to the threats increases throughout its range. Should
the species experience reduced abundance or range constriction of a
certain magnitude, the ability of these characteristics to moderate
exposure to threats will diminish. However, D. stokesi is not likely to
become of such low abundance or so spatially fragmented as to be in
danger of extinction due to depensatory processes, the potential
effects of environmental stochasticity, or the potential for mortality
from catastrophic events within the foreseeable future throughout its
range. Therefore, D. stokesi is not warranted for listing at this time
under any of the listing factors, and we withdraw our proposal to list
the species as threatened.
Genus Orbicella (formerly Montastraea)
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the taxonomy
and morphology of the genus Montastraea. The genus Montastraea
contained four Caribbean species: M. cavernosa, M. annularis, M.
faveolata, and M. franksi. Prior to the 1990s, M. annularis, M.
faveolata, and M. franksi were considered one species, M. annularis.
However, M. annularis was broken into the three sibling species based
on behavioral, biochemical, and morphological criteria. These three
species are often grouped into the M. annularis species complex.
Subsequent reproductive and genetic studies have generally supported
the partitioning of the complex into three species. Montastraea
faveolata is the most genetically distinct while M. annularis and M.
franksi are less so.
The public comments provided the following new information on
Montastraea's taxonomy. In 2012, the genus Montastraea was split, and
M. annularis, M. faveolata, and M. franksi were assigned to the genus
Orbicella (Budd et al., 2012). From this point forward, we will refer
to the genus and species by their current taxonomic classification in
the genus Orbicella. We did not find any new or supplemental
information on Orbicella's taxonomy or morphology.
Some studies report on the species complex rather than individual
species since visual distinction can be difficult from video or
photographic surveys or in small colonies where morphology is more
difficult to discern. This section will report information on the
species complex and on O. annularis from studies pre-dating 1994 when
the species was split into three nominal species.
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provide the following information on Orbicella's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. The species complex has been
found at depths to 90 m. It is dominant on mesophotic reefs in Puerto
Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands at depths of 30 to 45 m, and it is
found at depths up to 70 to 90 m in these locations.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on Orbicella's distribution, habitat, or depth range. Supplemental
information we found on Orbicella's depth range includes the following.
All three species occupy a large depth range. Although there is depth
overlap in species occurrence, there is larger variance and overlap in
species abundances in shallow versus deep water (Pandolfi and Budd,
2008). Orbicella faveolata tends to have the shallowest depth
distribution, and O. franksi tends to have the deepest (Pandolfi and
Budd, 2008; Weil and Knowlton, 1994). At three study sites in Belize,
O. faveolata was the most abundant member of the species complex
between 2 and 5 m depth; O. annularis was the most abundant at depths
of 10 to 15 m, and O. franksi was the most abundant at depths of 20 to
30 m (Pandolfi and Budd, 2008). Orbicella annularis species complex can
be relatively abundant at mesophotic depths in the Bahamas, Belize,
Jamaica, Puerto Rico, U.S. Virgin Islands, and Curacao (Kahng et al.,
2010).
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on abundance and
population trends of the Orbicella annularis species complex. The
species complex has historically been a dominant component on Caribbean
coral reefs, characterizing the so-called ``buttress zone'' and
``annularis zone'' in the classical descriptions of Caribbean reefs.
The species complex is the major reef-builder in the greater Caribbean,
[[Page 53935]]
since the die-off of Acropora spp., due to their large size and high
abundance.
Numerous examples of population decline of the Orbicella annularis
species complex were described, and the results are summarized as
follows. Decline in the Florida Keys between the late 1970s and 2003
was approximately 80 to 95 percent, with further losses during the 2012
cold weather event. Decadal-scale declines across the remote islands of
Navassa, Mona, and Desecheo in the central Caribbean impacted 85
percent of colonies found there. In the U.S. Caribbean (U.S. Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico), an 80 to 90 percent decline has been reported
over the past two decades. Percent cover was reportedly stable in
Curacao in the mid-1970s, an 85 percent increase in partial mortality
occurred between 1998 and 2005. Between 1975 and 1998 at Glovers Reef
in Belize, a 38 to 75 percent decline in relative cover occurred with a
further 40 percent decline since. Colonies in Colombia were stable
between 1998 and 2003 although demographic changes imply some degree of
decline. Surveys of population structure across five countries found a
significant increase in small ramets (tissue isolates that are
genetically identical but physiologically separate from the parent
colony) less than 500 cm\2\ (211 percent for O. annularis, 168 percent
for O. faveolata, 137 percent for O. franksi), while the proportion of
large (1,500- 30,000 cm\2\), completely live colonies declined by 51 to
57 percent.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on Orbicella's abundance and population trends. Supplemental
information we found on Orbicella's abundance and population trends is
provided as follows. In a survey of 185 sites in five countries
(Bahamas, Bonaire, Cayman Islands, Puerto Rico, and St. Kitts and
Nevis) between 2010 and 2011, Orbicella annularis species complex
exhibited mean tissue mortality of 29 to 66 percent, which was higher
than other species exhibiting mean 8 to 17 percent tissue mortality.
Total mortality of O. annularis species complex were observed (five to
seven percent of the total); however mortality of large colonies mostly
resulted in multiple smaller ramets Mortality was attributed primarily
to outbreaks of white plague and yellow band disease, which emerged as
corals began recovering from mass bleaching events. This was followed
by increased predation and removal of live tissue by damselfish to
cultivate algal lawns (Bruckner, 2012a).
In 1998 O. annularis species complex covered more of the benthos
than any other coral taxon at nine monitored sites off Mona and
Desecheo Islands, Puerto Rico: 47 percent on reefs off Desecheo Island
and 32 percent off Mona Island. In 2008 live cover of O. annularis
species complex ranged from 0 to 14 percent with 95 percent decline off
Desecheo Island and 78 percent decline off Mona Island. This was
accompanied with large changes in the size frequency distribution and
extent of partial mortality, with size structure remaining constant.
The amount of living tissue declined by 55 percent due to partial
mortality affecting medium and large colonies, with an increase in the
number of colonies with small (less than 10 cm diameter) tissue
remnants. Sponges and macroalgae colonized newly exposed area, and
sponges appeared to be preventing re-sheeting of tissue remnants. No
Orbicella spp. recruits were observed during the ten year study
(Bruckner and Hill, 2009).
Surveys at three reefs in western Curacao in 1998 found 46 percent
of all corals were O. annularis species complex. In 2005, O. annularis
species complex remained the dominant coral species but declined in
abundance to 38 percent of the overall coral population (decreases in
abundance occurred in O. faveolata and O. annularis, but not O.
franksi). In 1998 mean diameter of O. annularis species complex
colonies were 62 cm and less than 10 percent of all O. annularis
species complex colonies were less than 30 cm in diameter. Partial
mortality of O. annularis species complex increased 85 percent between
1997 and 2005 with losses of O. annularis and O. faveolata (partial
mortality 42 to 48 percent and total mortality 6 percent for the two
species combined) larger than O. franksi. The most significant losses
were due to yellow band disease and white plague. No recruits of O.
annularis species complex were observed between 1997 and 2005 in
transects or on skeletons of tagged colonies exposed through mortality
from disease (Bruckner and Bruckner, 2006a).
McClanahan and Muthiga (1998) surveyed 20 patch reefs in Glovers
Reef atoll off Belize between 1996 and 1997 and compared their results
to surveys of 16 patch reefs in the same general area conducted between
1970 and 1971. They found that O. annularis species complex experienced
an overall 62 percent decrease in cover. Average cover of O. annularis
species complex was seven percent in 1996 and 1997.
The O. annularis species complex often makes up the largest
proportion of coral cover on Caribbean reefs. In surveys conducted on
four reefs in Biscayne National Park, Florida in 1981, cover of O.
annularis species complex ranged between approximately 25 and 50
percent on three of the reefs, and no O. annularis species complex
colonies were observed in transects on the fourth reef (Burns, 1985).
In stratified random surveys in 2007-2008, O. annularis species complex
was the dominant coral by percent cover in the Red Hind Marine
Conservation District off St. Thomas, U.S. Virgin Islands, at depths of
34 to 47 m. Orbicella annularis species complex averaged 15 percent
cover (range zero to 48 percent) and made up 92 percent of the 25
percent average coral cover (Nemeth et al., 2008).
In a survey of 185 sites in five countries (Bahamas, Bonaire,
Cayman Islands, Puerto Rico, and St. Kitts and Nevis) in 2010 to 2011,
density of O. annularis species complex ranged from 0.3 to 2.7 colonies
per m\2\ and comprised between 9 and 30 percent of all corals greater
than 4 cm diameter. The mean diameter ranged from 44 to 89 cm, and the
size structure (planar surface area) had a bell shaped distribution,
with only a few colonies less than 500 cm\2\ or greater than 10,000
cm\2\ (Bruckner, 2012a).
In surveys of juvenile corals (less than 4 cm diameter) on nine
reefs in the Florida Keys between 1993 and 1994, density of O.
annularis species complex ranged between 0.02 and 0.04 juvenile corals
per m\2\ on six of the nine reefs. Density of O. annularis species
complex juveniles was correlated with non-juvenile O. annularis species
complex density and with depth. The majority of non-juveniles were
smaller than the reproductive size of 100 cm\2\ (Chiappone and
Sullivan, 1996).
Surveys in Bonaire in 2008 showed that the O. annularis species
complex dominated coral cover in depths less than 20 m and cover was
similar to that reported in 1982. However, all sites surveyed in 2008
showed signs of disease and partial mortality in a large number of the
massive colonies, and many were reduced to a patchwork of live tissue
and dead areas colonized by algae (Stokes et al., 2010).
At 25 sites surveyed in Bonaire in 2011, O. annularis species
complex was the dominant coral taxa occupying approximately 20 to 25
percent of the benthos and making up 46 percent of the total live coral
cover. It was dominant in terms of abundance, making up approximately
27 percent of all corals. Orbicella annularis was significantly more
abundant than O. franksi and O. faveolata on the northern reefs but not
on southern reefs. Most colonies were between 30 and 80 cm diameter
with size structure of O. annularis species complex in a bell
[[Page 53936]]
shaped distribution around this range; there were few colonies less
than 20 cm and few very large colonies greater than 200 cm, with a
small peak at the 150 to 199 cm range. There was a notable absence of
colonies less than 10 cm diameter (as measured by the skeleton, not
live tissue) and an absence of recruits. A total of 73 out of 1602
colonies (4.5 percent) had completely died. Surviving colonies (n=1529)
had a mean of 28 percent partial mortality. On average, each colony was
divided into 6.6 tissue remnants. Several sites contained a high
abundance of large, unblemished O. annularis species complex colonies
(Bruckner, 2012c).
Between 1999 and 2009, overall cover of O. annularis species
complex in the Florida Keys declined, but differed by habitat type
(Ruzicka et al., 2013). Percent cover declined on the deep and shallow
fore-reefs but remained stable on patch reefs (Ruzicka et al., 2013).
The 2010 cold-water event reduced cover of O. annularis species complex
from 4.4 percent to 0.6 percent on four patch reefs in the upper and
middle Florida Keys. Greater than 50 percent of O. annularis species
complex colonies across all size classes suffered lethal or severe
mortality, and 93 percent of all O. annularis species complex colonies
surveyed suffered complete or partial mortality. The species complex
suffered the highest mortality of all coral species affected (Colella
et al., 2012). A comparison of 1995 and 2005 surveys of O. annularis
species complex at 13 patch reefs in the Florida Keys reported ten
sites had between 5 and 40 percent more dead areas (Gischler, 2007).
Density of juvenile O. annularis species complex increased from
0.07 juveniles per m\2\ prior to 2008, to 0.15 juveniles per m\2\ and
continued at 0.12 juveniles per m\2\ in 2009 at 4 km area on the south
side of St. John, U.S. Virgin Islands that has been monitored for 16
years. These densities were driven by seven to nine colonies per year,
and the increased density did not extend outside the initial survey
area when expanded to other areas around St. John. While not possible
to distinguish the species in the field, the authors conclude juveniles
were most likely O. annularis due to the abundance of O. annularis on
adjacent reefs and the rarity of the presence of the other two species
in water less than 9 m (Edmunds et al., 2011).
At Yawzi Point, St. John, U.S. Virgin Islands, the percentage of
total coral cover declined by more than 50 percent between 1987 to
1998, from 45 percent to 20 percent. In 1988, 94 percent of the coral
cover at Yawzi was O. annularis species complex mostly O. annularis (97
percent), with a few colonies of O. faveolata (6 percent). Despite a
reduction in total cover, O. annularis species complex remained
spatially dominant in 1998 at 96 percent of the coral cover (Edmunds,
2002). Coral cover at this site again declined an additional 65 percent
between 1999 and 2011 to seven percent cover, with O. annularis species
complex remaining dominant at 77 percent of the coral cover (Edmunds,
2013).
At Tektite Reef, St. John, U.S. Virgin Islands, total coral cover
increased from 32 percent in 1987 to 43 percent in 1998 but then
decreased to 29 percent in 2011 (Edmunds, 2002; Edmunds, 2013). In
1988, 79 percent of the species complex was O. annularis, with lesser
amounts of O. faveolata (one percent) and O. franksi (21 percent)
(Edmunds, 2002). Greater than 72 percent of coral was O. annularis
species complex in all survey years (Edmunds, 2013).
Surveys of the Flower Garden Banks between 1974 and 1980 found
cover of O. annularis species complex between approximately 23 and 40
percent in areas less than 36 m depth (Bright et al., 1984). Orbicella
annularis species complex was the dominant coral between 2002 and 2003
at 32 percent cover (Aronson et al., 2005). In random surveys between
2002 and 2006, O. annularis species complex (predominantly O. franksi)
was the dominant coral in the Flower Garden Banks comprising between 27
and 40 percent benthic cover (Hickerson et al., 2008). In permanent
photo quadrats (8 m\2\ total), cover of O. annularis species complex
(as measured by planar surface area of individual colonies) fluctuated
between approximately 20 and 45 percent cover in the East Flower
Gardens between 1992 and 2006 with periods of sharp increase and
decrease in cover (Hickerson et al., 2008). Cover in west Flower
Gardens was between 22 and 40 percent over the same time period and had
less annual variability and a generally increasing or stable trend
through time (Hickerson et al., 2008).
Surveys of five sites in the Mexican Yucatan in 1985 and 2005
revealed a decrease in relative cover of O. annularis species complex.
At four out of the five sites, cover of O. annularis species complex
decreased from between approximately 50 and 60 percent in 1985 to
between approximately 10 and 25 percent in 2005. The fifth site had a
less dramatic decrease in relative cover from approximately 35 percent
to 30 percent cover during this 20-year interval. Disease appeared to
be the main cause of decline, but hurricanes may have also played a
role (Harvell et al., 2007).
Size transition matrices were derived from Orbicella growth,
mortality, and recruitment rates between 1998 and 2003 from four sites
in the lower Florida Keys. Forecasting 15 years into the future
predicted a steady decline in all size classes except the smallest
(less than 5 cm) due to insufficient recruitment to offset mortality
and low growth rates of the smaller size classes. Mortality rates were
assumed at approximately 40 percent for the smallest size class
declining to about 5 percent for the largest (Smith and Aronson, 2006).
All information on Orbicella's abundance and population trends can
be summarized as follows. The O. annularis species complex historically
dominated fore-reef sites throughout the Caribbean both in abundance
and cover and formed dense assemblages of large, hundreds-of-years old
colonies and few small colonies (Bruckner, 2012a). However, recent
declines in O. annularis species complex cover have been reported.
Major declines range from approximately 50 to 95 percent in locations
including Puerto Rico, Belize, the Florida Keys, Mexico, and the U.S.
Virgin Islands, and lower levels of decline (5 to 33 percent) have been
reported at individual sites within some of these same locations. There
have also been reports of more stable percent cover trends (e.g.,
Bonaire) and periods of increase (e.g., Flower Garden Banks). Observed
declines in total coral cover in the Caribbean, since the major decline
of Acropora spp. in the 1980s, have often been a result of the decline
of the O. annularis species complex since the taxa can make up a large
proportion of the total coral cover. Despite decreases, the O.
annularis species complex continues to be reported as the dominant
coral taxa, albeit at times its relative dominance has decreased to a
lower percentage of the total coral cover (e.g., Curacao, U.S. Virgin
Islands).
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on Orbicella
life history. Orbicella spp. have growth rates of approximately 1 cm
per year, ranging from 0.06 to 1.2 cm per year. They grow more slowly
in deeper water and in less clear water. Large colonies have lower
total mortality rates than juvenile and small colonies.
All three species of the O. annularis complex are hermaphroditic
broadcast spawners, with spawning concentrated on six to eight nights
following the full moon in late August, September, or early October.
Orbicella faveolata is
[[Page 53937]]
largely reproductively incompatible with O. franksi and O. annularis,
and it spawns about one to two hours earlier. Fertilization success
measured in the field was generally below 15 percent for all three
species being closely linked to the number of colonies concurrently
spawning. In Puerto Rico, minimum size at reproduction for the O.
annularis species complex was 83 cm\2\.
Successful recruitment by the O. annularis species complex species
has seemingly always been rare. Only a single recruit of Orbicella was
observed over 18 years of intensive observation of 12 m\2\ of reef in
Discovery Bay, Jamaica. Many other studies throughout the Caribbean
also report negligible to absent recruitment of the species complex.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the life history of Orbicella. Supplemental information we found on
the life history of Orbicella includes the following. Orbicella franksi
spawns an average of 110 minutes before O. annularis, and 120 minutes
before O. faveolata (Fogarty et al., 2012a). Gametes can disperse over
500 m in 100 minutes, and O. franksi sperm viability decreases after
two hours (Levitan et al., 2004). Orbicella franksi and O. annularis
gametes are compatible, though other mechanisms associated with the
temporal isolation of spawning, including gamete aging, dilution, and
dispersal, make hybridization less likely (Knowlton et al., 1997;
Levitan et al., 2004). All three species are largely self-incompatible
(Knowlton et al., 1997; Szmant et al., 1997). Size at sexual maturity
is generally about 200 cm\2\ (Szmant-Froelich, 1985). Colonies that
were fragmented experimentally to sizes smaller than 100 cm\2\ were
generally found to have lower fecundity indicating that frequent
fragmentation and partial mortality can affect reproductive capacity
(Szmant-Froelich 1985).
Smith and Aronson (2006) reported 18 Orbicella recruits between
1998 and 2003 in 384 permanent monitoring quadrats (237 m\2\) in the
lower Florida Keys. The ability of the species complex to dominate with
such low recruitment rates has been described as a storage effect
whereby large, old colonies are able to persist and maintain the
population until favorable conditions for recruitment occur (Edmunds
and Elahi, 2007). However, potential problems may exist for species
employing storage effects if favorable conditions for recruitment occur
so infrequently that they fall outside the life span of the cohort
(Foster et al., 2013).
All sources of information are used to summarize Orbicella's life
history as follows. Orbicella species have slow growth rates, late
reproductive maturity, and low recruitment rates. Colonies can grow
very large and live for centuries. Large colonies have lower total
mortality than small colonies, and partial mortality of large colonies
can result in the production of ramets. The historical absence of small
colonies and few observed recruits, even though large numbers of
gametes are produced on an annual basis, suggests that recruitment
events are rare and were less important for the survival of the O.
annularis species complex in the past (Bruckner, 2012a). Large colonies
in the species complex maintain the population until conditions
favorable for recruitment occur; however, poor conditions can influence
recruitment periodicity. While the life history strategy of the O.
annularis species complex has allowed the taxa to remain abundant, we
conclude that the buffering capacity of this life history strategy has
been reduced by recent population declines and partial mortality,
particularly in large colonies.
The SRR, SIR, and public comments did not provide other biological
information on the Orbicella annularis species complex. Supplemental
biological information we found on Orbicella is provided as follows.
The Orbicella annularis species complex is sensitive to cold water. In
laboratory experiments, O. annularis species complex released
zooxanthellae when shocked with cold water between 12 and 18 degrees C,
and the response decreased with increasing temperature (Muscatine et
al., 1991).
Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on Orbicella's
susceptibility to ocean warming. The Orbicella annularis species
complex is moderately to highly susceptible to bleaching. The
composition of zooxanthellae in at least some areas changes in response
to bleaching. Bleaching has been shown to prevent reproduction in the
following season after recovering normal pigmentation. Particularly
well documented mortality following severe mass bleaching in 2005
highlights the immense impact thermal stress events and their aftermath
can have on the Orbicella annularis species complex. A significant
correlation was found between bleaching in 2005 and the prevalence of
yellow band disease and white plague affecting the Orbicella species
complex. Additionally, in laboratory experiments, mortality due to
yellow band disease increased with increasing temperatures.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of Orbicella to ocean warming. Supplemental
information we found on Orbicella's susceptibility to ocean warming
confirms and expands the information in the SRR and SIR. The O.
annularis species complex often has one of the highest bleaching levels
among reported species. Extended recovery times have been reported, and
disease outbreaks have often followed bleaching events. On Carysfort
Reef in the Florida Keys, greater than 90 percent of O. annularis
species complex colonies were bleached in March 1988 after the 1987
Caribbean bleaching event; however, no colony mortality was observed
between 1986 and 1988 (Fitt et al., 1993). Colonies of the O. annularis
species complex in the Florida Keys that remained bleached seven months
following the 1987 bleaching event experienced reproductive failure
during the reproductive season following the bleaching event. Colonies
that recovered after bleaching events were able to follow a normal
reproductive cycle, but bleached colonies of O. annularis species
complex were unable to complete gametogenesis (Szmant and Gassman,
1990). Compared to recovered colonies, bleached colonies had lower
tissue biomass, lower carbon-to-nitrogen ratios, and reduced growth,
indicating the energy reserves needed for successful reproduction were
not available (Szmant and Gassman, 1990).
During the 1987 bleaching event, 90 percent of all O. annularis
species complex colonies surveyed at 30 m in the Cayman Islands were
bleached. Bleaching was less severe at 46 m with 14 percent of O.
annularis species complex colonies bleached. Five months after
bleaching was first observed in the Cayman Islands, 54 percent of
bleached O. annularis species complex colonies had not recovered.
Orbicella annularis species complex had the slowest recovery of the 28
coral species observed to bleach (Ghiold and Smith, 1990).
In a 1995 bleaching event in Belize, O. annularis species complex
was the most affected coral taxon with 76 percent of the 2,126 surveyed
colonies affected. Seven percent of the 904 colonies surveyed six
months after the bleaching event remained bleached. Twenty-six percent
of tagged O. annularis species complex colonies (n=19) exhibited
partial mortality due to bleaching or post-bleaching infection by black
band disease (McField, 1999).
In 20 surveys across 302 sites throughout the wider Caribbean, O.
[[Page 53938]]
annularis species complex and Agaricia tenuifolia were the taxa most
impacted by the 1998 bleaching event (Ginsburg and Lang, 2003; Kramer,
2003). Subsequent disease outbreaks were also recorded in O. annularis
and O. faveolata off Cura[ccedil]ao, the Cayman Islands, Costa Rica,
and some of the Virgin Islands after the bleaching event. Bleaching and
disease related mortality heavily impacted the O. annularis species
complex (Ginsburg and Lang, 2003).
During the 2005 bleaching event, approximately 70 percent of O.
annularis species complex colonies bleached both in sites less than 10
m in depth and in sites greater than 15 m in depth on the west and
southwest coasts of Barbados (Oxenford et al., 2008). Bleaching was
observed in 2005 at 86 of 94 sites (91 percent) surveyed in Buck Island
Reef, U.S. Virgin Islands. Ninety-four percent of the cover of O.
annularis species complex bleached (Clark et al., 2009).
The 2005 bleaching event resulted in a 51 percent decrease in the
cover of O. annularis species complex at five sites in the U.S. Virgin
Islands between 2005 and 2007. Bleaching occurred in 16 of the 21
species of coral at the five sites with maximum tissue area bleached
between 98 to 99.5 percent for the O. annularis species complex.
Mortality after the bleaching event occurred primarily from a
subsequent regional outbreak of coral disease, predominantly white
plague, not the bleaching itself. The highest rate of mortality of the
19 species affected by the white plague was the Orbicella annularis
species complex with 94.5 percent of disease lesions occurring on
Orbicella annularis species complex. Total coral cover declined from 21
percent to 10 percent, and species-specific changes in coral cover
affected the relative abundance of coral species on the reef. Overall
relative abundance of O. annularis species complex declined from an
initial average of 79 to 59 percent of live coral cover (Miller et al.,
2009).
Stratified random surveys on back-reefs and fore-reefs between one
and 30 m depth off Puerto Rico (Mona and Desecho Islands, La Parguera,
Mayaguez, Boqueron, and Rincon) in 2005 and 2006 revealed bleaching was
most severe in O. annularis species complex with 94 percent of colonies
bleached. After bleaching, a disease outbreak occurred, and O.
annularis species complex suffered extensive partial and total
mortality. Coral cover declined between 40 and 60 percent and was
primarily driven by mortality of O. annularis species complex.
Additionally, the severe tissue loss and prolonged bleaching stress
resulted in reproductive collapse of O. annularis species complex
during the 2006 mass spawning cycle (Waddell and Clarke, 2008).
The 2005 bleaching affected greater than 95 percent of O. annularis
species complex in Mona and Desecheo Islands, Puerto Rico and was
followed by a disease outbreak that both caused extensive mortality
(Bruckner and Hill, 2009). A study of 36 sites across six countries
(Grenada, Cura[ccedil]ao, Panam[aacute], Puerto Rico, Cayman Islands,
and Bermuda) and three depth habitats (less than 4 m, 5 to 12 m, and
greater than 15 m) found a significant correlation between the 2005
bleaching and prevalence of yellow band disease and white plague in O.
annularis species complex (Croquer and Weil, 2009). Orbicella annularis
species complex bleached at all depths surveyed in Grenada (23 to 52
percent of colonies), Puerto Rico (21 to 40 percent), and Cayman
Islands (16 to 44 percent). The species complex did not experience
bleaching in Curacao or Bermuda, both locations reported very low
bleaching across all genera examined (Croquer and Weil, 2009).
Bleaching of O. annularis species complex varied by depth in Panama
with bleaching occurring in 11 percent of colonies in depths less than
4 m and in15 percent of colonies in depths between 5 and 12 m, but no
bleaching occurred in deep depths greater than 15 m (Croquer and Weil,
2009). Smith et al. (2013b) described species responses to the 2005 and
2010 bleaching events in St. Thomas, St. Croix, and St. John, U.S.
Virgin Islands. The response of the O. annularis species complex
(mostly O. faveolata and O. franksi with the likelihood of small
numbers of O. annularis) to the 2005 bleaching event was high to
moderate initial response of bleaching prevalence, high disease
prevalence, high mortality, a large decline in coral cover, and
increasing or stable colony abundance. Average bleaching was 66
percent, and paling was 27 percent in 2005. Disease prevalence in O.
annularis complex was 17 percent after the 2005 bleaching event. In the
milder 2010 bleaching event, 35 percent of O. annularis species complex
colonies bleached, and 47 percent of O. annularis species complex
colonies paled. Less than one percent of O. annularis species complex
colonies suffered total mortality, but percent cover decreased from
seven percent cover of O. annularis species complex in 2005 before
bleaching to less than three percent in 2007. By 2010, there was a
slight increase in percent cover to about four percent. Orbicella
annularis species complex lost a large proportion of colonies in the
largest size class and showed a significant increase in colony
abundance, likely due to the increase in abundance of colonies in
smaller size classes resulting from partial mortality of larger
colonies.
Van Woesik et al. (2012) developed a coral resiliency index based
on biological traits and processes to evaluate extinction risk due to
bleaching. Evaluations were performed at the genus level, but genera
were separated between the Caribbean and Indo-Pacific. They rated the
resilience score for the O. annularis species complex as four out of a
range of -6 to 7 observed in other coral genera. Less than or equal to
-3 was considered highly vulnerable to extinction, and greater than or
equal to 4 was considered highly tolerant. Thus, O. annularis species
complex was rated as highly tolerant. However, Smith et al. (2013b)
concluded that large faviids, such as the O. annularis species complex,
seem very susceptible to long-term population declines because of their
poor response to stress response when bleaching, disease, and mortality
were considered. The O. annularis species complex was found to be
likely less equipped to recovery after bleaching because they tend to
grow slowly, have lower fecundity, and are more susceptible to
mortality when small (Smith et al., 2013b). While the van Woesik et al.
(2012) study was in the SIR, the findings specific to Orbicella were
not included. The public comments indicated the results of this study
should be considered in the listing status of the three species in the
Orbicella species complex.
All sources of information are used to describe Orbicella's
susceptibility to ocean warming as follows. The O. annularis species
complex is highly susceptible to ocean warming. Bleaching often occurs
in 76 to 94 percent of O. annularis species complex colonies during
bleaching events, and Orbicella spp. are one of the taxa most affected
by high temperatures. Colonies in deeper water have been reported to
bleach less severely. Recovery from bleaching can take longer for the
species complex than for other coral species, and prolonged stress from
bleaching has been cited as a possible reason for reproductive failure
following bleaching events. Mortality from temperature anomalies is
often due to subsequent disease outbreaks. Thus, we conclude that the
O. annularis species complex is highly susceptible to ocean warming.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on Orbicella's
[[Page 53939]]
susceptibility to acidification. The only study conducted regarding the
impact of acidification on this genus is a field study that did not
find any change in O. faveolata calcification in field-sampled colonies
from the Florida Keys up through 1996. Preliminary experiments testing
effects of acidification on fertilization and settlement success of O.
annularis species complex show results that are consistent with the
significant impairments demonstrated for A. palmata.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of the Orbicella species complex to
acidification. Supplemental information we found on the susceptibility
of the Orbicella species complex to acidification includes the
following. In laboratory experiments, reproduction of O. faveolata was
negatively impacted by increasing carbon dioxide, and impairment of
fertilization was exacerbated at lower sperm concentrations (Albright,
2011b). Fertilization success was reduced by 25 percent at 529 [mu]atm
(43 percent fertilization) and 40 percent at 712 [mu]atm (34 percent
fertilization) compared to controls at 435 [mu]atm (57 percent
fertilization; Albright, 2011a). Additionally, growth rate of O.
faveolata was reduced under lower pH conditions (7.6) compared to
higher pH conditions (8.1) after 120 days of exposure (Hall et al.,
2012).
All sources of information are used to describe Orbicella's
susceptibility to acidification as follows. Laboratory studies indicate
that Orbicella is susceptible to ocean acidification both through
reduced fertilization of gametes and reduced growth of colonies. Thus,
we conclude that the Orbicella species complex is highly susceptible to
ocean acidification.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on Orbicella's
susceptibility to disease. White plague and yellow band (also called
yellow blotch) disease have caused profound population decline of the
Orbicella annularis species complex both with and without prior
bleaching.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of Orbicella spp. to disease. Supplemental
information we found on Orbicella's susceptibility to disease confirms
and expands the information in the SRR and SIR. Orbicella spp. are
susceptible to black band disease and dark spot syndrome (Alcolado et
al., 2010). Additionally, an unknown disease was observed in the Red
Hind Marine Conservation District in the U.S. Virgin Islands and
affected 39 percent of O. annularis species complex colonies (Smith et
al., 2010). White plague is one of the most aggressive coral diseases
in the Caribbean with progression rates of 1 to 10 cm per day (Bruckner
and Hill, 2009). Tissue loss from yellow band disease is slow,
averaging 0.5 to 1 cm per month, though tissue loss can be significant
over the long term since colonies can remain infected for years and can
have multiple lesions per colony (Bruckner and Bruckner, 2006b).
In the Florida Keys, the prevalence of white plague increased
between 1996 and 2002. No O. annularis species complex colonies with
white plague were reported within monitoring stations in 1996, but
infected colonies appeared in 32 stations in 2002 (Waddell, 2005).
Orbicella annularis species complex had the highest prevalence (up to
12 percent) of the 21 species affected by white plague in Puerto Rico
between 1998 and 2008 (Bruckner and Hill, 2009). In Mexico, O.
annularis species complex had the highest disease prevalence in surveys
during 2004 (27 percent, Ward et al., 2006). Surveys in four locations
(Netherlands Antilles, Grenada, Turks and Caicos, and U.S. Virgin
Islands) between 1997 and 1998 revealed that prevalence of yellow band
in O. annularis species complex ranged from 18 to 91 percent.
Tagged colonies with yellow band disease in Puerto Rico lost an
average of 32 percent of their tissue over four years, and the percent
of partial mortality appeared to increase with colony size (Bruckner
and Bruckner, 2006b). Eight percent of infected colonies died
completely (most were 50 cm or less in size), and larger colonies lost
between 60 and 85 percent of their tissue (Bruckner and Bruckner,
2006b). Eighty-five percent of colonies with yellow band disease tagged
in 1999 still had active signs of the disease in 2003 (Bruckner and
Bruckner, 2006b). In 1999, yellow band disease affected up to 50
percent of all O. annularis species complex colonies at permanent sites
in Puerto Rico, including many of the largest (2 to 3 m diameter and
height) and presumably oldest colonies (Waddell and Clarke, 2008).
In Curacao, yellow band disease affected from three to 49 percent
of all O. annularis species complex colonies within transects conducted
on western reefs between 1997 and 2005. The highest prevalence of
yellow band disease occurred in 1997 and 1998. Thirty-one to 49 percent
of O. annularis species complex colonies were affected in eastern
Curacao, and 24 percent were affected in western Curacao. The numbers
of new infections declined from 2000 to 2005. Yellow band disease
affected larger corals more frequently than small corals. Over 21
percent of the colonies tagged with yellow band disease between 1997
and 1999 were still infected in 2005. Of the remainder, 44 percent
died, 2 percent were affected by other diseases, and 32 percent no
longer had signs of yellow band disease but had large amounts (most
greater than 90 percent) of partial mortality (Bruckner and Bruckner,
2006a).
Disease prevalence in O. annularis species complex (O. annularis
and O. faveolata) at three reefs off Mexico increased from between zero
and four percent in 1996 and 1998 to between 26 and 37 percent in 2001.
The increase was due to the proliferation of yellow band disease,
though black band disease and white plague were also present. Partial
mortality also increased over this same period from 20 to 35 percent of
O. annularis species complex colonies at one site and from 35 to 52
percent at another (Jordan-Dahlgren et al., 2005).
At 253 sites surveyed in 2009 in St. Croix and St. John, U.S.
Virgin Islands and La Parguera, Puerto Rico, the average number of
healthy O. annularis species complex colonies was 182 ( 33
SE) per 100 m\2\. Yellow band was present on an average of about one
percent of colonies (Muller and van Woesik, 2012).
All sources of information are used to describe Orbicella's
susceptibility to disease as follows. Disease can affect a large
proportion of the Orbicella spp. population (3 to 91 percent),
particularly during outbreaks following bleaching events, and can cause
extensive mortality. Partial mortality can be high (32 to greater than
90 percent) and can result in multiple ramets. White plague and yellow
band disease have had the greatest effect and can disproportionately
affect larger colonies in the species complex. Total colony mortality
is less likely for larger colonies than for smaller colonies, and
partial mortality can lead to changes in colony size distribution as
observed in Puerto Rico, U.S. Virgin Islands, and a study in Bahamas,
Bonaire, Cayman Islands, and St. Kitts and Nevis. Thus, we conclude
that the O. annularis species complex is highly susceptible to disease.
The SIR and SRR did not provide any information on the trophic
effects of fishing on Orbicella. The public comments did not provide
new or supplemental information, and we did not find new or
supplemental information on the trophic effects of fishing on
Orbicella. However, as described above in Caribbean Genera and
Species--Introduction, due to the
[[Page 53940]]
level of reef fishing conducted in the Caribbean, coupled with Diadema
die-off and lack of significant recovery, competition with algae can
adversely affect coral recruitment. This effect coupled with
Orbicella's low recruitment rate indicates it likely has some
susceptibility to the trophic effects of fishing. The available
information does not support a more precise description of its
susceptibility.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
susceptibility of Orbicella to sedimentation. Orbicella has shown a
decline in growth at sediment impacted sites in Puerto Rico and during
periods of construction in Aruba. Along a gradient of continental
influence in the southern Gulf of Mexico, density and calcification
rate of O. annularis decreased with increasing turbidity and
sedimentation while extension rate increased with increasing turbidity
and sedimentation.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of Orbicella to sedimentation. Supplemental
information we found on the susceptibility of the Orbicella annularis
species complex confirms the information in the SRR and SIR. The
Orbicella annularis species complex appears to be moderately capable of
removing sediment from the colony surface. Colonies receiving single
applications of 200 or 400 mg sediment per cm\2\ showed no evidence of
damage while 800 mg per cm\2\ caused mortality (Rogers, 1983).
Sedimentation has been found to negatively affect O. annularis species
complex primary production, growth rates, and abundance (Pastorok and
Bilyard, 1985). An observed difference in average colony size at two
sites in Puerto Rico led Loya (1976) to conclude turbidity negatively
affects growth of O. annularis species complex since colony size was
half as large at the sediment-impacted site (23 cm versus 9 cm).
All sources of information are used to describe Orbicella's
susceptibility to sedimentation as follows. Although the species
complex is moderately capable of removing sediment from the colony
surface, sedimentation negatively affects primary production, growth
rates, calcification, colony size, and abundance. Thus, we conclude
that the O. annularis species complex is highly susceptible to
sedimentation.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
susceptibility of Orbicella to nutrient enrichment. Orbicella had an
increasing growth rate with improving environmental conditions in
Barbados. Additionally, decreasing growth rate of Orbicella over a 30-
year period was attributed to deterioration of water quality.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of Orbicella to nutrient enrichment. Supplemental
information we found on the susceptibility of the Orbicella species
complex confirms and expands the information in the SRR and SIR. Two
growth forms of O. annularis species complex, columnar (likely O.
faveolata) and lobate (likely O. annularis) were found to have
increasing average growth rates with improving environmental conditions
away from a eutrophication gradient in Barbados (Tomascik, 1990).
Although nutrient concentration was negatively correlated with growth,
suspended particulate matter resulting from eutrophication, rather than
the nutrients themselves, was postulated to be the cause of observed
decreased growth rates (Tomascik and Sander, 1985). A general pattern
of decreasing growth rates of the columnar growth form between 1950 and
1983 may be directly related to the deterioration of water quality
along the west coast of the island (Tomascik, 1990). Additionally,
Orbicella spp. did not recruit to settlement plates on the most
eutrophic reef, and recruitment of Orbicella spp. increased at sites
with decreasing eutrophication along the eutrophication gradient
(Tomascik, 1991). Field experiments indicate that nutrient enrichment
significantly increases yellow band disease severity in O. annularis
and O. franksi through increased tissue loss (Bruno et al., 2003).
All sources of information are used to describe Orbicella's
susceptibility to nutrient enrichment as follows. The Orbicella
annularis species complex is susceptible to nutrient enrichment through
reduced growth rates, lowered recruitment, and increased disease
severity. Thus, we conclude that the O. annularis species complex is
highly susceptible to nutrient enrichment.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
susceptibility of Orbicella to predation. Predators of the O. annularis
species complex include the corallivorous snail Coralliophila
abbreviata and some species of parrotfish including Sparisoma viride
and S. aurofrenatum. Additionally, damselfish remove live coral tissue
to build algal gardens. The large decline of Acropora spp. in the
Caribbean, likely resulted in greater impacts by damselfishes on other
high-dimension corals, including the O. annularis species complex.
Public comments did not provide new or supplemental information on
the susceptibility of Orbicella to predation. Supplemental information
we found on the susceptibility of the Orbicella species complex
includes the following. Surveys of six sites in Navassa found between
zero and 33 percent of O. annularis species complex colonies (average
17 percent across all sites) were affected by C. abbreviata (Miller et
al., 2005). The O. annularis species complex was the preferred target
of parrotfish across all reef habitats in a study on the Belize barrier
reef. Incidence of parrotfish grazing was highest on O. annularis (over
55 percent of colonies), followed by O. franksi and O. faveolata,
respectively (Rotjan, 2007). In most habitats, a few colonies of
Orbicella spp. were more heavily grazed by parrotfishes, while the
majority showed little or no parrotfish grazing (Rotjan and Lewis,
2006).
All sources of information are used to describe Orbicella's
susceptibility to predation as follows. The O. annularis species
complex is susceptible to several predators. Current effects of
predation appear to be low. Thus, we conclude the O. annularis species
complex has low susceptibility to predation.
The SRR and SIR did not provide information on the effects of sea
level rise on Orbicella. The SRR described sea level rise as an overall
low to medium threat for all coral species. The public comments did not
provide new or supplemental information on Orbicella's susceptibility
to sea level rise, and we did not find any new or supplemental
information. Thus, we conclude that Orbicella has some susceptibility
to sea level rise, but the available information does not support a
more precise description of susceptibility to this threat.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
susceptibility of the Orbicella species complex to collection and
trade. The Orbicella complex species have a very low occurrence in the
CITES trade databases. Hence, collection and trade is not considered a
significant threat to the Orbicella annularis complex species. The
public comments did not provide new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of the Orbicella species complex to trade. Supplemental
information we found on the susceptibility of species in the Orbicella
complex to collection and trade is described in each of the individual
species sections.
[[Page 53941]]
Genus Conclusion
The O. annularis species complex is distributed throughout the
Caribbean and occupies a variety of habitats across a large depth
range, including mesophotic depths to 90 m. Over the last twenty years,
major declines of approximately 50 to 95 percent have occurred. In
addition, changes in size frequency distribution have sometimes
accompanied decreases in cover, resulting in fewer large colonies that
impact the buffering capacity of the species complex's life history
strategy. Despite decline, the O. annularis species complex continues
to be reported as the dominant coral taxon, sometimes at a lower
percentage of the total coral cover.
The species complex has highly susceptibility to ocean warming,
acidification, disease, sedimentation, and nutrients; some
susceptibility to trophic effects of fishing and sea level rise; and
low susceptibility to predation. Susceptibility to collection and trade
is described in each of the individual species sections.
Orbicella faveolata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on O.
faveolata's morphology. Orbicella faveolata grows in heads or sheets,
the surface of which may be smooth or have keels or bumps. The skeleton
is much less dense than in the other two Orbicella species. Colony
diameter can reach up to 10 m with a height of 4 to 5 m. The public
comments did not provide new or supplemental information on O.
faveolata's morphology, and we did not find any new or supplemental
information.
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
distribution, habitat and depth range of O. faveolata. Orbicella
faveolata occurs in the western Atlantic and throughout the Caribbean,
including Bahamas, Flower Garden Banks, and the entire Caribbean
coastline. There is conflicting information on whether or not it occurs
in Bermuda. Orbicella faveolata has been reported in most reef habitats
and is often the most abundant coral between 10 and 20 m in fore-reef
environments. The depth range of O. faveolata has been reported as 0.5
to 40 m, though the species complex has been reported to depths of 90
m, indicating O. faveolata's depth distribution is likely deeper than
40 m. Orbicella species are a common, often dominant component of
Caribbean mesophotic reefs, suggesting the potential for deep refugia
for O. faveolata.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on O. faveolata's distribution, habitat, or depth range. Supplemental
information we found includes the following. Veron (2014) confirmed the
occurrence of O. faveolata in five out of his 11 ecoregions in the west
Atlantic and greater Caribbean known to contain corals and strongly
predicted its presence in an additional three ecoregions (off Colombia
and Venezuela; Jamaica and Cayman Islands; and Florida and the
Bahamas). Many studies have confirmed the presence of O. faveolata in
these additional three ecoregions (Bayraktarov et al., 2012; Bruckner,
2012a; Burman et al., 2012). The ecoregions where Veron (2014) reported
the absence of O. faveolata are off the coasts of Brazil, Bermuda, and
the southeastern U.S. north of southern Florida (Veron, 2014). Smith
(2013) reported that O. faveolata is found in the U.S. Virgin Islands
across all depths to about 45 m.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on O.
faveolata's abundance and population trends. Orbicella faveolata is
considered common.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on O. faveolata's population trends but provided the following
supplemental information on O. faveolata's abundance. Extrapolated
population estimates from stratified random samples in the Florida Keys
were 39.7 8 million (SE) colonies in 2005, 21.9 7 million (SE) colonies in 2009, and 47.3 14.5
million (SE) colonies in 2012. The greatest proportion of colonies
tended to fall in the 10 to 20 cm and 20 to 30 cm size classes in all
survey years, but there was a fairly large proportion of colonies in
the greater than 90 cm size class. Partial mortality of the colonies
was between 10 and 60 percent surface across all size classes. In the
Dry Tortugas, Florida, O. faveolata ranked seventh most abundant out of
43 coral species in 2006 and fifth most abundant out of 40 in 2008.
Extrapolated population estimates were 36.1 4.8 million
(SE) colonies in 2006 and 30 3.3 million (SE) colonies in
2008. The size classes with the largest proportion of colonies were 10
to 20 cm and 20 to 30 cm, but there was a fairly large proportion of
colonies in the greater than 90 cm size class. Partial mortality of the
colonies ranged between approximately two percent and 50 percent.
Because these population abundance estimates are based on random
surveys, differences between years may be attributed to sampling effort
rather than population trends (Miller et al., 2013).
Supplemental information we found on O. faveolata's abundance and
population trends includes the following. In a survey of 31 sites in
Dominica between 1999 and 2002, O. faveolata was present at 80 percent
of the sites at one to ten percent cover (Steiner, 2003). In a 1995
survey of 16 reefs in the Florida Keys, O. faveolata ranked as the
coral species with the second highest percent cover (Murdoch and
Aronson, 1999). On 84 patch reefs (3 to 5 m depth) spanning 240 km in
the Florida Keys, O. faveolata was the third most abundant coral
species comprising seven percent of the 17,568 colonies encountered and
was present at 95 percent of surveyed reefs between 2001 and 2003
(Lirman and Fong, 2007). In surveys of 280 sites in the upper Florida
Keys in 2011, O. faveolata was present at 87 percent of sites visited
(Miller et al., 2011b). In 2003 on the East Flower Garden Bank, O.
faveolata comprised ten percent of the 76.5 percent coral cover on
reefs 32 to 40 m, and partial mortality due to bleaching, disease, and
predation were rare at monitoring stations (Precht et al., 2005).
Colony density ranges from approximately 0.1 to 1.8 colonies per 10
m\2\ and varies by habitat and location. In surveys along the Florida
reef tract from Martin County to the lower Florida Keys, density of O.
faveolata was approximately 1.6 colonies per 10 m\2\ (Wagner et al.,
2010). On remote reefs off southwest Cuba, density of O. faveolata was
0.12 0.20 (SD) colonies per 10 m transect on 38 reef-crest
sites and 1.26 1.06 colonies per 10 m transect on 30 reef-
front sites (Alcolado et al. 2010). In surveys of 1,176 sites in
southeast Florida, the Dry Tortugas, and the Florida Keys between 2005
and 2010, density of O. faveolata ranged between 0.17 and 1.75 colonies
per 10 m\2\ and was highest on mid-channel reefs followed by offshore
patch reefs and fore-reefs (Burman et al., 2012). Along the east coast
of Florida, density was highest in areas south of Miami at 0.94
colonies per 10 m\2\ compared to 0.11 colonies per 10 m\2\ in Palm
Beach and Broward Counties (Burman et al., 2012).
Orbicella faveolata is the sixth most abundant species by percent
cover in permanent monitoring stations in the U.S. Virgin Islands. The
species complex had the highest abundance and included all colonies
where species identification was uncertain. Therefore, O. faveolata is
likely more abundant. Population estimates in the 49 km\2\ Red
[[Page 53942]]
Hind Marine Conservation District are at least 16 million colonies
(Smith, 2013).
Population trend data exists for several locations. At nine sites
off Mona and Desecheo Islands, Puerto Rico, no species extirpations
were noted at any site over ten years of monitoring between 1998 and
2008 (Bruckner and Hill, 2009). Both O. faveolata and O. annularis
sustained the large losses during the period. The number of colonies of
O. faveolata decreased by 36 and 48 percent at Mona and Desecheo
Islands, respectively (Bruckner and Hill, 2009). In 1998, 27 percent of
all corals at six sites surveyed off Mona Island were O. faveolata
colonies, but decreased to approximately 11 percent in 2008 (Bruckner
and Hill, 2009). At Desecheo Island, 12 percent of all coral colonies
were O. faveolata in 2000 compared to seven percent in 2008.
In a survey of 185 sites in five countries (Bahamas, Bonaire,
Cayman Islands, Puerto Rico, and St. Kitts and Nevis) between 2010 and
2011, size of O. faveolata colonies was significantly greater than O.
franksi and O. annularis. The total mean partial mortality of O.
faveolata at all sites was 38 percent. The total live area occupied by
O. faveolata declined by a mean of 65 percent, and mean colony size
declined from 4005 cm\2\ to 1413 cm\2\. At the same time, there was a
168 percent increase in small tissue remnants less than 500 cm\2\,
while the proportion of completely live large (1,500 to 30,000 cm\2\)
colonies decreased. Orbicella faveolata colonies in Puerto Rico were
much larger and sustained higher levels of mortality compared to the
other four countries. Colonies in Bonaire were also large but
experienced much lower levels of mortality. Mortality was attributed
primarily to outbreaks of white plague and yellow band disease, which
emerged as corals began recovering from mass bleaching events. This was
followed by increased predation and removal of live tissue by
damselfish to cultivate algal lawns (Bruckner, 2012a).
All information on O. faveolata's abundance and population trends
can be summarized as follows. Orbicella faveolata is a common species
throughout the greater Caribbean. Based on population estimates, there
are at least tens of millions of colonies present in each of several
locations including the Florida Keys, Dry Tortugas, and the U.S. Virgin
Islands. Absolute abundance is higher than the estimate from these
three locations given the presence of this species in many other
locations throughout its range. Population decline has occurred over
the past few decades with a 65 percent loss in O. faveolata cover
across five countries. Losses of O. faveolata from Mona and Descheo
Islands, Puerto Rico include a 36 to 48 percent reduction in abundance
and a decrease of 42 to 59 percent in its relative abundance (i.e.,
proportion relative to all coral colonies). High partial mortality of
colonies has led to smaller colony sizes and a decrease of larger
colonies in some locations such as the Bahamas, Bonaire, Puerto Rico,
Cayman Islands, and St. Kitts and Nevis. Partial colony mortality is
lower in some areas such as the Flower Garden Banks. We conclude that
O. faveolata has declined but remains common and likely has at least
tens of millions of colonies throughout its range. Additionally as
discussed in the genus section, we conclude that the buffering capacity
of O. faveolata's life history strategy that has allowed it to remain
abundant has been reduced by the recent population declines and amounts
of partial mortality, particularly in large colonies.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on O.
faveolata's life history. In many life history characteristics,
including growth rates, tissue regeneration, and egg size, O. faveolata
is considered intermediate between O. annularis and O. franksi. Spatial
distribution may affect fecundity on the reef, with deeper colonies of
O. faveolata being less fecund due to greater polyp spacing.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the life history of O. faveolata. Supplemental information we found
on O. faveolata's life history includes the following. Reported growth
rates of O. faveolata range between 0.3 and 1.6 cm per year (Cruz-
Pi[ntilde][oacute]n et al., 2003; Tomascik, 1990; Villinski, 2003;
Waddell, 2005). Graham and van Woesik (2013) report that 44 percent of
small colonies of O. faveolata in Puerto Morelos, Mexico, resulting
from partial colony mortality produced eggs at sizes smaller than
maturation. The number of eggs produced per unit area of smaller
fragments was significantly less than in larger size classes. Szmant
and Miller (2005) reported low post-settlement survivorship for O.
faveolata transplanted to the field with only three to 15 percent
remaining alive after 30 days. Post-settlement survivorship was much
lower than the 29 percent observed for A. palmata after seven months
(Szmant and Miller, 2005). Darling et al. (2012) performed a biological
trait-based analysis to categorize coral species into four life history
strategies: Generalist, weedy, competitive, and stress-tolerant. The
classifications were primarily separated by colony morphology, growth
rate, and reproductive mode. Orbicella faveolata was classified as a
``generalist'' species, thus likely less vulnerable to environmental
stress.
The SRR and SIR provided the following other biological information
on O. faveolata. Surveys at an inshore patch reef in the Florida Keys
that experienced temperatures less than 18 degrees C for 11 days
revealed species-specific cold-water susceptibility and survivorship.
Orbicella faveolata was one of the more susceptible species with 90
percent of colonies experiencing total colony mortality, including some
colonies estimated to be more than 200 years old (Kemp et al., 2011).
In surveys from Martin County to the lower Florida Keys, O. faveolata
was the second most susceptible coral species experiencing an average
of 37 percent partial mortality (Lirman et al., 2011).
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
biological information on O. faveolata. Supplemental biological
information we found on O. faveolata includes the following. Samples (n
= 182) of O. faveolata from the upper and lower Florida Keys and Mexico
showed three well-defined populations based on five genetic markers,
but the populations were not stratified by geography, indicating they
were shared among the three regions (Baums et al., 2010). Of ten O.
faveolata colonies observed to spawn at a site off Bocas del Toro,
Panama, colonies sorted into three spatially arranged genotypes
(Levitan et al., 2011).
Orbicella faveolata larvae are sensitive to ultraviolet radiation
during the motile planula stage through the onset of larval competence
(Aranda et al., 2011). Of six Caribbean coral species exposed to high
solar irradiation, O. faveolata and Stephanocoenia intersepta had the
most severe decline in photochemical efficiency resulting in severe
tissue loss and mortality (Fournie et al., 2012).
Experiments exposing O. faveolata to high temperatures (up to 35
degrees C) revealed that the corals produced heat shock proteins at
temperatures between 33 and 35 degrees C even for very short exposures
(2 h) but did respond at temperatures between 27 and 31 degrees C when
exposed from 2 hours to one week (Black et al., 1995).
Thornhill et al. (2006) repeatedly sampled symbiont composition of
colonies of six coral species in the Bahamas and the Florida Keys in
1998 and 2000 to 2004, during and after the 1997-98 bleaching event.
Symbioses in O. faveolata remained stable at virtually
[[Page 53943]]
all sites in the Bahamas and the Florida Keys. Individual colonies
usually showed fidelity over time to one particular Symbiodinium
partner, and changing symbiont types was rare, thus indicating
acclimation to warming temperatures may not occur by symbiont
shuffling.
Susceptibility to Threats
The threat susceptibility information from the SRR and SIR was
interpreted in the proposed rule for O. faveolata's vulnerabilities to
threats as follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming, disease,
acidification, sedimentation, and nutrient enrichment; moderate
vulnerability to the trophic effects of fishing; and low vulnerability
to sea level rise, predation, and collection and trade.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
susceptibility of O. faveolata to ocean warming. Recent work in the
Mesoamerican reef system indicated that O. faveolata had reduced
thermal tolerance in locations with increasing human populations and
over time, implying increasing local threats. At sites in Navassa, O.
faveolata and Agaricia spp. were the most susceptible to bleaching.
Approximately 90 percent of O. faveolata colonies (n = 334) bleached at
deeper sites (>18 m), and approximately 60 percent of O. faveolata
colonies (n = 20) bleached at shallower sites (<10 m) in 2006. During a
moderate bleaching event in Colombia in 2010, 100 percent of O.
faveolata colonies bleached at a site in Gayraca Bay, and 50 percent of
O. faveolata colonies were dead and completely overgrown by algae in
2011 (Bayraktarov et al., 2012).
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of O. faveolata to ocean warming. Supplemental
information we found on the susceptibility of O. faveolata to ocean
warming includes the following. Stratified random surveys on back-reefs
and fore-reefs between one and 30 m depth off Puerto Rico (Mona and
Desecho Islands, La Parguera, Mayaguez, Boqueron, and Rincon) in 2005
and 2006 revealed severe bleaching in O. faveolata with approximately
90 percent of colonies bleached (Waddell and Clarke, 2008). Surveys
from 2005 to 2007 along the Florida reef tract from Martin County to
the lower Florida Keys indicated that O. faveolata had the 13th highest
bleaching prevalence out of 30 species observed to bleach (Wagner et
al., 2010). During a 2009 bleaching event on Little Cayman, of the ten
coral species that bleached, O. faveolata had the third highest
bleaching prevalence with approximately 37 percent of colonies bleached
(van Hooidonk et al., 2012).
Coral cores from 92 colonies of O. faveolata from the Mesoamerican
Reef around Belize and Honduras indicate that the bleaching event in
1998 was unprecedented in the prior century despite periods of higher
temperatures and solar irradiance (Carilli et al., 2010). The authors
of the study concluded that bleaching in 1998 likely stemmed from
reduced thermal tolerance due to the synergistic impacts of chronic
local stressors stemming from land-based sources of pollution (Carilli
et al., 2010). Coral cores collected from four sites in Belize indicate
that O. faveolata that experienced higher chronic stress were more
severely affected by bleaching and had a much slower recovery after the
severe 1998 bleaching event (Carilli et al., 2009). Coral growth rates
at sites with higher local anthropogenic stressors remained suppressed
for at least eight years, while coral growth rates at sites with lower
stress recovered in two to three years (Carilli et al., 2009). Based on
samples of O. faveolata and O. franksi collected from the Mesoamerican
Barrier Reef, calcification of these two species is projected to cease
at 35 degrees C in this location, even without an increase in
acidification (Carricart-Ganivet et al., 2012). Collections from
Chinchorro Bank indicate that calcification of O. faveolata decreased
20 percent over the period of 1985 to 2009 where there was a 0.6 degree
C increase in sea surface temperature (equivalent to 2.4 degrees C per
century; Carricart-Ganivet et al., 2012).
Polato et al. (2010) raised O. faveolata larvae derived from three
to four colonies from Florida and Mexico under mean and elevated (1 to
2 degrees above summer mean) temperatures. Both locations had misshapen
embryos at the elevated temperature, but the percentage was higher in
the embryos from Florida. They found conserved and location-specific
variation in gene expression in processes related to apoptosis
(programmed cell death), cell structuring, adhesion and development,
energy and protein metabolism, and response to stress.
Voolstra et al. (2009) exposed O. faveolata embryos to temperatures
of 27.5, 29, and 31.5 degrees C directly after fertilization and
measured differences in gene expression after 12 and 48 hours. They
found a higher number of misshapen embryos after 12 hours at 29 and
31.5 degrees C in comparison to embryos kept at 27.5 degrees C.
However, after 48 hours, the proportion of misshapen embryos decreased
for embryos kept at 29 and 31.5 degrees C, and increased for embryos
kept at 27.5 degrees C. Increased temperatures may lead to oxidative
stress, apoptosis, and a structural reconfiguration of the cytoskeletal
network. However, embryos responded differently depending on exposure
time and temperature level. Embryos showed expression of stress-related
genes at a temperature of 29 degrees C but seemed to be able to
counteract the initial response over time. Embryos at 31.5 degrees C
displayed continuous expression of stress genes.
During the 2005 bleaching event, larger colonies of O. faveolata
experienced more intensive bleaching than smaller colonies at inshore
patch reefs of the Florida Keys (Brandt, 2009). Orbicella faveolata was
one of the most affected species with approximately 80 percent of
colonies (n = 77) bleached and, out of eight species that bleached, had
the fourth highest bleaching prevalence (Brandt, 2009). Orbicella
faveolata colonies with greater bleaching intensities later developed
white plague disease (Brandt and McManus, 2009). White plague affected
approximately ten percent of O. faveolata colonies and resulted in less
than five percent tissue loss in all but two infected corals which
experienced greater than five percent tissue loss (Brandt and McManus,
2009).
All sources of information are used to describe O. faveolata's
susceptibility to ocean warming as follows. Orbicella faveolata is
highly susceptible to elevated temperatures. In lab experiments,
elevated temperatures resulted in misshapen embryos and differential
gene expression in larvae that could indicate negative effects on
larval development and survival. Bleaching susceptibility is generally
high with 37 to 100 percent of O. faveolata colonies reported to bleach
during several bleaching events. Chronic local stressors can exacerbate
the effects of warming temperatures, which can result in slower
recovery from bleaching, reduced calcification, and slower growth rates
for several years following bleaching. Additionally, disease outbreaks
affecting O. faveolata have been linked to elevated temperature as they
have occurred after bleaching events. We conclude that O. faveolata is
highly susceptible to elevated temperature.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on O.
faveolata's susceptibility to acidification. A field study did not find
any change in O. faveolata's calcification in field-
[[Page 53944]]
sampled colonies from the Florida Keys up through 1996.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of O. faveolata to acidification. Supplemental
information we found on the susceptibility of O. faveolata to
acidification includes the following. In laboratory experiments,
reproduction of O. faveolata was negatively impacted by increasing
CO2, and impairment of fertilization was exacerbated at
lower sperm concentrations (Albright, 2011b). Fertilization success was
reduced by 25 percent at 529 [mu]atm (43 percent fertilization) and 40
percent at 712 [mu]atm (34 percent fertilization) compared to controls
at 435 [mu]atm (57 percent fertilization; Albright, 2011a).
Additionally, growth rate of O. faveolata was reduced under lower pH
conditions (7.6) compared to higher pH conditions (8.1) after 120 days
of exposure (Hall et al., 2012).
All sources of information are used to describe O. faveolata's
susceptibility to acidification as follows. Laboratory studies indicate
that O. faveolata is susceptible to ocean acidification both through
reduced fertilization of gametes and reduced growth of colonies. Thus,
we conclude that O. faveolata is highly susceptible to ocean
acidification.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any species-specific information on
the susceptibility of O. faveolata to disease. The public comments also
did not provide new or supplemental information on the susceptibility
of O. faveolata to disease. Supplemental information we found on the
susceptibility of O. faveolata to disease confirms the information on
the Orbicella species complex and includes the following. Disease
affected corals in Puerto Rico after the 2005 bleaching event, and O.
faveolata was the species most affected (Bruckner and Hill, 2009). A
1998 outbreak of white plague on three surveyed reefs in St. Lucia
affected 19 percent of O. faveolata colonies, and O. faveolata was the
species most affected (Nugues, 2002). Larger colonies in St. Lucia were
more likely to get infected, but they were less likely to suffer
complete mortality (Nugues, 2002). Tissue mortality of marked O.
faveolata colonies was 51 percent, and no colonies showed regrowth
during the 8 month study period (Nugues, 2002). Disease surveys
conducted between August and December 1999 at 19 reef sites from six
geographic areas across the wider Caribbean (Bermuda, Puerto Rico,
Bonaire, Venezuela, Colombia, and Jamaica) revealed that O. faveolata
showed the second highest incidence of disease at 4.7 to 10.4 percent
across geographic locations (Weil et al., 2002).
Surveys at five sites along the west coast of Dominica between 2000
and 2002 revealed that O. faveolata was one of the species most
susceptible to disease. Of the 12 species infected by white plague in
2000, O. faveolata ranked second highest in disease prevalence (18.4
percent of infected colonies were O. faveolata); it ranked third in
2001 out of 14 species (12.7 percent) and second in 2002 out of 13
species (18.8 percent). In addition, white plague infected the larger
size classes of O. faveolata. Although only one colony experienced
total colony mortality, O. faveolata had the highest amount of tissue
loss in each year and in the three years combined (Borger and Steiner,
2005).
Yellow band disease in O. faveolata increased in abundance between
1999 and 2004 on reefs near La Parguera and Desecheo and Mona Islands,
Puerto Rico (Waddell, 2005). Yellow band disease mean lesion growth
rates on O. faveolata in La Parguera, Puerto Rico had a significant
positive correlation with mean yearly surface water temperatures
between 1998 and 2010 (Burge et al., 2014). In Curacao colonies of O.
faveolata infected with yellow band disease lost 90 percent of their
tissue between 1997 and 2005 (Bruckner and Bruckner, 2006a). Only the
unaffected parts of colonies continued to grow, and only the smallest
lesions caused by disease healed (Bruckner and Bruckner, 2006a).
Partial mortality was higher in 2005 (average of 40 percent) than in
1998 (Bruckner and Bruckner, 2006a). Outbreaks of white plague occurred
in 2001 and 2005 and infected O. faveolata and O. annularis with the
highest frequency (Bruckner and Bruckner, 2006a).
Yellow band disease significantly affects O. faveolata reproductive
output. Fecundity of diseased lesions was significantly lower than
transition and healthy-looking tissues on diseased colonies. Diseased
lesions had 99 percent fewer eggs compared to un-diseased control
colonies. Fecundity in transition areas was 24 percent less than
healthy-looking areas of diseased colonies and was significantly lower
(50 percent) than in un-diseased control colonies. Healthy-looking
tissues of diseased colonies had 27 percent lower fecundity compared to
un-diseased control colonies. Furthermore, in colonies that had
recovered from disease, small tissue remnants (less than 100 cm\2\) had
84 percent lower fecundity compared to un-diseased controls, and large
tissue remnants (400 to 1000 cm\2\) had 64 percent lower fecundity
compared to un-diseased controls (Weil et al., 2009).
All sources of information are used to describe O. faveolata's
susceptibility to disease as follows. Orbicella faveolata is often
among the coral species with the highest disease prevalence and tissue
loss. Outbreaks have been reported to affect ten to 19 percent of O.
faveolata colonies, and yellow band disease and white plague have the
greatest effect. Disease often affects larger colonies, and reported
tissue loss due to disease ranges from five to 90 percent.
Additionally, yellow band disease results in lower fecundity in
diseased and recovered colonies of O. faveolata. Therefore, we conclude
that O. faveolata is highly susceptible to disease.
The SIR and SRR did not provide any species-specific information on
the trophic effects of fishing on O. faveolata. The public comments did
not provide new or supplemental information, and we did not find
supplemental information on the trophic effects of fishing on O.
faveolata. However, due to the level of reef fishing conducted in the
Caribbean, coupled with Diadema die-off and lack of significant
recovery, competition with algae can adversely affect coral
recruitment. Thus, O. faveolata likely has some susceptibility to the
trophic effects of fishing given its low recruitment rates. However,
the available information does not support a more precise description
of susceptibility to this threat.
The SRR and SIR did not provide species-specific information on the
susceptibility of O. faveolata to sedimentation, and the public
comments did not provide new or supplemental information on its
susceptibility to this threat. Supplemental information we found
confirms the information on the susceptibility of the Orbicella species
complex to sedimentation and includes the following. In St. Lucia,
rates of partial mortality of O. annularis and O. faveolata were higher
close to river mouths where sediments were deposited than they were
farther from the river mouths, indicating the sensitivity of these two
species to sedimentation (Nugues and Roberts, 2003).
All sources of information are used to describe O. faveolata's
susceptibility to sedimentation as follows. Sedimentation can cause
partial mortality of O. faveolata, and genus-level information
indicates that sedimentation negatively affects primary production,
growth rates, calcification, colony size, and
[[Page 53945]]
abundance. Therefore, we conclude that O. faveolata is highly
susceptible to sedimentation.
The SRR, SIR, and public comments did not provide information on
the susceptibility of O. faveolata to nutrient enrichment, and we did
not find any new or supplemental information on the susceptibility of
O. faveolata to nutrient enrichment.
All sources of information are used to describe O. faveolata's
susceptibility to nutrient enrichment as follows. Although there is no
species-specific information, the Orbicella species complex is
susceptible to nutrient enrichment through reduced growth rates,
lowered recruitment, and increased disease severity. Therefore, based
on genus-level information, we conclude that O. faveolata is likely
highly susceptible to nutrient enrichment.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
susceptibility of O. faveolata to predation. Under laboratory
conditions, black band disease was transmitted to healthy O. faveolata
fragments in the presence of the butterflyfish Chaetodon capistratus
but not in aquaria without the fish present, suggesting that the fish
acts as a disease vector (Aeby and Santavy, 2006).
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of O. faveolata to predation. Supplemental
information we found on the susceptibility of O. faveolata to predation
includes the following. In surveys of the Florida Keys in 2012, two
percent of O. faveolata colonies were affected by predation by the
corallivorous snail C. abbreviata (Miller et al., 2013). Parrotfish
consume O. annularis and O. faveolata more intensively than other coral
species, but tissue regeneration capabilities appear to be high enough
to counterbalance loss from predation (Mumby, 2009).
All sources of information are used to describe O. faveolata's
susceptibility to predation as follows. Orbicella faveolata is affected
by a number of predators, but losses appear to be minimal. We conclude
that O. faveolata has low susceptibility to predation.
The SRR and SIR did not provide information on the effects of sea
level rise on O. faveolata. The SRR described sea level rise as an
overall low to medium threat for all coral species. The public comments
did not provide new or supplemental information on O. faveolata's
susceptibility to sea level rise, and we did not find any new or
supplemental information. Thus, we conclude that O. faveolata has some
susceptibility to sea level rise, but the available information does
not support a more precise description of susceptibility to this
threat.
The SRR and SIR did not provide species-specific information on the
susceptibility of O. faveolata to collection and trade, and the public
comments did not provide new or supplemental information on its
susceptibility to this threat. Supplemental information we found
confirms the information in the SRR and SIR that collection and trade
is not a significant threat for the Orbicella species complex. Over the
last decade, collection and trade of this species has been primarily
for scientific research rather than commercial purposes. Gross exports
for collection and trade of O. faveolata between 2000 and 2012 averaged
271 specimens (data available at https://trade.cites.org). We conclude
that O. faveolata has low susceptibility to collection and trade.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we relied on information from the Final
Management Report for evaluating the existing regulatory mechanisms for
controlling threats to all corals. However, we did not provide any
species-specific information on the regulatory mechanism or
conservation efforts for O. faveolata. Public comments were critical of
that approach, and we therefore attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms and conservation efforts on a species basis, where possible,
in this final rule. Records confirm that O. faveolata occurs in five
Atlantic ecoregions, and studies and observations have confirmed the
presence of O. faveolata in an additional three ecoregions (Burman et
al., 2012). These eight ecoregions encompass 26 kingdom's and
countries' EEZs. The 26 kingdoms and countries are Antigua & Barbuda,
Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominica,
Dominican Republic, French Antilles, Grenada, Guatemala, Haiti, Kingdom
of the Netherlands, Honduras, Jamaica, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, St.
Kitts & Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent & Grenadines, Trinidad and
Tobago, United Kingdom (British Caribbean Territories and possibly
Bermuda), United States (including U.S. Caribbean Territories), and
Venezuela. The regulatory mechanisms relevant to O. faveolata,
described first as a percentage of the above kingdoms and countries
that utilize them to any degree, and second as the percentages of those
kingdoms and countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be limited in
scope, are as follows: General coral protection (31 percent with 12
percent limited in scope), coral collection (50 percent with 27 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (31 percent with 15 percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on reefs (73 percent with 50
percent limited in scope), managing areas for protection and
conservation (88 percent with 31 percent limited in scope). The most
common regulatory mechanisms in place for O. faveolata are reef fishing
regulations and area management for protection and conservation.
However, half of the reef fishing regulations are limited in scope and
may not provide substantial protection for the species. General coral
protection and collection laws, along with pollution control laws, are
much less common regulatory mechanisms for the management of O.
faveolata.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic traits, threat susceptibilities, and consideration of
the baseline environment and future projections of threats. The SRR
stated that the factors that increase the extinction risk for O.
faveolata are its extremely low productivity (growth and recruitment),
documented dramatic recent declines, and its restriction to the highly
disturbed/degraded wider Caribbean region.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species' abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of O. faveolata, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
The species has undergone major declines mostly due to warming-induced
bleaching and disease. There is evidence of synergistic effects of
threats for this species including disease outbreaks following
[[Page 53946]]
bleaching events and reduced thermal tolerance due to chronic local
stressors stemming from land-based sources of pollution. Orbicella
faveolata is highly susceptible to a number of threats, and cumulative
effects of multiple threats have likely contributed to its decline and
exacerbate vulnerability to extinction. Despite high declines, the
species is still common and remains one of the most abundant species on
Caribbean reefs. Its life history characteristics of large colony size
and long life span have enabled it to remain relatively persistent
despite slow growth and low recruitment rates, thus moderating
vulnerability to extinction. However, the buffering capacity of these
life history characteristics is expected to decrease as colonies shift
to smaller size classes as has been observed in locations in its range.
Its absolute population abundance has been estimated as at least tens
of millions of colonies in each of several locations including the
Florida Keys, Dry Tortugas, and the U.S. Virgin Islands and is higher
than the estimate from these three locations due to the occurrence of
the species in many other areas throughout its range. Despite the large
number of islands and environments that are included in the species'
range, geographic distribution in the highly disturbed Caribbean
exacerbates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because O. faveolata is limited to an area with high, localized human
impacts and predicted increasing threats. Its depth range of 0.5 to at
least 40 m, possibly up to 90 m, moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower temperatures than surface waters, and acidification
is generally predicted to accelerate most in waters that are deeper and
cooler than those in which the species occurs. Orbicella faveolata
occurs in most reef habitats, including both shallow and mesophotic
reefs, which moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable
future because the species occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that are predicted, on local and regional scales, to
experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time. Its abundance, life history characteristics, and
depth distribution, combined with spatial variability in ocean warming
and acidification across the species' range, moderate vulnerability to
extinction because the threats are non-uniform, and there will likely
be a large number of colonies that are either not exposed or do not
negatively respond to a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the determination tool formula
approach, O. faveolata was proposed for listing as endangered because
of: High vulnerability to ocean warming (E), disease (C), and ocean
acidification (E); high vulnerability to sedimentation (A and E) and
nutrient over-enrichment (A and E); decreasing trend in abundance (E);
low relative recruitment rate (E); moderate overall distribution (based
on narrow geographic distribution and wide depth distribution) (E);
restriction to the Caribbean (E); and inadequacy of regulatory
mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for O.
faveolata from endangered to threatened. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic approach, including
consideration of the buffering capacity of this species' spatial and
demographic traits, and the best available information above on O.
faveolata's spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management. This combination of factors indicates that O. faveolata is
likely to become endangered throughout its range within the foreseeable
future, and thus warrants listing as threatened at this time, because:
(1) Orbicella faveolata is highly susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), disease (C), ocean acidification (E), sedimentation (A, E),
and nutrients (A, E) and susceptible to trophic effects of fishing (A).
These threats are expected to continue and increase into the future. In
addition, the species is at heightened extinction risk due to
inadequate existing regulatory mechanisms to address global threats
(D);
(2) Orbicella faveolata is geographically located in the highly
disturbed Caribbean where localized human impacts are high and threats
are predicted to increase as described in the Threats Evaluation
section. A range constrained to this particular geographic area that is
likely to experience severe and increasing threats indicates that a
high proportion of the population of this species is likely to be
exposed to those threats over the foreseeable future;
(3) Orbicella faveolata has experienced substantial declines in
abundance and percent cover over the past two decades; and
(4) Orbicella faveolata's slow growth rate and low sexual
recruitment limit its capacity for recovery from threat-induced
mortality events throughout its range over the foreseeable future.
Additionally, shifts to smaller size classes via fission and partial
mortality of older, larger colonies, have reduced the buffering
capacity of O. faveolata's life history strategy.
The combination of these characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates that the species is likely to be in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future throughout its range, and
warrants listing as threatened at this time due to factors A, C, D, and
E.
The available information above on O. faveolata's spatial
structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management also
indicate that the species is not currently in danger of extinction and
thus does not warrant listing as Endangered because:
(1) While Orbicella faveolata's distribution within the Caribbean
increases its risk of exposure to threats as described above, its known
depth distribution is between 0.5 and 45 m, with occurrence by the
complex as deep as 90 m, and its habitat includes various shallow and
mesophotic reef environments. This moderates vulnerability to
extinction currently because the species is not limited to one habitat
type but occurs in numerous types of reef environments that will
experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry on local
and regional scales at any given point in time, as described in more
detail in the Coral Habitat and Threats Evaluation sections. There is
no evidence to suggest that the species is so spatially fragmented that
depensatory processes, environmental stochasticity, or the potential
for catastrophic events currently pose a high risk to the survival of
the species; and
(2) Although O. faveolata's abundance has declined, it still has a
common occurrence and remains one of the most dominant corals in the
Caribbean. Its absolute abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies based on estimates from three locations. Absolute abundance is
higher than estimates from these locations since it occurs in many
other locations throughout its range. This absolute abundance allows
for variation in the responses of individuals to threats to play a role
in moderating vulnerability to extinction for the species to some
degree, as described in more detail in the Corals and Coral Reefs
section. There is no evidence of depensatory processes such as
reproductive failure from low density of reproductive individuals and
genetic processes such as inbreeding affecting this species. Thus, its
absolute abundance indicates it is currently able to avoid high
mortality from
[[Page 53947]]
environmental stochasticity, and mortality of a high proportion of its
population from catastrophic events.
The combination of these characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of one that is currently in danger
of extinction, as described previously in the Risk Analyses section,
and thus does not warrant listing as endangered at this time.
Range-wide, multitudes of conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting O. faveolata. However, considering
the global scale of the most important threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at addressing the root cause of
global threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not believe that any
current conservation efforts or conservation efforts planned in the
future will result in affecting the species' status to the point at
which listing is not warranted.
Orbicella franksi
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on O. franksi's
morphology. Orbicella franksi is distinguished by large, unevenly
arrayed polyps that give the colony its characteristic irregular
surface. Colony form is variable, and the skeleton is dense with poorly
developed annual bands. Colony diameter can reach up to 5 m with a
height of up to 2 m. The public comments did not provide new or
supplemental information on O. franksi's morphology, and we did not
find any new or supplemental information.
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on O. franksi's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Orbicella franksi is
distributed in the western Atlantic and throughout the Caribbean Sea
including in the Bahamas, Bermuda, and the Flower Garden Banks.
Orbicella franksi tends to have a deeper distribution than the other
two species in the Orbicella species complex.
It occupies most reef environments and has been reported from water
depths ranging from 5 to 50 m, with the species complex reported to 90
m. Orbicella species are a common, often dominant, component of
Caribbean mesophotic reefs, suggesting the potential for deep refugia
for O. franksi.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on O. franksi's distribution, habitat, or depth range. We did not find
new or supplemental information on O. franksi's habitat or depth range.
Supplemental information we found on O. franksi's distribution includes
the following. Veron (2014) confirmed the occurrence of O. franksi in
six out of his 11 ecoregions in the western Atlantic and greater
Caribbean known to contain corals and strongly predicted its presence
in an additional three ecoregions (off Colombia/Venezuela, Cuba/Cayman
Islands, and Jamaica). Other studies confirm the presence of O. franksi
in three other ecoregions (Alcolado et al., 2010; Bayraktarov et al.,
2012; Bruckner, 2012c; Weil et al., 2002). The two ecoregions where O.
franksi has not been found are off the coasts of Brazil and the
southeastern U.S. north of southern Florida (Veron, 2014).
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on O. franksi's
abundance and population trends. Orbicella franksi is reported as
common.
The public comments provided the following supplemental information
on O. franksi's abundance and population trends. In surveys throughout
the Florida Keys, O. franksi in 2005 ranked 26th most abundant out of
47 coral species, 32nd out of 43 in 2009, and 33rd out of 40 in 2012.
Extrapolated population estimates from stratified random surveys were
8.0 3.5 million (SE) colonies in 2005, 0.3
0.2 million (SE) colonies in 2009, and 0.4 0.4 million
(SE) colonies in 2012. The authors note that differences in
extrapolated abundance between years were more likely a function of
sampling effort rather than an indication of population trends. In
2005, the greatest proportions of colonies were in the smaller size
classes of 10 to 20 cm and 20 to 30 cm. Partial colony mortality ranged
from zero to approximately 73 percent and was generally higher in
larger colonies (Miller et al., 2013).
In the Dry Tortugas, Florida, O. franksi ranked fourth highest in
abundance out of 43 coral species in 2006 and eighth out of 40 in 2008.
Extrapolated population estimates were 79 19 million (SE)
colonies in 2006 and 18.2 4.1 million (SE) colonies in
2008. The authors note the difference in estimates between years was
more likely a function of sampling effort rather than population
decline. In the first year of the study (i.e., 2006), the greatest
proportion of colonies were in the size class 20 to 30 cm with twice as
many colonies as the next most numerous size class, and a fair number
of colonies in the largest size class of greater than 90 cm. Partial
colony mortality ranged from approximately ten to 55 percent. Two years
later in 2008 no size class was found to dominate, and proportion of
colonies in the medium to large size classes (60 to 90 cm) appeared to
be less than in 2006. The number of colonies in the largest size class
of greater than 90 cm remained consistent. Partial colony mortality
ranged from approximately 15 to 75 percent (Miller et al., 2013).
Supplemental information we found on O. franksi's abundance and
population trends includes the following. In a 1995 survey of 16 reefs
in the Florida Keys, O. franksi has the highest percent cover of all
species (Murdoch and Aronson, 1999). In a survey of 31 sites in
Dominica between 1999 and 2002, O. franksi was present in seven percent
of the sites at less than one percent cover (Steiner, 2003). In 2003 on
the east Flower Garden Bank, O. franksi comprised 46 percent of the
76.5 percent coral cover on reefs 32 to 40 m in depth, and partial
coral mortality due to bleaching, disease, and predation was rare in
survey stations (Precht et al., 2005).
Reported density is variable by location and habitat and is
reported to range from 0.02 to 1.05 colonies per 10 m\2\. In surveys of
1,176 sites in southeast Florida, the Dry Tortugas, and the Florida
Keys between 2005 and 2010, density of O. franksi ranged between 0.04
and 0.47 colonies per 10 m\2\ and was highest on the offshore patch
reef and fore-reef habitats (Burman et al., 2012). In south Florida,
density was highest in areas south of Miami at 0.44 colonies per 10
m\2\ compared to 0.02 colonies per 10 m\2\ in Palm Beach and Broward
Counties (Burman et al., 2012). Along the Florida reef tract from
Martin County to the lower Florida Keys, density of O. franksi was
approximately 0.9 colonies per 10 m\2\ (Wagner et al., 2010). On remote
reefs off southwest Cuba, colony density was 0.083 0.17
(SD) per 10 m transect on 38 reef-crest sites and 1.05
1.02 colonies per 10 m transect on 30 reef-front sites (Alcolado et
al., 2010). The number of O. franksi colonies in Cuba with partial
colony mortality were far more frequent than those with no mortality
across all size classes, except for one (i.e., less than 50 cm) that
had similar frequency of colonies with and without partial mortality
(Alcolado et al., 2010).
In the U.S. Virgin Islands, O. franksi is the second most abundant
species by percent cover at permanent monitoring stations. However,
because the species complex, which is the most abundant by cover, was
included as a category when individual Orbicella species could not
[[Page 53948]]
be identified with certainty, it is likely that O. franksi is the most
abundant. Population estimates of O. franksi in the 49 km\2\ Red Hind
Marine Conservation District are at least 34 million colonies (Smith,
2013).
Abundance in Curacao and Puerto Rico and appears to be stable over
an eight to ten year period. In Curacao, abundance was stable between
1997 and 2005, with partial mortality similar or less in 2005 compared
to 1998 (Bruckner and Bruckner, 2006a). Abundance was also stable
between 1998-2008 at nine sites off Mona and Desecheo Islands, Puerto
Rico. In 1998, 4 percent of all corals at six sites surveyed off Mona
Island were O. franksi colonies in 1998 and approximately five percent
in 2008; at Desecheo Island, about two percent of all coral colonies
were O. franksi in both 2000 and 2008 (Bruckner and Hill, 2009).
On the other hand, colony size has decreased over the past several
decades. A survey of 185 sites (2010 and 2011) in five countries
(Bahamas, Bonaire, Cayman Islands, Puerto Rico, and St. Kitts and
Nevis) reported the size of O. franksi and O. annularis colonies as
significantly smaller than O. faveolata. The total mean partial
mortality of O. franksi was 25 percent. Overall, the total live area
occupied by O. franksi declined by a mean of 38 percent, and mean
colony size declined from 1356 cm\2\ to 845 cm\2\. At the same time
there was a 137 percent increase in small tissue remnants less than 500
cm\2\, along with a decline in the proportion of large (1,500 to 30,000
cm\2\), completely alive colonies. Mortality was attributed primarily
to outbreaks of white plague and yellow band disease, which emerged as
corals began recovering from mass bleaching events. This was followed
by increased predation and removal of live tissue by damselfish to
cultivate algal lawns (Bruckner, 2012a).
All information on O. franksi's abundance and population trends can
be summarized as follows. Based on population estimates, there are at
least tens of millions of colonies present in both the Dry Tortugas and
U.S. Virgin Islands. Absolute abundance is higher than the estimate
from these two locations given the presence of this species in many
other locations throughout its range. The frequency and extent of
partial mortality, especially in larger colonies of O. franksi, appear
to be high in some locations such as Florida and Cuba, though other
locations like the Flower Garden Banks appear to have lower amounts of
partial mortality. A decrease in O. franksi percent cover by 38
percent, and a shift to smaller colony size across five countries,
suggest that population decline has occurred in some areas; colony
abundance appears to be stable in other areas. We conclude that while
population decline has occurred, O. franksi is still common with the
number of colonies at least in the tens of millions. Additionally, as
discussed in the genus section, we conclude that the buffering capacity
of O. franksi's life history strategy that has allowed it to remain
abundant has been reduced by the recent population declines and amounts
of partial mortality, particularly in large colonies.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on O. franksi's
life history. The growth rate for O. franksi is reported to be slower,
and spawning is reported to be about one to two hours earlier than O.
annularis and O. faveolata.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on O. franksi's life history. Supplemental information we found on O.
franksi's life history includes the following. Of 361 colonies of O.
franksi tagged in Bocas del Toro, Panama, larger colonies were noted to
spawn more frequently than smaller colonies between 2002 and 2009
(Levitan et al., 2011). Darling et al. (2012) performed a biological
trait-based analysis to categorize coral species into four life history
strategies: Generalist, weedy, competitive, and stress-tolerant. The
classifications were primarily separated by colony morphology, growth
rate, and reproductive mode. Orbicella franksi was classified as a
``generalist'' species, thus likely less vulnerable to environmental
stress.
The SRR and SIR provided the following other biological information
on O. franksi. Low tissue biomass can render specific colonies of O.
franksi susceptible to mortality from stress events, such as bleaching
or disease. This suggests that differential mortality among
individuals, species, and reefs from stress events such as bleaching or
disease may be at least partially a function of differential colony
biomass (indicating overall coral health) as opposed to genetic or
physiologic differences among corals or their symbionts.
In a 2010 cold-water event that affected south Florida, O. franksi
ranked as the 14th most susceptible coral species out of 25 of the most
abundant coral species. Average partial mortality was eight percent in
surveys from Martin County to the lower Florida Keys after the 2010
cold-water event compared to 0.4 percent average mortality during
summer surveys between 2005 and 2009.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental biological
information on O. franksi. Supplemental biological information we found
on O. franksi includes the following. Of 351 O. franksi colonies
observed to spawn at a site off Bocas del Toro, Panama, 324 were unique
genotypes. Over 90 percent of O. franksi corals on this reef were the
product of sexual reproduction, and 19 genetic individuals had
asexually propagated colonies made up of two to four spatially adjacent
ramets each. Individuals within a genotype spawned more synchronously
than individuals of different genotypes. Additionally, within 5m,
colonies nearby spawned more synchronously than farther spaced
colonies, regardless of genotype. At distances greater than 5m,
spawning was random between colonies (Levitan et al., 2011).
In a study of symbiont composition of repeatedly sampled colonies
of six species in the Bahamas and the Florida Keys (1998, and 2000 to
2004), major changes in symbiont dominance over time were observed at
certain Florida Keys reefs in O. annularis and O. franksi. Some
colonies of O. annularis and O. franksi exhibited shifts in their
associations attributed to recovery from the stresses of the 1997-98
bleaching event. Most transitions in symbiont identity ended in 2002,
three to five years after the 1997-98 bleaching event (Thornhill et
al., 2006).
Susceptibility to Threats
The threat susceptibility information from the SRR and SIR was
interpreted in the proposed rule for O. franksi's vulnerability to
threats as follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming, disease,
acidification, sedimentation, and nutrient enrichment; moderate
vulnerability to the trophic effects of fishing; and low vulnerability
to sea level rise, predation, and collection and trade.
The SRR and SIR did not provide species-specific information on the
susceptibility of O. franksi to ocean warming. The public comments did
not provide new or supplemental information on the susceptibility of O.
franksi to ocean warming. Supplemental information we found on the
susceptibility of O. franksi to ocean warming includes the following. A
high percentage of O. franksi colonies experience bleaching during warm
water temperature anomalies. Stratified random surveys on back-reefs
and fore-reefs between one and 30 m depth off Puerto Rico (Mona and
Desecho Islands,
[[Page 53949]]
La Parguera, Mayaguez, Boqueron, and Rincon) in 2005 and 2006 revealed
severe bleaching in O. franksi with approximately 90 percent of
colonies bleached (Waddell and Clarke, 2008). Surveys from 2005 to 2007
along the Florida reef tract from Martin County to the lower Florida
Keys indicated O. franksi had the tenth highest bleaching prevalence
out of 30 species observed to bleach (Wagner et al., 2010). During a
moderate bleaching event in Colombia in 2010, 88 percent of O. franksi
bleached, and 12 percent paled at a site in Gayraca Bay (Bayraktarov et
al., 2012). In 2011, 75 percent of O. franksi were dead and completely
overgrown by algae (Bayraktarov et al., 2012). Based on samples of O.
franksi and O. faveolata collected from the Mesoamerican Barrier Reef,
calcification of these two species is projected to cease at 35 degrees
C in this location in the absence of acidification (Carricart-Ganivet
et al., 2012).
All sources of information are used to describe O. franksi's
susceptibility to ocean warming as follows. Available information
indicates that O. franksi is highly susceptible to warming temperatures
with a reported 88 to 90 percent bleaching frequency. Reported
bleaching-related mortality from one study is high at 75 percent. There
is indication that symbiont shuffling after bleaching in O. franksi. We
conclude that O. franksi is highly susceptible to ocean warming.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any species-specific information on
the susceptibility of O. franksi to acidification, and the public
comments did not provide new or supplemental information on its
susceptibility to this threat. We did not find any new or supplemental
information on the susceptibility of O. franksi to acidification.
Although there is no species-specific information on the susceptibility
of O. franksi to ocean acidification, genus information indicates that
the species complex has reduced growth and fertilization success under
acidic conditions. Thus, we conclude O. franksi likely has high
susceptibility to ocean acidification.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any species-specific information on
the susceptibility of O. franksi to disease. The public comments did
not provide new or supplemental information on the susceptibility of O.
franksi to disease. Supplemental information we found on the
susceptibility of O. franksi to disease includes the following. Disease
surveys conducted between August and December 1999 at 19 reef sites
from six geographic areas across the wider Caribbean (Bermuda, Puerto
Rico, Bonaire, Venezuela, Colombia, and Jamaica) revealed that O.
franksi had the third highest incidence of disease at 1.1 to 5.6
percent across geographic locations (Weil et al., 2002). Between 1998
and 2000, O. franksi was one of six coral species identified in the
Virgin Islands as most susceptible to disease (Waddell, 2005). In 2004
in Mexico, disease prevalence was highest in O. franksi with 41 percent
of colonies infected, followed by 34 percent of O. annularis colonies
and 31 percent of O. faveolata colonies (Ward et al., 2006). In Curacao
colonies of O. franksi infected with yellow band disease lost an
average of 30 percent of their tissue between 1997 and 2005, but some
tagged colonies exhibited re-sheeting over disease lesions (Bruckner
and Bruckner, 2006a).
All sources of information are used to describe O. franksi's
susceptibility to disease as follows. Orbicella franksi is often
reported as among the species with the highest disease prevalence.
Although there are few quantitative studies of the effects of disease
on O. franksi, there is evidence that partial mortality can average
about 25 to 30 percent and that disease can cause shifts to smaller
size classes. Thus, we conclude that O. franksi is highly susceptible
to disease.
The SIR and SRR did not provide any species-specific information on
the trophic effects of fishing on O. franksi. The public comments did
not provide new or supplemental information, and we did not find new or
supplemental information on the trophic effects of fishing on O.
franksi. However, due to the level of reef fishing conducted in the
Caribbean, coupled with Diadema die-off and lack of significant
recovery, competition with algae can adversely affect coral
recruitment. Thus, O. franksi likely has some susceptibility to the
trophic effects of fishing given its low recruitment rates.
The SRR, SIR, and public comments did not provide information on
the susceptibility of O. franksi to sedimentation, and we did not find
any new or supplemental information. All sources of information are
used to describe O. franksi's susceptibility to sedimentation as
follows. Genus information indicates sedimentation negatively affects
primary production, growth rates, calcification, colony size, and
abundance. Therefore, we conclude that O. franksi is highly susceptible
to sedimentation.
The SRR, SIR, and public comments do not provide information on the
susceptibility of O. franksi to nutrient enrichment. Supplemental
information we found on the susceptibility of O. franksi to nutrient
enrichment includes the following. Field experiments indicate that
nutrient enrichment significantly increases yellow band disease
severity in O. annularis and O. franksi through increased tissue loss
(Bruno et al., 2003).
All sources of information are used to describe O. franksi's
susceptibility to nutrient enrichment as follows. Genus level
information indicates O. franksi is likely susceptible to nutrient
enrichment through reduced growth rates and lower recruitment.
Additionally, nutrient enrichment has been shown to increase the
severity of yellow band disease in O. franksi. Thus, we conclude that
O. franksi is highly susceptible to nutrient enrichment.
The SRR and SIR do not provide species-specific information on the
susceptibility of O. franksi to predation. Likewise, the public
comments do not provide new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of O. franksi to predation. Supplemental information we
found on the susceptibility of O. franksi to predation includes the
following. Incidence of parrotfish grazing on the Belize barrier reef
was second highest on O. franksi. However, in most habitats, the
majority of Orbicella spp. showed little or no parrotfish grazing while
only a few colonies were more heavily grazed, indicating low impact to
the species overall (Rotjan, 2007).
All sources of information are used to describe O. franksi's
susceptibility to predation as follows. Genus-level information
indicates O. franksi is affected by a number of predators, but both
species-level and genus-level impacts appear to be minimal. We conclude
that O. franksi has low susceptibility to predation.
The SRR and SIR did not provide information on the effects of sea
level rise on O. franksi. The SRR described sea level rise as an
overall low to medium threat for all coral species. The public comments
did not provide new or supplemental information on O. franksi's
susceptibility to sea level rise, and we did not find any new or
supplemental information. Thus, we conclude that O. franksi has some
susceptibility to sea level rise, but the available information does
not support a more precise description of susceptibility to this
threat.
The SRR and SIR do not provide species-specific information on the
susceptibility of O. franksi to collection and trade, and the public
comments do not provide new or supplemental information on its
susceptibility to this threat. Supplemental information we found
confirms the information in the
[[Page 53950]]
SRR and SIR that collection and trade is not a significant threat for
the Orbicella species complex. Over the last decade, collection and
trade of O. franksi has been primarily for scientific research rather
than commercial purposes. Annual gross exports for collection and trade
of O. franksi between 2000 and 2012 averaged 40 specimens (data
available at https://trade.cites.org). Thus, we conclude that O. franksi
has low susceptibility to collection and trade.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we relied on information from the Final
Management Report for evaluating the existing regulatory mechanisms for
controlling threats to all corals. However, we did not provide any
species-specific information on the regulatory mechanism or
conservation efforts for O. franksi. Public comments were critical of
that approach, and we therefore attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms and conservation efforts on a species basis, where possible,
in this final rule. Records confirm that O. franksi occurs in six
Atlantic ecoregions, and studies have confirmed the presence of O.
franksi in an additional three ecoregions. These nine ecoregions
encompass 26 kingdoms' and countries' EEZs, and the 26 kingdoms and
countries are Antigua & Barbuda, Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Colombia,
Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French Antilles,
Grenada, Guatemala, Haiti, Kingdom of the Netherlands, Honduras,
Jamaica, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, St. Kitts & Nevis, St. Lucia, St.
Vincent & Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, United Kingdom (British
Caribbean Territories and Bermuda), United States (including U.S.
Caribbean Territories), and Venezuela. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to O. franksi, described first as a percentage of the above
kingdoms and countries that utilize them to any degree, and second as
the percentage of those kingdoms and countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as follows: General coral
protection (31 percent with 12 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (50 percent with 27 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (31 percent with 15 percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (73 percent with 50 percent limited in scope),
managing areas for protection and conservation (88 percent with 31
percent limited in scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for O. franksi are reef fishing regulations and area management
for protection and conservation. However, half of the reef fishing
regulations are limited in scope and may not provide substantial
protection for the species. General coral protection and collection
laws, along with pollution control laws, are much less common
regulatory mechanisms for the management of O. franksi.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic traits, threat susceptibilities, and consideration of
the baseline environment and future projections of threats. The SRR
stated that the factors that increase the extinction risk for O.
franksi are extremely low productivity (growth and recruitment),
documented dramatic recent declines, and its restriction to the highly
disturbed and degraded wider Caribbean region. All of these factors
combined to yield a very high estimated extinction risk. It had a
marginally lower risk estimate than the other two O. annularis complex
species because of greater distribution in deep and mesophotic depth
habitats, which are expected to experience lesser exposure to some
surface-based threats.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species' abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of O. franksi, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
The species has undergone declines most likely from disease and
warming-induced bleaching. There is evidence of synergistic effects of
threats for this species including increased disease severity with
nutrient enrichment. Orbicella franksi is highly susceptible to a
number of threats, and cumulative effects of multiple threats have
likely contributed to its decline and exacerbate vulnerability to
extinction. Despite declines, the species is still common and remains
one of the most abundant species on Caribbean reefs. Its life history
characteristics of large colony size and long life span have enabled it
to remain relatively persistent despite slow growth and low recruitment
rates, thus moderating vulnerability to extinction. However, the
buffering capacity of these life history characteristics is expected to
decrease as colonies shift to smaller size classes as has been observed
in locations in its range. Its absolute population abundance has been
estimated as at least tens of millions of colonies in both a portion of
the U.S. Virgin Islands and the Dry Tortugas and is higher than the
estimate from these two locations due to the occurrence of the species
in many other areas throughout its range. Despite the large number of
islands and environments that are included in the species' range,
geographic distribution in the highly disturbed Caribbean exacerbates
vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future because O.
franksi is limited to an area with high, localized human impacts and
predicted increasing threats. Its depth range of five to at least 50 m,
possibly up to 90 m, moderates vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas of its range will usually have
lower temperatures than surface waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. Orbicella franksi occurs in most
reef habitats, including both shallow and mesophotic reefs, which
moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species occurs in numerous types of reef environments that
are predicted, on local and regional scales, to experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. Its abundance, life history characteristics, and depth
distribution, combined with spatial variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species' range, moderate vulnerability to
extinction because the threats are non-uniform, and there will likely
be a large number of colonies that are either not exposed or do not
negatively respond to a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the determination tool formula
approach, O. franksi was proposed for listing as endangered because of:
High vulnerability to ocean warming (E) disease (C), and ocean
acidification (E); high vulnerability to sedimentation (A and E) and
nutrient over-enrichment (A
[[Page 53951]]
and E); decreasing trend in abundance (E); low relative recruitment
rate (E); moderate overall distribution (based on narrow geographic
distribution and wide depth distribution (E); restriction to the
Caribbean (E); and inadequacy of regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for O.
franksi from endangered to threatened. We made this determination based
on a more species-specific and holistic approach, including
consideration of the buffering capacity of this species' spatial and
demographic traits, and the best available information above on O.
franksi's spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management. This combination of factors indicates that O. franksi is
likely to become endangered throughout its range within the foreseeable
future, and thus warrants listing as threatened at this time, because:
(1) Orbicella franksi is highly susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), disease (C), nutrients (A, E), ocean acidification (E), and
sedimentation (A, E) and susceptible to trophic effects of fishing (A).
These threats are expected to continue and increase into the future. In
addition, the species is at heightened extinction risk due to
inadequate existing regulatory mechanisms to address global threats
(D);
(2) Orbicella franksi is geographically located in the highly
disturbed Caribbean where localized human impacts are high and threats
are predicted to increase as described in the Threats Evaluation
section. A range constrained to this particular geographic area that is
likely to experience severe and increasing threats indicates that a
high proportion of the population of this species is likely to be
exposed to those threats over the foreseeable future;
(3) Orbicella franksi has experienced a decline in benthic cover
over the past two decades; and
(4) Orbicella franksi's slow growth rate and low sexual recruitment
limits its capacity for recovery from threat-induced mortality events
throughout its range over the foreseeable future. Additionally, shifts
to smaller size classes via fission and partial mortality of older,
larger colonies, have reduced the buffering capacity of O. franksi's
life history strategy.
The combination of these characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates that the species is likely to be in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future throughout its range, and
warrants listing as threatened at this time due to factors A, C, D, and
E.
The available information above on O. franksi spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and management also indicate that
the species is not currently in danger of extinction and thus does not
warrant listing as Endangered because:
(1) While Orbicella franksi's distribution within the Caribbean
increases its risk of exposure to threats as described above, its known
depth distribution is between 5 and 50 m, with occurrence by the
species complex as deep as 90 m, and its habitat includes various
shallow and mesophotic reef environments. This moderates vulnerability
to extinction currently because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous types of reef environments that
will experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry on
local and regional scales at any given point in time, as described in
more detail in the Coral Habitat and Threats Evaluation sections. There
is no evidence to suggest that the species is so spatially fragmented
that depensatory processes, environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for catastrophic events currently pose a high risk to the
survival of the species;
(2) Although O. franksi has declined in percent cover and colony
size, there is evidence that population abundance has remained stable
in some locations over a decadal time scale; and
(3) Orbicella franksi has a common occurrence and remains one of
the most dominant corals in the Caribbean. It has an absolute abundance
of at least tens of millions of colonies based on estimates from two
locations. Absolute abundance is higher than estimates from these
locations since it occurs in many other locations throughout its range.
This absolute abundance allows for variation in the responses of
individuals to threats to play a role in moderating vulnerability to
extinction for the species to some degree, as described in more detail
in the Corals and Coral Reefs section. There is no evidence of
depensatory processes such as reproductive failure from low density of
reproductive individuals and genetic processes such as inbreeding
affecting this species. Thus, its absolute abundance indicates it is
currently able to avoid high mortality from environmental
stochasticity, and mortality of a high proportion of its population
from catastrophic events.
The combination of these characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of one that is currently in danger
of extinction, as described previously in the Risk Analyses section and
thus does not warrant listing as endangered at this time.
Range-wide, multitudes of conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting O. franksi. However, considering
the global scale of the most important threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at addressing the root cause of
global threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not believe that any
current conservation efforts or conservation efforts planned in the
future will result in affecting the species' status to the point at
which listing is not warranted.
Orbicella annularis
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on O. annularis'
morphology. Orbicella annularis colonies grow in columns that exhibit
rapid and regular upward growth. In contrast to the other two Orbicella
species, margins on the sides of columns are typically dead. Live
colony surfaces usually lack ridges or bumps. The public comments did
not provide new or supplemental information on O. annularis'
morphology, and we did not find any new or supplemental information.
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
distribution, habitat and depth range of O. annularis. Orbicella
annularis is common throughout the western Atlantic and greater
Caribbean including the Flower Garden Banks but may be absent from
Bermuda. Two personal communications were cited: one confirming its
rarity in Bermuda, and the other stating O. annularis had not been seen
in Bermuda. Orbicella annularis is reported from most reef environments
in depths of 0.5 to 20 m. The Orbicella species complex is a common,
often dominant component of Caribbean mesophotic reefs, suggesting the
potential for deep refugia across a broader depth range, but O.
annularis is generally described with a shallower distribution.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on O. annularis' distribution, habitat, or depth range. Supplemental
information we found includes the following. Veron (2014) confirmed the
occurrence of O. annularis in nine out of his 11 ecoregions in the
western Atlantic and greater Caribbean known to contain corals, but
indicated one of these ecoregions (Bermuda) has published records of
occurrence that need further
[[Page 53952]]
investigation. Locke (2013) indicated early records of O. annularis in
Bermuda may be incorrect since this species was historically
undifferentiated from O. franksi and O. faveolata. The two ecoregions
in which it is not found are off the coasts of Brazil and the
southeastern U.S. north of southern Florida (Veron, 2014).
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on O. annularis'
abundance and population trends. Orbicella annularis has been described
as common overall. Demographic data collected in Puerto Rico over nine
years straddling the 2005 bleaching event showed that population growth
rates were stable in the pre-bleaching period (2001-2005) but declined
one year after the bleaching event. Population growth rates declined
even further two years after the bleaching event but returned to stasis
the following year.
The public comments provided the following supplemental information
on O. annularis' abundance and population trends. In the Florida Keys,
abundance of O. annularis ranked 30 out of 47 coral species in 2005, 13
out of 43 in 2009, and 12 out of 40 in 2012. Extrapolated population
estimates from stratified random samples were 5.6 million
2.7 million (SE) in 2005, 11.5 million 4.5 million (SE) in
2009, and 24.3 million 12.4 million (SE) in 2012. Size
class distribution was somewhat variable between survey years, with a
larger proportion of colonies in the smaller size classes in 2005
compared to 2009 and 2012 and a greater proportion of colonies in the
largest size class (>90 cm) in 2012 compared to 2005 and 2009. Partial
colony mortality was lowest less than 10 cm (as low as approximately 5
percent) up to approximately 70 percent in the larger size classes. In
the Dry Tortugas, Florida, abundance of O. annularis ranked 41 out of
43 in 2006 and 31 out of 40 in 2008. The extrapolated population
estimate was 0.5 million 0.3 million (SE) colonies in
2008. Differences in population estimates between years may be
attributed to sampling effort rather than population trends (Miller et
al., 2013).
Supplemental information we found on O. annularis' abundance and
population trends includes the following. In Utila, Honduras, O.
annularis was present at 80 percent of sites surveyed between 1999 and
2000 and was the second most common coral species (Afzal et al., 2001).
In a survey of 31 sites in Dominica between 1999 and 2002, O. annularis
was present at 20 percent of the sites at one to ten percent cover
(Steiner, 2003).
Colony density varies by habitat and location, and range from less
than 0.1 to greater than one colony per 10 m\2\. In surveys of 1,176
sites in southeast Florida, the Dry Tortugas, and the Florida Keys
between 2005 and 2010, density of O. annularis ranged between 0.09 and
0.84 colonies per 10 m\2\ and was highest on mid-channel reefs followed
by inshore reefs, offshore patch reefs, and fore-reefs (Burman et al.,
2012). Along the east coast of Florida, density was highest in areas
south of Miami (0.34 colonies per 10 m\2\) compared to Palm Beach and
Broward Counties (0.04 colonies per 10 m\2\, Burman et al., 2012). In
surveys between 2005 to 2007 along the Florida reef tract from Martin
County to the lower Florida Keys, density of O. annularis was
approximately 1.3 colonies per 10 m\2\ (Wagner et al., 2010). Off
southwest Cuba on remote reefs, O. annularis density was 0.31 0.46 (SD) per 10 m transect on 38 reef-crest sites and 1.58
1.29 colonies per 10 m transect on 30 reef-front sites.
Colonies with partial mortality were far more frequent than those with
no partial mortality which only occurred in the size class less than
100 cm (Alcolado et al., 2010).
Population trends are available from a number of studies. In a
study of sites inside and outside a marine protected area in Belize, O.
annularis cover declined significantly over a ten year period (1998/99
to 2008/09) (Huntington et al., 2011). In a study of ten sites inside
and outside of a marine reserve in the Exuma Cays, Bahamas, cover of O.
annularis increased between 2004 and 2007 inside the protected area and
decreased outside the protected area (Mumby and Harborne, 2010).
Between 1996 and 2006, O. annularis declined in cover by 37 percent in
permanent monitoring stations in the Florida Keys (Waddell and Clarke,
2008), and, cover of O. annularis in permanent monitoring stations
between 1996 and 1998 on a reef in the upper Florida Keys declined 71
percent (Porter et al., 2001).
Orbicella annularis is the third most abundant coral by percent
cover in permanent monitoring stations in the U.S. Virgin Islands. A
decline of 60 percent was observed between 2001 and 2012 primarily due
to bleaching in 2005. However, most of the mortality was partial
mortality, and colony density in monitoring stations did not change
(Smith, 2013).
At nine sites off Mona and Desecheo Islands, Puerto Rico, no
species extirpations were noted at any site over 10 years of monitoring
between 1995 and 2008. However, O. faveolata and O. annularis sustained
the largest losses with the number of colonies of O. annularis
decreasing by 19 and 20 percent at Mona and Desecheo Islands,
respectively. In 1998, eight percent of all corals at six sites
surveyed off Mona Island were O. annularis colonies, dipping to
approximately 6 percent in 2008. At Desecheo Island, 14 percent of all
coral colonies were O. annularis in 2000 and 13 percent in 2008
(Bruckner and Hill, 2009).
Surveys of a degraded and a less degraded site in a marine
protected area in Cartagena, Colombia, revealed that while large, old
colonies of O. annularis were present, colonies had experienced high
partial mortality that caused high fission rates and a dominance of
small, non-reproductive ramets. Ramets that were non-reproductive or
less fertile (less than 46 cm\2\) accounted for 72 percent and 55
percent of the population at the surveyed sites, and only one percent
and six percent of the ramets at the sites were large enough (200
cm\2\) to be fully reproductive. In addition to the small ramet size,
the lack of sexual recruitment led the authors to conclude that both
populations were in decline, especially at the more degraded reef where
mortality was higher and ramets were smaller, as individual colonies
seemed to be growing old without being replaced (Alvarado-Chacon and
Acosta, 2009).
In a survey of 185 sites in five countries (Bahamas, Bonaire,
Cayman Islands, Puerto Rico, and St. Kitts and Nevis) in 2010 to 2011,
size of O. annularis and O. franksi colonies was significantly less
than O. faveolata. Total mean partial mortality of O. annularis
colonies at all sites was 40 percent. Overall, the total area occupied
by live O. annularis declined by a mean of 51 percent, and mean colony
size declined from 1927 cm\2\ to 939 cm\2\. There was a 211 percent
increase in small tissue remnants less than 500 cm\2\, while the
proportion of completely live large (1,500-30,000 cm\2\) colonies
declined. Orbicella annularis colonies in Puerto Rico were much larger
with large amounts of dead sections. In contrast, colonies in Bonaire
were also large with greater amounts of live tissue. The presence of
dead sections was attributed primarily to outbreaks of white plague and
yellow band disease, which emerged as corals began recovering from mass
bleaching events. This was followed by increased predation and removal
of live tissue by damselfish algal lawns (Bruckner, 2012a).
[[Page 53953]]
Hughes and Tanner (2000) documented the demographics of O.
annularis in Jamaica from 1977 to 1993. At the beginning of the study,
86 colonies were present within monitored stations. The number of
colonies increased 40 to 42 percent between 1986 and 1987 due to
fission (occurring at the same time as a decline in cover) and
subsequently declined steadily to 40 colonies by 1993. Rates of
survival, population growth, and recruitment declined over time, and
the size structure became increasingly dominated by smaller size
classes (Hughes and Tanner, 2000). Mortality increased sharply between
1990 and 1993 due to the presence of smaller, more vulnerable colonies
formed by partial mortality of larger colonies (Hughes, 1996). The
persistence of large colonies had the greatest effect on population
growth, and simulations indicated that the levels of recruitment needed
to maintain population levels at 1977 levels increased sharply over
time (Hughes and Tanner, 2000). Simulations with no sexual recruitment
indicated that the population dynamics in the most recent period (1987
to 1993) forecasted a population of zero within approximately 25 years.
Simulation using the population dynamics observed between 1982 to 1987
would result in a slower decline while the dynamics observed between
1977 and 1982 would result in population growth (Hughes and Tanner,
2000).
Cover of O. annularis at Yawzi Point, St. John, U.S. Virgin Islands
declined from 41 percent in 1988 to approximately 12 percent by 2003
with a rapid decline beginning with the aftermath of Hurricane Hugo in
1989 and continuing between 1994 and 1999 during a time of two
hurricanes (1995) and a year of unusually high sea temperature (1998),
and remaining statistically unchanged between 1999 and 2003. Colony
abundances declined from 47 to 20 colonies per m\2\ between 1988 and
2003, due mostly to the death and fission of medium to large colonies
(>=151 cm\2\). Meanwhile, the population size class structure shifted
between 1988 and 2003 to a higher proportion of smaller colonies in
2003 (60 percent less than 50 cm\2\ in 1988 versus 70 percent in 2003)
and lower proportion of large colonies (6 percent greater than 250
cm\2\ in 1988 versus 3 percent in 2003). The changes in population size
structure indicated a population decline coincident with the period of
apparent stable coral cover. Population modeling forecasts the 1988
size structure would not be reestablished by recruitment and a strong
likelihood of extirpation of O. annularis at this site within 50 years
(Edmunds and Elahi, 2007).
Orbicella annularis colonies were monitored between 2001 and 2009
at Culebra Island, Puerto Rico. The population was in demographic
equilibrium (high rates of survival and stasis) before the 2005
bleaching event but suffered a significant decline in growth rate
(mortality and shrinkage) for two consecutive years after the bleaching
event. Partial tissue mortality due to bleaching caused dramatic colony
fragmentation that resulted in a population made up almost entirely of
small colonies by 2007 (97 percent were less than 50 cm\2\). Three
years after the bleaching event, the population stabilized at a number
of colonies reduced by about half, with fewer medium to large size
colonies and more smaller colonies (Hern[aacute]ndez-Pacheco et al.,
2011).
All information on O. annularis' abundance and population trends
can be summarized as follows. Historically, O. annularis was considered
to be one of the most abundant species in the Caribbean (Weil and
Knowlton, 1994). Percent cover has declined between 37 to 90 percent
over the past several decades at reefs at Jamaica, Belize, Florida
Keys, Bahamas, Bonaire, Cayman Islands, Curacao, Puerto Rico, U.S.
Virgin Islands, and St. Kitts and Nevis. Based on population estimates,
there are at least tens of millions of O. annularis colonies present in
the Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas combined. Absolute abundance is
higher than the estimate from these two locations given the presence of
this species in many other locations throughout its range. Orbicella
annularis remains common in occurrence. Abundance has decreased in some
areas between 19 to 57 percent, and shifts to smaller size classes have
occurred in locations such as Jamaica, Colombia, Bahamas, Bonaire,
Cayman Islands, Puerto Rico, U.S. Virgin Islands, and St. Kitts and
Nevis. At some reefs, a large proportion of the population is comprised
of non-fertile or less-reproductive size classes. Several population
projections indicate population decline in the future is likely at
specific sites, and local extirpation is possible within 25 to 50 years
at conditions of high mortality, low recruitment, and slow growth
rates. We conclude that while substantial population decline has
occurred in O. annularis, it is still common throughout the Caribbean
and remains one of the dominant species numbering at least in the tens
of millions of colonies. Additionally, as discussed in the genus
section, we conclude that the buffering capacity of O. annularis' life
history strategy that has allowed it to remain abundant has been
reduced by the recent population declines and amounts of partial
mortality, particularly in large colonies.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on O. annularis'
life history. Orbicella annularis is reported to have slightly smaller
egg size and potentially smaller size/age at first reproduction that
the other two species of the Orbicella genus.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the life history of O. annularis. Supplemental information we found
on O. annularis' life history includes the following. The reported
growth rate of O. annularis is 0.4 to 1.2 cm per year (Cruz-
Pi[ntilde][oacute]n et al., 2003; Tomascik, 1990). Darling et al.
(2012) performed a biological trait-based analysis to categorize coral
species into four life history strategies: Generalist, weedy,
competitive, and stress-tolerant. The classifications were primarily
separated by colony morphology, growth rate, and reproductive mode.
Orbicella annularis was classified as a ``stress-tolerant'' species,
thus likely less vulnerable to environmental stress.
The SRR and SIR provided the following other biological information
for O. annularis. Eight percent of O. annularis genotypes across three
sites in Belize were clones. Low tissue biomass can render specific
colonies of O. annularis susceptible to mortality from stress events,
such as bleaching or disease. This suggests that differential mortality
among individuals, species, and reefs from stress events such as
bleaching or disease may be at least partially a function of
differential colony biomass (indicating overall coral health) as
opposed to genetic or physiologic differences among corals or their
symbionts.
In a 2010 cold-water event that affected south Florida, mortality
of O. annularis was higher than any other coral species in surveys from
Martin County to the lower Florida Keys. Average partial mortality was
56 percent during the cold-water event compared to 0.3 percent from
2005 to 2009. Surveys at a Florida Keys inshore patch reef, which
experienced temperatures less than 18 degrees C for 11 days, revealed
O. annularis was one of the most susceptible coral species with all
colonies experiencing total colony mortality.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental biological
information on O. annularis.
[[Page 53954]]
Supplemental biological information we found includes the following. Of
117 colonies of O. annularis observed to spawn at a reef site off Bocas
del Toro, Panama, there were 21 distinct genotypes, meaning that 82
percent of the colonies were clones (Levitan et al., 2011). Individuals
within a genotype spawned more synchronously than individuals of
different genotypes. Colonies nearby spawned more synchronously
regardless of genotype, out to about 5 m. When colonies were farther
away, spawning was random.
Of 137 O. annularis colonies sampled in Honduras, 118 were distinct
genotypes, meaning that 14 percent of the colonies were clones. Over 90
percent of genotypes were represented by a single colony, and 8 percent
of the genotypes were represented by two or three colonies. One
genotype had 14 colonies. Distance between clones ranged between 0.15 m
to 6.94 m (Foster et al., 2007).
Genetic sampling of 698 O. annularis colonies from 18 reefs within
five countries in the Caribbean (Belize, Bahamas, Columbia, Curacao,
and Honduras) revealed 466 distinct genotypes (approximately 33 percent
clones). Genotypic diversity varied across the species' range from
genetically diverse populations in Colombia, where every colony was
unique, to genetically depauperate populations in Belize and Curacao,
where a few genetic clones dominated. The contribution of clones to the
local abundance of O. annularis increased in areas with greater
hurricane frequency. Sites with higher genotypic diversity were
dominated by larger colonies, and sites that experienced more frequent
hurricanes were composed of smaller colonies than sites with less
frequent hurricanes (Foster et al., 2013).
Tissue samples of 1,424 O. annularis colonies at 26 reefs in 16
regions of the Caribbean (Bahamas, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Puerto
Rico, British Virgin Islands, Dominica, Barbados, Tobago, Venezuela,
Netherlands Antilles, Colombia, Nicaragua, Jamaica, Cayman Islands,
Belize, and Honduras) produced 943 distinct genotypes (34 percent
clones). Three coarse population clusters of O. annularis were
detected: eastern (Lesser Antilles, Venezuela, and Netherlands
Antilles), western (Bahamas, Cuba, Belize, and Cayman Islands), and
central (Jamaica, Honduras, Nicaragua, Colombia, Puerto Rico, British
Virgin Islands, and Dominican Republic). No barrier to gene flow based
on absolute geographic distance was apparent (Foster et al., 2012).
In a study of symbiont composition of repeatedly sampled colonies
of six species in the Bahamas and the Florida Keys in 1998 and 2000 to
2004, major changes in symbiont dominance with time were observed in O.
annularis and O. franksi at certain reefs in the Florida Keys. Some
colonies of O. annularis and O. franksi exhibited shifts in their
associations attributed to recovery from the stresses of the 1997-1998
bleaching event. Most transitions in symbiont identity ended in 2002,
three to five years after the 1997-98 bleaching event (Thornhill et
al., 2006).
All other biological information can be summarized as follows.
Asexual fission and partial mortality can lead to multiple ramets. The
percentage of unique genotypes is variable by location and is reported
to range between 18 and 86 percent (14 to 82 percent are clones).
Colonies in areas with higher disturbance from hurricanes tend to have
more clonality. Genetic data indicate that there is some population
structure in the eastern, central, and western Caribbean with
population connectivity within areas but not across. Although O.
annularis is still abundant, it may exhibit high clonality in some
locations.
Susceptibility to Threats
The threat susceptibility information from the SRR and SIR was
interpreted in the proposed rule for O. annularis' vulnerabilities to
threats as follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming, disease,
acidification, sedimentation, and nutrient enrichment; moderate
vulnerability to the trophic effects of fishing; and low vulnerability
to sea level rise, predation, and collection and trade.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
susceptibility of O. annularis to ocean warming. Simulation models
using demographic data collected in Puerto Rico over nine years
straddling the 2005 bleaching forecasted extinction of the population
within 100 years at a bleaching frequency of once every five to ten
years.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of O. annularis to ocean warming. Supplemental
information we found on the susceptibility of O. annularis to ocean
warming includes the following. Surveys from 19 locations throughout
the Caribbean indicated the bleaching event of 1995-96 was most
extensive in the central and western Caribbean but only slight in the
Lesser Antilles and Bermuda. Mortality of O. annularis from bleaching
ranged from 2 to 30 percent at eight locations six months after the
onset of bleaching (Alcolado et al., 2001).
Eight of 15 colonies of O. annularis monitored in Jamaica from 1994
to 1997 bleached in 1995. Bleaching affected polyp tissue depth,
skeletal extension rate, reproduction, and density band formation, but
the rate of recovery of each of these characteristics varied. Tissue
depth recovered within 4 to 8 weeks after normal color returned, and
growth rates returned to pre-bleaching levels once color and tissue
depth returned. However, one year post bleaching, reproductive failure
occurred in severely bleached colonies (bleached for 4 months and pale
for an additional 3 months), and colonies that bleached mildly
(bleached for 2 months with pale color for an additional 1 to 3 months)
experienced reduced reproduction. Reproductive output of bleached
colonies continued to be reduced two years after bleaching (Mendes and
Woodley, 2002).
Stratified random surveys on back-reefs and fore-reefs between one
and 30 m depth off Puerto Rico (Mona and Desecho Islands, La Parguera,
Mayaguez, Boqueron, and Rincon) in 2005 and 2006 revealed severe
bleaching in O. annularis with greater than 95 percent of colonies
bleached (Waddell and Clarke, 2008). Surveys from 2005 to 2007 along
the Florida reef tract from Martin County to the lower Florida Keys
indicated that O. annularis had the seventh highest bleaching
prevalence out of 30 species observed (Wagner et al., 2010). During a
2009 bleaching event on Little Cayman, of the ten coral species that
bleached, O. annularis had the second highest bleaching prevalence with
approximately 45 percent of colonies bleached (van Hooidonk et al.,
2012).
Surveys at Culebra Island, Puerto Rico revealed extensive bleaching
in 2005 with all of the O. annularis colonies in monitored transects
bleached, and many of the surviving colonies remained pale in color
after a year. Cover of O. annularis was reduced from 28 percent prior
to the bleaching event in 2005 to 8 percent in 2009 (Hern[aacute]ndez-
Pacheco et al., 2011).
In Barbados, the prevalence and abundance of the zooxanthellae
Symbiodinium trenchi (D1a) increased in colonies of O. annularis in the
weeks leading up to and during the 2005 bleaching event, and
disproportionately dominated O. annularis colonies that did not bleach.
In the 2-year period following the bleaching event, S. trenchi was
displaced by other strains of Symbiodinium that were more competitive
under less stressful conditions. The authors concluded that
[[Page 53955]]
it was unclear whether the rise and fall of S. trenchi was ecologically
beneficial or whether its increased prevalence was an indicator of
weakening coral health (LaJeunesse et al., 2009).
Across the U.S. Virgin Islands, average bleaching of O. annularis
was 66 percent, and paling was 16 percent, during the 2005 bleaching
event. Disease prevalence of O. annularis was 5 percent after the 2005
bleaching. In the milder 2010 bleaching event, 58 percent of O.
annularis colonies bleached, and 28 percent of the colonies paled. No
O. annularis colonies suffered total mortality, but percent cover
decreased from the 2.5 percent cover in 2005 before bleaching to about
one percent in 2010. There was a reduction in the proportion of larger
sized colonies and an increase in the proportion of smaller sized
colonies due to fission of larger colonies. The authors concluded that
the susceptibility to disease increased the impact of bleaching, making
O. annularis less tolerant overall to ocean warming (Smith et al.,
2013b).
All sources of information are used to describe O. annularis'
susceptibility to ocean warming as follows. Orbicella annularis is
highly susceptible to bleaching with 45 to 100 percent of colonies
observed to bleach. Reported mortality from bleaching ranges from two
to 71 percent. Recovery after bleaching is slow with paled colonies
observed for up to a year. Reproductive failure can occur a year after
bleaching, and reduced reproduction has been observed two years post
bleaching. There is indication that symbiont shuffling can occur prior
to, during, and after bleaching events and result in bleaching
resistance in individual colonies. We conclude that O. annularis is
highly susceptible to ocean warming.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any species-specific information on
the susceptibility of O. annularis to acidification, and the public
comments did not provide new or supplemental information on its
susceptibility to this threat. We did not find any new or supplemental
information on the susceptibility of O. annularis to acidification.
Although there is no species-specific information on the susceptibility
of O. annularis to ocean acidification, genus information indicates the
species complex has reduced growth and fertilization success under
acidic conditions. Thus, we conclude O. annularis likely has high
susceptibility to ocean acidification.
The SRR and SIR did not provide any species-specific information on
the susceptibility of O. annularis to disease. The public comments did
not provide new or supplemental information on the susceptibility of O.
annularis to disease. Supplemental information we found on the
susceptibility of O. annularis to disease confirms the information on
the Orbicella species complex and includes the following. Surveys at
five sites along the west coast of Dominica between 2000 and 2002
revealed O. annularis was one of the species most susceptible to
disease. Of the 12 species infected by white plague in 2000, O.
annularis ranked third highest in disease prevalence (14.1 percent of
infected colonies were O. annularis). It ranked second in 2001 out of
14 species (20.3 percent) and third in 2002 out of 13 species (12.7
percent). Although only one colony experienced total colony mortality,
O. annularis had the third highest amount of tissue loss in the three
years combined (11,717 cm\2\). Black band disease affected O. annularis
in 2000 but not in any of the other survey years (Borger and Steiner,
2005).
In a 1998 outbreak of white plague in St. Lucia, three percent of
O. annularis were affected, which was the lowest prevalence of disease
of six species studied (Nugues, 2002). In surveys after the 2010
bleaching event and the passage of a hurricane, 93 percent of diseased
colonies (111 of 119 colonies) surveyed in radial transects in Brewers
Bay, U.S. Virgin Islands were O. annularis (Brandt et al., 2013).
Yellow band disease in O. annularis increased in prevalence between
1999 and 2004 on reefs near La Parguera and Desecheo and Mona Islands,
Puerto Rico (Waddell, 2005).
Disease surveys conducted between August and December 1999 at 19
reef sites from six geographic areas across the wider Caribbean
(Bermuda, Puerto Rico, Bonaire, Venezuela, Colombia, and Jamaica)
revealed that O. annularis showed the highest incidence of disease at
5.5 to 12.6 percent across geographic locations. Yellow band disease
showed higher incidences in Bonaire and Venezuela where a high
proportion of recently dead ramets of O. annularis that most probably
died from the disease were observed (Weil et al., 2002).
In Curacao, colonies of O. annularis infected with yellow band
disease lost 90 percent of their tissue between 1997 and 2005. Only the
unaffected parts of colonies continued to grow, and only the smallest
lesions healed. Partial mortality was higher in 2005 (average of 40
percent) than in 1998. Outbreaks of white plague occurred in 2001 and
2005 and infected O. faveolata and O. annularis with the highest
frequency (Bruckner and Bruckner, 2006a).
All sources of information are used to describe O. annularis'
susceptibility to disease as follows. Most studies report O. annularis
as among the species with the highest disease prevalence. Disease can
cause extensive loss in coral cover, high levels of partial colony
mortality, and changes in the relative proportions of smaller and
larger colonies, particularly when outbreaks occur after bleaching
events. Thus, we conclude that O. annularis is highly susceptible to
disease.
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the
susceptibility of O. annularis to the trophic effects of fishing.
Interactions between O. annularis and four types of benthic algae
(encrusting calcified red algae, fleshy brown macroalgae, upright
calcareous green algae, and a mixed assemblage of turf algae) indicate
that each alga exerts its own characteristic suite of effects on the
coral holobiont, and that micro-scale dynamics have the potential to
drive changes in reef community composition. Negative impacts spanned
the range from micro-scale changes in microbial communities and oxygen
drawdown to colony-scale effects such as damage to adjacent polyps and
lowered fecundity of the adjacent colony. The public comments did not
provide new or supplemental information on the susceptibility of O.
annularis to the trophic effects of fishing, and we did not find any
new or supplemental information.
All sources of information are used to describe O. annularis'
susceptibility to the trophic effects of fishing as follows. Due to the
level of reef fishing conducted in the Caribbean, coupled with Diadema
die-off and lack of significant recovery, competition with algae can
adversely affect coral recruitment. In addition, competition with algae
can lead to micro-scale to colony-level negative impacts to O.
annularis. Thus, we conclude that O. annularis has some susceptibility
to the trophic effects of fishing. The available information does not
support a more precise description of susceptibility to this threat.
The SRR and SIR did not provide species-specific information on the
susceptibility of O. annularis to sedimentation, and the public
comments did not provide new or supplemental information on its
susceptibility to this threat. Supplemental information we found
confirms the information on the susceptibility of the Orbicella species
complex to sedimentation and includes the following. In St. Lucia,
rates of partial mortality of O. annularis and O. faveolata were higher
close to river
[[Page 53956]]
mouths where sediments were deposited than they were farther from the
river mouths, indicating sensitivity of these two species to
sedimentation (Nugues and Roberts, 2003). Additionally, at five study
sites in Puerto Rico, the cover of O. annularis decreased significantly
with a high content of terrigenous sediments (Torres and Morelock,
2002).
All sources of information are used to describe O. annularis'
susceptibility to sedimentation as follows. Sedimentation can cause
partial mortality and decreased coral cover of O. annularis. In
addition, genus information indicates sedimentation negatively affects
primary production, growth rates, calcification, colony size, and
abundance. Therefore, we conclude that O. annularis has high
susceptibility to sedimentation.
The SRR, SIR, and public comments do not provide information on the
susceptibility of O. annularis to nutrient enrichment. Supplemental
information we found on the susceptibility of O. annularis to nutrient
enrichment includes the following. Field experiments indicate that
nutrient enrichment significantly increases yellow band disease
severity in O. annularis and O. franksi through increased tissue loss
(Bruno et al., 2003). In laboratory experiments, dissolved organic
carbon caused significantly higher mortality of O. annularis after 30
days of exposure compared to controls while nutrients (phosphate,
nitrate, and ammonia) did not (Kline et al., 2006; Kuntz et al., 2005).
Dissolved organic carbon levels that resulted in significantly higher
mortality compared to controls were 12.5 mg per L glucose, and 25 mg
per L lactose, starch, galactose, and glucose, which were all levels
reported for impacted reefs (Kline et al., 2006; Kuntz et al., 2005).
All sources of information are used to describe O. annularis'
susceptibility to nutrient enrichment as follows. Elevated nutrients
cause increased disease severity in O. annularis. Genus level
information indicates elevated nutrients also cause reduced growth
rates and lowered recruitment. Therefore, we conclude that O. annularis
has high susceptibility to nutrients.
The SRR and SIR do not provide species-specific information on the
susceptibility of O. annularis to predation. Likewise, the public
comments do not provide information on the susceptibility of O.
annularis to predation. Supplemental information we found on the
susceptibility of O. annularis to predation includes the following.
Predation by the corallivorous snail C. abbreviata was present on 2.5
percent of O. annularis colonies surveyed in the Florida Keys in 2012
(Miller et al., 2013). Parrotfish consume O. annularis and O. faveolata
more intensively than other coral species, but tissue regeneration
capabilities appear to be high enough to counterbalance loss from
predation (Mumby, 2009).
All sources of information are used to describe O. annularis'
susceptibility to predation as follows. Orbicella annularis is affected
by a number of predators, but losses appear to be minimal. We conclude
that O. annularis has low susceptibility to predation.
The SRR and SIR did not provide information on the effects of sea
level rise on O. annularis. The SRR described sea level rise as an
overall low to medium threat for all coral species. The public comments
did not provide new or supplemental information on O. annularis'
susceptibility to sea level rise, and we did not find any new or
supplemental information. Thus, we conclude that O. annularis has some
susceptibility to sea level rise, but the available information does
not support a more precise description of susceptibility to this
threat.
The SRR and SIR did not provide species-specific information on the
susceptibility of O. annularis to collection and trade, and the public
comments did not provide new or supplemental information on its
susceptibility to this threat. Supplemental information we found
confirms the information in the SRR and SIR that collection and trade
is not a significant threat for the Orbicella species complex. Over the
last decade, collection and trade of this species has been primarily
for scientific research rather than commercial purposes. Annual gross
exports for collection and trade of O. annularis between 2000 and 2012
averaged 1,178 specimens (data available at https://trade.cites.org).
Thus, we conclude that O. annularis has a low susceptibility to
collection and trade.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we relied on information from the Final
Management Report for evaluating the existing regulatory mechanisms for
controlling threats to all corals. However, we did not provide any
species-specific information on the regulatory mechanism or
conservation efforts for O. annularis. Public comments were critical of
that approach, and we therefore attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms and conservation efforts on a species basis, where possible,
in this final rule. Records confirm that O. annularis occurs in nine
Atlantic ecoregions that encompass 26 kingdom's and countries' EEZs.
The 26 kingdoms and countries are Antigua & Barbuda, Bahamas, Barbados,
Belize, Colombia, Costa Rica, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic,
French Antilles, Grenada, Guatemala, Haiti, Kingdom of the Netherlands,
Honduras, Jamaica, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, St. Kitts & Nevis, St.
Lucia, St. Vincent & Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, United Kingdom
(British Caribbean Territories and possibly Bermuda), United States
(including U.S. Caribbean Territories), and Venezuela. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to O. annularis, described first as a percentage of
the above kingdoms and countries that utilize them to any degree, and
second as the percentage of those kingdoms and countries whose
regulatory mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (31 percent with 12 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (50 percent with 27 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (31 percent with 15 percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (73 percent with 50 percent limited in scope),
managing areas for protection and conservation (88 percent with 31
percent limited in scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for O. annularis are reef fishing regulations and area management
for protection and conservation. However, half of the reef fishing
regulations are limited in scope and may not provide substantial
protection for the species. General coral protection and collection
laws, along with pollution control laws, are much less common
regulatory mechanisms for the management of O. annularis.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic traits, threat susceptibilities, and consideration of
the baseline environment and future projections of threats. The SRR
stated that the factors that increase the extinction risk for O.
annularis include very low productivity (growth and recruitment),
documented dramatic declines in abundance, restriction to the degraded
reefs of the wider Caribbean region, and preferential occurrence in
shallow habitats (yielding potentially greater exposure to surface-
based threats.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information,
[[Page 53957]]
described above, that expands our knowledge regarding the species'
abundance, distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our
assessment of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the
available information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our
assessment in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species'
spatial and demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of O. annularis, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
The species has undergone major declines mostly due to warming-induced
bleaching and disease. Several population projections indicate
population decline in the future is likely at specific sites and that
local extirpation is possible within 25 to 50 years at conditions of
high mortality, low recruitment, and slow growth rates. There is
evidence of synergistic effects of threats for this species including
disease outbreaks following bleaching events and increased disease
severity with nutrient enrichment. Orbicella annularis is highly
susceptible to a number of threats, and cumulative effects of multiple
threats have likely contributed to its decline and exacerbate
vulnerability to extinction. Despite high declines, the species is
still common and remains one of the most abundant species on Caribbean
reefs. Its life history characteristics of large colony size and long
life span have enabled it to remain relatively persistent despite slow
growth and low recruitment rates, thus moderating vulnerability to
extinction. However, the buffering capacity of these life history
characteristics is expected to decrease as colonies shift to smaller
size classes as has been observed in locations in its range. Its
absolute population abundance has been estimated as at least tens of
millions of colonies in the Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas combined and
is higher than the estimate from these two locations due to the
occurrence of the species in many other areas throughout its range.
Despite the large number of islands and environments that are included
in the species' range, geographic distribution in the highly disturbed
Caribbean exacerbates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable
future because O. annularis is limited to an area with high, localized
human impacts and predicted increasing threats. Orbicella annularis
occurs in most reef habitats 0.5 to 20 m in depth which moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future because the
species occurs in numerous types of reef environments that are
predicted, on local and regional scales, to experience highly variable
thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in time. Its
abundance and life history characteristics combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and acidification across the species'
range, moderate vulnerability to extinction because the threats are
non-uniform, and there will likely be a large number of colonies that
are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at any
given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the determination tool formula
approach, O. annularis was proposed for listing as endangered because
of: High vulnerability to ocean warming (E) disease (C), and ocean
acidification (E); high vulnerability to sedimentation (A and E) and
nutrient over-enrichment (A and E); decreasing trend in abundance (E);
low relative recruitment rate (E); narrow overall distribution (based
on narrow geographic distribution and moderate depth distribution (E);
restriction to the Caribbean; and inadequacy of regulatory mechanisms
(D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for O.
annularis from endangered to threatened. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic approach, including
consideration of the buffering capacity of this species' spatial and
demographic traits, and the best available information above on O.
annularis' spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management. The combination of these factors indicates that O.
annularis is likely to become endangered throughout its range within
the foreseeable future, and thus warrants listing as threatened at this
time, because:
(1) Orbicella annularis is susceptible to ocean warming (ESA Factor
E), disease (C), sedimentation (A, E), nutrients (A, E), and ocean
acidification (E) and susceptible to trophic effects of fishing (A).
These threats are expected to continue and increase into the future. In
addition, the species is at heightened extinction risk due to
inadequate existing regulatory mechanisms to address global threats
(D);
(2) Orbicella is geographically located in the highly disturbed
Caribbean where localized human impacts are high and threats are
predicted to increase as described in the Threats Evaluation section. A
range constrained to this particular geographic area that is likely to
experience severe and increasing threats indicates that a high
proportion of the population of this species is likely to be exposed to
those threats over the foreseeable future;
(3) Orbicella annularis has undergone declines in abundance and
percent cover over the past two decades;
(4) Orbicella annularis' slow growth rate and low sexual
recruitment limit its capacity for recovery from threat-induced
mortality events throughout its range over the foreseeable future.
Additionally, shifts to smaller size classes via fission and partial
mortality of older, larger colonies, have reduced the buffering
capacity of O. annularis' life history strategy; and
(5) Several population projections and simulations predict
continued population declines and local extirpation at specific sites
within the foreseeable future.
The combination of these characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates that the species is likely to be in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future throughout its range, and
warrants listing as threatened at this time due to factors A, C, D, and
E.
The available information above on O. annularis' spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and management also indicate that
the species is not currently in danger of extinction and thus does not
warrant listing as Endangered because:
(1) While Orbicella annularis' distribution within the Caribbean
increases its risk of exposure to threats as described above, its
habitat includes most reef environments in water depths ranging from
0.5 to 20 m. This moderates vulnerability to extinction currently
because the species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in
numerous types of reef environments will experience highly variable
thermal regimes and ocean chemistry on local and regional scales at any
given point in time, as described in more detail in the Coral Habitat
and Threats Evaluation sections. There is no evidence to suggest that
the species is so spatially fragmented that depensatory processes,
environmental stochasticity, or the potential for catastrophic events
currently pose a high risk to the survival of the species;
(2) Although O. annularis' abundance has declined, it still has a
common
[[Page 53958]]
occurrence and remains one of the most dominant corals in the
Caribbean. Its absolute abundance is at least tens of millions of
colonies based on estimates from two locations. Absolute abundance is
higher than estimates from these locations since it occurs in many
other locations throughout its range. This absolute abundance allows
for variation in the responses of individuals to threats to play a role
in moderating vulnerability to extinction for the species to some
degree, as described in more detail in the Corals and Coral Reefs
section. There is no evidence of depensatory processes such as
reproductive failure from low density of reproductive individuals and
genetic processes such as inbreeding affecting this species. Thus, its
absolute abundance indicates it is currently able to avoid high
mortality from environmental stochasticity, and mortality of a high
proportion of its population from catastrophic events; and
(3) Some evidence shows that symbiont shuffling can occur prior to,
during, and after bleaching events and result in bleaching resistance
in individual colonies. This indicates O. annularis may have some
buffering capacity against warming-induced bleaching.
The combination of these characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of one that is currently in danger
of extinction, as described previously in the Risk Analyses section and
thus does not warrant listing as endangered at this time.
Range-wide, multitudes of conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting O. annularis. However, considering
the global scale of the most important threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at addressing the root cause of
global threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not believe that any
current conservation efforts or conservation efforts planned in the
future will result in affecting the species' status to the point at
which listing is not warranted.
Genus Acropora (Caribbean)
Acropora is the only genus considered in this rule that has species
from both the Caribbean and the Indo-Pacific. Genus-level information
for the Indo-Pacific species is described later under the section
heading Genus Acropora (Indo-Pacific). Colonies in the Caribbean are
all branching. There are over 300 nominal species in the genus
Acropora, but in the Caribbean, there are only two species and one
hybrid. Acropora cervicornis and A. palmata can interbreed to form the
hybrid A. prolifera (Brainard et al., 2011). Acropora cervicornis shows
genetic evidence of introgression or back-crossing with the hybrid A.
prolifera while A. palmata does not (Brainard et al., 2011). The reason
may be that A. palmata eggs are more resistant to fertilization in
comparison to A. cervicornis eggs, as evidenced by an order of
magnitude higher sperm needed to maximize conspecific fertilization,
lower rates of heterospecific fertilization, and reduced viability
after four hours (Fogarty et al., 2012c).
Caribbean acroporiids are easily distinguishable and heavily
studied. Therefore, this final rule does not provide an exhaustive
discussion of the spatial, demographic, and threat vulnerabilities at
the genus level. That information is described below for each species.
Acropora cervicornis
Introduction
Acropora cervicornis is characterized by antler-like colonies with
straight or slightly curved, cylindrical branches. The diameter of
branches ranges from 0.25 to 5 cm (Lirman et al., 2010a), and linear
branch growth rates have been reported to range between 3 and 11.5 cm
per year (Acropora Biological Review Team, 2005). The species can exist
as isolated branches, individual colonies up to about 1.5 m diameter,
and thickets comprised of multiple colonies that are difficult to
distinguish (Acropora Biological Review Team, 2005).
Spatial Information
Information on A. cervicornis' distribution, habitat, and depth
range that we considered in the proposed rule includes the following.
Acropora cervicornis is distributed throughout the Caribbean, in the
southwestern Gulf of Mexico, and in the western Atlantic. The fossil
record indicates that during the Holocene, A. cervicornis was present
as far north as Palm Beach County in southeast Florida (Lighty et al.,
1978), which is also the northern extent of its current distribution
(Goldberg, 1973).
Acropora cervicornis naturally occurs on spur and groove, bank
reef, patch reef, and transitional reef habitats, as well as on
limestone ridges, terraces, and hardbottom habitats (Cairns, 1982;
Davis, 1982; Gilmore and Hall, 1976; Goldberg, 1973; Jaap, 1984; Miller
et al., 2008; Wheaton and Jaap, 1988). It commonly grows in water
ranging from five to 20 m in depth and has rarely been found to 60 m
(Davis, 1982; Jaap, 1984; Jaap et al., 1989; Schuhmacher and Zibrowius,
1985; Wheaton and Jaap, 1988). At the northern extent of its range, it
grows in deeper water (16 to 30 m; Goldberg, 1973). Historically,
staghorn coral was one of the primary constructors of mid-depth (10 to
15 m) reef terraces in the western Caribbean, including Jamaica, the
Cayman Islands, Belize, and some reefs along the eastern Yucatan
peninsula (Adey, 1978). In the Florida Keys, A. cervicornis occurs in
various habitats but is most prevalent on patch reefs as opposed to
their former abundance in deeper fore-reef habitats (Miller et al.,
2008). There is no evidence of range constriction, though loss of A.
cervicornis at the reef level has occurred (Acropora Biological Review
Team, 2005).
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on A. cervicornis' habitat or depth range. The public comments provided
the following supplemental information on the distribution of A.
cervicornis. Precht and Aronson (2004) postulate that coincident with
climate warming, A. cervicornis only recently re-occupied its historic
range after contracting to south of Miami, Florida during the late
Holocene. They based this idea on the presence of large thickets off
Ft. Lauderdale, Florida which were discovered in 1998 and had not been
reported in the 1970s or 1980s (Precht and Aronson, 2004). However,
because the presence of A. cervicornis in Palm Beach County, north of
Ft. Lauderdale, was reported in the early 1970s (though no thicket
formation was reported; Goldberg, 1973), there is uncertainty
associated with whether these thickets were present prior to their
discovery or if they recently appeared coincident with warming.
We did not find any new or supplemental information on habitat or
depth range. Supplemental information we found on A. cervicornis'
distribution is consistent with information considered in the proposed
rule and includes the following. Veron (2014) confirms the presence of
A. cervicornis in seven out of a potential 11 ecoregions in the western
Atlantic and greater Caribbean that are known to contain corals. The
four ecoregions in which it is not found are the Flower Garden Banks
and off the coasts of Bermuda, Brazil, and the southeast U.S. north of
south Florida. The proportion of reefs with A. cervicornis present
decreased dramatically after the Caribbean-wide mass mortality in the
1970s and 1980s, indicating the spatial structure of the species has
been affected by extirpation from many localized areas throughout its
range (Jackson et al., 2014).
[[Page 53959]]
Demographic Information
Information on A. cervicornis' abundance and population trends that
we considered in the proposed rule includes the following. Acropora
cervicornis has been described as sometimes common (Veron, 2000) and
uncommon (Carpenter et al., 2008). Acropora cervicornis historically
was one of the dominant species on most Caribbean reefs, forming large,
monotypic thickets and giving rise to the nominal distinct zone in
classical descriptions of Caribbean reef morphology (Goreau, 1959).
Massive, Caribbean-wide mortality, apparently primarily from white band
disease (Aronson and Precht, 2001), spread throughout the Caribbean in
the mid-1970s to mid-1980s and precipitated widespread and radical
changes in reef community structure (Brainard et al., 2011). In
addition, continuing coral mortality from periodic acute events such as
hurricanes, disease outbreaks, and mass bleaching events has added to
the decline of A. cervicornis (Brainard et al., 2011). In locations
where quantitative data are available (Florida, Jamaica, U.S. Virgin
Islands, Belize), there was a reduction of approximately 92 to greater
than 97 percent between the 1970s and early 2000s (Acropora Biological
Review Team, 2005).
Fossil evidence from the Dominican Republic indicates that Holocene
A. cervicornis was capable of thriving for thousands of years under
highly variable temperature and salinity conditions and suggests that
the recent decline in A. cervicornis is anomalous (Greer et al., 2009).
Additional fossil evidence from Belize indicates that the recent
decline of A. cervicornis is without precedent during the late Holocene
(Aronson and Precht, 2001). In contrast, two 500 year gaps in the
fossil record, around 3 and 4.5 thousand years ago where dated A.
cervicornis fragments were not observed in samples from the Florida
Keys, suggests that the recent decline may not be without precedent
(Shinn et al., 2003). However, this study was based on radiocarbon
dating of A. cervicornis fragments, for which the time of transport and
deposition are not known, so there is uncertainty of whether these gaps
represent the absence of A. cervicornis or variable storm depositional
history (Shinn et al., 2003).
Since the 2006 listing of A. cervicornis as threatened, continued
population declines have occurred in some locations with certain
populations of both species decreasing up to an additional 50 percent
or more (Colella et al., 2012; Lundgren and Hillis-Starr, 2008; Muller
et al., 2008; Rogers and Muller, 2012; Williams et al., 2008).
Public comments provided the following supplemental information on
A. cervicornis' abundance and population trends. There are some small
pockets of remnant robust populations such as in southeast Florida
(Vargas-Angel et al., 2003), Honduras (Keck et al., 2005; Riegl et al.,
2009), and Dominican Republic (Lirman et al., 2010a). Additionally,
Lidz and Zawada (2013) observed 400 colonies of A. cervicornis along
70.2 km of transects near Pulaski Shoal in the Dry Tortugas where the
species had not been seen since the cold water die-off of the 1970s.
Cover of A. cervicornis increased on a Jamaican reef from 0.6 percent
in 1995 to 10.5 percent in 2004 (Idjadi et al., 2006).
Riegl et al. (2009) monitored A. cervicornis in photo plots on the
fringing reef near Roatan, Honduras from 1996 to 2005. Acropora
cervicornis cover was 0.42 percent in 1996, declined to 0.14 percent in
1999 after the Caribbean bleaching event in 1998 and mortality from
run-off associated with a Category 5 hurricane, and decreased further
to 0.09 percent in 2005. Acropora cervicornis colony frequency
decreased 71 percent between 1997 and 1999. In sharp contrast, offshore
banks near Roatan had dense thickets of A. cervicornis with 31 percent
cover in photo-quadrats in 2005 and appeared to survive the 1998
bleaching event and hurricane, most likely due to bathymetric
separation from land and greater flushing. Modeling showed that under
undisturbed conditions, retention of the dense A. cervicornis stands on
the banks off Roatan is likely with a possible increased shift towards
dominance by other coral species. However, the authors note that
because their data and the literature seem to point to extrinsic
factors as driving the decline of A. cervicornis, it is unclear what
the future may hold for this dense population (Riegl et al., 2009).
Miller et al. (2013) extrapolated population abundance of A.
cervicornis in the Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas from stratified random
samples across habitat types. Population estimates of A. cervicornis in
the Florida Keys were 10.2 4.6 (SE) million colonies in
2005, 6.9 2.4 (SE) million colonies in 2007, and 10.0
3.1 (SE) million colonies in 2012. In the Dry Tortugas
population estimates were 0.4 0.4 (SE) million colonies in
2006 and 3.5 2.9 (SE) million colonies in 2008, though the
authors note their sampling scheme in the Dry Tortugas was not
optimized for A. cervicornis. Because these population estimates were
based on random sampling, differences in abundance estimates between
years may be more likely a function of sampling effort rather than
population trends. In both the Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas, most of
the population was dominated by small colonies less than 30 cm
diameter. In the Florida Keys, partial mortality was highest in 2005,
with up to 80 percent mortality observed, and lowest in 2007 with a
maximum of 30 percent. In 2012, partial mortality ranged from 20 to 50
percent across most size classes.
Supplemental information we found on A. cervicornis' abundance and
population trends includes the following. Acropora cervicornis was
observed in 21 out of 301 stations between 2011 and 2013 in stratified
random surveys designed to detect Acropora colonies along the south,
southeast, southwest, and west coasts of Puerto Rico, and it was
observed at an additional 16 sites outside of the surveyed area
(Garc[iacute]a Sais et al., 2013). The largest colony was 60 cm, and
density ranged from 1 to 10 colonies per 15 m\2\ (Garc[iacute]a Sais et
al., 2013).
While cover of A. cervicornis increased from 0.6 percent in 1995 to
10.5 percent in 2004 (Idjadi et al., 2006) and 44 percent in 2005 on a
Jamaican reef, it collapsed after the 2005 bleaching event and
subsequent disease to less than 0.5 percent in 2006 (Quinn and Kojis
2008). A cold water die-off in the Florida Keys in January 2010
resulted in the complete mortality of all A. cervicornis colonies at 45
of the 74 reefs surveyed (61 percent), spanning the lower to upper
Florida Keys (Schopmeyer et al., 2012). Walker et al. (2012) report
increasing size of two thickets (expansion of up to 7.5 times the
original size of one of the thickets) monitored off southeast Florida
and also noted that cover within monitored plots concurrently decreased
by about 50 percent, highlighting the dynamic nature of A. cervicornis
distribution via fragmentation and re-attachment.
New information we found on population trends includes the
following. A report on the status and trends of Caribbean corals over
the last century indicates that cover of A. cervicornis has remained
relatively stable (though much reduced) throughout the region since the
large mortality events of the 1970s and 1980s. The frequency of reefs
at which A. cervicornis was described as the dominant coral has
remained stable. The number of reefs with A. cervicornis present
declined during the 1980s (from approximately 50 to 30 percent of
reefs), remained relatively stable through the
[[Page 53960]]
1990s, and decreased to approximately 20 percent of the reefs 2000-
2004, and approximately 10 percent 2005-2011 (Jackson et al., 2014).
We summarize all sources of information on A. cervicornis'
abundance and population trends as follows. Based on population
estimates, there are at least tens of millions of colonies present in
the Florida Keys and Dry Tortugas combined. Absolute abundance is
higher than the estimate from these two locations given the presence of
this species in many other locations throughout its range. The
effective population size is smaller than indicated by abundance
estimates due to the tendency for asexual reproduction. There is no
evidence of range constriction or extirpation at the island level.
However the species is absent at the reef level. Populations appear to
consist mostly of isolated colonies or small groups of colonies
compared to the vast thickets once prominent throughout its range, with
thickets still a prominent feature at only a handful of known
locations. Across the Caribbean, percent cover appears to have remained
relatively stable since the population crash in the 1980s. Frequency of
occurrence has decreased since the 1980s. There are examples of
increasing trends in some locations (Dry Tortugas and southeast
Florida), but not over larger spatial scales or longer time frames.
Population model projections from Honduras at one of the only known-
remaining thickets indicate the retention of this dense stand under
undisturbed conditions. If refuge populations are able to persist, it
is unclear whether they would be able to repopulate nearby reefs as
observed sexual recruitment is low. Thus, we conclude that the species
has undergone substantial population decline and decreases in the
extent of occurrence throughout its range. Percent benthic cover and
proportion of reefs where A. cervicornis is dominant have remained
stable since the mid-1980s and since the listing of the species as
threatened in 2006. We also conclude that population abundance is at
least tens of millions of colonies, but likely to decrease in the
future with increasing threats.
Other Biological Information
Information on A. cervicornis' life history that we considered in
the proposed rule includes the following. Acropora cervicornis is a
hermaphroditic broadcast spawning species. The spawning season occurs
several nights after the full moon in July, August, or September, but
may be split over the course of more than one lunar cycle (Szmant,
1986; Vargas-Angel et al., 2006). The estimated size at sexual maturity
is 17 cm branch length, and large colonies produce proportionally more
gametes than small colonies (Soong and Lang, 1992). Basal and branch
tip tissue is not fertile (Soong and Lang, 1992). Sexual recruitment
rates are low, and this species is generally not observed in coral
settlement studies. However, laboratory studies have found that certain
species of crustose-coralline algae facilitate larval settlement and
post-settlement survival (Ritson-Williams et al., 2010).
Reproduction occurs primarily through asexual fragmentation that
produces multiple colonies that are genetically identical (Tunnicliffe,
1981). The combination of branching morphology, asexual fragmentation,
and fast growth rates can lead to persistence of large areas dominated
by A. cervicornis.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on A. cervicornis' life history. Supplemental information we found on
life history includes the following. Darling et al. (2012) performed a
biological trait-based analysis to categorize coral species into four
life history strategies: Generalist, weedy, competitive, and stress-
tolerant. The classifications were primarily separated by colony
morphology, growth rate, and reproductive mode. Acropora cervicornis
was classified as a ``competitive'' species, thus likely more
vulnerable to environmental stress.
All information on A. cervicornis' life history can be summarized
as follows. The combination of rapid skeletal growth rates and frequent
asexual reproduction by fragmentation can enable effective competition
and can facilitate potential recovery from disturbances when
environmental conditions permit. However, low sexual reproduction can
lead to reduced genetic diversity and limits the capacity to repopulate
sites.
Other biological information on A. cervicornis that we considered
in the proposed rule includes the following. Vollmer and Palumbi (2007)
examined 22 populations of A. cervicornis from nine regions in the
Caribbean (Panama, Belize, Mexico, Florida, Bahamas, Turks and Caicos,
Jamaica, Puerto Rico, and Cura[ccedil]ao) and concluded that
populations greater than 500 km apart are genetically differentiated
with low gene flow across the greater Caribbean. Fine-scale genetic
differences have been detected at reefs separated by as little as 2 km,
suggesting that gene flow in A. cervicornis may not occur at much
smaller spatial scales (Garcia Reyes and Schizas, 2010; Vollmer and
Palumbi, 2007). This fine-scale population structure was greater when
considering genes of A. palmata introgressed in A. cervicornis due to
back-crossing of the hybrid A. prolifera with A. cervicornis (Garcia
Reyes and Schizas, 2010; Vollmer and Palumbi, 2007).
Populations in Florida and Honduras are genetically distinct from
each other and other populations in the U.S. Virgin Islands, Puerto
Rico, Bahamas, and Navassa (Baums et al., 2010), indicating little to
no larval connectivity. However, some potential connectivity between
the U.S. Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico was detected and also between
Navassa and the Bahamas (Baums et al., 2010).
Florida populations of A. cervicornis have high levels of both
genetic diversity and connectivity, with evidence suggesting the
western Caribbean has historically been the source of genetic variation
for Florida (Hemond and Vollmer, 2010). Colonies of A. cervicornis in
Florida mostly harbored zooxanthellae Clade A, but colonies from
inshore and mid-channel reefs, which experience higher sedimentation
and temperature fluctuations than reefs further offshore, had a higher
prominence of Clades C and D, revealing the influence of habitat on
zooxanthellae associations (Baums et al., 2010).
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental biological
information on A. cervicornis, and we did not find any new or
supplemental biological information. All information on A. cervicornis'
biology can be summarized as follows. Connectivity over distances of
greater than 500 km is limited, and there is evidence of restricted
gene flow over much smaller spatial scales. Genetic diversity appears
to be relatively high in some areas like the Florida Keys.
Susceptibility to Threats
Information on threat susceptibilities was interpreted in the
proposed rule for A. cervicornis' vulnerabilities to threats as
follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming, disease, acidification,
sedimentation, and nutrient enrichment; moderate vulnerability to the
trophic effects of fishing and predation; and low vulnerability to sea
level rise and collection and trade.
Information on A. cervicornis' susceptibility to disease that we
considered in the proposed rule includes the following. Disease is
believed to be the primary cause of the region-wide decline of A.
cervicornis beginning in the late 1970s (Aronson and Precht, 2001) and
continues to have a large impact on the species. White band disease is
generally associated
[[Page 53961]]
with the majority of disease-related mortalities, but several other
diseases affect A. cervicornis. Ritchie and Smith (1995; 1998)
described white band disease type II which is linked with a bacterial
infection by Vibrio carchariae (Ritchie and Smith, 1998), also referred
to as V. charchariae and V. harveyi (Gil-Agudelo et al., 2006).
Williams and Miller (2005) reported an outbreak of a transmissible
disease that caused rapid tissue loss on A. cervicornis in the Florida
Keys in 2003. The disease manifested as irregular, multifocal tissue
lesions with apparently healthy tissue remaining in between, a
description similar to A. palmata afflicted with white pox.
Additionally ciliate infections have been reported by Croquer et al.
(2006) at several locations in the Caribbean.
Few studies follow the progression of disease in individual
colonies over time, but there are reports of instantaneous levels of
disease at various locations. The Acropora Biological Review Team
(2005) reported that in the 1997 to 2000 AGRRA surveys, at least 6
percent of A. cervicornis colonies were diseased, with greater
prevalence documented from the Turks and Caicos (21 percent), Cayman
Islands (20 percent), U.S. Virgin Islands (13 percent), and Cuba (8
percent). No disease was recorded on A. cervicornis in Jamaica, Mexico,
Netherlands Antilles, Panama, and Venezuela during the 1997 to 2000
AGRRA surveys (Acropora Biological Review Team, 2005). Between 2001 and
2002, disease was detected at all monitored thickets off Ft.
Lauderdale, Florida with mortality ranging from 0.1 to 7.5 percent per
site and a mean of 1.8 percent of colony surface area affected (Vargas-
Angel et al., 2003). Evidence of white band disease was observed on 5.3
percent of A. cervicornis colonies in February 2010 at Cabezos del
Cayo, Dominican Republic (Lirman et al., 2010a). During a disease
outbreak in the Florida Keys in 2003, 72 percent of the 20 tagged A.
cervicornis colonies were infected; 28 percent of these suffered
complete mortality while many more colonies ended up as remnants of
live tissue (less than 10 percent of colony alive; Williams and Miller,
2005).
The public comments provided the following supplemental information
on the susceptibility of A. cervicornis to disease. No disease was
detected in stratified random surveys in the Florida Keys in 2007
(Miller et al., 2013). Vollmer and Kline (2008) found that six percent
of A. cervicornis genotypes (three out of 49) were resistant to white
band disease during in situ transmission assays in Bocas del Toro,
Panama.
Supplemental information we found on the susceptibility of A.
cervicornis to disease includes the following. In Honduras, diseases
were present in 32 percent of colonies (n = 181) monitored annually
from 1996 to 2005 (Riegl et al., 2009). Between zero and 30 percent of
A. cervicornis colonies monitored in the middle Florida Keys were
affected by disease from 2011 to 2012 (Lunz, 2013). About five percent
were affected by rapid tissue loss during each quarterly monitoring
period (Lunz, 2013).
All information on the susceptibility of A. cervicornis to disease
can be summarized as follows. Acropora cervicornis is highly
susceptible to disease as evidenced by the mass-mortality event in the
1970s and 1980s. Although disease is both spatially and temporally
variable, about five to six percent of A. cervicornis colonies appear
to be affected by disease at any one time, though incidence of disease
has been reported to range from zero to 32 percent and up to 72 percent
during an outbreak. There is indication that some colonies may be
resistant to white band disease. Acropora cervicornis is also
susceptible to several diseases including one that causes rapid tissue
loss from multi-focal lesions. Because few studies track diseased
colonies over time, determining the present-day colony and population
level effects of disease is difficult. One study that monitored
individual colonies during an outbreak found that disease can be a
major cause of both partial and total colony mortality (Williams and
Miller, 2005). Thus, we conclude that A. cervicornis is highly
susceptible to disease.
Information on A. cervicornis' susceptibility to ocean warming that
we considered in the proposed rule includes the following. Acropora
cervicornis was one of the most heavily affected species during a 1987
to 1988 bleaching event in the Cayman Islands with 100 percent of
colonies bleached on the deep reef terrace (18 to 29 m depth) and 83
percent bleached on the shallow reef terrace (Ghiold and Smith, 1990).
In Puerto Rico, about 75 percent of A. cervicornis colonies bleached at
12 monitored sites during the 2005 Caribbean bleaching event (Waddell
and Clarke, 2008). At Culebra Island, Puerto Rico approximately 90
percent of the A. cervicornis colonies had partial or total mortality
during and after the 2005 bleaching event, and bleaching stress and
mortality are believed to have resulted in the reproductive failure to
subsequently spawn in 2006 (Waddell and Clarke, 2008).
Repeat sampling of colonies in the Florida Keys and Bahamas in
1998, and seasonally between March 2000 and August 2004, showed that
colonies of A. cervicornis were stable with their associations with
Symbiodinium type A3 but sometimes had mixed symbiosis with
Symbiodinium type (B1) (Thornhill et al., 2006). The associations with
Symbiodinium type (B1) were always short-lived (gone by next sampling
period) and did not appear to be correlated with seasonal fluctuations
or to follow the 1997 to 1998 bleaching event (Thornhill et al., 2006).
Most of the mixed symbiosis events were limited to a single colony
except for one sampling period in August 2001 when all colonies at one
of the Bahamian sites had mixed symbionts.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of A. cervicornis to ocean warming. Supplemental
information we found on the susceptibility of A. cervicornis to ocean
warming includes the following. In Roatan, Honduras, Riegl et al.
(2009) monitored A. cervicornis and found none were bleached fully
during the 1998 bleaching event, with the fourth highest partial
bleaching frequency, and the highest mortality of 22 species monitored.
During the 2005 bleaching event with 17 species observed, only A.
cervicornis and A. palmata bleached 100 percent (all colonies bleached
completely white) at two reefs in Jamaica with 90 percent mortality at
one site and 10 percent at the other (Quinn and Kojis, 2008).
Van Woesik et al. (2012) developed a coral resiliency index based
on biological traits and processes to evaluate extinction risk due to
bleaching. Evaluations were performed at the genus level with genera
separated between the Caribbean and Indo-Pacific. They reported A.
cervicornis as highly vulnerable to extinction due to bleaching.
All information on the susceptibility of A. cervicornis to ocean
warming can be summarized as follows. Acropora cervicornis is highly
susceptible to bleaching in comparison to other coral species, and
mortality after bleaching events is variable. Algal symbionts did not
shift in A. cervicornis after the 1998 bleaching event, indicating the
ability of this species to acclimatize to rising temperatures may not
occur through this mechanism. Data from Puerto Rico and Jamaica
following the 2005 Caribbean bleaching event indicate that temperature
anomalies can have a large impact on total and partial mortality and
reproductive output. Thus, we conclude that A. cervicornis is highly
susceptible to ocean warming.
[[Page 53962]]
Information on A. cervicornis' susceptibility to acidification that
we considered in the proposed rule includes the following. Renegar and
Riegl (2005) performed laboratory experiments to examine the effect of
nutrients and carbon dioxide on A. cervicornis growth. They found
significantly reduced growth under carbon dioxide levels of 700 to 800
[mu]atm, predicted to occur this century, compared to controls. In
addition, when elevated carbon dioxide was combined with increased
nitrate and phosphate, growth rates were further reduced. The effect of
combined nitrate, phosphate, and carbon dioxide appeared to be
antagonistic at lower nutrient concentrations and additive at higher
concentrations (compared to those nutrients paired with carbon dioxide
separately). All corals in the combined nitrate, phosphate, and carbon
dioxide treatment experienced total mortality, indicating the severe
stress this combination induced.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of A. cervicornis to acidification. Supplemental
information we found on the susceptibility of A. cervicornis to
acidification includes the following. Enochs et al. (2014) examined the
effects of carbon dioxide and light intensity on A. cervicornis. They
found that carbon dioxide levels projected to occur by the end of the
century from ocean acidification caused reduced calcification and
skeletal density but no change in linear extension, surface area, or
volume. High light intensity did not ameliorate reductions in
calcification, and the authors concluded that the high light intensity
necessary to reach saturation of photosynthesis and calcification in A.
cervicornis may limit the effectiveness of this potentially protective
mechanism.
All information on the susceptibility of A. cervicornis to
acidification can be summarized as follows. Acropora cervicornis is
susceptible to acidification through reduced growth, calcification, and
skeletal density, and the effects of increased carbon dioxide combined
with increased nutrients appear to be much worse than either stressor
alone, and caused 100 percent mortality in some combination in one
laboratory study. Therefore, we conclude that A. cervicornis is highly
susceptible to acidification.
There is no species-specific information on the trophic effects of
fishing on A. cervicornis. However, due to the level of reef fishing
conducted in the Caribbean, coupled with Diadema die-off and lack of
significant recovery, recruitment habitat is limited. Thus, we conclude
that A. cervicornis has some susceptibility to the trophic effects of
fishing due to its low recruitment rates. However, the available
information does not support a more precise description of
susceptibility to this threat.
All information on A. cervicornis' susceptibility to sedimentation
that we considered in the proposed rule includes the following.
Exposure to drilling mud reduced calcification rates and protein
concentrations in A. cervicornis, and exposure to equivalent
concentrations of kaolin produced no drop in proteins and a lower drop
in calcification rate, indicating the toxic effects of drilling mud are
not due solely to increases in turbidity (Kendall et al., 1983).
Acropora cervicornis has poor capacity to remove coarser sediments
(250-2000 [mu]m) and only slightly more capacity for removing finer
sediments (62-250 [mu]m; Hubbard and Pocock, 1972). Water movement
(turbulence) and gravity are probably more important in removing
sediments from this species than its capabilities of sloughing
sediments in still water (Porter, 1987). In field experiments in Puerto
Rico, A. cervicornis was less sensitive to single applications (200 mg
per cm\2\, 400 mg per cm\2\, and 800 mg per cm\2\) of coarse sediment
(mean grain size 0.5 mm) than A. palmata and Orbicella annularis,
likely due to morphology that facilitated passive sediment removal,
though some bleaching near the base of the colonies did occur (Rogers,
1983).
Lab experiments testing the effects of sedimentation and phosphate
on A. cervicornis indicated that sediment-clearing rates declined with
increased exposure from less than two hours to up to 24 hours after
four weeks of treatment. Treatments resulted in degenerative changes to
tissue, zooxanthellae, and gonad development and were more severe in
sediment and sediment plus phosphate treatments in comparison to
controls and phosphate alone (Hodel and Vargas-Angel, 2007).
Acropora cervicornis is sensitive to turbidity because it is highly
reliant on sunlight for nutrition (Lewis, 1977; Porter, 1976). Rogers
(1979) shaded a 20 m\2\ area of reef as a partial simulation of
conditions from turbidity and found that A. cervicornis was the first
species to respond by bleaching. Three weeks after shading was
initiated, most colonies of A. cervicornis were bleached. After shading
was terminated at five weeks, at the sixth week, most branches were
dead and covered with algae with growth tips deteriorating or grazed
away, but a few branches recovered. After seven weeks, there were more
algae on the branches and further disintegration of branch tips.
Fossil material collected from Bocas del Toro, Panama indicated
that A. cervicornis declined in lagoonal areas prior to 1960,
coincident with intensive land clearing, and continued to decline
offshore after 1960, with community structure more tolerant of turbid
conditions (Cramer et al., 2012).
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on A. cervicornis' susceptibility to sedimentation, and we did not find
any new or supplemental information. All information on the
susceptibility of A. cervicornis to sedimentation can be summarized as
follows. Acropora cervicornis is susceptible to sedimentation through
its sensitivity to turbidity, and increased run-off from land clearing
has resulted in mortality of this species. In addition, laboratory
studies indicate the combination of sedimentation and nutrient
enrichment appears to be worse than the effects of either of these two
stressors alone. Thus, we conclude that A. cervicornis has high
susceptibility to sedimentation.
Information on A. cervicornis' susceptibility to nutrient
enrichment that we considered in the proposed rule includes the
following. Renegar and Riegl (2005) performed laboratory experiments to
examine the effect of nutrients and carbon dioxide on A. cervicornis
growth. Under the nutrient treatments alone, A. cervicornis experienced
significantly lower growth rates under the higher nitrate and higher
phosphate treatments, though not under the lower levels, and the
combined nitrate and phosphate treatment produced significantly lower
growth under both the low and high levels. All corals in the combined
nitrate, phosphate, and carbon dioxide treatment experienced total
mortality, indicating the severe stress this combination induced.
Lab experiments testing the effects of sedimentation and phosphate
on A. cervicornis indicated that degenerative changes to tissue,
zooxanthellae, and gonad development were more severe in sediment plus
phosphate treatments in comparison to controls and phosphate alone
(Hodel and Vargas-Angel, 2007).
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of A. cervicornis to nutrient enrichment, and we
did not find any new or supplemental information on its susceptibility
to this threat. All information on the susceptibility of A. cervicornis
to nutrient enrichment can be summarized as follows. Elevated nutrients
can cause decreased growth in A. cervicornis. The
[[Page 53963]]
combined effects of nutrients with other stressors such as elevated
carbon dioxide and sedimentation appear to be worse than the effects of
nutrients alone, and can cause colony mortality in some combinations.
Thus, we conclude that A. cervicornis is highly susceptible to nutrient
enrichment.
Information on A. cervicornis' susceptibility to predation that we
considered in the proposed rule includes the following. Known predators
of A. cervicornis include the corallivorous snail Coralliophila
abbreviata and the polychaete fireworm Hermodice carunculata. Fireworms
engulf growing branch tips and devour the live tissue; removal of
tissue from growing branch tips of A. cervicornis may negatively affect
colony growth. Corallivorous snails have also been shown to transmit a
disease that causes rapid tissue loss in A. cervicornis (Williams and
Miller, 2005). Several species of fish including, threespot damselfish
Stegastes planifrons and yellowtail damselfish Microspathodon
chrysurus, do not directly feed on coral but remove live tissue to
cultivate algal gardens.
In all thickets monitored off Ft. Lauderdale, Florida between 2001
and 2002, densities of fireworms ranged between 18 and 86 individuals
per hectare, with predation scars affecting less than 0.2 percent of
the A. cervicornis cover (Vargas-Angel et al., 2003). Within the survey
quadrats, fireworm scar sizes ranged from 1.0 to 8.0 cm, and densities
ranged from 0 to 30 per m\2\ (Vargas-Angel et al., 2003). Evidence of
fireworm predation was observed on 20.3 percent of colonies in Cabezos
del Cayo, Dominican Republic in 2010 (Lirman et al., 2010a). Yellowtail
damselfish and three-spot damselfish were present on A. cervicornis
colonies at a density of 0.50 and 0.96 fish per m\2\, respectively, in
the Dry Tortugas National Park, near Garden Key, Florida in 2004
(Wilkes et al., 2008).
The public comments provided the following supplemental information
on the susceptibility of A. cervicornis to predation. In stratified
random samples in the Florida Keys, damselfish algal gardens were
detected on 1.9 percent of colonies in 2007 and 2.6 percent of colonies
in 2012. Snail predation was detected on 1.3 percent of colonies in
2012 (Miller et al., 2013).
Supplemental information we found on the susceptibility of A.
cervicornis to predation includes the following. In Cabezos del Cayo,
Dominican Republic, 30 percent of colonies occurred within established
damselfish territories, and corallivorous snails were found on 11.3
percent of A. cervicornis colonies in 2010 (Lirman et al., 2010a). In
permanent monitoring plots in the middle Florida Keys between 2011 and
2012, about ten percent of fate-tracked A. cervicornis colonies were
affected by fireworm predation, about five percent were affected by
damselfish, and about five percent were affected by corallivorous
snails (Lunz, 2013).
All information on the susceptibility of A. cervicornis to
predation can be summarized as follows. Predators can have a negative
impact on A. cervicornis through both tissue removal and the spread of
disease. Predation pressure appears spatially variable. Removal of
tissue from growing branch tips of A. cervicornis may negatively affect
colony growth, but the impact is unknown as most studies do not report
on the same colonies through time, inhibiting evaluation of the longer-
term impact of these predators on individual colonies and populations.
We conclude that A. cervicornis is highly susceptible to predation.
Information on A. cervicornis' susceptibility to collection and
trade that we considered in the proposed rule includes the following.
Over the last decade, collection and trade of this species has been
low.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of A. cervicornis to collection and trade.
Supplemental information we found includes the following. Over the last
decade, collection and trade of this species has been primarily for
scientific research rather than commercial purposes. Gross exports
averaged approximately 2,500 pieces of coral per year between 2000 and
2012 (data available at https://trade.cites.org). We conclude that A.
cervicornis has low susceptibility to collection and trade.
There is no species-specific information on the susceptibility of
A. cervicornis to sea level rise. The SRR described sea level rise as
an overall low to medium threat for all coral species. The public
comments did not provide new or supplemental information on A.
cervicornis' susceptibility to sea level rise, and we did not find any
new or supplemental information. Thus, we conclude that A. cervicornis
has some susceptibility to sea level rise, but the available
information does not support a more precise description of
susceptibility to this threat.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we relied on information from the Final
Management Report for evaluating the existing regulatory mechanisms for
controlling threats to all corals. However, we did not provide any
species-specific information on the regulatory mechanisms or
conservation efforts for A. cervicornis. Public comments were critical
of that approach, and we therefore attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms and conservation efforts on a species basis, where possible,
in this final rule. We also incorporate here, the evaluation of threats
to this species conducted in the 2005 status review. Records confirm
that A. cervicornis occurs in seven Atlantic ecoregions that encompass
26 kingdom's and countries' EEZs. The 26 kingdoms and countries are
Antigua & Barbuda, Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Colombia, Costa Rica,
Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French Antilles, Grenada,
Guatemala, Haiti, Kingdom of the Netherlands, Honduras, Jamaica,
Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, St. Kitts & Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent &
Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, United Kingdom (British Caribbean
Territories), United States (including U.S. Caribbean Territories), and
Venezuela. The regulatory mechanisms relevant to A. cervicornis,
described first as a percentage of the above kingdoms and countries
that utilize them to any degree, and second as the percentages of those
kingdoms and countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be limited in
scope, are as follows: General coral protection (31 percent with 12
percent limited in scope), coral collection (50 percent with 27 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (31 percent with 15 percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on reefs (73 percent with 50
percent limited in scope), managing areas for protection and
conservation (88 percent with 31 percent limited in scope). The most
common regulatory mechanisms in place for A. cervicornis are fishing
regulations and area management for protection and conservation.
However, half of the fishing regulations are limited in scope and may
not provide substantial protection for the species. General coral
protection and collection laws, along with pollution control laws, are
much less common regulatory mechanisms for the management of A.
cervicornis. The 2005 status review and 2006 listing concluded that
existing regulatory mechanisms are inadequate to control both global
and local threats, and are contributing to the threatened status of the
species, and we incorporate that analysis here.
Additionally, the public comments suggested that we did not fully
consider the effects that conservation efforts have on the status of A.
cervicornis. Therefore, conservation efforts are
[[Page 53964]]
described as follows. Conservation efforts have been underway for A.
cervicornis for a number of years. Of 60 Acropora restoration efforts
identified in 14 Caribbean countries, 88 percent used A. cervicornis
including efforts in Belize, Colombia, Cura[ccedil]ao, Dominican
Republic, Guadalupe, Honduras, Jamaica, Mexico, Puerto Rico, Turks and
Caicos, U.S. Virgin Islands, and the Florida Keys (Young et al., 2012).
The most popular method is to use coral nurseries to propagate A.
cervicornis for restoration (Johnson et al., 2011; Young et al., 2012).
Fast growth rates, branching morphology, and asexual reproduction
through fragmentation make A. cervicornis an ideal candidate for active
propagation. The use of coral nursery techniques has been shown to be
effective and only temporarily affect wild donor colonies from which
fragments are taken to initially stock nurseries (Lirman et al.,
2010b). Survivorship is high (greater than 70 percent) in nurseries
during the first year, but mortality due to storms, temperature
anomalies, predation, and water quality have been reported (Young et
al., 2012). Survival rates are variable after transplanting, ranging
between 43 and 95 percent during the first year (Hollarsmith et al.,
2012; Young et al., 2012). Mortality rates of non-nursery raised
transplanted A. cervicornis after five years were similar to those of
reference or wild colonies (Garrison and Ward, 2008).
In conclusion, there are many conservation efforts aimed at
increasing abundance and diversity of A. cervicornis throughout the
Caribbean. These efforts are important, but not enough to ensure
conservation unless combined with efforts to reduce the underlying
threats and causes of mortality (Young et al., 2012). Thus, while
conservation efforts will likely enhance recovery and conservation of
A. cervicornis at small spatial scales, they are unlikely to affect the
overall status of the species, given the global nature of threats.
Vulnerability to Extinction
In 2006, A. cervicornis was listed as threatened, i.e., likely to
become in danger of extinction within the next 30 years, due to: (1)
Recent drastic declines in abundance of the species that have occurred
throughout its geographic range and abundances at historic lows; (2)
the potential constriction of broad geographic ranges due to local
extirpations resulting from a single stochastic event (e.g.,
hurricanes, new disease outbreak); (3) limited sexual recruitment in
some areas and unknown levels in most; and (4) occurrence of the Allee
effect (in which fertilization success declines greatly as adult
density declines).
The species was not listed as endangered, i.e., currently in danger
of extinction, because: (1) It was showing limited, localized recovery;
(2) range-wide, the rate of decline appeared to have stabilized and was
comparatively slow as evidenced by persistence at reduced abundances
for the past two decades; (3) it was buffered against major threats by
the large number of colonies, large geographic range, and asexual
reproduction; and (4) as shown by the geologic record, the species has
persisted through climate cooling and heating fluctuation periods over
millions of years, whereas other corals have gone extinct.
In 2012, A. cervicornis was proposed for listing as endangered
because information available since the original 2006 listing as
threatened suggested: (1) Population declines have continued to occur,
with certain populations of both species decreasing up to an additional
50 percent or more since the time of listing; (2) there are documented
instances of recruitment failure in some populations; (3) minimal
levels of thermal stress (e.g., 30 degrees C) have been shown to impair
larval development, larval survivorship, and settlement success of A.
palmata; (4) near-future levels of acidification have been demonstrated
to impair fertilization, settlement success, and post-settlement growth
rates in A. palmata; (5) on average 50 percent of the colonies are
clones, meaning the effective number of genetic individuals is half the
total population size; (6) the species' ranges are not known to have
contracted, but with continued declines local extirpations are likely,
resulting in a reduction of absolute range size. Furthermore, we took
into account that the BRT identified restriction to the Caribbean as a
spatial factor increasing extinction risk, though, among other things,
exposure to high levels of human disturbance that result in pollution
and breakage impacts. Also, while asexual reproduction (fragmentation)
provides a source for new colonies (albeit clones) that can buffer
natural demographic and environmental variability remains true, we
believed that reliance on asexual reproduction is not sufficient to
prevent extinction of the species. Last, the previous status review and
listing determination underestimated the global climate change-
associated impacts to A. palmata and A. cervicornis, based on our
current knowledge of trends in emissions, likely warming scenarios, and
ocean acidification. In particular, in the previous determination, we
identified ocean acidification only as a factor that ``may be
contributing'' to the status of two species, in comparison to our
current understanding that ocean acidification is one of the three
highest order threats affecting extinction risk for corals.
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic traits, threat susceptibilities, and consideration of
the baseline environment and future projections of threats. Subsequent
to the proposed rule, we received and gathered supplemental species- or
genus-specific information, described above, that expands our knowledge
regarding the species' abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our assessment of the species'
vulnerability to extinction using all the available information. As
explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment in this final
rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and demographic
traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to extinction, as
opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule, which emphasized
the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. cervicornis, in conjunction
with the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section,
Coral Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect
its vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable
future. The species has undergone substantial population decline and
decreases in the extent of occurrence throughout its range due mostly
to disease. Although localized mortality events have continued to
occur, percent benthic cover and proportion of reefs where A.
cervicornis is dominant have remained stable over its range since the
mid-1980s. There is evidence of synergistic effects of threats for this
species including worse effects of nutrients in combination with
acidification and sedimentation. Acropora cervicornis is highly
susceptible to a number of threats, and cumulative effects of multiple
threats are likely to exacerbate vulnerability to extinction. Despite
the large number of islands and environments that are included in the
species' range, geographic distribution in the highly disturbed
Caribbean exacerbates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable
future because A. cervicornis is limited to an area with high,
localized human impacts and predicted increasing threats. Acropora
cervicornis
[[Page 53965]]
commonly occurs in water ranging from 5 to 20 m in depth, though occurs
in deeper depths of 16-30 m at the northern extent of its range, and
has been rarely found to 60 m in depth. It occurs in spur and groove,
bank reef, patch reef, and transitional reef habitats, as well as on
limestone ridges, terraces, and hardbottom habitats. This habitat
heterogeneity moderates vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that are predicted, on local and regional scales, to
experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time. Its absolute population abundance has been
estimated as at least tens of millions of colonies in the Florida Keys
and Dry Tortugas combined and is higher and is higher than the estimate
from these two locations due to the occurrence of the species in many
other areas throughout its range. Acropora cervicornis has low sexual
recruitment rates, which exacerbates vulnerability to extinction due to
decreased ability to recover from mortality events when all colonies at
a site are extirpated. In contrast, its fast growth rates and
propensity for formation of clones through asexual fragmentation
enables it to expand between rare events of sexual recruitment and
increases its potential for local recovery from mortality events, thus
moderating vulnerability to extinction. Its abundance and life history
characteristics, combined with spatial variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species' range, moderate vulnerability to
extinction because the threats are non-uniform, and there will likely
be a large number of colonies that are either not exposed or do not
negatively respond to a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the determination tool formula
approach, A. cervicornis was proposed for listing as endangered because
of: High vulnerability to ocean warming (E), ocean acidification (E)
and disease (C); high vulnerability to sedimentation (A and E) and
nutrient over-enrichment (A and E); uncommon abundance (E); decreasing
trend in abundance (E); low relative recruitment rate (E); narrow
overall distribution (E); restriction to the Caribbean (E); and
inadequacy of regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
cervicornis from endangered to threatened. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic approach, including
consideration of the buffering capacity of this species' spatial and
demographic traits, and the best available information above on A.
cervicornis' spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities,
and management. The combination of these factors indicates that A.
cervicornis is likely to become endangered throughout its range within
the foreseeable future, and thus warrants listing as threatened at this
time, because:
(1) Acropora cervicornis is highly susceptible to ocean warming
(ESA Factor E), disease (C), ocean acidification (E), sedimentation (A,
E), nutrients (A, E), and predation (C) and susceptible to trophic
effects of fishing (A), depensatory population effects from rapid,
drastic declines and low sexual recruitment (E), and anthropogenic and
natural abrasion and breakage (A, E). These threats are expected to
continue and increase into the future. In addition, the species is at
heightened extinction risk due to inadequate existing regulatory
mechanisms to address both local and global threats (D);
(2) Acropora cervicornis is geographically located in the highly
disturbed Caribbean where localized human impacts are high and threats
are predicted to increase as described in the Threats Evaluation
section. A range constrained to this particular geographic area that is
likely to experience severe and increasing threats indicates that a
high proportion of the population of this species is likely to be
exposed to those threats over the foreseeable future; and
(3) Acropora cervicornis' abundance is still a fraction of what it
was before the mass mortality in the 1970s and 1980s, and its presence
on reefs throughout its range has continued to decrease over the last
decade.
The combination of these characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates that the species is likely to be in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future throughout its range and
warrants listing as threatened at this time due to factors A, C, D, and
E.
The available information above on A. cervicornis' spatial
structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management also
indicate that the species is not currently in danger of extinction and
thus does not warrant listing as Endangered because:
(1) While A. cervicornis' distribution within the Caribbean
increases its risk of exposure to threats as described above, its
habitat includes spur and groove, bank reef, patch reef, and
transitional reef habitats, as well as limestone ridges, terraces, and
hardbottom habitats in water depths ranging from 5 to 60 m. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction currently because the species is
not limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will experience highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry on local and regional scales at any given point in
time, as described in more detail in the Coral Habitat and Threats
Evaluation sections;
(2) Acropora cervicornis' absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies based on estimates from two locations. Absolute
abundance is higher than estimates from these locations since A.
cervicornis occurs in many other locations throughout its range,
including a few small pockets of robust remnant populations. This
absolute abundance allows for variation in the responses of individuals
to threats to play a role in moderating vulnerability to extinction for
the species to some degree, as described in more detail in the Corals
and Coral Reefs section;
(3) Recent information indicates that percent cover and proportions
of Caribbean sites where A. cervicornis is dominant have stabilized;
(4) Acropora cervicornis shows evidence of limited population
expansion in some portions of its range under some circumstances (e.g.,
Dry Tortugas, southeast Florida); and
(5) Acropora cervicornis has fast growth rates and high capacity to
produce clones through asexual fragmentation, which can aid in recovery
from mortality events.
The combination of these characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of one that is currently in danger
of extinction, as described previously in the Risk Analyses section,
and thus does not warrant listing as endangered at this time.
Therefore, we withdraw our proposal to list A. cervicornis as
endangered.
Progress has been made with A. cervicornis-specific conservation
and restoration projects, albeit small-scale, and these projects are
likely to increase in the future. Within some countries, A.
cervicornis-specific conservation and restoration projects show promise
for enhancing species recovery at very small spatial scales and for
facilitating the persistence of the species in some areas in the face
of continuing threats. Range-wide, a multitude of conservation efforts
are already broadly employed specifically for A. cervicornis. However,
considering the global scale of the most important threats to the
species, and the ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at addressing
the root cause of global threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not
believe that any current conservation
[[Page 53966]]
efforts or conservation efforts planned in the future will result in
affecting the species' status to the point at which listing is not
warranted.
A. palmata
Introduction
Acropora palmata colonies have frond-like branches, which appear
flattened to near round, and typically radiate out from a central trunk
and angle upward. Branches are up to 50 cm wide and range in thickness
from 4 to 5 cm. Individual colonies can grow to at least 2 m in height
and 4 m in diameter (Acropora Biological Review Team, 2005). Colonies
of A. palmata can grow in nearly mono-specific, dense stands and form
an interlocking framework known as thickets.
Spatial Information
Information on A. palmata's distribution, habitat, and depth range
that we considered in the proposed rule includes the following.
Acropora palmata is distributed throughout the western Atlantic,
Caribbean, and Gulf of Mexico. The northern extent of the range in the
Atlantic is Broward County, Florida where it is relatively rare (only a
few known colonies), but fossil A. palmata reef framework extends into
Palm Beach County, Florida. There are two known colonies of A. palmata,
which were discovered only recently in 2003 and 2005, at the Flower
Garden Banks, located 161 km off the coast of Texas in the Gulf of
Mexico (Zimmer et al., 2006).
Acropora palmata often grows in thickets in fringing and barrier
reefs (Jaap, 1984; Tomascik and Sander, 1987; Wheaton and Jaap, 1988)
and formed extensive barrier-reef structures in Belize (Cairns, 1982),
the greater and lesser Corn Islands, Nicaragua (Lighty et al., 1982),
and Roatan, Honduras, and built extensive fringing reef structures
throughout much of the Caribbean (Adey, 1978). Acropora palmata
commonly grows in turbulent water on the fore-reef, reef crest, and
shallow spur-and-groove zone (Cairns, 1982; Miller et al., 2008; Rogers
et al., 1982; Shinn, 1963) in water ranging from 1 to 5 m depth. Early
studies termed the reef crest and adjacent seaward areas from the
surface to five or six meters depth the ``palmata zone'' because of the
domination by the species (Goreau, 1959; Shinn, 1963). Maximum depth of
framework construction ranges from 3 to 12 m, and colonies generally do
not form thickets below a depth of 5 m (Lighty et al., 1982). Although
A. palmata's predominant habitat is reef crests and shallow fore-reefs
less than 12 m depth, it also occurs in back-reef environments and in
depths up to 30 m.
Extensive stands of dead colonies throughout the range occurred
after mass mortalities during the 1970s and 1980s (see Demographic
Information Below). There is no evidence of overall range constriction
from the mass mortalities, but local extirpations are likely (Jackson
et al., 2014), resulting in a reduction of absolute range size.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on A. palmata's habitat or depth range but provided the following
supplemental information on its distribution. Precht and Aronson (2004)
suggested that the recent expansion of A. palmata to the Flower Garden
Banks (Zimmer et al., 2006) is possibly due to climate warming.
Supplemental information we found on A. palmata's distribution is
consistent with prior information. Veron (2014) confirms the occurrence
of A. palmata in eight of a potential 11 ecoregions in the western
Atlantic and wider-Caribbean that are known to contain corals. The
three ecoregions in which A. palmata is not found are off the coasts of
Bermuda, Brazil, and the southeast U.S. north of south Florida. The
presence of the species in the Flower Garden Banks may represent a
recent re-occupation of its historic range since fossil evidence
indicates this species occupied the Flower Garden Banks during the
early Holocene but disappeared in the middle Holocene due to sea level
rise and possibly cooling temperatures (Precht et al., 2014). Finally,
the spatial structure of the species has been affected by extirpation
from many localized areas throughout its range (Jackson et al., 2014).
Supplemental information we found on A. palmata's habitat and depth
includes the following. Goreau (1959) described ten habitat zones on a
Jamaican fringing reef from inshore to the deep slope, finding A.
palmata in eight of the ten zones. Acropora palmata was very abundant
in the reef crest zones, but also common in several other zones further
inshore (the reef flat, rear, channel or lagoon, and inshore zones),
and rare on the reef slope to 15 meters depth. Although A. palmata is
currently much less common throughout its range than it was prior to
the mid-1980s, it still occurs in multiple habitats and to depths of
one to 30 m. For example, a 2005 study of Bonaire back-reefs found A.
palmata at three of six sites, including within inshore and lagoon
habitats, ranging from seven to 15 m depth. In 2003, aggregations of A.
palmata were reported from patch reefs at 10 to 20 m depth within the
lagoon of Serrano Bank (Sanchez and Pizarro, 2005).
Demographic Information
Information on A. palmata's abundance and population trends that we
considered in the proposed rule includes the following. Acropora
palmata has been described as usually common (Veron, 2000) and uncommon
(Carpenter et al., 2008). Acropora palmata was historically one of the
dominant species on Caribbean reefs, forming large, monotypic thickets
and giving rise to the nominal distinct zone in classical descriptions
of Caribbean reef morphology (Goreau, 1959). Mass mortality, apparently
from white-band disease (Aronson and Precht, 2001), spread throughout
the Caribbean in the mid-1970s to mid-1980s and precipitated widespread
and radical changes in reef community structure (Brainard et al.,
2011). This mass mortality occurred throughout the range of the species
within all Caribbean countries and archipelagos, even on reefs and
banks far from localized human influence (Aronson and Precht, 2001;
Wilkinson, 2008). In addition, continuing coral mortality from periodic
acute events such as hurricanes, disease outbreaks, and mass bleaching
events added to the decline of A. palmata (Brainard et al., 2011). In
locations where historic quantitative data are available (Florida,
Jamaica, U.S. Virgin Islands), there was a reduction of greater than 97
percent between the 1970s and early 2000s (Acropora Biological Review
Team, 2005).
Since the 2006 listing of A. palmata as threatened, continued
population declines have occurred in some locations with certain
populations of A. palmata and A. cervicornis decreasing up to an
additional 50 percent or more (Colella et al., 2012; Lundgren and
Hillis-Starr, 2008; Muller et al., 2008; Rogers and Muller, 2012;
Williams et al., 2008). In addition, Williams et al. (2008) reported
recruitment failure between 2004 and 2007 in the upper Florida Keys
after a major hurricane season in 2005; less than five percent of the
fragments produced recruited into the population.
The public comments provided the following supplemental information
on A. palmata's abundance and population trends. Several studies
describe A. palmata populations that are showing some signs of recovery
or are in good condition including in the Turks and Caicos Islands
(Schelten et al., 2006), U.S. Virgin Islands (Grober-Dunsmore et al.,
2006; Mayor et al., 2006; Rogers and Muller, 2012), Venezuela
(Zubillaga et
[[Page 53967]]
al., 2008), and Belize (Macintyre and Toscano, 2007).
Extrapolated population estimates of A. palmata from stratified
random samples across habitat types in the Florida Keys were 0.6 0.5 million (SE) colonies in 2005, 1.0 0.3 million
(SE) colonies in 2007, and 0.5 0.3 million colonies in
2012. Because these population estimates are based on random sampling,
differences between years may be a function of sampling effort rather
than an indication of population trends. Relative to the abundance of
other corals in the Florida Keys region, A. palmata was among the least
abundant, ranking among corals that are naturally rare in abundance. No
colonies of A. palmata were observed in surveys of the Dry Tortugas in
2006 and 2008. The size class distribution of the Florida Keys
population included both small and large individuals (> 260 cm), but
after 2005 the majority of the colonies were smaller in size. These
smallest corals (0 to 20 cm) had approximately zero to two percent
partial mortality during all three survey years. Partial mortality
across all other size classes was approximately 20 to 70 percent in
2005, 5 to 50 percent in 2007, and 15 to 90 percent in 2012 (Miller et
al., 2013).
Supplemental information we found on A. palmata's abundance
includes the following. Relatively abundant A. palmata communities have
been documented from various locations, including Cuba (Alcolado et
al., 2010; Gonz[aacute]lez-D[iacute]az et al., 2010), Colombia (Sanchez
and Pizarro, 2005), Venezuela (Mart[iacute]nez and Rodr[iacute]guez
Quintal, 2012), Navassa (Bruckner, 2012b), Jamaica (Jackson et al.,
2014), and the U.S. Virgin Islands (Muller et al., 2014). Density
estimates from sites in Cuba range from 0.14 colonies per m\2\
(Alcolado et al., 2010) to 0.18 colonies per m\2\ (Gonz[aacute]lez-
D[iacute]az et al., 2010). Maximum A. palmata density at ten sites in
St. John, U.S. Virgin Islands was 0.18 colonies per m\2\ (Muller et
al., 2014).
Mayor et al. (2006) reported the abundance of A. palmata in Buck
Island Reef National Monument, St. Croix, U.S. Virgin Islands. They
surveyed 617 sites from May to June 2004 and extrapolated density
observed per habitat type to total available habitat. Within an area of
795 ha, they estimated 97,232-134,371 (95% confidence limits) A.
palmata colonies with any dimension of connected live tissue greater
than one meter. Mean densities (colonies >= 1 m) were 0.019 colonies
per m\2\ in branching coral-dominated habitats and 0.013 colonies per
m\2\ in other hard bottom habitats.
Puerto Rico contains the greatest known extent of A. palmata in the
U.S. Caribbean. Between 2006 and 2007, a survey of 431 random points in
habitat suitable for A. palmata in six marine protected areas in Puerto
Rico revealed a variable density of zero to 52 A. palmata colonies per
100 m\2\ (0.52 colonies per m\2\), with average density of 3.3 colonies
per 100 m\2\ (0.03 colonies per m\2\). Total loss of A. palmata was
evidenced in 13.6 percent of the random survey areas where only dead
standing colonies were present (Sch[auml]rer et al., 2009).
In stratified random surveys along the south, southeast, southwest,
and west coasts of Puerto Rico designed to locate Acropora colonies, A.
palmata was observed at five out of 301 stations with sightings outside
of the survey area at an additional two stations (Garc[iacute]a Sais et
al., 2013). Acropora palmata colonies were absent from survey sites
along the southeast coast. Maximum density was 18 colonies per 15 m\2\
(1.2 colonies per m\2\), and maximum colony size was 2.3 m in diameter
(Garc[iacute]a Sais et al., 2013).
Zubillaga et al. (2005) report densities of 3.2 colonies of A.
palmata per 10 m\2\ (0.32 colonies per m\2\) in Los Roques National
Park, Venezuela. At ten sites surveyed in the national park in 2003 to
2004, density ranged from 0 to 3.4 colonies per 10 m\2\ (0 to 0.34
colonies per m\2\) with four of the sites showing only standing dead
colonies (Zubillaga et al., 2008). In the six sites with live colonies,
small (0.1 to 50 cm\2\) and medium-sized (50 to 4,550 cm\2\) colonies
predominated over larger-sized (4,550 to16,500 cm\2\) colonies.
At Los Colorados reef in northwestern Cuba, a 2006 study at 12 reef
crest sampling stations reported average A. palmata densities of 0.18
colonies per m\2\, and that A. palmata made up 8.7 percent of the total
live coral colonies at the study sites. The study also reported that
the nearby Baracoa and Rincon de Guanabo reefs had similar A. palmata
densities (Gonz[aacute]lez-D[iacute]az et al., 2010). The size of A.
palmata colonies indicates some recruitment in Cuba, but not the
proportions of sexual versus asexual recruits. In a 2005 study of 280
A. palmata colonies at four sites on the north coast of Cuba, 30.4
percent were less than 10 cm in diameter (Gonz[aacute]lez-D[iacute]az
et al., 2008). In a 2006 study of approximately 1,100 A. palmata
colonies at three sites on the north coast of Cuba, diameter and height
size-classes were measured (<2, 3-5, 6-7, 8-10, 11-80, and >80 cm). For
the three sites combined, there were approximately 25 to 100 colonies
in each of the four smaller size classes (Perera-P[eacute]rez et al.,
2012).
Supplemental information we found on A. palmata's population trends
includes the following. At eight of 11 sites in St. John, U.S. Virgin
Islands, colonies of A. palmata increased in abundance, between 2001
and 2003, particularly in the smallest size class, with the number of
colonies in the largest size class decreasing (Grober-Dunsmore et al.,
2006). Colonies of A. palmata monitored monthly between 2003 and 2009
in Haulover Bay on St. John, U.S. Virgin Islands suffered bleaching and
mortality from disease but showed an increase in abundance and size at
the end of the monitoring period (Rogers and Muller, 2012). The overall
density of A. palmata colonies around St. John did not significantly
differ between 2004 and 2010 with six out of the ten sites showing an
increase in colony density. Size frequency distribution did not
significantly change at seven of the 10 sites, with two sites showing
an increased abundance of large-sized (> 51 cm) colonies (Muller et
al., 2014).
In Colombia, A. palmata was present at four of the 32 plots (three
of the six reefs) monitored annually from 1998 to 2004. Coverage of A.
palmata ranged from 0.8 to 2.4 percent. Over the eight-year period, the
species was stable at two reefs and declined at the other reef, likely
in response to a hurricane in 1999 (Rodriguez-Ramirez et al., 2010).
MacIntyre and Toscano (2007) report the return of ``numerous large
colonies'' of A. palmata on the shallow fore-reef at the southern limit
of Carrie Bow Cay, Belize though no quantitative data were presented.
Colonies monitored in the upper Florida Keys showed a greater than
50 percent loss of tissue as well as a decline in the number of
colonies, and a decline in the dominance by large colonies between 2004
and 2010 (Vardi et al., 2012; Williams and Miller, 2012). Elasticity
analysis from a population model based on data from the Florida Keys
has shown that the largest individuals have the greatest contribution
to the rate of change in population size (Vardi et al., 2012). Between
2010 and 2013 A. palmata in the middle and lower Florida Keys had mixed
trends. Population densities remained relatively stable at two sites
and decreased at two sites by 21 and 28 percent (Lunz, 2013).
Acropora palmata monitored in Cura[ccedil]ao between 2009 and 2011
decreased in abundance, increased in colony size, with stable tissue
abundance following hurricane damage (Bright et al., 2013). The authors
explained that the apparently conflicting trends of increasing colony
[[Page 53968]]
size but similar tissue abundance likely resulted from the loss of
small-sized colonies that skewed the distribution to larger size
classes, rather than colony growth.
Simulation models using data from matrix models of A. palmata
colonies from specific sites in Cura[ccedil]ao (2006-2011), the Florida
Keys (2004-2011), Jamaica (2007-2010), Navassa (2006 and 2009), Puerto
Rico (2007 and 2010), and the British Virgin Islands (2006 and 2007)
indicate that most of these studied populations will continue to
decline in size and extent by 2100 if background environmental
conditions remain unchanged (Vardi, 2011). In contrast, the studied
populations in Jamaica were projected to increase in abundance, and
studied populations in Navassa were projected to remain stable. Studied
populations in the British Virgin Islands were predicted to decrease
slightly from their initial very low levels. Studied populations in
Florida, Cura[ccedil]ao, and Puerto Rico were predicted to decline to
zero by 2100. Because the study period did not include physical damage
(storms), the population simulations in Jamaica, Navassa, and the
British Virgin Islands may have contributed to the differing projected
trends at sites in these locations.
New information we found on population trends includes the
following. A report on the status and trends of Caribbean corals over
the last century indicates that cover of A. palmata has remained
relatively stable at approximately one percent throughout the region
since the large mortality events of the 1970s and 1980s. The report
also indicates that the number of reefs with A. palmata present
steadily declined from the 1980s to 2000-2004, then remained stable
between 2000-2004 and 2005-2011. Acropora palmata was present at about
20 percent of reefs surveyed in both the 5-year period of 2000-2004 and
the 7-year period of 2005-2011. Acropora palmata was dominant on
approximately five to ten percent of hundreds of reef sites surveyed
throughout the Caribbean during the four periods of 1990-1994, 1995-
1999, 2000-2004, and 2005-2011 (Jackson et al., 2014).
All information on A. palmata's abundance and population trends is
summarized as follows. Based on population estimates there are at least
hundreds of thousands of A. palmata colonies present in both the
Florida Keys and St. Croix, U.S. Virgin Islands. Absolute abundance is
higher than estimates from these two locations given the presence of
this species in many other locations throughout its range. The
effective population size is smaller than indicated by abundance
estimates due to the tendency for asexual reproduction. Across the
Caribbean, percent cover appears to have remained relatively stable
since the population crash in the 1980s. Frequency of occurrence has
decreased since the 1980s, indicating potential decreases in the extent
of occurrence and effects on the species' range. However, the
proportions of Caribbean sites where A. palmata is present and dominant
have recently stabilized. There are locations such as the U.S. Virgin
Islands where populations of A. palmata appear stable or possibly
increasing in abundance and some such as the Florida Keys where
population number appears to be decreasing. In some cases when size
class distribution is not reported, there is uncertainty of whether
increases in abundance indicate growing populations or fragmentation of
larger size classes into more small-sized colonies. From locations
where size class distribution is reported, there is evidence of
recruitment, but not the proportions of sexual versus asexual recruits.
The best evidence of recovery would come from multi-year studies
showing an increase in the overall amount of living tissue of this
species, growth of existing colonies, and an increase in the number of
small corals arising from sexual recruitment (Rogers and Muller, 2012).
Simulation models predict by 2100 that A. palmata will become absent at
specific sites in several locations (Florida, Curacao, and Puerto
Rico), decrease at specific sites in the British Virgin Islands, remain
stable at specific sites in Navassa, and increase at specific sites in
Jamaica. These simulations are based on the assumption that conditions
experienced during the monitoring period, ranging from one to seven
years depending on location, would remain unchanged in the future. We
conclude there has been a significant decline of A. palmata throughout
its range, with recent population stability at low percent coverage. We
also conclude that absolute abundance is at least hundreds of thousands
of colonies, but likely to decrease in the future with increasing
threats.
Other Biological Information
Information on A. palmata's life history that we considered in the
proposed rule includes the following. Growth rates, measured as
skeletal extension of the end of branches, range from 4 to 11 cm per
year (Acropora Biological Review Team, 2005) but in Cura[ccedil]ao have
been reported to be slower today than they were several decades ago
(Brainard et al., 2011).
Acropora palmata is a hermaphroditic broadcast spawning species
that reproduces after the full moon of July, August, and/or September
(Acropora Biological Review Team, 2005). The estimated size at sexual
maturity is 1600 cm\2\, and growing edges and encrusting base areas are
not fertile (Soong and Lang, 1992). Larger colonies have higher
fecundity per unit area, as do the upper branch surfaces (Soong and
Lang, 1992). Although self-fertilization is possible, A. palmata is
largely self-incompatible (Baums et al., 2005a; Fogarty et al., 2012b).
Reproduction occurs primarily through asexual fragmentation that
produces multiple colonies that are genetically identical (Bak and
Criens, 1982; Highsmith, 1982; Lirman, 2000; Miller et al., 2007;
Wallace, 1985). Storms can be an important mechanism to produce
fragments to establish new colonies (Fong and Lirman, 1995).
Fragmentation is an important mode of reproduction in many reef-
building corals, especially for branching species such as A. palmata
(Highsmith, 1982; Lirman, 2000; Wallace, 1985). However, in the Florida
Keys where populations have declined, there have been reports of
failure of asexual recruitment due to high fragment mortality after
storms (Porter et al., 2012; Williams and Miller, 2010; Williams et
al., 2008).
Sexual recruitment rates are low, and this species is generally not
observed in coral settlement studies. Laboratory studies have found
that certain species of crustose-coralline algae facilitate larval
settlement and post-settlement survival (Ritson-Williams et al., 2010).
Rates of post-settlement mortality after nine months are high based on
settlement experiments (Szmant and Miller, 2005).
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on A. palmata's life history. Supplemental information we found on A.
palmata's life history includes the following. Split spawning (spawning
over a two month period) has been reported from the Florida Keys
(Fogarty et al., 2012b). Laboratory experiments have shown that some
individuals (i.e., genotypes) are sexually incompatible (Baums et al.,
2013) and that the proportion of eggs fertilized increases with higher
sperm concentration (Fogarty et al., 2012b). Experiments using gametes
collected in Florida had lower fertilization rates than those from
Belize, possibly due to genotype incompatibilities (Fogarty et al.,
2012b).
Darling et al. (2012) performed a biological trait-based analysis
to
[[Page 53969]]
categorize coral species into four life history strategies: Generalist,
weedy, competitive, and stress-tolerant. The classifications were
primarily separated by colony morphology, growth rate, and reproductive
mode. Acropora palmata was classified as a ``competitive'' species,
thus likely more vulnerable to environmental stress.
All information on A. palmata's life history can be summarized as
follows. The combination of rapid skeletal growth rates and frequent
asexual reproduction by fragmentation can enable effective competition
within, and domination of, reef-building coral communities in high-
energy environments such as reef crests. Rapid skeletal growth rates
and frequent asexual reproduction by fragmentation facilitate potential
recovery from disturbances when environmental conditions permit
(Highsmith, 1982; Lirman, 2000). However, low sexual reproduction can
lead to reduced genetic diversity and limits the capacity to repopulate
sites.
Other biological information on A. palmata that we considered in
the proposed rule includes the following. Genetic samples from 11
locations throughout the Caribbean indicate that A. palmata populations
in the eastern Caribbean (St. Vincent and the Grenadines, U.S. Virgin
Islands, Cura[ccedil]ao, and Bonaire) have had little or no genetic
exchange with populations in the western Atlantic and western Caribbean
(Bahamas, Florida, Mexico, Panama, Navassa, and Puerto Rico) (Baums et
al., 2005b). While Puerto Rico is more closely connected with the
western Caribbean, it is an area of mixing with contributions from both
regions (Baums et al., 2005b). Models suggest that the Mona Passage
between the Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico acts as a filter for
larval dispersal and gene flow between the eastern Caribbean and
western Caribbean (Baums et al., 2006b).
The western Caribbean is characterized by genetically depauperate
populations with lower densities (0.13 0.08 colonies per
m\2\), while denser (0.30 0.21 colonies per m\2\),
genotypically rich stands characterize the eastern Caribbean (Baums et
al., 2006a). Baums et al. (2006a) concluded that the western Caribbean
had higher rates of asexual recruitment and that the eastern Caribbean
had higher rates of sexual recruitment. They postulated these
geographic differences in the contribution of reproductive modes to
population structure may be related to habitat characteristics,
possibly the amount of shelf area available.
Genotypic diversity is highly variable. At two sites in the Florida
Keys, only one genotype per site was detected out of 20 colonies
sampled at each site (Baums et al., 2005b). In contrast, all 15
colonies sampled in Navassa had unique genotypes (Baums et al., 2006a).
Some sites have relatively high genotypic diversity such as in Los
Roques, Venezuela (118 unique genotpyes out of 120 samples; Zubillaga
et al., 2008) and in Bonaire and Curacao (18 genotypes of 22 samples
and 19 genotypes of 20 samples, respectively; Baums et al., 2006a). In
the Bahamas, about one third of the sampled colonies were unique
genotypes, and in Panama between 24 and 65 percent of the sampled
colonies had unique genotypes, depending on the site (Baums et al.,
2006a).
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental biological
information on A. palmata. Supplemental biological information we found
includes the following. A genetic study found significant population
structure in Puerto Rico locations (Mona Island, Desecheo Island, La
Parguerain, La Parguera) both between reefs and between locations;
population structure in La Parguera suggests restriction of gene flow
between some reefs in close proximity (Garcia Reyes and Schizas, 2010).
A more-recent study provided additional detail on the genetic structure
of A. palmata in Puerto Rico, as compared to Curacao, the Bahamas, and
Guadeloupe that found unique genotypes in 75 percent of the samples
with high genetic diversity (M[egrave]ge et al., 2014). The recent
results support two separate populations of A. palmata in the eastern
Caribbean and western Caribbean; however, there is less evidence for
separation at Mona Passage, as found by Baums et al. (2006b).
All biological information on A. palmata can be summarized as
follows. Genotypic diversity is variable across the range with some
populations showing evidence of higher input from sexual recruitment
versus others that rely more heavily on asexual recruitment for
population maintenance. There are many areas with many unique
genotypes. Connectivity and mixing appear limited across larger
geographic scales with eastern Caribbean populations relatively
isolated from western Caribbean populations, with evidence of
population structure at a local scale in some locations.
Susceptibility to Threats
Information on threat susceptibilities was interpreted in the
proposed rule for A. palmata's vulnerability to threats as follows:
High vulnerability to ocean warming, disease, acidification,
sedimentation, and nutrient enrichment; moderate vulnerability to the
trophic effects of fishing and predation; and low vulnerability to sea
level rise and collection and trade.
Information on A. palmata's susceptibility to disease that we
considered in the proposed rule includes the following. Disease is
believed to be the primary cause of the region-wide decline of A.
palmata beginning in the late 1970s and continues to have a large
effect on the species. White band disease was generally associated with
the majority of disease-related mortalities in A. palmata from the
1970s to 1990s (Aronson and Precht, 2001). White pox has been described
as having severe impacts on A. palmata, and most monitoring information
after 2000 indicates that lesion patterns resembling white pox have
higher prevalence than patterns resembling white band disease (Acropora
Biological Review Team, 2005). In the Florida Keys, the causative agent
of white pox was identified as a bacterium linked to human sewage and
potential vectors/reservoirs such as corallivores (Patterson et al.,
2002; Sutherland et al., 2011).
The effects of white pox appear to be exacerbated by higher
temperatures. In Hawksnest Bay, U.S. Virgin Islands during the 2005
bleaching event, the prevalence of white pox had a positive linear
relationship with temperature, with mortality increasing with
bleaching, indicating a decreased resilience to disease when colonies
were stressed (Muller et al., 2008).
Disease is temporally and spatially variable and is often reported
as an instantaneous measure of prevalence (percent of colonies affected
by disease) that provides only a snapshot in time. For instance, in
Puerto Rico disease affected an average of 6.7 percent of colonies from
December 2006 to October 2007 (Sch[auml]rer et al., 2009). In St. Croix
U.S. Virgin Islands, white band disease affected three percent of the
colonies surveyed in Buck Island Reef National Monument between May and
June 2004 (Mayor et al., 2006).
Studies of permanently marked colonies, or monitoring plots, show
longer-term trends of disease and mortality over time. From January
2003 to December 2009, 90 percent of the 69 monitored A. palmata
colonies in Haulover Bay, St. John, U.S. Virgin Islands exhibited signs
of disease, and the most significant cause of whole colony mortality
(Rogers and Muller, 2012). Of colonies monitored in the
[[Page 53970]]
Florida Keys from 2004 to 2011, disease was the second highest cause of
tissue mortality after physical damage from storms (33 percent of all
mortality attributed to disease, Williams and Miller, 2012).
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of A. palmata to disease, and we did not find any
new or supplemental information. Information on the susceptibility of
A. palmata to disease can be summarized as follows. Acropora palmata is
highly susceptible to disease as evidenced by the mass-mortality event
in the 1970s and 1980s. White pox seems to be more common today than
white band disease. The effects of disease are spatially and temporally
(both seasonally and inter-annually) variable. Results from longer-term
monitoring studies in the U.S. Virgin Islands and the Florida Keys
indicate that disease can be a major cause of both partial and total
colony mortality. Thus, we conclude that A. palmata is highly
susceptible to disease.
Information on A. palmata's susceptibility to ocean warming that we
considered in the proposed rule includes the following. High
temperatures can cause bleaching and mortality of A. palmata. In St.
Croix, U.S. Virgin Islands, colonies differentially bleached in Buck
Island National Monument during the 2005 Caribbean-wide mass bleaching
event; colonies in the shallower back reef bleached earlier and
suffered greater tissue loss than those located elsewhere (Lundgren and
Hillis-Starr, 2008). Data from two sites in Jamaica, found 100 percent
of A. palmata colonies bleached at both sites in 2005, with greater
than 50 percent of the colonies suffering partial mortality (Quinn and
Kojis, 2008). At one site, bleached colonies had complete mortality
only occasionally, and 15 percent of bleached colonies died at the
second site (Quinn and Kojis, 2008). In Trunk Bay and Saltpond, St.
John, U.S. Virgin Islands, almost half of the colonies that bleached in
2005 suffered partial or complete mortality (44 percent of 27 colonies
and 40 percent of 107 colonies, respectively, Rogers et al., 2006).
Negligible bleaching of A. palmata was observed during a 2006 bleaching
event in Navassa that affected corals at deeper depths (between 18 and
37 m) more significantly than at shallower depths (<10 m), likely due
to decreased water motion at the deeper sites (Miller et al., 2011a).
Repeated sampling of the same colonies in the Florida Keys and Bahamas
in 1998 and seasonally between March 2000 and August 2004 showed that
colonies of A. palmata did not change their association with
Symbiodinium type A3 throughout the study period that included the
1997-98 bleaching event (Thornhill et al., 2006).
High water temperatures also affect A. palmata reproduction.
Acropora palmata embryos and larvae exhibited more developmental
abnormalities, lower survivorship, and decreased settlement at 30
degrees and 31.5 degrees C compared to those at 28 degrees C (Randall
and Szmant, 2009).
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of A. palmata to ocean warming. Supplemental
information we found includes the following. Acropora palmata larvae
exhibited faster development and faster swimming speed at 30 and 31.5
degrees C compared to controls at 27 and 28 degrees C (Baums et al.,
2013). The authors suggested these changes could decrease average
larval dispersal distances, and cause earlier larval settlement,
thereby affecting gene flow among populations (Baums et al., 2013).
A 14-year study was conducted at nine sites around Little Cayman
from 1999 to 2012 of live coral cover, juvenile densities, and size
structure of coral colonies to determine response to the 1998 bleaching
event inside versus outside of marine protected areas. Over the first
half of the study, bleaching and disease caused live cover to decrease
from 26 percent to 14 percent in all corals, with full recovery seven
years later with no differences inside versus outside of marine
protected areas. The numbers of A. palmata colonies in regularly-
observed size-classes did not decrease during this study, which the
authors suggested may indicate resistance to bleaching and disease. The
study concluded that the health of the coral assemblage and the
similarity of responses inside and outside the marine protected area
suggested that negligible anthropogenic disturbance at the local scale
was a key factor underlying the observed resilience (Manfrino et al.,
2013).
Van Woesik et al. (2012) developed a coral resiliency index based
on biological traits and processes to evaluate extinction risk due to
bleaching. Evaluations were performed at the genus level, but genera
were separated between the Caribbean and Indo-Pacific. They indicated
that A. palmata is highly vulnerable to extinction.
All information on the susceptibility of A. palmata to ocean
warming can be summarized as follows. High water temperatures affect A.
palmata through bleaching, lowered resistance to disease, and effects
on reproduction. Temperature-induced bleaching and mortality following
bleaching are temporally and spatially variable. Bleaching associated
with the high temperatures in 2005 had a large impact on A. palmata
with 40 to 50 percent of bleached colonies suffering either partial or
complete mortality in several locations. Algal symbionts did not shift
in A. palmata after the 1998 bleaching event indicating the ability to
adapt to rising temperatures may not occur through this mechanism.
However, Acropora palmata showed evidence of resistance to bleaching
from warmer temperatures in some portions of its range under some
circumstances (Little Cayman). Through the effects on reproduction,
high temperatures can potentially decrease larval supply and settlement
success, decrease average larval dispersal distances, and cause earlier
larval settlement, thereby affecting gene flow among populations.
Therefore, we conclude that A. palmata is highly susceptible to ocean
warming.
Information on A. palmata's susceptibility to acidification that we
considered in the proposed rule includes the following. Ocean
acidification has a negative impact on early life stages of A. palmata.
Compared to controls at 400 [mu]atm, carbon dioxide levels of 560 and
800 [mu]atm, predicted to occur this century, reduced the rate of
fertilization and settlement (combined 52 and 73 percent, respectively)
and post-settlement growth (39 and 50 percent, respectively) of A.
palmata in lab experiments, and impairment of fertilization was
exacerbated at lower sperm concentrations (Albright et al., 2010).
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of A. palmata to acidification. Supplemental
information we found on its susceptibility to this threat includes the
following. No effects on the progression or timing of larval
development, or embryo and larval size were detected at elevated carbon
dioxide levels of 700 [micro]atm or 1000 [micro]atm (Medina-Rosas et
al., 2013).
All information on the susceptibility of A. palmata to
acidification can be summarized as follows. Ocean acidification will
likely impact fertilization, settlement success, and post-settlement
growth of A. palmata. Therefore, we conclude that A. palmata is highly
susceptible to acidification.
There is no species-specific information on the trophic effects of
fishing on A. palmata. However, due to the level of reef fishing
conducted in the Caribbean, coupled with Diadema die-off and lack of
significant recovery,
[[Page 53971]]
recruitment habitat is limited. Therefore, the trophic effects of reef
fishing adversely affects A. palmata's recruitment habitat. Thus, we
conclude that A. palmata has some susceptibility to the trophic effects
of reef fishing due to low natural recruitment rates. However, the
available information does not support a more precise description of
susceptibility to this threat.
Information on A. palmata's susceptibility to sedimentation that we
considered in the proposed rule includes the following. The morphology
of A. palmata contributes to its sensitivity to sedimentation as it is
poorer at removing sediment compared to mounding corals such as
Orbicella annularis and Diploria strigosa (Abdel-Salam et al., 1988).
Out of five species tested, A. palmata was the least tolerant of
sediment exposure; single applications of 200 mg per cm\2\ to colonies
caused coral tissue death as sediments accumulated on the flattened,
horizontal surfaces (Rogers, 1983). It is generally unable to remove
coarser sediments and only weakly able to remove finer sediments
(Acropora Biological Review Team, 2005). Water movement and gravity are
probably more important in removing sediments from this species than
their capabilities of sloughing sediments in stagnant water (Acropora
Biological Review Team, 2005). Because A. palmata is highly dependent
on sunlight for nutrition, it is also sensitive to suspended sediments
that reduce water clarity (Porter, 1976).
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on A. palmata's susceptibility to sedimentation. Supplemental
information we found on the susceptibility of A. palmata to
sedimentation includes the following. In Vega Baja, Puerto Rico, A.
palmata mortality increased to 52 percent concurrent with pollution and
sedimentation associated with raw sewage and beach nourishment,
respectively, between December 2008 and June 2009 (Hernandez-Delgado et
al., 2011). Mortality presented as patchy necrosis-like and white pox-
like conditions that impacted local reefs following anthropogenic
disturbances and was higher inside the shallow platform (52 to 69
percent) and closer to the source of pollution (81 to 97 percent)
compared to the outer reef (34 to 37 percent; Hernandez-Delgado et al.,
2011).
All information on the susceptibility of A. palmata to
sedimentation can be summarized as follows. Acropora palmata is
sensitive to sedimentation due to its poor capability of removing
sediment and its high reliance on clear water for nutrition, and
sedimentation can cause tissue mortality. We conclude that A. palmata
is highly susceptible to sedimentation.
Information on A. palmata's susceptibility to nutrient enrichment
that we considered in the proposed rule includes the following. There
are few studies of the effects of nutrients on A. palmata. Field
experiments indicate that the mean net rate of uptake of nitrate by A.
palmata exceeds that of ammonium by a factor of two and that A. palmata
does not uptake nitrite (Bythell, 1990).
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of A. palmata to nutrient enrichment.
Supplemental information we found on the susceptibility to this threat
includes the following. In Vega Baja, Puerto Rico, A. palmata mortality
increased to 52 percent concurrent with pollution and sedimentation
associated with raw sewage and beach nourishment, respectively, between
December 2008 and June 2009 (Hernandez-Delgado et al., 2011). Mortality
presented as patchy necrosis-like and white pox-like conditions that
impacted local reefs following anthropogenic disturbances and was
higher inside the shallow platform (52 to 69 percent) and closer to the
source of pollution (81 to 97 percent) compared to the outer reef (34
to 37 percent; Hernandez-Delgado et al., 2011).
All information on the susceptibility of A. palmata to nutrient
enrichment can be summarized as follows. Acropora palmata is sensitive
to nutrients as evidenced by increased mortality after exposure to raw
sewage. We conclude that A. palmata is highly susceptible to nutrient
enrichment.
Information on A. palmata's susceptibility to predation that we
considered in the proposed rule includes the following. There are
several known predators of A. palmata including the corallivorous snail
Coralliophila abbreviata (Baums et al., 2003) and the polychaete worm
Hermodice carrunculata. Incidental corallivores that affect A. palmata
include several species of fish such as stoplight parrotfish Sparisoma
viride and three-spot damselfish Stegastes planifrons. Stegastes
planifrons does not directly feed on the coral but removes live tissue
to cultivate algal gardens. Likewise, parrotfish are primarily
herbivores and may be feeding on endolithic algae in coral tissue
(Bruckner et al., 2000). Monitoring in the Florida Keys indicates that
parrotfish bites on A. palmata usually heal in a matter of weeks to
months (Acropora Biological Review Team, 2005). Predators have been
identified as potential vectors and reservoirs of disease (Sutherland
et al. 2011).
The corallivorous snail C. abbreviata is the main predator,
removing up to 16 cm\2\ of tissue per day (Brawley and Adey 1982), and
there is evidence that they concentrate on remnant Acropora populations
following decline (Acropora Biological Review Team, 2005). Severity of
predation is variable, and Coralliophila seem to be extremely rare or
absent on Acropora spp. in certain areas such as the Dry Tortugas,
Florida and Bocas del Toro, Panama (Acropora Biological Review Team,
2005). In St. John, U.S. Virgin Islands, snail predation affected a
total of six percent of the colonies across 29 sites, but at individual
sites, predation affected up to 60 percent of the colonies (Grober-
Dunsmore et al., 2006). In Los Roques, Venezuela snail predation was
the most common cause of partial mortality (4 to 20 percent), and it
affected 0.72 to 10.6 percent of the colonies (Zubillaga et al., 2008).
Surveys of 235 sites throughout the Florida Keys in 2007 revealed that
about five percent of the A. palmata colonies assessed for condition
were affected via predation by snails and damselfish (Miller et al.,
2008). In Puerto Rico, infestations of corallivorous snails were
observed on three percent of all A. palmata colonies surveyed and
ranged from 0.9 to 10.6 percent per site (Sch[auml]rer et al., 2009).
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on the susceptibility of A. palmata to predation. Supplemental
information we found on the susceptibility of A. palmata to predation
includes the following. Of the 50 percent tissue loss experienced
during monitoring in the Florida Keys between 2004 and 2010, snail
predation accounted for 15 percent after storm damage (42 percent) and
disease (33 percent; Williams and Miller, 2012). The honeycomb cowfish
Acanthostracion polygonius has been observed biting A. palmata and
causing tissue lesions; it is unknown whether the fish is actively
feeding on the coral tissue or if lesions are a by-product of its
foraging mode (Williams and Bright, 2013). Lesions healed rapidly (less
than six weeks) and did not contribute to significant losses of live
tissue (Williams and Bright, 2013).
All information on the susceptibility of A. palmata to predation
can be summarized as follows. Predators can have an impact on A.
palmata both through tissue removal and the potential to spread
disease. Predation pressure is spatially variable and almost non-
existent in some locations. However, the
[[Page 53972]]
effects of predation can become more severe if colonies decrease in
abundance and density, as predators focus on the remaining living
colonies. Therefore, we conclude that A. palmata has high
susceptibility to predation.
Information on A. palmata's susceptibility to sea level rise that
we considered in the proposed rule includes the following. In-place
colonies of A. palmata have been used in the geologic record for
reconstructing Holocene sea level because this species only develops
monospecific thickets in waters less than 5 m deep and is generally
limited to depths of 10 m or less (Blanchon, 2005; Blanchon et al.,
2009). A sustained sea level rise of more than 14 mm per year is likely
to displace A. palmata from its thicket-forming, framework-building
depth range (<=5 m) into its remaining habitat range where a mixed
framework is likely to develop (Brainard et al., 2011). In the Yucatan
region of Mexico during the warming that led to the last interglacial
period, A. palmata was able to keep up with the first 3 m of rapid sea-
level rise; continued sea-level rise led to the demise of the original
fore-reef crests inhabited by A. palmata, the retreat of A. palmata to
a more inland site, and back-stepping of the reef crest as sea level
rose an additional 2 to 3 m (total of 6 m over an ecological time
scale; Brainard et al., 2011).
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental information
on A. palmata's susceptibility to sea level rise, and we did not find
any new or supplemental information. All information on the
susceptibility of A. palmata to sea level rise can be summarized as
follows. The fast growth rate of A. palmata could accommodate deeper
water. We conclude that A. palmata has a low susceptibility to sea
level rise.
Information on A. palmata's susceptibility to collection and trade
that we considered in the proposed rule includes the following. Over
the last decade, collection and trade of this species has been low. The
public comments did not provide new or supplemental information on the
susceptibility of A. palmata to collection and trade. Supplemental
information we found includes the following. Gross exports averaged
2,120 pieces of coral per year between 2000 and 2012 and have primarily
been for scientific purposes (data available at https://trade.cites.org). We conclude that A. palmata has low susceptibility to
collection and trade.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we relied on information from the Final
Management Report for evaluating the existing regulatory mechanisms for
controlling threats to all corals. However, we did not provide any
species-specific information on the regulatory mechanisms or
conservation efforts for A. palmata. Public comments were critical of
that approach, and we therefore attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms and conservation efforts on a species basis, where possible,
in this final rule. We also incorporate here, the evaluation of threats
to this species conducted in the 2005 status review. Records confirm
that A. palmata occurs in eight Atlantic ecoregions that encompass 26
kingdom's and countries' EEZs. The 26 kingdoms and countries are
Antigua & Barbuda, Bahamas, Barbados, Belize, Colombia, Costa Rica,
Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French Antilles, Grenada,
Guatemala, Haiti, Kingdom of the Netherlands, Honduras, Jamaica,
Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, St. Kitts & Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent &
Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, United Kingdom (British Caribbean
Territories), United States (including U.S. Caribbean Territories), and
Venezuela. The regulatory mechanisms relevant to A. palmata, described
first as a percentage of the above kingdoms and countries that utilize
them to any degree, and second as the percentages of those kingdoms and
countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as
follows: General coral protection (31 percent with 12 percent limited
in scope), coral collection (50 percent with 27 percent limited in
scope), pollution control (31 percent with 15 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (73 percent with 50 percent
limited in scope), managing areas for protection and conservation (88
percent with 31 percent limited in scope). The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for A. palmata are fishing regulations and area
management for protection and conservation. However, half of the
fishing regulations are limited in scope. General coral protection and
collection laws, along with pollution control laws, are much less
common regulatory mechanisms for the management of A. palmata. The 2005
status review and 2006 listing concluded that existing regulatory
mechanisms are inadequate to control both global and local threats, and
are contributing to the threatened status of the species, and we
incorporate that analysis here.
Additionally, the public comments suggested that we did not fully
consider the effects that conservation efforts have on the status of A.
palmata. Therefore, conservation efforts are described as follows.
Conservation efforts have been underway for A. palmata for a number of
years. Of 60 Acropora restoration efforts identified in 14 Caribbean
countries, 52 percent used A. palmata, including efforts in Belize,
British Virgin Islands, Colombia, Curacao, Dominican Republic,
Guadalupe, Jamaica, Mexico, Puerto Rico, Turks and Caicos, U.S. Virgin
Islands, and Florida (Young et al., 2012). SECORE, a conservation
organization comprised of public aquariums, zoos, and researchers,
holds annual workshops to accommodate sexual fertilization of A.
palmata eggs collected from the wild, with the intent of rearing larvae
for development of ex situ populations for conservation (Petersen et
al., 2008). However, to date, A. palmata colonies produced through in
vitro fertilization have rarely been planted into the wild for
restoration (but see Roik et al., 2011; Szmant and Miller, 2005).
Restoration efforts involving A. palmata more typically re-attach
fragments after physical disturbance such as storms or ship groundings
(Bruckner and Bruckner, 2001; Garrison and Ward, 2008) or grow colonies
in coral nurseries (Becker and Mueller, 2001; Bowden-Kerby and Carne,
2012; Johnson et al., 2011) to outplant. Fast growth rates, branching
morphology, and asexual reproduction through fragmentation make A.
palmata an ideal candidate for active propagation, and there are a
number of offshore nurseries that are producing corals for use in
restoration and re-establishment of degraded populations. High
survivorship (>70 percent) of coral fragments has been found within
coral nurseries during the first year of propagation (Young et al.,
2012). Survival rates after transplanting are variable, ranging between
43 and 95 percent during the first year, and decreasing in some studies
using non-nursery raised fragments to 0 to 20 percent after five years
(Young et al., 2012).
In conclusion, there are many conservation efforts aimed at
increasing abundance and genetic diversity of A. palmata throughout the
Caribbean. These efforts are important, but not enough to ensure
conservation unless combined with efforts to reduce the underlying
threats and causes of mortality (Young et al., 2012). While
conservation efforts will likely enhance recovery and conservation of
A. palmata at small spatial scales, they are unlikely
[[Page 53973]]
to affect the status of the species, given the global nature of
threats.
Vulnerability to Extinction
In 2006, A. palmata was listed as threatened, i.e., likely to
become in danger of extinction within the next 30 years, due to: (1)
Recent drastic declines in abundance of the species that have occurred
throughout its geographic range and abundances at historic lows; (2)
the potential constriction of broad geographic ranges due to local
extirpations resulting from a single stochastic event (e.g.,
hurricanes, new disease outbreak); (3) limited sexual recruitment in
some areas and unknown levels in most; and (4) occurrence of the Allee
effect (in which fertilization success declines greatly as adult
density declines).
The species was not listed as endangered, i.e., currently in danger
of extinction, because: (1) It was showing limited, localized recovery;
(2) range-wide, the rate of decline appeared to have stabilized and was
comparatively slow as evidenced by persistence at reduced abundances
for the past two decades; (3) it was buffered against major threats by
the large number of colonies, large geographic range, and asexual
reproduction; and (4) as shown by the geologic record, the species has
persisted through climate cooling and heating fluctuation periods over
millions of years, whereas other corals have gone extinct.
In 2012, A. palmata was proposed for listing as endangered because
information available since the original 2006 listing as threatened
suggested: (1) Population declines have continued to occur, with
certain populations of both species decreasing up to an additional 50
percent or more since the time of listing; (2) there are documented
instances of recruitment failure in some populations; (3) minimal
levels of thermal stress (e.g., 30 degrees C) have been shown to impair
larval development, larval survivorship, and settlement success of A.
palmata; (4) near-future levels of acidification have been demonstrated
to impair fertilization, settlement success, and post-settlement growth
rates in A. palmata; (5) on average 50 percent of the colonies are
clones, meaning the effective number of genetic individuals is half the
total population size; (6) the species' ranges are not known to have
contracted, but with continued declines local extirpations are likely,
resulting in a reduction of absolute range size. Furthermore, we took
into account that the BRT identified restriction to the Caribbean as a
spatial factor increasing extinction risk, though, among other things,
exposure to high levels of human disturbance that result in pollution
and breakage impacts. Also, while asexual reproduction (fragmentation)
provides a source for new colonies (albeit clones) that can buffer
natural demographic and environmental variability remains true, we
believed that reliance on asexual reproduction is not sufficient to
prevent extinction of the species. Last, the previous status review and
listing determination underestimated the global climate change-
associated impacts to A. palmata and A. cervicornis, based on our
current knowledge of trends in emissions, likely warming scenarios, and
ocean acidification. In particular, in the previous determination, we
identified ocean acidification only as a factor that ``may be
contributing'' to the status of two species, in comparison to our
current understanding that ocean acidification is one of the three
highest order threats affecting extinction risk for corals.
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic traits, threat susceptibilities, and consideration of
the baseline environment and future projections of threats. Subsequent
to the proposed rule, we received and gathered supplemental species- or
genus-specific information, described above, that expands our knowledge
regarding the species' abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our assessment of the species'
vulnerability to extinction using all the available information. As
explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment in this final
rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and demographic
traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to extinction, as
opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule, which emphasized
the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. palmata, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
The species has undergone substantial population decline and decreases
in the extent of occurrence throughout its range due mostly to disease.
Although localized mortality events have continued to occur, percent
benthic cover and proportion of reefs where A. palmata is dominant have
remained stable over its range since the mid-1980s. There is evidence
of synergistic effects of threats for this species including disease
outbreaks following bleaching events. Acropora palmata is highly
susceptible to a number of threats, and cumulative effects of multiple
threats are likely to exacerbate vulnerability to extinction. Despite
the large number of islands and environments that are included in the
species' range, geographic distribution in the highly disturbed
Caribbean exacerbates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable
future because A. palmata is limited to an area with high localized
human impacts and predicted increasing threats. Acropora palmata occurs
in turbulent water on the back reef, fore reef, reef crest, and spur
and groove zone in water ranging from 1 to 30 m in depth. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species occurs in numerous types of reef environments that
will, on local and regional scales, experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in time. Its absolute
population abundance has been estimated as at least hundreds of
thousands of colonies in both Florida and a portion of the U.S. Virgin
Islands and is higher than the estimate from these two locations due to
the occurrence of the species in many other areas throughout its range.
Acropora palmata has low sexual recruitment rates, which exacerbates
vulnerability to extinction due to decreased ability to recover from
mortality events when all colonies at a site are extirpated. In
contrast, its fast growth rates and propensity for formation of clones
through asexual fragmentation enables it to expand between rare events
of sexual recruitment and increases its potential for local recovery
from mortality events, thus moderating vulnerability to extinction. Its
abundance and life history characteristics, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and acidification across the species'
range, moderate vulnerability to extinction because the threats are
non-uniform, and there will likely be a large number of colonies that
are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at any
given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the determination tool formula
approach, A. palmata was proposed for listing as endangered because of:
High vulnerability to ocean warming (E), ocean acidification (E) and
disease (C); high vulnerability to sedimentation (A and E) and nutrient
over-enrichment (A and E); uncommon abundance (E); decreasing trend in
abundance (E); low
[[Page 53974]]
relative recruitment rate (E); narrow overall distribution (E);
restriction to the Caribbean (E); and inadequacy of regulatory
mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
palmata from endangered to threatened. We made this determination based
on a more species-specific and holistic approach, including
consideration of the buffering capacity of this species' spatial and
demographic traits, and the best available information above on A.
palmata's spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management. The combination of these factors indicates that A. palmata
is likely to become endangered throughout its range within the
foreseeable future, and thus warrants listing as threatened at this
time, because:
(1) Acropora palmata is highly susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), disease (C), ocean acidification (E), sedimentation (A, E),
nutrients (A, E), and predation (C) and susceptible to trophic effects
of fishing (A), depensatory population effects from rapid, drastic
declines and low sexual recruitment (C), and anthropogenic and natural
abrasion and breakage (A, E). These threats are expected to continue
and increase into the future. In addition, the species is at heightened
extinction risk due to inadequate existing regulatory mechanisms to
address local and global threats (D);
(2) Acropora palmata is geographically located in the highly
disturbed Caribbean, where localized human impacts are high and threats
are predicted to increase as described in the Threats Evaluation
section. A range constrained to this particular geographic area that is
likely to experience severe and increasing threats indicates that a
high proportion of the population of this species is likely to be
exposed to those threats over the foreseeable future; and
(3) Acropora palmata's abundance is still a fraction of what it was
before the mass mortality in the 1970s and 1980s, and recent population
models forecast the extirpation of the species from some locations over
the foreseeable future.
The combination of these characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates that the species is likely to be in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future throughout its range and
warrants listing as threatened at this time due to factors A, C, D, and
E.
The available information above on A. palmata's spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and management also indicate that
the species is not currently in danger of extinction and thus does not
warrant listing as Endangered because:
(1) While A. palmata's distribution in the Caribbean increases its
risk of exposure to threats as described above, its habitat includes
back reef environments and turbulent water on the fore reef, reef
crest, shallow spur and groove zone. It is most commonly found in
depths of one to 12 m but is also found in depths up to 30 m. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction currently because the species is
not limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will experience highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry on local and regional scales at any given point in
time, as described in more detail in the Coral Habitat and Threats
Evaluation sections;
(2) Acropora palmata's absolute abundance is at least hundreds of
thousands of colonies based on estimates from two locations in its
range. Absolute abundance is higher than estimates from these locations
since A. palmata occurs in many other locations throughout its range.
This absolute abundance allows for variation in the responses of
individuals to threats to play a role in moderating vulnerability to
extinction for the species to some degree, as described in more detail
in the Corals and Coral Reefs section;
(3) Recent information indicates that proportions of Caribbean
sites where A. palmata is present and dominant have stabilized;
(4) Acropora palmata has fast growth rates and high capacity to
produce clones through asexual fragmentation, which can aid in local
recovery from mortality events; and
(5) Acropora palmata shows evidence of resistance to bleaching from
warmer temperatures in some portions of its range under some
circumstances (e.g. Little Cayman).
The combination of these characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of one that is currently in danger
of extinction, as described previously in the Risk Analyses section and
thus does not warrant listing as endangered at this time. Therefore, we
withdraw our proposal to list A. palmata as endangered.
Progress has been made with A. palmata-specific conservation and
restoration projects, albeit small-scale, and these projects are likely
to increase in the future. Within some countries, A. palmata-specific
conservation and restoration projects show promise for enhancing
species recovery at very small spatial scales and facilitating the
persistence of the species in some areas in the face of continuing
threats. Range-wide, a multitude of conservation efforts are already
broadly employed specifically for A. palmata. However, considering the
global scale of the most important threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at addressing the root cause of
global threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not believe that any
current conservation efforts or conservation efforts planned in the
future will result in affecting the species' status to the point at
which listing is not warranted.
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations
Absolute abundance is approximated at a coarse scale in the
Demographic Information sections for most of the Indo-Pacific species,
based on a comparison of corrected data from Richards et al. (2008) and
the distribution and abundance results from Veron (2014). Mean global
census sizes for four species in this final rule (Acropora
jacquelineae, A. lokani, A. speciosa, and A. tenella) are provided in
Richards et al. (2008). An error in the global census size formula
(Richards et al. 2008, Supplementary Information file
MethodsS1) resulted in 1,000-fold under-estimates of global
census size in Richards et al. (2008) for these four species, as
confirmed by NMFS with the author in 2013. Richards et al.'s (2008)
corrected census results were compared with Veron's ecoregion
distribution and semi-quantitative abundance results to derive coarse
approximations of absolute abundance. For each species, the resulting
absolute abundance is described as either ``at least millions of
colonies,'' or ``at least tens of millions of colonies'' (NMFS, 2014).
Although this comparison produces only very general approximations of
abundance, large scale estimates are sufficient for considering whether
population size provides buffering capacity within the context of our
listing determinations.
Genus Millepora
Genus Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided no genus-level introduction information
for Millepora. However, they did provide the following information on
reproduction in the genus. Millepora species are hydrozoans, thus their
life history cycle includes a medusae stage, a free-swimming, bell-
shaped form (``jellyfish'') that produces gametes. Reproduction is
seasonal. The adult coral colonies produce tiny medusae, which release
gametes within a few days after being released from the colony. Medusae
are in separate sexes,
[[Page 53975]]
and the milleporid medusae of some species live for only a few hours.
The gametes of some milleporids can become mature in 20 to 30 days,
more rapidly than for many scleractinians. Hydrozoan corals of the
genus Millepora are the only reef-building corals with medusae as part
of their life history. Branching and columnar forms of Millepora are
subject to fragmentation and may use this mechanism to reproduce
asexually; unlike scleractinian corals, the survival of Millepora
fragments may not be size-dependent.
There is only one genus in the Family Milleporidae, the genus
Millepora. About 16 species of Millepora are currently considered
valid. While all coral species in this final rule are ``cnidarians''
(Phylum Cnidaria), Millepora are ``hydrozoans'' (Class Hydrozoa, which
includes jellyfish), whereas all other species in this rule are
``scleractinians'' (Class Anthozoa, Order Scleractinia). Like other
reef-building corals, Millepora species contain zooxanthellae, produce
calcium carbonate skeletons, may grow fast, and are thus major
contributors to the physical structure of coral reefs. Unlike other
reef-building corals, the surfaces of Millepora colonies are covered
with tiny polyps that look like hairs, containing stinging cells to
capture prey. Most species can sting humans with the same stinging
cells, hence the common name ``fire corals.'' Colonies of Millepora
species are encrusting, branching, foliose (leafy), or combinations of
these forms. The biology and ecology of Millepora are reviewed in Lewis
(2006).
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Millepora. The genus Millepora has been
called a bleaching ``loser.'' Millepora species are ranked as the most
susceptible to bleaching in response to high seawater temperatures of
any of the 40 genera or other categories of hermatypic corals in the
Great Barrier Reef. The genus has been reported to be highly
susceptible to bleaching in the western Indian Ocean and appears to
have experienced local extirpations in the tropical eastern Pacific.
Low bleaching occurred in Millepora in Moorea during the 1991 event,
but elevated temperatures can also kill Millepora even in the absence
of bleaching. At elevated temperatures, Millepora dichotoma showed
decreased zooxanthellae density, changes in chlorophyll concentrations,
and decreased calcification. Millepora species are among the first to
bleach and die in response to high temperature events, but they also
seem to have a high capacity for quickly recovering by recruiting new
colonies.
Millepora have been observed with a greater than 20 percent
prevalence of skeleton-eroding-band disease in the Red Sea. There are
reports of black-band disease on Millepora on the Great Barrier Reef
and white plague in Florida. Few other reports exist for the Pacific,
and Caribbean congeners have been observed with a small number of
diseases.
Millepora species are known to be preyed on by the crown-of-thorns
seastar Acanthaster planci, although they are less preferred prey than
acroporids and perhaps most scleractinians. Millepora species are also
preyed on by the polychaete Hermodice carunculata, the nudibranch
mollusk Phyllidia, and filefish of the genera Alutera and Cantherhines.
Although Millepora species tend to favor relatively clear water
with low rates of sedimentation, they were reported to be among the
last 17 out of 42 genera to drop out along a gradient of increasing
rate of sedimentation. Millepora also showed increased relative
abundance and colony size on sediment impacted reefs in Kenya. Though
little is known about effects of nutrients on Pacific Millepora,
Caribbean congeners were found to decrease in percent cover on
eutrophic reefs in Barbados.
The genus Millepora has been involved in international trade from
Indonesia, Solomon Islands, and Fiji with reported exports between 200
and 3000 pieces per year in the years 2000-2008. Reported exports from
Vietnam, Malaysia, and Tonga were less than 1000 pieces per year in the
same time period.
Public comments did not provide any information on the genus
Millepora. We gathered supplemental information on the susceptibilities
of Millepora species to some threats, including the following. High
bleaching and mortality in Millepora species has been reported in
response to warming events. All Millepora colonies on reef flats of two
islands in the Thousand Islands of Indonesia died in the 1983 El Nino
mass bleaching (Brown and Suharsono, 1990). In contrast, Millepora
colonies showed no evidence of bleaching in Moorea, French Polynesia in
the 1991 bleaching event other than occasional mild paling (Gleason,
1993). In Palau in 2000, some mortality was seen among Millepora
colonies (Bruno et al., 2001). Almost all Millepora colonies in study
sites outside of marine protected areas in Kenya were killed by mass
bleaching in 1998, but in protected sites there was actually an
increase in Millepora colonies (McClanahan et al., 2001). Millepora
colonies had a bleaching index of 23.06 for eight countries in the
western Indian Ocean in 1998-2005, which was 12th highest of the 45
genera recorded, and 56 percent of the highest value (McClanahan et
al., 2007a). Millepora had the highest bleaching level of any genus in
Australia, and a moderately high level in Kenya in 1998 (Pandolfi et
al., 2011). Millepora colonies in Okinawa, Japan, experienced sharp
drops in populations following the 1998 and 2010 mass bleaching
episodes (Hongo and Yamano, 2013). At Mauritius in a bleaching event in
2004, Millepora had a bleaching index of 35, the second highest of the
32 genera recorded (McClanahan et al., 2005a). Millepora colonies had
the highest level of bleaching among the corals of the Socotra islands
of Yemen, just outside the Red Sea, in 1998 (DeVantier et al., 2005).
While Millepora species are among the most susceptible of all reef-
building corals to warming-induced bleaching, they also often recover
more quickly than scleractinians, opportunistically over-growing
bleached colonies. Such relatively rapid recovery by Millepora species
from bleaching events has been observed in both the Indo-Pacific and
Caribbean, and is facilitated by short colony life and ready
regeneration of fragments (Lewis, 2006). At a forereef site in the
Marquesas Islands, French Polynesia, Millepora platyphyllia overgrew
dead scleractinian colonies to form a large monospecific stand
(Andr[eacute]fou[euml]t et al., 2014). At a back-reef site on Ofu
Island, American Samoa, following a bleaching event in 2002 that killed
almost all Millepora dichotoma, colonies appeared and became fairly
common within a few years (Doug Fenner, personal comm.). Following both
the 1982-83 and 1997-98 warming events, Millepora intricata was
extirpated from shallow water in the eastern Pacific, but showed
recovery within several years, likely because of recolonization from
deep water (Smith et al., in press). In contrast, a long-term study
showed that three Millepora species were ``long-term losers'' (i.e.,
populations decreased to zero, and remained there) following mass
bleaching events in Japan in 1998 and 2010, while two other species of
Millepora were ``neither winners nor losers'' (i.e., changes in their
populations were not significant) (van Woesik et al., 2011).
Millepora colonies in the Great Barrier Reef had low susceptibility
to Skeletal Eroding Band (the most prevalent
[[Page 53976]]
disease on the GBR), with a prevalence of 0.4 percent out of 4,068
colonies surveyed (Page and Willis, 2007).
Several recent studies compare vulnerabilities across genera or
species for a large number of reef-building coral species, and the
results of these studies are summarized below with regard to Millepora.
Foden et al. (2013) developed a framework for evaluating the
vulnerability of corals (and birds and amphibians) to extinction due to
climate change. They categorized all of the six species of Millepora,
which they reported on as having a low vulnerability to climate change.
A field study that tracked the responses of 46 reef-building coral
species in southern Japan from 1997 to 2010 through two bleaching
events in 1998 and 2001 rated three Millepora species as neither
winners nor losers, and two Millepora species as long term losers.
Three of the Millepora species were branching and all three branching
species were ``long term losers,'' one species is encrusting and one
produces plates, and those two species were neither long term winners
or losers (van Woesik et al., 2011). There is no information available
on the effects of any other threat for Millepora species.
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information we can make the following inferences about the
susceptibilities of an unstudied Millepora species to ocean warming,
disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, or collection and
trade. The large majority of studies report that Millepora species are
highly susceptible to thermal stress and bleaching, but vulnerability
may be moderated by the capacity for rapid recovery in some species. An
unstudied species of Millepora such as M. tuberosa can be predicted in
a bleaching event to not be a ``winner'' in the long term, but it
cannot be predicted whether they will be a long term loser, or neither
a winner or loser. Thus, an unstudied species of Millepora is likely to
be highly susceptible to ocean warming. Based on the above information,
an unstudied species of Millepora is likely to have some susceptibility
to disease, sedimentation, nutrients, and predation.
The SRR rated ocean acidification as ``medium-high'' importance,
the third most important threat to corals overall, because of the
likely effects of decreasing ocean pH on coral calcification and
reproduction. Thus, an unstudied Millepora species is likely to have
some susceptibility to ocean acidification. The SRR rated the trophic
effects of fishing as ``medium'' importance, the fourth most important
threat to corals overall. This threat was not addressed at the genus or
species level in the SRR or SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level
process. That is, removal of herbivorous fish from coral reef systems
by fishing alters trophic interactions by reducing herbivory on algae,
thereby providing a competitive advantage for space to algae over
coral. Thus, the SRR did not discuss this threat in terms of coral
taxa, as its effects are difficult to distinguish between coral genera
and species. Therefore, an unstudied Millepora species is likely to
have some susceptibility to the trophic effects of fishing. The SRR
rated sea-level rise as ``low-medium'' importance to corals overall.
This threat was not addressed at the genus or species level in the SRR
or SIR. Increasing sea levels may increase land-based sources of
pollution due to inundation, resulting in changes to coral community
structure, most likely to sediment-tolerant assemblages and slower
growing species. Because Millepora are not generally sediment-tolerant
and are faster growing species, an unstudied Millepora species is
likely to have some susceptibility to sea-level rise. The SRR rated
ornamental trade (referred to in the proposed rule as Collection and
Trade) as ``low'' importance to corals overall, and this threat is
addressed at both the genus and species levels in the SRR. Because
Millepora species are widely collected and traded, an unstudied
Millepora species is likely to have some susceptibility to collection
and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied Millepora species is likely to be
highly susceptible to ocean warming (i.e., thermal stress, leading to
warming-induced bleaching), and to have some susceptibility to disease,
ocean acidification, trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and trade.
Millepora foveolata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M.
foveoloata's morphology and taxonomy. Colonies of Millepora foveolata
form thin encrusting laminae that adhere closely to the underlying
substrata. Millepora foveolata is sometimes confused with the similarly
encrusting Millepora exaesa.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on M. foveoloata's morphology and taxonomy. However, we
gathered supplemental information on M. foveoloata that indicates a
very high level of species identification uncertainty, because its
distinctive features are very small and difficult to learn. In
addition, no pictures of live colonies have been published of this
species. Corals of the World (Veron, 2000) does not include non-
scleractinians such Millepora species, making it very difficult to
obtain reliable reference material. Many coral experts also ignore
Millepora species, but even those that are interested in them have
little opportunity to hone identification skills because the species is
quite rare and not often encountered on surveys. Thus, even though M.
foveolata is considered a valid species, and there are no known
taxonomic uncertainty issues, the species is so difficult to identify
in the field that there is very little reliable information available
for this species (Fenner, 2014b). Thus, a high proportion of the
information on M. foveolata's distribution and abundance information in
the SRR or SIR is likely based on inaccurate field identifications,
thus we do not consider this information to be sufficiently reliable,
and are unable to provide a reliable species description for M.
foveolata in this final rule.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, M. foveolata was proposed for listing as
endangered because of: High vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor
E); moderate vulnerability to disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide abundance (E); narrow overall
distribution (based on narrow geographic distribution and shallow depth
distribution (E); and inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
Based on the lack of information on M. foveolata's distribution,
abundance, and threat vulnerabilities due to this species'
identification uncertainty, we believe there is not sufficient evidence
to support a listing determination of threatened or endangered.
Therefore, we find that listing is not warranted at this time.
Millepora tuberosa
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. tuberosa's
morphology and taxonomy. Millepora tuberosa's colony morphology
consists of thin (about 1 mm at encrusting peripheral margins) to
moderately thick (3 cm or more in the central regions of larger
colonies) encrusting laminae that closely adhere to the underlying
substrata. They are always encrusting
[[Page 53977]]
and so do not make vertical plates or branches, although they can be
nodular or lumpy, especially when they encrust rubble. Millepora
tuberosa is often found as small colonies (5 to 30 cm diameter) but can
be greater than one meter in diameter. The SIR reports that several
authors have commented that people could inadvertently misidentify M.
tuberosa colonies as crustose coralline algae, and the SIR reports it
can look similar to Psammocora nierstrazi if they have similar color.
There is some taxonomic uncertainty, as M. tuberosa has been
synonymized with Millepora exaesa in one review. The problem may be
that the skeletons are quite similar, but the living colonies appear
quite different, mainly in color; M. tuberosa is a wine color, unlike
other Millepora species.
The public comments and information we gathered did not provide any
new or supplemental information on morphology or taxonomy. We gathered
supplemental information, which confirmed that M. tuberosa has moderate
taxonomic uncertainty, but is easily identified. Millepora tuberosa is
distinctive and not difficult to identify by experts, thus the
distribution and abundance information described below for this species
is sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. tuberosa's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Millepora tuberosa is known
from Mauritius, Taiwan, Mariana Islands, Caroline Islands, American
Samoa, and New Caledonia. The species occurs in a broad range of
habitats on the reef slope, reef crest, and back-reef, including but
not limited to lower reef crests, upper reef slopes, and lagoons, from
1 to at least 12 m depth.
Public comments and information we gathered provided new or
supplemental information on M. tuberosa's distribution. One public
comment stated M. tuberosa has been reported from a variety of sources
suggesting that its range extends from that shown in the proposed rule
westward to Madagascar, indicating a broader distribution than shown in
the proposed rule. We gathered supplemental information, including
results from surveys carried out from 2005 to 2014 in New Caledonia,
American Samoa, the Northern Mariana Islands, Nauru, Tonga, and the
Chagos Islands, that confirmed the occurrence of M. tuberosa in the
first three areas but did not find it in the latter three areas (D.
Fenner, personal comm.). Many experts, including Veron, do not record
the presence of Millepora species, thus the small number of reliable
observations for this species likely indicates under-reporting rather
than a reflection of its actual distribution or overall abundance.
However, surveys by Millepora experts have not found the species at all
coral reef sites surveyed within the areas encompassed by its known
locations. Thus we conclude that the available information suggests a
patchy range bounded by east Africa, Taiwan, Mariana Islands, Caroline
Islands, American Samoa, and New Caledonia, and that the species' range
makes up approximately one third to one half of the coral reef areas
within the Indo-Pacific.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. tuberosa's
abundance. The SRR stated that the species is most often reported as
occasional, but in Guam it is predominant in an area of lagoonal reef
south of Agat Boat Harbor. The SIR cited several sources of information
not available in the SRR, and concluded that the species' abundance
should be considered common.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on M. tuberosa's abundance. We gathered supplemental
information, including abundance results from surveys conducted in New
Caledonia, American Samoa, and the Northern Mariana Islands between
2005 and 2013. In New Caledonia, 87 sites were surveyed from 2006 to
2009, and only a single colony of M tuberosa was found. At 67 sites
surveyed in American Samoa from 2005 to 2010, M. tuberosa was found at
18 sites (of the sites, 31 were on Tutuila, and the species was found
at 13 of them). At 22 sites surveyed in the Northern Mariana Islands in
2013, M. tuberosa was found at three sites (D. Fenner, personal comm.).
At sites where M. tuberosa has been actively surveyed (i.e., by coral
abundance monitoring programs that includes Millepora experts), the
available information shows wide variability in the species' abundance,
from dominant or common (Guam) to uncommon (Tutuila, Northern Mariana
Islands) to rare (New Caledonia). Based on the available information,
we conclude that M. tuberosa's overall abundance is common or uncommon
overall, but locally rare.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For M.
tuberosa, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 59 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 22 percent (Carpenter et al., 2008). This
estimated decline is approximately 50 percent higher than most other
Indo-Pacific species included in the Carpenter paper, apparently
because of the combined restricted geographic and depth ranges.
However, as summarized above in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section,
live coral cover trends are highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small scales that can be easily taken
out of context, thus quantitative inferences to species-specific trends
should be interpreted with caution. At the same time, an extensive body
of literature documents broad declines in live coral cover and shifts
to reef communities dominated by hardier coral species or algae over
the past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et
al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred,
and are occurring, from a combination of global and local threats.
Given that M. tuberosa probably occurs in many areas affected by these
broad changes, and that it has some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is likely to have declined in
abundance over the past 50 to 100 years, but a precise quantification
is not possible based on the limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The public comments and information we gathered did not provide
additional biological information on M. tuberosa.
Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided species-specific information on the
susceptibility of M. tuberosa to sedimentation, predation, and
secondary effects of heavy fishing pressure. The relatively high
abundance of this species on Guam suggests it is resistant to those
threats. Genus-level information is provided for the effects on
Millepora of ocean warming, disease, predation, land-based sources of
pollution (i.e., sedimentation, nutrients, toxins, and salinity), and
collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide any other
species-specific information on the effects of these threats on M.
tuberosa. The threat susceptibility and exposure information from the
SRR and SIR was interpreted in the proposed rule for M. tuberosa's
vulnerabilities to threats as follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming, moderate vulnerabilities to disease, acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, nutrients, and
[[Page 53978]]
low vulnerabilities to predation, sedimentation, sea-level rise, and
collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on M. tuberosa's threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following
species-specific and genus-level supplemental information on this
species' threat susceptibilities. Millepora tuberosa has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching but not coral disease,
but these ratings are not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et
al., 2008). Some colonies in American Samoa and Guam have been observed
to have a discolored yellow area around part of the perimeter, which
appeared to be a non-lethal disease (not all colonies had it, and no
mortality was seen. No other disease was seen (Fenner, 2014a). There is
no other species-specific information for the exposure or
susceptibility of M. tuberosa to any threat. Based on information
provided in the genus description above, M. tuberosa is likely to be
highly susceptible to ocean warming, and has some susceptibilities to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and
trade.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for M.
tuberosa. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment led
us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis.
Veron's updated report on the listed coral species and their
occurrence in various ecoregions (Veron, 2014) did not include M.
tuberosa. To determine what countries the species occurs in we used the
SRR, IUCN Red List of Threatened Species, and other sources where the
species has been confirmed (Fenner, 2011) and conclude that the species
occurs in a minimum of six countries' EEZs. Those six countries are the
Federated States of Micronesia, France (New Caledonia), Mauritius,
Palau, Taiwan, and the United States (CNMI, Guam, American Samoa). As
noted in the Spatial Information paragraph above, it is likely the
species occurs in a number of other countries, but we cannot determine
which ones at this time, thus this management analysis is limited to
the six countries where the species has been confirmed.
The regulatory mechanisms available to M. tuberosa, described first
as a percentage of the above countries that utilize them to any degree,
and second as the percentage of those countries whose regulatory
mechanisms are limited in scope, are as follows: General coral
protection (33 percent with none limited in scope), coral collection
(67 percent with 17 limited in scope), pollution control (33 percent
with 17 percent limited in scope), fishing regulations on reefs (100
percent with 17 percent limited in scope), managing areas for
protection and conservation (100 percent with none limited in scope).
The most common regulatory mechanisms in place for M. tuberosa are reef
fishing regulations and area management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection laws are also somewhat utilized. General
coral protection and pollution control laws are much less common
regulatory mechanisms for the management of M. tuberosa.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that the high bleaching rate, based on genus-
level information, is the primary threat of extinction for M. tuberosa,
which was compounded by the disjunct geographic range. The SRR also
stated that factors that potentially reduce the extinction risk are
that M. tuberosa might be more common than previously observed, and
that like other Millepora species, it likely has a high capacity for
recovering from bleaching.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of M. tuberosa, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution, based on the available information,
includes patchy areas from the western Indian Ocean across the western
and central Pacific, as far east as American Samoa. Its geographic
distribution moderates vulnerability to extinction because some areas
within its range are projected to have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future, including the western Indian
Ocean, the central Pacific, and other areas, so portions of the
population in these areas will be less exposed to severe conditions.
Its depth range is from zero to at least 12 meters. On one hand, its
depth range may moderate vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas of its range will usually have
lower irradiance than surface waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. On the other hand, its depth range
may exacerbate vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
if the species occurs predominantly in the shallower portion of its
depth range, since those areas will have higher irradiance and thus be
more severely affected by warming-induced bleaching. Its habitat
includes lower reef crests, upper reef slopes, and lagoons, which
moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in
numerous types of reef environments that will, on local and regional
scales, experience reef environments that will, on local and regional
scales, experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry
at any given point in time. While the species is locally rare, its
overall abundance is common or uncommon. Thus, its overall abundance,
combined with spatial variability in ocean warming and acidification
across the species range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because
the increasingly severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future
will be non-uniform and therefore will likely be a large number of
colonies that are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a
threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
M. tuberosa was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); common generalized range wide
abundance (E); narrow overall
[[Page 53979]]
distribution (based on narrow geographic distribution and shallow depth
distribution (E); and inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for M.
tuberosa from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on M. tuberosa's
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to be likely to become endangered throughout its
range within the foreseeable future, and thus it is not warranted for
listing at this time, because:
(1) Millepora tuberosa's distribution stretches across the Indian
Ocean and most of the Pacific Ocean and is spread over a very large
area. While some areas within its range are projected to be affected by
warming and acidification, other areas are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification, including the western Indian Ocean,
the central Pacific, and other areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not occur uniformly throughout the
species range. As explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we
have not identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly
throughout the species range within the foreseeable future; and
(2) Millepora tuberosa's abundance is described as common or
uncommon overall which, in terms of relative abundance of corals and in
combination with the size of its range, indicates this species likely
numbers in the tens or hundreds of millions of colonies, at least. This
provides buffering capacity in the form of absolute numbers of colonies
and variation in susceptibility between individual colonies. As
discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section above, the more
colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of colonies that are
likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a particular time, and
all individuals that are exposed will not have the same response.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses significant buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that M. tuberosa's extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and worsen in
severity, likely resulting in the continued decline of this species
into the future. As the species experiences reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, its ability to moderate exposure
to threats will diminish. However, the species is not likely to become
of such low abundance or so spatially fragmented as to be in danger of
extinction due to depensatory processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from
catastrophic events within the foreseeable future throughout its range.
Therefore, M. tuberosa is not warranted for listing at this time under
any of the listing factors.
Genus Seriatopora
Genus Introduction
The family Pocilloporidae includes three genera: Pocillopora,
Seriatopora, and Stylophora. Seriatopora contains six species, all
occurring in the Indo-Pacific (Veron, 2000). Seriatopora species have
branching colonies. The SRR and SIR provided no genus-level
introductory information on Seriatopora.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Seriatopora. Species in the genus
Seriatopora are highly susceptible to bleaching across regions,
including Micronesia the GBR, and the western Indian Ocean. The genus
Seriatopora is known to be susceptible to predation by snails and the
crown-of-thorns seastar, Acanthaster planci. The genus Seriatopora has
been heavily traded, primarily from Fiji and Indonesia (and
occasionally the Philippines and Taiwan). Many records are at the genus
level; trade was heavy in the mid-1980s (exceeding 134,000 pieces in
1987). Seriatopora hystrix is the most heavily exploited species,
although Seriatopora caliendrum is also exported.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on the threat susceptibilities of the genus Seriatopora. We
gathered supplemental information, which provided the following. There
are several reports of high bleaching and mortality in Seriatopora
species in response to warming events. In response to the 1998 warming
event, Seriatopora colonies in Palau had high levels of bleaching with
high mortality (Bruno et al., 2001). In response to the same warming
event, over half of Seriatopora colonies in study sites within Kenyan
marine protected areas were killed by mass bleaching (McClanahan et
al., 2001). A large study of the bleaching responses of over 100 coral
species on the GBR to the 1998 bleaching event included one Seriatopora
species, Seriatopora hystrix. For this species, approximately 40
percent of the observed colonies were bleached, resulting in S. hystrix
being more affected than most of the Pocilloporidae and Acroporidae
species in the study, and one of the 20 most affected species in the
entire study (Done et al., 2003b).
In response to a 2008 bleaching event in Papua New Guinea, two
Pocilloporidae species (including S. hystrix) and 14 Acroporidae
species were monitored, and each species' relative susceptibility to
bleaching was evaluated in relationship to the other species in the
study. Nine of the 16 species, including S. hystrix, had moderate
susceptibility to bleaching, while five species were rated as severe or
high susceptibilities, and two as low. Of the 139 S. hystrix colonies
monitored in the study, 126 bleached (Bonin, 2012). In response to a
2004 warming event in Mauritius, the genus Seriatopora was the most
bleached of the 32 genera recorded (McClanahan et al., 2005b). In eight
countries in the western Indian Ocean in 1998-2005, the Seriatopora
genus had a bleaching index of 32, the fourth highest of the 45 genera
recorded, and 75 percent of the highest value (McClanahan et al.,
2007a).
McClanahan et al. (2007a) calculated a relative extinction risk
score based on bleaching for genera of corals in the western Indian
Ocean. The index of extinction risk was proportional to the degree of
bleaching and inversely proportional to the abundance and number of
reefs on which a taxon was found. The index of extinction risk for
Seriatopora was the eighth highest out of 47 genera, with a score of
0.46 based on a scale of zero to one, with one being the score of the
highest extinction risk.
With regard to disease, two reports from the GBR provide
contrasting information regarding the susceptibilities of Seriatopora
species to various coral diseases. One study found that Black Band
Disease was nearly absent on colonies of Seriatopora species (Page and
Willis, 2006). In contrast, colonies of Seriatopora species
[[Page 53980]]
had high susceptibility to Skeletal Eroding Band, with a prevalence of
5.8 percent. Skeletal Eroding Band is the most prevalent disease on the
GBR (Page and Willis, 2007). Seriatopora in Indonesia was reported to
have no diseases (Haapkyla et al., 2007). There is no information
available on the effects of any other threat for Seriatopora species.
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make the following inferences about
the susceptibilities of an unstudied Seriatopora species to ocean
warming, disease, ocean acidification, sedimentation, nutrients,
trophic effects of fishing, sea-level rise, predation, and collection
and trade. The SRR rated ocean warming and disease as ``high''
importance to corals. These were rated as the three most important
threats to reef-building corals overall. All studies on thermal stress
in Seriatopora report high levels of bleaching in response to warming
events. Thus, we conclude that Seriatopora likely has high
susceptibility to ocean warming. Studies reported that one disease did
not infect Seriatopora, but another did at high prevalence, and no
diseases infected it in Indonesia. Thus, we conclude that Seriatopora
has some susceptibility to disease. Although there is no other genus-
level or species-specific information on the susceptibilities of
Seriatopora species to ocean acidification, the SRR rated it as
``medium-high'' importance to corals. Thus, we conclude that an
unstudied Seriatopora species has some susceptibility to ocean
acidification.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of fishing as ``medium''
importance, the fourth most important threat to corals overall. This
threat was not addressed at the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level process. That is, removal of
herbivorous fish from coral reef systems by fishing alters trophic
interactions by reducing herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae over coral. Thus, the SRR did
not discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa, as its effects are
difficult to distinguish between coral genera and species. Therefore,
we conclude that an unstudied Seriatopora species has some
susceptibility to the trophic effects of fishing.
Although there is no genus-level or species-specific information on
the susceptibilities of Seriatopora species to sedimentation or
nutrients, the SRR rated both threats as ``low-medium'' importance to
corals. Thus, we conclude that an unstudied Seriatopora species has
some susceptibility to these threats. Sea-level rise was also rated as
``low-medium'' importance to corals. Increasing sea levels may increase
land-based sources of pollution due to inundation, resulting in changes
to coral community structure, thus an unstudied Seriatopora species is
likely to have some susceptibility to sea-level rise. The SRR rated
predation and ornamental trade (referred to in the proposed rule as
Collection and Trade) as ``low'' importance to corals overall.
Seriatopora is preyed on by both snails and crown-of-thorns starfish.
Thus we conclude that Seriatopora has some susceptibility to predation.
Seriatopora is heavily traded, thus we conclude that Seriatopora has
some susceptibility to collection and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied Seriatopora species is likely to be
highly susceptible to ocean warming, and to have some susceptibility to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and
trade.
Seriatopora aculeata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on S. aculeata's
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as thick, short,
tapered branches, usually in fused clumps. The taxonomy was described
as somewhat uncertain, because genetic studies have not corresponded
well with morphology for S. aculeata and other species of Seriatopora.
Similar species, Seriatopora stellata and S. hystrix, can have similar
branching structures in shallow, exposed reef flats.
The public comments and information we gathered did not provide any
new or supplemental information on morphology, and confirmed that there
is a moderate level of taxonomic uncertainty for S. aculeata, and that
there is a moderate level of species identification uncertainty for
this species. Veron (Veron, 2014) states that S. aculeata is sometimes
confused with S. stellata, but Veron (Veron, 2000; Veron, 2014)
continues to consider it a valid species, and we conclude it can be
identified by experts, and that the distribution and abundance
information described below for this species is sufficiently reliable
(Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on S. aculeata's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Seriatopora aculeata is
distributed from Australia, Fiji, Indonesia, Japan, Papua New Guinea,
and Madagascar to the Marshall Islands. The SRR and SIR described S.
aculeata's habitat as shallow reef environments, and its depth range as
three to 40 meters. The SIR reported it in Guam and the Northern
Marianas.
The public comments and information we gathered provided
supplemental information on the distribution and habitat of S.
aculeata. One public comment stated that in Guam, the few specimens of
S. aculeata observed since 2004 were found in areas with high rates of
sedimentation. Thus, based on all the available information, S.
aculeata's habitat can be summarized as follows: The species occurs in
a broad range of habitats on the reef slope and back-reef, including
but not limited to upper reef slopes, mid-slope terraces, lower reef
slopes, reef flats, and lagoons. Supplemental information provided the
following. Veron (2014) provides an updated, much more detailed range
map for this species than the maps used in the SRR. Veron reports that
S. aculeata is confirmed in 19 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and
strongly predicted to be found in an additional seven.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on S. aculeata's
abundance. Seriatopora aculeata has been reported as uncommon.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on S. aculeata's abundance, but the supplemental
information provided the following. Veron (2014) reports that S.
aculeata occupied 10.3 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.70
on a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on
this semi-quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized
as ``common,'' and overall abundance was described as ``uncommon.''
Veron did not infer trends in abundance from these data. As described
in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction above, based on
results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at least millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For S.
aculeata, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated
[[Page 53981]]
at 37 percent, and the decline in abundance before the 1998 bleaching
event (``Back-cast Percent Population Reduction'') was estimated at 14
percent. However, as summarized above in the Inter-basin Comparison
sub-section, live coral cover trends are highly variable both spatially
and temporally, producing patterns on small scales that can be easily
taken out of context, thus quantitative inferences to species-specific
trends should be interpreted with caution. At the same time, an
extensive body of literature documents broad declines in live coral
cover and shifts to reef communities dominated by hardier coral species
or algae over the past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012;
Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012). These changes have
likely occurred, and are occurring, from a combination of global and
local threats. Given that S. aculeata occurs in many areas affected by
these broad changes, and that it has some susceptibility to both global
and local threats, we conclude that it is likely to have declined in
abundance over the past 50 to 100 years, but quantification is not
possible based on the limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on S. aculeata's
life history. Little is known of S. aculeata's life history. The much
more common species, S. hystrix, is a simultaneous hermaphrodite that
reproduces sexually via brooded larvae. The public comments and
information we gathered provided no additional biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe S. aculeata's threats, the SRR and SIR provided genus-
level information for the effects on Seriatopora of o ocean warming,
disease, acidification, sedimentation, nutrients, predation, and
collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide any species-
specific information on the effects of these threats on S. aculeata,
except for a single export record from Indonesia for four pieces of the
species in 2008. We interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for S. aculeata's
vulnerabilities as follows. High vulnerability to ocean warming;
moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects
of reef fishing, nutrients, and predation; and low vulnerability to
sedimentation, sea level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments provided some supplemental information on S.
aculeata's threat susceptibilities. One comment stated that the depth
range for S. aculeata on the reef slopes of Guam are coincident with
those of the crown-of-thorns starfish, both of which are below 5 to 7
meters depth, exposing S. aculeata to predation. Seriatopora aculeata
has been rated as not moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching and
disease, but this rating is not based on species-specific data
(Carpenter et al. 2008). There is no supplemental species-specific
information for the susceptibility of S. aculeata to any threat. Based
on information provided in the Seriatopora genus description above, S.
aculeata is likely to be highly susceptible to ocean warming, and is
likely to have some susceptibility to disease, ocean acidification,
trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade. The available information does not
support more precise ratings of the susceptibilities of S. aculeata to
the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms.
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for S.
aculeata. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment led
us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that S. aculeata occurs
in 19 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 10 countries' EEZs. The 10
countries are Federated States of Micronesia, France (French Pacific
Island Territories), Indonesia, Japan, Palau, Papua New Guinea,
Philippines, Solomon Islands, Timor-Leste, and the United States (CNMI,
Guam, PRIAs). The regulatory mechanisms available to S. aculeata,
described first as a percentage of the above countries that utilize
them to any degree, and second as the percentage of those countries
whose regulatory mechanisms are limited in scope, are as follows:
General coral protection (40 percent with none limited in scope), coral
collection (70 percent with 20 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (30 percent with 20 percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (100 percent with none limited in scope), and
managing areas for protection and conservation (100 percent with none
limited in scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in place for
S. aculeata are reef fishing regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral collection laws are also heavily
utilized for the species. General coral protection and pollution
control laws are less common regulatory mechanisms for the management
of S. aculeata.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that the primary factor that increases the
potential extinction risk is its high bleaching susceptibility. The
genus Seriatopora is heavily traded, but not often identified to
species. Heavy use in the aquarium trade implies the potential for
local extirpation for this usually uncommon species.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of S. aculeata, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution is limited to parts of the Coral Triangle
and the western equatorial Pacific Ocean. Despite the large number of
islands and environments that are included in the species' range, this
range exacerbates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable
future because it is mostly limited to an area projected to have the
most rapid and severe impacts from climate change and localized human
impacts for coral reefs over the 21st century. Its depth range of 40
meters moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable
future because deeper areas of its range will usually have lower
irradiance than surface waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. The species
[[Page 53982]]
occurs in a broad range of habitats on the reef slope and back-reef,
including but not limited to upper reef slopes, mid-slope terraces,
lower reef slopes, reef flats, and lagoons. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types
of reef environments that will, on local and regional scales,
experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time. There is not enough information about its
abundance to determine if it moderates or exacerbates extinction. It is
common and has at least millions of colonies, but the great majority of
the population is within an area expected to be severely impacted by
threats over the foreseeable future. While depth distribution and
habitat variability moderate vulnerability to extinction, the
combination of its geographic distribution and high susceptibility to
ocean warming are likely to be more influential to the status of this
species over the foreseeable future, because of the projected severity
of ocean warming throughout the species' range in the foreseeable
future, and its high susceptibility to this threat.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the determination tool formula
approach, S. aculeata was proposed for listing as threatened because
of: High vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate
vulnerability to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon
generalized range wide abundance (E); moderate overall distribution
(based on moderate geographic distribution and moderate depth
distribution (E); and inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we maintain the listing determination for S.
aculeata as threatened. Based on the best available information
provided above on S. aculeata's spatial structure, demography, threat
susceptibilities, and management indicate that it is likely to become
endangered throughout its range within the foreseeable future, and thus
warrants listing as threatened at this time, because:
(1) Seriatopora aculeata is highly susceptible to ocean warming
(ESA Factor E), and susceptible to disease (C) ocean acidification (E),
trophic effects of fishing (A), nutrients (A, E), and collection and
trade (B). In addition, existing regulatory mechanisms to address
global threats that contribute to extinction risk for this species are
inadequate (D); and
(2) Seriatopora aculeata's distribution is constrained to the Coral
Triangle and western equatorial Pacific, which is projected to have the
most rapid and severe impacts from climate change and localized human
impacts for coral reefs over the 21st century, as described in the
Threats Evaluation. Multiple ocean warming events have already occurred
within the western equatorial Pacific that suggest future ocean warming
events may be more severe than average in this part of the world. A
range constrained to this particular geographic area that is likely to
experience severe and increasing threats indicates that a high
proportion of the population of this species is likely to be exposed to
those threats over the foreseeable future.
The combination of these characteristics and projections of future
threats indicates that the species is likely to be in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future throughout its range and
warrants listing as threatened at this time due to factors A, C, D, and
E.
The available information above on S. aculeata's spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and management also indicate that
the species is not currently in danger of extinction and thus does not
warrant listing as Endangered because:
(1) While half of S. aculeatas' range is within the Coral Triangle
which increases its extinction risk as described above, its habitat
includes various shallow reef environments down to 40 meters. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction currently because the species is
not limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, at local and regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in
time, as described in more detail in the Coral Habitat sub-section and
Threats Evaluation section. There is no evidence to suggest that the
species is so spatially fragmented that depensatory processes,
environmental stochasticity, or the potential for catastrophic events
currently pose a high risk to the survival of the species;
(2) Seriatopora aculeata occurs down to at least 40 m so its depth
range will provide some refugia from threats because deeper areas of
its range will usually have lower irradiance than surface water, and
acidification is generally predicted to accelerate most in waters that
are deeper and cooler than those in which the species occurs; and
(3) Seriatopora aculeata's absolute abundance is at least millions
of colonies, which allows for variation in the responses of individuals
to threats to play a role in moderating vulnerability to extinction for
the species to some degree, as described in more detail in the Corals
and Coral Reefs section. There is no evidence of depensatory processes
such as reproductive failure from low density of reproductive
individuals and genetic processes such as inbreeding affecting this
species. Thus, its absolute abundance indicates it is currently able to
avoid high mortality from environmental stochasticity, and mortality of
a high proportion of its population from catastrophic events.
The combination of these characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of one that is currently in danger
of extinction, as described previously in the Risk Analyses section,
and thus does not warrant listing as endangered at this time.
Range-wide, a multitude of conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting S. aculeata. However, considering
the global scale of the most important threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at addressing the root cause of
global threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not believe that any
current conservation efforts or conservation efforts planned in the
future will result in affecting the species status to the point at
which listing is not warranted.
Genus Acropora, Indo-Pacific
Genus Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided an introduction to Indo-Pacific Acropora,
covering geological history, taxonomy, life history, and threat
susceptibilities of the genus as a whole. Acropora colonies are usually
branching, bushy, or plate-like, rarely encrusting or submassive.
Acropora is by far the largest genus of corals with over 150 species,
and dominates many reefs, making Acropora the most important single
genus of corals in the world. Almost all species of Acropora are in the
Indo-Pacific.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on genus-level
threat susceptibilities for Indo-Pacific Acropora. Acropora are widely
reported to be more sensitive to bleaching in response to high
temperatures than other coral genera. Some studies report branching
species of Acropora to bleach more than table species, but other
studies do not find this. Bleaching mortality in Acropora can be very
severe. Larval connectivity and survival of partially-dead colonies are
probably
[[Page 53983]]
important in population recovery. Bleaching of Acropora has been
followed by disease outbreaks and by reduced fecundity for a year or
two. Fertilization and larval stages of Acropora are particularly
sensitive to high temperatures.
Ocean acidification decreases the rate of calcification in
Acropora. For one species of Acropora in the Caribbean, decreases in
growth rates on reefs over decades has been attributed to
acidification. Acidification negatively affects a variety of stages of
reproduction in Acropora.
Acropora are vulnerable to most of the diseases that infect coral,
and are more commonly affected by acute and lethal diseases (``white
diseases'' or tissue loss) than other corals. Such lethal diseases have
been the major cause of the loss of most Acropora in the Caribbean. The
reduction of coral populations by disease leads to negative synergisms,
as it reduces Acropora reproductive output and can lead to recruitment
failure, making population recovery very difficult.
Acropora are preferred prey for most predators that prey on coral,
including the crown-of-thorns starfish, a variety of snails including
Drupella, butterflyfish, and fireworms. Individual territorial
butterflyfish can take 400-700 bites per hour, and butterflyfish
densities can be 50-70 per 1000m\2\, demonstrating possible intense
predation on Acropora. Acropora have low carbon and protein content in
their tissues so a low nutrient value, yet are still preferred prey.
This suggests that instead of investing in chemical defenses against
predation, Acropora invests its energy in rapid growth. However, when
coral populations are greatly reduced, the predatory pressure is
increased on colonies, and can exert a positive-feedback effect (Allee
Effect or depensation) that makes populations unstable and can lead to
collapse or lack of recovery.
In general, Acropora species are relatively more susceptible to the
effects of sedimentation than many other reef-building corals. Though
certain growth forms (e.g., cylindrical branches) may be more effective
at passive sediment rejection than others, Acropora are generally not
adept at actively removing sediment. Acropora have also shown
particular sensitivity to shading, an effect of turbid waters resulting
from sedimentation. In addition, adult colonies of Acropora have
reportedly shown impacts from sedimentation especially during
reproduction.
Acropora species are also relatively more susceptible to the
effects of nutrients, especially with regard to reproduction and
recruitment. Elevated nutrients have been shown to reduce fertilization
success, survival, and settlement of Acropora larvae. Further, iron-
rich ``red'' soils typical of tropical islands, as well as other
chemicals in run-off, interfere with synchronization of spawning among
colonies, egg-sperm recognition and interactions, fertilization, and
embryo development.
Acropora species are heavily collected and widely traded
internationally. Trade quotas and reports are typically listed only at
the genus level, making any species-specific inferences with regard to
this threat very difficult.
The public comments did not provide any supplemental information on
genus-level threat susceptibilities for Indo-Pacific Acropora. However,
we gathered supplemental information, which provides the following
genus-level information on threat susceptibilities of Indo-Pacific
Acropora for ocean warming, disease, ocean acidification, and
predation. With regard to susceptibility to ocean warming, Fisk and
Done (1985) report bleaching patterns on a site on the Great Barrier
Reef in 1982 to 1983. Most species of Acropora in shallow water had
significant mortality, but Acropora hyacinthus did not. Mortality
varied by species and site. Brown and Suharsono (1990) reported that
the 1983 El Ni[ntilde]o caused a mass bleaching event in the Thousand
Islands, Indonesia. The mass bleaching event killed all Acropora (22
species) in the transects on the reef flats of two islands (Brown and
Suharsono, 1990). Gleason (1993) reported that Acropora was the second
most affected genus by bleaching (Montastraea was the most affected) in
Moorea, French Polynesia in 1991, and that it had the greatest
mortality. McClanahan et al. (2001) report that almost all Acropora in
study sites in Kenya were killed by mass bleaching in 1998. Kayanne et
al. (2002) reported that in 1998 in the Ryukyu Islands of Japan,
branching Acropora was susceptible to bleaching and mortality was high.
The branching species in this study were primarily A. formosa (= A.
muricata) and also A. pulchra and A. palifera (= Isopora palifera).
Hughes et al. (2003) reported that 11 Acropora species ranged from 0 to
100 percent affected by bleaching in Raiatea, French Polynesia, in
2002. Done et al. (2003b) reported that 46 Acropora species ranged from
0 to 44 percent affected by bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef in
2003.
Based on a bleaching index scaled from 0 to 100 (with 0 as no
bleaching and 100 as complete bleaching), McClanahan et al. (2004)
reported that during mass bleaching in 1998, Acropora had a higher
index in Kenya (80) than in Australia (40); temperatures were higher in
Kenya. Acropora in Mauritius had an index of 39, the fifth highest of
the 32 genera recorded, following a 2004 bleaching event (McClanahan et
al., 2005a). Acropora had an index of 28.9 for eight countries in the
western Indian Ocean in 1998-2005, which was fifth highest of the 45
genera recorded (McClanahan et al., 2007a). The abundance of Acropora
after 1998 in the western Indian Ocean decreased strongly in proportion
to the number of degree heating weeks in 1998 (McClanahan et al.,
2007b). Based on a bleaching index scaled from 0 to 250 (with 0 as no
bleaching and 250 as complete bleaching), Pandolfi et al. (2011) report
that Acropora bleached heavily in Kenya and moderately in Australia in
1998, with scores of 225 and 120, respectively. Acropora had a moderate
percentage of bleaching on Howland and Baker islands in the U.S.
Pacific in early 2010, with 28.7 percent bleached on Baker and 47.7
percent on Howland. Acropora was the fifth most-bleached genus out of
14 genera, and was 60 percent as bleached as the most bleached genus
(Vargas-Angel et al., 2011).
During a mass-bleaching event in Western Australia in 2010-2011,
Acropora had the highest mortality with 100 percent mortality of
colonies larger than 10 cm diameter in size, and Montipora the second
highest mortality, while massive and encrusting corals, such as Porites
and faviids, had much higher survival rates. Colonies less than 10 cm
diameter were not killed (Depczynski et al., 2012). Acropora in the
turbid waters off Okinawa, Japan, experienced sharp drops in
populations following the 1998 and 2010 mass bleaching episodes (Hongo
and Yamano, 2013). Sutthacheep et al. (2013) report that all colonies
of one species of Acropora were completely bleached at Laem Set at
Samui Island in the western Gulf of Thailand in 1998 and 80 percent of
the colonies of the other reef-building coral species were as well. In
2010, 80 percent colonies of one species were completely bleached and
all colonies of the other species were partly bleached. After the 1998
bleaching event, 72 percent of colonies had complete mortality, and
after the 2010 event, all bleached colonies had complete mortality.
Bleaching does not always result in mortality, thus it is important
to consider bleaching-induced mortality and bleaching rates from a
single event, as well as the recovery of a population over time to a
bleaching event. In Kenya
[[Page 53984]]
in 1998, mortality in Acropora was sixth highest of the 18 genera, and
55 percent of the genus with the most mortality (McClanahan, 2004).
Three species of Acropora were long-term winners following mass
bleaching events in Japan (decreasing from 3.4 percent cover to 0
percent then increasing to 3.5 percent; decreasing from 0.2 percent to
0 percent and then increasing to 3.2 percent; decreasing from 1.2
percent cover to 0 percent and then increasing to 0.7 percent), and one
species was neither a winner or a loser (van Woesik et al., 2011).
Bridge et al. (2013a) report that Acropora mortality after bleaching
was higher than for all corals as a whole. Total coral mortality at 0
to 2 m depth was 70 percent, while it was 90 percent for Acropora, and
at 3 to 4 m depth it was 20 percent for all corals but 60 percent for
Acropora (Bridge et al., 2013a).
Species or genera that readily bleach but recover quickly are
relatively resilient to warming-induced bleaching. For example, the
genus Acropora received a +1 resilience score based on trait and
process scores assigned to the genus (van Woesik et al., 2012). Traits
and processes were chosen which were thought to confer resilience to
climate change. Resilience scores of 16 Indo-Pacific genera that were
evaluated varied between +7 and -5. Scores below 0 were correlated with
a high extinction probability (van Woesik et al., 2012). McClanahan et
al. (2007a) calculated a relative extinction risk score based on
bleaching for genera of corals in the western Indian Ocean. The index
of extinction risk was proportional to the degree of bleaching and
inversely proportional to the abundance and number of reefs on which a
taxon was found. The index of extinction risk for Acropora was the
ninth lowest out of 47 genera, with a score of 0.11 based on a scale of
0 to 1, with 1 being the score of the highest extinction risk
(McClanahan et al., 2007a).
Diseases have been reported to be more common in Acropora than in
other corals in some areas of the Indo-Pacific, such as the Northwest
Hawaiian Islands (Aeby, 2006) and American Samoa (Fenner et al., 2008).
However, in the Philippines, Porites was the dominant host with almost
all disease observed in that genus, and only rarely observed on
Acropora (Raymundo et al., 2005). In New Caledonia, Turbinaria had the
highest disease prevalence of any genus with 2.5% infected, while
Acropora was tied with Montipora for the least disease among the 12
most common genera affected, with less than 0.1% infected (Tribollet et
al., 2011). On the Great Barrier Reef, Pocilloporidae and Acroporidae
have the highest prevalence of families, and diseases have been
recorded on at least 23 species of Acropora (Willis et al., 2004).
Black band disease on the Great Barrier Reef is concentrated in
staghorn Acropora species with 76 diseased colonies counted in one
study, and Acropora species with other colony morphologies (tables,
bushy, corymbose, digitate, bottlebrush) had far fewer diseased
colonies (Page and Willis, 2006). In American Samoa, French Frigate
Shoals (Hawaii) and Johnston Atoll, two species of table Acropora (A.
hyacinthus and A. cytherea) had larger numbers of colonies (13 each)
with growth anomalies in transects than any of 10 other taxa, and much
higher than one other table coral (A. clathrata, with one; Work et al.,
2008). In Indonesia, bushy Acropora had the highest prevalence (8%) of
disease of any taxon (out of 35 taxa), while corymbose Acropora was the
eighth highest taxon and second highest Acropora group with 0.5 percent
disease, and all other Acropora groups (tabulate, bottlebrush,
digitate, and staghorn) had 0 percent disease (Haapkyla et al., 2007).
Ocean acidification can have a variety of effects on Indo-Pacific
Acropora species. While increased CO2 does not appear to
affect the survival of unidentified Acropora larvae, postsettlement
skeletal growth of the polyps of unidentified Acropora species (Suwa et
al., 2010) and A. digitifera (Inoue et al., 2011) are impaired. In
addition, increased CO2 impairs the rate of zooxanthellae
acquisition in the polyps of A. digitifera (Inoue et al., 2011) and A.
millepora (Kaniewska et al., 2012). In Caribbean Acropora species,
fertilization and settlement are impaired by increased CO2
(Albright et al., 2010). Elevated CO2 also induces bleaching
in Acropora, even more so than temperature increases (Anthony et al.,
2008). Carbon dioxide enrichment to 600 to 790 ppm enhanced maximum
photosynthetic rates in A. formosa (Crawley et al., 2010), but elevated
CO2 levels had no effect on photosynthesis or respiration in
A. eurystoma (Schneider and Erez, 2006). A study of the effects of
near-term ocean acidification and elevated seawater temperature on the
physiology of A. aspera suggested that gene expression of key metabolic
proteins is impacted by the synergistic effects of near term ocean
acidification (i.e., the conditions expected to result from 50-90 ppm
CO2 above current atmospheric levels) and ocean warming
(Ogawa et al., 2013a). Physical factors may moderate impacts of
acidification, as shown by a study of A. hyacinthus, which found that
natural daily oscillations in CO2 may reduce the locally
negative effects of increasing ocean acidification (Comeau et al.,
2014). Moderate increases in CO2 may enhance Acropora growth
and calcification rates in some species, however, at higher
CO2 levels, growth and calcification rates drop to zero.
More consistently across species, elevated CO2 tends to
decrease Acropora growth and calcification rates (Anthony et al., 2008;
Chauvin et al., 2011; Purkis et al., 2011; Schneider and Erez, 2006;
Suggett et al., 2013). Acropora species appear to be more susceptible
to acidification than most other genera, as demonstrated by the lack of
Acropora species in coral communities existing in naturally low pH
waters (Fabricius et al., 2011).
With regard to predation, De'ath and Moran (1998) reported that
Acropora was the most preferred prey of crown-of-thorns starfish out of
the 10 most common genera on 15 reefs in the Great Barrier Reef
(preferred 14:1 over Porites, the least preferred genus). Pratchett
(2001) reported that in a choice experiment, crown-of-thorns starfish
always ate Acropora colonies before eating colonies of other genera.
This was true of all four of the Acropora species tested. When a crown-
of-thorns starfish has finished eating preferred species, it moves to
eating less preferred species, and thus in an outbreak, almost all
species may be eaten (Pratchett et al., 2001). The snail Drupella
rugosa preferred to eat Acropora pruinosa over Montipora informis, one
agaricid and four faviid corals in laboratory tests in Hong Kong
(Morton et al., 2002).
The public comments did not provide any supplemental information on
genus-level threat susceptibilities for Indo-Pacific Acropora. We
gathered the supplemental information above, which provides genus-level
information on threat susceptibilities of Indo-Pacific Acropora for
ocean warming, disease, ocean acidification, and predation. We did not
gather any supplemental information on the other threats (i.e.,
sedimentation, nutrients, trophic effects of fishing, sea-level rise,
or collection and trade).
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we make the following inferences regarding
the susceptibilities of an unstudied Acropora species to ocean warming,
disease, ocean acidification, predation, sedimentation, nutrients,
trophic effects of fishing, sea-level rise, and collection
[[Page 53985]]
and trade. Nearly all the studies cited on thermal stress in Acropora
report high levels of bleaching in response to warming events. Thus, it
is possible to predict that an unstudied Acropora species is likely to
be highly susceptible to warming-induced bleaching, as long as some
considerations are kept in mind: (1) Despite high overall
susceptibility within the genus to warming-induced bleaching, there can
be high variability between species and habitats (Done et al., 2003b);
(2) colonies that bleach do not necessarily die (in general, Acropora
species have higher post-bleaching mortality than corals as a whole,
but there is high variability in response throughout the genus); (3)
recovery from bleaching provides the mechanism for acclimatization; and
(4) while most Acropora species readily bleach in response to warming
events, most also have the capacity to reestablish local populations
relatively quickly through their rapid growth and asexual reproduction
capacity.
The studies cited above suggest that diseases are generally more
common in Acropora than other coral genera, although there are numerous
documented exceptions, depending on location. These studies also
demonstrate high variability in disease susceptibility across Acropora
species, depending on growth form, with wide divergence of disease
susceptibilities among colony morphological groups under the same
conditions. Thus, it is possible to predict that an unstudied Acropora
species is likely to have some susceptibility to disease.
The studies cited above on ocean acidification in Acropora report
impacts on skeletal growth rates. Thus, it is possible to predict that
an unstudied Acropora species is likely to have some susceptibility to
ocean acidification in terms of impacts on skeletal growth. The studies
cited above on predation in Acropora report that predators such as
crown-of-thorns starfish and Drupella snails prefer to eat Acropora
over other genera. Thus, it is possible to predict that an unstudied
Acropora species is likely to have some susceptibility to predation.
Most studies summarized in the SRR on the effects of land-based sources
of pollution suggest that an unstudied Acropora species is likely to
have some susceptibility to sedimentation and nutrient enrichment.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of fishing as ``medium''
importance, and it was the fourth most important threat to corals
overall. This threat was not addressed at the genus or species level in
the SRR or SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level process. That is,
removal of herbivorous fish from coral reef systems by fishing alters
trophic interactions by reducing herbivory on algae, thereby providing
a competitive advantage for space to algae over coral. Thus, the SRR
did not discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa, as its effects are
difficult to distinguish between coral genera and species. Accordingly,
an unstudied Acropora species is likely to have some susceptibility to
the trophic effects of fishing.
The SRR rated sea-level rise as ``low-medium'' importance to corals
overall. This threat was not addressed at the genus or species level in
the SRR or SIR. Increasing sea levels may provide new coral habitats by
submergence of hard substrates; however sea-level rise is also likely
to increase land-based sources of pollution due to inundation,
resulting in changes to coral community structure, most likely to
sediment-tolerant assemblages and slower-growing species. Because
Acropora are not generally sediment-tolerant and are faster growing
species, an unstudied Acropora species is likely to have some
susceptibility to sea-level rise.
The SRR rated ornamental trade (referred to in the proposed rule as
Collection and Trade) as ``low'' importance to corals overall, and this
threat was addressed at both the genus and species levels in the SRR.
Because Acropora species are some of the most popular coral species to
collect and trade, an unstudied Acropora species is likely to have some
susceptibility to collection and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied Acropora species is likely to be highly
susceptible to ocean warming and to have some susceptibility to
disease, acidification, sedimentation, nutrients, trophic effects of
fishing, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and trade.
Acropora aculeus
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. aculeus'
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as small bushy
colonies with flat tops, and taxonomy was described as having no
taxonomic issues but being similar in appearance to A. latistella.
The public comments and information we gathered provided
information on the morphology or taxonomy of A. aculeus. One public
comment stated that specimens collected in the Mariana Islands and
identified by coral expert Richard H. Randall as A. aculeus appear to
be different than colonies described as A. aculeus in references used
in the SRR. Also, one public comment stated that specimens collected in
American Samoa and identified by the American Samoa Department of
Marine and Water Resources as A. jacquelineae appear to be A. aculeus,
thereby illustrating the species identification uncertainties
associated with this species. In addition, we gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which states that this species is
distinctive. Thus, while the public comments and supplemental
information provided some information on the taxonomy of A. aculeus, we
conclude it can be identified by experts, and that the distribution and
abundance information described below for this species is sufficiently
reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. aculeus'
distribution, habitat, and depth range: Acropora aculeus is distributed
from East Africa to the Pitcairn Islands in the eastern Pacific. The
SRR and SIR reported the species as having the 15th largest range of
114 Acropora species in a large study. Its predominant habitat is
shallow lagoons, and it is also found in other habitats protected from
direct wave action on back-reefs and reef slopes, and its depth range
is low tide to at least 20 m.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on A. aculeus' distribution. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which reports that this species is
confirmed in 68 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional 16. Wallace (1999b) reports its
occurrence in 24 of her 29 Indo-Pacific areas, many of which are
significantly larger than Veron's ecoregions. Richards (2009)
calculated the geographic range of A. aculeus at over 100 million
km\2\. The public comments and information we gathered provided nothing
additional on A. aculeus' habitat and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. aculeus'
abundance. Acropora aculeus has been reported as generally common and
locally abundant, especially in the central Indo-Pacific, and that it
is particularly abundant in shallow lagoons and common in most habitats
where it is protected from direct wave action.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on A. aculeus' abundance. We gathered supplemental
information, including
[[Page 53986]]
Richards (2009) and Richards et al. (2013b), which concluded that this
species is globally widespread, locally widespread, and locally common.
Based on these results, the authors concluded that A. aculeus is among
the most abundant Acropora species, and also among those Acropora
species that are most likely to persist in the future. They placed 12
species in this category out of 85 species of Acropora. Veron (2014)
reports that A. aculeus occupied 32.1 percent of 2,984 dive sites
sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance
rating of 1.55 on a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in which it was
found. Based on this semi-quantitative system, the species' abundance
was characterized as ``common.'' Overall abundance was described as
``usually common in the central Indo-Pacific, uncommon elsewhere.''
Veron did not infer abundance trend results from these data. As
described in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction
above, based on results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014),
the absolute abundance of this species is likely at least tens of
millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
aculeus, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 37 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 15 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparisons sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context. Thus quantitative
inferences to species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred and are occurring
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that A. aculeus
occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and that it is
likely has some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we
conclude that it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past
50 to 100 years, but quantification is not possible based on the
limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. aculeus'
life history. Acropora aculeus is a hermaphroditic spawner that is a
participant in mass broadcast spawning in some localities. The public
comments and information we gathered provided no additional biological
information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. aculeus' threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Acropora of ocean
warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation, nutrients,
and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide any other
species-specific information on the effects of these threats on A.
aculeus. We interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for A. aculeus'
vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerabilities to disease, acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, nutrient over-enrichment, and predation, and low
vulnerabilities to sedimentation, sea-level rise, and collection and
trade.
Public comments provided some supplemental information on A.
aculeus' threat susceptibilities. One comment stated that A. aculeus is
more susceptible to predation than indicated in the proposed rule
because of the overlap in the depth ranges of this species with crown
of thorns starfish. In addition, we gathered the following species-
specific and genus-level supplemental information on this species'
threat susceptibilities. Acropora aculeus has been rated as moderately
or highly susceptible to bleaching, but this rating is not based on
species-specific data (Carpenter et al., 2008). Done et al. (2003b)
report 20 percent of A. aculeus colonies were affected by bleaching on
the GBR in 2002, and the species ranked 31st in proportion of coral
colonies on the GBR that were bleached and killed out of 52 studied
Acropora species. That is, 30 of the 52 species bleached more than A.
aculeus, and 21 bleached less. Bonin (2012) reported that A. aculeus
had a ``high'' susceptibility to bleaching in Kimbe Bay, Papua New
Guinea on a scale of ``severe,'' ``high,'' ``moderate,'' and
``lowest.'' Acropora aculeus was fourth highest out of 16 species, with
50 percent of colonies either severely bleached or dead. The most
severely affected species had 74 percent of colonies either severely
bleached or dead (Bonin, 2012).
Acropora aculeus has been rated as moderately or highly susceptible
to disease, but this rating is not based on species-specific data
(Carpenter et al., 2008). Page and Willis (2007) reported that Skeletal
Eroding Band has been found in A. aculeus. Skeletal Eroding Band is the
most prevalent disease on the Great Barrier Reef. They also reported
that corymbose Acropora had moderate susceptibility to Skeletal Eroding
Band in the Great Barrier Reef, with a prevalence of 2.4 percent (Page
and Willis, 2007). No other species-specific information is available
for the susceptibility of A. aculeus to any other threat.
Based on information from other Acropora species provided in the
genus description above, A. aculeus may be susceptible to the effects
of ocean acidification on skeletal growth. Genus-level information also
suggests that A. aculeus is susceptible to trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, predation, sea-level rise, and collection and
trade. Thus, based on the available species-specific and genus
information summarized above, A. aculeus is likely highly susceptible
to ocean warming, and also likely has some susceptibilities to disease,
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients,
predation, sea-level rise, and collection and trade. The available
information does not support more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of A. aculeus to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
aculeus. Public comments were critical of that approach, and we
therefore attempt to analyze regulatory mechanisms and conservation
efforts on a species basis, where possible, in this final rule. Records
confirm that A. aculeus occurs in 68 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that
encompass 39 countries' EEZs. The 39 countries are Australia,
Bangladesh, Brunei, China, Comoros Islands, Federated States of
Micronesia, Fiji, France (French Pacific Island Territories), India
(including Andaman and Nicobar Islands), Indonesia, Japan, Kenya,
Kiribati, Madagascar, Malaysia, Maldives, Marshall Islands, Mauritius,
Mozambique, Myanmar, New Zealand (Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Seychelles, Solomon Islands, South Africa,
Sri Lanka, Taiwan, Tanzania, Thailand, Tonga, Tuvalu, United Kingdom
(British Indian Ocean Territory and Pitcairn Islands), United States
(CNMI, Guam, American Samoa, PRIAs), Vanuatu, and
[[Page 53987]]
Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms relevant to A. aculeus, described
first as the percentage of the above countries that utilize them to any
degree, and second as the percentages of those countries whose
regulatory mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (28 percent with 8 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (56 percent with 31 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (38 percent with 10 percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (95 percent with 26 percent limited in scope), and
managing areas for protection and conservation (97 percent with 8
percent limited in scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. aculeus are reef fishing regulations and area management
for protection and conservation. Coral collection laws are also
somewhat common for the species, but 31 percent of coral collection
laws are limited in scope and may not provide substantial protection.
General coral protection and pollution control laws are much less
common regulatory mechanisms for the management of A. aculeus.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that the high bleaching rate of the Acropora
genus is the primary known threat of extinction for A. aculeus. It
listed factors that reduce A. aculeus' threat of extinction including
its geographic range, depth range, abundance, and variable habitats.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. aculeus, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes most of the coral reef ecoregions
in the Indian Ocean and western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates vulnerability to extinction because
some areas within its range are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification over the foreseeable future, including the
western Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and other areas, so portions
of the population in these areas will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is from low tide to at least 20 meters.
This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will usually have lower irradiance
than surface waters, and acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper and cooler than those in
which the species occurs. Its predominant habitat is shallow lagoons,
and it is found in other habitats protected from direct wave action on
back-reefs and reef slopes. This moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous types of reef environments that
will, on local and regional scales, experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in time. Its absolute
abundance of at least tens of millions of colonies, combined with
spatial variability in ocean warming and acidification across the
species range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because the
increasingly severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future will
be non-uniform and therefore will likely be a large number of colonies
that are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at
any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
A. aculeus was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); common generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and moderate depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
aculeus from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on A. aculeus'
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to be likely to become endangered throughout its
range within the foreseeable future, and thus it is not warranted for
listing at this time, because:
(1) Acropora aculeus' distribution across the Indian Ocean and most
of the Pacific Ocean is spread over a very large area. While some areas
within its range are projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, other areas are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification, including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not occur uniformly throughout the
species range. As explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we
have not identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly
throughout the species range within the foreseeable future);
(2) Acropora aculeus' total absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response; and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast grower, enhancing recovery
potential from mortality events as described in the Corals and Coral
Reefs section above.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and
[[Page 53988]]
worsen in severity and the species' exposure to the threats increases
throughout its range. Should the species experience reduced abundance
or range constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, A.
aculeus is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Acropora acuminata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
acuminata's morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as
typically forming a tabular base of fused horizontal branches that turn
upward and taper to points, and the taxonomy was described as having no
taxonomic issues, but colonies turn black when dried.
The public comments and information we gathered provided
information on the morphology or taxonomy of A. acuminata. One public
comment letter stated that specimens of A. acuminata in the Mariana
Islands may be a different species or a distinct sub-species, based on
colony morphology. We gathered supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which states that this species is distinctive. While the
public comments and supplemental information provided some information
on the morphology and taxonomy of A. acuminata, it is sufficiently
distinctive to be identified by experts, thus we conclude that the
distribution and abundance information described below for this species
is sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
acuminata's distribution, habitat, and depth range. Acropora
acuminata's distribution is from the Red Sea to the Pitcairn Islands in
the eastern Pacific, covering 110 million km\2\, the 5th largest range
of 114 Acropora species in a large study. In general, its habitat is
upper reef slopes and mid-slope terraces and shelves in turbid or clear
water at 15-20 m of depth. In Guam, its habitat is deeper reef flat
areas and channel slopes.
The public comments and information we gathered provided
information on the distribution and habitat of A. acuminata. One public
comment letter stated that A. acuminata in the Mariana Islands appears
to be restricted to reef flats and upper reef slopes in protected to
semi-protected areas. Thus, based on all the available information, A.
acuminata's habitat can be summarized as follows: Its predominant
habitat is upper reef slopes and mid-slope terraces and shelves in
turbid or clear water, and it also occurs in back-reef habitats
including reef flats and channels. Its depth range is approximately two
to 20 m depth. We gathered supplemental information, including Veron
(2014), which reports that A. acuminata is confirmed in 60 of his 133
Indo-Pacific ecoregions and is strongly predicted to be found in an
additional 12. Wallace (1999b) reports its occurrence in 23 of her 29
Indo-Pacific areas, many of which are significantly larger than Veron's
ecoregions.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
acuminata's abundance. Acropora acuminata has been reported to
occasionally live in extensive clumps with dimensions of several
meters, and it can be very common in the center of its range (e.g.,
Indonesia), but it can be uncommon in the outer parts of its range. The
public comments and information we gathered provided information on the
abundance of A. acuminata. A public comment letter stated that A.
acuminata in the Mariana Islands is uncommon to rare. We gathered
supplemental information, including Richards (2009) and Richards et al.
(2013b), which conclude from their data that this species is globally
widespread, locally restricted, and locally rare, and thus in the
second rarest category of Acropora with the predicted consequence of
persistence. They placed 39 species in this category out of 85 species
of Acropora. Veron (2014) reports that A. acuminata occupied 4.7
percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-
Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.21 on a 1 to 5 rating
scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``uncommon.'' Overall abundance was described as ``sometimes common.''
Veron did not infer trends in abundance from these data. As described
in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction above, based on
results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at least tens of millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
acuminata, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 35 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context. Thus,
quantitative inferences to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same time, an extensive body of
literature documents broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to
reef communities dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the
past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al.,
2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of global and local threats. Given
that A. acuminata occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes,
and that it has some susceptibility to both global and local threats,
we conclude that it is likely to have declined in abundance over the
past 50 to 100 years, but a precise quantification is not possible
based on the limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
acuminata's life history. Like most of its congeners, A. acuminata is a
broadcast spawner. However, some degree of reproductive isolation
probably occurs in some locations because the species does not spawn
synchronously with the majority of its congeners. The public comments
and information we gathered provided no additional biological
information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. acuminata's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Acropora of ocean
warming, disease, acidification, sedimentation, nutrients, predation,
and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR also stated that Acropora
acuminata is the only Acropora known to not be preferred as prey by the
crown-of-thorns starfish, thus susceptibility to predation appears to
be low. The SRR and SIR did not
[[Page 53989]]
provide any other species-specific information on the effects of these
threats on A. acuminata. The threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR was interpreted in the proposed rule
for A. acuminata's vulnerabilities to threats: High vulnerability to
ocean warming; moderate vulnerability to disease, acidification,
trophic effects of reef fishing, and nutrient over-enrichment; and low
vulnerability to sedimentation, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any information on A. acuminata's
threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following species-specific and
genus-level supplemental information on this species' threat
susceptibilities. Acropora acuminata has been rated as moderately or
highly susceptible to bleaching and coral disease, but these ratings
are not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al., 2008). Based
on information from other Acropora species provided in the genus
description above, A. acuminata likely has high susceptibility ocean
warming, and also has some susceptibilities to coral disease,
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients,
sea-level rise, predation, and collection and trade. Thus, based on the
available species-specific and genus information summarized above, A.
acuminata is likely highly susceptible to ocean warming, likely has
some susceptibilities to disease, acidification, sedimentation,
nutrients, trophic effects of fishing, sea-level rise, and collection
and trade, and also has low susceptibility to predation.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
acuminata. Public comments were critical of that approach, and we
therefore attempt to analyze regulatory mechanisms and conservation
efforts on a species basis, where possible, in this final rule. Records
confirm that A. acuminata occurs in 60 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that
encompass 42 countries' EEZs. The 42 countries are Australia, Brunei,
China, Comoros Islands, Djibouti, Egypt, Eritrea, Federated States of
Micronesia, Fiji, France (French Pacific Island Territories),
Indonesia, Israel, Japan, Jordan, Kiribati, Madagascar, Malaysia,
Maldives, Marshall Islands, Mauritius, Myanmar, Nauru, New Zealand
(Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Saudi
Arabia, Seychelles, Solomon Islands, Sri Lanka, Sudan, Taiwan,
Thailand, Tonga, Tuvalu, United Kingdom (British Indian Ocean
Territory, Pitcairn Islands), United States (CNMI, Guam, American
Samoa, PRIAs), Vanuatu, Vietnam, and Yemen. The regulatory mechanisms
available to A. acuminata, described first as a percentage of the above
countries that utilize them to any degree, and second as the
percentages of those countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are general coral protection (29 percent with 7
percent limited in scope), coral collection (60 percent with 29 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (45 percent with 7 percent limited
in scope), fishing regulations on reefs (90 percent with 21 percent
limited in scope), and managing areas for protection and conservation
(93 percent with 10 percent limited in scope). The most common
regulatory mechanisms in place for A. acuminata are reef fishing
regulations and area management for protection and conservation. Coral
collection and pollution control laws are also somewhat utilized for
the species, but 29 percent of coral collection laws are limited in
scope and may not provide substantial protection. General coral
protection laws are much less prominent regulatory mechanisms for the
management of A. acuminata.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that the high bleaching rate of the Acropora
genus is the primary known threat of extinction for A. acuminata. It
listed factors that reduce the threat of extinction including the very
wide geographic range, the broad depth range, the fact that it is often
common and sometimes abundant, and the somewhat broad range of suitable
habitats for A. acuminata.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. acuminata, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes most of the coral reef ecoregions
in the Indian Ocean and western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates vulnerability to extinction because
some areas within its range are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification over the foreseeable future, including the
western Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and other areas, so portions
of the population in these areas will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is from 15 to at least 20 meters. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will usually have lower irradiance
than surface waters, and acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper and cooler than those in
which the species occurs. Its habitat includes multiple habitat types
on both the reef slope and back reef. This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future because the species is not
limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. In addition, turbidity can mitigate against the effects of high
irradiance by blocking it from the water column in turbid environments.
Its absolute abundance of at least tens of millions of colonies,
combined with spatial variability in ocean warming and ocean
acidification across the species' range, moderates vulnerability to
extinction because the increasingly severe conditions expected in the
foreseeable future will be non-uniform and therefore will likely be a
large number of colonies that are either not exposed or do not
negatively respond to a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the determination tool formula, A.
acuminata was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide
[[Page 53990]]
abundance (E); wide overall distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and moderate depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
acuminata from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on A. acuminata's
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to become endangered throughout its range within
the foreseeable future, and thus it is not warranted for listing at
this time, because:
(1) Acropora acuminata's distribution across the Indian Ocean and
most of the Pacific Ocean is spread over a very large area. While some
areas within its range are projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, other areas are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification, including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not occur uniformly throughout the
species' range. As explained in the Threats Evaluation section, we have
not identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly
throughout the species' range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Acropora acuminata's total absolute abundance is at least tens
of millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all the individuals that are exposed will not have
the same response; and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast grower, enhancing recovery
potential from mortality events as described in the Corals and Coral
Reefs section above.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and increase in
severity and the species exposure to threats increases throughout its
range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, A.
acuminata is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Acropora aspera
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. aspera's
morphology and taxonomy. The morphology was described as arborescent or
bushy clumps which may have largely vertical branches, and the taxonomy
was described as having no taxonomic issues.
The public comments did not provide supplemental information on
morphology. We gathered supplemental information, including van Oppen
et al. (2001), which found that A. aspera is the only genetically
distinct member of the A. aspera group of Acropora species, a group of
morphologically similar species that hybridize at least occasionally.
Other supplemental information we gathered was Veron (2014), which
states that A. aspera is distinctive, thus we conclude it is
sufficiently distinctive to be identified by experts, and that the
distribution and abundance information described below for this species
is sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. aspera's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Acropora aspera is distributed
from the Red Sea to the Samoan Islands. The species has a relatively
broad range, the 46th largest range of 114 Acropora species in a large
study. It occurs in a broad range of habitats and its depth range as
low tide to at least 10 m.
The public comments did not provide supplemental information on A.
aspera's distribution. We gathered supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that this species is confirmed in 68 of his
133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and is strongly predicted to be found in
an additional 17. Wallace (1999b) reports its occurrence in 21 of her
29 Indo-Pacific areas, many of which are significantly larger than
Veron's ecoregions, and Richards (2009) calculated the geographic range
of A. aspera at 70 million km \2\. Wallace (1999b) describes its
habitat as ``intertidal/shallow subtidal,'' and in much of its range
the species is confined to reef flats. Thus, based on all the available
information, A. aspera's habitat can be summarized as follows: The
species occurs in a broad range of habitats on the reef slope and back-
reef, including but not limited to lower reef crests, upper reef
slopes, reef flats, and lagoons. Its depth range is approximately low
tide to 20 m depth.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. aspera's
abundance. Acropora aspera has been reported as sometimes locally
common and it can occasionally live in extensive clumps with dimensions
of several meters.
The public comments and information we gathered provided
information on the abundance of A. aspera. One public comment letter
stated that A. aspera is relatively limited in abundance in Guam
compared to co-occurring arborescent species such as Acropora pulchra
and Acropora muricata. We gathered supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that A. aspera occupied 7.5 percent of
2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had
a mean abundance rating of 1.76 on a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites
in which it was found. Based on this semi-quantitative system, the
species' abundance was characterized as ``common.'' Overall abundance
was described as ``sometimes common.'' Veron did not infer trends in
abundance from these data. Acropora aspera is a reef flat species, and
reef flats have a larger global area than reef slopes (Vecsei, 2004).
This information is relevant because most coral abundance surveys are
carried out only on reef slopes, and thus may significantly
underestimate the abundance of species such as A. aspera that are more
common
[[Page 53991]]
on reef-flats than reef slopes. In American Samoa, A. aspera forms
clumps on reef flats many meters across, as much as about 100 m some
places (D. Fenner, personal comm.). Richards (2009) and Richards et al.
(2013b) conclude from their data that this species is globally
widespread, locally restricted, and locally common, and thus in one of
the categories of highest abundance with the predicted consequence of
persistence. As described in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results from Richards et al. (2008) and
Veron (2014), the absolute abundance of this species is likely at least
tens of millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
aspera, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 37 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 15 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus quantitative
inferences of species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring,
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that A. aspera
occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we conclude that
it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100
years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on the
limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. aspera's
life history. Acropora aspera is a hermaphroditic spawner. While it is
a participant in mass broadcast spawning in some localities,
asynchronous gamete development on the Great Barrier Reef and New
Caledonia may provide a degree of reproductive isolation, although A.
aspera has been shown to hybridize with other acroporids. Gamete
development in A. aspera may be aborted in years with storm impacts.
Asexual reproduction can account for the majority of A. aspera
population structure in certain areas and can lead to local dominance.
The public comments provided no supplemental biological
information. We gathered the following information. In a study of
biological traits of coral species, Darling et al. (2012) found that
all of over 30 Acropora species studied were classified as
``competitive'' species which were considered to be less tolerant of
environmental stress and disturbance than those species that were
classified as ``stress-tolerant,'' ``generalist,'' or ``weedy'',
because of documented shifts in coral communities from ``competitive''
to the other categories. Acropora aspera was one of the Acropora
species studied, and was classified as ``competitive'' as were all
other Acropora species.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. aspera's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Acropora of ocean
warming, disease, acidification, sedimentation, nutrients, predation,
and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide any species-
specific information on the effects of these threats on A. aspera. The
threat exposure and susceptibility information from the SRR and SIR was
interpreted in the proposed rule for A. aspera's vulnerabilities to
threats as follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming, moderate
vulnerabilities to disease, acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
nutrients, and predation, and low vulnerabilities to sedimentation,
sea-level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide supplemental information on A.
aspera's threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following species-
specific and genus-level supplemental information on this species'
threat susceptibilities. Acropora aspera was rated as moderately or
highly susceptible to bleaching and disease, but this rating is not
based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al., 2008). Done et al.
(2003b) reported that 33 percent of A. aspera's colonies on the GBR
were affected by bleaching in 2002, and the species ranked 9th in
proportion of coral colonies that were bleached out of 52 studied
Acropora species. That is, eight of the 52 species bleached more than
A. aspera, and 43 bleached less.
Acropora aspera experiences sub-acute black-band disease (UNEP,
2010), as well as ciliate infections (Antonius and Lipscomb, 2000).
Page and Willis (2007) reported that Skeletal Eroding Band has been
found in A. aspera. They also reported that bushy Acropora had high
susceptibility to Skeletal Eroding Band on the GBR, with a prevalence
of 3.1 percent. Skeletal Eroding Band is the most prevalent disease on
the GBR. A study of the effects of near-term ocean acidification and
elevated seawater temperature on the physiology of A. aspera suggested
that gene expression of key metabolic proteins is impacted by the
synergistic effects of near term ocean acidification (i.e., the
conditions expected to result from 50 to 90 ppm CO2 above
current atmospheric levels) and ocean warming (Ogawa et al., 2013b).
Acropora aspera is a preferred prey of crown-of-thorns seastar (Sonoda
and Paul, 1993). With regard to sedimentation, A. aspera was found to
be relatively tolerant of silty, turbid water in the South China Sea
(Latypov and Dautova, 2005). No other species-specific information is
available for the susceptibility of A. aspera to any other threat.
Based on the available genus-level and species-specific
information, A. aspera is likely highly susceptible to ocean warming,
and it also likely has some susceptibilities to disease, acidification,
trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade. The available information does not
support more precise ratings of the susceptibilities of A. aspera to
the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
aspera. Public comments were critical of that approach, and we
therefore attempt to analyze regulatory mechanisms and conservation
efforts on a species basis, where possible, in this final rule. Records
confirm that Acropora aspera occurs in 68 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that
encompass 44 countries' EEZs. The 44 countries are Australia (including
Cocos-Keeling Islands), Bahrain, Brunei, Cambodia, China, Federated
States of Micronesia, Fiji, France (French Pacific Island Territories),
India (including Andaman and Nicobar Islands), Indonesia, Iran, Japan,
Kiribati, Kuwait, Madagascar, Malaysia, Maldives, Marshall Islands,
Mauritius, Myanmar, New Zealand (Tokelau), Niue, Oman, Palau, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, Qatar, Samoa, Saudi Arabia, Seychelles, Singapore,
Solomon Islands, Sri Lanka, Taiwan, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Tonga,
Tuvalu, United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom (British Indian Ocean
Territory), United
[[Page 53992]]
States (CNMI, Guam, American Samoa, PRIAs), Vanuatu, Vietnam, and
Yemen. The regulatory mechanisms available to A. aspera, described
first as a percentage of the above countries that utilize them to any
degree, and second as the percentage of those countries whose
regulatory mechanisms are limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (32 percent with 9 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (52 percent with 25 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (43 percent with 7 percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (91 percent with 23 percent limited in scope), and
managing areas for protection and conservation (89 percent with 9
percent limited in scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. aspera are reef fishing regulations and area management
for protection and conservation. Coral collection and pollution control
laws are also somewhat utilized for the species, but 25 percent of
coral collection laws are limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection. General coral protection laws are much less
common regulatory mechanisms for the management of A. aspera.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that the high bleaching rate of the Acropora
genus is the primary known threat of extinction for A. aspera. It
listed factors that reduce the threat of extinction including the wide
geographic range, the fact that it is often common and sometimes
abundant, and the somewhat broad range of suitable habitats for A.
aspera.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. aspera, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes most of the coral reef ecoregions
in the Indian Ocean and western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates vulnerability to extinction because
some areas within its range are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification over the foreseeable future, including the
western Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and other areas, so portions
of the population in these areas will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is from low tide to at least 10 meters.
Assuming that the species' depth distribution is limited to 10 meters,
this exacerbates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable
future because shallow areas are more likely to be affected by warming-
induced bleaching and disease than deeper areas. Its habitat includes
lower reef crests, upper reef slopes, reef flats, and lagoons. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in
numerous types of reef environments that will, on local and regional
scales, experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry
at any given point in time. Its absolute abundance of at least tens of
millions of colonies, combined with spatial variability in ocean
warming and acidification across the species range, moderates
vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly severe conditions
expected in the foreseeable future will be non-uniform and therefore
will likely be a large number of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
A. aspera was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); common generalized range wide
abundance (E); narrow overall distribution (based on moderate
geographic distribution and shallow depth distribution (E); and
inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
aspera from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on A. aspera'
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to be likely to become endangered throughout its
range within the foreseeable future, and thus it is not warranted for
listing at this time, because:
(1) Acropora aspera's distribution is spread over a very large
area. While some areas within its range are projected to be affected by
warming and acidification, other areas are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification, including the western Indian Ocean,
the central Pacific, and other areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not occur uniformly throughout the
species range. As explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we
have not identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly
throughout the species range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Acropora aspera's absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response; and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast grower, enhancing recovery
potential from mortality events as described in the Corals and Coral
Reefs section above.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and worsen in
severity and the species'
[[Page 53993]]
exposure to the threats increases throughout its range. Should the
species experience reduced abundance or range constriction of a certain
magnitude, the ability of these characteristics to moderate exposure to
threats will diminish. However, the species is not likely to become of
such low abundance or so spatially fragmented as to be in danger of
extinction due to depensatory processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from
catastrophic events within the foreseeable future throughout its range.
Therefore, A. aculeus is not warranted for listing at this time under
any of the listing factors.
Acropora dendrum
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. dendrum's
morphology and taxonomy. The morphology was described as plates 0.5 to1
m diameter, with widely spaced vertical branchlets, and taxonomy was
described as having no taxonomic issues. However, A. dendrum is
``poorly characterized and may indeed be a `phantom' species, being
made up from specimens that cannot be allocated to other species.''
However, the BRT treats it as a nominal species. They stated that it is
most similar to Heteropora appressa and A. microclados.
The public comments did not provide supplemental information on
morphology or taxonomy. We gathered supplemental information, which
confirmed that while there is some taxonomic uncertainty for A.
dendrum, it is recognized as valid by experts (Veron, 2000; Veron,
2014; Wallace, 1999b). Veron (2014) states that A. dendrum is
distinctive, thus we conclude it is sufficiently distinctive to be
identified by experts, and that the distribution and abundance
information described below for this species is sufficiently reliable
(Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. dendrum's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Acropora dendrum is distributed
from the north-central Indian Ocean to Fiji, and from Japan to the
Great Barrier Reef. The species' predominant habitat is upper reef
slopes and mid-slope terraces, and its depth range is 5 to 20 m. Upper
reef slopes and mid-slope terraces extend seaward from the reef crest
toward the open ocean, forming one of the most common and widespread
coral reef habitats. They vary in gradient from gentle to steep, and
include a great deal of physical complexity, including ridges, furrows,
walls, caves, and other structures, collectively providing highly
diverse coral habitats.
The public comments did not provide supplemental information on A.
dendrum's distribution. We gathered supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that this species is confirmed in 32 of his
133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and is strongly predicted to be found in
an additional 20. Wallace (1999b) reports its occurrence in nine of her
29 Indo-Pacific areas, many of which are significantly larger than
Veron's ecoregions, and Richards (2009) reported the species as having
the 48th smallest range of 114 Acropora species in a large study and
calculated the geographic range at over 20 million km\2\. Acropora
dendrum occurs on exposed reef fronts where Acropora diversity is high
(Veron and Wallace, 1984). The public comments and information we
gathered provided nothing additional on A. dendrum's habitat and depth
range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. dendrum's
abundance. Acropora dendrum has been reported as uncommon or rare.
The public comments did not provide supplemental information on A.
dendrum's abundance. We gathered supplemental information, which
indicates that there are no locations recorded where A. dendrum is
common or even more abundant than a rare species (Wallace, 1999b).
Veron (2014) provides a much more detailed range map for this species
than the maps used in the SRR, and reports that A. dendrum occupied 2.0
percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-
Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.11 on a 1 to 5 rating
scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``uncommon.'' Overall abundance was described as ``rare.'' Veron did
not infer trends in abundance from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction above, based on
results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at least tens of millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
dendrum, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 35 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus quantitative
inferences of species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring,
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that A. dendrum
occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we conclude that
it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100
years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on the
limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. dendrum's
life history. Like most of its congeners, A. dendrum is a
hermaphroditic spawner (Mezaki et al., 2007; Wallace, 1985) with
lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae (Baird et al., 2009). The public
comments and information we gathered provided no supplemental
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. dendrum's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Acropora of ocean
warming, disease, acidification, sedimentation, nutrients, predation,
and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide any other
species-specific information on the effects of these threats on A.
dendrum. We interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for A. dendrum's
vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerabilities to disease, acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, nutrients, and predation, and low vulnerabilities to
sedimentation, sea-level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide supplemental information on A.
dendrum's threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following species-
specific and genus-level supplemental information on this species'
threat susceptibilities. Acropora dendrum has
[[Page 53994]]
been rated as moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching and
disease, but these ratings are not based on species-specific data
(Carpenter et al., 2008). Based on information from other Acropora
species provided in the genus description above, A. dendrum is likely
to be highly susceptible to ocean warming, and also has some
susceptibilities to disease, acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and
trade. The available information does not support more precise ratings
of the susceptibilities of A. dendrum to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
dendrum. Public comments were critical of that approach, and we
therefore attempt to analyze regulatory mechanisms and conservation
efforts on a species basis, where possible, in this final rule.
Acropora dendrum has confirmed records of occurrence in 32 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 14 countries' EEZs. The 14 countries are
Australia, Brunei, China, France (French Pacific Island Territories),
Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Myanmar, Papua New Guinea, Philippines,
Solomon Islands, Thailand, Vanuatu, and Vietnam. The regulatory
mechanisms available to A. dendrum, described first as a percentage of
the above countries that utilize them to any degree, and second as the
percentage of those countries whose regulatory mechanisms are limited
in scope, are as follows: General coral protection (36 percent with
seven percent limited in scope), coral collection (57 percent with 29
percent limited in scope), pollution control (43 percent with 21
percent limited in scope), fishing regulations on reefs (100 percent
with 21 percent limited in scope), and managing areas for protection
and conservation (93 percent with none limited in scope). The most
common regulatory mechanisms in place for A. dendrum are reef fishing
regulations and area management for protection and conservation. Coral
collection and pollution control laws are also somewhat utilized for
the species, but 29 percent of those laws are limited in scope and may
not provide substantial protection. General coral protection laws are
much less common regulatory mechanisms for the management of A.
dendrum.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that the high bleaching rate of the Acropora
genus is the primary known threat of extinction for A. dendrum. It
listed factors that reduce the threat of extinction, including the
fairly wide geographic range, the depth range, and the somewhat broad
range of suitable habitats.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. dendrum, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic range extends from western Malaysia to Vanuatu, and
southern Japan to the GBR. On one hand, this moderates vulnerability to
extinction because the high latitude areas in the northern and southern
portions of its range are projected to have less than average warming
over the foreseeable future, thus populations in these areas will be
less exposed to severe warming conditions. On the other hand, the
species' geographic distribution exacerbates vulnerability to
extinction because much of it lies within the western equatorial
Pacific, an area projected to have the highest seawater temperatures in
the foreseeable future. Its depth range is from 5 to 20 meters. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will usually have lower irradiance
than surface waters, and acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper and cooler than those in
which the species occurs. Its habitat includes upper reef slopes and
mid-slope terraces. This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because upper reef slopes and mid-slope terraces are
physically diverse and widespread, thus the species occurs in reef
environments that will, on local and regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. Its absolute abundance of at least tens of millions of colonies,
combined with spatial variability in ocean warming and acidification
across the species range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because
the increasingly severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future
will be non-uniform and therefore will likely be a large number of
colonies that are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a
threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
A. dendrum was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); rare generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderate overall distribution (based on moderate
geographic distribution and moderate depth distribution (E); and
inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
dendrum from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on A. dendrum's
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to be likely to become endangered throughout its
range within the foreseeable future, and thus it is not warranted for
listing at this time, because:
(1) Acropora dendrum's distribution is spread over a very large
area. While some areas within its range are projected to be affected by
warming and acidification, other areas are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification, including the central Pacific and
other areas. This distribution and the heterogeneous habitats it
occupies reduce exposure to
[[Page 53995]]
any given threat event or adverse condition that does not occur
uniformly throughout the species range. As explained above in the
Threats Evaluation section, we have not identified any threat that is
expected to occur uniformly throughout the species range within the
foreseeable future;
(2) Acropora dendrum's absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response; and
(3) As with other Acropora species, it is a broadcast spawner and
fast grower, enhancing recovery potential from mortality events.
Notwithstanding projections through 2100 that indicate increased
severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and worsen in
severity and the species' exposure to the threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, A.
dendrum is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Acropora donei
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. donei's
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as table-like, up to
2 m diameter, with branchlets that are horizontal near the edge but
upturned in the middle, and taxonomy was described as having no
taxonomic issues, but being similar in appearance to A. yongei.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on morphology or taxonomy. We gathered supplemental
information, which indicated that there is some taxonomic uncertainty
with this species, but that it is recognized as valid by experts
(Fukami et al., 2004; Veron, 2000). Veron (2014) states that A. donei
is distinctive, thus we conclude it is sufficiently distinctive to be
identified by experts, and that the distribution and abundance
information described below for this species is sufficiently reliable
(Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. donei's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Acropora donei is distributed
from the northern Indian Ocean to the central Indo-Pacific, and from
Australia to Japan. They reported that it had the 44th largest range of
114 Acropora species examined. The species' habitat is upper reef
slopes and mid-slope terraces. It may be restricted habitats where
Acropora diversity is high, but this includes a large proportion of the
Indo-Pacific's reef slopes. Its depth range is 5 to 20 m.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on A. donei's distribution. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which provides an updated, much
more detailed range map for this species than the maps used in the SRR.
Veron reports that A. donei is confirmed in 50 of his 133 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions, and is strongly predicted to be found in an additional 17.
Wallace (1999b) reports its occurrence in 20 of her 29 Indo-Pacific
areas, many of which are significantly larger than Veron's ecoregions.
Acropora donei has a relatively broad range overall, estimated at 75
million km\2\ (Richards, 2009). The public comments and information we
gathered provided nothing additional on A. donei's habitat and depth
range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. donei's
abundance. Acropora donei has been reported to be uncommon. Richards
(2009) concluded that A. donei is globally widespread, locally
restricted, and locally rare, and thus in the second rarest category of
Acropora with the predicted consequence of local extinction. The public
comments and information we gathered provided information on A. donei's
abundance. One public comment stated that a recently published paper
(Kayanne et al., 2012) reported that A. donei was among the second most
abundant group of corals on Okinotorishima, Japan, and was classified
as ``common'' (paper was provided with the comment). We gathered
supplemental information, which reports that A. donei is a common
species on Indonesian reefs and reefs of the South China Sea and Japan
(Wallace and Wolstenholme, 1998). Veron (2014) reports that A. donei
occupied 4.7 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.16 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``uncommon,'' and overall abundance was also described as ``uncommon.''
Veron did not infer trends in abundance from these data. As described
in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction above, based on
results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at least tens of millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
donei, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 37 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 15 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus quantitative
inferences to species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring,
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that A. donei
occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we conclude that
it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100
years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on the
limited species-specific information.
[[Page 53996]]
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. donei's
life history. Acropora donei is a hermaphroditic spawner with
lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae. The public comments and information
we gathered provided no additional biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. donei's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Acropora of ocean
warming, disease, acidification, sedimentation, nutrients, predation,
and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide any other
species-specific information on the effects of these threats on A.
donei. We interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for A. donei's
vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerabilities to disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, nutrients, and predation, and low vulnerabilities
to sedimentation, sea-level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on A. donei's threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following
species-specific and genus-level supplemental information on this
species' threat susceptibilities. Acropora donei has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching and disease, but these
ratings are not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). Based on information from other Acropora species provided in the
genus description above, A. donei is likely highly susceptible to ocean
warming, and likely has some susceptibilities to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients,
sea-level rise, predation, and collection and trade. The available
information does not support more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of A. donei to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
donei. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment led us
to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory mechanisms
on a species basis. Records confirm that A. donei occurs in 68 Indo-
Pacific ecoregions that encompass 34 countries' EEZs. The 34 countries
are Australia, Brunei, China, Comoros Islands, Djibouti, Eritrea,
Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji, France (French Pacific Island
Territories), Indonesia, Japan, Kiribati, Madagascar, Malaysia,
Maldives, Marshall Islands, Myanmar, New Zealand (Tokelau), Niue,
Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Saudi Arabia, Solomon
Islands, Sri Lanka, Taiwan, Thailand, Tonga, Tuvalu, United States
(American Samoa, PRIAs), Vanuatu, Vietnam, and Yemen. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to A. donei, described first as the percentage of
the above countries that utilize them to any degree, and second as the
percentages of those countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General coral protection (32 percent
with 6 percent limited in scope), coral collection (59 percent with 29
percent limited in scope), pollution control (44 percent with 9 percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on reefs (97 percent with 15
percent limited in scope), and managing areas for protection and
conservation (94 percent with 3 percent limited in scope). The most
common regulatory mechanisms in place for A. donei are reef fishing
regulations and area management for protection and conservation. Coral
collection and pollution control laws are also somewhat utilized for
the species, but 29 percent of coral collection laws are limited in
scope and may not provide substantial protection. General coral
protection laws are much less common regulatory mechanisms for the
management of A. donei.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that the high bleaching rate of the Acropora
genus is the primary known threat of extinction for A. donei. It listed
factors that reduce the threat of extinction including the moderate
geographic and depth ranges.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. donei, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes most of the coral reef ecoregions
in the Indian Ocean and western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates vulnerability to extinction because
some areas within its range are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification over the foreseeable future, including the
western Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and other areas, so portions
of the population in these areas will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is from five to at least 20 meters. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will usually have lower irradiance
than surface, and acidification is generally predicted to accelerate
most in waters that are deeper and cooler than those in which the
species occurs. Its habitat includes upper reef slopes and mid-slope
terraces. This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is not limited to one habitat
type but occurs in numerous types of reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience highly variable thermal regimes
and ocean chemistry at any given point in time. Its absolute abundance
of at least tens of millions of colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and acidification across the species
range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly
severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future will be non-
uniform and therefore will likely be a large number of colonies that
are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at any
given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula, A. donei
was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High vulnerability
to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability to disease (C)
and acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide abundance (E);
moderate overall distribution (based on moderate geographic
distribution and moderate
[[Page 53997]]
depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
donei from threatened to not warranted. We made this decision based on
a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether this species
meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered coral largely
in response to public comments, including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity of this species' spatial and
demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats. Thus, based
on the best available information above on A. donei's spatial
structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management none of
the five ESA factors, alone or in combination, are causing this species
to be endangered throughout its range within the foreseeable future,
and thus it is not warranted for listing at this time, because:
(1) Acropora donei's distribution across the Indian Ocean and most
of the Pacific Ocean is spread over a very large area. While some areas
within its range are projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, other areas are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification, including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not occur uniformly throughout the
species range. As explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we
have not identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly
throughout the species range within the foreseeable future);
(2) Acropora donei's total absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response; and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast grower, enhancing recovery
potential from mortality events as described in the Corals and Coral
Reefs section above.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and worsen in
severity and the species' exposure to the threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, A. donei
is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the listing
factors.
Acropora globiceps
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. globiceps'
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as digitate and
usually small, and taxonomy was described as having no taxonomic
issues, but radial corallites were reported similar to Acropora secale
and Acropora retusa. It appears similar to Acropora gemmifera, but in
strong wave action is similar to Acropora monticulosa.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on morphology and taxonomy. We gathered supplemental
information, including Wallace (1999b), which states that A. globiceps'
branch thickness and colony shape is similar to that of Acropora
humilis, and its branch shape and radial corallite morphology is
similar to that of Acropora samoensis. It appears that this species has
often been mistaken for A. humilis (Fenner, 2014b). Veron (2014) states
that A. globiceps is distinctive, thus we conclude it can be identified
by experts, and that the distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. globiceps'
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Acropora globiceps is
distributed from the oceanic west Pacific to the central Pacific as far
east as the Pitcairn Islands. The species has the 27th smallest range
of 114 Acropora species in a large study. The species occurs on upper
reef slopes, reef flats, and adjacent habitats in depths ranging from 0
to 8 m.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on A. globiceps' distribution. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which reports that A. globiceps is
confirmed in 22 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional 16. Wallace (1999b) reports its
occurrence in seven of her 29 Indo-Pacific areas, many of which are
significantly larger than Veron's ecoregions. Wallace's (1999b) map
shows it from a smaller area than Veron (Veron, 2000; Veron, 2014).
Based on the Wallace (1999b) range, A. globiceps has a relatively small
range, estimated at 5 million km\2\ (Richards, 2009). The public
comments and information we gathered provided nothing additional on A.
globiceps' habitat and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. globiceps'
abundance. Acropora globiceps has been reported as common (Veron,
2000). The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on A. globiceps' abundance. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which reports that A. globiceps
occupied 3.2 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.95 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``uncommon.'' Overall abundance was described as ``sometimes common.''
Veron did not infer trends in abundance from these data. As described
in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction above, based on
results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at least tens of millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
globiceps, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 35 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent (Carpenter et al., 2008).
However, as summarized above in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section,
live coral cover trends are highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small scales that can be easily taken
out of context, thus quantitative inferences
[[Page 53998]]
to species-specific trends should be interpreted with caution. At the
same time, an extensive body of literature documents broad declines in
live coral cover and shifts to reef communities dominated by hardier
coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004;
Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012). These
changes have likely occurred, and are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that A. globiceps occurs in many areas
affected by these broad changes, and that it has some susceptibility to
both global and local threats, we conclude that it is likely to have
declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100 years, but a precise
quantification is not possible due to the limited species-specific
information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. globiceps'
life history. Acropora globiceps is a hermaphroditic spawner with
lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae. The public comments and information
we gathered did not provide additional biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. globiceps' threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Acropora of ocean
warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation, and
nutrients. The SRR and SIR did not provide any other species-specific
information on the effects of these threats on A. globiceps. The
exposure and susceptibility threat information from the SRR and SIR was
interpreted in the proposed rule for A. globiceps' vulnerabilities to
threats as follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming, moderate
vulnerabilities to disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, nutrients, and predation, and low vulnerabilities to
sedimentation, sea-level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on A. globiceps' threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following
species-specific and genus-level supplemental information on this
species' threat susceptibilities. Acropora globiceps has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching and disease, but these
ratings are not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). Based on information from other Acropora species provided in the
genus description above, A. globiceps is likely highly susceptible to
ocean warming, and also likely has some susceptibilities to disease,
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients,
sea-level rise, predation, and collection and trade. The available
information does not support more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of A. globiceps to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
globiceps. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment
led us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that A. globiceps occurs
in 22 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 19 countries' EEZs. The 19
countries are Australia, Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji, France
(French Pacific Island Territories), Indonesia, Japan, New Zealand
(Cook Islands, Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines,
Samoa, Solomon Islands, Timor-Leste, Tonga, Tuvalu, United Kingdom
(Pitcairn Islands), United States (CNMI, Guam, American Samoa), and
Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms relevant to A. globiceps, described
first as the percentage of the above countries that utilize them to any
degree and second, as the percentages of those countries whose
regulatory mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (32 percent with none limited in scope), coral
collection (74 percent with 37 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (42 percent with 16 percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (100 percent with 11 percent limited in scope),
and managing areas for protection and conservation (100 percent with 5
percent limited in scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. globiceps are reef fishing regulations, area management
for protection and conservation, and coral collection laws. However, 37
percent of coral collection laws are limited in scope and may not
provide substantial protection. Pollution control laws are also
somewhat utilized for the species. General coral protection laws are
much less common regulatory mechanisms for the management of A.
globiceps.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that the high bleaching rate of the Acropora
genus is the primary known threat of extinction for A. globiceps, but
the narrow depth range also increases the risk of extinction. It listed
factors that reduce the threat of extinction including common abundance
and persistence in intertidal habitats.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. globiceps, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes the Coral Triangle, but also
includes many coral reef ecoregions in the western and central Pacific
Ocean, as far east as the Pitcairn Islands. Some areas within its range
are projected to have less than average warming and acidification over
the foreseeable future, including the central Pacific, so portions of
the population in these areas will be less exposed to severe
conditions. On the other hand, the Coral Triangle area is projected to
have the most rapid and severe impacts from climate change and
localized human impacts for coral reefs over the 21st century. As such,
its geographic distribution has the ability to both moderate and
exacerbate vulnerability to extinction. Its depth range of zero to 8
meters exacerbates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable
future because a large proportion of the population is restricted to
shallow areas. Shallow reef areas can be physically diverse, but are
often subjected to frequent changes in environmental conditions,
extremes, high irradiance, and simultaneous effects from multiple
stressors, both local and global in nature. Its habitat includes upper
reef slopes, reef flats, and adjacent habitats. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous
[[Page 53999]]
types of reef environments that will, on local and regional scales,
experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time. Its absolute abundance of at least tens of
millions of colonies combined with spatial variability in ocean warming
and acidification across the species range, moderates vulnerability to
extinction because the increasingly severe conditions expected in the
foreseeable future will be non-uniform and therefore will likely be a
large number of colonies that are either not exposed or do not
negatively respond to a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
A. globiceps was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); common generalized range wide
abundance (E); narrow overall distribution (based on moderate
geographic distribution and narrow depth distribution (E); and
inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we maintain the listing determination for A.
globiceps. Based on the best available information provided above on A.
globicep's spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management indicate that it is likely to become endangered throughout
its range within the foreseeable future, and thus warrants listing as
threatened at this time, because:
(1) Acropora globiceps is highly susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), and susceptible to disease (C), ocean acidification (E),
trophic effects of fishing (A, E), nutrients (A, E), and predation (C).
These threats are expected to continue and increase into the future. In
addition, existing regulatory mechanisms to address global threats that
contribute to extinction risk for this species are inadequate (D); and
(2) Acropora globiceps occurs primarily in depths of zero to eight
meters which can be considered a shallow depth range compared to the
overall depth of occurrence for reef building corals in general.
Shallow reef areas are often subjected to highly variable environmental
conditions, extremes, high irradiance, and simultaneous effects from
multiple stressors, both local and global in nature. A limited depth
range reduces the absolute area in which the species may occur
throughout its geographic range and indicates that a large proportion
of the population is likely to be exposed to threats that are worse in
shallow habitats, such as simultaneously elevated irradiance and
seawater temperatures, as well as localized impacts.
The combination of these characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates that the species is likely to be in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future throughout its range and
warrants listing as threatened at this time due to factors A, C, D, and
E.
The available information above on A. globiceps' spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and management also indicate that
the species is not currently in danger of extinction and thus does not
warrant listing as Endangered because:
(1) While A. globiceps' distribution includes the Coral Triangle
area, it also includes many ecoregions throughout the central Pacific
from Japan down to New Caledonia and as far east as the Pitcairn
Islands. This distribution includes some areas within its range that
are projected to have less than average warming and acidification over
the foreseeable future, including the central Pacific, so portions of
the population in these areas will be less exposed to severe
conditions.
(2) Acropora globiceps' absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies which allows for variation in the responses of
individuals to threats to play a role in moderating vulnerability to
extinction for the species to some degree, as described in more detail
in the Corals and Coral Reefs section. There is no evidence of
depensatory processes such as reproductive failure from low density of
reproductive individuals and genetic processes such as inbreeding
affecting this species. Thus, its absolute abundance indicates it is
currently able to avoid high mortality from environmental
stochasticity, and mortality of a high proportion of its population
from catastrophic events.
The combination of these characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of one that is currently in danger
of extinction, as described previously in the Risk Analyses section,
and thus does not warrant listing as endangered at this time.
Range-wide, a multitude of conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting A. globiceps. However, considering
the global scale of the most important threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at addressing the root cause of
global threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not believe that any
current conservation efforts or conservation efforts planned in the
future will result in affecting the species status to the point at
which listing is not warranted.
Acropora horrida
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. horrida's
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as usually open
branched, becoming bushy on upper reef slopes and in shallow lagoons.
No taxonomic issues were raised, but A. horrida was stated to be
similar to Acropora tortuosa, and Acropora vaughani.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on morphology or taxonomy. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which states that A. horrida is
distinctive, thus we conclude it can be identified by experts, and that
the distribution and abundance information described below for this
species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. horrida's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Acropora horrida is distributed
from the Red Sea to French Polynesia. The species has a very broad
range overall, having the 14th largest range of 114 Acropora species
examined. It is found in numerous reef slope and back-reef habitats
with turbid water, including but not limited to, upper reef slopes,
mid-slope terraces, lagoons, and adjacent habitats. The SRR described
its depth range as 5 to 20 m.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on A. horrida's distribution. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which reports that this species is
confirmed in 61 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional 22. Wallace (1999b) reports its
occurrence in 24 of her 29 Indo-Pacific areas, many of which are
significantly larger than Veron's ecoregions. Richards (2009)
calculated the geographic range of A. horrida at over 100 million
km\2\. Wallace (1999b) reports the depths from which A. horrida
specimens were collected ranged from 17 to 39 m.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. horrida's
abundance. Acropora horrida has been
[[Page 54000]]
reported as usually uncommon. This is a species that is globally
widespread, locally restricted, and locally rare, and thus in the
second rarest category of Acropora with the predicted consequence of
local extinction. The public comments did not provide any new or
supplemental information on A. horrida's abundance. We gathered
supplemental information, including Veron (2014), which reports that A.
horrida occupied 8.9 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.70
on a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on
this semi-quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized
as ``common.'' Overall abundance was described as ``uncommon.'' Veron
did not infer trends in abundance from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction above, based on
results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at least tens of millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
horrida, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 36 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 15 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus quantitative
inferences to species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring,
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that A. horrida
occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we conclude that
it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100
years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on the
limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. horrida's
life history. Acropora horrida is a hermaphroditic spawner with
lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae. Mean egg size for A. horrida has been
recorded as 0.64 mm and mean polyp fecundity has been recorded as 9.0
eggs per polyp. This species did synchronize its spawning with other
Acropora species on the central GBR during the major multispecies
spawning events in early summer 1981-1983.
Public comments provided no additional biological information. We
gathered the following supplemental information on the life history of
A. horrida. Darling et al. (2012) found that all of over 30 Acropora
species studied were classified as ``competitive'' species which were
considered to be less tolerant of environmental stress and disturbance
than those species that were classified as ``stress-tolerant,''
``generalist,'' or ``weedy,'' because of documented shifts in coral
communities from ``competitive'' to the other categories. Acropora
horrida was one of the Acropora species studied.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. horrida' threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Acropora of ocean
warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation, nutrients,
and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR also provided the following
species-specific information on A. horrida's threats. With regard to
ocean warming, A. horrida is thought to have been locally extirpated in
the Arabian Gulf after the 1996 and 1998 bleaching events, but the
species is considered less susceptible to bleaching than other Acropora
spp. The SRR and SIR did not provide any species-specific information
on the effects of these threats on A. horrida. We interpreted the
threat susceptibility and exposure information from the SRR and SIR in
the proposed rule for A. horrida's vulnerabilities as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming, moderate vulnerabilities to disease,
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, nutrients, and predation,
and low vulnerabilities to sedimentation, sea-level rise, and
collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on A. lokani's threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following
species-specific and genus-level supplemental information on this
species' threat susceptibilities. Acropora horrida has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching and disease, but these
ratings are not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). Done et al. (2003b) reported that 20 percent of A. horrida
colonies on the Great Barrier Reef were affected by bleaching in 2002,
and the species ranked 29th in proportion of coral colonies that were
bleached and killed out of 52 studied Acropora species. That is, 28 of
the 52 species bleached more than A. horrida, and 23 bleached less.
No other species-specific information is available for the
susceptibility of A. horrida to any other threat. Based on information
from other Acropora species provided in the genus description above, A.
horrida may be susceptible to the effects of disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients,
sea-level rise, predation, and collection and trade. Thus, based on the
available species-specific and genus information summarized above, A.
horrida is likely highly susceptible to ocean warming, and also likely
has some susceptibilities to disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, predation, sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level
rise, and collection and trade. The available information does not
support more precise ratings of the susceptibilities of A. horrida to
the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
horrida. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment led
us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that A. horrida occurs
in 61 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 45 countries' EEZs. The 45
countries are Australia, Bahrain, China, Djibouti, Egypt, Eritrea,
Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji, France (French Pacific Island
Territories), Indonesia, Iran, Israel, Japan, Jordan, Kenya, Kiribati,
Kuwait, Madagascar, Malaysia, Maldives, Marshall Islands, Mauritius,
Mozambique, Myanmar, New Zealand (Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, Qatar, Samoa, Saudi Arabia, Seychelles, Solomon
Islands, Sudan, Taiwan, Tanzania, Thailand, Tonga, Tuvalu, United Arab
Emirates, United Kingdom (British Indian Ocean Territory), United
States (American Samoa, PRIAs), Vietnam, and Yemen. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to A. horrida, described first as the percentage of
the above countries that utilize them to any degree and second, as the
percentages of those
[[Page 54001]]
countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as
follows: General coral protection (24 percent with 2 percent limited in
scope), coral collection (58 percent with 24 percent limited in scope),
pollution control (44 percent with 7 percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (87 percent with 24 percent limited in scope), and
managing areas for protection and conservation (87 percent with 11
percent limited in scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. horrida are reef fishing regulations and area management
for protection and conservation. Coral collection and pollution control
laws are also somewhat utilized for the species, but 24 percent of
coral collection laws are limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection. General coral protection laws are much less
common regulatory mechanisms for the management of A. horrida.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that the high bleaching rate of the Acropora
genus is the primary known threat of extinction for A. horrida. It
listed factors that reduce the threat of extinction including the very
wide geographic range, with large local distributions, and tolerance
for turbid water.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. horrida, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes most of the coral reef ecoregions
in the Indian Ocean and western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates vulnerability to extinction because
some areas within its range are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification over the foreseeable future, including the
western Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and other areas, so portions
of the population in these areas will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is from five to 39 meters. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future because deeper
areas of its range will usually have lower irradiance than surface
waters, and acidification is generally predicted to accelerate most in
waters that are deeper and cooler than those in which the species
occurs. Its habitat includes numerous reef slope and back-reef habitats
with turbid water, including but not limited to, upper reef slopes,
mid-slope terraces, lagoons, and adjacent habitats. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types
of reef environments that will, on local and regional scales,
experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time. In addition, turbidity can mitigate the effects of
high irradiance by blocking it from the water column. Its absolute
abundance of at least tens of millions of colonies, combined with
spatial variability in ocean warming and acidification across the
species range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because the
increasingly severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future will
be non-uniform and therefore will likely be a large number of colonies
that are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at
any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
A. horrida was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and moderate depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
horrida from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on A. horrida's
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to be likely to become endangered throughout its
range within the foreseeable future, and thus it is not warranted for
listing at this time, because:
(1) Acropora horrida's distribution from the Red Sea across the
Indian Ocean and most of the Pacific Ocean is spread over a very large
area. While some areas within its range are projected to be affected by
warming and acidification, other areas are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification, including the western Indian Ocean,
the central Pacific, and other areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not occur uniformly throughout the
species range. As explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we
have not identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly
throughout the species range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Acropora horrida's total absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response; and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast grower, enhancing recovery
potential from mortality events as described in the Corals and Coral
Reefs section above.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and increase in
severity and the species
[[Page 54002]]
exposure to threats increases throughout its range. Should the species
experience reduced abundance or range constriction of a certain
magnitude, the ability of these characteristics to moderate exposure to
threats will diminish. However, the species is not likely to become of
such low abundance or so spatially fragmented as to be in danger of
extinction due to depensatory processes, the potential effects of
environmental stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from
catastrophic events within the foreseeable future throughout its range.
Therefore, A. horrida is not warranted for listing at this time under
any of the listing factors.
Acropora jacquelineae
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
jacquelineae's morphology and taxonomy. The morphology was described as
flat plates up to 1 m in diameter. Viewed from above, plates are
covered with a mass of fine delicately-curved axial corallites giving
an almost moss-like appearance. Evidence from genetics indicates it is
not a hybrid, and so the SRR considered it a valid species.
The public comments and information we gathered provided
supplemental information on the morphology or taxonomy of A.
jacquelineae. One public comment stated that specimens collected in
American Samoa and identified by the American Samoa Department of
Marine and Water Resources as A. jacquelineae appear to be A. aculeus,
thereby illustrating the species identification uncertainties
associated with this species. We gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which states that A. jacquelineae is
distinctive when compared with other species but not on its own. We
conclude the species can be identified by experts (Fenner, 2014b).
Thus, we conclude that the distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
jacquelineae's distribution, habitat, and depth range. Acropora
jacquelineae is distributed within the Coral Triangle including Papua
New Guinea, and is reported from American Samoa. The species has a
limited range overall, the 22nd smallest range of 114 Acropora species.
It is found in numerous subtidal reef slope and back-reef habitats,
including but not limited to, lower reef slopes, walls and ledges, mid-
slopes, and upper reef slopes protected from wave action, and its depth
range is 10 to 35 m.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on A. jacquelineae's distribution, habitat, or depth range.
We gathered supplemental information on its distribution, including
Veron (2014), which reports that A. jacquelineae is confirmed in 12 of
his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be found in
an additional five. Wallace (1999b) reports its occurrence in seven of
her 29 Indo-Pacific areas, many of which are larger than Veron's
ecoregions. Richards (2009) calculated the geographic range of this
species at 2 million km\2\, which was 1.8 percent of the size of the
largest range for any species.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
jacquelineae's abundance. Acropora jacquelineae has been reported as
uncommon.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on A. jacquelineae's abundance. We gathered supplemental
information, including Richards (2009) and Richards et al. (2013b),
which conclude from their data that A. jacquelineae is globally
restricted, locally restricted, and locally rare, and thus in the
rarest category of Acropora with the predicted consequence of global
extinction. They placed 15 species in this category out of 85 species
of Acropora. Bonin (2012) reported that A. jacquelineae was the 19th
most abundant species of Acropora in Kimbe Bay, Papua New Guinea, with
about 18 percent of the abundance of the most abundant species of
Acropora. Veron (2014) reports that A. jacquelineae occupied 1.6
percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-
Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.44 on a 1 to 5 rating
scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``uncommon.'' Overall abundance was also described as ``uncommon.''
Veron did not infer trends in abundance from these data.
Richards et al. (2008) reported that A. jacquelineae had the 14th
lowest population of the 15 rare Acropora species they studied.
Richards et al. (2008) gave the total world population of this species
as 31,599 +/-17,358 colonies, and the effective population size (i.e.,
a mathematical estimate of the size of the breeding population) as
3,476 colonies. The calculation of the total world population of this
species was flawed, since the area of 1 km\2\ was given as 1,000 m\2\
(Richards et al., 2008: Appendix 1), when it is actually 1,000,000
m\2\. Thus, the correct population estimate is 1,000 times greater than
stated, or a total population size of 31,599,000 colonies, and an
effective population size of 3,476,000 colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
jacquelineae, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 37 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus quantitative
inferences to species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring,
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that A.
jacquelineae occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and
has some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we conclude
that it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100
years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on the
limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
jacquelineae's life history. Acropora jacquelineae is a hermaphroditic
spawner with lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae. The public comments and
information we gathered did not provide anything additional to the
above-described biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. jacquelineae's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and
SIR provided genus-level information for the effects on Acropora of
ocean warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation,
nutrients, and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not
[[Page 54003]]
provide any species-specific information on the effects of these
threats on A. jacquelineae. We interpreted the threat susceptibility
and exposure information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for
A. jacquelineae's vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to
ocean warming, moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean acidification,
trophic effects of fishing, nutrients, and predation, and low
vulnerability to sedimentation, sea-level rise, and collection and
trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on A. jacquelineae's threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following
species-specific and genus-level supplemental information on this
species' threat susceptibilities. Acropora jacquelineae has been rated
as moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching and disease, but this
rating is not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al., 2008).
There is no species-specific information for the exposure or
susceptibility of A. jacquelineae to any threat. Thus, based on the
available genus information summarized above, A. jacquelineae is likely
highly susceptible to ocean warming, and also likely has some
susceptibility to disease, ocean acidification, sedimentation,
nutrients, trophic effects of fishing, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. The available information does not support more
precise ratings of the susceptibilities of A. jacquelineae to the
threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
jacquelineae. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment
led us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that A. jacquelineae
occurs in 12 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass five countries'
EEZs. The five countries are Federated States of Micronesia, Indonesia,
Papua New Guinea, Solomon Islands, and Timor-Leste. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to A. jacquelineae, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that utilize them to any degree and
second, as the percentages of those countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as follows: General coral
protection (20 percent with none limited in scope), coral collection
(40 percent with none limited in scope), pollution control (20 percent
with 20 percent limited in scope), fishing regulations on reefs (100
percent with none limited in scope), and managing areas for protection
and conservation (100 percent with none limited in scope). The most
common regulatory mechanisms in place for A. jacquelineae are reef
fishing regulations and area management for protection and
conservation. General coral protection, coral collection, and pollution
control laws are much less common regulatory mechanisms for the
management of A. jacquelineae.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that the high bleaching rate of the Acropora
genus is the primary known threat of extinction for A. jacquelineae. It
listed factors that contribute to the threat of extinction including
limited range, small local distribution and small local abundance, as
well as the possibility of genetic introgression.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. jacquelineae, in conjunction
with the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section,
Coral Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect
its vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable
future. Its geographic distribution is limited almost exclusively to
the Coral Triangle in the western equatorial Pacific Ocean. Despite the
large number of islands and environments that are included in the
species range, this range exacerbates vulnerability to extinction over
the foreseeable future because it is limited to the area projected to
have the most rapid and severe impacts from climate change and
localized human impacts for coral reefs over the 21st century. Its
depth range of ten to 35 meters moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower irradiance than surface waters, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in waters that are deeper and
cooler than those in which the species occurs. Its habitat includes
lower reef slopes, walls and ledges, mid-slopes, and upper reef slopes
protected from wave action. This moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous types of reef environments that
will, on local and regional scales, experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in time. Its effective
population size estimate of approximately 3.5 million colonies,
combined with the location of its range, exacerbates vulnerability to
extinction because increasingly severe conditions within the limited
species range are likely to affect a high proportion of its effective
population at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
A. jacquelineae was proposed for listing as endangered because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); rare generalized range wide
abundance (E); narrow overall distribution (based on narrow geographic
distribution and moderate depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
jacquelineae from endangered to threatened. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including adequate
consideration of the buffering capacity of this species' spatial and
demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats. Thus, based
on the best available information provided above on A. jacquelineae's
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management
indicate that it is likely to become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus warrants listing as threatened
at this time, because:
(1) Acropora jacquelineae is highly susceptible to ocean warming
(ESA Factor E), and susceptible to disease (C), ocean acidification
(E), trophic effects of
[[Page 54004]]
fishing (A), predation (C), and nutrient enrichment (A, E). These
threats are expected to continue and increase into the future. In
addition existing regulatory mechanisms to address global threats that
contribute to extinction risk for this species are inadequate (D).
(2) Acropora jacquelineae's distribution is constrained mostly to
the Coral Triangle and western equatorial Pacific, which is projected
to have the most rapid and severe impacts from climate change and
localized human impacts for coral reefs over the 21st century, as
described in the Threats Evaluation. Multiple ocean warming events have
already occurred within the western equatorial Pacific that suggest
future ocean warming events may be more severe than average in this
part of the world. A range constrained to this particular geographic
area that is likely to experience severe and increasing threats
indicates that a high proportion of the population of this species is
likely to be exposed to those threats over the foreseeable future; and
(3) Acropora jacquelineae's absolute abundance is estimated to be
31 million colonies, however its estimated effective population size is
much lower at approximately 3.5 million genetically distinct
individuals. Considering the limited range of this species in an area
where severe and increasing impacts are predicted, this level of
abundance leaves the species vulnerable to becoming of such low
abundance within the foreseeable future that it may be at risk from
depensatory processes, environmental stochasticity, or catastrophic
events, as explained in more detail in the Corals and Coral Reefs and
Risk Analyses sections.
The combination of these characteristics and projections of future
threats indicates that the species is likely to be in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future throughout its range and
warrants listing as threatened at this time due to factors A, C, D, and
E.
The available information above on A. jacquelineae's spatial
structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management also
indicate that the species the species is not currently in danger of
extinction and thus does not warrant listing as Endangered because:
(1) While A. jacquelineae's distribution is constrained mostly to
the Coral Triangle which increases it extinction risk as described
above, its habitat includes sub-tidal walls, ledges on walls, and
shallow reef slopes protected from wave action. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction currently because the species is not
limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in
time, as described in more detail in the Coral Habitat sub-section and
Threats Evaluation section. There is no evidence to suggest the species
is so spatially fragmented that depensatory processes, environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for catastrophic events currently pose
a high risk to the survival of the species;
(2) Acropora jacquelineae's absolute abundance is tens of millions
of colonies and effective population size is still millions of colonies
which allows for variation in the responses of individuals to threats
to play a role in moderating vulnerability to extinction for the
species to some degree, as described in more detail in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section. There is no evidence of depensatory processes such
as reproductive failure from low density of reproductive individuals
and genetic processes such as inbreeding affecting this species. Thus,
its absolute abundance indicates it is currently able to avoid high
mortality from environmental stochasticity, and mortality of a high
proportion of its population from catastrophic events; and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast grower, enhancing recovery
potential from mortality events, as described in the Corals and Coral
Reefs section above.
The combination of these characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of one that is currently in danger
of extinction, as described previously in the Risk Analyses section,
and thus does not warrant listing as endangered at this time.
Range-wide, a multitude of conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting A. jacquelineae. However,
considering the global scale of the most important threats to the
species, and the ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at addressing
the root cause of global threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not
believe that any current conservation efforts or conservation efforts
planned in the future will result in affecting the species status to
the point at which listing is not warranted.
Acropora listeri
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. listeri's
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as irregular clumps
or plates with thick branches of highly irregular length and shape, and
the taxonomy was described as having no taxonomic issues but this
species was reported to be similar to Acropora polystoma and Acropora
lutkeni, and is not easily identified in the field.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on morphology or taxonomy. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which states that A. listeri is
distinctive, thus we conclude the distribution and abundance
information described below for this species is sufficiently reliable
(Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. listeri's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Acropora listeri is distributed
from the Red Sea through the Indian Ocean to the southeast Pacific. The
species has a very broad range overall, the 13th largest range of 114
Acropora species. Its predominant habitat is lower reef crests and
upper reef slopes in strong wave action, and adjacent or similar
habitats. Its depth range is from near the surface to 15 m deep.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on A. listeri's distribution, habitat, or depth range. We
gathered supplemental information, including Veron (2014), which
reports that this species is confirmed in 54 of his 133 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be found in an additional 14.
Wallace (1999b) reports its occurrence in 21 of her 29 Indo-Pacific
areas (Wallace, 1999b), many of which are larger than Veron's
ecoregions. Richards (2009) calculated the geographic range of A.
listeri at 105 million km\2\.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. listeri's
abundance. Acropora listeri has been reported as uncommon. This species
is globally widespread, locally restricted, and locally rare, and thus
in the second rarest category of Acropora with the predicted
consequence of local extinction.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on A. listeri's abundance. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which reports that A. listeri
occupied 5.5 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.35 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
[[Page 54005]]
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``uncommon.'' and overall abundance was also described as ``uncommon.''
Veron did not infer trends in abundance from these data. As described
in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction above, based on
results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at least tens of millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
listeri, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 35 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus quantitative
inferences to species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring,
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that A. listeri
occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and has some
susceptibility to both global and local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100 years, but
a precise quantification is not possible based on the limited species-
specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. listeri's
life history. Acropora listeri is a hermaphroditic spawner with
lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae. The public comments and information
we gathered did not provide anything additional to the above-described
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. listeri's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Acropora of ocean
warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation, nutrients,
and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide any species-
specific information on the effects of these threats on A. listeri. We
interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure information from the
SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for A. listeri's vulnerabilities as
follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming, moderate vulnerability to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of fishing, nutrients,
and predation, and low vulnerability to sedimentation, sea-level rise,
and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on A. listeri's threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following
species-specific and genus-level supplemental information on this
species' threat susceptibilities. Acropora listeri has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching and disease, but this
rating is not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al., 2008).
Done et al. (2003b) report 20 percent of A. listeri colonies were
affected by bleaching on the Great Barrier Reef in 2002, which was 47
percent as much as the most affected species (Brown and Cossins, 2011).
With regard to disease, A. listeri has been rated as moderately or
highly susceptible to bleaching and disease, but this rating is not
based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al., 2008). Skeletal
Eroding Band is the most prevalent disease on the GBR, and it has been
found in A. listeri. Acropora species with similar morphology to A.
listeri had moderate susceptibility to this disease on the GBR, with a
prevalence of 2.4 percent (Page and Willis, 2007). No other species-
specific information is available for the susceptibility of A. listeri
to any other threat. Based on information from other Acropora species
provided in the genus description above, A. listeri may be susceptible
to the effects of ocean acidification, sedimentation, and nutrients,
and predation. Thus, based on the available species-specific and genus
information summarized above, A. listeri likely is highly susceptible
to ocean warming, and also likely has some susceptibility to disease,
ocean acidification, trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and trade. The
available information does not support more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of A. listeri to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
listeri. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment led
us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that A. listeri occurs
in 54 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 40 countries' EEZs. The 40
countries are Australia, Brunei, China, Djibouti, Egypt, Eritrea,
Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji, France (French Pacific Island
Territories), India (Andaman and Nicobar Islands), Indonesia, Israel,
Japan, Jordan, Kiribati, Malaysia, Marshall Islands, Mauritius,
Myanmar, New Zealand (Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea,
Philippines, Samoa, Saudi Arabia, Seychelles, Solomon Islands, Sri
Lanka, Sudan, Taiwan, Tanzania, Timor-Leste, Tonga, Tuvalu, United
Kingdom (British Indian Ocean Territory, Pitcairn Islands), United
States (CNMI, Guam, American Samoa, PRIAs), Vanuatu, Vietnam, and
Yemen. The regulatory mechanisms relevant to A. listeri, described
first as the percentage of the above countries that utilize them to any
degree and second, as the percentages of those countries whose
regulatory mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (30 percent with 8 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (63 percent with 30 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (45 percent with 8 percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (90 percent with 23 percent limited in scope), and
managing areas for protection and conservation (95 percent with 10
percent limited in scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. listeri are reef fishing regulations and area management
for protection and conservation. Coral collection and pollution control
laws are also somewhat common for the species, but 30 percent of coral
collection laws are limited in scope and may not provide substantial
protection. General coral protection laws are much less prominent
regulatory mechanisms for the management of A. listeri.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that the high bleaching rate of the Acropora
genus is the primary known threat of extinction for A. listeri. Its
limited local distribution was also listed as a contributing factor to
its threat of extinction. The SRR also listed factors that reduce the
threat of extinction
[[Page 54006]]
including its broad geographic range and tolerance for high-energy
environments.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. listeri, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution stretches from the Red Sea and east coast
of Africa, across the Indian Ocean and over to the southeast Pacific
Ocean. Its geographic distribution moderates vulnerability to
extinction because some areas within its range are projected to have
less than average warming and acidification over the foreseeable
future, including the western Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and
other areas, so portions of the population in these areas will be less
exposed to severe conditions. Its depth range is from near the surface
to 15 meters. On one hand, its depth range may moderate vulnerability
to extinction over the foreseeable future because deeper areas of its
range will usually have lower irradiance than surface waters, and
acidification is generally predicted to accelerate most in waters that
are deeper and cooler than those in which the species occurs. On the
other hand, its depth range may exacerbate vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future if the species occurs predominantly in the
shallower portion of its depth range, since those areas will have
higher irradiance and thus be more severely affected by warming-induced
bleaching. Its habitat includes lower reef crests, upper reef slopes,
and other habitats exposed to strong wave action, and its depth range
is from near the surface to 15 m deep. This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future because the species is not
limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. In addition, reef zones with strong wave action experience high
levels of mixing which can dilute adverse environmental conditions. Its
absolute abundance of at least tens of millions of colonies, combined
with spatial variability in ocean warming and acidification across the
species range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because the
increasingly severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future will
be non-uniform and therefore will likely be a large number of colonies
that are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at
any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
A. listeri was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderate overall distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and shallow depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
aculeus from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information provided on A. listeri's
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to be likely to become endangered throughout its
range within the foreseeable future, and thus is not warranted for
listing at this time, because:
(1) Acropora listeri's distribution from the Red Sea across the
Indian Ocean and most of the Pacific Ocean is spread over a very large
area. While some areas within its range are projected to be affected by
warming and acidification, other areas are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification, including the western Indian Ocean,
the central Pacific, and other areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not occur uniformly throughout the
species range. As explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we
have not identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly
throughout the species range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Acropora listeri's absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response; and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast grower, enhancing recovery
potential from mortality events, as described in the Corals and Coral
Reefs section above.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and increase in
severity and the species exposure to threats increases throughout its
range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, A.
listeri is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Acropora lokani
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. lokani's
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as small bushy
colonies of forked branches, and taxonomy was described as having no
taxonomic issues but being similar in appearance to some other Acropora
species.
[[Page 54007]]
The public comments did not provide supplemental information on
morphology or taxonomy. We gathered supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which states that A. lokani is distinctive, thus we
conclude it can be identified by experts, and that the distribution and
abundance information described below for this species is sufficiently
reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. lokani's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Acropora lokani occurs from
central Indonesia to Fiji. The species has the 33rd smallest range of
114 Acropora species in a large study. However, as described below,
this was an error, as A. lokani actually had the 30th smallest range in
the study. A. lokani occurs in reef slope and back-reef habitats,
including at least upper reef-slopes, mid-slopes, and lagoon patch
reefs, and its depth range as 8 to 25 m.
The public comments and information we gathered provided
information on the distribution of A. lokani. One public comment letter
indicated that the range map for A. lokani mistakenly included American
Samoa. We gathered supplemental information, including Veron (2014),
which provides an much more detailed range map for this species than
the maps used in the SRR. Veron reports that this species is confirmed
in 14 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions is strongly predicted to be
found in an additional six, and confirms that the species is not known
to occur in American Samoa. Wallace (1999) reports its occurrence in
four of her 29 Indo-Pacific areas, many of which are significantly
larger than Veron's ecoregions. Richards (2009) calculated the
geographic range of this species at over 5 million km\2\, which was the
30th smallest among the 114 Acropora species for which ranges were
calculated, and 3.6 percent of the size of the largest range for any
species. Richards et al. (Richards et al., 2013a) calculate the range
of this species as 8.5 million km\2\. The public comments and
information we gathered provided nothing additional on A. lokani's
habitat and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. lokani's
abundance. Acropora lokani has been reported as uncommon, but sometimes
common.
The public comments did not provide supplemental information on A.
lokani's abundance. We gathered supplemental information, including
Richards et al. (2013b), which concludes that this species is globally
restricted, locally restricted, and locally rare, and thus in the
rarest category of Acropora with the predicted consequence of global
extinction. They placed 15 species in this category out of 85 species
of Acropora (Richards et al., 2013b). Veron (2014) reports that A.
lokani occupied 2.75 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.44
on a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on
this semi-quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized
as ``uncommon.'' Overall abundance was described as ``sometimes
common.'' Veron did not infer trends in abundance from these data.
Richards et al. (2008) reported that A. lokani had the eleventh
lowest population of the 15 rare Acropora species they studied.
Richards et al. (2008) gave the total world population of this species
as about 18,960 +/-9480 colonies, and the effective population size
(i.e., a mathematical estimate of the size of the breeding population)
as about 2,086 colonies. The calculation of the total world population
of this species was flawed, since the area of 1 km\2\ was given as
1,000 m\2\ (Richards et al., 2008: Appendix 1), when it is actually
1,000,000 m\2\. Thus, the correct population estimate is 1,000 times
greater than stated, or a total population size of 18,960,000 colonies,
and an effective population size of 2,086,000 colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
lokani, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 36 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparisons sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context. Thus quantitative
inferences to species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring,
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that A. lokani
occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we conclude that
it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100
years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on the
limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. lokani's
life history. Acropora lokani is assumed to be a hermaphroditic spawner
with lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae. The public comments and
information we gathered did not provide anything additional to the
above-described biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. lokani's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Acropora of ocean
warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation, nutrients,
and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide any species-
specific information on the effects of these threats on A. lokani. We
interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure information from the
SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for A. lokani's vulnerabilities as
follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming, moderate vulnerabilities
to disease, acidification, trophic effects of fishing, nutrients, and
predation, and low vulnerabilities to sedimentation, sea-level rise,
and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on A. lokani's threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following
species-specific and genus-level supplemental information on this
species' threat susceptibilities. Acropora lokani has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to thermal bleaching and disease, but
these ratings are not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). Based on information from other Acropora species provided in the
genus description above, A. lokani is likely highly susceptible to
ocean warming, and likely has some susceptibility to disease,
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients,
sea-level rise, predation, and collection and trade. The available
information does not support more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of A. lokani to the threats.
[[Page 54008]]
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
lokani. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment led
us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that A. lokani occurs in
14 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass nine countries' EEZs. The
nine countries are Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji, France (French
Pacific Island Territories), Indonesia, Palau, Papua New Guinea,
Philippines, Solomon Islands, and Timor-Leste. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to A. lokani, described first as a percentage of
the above countries that utilize them to any degree, and second as the
percentage of those countries whose regulatory mechanisms are limited
in scope, are as follows: General coral protection (33 percent with
none limited in scope), coral collection (67 percent with 22 percent
limited in scope), pollution control (33 percent with 22 percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on reefs (100 percent with none
limited in scope), and managing areas for protection and conservation
(100 percent with none limited in scope). The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for A. lokani are coral collection laws, reef
fishing regulations, and area management for protection and
conservation. General coral protection and pollution control laws are
much less common regulatory mechanisms for the management of A. lokani.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that the high bleaching rate of the Acropora
genus is the primary known threat of extinction for A. lokani, with the
potential for extinction increased by the smallest effective population
size of species with actual data, limited geographic and restricted
latitudinal range, and also the small global distribution, small local
distributions, and small local abundances.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. lokani, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution is limited to parts of the Coral Triangle
and the western equatorial Pacific Ocean. Despite the large number of
islands and environments that are included in the species' range, this
range exacerbates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable
future because it is mostly limited to an area projected to have the
most rapid and severe impacts from climate change and localized human
impacts for coral reefs over the 21st century. Its depth range of eight
to 25 meters moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable
future because deeper areas of its range will usually have lower
irradiance than surface waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. Its habitat includes at least upper
reef-slopes, mid-slopes, and lagoon patch reefs. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types
of reef environments that will, on local and regional scales,
experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time. Its effective population size of two million
colonies, combined with the location of its range, exacerbates
vulnerability to extinction because increasingly severe conditions
within the limited species range are likely to affect a high proportion
of its effective population at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
A. lokani was proposed for listing as endangered because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); rare generalized range wide
abundance (E); overall narrow distribution (based on narrow geographic
distribution and moderate depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
lokani from endangered to threatened. No supplemental information or
public comments changed our assessment of the type and severity of
threats affecting A. lokani. Rather, we made this determination based
on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether this
species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered coral
largely in response to public comments, including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity of this species' spatial and
demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats. Thus, based
on the best available information provided above on A. lokani's spatial
structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management indicate
that it is likely to become endangered throughout its range within the
foreseeable future, and thus warrants listing as threatened at this
time, because:
(1) Acropora lokani is highly susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), and susceptible to disease (C) ocean acidification (E),
trophic effects of fishing (A), nutrients (A, E), and predation (C).
These threats are expected to continue and increase into the future. In
addition, existing regulatory mechanisms to address global threats that
contribute to extinction risk for this species are inadequate (D).
(2) Acropora lokani's distribution is mostly constrained to the
Coral Triangle and western equatorial Pacific, which is projected to
have the most rapid and severe impacts from climate change and
localized human impacts for coral reefs over the 21st century, as
described in the Threats Evaluation. Multiple ocean warming events have
already occurred within the western equatorial Pacific that suggest
future ocean warming events may be more severe than average in this
part of the world. A range constrained to this particular geographic
area that is likely to experience severe and increasing threats
indicates that a high proportion of the population of this species is
likely to be exposed to those threats over the foreseeable future; and
(3) Acropora lokani's absolute abundance is estimated to be 19
million colonies, however its estimated effective population size is
much lower at around two million genetically distinct colonies.
Considering the limited range of this species in an area where severe
and increasing impacts are predicted,
[[Page 54009]]
this level of abundance leaves the species vulnerable to becoming of
such low abundance within the foreseeable future that it may be at risk
from depensatory processes, environmental stochasticity, or
catastrophic events, as explained in more detail in the Corals and
Coral Reefs and Risk Analyses sections.
The combination of these characteristics and projections of future
threats indicates that the species is likely to be in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future throughout its range and
warrants listing as threatened at this time due to factors A, C, D, and
E.
The available information above on A. lokani's spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and management also indicate that
the species is not currently in danger of extinction and thus does not
warrant listing as Endangered because:
(1) While A. lokani's distribution is constrained mostly to the
Coral Triangle which increases it extinction risk as described above,
its habitat includes sheltered lagoon patch reefs and other shallow
reef environments. This moderates vulnerability to extinction currently
because the species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in
numerous types of reef environments that will, on local and regional
scales, experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry
at any given point in time, as described in more detail in the Coral
Habitat and Threats Evaluation sections. There is no evidence to
suggest that the species is so spatially fragmented that depensatory
processes, environmental stochasticity, or the potential for
catastrophic events currently pose a high risk to the survival of the
species; and
(2) Acropora lokani's absolute abundance is tens of millions of
colonies, and effective population size is still millions of colonies
which allows for variation in the responses of individuals to threats
to play a role in moderating vulnerability to extinction for the
species to some degree, as described in more detail in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section. There is no evidence of depensatory processes such
as reproductive failure from low density of reproductive individuals
and genetic processes such as inbreeding affecting this species. Thus,
its absolute abundance indicates it is currently able to avoid high
mortality from environmental stochasticity, and mortality of a high
proportion of its population from catastrophic events.
The combination of these characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of one that is currently in danger
of extinction, as described previously in the Risk Analyses section,
and thus does not warrant listing as endangered at this time.
Range-wide, a multitude of conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting A. lokani. However, considering the
global scale of the most important threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at addressing the root cause of
global threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not believe that any
current conservation efforts or conservation efforts planned in the
future will result in affecting the species status to the point at
which listing is not warranted.
Acropora microclados
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
microclados' morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as
plates up to 1 m diameter, with short, uniform, evenly spaced, tapered
branchlets up to 10 mm thick at the base, and taxonomy was described as
having no taxonomic issues but that it is most similar to A.
massawensis, A. lamarcki, and A. macrostoma.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on morphology or taxonomy. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which states that A. microclados
is distinctive, thus we conclude it can be identified by experts, and
that the distribution and abundance information described below for
this species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
microclados' distribution, habitat, and depth range. Acropora
microclados is distributed from the Red Sea, to the central Pacific.
The species has a broad range overall with the 20th largest range of
114 Acropora species. Its habitat is predominantly lower reef crests,
upper reef slopes, and mid-slope terraces, and its depth range is from
five to 20 m.
The public comments provided the following supplemental information
on A. microclados' distribution. One public comment stated that the
species has not been confirmed in the Commonwealth of the Northern
Mariana Islands by expert Richard H. Randall, in contradiction to the
SRR. We gathered supplemental information, including Veron (2014),
which reports that this species is confirmed in 56 of his 133 Indo-
Pacific ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be found in an additional
18. Wallace (1999b) reports its occurrence in 21 of her 29 Indo-Pacific
areas, many of which are larger than Veron's ecoregions. Richards
(2009) calculated the geographic range of A. microclados at 100 million
km\2\. The public comments and information we gathered provided nothing
additional on A. microclados' habitat and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
microclados' abundance. Acropora microclados has been reported as
uncommon. This species is globally widespread, locally restricted, and
locally rare, and thus in the second rarest category of Acropora with
the predicted consequence of local extinction. The public comments did
not provide any new or supplemental information on A. microclados'
abundance. We gathered supplemental information, including Veron
(2014), which reports that A. microclados occupied 15.2 percent of
2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had
a mean abundance rating of 1.51 on a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites
in which it was found. Based on this semi-quantitative system, the
species' abundance was characterized as ``common.'' Overall abundance
was also described as ``usually uncommon.'' Veron did not infer trends
in abundance from these data. As described in the Indo-Pacific Species
Determinations introduction above, based on results from Richards et
al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute abundance of this species is
likely at least tens of millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
microclados, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 33 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus quantitative
inferences to species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years
[[Page 54010]]
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant,
2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring, from a
combination of global and local threats. Given that A. microclados
occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we conclude that
it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100
years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on the
limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
microclados' life history. Acropora microclados is a hermaphroditic
spawner with lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae. The public comments and
information we gathered did not provide anything additional to the
above-described biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. microclados' threat susceptibilities, the SRR and
SIR provided genus-level information for the effects on Acropora of
ocean warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation,
nutrients, and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide
any species-specific information on the effects of these threats on A.
microclados. We interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for A.
microclados' vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming, moderate vulnerabilities to disease, ocean acidification,
trophic effects of fishing, nutrients, and predation, and low
vulnerabilities to sedimentation, sea-level rise, and collection and
trade.
Public comments provided some supplemental information on A.
microclados' threat susceptibilities. One comment stated that A.
microclados is more susceptible to predation than indicated in the
proposed rule because of the overlap in the depth ranges of this
species with crown of thorns starfish. We gathered the following
species-specific and genus-level supplemental information on this
species' threat susceptibilities. Acropora microclados has been rated
as moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching and disease, but this
rating is not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al., 2008).
Supplemental species-specific information is available on the
susceptibility of A. microclados to ocean warming. In a study of ocean
warming of Acropora species on the GBR, A. microclados had low
bleaching susceptibility: of 48 Acropora species, only three species
had no bleaching, including A. microclados (Done et al., 2003b). In a
study of ocean warming of Acropora species in Kimbe Bay, Papua New
Guinea, A. microclados had moderate bleaching susceptibility: of 16
Acropora species, A. microclados had the sixth highest level of
bleaching, with seven percent mortality compared to 40 percent for the
highest species, and was rated ``moderate'' on a scale of severe, high,
moderate, and least (Bonin, 2012). No other species-specific
information is available for the susceptibility of A. microclados to
any other threat. Based on information from other Acropora species
provided in the genus description above, A. microclados may be
susceptible to ocean warming, disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade. Thus, based on the available
species-specific and genus information summarized above, A. microclados
likely has some susceptibility to ocean warming, disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients,
sea-level rise, predation, and collection and trade. The available
information does not support more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of A. microclados to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
microclados. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment
led us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that A. microclados
occurs in 56 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 37 countries' EEZs.
The 37 countries are Australia, China, Comoros Islands, Djibouti,
Egypt, Eritrea, Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji, France (French
Pacific Island Territories), Indonesia, Israel, Japan, Jordan,
Malaysia, Maldives, Marshall Islands, Mauritius, Myanmar, New Zealand
(Cook Islands, Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines,
Samoa, Saudi Arabia, Seychelles, Solomon Islands, Sudan, Taiwan,
Thailand, Tonga, Tuvalu, United Kingdom (British Indian Ocean
Territory, Pitcairn Islands), United States (CNMI, Guam, American
Samoa, PRIAs), Vanuatu, Vietnam, and Yemen. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to A. microclados, described first as the percentage of the
above countries that utilize them to any degree and second, as the
percentages of those countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General coral protection (27 percent
with 5 percent limited in scope), coral collection (62 percent with 30
percent limited in scope), pollution control (46 percent with 8 percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on reefs (89 percent with 16
percent limited in scope), and managing areas for protection and
conservation (95 percent with 11 percent limited in scope). The most
common regulatory mechanisms in place for A. microclados are reef
fishing regulations and area management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and pollution control laws are also
somewhat common for the species, but 30 percent of coral collection
laws are limited in scope and may not provide substantial protection.
General coral protection laws are much less prominent regulatory
mechanisms for the management of A. microclados.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that the high bleaching rate of the Acropora
genus is the primary known threat of extinction for A. microclados. The
threat of extinction may be increased to by its limited local
distribution and uncommon local abundance. The SRR also listed factors
that reduce the threat of extinction including the species' geographic
and depth ranges.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. microclados, in conjunction
with the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section,
Coral Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect
its vulnerability to
[[Page 54011]]
extinction currently and over the foreseeable future. Its geographic
distribution includes most of the coral reef ecoregions in the Indian
Ocean and western and central Pacific Ocean. Its geographic
distribution moderates vulnerability to extinction because some areas
within its range are projected to have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future, including the western Indian
Ocean, the central Pacific, and other areas, so portions of the
population in these areas will be less exposed to severe conditions.
Its depth range is from five to 20 meters. This moderates vulnerability
to extinction over the foreseeable future because deeper areas of its
range will usually have lower irradiance than surface waters, and
acidification is generally predicted to accelerate most in waters that
are deeper and cooler than those in which the species occurs. Its
habitat is predominantly lower reef crests, upper reef slopes, and mid-
slope terraces. This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is not limited to one habitat
type but occurs in numerous types of reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience highly variable thermal regimes
and ocean chemistry at any given point in time. Its absolute abundance
of at least tens of millions of colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and acidification across the species
range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly
severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future will be non-
uniform and therefore will likely be a large number of colonies that
are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at any
given point in time. In addition, two species-specific studies indicate
that, unlike many other Acropora species, A. microclados is not highly
susceptible to warming-induced bleaching, one of the primary threats
identified for corals.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
A. microclados was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and moderate depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
microclados from threatened to not warranted. We made this
determination based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment
of whether this species meets the definition of either a threatened or
endangered coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on A. microclados'
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to be likely to become endangered throughout its
range within the foreseeable future, and thus it is not warranted for
listing at this time, because:
(1) While the species has some susceptibility to bleaching, unlike
most other Acropora species, it does not appear to be highly
susceptible to this threat, as shown by two newly available species-
specific studies;
(2) Acropora microclados' distribution from the Red Sea across the
Indian Ocean and most of the Pacific Ocean includes is spread over a
very large area. While some areas within its range are projected to be
affected by warming and acidification, other areas are projected to
have less than average warming and acidification, including the western
Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and other areas. This distribution
and the heterogeneous habitats it occupies reduce exposure to any given
threat event or adverse condition that does not occur uniformly
throughout the species range. As explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not identified any threat that is expected
to occur uniformly throughout the species range within the foreseeable
future;
(3) Acropora microclados' absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response; and
(4) It is a broadcast spawner and fast grower, enhancing recovery
potential from mortality events, as described in the Corals and Coral
Reefs section above.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and increase in
severity and the species exposure to threats increases throughout its
range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, A.
microclados is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Acropora palmerae
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. palmerae's
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as encrusting with or
without short, irregularly shaped branches. Colonies seldom exceed 1 m
across. There is doubt as to whether A. palmerae is a separate species
or a strong-water form of A. robusta; however, in the absence of
genetic information, the BRT considered it a valid species. A. palmerae
is like the encrusting base of A. robusta, but it has smaller branches,
if any.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on morphology or taxonomy. We gathered supplemental
information, including Wallace (1999b) and Veron (Veron, 2000), who
both considered it a valid species. In addition, Veron (2014) states
that A. palmerae is distinctive, thus we conclude it can be identified
by experts, and that the distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. palmerae's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Acropora palmerae is
distributed from the northern Indian Ocean to the central Indo-Pacific
and central Pacific. The species has a moderate range overall,
[[Page 54012]]
with the 52nd largest range of 114 Acropora species. The SRR and SIR
reported that it occurs in most reef slope and back-reef habitats,
including upper reef slopes, lower reef crests, and reef flats, with a
depth range of five to 20 m. The public comments and information we
gathered provided the following information on A. palmerae's
distribution. One public comment stated that the depth distribution
appears to be restricted to depths of less than 12 m, based on
observations in Guam and reports from elsewhere. We gathered
supplemental information, including observations that the depth range
of A. palmerae in American Samoa is low tide to about 5 m deep, and on
Tinian Island in the Marianas it is from about 2 to 5 m (D. Fenner,
pers. communication). Thus, based on all the available information, A.
palmerae's habitat includes upper reef slopes, mid-slope terraces,
lower reef crests, and reef flats. Based on all the information from
across its range, we consider its depth range to be from two to 20 m
depth. Veron (2014) reports that A. palmerae is confirmed in 42 of his
133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be found in an
additional 17. Wallace (1999b) reports its occurrence in seven of her
29 Indo-Pacific areas, many of which are larger than Veron's
ecoregions. Richards (2009) calculated the geographic range at over 60
million km\2\.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. palmerae's
abundance. Acropora palmerae has been reported as uncommon.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on A. palmerae's abundance. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which reports that A. palmerae
occupied 2.7 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.81 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``uncommon,'' and overall abundance was also described as ``uncommon.''
Veron did not infer trends in abundance from these data. Acropora
palmerae can be abundant within a very narrow depth range in shallow
water (as it is on the west coast of Tinian in the Marianas), which may
be missed in some surveys (D. Fenner, personal comm.). As described in
the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction above, based on
results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at least tens of millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
palmerae, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 39 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 15 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus quantitative
inferences to species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring,
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that A. palmerae
occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we conclude that
it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100
years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on the
limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. palmerae's
life history. Like most other Acropora species, A. palmerae is a
hermaphroditic spawner with lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae. Unlike
most other Acropora species, colonies of A. palmerae can be entirely
encrusting with no branches (or colonies may have short, irregularly-
shaped branches). The public comments and information we gathered did
not provide anything additional to the above-described biological
information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. palmerae's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Acropora of ocean
warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation, nutrients,
and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide any species-
specific information on the effects of these threats on A. palmerae. We
interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure information from the
SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for A. palmerae's vulnerabilities as
follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming, moderate vulnerabilities
to disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of fishing, nutrients,
and predation, and low vulnerabilities to sedimentation, sea-level
rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on A. palmerae's threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following
species-specific and genus-level supplemental information on this
species' threat susceptibilities. Acropora palmerae has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to thermal bleaching and coral
disease, but these ratings are not based on species-specific data
(Carpenter et al., 2008). No other species-specific information is
available for the susceptibility of A. palmerae to any other threat.
Based on information from other Acropora species provided in the genus
description above, A. palmerae is likely highly susceptible to ocean
warming, and also has some susceptibilities to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients,
sea-level rise, predation, and collection and trade. The available
information does not support more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of A. palmerae to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
palmerae. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment led
us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that A. palmerae occurs
in 42 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 28 countries' EEZs. The 28
countries are Australia, China, Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji,
France (French Pacific Island Territories), India (including Andaman
and Nicobar Islands), Indonesia, Japan, Marshall Islands, Mauritius,
Myanmar, New Zealand (Cook Islands, Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Seychelles, Solomon Islands, Sri Lanka,
Taiwan, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Tonga, Tuvalu, United States (CNMI,
Guam, American Samoa, PRIAs), Vanuatu, and Vietnam. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to A. palmerae, described first as the percentage
of the above countries that utilize them, to any degree and second, as
the percentages of those countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General
[[Page 54013]]
coral protection (36 percent with 11 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (57 percent with 29 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (39 percent with 11 percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (96 percent with 11 percent limited in scope), and
managing areas for protection and conservation (96 percent with 4
percent limited in scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. palmerae are reef fishing regulations and area management
for protection and conservation. Coral collection and pollution control
laws are also somewhat common for the species, but 29 percent of coral
collection laws are limited in scope and may not provide substantial
protection. General coral protection laws are much less prominent
regulatory mechanisms for the management of A. palmerae.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that the high bleaching rate of the Acropora
genus is the primary known threat of extinction for A. palmerae. It
listed factors that reduce the threat of extinction including its very
broad geographic range, the fact that it is often common and sometimes
abundant, and the broad range of suitable habitat types for A.
palmerae.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. palmerae, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes most of the coral reef ecoregions
in the Indian Ocean and western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates vulnerability to extinction because
some areas within its range are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification over the foreseeable future, including the
western Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and other areas, so portions
of the population in these areas will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is from the surface to as much as 20
meters. This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable
future because deeper areas of its range will usually have lower
irradiance than surface waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. Its habitat includes upper reef
slopes, mid-slope terraces, lower reef crests, and reef flats in depth
ranging from two to 20 m depth. This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future because the species is not
limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. Reef zones subject to high wave action also experience high
levels of mixing which can dilute adverse environmental conditions. Its
absolute abundance of at least tens of millions of colonies, combined
with spatial variability in ocean warming and acidification across the
species range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because the
increasingly severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future will
be non-uniform and therefore will likely be a large number of colonies
that are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at
any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
A. palmerae was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderately wide distribution (based on moderate
geographic distribution and moderate depth distribution (E); and
inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
palmerae from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on A. palmerae's
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to be likely to become endangered throughout its
range within the foreseeable future, and thus is not warranted for
listing at this time, because:
(1) Acropora palmerae's distribution across the Indian Ocean and
most of the Pacific Ocean is spread over a very large area. While some
areas within its range are projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, other areas are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification, including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas. This distribution and the wide
variety of habitat types it occupies reduce exposure to any given
threat event or adverse condition that does not occur uniformly
throughout the species range. As explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not identified any threat that is expected
to occur uniformly throughout the species range within the foreseeable
future;
(2) Acropora palmerae's absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response; and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast grower, enhancing recovery
potential from mortality events, as described in the Corals and Coral
Reefs section above.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and increase in
severity and the species exposure to threats increases throughout
[[Page 54014]]
its range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, A.
palmerae is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Acropora paniculata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
paniculata's morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as large
plates or tables that are 25 mm thick and frequently greater than 1 m
across, and taxonomy was described as having no taxonomic issues, but
it is quite similar to A. cytherea and similar to A. jacquelineae.
The public comments and information we gathered provided
information on morphology and taxonomy of A. paniculata. One public
comment stated that in Hawaii, colony morphology of A. paniculata
resembles that of A. cytherea, but that A. paniculata occurs at greater
depths than A. cytherea, which opens the possibility of them being the
same species that changes growth forms at different depths. We gathered
supplemental information, including Veron (2014), which states that A.
paniculata is distinctive, thus we conclude it can be identified by
experts, and that the distribution and abundance information described
below for this species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
paniculata's distribution, habitat, and depth range. Acropora
paniculata is distributed from the Red Sea and Indian Ocean to the west
and central Pacific, including within the Mariana Islands. The species
has a moderately broad range, the 40th largest range of 114 Acropora
species. Its habitat includes numerous reef slope and back-reef
habitats, including at least upper reef slopes, mid-slope terraces,
lower reef slopes, and sheltered lagoons, and its depth range is 10 to
35 m.
The public comments and the supplemental information provided the
following information on A. paniculata's distribution. One public
comment stated that occurrence of A. paniculata within the Mariana
Islands has not been confirmed by expert Richard H. Randall, in
contradiction to the SRR. We gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports that A. paniculata is confirmed
in 51 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be
found in an additional 15. Wallace (1999b) reports its occurrence in 19
of her 29 Indo-Pacific areas, many of which are larger than Veron's
ecoregions. Richards (2009) calculated the geographic range at 80
million km\2\. The public comments and information we gathered provided
nothing additional on A. paniculata's habitat and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
paniculata's abundance. Acropora paniculata has been reported as
uncommon to rare (Veron, 2000). Richards (2009) concluded that this
species is globally widespread, locally restricted, and locally rare,
and thus in the second rarest category of Acropora with the predicted
consequence of local extinction.
The public comments and information we gathered provided the
following information on A. paniculata's abundance. One public comment
stated that Fenner's 2005 book Corals of Hawaii notes that in the
Hawaiian Islands, A. paniculata is ``not common,'' which the commenter
argued demonstrates that the species is not rare, at least in Hawaii.
We gathered supplemental information, including observations made in
2014 that A. paniculata is one of the most common corals in the Chagos
Islands in the Indian Ocean, where it has recovered rapidly from the
1998 mass bleaching event (D. Fenner, personal comm.). Veron (2014)
reports that A. paniculata occupied 14.3 percent of 2,984 dive sites
sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance
rating of 1.43 on a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in which it was
found. Based on this semi-quantitative system, the species' abundance
was characterized as ``common,'' and overall abundance was described as
``uncommon.'' Veron did not infer trends in abundance from these data.
As described in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction
above, based on results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014),
the absolute abundance of this species is likely at least tens of
millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
paniculata, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 35 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent in the study. However, as
summarized above in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral
cover trends are highly variable both spatially and temporally,
producing patterns on small scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences to species-specific trends should
be interpreted with caution. At the same time, an extensive body of
literature documents broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to
reef communities dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the
past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al.,
2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of global and local threats. Given
that A. paniculata occurs in many areas affected by these broad
changes, and that it has some susceptibility to both global and local
threats, we conclude that it is likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a precise quantification is not
possible based on the limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
paniculata's life history. Like most other Acropora species, A.
paniculata is a hermaphroditic spawner with lecithotrophic (yolk-sac)
larvae. The public comments and information we gathered did not provide
anything additional to the above-described biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. paniculata's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and
SIR provided genus-level information for the effects on Acropora of
ocean warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation,
nutrients, and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide
any species-specific information on the effects of these threats on A.
paniculata. We interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for A.
paniculata's vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming, moderate vulnerabilities to disease, ocean acidification,
trophic effects of
[[Page 54015]]
fishing, nutrients, and predation, and low vulnerabilities to
sedimentation, sea-level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on A. paniculata's threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following
species-specific and genus-level supplemental information on this
species' threat susceptibilities. Acropora paniculata has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching and disease, but these
ratings are not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). No other species-specific information is available for the
susceptibility of A. paniculata to any other threat. Based on
information from other Acropora species provided in the genus
description above, A. paniculata likely is highly susceptible to ocean
warming, and also has some susceptibility to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients,
sea-level rise, predation, and collection and trade. The available
information does not support more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of A. paniculata to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
paniculata. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment
led us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that A. paniculata
occurs in 51 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 37 countries' EEZs.
The 37 countries are Australia (including Cocos-Keeling Islands),
China, Comoros Islands, Egypt, Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji,
France (French Pacific Island Territories), India (Andaman and Nicobar
Islands), Indonesia, Israel, Japan, Jordan, Kiribati, Madagascar,
Malaysia, Maldives, Marshall Islands, Mauritius, Myanmar, Nauru, New
Zealand (Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Samoa,
Saudi Arabia, Solomon Islands, Sudan, Taiwan, Thailand, Tonga, Tuvalu,
United Kingdom (British Indian Ocean Territory), United States (Hawaii,
American Samoa, PRIAs), Vanuatu, and Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to A. paniculata, described first as the percentage of the
above countries that utilize them to any degree and second, as the
percentages of those countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General coral protection (24 percent
with 3 percent limited in scope), coral collection (59 percent with 30
percent limited in scope), pollution control (43 percent with 8 percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on reefs (89 percent with 22
percent limited in scope), and managing areas for protection and
conservation (95 percent with 11 percent limited in scope). The most
common regulatory mechanisms in place for A. paniculata are reef
fishing regulations and area management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and pollution control laws are also
somewhat common for the species, but 30 percent of coral collection
laws are limited in scope and may not provide substantial protection.
General coral protection laws are much less prominent regulatory
mechanisms for the management of A. paniculata.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that the high bleaching rate of the Acropora
genus is the primary known threat of extinction for A. paniculata. It
listed factors that reduce the threat of extinction including the
moderately wide geographic range, presence in deeper habitats, and
being common in New Guinea though rare elsewhere.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. paniculata, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes most of the coral reef ecoregions
in the Indian Ocean and western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates vulnerability to extinction because
some areas within its range are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification over the foreseeable future, including the
western Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and other areas, so portions
of the population in these areas will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is from 10 to 35 meters. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future because deeper
areas of its range will usually have lower irradiance than surface
waters, and acidification is generally predicted to accelerate most in
waters that are deeper and cooler than those in which the species
occurs. Its habitat includes at least upper reef slopes, mid-slope
terraces, lower reef slopes, and sheltered lagoons. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types
of reef environments that will, on local and regional scales,
experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time. Its absolute abundance of at least tens of
millions of colonies, combined with spatial variability in ocean
warming and acidification across the species range, moderates
vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly severe conditions
expected in the foreseeable future will be non-uniform and therefore
will likely be a large number of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
A. paniculata was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and moderate depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
paniculata from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on A.
[[Page 54016]]
paniculata's spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities,
and management, none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in
combination, are causing this species to be likely to become endangered
throughout its range within the foreseeable future, and thus is not
warranted for listing at this time, because:
(1) Acropora paniculata's distribution from the Red Sea across the
Indian Ocean and most of the Pacific Ocean is spread over a very large
area. While some areas within its range are projected to be affected by
warming and acidification, other areas are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification, including the western Indian Ocean,
the central Pacific, and other areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not occur uniformly throughout the
species range. As explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we
have not identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly
throughout the species range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Acropora paniculata's absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response; and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast grower, enhancing recovery
potential from mortality events as described in the Corals and Coral
Reefs section above.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and increase in
severity and the species exposure to threats increases throughout its
range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, A.
paniculata is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Acropora pharaonis
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. pharaonis'
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as large horizontal
tables or irregular clusters of horizontal or upright interlinked
contorted branches, and taxonomy was described as having no taxonomic
issues but being similar in appearance to Acropora clathrata and
Acropora plumosa.
The public comments did not provide supplemental information on
morphology or taxonomy. We gathered supplemental information, including
that A. pharaonis is recognized as valid by experts (Veron, 2000;
Veron, 2014; Wallace, 1999a). Veron (2014) also states that records of
this species in the Pacific by other authors are likely to be another,
probably undescribed species. However, we conclude the species can be
identified by experts, thus the distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. pharaonis'
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Acropora pharaonis has a
disjoint distribution, being present in the Red Sea and western/
northern Indian Ocean, and areas in the Pacific Ocean. It notes that
IUCN stated that there are doubts about the Pacific records. The
species has the 14th smallest range of 114 Acropora species. Its
habitat includes reef slope and back-reef habitats, including at least
upper reef slopes, mid-slope terraces, and lagoons, and its depth range
is 5 to 25 meters.
The public comments did not provide supplemental information on A.
pharaonis' distribution. We gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports that A. pharaonis is confirmed in
11 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be
found in an additional eight. All 19 of these ecoregions are in the
Indian Ocean. Wallace (1999b) reports its occurrence in six of her 29
Indo-Pacific areas, many of which are larger than Veron's ecoregions,
stating that, ``This unusual species appears to be restricted to the
Red Sea.'' Richards (2009) estimated its range at 1.4 million km\2\.
The public comments and information we gathered provided nothing
additional on A. pharaonis' habitat and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. pharaonis'
abundance. Acropora pharaonis has been reported as common. The public
comments did not provide supplemental information on A. pharaonis'
abundance. We gathered supplemental information, including Veron
(2014), which reports that A. pharaonis occupied 3.6 percent of 2,984
dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean
abundance rating of 1.80 on a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in
which it was found. Based on this semi-quantitative system, the
species' abundance was characterized as ``uncommon.'' Overall abundance
was described as ``common in the Red Sea, uncommon elsewhere.'' Veron
did not infer trends in abundance from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction above, based on
results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at least millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
pharaonis, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 30 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus quantitative
inferences to species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring,
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that A. pharaonis
occurs in areas affected by these broad changes, and has some
susceptibility to both global and local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100 years, but
a precise
[[Page 54017]]
quantification is not possible based on the limited species-specific
information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. pharaonis'
life history. Acropora pharaonis is a hermaphroditic spawner with
lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae. The public comments and information
we gathered did not provide anything additional to the above-described
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. pharaonis' threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Acropora of ocean
warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation, nutrients,
and collection and trade. The SRR also reported that A. pharaonis was
locally extirpated in the SE Arabian Gulf after the combined impacts of
the 1996 and 1998 bleaching events, and that the species is susceptible
to several diseases that affect reproduction including reduced
fecundity. We interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for A. pharaonis'
vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming and
disease, moderate vulnerabilities to ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, nutrients, and predation, and low vulnerabilities
to sedimentation, sea-level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide supplemental information on A.
pharaonis' threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following species-
specific and genus-level supplemental information on this species'
threat susceptibilities. Acropora pharaonis has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching and disease, but these
ratings are not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). No other species-specific information is available for the
susceptibility of A. pharaonis to any other threat. Based on
information from other Acropora species provided in the genus
description above, A. pharaonis likely has high susceptibility ocean
warming, and also likely has some susceptibility to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients,
sea-level rise, and collection and trade. Based on the available
information, high susceptibility to disease (as stated in the proposed
rule for this species) is not supported. The available information does
not support more precise ratings of the susceptibilities of A.
pharaonis to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
pharaonis. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment
led us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that A. pharaonis occurs
in 11 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 21 countries' EEZs. The 21
countries are Bahrain, Djibouti, Egypt, Eritrea, France (French Pacific
Island Territories), India, Iran, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Madagascar,
Maldives, Mauritius, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Seychelles, Somalia, Sri
Lanka, Sudan, United Arab Emirates, and Yemen. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to A. pharaonis, described first as the percentage
of the above countries that utilize them to any degree and second, as
the percentages of those countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General coral protection (29 percent
with 10 percent limited in scope), coral collection (43 percent with
five percent limited in scope), pollution control (52 percent with five
percent limited in scope), fishing regulations on reefs (76 percent
with 24 percent limited in scope), and managing areas for protection
and conservation (71 percent with 14 percent limited in scope). The
most common regulatory mechanisms in place for A. pharaonis are reef
fishing regulations and area management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and pollution control laws are also
somewhat common for the species. General coral protection laws are much
less prominent regulatory mechanisms for the management of A.
pharaonis.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that the high bleaching rate of the Acropora
genus is the primary known threat of extinction for A. pharaonis. This
is exacerbated by its restricted range and the need for protected
habitats. The SRR also listed factors that reduce the threat of
extinction including its moderate depth range (5 m to 25 m) and its
common abundance levels in the Red Sea.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. pharaonis, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes the Red Sea and Arabian Gulf, but
relatively few islands. This exacerbates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because it is restricted a portion of the
Indian Ocean with a limited amount of island and offshore habitat, and
includes areas projected to have the most rapid and severe impacts from
climate change and localized human impacts for coral reefs over the
21st century (i.e., the Red Sea and the Arabian Gulf). Its depth range
of five to 25 meters moderates vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas of its range will usually have
lower irradiance than surface waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. Its habitat includes reef slope and
back-reef habitats, including at least upper reef slopes, mid-slope
terraces, and lagoons. This moderates vulnerability to extinction over
the foreseeable future because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous types of reef environments that
will, on local and regional scales, experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in time. There is not
enough information about its abundance to determine if it moderates or
exacerbates extinction: It is common in the Red Sea, uncommon
elsewhere, and has at least millions of colonies, but the Red Sea and
Arabian Gulf portions of the population are expected to be severely
impacted by threats over the foreseeable future. While depth
distribution and habitat variability moderate vulnerability to
extinction, the combination of its
[[Page 54018]]
geographic distribution and high susceptibility to ocean warming are
likely to be more influential to the status of this species over the
foreseeable future, because of the projected severity of ocean warming
in much of the species' range in the foreseeable future, and its high
susceptibility to this threat.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
A. pharaonis was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E) and disease (C); moderate
vulnerability to acidification (E); common generalized range wide
abundance (E); narrow overall distribution (based on narrow geographic
distribution and moderate depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we confirmed the species' proposed listing
determination as threatened. Based on the best available information
provided above on A. pharaonis' spatial structure, demography, threat
susceptibilities, and management indicate that it is likely to become
endangered throughout its range within the foreseeable future, and thus
still warrants listing as threatened at this time, because:
(1) Acropora pharaonis is highly susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), and susceptible to disease (C), ocean acidification (E),
trophic effects of fishing (A), predation (C), and nutrients (A, E).
These threats are expected to continue and increase into the future. In
addition, existing regulatory mechanisms to address global threats that
contribute to extinction risk for this species are inadequate (D).
(2) Acropora pharaonis' distribution is constrained entirely to the
Red Sea, Arabian Gulf, and western and central Indian Ocean where
projections of ocean warming and local threats (e.g., land-based
sources of pollution) are both frequent and severe over the foreseeable
future compared to other areas of the Indo-Pacific. A range constrained
to a particular geographic area that is likely to experience severe and
worsening threats indicates that a high proportion of the population of
this species is likely to be exposed to those threats over the
foreseeable future; and
(3) Acropora pharaonis suffered documented local extirpation in the
southeast Arabian Gulf after the combined impacts of the 1996 and 1998
bleaching events, providing evidence that this species has already been
severely impacted by ocean warming in some parts of its range.
The combination of these characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates that the species is likely to be in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future throughout its range and
warrants listing as threatened at this time due to factors A, C, D, and
E.
The available information above on A. pharaonis' spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and management also indicate that
the species the species is not currently in danger of extinction and
thus does not warrant listing as Endangered because:
(1) While A. pharaonis' distribution in only the Indian Ocean and
the Middle East, which increases it extinction risk as described above,
its habitat includes sheltered lagoon patch reefs and other shallow
reef environments. This moderates vulnerability to extinction currently
because the species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in
numerous types of reef environments that will, on local and regional
scales, experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry
at any given point in time, as described in more detail in the Coral
Habitat and Threats Evaluation sections. There is no evidence that the
species is so spatially fragmented or geographically constrained that
depensatory processes, environmental stochasticity, or the potential
for catastrophic events currently pose a high risk to the survival of
the species; and
(2) Acropora pharaonis absolute abundance is at least millions of
colonies, which allows for variation in the responses of individuals to
threats to play a role in moderating vulnerability to extinction for
the species to some degree, as described in more detail in the Corals
and Coral Reefs section. There is no evidence of depensatory processes
such as reproductive failure from low density of reproductive
individuals and genetic processes such as inbreeding affecting this
species. Thus, its absolute abundance indicates it is currently able to
avoid high mortality from environmental stochasticity, and mortality of
a high proportion of its population from catastrophic events.
The combination of these characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of one that is currently in danger
of extinction, as described previously in the Risk Analyses section,
and thus does not warrant listing as endangered at this time.
Range-wide, a multitude of conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting A. pharaonis. However, considering
the global scale of the most important threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at addressing the root cause of
global threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not believe that any
current conservation efforts or conservation efforts planned in the
future will result in affecting the species status to the point at
which listing is not warranted.
Acropora polystoma
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
polystoma's morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as
irregular clumps or plates with tapered branches of similar length and
shape, and being similar to A. massawensis and A. polystoma. The
taxonomy was described as not having much uncertainty, except in the
Mariana Islands where specimens previously identified as A. polystoma
may be a different species.
The public comments and information we gathered provided
information on morphology or taxonomy of A. polystoma. One public
comment stated that specimens of A. polystoma in Guam may represent a
different species. We gathered supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which states that A. polystoma is distinctive, thus we
conclude it can be identified by experts, and that the distribution and
abundance information described below for this species is sufficiently
reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
polystoma's distribution, habitat, and depth range. Acropora polystoma
is distributed from the Red Sea to the Indian Ocean to the central
Pacific. The species has the 28th largest range of 114 Acropora
species. Its habitat includes areas exposed to strong wave action,
including upper reef slopes, lower reef crests, reef flats, and other
habitats, and its depth range is three to 10 meters.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on A. polystoma's distribution. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which reports that this species is
confirmed in 48 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional 19. Wallace (1999b) reports its
occurrence in 19 of her 29 Indo-Pacific areas, many of which are
significantly larger than Veron's ecoregions. Richards (2009)
calculated
[[Page 54019]]
the geographic range of A. polystoma at 85 million km\2\. The public
comments and information we gathered provided nothing additional on A.
polystoma's habitat and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
polystoma's abundance. Acropora polystoma has been reported as
uncommon.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on A. polystoma's abundance. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which reports that A. polystoma
occupied 6.7 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.74 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``common.'' Overall abundance was described as ``uncommon.'' Veron did
not infer trends in abundance from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction above, based on
results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at least tens of millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
polystoma, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 35 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent. However, as summarized above
in in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends
are highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns
on small scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus
quantitative inferences to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same time, an extensive body of
literature documents broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to
reef communities dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the
past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al.,
2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of global and local threats. Given
that A. polystoma occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes,
and that it has some susceptibility to both global and local threats,
we conclude that it is likely to have declined in abundance over the
past 50 to 100 years, but a precise quantification is not possible
based on the limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
polystoma's life history. Acropora polystoma is a hermaphroditic
spawner with lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae. The public comments and
information we gathered did not provide anything additional to the
above-described biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. polystoma's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Acropora of ocean
warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation, nutrients,
and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide any species-
specific information on the effects of these threats on A. polystoma.
We interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure information from
the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for A. polystoma's vulnerabilities
as follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming and disease, moderate
vulnerabilities to ocean acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
nutrients, and predation, and low vulnerabilities to sedimentation,
sea-level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on A. polystoma's threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following
species-specific and genus-level supplemental information on this
species' threat susceptibilities. A. polystoma has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching and warming-induced
disease, but these ratings are not based on species-specific data
(Carpenter et al., 2008). No other species-specific information is
available for the susceptibility of A. polystoma to any other threat.
Based on information from other Acropora species provided in the genus
description above, A. polystoma likely has high susceptibility ocean
warming, and also likely has some susceptibilities to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients,
sea-level rise, and collection and trade. Based on the available
information, high susceptibility to disease, as stated in the proposed
rule for this species, is not supported. The available information does
not support more precise ratings of the susceptibilities of A.
polystoma to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
polystoma. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment
led us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that A. polystoma occurs
in 48 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 41 countries' EEZs. The 41
countries are Australia, Brunei, China, Djibouti, Egypt, Eritrea,
Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji, France (French Pacific Island
Territories), India (Andaman and Nicobar Islands), Indonesia, Israel,
Japan, Jordan, Kenya, Madagascar, Malaysia, Maldives, Marshall Islands,
Mauritius, Myanmar, New Zealand (Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Saudi Arabia, Solomon Islands, Sudan,
Taiwan, Tanzania, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Tonga, Tuvalu, United Kingdom
(British Indian Ocean Territory), United States (CNMI, Guam, American
Samoa, PRIAs), Vanuatu, Vietnam, and Yemen. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to A. polystoma, described first as the percentage of the
above countries that utilize them to any degree and second, the
percentages of those countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General coral protection (24 percent
with two percent limited in scope), coral collection (63 percent with
32 percent limited in scope), pollution control (39 percent with seven
percent limited in scope), fishing regulations on reefs (90 percent
with 20 percent limited in scope), and managing areas for protection
and conservation (95 percent with 10 percent limited in scope). The
most common regulatory mechanisms in place for A. polystoma are reef
fishing regulations and area management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and pollution control laws are also
somewhat common for the species, but 32 percent of coral collection
laws are limited in scope and may not provide substantial protection.
General coral protection laws are much less prominent regulatory
mechanisms for the management of A. polystoma.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated
[[Page 54020]]
that the high bleaching rate of the Acropora genus is the primary known
threat of extinction for A. polystoma, which is exacerbated by the
relatively restricted depth range and the uncommon abundance. It listed
factors that reduce the threat of extinction including the wide
geographic range, and the intertidal habitat which may indicate
potentially increased tolerance.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. polystoma, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes most of the coral reef ecoregions
in the Indian Ocean and western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates vulnerability to extinction because
some areas within its range are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification over the foreseeable future, including the
western Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and other areas, so portions
of the population in these areas will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth distribution down to 10 meters may exacerbate the
species exposure to some threats that are more severe in shallower
water. Shallow reef environments can experience frequent changes in
environmental conditions, extremes, high irradiance, and multiple
stressors simultaneously. However, its habitat includes areas exposed
to strong wave action, including upper reef slopes, lower reef crests,
reef flats, and other high energy habitats. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types
of reef environments that will, on local and regional scales,
experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time. In addition, areas of high currents and/or wave
action experience high levels of mixing which can dilute adverse
environmental conditions. Its absolute abundance of at least tens of
millions of colonies, combined with spatial variability in ocean
warming and acidification across the species range, moderates
vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly severe conditions
expected in the foreseeable future will be non-uniform and therefore
will likely be a large number of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
A. polystoma was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderate overall distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and shallow depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
polystoma from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on A. polystoma's
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to be likely to become endangered throughout its
range within the foreseeable future, and thus is not warranted for
listing at this time, because:
(1) Acropora polystoma's distribution across the Red Sea, Indian
Ocean and most of the Pacific Ocean is spread over a very large area.
While some areas within its range are projected to be affected by
warming and acidification, other areas are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification, including the western Indian Ocean,
the central Pacific, and other areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not occur uniformly throughout the
species range. As explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we
have not identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly
throughout the species range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Acropora polystoma's absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response; and
(3) A. polystoma is a broadcast spawner and fast grower, enhancing
recovery potential from mortality events as described in the Corals and
Coral Reefs section above.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future as global threats continue and increase in
severity and the species exposure to threats increases throughout its
range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, A.
polystoma is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Acropora retusa
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. retusa's
morphology and taxonomy. The morphology was described as flat plates
with short thick digitate branchlets and taxonomy was described as
having no taxonomic issues, but it is similar to Acropora branchi,
Acropora gemmifera, and Acropora monticulosa.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on morphology or taxonomy of A.
[[Page 54021]]
retusa. We gathered supplemental information, which indicated that
while there is some taxonomic uncertainty for this species, it is
recognized as valid by experts (Veron, 2000; Wallace, 1999a). Veron
(2014) states that A. retusa is readily confused with other Acropora,
but we conclude it can be identified by experts, and that the
distribution and abundance information described below for this species
is sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. retusa's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Acropora retusa is distributed
from the Red Sea and the Indian Ocean to the central Pacific. The
species has the 52nd largest range of 114 Acropora species. Its habitat
includes shallow reef slope and back-reef areas, such as upper reef
slopes, reef flats, shallow lagoons, and its depth range is one to five
meters.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on A. retusa's distribution. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which reports that this species is
confirmed in 23 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional 21. Wallace (1999b) reports its
occurrence in five of her 29 Indo-Pacific areas, many of which are
larger than Veron's ecoregions. Richards (2009) estimated its range at
68 million km\2\. The public comments and information we gathered
provided nothing additional on A. retusa's habitat and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. retusa's
abundance. Acropora retusa has been reported as common in South Africa
and uncommon elsewhere. The public comments did not provide any new or
supplemental information on A. retusa's abundance. We gathered
supplemental information, including Veron (2014), which reports that A.
retusa occupied 0.5 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.21
on a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on
this semi-quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized
as ``rare.'' Overall abundance was described as ``common in South
Africa, rare elsewhere.'' Veron did not infer trends in abundance from
these data. As described in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results from Richards et al. (2008) and
Veron (2014), the absolute abundance of this species is likely at least
millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
retusa, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 49 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 18 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus quantitative
inferences to species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring,
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that A. retusa
occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we conclude that
it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100
years, but a precise quantification is not possible due to the limited
amount of species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. retusa's
life history. Acropora retusa is a hermaphroditic spawner with
lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae. The public comments and information
we gathered did not provide anything additional to the above-described
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. retusa' threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Acropora of ocean
warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation, nutrients,
and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide any other
species-specific information on the effects of these threats on A.
retusa. We interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for A. retusa's
vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerabilities to disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, nutrients, and predation, and low vulnerabilities
to sedimentation, sea-level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on A. retusa's threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following
species-specific and genus-level supplemental information on this
species' threat susceptibilities. Acropora retusa has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching and disease, but these
ratings are not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). No other species-specific information is available for the
susceptibility of A. retusa to any other threat. Based on information
from other Acropora species provided in the genus description above, A.
retusa is likely highly susceptible to ocean warming, and also likely
has some susceptibilities to disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade. The available information does not
support more precise ratings of the susceptibilities of A. retusa to
the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
retusa. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment led
us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that A. retusa occurs in
23 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 26 countries' EEZs. The 26
countries are Brunei, Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji, France
(French Pacific Island Territories), India, Indonesia, Japan, Kenya,
Madagascar, Malaysia, Mauritius, Mozambique, New Zealand (Cook Islands,
Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Samoa, Seychelles, Solomon
Islands, South Africa, Sri Lanka, Tanzania, Tonga, Tuvalu, United
States (CNMI, Guam, American Samoa), and Vietnam. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to A. retusa, described first as the percentage of
the above countries that utilize them to any degree and second, as the
percentages of those countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General coral protection (19 percent
with eight percent limited in scope), coral collection (58 percent with
35 percent limited in scope), pollution control (38 percent with 12
percent limited in scope), fishing regulations on reefs (96 percent
with 23 percent limited in scope), and managing areas for protection
and conservation (100
[[Page 54022]]
percent with none limited in scope). The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for A. retusa are reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are also somewhat common for the species, but 35
percent of coral collection laws are limited in scope and may not
provide substantial protection. General coral protection laws are much
less prominent regulatory mechanisms for the management of A. retusa.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that the high bleaching rate of the Acropora
genus is the primary known threat of extinction for A. retusa. The
species' rarity adds to its risk of extinction. The SRR also listed
factors that reduce the threat of extinction including its geographic
range and its occurrence in tidal pools (suggesting high physiological
stress tolerance).
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. retusa, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes many coral reef ecoregions in the
Indian Ocean and western and central Pacific Ocean. Its geographic
distribution moderates vulnerability to extinction because some areas
within its range are projected to have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future, including the western Indian
Ocean, the central Pacific, and other areas, so portions of the
population in these areas will be less exposed to severe conditions.
Its depth range of zero to five meters exacerbates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future. Shallow reef areas are often
subjected to highly variable environmental conditions, extremes, high
irradiance, and simultaneous effects from multiple stressors, both
local and global in nature. A species restricted to such shallow depths
is likely to have a high proportion of individuals exposed to higher
levels of irradiance and other threats that are more severe in shallow
habitats. Its habitat includes shallow reef slope and back-reef areas,
such as upper reef slopes, reef flats, and shallow lagoons. While this
generally moderates vulnerability to extinction for most species that
can occupy a diverse set of habitat types, in this case, habitat
heterogeneity likely does not provide much moderation of exposure to
threats because of the shallow depth restriction for this species. Its
absolute abundance of at least millions of colonies, combined with
spatial variability in ocean warming and acidification across the
species range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because the
increasingly severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future will
be non-uniform and therefore will likely be a large number of colonies
that are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at
any given point in time. However, its qualitative abundance is
described as rare, which combined with its restricted depth
distribution indicates it is likely that a high proportion of
individuals will be affected by threats that are typically more severe
in shallow habitats at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the listing determination tool approach,
A. retusa was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderate overall distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and shallow depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we maintain the species' proposed listing
determination as threatened. Based on the best available information
provided above on A. retusa's spatial structure, demography, threat
susceptibilities, and management indicate that it is likely to become
endangered throughout its range within the foreseeable future, and thus
warrants listing as threatened at this time, because:
(1) Acropora retusa is highly susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), and susceptible to disease (C), ocean acidification (E),
trophic effects of fishing (A), predation (C), and nutrients (A, E).
These threats are expected to continue and increase into the future. In
addition, existing regulatory mechanisms addressing global threats that
contribute to extinction risk for this species inadequate (D);
(2) Acropora retusa is restricted to shallow habitat (zero to five
meters), where many global and local threats may be more severe,
especially near populated areas. Shallow reef areas are often subjected
to highly variable environmental conditions, extremes, high irradiance,
and simultaneous effects from multiple stressors, both local and global
in nature. A limited depth range also reduces the absolute area in
which the species may occur throughout its geographic range, and
indicates that a large proportion of the population is likely to be
exposed to threats that are worse in shallow habitats, such as
simultaneously elevated irradiance and seawater temperatures, as well
as localized impacts; and
(3) Acropora retusa's abundance is considered rare overall. This
level of abundance, combined with its restricted depth distribution
where impacts are more severe, leaves the species vulnerable to
becoming of such low abundance within the foreseeable future that it
may be at risk from depensatory processes, environmental stochasticity,
or catastrophic events, as explained in more detail in the Corals and
Coral Reefs and Risk Analyses sections.
The combination of these characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates that the species is likely to be in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future throughout its range and
warrants listing as threatened at this time due to factors A, C, D, and
E.
The available information above on A. retusa's spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and management also indicate that
the species is not currently in danger of extinction and thus does not
warrant listing as Endangered because:
(1) Acropora retusa's distribution from South Africa to the
Pitcairn Islands is spread over a very large area. While some areas
within its range are projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, other areas are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification, including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and
[[Page 54023]]
other areas. This distribution reduces exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not occur uniformly throughout the
species range. As explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we
have not identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly
throughout the species range within the foreseeable future;
(2) While Acropora retusa is limited to shallow depths, which
increases its extinction risk as described above, its geographic range
encompasses heterogeneous habitat, the benefits of which are explained
in detail in the Coral Habitat sub-section above, across almost half of
the coral reef area in the Indo-Pacific, and there is no evidence to
suggest that it is so spatially fragmented that depensatory processes,
environmental stochasticity, or the potential for catastrophic events
currently pose a high risk to the survival of the species; and
(3) While Acropora retusa's qualitative abundance is characterized
as rare, its absolute abundance is at least millions of colonies.
Additionally, A. retusa is considered common in a portion of its range
(South Africa), indicating it is not of such low abundance that
depensatory processes, environmental stochasticity, or the potential
for catastrophic events currently pose a high risk to the survival of
the species.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species does not exhibit the characteristics of one
that is currently in danger of extinction, as described previously in
the Risk Analyses section, and thus does not warrant listing as
endangered at this time.
Range-wide, a multitude of conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting A. retusa. However, considering the
global scale of the most important threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at addressing the root cause of
global threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not believe that any
current conservation efforts or conservation efforts planned in the
future will result in affecting the species status to the point at
which listing is not warranted.
Acropora rudis
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. rudis'
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as arborescent with
large, tapered, prostate branches, reaching a maximum size of 50 cm and
taxonomy was described as having no taxonomic issues but being similar
in appearance to A. hemprichii and A. variolosa.
The public comments and information we gathered provided
information on morphology or taxonomy. One public comment stated that
specimens collected in American Samoa and identified by the American
Samoa Department of Marine and Water Resources as A. rudis appear to be
A. aculeus, thereby illustrating the species identification
uncertainties associated with this species. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which states that A. rudis is
readily confused with Acropora schmitti in shallow habitats, but is
very distinctive otherwise, thus we conclude it can be identified by
experts, and that the distribution and abundance information described
below for this species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. rudis'
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Acropora rudis' distribution
has long been thought by Veron and others to be restricted to the
northeastern Indian Ocean, with recent reports by Fenner suggesting it
may also occur in New Caledonia and the Samoas. The species has the
24th smallest range of 114 Acropora species. Its predominant habitat is
lower reef crests and upper reef slopes in three to 15 m of depth.
The public comments did not provide supplemental information on A.
rudis' distribution. We gathered supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which provides much more detailed range map for this
species than the maps used in the SRR. Veron reports that this species
is confirmed in seven of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional two. Veron (2014) does not show
it in New Caledonia and the Samoas, apparently because he does not
believe there is enough information available to strongly predict its
occurrence there. Wallace (1999b) reports its occurrence in four of her
29 Indo-Pacific areas, many of which are larger than Veron's
ecoregions. Richards (2009) calculated the geographic range of A. rudis
at two million km\2\, which was the 24th smallest range of the 114
Acropora species examined. The public comments and information we
gathered provided nothing additional on A. rudis' habitat and depth
range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. rudis'
abundance. Acropora rudis has been reported as uncommon, however, it
has been noted to comprise as much as half of the Acropora in some
areas.
The public comments did not provide supplemental information on A.
rudis' abundance. We gathered supplemental information, including Veron
(2014), which reports that A. rudis occupied 0.1 percent of 2,984 dive
sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean
abundance rating of 1.25 on a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in
which it was found. Based on this semi-quantitative system, the
species' abundance was characterized as ``rare.'' Overall abundance was
described as ``uncommon.'' Veron did not infer trends in abundance from
these data. Other information indicates that A. rudis can be locally
common, as it has been reported to comprise as much as half of the
Acropora in the area south of the Hikkaduwa Nature Reserve in Sri Lanka
(Rajasuriya, 2002). As described in the Indo-Pacific Species
Determinations introduction above, based on results from Richards et
al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute abundance of this species is
likely at least millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
rudis, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 59 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 22 percent. This estimated decline is
approximately 50 percent higher than most other Indo-Pacific Acropora
species included in the paper, apparently because of the combined
restricted geographic and depth ranges (Carpenter et al., 2008).
However, as summarized above in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section,
live coral cover trends are highly variable both spatially and
temporally, producing patterns on small scales that can be easily taken
out of context, thus quantitative inferences to species-specific trends
should be interpreted with caution. At the same time, an extensive body
of literature documents broad declines in live coral cover and shifts
to reef communities dominated by hardier coral species or algae over
the past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et
al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred,
and are occurring, from a combination of global and local
[[Page 54024]]
threats. Given that A. rudis occurs in many areas affected by these
broad changes, and that it has some susceptibility to both global and
local threats, we conclude that it is likely to have declined in
abundance over the past 50 to 100 years, but a precise quantification
is not possible based on the limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. rudis'
life history. There is no information available on the reproductive
biology of A. rudis, but all other Acropora studied to date are
hermaphroditic broadcast spawners. The public comments and information
we gathered did not provide anything additional to the above-described
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. rudis' threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Acropora of ocean
warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation, and
nutrients. The SRR and SIR did not provide any species-specific
information on the effects of these threats on A. rudis. We interpreted
the threat susceptibility and exposure information from the SRR and SIR
in the proposed rule for A. rudis' vulnerabilities as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming, moderate vulnerabilities to disease,
ocean acidification, trophic effects of fishing, nutrients, and
predation, and low vulnerabilities to sedimentation, sea-level rise,
and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide supplemental information on A.
rudis' threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following species-
specific and genus-level supplemental information on this species'
threat susceptibilities. Acropora rudis has been rated as moderately or
highly susceptible to bleaching and disease, but these ratings are not
based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al., 2008). No other
species-specific information is available for the susceptibility of A.
rudis to any other threat. Based on information from other Acropora
species provided in the genus description above, A. rudis is likely
highly susceptible to ocean warming, and also likely has some
susceptibilities to disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. The available information does not support more
precise ratings of the susceptibilities of A. rudis to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
rudis. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment led us
to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory mechanisms
on a species basis. Records confirm that A. rudis occurs in seven Indo-
Pacific ecoregions that encompass eight countries' EEZs. The eight
countries are Bangladesh, India (Andaman and Nicobar Islands),
Indonesia, Malaysia, Maldives, Myanmar, Sri Lanka, and Thailand. The
regulatory mechanisms relevant to A. rudis, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that utilize them to any degree and
second, as the percentages of those countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as follows: General coral
protection (25 percent with 13 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (38 percent with 13 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (50 percent with 13 percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (100 percent with 25 percent limited in scope),
and managing areas for protection and conservation (88 percent with 13
percent limited in scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. rudis are reef fishing regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral collection and pollution control
laws are also somewhat common for the species. General coral protection
laws are much less common regulatory mechanisms for the management of
A. rudis.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk of A. rudis include the relatively high susceptibility
of the genus Acropora to common threats, and a particularly narrow and
somewhat disjointed biogeographic range with limited latitudinal
extent. They stated that there are no factors that notably reduce the
threat of extinction.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. rudis, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes the Maldives and parts of the
northeastern Indian Ocean. This range exacerbates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future because it is restricted to an
area projected to experience severe climate change and localized
impacts within the foreseeable future. Its depth range is three to 15
meters. On one hand, its depth range may moderate vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future because deeper areas of its
range will usually have lower irradiance than surface waters, and
acidification is generally predicted to accelerate most in waters that
are deeper and cooler than those in which the species occurs. On the
other hand, its depth range may exacerbate vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future if the species occurs predominantly in the
shallower portion of its depth range, since those areas will have
higher irradiance and thus will be more severely affected by warming-
induced bleaching. Its habitat includes lower reef crests and upper
reef slopes. This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because upper reef slopes are physically diverse and
widespread reef areas, thus the species occurs in reef environments
that will, on local and regional scales, experience highly variable
thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in time. It is
rare, but has at least millions of colonies. On one hand, its depth
range may moderate vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable
future because deeper areas of its range will usually have lower
irradiance than surface waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. On the other hand, its depth range
may exacerbate vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
if the species
[[Page 54025]]
occurs predominantly in the shallower portion of its depth range, since
those areas will have higher irradiance and thus will be more severely
affected by warming-induced bleaching. Its absolute abundance of at
least millions of colonies, combined with spatial variability in ocean
warming and acidification across the species range, moderates
vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly severe conditions
expected in the foreseeable future will be non-uniform and therefore
will likely be a large number of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat at any given point in time.
However, its qualitative abundance is described as rare, which combined
with its restricted depth distribution indicates it is likely that a
high proportion of individuals will be affected by threats that are
typically more severe in shallow habitats at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
A. rudis was proposed for listing as endangered because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); narrow overall distribution (based on narrow geographic
distribution and shallow depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
rudis from endangered to threatened. We made this determination based
on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether this
species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered coral
largely in response to public comments, including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity of this species' spatial and
demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats. Thus, based
on the best available information provided above on A. rudis's spatial
structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management indicate
that it is likely to become endangered throughout its range within the
foreseeable future, and thus warrants listing as threatened at this
time, because:
(1) Acropora rudis is highly susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), and susceptible to disease (C), ocean acidification (E),
trophic effects of fishing (A), predation (C), and nutrients (A, E).
These threats are expected to continue and increase into the future. In
addition, existing regulatory mechanisms to address global threats that
contribute to extinction risk for this species are inadequate (D);
(2) Acropora rudis' geographic distribution is restricted to the
Maldives and northeastern Indian Ocean. While coral reefs in this area
are projected to experience climate change effects later than the
average predictions of severe conditions, it is nevertheless projected
to experience severe impacts from combined climate change and localized
human impacts for coral reefs within the foreseeable future. In
addition, its range is constrained to a particular geographic area such
that a high proportion of the population of this species is likely to
be exposed to threats that occur throughout this range over the
foreseeable future; and
(3) While A. rudis' abundance can be locally common, overall it is
considered uncommon or rare, which means it does not possess as much
buffering capacity in the form of variability in response between
individuals or absolute abundance that would be afforded to a more
abundant or common species. Considering the limited range of this
species, this level of abundance leaves the species vulnerable to
becoming of such low abundance within the foreseeable future that it
may be at risk from depensatory processes, environmental stochasticity,
or catastrophic events, as explained in more detail in the Corals and
Coral Reefs and Risk Analyses sections.
The combination of these characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates that the species is likely to be in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future throughout its range and
warrants listing as threatened at this time due to factors A, C, D, and
E.
The available information above on A. rudis' spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and management also indicate that
the species is not currently in danger of extinction and thus does not
warrant listing as Endangered because:
(1) While A. rudis' distribution is restricted to the Maldives and
northeastern Indian Ocean, its habitat is upper reef slopes of fringing
reefs. This moderates vulnerability to extinction currently because the
species occurs in common and variable habitats that are predicted, on
local and regional scales, to experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in time, as described in
more detail in the Coral Habitat and Threats Evaluation sections. There
is no evidence to suggest it is so spatially fragmented that
depensatory processes, environmental stochasticity, or the potential
for catastrophic events currently pose a high risk to the survival of
the species; and
(2) Acropora rudis' abundance is locally common in portions of its
range, it has at least millions of colonies, and there is no evidence
of depensatory processes such as reproductive failure from low density
of reproductive individuals and genetic processes such as inbreeding
affecting this species. Thus, its abundance indicates it is currently
able to avoid high mortality from environmental stochasticity, and
mortality of a high proportion of its population from catastrophic
events;
The combination of these characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of one that is currently in danger
of extinction, as described previously in the Risk Analyses section,
and thus does not warrant listing as endangered at this time.
Range-wide, a multitude of conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting A. rudis. However, considering the
global scale of the most important threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at addressing the root cause of
global threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not believe that any
current conservation efforts or conservation efforts planned in the
future will result in affecting the species status to the point at
which listing is not warranted.
Acropora speciosa
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. speciosa's
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as thick cushions or
bottlebrush branches and taxonomy was described as having no taxonomic
issues but being similar in appearance to A. echinata and A. granulosa.
The public comments did not provide supplemental information on
morphology or taxonomy. We gathered supplemental information, including
by Wallace (1999b), indicating species identification uncertainty for
A. speciosa. However, Veron (2014) states that A. speciosa is
distinctive so we conclude it can be identified by experts and that the
distribution and abundance information described below for this species
is sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. speciosa's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Acropora speciosa is
distributed from Indonesia to French Polynesia. The
[[Page 54026]]
species has the 51st smallest range of 114 Acropora species. It occurs
on lower reef slopes and walls, especially those characterized by clear
water and high Acropora diversity on steep slopes. Its depth range is
12 to 40 meters, and it has been found in mesophotic habitats.
The public comments did not provide supplemental information on A.
speciosa's distribution. We gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports that A. speciosa is confirmed in
26 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be
found in an additional 12. Wallace (1999b) reports its occurrence in 10
of her 29 Indo-Pacific areas, many of which are larger than Veron's
ecoregions. Richards (2009) estimated its range at 20 million km\2\.
The species was tentatively identified in mesophotic assemblages in
American Samoa: ``Shallow, plate-like reefs (more than 50 m) were
comprised mostly of Acropora spp., possibly A. clathrata, A. speciosa,
and A. crateriformis'' (Bare et al., 2010). The public comments and
information we gathered provided nothing additional on A. speciosa's
habitat and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. speciosa's
abundance. Acropora speciosa has been reported as uncommon.
The public comments did not provide supplemental information on A.
speciosa's abundance. We gathered supplemental information, including
Richards et al. (2013b), which concludes that this species is globally
widespread, locally restricted, and locally rare, and thus in the
second rarest category of Acropora with the predicted consequence of
local extinction. Veron (2014) reports that A. speciosa occupied 8.3
percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-
Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.60 on a 1 to 5 rating
scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``common.'' Overall abundance was described as ``usually uncommon.''
Veron did not infer trends in abundance from these data.
Richards et al. (2008) reported that A. speciosa had the ninth
smallest population of the 15 rare Acropora species they studied.
Richards et al. (2008: Appendix 1) gave the total world population of
this species as 10,942 5,471 colonies, and the effective
population size (i.e., a mathematical estimate of the size of the
breeding population) as 1,204 colonies. The calculation of the total
world population of this species was flawed, since the area of 1 km\2\
was given as 1,000 m\2\, when it is actually 1,000,000 m\2\. Thus, the
correct population estimate is 1,000 times greater than stated, or a
total population size of 10,942,000 colonies, and an effective
population size of 1,204,000 colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
speciosa, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 35 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus quantitative
inferences to species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring,
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that A. speciosa
occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and likely has
some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we conclude that
it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100
years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on the
limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. speciosa's
life history. Based on information from other Acropora species, A.
speciosa is most likely a hermaphroditic spawner with lecithotrophic
(yolk-sac) larvae. The public comments and information we gathered did
not provide anything additional to the above-described biological
information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. speciosa's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Acropora of ocean
warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation, and
nutrients. The SRR and SIR did not provide any species-specific
information on the effects of these threats on A. speciosa. We
interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure information from the
SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for A. speciosa's vulnerabilities as
follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming, moderate vulnerabilities
to disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of fishing, nutrients,
and predation, and low vulnerabilities to sedimentation, sea-level
rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide supplemental information on A.
speciosa's threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following species-
specific and genus-level supplemental information on this species'
threat susceptibilities. Acropora speciosa has been rated as moderately
or highly susceptible to bleaching and coral disease, but these ratings
are not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al., 2008). No
other species-specific information is available for the susceptibility
of A. speciosa to any other threat. Based on information from other
Acropora species provided in the genus description above, A. speciosa
likely is highly susceptible to ocean warming, and also likely has some
susceptibility to disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. The available information does not support more
precise ratings of the susceptibilities of A. speciosa to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
speciosa. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment led
us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that A. speciosa occurs
in 26 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 18 countries' EEZs. The 18
countries are Australia, Brunei, China, Federated States of Micronesia,
Fiji, France (French Pacific Island Territories), Indonesia, Malaysia,
Maldives, Marshall Islands, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines,
Solomon Islands, Taiwan, Timor-Leste, United States (PRIAs), and
Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms relevant to A. speciosa, described
first as the percentage of the above countries that utilize them to any
degree and second, as the percentages of those countries whose
regulatory mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (39 percent with none limited in scope), coral
collection (67 percent with 28 percent limited in
[[Page 54027]]
scope), pollution control (50 percent with 17 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (94 percent with 17 percent
limited in scope), and managing areas for protection and conservation
(100 percent with six percent limited in scope). The most common
regulatory mechanisms in place for A. speciosa are reef fishing
regulations and area management for protection and conservation. Coral
collection and pollution control laws are also common for the species,
but 28 percent of coral collection laws are limited in scope and may
not provide substantial protection. General coral protection laws are
less common regulatory mechanisms for the management of A. speciosa.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for A. speciosa include the relatively high
susceptibility of the genus Acropora to common threats. It listed
factors that reduce the threat of extinction for this species including
high local abundance and broad depth range.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. speciosa, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes most of the ecoregions in the
Coral Triangle, the western Pacific, and the GBR, as well as parts of
the Indian Ocean and central Pacific. Its geographic distribution
moderates vulnerability to extinction because some areas within its
range are projected to have less than average warming and acidification
over the foreseeable future, including the central Pacific, so portions
of the population in these areas will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range of 12 to 40 moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future because deeper areas of its
range will usually have lower irradiance than surface waters. However,
while acidification is generally predicted to accelerate more quickly
in waters that are deeper and cooler than those in which the species
occurs, the lower portion of its depth range may be affected by
acidification over the foreseeable future. Its habitat is lower reef
slopes and walls, especially those characterized by clear water and
high Acropora diversity on steep slopes. This specialized habitat may
exacerbate vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is somewhat limited in its habitat, reducing the
buffering capacity of habitat heterogeneity. While the geographic
distribution, depth distribution, and habitat of A. speciosa all may
moderate extinction risk over the foreseeable future, its effective
population size of 1.2 million colonies substantially exacerbate
extinction risk over the foreseeable future, because increasingly
severe conditions are likely to affect a high proportion of its
effective population at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the determination tool formula
approach, A. speciosa was proposed for listing as threatened because
of: High vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate
vulnerability to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon
generalized range wide abundance (E); moderate overall distribution
(based on moderate geographic distribution and moderate depth
distribution (E); and inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we maintain the species' proposed listing
determination as threatened. Based on the best available information
provided above on A. speciosa's spatial structure, demography, threat
susceptibilities, and management indicate that it is likely to become
endangered throughout its range within the foreseeable future, and thus
warrants listing as threatened at this time, because:
(1) Acropora speciosa is highly susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), and susceptible to disease (C), ocean acidification (E),
trophic effects of fishing (A), predation (C), and nutrient enrichment
(A, E). These threats are expected to continue and increase into the
future. In addition, existing regulatory mechanisms to address global
threats that contribute to extinction risk for this species are
inadequate (D);
(2) Although A. speciosa's habitat includes mesophotic depths which
may provide some buffering capacity against threats that are more
severe in shallower reef environments such as warming, its habitat is
quite specialized, which may limit buffering capacity if threats are
more pronounced within the type of habitat where the species occurs
within; and
(3) Acropora speciosa's effective population size of 1.2 million
genetically distinct colonies could increase vulnerability to
extinction if a high proportion of the effective population occurs
within the parts of its range most affected by threats, potentially
causing the species to decline to such low abundance within the
foreseeable future that it may be at risk from depensatory processes,
environmental stochasticity, or catastrophic events.
The combination of these characteristics and projections of future
threats indicates that the species is likely to be in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future throughout its range and
warrants listing as threatened at this time due to factors A, C, D, and
E.
The available information above on A. speciosa's spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and management also indicate that
the species is not currently in danger of extinction and thus does not
warrant listing as Endangered because:
(1) Acropora speciosa lives at depths of at least 40 m, providing
some buffering capacity against threat-induced mortality events that
may be more severe in shallow habitats; and
(2) Acropora speciosa's total population size is estimated at 10.9
million colonies, approximately ten times the size of its effective
population, providing a buffer against the species declining to such
low abundance that depensatory processes, environmental stochasticity,
or the potential for catastrophic events currently pose a high risk to
the survival of the species.
The combination of these characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of one that is currently in danger
of extinction, as described previously in the Risk Analyses section,
and thus does not warrant listing as endangered at this time.
[[Page 54028]]
Range-wide, a multitude of conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting A. speciosa. However, considering
the global scale of the most important threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at addressing the root cause of
global threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not believe that any
current conservation efforts or conservation efforts planned in the
future will result in affecting the species status to the point at
which listing is not warranted.
Acropora striata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. striata's
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as dense thickets
with short cylindrical branches, and taxonomy was described as having
no taxonomic issues but being similar in appearance to A. tumida, A.
sekesiensis, and A. parahemprichii.
The public comments and information we gathered provided
supplemental information on morphology or taxonomy. One public comment
stated that specimens reported as A. striata in Guam differ in colony
form and in other characteristics from the species described as A.
striata in Veron (2000). We gathered supplemental information,
including Wallace (1999b), which provide contradictory information to
Veron (2000) regarding the morphology of this species. Veron (2014)
states that A. striata is easily confused with other Acropora with a
bushy growth form. Although there is uncertainty, we conclude that A.
striata can be identified by experts, and that the distribution and
abundance information described below for this species is sufficiently
reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. striata's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Acropora striata is distributed
from Indonesia to French Polynesia, and possibly to Japan. The species
has the 54th largest range of 114 Acropora species. Its predominant
habitat is upper reef slopes, and it occurs in other shallow habitats
such as mid-slopes and lagoons, and its depth range is at 10 to 25 m.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on A. striata's distribution. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which reports that A. striata is
confirmed in 36 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional 17. Wallace (1999b) reports its
occurrence in 16 of her 29 Indo-Pacific areas, many of which are larger
than Veron's ecoregions. Richards (2009) estimated its range at 50
million km\2\. The public comments and information we gathered provided
nothing additional on A. striata's habitat and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. striata's
abundance. Acropora striata has rare overall abundance but may be
locally dominant in some areas in Japan.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on A. striata's abundance. We gathered supplemental
information, including Richards et al. (2013b), which concludes that
this species is globally widespread, locally widespread, and locally
rare. Veron (2014) reports that A. striata occupied 3.2 percent of
2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had
a mean abundance rating of 1.38 on a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites
in which it was found. Based on this semi-quantitative system, the
species' abundance was characterized as ``uncommon.'' Overall abundance
was described as ``may be locally dominant in Japan, uncommon
elsewhere.'' Veron did not infer trends in abundance from these data.
As described in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction
above, based on results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014),
the absolute abundance of this species is likely at least tens of
millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
striata, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 36 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus quantitative
inferences to species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring,
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that A. striata
occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we conclude that
it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100
years but a precise quantification is not possible due to the limited
amount of species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. striata's
life history. Acropora striata is a hermaphroditic spawner, with larval
development and settlement taking five to 10 days, and larvae remaining
competent for 31 days. The public comments and information we gathered
did not provide anything additional to the above-described biological
information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. striata's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Acropora of ocean
warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation, nutrients,
and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide any species-
specific information on the effects of these threats on A. striata. We
interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure information from the
SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for A. striata's vulnerabilities as
follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming, moderate vulnerabilities
to disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of fishing, nutrients,
and predation, and low vulnerabilities to sedimentation, sea-level
rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on A. striata's threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following
species-specific and genus-level supplemental information on this
species' threat susceptibilities. Acropora striata has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching and disease, but these
ratings are not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). There is no species-specific information for the susceptibility
of A. striata to any threat. Based on information from other Acropora
species provided in the genus description above, A. striata is likely
highly susceptible to ocean warming, and also likely has some
susceptibility to disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, sedimentation,
[[Page 54029]]
nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and trade. The
available information does not support more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of A. striata to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
striata. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment led
us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that A. striata occurs
in 36 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 38 countries' EEZs. The 38
countries are Australia, China, Comoros Islands, Egypt, Federated
States of Micronesia, Fiji, France (French Pacific Island Territories),
Indonesia, Israel, Japan, Jordan, Kenya, Kiribati, Madagascar,
Malaysia, Maldives, Marshall Islands, Mauritius, Myanmar, Nauru, New
Zealand (Cook Islands, Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea,
Philippines, Samoa, Saudi Arabia, Seychelles, Solomon Islands, Sudan,
Taiwan, Tanzania, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Tonga, Tuvalu, United States
(CNMI, Guam, American Samoa, PRIAs), and Vietnam. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to A. striata, described first as the percentage of
the above countries that utilize them to any degree and second, as the
percentages of those countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General coral protection (26 percent
with 3 percent limited in scope), coral collection (58 percent with 26
percent limited in scope), pollution control (45 percent with eight
percent limited in scope), fishing regulations on reefs (89 percent
with 21 percent limited in scope), and managing areas for protection
and conservation (95 percent with eight percent limited in scope). The
most common regulatory mechanisms in place for A. striata are reef
fishing regulations and area management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and pollution control laws are also
somewhat common for the species, but 26 percent of coral collection
laws are limited in scope and may not provide substantial protection.
General coral protection laws are much less prominent regulatory
mechanisms for the management of A. striata.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for A. striata include its locally rare abundance.
Factors that reduce the potential extinction risk A. striata include
its relatively broad global distribution. Subsequent to the proposed
rule, we received and gathered supplemental species- or genus-specific
information, described above, that expands our knowledge regarding the
species abundance, distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We
developed our assessment of the species' vulnerability to extinction
using all the available information. As explained in the Risk Analyses
section, our assessment in this final rule emphasizes the ability of
the species' spatial and demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate
its vulnerability to extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in
the proposed rule, which emphasized the species' susceptibility to
threats.
The following characteristics of A. striata, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes most of the coral reef ecoregions
in the Indian Ocean and western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates vulnerability to extinction because
some areas within its range are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification over the foreseeable future, including the
western Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and other areas, so portions
of the population in these areas will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is from ten to 25 meters. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future because deeper
areas of its range will usually have lower temperatures than surface
waters due to local and micro-habitat variability in environmental
conditions, and acidification is generally predicted to accelerate most
in waters that are deeper and cooler than those in which the species
occurs. Its habitat includes upper reef slopes, mid-slopes and lagoons.
This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in
numerous types of reef environments that will, on local and regional
scales, experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry
at any given point in time. Its absolute abundance of at least tens of
millions of colonies, combined with spatial variability in ocean
warming and acidification across the species range, moderates
vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly severe conditions
expected in the foreseeable future will be non-uniform and therefore
will likely be a large number of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
A. striata was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderate overall distribution (based on moderate
geographic distribution and moderate depth distribution (E); and
inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
striata from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on A. striata's
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to be likely to become endangered throughout its
range within the foreseeable future, and thus it is not warranted for
listing at this time, because:
(1) Acropora striata's distribution across most of the Pacific
Ocean is spread over a very large area. While some areas within its
range are projected to be affected by warming and acidification, other
areas are projected to have less than average warming and
acidification, including the western Indian Ocean, the central Pacific,
and other areas. This distribution and the heterogeneous habitats it
occupies reduce exposure to any given threat event or adverse condition
that does not occur uniformly throughout the species range. As
explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to
[[Page 54030]]
occur uniformly throughout the species range within the foreseeable
future);
(2) Acropora striata's total absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response; and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast grower, enhancing recovery
potential from mortality events as described in the Corals and Coral
Reefs section above.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and increase in
severity and the species exposure to threats increases throughout its
range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, A.
striata is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Acropora tenella
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. tenella's
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as horizontal, platy
colonies with flattened branches, and taxonomy was described as having
no taxonomic issues but being similar in appearance to Acropora
pichoni.
The public comments did not provide supplemental information on
morphology or taxonomy. We gathered supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which states that A. tenella is readily confused with
other flattened, finely branched Acropora. However, the species is
recognized as valid and distinct by experts (Veron, 2000; Wallace,
1999a), so we conclude it can be identified by experts and that the
distribution and abundance information described below for this species
is sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. tenella's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Acropora tenella is distributed
from Japan to Indonesia to New Guinea and the Marshall Islands. The
species has the 43rd smallest range of 114 Acropora species. Its
habitat is lower reef slopes and shelves between 40 and 70 meters, and
it apparently is specialized for calm, deep conditions.
The public comments did not provide supplemental information on A.
tenella's distribution. We gathered supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that A. tenella is confirmed in 18 of his
133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be found in an
additional six. Wallace (1999b) reports its occurrence in six of her 29
Indo-Pacific areas, many of which are larger than Veron's ecoregions.
Richards (2009) estimated its range at 15 million km\2\, which was the
43rd smallest range of 114 Acropora species examined. Acropora tenella
was one of three species that dominated mesophotic reef habitat in
Okinawa between 35 and 47 m depth (Sinniger et al., 2013).
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. tenella's
abundance. Acropora tenella has been reported as locally common in some
locations.
The public comments did not provide supplemental information on A.
tenella's abundance. We gathered supplemental information, including
Richards (2013b), which concludes that this species is globally
widespread, locally restricted, and locally rare, and thus in the
second rarest category of Acropora with the predicted consequence of
local extinction. Veron (2014) reports that A. tenella occupied 0.4
percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-
Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.25 on a 1 to 5 rating
scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``rare,'' and its overall abundance was also described as ``rare.''
Veron did not infer trends in abundance from these data.
Richards et al. (2008) reported that A. tenella had the seventh
lowest population of the 15 rare Acropora species they studied.
Richards et al. (2008) gave the total world population of this species
as about 5207 +/-1606 colonies, and the effective population size
(i.e., a mathematical estimate of the size of the breeding population)
as about 573 colonies (Richards et al., 2008). The calculation of the
total world population of this species was flawed, since the area of 1
km\2\ was given as 1,000 m\2\ (Richards et al., 2008: Appendix 1), when
it is actually 1,000,000 m\2\. Thus, the correct population estimate is
1,000 times greater than stated, or a total population size of
5,207,000 colonies, and an effective population size of 573,000
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
tenella, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 39 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 15 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus quantitative
inferences to species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring,
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that A. tenella
occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we conclude that
it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100
years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on the
limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. tenella's
life history. Based on information from other Acropora species, A.
tenella is most likely a hermaphroditic spawner with lecithotrophic
(yolk-sac) larvae. The public comments and information we gathered did
not provide anything additional to the above-described biological
information.
[[Page 54031]]
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. tenella's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Acropora of ocean
warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation, nutrients,
and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide any species-
specific information on the effects of these threats on A. tenella. We
interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure information from the
SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for A. tenella's vulnerabilities as
follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming, moderate vulnerabilities
to disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of fishing, nutrients,
and predation, and low vulnerabilities to sedimentation, sea-level
rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide supplemental information on A.
tenella's threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following species-
specific and genus-level supplemental information on this species'
threat susceptibilities. Acropora tenella has been rated as moderately
or highly susceptible to bleaching and disease, but these ratings are
not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al., 2008). No other
species-specific information is available for the susceptibility of A.
tenella to any other threat. Based on information from other Acropora
species provided in the genus description above, A. tenella is likely
highly susceptible to ocean warming, and also likely has some
susceptibilities to disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. The available information does not support more
precise ratings of the susceptibilities of A. tenella to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
tenella. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment led
us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that A. tenella occurs
in 18 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 12 countries' EEZs. The 12
countries are Brunei, China, Federated States of Micronesia, Indonesia,
Japan, Marshall Islands, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Taiwan,
United States (PRIAs), and Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms relevant
to A. tenella, described first as the percentage of the above countries
that utilize them to any degree and second, as the percentages of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as
follows: General coral protection (25 percent with none limited in
scope), coral collection (58 percent with 33 percent limited in scope),
pollution control (33 percent with 17 percent limited in scope),
fishing regulations on reefs (92 percent with 17 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for protection and conservation (100 percent
with eight percent limited in scope). The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for A. tenella are reef fishing regulations and
area management for protection and conservation. Coral collection laws
are also somewhat common for the species, but 33 percent of coral
collection laws are limited in scope and may not provide substantial
protection. General coral protection and pollution control laws are
much less prominent regulatory mechanisms for the management of A.
tenella.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that one factor that reduces the potential
extinction risk for this species is its deep depth range, which reduces
exposure to surface-based threats. Subsequent to the proposed rule, we
received and gathered supplemental species- or genus-specific
information, described above, that expands our knowledge regarding the
species abundance, distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We
developed our assessment of the species' vulnerability to extinction
using all the available information. As explained in the Risk Analyses
section, our assessment in this final rule emphasizes the ability of
the species' spatial and demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate
its vulnerability to extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in
the proposed rule, which emphasized the species' susceptibility to
threats.
The following characteristics of A. tenella, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution is limited to the Coral Triangle and parts
of the western equatorial Pacific Ocean. Despite the large number of
islands and environments that are included in the species' range, this
range exacerbates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable
future because it is mostly limited to an area projected to have the
most rapid and severe impacts from climate change and localized human
impacts for coral reefs over the 21st century. Its mesophotic depth
range of 40 to 70 meters moderates vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because of lower irradiance, sharply reducing
warming-induced bleaching. In addition, other threats usually occur at
lower levels at such depths, such as sedimentation resulting from land-
based sources of pollution. However, unlike the other Acropora species
in this final rule, A. tenella's mesophotic habitat may often have
substantially cooler temperatures than the shallower photic zone, and
thus more likely to be affected by increasing acidification over the
foreseeable future. Its habitat consists of lower reef slopes and
shelves spanning 40 to 70 meters of depth, a much different habitat
than the surface and shallow reef habitats occupied by the other
Acropora species in this final rule. Its habitat may moderate
vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future because of
variable conditions at any given point in time. However, its habitat
may exacerbate extinction risk over the foreseeable future because
increasing acidification is expected to vary less spatially at these
depths on coral reefs than in shallower areas on coral reefs. Its
effective population size of approximately half a million colonies,
combined with the location of its range, exacerbates vulnerability to
extinction because increasingly severe conditions within the limited
species range are likely to affect a high proportion of its effective
population at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the determination tool formula
approach, A. tenella was proposed for listing as threatened because of:
High vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate
vulnerability to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon
generalized range wide abundance (E); wide overall distribution (based
on moderate geographic distribution and wide depth distribution, E);
and inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we maintain the species' proposed listing
determination as threatened. Based on the best available information
provided above on A. tenella's spatial structure,
[[Page 54032]]
demography, threat susceptibilities, and management indicate that it is
likely to become endangered throughout its range within the foreseeable
future, and thus warrants listing as threatened at this time, because:
(1) Acropora tenella is highly susceptible to ocean warming (ESA
Factor E), and susceptible to disease (C), ocean acidification (E),
trophic effects of fishing (A), predation (C), and nutrient enrichment
(A, E). These threats are expected to continue and increase into the
future. Although its mesophotic depth distribution may provide some
buffering capacity against threats that are more severe in shallower
reef environments, it may not provide buffering capacity against other
threats for which depth is a less influential factor, like
acidification and disease. In addition, existing regulatory mechanisms
to address global threats that contribute to extinction risk for this
species are inadequate (D);
(2) Acropora tenella's distribution is constrained mostly within
the Coral Triangle and western equatorial Pacific, which is projected
to have the most rapid and severe impacts from climate change and
localized human impacts for coral reefs over the 21st century, as
described in the Threats Evaluation. Multiple ocean warming events have
already occurred within the western equatorial Pacific that suggest
future ocean warming events may be more severe than average in this
part of the world. Although the mesophotic range of the species reduces
the impacts of warming, disease, and localized human impacts, the
species occurs at mesophotic depths where the effects of acidification
are expected to be greater over the foreseeable future than in
shallower areas; and
(3) Acropora tenella's effective population size of 0.5 million
colonies could increase vulnerability to extinction if a high
proportion of the effective population occurs within the parts of its
range most affected by threats, potentially causing the species to
decline to such low abundance within the foreseeable future that it may
be at risk from depensatory processes, environmental stochasticity, or
catastrophic events.
The combination of these characteristics and projections of future
threats indicates that the species is likely to be in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future throughout its range and
warrants listing as threatened at this time due to factors A, C, D, and
E.
The available information above on A. tenella's spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and management also indicate that
the species is not currently in danger of extinction and thus does not
warrant listing as Endangered because:
(1) While Acropora tenella's range is constrained to mesophotic
habitat in the Coral Triangle and western Pacific, its habitat
heterogeneity moderates vulnerability to extinction currently because
of variable conditions at any given point in time. There is no evidence
to suggest that the species is not so spatially fragmented or
geographically constrained that depensatory processes, environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for catastrophic events currently pose
a high risk to the survival of the species; and
(2) Acropora tenella's mesophotic depth distribution provides some
buffering capacity against threats that are more severe in shallower
environments such as nutrient enrichment, sedimentation, and ocean
warming;
(3) Acropora tenella's total population size is estimated at five
million colonies, approximately ten times the size of its effective
population, providing a buffer against the species declining to such
low abundance that depensatory processes, environmental stochasticity,
or the potential for catastrophic events currently pose a high risk to
the survival of the species.
The combination of these characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of one that is currently in danger
of extinction, as described previously in the Risk Analyses section,
and thus does not warrant listing as endangered at this time. Range-
wide, a multitude of conservation efforts are already broadly employed
that are likely benefiting A. tenella. However, considering the global
scale of the most important threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at addressing the root cause of
global threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not believe that any
current conservation efforts or conservation efforts planned in the
future will result in affecting the species status to the point at
which listing is not warranted.
Acropora vaughani
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. vaughani's
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as open-branched,
bushy, arborescent colonies, and the taxonomy was described as having
no taxonomic issues but being similar to A. horrida, A. tortuosa, A.
rufus and A. austera.
The public comments did not provide supplemental information on
morphology or taxonomy. We gathered supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which indicates that A. vaughani is distinctive, thus we
conclude it can be identified by experts, and that the distribution and
abundance information described below for this species is sufficiently
reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. vaughani's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Acropora vaughani is
distributed from the Red Sea to Fiji. The species has the 34th largest
range of 114 Acropora species. It is found in numerous reef slope and
back-reef habitats with turbid water, including but not limited to,
upper reef slopes, mid-slope terraces, lagoons, and adjacent habitats,
and the depth range is from low tide to 20 or 30 meters.
The public comments did not provide supplemental information on A.
vaughani's distribution. We gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), who reports that A. vaughani is confirmed in 59
of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be found
in an additional 13. Wallace (1999b) reports its occurrence in 24 of
her 29 Indo-Pacific areas, many of which are larger than Veron's
ecoregions. Richards (2009) calculated the geographic range of A.
vaughani at over 80 million km\2\. The public comments and information
we gathered provided nothing additional on A. vaughani's habitat and
depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. vaughani's
abundance. Acropora vaughani is reported to be uncommon. The public
comments did not provide supplemental information on A. vaughani's
abundance. We gathered supplemental information, including Richards et
al. (2013b), which conclude from their data that this species is
globally widespread, locally restricted, and locally rare, and thus in
the second rarest category of Acropora with the predicted consequence
of local extinction. Veron (2014) reports that A. vaughani occupied 7.5
percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-
Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.69 on a 1 to 5 rating
scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``common.'' Overall abundance was
[[Page 54033]]
described as ``uncommon.'' Veron did not infer trends in abundance from
these data. As described in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results from Richards et al. (2008) and
Veron (2014), the absolute abundance of this species is likely at least
tens of millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
vaughani, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 35 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus quantitative
inferences to species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring,
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that A. vaughani
occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we conclude that
it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100
years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on the
limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. vaughani's
life history. Acropora vaughani is a hermaphroditic spawner with
lecithotrophic (yolk-sac) larvae. It is one of several Acropora that
achieve reproductive isolation by spawning earlier in the evening than
other species. The public comments and information we gathered did not
provide anything additional to the above-described biological
information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. vaughani's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Acropora of ocean
warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation, nutrients,
and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR also provided species-
specific information reporting that Acropora species including A.
vaughani suffered greater than 90 percent mortality during the 1996 and
1998 bleaching events in the southeastern Arabian Gulf, but that
portions of some A. vaughani survived, contributing to potentially
accelerated recovery. The SRR and SIR did not provide any other
species-specific information on the effects of these threats on A.
vaughani. We interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for A. vaughani's
vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerabilities to disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, nutrients, and predation, and low vulnerabilities
to sedimentation, sea-level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments provided some supplemental information on A.
vaughani's threat susceptibilities. One comment stated that A. vaughani
is more susceptible to predation than indicated in the proposed rule
because of the overlap in the depth ranges of this species with crown
of thorns starfish. We gathered the following species-specific and
genus-level supplemental information on this species' threat
susceptibilities. Acropora vaughani has been rated as moderately or
highly susceptible to bleaching, but this rating is not based on
species-specific data (Carpenter et al., 2008). All Acropora species in
the southeastern Arabian Gulf, including A. vaughani, suffered nearly
complete mortality during the 1996 bleaching event (Riegl, 1999), but
some A. vaughani colonies survived the 1998 mass bleaching event (Riegl
and Piller, 2001). No other species-specific information is available
for the susceptibility of A. vaughani to any other threat. For the
other threats, based on information from other Acropora species
provided in the genus description above, A. vaughani may be susceptible
to the effects of coral disease, ocean acidification, predation,
sedimentation, nutrient enrichment, trophic effects of fishing, sea-
level rise, and collection and trade. Thus, based on the available
species-specific and genus information summarized above, A. vaughani is
likely highly susceptible to ocean warming, and also likely has some
susceptibilities to disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. The available information does not support more
precise ratings of the susceptibilities of A. vaughani to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
vaughani. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment led
us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that A. vaughani occurs
in 59 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 43 countries' EEZs. The 43
countries are Australia, Cambodia, China, Comoros Islands, Djibouti,
Egypt, Eritrea, Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji, France (French
Pacific Island Territories), India (Andaman and Nicobar Islands),
Indonesia, Israel, Japan, Jordan, Kenya, Kiribati, Malaysia, Maldives,
Marshall Islands, Mauritius, Myanmar, New Zealand (Tokelau), Niue,
Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Saudi Arabia, Seychelles,
Solomon Islands, Sri Lanka, Sudan, Taiwan, Tanzania, Thailand, Timor-
Leste, Tonga, Tuvalu, United Kingdom (British Indian Ocean Territory),
United States (CNMI, Guam, American Samoa, PRIAs), Vietnam, and Yemen.
The regulatory mechanisms relevant to A. vaughani, described first as
the percentage of the above countries that utilize them to any degree
and second, as the percentages of those countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as follows: General coral
protection (28 percent with five percent limited in scope), coral
collection (58 percent with 26 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (44 percent with seven percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (91 percent with 19 percent limited in scope), and
managing areas for protection and conservation (95 percent with nine
percent limited in scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. vaughani are reef fishing regulations and area management
for protection and conservation. Coral collection and pollution control
laws are also somewhat common for the species, but 26 percent of coral
collection laws are limited in scope and may not provide substantial
protection. General coral protection laws are much less prominent
regulatory mechanisms for the management of A. vaughani.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat
[[Page 54034]]
susceptibilities, and consideration of the baseline environment and
future projections of threats. The SRR stated that factors that reduce
the potential extinction risk for this species include the broad global
distribution, the wide range of habitats occupied by A. vaughani, its
use in restoration and replantation, and its known recovery after
bleaching events via tissue remnants from within the reef framework.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. vaughani, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes about half of the coral reef
ecoregions in the Indian Ocean and western and central Pacific Ocean.
Its geographic distribution moderates vulnerability to extinction
because some areas within its range are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification over the foreseeable future,
including the western Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and other
areas, so portions of the population in these areas will be less
exposed to severe conditions. Its depth range is from low tide to 20 or
30 meters. This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas of its range will usually have
lower irradiance than surface waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. Its habitat includes turbid upper
reef slopes, mid-slope terraces, lagoons, and adjacent habitats, and
the depth range is from low tide to 20 or 30 meters. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types
of reef environments that will, on local and regional scales,
experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time. Its absolute abundance of at least tens of
millions of colonies, combined with spatial variability in ocean
warming and acidification across the species range, moderates
vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly severe conditions
expected in the foreseeable future will be non-uniform and therefore
will likely be a large number of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the determination tool formula
approach, A. vaughani was proposed for listing as threatened because
of: High vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate
vulnerability to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon
generalized range wide abundance (E); wide overall distribution (based
on wide geographic distribution and moderate depth distribution (E);
and inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
vaughani from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on A. vaughani's
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to be likely to become endangered throughout its
range within the foreseeable future, and thus it is not warranted for
listing at this time, because:
(1) Acropora vaughani's distribution is spread over a very large
area. While some areas within its range are projected to be affected by
warming and acidification, other areas are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification, including the western Indian Ocean,
the central Pacific, and other areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not occur uniformly throughout the
species range. As explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we
have not identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly
throughout the species range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Acropora vaughani's total abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response; and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast grower, enhancing recovery
potential from mortality events as described in the Corals and Coral
Reefs section above.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and worsen in
severity and the species' exposure to the threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, A.
vaughani is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Acropora verweyi
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. verweyi's
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as clumps with
noticeably rounded or bulb-like corallites, and taxonomy was described
as having no taxonomic issues.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on morphology or taxonomy. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014) which states that A. verweyi is
distinctive, thus we conclude it can be identified by experts
[[Page 54035]]
and that the distribution and abundance information described below for
this species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. verweyi's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Acropora verweyi is distributed
from the western Indian Ocean to the central Pacific. The species has
the 16th largest range of 114 Acropora species. Its habitat is
predominantly lower reef crests, upper reef slopes and other high
energy habitats and its depth range is to at least 15 m.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on A. verweyi's distribution. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which reports that A. verweyi is
confirmed in 63 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional 17. Wallace (1999b) reports it
from 17 of her 29 Indo-Pacific areas, many of which are larger than
Veron's ecoregions. Richards (2009) calculated the geographic range of
A. verweyi at over 100 million km\2\. Acropora verweyi occurs in many
different habitats, including fringing reefs with turbid water (Veron,
2000), and shallow reef top and reef edge habitats (Wallace, 1999b).
Acropora verweyi occurs on upper reef slopes, especially those exposed
to wave action or currents (Veron, 2014). Carpenter et al. (2008) give
the depth range for A. verweyi as 2 to 15 meters.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. verweyi's
abundance. Acropora verweyi is generally common, but can be locally
abundant, especially in the western Indian Ocean. The public comments
did not provide any new or supplemental information on A. verweyi's
abundance. We gathered supplemental information, including Richards et
al. (2013b), which concludes that the species is globally widespread,
locally widespread, and locally rare. Veron (2014) reports that A.
verweyi occupied 4.7 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.59
on a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on
this semi-quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized
as ``uncommon.'' Overall abundance was described as ``occasionally
common in the western Indian Ocean.'' Veron did not infer trends in
abundance from these data. As described in the Indo-Pacific Species
Determinations introduction above, based on results from Richards et
al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute abundance of this species is
likely at least tens of millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
verweyi, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 37 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 15 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus quantitative
inferences to species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring,
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that A. verweyi
occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and that it has
some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we conclude that
it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100
years, but a precise quantification is not possible.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. verweyi's
life history. Acropora verweyi is a hermaphroditic spawner that is a
participant in mass broadcast spawning in some localities. The public
comments and information we gathered did not provide anything
additional to the above-described biological information based on the
limited species-specific information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. verweyi's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Acropora of ocean
warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation, nutrients,
and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide any other
species-specific information on the effects of these threats on A.
verweyi. We interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for A. verweyi's
vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerabilities to disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, nutrients, and predation, and low vulnerabilities
to sedimentation, sea-level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on A. verweyi's threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following
species-specific and genus-level supplemental information on this
species' threat susceptibilities. Acropora verweyi has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching and disease, but these
ratings are not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). Acropora verweyi tolerates high temperatures in back-reef pools
on Ofu, American Samoa where corals are more tolerant than elsewhere
due to repeated brief exposure to high temperatures (Craig et al.,
2001), although A. verweyi is not abundant and acroporids still bleach
some in these pools (Fenner and Heron, 2008). Acropora verweyi was
relatively resistant to bleaching in Moorea during the 1991 warming
event (Gleason, 1993). Reduced carbonate concentrations decrease
calcification rates in A. verweyi (Marubini et al., 2003). While the
overall magnitude of calcification was similar to the other coral
species tested, A. verweyi showed reductions in mineral density that
other species did not, potentially making it more susceptible to
bioerosion or breaking from wave action (Marubini et al., 2003). No
other species-specific information is available for the susceptibility
of A. verweyi to any other threat. For the other threats, based on
information from other Acropora species provided in the genus
description above, A. verweyi may be susceptible to the effects of
disease, trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sea-
level rise, predation, and collection and trade. Thus, based on the
available species-specific and genus information summarized above, A.
verweyi is likely to have some susceptibility to ocean warming,
disease, acidification, trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and trade. The
available information does not support more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of A. verweyi to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
verweyi. Criticisms of our approach
[[Page 54036]]
received during public comment led us to the following analysis to
attempt to analyze regulatory mechanisms on a species basis. Records
confirm that A. verweyi occurs in 63 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that
encompass 41 countries' EEZs. The 41 countries are Australia, Cambodia,
China, Comoros Islands, Egypt, Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji,
France (French Pacific Island Territories), Indonesia, Israel, Japan,
Jordan, Kenya, Kiribati, Madagascar, Malaysia, Maldives, Marshall
Islands, Mauritius, Myanmar, Nauru, New Zealand (Cook Islands,
Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Saudi
Arabia, Seychelles, Solomon Islands, Sri Lanka, Sudan, Taiwan,
Tanzania, Thailand, Tonga, Tuvalu, United Kingdom (Pitcairn Islands),
United States (CNMI, Guam, American Samoa, PRIAs), Vanuatu, and
Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms relevant to A. verweyi, described
first as the percentage of the above countries that utilize them to any
degree and second, as the percentages of those countries whose
regulatory mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (27 percent with seven percent limited in scope),
coral collection (56 percent with 29 percent limited in scope),
pollution control (44 percent with seven percent limited in scope),
fishing regulations on reefs (90 percent with 22 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for protection and conservation (95 percent
with 10 percent limited in scope). The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for A. verweyi are reef fishing regulations and
area management for protection and conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are also somewhat common for the species, but 29
percent of coral collection laws are limited in scope and may not
provide substantial protection. General coral protection laws are much
less prominent regulatory mechanisms for the management of A. verweyi.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that the factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for A. verweyi include the relatively high
susceptibility of the genus Acropora to common threats. It listed
factors that reduce the potential extinction risk for A. verweyi
including its very wide latitudinal and longitudinal geographic range,
observations of occasional resistance to thermal stress in shallow
backreef pools, and its relatively common abundance.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. verweyi, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes most of the coral reef ecoregions
in the Indian Ocean and western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates vulnerability to extinction because
some areas within its range are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification over the foreseeable future, including the
western Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and other areas, so portions
of the population in these areas will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is from low tide to at least 15 meters. On
one hand, its depth range may moderate vulnerability to extinction over
the foreseeable future because deeper areas of its range will usually
have lower irradiance than surface waters, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in waters that are deeper and
cooler than those in which the species occurs. On the other hand, its
depth range may exacerbate vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future if the species occurs predominantly in the shallower
portion of its depth range, since those areas will have higher
irradiance and thus be more severely affected by warming-induced
bleaching. Its habitat includes lower reef crests, upper reef slopes
and other high energy habitats. This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future because the species is not
limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. In addition, areas with good circulation experience high levels
of mixing which can dilute adverse environmental conditions. Its
absolute abundance of at least tens to hundreds of millions of
colonies, combined with spatial variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range, moderates vulnerability to
extinction because the increasingly severe conditions expected in the
foreseeable future will be non-uniform and therefore will likely be a
large number of colonies that are either not exposed or do not
negatively respond to a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
A. verweyi was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); common generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderate overall distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and shallow depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
verweyi from threatened to not warranted. No supplemental information
or public comments changed our assessment of the type and severity of
threats affecting A. verweyi. Rather, we made this determination based
on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether this
species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered coral
largely in response to public comments, including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity of this species' spatial and
demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats. Thus, based
on the best available information above on A. verweyi's spatial
structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management, none of
the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are causing this
species to be likely to become endangered throughout its range within
the foreseeable future, and thus it is not warranted for listing at
this time, because:
(1) Acropora verweyi's distribution across the Indian Ocean and
most of the Pacific Ocean is spread over a very large area. While some
areas within its range are projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, other areas are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification, including the western Indian Ocean, the
central
[[Page 54037]]
Pacific, and other areas. This distribution and the heterogeneous
habitats it occupies reduce exposure to any given threat event or
adverse condition that does not occur uniformly throughout the species
range. As explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we have
not identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly
throughout the species range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Acropora verweyi's absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response; and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast grower, enhancing recovery
potential from mortality events as described in the Corals and Coral
Reefs section above.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and increase in
severity and the species exposure to threats increases throughout its
range. Despite its current distribution, A. verweyi is characterized as
uncommon overall, thus its abundance may not provide much buffering
capacity in terms of overall numbers. In addition, A. verweyi showed
reductions in mineral density in response to reduced carbonate
concentrations, potentially making it more susceptible to bioerosion or
breaking from wave action as ocean acidification increases. Should the
species experience reduced abundance or range constriction of a certain
magnitude, the ability of its range to moderate exposure to threats
will diminish. However, the species is not likely to become of such low
abundance or so spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction
due to depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, A.
verweyi is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Genus Anacropora
Genus Introduction
The family Acroporidae includes five genera, Acropora, Montipora,
Astreopora, Isopora, and Anacropora. Anacropora contains seven species,
all occurring in the Indo-Pacific. Like most Acropora species, colonies
of Anacropora species are branching. Unlike Acropora, there is no
corallite on the tip of the branches of Anacropora colonies, a
diagnostic characteristic of Acropora (Veron, 2000). Anacropora is
morphologically like branching Montipora without an encrusting base
(Veron and Wallace, 1985). The SRR and SIR provided the following
genus-level introductory information on Anacropora. Morphologic
taxonomy has been unable to resolve whether Anacropora are recently
derived from Montipora or from Acropora, but genetic evidence supports
the former view.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Anacropora. The bleaching susceptibility
in the genus Anacropora is not well known. In the 1998 bleaching event
in Palau, Anacropora colonies (not identified to species) were
moderately affected relative to other coral genera, with total
mortality of some Anacropora colonies in some limited areas, while
those in other areas were unaffected. This was a major bleaching event,
with 48 percent bleaching overall (all coral species combined), and
bleaching and mortality of different genera and species ranging from
zero to nearly 100 percent (Bruno et al., 2001). With regard to
predation, A. puertogalerae have been reported to be only preyed on by
wrasses in proportion to its availability (Cole et al., 2010). With
regard to sedimentation and nutrients, some Anacropora species appear
resistant to both these threats while others appear susceptible
(Mohammed and Mohammed, 2005). Collection and trade in the genus
Anacropora has been reported to be negligible, with only 14 pieces
reported in export over the last decade (CITES, 2010).
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on the threat susceptibilities of the genus Anacropora. We
gathered supplemental information that provided the following. One
study reported that disease was not found on Anacropora at a site in
Indonesia, while the taxon with the highest prevalence out of 25 taxa
had 8 percent prevalence of disease (Haapkyla et al., 2007).
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the SRR, SIR, public comments, and
information we gathered, we can make the following inferences about the
susceptibilities of an unstudied Anacropora species to ocean warming,
disease, acidification, sedimentation, nutrients, trophic effects of
fishing, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and trade. The SRR
rated ocean warming and disease as ``high'' importance, and ocean
acidification as ``medium-high'' importance, to corals. These were
rated as the three most important threats to reef-building corals
overall. The one available study on the effects of ocean warming on
Anacropora reported variable thermal-induced bleaching within the genus
(Bruno et al., 2001). While there is no other genus-level or species-
specific information on the susceptibilities of Anacropora species to
ocean warming, the SRR rated it as ``high'' importance to corals. Thus,
we conclude that an unstudied Anacropora species has some
susceptibility to ocean warming. Similarly for ocean acidification,
while there is no genus-level or species-specific information on the
susceptibilities of Anacropora species to ocean acidification, the SRR
rated it as ``medium-high'' importance to corals. Thus, we conclude
that an unstudied Anacropora species has some susceptibility to ocean
acidification. The one available study on the effects of disease on
Anacropora reported no disease on Anacropora colonies (Haapkyla et al.,
2007). However, this single study is inadequate to imply susceptibility
level for all Anacropora species, thus we conclude that Anacropora has
some susceptibility to disease.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of fishing as ``medium''
importance, the fourth most important threat to corals overall. This
threat was not addressed at the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level process. That is, removal of
herbivorous fish from coral reef systems by fishing alters trophic
interactions by reducing herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae over coral. Thus, the SRR did
not discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa, as its effects are
difficult to distinguish between coral genera and species. Therefore,
an unstudied Anacropora species is likely to have some susceptibility
to the trophic effects of fishing.
[[Page 54038]]
The SRR rated sedimentation, nutrients, and sea-level rise as
``low-medium'' importance to corals overall. The one available study on
the effects of sedimentation and nutrients (Mohammed and Mohammed,
2005) on Anacropora species suggest either intermediate or variable
susceptibilities. Thus we conclude that an unstudied Anacropora species
has some susceptibility to sedimentation and nutrients. Sea-level rise
was not addressed at the genus or species level in the SRR or SIR.
Increasing sea levels may increase land-based sources of pollution due
to inundation, resulting in changes to coral community structure, thus
an unstudied Anacropora species is likely to have some susceptibility
to sea-level rise. The SRR rated predation and ornamental trade
(referred to in the proposed rule as Collection and Trade) as ``low''
importance to corals overall. The one available study on the effects of
predation (Cole et al., 2010) on Anacropora species suggest either
intermediate or variable susceptibility, thus we conclude that an
unstudied Anacropora species has some susceptibility to predation.
Because the available information suggests that Anacropora species are
lightly collected and traded, an unstudied Anacropora species is likely
to have low susceptibility to collection and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied Anacropora species is likely to have
some susceptibility to ocean warming, disease, ocean acidification,
sedimentation, nutrients, trophic effects of fishing, sea-level rise,
predation, and low susceptibility to collection and trade.
Anacropora puertogalerae
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
puertogalerae's morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as
compact branches, typically less than 13 mm in diameter and tapering,
with thin spines under corallites, and taxonomy was described as having
no taxonomic issues but being similar in appearance to A. spinosa and
A. forbesi.
The public comments and information we gathered did not provide any
new or supplemental information on morphology, and confirmed that there
are no known taxonomic problems for A. puertogalerae, but that there is
a moderate level of species identification uncertainty for this
species. However, the species can be identified by experts (Fenner,
2014b), thus we conclude that the distribution and abundance
information described below for this species is sufficiently reliable
(Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
puertogalerae's distribution, habitat, and depth range. Anacropora
puertogalerae's distribution is the Coral Triangle and western
equatorial Pacific, plus southern Japan to the GBR. Its habitat
includes both coral reef and non-reefal environments, including upper
reef slopes, mid-slopes, and lagoons on reefs, and various substrates
in non-reefal areas. Its depth range as five to at least 20 meters
depth.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on A. puertogalerae's distribution. We gathered
supplemental information, including Veron (2014), which reports that A.
puertogalerae is confirmed in 26 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions,
and strongly predicted to be found in an additional seven.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
puertogalerae's abundance. Anacropora puertogalerae is reported to be
uncommon but can form large thickets in the Philippines.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on A. puertogalerae's abundance. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which states that it is sometimes
a dominant species where it occurs. Veron (2014) reports that A.
puertogalerae occupied 4.6 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 2.02
on a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on
this semi-quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized
as ``uncommon.'' Overall abundance was also described as ``uncommon.''
Veron did not infer trends in abundance from these data. As described
in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction above, based on
results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at least tens of millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
puertogalerae, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 38 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 15 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus quantitative
inferences to species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring,
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that A.
puertogalerae occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and
that it has some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we
conclude that it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past
50 to 100 years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on
the limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
puertogalerae's life history. Anacropora puertogalerae has been
reported to be a simultaneous hermaphrodite and a broadcast spawner.
Clonal structure suggests the species also reproduces by fragmentation.
Larvae contain zooxanthellae that can supplement maternal provisioning
with energy sources provided by their photosynthesis. The public
comments and information we gathered provided no additional biological
information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. puertogalerae's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and
SIR provided genus-level information for the effects on Acropora of
ocean warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation,
nutrients, and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR provided the
following species-specific information on A. puertogalerae's threats.
In a two month study in Kimbe Bay, PNG, it was observed that A.
puertogalerae was only preyed on by wrasses in proportion to its
availability (Cole et al., 2010). The SRR and SIR did not provide any
other species-specific information on the effects of these threats on
A. puertogalerae. We interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for A.
puertogalerae's vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to ocean
[[Page 54039]]
warming, moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean acidification,
trophic effects of fishing, nutrients and predation, and low
vulnerability to sedimentation, sea level rise, predation, and
collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on A. puertogalerae's threat susceptibilities. We gathered the
following species-specific and genus-level supplemental information on
this species' threat susceptibilities. Anacropora puertogalerae has
been rated as moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching and
disease, but these ratings are not based on species-specific data
(Carpenter et al., 2008). Based on the genus and species-specific
information described above, A. puertogalerae likely has some
susceptibility to ocean warming, disease, acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise, and
predation, and low susceptibility to collection and trade. The
available information does not support more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of A. puertogalerae to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
puertogalerae. Criticisms of our approach received during public
comment led us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze
regulatory mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that A.
puertogalerae occurs in 26 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 16
countries' EEZs. The 16 countries are Australia, Brunei, China, Fiji,
France (French Pacific Island Territories), Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia,
Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Solomon Islands, Taiwan, Timor-
Leste, Vanuatu, and Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms relevant to A.
puertogalerae, described first as the percentage of the above countries
that utilize them, to any degree and second, as the percentages of
those countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be limited in scope,
are as follows: General coral protection (38 percent with 6 percent
limited in scope), coral collection (69 percent with 38 percent limited
in scope), pollution control (44 percent with 19 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (100 percent with 19 percent
limited in scope), and managing areas for protection and conservation
(100 percent with none limited in scope). The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for A. puertogalerae are reef fishing regulations
and area management for protection and conservation. Coral collection
and pollution control laws are also somewhat common for the species,
but 38 percent of coral collection laws are limited in scope and may
not provide substantial protection. General coral protection laws are
much less common regulatory mechanisms for the management of A.
puertogalerae.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that ``factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for A. puertogalerae are that the high susceptibility
to threats common to members of the genus Acropora (bleaching, disease,
and predation) are generally considered appropriate to species in the
confamilial genus Anacropora as well.'' It noted that a factor that
reduces potential extinction risk is that A. puertogalerae has a
somewhat broad range.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. puertogalerae, in conjunction
with the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section,
Coral Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect
its vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable
future. Its geographic distribution includes many of the coral reef
ecoregions in the western and central Pacific Ocean; the Coral Triangle
and western equatorial Pacific, plus southern Japan to the GBR. On one
hand, this moderates vulnerability to extinction because the high
latitude areas in the northern and southern portions of its range are
projected to have less than average warming over the foreseeable
future, thus populations in these areas will be less exposed to severe
warming conditions. On the other hand, the species' geographic
distribution exacerbates vulnerability to extinction because much of it
lies within the western equatorial Pacific, an area projected to have
the highest seawater temperatures in the foreseeable future. Its depth
range is from five to at least 20 meters. This moderates vulnerability
to extinction over the foreseeable future because deeper areas of its
range will usually have lower irradiance than surface waters, and
acidification is generally predicted to accelerate most in waters that
are deeper and cooler than those in which the species occurs. Its
habitat includes both coral reef and non-reefal environments, including
upper reef slopes, mid-slopes, and lagoons on reefs, and various
substrates in non-reefal areas. This is particularly important for
moderating vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in
numerous types of reef and non-reef environments that will, on local
and regional scales, experience highly variable thermal regimes and
ocean chemistry at any given point in time. Its absolute abundance of
at least tens of millions of colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and acidification across the species
range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly
severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future will be non-
uniform and therefore will likely be a large number of colonies that
are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at any
given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
A. puertogalerae was proposed for listing as threatened because of:
High vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate
vulnerability to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon
generalized range wide abundance (E); moderate overall distribution
(based on moderate geographic distribution and moderate depth
distribution (E); and inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
puertogalerae from threatened to not warranted. We made this
determination based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment
of whether this species meets the definition of either a threatened or
endangered coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic
[[Page 54040]]
traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats. Thus, based on the best
available information above on A. puertogalerae's spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and management, none of the five
ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are causing this species
to be likely to become endangered throughout its range within the
foreseeable future, and thus is not warranted for listing at this time,
because:
(1) Anacropora puertogalerae's distribution is spread over a very
large area. While some areas within its range are projected to be
affected by warming and acidification, other areas are projected to
have less than average warming, including high latitude areas in both
the northern and southern portions of the species' range. This
distribution and the heterogeneous habitats it occupies reduce exposure
to any given threat event or adverse condition that does not occur
uniformly throughout the species range. As explained above in the
Threats Evaluation section, we have not identified any threat that is
expected to occur uniformly throughout the species range within the
foreseeable future;
(2) Anacropora puertogalerae occurs in very diverse habitats,
including both coral reef and non-reefal habitats so the species will
experience a variety of environmental conditions at any given time; and
(3) Anacropora puertogalerae's absolute abundance is at least tens
of millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and increase in
severity and the species exposure to threats increases throughout its
range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future. Therefore, A. puertogalerae is not
warranted for listing at this time under any of the listing factors.
Anacropora spinosa
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. spinosa's
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as compact branches,
less than 10 mm in diameter and tapering. They have elongate, crowded,
irregular spines that are not strongly tapered, and taxonomy was
described as having no taxonomic issues but being similar in appearance
to Anacropora puertogalerae.
The public comments and information we gathered did not provide
information on morphology, and confirmed that there are no known
taxonomic problems for A. spinosa and that there is a moderate level of
species identification uncertainty for this species. Veron (2014)
states that A. spinosa is easily confused with Anacropora
puertogalerae. However, the species can be identified by experts
(Fenner, 2014b), thus we conclude that the distribution and abundance
information described below for this species is sufficiently reliable
(Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. spinosa's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Anacropora spinosa's
distribution is the Coral Triangle and southern Japan. Its habitat
includes both coral reef and non-reefal environments, including upper
reef slopes, mid-slopes, and lagoons on reefs, and various substrates
in non-reefal areas. Its depth range is five to 15 meters deep.
The public comments provided the following information that a
photograph of A. spinosa that appeared in Veron (2000) was erroneously
attributed to Guam but was actually taken in Palau. We gathered
supplemental information, including Veron (2014), which reports that A.
spinosa is confirmed in 13 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and
strongly predicted to be found in an additional six.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. spinosa's
abundance. Its abundance is reported to be uncommon, but it may occur
in extensive tracts in certain areas.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on A. spinosa's abundance. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which reports that A. spinosa
occupied 1.5 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.84 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``uncommon,'' and overall abundance was described as ``usually
uncommon.'' Veron did not infer trends in abundance from these data. As
described in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction
above, based on results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014),
the absolute abundance of this species is likely at least millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
spinosa, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 58 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 22 percent in the study. However, as
summarized above in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral
cover trends are highly variable both spatially and temporally,
producing patterns on small scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences to species-specific trends should
be interpreted with caution. At the same time, an extensive body of
literature documents broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to
reef communities dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the
past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al.,
2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of global and local threats. Given
that A. spinosa occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes,
and that it has some susceptibility to both global and local threats,
we conclude that it is likely to have declined in abundance over the
past 50 to 100 years, but a precise quantification is not possible
based on the limited species-specific information.
[[Page 54041]]
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. spinosa's
life history: Anacropora spinosa has been reported to be a simultaneous
hermaphrodite that broadcast spawns mature gametes. Planula larvae
contain zooxanthellae that can supplement maternal provisioning with
energy sources provided by their photosynthesis. The public comments
and information we gathered did not provide anything additional to the
above-described biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. spinosa's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Anacropora of ocean
warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation, nutrients,
and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR provided the following
species-specific information on A. spinosa's threats. The only known
export of A. spinosa was a single specimen from Indonesia in 2005. We
interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure information from the
SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for A. spinosa's vulnerabilities as
follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming; moderate vulnerability to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of reef fishing,
nutrients, and predation, and low vulnerability to sedimentation, sea
level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on A. spinosa's threat susceptibilities, but we gathered species-
specific and genus-level supplemental information on this species'
threat exposures. Anacropora spinosa has been rated as moderately or
highly susceptible to bleaching and disease, but these ratings are not
based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al., 2008). No other
species-specific information is available for the susceptibility of A.
spinosa to any other threat.
Based on information provided in the genus description above, A.
spinosa likely has some susceptibilities to ocean warming, disease,
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients,
sea-level rise, predation, and low susceptibility to collection and
trade. The available information does not support more precise ratings
of the susceptibilities of A. spinosa to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
spinosa. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment led
us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that A. spinosa occurs
in 13 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass six countries' EEZs. The
six countries are Indonesia, Japan, Palau, Papua New Guinea,
Philippines, and the Solomon Islands. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to A. spinosa, described first as the percentage of the above
countries that utilize them to any degree and second, as the
percentages of those countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General coral protection (17 percent
with none limited in scope), coral collection (67 percent with 33
percent limited in scope), pollution control (17 percent with 17
percent limited in scope), fishing regulations on reefs (100 percent
with none limited in scope), and managing areas for protection and
conservation (100 percent with none limited in scope). The most common
regulatory mechanisms in place for A. spinosa are reef fishing
regulations and area management for protection and conservation. Coral
collection laws are also somewhat common for the species, but 33
percent of coral collection laws are limited in scope and may not
provide substantial protection. General coral protection and pollution
control laws are much less common regulatory mechanisms for the
management of A. spinosa.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated factors that increase the potential extinction
risk for A. spinosa are that the high susceptibility to threats common
to members of the genus Acropora (bleaching, disease, and predation)
are generally considered appropriate to species in the confamilial
genus Anacropora as well.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. spinosa, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution is limited to the Coral Triangle and
southern Japan. Despite the large number of islands and environments
that are included in the species' range, this range exacerbates
vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future because it is
mostly limited to an area projected to have the most rapid and severe
impacts from climate change and localized human impacts for coral reefs
over the 21st century. Its depth range is five to 15 meters On one
hand, its depth range may moderate vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas of its range will usually have
lower irradiance than surface waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. On the other hand, its depth range
may exacerbate vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
if the species occurs predominantly in the shallower portion of its
depth range, since those areas will have higher irradiance and thus be
more severely affected by warming-induced bleaching. Its habitat
includes upper reef slopes, mid-slopes, and lagoons on reefs, and
various substrates in non-reefal areas. This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future because the species is not
limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types of reef and
non-reef environments that will, on local and regional scales,
experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time. There is not enough information about its
abundance to determine if it moderates or exacerbates extinction: It is
uncommon and has at least millions of colonies, but the great majority
of the population is within an area expected to be severely impacted by
threats over the foreseeable future.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
A. spinosa was proposed for listing as endangered because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
[[Page 54042]]
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to disease (C) and acidification (E);
uncommon generalized range wide abundance (E); narrow overall
distribution (based on narrow geographic distribution and shallow depth
distribution (E); and inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
spinosa from endangered to threatened. We made this determination based
on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether this
species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered coral
largely in response to public comments, including more appropriate
consideration of the buffering capacity of this species' spatial and
demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats. Thus, based
on the best available information provided above on A. spinosa's
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management
indicate that it is likely to become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus warrants listing as threatened
at this time, because:
(1) Anacropora spinosa is likely to be susceptible to ocean warming
(ESA Factor E), disease (C), ocean acidification (E), trophic effects
of fishing (A), nutrients (A, E), and predation (C). In addition,
existing regulatory mechanisms to address global threats that
contribute to extinction risk for this species are inadequate (D); and
(2) Anacropora spinosa's distribution is constrained almost
entirely within the Coral Triangle, which is projected to have the most
rapid and severe impacts from climate change and localized human
impacts for coral reefs over the 21st century, as described in the
Threats Evaluation. Multiple ocean warming events have already occurred
within the western equatorial Pacific that suggest future ocean warming
events may be more severe than average in this part of the world. A
range constrained to this particular geographic area that is likely to
experience severe and increasing threats indicates that a high
proportion of the population of this species is likely to be exposed to
those threats over the foreseeable future.
The combination of these characteristics and projections of future
threats indicates that the species is likely to be in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future throughout its range and
warrants listing as threatened at this time due to factors A, C, D, and
E.
The available information above on A. spinosa's spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and management also indicate that
the species is not currently in danger of extinction and thus does not
warrant listing as Endangered because:
(1) While A. spinosa's distribution is constrained almost entirely
to the Coral Triangle which increases it extinction risk as described
above, its habitat includes shallow reef environments, generally in
clear or slightly turbid water and on soft substrates of lower reef
slopes, and it has also been found in non-reef environments. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction currently because the species is
not limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types of reef
and non-reef environments that will, on local and regional scales,
experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time, as described in more detail in the Coral Habitat
and Threats Evaluation sections. There is no evidence to suggest that
the species is so spatially fragmented that depensatory processes,
environmental stochasticity, or the potential for catastrophic events
currently pose a high risk to the survival of the species; and
(2) Anacropora spinosa's absolute abundance is at least millions of
colonies which allows for variation in the responses of individuals to
threats to play a role in moderating vulnerability to extinction for
the species to some degree, as described in more detail in the Corals
and Coral Reefs section. There is no evidence of depensatory processes
such as reproductive failure from low density of reproductive
individuals and genetic processes such as inbreeding affecting this
species. Thus, its absolute abundance indicates it is currently able to
avoid high mortality from environmental stochasticity, and mortality of
a high proportion of its population from catastrophic events.
The combination of these characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of one that is currently in danger
of extinction, as described previously in the Risk Analyses section,
and thus does not warrant listing as endangered at this time.
Range-wide, a multitude of conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting A. spinosa. However, considering
the global scale of the most important threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at addressing the root cause of
global threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not believe that any
current conservation efforts or conservation efforts planned in the
future will result in affecting the species status to the point at
which listing is not warranted.
Genus Astreopora
Genus Introduction
The family Acroporidae includes five genera, Acropora, Montipora,
Astreopora, Isopora, and Anacropora. Astreopora contains 15 species,
all occurring in the Indo-Pacific (Veron, 2000; Wallace et al., 2011).
Unlike Acropora and Anacropora species, Astreopora colonies are
massive, laminar, or encrusting. The SRR and SIR provided no genus-
level introductory information on Astreopora.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Astreopora. Astreopora species can be
susceptible to bleaching, although overall Astreopora species are less
susceptible to bleaching than other genera within the family
Acroporidae, and often survive when they do bleach. Congeners have
contracted a fungal disease in Kenya, and Astreopora myriophthalma was
infected with black-band disease at a polluted site in Jordan. Trade in
the genus Astreopora has been reported to be light and sporadic.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on the threat susceptibilities of the genus Astreopora, but
the supplemental information provided the following. In Palau in 1998,
Astreopora species had moderate levels of bleaching and moderate
mortality (Bruno et al., 2001). In Kenya in 1998, three quarters of
Astreopora species within marine protected areas were affected by mass
bleaching. Although many Astreopora colonies bleached, none died. Of
the 18 genera included in the study, five genera including Astreopora
had some bleaching but no mortality, and the bleaching index for
Astreopora was the fifth lowest of the 18 genera (McClanahan et al.,
2004; McClanahan et al., 2001). In Thailand in 1998 and 2010, all
colonies of Astreopora myriophthalma completely bleached, but in both
events, all colonies completely recovered (Sutthacheep et al., 2013).
In Mauritius in 2004, the Astreopora genus had the 23rd highest
bleaching rate of the 32 genera recorded, and 12 percent of the highest
value (McClanahan et al., 2005a). In eight countries in the western
Indian Ocean in 1998-2005, the Astreopora genus had the 21st highest
bleaching rate of the 45 genera recorded, and 39 percent of the highest
value (McClanahan et al., 2007a).
[[Page 54043]]
On the GBR, Astreopora species had a very low level of Black Band
Disease occurrence, just two percent the level of this disease found in
Acropora species at the same sites (Page and Willis, 2006). Likewise,
another study from the GBR reported that Astreopora species had low
susceptibility to Skeletal Eroding Band, with a prevalence of 0.1
percent. Skeletal Eroding Band is the most prevalent coral disease on
the GBR (Page and Willis, 2007). In New Caledonia, Astreopora was
reported to have a disease prevalence of 0.5 percent, which was the
fifth highest prevalence of 12 genera reported (Tribollet et al.,
2011). In Indonesia, Astreopora had a disease prevalence of 1.5
percent, which was the 2nd highest reported among 35 taxa (Haapkyla et
al., 2007).
In a study of sediment rejection in 22 coral species (including one
Astreopora species), A. myriophthalma cleared 98 percent of the
sediment within 48 hours, the seventh most efficient of the 22 species
at clearing sediment (Stafford-Smith, 1993). Astreopora species trade
has been reported to be light and sporadic (CITES, 2010). There is no
information available on the effects of any other threat for Astreopora
species.
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make the following inferences about
the susceptibilities of an unstudied Astreopora species to ocean
warming, disease, acidification, sedimentation, nutrients, trophic
effects of fishing, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR rated ocean warming and disease as ``high'' importance,
and ocean acidification as ``medium-high'' importance, to corals. These
were rated as the three most important threats to reef-building corals
overall. The studies cited above on thermal stress in Astreopora report
moderate levels of bleaching in response to warming events, but low
mortality levels. The studies cited above report variable levels of
disease in Astreopora. Thus, we conclude that Astreopora has some
susceptibility to ocean warming and disease. Although there is no
genus-level or species-specific information on the susceptibilities of
Astreopora species to ocean acidification, the SRR rated it as
``medium-high'' importance to corals. Thus, we conclude that an
unstudied Astreopora species has some susceptibility to ocean
acidification.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of fishing as ``medium''
importance, the fourth most important threat to corals overall. This
threat was not addressed at the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level process. That is, removal of
herbivorous fish from coral reef systems by fishing alters trophic
interactions by reducing herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae over coral. Thus, the SRR did
not discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa, as its effects are
difficult to distinguish between coral genera and species. Therefore,
an unstudied Astreopora species is likely to have some susceptibility
to the trophic effects of fishing.
The SRR rated sedimentation, nutrients, and sea-level rise as
``low-medium'' importance to corals overall. The study cited above
reports high sediment rejection efficiency in A. myriophthalma. This
one study is inadequate to rate the susceptibility as low, thus we
conclude that Astreopora has some susceptibility to sedimentation.
Although there is no genus-level or species-specific information on the
susceptibilities of Astreopora species to nutrients, the SRR rated it
as ``low-medium'' importance to corals. Thus, we conclude that an
unstudied Astreopora species has some susceptibility to nutrients. Sea-
level rise was not addressed at the genus or species level in the SRR
or SIR. Increasing sea levels may increase land-based sources of
pollution due to inundation, resulting in changes to coral community
structure, thus an unstudied Astreopora species is likely to have some
susceptibility to sea-level rise. Although there is no genus-level or
species-specific information on the susceptibilities of Astreopora
species to predation, there is no information suggesting they are not
susceptible to these threats. Thus, we conclude that an unstudied
Astreopora species has some susceptibility to predation. The SRR rated
ornamental trade (referred to in the proposed rule as Collection and
Trade) as ``low'' importance to corals overall. Although there is no
other genus-level or species-specific information on the
susceptibilities of Astreopora species to collection and trade, there
is no information suggesting they are not susceptible to these threats.
Thus we conclude that an unstudied Astreopora species is likely to have
some susceptibility to collection and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied Astreopora species is likely to have
some susceptibility to ocean warming, disease, ocean acidification,
trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade.
Astreopora cucullata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
cucullata's morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as thick
or encrusting platy colonies, with inclined corallites, and taxonomy
was described as having no taxonomic issues but being similar to
Astreopora scabra.
The public comments and information we gathered did not provide
information on morphology, and confirmed that there are no known
taxonomic problems for A. cucullata, but that there is a high level of
species identification uncertainty for this species. Veron (Veron,
2014) states that A. cucullata is not readily distinguished from other
Astreopora but Veron (Lamberts, 1980; Lamberts, 1982; Veron, 2000)
considers it a valid species, thus we conclude it is sufficiently
distinctive to be identified by experts, and that the distribution and
abundance information described below for this species is sufficiently
reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
cucullata's distribution, habitat, and depth range. Astreopora
cucullata's distribution is a broad distribution, from the Red Sea and
central Indo-Pacific to the central Pacific. The SRR and SIR described
A. cucullata's habitat as protected reef environments, and the depth
range as five to 15 m. The public comments provided the following
information. One comment stated that A. cucculata was recorded from
Apra Harbor, Guam, but no sample or photo was provided for
confirmation. We gathered supplemental information, including Veron
(2014), which reports that A. cucullata is confirmed in 31 of his 133
Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be found in an
additional 15. Astreopora cucullata occurs in most reef environments
except reef flats (Lamberts, 1980; Lamberts, 1982; Veron, 2000). It has
been reported as ``found only in deep waters at reef edges'' (Lamberts,
1980), and is likely to have a depth range of approximately 3 m to at
least 20 m. Fenner (personal comm.) reports it is on outer reef slopes
in American Samoa. Thus, based on all the available information, A.
cucullata's habitat includes most coral reef habitats, including at
least upper reef slopes, mid-slope terraces, lower reef slopes, lower
reef crests, and lagoons in depths ranging from two to 20 m depth.
[[Page 54044]]
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
cucullata's abundance. Astreopora cucullata is reported as rare. The
SIR reported it is common in parts of its range such as in American
Samoa (Fenner et al., 2008) and Guam (Lamberts, 1982). Astreopora
cucullata was found in 10 of 51 sites (Donnelly et al., 2003) and four
of 39 sites (Turak and DeVantier, 2003) in Indonesian national park
surveys.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on A. cucullata's abundance. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which reports that A. cucullata
occupied 6.8 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.25 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``uncommon,'' and overall abundance was described as ``rare.'' Veron
did not infer trends in abundance from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction above, based on
results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at least tens of millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
cucullata, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 34 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 13 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus quantitative
inferences to species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring,
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that A. cucullata
occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and has some
susceptibility to both global and local threats, we conclude that it is
likely to have declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100 years, but
a precise quantification is not possible based on the limited species-
specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
cucullata's life history. Reproductive characteristics of A. cucullata
have not been determined. However, other species in the Astreopora
genus (Astreopora gracilis, Astreopora myriophthalma, and Astreopora
listeri) are hermaphroditic broadcast spawners. The public comments and
information we gathered provided no additional biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. cucullata's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Astreopora of ocean
warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation, nutrients,
and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR provided the following
species-specific information on A. cucullata's threats. A single A.
cucullata export was reported from Saudi Arabia in 1999. The SRR and
SIR did not provide any other species-specific information on the
effects of these threats on A. cucullata. We interpreted the threat
susceptibility and exposure information from the SRR and SIR in the
proposed rule for A. cucullata's vulnerabilities as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming, moderate vulnerability to disease,
ocean acidification, trophic effects of reef fishing, and nutrients,
and low vulnerability to sedimentation, sea level rise, predation, and
collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on A. cucullata's threats, but we gathered species-specific and genus-
level supplemental information on this species' threat exposures,
susceptibilities, and vulnerabilities. Astreopora cucullata has been
rated as moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching and disease, but
these ratings are not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). No other species-specific information is available for the
susceptibility of A. cucullata to any other threat. Based on the
available genus-level and species information summarized above, A.
cucullata likely has some susceptibilities to ocean warming, disease,
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients,
predation, sea-level rise, and collection and trade. The available
information does not support more precise ratings of susceptibilities
of A. cucullata to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
cucullata. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment
led us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that A. cucullata occurs
in 31 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 30 countries' EEZs. The 30
countries are Australia, Brunei, China, Djibouti, Egypt, Federated
States of Micronesia, Fiji, France (French Pacific Island Territories),
Indonesia, Israel, Jordan, Malaysia, Marshall Islands, Myanmar, New
Zealand (Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Samoa,
Saudi Arabia, Solomon Islands, Sudan, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Tonga,
Tuvalu, United States (American Samoa, Guam), Vietnam, and Yemen. The
regulatory mechanisms relevant to A. cucullata, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that utilize them to any degree and
second, as the percentages of those countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as follows: General coral
protection (23 percent with 0 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (67 percent with 30 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (50 percent with 10 percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (87 percent with 17 percent limited in scope), and
managing areas for protection and conservation (97 percent with 10
percent limited in scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. cucullata are reef fishing regulations and area management
for protection and conservation. Coral collection and pollution control
laws are also somewhat common for the species, but 30 percent of coral
collection laws are limited in scope and may not provide substantial
protection. General coral protection laws are much less common
regulatory mechanisms for the management of A. cucullata.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for A. cucullata are its rarity and that it belongs to
a family that is highly susceptible to stress. It listed factors that
reduce the potential
[[Page 54045]]
extinction risk including a widespread distribution and the fact that
it appears to be less vulnerable to bleaching than other species in its
family.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. cucullata, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes the Red Sea, parts of the western
Indian Ocean, and most of the ecoregions throughout the western and
central Pacific Ocean. Its geographic distribution moderates
vulnerability to extinction because some areas within its range are
projected to have less than average warming and acidification over the
foreseeable future, including the western Indian Ocean, the central
Pacific, and other areas, so portions of the population in these areas
will be less exposed to severe conditions. Its depth range is from two
to 20 meters. This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas of its range will usually have
lower irradiance than surface waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. Its habitat includes at least upper
reef slopes, mid-slope terraces, lower reef slopes, lower reef crests,
and lagoons. This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is not limited to one habitat
type but occurs in numerous types of reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience highly variable thermal regimes
and ocean chemistry at any given point in time. Its absolute abundance
of at least tens of millions of colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and acidification across the species
range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly
severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future will be non-
uniform and therefore will likely be a large number of colonies that
are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at any
given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
A. cucullata was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); common generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderate overall distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and shallow depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
cucullata from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on A. cucullata's
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to be likely to become endangered throughout its
range within the foreseeable future, and thus is not warranted for
listing at this time, because:
(1) Astreopora cucullata's distribution in the Red Sea, central
Indo-Pacific, and the central Pacific Ocean is spread over a very large
area. While some areas within its range are projected to be affected by
warming and acidification, other areas are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification, including the central Pacific, and
other areas. This distribution and the heterogeneous habitats it
occupies reduce exposure to any given threat event or adverse condition
that does not occur uniformly throughout the species range. As
explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly throughout
the species range within the foreseeable future; and
(2) While A. cucullata's qualitative abundance is characterized as
rare, its absolute abundance at least tens of millions of colonies,
providing buffering capacity in the form of absolute numbers of
colonies and variation in susceptibility between individual colonies.
As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section above, the more
colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of colonies that are
likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a particular time, and
all individuals that are exposed will not have the same response.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and increase in
severity and the species exposure to threats increases throughout its
range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, A.
cucullata is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Genus Isopora
Genus Introduction
The family Acroporidae includes five genera, Acropora, Montipora,
Astreopora, Isopora, and Anacropora. Isopora was formerly considered a
sub-genus of Acropora, but was recently elevated to genus level
(Wallace et al., 2007). The genus contains seven species, all occurring
in the Indo-Pacific. Isopora have branching or encrusting colonies. The
SRR and SIR provided no genus-level introductory information on
Isopora.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Isopora. Isopora cuneata has intermediate
bleaching susceptibility relative to other acroporids but showed severe
losses in a 2006 mass bleaching event in the Marshall Islands, with
only shaded bases of colonies surviving. Isopora cuneata was a common
species in the
[[Page 54046]]
Acropora palifera zone of the Chagos, but I. cuneata was nearly
completely eliminated in 1998 and has not yet regenerated. Competition
with algae significantly reduces growth rates of I. cuneata. At high
latitude Lord Howe Island, I. cuneata was found to host five types of C
zooxanthellae, with an ability to host specialized types in turbid
environments. The species is also capable of photo-adapting to low
light environments by increasing zooxanthellae density altering
photosynthetic mechanisms (dark reaction enzymes or electron transport
rates).
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on the threat susceptibilities of the genus Isopora. We
gathered supplemental information that provided the following material.
A large study of the bleaching responses of over 100 coral species on
the GBR to the 2002 bleaching event included three Isopora species
(Done et al., 2003b). At that time, Isopora species were still
considered Acropora species, and they are listed in the report as
Acropora palifera, A. cuneata, and A. brueggemanni, but these three
species are now referred to as Isopora palifera, I. cuneata, and I.
brueggemanni. For I. palifera, approximately 42 percent of the observed
colonies were bleached, resulting in I. palifera being more affected
than 43 of the 45 Acropora species in the study, and one of the 20 most
affected species in the study. For I. cuneata and I. brueggemanni,
approximately 20 percent of the observed colonies for both species were
bleached, an intermediate bleaching level compared to the 45 Acropora
species in the study (Done et al., 2003b). In response to a 2008
bleaching event in Papua New Guinea, two Pocilloporidae and 14
Acroporidae species (including I. brueggemanni) were monitored: five of
the 16 species had severe or high ``relative susceptibility'' to
bleaching, (including I. brueggemanni, which was rated as high). All 29
I. brueggemanni colonies were bleached severely, but none were killed
(Bonin, 2012).
In a study of coral disease on the GBR, approximately one percent
of colonies of observed Isopora were affected by Skeletal Eroding Band,
the most prevalent coral disease on the GBR (Page and Willis, 2007).
Isopora had a disease prevalence of 1% in Indonesia, which was tied for
5th highest among 35 taxa (Haapkyla et al., 2007). Isopora
crateriformis and I. palifera were affected differently by white
diseases in American Samoa: an outbreak resulted in low prevalence in
I. crateriformis, but high prevalence in I. palifera (D. Fenner,
personal comm.). There is no information available on the effects of
any other threat for Isopora species.
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make the following inferences about
the susceptibilities of an unstudied Isopora species to ocean warming,
disease, acidification, sedimentation, nutrients, trophic effects of
fishing, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and trade. The SRR
rated ocean warming and disease as ``high'' importance, and ocean
acidification as ``medium-high'' importance, to corals. These were
rated as the three most important threats to reef-building corals
overall. The studies described above report moderate to high levels of
bleaching in Isopora species in response to warming events. With regard
to disease, the information above indicates variable levels (from low
to high) of disease in Isopora species. Thus, we conclude that Isopora
is likely to be highly susceptible to ocean warming and to have some
susceptibility to disease. Although there is no genus-level or species-
specific information on the susceptibilities of Isopora species to
ocean acidification, the SRR rated it as ``medium-high'' importance to
corals. Thus, we conclude that an unstudied Isopora species has some
susceptibility to ocean acidification.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of fishing as ``medium''
importance, the fourth most important threat to corals overall. This
threat was not addressed at the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level process. That is, removal of
herbivorous fish from coral reef systems by fishing alters trophic
interactions by reducing herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae over coral. Thus, the SRR did
not discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa, as its effects are
difficult to distinguish between coral genera and species. Therefore,
an unstudied Isopora species is likely to have some susceptibility to
the trophic effects of fishing.
The SRR rated sedimentation, nutrients, and sea-level rise as
``low-medium'' importance to corals overall. Although there is no
genus-level or species-specific information on the susceptibilities of
Isopora species to sedimentation or nutrients, the SRR rated them as
``low-medium'' importance to corals. Thus, we conclude that an
unstudied Isopora species has some susceptibility to sedimentation and
nutrients.
Sea-level rise was not addressed at the genus or species level in
the SRR or SIR. Increasing sea levels may increase land-based sources
of pollution due to inundation, resulting in changes to coral community
structure, thus an unstudied Isopora species is likely to have some
susceptibility to sea-level rise. The SRR rated predation and
ornamental trade (referred to in the proposed rule as Collection and
Trade) as ``low'' importance to corals overall. Although there is no
genus-level or species-specific information on the susceptibilities of
Isopora species to collection and trade, there is no information
suggesting they are not susceptible to these threats. Thus, we conclude
that an unstudied Isopora species has some susceptibility to collection
and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied Isopora species is likely to be highly
susceptible to ocean warming, and to have some susceptibility to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and
trade.
Isopora crateriformis
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on I.
crateriformis' morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as
solid encrusting plates sometimes over one meter diameter, and taxonomy
was described as having no taxonomic issues.
The public comments and information we gathered did not provide any
new or supplemental information on morphology, but found that there is
a moderate level of taxonomic uncertainty for I. crateriformis, and
that there is a moderate level of species identification uncertainty
for this species. Veron (2014) states that I. crateriformis is easily
confused with I. cuneata, but Veron (2000; 2014), Wallace (1999b) and
Wallace et al. (2012) continue to consider it a valid species, and it
can be identified by experts (Fenner, 2014b). Thus, the distribution
and abundance information described below for this species is
sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on I.
crateriformis' distribution, habitat, and depth range. Isopora
crateriformis' distribution is from Sumatra (Indonesia) to American
Samoa, and there are reports from the western and central Indian Ocean
that need confirmation.
[[Page 54047]]
The SRR reported that this species is found most commonly in shallow,
high-wave energy environments, from low tide to at least 12 meters
deep, and has been reported from mesophotic depths (<50 m depth). The
SIR reported that I. crateriformis is one of the most common species on
upper reef slopes of southwest Tutuila, American Samoa. Rangewide, its
predominant habitat is reef flats and lower reef crests, and it also
occurs in adjacent habitats such us upper reef slopes.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on the distribution and habitat of I. crateriformis. Isopora
crateriformis is reported from American Samoa (Kenyon et al., 2010).
Veron (2014) reports that I. crateriformis is confirmed in 13 of his
133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and is strongly predicted to be found in
an additional 17. Wallace (1999b) reports its occurrence in three of
her 29 Indo-Pacific areas, many of which are larger than Veron's
ecoregions. Richards et al. (2009) calculated the geographic range of
this species at about 11 million km\2\, the 35th smallest range of the
114 species of Acropora and Isopora that she calculated. Worldwide,
reef flats have a larger area than reef slopes (Vecsei, 2004). Most
coral abundance surveys are carried out only on reef slopes, and thus
may significantly underestimate the abundance of species such as I.
crateriformis that are more common on reef flats than reef slopes.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported I. crateriformis' abundance as sometimes
common and occasionally locally abundant. Isopora crateriformis has
been reported as common in Indonesia (Veron, 2000) and as one of the
most prevalent corals in American Samoa (Birkeland et al., 1987).
Public comments did not provide information on the abundance of I.
crateriformis. We gathered supplemental information, which includes the
following. Richards et al. (2013b) conclude from their data that this
species is globally widespread, locally restricted, and locally rare,
and thus in the second rarest category with the predicted consequence
of local extinction. Veron (2014) reports that I. crateriformis
occupied 0.3 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.4 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``rare.'' Overall abundance was described as ``occasionally common on
reef flats.'' Veron did not infer trends in abundance from these data.
As described in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction
above, based on results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014),
the absolute abundance of this species is likely at least millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For I.
crateriformis, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 38 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus quantitative
inferences of species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring,
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that I.
crateriformis occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and
likely has some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we
conclude that it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past
50 to 100 years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on
the limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on I.
crateriformis' life history. Isopora crateriformis is not prone to
asexual reproduction via fragmentation, based on its semi-encrusting
morphology. Supplemental information we gathered added that, while I.
crateriformis often has a lower plate edge on colonies on slopes,
colonies are very hard and thus unlikely to fragment often (D. Fenner,
personal comm.). Public comments did not provide anything additional to
the above-described biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe I. crateriformis' threat susceptibilities, the SRR and
SIR provided genus-level information for the effects on Isopora of
ocean warming, acidification, disease, sedimentation, nutrients,
predation, and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide
any other species-specific information on the effects of these threats
on I. crateriformis. We interpreted threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for I.
crateriformis' vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming, moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean acidification,
trophic effects of reef fishing, and nutrients, and low vulnerability
to sedimentation, sea level rise, predation, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on I. crateriformis' threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following
species-specific and genus-level supplemental information on this
species' threat susceptibilities. Isopora crateriformis is not rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching or disease, but this
rating is not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al., 2008).
Based on information for the genus Isopora, an unstudied species such
as I. crateriformis can be predicted to have high susceptibility to
ocean warming. Fenner (personal comm.) reports seeing a ``white
disease'' or ``tissue loss'' on I. crateriformis that appeared similar
to white syndrome during a brief disease outbreak in American Samoa,
but prevalence was low. Since only one observation of disease on I.
crateriformis is reported, it is likely that I. crateriformis has some
susceptibility to disease. Based on species-specific and genus-level
information described above, I. crateriformis likely is highly
susceptible to ocean warming and likely has some susceptibility to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and
trade. The available information does not support more precise ratings
of the susceptibilities of I. crateriformis to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for I.
crateriformis. We received criticism of that approach in public
comments and in response we present a species-specific analysis of
regulatory mechanisms in this final rule. Records confirm that I.
crateriformis occurs in 13 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 17
countries' EEZs. The 17 countries are Australia, Brunei, Fiji, France
(French Pacific Island Territories), Indonesia, Kiribati, Malaysia, New
Zealand (Tokelau), Niue, Papua New Guinea,
[[Page 54048]]
Philippines, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Timor-Leste, Tonga, Tuvalu, and
the United States (American Samoa). The regulatory mechanisms relevant
to I. crateriformis, described first as the percentage of the above
countries that utilize them to any degree and second, as the percentage
of those countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be limited in scope,
are as follows: General coral protection (41 percent with none limited
in scope), coral collection (82 percent with 35 percent limited in
scope), pollution control (53 percent with 12 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (100 percent with 24 percent
limited in scope), and managing areas for protection and conservation
(100 percent with none limited in scope). The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for I. crateriformis are reef fishing regulations
and area management for protection and conservation. Coral collection
and pollution control laws are also common for the species, but 35
percent of coral collection laws are limited in scope and may not
provide substantial protection. General coral protection laws are the
least common regulatory mechanisms for the management of I.
crateriformis.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that factors that increase the risk of
extinction were the high susceptibility to threats inferred to be
common to members of the family Acroporidae. It listed factors that
reduce the risk of extinction including its prevalence in areas of
heavy wave action as water motion can reduce bleaching vulnerability.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of I. crateriformis, in conjunction
with the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section,
Coral Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect
its vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable
future. Its geographic range extends from Sumatra (Indonesia) to
American Samoa, and the Philippines to the GBR. On one hand, this
moderates vulnerability to extinction because the central Pacific
portion of its range is projected to have less than average warming
over the foreseeable future, thus population in these areas will be
less exposed to severe warming conditions. On the other hand, the
species' geographic distribution exacerbates vulnerability to
extinction because much of it lies within the western equatorial
Pacific, an area projected to have the highest seawater temperatures in
the foreseeable future. Its depth range is from zero to 12 meters. On
one hand, its depth range may moderate vulnerability to extinction over
the foreseeable future because deeper areas of its range will usually
have lower irradiance than surface waters, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in waters that are deeper and
cooler than those in which the species occurs. On the other hand, its
depth range may exacerbate vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future if the species occurs predominantly in the shallower
portion of its depth range, since those areas will have higher
irradiance and thus be more severely affected by warming-induced
bleaching. Its habitat includes at least reef flats, lower reef crests,
and upper reef slopes. This moderates vulnerability to extinction over
the foreseeable future because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous types of reef environments that
will, on local and regional scales, experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in time. Shallow areas
may experience more frequent changing environmental conditions,
extremes, high irradiance, and multiple simultaneous stressors,
however, high energy environments experience high levels of mixing
which can dilute adverse environmental conditions. Its absolute
abundance of at least millions of colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and acidification across the species
range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly
severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future will be non-
uniform and therefore will likely be a large number of colonies that
are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at any
given point in time. However, its qualitative abundance is described as
rare, which combined with its restricted depth distribution indicates
it is likely that a high proportion of individuals will be affected by
threats that are typically more severe in shallow habitats at any given
point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula, I.
crateriformis was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); common generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderate overall distribution (based on moderate
geographic distribution and moderate depth distribution (E); and
inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we confirmed our listing determination for I.
crateriformis as threatened. Based on the best available information
provided above on I. crateriformis' spatial structure, demography,
threat susceptibilities, and management, it is likely to become
endangered throughout its range within the foreseeable future, and thus
warrants listing as threatened at this time, because:
(1) Isopora crateriformis is highly susceptible to ocean warming
(ESA Factor E), and susceptible to disease (C), acidification (E),
trophic effects of fishing (A), and nutrients (A, E), and predation
(C). In addition, existing regulatory mechanisms to address global
threats that contribute to extinction risk for this species are
inadequate (D);
(2) The majority of Isopora crateriformis' distribution is within
the Coral Triangle and western equatorial Pacific, which is projected
to have the most rapid and severe impacts from climate change and
localized human impacts for coral reefs over the 21st century, as
described in the Threats Evaluation. Multiple ocean warming events have
already occurred within the western equatorial Pacific that suggest
future ocean warming events may be more severe than average in this
part of the world. A range constrained to this particular geographic
area that is likely to experience severe and increasing threats
indicates that a high proportion of the population of this species is
likely to be exposed to those threats over the foreseeable future; and
(3) Isopora crateriformis' qualitative abundance is rare overall.
Considering that much of the range of this species
[[Page 54049]]
includes areas where severe and increasing impacts are predicted, this
level of abundance combined with its restricted depth distribution,
leaves the species vulnerable to becoming of such low abundance within
the foreseeable future that it may be at risk from depensatory
processes, environmental stochasticity, or catastrophic events, as
explained in more detail in the Corals and Coral Reefs and Risk
Analyses sections.
The combination of these biological and environmental
characteristics and future projections of threats indicates that the
species is likely to be in danger of extinction within the foreseeable
future throughout its range and warrants listing as threatened at this
time due to factors A, C, D, and E.
The available information above on I. crateriformis' spatial
structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management also
indicate that the species is not currently in danger of extinction and
thus does not warrant listing as Endangered because:
(1) While I. crateriformis' distribution is mostly in the Coral
Triangle and western equatorial Pacific, which increases it extinction
risk as described above, its habitat includes at least reef flats,
lower reef crests, and upper reef slopes. This moderates vulnerability
to extinction currently because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous types of reef environments that
will, on local and regional scales, experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in time, as described in
more detail in the Coral Habitat and Threats Evaluation sections.
(2) While I. crateriformis' depth range is primarily restricted to
shallow habitats from zero to 12 meters, it has been reported from 50
meters in American Samoa. This moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because there may be depth refugia for I.
crateriformis in some parts of its range from threats that are
typically more severe in shallow habitats.
(3) Even though this species is considered rare, the absolute
abundance of I. crateriformis is at least millions of colonies. In
addition, it is ``occasionally common on reef flats,'' a habitat type
that has larger area than reef slopes. There is no evidence of
depensatory processes such as reproductive failure from low density of
reproductive individuals and genetic processes such as inbreeding
affecting this species. Thus, its absolute abundance indicates it is
currently able to avoid high mortality from environmental
stochasticity, and mortality of a high proportion of its population
from catastrophic events.
The combination of these biological and environmental
characteristics indicates that the species does not exhibit the
characteristics of one that is currently in danger of extinction, as
described previously in the Risk Analyses section, and thus does not
warrant listing as endangered at this time.
Range-wide, a multitude of conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting I. crateriformis. However,
considering the global scale of the most important threats to the
species, and the ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at addressing
the root cause of global threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not
believe that any current conservation efforts or conservation efforts
planned in the future will result in affecting the species status to
the point at which listing is not warranted.
Isopora cuneata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on I. cuneata's
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as sometimes
flattened solid encrusting plates like Isopora crateriformis, but
usually also forms ``Mohawk'' ridges parallel to the main wave motion
or short flattened blades. Taxonomy was described as having no
taxonomic issues.
Public comments and information we gathered provided the following
information on the morphology or taxonomy of I. cuneata. Isopora
cuneata has moderate taxonomic uncertainty, and moderate species
identification uncertainty (Fenner, 2014b). Veron (2014) states that I.
cuneata is easily confused with I. palifera which it closely resembles,
but Veron (2000; 2014), Wallace (1999a) and Wallace et al. (2012)
continue to consider it a valid species, and it can be identified by
experts (Fenner, 2014b). Thus, we conclude that the distribution and
abundance information described below for this species is sufficiently
reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on I. cuneata's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Isopora cuneata's distribution
is from the east coast of Africa to the central Pacific. One expert
source does not recognize records from east Africa (Riegl, 1995), and
the SRR questions whether they should be checked. The SRR reported that
I. cuneata's habitat is shallow, high wave-energy environments. Its
predominant habitat is high energy environments such as lower reef
crests and reef flats, but it is also found in upper reef slopes,
lagoons, and adjacent habitats. Its depth range is low tide to 15
meters deep.
Public comments provided the following information. One public
comment stated that I. cuneata is widely distributed in Indonesian
waters. We gathered supplemental information, including Veron (2014)
which reports that I. cuneata is confirmed in 43 of his 133 Indo-
Pacific ecoregions, and is strongly predicted to be found in an
additional nine. Wallace (1999b) reports it from 11 of her 29 Indo-
Pacific areas, many of which are larger than Veron's ecoregions.
Richards et al. (2009) calculated the geographic range of I. cuneata at
27 million km\2\, which was the 45th smallest among the 114 Acropora
species for which ranges were calculated.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported I. cuneata's abundance as generally
common, occasionally locally abundant, and by far the most predominant
of acroporids on some areas of the Great Barrier Reef.
Public comments provided the following information. One public
comment stated that I. cuneata is very abundant in all Indonesian
waters. We gathered supplemental information which included the
following. Worldwide, reef flats have a larger area than reef slopes
(Vecsei, 2004). Most coral abundance surveys are carried out only on
reef slopes, and thus may significantly underestimate the abundance of
species such as I. cuneata that are more common on reef flats and
crests than reef slopes. Richards et al. (2013b) consider this to be a
species that is globally widespread, locally restricted, and locally
rare, and thus in the second rarest category with the predicted
consequence of local extinction. Veron (2014) reports that I. cuneata
occupied 5.1 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.76 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``uncommon.'' Overall abundance was described as ``uncommon.'' Veron
did not infer trends in abundance from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction above, based on
results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this
[[Page 54050]]
species is likely at least tens of millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For I.
cuneata, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 37 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 15 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus quantitative
inferences of species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring,
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that I. cuneata
occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and likely has
some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we conclude that
it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100
years, but a precise quantification is not possible due to the limited
species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on I. cuneata's
life history. Isopora cuneata is a simultaneous hermaphroditic brooder.
Larvae lack zooxanthellae, and in some areas the species can undergo
several seasonal cycles of larval production. Its brooding life history
allows Isopora species to locally dominate recruitment at Lord Howe
Island, Australia; colonies of this genus also dominate the adult
population there, suggesting brooding may drive community structure in
remote areas. Isopora cuneata is not prone to asexual reproduction via
fragmentation, based on its semi-encrusting morphology. The species
shows moderate gene flow but little potential for large-scale
dispersal. Public comments and information we gathered did not provide
anything additional to the above-described biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe I. cuneata's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Isopora of ocean
warming, acidification, disease, sedimentation, nutrients, predation,
and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR also provided the following
species-specific information on I. cuneata's threats. Isopora cuneata
showed intermediate bleaching susceptibility relative to other
acroporids on the Great Barrier Reef in 2002, but showed severe losses
in a 2006 mass bleaching event in the Marshall Islands, with only
shaded bases of colonies surviving. Isopora cuneata was a common
species in the Acropora palifera zone of the Chagos, but I. cuneata was
nearly completely eliminated in 1998 and has not yet regenerated.
Competition with algae significantly reduces growth rates of I.
cuneata. At high latitude Lord Howe Island, I. cuneata was found to
host five types of C zooxanthellae, with an ability to host specialized
types in turbid environments. The species is also capable of photo-
adapting to low light environments by increasing zooxanthellae density
altering photosynthetic mechanisms (dark reaction enzymes or electron
transport rates). The SRR and SIR did not provide any other species-
specific information on the effects of these threats on I. cuneata. We
interpreted threat susceptibility and exposure information from the SRR
and SIR in the proposed rule for I. cuneata as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming, moderate vulnerability to disease,
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, and nutrients, and low
vulnerability to sedimentation, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on I. cuneata's threats susceptibilities. We gathered the following
species-specific and genus-level supplemental information on this
species' threat susceptibilities. Isopora cuneata has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching, but this rating is not
based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al., 2008). Done et al.
(2003b) reported that 20 percent of I. cuneata colonies on the GBR were
affected by bleaching in 2002, and the species ranked 21st in
proportion of coral colonies that were bleached or partially killed out
of 52 studied Acropora and Isopora species. That is, 20 of the 52
species bleached more than I. cuneata and 31 bleached less.
Isopora cuneata has been rated as moderately or highly susceptible
to disease, but this rating is not based on species-specific data
(Carpenter et al., 2008). Willis et al. (2004) report Black Band
Disease on I. cuneata on No Name Reef in the Great Barrier Reef. No
other species-specific information is available for the susceptibility
of I. cuneata to any other threat. Based on genus-level and species
information, I. cuneata is predicted to likely be highly susceptible to
ocean warming and to have some susceptibility to disease,
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, nutrients, sedimentation,
sea-level rise, predation, and collection and trade.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for I.
cuneata. We received criticism of that approach in public comments and
in response we present a species-specific analysis of regulatory
mechanisms in this final rule. Records confirm that I. cuneata occurs
in 43 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 23 countries' EEZs. The 23
countries are Australia, China, Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji,
France (French Pacific Island Territories), Indonesia, Japan,
Madagascar, Mauritius, New Zealand (Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Solomon Islands, Taiwan, Timor-Leste,
Tonga, Tuvalu, United States (American Samoa, PRIAs), Vanuatu, and
Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms relevant to I. cuneata, described
first as the percentage of the above countries that utilize them to any
degree and second, as the percentage of those countries whose
regulatory mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (35 percent with four percent limited in scope), coral
collection (65 percent with 30 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (39 percent with 13 percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (100 percent with 13 percent limited in scope),
and managing areas for protection and conservation (100 percent with
none limited in scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in place
for I. cuneata are reef fishing regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral collection laws are also somewhat
common for the species, but 30 percent of coral collection laws are
limited in scope and may not provide substantial protection. General
coral protection and pollution control laws are much less common
regulatory mechanisms for the management of I. cuneata.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and
[[Page 54051]]
demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and consideration
of the baseline environment and future projections of threats. The SRR
stated that factors that increase potential extinction risk for I.
cuneata are high susceptibility to threats inferred to be common to
members of the family Acroporidae. A factor that reduces potential
extinction risk is its prevalence in areas of heavy wave action, as
water motion may reduce bleaching vulnerability.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of I. cuneata, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes most of the coral reef ecoregions
in the Indian Ocean and western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates vulnerability to extinction because
some areas within its range are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification over the foreseeable future, including the
western Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and other areas, so portions
of the population in these areas will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is from low tide to at least 15 meters. On
one hand, its depth range may moderate vulnerability to extinction over
the foreseeable future because deeper areas of its range will usually
have lower irradiance than surface waters, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in waters that are deeper and
cooler than those in which the species occurs. On the other hand, its
depth range may exacerbate vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future if the species occurs predominantly in the shallower
portion of its depth range, since those areas will have higher
irradiance and thus be more severely affected by warming-induced
bleaching. Its habitat includes at least lower reef crests, reef flats,
upper reef slopes, and lagoons. This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future because the species is not
limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. In addition, high energy environments experience high levels of
mixing which can dilute adverse environmental conditions. Its absolute
abundance of at least tens of millions of colonies, combined with
spatial variability in ocean warming and acidification across the
species range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because the
increasingly severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future will
be non-uniform and therefore will likely be a large number of colonies
that are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at
any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
I. cuneata was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); common generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderate overall distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and shallow depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for I.
cuneata from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on I. cuneata's
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to be likely to become endangered throughout its
range within the foreseeable future, and thus it is not warranted for
listing at this time, because:
(1) Isopora cuneata's distribution across the Indian Ocean and most
of the Pacific Ocean is spread over a very large area. While some areas
within its range are projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, other areas are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification, including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitat it occupies reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not occur uniformly throughout the
species range. As explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we
have not identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly
throughout the species range within the foreseeable future);
(2) Isopora cuneata' absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response; and
(3) It is a broadcast spawner and fast grower, enhancing recovery
potential from mortality events as described in the Corals and Coral
Reefs section above.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and worsen in
severity and the species' exposure to the threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, I.
cuneata is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
[[Page 54052]]
Genus Montipora
Genus Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided an introduction to Indo-Pacific Montipora,
covering geological history, taxonomy, life history, and threat
susceptibilities of the genus as a whole. Montipora colonies are
usually laminar, encrusting, massive, or branching, and usually have
small protrusions between corallites, called papillae, tuberculae, or
verrucae. The genus Montipora is the second largest genus of reef
corals, with 75 species currently recognized, all in the Indo-Pacific.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on genus-level
threat susceptibilities for Montipora. Montipora has a high
susceptibility to bleaching, just below Acropora and Millepora. One
species of Montipora has been tested for susceptibility to
acidification, and was predicted to have 10 to 15 percent reductions in
growth to pH by 2100. Montipora species have moderate susceptibility to
diseases. Montipora has been characterized as a ``sediment-intolerant''
genus, but individual species range from tolerant to intolerant.
Elevated nutrients have not been found to affect Montipora fecundity or
fertilization. Crown-of-thorns seastar prey preferentially on Montipora
and crown-of-thorns seastar outbreaks can cause substantial mortality.
The genus Montipora is heavily used in the international aquarium
trade.
The public comments did not provide any supplemental information on
genus-level threat susceptibilities for Indo-Pacific Montipora. We
gathered supplemental information, which provides the following genus-
level information on threat susceptibilities of Indo-Pacific Montipora
for ocean warming (thermal stress), coral disease, ocean acidification,
and predation. With regard to thermal stress, almost all Montipora on
the reef flats of two islands in the Thousand Islands of Indonesia died
in the 1983 El Nino mass bleaching. A branching species, Montipora
digitata, subsequently recovered on one island but not the other (Brown
and Suharsono, 1990). In Moorea in 1998, Montipora was the third most
affected genus by bleaching after Montastraea and Acropora, and second
in mortality, with slightly less mortality than Acropora (Gleason,
1993). In Palau in 2000, many but not all Montipora species had heavy
bleaching. In that event, 48 percent of all coral colonies of all
species were bleached, with bleaching of different genera and species
ranging from none to very high, and mortality from none to near 100
percent (Bruno et al., 2001). In Kenya in 1998, unprotected and
protected sites were compared, and it was found that all Montipora
species in unprotected sites died during the mass bleaching event while
only half of the Montipora species in marine protected areas died
(McClanahan et al., 2001). In 1998 in Kenya, Tanzania, Mozambique, and
Madagascar, 100 percent of M. tuberculosa colonies were affected by
bleaching at the peak of bleaching, and 13 percent of the colonies died
by the end of the bleaching event (Obura, 2001). In Raiatea, French
Polynesia, in 2002, 53 percent of Montipora tuberculosa colonies and 18
percent Montipora caliculata colonies were bleached respectively, the
third and fifth most bleached species of the 11 coral species included
in the study (Hughes et al., 2003).
On the GBR in 2002, 18 species of Montipora ranged from zero to 77
percent affected by bleaching (Done et al., 2003b). During mass
bleaching in 1998, Montipora had a higher bleaching index in Kenya (64)
than in Australia (38), but seawater temperatures were higher in Kenya
(McClanahan et al., 2004). At Mauritius in a bleaching event in 2004,
Montipora had a bleaching index of 27, the 8th highest of the 32 genera
recorded, which was 41 percent of the index of the genus with the
highest index (McClanahan et al., 2005a). In the western Indian Ocean
in 1998-2005, Montipora had a bleaching index of 7.9 for eight
countries, which was 34th highest of the 45 genera recorded, and 19
percent of the highest value (McClanahan et al., 2007a). On Howland and
Baker islands in the U.S. Pacific in early 2010, Montipora had a low
percentage of bleaching with zero percent bleached on Baker and 4.8
percent on Howland. Montipora was the 13th most bleached genus out of
14 genera reported, with 4 percent as much bleaching as the most
bleached genus (Vargas-Angel et al., 2011). In a mass bleaching event
in Western Australia, Acropora had the highest mortality, with
Montipora having the second highest mortality (87 percent), while
massive and encrusting corals (such as Porites and faviids) had much
higher survival rates. Colonies less than 10 cm in size were not killed
(Depczynski et al., 2012).
In Okinawa, Japan, Montipora species experienced moderate drops in
populations following the 1998 and 2010 mass bleaching episodes (Hongo
and Yamano, 2013). At Laem Set at Samui Island in the western Gulf of
Thailand in 1998, half of all colonies of M. tuberculosa were partly
bleached, and in 2010 all colonies were bleached. It was the 10th most
bleached species out of 24 species in 1998, and was tied with seven
other species out of 24 for most bleached in 2010. After the 1998
bleaching event, 75 percent of M. tuberculosa colonies had partial
mortality, and after the 2010 event all colonies were dead. In 1998 it
was tied for third place in mortality, and in 2010 it was in a three-
way tie for most mortality (Sutthacheep et al., 2013). In Kenya in
1998, 47 percent of Montipora colonies bleached, and of those, 73
percent died. Mortality was the fifth highest of any coral genus. The
abundance of Montipora after 1998 in the western Indian Ocean decreased
strongly in proportion to the number of degree heating weeks in 1998
(McClanahan et al., 2007b). In Japan, one species of Montipora was a
long-term winner following mass bleaching events (increasing from 0.2
percent to 2 percent cover), one species was a short term loser but a
long term winner (decreasing from 1.8 percent to zero percent, and then
increasing to 3.3 percent later), and one species was a long-term loser
(decreasing from 1.6 percent to zero percent cover and staying there)
(van Woesik et al., 2011).
With regard to disease, a very low level of Black Band Disease was
found on Montipora on the Great Barrier Reef, just 3 percent of the
level on staghorn Acropora (Page and Willis, 2006). Montipora had a low
susceptibility to Skeletal Eroding Band in the GBR, with a prevalence
of 0.4 percent. Skeletal Eroding Band is the most prevalent disease on
the GBR (Page and Willis, 2007). Montipora was had the second lowest
rate of disease in American Samoa of the five genera with the most
disease in American Samoa, with 0.08 percent prevalence. The highest
rate of disease was Acropora with 0.39 percent prevalence. About 14
percent of sites in American Samoa have growth anomalies recorded on
Montipora, compared to 71 percent for white syndrome on Acropora, so
disease is relatively low on Montipora in American Samoa (Fenner and
Heron, 2008). Montipora had the fourth highest prevalence of disease of
coral genera in American Samoa at 0.06 percent, with the highest being
Acropora at 0.85 percent (Aeby et al., 2008). In Guam, Montipora had
the fourth highest prevalence out of 12 genera, with 2 percent of
colonies having disease compared to 6.7% for the highest genus (Myers
and Raymundo, 2009). In New Caledonia, Montipora was tied for lowest
disease prevalence among 12
[[Page 54053]]
genera, with less than 0.1 percent prevalence (Tribollet et al., 2011).
In Indonesia, Montipora had the eighth highest prevalence of disease
out of 35 taxa, with 0.5 percent prevalence compared to 8 percent for
the highest taxon (Haapkyla et al., 2007).
With regards to predation, Montipora was the third most preferred
prey of crown-of-thorns starfish out of the 10 most common genera on 15
reefs in the Great Barrier Reef, with a preference estimate 81 percent
as high as the highest genus (Acropora) (De'ath and Moran, 1998). With
regards to sedimentation, M. aequituberculata was the poorest species
of 22 at clearing sediment off itself (Stafford-Smith, 1993).
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make the following inferences about
the susceptibilities of an unstudied Montipora species to ocean
warming, disease, acidification, sedimentation, nutrients, trophic
effects of fishing, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR rated ocean warming and disease as ``high'' importance,
and ocean acidification as ``medium-high'' importance, to corals. These
were rated as the three most important threats to reef-building corals
overall. Most studies report that the genus Montipora shows high rates
of bleaching from ocean warming, almost as much as Acropora and
Millepora. However, there was a range of bleaching responses reported
for the genus Montipora, and a study of individual species showed a
wide range of bleaching responses between species, with some not
bleaching at all. While there is variability in the available
information on the susceptibility of Montipora species to ocean
warming, most of the information suggests high susceptibility. Thus, we
conclude that an unstudied species of Montipora likely is highly
susceptible to ocean warming. Montipora has been reported to have low
to moderate rates of disease, thus we conclude that Montipora is likely
to have some susceptibility to disease. One species of Montipora showed
a reduction in growth at the acidification level anticipated for the
end of the century, but gamete production was not affected. Thus we
conclude that Montipora is likely to have some susceptibility to ocean
acidification.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of fishing as ``medium''
importance, the fourth most important threat to corals overall. This
threat was not addressed at the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level process. That is, removal of
herbivorous fish from coral reef systems by fishing alters trophic
interactions by reducing herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae over coral. Thus, the SRR did
not discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa, as its effects are
difficult to distinguish between coral genera and species. Therefore,
an unstudied Montipora species is likely to have some susceptibility to
the trophic effects of fishing.
The SRR rated sedimentation, nutrients, and sea-level rise as
``low-medium'' importance to corals overall. Montipora has been called
a ``sediment-intolerant'' genus but there are variations in tolerance
between species. We conclude that Montipora has some susceptibility to
sedimentation. Elevated nutrients have had no effect on fecundity or
fertilization success in Montipora, but competition with algae reduced
settlement and survival of Montipora larvae. We conclude that Montipora
has some susceptibility to nutrients. Sea-level rise was not addressed
at the genus or species level in the SRR or SIR. Increasing sea levels
may increase land-based sources of pollution due to inundation,
resulting in changes to coral community structure, thus an unstudied
Montipora species is likely to have some susceptibility to sea-level
rise. The little available information on predation of Montipora
suggest that predators prefer to eat Montipora over most other genera.
Thus, it is possible to predict that an unstudied Montipora species is
likely to have some susceptibility to predation. The SRR rated
ornamental trade (referred to in the proposed rule as Collection and
Trade) as ``low'' importance to corals overall, and this threat was
addressed at both the genus and species levels in the SRR. Because
Montipora species are some of the more popular coral species to be
collected and traded, an unstudied Montipora species is likely to have
some susceptibility to collection and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied Montipora species is likely to have
high susceptibility to ocean warming, and some susceptibility to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and
trade.
Montipora angulata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. angulata's
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as extensive
encrusting bases with short branches that form compact clumps and are
pale brown in color. Genetic evidence places M. angulata in a clade
with some other Montipora species, depending on which gene is used. The
SRR treated M. angulata as a valid species.
The public comments and information we gathered did not provide
information on morphology, and confirmed that the species has low
uncertainty in morphological taxonomy. Clustering with other species in
an initial genetics study gives moderate uncertainty. There is a
moderate level of species identification uncertainty for this species,
but Veron (2014) states that M. angulata is distinctive and Veron
(2000; 2014), considers the species valid, and that it is sufficiently
distinctive to be identified by experts (Fenner, 2014b). Thus, we
conclude that the distribution and abundance information described
below for this species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. angulata's
distribution, habitat and depth. Montipora angulata's distribution is
from the northern and eastern Indian Ocean to the central Indo-Pacific
to the central Pacific. Its habitat includes upper reef slopes, mid-
slopes, lower reef crests, and reef flats, and its depth distribution
is one to 20 m.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on M. angulata's distribution. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which reports that this species is
confirmed in 34 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional 26.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. angulata's
abundance. Montipora angulata's abundance is mostly rare.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on M. angulata's abundance. We gathered supplemental
information, which provided the following information. Worldwide, reef
flats have a larger area than reef slopes (Vecsei, 2004), and most
coral abundance surveys are carried out only on reef slopes, and thus
may significantly underestimate the abundance of species such as M.
angulata that occur primarily on reef flats. Veron (2014) reports that
M. angulata occupied 0.34 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had
[[Page 54054]]
a mean abundance rating of 1.3 on a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites
in which it was found. Based on this semi-quantitative system, the
species' abundance was characterized as ``rare,'' and overall abundance
was also described as ``rare.'' Veron did not infer trends in abundance
from these data. As described in the Indo-Pacific Species
Determinations introduction above, based on results from Richards et
al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute abundance of this species is
likely at least millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (Carpenter et al., 2008) extrapolated species
abundance trend estimates from total live coral cover trends and
habitat types. For M. angulata, the overall decline in abundance
(``Percent Population Reduction'') was estimated at 39 percent, and the
decline in abundance before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast
Percent Population Reduction'') was estimated at 16 percent. However,
as summarized above in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live
coral cover trends are highly variable both spatially and temporally,
producing patterns on small scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences to species-specific trends should
be interpreted with caution. At the same time, an extensive body of
literature documents broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to
reef communities dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the
past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al.,
2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of global and local threats. Given
that M. angulata occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes,
and likely has some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we
conclude that it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past
50 to 100 years, but a precise quantification is not possible due to
the limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. angulata's
life history. The sexuality and reproductive modes have been determined
for 35 other species of Montipora, all of which are hermaphroditic
broadcast spawners. Also, the larvae of all other Montipora species
studied contain zooxanthellae that can supplement maternal provisioning
with energy sources provided by their photosynthesis. Thus, these
characteristics likely occur in M. angulata as well. The public
comments and information we gathered provided no additional biological
information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe M. angulata's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Montipora of ocean
warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation, nutrients,
and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR also provided the following
species-specific information on M. angulata's threats. Montipora
angulata contains Clade C zooxanthella; this clade varies in its
thermal tolerance, but is generally less resistant to bleaching than
Clade D. The SRR and SIR did not provide any other species-specific
information on the effects of these threats on M. angulata. We
interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure information from the
SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for M. angulata's vulnerabilities as
follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming; moderate vulnerability to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of reef fishing,
nutrients, and predation, and low vulnerability to sedimentation, sea
level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on M. angulata's threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following
species-specific and genus-level supplemental information on this
species' threat susceptibilities. Montipora angulata has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching, but this rating is not
based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al., 2008). In one study,
colonies of M. angulata contained Clade C zooxanthellae (Good et al.,
2005). However, other Montipora species are known to contain Clade D
zooxanthellae, depending on colony location or depth (LaJeunesse et
al., 2004b; Stat et al., 2009). Thus, it is possible that broader
sampling of M. angulata colonies would show that this species also
hosts Clade D zooxanthellae in some habitats. There are no studies of
the effects of any other threats on M. angulata. Based on species-
specific and genus-level information described above, M. angulata is
likely to be highly susceptible to ocean warming and likely to have
some susceptibility to disease, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and
trade. The available information does not support more precise ratings
of the susceptibilities of M. angulata to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for M.
angulata. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment led
us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that M. angulata occurs
in 34 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 17 countries' EEZs. The 17
countries are Australia (including Cocos-Keeling Islands), Brunei,
Cambodia, China, India (Andaman and Nicobar Islands), Indonesia, Japan,
Malaysia, Myanmar, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Solomon Islands, Sri
Lanka, Taiwan, Thailand, Timor-Leste, and Vietnam. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to M. angulata, described first as the percentage
of the above countries that utilize them to any degree and second, as
the percentages of those countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General coral protection (29 percent
with 6 percent limited in scope), coral collection (41 percent with 18
percent limited in scope), pollution control (35 percent with 12
percent limited in scope), fishing regulations on reefs (100 percent
with 18 percent limited in scope), and managing areas for protection
and conservation (94 percent with none limited in scope). The most
common regulatory mechanisms in place for M. angulata are reef fishing
regulations and area management for protection and conservation.
General coral protection, pollution control, and coral collection laws
are much less common regulatory mechanisms for the management of M.
angulata.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for this species include its rare abundance combined
with presumed generic vulnerability to a range of threats including
disease, bleaching, and predation as well as potentially increasing
threats from collection and trade. It listed factors that reduce
potential extinction risk including its relatively wide geographic
distribution.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our
[[Page 54055]]
assessment of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the
available information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our
assessment in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species'
spatial and demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its
vulnerability to extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the
proposed rule, which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of M. angulata, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes many coral reef ecoregions in the
central Indo-Pacific oceans. Its geographic distribution moderates
vulnerability to extinction because some areas within its range are
projected to have less than average warming and acidification over the
foreseeable future, including the central Pacific, and other areas, so
portions of the population in these areas will be less exposed to
severe conditions. Its depth range is from one to 20 meters. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will usually have lower temperatures
than surface waters due to local and micro-habitat variability in
environmental conditions, and acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper and cooler than those in
which the species occurs. Its habitat includes upper reef slopes, mid-
slopes, lower reef crests, and reef flats. This moderates vulnerability
to extinction over the foreseeable future because the species is not
limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. Although its qualitative abundance is described as rare, its
absolute abundance is at least millions of colonies, which combined
with spatial variability in ocean warming and acidification across the
species range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because the
increasingly severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future will
be non-uniform and therefore will likely be a large number of colonies
that are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at
any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
M. angulata was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and moderate depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for M.
angulata from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including a more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on M. angulata's
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, none of the
five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are causing this
species to be likely to become endangered throughout its range within
the foreseeable future, and thus it is not warranted for listing at
this time, because:
(1) Montipora angulata's distribution across the central Indo-
Pacific is spread over a large area. While some areas within its range
are projected to be affected by warming and acidification, other areas
are projected to have less than average warming and acidification,
including the western Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and other
areas. This distribution and the heterogeneous habitats it occupies
reduce exposure to any given threat event or adverse condition that
does not occur uniformly throughout the species range. As explained
above in the Threats Evaluation section, we have not identified any
threat that is expected to occur uniformly throughout the species range
within the foreseeable future) and
(2) While M. angulata's qualitative abundance is characterized as
rare, the species consists of at least millions of colonies that are
broadly distributed, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and worsen in
severity and the species' exposure to the threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, M.
angulata is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Montipora australiensis
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M.
australiensis' morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as
thick plates and irregular columns that are pale brown, and the
taxonomy was described as having no taxonomic issues.
The public comments and information we gathered did not provide any
new or supplemental information on morphology, and confirmed that there
are no known taxonomic problems for M. australiensis. There is a
moderate level of species identification uncertainty for this species,
and Veron (2014) states that M. australiensis is easily confused with
several other Montipora, but Veron (2000; 2014) also considers the
species valid, and we consider it is sufficiently distinctive to be
identified by experts (Fenner, 2014b). Thus, we conclude that the
distribution and abundance information described below for this species
is sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M.
australiensis' distribution, habitat, and depth range. Montipora
australiensis' distribution is broad longitudinally, including eastern
Africa, the central
[[Page 54056]]
Indo-Pacific, and the entire central Pacific, its habitat is shallow
reef environments with high wave action, and its depth range is given
as 2 to 30 meters, which the SRR noted seems at odds with the shallow
reef environment habitat description.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on M. australiensis' distribution. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which reports that this species is
confirmed in 17 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional 16. Veron 2014 also provides a
more recent geographic range description and map for this species which
includes areas in the western Indian Ocean, and most ecoregions between
southern Japan and the GBR, and between western Australia and Vanuatu.
We did not gather or receive any information on habitat or depth, thus
we interpret the available information as follows: Its predominant
habitat is upper reef slopes, lower reef crests, and reef flats, and it
likely also occurs on mid-slopes and possibly other habitats at depths
of two to 30 m.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M.
australiensis' abundance. Montipora australiensis has been reported as
rare.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on M. australiensis' abundance. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (Veron, 2014), which reports that M.
australiensis occupied 0.40 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.50
on a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on
this semi-quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized
as ``rare.'' Overall abundance was described as ``usually rare.'' Veron
did not infer trends in abundance from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction above, based on
results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at least millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For M.
australiensis, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 37 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14. However, as summarized above in the
Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are highly
variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of context. Thus, quantitative
inferences to species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring,
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that M.
australiensis occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and
likely has some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we
conclude that it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past
50 to 100 years, but a precise quantification is not possible due to
the limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M.
australiensis' life history. Sexuality and reproductive modes have been
determined for 35 other species of Montipora, all of which are
hermaphroditic broadcast spawners. Although specific observations have
not been published for this species, the larvae of all other Montipora
species studied contain zooxanthellae that can supplement maternal
provisioning with energy sources provided by their photosynthesis. It
is likely these characteristics occur in this species as well. The
public comments and information we gathered provided no additional
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe M. australiensis' threat susceptibilities, the SRR and
SIR provided genus-level information for the effects on Montipora of
ocean warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation,
nutrients, and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide
any species-specific information on the effects of these threats on M.
australiensis. We interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for M.
australiensis' vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming, moderate vulnerability to disease, acidification, trophic
effects of reef fishing, nutrients, and predation, and low
vulnerability to sedimentation, sea level rise, and collection and
trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on M. australiensis' threats susceptibilities. We gathered the
following species-specific and genus-level information on this species'
threat susceptibilities. Montipora australiensis has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching, but this rating is not
based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al., 2008). There are no
species-specific studies of the effects of any threats on M.
australiensis. Based on the genus-level information described above, M.
australiensis likely is highly susceptible to ocean warming, and likely
has some susceptibility to disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, predation, and collection
and trade. The available information does not support more precise
ratings of the susceptibilities of M. australiensis to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for M.
australiensis. Criticisms of our approach received during public
comment led us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze
regulatory mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that M.
australiensis occurs in 17 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 13
countries' EEZs. The 13 countries are Australia, Cambodia, France
(French Pacific Island Territories), Indonesia, Japan, Madagascar,
Mauritius, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Seychelles, Solomon Islands,
Thailand, and Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms relevant to M.
australiensis, first described as the percentage of the above countries
that utilize them to any degree and second, as the percentages of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as
follows: General coral protection (31 percent with 8 percent limited in
scope), coral collection (46 percent with 8 percent limited in scope),
pollution control (38 percent with 23 percent limited in scope),
fishing regulations on reefs (100 percent with 8 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for protection and conservation (100 percent
with none limited in scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for M. australiensis are reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are also somewhat common for the species, but 23
percent of pollution control laws are limited in scope and may not
provide
[[Page 54057]]
substantial protection. General coral protection laws are much less
common regulatory mechanisms for the management of M. australiensis.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated the factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for M. australiensis include its rare abundance
combined with presumed generic vulnerability to a range of threats
including disease, bleaching, and predation. It listed factors that
reduce potential extinction risk including its relatively wide
geographic distribution.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of M. australiensis, in conjunction
with the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section,
Coral Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect
its vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable
future. Its geographic distribution is mostly limited to parts of the
Coral Triangle and the western Indian Ocean. Despite the large number
of islands and environments that are included in the species' range,
this range exacerbates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable
future because it is mostly limited to an area projected to have the
most rapid and severe impacts from climate change and localized human
impacts for coral reefs over the 21st century. Its depth range of two
to at least 30 meters moderates vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas of its range will usually have
lower irradiance than surface waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. Its habitat includes upper reef
slopes, lower reef crests, reef flats, and mid-slopes. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types
of reef environments that will, on local and regional scales,
experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time. Additionally, habitats in high wave action have
increased water mixing that can reduce irradiance and dilute other
adverse environmental conditions. Its absolute abundance of at least
millions of colonies, combined with spatial variability in ocean
warming and acidification across the species range, moderates
vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly severe conditions
expected in the foreseeable future will be non-uniform and therefore
will likely be a large number of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat at any given point in time.
However, its qualitative abundance is described as rare, which combined
with its restricted depth distribution indicates it is likely that a
high proportion of individuals will be affected by threats that are
typically more severe in shallow habitats at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula, M.
australiensis was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and moderate depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we confirmed the listing determination for M.
australiensis as threatened. Based on the best available information
provided above on A. lokani's spatial structure, demography, threat
susceptibilities, and management indicate that it is likely to become
endangered throughout its range within the foreseeable future, and thus
warrants listing as threatened at this time, because:
(1) Montipora australiensis is highly susceptible to ocean warming
(ESA Factor E), and susceptible to disease (C), ocean acidification
(E), trophic effects of fishing (A), and predation (C), and nutrients
(A, E). These threats are expected to continue and worsen into the
future. In addition, existing regulatory mechanisms for global threats
that contribute to extinction risk for the species are inadequate (D);
(2) The majority of Montipora australiensis' distribution is within
the Coral Triangle which is projected to have the most rapid and severe
impacts from climate change and localized human impacts for coral reefs
over the 21st century, as described in the Threats Evaluation. Multiple
ocean warming events have already occurred within the western
equatorial Pacific that suggest future ocean warming events may be more
severe than average in this part of the world. A range constrained to
this particular geographic area that is likely to experience severe and
increasing threats indicates that a high proportion of the population
of this species is likely to be exposed to those threats over the
foreseeable future; and
(3) Montipora australiensis' qualitative abundance is rare.
Considering the limited range of this species in an area where severe
and increasing impacts are predicted, this level of abundance leaves
the species vulnerable to becoming of such low abundance within the
foreseeable future that it may be at risk from depensatory processes,
environmental stochasticity, or catastrophic events, as explained in
more detail in the Corals and Coral Reefs and Risk Analyses sections.
The combination of these characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates that the species is likely to be in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future throughout its range and
warrants listing as threatened at this time due to factors A, C, D, and
E.
The available information above on M. australiensis' spatial
structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management also
indicate that the species the species is not currently in danger of
extinction and thus does not warrant listing as Endangered because:
(1) While M. australiensis' range is mostly constrained to the
Coral Triangle which increases it extinction risk as described above,
other areas within its range are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification, such as the western Indian Ocean.
Additionally, its habitat includes upper reef slopes, lower reef
crests, and reef flats, and it likely also occurs on mid-slopes. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction currently because the species is
not limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in
time, as described in more detail in the Coral
[[Page 54058]]
Habitat and Threats Evaluation sections; and
(2) While M. australiensis' qualitative abundance is characterized
as rare, its absolute abundance is at least millions of colonies. There
is no evidence that this species is of such low abundance that
depensatory processes, environmental stochasticity, or the potential
for catastrophic events currently pose a high risk to the survival of
the species.
The combination of these characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of one that is currently in danger
of extinction, as described previously in the Risk Analyses section,
and thus does not warrant listing as endangered at this time.
Range-wide, a multitude of conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting M. australiensis. However,
considering the global scale of the most important threats to the
species, and the ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at addressing
the root cause of global threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not
believe that any current conservation efforts or conservation efforts
planned in the future will result in affecting the species status to
the point at which listing is not warranted.
Montipora calcarea
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. calcarea's
morphology and taxonomy. The morphology was described as irregular
thick plates with columnar upgrowths and are pale brown or blue in
color, and taxonomy was described as having no taxonomic issues.
The public comments and information we gathered did not provide
information on morphology, and confirmed that there are no known
taxonomic problems for M. calcarea. There is a moderate level of
species identification uncertainty for this species, and Veron (2014)
states that M. calcarea is easily confused with several other
Montipora, but Veron (2000; 2014), considers the species valid, and we
consider it is sufficiently distinctive to be identified by experts
(Fenner, 2014b). Thus, we conclude the distribution and abundance
information described below for this species is sufficiently reliable
(Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. calcarea's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Montipora calcarea's range is
fairly wide but somewhat discontinuous, it is known from the Red Sea
and east Africa, parts of the Coral Triangle, northwestern Australia,
and the central Pacific. Its habitat includes at least upper reef
slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef crests, and reef flats, and its depth
range as 0 to 20 m.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on M. calcarea's distribution. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which reports that this species is
confirmed in 25 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional 24. The public comments and
information we gathered provided nothing additional on M. calcarea's
habitat and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. calcarea's
abundance. The abundance of M. calcarea has been reported as rare, but
may be locally abundant in some areas.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on M. calcarea's abundance, but the supplemental
information provided the following. Surveys in Indonesia recorded the
species at eight of 51 sites (Donnelly et al., 2003), and nine of 39
sites (Turak and DeVantier, 2003). Veron (2014) reports that M.
calcarea occupied 5.8 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.35
on a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on
this semi-quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized
as ``rare.'' Overall abundance was described as ``usually rare.'' As
described in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction
above, based on results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014),
the absolute abundance of this species is likely at least tens of
millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (Carpenter et al., 2008) extrapolated species
abundance trend estimates from total live coral cover trends and
habitat types. For M. calcarea, the overall decline in abundance
(``Percent Population Reduction'') was estimated at 34 percent, and the
decline in abundance before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast
Percent Population Reduction'') was estimated at 13 percent. However,
as summarized above in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live
coral cover trends are highly variable both spatially and temporally,
producing patterns on small scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences to species-specific trends should
be interpreted with caution. At the same time, an extensive body of
literature documents broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to
reef communities dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the
past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al.,
2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of global and local threats. Given
that M. calcarea occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes,
and likely has some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we
conclude that it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past
50 to 100 years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on
the limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. calcarea's
life history. The reproductive characteristics of M. calcarea have not
been determined. However, sexuality and reproductive modes have been
determined for 35 other species of Montipora, all of which are
hermaphroditic broadcast spawners. Although specific observations have
not been published for this species, the larvae of all other Montipora
species studied contain zooxanthellae that can supplement maternal
provisioning with energy sources provided by their photosynthesis. It
is likely these characteristics occur in this species as well. The
public comments and information we gathered provided no additional
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe M. calcarea's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Montipora of ocean
warming, acidification, disease, sedimentation, nutrients, predation,
and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR also provided the following
species-specific information on M. calcarea's threats. Montipora
calcarea was not susceptible to algal or sediment impacts in
anthropogenically impacted waters in Egypt, but one of the studies
appears to be a study of the effects of low tide. The SRR and SIR did
not provide any other species-specific information on the effects of
these threats on M. calcarea. We interpreted the threat susceptibility
and exposure information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for
M. calcarea's vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming; moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean acidification,
trophic effects of reef fishing, nutrients and predation, and
[[Page 54059]]
low vulnerability to sedimentation, sea level rise, and collection and
trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on M. calcarea's threats, but we gathered the following species-
specific and genus-level information on this species' threat
susceptibilities. Montipora calcarea has been rated as moderately or
highly susceptible to bleaching but not disease, but this rating is not
based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al., 2008). There are no
species-specific studies of the effects of any threats on M. calcarea.
Based on the genus-level and species information described above, M.
calcarea likely is highly susceptible to ocean warming, and also likely
has some susceptibility to disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation nutrients, sea-level rise, predation,
and collection and trade. The available information does not support
more precise ratings of the susceptibilities of M. calcarea to the
threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for M.
calcarea. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment led
us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that M. calcarea occurs
in 25 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 28 countries' EEZs. The 28
countries are Australia, Brunei, Djibouti, Eritrea, Federated States of
Micronesia, Fiji, France (French Pacific Island Territories),
Indonesia, Madagascar, Malaysia, Mauritius, Myanmar, New Zealand
(Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Saudi
Arabia, Seychelles, Solomon Islands, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Tonga,
Tuvalu, United States (American Samoa), Vietnam, and Yemen. The
regulatory mechanisms relevant to M. calcarea, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that utilize them to any degree and
second, as the percentages of those countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as follows: General coral
protection (29 percent with 4 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (61 percent with 25 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (43 percent with 11 percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (100 percent with 14 percent limited in scope),
and managing areas for protection and conservation (93 percent with
none limited in scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in place
for the species are reef fishing regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral collection and pollution control
laws are also somewhat common for M. calcarea, but 25 percent of coral
collection laws are limited in scope and may not provide substantial
protection. General coral protection laws are much less common
regulatory mechanisms for the management of M. calcarea.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for M. calcarea include its rare abundance combined
with presumed generic vulnerability to a range of threats including
disease, bleaching, and predation. It listed factors that reduce
potential extinction risk including its relatively wide geographic
distribution.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of M. calcarea, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes the Red Sea and many of the coral
reef ecoregions in the Indian Ocean and western and central Pacific
Ocean. Its geographic distribution moderates vulnerability to
extinction because some areas within its range are projected to have
less than average warming and acidification over the foreseeable
future, including the western Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and
other areas, so portions of the population in these areas will be less
exposed to severe conditions. Its depth range is from zero to 20
meters. This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable
future because deeper areas of its range will usually have lower
irradiance than surface waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. Its habitat includes at least upper
reef slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef crests, and reef flats. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in
numerous types of reef environments that will, on local and regional
scales, experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry
at any given point in time. Although its qualitative abundance is
described as rare, its absolute abundance is at least tens of millions
of colonies, which combined with spatial variability in ocean warming
and acidification across the species range, moderates vulnerability to
extinction because the increasingly severe conditions expected in the
foreseeable future will be non-uniform and therefore will likely be a
large number of colonies that are either not exposed or do not
negatively respond to a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
M. calcarea was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and moderate depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for M.
calcarea from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on M. calcarea's
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to be likely to
[[Page 54060]]
become endangered throughout its range within the foreseeable future,
and thus is not warranted for listing at this time, because:
(1) Montipora calcarea's distribution across the Red Sea, Indian
Ocean and the central Pacific Ocean is spread over a very large area.
While some areas within its range are projected to be affected by
warming and acidification, other areas are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification, including the western Indian Ocean,
the central Pacific, and other areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not occur uniformly throughout the
species range. As explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we
have not identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly
throughout the species range within the foreseeable future; and
(2) While M. calcarea's qualitative abundance is characterized as
rare, the species consists of at least tens of millions of colonies
that are broadly distributed, providing buffering capacity in the form
of absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and increase in
severity and the species exposure to threats increases throughout its
range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, M.
calcarea is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Montipora caliculata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M.
caliculata's morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as brown
or blue and massive, and corallites are a mixture of immersed and
foveolate (in a funnel shape). The taxonomy was described as having no
taxonomic issues.
The public comments and information we gathered did not provide any
new or supplemental information on morphology, and confirmed that there
is little taxonomic uncertainty for M. caliculata. There is a moderate
level of species identification uncertainty for this species, and Veron
(2014) states that M. caliculata is easily confused with several other
Montipora, but Veron (2000; 2014) also considers the species valid, and
we consider it is sufficiently distinctive to be identified by experts
(Fenner, 2014b). Thus, the distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M.
caliculata's distribution, habitat, and depth range. Montipora
caliculata is found in the central Indo-Pacific and the Pacific as far
east as the Pitcairn Islands. Its habitat includes at least upper reef
slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef crests, and reef flats, and its depth
range extends as deep as 20 m.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on M. caliculata's distribution. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which reports that this species is
confirmed in 53 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to occur in an additional 29. The public comments and
information we gathered provided nothing additional on M. caliculata's
habitat and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M.
caliculata's abundance. Montipora caliculata has been reported as
uncommon.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on M. caliculata's abundance. We gathered supplemental
information, including surveys in Indonesia and Vietnam that recorded
the species at ten of 51 sites (Donnelly et al., 2003), and five of
seven sites (Latypov, 2011), respectively. Veron (2014) reports that M.
caliculata occupied 12.1 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.55
on a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on
this semi-quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized
as ``common.'' Overall abundance was described as ``uncommon.'' Veron
did not infer trends in abundance from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction above, based on
results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at least tens of millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (Carpenter et al., 2008) extrapolated species
abundance trend estimates from total live coral cover trends and
habitat types. For M. caliculata, the overall decline in abundance
(``Percent Population Reduction'') was estimated at 36 percent, and the
decline in abundance before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast
Percent Population Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent. However,
as summarized above in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live
coral cover trends are highly variable both spatially and temporally,
producing patterns on small scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences to species-specific trends should
be interpreted with caution. At the same time, an extensive body of
literature documents broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to
reef communities dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the
past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al.,
2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of global and local threats. Given
that M. caliculata occurs in many areas affected by these broad
changes, and likely has some susceptibility to both global and local
threats, we conclude that it is likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a precise quantification is not
possible based on the limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M.
caliculata's life history. The sexuality and reproductive modes have
been determined for 35 other species of Montipora, all of which are
hermaphroditic broadcast spawners. Although specific observations have
not been published for this species, the larvae of all other Montipora
species studied contain zooxanthellae that can supplement maternal
provisioning with energy sources provided by their
[[Page 54061]]
photosynthesis. It is likely these characteristics occur in this
species as well. The public comments and information we gathered
provided no additional biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe M. caliculata's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and
SIR provided genus-level information for the effects on Montipora of
ocean warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation,
nutrients, and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR also provided the
following species-specific information on M. caliculata's threats.
Montipora caliculata is known to contain mycosporine-like amino acids,
which can play a role in reducing bleaching exposure. However, M.
caliculata was the 7th most susceptible to bleaching of the 18
Montipora listed on the Great Barrier Reef, but showed only moderate
bleaching (~ 20%, or less than half as susceptible as congener
Montipora tuberculosa) in French Polynesia during the 2002 bleaching
event. The SRR and SIR did not provide any other species-specific
information on the effects of these threats on M. caliculata. We
interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure information from the
SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for M. caliculata's vulnerabilities as
follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming; moderate vulnerability to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of reef fishing,
nutrients and predation, and low vulnerability to sedimentation, sea
level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on M. caliculata's threats, but we gathered the following species-
specific and genus-level supplemental information on this species'
threat susceptibilities. Montipora caliculata has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching, but this rating is not
based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al., 2008). Done et al.
(2003b) report 50 percent of colonies of M. caliculata were affected by
bleaching on the GBR in 2002. This was more than 11 out of 17 Montipora
species and 67 percent as much as the species that bleached the most.
No other species-specific information is available for the
susceptibility of M. caliculata to any other threat. Based on genus-
level and species information described above, M. caliculata may be
highly susceptible to ocean warming, and likely has some
susceptibilities to disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, predation, and collection and trade.
The available information does not support more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of M. caliculata to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for M
caliculata. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment
led us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that M caliculata occurs
in 53 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 36 countries' EEZs. The 36
countries are Australia, Brunei, Cambodia, China, Djibouti, Eritrea,
Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji, France (French Pacific Island
Territories), India (Andaman and Nicobar Islands), Indonesia, Japan,
Kiribati, Madagascar, Malaysia, Marshall Islands, Myanmar, Nauru, New
Zealand (Cook Islands, Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea,
Philippines, Samoa, Saudi Arabia, Solomon Islands, Taiwan, Thailand,
Timor-Leste, Tonga, Tuvalu, United Kingdom (Pitcairn Islands), United
States (CNMI, Guam, American Samoa, PRIAs), Vanuatu, Vietnam, and
Yemen. The regulatory mechanisms relevant to M. caliculata, described
first as the percentage of the above countries that utilize them to any
degree and second, as the percentages of those countries whose
regulatory mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (28 percent with three percent limited in scope),
coral collection (58 percent with 31 percent limited in scope),
pollution control (36 percent with eight percent limited in scope),
fishing regulations on reefs (97 percent with 19 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for protection and conservation (92 percent
with six percent limited in scope). The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for M. caliculata are reef fishing regulations and
area management for protection and conservation. Coral collection laws
are also somewhat common for the species, but 31 percent of coral
collection laws are limited in scope and may not provide substantial
protection. General coral protection and pollution control laws are
much less common regulatory mechanisms for the management of M.
caliculata.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for M. caliculata include its presumed generic
vulnerability to a range of threats including disease, bleaching, and
predation. It listed factors that reduce potential extinction risk
including its relatively wide geographic distribution.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of M. caliculata, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes most of the coral reef ecoregions
in the Indian Ocean and western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates vulnerability to extinction because
some areas within its range are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification over the foreseeable future, including the
western Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and other areas, so portions
of the population in these areas will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is down to at least 20 meters. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will usually have lower irradiance
than surface waters, and acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper and cooler than those in
which the species occurs. Its habitat includes at least upper reef
slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef crests, and reef flats. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types
of reef environments that will, on local and regional scales,
experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time. Its absolute abundance of at least tens of
millions of colonies, combined with
[[Page 54062]]
spatial variability in ocean warming and acidification across the
species range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because the
increasingly severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future will
be non-uniform and therefore will likely be a large number of colonies
that are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at
any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
M. caliculata was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and moderate depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for M.
caliculata from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on M. caliculata's
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to be likely to become endangered throughout its
range within the foreseeable future, and thus is not warranted for
listing at this time, because:
(1) Montipora caliculata's distribution from the Red Sea across the
Indian Ocean and most of the Pacific Ocean is spread over a very large
area. While some areas within its range are projected to be affected by
warming and acidification, other areas are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification, including the western Indian Ocean,
the central Pacific, and other areas. This distribution throughout the
entire region and the heterogeneous habitats it occupies reduce
exposure to any given threat event or adverse condition that does not
occur uniformly throughout the species range. As explained above in the
Threats Evaluation section, we have not identified any threat that is
expected to occur uniformly throughout the species range within the
foreseeable future; and
(2) Montipora caliculata's absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and increase in
severity and the species exposure to threats increases throughout its
range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, M.
caliculata is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Montipora dilatata/flabellata/turgescens
Introduction
As discussed above in the response to comments, public comments did
not provide any new or supplemental information, nor did we find any
new or supplemental information, contradicting the key study used by
the SRR to lump these nominal species (see SRR for further explanation)
into one species as a listable entity under the ESA. The SRR and SIR
provided the following information on M. dilatata/flabellate/
turgescens' morphology and taxonomy. Montipora dilatata morphology was
described as colonies that are encrusting to submassive, with irregular
branch-like upgrowths, and are pale to dark brown in color. Montipora
flabellata morphology was described as colonies that are encrusting,
with irregular lobes, and usually blue in color, but sometimes brown or
purple. Montipora turgescens morphology was described as colonies that
are massive, flat, hemispherical or columnar and are brown, cream, or
purple in color.
The public comments and information we gathered did not provide any
new or supplemental information on morphology, and confirmed that M.
dilatata/flabellata/turgescens has little taxonomic uncertainty, but a
moderate level of species identification uncertainty. One public
comment stated that M. dilatata and M. flabellata were described by
Studer, 1901, instead of Dana, 1846 as stated in the SRR. Veron (2014)
states that M. dilatata and M. flabellata are apparently distinctive,
and M. turgescens is distinctive and Veron (2000; 2014) considers these
species valid, so we consider these morphological variations of this
single species sufficiently distinctive to be identified by experts
(Fenner, 2014b). Thus, we consider the distribution and abundance
information described below for this species is sufficiently reliable
(Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. dilatata/
flabellata/turgescens' distribution, habitat, and depth range. The
distribution of this species is the sum of the distributions of the
three nominal species. Montipora dilatata and M. flabellata are in
Hawaii and M. turgescens ranges from the Red Sea and east Africa to
French Polynesia, thus the whole entity ranges from the Red Sea and
east Africa to Hawaii and French Polynesia. This species' habitat
includes at least upper reef slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef slopes,
lower reef crests, reef flats, and lagoons, and extends to 30 m deep.
The public comments provided the following supplemental
information. One public comment stated that M. turgescens that was
reported by Fenner (2005) to be restricted within Hawaii and the
Northwestern Hawaiian Islands. We gathered supplemental information
which provided the following. Montipora dilatata was previously only
known from Hawaii, but has recently been reported to occur in the
northern and southern Line Islands of Kiribati and the Cook Islands
(Veron, 2014). Within Hawaii, M. dilatata has only been observed at
Kaneohe Bay on Oahu and at Laysan Island in the northwestern Hawaiian
Islands. However, the Laysan location has not been confirmed recently
and may need further investigation. Montipora flabellata was also
previously known
[[Page 54063]]
only from Hawaii (Veron, 2000), but has recently been reported to occur
in the northern Line Islands of Kiribati (Veron, 2014). In contrast, M.
turgescens is broadly distributed throughout the Indo-Pacific from
South Africa and Socotra Island to Hawaii and French Polynesia, and
from Japan to the mid-latitudes in Australia (Veron, 2014). Veron
(Veron, 2014)) confirms M. dilatata in four of his 133 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions (northwestern and main Hawaiian Islands and the northern and
southern Line Islands), M. flabellata from three of the same four
ecoregions (all but the southern Line Islands), and M. turgescens in 71
(including both Hawaii ecoregions but neither Line Islands ecoregions).
Thus, M. dilatata/flabellata/turgescens is confirmed in 73 of his 133
Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be found in an
additional 30 (Veron, 2014).
Montipora dilatata is reported from subtidal environments (Veron,
2000). In the only location within the main Hawaiian Islands where M.
dilatata is known, Kaneohe Bay on Oahu, it is limited to shallow water
protected from wave action. Montipora flabellata is reported from
shallow reef environments, and M. turgescens is reported from most reef
environments (Veron, 2000). Montipora dilatata and M. flabellata are
both reported from 1 to 10 m depth, whereas M. turgescens has been
reported to 30 m depth (Carpenter et al., 2008). Thus we consider the
depth range for this species to be from one to at least 30 meters.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. dilatata/
flabellata/turgescens' abundance. Montipora dilatata is rare, M.
flabellata is the 5th most common coral in Hawaii, and M. turgescens is
described as common.
Public comments provided the following. One comment provided
quantitative transect data from Hawaii that included coral cover
measures of M. flabellata. At Kahului Harbor channel entrance, M.
flabellata was the most abundant coral. At several other sites, M.
flabellata was not recorded or was recorded at low levels. Supplemental
information provided the following. Veron (2014) reports that M.
dilatata and M. turgescens occupied 0.03 and 16.66 percent respectively
of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and
had a mean abundance rating of 3.0 and 1.40 respectively on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it was found. The ``mean abundance
when present'' rating of 3.0 for M. dilatata was the highest of all
species in Veron (2014), indicating that it was highly abundant at the
few sites where it was observed. Based on this semi-quantitative
system, M. dilatata and M. turgescens' abundances were characterized as
``rare'' and ``common'' respectively, and overall abundances were also
described as ``rare'' and ``common'' respectively. Montipora flabellata
was not encountered in their surveys because they did not survey in
Hawaii (Veron, 2014). Veron did not infer trends in abundance from
these data. As described in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results from Richards et al. (2008) and
Veron (2014), the absolute abundance of this species is likely at least
tens of millions of colonies.
Montipora dilatata and M. turgescens are rare in the main Hawaiian
Islands, thus they are not recorded in the Hawaii Coral Reef Assessment
and Monitoring Program (CRAMP) data-sets. In contrast, CRAMP results
indicate that M. flabellata has an overall statewide mean cover of 2.2
percent, making it the fifth most abundant coral in the main Hawaiian
Islands (CRAMP, 2008a). Jokiel and Brown (2004) reported M. flabellata
as the sixth most abundant coral in the main Hawaiian Islands, with 0.7
percent cover. A model predicted that M. flabellata was sixth in coral
cover of all corals in the Main Hawaiian Islands, with about 0.3
percent cover (Franklin et al., 2013). Kenyon and Brainard (2006)
reported that M. flabellata and M. turgescens along with M. capitata
dominate many backreef locations on the northern three atolls in the
Northwestern Hawaiian Islands. Hunter (2011) reported that the number
of M. dilatata colonies in Kaneohe Bay, Oahu has increased with
increasing search effort, and in 2010 a total of 43 confirmed M.
dilatata colonies were located. This is the only location in the main
Hawaiian Islands where M. dilatata is known to occur.
There is no overall abundance trend information for M. dilatata, M.
flabellata, or M. turgescens, but M. flabellata has been monitored on
some time-series transects in Hawaii. Dollar and Grigg (2004) monitored
coral cover over 12 and 20 year periods at three sites in Hawaii, each
with multiple transects: a semi-enclosed embayment on Maui and two open
coastal sites on Kauai and the Big Island. At the Maui site, overall
live coral cover declined by approximately 33 percent from 1990 to
2002. Montipora flabellata cover increased from 6.9 to 7.1 percent of
total live coral cover, and was the fifth most abundant coral. At the
Kauai site, overall live coral cover increased by approximately 30
percent from 1983 to 2002. Montipora flabellata increased from 7.4 to
14.3 percent of total live coral cover and was the fourth most abundant
coral. At the Big Island site, overall live coral cover increased by
approximately 50 percent from 1983 to 2002, but M. flabellata was not
present during the study (Dollar and Grigg, 2004).
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For M.
turgescens, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 20 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 9 percent. Estimates for M. dilatata and
M. flabellata were not available. However, as summarized above in the
Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are highly
variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus quantitative
inferences to species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years. These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring, from a
combination of global and local threats. Given that M. turgescens
occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and likely has
some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we conclude that
it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100
years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on the
limited information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. dilatata/
flabellata/turgescens' life history. Montipora dilatata/flabellata/
turgescens is a hermaphroditic broadcast spawner. The public comments
and information we gathered provided no additional biological
information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe M. dilatata/flabellata/turgescens' threat
susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR provided genus-level information for
the effects on Montipora of ocean warming, disease, ocean
acidification, sedimentation, nutrients, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR and SIR also provided the following species-specific
information on M. dilatata/flabellata/turgescens' threats. Montipora
dilatata and M. flabellata are highly susceptible to
[[Page 54064]]
bleaching, with substantial local declines of M. dilatata in
K[amacr]ne`ohe Bay, Hawai`i, from bleaching mortality. The SRR and SIR
did not provide any other species-specific information on the effects
of these threats on M. dilatata/flabellata/turgescens. We interpreted
the susceptibility and exposure information from the SRR and SIR in the
proposed rule for M. dilatata/flabellata/turgescens' vulnerabilities as
follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming, moderate vulnerability to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of reef fishing,
nutrients, and predation, and low vulnerability to sedimentation, sea
level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on M. dilatata/flabellata/turgescens' threats, but we gathered the
following species-specific and genus-level supplemental information on
this species' threat susceptibilities. Montipora dilatata, M.
flabellata, and M. turgescens have each been rated as moderately or
highly susceptible to bleaching but not to disease, however, these
ratings are not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al. 2008).
With regard to thermal stress, in the Northwest Hawaiian Islands, M.
turgescens bleached much less severely than Montipora capitata in 2002
(G. Aeby personal comm.). Kenyon and Brainard (2006) report that in
2004, M. capitata and M. turgescens had high levels of bleaching in the
northern three atolls, with up to 100 percent bleaching in some areas.
Montipora flabellata, though, had very low levels of bleaching (1.2 to
4.7 percent). Jokiel and Brown (2004) reported that M. dilatata and M.
flabellata had low resistance to bleaching in 1996 in Hawaii. Montipora
dilatata was the most sensitive species to bleaching in Kaneohe Bay in
1996. It was the first to bleach and few survived the event (Jokiel and
Brown, 2004). The majority of the species-specific and genus-level
information above suggests that M. dilatata/flabellata/turgescens
likely is highly susceptible to warming-induced bleaching.
With regard to disease, M. turgescens is specifically described
with mortality from a rapid tissue-loss (``white'') syndrome in the
Northwestern Hawaiian Islands, and this condition affected more than 21
percent of Montipora colonies in a 2003 survey (Aeby, 2006). In the
main Hawaiian Islands, an outbreak of filamentous bacterial diseases
began in 2012 on Kauai, and continued in 2013, heavily affecting the
Montipora species on these reefs, including Montipora capitata, M.
flabellata, and M. patula (Work, 2013). This species appears to be
highly susceptible to these diseases when environmental conditions are
degraded, especially the larger colonies (Thierry Work, personal
comm.).
Based on genus-level and species information described above, M.
dilatata/flabellata/turgescens likely is highly susceptible to ocean
warming, and likely has some susceptibilities to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients,
predation, and collection and trade.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for M.
dilatata/flabellata/turgescens. Criticisms of our approach received
during public comment led us to the following analysis to attempt to
analyze regulatory mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that
M dilatata/flabellata/turgescens occurs in 73 Indo-Pacific ecoregions
that encompass 30 countries' EEZs. The 30 countries are Australia
(including Norfolk Island), Brunei, Cambodia, China, Federated States
of Micronesia, Fiji, France (French Pacific Island Territories), India
(including Andaman and Nicobar Islands), Indonesia, Japan, Kiribati,
Madagascar, Malaysia, Mauritius, Myanmar, New Zealand (Cook Islands),
Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Seychelles, Solomon Islands,
South Africa, Sri Lanka, Taiwan, Thailand, Timor-Leste, United States
(Hawaii, PRIAs), Vanuatu, Vietnam, and Yemen. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to M. dilatata/flabellata/turgescens, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that utilize them to any degree and
second, as the percentages of those countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as follows: General coral
protection (33 percent with 10 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (53 percent with 23 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (43 percent with 10 percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (97 percent with 20 percent limited in scope), and
managing areas for protection and conservation (97 percent with none
limited in scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in place for
to M. dilatata/flabellata/turgescens are reef fishing regulations and
area management for protection and conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are also somewhat common for the species, but 23
percent of coral collection laws are limited in scope and may not
provide substantial protection. General coral protection laws are less
common regulatory mechanisms for the management of M. dilatata/
flabellata/turgescens.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for M. dilatata/flabellata/turgescens include its
presumed generic vulnerability to a range of threats including ocean
warming, disease, predation, as well as documented declines in Hawai`i
of the M. dilatata component. Factors that reduce potential extinction
risk are the common occurrence and relatively wide geographic
distribution of the M. turgescens component.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of M. dilatata/flabellata/turgescens,
in conjunction with the information described in the Corals and Coral
Reefs section, Coral Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation
section above, affect its vulnerability to extinction currently and
over the foreseeable future. Its geographic distribution includes
nearly all of the coral reef ecoregions in the Indian Ocean and western
and central Pacific Ocean. Its geographic distribution moderates
vulnerability to extinction because some areas within its range are
projected to have less than average warming and acidification over the
foreseeable future, including the western Indian Ocean, the central
Pacific, and other areas, so portions of the population in these areas
will be less exposed to severe conditions. Its depth range is from low
tide to at least 30 meters. This moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower irradiance than
[[Page 54065]]
surface waters, and acidification is generally predicted to accelerate
most in waters that are deeper and cooler than those in which the
species occurs. Its habitat includes at least upper reef slopes, mid-
slopes, lower reef slopes, lower reef crests, reef flats, and lagoons.
This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in
numerous types of reef environments that will, on local and regional
scales, experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry
at any given point in time. Its absolute abundance of tens to hundreds
of millions of colonies, combined with spatial variability in ocean
warming and acidification across the species range, moderates
vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly severe conditions
expected in the foreseeable future will be non-uniform and therefore
will likely be a large number of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
M. dilatata/flabellata/turgescens was proposed for listing as
threatened because of: High vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor
E); moderate vulnerability to disease (C) and acidification (E); common
generalized range wide abundance (E); wide overall distribution (based
on wide geographic distribution and moderate depth distribution (E);
and inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for M.
dilatata/flabellata/turgescens from threatened to not warranted. We
made this determination based on a more species-specific and holistic
assessment of whether this species meets the definition of either a
threatened or endangered coral largely in response to public comments,
including more appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of
this species' spatial and demographic traits to lessen its
vulnerability to threats. Thus, based on the best available information
above on M. dilatata/flabellata/turgescens' spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and management, none of the five
ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are causing this species
to be likely to become endangered throughout its range within the
foreseeable future, and thus is not warranted for listing at this time,
because:
(1) Montipora dilatata/flabellata/turgescens' distribution across
the Indian Ocean and most of the Pacific Ocean is spread over a very
large area. While some areas within its range are projected to be
affected by warming and acidification, other areas are projected to
have less than average warming and acidification, including the western
Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and other areas. This distribution
and the heterogeneous habitats it occupies reduce exposure to any given
threat event or adverse condition that does not occur uniformly
throughout the species range. As explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not identified any threat that is expected
to occur uniformly throughout the species range within the foreseeable
future; and
(2) Montipora dilatata/flabellata/turgescens' absolute abundance is
at least tens of millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in
the form of absolute numbers of colonies and variation in
susceptibility between individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals
and Coral Reefs section above, the more colonies a species has, the
lower the proportion of colonies that are likely to be exposed to a
particular threat at a particular time, and all individuals that are
exposed will not have the same response.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and increase in
severity and the species exposure to threats increases throughout its
range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, M.
dilatata/flabellata/turgescens is not warranted for listing at this
time under any of the listing factors.
Montipora lobulata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. lobulata's
morphology and taxonomy. Colonies of Montipora lobulata are mottled
brown or white and submassive. Colony surfaces consist of irregular
mounds. There are no taxonomic issues for M. lobulata.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on M. lobulata's morphology and taxonomy. We gathered
supplemental information on this species, which indicates a very high
level of species identification uncertainty for this species. Montipora
lobulata is too difficult to identify on reefs, even for experts, for
the data collected on it to be reliable. Veron (2014) states that M.
lobulata has a poorly known distribution and his distribution map is
not suitable for analysis. Although Veron (2000; 2014), considers the
species valid, we conclude it not sufficiently distinctive to be
reliably identified (Fenner, 2014b). Thus, we do not consider the M.
lobulata distribution and abundance information in the SRR or SIR to be
sufficiently reliable and are unable to provide a reliable species
description for M. lobulata in this final rule.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
M. lobulata was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); narrow overall distribution (based on narrow geographic
distribution and shallow depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
Based on the lack of information on M. lobulata's distribution,
abundance, and threat susceptibilities due to this species'
identification uncertainty, we believe there is not sufficient evidence
to support a listing determination of threatened or endangered.
Therefore, we find that listing is not warranted at this time under any
factor.
Montipora patula/verrilli
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. patula/
verrilli's morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as
encrusting or tiered plates that are tan in color, most often with
purple polyps.
[[Page 54066]]
Due to taxonomic issues from recent genetic and micro-morphological
analyses, the BRT chose to evaluate extinction risk of Montipora
patula/verrilli as a species since they are indistinguishable
genetically and micro-morphologically.
The public comments provided the following information on
morphology and taxonomy. One public comment stated that there are
subtle but consistent differences between the two nominal species, and
despite genetic analysis showing strong similarity between the two
species, it cannot be conclusive until more of the genome is analyzed.
A second public comment stated that since the combining of
morphological species into a single entity was only done for two groups
of species in Hawaii and for none of the other species around the
world, for consistency these species should be considered separately.
The commenter stated that these groupings are based on a single
scientific publication that suggests, but does not state conclusively,
that these species contain the same identical genomes and that
combining them makes it so that differences between them in abundance
and physiological characteristics cannot be separated. The group as a
whole, suggested the commenter, might have one status while species
within the group could have another. As discussed above in the response
to comments, public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information contradicting the SRR to lump these nominal species (see
SRR for further explanation) into one species as a listable entity
under the ESA.
Supplemental information we gathered confirms the known taxonomic
problems for M. patula/verrilli, and reports that there is a moderate
level of species identification uncertainty for this species. Montipora
patula and M. verrilli are similar (Veron, 2000; Veron, 2014; Wallace,
1999b), and may be indistinguishable (Fenner, 2005). However, the
species M. patula/verrilli is distinctive and not difficult to identify
by experts (Fenner, 2014b). Veron (2014) states that M. patula is very
similar to M. verrilli and Veron (2000; 2014) considers the species
valid. As already stated, we consider M. patula/verrilli is
sufficiently distinctive to be identified by experts (Fenner, 2014b).
Thus, we conclude that the distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. patula/
verrilli's distribution, habitat, and depth range. Montipora patula/
verrilli has a very restricted range, centered on the Main and
Northwestern Hawaiian Islands. Montipora verrilli has been reported
from some other locations. Montipora patula has been reported to occupy
shallow reef environments and reef flats, and is common in wave-swept
environments but less tolerant of sediment-impacted areas. Montipora
patula/verrilli's habitat includes at least upper reef slopes, mid-
slopes, lower reef slopes, lower reef crests, and reef flats. The depth
range is described as shallow reef flats down to 10 meters depth, with
a report of 40 meters.
The public comments provided the following information. One public
comment stated that a species that is highly consistent with Veron's
description of M. verrilli has been reported from the Marianas. We
gathered supplemental information, which stated that M. patula was
considered endemic to the Hawaiian Islands and Johnston Atoll (Veron,
2000), but is now known to occur throughout the Hawaiian Islands, and
also in the Line Islands, Marquesas, and Austral Islands (Veron, 2014).
Veron (2014) reports M. patula as absent from Johnston Atoll, but this
is an error as it is well known to occur there (Maragos and Jokiel,
1986); (Coles et al., 2001); (Brainard et al., 2005; Veron, 2000;
Williams and Miller, 2012); (Lobel and K., 2008). Veron (2014) does not
report on M. verrilli. Like M. patula, M. verrilli is reported from the
Hawaiian Islands and Johnston Atoll (Veron, 2000), but is also reported
from the Mariana Islands and Palau (Randall, 1995; Randall, 2003;
Randall and Myers, 1983). Veron (2014) reports that M. patula is
confirmed in five of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions and strongly
predicted in an additional two ecoregions.
Montipora patula is commonly observed deeper than 10 m throughout
the Hawaiian Islands (Samuel Kahng, personal comm.), but its deepest
depth range is not reported. The public comments and information we
gathered provided nothing supplemental on M. patula/verrilli's habitat
and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. patula/
verrilli's abundance. Montipora patula and M. verrilli have been
reported as sometimes common. Montipora patula is the most abundant of
the three Hawaiian endemic (nominal) Montipora with overall statewide
mean cover of 3.3 percent, making it the fourth most abundant coral in
Hawai`i. Montipora verrilli is less abundant in Hawai`i. Dollar and
Grigg (2004) show substantial declines of M. patula on a subset of
their transects over 12 years, but other transects within sites show
high variability between surveys or similar cover between the beginning
and end of the study.
The public comments provided the following information on this
species' demography. One public comment stated that data from 79
monitoring sites in Hawaii from 1999 to 2012 suggest that M. patula and
M. verrilli are experiencing different trajectories in growth and
abundance. A second public comment stated that the SRR's
characterization of M. patula's populations as declining disregards
public records of numerous long-term monitoring programs that have
demonstrated its considerable abundance along the Hawaiian coast and
its resistance to extreme conditions. A third public comment provided
quantitative coral cover data from a variety of transects taken in
Hawaii. Montipora patula often had the third, fourth, or fifth highest
coral cover of any species. We gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which while he did not conduct abundance
surveys in Hawaii, describes the overall abundance of M. patula as
``uncommon.'' Montipora patula is one of the most common reef-building
corals in Hawaii. Jokiel et al. (2004) reported that M. patula has an
overall statewide mean cover of 2.7 percent and the Hawaii Coral Reef
Assessment and Monitoring Program (CRAMP) indicates that M. patula has
an overall statewide mean cover of 3.3 percent (CRAMP, 2008b). Those
mean cover percentages make M. patula the fourth most abundant coral in
the main Hawaiian Islands. Fenner (2005) considered M. patula as one of
the five most common corals in Hawaii. Grigg (1984) found that M.
patula was the fifth most common coral in the main Hawaiian Islands. A
species distribution model predicted that M. patula has the second
highest coral cover of all reef-building coral species in the main
Hawaiian Islands (Franklin et al., 2013). Montipora verrilli has been
reported to dominate deep, still water along with another Montipora
species at Johnston Island (Jokiel and Tyler III, 1992) and M. patula
is reported to be one of the two most common corals at Johnston Island
(NOAA, 2006). In one study, M. patula was found at every one of the 11
stations at Johnston Island that were surveyed (Coles et al., 2001).
These three studies may refer to the same species.
The species has been monitored on some time-series transects in
Hawaii.
[[Page 54067]]
Dollar and Grigg (2004) monitored coral cover over 12 and 20 year
periods at three sites in Hawaii, each with multiple transects: a semi-
enclosed embayment on Maui and two open coastal sites on Kauai and the
Big Island. At the Maui site, overall live coral cover declined by
approximately 33 percent from 1990 to 2002; M. patula cover declined
from 13.8 to 8.2 percent of total live coral cover, and was the fourth
most abundant coral at this site. At the Kauai site, overall live coral
cover increased by approximately 30 percent from 1983 to 2002; M.
patula increased from 24.9 to 36.0 percent of total live coral cover,
and was the second most abundant coral at this site. At the Big Island
site, overall live coral cover increased by approximately 50 percent
from 1983 to 2002; M. patula increased from 0.7 to 3.3 percent of total
live coral cover, and was the fourth most abundant coral at this site
(Dollar and Grigg, 2004). Friedlander and Brown (2005) monitored coral
cover for 12 years at 20 transects in Hanalei Bay, Kauai. Overall live
coral cover increased by approximately 30 percent from 1993 to 2004, M.
patula increased from approximately 50 to 60 percent of total live
coral cover, and was the most abundant coral (Friedlander and Brown,
2005). In its public comment letter on the proposed rule, the National
Park Service summarized data collected from 1999 to 2012 at 79 sites at
different depths from the main Hawaiian Islands (exact locations not
identified) showing that M. patula increased in live coral cover by
approximately 2.3 percent over the 14 year period at all sites
combined. As described in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results from Richards et al. (2008) and
Veron (2014), the absolute abundance of this species is likely at least
millions of colonies.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on M. patula/
verrilli's life history. Montipora patula and M. verrilli are both
documented as hermaphroditic broadcast spawners. Release of packaged
egg and sperm bundles has been observed in the months of July through
September at Coconut Island, Oahu, during two moon phases: new to first
quarter, and full to third quarter. Although specific larval
descriptions have not been published for this species, the larvae of
all other Montipora species studied contain zooxanthellae that can
supplement maternal provisioning with energy sources provided by their
photosynthesis. The public comments and information we gathered
provided no supplemental biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe M. patula/verrilli's threat susceptibilities, the SRR
and SIR provided genus-level information for the effects on Montipora
of ocean warming, acidification, disease, sedimentation, nutrients,
predation, and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR also provided the
following species-specific information on M. patula/verrilli's threats.
Montipora patula is among the most bleaching-susceptible corals in the
Northwestern Hawaiian Islands and may be moderately susceptible in the
main Hawaiian Islands. What ultimately became known as the stress-
tolerant zooxanthellae clade D was first documented in shallow-water M.
patula in Hawai'i, though it also hosts clade C in deeper waters. Both
nominal M. patula and M. verrilli are specifically noted with acute
disease conditions (involving tissue loss/partial mortality) with high
frequency of occurrence (over 20 percent of surveyed sites where the
taxa was observed showed disease signs) and high prevalence (over seven
percent in some sites) in the Northwestern Hawaiian Islands (Aeby,
2006). This author points out that the high prevalence sites had
suffered severe bleaching in the previous year. Montipora patula may be
less sediment tolerant than other Montipora species (Jokiel et al.,
2007), and it did disappear from survey stations in Pelekane Bay,
Hawai`i between 1977 and 1996 as the bay became more impacted by
sediment. The SRR and SIR did not provide any other species-specific
information on the effects of these threats on M. patula/verrilli. We
interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure information from the
SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for M. patula/verrilli's
vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerabilities to disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, and predation, and low
vulnerability to sea-level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments provided some supplemental information on M.
patula/verrilli's threat susceptibilities. One public comment stated
that in nearshore areas exposed to extremes of low salinity and
temperature such as the eastern shore of the island of Hawaii where
there are many streams and groundwater discharges, M. patula is one of
the most common corals, sometimes nearly covering the entire reef
surface. Montipora patula is one of the most common corals in harbors
around the state of Hawaii, where it tolerates elevated sediment
loading and resuspension.
We gathered the following species-specific and genus-level
information on this species' threat susceptibilities. Montipora patula
has been rated as moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching and
coral disease, but M. verrilli has not been rated as moderately or
highly susceptible to bleaching and coral disease, however, these
ratings are not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). Kenyon and Brainard (2006) report that M. patula was the most
frequently bleached coral in Maro, Laysan, and Lisianski in the
Northwestern Hawaiian Islands in 2004. At Pearl and Hermes reef, more
than half of the M. patula colonies bleached, although more than half
of the colonies of several other coral species also bleached. In a
bleaching event in 1996, M. patula was found to have a moderate
sensitivity to bleaching (Jokiel and Brown, 2004). At Kailua, Oahu, M.
patula was observed to partly bleach every year for four years in April
or May and October or September (Hoegh-Guldberg, 1995). Montipora
patula colonies host multiple zooxanthellae clades, depending on
location and depth. In Hawaii, colonies from different sites and depths
had two different clades (LaJeunesse et al., 2004a), and at Johnston
Atoll, colonies from different sites and depths had four different
clades, including the two found in the Hawaii colonies (Stat et al.,
2009).
In the main Hawaiian Islands, an outbreak of filamentous bacterial
diseases began in 2012 on Kauai, and continued in 2013, heavily
affecting the Montipora species on these reefs, including M. capitata,
M. flabellata, and M. patula (Work, 2013). These Montipora species
appear to be highly susceptible to these diseases when environmental
conditions are degraded, especially the larger colonies (Thierry Work,
personal comm.). It is unknown if these Montipora species are highly
susceptible to these diseases when environmental conditions are not as
degraded as they are on Kauai. With regards to sedimentation, the SRR
referred to a study that concluded M. patula was more sensitive to
sediment than other corals and another study that concluded M. verrilli
was relatively resistant to sedimentation. No other species-specific
information is available for the susceptibility of M. patula/verrilli
to any other threat.
Based on genus-level and species-specific information described
above, M. patula/verrilli likely is highly susceptible to ocean
warming, likely has some susceptibility to disease, ocean
[[Page 54068]]
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients,
sea-level rise, predation, and collection and trade. The available
information does not support more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of M. patula/verrilli to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for M.
patula/verrilli. Criticisms of our approach received during public
comment led us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze
regulatory mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that M.
patula/verrilli occurs in eight Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass
four countries' EEZs. The four countries are France (French Pacific
Island Territories), Kiribati, Palau, and the United States (Guam,
CNMI, Hawaii, PRIAs). The regulatory mechanisms relevant to M. patula/
verrilli, described first as the percentage of the above countries that
utilize them to any degree and second, as the percentages of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as
follows: General coral protection (75 percent with none limited in
scope), coral collection (100 percent with 25 percent limited in
scope), pollution control (75 percent with 25 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (100 percent with 25 percent
limited in scope), and managing areas for protection and conservation
(100 percent with none limited in scope). All five regulatory
mechanisms are very common for managing M. patula/verrilli, with only
coral collection, pollution control, and reef fishing laws somewhat
limited in scope.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for M. patula/verrilli include its combined very narrow
geographic distribution, restriction to shallow habitats, and its
generic high susceptibility to a range of threats (bleaching,
predation) and documented species-specific impacts from disease. No
species characteristics were noted in the SRR that reduced expectations
of extinction risk.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of M. patula/verrilli, in conjunction
with the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section,
Coral Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect
its vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable
future. Its geographic distribution includes coral reef ecoregions
spanning an arc across the Pacific Ocean from the Mariana to Hawaiian
to Austral Islands. Its geographic distribution moderates vulnerability
to extinction because some areas within its range are projected to have
less than average warming and acidification over the foreseeable
future, including the central Pacific, so portions of the population in
these areas will be less exposed to severe conditions. Its depth range
is from low tide to more than 10 meters, possibly as deep as 40 meters.
This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will usually have lower irradiance
than surface waters, and acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper and cooler than those in
which the species occurs. Its habitat includes at least upper reef
slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef slopes, lower reef crests, and reef
flats. This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable
future because the species is not limited to one habitat type but
occurs in numerous types of reef environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. Its common and stable or
increasing abundance in parts of its range, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and acidification across the species
range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly
severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future will be non-
uniform and therefore will likely be a large number of colonies that
are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at any
given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the determination tool formula
approach, M. patula/verrilli was proposed for listing as threatened
because of: High vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E);
moderate vulnerability to disease (C) and acidification (E); common
generalized range wide abundance (E); narrow overall distribution
(based on narrow geographic distribution and moderate depth
distribution (E); and inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for M.
patula/verrilli from threatened to not warranted. We made this
determination based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment
of whether this species meets the definition of either a threatened or
endangered coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on M. patula/
verrilli's spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and
management, none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in
combination, are causing this species to be likely to become endangered
throughout its range within the foreseeable future, and thus it is not
warranted for listing at this time, because:
(1) Montipora patula/verrilli's distribution range is widespread,
although disjointed and not continuous, from Palau to Hawaii to French
Polynesia. While some areas within its range are projected to be
affected by warming and acidification, other areas are projected to
have less than average warming and acidification, including the central
Pacific. This distribution and the heterogeneous habitats it occupies
reduce exposure to any given threat event or adverse condition that
does not occur uniformly throughout the species range. As explained
above in the Threats Evaluation section, we have not identified any
threat that is expected to occur uniformly throughout the species range
within the foreseeable future;
(2) Montipora patula/verrilli is one of the most abundant species
in Hawaii, a major part of its range, and time-series studies of
various sites around Hawaii since the 1980s seem to show stability in
overall abundance trends in M. patula. The species' abundance
[[Page 54069]]
provides buffering capacity in the form of absolute numbers of colonies
and variation in susceptibility between individual colonies. As
discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section above, the more
colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of colonies that are
likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a particular time, and
all individuals that are exposed will not have the same response;
(3) The depth range for M. patula/verrilli likely extends to 40 m
depth, suggesting the possibility of depth refuges from ocean warming
and other threats, and indicating a higher absolute area of potential
occupancy within the species range;
(4) Many of the areas where M. patula/verrilli is found in the
Pacific are remote and mostly uninhabited, reducing the likelihood of
exposure to local sources of impacts that result from human activities;
and
(5) All five major categories of protective regulatory mechanisms
addressing local sources of threats are implemented by 75 to 100
percent of the countries within M. patula/verrilli's range, with only
three categories somewhat limited in scope.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and worsen in
severity and the species' exposure to the threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, M.
patula/verrilli is not warranted for listing at this time under any of
the listing factors.
Genus Alveopora
Genus Introduction
The family Poritidae consists of six genera: Porites, Goniopora,
Alveopora, Stylaraea, Poritipora, and Calathistes. Alveopora consists
of 14 species, all occurring in the Indo-Pacific (Veron, 2000).
Colonies are usually massive, branching, plating, or a combination. The
SRR and SIR provided no genus-level introductory information on
Alveopora.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Alveopora. The genus Alveopora is listed
as having the highest bleaching response from the 17 included genera in
the Indian Ocean. Alveopora had high bleaching in Guam in 1994 and
South Africa in 2000, but had little bleaching or mortality in Palau in
the 2001 event. Low-to-moderate bleaching of Alveopora allingi was
observed in East Africa during the 1997-1998 event. A few disease
reports for the genus Alveopora can be found in the Global Disease
Database.
The public comments did not provide supplemental information on the
threat susceptibilities of the genus Alveopora. We gathered
supplemental information that provided the following. In Palau in 2000,
Alveopora species had ``relatively little bleaching and mortality.''
Forty eight percent of all colonies of all species were bleached, and
bleaching of different genera and species ranged from none to very
high, but no quantitative results were reported for any Alveopora
species (Bruno et al., 2001). In Kenya in a bleaching event in 1998,
all Alveopora colonies in the study sites were killed by mass bleaching
(McClanahan et al., 2001). In Mauritius in a bleaching event in 2004,
Alveopora colonies had a bleaching index of 62, the second highest of
the 32 genera recorded (McClanahan et al., 2005a). In the western
Indian Ocean, relative extinction risk scores for coral genera were
calculated based on observed genus-level bleaching between 1998 and
2005. The index of extinction risk was proportional to the degree of
bleaching, and inversely proportional to the abundance and number of
reefs on which a taxon was found on. The index of extinction risk for
Alveopora was the ninth highest out of 47 genera, with a score of 0.41
based on a scale of 0 to 1 with 1 being the score of the highest
scoring genus (McClanahan et al., 2007a). In Indonesia, colonies of
Goniopora and Alveopora had a combined disease prevalence of about 0.3
percent, which was considered low (Haapkyla et al., 2007).
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make the following inferences about
the susceptibilities of an unstudied Alveopora species to ocean
warming, disease, acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR rated ocean warming and disease as ``high'' importance,
and ocean acidification as ``medium-high'' importance, to corals. These
were rated as the three most important threats to reef-building corals
overall. The studies reporting bleaching in the genus Alveopora
reported a wide range of results, from high levels of bleaching to low
levels of bleaching. There are a few reports of disease in Alveopora in
the Global Disease database, and Goniopora and Alveopora had low
combined disease prevalence in Indonesia. Thus, we conclude that
Alveopora is likely to have some susceptibility to ocean warming and
disease. Although there is no other genus-level or species-specific
information on the susceptibilities of Alveopora species to ocean
acidification, the SRR rated it as ``medium-high'' importance to
corals. Thus, we conclude that an unstudied Alveopora species is likely
to have some susceptibility to ocean acidification.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of fishing as ``medium''
importance, the fourth most important threat to corals overall. This
threat was not addressed at the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level process. That is, removal of
herbivorous fish from coral reef systems by fishing alters trophic
interactions by reducing herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae over coral. Thus, the SRR did
not discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa, as its effects are
difficult to distinguish between coral genera and species. Therefore,
an unstudied Alveopora species is likely to have some susceptibility to
the trophic effects of fishing.
The SRR rated sedimentation, nutrients, and sea-level rise as
``low-medium'' importance to corals overall. Although there is no other
genus-level or species-specific information on the susceptibilities of
Alveopora species to sedimentation and nutrients, the SRR rated them as
``low-medium'' importance to corals. Thus we conclude that an unstudied
Alveopora species is likely to have some susceptibility to
sedimentation and nutrients. Sea-level rise was not addressed at the
genus or species level in the SRR or SIR. Increasing sea levels may
increase land-based sources of pollution due to inundation, resulting
in changes to coral community structure, thus an unstudied Alveopora
species is likely to have some
[[Page 54070]]
susceptibility to sea-level rise. The SRR rated predation and
ornamental trade (referred to in the proposed rule as Collection and
Trade) as ``low'' importance to corals overall. Although there is no
other genus-level or species-specific information on the
susceptibilities of Alveopora species to collection and trade, there is
no information suggesting they are not susceptible to these threats.
Thus we conclude that an unstudied Alveopora species is likely to have
some susceptibility to collection and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied Alveopora species is likely to have
some susceptibility to ocean warming, disease, acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade.
Alveopora allingi
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. allingi's
morphology and taxonomy. Its morphology was described as colonies being
encrusting or having short irregular lobes with rounded surfaces or
being columnar. Its taxonomy was described as having no taxonomic
issues, but being similar to Alveopora catalai and
Alveopora marionensis.
Public comments and information we gathered did not provide
supplemental information on morphology, and confirmed that there are no
known taxonomic problems for A. allingi, and a low level of species
identification uncertainty. Veron (2014) states that A. allingi is
distinctive and Veron (2000; 2014) considers the species valid, thus we
consider it can be identified by experts and conclude that the
distribution and abundance information described below for this species
is sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. allingi's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Alveopora allingi has a very
broad distribution from the Red Sea and Indian Ocean to most of the
Pacific Ocean. The SRR reported that A. allingi's habitat is protected
reef environments and its depth range is five to 10 m deep. Protected
reef environments includes a large diversity of habitats, including
lagoons, back-reef pools, leeward reefs, and others.
Public comments provided supplemental information on the
distribution and habitat of A. allingi. A public comment pointed out
that in the Marianas, this species is restricted to depths greater than
60 meters. The four type specimens of A. allingi were dredged from Pago
Pago harbor, all from a depth of 100 feet or more (Hoffmeister, 1925).
We also gathered supplemental information, including Veron (2014),
which reports that A. allingi is confirmed in 53 of his 133 Indo-
Pacific ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be found in an additional
27. Thus, based on all the available information, A. allingi's habitat
includes lagoons, upper reef slopes, mid-slope terraces, lower reef
slopes, and mesophotic areas in depths ranging from five to greater
than 60 m.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported A. allingi's abundance as usually
uncommon.
Public comments did not provide supplemental information on the
abundance of A. allingi. We gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports that A. allingi occupied 1.2
percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-
Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.27 on a 1 to 5 rating
scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``uncommon,'' and overall abundance was described as ``usually
uncommon.'' Veron did not infer trends in abundance from these data. As
described in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction
above, based on results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014),
the absolute abundance of this species is likely at least tens of
millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
allingi, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 35 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus quantitative
inferences to species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring,
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that A. allingi
occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and likely has
some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we conclude that
it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100
years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on the
limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. allingi's
life history. On high latitude reefs (28 to 29 degrees South) in the
Houtman Abrolhos Islands, western Australia, two colonies of A. allingi
were sampled before the main mass spawning nights in late March 1987.
There was no indication of developed gametes, suggesting that this
species does not participate in the mass spawning. Public comments and
information we gathered did not provide anything additional to the
above-described biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. allingi's threat susceptibilities, The SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Alveopora of ocean
warming, acidification, disease, sedimentation, nutrients, predation,
and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR also provided the following
species-specific information on A. allingi's threats. Low-to-moderate
bleaching of Alveopora allingi was observed in East Africa during the
1997-1998 event. The SRR and SIR did not provide any other species-
specific information on the effects of these threats on A. allingi. We
interpreted threat susceptibility and exposure information from the SRR
and SIR in the proposed rule for A. allingi's vulnerabilities as
follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming, moderate vulnerability to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of reef fishing, and
nutrients, and low vulnerability to sedimentation, sea level rise,
predation, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide supplemental information on A.
allingi's threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following species-
specific and genus-level supplemental information on this species'
threat susceptibilities. Alveopora allingi has been rated as moderately
or highly susceptible to bleaching but not to disease, but this rating
is not based on species-specific data (2008). Based on the genus-level
and species information described
[[Page 54071]]
above, A. allingi is likely to have some susceptibility to warming-
induced bleaching, disease, acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, seal-level rise, predation, and collection
and trade. The available information does not support more precise
ratings of the susceptibility of A. allingi to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
allingi. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment led
us to attempt the following analysis of regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that A. allingi occurs in 53 Indo-
Pacific ecoregions that encompass 40 countries' EEZs. The 40 countries
are Australia, Cambodia, China, Djibouti, Egypt, Eritrea, Federated
States of Micronesia, Fiji, France (French Pacific Island Territories),
Indonesia, Israel, Japan, Jordan, Madagascar, Malaysia, Maldives,
Marshall Islands, Mauritius, Mozambique, Myanmar, New Zealand
(Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Saudi
Arabia, Seychelles, South Africa, Sri Lanka, Sudan, Taiwan, Tanzania,
Timor-Leste, Tonga, Tuvalu, United Kingdom (British Indian Ocean
Territory), United States (CNMI, Guam, American Samoa, PRIAs), Vietnam,
and Yemen. The regulatory mechanisms relevant to A. allingi, described
first as the percentage of the above countries that utilize them to any
degree and second, as the percentage of those countries whose
regulatory mechanisms may be limited in scope are as follows: General
coral protection (28 percent with five percent limited in scope), coral
collection (60 percent with 25 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (45 percent with eight percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (88 percent with 20 percent limited in scope), and
managing areas for protection and conservation (95 percent with 10
percent limited in scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. allingi are reef fishing regulations and area management
for protection and conservation. Coral collection and pollution control
laws are also somewhat common for the species, but 25 percent of coral
collection laws are limited in scope and may not provide substantial
protection. General coral protection laws are much less common
regulatory mechanisms for the management of A. allingi.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR states that the high bleaching rate is the primary
known threat of extinction for A. allingi. It listed factors that
reduce potential extinction risk including that A. allingi occupies a
variety of habitat types and is broadly distributed both latitudinally
and longitudinally in the Indo-Pacific.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. allingi, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes many of the coral reef ecoregions
in the Indian Ocean and western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates vulnerability to extinction because
some areas within its range are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification over the foreseeable future, including the
western Indian Ocean and the central Pacific, so portions of the
population in these areas will be less exposed to severe conditions.
Its depth range is from five to 60 meters. Its depth range moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future because of
lower irradiance in the deeper portion of its range, sharply reducing
warming-induced bleaching. In addition, other threats usually occur at
lower levels at mesophotic depths, such as sedimentation resulting from
land-based sources of pollution. However, A. allingi colonies in
mesophotic habitat may be affected by increasing acidification over the
foreseeable future, but the species also occurs in shallow depths less
affected by acidification. Its habitat includes lagoons, upper reef
slopes, mid-slope terraces, lower reef slopes, and mesophotic areas,
moderating vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in
numerous types of reef environments that will, on local and regional
scales, experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry
at any given point in time. Its absolute abundance of at least tens of
millions of colonies, combined with spatial variability in ocean
warming and acidification across the species range, moderates
vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly severe conditions
expected in the foreseeable future will be non-uniform and therefore
will likely be a large number of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the determination tool formula
approach, A. allingi was proposed for listing as threatened because of:
High vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate
vulnerability to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon
generalized range wide abundance (E); moderate overall distribution
(based on wide geographic distribution and shallow depth distribution
(E); and inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
allingi from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on A. allingi's
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to be likely to become endangered throughout its
range within the foreseeable future, and thus it is not warranted for
listing at this time, because:
(1) Alveopora allingi's distribution across the Red Sea, Indian
Ocean and most of the Pacific Ocean is spread over a vast area. While
some areas within its range are projected to be affected by
[[Page 54072]]
warming and acidification, other areas are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification, including the western Indian Ocean
and the central Pacific. This distribution and the heterogeneous
habitats it occupies reduce exposure to any given threat event or
adverse condition that does not occur uniformly throughout the species
range. As explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we have
not identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly
throughout the species range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Alveopora allingi's depth range down to 60 m and below includes
depths that provide a refuge from ocean warming, and increase the
absolute area of potential occupancy throughout the range of the
species; and
(3) Alveopora allingi's total population size is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and worsen in
severity and the species' exposure to the threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, A.
allingi is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Alveopora fenestrata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
fenestrata's morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as
generally hemispherical with the surface divided into lobes, and the
taxonomy was described as having no taxonomic issues, but it is similar
to Alveopora marionensis and Alveopora verrilliana.
Public comments and information we gathered did not provide any new
or supplemental information on morphology and confirmed that there are
no known taxonomic problems for A. fenestrata, but that there is a
moderate to high level of species identification uncertainty for this
species. Veron (2014) states that A. fenestrata is easily confused with
other Alveopora with similar growth form, but Veron (2000; 2014)
considers the species valid, and we consider it can be identified by
experts, thus we conclude that the distribution and abundance
information described below for this species is sufficiently reliable
(Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
fenestrata's distribution, habitat, and depth range. Alveopora
fenestrata has a relatively broad distribution from the Red Sea and
Indian Ocean to the central Pacific. Its habitat includes most coral
reef environments, such as upper reef slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef
slopes, lower reef crests, reef flats, and lagoons, and its depth range
is from three to 30 m.
Public comments provided the following information. Alveopora
fenestrata occurs in Guam, but is not confirmed in the Northern
Marianas. We gathered supplemental information, including Veron (2014)
which reports that A. fenestrata is confirmed in 39 of his 133 Indo-
Pacific ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be found in an additional
19.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported that A. fenestrata's abundance is
uncommon.
Public comments provided the following information. Alveopora
fenestrata is rare on Guam. We gathered supplemental information
including Veron (2014) which reports that A. fenestrata occupied 1.98
percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-
Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.29 on a 1 to 5 rating
scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``uncommon,'' and overall abundance was also described as ``uncommon.''
Veron did not infer trends in abundance from these data. As described
in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction above, based on
results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at least tens of millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
fenestrata, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 36 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus quantitative
inferences to species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring,
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that A.
fenestrata occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and
likely has some susceptibility to both local and global threats, we
conclude that it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past
50 to 100 years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on
the limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR did not provide supplemental species-specific
biological information for A. fenestrata. Public comments provided no
new or supplemental biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. fenestrata's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and
SIR provided genus-level information for the effects on Alveopora of
ocean warming, acidification, disease, sedimentation, nutrients,
predation, and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide
any other species-specific information on the effects of these threats
on A. fenestrata. We interpreted threat
[[Page 54073]]
susceptibility and exposure information from the SRR and SIR in the
proposed rule for A. fenestrata's vulnerabilities as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming, moderate vulnerability to disease,
ocean acidification, trophic effects of fishing, and nutrients, and low
vulnerability to sedimentation, sea level rise, predation, and
collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide supplemental information on A.
fenestrata's threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following
species-specific and genus-level supplemental information on this
species' susceptibilities. Alveopora fenestrata has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching but not to disease, but
this rating is not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). Darling et al. (2012) performed a biological trait-based
analysis to categorize the relative tolerance of coral species to
environmental stress and A. fenestrata was classified as a ``stress-
tolerant'' species. There is no other species-specific information for
the susceptibility of A. fenestrata to any threat. Based on the genus-
level and species information described above, A. fenestrata is likely
to have some susceptibility to warming-induced bleaching disease,
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients,
seal-level rise, predation, and collection and trade. The available
information does not support more precise ratings of the susceptibility
of A. fenestrata to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
fenestrata. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment
led us to attempt the following analysis of regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that A. fenestrata occurs in 39 Indo-
Pacific ecoregions that encompass 27 countries' EEZs. The 27 countries
are Australia, Brunei, China, Egypt, Federated States of Micronesia,
France (French Pacific Island Territories), Indonesia, Israel, Jordan,
Kenya, Madagascar, Malaysia, Marshall Islands, Mauritius, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, Saudi Arabia, Seychelles, Solomon Islands, Sri
Lanka, Sudan, Taiwan, Tanzania, Timor-Leste, United States (CNMI, Guam,
PRIAs), Vanuatu, and Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms relevant to A.
fenestrata, first described as the percentage of the above countries
that utilize them to any degree, and second as the percentage of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as
follows: General coral protection (33 percent with 11 percent limited
in scope), coral collection (56 percent with 22 percent limited in
scope), pollution control (48 percent with 11 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (85 percent with 22 percent
limited in scope), and managing areas for protection and conservation
(100 percent with 11 percent limited in scope). The most common
regulatory mechanisms in place for A. fenestrata are reef fishing
regulations and area management for protection and conservation. Coral
collection and pollution control laws are also somewhat common for the
species, but 40 percent of coral collection laws are limited in scope
and may not provide substantial protection. General coral protection
laws are much less prominent regulatory mechanisms for the management
of A. fenestrata.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that a high bleaching rate is the primary known
threat of extinction for A. fenestrata. It listed factors that reduce
potential extinction risk including occupying a range of depths and
being broadly distributed both latitudinally and longitudinally in the
Indo-Pacific.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. fenestrata, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes many of the coral reef ecoregions
in the Indian Ocean and western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates vulnerability to extinction because
some areas within its range are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification over the foreseeable future, including the
western Indian Ocean, so portions of the population in these areas will
be less exposed to severe conditions. Its depth range is from three to
30 meters. This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas of its range will usually have
lower irradiance than surface waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. Its habitat includes upper reef
slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef slopes, lower reef crests, reef flats,
and lagoons, moderating vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is not limited to one habitat
type but occurs in numerous types of reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience highly variable thermal regimes
and ocean chemistry at any given point in time. Its absolute abundance
of at least tens of millions of colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and acidification across the species
range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly
severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future will be non-
uniform and therefore will likely be a large number of colonies that
are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at any
given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the determination tool formula
approach, A. fenestrata was proposed for listing as threatened because
of: High vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate
vulnerability to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon
generalized range wide abundance (E); wide overall distribution (based
on wide geographic distribution and moderate depth distribution (E);
and inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
fenestrata from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best
[[Page 54074]]
available information above on A. fenestrata' spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and management, none of the five
ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are causing this species
to be likely to become endangered throughout its range within the
foreseeable future, and thus it is not warranted for listing at this
time, because:
(1) Alveopora fenestrata's distribution across approximately three
quarters of the Indo-Pacific region is spread over a vast area. While
some areas within its range are projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, other areas are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification, including the western Indian Ocean and the
central Pacific. This distribution and the heterogeneous habitats it
occupies reduce exposure to any given threat event or adverse condition
that does not occur uniformly throughout the species range. As
explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly throughout
the species range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Alveopora fenestrata's depth range down to 30 m and below
includes depths that provide a refuge from ocean warming, and increase
the absolute area of potential occupancy throughout the range of the
species; and
(3) Alveopora fenestrata's total population size is at least tens
of millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and worsen in
severity and the species' exposure to the threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, A.
fenestrata is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Alveopora verrilliana
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
verrilliana's morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as
short irregularly dividing knob-like branches and the taxonomy was
described as having no taxonomic issues. Alveopora verrilliana is
similar to Alveopora fenestrata.
Public comments and information we gathered did not provide any new
or supplemental information on morphology, and confirmed that there are
no known taxonomic problems for A. verrilliana, but that there is a
high level of species identification uncertainty for this species.
Veron (2014) states that A. verrilliana is easily confused with other
Alveopora with a similar growth form and it is impossible to confirm
many citations of this species. However, Veron (2000; 2014) considers
the species valid, and we consider it can be identified by experts,
thus we conclude that the distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
verrilliana's distribution, habitat, and depth range. Alveopora
verrilliana's distribution is from the Red Sea to the central Indo-
Pacific to most of the Pacific. Its habitat includes most coral reef
environments, such as upper reef slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef slopes,
lower reef crests, reef flats, and lagoons, and its depth range is
three to at least 40 meters depth, and possibly down to 80 meters (it
is not certain that the identity of the coral at 80 meters has been
verified).
Public comments provided the following supplemental information on
A. verrilliana's distribution, habitat and depth range. One public
comment stated that A. verrilliana has been found in the Marianas on
shallow fringing reef platforms at a depth between 1.5 and 2 meters
deep, and a terrace at 17 meters deep. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which reports that A. verrilliana
is confirmed in 28 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional 30. One of the 30 strongly
predicted ecoregions is the Main Hawaiian Islands (Veron, 2014), and
may be based on reports that Hawaii is a similar type ecoregion.
However, there are no reliable reports of the species being found in
the Main Hawaiian Islands, in spite of many divers in the water
observing coral species (Douglas Fenner, personal com.). Veron (2014)'s
map indicates that the report(s) of this species from the Red Sea have
also not been verified.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported A. verrilliana's abundance as
``uncommon.'' Public comments provided the following supplemental
information on A. verrilliana's abundance. One public comment stated
that A. verrilliana is uncommon in the Marianas with only 10 to12
colonies recorded so far. We gathered the following supplemental
information on the abundance of A. verrilliana. Veron (2014) reports
that A. verrilliana occupied 0.27 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled
in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating
of 1.13 on a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in which it was found.
Based on this semi-quantitative system, the species' abundance was
characterized as ``rare,'' and overall abundance was described as
``uncommon.'' Veron did not infer trends in abundance from these data.
As described in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction
above, based on results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014),
the absolute abundance of this species is likely at least millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
verrilliana, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 34 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus quantitative
inferences to species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years
[[Page 54075]]
(Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and Szmant,
2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring, from a
combination of global and local threats. Given that A. verrilliana
occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and likely has
some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we conclude that
it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100
years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on the
limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
verrilliana's life history. Alveopora verrilliana is a hermaphroditic
broadcast spawner. On temperate latitude reefs (28 to 29 degrees S) in
the Houtman Abrolhos Islands, western Australia, seven of 12 colonies
sampled had ripe gametes, and spawning was inferred during the time of
mass spawning for this region. Public comments and information we
gathered did not provide anything additional to the above-described
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. verrilliana's threat susceptibilities, The SRR and
SIR provided genus-level information for the effects on Alveopora of
ocean warming, acidification, disease, sedimentation, nutrients,
predation, and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide
any other species-specific information on the effects of these threats
on A. verrilliana. We interpreted threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for A.
verrilliana's vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming, moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean acidification,
trophic effects of reef fishing, and nutrients, and low vulnerability
to sedimentation, sea level rise, predation, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on A. verrilliana's threats. We gathered the following species-specific
and genus-level supplemental information on this species' threat
susceptibilities. Alveopora verrilliana has been rated as moderately or
highly susceptible to bleaching but not to disease, but this rating is
not based on species-specific data (2008). There is no species-specific
information for the exposure or susceptibility of A. verrilliana to any
threat. Based on the genus-level and species information described
above, A. verrilliana likely has some susceptibility to ocean warming,
disease, acidification, trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, seal-level rise, predation, and collection and trade. The
available information does not support more precise ratings of the
susceptibility of A. verrilliana to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
verrilliana. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment
led us to attempt the following analysis of regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that A. verrilliana occurs in 28 Indo-
Pacific ecoregions that encompass 23 countries' EEZs. The 23 countries
are Australia, Brunei, Cambodia, China, Federated States of Micronesia,
France (French Pacific Island Territories), Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia,
New Zealand (Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines,
Samoa, Solomon Islands, Taiwan, Thailand, Tonga, Tuvalu, United States
(CNMI, Guam, American Samoa), Vanuatu, and Vietnam. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to A. verrilliana, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that utilize them to any degree, and
second as the percentages of those countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as follows: General coral
protection (30 percent with 4 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (61 percent with 35 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (39 percent with 13 percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (100 percent with 17 percent limited in scope),
and managing areas for protection and conservation (100 percent with
none limited in scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in place
for A. verrilliana are reef fishing regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral collection laws are also somewhat
common for the species, but 35 percent of coral collection laws are
limited in scope and may not provide substantial protection. General
coral protection and pollution control laws are much less common
regulatory mechanisms for the management of A. verrilliana.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR states that the high bleaching rate is the primary
known threat of extinction for A. verrilliana. It listed factors that
reduce potential extinction risk including that A. verrilliana occupies
a variety of habitat types and is broadly distributed both
latitudinally and longitudinally in the Indo-Pacific.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. verrilliana, in conjunction
with the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section,
Coral Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect
its vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable
future. Its geographic distribution includes many of the coral reef
ecoregions in the western and central Pacific Ocean. Its geographic
distribution moderates vulnerability to extinction because some areas
within its range are projected to have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future, including the central
Pacific, so portions of the population in these areas will be less
exposed to severe conditions. Its depth range is from three to 40
meters, which moderates vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because of lower irradiance in the deeper portion of
its range, sharply reducing warming-induced bleaching. In addition,
other threats usually occur at lower levels at mesophotic depths, such
as sedimentation resulting from land-based sources of pollution.
However, A. verrilliana colonies in mesophotic habitat may be affected
by increasing acidification over the foreseeable future, but the
species also occurs in shallow depths less affected by acidification.
Its habitat includes most coral reef environments, such as upper reef
slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef slopes, lower reef crests, reef flats,
and lagoons. This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is not limited to one habitat
type but occurs in numerous types of reef environments that will, on
[[Page 54076]]
local and regional scales, experience highly variable thermal regimes
and ocean chemistry at any given point in time. Its total abundance is
unknown, and it is uncommon or rare. Its absolute abundance of at least
millions of colonies, combined with spatial variability in ocean
warming and acidification across the species range, moderates
vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly severe conditions
expected in the foreseeable future will be non-uniform and therefore
will likely be a large number of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule, using the determination tool formula
approach, A. verrilliana was proposed for listing as threatened because
of: High vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate
vulnerability to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon
generalized range wide abundance (E); wide overall distribution (based
on wide geographic distribution and wide depth distribution (E); and
inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
verrilliana from threatened to not warranted. We made this
determination based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment
of whether this species meets the definition of either a threatened or
endangered coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on A. verrilliana's
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to be likely to become endangered throughout its
range within the foreseeable future, and thus it is not warranted for
listing at this time, because:
(1) Alveopora verrilliana's distribution across more than half of
the Indo-Pacific region is spread over a vast area. While some areas
within its range are projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, other areas are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification, including the central Pacific. This
distribution and the heterogeneous habitats it occupies reduce exposure
to any given threat event or adverse condition that does not occur
uniformly throughout the species range. As explained above in the
Threats Evaluation section, we have not identified any threat that is
expected to occur uniformly throughout the species range within the
foreseeable future;
(2) Alveopora verrilliana's depth distribution down to 40 meters
includes depths that provide a refuge from ocean warming, and increase
the absolute area of potential occupancy throughout the range of the
species; and
(3) Alveopora verrilliana's total population size is at least
millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and worsen in
severity and the species' exposure to the threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, A.
verrilliana is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Genus Porites
Genus Introduction
Porites colonies are flat (laminar or encrusting), massive, or
branching. Massive colonies are spherical or hemispherical when small,
and helmet or dome-shaped when large, and may be over five meters
across (Veron, 2000). Porites is the third largest genus of reef
building scleractinia, and Veron (2000) recognizes 52 species. This
description of the Porites genus focuses on the Indo-Pacific, where
most of the species occur. The larvae of all Porites species studied
contain zooxanthellae that can supplement maternal provisioning with
energy sources provided by their photosynthesis. The SRR and SIR
provided no genus-level introductory information on Porites.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Porites. On the GBR and in the western
Indian Ocean, massive Porites generally have moderate susceptibility to
bleaching, while branching Porites generally have higher susceptibility
to bleaching, comparable to Pocillopora and Acropora. For example,
Porites horizontalata was a bleaching ``loser'' in Okinawa,
disappearing after the 1998 event. Recent work comparing P. lobata from
extreme lagoonal environments with individuals from more benign
forereef habitats in American Samoa indicates that thermal history of
these corals plays a large part in their reaction to thermal stress.
The SRR reported that a study that looked at 328 colonies of
massive Porites from 69 reefs of the GBR found a decline in
calcification of 14.2 percent since 1990, predominantly because
extension declined by 13.3 percent. This is similar to the estimates of
a global decline in aragonite saturation state of 16 percent since the
beginning of global industrialization. The study agreed with earlier,
more limited work on Porites on the GBR and in laboratory and mesocosm
experiments that showed declines in calcification with reduced
aragonite saturation state in P. cylindrical, P. compressa, and P.
lutea adults, and P. astreoides juveniles. Acidification has not been
found to interfere with settlement of larvae in P. astreoides in the
Caribbean.
The SRR reported several studies showing subacute (lesions
resulting in slow progressive tissue loss) tissue loss, black band
disease, and endolithic hypermycosis in Porites. The SIR reported that
the genus Porites had the highest prevalence of disease throughout
Guam; however, it may have also been a function of the fact that
Porites corals are also the most common. Likewise, in a study from
Hawaii, with 12 diseases recorded among three coral genera, Porites was
shown to have the highest prevalence of disease. Porites was also shown
to have severe damage as a result of high disease prevalence of black-
band disease in Southeastern India.
The SRR reported that Porites is susceptible to crown-of-thorns
seastar (Acanthaster planci) and corallivorous
[[Page 54077]]
snail predation, including predation of Coralliphilia violacea on both
massive and branching forms. Massive Porites are susceptible, but not a
preferred prey, of the predatory asteroid Culcita novaeguineae, and the
butterflyfish Chaetodon unimaculatus. Porites is intermediate for its
sediment tolerance in the western Indian Ocean. In contrast, Porites is
often found in relatively turbid waters in Asia and the eastern Pacific
and were considered sediment tolerant. About 25,000-50,000 pieces of
Porites spp. per year are traded.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on the threat susceptibilities of the genus Porites. We
gathered supplemental information that provided the following. Thermal
stress was studied by Gleason (1993), who reported that Porites was
little affected by bleaching in Moorea, French Polynesia. Bruno et al.
(2001) reported that in Palau in 2000, four different species of
Porites ranged from low-moderate levels of bleaching to very high-
moderate, and ranged from low-moderate mortality to high mortality.
Done et al. (2003b) reported bleaching levels in seven species of
Porites and one morphological group (massive) of Porites. Individual
species ranged from eight to 33 percent affected by bleaching. The two
least affected species (P. cylindrica and P. annae) were branching and
the most affected was massive (P. vaughani), though it had a low
mortality. Generally, massive Porites were affected more than average.
The species with the greatest mortality was a species with columns and
plates (P. rus) though another species (P. lichen) with columns and
plates had a mortality rate nearly as low as the lowest mortality
species, and another species with columns (P. heronensis) had high
bleaching (Done et al., 2003b).
Pandolfi et al. (2011) reported that massive species of Porites
bleached about average for genera in Kenya and Australia in 1998. A
study that monitored the impacts of the 1998 and 2010 bleaching events
on coral in Japan (van Woesik et al., 2011) reported that one species
of branching Porites was neither a winner or a loser (increasing from
1.4 percent cover to four percent and then decreasing to 0.9 percent),
and six species of branching Porites were long-term losers (decreasing
to 0 percent cover and staying there). Vargas-Angel et al. (2011)
reported that Porites had a fairly low percentage of bleaching on
Howland and Baker islands in the U.S. Pacific, with 16.1 percent on
Baker and 24.6 percent on Howland. Porites was the ninth most-bleached
genus out of 14 genera, and had 32 percent as much bleaching as the
most bleached genus (Vargas-Angel et al., 2011). Porites in Okinawa,
Japan, experienced no decrease in populations following the 1998 and
2010 mass bleaching episodes. Okinawa has turbid waters from runoff
increased by human activities (Hongo and Yamano, 2013).
In areas of Papua New Guinea, where volcanic carbon dioxide
bubbling produced pH equal to that predicted for 2100, massive Porites
dominated the community, indicating they are more resistant to low pH
than other corals (Fabricius et al., 2011). Massive Porites growth
rates in bays in Palau, with pH approaching that predicted for 2100 and
aragonite saturation equal to that predicted for 2100, was similar to
colonies in water with current mean pH and aragonite saturation
(Shamberger et al., in press).
Raymundo et al. (2005) reported that Porites had the highest levels
of disease in the Philippines, where only rarely did other genera show
disease. Individual species of Porites differed greatly in the
prevalence of disease, with zero prevalence in about half of the
species, and a wide range of prevalence in the others. Further, there
was no consistent difference between massive and branching species:
branching species displayed the entire range of prevalence; massive
Porites having relatively high prevalence, though not as high as three
branching species; and one massive Porites (P. evermanni) having zero
prevalence (Raymundo et al., 2005). Porites had the lowest prevalence
of disease (0.025 percent) of the only five genera with diseases
recorded in American Samoa. Porites tissue loss was found at 15 percent
of sites compared to 71 percent of sites for Acropora white syndrome,
the most common disease(Fenner and Heron, 2008). In another study in
American Samoa, Porites had the third highest level of prevalence of
any genus, with a prevalence of 0.11 percent (Aeby et al., 2008).
Growth anomalies are occasional on massive Porites in backreef pools on
Ofu, American Samoa but less common on reef slopes in American Samoa.
Growth anomalies are abundant on one color morph of Porites cylindrica
in one small area of one back reef pool in Tutuila, American Samoa, but
not on another color morph. A white disease that is rare on Tutuila,
killed all Porites rus colonies (about 50) in front of Vaoto Lodge,
Ofu, American Samoa. What appears to possibly be the same disease is
killing all yellow massive Porites in the Hurricane House back reef
pool on Ofu, American Samoa (Fenner, 2013b). In Guam, Porites had by
far the highest prevalence, with 6.7 percent of colonies having disease
(Myers and Raymundo, 2009). Porites was tied for the second highest
disease prevalence of 12 genera in New Caledonia, with 0.7 percent of
colonies showing disease (Tribollet et al., 2011). Porites massive was
tied for third highest disease prevalence of 35 taxa in Indonesia, with
1.5 percent prevalence. Porites branching had the 14th highest disease
prevalence of 35 taxa in Indonesia, with 0.25 percent of colonies
showing disease. Other Porites had no disease in Indonesia (Haapkyla et
al., 2007).
Predation was studied by De'ath and Moran (1998), who reported that
Porites was the least preferred prey of crown-of-thorns starfish out of
the 10 most common genera on 15 reefs in the GBR. Porites species are
relatively less susceptible to the effects of land-based sources of
pollution than many other reef-building corals. Porites species are
heavily collected and widely traded internationally. There is no
information on the effects of fishing, sea-level rise, or any other
threat to Porites species.
Genus Conclusions
Based on the information from the SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make the following inferences about
the susceptibilities of an unstudied Porites species to ocean warming,
disease, acidification, sedimentation, nutrients, trophic effects of
fishing, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and trade. The SRR
rated ocean warming and disease as ``high'' importance, and ocean
acidification as ``medium-high'' importance, to corals. These were
rated as the three most important threats to reef-building corals
overall. Most studies reported moderate to high levels of bleaching in
Porites, but one study reported low levels and some individual species
had low levels. In three studies, branching species showed higher
levels of bleaching than massive species, and one study showed the
reverse. Generally, Porites as a whole has moderate to high
susceptibility to ocean warming. However, different species of Porites
have a wide range of susceptibilities to ocean warming, thus we
conclude that an unstudied Porites species has some susceptibility to
ocean warming. Most studies found high levels of disease in Porites,
but one study found low levels. We conclude that an unstudied Porites
species has some susceptibility to disease. Several studies reported
that calcification declined with decreasing pH in short term
experiments, but massive Porites are common and have normal growth
rates in natural areas of low pH. We
[[Page 54078]]
conclude that Porites has some susceptibility to ocean acidification.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of fishing as ``medium''
importance, the fourth most important threat to corals overall. This
threat was not addressed at the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level process. That is, removal of
herbivorous fish from coral reef systems by fishing alters trophic
interactions by reducing herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae over coral. Thus, the SRR did
not discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa, as its effects are
difficult to distinguish between coral genera and species. Therefore,
an unstudied Porites species is likely to have some susceptibility to
the trophic effects of fishing.
The SRR rated sedimentation, nutrients, and sea-level rise as
``low-medium'' importance to corals overall. Porites is reported to
have intermediate to high sediment tolerance. Thus we conclude that an
unstudied Porites has some susceptibility to sedimentation. Although
there is no genus-level or species-specific information on the
susceptibilities of Porites species to nutrients, the SRR rated it as
``low-medium'' importance to corals.. Thus, we conclude that an
unstudied Porites species has some susceptibility to nutrients. Sea-
level rise was not addressed at the genus or species level in the SRR
or SIR. Increasing sea levels may increase land-based sources of
pollution due to inundation, resulting in changes to coral community
structure, thus an unstudied Porites species is likely to have some
susceptibility to sea-level rise. The SRR rated predation and
ornamental trade (referred to in the proposed rule as Collection and
Trade) as ``low'' importance to corals overall. The only study of
predation reporting on Porites indicated it was a not a preferred prey
item of crown-of-thorns starfish. Thus, we conclude that Porites has a
low susceptibility to predation. Porites species are heavily collected
and widely traded internationally. Thus we conclude that Porites has
some susceptibility to collection and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied Porites species is likely to have some
susceptibility to ocean warming, disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise, and
collection and trade, and low susceptibility to predation.
Porites horizontalata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on P.
horizontalata's morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as
composites of encrusting plates and contorted fused branches. With
respect to taxonomy, Porites is known to be morphologically plastic and
multiple sympatric species frequently exhibit intergradation of
skeletal characteristics. The results of a study of genetics of other
Porites species found that genetics did not correspond well with
Porites species based on morphology. The laminar parts of colonies of
P. horizontalata resemble Porites vaughani, the branching parts may
have corallites arranged in a star-like pattern like Porites rus, and
the corallite features are most similar to Porites eridani.
Public comments and information we gathered did not provide any new
or supplemental information on morphology, and confirmed that there are
no known taxonomic problems for P. horizontalata, and that there is a
moderate level of species identification uncertainty for this species.
Veron (2000; 2014) states that P. horizontalata is easily confused with
P. rus, but the species can be identified by experts (Fenner, 2014b),
thus we conclude that the distribution and abundance information
described below for this species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner,
2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on P.
horizontalata's distribution, habitat, and depth range. Porites
horizontalata's distribution is from the central Indian Ocean to the
central Indo-Pacific and central Pacific. The SRR reported that P.
horizontalata's habitat is shallow reef environments, and the depth
range is from five to 20 m, though it is also known to range into deep
water. Porites horizontalata is uncommon in Guam and found in deeper
quiet waters.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on P. horizontalata's distribution. We gathered supplemental
information including Veron (2014), which reports that P. horizontalata
is confirmed in 28 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional 13. Supplemental information on
the depth range of P. horizontalata in American Samoa indicates it is
from about 10 m to at least 30 m deep, and it has been observed at 20
to 30 m of depth in New Caledonia, where it appears much as it does in
American Samoa in similar locations (D. Fenner, personal comm.). Thus,
based on all the available information, P. horizontalata's habitat
includes at least upper reef slopes, mid-slope terraces, lower reef
crests, and lagoons in depth ranging from five to 30 m depth.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on P.
horizontalata's abundance. Porites horizontalata has been reported as
sometimes common. Public comments did not provide any new or
supplemental information on P. horizontalata's abundance. We gathered
supplemental information including Veron (2014) and Richards et al.
(2008). Veron (2014) reports that P. horizontalata occupied 4.2 percent
of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and
had a mean abundance rating of 1.62 on a 1 to 5 rating scale at those
sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-quantitative system,
the species' abundance was characterized as ``uncommon,'' and overall
abundance was described as ``sometimes common in isolated habitats.''
Veron did not infer trends in abundance from these data. As described
in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction above, based on
results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at least tens of millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For P.
horizontalata, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 37 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 15 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus quantitative
inferences to species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring,
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that P.
horizontalata occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and
that it likely has some susceptibility to both global and local
threats, we conclude that it is likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50
[[Page 54079]]
to 100 years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on the
limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on P.
horizontalata's life history. Porites horizontalata is a gonochoric
broadcast spawner. Although specific observations have not been
published for this species, the larvae of all other Porites species
studied contain zooxanthellae that can supplement maternal provisioning
with energy sources provided by their photosynthesis. The public
comments did not provide new or supplemental information, and we did
not find new or supplemental information on the above-described
biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe P. horizontalata's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and
SIR provided genus-level information for the effects on Porites of
ocean warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation,
nutrients, and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR also provided the
following species-specific information on P. horizontalata's threats.
Porites horizontalata was a bleaching ``loser'' in Okinawa,
disappearing after the 1998 event. The SRR and SIR did not provide any
other species-specific information on the effects of these threats on
P. horizontalata. We interpreted threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for P.
horizontalata's vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming; moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean acidification,
trophic effects of reef fishing, and nutrients, and low vulnerability
to sedimentation, sea level rise, predation, and collection and trade.
Several public comments provided supplemental information on P.
horizontalata's threat susceptibilities. One public comment stated that
the Loya (2001) study of the effects of bleaching in Okinawa, which
reported P. horizontalata as a loser, did not actually directly observe
bleaching but rather looked at before and after abundances and deduced
that species had or had not suffered from bleaching. It also stated
that the sampling effort was small and the changes in low abundances
may not even have been statistically significant. The comment suggests
reducing the ocean warming component for this species in the
determination tool to moderate to low (2.5) or to low (3). Another
public comment stated that a published study (Goreau et al., 1972) as
well as observations on Guam suggest that Porites species in the
subgenus Synaraea are among the least-preferred prey of the crown-of-
thorns starfish. The comment stated that other studies (Colgan, 1987;
Pratchett, 2007) suggest that Porites species in general are among the
least preferred prey of crown-of-thorns. The comment further stated
that workers on Guam have never seen crown-of-thorns predation on P.
horizontalata and suspect that this species is among the least
preferred prey of crown-of-thorns. The comment suggests changing the
predation susceptibility to low (3) or moderate to low (2.5) in the
determination tool. A third comment suggested P. horizontalata be
considered a ``Synaraea'' species instead of a branching Porites
species. The common Synaraea species Porites rus has bleaching levels
that are lower than both Porites branching and Porites massive corals.
Porites horizontalata is within the Synaraea sub-genus and has not been
observed to bleach in Guam to date.
We gathered the following supplemental species-specific information
on susceptibility to threats for P. horizontalata. This species has
been rated as moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching and
disease, but this rating is not based on species-specific data
(Carpenter et al., 2008). Porites horizontalata was found to be a long
term loser in Japan following bleaching events (decreasing from 1.2
percent cover to zero and staying there) (van Woesik et al., 2011).
Porites horizontalata had the ninth highest disease prevalence of 21
species of Porites in the Philippines. Porites horizontalata had a
prevalence of 4, which was 20 percent of the prevalence of the species
with the highest prevalence (Raymundo et al., 2005). There is no
species-specific information for the susceptibility of P. horizontalata
to any other threat. Based on information provided in the Porites genus
description and the species-specific information above, P.
horizontalata likely has some susceptibility to ocean warming, disease,
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients,
sea-level rise, and collection and trade, and low susceptibility to
predation. The available information does not support more precise
ratings of the susceptibilities of P. horizontalata to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for P.
horizontalata. Criticisms of our approach received during public
comment led us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze
regulatory mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that P.
horizontalata occurs in 28 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 25
countries' EEZs. The 25 countries are Brunei, China, Federated States
of Micronesia, Fiji, France (French Pacific Island Territories),
Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Marshall Islands, Myanmar, New Zealand
(Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Solomon
Islands, Taiwan, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Tonga, Tuvalu, United States
(CNMI, Guam, American Samoa, PRIAs), Vanuatu, and Vietnam. The
regulatory mechanisms relevant to P. horizontalata, described first as
the percentage of the above countries that utilize them to any degree
and second, as the percentages of those countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as follows: General coral
protection (28 percent with 4 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (64 percent with 40 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (36 percent with 12 percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (96 percent with 16 percent limited in scope), and
managing areas for protection and conservation (96 percent with 4
percent limited in scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for P. horizontalata are reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and conservation. Coral collection laws are
also somewhat utilized for the species, but 40 percent of coral
collection laws are limited in scope and may not provide substantial
protection. General coral protection and pollution control laws are
less prominent regulatory mechanisms for the management of P.
horizontalata.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for P. horizontalata include the fairly low tolerance
to thermal stress and susceptibility to acidification based on genus-
level information. It listed factors that reduce potential extinction
risk including the
[[Page 54080]]
species' broad distribution and the low predation susceptibility of the
genus.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of P. horizontalata, in conjunction
with the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section,
Coral Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect
its vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable
future. Its geographic distribution includes many of the coral reef
ecoregions in the central Indo-Pacific, and western and central Pacific
Ocean. Its geographic distribution moderates vulnerability to
extinction because some areas within its range are projected to have
less than average warming and acidification over the foreseeable future
including the central Pacific, and other areas, so portions of the
population in these areas will be less exposed to severe conditions.
Its depth range is from five to 30 meters, and has been found deeper.
This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will usually have lower irradiance
than surface waters, and acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper and cooler than those in
which the species occurs. Its habitat includes at least upper reef
slopes, mid-slope terraces, lower reef crests, and lagoons. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in
numerous types of reef environments that will, on local and regional
scales, experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry
at any given point in time. Its absolute abundance of at least tens of
millions of colonies, combined with spatial variability in ocean
warming and acidification across the species range, moderates
vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly severe conditions
expected in the foreseeable future will be non-uniform and therefore
will likely be a large number of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
P. horizontalata was proposed for listing as threatened because of:
High vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate
vulnerability to disease (C) and acidification (E); common generalized
range wide abundance (E); wide overall distribution (based on wide
geographic distribution and moderate depth distribution (E); and
inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for P.
horizontalata from threatened to not warranted. We made this
determination based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment
of whether this species meets the definition of either a threatened or
endangered coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on P.
horizontalata's spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities,
and management, none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in
combination, are causing this species to be likely to become endangered
throughout its range within the foreseeable future, and thus is not
warranted for listing at this time, because:
(1) Porites horizontalata's distribution across the central Indo-
Pacific and central Pacific Ocean is spread over a vast area. While
some areas within its range are projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, other areas are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification, including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not occur uniformly throughout the
species range. As explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we
have not identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly
throughout the species range within the foreseeable future; and
(2) Porites horizontalata's absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies, which provides buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future as global threats continue and increase in
severity and the species exposure to threats increases throughout its
range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, P.
horizontalata is not warranted for listing at this time under any of
the listing factors.
Porites napopora
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on P. napopora's
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as broad basal plates
with irregular clumps of tapered irregularly fused branches. Porites is
known to be morphologically plastic and multiple sympatric species
frequently exhibit intergradation of skeletal characteristics. The
results of a study of the genetics did not correspond well with the
Porites species based on morphology. Porites napopora is similar to P.
nigrescens and P. negrosensis.
Public comments and information we gathered did not provide any new
or supplemental information on morphology, but did confirm that there
is moderate taxonomic uncertainty for P. napopora and a moderate level
of species identification uncertainty. Veron (Veron, 2014) states that
P. napopora is distinctive, and P. napopora can be identified by
experts (Fenner, 2014b), thus we conclude that the distribution and
abundance information described below for this
[[Page 54081]]
species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on P. napopora's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. The SRR and SIR described P.
napopora's distribution as the Coral Triangle plus Micronesia and the
Marianas Islands. Its habitat includes at least upper reef slopes, mid-
slopes, lower reef crests, reef flats, and lagoons, and the depth range
as three to 15 meters.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on P. napopora's distribution. We gathered supplemental information
including Veron (Veron, 2014) which provides an updated, much more
detailed range map for this species than the maps used in the SRR.
Veron reports that this species is confirmed in 13 of his 133 Indo-
Pacific ecoregions, and is strongly predicted to be found in an
additional 13.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on P. napopora's
abundance. Porites napopora has been reported as sometimes common.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on P. napopora's abundance. We gathered supplemental information
including Veron (Veron, 2014), which reports that P. napopora occupied
2.6 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-
Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.79 on a 1 to 5 rating
scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``uncommon,'' and overall abundance was described as ``sometimes common
in isolated habitats.'' Veron did not infer trends in abundance from
these data. As described in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results from Richards et al. (2008) and
Veron (2014), the absolute abundance of this species is likely at least
millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For P.
napopora, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 33 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 15 percent in the study. However, as
summarized above in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral
cover trends are highly variable both spatially and temporally,
producing patterns on small scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences to species-specific trends should
be interpreted with caution. At the same time, an extensive body of
literature documents broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to
reef communities dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the
past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al.,
2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of global and local threats. Given
that P. napopora occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes,
and likely has some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we
conclude that it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past
50 to 100 years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on
the limited species specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on P. napopora's
life history. Although specific observations have not been published
for this species, the larvae of all other Porites species studied
contain zooxanthellae that can supplement maternal provisioning with
energy sources provided by their photosynthesis. The public comments
did not provide new or supplemental information, and we did not find
new or supplemental information on the above-described biological
information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe P. napopora's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Acropora of ocean
warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation, nutrients,
and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide any other
species-specific information on the effects of these threats on P.
napopora. We interpreted threat susceptibility and exposure information
from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for P. napopora's
vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming;
moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects
of fishing, and nutrients, and low vulnerability to sedimentation, sea
level rise, predation, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on P. napopora's threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following
species-specific and genus-level supplemental information on this
species' threat susceptibilities. Porites napopora has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to disease but not to bleaching, but
this rating is not based on species-specific data (2008). With regard
to disease, P. napopora had the 13th highest disease prevalence of 21
species of Porites in the Philippines. Porites napopora had a
prevalence of 0.2, which was one percent of the prevalence of the
species with the highest prevalence (Raymundo et al., 2005). There is
no species-specific information for the susceptibility of P. napopora
to any other threat. Based on information provided in the Porites genus
description above, P. napopora is predicted to have some susceptibility
to ocean warming, disease, acidification, and likely has some
susceptibility to trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients,
sea-level rise, and collection and trade. Genus-level information
indicates this species has low susceptibility to predation.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for P.
napopora. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment led
us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that P. napopora occurs
in 13 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 10 countries' EEZs. The 10
countries are Brunei, China, Federated States of Micronesia, Indonesia,
Japan, Malaysia, Philippines, Taiwan, Timor-Leste, and Vietnam. The
regulatory mechanisms relevant to P. napopora, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that utilize them to any degree, and
second as the percentages of those countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as follows: General coral
protection (30 percent with none limited in scope), coral collection
(60 percent with 30 percent limited in scope), pollution control (30
percent with 10 percent limited in scope), fishing regulations on reefs
(100 percent with 30 percent limited in scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (100 percent with none limited in scope).
The most common regulatory mechanisms in place for P. napopora are reef
fishing regulations and area management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection laws are also somewhat utilized for the
species, but 30 percent of coral collection laws are limited in scope
and may not provide substantial protection. General coral protection
and pollution control laws are less prominent regulatory
[[Page 54082]]
mechanisms for the management of P. napopora.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for P. napopora include the species' distribution that
is restricted to the western Pacific and the fairly low tolerance to
thermal stress and susceptibility to acidification based on genus-level
information. It listed factors that reduce potential extinction risk
including its high tolerance of sediment stress and turbid water, and
low predation susceptibility of the genus.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of P. napopora, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution is limited to parts of the Coral Triangle
and the western equatorial Pacific Ocean. Despite the large number of
islands and environments that are included in the species' range, this
range exacerbates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable
future because it is mostly limited to an area projected to have the
most rapid and severe impacts from climate change and localized human
impacts for coral reefs over the 21st century. Its depth range is down
to 15 meters. On one hand, its depth range may moderate vulnerability
to extinction over the foreseeable future because deeper areas of its
range will usually have lower irradiance than surface waters, and
acidification is generally predicted to accelerate most in waters that
are deeper and cooler than those in which the species occurs. On the
other hand, its depth range may exacerbate vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future if the species occurs predominantly in the
shallower portion of its depth range, since those areas will have
higher irradiance and thus be more severely affected by warming-induced
bleaching. Its habitat includes at least upper reef slopes, mid-slopes,
lower reef crests, reef flats, and lagoons. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types
of reef environments that will, on local and regional scales,
experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time. There is not enough information about its
abundance to determine if it moderates or exacerbates extinction: It is
uncommon overall but common in parts of its range, and has at least
millions of colonies, but the great majority of the population is
within an area expected to be severely impacted by threats over the
foreseeable future.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
P. napopora was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); common generalized range wide
abundance (E); narrow overall distribution (based on moderate
geographic distribution and shallow depth distribution (E); and
inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we did not change the listing determination for
P. napopora. Based on the best available information provided above on
P. napopora's spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities,
and management indicate that it is likely to become endangered
throughout its range within the foreseeable future, and thus warrants
listing as threatened at this time, because:
(1) Porites napopora is susceptible to warming induced bleaching
(ESA Factor E), disease (C), trophic effects of fishing (A), and
nutrients (A, E). These threats are expected to continue and worsen
into the future. In addition, existing regulatory mechanisms to address
global threats that contribute to extinction risk for this species are
inadequate (D); and
(2) Porites napopora's distribution is constrained mostly to the
Coral Triangle and western equatorial Pacific, which is projected to
have the most rapid and severe impacts from climate change and
localized human impacts for coral reefs over the 21st century, as
described in the Threats Evaluation. Multiple ocean warming events have
already occurred within the western equatorial Pacific that suggest
future ocean warming events may be more severe than average in this
part of the world. In addition, the species has a depth distribution of
three to 15 m. Such a geographic and depth distribution is likely to
experience severe and increasing threats, indicating that a high
proportion of the population of this species is likely to be exposed to
those threats over the foreseeable future.
The combination of these characteristics and future projections of
threats indicates that the species is likely to be in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future throughout its range and
warrants listing as threatened at this time due to factors A, C, D, and
E.
The available information above on P. napopora's spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and management also indicate that
the species is not currently in danger of extinction and thus does not
warrant listing as Endangered because:
(1) While P. napopora's distribution is restricted mostly to the
Coral Triangle, which increases it extinction risk as described above,
its habitat includes shallow reef environments, which describes a
variety of reef zones and habitat types in the coral reef ecosystem.
This moderates vulnerability to extinction currently because the
species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types
of reef environments that will, on local and regional scales,
experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time, as described in more detail in the Coral Habitat
and Threats Evaluation sections. There is no evidence to suggest that
the species is so spatially fragmented that depensatory processes,
environmental stochasticity, or the potential for catastrophic events
currently pose a high risk to the survival of the species; and
(2) Porites napopora's its absolute abundance is likely at least
millions of colonies and is described as ``sometimes common in isolated
habitats'' providing areas of localized abundance which allows for
variation in the responses of individuals to threats to play a role in
moderating vulnerability to extinction for the species to some degree,
as described in more detail in the Corals and Coral Reefs section.
There is no evidence of depensatory processes such as reproductive
failure from low density of reproductive individuals and genetic
[[Page 54083]]
processes such as inbreeding affecting this species. Thus, its absolute
abundance indicates it is currently able to avoid high mortality from
environmental stochasticity, and mortality of a high proportion of its
population from catastrophic events.
The combination of these characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of one that is currently in danger
of extinction, as described previously in the Risk Analyses section,
and thus does not warrant listing as endangered at this time.
Range-wide, a multitude of conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting P. napopora. However, considering
the global scale of the most important threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at addressing the root cause of
global threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not believe that any
current conservation efforts or conservation efforts planned in the
future will result in affecting the species status to the point at
which listing is not warranted.
Porites nigrescens
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on P.
nigrescens' morphology and taxonomy. The morphology was described as
branching, sometimes with an encrusting base, and concave calices give
the surface a pitted appearance. Porites is known to be morphologically
plastic and multiple sympatric species frequently exhibit
intergradation of skeletal characteristics. The results of a genetics
study did not correspond well with the Porites species based on
morphology. Porites nigrescens is similar in appearance to Porites
cylindrica.
The public comments and information we gathered did not provide any
new or supplemental information on morphology, and confirmed that there
is moderate taxonomic uncertainty for P. nigrescens and that there is a
moderate level of species identification uncertainty for this species.
Veron (2014) states that P. nigrescens is easily distinguished from
other branching Porites, thus we conclude it can be identified by
experts, and that the distribution and abundance information described
below for this species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on P.
nigrescens' distribution, habitat, and depth range. The SRR and SIR
described P. nigrescens' distribution as occurring from the Red Sea and
east Africa to the central Pacific. Its habitat includes coral reef
environments protected from wave action, including at least upper reef
slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef slopes, and lagoons, and its depth range
as 0 to 20 meters.
The public comments provided information that P. nigrescens is
widely distributed in all Indonesian waters. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which reports that this species is
confirmed in 56 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional 18.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on P.
nigrescens' abundance. Porites nigrescens has been reported as
sometimes common. Where found, it can be a part of a locally abundant
branching poritid assemblage.
The public comments and information we gathered provided
supplemental information on P. nigrescens' abundance. One public
comment stated that P. nigrescens is very abundant in all Indonesian
waters. We gathered supplemental information, including Veron (2014),
which reports that P. nigrescens occupied 29.05 percent of 2,984 dive
sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean
abundance rating of 2.01 on a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in
which it was found. Based on this semi-quantitative system, the
species' abundance was characterized as ``very common.'' Overall
abundance was described as ``sometimes common.'' Veron did not infer
trends in abundance from these data. As described in the Indo-Pacific
Species Determinations introduction above, based on results from
Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least tens of millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For P.
nigrescens, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 35 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent in the study. However, as
summarized above in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral
cover trends are highly variable both spatially and temporally,
producing patterns on small scales that can be easily taken out of
context, thus quantitative inferences to species-specific trends should
be interpreted with caution. At the same time, an extensive body of
literature documents broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to
reef communities dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the
past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al.,
2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of global and local threats. Given
that P. nigrescens occurs in many areas affected by these broad
changes, and that it is likely has some susceptibility to both global
and local threats, we conclude that it is likely to have declined in
abundance over the past 50 to 100 years, but a precise quantification
is not possible based on the limited species specific information.
Other Biological Information
The public comments and information we gathered did not provide any
new or supplemental biological information on P. nigrescens.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe P. nigrescens' threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Porites of ocean
warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation, nutrients,
and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide any other
species-specific information on the effects of these threats on P.
nigrescens. We interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for P.
nigrescens' vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming, moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean acidification,
trophic effects of fishing, and nutrients, and low vulnerability to
sedimentation, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on P. nigrescens' threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following
species-specific and genus-level supplemental information on this
species' threat susceptibilities. Porites nigrescens has not been rated
as moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching, but this rating is
not based on species-specific data (2008). Porites nigrescens appears
to have high susceptibility to thermal stress and warming-induced
bleaching. Porites nigrescens had high bleaching rates in East Africa
in 1998 (Obura, 2001) and Palau in 2000 (Bruno et al., 2001). In East
Africa, 99 percent of P. nigrescens colonies were affected by bleaching
at the peak of bleaching in
[[Page 54084]]
1998 in Kenya, Tanzania, Mozambique, and Madagascar. This was the
third-most affected species out of 14 species, and was affected 99
percent as much as the most affected species. At the end of bleaching,
87 percent of colonies were dead, which was the fifth-highest mortality
species, and 94 percent of the mortality level of the highest mortality
species (Obura, 2001). In Palau in 2000, P. nigrescens had very high to
moderate bleaching, and very high mortality. Of all P. nigrescens
colonies at the study site, 48 percent bleached, and bleaching of
different genera and species ranged from none to very high, with
mortality from zero to near 100 percent (Bruno et al., 2001). Loya et
al. (Loya et al., 2001) reported that P. nigrescens was a ``loser'' in
a 1998 bleaching event in Japan where it went down to zero abundance
and cover (Loya et al., 2001).
Porites nigrescens has been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to disease, but these ratings are not based on species-
specific data (Carpenter et al., 2008). Raymundo et al. (2005) reported
P. nigrescens had the seventh-highest disease prevalence of 21 species
of Porites in the Philippines. Porites nigrescens had a moderate level
of disease prevalence relevant to the other coral species in the study.
No other species-specific information is available for the
susceptibility of P. nigrescens to any other threat.
Based on species-specific and genus-level information above, P.
nigrescens is likely highly susceptible to ocean warming and also
likely has some susceptibilities to disease, ocean acidification,
trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade. The available information does not
support more precise ratings of the susceptibilities of P. nigrescens
to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for P.
nigrescens. Public comments were critical of that approach, and we
therefore attempt to analyze regulatory mechanisms and conservation
efforts on a species basis, where possible, in this final rule. Records
confirm that P. nigrescens occurs in 56 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that
encompass 43 countries' EEZs. The 43 countries are Australia, Brunei,
Cambodia, China, Djibouti, Eritrea, Federated States of Micronesia,
Fiji, France (French Pacific Island Territories), India (Andaman and
Nicobar Islands), Indonesia, Japan, Kenya, Kiribati, Madagascar,
Malaysia, Marshall Islands, Mauritius, Mozambique, Myanmar, New Zealand
(Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Saudi
Arabia, Seychelles, Solomon Islands, Somalia, South Africa, Sri Lanka,
Taiwan, Tanzania, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Tonga, Tuvalu, United Kingdom
(British Indian Ocean Territory), United States (American Samoa,
PRIAs), Vanuatu, Vietnam, and Yemen. The regulatory mechanisms
available to P. nigrescens, described first as a percentage of the
above countries that utilize them to any degree and second, as the
percentages of those countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General coral protection (28 percent
with 7 percent limited in scope), coral collection (56 percent with 28
percent limited in scope), pollution control (35 percent with 7 percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on reefs (95 percent with 23
percent limited in scope), and managing areas for protection and
conservation (93 percent with 5 percent limited in scope). The most
common regulatory mechanisms in place for P. nigrescens are reef
fishing regulations and area management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection laws are somewhat utilized but some are
limited in scope and may not provide substantial protection for P.
nigrescens. General coral protection and pollution control laws are
much less prominent regulatory mechanisms for the management of P.
nigrescens.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for P. nigrescens include the fairly low tolerance to
thermal stress and susceptibility to acidification impacts in the
genus. It listed factors that reduce potential extinction risk
including the species' broad distribution, the high tolerance of
sediment stress and turbid water, and low disease and predation
susceptibility of the genus.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of P. nigrescens, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes most of the coral reef ecoregions
in the Indian Ocean and western and central Pacific Ocean. Its
geographic distribution moderates vulnerability to extinction because
some areas within its range are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification over the foreseeable future, including the
western Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and other areas, so portions
of the population in these areas will be less exposed to severe
conditions. Its depth range is down to at least 20 meters. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will usually have lower irradiance
than surface waters, and acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper and cooler than those in
which the species occurs. Its habitat includes at least upper reef
slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef slopes, and lagoons protected from wave
action. This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable
future because the species is not limited to one habitat type but
occurs in numerous types of reef environments that will, on local and
regional scales, experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean
chemistry at any given point in time. Its abundance of at least tens of
millions of colonies, combined with spatial variability in ocean
warming and acidification across the species range, moderates
vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly severe conditions
expected in the foreseeable future will be non-uniform and therefore
will likely be a large number of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
P. nigrescens was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA
[[Page 54085]]
Factor E); moderate vulnerability to disease (C) and acidification (E);
common generalized range wide abundance (E); wide overall distribution
(based on wide geographic distribution and moderate depth distribution
(E); and inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for P.
nigrescens from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on P. nigrescens'
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to be likely to become endangered throughout its
range within the foreseeable future, and thus is not warranted for
listing at this time, because:
(1) Porites nigrescens' distribution from the Red Sea and east
Africa across most of the Pacific Ocean is spread over a very large
area. While some areas within its range are projected to be affected by
warming and acidification, other areas are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification, including the western Indian Ocean,
the central Pacific, and other areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not occur uniformly throughout the
species range. As explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we
have not identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly
throughout the species range within the foreseeable future; and
(2) Porites nigrescens' absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and increase in
severity and the species exposure to threats increases throughout its
range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, P.
nigrescens is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Genus Pachyseris
Genus Introduction
The family Agaricidae includes six genera, Agaricia (Caribbean
only), Leptoseris, Pavona, Pachyseris, Gardineroseris, and Coeloseris.
Pachyseris contains four species, all in the Indo-Pacific. Pachyseris
species are foliose, and one species can produce short columns or
branches. The SRR and SIR provided no genus-level introductory
information on Pachyseris.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Pachyseris. A series of studies reported
that Pachyseris experiences variable but high levels of bleaching,
though in some places it may be bleaching tolerant. Pachyseris' high
bleaching rate and relative rarity may give it a relatively high
extirpation risk in the western Indian Ocean. Trade in this genus is
relatively high.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on the threat susceptibilities of the genus Pachyseris. We
gathered supplemental information that provided the following details.
Pachyseris had a bleaching index of 8.3 for eight countries in the
western Indian Ocean in 1998-2005, which was 33rd highest of the 45
genera recorded, and 20 percent of the highest value. As a genus, its
moderate bleaching rate combined with relative rarity may give it a
relatively high extirpation risk in the western Indian Ocean
(McClanahan et al., 2007a). Done et al. (2003b) reported that overall
bleaching rates for two species of Pachyseris were 15 percent and 38
percent on the GBR in 2002, which were the seventh and third highest
levels of bleaching out of 16 species of Agariciids. There is no
information available on the effects of any other threat for
Pachyseris.
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make the following inferences about
the susceptibilities of an unstudied Pachyseris species to ocean
warming, disease, acidification, sedimentation, nutrients, trophic
effects of fishing, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR rated ocean warming and disease as ``high'' importance,
and ocean acidification as ``medium-high'' importance, to corals. These
were rated as the three most important threats to reef-building corals
overall. Pachyseris has a variable level of susceptibility to
bleaching, with most reports of bleaching being moderate to high. Thus,
we conclude that an unstudied Pachyseris species is likely to have high
susceptibility to ocean warming. Although there is no other genus-level
or species-specific information on the susceptibilities of Pachyseris
species to disease and ocean acidification, the SRR rated them as
``high'' and ``medium-high'' importance to corals, respectively. Thus,
we conclude that an unstudied Pachyseris species is likely to have some
susceptibility to disease and ocean acidification.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of fishing as ``medium''
importance, the fourth most important threat to corals overall. This
threat was not addressed at the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level process. That is, removal of
herbivorous fish from coral reef systems by fishing alters trophic
interactions by reducing herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae over coral. Thus, the SRR did
not discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa, as its effects are
difficult to distinguish between coral genera and species. Therefore,
an unstudied Pachyseris species is likely to have some susceptibility
to the trophic effects of fishing.
The SRR rated sedimentation, nutrients, and sea-level rise as
``low-medium'' importance to corals overall. Although there is no
genus-level or species-specific information on the susceptibilities of
Pachyseris species to sedimentation and nutrients, the SRR rated them
as ``low-medium''
[[Page 54086]]
importance to corals.. Thus, we conclude that an unstudied Pachyseris
species is likely to have some susceptibility to sedimentation and
nutrients. Sea-level rise was not addressed at the genus or species
level in the SRR or SIR. Increasing sea levels may increase land-based
sources of pollution due to inundation, resulting in changes to coral
community structure, thus an unstudied Pachyseris species is likely to
have some susceptibility to sea-level rise. Although there is no genus-
level or species-specific information on the susceptibilities of
Pachyseris species to predation, there is no information suggesting
they are not susceptible to this threat. Thus, we conclude that an
unstudied Pachyseris species has some susceptibility to predation. The
SRR rated predation and ornamental trade (referred to in the proposed
rule as Collection and Trade) as ``low'' importance to corals overall.
Because the available general information suggests that collection and
trade of Pachyseris species is relatively high, we conclude an
unstudied Pachyseris species is likely to have some susceptibility to
collection and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied Pachyseris species is likely to have
high susceptibility to ocean warming, and some susceptibility to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, predation, sea-level rise, and collection and
trade.
Pachyseris rugosa
Introduction
In The SRR and SIR provided the following information on P.
rugosa's morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as colonies
that are upright, irregular, fused, bifacial plates, and taxonomy was
described as having no taxonomic issues, but being similar to
Pachyseris gemmae and Pachyseris involuta.
Public comments and information we gathered did not provide any new
or supplemental information on morphology, and confirmed that there are
no known taxonomic problems for P. rugosa, and a low level of species
identification uncertainty. Veron (2014) states that P. rugosa is very
distinctive and Veron (2000; 2014) considers the species valid, and we
consider it can be identified by experts, thus we conclude that the
distribution and abundance information described below for this species
is sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on P. rugosa's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. The SRR and SIR described P.
rugosa's distribution as from the Red Sea and east Africa to the
central Pacific. Regarding habitat, the SRR and SIR stated that P.
rugosa may develop into large mound-shaped colonies in shallow water
but smaller colonies occur in a wide range of habitats including those
exposed to strong wave action. It is associated with fine-grained
sediments on the Great Barrier Reef, and could be an indicator of quiet
water or a moderate energy environment. Thus, its habitat includes at
least upper reef slopes, mid-slopes, and lagoons. Its depth range is
from five to 20 meters, and it may be excluded from shallow
environments by excess light.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on P. rugosa's distribution. We gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports that this species is confirmed in
57 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be
found in an additional 17.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported P. rugosa's abundance as common.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on P. rugosa's abundance. We gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports that P. rugosa occupied 23.5
percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-
Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.45 on a 1 to 5 rating
scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``common,'' and overall abundance was also described as ``common.''
Veron did not infer trends in abundance from these data. As described
in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction above, based on
results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at least tens of millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For P.
rugosa, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 36 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context, thus quantitative
inferences to species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring,
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that P. rugosa
occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and likely has
some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we conclude that
it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100
years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on the
limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on P. rugosa's
life history. Pachyseris rugosa is a gonochoric broadcast spawner. This
species contains clade C zooxanthellae, with a predominance of clade
C3h in areas of greater temperature or turbidity. Public comments and
information we gathered added no new or supplemental information to the
above-described biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe P. rugosa's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Pachyseris of ocean
warming, acidification, disease, sedimentation, nutrients, predation,
and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR also provided the following
species-specific information on P. rugosa's threats. Pachyseris rugosa
is vulnerable to a ciliate disease skeletal eroding band. Although
overall disease presence was low during a survey in Indonesia, the
black-band progressed across P. rugosa at an average rate of 0.63cm/d.
Mass mortality of this species on the GBR has been attributed to crown
of thorns starfish, although predation was not observed directly.
Pachyseris rugosa has suffered high partial mortality as a result of
dredging, but its branching structure should make it an efficient
sediment-rejecter. The species disappeared in Jakarta Bay between 1920
and 2005, which was attributed to decreased water quality from coastal
development. Pachyseris rugosa experiences substantial export,
averaging 1195 specimens annually from 1991 to 2008, decreasing in
1997-2003, but returning to 2085 per year in
[[Page 54087]]
2004-2008. The SRR and SIR did not provide any other species-specific
information on the effects of these threats on P. rugosa. We
interpreted threat susceptibility and exposure information from the SRR
and SIR in the proposed rule for P. rugosa's vulnerabilities as
follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming, moderate vulnerability to
disease, ocean acidification, and trophic effects of fishing, and low
vulnerability to sedimentation, sea level rise, predation, and
collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on P. rugosa's susceptibility to threats. We gathered the following
supplemental species-specific and genus-level information on this
species' threat susceptibilities. Pachyseris rugosa has been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching but not disease, but this
rating is not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al., 2008).
With regard to thermal stress, 15 percent of P. rugosa colonies were
affected by bleaching on the GBR in 2002. The median bleaching level
among Agariciidae colonies was 10 percent, and the maximum was 58
percent. The only other Pachyseris reported, P. speciosa, bleached at a
rate of 38 percent (Done et al., 2003b). All colonies of P. rugosa were
partly bleached at Laem Set at Samui Island in the western Gulf of
Thailand in 1998, and all were completely bleached in 2010. However,
after both bleaching events, all colonies recovered and were healthy
(Sutthacheep et al., 2013). In Palau in 2000, P. rugosa had variable
but generally high bleaching levels and high mortality: 48 percent of
all colonies of all species were bleached, and bleaching of different
genera and species ranged from none to very high, and mortality from
zero to near 100 percent (Bruno et al., 2001). Based on species
specific and genus information presented above, P. rugosa is predicted
to have a moderate to high level of susceptibility to bleaching. With
regard to disease, Page and Willis (2007) reported that skeletal
eroding band has been found in P. rugosa on the GBR, where it is the
most prevalent disease on corals. However, the prevalence on P. rugosa
was too low to record in transects. Darling et al. (2012) performed a
biological trait-based analysis to categorize the relative tolerance of
coral species to environmental stress. Pachyseris rugosa was classified
as a ``generalist'' species, defined as species that can do well in
habitats where competition is limited by low levels of stress. There
are no other reports of the effects of any other threats on P. rugosa.
Based on genus-level and species-specific information describe above,
P. rugosa is likely to have high susceptibility to ocean warming and
some susceptibility to disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, nutrients, sedimentation, sea level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. The available information does not support more
precise ratings of the susceptibility of P. rugosa to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanism or conservation efforts for P.
rugosa. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment led
us to attempt the following analysis of regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that P. rugosa occurs in 57 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 36 countries' EEZs. The 36 countries are
Australia, Brunei, China, Egypt, Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji,
France (French Pacific Island Territories), India (including Andaman
and Nicobar Islands), Indonesia, Israel, Japan, Jordan, Madagascar,
Malaysia, Maldives, Mauritius, Myanmar, New Zealand (Tokelau), Niue,
Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Samoa, Saudi Arabia, Solomon
Islands, Sri Lanka, Sudan, Taiwan, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Tonga,
Tuvalu, United Kingdom (British Indian Ocean Territory), United States
(American Samoa, PRIAs), Vanuatu, and Vietnam. The regulatory
mechanisms relevant to P. rugosa, described first as the percentage of
the above countries that utilize them to any degree, and second as the
percentage of those countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General coral protection (28 percent
with 6 percent limited in scope), coral collection (61 percent with 31
percent limited in scope), pollution control (44 percent with 8 percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on reefs (92 percent with 19
percent limited in scope), managing areas for protection and
conservation (97 percent with 8 percent limited in scope). The most
common regulatory mechanisms in place for P. rugosa are reef fishing
regulations and area management for protection and conservation. Coral
collection and pollution control laws are also somewhat common for the
species, but 31 percent of coral collection laws are limited in scope
and may not provide substantial protection. General coral protection
laws are much less common regulatory mechanisms for the management of
P. rugosa.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for P. rugosa are that it has had high (but variable)
observed bleaching in response to warming events, has been observed to
be susceptible to multiple types of disease, and has been inferred to
be susceptible to poor water quality. Substantial collection from the
aquarium trade could lead to local extirpation in some areas. It listed
factors that reduce potential extinction risk including that P. rugosa
has a widespread distribution from the central Pacific to Africa, and
it can have a high local abundance.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of P. rugosa, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes most of the coral reef ecoregions
in the Indian Ocean and western and central Pacific Ocean, and some in
the Red Sea. Its geographic distribution moderates vulnerability to
extinction because some areas within its range are projected to have
less than average warming and acidification over the foreseeable
future, including the western Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and
other areas, so portions of the population in these areas will be less
exposed to severe conditions. Its depth range is from five to at least
20 meters. This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas of its range will usually have
lower irradiance than
[[Page 54088]]
surface waters, and acidification is generally predicted to accelerate
most in waters that are deeper and cooler than those in which the
species occurs. Its habitat includes at least upper reef slopes, mid-
slopes, and lagoons. This moderates vulnerability to extinction over
the foreseeable future because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous types of reef environments that
will, on local and regional scales, experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in time. Its abundance
of at least tens of millions of colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and acidification across the species
range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly
severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future will be non-
uniform and therefore, there will likely be a large number of colonies
that are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at
any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
P. rugosa was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); common generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and moderate depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for P.
rugosa from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on P. rugosa's
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to likely become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus it is not warranted for listing
at this time, because:
(1) Pachyseris rugosa's distribution from the Red Sea across the
Indian Ocean and most of the Pacific Ocean includes tens of thousands
of islands and reefs spread over a vast area. While some areas within
its range are projected to be affected by warming and acidification,
other areas are projected to have less than average warming and
acidification, including the western Indian Ocean, the central Pacific,
and other areas. This distribution and the heterogeneous habitats it
occupies reduce exposure to any given threat event or adverse condition
that does not occur uniformly throughout the species range. As
explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly throughout
the species range within the foreseeable future; and
(2) Pachyseris rugosa is described as common throughout its vast
geographic range and its total population size is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and increase in
severity and the species exposure to threats increases throughout its
range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, P.
rugosa is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Genus Pavona
Genus Introduction
The family Agaricidae includes six genera, Agaricia (Caribbean
only), Leptoseris, Pavona, Pachyseris, Gardineroseris, and Coeloseris.
Veron (Veron, 2000) recognizes 14 species in the genus Pavona. Colonies
of Pavona species have plates, branches, or are massive. The SRR and
SIR provided no genus-level introductory information on Pavona.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Pavona. One study reports Pavona had
mixed bleaching susceptibility on the GBR. Other studies reported that
both massive and encrusting Pavona have been highly susceptible to
bleaching in the eastern Pacific. Calcification in one Pavona species
slowed in reduced aragonite saturation state. Two massive Pavona in the
eastern Pacific showed little calcification reduction over 30 years in
response to acidification. The presence of several species of Pavona in
low aragonite saturation states in the Eastern Pacific suggests some
tolerance to acidification. There are a medium number of acute white
diseases found in Pavona by surveys in the Pacific. Members of the
genus Pavona are susceptible to predation by crown-of-thorns seastar
(Acanthaster planci), but susceptibility is variable among species in
the eastern Pacific. The genus Pavona is generally regarded as
moderately tolerant to sediment stress. More than 1,000 pieces of
Pavona are traded per year.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on the threat susceptibilities of the genus Pavona. We
gathered supplemental information that provided the following. With
regard to thermal stress, Brown and Suharsono (1990) reported that less
than half of the Pavona on the reef flats of two islands in the
Thousand Islands of Indonesia died in the 1983 El Nino mass bleaching.
In the mass bleaching event in 1998 in the Ryukyu Islands of Japan,
Pavona was highly susceptible to bleaching, and mortality was 100
percent, higher than any other of the six genera included in the study
(Kayanne et al., 2002). In contrast, during the same 1998 bleaching
event in Kenya, mortality of Pavona colonies was zero, and Pavona was
one of five genera out of the 18 genera in the study that had no
mortality (McClanahan et al., 2004). Pavona's bleaching index was the
second lowest of the 18 genera (McClanahan et al., 2004). In a
bleaching event on Palau in 2000, three species of Pavona had high
levels of bleaching and high mortality. Forty-eight percent of all
colonies of all species were bleached, and both bleaching and mortality
of different
[[Page 54089]]
genera and species ranged from zero to near 100 percent (Bruno et al.,
2001). In a bleaching event on the GBR in 2002, between seven percent
and 57 percent of six species of Pavona were affected (Done et al.,
2003b). In a bleaching event on Mauritius in 2004, Pavona had the
fourth lowest bleaching of the 32 genera recorded (McClanahan et al.,
2005a). In a bleaching event on Howland and Baker Islands in 2010,
between 32 and 37 percent of Pavona colonies bleached (Vargas-Angel et
al., 2011). During the same 2010 bleaching event in Thailand, between
47 and 67 percent of Pavona colonies bleached (Sutthacheep et al.,
2013).
In a broad study of 45 genera in the western Indian Ocean in 1998
to 2005, Pavona ranked 31st in bleaching susceptibility (McClanahan et
al., 2007a). Pavona had a low prevalence of disease in Guam, with 0.5%
of colonies with disease, tied for sixth highest prevalence out of 12
genera, with the highest genus having 6.7 percent (Myers and Raymundo,
2009). There is no other supplemental information on the
susceptibilities or vulnerabilities of Pavona to other threats.
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make the following inferences about
the susceptibilities of an unstudied Pavona species to ocean warming,
disease, ocean acidification, sedimentation, nutrients, trophic effects
of fishing, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and trade. The
SRR rated ocean warming and disease as ``high'' importance, and ocean
acidification as ``medium-high'' importance, to corals. These were
rated as the three most important threats to reef-building corals
overall. There was a wide range of reported susceptibility of Pavona
colonies to ocean warming and acidification. One study reported a
moderate disease prevalence in Pavona and another reported a low
prevalence. Thus, we conclude that an unstudied Pavona species is
likely to have some susceptibility to ocean warming, disease, and
acidification.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of fishing as ``medium''
importance, the fourth most important threat to corals overall. This
threat was not addressed at the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level process. That is, removal of
herbivorous fish from coral reef systems by fishing alters trophic
interactions by reducing herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae over coral. Thus, the SRR did
not discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa, as its effects are
difficult to distinguish between coral genera and species. Therefore,
an unstudied Pavona species is likely to be susceptible to the trophic
effects of fishing.
The SRR rated sedimentation, nutrients, and sea-level rise as
``low-medium'' importance to corals overall. The SRR reported that one
study showed Pavona decussata had an intermediate level of
susceptibility to sedimentation. Thus, we conclude that an unstudied
Pavona species is likely to have some susceptibility to sedimentation.
Although there is no genus-level or species-specific information on the
susceptibilities of Pavona species to nutrients, the SRR rated it as
``low-medium'' importance to corals.. Thus, we conclude that an
unstudied Pavona species is likely to have some susceptibility to
nutrients. Sea-level rise was not addressed at the genus or species
level in the SRR or SIR. Increasing sea levels may increase land-based
sources of pollution due to inundation, resulting in changes to coral
community structure, thus an unstudied Pavona species is likely to have
some susceptibility to sea-level rise. The SRR reported that Pavona was
susceptible to starfish predation (but the level varied by species) and
that the genus is traded in a moderate amount. Thus, we conclude that
an unstudied Pavona species has some susceptibility to predation and to
collection and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied Pavona species is likely to have some
susceptibility to ocean warming, disease, acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, nutrients, sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level
rise, predation, and collection and trade.
Pavona diffluens
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on P. diffluens'
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as submassive, and
the taxonomy was described as having no taxonomic issues, but it is
similar to Pavona gigantea and Pavona explanulata.
The public comments and information we gathered did not provide any
new or supplemental information on morphology. There is high taxonomic
uncertainty about colonies that appear similar to P. diffluens in the
Pacific, but low taxonomic uncertainty about P. diffluens in the Red
Sea and Indian Ocean. Both colonies in the Red Sea/Indian Ocean, and in
the Pacific, are easily distinguished from other Pavona. Veron (2014)
states that, ``We believe that Pacific P. diffluens is likely to be a
similar but different species from western Indian Ocean P. diffluens.''
We treat P. diffluens as the colonies in the Red Sea and Indian Ocean
only, as this is the best currently available scientific information.
Veron (2000; 2014) considers the species valid, and we consider it is
sufficiently distinctive to be identified by experts, thus we conclude
that the distribution and abundance information described below for
this species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on P. diffluens'
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Pavona diffluens occurs from
the Red Sea to the Arabian Gulf, and records show this species from the
Marianas Islands and American Samoa, but the records from the Marianas
Islands were unlikely. Its habitat includes at least upper reef slopes,
mid-slopes, lower reef crests, reef flats, and lagoons, in depths
ranging from five to at least 20 m.
The public comments and information we gathered provided
supplemental information on the distribution of P. diffluens. One
public comment stated that the occurrence of P. diffluens in the
Marianas indicates that this species has a broader range than has been
recognized by the authors. We gathered supplemental information,
including additional reports of P. diffluens from American Samoa
(Fenner, 2014b; Kenyon et al., 2010), but the taxonomic question for
them remains. Veron (2014) reports that this species is confirmed in
five of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be
found in an additional three, all of which are in the western Indian
Ocean. The public comments and information we gathered provided nothing
new or supplemental on P. diffluens' habitat and depth range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on P. diffluens'
abundance. Pavona diffluens has been reported as uncommon.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on P. diffluens' abundance, but we gathered supplemental
information that provided the following: Veron (Fenner, 2014b; Veron,
2014) reported that P. diffluens occupied 0.47% of 2,984 dive sites
sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance
rating of 1.43 on a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in which it was
found. Based on this semi-quantitative system, the species' abundance
is characterized as
[[Page 54090]]
``rare,'' and overall abundance is described as ``uncommon.'' Veron did
not infer trends in abundance from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction above, based on
results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at least millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For P.
diffluens, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 36 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 20 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context. Thus, these
changes have likely occurred, and are occurring, from a combination of
global and local threats. Given that P. diffluens occurs in many areas
affected by these broad changes, and likely has some susceptibility to
both global and local threats, we conclude that it is likely to have
declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100 years, but a precise
quantification is not possible based on the limited species-specific
information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on P. diffluens'
life history. The reproductive characteristics of P. diffluens have not
been determined, but six other species in the genus are known to be
gonochoric broadcast spawners. The public comments did not provide new
or supplemental information, and we did not find new or supplemental
information on the above-described biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe P. diffluens' threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Pavona of ocean
warming, disease, acidification, sedimentation, predation, and
collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide any other
species-specific information on the effects of these threats on P.
diffluens. We interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule as follows: High
vulnerability to ocean warming, moderate vulnerabilities to disease,
ocean acidification, and trophic effects of fishing, low
vulnerabilities to sedimentation, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade, and unknown vulnerability to nutrients.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on P. diffluens' threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following
species-specific and genus-level supplemental information on this
species' threat susceptibilities. P. diffluens has not been rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching or disease, but this
rating is not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al., 2008).
There is no species-specific information for the exposure or
susceptibility of P. diffluens to any threat. Based on genus-level and
species information described above, P. diffluens likely has some
susceptibilities to ocean warming, disease, acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade. The available information does not
support more precise ratings of the susceptibilities of P. diffluens to
the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for P.
diffluens. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment
led us to the following analysis to attempt to analyze regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm that Pavona diffluens
occurs in five Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 14 countries'
EEZs. The 14 countries are Djibouti, Egypt, Eritrea, France (French
Pacific Island Territories), Iran, Israel, Jordan, Madagascar, Oman,
Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, Sudan, United Arab Emirates, and Yemen. The
regulatory mechanisms relevant to P. diffluens, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that utilize them to any degree, and
second, as the percentages of those countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as follows: General coral
protection (21 percent with 7 percent limited in scope), coral
collection (43 percent with 7 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (64 percent with 7 percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (71 percent with 21 percent limited in scope), and
managing areas for protection and conservation (79 percent with 21
percent limited in scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for P. diffluens are reef fishing regulations and area management
for protection and conservation. Pollution control laws are also common
for the species. Coral collection and general coral protection laws are
less common regulatory mechanisms for the management of P. diffluens.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that P. diffluens' fairly moderate-to-low
tolerance to thermal stress and the species' narrow distribution range
increase the potential extinction risk. It listed factors that reduce
potential extinction risk for P. diffluens including its moderate
tolerance of sediment stress and its low susceptibility of the genus to
disease and predation.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of P. diffluens, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution is limited only to parts of the western
Indian Ocean along coastal East Africa, the Red Sea, and the Gulf of
Oman. This range exacerbates vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because of its size and localized human impacts for
coral reefs over the 21st century. In addition, parts of the Red Sea
are projected to experience severe impacts from climate change more
rapidly than other parts of the Indo-Pacific region. Its depth range of
five to 25 meters moderates vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because deeper areas of its range will usually have
lower irradiance than surface waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the
[[Page 54091]]
species occurs. Its habitat includes at least upper reef slopes, mid-
slopes, lower reef crests, reef flats, and lagoons. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types
of reef environments that will, on local and regional scales,
experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time. Its abundance of at least millions of colonies,
combined with spatial variability in ocean warming and acidification
across the species range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because
the increasingly severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future
will be non-uniform and therefore will likely be a large number of
colonies that are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a
threat at any given point in time. However, its qualitative abundance
is described as rare, which can exacerbate its vulnerability given its
restricted range.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
P. diffluens was proposed for listing as threatened because of:
Moderate vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E), disease (C) and
acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide abundance (E);
narrow overall distribution (based on narrow geographic distribution
and moderate depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of existing
regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, the listing determination for P. diffluens
remained threatened. Based on the best available information provided
above on P. diffluens' spatial structure, demography, threat
susceptibilities, and management, it is likely to become endangered
throughout its range within the foreseeable future, and thus warrants
listing as threatened at this time, because:
(1) Pavona diffluens is susceptible to ocean warming (E), disease
(C), ocean acidification (E), trophic effects of fishing (A), nutrients
(A, E), and predation (C). In addition, the species has inadequate
regulatory mechanisms for global threats (D);
(2) Pavona diffluens' distribution is mostly constrained to a small
part of the Indian Ocean where projections of local threats (e.g.,
land-based sources of pollution) and general effects of climate change
are both frequent and severe over the foreseeable future. The Red Sea
in particular is projected to experience frequent warming events sooner
than most other parts of the Indo-Pacific region. A range constrained
to a particular geographic area this size, predicted to experience
increasing threat impacts, indicates that a high proportion of the
population of this species is likely to be exposed to threats that
occur throughout this range over the foreseeable future; and
(3) Pavona diffluens' qualitative abundance is rare, which means it
does not possess as much buffering capacity in the form of variability
in response between individuals or absolute abundance that would be
afforded to a more abundant or common species. Combined with the
limited range of this species, this level of abundance leaves the
species vulnerable to becoming of such low abundance within the
foreseeable future that it may be at risk from depensatory processes,
environmental stochasticity, or catastrophic events, as explained in
more detail in the Corals and Coral Reefs and Risk Analyses sections.
The combination of these characteristics and projections of future
threats indicates that the species is likely to be in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future throughout its range and
warrants listing as threatened at this time due to factors A, C, D, and
E.
The available information above on P. diffluens' spatial structure,
demography, threat susceptibilities, and management also indicate that
the species is not currently in danger of extinction and thus does not
warrant listing as Endangered because:
(1) While P. diffluens' distribution is constrained only to parts
the western Indian Ocean along coastal East Africa, the Red Sea, and
the Gulf of Oman, the species' range still includes heterogeneous
habitat across its range, including at least upper reef slopes, mid-
slopes, lower reef crests, reef flats, and lagoons. Thus, the species
is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in
time, as described in more detail in the Coral Habitat and Threats
Evaluation sections. There is no evidence to suggest that the species
is so spatially fragmented or geographically constrained that
depensatory processes, environmental stochasticity, or the potential
for catastrophic events currently pose a high risk to the survival of
the species; and
(2) While P. diffluens' qualitative abundance is rare, its absolute
abundance is at least millions of colonies, which allows for some
variation in the responses of individuals to threats. There is no
evidence of depensatory processes such as reproductive failure from low
density of reproductive individuals and genetic processes such as
inbreeding affecting this species. Thus, its abundance indicates it is
currently able to avoid high mortality from environmental
stochasticity, and mortality of a high proportion of its population
from catastrophic events.
The combination of these characteristics indicates that the species
does not exhibit the characteristics of one that is currently in danger
of extinction, as described previously in the Risk Analyses section,
and thus does not warrant listing as endangered at this time.
Range-wide, a multitude of conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting P. diffluens. However, considering
the global scale of the most important threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at addressing the root cause of
global threats (i.e., GHG emissions), we do not believe that any
current conservation efforts or conservation efforts planned in the
future will result in affecting the species status to the point at
which listing is not warranted.
Genus Pectinia
Genus Introduction
The family Pectiniidae includes five genera, Pectinia,
Echinomorpha, Echinophyllia, Oxypora and Mycedium. Veron (2000)
recognizes nine species of Pectinia. Colonies are laminar to branching,
and may have high walls separating wide valleys. The SRR and SIR
provided no genus-level introductory information on Pectinia.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Pectinia. A case study from the Waikiki
Aquarium reported tolerance of Pectinia alcicornis to low pH. With
regards to disease, the SRR referred to a study that reported
crustacean parasites in Pectinia lactuca in American Samoa. However,
taxonomists have not recorded any Pectinia species there so far (D.
Fenner, personal comm.). Another study referred to in the SRR reported
Pectinia was not infected by ciliate skeletal eroding band on the GBR.
The SRR referred to two studies that reported that Pectinia is tolerant
of sediment, one study that indicated it was tolerant of high
nutrients, and one study that reported it decreased along a gradient of
reduced water quality. The SRR reported that Pectinidae species are
[[Page 54092]]
highly susceptible to crown-of-thorns seastar. The SRR reported that
the genus Pectinia is heavily exported--several thousand specimens are
exported annually.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on the threat susceptibilities of the genus Pectinia. We
gathered supplemental information that provided the following. With
regard to thermal stress, during a bleaching event on the GBR in 2002,
between five and 11 percent of three species of Pectinia were affected
(Done et al., 2003a). In Palau in 2000, Pectinia lactuca and Pectinia
peonia both had high levels of bleaching and high mortality. Forty-
eight percent of all colonies of all species were bleached, and both
bleaching and mortality of different genera and species ranged from
zero to near 100 percent (Bruno et al., 2001). Ruiz[hyphen]Moreno et
al. (2012) reported that the family Pectinidae had the highest disease
prevalence of any family of corals in the Pacific, and third highest of
all coral families they studied in the Caribbean and Indo-Pacific.
However, the family Pectinidae has five genera, and the study did not
report on the genus Pectinia. There is no other supplemental
information on the susceptibilities of Pectina to threats.
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make the following inferences about
the susceptibilities of an unstudied Pectinia species to ocean warming,
disease, ocean acidification, sedimentation, nutrients, trophic effects
of fishing, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and trade. The
SRR rated ocean warming and disease as ``high'' importance, and ocean
acidification as ``medium-high'' importance, to corals. These were
rated as the three most important threats to reef-building corals
overall. Pectinia shows a variable level of warming-induced bleaching,
thus we conclude that an unstudied Pectinia is likely to have some
susceptibility to ocean warming. Although there is no other genus-level
or species-specific information on the susceptibility of Pectinia
species to disease, the SRR rated it as ``high'' importance to corals,
thus we conclude that an unstudied Pectinia is likely to have some
susceptibility to disease. One study reported one species of Pectinia
had some resistant to acidification, thus with only one study, we
conclude that an unstudied Pectinia is likely to have some
susceptibility to ocean acidification.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of fishing as ``medium''
importance, the fourth most important threat to corals overall. This
threat was not addressed at the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level process. That is, removal of
herbivorous fish from coral reef systems by fishing alters trophic
interactions by reducing herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae over coral. Thus, the SRR did
not discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa, as its effects are
difficult to distinguish between coral genera and species. Therefore,
an unstudied Pectinia species is likely to have some susceptibility to
the trophic effects of fishing.
The SRR rated sedimentation, nutrients, and sea-level rise as
``low-medium'' importance to corals overall. Studies of the effects of
sediment and nutrients on Pectinia were inconsistent, thus we conclude
that an unstudied Pectinia species is likely to have some
susceptibility to sediment and nutrients. Sea-level rise was not
addressed at the genus or species level in the SRR or SIR. Increasing
sea levels may increase land-based sources of pollution due to
inundation, resulting in changes to coral community structure, thus an
unstudied Pectinia species is likely to have some susceptibility to
sea-level rise. The SRR reported that Pectinidae species are highly
susceptible to crown-of-thorns seastar, thus we conclude that an
unstudied Pectinia species is likely to have some susceptibility to
collection and trade. The SRR rated ornamental trade (referred to in
the proposed rule as Collection and Trade) as ``low'' importance to
corals overall. The SRR reported that Pectinia is heavily traded, thus
we conclude that an unstudied Pectinia species is likely to have some
susceptibility to collection and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied Pectinia species is likely to have some
susceptibility to ocean warming, disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade.
Pectinia alcicornis
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on P.
alcicornis' morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as
irregular clusters with thin, flat, grooved plates and tall, upward-
projecting spires that can dominate its structure. The taxonomy was
described as having no taxonomic issues but being similar in appearance
to Pectinia paeonia.
Public comments and information we gathered did not provide any new
or supplemental information on morphology, and confirmed that there are
no known taxonomic problems for P. alcicornis, but a moderate level of
species identification uncertainty exists. Veron (2014) states that P.
alcicornis is sometimes confused with other Pectinia species and Veron
(2000; 2014) considers the species valid, thus we conclude it can be
identified by experts, and that the distribution and abundance
information described below for this species is sufficiently reliable
(Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on P.
alcicornis' distribution, habitat, and depth range. The SRR and SIR
described P. alcicornis' distribution as broadly distributed from the
northern Indian Ocean to Fiji. It inhabits turbid water and other low-
light environments in most coral reef habitats, including at least
upper reef slopes, mid-slopes, lagoons, and caves, at depths of five to
25 m.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on P. alcicornis' distribution. We gathered supplemental information
including, Veron (2014), which reports that this species is confirmed
in 39 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be
found in an additional 16.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported P. alcicornis' abundance as usually
uncommon.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on P. alcicornis' abundance. We gathered supplemental information
including Veron (2014), which reports that P. alcicornis occupied 16.6
percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-
Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.6 on a 1 to 5 rating
scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``common,'' and overall abundance was described as ``usually
uncommon.'' Veron did not infer trends in abundance from these data. As
described in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction
above, based on results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014),
the absolute abundance of this species is likely at least tens of
millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from
[[Page 54093]]
total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For P. alcicornis, the
overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population Reduction'') was
estimated at 38 percent, and the decline in abundance before the 1998
bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population Reduction'') was
estimated at 15 percent. However, as summarized above in the Inter-
basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are highly
variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on small
scales that can be easily taken out of context. Thus, quantitative
inferences to species-specific trends should be interpreted with
caution. At the same time, an extensive body of literature documents
broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to reef communities
dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the past 50 to 100
years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al., 2003; Sale and
Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and are occurring,
from a combination of global and local threats. Given that P.
alcicornis occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and
likely has some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we
conclude that it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past
50 to 100 years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on
the limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR reported that P. alcicornis is a hermaphroditic
broadcast spawner. The public comments and information we gathered
provided no new or supplemental biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe P. alcicornis' threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Pectinia of ocean
warming, acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation, nutrients,
and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR also provided the following
species-specific information on P. alcicornis' threats. Pectinia
alcicornis showed very little mortality on the GBR in the 2001-2002
mass bleaching event. Pectinia alcicornis harbors Clade C zooxanthellae
in Okinawa and the South China Sea, but contained Clade D zooxanthellae
in Palau after the 2001 mass bleaching event. It is one of many species
that has been raised in the Waikiki Aquarium, which is characterized by
high-nutrient, low-pH waters. Although it is generally a sediment-
tolerant genus, P. alcicornis decreased along a deteriorating water
quality gradient on the Great Barrier Reef. Pectinia alcicornis exports
were reported at the species level only for 2000-2003, with a total of
133 specimens reported. The SRR and SIR did not provide any other
species-specific information on the effects of these threats on P.
alcicornis. We interpreted threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for P.
alcicornis' vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming, moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean acidification,
trophic effects of fishing, and predation, and low vulnerability to
sedimentation, nutrients, sea level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on P. alcicornis' threats susceptibilities. We gathered supplemental
species-specific and genus-level information on this species' threat
susceptibilities. Pectinia alcicornis has been rated as moderately or
highly susceptible to bleaching but not to disease, however this rating
is not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al. 2008). With
regard to thermal stress, eight percent of P. alcicornis was affected
by bleaching on the GBR in 2002. The other two Pectinia species
included in the study were affected by bleaching at rates of three
percent and 12 percent, and the range for all members of family
Pectiniidae was zero to 17 percent (Done et al., 2003a). There is no
other supplemental information on the effects of threats on this
species. Based on genus-level and species-specific information
described above, P. alcicornis likely has some susceptibility to ocean
warming, disease, acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and
trade. The available information does not support more precise ratings
of this species' threat susceptibilities.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for P.
alcicornis. Public comments were critical of that approach and we
therefore attempt to analyze regulatory mechanisms on a species basis
in this final rule. Records confirm that Pectinia alcicornis occurs in
39 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 21 countries' EEZs. The 21
countries are Australia, Brunei, China, Federated States of Micronesia,
Fiji, France (French Pacific Island Territories), India (Andaman and
Nicobar Islands), Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Myanmar, Palau, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, Solomon Islands, Sri Lanka, Taiwan, Thailand,
Timor-Leste, Vanuatu, and Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms relevant
to P. alcicornis, described first as the percentage of the above
countries that utilize them to any degree, and second as the percentage
of those countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be limited in scope,
are as follows: General coral protection (33 percent with 10 percent
limited in scope), coral collection (52 percent with 29 percent limited
in scope), pollution control (38 percent with 14 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (100 percent with 14 percent
limited in scope), and managing areas for protection and conservation
(95 percent with none limited in scope). The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for P. alcicornis are reef fishing regulations and
area management for protection and conservation. Coral collection laws
are also somewhat utilized for the species, but 29 percent of coral
collection laws are limited in scope and may not provide substantial
protection. General coral protection and pollution control laws are
less common regulatory mechanisms for the management of P. alcicornis.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that high bleaching rate is the primary threat
of extinction for Pectinia, although P. alcicornis may be relatively
resistant in some areas. Factors that increase potential extinction
risk for P. alcicornis include susceptibility to bleaching, predation,
and harvesting. It listed factors that reduce potential extinction risk
including that P. alcicornis occupies a variety of habitat types and is
broadly distributed both latitudinally and longitudinally in the Indo-
Pacific.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed
[[Page 54094]]
to the approach we used in the proposed rule, which emphasized the
species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of P. alcicornis, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution is from the northern Indian Ocean to Fiji.
Its geographic distribution moderates vulnerability to extinction
because some areas within its range are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification over the foreseeable future,
including the central Pacific, and other areas, so portions of the
population in these areas will be less exposed to severe conditions.
Its depth range is five to 25 m. This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future because deeper areas of its
range will usually have lower irradiance than surface waters, and
acidification is generally predicted to accelerate most in waters that
are deeper and cooler than those in which the species occurs. Its
inhabits turbid water and other low-light environments in most coral
reef habitats, including at least upper reef slopes, mid-slopes,
lagoons, and caves. This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is not limited to one habitat
type but occurs in numerous types of reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience highly variable thermal regimes
and ocean chemistry at any given point in time. Turbidity in particular
can moderate exposure to high irradiance by blocking light and
resulting heat from the water column. Its absolute abundance of at
least tens of millions of colonies, combined with spatial variability
in ocean warming and acidification across the species range, moderates
vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly severe conditions
expected in the foreseeable future will be non-uniform and therefore
will likely be a large number of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
P. alcicornis was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and moderate depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for P.
alcicornis from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on P. alcicornis'
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to likely become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus it is not warranted for listing
at this time, because:
(1) Pectinia alcicornis' distribution from the northern Indian
Ocean through the western Pacific Ocean to Fiji includes tens of
thousands of islands and reefs spread over a vast area. While some
areas within its range are projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, other areas are projected to have less than average
warming and acidification, including the central Pacific and other
areas. This distribution and the heterogeneous habitats it occupies
reduce exposure to any given threat event or adverse condition that
does not occur uniformly throughout the species range. As explained
above in the Threats Evaluation section, we have not identified any
threat that is expected to occur uniformly throughout the species range
within the foreseeable future;
(2) Pectinia alcicornis' total population size is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response; and
(3) Pectinia alcicornis extends down to 25 meters depth, providing
some buffering capacity against threat-induced mortality events that
may be more severe in shallow habitats;
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and worsen in
severity and the species' exposure to the threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, P.
alcicornis is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Genus Acanthastrea
Genus Introduction
The family Mussidae has 13 genera, eight of which are restricted to
the Indo-Pacific, including Acanthastrea. The genus Acanthastrea
contains 12 known species. Most Acanthastrea are encrusting, but one is
massive. The SRR and SIR provided no genus-level introductory
information on Acanthastrea.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Acanthastrea. The genus Acanthastrea has
been reported to be highly susceptibility to bleaching in Australia and
in the western Indian Ocean. The genus sustained moderate bleaching in
Palau in 1994 and several Acanthastrea species were relatively
unaffected during the 2002 event on the GBR (Done et al., 2003b).
Although no exports of Acanthastrea were reported from 2000- 2009,
1,000 Acanthastrea pieces were exported from Indonesia in 2010.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on the threat susceptibilities of the genus Acanthastrea.
We gathered supplemental information which provided the following
details. All Acanthastrea in protected areas in Kenya were killed by
mass bleaching in 1998 (McClanahan et al., 2001). Out of
[[Page 54095]]
four Acanthastrea species on the GBR, three species were not affected
by the 2002 GBR bleaching event, while 22 percent of one species was
affected (Done et al., 2003b). At Mauritius in a bleaching event in
2004, Acanthastrea had a bleaching index of nine, the 22nd highest of
the 32 genera recorded, which was 14 percent of the index of the genus
with the highest index (McClanahan et al., 2005a). In the western
Indian Ocean in 1998-2005, Acanthastrea had a bleaching index of 14.4
for eight countries, which was 24th highest of the 45 genera recorded,
and 35 percent of the highest value (McClanahan et al., 2007a).
With regard to land-based sources of pollution, Stafford-Smith
(1993) reported that 14 of 20 Acanthastrea echinata samples cleared
over 98 percent of sediment within 48 hours, the 12th best score. This
score was 70 percent of the highest scoring species. There is no other
supplemental information on the effects of threats on the genus
Acanthastrea.
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make the following inferences about
the susceptibilities of an unstudied Acanthastrea species to ocean
warming, disease, ocean acidification, sedimentation, nutrients,
trophic effects of fishing, sea-level rise, predation, and collection
and trade. The SRR rated ocean warming and disease as ``high''
importance, and ocean acidification as ``medium-high'' importance, to
corals. These were rated as the three most important threats to reef-
building corals overall. The above information on Acanthastrea shows a
wide range of susceptibility to ocean warming, thus we conclude that an
unstudied Acanthastrea species is likely to have some susceptibility to
ocean warming. Although there is no genus-level or species-specific
information on the susceptibilities of Acanthastrea species to disease
and ocean acidification, the SRR rated it as ``medium-high'' importance
to corals. Thus, we conclude that an unstudied Acanthastrea species is
likely to have some susceptibility to disease and ocean acidification.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of fishing as ``medium''
importance, the fourth most important threat to corals overall. This
threat was not addressed at the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level process. That is, removal of
herbivorous fish from coral reef systems by fishing alters trophic
interactions by reducing herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae over coral. Thus, the SRR did
not discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa, as its effects are
difficult to distinguish between coral genera and species. Therefore,
an unstudied Acanthastrea species is likely to have some susceptibility
to the trophic effects of fishing.
The SRR rated sedimentation, nutrients, and sea-level rise as
``low-medium'' importance to corals overall. One study found an
Acanthastrea species to have moderate sediment-clearing ability. Thus
we conclude that an unstudied Acanthastrea species is likely to have
some susceptibility to sedimentation. Although there is no genus-level
or species-specific information on the susceptibilities of Acanthastrea
species to nutrients, the SRR rated it as ``low-medium'' importance to
corals. Thus, we conclude that an unstudied Acanthastrea species has
some susceptibility to nutrients. Sea-level rise was not addressed at
the genus or species level in the SRR or SIR. Increasing sea levels may
increase land-based sources of pollution due to inundation, resulting
in changes to coral community structure, thus an unstudied Acanthastrea
species is likely to have some susceptibility to sea-level rise. The
SRR rated predation and ornamental trade (referred to in the proposed
rule as Collection and Trade) as ``low'' importance to corals overall.
Although there is no genus-level or species-specific information on the
susceptibilities of Acanthastrea species to predation, there is no
information suggesting they are not susceptible to this threat. Thus,
we conclude that an unstudied Acanthastrea species has some
susceptibility to predation. Because the available information suggests
that Acanthastrea species are lightly collected and traded, an
unstudied Acanthastrea species is likely to have low susceptibility to
collection and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied Acanthastrea species is likely to have
some susceptibility to ocean warming, disease, acidification,
sedimentation, nutrients, trophic effects of fishing, sea-level rise,
and predation, and is likely to have low susceptibility to collection
and trade.
Acanthastrea brevis
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. brevis'
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as mostly submassive,
attached and colonial, and the taxonomy was described as having no
taxonomic issues but being similar in appearance to Acanthastrea
echinata.
Public comments and information we gathered did not provide any new
or supplemental information on morphology, and confirmed that there are
no known taxonomic problems for A. brevis, but a moderate to high level
of species identification uncertainty. Veron (2014) states that it is
``readily confused with Acanthastrea echinata,'' but Veron (2000; 2014)
considers the species valid, thus we conclude it can be identified by
experts and that the distribution and abundance information described
below for this species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. brevis'
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Acanthastrea brevis is
distributed from the Red Sea and western Indian Ocean to American Samoa
in the central Pacific. Its habitat includes all coral reef habitats,
in a depth range of one to 20 m.
Public comments provided the following information on distribution
for A. brevis. One public comment stated that A. brevis likely occurs
in the Marianas and will be included in an upcoming book. We gathered
supplemental information, including Veron (2014), which reports that
this species is confirmed in 29 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and
strongly predicted to be found in an additional 17. Acanthastrea brevis
is found in the Northern Marianas and American Samoa as well (D.
Fenner, personal comm.) and the Marianas are one of the predicted areas
for A. brevis in the Veron (2014) information. Public comments and
information we gathered did not provide any more information on the
habitat and depth range of this species.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported A. brevis' abundance as uncommon but
conspicuous.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on A. brevis' abundance. We gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports that A. brevis occupied 6.5
percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-
Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.49 on a 1 to 5 rating
scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``uncommon,'' and overall abundance was also described as ``uncommon.''
[[Page 54096]]
Veron did not infer trends in abundance from these data. As described
in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction above, based on
results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at least tens of millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
brevis, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 36 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context. Thus,
quantitative inferences to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same time, an extensive body of
literature documents broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to
reef communities dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the
past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al.,
2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of global and local threats. Given
that A. brevis occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes,
and likely has some susceptibility to both local and global threats, we
conclude it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past 50 to
100 years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on the
limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. brevis'
life history. Although specific larval descriptions have not been
published for this species, the larvae of three other Acanthastrea
species studied do not contain zooxanthellae that can supplement
maternal provisioning with energy sources provided by their
photosynthesis. The public comments did not provide new or supplemental
information, and we did not find new or supplemental information on the
above-described biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. brevis' threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Acanthastrea of
ocean warming, acidification, disease, sedimentation, nutrients,
predation, and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide
any other species-specific information on the effects of these threats
on A. brevis. We interpreted threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for A. brevis'
vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean acidification, and trophic
effects of fishing, and low vulnerability to sedimentation, sea level
rise, and collection and trade, and unknown vulnerability to nutrients.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on A. brevis' threats susceptibilities. We gathered supplemental
species-specific and genus-level information on this species' threat
susceptibilities. Acanthastrea brevis was not rated as moderately or
highly susceptible to bleaching or coral disease by Carpenter et al.
(2008), but they did not use species-specific data for their ratings.
Based on genus-level and species information described above, A. brevis
likely has some susceptibility to ocean warming, disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, nutrients, sedimentation,
sea-level rise, and predation, and low susceptibility to collection and
trade.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
brevis. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment led
us to attempt the following analysis of regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that Acanthastrea brevis occurs in 29
Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 31 countries' EEZs. The 31
countries are Australia, Djibouti, Egypt, Eritrea, Federated States of
Micronesia, Fiji, France (French Pacific Island Territories),
Indonesia, Israel, Jordan, Kiribati, Madagascar, Malaysia, Mauritius,
New Zealand (Tokelau), Niue, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines,
Samoa, Saudi Arabia, Seychelles, Solomon Islands, Sri Lanka, Sudan,
Tonga, Tuvalu, United Kingdom (British Indian Ocean Territory), United
States (American Samoa), Vietnam, and Yemen. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to A. brevis, described first as the percentage of the above
countries that utilize them to any degree, and second as the percentage
of those countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be limited in scope,
are as follows: General coral protection (29 percent with 6 percent
limited in scope), coral collection (65 percent with 26 percent limited
in scope), pollution control (55 percent with 10 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (90 percent with 19 percent
limited in scope), and managing areas for protection and conservation
(97 percent with 10 percent limited in scope). The most common
regulatory mechanisms in place for A. brevis are reef fishing
regulations and area management for protection and conservation. Coral
collection and pollution control laws are somewhat common for the
species, but 26 percent of coral collection laws are limited in scope
and may not provide substantial protection. General coral protection
laws are much less common regulatory mechanisms for the management of
A. brevis.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that high susceptibility to bleaching is the
primary factor that increases potential extinction risk for A. brevis.
It listed factors that reduce potential extinction risk for A. brevis
including the fact that it occupies a variety of habitat types and is
broadly distributed, both latitudinally and longitudinally, in the
Indo-Pacific.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. brevis, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution is from the Red Sea and western Indian
Ocean to American Samoa in the central Pacific. Its geographic
distribution moderates vulnerability to extinction because some
[[Page 54097]]
areas within its range are projected to have less than average warming
and acidification over the foreseeable future, including the western
Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and other areas, so portions of the
population in these areas will be less exposed to severe conditions.
Its depth range is from one to 20 meters. This moderates vulnerability
to extinction over the foreseeable future because deeper areas of its
range will usually have lower irradiance than surface waters, and
acidification is generally predicted to accelerate most in waters that
are deeper and cooler than those in which the species occurs. Its
habitat includes all coral reef habitats. This moderates vulnerability
to extinction over the foreseeable future because the species is not
limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. Its abundance of at least tens of millions of colonies, combined
with spatial variability in ocean warming and acidification across the
species range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because the
increasingly severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future will
be non-uniform and therefore will likely be a large number of colonies
that are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at
any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
A. brevis was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and moderate depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
brevis from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on A. brevis'
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to likely become endangered throughout its range
within the foreseeable future, and thus it is not warranted for listing
at this time, because:
(1) Acanthastrea brevis' distribution from the western Indian Ocean
to the central Pacific across is spread over a vast area, approximately
half of the Indo-Pacific region. While some areas within its range are
projected to be affected by warming and acidification, other areas are
projected to have less than average warming and acidification,
including the western Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and other
areas. This distribution and the heterogeneous habitats it occupies
reduce exposure to any given threat event or adverse condition that
does not occur uniformly throughout the species range. As explained
above in the Threats Evaluation section, we have not identified any
threat that is expected to occur uniformly throughout the species range
within the foreseeable future; and
(2) Acanthastrea brevis's absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and worsen in
severity and the species' exposure to the threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, A.
brevis is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Acanthastrea hemprichii
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
hemprichii's morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as
encrusting to massive and frequently over one meter across, and the
taxonomy was described as having no taxonomic issues but being similar
in appearance to Acanthastrea echinata, Acanthastrea bowerbanki, and
Acanthastrea hillae.
Public comments and information we gathered did not provide any new
or supplemental information on morphology, and confirmed that there are
no known taxonomic problems for A. hemprichii and a low to moderate
level of species identification uncertainty. Veron (2014) states that
A. hemprichii is usually distinctive and Veron (2000; 2014) considers
the species valid, thus we conclude it can be identified by experts and
that the distribution and abundance information described below for
this species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
hemprichii's distribution, habitat, and depth range. Acanthastrea
hemprichii's distribution extends from the Red Sea and east Africa to
the central Indo-Pacific and central Pacific, it occupies most reef
habitats, and its depth range is from two to 20 m depth.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on A. hemprichii's distribution. We gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports that this species is confirmed in
47 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be
found in an additional 23.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported A. hemprichii's abundance as uncommon.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on A. hemprichii's abundance. We gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports that A. hemprichii occupied 11.4
percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-
Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.47 on a 1 to 5 rating
scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
[[Page 54098]]
``common,'' and overall abundance was described as ``uncommon.'' Veron
did not infer trends in abundance from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction above, based on
results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at least tens of millions of
colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For
Acanthastrea hemprichii, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent
Population Reduction'') was estimated at 35 percent, and the decline in
abundance before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent
Population Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent. However, as
summarized above in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral
cover trends are highly variable both spatially and temporally,
producing patterns on small scales that can be easily taken out of
context. Thus, quantitative inferences to species-specific trends
should be interpreted with caution. At the same time, an extensive body
of literature documents broad declines in live coral cover and shifts
to reef communities dominated by hardier coral species or algae over
the past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et
al., 2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred,
and are occurring, from a combination of global and local threats.
Given that A. hemprichii occurs in many areas affected by these broad
changes, and likely has some susceptibility to local and global
threats, we conclude it has likely declined in abundance over the past
50 to 100 years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on
the limited species specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
hemprichii's life history. Although specific larval descriptions have
not been published for this species, the larvae of three other
Acanthastrea species studied do not contain zooxanthellae that can
supplement maternal provisioning with energy sources provided by their
photosynthesis. The public comments did not provide new or supplemental
information, and we did not find new or supplemental information on the
above-described biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. hemprichii's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and
SIR provided genus-level information for the effects on Acanthastrea of
ocean warming, disease, acidification, sedimentation, nutrients,
predation, and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR also provided the
following species-specific information on A. hemprichii's threats.
Acanthastrea hemprichii was relatively unaffected during the 2002
bleaching event on the Great Barrier Reef. The SRR and SIR did not
provide any other species-specific information on the effects of these
threats on A. hemprichii. We interpreted threat susceptibility and
exposure information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for A.
hemprichii's vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming, moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean acidification,
trophic effects of fishing, and predation, low vulnerability to
sedimentation, sea level rise, and collection and trade, and unknown
susceptibility for nutrients.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on A. hemprichii's threats. We gathered supplemental species-specific
and genus-level information on this species' threat susceptibilities.
Acanthastrea hemprichii was not rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching or disease by Carpenter et al. (2008), but
they did not have species-specific data. Done et al. (2003b) reported
no bleaching in A. hemprichii on the GBR in 2002. Eight of 14 species
of Mussidae bleached with six to 26% of colonies bleached, and for
species in other families, as much as 80% of colonies bleached. Based
on genus-level and species-specific information described above, A.
hemprichii likely has some susceptibility to ocean warming, disease,
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, nutrients, sedimentation,
sea level rise, predation, and collection and trade. The available
information does not support more precise ratings of the susceptibility
of A. hemprichii to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
hemprichii. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment
led us to attempt the following analysis of regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that Acanthastrea hemprichii occurs in
47 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 30 countries' EEZs. The 30
countries are Australia, China, Djibouti, Egypt, Eritrea, Federated
States of Micronesia, Fiji, France (French Pacific Island Territories),
India (Andaman and Nicobar Islands), Indonesia, Israel, Japan, Jordan,
Kenya, Madagascar, Malaysia, Marshall Islands, Myanmar, Papua New
Guinea, Philippines, Saudi Arabia, Seychelles, Solomon Islands,
Somalia, Sudan, Taiwan, Tanzania, Thailand, Vietnam, and Yemen. The
regulatory mechanisms relevant to A. hemprichii, first described as the
percentage of the above countries that utilize them to any degree, and
second as the percentage of those countries whose regulatory mechanisms
may be limited in scope, are as follows: General coral protection (20
percent with three percent limited in scope), coral collection (47
percent with 20 percent limited in scope), pollution control (43
percent with 10 percent limited in scope), fishing regulations on reefs
(87 percent with 17 percent limited in scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (90 percent with 10 percent limited in
scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in place for A.
hemprichii are reef fishing regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral collection and pollution control
laws are somewhat common for the species, but 20 percent of coral
collection laws are limited in scope and may not provide substantial
protection. General coral protection laws are much less common
regulatory mechanisms for the management of A. hemprichii.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that high susceptibility to bleaching is the
primary factor that increases potential extinction risk for A.
hemprichii. It listed factors that reduce potential extinction risk for
A. hemprichii are includes the fact that it occupies a variety of
habitat types and is broadly distributed, both latitudinally and
longitudinally, in the Indo-Pacific.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed
[[Page 54099]]
to the approach we used in the proposed rule, which emphasized the
species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. hemprichii, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes most of the coral reef ecoregions
in the Red sea and western Indian Ocean and many in the central Indo-
Pacific and western and central Pacific Ocean. Its geographic
distribution moderates vulnerability to extinction because some areas
within its range are projected to have less than average warming and
acidification over the foreseeable future, including the western Indian
Ocean, the central Pacific, and other areas, so portions of the
population in these areas will be less exposed to severe conditions.
Its depth range is from two to 20 meters. This moderates vulnerability
to extinction over the foreseeable future because deeper areas of its
range will usually have lower irradiance than surface waters, and
acidification is generally predicted to accelerate most in waters that
are deeper and cooler than those in which the species occurs. Its
habitat includes most reef habitats. This moderates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future because the species is not
limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types of reef
environments that will, on local and regional scales, experience highly
variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in
time. Its abundance of at least tens of millions of colonies, combined
with spatial variability in ocean warming and acidification across the
species range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because the
increasingly severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future will
be non-uniform and therefore will likely be a large number of colonies
that are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at
any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
A. hemprichii was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution (based on wide geographic
distribution and moderate depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
hemprichii from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on A. hemprichii's
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to be likely to become endangered throughout its
range within the foreseeable future, and thus is not warranted for
listing at this time, because:
(1) Acanthastrea hemprichii's distribution includes the Red Sea and
east coast of Africa, plus many of the coral reef ecoregions in the
central Indo-Pacific and central Pacific Ocean includes and is spread
over a vast area. While some areas within its range are projected to be
affected by warming and acidification, other areas are projected to
have less than average warming and acidification, including the western
Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and other areas. This distribution
and the heterogeneous habitats it occupies reduce exposure to any given
threat event or adverse condition that does not occur uniformly
throughout the species range. As explained above in the Threats
Evaluation section, we have not identified any threat that is expected
to occur uniformly throughout the species range within the foreseeable
future; and
(2) Acanthastrea hemprichii's absolute abundance is at least tens
of millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and increase in
severity and the species exposure to threats increases throughout its
range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, A.
hemprichii is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Acanthastrea ishigakiensis
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
ishigakiensis' morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as
massive and usually hemispherical and often more than 0.5 meters
across, and taxonomy was described as having no taxonomic issues but
being similar in appearance to Acanthastrea hillae and Symphyllia
erythraea.
Public comments and information we gathered did not provide any new
or supplemental information on morphology, and confirmed that there are
no known taxonomic problems for A. ishigakiensis, but that there is a
moderate level of species identification uncertainty for this species.
Veron (2014) states that A. ishigakiensis is readily confused with A.
hillae, but Veron (2000; 2014) also considers the species valid, thus
we conclude it can be identified by experts and that the distribution
and abundance information described below for this species is
sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on Acanthastrea
ishigakiensis' distribution, habitat, and depth range. Acanthastrea
ishigakiensis' distribution extends from the Red Sea and east coast of
Africa to the central Pacific, but excludes Australia. Its habitat
includes upper reef slopes, lagoons and other areas protected from wave
action, in depths from one to 15 m depth.
Public comments provided the following information on A.
ishigakiensis' distribution. One public
[[Page 54100]]
comment stated that R.H. Randall recalls seeing this species in Guam at
60 m deep. We gathered supplemental information, including Veron
(2014), which reports that this species is confirmed in 25 of his 133
Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be found in an
additional 19.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported A. ishigakiensis' abundance as uncommon
but conspicuous.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on A. ishigakiensis' abundance. We gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports that A. ishigakiensis occupied
2.9 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-
Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.3 on a 1 to 5 rating
scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``uncommon,'' and overall abundance was described as ``uncommon but
conspicuous.'' Veron did not infer trends in abundance from these data.
As described in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction
above, based on results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014),
the absolute abundance of this species is likely at least tens of
millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
ishigakiensis, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 34 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context. Thus,
quantitative inferences to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same time, an extensive body of
literature documents broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to
reef communities dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the
past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al.,
2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of global and local threats. Given
that A. ishigakiensis occurs in many areas affected by these broad
changes, and likely has some susceptibility to local and global
threats, we conclude it has likely declined in abundance over the past
50 to 100 years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on
the lack of species specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A.
ishigakiensis' life history. Although specific larval descriptions have
not been published for this species, the larvae of three other
Acanthastrea species studied do not contain zooxanthellae that can
supplement maternal provisioning with energy sources provided by their
photosynthesis. The public comments did not provide new or supplemental
information, and we did not find new or supplemental information on the
above-described biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. ishigakiensis' threat susceptibilities, the SRR and
SIR provided genus-level information for the effects on Acanthastrea of
ocean warming, disease, acidification, sedimentation, nutrients,
predation, and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide
any other species-specific information on the effects of these threats
on A. ishigakiensis. We interpreted threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for A.
ishigakiensis' vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming, moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean acidification,
trophic effects of fishing, and predation, low vulnerability to
sedimentation, sea level rise, and collection and trade, and unknown
susceptibility to nutrients.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on A. ishigakinesis' threats susceptibilities. We gathered supplemental
species-specific and genus-level information on this species' threat
susceptibilities. Acanthastrea ishigakiensis was not rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching or disease by Carpenter
et al. (2008), but they did not have species-specific data. No species-
specific information is available for the susceptibility of A.
ishigakiensis to any threat. Based on genus-level information described
above, A. ishigakiensis likely has some susceptibility to ocean
warming, disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of fishing,
nutrients, sedimentation, sea level rise, predation, and low
susceptibility to collection and trade.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
ishigakiensis. Criticisms of our approach received during public
comment led us to attempt the following analysis of regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm A. ishigakiensis occurs
in 24 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 25 countries' EEZs. The 25
countries are Egypt, Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji, France
(French Pacific Island Territories), Indonesia, Israel, Japan, Jordan,
Kenya, Madagascar, Malaysia, Mauritius, Mozambique, Papua New Guinea,
Philippines, Saudi Arabia, Seychelles, Solomon Islands, Sudan,
Tanzania, United States (CNMI, Guam), Vanuatu, Vietnam, and Yemen.
Regulatory mechanisms relevant to A. ishigakiensis, described first as
the percentage of the above countries that utilize them to any degree,
and second as the percentage of those countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as follows: General coral
protection (21 percent with eight percent limited in scope), coral
collection (63 percent with 25 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (50 percent with 13 percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (88 percent with 21 percent limited in scope), and
managing areas for protection and conservation (100 percent with eight
percent limited in scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for A. ishigakiensis are reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are somewhat common the species, but 25 percent
of coral collection laws are limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection. General coral protection laws are much less
common regulatory mechanisms for the management of A. ishigakiensis.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that high susceptibility to bleaching is the
primary factor that increases potential extinction risk for A.
ishigakiensis. It listed factors that reduce potential extinction risk
including the fact that A. ishigakiensis is broadly distributed, both
latitudinally and longitudinally, in the Indo-Pacific.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental
[[Page 54101]]
species- or genus-specific information, described above, that expands
our knowledge regarding the species abundance, distribution, and threat
susceptibilities. We developed our assessment of the species'
vulnerability to extinction using all the available information. As
explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment in this final
rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and demographic
traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to extinction, as
opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule, which emphasized
the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. ishigakiensis, in conjunction
with the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section,
Coral Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect
its vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable
future. Its geographic distribution includes most of the coral reef
ecoregions in the Red Sea and western Indian Ocean and many in the
western and central Pacific Ocean. Its geographic distribution
moderates vulnerability to extinction because some areas within its
range are projected to have less than average warming and acidification
over the foreseeable future, including the western Indian Ocean, the
central Pacific, and other areas, so portions of the population in
these areas will be less exposed to severe conditions. Its depth range
is from one to 15 meters, and there is one anecdotal record from Guam
of this species observed at 60 meters depth. On one hand, its depth
range may moderate vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable
future because deeper areas of its range will usually have lower
irradiance than surface waters, and acidification is generally
predicted to accelerate most in waters that are deeper and cooler than
those in which the species occurs. On the other hand, its depth range
may exacerbate vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
if the species occurs predominantly in the shallower portion of its
depth range, since those areas will have higher irradiance and thus be
more severely affected by warming-induced bleaching. Its habitat
includes upper reef slopes, lagoons, and other areas protected from
wave action. This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is not limited to one habitat
type but occurs in numerous types of reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience highly variable thermal regimes
and ocean chemistry at any given point in time. Its absolute abundance
of at least tens of millions of colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and acidification across the species
range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly
severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future will be non-
uniform and therefore will likely be a large number of colonies that
are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at any
given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
A. ishigakiensis was proposed for listing as threatened because of:
High vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate
vulnerability to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon
generalized range wide abundance (E); moderate overall distribution
(based on wide geographic distribution and shallow depth distribution
(E); and inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
ishigakiensis from threatened to not warranted. We made this
determination based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment
of whether this species meets the definition of either a threatened or
endangered coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on A.
ishigakiensis' spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities,
and management, none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in
combination, are causing this species to be likely to become endangered
throughout its range within the foreseeable future, and thus is not
warranted for listing at this time, because:
(1) Acanthastrea ishigakiensis' distribution includes the Red Sea
and most of the western Indian Ocean along with many of the coral reef
ecoregions in the western and central Pacific. While some areas within
its range are projected to be affected by warming and acidification,
other areas are projected to have less than average warming and
acidification, including the western Indian Ocean, the central Pacific,
and other areas. This distribution and the heterogeneous habitats it
occupies reduce exposure to any given threat event or adverse condition
that does not occur uniformly throughout the species range. As
explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly throughout
the species range within the foreseeable future; and
(2) Acanthastrea ishigakiensis' absolute abundance is at least tens
of millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and increase in
severity and the species exposure to threats increases throughout its
range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, A.
ishigakiensis is not warranted for listing at this time under any of
the listing factors.
Acanthastrea regularis
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. regularis'
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as massive and with
corallites united by fused compound walls, and taxonomy was described
as having no taxonomic issues but being similar in appearance to
Montastraea and Favia underwater.
Public comments and information we gathered did not provide any new
or supplemental information on morphology, and confirmed that there are
no known taxonomic problems for A. regularis, and a moderate level of
species identification uncertainty for this species. Veron (2014)
states that A.
[[Page 54102]]
regularis is readily confused with Favia species but Veron (2000; 2014)
considers the species valid, thus we conclude it can be identified by
experts and that the distribution and abundance information described
below for this species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. regularis'
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Acanthastrea regularis'
distribution is restricted, and includes the Coral Triangle and some
islands in the west and central Pacific. Its habitat includes most reef
habitats, including upper reef slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef crests,
reef flats, and lagoons in depths from two to 20 m.
Public comments provided the following information on distribution
of A. regularis. One public comment stated that A. regularis is likely
in the Marianas. We gathered supplemental information, including Veron
(2014), which reports that this species is confirmed in 17 of his 133
Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be found in an
additional 16.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported A. regularis' abundance as uncommon.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on A. regularis' abundance. We gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports that A. regularis occupied 5.1
percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-
Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.21 on a 1 to 5 rating
scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``uncommon,'' and overall abundance was also described as ``uncommon.''
Veron did not infer trends in abundance from these data. As described
in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction above, based on
results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at least millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For A.
regularis, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 36 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context. Thus,
quantitative inferences to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same time, an extensive body of
literature documents broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to
reef communities dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the
past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al.,
2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of global and local threats. Given
that A. regularis occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes,
and likely has some susceptibility to local and global threats, we
conclude it has likely declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100
years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on the
limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on A. regularis'
life history. Although specific larval descriptions have not been
published for this species, the larvae of three other Acanthastrea
species studied do not contain zooxanthellae that can supplement
maternal provisioning with energy sources provided by their
photosynthesis.
The public comments did not provide new or supplemental
information, and we did not find new or supplemental information on the
above-described biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe A. regularis' threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Acanthastrea of
ocean warming, acidification, disease, sedimentation, nutrients,
predation, and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide
any other species-specific information on the effects of these threats
on A. regularis. We interpreted threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for A. regularis'
vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming,
moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean acidification, and trophic
effects of fishing, and predation, low vulnerability to sedimentation,
sea level rise, and collection and trade, and unknown vulnerability to
nutrients.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on A. regularis' threat susceptibilities. We gathered supplemental
species-specific and genus-level information on this species' threat
susceptibilities. Acanthastrea regularis was not rated as moderately or
highly susceptible to bleaching or disease by Carpenter et al. (2008),
but they did not have species-specific data. Based on genus-level
information presented above, A. regularis likely has some
susceptibility to ocean warming, disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, nutrients, sedimentation, sea-level rise, and
predation, and low susceptibility to collection and trade.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for A.
regularis. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment
led us to attempt the following analysis of regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that A. regularis occurs in 17 Indo-
Pacific ecoregions that encompass eight countries' EEZs. The eight
countries are Australia, Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji,
Indonesia, Malaysia, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, and Vietnam. The
regulatory mechanisms relevant to A. regularis, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that utilize them to any degree, and
second as the percentage of those countries whose regulatory mechanisms
may be limited in scope, are as follows: General coral protection (25
percent with none limited in scope), coral collection (63 percent with
25 percent limited in scope), pollution control (63 percent with 25
percent limited in scope), fishing regulations on reefs (100 percent
with 13 percent limited in scope), and managing areas for protection
and conservation (100 percent with none limited in scope). The most
common regulatory mechanisms in place for A. regularis are reef fishing
regulations and area management for protection and conservation. Coral
collection and pollution control laws are also somewhat common for the
species, but 25 percent of those laws are limited in scope and may not
provide substantial protection. General coral protection laws are much
less common regulatory mechanisms for the management of A. regularis.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the
[[Page 54103]]
baseline environment and future projections of threats. The SRR stated
that high susceptibility to bleaching is the primary factor that
increases potential extinction risk for A. regularis. This species
occupies a variety of habitat types and extends down to 20 meters depth
which are factors listed in the SRR that reduce potential extinction
risk.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of A. regularis, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Acanthastrea regularis is not highly susceptible to any of the nine
most important threats, although it has some susceptibility to each.
Its geographic distribution is mostly constrained to parts of the Coral
Triangle and western equatorial Pacific Ocean--areas which are
projected to have the most rapid and severe impacts from climate change
and localized human impacts for coral reefs over the 21st century. For
a species that is highly susceptible to climate change related threats,
this range would exacerbate vulnerability to extinction but A.
regularis is not highly susceptible susceptibility. Vulnerability to
extinction may be exacerbated by the severe nature of local threats
predicted within its range, however, A. regularis is not highly
susceptible to any local sources of impact either. Its depth range is
from two to 20 meters. This moderates vulnerability to extinction over
the foreseeable future because deeper areas of its range will usually
have lower irradiance than surface waters, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in waters that are deeper and
cooler than those in which the species occurs. Its habitat includes
upper reef slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef crests, reef flats, and
lagoons. This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is not limited to one habitat
type but occurs in numerous types of reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience highly variable thermal regimes
and ocean chemistry at any given point in time. Its absolute abundance
of at least millions of colonies, combined with spatial variability in
ocean warming and acidification across the species range, moderates
vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly severe conditions
expected in the foreseeable future will be non-uniform and therefore
will likely be a large number of colonies that are either not exposed
or do not negatively respond to a threat at any given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
A. regularis was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderate overall distribution (based on moderate
geographic distribution and moderate depth distribution (E); and
inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for A.
regularis from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on A. regularis'
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to be likely to become endangered throughout its
range within the foreseeable future, and thus is not warranted for
listing at this time, because:
(1) While A. regularis' distribution is mostly constrained to parts
of the Coral Triangle and western equatorial Pacific Ocean, its
distribution is spread over a large area across the Coral Triangle, the
Marianas archipelago, Palau, Micronesia, and Fiji. While some areas
within its range are projected to be affected by warming and
acidification, A. regularis is not highly susceptible to ocean warming,
acidification, or any of the nine most important threats. This
distribution and the heterogeneous habitats it occupies reduce exposure
to any given threat event or adverse condition that does not occur
uniformly throughout the species range. As explained above in the
Threats Evaluation section, we have not identified any threat that is
expected to occur uniformly throughout the species range within the
foreseeable future; and
(2) Acanthastrea regularis' absolute abundance is at least millions
of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of absolute
numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between individual
colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section above, the
more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of colonies that
are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will not have the same response.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and increase in
severity and the species exposure to threats increases throughout its
range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, A.
regularis is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Genus Barabattoia
Genus Introduction
The family Favidae includes 24 genera, more than any other family,
including Barabattoia. Barabattoia contains two species, B. laddi and
B. amicorum. Colonies are massive or encrusting. The SRR and SIR
provided no genus-level introductory information on Barabattoia.
[[Page 54104]]
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Barabattoia. Barabattoia amicorum has
low-to-moderate bleaching susceptibility with an unknown degree of
resultant mortality (Bruno et al., 2001).
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on the threat susceptibilities of the genus Barabattoia. We
gathered supplemental information that provided the following. With
regard to thermal stress, B. amicorum experienced low to moderate
bleaching in Palau in 2000, but mortality was not reported (Bruno et
al., 2001). Forty-eight percent of all colonies of all species were
bleached, and bleaching of different genera and species ranged from
none to very high, and mortality of different genera and species ranged
from none to near 100 percent (Bruno et al., 2001). There is no
information on the susceptibilities of Barabattoia to any other
threats.
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make the following inferences about
the susceptibilities of an unstudied Barabattoia species to ocean
warming, disease, acidification, sedimentation, nutrients, trophic
effects of fishing, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR rated ocean warming and disease as ``high'' importance,
and ocean acidification as ``medium-high'' importance, to corals. These
were rated as the three most important threats to reef-building corals
overall. The one available study on the effects of ocean warming on
Barabattoia found that B. amicorum in Palau experienced low to moderate
bleaching (Bruno et al., 2001). Even though there is only one study
available, since there are only two species within the genus
Barabattoia, it is reasonable to make inferences about the
susceptibility of B. laddi to ocean warming. Although there is no other
genus-level or species-specific information on the susceptibilities of
Barabattoia species to ocean warming, disease, and acidification, the
SRR rated them as ``high'' or ``medium-high'' importance to corals.
Thus, we conclude that an unstudied Barabattoia species is likely to
have some susceptibility to ocean warming, disease, and acidification.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of fishing as ``medium''
importance, the fourth most important threat to corals overall. This
threat was not addressed at the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level process. That is, removal of
herbivorous fish from coral reef systems by fishing alters trophic
interactions by reducing herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae over coral. Thus, the SRR did
not discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa, as its effects are
difficult to distinguish between coral genera and species. Therefore,
an unstudied Barabattoia species is likely to have some susceptibility
to the trophic effects of fishing.
The SRR rated sedimentation, nutrients, and sea-level rise as
``low-medium'' importance to corals overall. Although there is no
genus-level or species-specific information on the susceptibilities of
Barabattoia species to sedimentation and nutrients, there is no
information suggesting they are not susceptible to these threats. Thus
we conclude that an unstudied Barabattoia species is likely to have
some susceptibility to sedimentation and nutrients. Sea-level rise was
not addressed at the genus or species level in the SRR or SIR.
Increasing sea levels may increase land-based sources of pollution due
to inundation, resulting in changes to coral community structure, thus
an unstudied Barabattoia species is likely to have some susceptibility
to sea-level rise. The SRR rated predation and ornamental trade
(referred to in the proposed rule as Collection and Trade) as ``low''
importance to corals overall. Because there is no information on the
effects of predation and ornamental trade on Barabattoia, we conclude
that Barabattoia has some susceptibility to predation and ornamental
trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied Barabattoia species is likely to have
some susceptibility to ocean warming, disease, acidification, disease,
sedimentation, nutrients, trophic effects of fishing, sea-level rise,
predation, and collection and trade.
Barabattoia laddi
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on B. laddi's
morphology and taxonomy: the morphology was described as clusters of
tubular corallites, and the taxonomy was described as having no
taxonomic issues but being similar in appearance to B. amicorum and
Montastraea sp.
The public comments and information we gathered did not provide any
new or supplemental information on morphology, and confirmed that there
are no known taxonomic problems for B. laddi, and that there is a low
to moderate level of species identification uncertainty for this
species, since it is so rare that surveyors get little experience with
it. Veron (2014) states that B. laddi is distinctive and Veron (2000;
2014) considers the species valid, thus we conclude it is sufficiently
distinctive to be identified by experts, and that the distribution and
abundance information described below for this species is sufficiently
reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on B. laddi's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Barabattoia laddi's range is
somewhat restricted, centered on the Coral Triangle and extending to
the central Pacific including perhaps French Polynesia. The SRR and SIR
described B. laddi's habitat as recorded only from shallow lagoons, and
the depth range as 0 to 10 m. The public comments provided the
following details. One public comment stated that B. laddi tentatively
occurs in Apra Harbor, Guam. We gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports that this species is confirmed in
22 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be
found in an additional 15. Surveys in Indonesia record the species at
multiple sites with depths greater than 10 m (Bigot and Amir, 2009;
Donnelly et al., 2003; Turak and DeVantier, 2003) and surveys in the
Maldives record the species at multiple sites with depths up to 20 m
(Bigot and Amir, 2009; Donnelly et al., 2003; Turak and DeVantier,
2003). These surveys were done in different habitats, including reef
slopes and lagoons. Thus, based on all the available information, B.
laddi's habitat includes at least upper reef slopes, mid-slope
terraces, and lagoons in depths ranging from zero to 20 m.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported B. laddi's abundance as rare. The public
comments did not provide any new or supplemental information on B.
laddi's abundance, but we gathered supplemental information, including
Veron (2014), which reports that B. laddi occupied 5.2 percent of 2,984
dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean
abundance rating of 1.33 on a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in
which it was found. Based on this semi-quantitative system, the
species' abundance was characterized as ``uncommon,'' and overall
abundance was described as ``rare.'' Veron did not infer trends in
abundance from these data. As described in the Indo-Pacific Species
Determinations introduction
[[Page 54105]]
above, based on results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014),
the absolute abundance of this species is likely at least tens of
millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For B.
laddi, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 35 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context. Thus,
quantitative inferences to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same time, an extensive body of
literature documents broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to
reef communities dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the
past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al.,
2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of global and local threats. Given
that B. laddi occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes, and
likely has some susceptibility to local and global threats, we conclude
that it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past 50 to 100
years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on the
limited species specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on B. laddi's
life history. The reproductive characteristics of B. laddi have not
been determined. There is only one other species in the genus, B.
amoricum, which is a hermaphroditic broadcast spawner that participated
in multispecies spawning events at Magnetic Island and Orpheus Island
on the Great Barrier Reef. The larvae of B. amoricum do not contain
zooxanthellae that might supplement maternal provisioning with energy
from photosynthesis. The public comments and information we gathered
provided no new or supplemental biological information.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe B. laddi's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and SIR
provided genus-level information for the effects on Barabattoia of
ocean warming, disease, acidification, sedimentation, nutrients,
predation, and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide
any other species-specific information on the effects of these threats
on B. laddi. We interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for B. laddi's
vulnerabilities as follows: Moderate vulnerability to ocean warming,
disease, acidification, trophic effects of fishing, and nutrients, low
vulnerability to sedimentation, sea level rise, and collection and
trade, and unknown vulnerability to predation.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on B. laddi's threats. We gathered the following species-specific
supplemental information on this species' threat susceptibilities.
Barabattoia laddi has not been rated as moderately or highly
susceptible to bleaching or disease, but this rating is not based on
species-specific data (2008). No other species-specific information is
available for the susceptibility of B. laddi to any other threat. Based
on the available genus-level information described above, B. laddi
likely has some susceptibility to ocean warming, disease,
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation, nutrients,
predation, sea-level rise, and collection and trade. The available
information does not support more precise ratings of the susceptibility
of B. laddi to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for B.
laddi. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment led us
to attempt the following analysis of regulatory mechanisms on a species
basis. Records confirm B. laddi occurs in 22 Indo-Pacific ecoregions
that encompass 15 countries' EEZs. The 15 countries are Australia,
Brunei, China, France (French Pacific Island Territories), Indonesia,
Malaysia, Marshall Islands, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines,
Solomon Islands, Taiwan, United Kingdom (Pitcairn Islands), United
States (PRIAs), and Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms relevant to B.
laddi, described first as the percentage of the above countries that
utilize them to any degree and second, as the percentages of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as
follows: General coral protection (33 percent with none limited in
scope), coral collection (67 percent with 33 percent limited in scope),
pollution control (47 percent with 20 percent limited in scope),
fishing regulations on reefs (93 percent with 27 percent limited in
scope), and managing areas for protection and conservation (100 percent
with 13 percent limited in scope). The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for B. laddi are reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are also somewhat common for the species, but 33
percent of coral collection laws are limited in scope and may not
provide substantial protection. General coral protection laws are much
less common regulatory mechanisms for the management of B. laddi.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk are the species' limited western Pacific distribution,
its occurrence in shallow lagoons and its rare abundance.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of B. laddi, in conjunction with the
information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Barabattoia laddi has not been rated highly susceptible to ocean
warming or disease, the two most important threats to corals in this
final rule, nor is it highly susceptible to the other threats
identified in this rule. Its geographic distribution includes coral
reef ecoregions in the western and central Pacific Ocean from Malaysia
to the Pitcairn Islands. Its geographic distribution in combination
with its low to moderate susceptibility to threats, moderates
vulnerability to extinction because it is spread across a large area.
[[Page 54106]]
While its range includes the Coral Triangle, it also includes some
areas projected to have less than average warming and acidification
over the foreseeable future, including the central Pacific so portions
of the population in these areas will be less exposed to severe
conditions, plus those that are exposed may not show negative responses
because of low or moderate susceptibility. Its depth range is from zero
to 20 meters. This would exacerbate vulnerability to extinction over
the foreseeable future for a species with high susceptibility to the
nine most important threats, but B. laddi is not highly susceptible.
Its habitat includes at least upper reef slopes, mid-slope terraces,
and lagoons. Its absolute abundance of at least tens of millions of
colonies, combined with low to moderate susceptibility and spatial
variability in ocean warming and acidification across the species
range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly
severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future will be non-
uniform and therefore will likely be a large number of colonies that
are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at any
given point in time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
B. laddi was proposed for listing as threatened because of: Moderate
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E), disease (C) and
acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide abundance (E);
narrow overall distribution (based on moderate geographic distribution
and shallow depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of existing
regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for B.
laddi from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on B. laddi's
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to be likely to become endangered throughout its
range within the foreseeable future, and thus is not warranted for
listing at this time, because:
(1) Barabattoia laddi's distribution includes many of the coral
reef ecoregions in the western and central Pacific, from Malaysia as
far east as the Pitcairn Islands, and is spread over a very large area.
While some areas within its range are projected to be affected by
warming and acidification, other areas are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification, including the central Pacific, and
other areas. This distribution and the heterogeneous habitats it
occupies reduce exposure to any given threat event or adverse condition
that does not occur uniformly throughout the species range. As
explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly throughout
the species range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Barabattoia laddi's absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response; and
(3) The best available information suggests that Barabattoia laddi
is not highly susceptible to any of the nine threats identified in this
rule, so even if a proportion of its population overlaps in time and
space with a threat event, many colonies may not exhibit a negative
response.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and increase in
severity and the species exposure to threats increases throughout its
range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, B. laddi
is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the listing
factors.
Genus Caulastrea
Genus Introduction
The family Favidae includes 24 genera, more than any other family,
including Caulastrea. The genus Caulastrea contains five species,
including C. echinulata. Colonies are branching, and branches may be
short or close together. The SRR and SIR provided no genus-level
introductory information on Caulastrea.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Caulastrea. Caulastrea furcata was not
observed to bleach in 1998 in Palau.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on the threat susceptibilities of the genus Caulastrea. We
gathered supplemental information which provided the following details.
In a study of warming-induced bleaching of over 100 coral species on
the GBR in 2002, approximately 10 percent of C. furcata colonies were
affected by bleaching, making it one of the least affected species in
the study (Done et al., 2003b). There is no information on the
susceptibilities or vulnerabilities of Caulastrea to any other threats.
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make the following inferences about
the susceptibilities of an unstudied Caulastrea species to ocean
warming, disease, acidification, sedimentation, nutrients, trophic
effects of fishing, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and
trade. The SRR rated ocean warming and disease as ``high'' importance,
and ocean acidification as ``medium-high'' importance, to corals. These
were rated as the three most important threats to reef-building corals
overall. Caulastrea has shown low levels or no thermal-induced
bleaching in two studies, one reported in the SRR, and one reported
above (Done et al., 2003b). Thus, we conclude that an unstudied
Caulastrea is likely to have low susceptibility to ocean warming.
Although there is no other genus-level or species-specific information
on the susceptibilities of Caulastrea species to disease and ocean
acidification, the SRR rated them as ``high'' and ``medium-high''
importance to corals, respectively. Thus, we conclude that an unstudied
Caulastrea
[[Page 54107]]
species is likely to have some susceptibility to disease and ocean
acidification.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of fishing as ``medium''
importance, the fourth most important threat to corals overall. This
threat was not addressed at the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level process. That is, removal of
herbivorous fish from coral reef systems by fishing alters trophic
interactions by reducing herbivory on algae, thereby providing a
competitive advantage for space to algae over coral. Thus, the SRR did
not discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa, as its effects are
difficult to distinguish between coral genera and species. Therefore,
an unstudied Caulastrea species is likely to have some susceptibility
to the trophic effects of fishing.
The SRR rated sedimentation and nutrients as ``low-medium''
importance to corals overall. Although there is no genus-level or
species-specific information on the susceptibilities of Caulastrea
species to sedimentation and nutrients, there is no information
suggesting they are not susceptible to these threats. Thus, we conclude
that an unstudied Caulastrea species is likely to have some
susceptibility to sedimentation and nutrients. Sea-level rise was not
addressed at the genus or species level in the SRR or SIR. Increasing
sea levels may increase land-based sources of pollution due to
inundation, resulting in changes to coral community structure, thus an
unstudied Caulastrea species is likely to have some susceptibility to
sea-level rise. The SRR rated predation and ornamental trade (referred
to in the proposed rule as Collection and Trade) as ``low'' importance
to corals overall. There is no information on the effects of predation
and collection and trade on Caulastrea, thus we conclude that
Caulastrea likely has some susceptibility to predation and collection
and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied Caulastrea species is likely to have
low susceptibility to ocean warming, and some susceptibility to
disease, ocean acidification, sedimentation, nutrients, trophic effects
of fishing, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and trade.
Caulastrea echinulata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on C.
echinulata's morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as
elongated, closely compacted corallites on the ends of branches, and
taxonomy was described as having no taxonomic issues but being similar
in appearance to Caulastrea furcata.
The public comments and information we gathered did not provide any
new or supplemental information on morphology, and indicated that there
is moderate taxonomic uncertainty for C. echinulata and a moderate
level of species identification uncertainty for this species. Veron
(2014) states that C. echinulata is commonly confused with C. furcata,
but the species can be identified by experts (Fenner, 2014b), thus we
conclude that the distribution and abundance information described
below for this species is sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on C.
echinulata's distribution, habitat, and depth range. The distribution
includes the Coral Triangle and GBR and a few nearby areas. Its primary
habitat is horizontal substrates protected from wave action and with
turbid water, which can occur in a variety of reef habitats, including
at least upper reef slopes, mid-slopes, and lagoons. Its depth range is
one to 20 meters.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on C. echinulata's distribution. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which reports that this species is
confirmed in 15 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional 12.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported C. echinulata's abundance as uncommon. The
public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information on
C. echinulata's abundance. We gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports that C. echinulata occupied 0.34
percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-
Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.3 on a 1 to 5 rating
scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``rare,'' and overall abundance was described as ``uncommon.'' Veron
did not infer trends in abundance from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction above, based on
results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute
abundance of this species is likely at least millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For C.
echinulata, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 36 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context. Thus,
quantitative inferences to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same time, an extensive body of
literature documents broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to
reef communities dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the
past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al.,
2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of global and local threats. Given
that C. echinulata occurs in many areas affected by these broad
changes, and likely has some susceptibility to local and global
threats, we conclude that it is likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a precise quantification is not
possible due to the limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The public comments and information we gathered did not provide any
other biological information on this species.
Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the following species-specific information
on C. echinulata's threats. Trade in C. echinulata is heavy. From 1999
to 2009, gross exports averaged 8,713 specimens annually, with the vast
majority originating in Indonesia. Take quotas over that same period
increased from 9,000 in 1999 to 10,670 in 2010. Some general (i.e.,
family-level and coral-level) information was also provided for the
effects of ocean warming, acidification, disease, predation,
sedimentation, nutrients, and collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did
not provide any other species-specific information on the effects of
these threats on C. echinulata. We interpreted threat susceptibility
and exposure information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for
C. echinulata's vulnerabilities as follows: Moderate vulnerability to
ocean warming, disease, acidification, trophic effects of fishing, and
nutrients, low vulnerability to sea
[[Page 54108]]
level rise and collection and trade, and unknown vulnerability to
sedimentation and predation.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on C. echinulata's threat susceptibilities. We gathered the following
species-specific and genus-level supplemental information on this
species' threat susceptibilities. Caulastrea echinulata has not been
rated as moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching or disease, but
this rating is not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). Based on genus information described above, C. echinulata is
likely to have low susceptibility to ocean warming, and likely has some
susceptibility to disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and
collection and trade. The available information does not support more
precise ratings of the susceptibilities of C. echinulata to the
threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for C.
echinulata. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment
led us to attempt the following analysis of regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm C. echinulata occurs in 15 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 12 countries' EEZs. The 12 countries are
Australia, Brunei, China, Fiji, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Palau,
Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Solomon Islands, and Taiwan. The
regulatory mechanisms relevant to C. echinulata, described first as the
percentage of the above countries that utilize them to any degree and
second, as the percentages of those countries whose regulatory
mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as follows: General coral
protection (25 percent with none limited in scope), coral collection
(67 percent with 42 percent limited in scope), pollution control (42
percent with 8 percent limited in scope), fishing regulations on reefs
(100 percent with 25 percent limited in scope), and managing areas for
protection and conservation (100 percent with none limited in scope).
The most common regulatory mechanisms in place for C. echinulata are
reef fishing regulations and area management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and pollution control laws are also
somewhat utilized for the species, but 42 percent of coral collection
laws are limited in scope and may not provide substantial protection.
General coral protection laws are much less common regulatory
mechanisms for the management of C. echinulata.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for C. echinulata are its uncommon abundance and that
it is heavily traded. It listed factors that reduce potential
extinction risk including that the species distribution is broad
latitudinally, and that its preferred habitat type (turbid conditions)
may provide some refuge from global threats such as bleaching (to which
it may have relatively low susceptibility).
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of C. echinulata, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Caulastrea echinulata has low susceptibility to ocean warming-induced
bleaching, based on species-specific and genus-level information. Its
geographic distribution is mostly constrained to parts of the Coral
Triangle and western equatorial Pacific Ocean--areas which are
projected to have the most rapid and severe impacts from climate change
and localized human impacts for coral reefs over the 21st century. For
a species that is highly susceptible to climate change related threats,
this range would exacerbate vulnerability to extinction but C.
echinulata has low susceptibility. Vulnerability to extinction may be
exacerbated by the severe nature of local threats predicted within its
range, however, C. echinulata is not highly susceptible to any local
sources of impact either. Its depth range is from one to 20 meters.
This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will usually have lower irradiance,
and acidification is generally predicted to accelerate most in waters
that are deeper and cooler than those in which the species occurs. Its
habitat includes horizontal substrates protected from wave action and
with turbid water, which can occur on at least upper reef slopes, mid-
slopes, and lagoons. This moderates vulnerability to extinction over
the foreseeable future because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous types of reef environments that
will, on local and regional scales, experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in time. In addition,
turbidity can mitigate against the effects of high irradiance by
blocking it from the water column in turbid environments. Its absolute
abundance of at least millions of colonies, combined with its low
susceptibility to ocean warming, moderates vulnerability to extinction
because the increasingly severe conditions expected in the foreseeable
future will be non-uniform and therefore will likely be a large number
of colonies that are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to
a threat at any given point in time. Further, its absolute abundance of
at least tens of millions of colonies also provides buffering capacity
against collection pressures for the purposes of international trade.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula, C.
echinulata was proposed for listing as threatened because of: Moderate
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E), disease (C) and
acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide abundance (E);
narrow overall distribution (based on narrow geographic distribution
and moderate depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of existing
regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for C.
echinulata from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity
[[Page 54109]]
of this species' spatial and demographic traits to lessen its
vulnerability to threats. Thus, based on the best available information
above on C. echinulata's spatial structure, demography, threat
susceptibilities, and management, none of the five ESA listing factors,
alone or in combination, are causing this species to be likely to
become endangered throughout its range within the foreseeable future,
and thus it is not warranted for listing at this time, because:
(1) Caulastrea echinulata's low sensitivity to bleaching and depth
range down to 20 m, along with its preference for turbid water habitat,
all combine to provide refuge from thermal stress and may decrease
synergistic impacts from other threats;
(2) While Caulastrea echinulata's distribution is mostly
constrained to parts of the Coral Triangle and western equatorial
Pacific Ocean, its distribution is spread over a large area across the
Coral Triangle, southern Japan and Fiji. While some areas within its
range are projected to be affected by warming and acidification, other
areas are projected to have less than average warming and
acidification. This distribution and the heterogeneous habitats it
occupies reduce exposure to any given threat event or adverse condition
that does not occur uniformly throughout the species range. As
explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we have not
identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly throughout
the species range within the foreseeable future; and
(3) Caulastrea echinulata's absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. Its absolute abundance also provides buffering
capacity against collection pressures for purposes of international
trade. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section above, the
more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of colonies that
are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will not have the same response.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and worsen in
severity and the species' exposure to the threats increases throughout
its range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, C.
echinulata is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Genus Euphyllia
Genus Introduction
The family Euphyllidae contains five genera, all in the Indo-
Pacific, including Euphyllia. The genus Euphyllia contains eight
species. The SRR and SIR provided no genus-level introductory
information on Euphyllia.
Genus Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on the threat
susceptibilities of the genus Euphyllia. Euphyllia species experienced
high bleaching, but mortality is unknown, following the 1997/1998 mass
bleaching event in Palau. In Indonesia, the family Euphyllidae had no
prevalence of coral disease. When raised in acidified conditions,
Euphyllia paradivisa showed little change in skeletal morphology, while
Galaxea and Stylophora showed substantial skeletal change and
Pocillopora died. The SRR reported that abundance of Euphyllia recruits
was enhanced in areas where fish were excluded, indicating it may be
more tolerant of the shaded conditions created by increased algal
biomass in overfished areas. Euphyllia divisa was fairly sensitive to
exposure to cyanide; concentrations at or below those used in cyanide
fishing caused a progressive tissue detachment, microbial infection,
and death. Large patches of Euphyllia species can form in turbid areas
in Indonesia, suggesting a toleration of high sediment loads. Euphyllia
cristata is heavily used in the aquarium trade with species-specific
exports or quotas from Indonesia, Fiji, Malaysia, and Tonga. Actual
reported annual exports from Indonesia alone averaged over 36,000
pieces from 2000 to 2008.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on the threat susceptibilities of the genus Euphyllia,
except for a public comment on a study cited in the SRR on the effects
of ocean acidification on E. paradivisa, which is discussed in the
description of that species below. We gathered supplemental information
which provided the following. The 1998 Palau bleaching event affected
at least three Euphyllia species (E. divisa, E. glabrescens, and E.
paraancora), and all three species reported high levels of bleaching
(Bruno et al., 2001). Euphyllia was the largest live trade genus from
1985 to 1997 (Green and Shirley, 1999) and in 1999 (Bruckner, 2001).
There is no other supplemental information on the effects of threats on
the genus Euphyllia.
Genus Conclusion
Based on the information from the SRR, SIR, public comments, and
supplemental information, we can make the following inferences about
the susceptibilities of an unstudied Euphyllia species to ocean
warming, disease, ocean acidification, sedimentation, nutrients,
trophic effects of fishing, sea-level rise, predation, and collection
and trade. The SRR rated ocean warming and disease as ``high''
importance, and ocean acidification as ``medium-high'' importance, to
corals. These were rated as the three most important threats to reef-
building corals overall. The one available study reporting the effects
of ocean warming on Euphyllia reported high levels of bleaching. We
conclude that an unstudied Euphyllia species is likely to have high
susceptibility to ocean warming. Family Euphyllidae was found to be
disease-free in Indonesia. However, this single study provides
inadequate information to conclude low susceptibility to disease, thus
we conclude that an unstudied Euphyllia species is likely to have some
susceptibility to disease. The one available study on a Euphyllia
species in acidified water did not show effects on skeletal growth.
This is the Tibbits (2009) study on E. paradivisa that a public comment
stated is flawed. As described below in the E. paradivisa species
description below, we reviewed the study and we concur that the methods
were flawed, thus the study does not provide an adequate basis to
conclude low susceptibility. Therefore, we conclude that an unstudied
Euphyllia species is likely to have some susceptibility to ocean
acidification.
The SRR rated the trophic effects of fishing as ``medium''
importance, the fourth most important threat to corals overall. This
threat was not addressed at the genus or species level in the SRR or
SIR, because it is an ecosystem-level process. That is, removal of
herbivorous fish from coral reef systems by fishing
[[Page 54110]]
alters trophic interactions by reducing herbivory on algae, thereby
providing a competitive advantage for space to algae over coral. Thus,
the SRR did not discuss this threat in terms of coral taxa, as its
effects are difficult to distinguish between coral genera and species.
Therefore, an unstudied Euphyllia species is likely to have some
susceptibility to the trophic effects of fishing.
The SRR rated sedimentation and nutrients as ``low-medium''
importance to corals overall. One study reported Euphyllia tolerates
turbid waters, suggesting tolerance of sedimentation, and one study
suggested that Euphyllia may be tolerant of increased algae due to
nutrients. However, these single studies provide inadequate information
to conclude low susceptibilities, thus we conclude that an unstudied
Euphyllia species is likely to have some susceptibility to
sedimentation and nutrients. Sea-level rise was not addressed at the
genus or species level in the SRR or SIR. Increasing sea levels may
increase land-based sources of pollution due to inundation, resulting
in changes to coral community structure, thus an unstudied Euphyllia
species is likely to have some susceptibility to sea-level rise.
Although there is no genus-level or species-specific information on the
susceptibility of Euphyllia species to predation, there is no
information suggesting they are not susceptible to these threats. Thus,
we conclude that an unstudied Euphyllia species is likely to have some
susceptibility to predation. Some Euphyllia species are heavily
exploited in the ornamental trade, thus we conclude that an unstudied
Euphyllia species is likely to have high susceptibility to collection
and trade.
In conclusion, an unstudied Euphyllia species is likely to have
high susceptibility to ocean warming and collection and trade, and some
susceptibility to disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of
fishing, sedimentation, nutrients, sea-level rise, and predation.
Euphyllia cristata
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on E. cristata's
morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as branching separate
corallites without a shared wall but close together, and solitary
polyps are common, and taxonomy was described as having no taxonomic
issues.
Public comments and information we gathered did not provide any new
or supplemental information on morphology, and confirmed that there are
no known taxonomic problems for E. cristata, and a moderate level of
species identification uncertainty. Veron (2014) states that E.
cristata is sometimes confused with Euphyllia glabrescens. However, it
can be identified by experts (Fenner, 2014b), thus we conclude that the
distribution and abundance information described below for this species
is sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on E. cristata's
distribution, habitat, and depth range. Euphyllia cristata's
distribution is the central Indo-Pacific and the central Pacific. Its
habitat includes most coral reef environments, and its depth range is
one to 35 meters.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on E. cristata's distribution. We gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports that this species is confirmed in
37 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be
found in an additional 12. Public comments and information we gathered
did not provide any more information on E. cristata's habitat and depth
range.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported E. cristata's abundance as uncommon.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on E. cristata's abundance. We gathered supplemental information,
including Veron (2014), which reports that E. cristata occupied 12.1
percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-
Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.33 on a 1 to 5 rating
scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``common,'' and overall abundance was described as ``uncommon but
conspicuous.'' Veron did not infer trends in abundance from these data.
As described in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations introduction
above, based on results from Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014),
the absolute abundance of this species is likely at least tens of
millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For E.
cristata, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 36 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context. Thus,
quantitative inferences to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same time, an extensive body of
literature documents broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to
reef communities dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the
past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al.,
2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of global and local threats. Given
that E. cristata occurs in many areas affected by these broad changes,
and likely has some susceptibility to both global and local threats, we
conclude that it is likely to have declined in abundance over the past
50 to 100 years, but a precise quantification is not possible based on
limited species specific information.
Other Biological Information
The public comments and information we gathered did not provide any
other biological information on this species.
Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the following species-specific information
on E. cristata's threats. Euphyllia cristata is heavily used in the
aquarium trade with species-specific exports or quotas from Indonesia,
Fiji, Malaysia, and Tonga. Actual reported annual exports from
Indonesia alone averaged over 36,000 pieces from 2000 to 2008. Genus-
level information is provided for the effects on Euphyllia of ocean
warming, disease, ocean acidification, land-based sources of pollution
(sedimentation, nutrients, toxins, and salinity), predation, and
collection/trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide any other species-
specific information on the effects of these threats on E. cristata. We
interpreted threat susceptibility and exposure information from the SRR
and SIR in the proposed rule for E. cristata's vulnerabilities as
follows: High vulnerability to ocean warming; moderate vulnerability to
disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of fishing, and
nutrients, and low vulnerability to sedimentation, sea level rise,
predation, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on E. cristata's threat susceptibilities. We gathered supplemental
species-specific and genus-level information on this
[[Page 54111]]
species' threat susceptibilities. Euphyllia cristata was not rated as
moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching or coral disease by
Carpenter et al. (2008), but they did not have species-specific data.
There are no studies of the effects of any threat on this species.
Based on genus-level information presented above, E. cristata is likely
to have high susceptibility to ocean warming and collection and trade,
and some susceptibility to disease, ocean acidification, trophic
effects of fishing, nutrients, sedimentation, sea-level rise, and
predation.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for E.
cristata. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment led
us to attempt the following analysis of regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm E. cristata occurs in 37 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions that encompass 21 countries' EEZs. The 21 countries are
Australia, Brunei, China, Federated States of Micronesia, Fiji, France
(French Pacific Island Territories), Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia,
Maldives, Myanmar, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Solomon
Islands, Taiwan, Thailand, Timor-Leste, United States (CNMI, Guam),
Vanuatu, and Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms relevant to E.
cristata, described first as the percentage of the above countries that
utilize them to any degree, and second as the percentage of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as
follows: General coral protection (38 percent with five percent limited
in scope), coral collection (62 percent with 29 percent limited in
scope), pollution control (43 percent with 14 percent limited in
scope), fishing regulations on reefs (100 percent with 14 percent
limited in scope), and managing areas for protection and conservation
(95 percent with none limited in scope). The most common regulatory
mechanisms in place for E. cristata are reef fishing regulations and
area management for protection and conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are also somewhat utilized for the species, but
29 percent of coral collection laws are limited in scope and may not
provide substantial protection. General coral protection laws are much
less common regulatory mechanisms for the management of E. cristata.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that factors that increase potential extinction
risk for E. cristata include its heavy involvement in international
trade combined with its rare existence but conspicuous colonies,
suggesting it is vulnerable to overexploitation. Euphyllia cristata
appears to be susceptible to bleaching. The SRR noted that its
geographic distribution is moderate, although wider than its congeners
under consideration in this review.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of E. cristata, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution includes many of the coral reef ecoregions
from the northern Indian Ocean through the western and central Pacific
Ocean. Its geographic distribution moderates vulnerability to
extinction because some areas within its range are projected to have
less than average warming and acidification over the foreseeable
future, including the western Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and
other areas, so portions of the population in these areas will be less
exposed to severe conditions. Its depth range is from one to 35 meters.
This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will usually have lower irradiance
than surface waters, and acidification is generally predicted to
accelerate most in waters that are deeper and cooler than those in
which the species occurs. Its habitat includes most coral reef
environments. This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is not limited to one habitat
type but occurs in numerous types of reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience highly variable thermal regimes
and ocean chemistry at any given point in time. Its absolute abundance
of at least tens of millions of colonies, combined with spatial
variability in ocean warming and acidification across the species
range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly
severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future will be non-
uniform and therefore will likely be a large number of colonies that
are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at any
given point in time. Further, its absolute abundance of at least tens
of millions of colonies also provides buffering capacity against
collection pressures for the purposes of international trade.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
E. cristata was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); moderate overall distribution (based on moderate
geographic distribution and moderate depth distribution (E); and
inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for E.
cristata from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on E. cristata's
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to be likely to become endangered throughout its
range within the foreseeable future, and thus is not warranted for
listing at this time, because:
(1) Euphyllia cristata's distribution in the northern Indian Ocean,
central Indo-Pacific, and central Pacific is spread
[[Page 54112]]
over a vast area. While some areas within its range are projected to be
affected by warming and acidification, other areas are projected to
have less than average warming and acidification, including the central
Pacific, and other areas. This distribution and the heterogeneous
habitats it occupies reduce exposure to any given threat event or
adverse condition that does not occur uniformly throughout the species
range. As explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we have
not identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly
throughout the species range within the foreseeable future;
(2) Euphyllia cristata's absolute abundance is at least tens of
millions of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of
absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. Its absolute abundance also provides buffering
capacity against collection pressures for purposes of international
trade. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section above, the
more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of colonies that
are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a particular time,
and all individuals that are exposed will not have the same response;
and
(3) Euphyllia cristata occurs from one to 35 meters of depth which
provides vertical moderation of exposure to threats and increases the
absolute area of potential occupancy within the species range,
therefore buffering against extinction risk.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and increase in
severity and the species exposure to threats increases throughout its
range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, E.
cristata is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Euphyllia paraancora
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on E.
paraancora's morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as
branching separate corallites without a shared wall, and tentacles have
anchor-shaped ends. Taxonomy was described as having no taxonomic
issues but tentacles are similar to Euphyllia ancora, and the skeleton
is the same as Euphyllia glabrescens, Euphyllia paraglabrescens, and
Euphyllia paradivisa.
Public comments and information we gathered did not provide any new
or supplemental information on morphology, and confirmed that there are
no known taxonomic problems for E. paraancora, but there is a low level
of species identification uncertainty for this species. The species can
be easily identified by experts, thus we conclude that the distribution
and abundance information described below for this species is
sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on E.
paraancora's distribution, habitat, and depth range. Euphyllia
paraancora is found in the Coral Triangle, Taiwan, the Mariana Islands,
New Caledonia and Vanuatu. The SIR reports that colonies found in Guam
were in turbid environments. Its habitat includes reef environments
protected from wave action, including at least upper reef slopes, mid-
slopes, lower reef slopes, and lagoons, from three to 30 m deep.
One public comment confirmed the presence of E. paraancora in Guam.
We gathered supplemental information, including Veron (2014), which
reports that this species is confirmed in 19 of his 133 Indo-Pacific
ecoregions, and strongly predicted to be found in an additional 15.
Euphyllia paraancora has been reported in water as deep as 70 m
(Carpenter et al., 2008; Rooney et al., 2012). Based on all the
available information, its habitat includes least upper reef slopes,
mid-slopes, lower reef slopes, lagoons, and mesophotic areas, from
three to 70 m deep.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported E. paraancora's abundance as uncommon.
However, it has reportedly been found in large monospecific stands at
six to 8 m depth in Taiwan.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on E. paraancora's abundance. We gathered supplemental information that
provides the following. Euphyllia paraancora has been reported from
large monospecific stands at 60 to 70 m depth in Saipan (Rooney et al.,
2012). Veron (2014) reports that E. paraancora occupied 1.9 percent of
2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had
a mean abundance rating of 1.46 on a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites
in which it was found. Based on this semi-quantitative system, the
species' abundance was characterized as ``uncommon,'' and overall
abundance was also described as ``uncommon.'' Veron did not infer
trends in abundance from these data. As described in the Indo-Pacific
Species Determinations introduction above, based on results from
Richards et al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute abundance of this
species is likely at least millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For E.
paraancora, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 36 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 14 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context. Thus,
quantitative inferences to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same time, an extensive body of
literature documents broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to
reef communities dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the
past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al.,
2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of global and local threats. Given
that E. paraancora occurs in many areas affected by these broad
changes, and likely has some susceptibility to both global and local
threats, we conclude that it is likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a precise quantification is not
possible based on limited species specific information.
Other Biological Information
The public comments and information we gathered did not
[[Page 54113]]
provide any other biological information on this species.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe E. paraancora's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and
SIR provided the following species-specific information on E.
paraancora's threats. Euphyllia paraancora and its congeners
experienced high bleaching but mortality is unknown following the 1997/
1998 mass bleaching event in Palau (Bruno et al., 2001). Euphyllia
paraancora in Taiwan contained both Clades C and D zooxanthellae, with
Clade D primarily in stressful environments like shallow waters and
reef edges. Euphyllia paraancora is specifically listed in the CITES
databases with a 2008 annual export quota of ~ 5000 (up from 1000 in
2004) ``maricultured'' pieces from Indonesia although the meaning of
``maricultured'' is unclear. Genus-level information is provided for
the effects on Euphyllia of ocean warming, ocean acidification,
disease, land-based sources of pollution (sedimentation, nutrients,
toxins, and salinity), predation, and collection/trade. The SRR and SIR
did not provide any other species-specific information on the effects
of these threats on E. paraancora. We interpreted threat susceptibility
and exposure information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for
E. paraancora's vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming; moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean acidification,
trophic effects of fishing, and nutrients, and low vulnerability to
sedimentation, sea level rise, and collection and trade.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on E. paraancora's threats susceptibilities. We gathered supplemental
species-specific and genus-level information on this species' threat
susceptibilities. Euphyllia paraancora was not rated as moderately or
highly susceptible to bleaching or disease by Carpenter et al. (2008),
but they did not have species-specific data. In Palau in 2000, E.
paraancora had high levels of bleaching, but an unknown level of
mortality. In that event, 48 percent of all coral colonies of all
species were bleached, with bleaching of different genera and species
ranging from none to very high, and mortality from none to near 100
percent (Bruno et al., 2001). There are no other studies of the effects
of any threat on this species. Combined with genus-level information
presented above, E. paraancora is likely to have high susceptibility to
ocean warming and collection and trade. Further based on genus level
information, E. paraancora can be predicted to have some susceptibility
to disease, ocean acidification, trophic effects of fishing, nutrients,
sedimentation, sea-level rise, and predation.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for E.
paraancora. We received criticism of that approach in public comments
and in response we present a species-specific analysis of regulatory
mechanisms in this final rule. Records confirm that Euphyllia
paraancora occurs in 19 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 16
countries' EEZs. The 16 countries Australia, Brunei, China, Federated
States of Micronesia, France (French Pacific Island Territories),
Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines,
Solomon Islands, Taiwan, Timor-Leste, United States (CNMI, Guam), and
Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms relevant to E. paraancora, described
first as the percentage of the above countries that utilize them to any
degree, and second as the percentage of those countries whose
regulatory mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as follows: General
coral protection (38 percent with none limited in scope), coral
collection (63 percent with 25 percent limited in scope), pollution
control (44 percent with 19 percent limited in scope), fishing
regulations on reefs (100 percent with 19 percent limited in scope),
and managing areas for protection and conservation (100 percent with
none limited in scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in place
for E. paraancora are reef fishing regulations and area management for
protection and conservation. Coral collection and pollution control
laws are also somewhat utilized for the species, but 25 percent of
coral collection laws are limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection. General coral protection laws are much less
common regulatory mechanisms for the management of E. paraancora.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that factors that increase potential extinction
risk for E. paraancora include its heavy involvement in international
trade combined with its rare existence but conspicuous colonies,
suggesting it is vulnerable to overexploitation. The species appears
bleaching-susceptible. Its geographic distribution is also somewhat
restricted, centered in the threat-prone Coral Triangle Region.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of E. paraancora, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution occurs in the Coral Triangle, the western
equatorial Pacific Ocean, the Mariana Islands, and New Caledonia.
Despite the large number of islands and environments that are included
in the species' range, this range exacerbates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future because it is mostly limited to
an area projected to have the most rapid and severe impacts from
climate change and localized human impacts for coral reefs over the
21st century. Its depth range goes down to 70 meters which stretches
into the mesophotic zone. This moderates vulnerability to extinction
over the foreseeable future because deeper areas of its range will
usually have lower irradiance than surface waters, and acidification is
generally predicted to accelerate most in waters that are deeper and
cooler than those in which the species occurs. Its habitat includes at
least upper reef slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef slopes, lagoons, and
mesophotic areas. This moderates vulnerability to extinction over the
foreseeable future because the species is not limited to one habitat
type but occurs in numerous types of reef environments that will, on
local and regional scales, experience highly variable thermal regimes
and ocean chemistry at any given point in time. Its absolute abundance
of at least millions of colonies, combined with spatial
[[Page 54114]]
variability in ocean warming and acidification across the species
range, moderates vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly
severe conditions expected in the foreseeable future will be non-
uniform and therefore will likely be a large number of colonies that
are either not exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at any
given point in time. Further, its absolute abundance of at least tens
of millions of colonies also provides buffering capacity against
collection pressures for the purposes of international trade.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
E. paraancora was proposed for listing as threatened because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); wide overall distribution (based on moderate geographic
distribution and wide depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for E.
paraancora from threatened to not warranted. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on E. paraancora's
spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management,
none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in combination, are
causing this species to be likely to become endangered throughout its
range within the foreseeable future, and thus is not warranted for
listing at this time, because:
(1) Euphyllia paraancora's depth distribution of three to 70 m is
exceptionally broad and deep for most reef-building coral species. The
ability to occupy a broad range of depths likely provides refugia from
threats that may be more severe in shallow environments because
irradiance is usually lower at depths at the deeper end of this
species' range. It also increases the absolute area of potential
occupancy throughout the species range. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not occur uniformly throughout the
species range. As explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we
have not identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly
throughout the species range within the foreseeable future; and
(2) Euphyllia paraancora's absolute abundance is at least millions
of colonies, providing buffering capacity in the form of absolute
numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between individual
colonies. Its absolute abundance also provides buffering capacity
against collection pressures for purposes of international trade. As
discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section above, the more
colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of colonies that are
likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a particular time, and
all individuals that are exposed will not have the same response.
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future as global threats continue and increase in
severity and the species exposure to threats increases throughout its
range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, E.
paraancora is not warranted for listing at this time under any of the
listing factors.
Euphyllia paradivisa
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on E.
paradivisa's morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as
branching separate corallites without a shared wall and branching
tentacles. The taxonomy was described as having no taxonomic issues but
having tentacles similar to Euphyllia divisa and skeleton that is the
same as Euphyllia glabrescens, Euphyllia paraglabrescens, and Euphyllia
paraancora.
The public comments and information we gathered did not provide any
new or supplemental information on morphology, and confirmed that there
are no known taxonomic problems for E. paradivisa, and a low level of
species identification uncertainty for this species. Veron (2014)
states that E. paradivisa is very distinctive. The species can be
easily identified by experts, thus we conclude that the distribution
and abundance information described below for this species is
sufficiently reliable (Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on E.
paradivisa's distribution, habitat, and depth range. Euphyllia
paradivisa's distribution is restricted to the Coral Triangle, and its
habitat is shallow or mid-slope reef environments protected from wave
action, from five to 20 meters depth.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on E. paradivisa's distribution. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014) which reports that E. paradivisa is
confirmed in eight of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions, and strongly
predicted to be found in an additional eight. Fenner (2013a) reported
E. paradivisa (supported by photographs), from American Samoa at about
25 m deep protected from wave action. Veron (2014) reports it from
American Samoa based on that record. Thus, based on all the available
information, E. paradivisa's habitat includes environments protected
from wave action on at least upper reef slopes, mid-slope terraces, and
lagoons in depths ranging from two to 25 m depth.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported that E. paradivisa's abundance is
uncommon.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on E. paradivisa's abundance. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014) which reported that E. paradivisa
occupied 0.2 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30 ecoregions of
the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.5 on a 1 to 5
rating scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on this semi-
quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized as
``rare,'' and overall abundance was described as ``uncommon.'' Veron
did not infer trends in abundance from these data. As described in the
Indo-Pacific Species
[[Page 54115]]
Determinations introduction above, based on results from Richards et
al. (2008) and Veron (2014), the absolute abundance of this species is
likely at least tens of millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For E.
paradivisa, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 38 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 15 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context. Thus,
quantitative inferences to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same time, an extensive body of
literature documents broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to
reef communities dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the
past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al.,
2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of global and local threats. Given
that E. paradivisa occurs in many areas affected by these broad
changes, and likely has some susceptibility to both global and local
threats, we conclude that it is likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a precise quantification is not
possible due to the limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The public comments and information we gathered did not provide any
other biological information on this species.
Susceptibility to Threats
To describe E. paradivisa's threat susceptibilities, the SRR and
SIR provided genus-level information for the effects on Euphyllia of
ocean warming, disease, acidification, sedimentation, predation, and
collection and trade. The SRR and SIR also provided the following
species-specific information on E. paradivisa's threats. When raised in
acidified conditions, E. paradivisa showed little change in skeletal
morphology, while Galaxea and Stylophora showed substantial skeletal
change and Pocillopora died. Euphyllia paradivisa is specifically
listed in the CITES databases with annual export quotas of up to 2380
``maricultured'' pieces from Indonesia, although the meaning of
``maricultured'' is unclear. The SRR and SIR did not provide any other
species-specific information on the effects of these threats on E.
paradivisa. We interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for E.
paradivisa's vulnerabilities to threats as follows: High vulnerability
to ocean warming, moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, and nutrients, low
vulnerability to sedimentation, sea level rise, and collection and
trade, and unknown vulnerability to predation.
The public comments provided the following supplemental information
on E. paradivisa's threat susceptibilities. A public comment stated
that the SRR appeared to rely solely upon collection and trade to rate
the extinction risk of this species, subsequently leading to the
proposed Endangered listing. However, the SRR (and the Determination
Tool in the proposed rule) both considered the susceptibilities and
vulnerabilities of this species to multiple threats to help determine
its extinction risk and proposed listing status. Likewise, as explained
in the Determination Framework section above, this final rule considers
the susceptibilities, exposures, and vulnerabilities of each species to
the nine major threats to determine its extinction risk and listing
status, including for E. paradivisa.
The public comment also stated that an unpublished study cited by
the SRR on the effects of ocean acidification on E. paradivisa
(Tibbits, 2009) is flawed. The study reported that the skeletal
morphology of E. paradivisa specimens kept in acidified conditions over
a three month period ``did not change noticeably.'' We reviewed the
study, and we concur with the public comment, in that the methods used
in the study to lower pH were flawed, thus the results should not be
considered reliable information on the potential effects of ocean
acidification on E. paradivisa.
We gathered the following species-specific supplemental information
on this species' threat susceptibilities. Euphyllia paradivisa was not
rated as moderately or highly susceptible to bleaching and disease, but
these ratings are not based on species-specific data (Carpenter et al.,
2008). Based on the genus and species-specific information described
above, E. paradivisa is likely to have high susceptibility to ocean
warming and collection and trade, some susceptibility to disease,
acidification, trophic effects of fishing, nutrients, and predation,
and low susceptibility to sedimentation and sea-level rise. The
available information does not support more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of E. paradivisa to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanism or conservation efforts for E.
paradivisa. Criticisms of our approach received during public comment
led us to attempt the following analysis of regulatory mechanisms on a
species basis. Records confirm that Euphyllia paradivisa occurs in
eight Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 15 countries' EEZs. The 15
countries are Brunei, Fiji, France (French Pacific Island Territories),
Indonesia, Malaysia, New Zealand (Tokelau), Niue, Papua New Guinea,
Philippines, Samoa, Timor-Leste, Tonga, Tuvalu, United States (American
Samoa), and Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms relevant to E.
paradivisa, described first as the percentage of the above countries
that utilize them to any degree and second, as the percentages of those
countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be limited in scope, are as
follows: General coral protection (33 percent with none limited in
scope), coral collection (80 percent with 40 percent limited in scope),
pollution control (53 percent with 20 percent limited in scope),
fishing regulations on reefs (100 percent with 20 percent limited in
scope), managing areas for protection and conservation (100 percent
with none limited in scope). The most common regulatory mechanisms in
place for E. paradivisa are reef fishing regulations and area
management for protection and conservation. Coral collection and
pollution control laws are also common for the species, but 40 percent
of coral collection laws are limited in scope and may not provide
substantial protection. General coral protection laws are much less
common regulatory mechanisms for the management of E. paradivisa.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated that factors that increase the potential
extinction risk for E. paradivisa include its heavy involvement in
international trade combined with its rare existence but conspicuous
colonies, suggesting it is vulnerable to overexploitation. The species
appears bleaching-susceptible. Its geographic distribution is also
[[Page 54116]]
somewhat restricted, centered in the threat-prone Coral Triangle
Region. No known factors were noted by the BRT to reduce the extinction
risk of this species.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of E. paradivisa, in conjunction with
the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section, Coral
Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect its
vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable future.
Its geographic distribution is mostly limited to parts of the Coral
Triangle. Despite the large number of islands and environments that are
included in the species' range, this range exacerbates vulnerability to
extinction over the foreseeable future because it is mostly limited to
an area projected to have the most rapid and severe impacts from
climate change and localized human impacts for coral reefs over the
21st century. Its depth range of two to 25 meters moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future because deeper
areas of its range will usually have lower irradiance than surface
waters, and acidification is generally predicted to accelerate most in
waters that are deeper and cooler than those in which the species
occurs. Its habitat includes environments protected from wave action on
at least upper reef slopes, mid-slope terraces, and lagoons. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because the species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in
numerous types of reef environments that will, on local and regional
scales, experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry
at any given point in time. Its abundance of at least tens of millions
of colonies, combined with spatial variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range, moderates vulnerability to
extinction because the increasingly severe conditions expected in the
foreseeable future will be non-uniform and therefore will likely be a
large number of colonies that are either not exposed or do not
negatively respond to a threat at any given point in time. However, its
qualitative abundance is described as rare, which can exacerbate its
vulnerability given its restricted range.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula, E.
paradivisa was proposed for listing as endangered because of: High
vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate vulnerability
to disease (C) and acidification (E); uncommon generalized range wide
abundance (E); narrow overall distribution (based on narrow geographic
distribution and moderate depth distribution (E); and inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed our listing determination of E.
paradivisa from endangered to threatened. We made this determination
based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment of whether
this species meets the definition of either a threatened or endangered
coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information provided above on E.
paradivisa's spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities,
and management indicate that it is likely to become endangered
throughout its range within the foreseeable future, and thus warrants
listing as threatened at this time, because:
(1) Euphyllia paradivisa is susceptible to warming-induced
bleaching (ESA Factor E), disease (C), ocean acidification (E), trophic
effects of fishing (A), nutrients (A, E), predation (C), and collection
and trade (B). These threats are expected to continue and worsen into
the future. In addition, the species has inadequate existing regulatory
mechanisms for global threats (D).
(2) Euphyllia paradivisa's distribution is limited mostly to the
Coral Triangle, which is projected to have the most rapid and severe
impacts from climate change and localized human impacts for coral reefs
over the 21st century, as described in the Threats Evaluation. Multiple
ocean warming events have already occurred within the Coral Triangle
that suggest future ocean warming events may be more severe than
average in this part of the world. A range constrained to this
particular geographic area that is likely to experience severe and
increasing threats indicates that a high proportion of the population
of this species is likely to be exposed to those threats over the
foreseeable future; and
(3) Euphyllia paradivisa's semi-quantitative abundance is rare.
Considering the limited range of this species in an area where severe
and increasing impacts are predicted, this level of abundance leaves
the species vulnerable to becoming of such low abundance within the
foreseeable future that it may be at risk from depensatory processes,
environmental stochasticity, or catastrophic events, as explained in
more detail in the Corals and Coral Reefs and Risk Analyses sections.
The combination of these characteristics and projections of future
threats indicates that the species is likely to be in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future throughout its range and
warrants listing as threatened at this time due to factors A, C, D, and
E.
The available information above on E. paradivisa's spatial
structure, demography, threat susceptibilities, and management also
indicate that the species is not currently in danger of extinction and
thus does not warrant listing as Endangered because:
(1) While E. paradivisa' range is mostly within the Coral Triangle,
which increases it extinction risk as described above, its habitat
includes environments protected from wave action on at least upper reef
slopes, mid-slope terraces, and lagoons. This moderates vulnerability
to extinction currently because the species is not limited to one
habitat type but occurs in numerous types of reef environments that
will, on local and regional scales, experience highly variable thermal
regimes and ocean chemistry at any given point in time, as described in
more detail in the Coral Habitat and Threats Evaluation sections. There
is no evidence to suggest that the species is so spatially fragmented
that depensatory processes, environmental stochasticity, or the
potential for catastrophic events currently pose a high risk to the
survival of the species; and
(2) While Euphyllia paradivisa's qualitative abundance is rare, its
absolute abundance is millions of colonies, which allows for some
variation in the responses of individuals to threats. There is no
evidence of depensatory processes such as reproductive failure from low
density of reproductive individuals and genetic processes such as
inbreeding affecting this species. Thus, its absolute abundance
indicates it is currently able
[[Page 54117]]
to avoid high mortality from environmental stochasticity, and mortality
of a high proportion of its population from catastrophic events. The
combination of these characteristics indicates that the species does
not exhibit the characteristics of one that is currently in danger of
extinction, as described previously in the Risk Analyses section, and
thus does not warrant listing as endangered at this time.
Range-wide, a multitude of conservation efforts are already broadly
employed that are likely benefiting E. paradivisa. However, considering
the global scale of the most important threats to the species, and the
ineffectiveness of conservation efforts at addressing the root cause of
global threats (i.e., greenhouse gas emissions), we do not believe that
any current conservation efforts or conservation efforts planned in the
future will result in affecting the species status to the point at
which listing is not warranted.
Genus Physogyra
Genus Introduction
The family Euphyllidae consists of five genera: Euphyllia,
Catalaphyllia, Nemenzophyllia, Plerogyra, and Physogyra. The genus
Physogyra is monospecific, meaning it only includes P. lichtensteini
(Veron, 2000), so there is no need to provide genus-level information.
Physogyra lichtensteini
Introduction
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on P.
lichtensteini's morphology and taxonomy. Morphology was described as
massive or thick, platy and meandroid forms with short, widely
separated valleys, and taxonomy was described as having no taxonomic
issues, but being similar to Plerogyra sinuosa.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on morphology or taxonomy. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which states that P. lichtensteini
is one of the world's most distinctive species. In addition, Veron
(2000; 2014) considers the species valid, thus we conclude it can be
identified by experts and that the distribution and abundance
information described below for this species is sufficiently reliable
(Fenner, 2014b).
Spatial Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on P.
lichtensteini's distribution, habitat, and depth range. Physogyra
lichtensteini is distributed from the Red Sea and the Indian Ocean to
the western and central Pacific Ocean. The SRR described P.
lichtensteini's habitat as turbid reef environments, crevices and
overhangs, especially in turbid water with tidal currents, and shallow
but shaded waters such as caves on the GBR, with a depth range of one
to 20 meters. The SIR added that the species is also known to occur in
clear water.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on P. lichtensteini's distribution. We gathered
supplemental information, including Veron (2014), which reports that P.
lichtensteini is confirmed in 54 of his 133 Indo-Pacific ecoregions,
and strongly predicted to be found in an additional 18. In addition to
shaded habitats, including turbid and clear water, P. lichtensteini
also occurs in full sun (D. Fenner, personal comm.), thus the species
occurs in variety of habitats. Thus, based on all the available
information, P. lichtensteini's occurs in both turbid and clear upper
reef slopes, mid-slopes, lower reef crests, reef flats, lagoons, and
caves in depth ranging from one to 20 m depth.
Demographic Information
The SRR and SIR reported P. lichtensteini's abundance as common in
turbid water and crevices and overhangs, especially in turbid water
with tidal currents.
The public comments did not provide any new or supplemental
information on P. lichtensteini's abundance. We gathered supplemental
information, including Veron (2014), which reports that P.
lichtensteini occupied 30.9 percent of 2,984 dive sites sampled in 30
ecoregions of the Indo-Pacific, and had a mean abundance rating of 1.31
on a 1 to 5 rating scale at those sites in which it was found. Based on
this semi-quantitative system, the species' abundance was characterized
as ``common,'' and overall abundance was described as ``common in
protected habitats.'' Veron did not infer trends in abundance from
these data. As described in the Indo-Pacific Species Determinations
introduction above, based on results from Richards et al. (2008) and
Veron (2014), the absolute abundance of this species is likely at least
tens of millions of colonies.
Carpenter et al. (2008) extrapolated species abundance trend
estimates from total live coral cover trends and habitat types. For P.
lichtensteini, the overall decline in abundance (``Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 37 percent, and the decline in abundance
before the 1998 bleaching event (``Back-cast Percent Population
Reduction'') was estimated at 15 percent. However, as summarized above
in the Inter-basin Comparison sub-section, live coral cover trends are
highly variable both spatially and temporally, producing patterns on
small scales that can be easily taken out of context. Thus,
quantitative inferences to species-specific trends should be
interpreted with caution. At the same time, an extensive body of
literature documents broad declines in live coral cover and shifts to
reef communities dominated by hardier coral species or algae over the
past 50 to 100 years (Birkeland, 2004; Fenner, 2012; Pandolfi et al.,
2003; Sale and Szmant, 2012). These changes have likely occurred, and
are occurring, from a combination of global and local threats. Given
that P. lichtensteini occurs in many areas affected by these broad
changes, and likely has some susceptibility to global and local
threats, we conclude that it is likely to have declined in abundance
over the past 50 to 100 years, but a precise quantification is not
possible due to the limited species-specific information.
Other Biological Information
The SRR and SIR provided the following information on P.
lichtensteini's life history. Physogyra lichtensteini is a gonochoric
broadcast spawner. Larvae do not contain zooxanthellae. The public
comments provided no additional biological information. We gathered
supplemental information, including the following: Darling et al.
(2012) found that P. lichtensteini has a ``stress-tolerant'' life
history strategy, defined as slow growth and large colonies which can
survive through stress and disturbances.
Susceptibility to Threats
The SRR and SIR provided the following species-specific information
on P. lichtensteini's threats. Physogyra lichtensteini has been
identified as vulnerable to extinction due to its high bleaching rate,
low diversity of its genus, and narrow habitat range. The species
bleached at 31[deg]C in Palau in 1998. Physogyra lichtensteini contains
Clade C zooxanthellae in the South China Sea. Physogyra lichtensteini
is preyed upon on by butterflyfish in Indonesia. Since P. lichtensteini
prefers turbid waters the risk of sediment impacts are low. The genus
Physogyra is heavily traded, primarily exported from Indonesia. Between
1999 and 2010, the trade quota for Indonesia has been approximately
10,000 specimens annually. The SRR and SIR also provided genus-level
and coral-level
[[Page 54118]]
information for the effects on Physogyra of thermal stress,
acidification, disease, predation, sedimentation, nutrients, and
collection and trade. The SRR and SIR did not provide any other
species-specific information on the effects of these threats on P.
lichtensteini. We interpreted the threat susceptibility and exposure
information from the SRR and SIR in the proposed rule for P.
lichtensteini's vulnerabilities as follows: High vulnerability to ocean
warming; moderate vulnerability to disease, ocean acidification,
trophic effects of fishing, and nutrients, low vulnerability to
sedimentation, sea level rise, and collection and trade, and unknown
vulnerability to predation.
Public comments did not provide any new or supplemental information
on P. lichtensteini's threat susceptibilities. We gathered supplemental
information, which provided the following species-specific and genus-
level information on this species' threat susceptibilities. Physogyra
lichtensteini was not rated as moderately or highly susceptible to
bleaching and coral disease by Carpenter et al. (2008), but they did
not have species-specific data. In the western Indian Ocean in 1998-
2005, the genus Physogyra (which only includes P. lichtensteini) had a
bleaching index of 16.7 for eight countries, which was 19th highest of
the 45 genera recorded, and 45 percent of the highest value. In this
study, P. lichtensteini was identified as vulnerable to extinction due
to its high bleaching rate, low diversity of its genus, and narrow
habitat range, and the genus Physogyra was rated as having the fifth
highest extinction risk of the 45 genera in the study (McClanahan et
al., 2007a). In Palau in 2000, P. lichtensteini experienced very high
levels of bleaching and mortality. In that event, 48 percent of all
coral colonies of all species were bleached, with bleaching of
different genera and species ranging from none to very high, and
mortality from none to near 100 percent (Bruno et al., 2001). There are
no other studies of the effects of threats on this genus or species.
Based on the species-specific information above, P. lichtensteini is
likely highly susceptible to ocean warming. Based on the threat
susceptibility information for other reef-building coral genera in this
final rule, P. lichtensteini likely has some susceptibility to disease,
ocean acidification, trophic effects of fishing, sedimentation,
nutrients, sea-level rise, predation, and collection and trade. The
available information does not support more precise ratings of the
susceptibilities of P. lichtensteini to the threats.
Regulatory Mechanisms
In the proposed rule, we did not provide any species-specific
information on the regulatory mechanisms or conservation efforts for P.
lichtensteini. Criticisms of our approach received during public
comment led us to attempt the following analysis of regulatory
mechanisms on a species basis. Records confirm P. lichtensteini occurs
in 54 Indo-Pacific ecoregions that encompass 35 countries' EEZs. The 35
countries are Australia, Brunei, China, Egypt, Federated States of
Micronesia, Fiji, France (French Pacific Island Territories), India
(including Andaman and Nicobar Islands), Indonesia, Israel, Japan,
Jordan, Kenya, Madagascar, Malaysia, Maldives, Marshall Islands,
Mauritius, Myanmar, Palau, Papua New Guinea, Philippines, Saudi Arabia,
Seychelles, Solomon Islands, Sri Lanka, Sudan, Taiwan, Tanzania,
Thailand, Timor-Leste, United Kingdom (British Indian Ocean Territory),
United States (PRIAs), Vanuatu, and Vietnam. The regulatory mechanisms
relevant to P. lichtensteini, described first as the percentage of the
above countries that utilize them to any degree and second, as the
percentages of those countries whose regulatory mechanisms may be
limited in scope, are as follows: General coral protection (29 percent
with 9 percent limited in scope), coral collection (57 percent with 29
percent limited in scope), pollution control (43 percent with 9 percent
limited in scope), fishing regulations on reefs (89 percent with 20
percent limited in scope), managing areas for protection and
conservation (97 percent with 11 percent limited in scope). The most
common regulatory mechanisms in place for P. lichtensteini are reef
fishing regulations and area management for protection and
conservation. Coral collection and pollution control laws are also
somewhat utilized for the species, but 29 percent of coral collection
laws are limited in scope and may not provide substantial protection.
General coral protection laws are less common regulatory mechanisms for
the management of P. lichtensteini.
Vulnerability to Extinction
As explained above in the Risk Analyses section, a species'
vulnerability to extinction results from the combination of its spatial
and demographic characteristics, threat susceptibilities, and
consideration of the baseline environment and future projections of
threats. The SRR stated factors that increase the potential extinction
risk for P. lichtensteini are its high bleaching rate and that it's
heavily collected. It listed factors that reduce potential extinction
risk including that P. lichtensteini has a wide latitudinal
distribution, is common, and tolerates difficult (turbid) environments.
Subsequent to the proposed rule, we received and gathered
supplemental species- or genus-specific information, described above,
that expands our knowledge regarding the species abundance,
distribution, and threat susceptibilities. We developed our assessment
of the species' vulnerability to extinction using all the available
information. As explained in the Risk Analyses section, our assessment
in this final rule emphasizes the ability of the species' spatial and
demographic traits to moderate or exacerbate its vulnerability to
extinction, as opposed to the approach we used in the proposed rule,
which emphasized the species' susceptibility to threats.
The following characteristics of P. lichtensteini, in conjunction
with the information described in the Corals and Coral Reefs section,
Coral Habitat sub-section, and Threats Evaluation section above, affect
its vulnerability to extinction currently and over the foreseeable
future. Its geographic distribution includes most of the coral reef
ecoregions in the Indian Ocean and western and central Pacific Ocean.
Its geographic distribution moderates vulnerability to extinction
because some areas within its range are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification over the foreseeable future,
including the western Indian Ocean, the central Pacific, and other
areas, so portions of the population in these areas will be less
exposed to severe conditions. Its depth range is one to 20 meters. This
moderates vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future
because deeper areas of its range will usually have lower irradiance,
and acidification is generally predicted to accelerate most in waters
that are deeper and cooler than those in which the species occurs. Its
habitat includes both turbid and clear upper reef slopes, mid-slopes,
lower reef crests, reef flats, lagoons, and caves. This moderates
vulnerability to extinction over the foreseeable future because the
species is not limited to one habitat type but occurs in numerous types
of reef environments that will, on local and regional scales,
experience highly variable thermal regimes and ocean chemistry at any
given point in time. Its abundance of at least tens of millions of
colonies, combined with spatial variability in ocean warming and
acidification across the species range,
[[Page 54119]]
moderates vulnerability to extinction because the increasingly severe
conditions expected in the foreseeable future will be non-uniform and
therefore will likely be a large number of colonies that are either not
exposed or do not negatively respond to a threat at any given point in
time.
Listing Determination
In the proposed rule using the determination tool formula approach,
P. lichtensteini was proposed for listing as threatened because of:
High vulnerability to ocean warming (ESA Factor E); moderate
vulnerability to disease (C) and acidification (E); common generalized
range wide abundance (E); wide overall distribution (based on wide
geographic distribution and moderate depth distribution (E); and
inadequacy of existing regulatory mechanisms (D).
In this final rule, we changed the listing determination for P.
lichtensteini from threatened to not warranted. We made this
determination based on a more species-specific and holistic assessment
of whether this species meets the definition of either a threatened or
endangered coral largely in response to public comments, including more
appropriate consideration of the buffering capacity of this species'
spatial and demographic traits to lessen its vulnerability to threats.
Thus, based on the best available information above on P.
lichtensteini's spatial structure, demography, threat susceptibilities,
and management, none of the five ESA listing factors, alone or in
combination, are causing this species to be likely to become endangered
throughout its range within the foreseeable future, and thus it is not
warranted for listing at this time, because:
(1) Physogyra lichtensteini's distribution across the Red Sea,
Indian Ocean and most of the Pacific is spread over a very large area.
While some areas within its range are projected to be affected by
warming and acidification, other areas are projected to have less than
average warming and acidification, including the western Indian Ocean,
the central Pacific, and other areas. This distribution and the
heterogeneous habitats it occupies reduce exposure to any given threat
event or adverse condition that does not occur uniformly throughout the
species range. As explained above in the Threats Evaluation section, we
have not identified any threat that is expected to occur uniformly
throughout the species range within the foreseeable future);
(2) Physogyra lichtensteini's total absolute abundance is at least
tens of millions of colonies providing buffering capacity in the form
of absolute numbers of colonies and variation in susceptibility between
individual colonies. As discussed in the Corals and Coral Reefs section
above, the more colonies a species has, the lower the proportion of
colonies that are likely to be exposed to a particular threat at a
particular time, and all individuals that are exposed will not have the
same response; and
Notwithstanding the projections through 2100 that indicate
increased severity over time of the three high importance threats, the
combination of these biological and environmental characteristics
indicates that the species possesses sufficient buffering capacity to
avoid being in danger of extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout its range. It is possible that this species' extinction risk
may increase in the future if global threats continue and increase in
severity and the species exposure to threats increases throughout its
range. Should the species experience reduced abundance or range
constriction of a certain magnitude, the ability of these
characteristics to moderate exposure to threats will diminish. However,
the species is not likely to become of such low abundance or so
spatially fragmented as to be in danger of extinction due to
depensatory processes, the potential effects of environmental
stochasticity, or the potential for mortality from catastrophic events
within the foreseeable future throughout its range. Therefore, P.
lichtensteini is not warranted for listing at this time under any of
the listing factors.
Summary of Determinations
In this final rule, we are responsible for determining whether each
of the proposed coral species meet the definition of either threatened
or endangered under the ESA based on the best available information
including that which supported the proposed rule, and public comments
received and information we gathered since the proposed rule was
published. Section 4(b)(1)(A) of the ESA requires us to make listing
determinations based solely on the best scientific and commercial data
available after conducting reviews of the statuses of the species and
after taking into account efforts being made by any state or foreign
nation to protect the species. We conclude that conservation efforts
are not protecting any of the coral species determined to be warranted
for listing in this final rule in a way that would reduce extinction
risk such that a threatened determination would no longer be warranted.
Finally, section 4(b)(1)(B) of the ESA requires us to give
consideration to species which (1) have been designated as requiring
protection from unrestricted commerce by any foreign nation, or (2)
have been identified as in danger of extinction, or likely to become so
within the foreseeable future, by any state agency or by any agency of
a foreign nation. All stony corals are listed under Appendix II of the
Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna
and Flora, which regulates international trade of species to ensure
survival. Dendrogyra cylindrus, which we are listing as threatened, is
also listed as threatened by the State of Florida and all stony corals
are protected under the U.S. Virgin Islands Indigenous and Endangered
Species Act of 1990. All of the corals in this final rule, including
those we are listing under the ESA, are listed in the IUCN Red List of
Threatened Species as vulnerable, endangered, or critically endangered.
The final rule takes into consideration this information in its listing
determinations.
In the proposed rule we determined that 12 species warranted
listing as endangered: five in the Caribbean (Dendrogyra cylindrus,
Orbicella annularis, Orbicella faveolata, Orbicella franksi, and
Mycetophyllia ferox); and seven in the Indo-Pacific (Millepora
foveolata, Pocillopora elegans (eastern Pacific), Acropora
jacquelineae, Acropora lokani, Acropora rudis, Anacropora spinosa, and
Euphyllia paradivisa). We also determined that 54 species warranted
listing as threatened: two in the Caribbean (Agaricia lamarcki and
Dichocoenia stokesii); and 52 in the Indo-Pacific (Millepora tuberosa,
Pocillopora danae, Pocillopora elegans (Indo-Pacific), Seriatopora
aculeata, Acropora aculeus, Acropora acuminata, Acropora aspera,
Acropora dendrum, Acropora donei, Acropora globiceps, Acropora horrida,
Acropora listeri, Acropora microclados, Acropora palmerae, Acropora
paniculata, Acropora pharaonis, Acropora polystoma, Acropora retusa,
Acropora speciosa, Acropora striata, Acropora tenella, Acropora
vaughani, Acropora verweyi, Anacropora puertogalerae, Astreopora
cucullata, Isopora crateriformis, Isopora cuneata, Montipora angulata,
Montipora australiensis, Montipora calcarea, Montipora caliculata,
Montipora dilatata/flabellata/turgescens, Montipora lobulata, Montipora
patula/verrilli, Alveopora allingi, Alveopora fenestrata, Alveopora
verrilliana, Porites horizontalata, Porites napopora, Porites
[[Page 54120]]
nigrescens, Acanthastrea brevis, Acanthastrea hemprichii, Acanthastrea
ishigakiensis, Acanthastrea regularis, Pachyseris rugosa, Pectinia
alcicornis, Barabattoia laddi, Pavona diffluens, Caulastrea echinulata,
Euphyllia cristata, Euphyllia paraancora, and Physogyra lichtensteini).
Finally, we determined that two species in the Caribbean currently
listed as threatened (Acropora palmata and Acropora cervicornis)
warranted reclassification as endangered.
In this final rule we have determined that no species warrants
listing as endangered. We have determined the following 20 species
warrant listing as threatened: five in the Caribbean (Dendrogyra
cylindrus, Orbicella annularis, Orbicella faveolata, Orbicella franksi,
and Mycetophyllia ferox); and 15 in the Indo-Pacific (Acropora
globiceps, Acropora jacquelineae, Acropora lokani, Acropora pharaonis,
Acropora retusa, Acropora rudis, Acropora speciosa, Acropora tenella,
Anacropora spinosa, Euphyllia paradivisa, Isopora crateriformis,
Montipora australiensis, Pavona diffluens, Porites napopora, and
Seriatopora aculeata). For the two species in the Caribbean currently
listed as threatened (Acropora cervicornis and Acropora palmata),
through this final rule we have conducted an updated status review and
threats assessment, and determined they still warrant listing as
threatened. We also determined that 43 proposed species do not warrant
listing as endangered or threatened: two in the Caribbean (Agaricia
lamarcki, Dichocoenia stokesii); and 41 in the Indo-Pacific
(Acanthastrea brevis, Acanthastrea hemprichii, Acanthastrea
ishigakiensis, Acanthastrea regularis, Acropora aculeus, Acropora
acuminata, Acropora aspera, Acropora dendrum, Acropora donei, Acropora
horrida, Acropora listeri, Acropora microclados, Acropora palmerae,
Acropora paniculata, Acropora polystoma, Acropora striata, Acropora
vaughani, Acropora verweyi, Alveopora allingi, Alveopora fenestrata,
Alveopora verrilliana, Anacropora puertogalerae, Astreopora cucullata,
Barabattoia laddi, Caulastrea echinulata, Euphyllia cristata, Euphyllia
paraancora, Isopora cuneata, Millepora foveolata, Millepora tuberosa,
Montipora angulata, Montipora calcarea, Montipora caliculata, Montipora
dilatata/flabellata/turgescens, Montipora lobulata, Montipora patula/
verrilli, Pachyseris rugosa, Pectinia alcicornis, Physogyra
lichtensteini, Porites horizontalata, and Porites nigrescens). Three
coral species were not determinable due to taxonomic uncertainty
(Pocillopora danae, Pocillopora elegans (eastern Pacific), Pocillopora
elegans (Indo-Pacific)).
As described previously in the Risk Analyses section, in this final
rule we took a more holistic approach in response to public comments
and reconsidered these coral species' demographic and distribution
traits that buffer or moderate exposure to threats, and the resulting
capacity to respond to changing conditions into the foreseeable future.
This approach led to changes in listing status from the proposed rule
for 58 of the 68 species while determinations for 10 species remained
the same. While in some cases, a warranted species possesses one
particularly compelling characteristic that increases its vulnerability
to extinction (e.g., a small effective population size, a depth
restriction to shallow waters, or a highly constrained geographic
range), no one factor in isolation led to a species being warranted for
listing and the final determinations are all based on the suite of
demographic, spatial, and susceptibility components that influence the
species' vulnerability to extinction in the face of continuing threats
over the foreseeable future.
Similarly, many of the not warranted species either lack one
compelling characteristic that increases vulnerability to extinction or
possess one or more compelling characteristics that reduce
vulnerability to extinction (e.g., a vast geographic distribution, low
susceptibility to high importance threats, a depth range extending into
deeper waters, or a large absolute abundance estimate), but no one
factor in isolation led to a species being not warranted for listing
and the final determinations are all based on the suite of demographic,
spatial, and susceptibility components that influence the species'
vulnerability to extinction, in the face of continuing threats over the
foreseeable future.
Effects of Listing
Conservation measures provided for species listed as endangered or
threatened under the ESA may include recovery plans (16 U.S.C.
1553(f)), critical habitat designations, Federal agency consultation
requirements (16 U.S.C. 1536), and prohibitions on taking (16 U.S.C.
1538). Recognition of the species' plight through listing promotes
conservation actions by Federal and state agencies, private groups, and
individuals, as well as the international community. For listed
species, a recovery program could be implemented, and critical habitat
will be designated to the maximum extent prudent and determinable, for
species that occur in U.S. jurisdiction. Protective regulations for
threatened corals may be developed for the conservation of the species.
Federal, state and private sector cooperation and participation will be
necessary to effectively and efficiently conserve the listed coral
species and the ecosystems upon which they depend.
Identifying Section 7 Consultation Requirements
Section 7(a)(2) of the ESA and NMFS/FWS regulations require Federal
agencies to consult with us on any actions they authorize, fund, or
carry out if those actions may affect the listed species or designated
critical habitat. Based on currently available information, examples of
Federal actions that may affect the 22 coral species listed as
threatened include, but are not limited to: Energy projects, discharge
of pollution from point sources, non-point source pollution, dredging,
pile-driving, setting of water quality standards, vessel traffic,
aquaculture facilities, military activities, and fisheries management
practices.
Critical Habitat
Critical habitat is defined in section 3 of the ESA as: ``(i) the
specific areas within the geographical area occupied by the species, at
the time it is listed in accordance with the provisions of section 1533
of this title, on which are found those physical or biological features
(I) essential to the conservation of the species and (II) which may
require special management considerations or protection; and (ii)
specific areas outside the geographical area occupied by the species at
the time it is listed in accordance with the provisions of 1533 of this
title, upon a determination by the Secretary that such areas are
essential for the conservation of the species'' (16 U.S.C. 1532(5)(A)).
``Conservation'' means the use of all methods and procedures needed to
bring the species to the point at which listing under the ESA is no
longer necessary (16 U.S.C. 1532(3)). Section 4(a)(3)(A) of the ESA
requires that, to the maximum extent prudent and determinable, critical
habitat be designated concurrently with the final listing of a species
(16 U.S.C. 1533(a)(3)(A)(i)). Further, ESA implementing regulations at
50 CFR 424.12(h) specify that critical habitat shall not be designated
within foreign countries or in other areas outside of U.S.
jurisdiction.
The existing designated critical habitat for Acropora palmata and
A.
[[Page 54121]]
cervicornis in the Caribbean (50 CFR 226.216) remains effective with
this final rule. The designation of critical habitat is not
determinable for any of the newly listed corals at this time due to the
extremely complex biological and physical requirements of the species.
Although we have gathered information through the status review and
public comment processes on the habitats occupied by these species, we
currently do not have enough information to determine which of features
within those habitats are essential to the conservation of any of the
listed corals and may require special management considerations or
protection. We will continue to gather and review other ongoing studies
on the habitat use and requirements of the newly listed corals to
attempt to identify these features. Additionally, we need more time to
gather the information needed to perform the required analyses of the
impacts of the designation. Designations of critical habitat must be
based on the best scientific data available and must take into
consideration the economic, national security, and other relevant
impacts of specifying any particular area as critical habitat. To the
maximum extent prudent and determinable, we will publish proposed
designations of critical habitat for the newly listed corals in a
separate rule or rules. Once critical habitat is designated (only in
U.S. jurisdictions), section 7 of the ESA requires Federal agencies to
ensure that they do not fund, authorize, or carry out any actions that
are likely to destroy or adversely modify that habitat. This
requirement is in addition to the section 7 requirement that Federal
agencies ensure that their actions are not likely to jeopardize the
continued existence of listed species.
ESA Section 9 Take Prohibitions
ESA section 9(a) take prohibitions (16 U.S.C. 1538(a)(1)(B)) apply
to all species listed as endangered. These section 9(a) prohibitions
include prohibitions against importing, exporting, engaging in foreign
or interstate commerce, or ``taking'' of the species. ``Take'' is
defined under the ESA as ``to harass, harm, pursue, hunt, shoot, wound,
kill, trap, capture, or collect, or attempt to engage in any such
conduct.'' These prohibitions apply to all persons subject to the
jurisdiction of the United States, including in the United States, its
territorial sea, or on the high seas. In the case of threatened
species, section 9 prohibitions do not automatically apply. Section
4(d) of the ESA directs the Secretary to issue regulations she
considers necessary and advisable for the conservation of the species,
which may include applying some or all of the section 9 prohibitions to
these species. Therefore, pursuant to ESA section 4(d), subsequent to
this rulemaking we will evaluate whether there are protective
regulations necessary and advisable for the conservation of any of the
20 species newly-listed as threatened in this final rule, including
application of some or all of the take prohibitions. The existing 4(d)
rule for Acropora palmata and A. cervicornis (50 CFR 223.208) will
remain in effect for these threatened species.
Policies on Role of Peer Review
In December 2004, the Office of Management and Budget (OMB) issued
a Final Information Quality Bulletin for Peer Review establishing
minimum peer review standards, a transparent process for public
disclosure of peer review planning, and opportunities for public
participation. The OMB Bulletin, implemented under the Information
Quality Act (Public Law 106-554) is intended to enhance the quality and
credibility of the Federal government's scientific information, and
applies to influential or highly influential scientific information
disseminated on or after June 16, 2005. To satisfy our requirements
under the OMB Bulletin, the BRT obtained independent peer review of the
draft Status Review Report, and NMFS obtained independent peer review
of the draft Management Report. Independent specialists were selected
from the academic and scientific community, Federal and state agencies,
and/or the private sector for this review. All peer reviewer comments
were addressed prior to dissemination of the final SRR and Management
Report.
We determined that the peer review conducted pursuant to the OMB
Bulletin also satisfied the requirements of the Services' 1994 policy
for peer review of scientific data included in listing decisions (59 FR
34270).
Solicitation of Information
We are soliciting information on features and areas that may
support designations of critical habitat for the 20 newly listed coral
species. Information provided should identify the physical and
biological features essential to the conservation of the species and
areas that contain these features for the coral species proposed to be
listed. Areas outside the occupied geographical area should also be
identified if such areas themselves are essential to the conservation
of the species. Essential features may include, but are not limited to,
features specific to individual species' ranges, habitats and life
history characteristics within the following general categories of
habitat features: (1) Space for individual growth and for normal
behavior; (2) food, water, air, light, minerals, or other nutritional
or physiological requirements; (3) cover or shelter; (4) sites for
reproduction and development of offspring; and (5) habitats that are
protected from disturbance or are representative of the historical,
geographical, and ecological distributions of the species (50 CFR
424.12(b)). ESA implementing regulations at 50 CFR 424.12(h) specify
that critical habitat shall not be designated within foreign countries
or in other areas outside of U.S. jurisdiction. Therefore, we request
information only on potential areas of critical habitat within waters
in U.S. jurisdiction.
For features and areas potentially qualifying as critical habitat,
we also request information describing: (1) Activities or other threats
to the essential features or activities that could be affected by
designating them as critical habitat, and (2) the positive and negative
economic, national security and other relevant impacts, including
benefits to the recovery of the species, likely to result if these
areas are designated as critical habitat.
Classification
National Environmental Policy Act
The 1982 amendments to the ESA, in section 4(b)(1)(A), restrict the
information that may be considered when assessing species for listing.
Based on this limitation of criteria for a listing decision and NOAA
Administrative Order 216-6 (Environmental Review Procedures for
Implementing the National Environmental Policy Act), we have concluded
that ESA listing actions are not subject to requirements of the
National Environmental Policy Act.
Executive Order 12866, Regulatory Flexibility Act, and Paperwork
Reduction Act
As noted in the Conference Report on the 1982 amendments to the
ESA, economic impacts cannot be considered when assessing the status of
a species. Therefore, the economic analysis requirements of the
Regulatory Flexibility Act are not applicable to listing actions.
In addition, this final rule is exempt from review under E.O.
12866.
This final determination does not contain a collection of
information requirement for the purposes of the Paperwork Reduction
Act.
[[Page 54122]]
Executive Order 13132, Federalism
In accordance with E.O. 13132, agencies are required to take into
account any federalism impacts of regulations under development. This
Executive Order includes specific consultation directives for
situations where a regulation will preempt state law, or impose
substantial direct compliance costs on state and local governments
(unless required by statute). Neither of those circumstances is
applicable to this final listing determination. In keeping with the
intent of the Administration and Congress to provide continuing and
meaningful dialogue on issues of mutual state and Federal interest, the
proposed rule was provided to the relevant agencies in each state in
which the subject species occurs, and these agencies were invited to
comment. Their comments were addressed with other comments in the
Summary of Comments Received section.
Executive Order 12898, Environmental Justice
Executive Order 12898 requires that Federal actions address
environmental justice in the decision-making process. In particular,
the environmental effects of the actions should not have a
disproportionate effect on minority and low-income communities. This
final rule is not expected to have a disproportionately high effect on
minority populations or low-income populations.
List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 223
Endangered and threatened species; Exports; Imports;
Transportation.
Dated: August 26, 2014.
Eileen Sobeck,
Assistant Administrator for Fisheries, National Marine Fisheries
Service.
For the reasons set out in the preamble, 50 CFR part 223 is amended
as follows:
PART 223--THREATENED MARINE AND ANADROMOUS SPECIES
0
1. The authority citation for part 223 continues to read as follows:
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1531-1543; subpart B, Sec. 223.201-202
also issued under 16 U.S.C. 1361 et seq.; 16 U.S.C. 5503(d) for
Sec. 223.206(d)(9).
0
2. In Sec. 223.102, in the table, amend paragraph (e) by removing the
two existing entries under the ``Corals'' subheading and adding the
following 22 entries to read as follows:
Sec. 223.102 Enumeration of threatened marine and anadromous species.
* * * * *
(e) * * *
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Species \1\
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Citation(s) for listing Critical
Description of listed determination(s) habitat ESA rules
Common name Scientific name entity
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* * * * * * *
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Corals
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Coral, [no common name].............. Acropora globiceps...... Entire species......... [Insert FR citation] NA NA
9/10/2014
Coral, [no common name].............. Acropora jacquelineae... Entire species......... [Insert FR citation] NA NA
9/10/2014
Coral, [no common name].............. Acropora lokani......... Entire species......... [Insert FR citation] NA NA
9/10/2014
Coral, [no common name].............. Acropora pharaonis...... Entire species......... [Insert FR citation] NA NA
9/10/2014
Coral, [no common name].............. Acropora retusa......... Entire species......... [Insert FR citation] NA NA
9/10/2014
Coral, [no common name].............. Acropora rudis.......... Entire species......... [Insert FR citation] NA NA
9/10/2014
Coral, [no common name].............. Acropora speciosa....... Entire species......... [Insert FR citation] NA NA
9/10/2014
Coral, [no common name].............. Acropora tenella........ Entire species......... [Insert FR citation] NA NA
9/10/2014
Coral, [no common name].............. Anacropora spinosa...... Entire species......... [Insert FR citation] NA NA
9/10/2014
Coral, [no common name].............. Euphyllia paradivisa.... Entire species......... [Insert FR citation] NA NA
9/10/2014
Coral, [no common name].............. Isopora crateriformis... Entire species......... [Insert FR citation] NA NA
9/10/2014
Coral, [no common name].............. Montipora australiensis. Entire species......... [Insert FR citation] NA NA
9/10/2014
Coral, [no common name].............. Pavona diffluens........ Entire species......... [Insert FR citation] NA NA
9/10/2014
Coral, [no common name].............. Porites napopora........ Entire species......... [Insert FR citation] NA NA
9/10/2014
Coral, [no common name].............. Seriatopora aculeata.... Entire species......... [Insert FR citation] NA NA
9/10/2014
Coral, boulder star.................. Orbicella franksi....... Entire species......... [Insert FR citation] NA NA
9/10/2014
Coral, elkhorn....................... Acropora palmata........ Entire species......... [Insert FR citation] 226.216 223.208
9/10/2014
Coral, lobed star.................... Orbicella annularis..... Entire species......... [Insert FR citation] NA NA
9/10/2014
[[Page 54123]]
Coral, mountainous star.............. Orbicella faveolata..... Entire species......... [Insert FR citation & date of NA NA
publication in the Federal Register
Coral, pillar........................ Dendrogyra cylindrus.... Entire species......... [Insert FR citation] NA NA
9/10/2014
Coral, rough cactus.................. Mycetophyllia ferox..... Entire species......... [Insert FR citation] NA NA
9/10/2014
Coral, staghorn...................... Acropora cervicornis.... Entire species......... [Insert FR citation] 226.216 223.208
9/10/2014
* * * * * * *
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
* * * * *
[FR Doc. 2014-20814 Filed 9-9-14; 8:45 am]
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