Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Removal of the Gray Wolf in Wyoming From the Federal List of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Removal of the Wyoming Wolf Population's Status as an Experimental Population, 55529-55604 [2012-21988]
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Vol. 77
Monday,
No. 175
September 10, 2012
Part II
Department of the Interior
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Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Removal of the Gray
Wolf in Wyoming From the Federal List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife and Removal of the Wyoming Wolf Population’s Status as an
Experimental Population; Final Rule
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Federal Register / Vol. 77, No. 175 / Monday, September 10, 2012 / Rules and Regulations
DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
[Docket No. FWS–R6–ES–2011–0039;
FXES11130900000C6–123–FF09E30000]
RIN 1018–AX94
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
and Plants; Removal of the Gray Wolf
in Wyoming From the Federal List of
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
and Removal of the Wyoming Wolf
Population’s Status as an
Experimental Population
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service,
Interior.
ACTION: Final rule.
AGENCY:
The best scientific and
commercial data available indicate that
gray wolves (Canis lupus) in Wyoming
are recovered and are no longer in need
of protection as part of an endangered
or threatened species under the
Endangered Species Act of 1973, as
amended (Act). Therefore, we, the U.S.
Fish and Wildlife Service (Service),
remove the gray wolf in Wyoming from
the Federal List of Endangered and
Threatened Wildlife. Wyoming’s gray
wolf population is stable, threats are
sufficiently minimized, and a postdelisting monitoring and management
framework has been developed.
Therefore, this final rule returns
management for this species to the
appropriate State, Tribal, or Federal
agencies; management in National Parks
and National Wildlife Refuges will
continue to be guided by existing
authorizing and management legislation
and regulations. Finally, this action
makes obsolete and removes the
Yellowstone Experimental Population
Area established in 1994 to facilitate
reintroductions.
DATES: This rule becomes effective on
September 30, 2012.
ADDRESSES: This final rule, comments
received, and additional supporting
information are available on the Internet
at https://www.regulations.gov, Docket
No. FWS–R6–ES–2011–0039.
Additional background information is
also available online at https://
www.fws.gov/mountain-prairie/species/
mammals/wolf/. Comments and
materials we received, as well as
supporting documentation we used in
preparing this rule are available for
public inspection, by appointment,
during normal business hours at the
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service,
Mountain-Prairie Region Office,
Ecological Services Division, 134 Union
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SUMMARY:
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Blvd., Lakewood, CO 80228; telephone
303–236–7400. Persons who use a
telecommunications device for the deaf
(TDD) may call the Federal Information
Relay Service (FIRS) at 800–877–8339.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Mountain-Prairie Region Office,
Ecological Services Division; telephone
303–236–7400. Direct all questions or
requests for additional information to:
GRAY WOLF QUESTIONS, U.S. Fish
and Wildlife Service, Mountain-Prairie
Region Office, Ecological Services
Division, 134 Union Blvd., Lakewood,
CO 80228. Individuals who are hearingimpaired or speech-impaired may call
the Federal Relay Service at 800–877–
8337 for TTY assistance.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
Background
—Delisting Wolves in Wyoming
—Previous Federal Actions
—Reengaging Wyoming and Changes to Its
Wolf Management Plan
—Species Description and Basic Biology
—Recovery Planning and Implementation
Æ Recovery Planning and the Development
of Recovery Criteria
Æ Monitoring and Managing Recovery
Æ Recovery by State
Æ Recovery by Recovery Area
Æ Genetic Exchange Relative to our
Recovery Criteria
Æ Conclusion on Progress Towards our
Recovery Goals
Summary of Comments and
Recommendations
—Technical and Editorial Comments
—The Delisting Process and Compliance
with Applicable Laws, Regulations, and
Policy
—Northern Rocky Mountain (NRM) Gray
Wolf Recovery Goals
—The Geographic Scope of Recovery and
the Impact of This Decision on Range
—General Comments on Whether To Delist
—Human-Caused Mortality
—Gene Flow and Genetic Diversity
—Adequacy of Regulatory Mechanisms
—Public Attitudes Toward Wolves
—Other Potential Threat Factors
—Cumulative Impacts of Threats
—Post-Delisting Monitoring
—Positives and Negatives of Wolf
Restoration
—Native American Tribal Considerations
Summary of Factors Affecting the Species
—Factor A. The Present or Threatened
Destruction, Modification, or
Curtailment of Its Habitat or Range.
Æ Suitable Habitat
Æ Unoccupied Suitable Habitat
Æ Currently Occupied Habitat
Æ Potential Threats Affecting Habitat or
Range
—Factor B. Overutilization for
Commercial, Recreational, Scientific, or
Educational Purposes.
Æ Commercial or Recreational Uses
Æ Overutilization for Scientific or
Educational Purposes
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—Factor C. Disease or Predation.
Æ Disease
Æ Natural Predation
Æ Human-caused Mortality
—Factor D. The Inadequacy of Existing
Regulatory Mechanisms.
Æ National Park Service
Æ National Wildlife Refuges
Æ Tribal Lands
Æ Forest Service
Æ State Regulatory Mechanisms
Æ Environmental Protection Agency
—Factor E. Other Natural or Manmade
Factors Affecting Its Continued
Existence.
Æ Public Attitudes Toward the Gray Wolf
Æ Genetic Considerations
Æ Poison
Æ Climate Change
Æ Catastrophic Events
Æ Impacts to Wolf Pack Social Structure as
a Result of Human-caused Mortality
Conclusion (Including Cumulative Impacts)
Significant Portion of the Range Analysis
Post-Delisting Monitoring
Effects of the Rule
Required Determinations
—Paperwork Reduction Act
—National Environmental Policy Act
—Executive Order 13211
—Government-to-Government Relationship
With Tribes
References Cited
Authority
List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 17
Regulation Promulgation
Executive Summary
(1) Purpose of the Regulatory Action
This rulemaking is necessary to
remove gray wolves (Canis lupus) in
Wyoming from the Federal List of
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife.
Delisting is appropriate because gray
wolves in Wyoming are recovered and
are no longer in need of protection as
part of an endangered or threatened
species under the Endangered Species
Act of 1973, as amended (Act).
Wyoming’s gray wolf population is
stable, threats are sufficiently
minimized, and a post-delisting
monitoring and management framework
has been developed. This action also
makes obsolete and removes the
Yellowstone Experimental Population
Area established in 1994 to facilitate
reintroductions.
(2) Major Provision of the Regulatory
Action
This action is authorized by the Act.
We are amending § 17.11(h), subchapter
B of chapter I, title 50 of the Code of
Federal Regulations by removing the
entry for ‘‘Wolf, gray [Northern Rocky
Mountain DPS]’’ under MAMMALS in
the List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife. We are also amending § 17.84,
subchapter B of chapter I, title 50 of the
Code of Federal Regulations by
removing and reserving both paragraphs
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pertaining to experimental populations
of ‘‘Gray wolf (Canis lupus)’’: (i) and (n).
In short, this action removes the gray
wolf in Wyoming from the Federal List
of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
and makes obsolete and removes the
Yellowstone Experimental Population
Area established in 1994 to facilitate
reintroductions.
(3) Costs and Benefits
We have not analyzed the costs or
benefits of this rulemaking action
because the Act precludes consideration
of such impacts on listing and delisting
determinations. Instead, listing and
delisting decisions are based solely on
the best scientific and commercial
information available regarding the
status of the subject species.
Background
Delisting Wolves in Wyoming
This rulemaking is separate and
independent from, but additive to, the
previous action delisting wolves in the
Northern Rocky Mountain (NRM)
Distinct Population Segment (DPS) (74
FR 15123, April 2, 2009; 76 FR 25590,
May 5, 2011). We conclude that this
approach is appropriate given the
Congressional directive to reissue our
2009 delisting, which created a remnant
piece of the NRM DPS. This approach
is also consistent with our 2009
delisting determination, which stated
that ‘‘if Wyoming were to develop a
Service-approved regulatory framework
it would be delisted in a separate rule’’
(74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009, p. 15155).
This rule is separate from prior actions
to remove the other portions of the NRM
DPS from the List of Endangered and
Threatened Wildlife. Outside Wyoming,
this rule will not affect the status of the
gray wolf in the portions of the NRM
DPS under State laws or suspend any
other legal protections provided by State
law.
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Previous Federal Actions
In 1967, we determined the eastern
timber wolf (C. l. lycaon) in the Great
Lakes region was threatened with
extinction (32 FR 4001, March 11,
1967). In 1973, we added the NRM gray
wolf (C. l. irremotus) to the U.S. List of
Endangered Fish and Wildlife (38 FR
14678, June 4, 1973). Both of these
listings were issued pursuant to the
Endangered Species Conservation Act of
1969. In 1974, these subspecies were
listed as endangered under the Act of
1973 (39 FR 1158, January 4, 1974). We
listed a third gray wolf subspecies, the
Mexican wolf (C. l. baileyi) as
endangered on April 28, 1976, (41 FR
17736) in Mexico and the United States
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Southwest. Later in 1976, we listed the
Texas gray wolf subspecies (C. l.
monstrabilis) as endangered in Texas
and Mexico (41 FR 24062, June 14,
1976).
Due to questions about the validity of
subspecies classification at the time and
issues associated with the narrow
geographic scope of each subspecies, we
published a rule reclassifying the gray
wolf as endangered at the species level
(C. lupus) throughout the coterminous
48 States and Mexico (43 FR 9607,
March 9, 1978). The exception was
Minnesota, where the gray wolf was
reclassified to threatened. This rule also
provided assurance that this
reclassification would not alter our
intention to focus recovery on each
population as separate entities.
Accordingly, recovery plans were
developed for: The Great Lakes in 1978
(revised in 1992) (Service 1978, entire;
Service 1992, entire); the NRM region in
1980 (revised in 1987) (Service 1980,
entire; Service 1987, entire); and the
Southwest in 1982 (Service 1982,
entire). A revision to the Southwest
recovery plan is now under way.
In 1994, we established nonessential
experimental gray wolf populations
under section 10(j) of the Act (50 CFR
17.84(i)), in portions of Idaho, Montana,
and all of Wyoming, including the
Yellowstone Experimental Population
Area (59 FR 60252, November 22, 1994)
and the Central Idaho Experimental
Population Area (59 FR 60266,
November 22, 1994). These designations
assisted us in initiating gray wolf
reintroductions in central Idaho and in
Yellowstone National Park (YNP). The
Yellowstone Experimental Population
Area included the entire State of
Wyoming. In 2005 and 2008, we revised
these regulations to provide increased
management flexibility for this
recovered wolf population in States and
on Tribal lands with Service-approved
post-delisting wolf management plans
(70 FR 1286, January 6, 2005; 73 FR
4720, January 28, 2008; 50 CFR
17.84(n)).
The NRM gray wolf population
achieved its numerical and
distributional recovery goals at the end
of 2000 (Service et al. 2012, Table 4).
The temporal portion of the recovery
goal was achieved in 2002 when the
numerical and distributional recovery
goals were exceeded for the third
successive year (Service et al. 2012,
Table 4). In light of this success, we
once reclassified and twice delisted all
or part of this population (68 FR 15804,
April 1, 2003; 73 FR 10514, February 27,
2008; 74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009).
These reclassification and delisting
rules were overturned by U.S. District
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Courts (Defenders of Wildlife, et al. v.
Norton, et al., 354 F.Supp.2d 1156 (D.
Or. 2005); National Wildlife Federation,
et al. v. Norton, et al., 386 F.Supp.2d
553 (D. Vt. 2005); Defenders of Wildlife,
et al. v. Hall, et al., 565 F.Supp.2d 1160
(D. Mont. 2008); Defenders of Wildlife,
et al. v. Salazar, et al., 729 F.Supp.2d
1207 (D. Mont. 2010). Each of these
rulemakings and the subsequent
litigation are discussed below.
In 2003, we reclassified the
coterminous 48-State listing into three
DPSs including a threatened Western
DPS, a threatened Eastern DPS, and an
endangered Southwestern DPS (68 FR
15804, April 1, 2003). The Western DPS,
centered around the recovered NRM
gray wolf population, included
California, northern Colorado, Idaho,
Montana, Oregon, northern Utah,
Washington, and Wyoming. This rule
also removed the protections of the Act
for gray wolves in all or parts of 16
southern and eastern States where the
species historically did not occur.
Finally, this rule established a special
4(d) rule to respond to wolf-human
conflicts in areas not covered by
existing nonessential experimental
population rules. In 2005, the U.S.
District Courts in Oregon and Vermont
concluded that the 2003 final rule was
‘‘arbitrary and capricious’’ and violated
the Act (Defenders of Wildlife, et al. v.
Norton, et al., 354 F.Supp.2d 1156 (D.
Or. 2005); National Wildlife Federation,
et al. v. Norton, et al., 386 F.Supp.2d
553 (D. Vt. 2005)). Both courts ruled the
Service improperly downlisted entire
DPSs based just on the viability of a core
population. The courts’ rulings
invalidated the April 2003 changes to
the gray wolf listing under the Act.
In 2003, we also published an
advanced notice of proposed
rulemaking announcing our intention to
delist the Western DPS as the recovery
goals had been satisfied (68 FR 15876,
April 1, 2003). This notice explained
that delisting would require
consideration of threats, and that the
adequacy of State wolf management
plans to address threats in the absence
of protections of the Act would be a
major determinant in any future
delisting evaluation.
In 2004, we determined that
Montana’s and Idaho’s laws and wolf
management plans were adequate to
assure that their shares of the NRM wolf
population would be maintained above
recovery levels (Williams 2004a;
Williams 2004b). However, we also
found the 2003 Wyoming legislation
and plan were not adequate to maintain
Wyoming’s share of a recovered NRM
gray wolf population (Williams 2004c).
Wyoming challenged this
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determination, and the United States
District Court in Wyoming dismissed
the case (State of Wyoming, et al., v.
United States Department of Interior, et
al., 360 F.Supp.2d 1214, (D. Wyoming
2005)). Wyoming’s subsequent appeal
was unsuccessful (State of Wyoming, et
al. v. United States Department of
Interior, et al., 442 F.Supp.3d 1262 (10th
Cir. 2006)). This challenge was resolved
on procedural grounds because
Wyoming failed to identify a final
agency action necessary for judicial
review. In 2005, Wyoming petitioned us
to revise the listing status for the gray
wolf by recognizing a NRM DPS and to
remove it from the Federal List of
Endangered and Threatened Species
(Freudenthal 2005, entire). In 2006, we
announced a 12-month finding that
Wyoming’s petition (delisting wolves in
all of Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming)
was not warranted because the 2003
Wyoming State laws and its 2003 wolf
management plan did not provide
adequate regulatory mechanisms to
maintain Wyoming’s share of a
recovered NRM wolf population (71 FR
43410, August 1, 2006). Wyoming
challenged this finding in Wyoming
Federal District Court. This challenge
was rendered moot by Wyoming’s
revisions to its laws and management
plan in 2007, which allowed delisting to
move forward. On February 27, 2008, a
Wyoming Federal District Court issued
an order dismissing the case (State of
Wyoming, et al., v. United States
Department of Interior, et al., U.S.
District Court Case No. 2:06–CV–00245).
In 2008, we issued a final rule
recognizing the NRM DPS and removing
it from the List of Endangered and
Threatened Wildlife (73 FR 10514,
February 27, 2008). This DPS included
Idaho, Montana, eastern Oregon, northcentral Utah, eastern Washington, and
Wyoming. This DPS was smaller than
the 2003 Western DPS and more closely
approximates the historical range of the
originally listed NRM gray wolf in the
region and the areas focused on in both
NRM recovery plans (39 FR 1175
January 4, 1974; Service 1980, pp. 3, 7–
8; Service 1987, pp. 2, 23). The Service
removed protections across the entire
DPS after Wyoming revised its wolf
management plan and State law. At the
time, we concluded this Wyoming
framework provided adequate
regulatory protections to conserve
Wyoming’s portion of a recovered wolf
population into the foreseeable future
(Hall 2007).
Environmental litigants challenged
this final rule in the U.S. District Court
for the District of Montana. The
plaintiffs also moved to preliminarily
enjoin the delisting. On July 18, 2008,
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the court granted the plaintiffs’ motion
for a preliminary injunction and
enjoined the Service’s implementation
of the final delisting rule (Defenders of
Wildlife, et al., v. Hall, et al., 565
F.Supp.2d 1160 (D. Mont. 2008)). The
court stated that we acted arbitrarily in
delisting a wolf population that lacked
evidence of natural genetic exchange
between subpopulations. The court also
stated that we acted arbitrarily and
capriciously when we approved
Wyoming’s 2007 wolf management plan
because the State failed to commit to
managing for at least 15 breeding pairs.
In addition, the court concluded we
acted arbitrarily in approving
Wyoming’s 2007 post-delisting
management framework that contained
a Wyoming statute allowing the
Wyoming Game and Fish Commission
(WGFC) to diminish Wyoming’s Wolf
Trophy Game Management Area
(Trophy Area) if it ‘‘determines the
diminution does not impede the
delisting of gray wolves and will
facilitate Wyoming’s management of
wolves.’’ In light of the court order, on
September 22, 2008, we asked the court
to vacate the final rule and remand it to
us. On October 14, 2008, the court
granted our request (Defenders of
Wildlife v. Hall, 9:08–CV–00056–DWM
(D. Mont 2008)). The court’s order
invalidated the February 2008 rule
designating and delisting the NRM DPS.
Following the July 18, 2008, court
ruling, we reexamined the NRM DPS
and Wyoming’s statutes, regulations,
and management plan. This
reevaluation considered several issues
not considered in the previous
evaluation. We determined that the best
scientific and commercial data available
demonstrated that: (1) The NRM DPS
was not threatened or endangered
throughout ‘‘all’’ of its range (i.e., not
threatened or endangered throughout all
of the DPS); and (2) the Wyoming
portion of the range represented a
significant portion of the range where
the species remained in danger of
extinction because of the inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms. Thus,
on April 2, 2009, we published a final
rule recognizing the NRM DPS and
removing the DPS from the List of
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife,
except in Wyoming, where wolves
continued to be regulated as a
nonessential experimental population
under 50 CFR 17.84(i) and (n) (74 FR
15123). The decision to retain the Act’s
protections only in Wyoming was
consistent with a March 16, 2007,
Memorandum Opinion issued by the
Solicitor of the Department of the
Interior, ‘‘The Meaning of ‘In Danger of
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Extinction Throughout All or a
Significant Portion of Its Range’ ’’ (MOpinion) (Department of the Interior
2007, entire). The final rule determined
that Wyoming’s existing regulatory
framework did not provide adequate
regulatory mechanisms to maintain
Wyoming’s share of a recovered NRM
wolf population if the protections of the
Act were removed and stated that, until
Wyoming revised its statutes,
regulations, and management plan, and
obtained Service approval, wolves in
Wyoming would remain protected by
the Act (74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009).
The 2009 rule (74 FR 15123, April 2,
2009) was challenged in the U.S.
District Court for the District of Montana
by environmental litigants and in the
U.S. District Court for the District of
Wyoming by the State of Wyoming, the
Wyoming Wolf Coalition, and Park
County, Wyoming. On August 5, 2010,
the U.S. District Court for Montana
ruled on the merits of the case and
vacated our April 2009 final rule
(Defenders of Wildlife, et al., v. Salazar,
et al., 729 F. Supp.2d 1207 (D. Mont.
2010)). The court concluded that the
NRM DPS must be listed or delisted in
its entirety. The court rejected the rule’s
approach allowing protection of only a
portion of the species’ range because it
was inconsistent with the Act’s
definition of ‘‘species.’’ Thus, before
delisting could occur, Wyoming had to
develop a regulatory framework that
was determined by the Service to be
adequate to maintain Wyoming’s share
of a recovered NRM gray wolf
population. The court’s ruling
invalidated the 2009 rule designating
and delisting most of the NRM DPS.
On October 26, 2010, in compliance
with the order of the U.S. District Court
for Montana, we published a final rule
notifying the public that the Federal
protections in place prior to the 2009
delisting had been reinstated (75 FR
65574). Wolves in eastern Washington,
eastern Oregon, north-central Utah, the
Idaho panhandle, and northern Montana
were again listed as endangered. Former
special rules designating the gray wolf
in the remainder of Montana and Idaho
as nonessential experimental
populations were likewise reinstated.
Additionally, the NRM gray wolf DPS
established by the April 2, 2009, final
rule was set aside. Because wolves in
Wyoming were not delisted by the April
2, 2009, final rule, their listed status was
not affected by the October 26, 2010,
rule.
Following the Montana District Court
decision, the United States Congress
passed, and President Obama signed,
H.R. 1473, Public Law 112–10—The
Department of Defense and Full Year
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Continuing Appropriations Act of 2011
(hereafter referred to as the 2011
Appropriations Act). Section 1713 of the
law directed the Service to reissue its
April 2009 delisting rule. The Service
complied with the Appropriations Act
on May 5, 2011 (76 FR 25590). Thus,
gray wolves in Montana, Idaho, eastern
Oregon, north-central Utah, and eastern
Washington were once again delisted.
The constitutionality of section 1713 of
the 2011 Appropriations Act was
upheld in the Montana District Court
and the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals
(Alliance for the Wild Rockies et al., v.
Salazar, et al., case no. CV 11–70–M–
DWM; Alliance for the Wild Rockies, et
al., v. Salazar, et al., case no. 11–
35670). The Department of Interior
withdrew the M-Opinion on this topic
on May 4, 2011 (Department of the
Interior 2011, entire).
As for the Wyoming challenge to the
April 2009 partial delisting rule (74 FR
15123, April 2, 2009), a United States
District Court for Wyoming ruled in
favor of the Wyoming plaintiffs on
November 18, 2010 (Wyoming et al., v.
U.S. Department of the Interior, et al.,
2010 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 122829). The
court rejected the Service’s
recommendation that the entire State of
Wyoming be designated as a Trophy
Area, and the court found this position
to be arbitrary and capricious, because
it was not supported by the
administrative record. The court stated
that the record indicated only
northwestern Wyoming, which has the
vast majority of the State’s suitable
habitat, was biologically essential to
maintaining the NRM population.
However, the court did not render an
opinion on whether Wyoming’s current
plan, including the size and location of
its 2007 Trophy Area, was sufficient.
Instead, the court remanded the matter
to us to reconsider whether Wyoming’s
regulatory framework would maintain
its share of a recovered wolf population
and provide adequate genetic
connectivity. Subsequent to this order,
the Service and the State reinitiated
discussions on revisions to the State’s
wolf management framework that would
satisfy the standards of the Act and
allow delisting to again move forward.
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These discussions led to an agreement
and modification of the Wyoming wolf
management plan (WGFC 2011, entire).
On October 5, 2011, we proposed to
remove the gray wolf in Wyoming from
the List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife (76 FR 61782). This proposal
relied on Wyoming’s 2011 wolf
management plan (WGFC 2011, entire)
and noted that conforming changes to
State law and regulations would be
required to allow Wyoming’s plan to be
implemented as written. Following
publication of the proposal, Wyoming
revised its State statutes and gray wolf
management regulations (chapter 21)
and developed gray wolf hunting season
regulations (chapter 47) and an
Addendum to the Wyoming Gray Wolf
Management Plan. On May 1, 2012, we
reopened the public comment period on
our October 5, 2011, proposal to allow
all interested parties an additional
opportunity to comment on the
proposed rule in light of these
documents (77 FR 25664, May 1, 2012).
Reengaging Wyoming and Changes to Its
Wolf Management Plan
The 2009 rule stated that ‘‘until
Wyoming revises their statutes,
management plan, and associated
regulations, and is again Service
approved, wolves in Wyoming continue
to require the protections of the Act’’ (74
FR 15123, April 2, 2009). This rule
specifically expressed concern over: (1)
The size and permanency of the Trophy
Area; (2) conflicting language within the
State statutes concerning whether
Wyoming would manage for at least 15
breeding pairs and at least 150 wolves,
exactly 15 breeding pairs and 150
wolves, or only 7 breeding pairs and 70
wolves; and (3) liberal depredation
control authorizations and legislative
mandates to aggressively manage the
population down to minimum levels.
In early 2011, we began discussions
with Wyoming seeking to develop a
strategy to address each of these issues.
In August 2011, the Service and the
State of Wyoming announced the
framework of an agreement that we
conclude will maintain a recovered wolf
population in Wyoming (WGFC 2011,
appendix I). Since this agreement,
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Wyoming has incorporated these
changes into its regulatory framework.
Below we summarize the key points in
the agreement relative to the three
overarching Service concerns
highlighted above.
First, Wyoming made the existing
Trophy Area permanent by
incorporating it into State statute. In
total, Wyoming wolves will be managed
as game animals year-round or protected
in about 38,500 square kilometers (km2)
(15,000 square miles (mi2)) in the
northwestern portion of the State (15.2
percent of Wyoming), including YNP,
Grand Teton National Park, John D.
Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway,
adjacent U.S. Forest Service-designated
Wilderness Areas, adjacent public and
private lands, the National Elk Refuge,
and most of the Wind River Indian
Reservation (Lickfett 2012). This area of
Wyoming contains the majority of
suitable wolf habitat within the State.
Wolves will be designated as predatory
animals in the remainder of the State
(predator area). The above protected and
permanent game areas (see Figure 1)
include: 100 percent of the portion of
the Greater Yellowstone Area (GYA)
recovery area within Wyoming (Service
1987, Figure 2); approximately 79
percent of the Wyoming portion of the
primary analysis area used in the 1994
Environmental Impact Statement on The
Reintroduction of Gray Wolves to YNP
and Central Idaho (1994 Environmental
Impact Statement) (areas analyzed as
potentially being impacted by wolf
recovery in the GYA) (Service 1994,
Figure 1.1); the entire home range for 24
of 27 breeding pairs (88 percent), 40 of
48 packs (83 percent), and 282 of 328
individual wolves (86 percent) in the
State at the end of 2011 (Service et al.
2012, Tables 2, 4, Figure 3; Jimenez
2012a; Jimenez 2012, pers. comm.); and
approximately 81 percent of the State’s
suitable habitat (including over 81
percent of the high-quality habitat
(greater than 80 percent chance of
supporting wolves) and over 62 percent
of the medium-high-quality habitat (50
to 79 percent chance of supporting
wolves) (Oakleaf 2011; Mead 2012a)).
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The State of Wyoming also addressed
our prior concern that the size of the
Trophy Area would affect natural
connectivity and genetic exchange. State
wolf management regulations (chapter
21(4)(a)(ii)) commit to managing wolves
in Wyoming so that genetic diversity
and connectivity issues do not threaten
the population. The State’s wolf
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management plan further clarifies a goal
for gene flow of at least one effective
natural migrant per generation entering
into the GYA, as measured over
multiple generations (WGFC 2011, pp.
4, 9, 26–29, 54). To assist in this goal,
a Wyoming statute provides for a
seasonal expansion of the Trophy Area
approximately 80 kilometers (km) (50
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miles (mi)) south for 4 and a half
months during peak wolf dispersal
periods (WGFC 2011, pp. 2, 8, 52). We
conclude that this seasonal protection
will benefit natural dispersal.
Furthermore, Wyoming commits to an
adaptive management approach that
adjusts management if the above
minimum level of gene flow is not
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documented (WGFC 2011, pp. 26–29;
WGFC 2012, pp. 6–7). Finally,
translocation of wolves between
subpopulations would be used as a last
resort, only if necessary to increase
genetic interchange (WGFC 2012, p. 7).
These efforts would be coordinated with
Montana and Idaho (WGFC 2012, p. 7).
Next, Wyoming agreed to maintain a
population of at least 10 breeding pairs
and at least 100 wolves in portions of
Wyoming outside YNP and the Wind
River Indian Reservation (WGFC 2011,
pp. 1–5, 16–26, 52). Importantly, this
commitment does not reflect an
intention by the Wyoming Game and
Fish Department (WGFD) to reduce the
population down to this minimum
population level. Rather, Wyoming
intends to maintain an adequate buffer
above minimum population objectives
to accommodate management needs and
ensure uncontrollable sources of
mortality do not drop the population
below this minimum population level
(WGFC 2011, p. 24; WGFC 2012, pp. 3–
5).
The wolf populations in YNP and on
the lands of sovereign nations will
provide an additional buffer above the
minimum recovery goal. From 2000 to
the end of 2011 (the most recent official
wolf population estimates available), the
wolf population in YNP ranged from 96
to 174 wolves, and between 6 to 16
breeding pairs. While a lower future
population level in YNP is predicted
(between 50 to 100 wolves and 5 to 10
packs with 4 to 6 of these packs meeting
the breeding pair definition annually)
(Smith 2012), YNP will always provide
a secure wolf population providing a
safety margin above the minimum
recovery goal. The Wind River Indian
Reservation typically contains a small
number of wolves (single digits), which
sometimes form packs that count toward
Tribal population totals. On the whole,
we expect the statewide wolf population
in Wyoming will be maintained well
above minimum recovery levels.
Another substantial improvement is
Wyoming’s management framework
inside the Trophy Area. For example,
Wyoming removed statutory mandates
for aggressive management of wolves
(WGFC 2011, pp. 24, 52). Previous
Wyoming law required aggressive
management until the population
outside the National Parks fell to six
breeding pairs or below. The Service
was concerned with Wyoming’s
previous State law, and it has been
remedied.
Additionally, Wyoming agreed that
wolves in the permanent Trophy Area
would not be treated as predatory
animals (WGFC 2011, pp. 3, 16–17, 23).
Past State laws allowed depredating
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wolves within the Trophy Area to be
treated as predatory animals under
certain circumstances at the discretion
of the State Game and Fish Commission
(WGFC 2011, pp. 3, 16–17, 23).
Wyoming modified W.S. 23–1–302(a)(ii)
to ensure it does not apply to wolves in
the Trophy Area. This change is a
substantial improvement over current
Wyoming law that will provide for a
wolf population in Wyoming (outside of
YNP and the Wind River Indian
Reservation) that always maintains at
least 10 breeding pairs and at least 100
individuals.
Furthermore, Wyoming established
defense-of-property regulations that are
similar to our nonessential experimental
population rules (50 CFR 17.84(n))
(WGFC 2011, pp. 4, 22–23, 30–31, 53).
Also, Wyoming’s management of
depredating wolves will be similar to
Service management under the Act’s
protections (WGFC 2011, pp. 4, 22–23,
30–31, 53). Such rules were in place in
Montana and Idaho prior to delisting
and allowed continued population
growth. These management approaches
constitute an additional improvement
over the framework Wyoming had in
place for most of 2008.
These and other improvements
discussed in more detail below have
addressed the Service’s concerns about
wolf management in Wyoming and
make this delisting rule possible.
Appropriate changes have been
incorporated into State statute, State
regulations, and the Wyoming wolf
management plan.
Species Description and Basic Biology
Gray wolves (Canis lupus) are the
largest wild members of the dog family
(Canidae). Adult gray wolves range from
18–80 kilograms (kg) (40–175 pounds
(lb)) depending upon sex and
geographic region (Mech 1974, p. 1). In
the NRM region, adult male gray wolves
average just over 45 kg (100 lb), but may
weigh up to 60 kg (130 lb). Females
weigh about 20 percent less than males.
Wolves’ fur color is frequently a grizzled
gray, but it can vary from pure white to
coal black (Gipson et al. 2002, p. 821).
Gray wolves have a circumpolar range
including North America, Europe, and
Asia. As Europeans began settling the
United States, they poisoned, trapped,
and shot wolves, causing this oncewidespread species to be eradicated
from most of its range in the 48
conterminous States (Mech 1970, pp.
31–34; McIntyre 1995, entire). Gray wolf
populations were eliminated from
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming, as well
as adjacent southwestern Canada by the
1930s (Young and Goldman 1944, p.
414). Gray wolves continue to occur in
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large numbers in Canada and Alaska
and are now well connected to the
restored NRM wolf populations
(Pletscher et al. 1991, pp. 547–548;
Boyd and Pletscher 1999, pp. 1105–
1106; Committee on the Status of
Endangered Wildlife in Canada 2001,
pp. iii, v–vi, 13, 21–22, 30–32, 38, 42,
44–46; Boitani 2003, p. 322; Sime 2007;
vonHoldt et al. 2010, p. 4412; Jimenez
et al. In review, p. 1).
Wolves primarily prey on medium
and large mammals. Wolf prey in the
NRM region is composed mainly of elk
(Cervus canadensis), white tailed deer
(Odocoileus virginianus), mule deer
(Odocoileus hemionus), moose (Alces
alces), and (in the GYA) bison (Bison
bison). Bighorn sheep (Ovis canadensis),
mountain goats (Oreamnos americanus),
and pronghorn antelope (Antilocapra
americana) also are common but less
important wolf prey, at least to date.
Wolves normally live in packs of 2 to
12 animals. In the NRM region, pack
sizes average 7 wolves but are slightly
larger in protected areas. A few complex
packs have been substantially bigger in
some areas of YNP (Smith et al. 2006,
p. 243; Service et al. 2012, Tables 1–3).
Packs typically occupy large territories
from 518 to 1,295 km2 (200 to 500 mi2).
Once a given area is occupied by
resident wolf packs, it becomes
saturated and wolf numbers become
regulated by the amount of available
prey, intraspecific conflict (wolf-on-wolf
conflict), other forms of mortality, and
dispersal. Dispersing wolves may cover
large areas as they try to join other packs
or attempt to form their own pack in
unoccupied habitat (Mech and Boitani
2003, pp. 11–17).
Typically, only one male and female
in each pack breed and produce pups
(Packard 2003, p. 38; Smith et al. 2006,
pp. 243–24; Service et al. 2012, Tables
1–3). Females and males typically begin
breeding as 2-year-olds and may
annually produce young until they are
over 10 years old. In the NRM region,
litters are typically born in April and
range from 1 to 7 pups, but average
around 5 pups (Service et al. 1989–
2012, Tables 1–3). Most years, 80
percent of pups survive until winter
(Service et al. 1989–2012, Tables 1–3).
Wolves can live 13 years (Holyan et al.
2005, p. 446), but the average lifespan
in YNP is less than 4 years (Smith et al.
2006, p. 245). Pup production and
survival can increase when wolf density
is lower and food availability per wolf
increases (Fuller et al. 2003, p. 186).
Pack social structure is very adaptable
and resilient. Breeding members can be
quickly replaced either from within or
outside the pack, and pups can be
reared by another pack member, should
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their parents die (Boyd and Jimenez
1994, entire; Packard 2003, p. 38;
Brainerd et al. 2008; Mech 2006, p.
1482). Consequently, wolf populations
can rapidly recover from severe
disruptions, such as very high levels of
human-caused mortality or disease.
Wolf populations have been shown to
increase rapidly if mortality is reduced
after severe declines (Fuller et al. 2003,
pp. 181–183; Service et al. 2012, Table
4).
For detailed information on the
biology of this species see the ‘‘Biology
and Ecology of Gray Wolves’’ section of
the April 1, 2003, final rule to reclassify
and remove the gray wolf from the list
of endangered and threatened wildlife
in portions of the coterminous United
States (2003 Reclassification Rule) (68
FR 15804).
Recovery Planning and Implementation
This section includes a detailed
discussion of the recovery criteria
including their development,
continuous evaluation, and revision as
necessary. Additionally, this section
includes our summary of progress
towards recovery including an
assessment of whether the criteria are
met. This section discusses the entire
NRM population because the recovery
criteria apply to the entire population.
Recovery Planning and the
Development of Recovery Criteria—As
general background, recovery plans are
not regulatory documents, but are
instead intended to provide guidance to
the Service, States, and other partners
on methods of minimizing threats to
listed species and on criteria that may
be used to determine when recovery is
achieved. There are many paths to
accomplishing recovery of a species,
and recovery may be achieved without
all criteria being fully met. For example,
one or more criteria may have been
exceeded while other criteria may not
have been accomplished. In that
instance, the Service may judge that the
threats have been minimized
sufficiently, and the species is robust
enough to reclassify from endangered to
threatened or to delist. In other cases,
recovery opportunities may have been
recognized that were not known at the
time the recovery plan was finalized.
These opportunities may be used
instead of methods identified in the
recovery plan. Likewise, information on
the species may become available that
was not known at the time the recovery
plan was finalized. The new
information may change the extent that
criteria need to be met for recognizing
recovery of the species. Recovery of a
species is a dynamic process requiring
adaptive management that may, or may
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not, fully follow the guidance provided
in a recovery plan.
For NRM gray wolves, we formed the
Interagency Wolf Recovery Team to
complete a recovery plan for the NRM
population shortly after it was listed
(Service 1980, p. i; Fritts et al. 1995, p.
111). The NRM Wolf Recovery Plan
(recovery plan) was approved in 1980
(Service 1980, p. i) and revised in 1987
(Service 1987, p. i). The 1980 recovery
plan’s objective was to reestablish and
maintain viable populations of the NRM
wolf (C. l. irremotus) in its former range
where feasible (Service 1980, p. iii).
This plan did not include recovery goals
(i.e., delisting criteria). The 1980 plan
covered an area similar to the NRM
DPS, as it was once believed to be the
range of the purported NRM wolf
subspecies. It recommended that
recovery actions be focused on the large
areas of public land in northwestern
Montana, central Idaho, and the GYA.
The 1987 revised recovery plan (Service
1987, p. 57) concluded that the
subspecies designations may no longer
be valid and simply referred to gray
wolves in the NRM region. Consistent
with the 1980 plan, it also
recommended focusing recovery actions
on the large blocks of public land in the
NRM region.
The 1987 plan specified recovery
criteria of a minimum of 10 breeding
pairs of wolves (defined as 2 wolves of
opposite sex and adequate age, capable
of producing offspring) for a minimum
of 3 successive years in each of 3
distinct recovery areas including: (1)
Northwestern Montana (Glacier
National Park; the Great Bear, Bob
Marshall, and Lincoln Scapegoat
Wilderness Areas; and adjacent public
and private lands); (2) central Idaho
(Selway-Bitterroot, Gospel Hump, Frank
Church River of No Return, and
Sawtooth Wilderness Areas; and
adjacent, mostly Federal, lands); and (3)
the YNP area (including the AbsarokaBeartooth, North Absaroka, Washakie,
and Teton Wilderness Areas; and
adjacent public and private lands). That
plan recommended that wolf
establishment not be promoted outside
these distinct recovery areas, but it
encouraged connectivity between
recovery areas. However, no attempts
were made to prevent wolf pack
establishment outside of the recovery
areas unless chronic conflict required
resolution (Service 1994, pp. 1–15, 16;
Service 1999, p. 2). Since completion of
the 1987 recovery plan, we have
expended considerable effort to
develop, repeatedly reevaluate, and
when necessary modify, the recovery
goals (Service 1987, p. 12; Service 1994,
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appendix 8 and 9; Fritts and Carbyn
1995, p. 26; Bangs 2002, p. 1).
The 1994 Environmental Impact
Statement reviewed the wolf recovery
standards in the NRM region and the
adequacy of the recovery goals to assure
that the 1987 goals were sufficient
(Service 1994, pp. 6:68–78). We were
particularly concerned about the 1987
definition of a breeding pair because it
included two adult wolves ‘capable’ of
producing offspring instead of two adult
wolves that had actually produced
offspring. We also believed the
relatively small recovery areas
identified in the 1987 plan greatly
reduced the amount of area that could
be used by wolves and would almost
certainly eliminate the opportunity for
meaningful natural demographic and
genetic connectivity. We conducted a
thorough literature review of wolf
population viability analysis and
minimum viable populations, reviewed
the recovery goals for other wolf
populations, surveyed the opinions of
the top 43 wolf experts in North
America (of which 25 responded), and
incorporated our own expertise into a
review of the NRM wolf recovery goal.
We published our analysis in the 1994
Environmental Impact Statement and a
peer-reviewed paper (Service 1994,
appendix 8 & 9; Fritts and Carbyn 1995,
pp. 26–38).
Our 1994 analysis concluded that the
1987 recovery goal was, at best, a
minimum recovery goal, and that
modifications were warranted on the
basis of more recent information about
wolf distribution, connectivity, and
numbers. We also concluded, ‘‘Data on
survival of actual wolf populations
suggest greater resiliency than indicated
by theory,’’ and theoretical treatments of
population viability ‘‘have created
unnecessary dilemmas for wolf recovery
programs by overstating the required
population size’’ (Fritts and Carbyn
1995, p. 26). Based on our analysis, we
redefined a breeding pair as an adult
male and an adult female wolf that have
produced at least two pups that
survived until December 31 of the year
of their birth, during the previous
breeding season. We also concluded that
‘‘Thirty or more breeding pairs
comprising some 300+ wolves in a
metapopulation (a population that exists
as partially isolated sets of
subpopulations) with genetic exchange
between subpopulations should have a
high probability of long term
persistence’’ because it would contain
enough individuals in successfully
reproducing packs that were distributed
over distinct but somewhat connected
large areas, to be viable for the long term
(Service 1994, p. 6:75). We explicitly
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stated that the required genetic
exchange could occur by natural means
or by human-assisted migration
management and that dispersal of
wolves between recovery areas was
evidence of that genetic exchange
(Service et al. 1994, appendix 8, 9). In
defining a ‘‘Recovered Wolf
Population,’’ we found ‘‘in the northern
Rockies a recovered wolf population is
10 breeding pairs of wolves in each of
3 areas for 3 successive years with some
level of movement between areas’’
(Service 1994, pp. 6–7). We further
determined that a metapopulation of
this size and distribution among the
three areas of core suitable habitat in the
NRM DPS would result in a wolf
population that would fully achieve our
recovery objectives.
For more than 15 years, we have
concluded that movement of
individuals between the metapopulation
segments could occur either naturally or
by human-assisted migration
management (Service 1994, pp. 7–67).
Specifically, the 1994 Environmental
Impact Statement stated ‘‘The
importance of movement of individuals
between subpopulations cannot be
overemphasized. The dispersal ability of
wolves makes such movement likely,
unless wolves were heavily exploited
between recovery areas, as could
happen in the more developed corridor
between central Idaho and YNP.
Intensive migration management might
become necessary if 1 of the 3
subpopulations should develop genetic
or demographic problems’’ (Service
1994, pp. 7–67). The finding went on to
say that human-assisted migration
should not be viewed negatively and
would be necessary in other wolf
recovery programs (Service 1994, pp. 7–
67). Furthermore, we found that the
1987 wolf recovery plan’s population
goal of 10 breeding pairs of wolves in
3 separate recovery areas for 3
consecutive years was reasonably sound
and would maintain a viable wolf
population into the foreseeable future.
We did caution that the numerical
recovery goal was somewhat
conservative, and should be considered
minimal (Service 1994, pp. 6–75).
We conducted another review of what
constitutes a recovered wolf population
in late 2001 and early 2002 to reevaluate
and update our 1994 analysis and
conclusions (Service 1994, appendix 9).
We attempted to resurvey the same 43
experts we had contacted in 1994 as
well as 43 other biologists from North
America and Europe who were
recognized experts about wolves and
conservation biology. We asked experts
with a wide diversity of perspectives to
participate in our review. In total, 53
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people provided their expert opinions
regarding a wide range of issues related
to the NRM recovery goal. We also
reviewed a wide range of literature,
including wolf population viability
analyses from other areas (Bangs 2002,
pp. 1–9).
Despite varied professional opinions
and a great diversity of suggestions,
experts overwhelmingly thought the
recovery goal derived in our 1994
analysis was more biologically
appropriate than the 1987 recovery
plan’s criteria for recovery and
represented a viable and recovered wolf
population. Reviewers also thought
genetic exchange, either natural or
human-facilitated, was important to
maintaining the metapopulation
configuration and wolf population
viability. Reviewers also believed the
proven ability of a breeding pair to show
successful reproduction was a necessary
component of a biologically meaningful
breeding pair definition. Reviewers
recommended other concepts/numbers
for recovery goals, but most were slight
modifications to those we recommended
in our 1994 analysis. While experts
strongly (78 percent) supported our
1994 conclusions regarding a viable
wolf population, they also tended to
believe that wolf population viability
was enhanced by higher, rather than
lower, population levels and longer,
rather than shorter, demonstrated
timeframes. A common minority
recommendation was an alternative goal
of 500 wolves and 5 years. A slight
majority of reviewers indicated that
even the 1987 recovery goal of only 10
breeding pairs (defined as a male and
female capable of breeding) in each of
3 distinct recovery areas may be viable,
given the persistence of other small wolf
populations in other parts of the world.
Based on the above review and
considering all available information,
we reaffirmed our more relevant and
stringent 1994 definition of wolf
breeding pairs, population viability, and
recovery (Service 1994, p. 6:75; Bangs
2002, pp. 1–9).
We measure the wolf recovery goal by
the number of breeding pairs as well as
by the number of wolves because wolf
populations are maintained by packs
that successfully raise pups. We use
‘‘breeding pairs’’ (packs that have at
least one adult male and at least one
adult female and that raised at least two
pups until December 31) to describe
successfully reproducing packs (Service
1994, p. 6:67; Bangs 2002, pp. 7–8;
Mitchell et al. 2008, p. 881; Mitchell et
al. 2010, p. 101). The breeding pair
metric includes most of the important
biological concepts in wolf
conservation, including the potential
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disruption of human-caused mortality
that might affect breeding success in
social carnivores (Brainerd et al. 2008,
p. 89; Wallach et al. 2009, p. 1; Creel
and Rotella 2010, p. 1). Specifically, we
thought it was important for breeding
pairs to have: Both male and female
members together going into the
February breeding season; successful
occupation of a territory (generally 500–
1,300 km2 (200–500 mi2)); enough pups
to replace themselves; offspring that
become yearling dispersers; at least four
wolves at the end of the year, which is
near the population low point (note that
the absolute low point occurs in April
just before pups are born); all social
structures and age classes represented
within a wolf population; and adults
that can raise and mentor younger
wolves.
We also determined that an equitable
distribution of wolf breeding pairs and
individual wolves among the three
States and the three recovery areas is an
essential part of achieving recovery.
Like peer reviewers in 1994 and 2002,
we concluded that NRM wolf recovery
and long term wolf population viability
is dependent on its distribution as well
as maintaining the minimum numbers
of breeding pairs and wolves. Uniform
distribution is not necessary. But a welldistributed population is necessary to
maintain proportionate numbers of
packs and individuals in all three
recovery areas. This approach will
maintain wolf distribution in and
adjacent to all three recovery areas and
most of the region’s suitable habitat.
Such an approach will retain sizable
subpopulations within easily traversable
distances from one another and, thus,
facilitate natural connectivity.
Following the 2002 review of our
recovery criteria, we began to use States,
in addition to recovery areas, to measure
progress toward recovery goals (Service
et al. 2003–2012, Table 4). Because
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming each
contain the vast majority of one of the
original three core recovery areas, we
determined the metapopulation
structure would be best conserved by
equally dividing the overall recovery
goal between the three States (73 FR
10514, February 27, 2008, p. 10522).
This approach made each State’s
responsibility for wolf conservation fair,
consistent, and clear. It avoided any
possible confusion that one State might
assume the responsibility for
maintaining the required number of
wolves and wolf breeding pairs in a
shared recovery area that was the
responsibility of the adjacent State.
State regulatory authorities and
traditional management of resident
game populations occur on a State-by-
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State basis. We determined that
management by State would still
maintain a sizable wolf population in
each core recovery area because they
each contain manmade or natural
refugia from intensive human-caused
mortality (e.g., wilderness and roadless
areas, National Parks, and remote
Federal lands) that provide a stronghold
for wolf populations in each State.
Recovery targets by State promote
connectivity and genetic exchange
between the metapopulation segments
by avoiding management that focuses
solely on wolf breeding pairs in
relatively distinct core recovery areas.
This approach also will increase the
numbers of potential wolf breeding
pairs in the GYA because it is shared by
all three States. A large and welldistributed population within the GYA
is especially important because it is the
most isolated recovery segment within
the NRM DPS (Oakleaf et al. 2006, p.
554; vonHoldt et al. 2007, p. 19).
To recap, we have expended
considerable effort to develop,
repeatedly reevaluate, and, when
necessary, modify, these recovery goals
(Service 1980; Service 1987; Service
1994, appendix 8 and 9; Fritts and
Carbyn 1995; Bangs 2002, entire). The
1980 recovery plan required simply that
we reestablish and maintain viable
populations within its former range
where feasible. The 1987 recovery plan
further quantified the goals by requiring
a minimum of 10 breeding pairs of
wolves (defined as 2 wolves of opposite
sex and adequate age, capable of
producing offspring) for a minimum of
3 successive years in northwestern
Montana, central Idaho, and the YNP
area. In 1994, we revised the definition
of a breeding pair (redefined as an adult
male and an adult female wolf that have
produced at least two pups that
survived until December 31 of the year
of their birth, during the previous
breeding season) and added a
requirement that there be genetic
exchange (preferably natural, but human
assisted if needed) between
subpopulations. In 2002, we conducted
a peer review of the above information,
which led us to reaffirm the conclusions
reached above (i.e., the definition of
wolf breeding pairs, our view of
population viability, and what
constitutes recovery), but moved us
towards counting recovery by State in
addition to by recovery area.
Finally, every NRM rulemaking
conducted over the last decade has also
included a peer review in which
reviewers were asked to weigh in on our
conclusions. The vast majority of these
reviewers supported our conclusion on
long term population viability assuming
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these criteria were maintained. In the
most recent peer review, four of the five
peer reviewers concurred with our
conclusion that the Wyoming wolf
population, whose management is to be
driven by the recovery goals, would
continue to be a viable population after
delisting (Atkins 2011, pp. 6, 10; Atkins
2012, p. 3). Those peer reviewers who
specifically addressed the recovery
criteria were unanimously supportive of
the criteria (Atkins 2011, appendix B).
For example, Dr. Scott Mills stated that
the thresholds for delisting are
consistent with current state-of-the-art
viability analysis science and are an
appropriate standard for delisting
(Atkins 2011, p. 60). Similarly, Dr.
David Mech concluded that the recovery
criteria still seem adequate (Atkins
2011, p. 73). None of the reviews
provided by the independent peer
reviewers challenged the adequacy of
the recovery criteria (Atkins 2011,
appendix B).
The numerical component of the
recovery goal represents the minimum
number of breeding pairs and individual
wolves needed to achieve and maintain
recovery. Because the NRM wolf
population must always exceed the
recovery goal of 30 breeding pairs and
300 wolves, we required that Montana
and Idaho each manage for at least 15
breeding pairs and at least 150 wolves
in mid-winter. This 50 percent safety
margin above minimum recovery levels
was intended to provide an adequate
safety margin, recognizing that all
wildlife populations, including wolves,
can fluctuate widely over a relatively
short period of time. Managing for a
buffer above the minimum recovery
target is consistent with our 1994
determination that the addition of a few
extra pairs would add security to the
population and should be considered in
future management planning (Service
1994, pp. 6–75). Additionally, because
the recovery goal components are
measured in mid-winter when the wolf
population is near its annual low point
(note the absolute low point occurs in
April just before spring litters are born),
the average annual wolf population will
be higher than these minimal goals.
Because Wyoming, unlike Montana
and Idaho, has a large portion of its wolf
population in areas outside the State’s
control (e.g., YNP and the Wind River
Indian Reservation), we developed an
approach for Wyoming that recognizes
this fact, but still holds the State to the
same commitment to achieve the
desired safety margin above the
minimum recovery goal. Specifically,
we determined that at least 10 breeding
pairs and at least 100 wolves at midwinter in Wyoming outside YNP and
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the Wind River Indian Reservation will
satisfy Wyoming’s contribution to NRM
gray wolf recovery. Under this
approach, the wolf populations in YNP
and the Wind River Indian Reservation
will provide a buffer above the
minimum recovery goal. We conclude
that the YNP wolf population can
effectively buffer the rest of the
Wyoming wolf population because of
the amount of available habitat in the
park, the sizable wolf population the
park does now and will continue to
support, and the relative security of the
park population.
Wyoming’s wolf population will be
further buffered because WGFD intends
to maintain an adequate buffer above
minimum population objectives to
accommodate management needs so
that uncontrollable sources of mortality
do not drop the population in Wyoming
outside of YNP and the Wind River
Indian Reservation below the 10
breeding pair and 100 wolf minimum
population levels (WGFC 2011, p. 24;
WGFC 2012, pp. 3–5). The State of
Wyoming also intends to coordinate
with YNP and the Wind River Indian
Reservation to contribute to the
objective of at least 15 breeding pairs
and at least 150 wolves statewide,
including YNP and the Wind River
Indian Reservation. This approach in
Wyoming is biologically superior to a
single statewide standard in that: It
provides population stability outside
the park, minimizing the chances of a
bad year in YNP compromising
maintenance of the minimum recovery
goal; it adds an extra layer of
representation, resiliency, and
redundancy to the GYA’s gray wolf
population; and it builds public
tolerance for a minimum wolf
population outside YNP. Further
justification for this approach to wolf
management after delisting and an
additional explanation of why we view
this approach as superior for wolf
conservation in Wyoming long term is
included in Issue and Response 18
below.
To summarize, based on the
information above, the current recovery
goal for the NRM gray wolf population
is: Thirty or more breeding pairs (an
adult male and an adult female that
raise at least two pups until December
31) comprising 300+ wolves welldistributed between Montana, Idaho,
and Wyoming functioning as a
metapopulation (a population that exists
as partially isolated sets of
subpopulations) with genetic exchange
(either natural or, if necessary, agencymanaged) between subpopulations. This
goal further holds Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming to each maintain a population
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of at least 10 breeding pairs and at least
100 wolves at the end of the year. To
provide that these minimum levels are
not compromised, Montana and Idaho
each are required to manage for a
population minimum of at least 15
breeding pairs and at least 150 wolves
at the end of the year. So as not to risk
relisting and to provide management
flexibility, Montana and Idaho intend to
manage well above these minimum
required levels. In Wyoming, the State
will maintain the entire minimum
recovery goal of at least 10 breeding
pairs and at least 100 wolves outside of
YNP and the Wind River Indian
Reservation. So as not to risk relisting
and to provide management flexibility,
Wyoming also intends to manage well
above these minimum required levels. A
sizable wolf population in YNP and in
the Wind River Indian Reservation will
further buffer the population so that
minimum recovery goals are not
compromised. Our recovery and postdelisting management goals were
designed to provide the NRM gray wolf
population with sufficient
representation, resilience, and
redundancy for their long term
conservation. After evaluating all
available information, we conclude that
the best scientific and commercial
information available indicates the
population will remain viable following
delisting if the recovery targets continue
to be met.
Monitoring and Managing Recovery—
In 1989, we formed an Interagency Wolf
Working Group (Working Group)
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composed of Federal, State, and Tribal
agency personnel (Bangs 1991, p. 7;
Fritts et al. 1995, p. 109; Service et al.
1989–2012, p. 1). The Working Group
conducted four basic recovery tasks, in
addition to the standard enforcement
functions associated with the take of a
listed species. These tasks were: (1)
Monitor wolf distribution and numbers;
(2) control wolves that attacked
livestock by moving them, conducting
other nonlethal measures, or by killing
them (Bangs et al. 2006, p. 7); (3)
conduct research and publish scientific
publications on wolf relationships to
ungulate prey, other carnivores and
scavengers, livestock, and people; and
(4) provide accurate science-based
information to the public and mass
media so that people could develop
their opinions about wolves and wolf
management from an informed
perspective.
The minimum size and distribution of
the wolf population is estimated by the
Working Group each year and, along
with other information, is published in
an interagency annual report (Service et
al. 1989–2012, Table 4, Figure 1). Since
the early 1980s, the Service and our
cooperating partners have radio-collared
and monitored approximately 2,000
wolves in the NRM region to assess
population status, conduct research, and
to reduce/resolve conflict with
livestock. The Working Group’s annual
minimum population estimates
represent the best scientific and
commercial data available regarding
minimum year-end NRM gray wolf
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population size and trends, as well as
distributional and other information.
Recovery by State—At the end of
calendar year 2000, the NRM population
first met its overall numerical and
distributional recovery goal of a
minimum of 30 breeding pairs and more
than 300 wolves well-distributed among
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming (68 FR
15804, April 1, 2003; Service et al. 2012,
Table 4). Because the recovery goal must
be achieved for 3 consecutive years, the
temporal element of recovery was not
achieved until the end of 2002 when at
least 663 wolves and at least 49
breeding pairs were present (Service et
al. 2012, Table 4). By the end of 2011,
the NRM wolf population achieved its
numerical and distributional recovery
goal for 12 consecutive years, while the
temporal portion of the recovery
criterion has been met for 10
consecutive years (Service et al. 2012,
Table 4; 68 FR 15804, April 1, 2003; 71
FR 6634, February 8, 2006). By the end
of 2011, the NRM gray wolf population
included a minimum population
estimate of 1,774 wolves (including at
least: 653 in Montana; 746 in Idaho; 328
in Wyoming; 18 in Washington; and 29
in Oregon) in 109 breeding pairs
(including at least: 39 in Montana; 40 in
Idaho; 27 in Wyoming; 2 in Washington;
and 1 in Oregon). Distribution at the end
of 2011 is illustrated in Figure 2.
Population trends through the end of
2011 are illustrated in Figure 3.
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Recovery by Recovery Area—As
discussed previously, after the 2002
peer review of the wolf recovery efforts,
we began using States, in addition to
recovery areas, to measure progress
toward recovery goals (Service et al.
2003–2012, Table 4). However, because
the 1987 Recovery Plan (Service 1987,
pp. v, 12, 23) included goals for core
recovery areas, we have included the
following discussion on the history of
the recovery efforts and status of these
core recovery areas, including how the
wolf population’s distribution and
metapopulation structure is important
to maintaining its viability and how the
biological characteristics of each core
recovery area differ (Service et al. 2012,
Table 4).
The Northwestern Montana Recovery
Area’s 84,800 km2 (33,386 mi2)
includes: Glacier National Park; the
Great Bear, Bob Marshall, and Lincoln
Scapegoat Wilderness Areas; and
adjacent public and private lands in
northern Montana and the northern
Idaho panhandle. Wolves in this
recovery area were listed and managed
as endangered species. Wolves naturally
recolonized this area from Canada.
Reproduction first occurred in
northwestern Montana in 1986 (Ream et
al. 1989, entire). The natural ability of
wolves to find and quickly recolonize
empty habitat (Mech and Boitani 2003,
pp. 17–19), the interim control plan
(Service 1988, 1999, entire), and the
interagency recovery program combined
to effectively promote an increase in
wolf numbers (Bangs 1991, pp. 7–13).
By 1996, the number of known wolves
had grown to about 70 wolves in 7
known breeding pairs. However, from
1996 through 2004, the minimum
estimated number of breeding pairs and
wolves in northwestern Montana
fluctuated at a low level, partly due to
actual population size and partly due to
limited monitoring effort. However,
since 2005, it has steadily increased
(Service et al. 2012, Table 4). At the end
of 2011, we estimated a minimum of
431 wolves in 25 breeding pairs in the
northwestern Montana recovery area
(Service et al. 2012, Table 4).
The Northwestern Montana Recovery
Area has sustained fewer wolves than
the other recovery areas because there is
less suitable habitat and it is naturally
more fragmented (Oakleaf et al. 2006, p.
560; Smith et al. 2010, p. 622). Some of
the variation in our minimum wolf
population estimates for northwestern
Montana is also due to the difficulty of
counting wolves in the area’s thick
forests. Wolves in northwestern
Montana also prey mainly on whitetailed deer, resulting in smaller packs
and territories, which lower the chances
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of detecting a pack (Bangs et al. 1998,
p. 878). Increased monitoring efforts in
northwestern Montana by Montana
Fish, Wildlife and Parks since 2005
were likely responsible for more
accurate minimum population
estimates. Wolf numbers in 2003 and
2004 also likely exceeded 10 breeding
pairs and 100 wolves, but were not
documented simply due to less
intensive monitoring those years
(Service et al. 2012, Table 4). By the end
of 2011, this recovery area contained
more than 10 breeding pairs and 100
wolves for the seventh consecutive year
(2005–2011), and probably did so for the
last 10 years (2002–2011) (Service et al.
2012, Table 4).
Routine dispersal of wolves has been
documented among northwestern
Montana, central Idaho, and adjacent
Canadian populations demonstrating
that northwestern Montana’s wolves are
demographically and genetically linked
to both the wolf population in Canada
and in central Idaho (Pletscher et al.
1991, pp. 547–548; Boyd and Pletscher
1999, pp. 1105–1106; Sime 2007;
vonHoldt et al. 2010, p. 4412; Jimenez
et al. In review, p. 1). Because of fairly
contiguous but fractured suitable
habitat, wolves dispersing into
northwestern Montana from both
directions will continue to join or form
new packs and supplement this segment
of the overall wolf population (Forbes
and Boyd 1996, p. 1082; Forbes and
Boyd 1997, p. 1226; Boyd et al. 1995, p.
140; vonHoldt et al. 2007, p. 19;
vonHoldt et al. 2010; Thiessen 2007, p.
50; Sime 2007; Jimenez et al. In review,
p. 1).
Unlike YNP or the central Idaho
Wilderness complex, northwestern
Montana lacks a large core refugium that
contains large numbers of overwintering
wild ungulates and few livestock.
Therefore, wolf numbers may not ever
be as high in northwestern Montana as
they are in the central Idaho or the GYA
recovery areas. However, wolves have
persisted in this area for over 30 years,
the population is robust today, and
habitat there is capable of supporting
hundreds of wolves (Service et al. 2012,
Table 4). State management, pursuant to
the Montana State wolf management
plan (Montana Wolf Management
Advisory Council 2003), provides that
this population segment will continue
to thrive.
The Central Idaho Recovery Area’s
53,600 km2 (20,700 mi2) includes the
Selway-Bitterroot, Gospel Hump, Frank
Church River of No Return, and
Sawtooth Wilderness Areas; adjacent,
mostly Federal lands, in central Idaho;
and adjacent parts of southwestern
Montana (Service 1994, p. iv). In
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January 1995, 15 young adult wolves
from Alberta, Canada, were released in
central Idaho (Bangs and Fritts 1996, p.
409; Fritts et al. 1997, p. 7). In January
1996, an additional 20 wolves from
British Columbia were released (Bangs
et al. 1998, p. 787). Central Idaho
contains the greatest amount of highly
suitable wolf habitat compared to either
northwestern Montana or the GYA
(Oakleaf et al. 2006, p. 559).
Consequently, the central Idaho area
population has grown substantially and
expanded its range since reintroduction.
As in the Northwestern Montana
Recovery Area, some of the Central
Idaho Recovery Area’s increase in its
minimum wolf population estimate
beginning in 2005 was likely due to an
increased monitoring effort by Idaho
Department of Fish and Game. The
central Idaho population peaked in 2008
and appears to have declined since then
(Service et al. 2012, Table 4). We
estimated a minimum of 797 wolves in
43 breeding pairs in the central Idaho
recovery area at the end of 2011 (Service
et al. 2012, Table 4). This recovery area
has contained at least 10 breeding pairs
and at least 100 wolves for 14
consecutive years (1998–2011) (Service
et al. 2012; Table 4).
The GYA recovery area (63,700 km2
(24,600 mi2)) includes portions of
southeastern Montana, eastern Idaho,
and northwestern Wyoming. Portions of
Wyoming that are occupied by wolves
(Figure 1 above) include most of YNP,
Grand Teton National Park, and John D.
Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway; the
Absaroka Beartooth, Bridger,
Fitzpatrick, Gros Ventre, Jedediah
Smith, North Absaroka, Popo Agie,
Teton, Washakie, and Winegar Hole
Wilderness Areas; the Dubois Badlands,
Owl Creek, Scab Creek, and Whiskey
Mountain Wilderness Study Areas; and
adjacent public and private lands
(Service 1994, p. iv). Much of the
wilderness portions of the GYA are only
used seasonally by wolves due to high
elevation, deep snow, and low
productivity (in terms of sustaining
year-round wild ungulate populations)
(Service et al. 2012, Figure 3; 71 FR
43410, August 1, 2006). In 1995, 14
wolves representing 3 family groups
from Alberta were released in YNP
(Bangs and Fritts 1996, p. 409; Fritts et
al. 1997, p. 7; Phillips and Smith 1996,
pp. 33–43). In 1996, this procedure was
repeated with 17 wolves representing 4
family groups from British Columbia.
Finally, 10 pups were removed from
northwestern Montana in a wolf control
action and released in YNP in the spring
of 1997 (Bangs et al. 1998, p. 787). Two
of these pups became breeding adults
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and their genetic signature is common
both in YNP and the GYA (vonHoldt et
al. 2010, p. 4421). We estimated a
minimum of 499 wolves and 38
breeding pairs were in the GYA at the
end of 2011 (Service et al. 2012, Table
4). By the end of 2011, this recovery
area had at least 10 breeding pairs and
at least 100 wolves for twelve
consecutive years (2000–2011) (Service
et al. 2012, Table 4).
Wolf numbers in the GYA were
relatively stable from 2007 through 2009
with around 450 wolves and between 33
and 38 breeding pairs (Service et al.
2012, Table 4). In 2010 and 2011, the
GYA population grew to about 500
wolves with 37 to 38 breeding pairs,
primarily because numbers of wolves
outside YNP in Wyoming grew while
wolves in YNP have declined.
Specifically, wolves in YNP declined
from highs of around 170 wolves and
between 11 and 16 breeding pairs in
2003, 2004, and 2007 to around 100
wolves and between 6 and 8 breeding
pairs in 2009, 2010, and 2011 (Service
et al. 1998–2012, Table 2). This decline
in YNP likely occurred because: (1)
Highly suitable habitat in YNP was
saturated with wolf packs; (2) conflict
among packs appeared to limit
population density; (3) fewer elk occur
in YNP than when reintroduction took
place (White and Garrott 2006, p. 942;
Vucetich et al. 2005, p. 259); and (4)
suspected outbreaks of disease in 2005
and 2008 (canine distemper (CD) or
possibly canine parvovirus (CPV))
reduced pup survival to 20 percent
(Service et al. 2006, 2009, Table 2;
Smith et al. 2006, p. 244; Smith and
Almberg 2007, pp. 17–20; Almberg et al.
2010, p. 2058). YNP predicts wolf
numbers in YNP may settle into a lower
equilibrium long term (Smith 2012).
Maintaining wolf populations safely
above recovery levels and promoting
demographic and genetic exchange in
the GYA segment of the NRM DPS will
depend on wolf packs living outside the
National Park and wilderness portions
of northwestern Wyoming and
southwestern Montana (vonHoldt et al.
2010, p. 4422).
Genetic Exchange Relative to our
Recovery Criteria—Finally, as noted
above, the recovery criteria requires the
NRM DPS to function as a
metapopulation (a population that exists
as partially isolated sets of
subpopulations) with genetic exchange
between subpopulations. The available
data conclusively demonstrate that this
portion of the recovery criteria (i.e.,
‘‘genetic exchange’’) is met. Specifically,
vonHoldt et al. (2010, p. 4412)
demonstrated 5.4 effective migrants per
generation among the subpopulations
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from 1995 through 2004 when the NRM
region contained between 101 and 846
wolves. Dispersal data of radio-collared
wolves also demonstrates genetic
exchange satisfying this criteria (Boyd
and Pletscher 1999, pp. 1105–1106;
Jimenez et al. In review, entire). This
issue is discussed further in Factor E
below.
Conclusion on Progress Towards our
Recovery Goals—Given the above, the
best scientific and commercial
information available demonstrates that
all prongs of the recovery criteria are
met. The numeric and distributional
components of the overarching recovery
goal have been exceeded for 12
consecutive years, while the temporal
portion of the recovery criterion has
been met for 10 consecutive years.
Furthermore, Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming have each individually met or
exceeded the minimum per-State
recovery targets every year since at least
2002 and met or exceeded the minimum
management targets every year since at
least 2004. It is also worth noting that
each of the recovery areas (which were
originally used to measure progress
towards recovery) have been
documented at or above 10 breeding
pairs and at least 100 wolves every year
since 2005 (and probably exceeded
these levels every year since 2002)
(Service et al. 2012, Table 4). Finally,
the available evidence demonstrates that
the NRM gray wolf population is
functioning as a metapopulation with
gene flow between subpopulations.
Thus, we conclude that the population
has recovered.
Summary of Comments and
Recommendations
On October 5, 2011, we opened a 100day comment period in which
interested parties could submit
comments or information on the
proposal (76 FR 61782). This proposal
relied heavily on Wyoming’s wolf
management plan and noted that
conforming changes to State law and
regulations would be required to allow
Wyoming’s plan to be implemented as
written. Wyoming modified its State
statutes and implementing regulations
and amended its wolf management plan
in early 2012. On May 1, 2012, we
reopened the comment period for 15
days so the public could comment on
the proposal in light of these new or
revised management documents (77 FR
25664, May 1, 2012).
In total, the comment period was
open from October 5, 2011, through
January 13, 2012, and from May 1, 2012,
through May 16, 2012 (76 FR 61782,
October 5, 2011; 77 FR 25664, May 1,
2012). We also held a public hearing
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and an open house on the proposal on
November 15, 2011, in Riverton,
Wyoming (76 FR 61782, October 5,
2011). Collectively, during the 115-day
comment period, we received
approximately 250,000 comments.
Comments were submitted by a wide
array of parties, including the general
public, environmental organizations,
groups representing outdoor
recreational interests, agricultural
organizations, and Federal, State, and
local governments.
In accordance with our Interagency
Policy for Peer Review in Endangered
Species Act Activities (59 FR 34270,
July 1, 1994), the proposed rule
underwent peer review. Specifically, we
contracted with an independent
consultant to assemble a scientific peer
review to review the proposed rule and
its supporting information, including
the Wyoming wolf management plan.
This report was delivered to the Service
and posted online for public review and
comment in late 2011. While the peer
review report was largely supportive of
the scientific basis, analysis, and
conclusions of the delisting proposal,
the peer review report made a number
of suggestions including recommending
Wyoming further clarify how it intends
to meet its management objectives in the
face of multiple human-caused
mortality factors. Following revision to
the State law, regulations and
management plan, we reopened the
comment period. Accordingly, the
independent expert peer reviewers were
provided an opportunity to revise or
supplement their review during the
reopened comment period.
We reviewed and considered all
comments in this final decision.
Substantive comments received during
the comment periods and new
information have been addressed below
or incorporated directly into this final
rule. Comments of a similar nature are
grouped together under subject headings
in a series of ‘‘Issues’’ and ‘‘Responses.’’
Technical and Editorial Comments
Issue 1: Numerous technical and
editorial comments and corrections
were provided by respondents on
various parts of the proposal. Several
peer reviewers and others suggested or
provided additional literature to
consider in the final rule.
Response 1: We corrected and
updated this final rule wherever
appropriate and possible. We
considered scientific publications and
other literature recommended by peer
reviewers and others. This information
was incorporated, as appropriate, into
this final rule.
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Issue 2: Some comments noted that
the population estimates provided
would be more accurately described as
minimum population estimates because
the method of only counting confirmed
wolves underestimates the wolf
population. A few comments noted that
more wolves exist in Wyoming than
show up on our description of
abundance and illustrations of
distribution (i.e., Figures 1 and 2 in the
proposed rule (76 FR 61872, October 5,
2011)). Similarly, the peer reviewers
suggested that, while these data are
indicative of trends, they should not be
used to characterize or quantify small
year-to-year changes in the population.
One peer reviewer recommended that
Wyoming’s monitoring protocols
incorporate detection probabilities into
its methodology. Other comments
questioned the methods used to
estimate population levels (particularly
in Montana and Idaho) and suggested
the resulting estimates were flawed. A
few comments suggested our population
estimates in Montana and Idaho were
likely too optimistic given the ongoing
hunts. Some comments suggested
erroneous population estimates
undermined the legitimacy of hunting
quotas.
Response 2: We agree that end-of-year
population estimates should be referred
to as population minimums as we only
count confirmed wolves, packs, and
reproduction. Furthermore, we
recognize that while our population
data are a reasonably good indicator of
relative changes and general trends over
time, they should not be used to
indicate exact year-to-year changes. We
have modified our discussion of
population estimates and changes over
time throughout the rule to reflect these
facts. Similarly, our illustration of wolf
packs and their home range only
illustrates confirmed packs and their
home range if known. Thus, should any
undocumented packs or lone wolves
exist, they would not be illustrated in
Figures 1 and 2. Additionally, because
the population is measured in midwinter when the wolf population is near
its annual low point (note the absolute
low point occurs in April just before
spring litters are born), the average
annual wolf population will be higher
than these minimal estimates. Although
there have been some criticisms of the
methods Montana and Idaho employ to
estimate minimum wolf abundance,
distribution, and trends, we have the
utmost confidence these numbers are
reliable and, if anything, underestimate
actual abundance and distribution at the
end of the year. The monitoring
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methods for each State are further
described below.
Montana wolf packs are monitored
year round. Common wolf monitoring
techniques include direct observational
counts, howling and track surveys, use
of trail cameras, and public wolf reports.
Montana Fish, Wildlife, and Parks seeks
to document pack size and breeding pair
status of known packs, to verify wolf
activity in new areas that can result in
new packs forming, to document
dispersal to the extent possible and
assess connectivity, to determine pack
territories, and to identify potentially
affected private landowners and
livestock producers. Montana Fish,
Wildlife, and Parks conducts ground
tracking and aerial telemetry 1 to 2
times per month to locate radio-collared
animals, determine localized use
throughout the year, and document the
number of wolves traveling together.
Den and rendezvous sites are visited to
document reproduction. Additional
information is collected, such as
identification of private lands used by
wolves, identification of public land
grazing allotments where conflicts could
occur, and common travel patterns.
Monthly or semimonthly telemetry
flights throughout summer and fall keep
track of wolf numbers and status.
At the end of the year, Montana Fish,
Wildlife, and Parks compiles
information gathered through field
surveys, telemetry, and public reporting
to estimate the minimum number of
wolves in each pack, lone dispersing
animals, and successful breeding pairs
(an adult male and a female wolf that
have produced at least two pups that
survived until December 31). The total
number of packs is determined by
counting the number of packs with two
or more individual animals that existed
on the Montana landscape on December
31. If a pack was removed because of
livestock conflicts or otherwise did not
exist at the end of the calendar year (e.g.
as the result of disease, natural/illegal
mortality, or dispersal), it is not
included in the year-end total or
displayed on the Montana wolf pack
distribution map for that calendar year.
The statewide minimum wolf
population is estimated by adding up
the number of observed wolves in
verified packs and known lone animals
as of December 31 each year. This is a
minimum count and has been reported
as such since wolves first began
recolonizing northwest Montana in the
mid-1980s. Suspected wolf packs are
those that could not be verified with
confidence. They are not included in
the final minimum estimated count.
Suspected packs may or may not persist.
This information is used to make
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decisions to address wolf-livestock
conflicts, to set wolf hunting and
trapping regulations, and to set harvest
quotas. We conclude that Montana’s
monitoring methods and resulting
minimum population estimates is more
than adequate to inform wolf
management decisions, and as a reliable
indicator of the population’s recovered
status.
The Idaho Department of Fish and
Game and the Nez Perce Tribe use wolf
observation reports from agencies and
the public to locate areas of suspected
wolf activity and verify wolf presence.
Field crews may decide to capture and
radio-collar wolves. Radio-collared
wolves are then located from the air one
or more times per month dependent on
a host of factors including funding,
personnel, aircraft availability, weather,
and other priorities. At the end of the
year, they then compile agencyconfirmed wolf observations to estimate
the minimum number and location of
adult wolves and pups that were likely
alive on December 31 of that year. The
Idaho Department of Fish and Game and
the Nez Perce Tribe estimate minimum
wolf numbers, distribution, and
breeding success by radio-collaring
selected packs from representative areas
across the State. Wolves are captured
through foothold trapping in summer or
helicopter darting in winter, and
monitored one or more times per month
via aerial telemetry. In addition, in
recent years Idaho has been placing 20
or more GPS collars on wolves each
year; these collars record locations and
mortality status several times per day.
Pack size and movements are monitored
throughout the summer and fall via
telemetry. Potential dens and
rendezvous sites are identified through
telemetry flights (2+ locations in the
same area) during summer months
(May-September) or ground telemetry
and ground searches. Once identified,
biologists investigate on the ground to
confirm reproduction and count pups.
In winter (December–January), the
Idaho Department of Fish and Game and
the Nez Perce Tribe increase flight
frequencies to twice monthly to obtain
pack counts and document breeding
pairs. If four or more wolves are counted
and reproduction was confirmed in
summer, the pack is confirmed as a
successful breeding pair unless
additional information suggests
otherwise (e.g., documented mortality
that reduced pack size below two adults
and two pups). To estimate state-wide
minimum population numbers, the
number of wolves detected in
documented packs with complete
counts is added to an estimate of wolves
in documented packs without complete
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counts, plus the number of wolves
documented in wolf groups that do not
qualify as a pack, and adjusted for lone
wolves. We conclude that the
monitoring methods employed in Idaho
and resulting minimum population
estimates are more than adequate to
inform wolf management decisions and
are a reliable indicator of the
population’s recovered status.
In Wyoming, the WGFD will continue
to implement existing protocols and
techniques employed by the Service and
YNP, which have provided adequate
documentation of wolf population
status, to determine whether the
recovery criteria have been met (WGFC
2011, p. 19). These methodologies are
further described in the ‘‘Post-Delisting
Monitoring’’ section of the rule below
and the ‘‘Population Monitoring’’
section of the Wyoming Wolf
Management Plan (WGFC 2011, pp. 17–
21).
The above techniques have proven a
reliable indicator of distribution,
abundance, and trends, are more than
adequate to inform wolf management
decisions, and are a reliable indicator of
the population’s recovered status. That
said, we fully recognize and anticipate
that monitoring techniques may change
through time as new knowledge
becomes available and as the parties
responsible for monitoring gain
additional experience at wolf
management and conservation. For
example, we anticipate parties
responsible for monitoring may use
other survey methods and data that are
biologically equivalent to the breeding
pair definition. Similarly, new
techniques may allow for incorporation
of a detection probability as part of the
abundance estimation protocol.
The Delisting Process and Compliance
With Applicable Laws, Regulations, and
Policy
Issue 3: A few comments requested
that we provide additional
opportunities for public comment by
holding additional public hearings or
extending the public comment period.
Some comments objected to the
proposed delisting rule’s reliance on
Wyoming’s wolf management plan
when Wyoming laws and regulations,
which trump the management plan, had
not yet been revised. These comments
suggested we must reopen the comment
period on the proposal once these
revised documents were finalized.
Response 3: We provided ample
opportunity for public comment on our
proposed rule. This included an initial
100-day public comment period, an
informational meeting and public
hearing, and an additional 15-day
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public comment period starting May 1,
2012 (76 FR 61782, October 5, 2011; 77
FR 25664, May 1, 2012). All
opportunities to comment were
announced in the Federal Register,
posted on our Web site and in our
monthly wolf reports, and publicized in
local and national press releases. An
informational meeting and a public
hearing were both held in Riverton,
Wyoming, on November 15, 2011 (76 FR
61782, October 5, 2011). Riverton was
selected because of its central location
and proximity to the portions of
Wyoming most affected by decisions on
wolf management. Given the fact that
we satisfied section 4(b)(5)(E)’s statutory
requirement for public hearings on this
rule, the limited interest the Riverton
hearing garnered (only 10 individuals
offered formal testimony at the hearing),
and the substantial expense related to
conducting public hearings, we
declined requests for additional public
hearings (Thabault 2011). Furthermore,
we reopened the comment period to
ensure the public had an opportunity to
review and comment on the proposal in
light of Wyoming’s final regulatory
documents, including revised State
statutes, revised gray wolf management
regulations (chapter 21), new gray wolf
hunting season regulations (chapter 47),
and an Addendum to the Wyoming Gray
Wolf Management Plan (77 FR 25664,
May 1, 2012). Collectively, the
opportunities provided for public
comment ensured all members of the
public, including peer reviewers, had
sufficient time to review and comment
on the proposal in light of all relevant
materials. All comments, whether
presented at a public hearing or
provided in another manner, received
the same review and consideration.
Approximately 250,000 comments were
received during the public comment
periods. This significant effort satisfies
our statutory responsibility.
Issue 4: Several commenters observed
that Wyoming was not a DPS, and
suggested that it was a violation of the
Act to attempt to delist the Wyoming
wolf population alone because the Act
precludes listing and delisting entities
smaller than DPSs. Specifically, these
comments suggested that our analysis of
threats improperly focused on the
Wyoming wolf population, when we
should have considered threats to the
entire NRM DPS. Some comments
further specified that Congress’s recent
directive to reissue our 2009 delisting
rule, which delisted the NRM DPS
except Wyoming, did not grant us the
authority to address Wyoming
separately. These comments went on to
suggest that it would be unlawful to
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delist wolves in Wyoming if wolves
were endangered by any of the five
factors in any portion of the NRM DPS
at the time of this final rule. These
comments went on to assert that wolves
in Montana and Idaho were endangered
by a variety of factors, most notably
inadequate regulation of human-caused
mortality affecting both population size
and genetic exchange. Idaho’s
suspension of its 2008–2012 step-down
wolf management plan and Montana’s
and Idaho’s hunting seasons were most
often mentioned as changes in
management threatening the NRM DPS.
These comments suggested that all
States in the NRM DPS needed to
develop enforceable mechanisms to
maintain the population’s recovered
status before delisting in Wyoming
could move forward.
Response 4: The approach taken in
this final rule is appropriate given the
Congressional directive to reissue our
2009 delisting, which created a remnant
piece of the NRM DPS. This approach
is also consistent with our 2009
delisting determination which stated
that ‘‘if Wyoming were to develop a
Service-approved regulatory framework
it would be delisted in a separate rule’’
(74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009, p. 15155).
While this rulemaking focuses on
Wyoming because it is the only portion
of the NRM DPS that remains listed, we
consider other portions of the NRM DPS
as appropriate. Thus, the conclusions of
the previous delisting and the
information supporting this
determination are incorporated by
reference. This information is updated,
where necessary, to consider new
developments (e.g., Idaho’s suspension
of its 2008–2012 step-down wolf
management plan and Montana’s and
Idaho’s hunting seasons).
Overall, the best scientific and
commercial information available
overwhelmingly indicates wolves are
recovered in Wyoming, the GYA, and
throughout the NRM DPS. We strongly
disagree with the assertion that wolves
in Montana and Idaho are endangered or
threatened by inadequate regulation of
human-caused mortality or any other
factor (singularly or in combination).
Similarly, we reject that threats in these
areas endanger wolves in Wyoming, the
GYA or the NRM DPS. Despite changes
in guiding management documents,
both Idaho and Montana remain
committed to maintaining a healthy
wolf population well above minimum
recovery levels (also see response on the
adequacy of the recovery goals below)
(Idaho Legislative Wolf Oversight
Committee 2002, pp. 4–5, 18–19; Idaho
Fish and Game Commission 2011, pp. 1,
7; Idaho Fish and Game Commission
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Federal Register / Vol. 77, No. 175 / Monday, September 10, 2012 / Rules and Regulations
2012, pp. 8–9; Montana Wolf
Management Advisory Council 2003,
pp. i,1; Montana Fish, Wildlife and
Parks 2012b, pp. 2–3, 8–9, 13–15, 22).
State management of this recovered
population in Montana and Idaho since
delisting has been consistent with our
expectations and does not place the
population at a meaningful risk of
extinction now or within the foreseeable
future (Cooley 2011; Jimenez 2012b). In
fact, the minimum population estimate
for the NRM DPS was greater at the end
of 2011 than at the end of 2010 (Service
2012, Tables 4a and 4b). This
information validates our determination
that State-regulated hunting and
trapping has been and will continue to
be conducted in a responsible manner
(74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009). While we
expect population decreases will occur,
these reductions will be carefully
managed to maintain a recovered gray
wolf population throughout the
northern Rocky Mountains. In
consideration of all threats including
those evaluated in our 2009 delisting
rule and all new information available
since this rule was published, we
conclude that the NRM DPS continues
to face an extremely low risk of
extinction within the foreseeable future,
does not meet the definition of
threatened or endangered, and therefore,
does not warrant listing under the Act.
Nevertheless, this rulemaking is
separate and independent from, but
additive to, the previous action delisting
wolves in the NRM DPS. Wolves in the
NRM DPS outside of Wyoming are not
protected under the Act; therefore, there
is no regulatory need to determine
whether the Act’s protections should be
removed for these wolves. Thus, this
rule in no way reopens the status of
wolves within the NRM DPS and
outside of Wyoming. While we continue
to monitor the status of wolves in
accordance with the post-delisting
monitoring plans discussed in the
delisting rule, such a reopening of the
wider NRM DPSs status also would be
inconsistent with the Congressional
direction to proceed with that delisting
action. This rule does not affect the
status of gray wolves in other states
within the NRM DPS or the legal
protections provided under state laws.
Since our previous delisting action,
the State of Wyoming has addressed the
only reason that wolves in Wyoming
warranted continued listing under the
Act—the adequacy of the State’s
regulatory measures. By delisting the
Wyoming wolf population after wolves
in the larger NRM DPS were delisted,
we are doing exactly what we said we
would do in our previous delisting rule.
In our 2009 rule publication, the Service
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said that ‘‘if Wyoming were to develop
a Service-approved regulatory
framework it would be delisted in a
separate rule’’ (74 FR 15123, April 2,
2009, p. 15155). This was also
referenced in our proposed rule (76 FR
61782, Oct. 5, 2011, p. 61783). The
Service is now doing just that—delisting
Wyoming wolves in a separate rule
following its approval of Wyoming’s
management framework.
Issue 5: Several comments suggested
that we should prepare an
Environmental Assessment or an
Environmental Impact Statement
pursuant to the National Environmental
Policy Act.
Response 5: As a regulation adopted
under section 4(a) of the Act, this
delisting rule is exempt from National
Environmental Policy Act procedures.
The Service’s decision that the National
Environmental Policy Act does not
apply in making 4(a) determinations is
based on the reasoning in Pacific Legal
Foundation v. Andrus, 657 F.2d 829
(6th Cir. 1981). In this case, the court
determined that a National
Environmental Policy Act document
cannot serve the purposes of the Act,
because the Secretary must make listing
decisions based only on the five factors
set forth in section 4(a) of the Act. The
Secretary lacks the discretion to
consider environmental impacts beyond
those encompassed by the five factors
and may use only the best scientific and
commercial data in assessing the five
factors. Following the Pacific Legal
Foundation ruling and upon the
recommendation of the Council on
Environmental Quality, the Service
officially determined that National
Environmental Policy Act documents
are not required for regulations adopted
pursuant to section 4(a) of the Act. A
notice outlining the Service’s reasons
for this determination was published in
the Federal Register on October 25,
1983 (48 FR 49244). Here, the delisting
decision is based on the same five
factors used in making listing
determinations under section 4(a).
Issue 6: A few comments indicated we
must consider the direct and indirect
impacts of this decision on other
threatened and endangered species. One
comment indicated that delisting could
result in wolf trapping (as is occurring
in Idaho and now being planned in
Montana), which could affect Canada
lynx (Lynx canadensis) or wolverine
(Gulo gulo). Another comment
suggested an unchecked ungulate
population would graze on and
decimate the Colorado butterfly plant
(Gaura neomexicana var. coloradensis).
Similarly, one comment suggested
cascading ecological effects would be
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hindered by State efforts to reduce the
wolf population, which in turn would
affect water quality for the downstream
Colorado pikeminnow (Ptychocheilus
lucius) and the Razorback sucker
(Xyrauchen texanus).
Response 6: The Act requires that we
base listing and delisting decisions
solely on the best available information
concerning the status of and threats to
the subject species and does not give us
discretion to alter listing and delisting
decisions because of possible impacts to
other species. Moreover, other distinct
statutory provisions address the
potential effects of the States’
management actions on listed species,
such as the Act’s prohibitions against
‘‘take’’ of listed wildlife species or the
requirement of Federal agencies to
ensure their actions are not likely to
jeopardize the continued existence of
listed species or destroy or adversely
modify a listed species’ critical habitat.
Nevertheless, we conclude that this
decision will not negatively affect other
threatened or endangered species. While
one comment mentioned trapping and
its potential to affect other regional
carnivores like Canada lynx (listed as
threatened) and wolverine (a candidate
for listing), Wyoming has not proposed
a trapping season and has no plans to
pursue a trapping season within the
Trophy Area (Bruscino 2011b). If such
a season is considered in the future, it
would be regulated by the WGFD and
the WGFC and would be limited as such
mortality would further limit
Wyoming’s hunt quotas, which are
already expected to be modest once
desired population reductions are
achieved. Moreover, the State must
comply with applicable laws in
performing any trapping actions: if any
potential incidental take of listed
species were to occur in connection
with trapping, the State must comply
with the Act’s prohibition against
‘‘take’’ or obtain an incidental take
permit through the permitting
provisions of section 10.
Furthermore, the other listed species
mentioned by the commenter (Colorado
butterfly plant, Colorado pikeminnow,
and razorback sucker) occur far from
occupied wolf range. For example,
Colorado butterfly plant occurs in
southeastern Wyoming and northcentral Colorado. Similarly, neither the
Colorado pikeminnow nor the razorback
sucker occurs above Flaming Gorge in
Wyoming’s share of the Green River.
Thus, any theoretical cascading
ecological effects caused by the wolf
delisting (e.g., increased herbivory and
impacts to water quality) would be
extremely unlikely to affect these
species.
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Northern Rocky Mountain (NRM) Gray
Wolf Recovery Goals
Issue 7: Some comments expressed
confusion about our minimum recovery
criteria and the minimum management
targets.
Response 7: The Service’s current
recovery goal for the NRM gray wolf
population is 30 or more breeding pairs
(an adult male and an adult female that
raise at least two pups until December
31) comprising 300+ wolves in a
metapopulation (a population that exists
as partially isolated sets of
subpopulations) with genetic exchange
between subpopulations (Service 1994;
Fritts and Carbyn 1995). Within this
overall goal, Idaho, Montana, and
Wyoming are each responsible for
maintaining at least 10 breeding pairs
and at least 100 wolves in mid-winter.
To provide that these minimums are not
compromised, we required Montana and
Idaho to each manage for a safety
margin of at least 15 breeding pairs and
at least 150 wolves in mid-winter. In
Wyoming, we agreed that the State
could manage for a population floor of
at least 10 breeding pairs and at least
100 wolves outside YNP and the Wind
River Indian Reservation in mid-winter,
and allow YNP and the Wind River
Indian Reservation to provide the
remainder of the buffer above the
minimum recovery goal. In order to
meet these goals and allow for
continued management flexibility, all
three States intend to manage for a
population comfortably above their
minimum management targets.
Issue 8: Numerous comments
questioned the adequacy of the NRM
DPS’s recovery goals referring to them
in such terms as ‘‘outdated’’ and
‘‘unscientific.’’ These comments further
suggested that delisting based on these
goals violated the Act’s requirement to
rely on the best available science. Some
of these comments offered their own
assessment of what constitutes an
acceptable recovery goal (ranges from
around current population levels to
6,000 wolves were most frequently
mentioned). Others suggested smaller
localized population levels were
acceptable within a larger, connected
metapopulation structure. Some
comments questioned the adequacy of
the NRM DPS’s recovery goals by noting
that these goals are lower than the
Western Great Lakes population when it
was listed, lower than the Western Great
Lakes recovery goals, and lower than
Western Great Lakes potential status
review triggers. Some comments opined
that the population meets the
International Union for the
Conservation of Nature’s (IUCN)
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standard for a ‘‘vulnerable’’ species and,
therefore, concluded our recovery
criteria are inadequate and that the
population is still endangered.
Response 8: Our recovery and postdelisting management goals were
designed to provide for the long term
conservation of the NRM gray wolf
population by ensuring sufficient
representation, resilience, and
redundancy. As we described earlier in
this final rule, we have expended
considerable effort to develop,
repeatedly reevaluate, and, when
necessary, modify, these recovery goals
(Service 1980; Service 1987; Service
1994, appendix 8 and 9; Fritts and
Carbyn 1995; Bangs 2002, entire).
The Service contracted for an
independent peer review of our
proposed delisting and four of the five
reviewers concurred with our
determination that the Wyoming wolf
population, whose management is to be
driven by the recovery goals, would
continue to be a viable population after
delisting (Atkins 2011, pp. 6, 10; Atkins
2012, p. 3). The dissenting reviewer’s
primary issue was not with the recovery
criteria, but rather with Wyoming’s
management structure and whether the
recovery criteria would be met (an issue
discussed elsewhere in this rule). Those
reviewers who specifically addressed
the recovery criteria were unanimously
supportive of the criteria (Atkins 2011,
appendix B). For example, Dr. Scott
Mills stated that the thresholds for
delisting are consistent with current
state-of-the-art viability analysis science
and are an appropriate standard for
delisting (Atkins 2011, p. 60). Similarly,
Dr. David Mech concluded the recovery
criteria still seem adequate (Atkins
2011, p. 73). None of the reviews
provided by the independent peer
reviewers challenged the adequacy of
the recovery criteria (Atkins 2011,
appendix B).
Although numerous comments
offered alternative recovery goals, we do
not find the information presented to be
persuasive, and do not feel revision to
the recovery goals is warranted at this
time. Most of these comments indicated
a need for an effective population of at
least 500 breeding individuals long term
and a total population of ∼1,500 to 6,000
individuals long term either within the
NRM DPS or the western United States.
However, these comments were based
upon minimum viable population
theories and models that assume an
isolated population. This underlying
premise is inappropriate within the
NRM region, because NRM wolves are
not isolated and are instead genetically
connected to vast wolf populations
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55547
north of the United States-Canadian
border.
Specifically, the NRM DPS represents
a 650-km (400-mi) southern range
extension of a vast contiguous wolf
population that numbers over 12,000
wolves in western Canada and about
65,000 wolves across all of Canada and
Alaska (Committee on the Status of
Endangered Wildlife in Canada 2001,
pp. iii, v–vi, 13, 21–22, 30–32, 38, 42,
44–46; Boitani 2003, p. 322). This
connectivity is demonstrated by the fact
that recovery in the NRM DPS began
when wolves from Canada naturally
dispersed into the northwestern
Montana recovery area and recolonized
this area (Ream et al. 1989; Boyd et al.
1995; Pletscher et al. 1997; Boyd and
Pletscher 1999). Routine dispersal of
wolves has been documented among
NRM wolves and adjacent Canadian
populations since then demonstrating
that wolves in these areas are
demographically and genetically linked
(Pletscher et al. 1991, pp. 547–548;
Boyd and Pletscher 1999, pp. 1105–
1106; Sime 2007; vonHoldt et al. 2010,
p. 4412; Jimenez et al. In review, entire).
Connectivity to the GYA is discussed in
more detail below, but is also sufficient
to demonstrate and maintain the
region’s metapopulation structure.
Taking into account connectivity to
adjoining Canadian populations, the
effective population targets mentioned
above have been greatly exceeded.
While some contend that these effective
population targets should be achieved
strictly within the NRM DPS or the
western United States, we conclude that
it is biologically appropriate to consider
the contribution of these connected wolf
populations to the NRM DPS’s long term
viability. Connectivity to Canadian wolf
populations has long been a central
consideration in developing, revising,
and validating our recovery goals
(Service 1994, pp. 41–42 of appendix 9;
Bangs 2002, p. 3).
Furthermore, model predictions
should be used cautiously due to the
poor quality of data used in most
models, inaccuracies in estimating
changes in demographic rates, and
insufficient dispersal data (Beissinger
and Westphal 1998, p. 821). To estimate
a minimum viable population
accurately, a population viability
analysis must be able to overcome the
likelihood that measures of potential
threats to persistence are likely to be
imprecise (Soule 1987, pp. 1–10; Boyce
1992, 1993). Reed et al. (2002, p. 7) also
cautioned that model structure and data
quality can affect the validity of
population viability analysis models,
and that population viability analysis
should not be used to determine
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Federal Register / Vol. 77, No. 175 / Monday, September 10, 2012 / Rules and Regulations
minimum viable population or to
estimate specific probability of
extinction. Population viability analysis
could more appropriately be used to
analyze relative rates of extinction
(Beissinger and Westphal 1998, p. 821)
or how population growth and
persistence may be affected by
management actions (Reed et al. 2002,
p. 7). Therefore, the available modeling
data do not persuade us that the
recovery criteria we are using are
incorrect.
Some comments asserted that the
NRM gray wolf recovery goals are
inadequate because they are lower than
population levels in the Western Great
Lakes when that population was listed
(32 FR 4001, March 11, 1967; 43 FR
9607, March 9, 1978). We do not find
such arguments persuasive because
listing decisions are not based on
abundance and are instead based on
extinction risk informed by threats and
population trajectory. For example,
although whitebark pine (Pinus
albicaulis) likely numbers in the
millions, the Service recently found this
species to be warranted for listing due
to the severe threats it faces and its
resulting population trajectory (76 FR
42631, July 19, 2011). Similarly, the
decisions in 1978 to list wolves in the
Great Lakes as endangered and to
reclassify the Minnesota population as
threatened were based on ongoing
threats, population trends, and the
desire for additional population
redundancy (Service 1978, pp. 7, 8, 10;
43 FR 9607, March 9, 1978). Neither
decision cited the overall population
level as an important factor to justify the
threatened or endangered
determination. Therefore, we do not
agree with the assertion that Western
Great Lakes wolf population levels at
the time of listing as endangered or
threatened provide any evidence that
our recovery criteria for wolves within
the NRM are too low.
Similarly, some comments opined the
NRM gray wolf recovery goals are
inadequate because they are lower than
the Western Great Lakes population’s
recovery goals. Again, we do not find
this argument compelling. The Western
Great Lakes recovery plan indicated
recovery would be achieved when: (1)
The survival of the wolf in Minnesota is
assured, and (2) at least one viable
population (as defined below) of eastern
timber wolves outside Minnesota and
Isle Royale in the contiguous 48 States
is reestablished. The recovery plan did
not establish a specific numerical
criterion for the Minnesota wolf
population. While the plan did identify
a goal ‘‘for planning purposes only’’ of
1,251–1,400 wolves for the Minnesota
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population (Service 1992, p. 28), the
plan explicitly states that the region’s
total goals ‘‘exceed what is required for
recovery and delisting of the eastern
timber wolf’’ (Service 1992, p. 27). This
planning goal was driven not by
minimum estimates of viability, but
instead by: Existing populations of
1,550 to 1,750 wolves in Minnesota
(Service 1992, p. 4); the plan’s objective
to maintain existing populations
(Service 1992, p. 24); and existing
planning goals by other land managers
within Minnesota (Service 1992, p. 27).
However, population viability and
sustainability are explicitly discussed in
the plan. The plan states a ‘‘viable
population’’ includes either: (1) An
isolated, self-sustaining population of
200 wolves for 5 successive years; or (2)
a self-sustaining population of 100
wolves within 100 miles of [the other]
Western Great Lakes population
(Service 1992, pp. 4, 25–26).
Furthermore, the plan stated that ‘‘a
healthy, self-sustaining wolf population
should include at least 100
interbreeding wolves * * * [which
would] maintain an acceptable level of
genetic diversity’’ (Service 1992, p. 26).
Based on the above, we find there is no
basis for concluding that the NRM and
Western Great Lakes recovery goals are
somehow contradictory. Instead, we
find that the recovery criteria for the
NRM and Western Great Lakes
populations are similar in regards to the
minimum number of wolves needed to
maintain a viable population, their
reliance on multiple, adjoining
connected populations, and the relative
proximity between subpopulations.
Furthermore, some comments
asserted that our recovery goals and our
relisting criteria are inadequate because
they are lower than the status review
triggers for Western Great Lakes wolves.
However, the Western Great Lakes
status review triggers were selected, not
because they are indicative of
population viability (again, the plan’s
conclusion regarding viability is
discussed above), but rather because
they would represent significant
declines, which could be evidence of a
serious problem (Service 2008, pp. 10–
11; Ragan 2012). Given the above, we do
not find persuasive the assertion that
our recovery goals or our status review
triggers are too low because they are
lower than other wolf population’s
triggers for relisting consideration. To
the extent that these comments advocate
for a more responsive status review
trigger in the NRMs, we offer our
strongest assurance that we will
consider relisting if we ever obtain
sufficient evidence that the species may
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meet the definition of threatened or
endangered and, as required by section
4(g)(2) of the Act, we will make prompt
use of the Act’s emergency listing
provisions if necessary to prevent a
significant risk to the well-being of the
population.
Finally, we find unfounded the
assertions that the standards of the
IUCN indicate that the NRM population
currently meets the IUCN’s
‘‘vulnerable’’ standard or that IUCN
standards indicate our recovery criteria
are inadequate. First, the IUCN assessed
the gray wolf’s status in 2010 and
determined the species fell into the
‘‘species of least concern’’ category
(Mech & Boitani 2010, p. 1). While such
assessments routinely provide localized
status determinations, no such
determination was bestowed upon
wolves in the NRM region. Furthermore,
following receipt of this comment, we
contacted Dr. Mech, who led the team
that performed IUCN’s 2010 North
American gray wolf assessment. Dr.
Mech disagreed with the assertion that
the NRM population satisfies IUCN’s
‘‘vulnerable’’ standard (Mech 2012). Dr.
Mech went on to indicate that any
application of the IUCN’s standards to
the NRM DPS was inappropriate
without considering the large, adjoining,
and connected Canadian wolf
populations, and that if such
populations were included in the
assessment, the NRM region’s wolf
population would fall into the ‘‘species
of least concern’’ category (Mech 2012).
Given the available information, we
conclude that the IUCN standards do
not indicate that our recovery criteria
warrant revision.
After evaluating all available
information, we conclude that the best
scientific and commercial information
available continues to support the
ability of these recovery goals to provide
that the population does not again
become in danger of extinction.
The Geographic Scope of Recovery and
the Impact of This Decision on Range
Issue 9: Some comments suggested we
should have pursued a single lower-48State recovery plan instead of regional
recovery plans in the NRMs, the
Western Great Lakes, and the
Southwest. These comments suggested
our approach to recovery planning
focused only on easy to recover areas
and improperly wrote off more difficult
to recover regions. A few comments
suggested our recovery plans were
inadequate because they did not cover
or include specific criteria for
‘‘significant wolf habitat’’ (e.g.,
Colorado). Some comments suggested
we should reintroduce wolves across
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numerous regions of the country to
reestablish them across their historical
range. Suggested areas for
reintroduction included potentially
suitable habitat like the southern
Rockies, the Pacific Northwest, the
Sierra Nevadas, and New England, as
well as unsuitable habitat like Central
Park in New York City. Other comments
supported the national delisting of
wolves. A number of comments
suggested wolves should not have been
listed or recovered anywhere in the
lower 48 States, because the species
(Canis lupus) is abundant in Canada,
Alaska, and across Eurasia and the
reintroduced population’s subspecies
(Canis lupus occidentalis) is abundant
across western Canada and into Alaska.
Response 9: Possible future wolf
recovery efforts, particularly any
additional efforts outside of the NRM
DPS, are beyond the scope of this
rulemaking because such actions are not
part of this listing (NRM DPS) and not
necessary to provide for a NRM DPS
that is neither endangered nor
threatened throughout all or a
significant portion of its range.
Nevertheless, we will clarify our
position on these issues. Gray wolves
were originally listed as subspecies or as
regional populations of subspecies in
the coterminous United States and
Mexico, including populations in the
Western Great Lakes region, the NRM
region, and the Southwest (32 FR 4001,
March 11, 1967; 38 FR 14678, June 4,
1973; 39 FR 1171, January 4, 1974; 41
FR 17740, April 28, 1976; 41 FR 24064,
June 14, 1976). When the science began
to cast doubt on the validity of the
subspecific taxonomy, we reclassified
these listings into a single unit of the
species (43 FR 9607, March 9, 1978).
This approach was undertaken to ‘‘most
conveniently’’ handle this listing, and
was not intended to signal an intention
to pursue recovery across the entire
lower 48 States (43 FR 9607, March 9,
1978). In fact, the 1978 reclassification
stated that ‘‘biological subspecies would
continue to be maintained and dealt
with as separate entities’’ (43 FR 9607,
March 9, 1978). Accordingly, regional
recovery plans were developed and
implemented in the Western Great
Lakes in 1978 (revised in 1992) (Service
1978, entire; Service 1992, entire), the
NRM region in 1980 (revised in 1987)
(Service 1980, entire; Service 1987,
entire), and the Southwest in 1982 (this
plan is currently being revised) (Service
1982a, entire). This approach was an
appropriate use of our discretion to
determine how best to proceed with
recovery actions. These recovery efforts
covered all gray wolf populations
confirmed in the lower 48 States since
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passage of the Act, and either have
worked, or are working, to conserve all
of the genetic diversity remaining in
wolves south of Canada after their
widespread extirpation (Leonard et al.
2004, entire). Although we have
satisfied our recovery planning and
implementation responsibilities, and
any additional recovery planning and
implementation (beyond that already
underway) would be discretionary, this
issue is being evaluated further by the
Service on a larger, national scale and
will likely be addressed in a separate
action in the future.
Similarly, the Act does not require us
to restore wolves to a majority of their
U.S. historical range or to a majority of
the available suitable habitat. Instead,
the Act requires that we work to recover
species to levels that no longer meet the
definition of threatened or endangered.
For some species, this level may require
range expansion, but the amount of
expansion is driven by a species’
biological needs affecting viability and
sustainability, and not by an arbitrary
percent of a species’ historical range or
suitable habitat. Many other species
may be recovered in portions of their
historical range by removing or
addressing the threats to their continued
existence. Other species may be
recovered by a combination of range
expansion and threats reduction. There
is no set formula on how recovery must
be achieved. Within the NRM DPS, each
of the States and each of the recovery
areas meaningfully contributes to the
population’s viability by providing
resiliency, redundancy, and
representation (these terms are
described further later in this rule; see
also Shaffer and Stein 2000, entire).
Across the lower 48 States, 2 other wolf
populations (Western Great Lakes DPS
and Mexican wolf) provide additional
resiliency, redundancy, and
representation (Shaffer and Stein 2000,
entire). To the extent that additional
restoration beyond that required by the
Act is desired by some members of the
public, we recommend working with
State or Tribal wildlife agencies and
other land managers to achieve these
objectives.
Conversely, we do not agree with
comments that the gray wolf should not
have been listed because of its
abundance outside of the lower 48
States. When Congress created the Act,
it sought to provide for ‘‘the possibility
of declaring a species endangered
within the United States where its
principal range is in another country,
such as Canada or Mexico, and members
of that species are only found in this
country insofar as they exist on the
periphery of their range’’ (H.R. Rep. No.
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93–412, at 10 (1973)). Moreover, in
authorizing the listing of DPSs under
the Act, Congress recognized ‘‘that there
may be instances in which the Service
should provide for different levels of
protection for populations of the same
species. For instance, the U.S.
population of an animal should not
necessarily be permitted to become
extinct simply because the animal is
more abundant elsewhere in the world’’
(S. Rep. No. 96–151, 96th Cong., 1st
Sess. (1979), reprinted in A Legislative
History of the Endangered Species Act,
97th Cong., 2d Sess. 1397 (1982)).
Recovering gray wolves in multiple
populations within the lower 48 States
satisfies this Congressional intent.
Issue 10: A number of comments
provided other reasons why our
approach to designating and delisting in
the NRM DPS was erroneous, having
accomplished recovery over only a
small portion of the species’ historical
range. Some comments suggested the
NRM DPS was too expansive and
should not have included unrecovered
habitat (e.g., eastern Montana and
southern or eastern Wyoming). These
comments expressed the concern that
our decision to delist this expansive
DPS would preclude wolf recovery in
these areas. Others thought the NRM
DPS should include additional
surrounding areas and that recovery and
recolonization should occur across the
entire DPS before delisting is allowed to
move forward (e.g., northern Colorado
should be included in the DPS, but
delisting anywhere should be precluded
until Colorado is also recovered). Other
comments suggested areas like southern
and eastern Wyoming once supported
viable wolf populations and represented
‘‘a significant portion of range.’’ A
number of comments disputed our
designation of most of these areas as
unsuitable habitat, stated that we have
failed to show that these areas could not
biologically support wolves, and
suggested that our definition of suitable
habitat improperly focused on
regulatory, sociological, economic, and
political factors, instead of purely
biological factors. A few comments
noted that wolves and wolf packs can
and do occasionally occupy these areas.
Some comments asserted that recovery
in these historically occupied areas was
important to preserve unique localized
adaptations that contribute to the
species’ long term persistence. These
comments opined that wolves are
endangered in this ‘‘significant portion
of range’’ and, therefore, must continue
to be listed as endangered statewide.
Response 10: As described in our
2009 final rule, we determined the NRM
DPS was biologically based,
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appropriate, and developed in
accordance with the Act and the
Distinct Vertebrate Population Segment
Policy (74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009). In
essence, the boundaries included all
gray wolves that were reasonably
assumed to be part of the NRM
population at the time of its designation
(74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009). No
animals that have dispersed within the
United States beyond the boundaries of
the DPS have ever returned, meaning
those animals are, essentially, lost to
and no longer part of the population.
The DPS boundaries are also further
supported by the fact that they are
consistent with over 30 years of
recovery efforts in the NRMs in that: (1)
The DPS approximates the U.S.
historical range of the originally listed
NRM gray wolf subspecies (39 FR 1171,
January 4, 1974; Service 1980, p. 3;
Service 1987, p. 2); (2) the DPS
boundaries are inclusive of the areas
focused on by both NRM recovery plans
(Service 1980, pp. 7–8; Service 1987, p.
23) and the 1994 Environmental Impact
Statement (Service 1994, Ch. 1 p. 3); and
(3) the DPS is inclusive of the entire
Central-Idaho and Yellowstone
Nonessential Experimental Population
areas (59 FR 60252, November 22, 1994;
59 FR 60266, November 22, 1994; 50
CFR 17.84 (i) & (n)).
We based our definition of suitable
habitat on the best scientific and
commercial information available
regarding pack persistence (this issue is
discussed in more detail in Factor A
below). Although wolves historically
occupied the entire area of the DPS,
these distant peripheral areas (e.g.,
eastern Montana and southern or
eastern Wyoming) have been modified
for human use and are no longer
suitable habitat to support wolf packs
and wolf breeding pairs. These distant
peripheral areas do not support extant
wolf populations and do not play a
meaningful role in achieving or
sustaining recovery. Although some
short term occupancy and use of some
peripheral areas does occur, it is
minimal and, consistent with our
assessment of suitability, wolves have
not persisted in these areas even under
the Act’s protective regime. The purpose
of the Act is to conserve endangered
species and the ecosystems on which
they depend. We have recovered NRM
wolf populations in areas where
portions of the ecosystem on which they
depend still exist or could be restored.
Large portions of the historical range
(e.g., eastern Montana and southern or
eastern Wyoming) where the ecosystem
historically supported wolves have been
removed and replaced by human uses
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including agriculture, livestock, and
urbanization. Wolf recovery in these
portions of the species’ historical range
is unnecessary, because there is more
than enough suitable habitat (e.g.,
mainly public lands containing
abundant wild ungulates) to support
many times over the minimum
requirements of a recovered and viable
wolf population. Therefore, additional
recovery efforts in these areas are
beyond what the Act requires.
Issue 11: Numerous comments
expressed concern that this action, if
finalized, would reduce wolf dispersal
into surrounding areas. Many of these
comments specifically objected to the
impact Wyoming’s large predator area
would have on dispersal across
southern Wyoming to Colorado and
Utah. One comment opined that
Colorado represented a significant
portion of the NRM gray wolf range.
Some comments stated that Mexican
wolf recovery was on the brink of
failure, in part due to inbreeding
depression, and that Wyoming’s
predator designation would exacerbate
the genetic isolation of the Mexican
wolf population. While most of these
comments focused on the impact of the
predator area, some comments
expressed concern related to State
management intending to reduce
population levels, which would in turn
reduce the number of dispersing wolves
and further inhibit recolonization of
nearby unoccupied areas (e.g.,
Washington and Oregon).
Response 11: First, additional wolf
restoration from NRM gray wolf stock is
not necessary in any of the surrounding
areas to achieve or maintain recovery of
the NRM DPS because the NRM DPS is
of more than adequate size and includes
more than adequate habitat to achieve
and maintain a recovered wolf
population. This conclusion makes
restoration in these areas irrelevant to
this final decision. Because Colorado
and Utah are both beyond the range of
the NRM gray wolf population and
unnecessary for viability or recovery of
the NRM gray wolf population, areas
like Colorado and Utah do not represent
a significant portion of the NRM gray
wolf’s range. Additionally, listing and
delisting decisions are based solely on
the status of the subject species, and,
because the NRM DPS is a separate
listing from other U.S. wolves (a
separate ‘‘species’’ as defined in section
3(16) of the Act), impacts to
surrounding areas are beyond the scope
of this rulemaking. Furthermore, as
discussed above, the Act does not
require that we recover the wolf
everywhere it existed historically or
even every place that currently can
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support wolves. Instead, the Act
requires that we achieve sufficient
recovery to provide for the viability of
the subject species. This goal has been
achieved in the NRM DPS and the
Western Great Lakes DPS. This goal is
still a work in progress in the
Southwest. To the extent that additional
restoration beyond that required by the
Act is desired by some members of the
public, we recommend working with
State or Tribal wildlife agencies and
other land managers to achieve these
objectives.
In fact, State leadership is facilitating
wolf restoration in Oregon and
Washington. Despite not being
identified as a focus for wolf recovery in
any one of the Service’s existing
recovery plans, both States are allowing
and facilitating wolf restoration (Oregon
Department of Fish and Wildlife 2010,
entire; Wiles et al. 2011, entire). As of
this writing, Washington now has seven
confirmed packs and four additional
suspected packs including five
confirmed and three suspected packs
within the delisted NRM DPS and two
confirmed and one suspected packs
west of the DPS (Cooley 2012). Similar
trends are also occurring in Oregon,
which has four confirmed packs within
the delisted NRM DPS and a few
dispersers outside of the DPS (Cooley
2012). State protections are the primary
mechanism contributing to wolf
recovery in eastern Oregon and eastern
Washington because Federal protections
have been removed in these areas. Wolf
restoration in the delisted eastern
portions of these States will likely
contribute to recovery in the remainder
of these States. We expect dispersal into
Oregon and Washington to continue
unimpeded by this decision.
Wolf restoration into Colorado and
Utah has been slower with only a few
confirmed dispersers and no confirmed
packs forming or reproducing to date. In
order for dispersal into surrounding
unoccupied habitat to be biologically
meaningful, both a male and a female
disperser must cross expansive areas of
suitable and unsuitable habitat, enter
the same area and find each other before
continuing on to other areas, and
survive long enough to reproduce and
successfully raise young. Unlike
dispersal into Oregon and Washington,
wolves must cross greater distances to
get to Colorado and Utah, and
dispersing wolves traversing unsuitable
habitat, even under the Act’s
protections, tend to have lower survival
rates (Smith et al. 2010, p. 627; Jimenez
et al. In review, entire). These obstacles
precluded natural recolonization even
when Federal protections were in place.
After delisting, we expect existing
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trends to continue (i.e., occasional
dispersers with the odds being against
pack formation and reproduction).
Regarding Mexican wolf conservation,
at this point in time, we are managing
the Mexican wolf population without
infusion of genes from other sources and
do not see isolation from other wolves
as a negative (Brown 2012). If infusion
of genes from northern wolves is
determined to be beneficial in the
future, we would want to carefully
evaluate both the process and the effect
(Brown 2012).
General Comments on Whether To
Delist
Issue 12: We received comments from
many people expressing either support
for, or opposition to, delisting. Many of
these comments (including people on
both sides of the issue) stated a belief
that their opinion was the majority and
that we should do a better job of
listening to the wants and desires of the
American people. Some suggested that
their comment should count more or
less than other similar comments.
Response 12: The decision whether to
finalize this action is not a vote. Listing
and delisting decisions must be made
based solely on the best scientific and
commercial data available. In this case,
the best scientific and commercial data
available demonstrate that the Wyoming
wolf population and the greater NRM
gray wolf DPS is recovered, is likely to
remain recovered, and is unlikely to
again become threatened with
extinction within the foreseeable future.
Therefore, we are finalizing our
proposal.
Issue 13: Some comments objecting to
the delisting noted that the results of an
independent scientific peer review,
contracted by the Service to review the
proposed delisting and the supporting
documents, found issues with the
Wyoming Gray Wolf Management Plan.
This report stated, ‘‘The Plan, as
written, does not do an adequate job of
explaining how wolf populations will
be maintained, and how recovery will
be maintained’’ (Atkins 2011, p. iii). A
few comments questioned the
objectivity of the peer review suggesting
we selected reviewers that we knew
would support our proposal.
Response 13: Following the release of
the first peer review report (Atkins
2011, entire), Wyoming developed a
series of documents to clarify its
management authorities,
responsibilities, and intentions.
Wyoming specifically considered and
responded to concerns expressed by
peer reviewers when developing these
documents (Atkins 2012, p. 4; WGFC
2012, p. 1). In this regard, Wyoming’s
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management intentions and processes
are more clearly defined and laid out
today because of this review (Atkins
2012, p. 4; WGFC 2012, entire). Thus,
we conclude that management of wolves
after delisting has been improved and
has a greater likelihood of always
meeting minimum management targets
as a result of this review. Additionally,
the final rule was improved through
careful consideration of all comments
and information provided. We
appreciate the work of the peer
reviewers on this issue.
Although not unanimous, most of the
reviewers ultimately supported our
conclusion that the Wyoming wolf
population is likely to be maintained
above recovery levels (Atkins 2012,
Table 1). While our rulemaking process
does not depend on the ‘‘vote’’ of the
peer reviewers, and instead reflects our
determination of what the best scientific
and commercial information available
indicates, on the whole, we view the
final peer review report (Atkins 2012,
entire) as an endorsement of our
conclusions (caveats noted).
Regarding the selection of the peer
reviewers, a third-party contractor,
Atkins Global, selected the reviewers
based on qualifications and experience
related to gray wolf life history and
biology, predator/wildlife management,
population viability, genetics, and
subpopulation integration within
metapopulations (Atkins 2011, pp. 9–
10). Reviewers selected were also free
from any conflict of interest and
independent of the Service; the Idaho
Department of Fish and Game; Montana
Fish, Wildlife, and Parks; and all
Wyoming State agencies. These peer
reviewers were not selected to achieve
a certain position, nor did they reach a
consensus. Instead, the diversity of
perspectives, experience, and
qualifications achieved the desired
outcome of ensuring a comprehensive
and critical evaluation of the available
information, our proposal, and our
conclusions. This process and the report
it generated benefitted the rulemaking
process, improved this final rule, and
more than satisfied applicable peer
review standards.
Issue 14: A number of comments
accused us of accepting a Wyoming
management plan that was nearly
identical to the previously rejected plan.
A few comments noted that we
previously determined the old
regulatory framework would
meaningfully affect the NRM DPS’s
resiliency, redundancy, and
representation, and decrease the ability
to conserve the species. Other
comments maintained that previous
Wyoming post-delisting regulatory
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frameworks were adequate and rejected
on political, rather than, scientific
grounds. Some of these comments
pointed to the November 18, 2010,
Wyoming District Court ruling as
evidence that the previous wolf
management plan was sound (Wyoming
et al., v. U.S. Department of the Interior,
et al., 2010 U.S. Dist. LEXIS 122829). A
few comments accused us of changing
the requirements for Wyoming after an
agreement was reached and expressed
frustration with our unwillingness to
defend the 2008 NRM DPS delisting,
which included Wyoming (73 FR 10514,
February 27, 2008). Others suggested
that previous issues with the State’s
post-delisting regulatory framework
have been resolved and delisting must
again proceed. More specific criticisms
related to this issue are discussed in
more detail in subsequent comments
below.
Response 14: While Wyoming’s
approach to wolf management may
seem similar to previously rejected
Wyoming wolf plans, Wyoming’s
revised approach to wolf management
provides substantially more protection
for wolves over previous versions. The
April 2009 rule noted three primary
areas of concern with Wyoming’s
previous management plan including:
(1) The size and permanency of
Wyoming’s Trophy Area; (2) conflicting
language within the State statutes
concerning whether Wyoming would
manage for at least 15 breeding pairs
and at least 150 wolves, exactly 15
breeding pairs and 150 wolves, or only
7 breeding pairs and 70 wolves; and (3)
liberal depredation control
authorizations and legislative mandates
to aggressively manage the population
down to minimum levels (74 FR 15123,
April 2, 2009). Our conclusions on
several of these issues were challenged
in the Wyoming District Court.
Although the Wyoming District Court
disagreed with our determinations on
several of these issues, it did not
determine the previous Wyoming wolf
management framework was adequate
and did not order us to accept the plan.
Instead, it ordered us to reconsider our
position on Wyoming’s approach to
wolf management in light of several
conflicts within the record (including
our position that a statewide Trophy
Area should be pursued in Wyoming).
Subsequent to this order, the Service
and the State reinitiated discussions on
revisions to Wyoming’s wolf
management framework that would
satisfy the standards of the Act and
allow delisting to again move forward.
The results of this process led to
development of a revised wolf
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management plan, and are incorporated
in this rule. Through this process,
Wyoming improved its management
plan in each of the major areas of
concern outlined above.
In 2008, we determined Wyoming’s
Trophy Area was adequate (73 FR
10514, February 27, 2008). However, a
2009 Montana District Court decision
correctly noted that Wyoming had
retained the ability to diminish the size
of this unit and to revise its boundaries
in a manner the Service had previously
determined to be unacceptable (71 FR
43410, August 1, 2006; Defenders of
Wildlife, et al., v. Hall, et al., 565
F.Supp.2d 1160 (D. Mont. 2008)). In
response, the State statute was revised,
and the existing Trophy Area was made
permanent in 2012. As discussed in
more detail in subsequent sections of
this rule, the permanent Trophy Area is
of sufficient size to support a recovered
wolf population in Wyoming, under the
management regime developed for this
area. Furthermore, in response to
concerns about gene flow and genetic
connectivity, the Wyoming statute was
revised to expand the trophy game
portion of the State approximately 80
kilometers (km) (50 miles (mi)) south for
4 and a half months during peak wolf
dispersal periods. This additional
protected area will benefit natural
dispersal. The adequacy of this area to
meet the wolf population’s biological
needs is discussed in more detail in
subsequent comments.
Another major difference between the
previous management plan and the
current one is Wyoming’s firm
commitment to the minimum recovery
goals. Wyoming’s previous wolf
management framework contained
conflicting language within the State
statutes concerning whether Wyoming
would manage for at least 15 breeding
pairs and at least 150 wolves, exactly 15
breeding pairs and 150 wolves, or only
7 breeding pairs and 70 wolves outside
of YNP. The revised approach commits
Wyoming to maintaining a population
satisfying the entire minimum recovery
goal outside of YNP and the Wind River
Indian Reservation, and to maintain a
buffer above these minimum levels, in
order to provide that the minimum
targets are not compromised (WGFC
2011, p. 24; WGFC 2012, pp. 3–5).
These statewide totals will be further
buffered by wolves in YNP, which have
ranged from 96 to 174 wolves and from
6 to 16 breeding pairs from 2000 to the
end of 2011 (the most recent official
wolf population estimates available). In
the future, YNP wolf populations are
predicted to settle between 50 to 100
wolves and 5 to 10 packs with 4 to 6 of
these packs meeting the breeding pair
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definition annually (Service et al. 2000–
2010, Table b; Smith 2012). This wolf
management strategy is a vast
improvement over the previous
agreement and provides adequate
assurances that the minimum recovery
goal will not be compromised.
Wyoming’s numeric minimum
management targets are discussed in
more detail in subsequent comments.
Additionally, Wyoming’s
management framework has corrected
what we had concluded was an overly
aggressive management regime. After
our 2008 delisting became effective, the
State issued regulations that treated the
entire Trophy Area as a chronic
depredation area and allowed
significant take across the entire region
until the population outside YNP was
reduced to 6 breeding pairs. This, and
related concerns, have been addressed.
The State statute now mandates that
limits on human-caused mortality be
put in place to ensure that minimum
agreed-upon management targets and
minimum recovery levels are not
compromised.
Other significant improvements
include a commitment to monitor and
manage to provide adequate levels of
genetic exchange; defense-of-property
regulations that are similar to our
nonessential experimental population
rules; and a change in the State statute
that ensures wolves in the permanent
trophy game portions of Wyoming will
not be treated as predatory animals.
Given the above changes, we
conclude that Wyoming’s revised wolf
management framework is adequate and
will maintain the population’s
recovered status.
Issue 15: Many commenters expressed
their opinion that NRM and Wyoming
wolves remained endangered, were
teetering on the edge of extinction, or
would again become endangered if the
Act’s protections were removed. One
comment indicated this decision would
jeopardize the wolf population and,
thus, violated section 7 of the Act. Many
comments objected to removing
protections regardless of extinction risk.
Other commenters suggested delisting
was in order and that they supported
compromise, but that this did not
represent an acceptable compromise. A
number of commenters noted a desire to
continue to be able to hear wolves in the
wild and for their grandchildren to be
able to have the same experience.
Several comments opined that delisting
could cause irreversible harm. Many
comments asserted we had abandoned
sound science in our decision-making
process, and had instead taken antiwildlife policies by yielding to political
and stakeholder pressure. A few
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comments asserted that political
pressure was responsible for our
agreement with Wyoming’s plan. Other
comments noted our support for
hunting as evidence of our anti-wolf
bias. A few comments suggested
allowing us to make this decision was
a conflict of interest, and asserted that
we get a major portion of our budget
from hunting-related revenue. Some of
these comments offered specific legal or
policy arguments supporting their
position (these comments are discussed
in more detail below), while others were
based on moral or ethical positions or
general distrust for our agency. Many
comments suggested we should
reengage Wyoming to negotiate a better
deal for wolves. Many other comments
viewed Wyoming’s approach to
managing the wolf population as a good
compromise balancing the needs of
ranchers, hunters, wolves, and other
wildlife. Many comments supported
delisting, suggesting wolf populations
are well above recovered levels, that
delisting is long overdue, and that State
management will maintain the wolf
population’s recovered status.
Response 15: By nearly any measure,
the NRM gray wolf population and all
of its subpopulations are recovered and
will remain recovered under the
management frameworks now in place
in Wyoming, Idaho, and Montana.
Wolves are no longer in danger of
extinction either now or in the
foreseeable future and will not meet the
definitions of a threatened or an
endangered species if delisting occurs.
We are proud to say that successful
recovery efforts and State, Tribal, and
Federal management after delisting
ensures that the public will continue to
be able to hear NRM wolves howl in the
wild for countless future generations to
come. In short, the regulatory
frameworks now in place give us great
confidence that this success story for
American conservation and the Act will
be maintained.
The most recent official minimum
population estimate shows that the
NRM wolf population contains more
than 1,774 adult wolves and more than
109 breeding pairs. Most of the suitable
habitat is now occupied and likely at, or
above, long term carrying capacity
(excluding Oregon and Washington,
which are only beginning to be
reoccupied). This population has
exceeded recovery goals for 10
consecutive years. Although population
decreases are expected in Idaho,
Montana, and Wyoming, we expect that
these reductions will be carefully
managed so that populations are
maintained well above recovery levels
(perhaps around 1,000 wolves will be
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maintained across the NRM DPS long
term). Our expectation for gradual
reductions was verified in 2009 and
2011 (the first 2 years of State
management including a hunting
season) where the population remained
relatively stable (technically, slight
increases were documented each year)
even in the face of substantial mortality
levels. Measurable declines across the
region are expected to begin to occur in
2012. In Wyoming, we expect the total
statewide population will be reduced
between 10 to 20 percent in 2012 with
continued gradual reductions thereafter,
if appropriate. Given the species’
reproductive capacity, such declines are
not irreversible; instead, populations
would rebound rapidly if human-caused
mortality is reduced.
The basis for our determination, as
required by the Act, is the best scientific
and commercial information available,
which indicates that the Wyoming,
GYA, and NRM gray wolf populations
are recovered and do not meet the
definition of threatened or endangered.
This decision is not based on political
and stakeholder pressure, nor has our
support for hunting biased our decision.
Furthermore, very little of the Service’s
budget and none of the Endangered
Species program’s budget comes from
hunting revenue. While we respect the
moral and ethical reasons some
members of the public may have for
disapproving of this decision, delisting
is the appropriate decision based on the
statutory requirements of the Act.
Additionally, delisting a recovered
species is a non-discretionary duty and
not subject to the provisions of section
7(a)(2) of the Act.
Issue 16: Some comments expressed
concern that if the Service accepted the
Wyoming Gray Wolf Management Plan,
as written, it would set a precedent
allowing Idaho and Montana to change
their management plans.
Response 16: We have no indication
that Idaho or Montana have a desire to
change their management plans to
mirror Wyoming’s. Both States
appreciate the sovereignty they now
enjoy to manage wolves as a recovered
species under State jurisdiction and are
unlikely to reopen this issue.
Furthermore, both States recognize that
a change as significant as, for example,
designating wolves as predators in large
portions of the States could trigger a
status review under our post-delisting
monitoring criteria because such an
action could be perceived as
significantly increasing the threat to the
wolf population (depending on the
specifics). Idaho and Montana have
expressed a strong interest in avoiding
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a Service status review and any relisting
consideration.
Human-Caused Mortality
Issue 17: Many comments expressed
concern about the amount of humancaused mortality and possible direct and
indirect impacts. Some questioned the
amount of human-caused mortality that
the population can withstand in the
short term (as populations are being
reduced from current levels) and in the
longer term once minimum management
targets are achieved. Many comments
took issue with statements taken from
the Wyoming wolf management plan
that indicated Wyoming wolves could
tolerate up to 36 percent annual
mortality. One commenter expressed
concern that Wyoming has only a
narrow margin for error because the
number of wolves in the Trophy Area
are only a little above minimum
management targets. This comment
asserted that our data from the last 5
years indicated that the population had
stabilized with less than 20 percent
mortality associated with livestock
depredation control efforts, but that
Wyoming may exceed these and other
human-caused mortality rates after
delisting. Some comments suggested
that we must set firm standards for
acceptable levels of human-caused
mortality in different circumstances.
Numerous comments indicated that the
many sources of human-caused
mortality allowed by the Wyoming
regulatory framework could easily and
routinely exceed tolerable levels of
mortality. Several comments suggested
management assumptions were
incorrect in that hunting-related
mortality was not compensatory for
other human-caused mortality, was
more likely additive or ‘‘superadditive,’’ and that overall population
impacts would exceed direct reported
mortality levels because of impacts to
pack structure and reproduction. Some
of these comments asserted hunting
would cause psychological trauma or
other indirect effects to surviving
wolves. Other comments indicated that
wolves have proven resilient to humancaused mortality, that our description of
wolf susceptibility to human-caused
mortality was exaggerated, and that
such mortality would be limited and
adequately regulated. Some comments
asserted wolves will become less
susceptible to human-caused mortality
as they ‘‘relearn their fear of man.’’
Many of these comments emphasized
the ability of wolves to respond quickly
to population reductions noting, for
example, reports of wolf packs with
more than one female with pups.
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Response 17: Human-caused mortality
is the most significant factor affecting
the long term conservation status of the
wolf population in Wyoming, the GYA,
and the entire NRM DPS. Therefore,
managing this source of mortality
remains the primary factor for
maintaining a recovered wolf
population into the foreseeable future.
The best available information indicates
that wolf populations have an ample
natural resiliency to high levels of
human-caused mortality, if population
levels and controllable sources of
mortality are adequately regulated as
they will be in Wyoming. For example,
from 1995 to 2008, the NRM wolf
population grew by an average of about
20 percent annually, even in the face of
an average annual human-caused
mortality rate of 23 percent (Service et
al. 2012, Table 4; Smith et al. 2010, p.
620; also see Figure 3 above). Similarly,
in 2009 and in 2011, more than 600
NRM wolves died each year from all
sources of mortality (agency control
including defense of property, regulated
harvest, illegal and accidental killing,
and natural causes), and the population
showed little change (technically, slight
increases in minimum population levels
were documented each year) (Service et
al. 2012, tables 4a, 4b).
While some authors have suggested
human-caused mortality is additive or
‘‘super-additive,’’ and have predicted
significant impacts to wolf populations
from modest levels of human-caused
mortality (Creel and Rotella 2010;
Atkins 2011, p. 81; Vucetich and Carroll
In review), other researchers disagree
(Gude et al. 2011). Overall, the literature
indicates wolf populations can maintain
themselves despite human-caused
mortality rates of 17 to 48 percent
(Fuller et al. 2003, pp. 182–184 [22
percent]; Adams et al. 2008 [29 percent];
Creel and Rotella 2010 [22 percent];
Sparkman et al. 2011 [25 percent]; Gude
et al. 2011 [48 percent]; Vucetich and
Carroll In review [17 percent]).
Furthermore, wolf populations have
been shown to increase rapidly if
mortality is reduced after severe
declines (Fuller et al. 2003, pp. 181–
183; Service et al. 2012, Table 4).
After delisting, Wyoming will
gradually reduce the wolf population,
manage for a buffer above the State’s
minimum management targets, and
adaptively manage human-caused
mortality. Regarding the adaptive
management strategy, Wyoming will
limit mortality as necessary in the
following order: first, Wyoming will
limit control actions for unacceptable
impacts to ungulates; next the State will
limit harvest levels; then it will limit
control for damage to private property;
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and, finally, it will limit lethal take
permits (WGFC 2012, p. 7). We believe
that the third and fourth sources of
mortality noted above will rarely need
to be limited because all other sources
of mortality will not likely exceed what
the population can withstand, leaving
some modest level of surplus wolves for
harvest. However, all of these sources of
human-caused mortality can be limited,
if necessary. Harvest will be limited
with an adaptive approach determining
what the population can withstand in a
given year and across years. While we
expect Wyoming to reduce the wolf
population in the Trophy Area and
remove most resident wolves within the
predator portion of the State, we
conclude that the wolf population can
tolerate the level of mortality expected
in the short term before leveling off at
a longer term equilibrium. Given the
biological resilience of wolves to
controlled and managed human-caused
mortality, these strategies provide that
Wyoming’s minimum management
targets will not be compromised. When
combined with wolves occurring in
adjoining jurisdictions and across the
NRM DPS, we have high confidence that
recovery will not be compromised in
Wyoming, the GYA, or across the NRM
DPS.
Issue 18: Numerous commenters
asserted that Wyoming’s wolf
management framework remains flawed,
in that it fails to clearly commit to
managing for at least 15 breeding pairs
in the State. A few comments noted that
we previously stated this was a
requirement, rejected Wyoming’s 2003
regulatory frameworks for failing to
commit to this minimum management
target, and that the courts took issue
with past Wyoming plans and our
approval of Wyoming’s 2007 regulatory
framework for not clearly committing to
this standard. Several comments noted
that Wyoming’s ‘‘commitment’’ to
maintain at least 15 breeding pairs and
at least 150 wolves statewide, in
cooperation with YNP and the Wind
River Indian Reservation, was nothing
more than a non-enforceable promise. A
few comments questioned whether YNP
can adequately buffer the Wyoming wolf
population, citing predictions that the
YNP wolf population was declining into
a lower long term equilibrium. One peer
reviewer expressed concern that, by
removing the statewide goal for
Wyoming, the State’s incentive to
conserve wolves in protected areas is
removed, and that such wolves would
be vulnerable to killing when they left
these areas.
Response 18: After careful
consideration, we decided differences in
State management authority warranted a
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different approach to wolf management
in Wyoming versus Montana and Idaho.
Nearly all wolf populations in Montana
and Idaho occur in areas under State
jurisdiction. Therefore, it makes sense
for these States to manage for a
statewide total. In Wyoming, a
substantial portion of the wolf habitat
and wolf population occurs in YNP,
where the State has no jurisdiction
(Oakleaf 2011). Thus, it would be more
difficult to manage for a statewide total.
In essence, the decision to split numeric
targets by management authority is
similar to the decision to split the
overall NRM goal by State, just at a more
localized level. Given this difference,
we decided that a different solution was
appropriate.
The recovery goal requires at least 10
breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves
per State. The new approach and
agreement provides that this goal is met
in Wyoming outside YNP and the Wind
River Indian Reservation (large areas
outside of State jurisdiction). Wyoming
is firmly committed to a population at
least at these levels as reflected in State
statute, regulations, and its management
plan. In order to meet these goals and
allow for continued management
flexibility, Wyoming intends to manage
for a population above its minimum
management targets. Furthermore, the
wolf populations in YNP and on the
tribal lands of sovereign nations will
provide an additional buffer above the
minimum recovery goal intended by the
previous management objective of at
least 15 breeding pairs and at least 150
wolves statewide. From 2000 to the end
of 2011 (the most recent official wolf
population estimates available), the wolf
population in YNP has ranged from 96
to 174 wolves, and between 6 to 16
breeding pairs. While a lower future
population level in YNP is predicted
(between 50 to 100 wolves and 5 to 10
packs with 4 to 6 of these packs meeting
the breeding pair definition annually)
(Smith 2012), YNP will always provide
a secure wolf population providing a
safety margin above the minimum
recovery goal.
We conclude that the YNP wolf
population can effectively buffer the rest
of the Wyoming wolf population
because of the significant amount of
available habitat in the park, the sizable
wolf population the park does now and
will continue to support, and the
relative security of the park population.
YNP is the most protected population in
the NRM DPS and least likely to be
meaningfully affected by human-caused
mortality. This security from humancaused mortality, the most significant
threat factor facing wolves in the NRM
DPS, was critical in accepting the YNP
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population as a buffer even though it
may occasionally fall below 5 breeding
pairs (although it will likely not fall
below 50 wolves). In our opinion, this
sizable and secure park population is a
superior buffer to the simple 50 percent
buffer used in the other States, and is
more appropriate to the Wyoming
situation given differences in
management authority. Overall, while
this approach represents a new strategy
to maintain this recovered population, it
is consistent with our overarching goal
because it will maintain the statewide
Wyoming wolf population well above
minimum recovery levels. Furthermore,
based on Wyoming’s management
approach (i.e., the State’s commitment
to maintain at least 10 breeding pairs
and at least 100 wolves, which the State
intends to satisfy by managing for a
buffer above these minimums) and our
understanding of the YNP wolf
population’s likely future abundance
(50 to 100 wolves and 5 to 10 packs and
4 to 6 breeding pairs), the original 15breeding-pair and 150-wolf-minimum
management targets will rarely, if ever,
be compromised.
While some have asserted that this
new approach removes Wyoming’s
incentive to conserve wolves resident to
protected areas and that many of these
wolves could be killed when they
ventured from these protected areas, we
conclude that this concern is
unwarranted. The peer reviewer who
raised this point expressly noted
concern for Grand Teton National Park
wolves. However, these wolves occur
within the Trophy Area and are counted
in the State’s totals, so Wyoming still
has an incentive to consider impacts to
these wolves when making management
decisions. The same applies for wolves
in the John D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial
Parkway and the National Elk Refuge.
While this criticism could theoretically
be relevant to YNP wolves, most YNP
packs rarely leave the park and most of
those packs that routinely leave the park
occur on the northern part of YNP,
where they occasionally enter adjoining
portions of southern Montana. Montana
has already taken steps to limit impacts
to YNP wolves in these adjoining areas.
Most other YNP wolf packs are not
expected to be as vulnerable to humancaused mortality in adjoining areas most
years, because they generally spend less
time in these adjoining areas.
Furthermore, as discussed in Factor B
below, all three States have an incentive
to maintain a healthy YNP wolf
population. For example, a healthy wolf
population in YNP brings economic
benefits to all three States through
increased tourism. Furthermore, there is
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a regulatory incentive to maintain the
YNP population, since we will initiate
a status review if the Wyoming
statewide population, including YNP,
falls below 15 breeding pairs or below
150 wolves routinely or for 3
consecutive years. Wyoming’s wolf
management plan confirms Wyoming’s
intention to coordinate with YNP to
maintain a statewide total of at least 15
breeding pairs and at least 150 wolves
(WGFC 2011, p. 1).
Furthermore, we have previously
noted potential pitfalls with applying a
simple requirement to maintain at least
15 breeding pairs and at least 150
wolves statewide in Wyoming, and
conclude that the new approach is more
likely to maintain the population’s
recovered status in Wyoming than the
statewide approach employed in
Montana and Idaho. Under the 15
breeding pair statewide approach, if the
YNP wolf population increased to, for
example, 12 breeding pairs after
delisting, Wyoming could have reduced
the wolf population outside the park to
3 breeding pairs. However, such a
robust population in YNP would have
an increased likelihood of intraspecific
strife and disease, likely resulting in a
population decline similar to those
observed in YNP in 2005 and 2008. This
park population decline (i.e., falling
from 12 breeding pairs to, say, 5
breeding pairs), in combination with an
allowable population reduction outside
the park (to as low as 3 in the above
example), could compromise the
minimum recovery goal of at least 10
breeding pairs statewide. Recent
analysis of this information contributed
to our conclusion that a different
approach was warranted in Wyoming.
The new strategy precludes this
possibility by maintaining the
population at least at the minimum
recovery goals outside YNP and the
Wind River Indian Reservation, and
allows the wolf population in YNP and
on the Wind River Indian Reservation to
provide the additional buffer above the
minimum recovery goal. In addition to
preventing an unacceptable population
decline, this approach is also desirable
to the extent that it increases the
public’s understanding and expectation
that some modest wolf population and
wolf distribution will, and must, be
maintained outside of the National
Parks in order to maintain delisting and
State management authority. We
conclude that this public understanding
of Wyoming’s responsibility will result
in increased public tolerance for wolves
outside of National Parks. Such public
tolerance will benefit wolf conservation.
Finally, this approach is desirable for
the WGFD, because it gives the State a
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consistent minimum goal that will not
fluctuate across years. Such a steady
goal will be easier to consistently
satisfy.
Issue 19: Many comments criticized
Wyoming’s commitment to maintain at
least 10 breeding pairs and at least 100
wolves outside YNP and the Wind River
Indian Reservation. Some indicated this
commitment was too low and that the
area can support more wolves. Many
comments expressed general concern
that State management would result in
significant wolf population reductions
(a 40 to 60 percent reduction was most
often cited). Several peer reviewers
thought these goals should be met
within the Trophy Area instead of
across all of Wyoming given the
insecurity of wolves in the predator
area. Some comments complained that
at the time of the draft proposal,
Wyoming’s commitment to these targets
was not reflected in binding statutes or
regulations. A few comments expressed
concern that reporting mortality could
occur 24 hours to 10 days after the
event, during which significant
mortality could occur, compromising
management objectives. Numerous
comments, including the peer
reviewers, recommended that the
Wyoming Gray Wolf Management Plan
clearly commit to maintain a ‘‘sizable’’
buffer above minimum population
targets. Other commenters
recommended that Wyoming develop a
specific numeric buffer and that this
buffer needed to be enshrined in statute
or regulation before delisting could
occur. The peer reviewers also
expressed concern over the potential
rate of wolf population reduction, and
recommended that the Wyoming Gray
Wolf Management Plan provide a better
explanation of the adaptive processes
(including use of monitoring data) that
will guide wolf population reductions.
Many comments indicated a gradual
population reduction was unlikely since
Wyoming’s regulatory framework
authorizes numerous, competing
sources of human-caused mortality.
Other comments suggested State
commitments to maintain numeric
management objectives must be binding
and enforceable. Some noted that when
we accepted commitments short of this
standard in the past, the States failed to
meet the commitments.
Response 19: Consistent with our
agreement with the State, both
Wyoming statutes and regulations now
require Wyoming to maintain at least 10
breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves
outside YNP and the Wind River Indian
Reservation at the end of the year.
Wolves in the predator area will count
towards these goals (i.e., they will be
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reported at the end of the year should
they persist through that period), but
will not be relied upon by the WGFD
when making wolf management
decisions (e.g., when setting hunting
quotas) necessary to ensure the State
maintains at least minimum
management targets (WGFC 2012, p. 3).
This approach was demonstrated this
year when the WGFD and the WGFC
developed hunting quotas that provide
Wyoming with a substantial cushion
above the minimum management targets
solely within the Trophy Area and
allow any resident wolves that persist in
the predator area to further buffer these
minimum requirements.
While Wyoming can support more
wolves than the agreement requires, the
Act does not require managing the
species at carrying capacity. Instead, it
requires achieving and maintaining
recovery and providing reasonable
assurance of long term viability so that
the population does not again become
threatened or endangered. We have
determined that Wyoming’s approach to
wolf management after delisting will
achieve these goals and, when
considered in the region’s larger
management scheme, will maintain
recovery in Wyoming, the GYA, and
across the NRM DPS.
Wyoming intends to meet its statutory
and regulatory standards by managing
for a buffer above minimum
management targets (WGFC 2012, pp. 3–
5). The population will be routinely and
continuously monitored to detect
changes in population abundance,
distribution, and demographic makeup.
All mortality within the Trophy Area
will be reported within 72 hours (W.S.
23–1–304(d)(iv); W.S. 23–3–115(c))
including: Take authorized by lethal
take permits, which must be reported
within 24 hours (chapter 21, section
7(b)(v)); harvest, which must be
reported within 24 hours (chapter 47,
section 4(f)(i)); and defense of property
take, which must be reported within 72
hours (W.S. 23–1–304(d)(iv); W.S. 23–
3–115(c); chapter 21, section 6(a)).
Mortality in the predator area (which
after the first year will likely be limited)
must be reported within 10 days (W.S.
23–1–304(d)(iii); WGFC 2011, p. 29).
Should Wyoming’s wolf population
approach minimum management
objectives, the State will sequentially
limit: control actions for unacceptable
impacts to ungulates; harvest levels;
control for damage to private property;
and lethal take permits (WGFC 2012, p.
7). Regarding hunting specifically, the
addendum notes that Wyoming would
employ an iterative, adaptive, and
public process whereby season
structures, hunt areas, and quotas are
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evaluated and adjusted based on the
response of the wolf population to prior
management actions (WGFC 2012, pp.
4–7). Furthermore, the addendum notes
Wyoming’s authority to revise, reduce,
or close hunting seasons if necessary
(WGFC 2012, pp. 6–7). Such flexibility
allows the State to adaptively respond
to population problems should its
assumptions on susceptibility to
human-caused mortality prove overly
optimistic. Overall, we conclude that
this approach of managing, monitoring,
and regulating and limiting humancaused mortality, including adjustments
throughout the year as necessary, so that
minimum management targets will be
achieved, the population’s recovered
status will not be compromised, and the
population will not again become
endangered within the foreseeable
future throughout all or a significant
portion of its range.
We decided against requiring
Wyoming to provide a specific numeric
buffer above these minimum
management targets. While Wyoming
will, and must, maintain a buffer to
consistently meet its minimum
management targets, the buffer
necessary to achieve this goal will
change over time. For example, current
information indicates approximately
140 wolves have a 95 percent chance of
producing at least 10 breeding pairs
(Bruscino 2012, p. 5). Similarly,
Wyoming anticipates hunting and other
sources of mortality will reduce the
Trophy Area’s wolf population to
around 170 wolves and around 15
breeding pairs at the end of 2012 (well
above Wyoming’s management goals)
(Mills 2012, pers. comm.). While these
models are a reasonable short term
predictor of population response, they
are based on population data while the
Act’s protections were in place. After
delisting, management differences will
likely alter population dynamics and
change the usefulness of the currently
available data to predict the number of
wolves needed to meet or exceed the
State’s breeding pair target. For
example, higher mortality rates may
result in fewer packs successfully
raising pups through the end of the year
and qualifying as breeding pairs.
The exact difference between current
minimum estimates and likely future
outcomes are not known and probably
will not be known with any certainty
until after the new management regime
is implemented (likely for several
years). Given this fact, we concluded
that a firm commitment to the
underlying minimum management
target was sufficient, recognizing the
State would monitor the population
after delisting and adjust management
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over time based on this new data,
including learning what the population
can withstand (in terms of the amount,
timing, and intensity of human-caused
mortality) and how to consistently meet
or exceed the State’s minimum
management targets long term. This
approach is more appropriate
biologically than us developing an
arbitrary, mandatory buffer based on
current data that is unlikely to be an
accurate predictor of long term
population response after delisting.
Regarding the rate of reduction,
Wyoming has consistently indicated it
intends to pursue a gradual population
reduction during this learning phase. To
this end, Wyoming’s 2012 hunting quota
(52 wolves) is anticipated to reduce the
Trophy Area wolf population by about
11.5 percent and result in a Trophy Area
wolf population of around 170 wolves
and 15 breeding pairs at the end of 2012
(Mills 2012, pers. comm.). This initial
goal is comfortably above the minimum
agreed-upon population targets and is
consistent with the stated intention of a
gradual population reduction. In future
years, hunting quotas will be set later in
the year to allow full consideration of
recruitment and mortality events that
occurred during spring and summer. In
the long term, the State has sufficient
discretion to allow continued gradual
population reductions as necessary and
appropriate, before stabilizing the
population comfortably above the
minimum recovery goals.
Overall, given the biological resilience
of wolves to controlled and managed
human-caused mortality, these
strategies will provide that Wyoming’s
minimum management targets are not
compromised. When combined with
wolves occurring in adjoining
jurisdictions and across the NRM DPS,
we have high confidence recovery will
not be compromised in Wyoming, the
GYA, or across the NRM DPS.
Issue 20: One peer reviewer expressed
concern that the State’s reliance on
minimum population numbers, instead
of estimates that incorporate detection
probabilities, could result in improper
assumptions about trends. This reviewer
went on to indicate that if the State
increased monitoring intensity as the
population gets closer and closer to the
minimum management targets, this
increasing monitoring intensity could
result in the appearance of a population
increase when actual populations are
declining. For example, if a raw count
of 105 wolves one year detected only 80
percent of the population and a raw
count of 115 wolves the next year
detected 95 percent of the population,
raw counts would imply an increasing
population (from 105 to 115 wolves)
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when the actual population would have
declined (from 131 wolves to 121
wolves). Such data could lead State
officials to increase quotas and other
take allowances even as populations are
declining. Issues associated with such
errors would be increasingly risky the
closer the State is to its minimum
population target.
Response 20: We concluded that risk
associated with such potential
population counting errors will be
minimal because detection in Wyoming
will be high under State management,
year in and year out. Several factors
contribute to this likely high detection
rate including: WGFD’s survey effort
will be greater than what has been
occurring under Service management
because WGFD has substantially more
human power dedicated to wildlife
management in northwestern Wyoming
than we do; and the geography and use
of the area is conducive to wolf
detection. These factors will result in a
high detection rate, likely higher than
we achieved in the past. Therefore,
while estimates of abundance and
trends will not be perfect, we conclude
that they are likely to always be
sufficiently reliable assuming
maintenance of an adequate buffer
above minimum recovery levels.
That said, the importance of this issue
and any possible erroneous conclusions
about abundance and trends is
dependent on how close Wyoming
manages to its minimum population
targets. In 2012, Wyoming’s take
allowances are expected to maintain
around 170 wolves and 15 breeding
pairs outside of YNP and the Wind
River Indian Reservation at the end of
the year (Mills 2012, pers. comm.). As
discussed in Issue and Response 19
above, in subsequent years the
population will likely be gradually
reduced, but always maintained with a
sufficient buffer to allow management
flexibility and preclude the possibility
that relisting could occur. In most years,
the wolf population within the Trophy
Area will be well above the minimum
management targets of at least 10
breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves.
Minimum counts will verify that the
State has achieved these goals (as
discussed in Issue and Response 2
above). Wolves in YNP and the Wind
River Indian Reservation provide an
additional buffer so that the statewide
minimum recovery level is not
compromised. Within the larger GYA,
wolves in the Montana and Idaho
portion of the GYA provide additional
representation, resiliency, and
redundancy across the overall GYA
population. Such a conservative
approach sufficiently minimizes the risk
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associated with erroneous conclusions
about trends resulting from fluctuating
detection probabilities. While we would
support the development of a
monitoring technique that incorporates
detection probabilities, and Wyoming
has indicated that it is open to such an
approach if subsequent data indicate
that there is a need (State law requires
Wyoming to employ techniques that
accurately determine the population
(W.S. 23–1–304(d)(i))) (Mills 2012, pers.
comm.), we conclude that current
techniques are adequate, given the
overall management approach that will
be employed in the Trophy Area, the
GYA, and the NRM region.
Issue 21: A few commenters thought
it problematic that the agreed-upon
strategy places the burden of meeting
the minimum recovery goal (at least 10
breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves)
on areas outside of YNP. These
comments pointed out that the proposed
rule appeared to view YNP as merely
playing ‘‘a supporting role’’ in
maintaining recovery, rather than the
central role the park is likely to play,
given its abundance of high-quality
suitable habitat. These comments note
this approach is a complete reversal
from previous Wyoming wolf
management plans, which relied
primarily on YNP to meet the minimum
recovery levels, with Wyoming
providing the buffer above the
minimum levels. Some comments
maintained YNP should bear a greater
burden for wolf recovery and commit to
maintain specific numbers of wolves.
Others wanted clarification that the
agreement with Wyoming in no way
obligates the State of Wyoming to
manage for more than 10 breeding pairs
and more than 100 wolves at any time.
Response 21: Our discussion of YNP
was not intended to downplay or
undermine the importance of YNP for
the conservation of the GYA or NRM
gray wolf population. YNP represents a
secure block of suitable habitat, which
has supported between 96 and 174
wolves and from 6 to 16 breeding pairs
since 2000. While a lower long term
future population level in YNP is
predicted (Smith 2012), YNP will
continue to be important to the regional
wolf population and will play an
important role in maintaining the
regional wolf population’s recovered
status. We agree that this approach is a
modification from that used in previous
Wyoming wolf management plans, but it
is an approach that we requested as a
remedy to our previous determination
that the Wyoming management plan
was inadequate. In fact, recovery in
Wyoming depends both on having
healthy populations within YNP as well
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as the additional 100 wolves and 10
breeding pairs outside the YNP. The
combination of these two conservation
areas will provide for wolf recovery in
Wyoming.
Issue 22: Numerous comments
objected to Wyoming’s approach to
lethal take permits. Some objected to the
State’s statutory mandate to issue lethal
take permits as long as population
objectives are not likely to be
compromised. Others objected to the
issuance of lethal take permits for
‘‘harassing’’ livestock or domestic
animals. These comments indicated that
harassment is not defined and could
include, for example, causing dogs to
bark or cattle to move from one grazing
area to another. These comments went
on to indicate that because an area
would be categorized as a chronic wolf
depredation area if there are two
harassment episodes within a 2-month
period, this could allow large portions
of Wyoming to be designated as a
chronic wolf depredation area, which,
in turn, would authorize liberal
mortality over most of the Trophy Area.
One comment suggested that this
‘‘flimsy standard’’ could result in the
issuance of hundreds of permits
(perhaps more permits than wolves exist
in the Trophy Area). Some commenters
wondered how long it would take the
WGFD to figure out whether there was
a need to suspend or cancel permits and
whether this could endanger the ability
of the State to maintain the population
above agreed-upon targets. A few
comments noted there was not a
quantitative limit on the size of a
chronic depredation area or the number
of permits in such areas indicating
resulting take could be significant.
Other comments noted safeguards and
limits on lethal take permit issuance
designed to minimize population-level
impacts and prevent this source of
mortality from compromising
management objectives.
Response 22: Wyoming law (W.S. 23–
1–304(n)) states that permits ‘‘shall be
issued’’ to landowners or livestock
owners in cases where wolves are
harassing, injuring, maiming, or killing
livestock or other domesticated animals,
and where wolves occupy geographic
areas where chronic wolf predation
occurs. Numerous safeguards limit the
potential of these permits to
detrimentally affect the population. For
example, State statute requires that
permits be issued, and renewed as
necessary, in 45-day increments (W.S.
23–1–304(n)), and State regulations
limit the take allowance for each permit
to a maximum of 2 gray wolves, and
specify that each permit can only apply
to a specified limited geographic or
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legally described area (chapter 21,
section 7(b)(ii)). These requirements
provide that application of this source
of take is limited in time and geography.
Similarly, State regulations indicate that
purported cases of wolf harassment,
injury, maiming, or killing must be
verified by the WGFD (chapter 21,
section 6(b)). We conclude that this
requirement for WGFD verification
would limit potential abuse for this
source of mortality. Regarding the
issuance of lethal take permits for
wolves ‘‘harassing’’ livestock or
domestic animals, Wyoming will
require that WGFD staff verify that
wolves were present and involved in
activities that would directly indicate an
actual attack was likely (Mead 2012b).
Such activity must be an activity, such
as chasing or molesting, that is an
immediate precursor to actual biting,
wounding, grasping, or killing (Mead
2012b). Similar allowances are
incorporated in our experimental
population rules (50 CFR 17.84(n)(3)).
Finally, and most importantly, State
law (W.S. 23–1–304(n)) and the
implementing regulations (chapter 21,
section 7(b)(iii)) clarify that existing
permits would be cancelled, and
issuance of new permits would be
suspended, if the WGFD determines
further lethal control could compromise
the State’s ability to maintain a
population of at least 10 breeding pairs
and at least 100 wolves in Wyoming
outside of YNP and the Wind River
Indian Reservation at the end of the
calendar year. Importantly, the word
‘‘could’’ (as opposed to would or will)
provides authority for the WGFD to
manage for a buffer above the minimum
target and limit control from lethal take
permits, if necessary, to maintain an
adequate minimum buffer. However, the
Addendum to the Wyoming Gray Wolf
Management Plan explains that the
State law’s mandatory approach to
issuance of lethal take permits requires
that Wyoming’s adaptive management
framework limit other discretionary
sources of mortality before it limits this
source of mortality (WGFC 2012, p. 7).
On the whole, the available
information indicates that Wyoming’s
approach to lethal take permits may
affect population abundance
(particularly at a localized level where
wolf-livestock conflict is high), but that
Wyoming has instituted sufficient
safeguards so that this source of
mortality would not compromise the
State’s ability to maintain a population
of at least 10 breeding pairs and at least
100 wolves in Wyoming outside of YNP
and the Wind River Indian Reservation
at the end of the calendar year.
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Issue 23: We received many
comments on the permanent Trophy
Area and the predator area. Many of
these comments asserted this line was
arbitrary and not scientifically derived.
A few comments ridiculed an approach
that assumed wolves would adhere to
human-made boundaries. Most of these
comments thought that the WGFD
should be given management authority
statewide (note that the WGFD does not
have management authority over wolves
in the predator area). Some comments
noted that Wyoming treats other
predators (e.g., mountain lions and
black bears) as trophy game animals
statewide, while others noted that
wolves are not managed as predators in
any other State in the country. Many
suggested a predator designation was
unnecessary because State management
provides plenty of management
flexibility to address wolf problems as
evidenced by the Wyoming gray wolf
plan’s long list of lethal options.
Some comments asserted that
Wyoming’s new strategy including the
Trophy Area and the flex zone was
almost the same or only marginally
better than previously rejected State
regulatory frameworks and accused the
Service of reversing itself on this issue.
These comments noted that our 2009
delisting determination had stated
support for a state-wide trophy game
status and provided numerous reasons
why we felt such an approach was
‘‘advisable’’ and ‘‘the best way for
Wyoming to provide adequate
regulatory mechanisms.’’ Some noted
that we previously found statewide
trophy game status would provide
WGFD more flexibility to devise an
adaptive management strategy that
allows the State to respond to
population declines and still maintain
its numeric objectives. Others thought
areas like the Big Horn Mountains,
Wind River Range, Wyoming Range, and
Salt Range could support wolves and
should be protected (not designated as
a predator area) so recovery can
eventually take hold in these areas. Still
other comments supported State
management and indicated the State’s
Trophy Area was adequate because it
includes most of the suitable habitat.
One peer reviewer noted that there
was no functional difference between
Wyoming’s predator status across
largely unsuitable habitat and
management in eastern Montana and
southern Idaho (today or while listed)
that precluded wolf pack establishment
in these areas. A number of comments
indicated that we must approve
Wyoming’s dual status approach,
because we had previously concluded
such an approach was acceptable (Hall
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2007; 73 FR 10514, February 27, 2008),
noting only minor issues that needed to
be remedied (Gould 2009; 74 FR 15123,
April 2, 2009). A few comments
advocated for a smaller Trophy Area,
asserting that all wolves outside of
National Parks should be considered
predators.
Response 23: We recognize our
position on this issue may have led
people to view our perspective as
changing over time without reasoned
justification. We clarify our position
here. A statewide Trophy Area has long
been our preferred approach to sustain
wolf conservation, but that something
less than a statewide trophy game
designation (i.e., the current Trophy
Area) can satisfy the species’ biological
needs and maintain Wyoming’s share of
a recovered wolf population assuming
adequate management within this area.
This issue is important because
designation of an area as a predator area
or a Trophy Area strongly influences the
likelihood of wolf and wolf pack
persistence within the area. ‘‘Trophy
game’’ status allows the WGFC and
WGFD to regulate methods of take,
hunting seasons, types of allowed take,
and numbers of wolves that can be
killed. All other States within the NRM
DPS manage wolves as a game species
statewide. ‘‘Predatory animals’’ in
Wyoming are regulated by the State’s
Department of Agriculture under title
11, chapter 6 of the Wyoming Statutes.
Under these regulations, wolves in
predator areas can be killed by anyone
with very few restrictions. Coyotes are
managed in Wyoming in this manner.
The nature of this taking means it is
unlikely that wolf packs or breeding
pairs will persist in the predator area of
Wyoming. While some lone wolves and
dispersing wolves from both within the
GYA and from other metapopulations
will be killed, lone wolves and
dispersers will likely be less prone to
take than resident packs, whose
locations are easily detected and ranges
are easily determined.
Given these impacts, our assessment
of adequacy analyzed whether the
Trophy Area is of sufficient size to
support and maintain a recovered wolf
population in Wyoming over the long
term, assuming adequate management
within this area. This assessment
compared Wyoming’s Trophy Area to
past assessments of where we thought
wolf recovery would occur, subsequent
modeling exercises showing where
wolves are most likely to occur and
persist, and actual wolf distributional
data of where wolves persisted under
the Act’s protections. In total, Wyoming
wolves will be managed as game
animals year-round or protected in
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about 38,500 km2 (15,000 mi2) in the
northwestern portion of the State (15.2
percent of Wyoming (Lickfett 2012)),
including YNP, Grand Teton National
Park, John D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial
Parkway, adjacent U.S. Forest Service,
designated Wilderness Areas, adjacent
public and private lands, the National
Elk Refuge, and most of the Wind River
Indian Reservation. Wolves will be
designated as predatory animals in the
remainder of the State (predator area).
The above protected and permanent
game areas (see Figure 1) include: 100
percent of the portion of the GYA
recovery area within Wyoming (Service
1987, Figure 2); approximately 79
percent of the Wyoming portion of the
primary analysis area used in the 1994
Environmental Impact Statement (areas
analyzed as potentially being impacted
by wolf recovery in the GYA) (Service
1994, Figure 1.1); the entire home range
for 24 of 27 breeding pairs (88 percent),
40 of 48 packs (83 percent), and 282 of
328 individual wolves (86 percent) in
the State at the end of 2011 (Service et
al. 2012, Tables 2, 4, Figure 3; Jimenez
2012a; Jimenez 2012, pers. comm.); and
approximately 81 percent of the State’s
suitable habitat (including over 81
percent of the high-quality habitat
(greater than 80 percent chance of
supporting wolves) and over 62 percent
of the medium-high-quality habitat (50
to 79 percent chance of supporting
wolves) (Oakleaf 2011; Mead 2012a)).
Based on the above analysis, it is clear
that this is the portion of Wyoming
where wolf recovery was always
envisioned to occur, that wolves have
failed to persist in large numbers
outside of this area, that the vast
majority of the State’s suitable habitat is
contained within this portion of
Wyoming, and that this portion of
Wyoming has a demonstrated history of
being able to support a wolf population
that exceeds agreed-upon minimum
management targets. While a statewide
trophy game designation would allow
for more management flexibility,
Wyoming’s current Trophy Area is of
sufficient size to support and maintain
a recovered wolf population in
Wyoming over the long term, assuming
adequate management within this area.
To understand our position on the
Trophy Area, it is useful to review our
past positions on this issue. Prior to
2003, the gray wolf was designated by
W.S. 23–1–101(a)(viii) as a predatory
animal statewide in Wyoming. In 2003,
Wyoming passed a State law that
designated wolves as ‘‘trophy Game’’ in
YNP, Grand Teton National Park, John
D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway,
and the adjacent USFS-designated
Wilderness areas (Wyoming House Bill
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0229) once the wolf is delisted from the
Act. This State law also allowed the
WGFC to increase the Trophy Area if
certain population targets were not
achieved. The 2003 permanent Trophy
Area totaled about 7 percent of
Wyoming (Lickfett 2011). Wyoming’s
2003 post-delisting regulatory
framework was rejected because of
several flaws including (but not solely
because of) an insufficiently small
Trophy Area (Williams 2004c). Our
2006 petition finding clarified that ‘‘a
large portion of the area permanently
designated as ‘trophy game’ actually has
little to no value to wolf packs because
it is not suitable habitat for wolves and,
thus, is [seasonally] used * * * because
of their high elevation, deep snow, and
low ungulate productivity’’ (71 FR
43410, August 1, 2006). Overall, we
concluded that a larger Trophy Area
was necessary because maintenance of
wolf populations above recovery levels
would likely depend on wolves living
outside the National Parks and
wilderness portions of Wyoming (71 FR
43410, August 1, 2006). In 2007,
Wyoming adopted new legislation that
increased the Trophy Area. This new
Trophy Area, comparable to the current
protected and trophy areas, was deemed
sufficient to provide for the
conservation of Wyoming’s share of a
recovered wolf population (Hall 2007;
73 FR 10514, February 27, 2008).
However, this approval was later
retracted, in part, because Wyoming’s
2007 legislation allowed the WGFC to
diminish the Trophy Area to the 2003
line if it determines the diminution
would not impede the delisting of gray
wolves (Defenders of Wildlife, et al., v.
Hall, et al., 565 F.Supp.2d 1160 (D.
Mont. 2008); Gould 2009; 74 FR 15123,
April 2, 2009).
The current Trophy Area improves
upon the 2003 Trophy Area as it is
significantly larger and not subject to
WGFC expansion or reduction. The
current Trophy Area improves upon the
2007 Trophy Area in that: (1) It is
permanent and cannot be diminished;
and (2) it will be seasonally expanded
approximately 80 km (50 mi) south (see
Figure 3) (an additional 3,300 km2
(1,300 mi2) or 1.3 percent of Wyoming)
from October 15 to the last day of
February (28th or 29th) to facilitate
natural dispersal of wolves between
Wyoming and Idaho. While many
commenters asserted that these changes
were minor tweaks that do not justify a
departure from past Service positions,
we conclude that these changes are
biologically substantive and important.
These and other changes were sufficient
for us to determine that the current plan
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rectifies the inadequacies of the
previous plan.
Many comments note the Service’s
prior preference for statewide trophy
game designation. We acknowledge that
many official statements on this issue
(i.e., letters from the Director or Federal
Register notices) demonstrate that we
consistently questioned past Wyoming
Trophy Area designations and
concluded a revision was necessary or
required. However, a careful inspection
of the record will show that most
statements regarding a statewide trophy
game designation describe this approach
as advisable or recommended, rather
than required. While there are
exceptions to this generalized summary
of our position in the record, an overall
reading of the record confirms this
account of our position over time.
Issue 24: Some comments expressed
the opinion that predator status across
most of the State would subject wolves
to unsustainable levels of mortality and
compromise the population’s recovered
status. A few comments asserted that
the vast majority of wolves in Wyoming
would be subjected to unlimited and
unregulated taking. Some comments
supported the ‘‘very strict’’
requirements for reporting wolf
mortality in the predator area, while
other comments questioned whether the
monitoring and collection of genetic
samples would be mandatory. Several
comments expressed concern that
wolves from YNP, Grand Teton National
Park, John D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial
Parkway, and the National Elk Refuge
would be killed when they venture
outside those protected areas. These
comments indicated this outcome
would be exacerbated when wolves
follow elk to neighboring elk feeding
grounds. One comment suggested State
and Federal officials develop a protocol
for collaboration and coordination
before wolf removal occurs on feed
grounds in the Jackson area, in light of
potential impacts to Grand Teton
National Park and National Elk Refuge
wolves. Use of nonlethal take was
particularly recommended on elk
feedgrounds. A few comments
recommended a 20-mile buffer around
the Trophy Area to protect wolf parents
during the denning and pup rearing
season. Other comments objected to the
Trophy Area being set in statute, to the
extent it prevents an expansion of the
Trophy Area, even if it becomes
necessary to protect wolf populations.
A few comments noted occupancy
rarely persisted in the predator areas
even when wolves were listed, so all the
predator status does is change the form
of mortality these wolves endure from
agency control when they kill livestock
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to preemptive landowner control. Still
other comments disputed our assertion
that wolves in the predator area would
likely not persist. These comments
asserted take in this area, once the
initial novelty wears off, would likely be
‘‘opportunistic’’ rather than a
‘‘wholesale extirpation.’’ Some of these
comments expressed the opinion that
individual wolves, packs and breeding
pairs could or would occasionally occur
in less densely populated portions of
eastern Wyoming. Others suggested
control in the predator area is nothing
new because most wolves in this area
are already killed because they tend to
become problem wolves. Still others
expressed the view that wolves should
be ‘‘controlled by any means’’ if they
move outside ‘‘their designated range.’’
Response 24: Although a large
predator area will result in forms of
mortality that many members of the
public view as inhumane or unethical
(see Issue and Response 31 below), this
portion of Wyoming’s regulatory
framework will not subject wolves to
unsustainable levels of mortality or
compromise the population’s recovered
status. In fact, few wolves currently
occur in the predator area where such
unlimited taking will be allowed (at the
end of 2011, this included: 3 of 27
breeding pairs; 8 of 48 packs; and 46 of
328 wolves). As in eastern Montana and
southern Idaho, wolf restoration will not
occur in largely unsuitable habitat
regardless of its management
designation.
Wolf packs in the predator portions of
Wyoming are easy to detect and locate
and will generally not persist following
delisting. However, some individuals
from these packs could survive as lone
animals. Because none of the packs
resident to YNP or the Trophy Area are
known to spend a significant portion of
their time in the predator portions of
Wyoming (Jimenez 2012 a; Jimenez
2012, pers. comm.), the predator
designation is not expected to
meaningfully affect wolves in YNP or in
the Trophy Area (Jimenez 2012, pers.
comm.). While a larger Trophy Area
may benefit wolves and wolf
conservation, protected and game
portions of Wyoming are of sufficient
size to support a recovered wolf
population in Wyoming, under the
management regime developed for this
area.
Finally, State law requires that any
human-caused mortality occurring in
the predator area must be reported to
WGFD within 10 days (W.S. 23–1–
304(d)(iii)). This will assist the WGFD
with monitoring mortality in the
predator area and allow the State to
adjust mortality within the Trophy
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Area, if necessary. The State will also
collect genetic samples from these
animals when possible (chapter 21,
section 5(a)).
Issue 25: Many comments expressed
concern about the potential for the
hunting of wolves on Federal land and
that this delisting rule represented a
new management arrangement between
the Department of the Interior and the
State of Wyoming for particular areas
(e.g., National Parks or Wildlife Refuges)
that would supersede existing law,
regulations, or policy. The most
frequently mentioned land ownership
categories included the National Elk
Refuge, Grand Teton National Park, John
D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway,
Wilderness Areas and Wilderness Study
Areas, and Forest Service lands. Many
comments expressed concern that
inclusion of an area in Wyoming’s
Trophy Area implied an intention by
the State of Wyoming to hunt wolves in
these areas. Specifically, some were
confused by YNP’s exclusion from the
Trophy Area, contrasted with Grand
Teton National Park’s inclusion when
management in these areas should be
comparable, if not identical. Other
comments expressed concern that
Wyoming claimed jurisdiction over
private lands within Grand Teton
National Park and might authorize
hunting within the park’s boundaries.
Many expressed concern for hunting in
the John D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial
Parkway, noting such hunting would
sever a critical connectivity corridor
between Grand Teton National Park and
YNP. Other comments expressed
concern that National Park system
wolves would be killed when they left
the park and suggested that buffers with
no hunting or subunits immediately
adjoining these units be established
with very limited quotas to protect these
wolves. Finally, a few comments
expressed concern that Wyoming
claimed jurisdiction for non-Indian fee
title lands within the Wind River Indian
Reservation, meaning any wolves on
these lands would be treated as a
predator.
Response 25: Nothing in this rule
would alter, or in any way affect, the
jurisdiction or authority of the State of
Wyoming, Tribal governments, the
National Park Service, the U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service, or any other entity
with respect to the regulation of
hunting. Whatever jurisdiction or
authority to authorize, prohibit, or
regulate hunting existed in such areas
prior to this final rule is unchanged by
the promulgation of this rule (except, of
course, that this rule removes the
protections of the Act for wolves in
Wyoming). More specifically, inclusion
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of an area in the Trophy Area does not
imply a delegation of management
authority to the State or in any way alter
existing management arrangements.
Inclusion in the Trophy Area does not
necessarily mean hunting or other State
control actions will be allowed. Grand
Teton National Park was included in the
Trophy Area and YNP was not because
wolves occurring in Grand Teton
National Park are likely to spend
significant amounts of their time in
areas under State jurisdiction (including
possibly denning in the Trophy Area)
whereas most YNP wolf packs spend
most of their time in YNP. Thus, it
makes sense to count Grand Teton
National Park wolves in the State’s
management totals, and it makes sense
to exclude YNP wolves from the State’s
management objectives. For utmost
clarity, below we summarize
management authority for the most
often mentioned areas within the
Trophy Area.
Within the National Elk Refuge
(included in the Trophy Area), the
refuge retains all authority and
responsibility to manage all wolves on
the Refuge including, but not limited to,
monitoring, research, harvest, and wolf
control for depredations on domestic
animals and negative impacts on
wildlife. Recreational wolf hunting and
trapping is not currently authorized on
the refuge and is not anticipated, but
could be considered in the future
(Kallin 2012, pers. comm.). Regarding
predator management, regional Service
guidance clarifies that management
decisions are the purview of the refuge
manager, but that generally: Agencydirected population management
activities (i.e., those intended solely to
reduce or control predator populations)
would not be allowed on refuge lands;
ground-based control activities (but not
aerial gunning) could be allowed for
specific animals or family groups likely
responsible for documented livestock
depredations on neighboring or
adjoining lands (subject to National
Environmental Policy Act compliance);
and requests to conduct nonlethal
activities such as surveillance, livetrapping, marking, or radio-collaring by
partners could be granted (Coleman
2011). The Service will continue to
monitor and report on wolves located
on the National Elk Refuge (Kallin
2012a). These wolves will count toward
the State’s objective of at least 10
breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves
outside YNP and the Wind River Indian
Reservation (Kallin 2012a).
Within National Park System units,
hunting is not allowed unless the
authorizing legislation specifically
provides for it. Thus, hunting will not
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occur within YNP or Grand Teton
National Park (Frost and Wessels 2012;
Joss 2012; Mead 2012b). Although the
Addendum to Wyoming’s Wolf
Management Plan asserts the state’s
authority to manage wolves on
inholdings within Grand Teton National
Park, hunting of wolves on those
inholdings would not be allowed
because hunting within Grand Teton
National Park is not authorized by
federal law, and is therefore prohibited.
Title 36 of the Code of Federal
Regulations makes clear that the
hunting prohibition is applicable on all
lands within the park boundary,
regardless of ownership. Therefore,
taking of wolves would not be allowed
on any of the inholdings within the
park. The exception to the hunting
prohibition within the park is the elk
reduction program, which is a
management tool specifically included
in the park’s enabling legislation.
Although hunting is currently
allowed for many other game species in
the John D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial
Parkway under the Parkway’s enabling
legislation and Wyoming law, the
National Park Service has indicated a
‘‘strong preference that wolves not be
hunted in the John D. Rockefeller, Jr.
Memorial Parkway’’ (Frost and Wessels
2012). Wyoming’s hunting regulations
are clear that gray wolf hunting would
not occur in the Parkway during the
2012 season, although nothing in
Wyoming’s regulations or Wyoming’s
wolf management plan would preclude
wolves from being hunted in the
Parkway in subsequent years. Should
hunting ever occur in the John D.
Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway, it
would likely be very limited, would be
unlikely to noticeably affect wolf gene
flow or connectivity, and it would be
closely coordinated with the National
Park Service.
Some wolves in protected areas, such
as Grand Teton National Park or the
National Elk Refuge, will be vulnerable
to hunting and other forms of humancaused mortality when they leave these
Federal land management units. These
wolves were included in the Trophy
Area for exactly this reason. Because
Wyoming counts these wolves in its
totals, it has an incentive to minimize
impacts to these wolves (e.g., more
wolves, packs, and breeding pairs in
these protected Federal lands means
fewer wolves are needed for recovery in
the remainder of the Trophy Area). Such
information influenced Wyoming’s
intended harvest in 2012. Specifically,
in 2012, Wyoming authorized a harvest
of 15 wolves in all of the units adjoining
Grand Teton National Park (more than
60 wolves occur in Grand Teton
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National Park and the surrounding
area). We expect that harvest will have
a minimal impact on Grand Teton
National Park wolves because: The
surrounding units are fairly large; we
have no reason to assume harvest in
these units will be concentrated along
park boundaries; and some reproduction
will occur. Similar considerations will
also occur in future years. Furthermore,
should such mortality result in higher
than expected impacts in 2012 or future
years, we expect Wyoming to work with
the Service and National Park Service to
address the issue (Mills 2012, pers.
comm.). Should it ever become
necessary, Wyoming could consider
smaller hunting units for areas adjoining
these protected areas. Similar strategies
have been successfully implemented in
Montana in areas adjoining YNP.
Within Forest Service lands,
including Wilderness Areas and
Wilderness Study Areas (which are
generally Forest Service lands), the
Forest Service typically defers to States
on hunting decisions (16 U.S.C. 480,
528, 551, 1133; 43 U.S.C. 1732(b)). The
primary exception to this deference is
the Forest Service’s authority to identify
areas and periods when hunting is not
permitted (43 U.S.C. 1732(b)). However,
even these decisions are to be developed
in consultation with the States. Thus,
most State-authorized hunting occurs on
State and Federal public lands like
National Forests, Wilderness Areas, and
Wilderness Study Areas. Bureau of Land
Management lands are managed
similarly. This rule does not change or
in any way alter this arrangement.
Regarding the Wind River Indian
Reservation, we understand that
Wyoming claims management authority
of non-Indian fee title lands and on
Bureau of Reclamation lands within the
Wind River Indian Reservation’s
boundaries. Thus, wolves will be
classified as game animals (Shoshone
and Arapaho Tribal Fish and Game
Department 2007, pp. 2–3, 9) within
about 80 percent of the reservation and
will be treated as predators on the
remaining 20 percent (Hnilicka 2012).
Predator status would have minimal
impact on wolf management and
abundance, because these inholdings
tend to be concentrated on the eastern
side of the reservation outside of
reported areas of wolf activity
(Shoshone and Arapaho Tribal Fish and
Game Department 2007, Figure 1). We
note that, while the Shoshone and
Arapaho Tribes do not agree that
Wyoming has authority over these
lands, to date the Tribes have not
challenged this management authority
for other wildlife species. Therefore, we
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assume that if any wolves occur in these
areas they will be treated as predators.
Issue 26: Some comments expressed
concern that State management and the
resulting increased human-caused
mortality would negatively affect
surviving wolves and packs across the
region. Some comments focused on the
impact to pack social structure. Others
focused on psychological trauma and
increased stress to survivors which in
turn could affect their own likelihood of
survival. A few comments noted that
even in a relatively large protected area,
human harvesting outside park
boundaries can affect evolutionarily
important social patterns within
protected areas.
Response 26: Wolf packs frequently
have high rates of natural turnover
(Mech 2007, p. 1482) and quickly adapt
to changes in pack social structure
(Brainerd et al. 2008, p. 89). Higher rates
of human-caused mortality outside
protected areas will result in different
wolf pack size and structure than in
protected areas. However, wolf
populations in many parts of the world,
including most of North America,
experience various levels of humancaused mortality and the associated
disruption in natural processes and wolf
social structure, without ever being
threatened (Boitani 2003, pp. 322–323).
Therefore, while human-caused
mortality may alter pack structure, we
have no evidence that indicates this
issue, if adequately regulated (as will
occur in the NRM region), is a
significant concern for wolf
conservation.
Issue 27: A few comments opined that
Wyoming State law would allow abuse
of the State’s defense of property
allowance. Specifically, some opined
that Wyoming’s chapter 21 and State
statutes (W.S. 23–3–115) could allow
the use of dogs or livestock as bait to
encourage wolves to attack, which
would in turn allow the killing of the
offending wolf ‘‘doing damage to private
property.’’ These comments noted this
is different than our experimental
population rule’s allowances for defense
of property, where such baiting was
specifically prohibited.
Response 27: A representative from
the Wyoming Attorney General’s Office
indicated the baiting scenario laid out
above could be prosecuted under State
law (Nesvik 2012). Regardless, we
conclude that such a scenario is
unlikely to occur and exceedingly
unlikely to become a meaningful source
of mortality. Should a member of the
public desire to pursue wolf removal,
rather than risk violating State laws and
regulations, most would pursue either a
hunting tag or a lethal take permit. Such
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permitted take would be regulated and
limited as necessary. Furthermore, from
a practical standpoint, such baiting is
likely to be very time consuming given
the difficulty of trying to actually catch
a wolf ‘‘doing damage to private
property.’’ In the unlikely event that this
theoretical issue becomes a regular
source of uncontrollable mortality,
similar to legitimate defense of property
allowances, it would result in a smaller
harvest quota or other limits on
controllable human-caused mortality as
a means of compensating and ensuring
the population’s recovered status is not
compromised. This approach is
adequate to address this improbable,
theoretical issue.
Issue 28: Many comments objected to
killing wolves for eating their natural
prey. These comments dispute the
conclusion that wolves were causing
unacceptable impacts to ungulate herds
and instead suggested prey abundance
was primarily shaped by other factors
(e.g., habitat and climate). Many of these
comments suggested that we should let
nature achieve a natural balance over
time instead of reducing wolf
populations. Other comments suggested
Wyoming might use its allowance to
address ‘‘unacceptable impacts to
ungulate populations’’ to quickly reduce
wolf populations to minimum levels.
These comments asserted that the vague
and flexible definition of ‘‘unacceptable
impacts’’ (‘‘any decline in a wild
ungulate population or herd that results
in the population or herd not meeting
the state population management goal or
recruitment levels established for the
population or herd’’) could result in
abuse of this provision if the State
established absurd objectives for the
primary purpose of justifying large-scale
wolf removals.
Response 28: To date, Wyoming has
not proposed any wolf control projects
specifically to address unacceptable
impacts to ungulate herds. At present,
nearly all of Wyoming’s elk herds are at
levels above State objectives. While half
of Wyoming’s moose populations are
not meeting State objectives, the science
does not indicate wolves are the
primary culprit for this outcome. This
information indicates no immediate
need for such an approach. After
delisting, other management tools will
reduce wolf populations from current
levels, further limiting the need for
control specifically to address
unacceptable impacts to ungulate herds.
Therefore, we expect wolf control
specifically to address unacceptable
impacts to ungulate herds will be rare,
will be regulated should it occur, and
will not compromise recovery. Instead
of using this tool, we expect that
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Wyoming will consider ungulate herd
health when designing hunting units
and quotas. This approach will allow
them to use hunting (which is a far
cheaper management tool) to address
any perceived issues. Both hunting and
projects specifically to address
unacceptable impacts to ungulate herds
(should any occur) will be carefully
regulated so that population objectives
are not compromised and recovery is
maintained in Wyoming, the GYA, and
across the NRM DPS.
Issue 29: Some comments expressed
concern that illegal human-caused
mortality might be greater once Federal
protections are removed due to lower
and undefined consequences of illegal
wolf killing in the Trophy Area. A few
comments suggested unlimited and
unregulated taking in the predator area
will encourage people to illegally shoot
wolves in regulated portions of
Wyoming. A few comments noted our
previous statements that a statewide
trophy game status would be easier for
the public to understand and easier to
regulate and enforce. Some comments
noted the need for strict enforcement
with strong fines and penalties.
Response 29: Upon delisting, wolves
will become protected by State, Tribal,
and Federal laws and regulations. In
most cases, when wildlife managers
have sufficient evidence to recommend
prosecution, prosecution is pursued
(Bruscino 2012, pers. comm.).
Enforcement will keep illegal activity to
a minimal level. While listed, illegal
killing was estimated to be responsible
for approximately 10 percent of annual
mortality. This level of mortality was
not a threat to the population because of
the species’ prolific reproductive
capacity. There was no indication that
illegal mortality levels increased
following previous delistings. In the
Midwest, it appeared that fewer wolves
were illegally killed during the deer
hunting season when wolves were
delisted than when they were listed
(Wydeven et al. 2008). Furthermore, we
do not share the opinion that the take
allowances authorized in the predator
area will encourage others within the
Trophy Area to break the law. To the
contrary, slightly greater defense of
property allowances and legal hunting
opportunities may shift some illegal
killing into legal mortality categories.
Finally, while enforcement of the law
would have been easier under statewide
trophy animal status, we conclude that
human-caused mortality can be
adequately regulated by Wyoming under
the current regulatory framework. Under
Wyoming’s regulatory framework it will
be incumbent upon members of the
public to know their rights and
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responsibilities towards wolves in
different parts of the State. Similar
requirements would be placed upon the
public even if Wyoming adopted a
single statewide trophy animal
designation when wolves cross into
areas like National Parks, wildlife
refuges, sovereign Indian land, or other
States, or when hunters move from one
hunting unit into another. Such
differential standards governing take
allowance currently exist for other
State-regulated species and rarely cause
confusion for the public. Furthermore,
the potential for confusion is lessened
because Trophy Area boundaries are set
in statute. Thus, the same agency will
consistently make management
decisions for a set location; while
management may seasonally shift
between agencies in the seasonal
Trophy Area, the timing and geography
of this shift is set in statute and will not
change across years, providing some
reasonable level of predictability here,
too. This contrasts with and
substantially improves upon previous
regulatory frameworks in Wyoming
where the WGFC had authority to move
the line whenever it saw fit if the State’s
objectives could be met in a smaller
area. Thus, overall, we conclude that,
while some confusion is possible, the
available evidence indicates that most
stakeholders will obey the law as it
applies to wolves in different
geographical areas.
Therefore, we conclude that while
some level of illegal mortality goes on
now and is likely to continue, we have
high confidence that this issue,
singularly or in combination with other
factors, will not compromise the
Wyoming, the GYA, or the NRM gray
wolf population’s recovered status.
Issue 30: Many other comments
suggested Wyoming should employ
nonlethal deterrents, birth control or
sterilization, or relocation before
resorting to lethal control. Some
comments accepted lethal control when
there was a current or imminent threat
to personal property. Many comments
suggested increased spending for
rancher education including nonlethal
approaches to deterring wolf
depredation. One comment asserted that
limiting lethal control methods was the
best way to spur innovation in
developing and increasing application
of effective nonlethal options. This
commenter asserted that, by limiting the
amount of lethal control and who can
implement it, incidents of residents
killing the wrong wolf would be
minimized. A few comments indicated
that State compensation programs
(which pay at 7 times market value)
create a perverse incentive to encourage
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poor animal husbandry practices (things
like putting livestock in known wolfoccupied areas).
Response 30: While not required by
the Act, State, Tribal, and Federal
managers will continue to use a
combination of management options in
order to reduce wolf-human conflicts,
including nonlethal forms (Bangs et al.
2006). However, these methods are only
effective in some circumstances, and no
single tool is a cure for every problem.
Lethal control will still be required in
many circumstances. In areas with yearround high livestock density, it is
almost impossible to prevent chronic
livestock depredation if wolf packs form
in those areas. Lethal control used in
combination with nonlethal methods
can improve the overall effectiveness of
both management options (Bangs et al.
2006, p. 8; Brietenmoser et al. 2005, p.
70).
Issue 31: Many comments objected to
various types of mortality that will be
allowed in Wyoming, particularly in the
predator area, as well as activities
currently ongoing in Montana and
Idaho, which they viewed as inhumane,
unethical, or unfair. For example, some
people objected to poisoning, gassing,
hunting, trapping or snaring (as well as
not checking traps often enough),
torturing, and various other methods of
killing wolves. A few suggested humane
euthanasia instead of other less-humane
methods of control. Others objected to
any wolf killing. Many viewed wolves
as intelligent, sentient beings that
warrant protection. A few comments
expressed the opinion that the sudden
shift of wolves being protected as
endangered one day to being considered
vermin the next day was
unprecedented, contrary to the intent of
the Act, and violated the duty imposed
by the Act to recover and protect at-risk
species. Others opined that this
approach violated the stated purpose of
the Act ‘‘to provide a means whereby
the ecosystems upon which endangered
species and threatened species depend
may be conserved.’’ A few comments
suggested Wyoming’s decision to
designate wolves as predators across
most of the State violated six principles
of the North American Wildlife Model
of Conservation including: Wildlife as
public trust resources; allocation of
wildlife by law; wildlife should only be
killed for a legitimate purpose; wildlife
are considered an international
resource; science is the proper tool for
discharge of wildlife policy; and
democracy of hunting (the 7th principle
is ‘‘elimination of markets for game’’).
Response 31: We recognize and
respect that many find some or all forms
of human-caused wolf mortality as
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morally or ethically objectionable. Some
forms of wolf mortality that may occur
in the predator area were not
implemented while the Service was
responsible for wolf management.
However, the Act requires that we make
our determination based on the status of
the subject species (is it recovered and
will State management retain that
recovered status if the Act’s protections
are removed) and does not allow us to
consider the manner in which
individuals will be killed after delisting
unless it would affect this overarching
viability determination. The manner of
take is subject to State control once
wolves are delisted. Based on the
available information, we do not find
any persuasive information to indicate
that the manner of killing will affect the
viability of the Wyoming, the GYA, or
the NRM gray wolf populations.
Regarding viability, few wolves occur in
the predator portion of Wyoming (now
and likely far fewer after delisting);
therefore, few wolves will be subjected
to such taking. Furthermore, we cannot
find any evidence that a shift from being
Federally protected under the Act one
day to being considered vermin the next
day conflicts with Congressional intent
or violates the Act. Finally, designation
of large portions of Wyoming as a
predator area is not inconsistent with
the purposes of the Act—wolf
restoration in nearly all of the predator
area is unrealistic regardless of its
designation; as in eastern Montana and
southern Idaho, wolf restoration will not
occur in largely unsuitable habitat
regardless of its management
designation. In other words, protection
of the wolf population and maintenance
of the ecosystems on which wolves
depend have been, and will continue to
be, protected to the extent necessary.
Gene Flow and Genetic Diversity
Issue 32: A few comments suggested
that lack of genetic diversity was an
issue for NRM gray wolves, that almost
all wolves in Yellowstone and Idaho
descended from a small reintroduced
population, and that the genetic
diversity of the extirpated North
American gray wolf was twice that of
the current population. Many comments
discussed genetic connectivity and
potential future genetic issues that
could result from genetic isolation (e.g.,
inbreeding depression or reduced
genetic fitness). Many comments
indicated that gene flow was limited
under the Act’s strict regulatory
framework, and would be even more
limited after delisting. Specifically,
these comments indicated State
management would reduce the wolf
population resulting in fewer dispersers,
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and reduce occupied range, increasing
the distance a dispersal event would
need to cover, which in turn would
reduce both the numbers of dispersal
events and increase mortality among
dispersers. Various types of allowable
mortality (hunting and killing in the
predator area were most frequently
mentioned) would result in reduced
survival for wolves traveling between
subpopulations (including dispersal
during peak dispersal periods), and high
mortality rates in unprotected areas
would kill wolves that successfully
traverse between subpopulations.
Some comments noted our previous
conclusion that dispersal would likely
‘‘noticeably decrease’’ if populations
were maintained near 150 wolves per
State. Several comments apparently
viewed this as an admission that
management at these levels are not
genetically sustainable. A few
comments suggested that we should
analyze this threat at minimum
population levels. Some comments
challenged our assertion that the
population was recovered as long as
human-caused mortality, the primary
threat faced by the species, could
impede gene flow. While the peer
review report concluded that ‘‘gene flow
is likely to be adequate in the short and
medium term,’’ some comments
expressed concern about genetic health
in the long term. Still other comments
indicated gene flow was unlikely to
become a conservation issue for NRM
and GYA wolves, given the proximity of
neighboring wolf populations and the
dispersal capabilities of wolves.
Numerous documented long distancedispersal events were given as examples
of the species’ dispersal ability (i.e.,
dispersal into Oregon, Washington,
California, South Dakota, Nebraska,
Colorado, and Utah). A few comments
noted that most of the peer reviewers
viewed genetic connectivity and
potential genetic issues as a ‘‘nonissue.’’
Response 32: NRM wolves are as
genetically diverse as their vast, secure,
healthy, contiguous, and connected
populations in Canada (Forbes and
Boyd 1997, p. 1089; vonHoldt et al.
2007, p. 19; vonHoldt et al. 2010, pp.
4412, 4416–4421), and, thus, genetic
diversity is not a wolf conservation
issue in the NRM DPS at this time
(Hebblewhite et al. 2010, p. 4383;
vonHoldt et al. 2010, pp. 4412, 4416,
4421). Wolves have an unusual ability
to rapidly disperse long distances across
virtually any habitat and select mates to
maximize genetic diversity. Wolves are
among the least likely species to be
affected by inbreeding when compared
to nearly any other species of land
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mammal (Fuller et al. 2003, pp. 189–
190; Paquet et al. 2006, p. 3; Liberg
2008). Genetic and dispersal data
demonstrate that minimal acceptable
levels of genetic exchange between all
NRM subpopulations were met or
exceeded while the species was listed
(including from 1995 to 2004 when the
population was between 101 and 846
individuals and likely a higher rate of
effective dispersal since then). While
State management will almost certainly
reduce genetic exchange rates from
recent levels (which exceed minimal
acceptable levels of genetic exchange),
we find it extremely unlikely that it will
be reduced to the point that the GYA
wolf population will be threatened by
lower genetic diversity in the
foreseeable future. Similarly, the peer
review report concluded ‘‘genetic
concerns (inbreeding, maintenance of
gene flow) are minor’’ and that ‘‘gene
flow is likely to be adequate in the
short- and medium-term’’ (Atkins 2012,
p. iii). Overall, the best scientific and
commercial information available
indicates this issue is unlikely to
undermine the Wyoming, the GYA, or
the NRM gray wolf population’s
recovered status and that this issue,
singularly or in combination with other
factors, is unlikely to cause the
population to become an endangered
species within the foreseeable future
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range. This issue is discussed further
in subsequent Issues and Responses and
in Factor E below.
Issue 33: Many comments expressed
the opinion that the seasonal Trophy
Area expansion would not be effective
in maintaining a genetic connection
between wolves in Wyoming and
wolves in Idaho. A few comments noted
that we previously recommended a
statewide Trophy Area reasoning that
dispersal is more likely to lead to
genetic exchange if dispersers have safe
passage through the predator area.
Numerous comments asserted that the
seasonal Trophy Area’s boundary was
based on political compromise and not
science. Many comments noted that we
failed to present any data explaining
why this geographic area and this time
period are adequate to maintain genetic
connectivity. Some of these comments
noted that seasonal protection was
inadequate because wolf dispersal takes
many months and occurs at all times of
the year. Other comments noted that
more than half of the time the area was
protected as a game area, hunting would
occur, further limiting its effectiveness
as a protective corridor.
A few comments suggested the
effectiveness of this area would be
further hindered by management in
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Idaho. Specifically, during the fall 2011
to spring 2012 hunting season, Idaho’s
Southern Wolf Hunting Zone (adjacent
to the seasonal Trophy Area) had a 7month hunting season (August 30 to
March 31) with unlimited total quotas.
This comment indicated that these
combined management schemes do
little or nothing to prevent genetic
isolation because they do not provide a
single day of the year when wolves can
move between this portion of Idaho and
Wyoming and not face unlimited kill
prospects. A few comments
recommended the seasonal Trophy Area
should be added to the permanent
Trophy Area. Some comments suggested
the southern boundary should be placed
further south than the Teton County line
for both scientific and economic reasons
(predator status in Teton County could
hurt its image as a place that honors and
protects wildlife). Others suggested the
entire State should be categorized as a
Trophy Area (instead of the seasonal
Trophy Area expansion) in order to
maximize the likelihood of maintaining
genetic connectivity.
Response 33: Dispersing wolves will
likely use multiple routes to enter the
GYA in the years to come. For example,
a simple evaluation of Figure 2 in this
rule would suggest the shortest and
most direct path to entering the GYA is
from the central Idaho region into
eastern Idaho’s portion of the GYA. In
recognition of this likelihood, Idaho has
limited hunting in this region.
Similarly, some wolves could move
from western Montana into southcentral Montana and enter the GYA
subpopulation. The distance between
these areas is currently very small (a fact
demonstrated by the relative difficulty
in determining which subpopulation
some intervening packs should be
assigned to based on visual inspection
alone; i.e., pack 99 or 242 in Figure 2)
and is expected to remain an easily
travelable distance long term. Effective
migration into the GYA via these routes
could be done without moving through
Wyoming and would accomplish the
desired connectivity goal.
Similarly, while YNP’s recent high
density and reproductive output
appears to have limited gene flow from
other subpopulations into the park (but
not necessarily through the park), the
lack of dispersal into YNP may change
as the park’s wolf population continues
its decline into a lower long term
equilibrium (Smith 2012). Furthermore,
regardless of whether they establish in
the park, future wolf population
densities in YNP will not preclude
dispersing wolves from traveling
through the park. Given the above,
dispersal around the southern end of the
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permanent Trophy Area is likely to be
a small portion of the total number of
dispersers.
Additionally, the predator area
designation will not preclude dispersal.
While resident packs with established
home ranges and known denning sites
in the predator area are expected to be
removed, dispersers will be more
difficult to find, resulting in some
successful dispersal. Hunting data from
Idaho’s Southern Wolf Hunting Zone
demonstrates this conclusion. During
the 2009–2010 hunting season, Idaho
allowed hunting from August 30th to
March 31st in this zone, but only one
wolf was harvested. During the 2011–
2012 hunting season, Idaho allowed
hunting from August 30th to March 31st
with an unlimited quota in this zone,
but only harvested two wolves. Much
like the Wyoming predator area, few
resident wolves occupy this area, so
most take that occurs is opportunistic.
Such take has proven minimal to date.
We conclude that this trend will
continue in Idaho’s Southern Wolf
Hunting Zone. Similarly, take of
dispersers in the predator area will
occur, but will be limited, and dispersal
will likely continue through this area,
despite the predator area’s legal status
and liberal take opportunities.
The seasonal expansion of the Trophy
Area was designed to facilitate
additional dispersal around the
southern edge of the GYA population.
Specifically, the permanent Trophy
Area will expand approximately 80 km
(50 mi) south along the western border
of Wyoming from October 15 to the end
of February (see Figure 1 above). This
seasonal expansion covers
approximately 3,300 km2 (1,300 mi2)
(i.e., an additional 1.3 percent of
Wyoming). This area was selected to
provide a southern route around the
Teton Range in winter when high
elevation and high snow packs would
limit wolf passage. The timing of this
expansion was also selected to provide
additional protection for wolves during
peak dispersal periods in winter.
Human-caused mortality will be limited
during this important time period. For
example, in 2012, Wyoming established
a quota of 2 wolves for the seasonal
Trophy Area with a season from October
15 through December 31; no hunter
harvest will be allowed from January 1
through the end of February. The
seasonal expansion of the Trophy Area,
together with other reforms to the
State’s regulatory framework, will
benefit dispersal and will provide that
the Wyoming, the GYA, and the NRM
gray wolf population’s recovered status
will not be compromised.
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Most of the peer reviewers concurred
with our assessment, noting that the
Trophy Area was sufficient to maintain
genetic connectivity and gene flow
between subpopulations. Additionally,
most peer reviewers indicated that the
designation of a large predator area
would not undermine this connectivity
and the desired levels of gene flow.
Issue 34: Some comments questioned
the basis for the goal of at least one
effective migrant per generation moving
into the GYA to address potential
genetic issues. A few comments noted
that documented effective natural
migration into the Greater Yellowstone
Ecosystem was less than half of the one
effective migrant per generation
standard (0.43 natural effective migrants
per generation); one comment noted that
this estimate was a minimum estimate
and a rate around the minimum
standard probably occurred. Some
comments cited literature
recommending up to 10 migrants per
generation. One comment even
indicated that some populations require
greater than 20 migrants per generation.
One of the peer reviewers noted gene
flow should also occur from the GYA
into the other subunits.
Response 34: As a general rule,
genetic exchange of at least one effective
migrant (i.e., a breeding migrant that
passes on its genes) per generation is
viewed as sufficient to prevent the loss
of alleles and minimize loss of
heterozygosity within subpopulations
(Mills and Allendorf 1996, entire; Wang
2004, entire; Mills 2007, p. 193). This
level of gene flow allows for local
evolutionary adaptation while
minimizing negative effects of genetic
drift and inbreeding depression. While
higher levels of genetic exchange may
be beneficial (note the ‘‘at least’’ in the
above standard), we conclude that a
minimum of one effective migrant per
generation is a reasonable and
acceptable goal to avoid any degradation
in the NRM DPS’s current levels of
genetic diversity. Even the most
cautious peer reviewer, Dr. Vucetich,
agreed ‘‘existing literature suggests that
this objective for immigration is
appropriate’’ (Atkins 2011, p. 87). As
discussed further in Factor E below, this
level of genetic exchange likely
occurred when the population was
between 101 and 846 wolves and has
likely been exceeded at higher
population levels (as discussed in more
detail in Factor E below).
Management attention to date has
focused on gene flow into the GYA from
other subpopulations because this is the
most isolated population, and the
population where a lack of gene flow
has a theoretical potential to affect the
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population. The other two
subpopulations are well connected to
each other and Canadian wolf
populations, indicating that genetic
issues are not likely to be a conservation
issue for the central Idaho or
northwestern Montana subpopulations.
While gene flow from the GYA into
other subpopulations has likely
occurred and will likely continue after
delisting, such movement is not
necessary for the preservation of GYA,
central Idaho, or northwestern Montana
wolf subpopulations. While such gene
flow is desirable, it is not necessary to
prevent the NRM DPS or any of its
subpopulations from becoming
threatened or endangered.
Issue 35: A few comments noted that
no genetic exchange could occur for up
to 20 years before remedial action
would be considered. Some of these
comments saw this as problematic
because some modeling indicates a
small, isolated population of around 170
wolves could see decreased juvenile
survival within 60 years.
Response 35: As discussed elsewhere
in this rule, genetic diversity is not a
short term issue and will not constitute
a threat to the viability of the wolf
population at any time in the
foreseeable future. Even for small and
isolated populations (neither of which
will be the case for the GYA wolf
population), changes in genetic
diversity take time. For example, a
vonHoldt et al. (2007, pp. 16, 19) model
suggested that even if the GYA
population is maintained at about 170
animals and no effective migration
occurs, the heterozygosity and
inbreeding coefficients will not change
for the next 10 years, would change
minimally over the next 20 to 30 years
(not enough to result in a phenotypic
change), and that it would take 60 years
before a 15 percent reduction in
reproductive rates could occur (which
would not likely threaten or endanger
the population). However, we believe
even these outcomes are overly
pessimistic, because the vonHoldt et al.
(2007) model assumes a population
level about half the GYA’s likely long
term average (as discussed elsewhere in
this rule) and, even in a worst case
scenario, natural effective migration and
gene flow will exceed zero (the model
assumes zero effective migration).
Given the above, we conclude that it
is appropriate to monitor this issue for
multiple wolf generations before
deciding whether to take action and
what type of action to take. However,
this approach does not mean this issue
will be neglected as this comment seems
to imply. In fact, Wyoming has agreed
to pursue an extensive long term genetic
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monitoring program, which will be
more intensive than what is undertaken
for any other species in Wyoming (Mead
2012a). Should data warrant a need, the
States will then implement remedial
actions, as appropriate, including
options like limiting the amount and
timing of human-caused mortality to
increase survival of dispersing wolves.
Overall, this comprehensive and
rigorous approach to this issue gives us
confidence that genetic diversity will
not become a threat to the population’s
recovered status.
Issue 36: Many comments objected to
human-assisted migration as a strategy
to address potential genetic threats
associated with reduced or lost
connectivity when feasible methods for
ensuring natural dispersal and
population connectivity exist (e.g.,
reducing human-caused mortality).
Others thought human-assisted
migration should be a last resort and
that it was an inappropriate tool to
overcome anthropogenic barriers to
dispersal (primarily human-caused
mortality). Others noted that this
management approach risks
unnecessarily creating a conservationreliant species. Some suggested
allowance for human-assisted migration
meant the population was not
recovered, because the Act requires selfsustaining wild populations to achieve
recovery. Other comments argued any
species that requires translocation is not
recovered because section 3 of the Act
defines ‘‘recovery’’ (technically
‘‘conservation’’) as ‘‘the point at which
the measures provided pursuant to this
Act are no longer necessary’’ and the list
of measures includes relocation. Some
comments expressed the view that we
had no real assurance Wyoming would
use translocation only as an option of
last resort, and more likely, it would
become ‘‘standard procedure.’’
A few comments viewed our
allowance for human-assisted migration
as removing State incentive to achieve
the criterion via natural dispersal.
Others requested clarification on when
it would be used, what it would look
like, and how it would be financed.
These comments concluded it was
counter to the Act for us to rely on the
unenforceable intentions of Wyoming as
grounds to dismiss this potential threat.
One comment suggested the proposed
rule oversimplified the feasibility of
artificial translocation noting few
transplanted wolves would become
breeders, that artificial insemination
would be technically difficult, and that
such a program would be costly to the
States. Still other comments suggested
relocating problem wolves instead of
killing them, noting the ancillary benefit
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of providing gene flow. Other comments
insisted delisting should not occur until
the population can be shown to be
genetically viable under State
management without translocation.
Response 36: Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming all agree that natural
connectivity is the preferred approach
to maintaining genetic diversity, and
have indicated an intention to jointly
collaborate to provide continued
opportunities for natural connectivity
between all three recovery areas (Groen
et al. 2008, p. 2; WGFC 2012, pp. 6–7).
Given the dispersal capabilities of
wolves and the proximity of suitable
habitat, we conclude that the States can,
and will, achieve adequate levels of
genetic exchange. Such levels likely
occurred when the population was
between 101 and 846 wolves and have
likely been exceeded at higher
population levels (as discussed in more
detail in Factor E below). Although
future dispersal will differ from past
levels, the available data support a
conclusion that human-assisted
migration is unlikely to be a regular
activity. Instead, translocation of wolves
or other management techniques to
move genes between subpopulations
would only be used as a stop-gap
measure, if necessary to increase genetic
interchange (WGFC 2012, p. 7). In short,
NRM wolves and wolves in the GYA are
not expected to need or rely on humanassisted migration often, if ever, and
these populations will not become
‘‘conservation reliant’’ as defined by
Scott et al. (2005, entire). That said,
should it ever become necessary,
human-assisted migration is an
acceptable management technique
(especially when relied upon only as a
measure of last resort). This conclusion
is consistent with the position we took
in our 1994 Environmental Impact
Statement, which noted that other
wildlife management programs rely
upon such agency-managed genetic
exchange and concluded that the
approach should not be viewed
negatively (Service 1994, pp. 6–75).
We recognize that the logistics of
human-assisted migration, should it
ever become necessary, would present a
number of challenges, but we are
confident that those challenges can be
overcome. Source wolves could be
obtained from any of the other
subpopulations or adjoining
populations in Canada. Wolf capturing
and transporting was used for the initial
reintroductions, have proven to be a
feasible and successful technique, and
could be used again (Fritts et al. 2001,
p. 129). Such assisted migration efforts
would take into account the fact that
only a fraction of relocated wolves
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would likely become breeders (35
percent of naturally dispersing wolves
reproduce (Jimenez et al. In review, pp.
9–12); similarly, two of ten pups moved
from northwestern Montana to YNP in
1997 became breeding adults (vonHoldt
et al. 2010, p. 4421). Other unorthodox
approaches to genetic migration such as
artificial insemination of wild animals
could also be considered, but are less
likely to be used because they would
present their own logistical challenges
(Thomassen and Farstad 2008, entire;
Payan-Carreira et al. 2011, entire). All
such efforts would be a cooperative
effort between the three States, Federal
agencies and other partners as
appropriate. Funding such wolf
management would also be a
cooperative effort with multiple parties
contributing various portions as
necessary and appropriate; funding wolf
management is discussed further in
Issue and Response 46 below.
Finally, the idea that delisting should
not occur until the population can be
shown to be genetically viable under
State management without translocation
is inconsistent with the purposes of the
Act. Because delisting is a precursor to
full State management (i.e., State
management unrestricted by the Act and
including hunting), it is impossible to
require demonstrated successful State
management as a precondition to
delisting. This issue is true for
management of genetics or any other
issue.
Issue 37: We received a number of
suggestions to improve the adequacy of
Wyoming’s commitment to maintaining
natural connectivity including: That we
develop objective and measurable
recovery criteria or relisting triggers for
natural dispersal; that we develop
specific management actions to ensure
the criteria remain met; that the States
commit to genetic monitoring in State
law or a binding management plan; and
that we commit to relisting within a
specific time period if the natural
dispersal criteria are not met.
Response 37: Although we seriously
considered developing a status review
trigger related to genetic connectivity,
we ultimately decided this was not
appropriate because we concluded that
it is extremely unlikely that declines in
genetic diversity would threaten or
endanger the Wyoming, the GYA, or the
NRM gray wolf populations. Thus, we
concluded that a status review trigger
would create an issue where there was
not one and, therefore, was
inappropriate. Similarly, we concluded
that it was not appropriate to commit to
relisting if certain levels of gene flow are
not achieved. Such a specific
commitment would require us to
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demonstrate that the population would
necessarily be threatened or endangered
if the goals were not met. Given the
available information, we did not feel
we could satisfy this standard. For
example, we do not believe the available
information would support a conclusion
that the population would be threatened
or endangered if we achieved an average
of 0.75 effective dispersers per
generation over the next century instead
of the goal of at least one effective
migrant per generation. In fact, we find
it very unlikely this would be the case.
Therefore, we decided it would be
inappropriate to commit to a specific
status review or relisting trigger related
to this issue. However, we will continue
to work with the States on this issue so
that genetic issues do not threaten the
NRM gray wolf. We will also work with
the States over the long term to carefully
monitor any changes in genetic diversity
and fitness. In the unlikely event that
this issue does ever pose a significant
risk to the well-being of NRM gray
wolves, as required by section 4(g)(2) of
the Act, we will make prompt use of the
Act’s emergency listing provisions.
Adequacy of Regulatory Mechanisms
Issue 38: A few comments questioned
the competency of the State to manage
wolves. Some comments asserted that
giving Wyoming management authority
was inappropriate given the State’s
history with this issue and public
attitudes towards wolves in the State.
Others expressed faith that Wyoming’s
wildlife professionals would do an
exceptional job managing this species,
as they have done with other wildlife
like mountain lions, black bears,
bobcats, and coyotes. Numerous
comments expressed confidence the
State would do a far better job than we
have done.
Response 38: WGFD has a relatively
large and well-distributed professional
game and fish staff that have
demonstrated skill and experience in
successfully managing a diversity of
resident species, including many large,
high-profile, and controversial
carnivores. WGFD staff is fully qualified
to manage a recovered wolf population.
State management of wolves in the
Trophy Area (where most wolves reside)
will be in alignment with the classic
State-led North American model for
wildlife management, which has been
extremely successful at restoring,
maintaining, and expanding the
distribution of numerous populations of
other wildlife species, including other
large predators, throughout North
America (Geist 2006, p. 1; Bangs 2008).
WGFD provided evidence of this
competency when it had management
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authority within the Trophy Area for a
few months in 2008. During 2008, the
documented minimum wolf population
outside YNP saw modest changes,
including a total population decrease
from 188 to 178 individuals, an increase
in the number of packs from 25 to 30,
and an increase in the number of
breeding pairs from 14 to 16 (Service et
al. 2007–2008, Wyoming chapter, p. 4).
Wyoming also experienced a
comparable number of livestock
depredations in recent years (67 in
2008, while the area has averaged 98
since 2003) (Service et al. 2007–2008,
Wyoming chapter). Meanwhile, agency
control including defense of property
take was also comparable to the long
term average (46 in 2008, while the area
has averaged 39 since 2003) (Service et
al. 2007–2008, Wyoming chapter).
Although Wyoming only had
management authority for a few months
in 2008, most agency control and
defense of property mortality occurs
during spring and summer, which
makes these numbers informative of the
WGFD’s approach to management and
its capacity to meet objectives.
Wyoming also planned a modest hunt
with a quota of 25 wolves in 2008 before
this hunt was enjoined from occurring.
Collectively, this information
corroborates our belief that Wyoming
can, and likely will, follow through on
its stated management intentions.
Issue 39: We received a few comments
on what constitutes an adequate
regulatory mechanism and what was
appropriate to consider in our analysis.
Some comments pointed out that we
relied on unenforceable State intentions
in our 2009 delisting, which were
promptly disavowed or violated. For
example, some comments asserted that
we relied upon Idaho’s stated intention
to manage for 520 wolves, but that this
commitment was set aside when the
State suspended their 2008–2012 stepdown wolf management plan. Some
comments suggested the Wyoming Gray
Wolf Management Plan was not
regulatory in nature and should not be
considered or relied upon. Some
comments suggested that State statute
and regulations should not be
considered adequate because they can
be modified after the delisting become
effective. For example, while the size
and permanency of the Trophy Area is
set in statute, this could be repealed or
amended by the Wyoming state
legislature.
Numerous comments objected to our
‘‘unrealistically high prediction of
future wolf numbers’’ (‘‘perhaps around
1,000 wolves across the NRM DPS’’). A
few comments questioned the basis for
our statement that it was ‘‘extremely
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unlikely’’ that Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming would manage their wolf
populations near the minimum
management targets. These comments
indicated that the States’ only
commitment was to targets between 100
and 150 wolves per State, that it was
illegal for our analysis to assume any
numbers other than those that we had
firm commitments to maintain, and that
the States were clearly demonstrating a
strong commitment to quickly reduce
the wolf population. One peer reviewer
expressed concern whether Wyoming
had authority to manage for a buffer
above minimum management targets
and whether State management would
push Wyoming’s population closer and
closer to the razor edge of 10 breeding
pair and 100 wolves. This reviewer
seemed concerned over numerous
sources of take allowed under
Wyoming’s wolf management plan and
repeated reference to the 10 breeding
pair and 100 wolf thresholds in State
statutes and regulations, rather than
referring to a buffer above these
minimums. Other comments indicated
Wyoming’s agreed-upon population
targets would not be compromised
because no decision-makers, managers,
or stakeholders would ever want to risk
relisting and the loss of State control,
especially after living with a protected
wolf population with limited
management options for so many years.
A few comments indicated that we
erroneously considered a nonbinding
genetics Memorandum of
Understanding (MOU) with
unenforceable commitments in our 2009
delisting, that the States had since failed
to deliver on these promises, and that
this should serve as evidence that
reliance on such nonbinding
commitments is inappropriate.
Numerous comments indicated that
there was no guarantee that the
subpopulations would continue to be
connected, and thus that we lacked
adequate regulatory mechanisms. Others
suggested the commitment to
translocate wolves was not guaranteed
to occur and should not be relied upon.
A few comments suggested a species
can be threatened by the inadequacy of
regulatory mechanisms alone, even if no
other threat factor puts the population at
risk. Some comments suggested binding
and enforceable habitat standards must
be in place as was done in the
Yellowstone grizzly bear delisting.
Several comments suggested we should
have pressed for the development of a
single, regional management plan
(including all relevant State, Federal,
and private interest groups) instead of
separate plans for each State.
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Response 39: Our primary
consideration in gauging the adequacy
of Wyoming’s regulatory framework is
that binding State statutes and
implementing regulations mandate
maintenance of a population at least
satisfying agreed-upon minimum
management targets. Wyoming’s wolf
management plan further clarifies that
the WGFD and WGFC intends to satisfy
these statutory and regulatory mandates
by maintaining a buffer above minimum
population targets. The approach
outlined in the WGFC plan will be used,
for example, by WGFD and WGFC in
setting annual hunting quotas and
limiting controllable sources of
mortality. While it would have been
desirable for Wyoming to have included
reference to a buffer above minimum
population targets in State statute and
regulations, inclusion of such a concept
or a specific numeric buffer is not
required for us to consider the buffer
described in Wyoming’s wolf
management plan. While some have
questioned whether Wyoming has the
legal authority to maintain a buffer, we
conclude that Wyoming has the
authority because: (1) Both the statute
and regulations require maintaining ‘‘at
least’’ these minimum population
levels; and (2) meeting this statutory
and regulatory mandate will require
managing above this goal so that
uncontrollable sources of mortality (e.g.,
disease and defense of property) do not
compromise the mandated minimum
targets.
While Wyoming statutes,
implementing regulations, or its wolf
management plan could theoretically be
changed at any time, just as the Act
could theoretically be repealed
tomorrow, it is reasonable to rely on
these documents as the basis to
understand the State’s management
intentions after delisting. In short, the
Act does not require documents to be
permanent, for nothing is permanent.
Furthermore, we cannot ignore any of
these documents, as it would violate the
requirement of section 4(b)1(A) to rely
upon the best scientific and commercial
information available and to take into
account State conservation efforts. As a
final safeguard against management
being meaningfully modified after the
delisting becomes effective, we will
initiate a status review and consider
relisting if there is a change in State law
or management objectives that would
significantly increase the threat to the
wolf population. We will also make
prompt use of the Act’s emergency
listing provisions, as required by section
4(g)(2) of the Act, if necessary to prevent
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a significant risk to the well-being of the
population.
Our analysis must consider what is
most likely to occur in light of the
practical reality of the situation as
informed by minimum State
commitments and other information. In
this case, while all three States intend
to pursue population reductions, which
we anticipate and to which we do not
object, none of the States have indicated
an interest in managing their
populations at or very close to
minimum agreed-upon targets (although
Wyoming will likely be the closest to its
minimum management targets). None of
the States are likely to manage down to,
or very near, minimum management
targets because doing so would severely
limit State flexibility to address wolf
depredation issues, limit wolf harvest
opportunities, and increase the risk of
relisting. None of the States or any
major interest group in the States would
like to see any of these scenarios occur.
In fact, State wildlife managers have
consistently reiterated to us their desire
not to come close to their floor levels in
light of these factors. Such information
leads us to conclude that Idaho,
Montana, and Wyoming will all manage
comfortably above the minimum
management targets.
While we recognize that both Idaho
and Montana are moving toward higher
harvest and longer seasons, we conclude
that these approaches are temporary as
the States pursue population reductions.
We expected population reductions in
Montana and Idaho at the time of their
delisting and conclude that such
reductions are reasonable given the
current size of the wolf population
(which are likely at or above the suitable
habitat’s long term carrying capacity)
and the resulting impacts (some real and
some perceived; see Issue and Response
50). It should also be noted that Idaho’s
2011 hunting season, which was
criticized by some stakeholders for
being overly aggressive, only resulted in
a slight change in minimum estimated
population levels in Idaho in 2011 (from
a minimum Idaho population estimate
of 777 wolves and 46 breeding pairs to
a minimum statewide estimate of 746
wolves and 40 breeding pairs) (Service
et al. 2012, Table 4b). After the States
achieve an initial population reduction,
harvest rates will moderate as the
population stabilizes and the public’s
current angst and intense interest wanes
(see Issue and Response 41). The NRM
gray wolf population will then likely
settle into a reasonable, long term
equilibrium, well above minimum
recovery levels.
Another factor that we weighed
regarding likely long term population
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levels is the practical challenges of
reducing wolf populations down to
minimum levels and maintaining such
reductions long term. These factors
include wolves’ reproductive capacity,
which will require substantial mortality
to keep populations well below carrying
capacity; the rugged, remote, and
difficult to access landscape in which
many wolves occur (particularly in
central Idaho); the likelihood that
wolves will become more difficult to
find and kill as their numbers are
reduced and as they become more wary
of humans; and the likelihood that
hunter and trapper interest and
dedication will diminish as the wolf
population is reduced, impacts are less
pronounced, and success rates diminish
(trapping in particular is expensive and
time-intensive and would likely not be
worthwhile with reduced success rates).
Overall, we expect measurable
population reductions over the next few
years. During this initial reduction
phase, populations may even fall below
our long term predicted levels.
However, given the above information,
we conclude that such reductions
would likely be temporary and, in the
long term, a NRM gray wolf population
more than double the minimum
management targets is likely.
Conversely, the scenario of achieving
and maintaining population minimums
across the entire NRM DPS is very
unlikely.
Considering the above factors, we
continue to conclude that the GYA wolf
population will likely maintain a long
term average of around 300 wolves and
the entire NRM DPS will likely achieve
a long term average of around 1,000
wolves. These numbers are based on our
professional opinion after considering
all of the above and evaluating various
regional scenarios. For example, 200
wolves is likely a conservative estimate
for the Wyoming statewide wolf
population including YNP and the
Wind River Indian Reservation;
similarly, it is unlikely Idaho or
Montana will reduce and maintain their
wolf populations below 350 wolves per
State. Even if all three States were to
simultaneously achieve and maintain
the low end of this range, an unlikely
outcome, the NRM population would
still total around 900 wolves, excluding
dispersers and lone wolves, which
typically range from 10 to 12 percent of
the population (Mech and Boitani 2003,
p. 170). Therefore, our conclusions
regarding long term abundance are
likely conservative estimates of long
term averages.
Similar to our position on population
numbers, our evaluation of risk
associated with genetic factors must
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consider what is most likely to occur in
light of the practical reality of the
situation as informed by State
commitments and other factors. Our
consideration of this issue involves a
number of factors, including the very
high levels of genetic diversity in the
GYA and the NRM DPS at present; the
remarkable dispersal capabilities of
wolves; wolves’ ability to outbreed to
maximize genetic diversity;
demonstrated minimum levels of gene
flow from 1995 through 2004 when the
NRM region contained between 101 and
846 wolves; the high probability that
actual effective migration was likely
significantly higher than demonstrated
minimum levels; expected population
levels and distribution in the GYA and
across the NRM DPS long term; and
consideration of the likely impacts of
State management in the initial years
when populations are being reduced
and longer term as populations level off.
Based on these factors and other
information, we continue to conclude
that the best scientific and commercial
information available indicates that
genetic issues are extremely unlikely to
threaten the wolf population in
Wyoming, the GYA, or the NRM DPS
within the foreseeable future.
By definition, a MOU is an agreement
between parties indicating an intended
common line of action. While we did
not rely on the genetics MOU in
reaching the above conclusion on
population viability, the MOU is
indicative of an intention of the States
to maintain the NRM population’s
metapopulation structure by
encouraging natural dispersal and
effective migrants and implementing
management practices that should foster
both. Some management practices that
would assist in achieving this goal
include maintaining the wolf
population at higher rather than
minimum levels; maintaining greater
rather than more restricted pack
distribution throughout suitable habitat;
reducing human-caused wolf mortality
during key dispersing and reproductive
time periods over the long term; and
maintaining the integrity of the core
recovery areas so that they can continue
to serve as refugia and source
populations. One example of where
Idaho has acted consistent with the
MOU was its decision in 2009 and 2011
to end its wolf hunting season on
December 31st for those areas thought
most important for dispersal (i.e., the
Beaverhead and Island Park units)
(Idaho Fish and Game Commission
2011, entire). In the 2012–2013 season,
hunting ends January 31st for these
units. While State management through
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the population reduction phase will
likely reduce gene flow from current
levels, we conclude that the reduction
will not compromise acceptable levels
of gene flow long term and find it very
unlikely State management will
negatively affect genetics to the point
that this issue constitutes a threat that
could warrant listing in the near,
medium, or long term.
We do not anticipate translocation of
wolves will be necessary, because we
expect that natural connectivity will
continue at acceptable levels after
delisting. Genetic exchange is not a
short or medium term issue even if no
genetic exchange occurs for many
generations (a very unlikely outcome).
The States will monitor for genetic
exchange and indications of loss of
genetic diversity. This monitoring and
the related results could then affect
management (e.g., the timing and
intensity of human-caused mortality) if
the available data indicates remedial
actions are needed. Translocation will
only be used as a matter of last resort
if adequate genetic diversity does not
occur and State management is not able
to otherwise remedy. While we have
high confidence the States would
complete such translocation and said
translocation could be effective if it was
ever necessary, we conclude that it is
unlikely that it will ever become
necessary.
Furthermore, we disagree with
comments that indicate that the existing
regulatory mechanisms are inadequate
even if no threats put the population at
risk. Post-delisting regulatory
mechanisms are needed to regulate
remnant threats. If there are no remnant
threats, a regulatory framework would
serve no purpose. In short, if there is
nothing to threaten the population,
nothing needs regulation after delisting.
With respect to wolves, habitat
protections were not necessary to
achieve delisting, and will not be
necessary to maintain recovery after
delisting. Therefore, strict binding and
enforceable habitat standards (as
established for grizzly bears in the GYA)
are not needed for wolves. In this case,
human-caused mortality is the most
significant issue to the long term
conservation status of the wolf
population in Wyoming, the GYA, and
the entire NRM DPS and the only issue
that requires regulation after delisting
(in the form of binding minimum
population targets by geographic area).
Such protections are in place.
Regarding the shape that the
regulatory framework takes, we disagree
that a single cross-regional framework
was necessary. In this case, separate
post-delisting regulatory frameworks per
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State appear adequate. We also note that
Congress directed us to republish our
April 2009 rule in 2011, which
contained separate State regulatory
approaches rather than a single regional
one. To the extent cross-regional
coordination is desirable, it goes on
today as appropriate and is expected to
continue for the foreseeable future.
Issue 40: Other comments expressed
the view that while statutory changes
were necessary to implement the State
wolf management plan, delisting should
not be contingent on adoption of
conforming regulations. These
comments suggested that State statute
and development of an approved wolf
management plan were a sufficient
commitment to maintain a sustainable
recovered wolf population and that
State regulations should remain flexible
and be defined at the sole discretion of
the State, consistent with the
commitments represented by State
statutes and the Wyoming wolf
management plan.
Response 40: As noted above, State
statute, State regulations (chapter 21
and 47), and the Wyoming wolf
management plan all are important
pieces of the State’s post-delisting
management framework. All three of
these documents guide and clarify the
State’s approach to wolf management
after delisting, and ignoring any one of
these three documents would violate
our responsibility to rely upon the best
scientific and commercial information
available. By extension, a significant
change to any one of these documents
would prompt us to consider whether to
initiate a status review. We took a
similar approach in Idaho in 2011
following Idaho’s suspension of its
2008–2012 wolf management plan
(reverting to its 2002 Service-approved
plan) and after it set its hunting plan for
2011–2012 (Cooley 2011). In that case,
we determined these management
decisions did not represent a significant
threat to the Idaho wolf population and
did not meet the threshold necessary to
trigger a status review (Cooley 2011).
Public Attitudes Toward Wolves
Issue 41: Numerous comments
indicated the region’s ‘‘frontier’’ and
‘‘wild west’’ attitudes, including those
of State officials, threatened wolves.
Some comments pointed toward the
Wyoming wolf management plan’s
negative portrayal of wolves, the
decision to designate wolves outside the
Trophy Area as predators, and
Wyoming’s apparent willingness to do
only the minimum necessary to prevent
relisting as evidence of negative public
attitudes toward wolves. Many
comments suggested the ongoing wolf
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killing across the NRM was evidence
that negative attitudes towards wolves
were a threat that could eliminate
wolves from the region. Other
comments indicated conservation
organizations had negatively affected
public attitudes toward wolves in
Wyoming and across the NRM with
their unrealistic expectations for wolf
recovery, lack of recognition of property
rights, and continued litigation. We
received conflicting comments and
perspectives about whether a return to
State management and the resulting
increased management flexibility would
lead to greater acceptance of wolves and
decreased animosity toward wolves. A
few comments indicated that the
polarizing wolf issue had become
indicative of a culture clash and that
extremist attitudes toward wolves (pro
and con) had little to do with the
realities of wolf conservation and more
to do with values.
Response 41: As indicated elsewhere
in this rule, human attitudes are
important to the long term preservation
of the gray wolf population in
Wyoming, the GYA, and the NRM DPS.
While there is not universal acceptance
of wolves in Wyoming or the NRM DPS,
we conclude that the majority of the
region’s residents are willing to tolerate
wolves as a part of the landscape
provided impacts to humans are
minimized (see also Issue 50 below).
Although we agree our failure to delist
has negatively affected public tolerance
(see Issues 50 and 53 below), we
conclude that State management in
Wyoming and across the NRM DPS will
be successful in achieving a reasonable
balance between the needs of a
recovered wolf population and other
public needs. We recognize and accept
that achieving this balance will require
reducing the wolf population in
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming from
current levels. This reduction will, in
turn, reduce the real and perceived
impacts of the wolf population and will
reduce public opposition to the species’
conservation. The increased ability of
members of the public to defend their
property and the ability of the hunter
community to harvest wolves will also
increase this tolerance for wolves. Once
these initial population reductions are
realized, public pressure will be
reduced, State harvest rates will
moderate, and the species will likely
settle into a reasonable equilibrium well
above minimum recovery levels. As
noted elsewhere in this rule (see Issue
and Response 39 above), we conclude
that the GYA wolf population will likely
maintain a long term average of around
300 wolves and the entire NRM DPS
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will likely achieve a long term average
of around 1,000 wolves. At these levels,
impacts of the recovered wolf
population will be modest. This will in
turn promote public tolerance such that
this issue does not materialize to the
point where it might threaten the gray
wolf population’s long term survival.
Other Potential Threat Factors
Issue 42: A couple of comments
indicated that the Wyoming wolf
population was threatened by impacts
to habitat and range. One comment
suggested wilderness areas were not
secure because Congress can
undesignate them at any time. This
comment also suggested that we had no
guarantee that private lands will not be
developed or otherwise altered so that
they would no longer support wolves.
This comment also suggested that
wolves were at risk on public lands
because livestock grazing on public
lands would result in wolf mortality;
poison on public lands could kill
wolves; mining, mineral development,
oil and gas development, and associated
human traffic would cause direct
mortality (increased wolf–truck
collision) and cause pollution that
would kill wolves or impair their
reproduction; and hunting and illegal
take on some public lands would kill
still more wolves. This comment
criticized the proposed rule for not
quantifying the amount of development
expected, quantifying the impact to
suitable habitat and the impact to
unsuitable habitat important as
dispersal corridors, and the number of
wolves that will be killed or otherwise
adversely affected. This comment also
suggested that road repairs and
reconstruction in YNP was a new threat
that would degrade the environment in
the park, affecting prey and causing
wolves to leave the protected park
boundaries and be subjected to
increased likelihood of dying. This
comment also suggested snowmobile
use can kill or injure wolves and that
associated pollution could kill wolves
or reduce their reproductive success.
Response 42: We have thoroughly
analyzed the issue of habitat and range
and conclude that it is not a threat to the
population now or in the foreseeable
future. The vast majority of suitable
wolf habitat is secure in mountainous
forested public land (wilderness and
roadless areas, National Parks, and some
lands managed for multiple uses by the
U.S. Forest Service and Bureau of Land
Management) that will not be legally
available or suitable for intensive levels
of human development (Service 1993,
1996, 2007; Servheen et al. 2003; U.S.
Department of Agriculture Forest
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Service 2006). While changes to the
protected status of these areas is
theoretically possible, such an outcome
is highly improbable, especially at the
scale that would be necessary to affect
the viability of the Wyoming, the GYA,
or the NRM gray wolf population.
Although some human activities in
these areas and other surrounding areas
could increase human-caused mortality,
we do not expect noticeable increases in
such activities in the foreseeable future.
Furthermore, human-caused mortality
will be adequately regulated by the
States so that the population’s recovered
status is not compromised. This rule
also analyzes impacts to habitat and
range as they relate to connectivity and
concludes future connectivity is
unlikely to be meaningfully affected by
changes in habitat and range. To the
extent that such development does
occur, it would not threaten the
recovered status of the Wyoming, the
GYA, or the NRM gray wolf populations
in the foreseeable future. Finally, we
conclude that ongoing activities in YNP
(e.g., road repair and snowmobile use)
are unlikely to increase to the point
where they would negatively affect
wolves. Statutory, regulatory, and policy
restrictions covering national parks give
us great confidence that YNP will take
proper precautions to ensure all
activities in the park minimize impacts
to wildlife, including wolves.
Issue 43: Numerous comments
indicated nonnative human populations
are overpopulated and a threat to the
wolf population.
Response 43: Human presence and
the activities associated with this
presence does affect the landscape and
a region’s use by wolves. For example,
areas like New York City have been so
altered that they are unable to support
a resident wolf population. Similarly,
some prairie habitats in Wyoming are
also no longer capable of supporting
persistent wolf packs; however, more
than sufficient habitat exists to support
a recovered wolf population. Human
population levels in Wyoming (the
second least densely populated State in
the country) are not a threat to the wolf
population’s recovered status now or in
the foreseeable future. Secondary
impacts related to human presence are
discussed in more detail in separate
sections.
Issue 44: A few comments noted that
wolf numbers would soon begin to see
significant natural declines if the wolf
population is not reduced, because wolf
overabundance is causing the native
prey population, on which wolves are
dependent, to drastically decline.
Numerous personal accounts of
ungulate population declines were
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offered. One comment suggested that
the wolf population could be
endangered by grizzly bears, black
bears, mountain lions, and other wolves
as wolves and other predators compete
for limited food resources.
Response 44: While there have been
documented declines in some ungulate
populations, overall, prey numbers
remain robust and more than adequate
to provide for the regional wolf
population’s needs. The availability of
prey is not a threat factor to wolf
persistence now or within the
foreseeable future. While intraspecific
conflict can regulate wolf populations,
natural predation has not threatened the
NRM gray wolf population and is not
likely to in the foreseeable future; future
changes in prey abundance are not
expected to change this conclusion.
Issue 45: A number of comments
noted that climate change is expected to
have a severe impact on the North
American continent during the 21st
century. A few comments indicated
climate change would stress wild
animal and plant populations and
reduce survival rates. A few comments
asserted it would be a mistake to delist
when we do not yet know what impacts
climate change will have on ungulate
and wolf populations (e.g., impacts on
behavior, distribution, and abundance).
One comment stated that the Trophy
Area might not be adequate to meet the
population’s needs in a climate-altered
world. This comment cited a Ninth
Circuit Court of Appeals ruling that
suggested a need for specific
management responses tied to specific
triggering criteria, not a general
commitment to adaptive management,
in order to address threats associated
with climate change. Some comments
suggested wolf densities should be
maintained to buffer the impacts of
climate change on other species. For
example, wolf killing of vulnerable elk
might compensate for reduced winter
elk kills, thus bolstering food
availability for other animals and
minimizing the impacts of climate
change.
Response 45: This issue is discussed
in our Factor E analysis below. We
continue to conclude that wolves are
unlikely to be threatened by climate
change. Wolves are one of the most
adaptable and resilient land mammals
on earth, once ranged across most of
North America from central Mexico to
the Arctic Ocean and from coast to
coast, and can prey on every type of
ungulate in their worldwide northern
hemisphere range. Thus, wolves are
among the least likely species to be
threatened by this factor.
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Other comments on this issue are also
not persuasive. For example, there is no
evidence to support the idea that the
Trophy Area might not be adequate to
meet the population’s needs in a
climate-altered world. At present, the
Trophy Area supports a robust prey base
and a wolf population that far exceeds
the agreed-upon minimum management
targets. This topic is discussed in detail
below in Factor E. Based on available
climate change projections, it is unlikely
that climate change would noticeably
hinder the Trophy Area’s capacity to
support a wolf population well above
the agreed-upon minimum management
targets. Because this issue is not a
meaningful factor affecting the
population’s viability, a detailed
adaptive management framework with
specific triggers and specific responses
is not necessary or appropriate. Finally,
the Act does not allow us to consider
impacts of this decision to other species
nor does it allow us to require the States
to maintain wolf populations at high
densities to benefit other species in the
face of climate change.
Issue 46: Some comments expressed
concern that all or parts of the State
wolf management plan would not be
implemented because of hard economic
times and resulting funding limitations.
These comments noted that the
Wyoming Gray Wolf Management Plan
does not identify definite funding
sources and does not guarantee funding
will be available. For example, one
comment suggested population targets
could be compromised if inadequate
monitoring caused the State to overlook
a disease event and the State then also
allowed a high hunting quota. Other
comments noted Wyoming’s robust
economy and healthy State funding for
wildlife would mean adequate funding
for wolf management. Conversely, these
comments noted that looming Federal
budget cuts would harm our ability to
properly manage the Wyoming wolf
population.
Response 46: It is not possible to
predict with certainty future
governmental appropriations, nor can
we commit or require Federal funds
beyond those appropriated (31 U.S.C.
1341(a)(1)(A)). Even though Federal
funding is dependent on year-to-year
allocations, we have consistently and
fully funded wolf management. Federal
funding will continue to be available in
the future for State management, but
certainly not to the extent while wolves
were listed. The Service will continue to
assist the States to secure adequate
funding for wolf management. The
States recognize that implementation of
their wolf management plans requires
funding and have committed to secure
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the necessary funding to manage the
wolf populations under the guidelines
established by their approved State wolf
management plans (Idaho Legislative
Wolf Oversight Committee 2002; p. 23–
25; Montana Wolf Management
Advisory Council 2003, p. xiv;
Wyoming 2011, pp. 42–43). In Wyoming
specifically, the State indicates it will
fund operational costs for the wolf
management program through its
regular budget, but also noted that
continued Federal funding will assist in
some aspects of management, e.g., direct
Federal funding to the State, Federal
management on some Federal lands
such as National Wildlife Refuges and
National Parks, and Wildlife Services
assisting in control activities (WGFC
2011, pp. 42–43). Wyoming also
indicated a willingness to pursue
outside funding sources such as private
donations, grants from foundations,
assistance from nongovernmental
organizations and funding partnerships
with other interested entities (WGFC
2011, p. 43).
These combined State and Federal
commitments are more than enough to
provide for adequate management of the
population after delisting. In the
unlikely event that wolf management is
inadequately funded to carry out the
basic commitments of an approved State
plan, then the promised management of
threats by the States and the required
monitoring of wolf populations might
not be addressed. That scenario would
trigger a status review for possible
relisting under the Act, including
possible use of the emergency listing
authorities under section 4(b)(7) of the
Act.
Issue 47: One comment mentioned
hybridization as a threat. This comment
did not elaborate on this issue and how
it could threaten the population.
Response 47: The NRM wolves’
genetic signature does not show signs of
past or ongoing hybridization with other
canid species (VonHoldt et al. 2011, p.
4). Unlike some other wolf populations
(e.g., red wolves), hybridization is not
affecting NRM gray wolf populations
and is not a threat to the NRM DPS’s
recovered status.
Cumulative Impacts of Threats
Issue 48: Several comments
questioned the validity of our
conclusions for individual threat factors
suggesting they were considered in
isolation. These comments indicated
that we needed to analyze threats in a
cumulative manner. A number of
comments suggested some combination
of natural mortality, disease events,
catastrophic events, and high humancaused mortality events could co-occur
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and threaten the wolf population. Some
of these noted the likelihood of such an
event if the population was already
close to minimum population targets.
Response 48: Our assessment of
threats considered potential risk factors
individually and cumulatively. Our
threats assessment is organized
sequentially, consistent with how
section 4(a) of the Act is organized. We
then discuss the overall finding, which
considers the cumulative impacts of all
potential threat factors. We considered
and weighed the cumulative effects of
all known and reasonably foreseeable
threat factors facing the population
when reaching the conclusion that the
gray wolf in Wyoming no longer meets
and is unlikely to ever again meet the
definition of an endangered species.
When considering the population’s
recovered status, it is important to
remember that the minimum recovery
criteria require Idaho, Montana, and
Wyoming to each maintain at least 10
breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves
in mid-winter. After delisting, Wyoming
has committed to maintain at least 10
breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves
outside of YNP and the Wind River
Indian Reservation at the end of the
year, and will maintain a buffer above
these minimum levels so that the
minimum targets are not compromised.
Thus, Wyoming intends to manage for
the entire recovery goal outside of YNP.
These statewide totals will be further
buffered by wolves in YNP which
experience extremely low rates of
human-caused mortality allowing the
population essentially to be naturally
regulated at carrying capacity. From
2000 to the end of 2011 (the most recent
official wolf population estimates
available), the wolf population in YNP
ranged from 96 to 174 wolves, and
between 6 to 16 breeding pairs. The
YNP wolf population appears to be
settling around the lower end of this
range (Service et al. 2000–2010, Table b;
Smith 2012). Specifically, YNP
biologists expect that the park will settle
between 50 to 100 wolves and 5 to 10
packs with 4 to 6 of these packs meeting
the breeding pair definition annually
(Smith 2012). Given the above, the
minimum recovery criteria for Wyoming
will always be greatly exceeded.
Additionally, the GYA wolf
population will be further buffered by
wolves in Idaho and Montana’s portion
of the GYA. Since 2002, Montana’s GYA
wolf population ranged from 55 to 130
wolves since recovery was achieved in
2002, and Idaho’s ranged from 0 to 40
wolves in its portion of the GYA
(Service et al. 2003–2012, Tables 1b, 2).
While populations in these areas are
expected to be reduced from current
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levels, both States have maintained, and
are expected to continue to maintain, a
sizable population in their portion of
the GYA. Across the entire GYA, we
expect the population will be managed
for a long term average of around 300
wolves across portions of Montana,
Idaho, and Wyoming.
Overall, the GYA’s expected
abundance and geographic distribution
(occurring in both protected and
unprotected portions of the GYA and
occurring across multiple management
jurisdictions) provides the GYA wolf
population with substantial
representation, resiliency, and
redundancy. Additional representation,
redundancy, and resiliency is also
provided across the three connected
recovery areas and three core NRM DPS
States, as well as connectivity to
Canada. These factors provide us with
confidence the population can
withstand the types of impacts
mentioned in the above comments.
Wolves are very resilient and can
withstand and recover from most of the
specific events noted in the above
comments. Such events are likely to
cause localized impacts, which would
not affect all or even a majority of the
population in Wyoming, the GYA, or
the NRM DPS. For example, when
disease hit the YNP wolf population in
2005 and 2008 there were substantial,
temporary impacts, but they were
experienced only on a local scale and
the YNP population quickly rebounded.
No similar large-scale events have been
documented in other portions of
Wyoming.
It should be noted that wolves’
natural reproductive capacity and
dispersal ability, State commitments to
monitoring and adaptive management,
and the regional population’s
representation, resiliency, and
redundancy would not provide total
protection from catastrophic events. For
example, as noted in the rule, a
cataclysmic eruption underneath YNP
would devastate the GYA ecosystem.
However, events such as these are
extremely unlikely within the
foreseeable future.
Regarding management, Wyoming
does not intend to manage the
population at minimum agreed-upon
targets. Instead, the State intends to
manage for a buffer, recognizing that
some unforeseen events could affect the
population. Furthermore, Wyoming
(like Montana and Idaho) intends to
carefully monitor the population and
will adjust all controllable mortality
factors, such as mortality resulting from
harvest and depredation control, in
response to measured mortality of all
causes (WGFC 2012, p. 7). For example,
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Wyoming will monitor for disease and
associated impacts (WGFC 2011, p. 22)
and reduce controllable sources of
human-caused mortality if the available
information indicates such factors are
causing unacceptable population
declines (WGFC 2011, pp. 23–25; WGFC
2012, p. 7). These management
measures provide that impacts related to
human-caused mortality are
appropriately managed and will not
singularly, or in combination with other
factors, compromise the population’s
recovered status.
Post-Delisting Monitoring
Issue 49: A few comments indicated
our status review triggers were too low.
Other comments expressed frustration
with the perceived relative lack of
oversight once delisting occurs,
including failure to initiate status
reviews in Idaho and Montana following
changes to management (most often
mentioned were decisions to suspend
the 2008–2012 Idaho Wolf Population
Management Plan and after decisions to
set hunting and trapping seasons with
high or no quotas).
Response 49: For Idaho and Montana,
three scenarios would lead us to initiate
a status review and analysis of threats
to determine if relisting was warranted
including: (1) If the wolf population
falls below the minimum NRM wolf
population recovery level of 10 breeding
pairs of wolves or 100 wolves in either
Montana or Idaho at the end of the year;
(2) If the wolf population segment in
Montana or Idaho falls below 15
breeding pairs or 150 wolves at the end
of the year in any one of those States for
3 consecutive years; or (3) If a change
in State law or management objectives
would significantly increase the threat
to the wolf population. For Wyoming,
we will initiate a formal status review
to determine if relisting is warranted: (1)
If the wolf population falls below the
minimum recovery level of 10 breeding
pairs or 100 wolves in Wyoming
statewide (including YNP and the Wind
River Indian Reservation) at the end of
any 1 year; (2) If the wolf population
segment in Wyoming excluding YNP
and the Wind River Indian Reservation
falls below 10 breeding pairs or 100
wolves at the end of the year for 3
consecutive years; (3) If the wolf
population in Wyoming falls below 15
breeding pairs or 150 wolves, including
YNP and the Wind River Indian
Reservation, for 3 consecutive years; or
(4) If a change in State law or
management objectives would
significantly increase the threat to the
wolf population. These status review
triggers are appropriate because: The
numeric status review triggers are
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consistent with the minimum recovery
criteria and the State’s minimum
management targets, and the final
criterion would be triggered if
management veers from approved postdelisting regulatory frameworks. Some
commenters, including some peer
reviewers, expressed concern that the
States may face pressure to manage to
the ‘‘razor’s edge’’ (e.g., intentionally
manage below the above levels 2 out of
every 3 years). This could result in a
population lower than the above
standards are designed to facilitate
without triggering a status review. In
response to this concern, we will also
conduct a status review if the above
standards are routinely not achieved—
an outcome we do not anticipate. We
have incorporated this commitment into
the ‘‘Post-Delisting Monitoring’’ section
of this final rule, discussed below.
We take our post-delisting monitoring
commitments very seriously and will
fulfill our responsibilities to monitor the
population’s status relative to the above
triggers. Our record demonstrates this
commitment—we published our annual
assessments of the population’s status at
the end of 2009 and 2011 (Bangs 2010;
Jimenez 2012b); we did not publish a
similar finding in 2010 because the
population was not delisted at the end
of 2010. We also evaluated Idaho’s
decision to suspend its 2008–2012 wolf
management plan at the end of 2010
(prior to Congressional action to delist
this population) and revert to its
Service-approved 2002 wolf
management plan and its hunting plan
for 2011–2012. We conducted an
evaluation of the changes in Idaho and
not Montana that year because only
Idaho decided to authorize no quotas in
large portions of the State and no overall
state-wide quota. This assessment
determined these management decisions
did not represent a significant threat to
the Idaho wolf population and did not
meet the threshold necessary to trigger
a status review (Cooley 2011). This
assessment’s determination was
validated by the minimum end-of-year
population numbers, which showed
little change in 2011 (technically, slight
increases in minimum population levels
were documented; Service et al. 2012,
tables 4a, 4b). Consistent with this past
practice, similar assessments of Idaho
and Montana’s 2012–2013 hunting and
trapping seasons are ongoing as of this
writing.
Throughout the post-delisting
monitoring period we will continue to
publish annual assessments to
determine if the status review triggers
have been met. We will also conduct onthe-spot assessments (similar to our
August 2011 assessment (Cooley 2011))
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when the available information
indicates a change in management
strategy could represent a meaningful
threat. Finally, as indicated above, we
offer our strongest assurance that we
will consider relisting if there is ever
sufficient evidence that the species may
meet the definition of threatened or
endangered and, as required by section
4(g)(2) of the Act, we will make prompt
use of the Act’s emergency listing
provisions if necessary to prevent a
significant risk to the well-being of the
population. This approach more than
satisfies our post-delisting monitoring
responsibilities so that the population’s
recovered status will not be
compromised.
Positives and Negatives of Wolf
Restoration
Issue 50: Some comments expressed
the view that failure to delist had
resulted in unchecked growth of the
wolf population in Wyoming and
throughout the NRM region, and that
the resulting wolf abundance had
caused significant negative impacts to:
ungulate populations (elk, moose, deer,
bison, and bighorn sheep herd declines);
State game agencies (largely dependent
on hunting revenue); guides and
outfitters (reduced opportunity for
ungulate harvest by clients); hunters
(reduced recreational and sustenance
opportunities); ranchers (from livestock
depredation by wolves; stress to
livestock affecting weight and health;
and declining business opportunities for
ranchers who use/lease their land for
hunting); and the local economy (lost
hunting and ranching revenue). Some
expressed concern for wolves attacking
pets and pack animals. Other comments
expressed concern for habituated
wolves threatening human safety. Still
other comments expressed concern that
wolves carry and transmit diseases and
parasites harmful to both wildlife and
humans (Echinococcus granuloslls, also
known as Hydatid Disease, was most
frequently mentioned). Many sportsmen
noted that wolves were significantly
hindering the conservation progress for
other wildlife, which has been funded
by sporting revenues. Some comments
suggested the 1994 Environmental
Impact Statement was flawed in that we
underestimated the impacts wolves
would cause. Many of these comments
described the reintroduction in such
terms as ‘‘catastrophic’’ and
‘‘disastrous.’’ Some comments asserted
that Wyoming residents had been
promised that the wolf population
would be maintained at or below 100 or
150 animals and that excess wolves
should be killed. Many comments
expressed support for hunting as a
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method to reduce the Wyoming wolf
population and restrict its distribution.
Others suggested wolf population
impacts were minimal and had been
exaggerated by anti-wolf interest groups.
A few noted wolves kill few livestock
and that other predators kill more
livestock than do wolves. Some
comments noted impacts to ungulates
are complex and not fully understood
with some herds showing declines,
some showing increases, and some
showing little or no effect from wolves.
A few comments asserted that hunters
were erroneously blaming wolves for
decimating elk populations. These
comments noted that all of Wyoming’s
elk herds are at or above State
management objectives. A few indicated
ungulate herds were overpopulated and
destroying native ecosystems.
Numerous comments noted the positive
direct and indirect economic impacts of
wolf restoration through increased
tourism; other comments suggested
visitation to YNP had not meaningfully
changed since reintroduction.
Response 50: Although we recognize
that wolf restoration has resulted in
both positive and negative economic
impacts to the region, the Act precludes
consideration of such impacts on listing
and delisting determinations. Instead,
listing and delisting decisions are based
solely on the best scientific and
commercial information available
regarding the status of the subject
species. In this case, the Wyoming wolf
population and the greater NRM gray
wolf population is recovered, and now
that adequate regulatory mechanisms
are in place, we have sufficient
assurances the species’ recovered status
will be maintained. Nevertheless, after
delisting, we expect Wyoming will
reduce the State’s wolf population,
which should reduce any adverse
economic impacts of the region’s wolf
population.
Regarding human safety, there have
been no wolf-caused injuries or deaths
in the NRM region since recovery efforts
first began. Some individuals have
reported feeling threatened by wolves,
and a few wolves have been taken in
such situations. Such take is allowed by
both our general regulations for the Act
and both experimental populations’
special regulations (50 CFR 17.21(c)(2);
50 CFR 17.84(i)(3)(v); 50 CFR
17.84(n)(4)(vi)). After delisting, the
States will continue to allow for take in
defense of an individual’s life or the life
of another person.
Regarding disease, the public should
treat all wildlife, including canids, as
potential vectors of disease. Although
wolves reintroduced to Yellowstone and
central Idaho were treated with drugs to
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destroy Echinococcus granulosus,
wolves in these ecosystems currently
have a relatively high prevalence of the
parasite. E. granulosus is just one of
many zoonotic diseases (diseases
transmissible to humans) in wildlife.
When handling canids or canid feces we
recommend wearing gloves, not
smoking, eating, or drinking, and
washing up afterwards. These simple
precautions decrease exposure to a
negligible level. We also recommend not
feeding uncooked wild or domestic
ungulate organs to dogs and maintaining
proper veterinary care of dogs and their
parasites. These types of public health
advisories are appropriate for those
engaged in wolf hunting or other
wildlife pursuits that include handling
of any canine species, tissues, or scat
(Boyce and Samuel 2011, entire).
Issue 51: Many comments suggested
both the Wyoming wolf management
plan and the proposed delisting rule
failed to note the value of wolves. Some
commenters noted that the return of
wolves had restored ecological balance
to the region and that delisting would
upset this balance. A number of
comments pointed to the ecological role
of wolves in modifying ungulate
behavior, distribution, and movements
and the resulting ‘‘cascade effect’’ they
produce for other unrelated species and
the larger ecosystem. Some contended
these cascading effects also helped
farming and ranching. Many comments
also pointed out that wolves strengthen
ungulate herds by preying on vulnerable
ungulates, which allows greater
numbers of healthier, more robust, and
more alert animals to survive and pass
on genes. Some comments suggested
wolves reduce the prevalence of disease
(particularly chronic wasting disease
and brucellosis) by removing sick
individuals from native ungulate
populations. Others comments pointed
out that maintaining top level predators
like wolf populations resulted in fewer
mesopredators like coyotes (Canis
latrans), which has been shown to
reduce impacts on pronghorn antelope
(Antilocapra americana). Some
comments suggested these positive
impacts would be reduced or hindered
if Wyoming was allowed to implement
its wolf management plan. Others
suggested recovery levels should
prevent ‘‘trophic downgrading’’ and
provide for ‘‘ecological effectiveness’’
(i.e., occupancy with densities that
maintain critical ecosystem interactions
and help ensure against ecosystem
degradation).
Response 51: We recognize that wolf
recovery appears to have caused trophic
cascades and ecological effects in some
areas that affect numerous other animal
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and plant communities, and their
relationships with each other. These
effects have been most pronounced in
pristine areas, such as in YNP. While
these effects may occur at varying
degrees elsewhere, they are increasingly
modified and subtle the more an area is
affected by humans (Ripple and Beschta
2004, entire; Smith et al. 2003, pp. 334–
338; Robbins 2004, pp. 80–81; Fortin et
al. 2005, entire; Garrott et al. 2005, p.
1245; Hebblewhite et al. 2005, p. 2135;
Campbell et al. 2006, pp. 747–753;
Mech 2012, entire). While these
purported effects are interesting (albeit
still controversial; see Mech 2012,
entire), such information is not
considered in listing or delisting
decisions. Similarly, the Act does not
require that we prevent ‘‘trophic
downgrading’’ (Estes et al. 2011, entire)
or that we achieve or maintain
‘‘ecological effectiveness’’ (Soule et al.
2003, p. 1239). Instead, listing and
delisting decisions are based upon
extinction risk of the subject species.
When a species no longer meets the
definition of an endangered or
threatened species under the Act, it is
recovered, and we are to delist it.
Native American Tribal Considerations
Issue 52: A number of comments
noted that many Native American tribes
honored wolves; viewed wolves as
sacred relatives that taught them to
hunt, live in harmony, and sing to the
creator; and learned how to build
stronger tribes by observing wolf pack
loyalty. Only one of these comments
came from a self-identified Native
American (the rest were speaking
generally about what we could learn
from Native Americans on this issue).
This comment indicated wolves should
be protected because they are sacred to
Native Americans and important for
Native American religious ceremonies.
Response 52: We take our
relationships with the Tribes very
seriously and are sensitive to potential
conflicts with tribal cultural values. The
wolf reintroduction has returned what
traditional Arapaho and Shoshone
stories call a helper (Shoshone and
Arapaho Tribal Fish and Game
Department 2007, p. 2) and assisted in
restoring what the Salish & Pend
d’Oreille Tribal Elders call a ‘‘balanced
ecosystem’’ (Confederated Salish and
Kootenai Tribes 2009, p. 3). In
preparation for a return to Tribal
management, we worked with the
Tribes to prepare wolf management
plans that allowed for self-governance.
Most of these plans discuss the cultural
importance of wolves, but also allow
control of problem wolves and the
potential for wolf hunting. Having an
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approved plan allowed the Shoshone
and Arapaho Tribal Fish and Game
Department to manage wolves on the
Wind River Indian Reservation under
the more liberal 2005 and 2008
nonessential experimental populations
regulations (70 FR 1286, January 6,
2005; King 2007; 73 FR 4720, January
28, 2008; 50 CFR 17.84(n)). Most
recently, we contacted the Eastern
Shoshone and Northern Arapaho tribes
in October 2011, requesting
government-to-government consultation
to discuss any concerns the Tribes may
have with our proposal (Guertin 2011).
The Joint Council for these Tribes
declined this opportunity (Greenwood
2011). Neither of these tribes nor any
other Tribes formally commented on the
proposal. We also funded some Tribal
wolf monitoring and management
through the years. Collectively, the
above activities satisfy our Tribal
consultation responsibilities. While
some individuals may find portions of
Wyoming’s regulatory framework
morally objectionable and in conflict
with their tribal cultural values, these
individual objections are not grounds to
take a different course. We will continue
to inform the Tribes regarding the status
of wolves and to respond to any Tribal
requests for government-to-government
consultation.
Summary of Factors Affecting the
Species
Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533)
and implementing regulations (50 CFR
part 424) set forth procedures for adding
species to, removing species from, or
reclassifying species on the Federal
Lists of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife and Plants. Under section
4(a)(1) of the Act, a species may be
determined to be endangered or
threatened based on any of the
following five factors: (A) The present or
threatened destruction, modification, or
curtailment of its habitat or range; (B)
Overutilization for commercial,
recreational, scientific, or educational
purposes; (C) Disease or predation; (D)
The inadequacy of existing regulatory
mechanisms; or (E) Other natural or
manmade factors affecting its continued
existence. We must consider these same
five factors in delisting decisions (50
CFR 424.11(d)). However, in delisting
decisions, this analysis of threats is an
evaluation of both the threats currently
facing the species and the threats that
are reasonably likely to affect the
species in the foreseeable future
following the delisting and the removal
or reduction of the Act’s protections.
In considering what factors might
constitute threats, we must look beyond
the exposure of the species to a
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particular factor to evaluate whether the
species may respond to the factor in a
way that causes actual impacts to the
species. If there is exposure to a factor
and the species responds negatively, the
factor may be a threat, and during the
status review, we attempt to determine
how significant a threat it is. The threat
is significant if it drives or contributes
to the risk of extinction of the species
such that the species warrants listing as
endangered or threatened as those terms
are defined by the Act. However, the
identification of factors that could affect
a species negatively may not be
sufficient to justify a finding that the
species warrants listing. The
information must include evidence
sufficient to suggest that the potential
threat is likely to materialize and that it
has the capacity (i.e., it should be of
sufficient magnitude and extent) to
affect the species’ status such that it
meets the definition of endangered or
threatened under the Act.
The following analysis examines the
five factors affecting, or likely to affect
Wyoming, GYA, and NRM wolves
within the foreseeable future. We have
previously concluded wolves in the
remainder of the NRM DPS are
recovered and warranted delisting (74
FR 15123, April 2, 2009; 76 FR 25590,
May 5, 2011). Today’s rulemaking is
separate and independent from, but
additive to, the previous action delisting
wolves in the NRM DPS. While this
rulemaking focuses on Wyoming,
because this is the only portion of the
NRM DPS that remains listed, the
conclusions of the previous delisting
and the information supporting this
determination are incorporated by
reference. This information is only
updated where necessary (e.g., Idaho’s
suspension of its 2008–2012 step-down
wolf management plan and Montana’s
and Idaho’s hunting seasons) to
consider new developments affecting
the larger NRM DPS. The best scientific
and commercial information available
demonstrates gray wolves in Wyoming,
the GYA, and the NRM DPS are
recovered and are unlikely to become
endangered in the foreseeable future
throughout all or a significant portion of
their range.
Factor A. The Present or Threatened
Destruction, Modification, or
Curtailment of Its Habitat or Range
This section evaluates the entire State
of Wyoming, and within Wyoming we
focus primarily on suitable habitat,
currently occupied areas, and the
Trophy Area. Within Wyoming, we also
examine unsuitable habitat. Habitat
suitability is based on biological
features that affect the ability of wolf
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packs to persist. Outside of Wyoming,
this analysis looks at areas between the
three recovery areas to inform our
understanding of current and future
connectivity, with particular focus on
the central Idaho to GYA dispersal
corridor. For an analysis of other
portions of the NRM DPS relative to this
factor, see our 2009 delisting
determination (74 FR 15123, April 2,
2009). We analyze a number of potential
threats to wolf habitat including
increased human populations and
development (including oil and gas),
connectivity, ungulate populations, and
livestock grazing.
Suitable Habitat—Wolves are habitat
generalists (Mech and Boitoni 2003, p.
163) and once occupied or transited all
of Wyoming. However, much of the
wolf’s historical range within this area
has been modified for human use. While
lone wolves can travel through, or
temporarily live, almost anywhere
(Jimenez et al. In review, p. 1), much of
Wyoming is no longer suitable habitat to
support wolf packs and wolf breeding
pairs (Oakleaf et al. 2006, p. 559; Carroll
et al. 2006, p. 32). We have reviewed the
quality, quantity, and distribution of
habitat relative to the biological
requirements of wolves. In doing so, we
reviewed two models, Oakleaf et al.
(2006, pp. 555–558) and Carroll et al.
(2003, pp. 536–548; 2006, pp. 27–31), to
help us gauge the current amount and
distribution of suitable wolf habitat in
Wyoming. Both models ranked habitat
as ‘‘suitable’’ if they had characteristics
that indicated they might have a 50
percent or greater chance of supporting
wolf packs. Suitable wolf habitat was
typically characterized in both models
as public land with mountainous,
forested habitat that contains abundant
year-round wild ungulate populations,
low road density, low numbers of
domestic livestock that are only present
seasonally, few domestic sheep, low
agricultural use, and few people.
Unsuitable wolf habitat was typically
just the opposite (i.e., private land, flat
open prairie or desert, low or seasonal
wild ungulate populations, high road
density, high numbers of year-round
domestic livestock including many
domestic sheep, high levels of
agricultural use, and many people).
Despite their similarities, these two
models had differences in the area
analyzed, layers, inputs, and
assumptions. As a result, the Oakleaf et
al. (2006, p. 559) and Carroll et al.
(2006, p. 33) models predicted different
amounts of theoretically suitable wolf
habitat in areas examined by both
models.
Oakleaf’s model was a more intensive
effort that looked at potential wolf
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habitat in the NRM region (Oakleaf et al.
2006, p. 555). To comprise its
geographic information system layers,
the model used roads accessible to twowheel and four-wheel vehicles,
topography (slope and elevation), land
ownership, relative ungulate density
(based on State harvest statistics), cattle
and sheep density, vegetation
characteristics (ecoregions and land
cover), and human density. Oakleaf
analyzed the characteristics of areas
occupied and not occupied by NRM
wolf packs through 2000 to predict what
other areas in the NRM region might be
suitable or unsuitable for future wolf
pack formation (Oakleaf et al. 2006, p.
555). In total, Oakleaf et al. (2006, p.
559) ranked 28,725 km2 (11,091 mi2) as
suitable wolf habitat in Wyoming.
Carroll’s model analyzed a much
larger area (all 12 western States and
northern Mexico) in a less specific way
than Oakleaf’s model (Carroll et al.
2006, pp. 27–31). Carroll’s model used
density and type of roads, human
population density and distribution,
slope, and vegetative greenness to
estimate relative ungulate density to
predict associated wolf survival and
fecundity rates (Carroll et al. 2006, p.
29). These factors were used to develop
estimates of habitat theoretically
suitable for wolf pack persistence. In
addition, Carroll predicted the potential
effect of increased road development
and human density expected by 2025 on
suitable wolf habitat (Carroll et al. 2006,
pp. 30–31). In total, Carroll et al. (2006,
pp. 27–31) ranked 77,202 km2 (29,808
mi2) in Wyoming as suitable habitat.
According to the Carroll model,
approximately 30 percent of Wyoming
would be ranked as suitable wolf habitat
(Carroll et al. 2006, pp. 27–31).
The Carroll et al. (2006, pp. 31–34)
model tended to be more generous than
the Oakleaf et al. (2006, pp. 558–560)
model in identifying suitable wolf
habitat. Based on empirical wolf data
over our 17 years of experience in
Wyoming, we have determined
Oakleaf’s projections were more
realistic. Unlike the Oakleaf model, the
Carroll model did not incorporate
livestock density into its calculations
(Carroll et al. 2006, pp. 27–29; Oakleaf
et al. 2006, p. 556). Thus, the Carroll
model did not consider those conditions
where wolf mortality is high and habitat
unsuitable because of chronic conflict
with livestock. During the past 17 years,
Wyoming wolf packs have been unable
to persist in areas intensively used for
livestock production, primarily because
of agency control of problem wolves and
illegal killing. However, due to the large
area analyzed, the Carroll model
provided a valuable relative measure
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across the western United States upon
which comparisons could be made.
Many of the more isolated primary
habitat patches that the Carroll model
predicted as currently suitable were
predicted to be unsuitable by the year
2025, indicating they were likely on the
lower end of what ranked as suitable
habitat in that model (Carroll et al. 2006,
p. 32). Because these areas were
typically too small to support breeding
pairs and too isolated from the core
population to receive enough dispersing
wolves to overcome high mortality rates,
we conclude that these areas are not
currently suitable habitat based upon
our data on Wyoming wolf pack
persistence for the past 17 years (Bangs
1991, p. 9; Bangs et al. 1998, p. 788;
Service et al. 1999–2012, Figure 1).
Despite differences in each model’s
analysis area, layers, inputs, and
assumptions, both models predicted
that most suitable wolf habitat in
Wyoming was in the GYA, which is the
area currently occupied by wolves in
Wyoming. These models are useful in
understanding the relative proportions
and distributions of various habitat
characteristics and their relationships to
wolf pack persistence. Both models
generally support our earlier predictions
about wolf habitat suitability in the
GYA (Service 1980, p. 9; Service 1987,
p. 7; Service 1994, p. vii). Because these
two theoretical models only define
suitable habitat as those areas that have
characteristics with a 50 percent or
greater probability of supporting wolf
packs, the acreages of suitable habitat
that they indicate can be successfully
occupied are only estimates.
The Carroll et al. (2006, p. 25) model
also indicated that the GYA and
neighboring population centers had
habitat suitable for dispersal between
them, and such habitat would remain
relatively intact in the future. However,
the GYA is the most isolated (Oakleaf et
al. 2006, p. 554). This conclusion is
supported by dispersal and genetic
exchange data (vonHoldt et al. 2010, p.
4420; Jimenez et al. In review, p. 1). We
note that some surrounding habitat that
is considered unsuitable for pack
persistence is still important for
maintaining effective migration through
natural dispersal.
Overall, we evaluated data from a
number of sources on the location of
suitable wolf habitat in developing our
estimate of currently suitable wolf
habitat. Specifically, we considered the
recovery areas identified in the 1987
wolf recovery plan (Service 1987, p. 23),
the primary analysis areas analyzed in
the 1994 Environmental Impact
Statement for the GYA (63,700 km2
(24,600 mi2) (Service 1994, p. iv),
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information derived from theoretical
models by Carroll et al. (2006, p. 25) and
Oakleaf et al. (2006, p. 554), our 17
years of field experience managing
wolves in Wyoming, and locations of
persistent wolf packs and breeding pairs
since recovery has been achieved
(Service et al. 1999–2012, Figure 1).
Collectively, this evidence leads us to
concur with the Oakleaf et al. (2006, p.
559) model’s predictions that the most
important habitat attributes for wolf
pack persistence are forest cover, public
land, high elk density, and low livestock
density. Therefore, we conclude that
Oakleaf’s calculations of the amount
and distribution of suitable wolf habitat
available for persistent wolf pack
formation, in the parts of Wyoming
analyzed, represent a reasonable
prediction of suitable wolf habitat in
Wyoming (although these calculations
somewhat overestimated habitat
suitability in some areas such as the Big
Horn mountains) (Oakleaf et al. 2006, p.
559).
Generally, Wyoming’s suitable habitat
is located in the northwestern portion of
the State. A comparison of actual wolf
pack distribution in 2009 and 2011
(Service et al. 2010; 2012, Figure 1) to
Oakleaf et al.’s (2006, p. 559) prediction
of suitable habitat indicates that nearly
all suitable habitat in Wyoming is
currently occupied and areas predicted
to be unsuitable remain largely
unoccupied. Of note, the permanent
Trophy Area and protected areas
contain approximately 81 percent of the
State’s suitable habitat (including over
81 percent of the high-quality habitat
(greater than 80 percent chance of
supporting wolves) and over 62 percent
of the medium-high-quality habitat (50
to 79 percent chance of supporting
wolves) (Oakleaf 2011; Mead 2012a).
Although Carroll determined there
may be some additional suitable wolf
habitat in Wyoming beyond the area
Oakleaf analyzed, we conclude that it is
marginally suitable at best, and is
insignificant to NRM DPS, GYA, or
Wyoming wolf population recovery,
because it occurs in small, isolated, and
fragmented areas and is unlikely to
support many, if any, persistent
breeding pairs. While some areas in
Wyoming predicted to be unsuitable
habitat by the above models have been
temporarily occupied and used by
wolves or even packs, we still consider
these areas to be largely unsuitable
habitat because wolf packs in such areas
have failed to persist long enough to be
categorized as breeding pairs and
successfully contribute toward recovery.
Therefore, we conclude that such areas
are unsuitable habitat and that
dispersing wolves attempting to
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colonize those areas are unlikely to form
breeding pairs, persist long enough to
raise yearlings that can disperse to
facilitate demographic and genetic
exchange within the NRM DPS, or
otherwise contribute to population
recovery.
Unoccupied Suitable Habitat—
Habitat suitability modeling indicates
that the GYA and central Idaho core
recovery areas are atypical of other
habitats in the western United States
because suitable wolf habitat in these
areas occurs in much larger contiguous
blocks (Service 1987, p. 7; Larson 2004,
p. 49; Carroll et al. 2006, p. 35; Oakleaf
et al. 2006, p. 559). Such core refugia
areas provide a steady source of
dispersing wolves that populate other
adjoining potentially suitable wolf
habitat. Some habitat ranked by models
as suitable adjacent to this core refugia
may be able to support wolf breeding
pairs, while other habitat farther away
from a strong source of dispersing
wolves may not be able to support
persistent packs. This fact is important
when considering suitable habitat as
defined by the Carroll et al. (2006, p. 30)
and Oakleaf et al. (2006, p. 559) models,
because wolf populations can persist
despite very high rates of mortality only
if they have high rates of immigration
(Fuller et al. 2003, p. 183). Therefore,
model predictions regarding habitat
suitability do not always translate into
successful wolf occupancy and wolf
breeding pairs, just as habitat predicted
to be unsuitable does not mean such
areas will not support wolf breeding
pairs.
Strips and smaller (less than 2,600
km2 (1,000 mi2)) patches of theoretically
suitable habitat (Carroll et al. 2006, p.
34; Oakleaf et al. 2006, p. 559)
(typically, isolated mountain ranges)
often possess a higher mortality risk for
wolves because of their enclosure by,
and proximity to, unsuitable habitat
with a high mortality risk (Murray et al.
2010, p. 2514; Smith et al. 2010, p. 620).
In addition, pack territories often form
along distinct geological features (Mech
and Boitani 2003, p. 23), such as the
crest of a rugged mountain range, so
usable space for wolves in isolated,
long, narrow mountain ranges may be
reduced by half or more. This
phenomenon, in which the quality and
quantity of suitable habitat is
diminished because of interactions with
surrounding less-suitable habitat, is
known as an edge effect (Mills 1995, pp.
400–401). Edge effects are exacerbated
in small habitat patches with high
perimeter-to-area ratios (i.e., those that
are long and narrow, like isolated
mountain ranges) and in species with
large territories, like wolves, because
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they are more likely to encounter
surrounding unsuitable habitat
(Woodroffe and Ginsberg 1998, p. 2128).
Implementation of wolf recovery has
shown that some theoretically suitable
habitat described by the available
models fails to be functional (or
suitable) wolf habitat because of nonmodeled parameters (e.g., edge effect
discussed above) that exist in those
areas.
For the above reasons, we conclude
that the Wyoming wolf population will
be centered around YNP and the GYA.
This was always the intention, as
indicated by the GYA recovery area
identified in the 1987 Recovery Plan
and the primary analysis area identified
in the 1994 Environmental Impact
Statement. This core area will support
the recovered Wyoming and GYA wolf
population and continue to contribute
to the NRM gray wolf populations’
recovered status.
Currently Occupied Habitat—We
calculated the currently occupied area
in the NRM DPS wolf population by
drawing a line around the outer points
of radio-telemetry locations of all
known wolf pack territories at the end
of 2010 (Service et al. 2012, Figure 1).
Since 2002, most packs have occurred
within a consistent area (Service et al.
2003–2012, Figure 1), although the outer
boundary of the entire NRM wolf
population has fluctuated somewhat as
peripheral packs establish in unsuitable
or marginally suitable habitat and are
subsequently lost (Messer 2011). We
define occupied wolf habitat as that area
confirmed as being used by resident
wolves to raise pups, or that is
consistently used by two or more
territorial wolves for longer than 1
month (Service 1994, pp. 6:5–6).
The overall distribution of most
Wyoming wolf packs primarily forming
in mountainous forest habitat has been
similar since 2000, despite a wolf
population in the State that has more
than doubled (Service et al. 2001–2012,
Figure 1; Bangs et al. 2009, p. 104). The
wolf population has saturated most
suitable habitat in the State. Because
packs are unlikely to persist in
unsuitable habitat, significant growth in
the population’s distribution is unlikely.
We include unoccupied areas separating
areas with resident packs as occupied
wolf habitat because these intervening
unsuitable habitat areas contribute to
demographic and genetic connectivity
(vonHoldt et al. 2010, p. 4412). While
these areas are not capable of supporting
persistent wolf packs, dispersing wolves
routinely travel through these areas, and
packs occasionally occupy them
(Service 1994, pp. 6:5–6; Bangs 2002, p.
3; Jimenez et al. In review, p. 1).
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Occupied habitat in Wyoming occurs
only in the northwestern part of the
State (see Figure 1 above). Specifically,
this occupied area extends slightly
further east than the Trophy Area,
includes about the western-third of the
Wind River Indian Reservation, and
extends south to about Big Piney,
Wyoming. The occupied portion of
Wyoming and the GYA is illustrated in
Figure 1 above.
The Wyoming wolf population’s
relatively stable distribution is the result
of the wolf population approaching
biological limits, given available
suitable habitat and conflict in
unsuitable habitat. The remaining
habitat predicted by Carroll’s model is
often fragmented, occurring in smaller,
more isolated patches (Carroll et al.
2006, p. 35). These areas have only been
occupied by a few breeding pairs that
failed to persist (Service et al. 2012,
Figure 1). Given the above, there is
probably limited ability for the
Wyoming wolf population to expand
significantly beyond its current outer
boundaries, even under continued
protections of the Act. As demonstrated
by the wolf population’s demographic
abundance and relatively constant
geographic occupancy in northwestern
Wyoming, it is clear that there is
sufficient suitable habitat to maintain
the Wyoming wolf population well
above recovery levels.
Potential Threats Affecting Habitat or
Range—Wolves are one of the most
adaptable large predators in the world
and are unlikely to be substantially
affected by any threat except high levels
of human persecution (Fuller et al.
2003, p. 163; Boitani 2003, pp. 328–
330). Even active wolf dens can be quite
resilient to nonlethal disturbance by
humans (Frame et al. 2007, p. 316).
Establishing a recovered wolf
population in the NRM region did not
require land-use restrictions or
curtailment of traditional land uses
because there was enough suitable
habitat and wild ungulates and
sufficiently few livestock conflicts to
recover wolves under existing
conditions (Bangs et al. 2004, pp. 95–
96). Traditional land-use practices in
Wyoming are not a threat to wolves in
the State, and thus, do not need to be
modified to maintain a recovered wolf
population into the foreseeable future.
We do not anticipate that habitat
changes in Wyoming will occur at a
magnitude that will threaten wolf
recovery in the foreseeable future,
because the vast majority of occupied
habitat is in public ownership that is
managed for uses that are
complementary with the maintenance of
suitable wolf habitat and viable wolf
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populations (Carroll et al. 2003, p. 542;
Oakleaf et al. 2006, p. 560).
The 63,714 km2 (24,600 mi2) GYA is
primarily composed of public lands
(Service 1994, p. iv), and represents one
of the largest contiguous blocks of
suitable habitat within the region.
Public lands in National Parks (YNP,
Grand Teton National Park, and John D.
Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway),
wilderness (the Absaroka Beartooth,
North Absaroka, Washakie, and Teton
Wilderness Areas), roadless areas, and
large blocks of contiguous mountainous
forested habitat are largely unavailable
or unsuitable for intensive development.
Within the occupied portions of
Wyoming, land ownership is mostly
Federal (78.6 percent, 58.1 percent of
which is National Park Service or
wilderness) with some State (2.6
percent), Tribal (8.4 percent), and
private lands (10.5 percent) (Lickfett
2012).
The vast majority of suitable wolf
habitat and the current wolf population
are secure in mountainous forested
Federal public land (wilderness and
roadless areas, National Parks, and some
lands managed for multiple uses by the
U.S. Forest Service and Bureau of Land
Management) that will not be legally
available or suitable for intensive levels
of human development (Service 1993,
1996, 2007; Servheen et al. 2003; U.S.
Department of Agriculture Forest
Service 2006). Furthermore, the ranges
of wolves and grizzly bears overlap in
many parts of Wyoming and the GYA,
and mandatory habitat guidelines for
grizzly bear conservation on public
lands far exceed necessary criteria for
maintaining suitable habitat for wolves
(for an example, see U.S. Department of
Agriculture Forest Service 2006). Thus,
northwestern Wyoming will continue to
provide optimal suitable habitat for a
resident wolf population.
The availability of native ungulate
populations is a key factor in wolf
habitat and range. Wild ungulate prey
species are composed mainly of elk,
white-tailed deer, mule deer, moose,
and bison. Bighorn sheep, mountain
goats, and pronghorn antelope also are
common, but are not important as wolf
prey. In total, Wyoming supports about
50,000 elk and about 90,000 mule deer
in northwestern Wyoming (Bruscino
2011a). All but two of Wyoming’s 35 elk
management units are at or above the
WGFD numeric objectives for those
herds; however, calf/cow ratios in
several herd units are below desired
levels (WGFD 2010, p. 1; Mead 2012a).
The State of Wyoming has successfully
managed resident ungulate populations
for decades. With managers and
scientists collaborating to determine the
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source of the potential population
fluctuations and appropriate
management responses, we feel
confident that, although different herds
may experience differing population
dynamics, the GYA will continue to
support large populations of ungulates,
and Wyoming will continue to maintain
ungulate populations at densities that
will continue to support a recovered
wolf population well into the
foreseeable future.
The presence of cattle and sheep also
affect wolf habitat and range. Cattle and
sheep are at least twice as numerous as
wild ungulates, even on public lands
(Service 1994, p. viii). Most wolf packs
have at least some interaction with
livestock. Wolves and livestock can live
near one another for extended periods of
time without significant conflict, if
agency control prevents the behavior of
chronic livestock depredation from
becoming widespread in the wolf
population. However, whenever wolves
and livestock mix, some livestock and
some wolves will be killed. Conflicts
between wolves and livestock have
resulted in the annual removal of
around 8 to 15 percent of the wolf
population (Bangs et al. 1995, p. 130;
Bangs et al. 2004, p. 92; Bangs et al.
2005, pp. 342–344; Service et al. 2012,
Tables 4, 5; Smith et al. 2010, p. 620).
Such active control promotes tolerance
for wolf presence by responding to, and
minimizing future, impacts to private
property without threatening the wolf
population viability.
We do not foresee a substantial
increase in livestock abundance
occurring across northwestern Wyoming
that would result in increased wolf
mortality, and in fact, the opposite trend
has been occurring. In recent years,
more than 200,000 hectares (500,000
acres) of public land grazing allotments
have been purchased and retired in
areas of chronic conflict between
livestock and large predators, including
wolves (Fischer 2008). Assuming
adequate regulation of other potential
threat factors (discussed below), the
continued presence of livestock will not
in any meaningful way threaten the
recovered status of the Wyoming wolf
population in the foreseeable future.
Although human population growth
and development may affect wolf
habitat and range, we expect these
impacts will be minimal, because the
amount of secure suitable habitat is
more than sufficient to support wolf
breeding pairs well above recovery
levels. We expect the region will see
increased growth and development
including conversion of private lowdensity rural lands to higher density
urban and suburban development;
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accelerated road development and
increasing amounts of transportation
facilities (pipelines and energy
transmission lines); additional resource
extraction (primarily oil and gas, coal,
and wind development in certain areas);
and increased recreation on public
lands (Robbins 2007, entire). Despite
efforts to minimize impacts to wildlife
(Brown 2006, pp. 1–3), some
development will make some areas of
Wyoming and the GYA less suitable for
wolf occupancy. In the six northwestern
Wyoming counties most used by
wolves, the human population is
projected to increase approximately 15
percent by 2030 (from 122,787 counted
in 2010 to 141,000 forecast in 2030)
(Carroll et al. 2006, p. 536; Wyoming
Department of Administration and
Information Economic Analysis
Division 2008, entire; U.S. Census
Bureau 2010, entire). We anticipate
similar levels of population growth in
the other neighboring areas, because the
West as a region is projected to increase
at rates faster than any other region
(U.S. Census Bureau 2005). As human
populations increase, associated
impacts will follow. However, human
development will not occur on a scale
that could possibly affect the overall
suitability of Wyoming or the GYA for
wolves, and no foreseeable habitatrelated threats will prevent these areas
from supporting a wolf population that
is capable of substantially exceeding
recovery levels.
Most types of intensive human
development predicted in the future in
Wyoming will occur in areas that have
already been extensively modified by
human activities and are unsuitable as
wolf habitat (Freudenthal 2005,
appendix III). Mineral extraction
activities are likely to continue to be
focused at lower elevations, on private
lands, in open habitats, and outside of
currently suitable and currently
occupied wolf habitat (Robbins 2007,
entire). Development on private land
near suitable habitats will continue to
expose wolves to more conflicts and
higher risk of human-caused mortality.
However, the rate of conflict is well
below the level wolves can withstand,
especially given the large amount of
secure habitat in public ownership,
much of which is protected, that will
support a recovered wolf population
and will provide a reliable and constant
source of dispersing wolves.
Furthermore, management programs
(Linnell et al. 2001, p. 348), research
and monitoring, and outreach and
education about living with wildlife can
somewhat reduce such impacts.
Modeling exercises can also provide
insight into future land-use
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development patterns. While these
models have weaknesses (such as an
inability to accurately predict economic
upturns or downturns, uncertainty
regarding investments in infrastructure
that might drive development, such as
roads, airports, or water projects, and an
inability to predict open-space
acquisitions or conservation easements),
we nevertheless think that such models
are useful in adding to our
understanding of likely development
patterns. Carroll et al. (2003, p. 541;
2006, p. 32) predicted future wolf
habitat suitability under several
scenarios through 2025, including
potential threats such as increased
human population growth and road
development. Similarly, in 2005, the
Center for the West produced a series of
maps predicting growth through 2040
for the West (Travis et al. 2005, pp. 2–
7). These projections are available at:
https://www.centerwest.org/futures/west/
2040.html. These models predict very
little development across occupied and
suitable portions of the NRM DPS,
Wyoming, or GYA.
Based on these projections, we have
determined that increased development
will not alter wolf habitat suitability in
the NRM DPS, Wyoming, or GYA nearly
enough to cause the wolf population to
fall below recovery levels in the
foreseeable future. We acknowledge that
habitat suitability for wolves will
change over time with human
development, activities, and attitudes,
but not to the extent that it is likely to
threaten wolf recovery. We conclude
that future human population growth
will not adversely affect wolf
conservation. Wolf populations persist
in many areas of the world that are far
more developed than this region
currently is, or is likely to be, in the
foreseeable future (Boitani 2003, pp.
322–323). Current habitat conditions are
adequate to support a wolf population
well above minimal recovery levels, and
model predictions indicate that
development over the next 25 years is
unlikely to change habitat in a manner
that would threaten the wolf population
(Carroll et al. 2003, p. 544).
Regarding connectivity between the
Wyoming and the GYA wolf to the
remainder of the NRM DPS, minimal
change in human population growth
(Travis et al. 2005, pp. 2–7) and habitat
suitability (Carroll et al. 2003, p. 541;
Carroll et al. 2006, p. 32) are expected
along the Idaho-Montana border
between the central Idaho wolf
population and the GYA. In fact,
projected development is anticipated to
include modest expansions
concentrated in urban areas and
immediately surrounding areas (Travis
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et al. 2005, pp. 2–7). Conversely, in
many surrounding rural areas, habitat
suitability for wolves will be increased
beyond current levels as road densities
on public lands are reduced, a process
under way in the entire NRM region
(Carroll et al. 2006, p. 25; Servheen et
al. 2003; Service 1993, 1996, 2007;
Brown 2006, pp. 1–3). Wolves have
exceptional dispersal abilities including
the ability to disperse long distances
across vast areas of unsuitable habitat.
Numerous lone wolves have already
been documented to have successfully
dispersed through these types of
developed areas (Jimenez et al. In
review, p. 1). History proves that wolves
are among the least likely species of
land mammal to face a serious threat
from reduced connectivity related to
projected changes in habitat (Fuller et
al. 2003, pp. 189–190).
There is more than enough habitat
connectivity between occupied wolf
habitat in Canada, northwestern
Montana, and Idaho to provide for the
exchange of sufficient numbers of
dispersing wolves to maintain
demographic and genetic diversity in
the NRM wolf metapopulation. We have
documented routine movement of radiocollared wolves across the nearly
contiguous available suitable habitat
between Canada, northwestern
Montana, and central Idaho (Boyd et al.
1995, p. 136; Boyd and Pletscher 1999,
pp. 1100–1101; Jimenez et al. In review,
p. 23). No foreseeable threats put this
connectivity at risk. The GYA is the
most physically isolated core recovery
area within the NRM DPS, but the GYA
has also demonstrated sufficient levels
of connectivity to other occupied
habitats and wolf populations in the
NRM. Within the foreseeable future,
only minimal habitat degradation will
occur between the GYA and the other
recovery areas. Overall, we conclude
that this will have only minimal
impacts on foreseeable levels of
dispersal and connectivity of wolves in
the GYA and the State of Wyoming with
other wolf populations in the NRM. In
short, future connectivity is unlikely to
be meaningfully affected by changes in
habitat and range (genetic exchange is
discussed in more detail under Factor E
below), and any changes that are likely
will not threaten the recovered status of
the Wyoming, the GYA, or the NRM
gray wolf populations in the foreseeable
future. Therefore, we find present or
threatened destruction, modification, or
curtailment of habitat and range,
singularly or in combination with other
threats, will not cause the Wyoming, the
GYA, or the NRM gray wolf populations
to be ‘‘likely to become an endangered
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species within the foreseeable future
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range.’’
Factor B. Overutilization for
Commercial, Recreational, Scientific, or
Educational Purposes
Commercial or Recreational Uses—
This section discusses both legal and
illegal killing for commercial or
recreational purposes, such as hunting
and trapping. All other potential sources
of human-caused mortality (e.g., legal or
illegal killing for other purposes, agency
or individual actions to address
conflicts over wolf-livestock
interactions, or wolf kills in the predator
area of Wyoming) are discussed in the
‘‘Human-caused Mortality’’ section of
Factor C below; potential impacts of
human-caused mortality to natural
connectivity and gene flow are
discussed in the ‘‘Genetic
Considerations’’ section of Factor E
below. First, this section discusses
illegal commercial or recreational use.
Next, this section focuses on legal
hunting and trapping in Wyoming.
Finally, this section evaluates regulated
hunting and trapping in Idaho and
Montana because some wolves and
some packs cross State boundaries. For
an analysis of other portions of the NRM
DPS relative to this factor, see our 2009
delisting determination (74 FR 15123,
April 2, 2009). Additional consideration
of such take since 2009 has verified our
previous conclusions that State
management of such human-caused
mortality will not undermine
maintenance of any portion of the NRM
DPS’s recovered status (Cooley 2011;
Jimenez 2012b; see also Issue and
Response 4 above). Additional
consideration of such take in Montana
and Idaho are also included in other
portions of this rule as appropriate.
Since the species was listed, killing
for commercial or recreational use has
been prohibited. While some wolves
may have been illegally killed for
commercial use of the pelts and other
parts, such illegal commercial
trafficking is rare. Furthermore, illegal
capture of wolves for commercial
breeding purposes is also possible, but
we have no evidence that it occurs in
Wyoming, the GYA, or elsewhere in the
NRM DPS. We conclude that the
prohibition against ‘‘take’’ provided by
section 9 of the Act has discouraged and
minimized the illegal killing of wolves
for commercial or recreational purposes.
Post-delisting, State, tribal, and other
Federal laws and regulations will
continue to provide a strong deterrent to
such illegal wolf killing by the public.
State, tribal, and other Federal wildlife
agencies have well-distributed,
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experienced professional law
enforcement officers to help enforce
their respective wildlife regulations.
Similar regulatory approaches have
been effective in the conservation of
other resident wildlife, such as black
bears, mountain lions, elk, and deer.
Most hunting and trapping that will
occur post-delisting will be legal,
permitted, and regulated by the State of
Wyoming or the Wind River Indian
Reservation.
Legal regulated harvest will be
employed by Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming after delisting. Additionally,
the Wind River Indian Reservation may
consider legal regulated harvest. Harvest
will be done in a manner compatible
with wolf conservation. Wolves can
maintain themselves despite humancaused mortality rates of 17 to 48
percent (Fuller et al. 2003, pp. 182–184
[22 percent +/¥ 8 percent]; Adams et al.
2008 [29 percent]; Creel and Rotella
2010 [22 percent]; Sparkman et al. 2011
[25 percent]; Gude et al. 2011 [48
percent]; Vucetich and Carroll In review
[17 percent]).
We have long encouraged hunting as
a long term strategy for wolf
conservation because it is a valuable,
efficient, and cost-effective tool to help
manage wildlife populations (Bangs et
al. 2009, pg. 113). Viable robust wolf
populations in Canada, Alaska, and
other parts of the world are hunted and
trapped and are not threatened by this
type of mortality. Furthermore, all
States in the NRM DPS have substantial
experience operating regulated harvest
as a wildlife management tool for
resident species. Regarding experience
specific to wolves, in both 2009 and
2011, more than 250 NRM wolves were
killed through hunting and a total of
more than 600 NRM wolves died each
year from all sources of mortality
(agency control including defense of
property, regulated harvest, illegal and
accidental killing, and natural causes),
and the population showed little change
(technically, slight increases in
minimum population levels were
documented each year) (Service et al.
2012, tables 4a, 4b). While future
population reductions are anticipated,
the available information gives us every
confidence that the States will run
hunts such that wolf populations will
not be threatened by recreational or
commercial uses.
In Wyoming, wolves will be managed
as game animals year-round or protected
in about 38,500 km2 (15,000 mi2) in the
northwestern portion of the State (15.2
percent of Wyoming), including YNP,
Grand Teton National Park, John D.
Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway,
adjacent U.S. Forest Service-designated
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Wilderness Areas, adjacent public and
private lands, the National Elk Refuge,
and most of the Wind River Indian
Reservation (Lickfett 2012). This area is
of sufficient size to support Wyoming
wolf population targets, under the
management regime developed for this
area.
Wolves will be considered as trophy
game animals within the area of
northwestern Wyoming identified as the
Trophy Area (see Figure 1 above). In
areas under State jurisdiction, ‘‘trophy
game’’ status allows the WGFC and
WGFD to regulate methods of take,
hunting seasons, and numbers of wolves
that could be killed. The boundary and
size of the Trophy Area was established
by State statute and cannot be
diminished through WGFC rule or
regulation. The Trophy Area will be
seasonally expanded approximately 80
km (50 mi) south (see Figure 1 above)
from October 15 to the last day of
February (28th or 29th) to facilitate
natural dispersal of wolves between
Wyoming and Idaho. During this
timeframe, the Trophy Area will be
expanded by approximately 3,300 km2
(1,300 mi2) (i.e., an additional 1.3
percent of Wyoming) (Lickfett 2011).
Regarding methods for regulated
hunting within the Trophy Area,
numerous safeguards ensure such take
will be fair chase. For example, hunting
regulations within the Trophy Area
prohibit: Use of dogs to aid in wolf
hunting (W.S. 23–3–109(a)); poisoning
(W.S. 23–3–304); hunting from a road
(W.S. 23–3–305); hunting with the aid
of artificial light (W.S. 23–3–306(b));
hunting from snow machines,
automobiles, or airplanes; and hunters
receiving spotting assistance from
aircraft (W.S. 23–3–306). Note that the
limitations listed here are a small
sample of protective measures in place
and not intended to constitute a
comprehensive list; parties looking for a
comprehensive list of limitations on
wolf hunting within the Trophy Area
should consult the WGFD.
Within the Trophy Area, Wyoming
intends to use public harvest of wolves
to reduce wolf populations to minimize
wolf impacts to livestock, ungulate
herds, and humans (WGFC 2011, pp. 1,
23). Wyoming will develop an annual
hunt plan that will take into
consideration, but not be limited to, the
following when developing a wolf
hunting program or extending wolf
hunting seasons: Wolf breeding seasons;
short- and long-range dispersal
opportunity, survival, and success in
forming new or joining existing packs;
conflicts with livestock; and the broader
game management responsibilities
related to ungulates and other wildlife
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(WGFC 2011, pp. 2–3, 16, 25, 53).
Harvest quotas will be established
through WGFD’s normal season-setting
process. Quotas will be based on the
population status of wolves at the end
of the previous calendar year, and
consider wolf mortality and population
growth estimated during the current
calendar year (WGFC 2011, pp. 23–25).
All forms of wolf mortality will be
considered when setting appropriate
harvest levels (WGFC 2011, pp. 23–25).
Seasons will close when the mortality
quota is reached or if the WGFC deems
it necessary to close the season for other
reasons. Importantly, the WGFD will not
manage wolves at the minimum
population objective (WGFC 2011, p.
24). Instead, the WGFD will set harvest
levels that maintain an adequate buffer
above minimum population objectives
to provide management flexibility
(WGFC 2011, p. 24).
Wyoming wolf hunting seasons will
coincide primarily with fall big game
hunting seasons (October through
December), but they may be established
outside of that period or extended
beyond that period if necessary to
achieve management objectives (WGFC
2011, pp. 23–25, 53). Wyoming’s wolf
management plan indicates that the
State expects to delineate approximately
10 to 12 wolf hunting areas within the
Trophy Area to focus harvest in specific
areas (i.e., areas with high wolflivestock conflict, high humantrafficked areas, or areas where ungulate
herds are below State management
objectives) (WGFC 2011, pp. 1, 16).
Wyoming has 12 hunting units for the
2012 hunting season. Persons who
legally harvest a wolf within the Trophy
Area will be required to report the
harvest to the WGFD within 24 hours,
and check the harvested animal in
within 5 days (WGFC 2011, pp. 3, 22–
25). Reporting periods for harvested
wolves may be extended after inaugural
hunting seasons if it is determined that
extended reporting periods will not
increase the likelihood of overharvest
(WGFC 2011, p. 23). Similar harvest
strategies have been successful for
countless other wildlife species in
Wyoming.
Within the Trophy Area, at the end of
2011, there were at least 177 wolves in
at least 29 packs (including 16 breeding
pairs), as well as at least 4 lone wolves;
within the seasonal Trophy Area, at the
end of 2011, there were at least 10
wolves in at least 2 packs (including 1
breeding pair), as well as at least 5 lone
wolves (Jimenez 2012a). In 2012,
Wyoming will authorize a hunting quota
of 52 wolves in 2012, and once
reproduction is accounted for, the State
estimates that this would reduce the
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population by about 11.5 percent within
the Trophy Area (Mills 2012, pers.
comm.). Specifically, Wyoming
estimates the population within the
Trophy Area would be around 170
wolves and 15 breeding pairs at the end
of 2012 (Mills 2012, pers. comm.). We
note that this first-year goal is
comfortably above the minimum agreedupon population targets.
Commercial or recreational trapping
is not currently being planned in
Wyoming (Bruscino 2011b). However,
an adaptive management approach,
which could include trapping, may
occur in the future (WGFC 2011, p. 25;
Mead 2012a). If such a season is
considered in the future, it would be
regulated by the WGFD and the WGFC.
Furthermore, take would be limited
because the resultant mortality would
count toward Wyoming’s total harvest
quotas, which are already expected to be
modest once desired population
reductions are achieved. If trapping is
used in the future it will be conducted
within the framework of the State’s
overall demographic targets.
Regarding past hunting seasons, in
our 2009 delisting rule (74 FR 15123,
April 2, 2009), we determined that
Wyoming’s proposed 2008 harvest
strategy (that was not implemented) was
well-designed, biologically sound, and,
by itself, it would not have threatened
Wyoming’s share of the recovered NRM
wolf population. Given Wyoming’s
strong commitment to maintain a
population of at least the agreed-upon
minimum population targets, its
intention to consider all forms of wolf
mortality when making wolf
management decisions, and numerous
safeguards built into its harvest strategy,
we are confident that this source of
mortality will not compromise the
Wyoming wolf population’s recovered
status.
The Wind River Indian Reservation’s
management plan indicates wolves will
be designated as a game animal postdelisting and hunting and trapping can
occur (Shoshone and Arapaho Tribal
Fish and Game Department 2007, p. 9).
The season timing and length, harvest
quota, and other specifics will be
determined by the Eastern Shoshone
and Northern Arapaho Tribes (Shoshone
and Arapaho Tribal Fish and Game
Department 2007, p. 9). Harvest strategy
will depend on the number of wolves
present on Wind River Indian
Reservation and the management
direction the Tribes wish to take
(Shoshone and Arapaho Tribal Fish and
Game Department 2007, p. 9). The
Tribes have not designated a specific
number of individuals or packs for
which they will manage (Shoshone and
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Arapaho Tribal Fish and Game
Department 2007, p. 9). Given the small
number of wolves, packs, and breeding
pairs supported while Act protections
were in place, we expect the area will
support very modest wolf population
levels and distribution. Given this, we
expect very limited hunting or trapping
on the Wind River Indian Reservation.
No legal wolf hunting or trapping will
occur within the boundaries of YNP and
Grand Teton National Park. Similarly,
no wolf hunting is currently planned or
anticipated on the National Elk Refuge
(although it could be considered in the
future) (Kallin 2012, per. comm.).
However, wolves in these areas may be
impacted by hunting or trapping when
they leave these areas to various extents
depending on the unit. In Grand Teton
National Park and the National Elk
Refuge, wolf pack home ranges typically
cross outside of these Federal
boundaries, thus, hunting pressures in
adjoining areas will likely impact these
wolves. These wolves were included in
the Trophy Area for exactly this reason.
Therefore, Wyoming will manage these
wolves along with other wolves within
the remainder of the Trophy Area to
ensure their statewide minimum
management target is not compromised.
Most YNP packs rarely leave the park.
However, a few packs occasionally leave
the park boundaries, which could
subject them to hunting in adjoining
areas. This situation is most common for
packs in the northern part of YNP where
some of these wolves occasionally enter
adjoining portions of southern Montana.
Montana has responded to this situation
by creating a small subquota for areas
adjoining YNP. Specifically, within the
large South Central Montana hunting
unit, which had an overall quota of 18
wolves in 2011, Montana Fish, Wildlife
and Parks created a small subunit with
a subquota of 3 wolves for areas
immediately adjoining YNPs northern
boundary (Montana Fish, Wildlife and
Parks 2011, pp. 6–7). This approach has
been successful at minimizing hunting
impacts to YNP packs (Smith 2012,
pers. comm.). We anticipate Montana
will continue such harvest limits in
areas adjoining YNP in future years.
Most other YNP wolf packs are not
expected to be as vulnerable to humancaused mortality in adjoining areas most
years because they generally spend less
time in these adjoining areas. That said,
these patterns will vary by year. For
example, the Delta pack is generally
known from southeastern YNP and its
range can include adjoining portions of
Wyoming, but this year it appears to be
spending so much time in Wyoming
that it may count as a Wyoming pack
rather than a YNP pack.
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Although not likely to be necessary,
should hunting in other adjoining areas
have a bigger impact than anticipated,
we expect other adjoining States would
follow Montana’s lead and limit hunting
in these adjoining areas to limit impacts
to YNP wolves. All three States have
long cooperated with YNP on wildlife
management issues, a situation we
expect to continue (Bruscino 2012, pers.
comm.; Smith 2012, pers. comm.).
Furthermore, all three States have an
incentive to maintain a minimally
affected wolf population in YNP both
for visitor enjoyment and the resulting
economic benefits. Additionally, while
we doubt this issue could ever bring the
Wyoming statewide population down
below 15 breeding pairs or below 150
wolves, all 3 States have an incentive
not to have their management actions
outside YNP cause population-level
impacts in the park that could lead to
a Service status review (see status
review trigger 3 below). Wyoming’s wolf
management plan confirms this
intention in that it states Wyoming is
committed to coordinate with YNP to
contribute to maintain a statewide total
of at least 15 breeding pairs and at least
150 wolves (WGFC 2011, p. 1).
Although hunting is currently
allowed for many other game species in
the John D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial
Parkway under the Parkway’s enabling
legislation and Wyoming law, the
National Park Service has indicated a
‘‘strong preference that wolves not be
hunted in the John D. Rockefeller, Jr.
Memorial Parkway’’ (Frost and Wessels
2012). Wyoming’s hunting regulations
are clear that gray wolf hunting would
not occur in the Parkway during the
2012 season, although nothing in
Wyoming’s regulations or Wyoming’s
wolf management plan would preclude
wolves from being hunted in the
Parkway in subsequent years. Should
hunting ever occur in the John D.
Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway, it
would likely be very limited, would be
unlikely to noticeably affect wolf gene
flow or connectivity, and it would be
closely coordinated with the National
Park Service.
Recent hunts in Idaho and Montana
demonstrate wolf tolerance for hunting.
Both Idaho and Montana designated
wolves as game animals statewide and
each State conducted conservative wolf
hunts in 2009. These hunts distributed
wolf harvest across occupied habitat,
took into account connectivity and
possible dispersal corridors, resulted in
good hunter compliance, and improved
hunter attitudes about wolves (Montana
Fish, Wildlife and Parks 2009, entire;
Dickson 2010; Service et al. 2010, Idaho
chapter, pp. 13–14; Service et al. 2010,
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Montana chapter, pp. 17–25). In total,
Montana hunts took 72 wolves out of
the 75-harvest quota and, in Idaho,
hunts took 185 wolves out of 2009’s
quota of 220 (Montana Fish Wildlife &
Parks 2009, entire). Each State closed
wolf harvest in individual management
zones at the end of that State’s season
or when as a unit (or subunit) met its
quota, whichever came first. Montana
closed its wolf hunt statewide
November 16th. In Idaho, a few zones
remained open until March 31. Despite
a total harvest of 257 wolves in Montana
and Idaho and other sources of humancaused mortality, the NRM population
showed little change in 2009
(technically, a slight increase in
minimum population levels was
documented). Hunting continued in
some portions of Idaho into 2010. In
2010, the minimum population estimate
saw a small decline. During the 2011–
2012 harvest, 379 wolves were taken in
Idaho (255 by hunters and 124 by
trappers), and 166 wolves were taken in
Montana (Idaho Department of Fish and
Game 2012, entire; Montana Fish,
Wildlife and Parks 2012a, entire).
Considering all sources of mortality in
2011, the population changed
minimally (minimum population
estimates grew by around 3 percent
across the NRM DPS including a 15
percent increase in Montana and 4
percent reduction in Idaho). Some
additional reduction likely occurred
during the 2012 portion of the 2011–
2012 hunting season. Regardless, these
data confirm wolves’ capacity to
withstand significant mortality. As
anticipated in our 2009 delisting rule
(74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009), Montana
and Idaho are now planning higher
harvest rates to reduce the population
below current levels (which are likely at
or above long term carrying capacity of
the suitable habitat). After this initial
population reduction phase, we
anticipate that the NRM gray wolf
population will then settle into a
reasonable, long term equilibrium, well
above minimum recovery levels.
On a more localized level, hunting in
Idaho and Montana may affect Wyoming
wolves because some wolves and some
packs cross State boundaries. Thus, next
we analyze hunting in Idaho’s and
Montana’s portion of the GYA. During
the 2009 season, Island Park hunting
unit had a quota of five wolves with an
October 1st to December 31st season
and a limit of one wolf per person
(Service et al. 2010, Idaho chapter, pp.
81–84). The quota for this unit was met,
and the unit was closed November 2nd
(Service et al. 2010, Idaho chapter, pp.
81–84). There is no harvest data from
2010 because wolves were not hunted in
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this unit in 2010. During the 2011
season, Idaho authorized a quota of 30
wolves in the Island Park hunting unit
with a season from August 30th to
December 31st, and limits of 1 wolf per
tag with a limit of 2 tags per person
(Idaho Fish and Game Commission
2011). The quota for this unit was not
reached because only 10 wolves were
taken. The 2012–2013 hunting seasons
authorize a quota of 30 wolves with a
season from August 30th to January 31st
and limits of 1 wolf per tag with a limit
of 2 tags per person. If the last several
years are any indication, it is unlikely
this quota will be achieved. Overall, the
data demonstrate this modest hunting
level in this unit had minimal impact.
As hunting continues in this region
across multiple consecutive years, it
will reduce the number of wolves,
packs, and breeding pairs in this area
(this is the State’s intention). In the long
run, it is likely that this area will
continue to support a modest number of
wolves and packs (one to four packs)
some of which will qualify as breeding
pairs. This regulated taking in Idaho
may minimally affect a small number of
Wyoming wolves (e.g., the three
Wyoming packs that cross into Idaho).
In future years, once the initial desired
population level is achieved, such
impacts are expected to be minimal.
Idaho’s other hunting unit in the GYA
area is the southern Idaho unit.
Potential hunting impacts in this unit
are expected to be zero to low single
digits. During the 2009–2010 hunting
season, Idaho allowed hunting from
August 30th to March 31st in this zone
but did not reach its quota and only 1
wolf was harvested. During the 2011–
2012 hunting season, Idaho allowed
hunting from August 30th to March 31st
with an unlimited quota in this zone,
but only harvested 2 wolves. During
2011, no documented packs or groups
occupied the Southern Idaho Zone.
Furthermore, hunting in this unit is
expected to have little to no impact on
packs in Wyoming. Because this area is
largely unsuitable habitat with no
substantial wolf population, recent
modest take trends in this unit are likely
to continue.
Trapping was not authorized in either
the Island Park unit or the southern
Idaho unit (Idaho Fish and Game
Commission 2011). Similarly, trapping
is also not planned for the 2012–2013
season in either of these areas. Trapping
was only authorized where hunting
alone was not anticipated to be effective
in reducing the wolf population (Idaho
Fish and Game Commission 2011).
Because trapping is typically reserved
for more remote, inaccessible areas
(Idaho Fish and Game Commission
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55581
2011), we do not expect much, if any,
future trapping in this area.
Montana’s wolf quota for 2011 within
the GYA was 43 wolves including 19
wolves within the Gallatin/Madison
unit, 6 wolves within the Highlands/
Tobacco Roots/Gravelly/Snowcrest unit,
and 18 wolves within the South Central
Montana unit (Montana Fish, Wildlife
and Parks 2011, pp. 6–7). These quotas
were nearly achieved with 16, 5, and 18
wolves taken in each of the above units,
respectively. In 2011, the minimum
estimate was 139 wolves in 22 verified
packs, 10 of which qualified as a
breeding pair. This represents a slight
change in the area’s wolf population
(technically, a slight increase in the
documented wolf population) from 2010
when the minimum population estimate
was 118 wolves in 19 packs in 2010, of
which 6 qualified as breeding pairs.
Small fluctuations also occurred
following the 2009 hunting season.
Thirteen wolves were taken in this unit
in 2009. From the end of 2008 to the
end of 2009 (the period affected by the
2009 wolf hunt), the minimum wolf
population estimate in Montana’s share
of the GYA declined from 130 wolves in
18 packs, 11 of which met the breeding
pair criteria, to 106 wolves in 17
verified packs, 9 of which qualified as
a breeding pair. Both agency control
(which increased in 2009) and hunter
harvest were factors in these declines.
As of this writing, the Montana 2012–
2013 hunting season’s quota is not
determined, but will be higher than past
seasons and may include trapping and
increased harvest. In the long run,
Montana will modestly reduce the
number of wolves, packs, and breeding
pairs in this area. However, it is likely
this area will continue to support a
sizeable number of wolves, packs, and
breeding pairs. Specifically, in our
professional judgment, this area will
support at least 8 packs long term, a
significant number of which will qualify
as breeding pairs. This regulated taking
in Montana, in light of the quotas for
areas adjacent to YNP, may affect some
Wyoming wolves in some years, but is
not expected to be a significant impact.
In summary, illegal commercial and
recreational use will remain a negligible
source of mortality, and legal and Stateregulated harvest for commercial and
recreational use will be managed in a
manner compatible with wolf
conservation. Wolves can maintain
population levels despite very high
sustained human-caused mortality rates.
For example, in 2009 and in 2011, more
than 600 NRM wolves died each year
from all sources of mortality (agency
control including defense of property,
regulated harvest, illegal and accidental
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killing, and natural causes), and the
population showed little change
(technically, slight increases in
minimum population levels were
documented each year) (Service et al.
2012, tables 4a, 4b). Regulated hunting
and trapping are commonly used to
manage wolves in Canada and Alaska
without population-level negative
effects (Bangs 2008), and all States in
the NRM DPS have substantial
experience operating regulated harvest
as a wildlife management tool for
resident species. In Wyoming,
population levels will be carefully
monitored; all sources of mortality will
be used to set quotas and measure
progress toward them; harvest units will
be closed when quotas are met, or if
otherwise needed (e.g., if overall
population objectives are being
approached); harvest units will be small
to allow targeted control of authorized
mortality; and populations will be
managed with a buffer above minimum
targets. This approach is consistent with
the State’s management of numerous
other species.
On the whole, we anticipate
Wyoming, Idaho, and Montana will all
reduce populations in the short term
and that harvest rates and season
duration will be reduced over time.
Long term, commercial and recreational
human-caused mortality and total
human-caused mortality will occur at
sustainable rates that will not
compromise minimum management
targets or minimum recovery objectives.
Overutilization for Scientific or
Educational Purposes—From 1979 to
2010, the Service and our cooperating
partners captured 1,963 wolves for
monitoring, nonlethal control, and
research purposes with less than 3
percent experiencing accidental death.
After delisting, the States, National
Parks, and Tribes will continue to
capture and radio-collar wolves for
monitoring and research purposes in
accordance with State, Federal, and
tribal laws, wolf management plans,
regulations, and appropriate agency
humane animal care and handling
policies. The capture or possession of
wolves from within the Trophy Area for
scientific or educational purposes will
be regulated by the WGFD under rules
set in chapter 10 and chapter 33 of
Commission Regulations. We expect
that capture-caused mortality by
Federal, State, and Tribal agencies, and
universities conducting wolf
monitoring, nonlethal control, and
research, will remain below 3 percent of
the wolves captured, and will remain an
insignificant source of mortality to the
wolf population (Murray et al. 2010, p.
2519).
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We are unaware of any wolves that
have been removed from the wild for
solely educational purposes in recent
years. Wolves that are used for such
purposes are typically privately held
captive-reared offspring of wolves that
were already in captivity for other
reasons. However, we or the States and
Tribes may get requests to place wolves
that would otherwise be euthanized in
captivity for research or educational
purposes. Such requests have been, and
are likely to continue to be, rare. Such
requests will not substantially affect
human-caused wolf mortality rates.
In summary, we find that commercial,
recreational, scientific, and educational
use, singularly or in combination with
other threats, will not cause the
Wyoming, the GYA, or the NRM gray
wolf population to be ‘‘likely to become
an endangered species within the
foreseeable future throughout all or a
significant portion of its range.’’
Factor C. Disease or Predation
This section discusses disease and
parasites, natural predation, and all
sources of human-caused mortality not
covered under Factor B above (the
Factor B analysis includes sources of
human-caused mortality for commercial
and recreational uses). The below
analysis focuses on wolves in Wyoming,
but considers adjoining portions of the
GYA because some wolves and some
packs cross State boundaries. Data for
other regions are considered,
particularly where it implies a threat
that could someday affect Wyoming or
GYA wolves. For an analysis of other
portions of the NRM DPS relative to this
factor, see our 2009 delisting
determination (74 FR 15123, April 2,
2009).
Disease—Wolves throughout North
America are exposed to a wide variety
of diseases and parasites. Many diseases
(viruses and bacteria, many protozoa
and fungi) and parasites (helminthes
and arthropods) have been reported for
the gray wolf, and several of them have
had significant but temporary impacts
during wolf recovery in the 48
conterminous States (Brand et al. 1995,
p. 428; Kreeger 2003, pp. 202–214). The
1994 Environmental Impact Statement
on gray wolf reintroduction identified
disease impact as an issue, but did not
evaluate it further (Service 1994, pp.
1:20–21).
Infectious disease induced by
parasitic organisms is a normal feature
in the life of wild animals, and the
typical wild animal hosts a broad
multispecies community of potentially
harmful parasitic organisms (Wobeser
2002, p. 160). We fully anticipate that
these diseases and parasites will follow
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the same pattern seen for wolves in
other areas of North America (Brand et
al. 1995, pp. 428–429; Bailey et al. 1995,
p. 445; Kreeger 2003, pp. 202–204;
Atkinson 2006, pp. 1–7; Smith and
Almberg 2007, pp. 17–19; Johnson
1995a, 1995b; Almberg et al. 2009, p. 3;
2010, p. 2058; Jimenez et al. 2010a, p.
1120; 2010b p. 331), and will not
significantly threaten wolf population
viability. Nevertheless, because these
diseases and parasites, and perhaps
others, have the potential to affect wolf
population distribution and
demographics, monitoring implemented
by the States, Tribes, and National Park
Service will track disease and parasite
events. Should such an outbreak occur
that results in a population decline,
discretionary human-caused mortality
(such as hunting, post-delisting) would
be adjusted over an appropriate area and
time period to ensure wolf population
numbers are maintained above recovery
levels (WGFC 2011, pp. 21–22, 24).
Canine parvovirus (CPV) infects
wolves, domestic dogs (Canis
familiaris), foxes (Vulpes vulpes),
coyotes (Canis latrans), skunks
(Mephitis mephitis), and raccoons
(Procyon lotor). The population impacts
of CPV occur via diarrhea-induced
dehydration leading to abnormally high
pup mortality (Wisconsin Department of
Natural Resources 1999, p. 61). Clinical
CPV is characterized by severe
hemorrhagic diarrhea and vomiting;
debility and subsequent mortality is a
result of dehydration, electrolyte
imbalances, and shock. CPV has been
detected in nearly every wolf
population in North America including
Alaska (Bailey et al. 1995, p. 441; Brand
et al. 1995, p. 421; Kreeger 2003, pp.
210–211; Johnson et al. 1994; Almberg
et al. 2009, p. 2), and exposure in
wolves is thought to be almost
universal. Currently, nearly 100 percent
of the wolves handled in Montana and
Wyoming had blood antibodies
indicating nonlethal exposure to CPV
(Atkinson 2006; Smith and Almberg
2007, p. 18; Almberg et al. 2009, p. 2;
Service et al. 2009, Wyoming chapter, p.
11). CPV might have contributed to low
pup survival in the northern range of
YNP in 1999. CPV was suspected to
have done so again in 2005 and possibly
2008, but evidence now points to canine
distemper (CD) as having been the
primary cause of low pup survival
during those years (Smith et al. 2006, p.
244; Smith 2008, pers. comm.; Almberg
et al. 2010, p. 2058). Pup production
and survival in YNP returned to normal
levels after each event (Almberg et al.
2009, pp. 18–19).
The impact of disease outbreaks to the
overall NRM wolf population has been
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localized and temporary, as has been
documented elsewhere (Bailey et al.
1995, p. 441; Brand et al. 1995, p. 421;
Kreeger 2003, pp. 210–211). Despite
these periodic disease outbreaks, the
NRM wolf population increased at a rate
of about 20 percent annually from 1996
to 2008 (Service et al. 2012, Table 4;
Smith et al. 2010, p. 620; also see Figure
3 above. Mech and Goyal (2011)
recently found that from 1987 to 1993,
CPV reduced pup survival and
subsequent dispersal and overall
population growth in the Superior
National Forest of Minnesota (a
population at carrying capacity in
suitable habitat); after that the
population apparently gained resistance
to CPV. It is possible that at carrying
capacity CPV may affect the GYA and
Wyoming wolf populations similarly,
such that the overall rate of growth may
be temporarily reduced.
Canine distemper (CD) is an acute,
fever-causing disease of carnivores
caused by a virus (Kreeger 2003, p. 209).
It is common in domestic dogs and
some wild canids, such as coyotes and
foxes in the NRM region (Kreeger 2003,
p. 209). The prevalence of antibodies to
this disease in wolf blood in North
American wolves is about 17 percent
(Kreeger 2003, p. 209), but varies
annually and by specific location.
Nearly 85 percent of Montana wolf
blood samples analyzed in 2005
indicated nonlethal exposure to CD
(Atkinson 2006). Similar results were
found in Wyoming (Smith and Almberg
2007, p. 18; Service et al. 2009,
Wyoming chapter, p. 11; Almberg et al.
2010, p. 2061). Mortality in wolves has
been documented in Canada (Carbyn
1982, p. 109), Alaska (Peterson et al.
1984, p. 31; Bailey et al. 1995, p. 441),
and in a single Wisconsin pup
(Wydeven and Wiedenhoeft 2003, p. 7).
CD is not a major mortality factor in
wolves, because despite high exposure
to the virus, affected wolf populations
usually demonstrate good recruitment
(Brand et al. 1995, pp. 420–421).
Mortality from CD has only been
confirmed on a few occasions in NRM
wolves despite their high exposure to it,
however, we suspect it contributed to
the high pup mortality documented in
the northern GYA in spring 1999, 2005,
and 2008 (Almberg et al. 2010, p. 2061).
CD is likely maintained in the NRM
region by multiple hosts, and periodic
outbreaks will undoubtedly occur every
2–5 years (Almberg et al. 2010, p. 2058).
However, as documented elsewhere, CD
does not threaten wolf populations, and
the NRM wolf population increased
even during years with localized
outbreaks (Almberg et al. 2010, p. 2058).
YNP biologists (Smith 2008, pers.
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comm.) documented the most severe
wolf impacts from CD when the YNP
population was around the historic high
of 170 wolves the previous winter. That
said, less severe outbreaks of CD can
and do occur at lower population levels.
CD impacts are typically localized. In
2008, wolf packs in Wyoming outside
YNP (about 25 packs and 15 breeding
pairs) appeared to have normal pup
production (Jimenez 2008, pers. comm.),
indicating the probable disease outbreak
in 2008 was localized to YNP. The
available information indicates CD
mortality may be associated with high
carnivore density. Thus, the wolf
populations in the GYA may be more
affected by CD and other diseases when
wolves and other carnivores exist at
high densities in suitable habitat (e.g., in
YNP in 2005 and 2008). This may
partially explain why no similar events
have been documented in other portions
of Wyoming, and may limit the future
likelihood of similar events in other
portions of Wyoming after delisting.
Lyme disease, caused by a spirochete
bacterium, is spread primarily by deer
ticks (Ixodes dammini). Host species
include humans, horses (Equus
caballus), dogs, white-tailed deer, mule
deer, elk, white-footed mice
(Peromyscus leucopus), eastern
chipmunks (Tamias striatus), coyotes,
and wolves. In wolf populations in the
Western Great Lakes region, it does not
appear to cause adult mortality, but
might be suppressing population growth
by decreasing wolf pup survival
(Wisconsin Department of Natural
Resources 1999, p. 61). Lyme disease
has not been documented in the GYA or
Wyoming wolf populations.
Mange is caused by a mite (Sarcoptes
scabeii) that infests the skin. The
irritation caused by feeding and
burrowing mites results in intense
itching, resulting in scratching and
severe fur loss, which can lead to
secondary infections or to mortality
from exposure during severe winter
weather (Kreeger 2003, pp. 207–208).
Advanced mange can involve the entire
body and can cause emaciation,
decreased flight distance, staggering,
and death (Kreeger 2003, p. 207). In a
long term Alberta wolf study, higher
wolf densities were correlated with
increased incidence of mange, and pup
survival decreased as the incidence of
mange increased (Brand et al. 1995, pp.
427–428). Mange has been shown to
temporarily affect wolf population
growth rates and perhaps wolf
distribution (Kreeger 2003, p. 208).
Mange has been detected in, and
caused mortality to, GYA wolves
(Jimenez et al. 2010a, p. 1120; Atkinson
2006, p. 5; Smith and Almberg 2007, p.
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19). The GYA wolves likely contracted
mange from coyotes or fox, whose
populations experience occasional
outbreaks. Between 2003 and 2008, the
percentage of Montana packs with
mange fluctuated between 3 and 24
percent of packs. Between 2002 and
2008, the percentage of Wyoming packs
with mange fluctuated between 3 and 15
percent of packs. In these cases, mange
did not appear to infest every member
of the pack. For example, in 2008,
manage was detected in 8 wolves from
4 different packs in YNP, one pack in
Wyoming outside YNP, and a couple of
packs in previously infested areas of
southwestern Montana. Mange has not
been confirmed in wolves in Idaho
(Jimenez et al. 2010a, p. 1123).
In packs with the most severe mange
infestations, pup survival appeared low,
and some adults died (Jimenez et al.
2010a, pp. 1122–1123). In addition, we
euthanized several wolves with severe
mange for humane reasons and because
of their abnormal behavior. We predict
that mange in the GYA and State of
Wyoming will act as it has in other parts
of North America (Brand et al. 1995, pp.
427–428; Kreeger 2003, pp. 207–208;
Jimenez et al. 2010a, p. 1123) and not
threaten wolf population viability.
Wolves are not likely to be infested with
mange on a chronic population-wide
level (Jimenez et al. 2010a, p. 1123).
Dog-biting lice (Trichodectes canis)
commonly feed on domestic dogs, but
can infest coyotes and wolves (Schwartz
et al. 1983, p. 372; Mech et al. 1985, p.
404; Jimenez et al. 2010b, entire). The
lice can attain severe infestations,
particularly in pups. The worst
infestations can result in severe
scratching, irritated and raw skin,
substantial hair loss particularly in the
groin, and poor condition. While no
wolf mortality has been confirmed from
dog-biting lice, death from exposure or
secondary infection following selfinflicted trauma caused by
inflammation and itching appears
possible. The first confirmed NRM
wolves with dog-biting lice were
members of the Battlefield pack in the
Big Hole Valley of southwestern
Montana in 2005 and 2006, and one
wolf in south-central Idaho in 2006 and
2007; but these infestations were not
severe (Service et al. 2006, p. 15;
Atkinson 2006, p. 5; Jimenez et al.
2010b). The source of this infestation is
unknown, but was likely domestic dogs.
Lice have been documented in the NRM
DPS since 2005, and infestations are
likely to continue to be occasionally
documented in the future. Lice may
contribute to the death of some
individual wolves, but they will not
threaten the GYA or Wyoming wolf
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population (Jimenez et al. 2010b, p.
332).
Rabies, canine heartworm (Dirofilaria
immitus), blastomycosis, brucellosis,
neosporsis, leptospirosis, bovine
tuberculosis, canine herpesvirus
(Almberg et al. 2010), canine
coronavirus, viral papillomatosis,
hookworm, tapeworm (Echinococcus
granulosus) (Foreyt et al. 2008, p. 1),
lice, sarcoptic mange, coccidiosis, and
canine adenovirus/hepatitis have all
been documented in wild gray wolves,
but their impacts on future wild wolf
populations are not likely to be
significant (Brand et al. 1995, pp. 419–
429; Johnson 1995a, b, pp. 5–73, 1995b,
pp. 5–49; Mech and Kurtz 1999, p. 305;
Wisconsin Department of Natural
Resources 1999, p. 61; Kreeger 2003, pp.
202–214; Atkinson 2006, pp. 1–7;
Almberg et al. 2010, p. 3; Jimenez et al.
2010a, p. 1123; 2010b, p. 332). Canid
rabies caused local population declines
in Alaska (Ballard and Krausman 1997,
p. 242), and may temporarily limit
population growth or distribution where
another species, such as arctic foxes
(Alopex lagopus), act as a reservoir for
the disease. We have not detected rabies
in NRM wolves. Range expansion could
provide new avenues for exposure to
several of these diseases, especially
canine heartworm, rabies, bovine
tuberculosis, and possibly new diseases
such as chronic wasting disease and
West Nile virus, further emphasizing the
need for vigilant disease-monitoring
programs.
Because several of the diseases and
parasites are known to be spread by
wolf-to-wolf contact, their incidence
may increase if wolf densities increase.
However, because wolf densities are
already high and may be peaking
(Service et al. 2012, Table 1, Figure 1),
wolf-to-wolf contacts will not likely
lead to a continuing increase in disease
prevalence. Most NRM gray wolves will
continue to have exposure to most
diseases and parasites in the system.
However, the impact of disease
outbreaks to the overall NRM wolf
population has been localized and
temporary, as has been documented
elsewhere (Bailey et al. 1995, p. 441;
Brand et al. 1995, p. 421; Kreeger 2003,
pp. 210–211). Diseases or parasites have
not been a significant threat to wolf
population recovery to date, and we
have no reason to conclude that they
will become a significant threat to the
viability of recovered wolves in the
foreseeable future.
In terms of future disease monitoring,
States have committed to monitor the
NRM wolf population for significant
disease and parasite problems. State
wildlife health programs often cooperate
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with Federal agencies and universities
and usually have both reactive and
proactive wildlife health monitoring
protocols. Reactive strategies consist of
periodic intensive investigations after
disease or parasite problems have been
detected through routine management
practices, such as pelt examination,
reports from hunters, research projects,
or population monitoring. Proactive
strategies often involve ongoing routine
investigation of wildlife health
information through collection and
analysis of blood and tissue samples
from all or a sub-sample of wildlife
carcasses or live animals that are
handled.
Overall, we conclude that diseases or
changes in disease monitoring,
singularly or in combination with other
threats, will not cause the Wyoming, the
GYA, or the NRM gray wolf population
to become in danger of extinction
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range now or in the foreseeable
future.
Natural Predation—No wild animals
routinely prey on gray wolves (Ballard
et al. 2003, pp. 259–260). From 1982 to
2004, about 3.1 percent of all known
wolf mortality in the NRM DPS resulted
from interspecific strife (Murray et al.
2010, p. 2519). Occasionally wolves
have been killed by large prey such as
elk, deer, bison, and moose (Mech and
Nelson 1989, p. 207; Smith et al. 2006,
p. 247; Mech and Peterson 2003, p. 134),
but those instances are few. Since the
1980s, about a dozen YNP wolves have
died from wounds received while
attacking prey (Smith et al. 2006, p.
247). That level of natural mortality
does not significantly affect wolf
population viability or stability. Since
NRM wolves have been monitored, only
a few wolves have been confirmed
killed by other large predators. At least
two adults were killed by mountain
lions, and one pup was killed by a
grizzly bear (Jimenez et al. 2009, p. 76).
Wolves in the NRM region inhabit the
same areas as mountain lions, grizzly
bears, and black bears, but conflicts
rarely result in the death of either
species. Wolves evolved with other
large predators, and no other large
predators in North America, except
humans, have the potential to
significantly affect wolf populations.
Other wolves are the largest cause of
natural predation among wolves.
Wherever wolf packs occur, including
the NRM DPS, some low level of wolf
mortality will result from territorial
conflict. Such intraspecific killing has
been noted in newly expanding
populations or restored populations
(Fritts and Mech 1981; Wydeven et al.
1995; Mech and Boitani 2003; Smith
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2005), in wolf populations subject to
human harvest (Adams et al. 2008), and
during periods of relatively high prey
abundance (Peterson and Page 1988).
However, this cause of mortality does
not result in a level of mortality that
would significantly affect a wolf
population’s viability in Wyoming, the
GYA, or the NRM DPS.
In summary, we find that natural
predation, singularly or in combination
with other threats, will not cause the
Wyoming, the GYA, or the NRM gray
wolf populations to be ‘‘likely to
become an endangered species within
the foreseeable future throughout all or
a significant portion of its range.’’
Human-caused Mortality—This
section discusses most sources of
human-caused mortality; however,
hunting and trapping are discussed in
the ‘‘Commercial and Recreational
Uses’’ section of Factor B above and
potential impacts of human-caused
mortality to natural connectivity and
gene flow are discussed in the ‘‘Genetic
Considerations’’ section of Factor E
below. As with previous sections, this
write-up focuses on Wyoming, because
this is the portion of the NRM DPS that
remains listed; however, the
conclusions of the previous delisting
and the information supporting this
determination are incorporated by
reference and updated below as
appropriate.
Humans kill wolves for a number of
reasons. For example, some wolves are
killed to resolve conflicts with livestock
(Fritts et al. 2003, p. 310; Woodroffe et
al. 2005, pp. 86–107, pp. 345–347).
Occasionally, wolf killings are
accidental (e.g., wolves are hit by
vehicles, mistaken for coyotes and shot,
or caught in traps set for other animals)
(Bangs et al. 2005, p. 346). Other wolf
killings are intentional, illegal, and are
not reported to authorities. A few
wolves have been killed by people who
stated that they believed their physical
safety was being threatened. The overall
NRM wolf mortality rate of 26 percent
since reintroduction comprises illegal
kills (10 percent), control actions to
resolve conflicts (10 percent), natural
causes including disease/parasites and
intraspecific strife (3 percent), and
accidental human causes such as
vehicle collisions and capture mortality
(3 percent). Eighty percent of the overall
NRM wolf mortalities are human-caused
(Murray et al. 2010; Smith et al. 2010;
Service et al. 2011, p. 7). While humancaused mortality, including both illegal
killing and agency control, has not
prevented population recovery, it has
affected NRM wolf distribution (Bangs
et al. 2004, p. 93), preventing successful
pack establishment and persistence in
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open prairie or high desert habitats
(Bangs et al. 1998, p. 788; Bangs et al.
2009, p. 107; Service et al. 1989–2012,
Figure 1). Overall, wolf populations can
maintain themselves despite humancaused mortality rates of 17 to 48
percent, indicating wolf populations are
quite resilient to moderate humancaused mortality, if it is adequately
regulated (Fuller et al. 2003, pp. 182–
184 [22 percent +/¥ 8 percent]; Adams
et al. 2008 [29 percent]; Creel and
Rotella 2010 [22 percent]; Sparkman et
al. 2011 [25 percent]; Gude et al. 2011
[48 percent]; Vucetich and Carroll In
review [17 percent])
As part of the interagency wolf
monitoring program and various
research projects, over 20 percent of the
NRM wolf population has been
monitored since the 1980s (Smith et al.
2010, p. 620; Murray et al. 2010, p.
2514; Service et al. 1989–2012, Tables
1–5). While it is unclear if these wolves
were representative of the entire
population (Atkins 2011, p. 56), this
information is nonetheless informative.
From 1984 through 2004, annual adult
survival likely averaged around 75
percent, which typically allows wolf
population growth (Keith 1983, p. 66;
Fuller et al. 2003, p. 182; Smith et al.
2010, p. 620; Murray et al. 2010, p.
2514). Wolves in the largest blocks of
remote habitat without livestock, such
as central Idaho or YNP, had annual
survival rates around 80 percent (Smith
et al. 2006, p. 245; Smith et al. 2010, p.
620). Wolves outside of large remote
areas had survival rates as low as 54
percent in some years (Smith et al. 2006,
p. 245; Smith et al. 2010, p. 626); the
highest mortality rates are localized in
areas we consider largely unsuitable for
pack persistence.
Wolf mortality resulting from control
of problem wolves, which includes legal
take by private individuals under
defense of property regulations, was
estimated to remove an average of 10
percent of adult radio-collared wolves
annually since reintroduction, but that
rate has steadily increased as the wolf
population has expanded beyond
suitable habitat and caused increased
conflicts with livestock (Service et al.
2012, Table 4, 5). Defense of property
take, authorized by experimental
population rules (Service 1994, pp.
2:13–14; 59 FR 60252, November 22,
1994; 59 FR 60266, November 22, 1994;
70 FR 1286, January 6, 2005; 73 FR
4720, January 28, 2008; 50 CFR 17.84(i)
& (n)), makes up a small percentage of
these control actions. Specifically, such
take represented about 7 percent of
problem wolves legally removed from
1995 to 2010 and about 9 percent of
such removals from 2008 to 2010. In
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spite of these mortality rates, minimum
known wolf numbers increased at a rate
of around 20 percent annually 1995–
2008 (the period when the population
was presumed below carrying capacity)
(Service et al. 2012, Table 4; Smith et al.
2010, p. 620; also see Figure 3 above).
Since 2008, the NRM population
appears to have largely stabilized (see
Figure 3 above).
After delisting, human-caused
mortality, and its authorization or
regulation, will differ in various parts of
Wyoming. In total, wolves will be
managed as game animals year-round or
protected in about 38,500 km2 (15,000
mi2) in northwestern Wyoming (15.2
percent of Wyoming), including YNP,
Grand Teton National Park, John D.
Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway,
adjacent U.S. Forest Service-designated
Wilderness Areas, adjacent public and
private lands, the National Elk Refuge,
and most of the Wind River Indian
Reservation. This area is of sufficient
size to support Wyoming population
targets, under the management regime
developed for this area.
Within portions of the Trophy Area
under State jurisdiction, wolves will be
managed by the WGFD as trophy game
animals. ‘‘Trophy game’’ status allows
the WGFC and WGFD to regulate
methods of take, hunting seasons, types
of allowed take, and numbers of wolves
that could be killed. The boundary and
size of the Trophy Area was established
by State statute and cannot be changed
through WGFC rule or regulation. The
Trophy Area will be seasonally
expanded approximately 80 km (50 mi)
south (see Figure 3) from October 15 to
the last day of February (28th or 29th)
to facilitate natural dispersal of wolves
between Wyoming and Idaho. During
this timeframe, the Trophy Area will be
expanded by approximately 3,300 km2
(1,300 mi2) (i.e., an additional 1.3
percent of Wyoming). Management
within the Trophy Area is described
below, followed by management in
other portions of Wyoming.
After delisting, Wyoming will allow
property owners inside the Trophy Area
to immediately kill a wolf doing damage
to private property (WGFC 2011, pp. 3,
4, 22, 30–31, 32). State statute defines
‘‘doing damage to private property’’ as
‘‘the actual biting, wounding, grasping,
or killing of livestock or domesticated
animal, or chasing, molesting, or
harassing by gray wolves that would
indicate to a reasonable person that
such biting, wounding, grasping, or
killing of domesticated animals is likely
to occur at any moment’’ (W.S. 23–3–
115(c)). These regulations define
‘‘owner’’ as ‘‘the owner, lessee,
immediate family, employee, or other
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55585
person who is charged by the owner
with the care or management of
livestock or domesticated animals’’
(WGFC 2011, p. 22). Wolves killed
under authority of these regulations
shall be reported to a WGFD
representative within 72 hours (WGFC
2011, pp. 22, 31). These regulations are
similar to the experimental population
rules in place in Montana and Idaho
after the population achieved recovery
levels (70 FR 1286, January 6, 2005; 73
FR 4720, January 28, 2008; 50 CFR
17.84(n)). While in place in Montana
and Idaho, these rules were sufficiently
protective to allow continued
population expansion (Service et al.
2012, Table 4). Based on our experience
with these similar rules, we expect take
related to this issue to be minimal. We
conclude that these rules will not
compromise the State of Wyoming’s
ability to meet the agreed-upon
population objectives (at least 10
breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves
outside YNP and sovereign tribal lands)
assuming the State manages for an
adequate buffer above these minimum
levels as Wyoming intends to do (WGFC
2011, p. 24; WGFC 2012, pp. 3–5).
Additionally, Wyoming law (W.S. 23–
1–304(n)) states that permits ‘‘shall be
issued’’ to landowners or livestock
owners in cases where wolves are
harassing, injuring, maiming, or killing
livestock or other domesticated animals,
and where wolves occupy geographic
areas where chronic wolf predation
occurs. Importantly, numerous
safeguards are in place that limit the
potential of these permits to
meaningfully and detrimentally affect
the population. For example, State
statute requires that permits be issued,
and renewed as necessary, in 45-day
increments (W.S. 23–1–304(n)), and
State regulations limit the take
allowance for each permit to a
maximum of 2 gray wolves, and specify
that each permit can only apply to a
specified limited geographic or legally
described area (chapter 21, section
7(b)(ii)). These requirements ensure
application of this source of take is
limited in time and geography.
Similarly, State regulations indicate that
purported cases of wolf harassment,
injury, maiming, or killing must be
verified by the WGFD (chapter 21,
section 6(b)). This requirement for
WGFD verification will limit potential
abuse for this source of mortality.
Regarding the issuance of lethal take
permits for wolves ‘‘harassing’’ livestock
or domestic animals, Wyoming will
require that WGFD staff verify that
wolves were present and involved in
activities that would directly indicate an
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actual attack was likely; such activity
must be an immediate precursor to
actual biting, wounding, grasping, or
killing, such as chasing or molesting
(Mead 2012b). Wolves killed under the
authority of a lethal take permit shall be
reported to the WGFD representative
specified on the permit within 24 hours
(WGFC 2011, pp. 3, 22–23).
Finally, and most importantly, State
law (W.S. 23–1–304(n)) and the
implementing regulations (chapter 21,
section 7(b)(iii)) clarify that existing
permits would be cancelled, and
issuance of new permits would be
suspended, if the WGFD determines
further lethal control could compromise
the State’s ability to maintain a
population of at least 10 breeding pairs
and at least 100 wolves in Wyoming
outside of YNP and the Wind River
Indian Reservation at the end of the
calendar year. Importantly, the word
‘‘could’’ (as opposed to would or will)
provides authority for the WGFD to
manage for a buffer above the minimum
target and limit control from lethal take
permits, if necessary, to maintain an
adequate minimum buffer. However, the
Addendum to the Wyoming Gray Wolf
Management Plan explains that the
State law’s mandatory approach to
issuance of lethal take permits requires
that Wyoming’s adaptive management
framework limit other discretionary
sources of mortality before it limits this
source of mortality (WGFC 2012, p. 7).
On the whole, the available information
indicates that Wyoming’s approach to
lethal take permits may affect
population abundance (particularly at a
localized level where wolf-livestock
conflict is high), but that Wyoming has
instituted sufficient safeguards so that
this source of mortality would not
compromise the State’s ability to
maintain a population of at least 10
breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves
in Wyoming outside of YNP and the
Wind River Indian Reservation at the
end of the calendar year.
Some other minor sources of humancaused mortality may also occur inside
the Trophy Area. For example,
accidental mortality sometimes occurs
from such sources as vehicle collisions.
Because these types of mortalities are
rare and have little impact on wolf
populations, they were authorized by
our experimental population rule with
little to no impact on wolf populations.
Take in self-defense or defense of others
has been exceedingly rare. We expect
take from these sources will remain rare
after delisting with little impact on the
wolf population.
While wolves were listed, illegal
killing removed an estimated 10 percent
of the population annually. Following
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our previous delisting, there was no
indication that illegal mortality levels
increased from those occurring while
wolves were delisted. After delisting,
WGFD law enforcement personnel will
investigate all wolves killed outside the
framework established by State statute
and WGFC regulations, and appropriate
law enforcement and legal action will be
taken. We do not expect illegal killing
will increase after delisting.
Within portions of the Trophy Area
under State jurisdiction, WGFD may
also control wolves when it determines
a wild ungulate herd is experiencing
unacceptable impacts or to address
wolf-ungulate conflicts at State-operated
elk feedgrounds (WGFC 2011, pp. 5, 39–
41). As noted by several peer reviewers,
it is scientifically challenging to
conclusively demonstrate that predation
is causing an ungulate population
decline (or what portion of a decline is
being caused by predation) because
numerous factors typically interact to
cause the impact (Atkins 2011, pp. 67,
85–86). While any decision to remove
wolves in response to ‘‘unacceptable
impacts’’ to ungulate populations could
be a normative, values-driven
determination (e.g., one party may view
any impact as unacceptable, while
others may have extremely high
tolerance for impacts), we expect the
agency will primarily base such
decisions on ungulate herd health.
Specifically, Wyoming’s wolf
management plan indicates wolf control
to address unacceptable impacts to wild
ungulates will require a determination
that wolf predation is a significant factor
in the population or herd not meeting
the State population management goals
or recruitment levels established for the
population or herd (WGFC 2011, pp. 5,
39–41). All but 2 of Wyoming’s 35 elk
management units are at or above the
State’s numeric objectives for those
herds; however, calf/cow ratios in
several herd units are below desired
levels (WGFD 2010, p. 1). Five of the
State’s ten moose herds are below
objectives (WGFD unpublished data).
Wyoming has not yet put forward any
proposals to control wolves to address
unacceptable impacts to ungulate herds,
and we are not aware of any intentions
to develop such proposals. While such
proposals are possible, it is more likely
Wyoming will consider ungulate herd
health when designing hunting units
and quotas. This approach will allow
them to use hunting (which is a far
cheaper management tool) to address
any perceived issues. Both hunting and
projects specifically to address
unacceptable impacts to ungulate herds
(should any occur) will be carefully
regulated so that population objectives
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are not compromised and that recovery
is maintained in Wyoming, the GYA,
and across the NRM DPS.
WGFD may also take wolves that
displace elk from State-operated
feedgrounds in the Trophy Area if this
movement by elk results in one of the
following conflicts: (1) Damage to
private stored crops; (2) elk
commingling with domestic livestock;
or (3) displacement of elk from
feedgrounds onto highway rights-of-way
causing human safety concerns (WGFC
2011, pp. 5, 39–41). While such
authorizations may cause localized
impacts, we do not expect populationlevel impacts in Wyoming, the GYA, or
the NRM DPS. Because Wyoming will
consider all forms of wolf mortality
when making ungulate-related wolf
control management decisions (WGFC
2011, pp. 21, 23–24), these mortality
sources will not compromise the State’s
ability to maintain wolf management
objectives nor will they compromise
recovery in Wyoming, the GYA, or the
NRM DPS.
In the predator area, wolves will
experience unlimited human-caused
mortality; mortality in this area will be
monitored through mandatory reporting
within 10 days of the kill (WGFC 2011,
pp. 3, 8, 17, 23, 29). Wolves are unlike
coyotes, in that wolf behavior and
reproductive biology have resulted in
wolves historically being extirpated in
the face of extensive human-caused
mortality. As we have previously
concluded (71 FR 43410, August 1,
2006; 72 FR 6106, February 8, 2007; 73
FR 10514, February 27, 2008; 74 FR
15123, April 2, 2009), wolf packs are
unlikely to persist in portions of
Wyoming where they are designated as
predatory animals. This conclusion was
validated in 2008 after our previous
delisting became effective and most of
the wolves in the predator area were
killed within a few weeks of losing the
Act’s protection. We expect that wolf
packs in the predator area of Wyoming
will not persist.
Despite this anticipated mortality, the
portions of Wyoming outside the
predator area are large enough to
support Wyoming’s management goals
and a recovered wolf population (Figure
1 illustrates wolf pack distribution
relative to Wyoming’s Trophy Area).
Our 2009 delisting rule confirmed this
conclusion, but expressed two concerns
(74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009). First, the
rule expressed concern that mortality in
the predator area would be high, and
this situation would inhibit natural
genetic exchange. This issue is
discussed in the Issues and Responses
above and in ‘‘Genetic Considerations’’
portion of Factor E below.
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The second concern expressed in our
2009 delisting rule (74 FR 15123, April
2, 2009) was that lone wolves, breeding
pairs, or packs from the Trophy Area
may periodically and temporarily travel
into the predator area and suffer high
mortality rates. The 2009 rule
concluded that a large predator area
‘‘substantially increases the odds that
these periodic dispersers will not
survive, thus, affecting Wyoming’s wolf
population’’ (74 FR 15123, April 2,
2009). We continue to conclude that no
wolf packs or breeding pairs will persist
in the predator area of Wyoming and
that some wolves that primarily occupy
the Trophy Area will be killed when
traveling into the predator area.
However, Wyoming’s overall
management strategy has been improved
to such an extent that such mortality
can occur without compromising the
recovered status of the population in
Wyoming.
Such losses were a substantial
concern when State law required WGFD
to aggressively manage the population
down to minimal levels. However,
Wyoming has removed current statutory
mandates for aggressive management
down to minimum levels. Furthermore,
Wyoming has agreed to maintain a
population of at least 10 breeding pairs
and at least 100 wolves in areas under
its jurisdiction. To accomplish this,
Wyoming intends to maintain an
adequate buffer above minimum
population objectives to accommodate
management flexibility and to ensure
that uncontrollable sources of mortality
do not drop the population below this
minimum population level (WGFC
2011, p. 24). Collectively, the plan gives
us confidence that unlimited humancaused mortality in the predator area
will not compromise the recovered
status of the Wyoming wolf population.
The Shoshone and Arapaho Tribal
Fish and Game Department will manage
all wolves occurring on the Wind River
Indian Reservation according to its
approved wolf management plan (King
2007; Shoshone and Arapaho Tribal
Fish and Game Department 2007,
entire). The plan allows any enrolled
member on tribal land to shoot a wolf
in the act of attacking livestock or dogs
on tribal land, provided the enrolled
member provides evidence of livestock
or dogs recently (less than 24 hours)
wounded, harassed, molested, or killed
by wolves, and a designated agent is
able to confirm that the livestock or
dogs were wounded, harassed,
molested, or killed by wolves (Shoshone
and Arapaho Tribal Fish and Game
Department 2007, p. 8). ‘‘In the act of
attacking’’ means the actual biting,
wounding, grasping, or killing of
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livestock or dogs, or chasing, molesting,
or harassing by wolves that would
indicate to a reasonable person that
such biting, wounding, grasping, or
killing of livestock or dogs is likely to
occur at any moment (Shoshone and
Arapaho Tribal Fish and Game
Department 2007, p. 8). The plan also
allows the tribal government to remove
‘‘wolves of concern’’ (Shoshone and
Arapaho Tribal Fish and Game
Department 2007, p. 8). ‘‘Wolves of
concern’’ are defined as wolves that
attack livestock, dogs, or livestock
herding and guarding animals once in a
calendar year or any domestic animal
twice in a calendar year (Shoshone and
Arapaho Tribal Fish and Game
Department 2007, p. 8).
Criteria to determine when take will
be initiated are: (1) Evidence of the
attack, (2) reason to believe that
additional attacks will occur, (3) no
evidence of unusual wolf attractants,
and (4) any animal husbandry practices
previously specified by the Tribes have
been implemented (Shoshone and
Arapaho Tribal Fish and Game
Department 2007, p. 8). In situations
with chronic wolf depredation, enrolled
members may acquire written
authorization from the tribes to shoot
wolves on tribal land after at least two
separate confirmed depredations by
wolves on livestock, livestock herding
or guarding animals, or dogs, and the
tribes have determined that wolves are
routinely present and pose a significant
risk to the owner’s livestock (Shoshone
and Arapaho Tribal Fish and Game
Department 2007, p. 8). Other forms of
authorized human-caused mortality
include take in defense of human life,
take needed to avoid conflicts with
human activities, incidental take,
accidental take, scientific take, or take
for humane reasons (such as to aid or
euthanize sick, injured, or orphaned
wolves) (Shoshone and Arapaho Tribal
Fish and Game Department 2007, p. 8).
These regulations are similar to
experimental population rules currently
in place on the Wind River Indian
Reservation (70 FR 1286, January 6,
2005; 73 FR 4720, January 28, 2008; 50
CFR 17.84(n)). This type of take has not
proven a limiting factor for the area.
Furthermore, as stated in our 2007
approval letter, suitable habitat on the
Wind River Indian Reservation is
occasionally used by wolves, but is not
considered essential to maintaining a
recovered wolf population in Wyoming,
and any wolves that establish
themselves on tribal lands will be in
addition to those necessary for
management by the State of Wyoming
for maintaining a recovered wolf
population (King 2007).
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In National Parks units, humancaused mortality has been, and is
expected to continue to be, very rare
because park regulations are very
protective of wildlife with few
exceptions. Accidental mortality or
defense of life mortality may occur, but
as in the rest of Wyoming, we expect
these sources of mortality will be
exceedingly rare. Another rare but
potential source of human-caused
mortality is agency action to remove
habituated wolves that pose a threat to
human safety after nonlethal efforts
have failed to correct the behavior. In
2003, YNP developed a plan for the
management of habituated wolves (YNP
2003, entire). YNP policies indicate
‘‘removal of nuisance animals may be
undertaken to reduce a threat to public
health or safety’’ (YNP 2003, p. 8).
Further, management policies (YNP
2003, p. 8) state: ‘‘Where visitor use or
other human activities cannot be
modified or curtailed, the Service may
directly reduce the animal population
by using several animal population
management techniques * * *.’’ Those
techniques include ‘‘destruction of
animals by National Park Service
personnel or their authorized agents.’’
This is important in YNP because the
unusually high exposure that wolves
have to people in YNP increases the
likelihood of unpredictable wolf
behavior (YNP 2003, p. 9). To address
such situations, YNP has developed a
management plan that calls for
increased public education, monitoring,
aversion conditioning, and, if necessary,
wolf removal (YNP 2003, pp. 4, 9–12).
This approach, endorsed by the Service
in 2003 (YNP 2003, p. 13), is authorized
by existing experimental population
rules (50 CFR 17.84(i)(3)(v)).
State, Tribal, and Federal
management in Wyoming provides that
human-caused mortality will not
threaten the recovered status of the
population. As discussed above, wolf
populations have an ample natural
resiliency to high levels of humancaused mortality, if population levels
and controllable sources of mortality are
adequately regulated. For example, in
2009 and in 2011, more than 600 NRM
wolves died each year from all sources
of mortality (agency control including
defense of property, regulated harvest,
illegal and accidental killing, and
natural causes), and the population
showed little change (technically, slight
increases in minimum population levels
were documented each year) (Service et
al. 2012, tables 4a, 4b). From 1995 to
2008, the NRM wolf population grew by
an average of about 20 percent annually,
even in the face of an average annual
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human-caused mortality rate of 23
percent (Service et al. 2012, Table 4;
Smith et al. 2010, p. 620; also see Figure
3 above). Overall, wolf populations can
maintain themselves despite humancaused mortality rates of 17 to 48
percent (Fuller et al. 2003, pp. 182–184
[22 percent +/¥ 8 percent]; Adams et al.
2008 [29 percent]; Creel and Rotella
2010 [22 percent]; Sparkman et al. 2011
[25 percent]; Gude et al. 2011 [48
percent]; Vucetich and Carroll In review
[17 percent]).
After delisting, most human-caused
mortality in Wyoming will be similar to
that which occurred under either the
1994 experimental population rules
(now governing most of Wyoming) or
the 2005 experimental population rules
(as noted above, hunting is evaluated
separately under Factor B above) (59 FR
60252, November 22, 1994; 59 FR
60266, November 22, 1994; 70 FR 1286,
January 6, 2005; 73 FR 4720, January 28,
2008; 50 CFR 17.84(i) & (n)), as modified
in 2008, governing management over
most of Idaho and Montana in recent
years. While some allowed take will be
more liberal (e.g., mortality in the
predator area), resulting in greater
overall rates of human-caused mortality
post-delisting, the increase will not
compromise the State’s ability to
maintain the population above recovery
levels. All sources of mortality will be
monitored and considered in State
management decisions. Many sources of
authorized take can be limited, if
necessary, to keep the population above
recovery levels (e.g., the State can
suspend lethal take permits, agency
control actions, or hunting seasons).
Finally, recognizing some mortality will
occur from uncontrollable sources (e.g.,
some wolves that primarily occupy the
Trophy Area will be lost when they
occasionally travel into the predator
area), Wyoming no longer intends to
aggressively manage the population
down toward minimal levels (an
approach we previously indicated was
unacceptable), and, in fact, intends to
maintain an adequate buffer above
minimum population objectives.
Collectively, this information indicates
that human-caused mortality will be
managed to assure the Wyoming
population’s recovered status is not
compromised.
In summary, we find human-caused
mortality, singularly or in combination
with other threats, will not cause the
Wyoming, the GYA, or the NRM gray
wolf populations to be ‘‘likely to
become an endangered species within
the foreseeable future throughout all or
a significant portion of its range.’’
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Factor D. The Inadequacy of Existing
Regulatory Mechanisms
This section provides an analysis of
State, tribal, and Federal regulatory
mechanisms to determine if they are
adequate to maintain the species’
recovered status in the absence of the
Act’s protections. By definition,
potential threats only require regulation
if they represent a threat in the absence
of regulation. This section focuses on
likely future population levels
anticipated to be maintained, noting
that human-caused mortality is the most
significant issue influencing these
levels. In short, if human-caused
mortality is adequately regulated and
population targets are sufficient to allow
for other potential unforeseen or
uncontrollable sources of mortality, no
other potential threats are likely to
compromise the population’s viability.
This section does not go into detail
about each individual threat factor or
source of mortality. Instead it includes
an overview with a focus on the
regulatory mechanism that addresses
each threat factor or source of mortality.
For a more detailed discussion of any
one potential threat, see the supporting
discussion under the specific applicable
Factor (i.e., A, B, C, or E). As with other
factors above, the below analysis
focuses on wolves in Wyoming because
only wolves in Wyoming remain listed,
however, the conclusions of the
previous delisting and the information
supporting this determination are
incorporated by reference. To the extent
that management changes have taken
place, they are discussed in the
applicable Factor elsewhere in this rule
as well as in the Issues and Response
section above.
National Park Service—Twenty
percent of the currently occupied
portions of Wyoming (defined in Factor
A above) and 23 percent of areas that are
protected or where wolves are regulated
as game animals occur within a National
Park (see Figure 1 above). Since 2000,
the wolf population in YNP ranged from
96 to 174 wolves, and between 6 to 16
breeding pairs. While some wolves and
some wolf packs also occur in Grand
Teton National Park and John D.
Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway, most
of these wolves and wolf packs usually
have a portion of their home range in
areas under the State of Wyoming’s
jurisdiction; thus, these wolves are only
subject to National Park Service
regulation when on National Park
Service lands.
The National Park Service Organic
Act (16 U.S.C. l et seq.) and the National
Park Service management policies on
wildlife generally require the agency to
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conserve natural and cultural resources
and the wildlife present within units of
the National Park System. National Park
Service management policies require
that native species be protected against
harvest, removal, destruction,
harassment, or harm through human
action, although certain parks may
allow some harvest in accordance with
federal law and applicable laws of the
State or States in which a park is located
(National Park Service 2006, pp. 44,
103). No population targets for wolves
will be established for the National
Parks. Instead, management emphasis in
National Parks after delisting will focus
on continuing to minimize the human
impacts on wolf populations (YNP 2003,
pp. 9–12). Thus, because of their
responsibility to preserve all native
wildlife, units of the National Park
System are often the most protective of
wildlife. In the case of the wolf, the
National Park Service Organic Act and
National Park Service policies will
continue to provide protection
following Federal delisting for wolves
located within the park boundaries.
Although hunting is currently
allowed for many other game species in
the John D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial
Parkway under the Parkway’s enabling
legislation and Wyoming law, the
National Park Service has indicated a
‘‘strong preference that wolves not be
hunted in the John D. Rockefeller, Jr.
Memorial Parkway’’ (Frost and Wessels
2012). Wyoming’s hunting regulations
are clear that gray wolf hunting would
not occur in the Parkway during the
2012 season, although nothing in
Wyoming’s regulations or the
Wyoming’s wolf management plan
would preclude wolves from being
hunted in the Parkway in subsequent
years. Should hunting ever occur in the
John D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial
Parkway, it would likely be very
limited, would be unlikely to noticeably
affect wolf gene flow or connectivity,
and it would be closely coordinated
with the National Park Service.
Overall, natural sources of mortality
(e.g., disease) will occasionally affect
wolf populations in National Parks, but,
in light of adequate regulation of
intentional human-caused mortality,
impacts from these occasional events
will be temporary and not threaten the
population.
National Wildlife Refuges—Each unit
of the National Wildlife Refuge System
was established for specific purposes.
The National Elk Refuge was established
in 1912 as a ‘‘winter game (elk) reserve’’
(37 Stat. 293, 16 U.S.C. 673), and the
following year Congress designated the
area as ‘‘a winter elk refuge’’ (37 Stat.
847). In 1921, all lands included in the
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refuge, or that might be added in the
future, were reserved and set apart as
‘‘refuges and breeding grounds for
birds’’ (Executive Order 3596), which
was affirmed in 1922 (Executive Order
3741). In 1927, the refuge was expanded
to provide ‘‘for the grazing of, and as a
refuge for, American elk and other big
game animals’’ (44 Stat. 1246, 16 U.S.C.
673a). These purposes apply to all or
most of the lands now within the refuge.
In accordance with the National
Wildlife Refuge System Administration
Act of 1966 as amended (16 U.S.C.
668dd–668ee) by the National Wildlife
Refuge System Improvement Act of
1997, the Service, which manages the
National Elk Refuge, recently
announced a notice of intent to prepare
a Comprehensive Conservation Plan for
the refuge. Comprehensive Conservation
Plans guide management of wildlife and
their habitats on refuges (75 FR 65370,
October 22, 2010). This process is
ongoing.
The refuge’s nearly 10,000 hectares
(25,000 acres) provide a winter home for
one of the largest wintering
concentrations of elk; in addition to the
large elk herds, a free-roaming bison
herd winters at the refuge (75 FR 65370,
October 22, 2010). Wolves occurring on
the National Elk Refuge will be
monitored, and refuge habitat
management will maintain an adequate
prey base for them (Service and
National Park Service 2007, entire;
Kallin 2011, pers. comm.; Smith 2007,
pers. comm. as cited by WGFC 2011, p.
18; Kallin 2012b). Recreational wolf
hunting and trapping is not currently
authorized and is not anticipated, but
could be considered in the future
(Kallin 2012, pers. comm.). Because of
the relatively small size of the refuge, all
of the wolves and all of the packs that
occur on the refuge will also spend
significant amounts of time on adjacent
U.S. Forest Service lands. Thus, much
like Grand Teton National Park, these
wolves are only subject to National
Wildlife Refuge regulation during the
small portion of their time spent on the
National Elk Refuge.
Tribal Lands—Wolves will be
managed as game animals on the Wind
River Indian Reservation. The Eastern
Shoshone and Northern Arapaho Tribes
govern this area and the Shoshone and
Arapaho Tribal Fish and Game
Department and the Service’s Lander
Wyoming Management Assistance
Office manage wildlife occurring on the
reservation. Wolf management on the
Wind River Indian Reservation is
guided by the Service-approved ‘‘Wolf
Management Plan for the Wind River
Indian Reservation’’ (King 2007;
Shoshone and Arapahoe Tribal Fish and
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Game Department 2007, entire). Suitable
habitat on the Wind River Indian
Reservation supports a small wolf
population. While this area sometimes
supports packs, it has not supported a
breeding pair. The Wind River Indian
Reservation is not considered essential
to maintaining a recovered wolf
population in Wyoming, and any
wolves that establish themselves on
tribal lands will be in addition to those
necessary for management by the State
of Wyoming for maintaining a recovered
wolf population (King 2007).
Forest Service—Federal law indicates
Forest Service land shall be managed to
provide habitat for fish and wildlife
including wolves and their prey.
Specifically, under the National Forest
Management Act of 1976, as amended
(16 U.S.C. 1600–1614), the Forest
Service shall strive to provide for a
diversity of plant and animal
communities when managing national
forest lands. Similarly, the Multiple Use
and Sustained Yield Act (16 U.S.C. 528)
indicates National Forests are to be
managed for ‘‘wildlife and fish
purposes’’ among other purposes, and
the Federal Land Policy and
Management Act of 1976 (43 U.S.C.
1701) says public lands are to be
‘‘managed in a manner * * * that will
provide food and habitat for fish and
wildlife and domestic animals.’’
Wilderness areas are afforded the
highest protections of all Forest Service
lands. The Wilderness Act of 1964 (16
U.S.C. 1131–1136) states the following:
(1) New or temporary roads cannot be
built; (2) there can be no use of motor
vehicles, motorized equipment, or
motorboats; (3) there can be no landing
of aircraft; (4) there can be no other form
of mechanical transport; and (5) no
structure or installation may be built.
The following wilderness areas occur in
the Trophy Area: All of the Absaroka
Beartooth, Fitzpatrick, Gros Ventre,
Jedediah Smith, North Absaroka,
Washakie, Teton, and Winegar Hole
Wilderness Areas as well as the
northern half of the Bridger Wilderness
Area.
Wilderness study areas are designated
by Federal land management agencies
(e.g., USDA Forest Service) as those
having wilderness characteristics and
being worthy of congressional
designation as a wilderness area. The
following wilderness study areas occur
in the Trophy Area: The Dubois
Badlands, Owl Creek, and Whiskey
Mountain Wilderness Study Areas.
Individual National Forests that
designate wilderness study areas
manage these areas to maintain their
wilderness characteristics until
Congress decides whether to designate
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them as permanent wilderness areas.
This means that individual wilderness
study areas are protected from new road
construction by Forest Plans. Therefore,
activities such as timber harvest,
mining, and oil and gas development
are much less likely to occur because
the road networks required for these
activities are unavailable. However,
because these lands are not
congressionally protected, they could
experience changes in management
prescription with Forest Plan revisions.
This regulatory framework has been
adequate to achieve wolf recovery in
Wyoming and across the entire NRM
DPS without additional land use
restrictions. The Forest Service has a
demonstrated capacity and a proven
history of providing sufficient habitat
for wolves and their prey, and the Forest
Service lands will continue to be
adequately regulated to provide for the
needs of wolves and their prey.
While the Forest Service manages and
regulates habitat and factors affecting
habitat, the Forest Service typically
defers to States on hunting decisions (43
U.S.C. 1732(b)). The primary exception
to this deference is the Forest Service’s
authority to identify areas and periods
when hunting is not permitted (43
U.S.C. 1732(b)). However, even these
decisions are to be developed in
consultation with the States. Thus,
human-caused mortality and the
adequacy of the associated regulatory
framework are discussed under the
‘‘State Regulatory Mechanisms’’ section
below, as well as ‘‘Commercial and
Recreational Uses’’ section of Factor B,
and the ‘‘Human-caused Mortality’’
section of Factor C.
State Regulatory Mechanisms—
Within portions of the Trophy Area
under State jurisdiction, wolves will be
managed as a game animal, which
allows the WGFC and WGFD to regulate
methods of take, hunting seasons, types
of allowed take, and numbers of wolves.
The boundary and size of the Trophy
Area and its seasonal expansion, as set
forth in the agreement between the
Service and the State and reflected in
Wyoming’s revised wolf management
plan, was established by State statute,
which cannot be changed through
WGFC rule or regulation. This area is of
sufficient size to support Wyoming
population targets, assuming
implementation of Wyoming’s
management plan for this area. In
consideration of, and to address, Service
concerns about genetics and
connectivity, Wyoming included a
seasonal expansion of the Trophy Area
in its management plan. From October
15 through the end of February, the
Trophy Area will expand approximately
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80 km (50 mi) south (see Figure 1
above). This seasonal expansion will
benefit natural dispersal (for a more
detailed discussion of genetic
connectivity, see the ‘‘Genetic
Considerations’’ section of Factor E
below).
Wolves that occur in the remainder of
Wyoming under State jurisdiction will
be classified as predators. Predatory
animals are regulated by the Wyoming
Department of Agriculture under title
11, chapter 6 of the Wyoming Statutes.
Under these regulations, wolves in
predator areas can be killed by anyone
with very few restrictions. As we have
previously concluded (71 FR 43410,
August 1, 2006; 72 FR 6106, February 8,
2007; 73 FR 10514, February 27, 2008;
74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009), wolf packs
are unlikely to survive in portions of
Wyoming where they are designated as
predatory animals. However, portions
outside the predator area are large
enough to support Wyoming’s
management goals and a recovered wolf
population (this issue is discussed
further in the ‘‘Human-caused
Mortality’’ section of Factor C above as
well as the ‘‘Genetic Considerations’’
portion of Factor E below).
Within portions of the Trophy Area
under State jurisdiction, wolves will be
managed by the WGFC and the WGFD.
The WGFC will direct the management
of wolves, and the WGFD will assume
management authority of wolves (WGFC
2011, p. 1). The State of Wyoming has
a relatively large and well-distributed
professional game and fish agency that
has the demonstrated skills and
experience to successfully manage a
diversity of resident species, including
large carnivores. The WGFD and WGFC
are well-qualified to manage a recovered
wolf population. State management of
wolves within the Trophy Area will
follow the classic State-led North
American model for wildlife
management, which has been extremely
successful at restoring, maintaining, and
expanding the distribution of numerous
populations of other wildlife species,
including other large predators,
throughout North America (Geist 2006,
p. 1; Bangs 2008).
Within the Trophy Area, Wyoming
statute (W.S. 23–1–304), regulations
(chapter 21, section 4(a)(i)), and its
management plan (WGFC 2011, p. 1) all
require maintenance of at least 10
breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves.
To ensure this target is not inadvertently
compromised, Wyoming intends to
maintain an adequate buffer above
minimum population objectives (WGFC
2011, p. 24; WGFC 2012, pp. 3–5).
Additionally, Wyoming is planning that
any future population reduction will be
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gradual to ensure population targets are
not compromised while the State
gathers information on the vulnerability
of wolves under a State management
regime. All sources of mortality will be
considered in management decisions
and all forms of regulated take will be
limited in the unlikely event that
wolves approach minimum recovery
criteria. These will be reflected in all
WGFD and WGFC planning and
management decisions.
Wolves taken outside the framework
established by State statute and WGFC
regulations will be considered to have
been taken illegally and will be
investigated by WGFD law enforcement
personnel (WGFC 2011, p. 25).
Appropriate law enforcement and legal
action will be taken, which could
include fines, jail terms, and loss of
hunting privileges (WGFC 2011, p. 25).
We conclude that these measures
constitute adequate regulatory
mechanisms to address the threat of
illegal killing of wolves.
In Montana, statutes and
administrative rules categorize the gray
wolf as a ‘‘Species in Need of
Management’’ under the Montana
Nongame and Endangered Species
Conservation Act of 1973 (MCA 87–5–
101 to 87–5–123). Montana law defines
‘‘species in need of management’’ as
‘‘The collection and application of
biological information for the purposes
of increasing the number of individuals
within species and populations of
wildlife up to the optimum carrying
capacity of their habitat and maintain
those levels. The term includes the
entire range of activities that constitute
a modern scientific resource program,
including, but not limited to research,
census, law enforcement, habitat
improvement, and education. The term
also includes the periodic or total
protection of species or populations as
well as regulated taking.’’ Classification
as a ‘‘Species in Need of Management’’
and the associated administrative rules
under Montana State law create the
legal mechanism to protect wolves and
regulate human-caused mortality
(including regulated public harvest)
beyond the immediate defense of life/
property situations. Some illegal
human-caused mortality likely still
occurs, and is to be prosecuted under
State law and Commission regulations.
Montana’s Fish, Wildlife, and Parks
Commission determine harvest quotas
annually (specific harvest quotas are
discussed in Factor B, and impacts on
genetics are discussed in Factor E).
The Idaho Fish and Game
Commission has authority to classify
wildlife under Idaho Code 36–104(b)
and 36–201. The gray wolf was
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classified as endangered by the State
until March 2005, when the Idaho Fish
and Game Commission reclassified the
species as a big game animal under the
Idaho Administrative Procedures Act
(13.01.06.100.01.d). As a big game
animal, State regulations adjust humancaused wolf mortality to ensure
recovery levels are exceeded. Title 36 of
the Idaho statutes has penalties
associated with illegal take of big game
animals. These rules are consistent with
the legislatively adopted Idaho Wolf
Conservation and Management Plan
(Idaho Legislative Wolf Oversight
Committee 2002) and big game hunting
regulations currently in place. The
Idaho Wolf Conservation and
Management Plan states that wolves
will be protected against illegal take as
a big game animal under Idaho Code
36–1402, 36–1404, and 36–202(h). The
Idaho Fish and Game Commission
determines harvest quotas annually
(specific harvest quotas are discussed in
Factor B, and impacts on genetics are
discussed in Factor E as well as in the
Issues and Responses above).
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming are
committed to implement wolf
management in a manner that also
encourages connectivity among wolf
populations (Groen et al. 2008, entire;
WGFC 2011, pp. 26–29, 52, 54). This
will include limiting human-caused
mortality timing, intensity, and overall
levels as necessary. Both Montana’s and
Idaho’s 2009 and 2011 hunts consider
and minimize impacts to natural
connectivity. As a measure of last resort,
if necessary, the States will implement
agency-managed genetic exchange
(moving individual wolves or their
genes into the affected population
segment) (Groen et al. 2008, entire;
WGFC 2011, pp. 26–29, 52, 54).
Genetics is discussed further under
Factor E below as well as in the Issues
and Responses above)
Overall, the regulatory frameworks of
Wyoming, Montana, and Idaho are
adequate and provide that potential
remnant threats are sufficiently
minimized. Should management needs
be identified in future years, all three
States have regulatory authority to
modify management to meet such
needs; although we did not rely upon
this in making our decision, we
recognized all three States have a strong
incentive to maintain the NRM DPS and
its subpopulations well above minimal
population levels.
Environmental Protection Agency—
The Federal Insecticide, Fungicide, and
Rodenticide Act (7 U.S.C. 136 et seq.)
provides for Federal regulation of
pesticide distribution, sale, and use. All
pesticides distributed or sold in the
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United States must be registered
(licensed) by the Environmental
Protection Agency. Before the
Environmental Protection Agency may
register a pesticide, the applicant must
show, among other things, that using the
pesticide according to specifications
‘‘will not generally cause unreasonable
adverse effects on the environment.’’ No
poisons can currently be legally used to
poison wolves in the United States
because of Environmental Protection
Agency restrictions. However, sodium
cyanide (used only in M–44 devices)
and Compound 1080 (sodium
fluoroacetate used only in livestock
protection collars) are legal toxicants for
use on other non-wolf canids. Sodium
cyanide was reregistered for use in M–
44 devices in 1994 (Environmental
Protection Agency 1994, entire).
Compound 1080 (sodium fluoroacetate)
was registered for use in livestock
protection collars in 1995
(Environmental Protection Agency 1995,
entire). The Large Gas or Denning
Cartridge was registered for use in 2007
(Environmental Protection Agency 2007,
entire). Although gas cartridges are
beginning the reregistration process, we
do not expect the product will be
approved for use on wolves.
All three products have label
restrictions imposed by the
Environmental Protection Agency
consistent with a Service 1993
Biological Opinion to protect
endangered species (Environmental
Protection Agency 1994, p. 4;
Environmental Protection Agency 1995,
pp. 27, 32–38). It is a violation of
Federal law to use a pesticide in a
manner inconsistent with its labeling,
and the courts consider a label to be a
legal document (Environmental
Protection Agency 2011, p. 1). The
Environmental Protection Agency’s
regulation of these and other toxicants
has been adequate to prevent any
meaningful impacts to wolf populations
in Wyoming, the GYA, or the NRM DPS.
These restrictions constitute an
adequate regulatory mechanism of this
potential issue.
Collectively, the above regulatory
framework is adequate to maintain
recovered wolf populations and to
prevent relisting. These regulations
protect wolf populations (in the case of
the National Park Service) or manage
them adequately above population
targets so that potential unforeseen or
uncontrollable sources of mortality do
not compromise population targets.
While no wolves are expected to persist
in the predator area, this area is not
necessary for wolf conservation in
Wyoming. Impacts could also occur in
adjacent portions of Montana and Idaho,
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but these impacts are expected to be
minor (few wolf packs are
transboundary) and can be regulated
through limits on human-caused
mortality, if necessary. Population
reductions in Idaho and Montana are
not expected to threaten the Wyoming,
the GYA, or the NRM gray wolf
population. Additionally, agency
capacity and past practice with wolves
and other game species provide
confidence that minimum management
targets will always be met or exceeded.
Finally, the threat of relisting provides
additional certainty the objectives will
not be compromised, although we did
not rely on this fact in reaching our
conclusion.
In summary, we find existing
regulatory mechanisms adequate and
conclude that this issue, singularly or in
combination with other threats, will not
cause the Wyoming, the GYA, or the
NRM gray wolf populations to be ‘‘likely
to become an endangered species within
the foreseeable future throughout all or
a significant portion of its range.’’
Factor E. Other Natural or Manmade
Factors Affecting Its Continued
Existence
This section discusses public
attitudes toward wolves, genetics,
poison, climate change, catastrophic
events, and potential impacts of humancaused mortality to pack structure. As
with previous sections, this write-up
focuses on Wyoming because this is the
portion of the NRM DPS that remains
listed; however, the conclusions of the
previous delisting and the information
supporting this determination are
incorporated by reference and updated
below as appropriate.
Public Attitudes Toward the Gray
Wolf—Human attitudes toward wolves
were the main reason the wolf was
listed under the Act because those
attitudes resulted in Federal, State, and
local governments promoting wolf
extirpation by whatever means possible,
including widespread poisoning, even
in National Parks (see also Poisoning
section below). Those attitudes were
largely based on the real and perceived
conflicts between humans and wolves,
primarily in the context of livestock
depredation, hunting of ungulates, and
concerns for human safety.
Public hostility toward wolves led to
the government-sanctioned persecution
that extirpated the species from the
NRM DPS in the 1930s. Negative
attitudes toward wolves remain deeply
ingrained in some individuals and
continue to affect human tolerance of
wolves. Many papers have addressed
the concept of recent human tolerance
of wolves and how those attitudes might
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affect wolf restoration (Kellert et al.
1996, p. 977; Kellert 1999; p. 167;
Zimmermann et al. 2001, p. 137; Enck
and Brown 2002, p. 16; Williams et al.
2002, p. 1; Ericsson and Heberlein 2003,
p. 149; Fritts et al. 2003, pp. 289–316;
Bruskotter et al. 2007, p. 211; Karlsson
and Sjostrom 2007, p. 610; Stronen et al.
2007, p. 1; Heberlein and Ericsson 2008,
p. 391; Bruskotter et al. 2009, p. 119;
Wilson and Bruskotter 2009, p. 353;
Bruskotter et al. 2010a, p. 941;
Bruskotter et al. 2010b, p. 30; Houston
et al. 2010, p. 2; Treves and Martin
2010, p. 1; Treves et al. 2009, p. 2; for
additional references see Service 1994,
appendix 3; 76 FR 81666, December 28,
2011).
These public attitudes began to shift
in the mid-20th century because of
increased urbanization and increasing
national concerns about environmental
issues. However, huge decreases in wolf
abundance due to wolf extirpation in
the last century, lack of first-hand
experience with wolves and the damage
they can cause, and increasing
urbanization have resulted in most
Americans holding favorable attitudes
toward wolves and wolf restoration
(Williams et al. 2002; Atkins 2011, p.
71). These same societal shifts in human
attitudes have also occurred in other
parts of the world (Boitani 2003, p. 321).
The huge shift in human attitudes and
the resulting treatment of wolves
compared to 100 years ago is evident by
the shift in policies throughout North
America and other parts of the world
from extirpation to restoration (Boitani
2003, pp. 322–323; Boitani and Ciucci
2010, pp. 19–21). Today, a majority of
Americans view wolves favorably for a
multitude of reasons, and many
members of the public now consider it
appropriate to reverse wolf extirpation,
a perceived historic wrong (Houston et
al. 2010, p. 27).
Despite the variety of opinions, there
is little published research on what
factors increase human tolerance of
wolves and how those translate into
conservation success by preventing
excessive rates of human-caused
mortality (Bath and Buchanan 1989;
Williams et al. 2002; Ericsson et al.
2004; Fritts et al. 2003). The groups
most supportive of wolf conservation
are often members of environmental
organizations and urban residents.
These individuals often view wolf
reintroduction as restoring an ecological
balance. However, favorable attitudes
toward wolves frequently decrease as
people experience, or think they might
soon experience, living with wolves
(Houston et al. 2010, p. 1).
Typically, the groups most likely to
oppose wolf recovery are livestock
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producers, hunters, and rural residents
within or near potential wolf habitat.
These individuals face a higher
probability of directly suffering
competition or damage from wolves.
Numerous public attitudes surveys
indicate human attitudes toward wolves
improve when there is local
participation in wildlife management
through regulated harvest and defense
of life and property regulations. Surveys
also show improvement in attitudes
when people can pursue traditional
activities, like hunting and grazing,
without restrictions (For references see
Service 1994, appendix 3; Williams et
al. 2002; Idaho Department of Fish and
Game 2007; Houston et al. 2010; 76 FR
81666, December 28, 2011). Wolf
conservation can be successful even in
areas with relatively high human
density, if management policies factorin human concerns (Linnell et al. 2001,
p. 345).
A 1994 Environmental Impact
Statement’s summary of human values
surveys (Service 1994, appendix 3)
found that the overriding concern of
those living with wolves is the financial
and emotional loss that occurs when
wolves kill livestock. Further
illustrating the connection between
financial cost/benefit and attitudes, one
survey found Alaskan trappers (who
legally harvest wolves for their pelts)
had the most accurate knowledge of
wolves and viewed wolves the most
favorably (Kellert 1985). Toward this
end, compensation programs for wolflivestock depredations may have
benefited attitudes toward wolves.
Wyoming intends to continue such
programs in the trophy game portions of
the State (WGFC 2011, pp. 4, 31).
Allowing landowners to defend their
property may have also ameliorated
some of the concern related to potential
wolf-livestock conflicts. For example,
from 1995 through 2004, the highest rate
of illegal killing occurred in
northwestern Montana, where wolves
were listed as endangered and legal
protection was highest, compared to
central Idaho and the GYA, where
wolves were managed under more
liberal nonessential experimental
population regulations. However, the
difference in habitat security might also
explain the differences in rates of
human-caused mortality (Smith et al.
2010, p. 630). Upon delisting, Wyoming
intends to implement regulations
similar to our experimental population
regulations within the Trophy Area.
State management provides a larger and
more effective local organization and a
more familiar means for dealing with
these conflicts (Mech 1995, pp. 275–
276; Williams et al. 2002, p. 582; Bangs
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et al. 2004, p. 102; Bangs et al. 2009, pp.
112–113). We anticipate this approach
will continue to benefit public attitudes
after delisting.
Additionally, hunters’ perceptions of
wolves improve when opportunity for
hunting is allowed (Idaho Department of
Fish and Game 2007, pp. 51, 55–56, 64–
65). Idaho Department of Fish and Game
and Montana Fish, Wildlife and Parks
biologists (Dickson 2010; Maurier 2010;
Idaho Department of Fish and Game
2007, pp. 43–47) reported that many big
game hunters coming through
mandatory hunter check stations in
2008 were extremely agitated and angry
about wolves. In 2009, when wolves
were delisted and there was a fair-chase
hunting season, few hunters
complained. In 2010, when the court
order had relisted wolves, local
frustration and negative opinions about
wolves erupted to previously
unforeseen levels. Hunters and most
hunter organizations were again very
upset and frustrated; some went as far
as to call for illegal killing by shooting,
and a few even called for poisoning
wolves.
Similarly, in Wisconsin in 2006
(before wolves were delisted for 19
months in 2007–2008), 17 illegal kills
were discovered, including 9 killed
during the 9-day firearm deer season.
When wolves were delisted in 2007 and
lethal control of problem wolves was
allowed by the State, known and
documented illegal kills decreased to 11
overall with only 1 during the firearm
deer season, and 5 of these were deemed
to be accidental shootings outside of
regular wolf range. Notably, the wolf
population steadily increased
throughout this period (Wydeven et al.
2010, Figure 3). Although the small
sample size does not allow any firm
conclusions, this example illustrates
that local human tolerance of wolves is
an important factor in long term wolf
conservation. Keeping a large, recovered
wolf population listed under the Act
fuels negative attitudes rather than
resolves them (Bangs et al. 2009, pp.
112–113).
Regulated public harvest has also
been successfully used for a host of
other species to garner local public
tolerance for restoration efforts (Geist
2006, p. 285). The success of this
approach is illustrated by the
conservation of mountain lions and
black bears, which were also once
persecuted throughout most of North
America. These species were recovered
by State and tribal game and fish
agencies and hunters with much less
controversy than the recovery of wolves.
The recovery of those other species
included regulated public harvest from
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the beginning of restoration efforts.
Likewise, the Canadian Provinces
restored wolf populations throughout
large portions of their historical range
by ‘‘harvesting’’ them back to fully
recovered levels (Pletscher et al. 1991,
p. 545). In 2009 and 2010, Sweden used
hunters to cap the population at 220
wolves, in part, to promote public
tolerance for wolf restoration (Liberg
2009, pers. comm.; Furuholm 2011,
pers. comm.).
We conclude that public tolerance of
wolves will improve as wolves are
delisted, local residents begin to play a
role in managing wolf populations, and
hunters start to see wolves as a trophy
animal with value. This process has
already begun in other delisted areas;
however, it will likely take time for this
increased control over the resource and
the related sense of ownership to
translate into tangible benefits in
improved public opinion and less
extreme rhetoric. Public acceptance is
highest where wolves did not disappear
and where wolf populations are
typically healthy (or perhaps just with
much longer periods of exposure to
wolves) (Houston et al. 2010, pp. 19–
20). However, it has not been
determined whether this is due more to
increased knowledge and experience
dealing with wolves or relaxed local
management policies (including liberal
public harvest and defense of property
regulations) to address local conflicts.
The State of Wyoming has developed
a strategy that will not only provide for
wolf recovery, but also allow
consideration of the diverse opinions
and attitudes of its citizens. Wyoming’s
plan promotes wolf occupancy of
suitable habitat in a manner that
minimizes damage to private property,
allows for continuation of traditional
western land-uses such as grazing and
hunting, and allows for direct citizen
participation in, and funding for, State
wolf management (in the form of State
defense of property and hunting
regulations). With the continued help of
private conservation organizations,
Wyoming and the Tribes will continue
to foster public support to maintain a
recovered wolf population. The WGFD
has staff dedicated to providing accurate
and science-based public education,
information, and outreach (WGFC 2011,
pp. 41–42). Wyoming’s comprehensive
approach to wolf management provides
us with confidence that human attitudes
toward wolves should not again
threaten wolves in Wyoming.
As noted above, wolf conservation has
the potential to be affected by the degree
of human tolerance for wolves (Boitiani
2003, p. 317; Fritts et al. 2003, p. 289).
We expect that State management will
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improve tolerance of wolves because the
public appreciates increased State
control (less Federal control), and
increased management flexibility,
including hunting. When one considers
that current human attitudes were
sufficient to achieve wolf restoration,
and that we expect State management to
improve these attitudes, we conclude
that public attitudes are no longer a
threat to wolves’ recovered status in
Wyoming.
Furthermore, to the extent any impact
from human tolerance (or lack thereof)
is realized, it will affect human-caused
mortality. Wyoming’s plan provides
assurance that human-caused mortality
will be adequately regulated so that
recovery is not compromised. Thus, we
conclude that human attitudes are no
longer a threat to the gray wolf
population’s recovered status in
Wyoming.
Genetic Considerations—Overall,
NRM wolves are as genetically diverse
as their vast, secure, healthy,
contiguous, and connected populations
in Canada (Forbes and Boyd 1997, p.
1089; vonHoldt et al. 2007, p. 19;
vonHoldt et al. 2010, pp. 4412, 4416–
4421) and, thus, genetic diversity is not
a wolf conservation issue anywhere in
the NRM DPS at this time (Hebblewhite
et al. 2010, p. 4383; vonHoldt et al.
2010, pp. 4412, 4416, 4421). This
current genetic health is the result of
deliberate management actions by the
Service and its cooperators since 1995
(Bradley et al. 2005, p. 1504).
Furthermore, genetic data collected
from 1995 to 2004 demonstrate that all
subpopulations within the NRM DPS
maintained high genetic diversity
during the first 10 years after
reintroduction (Hebblewhite et al. 2010,
p. 4384; vonHoldt et al. 2010, p. 4423).
Genetic diversity has likely changed
little since 2004. Below we analyze
whether genetics will become a threat to
wolves in Wyoming, the GYA, or the
NRM region within the foreseeable
future.
Wolves have an unusual ability to
rapidly disperse long distances across
virtually any habitat and select mates to
maximize genetic diversity. Only
extremely large bodies of water or vast
deserts appear to restrict wolf dispersal
(Linnell et al. 2005). Wolves are among
the least likely species to be affected by
inbreeding when compared to nearly
any other species of land mammal
(Fuller et al. 2003, pp. 189–190; Paquet
et al. 2006, p. 3; Liberg 2008). Wolves
avoid inbreeding by dispersing to find
unrelated mates (Bensch et al. 2006, p.
72; vonHoldt et al. 2007, p. 1). This
social pattern is a basic function of wolf
populations and occurs regardless of the
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numbers, density, or presence of other
wolves (Mech and Boitani 2003, pp. 11–
180; Jimenez et al. In review, p. 14).
As a general rule, genetic exchange of
at least one effective migrant (i.e., a
breeding migrant that passes on its
genes) per generation is viewed as
sufficient to prevent the loss of alleles
and minimize loss of heterozygosity
within subpopulations (Mills and
Allendorf 1996, entire; Wang 2004,
entire; Mills 2007, p. 193). This level of
gene flow allows for local evolutionary
adaptation while minimizing negative
effects of genetic drift and inbreeding
depression. While higher levels of
genetic exchange may be beneficial
(note the ‘‘at least’’ in the above
standard), we conclude that a minimum
of one effective migrant per generation
is a reasonable and acceptable goal to
avoid any degradation in the NRM
DPS’s current levels of genetic diversity.
The northwestern Montana and central
Idaho core recovery areas are wellconnected to each other and to large
wolf populations in Canada through
dispersal (Boyd et al. 1995, p. 136; Boyd
and Pletscher 1999, pp. 1100–1101;
Hebblewhite et al. 2010, p. 4383;
vonHoldt et al. 2010, pp. 4422–4423;
Jimenez et al. In review, p. 23).
The GYA is the most isolated core
recovery area within the NRM DPS
(Oakleaf et al. 2006, p. 554; vonHoldt et
al. 2007, p. 19). From 1992 to 2008, we
documented five radio-collared wolves
naturally entering the GYA, two of
which are confirmed to have bred
(Jimenez et al. In review, p. 23). The
first wolf dispersed from northwestern
Montana to the eastern side of the GYA
in 1992 when only 41 wolves and 4
breeding pairs were in the region
(Pletscher et al. 1997, p. 464). This wolf
did not breed because it dispersed
before the 1995–1996 reintroductions
and there were no other wolves present
in the GYA. In 2002, a central Idaho
wolf dispersed to the eastern side of the
GYA and became the breeding male of
the Greybull pack near Meeteetse,
Wyoming. In 2006, another central
Idaho wolf dispersed to the northern
edge of the GYA (south of Bozeman,
Montana); it is unknown if this wolf
bred. In 2007, two wolves from central
Idaho dispersed to the eastern side of
GYA. One of these dispersers joined a
pack near Dubois, Wyoming; its
reproductive status is unknown. The
other 2007 disperser joined a pack near
Sunlight Basin, Wyoming, and bred.
Because only 20 to 30 percent of the
NRM wolf population has been radiocollared, it is reasonable to assume
several times the documented number
of radio-collared wolves likely entered
the GYA. On average, about 35 percent
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of dispersing wolves reproduce (Jimenez
et al. In review, p. 12). Because a wolf
generation is approximately 4 years,
dispersal data indicate that more than
one effective migrant per generation has
likely entered into the GYA wolf
population. Specifically, these data
indicate we may have averaged around
one-and-a-half effective migrants into
the GYA per generation since
reintroduction, with a large portion of
this dispersal occurring in recent years.
Genetics data have only been
analyzed from 1995 to 2004 when the
NRM gray wolf population was between
101 and 846 wolves (including a
minimum population estimate of 14 to
452 wolves in central Idaho) and still
growing (average 27 percent annual
growth rate). During this period, the
NRM region demonstrated a minimum
of 3.3 to 5.4 effective migrants per
generation among the three
subpopulations (vonHoldt et al. 2010, p.
4412). Within this range, the 3.3
effective migrants per generation reflect
natural dispersal, while the 5.4 effective
migrants per generation include humanassisted migration (Stahler 2011).
Within the GYA, natural dispersal data
demonstrates that six wolves in four
packs appear to have descended from
one central Idaho disperser (the 2002
disperser discussed in the above
paragraph who was the breeding male of
the Greybull pack near Meeteetse,
Wyoming) (vonHoldt et al. 2010, p.
4412, Supporting Table S5; Stahler
2011). These data demonstrate a
minimum of 0.42 natural effective
migrants entering the GYA per
generation from 1995 to 2004 (Stahler
2011). Because only about 30 percent of
the NRM wolf population was sampled,
the minimum estimate of effective
migrants per generation was likely a
significant underestimate (Hebblewhite
et al. 2010, p. 4384; vonHoldt et al.
2010, pp. 4422–4423; Stahler 2011).
While additional analysis may be
needed to determine how much of an
underestimate this represents (Stahler
2011), Hebblewhite et al. (2010, p. 4384)
suggest this estimate is ‘‘almost
certainly low by at least half.’’
Both of the above information sources
(documented dispersal rates from 1992
to 2008 and genetic analysis from 1995
to 2004) indicate acceptable levels of
effective migration occurred when the
population was between 101 and 846
wolves and have likely been exceeded at
higher population levels. However,
numerous factors that contributed to
these levels of gene flow while the
species was listed will differ after
delisting. For example, after delisting
the population will no longer be
growing, the population will likely go
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through a period reduction before
leveling off, and management will likely
result in higher mortality rates for both
dispersers and resident wolves. Thus,
past dispersal data is unlikely to be an
exact predictor of future effective
migration rates. Below we discuss
factors likely to influence future
effective migration after delisting.
A more detailed look at dispersal
data, although reflective of the situation
while wolves were listed, may provide
insights into likely dispersal after
delisting. NRM gray wolf dispersal data
from 1995 to 2008 indicated that:
Wolves routinely dispersed at all
population levels and from packs of all
sizes (greater than 10 percent of the
radio-collared wolf population
dispersed annually); some dispersers
moved long distances despite the
occurrence of empty suitable habitat
nearby (23 percent of these dispersers
traveled greater than or equal to 100
miles, a distance that separates
routinely occupied areas in the GYA
and central Idaho); wolves dispersed in
all directions (19 percent of dispersers
traveled east as would be necessary to
get from central Idaho to the GYA);
dispersal occurred year round, but
peaked in winter (more than half of all
dispersal occurred in the 4 months of
November through February); dispersal
was a long, meandering process
(dispersal events averaged 5.5 months);
disperser survival rates were lower than
for resident wolves (70 versus 80
percent); and 35 percent of dispersing
wolves reproduced (Jimenez et al. In
review, pp. 9–12).
It should be noted that the above
estimates could over- or under estimate
actual percentages depending on
various factors related to the
representativeness of the available data.
For example, the estimate that 10
percent of the wolf population disperses
annually may be an underestimate of
the real number because yearlings and
2-year-olds in some areas have a higher
dispersal rate than older wolves (Adams
et al. 2008, Table 4), but may be
underrepresented in the radio-collared
wolf sample (Jimenez et al. In review, p.
10). Mech and Boitani (2003, p. 170)
summarized North American wolf
studies that suggested lone dispersing
wolves comprised 10 to 15 percent of
wolf populations in winter. Adams et al.
(2008, Table 4) estimated dispersal rates
for yearlings, 2-year-olds, and older
Alaskan wolves as being 61 percent, 35
percent, and 11 percent, respectively;
Adams suggested a dispersal rate
around 30 percent may be more likely
for NRM wolves given our data’s bias
toward older adults (Atkins 2011, p. 56;
Jimenez et al. In review, p. 10).
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Furthermore, while these data could be
used to model likely future effective
migration, natural changes to the wolf
population and post-delisting
management across the NRM region will
affect these variables and affect the
resulting projections. Below we discuss
factors that are likely to change these
variables in future years.
Several geographic and biological
factors influence migration in the GYA.
For example, physical barriers (such as
high-elevation mountain ranges that are
difficult to traverse in winter) appeared
to discourage dispersal through Grand
Teton National Park’s western
boundary. Because most wolves
disperse in winter, they tended to travel
through low-elevation valleys where
wild prey concentrations were highest
due to lower snow depths. To date, the
high density and reproductive output of
wolves in YNP have created a
unidirectional flow of effective
dispersers leaving but not entering the
Park’s wolf population (note, we have
few data regarding whether wolves
traveled through the park) (vonHoldt et
al. 2007, p. 270; vonHoldt et al. 2010,
p. 4413; Wayne and Hedrick 2010). This
is because young dispersing wolves seek
to establish territories in less saturated
habitats, and wolves from outside YNP
are unable to establish residency inside
areas that appear saturated. This does
not mean wolves were precluded from
traveling through the park. Long term,
we expect that, at lower YNP population
densities, wolves from outside YNP will
be increasingly successful at dispersing
into and through YNP.
Population levels across the NRM
DPS could affect natural rates of gene
flow. For example, because a small
portion of wolves disperse annually
(perhaps between 10 and 30 percent
(Adams et al. 2008, Table 4; Atkins
2011, p. 56; Jimenez et al. In review)),
an Idaho wolf population of 350 to 550
wolves long term (a range that is
realistic long term) will produce many
more dispersers than a population
closer to minimum recovery targets.
While the wolf population will probably
be reduced after delisting, all three
States in the NRM region plan to
manage wolf populations comfortably
above minimum recovery levels to allow
for wolf hunting opportunities, in
anticipation of uncontrollable sources of
mortality, and to provide that relisting
does not occur. Based on the available
suitable habitat including remote or
protected areas, management direction
being employed or planned by the
States, and State projections, we
conclude that the overall NRM
population is likely to be maintained
well above recovery levels (perhaps
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around 1,000 wolves across the NRM
DPS). Overall, conclude that State
management of population levels alone
is unlikely to reduce the overall rate of
natural dispersal enough to threaten
adequate levels of effective migration.
Human-caused wolf mortality is
another key factor in determining
whether dispersers become effective
(i.e., a breeding migrant that passes on
its genes). In short, wolves must be able
to traverse suitable and unsuitable
habitat between the key recovery areas
and survive long enough to find a mate
in suitable habitat and reproduce. While
managed under the Act, dispersers had
a 70 percent survival rate. However,
State and Tribal wolf management is
likely to reduce survival of dispersing
wolves. Across the NRM DPS, we expect
mortality rates to increase after delisting
due to hunting, more liberal defense of
property allowances (than under
previous experimental population
rules), and, in Wyoming, control of
wolves on State-managed elk feeding
grounds and some impacts to dispersers
in the predator area of the State.
As noted above, wolves can maintain
themselves despite human-caused
mortality rates of 17 to 48 percent
(Fuller et al. 2003, pp. 182–184 [22
percent +/¥ 8 percent]; Adams et al.
2008 [29 percent]; Creel and Rotella
2010 [22 percent]; Sparkman et al. 2011
[25 percent]; Gude et al. 2011 [48
percent]; Vucetich and Carroll In review
[17 percent]). Because States intend to
initially reduce wolf populations and
ultimately maintain level wolf
populations in balance with prey
populations and reduce livestock
conflicts, it seems reasonable to assume
that there will be high mortality across
the entire region for the next several
years, but that the population will
stabilize at a sustainable level over the
long term.
The management approaches of all
three NRM States take into account and
limit hunting impacts during important
dispersal periods, including the
breeding, denning, and pup-rearing
periods (late winter through early fall).
Long term, across Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming, most hunting-related
mortality will occur from October to
December when big game seasons are
scheduled and most big game hunters
are in the field. In 2009 in Montana, 78
percent of harvested wolves were
opportunistically harvested by hunters
who were primarily hunting elk, deer,
or both (Montana Fish, Wildlife and
Parks 2009, p. 3). In both 2009 and
2011, Montana’s wolf seasons were
scheduled to run through the end of
December, or when quotas were met
(Montana Fish, Wildlife and Parks 2011,
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entire). In 2009, Idaho’s wolf season was
open until December 31st or until the
quota was met, but was extended
through the end of March for all units
that did not meet their quotas. The 2009
hunting season was not extended in any
areas important for dispersal. In 2011,
Idaho’s wolf hunting season ran through
March for most units, but ends
December 31st for those areas thought
important for dispersal (i.e., the
Beaverhead and Island Park units)
(Idaho Fish and Game Commission
2011, entire). During the 2012–2013
hunting season, these units will remain
open until January 31st. Closing hunting
in these units earlier than other units is
consistent with States’ commitments to
preserve genetic diversity by ensuring
the continuation of natural dispersal
among the subpopulations through
effective management of the timing and
location of human-caused mortality
(Groen et al. 2008, entire). While
increased human-caused mortality,
particularly hunting and trapping, is
expected to continue across much of the
NRM DPS in the coming years as States
pursue population reductions, we
expect the need for such long seasons
will dwindle once desired reductions
are achieved. Other sources of humancaused mortality, such as State control
of problem wolves, is limited to recent
depredation events, which are
uncommon during peak dispersal
periods.
The State of Wyoming has indicated
that its hunting seasons will occur
primarily in conjunction with fall
hunting seasons, but may be extended
beyond that period, if necessary, to
achieve management objectives (WGFC
2011, pp. 2–3, 16, 25, 53). Wyoming will
develop a hunting plan each year that
will take into consideration, but will not
be limited to, the following: Wolf
breeding seasons; short- and long-range
dispersal opportunity, survival, and
success in forming new or joining
existing packs; conflicts with livestock;
and the broader game management
responsibilities related to ungulates and
other wildlife (WGFC 2011, pp. 2–3, 16,
25, 53).
In Wyoming, survival of dispersing
wolves will also be reduced in portions
of the State where wolves will be
classified as predators. In the predator
area, human-caused mortality will be
unlimited; therefore, wolf survival rates
will decline. This finding is consistent
with past Service findings (71 FR 43410,
August 1, 2006; 72 FR 6106, February 8,
2007; 73 FR 10514, February 27, 2008;
74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009), and was
validated in 2008 when most of the
wolves in the predator area were killed
within a few weeks of temporarily
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losing the Act’s protection. However,
roaming dispersers will be less prone to
removal than resident packs, whose
locations and ranges are easily detected.
In total, wolves will be protected or
managed as game animals year-round in
about 38,500 km2 (15,000 mi2) (15.2
percent of Wyoming) in northwestern
Wyoming, including YNP, Grand Teton
National Park, John D. Rockefeller, Jr.
Memorial Parkway, adjacent U.S. Forest
Service-designated Wilderness Areas,
adjacent public and private lands, the
National Elk Refuge, and the Wind River
Indian Reservation. The permanent
Trophy Area incorporates nearly all of
Wyoming’s current wolf packs and
includes the vast majority of the State’s
suitable habitat. Additionally, the
Trophy Area will be seasonally
expanded approximately 80 km (50 mi)
south along the western border of
Wyoming (see Figure 1 above) from
October 15 to the end of February (28th
or 29th). During this period of peak
dispersal, the Trophy Area will be
expanded by approximately 3,300 km2
(1,300 mi2) (i.e., an additional 1.3
percent of Wyoming). Maintenance of
genetic exchange and connectivity were
the primary considerations in
Wyoming’s agreement to increase
protection for wolves within this area
during winter months. This seasonal
expansion will benefit natural dispersal.
Within the Trophy Area, Wyoming
may also control wolves to address
wolf-ungulate conflicts at State-operated
elk feeding grounds (WGFC 2011, pp. 5,
39–41). Wyoming maintains 22 winter
elk feeding grounds including 10 within
the permanent Trophy Area, 3 within
the seasonal Trophy Area, and 9 within
the permanent predator area. These
areas attract and frequently hold
dispersing wolves. Many dispersing
wolves in Wyoming, and several
established packs, include elk feed
grounds as part of their winter home
range. As noted above, within the
predator area, take would occur without
limit. Within the Trophy Area, WGFD
may take wolves that displace elk from
feeding grounds in the Trophy Area if
such displacement results in one of the
following conflicts: (1) Elk damage to
private stored crops; (2) elk
commingling with domestic livestock;
or (3) elk displaced from feeding
grounds moving onto highway rights-ofway and causing human safety
concerns. Such take will likely further
reduce survival of dispersing wolves
(WGFC 2011, pp. 5, 39–41).
Generally, genetic connectivity across
the NRM DPS has increased with time,
and it will remain a high-priority issue
for the Service and our partner wildlife
agencies. Processes to identify,
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maintain, and improve linkage of
wildlife movement areas between the
large blocks of public land in the region
is ongoing (Servheen et al. 2003, p. 3).
This interagency effort involves 9 State
and Federal agencies working on
linkage facilitation across private lands,
public lands, and highways (Interagency
Grizzly Bear Committee 2001, pp. 1–2;
Brown 2006, pp. 1–3). Key partners
include the Forest Service, National
Park Service, Bureau of Land
Management, U.S. Geological Survey,
and the States of Idaho, Montana,
Washington, and Wyoming. To date,
this effort has included: (1)
Development of a written protocol and
guidance document on how to
implement linkage zone management on
public lands (Public Lands Linkage
Wildlife Taskforce 2004, pp. 3–5); (2)
production of several private land
linkage management documents
(Service 1997; Parker and Parker 2002,
p. 2); (3) analyses of linkage zone
management in relation to highways
(Geodata Services Inc. 2005, p. 2; Waller
and Servheen 2005, p. 998); and (4)
periodic workshops discussing
implementation of management actions
for wildlife linkage. The objective of this
work is to maintain and enhance
movement opportunities for all wildlife
species across the region. Although this
linkage work is not directly associated
with the wolf population, it will benefit
wolves after delisting.
Wyoming’s gray wolf management
regulations indicate the State is
committed to managing gray wolves in
Wyoming so that genetic diversity and
connectivity issues do not threaten the
population (chapter 21, section 4(a)(ii)).
These regulations state that this
commitment would be accomplished by
encouraging effective migrants into the
population in accordance with the
Wyoming Gray Wolf Management Plan
(chapter 21, section 4(a)(ii)). The
Addendum to the Wyoming Gray Wolf
Management Plan indicates the WGFD
would strive for a minimum genetic
target of ∼1 effective migrant per
generation (WGFC 2012, pp. 6¥7).
Wyoming, in coordination with
Montana and Idaho, has agreed to
collect genetic samples continuously,
and test the samples every 3 to 5 years
to search for dispersers and their
offspring as well as to detect losses in
heterozygosity and changes in allele
frequency (WGFC 2011, pp. 26–29).
Success in achieving the objective of
one effective migrant per generation will
be measured over multiple generations
(WGFC 2011, pp. 26–29). If this
minimum target is not achieved, the
WGFD would first consider changes to
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the monitoring program, if the increased
monitoring is likely to overcome the
failure to document the desired level of
gene flow (WGFC 2012, p. 6).
If the WGFD determines increased
monitoring is unlikely to document
adequate levels of genetic interchange,
or it determines that sufficient
interchange is not occurring regardless
of monitoring efforts, it would alter
management, including reducing
mortality quotas in dispersal corridors
or reducing total mortality quotas over
a series of years to increase the
probability that migrants into the
population survive and reproduce
(WGFC 2012, pp. 6–7). Outside experts
will be consulted, as necessary or
appropriate, to assist in identifying
appropriate changes to regional
management. Specifically, Wyoming
will: (1) Conduct an evaluation of all
sources of mortality, in coordination
with other partners as appropriate, with
a focus on those within Wyoming’s
jurisdiction (and the jurisdiction of
other partners, as appropriate), to
determine which sources of mortality,
and the extent to which those sources,
are most meaningfully affecting genetic
connectivity; and (2) modify population
management objectives, in coordination
with other partners, as appropriate,
based on the above evaluation, as
necessary, to achieve the desired level
of gene flow (WGFC 2011, pp. 26–29).
The extent of actions taken will depend
on the level of gene flow as it relates to
the genetic connectivity objectives. For
example, if the data indicates gene flow
is close to the objective, minor
modifications to management will be
implemented (WGFC 2011, pp. 26–29).
However, if very low levels of gene flow
are documented over numerous
generations, more extreme management
measures will be implemented (WGFC
2011, pp. 26–29). This adaptive
approach will implement specific and
appropriate remedial actions as directed
by the available data (WGFC 2011, pp.
26–29). Translocation of wolves
between subpopulations would only be
used as a stopgap measure, if necessary
to increase genetic interchange (WGFC
2012, p. 7). All of the above efforts
would be coordinated with Montana
and Idaho (WGFC 2012, p. 7).
Maintenance of the GYA at very low
population levels is unlikely to be a
meaningful concern in its own right.
Overall, we expect the GYA population
will be managed for a long term average
of around 300 wolves across portions of
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming. While
exact numbers are difficult to predict
and may fluctuate by area and by year,
the following information provides
some perspective. In Wyoming, the
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State will maintain a population above
100 wolves and 10 breeding pairs on
lands under State jurisdiction and, in
most years, will maintain a healthy
buffer above this minimum population
level. The wolf population in YNP has
ranged from 96 to 174 wolves since
2000. However, the YNP wolf
population appears to be declining
toward a long term equilibrium around
the lower end of this range (Service et
al. 2000–2012, Table 2; Smith 2012). In
Montana’s share of the GYA, minimum
population estimates have ranged from
55 to 130 wolves since recovery was
achieved in 2002 (Service et al. 2003–
2012, Table 1b). During this period, the
GYA constituted between 20 to 42
percent of Montana’s statewide wolf
population estimate. At the end of 2010,
this area included a minimum
population estimate of 118 wolves.
Montana’s planned quota for this area in
the 2011 hunting season was 43 wolves,
and 39 wolves were actually taken,
which appears to have allowed the
population in this area to grow (by
about 18 percent). In Idaho’s share of
the GYA, minimum population
estimates have ranged from 0 to 40
wolves since recovery was achieved in
2002 (Service et al. 2003–2012, Table 2).
At the end of 2010, this area included
a minimum population estimate of 40
wolves. Idaho’s planned 2011 hunt
includes a quota of 30 wolves in this
area, but the quota for this unit was not
reached because only 10 wolves were
taken (Idaho Fish and Game
Commission 2011, entire). Collectively,
these data suggest a long term average
of around 300 wolves in the GYA,
including sizable populations in YNP,
other portions of Wyoming, and
portions of the GYA in Montana and
Idaho.
In summary, the GYA wolf population
will not be threatened by lower genetic
diversity in the foreseeable future. A
number of biological factors support this
conclusion including the current high
level of genetic diversity in the NRM
DPS, proven connectivity between
subpopulations, wolf dispersal
capabilities, the strong tendency of
wolves to outbreed by choosing
unrelated mates, and the likely long
term population and distribution levels
of wolves in the NRM DPS. In addition
to these natural factors, the States of
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming have
committed to monitor for natural
genetic connectivity, modify
management as necessary to facilitate
natural connectivity, and, if necessary,
implement a human-assisted migration
program to achieve at least one effective
migrant per generation. In fact, in our
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professional judgment, even if no new
genes entered into the GYA (a near
impossibility), genetic diversity is likely
many decades, and perhaps a century or
more, away from becoming an issue and
even then, it would be unlikely to
threaten the GYA population.
Poison—Poisoning is a potentially
significant factor in maintenance of the
wolf population because it can be an
effective and inexpensive method to kill
wolves. Wolf extirpation in the United
States and many other areas of the
world occurred primarily through
extensive use of poisons. Wolf
populations began to recover in many
areas only when certain poisons were
banned, despite continued humancaused mortality by shooting and
trapping (Fritts et al. 2003, p. 311; Fuller
et al. 2003, pp. 162–163, 189; Boitani
2003, p. 329). Poison was once
commonly used by Federal and State
agencies and the public throughout the
western United States for control of
coyotes and other predators. However,
many poisons (such as strychnine,
Compound 1080, cyanide, and other
toxins) for predatory animal
management were banned or their use
severely limited (Executive Order
11643; Fagerstone et al. 2004).
Today, no poisons can legally be used
against wolves in the United States
because of Environmental Protection
Agency restrictions (described above).
While steps could be taken to allow
registration and limited use, the process
is complex, time consuming (5–10
years), and would likely not allow
widespread use for a host of reasons,
including public disdain for poisoning
predators (Fritts et al. 2003, p. 311;
Fagerstone et al. 2004, p. 76) and
concerns over secondary nontarget
poisoning. Furthermore, within the
Trophy Area, poison is prohibited by
Wyoming Statute 23–3–304(a). Sodium
cyanide (only in M–44 devices),
Compound 1080 (sodium fluoroacetate
used only in livestock protection
collars), and denning cartridges (active
ingredients of sodium nitrate and
charcoal) are legal toxicants for use on
other canids. In all three cases,
Environmental Protection Agency label
restrictions preclude use on wolves
(Environmental Protection Agency 1994,
pp. 2, 4; Environmental Protection
Agency 1995, pp. 28–29; Environmental
Protection Agency 2007, p. 3). Poisons
(including strychnine, Compound 1080,
cyanide, and Temic (an agricultural
poison used for insect control)) have
occasionally illegally killed dogs and
wolves in the NRM region. Such illegal
killing has been exceedingly rare and
has not affected the wolf population’s
recovery (Murray et al. 2010, p. 2514;
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Service et al. 2012, Table 4, Figure 1).
We believe this source of mortality will
remain rare into the foreseeable future.
Only a concerted agency-driven or
otherwise large-scale campaign to
employ poison could threaten the
recovered wolf population in Wyoming,
the GYA, or the larger NRM DPS.
However, this circumstance is highly
unlikely in the foreseeable future. Even
in areas like the predator area,
widespread poisoning is unlikely in the
foreseeable future because as these types
of highly toxic and dangerous poisons
would have to be legally registered and
widely available. Overall, this potential
threat is strictly theoretical in nature
and is unlikely to ever again threaten
this wolf population.
Climate Change—Our analyses under
the Endangered Species Act include
consideration of ongoing and projected
changes in climate. The terms ‘‘climate’’
and ‘‘climate change’’ are defined by the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change (IPCC). The term ‘‘climate’’
refers to the mean and variability of
different types of weather conditions
over time, with 30 years being a typical
period for such measurements, although
shorter or longer periods also may be
used (IPCC 2007a, p. 78). The term
‘‘climate change’’ thus refers to a change
in the mean or variability of one or more
measures of climate (e.g., temperature or
precipitation) that persists for an
extended period, typically decades or
longer, whether the change is due to
natural variability, human activity, or
both (IPCC 2007a, p. 78).
Scientific measurements spanning
several decades demonstrate that
changes in climate are occurring, and
that the rate of change has been faster
since the 1950s. Examples include
warming of the global climate system,
and substantial increases in
precipitation in some regions of the
world and decreases in other regions.
For these and other examples, see IPCC
2007a (p. 30) and Solomon et al. 2007
(pp. 35–54, 82–85). Results of scientific
analyses presented by the IPCC show
that most of the observed increase in
global average temperature since the
mid-20th century cannot be explained
by natural variability in climate, and is
‘‘very likely’’ (defined by the IPCC as 90
percent or higher probability) due to the
observed increase in greenhouse gas
(GHG) concentrations in the atmosphere
as a result of human activities,
particularly carbon dioxide emissions
from use of fossil fuels (IPCC 2007a, pp.
5–6 and figures SPM.3 and SPM.4;
Solomon et al. 2007, pp. 21–35). Further
confirmation of the role of GHGs comes
from analyses by Huber and Knutti
(2011, p. 4), who concluded it is
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extremely likely that approximately 75
percent of global warming since 1950
has been caused by human activities.
Scientists use a variety of climate
models, which include consideration of
natural processes and variability, as
well as various scenarios of potential
levels and timing of GHG emissions, to
evaluate the causes of changes already
observed and to project future changes
in temperature and other climate
conditions (e.g., Meehl et al. 2007,
entire; Ganguly et al. 2009, pp. 11555,
15558; Prinn et al. 2011, pp. 527, 529).
All combinations of models and
emissions scenarios yield very similar
projections of increases in the most
common measure of climate change,
average global surface temperature
(commonly known as global warming),
until about 2030. Although projections
of the magnitude and rate of warming
differ after about 2030, the overall
trajectory of all the projections is one of
increased global warming through the
end of this century, even for the
projections based on scenarios that
assume that GHG emissions will
stabilize or decline. Thus, there is strong
scientific support for projections that
warming will continue through the 21st
century, and that the magnitude and
rate of change will be influenced
substantially by the extent of GHG
emissions (IPCC 2007a, pp. 44–45;
Meehl et al. 2007, pp. 760–764, 797–
811; Ganguly et al. 2009, pp. 15555–
15558; Prinn et al. 2011, pp. 527, 529).
(See IPCC 2007b, p. 8, for a summary of
other global projections of climaterelated changes, such as frequency of
heat waves and changes in
precipitation. Also see IPCC 2011
(entire) for a summary of observations
and projections of extreme climate
events.)
Various changes in climate may have
direct or indirect effects on species.
These effects may be positive, neutral,
or negative, and they may change over
time, depending on the species and
other relevant considerations, such as
interactions of climate with other
variables (e.g., habitat fragmentation)
(IPCC 2007, pp. 8–14, 18–19).
Identifying likely effects often involves
aspects of climate change vulnerability
analysis. Vulnerability refers to the
degree to which a species (or system) is
susceptible to, and unable to cope with,
adverse effects of climate change,
including climate variability and
extremes. Vulnerability is a function of
the type, magnitude, and rate of climate
change and variation to which a species
is exposed, its sensitivity, and its
adaptive capacity (IPCC 2007a, p. 89;
see also Glick et al. 2011, pp. 19–22).
There is no single method for
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conducting such analyses that applies to
all situations (Glick et al. 2011, p. 3). We
use our expert judgment and
appropriate analytical approaches to
weigh relevant information, including
uncertainty, in our consideration of
various aspects of climate change.
The 20th century was the warmest in
the last 1,000 years (Inkley et al. 2004,
pp. 2–3), with global mean surface
temperature increasing by 0.4 to 0.8
degrees Celsius (0.7 to 1.4 degrees
Fahrenheit). These increases in
temperature were more pronounced
over land masses as evidenced by the
1.5 to 1.7 degrees Celsius (2.7 to 3.0
degrees Fahrenheit) increase in North
America since the 1940s (Vincent et al.
1999, p. 96; Cayan et al. 2001, p. 411).
According to the IPCC, temperatures
will increase 1.1 to 6.4 degrees Celsius
(2.0 to 11.5 degrees Fahrenheit) by 2100
(IPCC 2007, pp. 10–11). The magnitude
of warming in the NRM region has been
greater, as indicated by an 8-day
advance in the appearance of spring
phenological indicators in Edmonton,
Alberta, since the 1930s (Cayan et al.
2001, p. 400). The hydrologic regime in
the NRM region also has changed with
global climate change, and is projected
to change further (Bartlein et al. 1997,
p. 786; Cayan et al. 2001, p. 411; Stewart
et al. 2004, pp. 223–224). Under global
climate change scenarios, the NRM
region may eventually experience
milder, wetter winters and warmer,
drier summers (Bartlein et al. 1997, p.
786). Additionally, the pattern of
snowmelt runoff may also change, with
a reduction in spring snowmelt (Cayan
et al. 2001, p. 411) and an earlier peak
(Stewart et al. 2004, pp. 223–224), so
that a lower proportion of the annual
discharge will occur during spring and
summer.
Even with these changes,
environmental, habitat, or prey changes
resulting from climate change should
not threaten the Wyoming wolf
population. Next to humans, wolves are
the most widely distributed land
mammal on earth. Wolves live in every
habitat type in the Northern Hemisphere
that contains ungulates, and once
ranged from central Mexico to the Arctic
Ocean in North America. The NRM
region is roughly in the middle of
historical wolf distribution in North
America. Because historical evidence
suggests gray wolves and their prey
survived in hotter, drier environments,
including some near-desert conditions,
we expect wolves could easily adapt to
the warmer and drier conditions that are
predicted with climate change,
including any northward expansion of
diseases, parasites, new prey, or
competitors or reductions in species
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currently at or near the southern extent
of their range. It would be virtually
impossible that environmental, habitat,
or prey species changes due to the
environmental effects of climate change
could significantly affect such an
adaptable, resilient, and generalist
predator.
Environmental or habitat changes
resulting from changing climatic
conditions have the potential to affect
wolf prey. Declining moose populations
in the southern GYA may result from
climate change and declining habitat
quality, a conclusion that has been
reached in other parts of the southern
range of moose in North America
(Murray et al. 2006, p. 25; Becker 2008,
entire; Becker et al. 2010, p. 151).
Climate change has affected elk
nutrition, elk herd demographics, and
the proportion of migratory and
nonmigratory elk in the GYA, but not to
the extent that such wolf prey could
disappear (Middleton et al. In Press).
However, the extent and rate to which
most ungulate populations will be
affected is difficult to foresee with any
level of confidence. One logical
consequence of climate change could be
a reduction in the number of elk, deer,
moose, and bison that die overwinter,
thus maintaining a higher prey base for
wolves (Wilmers and Getz 2005, p. 574;
Wilmers and Post 2006, p. 405).
Furthermore, increased over-winter
survival would likely result in overall
increases and more resiliency in
ungulate populations, thereby providing
more prey for wolves.
Catastrophic Events—Here we
analyze a number of possible
catastrophic events including fire,
volcanic activity, and earthquake. Fire is
a natural part of the Yellowstone
system; however, 20th century forest
management, which included extensive
wildfire suppression efforts, promoted
heightened potential for a large fire
event. The 1988 fires, the largest
wildfires in YNP’s recorded history,
burned a total of 3,213 km2 (793,880
acres) or 36 percent of the Park.
However, large mobile species such as
wolves and their ungulate prey usually
were not meaningfully adversely
affected. Surveys after the 1988 fires
found that 345 dead elk, 36 deer, 12
moose, 6 black bears, and 9 bison died
in GYA as a direct result of the
conflagration (YNP 2011, p. 3). YNP’s
fire management policy (YNP 2004,
entire) indicates natural wildfires
should be allowed to burn, so long as
parameters regarding fire size, weather,
and potential danger are not exceeded.
Those fires that do exceed the
standards, as well as all human-caused
fires, are to be suppressed (YNP 2004,
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entire). Regarding impacts to wolves,
YNP concluded ‘‘wolves are adapted to
landscapes strongly influenced by fire,
the primary forest disturbance agent
within the GYE, are highly vagile, and
are adaptable to changing ecological
conditions * * * [and] fires will
provide significant long term benefits to
gray wolves by maintaining natural
ecosystem processes’’ (YNP 2004,
appendix I). Future fires are likely in the
GYA system. Overall, we agree wolves
are adaptable and will benefit from fires
in the long term. Wildfires often lead to
an increase in ungulate food supplies
and an increase in ungulate numbers.
While minor, localized, short term
impacts are likely, fire will not threaten
the viability of the wolf population in
either the GYA or Wyoming.
The GYA has also experienced several
exceedingly large volcanic eruptions in
the past 2.1 million years. Super
eruptions occurred 2.1 million, 1.3
million, and 640,000 years ago
(Lowenstern et al. 2005, pp. 1–2). Such
a similar event would devastate the
GYA ecosystem. While one could argue
‘‘we are due’’ for such an event,
scientists with the Yellowstone Volcano
Observatory maintain that they ‘‘see no
evidence that another such cataclysmic
eruption will occur at Yellowstone in
the foreseeable future * * * [and that]
recurrence intervals of these events are
neither regular nor predictable’’
(Lowenstern et al. 2005, p. 6). We agree
and do conclude that such an event is
not likely within the foreseeable future.
More likely to occur is a nonexplosive
lava flow eruption or a hydrothermal
explosion. There have been 30
nonexplosive lava flows in YNP over
the last 640,000 years, most recently
70,000 years ago (Lowenstern et al.
2005, p. 2). During such an eruption,
flows ooze slowly over the surface,
moving a few hundred feet per day for
several months to several years
(Lowenstern et al. 2005, p. 2). Any
renewed volcanic activity at YNP would
most likely take this form (Lowenstern
et al. 2005, p. 3). In general, such events
would have localized impacts and be far
less devastating than a large eruption
(although such an event could also
cause fires; fire as a threat is discussed
above). Hydrothermal explosions,
triggered by sudden changes in pressure
of the hydrothermal system, also
occasionally affect the region. More than
a dozen large hydrothermal explosion
craters formed between about 14,000
and 3,000 years ago (Lowenstern et al.
2005, p. 4). The largest hydrothermalexplosion crater documented in the
world is along the north edge of
Yellowstone Lake in an embayment
known as Mary Bay; this 2.6-km (1.5-
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mile) diameter crater formed about
13,800 years ago (Lowenstern et al.
2005, p. 4). We do not consider either
a nonexplosive lava flow eruption or a
hydrothermal-explosion likely within
the foreseeable future, but even if one of
these did occur, the impact to wolves or
their prey would likely be localized,
temporary, and would not threaten the
viability of the wolf population in either
the GYA, the Wyoming, or the NRM
gray wolf populations.
Earthquakes also occur in the region.
The most notable earthquake in YNP’s
recent history was a magnitude 7.5 in
1959 (Lowenstern et al. 2005, p. 3).
Similarly, a magnitude 6.5 earthquake
hit within YNP in 1975 (Lowenstern et
al. 2005, p. 3). The 1959 earthquake
killed 28 people, most of them in a
massive landslide triggered by the quake
(Lowenstern et al. 2005, p. 3). Such
massive landslides and other
earthquake-related impacts could also
affect wildlife. But as with other
potential catastrophic events, the impact
of a large earthquake to wolves or prey
would likely be localized, temporary,
and would not threaten the viability of
the wolf population in the GYA, the
Wyoming, or the NRM gray wolf
populations.
The habitat model/population
viability analysis by Carroll et al. (2003,
p. 543) analyzed environmental
stochasticity and predicted it was
unlikely to threaten wolf persistence in
the GYA. We also considered
catastrophic and stochastic events that
might reasonably occur in Wyoming, the
GYA, or the NRM DPS within the
foreseeable future, to the extent
possible. Most catastrophic events
discussed above are unlikely to occur
within the foreseeable future. Other
events that might occur within the
foreseeable future would likely cause
only localized and temporary impacts
that would not threaten the GYA, the
Wyoming, or the NRM gray wolf
populations.
Impacts to Wolf Pack Social Structure
as a Result of Human-Caused
Mortality—When human-caused
mortality rates are low, packs often
contain a wider spread of individuals
across age classes. Such larger complex
pack structures are most common in
National Parks and large, remote
wilderness areas. These types of social
structures will continue in protected
areas like YNP after wolves are delisted.
While intense harvest in immediately
adjoining areas can alter natural social
structure of kin-based groups (e.g.,
increase adoption of unrelated
individuals into packs) in the protected
areas (Rutledge et al. 2010, entire), as
explained in the ‘‘Commercial or
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Recreational Uses’’ section of Factor B
above, harvest levels have been limited
in adjoining areas where such impacts
are most likely to be an issue and are
likely to continue to be regulated in this
manner. This approach is expected to
minimize such impacts in YNP.
Regardless, only approximately 20
percent of the region’s wolf population
currently lives primarily in National
Parks or Wilderness areas. Therefore,
wolves in most of the NRM DPS
constantly interact with livestock and
people. In these areas, wolves
experience higher rates of humancaused mortality, which alters pack
structure but does not reduce
population viability, their ability to
reproduce, or their ability to produce
dispersers (Brainerd et al. 2008, p. 89;
Jimenez et al. In review, p. 1).
Wolf packs frequently have high rates
of natural turnover (Mech 2007, p. 1482)
and quickly adapt to changes in pack
social structure (Brainerd et al. 2008, p.
89). Higher rates of human-caused
mortality outside protected areas will
result in smaller wolf pack size and
different structure than in protected
areas. However, wolf populations in
many parts of the world, including most
of North America, experience various
levels of human-caused mortality and
the associated disruption in natural
processes and wolf social structure,
without ever being threatened (Boitani
2003, pp. 322–323). Therefore, while
human-caused mortality may alter pack
structure, we have no evidence that
indicates this issue, if adequately
regulated (as will occur in the NRM
region), is a significant concern for wolf
conservation.
Since 1987, we have removed more
than 1,700 problem wolves in the NRM
region and have monitored the effect of
removing breeding adults and other
pack members on wolf pack structure
and subsequent breeding. Those effects
were minor and would certainly not
affect wolf population recovery
(Brainerd et al. 2008, p. 89). Although
human-caused mortality will likely
increase after delisting, history has
proven that adequate wolf reproduction
and survival can occur to sustain wolf
populations, despite prolonged periods
of high rates of human-caused mortality
(Boitani 2003, pp. 322–323). The
Wyoming wolf population will be
managed so that human-caused
mortality will not threaten the
population.
Overall, we conclude that other
natural or manmade factors, singularly
or in combination with other threats,
will not cause the Wyoming, the GYA,
or the NRM gray wolf population to be
‘‘likely to become an endangered
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species within the foreseeable future
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range.’’
Conclusion (Including Cumulative
Impacts)
According to 50 CFR 424.11(d), we
may delist a species if the best available
scientific and commercial data indicate
that: (1) The species is extinct; (2) the
species is recovered and is no longer
endangered or threatened; or (3) if the
original scientific data used at the time
the species was classified were in error.
The second criterion (i.e., recovered and
is no longer endangered or threatened)
applies for wolves in Wyoming.
Wolves in Wyoming, the GYA, and
across the NRM DPS are recovered. All
prongs of the recovery criteria are
satisfied. The numerical, distributional,
and temporal components of the
overarching recovery goal have been
exceeded for 10 consecutive years.
Furthermore, Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming have each individually met or
exceeded the minimum per-State
recovery targets every year since at least
2002, and met or exceeded the
minimum management targets every
year since at least 2004. Each of the
recovery areas (which were originally
used to measure progress toward
recovery) has been documented at or
above 10 breeding pairs and 100 wolves
every year since 2005 and probably
exceeded these levels every year since
2002 (Service et al. 2012, Table 4).
Finally, the available evidence
demonstrates the NRM gray wolf
population is functioning as a
metapopulation with gene flow between
subpopulations. Thus, we conclude that
the population has recovered.
Before we can delist we must also
consider the threats currently facing the
species and the threats that are
reasonably likely to affect the species in
the foreseeable future following the
delisting. Under section 3 of the Act, a
species is an ‘‘endangered species’’ if it
is in danger of extinction throughout all
or a significant portion of its range and
is a ‘‘threatened species’’ if it is likely
to become an endangered species within
the foreseeable future throughout all or
a significant portion of its range. In
considering what factors might
constitute ‘‘threats,’’ we must look
beyond the exposure of the species to a
particular factor to evaluate whether the
species may respond to the factor in a
way that causes actual impacts to the
species. The information must include
evidence sufficient to suggest that the
potential threat is likely to materialize
and that it has the capacity (i.e., it
should be of sufficient magnitude and
extent) to affect the species’ status such
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that it meets the definition of an
‘‘endangered species’’ or a ‘‘threatened
species’’ under the Act.
As long as populations are maintained
above minimal recovery levels, wolf
biology (namely the species’
reproductive potential) and the
availability of secure blocks of suitable
habitat will maintain source
populations capable of withstanding all
other foreseeable threats. In terms of
habitat, the amount and distribution of
suitable habitat in public ownership
provides, and will continue to provide,
large core areas that contain highquality habitat of sufficient size to
anchor a recovered wolf population.
Our analysis of land-use practices
shows that these areas will maintain
their suitability well into the foreseeable
future. While disease and parasites can
temporarily cause localized population
impacts, as long as populations are
managed above recovery levels, these
factors are not likely to threaten the wolf
population at any point in the
foreseeable future. Natural predation is
also likely to remain an insignificant
factor in population dynamics into the
foreseeable future. Additionally, we
conclude that other natural or manmade
factors like public attitudes towards
wolves, climate change, catastrophic
events, and impacts to wolf pack social
structure are unlikely to threaten the
wolf population within the foreseeable
future. While poisoning is a potentially
significant factor in the maintenance of
the wolf population, no poisons can be
legally used to poison wolves in the
United States, and we do not foresee or
anticipate a change in poison regulation
that would allow more widespread wolf
poisoning.
Human-caused mortality is the most
significant issue to the long term
conservation status of the wolf
population in Wyoming, the GYA, and
the entire NRM DPS. Therefore,
managing this source of mortality (i.e.,
overutilization for commercial and
recreational purposes [Factor B] as well
as other sources of human-caused
mortality [Factor C]) remains the
primary challenge to maintaining a
recovered wolf population into the
foreseeable future. Fortunately, wolf
populations have an ample natural
resiliency to high levels of humancaused mortality, if population levels
and controllable sources of mortality are
adequately regulated. For example, in
2009 and in 2011, more than 600 NRM
wolves died each year from all sources
of mortality (agency control including
defense of property, regulated harvest,
illegal and accidental killing, and
natural causes), and the population
showed little change (technically, slight
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increases in minimum population levels
were documented each year) (Service et
al. 2012, tables 4a, 4b). Similarly, from
1995 to 2008, the NRM wolf population
grew by an average of about 20 percent
annually, even in the face of an average
annual human-caused mortality rate of
23 percent (Service et al. 2012, Table 4;
Smith et al. 2010, p. 620; also see Figure
3 above). Overall, wolf populations can
maintain themselves despite humancaused mortality rates of 17 to 48
percent (Fuller et al. 2003, pp. 182–184
[22 percent +/¥ 8 percent]; Adams et al.
2008 [29 percent]; Creel and Rotella
2010 [22 percent]; Sparkman et al. 2011
[25 percent]; Gude et al. 2011 [48
percent]; Vucetich and Carroll In review
[17 percent]). Furthermore, wolf
populations have been shown to
increase rapidly if mortality is reduced
after severe declines (Fuller et al. 2003,
pp. 181–183; Service et al. 2012, Table
4).
Human-caused mortality can include
both controllable sources and sources of
mortality that will be difficult to limit.
Controllable sources of mortality are
discretionary and can be limited by the
managing agency. They include
permitted take, sport hunting, and direct
agency control. Sources of mortality that
will be difficult to limit, or may be
uncontrollable, occur regardless of
population levels and include things
like defense of property mortality,
illegal take, accidental mortality (such
as vehicle collisions), and mortality in
the predator area of Wyoming.
The recovery goal calls for a three-part
metapopulation of at least 30 breeding
pairs and at least 300 wolves equitably
distributed among Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming. We have determined that
Wyoming’s share of this recovery goal
will be satisfied by Wyoming’s
commitment to maintain at least 10
breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves
in areas outside of YNP and the Wind
River Indian Reservation. All sources of
mortality will be considered in
management decisions so that
management objectives are met.
Furthermore, Wyoming intends to
maintain an adequate buffer above
minimum population objectives to
accommodate management needs and
ensure uncontrollable sources of
mortality do not drop the population
below this minimum population level.
Thus, the minimum recovery goal for
the State of Wyoming will be exceeded
in areas outside YNP and the Wind
River Indian Reservation, allowing YNP
and the Wind River Indian Reservation
to provide an additional buffer above
the minimum recovery target.
Additionally, Wyoming is planning a
gradual population reduction to ensure
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population targets are not compromised
while the State gathers information on
the vulnerability of wolves under a State
management regime. This graduated
approach to population reductions and
long term stabilization of the
population, with an adequate buffer
above minimum population targets,
provides us with confidence that
Wyoming’s minimum management
targets will not be compromised.
All three States within the NRM DPS
are required to manage comfortably
above the minimum recovery level of at
least 10 breeding pairs and at least 100
wolves. In Montana and Idaho, we
required the statewide population level
to be managed at least 50 percent above
this target. Because Wyoming, unlike
Montana and Idaho, has a large portion
of its wolf population in areas outside
the State’s control (e.g., YNP and the
Wind River Indian Reservation), we
developed an approach for Wyoming
that recognizes this fact, but still holds
the State to the same commitment to
achieve the desired safety margin above
the minimum recovery goal.
Specifically, the wolf populations in
YNP and the Wind River Indian
Reservation will provide the remaining
buffer above the minimum recovery goal
intended by the minimum management
targets employed in Montana and Idaho
(i.e., population targets 50 percent above
minimum recovery levels). From 2000
to the end of 2011 (the most recent
official wolf population estimates
available), the wolf population in YNP
ranged from 96 to 174 wolves, and
between 6 to 16 breeding pairs.
However, recent population levels may
be higher than the long term carrying
capacity of YNP; the park predicts its
wolf numbers may decline further and
settle into a lower equilibrium (Smith
2012). Specifically, YNP biologists
estimate that the park will have between
50 to 100 wolves and 5 to 10 packs with
4 to 6 of these packs meeting the
breeding pair definition annually (Smith
2012). Regardless, YNP will represent a
core refugium that contains a substantial
number of overwintering wild ungulates
and few livestock with low levels of
human-caused wolf mortality. These
factors guarantee that the area will
remain a secure stronghold for the
Wyoming wolf population. Thus, YNP
will always provide a secure wolf
population providing a safety margin
above the minimum recovery goal.
The Wind River Indian Reservation
will further buffer the population,
although the area’s contribution to
recovery levels has always been, and is
likely to remain, very modest. The Wind
River Indian Reservation typically
contains a small number of wolves
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(single digits), which sometimes form
packs that count toward Tribal
population totals. None of these packs
have ever met the breeding pair
definition.
In total, Wyoming wolves will be
managed as game animals year-round or
protected in about 38,500 km2 (15,000
mi2) in the northwestern portion of the
State (15.2 percent of Wyoming),
including YNP, Grand Teton National
Park, John D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial
Parkway, adjacent U.S. Forest Servicedesignated Wilderness Areas, adjacent
public and private lands, the National
Elk Refuge, and most of the Wind River
Indian Reservation (Lickfett 2012). This
area (see Figure 1) includes: 100 percent
of the portion of the GYA recovery area
within Wyoming (Service 1987, Figure
2); approximately 79 percent of the
Wyoming portion of the primary
analysis area used in the 1994
Environmental Impact Statement (areas
analyzed as potentially being impacted
by wolf recovery in the GYA) (Service
1994, Figure 1.1); the entire home range
for 24 of 27 breeding pairs (88 percent),
40 of 48 packs (83 percent), and 282 of
328 individual wolves (86 percent) in
the State at the end of 2011 (Service et
al. 2012, Tables 2, 4, Figure 3; Jimenez
2012a; Jimenez 2012, pers. comm.); and
approximately 81 percent of the State’s
suitable habitat (including over 81
percent of the high-quality habitat
(greater than 80 percent chance of
supporting wolves) and over 62 percent
of the medium-high-quality habitat (50
to 79 percent chance of supporting
wolves) (Oakleaf 2011; Mead 2012a)).
Although wolves will not persist in the
predator area, these protected and
managed portions of Wyoming are of
sufficient size to support a recovered
wolf population in Wyoming.
Genetic diversity is not a wolf
conservation issue in the NRM DPS at
this time and we do not expect it to
become one in the foreseeable future.
While the GYA is the most isolated core
recovery area within the NRM DPS,
genetic and dispersal data demonstrate
that minimal acceptable levels of
genetic exchange between all NRM
subpopulations were met or exceeded
while the species was listed. While
State management will almost certainly
reduce genetic exchange rates from
recent levels (which appear to exceed
minimal acceptable levels of genetic
exchange), we find it extremely unlikely
that it will be reduced to the point that
the GYA wolf population will be
threatened by lower genetic diversity in
the foreseeable future. Overall, the best
scientific and commercial information
available indicates that this issue is
unlikely to undermine the Wyoming,
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the GYA, or the NRM gray wolf
population’s recovered status and that
this issue, singularly or in combination
with other factors, is unlikely to cause
the population to become an
endangered species within the
foreseeable future throughout all or a
significant portion of its range.
We considered all potential threats
individually and cumulatively,
including all sources of mortality,
currently facing the species and those
reasonably likely to affect the species in
the foreseeable future throughout
Wyoming and the GYA. Collectively,
the available information indicates that
wolves in Wyoming, the GYA, and the
NRM DPS are recovered, likely to
remain recovered, and unlikely to again
become threatened with extinction
within the foreseeable future. Thus, in
accordance with 50 CFR 424.11(d), we
are delisting wolves in Wyoming. This
rulemaking is separate and independent
from, but additive to, the previous
action delisting wolves in the remainder
of the NRM DPS (all of Idaho, all of
Montana, eastern Oregon, eastern
Washington, and north-central Utah) (74
FR 15123, April 2, 2009; 76 FR 25590,
May 5, 2011).
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Significant Portion of the Range
Analysis
Having determined that gray wolf in
Wyoming does not meet the definition
of endangered or threatened throughout
its range, we must next consider
whether there are any significant
portions of its range that are in danger
of extinction or likely to become
endangered. The Act defines
‘‘endangered species’’ as any species
which is ‘‘in danger of extinction
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range,’’ and ‘‘threatened species’’ as
any species which is ‘‘likely to become
an endangered species within the
foreseeable future throughout all or a
significant portion of its range.’’ The
definition of ‘‘species’’ is also relevant
to this discussion. The Act defines the
term ‘‘species’’ as follows: ‘‘The term
‘species’ includes any subspecies of fish
or wildlife or plants, and any distinct
population segment [DPS] of any
species of vertebrate fish or wildlife
which interbreeds when mature.’’ The
phrase ‘‘significant portion of its range’’
(SPR) is not defined by the statute, and
we have not addressed it in our
regulations including: (1) The
consequences of a determination that a
species is either endangered or likely to
become so throughout a significant
portion of its range, but not throughout
all of its range; or (2) what qualifies a
portion of a range as ‘‘significant.’’
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Two recent district court decisions
have addressed whether the SPR
language allows the Service to list or
protect less than all members of a
defined ‘‘species’’: Defenders of Wildlife
v. Salazar, 729 F. Supp. 2d 1207 (D.
Mont. 2010), concerning the Service’s
delisting of the NRM gray wolf (74 FR
15123, Apr. 12, 2009); and WildEarth
Guardians v. Salazar, 2010 U.S. Dist.
LEXIS 105253 (D. Ariz. Sept. 30, 2010),
concerning the Service’s 2008 finding
on a petition to list the Gunnison’s
prairie dog (73 FR 6660, Feb. 5, 2008).
The Service had asserted in both of
these determinations that it had
authority, in effect, to protect only some
members of a ‘‘species,’’ as defined by
the Act (i.e., species, subspecies, or
DPS), under the Act. Both courts ruled
that the determinations were arbitrary
and capricious on the grounds that this
approach violated the plain and
unambiguous language of the Act. The
courts concluded that reading the SPR
language to allow protecting only a
portion of a species’ range is
inconsistent with the Act’s definition of
‘‘species.’’ The courts concluded that
once a determination is made that a
species (i.e., species, subspecies, or
DPS) meets the definition of
‘‘endangered species’’ or ‘‘threatened
species,’’ it must be placed on the list
in its entirety and the Act’s protections
applied to all members of that species
(subject to modification of protections
through special rules under sections
4(d) and 10(j) of the Act).
Consistent with that interpretation,
and for the purposes of this finding, we
interpret the phrase ‘‘significant portion
of its range’’ in the Act’s definitions of
‘‘endangered species’’ and ‘‘threatened
species’’ to provide an independent
basis for listing; thus there are two
situations (or factual bases) under which
a species would qualify for listing: a
species may be endangered or
threatened throughout all of its range; or
a species may be endangered or
threatened in only a significant portion
of its range. If a species is in danger of
extinction throughout a SPR, then, the
entire species is an ‘‘endangered
species.’’ The same analysis applies to
‘‘threatened species.’’ Therefore, the
consequence of finding that a species is
endangered or threatened in a
significant portion of its range is that the
entire species shall be listed as
endangered or threatened, respectively,
and the Act’s protections shall be
applied across the species’ entire range.
We conclude, for the purposes of this
finding, that interpreting the SPR phrase
as providing an independent basis for
listing is the best interpretation of the
Act because it is consistent with the
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purposes and the plain meaning of the
key definitions of the Act; it does not
conflict with established past agency
practice (i.e., prior to the 2007
Solicitor’s Opinion), because no
consistent, long term agency practice
has been established; and it is consistent
with the judicial opinions that have
most closely examined this issue.
Having concluded that the phrase
‘‘significant portion of its range’’
provides an independent basis for
listing and protecting the entire species,
we next turn to the meaning of
‘‘significant’’ to determine the threshold
for when such an independent basis for
listing exists.
Although there are potentially many
ways to determine whether a portion of
a species’ range is ‘‘significant,’’ we
conclude, for the purposes of this
finding, that the significance of the
portion of the range should be
determined based on its biological
contribution to the conservation of the
species. For this reason, we describe the
threshold for ‘‘significant’’ in terms of
an increase in the risk of extinction for
the species. We conclude that a
biologically based definition of
‘‘significant’’ best conforms to the
purposes of the Act, is consistent with
judicial interpretations, and best
ensures species’ conservation. Thus, for
the purposes of this finding, a portion
of the range of a species is ‘‘significant’’
if its contribution to the viability of the
species is so important that, without
that portion, the species would be in
danger of extinction.
We evaluate biological significance
based on the principles of conservation
biology using the concepts of
redundancy, resiliency, and
representation. Resiliency describes the
characteristics of a species that allow it
to recover from periodic disturbance.
Redundancy (having multiple
populations distributed across the
landscape) may be needed to provide a
margin of safety for the species to
withstand catastrophic events.
Representation (the range of variation
found in a species) ensures that the
species’ adaptive capabilities are
conserved. Redundancy, resiliency, and
representation are not independent of
each other, and some characteristic of a
species or area may contribute to all
three. For example, distribution across a
wide variety of habitats is an indicator
of representation, but it may also
indicate a broad geographic distribution
contributing to redundancy (decreasing
the chance that any one event affects the
entire species) and the likelihood that
some habitat types are less susceptible
to certain threats, contributing to
resiliency (the ability of the species to
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recover from disturbance). None of these
concepts is intended to be mutually
exclusive, and a portion of a species’
range may be determined to be
‘‘significant’’ due to its contributions
under any one of these concepts.
For the purposes of this finding, we
determine if a portion’s biological
contribution is so important that the
portion qualifies as ‘‘significant’’ by
asking whether, without that portion,
the representation, redundancy, or
resiliency of the species would be so
impaired that the species would have an
increased vulnerability to threats to the
point that the overall species would be
in danger of extinction (i.e., would be
‘‘endangered’’). Conversely, we would
not consider the portion of the range at
issue to be ‘‘significant’’ if there is
sufficient resiliency, redundancy, and
representation elsewhere in the species’
range that the species would not be in
danger of extinction throughout its
range if the population in that portion
of the range in question became
extirpated (extinct locally).
We recognize that this definition of
‘‘significant’’ establishes a threshold
that is relatively high. On the one hand,
given that the consequences of finding
a species to be endangered or threatened
in an SPR would be listing the species
throughout its entire range, it is
important to use a threshold for
‘‘significant’’ that is robust. It would not
be meaningful or appropriate to
establish a very low threshold whereby
a portion of the range can be considered
‘‘significant’’ even if only a negligible
increase in extinction risk would result
from its loss. Because nearly any portion
of a species’ range can be said to
contribute some increment to a species’
viability, use of such a low threshold
would require us to impose restrictions
and expend conservation resources
disproportionately to conservation
benefit: Listing would be rangewide,
even if only a portion of the range of
minor conservation importance to the
species is imperiled. On the other hand,
it would be inappropriate to establish a
threshold for ‘‘significant’’ that is too
high. This would be the case if the
standard were, for example, that a
portion of the range can be considered
‘‘significant’’ only if threats in that
portion result in the entire species being
currently endangered or threatened.
Such a high bar would not give the SPR
phrase independent meaning, as the
Ninth Circuit held in Defenders of
Wildlife v. Norton, 258 F.3d 1136 (9th
Cir. 2001).
The definition of ‘‘significant’’ used in
this finding carefully balances these
concerns. By setting a relatively high
threshold, we minimize the degree to
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which restrictions will be imposed or
resources expended that do not
contribute substantially to species’
conservation. But we have not set the
threshold so high that the phrase ‘‘in a
significant portion of its range’’ loses
independent meaning. Specifically, we
have not set the threshold as high as it
was under the interpretation presented
by the Service in the Defenders
litigation. Under that interpretation, the
portion of the range would have to be
so important that current imperilment
there would mean that the species
would be currently imperiled
everywhere. Under the definition of
‘‘significant’’ used in this finding, the
portion of the range need not rise to
such an exceptionally high level of
biological significance. (We recognize
that if the species is imperiled in a
portion that rises to that level of
biological significance, then we should
conclude that the species is in fact
imperiled throughout all of its range,
and that we would not need to rely on
the SPR language for such a listing.)
Rather, under this interpretation we ask
whether the species would be
endangered everywhere without that
portion, i.e., if that portion were
completely extirpated. In other words,
the portion of the range need not be so
important that even being in danger of
extinction in that portion would be
sufficient to cause the remainder of the
range to be endangered; rather, the
complete extirpation (in a hypothetical
future) of the species in that portion
would be required to cause the
remainder of the range to be
endangered.
The range of a species can
theoretically be divided into portions in
an infinite number of ways. However,
there is no purpose to analyzing
portions of the range that have no
reasonable potential to be significant
and threatened or endangered. To
identify only those portions that warrant
further consideration, we determine
whether there is substantial information
indicating that: (1) The portions may be
‘‘significant,’’ and (2) the species may be
in danger of extinction there or likely to
become so within the foreseeable future.
Depending on the biology of the species,
its range, and the threats it faces, it
might be more efficient for us to address
the significance question first or the
status question first. Thus, if we
determine that a portion of the range is
not ‘‘significant,’’ we do not need to
determine whether the species is
endangered or threatened there; if we
determine that the species is not
endangered or threatened in a portion of
its range, we do not need to determine
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if that portion is ‘‘significant.’’ In
practice, a key part of the portion status
analysis is whether the threats are
geographically concentrated in some
way. If the threats to the species are
essentially uniform throughout its
range, no portion is likely to warrant
further consideration. Moreover, if any
concentration of threats applies only to
portions of the species’ range that
clearly would not meet the biologically
based definition of ‘‘significant,’’ such
portions will not warrant further
consideration.
In this case, we have already
determined wolves are not threatened or
endangered in areas including protected
and game portions of the State.
Therefore, this analysis only evaluates
whether the portions of Wyoming where
wolves are treated as predators
constitute a threatened or endangered
significant portion of the range of
wolves in Wyoming, the GYA, or the
NRM DPS.
When analyzing the significance of
the predator area to wolf conservation,
it is important to understand the role, or
lack thereof, that the predator area plays
in the conservation of the species.
Wyoming’s predator area was not
envisioned to meaningfully contribute
to wolf recovery in the region (in fact,
the predator area contains zero percent
of the original recovery zone) as it has
very little suitable habitat (∼19 percent
of the State’s suitable habitat). Today,
even with the protections of the Act,
very few wolves, packs, and breeding
pairs occupy the predator area (3 of 27
breeding pairs, 8 of 48 packs, and 46 of
328 individual wolves in Wyoming at
the end of 2011). If all of the wolves,
packs, and breeding pairs that occupy
the predator area were extirpated, the
remainder of the Wyoming, the GYA, or
the NRM wolf population would not
become endangered. This determination
is based on our conclusion that the
protected and game portions of the State
are of sufficient size and contain enough
suitable habitat to support and maintain
a recovered wolf population in
Wyoming over the long term, given the
expected management strategy for this
area, without any survival in the
predator area. While some wolves that
primarily occupy the Trophy Area will
be killed when traveling into the
predator area, total mortality from such
events is expected to be minimal, would
not compromise the population’s
recovered status, and would not cause
the remainder of the range to become
endangered. Furthermore, while wolf
mortality in the predator area could
affect successful migration between
subpopulations, such mortality: (1) Is
expected to be opportunistic and
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minimal, and (2) is not expected to
affect genetic factors to the point that it
could cause the remainder of the range
to become endangered. In short, even if
no wolves survived in, or successfully
traversed, the predator area, the NRM
DPS as well as wolves in Wyoming and
the GYA would not become endangered.
All of these issues are discussed in more
detail above.
Based on this information and
analysis, we conclude that the predator
portion of Wyoming does not represent
‘‘a significant portion of range.’’
Post-Delisting Monitoring
Section 4(g)(1) of the Act requires us
to implement a system in cooperation
with the States, to monitor for at least
5 years the status of all species that have
recovered and been removed from the
Lists of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife and Plants (50 CFR 17.11 and
17.12). The primary goal of postdelisting monitoring is to ensure that
the recovered species does not
deteriorate, and if an unanticipated
decline is detected, to take measures to
halt the decline to avoid relisting the
species as threatened or endangered. If
relisting is ever warranted, as directed
by section 4(g)(2) of the Act, we will
make prompt use of the Act’s emergency
listing provisions if we determine the
wolf faces a significant risk to its wellbeing.
Wolves have been monitored in the
NRM DPS for over 20 years. The NRM
region was intensively monitored for
wolves even before wolves were
documented in Montana in the mid1980s (Weaver 1978; Ream and Mattson
1982, pp. 379–381; Kaminski and
Hansen 1984, p. v). Numerous Federal,
State, and Tribal agencies, universities,
and special interest groups assisted in
those various efforts. Since 1979, wolves
have been monitored using standard
techniques including collecting,
evaluating, and following up on
suspected observations of wolves or
wolf signs by natural resource agencies
or the public; howling or snow tracking
surveys conducted by the Service,
cooperators, volunteers, and interested
special interest groups; and by
capturing, radio-collaring, and
monitoring wolves. We only treat
wolves and wolf packs as confirmed
when Federal, State, or Tribal agency
verification is made by field staff that
can reliably identify wolves and wolf
signs.
At the end of the year, we compile
agency-confirmed wolf observations to
estimate the minimum number of and
location of adult wolves and pups that
were likely alive on December 31 of that
year. These data are then summarized
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by packs to indicate minimum
population size, approximate
composition, and minimum
distribution. This level of wildlife
monitoring is intensive and provides
relatively accurate minimum estimates
of wolf population distribution and
structure (Service et al. 2012, Table 1–
4, Figure 1–4). The Service Annual
Reports have documented all aspects of
the wolf management program
including staffing and funding, legal
issues, population monitoring, livestock
conflicts, control to reduce livestock
and pet damage, research (predator/prey
interactions, livestock/wolf conflict
prevention, disease and health
monitoring, publications, etc.) and
public outreach.
In Wyoming after delisting, the
WGFD, the National Park Service, the
Service, and the Shoshone and
Arapahoe Tribal Fish and Game
Department will each monitor wolf
populations in areas under their
respective jurisdiction and share
information as appropriate. These
agencies will monitor breeding pairs
and total number of wolves in Wyoming
in order to document their minimum
number, distribution, reproduction, and
mortality. These agencies will continue
to use the monitoring techniques and
strategies that have been used to
estimate the NRM wolf population for
more than 20 years, but may modify
these techniques through time as new
knowledge becomes available and as the
parties responsible for monitoring gain
additional experience at wolf
management and conservation.
Information from these partners will be
published by WGFD in an annual wolf
report. Similar reports have been
published annually since 1989 by the
Service and our partners (Service et al.
1989–2012, entire).
For the post-delisting monitoring
period, the best source of that
information will be the State’s annual
report or other wolf reports and
publications. We intend to post the
annual State wolf reports on our Web
site (https://www.fws.gov/mountainprairie/species/mammals/wolf/) by
around April of each following year. We
also intend to annually publish an
assessment of the status of the wolf
population in the NRM DPS during the
post-delisting monitoring period. This
assessment will consider the minimum
numbers of packs, breeding pairs, and
total numbers of wolves in mid-winter
by State and by recovery area as well as
any changes in threats. This information
will inform whether a formal status
review is necessary.
Specifically, the following scenarios
will lead us to initiate a formal status
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Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4700
55603
review to determine if relisting is
warranted:
(1) If the wolf population falls below
the minimum recovery level of 10
breeding pairs or 100 wolves in
Wyoming statewide (including YNP and
the Wind River Indian Reservation) at
the end of any 1 year;
(2) If the wolf population segment in
Wyoming excluding YNP and the Wind
River Indian Reservation falls below 10
breeding pairs or 100 wolves at the end
of the year for 3 consecutive years;
(3) If the wolf population in Wyoming
falls below 15 breeding pairs or 150
wolves, including YNP and the Wind
River Indian Reservation, for 3
consecutive years; or
(4) If a change in State law or
management objectives would
significantly increase the threat to the
wolf population.
As discussed above in Issue and
Response #49, we will also conduct a
status review if the above standards are
routinely not achieved—an outcome we
do not anticipate.
Status review or relisting decisions
will be based on the best scientific and
commercial data available. If a formal
status review is triggered during the
post-delisting monitoring period by
these triggers or the triggers noted for
the remainder of the DPS in our 2009
delisting rule (74 FR 15123, April 2,
2009), the review will evaluate the
status of the entire NRM DPS to
determine if relisting is warranted. In
the unlikely event such a review is ever
necessary, the review would attempt to
identify why a particular area is not
meeting its population objectives. For
example, if the wolf population in
Wyoming falls below 15 breeding pairs
or 150 wolves including YNP and the
Wind River Indian Reservation for 3
consecutive years when the Wyoming
wolf population under State jurisdiction
is at least 10 breeding pairs and at least
100 wolves, the status review would
focus on factors affecting wolves in YNP
and the Wind River Indian Reservation.
Adaptive management strategies may be
recommended in this review.
All such reviews will be made
available for public review and
comment, including peer review by
select species experts. If relisting is ever
warranted, as directed by section 4(g)(2)
of the Act, we will make prompt use of
the Act’s emergency listing provisions if
necessary to prevent a significant risk to
the well-being of the NRM DPS.
Additionally, if any of these scenarios
occur during the mandatory postdelisting monitoring period of at least 5
years, the post-delisting monitoring
period will be extended 5 additional
years from that point.
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Federal Register / Vol. 77, No. 175 / Monday, September 10, 2012 / Rules and Regulations
Effects of the Rule
Once effective, this rule will remove
the protections of the Act for all gray
wolves in Wyoming. This rulemaking is
separate and independent from, but
additive to, the previous action delisting
wolves in the remainder of the NRM
DPS (all of Idaho, all of Montana,
eastern Oregon, eastern Washington,
and north-central Utah) (74 FR 15123,
April 2, 2009; 76 FR 25590, May 5,
2011). Additionally, once effective, this
rule will remove the special regulations
under section 10(j) of the Act
designating Wyoming as a nonessential
experimental population area for gray
wolves. These regulations currently are
found at 50 CFR 17.84(i) and 17.84(n).
We are making this rule effective less
than 30 days after the date of
publication. As stated above, this rule
removes protective regulations
pertaining to gray wolves in Wyoming.
Therefore, this rule is ‘‘a substantive
rule which * * * relieves a restriction.’’
As set forth in 5 U.S.C. 553(d)(1), such
a rule may be made effective less than
30 days after its publication date.
mstockstill on DSK4VPTVN1PROD with RULES2
Required Determinations
Paperwork Reduction Act
The OMB regulations at 5 CFR 1320
implement provisions of the Paperwork
Reduction Act (44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.).
The OMB regulations at 5 CFR 1320.3(c)
define a collection of information as the
obtaining of information by or for an
agency by means of identical questions
posed to, or identical reporting,
recordkeeping, or disclosure
requirements imposed on, 10 or more
persons. Furthermore, 5 CFR
1320.3(c)(4) specifies that ‘‘ten or more
persons’’ refers to the persons to whom
a collection of information is addressed
by the agency within any 12-month
period. For purposes of this definition,
employees of the Federal Government
are not included. We may not conduct
or sponsor and you are not required to
respond to, a collection of information
unless it displays a currently valid OMB
control number.
This rule does not contain any
collections of information that require
approval by OMB under the Paperwork
Reduction Act. As described under the
Post-Delisting Monitoring section above,
gray wolves in Wyoming will be
monitored by WGFD, Sovereign Tribal
Nations in Wyoming, the National Park
Service, and the Service. We do not
anticipate a need to request data or
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other information from 10 or more
persons during any 12-month period to
satisfy monitoring information needs. If
it becomes necessary to collect
information from 10 or more nonFederal individuals, groups, or
organizations per year, we will first
obtain information collection approval
from the OMB.
National Environmental Policy Act
We have determined that an
Environmental Assessment or an
Environmental Impact Statement, as
defined under the authority of the
National Environmental Policy Act of
1969, need not be prepared in
connection with regulations adopted
pursuant to section 4(a) of the Act. We
published a notice outlining our reasons
for this determination in the Federal
Register on October 25, 1983 (48 FR
49244). This issue is also addressed
further in Issue and Response 5 above.
Executive Order 13211
Executive Order 13211 requires
agencies to prepare Statements of
Energy Effects when undertaking certain
actions. As this rule is not expected to
significantly affect energy supplies,
distribution, or use, this action is not a
significant energy action and no
Statement of Energy Effects is required.
Government-to-Government
Relationship With Tribes
In accordance with the President’s
memorandum of April 29, 1994,
Government-to-Government Relations
with Native American Tribal
Governments (59 FR 22951), Executive
Order 13175, and the Department of the
Interior’s manual at 512 DM 2, we
readily acknowledge our responsibility
to communicate meaningfully with
recognized Federal Tribes on a
government-to-government basis. In
accordance with Secretarial Order 3206
of June 5, 1997 (American Indian Tribal
Rights, Federal-Tribal Trust
responsibilities, and the Endangered
Species Act), we readily acknowledge
our responsibilities to work directly
with Tribes in developing programs for
healthy ecosystems, to acknowledge that
tribal lands are not subject to the same
controls as Federal public lands, to
remain sensitive to Indian culture, and
to make information available to Tribes.
We have coordinated with the affected
Tribes on this rule and earlier related
rules including offers to consult with
Native American Tribes and Native
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Fmt 4701
Sfmt 9990
American organizations in order to both
(1) provide them with a complete
understanding of the changes, and (2) to
understand their concerns with those
changes. If requested, we will conduct
additional consultations with Native
American Tribes and multi-tribal
organizations subsequent to this final
rule in order to facilitate the transition
to State and tribal management of
wolves within Wyoming.
References Cited
A complete list of references cited is
available: (1) On the Internet at https://
www.regulations.gov or https://
www.fws.gov/mountain-prairie/species/
mammals/wolf/ or (2) upon request
from the Denver Regional Office,
Ecological Services Office (see FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT above).
Authority
The authority for this action is the
Endangered Species Act of 1973, as
amended (16 U.S.C. 1531 et seq.).
List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and threatened species,
Exports, Imports, Reporting and
recordkeeping requirements,
Transportation.
Regulation Promulgation
Accordingly, we hereby amend part
17, subchapter B of chapter I, title 50 of
the Code of Federal Regulations, as
follows:
PART 17—ENDANGERED AND
THREATENED WILDLIFE AND PLANTS
1. The authority citation for part 17
continues to read as follows:
■
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1361–1407; 16 U.S.C.
1531–1544; 16 U.S.C. 4201–4245; Pub. L. 99–
625, 100 Stat. 3500; unless otherwise noted.
§ 17.11
[Amended]
2. Amend § 17.11(h) by removing the
entry for ‘‘Wolf, gray [Northern Rocky
Mountain DPS]’’ under MAMMALS in
the List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife.
■
§ 17.84
[Amended]
3. Amend § 17.84 by removing and
reserving paragraphs (i) and (n).
■
Dated: August 22, 2012.
Daniel M. Ashe,
Director, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.
[FR Doc. 2012–21988 Filed 8–31–12; 4:15 pm]
BILLING CODE 4310–55–P
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[Federal Register Volume 77, Number 175 (Monday, September 10, 2012)]
[Rules and Regulations]
[Pages 55529-55604]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2012-21988]
[[Page 55529]]
Vol. 77
Monday,
No. 175
September 10, 2012
Part II
Department of the Interior
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Fish and Wildlife Service
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50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Removal of the Gray Wolf
in Wyoming From the Federal List of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
and Removal of the Wyoming Wolf Population's Status as an Experimental
Population; Final Rule
Federal Register / Vol. 77 , No. 175 / Monday, September 10, 2012 /
Rules and Regulations
[[Page 55530]]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
[Docket No. FWS-R6-ES-2011-0039; FXES11130900000C6-123-FF09E30000]
RIN 1018-AX94
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Removal of the
Gray Wolf in Wyoming From the Federal List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife and Removal of the Wyoming Wolf Population's Status as an
Experimental Population
AGENCY: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Interior.
ACTION: Final rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: The best scientific and commercial data available indicate
that gray wolves (Canis lupus) in Wyoming are recovered and are no
longer in need of protection as part of an endangered or threatened
species under the Endangered Species Act of 1973, as amended (Act).
Therefore, we, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (Service), remove the
gray wolf in Wyoming from the Federal List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife. Wyoming's gray wolf population is stable, threats are
sufficiently minimized, and a post-delisting monitoring and management
framework has been developed. Therefore, this final rule returns
management for this species to the appropriate State, Tribal, or
Federal agencies; management in National Parks and National Wildlife
Refuges will continue to be guided by existing authorizing and
management legislation and regulations. Finally, this action makes
obsolete and removes the Yellowstone Experimental Population Area
established in 1994 to facilitate reintroductions.
DATES: This rule becomes effective on September 30, 2012.
ADDRESSES: This final rule, comments received, and additional
supporting information are available on the Internet at https://www.regulations.gov, Docket No. FWS-R6-ES-2011-0039. Additional
background information is also available online at https://www.fws.gov/mountain-prairie/species/mammals/wolf/. Comments and materials we
received, as well as supporting documentation we used in preparing this
rule are available for public inspection, by appointment, during normal
business hours at the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Mountain-Prairie
Region Office, Ecological Services Division, 134 Union Blvd., Lakewood,
CO 80228; telephone 303-236-7400. Persons who use a telecommunications
device for the deaf (TDD) may call the Federal Information Relay
Service (FIRS) at 800-877-8339.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Mountain-Prairie Region Office,
Ecological Services Division; telephone 303-236-7400. Direct all
questions or requests for additional information to: GRAY WOLF
QUESTIONS, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Mountain-Prairie Region
Office, Ecological Services Division, 134 Union Blvd., Lakewood, CO
80228. Individuals who are hearing-impaired or speech-impaired may call
the Federal Relay Service at 800-877-8337 for TTY assistance.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Table of Contents
Executive Summary
Background
--Delisting Wolves in Wyoming
--Previous Federal Actions
--Reengaging Wyoming and Changes to Its Wolf Management Plan
--Species Description and Basic Biology
--Recovery Planning and Implementation
[cir] Recovery Planning and the Development of Recovery Criteria
[cir] Monitoring and Managing Recovery
[cir] Recovery by State
[cir] Recovery by Recovery Area
[cir] Genetic Exchange Relative to our Recovery Criteria
[cir] Conclusion on Progress Towards our Recovery Goals
Summary of Comments and Recommendations
--Technical and Editorial Comments
--The Delisting Process and Compliance with Applicable Laws,
Regulations, and Policy
--Northern Rocky Mountain (NRM) Gray Wolf Recovery Goals
--The Geographic Scope of Recovery and the Impact of This
Decision on Range
--General Comments on Whether To Delist
--Human-Caused Mortality
--Gene Flow and Genetic Diversity
--Adequacy of Regulatory Mechanisms
--Public Attitudes Toward Wolves
--Other Potential Threat Factors
--Cumulative Impacts of Threats
--Post-Delisting Monitoring
--Positives and Negatives of Wolf Restoration
--Native American Tribal Considerations
Summary of Factors Affecting the Species
--Factor A. The Present or Threatened Destruction, Modification,
or Curtailment of Its Habitat or Range.
[cir] Suitable Habitat
[cir] Unoccupied Suitable Habitat
[cir] Currently Occupied Habitat
[cir] Potential Threats Affecting Habitat or Range
--Factor B. Overutilization for Commercial, Recreational,
Scientific, or Educational Purposes.
[cir] Commercial or Recreational Uses
[cir] Overutilization for Scientific or Educational Purposes
--Factor C. Disease or Predation.
[cir] Disease
[cir] Natural Predation
[cir] Human-caused Mortality
--Factor D. The Inadequacy of Existing Regulatory Mechanisms.
[cir] National Park Service
[cir] National Wildlife Refuges
[cir] Tribal Lands
[cir] Forest Service
[cir] State Regulatory Mechanisms
[cir] Environmental Protection Agency
--Factor E. Other Natural or Manmade Factors Affecting Its
Continued Existence.
[cir] Public Attitudes Toward the Gray Wolf
[cir] Genetic Considerations
[cir] Poison
[cir] Climate Change
[cir] Catastrophic Events
[cir] Impacts to Wolf Pack Social Structure as a Result of
Human-caused Mortality
Conclusion (Including Cumulative Impacts)
Significant Portion of the Range Analysis
Post-Delisting Monitoring
Effects of the Rule
Required Determinations
--Paperwork Reduction Act
--National Environmental Policy Act
--Executive Order 13211
--Government-to-Government Relationship With Tribes
References Cited
Authority
List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 17
Regulation Promulgation
Executive Summary
(1) Purpose of the Regulatory Action
This rulemaking is necessary to remove gray wolves (Canis lupus) in
Wyoming from the Federal List of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife.
Delisting is appropriate because gray wolves in Wyoming are recovered
and are no longer in need of protection as part of an endangered or
threatened species under the Endangered Species Act of 1973, as amended
(Act). Wyoming's gray wolf population is stable, threats are
sufficiently minimized, and a post-delisting monitoring and management
framework has been developed. This action also makes obsolete and
removes the Yellowstone Experimental Population Area established in
1994 to facilitate reintroductions.
(2) Major Provision of the Regulatory Action
This action is authorized by the Act. We are amending Sec.
17.11(h), subchapter B of chapter I, title 50 of the Code of Federal
Regulations by removing the entry for ``Wolf, gray [Northern Rocky
Mountain DPS]'' under MAMMALS in the List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife. We are also amending Sec. 17.84, subchapter B of chapter I,
title 50 of the Code of Federal Regulations by removing and reserving
both paragraphs
[[Page 55531]]
pertaining to experimental populations of ``Gray wolf (Canis lupus)'':
(i) and (n). In short, this action removes the gray wolf in Wyoming
from the Federal List of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and makes
obsolete and removes the Yellowstone Experimental Population Area
established in 1994 to facilitate reintroductions.
(3) Costs and Benefits
We have not analyzed the costs or benefits of this rulemaking
action because the Act precludes consideration of such impacts on
listing and delisting determinations. Instead, listing and delisting
decisions are based solely on the best scientific and commercial
information available regarding the status of the subject species.
Background
Delisting Wolves in Wyoming
This rulemaking is separate and independent from, but additive to,
the previous action delisting wolves in the Northern Rocky Mountain
(NRM) Distinct Population Segment (DPS) (74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009; 76
FR 25590, May 5, 2011). We conclude that this approach is appropriate
given the Congressional directive to reissue our 2009 delisting, which
created a remnant piece of the NRM DPS. This approach is also
consistent with our 2009 delisting determination, which stated that
``if Wyoming were to develop a Service-approved regulatory framework it
would be delisted in a separate rule'' (74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009, p.
15155). This rule is separate from prior actions to remove the other
portions of the NRM DPS from the List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife. Outside Wyoming, this rule will not affect the status of the
gray wolf in the portions of the NRM DPS under State laws or suspend
any other legal protections provided by State law.
Previous Federal Actions
In 1967, we determined the eastern timber wolf (C. l. lycaon) in
the Great Lakes region was threatened with extinction (32 FR 4001,
March 11, 1967). In 1973, we added the NRM gray wolf (C. l. irremotus)
to the U.S. List of Endangered Fish and Wildlife (38 FR 14678, June 4,
1973). Both of these listings were issued pursuant to the Endangered
Species Conservation Act of 1969. In 1974, these subspecies were listed
as endangered under the Act of 1973 (39 FR 1158, January 4, 1974). We
listed a third gray wolf subspecies, the Mexican wolf (C. l. baileyi)
as endangered on April 28, 1976, (41 FR 17736) in Mexico and the United
States Southwest. Later in 1976, we listed the Texas gray wolf
subspecies (C. l. monstrabilis) as endangered in Texas and Mexico (41
FR 24062, June 14, 1976).
Due to questions about the validity of subspecies classification at
the time and issues associated with the narrow geographic scope of each
subspecies, we published a rule reclassifying the gray wolf as
endangered at the species level (C. lupus) throughout the coterminous
48 States and Mexico (43 FR 9607, March 9, 1978). The exception was
Minnesota, where the gray wolf was reclassified to threatened. This
rule also provided assurance that this reclassification would not alter
our intention to focus recovery on each population as separate
entities. Accordingly, recovery plans were developed for: The Great
Lakes in 1978 (revised in 1992) (Service 1978, entire; Service 1992,
entire); the NRM region in 1980 (revised in 1987) (Service 1980,
entire; Service 1987, entire); and the Southwest in 1982 (Service 1982,
entire). A revision to the Southwest recovery plan is now under way.
In 1994, we established nonessential experimental gray wolf
populations under section 10(j) of the Act (50 CFR 17.84(i)), in
portions of Idaho, Montana, and all of Wyoming, including the
Yellowstone Experimental Population Area (59 FR 60252, November 22,
1994) and the Central Idaho Experimental Population Area (59 FR 60266,
November 22, 1994). These designations assisted us in initiating gray
wolf reintroductions in central Idaho and in Yellowstone National Park
(YNP). The Yellowstone Experimental Population Area included the entire
State of Wyoming. In 2005 and 2008, we revised these regulations to
provide increased management flexibility for this recovered wolf
population in States and on Tribal lands with Service-approved post-
delisting wolf management plans (70 FR 1286, January 6, 2005; 73 FR
4720, January 28, 2008; 50 CFR 17.84(n)).
The NRM gray wolf population achieved its numerical and
distributional recovery goals at the end of 2000 (Service et al. 2012,
Table 4). The temporal portion of the recovery goal was achieved in
2002 when the numerical and distributional recovery goals were exceeded
for the third successive year (Service et al. 2012, Table 4). In light
of this success, we once reclassified and twice delisted all or part of
this population (68 FR 15804, April 1, 2003; 73 FR 10514, February 27,
2008; 74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009). These reclassification and delisting
rules were overturned by U.S. District Courts (Defenders of Wildlife,
et al. v. Norton, et al., 354 F.Supp.2d 1156 (D. Or. 2005); National
Wildlife Federation, et al. v. Norton, et al., 386 F.Supp.2d 553 (D.
Vt. 2005); Defenders of Wildlife, et al. v. Hall, et al., 565 F.Supp.2d
1160 (D. Mont. 2008); Defenders of Wildlife, et al. v. Salazar, et al.,
729 F.Supp.2d 1207 (D. Mont. 2010). Each of these rulemakings and the
subsequent litigation are discussed below.
In 2003, we reclassified the coterminous 48-State listing into
three DPSs including a threatened Western DPS, a threatened Eastern
DPS, and an endangered Southwestern DPS (68 FR 15804, April 1, 2003).
The Western DPS, centered around the recovered NRM gray wolf
population, included California, northern Colorado, Idaho, Montana,
Oregon, northern Utah, Washington, and Wyoming. This rule also removed
the protections of the Act for gray wolves in all or parts of 16
southern and eastern States where the species historically did not
occur. Finally, this rule established a special 4(d) rule to respond to
wolf-human conflicts in areas not covered by existing nonessential
experimental population rules. In 2005, the U.S. District Courts in
Oregon and Vermont concluded that the 2003 final rule was ``arbitrary
and capricious'' and violated the Act (Defenders of Wildlife, et al. v.
Norton, et al., 354 F.Supp.2d 1156 (D. Or. 2005); National Wildlife
Federation, et al. v. Norton, et al., 386 F.Supp.2d 553 (D. Vt. 2005)).
Both courts ruled the Service improperly downlisted entire DPSs based
just on the viability of a core population. The courts' rulings
invalidated the April 2003 changes to the gray wolf listing under the
Act.
In 2003, we also published an advanced notice of proposed
rulemaking announcing our intention to delist the Western DPS as the
recovery goals had been satisfied (68 FR 15876, April 1, 2003). This
notice explained that delisting would require consideration of threats,
and that the adequacy of State wolf management plans to address threats
in the absence of protections of the Act would be a major determinant
in any future delisting evaluation.
In 2004, we determined that Montana's and Idaho's laws and wolf
management plans were adequate to assure that their shares of the NRM
wolf population would be maintained above recovery levels (Williams
2004a; Williams 2004b). However, we also found the 2003 Wyoming
legislation and plan were not adequate to maintain Wyoming's share of a
recovered NRM gray wolf population (Williams 2004c). Wyoming challenged
this
[[Page 55532]]
determination, and the United States District Court in Wyoming
dismissed the case (State of Wyoming, et al., v. United States
Department of Interior, et al., 360 F.Supp.2d 1214, (D. Wyoming 2005)).
Wyoming's subsequent appeal was unsuccessful (State of Wyoming, et al.
v. United States Department of Interior, et al., 442 F.Supp.3d 1262
(10th Cir. 2006)). This challenge was resolved on procedural grounds
because Wyoming failed to identify a final agency action necessary for
judicial review. In 2005, Wyoming petitioned us to revise the listing
status for the gray wolf by recognizing a NRM DPS and to remove it from
the Federal List of Endangered and Threatened Species (Freudenthal
2005, entire). In 2006, we announced a 12-month finding that Wyoming's
petition (delisting wolves in all of Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming) was
not warranted because the 2003 Wyoming State laws and its 2003 wolf
management plan did not provide adequate regulatory mechanisms to
maintain Wyoming's share of a recovered NRM wolf population (71 FR
43410, August 1, 2006). Wyoming challenged this finding in Wyoming
Federal District Court. This challenge was rendered moot by Wyoming's
revisions to its laws and management plan in 2007, which allowed
delisting to move forward. On February 27, 2008, a Wyoming Federal
District Court issued an order dismissing the case (State of Wyoming,
et al., v. United States Department of Interior, et al., U.S. District
Court Case No. 2:06-CV-00245).
In 2008, we issued a final rule recognizing the NRM DPS and
removing it from the List of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife (73 FR
10514, February 27, 2008). This DPS included Idaho, Montana, eastern
Oregon, north-central Utah, eastern Washington, and Wyoming. This DPS
was smaller than the 2003 Western DPS and more closely approximates the
historical range of the originally listed NRM gray wolf in the region
and the areas focused on in both NRM recovery plans (39 FR 1175 January
4, 1974; Service 1980, pp. 3, 7-8; Service 1987, pp. 2, 23). The
Service removed protections across the entire DPS after Wyoming revised
its wolf management plan and State law. At the time, we concluded this
Wyoming framework provided adequate regulatory protections to conserve
Wyoming's portion of a recovered wolf population into the foreseeable
future (Hall 2007).
Environmental litigants challenged this final rule in the U.S.
District Court for the District of Montana. The plaintiffs also moved
to preliminarily enjoin the delisting. On July 18, 2008, the court
granted the plaintiffs' motion for a preliminary injunction and
enjoined the Service's implementation of the final delisting rule
(Defenders of Wildlife, et al., v. Hall, et al., 565 F.Supp.2d 1160 (D.
Mont. 2008)). The court stated that we acted arbitrarily in delisting a
wolf population that lacked evidence of natural genetic exchange
between subpopulations. The court also stated that we acted arbitrarily
and capriciously when we approved Wyoming's 2007 wolf management plan
because the State failed to commit to managing for at least 15 breeding
pairs. In addition, the court concluded we acted arbitrarily in
approving Wyoming's 2007 post-delisting management framework that
contained a Wyoming statute allowing the Wyoming Game and Fish
Commission (WGFC) to diminish Wyoming's Wolf Trophy Game Management
Area (Trophy Area) if it ``determines the diminution does not impede
the delisting of gray wolves and will facilitate Wyoming's management
of wolves.'' In light of the court order, on September 22, 2008, we
asked the court to vacate the final rule and remand it to us. On
October 14, 2008, the court granted our request (Defenders of Wildlife
v. Hall, 9:08-CV-00056-DWM (D. Mont 2008)). The court's order
invalidated the February 2008 rule designating and delisting the NRM
DPS.
Following the July 18, 2008, court ruling, we reexamined the NRM
DPS and Wyoming's statutes, regulations, and management plan. This
reevaluation considered several issues not considered in the previous
evaluation. We determined that the best scientific and commercial data
available demonstrated that: (1) The NRM DPS was not threatened or
endangered throughout ``all'' of its range (i.e., not threatened or
endangered throughout all of the DPS); and (2) the Wyoming portion of
the range represented a significant portion of the range where the
species remained in danger of extinction because of the inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms. Thus, on April 2, 2009, we published a
final rule recognizing the NRM DPS and removing the DPS from the List
of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife, except in Wyoming, where wolves
continued to be regulated as a nonessential experimental population
under 50 CFR 17.84(i) and (n) (74 FR 15123). The decision to retain the
Act's protections only in Wyoming was consistent with a March 16, 2007,
Memorandum Opinion issued by the Solicitor of the Department of the
Interior, ``The Meaning of `In Danger of Extinction Throughout All or a
Significant Portion of Its Range' '' (M-Opinion) (Department of the
Interior 2007, entire). The final rule determined that Wyoming's
existing regulatory framework did not provide adequate regulatory
mechanisms to maintain Wyoming's share of a recovered NRM wolf
population if the protections of the Act were removed and stated that,
until Wyoming revised its statutes, regulations, and management plan,
and obtained Service approval, wolves in Wyoming would remain protected
by the Act (74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009).
The 2009 rule (74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009) was challenged in the
U.S. District Court for the District of Montana by environmental
litigants and in the U.S. District Court for the District of Wyoming by
the State of Wyoming, the Wyoming Wolf Coalition, and Park County,
Wyoming. On August 5, 2010, the U.S. District Court for Montana ruled
on the merits of the case and vacated our April 2009 final rule
(Defenders of Wildlife, et al., v. Salazar, et al., 729 F. Supp.2d 1207
(D. Mont. 2010)). The court concluded that the NRM DPS must be listed
or delisted in its entirety. The court rejected the rule's approach
allowing protection of only a portion of the species' range because it
was inconsistent with the Act's definition of ``species.'' Thus, before
delisting could occur, Wyoming had to develop a regulatory framework
that was determined by the Service to be adequate to maintain Wyoming's
share of a recovered NRM gray wolf population. The court's ruling
invalidated the 2009 rule designating and delisting most of the NRM
DPS.
On October 26, 2010, in compliance with the order of the U.S.
District Court for Montana, we published a final rule notifying the
public that the Federal protections in place prior to the 2009
delisting had been reinstated (75 FR 65574). Wolves in eastern
Washington, eastern Oregon, north-central Utah, the Idaho panhandle,
and northern Montana were again listed as endangered. Former special
rules designating the gray wolf in the remainder of Montana and Idaho
as nonessential experimental populations were likewise reinstated.
Additionally, the NRM gray wolf DPS established by the April 2, 2009,
final rule was set aside. Because wolves in Wyoming were not delisted
by the April 2, 2009, final rule, their listed status was not affected
by the October 26, 2010, rule.
Following the Montana District Court decision, the United States
Congress passed, and President Obama signed, H.R. 1473, Public Law 112-
10--The Department of Defense and Full Year
[[Page 55533]]
Continuing Appropriations Act of 2011 (hereafter referred to as the
2011 Appropriations Act). Section 1713 of the law directed the Service
to reissue its April 2009 delisting rule. The Service complied with the
Appropriations Act on May 5, 2011 (76 FR 25590). Thus, gray wolves in
Montana, Idaho, eastern Oregon, north-central Utah, and eastern
Washington were once again delisted. The constitutionality of section
1713 of the 2011 Appropriations Act was upheld in the Montana District
Court and the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals (Alliance for the Wild
Rockies et al., v. Salazar, et al., case no. CV 11-70-M-DWM; Alliance
for the Wild Rockies, et al., v. Salazar, et al., case no. 11-35670).
The Department of Interior withdrew the M-Opinion on this topic on May
4, 2011 (Department of the Interior 2011, entire).
As for the Wyoming challenge to the April 2009 partial delisting
rule (74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009), a United States District Court for
Wyoming ruled in favor of the Wyoming plaintiffs on November 18, 2010
(Wyoming et al., v. U.S. Department of the Interior, et al., 2010 U.S.
Dist. LEXIS 122829). The court rejected the Service's recommendation
that the entire State of Wyoming be designated as a Trophy Area, and
the court found this position to be arbitrary and capricious, because
it was not supported by the administrative record. The court stated
that the record indicated only northwestern Wyoming, which has the vast
majority of the State's suitable habitat, was biologically essential to
maintaining the NRM population. However, the court did not render an
opinion on whether Wyoming's current plan, including the size and
location of its 2007 Trophy Area, was sufficient. Instead, the court
remanded the matter to us to reconsider whether Wyoming's regulatory
framework would maintain its share of a recovered wolf population and
provide adequate genetic connectivity. Subsequent to this order, the
Service and the State reinitiated discussions on revisions to the
State's wolf management framework that would satisfy the standards of
the Act and allow delisting to again move forward. These discussions
led to an agreement and modification of the Wyoming wolf management
plan (WGFC 2011, entire).
On October 5, 2011, we proposed to remove the gray wolf in Wyoming
from the List of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife (76 FR 61782). This
proposal relied on Wyoming's 2011 wolf management plan (WGFC 2011,
entire) and noted that conforming changes to State law and regulations
would be required to allow Wyoming's plan to be implemented as written.
Following publication of the proposal, Wyoming revised its State
statutes and gray wolf management regulations (chapter 21) and
developed gray wolf hunting season regulations (chapter 47) and an
Addendum to the Wyoming Gray Wolf Management Plan. On May 1, 2012, we
reopened the public comment period on our October 5, 2011, proposal to
allow all interested parties an additional opportunity to comment on
the proposed rule in light of these documents (77 FR 25664, May 1,
2012).
Reengaging Wyoming and Changes to Its Wolf Management Plan
The 2009 rule stated that ``until Wyoming revises their statutes,
management plan, and associated regulations, and is again Service
approved, wolves in Wyoming continue to require the protections of the
Act'' (74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009). This rule specifically expressed
concern over: (1) The size and permanency of the Trophy Area; (2)
conflicting language within the State statutes concerning whether
Wyoming would manage for at least 15 breeding pairs and at least 150
wolves, exactly 15 breeding pairs and 150 wolves, or only 7 breeding
pairs and 70 wolves; and (3) liberal depredation control authorizations
and legislative mandates to aggressively manage the population down to
minimum levels.
In early 2011, we began discussions with Wyoming seeking to develop
a strategy to address each of these issues. In August 2011, the Service
and the State of Wyoming announced the framework of an agreement that
we conclude will maintain a recovered wolf population in Wyoming (WGFC
2011, appendix I). Since this agreement, Wyoming has incorporated these
changes into its regulatory framework. Below we summarize the key
points in the agreement relative to the three overarching Service
concerns highlighted above.
First, Wyoming made the existing Trophy Area permanent by
incorporating it into State statute. In total, Wyoming wolves will be
managed as game animals year-round or protected in about 38,500 square
kilometers (km\2\) (15,000 square miles (mi\2\)) in the northwestern
portion of the State (15.2 percent of Wyoming), including YNP, Grand
Teton National Park, John D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway,
adjacent U.S. Forest Service-designated Wilderness Areas, adjacent
public and private lands, the National Elk Refuge, and most of the Wind
River Indian Reservation (Lickfett 2012). This area of Wyoming contains
the majority of suitable wolf habitat within the State. Wolves will be
designated as predatory animals in the remainder of the State (predator
area). The above protected and permanent game areas (see Figure 1)
include: 100 percent of the portion of the Greater Yellowstone Area
(GYA) recovery area within Wyoming (Service 1987, Figure 2);
approximately 79 percent of the Wyoming portion of the primary analysis
area used in the 1994 Environmental Impact Statement on The
Reintroduction of Gray Wolves to YNP and Central Idaho (1994
Environmental Impact Statement) (areas analyzed as potentially being
impacted by wolf recovery in the GYA) (Service 1994, Figure 1.1); the
entire home range for 24 of 27 breeding pairs (88 percent), 40 of 48
packs (83 percent), and 282 of 328 individual wolves (86 percent) in
the State at the end of 2011 (Service et al. 2012, Tables 2, 4, Figure
3; Jimenez 2012a; Jimenez 2012, pers. comm.); and approximately 81
percent of the State's suitable habitat (including over 81 percent of
the high-quality habitat (greater than 80 percent chance of supporting
wolves) and over 62 percent of the medium-high-quality habitat (50 to
79 percent chance of supporting wolves) (Oakleaf 2011; Mead 2012a)).
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The State of Wyoming also addressed our prior concern that the size
of the Trophy Area would affect natural connectivity and genetic
exchange. State wolf management regulations (chapter 21(4)(a)(ii))
commit to managing wolves in Wyoming so that genetic diversity and
connectivity issues do not threaten the population. The State's wolf
management plan further clarifies a goal for gene flow of at least one
effective natural migrant per generation entering into the GYA, as
measured over multiple generations (WGFC 2011, pp. 4, 9, 26-29, 54). To
assist in this goal, a Wyoming statute provides for a seasonal
expansion of the Trophy Area approximately 80 kilometers (km) (50 miles
(mi)) south for 4 and a half months during peak wolf dispersal periods
(WGFC 2011, pp. 2, 8, 52). We conclude that this seasonal protection
will benefit natural dispersal. Furthermore, Wyoming commits to an
adaptive management approach that adjusts management if the above
minimum level of gene flow is not
[[Page 55535]]
documented (WGFC 2011, pp. 26-29; WGFC 2012, pp. 6-7). Finally,
translocation of wolves between subpopulations would be used as a last
resort, only if necessary to increase genetic interchange (WGFC 2012,
p. 7). These efforts would be coordinated with Montana and Idaho (WGFC
2012, p. 7).
Next, Wyoming agreed to maintain a population of at least 10
breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves in portions of Wyoming outside
YNP and the Wind River Indian Reservation (WGFC 2011, pp. 1-5, 16-26,
52). Importantly, this commitment does not reflect an intention by the
Wyoming Game and Fish Department (WGFD) to reduce the population down
to this minimum population level. Rather, Wyoming intends to maintain
an adequate buffer above minimum population objectives to accommodate
management needs and ensure uncontrollable sources of mortality do not
drop the population below this minimum population level (WGFC 2011, p.
24; WGFC 2012, pp. 3-5).
The wolf populations in YNP and on the lands of sovereign nations
will provide an additional buffer above the minimum recovery goal. From
2000 to the end of 2011 (the most recent official wolf population
estimates available), the wolf population in YNP ranged from 96 to 174
wolves, and between 6 to 16 breeding pairs. While a lower future
population level in YNP is predicted (between 50 to 100 wolves and 5 to
10 packs with 4 to 6 of these packs meeting the breeding pair
definition annually) (Smith 2012), YNP will always provide a secure
wolf population providing a safety margin above the minimum recovery
goal. The Wind River Indian Reservation typically contains a small
number of wolves (single digits), which sometimes form packs that count
toward Tribal population totals. On the whole, we expect the statewide
wolf population in Wyoming will be maintained well above minimum
recovery levels.
Another substantial improvement is Wyoming's management framework
inside the Trophy Area. For example, Wyoming removed statutory mandates
for aggressive management of wolves (WGFC 2011, pp. 24, 52). Previous
Wyoming law required aggressive management until the population outside
the National Parks fell to six breeding pairs or below. The Service was
concerned with Wyoming's previous State law, and it has been remedied.
Additionally, Wyoming agreed that wolves in the permanent Trophy
Area would not be treated as predatory animals (WGFC 2011, pp. 3, 16-
17, 23). Past State laws allowed depredating wolves within the Trophy
Area to be treated as predatory animals under certain circumstances at
the discretion of the State Game and Fish Commission (WGFC 2011, pp. 3,
16-17, 23). Wyoming modified W.S. 23-1-302(a)(ii) to ensure it does not
apply to wolves in the Trophy Area. This change is a substantial
improvement over current Wyoming law that will provide for a wolf
population in Wyoming (outside of YNP and the Wind River Indian
Reservation) that always maintains at least 10 breeding pairs and at
least 100 individuals.
Furthermore, Wyoming established defense-of-property regulations
that are similar to our nonessential experimental population rules (50
CFR 17.84(n)) (WGFC 2011, pp. 4, 22-23, 30-31, 53). Also, Wyoming's
management of depredating wolves will be similar to Service management
under the Act's protections (WGFC 2011, pp. 4, 22-23, 30-31, 53). Such
rules were in place in Montana and Idaho prior to delisting and allowed
continued population growth. These management approaches constitute an
additional improvement over the framework Wyoming had in place for most
of 2008.
These and other improvements discussed in more detail below have
addressed the Service's concerns about wolf management in Wyoming and
make this delisting rule possible. Appropriate changes have been
incorporated into State statute, State regulations, and the Wyoming
wolf management plan.
Species Description and Basic Biology
Gray wolves (Canis lupus) are the largest wild members of the dog
family (Canidae). Adult gray wolves range from 18-80 kilograms (kg)
(40-175 pounds (lb)) depending upon sex and geographic region (Mech
1974, p. 1). In the NRM region, adult male gray wolves average just
over 45 kg (100 lb), but may weigh up to 60 kg (130 lb). Females weigh
about 20 percent less than males. Wolves' fur color is frequently a
grizzled gray, but it can vary from pure white to coal black (Gipson et
al. 2002, p. 821).
Gray wolves have a circumpolar range including North America,
Europe, and Asia. As Europeans began settling the United States, they
poisoned, trapped, and shot wolves, causing this once-widespread
species to be eradicated from most of its range in the 48 conterminous
States (Mech 1970, pp. 31-34; McIntyre 1995, entire). Gray wolf
populations were eliminated from Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming, as well
as adjacent southwestern Canada by the 1930s (Young and Goldman 1944,
p. 414). Gray wolves continue to occur in large numbers in Canada and
Alaska and are now well connected to the restored NRM wolf populations
(Pletscher et al. 1991, pp. 547-548; Boyd and Pletscher 1999, pp. 1105-
1106; Committee on the Status of Endangered Wildlife in Canada 2001,
pp. iii, v-vi, 13, 21-22, 30-32, 38, 42, 44-46; Boitani 2003, p. 322;
Sime 2007; vonHoldt et al. 2010, p. 4412; Jimenez et al. In review, p.
1).
Wolves primarily prey on medium and large mammals. Wolf prey in the
NRM region is composed mainly of elk (Cervus canadensis), white tailed
deer (Odocoileus virginianus), mule deer (Odocoileus hemionus), moose
(Alces alces), and (in the GYA) bison (Bison bison). Bighorn sheep
(Ovis canadensis), mountain goats (Oreamnos americanus), and pronghorn
antelope (Antilocapra americana) also are common but less important
wolf prey, at least to date.
Wolves normally live in packs of 2 to 12 animals. In the NRM
region, pack sizes average 7 wolves but are slightly larger in
protected areas. A few complex packs have been substantially bigger in
some areas of YNP (Smith et al. 2006, p. 243; Service et al. 2012,
Tables 1-3). Packs typically occupy large territories from 518 to 1,295
km\2\ (200 to 500 mi\2\). Once a given area is occupied by resident
wolf packs, it becomes saturated and wolf numbers become regulated by
the amount of available prey, intraspecific conflict (wolf-on-wolf
conflict), other forms of mortality, and dispersal. Dispersing wolves
may cover large areas as they try to join other packs or attempt to
form their own pack in unoccupied habitat (Mech and Boitani 2003, pp.
11-17).
Typically, only one male and female in each pack breed and produce
pups (Packard 2003, p. 38; Smith et al. 2006, pp. 243-24; Service et
al. 2012, Tables 1-3). Females and males typically begin breeding as 2-
year-olds and may annually produce young until they are over 10 years
old. In the NRM region, litters are typically born in April and range
from 1 to 7 pups, but average around 5 pups (Service et al. 1989-2012,
Tables 1-3). Most years, 80 percent of pups survive until winter
(Service et al. 1989-2012, Tables 1-3). Wolves can live 13 years
(Holyan et al. 2005, p. 446), but the average lifespan in YNP is less
than 4 years (Smith et al. 2006, p. 245). Pup production and survival
can increase when wolf density is lower and food availability per wolf
increases (Fuller et al. 2003, p. 186). Pack social structure is very
adaptable and resilient. Breeding members can be quickly replaced
either from within or outside the pack, and pups can be reared by
another pack member, should
[[Page 55536]]
their parents die (Boyd and Jimenez 1994, entire; Packard 2003, p. 38;
Brainerd et al. 2008; Mech 2006, p. 1482). Consequently, wolf
populations can rapidly recover from severe disruptions, such as very
high levels of human-caused mortality or disease. Wolf populations have
been shown to increase rapidly if mortality is reduced after severe
declines (Fuller et al. 2003, pp. 181-183; Service et al. 2012, Table
4).
For detailed information on the biology of this species see the
``Biology and Ecology of Gray Wolves'' section of the April 1, 2003,
final rule to reclassify and remove the gray wolf from the list of
endangered and threatened wildlife in portions of the coterminous
United States (2003 Reclassification Rule) (68 FR 15804).
Recovery Planning and Implementation
This section includes a detailed discussion of the recovery
criteria including their development, continuous evaluation, and
revision as necessary. Additionally, this section includes our summary
of progress towards recovery including an assessment of whether the
criteria are met. This section discusses the entire NRM population
because the recovery criteria apply to the entire population.
Recovery Planning and the Development of Recovery Criteria--As
general background, recovery plans are not regulatory documents, but
are instead intended to provide guidance to the Service, States, and
other partners on methods of minimizing threats to listed species and
on criteria that may be used to determine when recovery is achieved.
There are many paths to accomplishing recovery of a species, and
recovery may be achieved without all criteria being fully met. For
example, one or more criteria may have been exceeded while other
criteria may not have been accomplished. In that instance, the Service
may judge that the threats have been minimized sufficiently, and the
species is robust enough to reclassify from endangered to threatened or
to delist. In other cases, recovery opportunities may have been
recognized that were not known at the time the recovery plan was
finalized. These opportunities may be used instead of methods
identified in the recovery plan. Likewise, information on the species
may become available that was not known at the time the recovery plan
was finalized. The new information may change the extent that criteria
need to be met for recognizing recovery of the species. Recovery of a
species is a dynamic process requiring adaptive management that may, or
may not, fully follow the guidance provided in a recovery plan.
For NRM gray wolves, we formed the Interagency Wolf Recovery Team
to complete a recovery plan for the NRM population shortly after it was
listed (Service 1980, p. i; Fritts et al. 1995, p. 111). The NRM Wolf
Recovery Plan (recovery plan) was approved in 1980 (Service 1980, p. i)
and revised in 1987 (Service 1987, p. i). The 1980 recovery plan's
objective was to reestablish and maintain viable populations of the NRM
wolf (C. l. irremotus) in its former range where feasible (Service
1980, p. iii). This plan did not include recovery goals (i.e.,
delisting criteria). The 1980 plan covered an area similar to the NRM
DPS, as it was once believed to be the range of the purported NRM wolf
subspecies. It recommended that recovery actions be focused on the
large areas of public land in northwestern Montana, central Idaho, and
the GYA. The 1987 revised recovery plan (Service 1987, p. 57) concluded
that the subspecies designations may no longer be valid and simply
referred to gray wolves in the NRM region. Consistent with the 1980
plan, it also recommended focusing recovery actions on the large blocks
of public land in the NRM region.
The 1987 plan specified recovery criteria of a minimum of 10
breeding pairs of wolves (defined as 2 wolves of opposite sex and
adequate age, capable of producing offspring) for a minimum of 3
successive years in each of 3 distinct recovery areas including: (1)
Northwestern Montana (Glacier National Park; the Great Bear, Bob
Marshall, and Lincoln Scapegoat Wilderness Areas; and adjacent public
and private lands); (2) central Idaho (Selway-Bitterroot, Gospel Hump,
Frank Church River of No Return, and Sawtooth Wilderness Areas; and
adjacent, mostly Federal, lands); and (3) the YNP area (including the
Absaroka-Beartooth, North Absaroka, Washakie, and Teton Wilderness
Areas; and adjacent public and private lands). That plan recommended
that wolf establishment not be promoted outside these distinct recovery
areas, but it encouraged connectivity between recovery areas. However,
no attempts were made to prevent wolf pack establishment outside of the
recovery areas unless chronic conflict required resolution (Service
1994, pp. 1-15, 16; Service 1999, p. 2). Since completion of the 1987
recovery plan, we have expended considerable effort to develop,
repeatedly reevaluate, and when necessary modify, the recovery goals
(Service 1987, p. 12; Service 1994, appendix 8 and 9; Fritts and Carbyn
1995, p. 26; Bangs 2002, p. 1).
The 1994 Environmental Impact Statement reviewed the wolf recovery
standards in the NRM region and the adequacy of the recovery goals to
assure that the 1987 goals were sufficient (Service 1994, pp. 6:68-78).
We were particularly concerned about the 1987 definition of a breeding
pair because it included two adult wolves `capable' of producing
offspring instead of two adult wolves that had actually produced
offspring. We also believed the relatively small recovery areas
identified in the 1987 plan greatly reduced the amount of area that
could be used by wolves and would almost certainly eliminate the
opportunity for meaningful natural demographic and genetic
connectivity. We conducted a thorough literature review of wolf
population viability analysis and minimum viable populations, reviewed
the recovery goals for other wolf populations, surveyed the opinions of
the top 43 wolf experts in North America (of which 25 responded), and
incorporated our own expertise into a review of the NRM wolf recovery
goal. We published our analysis in the 1994 Environmental Impact
Statement and a peer-reviewed paper (Service 1994, appendix 8 & 9;
Fritts and Carbyn 1995, pp. 26-38).
Our 1994 analysis concluded that the 1987 recovery goal was, at
best, a minimum recovery goal, and that modifications were warranted on
the basis of more recent information about wolf distribution,
connectivity, and numbers. We also concluded, ``Data on survival of
actual wolf populations suggest greater resiliency than indicated by
theory,'' and theoretical treatments of population viability ``have
created unnecessary dilemmas for wolf recovery programs by overstating
the required population size'' (Fritts and Carbyn 1995, p. 26). Based
on our analysis, we redefined a breeding pair as an adult male and an
adult female wolf that have produced at least two pups that survived
until December 31 of the year of their birth, during the previous
breeding season. We also concluded that ``Thirty or more breeding pairs
comprising some 300+ wolves in a metapopulation (a population that
exists as partially isolated sets of subpopulations) with genetic
exchange between subpopulations should have a high probability of long
term persistence'' because it would contain enough individuals in
successfully reproducing packs that were distributed over distinct but
somewhat connected large areas, to be viable for the long term (Service
1994, p. 6:75). We explicitly
[[Page 55537]]
stated that the required genetic exchange could occur by natural means
or by human-assisted migration management and that dispersal of wolves
between recovery areas was evidence of that genetic exchange (Service
et al. 1994, appendix 8, 9). In defining a ``Recovered Wolf
Population,'' we found ``in the northern Rockies a recovered wolf
population is 10 breeding pairs of wolves in each of 3 areas for 3
successive years with some level of movement between areas'' (Service
1994, pp. 6-7). We further determined that a metapopulation of this
size and distribution among the three areas of core suitable habitat in
the NRM DPS would result in a wolf population that would fully achieve
our recovery objectives.
For more than 15 years, we have concluded that movement of
individuals between the metapopulation segments could occur either
naturally or by human-assisted migration management (Service 1994, pp.
7-67). Specifically, the 1994 Environmental Impact Statement stated
``The importance of movement of individuals between subpopulations
cannot be overemphasized. The dispersal ability of wolves makes such
movement likely, unless wolves were heavily exploited between recovery
areas, as could happen in the more developed corridor between central
Idaho and YNP. Intensive migration management might become necessary if
1 of the 3 subpopulations should develop genetic or demographic
problems'' (Service 1994, pp. 7-67). The finding went on to say that
human-assisted migration should not be viewed negatively and would be
necessary in other wolf recovery programs (Service 1994, pp. 7-67).
Furthermore, we found that the 1987 wolf recovery plan's population
goal of 10 breeding pairs of wolves in 3 separate recovery areas for 3
consecutive years was reasonably sound and would maintain a viable wolf
population into the foreseeable future. We did caution that the
numerical recovery goal was somewhat conservative, and should be
considered minimal (Service 1994, pp. 6-75).
We conducted another review of what constitutes a recovered wolf
population in late 2001 and early 2002 to reevaluate and update our
1994 analysis and conclusions (Service 1994, appendix 9). We attempted
to resurvey the same 43 experts we had contacted in 1994 as well as 43
other biologists from North America and Europe who were recognized
experts about wolves and conservation biology. We asked experts with a
wide diversity of perspectives to participate in our review. In total,
53 people provided their expert opinions regarding a wide range of
issues related to the NRM recovery goal. We also reviewed a wide range
of literature, including wolf population viability analyses from other
areas (Bangs 2002, pp. 1-9).
Despite varied professional opinions and a great diversity of
suggestions, experts overwhelmingly thought the recovery goal derived
in our 1994 analysis was more biologically appropriate than the 1987
recovery plan's criteria for recovery and represented a viable and
recovered wolf population. Reviewers also thought genetic exchange,
either natural or human-facilitated, was important to maintaining the
metapopulation configuration and wolf population viability. Reviewers
also believed the proven ability of a breeding pair to show successful
reproduction was a necessary component of a biologically meaningful
breeding pair definition. Reviewers recommended other concepts/numbers
for recovery goals, but most were slight modifications to those we
recommended in our 1994 analysis. While experts strongly (78 percent)
supported our 1994 conclusions regarding a viable wolf population, they
also tended to believe that wolf population viability was enhanced by
higher, rather than lower, population levels and longer, rather than
shorter, demonstrated timeframes. A common minority recommendation was
an alternative goal of 500 wolves and 5 years. A slight majority of
reviewers indicated that even the 1987 recovery goal of only 10
breeding pairs (defined as a male and female capable of breeding) in
each of 3 distinct recovery areas may be viable, given the persistence
of other small wolf populations in other parts of the world. Based on
the above review and considering all available information, we
reaffirmed our more relevant and stringent 1994 definition of wolf
breeding pairs, population viability, and recovery (Service 1994, p.
6:75; Bangs 2002, pp. 1-9).
We measure the wolf recovery goal by the number of breeding pairs
as well as by the number of wolves because wolf populations are
maintained by packs that successfully raise pups. We use ``breeding
pairs'' (packs that have at least one adult male and at least one adult
female and that raised at least two pups until December 31) to describe
successfully reproducing packs (Service 1994, p. 6:67; Bangs 2002, pp.
7-8; Mitchell et al. 2008, p. 881; Mitchell et al. 2010, p. 101). The
breeding pair metric includes most of the important biological concepts
in wolf conservation, including the potential disruption of human-
caused mortality that might affect breeding success in social
carnivores (Brainerd et al. 2008, p. 89; Wallach et al. 2009, p. 1;
Creel and Rotella 2010, p. 1). Specifically, we thought it was
important for breeding pairs to have: Both male and female members
together going into the February breeding season; successful occupation
of a territory (generally 500-1,300 km\2\ (200-500 mi\2\)); enough pups
to replace themselves; offspring that become yearling dispersers; at
least four wolves at the end of the year, which is near the population
low point (note that the absolute low point occurs in April just before
pups are born); all social structures and age classes represented
within a wolf population; and adults that can raise and mentor younger
wolves.
We also determined that an equitable distribution of wolf breeding
pairs and individual wolves among the three States and the three
recovery areas is an essential part of achieving recovery. Like peer
reviewers in 1994 and 2002, we concluded that NRM wolf recovery and
long term wolf population viability is dependent on its distribution as
well as maintaining the minimum numbers of breeding pairs and wolves.
Uniform distribution is not necessary. But a well-distributed
population is necessary to maintain proportionate numbers of packs and
individuals in all three recovery areas. This approach will maintain
wolf distribution in and adjacent to all three recovery areas and most
of the region's suitable habitat. Such an approach will retain sizable
subpopulations within easily traversable distances from one another
and, thus, facilitate natural connectivity.
Following the 2002 review of our recovery criteria, we began to use
States, in addition to recovery areas, to measure progress toward
recovery goals (Service et al. 2003-2012, Table 4). Because Montana,
Idaho, and Wyoming each contain the vast majority of one of the
original three core recovery areas, we determined the metapopulation
structure would be best conserved by equally dividing the overall
recovery goal between the three States (73 FR 10514, February 27, 2008,
p. 10522). This approach made each State's responsibility for wolf
conservation fair, consistent, and clear. It avoided any possible
confusion that one State might assume the responsibility for
maintaining the required number of wolves and wolf breeding pairs in a
shared recovery area that was the responsibility of the adjacent State.
State regulatory authorities and traditional management of resident
game populations occur on a State-by-
[[Page 55538]]
State basis. We determined that management by State would still
maintain a sizable wolf population in each core recovery area because
they each contain manmade or natural refugia from intensive human-
caused mortality (e.g., wilderness and roadless areas, National Parks,
and remote Federal lands) that provide a stronghold for wolf
populations in each State. Recovery targets by State promote
connectivity and genetic exchange between the metapopulation segments
by avoiding management that focuses solely on wolf breeding pairs in
relatively distinct core recovery areas. This approach also will
increase the numbers of potential wolf breeding pairs in the GYA
because it is shared by all three States. A large and well-distributed
population within the GYA is especially important because it is the
most isolated recovery segment within the NRM DPS (Oakleaf et al. 2006,
p. 554; vonHoldt et al. 2007, p. 19).
To recap, we have expended considerable effort to develop,
repeatedly reevaluate, and, when necessary, modify, these recovery
goals (Service 1980; Service 1987; Service 1994, appendix 8 and 9;
Fritts and Carbyn 1995; Bangs 2002, entire). The 1980 recovery plan
required simply that we reestablish and maintain viable populations
within its former range where feasible. The 1987 recovery plan further
quantified the goals by requiring a minimum of 10 breeding pairs of
wolves (defined as 2 wolves of opposite sex and adequate age, capable
of producing offspring) for a minimum of 3 successive years in
northwestern Montana, central Idaho, and the YNP area. In 1994, we
revised the definition of a breeding pair (redefined as an adult male
and an adult female wolf that have produced at least two pups that
survived until December 31 of the year of their birth, during the
previous breeding season) and added a requirement that there be genetic
exchange (preferably natural, but human assisted if needed) between
subpopulations. In 2002, we conducted a peer review of the above
information, which led us to reaffirm the conclusions reached above
(i.e., the definition of wolf breeding pairs, our view of population
viability, and what constitutes recovery), but moved us towards
counting recovery by State in addition to by recovery area.
Finally, every NRM rulemaking conducted over the last decade has
also included a peer review in which reviewers were asked to weigh in
on our conclusions. The vast majority of these reviewers supported our
conclusion on long term population viability assuming these criteria
were maintained. In the most recent peer review, four of the five peer
reviewers concurred with our conclusion that the Wyoming wolf
population, whose management is to be driven by the recovery goals,
would continue to be a viable population after delisting (Atkins 2011,
pp. 6, 10; Atkins 2012, p. 3). Those peer reviewers who specifically
addressed the recovery criteria were unanimously supportive of the
criteria (Atkins 2011, appendix B). For example, Dr. Scott Mills stated
that the thresholds for delisting are consistent with current state-of-
the-art viability analysis science and are an appropriate standard for
delisting (Atkins 2011, p. 60). Similarly, Dr. David Mech concluded
that the recovery criteria still seem adequate (Atkins 2011, p. 73).
None of the reviews provided by the independent peer reviewers
challenged the adequacy of the recovery criteria (Atkins 2011, appendix
B).
The numerical component of the recovery goal represents the minimum
number of breeding pairs and individual wolves needed to achieve and
maintain recovery. Because the NRM wolf population must always exceed
the recovery goal of 30 breeding pairs and 300 wolves, we required that
Montana and Idaho each manage for at least 15 breeding pairs and at
least 150 wolves in mid-winter. This 50 percent safety margin above
minimum recovery levels was intended to provide an adequate safety
margin, recognizing that all wildlife populations, including wolves,
can fluctuate widely over a relatively short period of time. Managing
for a buffer above the minimum recovery target is consistent with our
1994 determination that the addition of a few extra pairs would add
security to the population and should be considered in future
management planning (Service 1994, pp. 6-75). Additionally, because the
recovery goal components are measured in mid-winter when the wolf
population is near its annual low point (note the absolute low point
occurs in April just before spring litters are born), the average
annual wolf population will be higher than these minimal goals.
Because Wyoming, unlike Montana and Idaho, has a large portion of
its wolf population in areas outside the State's control (e.g., YNP and
the Wind River Indian Reservation), we developed an approach for
Wyoming that recognizes this fact, but still holds the State to the
same commitment to achieve the desired safety margin above the minimum
recovery goal. Specifically, we determined that at least 10 breeding
pairs and at least 100 wolves at mid-winter in Wyoming outside YNP and
the Wind River Indian Reservation will satisfy Wyoming's contribution
to NRM gray wolf recovery. Under this approach, the wolf populations in
YNP and the Wind River Indian Reservation will provide a buffer above
the minimum recovery goal. We conclude that the YNP wolf population can
effectively buffer the rest of the Wyoming wolf population because of
the amount of available habitat in the park, the sizable wolf
population the park does now and will continue to support, and the
relative security of the park population.
Wyoming's wolf population will be further buffered because WGFD
intends to maintain an adequate buffer above minimum population
objectives to accommodate management needs so that uncontrollable
sources of mortality do not drop the population in Wyoming outside of
YNP and the Wind River Indian Reservation below the 10 breeding pair
and 100 wolf minimum population levels (WGFC 2011, p. 24; WGFC 2012,
pp. 3-5). The State of Wyoming also intends to coordinate with YNP and
the Wind River Indian Reservation to contribute to the objective of at
least 15 breeding pairs and at least 150 wolves statewide, including
YNP and the Wind River Indian Reservation. This approach in Wyoming is
biologically superior to a single statewide standard in that: It
provides population stability outside the park, minimizing the chances
of a bad year in YNP compromising maintenance of the minimum recovery
goal; it adds an extra layer of representation, resiliency, and
redundancy to the GYA's gray wolf population; and it builds public
tolerance for a minimum wolf population outside YNP. Further
justification for this approach to wolf management after delisting and
an additional explanation of why we view this approach as superior for
wolf conservation in Wyoming long term is included in Issue and
Response 18 below.
To summarize, based on the information above, the current recovery
goal for the NRM gray wolf population is: Thirty or more breeding pairs
(an adult male and an adult female that raise at least two pups until
December 31) comprising 300+ wolves well-distributed between Montana,
Idaho, and Wyoming functioning as a metapopulation (a population that
exists as partially isolated sets of subpopulations) with genetic
exchange (either natural or, if necessary, agency-managed) between
subpopulations. This goal further holds Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming to
each maintain a population
[[Page 55539]]
of at least 10 breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves at the end of the
year. To provide that these minimum levels are not compromised, Montana
and Idaho each are required to manage for a population minimum of at
least 15 breeding pairs and at least 150 wolves at the end of the year.
So as not to risk relisting and to provide management flexibility,
Montana and Idaho intend to manage well above these minimum required
levels. In Wyoming, the State will maintain the entire minimum recovery
goal of at least 10 breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves outside of
YNP and the Wind River Indian Reservation. So as not to risk relisting
and to provide management flexibility, Wyoming also intends to manage
well above these minimum required levels. A sizable wolf population in
YNP and in the Wind River Indian Reservation will further buffer the
population so that minimum recovery goals are not compromised. Our
recovery and post-delisting management goals were designed to provide
the NRM gray wolf population with sufficient representation,
resilience, and redundancy for their long term conservation. After
evaluating all available information, we conclude that the best
scientific and commercial information available indicates the
population will remain viable following delisting if the recovery
targets continue to be met.
Monitoring and Managing Recovery--In 1989, we formed an Interagency
Wolf Working Group (Working Group) composed of Federal, State, and
Tribal agency personnel (Bangs 1991, p. 7; Fritts et al. 1995, p. 109;
Service et al. 1989-2012, p. 1). The Working Group conducted four basic
recovery tasks, in addition to the standard enforcement functions
associated with the take of a listed species. These tasks were: (1)
Monitor wolf distribution and numbers; (2) control wolves that attacked
livestock by moving them, conducting other nonlethal measures, or by
killing them (Bangs et al. 2006, p. 7); (3) conduct research and
publish scientific publications on wolf relationships to ungulate prey,
other carnivores and scavengers, livestock, and people; and (4) provide
accurate science-based information to the public and mass media so that
people could develop their opinions about wolves and wolf management
from an informed perspective.
The minimum size and distribution of the wolf population is
estimated by the Working Group each year and, along with other
information, is published in an interagency annual report (Service et
al. 1989-2012, Table 4, Figure 1). Since the early 1980s, the Service
and our cooperating partners have radio-collared and monitored
approximately 2,000 wolves in the NRM region to assess population
status, conduct research, and to reduce/resolve conflict with
livestock. The Working Group's annual minimum population estimates
represent the best scientific and commercial data available regarding
minimum year-end NRM gray wolf population size and trends, as well as
distributional and other information.
Recovery by State--At the end of calendar year 2000, the NRM
population first met its overall numerical and distributional recovery
goal of a minimum of 30 breeding pairs and more than 300 wolves well-
distributed among Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming (68 FR 15804, April 1,
2003; Service et al. 2012, Table 4). Because the recovery goal must be
achieved for 3 consecutive years, the temporal element of recovery was
not achieved until the end of 2002 when at least 663 wolves and at
least 49 breeding pairs were present (Service et al. 2012, Table 4). By
the end of 2011, the NRM wolf population achieved its numerical and
distributional recovery goal for 12 consecutive years, while the
temporal portion of the recovery criterion has been met for 10
consecutive years (Service et al. 2012, Table 4; 68 FR 15804, April 1,
2003; 71 FR 6634, February 8, 2006). By the end of 2011, the NRM gray
wolf population included a minimum population estimate of 1,774 wolves
(including at least: 653 in Montana; 746 in Idaho; 328 in Wyoming; 18
in Washington; and 29 in Oregon) in 109 breeding pairs (including at
least: 39 in Montana; 40 in Idaho; 27 in Wyoming; 2 in Washington; and
1 in Oregon). Distribution at the end of 2011 is illustrated in Figure
2. Population trends through the end of 2011 are illustrated in Figure
3.
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Recovery by Recovery Area--As discussed previously, after the 2002
peer review of the wolf recovery efforts, we began using States, in
addition to recovery areas, to measure progress toward recovery goals
(Service et al. 2003-2012, Table 4). However, because the 1987 Recovery
Plan (Service 1987, pp. v, 12, 23) included goals for core recovery
areas, we have included the following discussion on the history of the
recovery efforts and status of these core recovery areas, including how
the wolf population's distribution and metapopulation structure is
important to maintaining its viability and how the biological
characteristics of each core recovery area differ (Service et al. 2012,
Table 4).
The Northwestern Montana Recovery Area's 84,800 km\2\ (33,386
mi\2\) includes: Glacier National Park; the Great Bear, Bob Marshall,
and Lincoln Scapegoat Wilderness Areas; and adjacent public and private
lands in northern Montana and the northern Idaho panhandle. Wolves in
this recovery area were listed and managed as endangered species.
Wolves naturally recolonized this area from Canada. Reproduction first
occurred in northwestern Montana in 1986 (Ream et al. 1989, entire).
The natural ability of wolves to find and quickly recolonize empty
habitat (Mech and Boitani 2003, pp. 17-19), the interim control plan
(Service 1988, 1999, entire), and the interagency recovery program
combined to effectively promote an increase in wolf numbers (Bangs
1991, pp. 7-13). By 1996, the number of known wolves had grown to about
70 wolves in 7 known breeding pairs. However, from 1996 through 2004,
the minimum estimated number of breeding pairs and wolves in
northwestern Montana fluctuated at a low level, partly due to actual
population size and partly due to limited monitoring effort. However,
since 2005, it has steadily increased (Service et al. 2012, Table 4).
At the end of 2011, we estimated a minimum of 431 wolves in 25 breeding
pairs in the northwestern Montana recovery area (Service et al. 2012,
Table 4).
The Northwestern Montana Recovery Area has sustained fewer wolves
than the other recovery areas because there is less suitable habitat
and it is naturally more fragmented (Oakleaf et al. 2006, p. 560; Smith
et al. 2010, p. 622). Some of the variation in our minimum wolf
population estimates for northwestern Montana is also due to the
difficulty of counting wolves in the area's thick forests. Wolves in
northwestern Montana also prey mainly on white-tailed deer, resulting
in smaller packs and territories, which lower the chances of detecting
a pack (Bangs et al. 1998, p. 878). Increased monitoring efforts in
northwestern Montana by Montana Fish, Wildlife and Parks since 2005
were likely responsible for more accurate minimum population estimates.
Wolf numbers in 2003 and 2004 also likely exceeded 10 breeding pairs
and 100 wolves, but were not documented simply due to less intensive
monitoring those years (Service et al. 2012, Table 4). By the end of
2011, this recovery area contained more than 10 breeding pairs and 100
wolves for the seventh consecutive year (2005-2011), and probably did
so for the last 10 years (2002-2011) (Service et al. 2012, Table 4).
Routine dispersal of wolves has been documented among northwestern
Montana, central Idaho, and adjacent Canadian populations demonstrating
that northwestern Montana's wolves are demographically and genetically
linked to both the wolf population in Canada and in central Idaho
(Pletscher et al. 1991, pp. 547-548; Boyd and Pletscher 1999, pp. 1105-
1106; Sime 2007; vonHoldt et al. 2010, p. 4412; Jimenez et al. In
review, p. 1). Because of fairly contiguous but fractured suitable
habitat, wolves dispersing into northwestern Montana from both
directions will continue to join or form new packs and supplement this
segment of the overall wolf population (Forbes and Boyd 1996, p. 1082;
Forbes and Boyd 1997, p. 1226; Boyd et al. 1995, p. 140; vonHoldt et
al. 2007, p. 19; vonHoldt et al. 2010; Thiessen 2007, p. 50; Sime 2007;
Jimenez et al. In review, p. 1).
Unlike YNP or the central Idaho Wilderness complex, northwestern
Montana lacks a large core refugium that contains large numbers of
overwintering wild ungulates and few livestock. Therefore, wolf numbers
may not ever be as high in northwestern Montana as they are in the
central Idaho or the GYA recovery areas. However, wolves have persisted
in this area for over 30 years, the population is robust today, and
habitat there is capable of supporting hundreds of wolves (Service et
al. 2012, Table 4). State management, pursuant to the Montana State
wolf management plan (Montana Wolf Management Advisory Council 2003),
provides that this population segment will continue to thrive.
The Central Idaho Recovery Area's 53,600 km\2\ (20,700 mi\2\)
includes the Selway-Bitterroot, Gospel Hump, Frank Church River of No
Return, and Sawtooth Wilderness Areas; adjacent, mostly Federal lands,
in central Idaho; and adjacent parts of southwestern Montana (Service
1994, p. iv). In January 1995, 15 young adult wolves from Alberta,
Canada, were released in central Idaho (Bangs and Fritts 1996, p. 409;
Fritts et al. 1997, p. 7). In January 1996, an additional 20 wolves
from British Columbia were released (Bangs et al. 1998, p. 787).
Central Idaho contains the greatest amount of highly suitable wolf
habitat compared to either northwestern Montana or the GYA (Oakleaf et
al. 2006, p. 559). Consequently, the central Idaho area population has
grown substantially and expanded its range since reintroduction. As in
the Northwestern Montana Recovery Area, some of the Central Idaho
Recovery Area's increase in its minimum wolf population estimate
beginning in 2005 was likely due to an increased monitoring effort by
Idaho Department of Fish and Game. The central Idaho population peaked
in 2008 and appears to have declined since then (Service et al. 2012,
Table 4). We estimated a minimum of 797 wolves in 43 breeding pairs in
the central Idaho recovery area at the end of 2011 (Service et al.
2012, Table 4). This recovery area has contained at least 10 breeding
pairs and at least 100 wolves for 14 consecutive years (1998-2011)
(Service et al. 2012; Table 4).
The GYA recovery area (63,700 km\2\ (24,600 mi\2\)) includes
portions of southeastern Montana, eastern Idaho, and northwestern
Wyoming. Portions of Wyoming that are occupied by wolves (Figure 1
above) include most of YNP, Grand Teton National Park, and John D.
Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway; the Absaroka Beartooth, Bridger,
Fitzpatrick, Gros Ventre, Jedediah Smith, North Absaroka, Popo Agie,
Teton, Washakie, and Winegar Hole Wilderness Areas; the Dubois
Badlands, Owl Creek, Scab Creek, and Whiskey Mountain Wilderness Study
Areas; and adjacent public and private lands (Service 1994, p. iv).
Much of the wilderness portions of the GYA are only used seasonally by
wolves due to high elevation, deep snow, and low productivity (in terms
of sustaining year-round wild ungulate populations) (Service et al.
2012, Figure 3; 71 FR 43410, August 1, 2006). In 1995, 14 wolves
representing 3 family groups from Alberta were released in YNP (Bangs
and Fritts 1996, p. 409; Fritts et al. 1997, p. 7; Phillips and Smith
1996, pp. 33-43). In 1996, this procedure was repeated with 17 wolves
representing 4 family groups from British Columbia. Finally, 10 pups
were removed from northwestern Montana in a wolf control action and
released in YNP in the spring of 1997 (Bangs et al. 1998, p. 787). Two
of these pups became breeding adults
[[Page 55543]]
and their genetic signature is common both in YNP and the GYA (vonHoldt
et al. 2010, p. 4421). We estimated a minimum of 499 wolves and 38
breeding pairs were in the GYA at the end of 2011 (Service et al. 2012,
Table 4). By the end of 2011, this recovery area had at least 10
breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves for twelve consecutive years
(2000-2011) (Service et al. 2012, Table 4).
Wolf numbers in the GYA were relatively stable from 2007 through
2009 with around 450 wolves and between 33 and 38 breeding pairs
(Service et al. 2012, Table 4). In 2010 and 2011, the GYA population
grew to about 500 wolves with 37 to 38 breeding pairs, primarily
because numbers of wolves outside YNP in Wyoming grew while wolves in
YNP have declined. Specifically, wolves in YNP declined from highs of
around 170 wolves and between 11 and 16 breeding pairs in 2003, 2004,
and 2007 to around 100 wolves and between 6 and 8 breeding pairs in
2009, 2010, and 2011 (Service et al. 1998-2012, Table 2). This decline
in YNP likely occurred because: (1) Highly suitable habitat in YNP was
saturated with wolf packs; (2) conflict among packs appeared to limit
population density; (3) fewer elk occur in YNP than when reintroduction
took place (White and Garrott 2006, p. 942; Vucetich et al. 2005, p.
259); and (4) suspected outbreaks of disease in 2005 and 2008 (canine
distemper (CD) or possibly canine parvovirus (CPV)) reduced pup
survival to 20 percent (Service et al. 2006, 2009, Table 2; Smith et
al. 2006, p. 244; Smith and Almberg 2007, pp. 17-20; Almberg et al.
2010, p. 2058). YNP predicts wolf numbers in YNP may settle into a
lower equilibrium long term (Smith 2012). Maintaining wolf populations
safely above recovery levels and promoting demographic and genetic
exchange in the GYA segment of the NRM DPS will depend on wolf packs
living outside the National Park and wilderness portions of
northwestern Wyoming and southwestern Montana (vonHoldt et al. 2010, p.
4422).
Genetic Exchange Relative to our Recovery Criteria--Finally, as
noted above, the recovery criteria requires the NRM DPS to function as
a metapopulation (a population that exists as partially isolated sets
of subpopulations) with genetic exchange between subpopulations. The
available data conclusively demonstrate that this portion of the
recovery criteria (i.e., ``genetic exchange'') is met. Specifically,
vonHoldt et al. (2010, p. 4412) demonstrated 5.4 effective migrants per
generation among the subpopulations from 1995 through 2004 when the NRM
region contained between 101 and 846 wolves. Dispersal data of radio-
collared wolves also demonstrates genetic exchange satisfying this
criteria (Boyd and Pletscher 1999, pp. 1105-1106; Jimenez et al. In
review, entire). This issue is discussed further in Factor E below.
Conclusion on Progress Towards our Recovery Goals--Given the above,
the best scientific and commercial information available demonstrates
that all prongs of the recovery criteria are met. The numeric and
distributional components of the overarching recovery goal have been
exceeded for 12 consecutive years, while the temporal portion of the
recovery criterion has been met for 10 consecutive years. Furthermore,
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming have each individually met or exceeded the
minimum per-State recovery targets every year since at least 2002 and
met or exceeded the minimum management targets every year since at
least 2004. It is also worth noting that each of the recovery areas
(which were originally used to measure progress towards recovery) have
been documented at or above 10 breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves
every year since 2005 (and probably exceeded these levels every year
since 2002) (Service et al. 2012, Table 4). Finally, the available
evidence demonstrates that the NRM gray wolf population is functioning
as a metapopulation with gene flow between subpopulations. Thus, we
conclude that the population has recovered.
Summary of Comments and Recommendations
On October 5, 2011, we opened a 100-day comment period in which
interested parties could submit comments or information on the proposal
(76 FR 61782). This proposal relied heavily on Wyoming's wolf
management plan and noted that conforming changes to State law and
regulations would be required to allow Wyoming's plan to be implemented
as written. Wyoming modified its State statutes and implementing
regulations and amended its wolf management plan in early 2012. On May
1, 2012, we reopened the comment period for 15 days so the public could
comment on the proposal in light of these new or revised management
documents (77 FR 25664, May 1, 2012).
In total, the comment period was open from October 5, 2011, through
January 13, 2012, and from May 1, 2012, through May 16, 2012 (76 FR
61782, October 5, 2011; 77 FR 25664, May 1, 2012). We also held a
public hearing and an open house on the proposal on November 15, 2011,
in Riverton, Wyoming (76 FR 61782, October 5, 2011). Collectively,
during the 115-day comment period, we received approximately 250,000
comments. Comments were submitted by a wide array of parties, including
the general public, environmental organizations, groups representing
outdoor recreational interests, agricultural organizations, and
Federal, State, and local governments.
In accordance with our Interagency Policy for Peer Review in
Endangered Species Act Activities (59 FR 34270, July 1, 1994), the
proposed rule underwent peer review. Specifically, we contracted with
an independent consultant to assemble a scientific peer review to
review the proposed rule and its supporting information, including the
Wyoming wolf management plan. This report was delivered to the Service
and posted online for public review and comment in late 2011. While the
peer review report was largely supportive of the scientific basis,
analysis, and conclusions of the delisting proposal, the peer review
report made a number of suggestions including recommending Wyoming
further clarify how it intends to meet its management objectives in the
face of multiple human-caused mortality factors. Following revision to
the State law, regulations and management plan, we reopened the comment
period. Accordingly, the independent expert peer reviewers were
provided an opportunity to revise or supplement their review during the
reopened comment period.
We reviewed and considered all comments in this final decision.
Substantive comments received during the comment periods and new
information have been addressed below or incorporated directly into
this final rule. Comments of a similar nature are grouped together
under subject headings in a series of ``Issues'' and ``Responses.''
Technical and Editorial Comments
Issue 1: Numerous technical and editorial comments and corrections
were provided by respondents on various parts of the proposal. Several
peer reviewers and others suggested or provided additional literature
to consider in the final rule.
Response 1: We corrected and updated this final rule wherever
appropriate and possible. We considered scientific publications and
other literature recommended by peer reviewers and others. This
information was incorporated, as appropriate, into this final rule.
[[Page 55544]]
Issue 2: Some comments noted that the population estimates provided
would be more accurately described as minimum population estimates
because the method of only counting confirmed wolves underestimates the
wolf population. A few comments noted that more wolves exist in Wyoming
than show up on our description of abundance and illustrations of
distribution (i.e., Figures 1 and 2 in the proposed rule (76 FR 61872,
October 5, 2011)). Similarly, the peer reviewers suggested that, while
these data are indicative of trends, they should not be used to
characterize or quantify small year-to-year changes in the population.
One peer reviewer recommended that Wyoming's monitoring protocols
incorporate detection probabilities into its methodology. Other
comments questioned the methods used to estimate population levels
(particularly in Montana and Idaho) and suggested the resulting
estimates were flawed. A few comments suggested our population
estimates in Montana and Idaho were likely too optimistic given the
ongoing hunts. Some comments suggested erroneous population estimates
undermined the legitimacy of hunting quotas.
Response 2: We agree that end-of-year population estimates should
be referred to as population minimums as we only count confirmed
wolves, packs, and reproduction. Furthermore, we recognize that while
our population data are a reasonably good indicator of relative changes
and general trends over time, they should not be used to indicate exact
year-to-year changes. We have modified our discussion of population
estimates and changes over time throughout the rule to reflect these
facts. Similarly, our illustration of wolf packs and their home range
only illustrates confirmed packs and their home range if known. Thus,
should any undocumented packs or lone wolves exist, they would not be
illustrated in Figures 1 and 2. Additionally, because the population is
measured in mid-winter when the wolf population is near its annual low
point (note the absolute low point occurs in April just before spring
litters are born), the average annual wolf population will be higher
than these minimal estimates. Although there have been some criticisms
of the methods Montana and Idaho employ to estimate minimum wolf
abundance, distribution, and trends, we have the utmost confidence
these numbers are reliable and, if anything, underestimate actual
abundance and distribution at the end of the year. The monitoring
methods for each State are further described below.
Montana wolf packs are monitored year round. Common wolf monitoring
techniques include direct observational counts, howling and track
surveys, use of trail cameras, and public wolf reports. Montana Fish,
Wildlife, and Parks seeks to document pack size and breeding pair
status of known packs, to verify wolf activity in new areas that can
result in new packs forming, to document dispersal to the extent
possible and assess connectivity, to determine pack territories, and to
identify potentially affected private landowners and livestock
producers. Montana Fish, Wildlife, and Parks conducts ground tracking
and aerial telemetry 1 to 2 times per month to locate radio-collared
animals, determine localized use throughout the year, and document the
number of wolves traveling together. Den and rendezvous sites are
visited to document reproduction. Additional information is collected,
such as identification of private lands used by wolves, identification
of public land grazing allotments where conflicts could occur, and
common travel patterns. Monthly or semimonthly telemetry flights
throughout summer and fall keep track of wolf numbers and status.
At the end of the year, Montana Fish, Wildlife, and Parks compiles
information gathered through field surveys, telemetry, and public
reporting to estimate the minimum number of wolves in each pack, lone
dispersing animals, and successful breeding pairs (an adult male and a
female wolf that have produced at least two pups that survived until
December 31). The total number of packs is determined by counting the
number of packs with two or more individual animals that existed on the
Montana landscape on December 31. If a pack was removed because of
livestock conflicts or otherwise did not exist at the end of the
calendar year (e.g. as the result of disease, natural/illegal
mortality, or dispersal), it is not included in the year-end total or
displayed on the Montana wolf pack distribution map for that calendar
year. The statewide minimum wolf population is estimated by adding up
the number of observed wolves in verified packs and known lone animals
as of December 31 each year. This is a minimum count and has been
reported as such since wolves first began recolonizing northwest
Montana in the mid-1980s. Suspected wolf packs are those that could not
be verified with confidence. They are not included in the final minimum
estimated count. Suspected packs may or may not persist. This
information is used to make decisions to address wolf-livestock
conflicts, to set wolf hunting and trapping regulations, and to set
harvest quotas. We conclude that Montana's monitoring methods and
resulting minimum population estimates is more than adequate to inform
wolf management decisions, and as a reliable indicator of the
population's recovered status.
The Idaho Department of Fish and Game and the Nez Perce Tribe use
wolf observation reports from agencies and the public to locate areas
of suspected wolf activity and verify wolf presence. Field crews may
decide to capture and radio-collar wolves. Radio-collared wolves are
then located from the air one or more times per month dependent on a
host of factors including funding, personnel, aircraft availability,
weather, and other priorities. At the end of the year, they then
compile agency-confirmed wolf observations to estimate the minimum
number and location of adult wolves and pups that were likely alive on
December 31 of that year. The Idaho Department of Fish and Game and the
Nez Perce Tribe estimate minimum wolf numbers, distribution, and
breeding success by radio-collaring selected packs from representative
areas across the State. Wolves are captured through foothold trapping
in summer or helicopter darting in winter, and monitored one or more
times per month via aerial telemetry. In addition, in recent years
Idaho has been placing 20 or more GPS collars on wolves each year;
these collars record locations and mortality status several times per
day. Pack size and movements are monitored throughout the summer and
fall via telemetry. Potential dens and rendezvous sites are identified
through telemetry flights (2+ locations in the same area) during summer
months (May-September) or ground telemetry and ground searches. Once
identified, biologists investigate on the ground to confirm
reproduction and count pups.
In winter (December-January), the Idaho Department of Fish and Game
and the Nez Perce Tribe increase flight frequencies to twice monthly to
obtain pack counts and document breeding pairs. If four or more wolves
are counted and reproduction was confirmed in summer, the pack is
confirmed as a successful breeding pair unless additional information
suggests otherwise (e.g., documented mortality that reduced pack size
below two adults and two pups). To estimate state-wide minimum
population numbers, the number of wolves detected in documented packs
with complete counts is added to an estimate of wolves in documented
packs without complete
[[Page 55545]]
counts, plus the number of wolves documented in wolf groups that do not
qualify as a pack, and adjusted for lone wolves. We conclude that the
monitoring methods employed in Idaho and resulting minimum population
estimates are more than adequate to inform wolf management decisions
and are a reliable indicator of the population's recovered status.
In Wyoming, the WGFD will continue to implement existing protocols
and techniques employed by the Service and YNP, which have provided
adequate documentation of wolf population status, to determine whether
the recovery criteria have been met (WGFC 2011, p. 19). These
methodologies are further described in the ``Post-Delisting
Monitoring'' section of the rule below and the ``Population
Monitoring'' section of the Wyoming Wolf Management Plan (WGFC 2011,
pp. 17-21).
The above techniques have proven a reliable indicator of
distribution, abundance, and trends, are more than adequate to inform
wolf management decisions, and are a reliable indicator of the
population's recovered status. That said, we fully recognize and
anticipate that monitoring techniques may change through time as new
knowledge becomes available and as the parties responsible for
monitoring gain additional experience at wolf management and
conservation. For example, we anticipate parties responsible for
monitoring may use other survey methods and data that are biologically
equivalent to the breeding pair definition. Similarly, new techniques
may allow for incorporation of a detection probability as part of the
abundance estimation protocol.
The Delisting Process and Compliance With Applicable Laws, Regulations,
and Policy
Issue 3: A few comments requested that we provide additional
opportunities for public comment by holding additional public hearings
or extending the public comment period. Some comments objected to the
proposed delisting rule's reliance on Wyoming's wolf management plan
when Wyoming laws and regulations, which trump the management plan, had
not yet been revised. These comments suggested we must reopen the
comment period on the proposal once these revised documents were
finalized.
Response 3: We provided ample opportunity for public comment on our
proposed rule. This included an initial 100-day public comment period,
an informational meeting and public hearing, and an additional 15-day
public comment period starting May 1, 2012 (76 FR 61782, October 5,
2011; 77 FR 25664, May 1, 2012). All opportunities to comment were
announced in the Federal Register, posted on our Web site and in our
monthly wolf reports, and publicized in local and national press
releases. An informational meeting and a public hearing were both held
in Riverton, Wyoming, on November 15, 2011 (76 FR 61782, October 5,
2011). Riverton was selected because of its central location and
proximity to the portions of Wyoming most affected by decisions on wolf
management. Given the fact that we satisfied section 4(b)(5)(E)'s
statutory requirement for public hearings on this rule, the limited
interest the Riverton hearing garnered (only 10 individuals offered
formal testimony at the hearing), and the substantial expense related
to conducting public hearings, we declined requests for additional
public hearings (Thabault 2011). Furthermore, we reopened the comment
period to ensure the public had an opportunity to review and comment on
the proposal in light of Wyoming's final regulatory documents,
including revised State statutes, revised gray wolf management
regulations (chapter 21), new gray wolf hunting season regulations
(chapter 47), and an Addendum to the Wyoming Gray Wolf Management Plan
(77 FR 25664, May 1, 2012). Collectively, the opportunities provided
for public comment ensured all members of the public, including peer
reviewers, had sufficient time to review and comment on the proposal in
light of all relevant materials. All comments, whether presented at a
public hearing or provided in another manner, received the same review
and consideration. Approximately 250,000 comments were received during
the public comment periods. This significant effort satisfies our
statutory responsibility.
Issue 4: Several commenters observed that Wyoming was not a DPS,
and suggested that it was a violation of the Act to attempt to delist
the Wyoming wolf population alone because the Act precludes listing and
delisting entities smaller than DPSs. Specifically, these comments
suggested that our analysis of threats improperly focused on the
Wyoming wolf population, when we should have considered threats to the
entire NRM DPS. Some comments further specified that Congress's recent
directive to reissue our 2009 delisting rule, which delisted the NRM
DPS except Wyoming, did not grant us the authority to address Wyoming
separately. These comments went on to suggest that it would be unlawful
to delist wolves in Wyoming if wolves were endangered by any of the
five factors in any portion of the NRM DPS at the time of this final
rule. These comments went on to assert that wolves in Montana and Idaho
were endangered by a variety of factors, most notably inadequate
regulation of human-caused mortality affecting both population size and
genetic exchange. Idaho's suspension of its 2008-2012 step-down wolf
management plan and Montana's and Idaho's hunting seasons were most
often mentioned as changes in management threatening the NRM DPS. These
comments suggested that all States in the NRM DPS needed to develop
enforceable mechanisms to maintain the population's recovered status
before delisting in Wyoming could move forward.
Response 4: The approach taken in this final rule is appropriate
given the Congressional directive to reissue our 2009 delisting, which
created a remnant piece of the NRM DPS. This approach is also
consistent with our 2009 delisting determination which stated that ``if
Wyoming were to develop a Service-approved regulatory framework it
would be delisted in a separate rule'' (74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009, p.
15155). While this rulemaking focuses on Wyoming because it is the only
portion of the NRM DPS that remains listed, we consider other portions
of the NRM DPS as appropriate. Thus, the conclusions of the previous
delisting and the information supporting this determination are
incorporated by reference. This information is updated, where
necessary, to consider new developments (e.g., Idaho's suspension of
its 2008-2012 step-down wolf management plan and Montana's and Idaho's
hunting seasons).
Overall, the best scientific and commercial information available
overwhelmingly indicates wolves are recovered in Wyoming, the GYA, and
throughout the NRM DPS. We strongly disagree with the assertion that
wolves in Montana and Idaho are endangered or threatened by inadequate
regulation of human-caused mortality or any other factor (singularly or
in combination). Similarly, we reject that threats in these areas
endanger wolves in Wyoming, the GYA or the NRM DPS. Despite changes in
guiding management documents, both Idaho and Montana remain committed
to maintaining a healthy wolf population well above minimum recovery
levels (also see response on the adequacy of the recovery goals below)
(Idaho Legislative Wolf Oversight Committee 2002, pp. 4-5, 18-19; Idaho
Fish and Game Commission 2011, pp. 1, 7; Idaho Fish and Game Commission
[[Page 55546]]
2012, pp. 8-9; Montana Wolf Management Advisory Council 2003, pp. i,1;
Montana Fish, Wildlife and Parks 2012b, pp. 2-3, 8-9, 13-15, 22). State
management of this recovered population in Montana and Idaho since
delisting has been consistent with our expectations and does not place
the population at a meaningful risk of extinction now or within the
foreseeable future (Cooley 2011; Jimenez 2012b). In fact, the minimum
population estimate for the NRM DPS was greater at the end of 2011 than
at the end of 2010 (Service 2012, Tables 4a and 4b). This information
validates our determination that State-regulated hunting and trapping
has been and will continue to be conducted in a responsible manner (74
FR 15123, April 2, 2009). While we expect population decreases will
occur, these reductions will be carefully managed to maintain a
recovered gray wolf population throughout the northern Rocky Mountains.
In consideration of all threats including those evaluated in our 2009
delisting rule and all new information available since this rule was
published, we conclude that the NRM DPS continues to face an extremely
low risk of extinction within the foreseeable future, does not meet the
definition of threatened or endangered, and therefore, does not warrant
listing under the Act.
Nevertheless, this rulemaking is separate and independent from, but
additive to, the previous action delisting wolves in the NRM DPS.
Wolves in the NRM DPS outside of Wyoming are not protected under the
Act; therefore, there is no regulatory need to determine whether the
Act's protections should be removed for these wolves. Thus, this rule
in no way reopens the status of wolves within the NRM DPS and outside
of Wyoming. While we continue to monitor the status of wolves in
accordance with the post-delisting monitoring plans discussed in the
delisting rule, such a reopening of the wider NRM DPSs status also
would be inconsistent with the Congressional direction to proceed with
that delisting action. This rule does not affect the status of gray
wolves in other states within the NRM DPS or the legal protections
provided under state laws.
Since our previous delisting action, the State of Wyoming has
addressed the only reason that wolves in Wyoming warranted continued
listing under the Act--the adequacy of the State's regulatory measures.
By delisting the Wyoming wolf population after wolves in the larger NRM
DPS were delisted, we are doing exactly what we said we would do in our
previous delisting rule. In our 2009 rule publication, the Service said
that ``if Wyoming were to develop a Service-approved regulatory
framework it would be delisted in a separate rule'' (74 FR 15123, April
2, 2009, p. 15155). This was also referenced in our proposed rule (76
FR 61782, Oct. 5, 2011, p. 61783). The Service is now doing just that--
delisting Wyoming wolves in a separate rule following its approval of
Wyoming's management framework.
Issue 5: Several comments suggested that we should prepare an
Environmental Assessment or an Environmental Impact Statement pursuant
to the National Environmental Policy Act.
Response 5: As a regulation adopted under section 4(a) of the Act,
this delisting rule is exempt from National Environmental Policy Act
procedures. The Service's decision that the National Environmental
Policy Act does not apply in making 4(a) determinations is based on the
reasoning in Pacific Legal Foundation v. Andrus, 657 F.2d 829 (6th Cir.
1981). In this case, the court determined that a National Environmental
Policy Act document cannot serve the purposes of the Act, because the
Secretary must make listing decisions based only on the five factors
set forth in section 4(a) of the Act. The Secretary lacks the
discretion to consider environmental impacts beyond those encompassed
by the five factors and may use only the best scientific and commercial
data in assessing the five factors. Following the Pacific Legal
Foundation ruling and upon the recommendation of the Council on
Environmental Quality, the Service officially determined that National
Environmental Policy Act documents are not required for regulations
adopted pursuant to section 4(a) of the Act. A notice outlining the
Service's reasons for this determination was published in the Federal
Register on October 25, 1983 (48 FR 49244). Here, the delisting
decision is based on the same five factors used in making listing
determinations under section 4(a).
Issue 6: A few comments indicated we must consider the direct and
indirect impacts of this decision on other threatened and endangered
species. One comment indicated that delisting could result in wolf
trapping (as is occurring in Idaho and now being planned in Montana),
which could affect Canada lynx (Lynx canadensis) or wolverine (Gulo
gulo). Another comment suggested an unchecked ungulate population would
graze on and decimate the Colorado butterfly plant (Gaura neomexicana
var. coloradensis). Similarly, one comment suggested cascading
ecological effects would be hindered by State efforts to reduce the
wolf population, which in turn would affect water quality for the
downstream Colorado pikeminnow (Ptychocheilus lucius) and the Razorback
sucker (Xyrauchen texanus).
Response 6: The Act requires that we base listing and delisting
decisions solely on the best available information concerning the
status of and threats to the subject species and does not give us
discretion to alter listing and delisting decisions because of possible
impacts to other species. Moreover, other distinct statutory provisions
address the potential effects of the States' management actions on
listed species, such as the Act's prohibitions against ``take'' of
listed wildlife species or the requirement of Federal agencies to
ensure their actions are not likely to jeopardize the continued
existence of listed species or destroy or adversely modify a listed
species' critical habitat.
Nevertheless, we conclude that this decision will not negatively
affect other threatened or endangered species. While one comment
mentioned trapping and its potential to affect other regional
carnivores like Canada lynx (listed as threatened) and wolverine (a
candidate for listing), Wyoming has not proposed a trapping season and
has no plans to pursue a trapping season within the Trophy Area
(Bruscino 2011b). If such a season is considered in the future, it
would be regulated by the WGFD and the WGFC and would be limited as
such mortality would further limit Wyoming's hunt quotas, which are
already expected to be modest once desired population reductions are
achieved. Moreover, the State must comply with applicable laws in
performing any trapping actions: if any potential incidental take of
listed species were to occur in connection with trapping, the State
must comply with the Act's prohibition against ``take'' or obtain an
incidental take permit through the permitting provisions of section 10.
Furthermore, the other listed species mentioned by the commenter
(Colorado butterfly plant, Colorado pikeminnow, and razorback sucker)
occur far from occupied wolf range. For example, Colorado butterfly
plant occurs in southeastern Wyoming and north-central Colorado.
Similarly, neither the Colorado pikeminnow nor the razorback sucker
occurs above Flaming Gorge in Wyoming's share of the Green River. Thus,
any theoretical cascading ecological effects caused by the wolf
delisting (e.g., increased herbivory and impacts to water quality)
would be extremely unlikely to affect these species.
[[Page 55547]]
Northern Rocky Mountain (NRM) Gray Wolf Recovery Goals
Issue 7: Some comments expressed confusion about our minimum
recovery criteria and the minimum management targets.
Response 7: The Service's current recovery goal for the NRM gray
wolf population is 30 or more breeding pairs (an adult male and an
adult female that raise at least two pups until December 31) comprising
300+ wolves in a metapopulation (a population that exists as partially
isolated sets of subpopulations) with genetic exchange between
subpopulations (Service 1994; Fritts and Carbyn 1995). Within this
overall goal, Idaho, Montana, and Wyoming are each responsible for
maintaining at least 10 breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves in mid-
winter. To provide that these minimums are not compromised, we required
Montana and Idaho to each manage for a safety margin of at least 15
breeding pairs and at least 150 wolves in mid-winter. In Wyoming, we
agreed that the State could manage for a population floor of at least
10 breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves outside YNP and the Wind
River Indian Reservation in mid-winter, and allow YNP and the Wind
River Indian Reservation to provide the remainder of the buffer above
the minimum recovery goal. In order to meet these goals and allow for
continued management flexibility, all three States intend to manage for
a population comfortably above their minimum management targets.
Issue 8: Numerous comments questioned the adequacy of the NRM DPS's
recovery goals referring to them in such terms as ``outdated'' and
``unscientific.'' These comments further suggested that delisting based
on these goals violated the Act's requirement to rely on the best
available science. Some of these comments offered their own assessment
of what constitutes an acceptable recovery goal (ranges from around
current population levels to 6,000 wolves were most frequently
mentioned). Others suggested smaller localized population levels were
acceptable within a larger, connected metapopulation structure. Some
comments questioned the adequacy of the NRM DPS's recovery goals by
noting that these goals are lower than the Western Great Lakes
population when it was listed, lower than the Western Great Lakes
recovery goals, and lower than Western Great Lakes potential status
review triggers. Some comments opined that the population meets the
International Union for the Conservation of Nature's (IUCN) standard
for a ``vulnerable'' species and, therefore, concluded our recovery
criteria are inadequate and that the population is still endangered.
Response 8: Our recovery and post-delisting management goals were
designed to provide for the long term conservation of the NRM gray wolf
population by ensuring sufficient representation, resilience, and
redundancy. As we described earlier in this final rule, we have
expended considerable effort to develop, repeatedly reevaluate, and,
when necessary, modify, these recovery goals (Service 1980; Service
1987; Service 1994, appendix 8 and 9; Fritts and Carbyn 1995; Bangs
2002, entire).
The Service contracted for an independent peer review of our
proposed delisting and four of the five reviewers concurred with our
determination that the Wyoming wolf population, whose management is to
be driven by the recovery goals, would continue to be a viable
population after delisting (Atkins 2011, pp. 6, 10; Atkins 2012, p. 3).
The dissenting reviewer's primary issue was not with the recovery
criteria, but rather with Wyoming's management structure and whether
the recovery criteria would be met (an issue discussed elsewhere in
this rule). Those reviewers who specifically addressed the recovery
criteria were unanimously supportive of the criteria (Atkins 2011,
appendix B). For example, Dr. Scott Mills stated that the thresholds
for delisting are consistent with current state-of-the-art viability
analysis science and are an appropriate standard for delisting (Atkins
2011, p. 60). Similarly, Dr. David Mech concluded the recovery criteria
still seem adequate (Atkins 2011, p. 73). None of the reviews provided
by the independent peer reviewers challenged the adequacy of the
recovery criteria (Atkins 2011, appendix B).
Although numerous comments offered alternative recovery goals, we
do not find the information presented to be persuasive, and do not feel
revision to the recovery goals is warranted at this time. Most of these
comments indicated a need for an effective population of at least 500
breeding individuals long term and a total population of ~1,500 to
6,000 individuals long term either within the NRM DPS or the western
United States. However, these comments were based upon minimum viable
population theories and models that assume an isolated population. This
underlying premise is inappropriate within the NRM region, because NRM
wolves are not isolated and are instead genetically connected to vast
wolf populations north of the United States-Canadian border.
Specifically, the NRM DPS represents a 650-km (400-mi) southern
range extension of a vast contiguous wolf population that numbers over
12,000 wolves in western Canada and about 65,000 wolves across all of
Canada and Alaska (Committee on the Status of Endangered Wildlife in
Canada 2001, pp. iii, v-vi, 13, 21-22, 30-32, 38, 42, 44-46; Boitani
2003, p. 322). This connectivity is demonstrated by the fact that
recovery in the NRM DPS began when wolves from Canada naturally
dispersed into the northwestern Montana recovery area and recolonized
this area (Ream et al. 1989; Boyd et al. 1995; Pletscher et al. 1997;
Boyd and Pletscher 1999). Routine dispersal of wolves has been
documented among NRM wolves and adjacent Canadian populations since
then demonstrating that wolves in these areas are demographically and
genetically linked (Pletscher et al. 1991, pp. 547-548; Boyd and
Pletscher 1999, pp. 1105-1106; Sime 2007; vonHoldt et al. 2010, p.
4412; Jimenez et al. In review, entire). Connectivity to the GYA is
discussed in more detail below, but is also sufficient to demonstrate
and maintain the region's metapopulation structure.
Taking into account connectivity to adjoining Canadian populations,
the effective population targets mentioned above have been greatly
exceeded. While some contend that these effective population targets
should be achieved strictly within the NRM DPS or the western United
States, we conclude that it is biologically appropriate to consider the
contribution of these connected wolf populations to the NRM DPS's long
term viability. Connectivity to Canadian wolf populations has long been
a central consideration in developing, revising, and validating our
recovery goals (Service 1994, pp. 41-42 of appendix 9; Bangs 2002, p.
3).
Furthermore, model predictions should be used cautiously due to the
poor quality of data used in most models, inaccuracies in estimating
changes in demographic rates, and insufficient dispersal data
(Beissinger and Westphal 1998, p. 821). To estimate a minimum viable
population accurately, a population viability analysis must be able to
overcome the likelihood that measures of potential threats to
persistence are likely to be imprecise (Soule 1987, pp. 1-10; Boyce
1992, 1993). Reed et al. (2002, p. 7) also cautioned that model
structure and data quality can affect the validity of population
viability analysis models, and that population viability analysis
should not be used to determine
[[Page 55548]]
minimum viable population or to estimate specific probability of
extinction. Population viability analysis could more appropriately be
used to analyze relative rates of extinction (Beissinger and Westphal
1998, p. 821) or how population growth and persistence may be affected
by management actions (Reed et al. 2002, p. 7). Therefore, the
available modeling data do not persuade us that the recovery criteria
we are using are incorrect.
Some comments asserted that the NRM gray wolf recovery goals are
inadequate because they are lower than population levels in the Western
Great Lakes when that population was listed (32 FR 4001, March 11,
1967; 43 FR 9607, March 9, 1978). We do not find such arguments
persuasive because listing decisions are not based on abundance and are
instead based on extinction risk informed by threats and population
trajectory. For example, although whitebark pine (Pinus albicaulis)
likely numbers in the millions, the Service recently found this species
to be warranted for listing due to the severe threats it faces and its
resulting population trajectory (76 FR 42631, July 19, 2011).
Similarly, the decisions in 1978 to list wolves in the Great Lakes as
endangered and to reclassify the Minnesota population as threatened
were based on ongoing threats, population trends, and the desire for
additional population redundancy (Service 1978, pp. 7, 8, 10; 43 FR
9607, March 9, 1978). Neither decision cited the overall population
level as an important factor to justify the threatened or endangered
determination. Therefore, we do not agree with the assertion that
Western Great Lakes wolf population levels at the time of listing as
endangered or threatened provide any evidence that our recovery
criteria for wolves within the NRM are too low.
Similarly, some comments opined the NRM gray wolf recovery goals
are inadequate because they are lower than the Western Great Lakes
population's recovery goals. Again, we do not find this argument
compelling. The Western Great Lakes recovery plan indicated recovery
would be achieved when: (1) The survival of the wolf in Minnesota is
assured, and (2) at least one viable population (as defined below) of
eastern timber wolves outside Minnesota and Isle Royale in the
contiguous 48 States is reestablished. The recovery plan did not
establish a specific numerical criterion for the Minnesota wolf
population. While the plan did identify a goal ``for planning purposes
only'' of 1,251-1,400 wolves for the Minnesota population (Service
1992, p. 28), the plan explicitly states that the region's total goals
``exceed what is required for recovery and delisting of the eastern
timber wolf'' (Service 1992, p. 27). This planning goal was driven not
by minimum estimates of viability, but instead by: Existing populations
of 1,550 to 1,750 wolves in Minnesota (Service 1992, p. 4); the plan's
objective to maintain existing populations (Service 1992, p. 24); and
existing planning goals by other land managers within Minnesota
(Service 1992, p. 27). However, population viability and sustainability
are explicitly discussed in the plan. The plan states a ``viable
population'' includes either: (1) An isolated, self-sustaining
population of 200 wolves for 5 successive years; or (2) a self-
sustaining population of 100 wolves within 100 miles of [the other]
Western Great Lakes population (Service 1992, pp. 4, 25-26).
Furthermore, the plan stated that ``a healthy, self-sustaining wolf
population should include at least 100 interbreeding wolves * * *
[which would] maintain an acceptable level of genetic diversity''
(Service 1992, p. 26). Based on the above, we find there is no basis
for concluding that the NRM and Western Great Lakes recovery goals are
somehow contradictory. Instead, we find that the recovery criteria for
the NRM and Western Great Lakes populations are similar in regards to
the minimum number of wolves needed to maintain a viable population,
their reliance on multiple, adjoining connected populations, and the
relative proximity between subpopulations.
Furthermore, some comments asserted that our recovery goals and our
relisting criteria are inadequate because they are lower than the
status review triggers for Western Great Lakes wolves. However, the
Western Great Lakes status review triggers were selected, not because
they are indicative of population viability (again, the plan's
conclusion regarding viability is discussed above), but rather because
they would represent significant declines, which could be evidence of a
serious problem (Service 2008, pp. 10-11; Ragan 2012). Given the above,
we do not find persuasive the assertion that our recovery goals or our
status review triggers are too low because they are lower than other
wolf population's triggers for relisting consideration. To the extent
that these comments advocate for a more responsive status review
trigger in the NRMs, we offer our strongest assurance that we will
consider relisting if we ever obtain sufficient evidence that the
species may meet the definition of threatened or endangered and, as
required by section 4(g)(2) of the Act, we will make prompt use of the
Act's emergency listing provisions if necessary to prevent a
significant risk to the well-being of the population.
Finally, we find unfounded the assertions that the standards of the
IUCN indicate that the NRM population currently meets the IUCN's
``vulnerable'' standard or that IUCN standards indicate our recovery
criteria are inadequate. First, the IUCN assessed the gray wolf's
status in 2010 and determined the species fell into the ``species of
least concern'' category (Mech & Boitani 2010, p. 1). While such
assessments routinely provide localized status determinations, no such
determination was bestowed upon wolves in the NRM region. Furthermore,
following receipt of this comment, we contacted Dr. Mech, who led the
team that performed IUCN's 2010 North American gray wolf assessment.
Dr. Mech disagreed with the assertion that the NRM population satisfies
IUCN's ``vulnerable'' standard (Mech 2012). Dr. Mech went on to
indicate that any application of the IUCN's standards to the NRM DPS
was inappropriate without considering the large, adjoining, and
connected Canadian wolf populations, and that if such populations were
included in the assessment, the NRM region's wolf population would fall
into the ``species of least concern'' category (Mech 2012). Given the
available information, we conclude that the IUCN standards do not
indicate that our recovery criteria warrant revision.
After evaluating all available information, we conclude that the
best scientific and commercial information available continues to
support the ability of these recovery goals to provide that the
population does not again become in danger of extinction.
The Geographic Scope of Recovery and the Impact of This Decision on
Range
Issue 9: Some comments suggested we should have pursued a single
lower-48-State recovery plan instead of regional recovery plans in the
NRMs, the Western Great Lakes, and the Southwest. These comments
suggested our approach to recovery planning focused only on easy to
recover areas and improperly wrote off more difficult to recover
regions. A few comments suggested our recovery plans were inadequate
because they did not cover or include specific criteria for
``significant wolf habitat'' (e.g., Colorado). Some comments suggested
we should reintroduce wolves across
[[Page 55549]]
numerous regions of the country to reestablish them across their
historical range. Suggested areas for reintroduction included
potentially suitable habitat like the southern Rockies, the Pacific
Northwest, the Sierra Nevadas, and New England, as well as unsuitable
habitat like Central Park in New York City. Other comments supported
the national delisting of wolves. A number of comments suggested wolves
should not have been listed or recovered anywhere in the lower 48
States, because the species (Canis lupus) is abundant in Canada,
Alaska, and across Eurasia and the reintroduced population's subspecies
(Canis lupus occidentalis) is abundant across western Canada and into
Alaska.
Response 9: Possible future wolf recovery efforts, particularly any
additional efforts outside of the NRM DPS, are beyond the scope of this
rulemaking because such actions are not part of this listing (NRM DPS)
and not necessary to provide for a NRM DPS that is neither endangered
nor threatened throughout all or a significant portion of its range.
Nevertheless, we will clarify our position on these issues. Gray
wolves were originally listed as subspecies or as regional populations
of subspecies in the coterminous United States and Mexico, including
populations in the Western Great Lakes region, the NRM region, and the
Southwest (32 FR 4001, March 11, 1967; 38 FR 14678, June 4, 1973; 39 FR
1171, January 4, 1974; 41 FR 17740, April 28, 1976; 41 FR 24064, June
14, 1976). When the science began to cast doubt on the validity of the
subspecific taxonomy, we reclassified these listings into a single unit
of the species (43 FR 9607, March 9, 1978). This approach was
undertaken to ``most conveniently'' handle this listing, and was not
intended to signal an intention to pursue recovery across the entire
lower 48 States (43 FR 9607, March 9, 1978). In fact, the 1978
reclassification stated that ``biological subspecies would continue to
be maintained and dealt with as separate entities'' (43 FR 9607, March
9, 1978). Accordingly, regional recovery plans were developed and
implemented in the Western Great Lakes in 1978 (revised in 1992)
(Service 1978, entire; Service 1992, entire), the NRM region in 1980
(revised in 1987) (Service 1980, entire; Service 1987, entire), and the
Southwest in 1982 (this plan is currently being revised) (Service
1982a, entire). This approach was an appropriate use of our discretion
to determine how best to proceed with recovery actions. These recovery
efforts covered all gray wolf populations confirmed in the lower 48
States since passage of the Act, and either have worked, or are
working, to conserve all of the genetic diversity remaining in wolves
south of Canada after their widespread extirpation (Leonard et al.
2004, entire). Although we have satisfied our recovery planning and
implementation responsibilities, and any additional recovery planning
and implementation (beyond that already underway) would be
discretionary, this issue is being evaluated further by the Service on
a larger, national scale and will likely be addressed in a separate
action in the future.
Similarly, the Act does not require us to restore wolves to a
majority of their U.S. historical range or to a majority of the
available suitable habitat. Instead, the Act requires that we work to
recover species to levels that no longer meet the definition of
threatened or endangered. For some species, this level may require
range expansion, but the amount of expansion is driven by a species'
biological needs affecting viability and sustainability, and not by an
arbitrary percent of a species' historical range or suitable habitat.
Many other species may be recovered in portions of their historical
range by removing or addressing the threats to their continued
existence. Other species may be recovered by a combination of range
expansion and threats reduction. There is no set formula on how
recovery must be achieved. Within the NRM DPS, each of the States and
each of the recovery areas meaningfully contributes to the population's
viability by providing resiliency, redundancy, and representation
(these terms are described further later in this rule; see also Shaffer
and Stein 2000, entire). Across the lower 48 States, 2 other wolf
populations (Western Great Lakes DPS and Mexican wolf) provide
additional resiliency, redundancy, and representation (Shaffer and
Stein 2000, entire). To the extent that additional restoration beyond
that required by the Act is desired by some members of the public, we
recommend working with State or Tribal wildlife agencies and other land
managers to achieve these objectives.
Conversely, we do not agree with comments that the gray wolf should
not have been listed because of its abundance outside of the lower 48
States. When Congress created the Act, it sought to provide for ``the
possibility of declaring a species endangered within the United States
where its principal range is in another country, such as Canada or
Mexico, and members of that species are only found in this country
insofar as they exist on the periphery of their range'' (H.R. Rep. No.
93-412, at 10 (1973)). Moreover, in authorizing the listing of DPSs
under the Act, Congress recognized ``that there may be instances in
which the Service should provide for different levels of protection for
populations of the same species. For instance, the U.S. population of
an animal should not necessarily be permitted to become extinct simply
because the animal is more abundant elsewhere in the world'' (S. Rep.
No. 96-151, 96th Cong., 1st Sess. (1979), reprinted in A Legislative
History of the Endangered Species Act, 97th Cong., 2d Sess. 1397
(1982)). Recovering gray wolves in multiple populations within the
lower 48 States satisfies this Congressional intent.
Issue 10: A number of comments provided other reasons why our
approach to designating and delisting in the NRM DPS was erroneous,
having accomplished recovery over only a small portion of the species'
historical range. Some comments suggested the NRM DPS was too expansive
and should not have included unrecovered habitat (e.g., eastern Montana
and southern or eastern Wyoming). These comments expressed the concern
that our decision to delist this expansive DPS would preclude wolf
recovery in these areas. Others thought the NRM DPS should include
additional surrounding areas and that recovery and recolonization
should occur across the entire DPS before delisting is allowed to move
forward (e.g., northern Colorado should be included in the DPS, but
delisting anywhere should be precluded until Colorado is also
recovered). Other comments suggested areas like southern and eastern
Wyoming once supported viable wolf populations and represented ``a
significant portion of range.'' A number of comments disputed our
designation of most of these areas as unsuitable habitat, stated that
we have failed to show that these areas could not biologically support
wolves, and suggested that our definition of suitable habitat
improperly focused on regulatory, sociological, economic, and political
factors, instead of purely biological factors. A few comments noted
that wolves and wolf packs can and do occasionally occupy these areas.
Some comments asserted that recovery in these historically occupied
areas was important to preserve unique localized adaptations that
contribute to the species' long term persistence. These comments opined
that wolves are endangered in this ``significant portion of range''
and, therefore, must continue to be listed as endangered statewide.
Response 10: As described in our 2009 final rule, we determined the
NRM DPS was biologically based,
[[Page 55550]]
appropriate, and developed in accordance with the Act and the Distinct
Vertebrate Population Segment Policy (74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009). In
essence, the boundaries included all gray wolves that were reasonably
assumed to be part of the NRM population at the time of its designation
(74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009). No animals that have dispersed within the
United States beyond the boundaries of the DPS have ever returned,
meaning those animals are, essentially, lost to and no longer part of
the population. The DPS boundaries are also further supported by the
fact that they are consistent with over 30 years of recovery efforts in
the NRMs in that: (1) The DPS approximates the U.S. historical range of
the originally listed NRM gray wolf subspecies (39 FR 1171, January 4,
1974; Service 1980, p. 3; Service 1987, p. 2); (2) the DPS boundaries
are inclusive of the areas focused on by both NRM recovery plans
(Service 1980, pp. 7-8; Service 1987, p. 23) and the 1994 Environmental
Impact Statement (Service 1994, Ch. 1 p. 3); and (3) the DPS is
inclusive of the entire Central-Idaho and Yellowstone Nonessential
Experimental Population areas (59 FR 60252, November 22, 1994; 59 FR
60266, November 22, 1994; 50 CFR 17.84 (i) & (n)).
We based our definition of suitable habitat on the best scientific
and commercial information available regarding pack persistence (this
issue is discussed in more detail in Factor A below). Although wolves
historically occupied the entire area of the DPS, these distant
peripheral areas (e.g., eastern Montana and southern or eastern
Wyoming) have been modified for human use and are no longer suitable
habitat to support wolf packs and wolf breeding pairs. These distant
peripheral areas do not support extant wolf populations and do not play
a meaningful role in achieving or sustaining recovery. Although some
short term occupancy and use of some peripheral areas does occur, it is
minimal and, consistent with our assessment of suitability, wolves have
not persisted in these areas even under the Act's protective regime.
The purpose of the Act is to conserve endangered species and the
ecosystems on which they depend. We have recovered NRM wolf populations
in areas where portions of the ecosystem on which they depend still
exist or could be restored. Large portions of the historical range
(e.g., eastern Montana and southern or eastern Wyoming) where the
ecosystem historically supported wolves have been removed and replaced
by human uses including agriculture, livestock, and urbanization. Wolf
recovery in these portions of the species' historical range is
unnecessary, because there is more than enough suitable habitat (e.g.,
mainly public lands containing abundant wild ungulates) to support many
times over the minimum requirements of a recovered and viable wolf
population. Therefore, additional recovery efforts in these areas are
beyond what the Act requires.
Issue 11: Numerous comments expressed concern that this action, if
finalized, would reduce wolf dispersal into surrounding areas. Many of
these comments specifically objected to the impact Wyoming's large
predator area would have on dispersal across southern Wyoming to
Colorado and Utah. One comment opined that Colorado represented a
significant portion of the NRM gray wolf range. Some comments stated
that Mexican wolf recovery was on the brink of failure, in part due to
inbreeding depression, and that Wyoming's predator designation would
exacerbate the genetic isolation of the Mexican wolf population. While
most of these comments focused on the impact of the predator area, some
comments expressed concern related to State management intending to
reduce population levels, which would in turn reduce the number of
dispersing wolves and further inhibit recolonization of nearby
unoccupied areas (e.g., Washington and Oregon).
Response 11: First, additional wolf restoration from NRM gray wolf
stock is not necessary in any of the surrounding areas to achieve or
maintain recovery of the NRM DPS because the NRM DPS is of more than
adequate size and includes more than adequate habitat to achieve and
maintain a recovered wolf population. This conclusion makes restoration
in these areas irrelevant to this final decision. Because Colorado and
Utah are both beyond the range of the NRM gray wolf population and
unnecessary for viability or recovery of the NRM gray wolf population,
areas like Colorado and Utah do not represent a significant portion of
the NRM gray wolf's range. Additionally, listing and delisting
decisions are based solely on the status of the subject species, and,
because the NRM DPS is a separate listing from other U.S. wolves (a
separate ``species'' as defined in section 3(16) of the Act), impacts
to surrounding areas are beyond the scope of this rulemaking.
Furthermore, as discussed above, the Act does not require that we
recover the wolf everywhere it existed historically or even every place
that currently can support wolves. Instead, the Act requires that we
achieve sufficient recovery to provide for the viability of the subject
species. This goal has been achieved in the NRM DPS and the Western
Great Lakes DPS. This goal is still a work in progress in the
Southwest. To the extent that additional restoration beyond that
required by the Act is desired by some members of the public, we
recommend working with State or Tribal wildlife agencies and other land
managers to achieve these objectives.
In fact, State leadership is facilitating wolf restoration in
Oregon and Washington. Despite not being identified as a focus for wolf
recovery in any one of the Service's existing recovery plans, both
States are allowing and facilitating wolf restoration (Oregon
Department of Fish and Wildlife 2010, entire; Wiles et al. 2011,
entire). As of this writing, Washington now has seven confirmed packs
and four additional suspected packs including five confirmed and three
suspected packs within the delisted NRM DPS and two confirmed and one
suspected packs west of the DPS (Cooley 2012). Similar trends are also
occurring in Oregon, which has four confirmed packs within the delisted
NRM DPS and a few dispersers outside of the DPS (Cooley 2012). State
protections are the primary mechanism contributing to wolf recovery in
eastern Oregon and eastern Washington because Federal protections have
been removed in these areas. Wolf restoration in the delisted eastern
portions of these States will likely contribute to recovery in the
remainder of these States. We expect dispersal into Oregon and
Washington to continue unimpeded by this decision.
Wolf restoration into Colorado and Utah has been slower with only a
few confirmed dispersers and no confirmed packs forming or reproducing
to date. In order for dispersal into surrounding unoccupied habitat to
be biologically meaningful, both a male and a female disperser must
cross expansive areas of suitable and unsuitable habitat, enter the
same area and find each other before continuing on to other areas, and
survive long enough to reproduce and successfully raise young. Unlike
dispersal into Oregon and Washington, wolves must cross greater
distances to get to Colorado and Utah, and dispersing wolves traversing
unsuitable habitat, even under the Act's protections, tend to have
lower survival rates (Smith et al. 2010, p. 627; Jimenez et al. In
review, entire). These obstacles precluded natural recolonization even
when Federal protections were in place. After delisting, we expect
existing
[[Page 55551]]
trends to continue (i.e., occasional dispersers with the odds being
against pack formation and reproduction).
Regarding Mexican wolf conservation, at this point in time, we are
managing the Mexican wolf population without infusion of genes from
other sources and do not see isolation from other wolves as a negative
(Brown 2012). If infusion of genes from northern wolves is determined
to be beneficial in the future, we would want to carefully evaluate
both the process and the effect (Brown 2012).
General Comments on Whether To Delist
Issue 12: We received comments from many people expressing either
support for, or opposition to, delisting. Many of these comments
(including people on both sides of the issue) stated a belief that
their opinion was the majority and that we should do a better job of
listening to the wants and desires of the American people. Some
suggested that their comment should count more or less than other
similar comments.
Response 12: The decision whether to finalize this action is not a
vote. Listing and delisting decisions must be made based solely on the
best scientific and commercial data available. In this case, the best
scientific and commercial data available demonstrate that the Wyoming
wolf population and the greater NRM gray wolf DPS is recovered, is
likely to remain recovered, and is unlikely to again become threatened
with extinction within the foreseeable future. Therefore, we are
finalizing our proposal.
Issue 13: Some comments objecting to the delisting noted that the
results of an independent scientific peer review, contracted by the
Service to review the proposed delisting and the supporting documents,
found issues with the Wyoming Gray Wolf Management Plan. This report
stated, ``The Plan, as written, does not do an adequate job of
explaining how wolf populations will be maintained, and how recovery
will be maintained'' (Atkins 2011, p. iii). A few comments questioned
the objectivity of the peer review suggesting we selected reviewers
that we knew would support our proposal.
Response 13: Following the release of the first peer review report
(Atkins 2011, entire), Wyoming developed a series of documents to
clarify its management authorities, responsibilities, and intentions.
Wyoming specifically considered and responded to concerns expressed by
peer reviewers when developing these documents (Atkins 2012, p. 4; WGFC
2012, p. 1). In this regard, Wyoming's management intentions and
processes are more clearly defined and laid out today because of this
review (Atkins 2012, p. 4; WGFC 2012, entire). Thus, we conclude that
management of wolves after delisting has been improved and has a
greater likelihood of always meeting minimum management targets as a
result of this review. Additionally, the final rule was improved
through careful consideration of all comments and information provided.
We appreciate the work of the peer reviewers on this issue.
Although not unanimous, most of the reviewers ultimately supported
our conclusion that the Wyoming wolf population is likely to be
maintained above recovery levels (Atkins 2012, Table 1). While our
rulemaking process does not depend on the ``vote'' of the peer
reviewers, and instead reflects our determination of what the best
scientific and commercial information available indicates, on the
whole, we view the final peer review report (Atkins 2012, entire) as an
endorsement of our conclusions (caveats noted).
Regarding the selection of the peer reviewers, a third-party
contractor, Atkins Global, selected the reviewers based on
qualifications and experience related to gray wolf life history and
biology, predator/wildlife management, population viability, genetics,
and subpopulation integration within metapopulations (Atkins 2011, pp.
9-10). Reviewers selected were also free from any conflict of interest
and independent of the Service; the Idaho Department of Fish and Game;
Montana Fish, Wildlife, and Parks; and all Wyoming State agencies.
These peer reviewers were not selected to achieve a certain position,
nor did they reach a consensus. Instead, the diversity of perspectives,
experience, and qualifications achieved the desired outcome of ensuring
a comprehensive and critical evaluation of the available information,
our proposal, and our conclusions. This process and the report it
generated benefitted the rulemaking process, improved this final rule,
and more than satisfied applicable peer review standards.
Issue 14: A number of comments accused us of accepting a Wyoming
management plan that was nearly identical to the previously rejected
plan. A few comments noted that we previously determined the old
regulatory framework would meaningfully affect the NRM DPS's
resiliency, redundancy, and representation, and decrease the ability to
conserve the species. Other comments maintained that previous Wyoming
post-delisting regulatory frameworks were adequate and rejected on
political, rather than, scientific grounds. Some of these comments
pointed to the November 18, 2010, Wyoming District Court ruling as
evidence that the previous wolf management plan was sound (Wyoming et
al., v. U.S. Department of the Interior, et al., 2010 U.S. Dist. LEXIS
122829). A few comments accused us of changing the requirements for
Wyoming after an agreement was reached and expressed frustration with
our unwillingness to defend the 2008 NRM DPS delisting, which included
Wyoming (73 FR 10514, February 27, 2008). Others suggested that
previous issues with the State's post-delisting regulatory framework
have been resolved and delisting must again proceed. More specific
criticisms related to this issue are discussed in more detail in
subsequent comments below.
Response 14: While Wyoming's approach to wolf management may seem
similar to previously rejected Wyoming wolf plans, Wyoming's revised
approach to wolf management provides substantially more protection for
wolves over previous versions. The April 2009 rule noted three primary
areas of concern with Wyoming's previous management plan including: (1)
The size and permanency of Wyoming's Trophy Area; (2) conflicting
language within the State statutes concerning whether Wyoming would
manage for at least 15 breeding pairs and at least 150 wolves, exactly
15 breeding pairs and 150 wolves, or only 7 breeding pairs and 70
wolves; and (3) liberal depredation control authorizations and
legislative mandates to aggressively manage the population down to
minimum levels (74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009). Our conclusions on several
of these issues were challenged in the Wyoming District Court. Although
the Wyoming District Court disagreed with our determinations on several
of these issues, it did not determine the previous Wyoming wolf
management framework was adequate and did not order us to accept the
plan. Instead, it ordered us to reconsider our position on Wyoming's
approach to wolf management in light of several conflicts within the
record (including our position that a statewide Trophy Area should be
pursued in Wyoming). Subsequent to this order, the Service and the
State reinitiated discussions on revisions to Wyoming's wolf management
framework that would satisfy the standards of the Act and allow
delisting to again move forward. The results of this process led to
development of a revised wolf
[[Page 55552]]
management plan, and are incorporated in this rule. Through this
process, Wyoming improved its management plan in each of the major
areas of concern outlined above.
In 2008, we determined Wyoming's Trophy Area was adequate (73 FR
10514, February 27, 2008). However, a 2009 Montana District Court
decision correctly noted that Wyoming had retained the ability to
diminish the size of this unit and to revise its boundaries in a manner
the Service had previously determined to be unacceptable (71 FR 43410,
August 1, 2006; Defenders of Wildlife, et al., v. Hall, et al., 565
F.Supp.2d 1160 (D. Mont. 2008)). In response, the State statute was
revised, and the existing Trophy Area was made permanent in 2012. As
discussed in more detail in subsequent sections of this rule, the
permanent Trophy Area is of sufficient size to support a recovered wolf
population in Wyoming, under the management regime developed for this
area. Furthermore, in response to concerns about gene flow and genetic
connectivity, the Wyoming statute was revised to expand the trophy game
portion of the State approximately 80 kilometers (km) (50 miles (mi))
south for 4 and a half months during peak wolf dispersal periods. This
additional protected area will benefit natural dispersal. The adequacy
of this area to meet the wolf population's biological needs is
discussed in more detail in subsequent comments.
Another major difference between the previous management plan and
the current one is Wyoming's firm commitment to the minimum recovery
goals. Wyoming's previous wolf management framework contained
conflicting language within the State statutes concerning whether
Wyoming would manage for at least 15 breeding pairs and at least 150
wolves, exactly 15 breeding pairs and 150 wolves, or only 7 breeding
pairs and 70 wolves outside of YNP. The revised approach commits
Wyoming to maintaining a population satisfying the entire minimum
recovery goal outside of YNP and the Wind River Indian Reservation, and
to maintain a buffer above these minimum levels, in order to provide
that the minimum targets are not compromised (WGFC 2011, p. 24; WGFC
2012, pp. 3-5). These statewide totals will be further buffered by
wolves in YNP, which have ranged from 96 to 174 wolves and from 6 to 16
breeding pairs from 2000 to the end of 2011 (the most recent official
wolf population estimates available). In the future, YNP wolf
populations are predicted to settle between 50 to 100 wolves and 5 to
10 packs with 4 to 6 of these packs meeting the breeding pair
definition annually (Service et al. 2000-2010, Table b; Smith 2012).
This wolf management strategy is a vast improvement over the previous
agreement and provides adequate assurances that the minimum recovery
goal will not be compromised. Wyoming's numeric minimum management
targets are discussed in more detail in subsequent comments.
Additionally, Wyoming's management framework has corrected what we
had concluded was an overly aggressive management regime. After our
2008 delisting became effective, the State issued regulations that
treated the entire Trophy Area as a chronic depredation area and
allowed significant take across the entire region until the population
outside YNP was reduced to 6 breeding pairs. This, and related
concerns, have been addressed. The State statute now mandates that
limits on human-caused mortality be put in place to ensure that minimum
agreed-upon management targets and minimum recovery levels are not
compromised.
Other significant improvements include a commitment to monitor and
manage to provide adequate levels of genetic exchange; defense-of-
property regulations that are similar to our nonessential experimental
population rules; and a change in the State statute that ensures wolves
in the permanent trophy game portions of Wyoming will not be treated as
predatory animals.
Given the above changes, we conclude that Wyoming's revised wolf
management framework is adequate and will maintain the population's
recovered status.
Issue 15: Many commenters expressed their opinion that NRM and
Wyoming wolves remained endangered, were teetering on the edge of
extinction, or would again become endangered if the Act's protections
were removed. One comment indicated this decision would jeopardize the
wolf population and, thus, violated section 7 of the Act. Many comments
objected to removing protections regardless of extinction risk. Other
commenters suggested delisting was in order and that they supported
compromise, but that this did not represent an acceptable compromise. A
number of commenters noted a desire to continue to be able to hear
wolves in the wild and for their grandchildren to be able to have the
same experience. Several comments opined that delisting could cause
irreversible harm. Many comments asserted we had abandoned sound
science in our decision-making process, and had instead taken anti-
wildlife policies by yielding to political and stakeholder pressure. A
few comments asserted that political pressure was responsible for our
agreement with Wyoming's plan. Other comments noted our support for
hunting as evidence of our anti-wolf bias. A few comments suggested
allowing us to make this decision was a conflict of interest, and
asserted that we get a major portion of our budget from hunting-related
revenue. Some of these comments offered specific legal or policy
arguments supporting their position (these comments are discussed in
more detail below), while others were based on moral or ethical
positions or general distrust for our agency. Many comments suggested
we should reengage Wyoming to negotiate a better deal for wolves. Many
other comments viewed Wyoming's approach to managing the wolf
population as a good compromise balancing the needs of ranchers,
hunters, wolves, and other wildlife. Many comments supported delisting,
suggesting wolf populations are well above recovered levels, that
delisting is long overdue, and that State management will maintain the
wolf population's recovered status.
Response 15: By nearly any measure, the NRM gray wolf population
and all of its subpopulations are recovered and will remain recovered
under the management frameworks now in place in Wyoming, Idaho, and
Montana. Wolves are no longer in danger of extinction either now or in
the foreseeable future and will not meet the definitions of a
threatened or an endangered species if delisting occurs. We are proud
to say that successful recovery efforts and State, Tribal, and Federal
management after delisting ensures that the public will continue to be
able to hear NRM wolves howl in the wild for countless future
generations to come. In short, the regulatory frameworks now in place
give us great confidence that this success story for American
conservation and the Act will be maintained.
The most recent official minimum population estimate shows that the
NRM wolf population contains more than 1,774 adult wolves and more than
109 breeding pairs. Most of the suitable habitat is now occupied and
likely at, or above, long term carrying capacity (excluding Oregon and
Washington, which are only beginning to be reoccupied). This population
has exceeded recovery goals for 10 consecutive years. Although
population decreases are expected in Idaho, Montana, and Wyoming, we
expect that these reductions will be carefully managed so that
populations are maintained well above recovery levels (perhaps around
1,000 wolves will be
[[Page 55553]]
maintained across the NRM DPS long term). Our expectation for gradual
reductions was verified in 2009 and 2011 (the first 2 years of State
management including a hunting season) where the population remained
relatively stable (technically, slight increases were documented each
year) even in the face of substantial mortality levels. Measurable
declines across the region are expected to begin to occur in 2012. In
Wyoming, we expect the total statewide population will be reduced
between 10 to 20 percent in 2012 with continued gradual reductions
thereafter, if appropriate. Given the species' reproductive capacity,
such declines are not irreversible; instead, populations would rebound
rapidly if human-caused mortality is reduced.
The basis for our determination, as required by the Act, is the
best scientific and commercial information available, which indicates
that the Wyoming, GYA, and NRM gray wolf populations are recovered and
do not meet the definition of threatened or endangered. This decision
is not based on political and stakeholder pressure, nor has our support
for hunting biased our decision. Furthermore, very little of the
Service's budget and none of the Endangered Species program's budget
comes from hunting revenue. While we respect the moral and ethical
reasons some members of the public may have for disapproving of this
decision, delisting is the appropriate decision based on the statutory
requirements of the Act. Additionally, delisting a recovered species is
a non-discretionary duty and not subject to the provisions of section
7(a)(2) of the Act.
Issue 16: Some comments expressed concern that if the Service
accepted the Wyoming Gray Wolf Management Plan, as written, it would
set a precedent allowing Idaho and Montana to change their management
plans.
Response 16: We have no indication that Idaho or Montana have a
desire to change their management plans to mirror Wyoming's. Both
States appreciate the sovereignty they now enjoy to manage wolves as a
recovered species under State jurisdiction and are unlikely to reopen
this issue. Furthermore, both States recognize that a change as
significant as, for example, designating wolves as predators in large
portions of the States could trigger a status review under our post-
delisting monitoring criteria because such an action could be perceived
as significantly increasing the threat to the wolf population
(depending on the specifics). Idaho and Montana have expressed a strong
interest in avoiding a Service status review and any relisting
consideration.
Human-Caused Mortality
Issue 17: Many comments expressed concern about the amount of
human-caused mortality and possible direct and indirect impacts. Some
questioned the amount of human-caused mortality that the population can
withstand in the short term (as populations are being reduced from
current levels) and in the longer term once minimum management targets
are achieved. Many comments took issue with statements taken from the
Wyoming wolf management plan that indicated Wyoming wolves could
tolerate up to 36 percent annual mortality. One commenter expressed
concern that Wyoming has only a narrow margin for error because the
number of wolves in the Trophy Area are only a little above minimum
management targets. This comment asserted that our data from the last 5
years indicated that the population had stabilized with less than 20
percent mortality associated with livestock depredation control
efforts, but that Wyoming may exceed these and other human-caused
mortality rates after delisting. Some comments suggested that we must
set firm standards for acceptable levels of human-caused mortality in
different circumstances. Numerous comments indicated that the many
sources of human-caused mortality allowed by the Wyoming regulatory
framework could easily and routinely exceed tolerable levels of
mortality. Several comments suggested management assumptions were
incorrect in that hunting-related mortality was not compensatory for
other human-caused mortality, was more likely additive or ``super-
additive,'' and that overall population impacts would exceed direct
reported mortality levels because of impacts to pack structure and
reproduction. Some of these comments asserted hunting would cause
psychological trauma or other indirect effects to surviving wolves.
Other comments indicated that wolves have proven resilient to human-
caused mortality, that our description of wolf susceptibility to human-
caused mortality was exaggerated, and that such mortality would be
limited and adequately regulated. Some comments asserted wolves will
become less susceptible to human-caused mortality as they ``relearn
their fear of man.'' Many of these comments emphasized the ability of
wolves to respond quickly to population reductions noting, for example,
reports of wolf packs with more than one female with pups.
Response 17: Human-caused mortality is the most significant factor
affecting the long term conservation status of the wolf population in
Wyoming, the GYA, and the entire NRM DPS. Therefore, managing this
source of mortality remains the primary factor for maintaining a
recovered wolf population into the foreseeable future. The best
available information indicates that wolf populations have an ample
natural resiliency to high levels of human-caused mortality, if
population levels and controllable sources of mortality are adequately
regulated as they will be in Wyoming. For example, from 1995 to 2008,
the NRM wolf population grew by an average of about 20 percent
annually, even in the face of an average annual human-caused mortality
rate of 23 percent (Service et al. 2012, Table 4; Smith et al. 2010, p.
620; also see Figure 3 above). Similarly, in 2009 and in 2011, more
than 600 NRM wolves died each year from all sources of mortality
(agency control including defense of property, regulated harvest,
illegal and accidental killing, and natural causes), and the population
showed little change (technically, slight increases in minimum
population levels were documented each year) (Service et al. 2012,
tables 4a, 4b).
While some authors have suggested human-caused mortality is
additive or ``super-additive,'' and have predicted significant impacts
to wolf populations from modest levels of human-caused mortality (Creel
and Rotella 2010; Atkins 2011, p. 81; Vucetich and Carroll In review),
other researchers disagree (Gude et al. 2011). Overall, the literature
indicates wolf populations can maintain themselves despite human-caused
mortality rates of 17 to 48 percent (Fuller et al. 2003, pp. 182-184
[22 percent]; Adams et al. 2008 [29 percent]; Creel and Rotella 2010
[22 percent]; Sparkman et al. 2011 [25 percent]; Gude et al. 2011 [48
percent]; Vucetich and Carroll In review [17 percent]). Furthermore,
wolf populations have been shown to increase rapidly if mortality is
reduced after severe declines (Fuller et al. 2003, pp. 181-183; Service
et al. 2012, Table 4).
After delisting, Wyoming will gradually reduce the wolf population,
manage for a buffer above the State's minimum management targets, and
adaptively manage human-caused mortality. Regarding the adaptive
management strategy, Wyoming will limit mortality as necessary in the
following order: first, Wyoming will limit control actions for
unacceptable impacts to ungulates; next the State will limit harvest
levels; then it will limit control for damage to private property;
[[Page 55554]]
and, finally, it will limit lethal take permits (WGFC 2012, p. 7). We
believe that the third and fourth sources of mortality noted above will
rarely need to be limited because all other sources of mortality will
not likely exceed what the population can withstand, leaving some
modest level of surplus wolves for harvest. However, all of these
sources of human-caused mortality can be limited, if necessary. Harvest
will be limited with an adaptive approach determining what the
population can withstand in a given year and across years. While we
expect Wyoming to reduce the wolf population in the Trophy Area and
remove most resident wolves within the predator portion of the State,
we conclude that the wolf population can tolerate the level of
mortality expected in the short term before leveling off at a longer
term equilibrium. Given the biological resilience of wolves to
controlled and managed human-caused mortality, these strategies provide
that Wyoming's minimum management targets will not be compromised. When
combined with wolves occurring in adjoining jurisdictions and across
the NRM DPS, we have high confidence that recovery will not be
compromised in Wyoming, the GYA, or across the NRM DPS.
Issue 18: Numerous commenters asserted that Wyoming's wolf
management framework remains flawed, in that it fails to clearly commit
to managing for at least 15 breeding pairs in the State. A few comments
noted that we previously stated this was a requirement, rejected
Wyoming's 2003 regulatory frameworks for failing to commit to this
minimum management target, and that the courts took issue with past
Wyoming plans and our approval of Wyoming's 2007 regulatory framework
for not clearly committing to this standard. Several comments noted
that Wyoming's ``commitment'' to maintain at least 15 breeding pairs
and at least 150 wolves statewide, in cooperation with YNP and the Wind
River Indian Reservation, was nothing more than a non-enforceable
promise. A few comments questioned whether YNP can adequately buffer
the Wyoming wolf population, citing predictions that the YNP wolf
population was declining into a lower long term equilibrium. One peer
reviewer expressed concern that, by removing the statewide goal for
Wyoming, the State's incentive to conserve wolves in protected areas is
removed, and that such wolves would be vulnerable to killing when they
left these areas.
Response 18: After careful consideration, we decided differences in
State management authority warranted a different approach to wolf
management in Wyoming versus Montana and Idaho. Nearly all wolf
populations in Montana and Idaho occur in areas under State
jurisdiction. Therefore, it makes sense for these States to manage for
a statewide total. In Wyoming, a substantial portion of the wolf
habitat and wolf population occurs in YNP, where the State has no
jurisdiction (Oakleaf 2011). Thus, it would be more difficult to manage
for a statewide total. In essence, the decision to split numeric
targets by management authority is similar to the decision to split the
overall NRM goal by State, just at a more localized level. Given this
difference, we decided that a different solution was appropriate.
The recovery goal requires at least 10 breeding pairs and at least
100 wolves per State. The new approach and agreement provides that this
goal is met in Wyoming outside YNP and the Wind River Indian
Reservation (large areas outside of State jurisdiction). Wyoming is
firmly committed to a population at least at these levels as reflected
in State statute, regulations, and its management plan. In order to
meet these goals and allow for continued management flexibility,
Wyoming intends to manage for a population above its minimum management
targets. Furthermore, the wolf populations in YNP and on the tribal
lands of sovereign nations will provide an additional buffer above the
minimum recovery goal intended by the previous management objective of
at least 15 breeding pairs and at least 150 wolves statewide. From 2000
to the end of 2011 (the most recent official wolf population estimates
available), the wolf population in YNP has ranged from 96 to 174
wolves, and between 6 to 16 breeding pairs. While a lower future
population level in YNP is predicted (between 50 to 100 wolves and 5 to
10 packs with 4 to 6 of these packs meeting the breeding pair
definition annually) (Smith 2012), YNP will always provide a secure
wolf population providing a safety margin above the minimum recovery
goal.
We conclude that the YNP wolf population can effectively buffer the
rest of the Wyoming wolf population because of the significant amount
of available habitat in the park, the sizable wolf population the park
does now and will continue to support, and the relative security of the
park population. YNP is the most protected population in the NRM DPS
and least likely to be meaningfully affected by human-caused mortality.
This security from human-caused mortality, the most significant threat
factor facing wolves in the NRM DPS, was critical in accepting the YNP
population as a buffer even though it may occasionally fall below 5
breeding pairs (although it will likely not fall below 50 wolves). In
our opinion, this sizable and secure park population is a superior
buffer to the simple 50 percent buffer used in the other States, and is
more appropriate to the Wyoming situation given differences in
management authority. Overall, while this approach represents a new
strategy to maintain this recovered population, it is consistent with
our overarching goal because it will maintain the statewide Wyoming
wolf population well above minimum recovery levels. Furthermore, based
on Wyoming's management approach (i.e., the State's commitment to
maintain at least 10 breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves, which the
State intends to satisfy by managing for a buffer above these minimums)
and our understanding of the YNP wolf population's likely future
abundance (50 to 100 wolves and 5 to 10 packs and 4 to 6 breeding
pairs), the original 15-breeding-pair and 150-wolf-minimum management
targets will rarely, if ever, be compromised.
While some have asserted that this new approach removes Wyoming's
incentive to conserve wolves resident to protected areas and that many
of these wolves could be killed when they ventured from these protected
areas, we conclude that this concern is unwarranted. The peer reviewer
who raised this point expressly noted concern for Grand Teton National
Park wolves. However, these wolves occur within the Trophy Area and are
counted in the State's totals, so Wyoming still has an incentive to
consider impacts to these wolves when making management decisions. The
same applies for wolves in the John D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial
Parkway and the National Elk Refuge. While this criticism could
theoretically be relevant to YNP wolves, most YNP packs rarely leave
the park and most of those packs that routinely leave the park occur on
the northern part of YNP, where they occasionally enter adjoining
portions of southern Montana. Montana has already taken steps to limit
impacts to YNP wolves in these adjoining areas. Most other YNP wolf
packs are not expected to be as vulnerable to human-caused mortality in
adjoining areas most years, because they generally spend less time in
these adjoining areas. Furthermore, as discussed in Factor B below, all
three States have an incentive to maintain a healthy YNP wolf
population. For example, a healthy wolf population in YNP brings
economic benefits to all three States through increased tourism.
Furthermore, there is
[[Page 55555]]
a regulatory incentive to maintain the YNP population, since we will
initiate a status review if the Wyoming statewide population, including
YNP, falls below 15 breeding pairs or below 150 wolves routinely or for
3 consecutive years. Wyoming's wolf management plan confirms Wyoming's
intention to coordinate with YNP to maintain a statewide total of at
least 15 breeding pairs and at least 150 wolves (WGFC 2011, p. 1).
Furthermore, we have previously noted potential pitfalls with
applying a simple requirement to maintain at least 15 breeding pairs
and at least 150 wolves statewide in Wyoming, and conclude that the new
approach is more likely to maintain the population's recovered status
in Wyoming than the statewide approach employed in Montana and Idaho.
Under the 15 breeding pair statewide approach, if the YNP wolf
population increased to, for example, 12 breeding pairs after
delisting, Wyoming could have reduced the wolf population outside the
park to 3 breeding pairs. However, such a robust population in YNP
would have an increased likelihood of intraspecific strife and disease,
likely resulting in a population decline similar to those observed in
YNP in 2005 and 2008. This park population decline (i.e., falling from
12 breeding pairs to, say, 5 breeding pairs), in combination with an
allowable population reduction outside the park (to as low as 3 in the
above example), could compromise the minimum recovery goal of at least
10 breeding pairs statewide. Recent analysis of this information
contributed to our conclusion that a different approach was warranted
in Wyoming.
The new strategy precludes this possibility by maintaining the
population at least at the minimum recovery goals outside YNP and the
Wind River Indian Reservation, and allows the wolf population in YNP
and on the Wind River Indian Reservation to provide the additional
buffer above the minimum recovery goal. In addition to preventing an
unacceptable population decline, this approach is also desirable to the
extent that it increases the public's understanding and expectation
that some modest wolf population and wolf distribution will, and must,
be maintained outside of the National Parks in order to maintain
delisting and State management authority. We conclude that this public
understanding of Wyoming's responsibility will result in increased
public tolerance for wolves outside of National Parks. Such public
tolerance will benefit wolf conservation. Finally, this approach is
desirable for the WGFD, because it gives the State a consistent minimum
goal that will not fluctuate across years. Such a steady goal will be
easier to consistently satisfy.
Issue 19: Many comments criticized Wyoming's commitment to maintain
at least 10 breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves outside YNP and the
Wind River Indian Reservation. Some indicated this commitment was too
low and that the area can support more wolves. Many comments expressed
general concern that State management would result in significant wolf
population reductions (a 40 to 60 percent reduction was most often
cited). Several peer reviewers thought these goals should be met within
the Trophy Area instead of across all of Wyoming given the insecurity
of wolves in the predator area. Some comments complained that at the
time of the draft proposal, Wyoming's commitment to these targets was
not reflected in binding statutes or regulations. A few comments
expressed concern that reporting mortality could occur 24 hours to 10
days after the event, during which significant mortality could occur,
compromising management objectives. Numerous comments, including the
peer reviewers, recommended that the Wyoming Gray Wolf Management Plan
clearly commit to maintain a ``sizable'' buffer above minimum
population targets. Other commenters recommended that Wyoming develop a
specific numeric buffer and that this buffer needed to be enshrined in
statute or regulation before delisting could occur. The peer reviewers
also expressed concern over the potential rate of wolf population
reduction, and recommended that the Wyoming Gray Wolf Management Plan
provide a better explanation of the adaptive processes (including use
of monitoring data) that will guide wolf population reductions. Many
comments indicated a gradual population reduction was unlikely since
Wyoming's regulatory framework authorizes numerous, competing sources
of human-caused mortality. Other comments suggested State commitments
to maintain numeric management objectives must be binding and
enforceable. Some noted that when we accepted commitments short of this
standard in the past, the States failed to meet the commitments.
Response 19: Consistent with our agreement with the State, both
Wyoming statutes and regulations now require Wyoming to maintain at
least 10 breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves outside YNP and the
Wind River Indian Reservation at the end of the year. Wolves in the
predator area will count towards these goals (i.e., they will be
reported at the end of the year should they persist through that
period), but will not be relied upon by the WGFD when making wolf
management decisions (e.g., when setting hunting quotas) necessary to
ensure the State maintains at least minimum management targets (WGFC
2012, p. 3). This approach was demonstrated this year when the WGFD and
the WGFC developed hunting quotas that provide Wyoming with a
substantial cushion above the minimum management targets solely within
the Trophy Area and allow any resident wolves that persist in the
predator area to further buffer these minimum requirements.
While Wyoming can support more wolves than the agreement requires,
the Act does not require managing the species at carrying capacity.
Instead, it requires achieving and maintaining recovery and providing
reasonable assurance of long term viability so that the population does
not again become threatened or endangered. We have determined that
Wyoming's approach to wolf management after delisting will achieve
these goals and, when considered in the region's larger management
scheme, will maintain recovery in Wyoming, the GYA, and across the NRM
DPS.
Wyoming intends to meet its statutory and regulatory standards by
managing for a buffer above minimum management targets (WGFC 2012, pp.
3-5). The population will be routinely and continuously monitored to
detect changes in population abundance, distribution, and demographic
makeup. All mortality within the Trophy Area will be reported within 72
hours (W.S. 23-1-304(d)(iv); W.S. 23-3-115(c)) including: Take
authorized by lethal take permits, which must be reported within 24
hours (chapter 21, section 7(b)(v)); harvest, which must be reported
within 24 hours (chapter 47, section 4(f)(i)); and defense of property
take, which must be reported within 72 hours (W.S. 23-1-304(d)(iv);
W.S. 23-3-115(c); chapter 21, section 6(a)). Mortality in the predator
area (which after the first year will likely be limited) must be
reported within 10 days (W.S. 23-1-304(d)(iii); WGFC 2011, p. 29).
Should Wyoming's wolf population approach minimum management
objectives, the State will sequentially limit: control actions for
unacceptable impacts to ungulates; harvest levels; control for damage
to private property; and lethal take permits (WGFC 2012, p. 7).
Regarding hunting specifically, the addendum notes that Wyoming would
employ an iterative, adaptive, and public process whereby season
structures, hunt areas, and quotas are
[[Page 55556]]
evaluated and adjusted based on the response of the wolf population to
prior management actions (WGFC 2012, pp. 4-7). Furthermore, the
addendum notes Wyoming's authority to revise, reduce, or close hunting
seasons if necessary (WGFC 2012, pp. 6-7). Such flexibility allows the
State to adaptively respond to population problems should its
assumptions on susceptibility to human-caused mortality prove overly
optimistic. Overall, we conclude that this approach of managing,
monitoring, and regulating and limiting human-caused mortality,
including adjustments throughout the year as necessary, so that minimum
management targets will be achieved, the population's recovered status
will not be compromised, and the population will not again become
endangered within the foreseeable future throughout all or a
significant portion of its range.
We decided against requiring Wyoming to provide a specific numeric
buffer above these minimum management targets. While Wyoming will, and
must, maintain a buffer to consistently meet its minimum management
targets, the buffer necessary to achieve this goal will change over
time. For example, current information indicates approximately 140
wolves have a 95 percent chance of producing at least 10 breeding pairs
(Bruscino 2012, p. 5). Similarly, Wyoming anticipates hunting and other
sources of mortality will reduce the Trophy Area's wolf population to
around 170 wolves and around 15 breeding pairs at the end of 2012 (well
above Wyoming's management goals) (Mills 2012, pers. comm.). While
these models are a reasonable short term predictor of population
response, they are based on population data while the Act's protections
were in place. After delisting, management differences will likely
alter population dynamics and change the usefulness of the currently
available data to predict the number of wolves needed to meet or exceed
the State's breeding pair target. For example, higher mortality rates
may result in fewer packs successfully raising pups through the end of
the year and qualifying as breeding pairs.
The exact difference between current minimum estimates and likely
future outcomes are not known and probably will not be known with any
certainty until after the new management regime is implemented (likely
for several years). Given this fact, we concluded that a firm
commitment to the underlying minimum management target was sufficient,
recognizing the State would monitor the population after delisting and
adjust management over time based on this new data, including learning
what the population can withstand (in terms of the amount, timing, and
intensity of human-caused mortality) and how to consistently meet or
exceed the State's minimum management targets long term. This approach
is more appropriate biologically than us developing an arbitrary,
mandatory buffer based on current data that is unlikely to be an
accurate predictor of long term population response after delisting.
Regarding the rate of reduction, Wyoming has consistently indicated
it intends to pursue a gradual population reduction during this
learning phase. To this end, Wyoming's 2012 hunting quota (52 wolves)
is anticipated to reduce the Trophy Area wolf population by about 11.5
percent and result in a Trophy Area wolf population of around 170
wolves and 15 breeding pairs at the end of 2012 (Mills 2012, pers.
comm.). This initial goal is comfortably above the minimum agreed-upon
population targets and is consistent with the stated intention of a
gradual population reduction. In future years, hunting quotas will be
set later in the year to allow full consideration of recruitment and
mortality events that occurred during spring and summer. In the long
term, the State has sufficient discretion to allow continued gradual
population reductions as necessary and appropriate, before stabilizing
the population comfortably above the minimum recovery goals.
Overall, given the biological resilience of wolves to controlled
and managed human-caused mortality, these strategies will provide that
Wyoming's minimum management targets are not compromised. When combined
with wolves occurring in adjoining jurisdictions and across the NRM
DPS, we have high confidence recovery will not be compromised in
Wyoming, the GYA, or across the NRM DPS.
Issue 20: One peer reviewer expressed concern that the State's
reliance on minimum population numbers, instead of estimates that
incorporate detection probabilities, could result in improper
assumptions about trends. This reviewer went on to indicate that if the
State increased monitoring intensity as the population gets closer and
closer to the minimum management targets, this increasing monitoring
intensity could result in the appearance of a population increase when
actual populations are declining. For example, if a raw count of 105
wolves one year detected only 80 percent of the population and a raw
count of 115 wolves the next year detected 95 percent of the
population, raw counts would imply an increasing population (from 105
to 115 wolves) when the actual population would have declined (from 131
wolves to 121 wolves). Such data could lead State officials to increase
quotas and other take allowances even as populations are declining.
Issues associated with such errors would be increasingly risky the
closer the State is to its minimum population target.
Response 20: We concluded that risk associated with such potential
population counting errors will be minimal because detection in Wyoming
will be high under State management, year in and year out. Several
factors contribute to this likely high detection rate including: WGFD's
survey effort will be greater than what has been occurring under
Service management because WGFD has substantially more human power
dedicated to wildlife management in northwestern Wyoming than we do;
and the geography and use of the area is conducive to wolf detection.
These factors will result in a high detection rate, likely higher than
we achieved in the past. Therefore, while estimates of abundance and
trends will not be perfect, we conclude that they are likely to always
be sufficiently reliable assuming maintenance of an adequate buffer
above minimum recovery levels.
That said, the importance of this issue and any possible erroneous
conclusions about abundance and trends is dependent on how close
Wyoming manages to its minimum population targets. In 2012, Wyoming's
take allowances are expected to maintain around 170 wolves and 15
breeding pairs outside of YNP and the Wind River Indian Reservation at
the end of the year (Mills 2012, pers. comm.). As discussed in Issue
and Response 19 above, in subsequent years the population will likely
be gradually reduced, but always maintained with a sufficient buffer to
allow management flexibility and preclude the possibility that
relisting could occur. In most years, the wolf population within the
Trophy Area will be well above the minimum management targets of at
least 10 breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves. Minimum counts will
verify that the State has achieved these goals (as discussed in Issue
and Response 2 above). Wolves in YNP and the Wind River Indian
Reservation provide an additional buffer so that the statewide minimum
recovery level is not compromised. Within the larger GYA, wolves in the
Montana and Idaho portion of the GYA provide additional representation,
resiliency, and redundancy across the overall GYA population. Such a
conservative approach sufficiently minimizes the risk
[[Page 55557]]
associated with erroneous conclusions about trends resulting from
fluctuating detection probabilities. While we would support the
development of a monitoring technique that incorporates detection
probabilities, and Wyoming has indicated that it is open to such an
approach if subsequent data indicate that there is a need (State law
requires Wyoming to employ techniques that accurately determine the
population (W.S. 23-1-304(d)(i))) (Mills 2012, pers. comm.), we
conclude that current techniques are adequate, given the overall
management approach that will be employed in the Trophy Area, the GYA,
and the NRM region.
Issue 21: A few commenters thought it problematic that the agreed-
upon strategy places the burden of meeting the minimum recovery goal
(at least 10 breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves) on areas outside
of YNP. These comments pointed out that the proposed rule appeared to
view YNP as merely playing ``a supporting role'' in maintaining
recovery, rather than the central role the park is likely to play,
given its abundance of high-quality suitable habitat. These comments
note this approach is a complete reversal from previous Wyoming wolf
management plans, which relied primarily on YNP to meet the minimum
recovery levels, with Wyoming providing the buffer above the minimum
levels. Some comments maintained YNP should bear a greater burden for
wolf recovery and commit to maintain specific numbers of wolves. Others
wanted clarification that the agreement with Wyoming in no way
obligates the State of Wyoming to manage for more than 10 breeding
pairs and more than 100 wolves at any time.
Response 21: Our discussion of YNP was not intended to downplay or
undermine the importance of YNP for the conservation of the GYA or NRM
gray wolf population. YNP represents a secure block of suitable
habitat, which has supported between 96 and 174 wolves and from 6 to 16
breeding pairs since 2000. While a lower long term future population
level in YNP is predicted (Smith 2012), YNP will continue to be
important to the regional wolf population and will play an important
role in maintaining the regional wolf population's recovered status. We
agree that this approach is a modification from that used in previous
Wyoming wolf management plans, but it is an approach that we requested
as a remedy to our previous determination that the Wyoming management
plan was inadequate. In fact, recovery in Wyoming depends both on
having healthy populations within YNP as well as the additional 100
wolves and 10 breeding pairs outside the YNP. The combination of these
two conservation areas will provide for wolf recovery in Wyoming.
Issue 22: Numerous comments objected to Wyoming's approach to
lethal take permits. Some objected to the State's statutory mandate to
issue lethal take permits as long as population objectives are not
likely to be compromised. Others objected to the issuance of lethal
take permits for ``harassing'' livestock or domestic animals. These
comments indicated that harassment is not defined and could include,
for example, causing dogs to bark or cattle to move from one grazing
area to another. These comments went on to indicate that because an
area would be categorized as a chronic wolf depredation area if there
are two harassment episodes within a 2-month period, this could allow
large portions of Wyoming to be designated as a chronic wolf
depredation area, which, in turn, would authorize liberal mortality
over most of the Trophy Area. One comment suggested that this ``flimsy
standard'' could result in the issuance of hundreds of permits (perhaps
more permits than wolves exist in the Trophy Area). Some commenters
wondered how long it would take the WGFD to figure out whether there
was a need to suspend or cancel permits and whether this could endanger
the ability of the State to maintain the population above agreed-upon
targets. A few comments noted there was not a quantitative limit on the
size of a chronic depredation area or the number of permits in such
areas indicating resulting take could be significant. Other comments
noted safeguards and limits on lethal take permit issuance designed to
minimize population-level impacts and prevent this source of mortality
from compromising management objectives.
Response 22: Wyoming law (W.S. 23-1-304(n)) states that permits
``shall be issued'' to landowners or livestock owners in cases where
wolves are harassing, injuring, maiming, or killing livestock or other
domesticated animals, and where wolves occupy geographic areas where
chronic wolf predation occurs. Numerous safeguards limit the potential
of these permits to detrimentally affect the population. For example,
State statute requires that permits be issued, and renewed as
necessary, in 45-day increments (W.S. 23-1-304(n)), and State
regulations limit the take allowance for each permit to a maximum of 2
gray wolves, and specify that each permit can only apply to a specified
limited geographic or legally described area (chapter 21, section
7(b)(ii)). These requirements provide that application of this source
of take is limited in time and geography. Similarly, State regulations
indicate that purported cases of wolf harassment, injury, maiming, or
killing must be verified by the WGFD (chapter 21, section 6(b)). We
conclude that this requirement for WGFD verification would limit
potential abuse for this source of mortality. Regarding the issuance of
lethal take permits for wolves ``harassing'' livestock or domestic
animals, Wyoming will require that WGFD staff verify that wolves were
present and involved in activities that would directly indicate an
actual attack was likely (Mead 2012b). Such activity must be an
activity, such as chasing or molesting, that is an immediate precursor
to actual biting, wounding, grasping, or killing (Mead 2012b). Similar
allowances are incorporated in our experimental population rules (50
CFR 17.84(n)(3)).
Finally, and most importantly, State law (W.S. 23-1-304(n)) and the
implementing regulations (chapter 21, section 7(b)(iii)) clarify that
existing permits would be cancelled, and issuance of new permits would
be suspended, if the WGFD determines further lethal control could
compromise the State's ability to maintain a population of at least 10
breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves in Wyoming outside of YNP and
the Wind River Indian Reservation at the end of the calendar year.
Importantly, the word ``could'' (as opposed to would or will) provides
authority for the WGFD to manage for a buffer above the minimum target
and limit control from lethal take permits, if necessary, to maintain
an adequate minimum buffer. However, the Addendum to the Wyoming Gray
Wolf Management Plan explains that the State law's mandatory approach
to issuance of lethal take permits requires that Wyoming's adaptive
management framework limit other discretionary sources of mortality
before it limits this source of mortality (WGFC 2012, p. 7).
On the whole, the available information indicates that Wyoming's
approach to lethal take permits may affect population abundance
(particularly at a localized level where wolf-livestock conflict is
high), but that Wyoming has instituted sufficient safeguards so that
this source of mortality would not compromise the State's ability to
maintain a population of at least 10 breeding pairs and at least 100
wolves in Wyoming outside of YNP and the Wind River Indian Reservation
at the end of the calendar year.
[[Page 55558]]
Issue 23: We received many comments on the permanent Trophy Area
and the predator area. Many of these comments asserted this line was
arbitrary and not scientifically derived. A few comments ridiculed an
approach that assumed wolves would adhere to human-made boundaries.
Most of these comments thought that the WGFD should be given management
authority statewide (note that the WGFD does not have management
authority over wolves in the predator area). Some comments noted that
Wyoming treats other predators (e.g., mountain lions and black bears)
as trophy game animals statewide, while others noted that wolves are
not managed as predators in any other State in the country. Many
suggested a predator designation was unnecessary because State
management provides plenty of management flexibility to address wolf
problems as evidenced by the Wyoming gray wolf plan's long list of
lethal options.
Some comments asserted that Wyoming's new strategy including the
Trophy Area and the flex zone was almost the same or only marginally
better than previously rejected State regulatory frameworks and accused
the Service of reversing itself on this issue. These comments noted
that our 2009 delisting determination had stated support for a state-
wide trophy game status and provided numerous reasons why we felt such
an approach was ``advisable'' and ``the best way for Wyoming to provide
adequate regulatory mechanisms.'' Some noted that we previously found
statewide trophy game status would provide WGFD more flexibility to
devise an adaptive management strategy that allows the State to respond
to population declines and still maintain its numeric objectives.
Others thought areas like the Big Horn Mountains, Wind River Range,
Wyoming Range, and Salt Range could support wolves and should be
protected (not designated as a predator area) so recovery can
eventually take hold in these areas. Still other comments supported
State management and indicated the State's Trophy Area was adequate
because it includes most of the suitable habitat.
One peer reviewer noted that there was no functional difference
between Wyoming's predator status across largely unsuitable habitat and
management in eastern Montana and southern Idaho (today or while
listed) that precluded wolf pack establishment in these areas. A number
of comments indicated that we must approve Wyoming's dual status
approach, because we had previously concluded such an approach was
acceptable (Hall 2007; 73 FR 10514, February 27, 2008), noting only
minor issues that needed to be remedied (Gould 2009; 74 FR 15123, April
2, 2009). A few comments advocated for a smaller Trophy Area, asserting
that all wolves outside of National Parks should be considered
predators.
Response 23: We recognize our position on this issue may have led
people to view our perspective as changing over time without reasoned
justification. We clarify our position here. A statewide Trophy Area
has long been our preferred approach to sustain wolf conservation, but
that something less than a statewide trophy game designation (i.e., the
current Trophy Area) can satisfy the species' biological needs and
maintain Wyoming's share of a recovered wolf population assuming
adequate management within this area.
This issue is important because designation of an area as a
predator area or a Trophy Area strongly influences the likelihood of
wolf and wolf pack persistence within the area. ``Trophy game'' status
allows the WGFC and WGFD to regulate methods of take, hunting seasons,
types of allowed take, and numbers of wolves that can be killed. All
other States within the NRM DPS manage wolves as a game species
statewide. ``Predatory animals'' in Wyoming are regulated by the
State's Department of Agriculture under title 11, chapter 6 of the
Wyoming Statutes. Under these regulations, wolves in predator areas can
be killed by anyone with very few restrictions. Coyotes are managed in
Wyoming in this manner. The nature of this taking means it is unlikely
that wolf packs or breeding pairs will persist in the predator area of
Wyoming. While some lone wolves and dispersing wolves from both within
the GYA and from other metapopulations will be killed, lone wolves and
dispersers will likely be less prone to take than resident packs, whose
locations are easily detected and ranges are easily determined.
Given these impacts, our assessment of adequacy analyzed whether
the Trophy Area is of sufficient size to support and maintain a
recovered wolf population in Wyoming over the long term, assuming
adequate management within this area. This assessment compared
Wyoming's Trophy Area to past assessments of where we thought wolf
recovery would occur, subsequent modeling exercises showing where
wolves are most likely to occur and persist, and actual wolf
distributional data of where wolves persisted under the Act's
protections. In total, Wyoming wolves will be managed as game animals
year-round or protected in about 38,500 km\2\ (15,000 mi\2\) in the
northwestern portion of the State (15.2 percent of Wyoming (Lickfett
2012)), including YNP, Grand Teton National Park, John D. Rockefeller,
Jr. Memorial Parkway, adjacent U.S. Forest Service, designated
Wilderness Areas, adjacent public and private lands, the National Elk
Refuge, and most of the Wind River Indian Reservation. Wolves will be
designated as predatory animals in the remainder of the State (predator
area).
The above protected and permanent game areas (see Figure 1)
include: 100 percent of the portion of the GYA recovery area within
Wyoming (Service 1987, Figure 2); approximately 79 percent of the
Wyoming portion of the primary analysis area used in the 1994
Environmental Impact Statement (areas analyzed as potentially being
impacted by wolf recovery in the GYA) (Service 1994, Figure 1.1); the
entire home range for 24 of 27 breeding pairs (88 percent), 40 of 48
packs (83 percent), and 282 of 328 individual wolves (86 percent) in
the State at the end of 2011 (Service et al. 2012, Tables 2, 4, Figure
3; Jimenez 2012a; Jimenez 2012, pers. comm.); and approximately 81
percent of the State's suitable habitat (including over 81 percent of
the high-quality habitat (greater than 80 percent chance of supporting
wolves) and over 62 percent of the medium-high-quality habitat (50 to
79 percent chance of supporting wolves) (Oakleaf 2011; Mead 2012a)).
Based on the above analysis, it is clear that this is the portion of
Wyoming where wolf recovery was always envisioned to occur, that wolves
have failed to persist in large numbers outside of this area, that the
vast majority of the State's suitable habitat is contained within this
portion of Wyoming, and that this portion of Wyoming has a demonstrated
history of being able to support a wolf population that exceeds agreed-
upon minimum management targets. While a statewide trophy game
designation would allow for more management flexibility, Wyoming's
current Trophy Area is of sufficient size to support and maintain a
recovered wolf population in Wyoming over the long term, assuming
adequate management within this area.
To understand our position on the Trophy Area, it is useful to
review our past positions on this issue. Prior to 2003, the gray wolf
was designated by W.S. 23-1-101(a)(viii) as a predatory animal
statewide in Wyoming. In 2003, Wyoming passed a State law that
designated wolves as ``trophy Game'' in YNP, Grand Teton National Park,
John D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway, and the adjacent USFS-
designated Wilderness areas (Wyoming House Bill
[[Page 55559]]
0229) once the wolf is delisted from the Act. This State law also
allowed the WGFC to increase the Trophy Area if certain population
targets were not achieved. The 2003 permanent Trophy Area totaled about
7 percent of Wyoming (Lickfett 2011). Wyoming's 2003 post-delisting
regulatory framework was rejected because of several flaws including
(but not solely because of) an insufficiently small Trophy Area
(Williams 2004c). Our 2006 petition finding clarified that ``a large
portion of the area permanently designated as `trophy game' actually
has little to no value to wolf packs because it is not suitable habitat
for wolves and, thus, is [seasonally] used * * * because of their high
elevation, deep snow, and low ungulate productivity'' (71 FR 43410,
August 1, 2006). Overall, we concluded that a larger Trophy Area was
necessary because maintenance of wolf populations above recovery levels
would likely depend on wolves living outside the National Parks and
wilderness portions of Wyoming (71 FR 43410, August 1, 2006). In 2007,
Wyoming adopted new legislation that increased the Trophy Area. This
new Trophy Area, comparable to the current protected and trophy areas,
was deemed sufficient to provide for the conservation of Wyoming's
share of a recovered wolf population (Hall 2007; 73 FR 10514, February
27, 2008). However, this approval was later retracted, in part, because
Wyoming's 2007 legislation allowed the WGFC to diminish the Trophy Area
to the 2003 line if it determines the diminution would not impede the
delisting of gray wolves (Defenders of Wildlife, et al., v. Hall, et
al., 565 F.Supp.2d 1160 (D. Mont. 2008); Gould 2009; 74 FR 15123, April
2, 2009).
The current Trophy Area improves upon the 2003 Trophy Area as it is
significantly larger and not subject to WGFC expansion or reduction.
The current Trophy Area improves upon the 2007 Trophy Area in that: (1)
It is permanent and cannot be diminished; and (2) it will be seasonally
expanded approximately 80 km (50 mi) south (see Figure 3) (an
additional 3,300 km\2\ (1,300 mi\2\) or 1.3 percent of Wyoming) from
October 15 to the last day of February (28th or 29th) to facilitate
natural dispersal of wolves between Wyoming and Idaho. While many
commenters asserted that these changes were minor tweaks that do not
justify a departure from past Service positions, we conclude that these
changes are biologically substantive and important. These and other
changes were sufficient for us to determine that the current plan
rectifies the inadequacies of the previous plan.
Many comments note the Service's prior preference for statewide
trophy game designation. We acknowledge that many official statements
on this issue (i.e., letters from the Director or Federal Register
notices) demonstrate that we consistently questioned past Wyoming
Trophy Area designations and concluded a revision was necessary or
required. However, a careful inspection of the record will show that
most statements regarding a statewide trophy game designation describe
this approach as advisable or recommended, rather than required. While
there are exceptions to this generalized summary of our position in the
record, an overall reading of the record confirms this account of our
position over time.
Issue 24: Some comments expressed the opinion that predator status
across most of the State would subject wolves to unsustainable levels
of mortality and compromise the population's recovered status. A few
comments asserted that the vast majority of wolves in Wyoming would be
subjected to unlimited and unregulated taking. Some comments supported
the ``very strict'' requirements for reporting wolf mortality in the
predator area, while other comments questioned whether the monitoring
and collection of genetic samples would be mandatory. Several comments
expressed concern that wolves from YNP, Grand Teton National Park, John
D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway, and the National Elk Refuge would
be killed when they venture outside those protected areas. These
comments indicated this outcome would be exacerbated when wolves follow
elk to neighboring elk feeding grounds. One comment suggested State and
Federal officials develop a protocol for collaboration and coordination
before wolf removal occurs on feed grounds in the Jackson area, in
light of potential impacts to Grand Teton National Park and National
Elk Refuge wolves. Use of nonlethal take was particularly recommended
on elk feedgrounds. A few comments recommended a 20-mile buffer around
the Trophy Area to protect wolf parents during the denning and pup
rearing season. Other comments objected to the Trophy Area being set in
statute, to the extent it prevents an expansion of the Trophy Area,
even if it becomes necessary to protect wolf populations.
A few comments noted occupancy rarely persisted in the predator
areas even when wolves were listed, so all the predator status does is
change the form of mortality these wolves endure from agency control
when they kill livestock to preemptive landowner control. Still other
comments disputed our assertion that wolves in the predator area would
likely not persist. These comments asserted take in this area, once the
initial novelty wears off, would likely be ``opportunistic'' rather
than a ``wholesale extirpation.'' Some of these comments expressed the
opinion that individual wolves, packs and breeding pairs could or would
occasionally occur in less densely populated portions of eastern
Wyoming. Others suggested control in the predator area is nothing new
because most wolves in this area are already killed because they tend
to become problem wolves. Still others expressed the view that wolves
should be ``controlled by any means'' if they move outside ``their
designated range.''
Response 24: Although a large predator area will result in forms of
mortality that many members of the public view as inhumane or unethical
(see Issue and Response 31 below), this portion of Wyoming's regulatory
framework will not subject wolves to unsustainable levels of mortality
or compromise the population's recovered status. In fact, few wolves
currently occur in the predator area where such unlimited taking will
be allowed (at the end of 2011, this included: 3 of 27 breeding pairs;
8 of 48 packs; and 46 of 328 wolves). As in eastern Montana and
southern Idaho, wolf restoration will not occur in largely unsuitable
habitat regardless of its management designation.
Wolf packs in the predator portions of Wyoming are easy to detect
and locate and will generally not persist following delisting. However,
some individuals from these packs could survive as lone animals.
Because none of the packs resident to YNP or the Trophy Area are known
to spend a significant portion of their time in the predator portions
of Wyoming (Jimenez 2012 a; Jimenez 2012, pers. comm.), the predator
designation is not expected to meaningfully affect wolves in YNP or in
the Trophy Area (Jimenez 2012, pers. comm.). While a larger Trophy Area
may benefit wolves and wolf conservation, protected and game portions
of Wyoming are of sufficient size to support a recovered wolf
population in Wyoming, under the management regime developed for this
area.
Finally, State law requires that any human-caused mortality
occurring in the predator area must be reported to WGFD within 10 days
(W.S. 23-1-304(d)(iii)). This will assist the WGFD with monitoring
mortality in the predator area and allow the State to adjust mortality
within the Trophy
[[Page 55560]]
Area, if necessary. The State will also collect genetic samples from
these animals when possible (chapter 21, section 5(a)).
Issue 25: Many comments expressed concern about the potential for
the hunting of wolves on Federal land and that this delisting rule
represented a new management arrangement between the Department of the
Interior and the State of Wyoming for particular areas (e.g., National
Parks or Wildlife Refuges) that would supersede existing law,
regulations, or policy. The most frequently mentioned land ownership
categories included the National Elk Refuge, Grand Teton National Park,
John D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway, Wilderness Areas and
Wilderness Study Areas, and Forest Service lands. Many comments
expressed concern that inclusion of an area in Wyoming's Trophy Area
implied an intention by the State of Wyoming to hunt wolves in these
areas. Specifically, some were confused by YNP's exclusion from the
Trophy Area, contrasted with Grand Teton National Park's inclusion when
management in these areas should be comparable, if not identical. Other
comments expressed concern that Wyoming claimed jurisdiction over
private lands within Grand Teton National Park and might authorize
hunting within the park's boundaries. Many expressed concern for
hunting in the John D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway, noting such
hunting would sever a critical connectivity corridor between Grand
Teton National Park and YNP. Other comments expressed concern that
National Park system wolves would be killed when they left the park and
suggested that buffers with no hunting or subunits immediately
adjoining these units be established with very limited quotas to
protect these wolves. Finally, a few comments expressed concern that
Wyoming claimed jurisdiction for non-Indian fee title lands within the
Wind River Indian Reservation, meaning any wolves on these lands would
be treated as a predator.
Response 25: Nothing in this rule would alter, or in any way
affect, the jurisdiction or authority of the State of Wyoming, Tribal
governments, the National Park Service, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife
Service, or any other entity with respect to the regulation of hunting.
Whatever jurisdiction or authority to authorize, prohibit, or regulate
hunting existed in such areas prior to this final rule is unchanged by
the promulgation of this rule (except, of course, that this rule
removes the protections of the Act for wolves in Wyoming). More
specifically, inclusion of an area in the Trophy Area does not imply a
delegation of management authority to the State or in any way alter
existing management arrangements. Inclusion in the Trophy Area does not
necessarily mean hunting or other State control actions will be
allowed. Grand Teton National Park was included in the Trophy Area and
YNP was not because wolves occurring in Grand Teton National Park are
likely to spend significant amounts of their time in areas under State
jurisdiction (including possibly denning in the Trophy Area) whereas
most YNP wolf packs spend most of their time in YNP. Thus, it makes
sense to count Grand Teton National Park wolves in the State's
management totals, and it makes sense to exclude YNP wolves from the
State's management objectives. For utmost clarity, below we summarize
management authority for the most often mentioned areas within the
Trophy Area.
Within the National Elk Refuge (included in the Trophy Area), the
refuge retains all authority and responsibility to manage all wolves on
the Refuge including, but not limited to, monitoring, research,
harvest, and wolf control for depredations on domestic animals and
negative impacts on wildlife. Recreational wolf hunting and trapping is
not currently authorized on the refuge and is not anticipated, but
could be considered in the future (Kallin 2012, pers. comm.). Regarding
predator management, regional Service guidance clarifies that
management decisions are the purview of the refuge manager, but that
generally: Agency-directed population management activities (i.e.,
those intended solely to reduce or control predator populations) would
not be allowed on refuge lands; ground-based control activities (but
not aerial gunning) could be allowed for specific animals or family
groups likely responsible for documented livestock depredations on
neighboring or adjoining lands (subject to National Environmental
Policy Act compliance); and requests to conduct nonlethal activities
such as surveillance, live-trapping, marking, or radio-collaring by
partners could be granted (Coleman 2011). The Service will continue to
monitor and report on wolves located on the National Elk Refuge (Kallin
2012a). These wolves will count toward the State's objective of at
least 10 breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves outside YNP and the
Wind River Indian Reservation (Kallin 2012a).
Within National Park System units, hunting is not allowed unless
the authorizing legislation specifically provides for it. Thus, hunting
will not occur within YNP or Grand Teton National Park (Frost and
Wessels 2012; Joss 2012; Mead 2012b). Although the Addendum to
Wyoming's Wolf Management Plan asserts the state's authority to manage
wolves on inholdings within Grand Teton National Park, hunting of
wolves on those inholdings would not be allowed because hunting within
Grand Teton National Park is not authorized by federal law, and is
therefore prohibited. Title 36 of the Code of Federal Regulations makes
clear that the hunting prohibition is applicable on all lands within
the park boundary, regardless of ownership. Therefore, taking of wolves
would not be allowed on any of the inholdings within the park. The
exception to the hunting prohibition within the park is the elk
reduction program, which is a management tool specifically included in
the park's enabling legislation.
Although hunting is currently allowed for many other game species
in the John D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway under the Parkway's
enabling legislation and Wyoming law, the National Park Service has
indicated a ``strong preference that wolves not be hunted in the John
D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway'' (Frost and Wessels 2012).
Wyoming's hunting regulations are clear that gray wolf hunting would
not occur in the Parkway during the 2012 season, although nothing in
Wyoming's regulations or Wyoming's wolf management plan would preclude
wolves from being hunted in the Parkway in subsequent years. Should
hunting ever occur in the John D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway, it
would likely be very limited, would be unlikely to noticeably affect
wolf gene flow or connectivity, and it would be closely coordinated
with the National Park Service.
Some wolves in protected areas, such as Grand Teton National Park
or the National Elk Refuge, will be vulnerable to hunting and other
forms of human-caused mortality when they leave these Federal land
management units. These wolves were included in the Trophy Area for
exactly this reason. Because Wyoming counts these wolves in its totals,
it has an incentive to minimize impacts to these wolves (e.g., more
wolves, packs, and breeding pairs in these protected Federal lands
means fewer wolves are needed for recovery in the remainder of the
Trophy Area). Such information influenced Wyoming's intended harvest in
2012. Specifically, in 2012, Wyoming authorized a harvest of 15 wolves
in all of the units adjoining Grand Teton National Park (more than 60
wolves occur in Grand Teton
[[Page 55561]]
National Park and the surrounding area). We expect that harvest will
have a minimal impact on Grand Teton National Park wolves because: The
surrounding units are fairly large; we have no reason to assume harvest
in these units will be concentrated along park boundaries; and some
reproduction will occur. Similar considerations will also occur in
future years. Furthermore, should such mortality result in higher than
expected impacts in 2012 or future years, we expect Wyoming to work
with the Service and National Park Service to address the issue (Mills
2012, pers. comm.). Should it ever become necessary, Wyoming could
consider smaller hunting units for areas adjoining these protected
areas. Similar strategies have been successfully implemented in Montana
in areas adjoining YNP.
Within Forest Service lands, including Wilderness Areas and
Wilderness Study Areas (which are generally Forest Service lands), the
Forest Service typically defers to States on hunting decisions (16
U.S.C. 480, 528, 551, 1133; 43 U.S.C. 1732(b)). The primary exception
to this deference is the Forest Service's authority to identify areas
and periods when hunting is not permitted (43 U.S.C. 1732(b)). However,
even these decisions are to be developed in consultation with the
States. Thus, most State-authorized hunting occurs on State and Federal
public lands like National Forests, Wilderness Areas, and Wilderness
Study Areas. Bureau of Land Management lands are managed similarly.
This rule does not change or in any way alter this arrangement.
Regarding the Wind River Indian Reservation, we understand that
Wyoming claims management authority of non-Indian fee title lands and
on Bureau of Reclamation lands within the Wind River Indian
Reservation's boundaries. Thus, wolves will be classified as game
animals (Shoshone and Arapaho Tribal Fish and Game Department 2007, pp.
2-3, 9) within about 80 percent of the reservation and will be treated
as predators on the remaining 20 percent (Hnilicka 2012). Predator
status would have minimal impact on wolf management and abundance,
because these inholdings tend to be concentrated on the eastern side of
the reservation outside of reported areas of wolf activity (Shoshone
and Arapaho Tribal Fish and Game Department 2007, Figure 1). We note
that, while the Shoshone and Arapaho Tribes do not agree that Wyoming
has authority over these lands, to date the Tribes have not challenged
this management authority for other wildlife species. Therefore, we
assume that if any wolves occur in these areas they will be treated as
predators.
Issue 26: Some comments expressed concern that State management and
the resulting increased human-caused mortality would negatively affect
surviving wolves and packs across the region. Some comments focused on
the impact to pack social structure. Others focused on psychological
trauma and increased stress to survivors which in turn could affect
their own likelihood of survival. A few comments noted that even in a
relatively large protected area, human harvesting outside park
boundaries can affect evolutionarily important social patterns within
protected areas.
Response 26: Wolf packs frequently have high rates of natural
turnover (Mech 2007, p. 1482) and quickly adapt to changes in pack
social structure (Brainerd et al. 2008, p. 89). Higher rates of human-
caused mortality outside protected areas will result in different wolf
pack size and structure than in protected areas. However, wolf
populations in many parts of the world, including most of North
America, experience various levels of human-caused mortality and the
associated disruption in natural processes and wolf social structure,
without ever being threatened (Boitani 2003, pp. 322-323). Therefore,
while human-caused mortality may alter pack structure, we have no
evidence that indicates this issue, if adequately regulated (as will
occur in the NRM region), is a significant concern for wolf
conservation.
Issue 27: A few comments opined that Wyoming State law would allow
abuse of the State's defense of property allowance. Specifically, some
opined that Wyoming's chapter 21 and State statutes (W.S. 23-3-115)
could allow the use of dogs or livestock as bait to encourage wolves to
attack, which would in turn allow the killing of the offending wolf
``doing damage to private property.'' These comments noted this is
different than our experimental population rule's allowances for
defense of property, where such baiting was specifically prohibited.
Response 27: A representative from the Wyoming Attorney General's
Office indicated the baiting scenario laid out above could be
prosecuted under State law (Nesvik 2012). Regardless, we conclude that
such a scenario is unlikely to occur and exceedingly unlikely to become
a meaningful source of mortality. Should a member of the public desire
to pursue wolf removal, rather than risk violating State laws and
regulations, most would pursue either a hunting tag or a lethal take
permit. Such permitted take would be regulated and limited as
necessary. Furthermore, from a practical standpoint, such baiting is
likely to be very time consuming given the difficulty of trying to
actually catch a wolf ``doing damage to private property.'' In the
unlikely event that this theoretical issue becomes a regular source of
uncontrollable mortality, similar to legitimate defense of property
allowances, it would result in a smaller harvest quota or other limits
on controllable human-caused mortality as a means of compensating and
ensuring the population's recovered status is not compromised. This
approach is adequate to address this improbable, theoretical issue.
Issue 28: Many comments objected to killing wolves for eating their
natural prey. These comments dispute the conclusion that wolves were
causing unacceptable impacts to ungulate herds and instead suggested
prey abundance was primarily shaped by other factors (e.g., habitat and
climate). Many of these comments suggested that we should let nature
achieve a natural balance over time instead of reducing wolf
populations. Other comments suggested Wyoming might use its allowance
to address ``unacceptable impacts to ungulate populations'' to quickly
reduce wolf populations to minimum levels. These comments asserted that
the vague and flexible definition of ``unacceptable impacts'' (``any
decline in a wild ungulate population or herd that results in the
population or herd not meeting the state population management goal or
recruitment levels established for the population or herd'') could
result in abuse of this provision if the State established absurd
objectives for the primary purpose of justifying large-scale wolf
removals.
Response 28: To date, Wyoming has not proposed any wolf control
projects specifically to address unacceptable impacts to ungulate
herds. At present, nearly all of Wyoming's elk herds are at levels
above State objectives. While half of Wyoming's moose populations are
not meeting State objectives, the science does not indicate wolves are
the primary culprit for this outcome. This information indicates no
immediate need for such an approach. After delisting, other management
tools will reduce wolf populations from current levels, further
limiting the need for control specifically to address unacceptable
impacts to ungulate herds. Therefore, we expect wolf control
specifically to address unacceptable impacts to ungulate herds will be
rare, will be regulated should it occur, and will not compromise
recovery. Instead of using this tool, we expect that
[[Page 55562]]
Wyoming will consider ungulate herd health when designing hunting units
and quotas. This approach will allow them to use hunting (which is a
far cheaper management tool) to address any perceived issues. Both
hunting and projects specifically to address unacceptable impacts to
ungulate herds (should any occur) will be carefully regulated so that
population objectives are not compromised and recovery is maintained in
Wyoming, the GYA, and across the NRM DPS.
Issue 29: Some comments expressed concern that illegal human-caused
mortality might be greater once Federal protections are removed due to
lower and undefined consequences of illegal wolf killing in the Trophy
Area. A few comments suggested unlimited and unregulated taking in the
predator area will encourage people to illegally shoot wolves in
regulated portions of Wyoming. A few comments noted our previous
statements that a statewide trophy game status would be easier for the
public to understand and easier to regulate and enforce. Some comments
noted the need for strict enforcement with strong fines and penalties.
Response 29: Upon delisting, wolves will become protected by State,
Tribal, and Federal laws and regulations. In most cases, when wildlife
managers have sufficient evidence to recommend prosecution, prosecution
is pursued (Bruscino 2012, pers. comm.). Enforcement will keep illegal
activity to a minimal level. While listed, illegal killing was
estimated to be responsible for approximately 10 percent of annual
mortality. This level of mortality was not a threat to the population
because of the species' prolific reproductive capacity. There was no
indication that illegal mortality levels increased following previous
delistings. In the Midwest, it appeared that fewer wolves were
illegally killed during the deer hunting season when wolves were
delisted than when they were listed (Wydeven et al. 2008). Furthermore,
we do not share the opinion that the take allowances authorized in the
predator area will encourage others within the Trophy Area to break the
law. To the contrary, slightly greater defense of property allowances
and legal hunting opportunities may shift some illegal killing into
legal mortality categories.
Finally, while enforcement of the law would have been easier under
statewide trophy animal status, we conclude that human-caused mortality
can be adequately regulated by Wyoming under the current regulatory
framework. Under Wyoming's regulatory framework it will be incumbent
upon members of the public to know their rights and responsibilities
towards wolves in different parts of the State. Similar requirements
would be placed upon the public even if Wyoming adopted a single
statewide trophy animal designation when wolves cross into areas like
National Parks, wildlife refuges, sovereign Indian land, or other
States, or when hunters move from one hunting unit into another. Such
differential standards governing take allowance currently exist for
other State-regulated species and rarely cause confusion for the
public. Furthermore, the potential for confusion is lessened because
Trophy Area boundaries are set in statute. Thus, the same agency will
consistently make management decisions for a set location; while
management may seasonally shift between agencies in the seasonal Trophy
Area, the timing and geography of this shift is set in statute and will
not change across years, providing some reasonable level of
predictability here, too. This contrasts with and substantially
improves upon previous regulatory frameworks in Wyoming where the WGFC
had authority to move the line whenever it saw fit if the State's
objectives could be met in a smaller area. Thus, overall, we conclude
that, while some confusion is possible, the available evidence
indicates that most stakeholders will obey the law as it applies to
wolves in different geographical areas.
Therefore, we conclude that while some level of illegal mortality
goes on now and is likely to continue, we have high confidence that
this issue, singularly or in combination with other factors, will not
compromise the Wyoming, the GYA, or the NRM gray wolf population's
recovered status.
Issue 30: Many other comments suggested Wyoming should employ
nonlethal deterrents, birth control or sterilization, or relocation
before resorting to lethal control. Some comments accepted lethal
control when there was a current or imminent threat to personal
property. Many comments suggested increased spending for rancher
education including nonlethal approaches to deterring wolf depredation.
One comment asserted that limiting lethal control methods was the best
way to spur innovation in developing and increasing application of
effective nonlethal options. This commenter asserted that, by limiting
the amount of lethal control and who can implement it, incidents of
residents killing the wrong wolf would be minimized. A few comments
indicated that State compensation programs (which pay at 7 times market
value) create a perverse incentive to encourage poor animal husbandry
practices (things like putting livestock in known wolf-occupied areas).
Response 30: While not required by the Act, State, Tribal, and
Federal managers will continue to use a combination of management
options in order to reduce wolf-human conflicts, including nonlethal
forms (Bangs et al. 2006). However, these methods are only effective in
some circumstances, and no single tool is a cure for every problem.
Lethal control will still be required in many circumstances. In areas
with year-round high livestock density, it is almost impossible to
prevent chronic livestock depredation if wolf packs form in those
areas. Lethal control used in combination with nonlethal methods can
improve the overall effectiveness of both management options (Bangs et
al. 2006, p. 8; Brietenmoser et al. 2005, p. 70).
Issue 31: Many comments objected to various types of mortality that
will be allowed in Wyoming, particularly in the predator area, as well
as activities currently ongoing in Montana and Idaho, which they viewed
as inhumane, unethical, or unfair. For example, some people objected to
poisoning, gassing, hunting, trapping or snaring (as well as not
checking traps often enough), torturing, and various other methods of
killing wolves. A few suggested humane euthanasia instead of other
less-humane methods of control. Others objected to any wolf killing.
Many viewed wolves as intelligent, sentient beings that warrant
protection. A few comments expressed the opinion that the sudden shift
of wolves being protected as endangered one day to being considered
vermin the next day was unprecedented, contrary to the intent of the
Act, and violated the duty imposed by the Act to recover and protect
at-risk species. Others opined that this approach violated the stated
purpose of the Act ``to provide a means whereby the ecosystems upon
which endangered species and threatened species depend may be
conserved.'' A few comments suggested Wyoming's decision to designate
wolves as predators across most of the State violated six principles of
the North American Wildlife Model of Conservation including: Wildlife
as public trust resources; allocation of wildlife by law; wildlife
should only be killed for a legitimate purpose; wildlife are considered
an international resource; science is the proper tool for discharge of
wildlife policy; and democracy of hunting (the 7th principle is
``elimination of markets for game'').
Response 31: We recognize and respect that many find some or all
forms of human-caused wolf mortality as
[[Page 55563]]
morally or ethically objectionable. Some forms of wolf mortality that
may occur in the predator area were not implemented while the Service
was responsible for wolf management. However, the Act requires that we
make our determination based on the status of the subject species (is
it recovered and will State management retain that recovered status if
the Act's protections are removed) and does not allow us to consider
the manner in which individuals will be killed after delisting unless
it would affect this overarching viability determination. The manner of
take is subject to State control once wolves are delisted. Based on the
available information, we do not find any persuasive information to
indicate that the manner of killing will affect the viability of the
Wyoming, the GYA, or the NRM gray wolf populations. Regarding
viability, few wolves occur in the predator portion of Wyoming (now and
likely far fewer after delisting); therefore, few wolves will be
subjected to such taking. Furthermore, we cannot find any evidence that
a shift from being Federally protected under the Act one day to being
considered vermin the next day conflicts with Congressional intent or
violates the Act. Finally, designation of large portions of Wyoming as
a predator area is not inconsistent with the purposes of the Act--wolf
restoration in nearly all of the predator area is unrealistic
regardless of its designation; as in eastern Montana and southern
Idaho, wolf restoration will not occur in largely unsuitable habitat
regardless of its management designation. In other words, protection of
the wolf population and maintenance of the ecosystems on which wolves
depend have been, and will continue to be, protected to the extent
necessary.
Gene Flow and Genetic Diversity
Issue 32: A few comments suggested that lack of genetic diversity
was an issue for NRM gray wolves, that almost all wolves in Yellowstone
and Idaho descended from a small reintroduced population, and that the
genetic diversity of the extirpated North American gray wolf was twice
that of the current population. Many comments discussed genetic
connectivity and potential future genetic issues that could result from
genetic isolation (e.g., inbreeding depression or reduced genetic
fitness). Many comments indicated that gene flow was limited under the
Act's strict regulatory framework, and would be even more limited after
delisting. Specifically, these comments indicated State management
would reduce the wolf population resulting in fewer dispersers, and
reduce occupied range, increasing the distance a dispersal event would
need to cover, which in turn would reduce both the numbers of dispersal
events and increase mortality among dispersers. Various types of
allowable mortality (hunting and killing in the predator area were most
frequently mentioned) would result in reduced survival for wolves
traveling between subpopulations (including dispersal during peak
dispersal periods), and high mortality rates in unprotected areas would
kill wolves that successfully traverse between subpopulations.
Some comments noted our previous conclusion that dispersal would
likely ``noticeably decrease'' if populations were maintained near 150
wolves per State. Several comments apparently viewed this as an
admission that management at these levels are not genetically
sustainable. A few comments suggested that we should analyze this
threat at minimum population levels. Some comments challenged our
assertion that the population was recovered as long as human-caused
mortality, the primary threat faced by the species, could impede gene
flow. While the peer review report concluded that ``gene flow is likely
to be adequate in the short and medium term,'' some comments expressed
concern about genetic health in the long term. Still other comments
indicated gene flow was unlikely to become a conservation issue for NRM
and GYA wolves, given the proximity of neighboring wolf populations and
the dispersal capabilities of wolves. Numerous documented long
distance-dispersal events were given as examples of the species'
dispersal ability (i.e., dispersal into Oregon, Washington, California,
South Dakota, Nebraska, Colorado, and Utah). A few comments noted that
most of the peer reviewers viewed genetic connectivity and potential
genetic issues as a ``non-issue.''
Response 32: NRM wolves are as genetically diverse as their vast,
secure, healthy, contiguous, and connected populations in Canada
(Forbes and Boyd 1997, p. 1089; vonHoldt et al. 2007, p. 19; vonHoldt
et al. 2010, pp. 4412, 4416-4421), and, thus, genetic diversity is not
a wolf conservation issue in the NRM DPS at this time (Hebblewhite et
al. 2010, p. 4383; vonHoldt et al. 2010, pp. 4412, 4416, 4421). Wolves
have an unusual ability to rapidly disperse long distances across
virtually any habitat and select mates to maximize genetic diversity.
Wolves are among the least likely species to be affected by inbreeding
when compared to nearly any other species of land mammal (Fuller et al.
2003, pp. 189-190; Paquet et al. 2006, p. 3; Liberg 2008). Genetic and
dispersal data demonstrate that minimal acceptable levels of genetic
exchange between all NRM subpopulations were met or exceeded while the
species was listed (including from 1995 to 2004 when the population was
between 101 and 846 individuals and likely a higher rate of effective
dispersal since then). While State management will almost certainly
reduce genetic exchange rates from recent levels (which exceed minimal
acceptable levels of genetic exchange), we find it extremely unlikely
that it will be reduced to the point that the GYA wolf population will
be threatened by lower genetic diversity in the foreseeable future.
Similarly, the peer review report concluded ``genetic concerns
(inbreeding, maintenance of gene flow) are minor'' and that ``gene flow
is likely to be adequate in the short- and medium-term'' (Atkins 2012,
p. iii). Overall, the best scientific and commercial information
available indicates this issue is unlikely to undermine the Wyoming,
the GYA, or the NRM gray wolf population's recovered status and that
this issue, singularly or in combination with other factors, is
unlikely to cause the population to become an endangered species within
the foreseeable future throughout all or a significant portion of its
range. This issue is discussed further in subsequent Issues and
Responses and in Factor E below.
Issue 33: Many comments expressed the opinion that the seasonal
Trophy Area expansion would not be effective in maintaining a genetic
connection between wolves in Wyoming and wolves in Idaho. A few
comments noted that we previously recommended a statewide Trophy Area
reasoning that dispersal is more likely to lead to genetic exchange if
dispersers have safe passage through the predator area. Numerous
comments asserted that the seasonal Trophy Area's boundary was based on
political compromise and not science. Many comments noted that we
failed to present any data explaining why this geographic area and this
time period are adequate to maintain genetic connectivity. Some of
these comments noted that seasonal protection was inadequate because
wolf dispersal takes many months and occurs at all times of the year.
Other comments noted that more than half of the time the area was
protected as a game area, hunting would occur, further limiting its
effectiveness as a protective corridor.
A few comments suggested the effectiveness of this area would be
further hindered by management in
[[Page 55564]]
Idaho. Specifically, during the fall 2011 to spring 2012 hunting
season, Idaho's Southern Wolf Hunting Zone (adjacent to the seasonal
Trophy Area) had a 7-month hunting season (August 30 to March 31) with
unlimited total quotas. This comment indicated that these combined
management schemes do little or nothing to prevent genetic isolation
because they do not provide a single day of the year when wolves can
move between this portion of Idaho and Wyoming and not face unlimited
kill prospects. A few comments recommended the seasonal Trophy Area
should be added to the permanent Trophy Area. Some comments suggested
the southern boundary should be placed further south than the Teton
County line for both scientific and economic reasons (predator status
in Teton County could hurt its image as a place that honors and
protects wildlife). Others suggested the entire State should be
categorized as a Trophy Area (instead of the seasonal Trophy Area
expansion) in order to maximize the likelihood of maintaining genetic
connectivity.
Response 33: Dispersing wolves will likely use multiple routes to
enter the GYA in the years to come. For example, a simple evaluation of
Figure 2 in this rule would suggest the shortest and most direct path
to entering the GYA is from the central Idaho region into eastern
Idaho's portion of the GYA. In recognition of this likelihood, Idaho
has limited hunting in this region. Similarly, some wolves could move
from western Montana into south-central Montana and enter the GYA
subpopulation. The distance between these areas is currently very small
(a fact demonstrated by the relative difficulty in determining which
subpopulation some intervening packs should be assigned to based on
visual inspection alone; i.e., pack 99 or 242 in Figure 2) and is
expected to remain an easily travelable distance long term. Effective
migration into the GYA via these routes could be done without moving
through Wyoming and would accomplish the desired connectivity goal.
Similarly, while YNP's recent high density and reproductive output
appears to have limited gene flow from other subpopulations into the
park (but not necessarily through the park), the lack of dispersal into
YNP may change as the park's wolf population continues its decline into
a lower long term equilibrium (Smith 2012). Furthermore, regardless of
whether they establish in the park, future wolf population densities in
YNP will not preclude dispersing wolves from traveling through the
park. Given the above, dispersal around the southern end of the
permanent Trophy Area is likely to be a small portion of the total
number of dispersers.
Additionally, the predator area designation will not preclude
dispersal. While resident packs with established home ranges and known
denning sites in the predator area are expected to be removed,
dispersers will be more difficult to find, resulting in some successful
dispersal. Hunting data from Idaho's Southern Wolf Hunting Zone
demonstrates this conclusion. During the 2009-2010 hunting season,
Idaho allowed hunting from August 30th to March 31st in this zone, but
only one wolf was harvested. During the 2011-2012 hunting season, Idaho
allowed hunting from August 30th to March 31st with an unlimited quota
in this zone, but only harvested two wolves. Much like the Wyoming
predator area, few resident wolves occupy this area, so most take that
occurs is opportunistic. Such take has proven minimal to date. We
conclude that this trend will continue in Idaho's Southern Wolf Hunting
Zone. Similarly, take of dispersers in the predator area will occur,
but will be limited, and dispersal will likely continue through this
area, despite the predator area's legal status and liberal take
opportunities.
The seasonal expansion of the Trophy Area was designed to
facilitate additional dispersal around the southern edge of the GYA
population. Specifically, the permanent Trophy Area will expand
approximately 80 km (50 mi) south along the western border of Wyoming
from October 15 to the end of February (see Figure 1 above). This
seasonal expansion covers approximately 3,300 km\2\ (1,300 mi\2\)
(i.e., an additional 1.3 percent of Wyoming). This area was selected to
provide a southern route around the Teton Range in winter when high
elevation and high snow packs would limit wolf passage. The timing of
this expansion was also selected to provide additional protection for
wolves during peak dispersal periods in winter. Human-caused mortality
will be limited during this important time period. For example, in
2012, Wyoming established a quota of 2 wolves for the seasonal Trophy
Area with a season from October 15 through December 31; no hunter
harvest will be allowed from January 1 through the end of February. The
seasonal expansion of the Trophy Area, together with other reforms to
the State's regulatory framework, will benefit dispersal and will
provide that the Wyoming, the GYA, and the NRM gray wolf population's
recovered status will not be compromised.
Most of the peer reviewers concurred with our assessment, noting
that the Trophy Area was sufficient to maintain genetic connectivity
and gene flow between subpopulations. Additionally, most peer reviewers
indicated that the designation of a large predator area would not
undermine this connectivity and the desired levels of gene flow.
Issue 34: Some comments questioned the basis for the goal of at
least one effective migrant per generation moving into the GYA to
address potential genetic issues. A few comments noted that documented
effective natural migration into the Greater Yellowstone Ecosystem was
less than half of the one effective migrant per generation standard
(0.43 natural effective migrants per generation); one comment noted
that this estimate was a minimum estimate and a rate around the minimum
standard probably occurred. Some comments cited literature recommending
up to 10 migrants per generation. One comment even indicated that some
populations require greater than 20 migrants per generation. One of the
peer reviewers noted gene flow should also occur from the GYA into the
other subunits.
Response 34: As a general rule, genetic exchange of at least one
effective migrant (i.e., a breeding migrant that passes on its genes)
per generation is viewed as sufficient to prevent the loss of alleles
and minimize loss of heterozygosity within subpopulations (Mills and
Allendorf 1996, entire; Wang 2004, entire; Mills 2007, p. 193). This
level of gene flow allows for local evolutionary adaptation while
minimizing negative effects of genetic drift and inbreeding depression.
While higher levels of genetic exchange may be beneficial (note the
``at least'' in the above standard), we conclude that a minimum of one
effective migrant per generation is a reasonable and acceptable goal to
avoid any degradation in the NRM DPS's current levels of genetic
diversity. Even the most cautious peer reviewer, Dr. Vucetich, agreed
``existing literature suggests that this objective for immigration is
appropriate'' (Atkins 2011, p. 87). As discussed further in Factor E
below, this level of genetic exchange likely occurred when the
population was between 101 and 846 wolves and has likely been exceeded
at higher population levels (as discussed in more detail in Factor E
below).
Management attention to date has focused on gene flow into the GYA
from other subpopulations because this is the most isolated population,
and the population where a lack of gene flow has a theoretical
potential to affect the
[[Page 55565]]
population. The other two subpopulations are well connected to each
other and Canadian wolf populations, indicating that genetic issues are
not likely to be a conservation issue for the central Idaho or
northwestern Montana subpopulations. While gene flow from the GYA into
other subpopulations has likely occurred and will likely continue after
delisting, such movement is not necessary for the preservation of GYA,
central Idaho, or northwestern Montana wolf subpopulations. While such
gene flow is desirable, it is not necessary to prevent the NRM DPS or
any of its subpopulations from becoming threatened or endangered.
Issue 35: A few comments noted that no genetic exchange could occur
for up to 20 years before remedial action would be considered. Some of
these comments saw this as problematic because some modeling indicates
a small, isolated population of around 170 wolves could see decreased
juvenile survival within 60 years.
Response 35: As discussed elsewhere in this rule, genetic diversity
is not a short term issue and will not constitute a threat to the
viability of the wolf population at any time in the foreseeable future.
Even for small and isolated populations (neither of which will be the
case for the GYA wolf population), changes in genetic diversity take
time. For example, a vonHoldt et al. (2007, pp. 16, 19) model suggested
that even if the GYA population is maintained at about 170 animals and
no effective migration occurs, the heterozygosity and inbreeding
coefficients will not change for the next 10 years, would change
minimally over the next 20 to 30 years (not enough to result in a
phenotypic change), and that it would take 60 years before a 15 percent
reduction in reproductive rates could occur (which would not likely
threaten or endanger the population). However, we believe even these
outcomes are overly pessimistic, because the vonHoldt et al. (2007)
model assumes a population level about half the GYA's likely long term
average (as discussed elsewhere in this rule) and, even in a worst case
scenario, natural effective migration and gene flow will exceed zero
(the model assumes zero effective migration).
Given the above, we conclude that it is appropriate to monitor this
issue for multiple wolf generations before deciding whether to take
action and what type of action to take. However, this approach does not
mean this issue will be neglected as this comment seems to imply. In
fact, Wyoming has agreed to pursue an extensive long term genetic
monitoring program, which will be more intensive than what is
undertaken for any other species in Wyoming (Mead 2012a). Should data
warrant a need, the States will then implement remedial actions, as
appropriate, including options like limiting the amount and timing of
human-caused mortality to increase survival of dispersing wolves.
Overall, this comprehensive and rigorous approach to this issue gives
us confidence that genetic diversity will not become a threat to the
population's recovered status.
Issue 36: Many comments objected to human-assisted migration as a
strategy to address potential genetic threats associated with reduced
or lost connectivity when feasible methods for ensuring natural
dispersal and population connectivity exist (e.g., reducing human-
caused mortality). Others thought human-assisted migration should be a
last resort and that it was an inappropriate tool to overcome
anthropogenic barriers to dispersal (primarily human-caused mortality).
Others noted that this management approach risks unnecessarily creating
a conservation-reliant species. Some suggested allowance for human-
assisted migration meant the population was not recovered, because the
Act requires self-sustaining wild populations to achieve recovery.
Other comments argued any species that requires translocation is not
recovered because section 3 of the Act defines ``recovery''
(technically ``conservation'') as ``the point at which the measures
provided pursuant to this Act are no longer necessary'' and the list of
measures includes relocation. Some comments expressed the view that we
had no real assurance Wyoming would use translocation only as an option
of last resort, and more likely, it would become ``standard
procedure.''
A few comments viewed our allowance for human-assisted migration as
removing State incentive to achieve the criterion via natural
dispersal. Others requested clarification on when it would be used,
what it would look like, and how it would be financed. These comments
concluded it was counter to the Act for us to rely on the unenforceable
intentions of Wyoming as grounds to dismiss this potential threat. One
comment suggested the proposed rule oversimplified the feasibility of
artificial translocation noting few transplanted wolves would become
breeders, that artificial insemination would be technically difficult,
and that such a program would be costly to the States. Still other
comments suggested relocating problem wolves instead of killing them,
noting the ancillary benefit of providing gene flow. Other comments
insisted delisting should not occur until the population can be shown
to be genetically viable under State management without translocation.
Response 36: Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming all agree that natural
connectivity is the preferred approach to maintaining genetic
diversity, and have indicated an intention to jointly collaborate to
provide continued opportunities for natural connectivity between all
three recovery areas (Groen et al. 2008, p. 2; WGFC 2012, pp. 6-7).
Given the dispersal capabilities of wolves and the proximity of
suitable habitat, we conclude that the States can, and will, achieve
adequate levels of genetic exchange. Such levels likely occurred when
the population was between 101 and 846 wolves and have likely been
exceeded at higher population levels (as discussed in more detail in
Factor E below). Although future dispersal will differ from past
levels, the available data support a conclusion that human-assisted
migration is unlikely to be a regular activity. Instead, translocation
of wolves or other management techniques to move genes between
subpopulations would only be used as a stop-gap measure, if necessary
to increase genetic interchange (WGFC 2012, p. 7). In short, NRM wolves
and wolves in the GYA are not expected to need or rely on human-
assisted migration often, if ever, and these populations will not
become ``conservation reliant'' as defined by Scott et al. (2005,
entire). That said, should it ever become necessary, human-assisted
migration is an acceptable management technique (especially when relied
upon only as a measure of last resort). This conclusion is consistent
with the position we took in our 1994 Environmental Impact Statement,
which noted that other wildlife management programs rely upon such
agency-managed genetic exchange and concluded that the approach should
not be viewed negatively (Service 1994, pp. 6-75).
We recognize that the logistics of human-assisted migration, should
it ever become necessary, would present a number of challenges, but we
are confident that those challenges can be overcome. Source wolves
could be obtained from any of the other subpopulations or adjoining
populations in Canada. Wolf capturing and transporting was used for the
initial reintroductions, have proven to be a feasible and successful
technique, and could be used again (Fritts et al. 2001, p. 129). Such
assisted migration efforts would take into account the fact that only a
fraction of relocated wolves
[[Page 55566]]
would likely become breeders (35 percent of naturally dispersing wolves
reproduce (Jimenez et al. In review, pp. 9-12); similarly, two of ten
pups moved from northwestern Montana to YNP in 1997 became breeding
adults (vonHoldt et al. 2010, p. 4421). Other unorthodox approaches to
genetic migration such as artificial insemination of wild animals could
also be considered, but are less likely to be used because they would
present their own logistical challenges (Thomassen and Farstad 2008,
entire; Payan-Carreira et al. 2011, entire). All such efforts would be
a cooperative effort between the three States, Federal agencies and
other partners as appropriate. Funding such wolf management would also
be a cooperative effort with multiple parties contributing various
portions as necessary and appropriate; funding wolf management is
discussed further in Issue and Response 46 below.
Finally, the idea that delisting should not occur until the
population can be shown to be genetically viable under State management
without translocation is inconsistent with the purposes of the Act.
Because delisting is a precursor to full State management (i.e., State
management unrestricted by the Act and including hunting), it is
impossible to require demonstrated successful State management as a
precondition to delisting. This issue is true for management of
genetics or any other issue.
Issue 37: We received a number of suggestions to improve the
adequacy of Wyoming's commitment to maintaining natural connectivity
including: That we develop objective and measurable recovery criteria
or relisting triggers for natural dispersal; that we develop specific
management actions to ensure the criteria remain met; that the States
commit to genetic monitoring in State law or a binding management plan;
and that we commit to relisting within a specific time period if the
natural dispersal criteria are not met.
Response 37: Although we seriously considered developing a status
review trigger related to genetic connectivity, we ultimately decided
this was not appropriate because we concluded that it is extremely
unlikely that declines in genetic diversity would threaten or endanger
the Wyoming, the GYA, or the NRM gray wolf populations. Thus, we
concluded that a status review trigger would create an issue where
there was not one and, therefore, was inappropriate. Similarly, we
concluded that it was not appropriate to commit to relisting if certain
levels of gene flow are not achieved. Such a specific commitment would
require us to demonstrate that the population would necessarily be
threatened or endangered if the goals were not met. Given the available
information, we did not feel we could satisfy this standard. For
example, we do not believe the available information would support a
conclusion that the population would be threatened or endangered if we
achieved an average of 0.75 effective dispersers per generation over
the next century instead of the goal of at least one effective migrant
per generation. In fact, we find it very unlikely this would be the
case. Therefore, we decided it would be inappropriate to commit to a
specific status review or relisting trigger related to this issue.
However, we will continue to work with the States on this issue so that
genetic issues do not threaten the NRM gray wolf. We will also work
with the States over the long term to carefully monitor any changes in
genetic diversity and fitness. In the unlikely event that this issue
does ever pose a significant risk to the well-being of NRM gray wolves,
as required by section 4(g)(2) of the Act, we will make prompt use of
the Act's emergency listing provisions.
Adequacy of Regulatory Mechanisms
Issue 38: A few comments questioned the competency of the State to
manage wolves. Some comments asserted that giving Wyoming management
authority was inappropriate given the State's history with this issue
and public attitudes towards wolves in the State. Others expressed
faith that Wyoming's wildlife professionals would do an exceptional job
managing this species, as they have done with other wildlife like
mountain lions, black bears, bobcats, and coyotes. Numerous comments
expressed confidence the State would do a far better job than we have
done.
Response 38: WGFD has a relatively large and well-distributed
professional game and fish staff that have demonstrated skill and
experience in successfully managing a diversity of resident species,
including many large, high-profile, and controversial carnivores. WGFD
staff is fully qualified to manage a recovered wolf population. State
management of wolves in the Trophy Area (where most wolves reside) will
be in alignment with the classic State-led North American model for
wildlife management, which has been extremely successful at restoring,
maintaining, and expanding the distribution of numerous populations of
other wildlife species, including other large predators, throughout
North America (Geist 2006, p. 1; Bangs 2008).
WGFD provided evidence of this competency when it had management
authority within the Trophy Area for a few months in 2008. During 2008,
the documented minimum wolf population outside YNP saw modest changes,
including a total population decrease from 188 to 178 individuals, an
increase in the number of packs from 25 to 30, and an increase in the
number of breeding pairs from 14 to 16 (Service et al. 2007-2008,
Wyoming chapter, p. 4). Wyoming also experienced a comparable number of
livestock depredations in recent years (67 in 2008, while the area has
averaged 98 since 2003) (Service et al. 2007-2008, Wyoming chapter).
Meanwhile, agency control including defense of property take was also
comparable to the long term average (46 in 2008, while the area has
averaged 39 since 2003) (Service et al. 2007-2008, Wyoming chapter).
Although Wyoming only had management authority for a few months in
2008, most agency control and defense of property mortality occurs
during spring and summer, which makes these numbers informative of the
WGFD's approach to management and its capacity to meet objectives.
Wyoming also planned a modest hunt with a quota of 25 wolves in 2008
before this hunt was enjoined from occurring. Collectively, this
information corroborates our belief that Wyoming can, and likely will,
follow through on its stated management intentions.
Issue 39: We received a few comments on what constitutes an
adequate regulatory mechanism and what was appropriate to consider in
our analysis. Some comments pointed out that we relied on unenforceable
State intentions in our 2009 delisting, which were promptly disavowed
or violated. For example, some comments asserted that we relied upon
Idaho's stated intention to manage for 520 wolves, but that this
commitment was set aside when the State suspended their 2008-2012 step-
down wolf management plan. Some comments suggested the Wyoming Gray
Wolf Management Plan was not regulatory in nature and should not be
considered or relied upon. Some comments suggested that State statute
and regulations should not be considered adequate because they can be
modified after the delisting become effective. For example, while the
size and permanency of the Trophy Area is set in statute, this could be
repealed or amended by the Wyoming state legislature.
Numerous comments objected to our ``unrealistically high prediction
of future wolf numbers'' (``perhaps around 1,000 wolves across the NRM
DPS''). A few comments questioned the basis for our statement that it
was ``extremely
[[Page 55567]]
unlikely'' that Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming would manage their wolf
populations near the minimum management targets. These comments
indicated that the States' only commitment was to targets between 100
and 150 wolves per State, that it was illegal for our analysis to
assume any numbers other than those that we had firm commitments to
maintain, and that the States were clearly demonstrating a strong
commitment to quickly reduce the wolf population. One peer reviewer
expressed concern whether Wyoming had authority to manage for a buffer
above minimum management targets and whether State management would
push Wyoming's population closer and closer to the razor edge of 10
breeding pair and 100 wolves. This reviewer seemed concerned over
numerous sources of take allowed under Wyoming's wolf management plan
and repeated reference to the 10 breeding pair and 100 wolf thresholds
in State statutes and regulations, rather than referring to a buffer
above these minimums. Other comments indicated Wyoming's agreed-upon
population targets would not be compromised because no decision-makers,
managers, or stakeholders would ever want to risk relisting and the
loss of State control, especially after living with a protected wolf
population with limited management options for so many years.
A few comments indicated that we erroneously considered a
nonbinding genetics Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with
unenforceable commitments in our 2009 delisting, that the States had
since failed to deliver on these promises, and that this should serve
as evidence that reliance on such nonbinding commitments is
inappropriate. Numerous comments indicated that there was no guarantee
that the subpopulations would continue to be connected, and thus that
we lacked adequate regulatory mechanisms. Others suggested the
commitment to translocate wolves was not guaranteed to occur and should
not be relied upon. A few comments suggested a species can be
threatened by the inadequacy of regulatory mechanisms alone, even if no
other threat factor puts the population at risk. Some comments
suggested binding and enforceable habitat standards must be in place as
was done in the Yellowstone grizzly bear delisting. Several comments
suggested we should have pressed for the development of a single,
regional management plan (including all relevant State, Federal, and
private interest groups) instead of separate plans for each State.
Response 39: Our primary consideration in gauging the adequacy of
Wyoming's regulatory framework is that binding State statutes and
implementing regulations mandate maintenance of a population at least
satisfying agreed-upon minimum management targets. Wyoming's wolf
management plan further clarifies that the WGFD and WGFC intends to
satisfy these statutory and regulatory mandates by maintaining a buffer
above minimum population targets. The approach outlined in the WGFC
plan will be used, for example, by WGFD and WGFC in setting annual
hunting quotas and limiting controllable sources of mortality. While it
would have been desirable for Wyoming to have included reference to a
buffer above minimum population targets in State statute and
regulations, inclusion of such a concept or a specific numeric buffer
is not required for us to consider the buffer described in Wyoming's
wolf management plan. While some have questioned whether Wyoming has
the legal authority to maintain a buffer, we conclude that Wyoming has
the authority because: (1) Both the statute and regulations require
maintaining ``at least'' these minimum population levels; and (2)
meeting this statutory and regulatory mandate will require managing
above this goal so that uncontrollable sources of mortality (e.g.,
disease and defense of property) do not compromise the mandated minimum
targets.
While Wyoming statutes, implementing regulations, or its wolf
management plan could theoretically be changed at any time, just as the
Act could theoretically be repealed tomorrow, it is reasonable to rely
on these documents as the basis to understand the State's management
intentions after delisting. In short, the Act does not require
documents to be permanent, for nothing is permanent. Furthermore, we
cannot ignore any of these documents, as it would violate the
requirement of section 4(b)1(A) to rely upon the best scientific and
commercial information available and to take into account State
conservation efforts. As a final safeguard against management being
meaningfully modified after the delisting becomes effective, we will
initiate a status review and consider relisting if there is a change in
State law or management objectives that would significantly increase
the threat to the wolf population. We will also make prompt use of the
Act's emergency listing provisions, as required by section 4(g)(2) of
the Act, if necessary to prevent a significant risk to the well-being
of the population.
Our analysis must consider what is most likely to occur in light of
the practical reality of the situation as informed by minimum State
commitments and other information. In this case, while all three States
intend to pursue population reductions, which we anticipate and to
which we do not object, none of the States have indicated an interest
in managing their populations at or very close to minimum agreed-upon
targets (although Wyoming will likely be the closest to its minimum
management targets). None of the States are likely to manage down to,
or very near, minimum management targets because doing so would
severely limit State flexibility to address wolf depredation issues,
limit wolf harvest opportunities, and increase the risk of relisting.
None of the States or any major interest group in the States would like
to see any of these scenarios occur. In fact, State wildlife managers
have consistently reiterated to us their desire not to come close to
their floor levels in light of these factors. Such information leads us
to conclude that Idaho, Montana, and Wyoming will all manage
comfortably above the minimum management targets.
While we recognize that both Idaho and Montana are moving toward
higher harvest and longer seasons, we conclude that these approaches
are temporary as the States pursue population reductions. We expected
population reductions in Montana and Idaho at the time of their
delisting and conclude that such reductions are reasonable given the
current size of the wolf population (which are likely at or above the
suitable habitat's long term carrying capacity) and the resulting
impacts (some real and some perceived; see Issue and Response 50). It
should also be noted that Idaho's 2011 hunting season, which was
criticized by some stakeholders for being overly aggressive, only
resulted in a slight change in minimum estimated population levels in
Idaho in 2011 (from a minimum Idaho population estimate of 777 wolves
and 46 breeding pairs to a minimum statewide estimate of 746 wolves and
40 breeding pairs) (Service et al. 2012, Table 4b). After the States
achieve an initial population reduction, harvest rates will moderate as
the population stabilizes and the public's current angst and intense
interest wanes (see Issue and Response 41). The NRM gray wolf
population will then likely settle into a reasonable, long term
equilibrium, well above minimum recovery levels.
Another factor that we weighed regarding likely long term
population
[[Page 55568]]
levels is the practical challenges of reducing wolf populations down to
minimum levels and maintaining such reductions long term. These factors
include wolves' reproductive capacity, which will require substantial
mortality to keep populations well below carrying capacity; the rugged,
remote, and difficult to access landscape in which many wolves occur
(particularly in central Idaho); the likelihood that wolves will become
more difficult to find and kill as their numbers are reduced and as
they become more wary of humans; and the likelihood that hunter and
trapper interest and dedication will diminish as the wolf population is
reduced, impacts are less pronounced, and success rates diminish
(trapping in particular is expensive and time-intensive and would
likely not be worthwhile with reduced success rates). Overall, we
expect measurable population reductions over the next few years. During
this initial reduction phase, populations may even fall below our long
term predicted levels. However, given the above information, we
conclude that such reductions would likely be temporary and, in the
long term, a NRM gray wolf population more than double the minimum
management targets is likely. Conversely, the scenario of achieving and
maintaining population minimums across the entire NRM DPS is very
unlikely.
Considering the above factors, we continue to conclude that the GYA
wolf population will likely maintain a long term average of around 300
wolves and the entire NRM DPS will likely achieve a long term average
of around 1,000 wolves. These numbers are based on our professional
opinion after considering all of the above and evaluating various
regional scenarios. For example, 200 wolves is likely a conservative
estimate for the Wyoming statewide wolf population including YNP and
the Wind River Indian Reservation; similarly, it is unlikely Idaho or
Montana will reduce and maintain their wolf populations below 350
wolves per State. Even if all three States were to simultaneously
achieve and maintain the low end of this range, an unlikely outcome,
the NRM population would still total around 900 wolves, excluding
dispersers and lone wolves, which typically range from 10 to 12 percent
of the population (Mech and Boitani 2003, p. 170). Therefore, our
conclusions regarding long term abundance are likely conservative
estimates of long term averages.
Similar to our position on population numbers, our evaluation of
risk associated with genetic factors must consider what is most likely
to occur in light of the practical reality of the situation as informed
by State commitments and other factors. Our consideration of this issue
involves a number of factors, including the very high levels of genetic
diversity in the GYA and the NRM DPS at present; the remarkable
dispersal capabilities of wolves; wolves' ability to outbreed to
maximize genetic diversity; demonstrated minimum levels of gene flow
from 1995 through 2004 when the NRM region contained between 101 and
846 wolves; the high probability that actual effective migration was
likely significantly higher than demonstrated minimum levels; expected
population levels and distribution in the GYA and across the NRM DPS
long term; and consideration of the likely impacts of State management
in the initial years when populations are being reduced and longer term
as populations level off. Based on these factors and other information,
we continue to conclude that the best scientific and commercial
information available indicates that genetic issues are extremely
unlikely to threaten the wolf population in Wyoming, the GYA, or the
NRM DPS within the foreseeable future.
By definition, a MOU is an agreement between parties indicating an
intended common line of action. While we did not rely on the genetics
MOU in reaching the above conclusion on population viability, the MOU
is indicative of an intention of the States to maintain the NRM
population's metapopulation structure by encouraging natural dispersal
and effective migrants and implementing management practices that
should foster both. Some management practices that would assist in
achieving this goal include maintaining the wolf population at higher
rather than minimum levels; maintaining greater rather than more
restricted pack distribution throughout suitable habitat; reducing
human-caused wolf mortality during key dispersing and reproductive time
periods over the long term; and maintaining the integrity of the core
recovery areas so that they can continue to serve as refugia and source
populations. One example of where Idaho has acted consistent with the
MOU was its decision in 2009 and 2011 to end its wolf hunting season on
December 31st for those areas thought most important for dispersal
(i.e., the Beaverhead and Island Park units) (Idaho Fish and Game
Commission 2011, entire). In the 2012-2013 season, hunting ends January
31st for these units. While State management through the population
reduction phase will likely reduce gene flow from current levels, we
conclude that the reduction will not compromise acceptable levels of
gene flow long term and find it very unlikely State management will
negatively affect genetics to the point that this issue constitutes a
threat that could warrant listing in the near, medium, or long term.
We do not anticipate translocation of wolves will be necessary,
because we expect that natural connectivity will continue at acceptable
levels after delisting. Genetic exchange is not a short or medium term
issue even if no genetic exchange occurs for many generations (a very
unlikely outcome). The States will monitor for genetic exchange and
indications of loss of genetic diversity. This monitoring and the
related results could then affect management (e.g., the timing and
intensity of human-caused mortality) if the available data indicates
remedial actions are needed. Translocation will only be used as a
matter of last resort if adequate genetic diversity does not occur and
State management is not able to otherwise remedy. While we have high
confidence the States would complete such translocation and said
translocation could be effective if it was ever necessary, we conclude
that it is unlikely that it will ever become necessary.
Furthermore, we disagree with comments that indicate that the
existing regulatory mechanisms are inadequate even if no threats put
the population at risk. Post-delisting regulatory mechanisms are needed
to regulate remnant threats. If there are no remnant threats, a
regulatory framework would serve no purpose. In short, if there is
nothing to threaten the population, nothing needs regulation after
delisting. With respect to wolves, habitat protections were not
necessary to achieve delisting, and will not be necessary to maintain
recovery after delisting. Therefore, strict binding and enforceable
habitat standards (as established for grizzly bears in the GYA) are not
needed for wolves. In this case, human-caused mortality is the most
significant issue to the long term conservation status of the wolf
population in Wyoming, the GYA, and the entire NRM DPS and the only
issue that requires regulation after delisting (in the form of binding
minimum population targets by geographic area). Such protections are in
place.
Regarding the shape that the regulatory framework takes, we
disagree that a single cross-regional framework was necessary. In this
case, separate post-delisting regulatory frameworks per
[[Page 55569]]
State appear adequate. We also note that Congress directed us to
republish our April 2009 rule in 2011, which contained separate State
regulatory approaches rather than a single regional one. To the extent
cross-regional coordination is desirable, it goes on today as
appropriate and is expected to continue for the foreseeable future.
Issue 40: Other comments expressed the view that while statutory
changes were necessary to implement the State wolf management plan,
delisting should not be contingent on adoption of conforming
regulations. These comments suggested that State statute and
development of an approved wolf management plan were a sufficient
commitment to maintain a sustainable recovered wolf population and that
State regulations should remain flexible and be defined at the sole
discretion of the State, consistent with the commitments represented by
State statutes and the Wyoming wolf management plan.
Response 40: As noted above, State statute, State regulations
(chapter 21 and 47), and the Wyoming wolf management plan all are
important pieces of the State's post-delisting management framework.
All three of these documents guide and clarify the State's approach to
wolf management after delisting, and ignoring any one of these three
documents would violate our responsibility to rely upon the best
scientific and commercial information available. By extension, a
significant change to any one of these documents would prompt us to
consider whether to initiate a status review. We took a similar
approach in Idaho in 2011 following Idaho's suspension of its 2008-2012
wolf management plan (reverting to its 2002 Service-approved plan) and
after it set its hunting plan for 2011-2012 (Cooley 2011). In that
case, we determined these management decisions did not represent a
significant threat to the Idaho wolf population and did not meet the
threshold necessary to trigger a status review (Cooley 2011).
Public Attitudes Toward Wolves
Issue 41: Numerous comments indicated the region's ``frontier'' and
``wild west'' attitudes, including those of State officials, threatened
wolves. Some comments pointed toward the Wyoming wolf management plan's
negative portrayal of wolves, the decision to designate wolves outside
the Trophy Area as predators, and Wyoming's apparent willingness to do
only the minimum necessary to prevent relisting as evidence of negative
public attitudes toward wolves. Many comments suggested the ongoing
wolf killing across the NRM was evidence that negative attitudes
towards wolves were a threat that could eliminate wolves from the
region. Other comments indicated conservation organizations had
negatively affected public attitudes toward wolves in Wyoming and
across the NRM with their unrealistic expectations for wolf recovery,
lack of recognition of property rights, and continued litigation. We
received conflicting comments and perspectives about whether a return
to State management and the resulting increased management flexibility
would lead to greater acceptance of wolves and decreased animosity
toward wolves. A few comments indicated that the polarizing wolf issue
had become indicative of a culture clash and that extremist attitudes
toward wolves (pro and con) had little to do with the realities of wolf
conservation and more to do with values.
Response 41: As indicated elsewhere in this rule, human attitudes
are important to the long term preservation of the gray wolf population
in Wyoming, the GYA, and the NRM DPS. While there is not universal
acceptance of wolves in Wyoming or the NRM DPS, we conclude that the
majority of the region's residents are willing to tolerate wolves as a
part of the landscape provided impacts to humans are minimized (see
also Issue 50 below). Although we agree our failure to delist has
negatively affected public tolerance (see Issues 50 and 53 below), we
conclude that State management in Wyoming and across the NRM DPS will
be successful in achieving a reasonable balance between the needs of a
recovered wolf population and other public needs. We recognize and
accept that achieving this balance will require reducing the wolf
population in Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming from current levels. This
reduction will, in turn, reduce the real and perceived impacts of the
wolf population and will reduce public opposition to the species'
conservation. The increased ability of members of the public to defend
their property and the ability of the hunter community to harvest
wolves will also increase this tolerance for wolves. Once these initial
population reductions are realized, public pressure will be reduced,
State harvest rates will moderate, and the species will likely settle
into a reasonable equilibrium well above minimum recovery levels. As
noted elsewhere in this rule (see Issue and Response 39 above), we
conclude that the GYA wolf population will likely maintain a long term
average of around 300 wolves and the entire NRM DPS will likely achieve
a long term average of around 1,000 wolves. At these levels, impacts of
the recovered wolf population will be modest. This will in turn promote
public tolerance such that this issue does not materialize to the point
where it might threaten the gray wolf population's long term survival.
Other Potential Threat Factors
Issue 42: A couple of comments indicated that the Wyoming wolf
population was threatened by impacts to habitat and range. One comment
suggested wilderness areas were not secure because Congress can
undesignate them at any time. This comment also suggested that we had
no guarantee that private lands will not be developed or otherwise
altered so that they would no longer support wolves. This comment also
suggested that wolves were at risk on public lands because livestock
grazing on public lands would result in wolf mortality; poison on
public lands could kill wolves; mining, mineral development, oil and
gas development, and associated human traffic would cause direct
mortality (increased wolf-truck collision) and cause pollution that
would kill wolves or impair their reproduction; and hunting and illegal
take on some public lands would kill still more wolves. This comment
criticized the proposed rule for not quantifying the amount of
development expected, quantifying the impact to suitable habitat and
the impact to unsuitable habitat important as dispersal corridors, and
the number of wolves that will be killed or otherwise adversely
affected. This comment also suggested that road repairs and
reconstruction in YNP was a new threat that would degrade the
environment in the park, affecting prey and causing wolves to leave the
protected park boundaries and be subjected to increased likelihood of
dying. This comment also suggested snowmobile use can kill or injure
wolves and that associated pollution could kill wolves or reduce their
reproductive success.
Response 42: We have thoroughly analyzed the issue of habitat and
range and conclude that it is not a threat to the population now or in
the foreseeable future. The vast majority of suitable wolf habitat is
secure in mountainous forested public land (wilderness and roadless
areas, National Parks, and some lands managed for multiple uses by the
U.S. Forest Service and Bureau of Land Management) that will not be
legally available or suitable for intensive levels of human development
(Service 1993, 1996, 2007; Servheen et al. 2003; U.S. Department of
Agriculture Forest
[[Page 55570]]
Service 2006). While changes to the protected status of these areas is
theoretically possible, such an outcome is highly improbable,
especially at the scale that would be necessary to affect the viability
of the Wyoming, the GYA, or the NRM gray wolf population. Although some
human activities in these areas and other surrounding areas could
increase human-caused mortality, we do not expect noticeable increases
in such activities in the foreseeable future. Furthermore, human-caused
mortality will be adequately regulated by the States so that the
population's recovered status is not compromised. This rule also
analyzes impacts to habitat and range as they relate to connectivity
and concludes future connectivity is unlikely to be meaningfully
affected by changes in habitat and range. To the extent that such
development does occur, it would not threaten the recovered status of
the Wyoming, the GYA, or the NRM gray wolf populations in the
foreseeable future. Finally, we conclude that ongoing activities in YNP
(e.g., road repair and snowmobile use) are unlikely to increase to the
point where they would negatively affect wolves. Statutory, regulatory,
and policy restrictions covering national parks give us great
confidence that YNP will take proper precautions to ensure all
activities in the park minimize impacts to wildlife, including wolves.
Issue 43: Numerous comments indicated nonnative human populations
are overpopulated and a threat to the wolf population.
Response 43: Human presence and the activities associated with this
presence does affect the landscape and a region's use by wolves. For
example, areas like New York City have been so altered that they are
unable to support a resident wolf population. Similarly, some prairie
habitats in Wyoming are also no longer capable of supporting persistent
wolf packs; however, more than sufficient habitat exists to support a
recovered wolf population. Human population levels in Wyoming (the
second least densely populated State in the country) are not a threat
to the wolf population's recovered status now or in the foreseeable
future. Secondary impacts related to human presence are discussed in
more detail in separate sections.
Issue 44: A few comments noted that wolf numbers would soon begin
to see significant natural declines if the wolf population is not
reduced, because wolf overabundance is causing the native prey
population, on which wolves are dependent, to drastically decline.
Numerous personal accounts of ungulate population declines were
offered. One comment suggested that the wolf population could be
endangered by grizzly bears, black bears, mountain lions, and other
wolves as wolves and other predators compete for limited food
resources.
Response 44: While there have been documented declines in some
ungulate populations, overall, prey numbers remain robust and more than
adequate to provide for the regional wolf population's needs. The
availability of prey is not a threat factor to wolf persistence now or
within the foreseeable future. While intraspecific conflict can
regulate wolf populations, natural predation has not threatened the NRM
gray wolf population and is not likely to in the foreseeable future;
future changes in prey abundance are not expected to change this
conclusion.
Issue 45: A number of comments noted that climate change is
expected to have a severe impact on the North American continent during
the 21st century. A few comments indicated climate change would stress
wild animal and plant populations and reduce survival rates. A few
comments asserted it would be a mistake to delist when we do not yet
know what impacts climate change will have on ungulate and wolf
populations (e.g., impacts on behavior, distribution, and abundance).
One comment stated that the Trophy Area might not be adequate to meet
the population's needs in a climate-altered world. This comment cited a
Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals ruling that suggested a need for
specific management responses tied to specific triggering criteria, not
a general commitment to adaptive management, in order to address
threats associated with climate change. Some comments suggested wolf
densities should be maintained to buffer the impacts of climate change
on other species. For example, wolf killing of vulnerable elk might
compensate for reduced winter elk kills, thus bolstering food
availability for other animals and minimizing the impacts of climate
change.
Response 45: This issue is discussed in our Factor E analysis
below. We continue to conclude that wolves are unlikely to be
threatened by climate change. Wolves are one of the most adaptable and
resilient land mammals on earth, once ranged across most of North
America from central Mexico to the Arctic Ocean and from coast to
coast, and can prey on every type of ungulate in their worldwide
northern hemisphere range. Thus, wolves are among the least likely
species to be threatened by this factor.
Other comments on this issue are also not persuasive. For example,
there is no evidence to support the idea that the Trophy Area might not
be adequate to meet the population's needs in a climate-altered world.
At present, the Trophy Area supports a robust prey base and a wolf
population that far exceeds the agreed-upon minimum management targets.
This topic is discussed in detail below in Factor E. Based on available
climate change projections, it is unlikely that climate change would
noticeably hinder the Trophy Area's capacity to support a wolf
population well above the agreed-upon minimum management targets.
Because this issue is not a meaningful factor affecting the
population's viability, a detailed adaptive management framework with
specific triggers and specific responses is not necessary or
appropriate. Finally, the Act does not allow us to consider impacts of
this decision to other species nor does it allow us to require the
States to maintain wolf populations at high densities to benefit other
species in the face of climate change.
Issue 46: Some comments expressed concern that all or parts of the
State wolf management plan would not be implemented because of hard
economic times and resulting funding limitations. These comments noted
that the Wyoming Gray Wolf Management Plan does not identify definite
funding sources and does not guarantee funding will be available. For
example, one comment suggested population targets could be compromised
if inadequate monitoring caused the State to overlook a disease event
and the State then also allowed a high hunting quota. Other comments
noted Wyoming's robust economy and healthy State funding for wildlife
would mean adequate funding for wolf management. Conversely, these
comments noted that looming Federal budget cuts would harm our ability
to properly manage the Wyoming wolf population.
Response 46: It is not possible to predict with certainty future
governmental appropriations, nor can we commit or require Federal funds
beyond those appropriated (31 U.S.C. 1341(a)(1)(A)). Even though
Federal funding is dependent on year-to-year allocations, we have
consistently and fully funded wolf management. Federal funding will
continue to be available in the future for State management, but
certainly not to the extent while wolves were listed. The Service will
continue to assist the States to secure adequate funding for wolf
management. The States recognize that implementation of their wolf
management plans requires funding and have committed to secure
[[Page 55571]]
the necessary funding to manage the wolf populations under the
guidelines established by their approved State wolf management plans
(Idaho Legislative Wolf Oversight Committee 2002; p. 23-25; Montana
Wolf Management Advisory Council 2003, p. xiv; Wyoming 2011, pp. 42-
43). In Wyoming specifically, the State indicates it will fund
operational costs for the wolf management program through its regular
budget, but also noted that continued Federal funding will assist in
some aspects of management, e.g., direct Federal funding to the State,
Federal management on some Federal lands such as National Wildlife
Refuges and National Parks, and Wildlife Services assisting in control
activities (WGFC 2011, pp. 42-43). Wyoming also indicated a willingness
to pursue outside funding sources such as private donations, grants
from foundations, assistance from nongovernmental organizations and
funding partnerships with other interested entities (WGFC 2011, p. 43).
These combined State and Federal commitments are more than enough
to provide for adequate management of the population after delisting.
In the unlikely event that wolf management is inadequately funded to
carry out the basic commitments of an approved State plan, then the
promised management of threats by the States and the required
monitoring of wolf populations might not be addressed. That scenario
would trigger a status review for possible relisting under the Act,
including possible use of the emergency listing authorities under
section 4(b)(7) of the Act.
Issue 47: One comment mentioned hybridization as a threat. This
comment did not elaborate on this issue and how it could threaten the
population.
Response 47: The NRM wolves' genetic signature does not show signs
of past or ongoing hybridization with other canid species (VonHoldt et
al. 2011, p. 4). Unlike some other wolf populations (e.g., red wolves),
hybridization is not affecting NRM gray wolf populations and is not a
threat to the NRM DPS's recovered status.
Cumulative Impacts of Threats
Issue 48: Several comments questioned the validity of our
conclusions for individual threat factors suggesting they were
considered in isolation. These comments indicated that we needed to
analyze threats in a cumulative manner. A number of comments suggested
some combination of natural mortality, disease events, catastrophic
events, and high human-caused mortality events could co-occur and
threaten the wolf population. Some of these noted the likelihood of
such an event if the population was already close to minimum population
targets.
Response 48: Our assessment of threats considered potential risk
factors individually and cumulatively. Our threats assessment is
organized sequentially, consistent with how section 4(a) of the Act is
organized. We then discuss the overall finding, which considers the
cumulative impacts of all potential threat factors. We considered and
weighed the cumulative effects of all known and reasonably foreseeable
threat factors facing the population when reaching the conclusion that
the gray wolf in Wyoming no longer meets and is unlikely to ever again
meet the definition of an endangered species.
When considering the population's recovered status, it is important
to remember that the minimum recovery criteria require Idaho, Montana,
and Wyoming to each maintain at least 10 breeding pairs and at least
100 wolves in mid-winter. After delisting, Wyoming has committed to
maintain at least 10 breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves outside of
YNP and the Wind River Indian Reservation at the end of the year, and
will maintain a buffer above these minimum levels so that the minimum
targets are not compromised. Thus, Wyoming intends to manage for the
entire recovery goal outside of YNP. These statewide totals will be
further buffered by wolves in YNP which experience extremely low rates
of human-caused mortality allowing the population essentially to be
naturally regulated at carrying capacity. From 2000 to the end of 2011
(the most recent official wolf population estimates available), the
wolf population in YNP ranged from 96 to 174 wolves, and between 6 to
16 breeding pairs. The YNP wolf population appears to be settling
around the lower end of this range (Service et al. 2000-2010, Table b;
Smith 2012). Specifically, YNP biologists expect that the park will
settle between 50 to 100 wolves and 5 to 10 packs with 4 to 6 of these
packs meeting the breeding pair definition annually (Smith 2012). Given
the above, the minimum recovery criteria for Wyoming will always be
greatly exceeded.
Additionally, the GYA wolf population will be further buffered by
wolves in Idaho and Montana's portion of the GYA. Since 2002, Montana's
GYA wolf population ranged from 55 to 130 wolves since recovery was
achieved in 2002, and Idaho's ranged from 0 to 40 wolves in its portion
of the GYA (Service et al. 2003-2012, Tables 1b, 2). While populations
in these areas are expected to be reduced from current levels, both
States have maintained, and are expected to continue to maintain, a
sizable population in their portion of the GYA. Across the entire GYA,
we expect the population will be managed for a long term average of
around 300 wolves across portions of Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming.
Overall, the GYA's expected abundance and geographic distribution
(occurring in both protected and unprotected portions of the GYA and
occurring across multiple management jurisdictions) provides the GYA
wolf population with substantial representation, resiliency, and
redundancy. Additional representation, redundancy, and resiliency is
also provided across the three connected recovery areas and three core
NRM DPS States, as well as connectivity to Canada. These factors
provide us with confidence the population can withstand the types of
impacts mentioned in the above comments.
Wolves are very resilient and can withstand and recover from most
of the specific events noted in the above comments. Such events are
likely to cause localized impacts, which would not affect all or even a
majority of the population in Wyoming, the GYA, or the NRM DPS. For
example, when disease hit the YNP wolf population in 2005 and 2008
there were substantial, temporary impacts, but they were experienced
only on a local scale and the YNP population quickly rebounded. No
similar large-scale events have been documented in other portions of
Wyoming.
It should be noted that wolves' natural reproductive capacity and
dispersal ability, State commitments to monitoring and adaptive
management, and the regional population's representation, resiliency,
and redundancy would not provide total protection from catastrophic
events. For example, as noted in the rule, a cataclysmic eruption
underneath YNP would devastate the GYA ecosystem. However, events such
as these are extremely unlikely within the foreseeable future.
Regarding management, Wyoming does not intend to manage the
population at minimum agreed-upon targets. Instead, the State intends
to manage for a buffer, recognizing that some unforeseen events could
affect the population. Furthermore, Wyoming (like Montana and Idaho)
intends to carefully monitor the population and will adjust all
controllable mortality factors, such as mortality resulting from
harvest and depredation control, in response to measured mortality of
all causes (WGFC 2012, p. 7). For example,
[[Page 55572]]
Wyoming will monitor for disease and associated impacts (WGFC 2011, p.
22) and reduce controllable sources of human-caused mortality if the
available information indicates such factors are causing unacceptable
population declines (WGFC 2011, pp. 23-25; WGFC 2012, p. 7). These
management measures provide that impacts related to human-caused
mortality are appropriately managed and will not singularly, or in
combination with other factors, compromise the population's recovered
status.
Post-Delisting Monitoring
Issue 49: A few comments indicated our status review triggers were
too low. Other comments expressed frustration with the perceived
relative lack of oversight once delisting occurs, including failure to
initiate status reviews in Idaho and Montana following changes to
management (most often mentioned were decisions to suspend the 2008-
2012 Idaho Wolf Population Management Plan and after decisions to set
hunting and trapping seasons with high or no quotas).
Response 49: For Idaho and Montana, three scenarios would lead us
to initiate a status review and analysis of threats to determine if
relisting was warranted including: (1) If the wolf population falls
below the minimum NRM wolf population recovery level of 10 breeding
pairs of wolves or 100 wolves in either Montana or Idaho at the end of
the year; (2) If the wolf population segment in Montana or Idaho falls
below 15 breeding pairs or 150 wolves at the end of the year in any one
of those States for 3 consecutive years; or (3) If a change in State
law or management objectives would significantly increase the threat to
the wolf population. For Wyoming, we will initiate a formal status
review to determine if relisting is warranted: (1) If the wolf
population falls below the minimum recovery level of 10 breeding pairs
or 100 wolves in Wyoming statewide (including YNP and the Wind River
Indian Reservation) at the end of any 1 year; (2) If the wolf
population segment in Wyoming excluding YNP and the Wind River Indian
Reservation falls below 10 breeding pairs or 100 wolves at the end of
the year for 3 consecutive years; (3) If the wolf population in Wyoming
falls below 15 breeding pairs or 150 wolves, including YNP and the Wind
River Indian Reservation, for 3 consecutive years; or (4) If a change
in State law or management objectives would significantly increase the
threat to the wolf population. These status review triggers are
appropriate because: The numeric status review triggers are consistent
with the minimum recovery criteria and the State's minimum management
targets, and the final criterion would be triggered if management veers
from approved post-delisting regulatory frameworks. Some commenters,
including some peer reviewers, expressed concern that the States may
face pressure to manage to the ``razor's edge'' (e.g., intentionally
manage below the above levels 2 out of every 3 years). This could
result in a population lower than the above standards are designed to
facilitate without triggering a status review. In response to this
concern, we will also conduct a status review if the above standards
are routinely not achieved--an outcome we do not anticipate. We have
incorporated this commitment into the ``Post-Delisting Monitoring''
section of this final rule, discussed below.
We take our post-delisting monitoring commitments very seriously
and will fulfill our responsibilities to monitor the population's
status relative to the above triggers. Our record demonstrates this
commitment--we published our annual assessments of the population's
status at the end of 2009 and 2011 (Bangs 2010; Jimenez 2012b); we did
not publish a similar finding in 2010 because the population was not
delisted at the end of 2010. We also evaluated Idaho's decision to
suspend its 2008-2012 wolf management plan at the end of 2010 (prior to
Congressional action to delist this population) and revert to its
Service-approved 2002 wolf management plan and its hunting plan for
2011-2012. We conducted an evaluation of the changes in Idaho and not
Montana that year because only Idaho decided to authorize no quotas in
large portions of the State and no overall state-wide quota. This
assessment determined these management decisions did not represent a
significant threat to the Idaho wolf population and did not meet the
threshold necessary to trigger a status review (Cooley 2011). This
assessment's determination was validated by the minimum end-of-year
population numbers, which showed little change in 2011 (technically,
slight increases in minimum population levels were documented; Service
et al. 2012, tables 4a, 4b). Consistent with this past practice,
similar assessments of Idaho and Montana's 2012-2013 hunting and
trapping seasons are ongoing as of this writing.
Throughout the post-delisting monitoring period we will continue to
publish annual assessments to determine if the status review triggers
have been met. We will also conduct on-the-spot assessments (similar to
our August 2011 assessment (Cooley 2011)) when the available
information indicates a change in management strategy could represent a
meaningful threat. Finally, as indicated above, we offer our strongest
assurance that we will consider relisting if there is ever sufficient
evidence that the species may meet the definition of threatened or
endangered and, as required by section 4(g)(2) of the Act, we will make
prompt use of the Act's emergency listing provisions if necessary to
prevent a significant risk to the well-being of the population. This
approach more than satisfies our post-delisting monitoring
responsibilities so that the population's recovered status will not be
compromised.
Positives and Negatives of Wolf Restoration
Issue 50: Some comments expressed the view that failure to delist
had resulted in unchecked growth of the wolf population in Wyoming and
throughout the NRM region, and that the resulting wolf abundance had
caused significant negative impacts to: ungulate populations (elk,
moose, deer, bison, and bighorn sheep herd declines); State game
agencies (largely dependent on hunting revenue); guides and outfitters
(reduced opportunity for ungulate harvest by clients); hunters (reduced
recreational and sustenance opportunities); ranchers (from livestock
depredation by wolves; stress to livestock affecting weight and health;
and declining business opportunities for ranchers who use/lease their
land for hunting); and the local economy (lost hunting and ranching
revenue). Some expressed concern for wolves attacking pets and pack
animals. Other comments expressed concern for habituated wolves
threatening human safety. Still other comments expressed concern that
wolves carry and transmit diseases and parasites harmful to both
wildlife and humans (Echinococcus granuloslls, also known as Hydatid
Disease, was most frequently mentioned). Many sportsmen noted that
wolves were significantly hindering the conservation progress for other
wildlife, which has been funded by sporting revenues. Some comments
suggested the 1994 Environmental Impact Statement was flawed in that we
underestimated the impacts wolves would cause. Many of these comments
described the reintroduction in such terms as ``catastrophic'' and
``disastrous.'' Some comments asserted that Wyoming residents had been
promised that the wolf population would be maintained at or below 100
or 150 animals and that excess wolves should be killed. Many comments
expressed support for hunting as a
[[Page 55573]]
method to reduce the Wyoming wolf population and restrict its
distribution.
Others suggested wolf population impacts were minimal and had been
exaggerated by anti-wolf interest groups. A few noted wolves kill few
livestock and that other predators kill more livestock than do wolves.
Some comments noted impacts to ungulates are complex and not fully
understood with some herds showing declines, some showing increases,
and some showing little or no effect from wolves. A few comments
asserted that hunters were erroneously blaming wolves for decimating
elk populations. These comments noted that all of Wyoming's elk herds
are at or above State management objectives. A few indicated ungulate
herds were overpopulated and destroying native ecosystems. Numerous
comments noted the positive direct and indirect economic impacts of
wolf restoration through increased tourism; other comments suggested
visitation to YNP had not meaningfully changed since reintroduction.
Response 50: Although we recognize that wolf restoration has
resulted in both positive and negative economic impacts to the region,
the Act precludes consideration of such impacts on listing and
delisting determinations. Instead, listing and delisting decisions are
based solely on the best scientific and commercial information
available regarding the status of the subject species. In this case,
the Wyoming wolf population and the greater NRM gray wolf population is
recovered, and now that adequate regulatory mechanisms are in place, we
have sufficient assurances the species' recovered status will be
maintained. Nevertheless, after delisting, we expect Wyoming will
reduce the State's wolf population, which should reduce any adverse
economic impacts of the region's wolf population.
Regarding human safety, there have been no wolf-caused injuries or
deaths in the NRM region since recovery efforts first began. Some
individuals have reported feeling threatened by wolves, and a few
wolves have been taken in such situations. Such take is allowed by both
our general regulations for the Act and both experimental populations'
special regulations (50 CFR 17.21(c)(2); 50 CFR 17.84(i)(3)(v); 50 CFR
17.84(n)(4)(vi)). After delisting, the States will continue to allow
for take in defense of an individual's life or the life of another
person.
Regarding disease, the public should treat all wildlife, including
canids, as potential vectors of disease. Although wolves reintroduced
to Yellowstone and central Idaho were treated with drugs to destroy
Echinococcus granulosus, wolves in these ecosystems currently have a
relatively high prevalence of the parasite. E. granulosus is just one
of many zoonotic diseases (diseases transmissible to humans) in
wildlife. When handling canids or canid feces we recommend wearing
gloves, not smoking, eating, or drinking, and washing up afterwards.
These simple precautions decrease exposure to a negligible level. We
also recommend not feeding uncooked wild or domestic ungulate organs to
dogs and maintaining proper veterinary care of dogs and their
parasites. These types of public health advisories are appropriate for
those engaged in wolf hunting or other wildlife pursuits that include
handling of any canine species, tissues, or scat (Boyce and Samuel
2011, entire).
Issue 51: Many comments suggested both the Wyoming wolf management
plan and the proposed delisting rule failed to note the value of
wolves. Some commenters noted that the return of wolves had restored
ecological balance to the region and that delisting would upset this
balance. A number of comments pointed to the ecological role of wolves
in modifying ungulate behavior, distribution, and movements and the
resulting ``cascade effect'' they produce for other unrelated species
and the larger ecosystem. Some contended these cascading effects also
helped farming and ranching. Many comments also pointed out that wolves
strengthen ungulate herds by preying on vulnerable ungulates, which
allows greater numbers of healthier, more robust, and more alert
animals to survive and pass on genes. Some comments suggested wolves
reduce the prevalence of disease (particularly chronic wasting disease
and brucellosis) by removing sick individuals from native ungulate
populations. Others comments pointed out that maintaining top level
predators like wolf populations resulted in fewer mesopredators like
coyotes (Canis latrans), which has been shown to reduce impacts on
pronghorn antelope (Antilocapra americana). Some comments suggested
these positive impacts would be reduced or hindered if Wyoming was
allowed to implement its wolf management plan. Others suggested
recovery levels should prevent ``trophic downgrading'' and provide for
``ecological effectiveness'' (i.e., occupancy with densities that
maintain critical ecosystem interactions and help ensure against
ecosystem degradation).
Response 51: We recognize that wolf recovery appears to have caused
trophic cascades and ecological effects in some areas that affect
numerous other animal and plant communities, and their relationships
with each other. These effects have been most pronounced in pristine
areas, such as in YNP. While these effects may occur at varying degrees
elsewhere, they are increasingly modified and subtle the more an area
is affected by humans (Ripple and Beschta 2004, entire; Smith et al.
2003, pp. 334-338; Robbins 2004, pp. 80-81; Fortin et al. 2005, entire;
Garrott et al. 2005, p. 1245; Hebblewhite et al. 2005, p. 2135;
Campbell et al. 2006, pp. 747-753; Mech 2012, entire). While these
purported effects are interesting (albeit still controversial; see Mech
2012, entire), such information is not considered in listing or
delisting decisions. Similarly, the Act does not require that we
prevent ``trophic downgrading'' (Estes et al. 2011, entire) or that we
achieve or maintain ``ecological effectiveness'' (Soule et al. 2003, p.
1239). Instead, listing and delisting decisions are based upon
extinction risk of the subject species. When a species no longer meets
the definition of an endangered or threatened species under the Act, it
is recovered, and we are to delist it.
Native American Tribal Considerations
Issue 52: A number of comments noted that many Native American
tribes honored wolves; viewed wolves as sacred relatives that taught
them to hunt, live in harmony, and sing to the creator; and learned how
to build stronger tribes by observing wolf pack loyalty. Only one of
these comments came from a self-identified Native American (the rest
were speaking generally about what we could learn from Native Americans
on this issue). This comment indicated wolves should be protected
because they are sacred to Native Americans and important for Native
American religious ceremonies.
Response 52: We take our relationships with the Tribes very
seriously and are sensitive to potential conflicts with tribal cultural
values. The wolf reintroduction has returned what traditional Arapaho
and Shoshone stories call a helper (Shoshone and Arapaho Tribal Fish
and Game Department 2007, p. 2) and assisted in restoring what the
Salish & Pend d'Oreille Tribal Elders call a ``balanced ecosystem''
(Confederated Salish and Kootenai Tribes 2009, p. 3). In preparation
for a return to Tribal management, we worked with the Tribes to prepare
wolf management plans that allowed for self-governance. Most of these
plans discuss the cultural importance of wolves, but also allow control
of problem wolves and the potential for wolf hunting. Having an
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approved plan allowed the Shoshone and Arapaho Tribal Fish and Game
Department to manage wolves on the Wind River Indian Reservation under
the more liberal 2005 and 2008 nonessential experimental populations
regulations (70 FR 1286, January 6, 2005; King 2007; 73 FR 4720,
January 28, 2008; 50 CFR 17.84(n)). Most recently, we contacted the
Eastern Shoshone and Northern Arapaho tribes in October 2011,
requesting government-to-government consultation to discuss any
concerns the Tribes may have with our proposal (Guertin 2011). The
Joint Council for these Tribes declined this opportunity (Greenwood
2011). Neither of these tribes nor any other Tribes formally commented
on the proposal. We also funded some Tribal wolf monitoring and
management through the years. Collectively, the above activities
satisfy our Tribal consultation responsibilities. While some
individuals may find portions of Wyoming's regulatory framework morally
objectionable and in conflict with their tribal cultural values, these
individual objections are not grounds to take a different course. We
will continue to inform the Tribes regarding the status of wolves and
to respond to any Tribal requests for government-to-government
consultation.
Summary of Factors Affecting the Species
Section 4 of the Act (16 U.S.C. 1533) and implementing regulations
(50 CFR part 424) set forth procedures for adding species to, removing
species from, or reclassifying species on the Federal Lists of
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants. Under section 4(a)(1) of
the Act, a species may be determined to be endangered or threatened
based on any of the following five factors: (A) The present or
threatened destruction, modification, or curtailment of its habitat or
range; (B) Overutilization for commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes; (C) Disease or predation; (D) The inadequacy of
existing regulatory mechanisms; or (E) Other natural or manmade factors
affecting its continued existence. We must consider these same five
factors in delisting decisions (50 CFR 424.11(d)). However, in
delisting decisions, this analysis of threats is an evaluation of both
the threats currently facing the species and the threats that are
reasonably likely to affect the species in the foreseeable future
following the delisting and the removal or reduction of the Act's
protections.
In considering what factors might constitute threats, we must look
beyond the exposure of the species to a particular factor to evaluate
whether the species may respond to the factor in a way that causes
actual impacts to the species. If there is exposure to a factor and the
species responds negatively, the factor may be a threat, and during the
status review, we attempt to determine how significant a threat it is.
The threat is significant if it drives or contributes to the risk of
extinction of the species such that the species warrants listing as
endangered or threatened as those terms are defined by the Act.
However, the identification of factors that could affect a species
negatively may not be sufficient to justify a finding that the species
warrants listing. The information must include evidence sufficient to
suggest that the potential threat is likely to materialize and that it
has the capacity (i.e., it should be of sufficient magnitude and
extent) to affect the species' status such that it meets the definition
of endangered or threatened under the Act.
The following analysis examines the five factors affecting, or
likely to affect Wyoming, GYA, and NRM wolves within the foreseeable
future. We have previously concluded wolves in the remainder of the NRM
DPS are recovered and warranted delisting (74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009;
76 FR 25590, May 5, 2011). Today's rulemaking is separate and
independent from, but additive to, the previous action delisting wolves
in the NRM DPS. While this rulemaking focuses on Wyoming, because this
is the only portion of the NRM DPS that remains listed, the conclusions
of the previous delisting and the information supporting this
determination are incorporated by reference. This information is only
updated where necessary (e.g., Idaho's suspension of its 2008-2012
step-down wolf management plan and Montana's and Idaho's hunting
seasons) to consider new developments affecting the larger NRM DPS. The
best scientific and commercial information available demonstrates gray
wolves in Wyoming, the GYA, and the NRM DPS are recovered and are
unlikely to become endangered in the foreseeable future throughout all
or a significant portion of their range.
Factor A. The Present or Threatened Destruction, Modification, or
Curtailment of Its Habitat or Range
This section evaluates the entire State of Wyoming, and within
Wyoming we focus primarily on suitable habitat, currently occupied
areas, and the Trophy Area. Within Wyoming, we also examine unsuitable
habitat. Habitat suitability is based on biological features that
affect the ability of wolf packs to persist. Outside of Wyoming, this
analysis looks at areas between the three recovery areas to inform our
understanding of current and future connectivity, with particular focus
on the central Idaho to GYA dispersal corridor. For an analysis of
other portions of the NRM DPS relative to this factor, see our 2009
delisting determination (74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009). We analyze a
number of potential threats to wolf habitat including increased human
populations and development (including oil and gas), connectivity,
ungulate populations, and livestock grazing.
Suitable Habitat--Wolves are habitat generalists (Mech and Boitoni
2003, p. 163) and once occupied or transited all of Wyoming. However,
much of the wolf's historical range within this area has been modified
for human use. While lone wolves can travel through, or temporarily
live, almost anywhere (Jimenez et al. In review, p. 1), much of Wyoming
is no longer suitable habitat to support wolf packs and wolf breeding
pairs (Oakleaf et al. 2006, p. 559; Carroll et al. 2006, p. 32). We
have reviewed the quality, quantity, and distribution of habitat
relative to the biological requirements of wolves. In doing so, we
reviewed two models, Oakleaf et al. (2006, pp. 555-558) and Carroll et
al. (2003, pp. 536-548; 2006, pp. 27-31), to help us gauge the current
amount and distribution of suitable wolf habitat in Wyoming. Both
models ranked habitat as ``suitable'' if they had characteristics that
indicated they might have a 50 percent or greater chance of supporting
wolf packs. Suitable wolf habitat was typically characterized in both
models as public land with mountainous, forested habitat that contains
abundant year-round wild ungulate populations, low road density, low
numbers of domestic livestock that are only present seasonally, few
domestic sheep, low agricultural use, and few people. Unsuitable wolf
habitat was typically just the opposite (i.e., private land, flat open
prairie or desert, low or seasonal wild ungulate populations, high road
density, high numbers of year-round domestic livestock including many
domestic sheep, high levels of agricultural use, and many people).
Despite their similarities, these two models had differences in the
area analyzed, layers, inputs, and assumptions. As a result, the
Oakleaf et al. (2006, p. 559) and Carroll et al. (2006, p. 33) models
predicted different amounts of theoretically suitable wolf habitat in
areas examined by both models.
Oakleaf's model was a more intensive effort that looked at
potential wolf
[[Page 55575]]
habitat in the NRM region (Oakleaf et al. 2006, p. 555). To comprise
its geographic information system layers, the model used roads
accessible to two-wheel and four-wheel vehicles, topography (slope and
elevation), land ownership, relative ungulate density (based on State
harvest statistics), cattle and sheep density, vegetation
characteristics (ecoregions and land cover), and human density. Oakleaf
analyzed the characteristics of areas occupied and not occupied by NRM
wolf packs through 2000 to predict what other areas in the NRM region
might be suitable or unsuitable for future wolf pack formation (Oakleaf
et al. 2006, p. 555). In total, Oakleaf et al. (2006, p. 559) ranked
28,725 km\2\ (11,091 mi\2\) as suitable wolf habitat in Wyoming.
Carroll's model analyzed a much larger area (all 12 western States
and northern Mexico) in a less specific way than Oakleaf's model
(Carroll et al. 2006, pp. 27-31). Carroll's model used density and type
of roads, human population density and distribution, slope, and
vegetative greenness to estimate relative ungulate density to predict
associated wolf survival and fecundity rates (Carroll et al. 2006, p.
29). These factors were used to develop estimates of habitat
theoretically suitable for wolf pack persistence. In addition, Carroll
predicted the potential effect of increased road development and human
density expected by 2025 on suitable wolf habitat (Carroll et al. 2006,
pp. 30-31). In total, Carroll et al. (2006, pp. 27-31) ranked 77,202
km\2\ (29,808 mi\2\) in Wyoming as suitable habitat. According to the
Carroll model, approximately 30 percent of Wyoming would be ranked as
suitable wolf habitat (Carroll et al. 2006, pp. 27-31).
The Carroll et al. (2006, pp. 31-34) model tended to be more
generous than the Oakleaf et al. (2006, pp. 558-560) model in
identifying suitable wolf habitat. Based on empirical wolf data over
our 17 years of experience in Wyoming, we have determined Oakleaf's
projections were more realistic. Unlike the Oakleaf model, the Carroll
model did not incorporate livestock density into its calculations
(Carroll et al. 2006, pp. 27-29; Oakleaf et al. 2006, p. 556). Thus,
the Carroll model did not consider those conditions where wolf
mortality is high and habitat unsuitable because of chronic conflict
with livestock. During the past 17 years, Wyoming wolf packs have been
unable to persist in areas intensively used for livestock production,
primarily because of agency control of problem wolves and illegal
killing. However, due to the large area analyzed, the Carroll model
provided a valuable relative measure across the western United States
upon which comparisons could be made.
Many of the more isolated primary habitat patches that the Carroll
model predicted as currently suitable were predicted to be unsuitable
by the year 2025, indicating they were likely on the lower end of what
ranked as suitable habitat in that model (Carroll et al. 2006, p. 32).
Because these areas were typically too small to support breeding pairs
and too isolated from the core population to receive enough dispersing
wolves to overcome high mortality rates, we conclude that these areas
are not currently suitable habitat based upon our data on Wyoming wolf
pack persistence for the past 17 years (Bangs 1991, p. 9; Bangs et al.
1998, p. 788; Service et al. 1999-2012, Figure 1).
Despite differences in each model's analysis area, layers, inputs,
and assumptions, both models predicted that most suitable wolf habitat
in Wyoming was in the GYA, which is the area currently occupied by
wolves in Wyoming. These models are useful in understanding the
relative proportions and distributions of various habitat
characteristics and their relationships to wolf pack persistence. Both
models generally support our earlier predictions about wolf habitat
suitability in the GYA (Service 1980, p. 9; Service 1987, p. 7; Service
1994, p. vii). Because these two theoretical models only define
suitable habitat as those areas that have characteristics with a 50
percent or greater probability of supporting wolf packs, the acreages
of suitable habitat that they indicate can be successfully occupied are
only estimates.
The Carroll et al. (2006, p. 25) model also indicated that the GYA
and neighboring population centers had habitat suitable for dispersal
between them, and such habitat would remain relatively intact in the
future. However, the GYA is the most isolated (Oakleaf et al. 2006, p.
554). This conclusion is supported by dispersal and genetic exchange
data (vonHoldt et al. 2010, p. 4420; Jimenez et al. In review, p. 1).
We note that some surrounding habitat that is considered unsuitable for
pack persistence is still important for maintaining effective migration
through natural dispersal.
Overall, we evaluated data from a number of sources on the location
of suitable wolf habitat in developing our estimate of currently
suitable wolf habitat. Specifically, we considered the recovery areas
identified in the 1987 wolf recovery plan (Service 1987, p. 23), the
primary analysis areas analyzed in the 1994 Environmental Impact
Statement for the GYA (63,700 km\2\ (24,600 mi\2\) (Service 1994, p.
iv), information derived from theoretical models by Carroll et al.
(2006, p. 25) and Oakleaf et al. (2006, p. 554), our 17 years of field
experience managing wolves in Wyoming, and locations of persistent wolf
packs and breeding pairs since recovery has been achieved (Service et
al. 1999-2012, Figure 1). Collectively, this evidence leads us to
concur with the Oakleaf et al. (2006, p. 559) model's predictions that
the most important habitat attributes for wolf pack persistence are
forest cover, public land, high elk density, and low livestock density.
Therefore, we conclude that Oakleaf's calculations of the amount and
distribution of suitable wolf habitat available for persistent wolf
pack formation, in the parts of Wyoming analyzed, represent a
reasonable prediction of suitable wolf habitat in Wyoming (although
these calculations somewhat overestimated habitat suitability in some
areas such as the Big Horn mountains) (Oakleaf et al. 2006, p. 559).
Generally, Wyoming's suitable habitat is located in the
northwestern portion of the State. A comparison of actual wolf pack
distribution in 2009 and 2011 (Service et al. 2010; 2012, Figure 1) to
Oakleaf et al.'s (2006, p. 559) prediction of suitable habitat
indicates that nearly all suitable habitat in Wyoming is currently
occupied and areas predicted to be unsuitable remain largely
unoccupied. Of note, the permanent Trophy Area and protected areas
contain approximately 81 percent of the State's suitable habitat
(including over 81 percent of the high-quality habitat (greater than 80
percent chance of supporting wolves) and over 62 percent of the medium-
high-quality habitat (50 to 79 percent chance of supporting wolves)
(Oakleaf 2011; Mead 2012a).
Although Carroll determined there may be some additional suitable
wolf habitat in Wyoming beyond the area Oakleaf analyzed, we conclude
that it is marginally suitable at best, and is insignificant to NRM
DPS, GYA, or Wyoming wolf population recovery, because it occurs in
small, isolated, and fragmented areas and is unlikely to support many,
if any, persistent breeding pairs. While some areas in Wyoming
predicted to be unsuitable habitat by the above models have been
temporarily occupied and used by wolves or even packs, we still
consider these areas to be largely unsuitable habitat because wolf
packs in such areas have failed to persist long enough to be
categorized as breeding pairs and successfully contribute toward
recovery. Therefore, we conclude that such areas are unsuitable habitat
and that dispersing wolves attempting to
[[Page 55576]]
colonize those areas are unlikely to form breeding pairs, persist long
enough to raise yearlings that can disperse to facilitate demographic
and genetic exchange within the NRM DPS, or otherwise contribute to
population recovery.
Unoccupied Suitable Habitat--Habitat suitability modeling indicates
that the GYA and central Idaho core recovery areas are atypical of
other habitats in the western United States because suitable wolf
habitat in these areas occurs in much larger contiguous blocks (Service
1987, p. 7; Larson 2004, p. 49; Carroll et al. 2006, p. 35; Oakleaf et
al. 2006, p. 559). Such core refugia areas provide a steady source of
dispersing wolves that populate other adjoining potentially suitable
wolf habitat. Some habitat ranked by models as suitable adjacent to
this core refugia may be able to support wolf breeding pairs, while
other habitat farther away from a strong source of dispersing wolves
may not be able to support persistent packs. This fact is important
when considering suitable habitat as defined by the Carroll et al.
(2006, p. 30) and Oakleaf et al. (2006, p. 559) models, because wolf
populations can persist despite very high rates of mortality only if
they have high rates of immigration (Fuller et al. 2003, p. 183).
Therefore, model predictions regarding habitat suitability do not
always translate into successful wolf occupancy and wolf breeding
pairs, just as habitat predicted to be unsuitable does not mean such
areas will not support wolf breeding pairs.
Strips and smaller (less than 2,600 km\2\ (1,000 mi\2\)) patches of
theoretically suitable habitat (Carroll et al. 2006, p. 34; Oakleaf et
al. 2006, p. 559) (typically, isolated mountain ranges) often possess a
higher mortality risk for wolves because of their enclosure by, and
proximity to, unsuitable habitat with a high mortality risk (Murray et
al. 2010, p. 2514; Smith et al. 2010, p. 620). In addition, pack
territories often form along distinct geological features (Mech and
Boitani 2003, p. 23), such as the crest of a rugged mountain range, so
usable space for wolves in isolated, long, narrow mountain ranges may
be reduced by half or more. This phenomenon, in which the quality and
quantity of suitable habitat is diminished because of interactions with
surrounding less-suitable habitat, is known as an edge effect (Mills
1995, pp. 400-401). Edge effects are exacerbated in small habitat
patches with high perimeter-to-area ratios (i.e., those that are long
and narrow, like isolated mountain ranges) and in species with large
territories, like wolves, because they are more likely to encounter
surrounding unsuitable habitat (Woodroffe and Ginsberg 1998, p. 2128).
Implementation of wolf recovery has shown that some theoretically
suitable habitat described by the available models fails to be
functional (or suitable) wolf habitat because of non-modeled parameters
(e.g., edge effect discussed above) that exist in those areas.
For the above reasons, we conclude that the Wyoming wolf population
will be centered around YNP and the GYA. This was always the intention,
as indicated by the GYA recovery area identified in the 1987 Recovery
Plan and the primary analysis area identified in the 1994 Environmental
Impact Statement. This core area will support the recovered Wyoming and
GYA wolf population and continue to contribute to the NRM gray wolf
populations' recovered status.
Currently Occupied Habitat--We calculated the currently occupied
area in the NRM DPS wolf population by drawing a line around the outer
points of radio-telemetry locations of all known wolf pack territories
at the end of 2010 (Service et al. 2012, Figure 1). Since 2002, most
packs have occurred within a consistent area (Service et al. 2003-2012,
Figure 1), although the outer boundary of the entire NRM wolf
population has fluctuated somewhat as peripheral packs establish in
unsuitable or marginally suitable habitat and are subsequently lost
(Messer 2011). We define occupied wolf habitat as that area confirmed
as being used by resident wolves to raise pups, or that is consistently
used by two or more territorial wolves for longer than 1 month (Service
1994, pp. 6:5-6).
The overall distribution of most Wyoming wolf packs primarily
forming in mountainous forest habitat has been similar since 2000,
despite a wolf population in the State that has more than doubled
(Service et al. 2001-2012, Figure 1; Bangs et al. 2009, p. 104). The
wolf population has saturated most suitable habitat in the State.
Because packs are unlikely to persist in unsuitable habitat,
significant growth in the population's distribution is unlikely. We
include unoccupied areas separating areas with resident packs as
occupied wolf habitat because these intervening unsuitable habitat
areas contribute to demographic and genetic connectivity (vonHoldt et
al. 2010, p. 4412). While these areas are not capable of supporting
persistent wolf packs, dispersing wolves routinely travel through these
areas, and packs occasionally occupy them (Service 1994, pp. 6:5-6;
Bangs 2002, p. 3; Jimenez et al. In review, p. 1).
Occupied habitat in Wyoming occurs only in the northwestern part of
the State (see Figure 1 above). Specifically, this occupied area
extends slightly further east than the Trophy Area, includes about the
western-third of the Wind River Indian Reservation, and extends south
to about Big Piney, Wyoming. The occupied portion of Wyoming and the
GYA is illustrated in Figure 1 above.
The Wyoming wolf population's relatively stable distribution is the
result of the wolf population approaching biological limits, given
available suitable habitat and conflict in unsuitable habitat. The
remaining habitat predicted by Carroll's model is often fragmented,
occurring in smaller, more isolated patches (Carroll et al. 2006, p.
35). These areas have only been occupied by a few breeding pairs that
failed to persist (Service et al. 2012, Figure 1). Given the above,
there is probably limited ability for the Wyoming wolf population to
expand significantly beyond its current outer boundaries, even under
continued protections of the Act. As demonstrated by the wolf
population's demographic abundance and relatively constant geographic
occupancy in northwestern Wyoming, it is clear that there is sufficient
suitable habitat to maintain the Wyoming wolf population well above
recovery levels.
Potential Threats Affecting Habitat or Range--Wolves are one of the
most adaptable large predators in the world and are unlikely to be
substantially affected by any threat except high levels of human
persecution (Fuller et al. 2003, p. 163; Boitani 2003, pp. 328-330).
Even active wolf dens can be quite resilient to nonlethal disturbance
by humans (Frame et al. 2007, p. 316). Establishing a recovered wolf
population in the NRM region did not require land-use restrictions or
curtailment of traditional land uses because there was enough suitable
habitat and wild ungulates and sufficiently few livestock conflicts to
recover wolves under existing conditions (Bangs et al. 2004, pp. 95-
96). Traditional land-use practices in Wyoming are not a threat to
wolves in the State, and thus, do not need to be modified to maintain a
recovered wolf population into the foreseeable future. We do not
anticipate that habitat changes in Wyoming will occur at a magnitude
that will threaten wolf recovery in the foreseeable future, because the
vast majority of occupied habitat is in public ownership that is
managed for uses that are complementary with the maintenance of
suitable wolf habitat and viable wolf
[[Page 55577]]
populations (Carroll et al. 2003, p. 542; Oakleaf et al. 2006, p. 560).
The 63,714 km\2\ (24,600 mi\2\) GYA is primarily composed of public
lands (Service 1994, p. iv), and represents one of the largest
contiguous blocks of suitable habitat within the region. Public lands
in National Parks (YNP, Grand Teton National Park, and John D.
Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway), wilderness (the Absaroka Beartooth,
North Absaroka, Washakie, and Teton Wilderness Areas), roadless areas,
and large blocks of contiguous mountainous forested habitat are largely
unavailable or unsuitable for intensive development. Within the
occupied portions of Wyoming, land ownership is mostly Federal (78.6
percent, 58.1 percent of which is National Park Service or wilderness)
with some State (2.6 percent), Tribal (8.4 percent), and private lands
(10.5 percent) (Lickfett 2012).
The vast majority of suitable wolf habitat and the current wolf
population are secure in mountainous forested Federal public land
(wilderness and roadless areas, National Parks, and some lands managed
for multiple uses by the U.S. Forest Service and Bureau of Land
Management) that will not be legally available or suitable for
intensive levels of human development (Service 1993, 1996, 2007;
Servheen et al. 2003; U.S. Department of Agriculture Forest Service
2006). Furthermore, the ranges of wolves and grizzly bears overlap in
many parts of Wyoming and the GYA, and mandatory habitat guidelines for
grizzly bear conservation on public lands far exceed necessary criteria
for maintaining suitable habitat for wolves (for an example, see U.S.
Department of Agriculture Forest Service 2006). Thus, northwestern
Wyoming will continue to provide optimal suitable habitat for a
resident wolf population.
The availability of native ungulate populations is a key factor in
wolf habitat and range. Wild ungulate prey species are composed mainly
of elk, white-tailed deer, mule deer, moose, and bison. Bighorn sheep,
mountain goats, and pronghorn antelope also are common, but are not
important as wolf prey. In total, Wyoming supports about 50,000 elk and
about 90,000 mule deer in northwestern Wyoming (Bruscino 2011a). All
but two of Wyoming's 35 elk management units are at or above the WGFD
numeric objectives for those herds; however, calf/cow ratios in several
herd units are below desired levels (WGFD 2010, p. 1; Mead 2012a). The
State of Wyoming has successfully managed resident ungulate populations
for decades. With managers and scientists collaborating to determine
the source of the potential population fluctuations and appropriate
management responses, we feel confident that, although different herds
may experience differing population dynamics, the GYA will continue to
support large populations of ungulates, and Wyoming will continue to
maintain ungulate populations at densities that will continue to
support a recovered wolf population well into the foreseeable future.
The presence of cattle and sheep also affect wolf habitat and
range. Cattle and sheep are at least twice as numerous as wild
ungulates, even on public lands (Service 1994, p. viii). Most wolf
packs have at least some interaction with livestock. Wolves and
livestock can live near one another for extended periods of time
without significant conflict, if agency control prevents the behavior
of chronic livestock depredation from becoming widespread in the wolf
population. However, whenever wolves and livestock mix, some livestock
and some wolves will be killed. Conflicts between wolves and livestock
have resulted in the annual removal of around 8 to 15 percent of the
wolf population (Bangs et al. 1995, p. 130; Bangs et al. 2004, p. 92;
Bangs et al. 2005, pp. 342-344; Service et al. 2012, Tables 4, 5; Smith
et al. 2010, p. 620). Such active control promotes tolerance for wolf
presence by responding to, and minimizing future, impacts to private
property without threatening the wolf population viability.
We do not foresee a substantial increase in livestock abundance
occurring across northwestern Wyoming that would result in increased
wolf mortality, and in fact, the opposite trend has been occurring. In
recent years, more than 200,000 hectares (500,000 acres) of public land
grazing allotments have been purchased and retired in areas of chronic
conflict between livestock and large predators, including wolves
(Fischer 2008). Assuming adequate regulation of other potential threat
factors (discussed below), the continued presence of livestock will not
in any meaningful way threaten the recovered status of the Wyoming wolf
population in the foreseeable future.
Although human population growth and development may affect wolf
habitat and range, we expect these impacts will be minimal, because the
amount of secure suitable habitat is more than sufficient to support
wolf breeding pairs well above recovery levels. We expect the region
will see increased growth and development including conversion of
private low-density rural lands to higher density urban and suburban
development; accelerated road development and increasing amounts of
transportation facilities (pipelines and energy transmission lines);
additional resource extraction (primarily oil and gas, coal, and wind
development in certain areas); and increased recreation on public lands
(Robbins 2007, entire). Despite efforts to minimize impacts to wildlife
(Brown 2006, pp. 1-3), some development will make some areas of Wyoming
and the GYA less suitable for wolf occupancy. In the six northwestern
Wyoming counties most used by wolves, the human population is projected
to increase approximately 15 percent by 2030 (from 122,787 counted in
2010 to 141,000 forecast in 2030) (Carroll et al. 2006, p. 536; Wyoming
Department of Administration and Information Economic Analysis Division
2008, entire; U.S. Census Bureau 2010, entire). We anticipate similar
levels of population growth in the other neighboring areas, because the
West as a region is projected to increase at rates faster than any
other region (U.S. Census Bureau 2005). As human populations increase,
associated impacts will follow. However, human development will not
occur on a scale that could possibly affect the overall suitability of
Wyoming or the GYA for wolves, and no foreseeable habitat-related
threats will prevent these areas from supporting a wolf population that
is capable of substantially exceeding recovery levels.
Most types of intensive human development predicted in the future
in Wyoming will occur in areas that have already been extensively
modified by human activities and are unsuitable as wolf habitat
(Freudenthal 2005, appendix III). Mineral extraction activities are
likely to continue to be focused at lower elevations, on private lands,
in open habitats, and outside of currently suitable and currently
occupied wolf habitat (Robbins 2007, entire). Development on private
land near suitable habitats will continue to expose wolves to more
conflicts and higher risk of human-caused mortality. However, the rate
of conflict is well below the level wolves can withstand, especially
given the large amount of secure habitat in public ownership, much of
which is protected, that will support a recovered wolf population and
will provide a reliable and constant source of dispersing wolves.
Furthermore, management programs (Linnell et al. 2001, p. 348),
research and monitoring, and outreach and education about living with
wildlife can somewhat reduce such impacts.
Modeling exercises can also provide insight into future land-use
[[Page 55578]]
development patterns. While these models have weaknesses (such as an
inability to accurately predict economic upturns or downturns,
uncertainty regarding investments in infrastructure that might drive
development, such as roads, airports, or water projects, and an
inability to predict open-space acquisitions or conservation
easements), we nevertheless think that such models are useful in adding
to our understanding of likely development patterns. Carroll et al.
(2003, p. 541; 2006, p. 32) predicted future wolf habitat suitability
under several scenarios through 2025, including potential threats such
as increased human population growth and road development. Similarly,
in 2005, the Center for the West produced a series of maps predicting
growth through 2040 for the West (Travis et al. 2005, pp. 2-7). These
projections are available at: https://www.centerwest.org/futures/west/2040.html. These models predict very little development across occupied
and suitable portions of the NRM DPS, Wyoming, or GYA.
Based on these projections, we have determined that increased
development will not alter wolf habitat suitability in the NRM DPS,
Wyoming, or GYA nearly enough to cause the wolf population to fall
below recovery levels in the foreseeable future. We acknowledge that
habitat suitability for wolves will change over time with human
development, activities, and attitudes, but not to the extent that it
is likely to threaten wolf recovery. We conclude that future human
population growth will not adversely affect wolf conservation. Wolf
populations persist in many areas of the world that are far more
developed than this region currently is, or is likely to be, in the
foreseeable future (Boitani 2003, pp. 322-323). Current habitat
conditions are adequate to support a wolf population well above minimal
recovery levels, and model predictions indicate that development over
the next 25 years is unlikely to change habitat in a manner that would
threaten the wolf population (Carroll et al. 2003, p. 544).
Regarding connectivity between the Wyoming and the GYA wolf to the
remainder of the NRM DPS, minimal change in human population growth
(Travis et al. 2005, pp. 2-7) and habitat suitability (Carroll et al.
2003, p. 541; Carroll et al. 2006, p. 32) are expected along the Idaho-
Montana border between the central Idaho wolf population and the GYA.
In fact, projected development is anticipated to include modest
expansions concentrated in urban areas and immediately surrounding
areas (Travis et al. 2005, pp. 2-7). Conversely, in many surrounding
rural areas, habitat suitability for wolves will be increased beyond
current levels as road densities on public lands are reduced, a process
under way in the entire NRM region (Carroll et al. 2006, p. 25;
Servheen et al. 2003; Service 1993, 1996, 2007; Brown 2006, pp. 1-3).
Wolves have exceptional dispersal abilities including the ability to
disperse long distances across vast areas of unsuitable habitat.
Numerous lone wolves have already been documented to have successfully
dispersed through these types of developed areas (Jimenez et al. In
review, p. 1). History proves that wolves are among the least likely
species of land mammal to face a serious threat from reduced
connectivity related to projected changes in habitat (Fuller et al.
2003, pp. 189-190).
There is more than enough habitat connectivity between occupied
wolf habitat in Canada, northwestern Montana, and Idaho to provide for
the exchange of sufficient numbers of dispersing wolves to maintain
demographic and genetic diversity in the NRM wolf metapopulation. We
have documented routine movement of radio-collared wolves across the
nearly contiguous available suitable habitat between Canada,
northwestern Montana, and central Idaho (Boyd et al. 1995, p. 136; Boyd
and Pletscher 1999, pp. 1100-1101; Jimenez et al. In review, p. 23). No
foreseeable threats put this connectivity at risk. The GYA is the most
physically isolated core recovery area within the NRM DPS, but the GYA
has also demonstrated sufficient levels of connectivity to other
occupied habitats and wolf populations in the NRM. Within the
foreseeable future, only minimal habitat degradation will occur between
the GYA and the other recovery areas. Overall, we conclude that this
will have only minimal impacts on foreseeable levels of dispersal and
connectivity of wolves in the GYA and the State of Wyoming with other
wolf populations in the NRM. In short, future connectivity is unlikely
to be meaningfully affected by changes in habitat and range (genetic
exchange is discussed in more detail under Factor E below), and any
changes that are likely will not threaten the recovered status of the
Wyoming, the GYA, or the NRM gray wolf populations in the foreseeable
future. Therefore, we find present or threatened destruction,
modification, or curtailment of habitat and range, singularly or in
combination with other threats, will not cause the Wyoming, the GYA, or
the NRM gray wolf populations to be ``likely to become an endangered
species within the foreseeable future throughout all or a significant
portion of its range.''
Factor B. Overutilization for Commercial, Recreational, Scientific, or
Educational Purposes
Commercial or Recreational Uses--This section discusses both legal
and illegal killing for commercial or recreational purposes, such as
hunting and trapping. All other potential sources of human-caused
mortality (e.g., legal or illegal killing for other purposes, agency or
individual actions to address conflicts over wolf-livestock
interactions, or wolf kills in the predator area of Wyoming) are
discussed in the ``Human-caused Mortality'' section of Factor C below;
potential impacts of human-caused mortality to natural connectivity and
gene flow are discussed in the ``Genetic Considerations'' section of
Factor E below. First, this section discusses illegal commercial or
recreational use. Next, this section focuses on legal hunting and
trapping in Wyoming. Finally, this section evaluates regulated hunting
and trapping in Idaho and Montana because some wolves and some packs
cross State boundaries. For an analysis of other portions of the NRM
DPS relative to this factor, see our 2009 delisting determination (74
FR 15123, April 2, 2009). Additional consideration of such take since
2009 has verified our previous conclusions that State management of
such human-caused mortality will not undermine maintenance of any
portion of the NRM DPS's recovered status (Cooley 2011; Jimenez 2012b;
see also Issue and Response 4 above). Additional consideration of such
take in Montana and Idaho are also included in other portions of this
rule as appropriate.
Since the species was listed, killing for commercial or
recreational use has been prohibited. While some wolves may have been
illegally killed for commercial use of the pelts and other parts, such
illegal commercial trafficking is rare. Furthermore, illegal capture of
wolves for commercial breeding purposes is also possible, but we have
no evidence that it occurs in Wyoming, the GYA, or elsewhere in the NRM
DPS. We conclude that the prohibition against ``take'' provided by
section 9 of the Act has discouraged and minimized the illegal killing
of wolves for commercial or recreational purposes. Post-delisting,
State, tribal, and other Federal laws and regulations will continue to
provide a strong deterrent to such illegal wolf killing by the public.
State, tribal, and other Federal wildlife agencies have well-
distributed,
[[Page 55579]]
experienced professional law enforcement officers to help enforce their
respective wildlife regulations. Similar regulatory approaches have
been effective in the conservation of other resident wildlife, such as
black bears, mountain lions, elk, and deer. Most hunting and trapping
that will occur post-delisting will be legal, permitted, and regulated
by the State of Wyoming or the Wind River Indian Reservation.
Legal regulated harvest will be employed by Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming after delisting. Additionally, the Wind River Indian
Reservation may consider legal regulated harvest. Harvest will be done
in a manner compatible with wolf conservation. Wolves can maintain
themselves despite human-caused mortality rates of 17 to 48 percent
(Fuller et al. 2003, pp. 182-184 [22 percent +/- 8 percent]; Adams et
al. 2008 [29 percent]; Creel and Rotella 2010 [22 percent]; Sparkman et
al. 2011 [25 percent]; Gude et al. 2011 [48 percent]; Vucetich and
Carroll In review [17 percent]).
We have long encouraged hunting as a long term strategy for wolf
conservation because it is a valuable, efficient, and cost-effective
tool to help manage wildlife populations (Bangs et al. 2009, pg. 113).
Viable robust wolf populations in Canada, Alaska, and other parts of
the world are hunted and trapped and are not threatened by this type of
mortality. Furthermore, all States in the NRM DPS have substantial
experience operating regulated harvest as a wildlife management tool
for resident species. Regarding experience specific to wolves, in both
2009 and 2011, more than 250 NRM wolves were killed through hunting and
a total of more than 600 NRM wolves died each year from all sources of
mortality (agency control including defense of property, regulated
harvest, illegal and accidental killing, and natural causes), and the
population showed little change (technically, slight increases in
minimum population levels were documented each year) (Service et al.
2012, tables 4a, 4b). While future population reductions are
anticipated, the available information gives us every confidence that
the States will run hunts such that wolf populations will not be
threatened by recreational or commercial uses.
In Wyoming, wolves will be managed as game animals year-round or
protected in about 38,500 km\2\ (15,000 mi\2\) in the northwestern
portion of the State (15.2 percent of Wyoming), including YNP, Grand
Teton National Park, John D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway,
adjacent U.S. Forest Service-designated Wilderness Areas, adjacent
public and private lands, the National Elk Refuge, and most of the Wind
River Indian Reservation (Lickfett 2012). This area is of sufficient
size to support Wyoming wolf population targets, under the management
regime developed for this area.
Wolves will be considered as trophy game animals within the area of
northwestern Wyoming identified as the Trophy Area (see Figure 1
above). In areas under State jurisdiction, ``trophy game'' status
allows the WGFC and WGFD to regulate methods of take, hunting seasons,
and numbers of wolves that could be killed. The boundary and size of
the Trophy Area was established by State statute and cannot be
diminished through WGFC rule or regulation. The Trophy Area will be
seasonally expanded approximately 80 km (50 mi) south (see Figure 1
above) from October 15 to the last day of February (28th or 29th) to
facilitate natural dispersal of wolves between Wyoming and Idaho.
During this timeframe, the Trophy Area will be expanded by
approximately 3,300 km\2\ (1,300 mi\2\) (i.e., an additional 1.3
percent of Wyoming) (Lickfett 2011).
Regarding methods for regulated hunting within the Trophy Area,
numerous safeguards ensure such take will be fair chase. For example,
hunting regulations within the Trophy Area prohibit: Use of dogs to aid
in wolf hunting (W.S. 23-3-109(a)); poisoning (W.S. 23-3-304); hunting
from a road (W.S. 23-3-305); hunting with the aid of artificial light
(W.S. 23-3-306(b)); hunting from snow machines, automobiles, or
airplanes; and hunters receiving spotting assistance from aircraft
(W.S. 23-3-306). Note that the limitations listed here are a small
sample of protective measures in place and not intended to constitute a
comprehensive list; parties looking for a comprehensive list of
limitations on wolf hunting within the Trophy Area should consult the
WGFD.
Within the Trophy Area, Wyoming intends to use public harvest of
wolves to reduce wolf populations to minimize wolf impacts to
livestock, ungulate herds, and humans (WGFC 2011, pp. 1, 23). Wyoming
will develop an annual hunt plan that will take into consideration, but
not be limited to, the following when developing a wolf hunting program
or extending wolf hunting seasons: Wolf breeding seasons; short- and
long-range dispersal opportunity, survival, and success in forming new
or joining existing packs; conflicts with livestock; and the broader
game management responsibilities related to ungulates and other
wildlife (WGFC 2011, pp. 2-3, 16, 25, 53). Harvest quotas will be
established through WGFD's normal season-setting process. Quotas will
be based on the population status of wolves at the end of the previous
calendar year, and consider wolf mortality and population growth
estimated during the current calendar year (WGFC 2011, pp. 23-25). All
forms of wolf mortality will be considered when setting appropriate
harvest levels (WGFC 2011, pp. 23-25). Seasons will close when the
mortality quota is reached or if the WGFC deems it necessary to close
the season for other reasons. Importantly, the WGFD will not manage
wolves at the minimum population objective (WGFC 2011, p. 24). Instead,
the WGFD will set harvest levels that maintain an adequate buffer above
minimum population objectives to provide management flexibility (WGFC
2011, p. 24).
Wyoming wolf hunting seasons will coincide primarily with fall big
game hunting seasons (October through December), but they may be
established outside of that period or extended beyond that period if
necessary to achieve management objectives (WGFC 2011, pp. 23-25, 53).
Wyoming's wolf management plan indicates that the State expects to
delineate approximately 10 to 12 wolf hunting areas within the Trophy
Area to focus harvest in specific areas (i.e., areas with high wolf-
livestock conflict, high human-trafficked areas, or areas where
ungulate herds are below State management objectives) (WGFC 2011, pp.
1, 16). Wyoming has 12 hunting units for the 2012 hunting season.
Persons who legally harvest a wolf within the Trophy Area will be
required to report the harvest to the WGFD within 24 hours, and check
the harvested animal in within 5 days (WGFC 2011, pp. 3, 22-25).
Reporting periods for harvested wolves may be extended after inaugural
hunting seasons if it is determined that extended reporting periods
will not increase the likelihood of overharvest (WGFC 2011, p. 23).
Similar harvest strategies have been successful for countless other
wildlife species in Wyoming.
Within the Trophy Area, at the end of 2011, there were at least 177
wolves in at least 29 packs (including 16 breeding pairs), as well as
at least 4 lone wolves; within the seasonal Trophy Area, at the end of
2011, there were at least 10 wolves in at least 2 packs (including 1
breeding pair), as well as at least 5 lone wolves (Jimenez 2012a). In
2012, Wyoming will authorize a hunting quota of 52 wolves in 2012, and
once reproduction is accounted for, the State estimates that this would
reduce the
[[Page 55580]]
population by about 11.5 percent within the Trophy Area (Mills 2012,
pers. comm.). Specifically, Wyoming estimates the population within the
Trophy Area would be around 170 wolves and 15 breeding pairs at the end
of 2012 (Mills 2012, pers. comm.). We note that this first-year goal is
comfortably above the minimum agreed-upon population targets.
Commercial or recreational trapping is not currently being planned
in Wyoming (Bruscino 2011b). However, an adaptive management approach,
which could include trapping, may occur in the future (WGFC 2011, p.
25; Mead 2012a). If such a season is considered in the future, it would
be regulated by the WGFD and the WGFC. Furthermore, take would be
limited because the resultant mortality would count toward Wyoming's
total harvest quotas, which are already expected to be modest once
desired population reductions are achieved. If trapping is used in the
future it will be conducted within the framework of the State's overall
demographic targets.
Regarding past hunting seasons, in our 2009 delisting rule (74 FR
15123, April 2, 2009), we determined that Wyoming's proposed 2008
harvest strategy (that was not implemented) was well-designed,
biologically sound, and, by itself, it would not have threatened
Wyoming's share of the recovered NRM wolf population. Given Wyoming's
strong commitment to maintain a population of at least the agreed-upon
minimum population targets, its intention to consider all forms of wolf
mortality when making wolf management decisions, and numerous
safeguards built into its harvest strategy, we are confident that this
source of mortality will not compromise the Wyoming wolf population's
recovered status.
The Wind River Indian Reservation's management plan indicates
wolves will be designated as a game animal post-delisting and hunting
and trapping can occur (Shoshone and Arapaho Tribal Fish and Game
Department 2007, p. 9). The season timing and length, harvest quota,
and other specifics will be determined by the Eastern Shoshone and
Northern Arapaho Tribes (Shoshone and Arapaho Tribal Fish and Game
Department 2007, p. 9). Harvest strategy will depend on the number of
wolves present on Wind River Indian Reservation and the management
direction the Tribes wish to take (Shoshone and Arapaho Tribal Fish and
Game Department 2007, p. 9). The Tribes have not designated a specific
number of individuals or packs for which they will manage (Shoshone and
Arapaho Tribal Fish and Game Department 2007, p. 9). Given the small
number of wolves, packs, and breeding pairs supported while Act
protections were in place, we expect the area will support very modest
wolf population levels and distribution. Given this, we expect very
limited hunting or trapping on the Wind River Indian Reservation.
No legal wolf hunting or trapping will occur within the boundaries
of YNP and Grand Teton National Park. Similarly, no wolf hunting is
currently planned or anticipated on the National Elk Refuge (although
it could be considered in the future) (Kallin 2012, per. comm.).
However, wolves in these areas may be impacted by hunting or trapping
when they leave these areas to various extents depending on the unit.
In Grand Teton National Park and the National Elk Refuge, wolf pack
home ranges typically cross outside of these Federal boundaries, thus,
hunting pressures in adjoining areas will likely impact these wolves.
These wolves were included in the Trophy Area for exactly this reason.
Therefore, Wyoming will manage these wolves along with other wolves
within the remainder of the Trophy Area to ensure their statewide
minimum management target is not compromised.
Most YNP packs rarely leave the park. However, a few packs
occasionally leave the park boundaries, which could subject them to
hunting in adjoining areas. This situation is most common for packs in
the northern part of YNP where some of these wolves occasionally enter
adjoining portions of southern Montana. Montana has responded to this
situation by creating a small subquota for areas adjoining YNP.
Specifically, within the large South Central Montana hunting unit,
which had an overall quota of 18 wolves in 2011, Montana Fish, Wildlife
and Parks created a small subunit with a subquota of 3 wolves for areas
immediately adjoining YNPs northern boundary (Montana Fish, Wildlife
and Parks 2011, pp. 6-7). This approach has been successful at
minimizing hunting impacts to YNP packs (Smith 2012, pers. comm.). We
anticipate Montana will continue such harvest limits in areas adjoining
YNP in future years. Most other YNP wolf packs are not expected to be
as vulnerable to human-caused mortality in adjoining areas most years
because they generally spend less time in these adjoining areas. That
said, these patterns will vary by year. For example, the Delta pack is
generally known from southeastern YNP and its range can include
adjoining portions of Wyoming, but this year it appears to be spending
so much time in Wyoming that it may count as a Wyoming pack rather than
a YNP pack.
Although not likely to be necessary, should hunting in other
adjoining areas have a bigger impact than anticipated, we expect other
adjoining States would follow Montana's lead and limit hunting in these
adjoining areas to limit impacts to YNP wolves. All three States have
long cooperated with YNP on wildlife management issues, a situation we
expect to continue (Bruscino 2012, pers. comm.; Smith 2012, pers.
comm.). Furthermore, all three States have an incentive to maintain a
minimally affected wolf population in YNP both for visitor enjoyment
and the resulting economic benefits. Additionally, while we doubt this
issue could ever bring the Wyoming statewide population down below 15
breeding pairs or below 150 wolves, all 3 States have an incentive not
to have their management actions outside YNP cause population-level
impacts in the park that could lead to a Service status review (see
status review trigger 3 below). Wyoming's wolf management plan confirms
this intention in that it states Wyoming is committed to coordinate
with YNP to contribute to maintain a statewide total of at least 15
breeding pairs and at least 150 wolves (WGFC 2011, p. 1).
Although hunting is currently allowed for many other game species
in the John D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway under the Parkway's
enabling legislation and Wyoming law, the National Park Service has
indicated a ``strong preference that wolves not be hunted in the John
D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway'' (Frost and Wessels 2012).
Wyoming's hunting regulations are clear that gray wolf hunting would
not occur in the Parkway during the 2012 season, although nothing in
Wyoming's regulations or Wyoming's wolf management plan would preclude
wolves from being hunted in the Parkway in subsequent years. Should
hunting ever occur in the John D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway, it
would likely be very limited, would be unlikely to noticeably affect
wolf gene flow or connectivity, and it would be closely coordinated
with the National Park Service.
Recent hunts in Idaho and Montana demonstrate wolf tolerance for
hunting. Both Idaho and Montana designated wolves as game animals
statewide and each State conducted conservative wolf hunts in 2009.
These hunts distributed wolf harvest across occupied habitat, took into
account connectivity and possible dispersal corridors, resulted in good
hunter compliance, and improved hunter attitudes about wolves (Montana
Fish, Wildlife and Parks 2009, entire; Dickson 2010; Service et al.
2010, Idaho chapter, pp. 13-14; Service et al. 2010,
[[Page 55581]]
Montana chapter, pp. 17-25). In total, Montana hunts took 72 wolves out
of the 75-harvest quota and, in Idaho, hunts took 185 wolves out of
2009's quota of 220 (Montana Fish Wildlife & Parks 2009, entire). Each
State closed wolf harvest in individual management zones at the end of
that State's season or when as a unit (or subunit) met its quota,
whichever came first. Montana closed its wolf hunt statewide November
16th. In Idaho, a few zones remained open until March 31. Despite a
total harvest of 257 wolves in Montana and Idaho and other sources of
human-caused mortality, the NRM population showed little change in 2009
(technically, a slight increase in minimum population levels was
documented). Hunting continued in some portions of Idaho into 2010. In
2010, the minimum population estimate saw a small decline. During the
2011-2012 harvest, 379 wolves were taken in Idaho (255 by hunters and
124 by trappers), and 166 wolves were taken in Montana (Idaho
Department of Fish and Game 2012, entire; Montana Fish, Wildlife and
Parks 2012a, entire).
Considering all sources of mortality in 2011, the population
changed minimally (minimum population estimates grew by around 3
percent across the NRM DPS including a 15 percent increase in Montana
and 4 percent reduction in Idaho). Some additional reduction likely
occurred during the 2012 portion of the 2011-2012 hunting season.
Regardless, these data confirm wolves' capacity to withstand
significant mortality. As anticipated in our 2009 delisting rule (74 FR
15123, April 2, 2009), Montana and Idaho are now planning higher
harvest rates to reduce the population below current levels (which are
likely at or above long term carrying capacity of the suitable
habitat). After this initial population reduction phase, we anticipate
that the NRM gray wolf population will then settle into a reasonable,
long term equilibrium, well above minimum recovery levels.
On a more localized level, hunting in Idaho and Montana may affect
Wyoming wolves because some wolves and some packs cross State
boundaries. Thus, next we analyze hunting in Idaho's and Montana's
portion of the GYA. During the 2009 season, Island Park hunting unit
had a quota of five wolves with an October 1st to December 31st season
and a limit of one wolf per person (Service et al. 2010, Idaho chapter,
pp. 81-84). The quota for this unit was met, and the unit was closed
November 2nd (Service et al. 2010, Idaho chapter, pp. 81-84). There is
no harvest data from 2010 because wolves were not hunted in this unit
in 2010. During the 2011 season, Idaho authorized a quota of 30 wolves
in the Island Park hunting unit with a season from August 30th to
December 31st, and limits of 1 wolf per tag with a limit of 2 tags per
person (Idaho Fish and Game Commission 2011). The quota for this unit
was not reached because only 10 wolves were taken. The 2012-2013
hunting seasons authorize a quota of 30 wolves with a season from
August 30th to January 31st and limits of 1 wolf per tag with a limit
of 2 tags per person. If the last several years are any indication, it
is unlikely this quota will be achieved. Overall, the data demonstrate
this modest hunting level in this unit had minimal impact. As hunting
continues in this region across multiple consecutive years, it will
reduce the number of wolves, packs, and breeding pairs in this area
(this is the State's intention). In the long run, it is likely that
this area will continue to support a modest number of wolves and packs
(one to four packs) some of which will qualify as breeding pairs. This
regulated taking in Idaho may minimally affect a small number of
Wyoming wolves (e.g., the three Wyoming packs that cross into Idaho).
In future years, once the initial desired population level is achieved,
such impacts are expected to be minimal.
Idaho's other hunting unit in the GYA area is the southern Idaho
unit. Potential hunting impacts in this unit are expected to be zero to
low single digits. During the 2009-2010 hunting season, Idaho allowed
hunting from August 30th to March 31st in this zone but did not reach
its quota and only 1 wolf was harvested. During the 2011-2012 hunting
season, Idaho allowed hunting from August 30th to March 31st with an
unlimited quota in this zone, but only harvested 2 wolves. During 2011,
no documented packs or groups occupied the Southern Idaho Zone.
Furthermore, hunting in this unit is expected to have little to no
impact on packs in Wyoming. Because this area is largely unsuitable
habitat with no substantial wolf population, recent modest take trends
in this unit are likely to continue.
Trapping was not authorized in either the Island Park unit or the
southern Idaho unit (Idaho Fish and Game Commission 2011). Similarly,
trapping is also not planned for the 2012-2013 season in either of
these areas. Trapping was only authorized where hunting alone was not
anticipated to be effective in reducing the wolf population (Idaho Fish
and Game Commission 2011). Because trapping is typically reserved for
more remote, inaccessible areas (Idaho Fish and Game Commission 2011),
we do not expect much, if any, future trapping in this area.
Montana's wolf quota for 2011 within the GYA was 43 wolves
including 19 wolves within the Gallatin/Madison unit, 6 wolves within
the Highlands/Tobacco Roots/Gravelly/Snowcrest unit, and 18 wolves
within the South Central Montana unit (Montana Fish, Wildlife and Parks
2011, pp. 6-7). These quotas were nearly achieved with 16, 5, and 18
wolves taken in each of the above units, respectively. In 2011, the
minimum estimate was 139 wolves in 22 verified packs, 10 of which
qualified as a breeding pair. This represents a slight change in the
area's wolf population (technically, a slight increase in the
documented wolf population) from 2010 when the minimum population
estimate was 118 wolves in 19 packs in 2010, of which 6 qualified as
breeding pairs. Small fluctuations also occurred following the 2009
hunting season. Thirteen wolves were taken in this unit in 2009. From
the end of 2008 to the end of 2009 (the period affected by the 2009
wolf hunt), the minimum wolf population estimate in Montana's share of
the GYA declined from 130 wolves in 18 packs, 11 of which met the
breeding pair criteria, to 106 wolves in 17 verified packs, 9 of which
qualified as a breeding pair. Both agency control (which increased in
2009) and hunter harvest were factors in these declines.
As of this writing, the Montana 2012-2013 hunting season's quota is
not determined, but will be higher than past seasons and may include
trapping and increased harvest. In the long run, Montana will modestly
reduce the number of wolves, packs, and breeding pairs in this area.
However, it is likely this area will continue to support a sizeable
number of wolves, packs, and breeding pairs. Specifically, in our
professional judgment, this area will support at least 8 packs long
term, a significant number of which will qualify as breeding pairs.
This regulated taking in Montana, in light of the quotas for areas
adjacent to YNP, may affect some Wyoming wolves in some years, but is
not expected to be a significant impact.
In summary, illegal commercial and recreational use will remain a
negligible source of mortality, and legal and State-regulated harvest
for commercial and recreational use will be managed in a manner
compatible with wolf conservation. Wolves can maintain population
levels despite very high sustained human-caused mortality rates. For
example, in 2009 and in 2011, more than 600 NRM wolves died each year
from all sources of mortality (agency control including defense of
property, regulated harvest, illegal and accidental
[[Page 55582]]
killing, and natural causes), and the population showed little change
(technically, slight increases in minimum population levels were
documented each year) (Service et al. 2012, tables 4a, 4b). Regulated
hunting and trapping are commonly used to manage wolves in Canada and
Alaska without population-level negative effects (Bangs 2008), and all
States in the NRM DPS have substantial experience operating regulated
harvest as a wildlife management tool for resident species. In Wyoming,
population levels will be carefully monitored; all sources of mortality
will be used to set quotas and measure progress toward them; harvest
units will be closed when quotas are met, or if otherwise needed (e.g.,
if overall population objectives are being approached); harvest units
will be small to allow targeted control of authorized mortality; and
populations will be managed with a buffer above minimum targets. This
approach is consistent with the State's management of numerous other
species.
On the whole, we anticipate Wyoming, Idaho, and Montana will all
reduce populations in the short term and that harvest rates and season
duration will be reduced over time. Long term, commercial and
recreational human-caused mortality and total human-caused mortality
will occur at sustainable rates that will not compromise minimum
management targets or minimum recovery objectives.
Overutilization for Scientific or Educational Purposes--From 1979
to 2010, the Service and our cooperating partners captured 1,963 wolves
for monitoring, nonlethal control, and research purposes with less than
3 percent experiencing accidental death. After delisting, the States,
National Parks, and Tribes will continue to capture and radio-collar
wolves for monitoring and research purposes in accordance with State,
Federal, and tribal laws, wolf management plans, regulations, and
appropriate agency humane animal care and handling policies. The
capture or possession of wolves from within the Trophy Area for
scientific or educational purposes will be regulated by the WGFD under
rules set in chapter 10 and chapter 33 of Commission Regulations. We
expect that capture-caused mortality by Federal, State, and Tribal
agencies, and universities conducting wolf monitoring, nonlethal
control, and research, will remain below 3 percent of the wolves
captured, and will remain an insignificant source of mortality to the
wolf population (Murray et al. 2010, p. 2519).
We are unaware of any wolves that have been removed from the wild
for solely educational purposes in recent years. Wolves that are used
for such purposes are typically privately held captive-reared offspring
of wolves that were already in captivity for other reasons. However, we
or the States and Tribes may get requests to place wolves that would
otherwise be euthanized in captivity for research or educational
purposes. Such requests have been, and are likely to continue to be,
rare. Such requests will not substantially affect human-caused wolf
mortality rates.
In summary, we find that commercial, recreational, scientific, and
educational use, singularly or in combination with other threats, will
not cause the Wyoming, the GYA, or the NRM gray wolf population to be
``likely to become an endangered species within the foreseeable future
throughout all or a significant portion of its range.''
Factor C. Disease or Predation
This section discusses disease and parasites, natural predation,
and all sources of human-caused mortality not covered under Factor B
above (the Factor B analysis includes sources of human-caused mortality
for commercial and recreational uses). The below analysis focuses on
wolves in Wyoming, but considers adjoining portions of the GYA because
some wolves and some packs cross State boundaries. Data for other
regions are considered, particularly where it implies a threat that
could someday affect Wyoming or GYA wolves. For an analysis of other
portions of the NRM DPS relative to this factor, see our 2009 delisting
determination (74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009).
Disease--Wolves throughout North America are exposed to a wide
variety of diseases and parasites. Many diseases (viruses and bacteria,
many protozoa and fungi) and parasites (helminthes and arthropods) have
been reported for the gray wolf, and several of them have had
significant but temporary impacts during wolf recovery in the 48
conterminous States (Brand et al. 1995, p. 428; Kreeger 2003, pp. 202-
214). The 1994 Environmental Impact Statement on gray wolf
reintroduction identified disease impact as an issue, but did not
evaluate it further (Service 1994, pp. 1:20-21).
Infectious disease induced by parasitic organisms is a normal
feature in the life of wild animals, and the typical wild animal hosts
a broad multispecies community of potentially harmful parasitic
organisms (Wobeser 2002, p. 160). We fully anticipate that these
diseases and parasites will follow the same pattern seen for wolves in
other areas of North America (Brand et al. 1995, pp. 428-429; Bailey et
al. 1995, p. 445; Kreeger 2003, pp. 202-204; Atkinson 2006, pp. 1-7;
Smith and Almberg 2007, pp. 17-19; Johnson 1995a, 1995b; Almberg et al.
2009, p. 3; 2010, p. 2058; Jimenez et al. 2010a, p. 1120; 2010b p.
331), and will not significantly threaten wolf population viability.
Nevertheless, because these diseases and parasites, and perhaps others,
have the potential to affect wolf population distribution and
demographics, monitoring implemented by the States, Tribes, and
National Park Service will track disease and parasite events. Should
such an outbreak occur that results in a population decline,
discretionary human-caused mortality (such as hunting, post-delisting)
would be adjusted over an appropriate area and time period to ensure
wolf population numbers are maintained above recovery levels (WGFC
2011, pp. 21-22, 24).
Canine parvovirus (CPV) infects wolves, domestic dogs (Canis
familiaris), foxes (Vulpes vulpes), coyotes (Canis latrans), skunks
(Mephitis mephitis), and raccoons (Procyon lotor). The population
impacts of CPV occur via diarrhea-induced dehydration leading to
abnormally high pup mortality (Wisconsin Department of Natural
Resources 1999, p. 61). Clinical CPV is characterized by severe
hemorrhagic diarrhea and vomiting; debility and subsequent mortality is
a result of dehydration, electrolyte imbalances, and shock. CPV has
been detected in nearly every wolf population in North America
including Alaska (Bailey et al. 1995, p. 441; Brand et al. 1995, p.
421; Kreeger 2003, pp. 210-211; Johnson et al. 1994; Almberg et al.
2009, p. 2), and exposure in wolves is thought to be almost universal.
Currently, nearly 100 percent of the wolves handled in Montana and
Wyoming had blood antibodies indicating nonlethal exposure to CPV
(Atkinson 2006; Smith and Almberg 2007, p. 18; Almberg et al. 2009, p.
2; Service et al. 2009, Wyoming chapter, p. 11). CPV might have
contributed to low pup survival in the northern range of YNP in 1999.
CPV was suspected to have done so again in 2005 and possibly 2008, but
evidence now points to canine distemper (CD) as having been the primary
cause of low pup survival during those years (Smith et al. 2006, p.
244; Smith 2008, pers. comm.; Almberg et al. 2010, p. 2058). Pup
production and survival in YNP returned to normal levels after each
event (Almberg et al. 2009, pp. 18-19).
The impact of disease outbreaks to the overall NRM wolf population
has been
[[Page 55583]]
localized and temporary, as has been documented elsewhere (Bailey et
al. 1995, p. 441; Brand et al. 1995, p. 421; Kreeger 2003, pp. 210-
211). Despite these periodic disease outbreaks, the NRM wolf population
increased at a rate of about 20 percent annually from 1996 to 2008
(Service et al. 2012, Table 4; Smith et al. 2010, p. 620; also see
Figure 3 above. Mech and Goyal (2011) recently found that from 1987 to
1993, CPV reduced pup survival and subsequent dispersal and overall
population growth in the Superior National Forest of Minnesota (a
population at carrying capacity in suitable habitat); after that the
population apparently gained resistance to CPV. It is possible that at
carrying capacity CPV may affect the GYA and Wyoming wolf populations
similarly, such that the overall rate of growth may be temporarily
reduced.
Canine distemper (CD) is an acute, fever-causing disease of
carnivores caused by a virus (Kreeger 2003, p. 209). It is common in
domestic dogs and some wild canids, such as coyotes and foxes in the
NRM region (Kreeger 2003, p. 209). The prevalence of antibodies to this
disease in wolf blood in North American wolves is about 17 percent
(Kreeger 2003, p. 209), but varies annually and by specific location.
Nearly 85 percent of Montana wolf blood samples analyzed in 2005
indicated nonlethal exposure to CD (Atkinson 2006). Similar results
were found in Wyoming (Smith and Almberg 2007, p. 18; Service et al.
2009, Wyoming chapter, p. 11; Almberg et al. 2010, p. 2061). Mortality
in wolves has been documented in Canada (Carbyn 1982, p. 109), Alaska
(Peterson et al. 1984, p. 31; Bailey et al. 1995, p. 441), and in a
single Wisconsin pup (Wydeven and Wiedenhoeft 2003, p. 7). CD is not a
major mortality factor in wolves, because despite high exposure to the
virus, affected wolf populations usually demonstrate good recruitment
(Brand et al. 1995, pp. 420-421). Mortality from CD has only been
confirmed on a few occasions in NRM wolves despite their high exposure
to it, however, we suspect it contributed to the high pup mortality
documented in the northern GYA in spring 1999, 2005, and 2008 (Almberg
et al. 2010, p. 2061).
CD is likely maintained in the NRM region by multiple hosts, and
periodic outbreaks will undoubtedly occur every 2-5 years (Almberg et
al. 2010, p. 2058). However, as documented elsewhere, CD does not
threaten wolf populations, and the NRM wolf population increased even
during years with localized outbreaks (Almberg et al. 2010, p. 2058).
YNP biologists (Smith 2008, pers. comm.) documented the most severe
wolf impacts from CD when the YNP population was around the historic
high of 170 wolves the previous winter. That said, less severe
outbreaks of CD can and do occur at lower population levels. CD impacts
are typically localized. In 2008, wolf packs in Wyoming outside YNP
(about 25 packs and 15 breeding pairs) appeared to have normal pup
production (Jimenez 2008, pers. comm.), indicating the probable disease
outbreak in 2008 was localized to YNP. The available information
indicates CD mortality may be associated with high carnivore density.
Thus, the wolf populations in the GYA may be more affected by CD and
other diseases when wolves and other carnivores exist at high densities
in suitable habitat (e.g., in YNP in 2005 and 2008). This may partially
explain why no similar events have been documented in other portions of
Wyoming, and may limit the future likelihood of similar events in other
portions of Wyoming after delisting.
Lyme disease, caused by a spirochete bacterium, is spread primarily
by deer ticks (Ixodes dammini). Host species include humans, horses
(Equus caballus), dogs, white-tailed deer, mule deer, elk, white-footed
mice (Peromyscus leucopus), eastern chipmunks (Tamias striatus),
coyotes, and wolves. In wolf populations in the Western Great Lakes
region, it does not appear to cause adult mortality, but might be
suppressing population growth by decreasing wolf pup survival
(Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources 1999, p. 61). Lyme disease
has not been documented in the GYA or Wyoming wolf populations.
Mange is caused by a mite (Sarcoptes scabeii) that infests the
skin. The irritation caused by feeding and burrowing mites results in
intense itching, resulting in scratching and severe fur loss, which can
lead to secondary infections or to mortality from exposure during
severe winter weather (Kreeger 2003, pp. 207-208). Advanced mange can
involve the entire body and can cause emaciation, decreased flight
distance, staggering, and death (Kreeger 2003, p. 207). In a long term
Alberta wolf study, higher wolf densities were correlated with
increased incidence of mange, and pup survival decreased as the
incidence of mange increased (Brand et al. 1995, pp. 427-428). Mange
has been shown to temporarily affect wolf population growth rates and
perhaps wolf distribution (Kreeger 2003, p. 208).
Mange has been detected in, and caused mortality to, GYA wolves
(Jimenez et al. 2010a, p. 1120; Atkinson 2006, p. 5; Smith and Almberg
2007, p. 19). The GYA wolves likely contracted mange from coyotes or
fox, whose populations experience occasional outbreaks. Between 2003
and 2008, the percentage of Montana packs with mange fluctuated between
3 and 24 percent of packs. Between 2002 and 2008, the percentage of
Wyoming packs with mange fluctuated between 3 and 15 percent of packs.
In these cases, mange did not appear to infest every member of the
pack. For example, in 2008, manage was detected in 8 wolves from 4
different packs in YNP, one pack in Wyoming outside YNP, and a couple
of packs in previously infested areas of southwestern Montana. Mange
has not been confirmed in wolves in Idaho (Jimenez et al. 2010a, p.
1123).
In packs with the most severe mange infestations, pup survival
appeared low, and some adults died (Jimenez et al. 2010a, pp. 1122-
1123). In addition, we euthanized several wolves with severe mange for
humane reasons and because of their abnormal behavior. We predict that
mange in the GYA and State of Wyoming will act as it has in other parts
of North America (Brand et al. 1995, pp. 427-428; Kreeger 2003, pp.
207-208; Jimenez et al. 2010a, p. 1123) and not threaten wolf
population viability. Wolves are not likely to be infested with mange
on a chronic population-wide level (Jimenez et al. 2010a, p. 1123).
Dog-biting lice (Trichodectes canis) commonly feed on domestic
dogs, but can infest coyotes and wolves (Schwartz et al. 1983, p. 372;
Mech et al. 1985, p. 404; Jimenez et al. 2010b, entire). The lice can
attain severe infestations, particularly in pups. The worst
infestations can result in severe scratching, irritated and raw skin,
substantial hair loss particularly in the groin, and poor condition.
While no wolf mortality has been confirmed from dog-biting lice, death
from exposure or secondary infection following self-inflicted trauma
caused by inflammation and itching appears possible. The first
confirmed NRM wolves with dog-biting lice were members of the
Battlefield pack in the Big Hole Valley of southwestern Montana in 2005
and 2006, and one wolf in south-central Idaho in 2006 and 2007; but
these infestations were not severe (Service et al. 2006, p. 15;
Atkinson 2006, p. 5; Jimenez et al. 2010b). The source of this
infestation is unknown, but was likely domestic dogs. Lice have been
documented in the NRM DPS since 2005, and infestations are likely to
continue to be occasionally documented in the future. Lice may
contribute to the death of some individual wolves, but they will not
threaten the GYA or Wyoming wolf
[[Page 55584]]
population (Jimenez et al. 2010b, p. 332).
Rabies, canine heartworm (Dirofilaria immitus), blastomycosis,
brucellosis, neosporsis, leptospirosis, bovine tuberculosis, canine
herpesvirus (Almberg et al. 2010), canine coronavirus, viral
papillomatosis, hookworm, tapeworm (Echinococcus granulosus) (Foreyt et
al. 2008, p. 1), lice, sarcoptic mange, coccidiosis, and canine
adenovirus/hepatitis have all been documented in wild gray wolves, but
their impacts on future wild wolf populations are not likely to be
significant (Brand et al. 1995, pp. 419-429; Johnson 1995a, b, pp. 5-
73, 1995b, pp. 5-49; Mech and Kurtz 1999, p. 305; Wisconsin Department
of Natural Resources 1999, p. 61; Kreeger 2003, pp. 202-214; Atkinson
2006, pp. 1-7; Almberg et al. 2010, p. 3; Jimenez et al. 2010a, p.
1123; 2010b, p. 332). Canid rabies caused local population declines in
Alaska (Ballard and Krausman 1997, p. 242), and may temporarily limit
population growth or distribution where another species, such as arctic
foxes (Alopex lagopus), act as a reservoir for the disease. We have not
detected rabies in NRM wolves. Range expansion could provide new
avenues for exposure to several of these diseases, especially canine
heartworm, rabies, bovine tuberculosis, and possibly new diseases such
as chronic wasting disease and West Nile virus, further emphasizing the
need for vigilant disease-monitoring programs.
Because several of the diseases and parasites are known to be
spread by wolf-to-wolf contact, their incidence may increase if wolf
densities increase. However, because wolf densities are already high
and may be peaking (Service et al. 2012, Table 1, Figure 1), wolf-to-
wolf contacts will not likely lead to a continuing increase in disease
prevalence. Most NRM gray wolves will continue to have exposure to most
diseases and parasites in the system. However, the impact of disease
outbreaks to the overall NRM wolf population has been localized and
temporary, as has been documented elsewhere (Bailey et al. 1995, p.
441; Brand et al. 1995, p. 421; Kreeger 2003, pp. 210-211). Diseases or
parasites have not been a significant threat to wolf population
recovery to date, and we have no reason to conclude that they will
become a significant threat to the viability of recovered wolves in the
foreseeable future.
In terms of future disease monitoring, States have committed to
monitor the NRM wolf population for significant disease and parasite
problems. State wildlife health programs often cooperate with Federal
agencies and universities and usually have both reactive and proactive
wildlife health monitoring protocols. Reactive strategies consist of
periodic intensive investigations after disease or parasite problems
have been detected through routine management practices, such as pelt
examination, reports from hunters, research projects, or population
monitoring. Proactive strategies often involve ongoing routine
investigation of wildlife health information through collection and
analysis of blood and tissue samples from all or a sub-sample of
wildlife carcasses or live animals that are handled.
Overall, we conclude that diseases or changes in disease
monitoring, singularly or in combination with other threats, will not
cause the Wyoming, the GYA, or the NRM gray wolf population to become
in danger of extinction throughout all or a significant portion of its
range now or in the foreseeable future.
Natural Predation--No wild animals routinely prey on gray wolves
(Ballard et al. 2003, pp. 259-260). From 1982 to 2004, about 3.1
percent of all known wolf mortality in the NRM DPS resulted from
interspecific strife (Murray et al. 2010, p. 2519). Occasionally wolves
have been killed by large prey such as elk, deer, bison, and moose
(Mech and Nelson 1989, p. 207; Smith et al. 2006, p. 247; Mech and
Peterson 2003, p. 134), but those instances are few. Since the 1980s,
about a dozen YNP wolves have died from wounds received while attacking
prey (Smith et al. 2006, p. 247). That level of natural mortality does
not significantly affect wolf population viability or stability. Since
NRM wolves have been monitored, only a few wolves have been confirmed
killed by other large predators. At least two adults were killed by
mountain lions, and one pup was killed by a grizzly bear (Jimenez et
al. 2009, p. 76). Wolves in the NRM region inhabit the same areas as
mountain lions, grizzly bears, and black bears, but conflicts rarely
result in the death of either species. Wolves evolved with other large
predators, and no other large predators in North America, except
humans, have the potential to significantly affect wolf populations.
Other wolves are the largest cause of natural predation among
wolves. Wherever wolf packs occur, including the NRM DPS, some low
level of wolf mortality will result from territorial conflict. Such
intraspecific killing has been noted in newly expanding populations or
restored populations (Fritts and Mech 1981; Wydeven et al. 1995; Mech
and Boitani 2003; Smith 2005), in wolf populations subject to human
harvest (Adams et al. 2008), and during periods of relatively high prey
abundance (Peterson and Page 1988). However, this cause of mortality
does not result in a level of mortality that would significantly affect
a wolf population's viability in Wyoming, the GYA, or the NRM DPS.
In summary, we find that natural predation, singularly or in
combination with other threats, will not cause the Wyoming, the GYA, or
the NRM gray wolf populations to be ``likely to become an endangered
species within the foreseeable future throughout all or a significant
portion of its range.''
Human-caused Mortality--This section discusses most sources of
human-caused mortality; however, hunting and trapping are discussed in
the ``Commercial and Recreational Uses'' section of Factor B above and
potential impacts of human-caused mortality to natural connectivity and
gene flow are discussed in the ``Genetic Considerations'' section of
Factor E below. As with previous sections, this write-up focuses on
Wyoming, because this is the portion of the NRM DPS that remains
listed; however, the conclusions of the previous delisting and the
information supporting this determination are incorporated by reference
and updated below as appropriate.
Humans kill wolves for a number of reasons. For example, some
wolves are killed to resolve conflicts with livestock (Fritts et al.
2003, p. 310; Woodroffe et al. 2005, pp. 86-107, pp. 345-347).
Occasionally, wolf killings are accidental (e.g., wolves are hit by
vehicles, mistaken for coyotes and shot, or caught in traps set for
other animals) (Bangs et al. 2005, p. 346). Other wolf killings are
intentional, illegal, and are not reported to authorities. A few wolves
have been killed by people who stated that they believed their physical
safety was being threatened. The overall NRM wolf mortality rate of 26
percent since reintroduction comprises illegal kills (10 percent),
control actions to resolve conflicts (10 percent), natural causes
including disease/parasites and intraspecific strife (3 percent), and
accidental human causes such as vehicle collisions and capture
mortality (3 percent). Eighty percent of the overall NRM wolf
mortalities are human-caused (Murray et al. 2010; Smith et al. 2010;
Service et al. 2011, p. 7). While human-caused mortality, including
both illegal killing and agency control, has not prevented population
recovery, it has affected NRM wolf distribution (Bangs et al. 2004, p.
93), preventing successful pack establishment and persistence in
[[Page 55585]]
open prairie or high desert habitats (Bangs et al. 1998, p. 788; Bangs
et al. 2009, p. 107; Service et al. 1989-2012, Figure 1). Overall, wolf
populations can maintain themselves despite human-caused mortality
rates of 17 to 48 percent, indicating wolf populations are quite
resilient to moderate human-caused mortality, if it is adequately
regulated (Fuller et al. 2003, pp. 182-184 [22 percent +/- 8 percent];
Adams et al. 2008 [29 percent]; Creel and Rotella 2010 [22 percent];
Sparkman et al. 2011 [25 percent]; Gude et al. 2011 [48 percent];
Vucetich and Carroll In review [17 percent])
As part of the interagency wolf monitoring program and various
research projects, over 20 percent of the NRM wolf population has been
monitored since the 1980s (Smith et al. 2010, p. 620; Murray et al.
2010, p. 2514; Service et al. 1989-2012, Tables 1-5). While it is
unclear if these wolves were representative of the entire population
(Atkins 2011, p. 56), this information is nonetheless informative. From
1984 through 2004, annual adult survival likely averaged around 75
percent, which typically allows wolf population growth (Keith 1983, p.
66; Fuller et al. 2003, p. 182; Smith et al. 2010, p. 620; Murray et
al. 2010, p. 2514). Wolves in the largest blocks of remote habitat
without livestock, such as central Idaho or YNP, had annual survival
rates around 80 percent (Smith et al. 2006, p. 245; Smith et al. 2010,
p. 620). Wolves outside of large remote areas had survival rates as low
as 54 percent in some years (Smith et al. 2006, p. 245; Smith et al.
2010, p. 626); the highest mortality rates are localized in areas we
consider largely unsuitable for pack persistence.
Wolf mortality resulting from control of problem wolves, which
includes legal take by private individuals under defense of property
regulations, was estimated to remove an average of 10 percent of adult
radio-collared wolves annually since reintroduction, but that rate has
steadily increased as the wolf population has expanded beyond suitable
habitat and caused increased conflicts with livestock (Service et al.
2012, Table 4, 5). Defense of property take, authorized by experimental
population rules (Service 1994, pp. 2:13-14; 59 FR 60252, November 22,
1994; 59 FR 60266, November 22, 1994; 70 FR 1286, January 6, 2005; 73
FR 4720, January 28, 2008; 50 CFR 17.84(i) & (n)), makes up a small
percentage of these control actions. Specifically, such take
represented about 7 percent of problem wolves legally removed from 1995
to 2010 and about 9 percent of such removals from 2008 to 2010. In
spite of these mortality rates, minimum known wolf numbers increased at
a rate of around 20 percent annually 1995-2008 (the period when the
population was presumed below carrying capacity) (Service et al. 2012,
Table 4; Smith et al. 2010, p. 620; also see Figure 3 above). Since
2008, the NRM population appears to have largely stabilized (see Figure
3 above).
After delisting, human-caused mortality, and its authorization or
regulation, will differ in various parts of Wyoming. In total, wolves
will be managed as game animals year-round or protected in about 38,500
km\2\ (15,000 mi\2\) in northwestern Wyoming (15.2 percent of Wyoming),
including YNP, Grand Teton National Park, John D. Rockefeller, Jr.
Memorial Parkway, adjacent U.S. Forest Service-designated Wilderness
Areas, adjacent public and private lands, the National Elk Refuge, and
most of the Wind River Indian Reservation. This area is of sufficient
size to support Wyoming population targets, under the management regime
developed for this area.
Within portions of the Trophy Area under State jurisdiction, wolves
will be managed by the WGFD as trophy game animals. ``Trophy game''
status allows the WGFC and WGFD to regulate methods of take, hunting
seasons, types of allowed take, and numbers of wolves that could be
killed. The boundary and size of the Trophy Area was established by
State statute and cannot be changed through WGFC rule or regulation.
The Trophy Area will be seasonally expanded approximately 80 km (50 mi)
south (see Figure 3) from October 15 to the last day of February (28th
or 29th) to facilitate natural dispersal of wolves between Wyoming and
Idaho. During this timeframe, the Trophy Area will be expanded by
approximately 3,300 km\2\ (1,300 mi\2\) (i.e., an additional 1.3
percent of Wyoming). Management within the Trophy Area is described
below, followed by management in other portions of Wyoming.
After delisting, Wyoming will allow property owners inside the
Trophy Area to immediately kill a wolf doing damage to private property
(WGFC 2011, pp. 3, 4, 22, 30-31, 32). State statute defines ``doing
damage to private property'' as ``the actual biting, wounding,
grasping, or killing of livestock or domesticated animal, or chasing,
molesting, or harassing by gray wolves that would indicate to a
reasonable person that such biting, wounding, grasping, or killing of
domesticated animals is likely to occur at any moment'' (W.S. 23-3-
115(c)). These regulations define ``owner'' as ``the owner, lessee,
immediate family, employee, or other person who is charged by the owner
with the care or management of livestock or domesticated animals''
(WGFC 2011, p. 22). Wolves killed under authority of these regulations
shall be reported to a WGFD representative within 72 hours (WGFC 2011,
pp. 22, 31). These regulations are similar to the experimental
population rules in place in Montana and Idaho after the population
achieved recovery levels (70 FR 1286, January 6, 2005; 73 FR 4720,
January 28, 2008; 50 CFR 17.84(n)). While in place in Montana and
Idaho, these rules were sufficiently protective to allow continued
population expansion (Service et al. 2012, Table 4). Based on our
experience with these similar rules, we expect take related to this
issue to be minimal. We conclude that these rules will not compromise
the State of Wyoming's ability to meet the agreed-upon population
objectives (at least 10 breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves outside
YNP and sovereign tribal lands) assuming the State manages for an
adequate buffer above these minimum levels as Wyoming intends to do
(WGFC 2011, p. 24; WGFC 2012, pp. 3-5).
Additionally, Wyoming law (W.S. 23-1-304(n)) states that permits
``shall be issued'' to landowners or livestock owners in cases where
wolves are harassing, injuring, maiming, or killing livestock or other
domesticated animals, and where wolves occupy geographic areas where
chronic wolf predation occurs. Importantly, numerous safeguards are in
place that limit the potential of these permits to meaningfully and
detrimentally affect the population. For example, State statute
requires that permits be issued, and renewed as necessary, in 45-day
increments (W.S. 23-1-304(n)), and State regulations limit the take
allowance for each permit to a maximum of 2 gray wolves, and specify
that each permit can only apply to a specified limited geographic or
legally described area (chapter 21, section 7(b)(ii)). These
requirements ensure application of this source of take is limited in
time and geography. Similarly, State regulations indicate that
purported cases of wolf harassment, injury, maiming, or killing must be
verified by the WGFD (chapter 21, section 6(b)). This requirement for
WGFD verification will limit potential abuse for this source of
mortality. Regarding the issuance of lethal take permits for wolves
``harassing'' livestock or domestic animals, Wyoming will require that
WGFD staff verify that wolves were present and involved in activities
that would directly indicate an
[[Page 55586]]
actual attack was likely; such activity must be an immediate precursor
to actual biting, wounding, grasping, or killing, such as chasing or
molesting (Mead 2012b). Wolves killed under the authority of a lethal
take permit shall be reported to the WGFD representative specified on
the permit within 24 hours (WGFC 2011, pp. 3, 22-23).
Finally, and most importantly, State law (W.S. 23-1-304(n)) and the
implementing regulations (chapter 21, section 7(b)(iii)) clarify that
existing permits would be cancelled, and issuance of new permits would
be suspended, if the WGFD determines further lethal control could
compromise the State's ability to maintain a population of at least 10
breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves in Wyoming outside of YNP and
the Wind River Indian Reservation at the end of the calendar year.
Importantly, the word ``could'' (as opposed to would or will) provides
authority for the WGFD to manage for a buffer above the minimum target
and limit control from lethal take permits, if necessary, to maintain
an adequate minimum buffer. However, the Addendum to the Wyoming Gray
Wolf Management Plan explains that the State law's mandatory approach
to issuance of lethal take permits requires that Wyoming's adaptive
management framework limit other discretionary sources of mortality
before it limits this source of mortality (WGFC 2012, p. 7). On the
whole, the available information indicates that Wyoming's approach to
lethal take permits may affect population abundance (particularly at a
localized level where wolf-livestock conflict is high), but that
Wyoming has instituted sufficient safeguards so that this source of
mortality would not compromise the State's ability to maintain a
population of at least 10 breeding pairs and at least 100 wolves in
Wyoming outside of YNP and the Wind River Indian Reservation at the end
of the calendar year.
Some other minor sources of human-caused mortality may also occur
inside the Trophy Area. For example, accidental mortality sometimes
occurs from such sources as vehicle collisions. Because these types of
mortalities are rare and have little impact on wolf populations, they
were authorized by our experimental population rule with little to no
impact on wolf populations. Take in self-defense or defense of others
has been exceedingly rare. We expect take from these sources will
remain rare after delisting with little impact on the wolf population.
While wolves were listed, illegal killing removed an estimated 10
percent of the population annually. Following our previous delisting,
there was no indication that illegal mortality levels increased from
those occurring while wolves were delisted. After delisting, WGFD law
enforcement personnel will investigate all wolves killed outside the
framework established by State statute and WGFC regulations, and
appropriate law enforcement and legal action will be taken. We do not
expect illegal killing will increase after delisting.
Within portions of the Trophy Area under State jurisdiction, WGFD
may also control wolves when it determines a wild ungulate herd is
experiencing unacceptable impacts or to address wolf-ungulate conflicts
at State-operated elk feedgrounds (WGFC 2011, pp. 5, 39-41). As noted
by several peer reviewers, it is scientifically challenging to
conclusively demonstrate that predation is causing an ungulate
population decline (or what portion of a decline is being caused by
predation) because numerous factors typically interact to cause the
impact (Atkins 2011, pp. 67, 85-86). While any decision to remove
wolves in response to ``unacceptable impacts'' to ungulate populations
could be a normative, values-driven determination (e.g., one party may
view any impact as unacceptable, while others may have extremely high
tolerance for impacts), we expect the agency will primarily base such
decisions on ungulate herd health. Specifically, Wyoming's wolf
management plan indicates wolf control to address unacceptable impacts
to wild ungulates will require a determination that wolf predation is a
significant factor in the population or herd not meeting the State
population management goals or recruitment levels established for the
population or herd (WGFC 2011, pp. 5, 39-41). All but 2 of Wyoming's 35
elk management units are at or above the State's numeric objectives for
those herds; however, calf/cow ratios in several herd units are below
desired levels (WGFD 2010, p. 1). Five of the State's ten moose herds
are below objectives (WGFD unpublished data).
Wyoming has not yet put forward any proposals to control wolves to
address unacceptable impacts to ungulate herds, and we are not aware of
any intentions to develop such proposals. While such proposals are
possible, it is more likely Wyoming will consider ungulate herd health
when designing hunting units and quotas. This approach will allow them
to use hunting (which is a far cheaper management tool) to address any
perceived issues. Both hunting and projects specifically to address
unacceptable impacts to ungulate herds (should any occur) will be
carefully regulated so that population objectives are not compromised
and that recovery is maintained in Wyoming, the GYA, and across the NRM
DPS.
WGFD may also take wolves that displace elk from State-operated
feedgrounds in the Trophy Area if this movement by elk results in one
of the following conflicts: (1) Damage to private stored crops; (2) elk
commingling with domestic livestock; or (3) displacement of elk from
feedgrounds onto highway rights-of-way causing human safety concerns
(WGFC 2011, pp. 5, 39-41). While such authorizations may cause
localized impacts, we do not expect population-level impacts in
Wyoming, the GYA, or the NRM DPS. Because Wyoming will consider all
forms of wolf mortality when making ungulate-related wolf control
management decisions (WGFC 2011, pp. 21, 23-24), these mortality
sources will not compromise the State's ability to maintain wolf
management objectives nor will they compromise recovery in Wyoming, the
GYA, or the NRM DPS.
In the predator area, wolves will experience unlimited human-caused
mortality; mortality in this area will be monitored through mandatory
reporting within 10 days of the kill (WGFC 2011, pp. 3, 8, 17, 23, 29).
Wolves are unlike coyotes, in that wolf behavior and reproductive
biology have resulted in wolves historically being extirpated in the
face of extensive human-caused mortality. As we have previously
concluded (71 FR 43410, August 1, 2006; 72 FR 6106, February 8, 2007;
73 FR 10514, February 27, 2008; 74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009), wolf packs
are unlikely to persist in portions of Wyoming where they are
designated as predatory animals. This conclusion was validated in 2008
after our previous delisting became effective and most of the wolves in
the predator area were killed within a few weeks of losing the Act's
protection. We expect that wolf packs in the predator area of Wyoming
will not persist.
Despite this anticipated mortality, the portions of Wyoming outside
the predator area are large enough to support Wyoming's management
goals and a recovered wolf population (Figure 1 illustrates wolf pack
distribution relative to Wyoming's Trophy Area). Our 2009 delisting
rule confirmed this conclusion, but expressed two concerns (74 FR
15123, April 2, 2009). First, the rule expressed concern that mortality
in the predator area would be high, and this situation would inhibit
natural genetic exchange. This issue is discussed in the Issues and
Responses above and in ``Genetic Considerations'' portion of Factor E
below.
[[Page 55587]]
The second concern expressed in our 2009 delisting rule (74 FR
15123, April 2, 2009) was that lone wolves, breeding pairs, or packs
from the Trophy Area may periodically and temporarily travel into the
predator area and suffer high mortality rates. The 2009 rule concluded
that a large predator area ``substantially increases the odds that
these periodic dispersers will not survive, thus, affecting Wyoming's
wolf population'' (74 FR 15123, April 2, 2009). We continue to conclude
that no wolf packs or breeding pairs will persist in the predator area
of Wyoming and that some wolves that primarily occupy the Trophy Area
will be killed when traveling into the predator area. However,
Wyoming's overall management strategy has been improved to such an
extent that such mortality can occur without compromising the recovered
status of the population in Wyoming.
Such losses were a substantial concern when State law required WGFD
to aggressively manage the population down to minimal levels. However,
Wyoming has removed current statutory mandates for aggressive
management down to minimum levels. Furthermore, Wyoming has agreed to
maintain a population of at least 10 breeding pairs and at least 100
wolves in areas under its jurisdiction. To accomplish this, Wyoming
intends to maintain an adequate buffer above minimum population
objectives to accommodate management flexibility and to ensure that
uncontrollable sources of mortality do not drop the population below
this minimum population level (WGFC 2011, p. 24). Collectively, the
plan gives us confidence that unlimited human-caused mortality in the
predator area will not compromise the recovered status of the Wyoming
wolf population.
The Shoshone and Arapaho Tribal Fish and Game Department will
manage all wolves occurring on the Wind River Indian Reservation
according to its approved wolf management plan (King 2007; Shoshone and
Arapaho Tribal Fish and Game Department 2007, entire). The plan allows
any enrolled member on tribal land to shoot a wolf in the act of
attacking livestock or dogs on tribal land, provided the enrolled
member provides evidence of livestock or dogs recently (less than 24
hours) wounded, harassed, molested, or killed by wolves, and a
designated agent is able to confirm that the livestock or dogs were
wounded, harassed, molested, or killed by wolves (Shoshone and Arapaho
Tribal Fish and Game Department 2007, p. 8). ``In the act of
attacking'' means the actual biting, wounding, grasping, or killing of
livestock or dogs, or chasing, molesting, or harassing by wolves that
would indicate to a reasonable person that such biting, wounding,
grasping, or killing of livestock or dogs is likely to occur at any
moment (Shoshone and Arapaho Tribal Fish and Game Department 2007, p.
8). The plan also allows the tribal government to remove ``wolves of
concern'' (Shoshone and Arapaho Tribal Fish and Game Department 2007,
p. 8). ``Wolves of concern'' are defined as wolves that attack
livestock, dogs, or livestock herding and guarding animals once in a
calendar year or any domestic animal twice in a calendar year (Shoshone
and Arapaho Tribal Fish and Game Department 2007, p. 8).
Criteria to determine when take will be initiated are: (1) Evidence
of the attack, (2) reason to believe that additional attacks will
occur, (3) no evidence of unusual wolf attractants, and (4) any animal
husbandry practices previously specified by the Tribes have been
implemented (Shoshone and Arapaho Tribal Fish and Game Department 2007,
p. 8). In situations with chronic wolf depredation, enrolled members
may acquire written authorization from the tribes to shoot wolves on
tribal land after at least two separate confirmed depredations by
wolves on livestock, livestock herding or guarding animals, or dogs,
and the tribes have determined that wolves are routinely present and
pose a significant risk to the owner's livestock (Shoshone and Arapaho
Tribal Fish and Game Department 2007, p. 8). Other forms of authorized
human-caused mortality include take in defense of human life, take
needed to avoid conflicts with human activities, incidental take,
accidental take, scientific take, or take for humane reasons (such as
to aid or euthanize sick, injured, or orphaned wolves) (Shoshone and
Arapaho Tribal Fish and Game Department 2007, p. 8).
These regulations are similar to experimental population rules
currently in place on the Wind River Indian Reservation (70 FR 1286,
January 6, 2005; 73 FR 4720, January 28, 2008; 50 CFR 17.84(n)). This
type of take has not proven a limiting factor for the area.
Furthermore, as stated in our 2007 approval letter, suitable habitat on
the Wind River Indian Reservation is occasionally used by wolves, but
is not considered essential to maintaining a recovered wolf population
in Wyoming, and any wolves that establish themselves on tribal lands
will be in addition to those necessary for management by the State of
Wyoming for maintaining a recovered wolf population (King 2007).
In National Parks units, human-caused mortality has been, and is
expected to continue to be, very rare because park regulations are very
protective of wildlife with few exceptions. Accidental mortality or
defense of life mortality may occur, but as in the rest of Wyoming, we
expect these sources of mortality will be exceedingly rare. Another
rare but potential source of human-caused mortality is agency action to
remove habituated wolves that pose a threat to human safety after
nonlethal efforts have failed to correct the behavior. In 2003, YNP
developed a plan for the management of habituated wolves (YNP 2003,
entire). YNP policies indicate ``removal of nuisance animals may be
undertaken to reduce a threat to public health or safety'' (YNP 2003,
p. 8). Further, management policies (YNP 2003, p. 8) state: ``Where
visitor use or other human activities cannot be modified or curtailed,
the Service may directly reduce the animal population by using several
animal population management techniques * * *.'' Those techniques
include ``destruction of animals by National Park Service personnel or
their authorized agents.'' This is important in YNP because the
unusually high exposure that wolves have to people in YNP increases the
likelihood of unpredictable wolf behavior (YNP 2003, p. 9). To address
such situations, YNP has developed a management plan that calls for
increased public education, monitoring, aversion conditioning, and, if
necessary, wolf removal (YNP 2003, pp. 4, 9-12). This approach,
endorsed by the Service in 2003 (YNP 2003, p. 13), is authorized by
existing experimental population rules (50 CFR 17.84(i)(3)(v)).
State, Tribal, and Federal management in Wyoming provides that
human-caused mortality will not threaten the recovered status of the
population. As discussed above, wolf populations have an ample natural
resiliency to high levels of human-caused mortality, if population
levels and controllable sources of mortality are adequately regulated.
For example, in 2009 and in 2011, more than 600 NRM wolves died each
year from all sources of mortality (agency control including defense of
property, regulated harvest, illegal and accidental killing, and
natural causes), and the population showed little change (technically,
slight increases in minimum population levels were documented each
year) (Service et al. 2012, tables 4a, 4b). From 1995 to 2008, the NRM
wolf population grew by an average of about 20 percent annually, even
in the face of an average annual
[[Page 55588]]
human-caused mortality rate of 23 percent (Service et al. 2012, Table
4; Smith et al. 2010, p. 620; also see Figure 3 above). Overall, wolf
populations can maintain themselves despite human-caused mortality
rates of 17 to 48 percent (Fuller et al. 2003, pp. 182-184 [22 percent
+/- 8 percent]; Adams et al. 2008 [29 percent]; Creel and Rotella 2010
[22 percent]; Sparkman et al. 2011 [25 percent]; Gude et al. 2011 [48
percent]; Vucetich and Carroll In review [17 percent]).
After delisting, most human-caused mortality in Wyoming will be
similar to that which occurred under either the 1994 experimental
population rules (now governing most of Wyoming) or the 2005
experimental population rules (as noted above, hunting is evaluated
separately under Factor B above) (59 FR 60252, November 22, 1994; 59 FR
60266, November 22, 1994; 70 FR 1286, January 6, 2005; 73 FR 4720,
January 28, 2008; 50 CFR 17.84(i) & (n)), as modified in 2008,
governing management over most of Idaho and Montana in recent years.
While some allowed take will be more liberal (e.g., mortality in the
predator area), resulting in greater overall rates of human-caused
mortality post-delisting, the increase will not compromise the State's
ability to maintain the population above recovery levels. All sources
of mortality will be monitored and considered in State management
decisions. Many sources of authorized take can be limited, if
necessary, to keep the population above recovery levels (e.g., the
State can suspend lethal take permits, agency control actions, or
hunting seasons). Finally, recognizing some mortality will occur from
uncontrollable sources (e.g., some wolves that primarily occupy the
Trophy Area will be lost when they occasionally travel into the
predator area), Wyoming no longer intends to aggressively manage the
population down toward minimal levels (an approach we previously
indicated was unacceptable), and, in fact, intends to maintain an
adequate buffer above minimum population objectives. Collectively, this
information indicates that human-caused mortality will be managed to
assure the Wyoming population's recovered status is not compromised.
In summary, we find human-caused mortality, singularly or in
combination with other threats, will not cause the Wyoming, the GYA, or
the NRM gray wolf populations to be ``likely to become an endangered
species within the foreseeable future throughout all or a significant
portion of its range.''
Factor D. The Inadequacy of Existing Regulatory Mechanisms
This section provides an analysis of State, tribal, and Federal
regulatory mechanisms to determine if they are adequate to maintain the
species' recovered status in the absence of the Act's protections. By
definition, potential threats only require regulation if they represent
a threat in the absence of regulation. This section focuses on likely
future population levels anticipated to be maintained, noting that
human-caused mortality is the most significant issue influencing these
levels. In short, if human-caused mortality is adequately regulated and
population targets are sufficient to allow for other potential
unforeseen or uncontrollable sources of mortality, no other potential
threats are likely to compromise the population's viability. This
section does not go into detail about each individual threat factor or
source of mortality. Instead it includes an overview with a focus on
the regulatory mechanism that addresses each threat factor or source of
mortality. For a more detailed discussion of any one potential threat,
see the supporting discussion under the specific applicable Factor
(i.e., A, B, C, or E). As with other factors above, the below analysis
focuses on wolves in Wyoming because only wolves in Wyoming remain
listed, however, the conclusions of the previous delisting and the
information supporting this determination are incorporated by
reference. To the extent that management changes have taken place, they
are discussed in the applicable Factor elsewhere in this rule as well
as in the Issues and Response section above.
National Park Service--Twenty percent of the currently occupied
portions of Wyoming (defined in Factor A above) and 23 percent of areas
that are protected or where wolves are regulated as game animals occur
within a National Park (see Figure 1 above). Since 2000, the wolf
population in YNP ranged from 96 to 174 wolves, and between 6 to 16
breeding pairs. While some wolves and some wolf packs also occur in
Grand Teton National Park and John D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial
Parkway, most of these wolves and wolf packs usually have a portion of
their home range in areas under the State of Wyoming's jurisdiction;
thus, these wolves are only subject to National Park Service regulation
when on National Park Service lands.
The National Park Service Organic Act (16 U.S.C. l et seq.) and the
National Park Service management policies on wildlife generally require
the agency to conserve natural and cultural resources and the wildlife
present within units of the National Park System. National Park Service
management policies require that native species be protected against
harvest, removal, destruction, harassment, or harm through human
action, although certain parks may allow some harvest in accordance
with federal law and applicable laws of the State or States in which a
park is located (National Park Service 2006, pp. 44, 103). No
population targets for wolves will be established for the National
Parks. Instead, management emphasis in National Parks after delisting
will focus on continuing to minimize the human impacts on wolf
populations (YNP 2003, pp. 9-12). Thus, because of their responsibility
to preserve all native wildlife, units of the National Park System are
often the most protective of wildlife. In the case of the wolf, the
National Park Service Organic Act and National Park Service policies
will continue to provide protection following Federal delisting for
wolves located within the park boundaries.
Although hunting is currently allowed for many other game species
in the John D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway under the Parkway's
enabling legislation and Wyoming law, the National Park Service has
indicated a ``strong preference that wolves not be hunted in the John
D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial Parkway'' (Frost and Wessels 2012).
Wyoming's hunting regulations are clear that gray wolf hunting would
not occur in the Parkway during the 2012 season, although nothing in
Wyoming's regulations or the Wyoming's wolf management plan would
preclude wolves from being hunted in the Parkway in subsequent years.
Should hunting ever occur in the John D. Rockefeller, Jr. Memorial
Parkway, it would likely be very limited, would be unlikely to
noticeably affect wolf gene flow or connectivity, and it would be
closely coordinated with the National Park Service.
Overall, natural sources of mortality (e.g., disease) will
occasionally affect wolf populations in National Parks, but, in light
of adequate regulation of intentional human-caused mortality, impacts
from these occasional events will be temporary and not threaten the
population.
National Wildlife Refuges--Each unit of the National Wildlife
Refuge System was established for specific purposes. The National Elk
Refuge was established in 1912 as a ``winter game (elk) reserve'' (37
Stat. 293, 16 U.S.C. 673), and the following year Congress designated
the area as ``a winter elk refuge'' (37 Stat. 847). In 1921, all lands
included in the
[[Page 55589]]
refuge, or that might be added in the future, were reserved and set
apart as ``refuges and breeding grounds for birds'' (Executive Order
3596), which was affirmed in 1922 (Executive Order 3741). In 1927, the
refuge was expanded to provide ``for the grazing of, and as a refuge
for, American elk and other big game animals'' (44 Stat. 1246, 16
U.S.C. 673a). These purposes apply to all or most of the lands now
within the refuge. In accordance with the National Wildlife Refuge
System Administration Act of 1966 as amended (16 U.S.C. 668dd-668ee) by
the National Wildlife Refuge System Improvement Act of 1997, the
Service, which manages the National Elk Refuge, recently announced a
notice of intent to prepare a Comprehensive Conservation Plan for the
refuge. Comprehensive Conservation Plans guide management of wildlife
and their habitats on refuges (75 FR 65370, October 22, 2010). This
process is ongoing.
The refuge's nearly 10,000 hectares (25,000 acres) provide a winter
home for one of the largest wintering concentrations of elk; in
addition to the large elk herds, a free-roaming bison herd winters at
the refuge (75 FR 65370, October 22, 2010). Wolves occurring on the
National Elk Refuge will be monitored, and refuge habitat management
will maintain an adequate prey base for them (Service and National Park
Service 2007, entire; Kallin 2011, pers. comm.; Smith 2007, pers. comm.
as cited by WGFC 2011, p. 18; Kallin 2012b). Recreational wolf hunting
and trapping is not currently authorized and is not anticipated, but
could be considered in the future (Kallin 2012, pers. comm.). Because
of the relatively small size of the refuge, all of the wolves and all
of the packs that occur on the refuge will also spend significant
amounts of time on adjacent U.S. Forest Service lands. Thus, much like
Grand Teton National Park, these wolves are only subject to National
Wildlife Refuge regulation during the small portion of their time spent
on the National Elk Refuge.
Tribal Lands--Wolves will be managed as game animals on the Wind
River Indian Reservation. The Eastern Shoshone and Northern Arapaho
Tribes govern this area and the Shoshone and Arapaho Tribal Fish and
Game Department and the Service's Lander Wyoming Management Assistance
Office manage wildlife occurring on the reservation. Wolf management on
the Wind River Indian Reservation is guided by the Service-approved
``Wolf Management Plan for the Wind River Indian Reservation'' (King
2007; Shoshone and Arapahoe Tribal Fish and Game Department 2007,
entire). Suitable habitat on the Wind River Indian Reservation supports
a small wolf population. While this area sometimes supports packs, it
has not supported a breeding pair. The Wind River Indian Reservation is
not considered essential to maintaining a recovered wolf population in
Wyoming, and any wolves that establish themselves on tribal lands will
be in addition to those necessary for management by the State of
Wyoming for maintaining a recovered wolf population (King 2007).
Forest Service--Federal law indicates Forest Service land shall be
managed to provide habitat for fish and wildlife including wolves and
their prey. Specifically, under the National Forest Management Act of
1976, as amended (16 U.S.C. 1600-1614), the Forest Service shall strive
to provide for a diversity of plant and animal communities when
managing national forest lands. Similarly, the Multiple Use and
Sustained Yield Act (16 U.S.C. 528) indicates National Forests are to
be managed for ``wildlife and fish purposes'' among other purposes, and
the Federal Land Policy and Management Act of 1976 (43 U.S.C. 1701)
says public lands are to be ``managed in a manner * * * that will
provide food and habitat for fish and wildlife and domestic animals.''
Wilderness areas are afforded the highest protections of all Forest
Service lands. The Wilderness Act of 1964 (16 U.S.C. 1131-1136) states
the following: (1) New or temporary roads cannot be built; (2) there
can be no use of motor vehicles, motorized equipment, or motorboats;
(3) there can be no landing of aircraft; (4) there can be no other form
of mechanical transport; and (5) no structure or installation may be
built. The following wilderness areas occur in the Trophy Area: All of
the Absaroka Beartooth, Fitzpatrick, Gros Ventre, Jedediah Smith, North
Absaroka, Washakie, Teton, and Winegar Hole Wilderness Areas as well as
the northern half of the Bridger Wilderness Area.
Wilderness study areas are designated by Federal land management
agencies (e.g., USDA Forest Service) as those having wilderness
characteristics and being worthy of congressional designation as a
wilderness area. The following wilderness study areas occur in the
Trophy Area: The Dubois Badlands, Owl Creek, and Whiskey Mountain
Wilderness Study Areas. Individual National Forests that designate
wilderness study areas manage these areas to maintain their wilderness
characteristics until Congress decides whether to designate them as
permanent wilderness areas. This means that individual wilderness study
areas are protected from new road construction by Forest Plans.
Therefore, activities such as timber harvest, mining, and oil and gas
development are much less likely to occur because the road networks
required for these activities are unavailable. However, because these
lands are not congressionally protected, they could experience changes
in management prescription with Forest Plan revisions.
This regulatory framework has been adequate to achieve wolf
recovery in Wyoming and across the entire NRM DPS without additional
land use restrictions. The Forest Service has a demonstrated capacity
and a proven history of providing sufficient habitat for wolves and
their prey, and the Forest Service lands will continue to be adequately
regulated to provide for the needs of wolves and their prey.
While the Forest Service manages and regulates habitat and factors
affecting habitat, the Forest Service typically defers to States on
hunting decisions (43 U.S.C. 1732(b)). The primary exception to this
deference is the Forest Service's authority to identify areas and
periods when hunting is not permitted (43 U.S.C. 1732(b)). However,
even these decisions are to be developed in consultation with the
States. Thus, human-caused mortality and the adequacy of the associated
regulatory framework are discussed under the ``State Regulatory
Mechanisms'' section below, as well as ``Commercial and Recreational
Uses'' section of Factor B, and the ``Human-caused Mortality'' section
of Factor C.
State Regulatory Mechanisms--Within portions of the Trophy Area
under State jurisdiction, wolves will be managed as a game animal,
which allows the WGFC and WGFD to regulate methods of take, hunting
seasons, types of allowed take, and numbers of wolves. The boundary and
size of the Trophy Area and its seasonal expansion, as set forth in the
agreement between the Service and the State and reflected in Wyoming's
revised wolf management plan, was established by State statute, which
cannot be changed through WGFC rule or regulation. This area is of
sufficient size to support Wyoming population targets, assuming
implementation of Wyoming's management plan for this area. In
consideration of, and to address, Service concerns about genetics and
connectivity, Wyoming included a seasonal expansion of the Trophy Area
in its management plan. From October 15 through the end of February,
the Trophy Area will expand approximately
[[Page 55590]]
80 km (50 mi) south (see Figure 1 above). This seasonal expansion will
benefit natural dispersal (for a more detailed discussion of genetic
connectivity, see the ``Genetic Considerations'' section of Factor E
below).
Wolves that occur in the remainder of Wyoming under State
jurisdiction will be classified as predators. Predatory animals are
regulated by the Wyoming Department of Agriculture under title 11,
chapter 6 of the Wyoming Statutes. Under these regulations, wolves in
predator areas can be killed by anyone with very few restrictions. As
we have previously concluded (71 FR 43410, August 1, 2006; 72 FR 6106,
February 8, 2007; 73 FR 10514, February 27, 2008; 74 FR 15123, April 2,
2009), wolf packs are unlikely to survive in portions of Wyoming where
they are designated as predatory animals. However, portions outside the
predator area are large enough to support Wyoming's management goals
and a recovered wolf population (this issue is discussed further in the
``Human-caused Mortality'' section of Factor C above as well as the
``Genetic Considerations'' portion of Factor E below).
Within portions of the Trophy Area under State jurisdiction, wolves
will be managed by the WGFC and the WGFD. The WGFC will direct the
management of wolves, and the WGFD will assume management authority of
wolves (WGFC 2011, p. 1). The State of Wyoming has a relatively large
and well-distributed professional game and fish agency that has the
demonstrated skills and experience to successfully manage a diversity
of resident species, including large carnivores. The WGFD and WGFC are
well-qualified to manage a recovered wolf population. State management
of wolves within the Trophy Area will follow the classic State-led
North American model for wildlife management, which has been extremely
successful at restoring, maintaining, and expanding the distribution of
numerous populations of other wildlife species, including other large
predators, throughout North America (Geist 2006, p. 1; Bangs 2008).
Within the Trophy Area, Wyoming statute (W.S. 23-1-304),
regulations (chapter 21, section 4(a)(i)), and its management plan
(WGFC 2011, p. 1) all require maintenance of at least 10 breeding pairs
and at least 100 wolves. To ensure this target is not inadvertently
compromised, Wyoming intends to maintain an adequate buffer above
minimum population objectives (WGFC 2011, p. 24; WGFC 2012, pp. 3-5).
Additionally, Wyoming is planning that any future population reduction
will be gradual to ensure population targets are not compromised while
the State gathers information on the vulnerability of wolves under a
State management regime. All sources of mortality will be considered in
management decisions and all forms of regulated take will be limited in
the unlikely event that wolves approach minimum recovery criteria.
These will be reflected in all WGFD and WGFC planning and management
decisions.
Wolves taken outside the framework established by State statute and
WGFC regulations will be considered to have been taken illegally and
will be investigated by WGFD law enforcement personnel (WGFC 2011, p.
25). Appropriate law enforcement and legal action will be taken, which
could include fines, jail terms, and loss of hunting privileges (WGFC
2011, p. 25). We conclude that these measures constitute adequate
regulatory mechanisms to address the threat of illegal killing of
wolves.
In Montana, statutes and administrative rules categorize the gray
wolf as a ``Species in Need of Management'' under the Montana Nongame
and Endangered Species Conservation Act of 1973 (MCA 87-5-101 to 87-5-
123). Montana law defines ``species in need of management'' as ``The
collection and application of biological information for the purposes
of increasing the number of individuals within species and populations
of wildlife up to the optimum carrying capacity of their habitat and
maintain those levels. The term includes the entire range of activities
that constitute a modern scientific resource program, including, but
not limited to research, census, law enforcement, habitat improvement,
and education. The term also includes the periodic or total protection
of species or populations as well as regulated taking.'' Classification
as a ``Species in Need of Management'' and the associated
administrative rules under Montana State law create the legal mechanism
to protect wolves and regulate human-caused mortality (including
regulated public harvest) beyond the immediate defense of life/property
situations. Some illegal human-caused mortality likely still occurs,
and is to be prosecuted under State law and Commission regulations.
Montana's Fish, Wildlife, and Parks Commission determine harvest quotas
annually (specific harvest quotas are discussed in Factor B, and
impacts on genetics are discussed in Factor E).
The Idaho Fish and Game Commission has authority to classify
wildlife under Idaho Code 36-104(b) and 36-201. The gray wolf was
classified as endangered by the State until March 2005, when the Idaho
Fish and Game Commission reclassified the species as a big game animal
under the Idaho Administrative Procedures Act (13.01.06.100.01.d). As a
big game animal, State regulations adjust human-caused wolf mortality
to ensure recovery levels are exceeded. Title 36 of the Idaho statutes
has penalties associated with illegal take of big game animals. These
rules are consistent with the legislatively adopted Idaho Wolf
Conservation and Management Plan (Idaho Legislative Wolf Oversight
Committee 2002) and big game hunting regulations currently in place.
The Idaho Wolf Conservation and Management Plan states that wolves will
be protected against illegal take as a big game animal under Idaho Code
36-1402, 36-1404, and 36-202(h). The Idaho Fish and Game Commission
determines harvest quotas annually (specific harvest quotas are
discussed in Factor B, and impacts on genetics are discussed in Factor
E as well as in the Issues and Responses above).
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming are committed to implement wolf
management in a manner that also encourages connectivity among wolf
populations (Groen et al. 2008, entire; WGFC 2011, pp. 26-29, 52, 54).
This will include limiting human-caused mortality timing, intensity,
and overall levels as necessary. Both Montana's and Idaho's 2009 and
2011 hunts consider and minimize impacts to natural connectivity. As a
measure of last resort, if necessary, the States will implement agency-
managed genetic exchange (moving individual wolves or their genes into
the affected population segment) (Groen et al. 2008, entire; WGFC 2011,
pp. 26-29, 52, 54). Genetics is discussed further under Factor E below
as well as in the Issues and Responses above)
Overall, the regulatory frameworks of Wyoming, Montana, and Idaho
are adequate and provide that potential remnant threats are
sufficiently minimized. Should management needs be identified in future
years, all three States have regulatory authority to modify management
to meet such needs; although we did not rely upon this in making our
decision, we recognized all three States have a strong incentive to
maintain the NRM DPS and its subpopulations well above minimal
population levels.
Environmental Protection Agency--The Federal Insecticide,
Fungicide, and Rodenticide Act (7 U.S.C. 136 et seq.) provides for
Federal regulation of pesticide distribution, sale, and use. All
pesticides distributed or sold in the
[[Page 55591]]
United States must be registered (licensed) by the Environmental
Protection Agency. Before the Environmental Protection Agency may
register a pesticide, the applicant must show, among other things, that
using the pesticide according to specifications ``will not generally
cause unreasonable adverse effects on the environment.'' No poisons can
currently be legally used to poison wolves in the United States because
of Environmental Protection Agency restrictions. However, sodium
cyanide (used only in M-44 devices) and Compound 1080 (sodium
fluoroacetate used only in livestock protection collars) are legal
toxicants for use on other non-wolf canids. Sodium cyanide was
reregistered for use in M-44 devices in 1994 (Environmental Protection
Agency 1994, entire). Compound 1080 (sodium fluoroacetate) was
registered for use in livestock protection collars in 1995
(Environmental Protection Agency 1995, entire). The Large Gas or
Denning Cartridge was registered for use in 2007 (Environmental
Protection Agency 2007, entire). Although gas cartridges are beginning
the reregistration process, we do not expect the product will be
approved for use on wolves.
All three products have label restrictions imposed by the
Environmental Protection Agency consistent with a Service 1993
Biological Opinion to protect endangered species (Environmental
Protection Agency 1994, p. 4; Environmental Protection Agency 1995, pp.
27, 32-38). It is a violation of Federal law to use a pesticide in a
manner inconsistent with its labeling, and the courts consider a label
to be a legal document (Environmental Protection Agency 2011, p. 1).
The Environmental Protection Agency's regulation of these and other
toxicants has been adequate to prevent any meaningful impacts to wolf
populations in Wyoming, the GYA, or the NRM DPS. These restrictions
constitute an adequate regulatory mechanism of this potential issue.
Collectively, the above regulatory framework is adequate to
maintain recovered wolf populations and to prevent relisting. These
regulations protect wolf populations (in the case of the National Park
Service) or manage them adequately above population targets so that
potential unforeseen or uncontrollable sources of mortality do not
compromise population targets. While no wolves are expected to persist
in the predator area, this area is not necessary for wolf conservation
in Wyoming. Impacts could also occur in adjacent portions of Montana
and Idaho, but these impacts are expected to be minor (few wolf packs
are transboundary) and can be regulated through limits on human-caused
mortality, if necessary. Population reductions in Idaho and Montana are
not expected to threaten the Wyoming, the GYA, or the NRM gray wolf
population. Additionally, agency capacity and past practice with wolves
and other game species provide confidence that minimum management
targets will always be met or exceeded. Finally, the threat of
relisting provides additional certainty the objectives will not be
compromised, although we did not rely on this fact in reaching our
conclusion.
In summary, we find existing regulatory mechanisms adequate and
conclude that this issue, singularly or in combination with other
threats, will not cause the Wyoming, the GYA, or the NRM gray wolf
populations to be ``likely to become an endangered species within the
foreseeable future throughout all or a significant portion of its
range.''
Factor E. Other Natural or Manmade Factors Affecting Its Continued
Existence
This section discusses public attitudes toward wolves, genetics,
poison, climate change, catastrophic events, and potential impacts of
human-caused mortality to pack structure. As with previous sections,
this write-up focuses on Wyoming because this is the portion of the NRM
DPS that remains listed; however, the conclusions of the previous
delisting and the information supporting this determination are
incorporated by reference and updated below as appropriate.
Public Attitudes Toward the Gray Wolf--Human attitudes toward
wolves were the main reason the wolf was listed under the Act because
those attitudes resulted in Federal, State, and local governments
promoting wolf extirpation by whatever means possible, including
widespread poisoning, even in National Parks (see also Poisoning
section below). Those attitudes were largely based on the real and
perceived conflicts between humans and wolves, primarily in the context
of livestock depredation, hunting of ungulates, and concerns for human
safety.
Public hostility toward wolves led to the government-sanctioned
persecution that extirpated the species from the NRM DPS in the 1930s.
Negative attitudes toward wolves remain deeply ingrained in some
individuals and continue to affect human tolerance of wolves. Many
papers have addressed the concept of recent human tolerance of wolves
and how those attitudes might affect wolf restoration (Kellert et al.
1996, p. 977; Kellert 1999; p. 167; Zimmermann et al. 2001, p. 137;
Enck and Brown 2002, p. 16; Williams et al. 2002, p. 1; Ericsson and
Heberlein 2003, p. 149; Fritts et al. 2003, pp. 289-316; Bruskotter et
al. 2007, p. 211; Karlsson and Sjostrom 2007, p. 610; Stronen et al.
2007, p. 1; Heberlein and Ericsson 2008, p. 391; Bruskotter et al.
2009, p. 119; Wilson and Bruskotter 2009, p. 353; Bruskotter et al.
2010a, p. 941; Bruskotter et al. 2010b, p. 30; Houston et al. 2010, p.
2; Treves and Martin 2010, p. 1; Treves et al. 2009, p. 2; for
additional references see Service 1994, appendix 3; 76 FR 81666,
December 28, 2011).
These public attitudes began to shift in the mid-20th century
because of increased urbanization and increasing national concerns
about environmental issues. However, huge decreases in wolf abundance
due to wolf extirpation in the last century, lack of first-hand
experience with wolves and the damage they can cause, and increasing
urbanization have resulted in most Americans holding favorable
attitudes toward wolves and wolf restoration (Williams et al. 2002;
Atkins 2011, p. 71). These same societal shifts in human attitudes have
also occurred in other parts of the world (Boitani 2003, p. 321). The
huge shift in human attitudes and the resulting treatment of wolves
compared to 100 years ago is evident by the shift in policies
throughout North America and other parts of the world from extirpation
to restoration (Boitani 2003, pp. 322-323; Boitani and Ciucci 2010, pp.
19-21). Today, a majority of Americans view wolves favorably for a
multitude of reasons, and many members of the public now consider it
appropriate to reverse wolf extirpation, a perceived historic wrong
(Houston et al. 2010, p. 27).
Despite the variety of opinions, there is little published research
on what factors increase human tolerance of wolves and how those
translate into conservation success by preventing excessive rates of
human-caused mortality (Bath and Buchanan 1989; Williams et al. 2002;
Ericsson et al. 2004; Fritts et al. 2003). The groups most supportive
of wolf conservation are often members of environmental organizations
and urban residents. These individuals often view wolf reintroduction
as restoring an ecological balance. However, favorable attitudes toward
wolves frequently decrease as people experience, or think they might
soon experience, living with wolves (Houston et al. 2010, p. 1).
Typically, the groups most likely to oppose wolf recovery are
livestock
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producers, hunters, and rural residents within or near potential wolf
habitat. These individuals face a higher probability of directly
suffering competition or damage from wolves. Numerous public attitudes
surveys indicate human attitudes toward wolves improve when there is
local participation in wildlife management through regulated harvest
and defense of life and property regulations. Surveys also show
improvement in attitudes when people can pursue traditional activities,
like hunting and grazing, without restrictions (For references see
Service 1994, appendix 3; Williams et al. 2002; Idaho Department of
Fish and Game 2007; Houston et al. 2010; 76 FR 81666, December 28,
2011). Wolf conservation can be successful even in areas with
relatively high human density, if management policies factor-in human
concerns (Linnell et al. 2001, p. 345).
A 1994 Environmental Impact Statement's summary of human values
surveys (Service 1994, appendix 3) found that the overriding concern of
those living with wolves is the financial and emotional loss that
occurs when wolves kill livestock. Further illustrating the connection
between financial cost/benefit and attitudes, one survey found Alaskan
trappers (who legally harvest wolves for their pelts) had the most
accurate knowledge of wolves and viewed wolves the most favorably
(Kellert 1985). Toward this end, compensation programs for wolf-
livestock depredations may have benefited attitudes toward wolves.
Wyoming intends to continue such programs in the trophy game portions
of the State (WGFC 2011, pp. 4, 31).
Allowing landowners to defend their property may have also
ameliorated some of the concern related to potential wolf-livestock
conflicts. For example, from 1995 through 2004, the highest rate of
illegal killing occurred in northwestern Montana, where wolves were
listed as endangered and legal protection was highest, compared to
central Idaho and the GYA, where wolves were managed under more liberal
nonessential experimental population regulations. However, the
difference in habitat security might also explain the differences in
rates of human-caused mortality (Smith et al. 2010, p. 630). Upon
delisting, Wyoming intends to implement regulations similar to our
experimental population regulations within the Trophy Area. State
management provides a larger and more effective local organization and
a more familiar means for dealing with these conflicts (Mech 1995, pp.
275-276; Williams et al. 2002, p. 582; Bangs et al. 2004, p. 102; Bangs
et al. 2009, pp. 112-113). We anticipate this approach will continue to
benefit public attitudes after delisting.
Additionally, hunters' perceptions of wolves improve when
opportunity for hunting is allowed (Idaho Department of Fish and Game
2007, pp. 51, 55-56, 64-65). Idaho Department of Fish and Game and
Montana Fish, Wildlife and Parks biologists (Dickson 2010; Maurier
2010; Idaho Department of Fish and Game 2007, pp. 43-47) reported that
many big game hunters coming through mandatory hunter check stations in
2008 were extremely agitated and angry about wolves. In 2009, when
wolves were delisted and there was a fair-chase hunting season, few
hunters complained. In 2010, when the court order had relisted wolves,
local frustration and negative opinions about wolves erupted to
previously unforeseen levels. Hunters and most hunter organizations
were again very upset and frustrated; some went as far as to call for
illegal killing by shooting, and a few even called for poisoning
wolves.
Similarly, in Wisconsin in 2006 (before wolves were delisted for 19
months in 2007-2008), 17 illegal kills were discovered, including 9
killed during the 9-day firearm deer season. When wolves were delisted
in 2007 and lethal control of problem wolves was allowed by the State,
known and documented illegal kills decreased to 11 overall with only 1
during the firearm deer season, and 5 of these were deemed to be
accidental shootings outside of regular wolf range. Notably, the wolf
population steadily increased throughout this period (Wydeven et al.
2010, Figure 3). Although the small sample size does not allow any firm
conclusions, this example illustrates that local human tolerance of
wolves is an important factor in long term wolf conservation. Keeping a
large, recovered wolf population listed under the Act fuels negative
attitudes rather than resolves them (Bangs et al. 2009, pp. 112-113).
Regulated public harvest has also been successfully used for a host
of other species to garner local public tolerance for restoration
efforts (Geist 2006, p. 285). The success of this approach is
illustrated by the conservation of mountain lions and black bears,
which were also once persecuted throughout most of North America. These
species were recovered by State and tribal game and fish agencies and
hunters with much less controversy than the recovery of wolves. The
recovery of those other species included regulated public harvest from
the beginning of restoration efforts. Likewise, the Canadian Provinces
restored wolf populations throughout large portions of their historical
range by ``harvesting'' them back to fully recovered levels (Pletscher
et al. 1991, p. 545). In 2009 and 2010, Sweden used hunters to cap the
population at 220 wolves, in part, to promote public tolerance for wolf
restoration (Liberg 2009, pers. comm.; Furuholm 2011, pers. comm.).
We conclude that public tolerance of wolves will improve as wolves
are delisted, local residents begin to play a role in managing wolf
populations, and hunters start to see wolves as a trophy animal with
value. This process has already begun in other delisted areas; however,
it will likely take time for this increased control over the resource
and the related sense of ownership to translate into tangible benefits
in improved public opinion and less extreme rhetoric. Public acceptance
is highest where wolves did not disappear and where wolf populations
are typically healthy (or perhaps just with much longer periods of
exposure to wolves) (Houston et al. 2010, pp. 19-20). However, it has
not been determined whether this is due more to increased knowledge and
experience dealing with wolves or relaxed local management policies
(including liberal public harvest and defense of property regulations)
to address local conflicts.
The State of Wyoming has developed a strategy that will not only
provide for wolf recovery, but also allow consideration of the diverse
opinions and attitudes of its citizens. Wyoming's plan promotes wolf
occupancy of suitable habitat in a manner that minimizes damage to
private property, allows for continuation of traditional western land-
uses such as grazing and hunting, and allows for direct citizen
participation in, and funding for, State wolf management (in the form
of State defense of property and hunting regulations). With the
continued help of private conservation organizations, Wyoming and the
Tribes will continue to foster public support to maintain a recovered
wolf population. The WGFD has staff dedicated to providing accurate and
science-based public education, information, and outreach (WGFC 2011,
pp. 41-42). Wyoming's comprehensive approach to wolf management
provides us with confidence that human attitudes toward wolves should
not again threaten wolves in Wyoming.
As noted above, wolf conservation has the potential to be affected
by the degree of human tolerance for wolves (Boitiani 2003, p. 317;
Fritts et al. 2003, p. 289). We expect that State management will
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improve tolerance of wolves because the public appreciates increased
State control (less Federal control), and increased management
flexibility, including hunting. When one considers that current human
attitudes were sufficient to achieve wolf restoration, and that we
expect State management to improve these attitudes, we conclude that
public attitudes are no longer a threat to wolves' recovered status in
Wyoming.
Furthermore, to the extent any impact from human tolerance (or lack
thereof) is realized, it will affect human-caused mortality. Wyoming's
plan provides assurance that human-caused mortality will be adequately
regulated so that recovery is not compromised. Thus, we conclude that
human attitudes are no longer a threat to the gray wolf population's
recovered status in Wyoming.
Genetic Considerations--Overall, NRM wolves are as genetically
diverse as their vast, secure, healthy, contiguous, and connected
populations in Canada (Forbes and Boyd 1997, p. 1089; vonHoldt et al.
2007, p. 19; vonHoldt et al. 2010, pp. 4412, 4416-4421) and, thus,
genetic diversity is not a wolf conservation issue anywhere in the NRM
DPS at this time (Hebblewhite et al. 2010, p. 4383; vonHoldt et al.
2010, pp. 4412, 4416, 4421). This current genetic health is the result
of deliberate management actions by the Service and its cooperators
since 1995 (Bradley et al. 2005, p. 1504). Furthermore, genetic data
collected from 1995 to 2004 demonstrate that all subpopulations within
the NRM DPS maintained high genetic diversity during the first 10 years
after reintroduction (Hebblewhite et al. 2010, p. 4384; vonHoldt et al.
2010, p. 4423). Genetic diversity has likely changed little since 2004.
Below we analyze whether genetics will become a threat to wolves in
Wyoming, the GYA, or the NRM region within the foreseeable future.
Wolves have an unusual ability to rapidly disperse long distances
across virtually any habitat and select mates to maximize genetic
diversity. Only extremely large bodies of water or vast deserts appear
to restrict wolf dispersal (Linnell et al. 2005). Wolves are among the
least likely species to be affected by inbreeding when compared to
nearly any other species of land mammal (Fuller et al. 2003, pp. 189-
190; Paquet et al. 2006, p. 3; Liberg 2008). Wolves avoid inbreeding by
dispersing to find unrelated mates (Bensch et al. 2006, p. 72; vonHoldt
et al. 2007, p. 1). This social pattern is a basic function of wolf
populations and occurs regardless of the numbers, density, or presence
of other wolves (Mech and Boitani 2003, pp. 11-180; Jimenez et al. In
review, p. 14).
As a general rule, genetic exchange of at least one effective
migrant (i.e., a breeding migrant that passes on its genes) per
generation is viewed as sufficient to prevent the loss of alleles and
minimize loss of heterozygosity within subpopulations (Mills and
Allendorf 1996, entire; Wang 2004, entire; Mills 2007, p. 193). This
level of gene flow allows for local evolutionary adaptation while
minimizing negative effects of genetic drift and inbreeding depression.
While higher levels of genetic exchange may be beneficial (note the
``at least'' in the above standard), we conclude that a minimum of one
effective migrant per generation is a reasonable and acceptable goal to
avoid any degradation in the NRM DPS's current levels of genetic
diversity. The northwestern Montana and central Idaho core recovery
areas are well-connected to each other and to large wolf populations in
Canada through dispersal (Boyd et al. 1995, p. 136; Boyd and Pletscher
1999, pp. 1100-1101; Hebblewhite et al. 2010, p. 4383; vonHoldt et al.
2010, pp. 4422-4423; Jimenez et al. In review, p. 23).
The GYA is the most isolated core recovery area within the NRM DPS
(Oakleaf et al. 2006, p. 554; vonHoldt et al. 2007, p. 19). From 1992
to 2008, we documented five radio-collared wolves naturally entering
the GYA, two of which are confirmed to have bred (Jimenez et al. In
review, p. 23). The first wolf dispersed from northwestern Montana to
the eastern side of the GYA in 1992 when only 41 wolves and 4 breeding
pairs were in the region (Pletscher et al. 1997, p. 464). This wolf did
not breed because it dispersed before the 1995-1996 reintroductions and
there were no other wolves present in the GYA. In 2002, a central Idaho
wolf dispersed to the eastern side of the GYA and became the breeding
male of the Greybull pack near Meeteetse, Wyoming. In 2006, another
central Idaho wolf dispersed to the northern edge of the GYA (south of
Bozeman, Montana); it is unknown if this wolf bred. In 2007, two wolves
from central Idaho dispersed to the eastern side of GYA. One of these
dispersers joined a pack near Dubois, Wyoming; its reproductive status
is unknown. The other 2007 disperser joined a pack near Sunlight Basin,
Wyoming, and bred. Because only 20 to 30 percent of the NRM wolf
population has been radio-collared, it is reasonable to assume several
times the documented number of radio-collared wolves likely entered the
GYA. On average, about 35 percent of dispersing wolves reproduce
(Jimenez et al. In review, p. 12). Because a wolf generation is
approximately 4 years, dispersal data indicate that more than one
effective migrant per generation has likely entered into the GYA wolf
population. Specifically, these data indicate we may have averaged
around one-and-a-half effective migrants into the GYA per generation
since reintroduction, with a large portion of this dispersal occurring
in recent years.
Genetics data have only been analyzed from 1995 to 2004 when the
NRM gray wolf population was between 101 and 846 wolves (including a
minimum population estimate of 14 to 452 wolves in central Idaho) and
still growing (average 27 percent annual growth rate). During this
period, the NRM region demonstrated a minimum of 3.3 to 5.4 effective
migrants per generation among the three subpopulations (vonHoldt et al.
2010, p. 4412). Within this range, the 3.3 effective migrants per
generation reflect natural dispersal, while the 5.4 effective migrants
per generation include human-assisted migration (Stahler 2011). Within
the GYA, natural dispersal data demonstrates that six wolves in four
packs appear to have descended from one central Idaho disperser (the
2002 disperser discussed in the above paragraph who was the breeding
male of the Greybull pack near Meeteetse, Wyoming) (vonHoldt et al.
2010, p. 4412, Supporting Table S5; Stahler 2011). These data
demonstrate a minimum of 0.42 natural effective migrants entering the
GYA per generation from 1995 to 2004 (Stahler 2011). Because only about
30 percent of the NRM wolf population was sampled, the minimum estimate
of effective migrants per generation was likely a significant
underestimate (Hebblewhite et al. 2010, p. 4384; vonHoldt et al. 2010,
pp. 4422-4423; Stahler 2011). While additional analysis may be needed
to determine how much of an underestimate this represents (Stahler
2011), Hebblewhite et al. (2010, p. 4384) suggest this estimate is
``almost certainly low by at least half.''
Both of the above information sources (documented dispersal rates
from 1992 to 2008 and genetic analysis from 1995 to 2004) indicate
acceptable levels of effective migration occurred when the population
was between 101 and 846 wolves and have likely been exceeded at higher
population levels. However, numerous factors that contributed to these
levels of gene flow while the species was listed will differ after
delisting. For example, after delisting the population will no longer
be growing, the population will likely go
[[Page 55594]]
through a period reduction before leveling off, and management will
likely result in higher mortality rates for both dispersers and
resident wolves. Thus, past dispersal data is unlikely to be an exact
predictor of future effective migration rates. Below we discuss factors
likely to influence future effective migration after delisting.
A more detailed look at dispersal data, although reflective of the
situation while wolves were listed, may provide insights into likely
dispersal after delisting. NRM gray wolf dispersal data from 1995 to
2008 indicated that: Wolves routinely dispersed at all population
levels and from packs of all sizes (greater than 10 percent of the
radio-collared wolf population dispersed annually); some dispersers
moved long distances despite the occurrence of empty suitable habitat
nearby (23 percent of these dispersers traveled greater than or equal
to 100 miles, a distance that separates routinely occupied areas in the
GYA and central Idaho); wolves dispersed in all directions (19 percent
of dispersers traveled east as would be necessary to get from central
Idaho to the GYA); dispersal occurred year round, but peaked in winter
(more than half of all dispersal occurred in the 4 months of November
through February); dispersal was a long, meandering process (dispersal
events averaged 5.5 months); disperser survival rates were lower than
for resident wolves (70 versus 80 percent); and 35 percent of
dispersing wolves reproduced (Jimenez et al. In review, pp. 9-12).
It should be noted that the above estimates could over- or under
estimate actual percentages depending on various factors related to the
representativeness of the available data. For example, the estimate
that 10 percent of the wolf population disperses annually may be an
underestimate of the real number because yearlings and 2-year-olds in
some areas have a higher dispersal rate than older wolves (Adams et al.
2008, Table 4), but may be underrepresented in the radio-collared wolf
sample (Jimenez et al. In review, p. 10). Mech and Boitani (2003, p.
170) summarized North American wolf studies that suggested lone
dispersing wolves comprised 10 to 15 percent of wolf populations in
winter. Adams et al. (2008, Table 4) estimated dispersal rates for
yearlings, 2-year-olds, and older Alaskan wolves as being 61 percent,
35 percent, and 11 percent, respectively; Adams suggested a dispersal
rate around 30 percent may be more likely for NRM wolves given our
data's bias toward older adults (Atkins 2011, p. 56; Jimenez et al. In
review, p. 10). Furthermore, while these data could be used to model
likely future effective migration, natural changes to the wolf
population and post-delisting management across the NRM region will
affect these variables and affect the resulting projections. Below we
discuss factors that are likely to change these variables in future
years.
Several geographic and biological factors influence migration in
the GYA. For example, physical barriers (such as high-elevation
mountain ranges that are difficult to traverse in winter) appeared to
discourage dispersal through Grand Teton National Park's western
boundary. Because most wolves disperse in winter, they tended to travel
through low-elevation valleys where wild prey concentrations were
highest due to lower snow depths. To date, the high density and
reproductive output of wolves in YNP have created a unidirectional flow
of effective dispersers leaving but not entering the Park's wolf
population (note, we have few data regarding whether wolves traveled
through the park) (vonHoldt et al. 2007, p. 270; vonHoldt et al. 2010,
p. 4413; Wayne and Hedrick 2010). This is because young dispersing
wolves seek to establish territories in less saturated habitats, and
wolves from outside YNP are unable to establish residency inside areas
that appear saturated. This does not mean wolves were precluded from
traveling through the park. Long term, we expect that, at lower YNP
population densities, wolves from outside YNP will be increasingly
successful at dispersing into and through YNP.
Population levels across the NRM DPS could affect natural rates of
gene flow. For example, because a small portion of wolves disperse
annually (perhaps between 10 and 30 percent (Adams et al. 2008, Table
4; Atkins 2011, p. 56; Jimenez et al. In review)), an Idaho wolf
population of 350 to 550 wolves long term (a range that is realistic
long term) will produce many more dispersers than a population closer
to minimum recovery targets. While the wolf population will probably be
reduced after delisting, all three States in the NRM region plan to
manage wolf populations comfortably above minimum recovery levels to
allow for wolf hunting opportunities, in anticipation of uncontrollable
sources of mortality, and to provide that relisting does not occur.
Based on the available suitable habitat including remote or protected
areas, management direction being employed or planned by the States,
and State projections, we conclude that the overall NRM population is
likely to be maintained well above recovery levels (perhaps around
1,000 wolves across the NRM DPS). Overall, conclude that State
management of population levels alone is unlikely to reduce the overall
rate of natural dispersal enough to threaten adequate levels of
effective migration.
Human-caused wolf mortality is another key factor in determining
whether dispersers become effective (i.e., a breeding migrant that
passes on its genes). In short, wolves must be able to traverse
suitable and unsuitable habitat between the key recovery areas and
survive long enough to find a mate in suitable habitat and reproduce.
While managed under the Act, dispersers had a 70 percent survival rate.
However, State and Tribal wolf management is likely to reduce survival
of dispersing wolves. Across the NRM DPS, we expect mortality rates to
increase after delisting due to hunting, more liberal defense of
property allowances (than under previous experimental population
rules), and, in Wyoming, control of wolves on State-managed elk feeding
grounds and some impacts to dispersers in the predator area of