Final Fair Market Rents for the Housing Choice Voucher Program and Moderate Rehabilitation Single Room Occupancy Program Fiscal Year 2013, 61157-61227 [2012-24618]
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Vol. 77
Friday,
No. 194
October 5, 2012
Part V
Department of Housing and Urban
Development
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Final Fair Market Rents for the Housing Choice Voucher Program and
Moderate Rehabilitation Single Room Occupancy Program Fiscal Year
2013; Notice
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Federal Register / Vol. 77, No. 194 / Friday, October 5, 2012 / Notices
DEPARTMENT OF HOUSING AND
URBAN DEVELOPMENT
[Docket No. FR–5648–N–02]
Final Fair Market Rents for the Housing
Choice Voucher Program and
Moderate Rehabilitation Single Room
Occupancy Program Fiscal Year 2013
Office of the Assistant
Secretary for Policy Development and
Research, HUD.
ACTION: Notice of Final Fiscal Year (FY)
2013 Fair Market Rents (FMRs).
AGENCY:
Section 8(c)(1) of the United
States Housing Act of 1937 (USHA)
requires the Secretary to publish FMRs
periodically, but not less than annually,
adjusted to be effective on October 1 of
each year. This notice publishes the
FMRs for the Housing Choice Voucher,
the Moderate Rehabilitation, the projectbased voucher, and any other programs
requiring their use. Today’s notice
provides final FY 2013 FMRs for all
areas that reflect the estimated 40th and
50th percentile rent levels trended to
April 1, 2013. The FY 2013 FMRs are
based on using 5-year, 2006–2010 data
collected by the American Community
Survey (ACS). These data are updated
by one-year recent-mover 2010 ACS
data using areas where statistically valid
one-year ACS data are available. The
Consumer Price Index (CPI) rent and
utility indexes are used to further
update the data from 2010 to the end of
2011. HUD continues to use ACS data
in different ways depending on the
availability of two-bedroom standardquality and recent-mover sample data
for its FMR area or a larger geographic
area such as the Core-Based Statistical
Area (CBSA) or state nonmetropolitan
area.
The final FY 2013 FMR areas are
based on current Office of Management
and Budget (OMB) metropolitan area
definitions and include HUD
modifications that were first used in the
determination of FY 2006 FMR areas.
Changes to the OMB metropolitan area
definitions through December 2009 are
incorporated; there have been no further
changes to metropolitan area
definitions. OMB has announced that
new metropolitan area definitions will
be released in 2013. HUD will
incorporate these changes during the
process to calculate proposed FMRs
following the release of the new
definitions.
The final FY 2013 FMRs in this notice
reflect two changes in the methodology
used to calculate FMRs. First, HUD has
updated the bedroom ratios used to
calculate 0, 1, 3 and 4 bedroom FMRs
based on the two-bedroom FMR.
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SUMMARY:
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Bedroom ratios were last updated using
the decennial 2000 Census. Because the
2010 Census did not collect rents, the
new bedroom ratios are constructed
using 2006–2010 5 year ACS data. The
methodology for calculating the
bedroom ratios is very similar to the
method used when the bedroom ratios
were based on 2000 decennial Census
long-form data. Second, a new trend
factor calculation methodology has been
used for the FY 2013 FMRs, which HUD
stated would be implemented in its
proposed FY 2012 FMR publication on
August 19, 2011 (76 FR 52058). This
trend factor is based on national gross
rent data and will change annually.
DATES: Effective Date: The FMRs
published in this notice are effective on
October 1, 2012.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: For
technical information on the
methodology used to develop FMRs or
a listing of all FMRs, please call the
HUD USER information line at 800–
245–2691 or access the information on
the HUD USER Web site https://www.
huduser.org/portal/datasets/fmr.html.
FMRs are listed at the 40th or 50th
percentile in Schedule B. For
informational purposes, 40th percentile
recent-mover rents for the areas with
50th percentile FMRs will be provided
in the HUD FY 2013 FMR
documentation system at https://www.
huduser.org/portal/datasets/fmr/fmrs/
docsys.html&data=fmr13 and 50th
percentile rents for all FMR areas will
be published at https://www.huduser.
org/portal/datasets/50per.html after
publication of final FY 2013 FMRs.
Questions related to use of FMRs or
voucher payment standards should be
directed to the respective local HUD
program staff. Questions on how to
conduct FMR surveys or concerning
further methodological explanations
may be addressed to Marie L. Lihn or
Peter B. Kahn, Economic and Market
Analysis Division, Office of Economic
Affairs, Office of Policy Development
and Research, telephone 202–708–0590.
Persons with hearing or speech
impairments may access this number
through TTY by calling the toll-free
Federal Relay Service at 800–877–8339.
(Other than the HUD USER information
line and TDD numbers, telephone
numbers are not toll-free.)
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
I. Background
Section 8 of the USHA (42 U.S.C.
1437f) authorizes housing assistance to
aid lower-income families in renting
safe and decent housing. Housing
assistance payments are limited by
FMRs established by HUD for different
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geographic areas. In the HCV program,
the FMR is the basis for determining the
‘‘payment standard amount’’ used to
calculate the maximum monthly
subsidy for an assisted family (see 24
CFR 982.503). In general, the FMR for
an area is the amount that would be
needed to pay the gross rent (shelter
rent plus utilities) of privately owned,
decent, and safe rental housing of a
modest (non-luxury) nature with
suitable amenities. In addition, all rents
subsidized under the HCV program
must meet reasonable rent standards.
HUD’s regulations at 24 CFR 888.113
permit it to establish 50th percentile
FMRs for certain areas.
Electronic Data Availability: This
Federal Register notice is available
electronically from the HUD User page
at https://www.huduser.org/datasets/fmr.
html. Federal Register notices also are
available electronically from https://
www.gpoaccess.gov/fr/, the
U.S. Government Printing Office Web
site. Complete documentation of the
methodology and data used to compute
each area’s final FY 2013 FMRs is
available at https://www.huduser.org/
portal/datasets/fmr/fmrs/docsys.html&
data=fmr13. Final FY 2013 FMRs are
available in a variety of electronic
formats at https://www.huduser.org/
portal/datasets/fmr.html. FMRs may be
accessed in PDF format as well as in
Microsoft Excel. Small Area FMRs based
on final FY 2013 Metropolitan Area
Rents are available in Microsoft Excel
format at the same web address. Please
note that these Small Area FMRs are for
reference only, except where they are
used by PHAs participating in the Small
Area FMR demonstration.
II. Procedures for the Development of
FMRs
Section 8(c) of the USHA requires the
Secretary of HUD to publish FMRs
periodically, but not less frequently
than annually. Section 8(c) states, in
part, as follows:
Proposed fair market rentals for an area
shall be published in the Federal Register
with reasonable time for public comment and
shall become effective upon the date of
publication in final form in the Federal
Register. Each fair market rental in effect
under this subsection shall be adjusted to be
effective on October 1 of each year to reflect
changes, based on the most recent available
data trended so the rentals will be current for
the year to which they apply, of rents for
existing or newly constructed rental dwelling
units, as the case may be, of various sizes and
types in this section.
HUD’s regulations at 24 CFR part 888
provide that HUD will develop
proposed FMRs, publish them for public
comment, provide a public comment
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period of at least 30 days, analyze the
comments, and publish final FMRs. (See
24 CFR 888.115.) For FY 2013 FMRs,
HUD has considered all comments
submitted in response to its August 3,
2012 (77 FR 46447) proposed FY 2013
FMRs and provides its responses later in
this preamble.
In addition, HUD’s regulations at 24
CFR 888.113 set out procedures for HUD
to assess whether areas are eligible for
FMRs at the 50th percentile. Minimally
qualified areas 1 are reviewed each year
unless not qualified to be reviewed.
Areas that currently have 50th
percentile FMRs are evaluated for
progress in voucher tenant
concentration after three years in the
program. Continued eligibility is
determined using HUD administrative
data that show levels of voucher tenant
concentration. The levels of voucher
tenant concentration must be above 25
percent and show a decrease in
concentration since the last evaluation.
At least 85 percent of the voucher units
in the area must be used to make this
determination. Areas are not qualified to
be reviewed if they have been made a
50th-percentile area within the last
three years or have lost 50th-percentile
status for failure to de-concentrate
within the last three years.
In FY 2012 there were 21 areas using
50th-percentile FMRs. Of these 21 areas,
19 were allowed to continue as 50th
percentile FMR areas. The two areas
that are no longer in the 50th percentile
program are Grand Rapids, MI and
Washington, DC. The evaluation of
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Grand Rapids, MI showed that the
concentration of HCV tenants fell below
what is eligiblfor a 50th percentile FMR.
This area may be re-evaluated next year.
The Washington, DC area failed to
deconcentrate which means that it is not
eligible for a 50th percentile FMR
program for a three-year period. PHAs
in the Washington, DC area may seek
payment standard protection under 24
CFR 982.503(f) from the HUD Field
Office is the PHA scored the maximum
number of points on the
deconcentration bonus indicator in the
prio year, or in two or the last three
years.
Those eligible to continue are listed
below:
FY 2013 CONTINUING 50TH-PERCENTILE FMR AREAS
Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX MSA
Bergen-Passaic, NJ HMFA 2
Fort Worth-Arlington, TX HMFA
Honolulu, HI MSA
Las Vegas-Paradise, NV MSA
North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL MSA
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD MSA
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA HMFA
Tucson, AZ MSA
West Palm Beach-Boca Raton, FL HMFA.
In addition, Richmond, VA, an area
that graduated from the 50th percentile
program in FY 2012, re-enters the
program in FY 2013. In summary, there
will be 20 50th-percentile FMR areas in
FY 2013. These areas are indicated by
an asterisk in Schedule B, where all
FMRs are listed by state.
Baltimore-Towson, MD MSA.
Fort Lauderdale, FL HMFA.
Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, CT HMFA.
Houston-Baytown-Sugar Land, TX HMFA.
New Haven-Meriden, CT HMFA.
Orange County, CA HMFA.
Phoenix-Mesa-Glendale, AZ MSA.
Sacramento—Arden-Arcade—Roseville, CA HMFA.
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC MSA.
N%252BO%252BSR%252BPS;rpp=
25;po=0;D=HUD-2012-0090).
IV. FMR Methodology
On August 3, 2012 (77 FR 46447),
HUD published proposed FY 2013
FMRs with a comment period that
ended September 4, 2012. HUD has
considered all public comments
received and HUD provides responses to
these comments later in this preamble.
HUD does not specifically identify each
commenter, but all comments are
available for review on the Federal
Government’s Web site for capturing
comments on proposed regulations and
related documents (Regulations.gov—
https://www.regulations.gov/#!
docketDetail;dct=
This section provides a brief overview
of how the FY 2013 FMRs are
computed. For complete information on
how FMR areas are determined, and on
how each area’s FMRs are derived, see
the online documentation at https://
www.huduser.org/portal/datasets/fmr/
fmrs/docsys.html&data=fmr13.
The FY 2013 FMRs are based on
current OMB metropolitan area
definitions and standards that were first
used in the FY 2006 FMRs. OMB
changes to the metropolitan area
definitions through December 2009 are
incorporated. There have been no area
definition changes published by OMB
since the publication of the FY 2012
FMRs; therefore, the FY 2013 area
definitions are the same as those used
in FY 2012. HUD anticipates that OMB
will publish new area definitions in
1 As defined in 24 CFR 888.113(c), a minimally
qualified area is an area with at least 100 Census
tracts where 70 percent or fewer of the Census tracts
with at least 10 two-bedroom rental units are
Census tracts in which at least 30 percent of the two
bedroom rental units have gross rents at or below
the two bedroom FMR set at the 40th percentile
rent. This continues to be evaluated with 2000
Decennial Census information. Although the 2006–
2010 5-year ACS tract level data is available, HUD’s
administrative data on tenant locations (used in the
calculation of concentration) has not yet been
updated to use the 2010 Census Tract area
definitions. Once this administrative data is
updated, HUD will implement the 5-year ACS data
as the basis for determining if areas are minimally
qualified for 50th percentile status.
2 HMFA stands for HUD Metropolitan FMR Area.
3 The only difference in survey data between the
2005–2009 5-year ACS data and the 2006–2010 5-
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III. Proposed FY 2013 FMRs
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2013. Depending on the timing of this
release, HUD will incorporate the new
area definitions into either the FY 2014
or FY 2015 proposed FMRs.
A. Base Year Rents
The U.S. Census Bureau provided
special tabulations of 5-year ACS data
collected between 2006 through 2010 to
HUD in early to mid-2012. For FY 2013
FMRs, HUD used the 2006–2010 5-year
ACS data to update the base rents set in
FY 2012 using the 2005–2009 5-year
ACS data.3
FMRs are historically based on gross
rents for recent movers (those who have
moved into their current residence in
the last 24 months). However, due to the
way the 5-year ACS data are
constructed, HUD developed a new
methodology for calculating recentmover FMRs in FY 2012. As in FY 2012,
all areas are assigned as a base rent the
estimated two-bedroom standard quality
5-year gross rent from the ACS.4
year ACS data is the replacement of 2005 survey
responses with survey responses collected in 2010.
The 2006, 2007, 2008, and 2009 survey responses
remain intact.
4 For areas with a two-bedroom standard quality
gross rent from the ACS that have a margin of error
greater than the estimate or no estimate due to
inadequate sample in the 2010 5-year ACS, HUD
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Because HUD’s regulations mandate that
FMRs must be published as recent
mover gross rents, HUD continues to
apply a recent mover factor to the
standard quality base rents assigned
from the 5-year ACS data. Calculation of
the recent mover factor is described in
section B. below.
No local area rent surveys were
conducted in 2011 or 2012 by HUD or
PHAs, but the surveys conducted in
2010, for Williamsport, PA and Pike
County, PA supersede the 2006–2010
ACS data.
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B. Recent Mover Factor
Following the assignment of the
standard quality two-bedroom rent
described above, HUD applies a recent
mover factor to these rents. In
preparation for calculating the proposed
FY 2013 FMRs, the department
reviewed the methodology for
calculating the recent mover factor from
the FY 2012 process and made several
improvements. The primary change is
that HUD no longer compares the
standard quality gross rent to the recent
mover gross rent to determine if the two
statistics are significantly different.5 For
the FY 2012 FMRs, if the two rents were
determined to be statistically different
the recent mover factor was calculated
as the percentage increase of the recent
mover gross rent over the standard
quality gross rent. In cases where the
two gross rents were not statistically
different, the recent mover factor was
set to one. As described below, HUD
calculates a similar percentage increase
as the FY 2013 factor using data from
the smallest geographic area containing
the FMR area where the recent mover
gross rent is statistically reliable.6 The
following describes the process
determining the appropriate recent
mover factor. The revised recent mover
factor process results in 91 percent of
the FMR areas having a recent mover
factor greater than one in FY 2013
compared with only 38 percent in FY
2012.
In general, HUD uses the 1 year ACS
based two-bedroom statistically reliable
recent mover gross rent estimate from
the smallest geographic area
uses the two-bedroom state non-metro rent for nonmetro areas.
5 The statistical comparison test used, the z-test,
assumes that the samples from which the two
statistics are calculated are independent. Because
recent mover responders are also part of the
standard quality responders, the two samples are
not independent.
6 For the purpose of the recent mover factor
calculation, statistically reliable is where the recent
mover gross rent has a margin of error that is less
than the estimate itself. For example, if the estimate
was 500 and the margin of error was 501, that
estimate would not be used.
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encompassing the FMR area to calculate
the recent mover factor. Some areas’
recent mover factors will be calculated
using data collected just for the FMR
area. Other areas’ recent mover factor
will be based on larger geographic areas.
For metropolitan areas that are subareas
of larger metropolitan areas, the order is
subarea, metropolitan area, state
metropolitan area, and state.
Metropolitan areas that are not divided
follow a similar path from FMR area, to
state metropolitan areas, to state. In
nonmetropolitan areas the recent mover
factor is based on the FMR area, the
state nonmetropolitan area, or if that is
not available, on the basis of the whole
state. The recent mover factor is
calculated as the percentage change
between the 5-year 2006–2010 twobedroom gross rent and the 1 year 2010
recent mover two-bedroom gross rent for
the recent mover factor area. Recent
mover factors are not allowed to lower
the standard quality base rent; therefore,
if the 5-year standard quality rent is
larger than the comparable 1 year recent
mover rent, the recent mover factor is
set to 1. The process for calculating each
area’s recent mover factor is detailed in
the FY 2013 Final FMR documentation
system available at: https://www.
huduser.org/portal/datasets/fmr/fmrs/
docsys.html&data=fmr13.
This process produces an ‘‘as of’’ 2010
recent mover two-bedroom base gross
rent for the FMR area.7
C. Updates From 2010 to 2011
The ACS based ‘‘as of’’ 2010 rent is
updated through the end of 2011 using
the annual change in CPI from 2010 to
2011. As in previous years, HUD uses
Local CPI data for FMR areas with at
least 75 percent of their population
within Class A metropolitan areas
covered by local CPI data. HUD uses
Census region CPI data for FMR areas in
7 The Pacific Islands (Guam, Northern Marianas
and American Samoa) as well as the U.S. Virgin
Islands are not covered by ACS data. As part of the
2010 Decennial Census, these areas were covered by
a long-form survey. The results gathered by this
long form survey are not expected to be available
until later in 2012. Therefore, HUD uses the
national change in gross rents, measured between
2009 and 2010 to update last year’s FMR for these
areas. Puerto Rico is covered by the Puerto Rico
Community Survey within the American
Community Survey; however, the gross rent data
produced by the 2006–2010 ACS are not sufficient
to adequately house voucher holders in Puerto Rico.
This is due to the limited ability to eliminate units
that do not pass the voucher program’s housing
quality standards. Consequently, HUD is updating
last year’s FMRs for Puerto Rico using the change
in rents measured from all of Puerto Rico measured
between the 2009 and 2010. For details behind
these calculations, please see HUD’s Final FY 2013
FMR documentation system available at: https://
www.huduser.org/portal/datasets/fmr/fmrs/docsys.
html&data=fmr13.
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Class B and C size metropolitan areas
and nonmetropolitan areas without
local CPI update factors. Following the
application of the appropriate CPI
update factor, HUD converts the ‘‘as of’’
2011 CPI adjusted rents to ‘‘as of’’
December 2011 rents by multiplying
each rent by the national December
2011 CPI divided by the national annual
2011 CPI value. HUD does this in order
to apply an exact amount of the annual
trend factor to place the FY 2013 FMRs
as of the mid-point of the 2013 fiscal
year.
D. Trend From 2011 to 2013
On March 9, 2011 (76 FR 12985),
HUD published a notice requesting
public comment regarding the manner
in which it calculates the trend factor
used in determining FMR estimates to
meet the statutory requirement that
FMRs be ‘‘trended so the rentals will be
current for the year to which they
apply’’. HUD’s notice provided several
proposed alternatives to the current
trend factor and requested comments on
the alternatives as well as suggestions of
other ideas. In its publication of the
proposed FY 2012 FMRs on August 19,
2011, (76 FR 52058) HUD discussed
these comments and announced that a
new trend factor would be used in the
FY 2013 FMRs. HUD calculates the
trend factor as the annualized change in
median gross rents as measured between
the 1 year 2005 ACS and the 1 year 2010
ACS. The median gross rent was $728
in 2005 and $855 in 2010. The overall
change is 17.45 percent and the
annualized change is 3.27%. Over a 15month time period, the effective trend
factor is 4.1 percent.
E. Bedroom Rent Adjustments
HUD calculates the primary FMR
estimates for two-bedroom units. This is
generally the most common sized rental
unit and, therefore, the most reliable to
survey and analyze. Formerly, after each
decennial Census, HUD calculated rent
relationships between two-bedroom
units and other unit sizes and used
them to set FMRs for other units. HUD
did this because it is much easier to
update two-bedroom estimates annually
and to use pre-established cost
relationships with other bedroom sizes
than it is to develop independent FMR
estimates for each bedroom size. For FY
2013 FMRs, HUD has updated the
bedroom ratio adjustment factors using
2006–2010 5-year ACS data using
similar methodology to what was
implemented when calculating bedroom
ratios using 2000 Census data to
establish rent ratios. HUD again made
adjustments to the bedroom ratios using
2006–2010 5-year ACS data for areas
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with local bedroom-size intervals above
or below what are considered
reasonable ranges, or where sample
sizes are inadequate to accurately
measure bedroom rent differentials.
Experience has shown that highly
unusual bedroom ratios typically reflect
inadequate sample sizes or peculiar
local circumstances that HUD would not
want to utilize in setting FMRs (e.g.,
luxury efficiency apartments that rent
for more than typical one-bedroom
units). HUD established bedroom
interval ranges based on an analysis of
the range of such intervals for all areas
with large enough samples to permit
accurate bedroom ratio determinations.
These ranges are: Efficiency FMRs are
constrained to fall between 0.59 and
0.81 of the two-bedroom FMR; onebedroom FMRs must be between 0.74
and 0.84 of the two-bedroom FMR;
three-bedroom FMRs must be between
1.15 and 1.36 of the two-bedroom FMR;
and four-bedroom FMRs must be
between 1.24 and 1.64 of the twobedroom FMR. HUD adjusts bedroom
rents for a given FMR area if the
differentials between bedroom-size
FMRs were inconsistent with normally
observed patterns (i.e., efficiency rents
are not allowed to be higher than onebedroom rents and four-bedroom rents
are not allowed to be lower than threebedroom rents).
Following the same methodology as
was used when bedroom ratios were
calculated using 2000 decennial Census
long-form data, HUD continues to adjust
the rents for three-bedroom and larger
units to reflect HUD’s policy to set
higher rents for these units than would
result from using unadjusted market
rents. This adjustment is intended to
increase the likelihood that the largest
families, who have the most difficulty in
leasing units, will be successful in
finding eligible program units. The
adjustment adds bonuses of 8.7 percent
to the unadjusted three-bedroom FMR
estimates and adds 7.7 percent to the
unadjusted four-bedroom FMR
estimates. The FMRs for unit sizes larger
than four bedrooms are calculated by
adding 15 percent to the four-bedroom
FMR for each extra bedroom. For
example, the FMR for a five-bedroom
unit is 1.15 times the four-bedroom
FMR, and the FMR for a six-bedroom
unit is 1.30 times the four-bedroom
FMR. FMRs for single-room occupancy
units are 0.75 times the zero-bedroom
(efficiency) FMR.
For low-population, nonmetropolitan
counties with small or statistically
insignificant 2006–2010 5-year ACS
gross rents, HUD uses state nonmetropolitan data to determine bedroom
ratios for each bedroom size. HUD made
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this adjustment to protect against
unrealistically high or low FMRs due to
insufficient sample sizes.
V. Manufactured Home Space Surveys
The FMR used to establish payment
standard amounts for the rental of
manufactured home spaces in the HCV
program is 40 percent of the FMR for a
two-bedroom unit. HUD will consider
modification of the manufactured home
space FMRs where public comments
present statistically valid survey data
showing the 40th-percentile
manufactured home space rent
(including the cost of utilities) for the
entire FMR area.
All approved exceptions to these rents
that were in effect in FY 2012 were
updated to FY 2013 using the same data
used to estimate the HCV program
FMRs. If the result of this computation
was higher than 40 percent of the new
two-bedroom rent, the exception
remains and is listed in Schedule D. No
additional exception requests were
received in the comments to the FY
2013 FMRs. The FMR area definitions
used for the rental of manufactured
home spaces are the same as the area
definitions used for the other FMRs.
VI. Small Area Fair Market Rents
Public housing authorities that
operate in the Dallas, TX HMFA
continue to manage their voucher
programs using Small Area Fair Market
Rents (SAFMRs). The updated SAFMRs
for Dallas are listed in Schedule B
Addendum.
SAFMRs are calculated using a rent
ratio determined by dividing the median
gross rent across all bedrooms for the
small area (a ZIP code) by the similar
median gross rent for the metropolitan
area of the ZIP code. This rent ratio is
multiplied by the current two- bedroom
rent for the entire metropolitan area
containing the small area to generate the
current year two-bedroom rent for the
small area. In small areas where the
median gross rent is not statistically
reliable, HUD substitutes the median
gross rent for the county containing the
ZIP code in the numerator of the rent
ratio calculation. All other aspects of the
methodology are consistent with the
FMR methodology. The recent mover
and bedroom ratio changes made to the
area-wide FMRs were also made to the
SAFMRs. In addition, the new trend
factor is applied to the SAFMRs as well.
For FY 2013 SAFMRs, HUD has
implemented two changes to the rent
ratio calculation methodology. First,
HUD has updated the 2005–2009 5-year
ACS based ZIP code median gross rent
data with 2006–2010 5-year ZIP Code
Tabulation Area (ZCTA) median gross
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rent data. The use of the more current
ACS data is consistent with the update
process in the FMR methodology.
However, the change from ZIP code to
ZCTA was a change that the Bureau of
the Census made for its aggregation
process; HUD has no control over the
decision by Census to use ZCTA data
instead of ZIP code data. Second, HUD
expanded the criteria for determining
the statistical reliability of the small
area rent data in order to ensure that
more SAFMRs are based on the data for
the small area as opposed to using data
from the parent county as a proxy. This
change is consistent with the changes in
the FMR methodology that eliminated
the use of the statistical Z-test.8
VII. Public Comments
A. Overview
A total of 75 comments were received
and posted on the regulations.gov site
(https://www.regulations.gov/#!docket
Detail;dct=N%252BO%252BSR%252B
PS;rpp=25;po=0;D=HUD-2012-0090
which is also linked on the HUD User
FMR page https://www.huduser.org/
portal/datasets/fmr.html). Most
comments contested FMR reductions
compared with the FY 2012 FMR and
some contested reductions since the FY
2011 FMRs or earlier. These comments
covered areas for all of North Dakota,
most of Connecticut and New York, the
San Francisco, Oakland and San Jose
areas of California, the Bergen-Passaic,
Newark and Ocean City areas of New
Jersey, Anchorage and several nonmetropolitan areas of Alaska, Dallas, TX
and Burlington, VT. Other areas, some
with modest increases in the twobedroom FMR, contested decreases in 0bedroom and 1-bedroom rents. These
areas include Middlesex, NJ, Kansas
City, MO, Williamsport, PA, Choctaw
County, OK and Pender County, NC.
Other areas, despite modest increases
for the FY 2013 FMRs are still not back
to their FY 2011 levels and continue to
express a program need for higher
FMRs, in areas such as Minneapolis,
MN, St. Mary’s County, MD, Summit
County, UT, Hale County, TX and
nonmetropolitan mining counties in
Nevada. Some areas could not handle
the modest decreases in the FMRs for
smaller bedroom sizes coupled with
increases for larger bedroom sizes.
8 HUD has provided numerous detailed accounts
of the calculation methodology used for Small Area
Fair Market Rents. Please see our Federal Register
notice of April 20, 2011 (76 FR 22125) for more
information regarding the calculation methodology.
Also, HUD’s Final FY 2013 FMR documentation
system available at (https://www.huduser.org/portal/
datasets/fmr/fmrs/docsys.html&data=fmr13)
contains detailed calculations for each ZIP code
area in the Dallas, TX HMFA.
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These areas include Springfield, MO
and several nonmetropolitan counties in
Missouri and Nebraska. A small town in
Maine and a nonmetropolitan county in
Texas wanted to receive rents closer to
their neighboring metropolitan area.
Agencies in Montgomery County, MD
and the District of Columbia protested
the decline in the FMR resulting from
the loss of the 50th percentile FMR.
Several comments requested that
HUD hold the FY 2013 FMRs harmless,
that is they wanted the FMR to remain
at the FY 2012 level, or the FY 2011
level if it would otherwise be lower. In
addition to or instead of imposing hold
harmless, several comments asked HUD
to limit annual increases and decreases
of FMRs to five percent. While HUD has
been able to use such measures in
limiting income limit increases and
decreases, HUD is specifically
precluded from incorporating these
changes into the FMR methodology by
the statutory language governing FMRs
that requires the use of the most recent
data. HUD is required to use the most
recent available data and FMRs must
increase or decrease based on this data.
Ignoring decreases or phasing decreases
or increases in over several years would
not fully implement FMRs based on the
most recent available data. This
statutory language also applies to
SAFMRs and the incorporation of new
area definitions. Area definitions use
the most current definitions available
which were formulated using the 2000
decennial Census long-form data as
their basis. The Department cannot
return to area definitions based on 1990
decennial Census long-form data.
Adjusted area definitions based on a
combination of 2010 decennial Census
and 5-year ACS data are expected in late
2013. HUD will review and incorporate
these changes at that time.
Many of the comments also identified
the lower rents for zero-bedroom and
one-bedroom units in many areas. The
development of new bedroom ratios
means that some areas will have lower
relationships to the two-bedroom FMR
than they did in the past. Some areas
with lower zero-bedroom and onebedroom ratios had the FY 2013 FMR
for these units decline, while the twobedroom FMR increased. For the
voucher program, the only relief from
the decrease would be for PHAs to
request exception payment standards for
these smaller bedroom sizes. HUD is
aware that the decreases in the zerobedroom and one-bedroom FMRs have a
disproportionate impact on homeless
and elderly programs but there is no
action HUD may take under current
statute to provide relief for these
programs. HUD also received several
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comments opposed to the large
increases in the three-bedroom FMRs.
The PHAs making these comments did
not suggest that HUD revisit its national
policy of including bonuses for large
bedroom sized units, but were
concerned with serving the same
number of families while the FMRs for
these bedroom sizes increased more
than 10 percent. HUD cannot hold the
FY 2013 FMRs harmless at the FY 2012
FMR levels for the bedroom ratio
changes or incorporate caps and floors
to phase in increases or decreases due
to statutory limitations.
Several areas that experienced a
decline in the FMR requested that HUD
survey its area. HUD was unable to
conduct any surveys in 2011 because
the Department was studying the
methodology used to conduct local area
market rent surveys, and has very
limited resources to conduct surveys in
2012. Therefore, HUD is choosing to
focus its survey resources on areas
without statistically significant one-year
ACS local data. Areas considered for
HUD funded surveys must also have
large enough rental markets so that the
new mail-based survey methodology is
likely to capture significant results
(please see section VIII of this notice for
further information regarding the survey
methodology). Based on the testing
performed in 2011 and 2012, markets
should typically contain at least 30,000
housing units. County groups can be
assembled in non-metropolitan areas for
the purposes of surveys, but these
counties must have similar economic
conditions and no county in a county
group can have its published FMR be
based on the state minimum FMR. HUD
has experience conducting surveys in
areas with low or no vacancy rates and
this experience has shown that it is
extremely difficult to capture gross rent
levels that depict such tight markets.
For that reason, HUD will provide
emergency exception payment
standards up to 135 percent of the FMR
for the Section 8 voucher program in
areas impacted by natural resource
exploration. PHAs interested in
applying for these emergency payment
standards should contact their local
HUD field office. Additionally, while
FMRs cannot be held harmless, the
HOME program does have a hold
harmless provision for its rents. Other
programs that use FMRs will have to
pursue similar strategies such as
exception payment standards or hold
harmless provisions within the statutory
and regulatory framework governing
those programs.
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B. Issues Raised in Comments and HUD
Responses
In accordance with 24 CFR 888.115,
HUD has reviewed the public comments
that have been submitted by the due
date and has determined that there are
no comments with ‘‘statistically valid
rental survey data that justify the
requested changes.’’ The following are
HUD’s responses to all known
comments received by the comment due
date and a part of the notice record at
https://www.regulations.gov/#!docket
Detail;dct=N%252BO%252
BSR%252BPS;rpp=25;po=0;D=HUD2012-0090.
FMRs Should Be Held Harmless at the
FY 2012 Levels
Several comments requested that
FMRs not be allowed to decline from
their FY 2012 level. Some of these
comments asked HUD to delay
implementation of FY 2013 FMRs for
their area to allow local housing
authorities to complete a rent survey, or
until HUD completes a survey for them.
HUD Response: HUD cannot ignore
the more current 2010 American
Community Survey (ACS) data and
allow FMRs to stay the same as they
were for FY 2012, which were based on
gross rents from the 2009 ACS, except
for two areas where there was a HUDsponsored survey. By statute (42 USC
1437f(c)(1)(B)) and regulation (24 CFR
888.113(e)), HUD is required to use the
most current data available. While rent
surveys conducted either by HUD or a
PHA would provide more current data
than the ACS, these surveys take about
two months to complete and can be
quite expensive. HUD does not have the
funds to conduct many surveys and
HUD cannot delay the implementation
of FY 2013 FMRs while new surveys are
being conducted. Areas with relatively
short-term market tightening are not
easily measured by rent surveys. Based
on past experience, HUD finds that an
area must have rent increases or
declines for a period of at least two
years before changes can be measured
by HUD or privately funded surveys.
However, HUD will determine how
many surveys can be administered
based on its ongoing funding levels and
will evaluate these survey results as
quickly as possible. Should the survey
results show market conditions that are
statistically different from the published
FMRs, HUD will revise the Final FY
2013 FMRs. If HUD is unable to
complete a survey in a particular area
and a local Housing Authority or other
entity decides to undertake such a
survey, HUD recommends following the
survey guidance available at https://
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www.huduser.org/portal/datasets/
fmr.html. Just as with a HUD funded
survey, HUD will review the results of
these private surveys and will revise the
Final FY 2013 FMRs if warranted.
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Market Rents Did Not Decrease in the
Past Year and Neither Should FMRs
Several comments were received that
stated that market rents did not decrease
over the past year and so FMRs also
should not decrease.
HUD Response: FMRs should not be
considered a time series of rent data for
each market in which FMRs are
published. FMR data cannot justify
claims that rents in a particular area are
increasing, decreasing, or unchanged.
The FMR process is designed to develop
the best estimate of rents for a particular
area using the timeliest available data
covering the entire market area; this
process does not take into account
whether previous FMRs make sense in
light of new data, and no attempt is
made to revise past FMR estimates.
Therefore, year-over-year FMR changes
can sometimes seemingly conflict with
perceived market trends.
Annual revisions are now possible
with the 5-year ACS data. Because of the
nature of the ACS 5-year tabulations,
however, 80 percent of the survey
observations will remain the same from
one year to the next.i Also, many small
FMR areas rely on update factors based
on survey results from a larger,
encompassing geographic area (for
example, state-based update factors
used for nonmetropolitan counties).
Even if the base rent is not adjusted,
therefore, the annual changes do not
necessarily reflect the housing market
conditions for the smaller area but still
represent HUD’s best estimate of 40thpercentile gross rents in the FMR area.
FMR Decreases Do Not Reflect the
Annual or Recent Change in Rents for
an Area
Some comments provided apartment
project rent data (many representing less
than 30 percent of the rental market)
that show that the rents for their area
increased in the past year, while the FY
2013 FMRs show a decline from the FY
2012 FMRs.
HUD Response: FMRs are estimated
rents, and can change from year-to-year
in ways that are different from market
rent changes or economic activity. First,
as one commenter noted, when
economic activity decreases, rents don’t
necessarily decrease and some increased
economic activity that might put
pressure on rents cannot be measured in
real time. HUD is required to use the
most current data available. HUD is also
precluded from using sources of data
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that are not statistically significant. Rent
reasonableness studies are not subject to
the same constraints on statistical
reliability and cannot be used to alter
FMRs. Surveys of apartment projects
provide indications of where the market
is going, but do not account for the
roughly one-third of the market made
up of single family homes and attached,
but small apartment projects (0–5 units).
Much of the apartment project data was
for larger apartment projects and
represented less than 20 percent of the
rental market.
The New Bedroom Ratios for
Efficiencies and One-Bedroom Units
Are Too Low
Several comments were received that
noted that the efficiency and onebedroom FMRs decreased substantially
despite only a modest decrease or even
a modest increase in the two-bedroom
FMR.
HUD Response: HUD calculates the
primary FMR estimates for two-bedroom
units, generally the most common rental
unit size and, therefore, the most
reliable to survey and analyze.
Formerly, after each decennial census,
HUD calculated rent relationships
between two-bedroom units and other
unit sizes and used them to set FMRs for
other units. HUD bases the calculations
this way because it is much easier to
update two-bedroom estimates and to
use established rent relationships with
other unit sizes than it is to develop
independent FMR estimates for each
unit size. HUD last updated bedroomrent relationships using 2000 Census
data. The 2006–2010 5 Year ACS data
were the first publication of ACS data to
use the 2010 Decennial census for
geographic boundaries. Consequently,
HUD implemented new bedroom ratios
based on this 5-year ACS data to remove
this tie to 2000 decennial Census based
results. HUD developed new bedroom
ratios based on the 5-year ACS data with
the release of the 2010 ACS.
New bedroom ratios were calculated
for each area using the same
methodology as previously, with the
exception that margin of error ratios
were evaluated to select the bedroom
ratio at the smallest area of
encompassing geography with
statistically reliable results. For
example, a non-metropolitan county
without many cases of efficiency rents
and with a margin of error ratio of
greater than one would use the state
non-metro efficiency ratio instead of its
own. However, most of the comments
received on the decrease in the zerobedroom and one-bedroom ratios
covered areas where the bedroom ratios
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were based on data for their own area
and all had very low margins of error.
HUD Should Not Punish High Cost
Areas by Imposing Caps on Bedroom
Ratios
HUD Response: HUD has always
imposed national caps and floors on
bedroom ratios based on the tenth and
ninetieth percentile of the distribution
of rents by bedroom size. The 2010 ACS
data for one-bedroom rents resulted in
a reduction in the one-bedroom cap
from 0.90 percent of the two-bedroom
FMR (based on the 2000 decennial
census data) to 0.84 percent based on
the 2010 ACS data. HUD cannot hold
harmless its caps (and floors) for the
reasons discussed above.
The Reduction in the Zero-Bedroom and
One-Bedroom FMR Creates an Unfair
Preference for Families Over Single
Residents
HUD Response: HUD revised the
bedroom ratios based on more current
data; it is not establishing a new policy.
These new bedroom ratios create new
caps floors for the zero-bedroom and
one-bedroom units that are lower than
what were created using the 2000
decennial Census data. The
methodology used to create the caps and
floors is unchanged. The difference in
the caps and floors is the use of 2010
ACS data versus the 2000 decennial
Census data. HUD cannot go back to
using the older data for the reasons
discussed above.
The Decrease in the FMR for Smaller
Bedroom Sizes Has a Disproportionate
Impact on Elderly, Disabled and
Homeless Programs
HUD Response: HUD recognizes that
the reduction in efficiency and onebedroom FMRs impacts these programs
and is working to develop new tools or
use existing ones that can alleviate
program problems. PHAs may use
Exception Payment Standards at 24 CFR
982.503(c), or Success Rate Payment
Standards 24 CFR 982.503(e) for certain
bedroom sizes, to the extent allowed.
The 2006–2010 ACS Data Is Not Current
Enough for Small Metropolitan and
Non-Metropolitan Counties in a Fast
Growing Economy
A comment was received that
suggested that only HUD surveys would
provide the data necessary for an area
without its own CPI area data.
HUD Response: The most significant
factor driving FMRs changes in the area
that provided this comment was the
reduction in the recent mover
adjustment factor from 1.26 percent in
FY 2012 to about 1.10 percent for FY
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2013. Both the FY 2012 and FY 2013
recent mover adjustment factors are
large compared to other areas across the
country. Base rents, however have
changed very little and a majority of the
FMR areas covered by this comment are
areas where the Proposed FMR was
increased by the state minimum rent.
This means they are receiving a FMR
higher than what the ACS would
provide based on their own rents. Such
areas cannot be surveyed because their
own base rent starts out lower than what
is used in the FMR. HUD has limited
funds to conduct rent surveys and
cannot survey an entire state,
individually or as a group. Natural
resource production issues affect most
of the rents in this state and, for
operation of the voucher program in
these areas HUD instituted special
exception payment standards of up to
135 percent for areas with vacancy rates
at or near zero.
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The Reduction in the Recent Mover
Adjustment Factor Caused a Reduction
in FMRs
HUD Response: While the recent
mover adjustment factor cannot be
below one, it can increase or decrease
from year to year, just like the base rent
for the FMR. This factor cannot be held
harmless for the reasons discussed
above.
FMR Areas Are Too Large and Do Not
Reflect the Local Real Estate Market
The data and technology is available
to determine FMRs by subsets of diverse
counties.
HUD Response: For metropolitan
areas, HUD has purchased special
tabulations of median gross rent data
from the Census by ZIP Code Tabulation
Area (ZCTA). This data is not available
for nonmetropolitan areas. HUD is
currently conducting a demonstration
program whereby PHAs run their
voucher program using the small area
FMRs (SAFMRs) the Department
developed using this data. Originally
HUD requested volunteers for this
program, but no additional funds were
available to help with the
administration of the program. There
were few volunteers, and several of
these PHAs removed themselves from
consideration during the vetting
process. With limited funds available to
help defray the additional
administrative costs of operating the
voucher program using SAFMRs,
several randomly selected housing
agencies have been selected and agreed
to participate in a demonstration to use
SAFMRs. The Dallas area continues to
use SAFMRs as part of a court
settlement.
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FMRs Cannot Decrease in Economic
Growth Areas; Some of These Areas
Cannot Manage the Voucher Program
Even With Modest FMR Increases
Several comments, even pertaining to
FMR areas with decreases below 5
percent, or with modest increases,
pressed for higher FMRs FY 2013 FMRs.
Some of these areas had very tight
markets and some of these areas already
used payment standards at 110 percent
of the FMRs.
HUD Response: For rent data, the ACS
provides the most current data, and the
5-year 2006–2010 data is the most
current data available for all areas. HUD
must use the most current statistically
significant data available. None of the
areas that found FMRs too low because
of economic and population growth
provided statistically valid data that
could be use to update the FY 2013
FMRs. To help manage the program
during times of FMR decreases, PHAs
may be able to use Success Rate
Payment Standards 24 CFR 982.503(e),
or request Exception Payment Standards
for subareas within a FMR area (not to
exceed 50 percent of the population) at
24 CFR 982.503(c).
Vacancy Rates Are Low, Making it
Impossible To Absorb FMR Decreases
Several comments stated that low or
no vacancy rates in areas with increased
economic activity require higher FMRs
so that voucher tenants can compete for
housing. In these areas, there is not
sufficient rental housing and generally
the 2010 rental data from the ACS does
not reflect this situation.
HUD Response: When a market
tightens rapidly, the FMRs cannot keep
pace. The most accurate, statistically
significant data available to HUD is
lagged by two years. Even if HUD
conducts surveys of these areas,
capturing the full scope of rent increases
is difficult unless the market condition
has been going on for more than two
years; furthermore, it is challenging to
get valid results for surveys of relatively
small housing markets (under 1,000).
Most of the areas suffering from these
market conditions meet one or both of
the criteria. Areas with sustained
extremely low vacancy rates require
construction of additional units. Higher
FMR levels will not necessarily
encourage additional development.
These areas will have to rely on the use
of Exception Payment Standards for
subareas within an FMR area (not to
exceed 50 percent of the population) as
described at 24 CFR 982.503(c), or
through the use of Success Rate
Payment Standards available at 24 CFR
982.503(e) to alleviate market pressures.
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FMRs cannot be used to encourage
building, which is what is needed.
FY 2013 FMR Decreases Reduce the
Ability of Families To Find Affordable
Housing
Several comments stated that
decreases in FMRs would negatively
affect tenants’ ability to find affordable
housing. The decrease in FMRs from FY
2012 to FY2013 will reduce the
availability of affordable housing in the
area; landlords will be able to get higher
rents from tenants that are not Section
8 voucher holders and so many will opt
out of the program.
HUD Response: FMRs must reflect the
most current statistically valid data and
this means that FMRs cannot be held
harmless when this data shows a
decline. Most of the declines in the
FMRs are based on lower 2010 rents, in
a few cases the 2010 to 2011 CPI
adjustment reflects a decline.
FMR Reductions Will Lead to Poverty
Concentration
Decreases in the FMR, whether by
loss of a 50th percentile FMR status or
by reductions in Small Area FMRs
(SAFMRs) lead to poverty concentration
and prevent tenants from moving to
areas of opportunity.
HUD Response: HUD is required to
increase or decrease FMRs (and
SAFMRs are the FMR for Dallas) based
on the most currently available data that
meets the statistical significance tests.
PHAs may use the Exception Payment
Standard to increase payment standards
for higher rent areas and reduce poverty
concentration. PHAs may use the
Exception Payment Standards above to
reduce poverty concentration in
portions of the FMR. Areas that lost
their 50th percentile FMR, because they
graduated from the program or failed to
show measurable poverty
deconcentration can use higher payment
standards as shown at 24 CFR 982.503(f)
to mitigate FMR decreases.
A Reduction in the FMRs Puts HUDFinanced Projects and Low-Income
Housing Tax Credit Projects at Risk
If a current HUD Section 8 project
uses rents at 110 percent of the FMR, a
reduction in the FMR puts this project
at risk. An FMR reduction could mean
that LIHTC landlords will no longer
accept Section 8 voucher tenants.
HUD Response: HUD is required to
increase or decrease FMRs based on the
most currently available data that meets
the statistical reliability tests. PHAs may
use the Exception Payment Standard to
increase payment standards for higher
rent areas and reduce poverty
concentration. While there are no
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project-based exception areas, an area
already at 110 percent of the FMR may
be eligible for Success Rate Payment
Standards or a portion of the FMR area
may be granted exceptions above 110
percent, if warranted. PHAs interested
in exploring this option are encouraged
to review the FY 2013 Small Area FMRs
published at https://www.huduser.org/
portal/datasets/fmr.html in the section
labeled ‘‘Small Area FMRs.’’ The
manner in which SAFMRs are
calculated makes them ideal to be used
as in the ‘‘median rent method’’ section
of the exception payment standard
regulations found at 24 CFR
982.503(c)(2)(A).
FY 2013 FMR Decreases Will Require
Existing Tenants To Pay a Greater Share
of Their Income on Rents
Several comments stated that their
current tenants will have to pay a
greater share of their income on rents,
with FMR decreases.
HUD Response: New tenants are not
allowed to pay more than 40 percent of
their income on rent. Existing tenants
will not have to pay rent based on
reduced FMRs until the second
anniversary of their Housing Assistance
Payment (HAP) contract. If tenant rent
burden increases for an area, PHAs may
use this as a justification for higher
payment standards.
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Disabled and Difficult To Place
Residents Suffer a Disproportionately
Greater Impact From FMR Decreases
Because They Have Fewer Housing
Choice Options
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In areas where affordable housing
construction is increasing, a reduction
in the FMR will reduce the benefit of
existing affordable housing projects and
may prevent additional affordable
housing construction.
HUD Response: Maximum allowable
rents in Low-Income Housing Tax
Credit properties are set based upon 50or 60-percent income limit levels, or if
the FMR is higher, this amount can be
used for voucher holders. If the FMR is
below the rent determined by the
income limit levels, then generally the
income limit rent is used. So if FMRs
fall below the income limit rents,
voucher holders would either pay more
out of pocket for units or would be
unable to use their voucher for these
units. However, PHAs could use their
authority to adjust payment standards
where warranted, to increase FMRs so
voucher holders can have access to
these existing units. FMRs are used in
the determination of High and Low Rent
levels for HOME funded projects.
However, when the income limit hold
harmless policy was removed for the FY
2010 Income Limits, HUD instituted a
specific hold harmless provision for
HOME rents. A decrease in the FY 2013
FMR will not necessarily affect HOME
rents or home project funding.
HUD Should Institute 5 Percent Caps
and Floors When Incorporating new
Area Definitions in 2013
Disabled residents already have fewer
units available to them, and reducing
the FMR will further reduce their
options. Difficult to place residents,
because of history of late payments or
other options, will have fewer landlords
willing to rent to them if the FMR is
lower.
HUD Response: If an FMR decreases
there may be fewer units available at or
below the FMR. However, HUD must
use the most current data available and
rents may increase and decrease. The
data used as the basis for FY 2013 FMRs
is more current than what was available
in the estimation of the 40th percentile
FMRs for FY 2012, so while more units
were available, those rents are being
replaced with rents based on more
current information. If a family has a
member with a disability, a PHA may
establish a higher payment standard for
that family as a reasonable
accommodation as discussed in 24 CFR
982.505(d).
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Construction or Preservation of
Affordable Housing Is Threatened by
FMR Decreases
HUD Response: HUD recently
received a decision by program counsel
that HUD does not have the authority to
institute floors or caps when evaluating
the new area definitions. A statutory or
regulatory change is necessary before
HUD may impose caps and floors.
HUD’s ‘‘New Methodology’’ for Larger
Bedroom Sizes Is Inflationary and
Usurps the PHA Roles of Rent
Reasonableness Determinations
For bedroom sizes greater than fourbedroom units, HUD provides a formula
equal to 15 percent greater for each
bedroom size, such that a six-bedroom
unit is 1.3 times a four-bedroom unit.
The difference in costs is actually ten
percent.
HUD Response: While the new
bedroom ratios were calculated based
on 2010 ACS data and replace the
bedroom ratios based on 2000 decennial
Census long form data, the adjustment
of 15 percent per bedroom for bedrooms
greater than four-bedroom units is not
new and does not supplant the need to
conduct rent reasonable studies for
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units with more then four-bedrooms.
The adjustment allows for the
calculation of a five-bedroom or larger
FMR, which is not shown on the tables
in schedule B. It does not reflect a
payment standard.
Rents Should Be More Like Neighboring
Metropolitan Areas
Two nonmetropolitan areas requested
higher rents based on neighboring
metropolitan areas.
HUD Response: HUD will not make
changes to metropolitan area
composition until OMB publishes new
metropolitan area definitions, which are
expected sometime during 2013 (please
see OMB’s 2010 Federal Register
notices on this matter available at
https://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/
default/files/omb/assets/fedreg_2010/
06282010_metro_standardsComplete.pdf). HUD has never
incorporated new nonmetropolitan
areas into metropolitan areas and relies
on OMB guidance for determining
metropolitan areas. HUD has taken
counties out of metropolitan definitions
based on rent and income differences
and may revisit this methodology when
the new metropolitan area definitions
are incorporated.
Small Area FMRs Should Not Be Used;
HUD Has Not Adequately Addressed the
Potential for Disinvestment in
Reinvestment and/or Low-Income Areas
HUD’s floor of 10 percent for the
SAFMR demonstration program
represents a substantial drop in rents.
SAFMRs should not be used for
Difficult to Develop Areas. In general,
the use of ZIP codes as areas does not
represent housing markets and should
not be used for SAFMRs.
HUD Response: HUD published a
Federal Register notice requesting
comments on the use of SAFMRs in the
designation of DDAs. HUD continues to
use SAFMRs in Dallas, as part of a
settlement agreement which did not
include the implementation of caps and
floors. The operation of SAFMRs in
Dallas varies from the invitational
demonstration program and so
information collected from Dallas will
initially need to be analyzed
independently from data collected from
other participating PHAs SAFMRs must
reflect a level of geography smaller than
a county, and while tract level data is
available, it is not feasible to consider as
the basis for SAFMRs. A typical single
Census Tract is too small to be used for
setting SAFMRs. Any methodology used
by the Department to aggregate Census
Tracts places the Department in the
unenviable position of having to
constantly defend the aggregation
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methodology. Although ZIP codes are
created for the efficient delivery of mail,
they have the distinct advantage that
they are large enough to provide a
suitable number of housing units, small
enough to depict variation in rental
across metropolitan areas and, most
importantly, through Census Bureau
ACS ZCTA data aggregations, have
sufficient gross rent data to use in the
calculation of SAFMRs.
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HUD’s Use of a ‘‘Public Housing Rent’’
Threshold Is Too Low
The public housing cutoff rent should
include rents for housing serving low
income residents (at 80 percent of the
area median income (AMI)). HUD
underestimates its public housing rent
cutoff by basing it on the 75th percentile
of the public housing rents; it should be
at the 95th percentile, or greater. Public
housing rents do not include debt
service and HUD provides PHAs with
assistance in covering operating
expenses and capital maintenance such
that public housing rents are much
lower than what is required for a
housing quality adjustment.
HUD Response: The public housing
cutoff rent is used as a proxy to remove
substandard units and those renting in
non-market transactions from the
standard quality distribution of rents.
Removing all rents below what would
be affordable for low-income families
from the distribution would not reflect
entire rental markets as contemplated by
the FMR Statute and regulations. Not all
affordable housing should be included
in this cutoff amount. Some affordable
rental housing, especially for families at
80 percent of the AMI could have rents
that are well above the 40th percentile
rent. The use of the 40th percentile
distribution coupled with the
elimination of the bottom of the
distribution below the public cutoff rent
on top of rents that were already
adjusted for standard quality by the
Bureau of the Census in our special
tabulations, provides enough of an
adjustment.
HUD Should Use a Local Trend Factor,
Rather Than a National Trend Factor
A different commenter supported the
new national trend factor as appropriate
in minimizing year-to-year volatility.
HUD Response: HUD published a
Federal Register notice on March 9,
2011, requesting comments on a revised
trend factor (76 FR 12985). Few
comments were received on this notice
and a clear consensus could not be
reached based on these comments for
the new trend factor. A few comments
suggested the use of more local data, but
there were also a few comments
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opposing a more local factor. HUD
believes that enough uncertainty has
been added by changing the previously
10-year national trend factor into an
annual national trend factor and does
not want to increase the volatility in the
FMR based solely on changes in the
trend factor.
HUD Should Change Its Methodology
Such That Units Built in the Past Two
Years Are Not Excluded From the Data
Used To Calculate FMRs
Many of the units built in the past two
year are affordable housing units.
HUD Response: The methodology to
calculate FMRs has always excluded
those units built in the past two years.
This was done as a proxy for
eliminating luxury units. If these units
are not at the upper end of the
distribution, and are in fact, mainly
affordable housing units, then the
distribution of rents is not reduced and
the 40th percentile rent is higher than
what it would be if these units were
truly at the high end of the distribution
of rents.
Large FMR Increases Do Not Reflect
Market Conditions and Will Hurt
Housing Choice Voucher Families
HUD should not increase FMRs at a
time when federal agencies should be
freezing or reducing costs. One
comment stated that the FMR increases
will result in fewer families being
served. The change in the threebedroom ratio results in a large increase
in this unit size FMR.
HUD Response: Just as HUD must use
current data that results in FMR
decreases, so HUD must use current
data that results in increases. HUD
determines FMRs based on the most
current statistically reliable data. While
the three-bedroom cap only increased
modestly, from 1.34 using the 2000
decennial Census to 1.36 using the 2010
ACS data, there are more significant
changes by FMR area. Neither base rent
increases nor increases resulting from a
change in the bedroom ratio may be
held harmless. Rent reasonableness
studies can be used to set the payment
standard below the FMR if the FMR is
in fact too high for particular units of
acceptable quality chosen by voucher
tenants. It should be noted that a
comment filed in response to FY 2012
Proposed FMRs made a similar claim,
yet apparently did not reduce its
payment standards, and, in fact, has
applied for exception payment standard
based on the higher FY 2012 FMRs.
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Homelessness Will Increase in Areas
Where the FY 2013 FMRs Decreased
Several comments suggest that FMR
decreases, even those under five
percent, will reduce the ability of
tenants to find units that meet housing
quality standards and will increase
homelessness, as fewer units are
available at the lower FMR.
HUD Response: Where market
conditions warrant, HUD encourages
PHAs to use Exception Payment
Standards and Success Rate Payment
Standards to increase voucher holder’s
success in finding housing.
Decreases in FMRs Will Undo PHAs
Efforts To Maintain a High Success Rate;
Program Utilization Will Be Reduced
With Lower FMRs
HUD Response: Where market
conditions warrant, HUD encourages
PHAs to use Exception Payment
Standards and Success Rate Payment
Standards to increase voucher holder’s
success in finding housing.
HUD Should Institute Caps and Floors
To Limit Annual FMR Changes to Five
Percent
A five percent change in the FMR
triggers a rent reasonableness study,
which is costly for cash-strapped PHAs.
HUD should have instituted the same
cap and floor of five percent that it
instituted for Income Limits with the FY
2010 Income Limits.
HUD Response: HUD is constrained
by legal and regulatory language for its
calculation of FMRs, and therefore
cannot ignore the requirement to use the
most current data by only implementing
FMR changes in five percent
increments. Statutory and regulatory
changes are required before HUD would
be able to implement any methodology
changes to not fully use the most
current rent data in setting FMRs. No
such regulation or legislative
requirement governs the calculation of
income limits and prior to FY 2010,
income limits were held harmless, that
is, not allowed to ever decline. The
change to incorporate caps and floors of
up to five percent was a way to remove
this hold harmless policy and create
parity with increases and decreases.
The Loss of 50th Percentile FMRs Puts
Voucher Families at Risk for Rent
Increases, Rejection and Moving to
Areas of Greater Poverty
HUD should not take away 50th
percentile FMRs for PHAs meeting
deconcentration objectives under
SEMAP; HUD should use its regulatory
authority to reinstate 50th percentile
FMRs for these areas. HUD’s evaluation
of 50th percentile areas included FY
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2009, a year of voucher funding
shortfalls that limited the 50th
percentile FMRs. HUD should change it
requalification analysis.
HUD Response: Of the seven areas
evaluated for requalification, only one
area did not deconcentrate and is not
eligible for evaluation until FY 2016.
This area was one of the original 50th
percentile FMR areas in FY 2002 and
has had 50th percentile FMRs
continuously. The decrease in the FMR
as a result of the loss of the 50th
percentile is difficult for all PHAs that
operate in that area, but HUD has the
authority to grant payment standard
protection for PHAs that meet
deconcentration objectives under 24
CFR 982.503(f). This request must be
made to the HUD Field Office, and not
through the comment process.
HUD Should Replace the Use of the
2010 ACS Data for One Area With a
2011 Census Survey of a Subarea
HUD Response: The use of the more
current 2011 Census survey to set base
rents is a problem because the survey
covers only a portion of the FMR area;
excluded from this survey are several
counties that are part of the FMR area.
For the 2011 data to be used the survey
results have to be from the entire FMR
area, not just a subarea. Further, one of
these excluded counties is required, by
statute be included in that area’s FMR
calculation.
The FY 2013 Small Area FMRs for
Dallas Do Not Affirmatively Further Fair
Housing
HUD Should Publish 2000 Decennial
Census Data To Help PHAs Determine
Exception Payment Standards
HUD Response: HUD has decennial
Census tract level data that its Field
Economists or Headquarters Economists
use to determine exception payment
standards for PHAs. However, lately
HUD has relied on the SAFMRs,
published by ZIP Code, which are based
on the 2010 ACS data. This data for
metropolitan areas only is already
available to PHAs at https://
www.huduser.org/portal/datasets/fmr/
fmrs/index_sa.html&data=fy2013.
Where FY 2013 SAFMRs in the
Dallas, TX FMR Area are below what
they were in FY 2011, the first year
SAFMRs were used, the comment states
that HUD is violating its duty to
affirmatively further fair housing.
HUD Response: HUD must follow its
statutory and regulatory requirements to
update FMRs using the most current
data available. This means that both
increases and decreases must be applied
to the Dallas SAFMRs. A decrease that
reflects more current data does not
prevent HUD from affirmatively further
fair housing. The data HUD uses in the
calculation of FMRs (both metropolitanwide and small area FMRs) are
compiled across all survey respondents
in a given area and are not segmented
in any way by demographic traits.
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The FMRs Are Too Low and Do Not
Reflect Market Rents; HUD Must
Conduct a Survey of Rents
HUD Response: While rent surveys
conducted either by HUD or a PHA
would provide more current data, these
surveys take about two months to
complete and are quite expensive. HUD
does not have the funds to conduct
many surveys and HUD cannot delay
the implementation while new surveys
are being conducted. Areas with
relatively short-term market tightening
are not easily measured by rent surveys.
Based on past experience, HUD finds
that an area must have rent increases or
declines for a period of at least two
years before it can be measured.
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HUD Should Provide Information on the
Utility Costs Included in FMRs
HUD Response: HUD uses gross rents
from the ACS to establish base rents and
to determine recent mover factor
adjustments.
For Areas Without Their Own CPI,
AAFs Should Be Provided for the 10
HUD Regions Instead of the Four Census
Regions
HUD Response: The 10 HUD regional
AAFs, for both metropolitan and nonmetropolitan areas were calculated
based on a very expensive survey that
HUD conducted. This data was used to
adjust the FMR for areas without local
CPI data. When the 2000 decennial
Census data was released, HUD
analyzed the FMR using the survey data
and found that the survey data did not
improve the FMR estimation over what
it would have been using the CPI. The
cost of that data collection effort was not
worthwhile. HUD did not stop the
survey because of budgetary problems;
HUD stopped the survey because it did
not significantly improve the estimation
of the FMR.
VIII. Rental Housing Surveys
In 2011, HUD solicited bidders to
study the methodology used to conduct
local area surveys of gross rents to
determine if the Random Digit Dialing
(RDD) methodology could be improved
upon. The Department undertook this
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study due to the increasing costs and
declining response rates associated with
telephone surveys. Furthermore, the
advent of the 1-year ACS limits the need
for surveys in large metropolitan areas.
Based on this research, the Department
decided that its survey methodology
should be changed with mail surveys
being the preferred method for
conducting surveys, because of the
lower cost and greater likelihood of
survey responses. These surveys,
however, take almost twice as long to
conduct as prior survey methods took,
and when response times are most
critical, the Department may choose to
conduct random digit dialing surveys as
well, as the budget permits. The
methodology for both types of surveys
along with the survey instruments is
posted on the HUD USER Web site, at
the bottom of the FMR page in a section
labeled Fair Market Rent Surveys at:
https://www.huduser.org/portal/
datasets/fmr.html.
Other survey methodologies are
acceptable in providing data to support
comments if the survey methodology
can provide statistically reliable,
unbiased estimates of the gross rent.
Survey samples should preferably be
randomly drawn from a complete list of
rental units for the FMR area. If this is
not feasible, the selected sample must
be drawn to be statistically
representative of the entire rental
housing stock of the FMR area. Surveys
must include units at all rent levels and
be representative of structure type
(including single-family, duplex, and
other small rental properties), age of
housing unit, and geographic location.
The 2006–2010 5-year ACS data should
be used as a means of verifying if a
sample is representative of the FMR
area’s rental housing stock.
Most surveys cover only one- and
two-bedroom units, which has statistical
advantages. If the survey is statistically
acceptable, HUD will estimate FMRs for
other bedroom sizes using ratios based
on the 2006–2010 5-year ACS data. A
PHA or contractor that cannot obtain the
recommended number of sample
responses after reasonable efforts should
consult with HUD before abandoning its
survey; in such situations, HUD may
find it appropriate to relax normal
sample size requirements.
HUD will consider increasing
manufactured home space FMRs where
public comment demonstrates that 40
percent of the two-bedroom FMR is not
adequate. In order to be accepted as a
basis for revising the manufactured
home space FMRs, comments must
include a pad rental survey of the
mobile home parks in the area, identify
the utilities included in each park’s
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rental fee, and provide a copy of the
applicable public housing authority’s
utility schedule.
As stated earlier in this Notice, HUD
is required to use the most recent data
available when calculating FMRs.
Therefore, in order to re-evaluate an
area’s FMR, HUD requires more current
rental market data than the 2010 ACS.
IX. Environmental Impact
This Notice involves the
establishment of fair market rent
schedules, which do not constitute a
development decision affecting the
physical condition of specific project
areas or building sites. Accordingly,
under 24 CFR 50.19(c)(6), this Notice is
categorically excluded from
environmental review under the
National Environmental Policy Act of
1969 (42 U.S.C. 4321).
Accordingly, the Fair Market Rent
Schedules, which will not be codified in
24 CFR part 888, are amended as shown
in the Appendix to this notice:
Dated: September 27, 2012.
Erika C. Poethig,
Acting Assistant Secretary for Policy
Development and Research.
Fair Market Rents for the Housing
Choice Voucher Program
Schedules B and D—General
Explanatory Notes
1. Geographic Coverage
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a. Metropolitan Areas—Most FMRs
are market-wide rent estimates that are
intended to provide housing
opportunities throughout the geographic
area in which rental-housing units are
in direct competition. HUD is using the
metropolitan CBSAs, which are made
up of one or more counties, as defined
by the Office of Management and
Budget (OMB), with some
modifications. HUD is generally
assigning separate FMRs to the
component counties of CBSA
Micropolitan Areas.
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b. Modifications to OMB Definitions—
Following OMB guidance, the
estimation procedure for the FY 2013
Final FMRs incorporates the most
current OMB definitions of metropolitan
areas based on the CBSA standards as
implemented with 2000 Census data,
but makes adjustments to the definitions
to separate subparts of these areas where
FMRs or median incomes would
otherwise change significantly if the
new area definitions were used without
modification. In CBSAs where subareas
are established, it is HUD’s view for
programmatic purposes that the
geographic extent of the housing
markets are not yet the same as the
geographic extent of the CBSAs, but
may become so in the future as the
social and economic integration of the
CBSA component areas increases.
Modifications to metropolitan CBSA
definitions are made according to a
formula as described below.
Metropolitan area CBSAs (referred to
as MSAs) may be modified to allow for
subarea FMRs within MSAs based on
the boundaries of old FMR areas (OFAs)
within the boundaries of new MSAs.
(OFAs are the FMR areas defined for the
FY 2005 FMRs. Collectively they
include 1999-definition MSAs/Primary
Metropolitan Statistical Areas (PMSAs),
metro counties deleted from 1999definition MSAs/PMSAs by HUD for
FMR purposes, and counties and county
parts outside of 1999-definition MSAs/
PMSAs referred to as nonmetropolitan
counties.) Subareas of MSAs are
assigned their own FMRs when the
subarea 2000 Census Base Rent differs
by at least 5 percent from (i.e., is at most
95 percent or at least 105 percent of) the
MSA 2000 Census Base Rent, or when
the 2000 Census Median Family Income
for the subarea differs by at least 5
percent from the MSA 2000 Census
Median Family Income. MSA subareas,
and the remaining portions of MSAs
after subareas have been determined, are
referred to as HUD Metro FMR Areas
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(HMFAs) to distinguish these areas from
OMB’s official definition of MSAs.
The specific counties and New
England towns and cities within each
state in MSAs and HMFAs are listed in
Schedule B.
2. Bedroom Size Adjustments
Schedule B shows the FMRs for zerobedroom through four-bedroom units.
The Schedule B addendum shows Small
Area FMRs for PHAs operating using
Small Area FMRs within the Dallas, TX
HMFA. The FMRs for unit sizes larger
than four bedrooms are calculated by
adding 15 percent to the four-bedroom
FMR for each extra bedroom. For
example, the FMR for a five-bedroom
unit is 1.15 times the four-bedroom
FMR, and the FMR for a six-bedroom
unit is 1.30 times the four-bedroom
FMR. FMRs for single-room-occupancy
(SRO) units are 0.75 times the zerobedroom FMR.
3. Arrangement of FMR Areas and
Identification of Constituent Parts
a. The FMR areas in Schedule B are
listed alphabetically by metropolitan
FMR area and by nonmetropolitan
county within each state. The exception
FMRs for manufactured home spaces in
Schedule D are listed alphabetically by
state.
b. The constituent counties (and New
England towns and cities) included in
each metropolitan FMR area are listed
immediately following the listings of the
FMR dollar amounts. All constituent
parts of a metropolitan FMR area that
are in more than one state can be
identified by consulting the listings for
each applicable state.
c. Two nonmetropolitan counties are
listed alphabetically on each line of the
non-metropolitan county listings.
d. The New England towns and cities
included in a nonmetropolitan county
are listed immediately following the
county name.
BILLING CODE 4210–67–P
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[FR Doc. 2012–24618 Filed 10–4–12; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4210–67–C
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 77, Number 194 (Friday, October 5, 2012)]
[Notices]
[Pages 61157-61227]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2012-24618]
[[Page 61157]]
Vol. 77
Friday,
No. 194
October 5, 2012
Part V
Department of Housing and Urban Development
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Final Fair Market Rents for the Housing Choice Voucher Program and
Moderate Rehabilitation Single Room Occupancy Program Fiscal Year 2013;
Notice
Federal Register / Vol. 77 , No. 194 / Friday, October 5, 2012 /
Notices
[[Page 61158]]
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DEPARTMENT OF HOUSING AND URBAN DEVELOPMENT
[Docket No. FR-5648-N-02]
Final Fair Market Rents for the Housing Choice Voucher Program
and Moderate Rehabilitation Single Room Occupancy Program Fiscal Year
2013
AGENCY: Office of the Assistant Secretary for Policy Development and
Research, HUD.
ACTION: Notice of Final Fiscal Year (FY) 2013 Fair Market Rents (FMRs).
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: Section 8(c)(1) of the United States Housing Act of 1937
(USHA) requires the Secretary to publish FMRs periodically, but not
less than annually, adjusted to be effective on October 1 of each year.
This notice publishes the FMRs for the Housing Choice Voucher, the
Moderate Rehabilitation, the project-based voucher, and any other
programs requiring their use. Today's notice provides final FY 2013
FMRs for all areas that reflect the estimated 40th and 50th percentile
rent levels trended to April 1, 2013. The FY 2013 FMRs are based on
using 5-year, 2006-2010 data collected by the American Community Survey
(ACS). These data are updated by one-year recent-mover 2010 ACS data
using areas where statistically valid one-year ACS data are available.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rent and utility indexes are used to
further update the data from 2010 to the end of 2011. HUD continues to
use ACS data in different ways depending on the availability of two-
bedroom standard-quality and recent-mover sample data for its FMR area
or a larger geographic area such as the Core-Based Statistical Area
(CBSA) or state nonmetropolitan area.
The final FY 2013 FMR areas are based on current Office of
Management and Budget (OMB) metropolitan area definitions and include
HUD modifications that were first used in the determination of FY 2006
FMR areas. Changes to the OMB metropolitan area definitions through
December 2009 are incorporated; there have been no further changes to
metropolitan area definitions. OMB has announced that new metropolitan
area definitions will be released in 2013. HUD will incorporate these
changes during the process to calculate proposed FMRs following the
release of the new definitions.
The final FY 2013 FMRs in this notice reflect two changes in the
methodology used to calculate FMRs. First, HUD has updated the bedroom
ratios used to calculate 0, 1, 3 and 4 bedroom FMRs based on the two-
bedroom FMR. Bedroom ratios were last updated using the decennial 2000
Census. Because the 2010 Census did not collect rents, the new bedroom
ratios are constructed using 2006-2010 5 year ACS data. The methodology
for calculating the bedroom ratios is very similar to the method used
when the bedroom ratios were based on 2000 decennial Census long-form
data. Second, a new trend factor calculation methodology has been used
for the FY 2013 FMRs, which HUD stated would be implemented in its
proposed FY 2012 FMR publication on August 19, 2011 (76 FR 52058). This
trend factor is based on national gross rent data and will change
annually.
DATES: Effective Date: The FMRs published in this notice are effective
on October 1, 2012.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: For technical information on the
methodology used to develop FMRs or a listing of all FMRs, please call
the HUD USER information line at 800-245-2691 or access the information
on the HUD USER Web site https://www.huduser.org/portal/datasets/fmr.html. FMRs are listed at the 40th or 50th percentile in Schedule B.
For informational purposes, 40th percentile recent-mover rents for the
areas with 50th percentile FMRs will be provided in the HUD FY 2013 FMR
documentation system at https://www.huduser.org/portal/datasets/fmr/fmrs/docsys.html&data=fmr13 and 50th percentile rents for all FMR areas
will be published at https://www.huduser.org/portal/datasets/50per.html
after publication of final FY 2013 FMRs.
Questions related to use of FMRs or voucher payment standards
should be directed to the respective local HUD program staff. Questions
on how to conduct FMR surveys or concerning further methodological
explanations may be addressed to Marie L. Lihn or Peter B. Kahn,
Economic and Market Analysis Division, Office of Economic Affairs,
Office of Policy Development and Research, telephone 202-708-0590.
Persons with hearing or speech impairments may access this number
through TTY by calling the toll-free Federal Relay Service at 800-877-
8339. (Other than the HUD USER information line and TDD numbers,
telephone numbers are not toll-free.)
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
I. Background
Section 8 of the USHA (42 U.S.C. 1437f) authorizes housing
assistance to aid lower-income families in renting safe and decent
housing. Housing assistance payments are limited by FMRs established by
HUD for different geographic areas. In the HCV program, the FMR is the
basis for determining the ``payment standard amount'' used to calculate
the maximum monthly subsidy for an assisted family (see 24 CFR
982.503). In general, the FMR for an area is the amount that would be
needed to pay the gross rent (shelter rent plus utilities) of privately
owned, decent, and safe rental housing of a modest (non-luxury) nature
with suitable amenities. In addition, all rents subsidized under the
HCV program must meet reasonable rent standards. HUD's regulations at
24 CFR 888.113 permit it to establish 50th percentile FMRs for certain
areas.
Electronic Data Availability: This Federal Register notice is
available electronically from the HUD User page at https://www.huduser.org/datasets/fmr.html. Federal Register notices also are
available electronically from https://www.gpoaccess.gov/fr/,
the U.S. Government Printing Office Web site. Complete documentation of
the methodology and data used to compute each area's final FY 2013 FMRs
is available at https://www.huduser.org/portal/datasets/fmr/fmrs/docsys.html&data=fmr13. Final FY 2013 FMRs are available in a variety
of electronic formats at https://www.huduser.org/portal/datasets/fmr.html. FMRs may be accessed in PDF format as well as in Microsoft
Excel. Small Area FMRs based on final FY 2013 Metropolitan Area Rents
are available in Microsoft Excel format at the same web address. Please
note that these Small Area FMRs are for reference only, except where
they are used by PHAs participating in the Small Area FMR
demonstration.
II. Procedures for the Development of FMRs
Section 8(c) of the USHA requires the Secretary of HUD to publish
FMRs periodically, but not less frequently than annually. Section 8(c)
states, in part, as follows:
Proposed fair market rentals for an area shall be published in
the Federal Register with reasonable time for public comment and
shall become effective upon the date of publication in final form in
the Federal Register. Each fair market rental in effect under this
subsection shall be adjusted to be effective on October 1 of each
year to reflect changes, based on the most recent available data
trended so the rentals will be current for the year to which they
apply, of rents for existing or newly constructed rental dwelling
units, as the case may be, of various sizes and types in this
section.
HUD's regulations at 24 CFR part 888 provide that HUD will develop
proposed FMRs, publish them for public comment, provide a public
comment
[[Page 61159]]
period of at least 30 days, analyze the comments, and publish final
FMRs. (See 24 CFR 888.115.) For FY 2013 FMRs, HUD has considered all
comments submitted in response to its August 3, 2012 (77 FR 46447)
proposed FY 2013 FMRs and provides its responses later in this
preamble.
In addition, HUD's regulations at 24 CFR 888.113 set out procedures
for HUD to assess whether areas are eligible for FMRs at the 50th
percentile. Minimally qualified areas \1\ are reviewed each year unless
not qualified to be reviewed. Areas that currently have 50th percentile
FMRs are evaluated for progress in voucher tenant concentration after
three years in the program. Continued eligibility is determined using
HUD administrative data that show levels of voucher tenant
concentration. The levels of voucher tenant concentration must be above
25 percent and show a decrease in concentration since the last
evaluation. At least 85 percent of the voucher units in the area must
be used to make this determination. Areas are not qualified to be
reviewed if they have been made a 50th-percentile area within the last
three years or have lost 50th-percentile status for failure to de-
concentrate within the last three years.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ As defined in 24 CFR 888.113(c), a minimally qualified area
is an area with at least 100 Census tracts where 70 percent or fewer
of the Census tracts with at least 10 two-bedroom rental units are
Census tracts in which at least 30 percent of the two bedroom rental
units have gross rents at or below the two bedroom FMR set at the
40th percentile rent. This continues to be evaluated with 2000
Decennial Census information. Although the 2006-2010 5-year ACS
tract level data is available, HUD's administrative data on tenant
locations (used in the calculation of concentration) has not yet
been updated to use the 2010 Census Tract area definitions. Once
this administrative data is updated, HUD will implement the 5-year
ACS data as the basis for determining if areas are minimally
qualified for 50th percentile status.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In FY 2012 there were 21 areas using 50th-percentile FMRs. Of these
21 areas, 19 were allowed to continue as 50th percentile FMR areas. The
two areas that are no longer in the 50th percentile program are Grand
Rapids, MI and Washington, DC. The evaluation of Grand Rapids, MI
showed that the concentration of HCV tenants fell below what is
eligiblfor a 50th percentile FMR. This area may be re-evaluated next
year. The Washington, DC area failed to deconcentrate which means that
it is not eligible for a 50th percentile FMR program for a three-year
period. PHAs in the Washington, DC area may seek payment standard
protection under 24 CFR 982.503(f) from the HUD Field Office is the PHA
scored the maximum number of points on the deconcentration bonus
indicator in the prio year, or in two or the last three years.
Those eligible to continue are listed below:
FY 2013 Continuing 50th-Percentile FMR Areas
------------------------------------------------------------------------
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX MSA Baltimore-Towson, MD MSA.
Bergen-Passaic, NJ HMFA \2\ Fort Lauderdale, FL HMFA.
Fort Worth-Arlington, TX HMFA Hartford-West Hartford-East
Hartford, CT HMFA.
Honolulu, HI MSA Houston-Baytown-Sugar Land,
TX HMFA.
Las Vegas-Paradise, NV MSA New Haven-Meriden, CT HMFA.
North Port-Bradenton-Sarasota, FL MSA Orange County, CA HMFA.
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE- Phoenix-Mesa-Glendale, AZ
MD MSA MSA.
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA HMFA Sacramento--Arden-Arcade--
Roseville, CA HMFA.
Tucson, AZ MSA Virginia Beach-Norfolk-
Newport News, VA-NC MSA.
West Palm Beach-Boca Raton, FL HMFA. ............................
------------------------------------------------------------------------
In addition, Richmond, VA, an area that graduated from the 50th
percentile program in FY 2012, re-enters the program in FY 2013. In
summary, there will be 20 50th-percentile FMR areas in FY 2013. These
areas are indicated by an asterisk in Schedule B, where all FMRs are
listed by state.
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\2\ HMFA stands for HUD Metropolitan FMR Area.
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III. Proposed FY 2013 FMRs
On August 3, 2012 (77 FR 46447), HUD published proposed FY 2013
FMRs with a comment period that ended September 4, 2012. HUD has
considered all public comments received and HUD provides responses to
these comments later in this preamble. HUD does not specifically
identify each commenter, but all comments are available for review on
the Federal Government's Web site for capturing comments on proposed
regulations and related documents (Regulations.gov--https://www.regulations.gov/#!docketDetail;dct=N%252BO%252BSR%252BPS;rpp=25;po=0;D=HUD-2012-0090).
IV. FMR Methodology
This section provides a brief overview of how the FY 2013 FMRs are
computed. For complete information on how FMR areas are determined, and
on how each area's FMRs are derived, see the online documentation at
https://www.huduser.org/portal/datasets/fmr/fmrs/docsys.html&data=fmr13.
The FY 2013 FMRs are based on current OMB metropolitan area
definitions and standards that were first used in the FY 2006 FMRs. OMB
changes to the metropolitan area definitions through December 2009 are
incorporated. There have been no area definition changes published by
OMB since the publication of the FY 2012 FMRs; therefore, the FY 2013
area definitions are the same as those used in FY 2012. HUD anticipates
that OMB will publish new area definitions in 2013. Depending on the
timing of this release, HUD will incorporate the new area definitions
into either the FY 2014 or FY 2015 proposed FMRs.
A. Base Year Rents
The U.S. Census Bureau provided special tabulations of 5-year ACS
data collected between 2006 through 2010 to HUD in early to mid-2012.
For FY 2013 FMRs, HUD used the 2006-2010 5-year ACS data to update the
base rents set in FY 2012 using the 2005-2009 5-year ACS data.\3\
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\3\ The only difference in survey data between the 2005-2009 5-
year ACS data and the 2006-2010 5-year ACS data is the replacement
of 2005 survey responses with survey responses collected in 2010.
The 2006, 2007, 2008, and 2009 survey responses remain intact.
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FMRs are historically based on gross rents for recent movers (those
who have moved into their current residence in the last 24 months).
However, due to the way the 5-year ACS data are constructed, HUD
developed a new methodology for calculating recent-mover FMRs in FY
2012. As in FY 2012, all areas are assigned as a base rent the
estimated two-bedroom standard quality 5-year gross rent from the
ACS.\4\
[[Page 61160]]
Because HUD's regulations mandate that FMRs must be published as recent
mover gross rents, HUD continues to apply a recent mover factor to the
standard quality base rents assigned from the 5-year ACS data.
Calculation of the recent mover factor is described in section B.
below.
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\4\ For areas with a two-bedroom standard quality gross rent
from the ACS that have a margin of error greater than the estimate
or no estimate due to inadequate sample in the 2010 5-year ACS, HUD
uses the two-bedroom state non-metro rent for non-metro areas.
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No local area rent surveys were conducted in 2011 or 2012 by HUD or
PHAs, but the surveys conducted in 2010, for Williamsport, PA and Pike
County, PA supersede the 2006-2010 ACS data.
B. Recent Mover Factor
Following the assignment of the standard quality two-bedroom rent
described above, HUD applies a recent mover factor to these rents. In
preparation for calculating the proposed FY 2013 FMRs, the department
reviewed the methodology for calculating the recent mover factor from
the FY 2012 process and made several improvements. The primary change
is that HUD no longer compares the standard quality gross rent to the
recent mover gross rent to determine if the two statistics are
significantly different.\5\ For the FY 2012 FMRs, if the two rents were
determined to be statistically different the recent mover factor was
calculated as the percentage increase of the recent mover gross rent
over the standard quality gross rent. In cases where the two gross
rents were not statistically different, the recent mover factor was set
to one. As described below, HUD calculates a similar percentage
increase as the FY 2013 factor using data from the smallest geographic
area containing the FMR area where the recent mover gross rent is
statistically reliable.\6\ The following describes the process
determining the appropriate recent mover factor. The revised recent
mover factor process results in 91 percent of the FMR areas having a
recent mover factor greater than one in FY 2013 compared with only 38
percent in FY 2012.
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\5\ The statistical comparison test used, the z-test, assumes
that the samples from which the two statistics are calculated are
independent. Because recent mover responders are also part of the
standard quality responders, the two samples are not independent.
\6\ For the purpose of the recent mover factor calculation,
statistically reliable is where the recent mover gross rent has a
margin of error that is less than the estimate itself. For example,
if the estimate was 500 and the margin of error was 501, that
estimate would not be used.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In general, HUD uses the 1 year ACS based two-bedroom statistically
reliable recent mover gross rent estimate from the smallest geographic
area encompassing the FMR area to calculate the recent mover factor.
Some areas' recent mover factors will be calculated using data
collected just for the FMR area. Other areas' recent mover factor will
be based on larger geographic areas. For metropolitan areas that are
subareas of larger metropolitan areas, the order is subarea,
metropolitan area, state metropolitan area, and state. Metropolitan
areas that are not divided follow a similar path from FMR area, to
state metropolitan areas, to state. In nonmetropolitan areas the recent
mover factor is based on the FMR area, the state nonmetropolitan area,
or if that is not available, on the basis of the whole state. The
recent mover factor is calculated as the percentage change between the
5-year 2006-2010 two-bedroom gross rent and the 1 year 2010 recent
mover two-bedroom gross rent for the recent mover factor area. Recent
mover factors are not allowed to lower the standard quality base rent;
therefore, if the 5-year standard quality rent is larger than the
comparable 1 year recent mover rent, the recent mover factor is set to
1. The process for calculating each area's recent mover factor is
detailed in the FY 2013 Final FMR documentation system available at:
https://www.huduser.org/portal/datasets/fmr/fmrs/docsys.html&data=fmr13.
This process produces an ``as of'' 2010 recent mover two-bedroom
base gross rent for the FMR area.\7\
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\7\ The Pacific Islands (Guam, Northern Marianas and American
Samoa) as well as the U.S. Virgin Islands are not covered by ACS
data. As part of the 2010 Decennial Census, these areas were covered
by a long-form survey. The results gathered by this long form survey
are not expected to be available until later in 2012. Therefore, HUD
uses the national change in gross rents, measured between 2009 and
2010 to update last year's FMR for these areas. Puerto Rico is
covered by the Puerto Rico Community Survey within the American
Community Survey; however, the gross rent data produced by the 2006-
2010 ACS are not sufficient to adequately house voucher holders in
Puerto Rico. This is due to the limited ability to eliminate units
that do not pass the voucher program's housing quality standards.
Consequently, HUD is updating last year's FMRs for Puerto Rico using
the change in rents measured from all of Puerto Rico measured
between the 2009 and 2010. For details behind these calculations,
please see HUD's Final FY 2013 FMR documentation system available
at: https://www.huduser.org/portal/datasets/fmr/fmrs/docsys.html&data=fmr13.
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C. Updates From 2010 to 2011
The ACS based ``as of'' 2010 rent is updated through the end of
2011 using the annual change in CPI from 2010 to 2011. As in previous
years, HUD uses Local CPI data for FMR areas with at least 75 percent
of their population within Class A metropolitan areas covered by local
CPI data. HUD uses Census region CPI data for FMR areas in Class B and
C size metropolitan areas and nonmetropolitan areas without local CPI
update factors. Following the application of the appropriate CPI update
factor, HUD converts the ``as of'' 2011 CPI adjusted rents to ``as of''
December 2011 rents by multiplying each rent by the national December
2011 CPI divided by the national annual 2011 CPI value. HUD does this
in order to apply an exact amount of the annual trend factor to place
the FY 2013 FMRs as of the mid-point of the 2013 fiscal year.
D. Trend From 2011 to 2013
On March 9, 2011 (76 FR 12985), HUD published a notice requesting
public comment regarding the manner in which it calculates the trend
factor used in determining FMR estimates to meet the statutory
requirement that FMRs be ``trended so the rentals will be current for
the year to which they apply''. HUD's notice provided several proposed
alternatives to the current trend factor and requested comments on the
alternatives as well as suggestions of other ideas. In its publication
of the proposed FY 2012 FMRs on August 19, 2011, (76 FR 52058) HUD
discussed these comments and announced that a new trend factor would be
used in the FY 2013 FMRs. HUD calculates the trend factor as the
annualized change in median gross rents as measured between the 1 year
2005 ACS and the 1 year 2010 ACS. The median gross rent was $728 in
2005 and $855 in 2010. The overall change is 17.45 percent and the
annualized change is 3.27%. Over a 15-month time period, the effective
trend factor is 4.1 percent.
E. Bedroom Rent Adjustments
HUD calculates the primary FMR estimates for two-bedroom units.
This is generally the most common sized rental unit and, therefore, the
most reliable to survey and analyze. Formerly, after each decennial
Census, HUD calculated rent relationships between two-bedroom units and
other unit sizes and used them to set FMRs for other units. HUD did
this because it is much easier to update two-bedroom estimates annually
and to use pre-established cost relationships with other bedroom sizes
than it is to develop independent FMR estimates for each bedroom size.
For FY 2013 FMRs, HUD has updated the bedroom ratio adjustment factors
using 2006-2010 5-year ACS data using similar methodology to what was
implemented when calculating bedroom ratios using 2000 Census data to
establish rent ratios. HUD again made adjustments to the bedroom ratios
using 2006-2010 5-year ACS data for areas
[[Page 61161]]
with local bedroom-size intervals above or below what are considered
reasonable ranges, or where sample sizes are inadequate to accurately
measure bedroom rent differentials. Experience has shown that highly
unusual bedroom ratios typically reflect inadequate sample sizes or
peculiar local circumstances that HUD would not want to utilize in
setting FMRs (e.g., luxury efficiency apartments that rent for more
than typical one-bedroom units). HUD established bedroom interval
ranges based on an analysis of the range of such intervals for all
areas with large enough samples to permit accurate bedroom ratio
determinations. These ranges are: Efficiency FMRs are constrained to
fall between 0.59 and 0.81 of the two-bedroom FMR; one-bedroom FMRs
must be between 0.74 and 0.84 of the two-bedroom FMR; three-bedroom
FMRs must be between 1.15 and 1.36 of the two-bedroom FMR; and four-
bedroom FMRs must be between 1.24 and 1.64 of the two-bedroom FMR. HUD
adjusts bedroom rents for a given FMR area if the differentials between
bedroom-size FMRs were inconsistent with normally observed patterns
(i.e., efficiency rents are not allowed to be higher than one-bedroom
rents and four-bedroom rents are not allowed to be lower than three-
bedroom rents).
Following the same methodology as was used when bedroom ratios were
calculated using 2000 decennial Census long-form data, HUD continues to
adjust the rents for three-bedroom and larger units to reflect HUD's
policy to set higher rents for these units than would result from using
unadjusted market rents. This adjustment is intended to increase the
likelihood that the largest families, who have the most difficulty in
leasing units, will be successful in finding eligible program units.
The adjustment adds bonuses of 8.7 percent to the unadjusted three-
bedroom FMR estimates and adds 7.7 percent to the unadjusted four-
bedroom FMR estimates. The FMRs for unit sizes larger than four
bedrooms are calculated by adding 15 percent to the four-bedroom FMR
for each extra bedroom. For example, the FMR for a five-bedroom unit is
1.15 times the four-bedroom FMR, and the FMR for a six-bedroom unit is
1.30 times the four-bedroom FMR. FMRs for single-room occupancy units
are 0.75 times the zero-bedroom (efficiency) FMR.
For low-population, nonmetropolitan counties with small or
statistically insignificant 2006-2010 5-year ACS gross rents, HUD uses
state non-metropolitan data to determine bedroom ratios for each
bedroom size. HUD made this adjustment to protect against
unrealistically high or low FMRs due to insufficient sample sizes.
V. Manufactured Home Space Surveys
The FMR used to establish payment standard amounts for the rental
of manufactured home spaces in the HCV program is 40 percent of the FMR
for a two-bedroom unit. HUD will consider modification of the
manufactured home space FMRs where public comments present
statistically valid survey data showing the 40th-percentile
manufactured home space rent (including the cost of utilities) for the
entire FMR area.
All approved exceptions to these rents that were in effect in FY
2012 were updated to FY 2013 using the same data used to estimate the
HCV program FMRs. If the result of this computation was higher than 40
percent of the new two-bedroom rent, the exception remains and is
listed in Schedule D. No additional exception requests were received in
the comments to the FY 2013 FMRs. The FMR area definitions used for the
rental of manufactured home spaces are the same as the area definitions
used for the other FMRs.
VI. Small Area Fair Market Rents
Public housing authorities that operate in the Dallas, TX HMFA
continue to manage their voucher programs using Small Area Fair Market
Rents (SAFMRs). The updated SAFMRs for Dallas are listed in Schedule B
Addendum.
SAFMRs are calculated using a rent ratio determined by dividing the
median gross rent across all bedrooms for the small area (a ZIP code)
by the similar median gross rent for the metropolitan area of the ZIP
code. This rent ratio is multiplied by the current two- bedroom rent
for the entire metropolitan area containing the small area to generate
the current year two-bedroom rent for the small area. In small areas
where the median gross rent is not statistically reliable, HUD
substitutes the median gross rent for the county containing the ZIP
code in the numerator of the rent ratio calculation. All other aspects
of the methodology are consistent with the FMR methodology. The recent
mover and bedroom ratio changes made to the area-wide FMRs were also
made to the SAFMRs. In addition, the new trend factor is applied to the
SAFMRs as well. For FY 2013 SAFMRs, HUD has implemented two changes to
the rent ratio calculation methodology. First, HUD has updated the
2005-2009 5-year ACS based ZIP code median gross rent data with 2006-
2010 5-year ZIP Code Tabulation Area (ZCTA) median gross rent data. The
use of the more current ACS data is consistent with the update process
in the FMR methodology. However, the change from ZIP code to ZCTA was a
change that the Bureau of the Census made for its aggregation process;
HUD has no control over the decision by Census to use ZCTA data instead
of ZIP code data. Second, HUD expanded the criteria for determining the
statistical reliability of the small area rent data in order to ensure
that more SAFMRs are based on the data for the small area as opposed to
using data from the parent county as a proxy. This change is consistent
with the changes in the FMR methodology that eliminated the use of the
statistical Z-test.\8\
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\8\ HUD has provided numerous detailed accounts of the
calculation methodology used for Small Area Fair Market Rents.
Please see our Federal Register notice of April 20, 2011 (76 FR
22125) for more information regarding the calculation methodology.
Also, HUD's Final FY 2013 FMR documentation system available at
(https://www.huduser.org/portal/datasets/fmr/fmrs/docsys.html&data=fmr13) contains detailed calculations for each ZIP
code area in the Dallas, TX HMFA.
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VII. Public Comments
A. Overview
A total of 75 comments were received and posted on the
regulations.gov site (https://www.regulations.gov/#!docketDetail;dct=N%252BO%252BSR%252BPS;rpp=25;po=0;D=HUD-2012-0090
which is also linked on the HUD User FMR page https://www.huduser.org/portal/datasets/fmr.html). Most comments contested FMR reductions
compared with the FY 2012 FMR and some contested reductions since the
FY 2011 FMRs or earlier. These comments covered areas for all of North
Dakota, most of Connecticut and New York, the San Francisco, Oakland
and San Jose areas of California, the Bergen-Passaic, Newark and Ocean
City areas of New Jersey, Anchorage and several non-metropolitan areas
of Alaska, Dallas, TX and Burlington, VT. Other areas, some with modest
increases in the two-bedroom FMR, contested decreases in 0-bedroom and
1-bedroom rents. These areas include Middlesex, NJ, Kansas City, MO,
Williamsport, PA, Choctaw County, OK and Pender County, NC. Other
areas, despite modest increases for the FY 2013 FMRs are still not back
to their FY 2011 levels and continue to express a program need for
higher FMRs, in areas such as Minneapolis, MN, St. Mary's County, MD,
Summit County, UT, Hale County, TX and nonmetropolitan mining counties
in Nevada. Some areas could not handle the modest decreases in the FMRs
for smaller bedroom sizes coupled with increases for larger bedroom
sizes.
[[Page 61162]]
These areas include Springfield, MO and several nonmetropolitan
counties in Missouri and Nebraska. A small town in Maine and a
nonmetropolitan county in Texas wanted to receive rents closer to their
neighboring metropolitan area. Agencies in Montgomery County, MD and
the District of Columbia protested the decline in the FMR resulting
from the loss of the 50th percentile FMR.
Several comments requested that HUD hold the FY 2013 FMRs harmless,
that is they wanted the FMR to remain at the FY 2012 level, or the FY
2011 level if it would otherwise be lower. In addition to or instead of
imposing hold harmless, several comments asked HUD to limit annual
increases and decreases of FMRs to five percent. While HUD has been
able to use such measures in limiting income limit increases and
decreases, HUD is specifically precluded from incorporating these
changes into the FMR methodology by the statutory language governing
FMRs that requires the use of the most recent data. HUD is required to
use the most recent available data and FMRs must increase or decrease
based on this data. Ignoring decreases or phasing decreases or
increases in over several years would not fully implement FMRs based on
the most recent available data. This statutory language also applies to
SAFMRs and the incorporation of new area definitions. Area definitions
use the most current definitions available which were formulated using
the 2000 decennial Census long-form data as their basis. The Department
cannot return to area definitions based on 1990 decennial Census long-
form data. Adjusted area definitions based on a combination of 2010
decennial Census and 5-year ACS data are expected in late 2013. HUD
will review and incorporate these changes at that time.
Many of the comments also identified the lower rents for zero-
bedroom and one-bedroom units in many areas. The development of new
bedroom ratios means that some areas will have lower relationships to
the two-bedroom FMR than they did in the past. Some areas with lower
zero-bedroom and one-bedroom ratios had the FY 2013 FMR for these units
decline, while the two-bedroom FMR increased. For the voucher program,
the only relief from the decrease would be for PHAs to request
exception payment standards for these smaller bedroom sizes. HUD is
aware that the decreases in the zero-bedroom and one-bedroom FMRs have
a disproportionate impact on homeless and elderly programs but there is
no action HUD may take under current statute to provide relief for
these programs. HUD also received several comments opposed to the large
increases in the three-bedroom FMRs. The PHAs making these comments did
not suggest that HUD revisit its national policy of including bonuses
for large bedroom sized units, but were concerned with serving the same
number of families while the FMRs for these bedroom sizes increased
more than 10 percent. HUD cannot hold the FY 2013 FMRs harmless at the
FY 2012 FMR levels for the bedroom ratio changes or incorporate caps
and floors to phase in increases or decreases due to statutory
limitations.
Several areas that experienced a decline in the FMR requested that
HUD survey its area. HUD was unable to conduct any surveys in 2011
because the Department was studying the methodology used to conduct
local area market rent surveys, and has very limited resources to
conduct surveys in 2012. Therefore, HUD is choosing to focus its survey
resources on areas without statistically significant one-year ACS local
data. Areas considered for HUD funded surveys must also have large
enough rental markets so that the new mail-based survey methodology is
likely to capture significant results (please see section VIII of this
notice for further information regarding the survey methodology). Based
on the testing performed in 2011 and 2012, markets should typically
contain at least 30,000 housing units. County groups can be assembled
in non-metropolitan areas for the purposes of surveys, but these
counties must have similar economic conditions and no county in a
county group can have its published FMR be based on the state minimum
FMR. HUD has experience conducting surveys in areas with low or no
vacancy rates and this experience has shown that it is extremely
difficult to capture gross rent levels that depict such tight markets.
For that reason, HUD will provide emergency exception payment standards
up to 135 percent of the FMR for the Section 8 voucher program in areas
impacted by natural resource exploration. PHAs interested in applying
for these emergency payment standards should contact their local HUD
field office. Additionally, while FMRs cannot be held harmless, the
HOME program does have a hold harmless provision for its rents. Other
programs that use FMRs will have to pursue similar strategies such as
exception payment standards or hold harmless provisions within the
statutory and regulatory framework governing those programs.
B. Issues Raised in Comments and HUD Responses
In accordance with 24 CFR 888.115, HUD has reviewed the public
comments that have been submitted by the due date and has determined
that there are no comments with ``statistically valid rental survey
data that justify the requested changes.'' The following are HUD's
responses to all known comments received by the comment due date and a
part of the notice record at https://www.regulations.gov/#!docketDetail;dct=N%252BO%252BSR%252BPS;rpp=25;po=0;D=HUD-2012-0090.
FMRs Should Be Held Harmless at the FY 2012 Levels
Several comments requested that FMRs not be allowed to decline from
their FY 2012 level. Some of these comments asked HUD to delay
implementation of FY 2013 FMRs for their area to allow local housing
authorities to complete a rent survey, or until HUD completes a survey
for them.
HUD Response: HUD cannot ignore the more current 2010 American
Community Survey (ACS) data and allow FMRs to stay the same as they
were for FY 2012, which were based on gross rents from the 2009 ACS,
except for two areas where there was a HUD-sponsored survey. By statute
(42 USC 1437f(c)(1)(B)) and regulation (24 CFR 888.113(e)), HUD is
required to use the most current data available. While rent surveys
conducted either by HUD or a PHA would provide more current data than
the ACS, these surveys take about two months to complete and can be
quite expensive. HUD does not have the funds to conduct many surveys
and HUD cannot delay the implementation of FY 2013 FMRs while new
surveys are being conducted. Areas with relatively short-term market
tightening are not easily measured by rent surveys. Based on past
experience, HUD finds that an area must have rent increases or declines
for a period of at least two years before changes can be measured by
HUD or privately funded surveys. However, HUD will determine how many
surveys can be administered based on its ongoing funding levels and
will evaluate these survey results as quickly as possible. Should the
survey results show market conditions that are statistically different
from the published FMRs, HUD will revise the Final FY 2013 FMRs. If HUD
is unable to complete a survey in a particular area and a local Housing
Authority or other entity decides to undertake such a survey, HUD
recommends following the survey guidance available at https://
[[Page 61163]]
www.huduser.org/portal/datasets/fmr.html. Just as with a HUD funded
survey, HUD will review the results of these private surveys and will
revise the Final FY 2013 FMRs if warranted.
Market Rents Did Not Decrease in the Past Year and Neither Should FMRs
Several comments were received that stated that market rents did
not decrease over the past year and so FMRs also should not decrease.
HUD Response: FMRs should not be considered a time series of rent
data for each market in which FMRs are published. FMR data cannot
justify claims that rents in a particular area are increasing,
decreasing, or unchanged. The FMR process is designed to develop the
best estimate of rents for a particular area using the timeliest
available data covering the entire market area; this process does not
take into account whether previous FMRs make sense in light of new
data, and no attempt is made to revise past FMR estimates. Therefore,
year-over-year FMR changes can sometimes seemingly conflict with
perceived market trends.
Annual revisions are now possible with the 5-year ACS data. Because
of the nature of the ACS 5-year tabulations, however, 80 percent of the
survey observations will remain the same from one year to the next.\i\
Also, many small FMR areas rely on update factors based on survey
results from a larger, encompassing geographic area (for example,
state-based update factors used for nonmetropolitan counties). Even if
the base rent is not adjusted, therefore, the annual changes do not
necessarily reflect the housing market conditions for the smaller area
but still represent HUD's best estimate of 40th-percentile gross rents
in the FMR area.
FMR Decreases Do Not Reflect the Annual or Recent Change in Rents for
an Area
Some comments provided apartment project rent data (many
representing less than 30 percent of the rental market) that show that
the rents for their area increased in the past year, while the FY 2013
FMRs show a decline from the FY 2012 FMRs.
HUD Response: FMRs are estimated rents, and can change from year-
to-year in ways that are different from market rent changes or economic
activity. First, as one commenter noted, when economic activity
decreases, rents don't necessarily decrease and some increased economic
activity that might put pressure on rents cannot be measured in real
time. HUD is required to use the most current data available. HUD is
also precluded from using sources of data that are not statistically
significant. Rent reasonableness studies are not subject to the same
constraints on statistical reliability and cannot be used to alter
FMRs. Surveys of apartment projects provide indications of where the
market is going, but do not account for the roughly one-third of the
market made up of single family homes and attached, but small apartment
projects (0-5 units). Much of the apartment project data was for larger
apartment projects and represented less than 20 percent of the rental
market.
The New Bedroom Ratios for Efficiencies and One-Bedroom Units Are Too
Low
Several comments were received that noted that the efficiency and
one-bedroom FMRs decreased substantially despite only a modest decrease
or even a modest increase in the two-bedroom FMR.
HUD Response: HUD calculates the primary FMR estimates for two-
bedroom units, generally the most common rental unit size and,
therefore, the most reliable to survey and analyze. Formerly, after
each decennial census, HUD calculated rent relationships between two-
bedroom units and other unit sizes and used them to set FMRs for other
units. HUD bases the calculations this way because it is much easier to
update two-bedroom estimates and to use established rent relationships
with other unit sizes than it is to develop independent FMR estimates
for each unit size. HUD last updated bedroom-rent relationships using
2000 Census data. The 2006-2010 5 Year ACS data were the first
publication of ACS data to use the 2010 Decennial census for geographic
boundaries. Consequently, HUD implemented new bedroom ratios based on
this 5-year ACS data to remove this tie to 2000 decennial Census based
results. HUD developed new bedroom ratios based on the 5-year ACS data
with the release of the 2010 ACS.
New bedroom ratios were calculated for each area using the same
methodology as previously, with the exception that margin of error
ratios were evaluated to select the bedroom ratio at the smallest area
of encompassing geography with statistically reliable results. For
example, a non-metropolitan county without many cases of efficiency
rents and with a margin of error ratio of greater than one would use
the state non-metro efficiency ratio instead of its own. However, most
of the comments received on the decrease in the zero-bedroom and one-
bedroom ratios covered areas where the bedroom ratios were based on
data for their own area and all had very low margins of error.
HUD Should Not Punish High Cost Areas by Imposing Caps on Bedroom
Ratios
HUD Response: HUD has always imposed national caps and floors on
bedroom ratios based on the tenth and ninetieth percentile of the
distribution of rents by bedroom size. The 2010 ACS data for one-
bedroom rents resulted in a reduction in the one-bedroom cap from 0.90
percent of the two-bedroom FMR (based on the 2000 decennial census
data) to 0.84 percent based on the 2010 ACS data. HUD cannot hold
harmless its caps (and floors) for the reasons discussed above.
The Reduction in the Zero-Bedroom and One-Bedroom FMR Creates an Unfair
Preference for Families Over Single Residents
HUD Response: HUD revised the bedroom ratios based on more current
data; it is not establishing a new policy. These new bedroom ratios
create new caps floors for the zero-bedroom and one-bedroom units that
are lower than what were created using the 2000 decennial Census data.
The methodology used to create the caps and floors is unchanged. The
difference in the caps and floors is the use of 2010 ACS data versus
the 2000 decennial Census data. HUD cannot go back to using the older
data for the reasons discussed above.
The Decrease in the FMR for Smaller Bedroom Sizes Has a
Disproportionate Impact on Elderly, Disabled and Homeless Programs
HUD Response: HUD recognizes that the reduction in efficiency and
one-bedroom FMRs impacts these programs and is working to develop new
tools or use existing ones that can alleviate program problems. PHAs
may use Exception Payment Standards at 24 CFR 982.503(c), or Success
Rate Payment Standards 24 CFR 982.503(e) for certain bedroom sizes, to
the extent allowed.
The 2006-2010 ACS Data Is Not Current Enough for Small Metropolitan and
Non-Metropolitan Counties in a Fast Growing Economy
A comment was received that suggested that only HUD surveys would
provide the data necessary for an area without its own CPI area data.
HUD Response: The most significant factor driving FMRs changes in
the area that provided this comment was the reduction in the recent
mover adjustment factor from 1.26 percent in FY 2012 to about 1.10
percent for FY
[[Page 61164]]
2013. Both the FY 2012 and FY 2013 recent mover adjustment factors are
large compared to other areas across the country. Base rents, however
have changed very little and a majority of the FMR areas covered by
this comment are areas where the Proposed FMR was increased by the
state minimum rent. This means they are receiving a FMR higher than
what the ACS would provide based on their own rents. Such areas cannot
be surveyed because their own base rent starts out lower than what is
used in the FMR. HUD has limited funds to conduct rent surveys and
cannot survey an entire state, individually or as a group. Natural
resource production issues affect most of the rents in this state and,
for operation of the voucher program in these areas HUD instituted
special exception payment standards of up to 135 percent for areas with
vacancy rates at or near zero.
The Reduction in the Recent Mover Adjustment Factor Caused a Reduction
in FMRs
HUD Response: While the recent mover adjustment factor cannot be
below one, it can increase or decrease from year to year, just like the
base rent for the FMR. This factor cannot be held harmless for the
reasons discussed above.
FMR Areas Are Too Large and Do Not Reflect the Local Real Estate Market
The data and technology is available to determine FMRs by subsets
of diverse counties.
HUD Response: For metropolitan areas, HUD has purchased special
tabulations of median gross rent data from the Census by ZIP Code
Tabulation Area (ZCTA). This data is not available for nonmetropolitan
areas. HUD is currently conducting a demonstration program whereby PHAs
run their voucher program using the small area FMRs (SAFMRs) the
Department developed using this data. Originally HUD requested
volunteers for this program, but no additional funds were available to
help with the administration of the program. There were few volunteers,
and several of these PHAs removed themselves from consideration during
the vetting process. With limited funds available to help defray the
additional administrative costs of operating the voucher program using
SAFMRs, several randomly selected housing agencies have been selected
and agreed to participate in a demonstration to use SAFMRs. The Dallas
area continues to use SAFMRs as part of a court settlement.
FMRs Cannot Decrease in Economic Growth Areas; Some of These Areas
Cannot Manage the Voucher Program Even With Modest FMR Increases
Several comments, even pertaining to FMR areas with decreases below
5 percent, or with modest increases, pressed for higher FMRs FY 2013
FMRs. Some of these areas had very tight markets and some of these
areas already used payment standards at 110 percent of the FMRs.
HUD Response: For rent data, the ACS provides the most current
data, and the 5-year 2006-2010 data is the most current data available
for all areas. HUD must use the most current statistically significant
data available. None of the areas that found FMRs too low because of
economic and population growth provided statistically valid data that
could be use to update the FY 2013 FMRs. To help manage the program
during times of FMR decreases, PHAs may be able to use Success Rate
Payment Standards 24 CFR 982.503(e), or request Exception Payment
Standards for subareas within a FMR area (not to exceed 50 percent of
the population) at 24 CFR 982.503(c).
Vacancy Rates Are Low, Making it Impossible To Absorb FMR Decreases
Several comments stated that low or no vacancy rates in areas with
increased economic activity require higher FMRs so that voucher tenants
can compete for housing. In these areas, there is not sufficient rental
housing and generally the 2010 rental data from the ACS does not
reflect this situation.
HUD Response: When a market tightens rapidly, the FMRs cannot keep
pace. The most accurate, statistically significant data available to
HUD is lagged by two years. Even if HUD conducts surveys of these
areas, capturing the full scope of rent increases is difficult unless
the market condition has been going on for more than two years;
furthermore, it is challenging to get valid results for surveys of
relatively small housing markets (under 1,000). Most of the areas
suffering from these market conditions meet one or both of the
criteria. Areas with sustained extremely low vacancy rates require
construction of additional units. Higher FMR levels will not
necessarily encourage additional development. These areas will have to
rely on the use of Exception Payment Standards for subareas within an
FMR area (not to exceed 50 percent of the population) as described at
24 CFR 982.503(c), or through the use of Success Rate Payment Standards
available at 24 CFR 982.503(e) to alleviate market pressures. FMRs
cannot be used to encourage building, which is what is needed.
FY 2013 FMR Decreases Reduce the Ability of Families To Find Affordable
Housing
Several comments stated that decreases in FMRs would negatively
affect tenants' ability to find affordable housing. The decrease in
FMRs from FY 2012 to FY2013 will reduce the availability of affordable
housing in the area; landlords will be able to get higher rents from
tenants that are not Section 8 voucher holders and so many will opt out
of the program.
HUD Response: FMRs must reflect the most current statistically
valid data and this means that FMRs cannot be held harmless when this
data shows a decline. Most of the declines in the FMRs are based on
lower 2010 rents, in a few cases the 2010 to 2011 CPI adjustment
reflects a decline.
FMR Reductions Will Lead to Poverty Concentration
Decreases in the FMR, whether by loss of a 50th percentile FMR
status or by reductions in Small Area FMRs (SAFMRs) lead to poverty
concentration and prevent tenants from moving to areas of opportunity.
HUD Response: HUD is required to increase or decrease FMRs (and
SAFMRs are the FMR for Dallas) based on the most currently available
data that meets the statistical significance tests. PHAs may use the
Exception Payment Standard to increase payment standards for higher
rent areas and reduce poverty concentration. PHAs may use the Exception
Payment Standards above to reduce poverty concentration in portions of
the FMR. Areas that lost their 50th percentile FMR, because they
graduated from the program or failed to show measurable poverty
deconcentration can use higher payment standards as shown at 24 CFR
982.503(f) to mitigate FMR decreases.
A Reduction in the FMRs Puts HUD-Financed Projects and Low-Income
Housing Tax Credit Projects at Risk
If a current HUD Section 8 project uses rents at 110 percent of the
FMR, a reduction in the FMR puts this project at risk. An FMR reduction
could mean that LIHTC landlords will no longer accept Section 8 voucher
tenants.
HUD Response: HUD is required to increase or decrease FMRs based on
the most currently available data that meets the statistical
reliability tests. PHAs may use the Exception Payment Standard to
increase payment standards for higher rent areas and reduce poverty
concentration. While there are no
[[Page 61165]]
project-based exception areas, an area already at 110 percent of the
FMR may be eligible for Success Rate Payment Standards or a portion of
the FMR area may be granted exceptions above 110 percent, if warranted.
PHAs interested in exploring this option are encouraged to review the
FY 2013 Small Area FMRs published at https://www.huduser.org/portal/datasets/fmr.html in the section labeled ``Small Area FMRs.'' The
manner in which SAFMRs are calculated makes them ideal to be used as in
the ``median rent method'' section of the exception payment standard
regulations found at 24 CFR 982.503(c)(2)(A).
FY 2013 FMR Decreases Will Require Existing Tenants To Pay a Greater
Share of Their Income on Rents
Several comments stated that their current tenants will have to pay
a greater share of their income on rents, with FMR decreases.
HUD Response: New tenants are not allowed to pay more than 40
percent of their income on rent. Existing tenants will not have to pay
rent based on reduced FMRs until the second anniversary of their
Housing Assistance Payment (HAP) contract. If tenant rent burden
increases for an area, PHAs may use this as a justification for higher
payment standards.
Disabled and Difficult To Place Residents Suffer a Disproportionately
Greater Impact From FMR Decreases Because They Have Fewer Housing
Choice Options
Disabled residents already have fewer units available to them, and
reducing the FMR will further reduce their options. Difficult to place
residents, because of history of late payments or other options, will
have fewer landlords willing to rent to them if the FMR is lower.
HUD Response: If an FMR decreases there may be fewer units
available at or below the FMR. However, HUD must use the most current
data available and rents may increase and decrease. The data used as
the basis for FY 2013 FMRs is more current than what was available in
the estimation of the 40th percentile FMRs for FY 2012, so while more
units were available, those rents are being replaced with rents based
on more current information. If a family has a member with a
disability, a PHA may establish a higher payment standard for that
family as a reasonable accommodation as discussed in 24 CFR 982.505(d).
Construction or Preservation of Affordable Housing Is Threatened by FMR
Decreases
In areas where affordable housing construction is increasing, a
reduction in the FMR will reduce the benefit of existing affordable
housing projects and may prevent additional affordable housing
construction.
HUD Response: Maximum allowable rents in Low-Income Housing Tax
Credit properties are set based upon 50- or 60-percent income limit
levels, or if the FMR is higher, this amount can be used for voucher
holders. If the FMR is below the rent determined by the income limit
levels, then generally the income limit rent is used. So if FMRs fall
below the income limit rents, voucher holders would either pay more out
of pocket for units or would be unable to use their voucher for these
units. However, PHAs could use their authority to adjust payment
standards where warranted, to increase FMRs so voucher holders can have
access to these existing units. FMRs are used in the determination of
High and Low Rent levels for HOME funded projects. However, when the
income limit hold harmless policy was removed for the FY 2010 Income
Limits, HUD instituted a specific hold harmless provision for HOME
rents. A decrease in the FY 2013 FMR will not necessarily affect HOME
rents or home project funding.
HUD Should Institute 5 Percent Caps and Floors When Incorporating new
Area Definitions in 2013
HUD Response: HUD recently received a decision by program counsel
that HUD does not have the authority to institute floors or caps when
evaluating the new area definitions. A statutory or regulatory change
is necessary before HUD may impose caps and floors.
HUD's ``New Methodology'' for Larger Bedroom Sizes Is Inflationary and
Usurps the PHA Roles of Rent Reasonableness Determinations
For bedroom sizes greater than four-bedroom units, HUD provides a
formula equal to 15 percent greater for each bedroom size, such that a
six-bedroom unit is 1.3 times a four-bedroom unit. The difference in
costs is actually ten percent.
HUD Response: While the new bedroom ratios were calculated based on
2010 ACS data and replace the bedroom ratios based on 2000 decennial
Census long form data, the adjustment of 15 percent per bedroom for
bedrooms greater than four-bedroom units is not new and does not
supplant the need to conduct rent reasonable studies for units with
more then four-bedrooms. The adjustment allows for the calculation of a
five-bedroom or larger FMR, which is not shown on the tables in
schedule B. It does not reflect a payment standard.
Rents Should Be More Like Neighboring Metropolitan Areas
Two nonmetropolitan areas requested higher rents based on
neighboring metropolitan areas.
HUD Response: HUD will not make changes to metropolitan area
composition until OMB publishes new metropolitan area definitions,
which are expected sometime during 2013 (please see OMB's 2010 Federal
Register notices on this matter available at https://www.whitehouse.gov/sites/default/files/omb/assets/fedreg_2010/06282010_metro_standards-Complete.pdf). HUD has never incorporated new nonmetropolitan areas
into metropolitan areas and relies on OMB guidance for determining
metropolitan areas. HUD has taken counties out of metropolitan
definitions based on rent and income differences and may revisit this
methodology when the new metropolitan area definitions are
incorporated.
Small Area FMRs Should Not Be Used; HUD Has Not Adequately Addressed
the Potential for Disinvestment in Reinvestment and/or Low-Income Areas
HUD's floor of 10 percent for the SAFMR demonstration program
represents a substantial drop in rents. SAFMRs should not be used for
Difficult to Develop Areas. In general, the use of ZIP codes as areas
does not represent housing markets and should not be used for SAFMRs.
HUD Response: HUD published a Federal Register notice requesting
comments on the use of SAFMRs in the designation of DDAs. HUD continues
to use SAFMRs in Dallas, as part of a settlement agreement which did
not include the implementation of caps and floors. The operation of
SAFMRs in Dallas varies from the invitational demonstration program and
so information collected from Dallas will initially need to be analyzed
independently from data collected from other participating PHAs SAFMRs
must reflect a level of geography smaller than a county, and while
tract level data is available, it is not feasible to consider as the
basis for SAFMRs. A typical single Census Tract is too small to be used
for setting SAFMRs. Any methodology used by the Department to aggregate
Census Tracts places the Department in the unenviable position of
having to constantly defend the aggregation
[[Page 61166]]
methodology. Although ZIP codes are created for the efficient delivery
of mail, they have the distinct advantage that they are large enough to
provide a suitable number of housing units, small enough to depict
variation in rental across metropolitan areas and, most importantly,
through Census Bureau ACS ZCTA data aggregations, have sufficient gross
rent data to use in the calculation of SAFMRs.
HUD's Use of a ``Public Housing Rent'' Threshold Is Too Low
The public housing cutoff rent should include rents for housing
serving low income residents (at 80 percent of the area median income
(AMI)). HUD underestimates its public housing rent cutoff by basing it
on the 75th percentile of the public housing rents; it should be at the
95th percentile, or greater. Public housing rents do not include debt
service and HUD provides PHAs with assistance in covering operating
expenses and capital maintenance such that public housing rents are
much lower than what is required for a housing quality adjustment.
HUD Response: The public housing cutoff rent is used as a proxy to
remove substandard units and those renting in non-market transactions
from the standard quality distribution of rents. Removing all rents
below what would be affordable for low-income families from the
distribution would not reflect entire rental markets as contemplated by
the FMR Statute and regulations. Not all affordable housing should be
included in this cutoff amount. Some affordable rental housing,
especially for families at 80 percent of the AMI could have rents that
are well above the 40th percentile rent. The use of the 40th percentile
distribution coupled with the elimination of the bottom of the
distribution below the public cutoff rent on top of rents that were
already adjusted for standard quality by the Bureau of the Census in
our special tabulations, provides enough of an adjustment.
HUD Should Use a Local Trend Factor, Rather Than a National Trend
Factor
A different commenter supported the new national trend factor as
appropriate in minimizing year-to-year volatility.
HUD Response: HUD published a Federal Register notice on March 9,
2011, requesting comments on a revised trend factor (76 FR 12985). Few
comments were received on this notice and a clear consensus could not
be reached based on these comments for the new trend factor. A few
comments suggested the use of more local data, but there were also a
few comments opposing a more local factor. HUD believes that enough
uncertainty has been added by changing the previously 10-year national
trend factor into an annual national trend factor and does not want to
increase the volatility in the FMR based solely on changes in the trend
factor.
HUD Should Change Its Methodology Such That Units Built in the Past Two
Years Are Not Excluded From the Data Used To Calculate FMRs
Many of the units built in the past two year are affordable housing
units.
HUD Response: The methodology to calculate FMRs has always excluded
those units built in the past two years. This was done as a proxy for
eliminating luxury units. If these units are not at the upper end of
the distribution, and are in fact, mainly affordable housing units,
then the distribution of rents is not reduced and the 40th percentile
rent is higher than what it would be if these units were truly at the
high end of the distribution of rents.
Large FMR Increases Do Not Reflect Market Conditions and Will Hurt
Housing Choice Voucher Families
HUD should not increase FMRs at a time when federal agencies should
be freezing or reducing costs. One comment stated that the FMR
increases will result in fewer families being served. The change in the
three-bedroom ratio results in a large increase in this unit size FMR.
HUD Response: Just as HUD must use current data that results in FMR
decreases, so HUD must use current data that results in increases. HUD
determines FMRs based on the most current statistically reliable data.
While the three-bedroom cap only increased modestly, from 1.34 using
the 2000 decennial Census to 1.36 using the 2010 ACS data, there are
more significant changes by FMR area. Neither base rent increases nor
increases resulting from a change in the bedroom ratio may be held
harmless. Rent reasonableness studies can be used to set the payment
standard below the FMR if the FMR is in fact too high for particular
units of acceptable quality chosen by voucher tenants. It should be
noted that a comment filed in response to FY 2012 Proposed FMRs made a
similar claim, yet apparently did not reduce its payment standards,
and, in fact, has applied for exception payment standard based on the
higher FY 2012 FMRs.
Homelessness Will Increase in Areas Where the FY 2013 FMRs Decreased
Several comments suggest that FMR decreases, even those under five
percent, will reduce the ability of tenants to find units that meet
housing quality standards and will increase homelessness, as fewer
units are available at the lower FMR.
HUD Response: Where market conditions warrant, HUD encourages PHAs
to use Exception Payment Standards and Success Rate Payment Standards
to increase voucher holder's success in finding housing.
Decreases in FMRs Will Undo PHAs Efforts To Maintain a High Success
Rate; Program Utilization Will Be Reduced With Lower FMRs
HUD Response: Where market conditions warrant, HUD encourages PHAs
to use Exception Payment Standards and Success Rate Payment Standards
to increase voucher holder's success in finding housing.
HUD Should Institute Caps and Floors To Limit Annual FMR Changes to
Five Percent
A five percent change in the FMR triggers a rent reasonableness
study, which is costly for cash-strapped PHAs. HUD should have
instituted the same cap and floor of five percent that it instituted
for Income Limits with the FY 2010 Income Limits.
HUD Response: HUD is constrained by legal and regulatory language
for its calculation of FMRs, and therefore cannot ignore the
requirement to use the most current data by only implementing FMR
changes in five percent increments. Statutory and regulatory changes
are required before HUD would be able to implement any methodology
changes to not fully use the most current rent data in setting FMRs. No
such regulation or legislative requirement governs the calculation of
income limits and prior to FY 2010, income limits were held harmless,
that is, not allowed to ever decline. The change to incorporate caps
and floors of up to five percent was a way to remove this hold harmless
policy and create parity with increases and decreases.
The Loss of 50th Percentile FMRs Puts Voucher Families at Risk for Rent
Increases, Rejection and Moving to Areas of Greater Poverty
HUD should not take away 50th percentile FMRs for PHAs meeting
deconcentration objectives under SEMAP; HUD should use its regulatory
authority to reinstate 50th percentile FMRs for these areas. HUD's
evaluation of 50th percentile areas included FY
[[Page 61167]]
2009, a year of voucher funding shortfalls that limited the 50th
percentile FMRs. HUD should change it requalification analysis.
HUD Response: Of the seven areas evaluated for requalification,
only one area did not deconcentrate and is not eligible for evaluation
until FY 2016. This area was one of the original 50th percentile FMR
areas in FY 2002 and has had 50th percentile FMRs continuously. The
decrease in the FMR as a result of the loss of the 50th percentile is
difficult for all PHAs that operate in that area, but HUD has the
authority to grant payment standard protection for PHAs that meet
deconcentration objectives under 24 CFR 982.503(f). This request must
be made to the HUD Field Office, and not through the comment process.
The FY 2013 Small Area FMRs for Dallas Do Not Affirmatively Further
Fair Housing
Where FY 2013 SAFMRs in the Dallas, TX FMR Area are below what they
were in FY 2011, the first year SAFMRs were used, the comment states
that HUD is violating its duty to affirmatively further fair housing.
HUD Response: HUD must follow its statutory and regulatory
requirements to update FMRs using the most current data available. This
means that both increases and decreases must be applied to the Dallas
SAFMRs. A decrease that reflects more current data does not prevent HUD
from affirmatively further fair housing. The data HUD uses in the
calculation of FMRs (both metropolitan-wide and small area FMRs) are
compiled across all survey respondents in a given area and are not
segmented in any way by demographic traits.
The FMRs Are Too Low and Do Not Reflect Market Rents; HUD Must Conduct
a Survey of Rents
HUD Response: While rent surveys conducted either by HUD or a PHA
would provide more current data, these surveys take about two months to
complete and are quite expensive. HUD does not have the funds to
conduct many surveys and HUD cannot delay the implementation while new
surveys are being conducted. Areas with relatively short-term market
tightening are not easily measured by rent surveys. Based on past
experience, HUD finds that an area must have rent increases or declines
for a period of at least two years before it can be measured.
HUD Should Replace the Use of the 2010 ACS Data for One Area With a
2011 Census Survey of a Subarea
HUD Response: The use of the more current 2011 Census survey to set
base rents is a problem because the survey covers only a portion of the
FMR area; excluded from this survey are several counties that are part
of the FMR area. For the 2011 data to be used the survey results have
to be from the entire FMR area, not just a subarea. Further, one of
these excluded counties is required, by statute be included in that
area's FMR calculation.
HUD Should Provide Information on the Utility Costs Included in FMRs
HUD Response: HUD uses gross rents from the ACS to establish base
rents and to determine recent mover factor adjustments.
HUD Should Publish 2000 Decennial Census Data To Help PHAs Determine
Exception Payment Standards
HUD Response: HUD has decennial Census tract level data that its
Field Economists or Headquarters Economists use to determine exception
payment standards for PHAs. However, lately HUD has relied on the
SAFMRs, published by ZIP Code, which are based on the 2010 ACS data.
This data for metropolitan areas only is already available to PHAs at
https://www.huduser.org/portal/datasets/fmr/fmrs/index_sa.html&data=fy2013.
For Areas Without Their Own CPI, AAFs Should Be Provided for the 10 HUD
Regions Instead of the Four Census Regions
HUD Response: The 10 HUD regional AAFs, for both metropolitan and
non-metropolitan areas were calculated based on a very expensive survey
that HUD conducted. This data was used to adjust the FMR for areas
without local CPI data. When the 2000 decennial Census data was
released, HUD analyzed the FMR using the survey data and found that the
survey data did not improve the FMR estimation over what it would have
been using the CPI. The cost of that data collection effort was not
worthwhile. HUD did not stop the survey because of budgetary problems;
HUD stopped the survey because it did not significantly improve the
estimation of the FMR.
VIII. Rental Housing Surveys
In 2011, HUD solicited bidders to study the methodology used to
conduct local area surveys of gross rents to determine if the Random
Digit Dialing (RDD) methodology could be improved upon. The Department
undertook this study due to the increasing costs and declining response
rates associated with telephone surveys. Furthermore, the advent of the
1-year ACS limits the need for surveys in large metropolitan areas.
Based on this research, the Department decided that its survey
methodology should be changed with mail surveys being the preferred
method for conducting surveys, because of the lower cost and greater
likelihood of survey responses. These surveys, however, take almost
twice as long to conduct as prior survey methods took, and when
response times are most critical, the Department may choose to conduct
random digit dialing surveys as well, as the budget permits. The
methodology for both types of surveys along with the survey instruments
is posted on the HUD USER Web site, at the bottom of the FMR page in a
section labeled Fair Market Rent Surveys at: https://www.huduser.org/portal/datasets/fmr.html.
Other survey methodologies are acceptable in providing data to
support comments if the survey methodology can provide statistically
reliable, unbiased estimates of the gross rent. Survey samples should
preferably be randomly drawn from a complete list of rental units for
the FMR area. If this is not feasible, the selected sample must be
drawn to be statistically representative of the entire rental housing
stock of the FMR area. Surveys must include units at all rent levels
and be representative of structure type (including single-family,
duplex, and other small rental properties), age of housing unit, and
geographic location. The 2006-2010 5-year ACS data should be used as a
means of verifying if a sample is representative of the FMR area's
rental housing stock.
Most surveys cover only one- and two-bedroom units, which has
statistical advantages. If the survey is statistically acceptable, HUD
will estimate FMRs for other bedroom sizes using ratios based on the
2006-2010 5-year ACS data. A PHA or contractor that cannot obtain the
recommended number of sample responses after reasonable efforts should
consult with HUD before abandoning its survey; in such situations, HUD
may find it appropriate to relax normal sample size requirements.
HUD will consider increasing manufactured home space FMRs where
public comment demonstrates that 40 percent of the two-bedroom FMR is
not adequate. In order to be accepted as a basis for revising the
manufactured home space FMRs, comments must include a pad rental survey
of the mobile home parks in the area, identify the utilities included
in each park's
[[Page 61168]]
rental fee, and provide a copy of the applicable public housing
authority's utility schedule.
As stated earlier in this Notice, HUD is required to use the most
recent data available when calculating FMRs. Therefore, in order to re-
evaluate an area's FMR, HUD requires more current rental market data
than the 2010 ACS.
IX. Environmental Impact
This Notice involves the establishment of fair market rent
schedules, which do not constitute a development decision affecting the
physical condition of specific project areas or building sites.
Accordingly, under 24 CFR 50.19(c)(6), this Notice is categorically
excluded from environmental review under the National Environmental
Policy Act of 1969 (42 U.S.C. 4321).
Accordingly, the Fair Market Rent Schedules, which will not be
codified in 24 CFR part 888, are amended as shown in the Appendix to
this notice:
Dated: September 27, 2012.
Erika C. Poethig,
Acting Assistant Secretary for Policy Development and Research.
Fair Market Rents for the Housing Choice Voucher Program
Schedules B and D--General Explanatory Notes
1. Geographic Coverage
a. Metropolitan Areas--Most FMRs are market-wide rent estimates
that are intended to provide housing opportunities throughout the
geographic area in which rental-housing units are in direct
competition. HUD is using the metropolitan CBSAs, which are made up of
one or more counties, as defined by the Office of Management and Budget
(OMB), with some modifications. HUD is generally assigning separate
FMRs to the component counties of CBSA Micropolitan Areas.
b. Modifications to OMB Definitions--Following OMB guidance, the
estimation procedure for the FY 2013 Final FMRs incorporates the most
current OMB definitions of metropolitan areas based on the CBSA
standards as implemented with 2000 Census data, but makes adjustments
to the definitions to separate subparts of these areas where FMRs or
median incomes would otherwise change significantly if the new area
definitions were used without modification. In CBSAs where subareas are
established, it is HUD's view for programmatic purposes that the
geographic extent of the housing markets are not yet the same as the
geographic extent of the CBSAs, but may become so in the future as the
social and economic integration of the CBSA component areas increases.
Modifications to metropolitan CBSA definitions are made according to a
formula as described below.
Metropolitan area CBSAs (referred to as MSAs) may be modified to
allow for subarea FMRs within MSAs based on the boundaries of old FMR
areas (OFAs) within the boundaries of new MSAs. (OFAs are the FMR areas
defined for the FY 2005 FMRs. Collectively they include 1999-definition
MSAs/Primary Metropolitan Statistical Areas (PMSAs), metro counties
deleted from 1999-definition MSAs/PMSAs by HUD for FMR purposes, and
counties and county parts outside of 1999-definition MSAs/PMSAs
referred to as nonmetropolitan counties.) Subareas of MSAs are assigned
their own FMRs when the subarea 2000 Census Base Rent differs by at
least 5 percent from (i.e., is at most 95 percent or at least 105
percent of) the MSA 2000 Census Base Rent, or when the 2000 Census
Median Family Income for the subarea differs by at least 5 percent from
the MSA 2000 Census Median Family Income. MSA subareas, and the
remaining portions of MSAs after subareas have been determined, are
referred to as HUD Metro FMR Areas (HMFAs) to distinguish these areas
from OMB's official definition of MSAs.
The specific counties and New England towns and cities within each
state in MSAs and HMFAs are listed in Schedule B.
2. Bedroom Size Adjustments
Schedule B shows the FMRs for zero-bedroom through four-bedroom
units. The Schedule B addendum shows Small Area FMRs for PHAs operating
using Small Area FMRs within the Dallas, TX HMFA. The FMRs for unit
sizes larger than four bedrooms are calculated by adding 15 percent to
the four-bedroom FMR for each extra bedroom. For example, the FMR for a
five-bedroom unit is 1.15 times the four-bedroom FMR, and the FMR for a
six-bedroom unit is 1.30 times the four-bedroom FMR. FMRs for single-
room-occupancy (SRO) units are 0.75 times the zero-bedroom FMR.
3. Arrangement of FMR Areas and Identification of Constituent Parts
a. The FMR areas in Schedule B are listed alphabetically by
metropolitan FMR area and by nonmetropolitan county within each state.
The exception FMRs for manufactured home spaces in Schedule D are
listed alphabetically by state.
b. The constituent counties (and New England towns and cities)
included in each metropolitan FMR area are listed immediately following
the listings of the FMR dollar amounts. All constituent parts of a
metropolitan FMR area that are in more than one state can be identified
by consulting the listings for each applicable state.
c. Two nonmetropolitan counties are listed alphabetically on each
line of the non-metropolitan county listings.
d. The New England towns and cities included in a nonmetropolitan
county are listed immediately following the county name.
BILLING CODE 4210-67-P
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[FR Doc. 2012-24618 Filed 10-4-12; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4210-67-C