Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to Specified Activities; Taking Marine Mammals Incidental to an Exploration Drilling Program in the Chukchi Sea, Alaska, 69958-70008 [2011-28914]
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Federal Register / Vol. 76, No. 217 / Wednesday, November 9, 2011 / Notices
DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration
RIN 0648–XA811
Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to
Specified Activities; Taking Marine
Mammals Incidental to an Exploration
Drilling Program in the Chukchi Sea,
Alaska
National Marine Fisheries
Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
Commerce.
ACTION: Notice; proposed incidental
harassment authorization; request for
comments.
AGENCY:
NMFS received an
application from Shell Offshore Inc.
(Shell) for an Incidental Harassment
Authorization (IHA) to take marine
mammals, by harassment, incidental to
offshore exploration drilling on Outer
Continental Shelf (OCS) leases in the
Chukchi Sea, Alaska. Pursuant to the
Marine Mammal Protection Act
(MMPA), NMFS is requesting comments
on its proposal to issue an IHA to Shell
to take, by Level B harassment only, 12
species of marine mammals during the
specified activity.
DATES: Comments and information must
be received no later than December 9,
2011.
SUMMARY:
Comments on the
application should be addressed to
Michael Payne, Chief, Permits and
Conservation Division, Office of
Protected Resources, National Marine
Fisheries Service, 1315 East-West
Highway, Silver Spring, MD 20910. The
mailbox address for providing email
comments is ITP.Nachman@noaa.gov.
NMFS is not responsible for email
comments sent to addresses other than
the one provided here. Comments sent
via email, including all attachments,
must not exceed a 10-megabyte file size.
Instructions: All comments received
are a part of the public record and will
generally be posted to https://
www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/permits/
incidental.htm without change. All
Personal Identifying Information (for
example, name, address, etc.)
voluntarily submitted by the commenter
may be publicly accessible. Do not
submit Confidential Business
Information or otherwise sensitive or
protected information.
A copy of the application, which
contains several attachments, including
Shell’s marine mammal mitigation and
monitoring plan and Plan of
Cooperation, used in this document may
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ADDRESSES:
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be obtained by writing to the address
specified above, telephoning the contact
listed below (see FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT), or visiting the
Internet at: https://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/
pr/permits/incidental.htm. Documents
cited in this notice may also be viewed,
by appointment, during regular business
hours, at the aforementioned address.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Candace Nachman, Office of Protected
Resources, NMFS, (301) 427–8401.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background
Sections 101(a)(5)(A) and (D) of the
MMPA (16 U.S.C. 1361 et seq.) direct
the Secretary of Commerce to allow,
upon request, the incidental, but not
intentional, taking of small numbers of
marine mammals by U.S. citizens who
engage in a specified activity (other than
commercial fishing) within a specified
geographical region if certain findings
are made and either regulations are
issued or, if the taking is limited to
harassment, a notice of a proposed
authorization is provided to the public
for review.
Authorization for incidental takings
shall be granted if NMFS finds that the
taking will have a negligible impact on
the species or stock(s), will not have an
unmitigable adverse impact on the
availability of the species or stock(s) for
subsistence uses (where relevant), and if
the permissible methods of taking and
requirements pertaining to the
mitigation, monitoring and reporting of
such takings are set forth. NMFS has
defined ‘‘negligible impact’’ in 50 CFR
216.103 as ‘‘* * * an impact resulting
from the specified activity that cannot
be reasonably expected to, and is not
reasonably likely to, adversely affect the
species or stock through effects on
annual rates of recruitment or survival.’’
Section 101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA
established an expedited process by
which citizens of the U.S. can apply for
an authorization to incidentally take
small numbers of marine mammals by
harassment. Section 101(a)(5)(D)
establishes a 45-day time limit for
NMFS review of an application
followed by a 30-day public notice and
comment period on any proposed
authorizations for the incidental
harassment of marine mammals. Within
45 days of the close of the comment
period, NMFS must either issue or deny
the authorization.
Except with respect to certain
activities not pertinent here, the MMPA
defines ‘‘harassment’’ as:
any act of pursuit, torment, or annoyance
which (i) has the potential to injure a marine
mammal or marine mammal stock in the wild
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[‘‘Level A harassment’’]; or (ii) has the
potential to disturb a marine mammal or
marine mammal stock in the wild by causing
disruption of behavioral patterns, including,
but not limited to, migration, breathing,
nursing, breeding, feeding, or sheltering
[‘‘Level B harassment’’].
Summary of Request
NMFS received an application on
June 30, 2011, from Shell for the taking,
by harassment, of marine mammals
incidental to offshore exploration
drilling on OCS leases in the Chukchi
Sea, Alaska. NMFS reviewed Shell’s
application and identified a number of
issues requiring further clarification.
After addressing comments from NMFS,
Shell modified its application and
submitted a revised application on
September 12, 2011. NMFS carefully
evaluated Shell’s application, including
their analyses, and determined that the
application is complete. The September
12, 2011, application is the one
available for public comment (see
ADDRESSES) and considered by NMFS
for this proposed IHA.
Shell plans to drill up to three
exploration wells at three possible drill
sites and potentially a partial well at a
fourth drill site on OCS leases offshore
in the Chukchi Sea, Alaska, during the
2012 Arctic open-water season (July
through October). Impacts to marine
mammals may occur from noise
produced by the drillship, zero-offset
vertical seismic profile (ZVSP) surveys,
and supporting vessels (including
icebreakers) and aircraft. Shell has
requested an authorization to take 13
marine mammal species by Level B
harassment. However, the narwhal
(Monodon monoceros) is not expected
to be found in the activity area.
Therefore, NMFS is proposing to
authorize take of 12 marine mammal
species, by Level B harassment,
incidental to Shell’s offshore
exploration drilling in the Chukchi Sea.
These species include: Beluga whale
(Delphinapterus leucas); bowhead
whale (Balaena mysticetus); gray whale
(Eschrichtius robustus); killer whale
(Orcinus orca); minke whale
(Balaenoptera acutorostrata); fin whale
(Balaenoptera physalus); humpback
whale (Megaptera novaeangliae); harbor
porpoise (Phocoena phocoena); bearded
seal (Erignathus barbatus); ringed seal
(Phoca hispida); spotted seal (P. largha);
and ribbon seal (Histriophoca fasciata).
Description of the Specified Activity
and Specified Geographic Region
Shell plans to conduct an offshore
exploration drilling program on U.S.
Department of the Interior, Bureau of
Ocean Energy Management (BOEM,
formerly the Minerals Management
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Service) Alaska OCS leases located
greater than 64 mi (103 km) from the
Chukchi Sea coast during the 2012
open-water season. The leases were
acquired during the Chukchi Sea Oil
and Gas Lease Sale 193 held in February
2008. During the 2012 drilling program,
Shell plans to drill up to three
exploration wells at three drill sites and
potentially a partial well at a fourth drill
site at the prospect known as Burger.
See Figure 1–1 in Shell’s application for
the lease block and drill site locations
(see ADDRESSES). All drilling is planned
to be vertical.
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Exploration Drilling
All of the possible Chukchi Sea
offshore drill sites are located between
65 and 78 mi (105 and 125.5 km) from
the Chukchi coast in water depths
between 143 and 150 ft (43.7 and 45.8
m). Table 2–1 in Shell’s application
provides the coordinates for the drill
sites (see ADDRESSES). All of the
proposed wells would be at Shell’s
Burger prospect. Shell has identified a
total of six lease blocks on this prospect
where drilling could occur.
(1) Drilling Vessel
Shell proposes to use the ice
strengthened drillship Discoverer to
drill the wells. The Discoverer is a true
drillship and is a largely self-contained
drillship that offers full
accommodations for a crew of up to 140
persons. The Discoverer is 514 ft (156.7
m) long with a maximum height (above
keel) of 274 ft (83.7 m). It is an anchored
drillship with an 8-point anchored
mooring system and would likely have
a maximum anchor radius of 2,969–
2,986 ft (905–910 m) at either the
Sivulliq or Torpedo drill sites. While on
location at the drill sites, the Discoverer
will be affixed to the seafloor using
eight 7,000 kg (7.7 ton) Stevpris anchors
arranged in a radial array. The
underwater fairleads prevent ice fouling
of the anchor lines. Turret mooring
allows orientation of the vessel’s bow
into the prevailing ice drift direction to
present minimum hull exposure to
drifting ice. The vessel is rotated around
the turret by hydraulic jacks. Rotation
can be augmented by the use of the
fitted bow and stern thrusters. The hull
has been reinforced for ice resistance.
Ice-strengthened sponsons have been
retrofitted to the ship’s hull. Additional
details about the drillship can be found
in Attachment A of Shell’s IHA
application (see ADDRESSES).
(2) Support Vessels
During the 2012 drilling season, the
Discoverer will be attended by eight
vessels that will be used for ice
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management, anchor handling, oil spill
response (OSR), refueling, resupply, and
servicing of the exploration drilling
operations. The ice-management vessels
will consist of an icebreaker and an
anchor handler. The OSR vessels
supporting the exploration drilling
program include a dedicated OSR barge
and an OSR vessel, both of which have
associated smaller workboats, an oil
spill tanker, and a containment barge.
Tables 1–2a and 1–2b in Shell’s
application provide a list of the support
and OSR vessels that will be used
during the drilling program.
Shell’s base plan is for the ice
management vessel and the anchor
handler, or similar vessels, the oil spill
vessels (OSVs), and potentially some of
the OSR vessels to accompany the
Discoverer traveling north from Dutch
Harbor through the Bering Strait, on or
about July 1, 2012, then into the
Chukchi Sea, before arriving on location
approximately July 4. Exploration
drilling is expected to be complete by
October 31, 2012. At the completion of
the drilling season, one or two icemanagement vessels, along with various
support vessels, such as the OSR fleet,
will accompany the Discoverer as it
travels south out of the Chukchi Sea and
through the Bering Strait to Dutch
Harbor. Subject to ice conditions,
alternate exit routes may be considered.
The M/V Fennica (Fennica), or a
similar vessel, will serve as the primary
ice management vessel, and the M/V Tor
Viking (Tor Viking), or a similar vessel,
will serve as the primary anchor
handling vessel in support of the
Discoverer. The Fennica and Tor Viking
will remain at a location approximately
25 mi (40 km) upwind and upcurrent of
the drillship when not in use. Any ice
management would be expected to
occur within 0.6–6 mi (1–9.6 km)
upwind from the Discoverer. When
managing ice, the vessels will generally
be confined to a 40° arc up to 3.1 mi (4.9
km) upwind originating at the drilling
vessel (see Figure 1–3 in Shell’s
application). It is anticipated that the ice
management vessels will be managing
ice for up to 38% of the time when
within 25 mi (40 km) of the Discoverer.
Active ice management involves using
the ice management vessel to steer
larger floes so that their path does not
intersect with the drill site. Around-theclock ice forecasting using real-time
satellite coverage (available through
Shell Ice and Weather Advisory Center
[SIWAC]) will support the ice
management duties. The proposed
exploration drilling operations will
require two OSVs to resupply the
Discoverer with exploration drilling
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materials and supplies from facilities in
Dutch Harbor and fuel.
(3) Aircraft
Offshore operations will be serviced
by helicopters operated out of onshore
support base locations. A Sikorsky S–92
or Eurocopter EC225 capable of
transporting 10 to 12 persons will be
used to transport crews between the
onshore support base and the drillship.
The helicopters will also be used to haul
small amounts of food, materials,
equipment, and waste between vessels
and the shorebase. The helicopter will
be housed at facilities at the Barrow
airport. Shell will have a second
helicopter for Search and Rescue (SAR).
The SAR helicopter is expected to be a
Sikorsky S–61, S–92, Eurocopter EC225,
or similar model. This aircraft will stay
grounded at the Barrow shorebase
location except during training drills,
emergencies, and other non-routine
events.
A fixed wing propeller or turboprop
aircraft, such as a Saab 340–B 30-seat,
Beechcraft 1900, or deHavilland Dash8
will be used to routinely transport
crews, materials, and equipment
between the shorebase and hub airports
such as Barrow or Fairbanks. A fixed
wing aircraft, deHavilland Twin Otter
(DHC–6) will be used for marine
mammal monitoring flights. Table 1–2c
in Shell’s application presents the
aircraft planned to support the
exploration drilling program.
Zero-Offset Vertical Seismic Profile
At the end of each drill hole, Shell
may conduct a geophysical survey
referred to as ZVSP at each drill site
where a well is drilled in 2012. During
ZVSP surveys, an airgun array is
deployed at a location near or adjacent
to the drilling vessel, while receivers are
placed (temporarily anchored) in the
wellbore. The sound source (airgun
array) is fired repeatedly, and the
reflected sonic waves are recorded by
receivers (geophones) located in the
wellbore. The geophones, typically in a
string, are then raised up to the next
interval in the wellbore, and the process
is repeated until the entire wellbore has
been surveyed. The purpose of the
ZVSP is to gather geophysical
information at various depths, which
can then be used to tie-in or groundtruth geophysical information from the
previous seismic surveys with
geological data collected within the
wellbore.
Shell intends to conduct a particular
form of vertical seismic profile known
as a ZVSP, in which the sound source
is maintained at a constant location near
the wellbore (see Figure 1–2 in Shell’s
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application). A typical sound source
that would be used by Shell in 2012 is
the ITAGA eight-airgun array, which
consists of four 150 in3 airguns and four
40 in3 airguns. These airguns can be
activated in any combination, and Shell
intends to utilize the minimum airgun
volume required to obtain an acceptable
signal. Current specifications of the
array are provided in Table 1–3 of
Shell’s application. The airgun array is
depicted within its frame or sled, which
is approximately 6 ft x 5 ft x 10 ft (1.8
m x 1.5 m x 3 m) (see photograph in
Shell’s application). Typical receivers
would consist of a Schlumberger
wireline four level Vertical Seismic
Imager (VSI) tool, which has four
receivers 50-ft (15-m) apart.
A ZVSP survey is normally conducted
at each well after total depth is reached
but may be conducted at a shallower
depth. For each survey, Shell plans to
deploy the airgun array over the side of
the Discoverer with a crane (sound
source will be 50–200 ft [15–61 m] from
the wellhead depending on crane
location) to a depth of approximately
10–23 ft (3–7 m) below the water
surface. The VSI, with its four receivers,
will be temporarily anchored in the
wellbore at depth. The sound source
will be pressured up to 2,000 pounds
per square inch (psi) and activated 5–7
times at approximately 20-second
intervals. The VSI will then be moved
to the next interval of the wellbore and
reanchored, after which the airgun array
will again be activated 5–7 times. This
process will be repeated until the entire
well bore is surveyed in this manner.
The interval between anchor points for
the VSI usually is between 200 and 300
ft (61 and 91 m). A normal ZVSP survey
is conducted over a period of about 10–
14 hours, depending on the depth of the
well and the number of anchoring
points. Therefore, considering a few
different scenarios, the airgun array
could be fired between 117 and 245
times during the 10–14 hour period. For
example, a 7,000-ft (2,133.6-m) well
with 200-ft (61-m) spacing and seven
activations per station would result in
the airgun array being fired 245 times to
survey the entire well. That same 7,000ft (2,133.6-m) well with 300-ft (91-m)
spacing and five activations would
result in the airgun array being fired 117
times to survey the entire well. The
remainder of the time during those 10–
14 hours when the airgun is not firing
is used to move and anchor the
geophone array.
Ice Management and Forecasting
Shell recognizes that the drilling
program is located in an area that is
characterized by active sea ice
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movement, ice scouring, and storm
surges. In anticipation of potential ice
hazards that may be encountered, Shell
has developed and will implement an
Ice Management Plan (IMP; see
Attachment B in Shell’s IHA
application) to ensure real-time ice and
weather forecasting is conducted in
order to identify conditions that might
put operations at risk and will modify
its activities accordingly. The IMP also
contains ice threat classification levels
depending on the time available to
suspend drilling operations, secure the
well, and escape from advancing
hazardous ice. Real-time ice and
weather forecasting will be available to
operations personnel for planning
purposes and to alert the fleet of
impending hazardous ice and weather
conditions. Ice and weather forecasting
is provided by SIWAC. The center is
continuously manned by experienced
personnel, who rely on a number of data
sources for ice forecasting and tracking,
including:
• Radarsat and Envisat data—
satellites with Synthetic Aperture
Radar, providing all-weather imagery of
ice conditions with very high
resolution;
• Moderate Resolution Imaging
Spectroradiometer—a satellite providing
lower resolution visual and near
infrared imagery;
• Aerial reconnaissance—provided
by specially deployed fixed wing or
rotary wing aircraft for confirmation of
ice conditions and position;
• Reports from ice specialists on the
ice management and anchor handling
vessels and from the ice observer on the
drillship;
• Incidental ice data provided by
commercial ships transiting the area;
and
• Information from NOAA ice centers
and the University of Colorado.
Drift ice will be actively managed by
ice management vessels, consisting of
an ice management vessel and an
anchor handling vessel. Ice management
for safe operation of Shell’s planned
exploration drilling program will occur
far out in the OCS, remote from the
vicinities of any routine marine vessel
traffic in the Chukchi Sea causing no
threat to public safety or services that
occur near to shore. Shell vessels will
also communicate movements and
activities through the 2012 North Slope
Communications Centers. Management
of ice by ice management vessels will
occur during a drilling season
predominated by open water and thus is
not expected to contribute to ice
hazards, such as ridging, override, or
pileup in an offshore or nearshore
environment.
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The ice-management/anchor handling
vessels would manage the ice by
deflecting any ice floes that could affect
the Discoverer when it is drilling and
would also handle the Discoverer’s
anchors during connection to and
separation from the seafloor. When
managing ice, the ice management and
anchor handling vessels will generally
be operating at a 40° arc up to 3.1 mi
(4.9 km) upwind originating at the
Discoverer (see Figure 1–3 in Shell’s
application).
The ice-management/anchor handling
vessels would manage any ice floes
upwind of the Discoverer by deflecting
those that could affect the Discoverer
when it is on location conducting
exploration drilling operations. The icemanagement/anchor handling vessels
would also manage the Discoverer’s
anchors during connection to and
separation from the seafloor. The ice
floe frequency and intensity are
unpredictable and could range from no
ice to ice sufficiently dense that the fleet
has insufficient capacity to continue
operating, and the Discoverer would
need to disconnect from its anchors and
move off site. If ice is present, ice
management activities may be necessary
in early July and towards the end of
operations in late October, but it is not
expected to be needed throughout the
proposed drilling season. Shell has
indicated that when ice is present at the
drill site, ice disturbance will be limited
to the minimum needed to allow
drilling to continue. First-year ice (i.e.,
ice that formed in the most recent
autumn-winter period) will be the type
most likely to be encountered. The ice
management vessels will be tasked with
managing the ice so that it will flow
easily around and past the Discoverer
without building up in front of or
around it. This type of ice is managed
by the ice management vessel
continually moving back and forth
across the drift line, directly up-drift of
the Discoverer and making turns at both
ends. During ice management, the
vessel’s propeller is rotating at
approximately 15–20 percent of the
vessel’s propeller rotation capacity. Ice
management occurs with slow
movements of the vessel using lower
power and therefore slower propeller
rotation speed (i.e., lower cavitation),
allowing for fewer repositions of the
vessel, thereby reducing cavitation
effects in the water. Occasionally, there
may be multi-year ice (i.e., ice that has
survived at least one summer melt
season) ridges that would be managed at
a much slower speed than that used to
manage first-year ice.
During Chukchi Sea exploration
drilling operations, Shell has indicated
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that they do not intend to conduct any
icebreaking activities; rather, Shell
would deploy its support vessels to
manage ice as described here. As
detailed in Shell’s IMP (see Attachment
B of Shell’s IHA application), actual
breaking of ice would occur only in the
unlikely event that ice conditions in the
immediate vicinity of operations create
a safety hazard for the drilling vessel. In
such a circumstance, operations
personnel will follow the guidelines
established in the IMP to evaluate ice
conditions and make the formal
designation of a hazardous, ice alert
condition, which would trigger the
procedures that govern any actual
icebreaking operations. Historical data
relative to ice conditions in the Chukchi
Sea in the vicinity of Shell’s planned
operations, and during the timeframe for
those operations, establish that there is
a very low probability (e.g., minimal) for
the type of hazardous ice conditions
that might necessitate icebreaking (e.g.,
records of the National Naval Ice Center
archives). This probability could be
greater at the shoulders of the drilling
season (early July or late October);
therefore, for purposes of evaluating
possible impacts of the planned
activities, Shell has assumed limited
icebreaking activities for a very limited
period of time, and estimated incidental
takes of marine mammals from such
activities.
Timeframe of Activities
Shell proposes to mobilize the
drillship and its fleet of vessels from
Dutch Harbor and to travel through the
Bering Strait on or about July 1, 2012.
The vessels would then travel into the
Chukchi Sea, arriving on location at the
Burger prospect in the Chukchi Sea on
approximately July 4, 2012. Shell
proposes to conduct the exploration
drilling program through October 31,
2012. At the end of the exploration
drilling season, the Discoverer and its
support vessels would travel south out
of the Chukchi Sea through the Bering
Strait to Dutch Harbor. Subject to ice
conditions, alternate exit routes may be
considered.
Shell anticipates that the exploration
drilling program will require
approximately 32 days per well,
including mudline cellar construction.
Therefore, if Shell is able to drill three
exploration wells during the 2012 openwater season, it would require a total of
96 days. If Shell is able to drill part of
a fourth well, it would add an
additional 1–32 days to the season but
would not extend beyond October 31,
2012. These estimates do not include
any downtime for weather or other
operational delays. Time to conduct the
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ZVSP surveys for each well is included
in the 32 drilling days for each well.
Shell also assumes approximately 10
additional days will be needed for
transit, drillship mobilization and
mooring, drillship moves between
locations, and drillship demobilization.
Activities associated with the 2012
Chukchi Sea exploration drilling
program include operation of the
Discoverer, associated support vessels,
crew change support, and resupply,
ZVSP surveys, and icebreaking. The
Discoverer will remain at the location of
the designated exploration drill sites
except when mobilizing and
demobilizing to and from the Chukchi
Sea, transiting between drill sites, and
temporarily moving off location if it is
determined ice conditions require such
a move to ensure the safety of personnel
and/or the environment in accordance
with Shell’s IMP. The anchor handler
and OSR vessels will remain in close
proximity to the drillship during
drilling operations.
Exploratory Drilling Program Sound
Characteristics
Potential impacts to marine mammals
could occur from the noise produced by
the drillship and its support vessels
(including the icebreakers), aircraft, and
the airgun array during ZVSP surveys.
The drillship produces continuous
noise into the marine environment.
NMFS currently uses a threshold of 120
dB re 1 mPa (rms) for the onset of Level
B harassment from continuous sound
sources. This 120 dB threshold is also
applicable for the icebreakers when
actively managing or breaking ice. The
drilling vessel to be used will be the
Discoverer. The airgun array proposed
to be used by Shell for the ZVSP surveys
produces pulsed noise into the marine
environment. NMFS currently uses a
threshold of 160 dB re 1 mPa (rms) for
the onset of Level B harassment from
pulsed sound sources.
(1) Drilling Sounds
Exploratory drilling will be conducted
from the Discoverer, a vessel specifically
designed for such operations in the
Arctic. Underwater sound propagation
results from the use of generators,
drilling machinery, and the rig itself.
Received sound levels during vesselbased operations may fluctuate
depending on the specific type of
activity at a given time and aspect from
the vessel. Underwater sound levels
may also depend on the specific
equipment in operation. Lower sound
levels have been reported during well
logging than during drilling operations
(Greene, 1987b), and underwater sound
levels appeared to be lower at the bow
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and stern aspects than at the beam
(Greene, 1987a).
Most drilling sounds generated from
vessel-based operations occur at
relatively low frequencies below 600 Hz
although tones up to 1,850 Hz were
recorded by Greene (1987a) during
drilling operations in the Beaufort Sea.
At a range of 558 ft (170 m) the 20–1000
Hz band level was 122–125 dB for the
drillship Explorer I. Underwater sound
levels were slightly higher (134 dB)
during drilling activity from the
Northern Explorer II at a range of 656 ft
(200 m), although tones were only
recorded below 600 Hz. Underwater
sound measurements from the Kulluk at
0.62 mi (1 km) were higher (143 dB)
than from the other two vessels.
Sound measurements from the
Discoverer have not previously been
conducted in the Arctic. However,
measurements of sounds produced by
the Discoverer were made in the South
China Sea in 2009 (Austin and Warner,
2010). The results of those
measurements were used to model the
sound propagation from the Discoverer
(including a nearby support vessel) at
planned exploration drilling locations
in the Chukchi Sea (Warner and
Hannay, 2011). Broadband source levels
of sounds produced by the Discoverer
varied by activity and direction from the
ship but were generally between 177
and 185 dB re 1 mPa at 1 m (rms) (Austin
and Warner, 2010). Once on location at
the drill sites in Chukchi Sea, Shell
plans to take measurements of the
drillship to quantify the absolute sound
levels produced by drilling and to
monitor their variations with time,
distance, and direction from the drilling
vessel.
(2) Vessel Sounds
In addition to the drillship, various
types of vessels will be used in support
of the operations, including ice
management vessels, anchor handlers,
offshore supply vessels, barges and tugs,
and OSR vessels. Sounds from boats and
vessels have been reported extensively
(Greene and Moore, 1995; Blackwell and
Greene, 2002, 2005, 2006). Numerous
measurements of underwater vessel
sound have been performed in support
of recent industry activity in the
Chukchi and Beaufort Seas. Results of
these measurements were reported in
various 90-day and comprehensive
reports since 2007 (e.g., Aerts et al.,
2008; Hauser et al., 2008; Brueggeman,
2009; Ireland et al., 2009). For example,
Garner and Hannay (2009) estimated
sound pressure levels of 100 dB at
distances ranging from approximately
1.5 to 2.3 mi (2.4 to 3.7 km) from
various types of barges. MacDonald et
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al. (2008) estimated higher underwater
sound pressure levels (SPLs) from the
seismic vessel Gilavar of 120 dB at
approximately 13 mi (21 km) from the
source, although the sound level was
only 150 dB at 85 ft (26 m) from the
vessel. Like other industry-generated
sound, underwater sound from vessels
is generally at relatively low
frequencies.
The primary sources of sounds from
all vessel classes are propeller
cavitation, propeller singing, and
propulsion or other machinery.
Propeller cavitation is usually the
dominant noise source for vessels (Ross,
1976). Propeller cavitation and singing
are produced outside the hull, whereas
propulsion or other machinery noise
originates inside the hull. There are
additional sounds produced by vessel
activity, such as pumps, generators,
flow noise from water passing over the
hull, and bubbles breaking in the wake.
Icebreakers contribute greater sound
levels during icebreaking activities than
ships of similar size during normal
operation in open water (Richardson et
al., 1995a). This higher sound
production results from the greater
amount of power and propeller
cavitation required when operating in
thick ice.
Measurements of the icebreaking
supply ship Robert Lemeur pushing and
breaking ice during exploration drilling
operations in the Beaufort Sea in 1986
resulted in an estimated broadband
source level of 193 dB re 1 mPa at 1 m
(Greene, 1987a; Richardson et al.,
1995a).
Sound levels during ice management
activities would not be as intense as
during icebreaking, and the resulting
effects to marine species would be less
significant in comparison. During ice
management, the vessel’s propeller is
rotating at approximately 15–20 percent
of the vessel’s propeller rotation
capacity. Instead of actually breaking
ice, during ice management, the vessel
redirects and repositions the ice by
pushing it away from the direction of
the drillship at slow speeds so that the
ice floe does not slip past the vessel
bow. Basically, ice management occurs
at slower speed, lower power, and
slower propeller rotation speed (i.e.,
lower cavitation), allowing for fewer
repositions of the vessel, thereby
reducing cavitation effects in the water
than would occur during icebreaking.
Once on location at the drill sites in the
Chukchi Sea, Shell plans to measure the
sound levels produced by vessels
operating in support of drilling
operations. These vessels will include
crew change vessels, tugs, ice
management vessels, and OSR vessels.
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(3) Aircraft Sound
Helicopters may be used for personnel
and equipment transport to and from
the drillship. Under calm conditions,
rotor and engine sounds are coupled
into the water within a 26° cone beneath
the aircraft. Some of the sound will
transmit beyond the immediate area,
and some sound will enter the water
outside the 26° area when the sea
surface is rough. However, scattering
and absorption will limit lateral
propagation in the shallow water.
Dominant tones in noise spectra from
helicopters are generally below 500 Hz
(Greene and Moore, 1995). Harmonics of
the main rotor and tail rotor usually
dominate the sound from helicopters;
however, many additional tones
associated with the engines and other
rotating parts are sometimes present.
Because of doppler shift effects, the
frequencies of tones received at a
stationary site diminish when an aircraft
passes overhead. The apparent
frequency is increased while the aircraft
approaches and is reduced while it
moves away.
Aircraft flyovers are not heard
underwater for very long, especially
when compared to how long they are
heard in air as the aircraft approaches
an observer. Helicopters flying to and
from the drillship will generally
maintain straight-line routes at altitudes
of at least 1,500 ft (457 m) above sea
level, thereby limiting the received
levels at and below the surface. Aircraft
travel would be controlled by Federal
Aviation Administration approved flight
paths.
(4) Vertical Seismic Profile Sound
A typical eight airgun array (4 × 40 in3
airguns and 4 × 150 in3 airguns, for a
total discharge volume of 760 in3)
would be used to perform ZVSP
surveys, if conducted after the
completion of each exploratory well.
Typically, a single ZVSP survey will be
performed when the well has reached
proposed total depth or final depth;
although, in some instances, a prior
ZVSP will have been performed at a
shallower depth. A typical survey will
last 10–14 hours, depending on the
depth of the well and the number of
anchoring points, and include firings of
the full array, plus additional firing of
a single 40-in3 airgun to be used as a
‘‘mitigation airgun’’ while the
geophones are relocated within the
wellbore. The source level for the airgun
array proposed for use by Shell will
differ based on source depth. At a depth
of 9.8 ft (3 m), the SPL is 238 dB re 1
mPa at 1 m, and at a depth of 16.4 ft (5
m), the SPL is 241 dB re 1 mPa at 1 m,
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with most energy between 20 and 140
Hz.
Airguns function by venting highpressure air into the water. The pressure
signature of an individual airgun
consists of a sharp rise and then fall in
pressure, followed by several positive
and negative pressure excursions caused
by oscillation of the resulting air bubble.
The sizes, arrangement, and firing times
of the individual airguns in an array are
designed and synchronized to suppress
the pressure oscillations subsequent to
the first cycle. Typical high-energy
airgun arrays emit most energy at 10–
120 Hz. However, the pulses contain
significant energy up to 500–1,000 Hz
and some energy at higher frequencies
(Goold and Fish, 1998; Potter et al.,
2007).
Although there will be several
support vessels in the drilling
operations area, NMFS considers the
possibility of collisions with marine
mammals highly unlikely. Once on
location, the majority of the support
vessels will remain in the area of the
drillship throughout the 2012 drilling
season and will not be making trips
between the shorebase and the offshore
vessels. When not needed for ice
management/icebreaking operations, the
icebreaker and anchor handler will
remain approximately 25 mi (40 km)
upwind and upcurrent of the drillship.
Any ice management/icebreaking
activity would be expected to occur at
a distance of 0.6–12 mi (1–19 km)
upwind and upcurrent of the drillship.
As the crew change/resupply activities
are considered part of normal vessel
traffic and are not anticipated to impact
marine mammals in a manner that
would rise to the level of taking, those
activities are not considered further in
this document.
Description of Marine Mammals in the
Area of the Specified Activity
The Chukchi Sea supports a diverse
assemblage of marine mammals,
including: bowhead, gray, beluga, killer,
minke, humpback, and fin whales;
harbor porpoise; ringed, ribbon, spotted,
and bearded seals; narwhals; polar bears
(Ursus maritimus); and walruses
(Odobenus rosmarus divergens; see
Table 4–1 in Shell’s application). The
bowhead, humpback, and fin whales are
listed as ‘‘endangered’’ under the
Endangered Species Act (ESA) and as
depleted under the MMPA. Certain
stocks or populations of gray, beluga,
and killer whales and spotted seals are
listed as endangered or are proposed for
listing under the ESA; however, none of
those stocks or populations occur in the
proposed activity area. On December 10,
2010, NMFS published a notice of
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proposed threatened status for
subspecies of the ringed seal (75 FR
77476) and a notice of proposed
threatened and not warranted status for
subspecies and distinct population
segments of the bearded seal (75 FR
77496) in the Federal Register. Neither
of these two ice seal species is
considered depleted under the MMPA.
Additionally, the ribbon seal is
considered a ‘‘species of concern’’ under
the ESA. Both the walrus and the polar
bear are managed by the U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service (USFWS) and are not
considered further in this proposed IHA
notice.
Of these species, 12 are expected to
occur in the area of Shell’s proposed
operations. These species include: The
bowhead, gray, humpback, minke, fin,
killer, and beluga whales; harbor
porpoise; and the ringed, spotted,
bearded, and ribbon seals. Beluga,
bowhead, and gray whales, harbor
porpoise, and ringed, bearded, and
spotted seals are anticipated to be
encountered more than the other marine
mammal species mentioned here. The
marine mammal species that is likely to
be encountered most widely (in space
and time) throughout the period of the
proposed drilling program is the ringed
seal. Encounters with bowhead and gray
whales are expected to be limited to
particular seasons, as discussed later in
this document. Where available, Shell
used density estimates from peerreviewed literature in the application. In
cases where density estimates were not
readily available in the peer-reviewed
literature, Shell used other methods to
derive the estimates. NMFS reviewed
the density estimate descriptions and
articles from which estimates were
derived and requested additional
information to better explain the density
estimates presented by Shell in its
application. This additional information
was included in the revised IHA
application. The explanation for those
derivations and the actual density
estimates are described later in this
document (see the ‘‘Estimated Take by
Incidental Harassment’’ section).
The narwhal occurs in Canadian
waters and occasionally in the Alaskan
Beaufort Sea and the Chukchi Sea, but
it is considered extralimital in U.S.
waters and is not expected to be
encountered. There are scattered records
of narwhal in Alaskan waters, including
reports by subsistence hunters, where
the species is considered extralimital
(Reeves et al., 2002). Due to the rarity
of this species in the proposed project
area and the remote chance it would be
affected by Shell’s proposed Chukchi
Sea drilling activities, this species is not
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discussed further in this proposed IHA
notice.
Shell’s application contains
information on the status, distribution,
seasonal distribution, abundance, and
life history of each of the species under
NMFS jurisdiction mentioned in this
document. When reviewing the
application, NMFS determined that the
species descriptions provided by Shell
correctly characterized the status,
distribution, seasonal distribution, and
abundance of each species. Please refer
to the application for that information
(see ADDRESSES). Additional information
can also be found in the NMFS Stock
Assessment Reports (SAR). The Alaska
2010 SAR is available at: https://
www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/pdfs/sars/
ak2010.pdf.
Brief Background on Marine Mammal
Hearing
When considering the influence of
various kinds of sound on the marine
environment, it is necessary to
understand that different kinds of
marine life are sensitive to different
frequencies of sound. Based on available
behavioral data, audiograms have been
derived using auditory evoked
potentials, anatomical modeling, and
other data, Southall et al. (2007)
designate ‘‘functional hearing groups’’
for marine mammals and estimate the
lower and upper frequencies of
functional hearing of the groups. The
functional groups and the associated
frequencies are indicated below (though
animals are less sensitive to sounds at
the outer edge of their functional range
and most sensitive to sounds of
frequencies within a smaller range
somewhere in the middle of their
functional hearing range):
• Low frequency cetaceans (13
species of mysticetes): functional
hearing is estimated to occur between
approximately 7 Hz and 22 kHz
(however, a study by Au et al. (2006) of
humpback whale songs indicate that the
range may extend to at least 24 kHz);
• Mid-frequency cetaceans (32
species of dolphins, six species of larger
toothed whales, and 19 species of
beaked and bottlenose whales):
functional hearing is estimated to occur
between approximately 150 Hz and 160
kHz;
• High frequency cetaceans (eight
species of true porpoises, six species of
river dolphins, Kogia, the franciscana,
and four species of cephalorhynchids):
functional hearing is estimated to occur
between approximately 200 Hz and 180
kHz; and
• Pinnipeds in Water: functional
hearing is estimated to occur between
approximately 75 Hz and 75 kHz, with
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the greatest sensitivity between
approximately 700 Hz and 20 kHz.
As mentioned previously in this
document, 12 marine mammal species
(four pinniped and eight cetacean
species) are likely to occur in the
proposed drilling area. Of the eight
cetacean species likely to occur in
Shell’s project area, five are classified as
low frequency cetaceans (i.e., bowhead,
gray, humpback, minke, and fin
whales), two are classified as midfrequency cetaceans (i.e., beluga and
killer whales), and one is classified as
a high-frequency cetacean (i.e., harbor
porpoise) (Southall et al., 2007).
Underwater audiograms have been
obtained using behavioral methods for
four species of phocinid seals: the
ringed, harbor, harp, and northern
elephant seals (reviewed in Richardson
et al., 1995a; Kastak and Schusterman,
1998). Below 30–50 kHz, the hearing
threshold of phocinids is essentially flat
down to at least 1 kHz and ranges
between 60 and 85 dB re 1 mPa. There
are few published data on in-water
hearing sensitivity of phocid seals
below 1 kHz. However, measurements
for one harbor seal indicated that, below
1 kHz, its thresholds deteriorated
gradually to 96 dB re 1 mPa at 100 Hz
from 80 dB re 1 mPa at 800 Hz and from
67 dB re 1 mPa at 1,600 Hz (Kastak and
Schusterman, 1998). More recent data
suggest that harbor seal hearing at low
frequencies may be more sensitive than
that and that earlier data were
confounded by excessive background
noise (Kastelein et al., 2009a,b). If so,
harbor seals have considerably better
underwater hearing sensitivity at low
frequencies than do small odontocetes
like belugas (for which the threshold at
100 Hz is about 125 dB).
Pinniped call characteristics are
relevant when assessing potential
masking effects of man-made sounds. In
addition, for those species whose
hearing has not been tested, call
characteristics are useful in assessing
the frequency range within which
hearing is likely to be most sensitive.
The four species of seals present in the
study area, all of which are in the
phocid seal group, are all most vocal
during the spring mating season and
much less so during late summer. In
each species, the calls are at frequencies
from several hundred to several
thousand hertz—above the frequency
range of the dominant noise
components from most of the proposed
oil exploration activities.
Cetacean hearing has been studied in
relatively few species and individuals.
The auditory sensitivity of bowhead,
gray, and other baleen whales has not
been measured, but relevant anatomical
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and behavioral evidence is available.
These whales appear to be specialized
for low frequency hearing, with some
directional hearing ability (reviewed in
Richardson et al., 1995a; Ketten, 2000).
Their optimum hearing overlaps broadly
with the low frequency range where
exploration drilling activities, airguns,
and associated vessel traffic emit most
of their energy.
The beluga whale is one of the betterstudied species in terms of its hearing
ability. As mentioned earlier, the
auditory bandwidth in mid-frequency
odontocetes is believed to range from
150 Hz to 160 kHz (Southall et al.,
2007); however, belugas are most
sensitive above 10 kHz. They have
relatively poor sensitivity at the low
frequencies (reviewed in Richardson et
al., 1995a) that dominate the sound
from industrial activities and associated
vessels. Nonetheless, the noise from
strong low frequency sources is
detectable by belugas many kilometers
away (Richardson and Wursig, 1997).
Also, beluga hearing at low frequencies
in open-water conditions is apparently
somewhat better than in the captive
situations where most hearing studies
were conducted (Ridgway and Carder,
1995; Au, 1997). If so, low frequency
sounds emanating from drilling
activities may be detectable somewhat
farther away than previously estimated.
Call characteristics of cetaceans
provide some limited information on
their hearing abilities, although the
auditory range often extends beyond the
range of frequencies contained in the
calls. Also, understanding the
frequencies at which different marine
mammal species communicate is
relevant for the assessment of potential
impacts from manmade sounds. A
summary of the call characteristics for
bowhead, gray, and beluga whales is
provided next.
Most bowhead calls are tonal,
frequency-modulated sounds at
frequencies of 50–400 Hz. These calls
overlap broadly in frequency with the
underwater sounds emitted by many of
the activities to be performed during
Shell’s proposed exploration drilling
program (Richardson et al., 1995a).
Source levels are quite variable, with
the stronger calls having source levels
up to about 180 dB re 1 mPa at 1 m. Gray
whales make a wide variety of calls at
frequencies from < 100–2,000 Hz (Moore
and Ljungblad, 1984; Dalheim, 1987).
Beluga calls include trills, whistles,
clicks, bangs, chirps and other sounds
(Schevill and Lawrence, 1949; Ouellet,
1979; Sjare and Smith, 1986a). Beluga
whistles have dominant frequencies in
the 2–6 kHz range (Sjare and Smith,
1986a). This is above the frequency
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range of most of the sound energy
produced by the proposed exploratory
drilling activities and associated vessels.
Other beluga call types reported by Sjare
and Smith (1986a,b) included sounds at
mean frequencies ranging upward from
1 kHz.
The beluga also has a very well
developed high frequency echolocation
system, as reviewed by Au (1993).
Echolocation signals have peak
frequencies from 40–120 kHz and
broadband source levels of up to 219 dB
re 1 mPa-m (zero-peak). Echolocation
calls are far above the frequency range
of the sounds produced by the devices
proposed for use during Shell’s Chukchi
Sea exploratory drilling program.
Therefore, those industrial sounds are
not expected to interfere with
echolocation.
Potential Effects of the Specified
Activity on Marine Mammals
The likely or possible impacts of the
proposed exploratory drilling program
in the Chukchi Sea on marine mammals
could involve both non-acoustic and
acoustic effects. Potential non-acoustic
effects could result from the physical
presence of the equipment and
personnel. Petroleum development and
associated activities introduce sound
into the marine environment. Impacts to
marine mammals are expected to
primarily be acoustic in nature.
Potential acoustic effects on marine
mammals relate to sound produced by
drilling activity, vessels, and aircraft, as
well as the ZVSP airgun array. The
potential effects of sound from the
proposed exploratory drilling program
might include one or more of the
following: tolerance; masking of natural
sounds; behavioral disturbance; nonauditory physical effects; and, at least in
theory, temporary or permanent hearing
impairment (Richardson et al., 1995a).
However, for reasons discussed later in
this document, it is unlikely that there
would be any cases of temporary, or
especially permanent, hearing
impairment resulting from these
activities. As outlined in previous
NMFS documents, the effects of noise
on marine mammals are highly variable,
and can be categorized as follows (based
on Richardson et al., 1995a):
(1) The noise may be too weak to be
heard at the location of the animal (i.e.,
lower than the prevailing ambient noise
level, the hearing threshold of the
animal at relevant frequencies, or both);
(2) The noise may be audible but not
strong enough to elicit any overt
behavioral response;
(3) The noise may elicit reactions of
variable conspicuousness and variable
relevance to the well being of the
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marine mammal; these can range from
temporary alert responses to active
avoidance reactions such as vacating an
area at least until the noise event ceases
but potentially for longer periods of
time;
(4) Upon repeated exposure, a marine
mammal may exhibit diminishing
responsiveness (habituation), or
disturbance effects may persist; the
latter is most likely with sounds that are
highly variable in characteristics,
infrequent, and unpredictable in
occurrence, and associated with
situations that a marine mammal
perceives as a threat;
(5) Any anthropogenic noise that is
strong enough to be heard has the
potential to reduce (mask) the ability of
a marine mammal to hear natural
sounds at similar frequencies, including
calls from conspecifics, and underwater
environmental sounds such as surf
noise;
(6) If mammals remain in an area
because it is important for feeding,
breeding, or some other biologically
important purpose even though there is
chronic exposure to noise, it is possible
that there could be noise-induced
physiological stress; this might in turn
have negative effects on the well-being
or reproduction of the animals involved;
and
(7) Very strong sounds have the
potential to cause a temporary or
permanent reduction in hearing
sensitivity. In terrestrial mammals, and
presumably marine mammals, received
sound levels must far exceed the
animal’s hearing threshold for there to
be any temporary threshold shift (TTS)
in its hearing ability. For transient
sounds, the sound level necessary to
cause TTS is inversely related to the
duration of the sound. Received sound
levels must be even higher for there to
be risk of permanent hearing
impairment. In addition, intense
acoustic or explosive events may cause
trauma to tissues associated with organs
vital for hearing, sound production,
respiration and other functions. This
trauma may include minor to severe
hemorrhage.
Potential Acoustic Effects From
Exploratory Drilling Activities
(1) Tolerance
Numerous studies have shown that
underwater sounds from industry
activities are often readily detectable by
marine mammals in the water at
distances of many kilometers.
Numerous studies have also shown that
marine mammals at distances more than
a few kilometers away often show no
apparent response to industry activities
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of various types (Miller et al., 2005; Bain
and Williams, 2006). This is often true
even in cases when the sounds must be
readily audible to the animals based on
measured received levels and the
hearing sensitivity of that mammal
group. Although various baleen whales,
toothed whales, and (less frequently)
pinnipeds have been shown to react
behaviorally to underwater sound such
as airgun pulses or vessels under some
conditions, at other times mammals of
all three types have shown no overt
reactions (e.g., Malme et al., 1986;
Richardson et al., 1995; Madsen and
Mohl, 2000; Croll et al., 2001; Jacobs
and Terhune, 2002; Madsen et al., 2002;
Miller et al., 2005). In general,
pinnipeds and small odontocetes seem
to be more tolerant of exposure to some
types of underwater sound than are
baleen whales. Richardson et al. (1995a)
found that vessel noise does not seem to
strongly affect pinnipeds that are
already in the water. Richardson et al.
(1995a) went on to explain that seals on
haul-outs sometimes respond strongly to
the presence of vessels and at other
times appear to show considerable
tolerance of vessels, and Brueggeman et
al. (1992, cited in Richardson et al.,
1995a) observed ringed seals hauled out
on ice pans displaying short-term
escape reactions when a ship
approached within 0.25–0.5 mi (0.4–0.8
km).
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(2) Masking
Masking is the obscuring of sounds of
interest by other sounds, often at similar
frequencies. Marine mammals are
highly dependent on sound, and their
ability to recognize sound signals amid
other noise is important in
communication, predator and prey
detection, and, in the case of toothed
whales, echolocation. Even in the
absence of manmade sounds, the sea is
usually noisy. Background ambient
noise often interferes with or masks the
ability of an animal to detect a sound
signal even when that signal is above its
absolute hearing threshold. Natural
ambient noise includes contributions
from wind, waves, precipitation, other
animals, and (at frequencies above 30
kHz) thermal noise resulting from
molecular agitation (Richardson et al.,
1995a). Background noise also can
include sounds from human activities.
Masking of natural sounds can result
when human activities produce high
levels of background noise. Conversely,
if the background level of underwater
noise is high (e.g., on a day with strong
wind and high waves), an
anthropogenic noise source will not be
detectable as far away as would be
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possible under quieter conditions and
will itself be masked.
Although some degree of masking is
inevitable when high levels of manmade
broadband sounds are introduced into
the sea, marine mammals have evolved
systems and behavior that function to
reduce the impacts of masking.
Structured signals, such as the
echolocation click sequences of small
toothed whales, may be readily detected
even in the presence of strong
background noise because their
frequency content and temporal features
usually differ strongly from those of the
background noise (Au and Moore, 1988,
1990). The components of background
noise that are similar in frequency to the
sound signal in question primarily
determine the degree of masking of that
signal.
Redundancy and context can also
facilitate detection of weak signals.
These phenomena may help marine
mammals detect weak sounds in the
presence of natural or manmade noise.
Most masking studies in marine
mammals present the test signal and the
masking noise from the same direction.
The sound localization abilities of
marine mammals suggest that, if signal
and noise come from different
directions, masking would not be as
severe as the usual types of masking
studies might suggest (Richardson et al.,
1995a). The dominant background noise
may be highly directional if it comes
from a particular anthropogenic source
such as a ship or industrial site.
Directional hearing may significantly
reduce the masking effects of these
noises by improving the effective signalto-noise ratio. In the cases of highfrequency hearing by the bottlenose
dolphin, beluga whale, and killer whale,
empirical evidence confirms that
masking depends strongly on the
relative directions of arrival of sound
signals and the masking noise (Penner et
al., 1986; Dubrovskiy, 1990; Bain et al.,
1993; Bain and Dahlheim, 1994).
Toothed whales, and probably other
marine mammals as well, have
additional capabilities besides
directional hearing that can facilitate
detection of sounds in the presence of
background noise. There is evidence
that some toothed whales can shift the
dominant frequencies of their
echolocation signals from a frequency
range with a lot of ambient noise toward
frequencies with less noise (Au et al.,
1974, 1985; Moore and Pawloski, 1990;
Thomas and Turl, 1990; Romanenko
and Kitain, 1992; Lesage et al., 1999). A
few marine mammal species are known
to increase the source levels or alter the
frequency of their calls in the presence
of elevated sound levels (Dahlheim,
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1987; Au, 1993; Lesage et al., 1993,
1999; Terhune, 1999; Foote et al., 2004;
Parks et al., 2007, 2009; Di Iorio and
Clark, 2009; Holt et al., 2009).
These data demonstrating adaptations
for reduced masking pertain mainly to
the very high frequency echolocation
signals of toothed whales. There is less
information about the existence of
corresponding mechanisms at moderate
or low frequencies or in other types of
marine mammals. For example, Zaitseva
et al. (1980) found that, for the
bottlenose dolphin, the angular
separation between a sound source and
a masking noise source had little effect
on the degree of masking when the
sound frequency was 18 kHz, in contrast
to the pronounced effect at higher
frequencies. Directional hearing has
been demonstrated at frequencies as low
as 0.5–2 kHz in several marine
mammals, including killer whales
(Richardson et al., 1995a). This ability
may be useful in reducing masking at
these frequencies. In summary, high
levels of noise generated by
anthropogenic activities may act to
mask the detection of weaker
biologically important sounds by some
marine mammals. This masking may be
more prominent for lower frequencies.
For higher frequencies, such as that
used in echolocation by toothed whales,
several mechanisms are available that
may allow them to reduce the effects of
such masking.
Masking effects of underwater sounds
from Shell’s proposed activities on
marine mammal calls and other natural
sounds are expected to be limited. For
example, beluga whales primarily use
high-frequency sounds to communicate
and locate prey; therefore, masking by
low-frequency sounds associated with
drilling activities is not expected to
occur (Gales, 1982, as cited in Shell,
2009). If the distance between
communicating whales does not exceed
their distance from the drilling activity,
the likelihood of potential impacts from
masking would be low (Gales, 1982, as
cited in Shell, 2009). At distances
greater than 660–1,300 ft (200–400 m),
recorded sounds from drilling activities
did not affect behavior of beluga whales,
even though the sound energy level and
frequency were such that it could be
heard several kilometers away
(Richardson et al., 1995b). This
exposure resulted in whales being
deflected from the sound energy and
changing behavior. These minor
changes are not expected to affect the
beluga whale population (Richardson et
al., 1991; Richard et al., 1998). Brewer
et al. (1993) observed belugas within 2.3
mi (3.7 km) of the drilling unit Kulluk
during drilling; however, the authors do
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not describe any behaviors that may
have been exhibited by those animals.
Please refer to the Arctic Multiple-Sale
Draft Environmental Impact Statement
(USDOI MMS, 2008), available on the
Internet at: https://www.mms.gov/alaska/
ref/EIS%20EA/ArcticMultiSale_209/_
DEIS.htm, for more detailed
information.
There is evidence of other marine
mammal species continuing to call in
the presence of industrial activity.
Annual acoustical monitoring near BP’s
Northstar production facility during the
fall bowhead migration westward
through the Beaufort Sea has recorded
thousands of calls each year (for
examples, see Richardson et al., 2007;
Aerts and Richardson, 2008).
Construction, maintenance, and
operational activities have been
occurring from this facility for over 10
years. To compensate and reduce
masking, some mysticetes may alter the
frequencies of their communication
sounds (Richardson et al., 1995a; Parks
et al., 2007). Masking processes in
baleen whales are not amenable to
laboratory study, and no direct
measurements on hearing sensitivity are
available for these species. It is not
currently possible to determine with
precision the potential consequences of
temporary or local background noise
levels. However, Parks et al. (2007)
found that right whales (a species
closely related to the bowhead whale)
altered their vocalizations, possibly in
response to background noise levels. For
species that can hear over a relatively
broad frequency range, as is presumed
to be the case for mysticetes, a narrow
band source may only cause partial
masking. Richardson et al. (1995a) note
that a bowhead whale 12.4 mi (20 km)
from a human sound source, such as
that produced during oil and gas
industry activities, might hear strong
calls from other whales within
approximately 12.4 mi (20 km), and a
whale 3.1 mi (5 km) from the source
might hear strong calls from whales
within approximately 3.1 mi (5 km).
Additionally, masking is more likely to
occur closer to a sound source, and
distant anthropogenic sound is less
likely to mask short-distance acoustic
communication (Richardson et al.,
1995a).
Although some masking by marine
mammal species in the area may occur,
the extent of the masking interference
will depend on the spatial relationship
of the animal and Shell’s activity.
Almost all energy in the sounds emitted
by drilling and other operational
activities is at low frequencies,
predominantly below 250 Hz with
another peak centered around 1,000 Hz.
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Most energy in the sounds from the
vessels and aircraft to be used during
this project is below 1 kHz (Moore et al.,
1984; Greene and Moore, 1995;
Blackwell et al., 2004b; Blackwell and
Greene, 2006). These frequencies are
mainly used by mysticetes but not by
odontocetes. Therefore, masking effects
would potentially be more pronounced
in the bowhead and gray whales that
might occur in the proposed project
area. If, as described later in this
document, certain species avoid the
proposed drilling locations, impacts
from masking are anticipated to be low.
(3) Behavioral Disturbance Reactions
Behavioral responses to sound are
highly variable and context-specific.
Many different variables can influence
an animal’s perception of and response
to (in both nature and magnitude) an
acoustic event. An animal’s prior
experience with a sound or sound
source affects whether it is less likely
(habituation) or more likely
(sensitization) to respond to certain
sounds in the future (animals can also
be innately pre-disposed to respond to
certain sounds in certain ways; Southall
et al., 2007). Related to the sound itself,
the perceived nearness of the sound,
bearing of the sound (approaching vs.
retreating), similarity of a sound to
biologically relevant sounds in the
animal’s environment (i.e., calls of
predators, prey, or conspecifics), and
familiarity of the sound may affect the
way an animal responds to the sound
(Southall et al., 2007). Individuals (of
different age, gender, reproductive
status, etc.) among most populations
will have variable hearing capabilities
and differing behavioral sensitivities to
sounds that will be affected by prior
conditioning, experience, and current
activities of those individuals. Often,
specific acoustic features of the sound
and contextual variables (i.e., proximity,
duration, or recurrence of the sound or
the current behavior that the marine
mammal is engaged in or its prior
experience), as well as entirely separate
factors such as the physical presence of
a nearby vessel, may be more relevant
to the animal’s response than the
received level alone.
Exposure of marine mammals to
sound sources can result in (but is not
limited to) no response or any of the
following observable responses:
Increased alertness; orientation or
attraction to a sound source; vocal
modifications; cessation of feeding;
cessation of social interaction; alteration
of movement or diving behavior;
avoidance; habitat abandonment
(temporary or permanent); and, in
severe cases, panic, flight, stampede, or
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stranding, potentially resulting in death
(Southall et al., 2007). On a related note,
many animals perform vital functions,
such as feeding, resting, traveling, and
socializing, on a diel cycle (24-hr cycle).
Behavioral reactions to noise exposure
(such as disruption of critical life
functions, displacement, or avoidance of
important habitat) are more likely to be
significant if they last more than one
diel cycle or recur on subsequent days
(Southall et al., 2007). Consequently, a
behavioral response lasting less than
one day and not recurring on
subsequent days is not considered
particularly severe unless it could
directly affect reproduction or survival
(Southall et al., 2007).
Detailed studies regarding responses
to anthropogenic sound have been
conducted on humpback, gray, and
bowhead whales and ringed seals. Less
detailed data are available for some
other species of baleen whales, sperm
whales, small toothed whales, and sea
otters. The following sub-sections
provide examples of behavioral
responses that provide an idea of the
variability in behavioral responses that
would be expected given the different
sensitivities of marine mammal species
to sound.
Baleen Whales—Richardson et al.
(1995b) reported changes in surfacing
and respiration behavior and the
occurrence of turns during surfacing in
bowhead whales exposed to playback of
underwater sound from drilling
activities. These behavioral effects were
localized and occurred at distances up
to 1.2–2.5 mi (2–4 km).
Some bowheads appeared to divert
from their migratory path after exposure
to projected icebreaker sounds. Other
bowheads however, tolerated projected
icebreaker sound at levels 20 dB and
more above ambient sound levels. The
source level of the projected sound
however, was much less than that of an
actual icebreaker, and reaction distances
to actual icebreaking may be much
greater than those reported here for
projected sounds.
Brewer et al. (1993) and Hall et al.
(1994) reported numerous sightings of
marine mammals including bowhead
whales in the vicinity of offshore
drilling operations in the Beaufort Sea.
One bowhead whale sighting was
reported within approximately 1,312 ft
(400 m) of a drilling vessel although
most other bowhead sightings were at
much greater distances. Few bowheads
were recorded near industrial activities
by aerial observers. After controlling for
spatial autocorrelation in aerial survey
data from Hall et al. (1994) using a
Mantel test, Schick and Urban (2000)
found that the variable describing
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straight line distance between the rig
and bowhead whale sightings was not
significant but that a variable describing
threshold distances between sightings
and the rig was significant. Thus,
although the aerial survey results
suggested substantial avoidance of the
operations by bowhead whales,
observations by vessel-based observers
indicate that at least some bowheads
may have been closer to industrial
activities than was suggested by results
of aerial observations.
Richardson et al. (2008) reported a
slight change in the distribution of
bowhead whale calls in response to
operational sounds on BP’s Northstar
Island. The southern edge of the call
distribution ranged from 0.47 to 1.46 mi
(0.76 to 2.35 km) farther offshore,
apparently in response to industrial
sound levels. This result however, was
only achieved after intensive statistical
analyses, and it is not clear that this
represented a biologically significant
effect.
Patenaude et al. (2002) reported fewer
behavioral responses to aircraft
overflights by bowhead compared to
beluga whales. Behaviors classified as
reactions consisted of short surfacings,
immediate dives or turns, changes in
behavior state, vigorous swimming, and
breaching. Most bowhead reaction
resulted from exposure to helicopter
activity and little response to fixed-wing
aircraft was observed. Most reactions
occurred when the helicopter was at
altitudes ≤492 ft (150 m) and lateral
distances ≤820 ft (250 m; Nowacek et
al., 2007).
During their study, Patenaude et al.
(2002) observed one bowhead whale
cow-calf pair during four passes totaling
2.8 hours of the helicopter and two pairs
during Twin Otter overflights. All of the
helicopter passes were at altitudes of
49–98 ft (15–30 m). The mother dove
both times she was at the surface, and
the calf dove once out of the four times
it was at the surface. For the cow-calf
pair sightings during Twin Otter
overflights, the authors did not note any
behaviors specific to those pairs. Rather,
the reactions of the cow-calf pairs were
lumped with the reactions of other
groups that did not consist of calves.
Richardson et al. (1995b) and Moore
and Clarke (2002) reviewed a few
studies that observed responses of gray
whales to aircraft. Cow-calf pairs were
quite sensitive to a turboprop survey
flown at 1,000 ft (305 m) altitude on the
Alaskan summering grounds. In that
survey, adults were seen swimming over
the calf, or the calf swam under the
adult (Ljungblad et al., 1983, cited in
Richardson et al., 1995b and Moore and
Clarke, 2002). However, when the same
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aircraft circled for more than 10 minutes
at 1,050 ft (320 m) altitude over a group
of mating gray whales, no reactions
were observed (Ljungblad et al., 1987,
cited in Moore and Clarke, 2002).
Malme et al. (1984, cited in Richardson
et al., 1995b and Moore and Clarke,
2002) conducted playback experiments
on migrating gray whales. They exposed
the animals to underwater noise
recorded from a Bell 212 helicopter
(estimated altitude = 328 ft [100 m]), at
an average of three simulated passes per
minute. The authors observed that
whales changed their swimming course
and sometimes slowed down in
response to the playback sound but
proceeded to migrate past the
transducer. Migrating gray whales did
not react overtly to a Bell 212 helicopter
at greater than 1,394 ft (425 m) altitude,
occasionally reacted when the
helicopter was at 1,000–1,198 ft (305–
365 m), and usually reacted when it was
below 825 ft (250 m; Southwest
Research Associates, 1988, cited in
Richardson et al., 1995b and Moore and
Clarke, 2002). Reactions noted in that
study included abrupt turns or dives or
both. Green et al. (1992, cited in
Richardson et al., 1995b) observed that
migrating gray whales rarely exhibited
noticeable reactions to a straight-line
overflight by a Twin Otter at 197 ft (60
m) altitude. Restrictions on aircraft
altitude will be part of the proposed
mitigation measures (described in the
‘‘Proposed Mitigation’’ section later in
this document) during the proposed
drilling activities, and overflights are
likely to have little or no disturbance
effects on baleen whales. Any
disturbance that may occur would likely
be temporary and localized.
Southall et al. (2007, Appendix C)
reviewed a number of papers describing
the responses of marine mammals to
non-pulsed sound, such as that
produced during exploratory drilling
operations. In general, little or no
response was observed in animals
exposed at received levels from 90–120
dB re 1 mPa (rms). Probability of
avoidance and other behavioral effects
increased when received levels were
from 120–160 dB re 1 mPa (rms). Some
of the relevant reviews contained in
Southall et al. (2007) are summarized
next.
Baker et al. (1982) reported some
avoidance by humpback whales to
vessel noise when received levels were
110–120 dB (rms) and clear avoidance at
120–140 dB (sound measurements were
not provided by Baker but were based
on measurements of identical vessels by
Miles and Malme, 1983).
Malme et al. (1983, 1984) used
playbacks of sounds from helicopter
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overflight and drilling rigs and
platforms to study behavioral effects on
migrating gray whales. Received levels
exceeding 120 dB induced avoidance
reactions. Malme et al. (1984) calculated
10%, 50%, and 90% probabilities of
gray whale avoidance reactions at
received levels of 110, 120, and 130 dB,
respectively. Malme et al. (1986)
observed the behavior of feeding gray
whales during four experimental
playbacks of drilling sounds (50 to 315
Hz; 21- min overall duration and 10%
duty cycle; source levels of 156–162
dB). In two cases for received levels of
100–110 dB, no behavioral reaction was
observed. However, avoidance behavior
was observed in two cases where
received levels were 110–120 dB.
Richardson et al. (1990) performed 12
playback experiments in which
bowhead whales in the Alaskan Arctic
were exposed to drilling sounds. Whales
generally did not respond to exposures
in the 100 to 130 dB range, although
there was some indication of minor
behavioral changes in several instances.
McCauley et al. (1996) reported
several cases of humpback whales
responding to vessels in Hervey Bay,
Australia. Results indicated clear
avoidance at received levels between
118 to 124 dB in three cases for which
response and received levels were
observed/measured.
Palka and Hammond (2001) analyzed
line transect census data in which the
orientation and distance off transect line
were reported for large numbers of
minke whales. The authors developed a
method to account for effects of animal
movement in response to sighting
platforms. Minor changes in locomotion
speed, direction, and/or diving profile
were reported at ranges from 1,847 to
2,352 ft (563 to 717 m) at received levels
of 110 to 120 dB.
Biassoni et al. (2000) and Miller et al.
(2000) reported behavioral observations
for humpback whales exposed to a lowfrequency sonar stimulus (160- to 330–
Hz frequency band; 42-s tonal signal
repeated every 6 min; source levels 170
to 200 dB) during playback experiments.
Exposure to measured received levels
ranging from 120 to 150 dB resulted in
variability in humpback singing
behavior. Croll et al. (2001) investigated
responses of foraging fin and blue
whales to the same low frequency active
sonar stimulus off southern California.
Playbacks and control intervals with no
transmission were used to investigate
behavior and distribution on time scales
of several weeks and spatial scales of
tens of kilometers. The general
conclusion was that whales remained
feeding within a region for which 12 to
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30 percent of exposures exceeded 140
dB.
Frankel and Clark (1998) conducted
playback experiments with wintering
humpback whales using a single speaker
producing a low-frequency ‘‘Msequence’’ (sine wave with multiplephase reversals) signal in the 60 to 90
Hz band with output of 172 dB at 1 m.
For 11 playbacks, exposures were
between 120 and 130 dB re 1 mPa (rms)
and included sufficient information
regarding individual responses. During
eight of the trials, there were no
measurable differences in tracks or
bearings relative to control conditions,
whereas on three occasions, whales
either moved slightly away from (n = 1)
or towards (n = 2) the playback speaker
during exposure. The presence of the
source vessel itself had a greater effect
than did the M-sequence playback.
Finally, Nowacek et al. (2004) used
controlled exposures to demonstrate
behavioral reactions of northern right
whales to various non-pulse sounds.
Playback stimuli included ship noise,
social sounds of conspecifics, and a
complex, 18-min ‘‘alert’’ sound
consisting of repetitions of three
different artificial signals. Ten whales
were tagged with calibrated instruments
that measured received sound
characteristics and concurrent animal
movements in three dimensions. Five
out of six exposed whales reacted
strongly to alert signals at measured
received levels between 130 and 150 dB
(i.e., ceased foraging and swam rapidly
to the surface). Two of these individuals
were not exposed to ship noise, and the
other four were exposed to both stimuli.
These whales reacted mildly to
conspecific signals. Seven whales,
including the four exposed to the alert
stimulus, had no measurable response
to either ship sounds or actual vessel
noise.
Toothed Whales—Most toothed
whales have the greatest hearing
sensitivity at frequencies much higher
than that of baleen whales and may be
less responsive to low-frequency sound
commonly associated with oil and gas
industry exploratory drilling activities.
Richardson et al. (1995b) reported that
beluga whales did not show any
apparent reaction to playback of
underwater drilling sounds at distances
greater than 656–1,312 ft (200–400 m).
Reactions included slowing down,
milling, or reversal of course after which
the whales continued past the projector,
sometimes within 164–328 ft (50–100
m). The authors concluded (based on a
small sample size) that the playback of
drilling sounds had no biologically
significant effects on migration routes of
beluga whales migrating through pack
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ice and along the seaward side of the
nearshore lead east of Point Barrow in
spring.
At least six of 17 groups of beluga
whales appeared to alter their migration
path in response to underwater
playbacks of icebreaker sound
(Richardson et al., 1995b). Received
levels from the icebreaker playback
were estimated at 78–84 dB in the 1/3octave band centered at 5,000 Hz, or 8–
14 dB above ambient. If beluga whales
reacted to an actual icebreaker at
received levels of 80 dB, reactions
would be expected to occur at distances
on the order of 6.2 mi (10 km). Finley
et al. (1990) also reported beluga
avoidance of icebreaker activities in the
Canadian High Arctic at distances of
22–31 mi (35–50 km). In addition to
avoidance, changes in dive behavior and
pod integrity were also noted.
Patenaude et al. (2002) reported that
beluga whales appeared to be more
responsive to aircraft overflights than
bowhead whales. Changes were
observed in diving and respiration
behavior, and some whales veered away
when a helicopter passed at ≤820 ft (250
m) lateral distance at altitudes up to 492
ft (150 m). However, some belugas
showed no reaction to the helicopter.
Belugas appeared to show less response
to fixed-wing aircraft than to helicopter
overflights.
In reviewing responses of cetaceans
with best hearing in mid-frequency
ranges, which includes toothed whales,
Southall et al. (2007) reported that
combined field and laboratory data for
mid-frequency cetaceans exposed to
non-pulse sounds did not lead to a clear
conclusion about received levels
coincident with various behavioral
responses. In some settings, individuals
in the field showed profound
(significant) behavioral responses to
exposures from 90–120 dB, while others
failed to exhibit such responses for
exposure to received levels from 120–
150 dB. Contextual variables other than
exposure received level, and probable
species differences, are the likely
reasons for this variability. Context,
including the fact that captive subjects
were often directly reinforced with food
for tolerating noise exposure, may also
explain why there was great disparity in
results from field and laboratory
conditions—exposures in captive
settings generally exceeded 170 dB
before inducing behavioral responses. A
summary of some of the relevant
material reviewed by Southall et al.
(2007) is next.
LGL and Greeneridge (1986) and
Finley et al. (1990) documented belugas
and narwhals congregated near ice
edges reacting to the approach and
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passage of icebreaking ships. Beluga
whales responded to oncoming vessels
by (1) fleeing at speeds of up to 12.4 mi/
hr (20 km/hr) from distances of 12.4–50
mi (20–80 km), (2) abandoning normal
pod structure, and (3) modifying vocal
behavior and/or emitting alarm calls.
Narwhals, in contrast, generally
demonstrated a ‘‘freeze’’ response, lying
motionless or swimming slowly away
(as far as 23 mi [37 km] down the ice
edge), huddling in groups, and ceasing
sound production. There was some
evidence of habituation and reduced
avoidance 2 to 3 days after onset.
The 1982 season observations by LGL
and Greeneridge (1986) involved a
single passage of an icebreaker with
both ice-based and aerial measurements
on June 28, 1982. Four groups of
narwhals (n = 9 to 10, 7, 7, and 6)
responded when the ship was 4 mi (6.4
km) away (received levels of
approximately 100 dB in the 150- to
1,150-Hz band). At a later point,
observers sighted belugas moving away
from the source at more than 12.4 mi (20
km; received levels of approximately 90
dB in the 150- to 1,150-Hz band). The
total number of animals observed
fleeing was about 300, suggesting
approximately 100 independent groups
(of three individuals each). No whales
were sighted the following day, but
some were sighted on June 30, with ship
noise audible at spectrum levels of
approximately 55 dB/Hz (up to 4 kHz).
Observations during 1983 (LGL and
Greeneridge, 1986) involved two
icebreaking ships with aerial survey and
ice-based observations during seven
sampling periods. Narwhals and belugas
generally reacted at received levels
ranging from 101 to 121 dB in the 20to 1,000-Hz band and at a distance of up
to 40.4 mi (65 km). Large numbers
(100s) of beluga whales moved out of
the area at higher received levels. As
noise levels from icebreaking operations
diminished, a total of 45 narwhals
returned to the area and engaged in
diving and foraging behavior. During the
final sampling period, following an 8-h
quiet interval, no reactions were seen
from 28 narwhals and 17 belugas (at
received levels ranging up to 115 dB).
The final season (1984) reported in
LGL and Greeneridge (1986) involved
aerial surveys before, during, and after
the passage of two icebreaking ships.
During operations, no belugas and few
narwhals were observed in an area
approximately 16.8 mi (27 km) ahead of
the vessels, and all whales sighted over
12.4–50 mi (20–80 km) from the ships
were swimming strongly away.
Additional observations confirmed the
spatial extent of avoidance reactions to
this sound source in this context.
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Buckstaff (2004) reported elevated
dolphin whistle rates with received
levels from oncoming vessels in the 110
to 120 dB range in Sarasota Bay, Florida.
These hearing thresholds were
apparently lower than those reported by
a researcher listening with towed
hydrophones. Morisaka et al. (2005)
compared whistles from three
populations of Indo-Pacific bottlenose
dolphins. One population was exposed
to vessel noise with spectrum levels of
approximately 85 dB/Hz in the 1- to 22kHz band (broadband received levels
approximately 128 dB) as opposed to
approximately 65 dB/Hz in the same
band (broadband received levels
approximately 108 dB) for the other two
sites. Dolphin whistles in the noisier
environment had lower fundamental
frequencies and less frequency
modulation, suggesting a shift in sound
parameters as a result of increased
ambient noise.
Morton and Symonds (2002) used
census data on killer whales in British
Columbia to evaluate avoidance of nonpulse acoustic harassment devices
(AHDs). Avoidance ranges were about
2.5 mi (4 km). Also, there was a
dramatic reduction in the number of
days ‘‘resident’’ killer whales were
sighted during AHD-active periods
compared to pre- and post-exposure
periods and a nearby control site.
Monteiro-Neto et al. (2004) studied
avoidance responses of tucuxi (Sotalia
fluviatilis) to Dukane® Netmark acoustic
deterrent devices. In a total of 30
exposure trials, approximately five
groups each demonstrated significant
avoidance compared to 20 pinger off
and 55 no-pinger control trials over two
quadrats of about 0.19 mi2 (0.5 km2).
Estimated exposure received levels were
approximately 115 dB.
Awbrey and Stewart (1983) played
back semi-submersible drillship sounds
(source level: 163 dB) to belugas in
Alaska. They reported avoidance
reactions at 984 and 4,921 ft (300 and
1,500 m) and approach by groups at a
distance of 2.2 mi (3.5 km; received
levels were approximately 110 to 145
dB over these ranges assuming a 15 log
R transmission loss). Similarly,
Richardson et al. (1990) played back
drilling platform sounds (source level:
163 dB) to belugas in Alaska. They
conducted aerial observations of eight
individuals among approximately 100
spread over an area several hundred
meters to several kilometers from the
sound source and found no obvious
reactions. Moderate changes in
movement were noted for three groups
swimming within 656 ft (200 m) of the
sound projector.
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Two studies deal with issues related
to changes in marine mammal vocal
behavior as a function of variable
background noise levels. Foote et al.
(2004) found increases in the duration
of killer whale calls over the period
1977 to 2003, during which time vessel
traffic in Puget Sound, and particularly
whale-watching boats around the
animals, increased dramatically.
Scheifele et al. (2005) demonstrated that
belugas in the St. Lawrence River
increased the levels of their
vocalizations as a function of the
background noise level (the ‘‘Lombard
Effect’’).
Several researchers conducting
laboratory experiments on hearing and
the effects of non-pulse sounds on
hearing in mid-frequency cetaceans
have reported concurrent behavioral
responses. Nachtigall et al. (2003)
reported that noise exposures up to 179
dB and 55-min duration affected the
trained behaviors of a bottlenose
dolphin participating in a TTS
experiment. Finneran and Schlundt
(2004) provided a detailed,
comprehensive analysis of the
behavioral responses of belugas and
bottlenose dolphins to 1-s tones
(received levels 160 to 202 dB) in the
context of TTS experiments. Romano et
al. (2004) investigated the physiological
responses of a bottlenose dolphin and a
beluga exposed to these tonal exposures
and demonstrated a decrease in blood
cortisol levels during a series of
exposures between 130 and 201 dB.
Collectively, the laboratory observations
suggested the onset of a behavioral
response at higher received levels than
did field studies. The differences were
likely related to the very different
conditions and contextual variables
between untrained, free-ranging
individuals vs. laboratory subjects that
were rewarded with food for tolerating
noise exposure.
Pinnipeds—Pinnipeds generally seem
to be less responsive to exposure to
industrial sound than most cetaceans.
Pinniped responses to underwater
sound from some types of industrial
activities such as seismic exploration
appear to be temporary and localized
(Harris et al., 2001; Reiser et al., 2009).
Blackwell et al. (2004) reported little
or no reaction of ringed seals in
response to pile-driving activities
during construction of a man-made
island in the Beaufort Sea. Ringed seals
were observed swimming as close as
151 ft (46 m) from the island and may
have been habituated to the sounds
which were likely audible at distances
<9,842 ft (3,000 m) underwater and 0.3
mi (0.5 km) in air. Moulton et al. (2003)
reported that ringed seal densities on ice
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in the vicinity of a man-made island in
the Beaufort Sea did not change
significantly before and after
construction and drilling activities.
Southall et al. (2007) reviewed
literature describing responses of
pinnipeds to non-pulsed sound and
reported that the limited data suggest
exposures between approximately 90
and 140 dB generally do not appear to
induce strong behavioral responses in
pinnipeds exposed to non-pulse sounds
in water; no data exist regarding
exposures at higher levels. It is
important to note that among these
studies, there are some apparent
differences in responses between field
and laboratory conditions. In contrast to
the mid-frequency odontocetes, captive
pinnipeds responded more strongly at
lower levels than did animals in the
field. Again, contextual issues are the
likely cause of this difference.
Jacobs and Terhune (2002) observed
harbor seal reactions to AHDs (source
level in this study was 172 dB)
deployed around aquaculture sites.
Seals were generally unresponsive to
sounds from the AHDs. During two
specific events, individuals came within
141 and 144 ft (43 and 44 m) of active
AHDs and failed to demonstrate any
measurable behavioral response;
estimated received levels based on the
measures given were approximately 120
to 130 dB.
Costa et al. (2003) measured received
noise levels from an Acoustic
Thermometry of Ocean Climate (ATOC)
program sound source off northern
California using acoustic data loggers
placed on translocated elephant seals.
Subjects were captured on land,
transported to sea, instrumented with
archival acoustic tags, and released such
that their transit would lead them near
an active ATOC source (at 939-m depth;
75-Hz signal with 37.5- Hz bandwidth;
195 dB maximum source level, ramped
up from 165 dB over 20 min) on their
return to a haul-out site. Received
exposure levels of the ATOC source for
experimental subjects averaged 128 dB
(range 118 to 137) in the 60- to 90-Hz
band. None of the instrumented animals
terminated dives or radically altered
behavior upon exposure, but some
statistically significant changes in
diving parameters were documented in
nine individuals. Translocated northern
elephant seals exposed to this particular
non-pulse source began to demonstrate
subtle behavioral changes at exposure to
received levels of approximately 120 to
140 dB.
Kastelein et al. (2006) exposed nine
captive harbor seals in an approximately
82 × 98 ft (25 × 30 m) enclosure to nonpulse sounds used in underwater data
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communication systems (similar to
acoustic modems). Test signals were
frequency modulated tones, sweeps, and
bands of noise with fundamental
frequencies between 8 and 16 kHz; 128
to 130 [± 3] dB source levels; 1- to 2-s
duration [60–80 percent duty cycle]; or
100 percent duty cycle. They recorded
seal positions and the mean number of
individual surfacing behaviors during
control periods (no exposure), before
exposure, and in 15-min experimental
sessions (n = 7 exposures for each sound
type). Seals generally swam away from
each source at received levels of
approximately 107 dB, avoiding it by
approximately 16 ft (5 m), although they
did not haul out of the water or change
surfacing behavior. Seal reactions did
not appear to wane over repeated
exposure (i.e., there was no obvious
habituation), and the colony of seals
generally returned to baseline
conditions following exposure. The
seals were not reinforced with food for
remaining in the sound field.
Potential effects to pinnipeds from
aircraft activity could involve both
acoustic and non-acoustic effects. It is
uncertain if the seals react to the sound
of the helicopter or to its physical
presence flying overhead. Typical
reactions of hauled out pinnipeds to
aircraft that have been observed include
looking up at the aircraft, moving on the
ice or land, entering a breathing hole or
crack in the ice, or entering the water.
Ice seals hauled out on the ice have
been observed diving into the water
when approached by a low-flying
aircraft or helicopter (Burns and Harbo,
1972, cited in Richardson et al., 1995a;
Burns and Frost, 1979, cited in
Richardson et al., 1995a). Richardson et
al. (1995a) note that responses can vary
based on differences in aircraft type,
altitude, and flight pattern.
Additionally, a study conducted by
Born et al. (1999) found that wind chill
was also a factor in level of response of
ringed seals hauled out on ice, as well
as time of day and relative wind
direction.
Blackwell et al. (2004a) observed 12
ringed seals during low-altitude
overflights of a Bell 212 helicopter at
Northstar in June and July 2000 (9
observations took place concurrent with
pipe-driving activities). One seal
showed no reaction to the aircraft while
the remaining 11 (92%) reacted, either
by looking at the helicopter (n = 10) or
by departing from their basking site
(n = 1). Blackwell et al. (2004a)
concluded that none of the reactions to
helicopters were strong or long lasting,
and that seals near Northstar in June
and July 2000 probably had habituated
to industrial sounds and visible
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activities that had occurred often during
the preceding winter and spring. There
have been few systematic studies of
pinniped reactions to aircraft
overflights, and most of the available
data concern pinnipeds hauled out on
land or ice rather than pinnipeds in the
water (Richardson et al., 1995a; Born et
al., 1999).
Born et al. (1999) determined that 49
percent of ringed seals escaped (i.e., left
the ice) as a response to a helicopter
flying at 492 ft (150 m) altitude. Seals
entered the water when the helicopter
was 4,101 ft (1,250 m) away if the seal
was in front of the helicopter and at
1,640 ft (500 m) away if the seal was to
the side of the helicopter. The authors
noted that more seals reacted to
helicopters than to fixed-wing aircraft.
The study concluded that the risk of
scaring ringed seals by small-type
helicopters could be substantially
reduced if they do not approach closer
than 4,921 ft (1,500 m).
Spotted seals hauled out on land in
summer are unusually sensitive to
aircraft overflights compared to other
species. They often rush into the water
when an aircraft flies by at altitudes up
to 984–2,461 ft (300–750 m). They
occasionally react to aircraft flying as
high as 4,495 ft (1,370 m) and at lateral
distances as far as 1.2 mi (2 km) or more
(Frost and Lowry, 1990; Rugh et al.,
1997).
(4) Hearing Impairment and Other
Physiological Effects
Temporary or permanent hearing
impairment is a possibility when marine
mammals are exposed to very strong
sounds. Non-auditory physiological
effects might also occur in marine
mammals exposed to strong underwater
sound. Possible types of non-auditory
physiological effects or injuries that
theoretically might occur in mammals
close to a strong sound source include
stress, neurological effects, bubble
formation, and other types of organ or
tissue damage. It is possible that some
marine mammal species (i.e., beaked
whales) may be especially susceptible to
injury and/or stranding when exposed
to strong pulsed sounds. However, as
discussed later in this document, there
is no definitive evidence that any of
these effects occur even for marine
mammals in close proximity to
industrial sound sources, and beaked
whales do not occur in the proposed
activity area. Additional information
regarding the possibilities of TTS,
permanent threshold shift (PTS), and
non-auditory physiological effects, such
as stress, is discussed for both
exploratory drilling activities and ZVSP
surveys in the following section
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(‘‘Potential Effects from ZVSP
Activities’’).
Potential Effects from ZVSP Activities
(1) Tolerance
Numerous studies have shown that
pulsed sounds from airguns are often
readily detectable in the water at
distances of many kilometers. Weir
(2008) observed marine mammal
responses to seismic pulses from a 24
airgun array firing a total volume of
either 5,085 in3 or 3,147 in3 in Angolan
waters between August 2004 and May
2005. Weir recorded a total of 207
sightings of humpback whales (n = 66),
sperm whales (n = 124), and Atlantic
spotted dolphins (n = 17) and reported
that there were no significant
differences in encounter rates
(sightings/hr) for humpback and sperm
whales according to the airgun array’s
operational status (i.e., active versus
silent). For additional information on
tolerance of marine mammals to
anthropogenic sound, see the previous
subsection in this document (‘‘Potential
Effects from Exploratory Drilling
Activities’’).
(2) Masking
As stated earlier in this document,
masking is the obscuring of sounds of
interest by other sounds, often at similar
frequencies. For full details about
masking, see the previous subsection in
this document (‘‘Potential Effects from
Exploratory Drilling Activities’’). Some
additional information regarding pulsed
sounds is provided here.
There is evidence of some marine
mammal species continuing to call in
the presence of industrial activity.
McDonald et al. (1995) heard blue and
fin whale calls between seismic pulses
in the Pacific. Although there has been
one report that sperm whales cease
calling when exposed to pulses from a
very distant seismic ship (Bowles et al.,
1994), a more recent study reported that
sperm whales off northern Norway
continued calling in the presence of
seismic pulses (Madsen et al., 2002).
Similar results were also reported
during work in the Gulf of Mexico
(Tyack et al., 2003). Bowhead whale
calls are frequently detected in the
presence of seismic pulses, although the
numbers of calls detected may
sometimes be reduced (Richardson et
al., 1986; Greene et al., 1999; Blackwell
et al., 2009a). Bowhead whales in the
Beaufort Sea may decrease their call
rates in response to seismic operations,
although movement out of the area
might also have contributed to the lower
call detection rate (Blackwell et al.,
2009a,b). Additionally, there is
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increasing evidence that, at times, there
is enough reverberation between airgun
pulses such that detection range of calls
may be significantly reduced. In
contrast, Di Iorio and Clark (2009) found
evidence of increased calling by blue
whales during operations by a lowerenergy seismic source, a sparker.
There is little concern regarding
masking due to the brief duration of
these pulses and relatively longer
silence between airgun shots (9–12
seconds) near the sound source.
However, at long distances (over tens of
kilometers away) in deep water, due to
multipath propagation and
reverberation, the durations of airgun
pulses can be ‘‘stretched’’ to seconds
with long decays (Madsen et al., 2006;
Clark and Gagnon, 2006). Therefore it
could affect communication signals
used by low frequency mysticetes when
they occur near the noise band and thus
reduce the communication space of
animals (e.g., Clark et al., 2009a,b) and
cause increased stress levels (e.g., Foote
et al., 2004; Holt et al., 2009).
Nevertheless, the intensity of the noise
is also greatly reduced at long distances.
Therefore, masking effects are
anticipated to be limited, especially in
the case of odontocetes, given that they
typically communicate at frequencies
higher than those of the airguns.
(3) Behavioral Disturbance Reactions
As was described in more detail in the
previous sub-section (‘‘Potential Effects
of Exploratory Drilling Activities’’),
behavioral responses to sound are
highly variable and context-specific.
Summaries of observed reactions and
studies are provided next.
Baleen Whales—Baleen whale
responses to pulsed sound (e.g., seismic
airguns) have been studied more
thoroughly than responses to
continuous sound (e.g., drillships).
Baleen whales generally tend to avoid
operating airguns, but avoidance radii
are quite variable. Whales are often
reported to show no overt reactions to
pulses from large arrays of airguns at
distances beyond a few kilometers, even
though the airgun pulses remain well
above ambient noise levels out to much
greater distances (Miller et al., 2005).
However, baleen whales exposed to
strong noise pulses often react by
deviating from their normal migration
route (Richardson et al., 1999).
Migrating gray and bowhead whales
were observed avoiding the sound
source by displacing their migration
route to varying degrees but within the
natural boundaries of the migration
corridors (Schick and Urban, 2000;
Richardson et al., 1999; Malme et al.,
1983). Baleen whale responses to pulsed
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sound however may depend on the type
of activity in which the whales are
engaged. Some evidence suggests that
feeding bowhead whales may be more
tolerant of underwater sound than
migrating bowheads (Miller et al., 2005;
Lyons et al., 2009; Christie et al., 2010).
Results of studies of gray, bowhead,
and humpback whales have determined
that received levels of pulses in the
160–170 dB re 1 mPa rms range seem to
cause obvious avoidance behavior in a
substantial fraction of the animals
exposed. In many areas, seismic pulses
from large arrays of airguns diminish to
those levels at distances ranging from
2.8–9 mi (4.5–14.5 km) from the source.
For the much smaller airgun array used
during the ZVSP survey (total discharge
volume of 760 in3), distances to
received levels in the 170–160 dB re 1
mPa rms range are estimated to be 1.44–
2.28 mi (2.31–3.67 km). Baleen whales
within those distances may show
avoidance or other strong disturbance
reactions to the airgun array. Subtle
behavioral changes sometimes become
evident at somewhat lower received
levels, and recent studies have shown
that some species of baleen whales,
notably bowhead and humpback
whales, at times show strong avoidance
at received levels lower than 160–170
dB re 1 mPa rms. Bowhead whales
migrating west across the Alaskan
Beaufort Sea in autumn, in particular,
are unusually responsive, with
avoidance occurring out to distances of
12.4–18.6 mi (20–30 km) from a
medium-sized airgun source (Miller et
al., 1999; Richardson et al., 1999).
However, more recent research on
bowhead whales (Miller et al., 2005)
corroborates earlier evidence that,
during the summer feeding season,
bowheads are not as sensitive to seismic
sources. In summer, bowheads typically
begin to show avoidance reactions at a
received level of about 160–170 dB re 1
mPa rms (Richardson et al., 1986;
Ljungblad et al., 1988; Miller et al.,
2005).
Malme et al. (1986, 1988) studied the
responses of feeding eastern gray whales
to pulses from a single 100 in3 airgun off
St. Lawrence Island in the northern
Bering Sea. They estimated, based on
small sample sizes, that 50% of feeding
gray whales ceased feeding at an average
received pressure level of 173 dB re 1
mPa on an (approximate) rms basis, and
that 10% of feeding whales interrupted
feeding at received levels of 163 dB.
Those findings were generally
consistent with the results of
experiments conducted on larger
numbers of gray whales that were
migrating along the California coast and
on observations of the distribution of
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feeding Western Pacific gray whales off
Sakhalin Island, Russia, during a
seismic survey (Yazvenko et al., 2007).
Data on short-term reactions (or lack
of reactions) of cetaceans to impulsive
noises do not necessarily provide
information about long-term effects.
While it is not certain whether
impulsive noises affect reproductive
rate or distribution and habitat use in
subsequent days or years, certain
species have continued to use areas
ensonified by airguns and have
continued to increase in number despite
successive years of anthropogenic
activity in the area. Gray whales
continued to migrate annually along the
west coast of North America despite
intermittent seismic exploration and
much ship traffic in that area for
decades (Appendix A in Malme et al.,
1984). Bowhead whales continued to
travel to the eastern Beaufort Sea each
summer despite seismic exploration in
their summer and autumn range for
many years (Richardson et al., 1987).
Populations of both gray whales and
bowhead whales grew substantially
during this time. Bowhead whales have
increased by approximately 3.4% per
year for the last 10 years in the Beaufort
Sea (Allen and Angliss, 2011). In any
event, the brief exposures to sound
pulses from the proposed airgun source
(the airguns will only be fired for a
period of 10–14 hours for each of the
three, possibly four, wells) are highly
unlikely to result in prolonged effects.
Toothed Whales—Few systematic
data are available describing reactions of
toothed whales to noise pulses. Few
studies similar to the more extensive
baleen whale/seismic pulse work
summarized earlier in this document
have been reported for toothed whales.
However, systematic work on sperm
whales is underway (Tyack et al., 2003),
and there is an increasing amount of
information about responses of various
odontocetes to seismic surveys based on
monitoring studies (e.g., Stone, 2003;
Smultea et al., 2004; Moulton and
Miller, 2005).
Seismic operators and marine
mammal observers sometimes see
dolphins and other small toothed
whales near operating airgun arrays,
but, in general, there seems to be a
tendency for most delphinids to show
some limited avoidance of seismic
vessels operating large airgun systems.
However, some dolphins seem to be
attracted to the seismic vessel and
floats, and some ride the bow wave of
the seismic vessel even when large
arrays of airguns are firing. Nonetheless,
there have been indications that small
toothed whales sometimes move away
or maintain a somewhat greater distance
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from the vessel when a large array of
airguns is operating than when it is
silent (e.g., Goold, 1996a,b,c;
Calambokidis and Osmek, 1998; Stone,
2003). The beluga may be a species that
(at least at times) shows long-distance
avoidance of seismic vessels. Aerial
surveys during seismic operations in the
southeastern Beaufort Sea recorded
much lower sighting rates of beluga
whales within 6.2–12.4 mi (10–20 km)
of an active seismic vessel. These results
were consistent with the low number of
beluga sightings reported by observers
aboard the seismic vessel, suggesting
that some belugas might be avoiding the
seismic operations at distances of 6.2–
12.4 mi (10–20 km) (Miller et al., 2005).
Captive bottlenose dolphins and (of
more relevance in this project) beluga
whales exhibit changes in behavior
when exposed to strong pulsed sounds
similar in duration to those typically
used in seismic surveys (Finneran et al.,
2002, 2005). However, the animals
tolerated high received levels of sound
(pk-pk level >200 dB re 1 mPa) before
exhibiting aversive behaviors.
Reactions of toothed whales to large
arrays of airguns are variable and, at
least for delphinids, seem to be confined
to a smaller radius than has been
observed for mysticetes. However, based
on the limited existing evidence,
belugas should not be grouped with
delphinids in the ‘‘less responsive’’
category.
Pinnipeds—Pinnipeds are not likely
to show a strong avoidance reaction to
the airgun sources proposed for use.
Visual monitoring from seismic vessels
has shown only slight (if any) avoidance
of airguns by pinnipeds and only slight
(if any) changes in behavior. Ringed
seals frequently do not avoid the area
within a few hundred meters of
operating airgun arrays (Harris et al.,
2001; Moulton and Lawson, 2002;
Miller et al., 2005). Monitoring work in
the Alaskan Beaufort Sea during 1996–
2001 provided considerable information
regarding the behavior of seals exposed
to seismic pulses (Harris et al., 2001;
Moulton and Lawson, 2002). These
seismic projects usually involved arrays
of 6 to 16 airguns with total volumes of
560 to 1,500 in 3. The combined results
suggest that some seals avoid the
immediate area around seismic vessels.
In most survey years, ringed seal
sightings tended to be farther away from
the seismic vessel when the airguns
were operating than when they were not
(Moulton and Lawson, 2002). However,
these avoidance movements were
relatively small, on the order of 328 ft
(100 m) to a few hundreds of meters,
and many seals remained within 328–
656 ft (100–200 m) of the trackline as
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the operating airgun array passed by.
Seal sighting rates at the water surface
were lower during airgun array
operations than during no-airgun
periods in each survey year except 1997.
Similarly, seals are often very tolerant of
pulsed sounds from seal-scaring devices
(Mate and Harvey, 1987; Jefferson and
Curry, 1994; Richardson et al., 1995a).
However, initial telemetry work
suggests that avoidance and other
behavioral reactions by two other
species of seals to small airgun sources
may at times be stronger than evident to
date from visual studies of pinniped
reactions to airguns (Thompson et al.,
1998). Even if reactions of the species
occurring in the present study area are
as strong as those evident in the
telemetry study, reactions are expected
to be confined to relatively small
distances and durations, with no longterm effects on pinniped individuals or
populations. Additionally, the airguns
are only proposed to be used for a short
time during the exploration drilling
program (approximately 10–14 hours for
each well, for a total of 40–56 hours,
and more likely to be 30–42 hours if the
fourth well is not completed, over the
entire open-water season, which lasts
for approximately 4 months).
(4) Hearing Impairment and Other
Physiological Effects
TTS—TTS is the mildest form of
hearing impairment that can occur
during exposure to a strong sound
(Kryter, 1985). While experiencing TTS,
the hearing threshold rises, and a sound
must be stronger in order to be heard.
At least in terrestrial mammals, TTS can
last from minutes or hours to (in cases
of strong TTS) days, can be limited to
a particular frequency range, and can be
in varying degrees (i.e., a loss of a
certain number of dBs of sensitivity).
For sound exposures at or somewhat
above the TTS threshold, hearing
sensitivity in both terrestrial and marine
mammals recovers rapidly after
exposure to the noise ends. Few data on
sound levels and durations necessary to
elicit mild TTS have been obtained for
marine mammals, and none of the
published data concern TTS elicited by
exposure to multiple pulses of sound.
Marine mammal hearing plays a
critical role in communication with
conspecifics and in interpretation of
environmental cues for purposes such
as predator avoidance and prey capture.
Depending on the degree (elevation of
threshold in dB), duration (i.e., recovery
time), and frequency range of TTS and
the context in which it is experienced,
TTS can have effects on marine
mammals ranging from discountable to
serious. For example, a marine mammal
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may be able to readily compensate for
a brief, relatively small amount of TTS
in a non-critical frequency range that
takes place during a time when the
animal is traveling through the open
ocean, where ambient noise is lower
and there are not as many competing
sounds present. Alternatively, a larger
amount and longer duration of TTS
sustained during a time when
communication is critical for successful
mother/calf interactions could have
more serious impacts if it were in the
same frequency band as the necessary
vocalizations and of a severity that it
impeded communication. The fact that
animals exposed to levels and durations
of sound that would be expected to
result in this physiological response
would also be expected to have
behavioral responses of a comparatively
more severe or sustained nature is also
notable and potentially of more
importance than the simple existence of
a TTS.
Researchers have derived TTS
information for odontocetes from
studies on the bottlenose dolphin and
beluga. For the one harbor porpoise
tested, the received level of airgun
sound that elicited onset of TTS was
lower (Lucke et al., 2009). If these
results from a single animal are
representative, it is inappropriate to
assume that onset of TTS occurs at
similar received levels in all
odontocetes (cf. Southall et al., 2007).
Some cetaceans apparently can incur
TTS at considerably lower sound
exposures than are necessary to elicit
TTS in the beluga or bottlenose dolphin.
For baleen whales, there are no data,
direct or indirect, on levels or properties
of sound that are required to induce
TTS. The frequencies to which baleen
whales are most sensitive are assumed
to be lower than those to which
odontocetes are most sensitive, and
natural background noise levels at those
low frequencies tend to be higher. As a
result, auditory thresholds of baleen
whales within their frequency band of
best hearing are believed to be higher
(less sensitive) than are those of
odontocetes at their best frequencies
(Clark and Ellison, 2004), meaning that
baleen whales require sounds to be
louder (i.e., higher dB levels) than
odontocetes in the frequency ranges at
which each group hears the best. From
this, it is suspected that received levels
causing TTS onset may also be higher in
baleen whales (Southall et al., 2007).
Since current NMFS practice assumes
the same thresholds for the onset of
hearing impairment in both odontocetes
and mysticetes, NMFS’ onset of TTS
threshold is likely conservative for
mysticetes. For this proposed activity,
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Shell expects no cases of TTS given the
strong likelihood that baleen whales
would avoid the airguns before being
exposed to levels high enough for TTS
to occur. The source levels of the
drillship are far lower than those of the
airguns.
In pinnipeds, TTS thresholds
associated with exposure to brief pulses
(single or multiple) of underwater sound
have not been measured. However,
systematic TTS studies on captive
pinnipeds have been conducted (Bowles
et al., 1999; Kastak et al., 1999, 2005,
2007; Schusterman et al., 2000;
Finneran et al., 2003; Southall et al.,
2007). Initial evidence from more
prolonged (non-pulse) exposures
suggested that some pinnipeds (harbor
seals in particular) incur TTS at
somewhat lower received levels than do
small odontocetes exposed for similar
durations (Kastak et al., 1999, 2005;
Ketten et al., 2001; cf. Au et al., 2000).
The TTS threshold for pulsed sounds
has been indirectly estimated as being a
sound exposure level (SEL) of
approximately 171 dB re 1 mPa 2·s
(Southall et al., 2007) which would be
equivalent to a single pulse with a
received level of approximately 181 to
186 dB re 1 mPa (rms), or a series of
pulses for which the highest rms values
are a few dB lower. Corresponding
values for California sea lions and
northern elephant seals are likely to be
higher (Kastak et al., 2005). For harbor
seal, which is closely related to the
ringed seal, TTS onset apparently
occurs at somewhat lower received
energy levels than for odonotocetes. The
sound level necessary to cause TTS in
pinnipeds depends on exposure
duration, as in other mammals; with
longer exposure, the level necessary to
elicit TTS is reduced (Schusterman et
al., 2000; Kastak et al., 2005, 2007). For
very short exposures (e.g., to a single
sound pulse), the level necessary to
cause TTS is very high (Finneran et al.,
2003). For pinnipeds exposed to in-air
sounds, auditory fatigue has been
measured in response to single pulses
and to non-pulse noise (Southall et al.,
2007), although high exposure levels
were required to induce TTS-onset
(SEL: 129 dB re: 20 mPa2.s; Bowles et al.,
unpub. data).
NMFS has established acoustic
thresholds that identify the received
sound levels above which hearing
impairment or other injury could
potentially occur, which are 180 and
190 dB re 1 mPa (rms) for cetaceans and
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pinnipeds, respectively (NMFS 1995,
2000). The established 180– and 190–dB
re 1 mPa (rms) criteria are the received
levels above which, in the view of a
panel of bioacoustics specialists
convened by NMFS before additional
TTS measurements for marine mammals
became available, one could not be
certain that there would be no injurious
effects, auditory or otherwise, to marine
mammals. TTS is considered by NMFS
to be a type of Level B (non-injurious)
harassment. The 180– and 190–dB
levels are shutdown criteria applicable
to cetaceans and pinnipeds,
respectively, as specified by NMFS
(2000) and are used to establish
exclusion zones (EZs), as appropriate.
Additionally, based on the summary
provided here and the fact that
modeling indicates the back-propagated
source level for the Discoverer to be
between 177 and 185 dB re 1 mPa at 1
m (Austin and Warner, 2010), TTS is
not expected to occur in any marine
mammal species that may occur in the
proposed drilling area since the source
level will not reach levels thought to
induce even mild TTS. While the source
level of the airgun is higher than the
190–dB threshold level, an animal
would have to be in very close
proximity to be exposed to such levels.
Additionally, the 180– and 190–dB radii
for the airgun are 0.8 mi (1.24 km) and
0.3 mi (524 m), respectively, from the
source. Because of the short duration
that the airguns will be used (no more
than 30–56 hours throughout the entire
open-water season) and mitigation and
monitoring measures described later in
this document, hearing impairment is
not anticipated.
PTS—When PTS occurs, there is
physical damage to the sound receptors
in the ear. In some cases, there can be
total or partial deafness, whereas in
other cases, the animal has an impaired
ability to hear sounds in specific
frequency ranges (Kryter, 1985).
There is no specific evidence that
exposure to underwater industrial
sound associated with oil exploration
can cause PTS in any marine mammal
(see Southall et al., 2007). However,
given the possibility that mammals
might incur TTS, there has been further
speculation about the possibility that
some individuals occurring very close to
such activities might incur PTS (e.g.,
Richardson et al., 1995, p. 372ff;
Gedamke et al., 2008). Single or
occasional occurrences of mild TTS are
not indicative of permanent auditory
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damage in terrestrial mammals.
Relationships between TTS and PTS
thresholds have not been studied in
marine mammals but are assumed to be
similar to those in humans and other
terrestrial mammals (Southall et al.,
2007; Le Prell, in press). PTS might
occur at a received sound level at least
several decibels above that inducing
mild TTS. Based on data from terrestrial
mammals, a precautionary assumption
is that the PTS threshold for impulse
sounds (such as airgun pulses as
received close to the source) is at least
6 dB higher than the TTS threshold on
a peak-pressure basis and probably
greater than 6 dB (Southall et al., 2007).
It is highly unlikely that marine
mammals could receive sounds strong
enough (and over a sufficient duration)
to cause PTS during the proposed
exploratory drilling program. As
mentioned previously in this document,
the source levels of the drillship are not
considered strong enough to cause even
slight TTS. Given the higher level of
sound necessary to cause PTS, it is even
less likely that PTS could occur. In fact,
based on the modeled source levels for
the drillship, the levels immediately
adjacent to the drillship may not be
sufficient to induce PTS, even if the
animals remain in the immediate
vicinity of the activity. The modeled
source level from the Discoverer
suggests that marine mammals located
immediately adjacent to a drillship
would likely not be exposed to received
sound levels of a magnitude strong
enough to induce PTS, even if the
animals remain in the immediate
vicinity of the proposed activity
location for a prolonged period of time.
Because the source levels do not reach
the threshold of 190 dB currently used
for pinnipeds and is at the 180 dB
threshold currently used for cetaceans,
it is highly unlikely that any type of
hearing impairment, temporary or
permanent, would occur as a result of
the exploration drilling activities.
Additionally, Southall et al. (2007)
proposed that the thresholds for injury
of marine mammals exposed to
‘‘discrete’’ noise events (either single or
multiple exposures over a 24-hr period)
are higher than the 180– and 190–dB re
1 mPa (rms) in-water threshold currently
used by NMFS. Table 1 in this
document summarizes the SPL and SEL
levels thought to cause auditory injury
to cetaceans and pinnipeds in-water.
For more information, please refer to
Southall et al. (2007).
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TABLE 1—PROPOSED INJURY CRITERIA FOR CETACEANS AND PINNIPEDS EXPOSED TO ‘‘DISCRETE’’ NOISE EVENTS
(EITHER SINGLE PULSES, MULTIPLE PULSES, OR NON-PULSES WITHIN A 24-HR PERIOD; SOUTHALL et al., 2007)
Single pulses
Multiple pulses
Non pulses
Low-frequency cetaceans
Sound pressure level .....................
Sound exposure level ....................
230 dB re 1 μPa (peak) (flat) .......
198 dB re 1 μPa2-s (Mlf) ..............
230 dB re 1 μPa (peak) (flat) .......
198 dB re 1 μPa2-s (Mlf) ..............
230 dB re 1 μPa (peak) (flat).
215 dB re 1 μPa2-s (Mlf).
Mid-frequency cetaceans
Sound pressure level .....................
Sound exposure level ....................
230 dB re 1 μPa (peak) (flat) .......
198 dB re 1 μPa2-s (Mlf) ..............
230 dB re 1 μPa (peak) (flat) .......
198 dB re 1 μPa2-s (Mlf) ..............
230 dB re 1 μPa (peak) (flat).
215 dB re 1 μPa2-s (Mlf).
High-frequency cetaceans
Sound pressure level .....................
Sound exposure level ....................
230 dB re 1 μPa (peak) (flat) .......
198 dB re 1 μPa2-s (Mlf) ..............
230 dB re 1 μPa (peak) (flat) .......
198 dB re 1 μPa2-s (Mlf) ..............
230 dB re 1 μPa (peak) (flat).
215 dB re 1 μPa2-s (Mlf).
Pinnipeds (in water)
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Sound pressure level .....................
Sound exposure level ....................
218 dB re 1 μPa (peak) (flat) .......
186 dB re 1 μPa2-s (Mpw) ............
Non-auditory Physiological Effects—
Non-auditory physiological effects or
injuries that theoretically might occur in
marine mammals exposed to strong
underwater sound include stress,
neurological effects, bubble formation,
and other types of organ or tissue
damage (Cox et al., 2006; Southall et al.,
2007). Studies examining any such
effects are limited. If any such effects do
occur, they probably would be limited
to unusual situations when animals
might be exposed at close range for
unusually long periods. It is doubtful
that any single marine mammal would
be exposed to strong sounds for
sufficiently long that significant
physiological stress would develop.
Classic stress responses begin when
an animal’s central nervous system
perceives a potential threat to its
homeostasis. That perception triggers
stress responses regardless of whether a
stimulus actually threatens the animal;
the mere perception of a threat is
sufficient to trigger a stress response
(Moberg, 2000; Sapolsky et al., 2005;
Seyle, 1950). Once an animal’s central
nervous system perceives a threat, it
mounts a biological response or defense
that consists of a combination of the
four general biological defense
responses: behavioral responses;
autonomic nervous system responses;
neuroendocrine responses; or immune
responses.
In the case of many stressors, an
animal’s first and most economical (in
terms of biotic costs) response is
behavioral avoidance of the potential
stressor or avoidance of continued
exposure to a stressor. An animal’s
second line of defense to stressors
involves the sympathetic part of the
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218 dB re 1 μPa (peak) (flat) .......
186 dB re 1 μPa2-s (Mpw) ............
autonomic nervous system and the
classical ‘‘fight or flight’’ response,
which includes the cardiovascular
system, the gastrointestinal system, the
exocrine glands, and the adrenal
medulla to produce changes in heart
rate, blood pressure, and gastrointestinal
activity that humans commonly
associate with ‘‘stress.’’ These responses
have a relatively short duration and may
or may not have significant long-term
effects on an animal’s welfare.
An animal’s third line of defense to
stressors involves its neuroendocrine or
sympathetic nervous systems; the
system that has received the most study
has been the hypothalmus-pituitaryadrenal system (also known as the HPA
axis in mammals or the hypothalamuspituitary-interrenal axis in fish and
some reptiles). Unlike stress responses
associated with the autonomic nervous
system, virtually all neuroendocrine
functions that are affected by stress—
including immune competence,
reproduction, metabolism, and
behavior—are regulated by pituitary
hormones. Stress-induced changes in
the secretion of pituitary hormones have
been implicated in failed reproduction
(Moberg, 1987; Rivier, 1995), altered
metabolism (Elasser et al., 2000),
reduced immune competence (Blecha,
2000), and behavioral disturbance.
Increases in the circulation of
glucocorticosteroids (cortisol,
corticosterone, and aldosterone in
marine mammals; see Romano et al.,
2004) have been equated with stress for
many years.
The primary distinction between
stress (which is adaptive and does not
normally place an animal at risk) and
distress is the biotic cost of the
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218 dB re 1 μPa (peak) (flat).
203 dB re 1 μPa2-s (Mpw).
response. During a stress response, an
animal uses glycogen stores that can be
quickly replenished once the stress is
alleviated. In such circumstances, the
cost of the stress response would not
pose a risk to the animal’s welfare.
However, when an animal does not have
sufficient energy reserves to satisfy the
energetic costs of a stress response,
energy resources must be diverted from
other biotic functions, which impair
those functions that experience the
diversion. For example, when mounting
a stress response diverts energy away
from growth in young animals, those
animals may experience stunted growth.
When mounting a stress response
diverts energy from a fetus, an animal’s
reproductive success and fitness will
suffer. In these cases, the animals will
have entered a pre-pathological or
pathological state which is called
‘‘distress’’ (sensu Seyle, 1950) or
‘‘allostatic loading’’ (sensu McEwen and
Wingfield, 2003). This pathological state
will last until the animal replenishes its
biotic reserves sufficient to restore
normal function. Note that these
examples involved a long-term (days or
weeks) stress response exposure to
stimuli.
Relationships between these
physiological mechanisms, animal
behavior, and the costs of stress
responses have also been documented
fairly well through controlled
experiment; because this physiology
exists in every vertebrate that has been
studied, it is not surprising that stress
responses and their costs have been
documented in both laboratory and freeliving animals (for examples see,
Holberton et al., 1996; Hood et al., 1998;
Jessop et al., 2003; Krausman et al.,
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Federal Register / Vol. 76, No. 217 / Wednesday, November 9, 2011 / Notices
2004; Lankford et al., 2005; Reneerkens
et al., 2002; Thompson and Hamer,
2000). Although no information has
been collected on the physiological
responses of marine mammals to
anthropogenic sound exposure, studies
of other marine animals and terrestrial
animals would lead us to expect some
marine mammals to experience
physiological stress responses and,
perhaps, physiological responses that
would be classified as ‘‘distress’’ upon
exposure to anthropogenic sounds.
For example, Jansen (1998) reported
on the relationship between acoustic
exposures and physiological responses
that are indicative of stress responses in
humans (e.g., elevated respiration and
increased heart rates). Jones (1998)
reported on reductions in human
performance when faced with acute,
repetitive exposures to acoustic
disturbance. Trimper et al. (1998)
reported on the physiological stress
responses of osprey to low-level aircraft
noise while Krausman et al. (2004)
reported on the auditory and physiology
stress responses of endangered Sonoran
pronghorn to military overflights. Smith
et al. (2004a, 2004b) identified noiseinduced physiological transient stress
responses in hearing-specialist fish (i.e.,
goldfish) that accompanied short- and
long-term hearing losses. Welch and
Welch (1970) reported physiological
and behavioral stress responses that
accompanied damage to the inner ears
of fish and several mammals.
Hearing is one of the primary senses
marine mammals use to gather
information about their environment
and communicate with conspecifics.
Although empirical information on the
relationship between sensory
impairment (TTS, PTS, and acoustic
masking) on marine mammals remains
limited, it seems reasonable to assume
that reducing an animal’s ability to
gather information about its
environment and to communicate with
other members of its species would be
stressful for animals that use hearing as
their primary sensory mechanism.
Therefore, we assume that acoustic
exposures sufficient to trigger onset PTS
or TTS would be accompanied by
physiological stress responses because
terrestrial animals exhibit those
responses under similar conditions
(NRC, 2003). More importantly, marine
mammals might experience stress
responses at received levels lower than
those necessary to trigger onset TTS.
Based on empirical studies of the time
required to recover from stress
responses (Moberg, 2000), NMFS also
assumes that stress responses could
persist beyond the time interval
required for animals to recover from
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TTS and might result in pathological
and pre-pathological states that would
be as significant as behavioral responses
to TTS. However, as stated previously in
this document, the source levels of the
drillships are not loud enough to induce
PTS or likely even TTS.
Resonance effects (Gentry, 2002) and
direct noise-induced bubble formations
(Crum et al., 2005) are implausible in
the case of exposure to an impulsive
broadband source like an airgun array.
If seismic surveys disrupt diving
patterns of deep-diving species, this
might result in bubble formation and a
form of the bends, as speculated to
occur in beaked whales exposed to
sonar. However, there is no specific
evidence of this upon exposure to
airgun pulses. Additionally, no beaked
whale species occur in the proposed
exploration drilling area.
In general, very little is known about
the potential for strong, anthropogenic
underwater sounds to cause nonauditory physical effects in marine
mammals. Such effects, if they occur at
all, would presumably be limited to
short distances and to activities that
extend over a prolonged period. The
available data do not allow
identification of a specific exposure
level above which non-auditory effects
can be expected (Southall et al., 2007)
or any meaningful quantitative
predictions of the numbers (if any) of
marine mammals that might be affected
in those ways. The low levels of
continuous sound that will be produced
by the drillship are not expected to
cause such effects. Additionally, marine
mammals that show behavioral
avoidance of the proposed activities,
including most baleen whales, some
odontocetes (including belugas), and
some pinnipeds, are especially unlikely
to incur auditory impairment or other
physical effects.
Stranding and Mortality
Marine mammals close to underwater
detonations of high explosives can be
killed or severely injured, and the
auditory organs are especially
susceptible to injury (Ketten et al., 1993;
Ketten, 1995). However, explosives are
no longer used for marine waters for
commercial seismic surveys; they have
been replaced entirely by airguns or
related non-explosive pulse generators.
Underwater sound from drilling,
support activities, and airgun arrays is
less energetic and has slower rise times,
and there is no proof that they can cause
serious injury, death, or stranding, even
in the case of large airgun arrays.
However, the association of mass
strandings of beaked whales with naval
exercises involving mid-frequency
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69975
active sonar, and, in one case, a LamontDoherty Earth Observatory (L–DEO)
seismic survey (Malakoff, 2002; Cox et
al., 2006), has raised the possibility that
beaked whales exposed to strong pulsed
sounds may be especially susceptible to
injury and/or behavioral reactions that
can lead to stranding (e.g., Hildebrand,
2005; Southall et al., 2007).
Specific sound-related processes that
lead to strandings and mortality are not
well documented, but may include:
(1) Swimming in avoidance of a
sound into shallow water;
(2) A change in behavior (such as a
change in diving behavior) that might
contribute to tissue damage, gas bubble
formation, hypoxia, cardiac arrhythmia,
hypertensive hemorrhage or other forms
of trauma;
(3) A physiological change, such as a
vestibular response leading to a
behavioral change or stress-induced
hemorrhagic diathesis, leading in turn
to tissue damage; and
(4) Tissue damage directly from sound
exposure, such as through acousticallymediated bubble formation and growth
or acoustic resonance of tissues.
Some of these mechanisms are
unlikely to apply in the case of impulse
sounds. However, there are indications
that gas-bubble disease (analogous to
‘‘the bends’’), induced in supersaturated
tissue by a behavioral response to
acoustic exposure, could be a pathologic
mechanism for the strandings and
mortality of some deep-diving cetaceans
exposed to sonar. However, the
evidence for this remains circumstantial
and is associated with exposure to naval
mid-frequency sonar, not seismic
surveys or exploratory drilling programs
(Cox et al., 2006; Southall et al., 2007).
Both seismic pulses and continuous
drillship sounds are quite different from
mid-frequency sonar signals, and some
mechanisms by which sonar sounds
have been hypothesized to affect beaked
whales are unlikely to apply to airgun
pulses or drillships. Sounds produced
by airgun arrays are broadband impulses
with most of the energy below 1 kHz,
and the low-energy continuous sounds
produced by drillships have most of the
energy between 20 and 1,000 Hz.
Additionally, the non-impulsive,
continuous sounds produced by the
drillship proposed to be used by Shell
do not have rapid rise times. Rise time
is the fluctuation in sound levels of the
source. The type of sound that would be
produced during the proposed drilling
program will be constant and will not
exhibit any sudden fluctuations or
changes. Typical military mid-frequency
sonar emits non-impulse sounds at
frequencies of 2–10 kHz, generally with
a relatively narrow bandwidth at any
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one time. A further difference between
them is that naval exercises can involve
sound sources on more than one vessel.
Thus, it is not appropriate to assume
that there is a direct connection between
the effects of military sonar and oil and
gas industry operations on marine
mammals. However, evidence that sonar
signals can, in special circumstances,
lead (at least indirectly) to physical
damage and mortality (e.g., Balcomb
and Claridge, 2001; NOAA and USN,
´
2001; Jepson et al., 2003; Fernandez et
al., 2004, 2005; Hildebrand, 2005; Cox
et al., 2006) suggests that caution is
warranted when dealing with exposure
of marine mammals to any highintensity ‘‘pulsed’’ sound.
There is no conclusive evidence of
cetacean strandings or deaths at sea as
a result of exposure to seismic surveys,
but a few cases of strandings in the
general area where a seismic survey was
ongoing have led to speculation
concerning a possible link between
seismic surveys and strandings.
Suggestions that there was a link
between seismic surveys and strandings
of humpback whales in Brazil (Engel et
al., 2004) were not well founded (IAGC,
2004; IWC, 2007). In September 2002,
there was a stranding of two Cuvier’s
beaked whales in the Gulf of California,
Mexico, when the L–DEO vessel R/V
Maurice Ewing was operating a 20
airgun (8,490 in3) array in the general
area. The link between the stranding
and the seismic surveys was
inconclusive and not based on any
physical evidence (Hogarth, 2002;
Yoder, 2002). Nonetheless, the Gulf of
California incident, plus the beaked
whale strandings near naval exercises
involving use of mid-frequency sonar,
suggests a need for caution in
conducting seismic surveys in areas
occupied by beaked whales until more
is known about effects of seismic
surveys on those species (Hildebrand,
2005). No injuries of beaked whales are
anticipated during the proposed
exploratory drilling program because
none occur in the proposed area.
Exploratory Drilling Program and
Potential for Oil Spill
As noted above, the specified activity
involves the drilling of exploratory
wells and associated activities in the
Chukchi Sea during the 2012 openwater season. The impacts to marine
mammals that are reasonably expected
to occur will be acoustic in nature. In
response to previous IHA applications
submitted by Shell, various entities
have asserted that NMFS cannot
authorize the take of marine mammals
incidental to exploratory drilling under
an IHA. Instead, they contend that
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incidental take can be allowed only
with a letter of authorization (LOA)
issued under five-year regulations
because of the potential that an oil spill
will cause serious injury or mortality.
There are two avenues for authorizing
incidental take of marine mammals
under the MMPA. NMFS may,
depending on the nature of the
anticipated take, authorize the take of
marine mammals incidental to a
specified activity through regulations
and LOAs or annual IHAs. See 16 U.S.C.
1371(a)(5)(A) and (D). In general,
regulations (accompanied by LOAs) may
be issued for any type of take (e.g., Level
B harassment (behavioral disturbance),
Level A harassment (injury), serious
injury, or mortality), whereas IHAs are
limited to activities that result only in
harassment (e.g., behavioral disturbance
or injury). Following the 1994 MMPA
Amendments, NMFS promulgated
implementing regulations governing the
issuance of IHAs in Arctic waters. See
60 FR 28379 (May 31, 1995) and 61 FR
15884 (April 10, 1996). NMFS stated in
the preamble of the proposed
rulemaking that the scope of IHAs
would be limited to ‘‘* * * those
authorizations for harassment involving
incidental harassment that may involve
non-serious injury.’’ See 60 FR 28380
(May 31, 1995; emphasis added); 50
CFR 216.107(a). (‘‘[e]xcept for activities
that have the potential to result in
serious injury or mortality, which must
be authorized under 216.105, incidental
harassment authorizations may be
issued, * * * to allowed activities that
may result in only the incidental
harassment of a small number of marine
mammals.’’) NMFS explained further
that applications would be reviewed to
determine whether the activity would
result in more than harassment, and, if
so, the agency would either (1) attempt
to negate the potential for serious injury
through mitigation requirements, or (2)
deny the incidental harassment
authorization and require the applicant
to apply for incidental take regulations.
See id. at 28380–81.
NMFS’ determination of whether the
type of incidental take authorization
requested is appropriate occurs shortly
after the applicant submits an
application for an incidental take
authorization. The agency evaluates the
proposed action and all information
contained in the application to
determine whether it is adequate and
complete and whether the type of taking
requested is appropriate. See 50 CFR
216.104; see also 60 FR 28380 (May 31,
1995). Among other things, NMFS
considers the specific activity or class of
activities that can reasonably be
expected to result in incidental take; the
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type of incidental take authorization
that is being requested; and the
anticipated impact of the activity upon
the species or stock and its habitat. See
id. at 216.104(a) (emphasis added). Any
application that is determined to be
incomplete or inappropriate for the type
of taking requested will be returned to
the applicant with an explanation of
why the application is being returned.
See id. Finally, NMFS evaluates the best
available science to determine whether
a proposed activity is reasonably
expected or likely to result in serious
injury or mortality.
NMFS evaluated Shell’s incidental
take application for its proposed 2012
drilling activities in light of the
foregoing criteria and has concluded
that Shell’s request for an IHA is
warranted. Shell submitted information
with its IHA Application indicating that
an oil spill is a highly unlikely event
that is not reasonably expected to occur
during the course of exploration drilling
or ZVSP surveys. See Chukchi Sea IHA
Application, p. 3 and Attachment E—
Analysis of the Probability of an
‘‘Unspecified Activity’’ and Its Impacts:
Oil Spill. In addition, Shell’s 2012
Exploration Plan indicates there is a
‘‘very low likelihood of a large oil spill
event.’’ See Shell Offshore, Inc.’s
Revised Outer Continental Shelf Lease
Exploration Plan, Chukchi Sea, Alaska
(May 2011), at p. 8–1; see also,
Appendix F to Shell’s Revised Outer
Continental Shelf Lease Exploration
Plan, at p. 4–174.
The likelihood of a large or very large
(i.e., ≥1,000 barrels or ≥150,000 barrels,
respectively) oil spill occurring during
Shell’s proposed program has been
estimated to be low. A total of 35
exploration wells have been drilled
between 1982 and 2003 in the Chukchi
and Beaufort seas, and there have been
no blowouts. In addition, no blowouts
have occurred from the approximately
98 exploration wells drilled within the
Alaskan OCS (MMS, 2007a).
Attachment E in Shell’s IHA
Application contains information
regarding the probability of an oil spill
occurring during the proposed program
and the potential impacts should one
occur. Based on modeling conducted by
Bercha (2008), the predicted frequency
of an exploration well oil spill in waters
similar to those in the Chukchi Sea,
Alaska, is 0.000612 per well for a
blowout sized between 10,000 barrels
(bbl) to 149,000 bbl and 0.000354 per
well for a blowout greater than 150,000
bbl. Please refer to Shell’s application
for additional information on the model
and predicted frequencies (see
ADDRESSES).
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Shell has implemented several design
standards and practices to reduce the
already low probability of an oil spill
occurring as part of its operations. The
wells proposed to be drilled in the
Arctic are exploratory and will not be
converted to production wells; thus,
production casing will not be installed,
and the well will be permanently
plugged and abandoned once
exploration drilling is complete. Shell
has also developed and will implement
the following plans and protocols:
Shell’s Critical Operations Curtailment
Plan; IMP; Well Control Plan; and Fuel
Transfer Plan. Many of these safety
measures are required by the
Department of the Interior’s interim
final rule implementing certain
measures to improve the safety of oil
and gas exploration and development
on the Outer Continental Shelf in light
of the Deepwater Horizon event (see 75
FR 63346, October 14, 2010).
Operationally, Shell has committed to
the following to help prevent an oil spill
from occurring in the Chukchi Sea:
• Shell’s Blow Out Preventer (BOP)
was inspected and tested by an
independent third party specialist;
• Further inspection and testing of
the BOP have been performed to ensure
the reliability of the BOP and that all
functions will be performed as
necessary, including shearing the drill
pipe;
• Subsea BOP hydrostatic tests will
be increased from once every 14 days to
once every 7 days;
• A second set of blind/shear rams
will be installed in the BOP stack;
• Full string casings will typically not
be installed through high pressure
zones;
• Liners will be installed and
cemented, which allows for installation
of a liner top packer;
• Testing of liners prior to installing
a tieback string of casing back to the
wellhead;
• Utilizing a two-barrier policy; and
• Testing of all casing hangers to
ensure that they have two independent,
validated barriers at all times.
NMFS has considered Shell’s
proposed action and has concluded that
there is no reasonable likelihood of
serious injury or mortality from the
2012 Chukchi Sea exploration drilling
program. NMFS has consistently
interpreted the term ‘‘potential,’’ as used
in 50 CFR 216.107(a), to only include
impacts that have more than a
discountable probability of occurring,
that is, impacts must be reasonably
expected to occur. Hence, NMFS has
regularly issued IHAs in cases where it
found that the potential for serious
injury or mortality was ‘‘highly
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unlikely’’ (See 73 FR 40512, 40514, July
15, 2008; 73 FR 45969, 45971, August 7,
2008; 73 FR 46774, 46778, August 11,
2008; 73 FR 66106, 66109, November 6,
2008; 74 FR 55368, 55371, October 27,
2009).
Interpreting ‘‘potential’’ to include
impacts with any probability of
occurring (i.e., speculative or extremely
low probability events) would nearly
preclude the issuance of IHAs in every
instance. For example, NMFS would be
unable to issue an IHA whenever
vessels were involved in the marine
activity since there is always some,
albeit remote, possibility that a vessel
could strike and seriously injure or kill
a marine mammal. This would also be
inconsistent with the dual-permitting
scheme Congress created and
undesirable from a policy perspective,
as limited agency resources would be
used to issue regulations that provide no
additional benefit to marine mammals
beyond what is proposed in this IHA.
Despite concluding that the risk of
serious injury or mortality from an oil
spill in this case is extremely remote,
NMFS has nonetheless evaluated the
potential effects of an oil spill on marine
mammals. While an oil spill is not a
component of Shell’s specified activity,
potential impacts on marine mammals
from an oil spill are discussed in more
detail below and will be addressed
further in the Environmental
Assessment.
Potential Effects of Oil on Cetaceans
The specific effects an oil spill would
have on cetaceans are not well known.
While mortality is unlikely, exposure to
spilled oil could lead to skin irritation,
baleen fouling (which might reduce
feeding efficiency), respiratory distress
from inhalation of hydrocarbon vapors,
consumption of some contaminated
prey items, and temporary displacement
from contaminated feeding areas. Geraci
and St. Aubin (1990) summarize effects
of oil on marine mammals, and Bratton
et al. (1993) provides a synthesis of
knowledge of oil effects on bowhead
whales. The number of cetaceans that
might be contacted by a spill would
depend on the size, timing, and
duration of the spill and where the oil
is in relation to the animals. Whales
may not avoid oil spills, and some have
been observed feeding within oil slicks
(Goodale et al., 1981). These topics are
discussed in more detail next.
In the case of an oil spill occurring
during migration periods, disturbance of
the migrating cetaceans from cleanup
activities may have more of an impact
than the oil itself. Human activity
associated with cleanup efforts could
deflect whales away from the path of the
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oil. However, noise created from
cleanup activities likely will be short
term and localized. In fact, whale
avoidance of clean-up activities may
benefit whales by displacing them from
the oil spill area.
There is no direct evidence that oil
spills, including the much studied Santa
Barbara Channel and Exxon Valdez
spills, have caused any deaths of
cetaceans (Geraci, 1990; Brownell, 1971;
Harvey and Dahlheim, 1994). It is
suspected that some individually
identified killer whales that disappeared
from Prince William Sound during the
time of the Exxon Valdez spill were
casualties of that spill. However, no
clear cause and effect relationship
between the spill and the disappearance
could be established (Dahlheim and
Matkin, 1994). The AT–1 pod of
transient killer whales that sometimes
inhabits Prince William Sound has
continued to decline after the Exxon
Valdez oil spill (EVOS). Matkin et al.
(2008) tracked the AB resident pod and
the AT–1 transient group of killer
whales from 1984 to 2005. The results
of their photographic surveillance
indicate a much higher than usual
mortality rate for both populations the
year following the spill (33% for AB
Pod and 41% for AT–1 Group) and
lower than average rates of increase in
the 16 years after the spill (annual
increase of about 1.6% for AB Pod
compared to an annual increase of about
3.2% for other Alaska killer whale
pods). In killer whale pods, mortality
rates are usually higher for nonreproductive animals and very low for
reproductive animals and adolescents
(Olesiuk et al., 1990, 2005; Matkin et al.,
2005). No effects on humpback whales
in Prince William Sound were evident
after the EVOS (von Ziegesar et al.,
1994). There was some temporary
displacement of humpback whales out
of Prince William Sound, but this could
have been caused by oil contamination,
boat and aircraft disturbance,
displacement of food sources, or other
causes.
Migrating gray whales were
apparently not greatly affected by the
Santa Barbara spill of 1969. There
appeared to be no relationship between
the spill and mortality of marine
mammals. The higher than usual counts
of dead marine mammals recorded after
the spill represented increased survey
effort and therefore cannot be
conclusively linked to the spill itself
(Brownell, 1971; Geraci, 1990). The
conclusion was that whales were either
able to detect the oil and avoid it or
were unaffected by it (Geraci, 1990).
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(1) Oiling of External Surfaces
(2) Ingestion
Whales rely on a layer of blubber for
insulation, so oil would have little if
any effect on thermoregulation by
whales. Effects of oiling on cetacean
skin appear to be minor and of little
significance to the animal’s health
(Geraci, 1990). Histological data and
ultrastructural studies by Geraci and St.
Aubin (1990) showed that exposures of
skin to crude oil for up to 45 minutes
in four species of toothed whales had no
effect. They switched to gasoline and
applied the sponge up to 75 minutes.
This produced transient damage to
epidermal cells in whales. Subtle
changes were evident only at the cell
level. In each case, the skin damage
healed within a week. They concluded
that a cetacean’s skin is an effective
barrier to the noxious substances in
petroleum. These substances normally
damage skin by getting between cells
and dissolving protective lipids. In
cetacean skin, however, tight
intercellular bridges, vital surface cells,
and the extraordinary thickness of the
epidermis impeded the damage. The
authors could not detect a change in
lipid concentration between and within
cells after exposing skin from a whitesided dolphin to gasoline for 16 hours
in vitro.
Bratton et al. (1993) synthesized
studies on the potential effects of
contaminants on bowhead whales. They
concluded that no published data
proved oil fouling of the skin of any
free-living whales, and conclude that
bowhead whales contacting fresh or
weathered petroleum are unlikely to
suffer harm. Although oil is unlikely to
adhere to smooth skin, it may stick to
rough areas on the surface (Henk and
Mullan, 1997). Haldiman et al. (1985)
found the epidermal layer to be as much
as seven to eight times thicker than that
found on most whales. They also found
that little or no crude oil adhered to
preserved bowhead skin that was
dipped into oil up to three times, as
long as a water film stayed on the skin’s
surface. Oil adhered in small patches to
the surface and vibrissae (stiff, hairlike
structures), once it made enough contact
with the skin. The amount of oil
sticking to the surrounding skin and
epidermal depression appeared to be in
proportion to the number of exposures
and the roughness of the skin’s surface.
It can be assumed that if oil contacted
the eyes, effects would be similar to
those observed in ringed seals;
continued exposure of the eyes to oil
could cause permanent damage (St.
Aubin, 1990).
Whales could ingest oil if their food
is contaminated, or oil could also be
absorbed through the respiratory tract.
Some of the ingested oil is voided in
vomit or feces but some is absorbed and
could cause toxic effects (Geraci, 1990).
When returned to clean water,
contaminated animals can depurate this
internal oil (Engelhardt, 1978, 1982). Oil
ingestion can decrease food assimilation
of prey eaten (St. Aubin, 1988).
Cetaceans may swallow some oilcontaminated prey, but it likely would
be only a small part of their food. It is
not known if whales would leave a
feeding area where prey was abundant
following a spill. Some zooplankton
eaten by bowheads and gray whales
consume oil particles and
bioaccumulation can result. Tissue
studies by Geraci and St. Aubin (1990)
revealed low levels of naphthalene in
the livers and blubber of baleen whales.
This result suggests that prey have low
concentrations in their tissues, or that
baleen whales may be able to metabolize
and excrete certain petroleum
hydrocarbons. Whales exposed to an oil
spill are unlikely to ingest enough oil to
cause serious internal damage (Geraci
and St. Aubin, 1980, 1982) and this kind
of damage has not been reported
(Geraci, 1990).
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(3) Fouling of Baleen
Baleen itself is not damaged by
exposure to oil and is resistant to effects
of oil (St. Aubin et al., 1984). Crude oil
could coat the baleen and reduce
filtration efficiency; however, effects
may be temporary (Braithwaite, 1983;
St. Aubin et al., 1984). If baleen is
coated in oil for long periods, it could
cause the animal to be unable to feed,
which could lead to malnutrition or
even death. Most of the oil that would
coat the baleen is removed after 30 min,
and less than 5% would remain after 24
hr (Bratton et al., 1993). Effects of oiling
of the baleen on feeding efficiency
appear to be minor (Geraci, 1990).
However, a study conducted by
Lambertsen et al. (2005) concluded that
their results highlight the uncertainty
about how rapidly oil would depurate at
the near zero temperatures in arctic
waters and whether baleen function
would be restored after oiling.
(4) Avoidance
Some cetaceans can detect oil and
sometimes avoid it, but others enter and
swim through slicks without apparent
effects (Geraci, 1990; Harvey and
Dahlheim, 1994). Bottlenose dolphins in
the Gulf of Mexico apparently could
detect and avoid slicks and mousse but
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did not avoid light sheens on the surface
(Smultea and Wursig, 1995). After the
Regal Sword spill in 1979, various
species of baleen and toothed whales
were observed swimming and feeding in
areas containing spilled oil southeast of
Cape Cod, MA (Goodale et al., 1981).
For months following EVOS, there were
numerous observations of gray whales,
harbor porpoises, Dall’s porpoises, and
killer whales swimming through lightto-heavy crude-oil sheens (Harvey and
Dalheim, 1994, cited in Matkin et al.,
2008). However, if some of the animals
avoid the area because of the oil, then
the effects of the oiling would be less
severe on those individuals.
(5) Factors Affecting the Severity of
Effects
Effects of oil on cetaceans in open
water are likely to be minimal, but there
could be effects on cetaceans where
both the oil and the whales are at least
partly confined in leads or at ice edges
(Geraci, 1990). In spring, bowhead and
beluga whales migrate through leads in
the ice. At this time, the migration can
be concentrated in narrow corridors
defined by the leads, thereby creating a
greater risk to animals caught in the
spring lead system should oil enter the
leads. This situation would only occur
if there were an oil spill late in the
season and Shell could not complete
cleanup efforts prior to ice covering the
area. The oil would likely then be
trapped in the ice until it began to thaw
in the spring.
In fall, the migration route of
bowheads can be close to shore
(Blackwell et al., 2009c). If fall migrants
were moving through leads in the pack
ice or were concentrated in nearshore
waters, some bowhead whales might not
be able to avoid oil slicks and could be
subject to prolonged contamination.
However, the autumn migration through
the Chukchi Sea extends over several
weeks, and some of the whales travel
along routes north or inland of the area,
thereby reducing the number of whales
that could approach patches of spilled
oil. Additionally, vessel activity
associated with spill cleanup efforts
may deflect whales traveling near the
Burger prospect in the Chukchi Sea,
thereby reducing the likelihood of
contact with spilled oil.
Bowhead and beluga whales
overwinter in the Bering Sea (mainly
from November to March). In the
summer, the majority of the bowhead
whales are found in the Canadian
Beaufort Sea, although some have
recently been observed in the U.S.
Beaufort and Chukchi Seas during the
summer months (June to August). Data
from the Barrow-based boat surveys in
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2009 (George and Sheffield, 2009)
showed that bowheads were observed
almost continuously in the waters near
Barrow, including feeding groups in the
Chukchi Sea at the beginning of July.
The majority of belugas in the Beaufort
stock migrate into the Beaufort Sea in
April or May, although some whales
may pass Point Barrow as early as late
March and as late as July (Braham et al.,
1984; Ljungblad et al., 1984; Richardson
et al., 1995a). Therefore, a spill in
summer would not be expected to have
major impacts on these species.
Additionally, humpback and fin whales
are only sighted in the Chukchi Sea in
small numbers in the summer, as this is
thought to be the extreme northern edge
of their range. Therefore, impacts to
these species from an oil spill would be
extremely limited.
jlentini on DSK4TPTVN1PROD with NOTICES2
Potential Effects of Oil on Pinnipeds
Ice seals are present in open-water
areas during summer and early autumn.
Externally oiled phocid seals often
survive and become clean, but heavily
oiled seal pups and adults may die,
depending on the extent of oiling and
characteristics of the oil. Prolonged
exposure could occur if fuel or crude oil
was spilled in or reached nearshore
waters, was spilled in a lead used by
seals, or was spilled under the ice when
seals have limited mobility (NMFS,
2000). Adult seals may suffer some
temporary adverse effects, such as eye
and skin irritation, with possible
infection (MMS, 1996). Such effects may
increase stress, which could contribute
to the death of some individuals. Ringed
seals may ingest oil-contaminated foods,
but there is little evidence that oiled
seals will ingest enough oil to cause
lethal internal effects. There is a
likelihood that newborn seal pups, if
contacted by oil, would die from oiling
through loss of insulation and resulting
hypothermia. These potential effects are
addressed in more detail in subsequent
paragraphs.
Reports of the effects of oil spills have
shown that some mortality of seals may
have occurred as a result of oil fouling;
however, large scale mortality had not
been observed prior to the EVOS (St.
Aubin, 1990). Effects of oil on marine
mammals were not well studied at most
spills because of lack of baseline data
and/or the brevity of the post-spill
surveys. The largest documented impact
of a spill, prior to EVOS, was on young
seals in January in the Gulf of St.
Lawrence (St. Aubin, 1990). Brownell
and Le Boeuf (1971) found no marked
effects of oil from the Santa Barbara oil
spill on California sea lions or on the
mortality rates of newborn pups.
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Intensive and long-term studies were
conducted after the EVOS in Alaska.
There may have been a long-term
decline of 36% in numbers of molting
harbor seals at oiled haul-out sites in
Prince William Sound following EVOS
(Frost et al., 1994a). However, in a
reanalysis of those data and additional
years of surveys, along with an
examination of assumptions and biases
associated with the original data,
Hoover-Miller et al. (2001) concluded
that the EVOS effect had been
overestimated. The decline in
attendance at some oiled sites was more
likely a continuation of the general
decline in harbor seal abundance in
Prince William Sound documented
since 1984 (Frost et al., 1999) rather
than a result of EVOS. The results from
Hoover-Miller et al. (2001) indicate that
the effects of EVOS were largely
indistinguishable from natural decline
by 1992. However, while Frost et al.
(2004) concluded that there was no
evidence that seals were displaced from
oiled sites, they did find that aerial
counts indicated 26% fewer pups were
produced at oiled locations in 1989 than
would have been expected without the
oil spill. Harbor seal pup mortality at
oiled beaches was 23% to 26%, which
may have been higher than natural
mortality, although no baseline data for
pup mortality existed prior to EVOS
(Frost et al., 1994a). There was no
conclusive evidence of spill effects on
Steller sea lions (Calkins et al., 1994).
Oil did not persist on sea lions
themselves (as it did on harbor seals),
nor did it persist on sea lion haul-out
sites and rookeries (Calkins et al., 1994).
Sea lion rookeries and haul out sites,
unlike those used by harbor seals, have
steep sides and are subject to high wave
energy (Calkins et al., 1994).
(1) Oiling of External Surfaces
Adult seals rely on a layer of blubber
for insulation, and oiling of the external
surface does not appear to have adverse
thermoregulatory effects (Kooyman et
al., 1976, 1977; St. Aubin, 1990).
Contact with oil on the external surfaces
can potentially cause increased stress
and irritation of the eyes of ringed seals
(Geraci and Smith, 1976; St. Aubin,
1990). These effects seemed to be
temporary and reversible, but continued
exposure of eyes to oil could cause
permanent damage (St. Aubin, 1990).
Corneal ulcers and abrasions,
conjunctivitis, and swollen nictitating
membranes were observed in captive
ringed seals placed in crude oil-covered
water (Geraci and Smith, 1976) and in
seals in the Antarctic after an oil spill
(Lillie, 1954).
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69979
Newborn seal pups rely on their fur
for insulation. Newborn ringed seal
pups in lairs on the ice could be
contaminated through contact with
oiled mothers. There is the potential
that newborn ringed seal pups that were
contaminated with oil could die from
hypothermia.
(2) Ingestion
Marine mammals can ingest oil if
their food is contaminated. Oil can also
be absorbed through the respiratory tract
(Geraci and Smith, 1976; Engelhardt et
al., 1977). Some of the ingested oil is
voided in vomit or feces but some is
absorbed and could cause toxic effects
(Engelhardt, 1981). When returned to
clean water, contaminated animals can
depurate this internal oil (Engelhardt,
1978, 1982, 1985). In addition, seals
exposed to an oil spill are unlikely to
ingest enough oil to cause serious
internal damage (Geraci and St. Aubin,
1980, 1982).
(3) Avoidance and Behavioral Effects
Although seals may have the
capability to detect and avoid oil, they
apparently do so only to a limited extent
(St. Aubin, 1990). Seals may abandon
the area of an oil spill because of human
disturbance associated with cleanup
efforts, but they are most likely to
remain in the area of the spill. One
notable behavioral reaction to oiling is
that oiled seals are reluctant to enter the
water, even when intense cleanup
activities are conducted nearby (St.
Aubin, 1990; Frost et al., 1994b, 2004).
(4) Factors Affecting the Severity of
Effects
Seals that are under natural stress,
such as lack of food or a heavy
infestation by parasites, could
potentially die because of the additional
stress of oiling (Geraci and Smith, 1976;
St. Aubin, 1990; Spraker et al., 1994).
Female seals that are nursing young
would be under natural stress, as would
molting seals. In both cases, the seals
would have reduced food stores and
may be less resistant to effects of oil
than seals that are not under some type
of natural stress. Seals that are not
under natural stress (e.g., fasting,
molting) would be more likely to
survive oiling.
In general, seals do not exhibit large
behavioral or physiological reactions to
limited surface oiling or incidental
exposure to contaminated food or
vapors (St. Aubin, 1990; Williams et al.,
1994). Effects could be severe if seals
surface in heavy oil slicks in leads or if
oil accumulates near haul-out sites (St.
Aubin, 1990). An oil spill in open-water
is less likely to impact seals.
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The potential effects to marine
mammals described in this section of
the document do not take into
consideration the proposed monitoring
and mitigation measures described later
in this document (see the ‘‘Proposed
Mitigation’’ and ‘‘Proposed Monitoring
and Reporting’’ sections).
jlentini on DSK4TPTVN1PROD with NOTICES2
Anticipated Effects on Marine Mammal
Habitat
The primary potential impacts to
marine mammals and other marine
species are associated with elevated
sound levels produced by the
exploratory drilling program (i.e. the
drillship and the airguns). However,
other potential impacts are also possible
to the surrounding habitat from physical
disturbance and an oil spill (should one
occur). This section describes the
potential impacts to marine mammal
habitat from the specified activity.
Because the marine mammals in the
area feed on fish and/or invertebrates
there is also information on the species
typically preyed upon by the marine
mammals in the area.
Common Marine Mammal Prey in the
Area
All of the marine mammal species
that may occur in the proposed project
area prey on either marine fish or
invertebrates. The ringed seal feeds on
fish and a variety of benthic species,
including crabs and shrimp. Bearded
seals feed mainly on benthic organisms,
primarily crabs, shrimp, and clams.
Spotted seals feed on pelagic and
demersal fish, as well as shrimp and
cephalopods. They are known to feed on
a variety of fish including herring,
capelin, sand lance, Arctic cod, saffron
cod, and sculpins. Ribbon seals feed
primarily on pelagic fish and
invertebrates, such as shrimp, crabs,
squid, octopus, cod, sculpin, pollack,
and capelin. Juveniles feed mostly on
krill and shrimp.
Bowhead whales feed in the eastern
Beaufort Sea during summer and early
autumn but continue feeding to varying
degrees while on their migration
through the central and western
Beaufort Sea in the late summer and fall
(Richardson and Thomson [eds.], 2002).
Aerial surveys in recent years have
sighted bowhead whales feeding in
Camden Bay on their westward
migration through the Beaufort Sea.
When feeding in relatively shallow
areas, bowheads feed throughout the
water column. However, feeding is
concentrated at depths where
zooplankton is concentrated (Wursig et
al., 1984, 1989; Richardson [ed.], 1987;
Griffiths et al., 2002). Lowry and
Sheffield (2002) found that copepods
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and euphausiids were the most common
prey found in stomach samples from
bowhead whales harvested in the
Kaktovik area from 1979 to 2000. Areas
to the east of Barter Island in the
Beaufort Sea appear to be used regularly
for feeding as bowhead whales migrate
slowly westward across the Beaufort Sea
(Thomson and Richardson, 1987;
Richardson and Thomson [eds.], 2002).
However, in some years, sizable groups
of bowhead whales have been seen
feeding as far west as the waters just east
of Point Barrow (which is more than 150
mi [241 km] east of Shell’s proposed
drill sites in the Chukchi Sea) near the
Plover Islands (Braham et al., 1984;
Ljungblad et al., 1985; Landino et al.,
1994). The situation in September–
October 1997 was unusual in that
bowheads fed widely across the Alaskan
Beaufort Sea, including higher numbers
in the area east of Barrow than reported
in any previous year (S. Treacy and D.
Hansen, MMS, pers. comm.). However,
by the time most bowhead whales reach
the Chukchi Sea (October), they will
likely no longer be feeding, or if it
occurs it will be very limited. The
location near Point Barrow is currently
under intensive study as part of the
BOWFEST program (BOWFEST, 2011).
Beluga whales feed on a variety of
fish, shrimp, squid, and octopus (Burns
and Seaman, 1985). Like several of the
other species in the area, harbor
porpoise feed on demersal and benthic
species, mainly schooling fish and
cephalopods. Killer whales from
resident stocks primarily feed on
salmon while killer whales from
transient stocks feed on other marine
mammals, such as harbor seals, harbor
porpoises, gray whale calves and other
pinniped and cetacean species.
Gray whales are primarily bottom
feeders, and benthic amphipods and
isopods form the majority of their
summer diet, at least in the main
summering areas west of Alaska (Oliver
et al., 1983; Oliver and Slattery, 1985).
Farther south, gray whales have also
been observed feeding around kelp
beds, presumably on mysid crustaceans,
and on pelagic prey such as small
schooling fish and crab larvae (Hatler
and Darling, 1974). The northeasternmost of the recurring feeding areas for
gray whales is in the northeastern
Chukchi Sea southwest of Barrow
(Clarke et al., 1989).
Three other baleen whale species may
occur in the proposed project area,
although likely in very small numbers:
Minke, humpback, and fin whales.
Minke whales opportunistically feed on
crustaceans (e.g., krill), plankton (e.g.,
copepods), and small schooling fish
(e.g., anchovies, dogfish, capelin, coal
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fish, cod, eels, herring, mackerel,
salmon, sand lance, saury, and wolfish)
(Reeves et al., 2002). Fin whales tend to
feed in northern latitudes in the summer
months on plankton and shoaling
pelagic fish (Jonsgard, 1966a,b). Like
many of the other species in the area,
humpback whales primarily feed on
euphausiids, copepods, and small
schooling fish (e.g., herring, capelin,
and sand lance) (Reeves et al., 2002).
However, the primary feeding grounds
for these species do not occur in the
northern Chukchi Sea.
Two kinds of fish inhabit marine
waters in the study area: (1) True marine
fish that spend all of their lives in salt
water, and (2) anadromous species that
reproduce in fresh water and spend
parts of their life cycles in salt water.
Most arctic marine fish species are
small, benthic forms that do not feed
high in the water column. The majority
of these species are circumpolar and are
found in habitats ranging from deep
offshore water to water as shallow as
16.4–33 ft (5–10 m; Fechhelm et al.,
1995). The most important pelagic
species, and the only abundant pelagic
species, is the Arctic cod. The Arctic
cod is a major vector for the transfer of
energy from lower to higher trophic
levels (Bradstreet et al., 1986). In
summer, Arctic cod can form very large
schools in both nearshore and offshore
waters (Craig et al., 1982; Bradstreet et
al., 1986). Locations and areas
frequented by large schools of Arctic
cod cannot be predicted but can be
almost anywhere. The Arctic cod is a
major food source for beluga whales,
ringed seals, and numerous species of
seabirds (Frost and Lowry, 1984;
Bradstreet et al., 1986).
Anadromous Dolly Varden char and
some species of whitefish winter in
rivers and lakes, migrate to the sea in
spring and summer, and return to fresh
water in autumn. Anadromous fish form
the basis of subsistence, commercial,
and small regional sport fisheries. Dolly
Varden char migrate to the sea from May
through mid-June (Johnson, 1980) and
spend about 1.5–2.5 months there
(Craig, 1989). They return to rivers
beginning in late July or early August
with the peak return migration
occurring between mid-August and
early September (Johnson, 1980). At sea,
most anadromous corregonids
(whitefish) remain in nearshore waters
within several kilometers of shore
(Craig, 1984, 1989). They are often
termed ‘‘amphidromous’’ fish in that
they make repeated annual migrations
into marine waters to feed, returning
each fall to overwinter in fresh water.
Benthic organisms are defined as
bottom dwelling creatures. Infaunal
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organisms are benthic organisms that
live within the substrate and are often
sedentary or sessile (bivalves,
polychaetes). Epibenthic organisms live
on or near the bottom surface sediments
and are mobile (amphipods, isopods,
mysids, and some polychaetes). The
northeastern Chukchi Sea supports a
higher biomass of benthic organisms
than do surrounding areas (Grebmeier
and Dunton, 2000). Some benthicfeeding marine mammals, such as
walruses and gray whales, take
advantage of the abundant food
resources and congregate in these highly
productive areas. Harold and Hanna
Shoals are two known highly productive
areas in the Chukchi Sea rich with
benthic animals.
Many of the nearshore benthic marine
invertebrates of the Arctic are
circumpolar and are found over a wide
range of water depths (Carey et al.,
1975). Species identified include
polychaetes (Spio filicornis, Chaetozone
setosa, Eteone longa), bivalves
(Cryrtodaria kurriana, Nucula tenuis,
Liocyma fluctuosa), an isopod (Saduria
entomon), and amphipods (Pontoporeia
femorata, P. affinis). Additionally, kelp
beds occur in at least two areas in the
nearshore areas of the Chukchi Sea
(Mohr et al., 1957; Phillips et al., 1982;
Phillips and Reiss, 1985), but they are
located within about 15.5 mi (25 km) of
the coast, which is much closer
nearshore than Shell’s proposed
activities.
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Potential Impacts From Seafloor
Disturbance on Marine Mammal Habitat
There is a possibility of some seafloor
disturbance or temporary increased
turbidity in the seabed sediments during
anchoring and excavation of the
mudline cellars (MLCs). The amount
and duration of disturbed or turbid
conditions will depend on sediment
material and consolidation of specific
activity.
The Discoverer would be stabilized
and held in place with a system of eight
15,400 lb (7,000 kg) Stevpris anchors
during operations. The anchors from the
Discoverer are designed to embed into
the seafloor. Prior to setting, the anchors
will penetrate the seafloor and drag two
or three times their length. Both the
anchor and anchor chain will disturb
sediments and create an ‘‘anchor scar,’’
which is a depression in the seafloor
caused by the anchor embedding. The
anchor scar is a depression with ridges
of displaced sediment, and the area of
disturbance will often be greater than
the size of the anchor itself because the
anchor is dragged along the seafloor
until it takes hold and sets.
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Each Stevpris anchor may impact an
area of 2,027 ft2 (188 m2) of the seafloor,
including the scar made when the
anchor chain is dragged across the
seafloor. Minimum impact estimates
from each well or mooring the
Discoverer by its eight anchors is 16,216
ft2 (1,507 m2) of seafloor. This estimate
assumes that the anchors are set only
once. Shell plans to pre-set anchors at
each drill site. Unless moved by an
outside force such as sea current,
anchors should only need to be set once
per drill site. (Shell proposes to drill at
three sites and potentially a fourth site
in the Chukchi Sea during the 2012
open-water season.) Additionally, based
on the vast size of the Chukchi Sea, the
area of disturbance is not anticipated to
adversely affect marine mammal use of
the area.
Once the drillship ends operation, the
anchors will be retrieved. Over time, the
anchor scars will be filled through
natural movement of sediment. The
duration of the scars depends upon the
energy of the system, water depth, ice
scour, and sediment type. Anchor scars
were visible under low energy
conditions in the North Sea for 5–10
years after retrieval. Centaur Associates,
Inc. (1984) reported that anchoring in
sand or muddy sand sediments may not
result in anchor scars or may result in
scars that do not persist. Surficial
sediments in Shell’s Burger prospect
consist of soft sandy mud (silt and clay)
with lesser amounts of gravel (Battelle
Memorial Institute, 2010; Blanchard et
al., 2010a,b). The energy regime, plus
possible effects of ice gouge in the
Chukchi Sea, suggests that anchor scars
would be refilled faster than in the
North Sea.
Excavation of each MLC by the
Discoverer will displace about 17,128 ft3
(485 m3) of seafloor sediments and
directly disturb approximately 314 ft2
(29 m2) of seafloor. Material will be
excavated from the MLCs using a large
diameter drillbit. Pressurized air and
seawater (no drilling mud used) will be
used to assist in the removal of the
excavated materials from the MLC.
Some of the excavated sediments will
be displaced to adjacent seafloor areas
and some will be removed via the air lift
system and discharged on the seafloor
away from the MLC. These excavated
materials will also have some indirect
effects as they are deposited on the
seafloor in the vicinity of the MLCs.
Direct and indirect effects would
include slight changes in seafloor relief
and sediment consistency.
Vessel mooring and MLC construction
would result in increased suspended
sediment in the water column that
could result in lethal effects on some
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zooplankton (food source for baleen
whales). However, compared to the
overall population of zooplankton and
the localized nature of effects, any
mortality that may occur would not be
considered significant. Due to fast
regeneration periods of zooplankton,
populations are expected to recover
quickly.
Impacts on fish resulting from
suspended sediments would be
dependent upon the life stage of the fish
(e.g., eggs, larvae, juveniles, or adults),
the concentration of the suspended
sediments, the type of sediment, and the
duration of exposure (IMG Golder,
2004). Eggs and larvae have been found
to exhibit greater sensitivity to
suspended sediments (Wilber and
Clarke, 2001) and other stresses, which
is thought to be related to their relative
lack of motility (Auld and Schubel,
1978). Sedimentation could affect fish
by causing egg morbidity of demersal
fish feeding near or on the ocean floor
(Wilber and Clarke, 2001). Surficial
membranes are especially susceptible to
abrasion (Cairns and Scheier, 1968).
Adhesive demersal eggs could be
exposed to the sediments as long as the
excavation activity continues, while
exposure of pelagic eggs would be much
shorter as they move with ocean
currents (Wilber and Clarke, 2001). Most
of the offshore demersal marine fish
species in the northeastern Chukchi Sea
(Shell’s proposed project area) spawn
under the ice during the winter and
therefore would not be affected by
redeposition of sediments on the
seafloor due to MLC construction since
Shell has not scheduled any exploration
drilling activities during the winter
months.
Most diadromous fish species
expected to be present in the area of
Shell’s drilling operations lay their eggs
in freshwater or coastal estuaries.
Therefore, only those eggs carried into
the marine environment by winds and
current would be affected by these
operations. Because Shell’s proposed
drill sites occur 65 and 78 mi (105 and
125.5 km) from the Chukchi coast, the
statistical probability of diadromous fish
eggs being present in the vicinity of
Shell’s proposed operations is
infinitesimally small. Thus, impacts on
diadromous fish eggs due to abrasion,
puncture, burial, or other effects
associated with anchoring or MLC
construction would be slight. Further,
since most diadromous fish species
produce eggs prolifically, even if a small
number of eggs were impacted by these
activities, the total species population
would not be expected to be impacted.
Suspended sediments, resulting from
vessel mooring and MLC excavation, are
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not expected to result in permanent
damage to habitats used by the marine
mammal species in the proposed project
area or on the food sources that they
utilize. Rather, NMFS considers that
such impacts will be temporary in
nature and concentrated in the areas
directly surrounding vessel mooring and
MLC excavation activities—areas which
are very small relative to the overall
Chukchi Sea region. Less than
0.0000001 percent of the fish habitat in
the LS 193 area would be directly
affected by the mooring and excavation
activity.
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Potential Impacts From Sound
Generation
With regard to fish as a prey source
for odontocetes and seals, fish are
known to hear and react to sounds and
to use sound to communicate (Tavolga
et al., 1981) and possibly avoid
predators (Wilson and Dill, 2002).
Experiments have shown that fish can
sense both the strength and direction of
sound (Hawkins, 1981). Primary factors
determining whether a fish can sense a
sound signal, and potentially react to it,
are the frequency of the signal and the
strength of the signal in relation to the
natural background noise level.
Fishes produce sounds that are
associated with behaviors that include
territoriality, mate search, courtship,
and aggression. It has also been
speculated that sound production may
provide the means for long distance
communication and communication
under poor underwater visibility
conditions (Zelick et al., 1999), although
the fact that fish communicate at lowfrequency sound levels where the
masking effects of ambient noise are
naturally highest suggests that very long
distance communication would rarely
be possible. Fishes have evolved a
diversity of sound generating organs and
acoustic signals of various temporal and
spectral contents. Fish sounds vary in
structure, depending on the mechanism
used to produce them (Hawkins, 1993).
Generally, fish sounds are
predominantly composed of low
frequencies (less than 3 kHz).
Since objects in the water scatter
sound, fish are able to detect these
objects through monitoring the ambient
noise. Therefore, fish are probably able
to detect prey, predators, conspecifics,
and physical features by listening to
environmental sounds (Hawkins, 1981).
There are two sensory systems that
enable fish to monitor the vibrationbased information of their surroundings.
The two sensory systems, the inner ear
and the lateral line, constitute the
acoustico-lateralis system.
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Although the hearing sensitivities of
very few fish species have been studied
to date, it is becoming obvious that the
intra- and inter-specific variability is
considerable (Coombs, 1981). Nedwell
et al. (2004) compiled and published
available fish audiogram information. A
noninvasive electrophysiological
recording method known as auditory
brainstem response is now commonly
used in the production of fish
audiograms (Yan, 2004). Generally, most
fish have their best hearing in the lowfrequency range (i.e., less than 1 kHz).
Even though some fish are able to detect
sounds in the ultrasonic frequency
range, the thresholds at these higher
frequencies tend to be considerably
higher than those at the lower end of the
auditory frequency range.
Literature relating to the impacts of
sound on marine fish species can be
divided into the following categories: (1)
Pathological effects; (2) physiological
effects; and (3) behavioral effects.
Pathological effects include lethal and
sub-lethal physical damage to fish;
physiological effects include primary
and secondary stress responses; and
behavioral effects include changes in
exhibited behaviors of fish. Behavioral
changes might be a direct reaction to a
detected sound or a result of the
anthropogenic sound masking natural
sounds that the fish normally detect and
to which they respond. The three types
of effects are often interrelated in
complex ways. For example, some
physiological and behavioral effects
could potentially lead to the ultimate
pathological effect of mortality. Hastings
and Popper (2005) reviewed what is
known about the effects of sound on
fishes and identified studies needed to
address areas of uncertainty relative to
measurement of sound and the
responses of fishes. Popper et al. (2003/
2004) also published a paper that
reviews the effects of anthropogenic
sound on the behavior and physiology
of fishes.
Potential effects of exposure to
continuous sound on marine fish
include TTS, physical damage to the ear
region, physiological stress responses,
and behavioral responses such as startle
response, alarm response, avoidance,
and perhaps lack of response due to
masking of acoustic cues. Most of these
effects appear to be either temporary or
intermittent and therefore probably do
not significantly impact the fish at a
population level. The studies that
resulted in physical damage to the fish
ears used noise exposure levels and
durations that were far more extreme
than would be encountered under
conditions similar to those expected
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during Shell’s proposed exploratory
drilling activities.
The level of sound at which a fish
will react or alter its behavior is usually
well above the detection level. Fish
have been found to react to sounds
when the sound level increased to about
20 dB above the detection level of 120
dB (Ona, 1988); however, the response
threshold can depend on the time of
year and the fish’s physiological
condition (Engas et al., 1993). In
general, fish react more strongly to
pulses of sound rather than a
continuous signal (Blaxter et al., 1981),
such as the type of sound that will be
produced by the drillship, and a quicker
alarm response is elicited when the
sound signal intensity rises rapidly
compared to sound rising more slowly
to the same level.
Investigations of fish behavior in
relation to vessel noise (Olsen et al.,
1983; Ona, 1988; Ona and Godo, 1990)
have shown that fish react when the
sound from the engines and propeller
exceeds a certain level. Avoidance
reactions have been observed in fish
such as cod and herring when vessels
approached close enough that received
sound levels are 110 dB to 130 dB
(Nakken, 1992; Olsen, 1979; Ona and
Godo, 1990; Ona and Toresen, 1988).
However, other researchers have found
that fish such as polar cod, herring, and
capeline are often attracted to vessels
(apparently by the noise) and swim
toward the vessel (Rostad et al., 2006).
Typical sound source levels of vessel
noise in the audible range for fish are
150 dB to 170 dB (Richardson et al.,
1995a). (Based on models, the 160 dB
radius for the Discoverer would extend
approximately 33 ft [10 m]; therefore,
fish would need to be in close proximity
to the drillship for the noise to be
audible). In calm weather, ambient
noise levels in audible parts of the
spectrum lie between 60 dB to 100 dB.
Sound will also occur in the marine
environment from the various support
vessels. Reported source levels for
vessels during ice-management have
ranged from 175 dB to 185 dB (Brewer
et al., 1993, Hall et al., 1994). However,
ice management or icebreaking activities
are not expected to be necessary
throughout the entire drilling season, so
impacts from that activity would occur
less frequently than sound from the
drillship. Sound pressures generated by
drilling vessels during active drilling
operations have been measured during
past exploration in the Beaufort and
Chukchi seas. Sounds generated by
drilling and ice-management are
generally low frequency and within the
frequency range detectable by most fish.
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Shell also proposes to conduct
seismic surveys with an airgun array for
a short period of time during the drilling
season (a total of approximately 30–56
hours over the course of the entire
proposed drilling program). Airguns
produce impulsive sounds as opposed
to continuous sounds at the source.
Short, sharp sounds can cause overt or
subtle changes in fish behavior.
Chapman and Hawkins (1969) tested the
reactions of whiting (hake) in the field
to an airgun. When the airgun was fired,
the fish dove from 82 to 180 ft (25 to 55
m) depth and formed a compact layer.
The whiting dove when received sound
levels were higher than 178 dB re 1 mPa
(Pearson et al., 1992).
Pearson et al. (1992) conducted a
controlled experiment to determine
effects of strong noise pulses on several
species of rockfish off the California
coast. They used an airgun with a
source level of 223 dB re 1 mPa. They
noted:
• Startle responses at received levels
of 200–205 dB re 1 mPa and above for
two sensitive species, but not for two
other species exposed to levels up to
207 dB;
• Alarm responses at 177–180 dB for
the two sensitive species, and at 186 to
199 dB for other species;
• An overall threshold for the above
behavioral response at about 180 dB;
• An extrapolated threshold of about
161 dB for subtle changes in the
behavior of rockfish; and
• A return to pre-exposure behaviors
within the 20–60 minute exposure
period.
In summary, fish often react to
sounds, especially strong and/or
intermittent sounds of low frequency.
Sound pulses at received levels of 160
dB re 1 mPa may cause subtle changes
in behavior. Pulses at levels of 180 dB
may cause noticeable changes in
behavior (Chapman and Hawkins, 1969;
Pearson et al., 1992; Skalski et al.,
1992). It also appears that fish often
habituate to repeated strong sounds
rather rapidly, on time scales of minutes
to an hour. However, the habituation
does not endure, and resumption of the
strong sound source may again elicit
disturbance responses from the same
fish. Underwater sound levels from the
drillship and other vessels produce
sounds lower than the response
threshold reported by Pearson et al.
(1992), and are not likely to result in
major effects to fish near the proposed
drill sites.
Based on a sound level of
approximately 140 dB, there may be
some avoidance by fish of the area near
the drillship while drilling, around ice
management vessels in transit and
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during ice management, and around
other support and supply vessels when
underway. Any reactions by fish to
these sounds will last only minutes
(Mitson and Knudsen, 2003; Ona et al.,
2007) longer than the vessel is operating
at that location or the drillship is
drilling. Any potential reactions by fish
would be limited to a relatively small
area within about 0.21 mi (0.34 km) of
the drillship during drilling (JASCO,
2007). Avoidance by some fish or fish
species could occur within portions of
this area. No important spawning
habitats are known to occur at or near
the drilling locations.
Some of the fish species found in the
Arctic are prey sources for odontocetes
and pinnipeds. A reaction by fish to
sounds produced by Shell’s proposed
operations would only be relevant to
marine mammals if it caused
concentrations of fish to vacate the area.
Pressure changes of sufficient
magnitude to cause that type of reaction
would probably occur only very close to
the sound source, if any would occur at
all due to the low energy sounds
produced by the majority of equipment
proposed for use. Impacts on fish
behavior are predicted to be
inconsequential. Thus, feeding
odontocetes and pinnipeds would not
be adversely affected by this minimal
loss or scattering, if any, of reduced prey
abundance.
Some mysticetes, including bowhead
whales, feed on concentrations of
zooplankton. Bowhead whales primarily
feed off Point Barrow in September and
October. Reactions of zooplankton to
sound are, for the most part, not known.
Their ability to move significant
distances is limited or nil, depending on
the type of zooplankton. A reaction by
zooplankton to sounds produced by the
exploratory drilling program would only
be relevant to whales if it caused
concentrations of zooplankton to scatter.
Pressure changes of sufficient
magnitude to cause that type of reaction
would probably occur only very close to
the sound source, if any would occur at
all due to the low energy sounds
produced by the drillship. However,
Barrow is located approximately 140 mi
(225 km) east of Shell’s Burger prospect.
Impacts on zooplankton behavior are
predicted to be inconsequential. Thus,
bowhead whales feeding off Point
Barrow would not be adversely affected.
Gray whales are bottom feeders and
suck sediment and the benthic
amphipods that are their prey from the
seafloor. The species primary feeding
habitats are in the northern Bering Sea
and Chukchi Sea (Nerini, 1984; Moore
et al., 1986; Weller et al., 1999). In the
northeastern Chukchi Sea, gray whales
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can be found feeding in the shallow
offshore water area known as Hanna
Shoals, which is located approximately
25 mi (40 km) northeast from the
proposed drill sites. This area lies
outside of the 120-dB and 160-dB
ensonified zones for Shell’s proposed
Chukchi Sea drill sites. Moore et al.
(2000) reported that in the summer gray
whales were clustered along the shore
primarily between Cape Lisburne and
Point Barrow. In 2006 and 2007, gray
whales were noted to be most abundant
along the coast south of Wainwright
(2006) and nearshore from Wainwright
to Barrow (2007) (Thomas et al., 2007;
Thomas et al., 2009). While some gray
whales may migrate past or through
Shell’s proposed drill sites, no impacts
to gray whales feeding at Hanna Shoal
are anticipated based on the distance
from the proposed activity and the area
of the ensonified zone. Additionally,
Yazvenko et al. (2007) studied the
impacts of seismic surveys off Sakhalin
Island, Russia, on feeding gray whales
and found that the seismic activity had
no measurable effect on bottom feeding
gray whales in the area.
Potential Impacts From Drill Cuttings
Discharging drill cuttings or other
liquid waste streams generated by the
drilling vessel could potentially affect
marine mammal habitat. Toxins could
persist in the water column, which
could have an impact on marine
mammal prey species. However, despite
a considerable amount of investment in
research on exposures of marine
mammals to organochlorines or other
toxins, there have been no marine
mammal deaths in the wild that can be
conclusively linked to the direct
exposure to such substances (O’Shea,
1999).
The National Pollutant Discharge
Elimination System (NPDES) General
Permit (GP) establishes discharge limits
for drilling fluids (at the end of a
discharge pipe) to a minimum 96-hr
LC50 of 30,000 parts per million. Both
modeling and field studies have shown
that discharged drilling fluids are
diluted rapidly in receiving waters
(Ayers et al., 1980a,b; Brandsma et al.,
1980; NRC, 1983; O’Reilly et al., 1989;
Nedwed et al., 2004; Smith et al., 2004;
Neff, 2005). The dilution rate is strongly
affected by the discharge rate; the
NPDES GP limits the discharge of
cuttings and fluids to 750 bbl/hr. For
example, the EPA modeled hypothetical
750 bbl/hr discharges of drilling fluids
in water depths of 66 ft (20 m) in the
Beaufort and Chukchi Seas and
predicted a minimum dilution of
1,326:1 at 330 ft (100 m).
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Modeling of similar discharges
offshore of Sakhalin Island predicted a
1,000-fold dilution within 10 minutes
and 330 ft (100 m) of the discharge. In
a field study (O’Reilly et al., 1989) of a
drilling waste discharge offshore of
California, a 270 bbl discharge of
drilling fluids was found to be diluted
183-fold at 33 ft (10 m) and 1,049-fold
at 330 ft (100 m). Neff (2005) concluded
that concentrations of discharged
drilling fluids drop to levels that would
have no effect within about two minutes
of discharge and within 16 ft (5 m) of
the discharge location.
Studies by the EPA (2006) and Neff
(2005) indicate that although planktonic
organisms are extremely sensitive to
environmental conditions (e.g.,
temperature, light, availability of
nutrients, and water quality), there is
little or no evidence of effects from
drilling mud and cuttings discharges on
plankton. More than 30 OCS well sites
have been drilled in the Beaufort Sea.
The Warthog well was drilled in
Camden Bay in 35 ft (11 m) of water
(Thurston et al., 1999). BOEMRE
routinely monitored that well site for
contaminants and found that it had no
accumulated petroleum hydrocarbons or
heavy metals (Brown et al., 2001).
Effects on zooplankton present within a
few meters of the discharge point would
be expected, primarily due to
sedimentation. However, zooplankton
and benthic animals are not likely to
have long-term exposures to drilling
mud and cuttings because of the
episodic nature of discharges (typically
only a few hours in duration). Results of
a recent study on a historical drill site
in Camden Bay (HH–2) showed that
movement of drilling mud and cuttings
were restricted to within 330 ft (100 m)
of the discharge site (Trefry and
Trocine, 2009).
Fine-grained particulates and other
solids in drilling mud and cuttings
could cause sublethal effects to
organisms in the water column. The
responses observed following exposure
to drilling mud include alteration of
respiration and filtration rates and
altered behavior. Zooplankton in the
immediate area of discharge from
exploration drilling operations could
potentially be adversely impacted by
sediments in the water column, which
could clog respiratory and feeding
structures, and they could suffer
abrasions. However, because of the close
proximity that is required to endure
such effects, impacts are anticipated to
be inconsequential.
Studies in the 1980s, 1999, 2000, and
2002 (Brown et al., 2001 cited in MMS,
2003) also found that benthic organisms
near drilling sites in the Beaufort have
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accumulated neither petroleum
hydrocarbon nor heavy metals. In 2008,
Shell investigated the benthic
communities (Dunton et al., 2008) and
sediments (Trefry and Trocine, 2009)
around the Sivulliq Prospect, including
the location of the historical
Hammerhead drill site that was drilled
in 1985. Benthic communities at the
historical Hammerhead drill site were
found not to differ statistically in
abundance, community structure, or
diversity, from benthic communities
elsewhere in this portion of the Beaufort
Sea, indicating that there was no long
term effect. Because discharges from
drilling mud and cuttings are composed
of seawater, impacts to benthic
organisms are anticipated to be
inconsequential and restricted to a very
small area of the seafloor in the Chukchi
Sea.
Discharges and drill cuttings could
impact fish by displacing them from the
affected area. Additionally,
sedimentation could impact fish, as
demersal fish eggs could be smothered
if discharges occur in a spawning area
during the period of egg production.
However, this is unlikely in deeper
offshore locations, and no specific
demersal fish spawning locations have
been identified at the Burger well
locations. The most abundant and
trophically important marine fish, the
Arctic cod, spawns with planktonic eggs
and larvae under the sea ice during
winter and will therefore have little
exposure to discharges. Based on this
information, drilling muds and cutting
wastes are not anticipated to have longterm impacts to marine mammals or
their prey.
Potential Impacts From Drillship
Presence
The Discoverer is 514 ft (156.7 m)
long. If an animal’s swim path is
directly perpendicular to the drillship,
the animal will need to swim around
the ship in order to pass through the
area. The length of the drillship
(approximately one and a half football
fields) is not significant enough to cause
a large-scale diversion from the animals’
normal swim and migratory paths.
Additionally, the eastward spring
bowhead whale migration will occur
prior to the beginning of Shell’s
proposed exploratory drilling program.
Moreover, any deflection of bowhead
whales or other marine mammal species
due to the physical presence of the
drillship or its support vessels would be
very minor. The drillship’s physical
footprint is small relative to the size of
the geographic region it will occupy and
will likely not cause marine mammals
to deflect greatly from their typical
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migratory route. Also, even if animals
may deflect because of the presence of
the drillship, the Chukchi Sea is much
larger in size than the length of the
drillship (many dozens to hundreds of
miles vs. less than two football fields),
and animals would have other means of
passage around the drillship. While
there are other vessels that will be on
location to support the drillship, most of
those vessels will remain within a few
kilometers of the drillship (with the
exception of the ice management vessels
which will remain approximately 25 mi
[40 km] upwind of the drillship when
not in use). In sum, the physical
presence of the drillship is not likely to
cause a significant deflection to
migrating marine mammals.
Potential Impacts From an Oil Spill
Lower trophic organisms and fish
species are primary food sources for
Arctic marine mammals. However, as
noted earlier in this document, the
offshore areas of the Chukchi Sea are
not primary feeding grounds for many of
the marine mammals that may pass
through the area. Therefore, impacts to
lower trophic organisms (such as
zooplankton) and marine fishes from an
oil spill in the proposed drilling area
would not be likely to have long-term or
significant consequences to marine
mammal prey. Impacts would be greater
if the oil moves closer to shore, as many
of the marine mammals in the area have
been seen feeding at nearshore sites
(such as bowhead whales). Gray whales
do feed in more offshore locations in the
Chukchi Sea; therefore, impacts to their
prey from oil could have some impacts.
Due to their wide distribution, large
numbers, and rapid rate of regeneration,
the recovery of marine invertebrate
populations is expected to occur soon
after the surface oil passes. Spill
response activities are not likely to
disturb the prey items of whales or seals
sufficiently to cause more than minor
effects. Spill response activities could
cause marine mammals to avoid the
disturbed habitat that is being cleaned.
However, by causing avoidance, animals
would avoid impacts from the oil itself.
Additionally, the likelihood of an oil
spill is expected to be very low, as
discussed earlier in this document.
Potential Impacts From Ice
Management/Icebreaking Activities
Ice management activities include the
physical pushing or moving of ice to
create more open-water in the proposed
drilling area and to prevent ice floes
from striking the drillship. Icebreaking
activities include the physical breaking
of ice. Shell does not intend to conduct
icebreaking activities. However, should
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there be a need for icebreaking, it would
only be performed in order to safely
move the drillship and other vessels off
location and to end operations for the
season. Ringed, bearded, spotted, and
ribbon seals (along with the walrus) are
dependent on sea ice for at least part of
their life history. Sea ice is important for
life functions such as resting, breeding,
and molting. These species are
dependent on two different types of ice:
Pack ice and landfast ice. Should ice
management/icebreaking activities be
necessary during the proposed drilling
program, Shell would only manage pack
ice in either early to mid-July or mid- to
late October. Landfast ice would not be
present during Shell’s proposed
operations.
The ringed seal is the most common
pinniped species in the proposed
project area. While ringed seals use ice
year-round, they do not construct lairs
for pupping until late winter/early
spring on the landfast ice. Therefore,
since Shell plans to conclude drilling by
October 31, Shell’s activities would not
impact ringed seal lairs or habitat
needed for breeding and pupping in the
Chukchi Sea. Aerial surveys in the
eastern Chukchi Sea conducted in late
May-early June 1999–2000 found that
ringed seals were four to ten times more
abundant in nearshore fast and pack ice
environments than in offshore pack ice
(Bengtson et al., 2005). Ringed seals can
be found on the pack ice surface in the
late spring and early summer in the
northern Chukchi Sea, the latter part of
which may overlap with the start of
Shell’s proposed drilling activities. If an
ice floe is pushed into one that contains
hauled out seals, the animals may
become startled and enter the water
when the two ice floes collide. Bearded
seals breed in the Bering and Chukchi
Seas from mid-March through early May
(several months prior to the start of
Shell’s operations). Bearded seals
require sea ice for molting during the
late spring and summer period. Because
this species feeds on benthic prey,
bearded seals occur over the pack ice
front over the Chukchi Sea shelf in
summer (Burns and Frost, 1979) but
were not associated with the ice front
when it receded over deep water
(Kingsley et al., 1985). The spotted seal
does not breed in the Chukchi Sea.
Spotted seals molt most intensely
during May and June and then move to
the coast after the sea ice has melted.
Ribbon seals are not known to breed in
the Chukchi Sea. From July-October,
when sea ice is absent, the ribbon seal
is entirely pelagic, and its distribution is
not well known (Burns, 1981; Popov,
1982). Therefore, ice used by bearded,
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spotted, and ribbon seals needed for life
functions such as breeding and molting
would not be impacted as a result of
Shell’s drilling program since these life
functions do not occur in the proposed
project area or at the same time as
Shell’s operations. For ringed seals, ice
management/icebreaking activities
would occur during a time when life
functions such as breeding, pupping,
and molting do not occur in the
proposed activity area. Additionally,
these life functions normally occur on
landfast ice, which will not be impacted
by Shell’s activity.
Proposed Mitigation
In order to issue an incidental take
authorization (ITA) under Sections
101(a)(5)(A) and (D) of the MMPA,
NMFS must, where applicable, set forth
the permissible methods of taking
pursuant to such activity, and other
means of effecting the least practicable
impact on such species or stock and its
habitat, paying particular attention to
rookeries, mating grounds, and areas of
similar significance, and on the
availability of such species or stock for
taking for certain subsistence uses
(where relevant). This section
summarizes the contents of Shell’s
Marine Mammal Monitoring and
Mitigation Plan (4MP). Later in this
document in the ‘‘Proposed Incidental
Harassment Authorization’’ section,
NMFS lays out the proposed conditions
for review, as they would appear in the
final IHA (if issued).
Mitigation Measures Proposed by Shell
Shell submitted a 4MP as part of its
application (Attachment C; see
ADDRESSES). Shell’s planned offshore
drilling program incorporates both
design features and operational
procedures for minimizing potential
impacts on marine mammals and on
subsistence hunts. The design features
and operational procedures have been
described in the IHA and LOA
applications submitted to NMFS and
USFWS, respectively, and are
summarized here. Survey design
features include:
• Timing and locating drilling and
support activities to avoid interference
with the annual subsistence hunts by
the peoples of the Chukchi villages;
• Identifying transit routes and timing
to avoid other subsistence use areas and
communicating with coastal
communities before operating in or
passing through these areas; and
• Conducting pre-season sound
propagation modeling to establish the
appropriate exclusion and behavioral
radii.
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Shell indicates that the potential
disturbance of marine mammals during
operations will be minimized further
through the implementation of several
ship-based mitigation measures, which
include establishing and monitoring
safety and disturbance zones.
Exclusion radii for marine mammals
around sound sources are customarily
defined as the distances within which
received sound levels are greater than or
equal to 180 dB re 1 mPa (rms) for
cetaceans and greater than or equal to
190 dB re 1 mPa (rms) for pinnipeds.
These exclusion criteria are based on an
assumption that sounds at lower
received levels will not injure these
animals or impair their hearing abilities,
but that higher received levels might
have such effects. It should be
understood that marine mammals inside
these exclusion zones will not
necessarily be injured, as the received
sound thresholds which determine
these zones were established prior to the
current understanding that significantly
higher levels of sound would be
required before injury would likely
occur (see Southall et al., 2007). With
respect to Level B harassment, NMFS’
practice has been to apply the 120 dB
re 1 mPa (rms) received level threshold
for underwater continuous sound levels
and the 160 dB re 1 mPa (rms) received
level threshold for underwater
impulsive sound levels.
Shell proposes to monitor the various
radii in order to implement any
mitigation measures that may be
necessary. Initial radii for the sound
levels produced by the Discoverer, the
icebreaker, and the airguns have been
modeled. Measurements taken by
Austin and Warner (2010) indicated
broadband source levels between 177
and 185 dB re 1 mPa rms for the
Discoverer. Measurements of the
icebreaking supply ship Robert Lemeur
pushing and breaking ice during
exploration drilling operations in the
Beaufort Sea in 1986 resulted in an
estimated broadband source level of 193
dB re 1 mPa rms (Greene, 1987a;
Richardson et al., 1995a). Based on a
similar airgun array used in the shallow
waters of the Beaufort Sea in 2008 by
BP, the source level of the airgun is
predicted to be 241.4 dB re 1 mPa rms.
Once on location in the Chukchi Sea,
Shell will conduct sound source
verification (SSV) tests to establish
safety zones for the previously
mentioned sound level criteria. The
objectives of the SSV tests are: (1) To
quantify the absolute sound levels
produced by drilling and to monitor
their variations with time, distance, and
direction from the drillship; and (2) to
measure the sound levels produced by
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vessels operating in support of drilling
operations, which include crew change
vessels, tugs, ice management vessels,
and spill response vessels. The
methodology for conducting the SSV
tests is fully described in Shell’s 4MP
(see ADDRESSES). Please refer to that
document for further details. Upon
completion of the SSV tests, the new
radii will be established and monitored,
and mitigation measures will be
implemented in accordance with Shell’s
4MP.
Based on the best available scientific
literature, the source levels noted above
for exploration drilling are not high
enough to cause a temporary reduction
in hearing sensitivity or permanent
hearing damage to marine mammals.
Consequently, Shell believes that
mitigation as described for seismic
activities including ramp ups, power
downs, and shutdowns should not be
necessary for drilling activities. NMFS
has also determined that these types of
mitigation measures, traditionally
required for seismic survey operations,
are not practical or necessary for this
proposed drilling activity. Seismic
airgun arrays can be turned on slowly
(i.e., only turning on one or some guns
at a time) and powered down quickly.
The types of sound sources used for
exploratory drilling have different
properties and are unable to be
‘‘powered down’’ like airgun arrays or
shutdown instantaneously without
posing other risks to operational and
human safety. However, Shell plans to
use Protected Species Observers (PSOs,
formerly referred to as marine mammal
observers) onboard the drillship and the
various support vessels to monitor
marine mammals and their responses to
industry activities and to initiate
mitigation measures (for ZVSP
activities) should in-field measurements
of the operations indicate that such
measures are necessary. Additional
details on the PSO program are
described in the ‘‘Proposed Monitoring
and Reporting’’ section found later in
this document. Also, for the ZVSP
activities, Shell proposes to implement
standard mitigation procedures, such as
ramp ups, power downs, and
shutdowns.
A ramp up of an airgun array provides
a gradual increase in sound levels and
involves a step-wise increase in the
number and total volume of airguns
firing until the full volume is achieved.
The purpose of a ramp up (or ‘‘soft
start’’) is to ‘‘warn’’ cetaceans and
pinnipeds in the vicinity of the airguns
and to provide the time for them to
leave the area and thus avoid any
potential injury or impairment of their
hearing abilities.
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During the proposed ZVSP surveys,
Shell will ramp up the airgun arrays
slowly. Full ramp ups (i.e., from a cold
start when no airguns have been firing)
will begin by firing a single airgun in
the array. A full ramp up will not begin
until there has been a minimum of 30
minutes of observation of the 180-dB
and 190-dB exclusion zones for
cetaceans and pinnipeds, respectively,
by PSOs to assure that no marine
mammals are present. The entire
exclusion zone must be visible during
the 30-minute lead-in to a full ramp up.
If the entire exclusion zone is not
visible, then ramp up from a cold start
cannot begin. If a marine mammal(s) is
sighted within the exclusion zone
during the 30-minute watch prior to
ramp up, ramp up will be delayed until
the marine mammal(s) is sighted outside
of the applicable exclusion zone or the
animal(s) is not sighted for at least 15
minutes for small odontocetes and
pinnipeds or 30 minutes for baleen
whales.
A power down is the immediate
reduction in the number of operating
energy sources from all firing to some
smaller number. A shutdown is the
immediate cessation of firing of all
energy sources. The arrays will be
immediately powered down whenever a
marine mammal is sighted approaching
close to or within the applicable
exclusion zone of the full arrays but is
outside the applicable exclusion zone of
the single source. If a marine mammal
is sighted within the applicable
exclusion zone of the single energy
source, the entire array will be
shutdown (i.e., no sources firing). The
same 15 and 30 minute sighting times
described for ramp up also apply to
starting the airguns again after either a
power down or shutdown.
Additional mitigation measures
proposed by Shell include: (1) Reducing
speed and/or changing course if a
marine mammal is sighted from a vessel
in transit (NMFS has proposed a
specific distance in the next subsection);
(2) resuming full activity (e.g., full
support vessel speed) only after marine
mammals are confirmed to be outside
the safety zone; (3) implementing flight
restrictions prohibiting aircraft from
flying below 1,500 ft (457 m) altitude
(except during takeoffs and landings or
in emergency situations); and (4)
keeping vessels anchored when
approached by marine mammals to
avoid the potential for avoidance
reactions by such animals.
Shell has also proposed additional
mitigation measures to ensure no
unmitigable adverse impact on the
availability of affected species or stocks
for taking for subsistence uses. Those
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measures are described in the ‘‘Impact
on Availability of Affected Species or
Stock for Taking for Subsistence Uses’’
section found later in this document.
Additional Mitigation Measures
Proposed by NMFS
In addition to the mitigation measures
proposed by Shell, NMFS proposes the
following measures (which apply to
vessel operations) be included in the
IHA, if issued, in order to ensure the
least practicable impact on the affected
species or stocks. NMFS proposes to
require Shell to avoid multiple changes
in direction or speed when within 300
yards (274 m) of whales. Additionally,
NMFS proposes to require Shell to
reduce speed in inclement weather.
Oil Spill Contingency Plan
In accordance with BOEM
regulations, Shell has developed an Oil
Discharge Prevention and Contingency
Plan (ODPCP) for its Chukchi Sea
exploration drilling program. A copy of
this document can be found on the
Internet at: https://
www.alaska.boemre.gov/fo/ODPCPs/
2010_Chukchi_rev1.pdf. Additionally,
in its Plan of Cooperation (POC), Shell
has agreed to several mitigation
measures in order to reduce impacts
during the response efforts in the
unlikely event of an oil spill. Those
measures are detailed in the ‘‘Plan of
Cooperation (POC)’’ section found later
in this document. The ODPCP is
currently under review by the
Department of the Interior and other
agencies. A final decision on the
adequacy of the ODPCP is expected
prior to the start of Shell’s 2012 Chukchi
Sea drilling program.
NMFS has carefully evaluated Shell’s
proposed mitigation measures and
considered a range of other measures in
the context of ensuring that NMFS
prescribes the means of effecting the
least practicable impact on the affected
marine mammal species and stocks and
their habitat. Our evaluation of potential
measures included consideration of the
following factors in relation to one
another:
• The manner in which, and the
degree to which, the successful
implementation of the measure is
expected to minimize adverse impacts
to marine mammals;
• The proven or likely efficacy of the
specific measure to minimize adverse
impacts as planned; and
• The practicability of the measure
for applicant implementation.
Proposed measures to ensure
availability of such species or stock for
taking for certain subsistence uses is
discussed later in this document (see
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‘‘Impact on Availability of Affected
Species or Stock for Taking for
Subsistence Uses’’ section).
Proposed Monitoring and Reporting
In order to issue an ITA for an
activity, Section 101(a)(5)(D) of the
MMPA states that NMFS must, where
applicable, set forth ‘‘requirements
pertaining to the monitoring and
reporting of such taking’’. The MMPA
implementing regulations at 50 CFR
216.104(a)(13) indicate that requests for
ITAs must include the suggested means
of accomplishing the necessary
monitoring and reporting that will result
in increased knowledge of the species
and of the level of taking or impacts on
populations of marine mammals that are
expected to be present in the proposed
action area.
Monitoring Measures Proposed by Shell
The monitoring plan proposed by
Shell can be found in the 4MP
(Attachment C of Shell’s application;
see ADDRESSES). The plan may be
modified or supplemented based on
comments or new information received
from the public during the public
comment period or from the peer review
panel (see the ‘‘Monitoring Plan Peer
Review’’ section later in this document).
A summary of the primary components
of the plan follows. Later in this
document in the ‘‘Proposed Incidental
Harassment Authorization’’ section,
NMFS lays out the proposed monitoring
and reporting conditions, as well as the
mitigation conditions, for review, as
they would appear in the final IHA (if
issued).
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(1) Vessel-Based PSOs
Vessel-based monitoring for marine
mammals will be done by trained PSOs
throughout the period of drilling
operations on all vessels. PSOs will
monitor the occurrence and behavior of
marine mammals near the drillship
during all daylight periods during
operation and during most daylight
periods when drilling operations are not
occurring. PSO duties will include
watching for and identifying marine
mammals, recording their numbers,
distances, and reactions to the drilling
operations. A sufficient number of PSOs
will be required onboard each vessel to
meet the following criteria: (1) 100%
monitoring coverage during all periods
of drilling operations in daylight; (2)
maximum of 4 consecutive hours on
watch per PSO; and (3) maximum of 12
hours of watch time per day per PSO.
Shell anticipates that there will be
provision for crew rotation at least every
3–6 weeks to avoid observer fatigue.
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Biologist-observers will have previous
marine mammal observation experience,
and field crew leaders will be highly
experienced with previous vessel-based
marine mammal monitoring projects.
Resumes for those individuals will be
provided to NMFS so that NMFS can
review and accept their qualifications.
Inupiat observers will be experienced in
the region, familiar with the marine
mammals of the area, and complete a
NMFS approved observer training
course designed to familiarize
individuals with monitoring and data
collection procedures. A handbook,
adapted for the specifics of the planned
Shell drilling program, will be prepared
and distributed beforehand to all PSOs.
PSOs will watch for marine mammals
from the best available vantage point on
the drillship and support vessels. PSOs
will scan systematically with the
unaided eye and 7 x 50 reticle
binoculars, supplemented with ‘‘Bigeye’’ binoculars and night-vision
equipment when needed. Personnel on
the bridge will assist the PSOs in
watching for marine mammals. New or
inexperienced PSOs will be paired with
an experienced PSO or experienced
field biologist so that the quality of
marine mammal observations and data
recording is kept consistent.
Information to be recorded by PSOs
will include the same types of
information that were recorded during
recent monitoring programs associated
with industry activity in the Arctic (e.g.,
Ireland et al., 2009). The recording will
include information about the animal
sighted, environmental and operational
information, and the position of other
vessels in the vicinity of the sighting.
The ship’s position, speed of support
vessels, and water temperature, water
depth, sea state, ice cover, visibility, and
sun glare will also be recorded at the
start and end of each observation watch,
every 30 minutes during a watch, and
whenever there is a change in any of
those variables.
Distances to nearby marine mammals
will be estimated with binoculars
(Fujinon 7 x 50 binoculars) containing
a reticle to measure the vertical angle of
the line of sight to the animal relative
to the horizon. PSOs may use a laser
rangefinder to test and improve their
abilities for visually estimating
distances to objects in the water.
However, previous experience showed
that a Class 1 eye-safe device was not
able to measure distances to seals more
than about 230 ft (70 m) away. The
device was very useful in improving the
distance estimation abilities of the
observers at distances up to about 1968
ft (600 m)—the maximum range at
which the device could measure
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distances to highly reflective objects
such as other vessels. Humans observing
objects of more-or-less known size via a
standard observation protocol, in this
case from a standard height above water,
quickly become able to estimate
distances within about ± 20% when
given immediate feedback about actual
distances during training.
(2) Aerial Survey Program
Recent aerial surveys of marine
mammals in the Chukchi Sea were
conducted over coastal areas to
approximately 23 mi (37 km) offshore in
2006–2008 and 2010 in support of
Shell’s summer seismic exploration
activities. These surveys were designed
to provide data on the distribution and
abundance of marine mammals in
nearshore waters of the Chukchi Sea.
Shell proposes to conduct an aerial
survey program in the Chukchi Sea in
2012 that would be similar to the
previous programs.
The current aerial survey program
will be designed to collect data on
cetaceans but will be limited in its
ability to collect similar data on
pinnipeds. Shell’s objectives for this
program include:
• To collect data on the distribution
and abundance of marine mammals in
coastal areas of the eastern Chukchi Sea;
and
• To collect and report data on the
distribution, numbers, orientation and
behavior of marine mammals,
particularly beluga whales, near
traditional hunting areas in the eastern
Chukchi Sea.
With agreement from hunters in the
coastal villages, aerial surveys of coastal
areas to approximately 23 mi (37 km)
offshore between Point Hope and Point
Barrow will begin in early to mid-July
and will continue until drilling
operations in the Chukchi Sea are
completed. Weather and equipment
permitting, surveys will be conducted
twice per week during this time period.
In addition, during the 2012 drilling
season, aerial surveys will be
coordinated in cooperation with the
aerial surveys funded by BOEMRE and
conducted by NMFS and any other
groups conducting surveys in the
region. A full description of Shell’s
survey procedures can be found in the
4MP of Shell’s application (see
ADDRESSES). A summary follows next.
Transects will be flown in a sawtoothed pattern between the shore and
23 mi (37 km) offshore, as well as along
the coast from Point Barrow to Point
Hope (see Figure 6 of Shell’s 4MP). This
design will permit completion of the
survey in one to two days and will
provide representative coverage of the
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nearshore region. The surveyed area
will include waters where belugas are
normally available to subsistence
hunters. Survey altitude will be at least
1,000 ft (305 m) with an average survey
speed of 110–120 knots. As with past
surveys of the Chukchi Sea coast,
coordination with coastal villages to
avoid disturbance of the beluga whale
subsistence hunt will be extremely
important. ‘‘No-fly’’ zones around
coastal villages or other hunting areas
established during communications
with village representatives will be in
place until the end of the hunting
season.
Aerial surveys at an altitude of 1,000
ft (305 m) do not provide much
information about seals but are suitable
for bowhead, beluga, and gray whales.
The need for a 1,000+ ft (305+ m) cloud
ceiling will limit the dates and times
when surveys can be flown. Selection of
a higher altitude for surveys would
result in a significant reduction in the
number of days during which surveys
would be possible, impairing the ability
of the aerial program to meet its
objectives. If large concentrations of
belugas are encountered during the
survey, the survey may be interrupted to
photograph the groups to obtain better
counts of the number of animals
present. If whales are photographed in
lagoons or other shallow-water
concentration areas, the aircraft will
climb to approximately 10,000 ft (3,050
m) altitude to avoid disturbing the
whales and causing them to leave the
area. If whales are in offshore areas, the
aircraft will climb high enough to
include all whales within a single
photograph; typically about 3,000 ft
(914 m) altitude.
Three PSOs will be aboard the aircraft
during surveys. Two primary observers
will be looking for marine mammals;
one each at bubble windows on either
side of the aircraft. The third person
will record data. For each marine
mammal sighting, the observer will
dictate the species, number, size/age/sex
class when determinable, activity,
heading, swimming speed category (if
traveling), sighting cue, ice conditions
(type and percentage), and inclinometer
reading to the marine mammal into a
digital recorder. The inclinometer
reading will be taken when the animal’s
location is 90° to the side of the aircraft
track, allowing calculation of lateral
distance from the aircraft trackline.
Transect information, sighting data
and environmental data will be entered
into a GPS-linked computer by the third
observer and simultaneously recorded
on digital voice recorders for backup
and validation. At the start of each
transect, the observer recording data
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will record the transect start time and
position, ceiling height (ft), cloud cover
(in 10ths), wind speed (knots), wind
direction (°T) and outside air
temperature (°C). In addition, each
observer will record the time, visibility
(subjectively classified as excellent,
good, moderately impaired, seriously
impaired or impossible), sea state
(Beaufort wind force), ice cover (in
10ths) and sun glare (none, moderate,
severe) at the start and end of each
transect, and at 2 min intervals along
the transect. The data logger will
automatically record time and aircraft
position (latitude and longitude) for
sightings and transect waypoints, and at
pre-selected intervals along the
transects.
(3) Acoustic Monitoring
As discussed earlier in this document,
Shell will conduct SSV tests to establish
the isopleths for the applicable
exclusion radii, mostly to be employed
during the ZVSP surveys. In addition,
Shell proposes to use an acoustic ‘‘net’’
array.
Drilling Sound Measurements—
Drilling sounds are expected to vary
significantly with time due to variations
in the level of operations and the
different types of equipment used at
different times onboard the Discoverer.
The objectives of these measurements
are:
(1) To quantify the absolute sound
levels produced by drilling and to
monitor their variations with time,
distance, and direction from the drilling
vessel;
(2) To measure the sound levels
produced by vessels operating in
support of exploration drilling
operations. These vessels will include
crew change vessels, tugs, icebreakers,
and OSRVs; and
(3) To measure the sound levels
produced by an end-of-hole ZVSP
survey, using a stationary sound source.
The Discoverer, support vessels, and
ZVSP sound measurements will be
performed using one of two methods,
both of which involve real-time
monitoring. The first method would
involve use of bottom-founded
hydrophones cabled back to the
Discoverer (see Figure 1 in Shell’s 4MP).
These hydrophones would be
positioned between 1,640 ft (500 m) and
3,281 ft (1,000 m) from the Discoverer,
depending on the final positions of the
anchors used to hold the Discoverer in
place. Hydrophone cables would be fed
to real-time digitization systems
onboard. In addition to the cabled
system, a separate set of bottom-founded
hydrophones (see Figure 2 in Shell’s
4MP) may be deployed at various
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distances from the exploration drilling
operation for storage of acoustic data to
be retrieved and processed at a later
date.
As an alternative to the cabled
hydrophone system (and possible
inclusion of separate bottom-founded
hydrophones), the second (or
alternative) monitoring method would
involve a radio buoy approach
deploying four sparbuoys 4–5 mi (6–8
km) from the Discoverer. Additional
hydrophones may be deployed closer to
the Discoverer, if necessary, to better
determine sound source levels.
Monitoring personnel and recording/
receiving equipment would be onboard
one of the support vessels with 24-hr
monitoring capacity. The system would
allow for collection and processing of
real-time data similar to that provided
by the cabled system but from a wider
range of locations.
Sound level monitoring with either
method will occur on a continuous basis
throughout all exploration drilling
activities. Both types of systems will be
set to record digital acoustic data at a
sample rate of 32 kHz, providing useful
acoustic bandwidth to at least 15 kHz.
These systems are capable of measuring
absolute broadband sound levels
between 90 and 180 dB re 1 mPa. The
long duration recordings will capture
many different operations performed
from the drillship. Retrieval of these
systems will occur following
completion of the exploration drilling
activities.
These recorders will provide a
capability to examine sound levels
produced by different drilling activities
and practices. This system will not have
the capability to locate calling marine
mammals and will indicate only relative
proximity. The system will be evaluated
during operations for its potential to
improve PSO observations through
notification of PSOs on vessel and
aircraft of high levels of call detections
and their general locations.
The deployment of drilling sound
monitoring equipment will occur as
soon as possible once the drillship is on
site. Activity logs of exploration drilling
operations and nearby vessel activities
will be maintained to correlate with
these acoustic measurements. This
equipment will also be used to take
measurements of the support vessels
and airguns. Additional details can be
found in Shell’s 4MP.
Acoustic ‘‘Net’’ Array—The acoustic
‘‘net’’ array used by Shell during the
2006–2010 field seasons is proposed for
2011 and 2012. The array was designed
to accomplish two main objectives:
• To collect information on the
occurrence and distribution of marine
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mammals that may be available to
subsistence hunters near villages
located on the Chukchi Sea coast and to
document their relative abundance,
habitat use, and migratory patterns; and
• To measure the ambient
soundscape throughout the eastern
Chukchi Sea and to record received
levels of sound from industry and other
activities further offshore in the
Chukchi Sea.
The net array configuration used in
2007–2010 is again proposed for 2011
and 2012. The basic components of this
effort consist of 30 hydrophone systems
placed widely across the U.S. Chukchi
Sea and a prospect specific array of 12
hydrophones capable of localization of
marine mammal calls. The net array
configuration will include hydrophone
systems distributed at each of the four
primary transect locations: Cape
Lisburne; Point Hope; Wainwright; and
Barrow. The systems comprising the
regional array will be placed at locations
shown in Figure 7 of the 4MP in Shell’s
application (see ADDRESSES). These
offshore systems will capture
exploration drilling sounds, if present,
over large distances to help characterize
the sound transmission properties in the
Chukchi Sea and will also provide a
large amount of information related to
marine mammals in the Chukchi Sea.
The regional acoustic monitoring
program will be augmented in 2012 by
an array of additional acoustic recorders
to be deployed on a grid pattern over a
7.2 mi (12 km) by 10.8 mi (18 km) area
extending over several of Shell’s lease
blocks near locations of highest interest
for exploration drilling in 2012. The
cluster array will operate at a sampling
frequency of 16 kHz, which is sufficient
to capture vocalizations from bowhead,
beluga, gray, fin, humpback, and killer
whales, and most other marine
mammals known to be present in the
Chukchi Sea. The cluster deployment
configuration was defined to allow
tracking of vocalizing animals that pass
through the immediate area of these
lease blocks. Maximum separation
between adjacent recorders is 3.6 mi
(5.8 km). At this spacing, Shell expects
that individual whale calls will be
detected on at least three different
recorders when the calling animals are
within the boundary of the deployment
pattern. Bowhead and other mysticete
calls should be detectable
simultaneously on more than three
recorders due to their relatively higher
sound source levels compared to other
marine mammals. In calm weather
conditions, when ambient underwater
sound levels are low, Shell expects to
detect most other marine mammal calls
on more than three recorders. The goal
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of simultaneous detection on multiple
recorders is to allow for triangulation of
the call positions, which also requires
accurate time synchronization of the
recorders. When small numbers of
whales are vocalizing, Shell hopes to be
able to identify and track the
movements of specific individuals
within the deployment area. It will not
be possible to track individual whales if
many whales are calling due to
abundant overlapping calls. In this case,
analyses will show the general
distribution of calls in the vicinity of the
recorders.
Additional details on data analysis for
the types of monitoring described here
(i.e., vessel-based, aerial, and acoustic)
can be found in the 4MP in Shell’s
application (see ADDRESSES).
Monitoring Plan Peer Review
The MMPA requires that monitoring
plans be independently peer reviewed
‘‘where the proposed activity may affect
the availability of a species or stock for
taking for subsistence uses’’ (16 U.S.C.
1371(a)(5)(D)(ii)(III)). Regarding this
requirement, NMFS’ implementing
regulations state, ‘‘Upon receipt of a
complete monitoring plan, and at its
discretion, [NMFS] will either submit
the plan to members of a peer review
panel for review or within 60 days of
receipt of the proposed monitoring plan,
schedule a workshop to review the
plan’’ (50 CFR 216.108(d)).
NMFS has established an
independent peer review panel to
review Shell’s 4MP for Exploration
Drilling of Selected Lease Areas in the
Alaskan Chukchi Sea in 2012. The panel
is scheduled to meet in early January
2012, and will provide comments to
NMFS shortly after they meet. After
completion of the peer review, NMFS
will consider all recommendations
made by the panel, incorporate
appropriate changes into the monitoring
requirements of the IHA (if issued), and
publish the panel’s findings and
recommendations in the final IHA
notice of issuance or denial document.
Reporting Measures
(1) SSV Report
A report on the preliminary results of
the acoustic verification measurements,
including as a minimum the measured
190- , 180- , 160- , and 120-dB (rms)
radii of the drillship, support vessels,
and airgun array will be submitted
within 120 hr after collection and
analysis of those measurements at the
start of the field season or in the case
of the airgun once that part of the
program is implemented. This report
will specify the distances of the
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exclusion zones that were adopted for
the exploratory drilling program. Prior
to completion of these measurements,
Shell will use the radii outlined in their
application and elsewhere in this
document.
(2) Technical Reports
The results of Shell’s 2012 Chukchi
Sea exploratory drilling monitoring
program (i.e., vessel-based, aerial, and
acoustic) will be presented in the ‘‘90day’’ and Final Technical reports, as
required by NMFS under the proposed
IHA. Shell proposes that the Technical
Reports will include: (1) Summaries of
monitoring effort (e.g., total hours, total
distances, and marine mammal
distribution through study period,
accounting for sea state and other
factors affecting visibility and
detectability of marine mammals); (2)
analyses of the effects of various factors
influencing detectability of marine
mammals (e.g., sea state, number of
observers, and fog/glare); (3) species
composition, occurrence, and
distribution of marine mammal
sightings, including date, water depth,
numbers, age/size/gender categories (if
determinable), group sizes, and ice
cover; (4) sighting rates of marine
mammals during periods with and
without drilling activities (and other
variables that could affect detectability);
(5) initial sighting distances versus
drilling state; (6) closest point of
approach versus drilling state; (7)
observed behaviors and types of
movements versus drilling state; (8)
numbers of sightings/individuals seen
versus drilling state; (9) distribution
around the drillship and support vessels
versus drilling state; and (10) estimates
of take by harassment. This information
will be reported for both the vesselbased and aerial monitoring.
Analysis of all acoustic data will be
prioritized to address the primary
questions, which are to: (a) Determine
when, where, and what species of
animals are acoustically detected on
each Directional Autonomous Seafloor
Acoustic Recorder; (b) analyze data as a
whole to determine offshore bowhead
distributions as a function of time; (c)
quantify spatial and temporal variability
in the ambient noise; and (d) measure
received levels of drillship activities.
The bowhead detection data will be
used to develop spatial and temporal
animal distributions. Statistical analyses
will be used to test for changes in
animal detections and distributions as a
function of different variables (e.g., time
of day, time of season, environmental
conditions, ambient noise, vessel type,
operation conditions).
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The initial technical report is due to
NMFS within 90 days of the completion
of Shell’s Beaufort Sea exploratory
drilling program. The ‘‘90-day’’ report
will be subject to review and comment
by NMFS. Any recommendations made
by NMFS must be addressed in the final
report prior to acceptance by NMFS.
(3) Comprehensive Report
Following the 2012 drilling season, a
comprehensive report describing the
vessel-based, aerial, and acoustic
monitoring programs will be prepared.
The comprehensive report will describe
the methods, results, conclusions and
limitations of each of the individual
data sets in detail. The report will also
integrate (to the extent possible) the
studies into a broad-based assessment of
industry activities, and other activities
that occur in the Beaufort and/or
Chukchi seas, and their impacts on
marine mammals during 2012. The
report will help to establish long-term
data sets that can assist with the
evaluation of changes in the Chukchi
and Beaufort Sea ecosystems. The report
will attempt to provide a regional
synthesis of available data on industry
activity in offshore areas of northern
Alaska that may influence marine
mammal density, distribution and
behavior.
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(4) Notification of Injured or Dead
Marine Mammals
Shell will be required to notify NMFS’
Office of Protected Resources and
NMFS’ Stranding Network of any
sighting of an injured or dead marine
mammal. Based on different
circumstances, Shell may or may not be
required to stop operations upon such a
sighting. Shell will provide NMFS with
the species or description of the
animal(s), the condition of the animal(s)
(including carcass condition if the
animal is dead), location, time of first
discovery, observed behaviors (if alive),
and photo or video (if available). The
specific language describing what Shell
must do upon sighting a dead or injured
marine mammal can be found in the
‘‘Proposed Incidental Harassment
Authorization’’ section of this
document.
Estimated Take by Incidental
Harassment
Except with respect to certain
activities not pertinent here, the MMPA
defines ‘‘harassment’’ as: Any act of
pursuit, torment, or annoyance which (i)
has the potential to injure a marine
mammal or marine mammal stock in the
wild [Level A harassment]; or (ii) has
the potential to disturb a marine
mammal or marine mammal stock in the
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wild by causing disruption of behavioral
patterns, including, but not limited to,
migration, breathing, nursing, breeding,
feeding, or sheltering [Level B
harassment]. Only take by Level B
behavioral harassment is anticipated as
a result of the proposed drilling
program. Noise propagation from the
drillship, associated support vessels
(including during icebreaking if
needed), and the airgun array are
expected to harass, through behavioral
disturbance, affected marine mammal
species or stocks. Additional
disturbance to marine mammals may
result from aircraft overflights and
visual disturbance of the drillship or
support vessels. However, based on the
flight paths and altitude, impacts from
aircraft operations are anticipated to be
localized and minimal in nature.
The full suite of potential impacts to
marine mammals from various
industrial activities was described in
detail in the ‘‘Potential Effects of the
Specified Activity on Marine Mammals’’
section found earlier in this document.
The potential effects of sound from the
proposed exploratory drilling program
might include one or more of the
following: Tolerance; masking of natural
sounds; behavioral disturbance; nonauditory physical effects; and, at least in
theory, temporary or permanent hearing
impairment (Richardson et al., 1995a).
As discussed earlier in this document,
NMFS estimates that Shell’s activities
will most likely result in behavioral
disturbance, including avoidance of the
ensonified area or changes in speed,
direction, and/or diving profile of one or
more marine mammals. For reasons
discussed previously in this document,
hearing impairment (TTS and PTS) is
highly unlikely to occur based on the
fact that most of the equipment to be
used during Shell’s proposed drilling
program does not have source levels
high enough to elicit even mild TTS
and/or the fact that certain species are
expected to avoid the ensonified areas
close to the operations. Additionally,
non-auditory physiological effects are
anticipated to be minor, if any would
occur at all. Finally, based on the
proposed mitigation and monitoring
measures described earlier in this
document and the fact that the backpropagated source level for the drillship
is estimated to be between 177 and 185
dB re 1 mPa (rms), no injury or mortality
of marine mammals is anticipated as a
result of Shell’s proposed exploratory
drilling program.
For continuous sounds, such as those
produced by drilling operations and
during icebreaking activities, NMFS
uses a received level of 120-dB (rms) to
indicate the onset of Level B
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harassment. For impulsive sounds, such
as those produced by the airgun array
during the ZVSP surveys, NMFS uses a
received level of 160-dB (rms) to
indicate the onset of Level B
harassment. Shell provided calculations
for the 120-dB isopleths produced by
the Discoverer and by the icebreaker
during icebreaking activities and then
used those isopleths to estimate takes by
harassment. Additionally, Shell
provided calculations for the 160-dB
isopleth produced by the airgun array
and then used that isopleth to estimate
takes by harassment. Shell provides a
full description of the methodology
used to estimate takes by harassment in
its IHA application (see ADDRESSES),
which is also provided in the following
sections.
Shell has requested authorization to
take bowhead, gray, fin, humpback,
minke, killer, and beluga whales, harbor
porpoise, and ringed, spotted, bearded,
and ribbon seals incidental to
exploration drilling, ice management/
icebreaking, and ZVSP activities.
Additionally, Shell provided exposure
estimates and requested takes of
narwhal. However, as stated previously
in this document, sightings of this
species are rare, and the likelihood of
occurrence of narwhals in the proposed
drilling area is minimal. Therefore,
NMFS is not proposing to authorize take
of this species.
Basis for Estimating ‘‘Take by
Harassment’’
‘‘Take by Harassment’’ is described in
this section and was calculated in
Shell’s application by multiplying the
expected densities of marine mammals
that may occur near the exploratory
drilling operations by the area of water
likely to be exposed to continuous, nonpulse sounds ≥120 dB re 1 mPa (rms)
during drillship operations or
icebreaking activities and impulse
sounds ≥160 dB re 1 mPa (rms) created
by seismic airguns during ZVSP
activities. NMFS evaluated and
critiqued the methods provided in
Shell’s application and determined that
they were appropriate to conduct the
requisite MMPA analyses. This section
describes the estimated densities of
marine mammals that may occur in the
project area. The area of water that may
be ensonified to the above sound levels
is described further in the ‘‘Estimated
Area Exposed to Sounds >120 dB or
>160 dB re 1 mPa rms’’ subsection.
Marine mammal densities near the
operation are likely to vary by season
and habitat, mostly related to the
presence or absence of sea ice. Marine
mammal density estimates in the
Chukchi Sea have been derived for two
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time periods, the summer period
covering July and August, and the fall
period including September and
October. Animal densities encountered
in the Chukchi Sea during both of these
time periods will further depend on the
habitat zone within which the
operations are occurring: Open water or
ice margin. More ice is likely to be
present in the area of operations during
the summer period, so summer icemargin densities have been applied to
50 percent of the area that may be
exposed to sounds from exploration
drilling and ZVSP activities in those
months. Open water densities in the
summer were applied to the remaining
50 percent of the area. Less ice is likely
to be present during the fall season, so
fall ice-margin densities have been
applied to only 20 percent of the area
that may be exposed to sounds from
exploration drilling and ZVSP activities
in those months. Fall open-water
densities were applied to the remaining
80 percent of the area. Since icebreaking
activities would only occur within icemargin habitat, the entire area
potentially ensonified by icebreaking
activities has been multiplied by the icemargin densities in both seasons.
Shell notes that there is some
uncertainty about the representativeness
of the data and assumptions used in the
calculations. To provide some
allowance for the uncertainties,
‘‘maximum estimates’’ as well as
‘‘average estimates’’ of the numbers of
marine mammals potentially affected
have been derived. For a few marine
mammal species, several density
estimates were available, and in those
cases the mean and maximum estimates
were determined from the survey data.
In other cases, no applicable estimate
(or perhaps a single estimate) was
available, so correction factors were
used to arrive at ‘‘average’’ and
‘‘maximum’’ estimates. These are
described in detail in the following
subsections. Table 6–7 in Shell’s
application indicates that the ‘‘average
estimate’’ for killer, fin, humpback, and
minke whales, harbor porpoise, and
ribbon seal is either zero or one.
Therefore, to account for the fact that
these species listed as being potentially
taken by harassment in this document
may occur in Shell’s proposed drilling
sites during active operations, NMFS
either used the ‘‘maximum estimates’’ or
made an estimate based on typical
group size for a particular species.
Detectability bias, quantified in part
by f(0), is associated with diminishing
sightability with increasing lateral
distance from the trackline. Availability
bias [g(0)] refers to the fact that there is
<100 percent probability of sighting an
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animal that is present along the survey
trackline. Some sources of densities
used below included these correction
factors in their reported densities (e.g.,
ringed seals in Bengtson et al., 2005). In
other cases the best available correction
factors were applied to reported results
when they had not been included in the
reported data (e.g., Moore et al., 2000).
Estimated densities of marine
mammals in the Chukchi Sea project
area during the summer period (July–
August) are presented in Table 6–1 in
Shell’s application and Table 2 here,
and estimated fall densities (September–
October) are presented in Table 6–2 in
Shell’s application and Table 3 here.
Descriptions of the individual density
estimates shown in the tables are
presented next.
(1) Cetaceans
Beluga Whales—Summer densities of
belugas in offshore waters are expected
to be low, with somewhat higher
densities in ice-margin and nearshore
areas. Aerial surveys have recorded few
belugas in the offshore Chukchi Sea
during the summer months (Moore et
al., 2000). Aerial surveys of the Chukchi
Sea in 2008–2009 flown by NMFS’
National Marine Mammal Laboratory
(NMML) as part of the Chukchi Offshore
Monitoring in Drilling Area project
(COMIDA) have only reported five
beluga sightings during more than 8,700
mi (14,001 km) of on-transect effort,
only two of which were offshore
(COMIDA, 2009). One of the three
nearshore sightings was of a large group
(approximately 275 individuals on July
12, 2009) of migrating belugas along the
coastline just north of Peard Bay.
Additionally, only one beluga sighting
was recorded during more than 37,900
mi (60,994 km) of visual effort during
good visibility conditions from industry
vessels operating in the Chukchi Sea in
September–October of 2006–2008
(Haley et al., 2010). If belugas are
present during the summer, they are
more likely to occur in or near the ice
edge or close to shore during their
northward migration. Expected
densities have previously been
calculated from data in Moore et al.
(2000). However, more recent data from
COMIDA aerial surveys during 2008–
2010 are now available (Clarke and
Ferguson, in prep.). Effort and sightings
reported by Clarke and Ferguson (in
prep.) were used to calculate the average
open-water density estimate. Clarke and
Ferguson (in prep.) reported two ontransect beluga sightings (5 individuals)
during 11,985 km of on-transect effort in
waters 118–164 ft (36–50 m) deep in the
Chukchi Sea during July and August.
The mean group size of these two
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sightings is 2.5. A f(0) value of 2.841
and g(0) value of 0.58 from Harwood et
al. (1996) were also used in the density
calculation. The CV associated with
group size was used to select an
inflation factor of 2 to estimate the
maximum density that may occur in
both open-water and ice-margin
habitats. Specific data on the relative
abundance of beluga in open-water
versus ice-margin habitat during the
summer in the Chukchi Sea is not
available. However, belugas are
commonly associated with ice, so an
inflation factor of 4 was used to estimate
the average ice-margin density from the
open-water density. Very low densities
observed from vessels operating in the
Chukchi Sea during non-seismic periods
and locations in July-August of 2006–
2008 (0.0–0.0003/mi2, 0.0–0.0001/km2;
Haley et al., 2010), also suggest the
number of beluga whales likely to be
present near the planned activities will
not be large.
In the fall, beluga whale densities in
the Chukchi Sea are expected to be
somewhat higher than in the summer
because individuals of the eastern
Chukchi Sea stock and the Beaufort Sea
stock will be migrating south to their
wintering grounds in the Bering Sea
(Allen and Angliss, 2010). However,
there were no beluga sightings reported
during more than 11,200 mi (18,025 km)
of vessel based effort in good visibility
conditions during 2006–2008 industry
operations in the Chukchi Sea (Haley et
al., 2010). Densities derived from survey
results in the northern Chukchi Sea in
Clarke and Ferguson (in prep) were used
as the average density for open-water
fall season estimates (see Table 6–2 in
Shell’s application and Table 3 here).
Clarke and Ferguson (in prep) reported
3 beluga sightings (6 individuals) during
6,236 mi (10,036 km) of on-transect
effort in water depths 118–164 ft (36–50
m). The mean group size of those three
sightings is 2. A f(0) value of 2.841 and
g(0) value of 0.58 from Harwood et al.
(1996) were used in the calculation. The
same inflation factor of 2 used for
summer densities was used to estimate
the maximum density that may occur in
both open-water and ice-margin habitats
in the fall. Moore et al. (2000) reported
lower than expected beluga sighting
rates in open-water during fall surveys
in the Beaufort and Chukchi seas, so an
inflation value of 4 was used to estimate
the average ice-margin density from the
open-water density. Based on the lack of
any beluga sightings from vessels
operating in the Chukchi Sea during
non-seismic periods and locations in
September–October of 2006–2008
(Haley et al., 2010), the relatively low
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densities shown in Table 6–2 in Shell’s
application and Table 3 here are
consistent with what is likely to be
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observed from vessels during the
planned operations.
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Bowhead Whales—By July, most
bowhead whales are northeast of the
Chukchi Sea, within or migrating
toward their summer feeding grounds in
the eastern Beaufort Sea. No bowheads
were reported during 6,640 mi (10,686
km) of on-transect effort in the Chukchi
Sea by Moore et al. (2000). Aerial
surveys in 2008–2010 by NMML as part
of the COMIDA project reported only six
sightings during more than 16,020 mi
(25,781 km) of on-transect effort (Clarke
and Ferguson, in prep.). Two of the six
sightings were in waters less than 115
ft (35 m) deep, and the remaining four
sightings were in waters 167–656 ft (51–
200 m) deep. Bowhead whales were also
rarely sighted in July–August of 2006–
2008 during aerial surveys of the
Chukchi Sea coast (Thomas et al., 2010).
This is consistent with movements of
tagged whales (see ADFG, 2010), all of
which moved through the Chukchi Sea
by early May 2009, and tended to travel
relatively close to shore, especially in
the northern Chukchi Sea. The estimate
of bowhead whale density in the
Chukchi Sea was calculated by
assuming there was one bowhead
sighting during the 7,447 mi (11,985
km) of survey effort in waters 118–164
ft (36–50 m) deep in the Chukchi Sea
during July–August reported in Clarke
and Ferguson (in prep.) although no
bowheads were actually observed
during those surveys. The mean group
size from September–October sightings
reported in Clarke and Ferguson (in
prep.) is 1.1, and this was also used in
the calculation of summer densities.
The group size value, along with a f(0)
value of 2 and a g(0) value of 0.07, both
from Thomas et al. (2002) were used to
estimate a summer density of bowhead
whales (see Table 6–1 in Shell’s
application and Table 2 here). The CV
of group size and standard errors
reported in Thomas et al. (2002) for f(0)
and g(0) correction factors suggest that
an inflation factor of 2 is appropriate for
estimating the maximum density from
the average density. Bowheads are not
expected to be encountered in higher
densities near ice in the summer (Moore
et al., 2000), so the same density
estimates are used for open-water and
ice-margin habitats. Densities from
vessel based surveys in the Chukchi Sea
during non-seismic periods and
locations in July–August of 2006–2008
(Haley et al., 2010) ranged from 0.0003–
0.0018/mi2 (0.0001–0.0007/km2) with a
maximum 95% confidence interval (CI)
of 0.0075/mi2 (0.0029 km2).
During the fall, bowhead whales that
summered in the Beaufort Sea and
Amundsen Gulf migrate west and south
to their wintering grounds in the Bering
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Sea, making it more likely that
bowheads will be encountered in the
Chukchi Sea at this time of year. Moore
et al. (2002; Table 8) reported 34
bowhead sightings during 27,560 mi
(44,354 km) of on-transect survey effort
in the Chukchi Sea during September–
October. Thomas et al. (2010) also
reported increased sightings on coastal
surveys of the Chukchi Sea during
September and October of 2006–2008.
GPS tagging of bowheads appear to
show that migration routes through the
Chukchi Sea are more variable than
through the Beaufort Sea (Quakenbush
et al., 2010). Some of the routes taken
by bowheads remain well north of the
planned exploration drilling activities
while others have passed near to or
through the area. Kernel densities
estimated from GPS locations of whales
suggest that bowheads do not spend
much time (e.g., feeding or resting) in
the north-central Chukchi Sea near the
area of planned activities (Quakenbush
et al., 2010). Clarke and Ferguson (in
prep) reported 14 sightings (15
individuals) during 6,236 mi (10,036)
km of on transect aerial survey effort in
2008–2010. The mean group size of
those sightings is 1.1. The same f(0) and
g(0) values that were used for the
summer estimates above were used for
the fall estimates. As with the summer
estimates, an inflation factor of 2 was
used to estimate the maximum density
from the average density in both habitat
types. Moore et al. (2000) found that
bowheads were detected more often
than expected in association with ice in
the Chukchi Sea in September–October,
so a density of twice the average openwater density was used as the average
ice-margin density. Densities from
vessel based surveys in the Chukchi Sea
during non-seismic periods and
locations in July–August of 2006–2008
(Haley et al., 2010) ranged from 0.0008
to 0.0114/mi2 (0.0003–0.0044/km2) with
a maximum 95% CI of 0.1089/mi2
(0.0419 km2).
Gray Whales—Gray whale densities
are expected to be much higher in the
summer months than during the fall.
Moore et al. (2000) found the
distribution of gray whales in the
planned operational area was scattered
and limited to nearshore areas where
most whales were observed in water less
than 115 ft (35 m) deep. Thomas et al.
(2010) also reported substantial declines
in the sighting rates of gray whales in
the fall. The average open-water
summer density (see Table 6–1 in
Shell’s application and Table 2 here)
was calculated from 2008–2010 aerial
survey effort and sightings in Clarke and
Ferguson (in prep.) for water depths
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69993
118–164 ft (36–50 m) including 54
sightings (73 individuals) during 7,447
mi (11,985 km) of on-transect effort. The
average group size of those sightings is
1.35. Correction factors f(0) = 2.49
(Forney and Barlow, 1998) and g(0) =
0.3 (Forney and Barlow, 1998; Mallonee,
1991) were also used in the density
calculation. Similar to beluga and
bowhead whales, an inflation factor of
2 was used to estimate the maximum
densities from average densities in both
habitat types and seasons. Gray whales
are not commonly associated with sea
ice but may be present near it, so the
same densities were used for ice-margin
habitat as were derived for open-water
habitat during both seasons. Densities
from vessel based surveys in the
Chukchi Sea during non-seismic periods
and locations in July–August of 2006–
2008 (Haley et al., 2010) ranged from
0.0055mi2 to 0.0208/mi2 (0.0021/km2 to
0.008/km2) with a maximum 95% CI of
0.0874 mi2 (0.0336 km2).
In the fall, gray whales may be
dispersed more widely through the
northern Chukchi Sea (Moore et al.,
2000), but overall densities are likely to
be decreasing as the whales begin
migrating south. A density calculated
from effort and sightings (15 sightings
[19 individuals] during 6,236 mi [10,036
km] of on-transect effort) in water 118–
164 ft (36–50 m) deep during
September–October reported by Clarke
and Ferguson (in prep.) was used as the
average estimate for the Chukchi Sea
during the fall period. The
corresponding group size value of 1.26,
along with the same f(0) and g(0) values
described above were used in the
calculation. Densities from vessel based
surveys in the Chukchi Sea during nonseismic periods and locations in July–
August of 2006–2008 (Haley et al., 2010)
ranged from 0.0068/mi2 to 0.0109/mi2
(0.0026/km2 to 0.0042/km2) with a
maximum 95% CI of 0.072 mi2 (0.0277
km2).
Harbor Porpoise—Harbor porpoise
densities were estimated from industry
data collected during 2006–2008
activities in the Chukchi Sea. Prior to
2006, no reliable estimates were
available for the Chukchi Sea, and
harbor porpoise presence was expected
to be very low and limited to nearshore
regions. Observers on industry vessels
in 2006–2008, however, recorded
sightings throughout the Chukchi Sea
during the summer and early fall
months. Density estimates from 2006–
2008 observations during non-seismic
periods and locations in July–August
ranged from 0.0021/mi2 to 0.0039/mi2
(0.0008/km2 to 0.0015/km2) with a
maximum 95% CI of 0.0205/mi2
(0.0079/km2) (Haley et al., 2010). The
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average density from the summer season
of those three years (0.0029/mi2 [0.0011/
km2]) was used as the average openwater density estimate while the high
value (0.0039/mi2 [0.0015/km2]) was
used as the maximum estimate (see
Table 6–1 in Shell’s application and
Table 2 here). Harbor porpoise are not
expected to be present in higher
numbers near ice, so the open-water
densities were used for ice-margin
habitat in both seasons. Harbor porpoise
densities recorded during industry
operations in the fall months of 2006–
2008 ranged from 0.0005 mi2 to 0.0029/
mi2 (0.0002/km2 to 0.0011/km2) with a
maximum 95% CI of 0.0242/mi2
(0.0093/km2). The average of those years
of 0.0018/mi2 (0.0007/km2) was again
used as the average density estimate,
and the high value of 0.0029/mi2
(0.0011/km2) was used as the maximum
estimate (see Table 6–2 in Shell’s
application and Table 3 here).
Other Cetaceans—The remaining four
cetacean species that could be
encountered in the Chukchi Sea during
Shell’s planned exploration drilling
program include the humpback, killer,
minke, and fin whales. Although there
is evidence of the occasional occurrence
of these animals in the Chukchi Sea, it
is unlikely that more than a few
individuals will be encountered during
the planned drilling program. Clarke et
al. (2011) and Haley et al. (2010)
reported humpback whale sightings;
George and Suydam (1998) reported
killer whales; Brueggeman et al. (1990),
Haley et al. (2010), and COMIDA (2011)
reported minke whales; and Clarke et al.
(2011) and Haley et al. (2010) reported
fin whales.
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(2) Pinnipeds
Four species of pinnipeds may be
encountered in the Chukchi Sea area of
Shell’s proposed drilling program:
ringed, bearded, spotted, and ribbon
seals. Each of these species, except the
spotted seal, is associated with both the
ice margin and the nearshore area. The
ice margin is considered preferred
habitat (as compared to the nearshore
areas) during most seasons. Spotted
seals are often considered to be
predominantly a coastal species except
in the spring when they may be found
in the southern margin of the retreating
sea ice. However, satellite tagging has
shown that they sometimes undertake
long excursions into offshore waters, as
far as 74.6 mi (120 km) off the Alaskan
coast in the eastern Chukchi Sea, during
summer (Lowry et al., 1994, 1998).
Ribbon seals have been reported in very
small numbers within the Chukchi Sea
by observers on industry vessels
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(Patterson et al., 2007; Haley et al.,
2010).
Ringed and Bearded Seals—Ringed
and bearded seals ‘‘average’’ and
‘‘maximum’’ summer ice-margin
densities (see Table 6–1 in Shell’s
application and Table 2 here) were
available in Bengtson et al. (2005) from
spring surveys in the offshore pack ice
zone (zone 12P) of the northern Chukchi
Sea. However, corrections for bearded
seal availability, g(0), based on haul-out
and diving patterns were not available.
Densities of ringed and bearded seals in
open-water are expected to be somewhat
lower in the summer when preferred
pack ice habitat may still be present in
the Chukchi Sea. Average and
maximum open-water densities have
been estimated as 3⁄4 of the ice margin
densities during both seasons for both
species. The fall density of ringed seals
in the offshore Chukchi Sea has been
estimated as 2⁄3 the summer densities
because ringed seals begin to reoccupy
nearshore fast ice areas as the ice forms
in the fall. Bearded seals may also begin
to leave the Chukchi Sea in the fall, but
less is known about their movement
patterns, so fall densities were left
unchanged from summer densities. For
comparison, the ringed seal density
estimates calculated from data collected
during summer 2006–2008 industry
operations ranged from 0.0411/mi2 to
0.1786/mi2 (0.0158/km2 to 0.0687/km2)
with a maximum 95% CI of 0.3936/mi2
(0.1514/km2) (Haley et al., 2010). These
estimates are lower than those made by
Bengtson et al. (2005), which is not
surprising given the different survey
methods and timing.
Spotted Seals— Little information on
spotted seal densities in offshore areas
of the Chukchi Sea is available. Spotted
seal densities in the summer were
estimated by multiplying the ringed seal
densities by 0.02. This was based on the
ratio of the estimated Chukchi
populations of the two species. Chukchi
Sea spotted seal abundance was
estimated by assuming that 8% of the
Alaskan population of spotted seals is
present in the Chukchi Sea during the
summer and fall (Rugh et al., 1997), the
Alaskan population of spotted seals is
59,214 (Allen and Angliss, 2010), and
that the population of ringed seals in the
Alaskan Chukchi Sea is approximately
208,000 animals (Bengtson et al., 2005).
In the fall, spotted seals show increased
use of coastal haul-outs so densities
were estimated to be 2⁄3 of the summer
densities.
Ribbon Seals—Two ribbon seal
sightings were reported during industry
vessel operations in the Chukchi Sea in
2006–2008 (Haley et al. 2010). The
resulting density estimate of 0.0013/mi2
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(0.0005/km2) was used as the average
density and 4 times that was used as the
maximum for both seasons and habitat
zones.
Estimated Area Exposed to Sounds ≥120
dB or ≥160 dB re 1 mPa rms
(1) Estimated Area Exposed to
Continuous Sounds ≥ 120 dB rms From
the Drillship
Sounds from the Discoverer have not
previously been measured in the Arctic.
However, measurements of sounds
produced by the Discoverer were made
in the South China Sea in 2009 (Austin
and Warner, 2010). The results of those
measurements were used to model the
sound propagation from the Discoverer
(including a nearby support vessel) at
planned exploration drilling locations
in the Chukchi and Beaufort seas
(Warner and Hannay, 2011). Broadband
source levels of sounds produced by the
Discoverer varied by activity and
direction from the ship but were
generally between 177 and 185 dB re 1
mPa · m rms (Austin and Warner, 2010).
Propagation modeling at the Burger
Prospect resulted in an estimated
distance of 0.81 mi (1.31 km) to the
point at which exploration drilling
sounds would likely fall below 120 dB.
The estimated 0.81 mi (1.31 km)
distance was multiplied by 1.5 (= 1.22
mi [1.97 km]) as a further precautionary
measure before calculating the total area
that may be exposed to continuous
sounds ≥120 dB re 1 mPa rms by the
Discoverer at each drill site on the
Burger Prospect (Table 6–3 in Shell’s
application and Table 4 here). Given
this distance or radius, the total area of
water ensonified to ≥120 dB rms during
exploration drilling at each drill site
was estimated to be 4.6 mi2 (12 km2).
The 160-dB radius for the Discoverer
was estimated to be approximately 33 ft
(10 m). Again, because the source level
for the drillship was measured to be
between 177 and 185 dB, the 180 and
190-dB radii were not needed.
The acoustic propagation model used
to estimate the sound propagation from
the Discoverer in the Chukchi Sea is
JASCO Research’s Marine Operations
Noise Model (MONM). MONM
computes received sound levels in rms
units when source levels are specified
also in those units. MONM treats sound
propagation in range-varying acoustic
environments through a wide-angled
parabolic equation solution to the
acoustic wave equation. The specific
parabolic equation code in MONM is
based on the Naval Research
Laboratory’s Range-dependent Acoustic
Model. This code has been extensively
benchmarked for accuracy and is widely
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69995
calculations of areas exposed to various
levels of received sounds are
summarized in Table 6–3 in Shell’s
application and Table 4 here.
Distances shown in Table 6–3 in
Shell’s application and Table 4 here
were used to estimate the area
ensonified to ≥120 dB rms around the
drillship. As noted above, all
exploration drilling activities will occur
at the Burger Prospect. The exploration
drill sites assumed for the summer of
2012 at the Burger Prospect (Burger A,
F, J, and V) are 3.4 to 13 mi (5.5 km to
21 km) from each other, and wells will
not be drilled simultaneously.
Therefore, the area exposed to
continuous sounds ≥120 dB at each drill
site is not expected to overlap with any
other drill site. The total area of water
potentially exposed to received sound
levels ≥120 dB rms by exploration
drilling operations during July–August
at two locations is therefore estimated to
be 9.42 mi2 (24.4 km2). Activities at two
additional locations in September–
October may expose an additional 9.42
mi2 (24.4 km2) to continuous sounds
≥120 dB rms.
(2) Estimated Area Exposed to
Continuous Sounds ≥120 dB rms from
Ice Management/Icebreaking Activities
Measurements of the icebreaking
supply ship Robert Lemeur pushing and
breaking ice during exploration drilling
operations in the Beaufort Sea in 1986
resulted in an estimated broadband
source level of 193 dB re 1 mPa · m
(Greene, 1987a; Richardson et al.,
1995a). Measurements of the
icebreaking sounds were made at five
different distances and those were used
to generate a propagation loss equation
[RL = 141.4 ¥ 1.65R ¥ 10Log(R) where
R is range in kilometers (Greene, 1987a);
converting R to meters results in the
following equation: R = 171.4 ¥
10log(R) ¥ 0.00165R]. Using that
equation, the estimated distance to the
120 dB threshold for continuous sounds
from icebreaking is 4.74 mi (7.63 km).
Since the measurements of the Robert
Lemeur were taken in the Beaufort Sea
under presumably similar conditions as
would be encountered in the Chukchi
Sea in 2012, an inflation factor of 1.25
was selected to arrive at a precautionary
120 dB distance of 5.9 mi (9.5 km) for
icebreaking sounds (see Table 6–3 in
Shell’s application and Table 4 here).
Additionally, measurements of identical
sound sources at the Burger and
Camden Bay prospects in 2008 yielded
similar results, suggesting that sound
propagation at the two locations is
likely to be similar (Hannay and
Warner, 2009).
If ice is present, ice management/
icebreaking activities may be necessary
in early July and towards the end of
operations in late October, but it is not
expected to be needed throughout the
proposed exploration drilling season.
Icebreaking activities would likely occur
in a 40° arc up to 3.1 mi (5 km) upwind
of the Discoverer (see Figure 1–3 and
Attachment B in Shell’s application for
additional details). This activity area
plus a 5.9 mi (9.5 km) buffer around it
results in an estimated total area of 162
mi2 (420 km2) that may be exposed to
sounds ≥120 dB from ice management/
icebreaking activities in each season.
from the measurements of the BP
Liberty source is almost directly
applicable. However, the BP Liberty
source was towed at a depth of 5.9 ft
(1.8 m), while Shell’s ZVSP source
would be lowered to a target depth of
13 ft (4 m) (from 10–23 ft [3–7 m]). The
deeper depth of the ZVSP source has the
potential to increase the source strength
by as much as 6 dB. Thus, the constant
term in the propagation equation from
the BP Liberty source was increased
from 235.4 to 241.4 while the remainder
of the equation (–18*LogR—0.0047*R)
was left unchanged. NMFS reviewed the
use of this equation and the similarities
between the 2008 BP Liberty project and
Shell’s proposed drilling sites and
determined that it is appropriate to base
the sound isopleths on those results.
This equation results in the following
estimated distances to maximum
received levels: 190 dB = 0.33 mi (524
m); 180 dB = 0.77 mi (1,240 m); 160 dB
= 2.28 mi (3,670 m); 120 dB = 6.52 mi
(10,500 m). The ≥160 dB distance was
multiplied by 1.5 (see Table 6–3 in
Shell’s application and Table 4 here) for
use in estimating the area ensonified to
≥160 dB rms around the drilling vessel
during ZVSP activities. Therefore, the
total area of water potentially exposed
to received sound levels ≥160 dB rms by
ZVSP operations at two exploration well
sites during each season is estimated to
be 73.7 mi2 (190.8 km2).
Shell intends to conduct sound
propagation measurements on the
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(3) Estimated Area Exposed to
Impulsive Sounds ≥ 160 dB rms From
Airguns
Shell proposes to use the ITAGA
eight-airgun array for the ZVSP surveys
in 2012, which consists of four 150-in3
airguns and four 40-in3 airguns for a
total discharge volume of 760 in3. The
≥160 dB re 1 mPa rms radius for this
source was estimated from
measurements of a similar seismic
source used during the 2008 BP Liberty
seismic survey (Aerts et al., 2008). The
BP liberty source was also an eightairgun array but had a slightly larger
total volume of 880 in3. Because the
number of airguns is the same, and the
difference in total volume only results
in an estimated 0.4 dB decrease in the
source level of the ZVSP source, the
100th percentile propagation model
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jlentini on DSK4TPTVN1PROD with NOTICES2
employed in the underwater acoustics
community (Collins, 1993).
Changes in the water column of the
Chukchi Sea through the course of the
exploration drilling season will likely
affect the propagation of sounds
produced by exploration drilling
activities, so the modeling of
exploration drilling sounds was run
using expected oceanographic
conditions in October which are
expected to support greater sound
propagation (Warner and Hannay,
2011). Results of sound propagation
modeling that were used in the
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Discoverer and the airgun source in
2012 once they are on location in the
Chukchi Sea. The results of those
measurements would then be used
during the season to implement
mitigation measures.
Potential Number of Takes by
Harassment
Although a marine mammal may be
exposed to drilling or icebreaking
sounds ≥ 120 dB (rms) or airgun sounds
≥ 160 dB (rms), this does not mean that
it will actually exhibit a disruption of
behavioral patterns in response to the
sound source. Rather, the estimates
provided here are simply the best
estimates of the number of animals that
potentially could have a behavioral
modification due to the noise. However,
not all animals react to sounds at this
low level, and many will not show
strong reactions (and in some cases any
reaction) until sounds are much
stronger. There are several variables that
determine whether or not an individual
animal will exhibit a response to the
sound, such as the age of the animal,
previous exposure to this type of
anthropogenic sound, habituation, etc.
Numbers of marine mammals that
might be present and potentially
disturbed (i.e., Level B harassment) are
estimated below based on available data
about mammal distribution and
densities at different locations and times
of the year as described previously.
Exposure estimates are based on a single
drillship (Discoverer) drilling up to four
wells in the Chukchi Sea from July 4–
October 31, 2012. Shell assumes an
average of 32 days at each drill site
(including the partial well drill site,
including 7.5 days of MLC excavation at
all four drill sites). Shell also assumes
that ZVSP activities may occur at each
well drilled. Additionally, Shell
assumed that more ice is likely to be
present in the area of operations during
the July–August period, so summer icemargin densities have been applied to
50 percent of the area that may be
exposed to sounds from exploration
drilling and ZVSP activities in those
months. Open-water densities in the
summer were applied to the remaining
50 percent of the area. Less ice is likely
to be present during the September–
October period, so fall ice-margin
densities have been applied to only 20
percent of the area that may be exposed
to sounds from exploration drilling and
ZVSP activities in those months. Fall
open-water densities were applied to
the remaining 80 percent of the area.
Since ice management/icebreaking
activities would only occur within icemargin habitat, the entire area
potentially ensonified by ice
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management/icebreaking activities has
been multiplied by the ice-margin
densities in both seasons.
The number of different individuals
of each species potentially exposed to
received levels of continuous drillingrelated sounds ≥ 120 dB re 1 mPa or to
pulsed airgun sounds ≥ 120 dB re 1 mPa
within each season and habitat zone
was estimated by multiplying:
• The anticipated area to be
ensonified to the specified level in the
time period and habitat zone to which
a density applies, by
• The expected species density.
The numbers of exposures were then
summed for each species across the
seasons and habitat zones.
(1) Drillship Activities
Estimates of the average and
maximum number of individual marine
mammals that may be exposed to
continuous sound levels ≥120 dB by
exploration drilling activities are shown
by season and habitat in Table 6–4 in
Shell’s application and Table 5 here.
Due to the relatively small estimated
≥120 dB radius around the exploration
drilling activities, only a few
individuals of any species are estimated
to be exposed based on average
densities. However, chance encounters
with individuals of any species are
possible as all of the species are known
to occur in the Chukchi Sea (except for
the narwhal for reasons stated
previously in this document). Minimal
estimates have therefore been included
in the Total (Max) column to account for
chance encounters or where greater
numbers may be encountered than
calculations suggested.
(2) Ice Management/Icebreaking
Activities
Estimates of the average and
maximum number of individual marine
mammals that may be exposed to
continuous sound levels ≥120 dB by ice
management/icebreaking activities are
shown by season and habitat in Table 6–
5 in Shell’s application and Table 6
here. Should ice management/
icebreaking be necessary, it would
ensonify a larger area of water to ≥120
dB than the exploration drilling
activities or to ≥160 dB by ZVSP
surveys, and, therefore, results in the
highest number of potential estimated
individual exposed to such sounds.
The average and maximum estimates
of the number of individual bowhead
whales exposed to received sound levels
≥120 dB are 19 and 38, respectively. The
average estimates for beluga and gray
whales are 4 and 14, respectively. Few
other cetaceans are likely to be exposed
to icebreaking sounds ≥120 dB, but
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maximum estimates have been included
to account for chance encounters.
Ringed seals are expected to be the
most abundant animal in the Chukchi
Sea, and the average and maximum
estimates of the number exposed to
≥120 dB by potential ice management/
icebreaking activities are 343 and 568,
respectively. Estimated exposures of
other seal species are substantially less
than those for ringed seals (see Table 6–
5 in Shell’s application and Table 6
here).
(3) ZVSP Activities
Estimates of the average and
maximum number of individual marine
mammals that may be exposed to pulsed
airgun sounds at received levels ≥160
dB during ZVSP activities are shown by
season and habitat in Table 6–6 in
Shell’s application and Table 7 here.
The estimates are somewhat greater than
for exploration drilling activities
because of the larger ≥160 dB radius
around the airguns compared to the
estimated ≥120 dB radius around
exploration drilling activities (see Table
6–3 in Shell’s application and Table 4
here).
The average and maximum estimates
of the number of individual bowhead
whales potentially exposed to received
sound levels ≥160 dB are 5 and 11,
respectively. The average estimates for
beluga and gray whales are 1 and 6,
respectively (see Table 6–6 in Shell’s
application and Table 7 here). Few other
cetaceans are likely to be exposed to
airgun sounds ≥160 dB, but maximum
estimates have been included to account
for chance encounters.
The average and maximum estimated
number of ringed seals potentially
exposed to ≥160 dB by ZVSP activities
are 132 and 218, respectively. Estimated
exposures of other seal species are
substantially below those for ringed
seals (Table 6–6 in Shell’s application
and Table 7 here).
Estimated Take Conclusions
As stated previously, NMFS’ practice
has been to apply the 120 dB re 1 mPa
(rms) received level threshold for
underwater continuous sound levels
and the 160 dB re 1 mPa (rms) received
level threshold for underwater
impulsive sound levels to determine
whether take by Level B harassment
occurs. However, not all animals react
to sounds at these low levels, and many
will not show strong reactions (and in
some cases any reaction) until sounds
are much stronger. Southall et al. (2007)
provide a severity scale for ranking
observed behavioral responses of both
free-ranging marine mammals and
laboratory subjects to various types of
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anthropogenic sound (see Table 4 in
Southall et al. (2007)). Tables 15, 17,
and 21 in Southall et al. (2007) outline
the numbers of low-frequency and midfrequency cetaceans and pinnipeds in
water, respectively, reported as having
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behavioral responses to non-pulsed
sounds in 10-dB received level
increments. These tables illustrate,
especially for low- and mid-frequency
cetaceans, that more intense observed
behavioral responses did not occur until
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sounds were higher than 120 dB (rms).
Many of the animals had no observable
response at all when exposed to
anthropogenic continuous sound at
levels of 120 dB (rms) or even higher.
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Although the 120-dB isopleth for the
drillship may seem slightly expansive
(i.e., 1.22 mi [1.97 km], which includes
the 50% inflation factor), the zone of
ensonification begins to shrink
dramatically with each 10-dB increase
in received sound level to where the
160-dB isopleth is only about 33 ft (10
m) from the drillship. As stated
previously, source levels are expected to
be between 177 and 185 dB (rms). For
an animal to be exposed to received
levels between 177 and 185 dB, it would
have to be within several meters of the
vessel, which is unlikely, especially
given the fact that certain species are
likely to avoid the area (as described
earlier in this document).
For impulsive sounds, such as those
produced by the airguns, studies reveal
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that baleen whales show avoidance
responses, which would reduce the
likelihood of them being exposed to
higher received sound levels. The 180dB zone (0.77 mi [1.24 km]) is one-third
the size of the 160-dB zone (2.28 mi
[3.67 km], which is the modeled
distance before the 1.5 inflation factor is
included). In the limited studies that
have been conducted on pinniped
responses to pulsed sound sources, they
seem to be more tolerant and do not
exhibit strong behavioral reactions (see
Southall et al., 2007).
NMFS is proposing to authorize the
maximum take estimates provided in
Table 6–7 of Shell’s application. Table
8 in this document outlines the
abundance, proposed take, and
percentage of each stock or population
for the 12 species that may be exposed
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to sounds ≥ 120 dB from the drillship
and ice management/ice breaking
activities and to sounds ≥ 160 dB from
ZVSP activities in Shell’s proposed
Chukchi Sea drilling area. With the
exception of killer and minke whales
(which are still less than 2.5%), less
than 1% of each species or stock would
potentially be exposed to sounds above
the Level B harassment thresholds. The
take estimates presented here do not
take any of the mitigation measures
presented earlier in this document into
consideration. These take numbers also
do not consider how many of the
exposed animals may actually respond
or react to the proposed exploration
drilling program. Instead, the take
estimates are based on the presence of
animals, regardless of whether or not
they react or respond to the activities.
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Negligible Impact Analysis
NMFS has defined ‘‘negligible
impact’’ in 50 CFR 216.103 as ‘‘* * * an
impact resulting from the specified
activity that cannot be reasonably
expected to, and is not reasonably likely
to, adversely affect the species or stock
through effects on annual rates of
recruitment or survival.’’ In making a
negligible impact determination, NMFS
considers a variety of factors, including
but not limited to: (1) The number of
anticipated mortalities; (2) the number
and nature of anticipated injuries; (3)
the number, nature, intensity, and
duration of Level B harassment; and (4)
the context in which the takes occur.
No injuries or mortalities are
anticipated to occur as a result of Shell’s
proposed Chukchi Sea exploratory
drilling program, and none are proposed
to be authorized. Injury, serious injury,
or mortality could occur if there were a
large or very large oil spill. However, as
discussed previously in this document,
the likelihood of a spill is extremely
remote. Shell has implemented many
design and operational standards to
mitigate the potential for an oil spill of
any size. NMFS does not propose to
authorize take from an oil spill, as it is
not part of the specified activity.
Additionally, animals in the area are not
expected to incur hearing impairment
(i.e., TTS or PTS) or non-auditory
physiological effects. Instead, any
impact that could result from Shell’s
activities is most likely to be behavioral
harassment and is expected to be of
limited duration. Although it is possible
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that some individuals may be exposed
to sounds from drilling operations more
than once, during the migratory periods
it is less likely that this will occur since
animals will continue to move across
the Chukchi Sea towards their wintering
grounds.
Bowhead and beluga whales are less
likely to occur in the proposed project
area in July and August, as they are
found mostly in the Canadian Beaufort
Sea at this time. The animals are more
likely to occur later in the season (midSeptember through October), as they
head west towards Russia or south
towards the Bering Sea. Additionally,
while bowhead whale tagging studies
revealed that animals occurred in the LS
193 area, a higher percentage of animals
were found outside of the LS 193 area
in the fall (Quakenbush et al., 2010).
Bowhead whales are not known to feed
in areas near Shell’s leases in the
Chukchi Sea. The closest primary
feeding ground is near Point Barrow,
which is more than 150 mi (241 km)
east of Shell’s Burger prospect.
Therefore, if bowhead whales stop to
feed near Point Barrow during Shell’s
proposed operations, the animals would
not be exposed to continuous sounds
from the drillship or icebreaker above
120 dB or to impulsive sounds from the
airguns above 160 dB, as those sound
levels only propagate 1.22 mi (1.97 km),
5.9 mi (9.5 km), and 3.42 mi (5.51 km),
respectively, which includes the
inflation factor. Additionally, the 120dB radius for the airgun array has been
modeled to propagate 6.5 mi (10.5 km)
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from the source (and would still be less
than 10 mi [16.1 km] if an inflation
factor of 1.5 were applied). Therefore,
sounds from the operations would not
reach the feeding grounds near Point
Barrow. Gray whales occur in the
northeastern Chukchi Sea during the
summer and early fall to feed. Hanna
Shoals, an area northeast of Shell’s
proposed drill sites, is a common gray
whale feeding ground. This feeding
ground lies outside of the 120-dB and
160-dB ensonified areas from Shell’s
activities. While some individuals may
swim through the area of active drilling,
it is not anticipated to interfere with
their feeding at Hanna Shoals or other
Chukchi Sea feeding grounds. Other
cetacean species are much rarer in the
proposed project area. The exposure of
cetaceans to sounds produced by
exploratory drilling operations (i.e.,
drillship, ice management/icebreaking,
and airgun operations) is not expected
to result in more than Level B
harassment.
Few seals are expected to occur in the
proposed project area, as several of the
species prefer more nearshore waters.
Additionally, as stated previously in
this document, pinnipeds appear to be
more tolerant of anthropogenic sound,
especially at lower received levels, than
other marine mammals, such as
mysticetes. Shell’s proposed activities
would occur at a time of year when the
ice seal species found in the region are
not molting, breeding, or pupping.
Therefore, these important life functions
would not be impacted by Shell’s
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proposed activities. The exposure of
pinnipeds to sounds produced by
Shell’s proposed exploratory drilling
operations in the Chukchi Sea is not
expected to result in more than Level B
harassment of the affected species or
stock.
Of the 12 marine mammal species
likely to occur in the proposed drilling
area, three are listed as endangered
under the ESA: The bowhead,
humpback, and fin whales. All three
species are also designated as
‘‘depleted’’ under the MMPA. Despite
these designations, the Bering-ChukchiBeaufort stock of bowheads has been
increasing at a rate of 3.4% annually for
nearly a decade (Allen and Angliss,
2011), even in the face of ongoing
industrial activity. Additionally, during
the 2001 census, 121 calves were
counted, which was the highest yet
recorded. The calf count provides
corroborating evidence for a healthy and
increasing population (Allen and
Angliss, 2011). An annual increase of
4.8% was estimated for the period
1987–2003 for North Pacific fin whales.
While this estimate is consistent with
growth estimates for other large whale
populations, it should be used with
caution due to uncertainties in the
initial population estimate and about
population stock structure in the area
(Allen and Angliss, 2011). Zeribini et al.
(2006, cited in Allen and Angliss, 2011)
noted an increase of 6.6% for the
Central North Pacific stock of humpback
whales in Alaska waters. Certain stocks
or populations of gray and beluga
whales and spotted seals are listed as
endangered or are proposed for listing
under the ESA; however, none of those
stocks or populations occur in the
proposed activity area. On December 10,
2010, NMFS published a notice of
proposed threatened status for
subspecies of the ringed seal (75 FR
77476) and a notice of proposed
threatened and not warranted status for
subspecies and distinct population
segments of the bearded seal (75 FR
77496) in the Federal Register. Neither
of these two ice seal species is currently
considered depleted under the MMPA.
The ribbon seal is a ‘‘species of
concern.’’ None of the other species that
may occur in the project area are listed
as threatened or endangered under the
ESA or designated as depleted under the
MMPA. There is currently no
established critical habitat in the
proposed project area for any of these 12
species.
Potential impacts to marine mammal
habitat were discussed previously in
this document (see the ‘‘Anticipated
Effects on Habitat’’ section). Although
some disturbance is possible to food
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sources of marine mammals, the
impacts are anticipated to be minor.
Based on the vast size of the Arctic
Ocean where feeding by marine
mammals occurs versus the localized
area of the drilling program, any missed
feeding opportunities in the direct
project area would be of little
consequence, as marine mammals
would have access to other feeding
grounds.
The estimated takes proposed to be
authorized represent less than 1% of the
affected population or stock for 10 of the
species and less than 2.5% for two of
the species. These estimates represent
the percentage of each species or stock
that could be taken by Level B
behavioral harassment if each animal is
taken only once.
The estimated take numbers are likely
somewhat of an overestimate for several
reasons. First, these take numbers were
calculated using a 50% inflation factor
of the 120-dB radius from the drillship
and of the 160-dB radius for the airguns
and using a 25% inflation factor of the
120-dB radius from the icebreaker
during active ice management/
icebreaking activities, which is a
conservative approach recommended by
some acousticians when modeling a
new sound source in a new location.
This is fairly conservative given the fact
that the radii were based on results from
measurements of the Discoverer in
another location and of the icebreaker
and airguns in the Arctic Ocean. SSV
tests may reveal that the Level B
harassment zone is either smaller or
larger than that used to estimate take. If
the SSV tests reveal that the Level B
harassment zone is slightly larger than
those modeled or measured elsewhere,
the inflation factors should cover the
discrepancy, however, based on recent
SSV tests of seismic airguns (which
showed that the measured 160-dB
isopleths was in the area of the modeled
value), the 50% correction factor likely
results in an overestimate of takes.
Moreover, the mitigation and
monitoring measures (described
previously in this document) proposed
for inclusion in the IHA (if issued) are
expected to reduce even further any
potential disturbance to marine
mammals. Last, some marine mammal
individuals, including mysticetes, have
been shown to avoid the ensonified area
around airguns at certain distances
(Richardson et al., 1999), and, therefore,
some individuals would not likely enter
into the Level B harassment zones for
the various types of activities.
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Impact on Availability of Affected
Species or Stock for Taking for
Subsistence Uses
Relevant Subsistence Uses
The disturbance and potential
displacement of marine mammals by
sounds from drilling activities are the
principal concerns related to
subsistence use of the area. Subsistence
remains the basis for Alaska Native
culture and community. Marine
mammals are legally hunted in Alaskan
waters by coastal Alaska Natives. In
rural Alaska, subsistence activities are
often central to many aspects of human
existence, including patterns of family
life, artistic expression, and community
religious and celebratory activities.
Additionally, the animals taken for
subsistence provide a significant portion
of the food that will last the community
throughout the year. The main species
that are hunted include bowhead and
beluga whales, ringed, spotted, and
bearded seals, walruses, and polar bears.
(As mentioned previously in this
document, both the walrus and the
polar bear are under the USFWS’
jurisdiction.) The importance of each of
these species varies among the
communities and is largely based on
availability.
The subsistence communities in the
Chukchi Sea that have the potential to
be impacted by Shell’s offshore drilling
program include Point Hope, Point Lay,
Wainwright, Barrow, and possibly
Kotzebue and Kivalina (however, these
two communities are much farther to
the south of the proposed project area).
Wainwright is the coastal village closest
to the proposed drill site and is located
approximately 78 mi (125.5 km) from
Shell’s Burger prospect. Point Lay,
Barrow, and Point Hope are all
approximately 92, 140, and 180 mi (148,
225.3, and 290 km), respectively, from
Shell’s Burger prospect.
(1) Bowhead Whales
Bowhead whale hunting is a key
activity in the subsistence economies of
northwest Arctic communities. The
whale harvests have a great influence on
social relations by strengthening the
sense of Inupiat culture and heritage in
addition to reinforcing family and
community ties.
An overall quota system for the
hunting of bowhead whales was
established by the International Whaling
Commission (IWC) in 1977. The quota is
now regulated through an agreement
between NMFS and the Alaska Eskimo
Whaling Commission (AEWC). The
AEWC allots the number of bowhead
whales that each whaling community
may harvest annually (USDOI/BLM,
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2005). The annual take of bowhead
whales has varied due to (a) changes in
the allowable quota level and (b) yearto-year variability in ice and weather
conditions, which strongly influence the
success of the hunt.
Bowhead whales migrate around
northern Alaska twice each year, during
the spring and autumn, and are hunted
in both seasons. Bowhead whales are
hunted from Barrow during the spring
and the fall migration. The spring hunt
along Chukchi villages and at Barrow
occurs after leads open due to the
deterioration of pack ice; the spring
hunt typically occurs from early April
until the first week of June. From 1984–
2009, bowhead harvests by the villages
of Wainwright, Point Hope, and Point
Lay occurred only between April 14 and
June 24 and only between April 23 and
June 15 in Barrow (George and Tarpley,
1986; George et al., 1987, 1988, 1990,
1992, 1995, 1998, 1999, 2000; Philo et
al., 1994; Suydam et al., 1995b, 1996,
1997, 2001b, 2002, 2003, 2004, 2005b,
2006, 2007, 2008, 2009, 2010). Shell
will not mobilize and move into the
Chukchi Sea prior to July 1.
The fall migration of bowhead whales
that summer in the eastern Beaufort Sea
typically begins in late August or
September. Fall migration into Alaskan
waters is primarily during September
and October. In the fall, subsistence
hunters use aluminum or fiberglass
boats with outboards. Hunters prefer to
take bowheads close to shore to avoid a
long tow during which the meat can
spoil, but Braund and Moorehead (1995)
report that crews may (rarely) pursue
whales as far as 50 mi (80 km). The
autumn bowhead hunt usually begins in
Barrow in mid-September and mainly
occurs in the waters east and northeast
of Point Barrow. Fall bowhead whaling
has not typically occurred in the
villages of Wainwright, Point Hope, and
Point Lay in recent years. However, a
Wainwright whaling crew harvested the
first fall bowhead whale in 90 years or
more on October 8, 2010. Because of
changing ice conditions, there is the
potential for these villages to resume a
fall bowhead harvest.
Barrow participates in a fall hunt each
year. From 1984–2009, Barrow whalers
harvested bowhead whales between
August 31 and October 29. While this
time period overlaps with that of Shell’s
proposed operations, the drill sites are
located more than 140 mi (225 km) west
of Barrow, so the whales would reach
the Barrow hunting grounds before
entering the sound field of Shell’s
operations. Shell will be flying
helicopters out to the drillship for
resupply missions. In the past 35 years,
however, Barrow whaling crews have
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harvested almost all whales in the
Beaufort Sea to the east of Point Barrow
(Suydam et al., 2008), indicating that
relatively little fall hunting occurs to the
west where the flight corridor is located.
(2) Beluga Whales
Beluga whales are available to
subsistence hunters along the coast of
Alaska in the spring when pack-ice
conditions deteriorate and leads open
up. Belugas may remain in coastal areas
or lagoons through June and sometimes
into July and August. The community of
Point Lay is heavily dependent on the
hunting of belugas in Kasegaluk Lagoon
for subsistence meat. From 1983–1992
the average annual harvest was
approximately 40 whales (Fuller and
George, 1997). Point Hope residents
hunt beluga primarily in the lead system
during the spring (late March to early
June) bowhead hunt but also in openwater along the coastline in July and
August. Belugas are harvested in coastal
waters near these villages, generally
within a few miles from shore.
In Wainwright and Barrow, hunters
usually wait until after the spring
bowhead whale hunt is finished before
turning their attention to hunting
belugas. The average annual harvest of
beluga whales taken by Barrow for
1962–1982 was five (MMS, 1996). The
Alaska Beluga Whale Committee
(ABWC) recorded that 23 beluga whales
had been harvested by Barrow hunters
from 1987 to 2002, ranging from 0 in
1987, 1988 and 1995 to the high of 8 in
1997 (Fuller and George, 1997; ABWC,
2002 cited in USDOI/BLM, 2005).
Barrow residents typically hunt for
belugas between Point Barrow and Skull
Cliffs in the Chukchi Sea (primarily
April-June) and later in the summer
(July-August) on both sides of the
barrier island in Elson Lagoon/Beaufort
Sea (MMS, 2008). Harvest rates indicate
that the hunts are not frequent.
Wainwright residents hunt beluga in
April-June in the spring lead system, but
this hunt typically occurs only if there
are no bowheads in the area. Communal
hunts for beluga are conducted along
the coastal lagoon system later in JulyAugust.
Shell’s proposed exploration drilling
activities take place well offshore, far
away from areas that are used for beluga
hunting by the Chukchi Sea
communities.
(3) Ringed Seals
Ringed seals are hunted mainly from
October through June. Hunting for these
smaller mammals is concentrated
during winter (November through
March) because bowhead whales,
bearded seals, and caribou are available
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through other seasons. In winter, leads
and cracks in the ice off points of land
and along the barrier islands are used
for hunting ringed seals. The average
annual ringed seal harvest was 49 seals
in Point Lay, 86 in Wainwright, and 394
in Barrow (Braund et al., 1993; USDOI/
BLM, 2003, 2005). Although ringed
seals are available year-round, the
planned activities will not occur during
the primary period when these seals are
typically harvested (November-March).
Also, the activities will be largely in
offshore waters where they will not
influence ringed seals in the nearshore
areas where they are hunted.
(4) Spotted Seals
The spotted seal subsistence hunt
peaks in July and August along the
shore where the seals haul out, but
usually involves relatively few animals.
Available maps of recent and past
subsistence use areas for spotted seals
indicate harvest of this species within
30–40 mi (48–64 km) of the coastline.
Spotted seals typically migrate south by
October to overwinter in the Bering Sea.
During the fall migration, spotted seals
are hunted by the Wainwright and Point
Lay communities as the seals move
south along the coast (USDOI/BLM,
2003). Spotted seals are also
occasionally hunted in the area off Point
Barrow and along the barrier islands of
Elson Lagoon to the east (USDOI/BLM,
2005). The planned activities will
remain offshore of the coastal harvest
area of these seals and should not
conflict with harvest activities.
(5) Bearded Seals
Bearded seals, although generally not
favored for their meat, are important to
subsistence activities in Barrow and
Wainwright because of their skins. Six
to nine bearded seal hides are used by
whalers to cover each of the skincovered boats traditionally used for
spring whaling. Because of their
valuable hides and large size, bearded
seals are specifically sought. Bearded
seals are harvested during the spring
and summer months in the Chukchi Sea
(USDOI/BLM, 2003, 2005). The animals
inhabit the environment around the ice
floes in the drifting nearshore ice pack,
so hunting usually occurs from boats in
the drift ice. Most bearded seals are
harvested in coastal areas inshore of the
proposed exploration drilling area, so
no conflicts with the harvest of bearded
seals are expected.
Potential Impacts to Subsistence Uses
NMFS has defined ‘‘unmitigable
adverse impact’’ in 50 CFR 216.103 as
an impact resulting from the specified
activity that is likely to reduce the
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availability of the species to a level
insufficient for a harvest to meet
subsistence needs by causing the marine
mammals to abandon or avoid hunting
areas; directly displacing subsistence
users; or placing physical barriers
between the marine mammals and the
subsistence hunters; and that cannot be
sufficiently mitigated by other measures
to increase the availability of marine
mammals to allow subsistence needs to
be met.
Noise and general activity during
Shell’s proposed drilling program have
the potential to impact marine mammals
hunted by Native Alaskans. In the case
of cetaceans, the most common reaction
to anthropogenic sounds (as noted
previously in this document) is
avoidance of the ensonified area. In the
case of bowhead whales, this often
means that the animals divert from their
normal migratory path by several
kilometers. Helicopter activity also has
the potential to disturb cetaceans and
pinnipeds by causing them to vacate the
area. Additionally, general vessel
presence in the vicinity of traditional
hunting areas could negatively impact a
hunt. Native knowledge indicates that
bowhead whales become increasingly
‘‘skittish’’ in the presence of seismic
noise. Whales are more wary around the
hunters and tend to expose a much
smaller portion of their back when
surfacing (which makes harvesting more
difficult). Additionally, natives report
that bowheads exhibit angry behaviors
in the presence of seismic activity, such
as tail-slapping, which translate to
danger for nearby subsistence
harvesters.
Plan of Cooperation (POC)
Regulations at 50 CFR 216.104(a)(12)
require IHA applicants for activities that
take place in Arctic waters to provide a
POC or information that identifies what
measures have been taken and/or will
be taken to minimize adverse effects on
the availability of marine mammals for
subsistence purposes. Shell has
developed a Draft POC for its 2012
Chukchi Sea, Alaska, exploration
drilling program to minimize any
adverse impacts on the availability of
marine mammals for subsistence uses. A
copy of the Draft POC was provided to
NMFS with the IHA Application as
Attachment D (see ADDRESSES for
availability). Meetings with potentially
affected subsistence users began in 2009
and continued into 2010 and 2011 (see
Table 4.2–1 in Shell’s POC for a list of
all meetings conducted through April
2011). During these meetings, Shell
focused on lessons learned from prior
years’ activities and presented
mitigation measures for avoiding
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potential conflicts, which are outlined
in the 2012 POC and this document.
Shell’s POC addresses vessel transit,
drilling, and associated activities.
Communities that were consulted
regarding Shell’s 2012 Arctic Ocean
operations include: Barrow, Kaktovik,
Wainwright, Kotzebue, Kivalina, Point
Lay, Point Hope, Kiana, Gambell,
Savoonga, and Shishmaref.
Beginning in early January 2009 and
continuing into 2011, Shell held one-onone meetings with representatives from
the North Slope Borough (NSB) and
Northwest Arctic Borough (NWAB),
subsistence-user group leadership, and
Village Whaling Captain Association
representatives. Shell’s primary purpose
in holding individual meetings was to
inform and prepare key leaders, prior to
the public meetings, so that they would
be prepared to give appropriate
feedback on planned activities.
Shell presented the proposed project
to the NWAB Assembly on January 27,
2009, to the NSB Assembly on February
2, 2009, and to the NSB and NWAB
Planning Commissions in a joint
meeting on March 25, 2009. Meetings
were also scheduled with
representatives from the AEWC, and
presentations on proposed activities
were given to the Inupiat Community of
the Arctic Slope, and the Native Village
of Barrow. On December 8, 2009, Shell
held consultation meetings with
representatives from the various marine
mammal commissions. Prior to drilling
in 2012, Shell will also hold additional
consultation meetings with the affected
communities and subsistence user
groups, NSB, and NWAB to discuss the
mitigation measures included in the
POC. Shell also attended the 2011
Conflict Avoidance Agreement (CAA)
negotiation meetings in support of a
limited program of marine
environmental baseline activities in
2011 taking place in the Beaufort and
Chukchi seas. Shell has stated that it is
committed to a CAA process and will
demonstrate this by making a good-faith
effort to negotiate a CAA every year it
has planned activities.
The following mitigation measures,
plans and programs, are integral to the
POC and were developed during
consultation with potentially affected
subsistence groups and communities.
These measures, plans, and programs
will be implemented by Shell during its
2012 exploration drilling operations in
both the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas to
monitor and mitigate potential impacts
to subsistence users and resources. The
mitigation measures Shell has adopted
and will implement during its 2012
Chukchi Sea offshore exploration
drilling operations are listed and
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discussed below. This most recent
version of Shell’s planned mitigation
measures was presented to community
leaders and subsistence user groups
starting in January of 2009 and has
evolved since in response to
information learned during the
consultation process.
To minimize any cultural or resource
impacts to subsistence activities from its
exploration operations, Shell will
implement the following additional
measures to ensure coordination of its
activities with local subsistence users to
minimize further the risk of impacting
marine mammals and interfering with
the subsistence hunts for marine
mammals:
(1) The drillship and support vessels
will not enter the Chukchi Sea before
July 1;
(2) To minimize impacts on marine
mammals and subsistence hunting
activities, vessels that can safely travel
outside of the polynya zone will do so.
In the event the transit outside of the
polynya zone results in Shell having to
break ice (as opposed to managing ice
by pushing it out of the way), the
drillship and support vessels will enter
into the polynya zone far enough so that
ice breaking is not necessary. If it is
necessary to move into the polynya
zone, Shell will notify the local
communities of the change in the transit
route through the Communication
Centers (Com Centers);
(3) Shell has developed a
Communication Plan and will
implement the plan before initiating
exploration drilling operations to
coordinate activities with local
subsistence users as well as Village
Whaling Associations in order to
minimize the risk of interfering with
subsistence hunting activities and keep
current as to the timing and status of the
bowhead whale migration, as well as the
timing and status of other subsistence
hunts. The Communication Plan
includes procedures for coordination
with Com and Call Centers to be located
in coastal villages along the Chukchi
and Beaufort Seas during Shell’s
proposed activities in 2012;
(4) Shell will employ local
Subsistence Advisors from the Beaufort
and Chukchi Sea villages to provide
consultation and guidance regarding the
whale migration and subsistence hunt.
There will be a total of nine subsistence
advisor-liaison positions (one per
village), to work approximately 8 hours
per day and 40-hour weeks through
Shell’s 2012 exploration project. The
subsistence advisor will use local
knowledge (Traditional Knowledge) to
gather data on subsistence lifestyle
within the community and advise on
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ways to minimize and mitigate potential
impacts to subsistence resources during
the drilling season. Responsibilities
include reporting any subsistence
concerns or conflicts; coordinating with
subsistence users; reporting subsistencerelated comments, concerns, and
information; and advising how to avoid
subsistence conflicts. A subsistence
advisor handbook will be developed
prior to the operational season to
specify position work tasks in more
detail;
(5) Shell will recycle drilling muds
(e.g., use those muds on multiple wells),
to the extent practicable based on
operational considerations (e.g.,
whether mud properties have
deteriorated to the point where they
cannot be used further), to reduce
discharges from its operations. At the
end of the season excess water base
fluid will be pre-diluted to a 30:1 ratio
with seawater and then discharged;
(6) Shell will implement flight
restrictions prohibiting aircraft from
flying within 1,000 ft (305 m) of marine
mammals or below 1,500 ft (457 m)
altitude (except during takeoffs and
landings or in emergency situations)
while over land or sea;
(7) Vessels within 900 ft (274 m) of
marine mammals will reduce speed,
avoid separating members from a group,
and avoid multiple changes in direction;
(8) Vessels underway will alter course
to avoid impacts to marine mammals,
including collisions;
(9) The drilling support fleet will
avoid known fragile ecosystems,
including the Ledyard Bay Critical
Habitat Unit and will include
coordination through the Com Centers;
and
(10) Vessel speeds will be reduced
during inclement weather conditions in
order to reduce the potential for
collisions with marine mammals.
Aircraft and vessel traffic between the
drill sites and support facilities in
Wainwright, and aircraft traffic between
the drill sites and air support facilities
in Barrow would traverse areas that are
sometimes used for subsistence hunting
of belugas. Disturbance associated with
vessel and aircraft traffic could therefore
potentially affect beluga hunts. Vessel
and aircraft traffic associated with
Shell’s proposed drilling program will
be restricted under normal conditions to
designated corridors that remain
onshore or proceed directly offshore
thereby minimizing the amount of
traffic in coastal waters where beluga
hunts take place. The designated traffic
corridors do not traverse areas indicated
in recent mapping as utilized by
Barrow, Point Lay, or Point Hope for
beluga hunts. The corridor avoids
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important beluga hunting areas in
Kasegaluk Lagoon.
The POC also contains measures
regarding ice management procedures,
critical operations procedures, the
blowout prevention program, and oil
spill response. Some of the oil spill
response measures to reduce impacts to
subsistence hunts include: having the
primary OSRV on standby at all times
so that it is available within 1 hour if
needed; the remainder of the OSR fleet
will be available within 72 hours if
needed and will be capable of collecting
oil on the water up to the calculated
Worst Case Discharge; oil spill
containment equipment will be
available in the unlikely event of a
blowout; capping stack equipment will
be stored aboard one of the ice
management vessels and will be
available for immediate deployment in
the unlikely event of a blowout; and
pre-booming will be required for all fuel
transfers between vessels.
Unmitigable Adverse Impact Analysis
Shell has adopted a spatial and
temporal strategy for its Chukchi Sea
operations that should minimize
impacts to subsistence hunters. Shell
will enter the Chukchi Sea far offshore,
so as to not interfere with July hunts in
the Chukchi Sea villages and will
communicate with the Com Centers to
notify local communities of any changes
in the transit route. After the close of the
July beluga whale hunts in the Chukchi
Sea villages, very little whaling occurs
in Wainwright, Point Hope, and Point
Lay. Although the fall bowhead whale
hunt in Barrow will occur while Shell
is still operating (mid- to late September
to October), Barrow is located 140 mi
(225 km) east of the proposed drill sites.
Based on these factors, Shell’s Chukchi
Sea survey is not expected to interfere
with the fall bowhead harvest in
Barrow. In recent years, bowhead
whales have occasionally been taken in
the fall by coastal villages along the
Chukchi coast, but the total number of
these animals has been small.
Wainwright landed its first fall whale in
more than 90 years in October 2010.
Hunters from the northwest Arctic
villages prefer to harvest whales within
50 mi (80 km) so as to avoid long tows
back to shore.
Adverse impacts are not anticipated
on sealing activities since the majority
of hunts for seals occur in the winter
and spring, when Shell will not be
operating. Additionally, most sealing
activities occur much closer to shore
than Shell’s proposed drill sites.
Shell will also support the village
Com Centers in the Arctic communities
and employ local Subsistence Advisors
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from the Beaufort and Chukchi Sea
villages to provide consultation and
guidance regarding the whale migration
and subsistence hunt. The Subsistence
Advisors will provide advice to Shell on
ways to minimize and mitigate potential
impacts to subsistence resources during
the drilling season. Support activities,
such as helicopter flights, could impact
nearshore subsistence hunts. However,
Shell will use flight paths and agreed
upon flight altitudes to avoid adverse
impacts to hunts and will communicate
regularly with the Com Centers.
In the unlikely event of a major oil
spill in the Chukchi Sea, there could be
major impacts on the availability of
marine mammals for subsistence uses.
As discussed earlier in this document,
the probability of a major oil spill
occurring over the life of the project is
low (Bercha, 2008). Additionally, Shell
developed an ODPCP, which is
currently under review by the
Department of the Interior and several
Federal agencies and the public. Shell
has also incorporated several mitigation
measures into its operational design to
reduce further the risk of an oil spill.
Copies of Shell’s 2012 Chukchi Sea
Exploration Plan and ODPCP can be
found on the Internet at: https://
alaska.boemre.gov/ref/ProjectHistory/
2012_Shell_CK/revisedEP/EP.pdf and
https://www.alaska.boemre.gov/fo/
ODPCPs/2010_Chukchi_rev1.pdf,
respectively.
Proposed Incidental Harassment
Authorization
This section contains a draft of the
IHA itself. The wording contained in
this section is proposed for inclusion in
the IHA (if issued).
(1) This Authorization is valid from
July 4, 2012, through October 31, 2012.
(2) This Authorization is valid only
for activities associated with Shell’s
2012 Chukchi Sea exploration drilling
program. The specific areas where
Shell’s exploration drilling program will
be conducted are within Shell lease
holdings in the Outer Continental Shelf
Lease Sale 193 area in the Chukchi Sea.
(3)(a) The incidental taking of marine
mammals, by Level B harassment only,
is limited to the following species:
bowhead whale; gray whale; beluga
whale; minke whale; fin whale;
humpback whale; killer whale; harbor
porpoise; ringed seal; bearded seal;
spotted seal; and ribbon seal.
(3)(b) The taking by injury (Level A
harassment), serious injury, or death of
any of the species listed in Condition
3(a) or the taking of any kind of any
other species of marine mammal is
prohibited and may result in the
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modification, suspension or revocation
of this Authorization.
(4) The authorization for taking by
harassment is limited to the following
acoustic sources (or sources with
comparable frequency and intensity)
and from the following activities:
(a) 8-Airgun array with a total
discharge volume of 760 in3;
(b) Continuous drillship sounds
during active drilling operations; and
(c) Vessel sounds generated during
active ice management or icebreaking.
(5) The taking of any marine mammal
in a manner prohibited under this
Authorization must be reported
immediately to the Chief, Permits and
Conservation Division, Office of
Protected Resources, NMFS or his
designee.
(6) The holder of this Authorization
must notify the Chief of the Permits and
Conservation Division, Office of
Protected Resources, at least 48 hours
prior to the start of exploration drilling
activities (unless constrained by the
date of issuance of this Authorization in
which case notification shall be made as
soon as possible).
(7) General Mitigation and Monitoring
Requirements: The Holder of this
Authorization is required to implement
the following mitigation and monitoring
requirements when conducting the
specified activities to achieve the least
practicable impact on affected marine
mammal species or stocks:
(a) All vessels shall reduce speed to
at least 9 knots when within 300 yards
(274 m) of whales. The reduction in
speed will vary based on the situation
but must be sufficient to avoid
interfering with the whales. Those
vessels capable of steering around such
groups should do so. Vessels may not be
operated in such a way as to separate
members of a group of whales from
other members of the group;
(b) Avoid multiple changes in
direction and speed when within 300
yards (274 m) of whales;
(c) When weather conditions require,
such as when visibility drops, support
vessels must reduce speed and change
direction, as necessary (and as
operationally practicable), to avoid the
likelihood of injury to whales;
(d) Aircraft shall not fly within 1,000
ft (305 m) of marine mammals or below
1,500 ft (457 m) altitude (except during
takeoffs, landings, or in emergency
situations) while over land or sea;
(e) Utilize two, NMFS-qualified,
vessel-based Protected Species
Observers (PSOs) (except during meal
times and restroom breaks, when at least
one PSO shall be on watch) to visually
watch for and monitor marine mammals
near the drillship or support vessel
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during active drilling or airgun
operations (from nautical twilight-dawn
to nautical twilight-dusk) and before
and during start-ups of airguns day or
night. The vessels’ crew shall also assist
in detecting marine mammals, when
practicable. PSOs shall have access to
reticle binoculars (7 × 50 Fujinon), bigeye binoculars (25 × 150), and night
vision devices. PSO shifts shall last no
longer than 4 hours at a time and shall
not be on watch more than 12 hours in
a 24-hour period. PSOs shall also make
observations during daytime periods
when active operations are not being
conducted for comparison of animal
abundance and behavior, when feasible;
(f) When a mammal sighting is made,
the following information about the
sighting will be recorded by the PSOs:
(i) Species, group size, age/size/sex
categories (if determinable), behavior
when first sighted and after initial
sighting, heading (if consistent), bearing
and distance from the MMO, apparent
reaction to activities (e.g., none,
avoidance, approach, paralleling, etc.),
closest point of approach, and
behavioral pace;
(ii) Time, location, speed, activity of
the vessel, sea state, ice cover, visibility,
and sun glare; and
(iii) The positions of other vessel(s) in
the vicinity of the MMO location.
(iv) The ship’s position, speed of
support vessels, and water temperature,
water depth, sea state, ice cover,
visibility, and sun glare will also be
recorded at the start and end of each
observation watch, every 30 minutes
during a watch, and whenever there is
a change in any of those variables.
(g) PSO teams shall consist of Inupiat
observers and experienced field
biologists. An experienced field crew
leader will supervise the PSO team
onboard the survey vessel. New
observers shall be paired with
experienced observers to avoid
situations where lack of experience
impairs the quality of observations;
(h) PSOs will complete a two or threeday training session on marine mammal
monitoring, to be conducted shortly
before the anticipated start of the 2012
open-water season. The training
session(s) will be conducted by
qualified marine mammalogists with
extensive crew-leader experience during
previous vessel-based monitoring
programs. A marine mammal observers’
handbook, adapted for the specifics of
the planned program, will be reviewed
as part of the training;
(i) If there are Alaska Native PSOs, the
PSO training that is conducted prior to
the start of the survey activities shall be
conducted with both Alaska Native
PSOs and biologist PSOs being trained
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70005
at the same time in the same room.
There shall not be separate training
courses for the different PSOs; and
(j) PSOs shall be trained using visual
aids (e.g., videos, photos), to help them
identify the species that they are likely
to encounter in the conditions under
which the animals will likely be seen.
(8) ZVSP Mitigation and Monitoring
Measures: The Holder of this
Authorization is required to implement
the following mitigation and monitoring
requirements when conducting the
specified activities to achieve the least
practicable impact on affected marine
mammal species or stocks:
(a) PSOs shall conduct monitoring
while the airgun array is being deployed
or recovered from the water;
(b) PSOs shall visually observe the
entire extent of the exclusion zone (EZ)
(180 dB re 1 mPa [rms] for cetaceans and
190 dB re 1 mPa [rms] for pinnipeds)
using NMFS-qualified PSOs, for at least
30 minutes (min) prior to starting the
airgun array (day or night). If the PSO
finds a marine mammal within the EZ,
Shell must delay the seismic survey
until the marine mammal(s) has left the
area. If the PSO sees a marine mammal
that surfaces then dives below the
surface, the PSO shall continue the
watch for 30 min. If the PSO sees no
marine mammals during that time, they
should assume that the animal has
moved beyond the EZ. If for any reason
the entire radius cannot be seen for the
entire 30 min period (i.e., rough seas,
fog, darkness), or if marine mammals are
near, approaching, or in the EZ, the
airguns may not be ramped-up. If one
airgun is already running at a source
level of at least 180 dB re 1 mPa (rms),
the Holder of this Authorization may
start the second airgun without
observing the entire EZ for 30 min prior,
provided no marine mammals are
known to be near the EZ;
(c) Establish and monitor a 180 dB re
1 mPa (rms) and a 190 dB re 1 mPa (rms)
EZ for marine mammals before the 8airgun array (760 in3) is in operation;
and a 180 dB re 1 mPa (rms) and a 190
dB re 1 mPa (rms) EZ before a single
airgun (40 in3) is in operation,
respectively. For purposes of the field
verification tests, described in condition
10(c)(i) below, the 180 dB radius is
predicted to be 0.77 mi (1.24 km) and
the 190 dB radius is predicted to be 0.33
mi (524 m);
(d) Implement a ‘‘ramp-up’’ procedure
when starting up at the beginning of
seismic operations, which means start
the smallest gun first and add airguns in
a sequence such that the source level of
the array shall increase in steps not
exceeding approximately 6 dB per 5min period. During ramp-up, the PSOs
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shall monitor the EZ, and if marine
mammals are sighted, a power-down, or
shut-down shall be implemented as
though the full array were operational.
Therefore, initiation of ramp-up
procedures from shut-down requires
that the PSOs be able to view the full
EZ;
(e) Power-down or shutdown the
airgun(s) if a marine mammal is
detected within, approaches, or enters
the relevant EZ. A shutdown means all
operating airguns are shutdown (i.e.,
turned off). A power-down means
reducing the number of operating
airguns to a single operating 40 in3
airgun, which reduces the EZ to the
degree that the animal(s) is no longer in
or about to enter it;
(f) Following a power-down, if the
marine mammal approaches the smaller
designated EZ, the airguns must then be
completely shutdown. Airgun activity
shall not resume until the PSO has
visually observed the marine mammal(s)
exiting the EZ and is not likely to
return, or has not been seen within the
EZ for 15 min for species with shorter
dive durations (small odontocetes and
pinnipeds) or 30 min for species with
longer dive durations (mysticetes);
(g) Following a power-down or shutdown and subsequent animal departure,
airgun operations may resume following
ramp-up procedures described in
Condition 8(d) above;
(h) ZVSP surveys may continue into
night and low-light hours if such
segment(s) of the survey is initiated
when the entire relevant EZs are visible
and can be effectively monitored; and
(i) No initiation of airgun array
operations is permitted from a
shutdown position at night or during
low-light hours (such as in dense fog or
heavy rain) when the entire relevant EZ
cannot be effectively monitored by the
PSO(s) on duty.
(9) Subsistence Mitigation Measures:
To ensure no unmitigable adverse
impact on subsistence uses of marine
mammals, the Holder of this
Authorization shall:
(a) Traverse north through the Bering
Strait through the Chukchi Sea along a
route that lies offshore of the polynya
zone. In the event the transit outside of
the polynya zone results in Shell having
to break ice, the drilling vessel and
support vessels will enter into the
polynya zone far enough so that
icebreaking is not necessary. If it is
necessary to move into the polynya
zone, Shell shall notify the local
communities of the change in transit
route through the Communication and
Call Centers (Com Centers). As soon as
the fleet transits past the ice, it will exit
the polynya zone and continue a path in
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the open sea toward the Camden Bay
drill sites;
(b) Not enter the Bering Strait prior to
July 1 to minimize effects on spring and
early summer whaling;
(c) Implement the Communication
Plan before initiating exploration
drilling operations to coordinate
activities with local subsistence users
and Village Whaling Associations in
order to minimize the risk of interfering
with subsistence hunting activities;
(d) Participate in the Com Center
Program. The Com Centers shall operate
24 hours/day during the 2012 bowhead
whale hunt;
(e) Employ local Subsistence Advisors
(SAs) from the Beaufort and Chukchi
Sea villages to provide consultation and
guidance regarding the whale migration
and subsistence hunt;
(f) Not operate aircraft below 1,500 ft
(457 m) unless engaged in marine
mammal monitoring, approaching,
landing or taking off, or unless engaged
in providing assistance to a whaler or in
poor weather (low ceilings) or any other
emergency situations;
(g) Cool all drilling mud to mitigate
any potential permafrost thawing or
thermal dissociation of any methane
hydrates encountered during
exploration drilling if such materials are
present at the drill site; and
(h) Recycle all drilling mud to the
extent practicable based on operational
considerations (e.g., whether mud
properties have deteriorated to the point
where they cannot be used further) so
that the volume of the mud disposed of
at the end of the drilling season is
reduced.
(10) Monitoring Measures:
(a) Vessel-based Monitoring: The
Holder of this Authorization shall
designate biologically-trained PSOs to
be aboard the drillship and all support
vessels. The PSOs are required to
monitor for marine mammals in order to
implement the mitigation measures
described in conditions 7 and 8 above;
(b) Aerial Survey Monitoring: The
Holder of this Authorization must
implement the aerial survey monitoring
program detailed in its Marine Mammal
Mitigation and Monitoring Plan (4MP);
and
(c) Acoustic Monitoring:
(i) Field Source Verification: the
Holder of this Authorization is required
to conduct sound source verification
tests for the drilling vessel, support
vessels, and the airgun array. Sound
source verification shall consist of
distances where broadside and endfire
directions at which broadband received
levels reach 190, 180, 170, 160, and 120
dB re 1 mPa (rms) for all active acoustic
sources that may be used during the
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activities. For the airgun array, the
configurations shall include at least the
full array and the operation of a single
source that will be used during power
downs. The test results shall be reported
to NMFS within 5 days of completing
the test.
(ii) Acoustic ‘‘Net’’ Array: Deploy
acoustic recorders widely across the
U.S. Chukchi Sea and on the prospect
in order to gain information on the
distribution of marine mammals in the
region. This program must be
implemented as detailed in the 4MP.
(11) Reporting Requirements: The
Holder of this Authorization is required
to:
(a) Within 5 days of completing the
sound source verification tests for the
drillship, support vessels, and the
airguns, the Holder shall submit a
preliminary report of the results to
NMFS. The report should report down
to the 120-dB radius in 10-dB
increments;
(b) Submit a draft report on all
activities and monitoring results to the
Office of Protected Resources, NMFS,
within 90 days of the completion of the
exploration drilling program. This
report must contain and summarize the
following information:
(i) summaries of monitoring effort
(e.g., total hours, total distances, and
marine mammal distribution through
the study period, accounting for sea
state and other factors affecting
visibility and detectability of marine
mammals);
(ii) analyses of the effects of various
factors influencing detectability of
marine mammals (e.g., sea state, number
of observers, and fog/glare);
(iii) species composition, occurrence,
and distribution of marine mammal
sightings, including date, water depth,
numbers, age/size/gender categories (if
determinable), group sizes, and ice
cover;
(iv) sighting rates of marine mammals
during periods with and without
exploration drilling activities (and other
variables that could affect detectability),
such as: (A) initial sighting distances
versus drilling state; (B) closest point of
approach versus drilling state; (C)
observed behaviors and types of
movements versus drilling state; (D)
numbers of sightings/individuals seen
versus drilling state; (E) distribution
around the survey vessel versus drilling
state; and (F) estimates of take by
harassment;
(v) Reported results from all
hypothesis tests should include
estimates of the associated statistical
power when practicable;
(vi) Estimate and report uncertainty in
all take estimates. Uncertainty could be
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expressed by the presentation of
confidence limits, a minimummaximum, posterior probability
distribution, etc.; the exact approach
would be selected based on the
sampling method and data available;
(vii) The report should clearly
compare authorized takes to the level of
actual estimated takes.
(viii) If, after the independent
monitoring plan peer review changes
are made to the monitoring program,
those changes must be detailed in the
report.
(c) The draft report will be subject to
review and comment by NMFS. Any
recommendations made by NMFS must
be addressed in the final report prior to
acceptance by NMFS. The draft report
will be considered the final report for
this activity under this Authorization if
NMFS has not provided comments and
recommendations within 90 days of
receipt of the draft report.
(d) A draft comprehensive report
describing the aerial, acoustic, and
vessel-based monitoring programs will
be prepared and submitted within 240
days of the date of this Authorization.
The comprehensive report will describe
the methods, results, conclusions and
limitations of each of the individual
data sets in detail. The report will also
integrate (to the extent possible) the
studies into a broad based assessment of
all industry activities and their impacts
on marine mammals in the Arctic Ocean
during 2012.
(e) The draft comprehensive report
will be subject to review and comment
by NMFS, the AEWC, and the NSB
Department of Wildlife Management.
The draft comprehensive report will be
accepted by NMFS as the final
comprehensive report upon
incorporation of comments and
recommendations.
(12)(a) In the unanticipated event that
the drilling program operation clearly
causes the take of a marine mammal in
a manner prohibited by this
Authorization, such as an injury (Level
A harassment), serious injury or
mortality (e.g., ship-strike, gear
interaction, and/or entanglement), Shell
shall immediately cease operations and
immediately report the incident to the
Chief of the Permits and Conservation
Division, Office of Protected Resources,
NMFS, by phone or email and the
Alaska Regional Stranding Coordinators.
The report must include the following
information: (i) Time, date, and location
(latitude/longitude) of the incident; (ii)
the name and type of vessel involved;
(iii) the vessel’s speed during and
leading up to the incident; (iv)
description of the incident; (v) status of
all sound source use in the 24 hours
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preceding the incident; (vi) water depth;
(vii) environmental conditions (e.g.,
wind speed and direction, Beaufort sea
state, cloud cover, and visibility); (viii)
description of marine mammal
observations in the 24 hours preceding
the incident; (ix) species identification
or description of the animal(s) involved;
(x) the fate of the animal(s); (xi) and
photographs or video footage of the
animal (if equipment is available).
Activities shall not resume until
NMFS is able to review the
circumstances of the prohibited take.
NMFS shall work with Shell to
determine what is necessary to
minimize the likelihood of further
prohibited take and ensure MMPA
compliance. Shell may not resume their
activities until notified by NMFS via
letter, email, or telephone.
(b) In the event that Shell discovers an
injured or dead marine mammal, and
the lead PSO determines that the cause
of the injury or death is unknown and
the death is relatively recent (i.e., in less
than a moderate state of decomposition
as described in the next paragraph),
Shell will immediately report the
incident to the Chief of the Permits and
Conservation Division, Office of
Protected Resources, NMFS, by phone
or email and the NMFS Alaska
Stranding Hotline and/or by email to the
Alaska Regional Stranding Coordinators.
The report must include the same
information identified in Condition
12(a) above. Activities may continue
while NMFS reviews the circumstances
of the incident. NMFS will work with
Shell to determine whether
modifications in the activities are
appropriate.
(c) In the event that Shell discovers an
injured or dead marine mammal, and
the lead PSO determines that the injury
or death is not associated with or related
to the activities authorized in Condition
2 of this Authorization (e.g., previously
wounded animal, carcass with moderate
to advanced decomposition, or
scavenger damage), Shell shall report
the incident to the Chief of the Permits
and Conservation Division, Office of
Protected Resources, NMFS, by phone
or email and the NMFS Alaska
Stranding Hotline and/or by email to the
Alaska Regional Stranding Coordinators,
within 24 hours of the discovery. Shell
shall provide photographs or video
footage (if available) or other
documentation of the stranded animal
sighting to NMFS and the Marine
Mammal Stranding Network. Activities
may continue while NMFS reviews the
circumstances of the incident.
(13) Activities related to the
monitoring described in this
Authorization do not require a separate
PO 00000
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Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4703
70007
scientific research permit issued under
section 104 of the Marine Mammal
Protection Act.
(14) The Plan of Cooperation
outlining the steps that will be taken to
cooperate and communicate with the
native communities to ensure the
availability of marine mammals for
subsistence uses must be implemented.
(15) Shell is required to comply with
the Terms and Conditions of the
Incidental Take Statement (ITS)
corresponding to NMFS’s Biological
Opinion issued to NMFS’s Office of
Protected Resources.
(16) A copy of this Authorization and
the ITS must be in the possession of all
contractors and PSOs operating under
the authority of this Incidental
Harassment Authorization.
(17) Penalties and Permit Sanctions:
Any person who violates any provision
of this Incidental Harassment
Authorization is subject to civil and
criminal penalties, permit sanctions,
and forfeiture as authorized under the
MMPA.
(18) This Authorization may be
modified, suspended or withdrawn if
the Holder fails to abide by the
conditions prescribed herein or if the
authorized taking is having more than a
negligible impact on the species or stock
of affected marine mammals, or if there
is an unmitigable adverse impact on the
availability of such species or stocks for
subsistence uses.
Endangered Species Act (ESA)
There are three marine mammal
species listed as endangered under the
ESA with confirmed or possible
occurrence in the proposed project area:
the bowhead, humpback, and fin
whales. NMFS’ Permits and
Conservation Division will initiate
consultation with NMFS’ Endangered
Species Division under section 7 of the
ESA on the issuance of an IHA to Shell
under section 101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA
for this activity. Consultation will be
concluded prior to a determination on
the issuance of an IHA.
National Environmental Policy Act
(NEPA)
NMFS is currently preparing an
Environmental Assessment (EA),
pursuant to NEPA, to determine
whether the issuance of an IHA to Shell
for its 2012 drilling activities may have
a significant impact on the human
environment. NMFS expects to release a
draft of the EA for public comment and
will inform the public through the
Federal Register and posting on our
Web site once a draft is available (see
ADDRESSES).
E:\FR\FM\09NON2.SGM
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Federal Register / Vol. 76, No. 217 / Wednesday, November 9, 2011 / Notices
Request for Public Comment
jlentini on DSK4TPTVN1PROD with NOTICES2
As noted above, NMFS requests
comment on our analysis, the draft
authorization, and any other aspect of
the Notice of Proposed IHA for Shell’s
VerDate Mar<15>2010
18:38 Nov 08, 2011
Jkt 226001
2012 Chukchi Sea exploratory drilling
program. Please include, with your
comments, any supporting data or
literature citations to help inform our
final decision on Shell’s request for an
MMPA authorization.
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Dated: November 2, 2011.
James H. Lecky,
Director, Office of Protected Resources,
National Marine Fisheries Service.
[FR Doc. 2011–28914 Filed 11–8–11; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3510–22–P
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 76, Number 217 (Wednesday, November 9, 2011)]
[Notices]
[Pages 69958-70008]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2011-28914]
[[Page 69957]]
Vol. 76
Wednesday,
No. 217
November 9, 2011
Part VI
Department of Commerce
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National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
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Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to Specified Activities; Taking
Marine Mammals Incidental to an Exploration Drilling Program in the
Chukchi Sea, Alaska; Notice
Federal Register / Vol. 76 , No. 217 / Wednesday, November 9, 2011 /
Notices
[[Page 69958]]
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DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
RIN 0648-XA811
Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to Specified Activities;
Taking Marine Mammals Incidental to an Exploration Drilling Program in
the Chukchi Sea, Alaska
AGENCY: National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Commerce.
ACTION: Notice; proposed incidental harassment authorization; request
for comments.
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SUMMARY: NMFS received an application from Shell Offshore Inc. (Shell)
for an Incidental Harassment Authorization (IHA) to take marine
mammals, by harassment, incidental to offshore exploration drilling on
Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) leases in the Chukchi Sea, Alaska.
Pursuant to the Marine Mammal Protection Act (MMPA), NMFS is requesting
comments on its proposal to issue an IHA to Shell to take, by Level B
harassment only, 12 species of marine mammals during the specified
activity.
DATES: Comments and information must be received no later than December
9, 2011.
ADDRESSES: Comments on the application should be addressed to Michael
Payne, Chief, Permits and Conservation Division, Office of Protected
Resources, National Marine Fisheries Service, 1315 East-West Highway,
Silver Spring, MD 20910. The mailbox address for providing email
comments is ITP.Nachman@noaa.gov. NMFS is not responsible for email
comments sent to addresses other than the one provided here. Comments
sent via email, including all attachments, must not exceed a 10-
megabyte file size.
Instructions: All comments received are a part of the public record
and will generally be posted to https://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/permits/incidental.htm without change. All Personal Identifying Information
(for example, name, address, etc.) voluntarily submitted by the
commenter may be publicly accessible. Do not submit Confidential
Business Information or otherwise sensitive or protected information.
A copy of the application, which contains several attachments,
including Shell's marine mammal mitigation and monitoring plan and Plan
of Cooperation, used in this document may be obtained by writing to the
address specified above, telephoning the contact listed below (see FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT), or visiting the Internet at: https://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/permits/incidental.htm. Documents cited in this
notice may also be viewed, by appointment, during regular business
hours, at the aforementioned address.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Candace Nachman, Office of Protected
Resources, NMFS, (301) 427-8401.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background
Sections 101(a)(5)(A) and (D) of the MMPA (16 U.S.C. 1361 et seq.)
direct the Secretary of Commerce to allow, upon request, the
incidental, but not intentional, taking of small numbers of marine
mammals by U.S. citizens who engage in a specified activity (other than
commercial fishing) within a specified geographical region if certain
findings are made and either regulations are issued or, if the taking
is limited to harassment, a notice of a proposed authorization is
provided to the public for review.
Authorization for incidental takings shall be granted if NMFS finds
that the taking will have a negligible impact on the species or
stock(s), will not have an unmitigable adverse impact on the
availability of the species or stock(s) for subsistence uses (where
relevant), and if the permissible methods of taking and requirements
pertaining to the mitigation, monitoring and reporting of such takings
are set forth. NMFS has defined ``negligible impact'' in 50 CFR 216.103
as ``* * * an impact resulting from the specified activity that cannot
be reasonably expected to, and is not reasonably likely to, adversely
affect the species or stock through effects on annual rates of
recruitment or survival.''
Section 101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA established an expedited process
by which citizens of the U.S. can apply for an authorization to
incidentally take small numbers of marine mammals by harassment.
Section 101(a)(5)(D) establishes a 45-day time limit for NMFS review of
an application followed by a 30-day public notice and comment period on
any proposed authorizations for the incidental harassment of marine
mammals. Within 45 days of the close of the comment period, NMFS must
either issue or deny the authorization.
Except with respect to certain activities not pertinent here, the
MMPA defines ``harassment'' as:
any act of pursuit, torment, or annoyance which (i) has the
potential to injure a marine mammal or marine mammal stock in the
wild [``Level A harassment'']; or (ii) has the potential to disturb
a marine mammal or marine mammal stock in the wild by causing
disruption of behavioral patterns, including, but not limited to,
migration, breathing, nursing, breeding, feeding, or sheltering
[``Level B harassment''].
Summary of Request
NMFS received an application on June 30, 2011, from Shell for the
taking, by harassment, of marine mammals incidental to offshore
exploration drilling on OCS leases in the Chukchi Sea, Alaska. NMFS
reviewed Shell's application and identified a number of issues
requiring further clarification. After addressing comments from NMFS,
Shell modified its application and submitted a revised application on
September 12, 2011. NMFS carefully evaluated Shell's application,
including their analyses, and determined that the application is
complete. The September 12, 2011, application is the one available for
public comment (see ADDRESSES) and considered by NMFS for this proposed
IHA.
Shell plans to drill up to three exploration wells at three
possible drill sites and potentially a partial well at a fourth drill
site on OCS leases offshore in the Chukchi Sea, Alaska, during the 2012
Arctic open-water season (July through October). Impacts to marine
mammals may occur from noise produced by the drillship, zero-offset
vertical seismic profile (ZVSP) surveys, and supporting vessels
(including icebreakers) and aircraft. Shell has requested an
authorization to take 13 marine mammal species by Level B harassment.
However, the narwhal (Monodon monoceros) is not expected to be found in
the activity area. Therefore, NMFS is proposing to authorize take of 12
marine mammal species, by Level B harassment, incidental to Shell's
offshore exploration drilling in the Chukchi Sea. These species
include: Beluga whale (Delphinapterus leucas); bowhead whale (Balaena
mysticetus); gray whale (Eschrichtius robustus); killer whale (Orcinus
orca); minke whale (Balaenoptera acutorostrata); fin whale
(Balaenoptera physalus); humpback whale (Megaptera novaeangliae);
harbor porpoise (Phocoena phocoena); bearded seal (Erignathus
barbatus); ringed seal (Phoca hispida); spotted seal (P. largha); and
ribbon seal (Histriophoca fasciata).
Description of the Specified Activity and Specified Geographic Region
Shell plans to conduct an offshore exploration drilling program on
U.S. Department of the Interior, Bureau of Ocean Energy Management
(BOEM, formerly the Minerals Management
[[Page 69959]]
Service) Alaska OCS leases located greater than 64 mi (103 km) from the
Chukchi Sea coast during the 2012 open-water season. The leases were
acquired during the Chukchi Sea Oil and Gas Lease Sale 193 held in
February 2008. During the 2012 drilling program, Shell plans to drill
up to three exploration wells at three drill sites and potentially a
partial well at a fourth drill site at the prospect known as Burger.
See Figure 1-1 in Shell's application for the lease block and drill
site locations (see ADDRESSES). All drilling is planned to be vertical.
Exploration Drilling
All of the possible Chukchi Sea offshore drill sites are located
between 65 and 78 mi (105 and 125.5 km) from the Chukchi coast in water
depths between 143 and 150 ft (43.7 and 45.8 m). Table 2-1 in Shell's
application provides the coordinates for the drill sites (see
ADDRESSES). All of the proposed wells would be at Shell's Burger
prospect. Shell has identified a total of six lease blocks on this
prospect where drilling could occur.
(1) Drilling Vessel
Shell proposes to use the ice strengthened drillship Discoverer to
drill the wells. The Discoverer is a true drillship and is a largely
self-contained drillship that offers full accommodations for a crew of
up to 140 persons. The Discoverer is 514 ft (156.7 m) long with a
maximum height (above keel) of 274 ft (83.7 m). It is an anchored
drillship with an 8-point anchored mooring system and would likely have
a maximum anchor radius of 2,969-2,986 ft (905-910 m) at either the
Sivulliq or Torpedo drill sites. While on location at the drill sites,
the Discoverer will be affixed to the seafloor using eight 7,000 kg
(7.7 ton) Stevpris anchors arranged in a radial array. The underwater
fairleads prevent ice fouling of the anchor lines. Turret mooring
allows orientation of the vessel's bow into the prevailing ice drift
direction to present minimum hull exposure to drifting ice. The vessel
is rotated around the turret by hydraulic jacks. Rotation can be
augmented by the use of the fitted bow and stern thrusters. The hull
has been reinforced for ice resistance. Ice-strengthened sponsons have
been retrofitted to the ship's hull. Additional details about the
drillship can be found in Attachment A of Shell's IHA application (see
ADDRESSES).
(2) Support Vessels
During the 2012 drilling season, the Discoverer will be attended by
eight vessels that will be used for ice management, anchor handling,
oil spill response (OSR), refueling, resupply, and servicing of the
exploration drilling operations. The ice-management vessels will
consist of an icebreaker and an anchor handler. The OSR vessels
supporting the exploration drilling program include a dedicated OSR
barge and an OSR vessel, both of which have associated smaller
workboats, an oil spill tanker, and a containment barge. Tables 1-2a
and 1-2b in Shell's application provide a list of the support and OSR
vessels that will be used during the drilling program.
Shell's base plan is for the ice management vessel and the anchor
handler, or similar vessels, the oil spill vessels (OSVs), and
potentially some of the OSR vessels to accompany the Discoverer
traveling north from Dutch Harbor through the Bering Strait, on or
about July 1, 2012, then into the Chukchi Sea, before arriving on
location approximately July 4. Exploration drilling is expected to be
complete by October 31, 2012. At the completion of the drilling season,
one or two ice-management vessels, along with various support vessels,
such as the OSR fleet, will accompany the Discoverer as it travels
south out of the Chukchi Sea and through the Bering Strait to Dutch
Harbor. Subject to ice conditions, alternate exit routes may be
considered.
The M/V Fennica (Fennica), or a similar vessel, will serve as the
primary ice management vessel, and the M/V Tor Viking (Tor Viking), or
a similar vessel, will serve as the primary anchor handling vessel in
support of the Discoverer. The Fennica and Tor Viking will remain at a
location approximately 25 mi (40 km) upwind and upcurrent of the
drillship when not in use. Any ice management would be expected to
occur within 0.6-6 mi (1-9.6 km) upwind from the Discoverer. When
managing ice, the vessels will generally be confined to a 40[deg] arc
up to 3.1 mi (4.9 km) upwind originating at the drilling vessel (see
Figure 1-3 in Shell's application). It is anticipated that the ice
management vessels will be managing ice for up to 38% of the time when
within 25 mi (40 km) of the Discoverer. Active ice management involves
using the ice management vessel to steer larger floes so that their
path does not intersect with the drill site. Around-the-clock ice
forecasting using real-time satellite coverage (available through Shell
Ice and Weather Advisory Center [SIWAC]) will support the ice
management duties. The proposed exploration drilling operations will
require two OSVs to resupply the Discoverer with exploration drilling
materials and supplies from facilities in Dutch Harbor and fuel.
(3) Aircraft
Offshore operations will be serviced by helicopters operated out of
onshore support base locations. A Sikorsky S-92 or Eurocopter EC225
capable of transporting 10 to 12 persons will be used to transport
crews between the onshore support base and the drillship. The
helicopters will also be used to haul small amounts of food, materials,
equipment, and waste between vessels and the shorebase. The helicopter
will be housed at facilities at the Barrow airport. Shell will have a
second helicopter for Search and Rescue (SAR). The SAR helicopter is
expected to be a Sikorsky S-61, S-92, Eurocopter EC225, or similar
model. This aircraft will stay grounded at the Barrow shorebase
location except during training drills, emergencies, and other non-
routine events.
A fixed wing propeller or turboprop aircraft, such as a Saab 340-B
30-seat, Beechcraft 1900, or deHavilland Dash8 will be used to
routinely transport crews, materials, and equipment between the
shorebase and hub airports such as Barrow or Fairbanks. A fixed wing
aircraft, deHavilland Twin Otter (DHC-6) will be used for marine mammal
monitoring flights. Table 1-2c in Shell's application presents the
aircraft planned to support the exploration drilling program.
Zero-Offset Vertical Seismic Profile
At the end of each drill hole, Shell may conduct a geophysical
survey referred to as ZVSP at each drill site where a well is drilled
in 2012. During ZVSP surveys, an airgun array is deployed at a location
near or adjacent to the drilling vessel, while receivers are placed
(temporarily anchored) in the wellbore. The sound source (airgun array)
is fired repeatedly, and the reflected sonic waves are recorded by
receivers (geophones) located in the wellbore. The geophones, typically
in a string, are then raised up to the next interval in the wellbore,
and the process is repeated until the entire wellbore has been
surveyed. The purpose of the ZVSP is to gather geophysical information
at various depths, which can then be used to tie-in or ground-truth
geophysical information from the previous seismic surveys with
geological data collected within the wellbore.
Shell intends to conduct a particular form of vertical seismic
profile known as a ZVSP, in which the sound source is maintained at a
constant location near the wellbore (see Figure 1-2 in Shell's
[[Page 69960]]
application). A typical sound source that would be used by Shell in
2012 is the ITAGA eight-airgun array, which consists of four 150 in\3\
airguns and four 40 in\3\ airguns. These airguns can be activated in
any combination, and Shell intends to utilize the minimum airgun volume
required to obtain an acceptable signal. Current specifications of the
array are provided in Table 1-3 of Shell's application. The airgun
array is depicted within its frame or sled, which is approximately 6 ft
x 5 ft x 10 ft (1.8 m x 1.5 m x 3 m) (see photograph in Shell's
application). Typical receivers would consist of a Schlumberger
wireline four level Vertical Seismic Imager (VSI) tool, which has four
receivers 50-ft (15-m) apart.
A ZVSP survey is normally conducted at each well after total depth
is reached but may be conducted at a shallower depth. For each survey,
Shell plans to deploy the airgun array over the side of the Discoverer
with a crane (sound source will be 50-200 ft [15-61 m] from the
wellhead depending on crane location) to a depth of approximately 10-23
ft (3-7 m) below the water surface. The VSI, with its four receivers,
will be temporarily anchored in the wellbore at depth. The sound source
will be pressured up to 2,000 pounds per square inch (psi) and
activated 5-7 times at approximately 20-second intervals. The VSI will
then be moved to the next interval of the wellbore and reanchored,
after which the airgun array will again be activated 5-7 times. This
process will be repeated until the entire well bore is surveyed in this
manner. The interval between anchor points for the VSI usually is
between 200 and 300 ft (61 and 91 m). A normal ZVSP survey is conducted
over a period of about 10-14 hours, depending on the depth of the well
and the number of anchoring points. Therefore, considering a few
different scenarios, the airgun array could be fired between 117 and
245 times during the 10-14 hour period. For example, a 7,000-ft
(2,133.6-m) well with 200-ft (61-m) spacing and seven activations per
station would result in the airgun array being fired 245 times to
survey the entire well. That same 7,000-ft (2,133.6-m) well with 300-ft
(91-m) spacing and five activations would result in the airgun array
being fired 117 times to survey the entire well. The remainder of the
time during those 10-14 hours when the airgun is not firing is used to
move and anchor the geophone array.
Ice Management and Forecasting
Shell recognizes that the drilling program is located in an area
that is characterized by active sea ice movement, ice scouring, and
storm surges. In anticipation of potential ice hazards that may be
encountered, Shell has developed and will implement an Ice Management
Plan (IMP; see Attachment B in Shell's IHA application) to ensure real-
time ice and weather forecasting is conducted in order to identify
conditions that might put operations at risk and will modify its
activities accordingly. The IMP also contains ice threat classification
levels depending on the time available to suspend drilling operations,
secure the well, and escape from advancing hazardous ice. Real-time ice
and weather forecasting will be available to operations personnel for
planning purposes and to alert the fleet of impending hazardous ice and
weather conditions. Ice and weather forecasting is provided by SIWAC.
The center is continuously manned by experienced personnel, who rely on
a number of data sources for ice forecasting and tracking, including:
Radarsat and Envisat data--satellites with Synthetic
Aperture Radar, providing all-weather imagery of ice conditions with
very high resolution;
Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer--a satellite
providing lower resolution visual and near infrared imagery;
Aerial reconnaissance--provided by specially deployed
fixed wing or rotary wing aircraft for confirmation of ice conditions
and position;
Reports from ice specialists on the ice management and
anchor handling vessels and from the ice observer on the drillship;
Incidental ice data provided by commercial ships
transiting the area; and
Information from NOAA ice centers and the University of
Colorado.
Drift ice will be actively managed by ice management vessels,
consisting of an ice management vessel and an anchor handling vessel.
Ice management for safe operation of Shell's planned exploration
drilling program will occur far out in the OCS, remote from the
vicinities of any routine marine vessel traffic in the Chukchi Sea
causing no threat to public safety or services that occur near to
shore. Shell vessels will also communicate movements and activities
through the 2012 North Slope Communications Centers. Management of ice
by ice management vessels will occur during a drilling season
predominated by open water and thus is not expected to contribute to
ice hazards, such as ridging, override, or pileup in an offshore or
nearshore environment.
The ice-management/anchor handling vessels would manage the ice by
deflecting any ice floes that could affect the Discoverer when it is
drilling and would also handle the Discoverer's anchors during
connection to and separation from the seafloor. When managing ice, the
ice management and anchor handling vessels will generally be operating
at a 40[deg] arc up to 3.1 mi (4.9 km) upwind originating at the
Discoverer (see Figure 1-3 in Shell's application).
The ice-management/anchor handling vessels would manage any ice
floes upwind of the Discoverer by deflecting those that could affect
the Discoverer when it is on location conducting exploration drilling
operations. The ice-management/anchor handling vessels would also
manage the Discoverer's anchors during connection to and separation
from the seafloor. The ice floe frequency and intensity are
unpredictable and could range from no ice to ice sufficiently dense
that the fleet has insufficient capacity to continue operating, and the
Discoverer would need to disconnect from its anchors and move off site.
If ice is present, ice management activities may be necessary in early
July and towards the end of operations in late October, but it is not
expected to be needed throughout the proposed drilling season. Shell
has indicated that when ice is present at the drill site, ice
disturbance will be limited to the minimum needed to allow drilling to
continue. First-year ice (i.e., ice that formed in the most recent
autumn-winter period) will be the type most likely to be encountered.
The ice management vessels will be tasked with managing the ice so that
it will flow easily around and past the Discoverer without building up
in front of or around it. This type of ice is managed by the ice
management vessel continually moving back and forth across the drift
line, directly up-drift of the Discoverer and making turns at both
ends. During ice management, the vessel's propeller is rotating at
approximately 15-20 percent of the vessel's propeller rotation
capacity. Ice management occurs with slow movements of the vessel using
lower power and therefore slower propeller rotation speed (i.e., lower
cavitation), allowing for fewer repositions of the vessel, thereby
reducing cavitation effects in the water. Occasionally, there may be
multi-year ice (i.e., ice that has survived at least one summer melt
season) ridges that would be managed at a much slower speed than that
used to manage first-year ice.
During Chukchi Sea exploration drilling operations, Shell has
indicated
[[Page 69961]]
that they do not intend to conduct any icebreaking activities; rather,
Shell would deploy its support vessels to manage ice as described here.
As detailed in Shell's IMP (see Attachment B of Shell's IHA
application), actual breaking of ice would occur only in the unlikely
event that ice conditions in the immediate vicinity of operations
create a safety hazard for the drilling vessel. In such a circumstance,
operations personnel will follow the guidelines established in the IMP
to evaluate ice conditions and make the formal designation of a
hazardous, ice alert condition, which would trigger the procedures that
govern any actual icebreaking operations. Historical data relative to
ice conditions in the Chukchi Sea in the vicinity of Shell's planned
operations, and during the timeframe for those operations, establish
that there is a very low probability (e.g., minimal) for the type of
hazardous ice conditions that might necessitate icebreaking (e.g.,
records of the National Naval Ice Center archives). This probability
could be greater at the shoulders of the drilling season (early July or
late October); therefore, for purposes of evaluating possible impacts
of the planned activities, Shell has assumed limited icebreaking
activities for a very limited period of time, and estimated incidental
takes of marine mammals from such activities.
Timeframe of Activities
Shell proposes to mobilize the drillship and its fleet of vessels
from Dutch Harbor and to travel through the Bering Strait on or about
July 1, 2012. The vessels would then travel into the Chukchi Sea,
arriving on location at the Burger prospect in the Chukchi Sea on
approximately July 4, 2012. Shell proposes to conduct the exploration
drilling program through October 31, 2012. At the end of the
exploration drilling season, the Discoverer and its support vessels
would travel south out of the Chukchi Sea through the Bering Strait to
Dutch Harbor. Subject to ice conditions, alternate exit routes may be
considered.
Shell anticipates that the exploration drilling program will
require approximately 32 days per well, including mudline cellar
construction. Therefore, if Shell is able to drill three exploration
wells during the 2012 open-water season, it would require a total of 96
days. If Shell is able to drill part of a fourth well, it would add an
additional 1-32 days to the season but would not extend beyond October
31, 2012. These estimates do not include any downtime for weather or
other operational delays. Time to conduct the ZVSP surveys for each
well is included in the 32 drilling days for each well. Shell also
assumes approximately 10 additional days will be needed for transit,
drillship mobilization and mooring, drillship moves between locations,
and drillship demobilization.
Activities associated with the 2012 Chukchi Sea exploration
drilling program include operation of the Discoverer, associated
support vessels, crew change support, and resupply, ZVSP surveys, and
icebreaking. The Discoverer will remain at the location of the
designated exploration drill sites except when mobilizing and
demobilizing to and from the Chukchi Sea, transiting between drill
sites, and temporarily moving off location if it is determined ice
conditions require such a move to ensure the safety of personnel and/or
the environment in accordance with Shell's IMP. The anchor handler and
OSR vessels will remain in close proximity to the drillship during
drilling operations.
Exploratory Drilling Program Sound Characteristics
Potential impacts to marine mammals could occur from the noise
produced by the drillship and its support vessels (including the
icebreakers), aircraft, and the airgun array during ZVSP surveys. The
drillship produces continuous noise into the marine environment. NMFS
currently uses a threshold of 120 dB re 1 [mu]Pa (rms) for the onset of
Level B harassment from continuous sound sources. This 120 dB threshold
is also applicable for the icebreakers when actively managing or
breaking ice. The drilling vessel to be used will be the Discoverer.
The airgun array proposed to be used by Shell for the ZVSP surveys
produces pulsed noise into the marine environment. NMFS currently uses
a threshold of 160 dB re 1 [mu]Pa (rms) for the onset of Level B
harassment from pulsed sound sources.
(1) Drilling Sounds
Exploratory drilling will be conducted from the Discoverer, a
vessel specifically designed for such operations in the Arctic.
Underwater sound propagation results from the use of generators,
drilling machinery, and the rig itself. Received sound levels during
vessel-based operations may fluctuate depending on the specific type of
activity at a given time and aspect from the vessel. Underwater sound
levels may also depend on the specific equipment in operation. Lower
sound levels have been reported during well logging than during
drilling operations (Greene, 1987b), and underwater sound levels
appeared to be lower at the bow and stern aspects than at the beam
(Greene, 1987a).
Most drilling sounds generated from vessel-based operations occur
at relatively low frequencies below 600 Hz although tones up to 1,850
Hz were recorded by Greene (1987a) during drilling operations in the
Beaufort Sea. At a range of 558 ft (170 m) the 20-1000 Hz band level
was 122-125 dB for the drillship Explorer I. Underwater sound levels
were slightly higher (134 dB) during drilling activity from the
Northern Explorer II at a range of 656 ft (200 m), although tones were
only recorded below 600 Hz. Underwater sound measurements from the
Kulluk at 0.62 mi (1 km) were higher (143 dB) than from the other two
vessels.
Sound measurements from the Discoverer have not previously been
conducted in the Arctic. However, measurements of sounds produced by
the Discoverer were made in the South China Sea in 2009 (Austin and
Warner, 2010). The results of those measurements were used to model the
sound propagation from the Discoverer (including a nearby support
vessel) at planned exploration drilling locations in the Chukchi Sea
(Warner and Hannay, 2011). Broadband source levels of sounds produced
by the Discoverer varied by activity and direction from the ship but
were generally between 177 and 185 dB re 1 [micro]Pa at 1 m (rms)
(Austin and Warner, 2010). Once on location at the drill sites in
Chukchi Sea, Shell plans to take measurements of the drillship to
quantify the absolute sound levels produced by drilling and to monitor
their variations with time, distance, and direction from the drilling
vessel.
(2) Vessel Sounds
In addition to the drillship, various types of vessels will be used
in support of the operations, including ice management vessels, anchor
handlers, offshore supply vessels, barges and tugs, and OSR vessels.
Sounds from boats and vessels have been reported extensively (Greene
and Moore, 1995; Blackwell and Greene, 2002, 2005, 2006). Numerous
measurements of underwater vessel sound have been performed in support
of recent industry activity in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas. Results
of these measurements were reported in various 90-day and comprehensive
reports since 2007 (e.g., Aerts et al., 2008; Hauser et al., 2008;
Brueggeman, 2009; Ireland et al., 2009). For example, Garner and Hannay
(2009) estimated sound pressure levels of 100 dB at distances ranging
from approximately 1.5 to 2.3 mi (2.4 to 3.7 km) from various types of
barges. MacDonald et
[[Page 69962]]
al. (2008) estimated higher underwater sound pressure levels (SPLs)
from the seismic vessel Gilavar of 120 dB at approximately 13 mi (21
km) from the source, although the sound level was only 150 dB at 85 ft
(26 m) from the vessel. Like other industry-generated sound, underwater
sound from vessels is generally at relatively low frequencies.
The primary sources of sounds from all vessel classes are propeller
cavitation, propeller singing, and propulsion or other machinery.
Propeller cavitation is usually the dominant noise source for vessels
(Ross, 1976). Propeller cavitation and singing are produced outside the
hull, whereas propulsion or other machinery noise originates inside the
hull. There are additional sounds produced by vessel activity, such as
pumps, generators, flow noise from water passing over the hull, and
bubbles breaking in the wake. Icebreakers contribute greater sound
levels during icebreaking activities than ships of similar size during
normal operation in open water (Richardson et al., 1995a). This higher
sound production results from the greater amount of power and propeller
cavitation required when operating in thick ice.
Measurements of the icebreaking supply ship Robert Lemeur pushing
and breaking ice during exploration drilling operations in the Beaufort
Sea in 1986 resulted in an estimated broadband source level of 193 dB
re 1 [micro]Pa at 1 m (Greene, 1987a; Richardson et al., 1995a).
Sound levels during ice management activities would not be as
intense as during icebreaking, and the resulting effects to marine
species would be less significant in comparison. During ice management,
the vessel's propeller is rotating at approximately 15-20 percent of
the vessel's propeller rotation capacity. Instead of actually breaking
ice, during ice management, the vessel redirects and repositions the
ice by pushing it away from the direction of the drillship at slow
speeds so that the ice floe does not slip past the vessel bow.
Basically, ice management occurs at slower speed, lower power, and
slower propeller rotation speed (i.e., lower cavitation), allowing for
fewer repositions of the vessel, thereby reducing cavitation effects in
the water than would occur during icebreaking. Once on location at the
drill sites in the Chukchi Sea, Shell plans to measure the sound levels
produced by vessels operating in support of drilling operations. These
vessels will include crew change vessels, tugs, ice management vessels,
and OSR vessels.
(3) Aircraft Sound
Helicopters may be used for personnel and equipment transport to
and from the drillship. Under calm conditions, rotor and engine sounds
are coupled into the water within a 26[deg] cone beneath the aircraft.
Some of the sound will transmit beyond the immediate area, and some
sound will enter the water outside the 26[deg] area when the sea
surface is rough. However, scattering and absorption will limit lateral
propagation in the shallow water.
Dominant tones in noise spectra from helicopters are generally
below 500 Hz (Greene and Moore, 1995). Harmonics of the main rotor and
tail rotor usually dominate the sound from helicopters; however, many
additional tones associated with the engines and other rotating parts
are sometimes present.
Because of doppler shift effects, the frequencies of tones received
at a stationary site diminish when an aircraft passes overhead. The
apparent frequency is increased while the aircraft approaches and is
reduced while it moves away.
Aircraft flyovers are not heard underwater for very long,
especially when compared to how long they are heard in air as the
aircraft approaches an observer. Helicopters flying to and from the
drillship will generally maintain straight-line routes at altitudes of
at least 1,500 ft (457 m) above sea level, thereby limiting the
received levels at and below the surface. Aircraft travel would be
controlled by Federal Aviation Administration approved flight paths.
(4) Vertical Seismic Profile Sound
A typical eight airgun array (4 x 40 in\3\ airguns and 4 x 150
in\3\ airguns, for a total discharge volume of 760 in\3\) would be used
to perform ZVSP surveys, if conducted after the completion of each
exploratory well. Typically, a single ZVSP survey will be performed
when the well has reached proposed total depth or final depth;
although, in some instances, a prior ZVSP will have been performed at a
shallower depth. A typical survey will last 10-14 hours, depending on
the depth of the well and the number of anchoring points, and include
firings of the full array, plus additional firing of a single 40-in\3\
airgun to be used as a ``mitigation airgun'' while the geophones are
relocated within the wellbore. The source level for the airgun array
proposed for use by Shell will differ based on source depth. At a depth
of 9.8 ft (3 m), the SPL is 238 dB re 1 [mu]Pa at 1 m, and at a depth
of 16.4 ft (5 m), the SPL is 241 dB re 1 [mu]Pa at 1 m, with most
energy between 20 and 140 Hz.
Airguns function by venting high-pressure air into the water. The
pressure signature of an individual airgun consists of a sharp rise and
then fall in pressure, followed by several positive and negative
pressure excursions caused by oscillation of the resulting air bubble.
The sizes, arrangement, and firing times of the individual airguns in
an array are designed and synchronized to suppress the pressure
oscillations subsequent to the first cycle. Typical high-energy airgun
arrays emit most energy at 10-120 Hz. However, the pulses contain
significant energy up to 500-1,000 Hz and some energy at higher
frequencies (Goold and Fish, 1998; Potter et al., 2007).
Although there will be several support vessels in the drilling
operations area, NMFS considers the possibility of collisions with
marine mammals highly unlikely. Once on location, the majority of the
support vessels will remain in the area of the drillship throughout the
2012 drilling season and will not be making trips between the shorebase
and the offshore vessels. When not needed for ice management/
icebreaking operations, the icebreaker and anchor handler will remain
approximately 25 mi (40 km) upwind and upcurrent of the drillship. Any
ice management/icebreaking activity would be expected to occur at a
distance of 0.6-12 mi (1-19 km) upwind and upcurrent of the drillship.
As the crew change/resupply activities are considered part of normal
vessel traffic and are not anticipated to impact marine mammals in a
manner that would rise to the level of taking, those activities are not
considered further in this document.
Description of Marine Mammals in the Area of the Specified Activity
The Chukchi Sea supports a diverse assemblage of marine mammals,
including: bowhead, gray, beluga, killer, minke, humpback, and fin
whales; harbor porpoise; ringed, ribbon, spotted, and bearded seals;
narwhals; polar bears (Ursus maritimus); and walruses (Odobenus
rosmarus divergens; see Table 4-1 in Shell's application). The bowhead,
humpback, and fin whales are listed as ``endangered'' under the
Endangered Species Act (ESA) and as depleted under the MMPA. Certain
stocks or populations of gray, beluga, and killer whales and spotted
seals are listed as endangered or are proposed for listing under the
ESA; however, none of those stocks or populations occur in the proposed
activity area. On December 10, 2010, NMFS published a notice of
[[Page 69963]]
proposed threatened status for subspecies of the ringed seal (75 FR
77476) and a notice of proposed threatened and not warranted status for
subspecies and distinct population segments of the bearded seal (75 FR
77496) in the Federal Register. Neither of these two ice seal species
is considered depleted under the MMPA. Additionally, the ribbon seal is
considered a ``species of concern'' under the ESA. Both the walrus and
the polar bear are managed by the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service
(USFWS) and are not considered further in this proposed IHA notice.
Of these species, 12 are expected to occur in the area of Shell's
proposed operations. These species include: The bowhead, gray,
humpback, minke, fin, killer, and beluga whales; harbor porpoise; and
the ringed, spotted, bearded, and ribbon seals. Beluga, bowhead, and
gray whales, harbor porpoise, and ringed, bearded, and spotted seals
are anticipated to be encountered more than the other marine mammal
species mentioned here. The marine mammal species that is likely to be
encountered most widely (in space and time) throughout the period of
the proposed drilling program is the ringed seal. Encounters with
bowhead and gray whales are expected to be limited to particular
seasons, as discussed later in this document. Where available, Shell
used density estimates from peer-reviewed literature in the
application. In cases where density estimates were not readily
available in the peer-reviewed literature, Shell used other methods to
derive the estimates. NMFS reviewed the density estimate descriptions
and articles from which estimates were derived and requested additional
information to better explain the density estimates presented by Shell
in its application. This additional information was included in the
revised IHA application. The explanation for those derivations and the
actual density estimates are described later in this document (see the
``Estimated Take by Incidental Harassment'' section).
The narwhal occurs in Canadian waters and occasionally in the
Alaskan Beaufort Sea and the Chukchi Sea, but it is considered
extralimital in U.S. waters and is not expected to be encountered.
There are scattered records of narwhal in Alaskan waters, including
reports by subsistence hunters, where the species is considered
extralimital (Reeves et al., 2002). Due to the rarity of this species
in the proposed project area and the remote chance it would be affected
by Shell's proposed Chukchi Sea drilling activities, this species is
not discussed further in this proposed IHA notice.
Shell's application contains information on the status,
distribution, seasonal distribution, abundance, and life history of
each of the species under NMFS jurisdiction mentioned in this document.
When reviewing the application, NMFS determined that the species
descriptions provided by Shell correctly characterized the status,
distribution, seasonal distribution, and abundance of each species.
Please refer to the application for that information (see ADDRESSES).
Additional information can also be found in the NMFS Stock Assessment
Reports (SAR). The Alaska 2010 SAR is available at: https://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/pdfs/sars/ak2010.pdf.
Brief Background on Marine Mammal Hearing
When considering the influence of various kinds of sound on the
marine environment, it is necessary to understand that different kinds
of marine life are sensitive to different frequencies of sound. Based
on available behavioral data, audiograms have been derived using
auditory evoked potentials, anatomical modeling, and other data,
Southall et al. (2007) designate ``functional hearing groups'' for
marine mammals and estimate the lower and upper frequencies of
functional hearing of the groups. The functional groups and the
associated frequencies are indicated below (though animals are less
sensitive to sounds at the outer edge of their functional range and
most sensitive to sounds of frequencies within a smaller range
somewhere in the middle of their functional hearing range):
Low frequency cetaceans (13 species of mysticetes):
functional hearing is estimated to occur between approximately 7 Hz and
22 kHz (however, a study by Au et al. (2006) of humpback whale songs
indicate that the range may extend to at least 24 kHz);
Mid-frequency cetaceans (32 species of dolphins, six
species of larger toothed whales, and 19 species of beaked and
bottlenose whales): functional hearing is estimated to occur between
approximately 150 Hz and 160 kHz;
High frequency cetaceans (eight species of true porpoises,
six species of river dolphins, Kogia, the franciscana, and four species
of cephalorhynchids): functional hearing is estimated to occur between
approximately 200 Hz and 180 kHz; and
Pinnipeds in Water: functional hearing is estimated to
occur between approximately 75 Hz and 75 kHz, with the greatest
sensitivity between approximately 700 Hz and 20 kHz.
As mentioned previously in this document, 12 marine mammal species
(four pinniped and eight cetacean species) are likely to occur in the
proposed drilling area. Of the eight cetacean species likely to occur
in Shell's project area, five are classified as low frequency cetaceans
(i.e., bowhead, gray, humpback, minke, and fin whales), two are
classified as mid-frequency cetaceans (i.e., beluga and killer whales),
and one is classified as a high-frequency cetacean (i.e., harbor
porpoise) (Southall et al., 2007).
Underwater audiograms have been obtained using behavioral methods
for four species of phocinid seals: the ringed, harbor, harp, and
northern elephant seals (reviewed in Richardson et al., 1995a; Kastak
and Schusterman, 1998). Below 30-50 kHz, the hearing threshold of
phocinids is essentially flat down to at least 1 kHz and ranges between
60 and 85 dB re 1 [mu]Pa. There are few published data on in-water
hearing sensitivity of phocid seals below 1 kHz. However, measurements
for one harbor seal indicated that, below 1 kHz, its thresholds
deteriorated gradually to 96 dB re 1 [mu]Pa at 100 Hz from 80 dB re 1
[mu]Pa at 800 Hz and from 67 dB re 1 [mu]Pa at 1,600 Hz (Kastak and
Schusterman, 1998). More recent data suggest that harbor seal hearing
at low frequencies may be more sensitive than that and that earlier
data were confounded by excessive background noise (Kastelein et al.,
2009a,b). If so, harbor seals have considerably better underwater
hearing sensitivity at low frequencies than do small odontocetes like
belugas (for which the threshold at 100 Hz is about 125 dB).
Pinniped call characteristics are relevant when assessing potential
masking effects of man-made sounds. In addition, for those species
whose hearing has not been tested, call characteristics are useful in
assessing the frequency range within which hearing is likely to be most
sensitive. The four species of seals present in the study area, all of
which are in the phocid seal group, are all most vocal during the
spring mating season and much less so during late summer. In each
species, the calls are at frequencies from several hundred to several
thousand hertz--above the frequency range of the dominant noise
components from most of the proposed oil exploration activities.
Cetacean hearing has been studied in relatively few species and
individuals. The auditory sensitivity of bowhead, gray, and other
baleen whales has not been measured, but relevant anatomical
[[Page 69964]]
and behavioral evidence is available. These whales appear to be
specialized for low frequency hearing, with some directional hearing
ability (reviewed in Richardson et al., 1995a; Ketten, 2000). Their
optimum hearing overlaps broadly with the low frequency range where
exploration drilling activities, airguns, and associated vessel traffic
emit most of their energy.
The beluga whale is one of the better-studied species in terms of
its hearing ability. As mentioned earlier, the auditory bandwidth in
mid-frequency odontocetes is believed to range from 150 Hz to 160 kHz
(Southall et al., 2007); however, belugas are most sensitive above 10
kHz. They have relatively poor sensitivity at the low frequencies
(reviewed in Richardson et al., 1995a) that dominate the sound from
industrial activities and associated vessels. Nonetheless, the noise
from strong low frequency sources is detectable by belugas many
kilometers away (Richardson and Wursig, 1997). Also, beluga hearing at
low frequencies in open-water conditions is apparently somewhat better
than in the captive situations where most hearing studies were
conducted (Ridgway and Carder, 1995; Au, 1997). If so, low frequency
sounds emanating from drilling activities may be detectable somewhat
farther away than previously estimated.
Call characteristics of cetaceans provide some limited information
on their hearing abilities, although the auditory range often extends
beyond the range of frequencies contained in the calls. Also,
understanding the frequencies at which different marine mammal species
communicate is relevant for the assessment of potential impacts from
manmade sounds. A summary of the call characteristics for bowhead,
gray, and beluga whales is provided next.
Most bowhead calls are tonal, frequency-modulated sounds at
frequencies of 50-400 Hz. These calls overlap broadly in frequency with
the underwater sounds emitted by many of the activities to be performed
during Shell's proposed exploration drilling program (Richardson et
al., 1995a). Source levels are quite variable, with the stronger calls
having source levels up to about 180 dB re 1 [mu]Pa at 1 m. Gray whales
make a wide variety of calls at frequencies from < 100-2,000 Hz (Moore
and Ljungblad, 1984; Dalheim, 1987).
Beluga calls include trills, whistles, clicks, bangs, chirps and
other sounds (Schevill and Lawrence, 1949; Ouellet, 1979; Sjare and
Smith, 1986a). Beluga whistles have dominant frequencies in the 2-6 kHz
range (Sjare and Smith, 1986a). This is above the frequency range of
most of the sound energy produced by the proposed exploratory drilling
activities and associated vessels. Other beluga call types reported by
Sjare and Smith (1986a,b) included sounds at mean frequencies ranging
upward from 1 kHz.
The beluga also has a very well developed high frequency
echolocation system, as reviewed by Au (1993). Echolocation signals
have peak frequencies from 40-120 kHz and broadband source levels of up
to 219 dB re 1 [mu]Pa-m (zero-peak). Echolocation calls are far above
the frequency range of the sounds produced by the devices proposed for
use during Shell's Chukchi Sea exploratory drilling program. Therefore,
those industrial sounds are not expected to interfere with
echolocation.
Potential Effects of the Specified Activity on Marine Mammals
The likely or possible impacts of the proposed exploratory drilling
program in the Chukchi Sea on marine mammals could involve both non-
acoustic and acoustic effects. Potential non-acoustic effects could
result from the physical presence of the equipment and personnel.
Petroleum development and associated activities introduce sound into
the marine environment. Impacts to marine mammals are expected to
primarily be acoustic in nature. Potential acoustic effects on marine
mammals relate to sound produced by drilling activity, vessels, and
aircraft, as well as the ZVSP airgun array. The potential effects of
sound from the proposed exploratory drilling program might include one
or more of the following: tolerance; masking of natural sounds;
behavioral disturbance; non-auditory physical effects; and, at least in
theory, temporary or permanent hearing impairment (Richardson et al.,
1995a). However, for reasons discussed later in this document, it is
unlikely that there would be any cases of temporary, or especially
permanent, hearing impairment resulting from these activities. As
outlined in previous NMFS documents, the effects of noise on marine
mammals are highly variable, and can be categorized as follows (based
on Richardson et al., 1995a):
(1) The noise may be too weak to be heard at the location of the
animal (i.e., lower than the prevailing ambient noise level, the
hearing threshold of the animal at relevant frequencies, or both);
(2) The noise may be audible but not strong enough to elicit any
overt behavioral response;
(3) The noise may elicit reactions of variable conspicuousness and
variable relevance to the well being of the marine mammal; these can
range from temporary alert responses to active avoidance reactions such
as vacating an area at least until the noise event ceases but
potentially for longer periods of time;
(4) Upon repeated exposure, a marine mammal may exhibit diminishing
responsiveness (habituation), or disturbance effects may persist; the
latter is most likely with sounds that are highly variable in
characteristics, infrequent, and unpredictable in occurrence, and
associated with situations that a marine mammal perceives as a threat;
(5) Any anthropogenic noise that is strong enough to be heard has
the potential to reduce (mask) the ability of a marine mammal to hear
natural sounds at similar frequencies, including calls from
conspecifics, and underwater environmental sounds such as surf noise;
(6) If mammals remain in an area because it is important for
feeding, breeding, or some other biologically important purpose even
though there is chronic exposure to noise, it is possible that there
could be noise-induced physiological stress; this might in turn have
negative effects on the well-being or reproduction of the animals
involved; and
(7) Very strong sounds have the potential to cause a temporary or
permanent reduction in hearing sensitivity. In terrestrial mammals, and
presumably marine mammals, received sound levels must far exceed the
animal's hearing threshold for there to be any temporary threshold
shift (TTS) in its hearing ability. For transient sounds, the sound
level necessary to cause TTS is inversely related to the duration of
the sound. Received sound levels must be even higher for there to be
risk of permanent hearing impairment. In addition, intense acoustic or
explosive events may cause trauma to tissues associated with organs
vital for hearing, sound production, respiration and other functions.
This trauma may include minor to severe hemorrhage.
Potential Acoustic Effects From Exploratory Drilling Activities
(1) Tolerance
Numerous studies have shown that underwater sounds from industry
activities are often readily detectable by marine mammals in the water
at distances of many kilometers. Numerous studies have also shown that
marine mammals at distances more than a few kilometers away often show
no apparent response to industry activities
[[Page 69965]]
of various types (Miller et al., 2005; Bain and Williams, 2006). This
is often true even in cases when the sounds must be readily audible to
the animals based on measured received levels and the hearing
sensitivity of that mammal group. Although various baleen whales,
toothed whales, and (less frequently) pinnipeds have been shown to
react behaviorally to underwater sound such as airgun pulses or vessels
under some conditions, at other times mammals of all three types have
shown no overt reactions (e.g., Malme et al., 1986; Richardson et al.,
1995; Madsen and Mohl, 2000; Croll et al., 2001; Jacobs and Terhune,
2002; Madsen et al., 2002; Miller et al., 2005). In general, pinnipeds
and small odontocetes seem to be more tolerant of exposure to some
types of underwater sound than are baleen whales. Richardson et al.
(1995a) found that vessel noise does not seem to strongly affect
pinnipeds that are already in the water. Richardson et al. (1995a) went
on to explain that seals on haul-outs sometimes respond strongly to the
presence of vessels and at other times appear to show considerable
tolerance of vessels, and Brueggeman et al. (1992, cited in Richardson
et al., 1995a) observed ringed seals hauled out on ice pans displaying
short-term escape reactions when a ship approached within 0.25-0.5 mi
(0.4-0.8 km).
(2) Masking
Masking is the obscuring of sounds of interest by other sounds,
often at similar frequencies. Marine mammals are highly dependent on
sound, and their ability to recognize sound signals amid other noise is
important in communication, predator and prey detection, and, in the
case of toothed whales, echolocation. Even in the absence of manmade
sounds, the sea is usually noisy. Background ambient noise often
interferes with or masks the ability of an animal to detect a sound
signal even when that signal is above its absolute hearing threshold.
Natural ambient noise includes contributions from wind, waves,
precipitation, other animals, and (at frequencies above 30 kHz) thermal
noise resulting from molecular agitation (Richardson et al., 1995a).
Background noise also can include sounds from human activities. Masking
of natural sounds can result when human activities produce high levels
of background noise. Conversely, if the background level of underwater
noise is high (e.g., on a day with strong wind and high waves), an
anthropogenic noise source will not be detectable as far away as would
be possible under quieter conditions and will itself be masked.
Although some degree of masking is inevitable when high levels of
manmade broadband sounds are introduced into the sea, marine mammals
have evolved systems and behavior that function to reduce the impacts
of masking. Structured signals, such as the echolocation click
sequences of small toothed whales, may be readily detected even in the
presence of strong background noise because their frequency content and
temporal features usually differ strongly from those of the background
noise (Au and Moore, 1988, 1990). The components of background noise
that are similar in frequency to the sound signal in question primarily
determine the degree of masking of that signal.
Redundancy and context can also facilitate detection of weak
signals. These phenomena may help marine mammals detect weak sounds in
the presence of natural or manmade noise. Most masking studies in
marine mammals present the test signal and the masking noise from the
same direction. The sound localization abilities of marine mammals
suggest that, if signal and noise come from different directions,
masking would not be as severe as the usual types of masking studies
might suggest (Richardson et al., 1995a). The dominant background noise
may be highly directional if it comes from a particular anthropogenic
source such as a ship or industrial site. Directional hearing may
significantly reduce the masking effects of these noises by improving
the effective signal-to-noise ratio. In the cases of high-frequency
hearing by the bottlenose dolphin, beluga whale, and killer whale,
empirical evidence confirms that masking depends strongly on the
relative directions of arrival of sound signals and the masking noise
(Penner et al., 1986; Dubrovskiy, 1990; Bain et al., 1993; Bain and
Dahlheim, 1994). Toothed whales, and probably other marine mammals as
well, have additional capabilities besides directional hearing that can
facilitate detection of sounds in the presence of background noise.
There is evidence that some toothed whales can shift the dominant
frequencies of their echolocation signals from a frequency range with a
lot of ambient noise toward frequencies with less noise (Au et al.,
1974, 1985; Moore and Pawloski, 1990; Thomas and Turl, 1990; Romanenko
and Kitain, 1992; Lesage et al., 1999). A few marine mammal species are
known to increase the source levels or alter the frequency of their
calls in the presence of elevated sound levels (Dahlheim, 1987; Au,
1993; Lesage et al., 1993, 1999; Terhune, 1999; Foote et al., 2004;
Parks et al., 2007, 2009; Di Iorio and Clark, 2009; Holt et al., 2009).
These data demonstrating adaptations for reduced masking pertain
mainly to the very high frequency echolocation signals of toothed
whales. There is less information about the existence of corresponding
mechanisms at moderate or low frequencies or in other types of marine
mammals. For example, Zaitseva et al. (1980) found that, for the
bottlenose dolphin, the angular separation between a sound source and a
masking noise source had little effect on the degree of masking when
the sound frequency was 18 kHz, in contrast to the pronounced effect at
higher frequencies. Directional hearing has been demonstrated at
frequencies as low as 0.5-2 kHz in several marine mammals, including
killer whales (Richardson et al., 1995a). This ability may be useful in
reducing masking at these frequencies. In summary, high levels of noise
generated by anthropogenic activities may act to mask the detection of
weaker biologically important sounds by some marine mammals. This
masking may be more prominent for lower frequencies. For higher
frequencies, such as that used in echolocation by toothed whales,
several mechanisms are available that may allow them to reduce the
effects of such masking.
Masking effects of underwater sounds from Shell's proposed
activities on marine mammal calls and other natural sounds are expected
to be limited. For example, beluga whales primarily use high-frequency
sounds to communicate and locate prey; therefore, masking by low-
frequency sounds associated with drilling activities is not expected to
occur (Gales, 1982, as cited in Shell, 2009). If the distance between
communicating whales does not exceed their distance from the drilling
activity, the likelihood of potential impacts from masking would be low
(Gales, 1982, as cited in Shell, 2009). At distances greater than 660-
1,300 ft (200-400 m), recorded sounds from drilling activities did not
affect behavior of beluga whales, even though the sound energy level
and frequency were such that it could be heard several kilometers away
(Richardson et al., 1995b). This exposure resulted in whales being
deflected from the sound energy and changing behavior. These minor
changes are not expected to affect the beluga whale population
(Richardson et al., 1991; Richard et al., 1998). Brewer et al. (1993)
observed belugas within 2.3 mi (3.7 km) of the drilling unit Kulluk
during drilling; however, the authors do
[[Page 69966]]
not describe any behaviors that may have been exhibited by those
animals. Please refer to the Arctic Multiple-Sale Draft Environmental
Impact Statement (USDOI MMS, 2008), available on the Internet at:
https://www.mms.gov/alaska/ref/EIS%20EA/ArcticMultiSale_209/_DEIS.htm,
for more detailed information.
There is evidence of other marine mammal species continuing to call
in the presence of industrial activity. Annual acoustical monitoring
near BP's Northstar production facility during the fall bowhead
migration westward through the Beaufort Sea has recorded thousands of
calls each year (for examples, see Richardson et al., 2007; Aerts and
Richardson, 2008). Construction, maintenance, and operational
activities have been occurring from this facility for over 10 years. To
compensate and reduce masking, some mysticetes may alter the
frequencies of their communication sounds (Richardson et al., 1995a;
Parks et al., 2007). Masking processes in baleen whales are not
amenable to laboratory study, and no direct measurements on hearing
sensitivity are available for these species. It is not currently
possible to determine with precision the potential consequences of
temporary or local background noise levels. However, Parks et al.
(2007) found that right whales (a species closely related to the
bowhead whale) altered their vocalizations, possibly in response to
background noise levels. For species that can hear over a relatively
broad frequency range, as is presumed to be the case for mysticetes, a
narrow band source may only cause partial masking. Richardson et al.
(1995a) note that a bowhead whale 12.4 mi (20 km) from a human sound
source, such as that produced during oil and gas industry activities,
might hear strong calls from other whales within approximately 12.4 mi
(20 km), and a whale 3.1 mi (5 km) from the source might hear strong
calls from whales within approximately 3.1 mi (5 km). Additionally,
masking is more likely to occur closer to a sound source, and distant
anthropogenic sound is less likely to mask short-distance acoustic
communication (Richardson et al., 1995a).
Although some masking by marine mammal species in the area may
occur, the extent of the masking interference will depend on the
spatial relationship of the animal and Shell's activity. Almost all
energy in the sounds emitted by drilling and other operational
activities is at low frequencies, predominantly below 250 Hz with
another peak centered around 1,000 Hz. Most energy in the sounds from
the vessels and aircraft to be used during this project is below 1 kHz
(Moore et al., 1984; Greene and Moore, 1995; Blackwell et al., 2004b;
Blackwell and Greene, 2006). These frequencies are mainly used by
mysticetes but not by odontocetes. Therefore, masking effects would
potentially be more pronounced in the bowhead and gray whales that
might occur in the proposed project area. If, as described later in
this document, certain species avoid the proposed drilling locations,
impacts from masking are anticipated to be low.
(3) Behavioral Disturbance Reactions
Behavioral responses to sound are highly variable and context-
specific. Many different variables can influence an animal's perception
of and response to (in both nature and magnitude) an acoustic event. An
animal's prior experience with a sound or sound source affects whether
it is less likely (habituation) or more likely (sensitization) to
respond to certain sounds in the future (animals can also be innately
pre-disposed to respond to certain sounds in certain ways; Southall et
al., 2007). Related to the sound itself, the perceived nearness of the
sound, bearing of the sound (approaching vs. retreating), similarity of
a sound to biologically relevant sounds in the animal's environment
(i.e., calls of predators, prey, or conspecifics), and familiarity of
the sound may affect the way an animal responds to the sound (Southall
et al., 2007). Individuals (of different age, gender, reproductive
status, etc.) among