Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to Specified Activities; Taking Marine Mammals Incidental to an Exploration Drilling Program Near Camden Bay, Beaufort Sea, AK;, 68974-69027 [2011-28641]
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Federal Register / Vol. 76, No. 215 / Monday, November 7, 2011 / Notices
DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration
RIN 0648–XA804
Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to
Specified Activities; Taking Marine
Mammals Incidental to an Exploration
Drilling Program Near Camden Bay,
Beaufort Sea, AK;
National Marine Fisheries
Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
Commerce.
ACTION: Notice; proposed incidental
harassment authorization; request for
comments.
AGENCY:
NMFS received an
application from Shell Offshore Inc.
(Shell) for an Incidental Harassment
Authorization (IHA) to take marine
mammals, by harassment, incidental to
offshore exploration drilling on Outer
Continental Shelf (OCS) leases in the
Beaufort Sea, Alaska. Pursuant to the
Marine Mammal Protection Act
(MMPA), NMFS is requesting comments
on its proposal to issue an IHA to Shell
to take, by Level B harassment only,
eight species of marine mammals during
the specified activity.
DATES: Comments and information must
be received no later than December 7,
2011.
SUMMARY:
Comments on the
application should be addressed to
Michael Payne, Chief, Permits and
Conservation Division, Office of
Protected Resources, National Marine
Fisheries Service, 1315 East-West
Highway, Silver Spring, MD 20910. The
mailbox address for providing email
comments is ITP.Nachman@noaa.gov.
NMFS is not responsible for email
comments sent to addresses other than
the one provided here. Comments sent
via email, including all attachments,
must not exceed a 10-megabyte file size.
Instructions: All comments received
are a part of the public record and will
generally be posted to https://
www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/permits/
incidental.htm without change. All
Personal Identifying Information (for
example, name, address, etc.)
voluntarily submitted by the commenter
may be publicly accessible. Do not
submit Confidential Business
Information or otherwise sensitive or
protected information.
A copy of the application, which
contains several attachments, including
Shell’s marine mammal mitigation and
monitoring plan and Plan of
Cooperation, used in this document may
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ADDRESSES:
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be obtained by writing to the address
specified above, telephoning the contact
listed below (see FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT), or visiting the
Internet at: https://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/
pr/permits/incidental.htm. Documents
cited in this notice may also be viewed,
by appointment, during regular business
hours, at the aforementioned address.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Candace Nachman, Office of Protected
Resources, NMFS, (301) 427–8401.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background
Sections 101(a)(5)(A) and (D) of the
MMPA (16 U.S.C. 1361 et seq.) direct
the Secretary of Commerce to allow,
upon request, the incidental, but not
intentional, taking of small numbers of
marine mammals by U.S. citizens who
engage in a specified activity (other than
commercial fishing) within a specified
geographical region if certain findings
are made and either regulations are
issued or, if the taking is limited to
harassment, a notice of a proposed
authorization is provided to the public
for review.
Authorization for incidental takings
shall be granted if NMFS finds that the
taking will have a negligible impact on
the species or stock(s), will not have an
unmitigable adverse impact on the
availability of the species or stock(s) for
subsistence uses (where relevant), and if
the permissible methods of taking and
requirements pertaining to the
mitigation, monitoring and reporting of
such takings are set forth. NMFS has
defined ‘‘negligible impact’’ in 50 CFR
216.103 as ‘‘* * * an impact resulting
from the specified activity that cannot
be reasonably expected to, and is not
reasonably likely to, adversely affect the
species or stock through effects on
annual rates of recruitment or survival.’’
Section 101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA
established an expedited process by
which citizens of the U.S. can apply for
an authorization to incidentally take
small numbers of marine mammals by
harassment. Section 101(a)(5)(D)
establishes a 45-day time limit for
NMFS review of an application
followed by a 30-day public notice and
comment period on any proposed
authorizations for the incidental
harassment of marine mammals. Within
45 days of the close of the comment
period, NMFS must either issue or deny
the authorization.
Except with respect to certain
activities not pertinent here, the MMPA
defines ‘‘harassment’’ as:
Any act of pursuit, torment, or annoyance
which (i) has the potential to injure a marine
mammal or marine mammal stock in the wild
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[‘‘Level A harassment’’]; or (ii) has the
potential to disturb a marine mammal or
marine mammal stock in the wild by causing
disruption of behavioral patterns, including,
but not limited to, migration, breathing,
nursing, breeding, feeding, or sheltering
[‘‘Level B harassment’’].
Summary of Request
NMFS received an application on
May 10, 2011, from Shell for the taking,
by harassment, of marine mammals
incidental to offshore exploration
drilling on OCS leases in the Beaufort
Sea, Alaska. NMFS reviewed Shell’s
application and identified a number of
issues requiring further clarification.
After addressing comments from NMFS,
Shell modified its application and
submitted a revised application on
September 2, 2011. NMFS carefully
evaluated Shell’s application, including
their analyses, and determined that the
application is complete. The September
2, 2011, application is the one available
for public comment (see ADDRESSES)
and considered by NMFS for this
proposed IHA.
Shell plans to drill two exploration
wells at two drill sites in Camden Bay,
Beaufort Sea, Alaska, during the 2012
Arctic open-water season (July through
October). Impacts to marine mammals
may occur from noise produced by the
drillship, zero-offset vertical seismic
profile (ZVSP) surveys, and supporting
vessels (including icebreakers) and
aircraft. Shell has requested an
authorization to take 11 marine mammal
species by Level B harassment.
However, some of these species are not
expected to be found in the activity
area. Therefore, NMFS is proposing to
authorize take of eight marine mammal
species, by Level B harassment,
incidental to Shell’s offshore
exploration drilling program in Camden
Bay. These species include: Beluga
whale (Delphinapterus leucas);
bowhead whale (Balaena mysticetus);
gray whale (Eschrichtius robustus);
harbor porpoise (Phocoena phocoena);
bearded seal (Erignathus barbatus);
ringed seal (Phoca hispida); spotted seal
(P. largha); and ribbon seal
(Histriophoca fasciata).
Description of the Specified Activity
and Specified Geographic Region
Shell plans to conduct an offshore
exploration drilling program on U.S.
Department of the Interior, Bureau of
Ocean Energy Management (BOEM,
formerly the Minerals Management
Service) Alaska OCS leases located
north of Point Thomson near Camden
Bay in the Beaufort Sea, Alaska, during
the 2012 open-water season. During the
2012 drilling program, Shell plans to
complete two exploration wells at two
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drill sites, one well each on the Torpedo
prospect (NR06–04 Flaxman Island
lease block 6610, OCS–Y–1941
[Flaxman Island 6610—Torpedo ‘‘H’’ or
‘‘J’’ drill site]) and the Sivulliq prospect
(NR06–04 Flaxman Island lease block
6658, OCS–Y 1805 [Flaxman Island
6658—Sivulliq ‘‘N’’ or ‘‘G’’ drill sites]).
See Figure 1–1 in Shell’s application for
the lease block and drill site locations
(see ADDRESSES). All drilling is planned
to be vertical.
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Exploration Drilling
Shell plans to drill the Torpedo
prospect well (Torpedo ‘‘H’’ or ‘‘J’’) first,
followed by the Sivulliq well (Sivulliq
‘‘N’’ or ‘‘G’’), unless adverse surface
conditions or other factors dictate a
reversal of drilling sequence. In that
case, Shell will mobilize to the Sivulliq
prospect and drill there first. Because
this is an Arctic program, weather and
ice conditions will dictate actual
operations. The Torpedo H and J drill
sites are located 20.8 and 23.1 mi (33.5
and 37.2 km) from shore in water 120
and 124 ft (36.6 and 37.8 m) deep,
respectively. The Sivulliq G and N drill
sites are located 16.6 and 16.2 mi (26.7
and 26.1 km) from shore in water 110
and 107 ft (33.5 and 32.6 m) deep,
respectively.
(1) Drilling Vessels
Shell plans to use one of two drilling
vessels for its proposed 2012 Camden
Bay exploratory drilling program: The
Kulluk (owned by Shell and operated by
Noble Drilling [Noble]); or the
Discoverer (owned and operated by
Noble). Only one of these drilling
vessels would be used for the Camden
Bay program, not both. Information on
each vessel is provided next, and
additional details can be found in
Attachment A of Shell’s IHA application
(see ADDRESSES).
The Kulluk has an Arctic Class IV hull
design, is capable of drilling in up to
600 ft (182.9 m) of water and is moored
using a 12-point anchor system. The
vessel is 266 ft (81 m) long. The Kulluk’s
mooring system consists of 12 Hepburn
winches located on the outboard side of
the main deck. Anchor wires lead off
the bottom of each winch drum inboard
for approximately 55 ft (16.8 m). The
wire is then redirected by a sheave,
down through a hawse pipe to an
underwater, ice protected, swivel
fairlead. The wire travels from the
fairlead directly under the hull to the
anchor system on the seafloor. The
Kulluk would have an anchor radius
maximum of 3,117 ft (950 m) for the
Sivulliq and Torpedo drill sites. While
on location at the drill sites, the Kulluk
will be affixed to the seafloor using 12,
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15 metric ton Stevpris anchors arranged
in a radial array.
The Kulluk is designed to maintain its
location in drilling mode in moving ice
with thickness up to 4 ft (1.2 m) without
the aid of any active ice management.
With the aid of the ice management
vessels, the Kulluk would be able to
withstand more severe ice conditions. In
more open-water conditions, the Kulluk
can maintain its drilling location during
storm events with wave heights up to 18
ft (5.5 m) while drilling, and can
withstand wave heights of up to 40 ft
(12.2 m) when not drilling and
disconnected (assuming a storm
duration of 24 hours).
The Discoverer is a true drillship and
is a largely self-contained drillship that
offers full accommodations for a crew of
up to 140 persons. The Discoverer is 514
ft (156.7 m) long with a maximum
height (above keel) of 274 ft (83.7 m). It
is an anchored drillship with an 8-point
anchored mooring system and would
likely have a maximum anchor radius of
2,969–2,986 ft (905–910 m) at either the
Sivulliq or Torpedo drill sites. While on
location at the drill sites, the Discoverer
will be affixed to the seafloor using
eight 7,000 kg (7.7 ton) Stevpris anchors
arranged in a radial array. The
underwater fairleads prevent ice fouling
of the anchor lines. Turret mooring
allows orientation of the vessel’s bow
into the prevailing ice drift direction to
present minimum hull exposure to
drifting ice. The vessel is rotated around
the turret by hydraulic jacks. Rotation
can be augmented by the use of the
fitted bow and stern thrusters. The hull
has been reinforced for ice resistance.
Ice-strengthened sponsons have been
retrofitted to the ship’s hull.
(2) Support Vessels
During the 2012 drilling season, the
Kulluk or Discoverer will be attended by
11 vessels that will be used for icemanagement, anchor handling, oil spill
response (OSR), refueling, resupply,
drill mud/cuttings and wastewater
transfer, equipment and waste holding,
and servicing of the drilling operations.
Tables 1–1a and 1–1b in Shell’s
application provide lists of the support
vessels to be used during the drilling
program and OSR vessels. The
workboats associated with OSR training
(which are stored on an OSR barge) are
not counted among the 11 attending
vessels. All vessels are intended to be
either in transit or staged (i.e., on
anchor) in the Beaufort Sea during the
exploration drilling activities. The oil
spill tanker (OST) would be staged such
that it would arrive at a recovery site, if
needed, within 24 hours of departure
from the staging location. The purpose
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of the OST would be to provide a place
to store large volumes of recovered
crude oil, emulsion and free water in
the unlikely event of a spill, and OSR
operations. Additional information on
Shell’s fleet of oil spill response vessels
can be found in the IHA application.
The M/V Nordica (Nordica) or a
similar vessel will serve as the primary
ice management vessel in support of the
Kulluk or Discoverer. Hull 247 or a
similar vessel will provide anchor
handling duties, serve as the berthing
(accommodations) vessel for the OSR
crew, and will also serve as a secondary
ice management vessel by managing
smaller ice floes that may pose a
potential safety issue to the drillship
and the support vessels servicing the
drillship. This vessel will also provide
supplemental oil recovery capability
(Vessel of Opportunity Skimming
System [VOSS]). When managing ice,
the Nordica (or similar vessel) and Hull
247 will generally be confined to a 40°
arc up to 3.1 mi (4.9 km) upwind
originating at the drilling vessel (see
Figure 1–3 in Shell’s application). It is
anticipated that the ice management
vessels will be managing ice for up to
38% of the time when within 25 mi (40
km) of the Kulluk or Discoverer. Active
ice management involves using the ice
management vessel to steer larger floes
so that their path does not intersect with
the drill site. Around-the-clock ice
forecasting using real-time satellite
coverage (available through Shell Ice
and Weather Advisory Center [SIWAC])
will support the ice management duties.
When the Nordica and Hull 247 are not
needed for ice management, they will
reside outside the 25 mi (40 km) radius
from the Kulluk or Discoverer if it is safe
to do so. These vessels will enter and
exit the Beaufort Sea with the Kulluk or
Discoverer.
The exploration drilling operations
will require the transfer of supplies
between either the Deadhorse/West
Dock shorebase or Dutch Harbor and the
drillship (either the Kulluk or
Discoverer). While the Kulluk or
Discoverer is anchored at a drill site,
Shell anticipates 24 visits/tie-ups (if the
Kulluk is the drilling vessel being used)
or 8 visits/tie-ups (if the Discoverer is
being used) throughout the drilling
season from support vessels. During
resupply, mud/cuttings and other waste
streams will be transferred to a deck
barge or waste barge for temporary
storage, which will be brought south for
disposal at the end of the drilling
season. Additional information on the
resupply and waste removal vessels can
be found in Shell’s application.
Removal of waste and resupply to the
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drilling vessels will be conducted the
same way regardless of drilling vessel.
(3) Aircraft
An AW139 or Sikorsky S–92
helicopter based in Deadhorse will be
used for flights between the shorebase
and drill sites. It is expected that on
average, up to two flights per day
(approximately 12 flights per week) will
be necessary to transport supplies and
rotate crews. A Sikorsky S–92 based in
Barrow will be used for search and
rescue operations. Marine mammal
monitoring flights will utilize a de
Havilland Twin Otter aircraft. The de
Havilland Twin Otter is expected to fly
daily. Table 1–1c in Shell’s application
presents the aircraft planned to support
the exploration drilling program.
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Zero-Offset Vertical Seismic Profile
At the end of each drill hole, Shell
may conduct a geophysical survey
referred to as ZVSP at each drill site
where a well is drilled in 2012. During
ZVSP surveys, an airgun array is
deployed at a location near or adjacent
to the drilling vessel, while receivers are
placed (temporarily anchored) in the
wellbore. The sound source (airgun
array) is fired repeatedly, and the
reflected sonic waves are recorded by
receivers (geophones) located in the
wellbore. The geophones, typically in a
string, are then raised up to the next
interval in the wellbore, and the process
is repeated until the entire wellbore has
been surveyed. The purpose of the
ZVSP is to gather geophysical
information at various depths, which
can then be used to tie-in or groundtruth geophysical information from the
previous seismic surveys with
geological data collected within the
wellbore.
Shell intends to conduct a particular
form of vertical seismic profile known
as a ZVSP, in which the sound source
is maintained at a constant location near
the wellbore (see Figure 1–2 in Shell’s
application). A typical sound source
that would be used by Shell in 2012 is
the ITAGA eight-airgun array, which
consists of four 150 in3 airguns and four
40 in3 airguns. These airguns can be
activated in any combination, and Shell
intends to utilize the minimum airgun
volume required to obtain an acceptable
signal. Current specifications of the
array are provided in Table 1–2 of
Shell’s application. The airgun array is
depicted within its frame or sled, which
is approximately 6 ft x 5 ft x 10 ft (1.8
m x 1.5 m x 3 m) (see photograph in
Shell’s application). Typical receivers
would consist of a Schlumberger
wireline four level Vertical Seismic
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Imager (VSI) tool, which has four
receivers 50-ft (15-m) apart.
A ZVSP survey is normally conducted
at each well after total depth is reached
but may be conducted at a shallower
depth. For each survey, Shell plans to
deploy the airgun array over the side of
the Kulluk or Discoverer with a crane
(sound source will be 50–200 ft [15–61
m] from the wellhead depending on
crane location) to a depth of
approximately 10–23 ft (3–7 m) below
the water surface. The VSI, with its four
receivers, will be temporarily anchored
in the wellbore at depth. The sound
source will be pressured up to 2,000
pounds per square inch (psi) and
activated 5–7 times at approximately 20second intervals. The VSI will then be
moved to the next interval of the
wellbore and reanchored, after which
the airgun array will again be activated
5–7 times. This process will be repeated
until the entire well bore is surveyed in
this manner. The interval between
anchor points for the VSI usually is
between 200 and 300 ft (61 and 91 m).
A normal ZVSP survey is conducted
over a period of about 10–14 hours,
depending on the depth of the well and
the number of anchoring points.
Therefore, considering a few different
scenarios, the airgun array could be
fired between 117 and 245 times during
the 10–14 hour period. For example, a
7,000-ft (2,133.6-m) well with 200-ft (61m) spacing and seven activations per
station would result in the airgun array
being fired 245 times to survey the
entire well. That same 7,000-ft (2,133.6m) well with 300-ft (91-m) spacing and
five activations would result in the
airgun array being fired 117 times to
survey the entire well. The remainder of
the time during those 10–14 hours when
the airgun is not firing is used to move
and anchor the geophone array.
Ice Management and Forecasting
Shell recognizes that the drilling
program is located in an area that is
characterized by active sea ice
movement, ice scouring, and storm
surges. In anticipation of potential ice
hazards that may be encountered, Shell
has developed and will implement an
Ice Management Plan (IMP; see
Attachment B in Shell’s IHA
application) to ensure real-time ice and
weather forecasting is conducted in
order to identify conditions that might
put operations at risk and will modify
its activities accordingly. The IMP also
contains ice threat classification levels
depending on the time available to
suspend drilling operations, secure the
well, and escape from advancing
hazardous ice. Real-time ice and
weather forecasting will be available to
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operations personnel for planning
purposes and to alert the fleet of
impending hazardous ice and weather
conditions. Ice and weather forecasting
is provided by SIWAC. The center is
continuously manned by experienced
personnel, who rely on a number of data
sources for ice forecasting and tracking,
including:
• Radarsat and Envisat data—
satellites with Synthetic Aperture
Radar, providing all-weather imagery of
ice conditions with very high
resolution;
• Moderate Resolution Imaging
Spectroradiometer—a satellite providing
lower resolution visual and near
infrared imagery;
• Aerial reconnaissance—provided
by specially deployed fixed wing or
rotary wing aircraft for confirmation of
ice conditions and position;
• Reports from ice specialists on the
ice management and anchor handling
vessels and from the ice observer on the
drillship;
• Incidental ice data provided by
commercial ships transiting the area;
and
• Information from NOAA ice centers
and the University of Colorado.
Drift ice will be actively managed by
ice management vessels, consisting of
an ice management vessel and an
anchor handling vessel. Ice management
for safe operation of Shell’s planned
exploration drilling program will occur
far out in the OCS, remote from the
vicinities of any routine marine vessel
traffic in the Beaufort Sea causing no
threat to public safety or services that
occurs near to shore. Shell vessels will
also communicate movements and
activities through the 2012 North Slope
Communications Centers. Management
of ice by ice management vessels will
occur during a drilling season
predominated by open water and thus is
not expected to contribute to ice
hazards, such as ridging, override, or
pileup in an offshore or nearshore
environment.
The ice-management/anchor handling
vessels would manage the ice by
deflecting any ice floes that could affect
the Kulluk or Discoverer when it is
drilling and would also handle the
Kulluk’s or Discoverer’s anchors during
connection to and separation from the
seafloor. When managing ice, the ice
management and anchor handling
vessels will generally be operating at a
40° arc up to 3.1 mi (4.9 km) upwind
originating at the Kulluk or Discoverer
(see Figure 1–3 in Shell’s application).
It is anticipated that the ice
management vessels will be managing
ice for 38% of the time when within 25
mi (40 km) of the Kulluk or Discoverer.
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The ice floe frequency and intensity are
unpredictable and could range from no
ice to ice sufficiently dense that the fleet
has insufficient capacity to continue
operating, and the Kulluk or Discoverer
would need to disconnect from its
anchors and move off site. If ice is
present, ice management activities may
be necessary in early July and towards
the end of operations in late October,
but it is not expected to be needed
throughout the proposed drilling
season. Shell has indicated that when
ice is present at the drill site, ice
disturbance will be limited to the
minimum needed to allow drilling to
continue. First-year ice (i.e., ice that
formed in the most recent autumnwinter period) will be the type most
likely to be encountered. The ice
management vessels will be tasked with
managing the ice so that it will flow
easily around and past the Kulluk or
Discoverer without building up in front
of or around it. This type of ice is
managed by the ice management vessel
continually moving back and forth
across the drift line, directly up-drift of
the Kulluk or Discoverer and making
turns at both ends. During ice
management, the vessel’s propeller is
rotating at approximately 15–20 percent
of the vessel’s propeller rotation
capacity. Ice management occurs with
slow movements of the vessel using
lower power and therefore slower
propeller rotation speed (i.e., lower
cavitation), allowing for fewer
repositions of the vessel, thereby
reducing cavitation effects in the water.
Occasionally, there may be multi-year
ice (i.e., ice that has survived at least
one summer melt season) ridges that
would be managed at a much slower
speed than that used to manage firstyear ice.
During Camden Bay exploration
drilling operations, Shell has indicated
that they do not intend to conduct any
icebreaking activities; rather, Shell
would deploy its support vessels to
manage ice as described here. As
detailed in Shell’s IMP (see Attachment
B of Shell’s IHA application), actual
breaking of ice would occur only in the
unlikely event that ice conditions in the
immediate vicinity of operations create
a safety hazard for the drilling vessel. In
such a circumstance, operations
personnel will follow the guidelines
established in the IMP to evaluate ice
conditions and make the formal
designation of a hazardous, ice alert
condition, which would trigger the
procedures that govern any actual
icebreaking operations. Historical data
relative to ice conditions in the Beaufort
Sea in the vicinity of Shell’s planned
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operations, and during the timeframe for
those operations, establish that there is
a very low probability (e.g., minimal) for
the type of hazardous ice conditions
that might necessitate icebreaking (e.g.,
records of the National Naval Ice Center
archives). This probability could be
greater at the shoulders of the drilling
season (early July or late October);
therefore, for purposes of evaluating
possible impacts of the planned
activities, Shell has assumed limited
icebreaking activities for a very limited
period of time, and estimated incidental
takes of marine mammals from such
activities.
Timeframe of Activities
Shell’s base plan is for the Kulluk or
Discoverer and the associated support
vessels to transit through the Bering
Strait, after July 1, 2012, then through
the Chukchi Sea, around Pt. Barrow,
and east through the Alaskan Beaufort
Sea, before arriving on location at the
Torpedo ‘‘H’’ location on or about July
10, or Sivulliq ‘‘N’’ if adverse surface
conditions or other factors dictate a
reversal of drilling sequence. At the
completion of the drilling season on or
before October 31, 2012, one or two ice
management vessels, along with various
support vessels, such as the OSR fleet,
will accompany the Kulluk or
Discoverer as it travels west through the
Beaufort Sea, then south through the
Chukchi Sea and the Bering Strait.
Subject to ice conditions, alternate exit
routes may be considered. Shell has
planned a suspension of all operations
beginning on August 25 for the Nuiqsut
(Cross Island) and Kaktovik subsistence
bowhead whale hunts. During the
suspension for the whale hunts, the
drilling fleet will leave the Camden Bay
project area, will move to a location at
or north of 71.25 ° N. latitude and at or
west of 146.4 ° W. longitude and will
return to resume activities after the
Nuiqsut (Cross Island) and Kaktovik
subsistence bowhead whale hunts
conclude. Shell will consult with the
Whaling Captain’s Associations of
Kaktovik and Nuiqsut to ascertain the
conclusion of their respective fall
subsistence bowhead whale hunts.
Shell will cease drilling on or before
October 31, after which the Kulluk or
Discoverer will exit the Alaskan
Beaufort Sea. In total, Shell anticipates
that the exploration drilling program
will require approximately 78 drilling
days, excluding weather delays, the
shutdown period to accommodate the
fall bowhead whale harvests at Kaktovik
and Cross Island (Nuiqsut), or other
operational delays. Time to conduct the
ZVSP surveys is included in the 78
drilling days. Shell assumes
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approximately 11 additional days will
be needed for drillship mobilization,
drillship moves between locations, and
drillship demobilization.
Activities associated with the 2012
Camden Bay, Beaufort Sea, exploration
drilling program include operation of
the drillship (either the Kulluk or
Discoverer), associated support vessels,
crew change support, and re-supply,
ZVSP surveys, and icebreaking. The
Kulluk or Discoverer will remain at the
location of the designated exploration
drill sites except when mobilizing and
demobilizing to and from Camden Bay,
transiting between drill sites, and
temporarily moving off location if it is
determined ice conditions require such
a move to ensure the safety of personnel
and/or the environment in accordance
with Shell’s IMP. Ice management
vessels, anchor tenders, and OSR
vessels will remain in close proximity to
the drillship during drilling operations.
Exploratory Drilling Program Sound
Characteristics
Potential impacts to marine mammals
could occur from the noise produced by
the drillship and its support vessels
(including the icebreakers), aircraft, and
the airgun array during ZVSP surveys.
The drillship produces continuous
noise into the marine environment.
NMFS currently uses a threshold of 120
dB re 1 mPa (rms) for the onset of Level
B harassment from continuous sound
sources. This 120 dB threshold is also
applicable for the icebreakers when
actively managing or breaking ice. The
drilling vessel to be used will be either
the Kulluk or the Discoverer. The two
vessels are likely to introduce somewhat
different levels of sound into the water
during the exploration drilling
activities. The airgun array proposed to
be used by Shell for the ZVSP surveys
produces pulsed noise into the marine
environment. NMFS currently uses a
threshold of 160 dB re 1 mPa (rms) for
the onset of Level B harassment from
pulsed sound sources.
(1) Drilling Sounds
Exploratory drilling will be conducted
from the Kulluk or Discoverer, vessels
specifically designed for such
operations in the Arctic. Underwater
sound propagation results from the use
of generators, drilling machinery, and
the rig itself. Received sound levels
during vessel-based operations may
fluctuate depending on the specific type
of activity at a given time and aspect
from the vessel. Underwater sound
levels may also depend on the specific
equipment in operation. Lower sound
levels have been reported during well
logging than during drilling operations
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(Greene, 1987b), and underwater sound
levels appeared to be lower at the bow
and stern aspects than at the beam
(Greene, 1987a).
Most drilling sounds generated from
vessel-based operations occur at
relatively low frequencies below 600 Hz
although tones up to 1,850 Hz were
recorded by Greene (1987a) during
drilling operations in the Beaufort Sea.
At a range of 558 ft (170 m) the 20–1000
Hz band level was 122–125 dB for the
drillship Explorer I. Underwater sound
levels were slightly higher (134 dB)
during drilling activity from the
Northern Explorer II at a range of 656 ft
(200 m), although tones were only
recorded below 600 Hz. Underwater
sound measurements from the Kulluk at
0.62 mi (1 km) were higher (143 dB)
than from the other two vessels. Sounds
from the Kulluk were measured in the
Beaufort Sea in 1986 and reported by
Greene (1987a). The back propagated
broadband source level from the
measurements (185.5 dB re 1 mPa at 1
m (rms); reported from the 1/3-octave
band levels), which included sounds
from a support vessel operating nearby,
were used to model sound propagation
at the Sivulliq prospect near Camden
Bay.
Sound measurements from the
Discoverer have not previously been
conducted in the Arctic. However,
measurements of sounds produced by
the Discoverer were made in the South
China Sea in 2009 (Austin and Warner,
2010). The results of those
measurements were used to model the
sound propagation from the Discoverer
(including a nearby support vessel) at
planned exploration drilling locations
in the Beaufort Sea (Warner and
Hannay, 2011). Broadband source levels
of sounds produced by the Discoverer
varied by activity and direction from the
ship but were generally between 177
and 185 dB re 1 mPa at 1 m (rms) (Austin
and Warner, 2010). Once on location at
the drill sites in Camden Bay, Shell
plans to take measurements of the
drillship (either the Kulluk or
Discoverer) to quantify the absolute
sound levels produced by drilling and
to monitor their variations with time,
distance, and direction from the drilling
vessel.
(2) Vessel Sounds
In addition to the drillship, various
types of vessels will be used in support
of the operations, including ice
management vessels, anchor handlers,
offshore supply vessels, barges and tugs,
and OSR vessels. Sounds from boats and
vessels have been reported extensively
(Greene and Moore, 1995; Blackwell and
Greene, 2002, 2005, 2006). Numerous
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measurements of underwater vessel
sound have been performed in support
of recent industry activity in the
Chukchi and Beaufort Seas. Results of
these measurements were reported in
various 90-day and comprehensive
reports since 2007 (e.g., Aerts et al.,
2008; Hauser et al., 2008; Brueggeman,
2009; Ireland et al., 2009). For example,
Garner and Hannay (2009) estimated
sound pressure levels of 100 dB at
distances ranging from approximately
1.5 to 2.3 mi (2.4 to 3.7 km) from
various types of barges. MacDonald et
al. (2008) estimated higher underwater
sound pressure levels (SPLs) from the
seismic vessel Gilavar of 120 dB at
approximately 13 mi (21 km) from the
source, although the sound level was
only 150 dB at 85 ft (26 m) from the
vessel. Like other industry-generated
sound, underwater sound from vessels
is generally at relatively low
frequencies.
The primary sources of sounds from
all vessel classes are propeller
cavitation, propeller singing, and
propulsion or other machinery.
Propeller cavitation is usually the
dominant noise source for vessels (Ross,
1976). Propeller cavitation and singing
are produced outside the hull, whereas
propulsion or other machinery noise
originates inside the hull. There are
additional sounds produced by vessel
activity, such as pumps, generators,
flow noise from water passing over the
hull, and bubbles breaking in the wake.
Icebreakers contribute greater sound
levels during icebreaking activities than
ships of similar size during normal
operation in open water (Richardson et
al., 1995a). This higher sound
production results from the greater
amount of power and propeller
cavitation required when operating in
thick ice.
Measurements of the icebreaking
supply ship Robert Lemeur pushing and
breaking ice during exploration drilling
operations in the Beaufort Sea in 1986
resulted in an estimated broadband
source level of 193 dB re 1 mPa at 1 m
(Greene, 1987a; Richardson et al.,
1995a).
Sound levels during ice management
activities would not be as intense as
during icebreaking, and the resulting
effects to marine species would be less
significant in comparison. During ice
management, the vessel’s propeller is
rotating at approximately 15–20 percent
of the vessel’s propeller rotation
capacity. Instead of actually breaking
ice, during ice management, the vessel
redirects and repositions the ice by
pushing it away from the direction of
the drillship at slow speeds so that the
ice floe does not slip past the vessel
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bow. Basically, ice management occurs
at slower speed, lower power, and
slower propeller rotation speed (i.e.,
lower cavitation), allowing for fewer
repositions of the vessel, thereby
reducing cavitation effects in the water
than would occur during icebreaking.
Once on location at the drill sites in
Camden Bay, Shell plans to measure the
sound levels produced by vessels
operating in support of drilling
operations. These vessels will include
crew change vessels, tugs, ice
management vessels, and OSR vessels.
(3) Aircraft Sound
Helicopters may be used for personnel
and equipment transport to and from
the drillship. Under calm conditions,
rotor and engine sounds are coupled
into the water within a 26° cone beneath
the aircraft. Some of the sound will
transmit beyond the immediate area,
and some sound will enter the water
outside the 26° area when the sea
surface is rough. However, scattering
and absorption will limit lateral
propagation in the shallow water.
Dominant tones in noise spectra from
helicopters are generally below 500 Hz
(Greene and Moore, 1995). Harmonics of
the main rotor and tail rotor usually
dominate the sound from helicopters;
however, many additional tones
associated with the engines and other
rotating parts are sometimes present.
Because of doppler shift effects, the
frequencies of tones received at a
stationary site diminish when an aircraft
passes overhead. The apparent
frequency is increased while the aircraft
approaches and is reduced while it
moves away.
Aircraft flyovers are not heard
underwater for very long, especially
when compared to how long they are
heard in air as the aircraft approaches
an observer. Helicopters flying to and
from the drillship will generally
maintain straight-line routes at altitudes
of at least 1,500 ft (457 m) above sea
level, thereby limiting the received
levels at and below the surface. Aircraft
travel would be controlled by Federal
Aviation Administration approved flight
paths.
(4) Vertical Seismic Profile Sound
A typical eight airgun array (4 x 40 in3
airguns and 4 x 150 in3 airguns, for a
total discharge volume of 760 in3)
would be used to perform ZVSP
surveys, if conducted after the
completion of each exploratory well.
Typically, a single ZVSP survey will be
performed when the well has reached
proposed total depth or final depth;
although, in some instances, a prior
ZVSP will have been performed at a
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shallower depth. A typical survey will
last 10–14 hours, depending on the
depth of the well and the number of
anchoring points, and include firings of
the full array, plus additional firing of
a single 40-in3 airgun to be used as a
‘‘mitigation airgun’’ while the
geophones are relocated within the
wellbore. The source level for the airgun
array proposed for use by Shell will
differ based on source depth. At a depth
of 9.8 ft (3 m), the SPL is 238 dB re 1
mPa at 1 m, and at a depth of 16.4 ft (5
m), the SPL is 241 dB re 1 mPa at 1 m,
with most energy between 20 and 140
Hz.
Airguns function by venting highpressure air into the water. The pressure
signature of an individual airgun
consists of a sharp rise and then fall in
pressure, followed by several positive
and negative pressure excursions caused
by oscillation of the resulting air bubble.
The sizes, arrangement, and firing times
of the individual airguns in an array are
designed and synchronized to suppress
the pressure oscillations subsequent to
the first cycle. Typical high-energy
airgun arrays emit most energy at 10–
120 Hz. However, the pulses contain
significant energy up to 500–1,000 Hz
and some energy at higher frequencies
(Goold and Fish, 1998; Potter et al.,
2007).
Although there will be several
support vessels in the drilling
operations area, NMFS considers the
possibility of collisions with marine
mammals highly unlikely. Once on
location, the majority of the support
vessels will remain in the area of the
drillship throughout the 2012 drilling
season and will not be making trips
between the shorebase and the offshore
vessels. When not needed for ice
management/icebreaking operations, the
icebreaker and anchor handler will
remain approximately 25 mi (40 km)
upwind and upcurrent of the drillship.
Any ice management/icebreaking
activity would be expected to occur at
a distance of 0.6–12 mi (1–19 km)
upwind and upcurrent of the drillship.
As the crew change/resupply activities
are considered part of normal vessel
traffic and are not anticipated to impact
marine mammals in a manner that
would rise to the level of taking, those
activities are not considered further in
this document.
Description of Marine Mammals in the
Area of the Specified Activity
The Beaufort Sea supports a diverse
assemblage of marine mammals,
including: bowhead, gray, beluga, killer
(Orcinus orca), minke (Balaenoptera
acutorostrata), and humpback
(Megaptera novaeangliae) whales;
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harbor porpoises; ringed, ribbon,
spotted, and bearded seals; narwhal
(Monodon monoceros); polar bears
(Ursus maritimus); and walruses
(Odobenus rosmarus divergens; see
Table 4–1 in Shell’s application). The
bowhead and humpback whales are
listed as ‘‘endangered’’ under the
Endangered Species Act (ESA) and as
depleted under the MMPA. Certain
stocks or populations of gray, beluga,
and killer whales and spotted seals are
listed as endangered or are proposed for
listing under the ESA; however, none of
those stocks or populations occur in the
proposed activity area. On December 10,
2010, NMFS published a notice of
proposed threatened status for
subspecies of the ringed seal (75 FR
77476) and a notice of proposed
threatened and not warranted status for
subspecies and distinct population
segments of the bearded seal (75 FR
77496) in the Federal Register. Neither
of these two ice seal species is
considered depleted under the MMPA.
Additionally, the ribbon seal is
considered a ‘‘species of concern’’ under
the ESA. Both the walrus and the polar
bear are managed by the U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service (USFWS) and are not
considered further in this Notice of
Proposed IHA.
Of these species, eight are expected to
occur in the area of Shell’s proposed
operations. These species include: The
bowhead, gray, and beluga whales,
harbor porpoise, and the ringed,
spotted, bearded, and ribbon seals. The
marine mammal species that is likely to
be encountered most widely (in space
and time) throughout the period of the
proposed drilling program is the ringed
seal. Bowhead whales are also
anticipated to occur in the proposed
project area more frequently than the
other cetacean species; however, their
occurrence is not expected until later in
the season. Even though harbor porpoise
and ribbon seals are not typically
sighted in Camden Bay, there have been
recent sightings in the Beaufort Sea near
the Prudhoe Bay area, so their
occurrence could not be completely
ruled out. Point Barrow, Alaska, is the
approximate northeastern extent of the
harbor porpoise’s regular range (Suydam
and George, 1992), though there are
extralimital records east to the mouth of
the Mackenzie River in the Northwest
Territories, Canada, and recent sightings
in the Beaufort Sea in the vicinity of
Prudhoe Bay during surveys in 2007
and 2008 (Christie et al., 2009). Two
ribbon seal sightings were reported
during vessel-based activities near
Prudhoe Bay in 2008 (Savarese et al.,
2009). Where available, Shell used
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68979
density estimates from peer-reviewed
literature in the application. In cases
where density estimates were not
readily available in the peer-reviewed
literature, Shell used other methods to
derive the estimates. NMFS reviewed
the density estimate descriptions and
articles from which estimates were
derived and requested additional
information to better explain the density
estimates presented by Shell in its
application. This additional information
was included in the revised IHA
application. The explanation for those
derivations and the actual density
estimates are described later in this
document (see the ‘‘Estimated Take by
Incidental Harassment’’ section).
Other cetacean species that have been
observed in the Beaufort Sea but are
uncommon or rarely identified in the
project area include narwhal and killer,
minke, and humpback whales. These
species could occur in the project area,
but each of these species is uncommon
or rare in the area and relatively few
encounters with these species are
expected during the exploration drilling
program. The narwhal occurs in
Canadian waters and occasionally in the
Beaufort Sea, but it is rare there and is
not expected to be encountered. There
are scattered records of narwhal in
Alaskan waters, including reports by
subsistence hunters, where the species
is considered extralimital (Reeves et al.,
2002). Humpback and minke whales
have recently been sighted in the
Chukchi Sea but very rarely in the
Beaufort Sea. Greene et al. (2007)
reported and photographed a humpback
whale cow/calf pair east of Barrow near
Smith Bay in 2007, which is the first
known occurrence of humpbacks in the
Beaufort Sea. Savarese et al. (2009)
reported one minke whale sighting in
the Beaufort Sea in 2007 and 2008. Due
to the rarity of these species in the
proposed project area and the remote
chance they would be affected by
Shell’s proposed Beaufort Sea drilling
activities, these species are not
discussed further in this proposed IHA
notice.
Shell’s application contains
information on the status, distribution,
seasonal distribution, abundance, and
life history of each of the species under
NMFS jurisdiction mentioned in this
document. When reviewing the
application, NMFS determined that the
species descriptions provided by Shell
correctly characterized the status,
distribution, seasonal distribution, and
abundance of each species. Please refer
to the application for that information
(see ADDRESSES). Additional information
can also be found in the NMFS Stock
Assessment Reports (SAR). The Alaska
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2010 SAR is available at: https://
www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/pdfs/sars/
ak2010.pdf.
Brief Background on Marine Mammal
Hearing
When considering the influence of
various kinds of sound on the marine
environment, it is necessary to
understand that different kinds of
marine life are sensitive to different
frequencies of sound. Based on available
behavioral data, audiograms have been
derived using auditory evoked
potentials, anatomical modeling, and
other data, Southall et al. (2007)
designate ‘‘functional hearing groups’’
for marine mammals and estimate the
lower and upper frequencies of
functional hearing of the groups. The
functional groups and the associated
frequencies are indicated below (though
animals are less sensitive to sounds at
the outer edge of their functional range
and most sensitive to sounds of
frequencies within a smaller range
somewhere in the middle of their
functional hearing range):
• Low frequency cetaceans (13
species of mysticetes): Functional
hearing is estimated to occur between
approximately 7 Hz and 22 kHz
(however, a study by Au et al. (2006) of
humpback whale songs indicate that the
range may extend to at least 24 kHz);
• Mid-frequency cetaceans (32
species of dolphins, six species of larger
toothed whales, and 19 species of
beaked and bottlenose whales):
Functional hearing is estimated to occur
between approximately 150 Hz and 160
kHz;
• High frequency cetaceans (eight
species of true porpoises, six species of
river dolphins, Kogia, the franciscana,
and four species of cephalorhynchids):
Functional hearing is estimated to occur
between approximately 200 Hz and 180
kHz; and
• Pinnipeds in Water: Functional
hearing is estimated to occur between
approximately 75 Hz and 75 kHz, with
the greatest sensitivity between
approximately 700 Hz and 20 kHz.
As mentioned previously in this
document, six marine mammal species
(three cetacean and three pinniped
species) are likely to occur in the
proposed exploratory drilling area. Of
the three cetacean species likely to
occur in Shell’s proposed project area,
two are classified as low frequency
cetaceans (i.e., bowhead and gray
whales) and one is classified as a midfrequency cetacean (i.e., beluga whales)
(Southall et al., 2007).
Underwater audiograms have been
obtained using behavioral methods for
four species of phocinid seals: The
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ringed, harbor, harp, and northern
elephant seals (reviewed in Richardson
et al., 1995a; Kastak and Schusterman,
1998). Below 30–50 kHz, the hearing
threshold of phocinids is essentially flat
down to at least 1 kHz and ranges
between 60 and 85 dB re 1 mPa. There
are few published data on in-water
hearing sensitivity of phocid seals
below 1 kHz. However, measurements
for one harbor seal indicated that, below
1 kHz, its thresholds deteriorated
gradually to 96 dB re 1 mPa at 100 Hz
from 80 dB re 1 mPa at 800 Hz and from
67 dB re 1 mPa at 1,600 Hz (Kastak and
Schusterman, 1998). More recent data
suggest that harbor seal hearing at low
frequencies may be more sensitive than
that and that earlier data were
confounded by excessive background
noise (Kastelein et al., 2009a,b). If so,
harbor seals have considerably better
underwater hearing sensitivity at low
frequencies than do small odontocetes
like belugas (for which the threshold at
100 Hz is about 125 dB).
Pinniped call characteristics are
relevant when assessing potential
masking effects of man-made sounds. In
addition, for those species whose
hearing has not been tested, call
characteristics are useful in assessing
the frequency range within which
hearing is likely to be most sensitive.
The three species of seals present in the
study area, all of which are in the
phocid seal group, are all most vocal
during the spring mating season and
much less so during late summer. In
each species, the calls are at frequencies
from several hundred to several
thousand hertz—above the frequency
range of the dominant noise
components from most of the proposed
oil exploration activities.
Cetacean hearing has been studied in
relatively few species and individuals.
The auditory sensitivity of bowhead,
gray, and other baleen whales has not
been measured, but relevant anatomical
and behavioral evidence is available.
These whales appear to be specialized
for low frequency hearing, with some
directional hearing ability (reviewed in
Richardson et al., 1995a; Ketten, 2000).
Their optimum hearing overlaps broadly
with the low frequency range where
exploration drilling activities, airguns,
and associated vessel traffic emit most
of their energy.
The beluga whale is one of the betterstudied species in terms of its hearing
ability. As mentioned earlier, the
auditory bandwidth in mid-frequency
odontocetes is believed to range from
150 Hz to 160 kHz (Southall et al.,
2007); however, belugas are most
sensitive above 10 kHz. They have
relatively poor sensitivity at the low
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frequencies (reviewed in Richardson et
al., 1995a) that dominate the sound
from industrial activities and associated
vessels. Nonetheless, the noise from
strong low frequency sources is
detectable by belugas many kilometers
away (Richardson and Wursig, 1997).
Also, beluga hearing at low frequencies
in open-water conditions is apparently
somewhat better than in the captive
situations where most hearing studies
were conducted (Ridgway and Carder,
1995; Au, 1997). If so, low frequency
sounds emanating from drilling
activities may be detectable somewhat
farther away than previously estimated.
Call characteristics of cetaceans
provide some limited information on
their hearing abilities, although the
auditory range often extends beyond the
range of frequencies contained in the
calls. Also, understanding the
frequencies at which different marine
mammal species communicate is
relevant for the assessment of potential
impacts from manmade sounds. A
summary of the call characteristics for
bowhead, gray, and beluga whales is
provided next.
Most bowhead calls are tonal,
frequency-modulated sounds at
frequencies of 50–400 Hz. These calls
overlap broadly in frequency with the
underwater sounds emitted by many of
the activities to be performed during
Shell’s proposed exploration drilling
program (Richardson et al., 1995a).
Source levels are quite variable, with
the stronger calls having source levels
up to about 180 dB re 1 mPa at 1 m. Gray
whales make a wide variety of calls at
frequencies from <100–2,000 Hz (Moore
and Ljungblad, 1984; Dalheim, 1987).
Beluga calls include trills, whistles,
clicks, bangs, chirps and other sounds
(Schevill and Lawrence, 1949; Ouellet,
1979; Sjare and Smith, 1986a). Beluga
whistles have dominant frequencies in
the 2–6 kHz range (Sjare and Smith,
1986a). This is above the frequency
range of most of the sound energy
produced by the proposed exploratory
drilling activities and associated vessels.
Other beluga call types reported by Sjare
and Smith (1986a,b) included sounds at
mean frequencies ranging upward from
1 kHz.
The beluga also has a very well
developed high frequency echolocation
system, as reviewed by Au (1993).
Echolocation signals have peak
frequencies from 40–120 kHz and
broadband source levels of up to 219 dB
re 1 mPa-m (zero-peak). Echolocation
calls are far above the frequency range
of the sounds produced by the devices
proposed for use during Shell’s Camden
Bay exploratory drilling program.
Therefore, those industrial sounds are
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not expected to interfere with
echolocation.
Potential Effects of the Specified
Activity on Marine Mammals
The likely or possible impacts of the
proposed exploratory drilling program
in Camden Bay on marine mammals
could involve both non-acoustic and
acoustic effects. Potential non-acoustic
effects could result from the physical
presence of the equipment and
personnel. Petroleum development and
associated activities introduce sound
into the marine environment. Impacts to
marine mammals are expected to
primarily be acoustic in nature.
Potential acoustic effects on marine
mammals relate to sound produced by
drilling activity, vessels, and aircraft, as
well as the ZVSP airgun array. The
potential effects of sound from the
proposed exploratory drilling program
might include one or more of the
following: Tolerance; masking of natural
sounds; behavioral disturbance; nonauditory physical effects; and, at least in
theory, temporary or permanent hearing
impairment (Richardson et al., 1995a).
However, for reasons discussed later in
this document, it is unlikely that there
would be any cases of temporary, or
especially permanent, hearing
impairment resulting from these
activities. As outlined in previous
NMFS documents, the effects of noise
on marine mammals are highly variable,
and can be categorized as follows (based
on Richardson et al., 1995a):
(1) The noise may be too weak to be
heard at the location of the animal (i.e.,
lower than the prevailing ambient noise
level, the hearing threshold of the
animal at relevant frequencies, or both);
(2) The noise may be audible but not
strong enough to elicit any overt
behavioral response;
(3) The noise may elicit reactions of
variable conspicuousness and variable
relevance to the well being of the
marine mammal; these can range from
temporary alert responses to active
avoidance reactions such as vacating an
area at least until the noise event ceases
but potentially for longer periods of
time;
(4) Upon repeated exposure, a marine
mammal may exhibit diminishing
responsiveness (habituation), or
disturbance effects may persist; the
latter is most likely with sounds that are
highly variable in characteristics,
infrequent, and unpredictable in
occurrence, and associated with
situations that a marine mammal
perceives as a threat;
(5) Any anthropogenic noise that is
strong enough to be heard has the
potential to reduce (mask) the ability of
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a marine mammal to hear natural
sounds at similar frequencies, including
calls from conspecifics, and underwater
environmental sounds such as surf
noise;
(6) If mammals remain in an area
because it is important for feeding,
breeding, or some other biologically
important purpose even though there is
chronic exposure to noise, it is possible
that there could be noise-induced
physiological stress; this might in turn
have negative effects on the well-being
or reproduction of the animals involved;
and
(7) Very strong sounds have the
potential to cause a temporary or
permanent reduction in hearing
sensitivity. In terrestrial mammals, and
presumably marine mammals, received
sound levels must far exceed the
animal’s hearing threshold for there to
be any temporary threshold shift (TTS)
in its hearing ability. For transient
sounds, the sound level necessary to
cause TTS is inversely related to the
duration of the sound. Received sound
levels must be even higher for there to
be risk of permanent hearing
impairment. In addition, intense
acoustic or explosive events may cause
trauma to tissues associated with organs
vital for hearing, sound production,
respiration and other functions. This
trauma may include minor to severe
hemorrhage.
68981
to be more tolerant of exposure to some
types of underwater sound than are
baleen whales. Richardson et al. (1995a)
found that vessel noise does not seem to
strongly affect pinnipeds that are
already in the water. Richardson et al.
(1995a) went on to explain that seals on
haul-outs sometimes respond strongly to
the presence of vessels and at other
times appear to show considerable
tolerance of vessels, and Brueggeman et
al. (1992, cited in Richardson et al.,
1995a) observed ringed seals hauled out
on ice pans displaying short-term
escape reactions when a ship
approached within 0.25–0.5 mi
(0.4–0.8 km).
(2) Masking
Masking is the obscuring of sounds of
interest by other sounds, often at similar
frequencies. Marine mammals are
highly dependent on sound, and their
ability to recognize sound signals amid
other noise is important in
communication, predator and prey
detection, and, in the case of toothed
whales, echolocation. Even in the
absence of manmade sounds, the sea is
usually noisy. Background ambient
noise often interferes with or masks the
ability of an animal to detect a sound
signal even when that signal is above its
absolute hearing threshold. Natural
ambient noise includes contributions
from wind, waves, precipitation, other
animals, and (at frequencies above 30
Potential Acoustic Effects From
kHz) thermal noise resulting from
Exploratory Drilling Activities
molecular agitation (Richardson et al.,
(1) Tolerance
1995a). Background noise also can
include sounds from human activities.
Numerous studies have shown that
Masking of natural sounds can result
underwater sounds from industry
activities are often readily detectable by when human activities produce high
levels of background noise. Conversely,
marine mammals in the water at
if the background level of underwater
distances of many kilometers.
Numerous studies have also shown that noise is high (e.g., on a day with strong
marine mammals at distances more than wind and high waves), an
anthropogenic noise source will not be
a few kilometers away often show no
detectable as far away as would be
apparent response to industry activities
of various types (Miller et al., 2005; Bain possible under quieter conditions and
will itself be masked.
and Williams, 2006). This is often true
Although some degree of masking is
even in cases when the sounds must be
inevitable when high levels of manmade
readily audible to the animals based on
broadband sounds are introduced into
measured received levels and the
the sea, marine mammals have evolved
hearing sensitivity of that mammal
group. Although various baleen whales, systems and behavior that function to
reduce the impacts of masking.
toothed whales, and (less frequently)
Structured signals, such as the
pinnipeds have been shown to react
echolocation click sequences of small
behaviorally to underwater sound such
toothed whales, may be readily detected
as airgun pulses or vessels under some
even in the presence of strong
conditions, at other times mammals of
background noise because their
all three types have shown no overt
frequency content and temporal features
reactions (e.g., Malme et al., 1986;
usually differ strongly from those of the
Richardson et al., 1995; Madsen and
background noise (Au and Moore, 1988,
Mohl, 2000; Croll et al., 2001; Jacobs
and Terhune, 2002; Madsen et al., 2002; 1990). The components of background
noise that are similar in frequency to the
Miller et al., 2005). In general,
sound signal in question primarily
pinnipeds and small odontocetes seem
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determine the degree of masking of that
signal.
Redundancy and context can also
facilitate detection of weak signals.
These phenomena may help marine
mammals detect weak sounds in the
presence of natural or manmade noise.
Most masking studies in marine
mammals present the test signal and the
masking noise from the same direction.
The sound localization abilities of
marine mammals suggest that, if signal
and noise come from different
directions, masking would not be as
severe as the usual types of masking
studies might suggest (Richardson et al.,
1995a). The dominant background noise
may be highly directional if it comes
from a particular anthropogenic source
such as a ship or industrial site.
Directional hearing may significantly
reduce the masking effects of these
noises by improving the effective signalto-noise ratio. In the cases of highfrequency hearing by the bottlenose
dolphin, beluga whale, and killer whale,
empirical evidence confirms that
masking depends strongly on the
relative directions of arrival of sound
signals and the masking noise (Penner et
al., 1986; Dubrovskiy, 1990; Bain et al.,
1993; Bain and Dahlheim, 1994).
Toothed whales, and probably other
marine mammals as well, have
additional capabilities besides
directional hearing that can facilitate
detection of sounds in the presence of
background noise. There is evidence
that some toothed whales can shift the
dominant frequencies of their
echolocation signals from a frequency
range with a lot of ambient noise toward
frequencies with less noise (Au et al.,
1974, 1985; Moore and Pawloski, 1990;
Thomas and Turl, 1990; Romanenko
and Kitain, 1992; Lesage et al., 1999). A
few marine mammal species are known
to increase the source levels or alter the
frequency of their calls in the presence
of elevated sound levels (Dahlheim,
1987; Au, 1993; Lesage et al., 1993,
1999; Terhune, 1999; Foote et al., 2004;
Parks et al., 2007, 2009; Di Iorio and
Clark, 2009; Holt et al., 2009).
These data demonstrating adaptations
for reduced masking pertain mainly to
the very high frequency echolocation
signals of toothed whales. There is less
information about the existence of
corresponding mechanisms at moderate
or low frequencies or in other types of
marine mammals. For example, Zaitseva
et al. (1980) found that, for the
bottlenose dolphin, the angular
separation between a sound source and
a masking noise source had little effect
on the degree of masking when the
sound frequency was 18 kHz, in contrast
to the pronounced effect at higher
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frequencies. Directional hearing has
been demonstrated at frequencies as low
as 0.5–2 kHz in several marine
mammals, including killer whales
(Richardson et al., 1995a). This ability
may be useful in reducing masking at
these frequencies. In summary, high
levels of noise generated by
anthropogenic activities may act to
mask the detection of weaker
biologically important sounds by some
marine mammals. This masking may be
more prominent for lower frequencies.
For higher frequencies, such as that
used in echolocation by toothed whales,
several mechanisms are available that
may allow them to reduce the effects of
such masking.
Masking effects of underwater sounds
from Shell’s proposed activities on
marine mammal calls and other natural
sounds are expected to be limited. For
example, beluga whales primarily use
high-frequency sounds to communicate
and locate prey; therefore, masking by
low-frequency sounds associated with
drilling activities is not expected to
occur (Gales, 1982, as cited in Shell,
2009). If the distance between
communicating whales does not exceed
their distance from the drilling activity,
the likelihood of potential impacts from
masking would be low (Gales, 1982, as
cited in Shell, 2009). At distances
greater than 660–1,300 ft (200–400 m),
recorded sounds from drilling activities
did not affect behavior of beluga whales,
even though the sound energy level and
frequency were such that it could be
heard several kilometers away
(Richardson et al., 1995b). This
exposure resulted in whales being
deflected from the sound energy and
changing behavior. These minor
changes are not expected to affect the
beluga whale population (Richardson et
al., 1991; Richard et al., 1998). Brewer
et al. (1993) observed belugas within 2.3
mi (3.7 km) of the drilling unit Kulluk
during drilling; however, the authors do
not describe any behaviors that may
have been exhibited by those animals.
Please refer to the Arctic Multiple-Sale
Draft Environmental Impact Statement
(USDOI MMS, 2008), available on the
Internet at: https://www.mms.gov/alaska/
ref/EIS%20EA/ArcticMultiSale_209/
_DEIS.htm, for more detailed
information.
There is evidence of other marine
mammal species continuing to call in
the presence of industrial activity.
Annual acoustical monitoring near BP’s
Northstar production facility during the
fall bowhead migration westward
through the Beaufort Sea has recorded
thousands of calls each year (for
examples, see Richardson et al., 2007;
Aerts and Richardson, 2008).
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Construction, maintenance, and
operational activities have been
occurring from this facility for over 10
years. To compensate and reduce
masking, some mysticetes may alter the
frequencies of their communication
sounds (Richardson et al., 1995a; Parks
et al., 2007). Masking processes in
baleen whales are not amenable to
laboratory study, and no direct
measurements on hearing sensitivity are
available for these species. It is not
currently possible to determine with
precision the potential consequences of
temporary or local background noise
levels. However, Parks et al. (2007)
found that right whales (a species
closely related to the bowhead whale)
altered their vocalizations, possibly in
response to background noise levels. For
species that can hear over a relatively
broad frequency range, as is presumed
to be the case for mysticetes, a narrow
band source may only cause partial
masking. Richardson et al. (1995a) note
that a bowhead whale 12.4 mi (20 km)
from a human sound source, such as
that produced during oil and gas
industry activities, might hear strong
calls from other whales within
approximately 12.4 mi (20 km), and a
whale 3.1 mi (5 km) from the source
might hear strong calls from whales
within approximately 3.1 mi (5 km).
Additionally, masking is more likely to
occur closer to a sound source, and
distant anthropogenic sound is less
likely to mask short-distance acoustic
communication (Richardson et al.,
1995a).
Although some masking by marine
mammal species in the area may occur,
the extent of the masking interference
will depend on the spatial relationship
of the animal and Shell’s activity.
Almost all energy in the sounds emitted
by drilling and other operational
activities is at low frequencies,
predominantly below 250 Hz with
another peak centered around 1,000 Hz.
Most energy in the sounds from the
vessels and aircraft to be used during
this project is below 1 kHz (Moore et al.,
1984; Greene and Moore, 1995;
Blackwell et al., 2004b; Blackwell and
Greene, 2006). These frequencies are
mainly used by mysticetes but not by
odontocetes. Therefore, masking effects
would potentially be more pronounced
in the bowhead and gray whales that
might occur in the proposed project
area. If, as described later in this
document, certain species avoid the
proposed drilling locations, impacts
from masking are anticipated to be low.
(3) Behavioral Disturbance Reactions
Behavioral responses to sound are
highly variable and context-specific.
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Many different variables can influence
an animal’s perception of and response
to (in both nature and magnitude) an
acoustic event. An animal’s prior
experience with a sound or sound
source affects whether it is less likely
(habituation) or more likely
(sensitization) to respond to certain
sounds in the future (animals can also
be innately pre-disposed to respond to
certain sounds in certain ways; Southall
et al., 2007). Related to the sound itself,
the perceived nearness of the sound,
bearing of the sound (approaching vs.
retreating), similarity of a sound to
biologically relevant sounds in the
animal’s environment (i.e., calls of
predators, prey, or conspecifics), and
familiarity of the sound may affect the
way an animal responds to the sound
(Southall et al., 2007). Individuals (of
different age, gender, reproductive
status, etc.) among most populations
will have variable hearing capabilities
and differing behavioral sensitivities to
sounds that will be affected by prior
conditioning, experience, and current
activities of those individuals. Often,
specific acoustic features of the sound
and contextual variables (i.e., proximity,
duration, or recurrence of the sound or
the current behavior that the marine
mammal is engaged in or its prior
experience), as well as entirely separate
factors such as the physical presence of
a nearby vessel, may be more relevant
to the animal’s response than the
received level alone.
Exposure of marine mammals to
sound sources can result in (but is not
limited to) no response or any of the
following observable responses:
Increased alertness; orientation or
attraction to a sound source; vocal
modifications; cessation of feeding;
cessation of social interaction; alteration
of movement or diving behavior;
avoidance; habitat abandonment
(temporary or permanent); and, in
severe cases, panic, flight, stampede, or
stranding, potentially resulting in death
(Southall et al., 2007). On a related note,
many animals perform vital functions,
such as feeding, resting, traveling, and
socializing, on a diel cycle (24-hr cycle).
Behavioral reactions to noise exposure
(such as disruption of critical life
functions, displacement, or avoidance of
important habitat) are more likely to be
significant if they last more than one
diel cycle or recur on subsequent days
(Southall et al., 2007). Consequently, a
behavioral response lasting less than
one day and not recurring on
subsequent days is not considered
particularly severe unless it could
directly affect reproduction or survival
(Southall et al., 2007).
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Detailed studies regarding responses
to anthropogenic sound have been
conducted on humpback, gray, and
bowhead whales and ringed seals. Less
detailed data are available for some
other species of baleen whales, sperm
whales, small toothed whales, and sea
otters. The following sub-sections
provide examples of behavioral
responses that provide an idea of the
variability in behavioral responses that
would be expected given the different
sensitivities of marine mammal species
to sound.
Baleen Whales—Richardson et al.
(1995b) reported changes in surfacing
and respiration behavior and the
occurrence of turns during surfacing in
bowhead whales exposed to playback of
underwater sound from drilling
activities. These behavioral effects were
localized and occurred at distances up
to 1.2–2.5 mi (2–4 km).
Some bowheads appeared to divert
from their migratory path after exposure
to projected icebreaker sounds. Other
bowheads however, tolerated projected
icebreaker sound at levels 20 dB and
more above ambient sound levels. The
source level of the projected sound
however, was much less than that of an
actual icebreaker, and reaction distances
to actual icebreaking may be much
greater than those reported here for
projected sounds.
Brewer et al. (1993) and Hall et al.
(1994) reported numerous sightings of
marine mammals including bowhead
whales in the vicinity of offshore
drilling operations in the Beaufort Sea.
One bowhead whale sighting was
reported within approximately 1,312 ft
(400 m) of a drilling vessel although
most other bowhead sightings were at
much greater distances. Few bowheads
were recorded near industrial activities
by aerial observers. After controlling for
spatial autocorrelation in aerial survey
data from Hall et al. (1994) using a
Mantel test, Schick and Urban (2000)
found that the variable describing
straight line distance between the rig
and bowhead whale sightings was not
significant but that a variable describing
threshold distances between sightings
and the rig was significant. Thus,
although the aerial survey results
suggested substantial avoidance of the
operations by bowhead whales,
observations by vessel-based observers
indicate that at least some bowheads
may have been closer to industrial
activities than was suggested by results
of aerial observations.
Richardson et al. (2008) reported a
slight change in the distribution of
bowhead whale calls in response to
operational sounds on BP’s Northstar
Island. The southern edge of the call
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distribution ranged from 0.47 to 1.46 mi
(0.76 to 2.35 km) farther offshore,
apparently in response to industrial
sound levels. This result however, was
only achieved after intensive statistical
analyses, and it is not clear that this
represented a biologically significant
effect.
Patenaude et al. (2002) reported fewer
behavioral responses to aircraft
overflights by bowhead compared to
beluga whales. Behaviors classified as
reactions consisted of short surfacings,
immediate dives or turns, changes in
behavior state, vigorous swimming, and
breaching. Most bowhead reaction
resulted from exposure to helicopter
activity and little response to fixed-wing
aircraft was observed. Most reactions
occurred when the helicopter was at
altitudes ≤ 492 ft (150 m) and lateral
distances ≤ 820 ft (250 m; Nowacek et
al., 2007).
During their study, Patenaude et al.
(2002) observed one bowhead whale
cow-calf pair during four passes totaling
2.8 hours of the helicopter and two pairs
during Twin Otter overflights. All of the
helicopter passes were at altitudes of
49–98 ft (15–30 m). The mother dove
both times she was at the surface, and
the calf dove once out of the four times
it was at the surface. For the cow-calf
pair sightings during Twin Otter
overflights, the authors did not note any
behaviors specific to those pairs. Rather,
the reactions of the cow-calf pairs were
lumped with the reactions of other
groups that did not consist of calves.
Richardson et al. (1995b) and Moore
and Clarke (2002) reviewed a few
studies that observed responses of gray
whales to aircraft. Cow-calf pairs were
quite sensitive to a turboprop survey
flown at 1,000 ft (305 m) altitude on the
Alaskan summering grounds. In that
survey, adults were seen swimming over
the calf, or the calf swam under the
adult (Ljungblad et al., 1983, cited in
Richardson et al., 1995b and Moore and
Clarke, 2002). However, when the same
aircraft circled for more than 10 minutes
at 1,050 ft (320 m) altitude over a group
of mating gray whales, no reactions
were observed (Ljungblad et al., 1987,
cited in Moore and Clarke, 2002).
Malme et al. (1984, cited in Richardson
et al., 1995b and Moore and Clarke,
2002) conducted playback experiments
on migrating gray whales. They exposed
the animals to underwater noise
recorded from a Bell 212 helicopter
(estimated altitude=328 ft [100 m]), at
an average of three simulated passes per
minute. The authors observed that
whales changed their swimming course
and sometimes slowed down in
response to the playback sound but
proceeded to migrate past the
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transducer. Migrating gray whales did
not react overtly to a Bell 212 helicopter
at greater than 1,394 ft (425 m) altitude,
occasionally reacted when the
helicopter was at 1,000–1,198 ft (305–
365 m), and usually reacted when it was
below 825 ft (250 m; Southwest
Research Associates, 1988, cited in
Richardson et al., 1995b and Moore and
Clarke, 2002). Reactions noted in that
study included abrupt turns or dives or
both. Green et al. (1992, cited in
Richardson et al., 1995b) observed that
migrating gray whales rarely exhibited
noticeable reactions to a straight-line
overflight by a Twin Otter at 197 ft (60
m) altitude. Restrictions on aircraft
altitude will be part of the proposed
mitigation measures (described in the
‘‘Proposed Mitigation’’ section later in
this document) during the proposed
drilling activities, and overflights are
likely to have little or no disturbance
effects on baleen whales. Any
disturbance that may occur would likely
be temporary and localized.
Southall et al. (2007, Appendix C)
reviewed a number of papers describing
the responses of marine mammals to
non-pulsed sound, such as that
produced during exploratory drilling
operations. In general, little or no
response was observed in animals
exposed at received levels from 90–120
dB re 1 mPa (rms). Probability of
avoidance and other behavioral effects
increased when received levels were
from 120–160 dB re 1 mPa (rms). Some
of the relevant reviews contained in
Southall et al. (2007) are summarized
next.
Baker et al. (1982) reported some
avoidance by humpback whales to
vessel noise when received levels were
110–120 dB (rms) and clear avoidance at
120–140 dB (sound measurements were
not provided by Baker but were based
on measurements of identical vessels by
Miles and Malme, 1983).
Malme et al. (1983, 1984) used
playbacks of sounds from helicopter
overflight and drilling rigs and
platforms to study behavioral effects on
migrating gray whales. Received levels
exceeding 120 dB induced avoidance
reactions. Malme et al. (1984) calculated
10%, 50%, and 90% probabilities of
gray whale avoidance reactions at
received levels of 110, 120, and 130 dB,
respectively. Malme et al. (1986)
observed the behavior of feeding gray
whales during four experimental
playbacks of drilling sounds (50 to 315
Hz; 21-min overall duration and 10%
duty cycle; source levels of 156–162
dB). In two cases for received levels of
100–110 dB, no behavioral reaction was
observed. However, avoidance behavior
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was observed in two cases where
received levels were 110–120 dB.
Richardson et al. (1990) performed 12
playback experiments in which
bowhead whales in the Alaskan Arctic
were exposed to drilling sounds. Whales
generally did not respond to exposures
in the 100 to 130 dB range, although
there was some indication of minor
behavioral changes in several instances.
McCauley et al. (1996) reported
several cases of humpback whales
responding to vessels in Hervey Bay,
Australia. Results indicated clear
avoidance at received levels between
118 to 124 dB in three cases for which
response and received levels were
observed/measured.
Palka and Hammond (2001) analyzed
line transect census data in which the
orientation and distance off transect line
were reported for large numbers of
minke whales. The authors developed a
method to account for effects of animal
movement in response to sighting
platforms. Minor changes in locomotion
speed, direction, and/or diving profile
were reported at ranges from 1,847 to
2,352 ft (563 to 717 m) at received levels
of 110 to 120 dB.
Biassoni et al. (2000) and Miller et al.
(2000) reported behavioral observations
for humpback whales exposed to a lowfrequency sonar stimulus (160- to 330Hz frequency band; 42-s tonal signal
repeated every 6 min; source levels 170
to 200 dB) during playback experiments.
Exposure to measured received levels
ranging from 120 to 150 dB resulted in
variability in humpback singing
behavior. Croll et al. (2001) investigated
responses of foraging fin and blue
whales to the same low frequency active
sonar stimulus off southern California.
Playbacks and control intervals with no
transmission were used to investigate
behavior and distribution on time scales
of several weeks and spatial scales of
tens of kilometers. The general
conclusion was that whales remained
feeding within a region for which 12 to
30% of exposures exceeded 140 dB.
Frankel and Clark (1998) conducted
playback experiments with wintering
humpback whales using a single speaker
producing a low-frequency ‘‘Msequence’’ (sine wave with multiplephase reversals) signal in the 60 to 90
Hz band with output of 172 dB at 1 m.
For 11 playbacks, exposures were
between 120 and 130 dB re 1 mPa (rms)
and included sufficient information
regarding individual responses. During
eight of the trials, there were no
measurable differences in tracks or
bearings relative to control conditions,
whereas on three occasions, whales
either moved slightly away from (n = 1)
or towards (n = 2) the playback speaker
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during exposure. The presence of the
source vessel itself had a greater effect
than did the M-sequence playback.
Finally, Nowacek et al. (2004) used
controlled exposures to demonstrate
behavioral reactions of northern right
whales to various non-pulse sounds.
Playback stimuli included ship noise,
social sounds of conspecifics, and a
complex, 18-min ‘‘alert’’ sound
consisting of repetitions of three
different artificial signals. Ten whales
were tagged with calibrated instruments
that measured received sound
characteristics and concurrent animal
movements in three dimensions. Five
out of six exposed whales reacted
strongly to alert signals at measured
received levels between 130 and 150 dB
(i.e., ceased foraging and swam rapidly
to the surface). Two of these individuals
were not exposed to ship noise, and the
other four were exposed to both stimuli.
These whales reacted mildly to
conspecific signals. Seven whales,
including the four exposed to the alert
stimulus, had no measurable response
to either ship sounds or actual vessel
noise.
Toothed Whales—Most toothed
whales have the greatest hearing
sensitivity at frequencies much higher
than that of baleen whales and may be
less responsive to low-frequency sound
commonly associated with oil and gas
industry exploratory drilling activities.
Richardson et al. (1995b) reported that
beluga whales did not show any
apparent reaction to playback of
underwater drilling sounds at distances
greater than 656–1,312 ft (200–400 m).
Reactions included slowing down,
milling, or reversal of course after which
the whales continued past the projector,
sometimes within 164–328 ft (50–100
m). The authors concluded (based on a
small sample size) that the playback of
drilling sounds had no biologically
significant effects on migration routes of
beluga whales migrating through pack
ice and along the seaward side of the
nearshore lead east of Pt. Barrow in
spring.
At least six of 17 groups of beluga
whales appeared to alter their migration
path in response to underwater
playbacks of icebreaker sound
(Richardson et al., 1995b). Received
levels from the icebreaker playback
were estimated at 78–84 dB in the 1/3octave band centered at 5,000 Hz, or 8–
14 dB above ambient. If beluga whales
reacted to an actual icebreaker at
received levels of 80 dB, reactions
would be expected to occur at distances
on the order of 6.2 mi (10 km). Finley
et al. (1990) also reported beluga
avoidance of icebreaker activities in the
Canadian High Arctic at distances of
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22–31 mi (35–50 km). In addition to
avoidance, changes in dive behavior and
pod integrity were also noted.
Patenaude et al. (2002) reported that
beluga whales appeared to be more
responsive to aircraft overflights than
bowhead whales. Changes were
observed in diving and respiration
behavior, and some whales veered away
when a helicopter passed at ≤ 820 ft
(250 m) lateral distance at altitudes up
to 492 ft (150 m). However, some
belugas showed no reaction to the
helicopter. Belugas appeared to show
less response to fixed-wing aircraft than
to helicopter overflights.
In reviewing responses of cetaceans
with best hearing in mid-frequency
ranges, which includes toothed whales,
Southall et al. (2007) reported that
combined field and laboratory data for
mid-frequency cetaceans exposed to
non-pulse sounds did not lead to a clear
conclusion about received levels
coincident with various behavioral
responses. In some settings, individuals
in the field showed profound
(significant) behavioral responses to
exposures from 90–120 dB, while others
failed to exhibit such responses for
exposure to received levels from 120–
150 dB. Contextual variables other than
exposure received level, and probable
species differences, are the likely
reasons for this variability. Context,
including the fact that captive subjects
were often directly reinforced with food
for tolerating noise exposure, may also
explain why there was great disparity in
results from field and laboratory
conditions—exposures in captive
settings generally exceeded 170 dB
before inducing behavioral responses. A
summary of some of the relevant
material reviewed by Southall et al.
(2007) is next.
LGL and Greeneridge (1986) and
Finley et al. (1990) documented belugas
and narwhals congregated near ice
edges reacting to the approach and
passage of icebreaking ships. Beluga
whales responded to oncoming vessels
by (1) Fleeing at speeds of up to 12.4
mi/hr (20 km/hr) from distances of
12.4–50 mi (20–80 km), (2) abandoning
normal pod structure, and (3) modifying
vocal behavior and/or emitting alarm
calls. Narwhals, in contrast, generally
demonstrated a ‘‘freeze’’ response, lying
motionless or swimming slowly away
(as far as 23 mi [37 km] down the ice
edge), huddling in groups, and ceasing
sound production. There was some
evidence of habituation and reduced
avoidance 2 to 3 days after onset.
The 1982 season observations by LGL
and Greeneridge (1986) involved a
single passage of an icebreaker with
both ice-based and aerial measurements
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on June 28, 1982. Four groups of
narwhals (n = 9 to 10, 7, 7, and 6)
responded when the ship was 4 mi (6.4
km) away (received levels of
approximately 100 dB in the 150- to
1,150-Hz band). At a later point,
observers sighted belugas moving away
from the source at more than 12.4 mi (20
km; received levels of approximately 90
dB in the 150- to 1,150-Hz band). The
total number of animals observed
fleeing was about 300, suggesting
approximately 100 independent groups
(of three individuals each). No whales
were sighted the following day, but
some were sighted on June 30, with ship
noise audible at spectrum levels of
approximately 55 dB/Hz (up to 4 kHz).
Observations during 1983 (LGL and
Greeneridge, 1986) involved two
icebreaking ships with aerial survey and
ice-based observations during seven
sampling periods. Narwhals and belugas
generally reacted at received levels
ranging from 101 to 121 dB in the 20to 1,000-Hz band and at a distance of up
to 40.4 mi (65 km). Large numbers
(100s) of beluga whales moved out of
the area at higher received levels. As
noise levels from icebreaking operations
diminished, a total of 45 narwhals
returned to the area and engaged in
diving and foraging behavior. During the
final sampling period, following an 8-h
quiet interval, no reactions were seen
from 28 narwhals and 17 belugas (at
received levels ranging up to 115 dB).
The final season (1984) reported in
LGL and Greeneridge (1986) involved
aerial surveys before, during, and after
the passage of two icebreaking ships.
During operations, no belugas and few
narwhals were observed in an area
approximately 16.8 mi (27 km) ahead of
the vessels, and all whales sighted over
12.4–50 mi (20–80 km) from the ships
were swimming strongly away.
Additional observations confirmed the
spatial extent of avoidance reactions to
this sound source in this context.
Buckstaff (2004) reported elevated
dolphin whistle rates with received
levels from oncoming vessels in the 110
to 120 dB range in Sarasota Bay, Florida.
These hearing thresholds were
apparently lower than those reported by
a researcher listening with towed
hydrophones. Morisaka et al. (2005)
compared whistles from three
populations of Indo-Pacific bottlenose
dolphins. One population was exposed
to vessel noise with spectrum levels of
approximately 85 dB/Hz in the 1- to 22kHz band (broadband received levels
approximately 128 dB) as opposed to
approximately 65 dB/Hz in the same
band (broadband received levels
approximately 108 dB) for the other two
sites. Dolphin whistles in the noisier
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environment had lower fundamental
frequencies and less frequency
modulation, suggesting a shift in sound
parameters as a result of increased
ambient noise.
Morton and Symonds (2002) used
census data on killer whales in British
Columbia to evaluate avoidance of nonpulse acoustic harassment devices
(AHDs). Avoidance ranges were about
2.5 mi (4 km). Also, there was a
dramatic reduction in the number of
days ‘‘resident’’ killer whales were
sighted during AHD-active periods
compared to pre- and post-exposure
periods and a nearby control site.
Monteiro-Neto et al. (2004) studied
avoidance responses of tucuxi (Sotalia
fluviatilis) to Dukane® Netmark acoustic
deterrent devices. In a total of 30
exposure trials, approximately five
groups each demonstrated significant
avoidance compared to 20 pinger off
and 55 no-pinger control trials over two
quadrats of about 0.19 mi2 (0.5 km2).
Estimated exposure received levels were
approximately 115 dB.
Awbrey and Stewart (1983) played
back semi-submersible drillship sounds
(source level: 163 dB) to belugas in
Alaska. They reported avoidance
reactions at 984 and 4,921 ft (300 and
1,500 m) and approach by groups at a
distance of 2.2 mi (3.5 km; received
levels were approximately 110 to 145
dB over these ranges assuming a 15 log
R transmission loss). Similarly,
Richardson et al. (1990) played back
drilling platform sounds (source level:
163 dB) to belugas in Alaska. They
conducted aerial observations of eight
individuals among approximately 100
spread over an area several hundred
meters to several kilometers from the
sound source and found no obvious
reactions. Moderate changes in
movement were noted for three groups
swimming within 656 ft (200 m) of the
sound projector.
Two studies deal with issues related
to changes in marine mammal vocal
behavior as a function of variable
background noise levels. Foote et al.
(2004) found increases in the duration
of killer whale calls over the period
1977 to 2003, during which time vessel
traffic in Puget Sound, and particularly
whale-watching boats around the
animals, increased dramatically.
Scheifele et al. (2005) demonstrated that
belugas in the St. Lawrence River
increased the levels of their
vocalizations as a function of the
background noise level (the ‘‘Lombard
Effect’’).
Several researchers conducting
laboratory experiments on hearing and
the effects of non-pulse sounds on
hearing in mid-frequency cetaceans
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have reported concurrent behavioral
responses. Nachtigall et al. (2003)
reported that noise exposures up to 179
dB and 55-min duration affected the
trained behaviors of a bottlenose
dolphin participating in a TTS
experiment. Finneran and Schlundt
(2004) provided a detailed,
comprehensive analysis of the
behavioral responses of belugas and
bottlenose dolphins to 1-s tones
(received levels 160 to 202 dB) in the
context of TTS experiments. Romano et
al. (2004) investigated the physiological
responses of a bottlenose dolphin and a
beluga exposed to these tonal exposures
and demonstrated a decrease in blood
cortisol levels during a series of
exposures between 130 and 201 dB.
Collectively, the laboratory observations
suggested the onset of a behavioral
response at higher received levels than
did field studies. The differences were
likely related to the very different
conditions and contextual variables
between untrained, free-ranging
individuals vs. laboratory subjects that
were rewarded with food for tolerating
noise exposure.
Pinnipeds—Pinnipeds generally seem
to be less responsive to exposure to
industrial sound than most cetaceans.
Pinniped responses to underwater
sound from some types of industrial
activities such as seismic exploration
appear to be temporary and localized
(Harris et al., 2001; Reiser et al., 2009).
Blackwell et al. (2004) reported little
or no reaction of ringed seals in
response to pile-driving activities
during construction of a man-made
island in the Beaufort Sea. Ringed seals
were observed swimming as close as
151 ft (46 m) from the island and may
have been habituated to the sounds
which were likely audible at distances
< 9,842 ft (3,000 m) underwater and 0.3
mi (0.5 km) in air. Moulton et al. (2003)
reported that ringed seal densities on ice
in the vicinity of a man-made island in
the Beaufort Sea did not change
significantly before and after
construction and drilling activities.
Southall et al. (2007) reviewed
literature describing responses of
pinnipeds to non-pulsed sound and
reported that the limited data suggest
exposures between approximately 90
and 140 dB generally do not appear to
induce strong behavioral responses in
pinnipeds exposed to non-pulse sounds
in water; no data exist regarding
exposures at higher levels. It is
important to note that among these
studies, there are some apparent
differences in responses between field
and laboratory conditions. In contrast to
the mid-frequency odontocetes, captive
pinnipeds responded more strongly at
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lower levels than did animals in the
field. Again, contextual issues are the
likely cause of this difference.
Jacobs and Terhune (2002) observed
harbor seal reactions to AHDs (source
level in this study was 172 dB)
deployed around aquaculture sites.
Seals were generally unresponsive to
sounds from the AHDs. During two
specific events, individuals came within
141 and 144 ft (43 and 44 m) of active
AHDs and failed to demonstrate any
measurable behavioral response;
estimated received levels based on the
measures given were approximately 120
to 130 dB.
Costa et al. (2003) measured received
noise levels from an Acoustic
Thermometry of Ocean Climate (ATOC)
program sound source off northern
California using acoustic data loggers
placed on translocated elephant seals.
Subjects were captured on land,
transported to sea, instrumented with
archival acoustic tags, and released such
that their transit would lead them near
an active ATOC source (at 939-m depth;
75-Hz signal with 37.5-Hz bandwidth;
195 dB maximum source level, ramped
up from 165 dB over 20 min) on their
return to a haul-out site. Received
exposure levels of the ATOC source for
experimental subjects averaged 128 dB
(range 118 to 137) in the 60- to 90-Hz
band. None of the instrumented animals
terminated dives or radically altered
behavior upon exposure, but some
statistically significant changes in
diving parameters were documented in
nine individuals. Translocated northern
elephant seals exposed to this particular
non-pulse source began to demonstrate
subtle behavioral changes at exposure to
received levels of approximately 120 to
140 dB.
Kastelein et al. (2006) exposed nine
captive harbor seals in an approximately
82 × 98 ft (25 × 30 m) enclosure to nonpulse sounds used in underwater data
communication systems (similar to
acoustic modems). Test signals were
frequency modulated tones, sweeps, and
bands of noise with fundamental
frequencies between 8 and 16 kHz; 128
to 130 [± 3] dB source levels; 1-to 2-s
duration [60–80 percent duty cycle]; or
100 percent duty cycle. They recorded
seal positions and the mean number of
individual surfacing behaviors during
control periods (no exposure), before
exposure, and in 15-min experimental
sessions (n = 7 exposures for each sound
type). Seals generally swam away from
each source at received levels of
approximately 107 dB, avoiding it by
approximately 16 ft (5 m), although they
did not haul out of the water or change
surfacing behavior. Seal reactions did
not appear to wane over repeated
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exposure (i.e., there was no obvious
habituation), and the colony of seals
generally returned to baseline
conditions following exposure. The
seals were not reinforced with food for
remaining in the sound field.
Potential effects to pinnipeds from
aircraft activity could involve both
acoustic and non-acoustic effects. It is
uncertain if the seals react to the sound
of the helicopter or to its physical
presence flying overhead. Typical
reactions of hauled out pinnipeds to
aircraft that have been observed include
looking up at the aircraft, moving on the
ice or land, entering a breathing hole or
crack in the ice, or entering the water.
Ice seals hauled out on the ice have
been observed diving into the water
when approached by a low-flying
aircraft or helicopter (Burns and Harbo,
1972, cited in Richardson et al., 1995a;
Burns and Frost, 1979, cited in
Richardson et al., 1995a). Richardson et
al. (1995a) note that responses can vary
based on differences in aircraft type,
altitude, and flight pattern.
Additionally, a study conducted by
Born et al. (1999) found that wind chill
was also a factor in level of response of
ringed seals hauled out on ice, as well
as time of day and relative wind
direction.
Blackwell et al. (2004a) observed 12
ringed seals during low-altitude
overflights of a Bell 212 helicopter at
Northstar in June and July 2000 (9
observations took place concurrent with
pipe-driving activities). One seal
showed no reaction to the aircraft while
the remaining 11 (92%) reacted, either
by looking at the helicopter (n=10) or by
departing from their basking site (n=1).
Blackwell et al. (2004a) concluded that
none of the reactions to helicopters were
strong or long lasting, and that seals
near Northstar in June and July 2000
probably had habituated to industrial
sounds and visible activities that had
occurred often during the preceding
winter and spring. There have been few
systematic studies of pinniped reactions
to aircraft overflights, and most of the
available data concern pinnipeds hauled
out on land or ice rather than pinnipeds
in the water (Richardson et al., 1995a;
Born et al., 1999).
Born et al. (1999) determined that
49% of ringed seals escaped (i.e., left the
ice) as a response to a helicopter flying
at 492 ft (150 m) altitude. Seals entered
the water when the helicopter was 4,101
ft (1,250 m) away if the seal was in front
of the helicopter and at 1,640 ft (500 m)
away if the seal was to the side of the
helicopter. The authors noted that more
seals reacted to helicopters than to
fixed-wing aircraft. The study
concluded that the risk of scaring ringed
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seals by small-type helicopters could be
substantially reduced if they do not
approach closer than 4,921 ft (1,500 m).
Spotted seals hauled out on land in
summer are unusually sensitive to
aircraft overflights compared to other
species. They often rush into the water
when an aircraft flies by at altitudes up
to 984–2,461 ft (300–750 m). They
occasionally react to aircraft flying as
high as 4,495 ft (1,370 m) and at lateral
distances as far as 1.2 mi (2 km) or more
(Frost and Lowry, 1990; Rugh et al.,
1997).
(4) Hearing Impairment and Other
Physiological Effects
Temporary or permanent hearing
impairment is a possibility when marine
mammals are exposed to very strong
sounds. Non-auditory physiological
effects might also occur in marine
mammals exposed to strong underwater
sound. Possible types of non-auditory
physiological effects or injuries that
theoretically might occur in mammals
close to a strong sound source include
stress, neurological effects, bubble
formation, and other types of organ or
tissue damage. It is possible that some
marine mammal species (i.e., beaked
whales) may be especially susceptible to
injury and/or stranding when exposed
to strong pulsed sounds. However, as
discussed later in this document, there
is no definitive evidence that any of
these effects occur even for marine
mammals in close proximity to
industrial sound sources, and beaked
whales do not occur in the proposed
activity area. Additional information
regarding the possibilities of TTS,
permanent threshold shift (PTS), and
non-auditory physiological effects, such
as stress, is discussed for both
exploratory drilling activities and ZVSP
surveys in the next subsection
(‘‘Potential Effects from ZVSP
Activities’’).
Potential Effects From ZVSP Activities
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(1) Tolerance
Numerous studies have shown that
pulsed sounds from airguns are often
readily detectable in the water at
distances of many kilometers. Weir
(2008) observed marine mammal
responses to seismic pulses from a 24
airgun array firing a total volume of
either 5,085 in3 or 3,147 in3 in Angolan
waters between August 2004 and May
2005. Weir recorded a total of 207
sightings of humpback whales (n = 66),
sperm whales (n = 124), and Atlantic
spotted dolphins (n = 17) and reported
that there were no significant
differences in encounter rates
(sightings/hr) for humpback and sperm
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whales according to the airgun array’s
operational status (i.e., active versus
silent). For additional information on
tolerance of marine mammals to
anthropogenic sound, see the previous
subsection in this document (‘‘Potential
Effects from Exploratory Drilling
Activities’’).
(2) Masking
As stated earlier in this document,
masking is the obscuring of sounds of
interest by other sounds, often at similar
frequencies. For full details about
masking, see the previous subsection in
this document (‘‘Potential Effects from
Exploratory Drilling Activities’’). Some
additional information regarding pulsed
sounds is provided here.
There is evidence of some marine
mammal species continuing to call in
the presence of industrial activity.
McDonald et al. (1995) heard blue and
fin whale calls between seismic pulses
in the Pacific. Although there has been
one report that sperm whales cease
calling when exposed to pulses from a
very distant seismic ship (Bowles et al.,
1994), a more recent study reported that
sperm whales off northern Norway
continued calling in the presence of
seismic pulses (Madsen et al., 2002).
Similar results were also reported
during work in the Gulf of Mexico
(Tyack et al., 2003). Bowhead whale
calls are frequently detected in the
presence of seismic pulses, although the
numbers of calls detected may
sometimes be reduced (Richardson et
al., 1986; Greene et al., 1999; Blackwell
et al., 2009a). Bowhead whales in the
Beaufort Sea may decrease their call
rates in response to seismic operations,
although movement out of the area
might also have contributed to the lower
call detection rate (Blackwell et al.,
2009a,b). Additionally, there is
increasing evidence that, at times, there
is enough reverberation between airgun
pulses such that detection range of calls
may be significantly reduced. In
contrast, Di Iorio and Clark (2009) found
evidence of increased calling by blue
whales during operations by a lowerenergy seismic source, a sparker.
There is little concern regarding
masking due to the brief duration of
these pulses and relatively longer
silence between airgun shots (9–12
seconds) near the sound source.
However, at long distances (over tens of
kilometers away) in deep water, due to
multipath propagation and
reverberation, the durations of airgun
pulses can be ‘‘stretched’’ to seconds
with long decays (Madsen et al., 2006;
Clark and Gagnon, 2006). Therefore it
could affect communication signals
used by low frequency mysticetes when
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68987
they occur near the noise band and thus
reduce the communication space of
animals (e.g., Clark et al., 2009a,b) and
cause increased stress levels (e.g., Foote
et al., 2004; Holt et al., 2009).
Nevertheless, the intensity of the noise
is also greatly reduced at long distances.
Therefore, masking effects are
anticipated to be limited, especially in
the case of odontocetes, given that they
typically communicate at frequencies
higher than those of the airguns.
(3) Behavioral Disturbance Reactions
As was described in more detail in the
previous sub-section (‘‘Potential Effects
of Exploratory Drilling Activities’’),
behavioral responses to sound are
highly variable and context-specific.
Summaries of observed reactions and
studies are provided next.
Baleen Whales—Baleen whale
responses to pulsed sound (e.g., seismic
airguns) have been studied more
thoroughly than responses to
continuous sound (e.g., drillships).
Baleen whales generally tend to avoid
operating airguns, but avoidance radii
are quite variable. Whales are often
reported to show no overt reactions to
pulses from large arrays of airguns at
distances beyond a few kilometers, even
though the airgun pulses remain well
above ambient noise levels out to much
greater distances (Miller et al., 2005).
However, baleen whales exposed to
strong noise pulses often react by
deviating from their normal migration
route (Richardson et al., 1999).
Migrating gray and bowhead whales
were observed avoiding the sound
source by displacing their migration
route to varying degrees but within the
natural boundaries of the migration
corridors (Schick and Urban, 2000;
Richardson et al., 1999; Malme et al.,
1983). Baleen whale responses to pulsed
sound however may depend on the type
of activity in which the whales are
engaged. Some evidence suggests that
feeding bowhead whales may be more
tolerant of underwater sound than
migrating bowheads (Miller et al., 2005;
Lyons et al., 2009; Christie et al., 2010).
Results of studies of gray, bowhead,
and humpback whales have determined
that received levels of pulses in the
160–170 dB re 1 mPa rms range seem to
cause obvious avoidance behavior in a
substantial fraction of the animals
exposed. In many areas, seismic pulses
from large arrays of airguns diminish to
those levels at distances ranging from
2.8–9 mi (4.5–14.5 km) from the source.
For the much smaller airgun array used
during the ZVSP survey (total discharge
volume of 760 in3), distances to
received levels in the 170–160 dB re 1
mPa rms range are estimated to be 1.44–
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2.28 mi (2.31–3.67 km). Baleen whales
within those distances may show
avoidance or other strong disturbance
reactions to the airgun array. Subtle
behavioral changes sometimes become
evident at somewhat lower received
levels, and recent studies have shown
that some species of baleen whales,
notably bowhead and humpback
whales, at times show strong avoidance
at received levels lower than 160–170
dB re 1 mPa rms. Bowhead whales
migrating west across the Alaskan
Beaufort Sea in autumn, in particular,
are unusually responsive, with
avoidance occurring out to distances of
12.4–18.6 mi (20–30 km) from a
medium-sized airgun source (Miller et
al., 1999; Richardson et al., 1999).
However, more recent research on
bowhead whales (Miller et al., 2005)
corroborates earlier evidence that,
during the summer feeding season,
bowheads are not as sensitive to seismic
sources. In summer, bowheads typically
begin to show avoidance reactions at a
received level of about 160–170 dB re 1
mPa rms (Richardson et al., 1986;
Ljungblad et al., 1988; Miller et al.,
2005).
Malme et al. (1986, 1988) studied the
responses of feeding eastern gray whales
to pulses from a single 100 in3 airgun off
St. Lawrence Island in the northern
Bering Sea. They estimated, based on
small sample sizes, that 50% of feeding
gray whales ceased feeding at an average
received pressure level of 173 dB re 1
mPa on an (approximate) rms basis, and
that 10% of feeding whales interrupted
feeding at received levels of 163 dB.
Those findings were generally
consistent with the results of
experiments conducted on larger
numbers of gray whales that were
migrating along the California coast and
on observations of the distribution of
feeding Western Pacific gray whales off
Sakhalin Island, Russia, during a
seismic survey (Yazvenko et al., 2007).
Data on short-term reactions (or lack of
reactions) of cetaceans to impulsive
noises do not necessarily provide
information about long-term effects.
While it is not certain whether
impulsive noises affect reproductive
rate or distribution and habitat use in
subsequent days or years, certain
species have continued to use areas
ensonified by airguns and have
continued to increase in number despite
successive years of anthropogenic
activity in the area. Gray whales
continued to migrate annually along the
west coast of North America despite
intermittent seismic exploration and
much ship traffic in that area for
decades (Appendix A in Malme et al.,
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1984). Bowhead whales continued to
travel to the eastern Beaufort Sea each
summer despite seismic exploration in
their summer and autumn range for
many years (Richardson et al., 1987).
Populations of both gray whales and
bowhead whales grew substantially
during this time. Bowhead whales have
increased by approximately 3.4% per
year for the last 10 years in the Beaufort
Sea (Allen and Angliss, 2011). In any
event, the brief exposures to sound
pulses from the proposed airgun source
(the airguns will only be fired for a
period of 10–14 hours for each of the
two wells) are highly unlikely to result
in prolonged effects.
Toothed Whales—Few systematic
data are available describing reactions of
toothed whales to noise pulses. Few
studies similar to the more extensive
baleen whale/seismic pulse work
summarized earlier in this document
have been reported for toothed whales.
However, systematic work on sperm
whales is underway (Tyack et al., 2003),
and there is an increasing amount of
information about responses of various
odontocetes to seismic surveys based on
monitoring studies (e.g., Stone, 2003;
Smultea et al., 2004; Moulton and
Miller, 2005).
Seismic operators and marine
mammal observers sometimes see
dolphins and other small toothed
whales near operating airgun arrays,
but, in general, there seems to be a
tendency for most delphinids to show
some limited avoidance of seismic
vessels operating large airgun systems.
However, some dolphins seem to be
attracted to the seismic vessel and
floats, and some ride the bow wave of
the seismic vessel even when large
arrays of airguns are firing. Nonetheless,
there have been indications that small
toothed whales sometimes move away
or maintain a somewhat greater distance
from the vessel when a large array of
airguns is operating than when it is
silent (e.g., Goold, 1996a,b,c;
Calambokidis and Osmek, 1998; Stone,
2003). The beluga may be a species that
(at least at times) shows long-distance
avoidance of seismic vessels. Aerial
surveys during seismic operations in the
southeastern Beaufort Sea recorded
much lower sighting rates of beluga
whales within 6.2–12.4 mi (10–20 km)
of an active seismic vessel. These results
were consistent with the low number of
beluga sightings reported by observers
aboard the seismic vessel, suggesting
that some belugas might be avoiding the
seismic operations at distances of 6.2–
12.4 mi (10–20 km) (Miller et al., 2005).
Captive bottlenose dolphins and (of
more relevance in this project) beluga
whales exhibit changes in behavior
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when exposed to strong pulsed sounds
similar in duration to those typically
used in seismic surveys (Finneran et al.,
2002, 2005). However, the animals
tolerated high received levels of sound
(pk-pk level > 200 dB re 1 mPa) before
exhibiting aversive behaviors.
Reactions of toothed whales to large
arrays of airguns are variable and, at
least for delphinids, seem to be confined
to a smaller radius than has been
observed for mysticetes. However, based
on the limited existing evidence,
belugas should not be grouped with
delphinids in the ‘‘less responsive’’
category.
Pinnipeds—Pinnipeds are not likely
to show a strong avoidance reaction to
the airgun sources proposed for use.
Visual monitoring from seismic vessels
has shown only slight (if any) avoidance
of airguns by pinnipeds and only slight
(if any) changes in behavior. Ringed
seals frequently do not avoid the area
within a few hundred meters of
operating airgun arrays (Harris et al.,
2001; Moulton and Lawson, 2002;
Miller et al., 2005). Monitoring work in
the Alaskan Beaufort Sea during 1996–
2001 provided considerable information
regarding the behavior of seals exposed
to seismic pulses (Harris et al., 2001;
Moulton and Lawson, 2002). These
seismic projects usually involved arrays
of 6 to 16 airguns with total volumes of
560 to 1,500 in3. The combined results
suggest that some seals avoid the
immediate area around seismic vessels.
In most survey years, ringed seal
sightings tended to be farther away from
the seismic vessel when the airguns
were operating than when they were not
(Moulton and Lawson, 2002). However,
these avoidance movements were
relatively small, on the order of 328 ft
(100 m) to a few hundreds of meters,
and many seals remained within 328–
656 ft (100–200 m) of the trackline as
the operating airgun array passed by.
Seal sighting rates at the water surface
were lower during airgun array
operations than during no-airgun
periods in each survey year except 1997.
Similarly, seals are often very tolerant of
pulsed sounds from seal-scaring devices
(Mate and Harvey, 1987; Jefferson and
Curry, 1994; Richardson et al., 1995a).
However, initial telemetry work
suggests that avoidance and other
behavioral reactions by two other
species of seals to small airgun sources
may at times be stronger than evident to
date from visual studies of pinniped
reactions to airguns (Thompson et al.,
1998). Even if reactions of the species
occurring in the present study area are
as strong as those evident in the
telemetry study, reactions are expected
to be confined to relatively small
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distances and durations, with no longterm effects on pinniped individuals or
populations. Additionally, the airguns
are only proposed to be used for a short
time during the exploration drilling
program (approximately 10–14 hours for
each well, for a total of 20–28 hours
over the entire open-water season,
which lasts for approximately 4
months).
(4) Hearing Impairment and Other
Physiological Effects
TTS—TTS is the mildest form of
hearing impairment that can occur
during exposure to a strong sound
(Kryter, 1985). While experiencing TTS,
the hearing threshold rises, and a sound
must be stronger in order to be heard.
At least in terrestrial mammals, TTS can
last from minutes or hours to (in cases
of strong TTS) days, can be limited to
a particular frequency range, and can be
in varying degrees (i.e., a loss of a
certain number of dBs of sensitivity).
For sound exposures at or somewhat
above the TTS threshold, hearing
sensitivity in both terrestrial and marine
mammals recovers rapidly after
exposure to the noise ends. Few data on
sound levels and durations necessary to
elicit mild TTS have been obtained for
marine mammals, and none of the
published data concern TTS elicited by
exposure to multiple pulses of sound.
Marine mammal hearing plays a
critical role in communication with
conspecifics and in interpretation of
environmental cues for purposes such
as predator avoidance and prey capture.
Depending on the degree (elevation of
threshold in dB), duration (i.e., recovery
time), and frequency range of TTS and
the context in which it is experienced,
TTS can have effects on marine
mammals ranging from discountable to
serious. For example, a marine mammal
may be able to readily compensate for
a brief, relatively small amount of TTS
in a non-critical frequency range that
takes place during a time when the
animal is traveling through the open
ocean, where ambient noise is lower
and there are not as many competing
sounds present. Alternatively, a larger
amount and longer duration of TTS
sustained during a time when
communication is critical for successful
mother/calf interactions could have
more serious impacts if it were in the
same frequency band as the necessary
vocalizations and of a severity that it
impeded communication. The fact that
animals exposed to levels and durations
of sound that would be expected to
result in this physiological response
would also be expected to have
behavioral responses of a comparatively
more severe or sustained nature is also
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notable and potentially of more
importance than the simple existence of
a TTS.
Researchers have derived TTS
information for odontocetes from
studies on the bottlenose dolphin and
beluga. For the one harbor porpoise
tested, the received level of airgun
sound that elicited onset of TTS was
lower (Lucke et al., 2009). If these
results from a single animal are
representative, it is inappropriate to
assume that onset of TTS occurs at
similar received levels in all
odontocetes (cf. Southall et al., 2007).
Some cetaceans apparently can incur
TTS at considerably lower sound
exposures than are necessary to elicit
TTS in the beluga or bottlenose dolphin.
For baleen whales, there are no data,
direct or indirect, on levels or properties
of sound that are required to induce
TTS. The frequencies to which baleen
whales are most sensitive are assumed
to be lower than those to which
odontocetes are most sensitive, and
natural background noise levels at those
low frequencies tend to be higher. As a
result, auditory thresholds of baleen
whales within their frequency band of
best hearing are believed to be higher
(less sensitive) than are those of
odontocetes at their best frequencies
(Clark and Ellison, 2004), meaning that
baleen whales require sounds to be
louder (i.e., higher dB levels) than
odontocetes in the frequency ranges at
which each group hears the best. From
this, it is suspected that received levels
causing TTS onset may also be higher in
baleen whales (Southall et al., 2007).
Since current NMFS practice assumes
the same thresholds for the onset of
hearing impairment in both odontocetes
and mysticetes, NMFS’ onset of TTS
threshold is likely conservative for
mysticetes. For this proposed activity,
Shell expects no cases of TTS given the
strong likelihood that baleen whales
would avoid the airguns before being
exposed to levels high enough for TTS
to occur. The source levels of the
drillship are far lower than those of the
airguns.
In pinnipeds, TTS thresholds
associated with exposure to brief pulses
(single or multiple) of underwater sound
have not been measured. However,
systematic TTS studies on captive
pinnipeds have been conducted (Bowles
et al., 1999; Kastak et al., 1999, 2005,
2007; Schusterman et al., 2000;
Finneran et al., 2003; Southall et al.,
2007). Initial evidence from more
prolonged (non-pulse) exposures
suggested that some pinnipeds (harbor
seals in particular) incur TTS at
somewhat lower received levels than do
small odontocetes exposed for similar
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68989
durations (Kastak et al., 1999, 2005;
Ketten et al., 2001; cf. Au et al., 2000).
The TTS threshold for pulsed sounds
has been indirectly estimated as being a
sound exposure level (SEL) of
approximately 171 dB re 1 mPa2·s
(Southall et al., 2007) which would be
equivalent to a single pulse with a
received level of approximately 181 to
186 dB re 1 mPa (rms), or a series of
pulses for which the highest rms values
are a few dB lower. Corresponding
values for California sea lions and
northern elephant seals are likely to be
higher (Kastak et al., 2005). For harbor
seal, which is closely related to the
ringed seal, TTS onset apparently
occurs at somewhat lower received
energy levels than for odonotocetes. The
sound level necessary to cause TTS in
pinnipeds depends on exposure
duration, as in other mammals; with
longer exposure, the level necessary to
elicit TTS is reduced (Schusterman et
al., 2000; Kastak et al., 2005, 2007). For
very short exposures (e.g., to a single
sound pulse), the level necessary to
cause TTS is very high (Finneran et al.,
2003). For pinnipeds exposed to in-air
sounds, auditory fatigue has been
measured in response to single pulses
and to non-pulse noise (Southall et al.,
2007), although high exposure levels
were required to induce TTS-onset
(SEL: 129 dB re: 20 mPa2·s; Bowles et al.,
unpub. data).
NMFS has established acoustic
thresholds that identify the received
sound levels above which hearing
impairment or other injury could
potentially occur, which are 180 and
190 dB re 1 mPa (rms) for cetaceans and
pinnipeds, respectively (NMFS 1995,
2000). The established 180- and 190-dB
re 1 mPa (rms) criteria are the received
levels above which, in the view of a
panel of bioacoustics specialists
convened by NMFS before additional
TTS measurements for marine mammals
became available, one could not be
certain that there would be no injurious
effects, auditory or otherwise, to marine
mammals. TTS is considered by NMFS
to be a type of Level B (non-injurious)
harassment. The 180- and 190-dB levels
are shutdown criteria applicable to
cetaceans and pinnipeds, respectively,
as specified by NMFS (2000) and are
used to establish exclusion zones (EZs),
as appropriate. Additionally, based on
the summary provided here and the fact
that modeling indicates the backpropagated source level for the Kulluk to
be 185 dB re 1 mPa at 1 m (Greene, 1987)
and for the Discoverer to be between 177
and 185 dB re 1 mPa at 1 m (Austin and
Warner, 2010), TTS is not expected to
occur in any marine mammal species
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that may occur in the proposed drilling
area since the source level will not
reach levels thought to induce even
mild TTS. While the source level of the
airgun is higher than the 190-dB
threshold level, an animal would have
to be in very close proximity to be
exposed to such levels. Additionally,
the 180- and 190-dB radii for the airgun
are 0.8 mi (1.24 km) and 0.3 mi (524 m),
respectively, from the source. Because
of the short duration that the airguns
will be used (no more than 20–28 hours
throughout the entire open-water
season) and mitigation and monitoring
measures described later in this
document, hearing impairment is not
anticipated.
PTS—When PTS occurs, there is
physical damage to the sound receptors
in the ear. In some cases, there can be
total or partial deafness, whereas in
other cases, the animal has an impaired
ability to hear sounds in specific
frequency ranges (Kryter, 1985).
There is no specific evidence that
exposure to underwater industrial
sound associated with oil exploration
can cause PTS in any marine mammal
(see Southall et al., 2007). However,
given the possibility that mammals
might incur TTS, there has been further
speculation about the possibility that
some individuals occurring very close to
such activities might incur PTS (e.g.,
Richardson et al., 1995, p. 372ff;
Gedamke et al., 2008). Single or
occasional occurrences of mild TTS are
not indicative of permanent auditory
damage in terrestrial mammals.
Relationships between TTS and PTS
thresholds have not been studied in
marine mammals but are assumed to be
similar to those in humans and other
terrestrial mammals (Southall et al.,
2007; Le Prell, in press). PTS might
occur at a received sound level at least
several decibels above that inducing
mild TTS. Based on data from terrestrial
mammals, a precautionary assumption
is that the PTS threshold for impulse
sounds (such as airgun pulses as
received close to the source) is at least
6 dB higher than the TTS threshold on
a peak-pressure basis and probably
greater than 6 dB (Southall et al., 2007).
It is highly unlikely that marine
mammals could receive sounds strong
enough (and over a sufficient duration)
to cause PTS during the proposed
exploratory drilling program. As
mentioned previously in this document,
the source levels of the drillship are not
considered strong enough to cause even
slight TTS. Given the higher level of
sound necessary to cause PTS, it is even
less likely that PTS could occur. In fact,
based on the modeled source levels for
the drillship, the levels immediately
adjacent to the drillship may not be
sufficient to induce PTS, even if the
animals remain in the immediate
vicinity of the activity. The modeled
source levels from the Kulluk and
Discoverer suggest that marine
mammals located immediately adjacent
to a drillship would likely not be
exposed to received sound levels of a
magnitude strong enough to induce
PTS, even if the animals remain in the
immediate vicinity of the proposed
activity location for a prolonged period
of time. Because the source levels do not
reach the threshold of 190 dB currently
used for pinnipeds and is at the 180 dB
threshold currently used for cetaceans,
it is highly unlikely that any type of
hearing impairment, temporary or
permanent, would occur as a result of
the exploration drilling activities.
Additionally, Southall et al. (2007)
proposed that the thresholds for injury
of marine mammals exposed to
‘‘discrete’’ noise events (either single or
multiple exposures over a 24-hr period)
are higher than the 180- and 190-dB re
1 mPa (rms) in-water threshold currently
used by NMFS. Table 1 in this
document summarizes the SPL and SEL
levels thought to cause auditory injury
to cetaceans and pinnipeds in-water.
For more information, please refer to
Southall et al. (2007).
TABLE 1—PROPOSED INJURY CRITERIA FOR CETACEANS AND PINNIPEDS EXPOSED TO ‘‘DISCRETE’’ NOISE EVENTS
(EITHER SINGLE PULSES, MULTIPLE PULSES, OR NON-PULSES WITHIN A 24-HR PERIOD; SOUTHALL ET AL., 2007)
Single pulses
Multiple pulses
Non-pulses
Low-frequency cetaceans
Sound pressure level .....................
Sound exposure level ....................
230 dB re 1 μPa (peak) (flat) .......
198 dB re 1 μPa 2·s (Mlf) ..............
230 dB re 1 μPa (peak) (flat) .......
198 dB re 1 μPa 2·s (Mlf) ..............
230 dB re 1 μPa (peak) (flat).
215 dB re 1 μPa 2·s (Mlf).
Mid-frequency cetaceans
Sound pressure level .....................
Sound exposure level ....................
230 dB re 1 μPa (peak) (flat) .......
198 dB re 1 μPa 2·s (Mlf) ..............
230 dB re 1 μPa (peak) (flat) .......
198 dB re 1 μPa 2·s (Mlf) ..............
230 dB re 1 μPa (peak) (flat).
215 dB re 1 μPa 2·s (Mlf).
High-frequency cetaceans
Sound pressure level .....................
Sound exposure level ....................
230 dB re 1 μPa (peak) (flat) .......
198 dB re 1 μPa 2·s (Mlf) ..............
230 dB re 1 μPa (peak) (flat) .......
198 dB re 1 μPa 2·s (Mlf) ..............
230 dB re 1 μPa (peak) (flat).
215 dB re 1 μPa 2·s (Mlf).
Pinnipeds (in water)
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Sound pressure level .....................
Sound exposure level ....................
218 dB re 1 μPa (peak) (flat) .......
186 dB re 1 μPa 2·s (Mpw) ............
Non-auditory Physiological Effects—
Non-auditory physiological effects or
injuries that theoretically might occur in
marine mammals exposed to strong
underwater sound include stress,
neurological effects, bubble formation,
and other types of organ or tissue
damage (Cox et al., 2006; Southall et al.,
2007). Studies examining any such
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218 dB re 1 μPa (peak) (flat) .......
186 dB re 1 μPa 2·s (Mpw) ............
effects are limited. If any such effects do
occur, they probably would be limited
to unusual situations when animals
might be exposed at close range for
unusually long periods. It is doubtful
that any single marine mammal would
be exposed to strong sounds for
sufficiently long that significant
physiological stress would develop.
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218 dB re 1 μPa (peak) (flat).
203 dB re 1 μPa 2·s (Mpw).
Classic stress responses begin when
an animal’s central nervous system
perceives a potential threat to its
homeostasis. That perception triggers
stress responses regardless of whether a
stimulus actually threatens the animal;
the mere perception of a threat is
sufficient to trigger a stress response
(Moberg, 2000; Sapolsky et al., 2005;
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Seyle, 1950). Once an animal’s central
nervous system perceives a threat, it
mounts a biological response or defense
that consists of a combination of the
four general biological defense
responses: Behavioral responses;
autonomic nervous system responses;
neuroendocrine responses; or immune
responses.
In the case of many stressors, an
animal’s first and most economical (in
terms of biotic costs) response is
behavioral avoidance of the potential
stressor or avoidance of continued
exposure to a stressor. An animal’s
second line of defense to stressors
involves the sympathetic part of the
autonomic nervous system and the
classical ‘‘fight or flight’’ response,
which includes the cardiovascular
system, the gastrointestinal system, the
exocrine glands, and the adrenal
medulla to produce changes in heart
rate, blood pressure, and gastrointestinal
activity that humans commonly
associate with ‘‘stress.’’ These responses
have a relatively short duration and may
or may not have significant long-term
effects on an animal’s welfare.
An animal’s third line of defense to
stressors involves its neuroendocrine or
sympathetic nervous systems; the
system that has received the most study
has been the hypothalmus-pituitaryadrenal system (also known as the HPA
axis in mammals or the hypothalamuspituitary-interrenal axis in fish and
some reptiles). Unlike stress responses
associated with the autonomic nervous
system, virtually all neuroendocrine
functions that are affected by stress—
including immune competence,
reproduction, metabolism, and
behavior—are regulated by pituitary
hormones. Stress-induced changes in
the secretion of pituitary hormones have
been implicated in failed reproduction
(Moberg, 1987; Rivier, 1995), altered
metabolism (Elasser et al., 2000),
reduced immune competence (Blecha,
2000), and behavioral disturbance.
Increases in the circulation of
glucocorticosteroids (cortisol,
corticosterone, and aldosterone in
marine mammals; see Romano et al.,
2004) have been equated with stress for
many years.
The primary distinction between
stress (which is adaptive and does not
normally place an animal at risk) and
distress is the biotic cost of the
response. During a stress response, an
animal uses glycogen stores that can be
quickly replenished once the stress is
alleviated. In such circumstances, the
cost of the stress response would not
pose a risk to the animal’s welfare.
However, when an animal does not have
sufficient energy reserves to satisfy the
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energetic costs of a stress response,
energy resources must be diverted from
other biotic functions, which impair
those functions that experience the
diversion. For example, when mounting
a stress response diverts energy away
from growth in young animals, those
animals may experience stunted growth.
When mounting a stress response
diverts energy from a fetus, an animal’s
reproductive success and fitness will
suffer. In these cases, the animals will
have entered a pre-pathological or
pathological state which is called
‘‘distress’’ (sensu Seyle, 1950) or
‘‘allostatic loading’’ (sensu McEwen and
Wingfield, 2003). This pathological state
will last until the animal replenishes its
biotic reserves sufficient to restore
normal function. Note that these
examples involved a long-term (days or
weeks) stress response exposure to
stimuli.
Relationships between these
physiological mechanisms, animal
behavior, and the costs of stress
responses have also been documented
fairly well through controlled
experiment; because this physiology
exists in every vertebrate that has been
studied, it is not surprising that stress
responses and their costs have been
documented in both laboratory and freeliving animals (for examples see,
Holberton et al., 1996; Hood et al., 1998;
Jessop et al., 2003; Krausman et al.,
2004; Lankford et al., 2005; Reneerkens
et al., 2002; Thompson and Hamer,
2000). Although no information has
been collected on the physiological
responses of marine mammals to
anthropogenic sound exposure, studies
of other marine animals and terrestrial
animals would lead us to expect some
marine mammals to experience
physiological stress responses and,
perhaps, physiological responses that
would be classified as ‘‘distress’’ upon
exposure to anthropogenic sounds.
For example, Jansen (1998) reported
on the relationship between acoustic
exposures and physiological responses
that are indicative of stress responses in
humans (e.g., elevated respiration and
increased heart rates). Jones (1998)
reported on reductions in human
performance when faced with acute,
repetitive exposures to acoustic
disturbance. Trimper et al. (1998)
reported on the physiological stress
responses of osprey to low-level aircraft
noise while Krausman et al. (2004)
reported on the auditory and physiology
stress responses of endangered Sonoran
pronghorn to military overflights. Smith
et al. (2004a, 2004b) identified noiseinduced physiological transient stress
responses in hearing-specialist fish (i.e.,
goldfish) that accompanied short- and
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68991
long-term hearing losses. Welch and
Welch (1970) reported physiological
and behavioral stress responses that
accompanied damage to the inner ears
of fish and several mammals.
Hearing is one of the primary senses
marine mammals use to gather
information about their environment
and communicate with conspecifics.
Although empirical information on the
relationship between sensory
impairment (TTS, PTS, and acoustic
masking) on marine mammals remains
limited, it seems reasonable to assume
that reducing an animal’s ability to
gather information about its
environment and to communicate with
other members of its species would be
stressful for animals that use hearing as
their primary sensory mechanism.
Therefore, we assume that acoustic
exposures sufficient to trigger onset PTS
or TTS would be accompanied by
physiological stress responses because
terrestrial animals exhibit those
responses under similar conditions
(NRC, 2003). More importantly, marine
mammals might experience stress
responses at received levels lower than
those necessary to trigger onset TTS.
Based on empirical studies of the time
required to recover from stress
responses (Moberg, 2000), NMFS also
assumes that stress responses could
persist beyond the time interval
required for animals to recover from
TTS and might result in pathological
and pre-pathological states that would
be as significant as behavioral responses
to TTS. However, as stated previously in
this document, the source levels of the
drillships are not loud enough to induce
PTS or likely even TTS.
Resonance effects (Gentry, 2002) and
direct noise-induced bubble formations
(Crum et al., 2005) are implausible in
the case of exposure to an impulsive
broadband source like an airgun array.
If seismic surveys disrupt diving
patterns of deep-diving species, this
might result in bubble formation and a
form of the bends, as speculated to
occur in beaked whales exposed to
sonar. However, there is no specific
evidence of this upon exposure to
airgun pulses. Additionally, no beaked
whale species occur in the proposed
exploration drilling area.
In general, very little is known about
the potential for strong, anthropogenic
underwater sounds to cause nonauditory physical effects in marine
mammals. Such effects, if they occur at
all, would presumably be limited to
short distances and to activities that
extend over a prolonged period. The
available data do not allow
identification of a specific exposure
level above which non-auditory effects
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can be expected (Southall et al., 2007)
or any meaningful quantitative
predictions of the numbers (if any) of
marine mammals that might be affected
in those ways. The low levels of
continuous sound that will be produced
by the drillship are not expected to
cause such effects. Additionally, marine
mammals that show behavioral
avoidance of the proposed activities,
including most baleen whales, some
odontocetes (including belugas), and
some pinnipeds, are especially unlikely
to incur auditory impairment or other
physical effects.
Stranding and Mortality
Marine mammals close to underwater
detonations of high explosives can be
killed or severely injured, and the
auditory organs are especially
susceptible to injury (Ketten et al., 1993;
Ketten, 1995). However, explosives are
no longer used for marine waters for
commercial seismic surveys; they have
been replaced entirely by airguns or
related non-explosive pulse generators.
Underwater sound from drilling,
support activities, and airgun arrays is
less energetic and has slower rise times,
and there is no proof that they can cause
serious injury, death, or stranding, even
in the case of large airgun arrays.
However, the association of mass
strandings of beaked whales with naval
exercises involving mid-frequency
active sonar, and, in one case, a LamontDoherty Earth Observatory (L–DEO)
seismic survey (Malakoff, 2002; Cox et
al., 2006), has raised the possibility that
beaked whales exposed to strong pulsed
sounds may be especially susceptible to
injury and/or behavioral reactions that
can lead to stranding (e.g., Hildebrand,
2005; Southall et al., 2007).
Specific sound-related processes that
lead to strandings and mortality are not
well documented, but may include:
(1) Swimming in avoidance of a
sound into shallow water;
(2) A change in behavior (such as a
change in diving behavior) that might
contribute to tissue damage, gas bubble
formation, hypoxia, cardiac arrhythmia,
hypertensive hemorrhage or other forms
of trauma;
(3) A physiological change, such as a
vestibular response leading to a
behavioral change or stress-induced
hemorrhagic diathesis, leading in turn
to tissue damage; and
(4) Tissue damage directly from sound
exposure, such as through acousticallymediated bubble formation and growth
or acoustic resonance of tissues.
Some of these mechanisms are
unlikely to apply in the case of impulse
sounds. However, there are indications
that gas-bubble disease (analogous to
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‘‘the bends’’), induced in supersaturated
tissue by a behavioral response to
acoustic exposure, could be a pathologic
mechanism for the strandings and
mortality of some deep-diving cetaceans
exposed to sonar. However, the
evidence for this remains circumstantial
and is associated with exposure to naval
mid-frequency sonar, not seismic
surveys or exploratory drilling programs
(Cox et al., 2006; Southall et al., 2007).
Both seismic pulses and continuous
drillship sounds are quite different from
mid-frequency sonar signals, and some
mechanisms by which sonar sounds
have been hypothesized to affect beaked
whales are unlikely to apply to airgun
pulses or drillships. Sounds produced
by airgun arrays are broadband impulses
with most of the energy below 1 kHz,
and the low-energy continuous sounds
produced by drillships have most of the
energy between 20 and 1,000 Hz.
Additionally, the non-impulsive,
continuous sounds produced by the
drillship proposed to be used by Shell
do not have rapid rise times. Rise time
is the fluctuation in sound levels of the
source. The type of sound that would be
produced during the proposed drilling
program will be constant and will not
exhibit any sudden fluctuations or
changes. Typical military mid-frequency
sonar emits non-impulse sounds at
frequencies of 2–10 kHz, generally with
a relatively narrow bandwidth at any
one time. A further difference between
them is that naval exercises can involve
sound sources on more than one vessel.
Thus, it is not appropriate to assume
that there is a direct connection between
the effects of military sonar and oil and
gas industry operations on marine
mammals. However, evidence that sonar
signals can, in special circumstances,
lead (at least indirectly) to physical
damage and mortality (e.g., Balcomb
and Claridge, 2001; NOAA and USN,
´
2001; Jepson et al., 2003; Fernandez et
al., 2004, 2005; Hildebrand, 2005; Cox
et al., 2006) suggests that caution is
warranted when dealing with exposure
of marine mammals to any highintensity ‘‘pulsed’’ sound.
There is no conclusive evidence of
cetacean strandings or deaths at sea as
a result of exposure to seismic surveys,
but a few cases of strandings in the
general area where a seismic survey was
ongoing have led to speculation
concerning a possible link between
seismic surveys and strandings.
Suggestions that there was a link
between seismic surveys and strandings
of humpback whales in Brazil (Engel et
al., 2004) were not well founded (IAGC,
2004; IWC, 2007). In September 2002,
there was a stranding of two Cuvier’s
beaked whales in the Gulf of California,
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Sfmt 4703
Mexico, when the L–DEO vessel R/V
Maurice Ewing was operating a 20
airgun (8,490 in3) array in the general
area. The link between the stranding
and the seismic surveys was
inconclusive and not based on any
physical evidence (Hogarth, 2002;
Yoder, 2002). Nonetheless, the Gulf of
California incident, plus the beaked
whale strandings near naval exercises
involving use of mid-frequency sonar,
suggests a need for caution in
conducting seismic surveys in areas
occupied by beaked whales until more
is known about effects of seismic
surveys on those species (Hildebrand,
2005). No injuries of beaked whales are
anticipated during the proposed
exploratory drilling program because
none occur in the proposed area.
Exploratory Drilling Program and
Potential for Oil Spill
As noted above, the specified activity
involves the drilling of exploratory
wells and associated activities in the
Beaufort Sea during the 2012 openwater season. The impacts to marine
mammals that are reasonably expected
to occur will be acoustic in nature. In
response to previous IHA applications
submitted by Shell, various entities
have asserted that NMFS cannot
authorize the take of marine mammals
incidental to exploratory drilling under
an IHA. Instead, they contend that
incidental take can be allowed only
with a letter of authorization (LOA)
issued under five-year regulations
because of the potential that an oil spill
will cause serious injury or mortality.
There are two avenues for authorizing
incidental take of marine mammals
under the MMPA. NMFS may,
depending on the nature of the
anticipated take, authorize the take of
marine mammals incidental to a
specified activity through regulations
and LOAs or annual IHAs. See 16 U.S.C.
1371(a)(5)(A) and (D). In general,
regulations (accompanied by LOAs) may
be issued for any type of take (e.g., Level
B harassment (behavioral disturbance),
Level A harassment (injury), serious
injury, or mortality), whereas IHAs are
limited to activities that result only in
harassment (e.g., behavioral disturbance
or injury). Following the 1994 MMPA
Amendments, NMFS promulgated
implementing regulations governing the
issuance of IHAs in Arctic waters. See
60 FR 28379 (May 31, 1995) and 61 FR
15884 (April 10, 1996). NMFS stated in
the preamble of the proposed
rulemaking that the scope of IHAs
would be limited to ‘‘* * * those
authorizations for harassment involving
incidental harassment that may involve
non-serious injury.’’ See 60 FR 28380
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(May 31, 1995; emphasis added); 50
CFR 216.107(a). (‘‘[e]xcept for activities
that have the potential to result in
serious injury or mortality, which must
be authorized under 216.105, incidental
harassment authorizations may be
issued, * * * to allowed activities that
may result in only the incidental
harassment of a small number of marine
mammals.’’). NMFS explained further
that applications would be reviewed to
determine whether the activity would
result in more than harassment and if
so, the agency would either (1) Attempt
to negate the potential for serious injury
through mitigation requirements, or (2)
deny the incidental harassment
authorization and require the applicant
to apply for incidental take regulations.
See id. at 28380–81.
NMFS’ determination of whether the
type of incidental take authorization
requested is appropriate occurs shortly
after the applicant submits an
application for an incidental take
authorization. The agency evaluates the
proposed action and all information
contained in the application to
determine whether it is adequate and
complete and whether the type of taking
requested is appropriate. See 50 CFR
216.104; see also 60 FR 28380 (May 31,
1995). Among other things, NMFS
considers the specific activity or class of
activities that can reasonably be
expected to result in incidental take; the
type of incidental take authorization
that is being requested; and the
anticipated impact of the activity upon
the species or stock and its habitat. See
id. at 216.104(a). (emphasis added). Any
application that is determined to be
incomplete or inappropriate for the type
of taking requested will be returned to
the applicant with an explanation of
why the application is being returned.
See id. Finally, NMFS evaluates the best
available science to determine whether
a proposed activity is reasonably
expected or likely to result in serious
injury or mortality.
NMFS evaluated Shell’s incidental
take application for its proposed 2012
drilling activities in light of the
foregoing criteria and has concluded
that Shell’s request for an IHA is
warranted. Shell submitted information
with its IHA Application indicating that
an oil spill (large or very large oil spill)
is highly unlikely and thus not
reasonably expected to occur during the
course of exploration drilling or ZVSP
surveys. See Camden Bay IHA
Application, pp. 3 and Attachment E—
Analysis of the Probability of an
‘‘Unspecified Activity’’ and Its Impacts:
Oil Spill. In addition, Shell’s 2012
Exploration Plan, which was
conditionally approved by the
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Department of the Interior, indicates
there is a ‘‘very low likelihood of a large
oil spill event’’. See Shell Offshore,
Inc.’s Revised Outer Continental Shelf
Lease Exploration Plan, Camden Bay,
Beaufort Sea, Alaska (May 2011), at p.
8–1; see also, Appendix F to Shell’s
Revised Outer Continental Shelf Lease
Exploration Plan, at p. 4–174; see also,
Beaufort Sea Planning Area
Environmental Assessment for Shell
Offshore, Inc.’s 2012 Revised Outer
Continental Shelf Lease Exploration
Plan (August 2011).
The likelihood of a large or very large
(i.e. ≥1,000 barrels or ≥150,000 barrels,
respectively) oil spill occurring during
Shell’s proposed program has been
estimated to be low. A total of 35
exploration wells have been drilled
between 1982 and 2003 in the Chukchi
and Beaufort seas, and there have been
no blowouts. In addition, no blowouts
have occurred from the approximately
98 exploration wells drilled within the
Alaskan OCS (MMS, 2007a; BOEMRE,
2011). Attachment E in Shell’s IHA
Application contains information
regarding the probability of an oil spill
occurring during the proposed program
and the potential impacts should one
occur. Based on modeling conducted by
Bercha (2008), the predicted frequency
of an exploration well oil spill in waters
similar to those in Camden Bay,
Beaufort Sea, Alaska, is 0.000612 per
well for a blowout sized between 10,000
barrels (bbl) to 149,000 bbl and
0.000354 per well for a blowout greater
than 150,000 bbl. Please refer to Shell’s
application for additional information
on the model and predicted frequencies
(see ADDRESSES).
Shell has implemented several design
standards and practices to reduce the
already low probability of an oil spill
occurring as part of its operations. The
wells proposed to be drilled in the
Arctic are exploratory and will not be
converted to production wells; thus,
production casing will not be installed,
and the well will be permanently
plugged and abandoned once
exploration drilling is complete. Shell
has also developed and will implement
the following plans and protocols:
Shell’s Critical Operations Curtailment
Plan; IMP; Well Control Plan; and Fuel
Transfer Plan. Many of these safety
measures are required by the
Department of the Interior’s interim
final rule implementing certain
measures to improve the safety of oil
and gas exploration and development
on the Outer Continental Shelf in light
of the Deepwater Horizon event (see 75
FR 63346, October 14, 2010).
Operationally, Shell has committed to
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68993
the following to help prevent an oil spill
from occurring in the Beaufort Sea:
• Shell’s Blow Out Preventer (BOP)
was inspected and tested by an
independent third party specialist;
• Further inspection and testing of
the BOP have been performed to ensure
the reliability of the BOP and that all
functions will be performed as
necessary, including shearing the drill
pipe;
• Subsea BOP hydrostatic tests will
be increased from once every 14 days to
once every 7 days;
• A second set of blind/shear rams
will be installed in the BOP stack;
• Full string casings will typically not
be installed through high pressure
zones;
• Liners will be installed and
cemented, which allows for installation
of a liner top packer;
• Testing of liners prior to installing
a tieback string of casing back to the
wellhead;
• Utilizing a two-barrier policy; and
• Testing of all casing hangers to
ensure that they have two independent,
validated barriers at all times.
NMFS has considered Shell’s
proposed action and has concluded that
there is no reasonable likelihood of
serious injury or mortality from the
2012 Camden Bay exploration drilling
program. NMFS has consistently
interpreted the term ‘‘potential,’’ as used
in 50 CFR 216.107(a), to only include
impacts that have more than a
discountable probability of occurring,
that is, impacts must be reasonably
expected to occur. Hence, NMFS has
regularly issued IHAs in cases where it
found that the potential for serious
injury or mortality was ‘‘highly
unlikely’’ (See 73 FR 40512, 40514, July
15, 2008; 73 FR 45969, 45971, August 7,
2008; 73 FR 46774, 46778, August 11,
2008; 73 FR 66106, 66109, November 6,
2008; 74 FR 55368, 55371, October 27,
2009).
Interpreting ‘‘potential’’ to include
impacts with any probability of
occurring (i.e., speculative or extremely
low probability events) would nearly
preclude the issuance of IHAs in every
instance. For example, NMFS would be
unable to issue an IHA whenever
vessels were involved in the marine
activity since there is always some,
albeit remote, possibility that a vessel
could strike and seriously injure or kill
a marine mammal. This would be
inconsistent with the dual-permitting
scheme Congress created and
undesirable from a policy perspective,
as limited agency resources would be
used to issue regulations that provide no
additional benefit to marine mammals
beyond what is proposed in this IHA.
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emcdonald on DSK5VPTVN1PROD with NOTICES2
Despite concluding that the risk of
serious injury or mortality from an oil
spill in this case is extremely remote,
NMFS has nonetheless evaluated the
potential effects of an oil spill on marine
mammals. While an oil spill is not a
component of Shell’s specified activity,
potential impacts on marine mammals
from an oil spill are discussed in more
detail below and will be addressed
further in the Environmental
Assessment.
Potential Effects of Oil on Cetaceans
The specific effects an oil spill would
have on bowhead, gray, or beluga
whales or harbor porpoise are not well
known. While mortality is unlikely,
exposure to spilled oil could lead to
skin irritation, baleen fouling (which
might reduce feeding efficiency),
respiratory distress from inhalation of
hydrocarbon vapors, consumption of
some contaminated prey items, and
temporary displacement from
contaminated feeding areas. Geraci and
St. Aubin (1990) summarize effects of
oil on marine mammals, and Bratton et
al. (1993) provides a synthesis of
knowledge of oil effects on bowhead
whales. The number of whales that
might be contacted by a spill would
depend on the size, timing, and
duration of the spill and where the oil
is in relation to the whales. Whales may
not avoid oil spills, and some have been
observed feeding within oil slicks
(Goodale et al., 1981). These topics are
discussed in more detail next.
In the case of an oil spill occurring
during migration periods, disturbance of
the migrating cetaceans from cleanup
activities may have more of an impact
than the oil itself. Human activity
associated with cleanup efforts could
deflect whales away from the path of the
oil. However, noise created from
cleanup activities likely will be short
term and localized. In fact, whale
avoidance of clean-up activities may
benefit whales by displacing them from
the oil spill area.
There is no direct evidence that oil
spills, including the much studied Santa
Barbara Channel and Exxon Valdez
spills, have caused any deaths of
cetaceans (Geraci, 1990; Brownell, 1971;
Harvey and Dahlheim, 1994). It is
suspected that some individually
identified killer whales that disappeared
from Prince William Sound during the
time of the Exxon Valdez spill were
casualties of that spill. However, no
clear cause and effect relationship
between the spill and the disappearance
could be established (Dahlheim and
Matkin, 1994). The AT–1 pod of
transient killer whales that sometimes
inhabits Prince William Sound has
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continued to decline after the Exxon
Valdez oil spill (EVOS). Matkin et al.
(2008) tracked the AB resident pod and
the AT–1 transient group of killer
whales from 1984 to 2005. The results
of their photographic surveillance
indicate a much higher than usual
mortality rate for both populations the
year following the spill (33% for AB
Pod and 41% for AT–1 Group) and
lower than average rates of increase in
the 16 years after the spill (annual
increase of about 1.6% for AB Pod
compared to an annual increase of about
3.2% for other Alaska killer whale
pods). In killer whale pods, mortality
rates are usually higher for nonreproductive animals and very low for
reproductive animals and adolescents
(Olesiuk et al., 1990, 2005; Matkin et al.,
2005). No effects on humpback whales
in Prince William Sound were evident
after the EVOS (von Ziegesar et al.,
1994). There was some temporary
displacement of humpback whales out
of Prince William Sound, but this could
have been caused by oil contamination,
boat and aircraft disturbance,
displacement of food sources, or other
causes.
Migrating gray whales were
apparently not greatly affected by the
Santa Barbara spill of 1969. There
appeared to be no relationship between
the spill and mortality of marine
mammals. The higher than usual counts
of dead marine mammals recorded after
the spill represented increased survey
effort and therefore cannot be
conclusively linked to the spill itself
(Brownell, 1971; Geraci, 1990). The
conclusion was that whales were either
able to detect the oil and avoid it or
were unaffected by it (Geraci, 1990).
(1) Oiling of External Surfaces
Whales rely on a layer of blubber for
insulation, so oil would have little if
any effect on thermoregulation by
whales. Effects of oiling on cetacean
skin appear to be minor and of little
significance to the animal’s health
(Geraci, 1990). Histological data and
ultrastructural studies by Geraci and St.
Aubin (1990) showed that exposures of
skin to crude oil for up to 45 minutes
in four species of toothed whales had no
effect. They switched to gasoline and
applied the sponge up to 75 minutes.
This produced transient damage to
epidermal cells in whales. Subtle
changes were evident only at the cell
level. In each case, the skin damage
healed within a week. They concluded
that a cetacean’s skin is an effective
barrier to the noxious substances in
petroleum. These substances normally
damage skin by getting between cells
and dissolving protective lipids. In
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cetacean skin, however, tight
intercellular bridges, vital surface cells,
and the extraordinary thickness of the
epidermis impeded the damage. The
authors could not detect a change in
lipid concentration between and within
cells after exposing skin from a whitesided dolphin to gasoline for 16 hours
in vitro.
Bratton et al. (1993) synthesized
studies on the potential effects of
contaminants on bowhead whales. They
concluded that no published data
proved oil fouling of the skin of any
free-living whales, and concluded that
bowhead whales contacting fresh or
weathered petroleum are unlikely to
suffer harm. Although oil is unlikely to
adhere to smooth skin, it may stick to
rough areas on the surface (Henk and
Mullan, 1997). Haldiman et al. (1985)
found the epidermal layer to be as much
as seven to eight times thicker than that
found on most whales. They also found
that little or no crude oil adhered to
preserved bowhead skin that was
dipped into oil up to three times, as
long as a water film stayed on the skin’s
surface. Oil adhered in small patches to
the surface and vibrissae (stiff, hairlike
structures), once it made enough contact
with the skin. The amount of oil
sticking to the surrounding skin and
epidermal depression appeared to be in
proportion to the number of exposures
and the roughness of the skin’s surface.
It can be assumed that if oil contacted
the eyes, effects would be similar to
those observed in ringed seals;
continued exposure of the eyes to oil
could cause permanent damage (St.
Aubin, 1990).
(2) Ingestion
Whales could ingest oil if their food
is contaminated, or oil could also be
absorbed through the respiratory tract.
Some of the ingested oil is voided in
vomit or feces but some is absorbed and
could cause toxic effects (Geraci, 1990).
When returned to clean water,
contaminated animals can depurate this
internal oil (Engelhardt, 1978, 1982). Oil
ingestion can decrease food assimilation
of prey eaten (St. Aubin, 1988).
Cetaceans may swallow some oilcontaminated prey, but it likely would
be only a small part of their food. It is
not known if whales would leave a
feeding area where prey was abundant
following a spill. Some zooplankton
eaten by bowheads and gray whales
consume oil particles and
bioaccumulation can result. Tissue
studies by Geraci and St. Aubin (1990)
revealed low levels of naphthalene in
the livers and blubber of baleen whales.
This result suggests that prey have low
concentrations in their tissues, or that
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baleen whales may be able to metabolize
and excrete certain petroleum
hydrocarbons. Whales exposed to an oil
spill are unlikely to ingest enough oil to
cause serious internal damage (Geraci
and St. Aubin, 1980, 1982) and this kind
of damage has not been reported
(Geraci, 1990).
(3) Fouling of Baleen
Baleen itself is not damaged by
exposure to oil and is resistant to effects
of oil (St. Aubin et al., 1984). Crude oil
could coat the baleen and reduce
filtration efficiency; however, effects
may be temporary (Braithwaite, 1983;
St. Aubin et al., 1984). If baleen is
coated in oil for long periods, it could
cause the animal to be unable to feed,
which could lead to malnutrition or
even death. Most of the oil that would
coat the baleen is removed after 30 min,
and less than 5% would remain after 24
hr (Bratton et al., 1993). Effects of oiling
of the baleen on feeding efficiency
appear to be minor (Geraci, 1990).
However, a study conducted by
Lambertsen et al. (2005) concluded that
their results highlight the uncertainty
about how rapidly oil would depurate at
the near zero temperatures in arctic
waters and whether baleen function
would be restored after oiling.
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(4) Avoidance
Some cetaceans can detect oil and
sometimes avoid it, but others enter and
swim through slicks without apparent
effects (Geraci, 1990; Harvey and
Dahlheim, 1994). Bottlenose dolphins
apparently could detect and avoid slicks
and mousse but did not avoid light
sheens on the surface (Smultea and
Wursig, 1995). After the Regal Sword
spill in 1979, various species of baleen
and toothed whales were observed
swimming and feeding in areas
containing spilled oil southeast of Cape
Cod, MA (Goodale et al., 1981). For
months following EVOS, there were
numerous observations of gray whales,
harbor porpoises, Dall’s porpoises, and
killer whales swimming through lightto-heavy crude-oil sheens (Harvey and
Dalheim, 1994, cited in Matkin et al.,
2008). However, if some of the animals
avoid the area because of the oil, then
the effects of the oiling would be less
severe on those individuals.
(5) Factors Affecting the Severity of
Effects
Effects of oil on whales in open water
are likely to be minimal, but there could
be effects on whales where both the oil
and the whales are at least partly
confined in leads or at ice edges (Geraci,
1990). In spring, bowhead and beluga
whales migrate through leads in the ice.
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At this time, the migration can be
concentrated in narrow corridors
defined by the leads, thereby creating a
greater risk to animals caught in the
spring lead system should oil enter the
leads. This situation would only occur
if there were an oil spill late in the
season and Shell could not complete
cleanup efforts prior to ice covering the
area. The oil would likely then be
trapped in the ice until it began to thaw
in the spring.
In fall, the migration route of
bowheads can be close to shore
(Blackwell et al., 2009c). If fall migrants
were moving through leads in the pack
ice or were concentrated in nearshore
waters, some bowhead whales might not
be able to avoid oil slicks and could be
subject to prolonged contamination.
However, the autumn migration past
Camden Bay extends over several
weeks, and some of the whales travel
along routes north of the area, thereby
reducing the number of whales that
could approach patches of spilled oil.
Additionally, vessel activity associated
with spill cleanup efforts may deflect
whales traveling near Camden Bay
farther offshore, thereby reducing the
likelihood of contact with spilled oil.
Also, during years when movements of
oil and whales might be partially
confined by ice, the bowhead migration
corridor tends to be farther offshore
(Treacy, 1997; LGL and Greeneridge,
1996a; Moore, 2000).
Bowhead and beluga whales
overwinter in the Bering Sea (mainly
from November to March). In the
summer, the majority of the bowhead
whales are found in the Canadian
Beaufort Sea, although some have
recently been observed in the U.S.
Beaufort and Chukchi Seas during the
summer months (June to August). Data
from the Barrow-based boat surveys in
2009 (George and Sheffield, 2009)
showed that bowheads were observed
almost continuously in the waters near
Barrow, including feeding groups in the
Chukchi Sea at the beginning of July.
The majority of belugas in the Beaufort
stock migrate into the Beaufort Sea in
April or May, although some whales
may pass Point Barrow as early as late
March and as late as July (Braham et al.,
1984; Ljungblad et al., 1984; Richardson
et al., 1995a). Therefore, a spill in
summer would not be expected to have
major impacts on these species.
Additionally, while gray whales have
commonly been sighted near Point
Barrow, they are much less frequently
found in the Camden Bay area.
Therefore, an oil spill is not expected to
have major impacts to gray whales.
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Potential Effects of Oil on Pinnipeds
Ringed, bearded, and spotted seals are
present in open-water areas during
summer and early autumn. Externally
oiled phocid seals often survive and
become clean, but heavily oiled seal
pups and adults may die, depending on
the extent of oiling and characteristics
of the oil. Prolonged exposure could
occur if fuel or crude oil was spilled in
or reached nearshore waters, was spilled
in a lead used by seals, or was spilled
under the ice when seals have limited
mobility (NMFS, 2000). Adult seals may
suffer some temporary adverse effects,
such as eye and skin irritation, with
possible infection (MMS, 1996). Such
effects may increase stress, which could
contribute to the death of some
individuals. Ringed seals may ingest oilcontaminated foods, but there is little
evidence that oiled seals will ingest
enough oil to cause lethal internal
effects. There is a likelihood that
newborn seal pups, if contacted by oil,
would die from oiling through loss of
insulation and resulting hypothermia.
These potential effects are addressed in
more detail in subsequent paragraphs.
Reports of the effects of oil spills have
shown that some mortality of seals may
have occurred as a result of oil fouling;
however, large scale mortality had not
been observed prior to the EVOS (St.
Aubin, 1990). Effects of oil on marine
mammals were not well studied at most
spills because of lack of baseline data
and/or the brevity of the post-spill
surveys. The largest documented impact
of a spill, prior to EVOS, was on young
seals in January in the Gulf of St.
Lawrence (St. Aubin, 1990). Brownell
and Le Boeuf (1971) found no marked
effects of oil from the Santa Barbara oil
spill on California sea lions or on the
mortality rates of newborn pups.
Intensive and long-term studies were
conducted after the EVOS in Alaska.
There may have been a long-term
decline of 36% in numbers of molting
harbor seals at oiled haul-out sites in
Prince William Sound following EVOS
(Frost et al., 1994a). However, in a
reanalysis of those data and additional
years of surveys, along with an
examination of assumptions and biases
associated with the original data,
Hoover-Miller et al. (2001) concluded
that the EVOS effect had been
overestimated. The decline in
attendance at some oiled sites was more
likely a continuation of the general
decline in harbor seal abundance in
Prince William Sound documented
since 1984 (Frost et al., 1999) rather
than a result of EVOS. The results from
Hoover-Miller et al. (2001) indicate that
the effects of EVOS were largely
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indistinguishable from natural decline
by 1992. However, while Frost et al.
(2004) concluded that there was no
evidence that seals were displaced from
oiled sites, they did find that aerial
counts indicated 26% fewer pups were
produced at oiled locations in 1989 than
would have been expected without the
oil spill. Harbor seal pup mortality at
oiled beaches was 23% to 26%, which
may have been higher than natural
mortality, although no baseline data for
pup mortality existed prior to EVOS
(Frost et al., 1994a). There was no
conclusive evidence of spill effects on
Steller sea lions (Calkins et al., 1994).
Oil did not persist on sea lions
themselves (as it did on harbor seals),
nor did it persist on sea lion haul-out
sites and rookeries (Calkins et al., 1994).
Sea lion rookeries and haul out sites,
unlike those used by harbor seals, have
steep sides and are subject to high wave
energy (Calkins et al., 1994).
internal damage (Geraci and St. Aubin,
1980, 1982).
(3) Avoidance and Behavioral Effects
Although seals may have the
capability to detect and avoid oil, they
apparently do so only to a limited extent
(St. Aubin, 1990). Seals may abandon
the area of an oil spill because of human
disturbance associated with cleanup
efforts, but they are most likely to
remain in the area of the spill. One
notable behavioral reaction to oiling is
that oiled seals are reluctant to enter the
water, even when intense cleanup
activities are conducted nearby (St.
Aubin, 1990; Frost et al., 1994b, 2004).
emcdonald on DSK5VPTVN1PROD with NOTICES2
(1) Oiling of External Surfaces
Adult seals rely on a layer of blubber
for insulation, and oiling of the external
surface does not appear to have adverse
thermoregulatory effects (Kooyman et
al., 1976, 1977; St. Aubin, 1990).
Contact with oil on the external surfaces
can potentially cause increased stress
and irritation of the eyes of ringed seals
(Geraci and Smith, 1976; St. Aubin,
1990). These effects seemed to be
temporary and reversible, but continued
exposure of eyes to oil could cause
permanent damage (St. Aubin, 1990).
Corneal ulcers and abrasions,
conjunctivitis, and swollen nictitating
membranes were observed in captive
ringed seals placed in crude oil-covered
water (Geraci and Smith, 1976) and in
seals in the Antarctic after an oil spill
(Lillie, 1954).
Newborn seal pups rely on their fur
for insulation. Newborn ringed seal
pups in lairs on the ice could be
contaminated through contact with
oiled mothers. There is the potential
that newborn ringed seal pups that were
contaminated with oil could die from
hypothermia.
(4) Factors Affecting the Severity of
Effects
Seals that are under natural stress,
such as lack of food or a heavy
infestation by parasites, could
potentially die because of the additional
stress of oiling (Geraci and Smith, 1976;
St. Aubin, 1990; Spraker et al., 1994).
Female seals that are nursing young
would be under natural stress, as would
molting seals. In both cases, the seals
would have reduced food stores and
may be less resistant to effects of oil
than seals that are not under some type
of natural stress. Seals that are not
under natural stress (e.g., fasting,
molting) would be more likely to
survive oiling.
In general, seals do not exhibit large
behavioral or physiological reactions to
limited surface oiling or incidental
exposure to contaminated food or
vapors (St. Aubin, 1990; Williams et al.,
1994). Effects could be severe if seals
surface in heavy oil slicks in leads or if
oil accumulates near haul-out sites (St.
Aubin, 1990). An oil spill in open water
is less likely to impact seals.
The potential effects to marine
mammals described in this section of
the document do not take into
consideration the proposed monitoring
and mitigation measures described later
in this document (see the ‘‘Proposed
Mitigation’’ and ‘‘Proposed Monitoring
and Reporting’’ sections).
(2) Ingestion
Marine mammals can ingest oil if
their food is contaminated. Oil can also
be absorbed through the respiratory tract
(Geraci and Smith, 1976; Engelhardt et
al., 1977). Some of the ingested oil is
voided in vomit or feces but some is
absorbed and could cause toxic effects
(Engelhardt, 1981). When returned to
clean water, contaminated animals can
depurate this internal oil (Engelhardt,
1978, 1982, 1985). In addition, seals
exposed to an oil spill are unlikely to
ingest enough oil to cause serious
Anticipated Effects on Marine Mammal
Habitat
The primary potential impacts to
marine mammals and other marine
species are associated with elevated
sound levels produced by the
exploratory drilling program (i.e. the
drillship and the airguns). However,
other potential impacts are also possible
to the surrounding habitat from physical
disturbance and an oil spill (should one
occur). This section describes the
potential impacts to marine mammal
habitat from the specified activity.
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Because the marine mammals in the
area feed on fish and/or invertebrates
there is also information on the species
typically preyed upon by the marine
mammals in the area.
Common Marine Mammal Prey in the
Project Area
All eight of the marine mammal
species that may occur in the proposed
project area prey on either marine fish
or invertebrates. The ringed seal feeds
on fish and a variety of benthic species,
including crabs and shrimp. Bearded
seals feed mainly on benthic organisms,
primarily crabs, shrimp, and clams.
Spotted seals feed on pelagic and
demersal fish, as well as shrimp and
cephalopods. They are known to feed on
a variety of fish including herring,
capelin, sand lance, Arctic cod, saffron
cod, and sculpins. Ribbon seals feed
primarily on pelagic fish and
invertebrates, such as shrimp, crabs,
squid, octopus, cod, sculpin, pollack,
and capelin. Juveniles feed mostly on
krill and shrimp.
Bowhead whales feed in the eastern
Beaufort Sea during summer and early
autumn but continue feeding to varying
degrees while on their migration
through the central and western
Beaufort Sea in the late summer and fall
(Richardson and Thomson [eds.], 2002).
Aerial surveys in recent years have
sighted bowhead whales feeding in
Camden Bay on their westward
migration through the Beaufort Sea.
When feeding in relatively shallow
areas, bowheads feed throughout the
water column. However, feeding is
concentrated at depths where
zooplankton is concentrated (Wursig et
al., 1984, 1989; Richardson [ed.], 1987;
Griffiths et al., 2002). Lowry and
Sheffield (2002) found that copepods
and euphausiids were the most common
prey found in stomach samples from
bowhead whales harvested in the
Kaktovik area from 1979 to 2000. Areas
to the east of Barter Island (which is
approximately 60 mi [96.6 km] east of
Shell’s proposed drill sites in Camden
Bay) appear to be used regularly for
feeding as bowhead whales migrate
slowly westward across the Beaufort Sea
(Thomson and Richardson, 1987;
Richardson and Thomson [eds.], 2002).
However, in some years, sizable groups
of bowhead whales have been seen
feeding as far west as the waters just east
of Point Barrow (which is more than 250
mi [402 km] west of Shell’s proposed
drill sites in Camden Bay) near the
Plover Islands (Braham et al., 1984;
Ljungblad et al., 1985; Landino et al.,
1994). The situation in September–
October 1997 was unusual in that
bowheads fed widely across the Alaskan
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Beaufort Sea, including higher numbers
in the area east of Barrow than reported
in any previous year (S. Treacy and D.
Hansen, MMS, pers. comm.).
Beluga whales feed on a variety of
fish, shrimp, squid and octopus (Burns
and Seaman, 1985). Very few beluga
whales occur near Northstar; their main
migration route is much further
offshore. Like several of the other
species in the area, harbor porpoise feed
on demersal and benthic species,
mainly schooling fish and cephalopods.
Harbor porpoise are also not commonly
found in Camden Bay.
Gray whales are primarily bottom
feeders, and benthic amphipods and
isopods form the majority of their
summer diet, at least in the main
summering areas west of Alaska (Oliver
et al., 1983; Oliver and Slattery, 1985).
Farther south, gray whales have also
been observed feeding around kelp
beds, presumably on mysid crustaceans,
and on pelagic prey such as small
schooling fish and crab larvae (Hatler
and Darling, 1974).
Two kinds of fish inhabit marine
waters in the study area: (1) True marine
fish that spend all of their lives in salt
water, and (2) anadromous species that
reproduce in fresh water and spend
parts of their life cycles in salt water.
Most arctic marine fish species are
small, benthic forms that do not feed
high in the water column. The majority
of these species are circumpolar and are
found in habitats ranging from deep
offshore water to water as shallow as
16.4–33 ft (5–10 m; Fechhelm et al.,
1995). The most important pelagic
species, and the only abundant pelagic
species, is the Arctic cod. The Arctic
cod is a major vector for the transfer of
energy from lower to higher trophic
levels (Bradstreet et al., 1986). In
summer, Arctic cod can form very large
schools in both nearshore and offshore
waters (Craig et al., 1982; Bradstreet et
al., 1986). Locations and areas
frequented by large schools of Arctic
cod cannot be predicted but can be
almost anywhere. The Arctic cod is a
major food source for beluga whales,
ringed seals, and numerous species of
seabirds (Frost and Lowry, 1984;
Bradstreet et al., 1986).
Anadromous Dolly Varden char and
some species of whitefish winter in
rivers and lakes, migrate to the sea in
spring and summer, and return to fresh
water in autumn. Anadromous fish form
the basis of subsistence, commercial,
and small regional sport fisheries. Dolly
Varden char migrate to the sea from May
through mid-June (Johnson, 1980) and
spend about 1.5–2.5 months there
(Craig, 1989). They return to rivers
beginning in late July or early August
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with the peak return migration
occurring between mid-August and
early September (Johnson, 1980). At sea,
most anadromous corregonids
(whitefish) remain in nearshore waters
within several kilometers of shore
(Craig, 1984, 1989). They are often
termed ‘‘amphidromous’’ fish in that
they make repeated annual migrations
into marine waters to feed, returning
each fall to overwinter in fresh water.
Benthic organisms are defined as
bottom dwelling creatures. Infaunal
organisms are benthic organisms that
live within the substrate and are often
sedentary or sessile (bivalves,
polychaetes). Epibenthic organisms live
on or near the bottom surface sediments
and are mobile (amphipods, isopods,
mysids, and some polychaetes).
Epifauna, which live attached to hard
substrates, are rare in the Beaufort Sea
because hard substrates are scarce there.
A small community of epifauna, the
Boulder Patch, occurs in Stefansson
Sound.
Many of the nearshore benthic marine
invertebrates of the Arctic are
circumpolar and are found over a wide
range of water depths (Carey et al.,
1975). Species identified include
polychaetes (Spio filicornis, Chaetozone
setosa, Eteone longa), bivalves
(Cryrtodaria kurriana, Nucula tenuis,
Liocyma fluctuosa), an isopod (Saduria
entomon), and amphipods (Pontoporeia
femorata, P. affinis).
Nearshore benthic fauna have been
studied in lagoons west of Camden Bay
and near the mouth of the Colville River
(Kinney et al., 1971, 1972; Crane and
Cooney, 1975). The waters of Simpson
Lagoon, Harrison Bay, and the nearshore
region support a number of infaunal
species including crustaceans, mollusks,
and polychaetes. In areas influenced by
river discharge, seasonal changes in
salinity can greatly influence the
distribution and abundance of benthic
organisms. Large fluctuations in salinity
and temperature that occur over a very
short time period, or on a seasonal basis,
allow only very adaptable, opportunistic
species to survive (Alexander et al.,
1974). Since shorefast ice is present for
many months, the distribution and
abundance of most species depends on
annual (or more frequent) recolonization
from deeper offshore waters (Woodward
Clyde Consultants, 1995). Due to ice
scouring, particularly in water depths of
less than 8 ft (2.4 m), infaunal
communities tend to be patchily
distributed. Diversity increases with
water depth until the shear zone is
reached at 49–82 ft (15–25 m; Carey,
1978). Biodiversity then declines due to
ice gouging between the landfast ice and
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the polar pack ice (Woodward Clyde
Consultants, 1995).
Potential Impacts From Seafloor
Disturbance on Marine Mammal Habitat
There is a possibility of some seafloor
disturbance or temporary increased
turbidity in the seabed sediments during
anchoring and excavation of the
mudline cellars (MLCs). The amount
and duration of disturbed or turbid
conditions will depend on sediment
material and consolidation of specific
activity.
The Kulluk would be anchored using
a 12-point anchor system held in place
with 12, 15 metric ton Stevpris anchors,
and the Discoverer would be stabilized
and held in place with a system of eight
7,000 kg Stevpris anchors during
operations. The anchors from either
drilling vessel are designed to embed
into the seafloor. Prior to setting, the
anchors will penetrate the seafloor and
drag two or three times their length.
Both the anchor and anchor chain will
disturb sediments and create an ‘‘anchor
scar’’ which is a depression in the
seafloor caused by the anchor
embedding. The anchor scar is a
depression with ridges of displaced
sediment, and the area of disturbance
will often be greater than the size of the
anchor itself because the anchor is
dragged along the seafloor until it takes
hold and sets.
For the Kulluk, each Stevpris anchor
may impact an area of 2,928 ft2 (272
m2), whereas each Stevpris anchor from
the Discoverer may impact an area of
2,027 ft2 (188 m2) of the seafloor.
Minimum impact estimates of the
seafloor from each well or mooring with
the 12 anchors of the Kulluk is 35,136
ft2 (3,264 m2) or with the eight anchors
of the Discoverer is 16,216 ft2 (1,507
m2). This estimate assumes that the
anchors are set only once. Shell plans to
pre-set anchors at each drill site for
whichever drillship is used for drilling.
Unless moved by an outside force such
as sea current, anchors should only
need to be set once per drill site. (Shell
proposes to drill at two sites in Camden
Bay during the 2012 open-water season.)
Additionally, based on the vast size of
the Beaufort Sea, the area of disturbance
is not anticipated to adversely affect
marine mammal use of the area.
Once the drillship ends operation, the
anchors will be retrieved. Over time, the
anchor scars will be filled through
natural movement of sediment. The
duration of the scars depends upon the
energy of the system, water depth, ice
scour, and sediment type. Anchor scars
were visible under low energy
conditions in the North Sea for 5–10
years after retrieval. Scars typically do
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not form or persist in sandy mud or
sand sediments but may last for 9 years
in hard clays (Centaur Associates Inc.,
1984). The surficial Holocene soils at
the Sivulliq and Torpedo prospects
consist primarily of soft to stiff silts and
clays with low to medium plasticity.
The fine sand present in contact with
underlying silts and clays is variable, as
the sand tends to infill old gouges. Local
depositional processes will strongly
affect the range of properties for
Holocene soils. The energy regime plus
possible effects of ice gouge in the
Beaufort Sea suggest that anchor scars
would be refilled faster than in the
North Sea.
Excavation of each MLC by the Kulluk
will displace about 24,579 ft3 (696 m3)
of seafloor sediments and directly
disturb approximately 452 ft2 (42m2) of
seafloor. Excavation of each MLC by the
Discoverer will displace about 17,128 ft3
(485 m3) of seafloor sediments and
directly disturb approximately 314 ft2
(29 m2) of seafloor. The MLC excavation
amounts range in volume because the
MLC bits for the Kulluk and Discoverer
differ in size and hence excavate
different diameter MLCs. Material will
be excavated from the MLCs using a
large diameter drillbit. Pressurized air
and water (no drilling mud used) will be
used to assist in the removal of the
excavated materials from the MLC.
Some of the excavated sediments will be
displaced to adjacent seafloor areas and
some will be removed via the air lift
system and discharged on the seafloor
away from the MLC. These excavated
materials will also have some indirect
effects as they are deposited on the
seafloor in the vicinity of the MLCs.
Direct and indirect effects would
include slight changes in seafloor relief
and sediment consistency.
Vessel mooring and MLC construction
would result in increased suspended
sediment in the water column that
could result in lethal effects on some
zooplankton (food source for baleen
whales). However, compared to the
overall population of zooplankton and
the localized nature of effects, any
mortality that may occur would not be
considered significant. Due to fast
regeneration periods of zooplankton,
populations are expected to recover
quickly.
Impacts on fish resulting from
suspended sediments would be
dependent upon the life stage of the fish
(e.g., eggs, larvae, juveniles, or adults),
the concentration of the suspended
sediments, the type of sediment, and the
duration of exposure (IMG Golder,
2004). Eggs and larvae have been found
to exhibit greater sensitivity to
suspended sediments (Wilber and
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Clarke, 2001) and other stresses, which
is thought to be related to their relative
lack of motility (Auld and Schubel,
1978). Sedimentation could affect fish
by causing egg morbidity of demersal
fish feeding near or on the ocean floor
(Wilber and Clarke, 2001). Surficial
membranes are especially susceptible to
abrasion (Cairns and Scheier, 1968).
However, most of the abundant Beaufort
Sea fish species with demersal eggs
spawn under the ice in the winter well
before MLC excavation would occur.
Exposure of pelagic eggs would be much
shorter as they move with ocean
currents (Wilber and Clarke, 2001).
Suspended sediments, resulting from
vessel mooring and MLC excavation, are
not expected to result in permanent
damage to habitats used by the marine
mammal species in the proposed project
area or on the food sources that they
utilize. Rather, NMFS considers that
such impacts will be temporary in
nature and concentrated in the areas
directly surrounding vessel mooring and
MLC excavation activities—areas which
are very small relative to the overall
Beaufort Sea region.
Potential Impacts From Sound
Generation
With regard to fish as a prey source
for odontocetes and seals, fish are
known to hear and react to sounds and
to use sound to communicate (Tavolga
et al., 1981) and possibly avoid
predators (Wilson and Dill, 2002).
Experiments have shown that fish can
sense both the strength and direction of
sound (Hawkins, 1981). Primary factors
determining whether a fish can sense a
sound signal, and potentially react to it,
are the frequency of the signal and the
strength of the signal in relation to the
natural background noise level.
Fishes produce sounds that are
associated with behaviors that include
territoriality, mate search, courtship,
and aggression. It has also been
speculated that sound production may
provide the means for long distance
communication and communication
under poor underwater visibility
conditions (Zelick et al., 1999), although
the fact that fish communicate at lowfrequency sound levels where the
masking effects of ambient noise are
naturally highest suggests that very long
distance communication would rarely
be possible. Fishes have evolved a
diversity of sound generating organs and
acoustic signals of various temporal and
spectral contents. Fish sounds vary in
structure, depending on the mechanism
used to produce them (Hawkins, 1993).
Generally, fish sounds are
predominantly composed of low
frequencies (less than 3 kHz).
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Since objects in the water scatter
sound, fish are able to detect these
objects through monitoring the ambient
noise. Therefore, fish are probably able
to detect prey, predators,conspecifics,
and physical features by listening to
environmental sounds (Hawkins, 1981).
There are two sensory systems that
enable fish to monitor the vibrationbased information of their surroundings.
The two sensory systems, the inner ear
and the lateral line, constitute the
acoustico-lateralis system.
Although the hearing sensitivities of
very few fish species have been studied
to date, it is becoming obvious that the
intra- and inter-specific variability is
considerable (Coombs, 1981). Nedwell
et al. (2004) compiled and published
available fish audiogram information. A
noninvasive electrophysiological
recording method known as auditory
brainstem response is now commonly
used in the production of fish
audiograms (Yan, 2004). Generally, most
fish have their best hearing in the lowfrequency range (i.e., less than 1 kHz).
Even though some fish are able to detect
sounds in the ultrasonic frequency
range, the thresholds at these higher
frequencies tend to be considerably
higher than those at the lower end of the
auditory frequency range.
Literature relating to the impacts of
sound on marine fish species can be
divided into the following categories: (1)
Pathological effects; (2) physiological
effects; and (3) behavioral effects.
Pathological effects include lethal and
sub-lethal physical damage to fish;
physiological effects include primary
and secondary stress responses; and
behavioral effects include changes in
exhibited behaviors of fish. Behavioral
changes might be a direct reaction to a
detected sound or a result of the
anthropogenic sound masking natural
sounds that the fish normally detect and
to which they respond. The three types
of effects are often interrelated in
complex ways. For example, some
physiological and behavioral effects
could potentially lead to the ultimate
pathological effect of mortality. Hastings
and Popper (2005) reviewed what is
known about the effects of sound on
fishes and identified studies needed to
address areas of uncertainty relative to
measurement of sound and the
responses of fishes. Popper et al. (2003/
2004) also published a paper that
reviews the effects of anthropogenic
sound on the behavior and physiology
of fishes.
Potential effects of exposure to
continuous sound on marine fish
include TTS, physical damage to the ear
region, physiological stress responses,
and behavioral responses such as startle
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response, alarm response, avoidance,
and perhaps lack of response due to
masking of acoustic cues. Most of these
effects appear to be either temporary or
intermittent and therefore probably do
not significantly impact the fish at a
population level. The studies that
resulted in physical damage to the fish
ears used noise exposure levels and
durations that were far more extreme
than would be encountered under
conditions similar to those expected
during Shell’s proposed exploratory
drilling activities.
The level of sound at which a fish
will react or alter its behavior is usually
well above the detection level. Fish
have been found to react to sounds
when the sound level increased to about
20 dB above the detection level of 120
dB (Ona, 1988); however, the response
threshold can depend on the time of
year and the fish’s physiological
condition (Engas et al., 1993). In
general, fish react more strongly to
pulses of sound rather than a
continuous signal (Blaxter et al., 1981),
such as the type of sound that will be
produced by the drillship, and a quicker
alarm response is elicited when the
sound signal intensity rises rapidly
compared to sound rising more slowly
to the same level.
Investigations of fish behavior in
relation to vessel noise (Olsen et al.,
1983; Ona, 1988; Ona and Godo, 1990)
have shown that fish react when the
sound from the engines and propeller
exceeds a certain level. Avoidance
reactions have been observed in fish
such as cod and herring when vessels
approached close enough that received
sound levels are 110 dB to 130 dB
(Nakken, 1992; Olsen, 1979; Ona and
Godo, 1990; Ona and Toresen, 1988).
However, other researchers have found
that fish such as polar cod, herring, and
capeline are often attracted to vessels
(apparently by the noise) and swim
toward the vessel (Rostad et al., 2006).
Typical sound source levels of vessel
noise in the audible range for fish are
150 dB to 170 dB (Richardson et al.,
1995a). (Based on models, the 160 dB
radius for the Discoverer would extend
approximately 33 ft [10 m] and the 160
dB radius for the Kulluk would extend
approximately 180 ft [55 m]; therefore,
fish would need to be in close proximity
to the drillship for the noise to be
audible). In calm weather, ambient
noise levels in audible parts of the
spectrum lie between 60 dB to 100 dB.
Sound will also occur in the marine
environment from the various support
vessels. Reported source levels for
vessels during ice management have
ranged from 175 dB to 185 dB (Brewer
et al., 1993, Hall et al., 1994). However,
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ice management or icebreaking activities
are not expected to be necessary
throughout the entire drilling season, so
impacts from that activity would occur
less frequently than sound from the
drillship. Sound pressures generated by
drilling vessels during active drilling
operations have been measured during
past exploration in the Beaufort and
Chukchi seas. Sounds generated by
drilling and ice management/
icebreaking are generally low frequency
and within the frequency range
detectable by most fish.
Shell also proposes to conduct
seismic surveys with an airgun array for
a short period of time during the drilling
season (a total of approximately 20–28
hours over the course of the entire
proposed drilling program). Airguns
produce impulsive sounds as opposed
to continuous sounds at the source.
Short, sharp sounds can cause overt or
subtle changes in fish behavior.
Chapman and Hawkins (1969) tested the
reactions of whiting (hake) in the field
to an airgun. When the airgun was fired,
the fish dove from 82 to 180 ft (25 to 55
m) depth and formed a compact layer.
The whiting dove when received sound
levels were higher than 178 dB re 1 mPa
(Pearson et al., 1992).
Pearson et al. (1992) conducted a
controlled experiment to determine
effects of strong noise pulses on several
species of rockfish off the California
coast. They used an airgun with a
source level of 223 dB re 1 mPa. They
noted:
• Startle responses at received levels
of 200–205 dB re 1 mPa and above for
two sensitive species, but not for two
other species exposed to levels up to
207 dB;
• Alarm responses at 177–180 dB for
the two sensitive species, and at 186 to
199 dB for other species;
• An overall threshold for the above
behavioral response at about 180 dB;
• An extrapolated threshold of about
161 dB for subtle changes in the
behavior of rockfish; and
• A return to pre-exposure behaviors
within the 20–60 minute exposure
period.
In summary, fish often react to
sounds, especially strong and/or
intermittent sounds of low frequency.
Sound pulses at received levels of 160
dB re 1 mPa may cause subtle changes
in behavior. Pulses at levels of 180 dB
may cause noticeable changes in
behavior (Chapman and Hawkins, 1969;
Pearson et al., 1992; Skalski et al.,
1992). It also appears that fish often
habituate to repeated strong sounds
rather rapidly, on time scales of minutes
to an hour. However, the habituation
does not endure, and resumption of the
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strong sound source may again elicit
disturbance responses from the same
fish. Underwater sound levels from the
drillship and other vessels produce
sounds lower than the response
threshold reported by Pearson et al.
(1992), and are not likely to result in
major effects to fish near the proposed
drill sites.
Based on a sound level of
approximately 140 dB, there may be
some avoidance by fish of the area near
the drillship while drilling, around ice
management vessels in transit and
during ice management, and around
other support and supply vessels when
underway. Any reactions by fish to
these sounds will last only minutes
(Mitson and Knudsen, 2003; Ona et al.,
2007) longer than the vessel is operating
at that location or the drillship is
drilling. Any potential reactions by fish
would be limited to a relatively small
area within about 0.21 mi (0.34 km) of
the drillship during drilling (JASCO,
2007). Avoidance by some fish or fish
species could occur within portions of
this area. No important spawning
habitats are known to occur at or near
the drilling locations.
Some of the fish species found in the
Arctic are prey sources for odontocetes
and pinnipeds. A reaction by fish to
sounds produced by Shell’s proposed
operations would only be relevant to
marine mammals if it caused
concentrations of fish to vacate the area.
Pressure changes of sufficient
magnitude to cause that type of reaction
would probably occur only very close to
the sound source, if any would occur at
all due to the low energy sounds
produced by the majority of equipment
proposed for use. Impacts on fish
behavior are predicted to be
inconsequential. Thus, feeding
odontocetes and pinnipeds would not
be adversely affected by this minimal
loss or scattering, if any, of reduced prey
abundance.
Some mysticetes, including bowhead
whales, feed on concentrations of
zooplankton. Some feeding bowhead
whales may occur in the Alaskan
Beaufort Sea in July and August, and
others feed intermittently during their
westward migration in September and
October (Richardson and Thomson
[eds.], 2002; Lowry et al., 2004).
Reactions of zooplankton to sound are,
for the most part, not known. Their
ability to move significant distances is
limited or nil, depending on the type of
zooplankton. Behavior of zooplankters
is not expected to be affected by the
exploratory drilling activities. These
animals have exoskeletons and no air
bladders. Many crustaceans can make
sounds, and some crustacea and other
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invertebrates have some type of sound
receptor. A reaction by zooplankton to
sounds produced by the exploratory
drilling program would only be relevant
to whales if it caused concentrations of
zooplankton to scatter. Pressure changes
of sufficient magnitude to cause that
type of reaction would probably occur
only very close to the sound source, if
any would occur at all due to the low
energy sounds produced by the
drillship. Impacts on zooplankton
behavior are predicted to be
inconsequential. Thus, feeding
mysticetes would not be adversely
affected by this minimal loss or
scattering, if any, of reduced
zooplankton abundance.
Aerial surveys in recent years have
sighted bowhead whales feeding in
Camden Bay on their westward
migration through the Beaufort Sea.
Individuals feeding in the Camden Bay
area at the beginning of the migration
(i.e., approximately late August or early
September) are not expected to be
impacted by Shell’s proposed drilling
program, primarily because of Shell’s
proposal to suspend operations and
depart the area on August 25 and not
return until the close of the Kaktovik
and Nuiqsut (Cross Island) hunts, which
typically ends around mid- to late
September (see the ‘‘Plan of Cooperation
(POC)’’ subsection later in this
document for more details). If other
individual bowheads stop to feed in the
Camden Bay area after Shell resumes
drilling operations in mid- to late
September, they may potentially be
exposed to sounds from the drillship or
the airguns. However, injury to the
bowhead whales is not anticipated, as
the source level of the drillship is not
loud enough to cause even mild TTS, as
discussed earlier in this document, and
mitigation measures are proposed to
reduce even further the low risk of
hearing impairment from the airguns.
As mentioned earlier in this document,
some bowhead whales have
demonstrated avoidance behavior in
areas of industrial sound (e.g.,
Richardson et al., 1999) and some have
continued to feed even in the presence
of industrial activities (Richardson,
2004). However, Camden Bay is not the
only feeding location for bowhead
whales in the Beaufort Sea. Also, as
discussed previously, drilling
operations are not expected to adversely
affect bowhead whale prey species or
preclude bowhead whales from
obtaining sufficient food resources along
their traditional migratory path.
Potential Impacts From Drill Cuttings
Discharging drill cuttings or other
liquid waste streams generated by the
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drilling vessel could potentially affect
marine mammal habitat. Toxins could
persist in the water column, which
could have an impact on marine
mammal prey species. However, despite
a considerable amount of investment in
research of exposures of marine
mammals to organochlorines or other
toxins, there have been no marine
mammal deaths in the wild that can be
conclusively linked to the direct
exposure to such substances (O’Shea,
1999).
For the Camden Bay proposed
exploration drilling program, Shell has
committed to not discharge various
waste streams during routine drilling
operations. Shell has agreed to not
discharge any of the following liquid
waste streams that are generated by the
drilling vessel: treated sanitary waste
(black water); domestic waste (gray
water); bilge water; or ballast water.
Shell will not discharge drilling mud or
cuttings that are generated below the
depth at which the 20-in. (51-cm)
diameter casing is set in each well. The
mud and cuttings collected will be
transferred to an OSV then to the deck
or waste barge. Either barge will hold
collected mud, cuttings, and wastewater
for transport and disposal at an
approved and licensed onshore facility.
Shell proposes that cuttings generated
while drilling the MLC, the 36- and 26in. (91- and 66-cm) hole sections (all
drilled with seawater and viscous
sweeps only) plus cement discharged
while cementing the 30- and 20-in. (76and 51-cm) casing strings will be
discharged on the surface of the seafloor
under provisions of an approved
National Pollutant Discharge
Elimination System (NPDES) General
Permit (GP) administered by the U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency
(EPA). The most recent NPDES GP
expired on June 26, 2011. The EPA is
currently processing two separate
requests for NPDES exploration GPs in
the Beaufort and Chukchi seas.
The NPDES GP establishes discharge
limits for drilling fluids (at the end of
a discharge pipe) to a minimum 96-hr
LC50 of 30,000 parts per million. Both
modeling and field studies have shown
that discharged drilling fluids are
diluted rapidly in receiving waters
(Ayers et al., 1980a,b; Brandsma et al.,
1980; NRC, 1983; O’Reilly et al., 1989;
Nedwed et al., 2004; Smith et al., 2004;
Neff, 2005). The dilution rate is strongly
affected by the discharge rate; the
NPDES GP limits the discharge of
cuttings and fluids to 750 bbl/hr. For
example, the EPA modeled hypothetical
750 bbl/hr discharges of drilling fluids
in water depths of 66 ft (20 m) in the
Beaufort and Chukchi Seas and
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predicted a minimum dilution of
1,326:1 at 330 ft (100 m).
Modeling of similar discharges
offshore of Sakhalin Island predicted a
1,000-fold dilution within 10 minutes
and 330 ft (100 m) of the discharge. In
a field study (O’Reilly et al., 1989) of a
drilling waste discharge offshore of
California, a 270 bbl discharge of
drilling fluids was found to be diluted
183-fold at 33 ft (10 m) and 1,049-fold
at 330 ft (100 m). Neff (2005) concluded
that concentrations of discharged
drilling fluids drop to levels that would
have no effect within about two minutes
of discharge and within 16 ft (5 m) of
the discharge location.
Based on the fact that Shell plans to
store the drilling muds and other liquid
waste streams and transport them to a
site onshore, no impacts to marine
mammal habitat or marine mammal
prey species are anticipated from such
an activity.
Potential Impacts From Drillship
Presence
The Kulluk is 266 ft (81 m) in
diameter, and the Discoverer is 514 ft
(156.7 m) long. If an animal’s swim path
is directly perpendicular to the
drillship, the animal will need to swim
around the ship in order to pass through
the area. The diameter of the Kulluk or
the length of the Discoverer
(approximately one and a half football
fields) is not significant enough to cause
a large-scale diversion from the animals’
normal swim and migratory paths.
Additionally, the eastward spring
bowhead whale migration will not be
affected by the proposed exploratory
drilling program because the migration
will occur prior to Shell’s arrival in the
Beaufort Sea. The westward fall
bowhead whale migration begins in late
August/early September and lasts
through October. As discussed
throughout this document, Shell plans
to suspend all operations on August 25,
move the drillship and all support
vessels out of the area to a location
north and west of the well sites, and
will not resume drilling activities until
the close of the Kaktovik and Nuiqsut
(Cross Island) bowhead subsistence
hunts. This will reduce the amount of
time that the Kulluk or Discoverer may
impede the bowheads’ normal swim and
migratory paths as they move through
Camden Bay. Moreover, any deflection
of bowhead whales or other marine
mammal species due to the physical
presence of the drillship or its support
vessels would be very minor. The
drillship’s physical footprint is small
relative to the size of the geographic
region it will occupy and will likely not
cause marine mammals to deflect
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greatly from their typical migratory
route. Also, even if animals may deflect
because of the presence of the drillship,
the Beaufort Sea’s migratory corridor is
much larger in size than the length of
the drillship (many dozens of miles vs.
less than two football fields), and
animals would have other means of
passage around the drillship. While
there are other vessels that will be on
location to support the drillship, most of
those vessels will remain within a few
kilometers of the drillship (with the
exception of the ice management vessels
which will remain approximately 25 mi
[40 km] upwind of the drillship when
not in use). In sum, the physical
presence of the drillship is not likely to
cause a significant deflection to
migrating marine mammals.
Potential Impacts From an Oil Spill
Arctic cod and other fishes are a
principal food item for beluga whales
and seals in the Beaufort Sea.
Anadromous fish are more sensitive to
oil when in the marine environment
than when in the fresh water
environment (Moles et al., 1979).
Generally, arctic fish are more sensitive
to oil than are temperate species (Rice
et al., 1983). However, fish in the open
sea are unlikely to be affected by an oil
spill. Fish in shallow nearshore waters
could sustain heavy mortality if an oil
slick were to remain in the area for
several days or longer. Fish
concentrations in shallow nearshore
areas that are used as feeding habitat for
seals and whales could be unavailable
as prey. Because the animals are mobile,
effects would be minor during the icefree period when whales and seals
could go to unaffected areas to feed.
Effects of oil on zooplankton as food
for bowhead whales were discussed by
Richardson ([ed.] 1987). Zooplankton
populations in the open sea are unlikely
to be depleted by the effects of an oil
spill. Oil concentrations in water under
a slick are low and unlikely to have
anything but very minor effects on
zooplankton. Zooplankton populations
in near surface waters could be
depleted; however, concentrations of
zooplankton in near-surface waters
generally are low compared to those in
deeper water (Bradstreet et al., 1987;
Griffiths et al., 2002).
Some bowheads feed in shallow
nearshore waters (Bradstreet et al., 1987;
Richardson and Thomson [eds.], 2002).
Wave action in nearshore waters could
cause high concentrations of oil to be
found throughout the water column. Oil
slicks in nearshore feeding areas could
contaminate food and render the site
unusable as a feeding area.
Additionally, gray whales do not
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commonly feed in the Beaufort Sea and
are rarely seen near the proposed drill
sites in Camden Bay.
Effects of oil spills on zooplankton as
food for seals would be similar to those
described above for bowhead whales.
During the ice-free period, effects on
seal feeding would be minor.
Bearded seals consume benthic
animals. Wave action in nearshore
waters could cause oil to reach the
bottom through adherence to suspended
sediments (Sanders et al., 1990). There
could be mortality of benthic animals
and elimination of some benthic feeding
habitat. During the ice-free period,
effects on seal feeding would be minor.
During the ice-free period, seals and
whales could find alternate feeding
habitats.
Depending on the timing of a spill,
planktonic larval forms of organisms in
arctic kelp communities such as
annelids, mollusks, and crustaceans
may be affected by floating oil. The
contact may occur anywhere near the
surface of the water column (MMS,
1996). Due to their wide distribution,
large numbers, and rapid rate of
regeneration, the recovery of marine
invertebrate populations is expected to
occur soon after the surface oil passes.
Spill response activities are not likely to
disturb the prey items of whales or seals
sufficiently to cause more than minor
effects. Spill response activities could
cause marine mammals to avoid the
disturbed habitat that is being cleaned.
However, by causing avoidance, animals
would avoid impacts from the oil itself.
Additionally, the likelihood of an oil
spill is expected to be very low, as
discussed earlier in this document.
Potential Impacts From Ice
Management/Icebreaking Activities
Ice management activities include the
physical pushing or moving of ice to
create more open-water in the proposed
drilling area and to prevent ice floes
from striking the drillship. Icebreaking
activities include the physical breaking
of ice. Shell does not intend to conduct
icebreaking activities. However, should
there be a need for icebreaking, it would
only be performed in order to safely
move the drillship and other vessels off
location and to end operations for the
season. Ringed, bearded, spotted, and
ribbon seals (along with the walrus) are
dependent on sea ice for at least part of
their life history. Sea ice is important for
life functions such as resting, breeding,
and molting. These species are
dependent on two different types of ice:
pack ice and landfast ice. Should ice
management/icebreaking activities be
necessary during the proposed drilling
program, Shell would only manage pack
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ice in either early to mid-July or mid- to
late October. Landfast ice would not be
present during Shell’s proposed
operations.
The ringed seal is the most common
pinniped species in the proposed
project area. While ringed seals use ice
year-round, they do not construct lairs
for pupping until late winter/early
spring on the landfast ice. Therefore,
since Shell plans to conclude drilling on
October 31, Shell’s activities would not
impact ringed seal lairs or habitat
needed for breeding and pupping in the
Camden Bay area. Ringed seals can be
found on the pack ice surface in the late
spring and early summer in the Beaufort
Sea, the latter part of which may overlap
with the start of Shell’s proposed
drilling activities. If an ice floe is
pushed into one that contains hauled
out seals, the animals may become
startled and enter the water when the
two ice floes collide. Bearded seals
breed in the Bering and Chukchi Seas,
as the Beaufort Sea provides less
suitable habitat for the species. Spotted
seals are even less common in the
Camden Bay area. This species does not
breed in the Beaufort Sea. Additionally,
ribbon seals are not known to breed in
the Beaufort Sea. Therefore, ice used by
bearded, spotted, and ribbon seals
needed for life functions such as
breeding and molting would not be
impacted as a result of Shell’s drilling
program since these life functions do
not occur in the proposed project area.
For ringed seals, ice management/
icebreaking would occur during a time
when life functions such as breeding,
pupping, and molting do not occur in
the proposed activity area. Additionally,
these life functions normally occur on
landfast ice, which will not be impacted
by Shell’s activity.
Proposed Mitigation
In order to issue an incidental take
authorization (ITA) under Sections
101(a)(5)(A) and (D) of the MMPA,
NMFS must, where applicable, set forth
the permissible methods of taking
pursuant to such activity, and other
means of effecting the least practicable
impact on such species or stock and its
habitat, paying particular attention to
rookeries, mating grounds, and areas of
similar significance, and on the
availability of such species or stock for
taking for certain subsistence uses
(where relevant). This section
summarizes the contents of Shell’s
Marine Mammal Monitoring and
Mitigation Plan (4MP). Later in this
document in the ‘‘Proposed Incidental
Harassment Authorization’’ section,
NMFS lays out the proposed conditions
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for review, as they would appear in the
final IHA (if issued).
Mitigation Measures Proposed by Shell
Shell submitted a 4MP as part of its
application (Attachment C; see
ADDRESSES). Shell’s planned offshore
drilling program incorporates both
design features and operational
procedures for minimizing potential
impacts on marine mammals and on
subsistence hunts. The design features
and operational procedures have been
described in the IHA and LOA
applications submitted to NMFS and
USFWS, respectively, and are
summarized here. Survey design
features include:
• Timing and locating drilling and
support activities to avoid interference
with the annual fall bowhead whale
hunts from Kaktovik, Nuiqsut (Cross
Island), and Barrow;
• Identifying transit routes and timing
to avoid other subsistence use areas and
communicating with coastal
communities before operating in or
passing through these areas; and
• Conducting pre-season sound
propagation modeling to establish the
appropriate exclusion and behavioral
radii.
Shell indicates that the potential
disturbance of marine mammals during
operations will be minimized further
through the implementation of several
ship-based mitigation measures, which
include establishing and monitoring
safety and disturbance zones and
shutting down activities for a portion of
the open-water season.
Exclusion radii for marine mammals
around sound sources are customarily
defined as the distances within which
received sound levels are greater than or
equal to 180 dB re 1 mPa (rms) for
cetaceans and greater than or equal to
190 dB re 1 mPa (rms) for pinnipeds.
These exclusion criteria are based on an
assumption that sounds at lower
received levels will not injure these
animals or impair their hearing abilities,
but that higher received levels might
have such effects. It should be
understood that marine mammals inside
these exclusion zones will not
necessarily be injured, as the received
sound thresholds which determine
these zones were established prior to the
current understanding that significantly
higher levels of sound would be
required before injury could occur (see
Southall et al., 2007). With respect to
Level B harassment, NMFS’ practice has
been to apply the 120 dB re 1 mPa (rms)
received level threshold for underwater
continuous sound levels and the 160 dB
re 1 mPa (rms) received level threshold
for underwater impulsive sound levels.
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Shell proposes to monitor the various
radii in order to implement any
mitigation measures that may be
necessary. Initial radii for the sound
levels produced by the Kulluk and
Discoverer, the icebreaker, and the
airguns have been modeled.
Measurements taken by Greene (1987a)
indicated a broadband source level of
185.5 dB re 1 mPa rms for the Kulluk.
Measurements taken by Austin and
Warner (2010) indicated broadband
source levels between 177 and 185 dB
re 1 mPa rms for the Discoverer.
Measurements of the icebreaking supply
ship Robert Lemeur pushing and
breaking ice during exploration drilling
operations in the Beaufort Sea in 1986
resulted in an estimated broadband
source level of 193 dB re 1 mPa rms
(Greene, 1987a; Richardson et al.,
1995a). Based on a similar airgun array
used in the shallow waters of the
Beaufort Sea in 2008 by BP, the source
level of the airgun is predicted to be
241.4 dB re 1 mPa rms. Once on location
in Camden Bay, Shell will conduct
sound source verification (SSV) tests to
establish safety zones for the previously
mentioned sound level criteria. The
objectives of the SSV tests are: (1) To
quantify the absolute sound levels
produced by drilling and to monitor
their variations with time, distance, and
direction from the drillship; and (2) to
measure the sound levels produced by
vessels operating in support of drilling
operations, which include crew change
vessels, tugs, ice-management vessels,
and spill response vessels. The
methodology for conducting the SSV
tests is fully described in Shell’s 4MP
(see ADDRESSES). Please refer to that
document for further details. Upon
completion of the SSV tests, the new
radii will be established and monitored,
and mitigation measures will be
implemented in accordance with Shell’s
4MP.
Based on the best available scientific
literature, the source levels noted earlier
in this document and in Shell’s 4MP for
the drillships are not high enough to
cause a temporary reduction in hearing
sensitivity or permanent hearing
damage to marine mammals.
Consequently, Shell believes that
mitigation as described for seismic
activities including ramp ups, power
downs, and shutdowns should not be
necessary for drilling activities. NMFS
has also determined that these types of
mitigation measures, traditionally
required for seismic survey operations,
are not practical or necessary for this
proposed drilling activity. Seismic
airgun arrays can be turned on slowly
(i.e., only turning on one or some guns
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at a time) and powered down quickly.
The types of sound sources used for
exploratory drilling have different
properties and are unable to be
‘‘powered down’’ like airgun arrays or
shutdown instantaneously without
posing other risks to operational and
human safety. However, Shell plans to
use Protected Species Observers (PSOs,
formerly referred to as marine mammal
observers) onboard the drillship and the
various support vessels to monitor
marine mammals and their responses to
industry activities and to initiate
mitigation measures should in-field
measurements of the operations indicate
that such measures are necessary.
Additional details on the PSO program
are described in the ‘‘Proposed
Monitoring and Reporting’’ section
found later in this document. Also, for
the ZVSP activities, Shell proposes to
implement standard mitigation
procedures, such as ramp ups, power
downs, and shutdowns.
A ramp up of an airgun array provides
a gradual increase in sound levels and
involves a step-wise increase in the
number and total volume of airguns
firing until the full volume is achieved.
The purpose of a ramp up (or ‘‘soft
start’’) is to ‘‘warn’’ cetaceans and
pinnipeds in the vicinity of the airguns
and to provide the time for them to
leave the area and thus avoid any
potential injury or impairment of their
hearing abilities.
During the proposed ZVSP surveys,
Shell will ramp up the airgun arrays
slowly. Full ramp ups (i.e., from a cold
start when no airguns have been firing)
will begin by firing a single airgun in
the array. A full ramp up will not begin
until there has been a minimum of 30
minutes of observation of the 180-dB
and 190-dB exclusion zones for
cetaceans and pinnipeds, respectively,
by PSOs to assure that no marine
mammals are present. The entire
exclusion zone must be visible during
the 30-minutes lead-in to a full ramp up.
If the entire exclusion zone is not
visible, then ramp up from a cold start
cannot begin. If a marine mammal(s) is
sighted within the exclusion zone
during the 30-minutes watch prior to
ramp up, ramp up will be delayed until
the marine mammal(s) is sighted outside
of the applicable exclusion zone or the
animal(s) is not sighted for at least 15
minutes for small odontocetes and
pinnipeds or 30 minutes for baleen
whales.
A power down is the immediate
reduction in the number of operating
energy sources from all firing to some
smaller number. A shutdown is the
immediate cessation of firing of all
energy sources. The arrays will be
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immediately powered down whenever a
marine mammal is sighted approaching
close to or within the applicable
exclusion zone of the full arrays but is
outside the applicable exclusion zone of
the single source. If a marine mammal
is sighted within the applicable
exclusion zone of the single energy
source, the entire array will be
shutdown (i.e., no sources firing). The
same 15 and 30 minute sighting times
described for ramp up also apply to
starting the airguns again after either a
power down or shutdown.
Additional mitigation measures
proposed by Shell include: (1) Reducing
speed and/or changing course if a
marine mammal is sighted from a vessel
in transit (NMFS has proposed a
specific distance in the next subsection);
(2) resuming full activity (e.g., full
support vessel speed) only after marine
mammals are confirmed to be outside
the safety zone; (3) implementing flight
restrictions prohibiting aircraft from
flying below 1,500 ft (457 m) altitude
(except during takeoffs and landings or
in emergency situations); and (4)
keeping vessels anchored when
approached by marine mammals to
avoid the potential for avoidance
reactions by such animals.
Shell has also proposed additional
mitigation measures to ensure no
unmitigable adverse impact on the
availability of affected species or stocks
for taking for subsistence uses. Those
measures are described in the ‘‘Impact
on Availability of Affected Species or
Stock for Taking for Subsistence Uses’’
section found later in this document.
agreed to several mitigation measures in
order to reduce impacts during the
response efforts in the unlikely event of
an oil spill. Those measures are detailed
in the ‘‘Plan of Cooperation (POC)’’
section found later in this document.
The ODPCP is currently under review
by the Department of the Interior and
other agencies. A final decision on the
adequacy of the ODPCP is expected
prior to the start of Shell’s 2012 Beaufort
Sea drilling program.
NMFS has carefully evaluated Shell’s
proposed mitigation measures and
considered a range of other measures in
the context of ensuring that NMFS
prescribes the means of effecting the
least practicable impact on the affected
marine mammal species and stocks and
their habitat. Our evaluation of potential
measures included consideration of the
following factors in relation to one
another:
• The manner in which, and the
degree to which, the successful
implementation of the measure is
expected to minimize adverse impacts
to marine mammals;
• The proven or likely efficacy of the
specific measure to minimize adverse
impacts as planned; and
• The practicability of the measure
for applicant implementation.
Proposed measures to ensure
availability of such species or stock for
taking for certain subsistence uses is
discussed later in this document (see
‘‘Impact on Availability of Affected
Species or Stock for Taking for
Subsistence Uses’’ section).
emcdonald on DSK5VPTVN1PROD with NOTICES2
Additional Mitigation Measures
Proposed by NMFS
In addition to the mitigation measures
proposed in Shell’s IHA application,
NMFS proposes the following measures
(which apply to vessel operations) be
included in the IHA, if issued, in order
to ensure the least practicable impact on
the affected species or stocks. NMFS
proposes to require Shell to avoid
multiple changes in direction or speed
when within 300 yards (274 m) of
whales. Additionally, NMFS proposes
to require Shell to reduce speed in
inclement weather.
Oil Spill Contingency Plan
In accordance with BOEM
regulations, Shell has developed an Oil
Discharge Prevention and Contingency
Plan (ODPCP) for its Camden Bay
exploration drilling program. A copy of
this document can be found on the
Internet at: https://
www.alaska.boemre.gov/fo/ODPCPs/
2010_BF_rev1.pdf. Additionally, in its
Plan of Cooperation (POC), Shell has
Proposed Monitoring and Reporting
In order to issue an ITA for an
activity, Section 101(a)(5)(D) of the
MMPA states that NMFS must, where
applicable, set forth ‘‘requirements
pertaining to the monitoring and
reporting of such taking’’. The MMPA
implementing regulations at 50 CFR
216.104 (a)(13) indicate that requests for
ITAs must include the suggested means
of accomplishing the necessary
monitoring and reporting that will result
in increased knowledge of the species
and of the level of taking or impacts on
populations of marine mammals that are
expected to be present in the proposed
action area.
Monitoring Measures Proposed by Shell
The monitoring plan proposed by
Shell can be found in the 4MP
(Attachment C of Shell’s application;
see ADDRESSES). The plan may be
modified or supplemented based on
comments or new information received
from the public during the public
comment period or from the peer review
panel (see the ‘‘Monitoring Plan Peer
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69003
Review’’ section later in this document).
A summary of the primary components
of the plan follows. Later in this
document in the ‘‘Proposed Incidental
Harassment Authorization’’ section,
NMFS lays out the proposed monitoring
and reporting conditions, as well as the
mitigation conditions, for review, as
they would appear in the final IHA (if
issued).
(1) Vessel-Based PSOs
Vessel-based monitoring for marine
mammals will be done by trained PSOs
throughout the period of drilling
operations on all vessels. PSOs will
monitor the occurrence and behavior of
marine mammals near the drillship
during all daylight periods during
operation and during most daylight
periods when drilling operations are not
occurring. PSO duties will include
watching for and identifying marine
mammals, recording their numbers,
distances, and reactions to the drilling
operations. A sufficient number of PSOs
will be required onboard each vessel to
meet the following criteria: (1) 100%
monitoring coverage during all periods
of drilling operations in daylight; (2)
maximum of 4 consecutive hours on
watch per PSO; and (3) maximum of 12
hours of watch time per day per PSO.
Shell anticipates that there will be
provision for crew rotation at least every
3–6 weeks to avoid observer fatigue.
Biologist-observers will have previous
marine mammal observation experience,
and field crew leaders will be highly
experienced with previous vessel-based
marine mammal monitoring projects.
Resumes for those individuals will be
provided to NMFS so that NMFS can
review and accept their qualifications.
Inupiat observers will be experienced in
the region, familiar with the marine
mammals of the area, and complete a
NMFS approved observer training
course designed to familiarize
individuals with monitoring and data
collection procedures. A handbook,
adapted for the specifics of the planned
Shell drilling program, will be prepared
and distributed beforehand to all PSOs.
PSOs will watch for marine mammals
from the best available vantage point on
the drillship and support vessels. PSOs
will scan systematically with the
unaided eye and 7 × 50 reticle
binoculars, supplemented with 20 × 60
image-stabilized Zeiss Binoculars or
Fujinon 25 × 150 ‘‘Big-eye’’ binoculars
and night-vision equipment when
needed. Personnel on the bridge will
assist the PSOs in watching for marine
mammals. New or inexperienced PSOs
will be paired with an experienced PSO
or experienced field biologist so that the
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quality of marine mammal observations
and data recording is kept consistent.
Information to be recorded by PSOs
will include the same types of
information that were recorded during
recent monitoring programs associated
with industry activity in the Arctic (e.g.,
Ireland et al., 2009). The recording will
include information about the animal
sighted, environmental and operational
information, and the position of other
vessels in the vicinity of the sighting.
The ship’s position, speed of support
vessels, and water temperature, water
depth, sea state, ice cover, visibility, and
sun glare will also be recorded at the
start and end of each observation watch,
every 30 minutes during a watch, and
whenever there is a change in any of
those variables.
Distances to nearby marine mammals
will be estimated with binoculars
(Fujinon 7 × 50 binoculars) containing
a reticle to measure the vertical angle of
the line of sight to the animal relative
to the horizon. PSOs may use a laser
rangefinder to test and improve their
abilities for visually estimating
distances to objects in the water.
However, previous experience showed
that a Class 1 eye-safe device was not
able to measure distances to seals more
than about 230 ft (70 m) away. The
device was very useful in improving the
distance estimation abilities of the
observers at distances up to about 1968
ft (600 m)—the maximum range at
which the device could measure
distances to highly reflective objects
such as other vessels. Humans observing
objects of more-or-less known size via a
standard observation protocol, in this
case from a standard height above water,
quickly become able to estimate
distances within about ±20% when
given immediate feedback about actual
distances during training.
(2) Aerial Survey Program
Shell proposes to conduct an aerial
survey program in support of the
drilling program in the Beaufort Sea
during the summer and fall of 2012.
Shell’s objectives for this program
include:
(A) To advise operating vessels as to
the presence of marine mammals
(primarily cetaceans) in the general area
of operation;
(B) To collect and report data on the
distribution, numbers, movement and
behavior of marine mammals near the
drilling operations with special
emphasis on migrating bowhead whales;
(C) To support regulatory reporting
related to the estimation of impacts of
drilling operations on marine mammals;
(D) To investigate potential deflection
of bowhead whales during migration by
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documenting how far east of drilling
operations a deflection may occur and
where whales return to normal
migration patterns west of the
operations; and
(E) To monitor the accessibility of
bowhead whales to Inupiat hunters.
Aerial survey flights will begin 5 to 7
days before operations at the
exploration well sites get underway.
Surveys will be flown daily throughout
drilling operations, weather and flight
conditions permitting, and continue for
5 to 7 days after all activities at the site
have ended.
The aerial survey procedures will be
generally consistent with those used
during earlier industry studies (Davis et
al., 1985; Johnson et al., 1986; Evans et
al., 1987; Miller et al., 1997, 1998, 1999,
2002; Patterson, 2007). This will
facilitate comparison and pooling of
data where appropriate. However, the
specific survey grids will be tailored to
Shell’s operations. During the 2012
drilling season, Shell will coordinate
and cooperate with the aerial surveys
conducted by BOEMRE/NMFS and any
other groups conducting surveys in the
same region.
For marine mammal monitoring
flights, aircraft will be flown at
approximately 120 knots (138 mph)
ground speed and usually at an altitude
of 1,000 ft (305 m). Surveys in the
Beaufort Sea are directed at bowhead
whales, and an altitude of 900–1,000 ft
(274–305 m) is the lowest survey
altitude that can normally be flown
without concern about potential aircraft
disturbance. Aerial surveys at an
altitude of 1,000 ft (305 m) do not
provide much information about seals
but are suitable for both bowhead and
beluga whales. The need for a 900–
1000+ (374–305 m) ft cloud ceiling will
limit the dates and times when surveys
can be flown.
Two primary observers will be seated
at bubble windows on either side of the
aircraft, and a third observer will
observe part time and record data the
rest of the time. All observers need
bubble windows to facilitate downward
viewing. For each marine mammal
sighting, the observer will dictate the
species, number, size/age/sex class
when determinable, activity, heading,
swimming speed category (if traveling),
sighting cue, ice conditions (type and
percentage), and inclinometer reading to
the marine mammal into a digital
recorder. The inclinometer reading will
be taken when the animal’s location is
90° to the side of the aircraft track,
allowing calculation of lateral distance
from the aircraft trackline.
Transect information, sighting data
and environmental data will be entered
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into a GPS-linked computer by the third
observer and simultaneously recorded
on digital voice recorders for backup
and validation. At the start of each
transect, the observer recording data
will record the transect start time and
position, ceiling height (ft), cloud cover
(in 10ths), wind speed (knots), wind
direction (°T) and outside air
temperature (°C). In addition, each
observer will record the time, visibility
(subjectively classified as excellent,
good, moderately impaired, seriously
impaired or impossible), sea state
(Beaufort wind force), ice cover (in
10ths) and sun glare (none, moderate,
severe) at the start and end of each
transect, and at 2 min intervals along
the transect. The data logger will
automatically record time and aircraft
position (latitude and longitude) for
sightings and transect waypoints, and at
pre-selected intervals along the
transects. Ice observations during aerial
surveys will be recorded and satellite
imagery may be used, where available,
during post-season analysis to
determine ice conditions adjacent to the
survey area. These are standard
practices for surveys of this type and are
necessary in order to interpret factors
responsible for variations in sighting
rates.
During the late summer and fall, the
bowhead whale is the primary species
of concern, but belugas and gray whales
are also present. To address concerns
regarding deflection of bowheads at
greater distances, the survey pattern
around drilling operations has been
designed to document whale
distribution from about 25 mi (40 km)
east of the drilling operations to about
37 mi (60 km) west of operations (see
Figure 1 of Shell’s 4MP).
Bowhead whale movements during
the late summer/autumn are generally
from east to west, and transects should
be designed to intercept rather than
parallel whale movements. The transect
lines in the grid will be oriented northsouth, equally spaced at 5 mi (8 km) and
randomly shifted in the east-west
direction for each survey by no more
than the transect spacing. The survey
grid will total about 808 mi (1,300 km)
in length, requiring approximately 6
hours to survey at a speed of 120 knots
(138 mph), plus ferry time. Exact
lengths and durations will vary
somewhat depending on the position of
the drilling operation and thus of the
grid, the sequence in which lines are
flown (often affected by weather), and
the number of refueling/rest stops.
Weather permitting, transects making
up the grid in the Beaufort Sea will be
flown in sequence from west to east.
This decreases difficulties associated
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with double counting of whales that are
(predominantly) migrating westward.
The survey sequence around the drilling
operation is designed to monitor the
distribution of whales around the
drilling operation.
Shell’s 4MP provides an explanation
about the importance of statistical
power in the sampling design and how
the aerial survey data will be analyzed.
Please refer to the 4MP for that
information (see ADDRESSES).
(3) Acoustic Monitoring
Shell will conduct SSV tests to
establish the isopleths for the applicable
exclusion radii, mostly to be employed
during the ZVSP surveys. In addition,
Shell proposes to use acoustic recorders
to study bowhead deflections.
Drilling Sound Measurements—
Drilling sounds are expected to vary
significantly with time due to variations
in the level of operations and the
different types of equipment used at
different times onboard the Kulluk or
Discoverer. The objectives of these
measurements are:
(1) To quantify the absolute sound
levels produced by drilling and to
monitor their variations with time,
distance, and direction from the drilling
vessel;
(2) to measure the sound levels
produced by vessels operating in
support of exploration drilling
operations. These vessels will include
crew change vessels, tugs, icebreakers,
and OSRVs; and
(3) to measure the sound levels
produced by an end-of-hole ZVSP
survey, using a stationary sound source.
The Kulluk or Discoverer, support
vessels, and ZVSP sound measurements
will be performed using one of two
methods, both of which involve realtime monitoring. The first method
would involve use of bottom-founded
hydrophones cabled back to the Kulluk
or Discoverer (see Figure 2 in Shell’s
4MP). These hydrophones would be
positioned between 1,640 ft (500 m) and
3,281 ft (1,000 m) from the Kulluk or
Discoverer, depending on the final
positions of the anchors used to hold
the Kulluk or Discoverer in place.
Hydrophone cables would be fed to realtime digitization systems onboard. In
addition to the cabled system, a separate
set of bottom-founded hydrophones (see
Figure 3 in Shell’s 4MP) may be
deployed at various distances from the
exploration drilling operation for
storage of acoustic data to be retrieved
and processed at a later date.
As an alternative to the cabled
hydrophone system (and possible
inclusion of separate bottom-founded
hydrophones), the second (or
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alternative) monitoring method would
involve a radio buoy approach
deploying four sparbuoys 4–5 mi (6–8
km) from the Kulluk or Discoverer.
Additional hydrophones may be
deployed closer to the Kulluk or
Discoverer, if necessary, to better
determine sound source levels.
Monitoring personnel and recording/
receiving equipment would be onboard
one of the support vessels with 24-hr
monitoring capacity. The system would
allow for collection and processing of
real-time data similar to that provided
by the cabled system but from a wider
range of locations.
Sound level monitoring with either
method will occur on a continuous basis
throughout all exploration drilling
activities. Both types of systems will be
set to record digital acoustic data at a
sample rate of 32 kHz, providing useful
acoustic bandwidth to at least 15 kHz.
These systems are capable of measuring
absolute broadband sound levels
between 90 and 180 dB re 1 mPa. The
long duration recordings will capture
many different operations performed
from the drillship. Retrieval of these
systems will occur following
completion of the exploration drilling
activities.
These recorders will provide a
capability to examine sound levels
produced by different drilling activities
and practices. This system will not have
the capability to locate calling marine
mammals and will indicate only relative
proximity. The system will be evaluated
during operations for its potential to
improve PSO observations through
notification of PSOs on vessel and
aircraft of high levels of call detections
and their general locations.
The deployment of drilling sound
monitoring equipment will occur as
soon as possible once the drillship is on
site. Activity logs of exploration drilling
operations and nearby vessel activities
will be maintained to correlate with
these acoustic measurements. This
equipment will also be used to take
measurements of the support vessels
and airguns. Additional details can be
found in Shell’s 4MP.
Shell plans to deploy arrays of
acoustic recorders in the Beaufort Sea in
2012, similar to that which was done in
2007 through 2010 using Directional
Autonomous Seafloor Acoustic
Recorders (DASARs). These directional
acoustic systems permit localization of
bowhead whale and other marine
mammal vocalizations. The purpose of
the array will be to further understand,
define, and document sound
characteristics and propagation
resulting from vessel-based drilling
operations that may have the potential
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69005
to cause deflections of bowhead whales
from their migratory pathway. Of
particular interest will be the east-west
extent of deflection, if any (i.e., how far
east of a sound source do bowheads
begin to deflect and how far to the west
beyond the sound source does
deflection persist). Of additional interest
will be the extent of offshore (or towards
shore) deflection that might occur.
In previous work around seismic and
drillship operations in the Alaskan
Beaufort Sea, the primary method for
studying this question has been aerial
surveys. Acoustic localization methods
will provide supplementary information
for addressing the whale deflection
question. Compared to aerial surveys,
acoustic methods have the advantage of
providing a vastly larger number of
whale detections, and can operate day
or night, independent of visibility, and
to some degree independent of ice
conditions and sea state—all of which
prevent or impair aerial surveys.
However, acoustic methods depend on
the animals to call, and to some extent,
assume that calling rate is unaffected by
exposure to industrial noise. Bowheads
call frequently in fall, but there is some
evidence that their calling rate may be
reduced upon exposure to industrial
sounds, complicating interpretation.
The combined use of acoustic and aerial
survey methods will provide a suite of
information that should be useful in
assessing the potential effects of drilling
operations on migrating bowhead
whales.
Using passive acoustics with
directional autonomous recorders, the
locations of calling whales will be
observed for a 6- to 10-week continuous
monitoring period at five coastal sites
(subject to favorable ice and weather
conditions). Essential to achieving this
objective is the continuous
measurement of sound levels near the
drillship.
Shell plans to conduct the whale
migration monitoring using the passive
acoustics techniques developed and
used successfully since 2001 for
monitoring the migration past Northstar
production island northwest of Prudhoe
Bay and from Kaktovik to Harrison Bay
during the 2007 through 2011
migrations. Those techniques involve
using DASARs to measure the arrival
angles of bowhead calls at known
locations, then triangulating to locate
the calling whale.
In attempting to assess the responses
of bowhead whales to the planned
industrial operations, it will be essential
to monitor whale locations at sites both
near and far from industry activities.
Shell plans to monitor at five sites along
the Alaskan Beaufort coast as shown in
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Figure 9 of Shell’s 4MP. The easternmost site (#5 in Figure 9 of the 4MP)
will be just east of Kaktovik
(approximately 62 mi [100 km] west of
the Sivulliq drilling area) and the
western-most site (#1 in Figure 10 of the
4MP) will be in the vicinity of Harrison
Bay (approximately 109 mi [175 km]
west of Sivulliq) . Site 2 will be located
west of Prudhoe Bay (approximately 68
mi [110 km] west of Sivulliq). Site 4 will
be approximately 6.2 mi (10 km) east of
the Sivulliq drilling area, and site 3 will
be approximately 15.5 mi (25 km) west
of Sivulliq. These five sites will provide
information on possible migration
deflection well in advance of whales
encountering an industry operation and
on ‘‘recovery’’ after passing such
operations should a deflection occur.
The proposed geometry of DASARs at
each site is comprised of seven DASARs
oriented in a north-south pattern so that
five equilateral triangles with 4.3-mi (7km) element spacing is achieved.
DASARs will be installed at planned
locations using a GPS. However, each
DASAR’s orientation once it settles on
the bottom is unknown and must be
determined to know how to reference
the call angles measured to the whales.
Also, the internal clocks used to sample
the acoustic data typically drift slightly,
but linearly, by an amount up to a few
seconds after 6 weeks of autonomous
operation. Knowing the time differences
within a second or two between
DASARs is essential for identifying
identical whale calls received on two or
more DASARs. Bowhead migration
begins in late August with the whales
moving westward from their feeding
sites in the Canadian Beaufort Sea. It
continues through September and well
into October. However, because of the
drilling schedule, Shell will attempt to
install the 21 DASARs at three sites (3,
4 and 5) in early August. The remaining
14 DASARs will be installed at sites 1
and 2 in late August. Thus, Shell
proposes to be monitoring for whale
calls from before August 15 until
sometime before October 15.
At the end of the season, the fourth
DASAR in each array will be
refurbished, recalibrated, and
redeployed to collect data through the
winter. The other DASARs in the arrays
will be recovered. The redeployed
DASARs will be programmed to record
35 min every 3 hours with a disk
capacity of 10 months at that recording
rate. This should be ample space to
allow over-wintering from
approximately mid-October 2012,
through mid-July 2013.
Additional details on methodology
and data analysis for the three types of
monitoring described here (i.e., vessel-
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based, aerial, and acoustic) can be found
in the 4MP in Shell’s application (see
ADDRESSES).
Monitoring Plan Peer Review
The MMPA requires that monitoring
plans be independently peer reviewed
‘‘where the proposed activity may affect
the availability of a species or stock for
taking for subsistence uses’’ (16 U.S.C.
1371(a)(5)(D)(ii)(III)). Regarding this
requirement, NMFS’ implementing
regulations state, ‘‘Upon receipt of a
complete monitoring plan, and at its
discretion, [NMFS] will either submit
the plan to members of a peer review
panel for review or within 60 days of
receipt of the proposed monitoring plan,
schedule a workshop to review the
plan’’ (50 CFR 216.108(d)).
NMFS has established an
independent peer review panel to
review Shell’s 4MP for Exploration
Drilling of Selected Lease Areas in the
Alaskan Beaufort Sea in 2012. The panel
is scheduled to meet in early January
2012, and will provide comments to
NMFS shortly after they meet. After
completion of the peer review, NMFS
will consider all recommendations
made by the panel, incorporate
appropriate changes into the monitoring
requirements of the IHA (if issued), and
publish the panel’s findings and
recommendations in the final IHA
notice of issuance or denial document.
Reporting Measures
(1) SSV Report
A report on the preliminary results of
the acoustic verification measurements,
including as a minimum the measured
190-, 180-, 160-, and 120-dB (rms) radii
of the drillship, support vessels, and
airgun array will be submitted within
120 hr after collection and analysis of
those measurements at the start of the
field season or in the case of the airgun
once that part of the program is
implemented. This report will specify
the distances of the exclusion zones that
were adopted for the exploratory
drilling program. Prior to completion of
these measurements, Shell will use the
radii outlined in their application and
elsewhere in this document.
(2) Technical Reports
The results of Shell’s 2012 Camden
Bay exploratory drilling monitoring
program (i.e., vessel-based, aerial, and
acoustic) will be presented in the ‘‘90day’’ and Final Technical reports, as
required by NMFS under the proposed
IHA. Shell proposes that the Technical
Reports will include: (1) Summaries of
monitoring effort (e.g., total hours, total
distances, and marine mammal
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distribution through study period,
accounting for sea state and other
factors affecting visibility and
detectability of marine mammals); (2)
analyses of the effects of various factors
influencing detectability of marine
mammals (e.g., sea state, number of
observers, and fog/glare); (3) species
composition, occurrence, and
distribution of marine mammal
sightings, including date, water depth,
numbers, age/size/gender categories (if
determinable), group sizes, and ice
cover; (4) sighting rates of marine
mammals during periods with and
without drilling activities (and other
variables that could affect detectability);
(5) initial sighting distances versus
drilling state; (6) closest point of
approach versus drilling state; (7)
observed behaviors and types of
movements versus drilling state; (8)
numbers of sightings/individuals seen
versus drilling state; (9) distribution
around the drillship and support vessels
versus drilling state; and (10) estimates
of take by harassment. This information
will be reported for both the vesselbased and aerial monitoring.
Analysis of all acoustic data will be
prioritized to address the primary
questions, which are to: (a) Determine
when, where, and what species of
animals are acoustically detected on
each DASAR; (b) analyze data as a
whole to determine offshore bowhead
distributions as a function of time; (c)
quantify spatial and temporal variability
in the ambient noise; and (d) measure
received levels of drillship activities.
The bowhead detection data will be
used to develop spatial and temporal
animal distributions. Statistical analyses
will be used to test for changes in
animal detections and distributions as a
function of different variables (e.g., time
of day, time of season, environmental
conditions, ambient noise, vessel type,
operation conditions).
The initial technical report is due to
NMFS within 90 days of the completion
of Shell’s Beaufort Sea exploratory
drilling program. The ‘‘90-day’’ report
will be subject to review and comment
by NMFS. Any recommendations made
by NMFS must be addressed in the final
report prior to acceptance by NMFS.
(3) Comprehensive Report
Following the 2012 drilling season, a
comprehensive report describing the
vessel-based, aerial, and acoustic
monitoring programs will be prepared.
The comprehensive report will describe
the methods, results, conclusions and
limitations of each of the individual
data sets in detail. The report will also
integrate (to the extent possible) the
studies into a broad based assessment of
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industry activities, and other activities
that occur in the Beaufort and/or
Chukchi seas, and their impacts on
marine mammals during 2012. The
report will help to establish long-term
data sets that can assist with the
evaluation of changes in the Chukchi
and Beaufort Sea ecosystems. The report
will attempt to provide a regional
synthesis of available data on industry
activity in offshore areas of northern
Alaska that may influence marine
mammal density, distribution and
behavior.
emcdonald on DSK5VPTVN1PROD with NOTICES2
(4) Notification of Injured or Dead
Marine Mammals
Shell will be required to notify NMFS’
Office of Protected Resources and
NMFS’ Stranding Network of any
sighting of an injured or dead marine
mammal. Based on different
circumstances, Shell may or may not be
required to stop operations upon such a
sighting. Shell will provide NMFS with
the species or description of the
animal(s), the condition of the animal(s)
(including carcass condition if the
animal is dead), location, time of first
discovery, observed behaviors (if alive),
and photo or video (if available). The
specific language for what Shell must do
upon sighting a dead or injured marine
mammal can be found in the ‘‘Proposed
Incidental Harassment Authorization’’
section of this document.
Estimated Take by Incidental
Harassment
Except with respect to certain
activities not pertinent here, the MMPA
defines ‘‘harassment’’ as: any act of
pursuit, torment, or annoyance which (i)
Has the potential to injure a marine
mammal or marine mammal stock in the
wild [Level A harassment]; or (ii) has
the potential to disturb a marine
mammal or marine mammal stock in the
wild by causing disruption of behavioral
patterns, including, but not limited to,
migration, breathing, nursing, breeding,
feeding, or sheltering [Level B
harassment]. Only take by Level B
behavioral harassment is anticipated as
a result of the proposed drilling
program. Noise propagation from the
drillship, associated support vessels
(including during icebreaking if
needed), and the airgun array are
expected to harass, through behavioral
disturbance, affected marine mammals
species or stocks. Additional
disturbance to marine mammals may
result from aircraft overflights and
visual disturbance of the drillship or
support vessels. However, based on the
flight paths and altitude, impacts from
aircraft operations are anticipated to be
localized and minimal in nature.
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The full suite of potential impacts to
marine mammals from various
industrial activities was described in
detail in the ‘‘Potential Effects of the
Specified Activity on Marine Mammals’’
section found earlier in this document.
The potential effects of sound from the
proposed exploratory drilling program
might include one or more of the
following: tolerance; masking of natural
sounds; behavioral disturbance; nonauditory physical effects; and, at least in
theory, temporary or permanent hearing
impairment (Richardson et al., 1995a).
As discussed earlier in this document,
NMFS estimates that Shell’s activities
will most likely result in behavioral
disturbance, including avoidance of the
ensonified area or changes in speed,
direction, and/or diving profile of one or
more marine mammals. For reasons
discussed previously in this document,
hearing impairment (TTS and PTS) is
highly unlikely to occur based on the
fact that most of the equipment to be
used during Shell’s proposed drilling
program does not have source levels
high enough to elicit even mild TTS
and/or the fact that certain species are
expected to avoid the ensonified areas
close to the operations. Additionally,
non-auditory physiological effects are
anticipated to be minor, if any would
occur at all. Finally, based on the
proposed mitigation and monitoring
measures described earlier in this
document and the fact that the backpropagated source levels for the
drillships proposed to be used are
estimated to be between 177 and 185 dB
re 1 mPa (rms), no injury or mortality of
marine mammals is anticipated as a
result of Shell’s proposed exploratory
drilling program.
For continuous sounds, such as those
produced by drilling operations and
during icebreaking activities, NMFS
uses a received level of 120-dB (rms) to
indicate the onset of Level B
harassment. For impulsive sounds, such
as those produced by the airgun array
during the ZVSP surveys, NMFS uses a
received level of 160-dB (rms) to
indicate the onset of Level B
harassment. Shell provided calculations
for the 120-dB isopleths produced by
both the Kulluk and the Discoverer and
by the icebreaker during icebreaking
activities and then used those isopleths
to estimate takes by harassment.
Additionally, Shell provided
calculations for the 160-dB isopleth
produced by the airgun array and then
used that isopleth to estimate takes by
harassment. Shell provides a full
description of the methodology used to
estimate takes by harassment in its IHA
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application (see ADDRESSES), which is
also provided in the following sections.
Shell has requested authorization to
take bowhead, gray, and beluga whales,
harbor porpoise, and ringed, spotted,
bearded, and ribbon seals incidental to
exploration drilling, ice management/
icebreaking, and ZVSP activities.
Additionally, Shell provided exposure
estimates and requested takes of
narwhal. However, as stated previously
in this document, sightings of this
species are rare, and the likelihood of
occurrence of narwhals in the proposed
drilling area is minimal. Therefore,
NMFS has not proposed to authorize
take for narwhals.
Basis for Estimating ‘‘Take by
Harassment’’
‘‘Take by Harassment’’ is described in
this section and was calculated in
Shell’s application by multiplying the
expected densities of marine mammals
that may occur near the exploratory
drilling operations by the area of water
likely to be exposed to continuous, nonpulse sounds ≥120 dB re 1 mPa (rms)
during drillship operations or
icebreaking activities and impulse
sounds ≥160 dB re 1 mPa (rms) created
by seismic airguns during ZVSP
activities. The single exception to this
method is for the estimation of
exposures of bowhead whales during
the fall migration where more detailed
data were available, allowing an
alternate approach, described below, to
be used. NMFS evaluated and critiqued
the methods provided in Shell’s
application and determined that they
were appropriate. This section describes
the estimated densities of marine
mammals that may occur in the project
area. The area of water that may be
ensonified to the above sound levels is
described further in the ‘‘Estimated
Area Exposed to Sounds >120 dB or
>160 dB re 1 mPa rms’’ subsection.
Marine mammal densities near the
operation are likely to vary by season
and habitat. However, sufficient
published data allowing the estimation
of separate densities during summer
(July and August) and fall (September
and October) are only available for
beluga and bowhead whales. As noted
above, exposures of bowhead whales
during the fall are not calculated using
densities (see below). Therefore,
summer and fall densities have been
estimated for beluga whales, and a
summer density has been estimated for
bowhead whales. Densities of all other
species have been estimated to represent
the duration of both seasons.
Marine mammal densities are also
likely to vary by habitat type. In the
Alaskan Beaufort Sea, where the
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continental shelf break is relatively
close to shore, marine mammal habitat
is often defined by water depth.
Bowhead and beluga occurrence within
nearshore (0–131 ft, 0–40 m), outer
continental shelf (131–656 ft, 40–200
m), slope (656–6,562 ft, 200–2000 m),
basin (>6,562 ft, 2000 m), or similarly
defined habitats have been described
previously (Moore et al., 2000;
Richardson and Thomson, 2002). The
presence of most other species has
generally only been described relative to
the entire continental shelf zone (0–656
ft, 0–200 m) or beyond. Sounds
produced by the drilling vessel and the
seismic airguns are expected to drop
below 120 dB and 160 dB, respectively,
within the nearshore zone (0–131 ft, 0–
40 m, water depth) while sounds
produced by ice management/
icebreaking activities, if they are
necessary, are likely to also be present
in the outer continental shelf (131–656
ft, 40–200 m).
In addition to water depth, densities
of marine mammals are likely to vary
with the presence or absence of sea ice
(see later for descriptions by species). At
times during either summer or fall,
pack-ice may be present in some of the
area around the drilling operation.
However, the retreat of sea ice in the
Alaskan Beaufort Sea has been
substantial in recent years, so Shell has
assumed that only 33% of the area
exposed to sounds ≥120 dB or ≥160 dB
by the proposed activities will be in ice
margin habitat. Therefore, ice-margin
densities of marine mammals in both
seasons have been multiplied by 33% of
the area exposed to sounds by the
drilling vessel and ZVSP activities,
while open-water (nearshore) densities
have been multiplied by the remaining
67% of the area.
To provide some allowance for the
uncertainties, ‘‘maximum estimates’’ as
well as ‘‘average estimates’’ of the
numbers of marine mammals potentially
affected have been derived. For a few
marine mammal species, several density
estimates were available, and in those
cases the mean and maximum estimates
were determined from the survey data.
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In other cases, no applicable estimate
(or perhaps a single estimate) was
available, so correction factors were
used to arrive at ‘‘average’’ and
‘‘maximum’’ estimates. These are
described in detail in the following
subsections. NMFS has determined that
the average density data of marine
mammal populations will be used to
calculate estimated take numbers
because these numbers are based on
surveys and monitoring of marine
mammals in the vicinity of the proposed
project area. Table 6–12 in Shell’s
application indicates that the ‘‘average
estimate’’ for gray whales, harbor
porpoise, and ribbon seal is zero.
Therefore, to account for the fact that
these species listed as being potentially
taken by harassment in this document
may occur in Shell’s proposed drilling
sites during active operations, NMFS
either used the ‘‘maximum estimates’’ or
made an estimate based on typical
group size for a particular species.
Detectability bias, quantified in part
by f(0), is associated with diminishing
sightability with increasing lateral
distance from the trackline. Availability
bias [g(0)] refers to the fact that there is
<100% probability of sighting an animal
that is present along the survey
trackline. Some sources of densities
used below included these correction
factors in their reported densities. In
other cases the best available correction
factors were applied to reported results
when they had not been included in the
reported data (e.g., Moore et al., 2000).
(1) Cetaceans
As noted above, the densities of
beluga and bowhead whales present in
the Beaufort Sea are expected to vary by
season and location. During the early
and mid-summer, most belugas and
bowheads are found in the Canadian
Beaufort Sea and Amundsen Gulf or
adjacent areas. Low numbers are found
in the eastern Alaskan Beaufort Sea.
Belugas begin to move across the
Alaskan Beaufort Sea in August, and
bowheads do so toward the end of
August.
Beluga Whales—Summer beluga
density estimates were derived from
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survey data in Moore et al. (2000).
During the summer, beluga whales are
most likely to be encountered in
offshore waters of the eastern Alaskan
Beaufort Sea or areas with pack ice. The
summer beluga whale nearshore density
(Table 6–1 in Shell’s application and
Table 2 here) was based on 7,447 mi
(11,985 km) of on-transect effort and
nine associated sightings that occurred
in water ≤164 ft (50 m) in Moore et al.
(2000). A mean group size of 1.63, a f(0)
value of 2.841, and a g(0) value of 0.58
from Harwood et al. (1996) were also
used in the calculation. Moore et al.
(2000) found that belugas were equally
likely to occur in heavy ice conditions
as open-water or very light ice
conditions in summer in the Beaufort
Sea, so the same density was used for
both nearshore and ice-margin estimates
(Table 6–1 in Shell’s application and
Table 2 here). The fall beluga whale
nearshore density was calculated by
using 8,808 mi (14,175 km) of ontransect effort and seven associated
sightings that occurred in Bowhead
Whale Aerial Survey Program (BWASP)
survey blocks 1, 4, and 5 in 2006–2009
(Clarke et al., 2011a,b; pers. comm. J.
Clarke and M. Ferguson, 2011). A mean
group size of 2.9 (CV = 1.9), calculated
from those 7 reported sightings, along
with the same f(0) and g(0) values from
Harwood et al. (1996), were used in the
density calculation. Moore et al. (2000)
found that during the fall in the
Beaufort Sea belugas occurred in
moderate to heavy ice at higher rates
than in light ice, so ice-margin densities
were estimated to be twice the
nearshore densities. Based on the CV of
group size maximum estimates in both
season and habitats were estimated as
four times the average estimates. ‘‘Takes
by harassment’’ of beluga whales during
the fall in the Beaufort Sea were not
calculated in the same manner as
described for bowhead whales because
of the relatively lower expected
densities of beluga whales in nearshore
habitat near the exploration drilling
program and the lack of detailed data on
the likely timing and rate of migration
through the area.
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Bowhead Whales—Eastward
migrating bowhead whales were
recorded during industry aerial surveys
of the continental shelf near Camden
Bay in 2008 until July 12 (Christie et al.,
2010). No bowhead sightings were
recorded again, despite continued
flights until August 19. Aerial surveys
by industry operators did not begin
until late August of 2006 and 2007, but
in both years bowheads were also
recorded in the region before the end of
August (Lyons et al., 2009). The late
August sightings were likely of
bowheads beginning their fall migration,
so the densities calculated from those
surveys were not used to estimate
summer densities in this region. The
three surveys in July 2008, resulted in
density estimates of 0.0038, 0.0277, and
0.0072 bowhead whales/mi2 (0.0099,
0.0717, and 0.0186 whales/km2),
respectively (Christie et al., 2010). The
estimate of 0.0072 bowhead whales/mi2
(0.0186 whales/km2) was used as the
average summer nearshore density, and
the estimate of 0.0277 bowhead whales/
mi2 (0.0717 whales/km2) was used as
the maximum (see Table 6–1 in Shell’s
application and Table 2 here). Sea ice
was not present during these surveys.
Moore et al. (2000) reported that
bowhead whales in the Alaskan
Beaufort Sea were distributed uniformly
relative to sea ice, so the same nearshore
densities were used for ice-margin
habitat.
During the fall, most bowhead whales
will be migrating west past the
exploration drilling program, so it is less
accurate to assume that the number of
individuals present in the area from one
day to the next will be static. However,
feeding, resting, and milling behaviors
are not entirely uncommon at this time
and location. In order to incorporate the
movement of whales past the planned
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operations, and because the necessary
data are available, Shell developed an
alternate method of calculating the
number of individual bowheads
exposed to sounds produced by the
exploration drilling program from the
method used to calculate the number of
exposures for bowheads in summer and
the other marine mammal species for
the entire season. The method is
founded on estimates of the proportion
of the population that would pass
within the ≥120 dB or ≥160 dB zones on
a given day in the fall during the
exploration drilling or ZVSP surveys.
Based on data in Richardson and
Thomson (2002), the number of whales
expected to pass each day after
conclusion of the bowhead subsistence
hunts (assumed to be September 15 for
purposes of these calculations) was
estimated as a proportion of the
estimated 2012 bowhead whale
population. The number of whales
passing each day was based on the
10-day moving average presented by
Richardson and Thomson (2002;
Appendix 9.1). Richardson and
Thomson (2002) also calculated the
proportion of animals within water
depth bins (<66 ft [20 m], 66–131 ft [20–
40 m], 131–656 ft [40–200 m], >656 ft
[200 m]). Using this information, Shell
multiplied the total number of whales
expected to pass the exploration drilling
program each day by the proportion of
whales that would be in each depth
category to estimate how many
individuals would be within each depth
bin on a given day. The proportion of
each depth bin falling within the ≥120
dB zone was then multiplied by the
number of whales within the respective
bins to estimate the total number of
individuals that would be exposed on
each day of exploration drilling or
program activity, if they showed no
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69009
avoidance of the operations. Based on
the fact that most bowhead whales will
be engaged in the fall migration at this
time, NMFS determined that this
method was appropriate for estimating
the number of individual bowhead
whales that may be exposed to drilling
sounds after September 15.
Exploration drilling will be
suspended on August 25 prior to the
start of the bowhead subsistence hunts
at Kaktovik and Nuiqsut (Cross Island)
and will be resumed when the hunts are
concluded. After the completion of the
subsistence hunts (for purposes of these
calculations this was assumed to be
September 15), exploration drilling
activity would resume and continue as
late as October 31. Therefore, the daily
calculations described above were
repeated for all days from September 15
to October 31, and the results were
summed to estimate the total number of
bowhead whales that might be exposed
to either continuous sounds ≥120 dB
rms from exploration drilling or
icebreaking activities and impulsive
sounds ≥160 dB rms from ZVSP surveys
during the migration period in the
Beaufort Sea.
The 2012 bowhead whale population
size would be approximately 15,232
individuals based on a 2001 population
of 10,545 (Zeh and Punt, 2005) and a
continued annual growth rate of 3.4%
(Allen and Angliss, 2011). The
estimated population size of 15,232 was
therefore used by Shell as the
foundation of the calculations of
exposures during the migration period.
The estimate of the proportion of the
population passing the exploration
drilling operation on each day is based
on a 10-day moving average, and the
calculations have been made over a
substantial length of time, so it would
take significant variation in the timing
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or nature of the migration to
substantially deviate from the estimate
calculated in this manner. Nonetheless,
if a large portion of the migration were
to be delayed or otherwise distributed
closer to the area of the exploration
drilling operations, more than the
estimated number of whales could be
exposed. Therefore, a maximum
estimate of 2 times the average estimate
has been calculated, although it is
unlikely that a substantial enough
variation in the migration timing and
location would cause such an increase
in the number of whales present near
the operations. If the hunts at Kaktovik
and Cross Island (Nuiqsut) end later
than September 15, then the number of
exposures calculated by Shell would be
an overestimate, as Shell would still
need to end active operations by
October 31 because of the increased
chance of additional ice covering the
drill sites later in the season.
Gray Whales—For gray whales,
densities are likely to vary somewhat by
season, but differences are not expected
to be great enough to require estimation
of separate densities for the two seasons.
Gray whales are not expected to be
present in large numbers in the Beaufort
Sea during the fall but small numbers
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may be encountered during the summer.
They are most likely to be present in
nearshore waters. Since this species
occurs infrequently in the Beaufort Sea,
little to no data are available for the
calculation of densities. Minimal
densities have therefore been assigned
for calculation purpose and to allow for
chance encounters (see Table 6–2 in
Shell’s application and Table 3 here).
This table includes density estimates for
additional cetacean species; however,
for reasons mentioned earlier in this
document are not considered for
authorization by NMFS.
(2) Pinnipeds
Extensive surveys of ringed and
bearded seals have been conducted in
the Beaufort Sea, but most surveys have
been conducted over the landfast ice,
and few seal surveys have occurred in
open-water or in the pack ice. Kingsley
(1986) conducted ringed seal surveys of
the offshore pack ice in the central and
eastern Beaufort Sea during late spring
(late June). These surveys provide the
most relevant information on densities
of ringed seals in the ice margin zone of
the Beaufort Sea. The density estimate
in Kingsley (1986) was used as the
average density of ringed seals that may
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be encountered in the ice margin (Table
6–2 in Shell’s application and Table 3
here). The average ringed seal density in
the nearshore zone of the Alaskan
Beaufort Sea was estimated from results
of ship-based surveys at times without
seismic operations reported by Moulton
and Lawson (2002; Table 6–2 in Shell’s
application and Table 3 here).
Densities of bearded seals were
estimated by multiplying the ringed seal
densities by 0.051 based on the
proportion of bearded seals to ringed
seals reported in Stirling et al. (1982;
Table 6–2 in Shell’s application and
Table 3 here). Spotted seal densities in
the nearshore zone were estimated by
summing the ringed seal and bearded
seal densities and multiplying the result
by 0.015 based on the proportion of
spotted seals to ringed plus bearded
seals reported in Moulton and Lawson
(2002; Table 6–2 in Shell’s application
and Table 3 here). Minimal values were
assigned as densities in the ice-margin
zones (Table 6–2 in Shell’s application
and Table 3 here). This table also
includes density estimates for ribbon
seals; however, due to their rarity in the
area, this species is not considered for
authorization by NMFS.
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Federal Register / Vol. 76, No. 215 / Monday, November 7, 2011 / Notices
69011
120 dB rms at approximately 8.25 mi
(13.27 km) from the Kulluk (JASCO
2007; see Table 6–3 in Shell’s
application and Table 4 here). As a
precautionary approach, Shell
multiplied that distance by 1.5, and the
resulting radius of 12.37 mi (19.91 km)
was used to estimate the total area that
may be exposed to continuous sounds
≥120 dB re 1 mPa rms by the Kulluk at
each drill site. Assuming one well site
will be drilled in each season (summer
and fall), the total area of water
ensonified to ≥120 dB rms in each
season would be 481 mi2 (1,245 km2).
Sounds from the Discoverer have not
previously been measured in the Arctic.
However, measurements of sounds
produced by the Discoverer were made
in the South China Sea in 2009 (Austin
and Warner, 2010). The results of those
measurements were used to model the
sound propagation from the Discoverer
(including a nearby support vessel) at
planned exploration drilling locations
in the Chukchi and Beaufort seas
(Warner and Hannay, 2011). Broadband
source levels of sounds produced by the
Discoverer varied by activity and
direction from the ship but were
generally between 177 and 185 dB re
1 mPa • m rms (Austin and Warner,
2010). Propagation modeling at the
Sivulliq and Torpedo prospects yielded
somewhat different results, with sounds
expected to propagate shorter distances
at the Sivulliq site (Warner and Hannay,
2011). As a precautionary approach,
Shell used the larger distance to which
sounds ≥120 dB (2.06 mi [3.32 km]) are
expected to propagate at the Torpedo
site to estimate the area of water
potentially exposed at both locations.
The estimated (2.06 mi [3.32 km])
distance was multiplied by 1.5 (= 3.09
mi [4.98 km]) as a further precautionary
measure before calculating the total area
that may be exposed to continuous
sounds ≥120 dB re 1 mPa rms by the
Discoverer at each drill site (see Table
6–3 in Shell’s application and Table 4
here). Assuming one well would be
drilled in each season (summer and
fall), the total area of water ensonified
to ≥120 dB rms in each season would be
30 mi2 (78 km2). The 160-dB radii for
the Kulluk and the Discoverer were
estimated to be approximately 180 ft (55
m) and 33 ft (10 m), respectively. Again,
because source levels for the two
drillships were measured to be between
177 and 185 dB, the 180 and 190-dB
radii were not needed.
The acoustic propagation model used
to estimate the sound propagation from
both vessels in Camden Bay is JASCO’s
Marine Operations Noise Model
(MONM). MONM computes received
sound levels in rms units when source
levels are specified also in those units.
MONM treats sound propagation in
range-varying acoustic environments
through a wide-angled parabolic
equation solution to the acoustic wave
equation. The specific parabolic
equation code in MONM is based on the
Naval Research Laboratory’s Rangedependent Acoustic Model. This code
has been extensively benchmarked for
accuracy and is widely employed in the
underwater acoustics community
(Collins, 1993).
For analysis of the potential effects on
migrating bowhead whales Shell
calculated the total distance
perpendicular to the east-west migration
corridor ensonified to ≥120 dB rms in
order to determine the number of
migrating whales passing the activities
that might be exposed to that sound
level. For the Kulluk, that distance is 2
× 12.4 mi (19.9 km) (the estimated
radius of the 120 dB rms zone), or 24.7
mi (39.8 km) (i.e. 12.4 mi [19.9 km]
north and 12.4 mi [19.9 km] south of the
drill site); for the Discoverer, that
distance is 2 × 3.09 mi, or 6.19 mi, (4.98
km or 9.96 km). At the two Sivulliq sites
(G and N, which are located close
together and positioned similarly
relative to the 131 and 656 ft [40 and
200 m] bathymetric contours), the 24.7
mi (39.8 km) distance from the Kulluk
covers all of the 23 mi (37 km) wide 0–
131 ft (0–40 m) water depth category,
and approximately 11% of the 22.1 mi
(35.5 km) wide 131–656 ft (40–200 m)
water depth category. The 9.96 km
distance from the Discoverer covers
27% of the 0–131 ft (0–40 m) category
and none of the 131–656 ft (40–200 m)
category at the Sivulliq sites.
The two drill sites on the Torpedo
prospect (designated as H and J) are not
as close together as the Sivulliq sites,
but their position relative to the 131 ft
(40 m) and 656 ft (200 m) bathymetric
contours are similar. For simplicity,
Shell provided and used only the
slightly greater estimates resulting from
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(1) Estimated Area Exposed to
Continuous Sounds ≥120 dB rms From
the Drillship
Shell proposes that exploration
drilling in Camden Bay would be
conducted from either the Kulluk or the
Discoverer but not both. The two vessels
are likely to introduce somewhat
different levels of sound into the water
during exploration drilling activities.
Descriptions of the expected source
levels and propagation distances from
the two vessels are provided in this
section. These distances and associated
ensonified areas are then used in the
following section to calculate separate
estimates of potential exposures.
Sounds from the Kulluk were
measured in the Beaufort Sea in 1986
and reported by Greene (1987a). The
back propagated broadband source level
from the measurements (185.5 dB re
1 mPa • m rms; calculated from the
reported 1/3-octave band levels), which
included sounds from a support vessel
operating nearby, were used to model
sound propagation at the Sivulliq
prospect near Camden Bay. The model
estimated that sounds would decrease to
Estimated Area Exposed to Sounds
>120 dB or >160 dB re 1 mPa rms
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Federal Register / Vol. 76, No. 215 / Monday, November 7, 2011 / Notices
calculations at the Torpedo ‘‘H’’ site to
represent activities at either of the two
Torpedo sites. At the Torpedo ‘‘H’’ site,
the 24.7 mi (39.8 km) distance from the
Kulluk covers approximately 74% of the
37 km wide 0–131 ft (0–40 m) water
depth category and approximately 35%
of the 22.1 mi (35.5 km) wide 131–656
ft (40–200 m) water depth category. The
6.19 mi (9.96 km) distance from the
Discoverer covers 27% of the 0–131 ft
(0–40 m) category and none of the 131–
656 ft (40–200 m) category at either of
the Torpedo sites.
As described in the ‘‘Basis for
Estimating ‘Take by Harassment’ ’’
subsection, the percentages of water
depth categories described in the
previous two paragraphs were
multiplied by the estimated proportion
of the whales passing within those
categories on each day to estimate the
number of bowheads that may be
exposed to sounds ≥120 dB if they
showed no avoidance of the exploration
drilling operations.
emcdonald on DSK5VPTVN1PROD with NOTICES2
(2) Estimated Area Exposed to
Continuous Sounds ≥120 dB rms From
Ice
Management/Icebreaking Activities
Measurements of the icebreaking
supply ship Robert Lemeur pushing and
breaking ice during exploration drilling
operations in the Beaufort Sea in 1986
resulted in an estimated broadband
source level of 193 dB re 1 mPa • m
(Greene, 1987a; Richardson et al.,
1995a). Measurements of the
icebreaking sounds were made at five
different distances and those were used
to generate a propagation loss equation
[RL=141.4 – 1.65R – 10Log(R) where R
is range in kilometers (Greene, 1987a);
converting R to meters results in the
following equation: R = 171.4 – 10log(R)
– 0.00165R]. Using that equation, the
estimated distance to the 120 dB
threshold for continuous sounds from
icebreaking is 4.74 mi (7.63 km). Since
the measurements of the Robert Lemeur
were taken in the Beaufort Sea under
presumably similar conditions as would
be encountered in 2012, an inflation
factor of 1.25 was selected to arrive at
a precautionary 120 dB distance of 5.9
mi (9.5 km) for icebreaking sounds (see
Table 6–3 in Shell’s application and
Table 4 here).
If ice is present, ice management/
icebreaking activities may be necessary
in early July and towards the end of
operations in late October, but it is not
expected to be needed throughout the
proposed exploration drilling season.
Icebreaking activities would likely occur
in a 40° arc up to 3.1 mi (5 km) upwind
of the Kulluk or Discoverer (see Figure
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Jkt 223001
1–3 and Attachment B in Shell’s
application for additional details). This
activity area plus a 5.9 mi (9.5 km)
buffer around it results in an estimated
total area of 162 mi2 (420 km2) that may
be exposed to sounds ≥120 dB from ice
management/icebreaking activities in
each season. Icebreaking is not expected
to occur during the bowhead migration
since it is only anticipated to be needed
either in early July or late October, so
additional take estimates during the
migration period have not been
calculated.
(3) Estimated Area Exposed to
Impulsive Sounds ≥160 dB rms From
Airguns
Shell proposes to use the ITAGA
eight-airgun array for the ZVSP surveys
in 2012, which consists of four 150-in3
airguns and four 40-in3 airguns for a
total discharge volume of 760 in3. The
≥160 dB re 1 mPa rms radius for this
source was estimated from
measurements of a similar seismic
source used during the 2008 BP Liberty
seismic survey (Aerts et al., 2008). The
BP liberty source was also an eightairgun array but had a slightly larger
total volume of 880 in3. Because the
number of airguns is the same, and the
difference in total volume only results
in an estimated 0.4 dB decrease in the
source level of the ZVSP source, the
100th percentile propagation model
from the measurements of the BP
Liberty source is almost directly
applicable. However, the BP Liberty
source was towed at a depth of 5.9 ft
(1.8 m), while Shell’s ZVSP source
would be lowered to a target depth of
13 ft (4 m) (from 10–23 ft [3–7 m]). The
deeper depth of the ZVSP source has the
potential to increase the source strength
by as much as 6 dB. Thus, the constant
term in the propagation equation from
the BP Liberty source was increased
from 235.4 to 241.4 while the remainder
of the equation (–18*LogR—0.0047*R)
was left unchanged. NMFS reviewed the
use of this equation and the similarities
between the 2008 BP Liberty project and
Shell’s proposed drilling sites and
determined that it is appropriate to base
the sound isopleths on those results.
This equation results in the following
estimated distances to maximum
received levels: 190 dB = 0.33 mi (524
m); 180 dB = 0.77 mi (1,240 m); 160 dB
= 2.28 mi (3,670 m); 120 dB = 6.52 mi
(10,500 m). The ≥160 dB distance was
multiplied by 1.5 (see Table 6–3 in
Shell’s application and Table 4 here) for
use in estimating the area ensonified to
≥160 dB rms around the drilling vessel
during ZVSP activities. Therefore, the
total area of water potentially exposed
to received sound levels ≥160 dB rms by
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ZVSP operations at one exploration well
sites during each season is estimated to
be 73.7 mi 2 (190.8 km 2).
For analysis of potential effects on
migrating bowhead whales, the ≥120 dB
distance for exploration drilling
activities was used on all days during
the bowhead migration as described
previously. This is a precautionary
approach in the case of the Kulluk since
the ≥160 dB zone for the relatively brief
ZVSP surveys is expected to be less than
the ≥120 dB distance from the Kulluk.
If the Discoverer were to be used, the
slightly greater distance to the ≥160 dB
threshold from the ZVSP airguns than
the ≥120 dB distance from the
Discoverer (see Table 6–3 in Shell’s
application and Table 3 here) would
result in only 3% more of the 0–131 ft
(0–40 m) depth category being
ensonified on up to 2 days. This would
result in an estimated increase of
approximately 10 bowhead whales
compared to the estimates shown in (see
Table 6–7 in Shell’s application).
Shell intends to conduct sound
propagation measurements on the
Kulluk or Discoverer (whichever is used)
and the airgun source in 2012 once they
are on location near Camden Bay. The
results of those measurements would
then be used during the season to
implement mitigation measures.
Potential Number of ‘‘Takes by
Harassment’’
Although a marine mammal may be
exposed to drilling or icebreaking
sounds ≥120 dB (rms) or airgun sounds
≥160 dB (rms), this does not mean that
it will actually exhibit a disruption of
behavioral patterns in response to the
sound source. Rather, the estimates
provided here are simply the best
estimates of the number of animals that
potentially could have a behavioral
modification due to the noise. However,
not all animals react to sounds at this
low level, and many will not show
strong reactions (and in some cases any
reaction) until sounds are much
stronger. There are several variables that
determine whether or not an individual
animal will exhibit a response to the
sound, such as the age of the animal,
previous exposure to this type of
anthropogenic sound, habituation, etc.
Numbers of marine mammals that
might be present and potentially
disturbed (i.e., Level B harassment) are
estimated below based on available data
about mammal distribution and
densities at different locations and times
of the year as described previously.
Exposure estimates have been
calculated based on the use of either the
Kulluk or Discoverer operating in
Camden Bay beginning in July, as well
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as ice management/icebreaking
activities, if needed, and minimal airgun
usage (see estimates below). Shell will
not conduct any activities associated
with the exploration drilling program in
Camden Bay during the 2012 Kaktovik
and Nuiqsut (Cross Island) fall bowhead
whale subsistence harvests. Shell will
suspend exploration activities on
August 25, prior to the beginning of the
hunts, will resume activities in Camden
Bay after conclusion of the subsistence
harvests, and complete exploration
activities on or about October 31, 2012.
Actual drilling may occur on
approximately 78 days in Camden Bay
(which includes the 20–28 hours total
needed for airgun operations),
approximately half of which would
occur before and after the fall bowhead
subsistence hunts.
The number of different individuals
of each species potentially exposed to
received levels of continuous sound
≥120 dB re 1 mPa (rms) or to pulsed
sounds ≥160 dB re 1 mPa (rms) within
each season and habitat zone was
estimated by multiplying:
• The anticipated area to be
ensonified to the specified level in the
time period and habitat zone to which
a density applies, by
• The expected species density.
The estimate for bowhead whales
during the migration period was
calculated differently as described
previously. The numbers of exposures
were then summed for each species
across the seasons and habitat zones.
At times during either summer (July–
August) or fall (September–October),
pack-ice may be present in some of the
area around the exploration drilling
operation. However, the retreat of sea
ice in the Alaskan Beaufort Sea has been
substantial in recent years, so Shell
assumed that only 33% of the area
exposed to sounds ≥120 dB or ≥160 dB
by the exploration drilling program and
ZVSP activities will be in ice-margin
habitat. Therefore, ice-margin densities
of marine mammals in both seasons
have been multiplied by 33% of the area
exposed to sounds by the drilling and
ZVSP activities, while open-water
(nearshore) densities have been
multiplied by the remaining 67% of the
area. Since any icebreaking activities
would only occur in ice-margin habitat,
the entire area exposed to sounds ≥120
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dB from icebreaking was multiplied by
the ice-margin densities.
(1) Cetaceans
Cetacean species potentially exposed
to exploration drilling or icebreaking
sounds with continuous received levels
≥120 dB rms or airgun sounds ≥160 dB
rms may include both mysticetes
(bowhead and gray whales) and
odontocetes (beluga whale). Separate
estimates for beluga and bowhead
whales are provided based on whether
the Kulluk (see Table 6–4 in Shell’s
application or Table 5 here) or the
Discoverer (see Table 6–5 in Shell’s
application or Table 6 here) is used as
the drilling vessel in 2012. The results
presented in those two tables should not
be summed, as the operations will only
be conducted from one of the drilling
vessels. Estimates from icebreaking
activities, should these occur, are shown
in Table 6–6 in Shell’s application or
Table 7 here. Estimates of exposure to
airgun pulses from ZVSP activities are
provided in Table 6–7 and Table 8 here.
If the Kulluk is used, the average
estimates of the number of individual
belugas and bowheads exposed to
continuous sounds ≥120 dB from
exploration drilling activities during
both summer and fall are 10 and 5,598,
respectively (Table 6–4 in Shell’s
application or Table 5 here). The
smaller size of the expected ≥120 dB
zone around the Discoverer resulted in
an average estimate of 0 and 1,388
beluga and bowhead whales potentially
being exposed to sounds ≥120 dB during
summer and fall, respectively (Table 6–
5 in Shell’s application and Table 6
here). Should icebreaking activities
occur in both seasons, an additional 4
beluga and 8 bowhead whales may be
exposed to continuous received sounds
≥120 dB (Table 6–6 in Shell’s
application and Table 7 here). Because
of the relatively small airgun source and
short duration of the ZVSP surveys, they
are not expected to contribute
substantially to the estimated number of
belugas and bowheads exposed by the
activities (Table 6–7 in Shell’s
application and Table 8 here). The
estimated exposure of bowheads to
these sounds during the migration has
already been included in the estimates
for the Kulluk (e.g., take of 10 belugas
and 5,598 bowheads). The slightly
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greater distance to the ≥160 dB
threshold from the ZVSP airguns than
the ≥120 dB distance from the
Discoverer would result in only 3%
more of the 0–131 ft (0–40 m) depth
category being ensonified on up to 2
days. This would result in an estimated
increase of approximately 10 bowhead
whales from ZVSP activities compared
to the estimate shown in (Table 6–5 in
Shell’s application and Table 6 here).
Few other cetaceans are likely to be
present in the area of the planned
operations and the very small estimated
densities for those species were not
large enough for the calculations to
result in estimates >1% from the Kulluk
(Table 6–8 in Shell’s application and
Table 9 here), Discoverer (Table 6–9 in
Shell’s application and Table 10 here),
icebreaking activities (Table 6–10 in
Shell’s application and Table 11 here),
or ZVSP activities (Table 6–11 in Shell’s
application and Table 12 here).
(2) Seals
The ringed seal is the most
widespread and abundant pinniped in
ice-covered arctic waters, and there
appears to be a great deal of year-to-year
variation in abundance and distribution
of these marine mammals. As a result of
their high abundance, ringed seals
account for a large number of marine
mammals expected to be encountered
during the exploration drilling program
and hence exposed to sounds with
received levels ≥120 dB or ≥160 dB rms.
If the Kulluk is used, calculations based
on the average density result in an
estimate of 798 ringed seals that might
be exposed during summer and fall to
sounds with received levels ≥120 dB
from the exploration drilling program
(Table 6–8 in Shell’s application and
Table 9 here). Should the Discoverer be
used, the estimated number of ringed
seals exposed to ≥120 dB during
summer and fall is 49 (Table 6–9 in
Shell’s application and Table 10 here).
If ice management/icebreaking occurred
during both seasons, an additional 211
ringed seals may be exposed to
continuous sounds ≥120 dB (Table 6–10
in Shell’s application and Table 11
here). The ZVSP activities are estimated
to expose 60 ringed seals to pulsed
airgun sounds ≥160 dB (Table 6–11 in
Shell’s application and Table 12 here).
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Two additional seal species are
expected to be encountered with lower
frequency than ringed seals. Estimates
based on average densities of bearded
seals and spotted seals are 41 and 6,
respectively, during summer and fall if
the exploration drilling program is
conducted by the Kulluk (Table 6–8 in
Shell’s application and Table 9 here). If
the Discoverer is used, the estimates are
reduced to 3 and 0 for bearded and
spotted seals, respectively (Table 6–9 in
Shell’s application and Table 10 here).
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Should icebreaking occur in both
seasons an additional 11 bearded seals
may be exposed to continuous sounds
with received levels ≥120 dB (Table 6–
10 in Shell’s application and Table 11
here). Exposures of individuals from
either species to sound levels ≥160 dB
from the ZVSP activities are expected to
be quite low due to the relative small
area expected to be exposed to those
sounds (Table 6–11 in Shell’s
application and Table 12 here).
Although only sighted on occasion,
ribbon seals may occur in the area, so
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Shell provided estimates for this species
as well.
Estimated Take Conclusions
As stated previously, NMFS’ practice
has been to apply the 120 dB re 1 mPa
(rms) received level threshold for
underwater continuous sound levels
and the 160 dB re 1 mPa (rms) received
level threshold for underwater
impulsive sound levels to determine
whether take by Level B harassment
occurs. However, not all animals react
to sounds at these low levels, and many
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will not show strong reactions (and in
some cases any reaction) until sounds
are much stronger. Southall et al. (2007)
provide a severity scale for ranking
observed behavioral responses of both
free-ranging marine mammals and
laboratory subjects to various types of
anthropogenic sound (see Table 4 in
Southall et al. (2007)). Tables 15, 17,
and 21 in Southall et al. (2007) outline
the numbers of low-frequency and midfrequency cetaceans and pinnipeds in
water, respectively, reported as having
behavioral responses to non-pulses in
10–dB received level increments. These
tables illustrate, especially for low- and
mid-frequency cetaceans, that more
intense observed behavioral responses
did not occur until sounds were higher
than 120 dB (rms). Many of the animals
had no observable response at all when
exposed to anthropogenic continuous
sound at levels of 120 dB (rms) or even
higher.
Although the 120-dB isopleth for the
drillships may seem fairly expansive
(i.e., 12.37 mi [19.91 km] for the Kulluk
or 4.6 mi [7.4 km] for the Discoverer,
which include the 50 percent inflation
factor), the zone of ensonification begins
to shrink dramatically with each 10-dB
increase in received sound level. The
160-dB rms zones for the Kulluk and
Discoverer are estimated to extend
approximately 180 ft (55 m) and 33 ft
(10 m) for the ship, respectively. As
stated previously, source levels for the
two different drillships are expected to
be between 177 and 185 dB (rms). For
an animal to be exposed to received
levels between 177 and 185 dB, it would
have to be within several meters of the
vessel, which is unlikely, especially
give the fact that certain species are
likely to avoid the area (as described
earlier in this document).
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For impulsive sounds, such as those
produced by the airguns, studies reveal
that baleen whales show avoidance
responses, which would reduce the
likelihood of them being exposed to
higher received sound levels. The 180dB zone (0.77 mi [1.24 km]) is one-third
the size of the 160-dB zone (2.28 mi
[3.67 km], which is the modeled
distance before the 1.5 inflation factor is
included). In the limited studies that
have been conducted on pinniped
responses to pulsed sound sources, they
seem to be more tolerant and do not
exhibit strong behavioral reactions (see
Southall et al., 2007).
NMFS is proposing to authorize the
average take estimates provided in Table
6–12 of Shell’s application and Table 13
here for bowhead whales and bearded,
ringed, and spotted seals. The only
exceptions to this are for the gray whale,
harbor porpoise, and ribbon seal since
the average estimate is zero for those
species and for the beluga whale to
account for group size. Therefore, for
the 2012 Beaufort Sea drilling season,
NMFS proposes to authorize the take of
38 beluga whales, 5,608 bowhead
whales, 15 gray whales, 15 harbor
porpoise, 55 bearded seals, 1,069 ringed
seals, 7 spotted seals, and 5 ribbon seals.
For beluga and gray whales and harbor
porpoise, this represents 0.1% of the
Beaufort Sea population of
approximately 39,258 beluga whales
(Allen and Angliss, 2011), 0.08% of the
Eastern North Pacific stock of
approximately 18,017 gray whales
(Allen and Angliss, 2011), and 0.03% of
the Bering Sea stock of approximately
48,215 harbor porpoise (Allen and
Angliss, 2011). This also represents
36.8% of the Bering-Chukchi-Beaufort
bowhead population of 15,232
individuals assuming 3.4% annual
population growth from the 2001
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estimate of 10,545 animals (Zeh and
Punt, 2005). The take estimates
presented for bearded, ringed, and
spotted seals represent 0.02%, 0.4%,
and 0.01% of the Bering-ChukchiBeaufort populations for each species,
respectively. The take estimate for
ribbon seals represents 0.01% of the
Alaska stock of this species. These
proposed take numbers are based on
Shell utilizing the Kulluk. Table 13 here
also presents the take numbers and
percentages of the population if Shell
utilizes the Discoverer instead, which
has a smaller 120-dB radius. If the
Discoverer is used for drilling
operations instead of the Kulluk, the
take estimates for bowhead whales and
ringed and bearded seals drop
substantially.
With the exception of the subsistence
mitigation measure of shutting down
during the Nuiqsut and Kaktovik fall
bowhead whale hunts, these take
estimates do not take into account any
of the mitigation measures described
previously in this document.
Additionally, if the fall bowhead hunts
end after September 15, and Shell still
concludes activities on October 31, then
fewer animals will be exposed to
drilling sounds, especially bowhead
whales, as more of them will have
migrated past the area in which they
would be exposed to continuous sound
levels of 120 dB or greater or impulsive
sound levels of 160 dB or greater prior
to Shell resuming active operations.
These take numbers also do not
consider how many of the exposed
animals may actually respond or react to
the proposed exploration drilling
program. Instead, the take estimates are
based on the presence of animals,
regardless of whether or not they react
or respond to the activities.
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Negligible Impact Analysis
NMFS has defined ‘‘negligible
impact’’ in 50 CFR 216.103 as ‘‘* * * an
impact resulting from the specified
activity that cannot be reasonably
expected to, and is not reasonably likely
to, adversely affect the species or stock
through effects on annual rates of
recruitment or survival.’’ In making a
negligible impact determination, NMFS
considers a variety of factors, including
but not limited to: (1) The number of
anticipated mortalities; (2) the number
and nature of anticipated injuries; (3)
the number, nature, intensity, and
duration of Level B harassment; and (4)
the context in which the takes occur.
No injuries or mortalities are
anticipated to occur as a result of Shell’s
proposed Camden Bay exploratory
drilling program, and none are proposed
to be authorized. Injury, serious injury,
or mortality could occur if there were a
large or very large oil spill. However, as
discussed previously in this document,
the likelihood of a spill is extremely
remote. Shell has implemented many
design and operational standards to
mitigate the potential for an oil spill of
any size. NMFS does not propose to
authorize take from an oil spill, as it is
not part of the specified activity.
Additionally, animals in the area are not
expected to incur hearing impairment
(i.e., TTS or PTS) or non-auditory
physiological effects. Instead, any
impact that could result from Shell’s
activities is most likely to be behavioral
harassment and is expected to be of
limited duration. Although it is possible
that some individuals may be exposed
to sounds from drilling operations more
than once, during the migratory periods
it is less likely that this will occur since
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animals will continue to move
westward across the Beaufort Sea. This
is especially true for bowhead whales
that will be migrating past the drilling
operations beginning in mid- to late
September (depending on the date Shell
resumes activities after the shutdown
period for the fall bowhead subsistence
hunts by the villages of Kaktovik and
Nuiqsut).
Some studies have shown that
bowhead whales will continue to feed
in areas of seismic operations (e.g.,
Richardson, 2004). Therefore, it is
possible that some bowheads may
continue to feed in an area of active
drilling operations. It is important to
note that the sounds produced by
drilling operations are of a much lower
intensity than those produced by
seismic airguns. Should bowheads
choose to feed in the ensonified area
instead of avoiding the sound,
individuals may be exposed to sounds
at or above 120 dB (rms) for several
hours to days, depending on how long
the individual animal chooses to remain
in the area to feed. Should bowheads
choose to feed in Camden Bay during
the ZVSP surveys, this activity will
occur only twice during the entire
drilling season and will not last more
than 10–14 hours each time. It is
anticipated that one such survey would
occur prior to the migration period and
one during the migration period.
Therefore, feeding or migrating
bowhead whales would only be exposed
to airgun sounds for a total of 10–14
hours throughout the entire open-water
season. As noted previously, many
animals perform vital functions, such as
feeding, resting, traveling, and
socializing on a diel cycle (24-hr cycle).
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As discussed here, some bowhead
whales may decide to remain in
Camden Bay for several days to feed;
however, they are not expected to be
feeding for 24 hours straight each day.
While feeding in an area of increased
anthropogenic sound may potentially
result in increased stress, it is not
anticipated that the level of sound
produced by the exploratory drilling
operations and the amount of time that
an individual whale may remain in the
area to feed would result in noiseinduced physiological stress to the
animal. Additionally, if an animal is
excluded from Camden Bay for feeding
because it decides to avoid the
ensonified area, this may result in some
extra energy expenditure for the animal
to find an alternate feeding ground.
However, Camden Bay is only one of a
few feeding areas for bowhead whales in
the U.S. Arctic Ocean. NMFS
anticipates that bowhead whales could
find feeding opportunities in other parts
of the Beaufort Sea.
Some bowhead whales have been
observed feeding in the Camden Bay
area in recent years, even though oil and
gas activities have been occurring in the
general region. There has also been
recent evidence that some bowhead
whales continued feeding in close
proximity to seismic sources (e.g.,
Richardson, 2004). The sounds
produced by the drillship are of lower
intensity than those produced by
seismic airguns. Therefore, if animals
remain in ensonified areas to feed, they
would be in areas where the sound
levels are not high enough to cause
injury (based on the fact that source
levels are not expected to reach levels
known to cause even slight, mild TTS,
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a non-injurious threshold shift).
Additionally, if bowhead whales come
within the 180–dB (rms) radius when
the airguns are operational, Shell will
shutdown the airguns until the animals
are outside of the required EZ. Although
the impact resulting from the generation
of sound may cause a disruption in
feeding activities in and around Camden
Bay, this disruption is not reasonably
likely to adversely affect bowhead
whales.
Shell’s proposed exploration drilling
program is not expected to negatively
affect the bowhead whale westward
migration through the U.S. Beaufort Sea.
The migration typically starts around
the last week of August or first week of
September. Shell has agreed to cease
operations on August 25 for the fall
bowhead whale hunts at Kaktovik and
Cross Island (for the village of Nuiqsut).
Operations will not resume until both
communities have announced the close
of the fall hunt, which typically occurs
around September 15 each year.
Therefore, whales that migrate through
the area the first few weeks of the
migration period will not be exposed to
any acoustic or non-acoustic stimuli
from Shell’s proposed operations. Only
the last 6 weeks of Shell’s operations
would occur during the migratory
period. Cow/calf pairs typically migrate
through the area later in the season (i.e.,
late September/October) as opposed to
the beginning of the season (i.e., late
August/early September). Shell’s
activities are not anticipated to have a
negative effect on the migration or on
the cow/calf pairs migrating through the
area. If cow/calf pairs migrate through
during airgun operations, power down
and shutdown procedures are proposed
to be required to reduce impacts further.
Beluga whales are more likely to
occur in the project area after the
recommencement of activities in
September than in July or August.
Should any belugas occur in the area of
active drilling, it is not expected that
they would remain in the area for a
prolonged period of time, as their
westward migration usually occurs
further offshore (more than 37 mi [60
km]) and in deeper waters (more than
656 ft [200 m]) than that planned for the
location of Shell’s Camden Bay well
sites. Gray whales do not occur
frequently in the Camden Bay area of
the Beaufort Sea. Additionally, there are
no known feeding grounds for gray
whales in the Camden Bay area. The
most northern feeding sites known for
this species are located in the Chukchi
Sea near Hanna Shoal and Point Barrow.
Based on these factors, exposures of
gray whales to industrial sound are not
expected to last for prolonged periods
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(i.e., several days or weeks) since they
are not known to remain in the area for
extended periods of time. Since harbor
porpoise are considered extralimital in
the area with recent sightings not
occurring east of Prudhoe Bay, no
adverse impacts that could affect
important life functions are anticipated
for this species.
Some individual pinnipeds may be
exposed to drilling sounds more than
once during the timeframe of the
project. This may be especially true for
ringed seals, which occur in the
Beaufort Sea year-round and are the
most frequently encountered pinniped
species in the area. However, as stated
previously in this document, pinnipeds
appear to be more tolerant of
anthropogenic sound, especially at
lower received levels, than other marine
mammals, such as mysticetes.
Ringed seals construct lairs for
pupping in the Beaufort Sea. However,
this species typically does not construct
lairs until late winter/early spring on
the landfast ice. Because Shell will
cease operations by October 31, they
will not be in the area during the ringed
seal pupping season. Bearded seals
breed in the Bering and Chukchi Seas,
as the Beaufort Sea provides less
suitable habitat for the species. Spotted
and ribbon seals are even less common
in the Camden Bay area. These species
do not breed in the Beaufort Sea. Shell’s
proposed exploration drilling program
is not anticipated to impact breeding or
pupping for any of the ice seal species.
Of the eight marine mammal species
likely to occur in the proposed drilling
area, only the bowhead whale is listed
as endangered under the ESA. The
species is also designated as ‘‘depleted’’
under the MMPA. Despite these
designations, the Bering-ChukchiBeaufort stock of bowheads has been
increasing at a rate of 3.4% annually for
nearly a decade (Allen and Angliss,
2011), even in the face of ongoing
industrial activity. Additionally, during
the 2001 census, 121 calves were
counted, which was the highest yet
recorded. The calf count provides
corroborating evidence for a healthy and
increasing population (Allen and
Angliss, 2011). Certain stocks or
populations of gray and beluga whales
and spotted seals are listed as
endangered or are proposed for listing
under the ESA; however, none of those
stocks or populations occur in the
proposed activity area. On December 10,
2010, NMFS published a notice of
proposed threatened status for
subspecies of the ringed seal (75 FR
77476) and a notice of proposed
threatened and not warranted status for
subspecies and distinct population
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segments of the bearded seal (75 FR
77496) in the Federal Register. Neither
of these two ice seal species is currently
considered depleted under the MMPA.
There is currently no established critical
habitat in the proposed project area for
any of these eight species.
Potential impacts to marine mammal
habitat were discussed previously in
this document (see the ‘‘Anticipated
Effects on Habitat’’ section). Although
some disturbance is possible to food
sources of marine mammals, any
impacts to affected marine mammal
stocks or species are anticipated to be
minor. Based on the vast size of the
Arctic Ocean where feeding by marine
mammals occurs versus the localized
area of the drilling program, any missed
feeding opportunities in the direct
project area would be of little
consequence, as marine mammals
would have access to other feeding
grounds.
If the Kulluk is the drillship used, the
estimated takes proposed to be
authorized represent 0.1% of the
Beaufort Sea population of
approximately 39,258 beluga whales
(Allen and Angliss, 2011), 0.08% of the
Eastern North Pacific stock of
approximately 18,017 gray whales
(Allen and Angliss, 2011), 0.03% of the
Bering Sea stock of approximately
48,215 harbor porpoise (Allen and
Angliss, 2011), and 36.8% of the BeringChukchi-Beaufort population of 15,232
individuals assuming 3.4% annual
population growth from the 2001
estimate of 10,545 animals (Zeh and
Punt, 2005). The take estimates
presented for bearded, ringed, and
spotted seals represent 0.02%, 0.4%,
and 0.01% of the Bering-ChukchiBeaufort populations for each species,
respectively. The take estimate for
ribbon seals represents 0.01% of the
Alaska stock of this species. If the
Discoverer is the drillship used, the
estimated takes proposed to be
authorized represent 0.1% of the
Beaufort Sea population of
approximately 39,258 beluga whales
(Allen and Angliss, 2011), 0.08% of the
Eastern North Pacific stock of
approximately 18,017 gray whales
(Allen and Angliss, 2011), 0.03% of the
Bering Sea stock of approximately
48,215 harbor porpoise (Allen and
Angliss, 2011), and 9.2% of the BeringChukchi-Beaufort population of 15,232
individuals assuming 3.4% annual
population growth from the 2001
estimate of 10,545 animals (Zeh and
Punt, 2005). The take estimates
presented for bearded, ringed, and
spotted seals represent 0.01%, 0.1%,
and 0.01% of the Bering-ChukchiBeaufort populations for each species,
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respectively. The take estimate for
ribbon seals represents 0.01% of the
Alaska stock of this species. These
estimates represent the percentage of
each species or stock that could be taken
by Level B behavioral harassment if
each animal is taken only once.
The estimated take numbers are likely
somewhat of an overestimate for several
reasons. First, these take numbers were
calculated using a 50% inflation factor
of the 120-dB and 160-dB radii, which
is a conservative approach
recommended by some acousticians
when modeling a new sound source in
a new location. SSV tests could reveal
that the Level B harassment zone is
either smaller or larger than that used to
estimate take. If the SSV tests reveal that
the Level B harassment zones are
slightly larger than those modeled, the
50% inflation factor should cover the
discrepancy, however, based on recent
SSV tests of seismic airguns (which
showed that the measured 160-dB
isopleths was in the area of the modeled
value), the 50% correction factor likely
results in an overestimate of takes.
Additionally, the mitigation and
monitoring measures (described
previously in this document) proposed
for inclusion in the IHA (if issued) are
expected to reduce even further any
potential disturbance to marine
mammals. Last, some marine mammal
individuals, including mysticetes, have
been shown to avoid the ensonified area
around airguns at certain distances
(Richardson et al., 1999), and, therefore,
some individuals would not likely enter
into the Level B harassment zones for
the various types of activities.
The take estimates for the Kulluk are
approximately four times those for the
Discoverer. One explanation for this is
that the Kulluk’s original rigid structure
does little to dampen vibration as it
moves through the structure to the hull.
The Kulluk’s main engines are welded
to the deck rather than being on
vibration absorbing mounts, which may
also contribute to the relatively higher
sound level. This past year, Shell has
invested in retrofitting the Kulluk. This
retrofit includes changing out the
engines and installing sound dampening
mounts for the new engines. This
retrofit is expected to help lower the
sound levels emitted by the Kulluk. As
stated previously, Shell intends to
conduct SSV tests for all vessels,
including the drillship, once on location
in the Beaufort Sea in 2012. Therefore,
there is the potential for the take
estimates to be reduced even further.
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Impact on Availability of Affected
Species or Stock for Taking for
Subsistence Uses
Relevant Subsistence Uses
The disturbance and potential
displacement of marine mammals by
sounds from drilling activities are the
principal concerns related to
subsistence use of the area. Subsistence
remains the basis for Alaska Native
culture and community. Marine
mammals are legally hunted in Alaskan
waters by coastal Alaska Natives. In
rural Alaska, subsistence activities are
often central to many aspects of human
existence, including patterns of family
life, artistic expression, and community
religious and celebratory activities.
Additionally, the animals taken for
subsistence provide a significant portion
of the food that will last the community
throughout the year. The main species
that are hunted include bowhead and
beluga whales, ringed, spotted, and
bearded seals, walruses, and polar bears.
(As mentioned previously in this
document, both the walrus and the
polar bear are under the USFWS’
jurisdiction.) The importance of each of
these species varies among the
communities and is largely based on
availability.
The subsistence communities in the
Beaufort Sea that have the potential to
be impacted by Shell’s Camden Bay
drilling program include Kaktovik,
Nuiqsut, and Barrow. Kaktovik is a
coastal community 60 mi (96.6 km) east
of the project area. Nuiqsut is 118 mi
(190 km) west of the project area and
about 20 mi (32 km) inland from the
coast along the Colville River. Cross
Island, from which Nuiqsut hunters
base their bowhead whaling activities, is
47 mi (75.6 km) southwest of the project
area. Barrow, the community farthest
from the project area, lies 298 mi (479.6
km) west of Shell’s Camden Bay drill
sites.
(1) Bowhead Whales
Of the three communities, Barrow is
the only one that currently participates
in a spring bowhead whale hunt.
However, this hunt is not anticipated to
be affected by Shell’s activities, as the
spring hunt occurs in late April to early
May, and Shell’s Camden Bay drilling
program will not begin until July 10, at
the earliest.
All three communities participate in a
fall bowhead hunt. In autumn,
westward-migrating bowhead whales
typically reach the Kaktovik and Cross
Island (Nuiqsut hunters) areas by early
September, at which points the hunts
begin (Kaleak, 1996; Long, 1996;
Galginaitis and Koski, 2002; Galginaitis
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69021
and Funk, 2004, 2005; Koski et al.,
2005). Around late August, the hunters
from Nuiqsut establish camps on Cross
Island from where they undertake the
fall bowhead whale hunt. The hunting
period starts normally in early
September and may last as late as midOctober, depending mainly on ice and
weather conditions and the success of
the hunt. Most of the hunt occurs
offshore in waters east, north, and
northwest of Cross Island where
bowheads migrate and not inside the
barrier islands (Galginaitis, 2007).
Hunters prefer to take bowheads close to
shore to avoid a long tow, but Braund
and Moorehead (1995) report that crews
may (rarely) pursue whales as far as 50
mi (80 km) offshore. Whaling crews use
Kaktovik as their home base, leaving the
village and returning on a daily basis.
The core whaling area is within 12 mi
(19.3 km) of the village with a periphery
ranging about 8 mi (13 km) farther, if
necessary. The extreme limits of the
Kaktovik whaling limit would be the
middle of Camden Bay to the west. The
timing of the Kaktovik bowhead whale
hunt roughly parallels the Cross Island
whale hunt (Impact Assessment Inc,
1990b; SRB&A, 2009:Map 64). In recent
years, the hunts at Kaktovik and Cross
Island have usually ended by mid- to
late September.
Westbound bowheads typically reach
the Barrow area in mid-September and
are in that area until late October
(Brower, 1996). However, over the years,
local residents report having seen a
small number of bowhead whales
feeding off Barrow or in the pack ice off
Barrow during the summer. Recently,
autumn bowhead whaling near Barrow
has normally begun in mid-September
to early October, but in earlier years it
began as early as August if whales were
observed and ice conditions were
favorable (USDI/BLM, 2005). The recent
decision to delay harvesting whales
until mid-to-late September has been
made to prevent spoilage, which might
occur if whales were harvested earlier in
the season when the temperatures tend
to be warmer. Whaling near Barrow can
continue into October, depending on the
quota and conditions.
Shell anticipates arriving on location
in Camden Bay around July 10 and
continuing operations until August 25.
Shell has stated that it will suspend all
operations on August 25 for the Nuiqsut
(Cross Island) and Kaktovik subsistence
bowhead whale hunts. The drillship
and support vessels will leave the
Camden Bay project area, will move to
a location at or north of 71.25° N.
latitude and at or west of 146.4° W.
longitude, and will return to resume
activities after the Nuiqsut (Cross
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established seal hunts that do occur in
the Beaufort Sea, such as the Colville
delta area hunts, are located a
significant distance (in some instances
100 mi [161 km] or more) from the
proposed project area.
(2) Beluga Whales
Beluga whales are not a prevailing
subsistence resource in the communities
of Kaktovik and Nuiqsut. Kaktovik
hunters may harvest one beluga whale
in conjunction with the bowhead hunt;
however, it appears that most
households obtain beluga through
exchanges with other communities.
Although Nuiqsut hunters have not
hunted belugas for many years while on
Cross Island for the fall hunt, this does
not mean that they may not return to
this practice in the future. Data
presented by Braund and Kruse (2009)
indicate that only 1% of Barrow’s total
harvest between 1962 and 1982 was of
beluga whales and that it did not
account for any of the harvested animals
between 1987 and 1989.
There has been minimal harvest of
beluga whales in Beaufort Sea villages
in recent years. Additionally, if belugas
are harvested, it is usually in
conjunction with the fall bowhead
harvest. Shell will not be operating
during the Kaktovik and Nuiqsut fall
bowhead harvests.
emcdonald on DSK5VPTVN1PROD with NOTICES2
Island) and Kaktovik bowhead hunts
conclude. Depending on when Nuiqsut
and Kaktovik declare their hunts closed,
drilling operations may resume in the
middle of the Barrow fall bowhead
hunt.
Potential Impacts to Subsistence Uses
(3) Ice Seals
Ringed seals are available to
subsistence users in the Beaufort Sea
year-round, but they are primarily
hunted in the winter or spring due to
the rich availability of other mammals
in the summer. Bearded seals are
primarily hunted during July in the
Beaufort Sea; however, in 2007, bearded
seals were harvested in the months of
August and September at the mouth of
the Colville River Delta. An annual
bearded seal harvest occurs in the
vicinity of Thetis Island (which is a
considerable distance from Shell’s
proposed Camden Bay drill sites) in July
through August. Approximately 20
bearded seals are harvested annually
through this hunt. Spotted seals are
harvested by some of the villages in the
summer months. Nuiqsut hunters
typically hunt spotted seals in the
nearshore waters off the Colville River
delta, which is more than 100 mi (161
km) from Shell’s proposed drill sites.
Although there is the potential for
some of the Beaufort villages to hunt ice
seals during the summer and fall
months while Shell is conducting
exploratory drilling operations, the
primary sealing months occur outside of
Shell’s operating time frame.
Additionally, some of the more
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NMFS has defined ‘‘unmitigable
adverse impact’’ in 50 CFR 216.103 as
an impact resulting from the specified
activity that is likely to reduce the
availability of the species to a level
insufficient for a harvest to meet
subsistence needs by causing the marine
mammals to abandon or avoid hunting
areas; directly displacing subsistence
users; or placing physical barriers
between the marine mammals and the
subsistence hunters; and that cannot be
sufficiently mitigated by other measures
to increase the availability of marine
mammals to allow subsistence needs to
be met.
Noise and general activity during
Shell’s proposed drilling program have
the potential to impact marine mammals
hunted by Native Alaskans. In the case
of cetaceans, the most common reaction
to anthropogenic sounds (as noted
previously in this document) is
avoidance of the ensonified area. In the
case of bowhead whales, this often
means that the animals divert from their
normal migratory path by several
kilometers. Helicopter activity also has
the potential to disturb cetaceans and
pinnipeds by causing them to vacate the
area. Additionally, general vessel
presence in the vicinity of traditional
hunting areas could negatively impact a
hunt. Native knowledge indicates that
bowhead whales become increasingly
‘‘skittish’’ in the presence of seismic
noise. Whales are more wary around the
hunters and tend to expose a much
smaller portion of their back when
surfacing (which makes harvesting more
difficult). Additionally, natives report
that bowheads exhibit angry behaviors
in the presence of seismic, such as tailslapping, which translate to danger for
nearby subsistence harvesters.
In the case of subsistence hunts for
bowhead whales in the Beaufort Sea,
there could be an adverse impact on the
hunt if the whales were deflected
seaward (further from shore) in
traditional hunting areas. The impact
would be that whaling crews would
have to travel greater distances to
intercept westward migrating whales,
thereby creating a safety hazard for
whaling crews and/or limiting chances
of successfully striking and landing
bowheads.
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Plan of Cooperation (POC)
Regulations at 50 CFR 216.104(a)(12)
require IHA applicants for activities that
take place in Arctic waters to provide a
POC or information that identifies what
measures have been taken and/or will
be taken to minimize adverse effects on
the availability of marine mammals for
subsistence purposes. Shell has
developed a Draft POC for its 2012
Camden Bay, Beaufort Sea, Alaska,
exploration drilling program to
minimize any adverse impacts on the
availability of marine mammals for
subsistence uses. A copy of the Draft
POC was provided to NMFS with the
IHA Application as Attachment D (see
ADDRESSES for availability). Meetings
with potentially affected subsistence
users began in 2009 and continued into
2010 and 2011 (see Table 4.2–1 in
Shell’s POC for a list of all meetings
conducted through April 2011). During
these meetings, Shell focused on lessons
learned from prior years’ activities and
presented mitigation measures for
avoiding potential conflicts, which are
outlined in the 2012 POC and this
document. For the 2012 Camden Bay
drilling program, Shell’s POC with
Chukchi Sea villages primarily
addresses the issue of transit of vessels,
whereas the POC with Beaufort Sea
villages addresses vessel transit,
drilling, and associated activities.
Communities that were consulted
regarding Shell’s 2012 Arctic Ocean
operations include: Barrow, Kaktovik,
Wainwright, Kotzebue, Kivalina, Point
Lay, Point Hope, Kiana, Gambell,
Savoonga, and Shishmaref.
Beginning in early January 2009 and
continuing into 2011, Shell held one-onone meetings with representatives from
the North Slope Borough (NSB) and
Northwest Arctic Borough (NWAB),
subsistence-user group leadership, and
Village Whaling Captain Association
representatives. Shell’s primary purpose
in holding individual meetings was to
inform and prepare key leaders, prior to
the public meetings, so that they would
be prepared to give appropriate
feedback on planned activities.
Shell presented the proposed project
to the NWAB Assembly on January 27,
2009, to the NSB Assembly on February
2, 2009, and to the NSB and NWAB
Planning Commissions in a joint
meeting on March 25, 2009. Meetings
were also scheduled with
representatives from the Alaska Eskimo
Whaling Commission (AEWC), and
presentations on proposed activities
were given to the Inupiat Community of
the Arctic Slope, and the Native Village
of Barrow. On December 8, 2009, Shell
held consultation meetings with
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representatives from the various marine
mammal commissions. Prior to drilling
in 2012, Shell will also hold additional
consultation meetings with the affected
communities and subsistence user
groups, NSB, and NWAB to discuss the
mitigation measures included in the
POC. Shell also attended the 2011
Conflict Avoidance Agreement (CAA)
negotiation meetings in support of a
limited program of marine
environmental baseline activities in
2011 taking place in the Beaufort and
Chukchi seas. Shell has stated that it is
committed to a CAA process and will
demonstrate this by making a good-faith
effort to negotiate a CAA every year it
has planned activities.
The following mitigation measures,
plans and programs, are integral to the
POC and were developed during
consultation with potentially affected
subsistence groups and communities.
These measures, plans, and programs
will be implemented by Shell during its
2012 exploration drilling operations in
both the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas to
monitor and mitigate potential impacts
to subsistence users and resources. The
mitigation measures Shell has adopted
and will implement during its 2012
Camden Bay exploration drilling
operations are listed and discussed
below. The most recent version of
Shell’s planned mitigation measures
was presented to community leaders
and subsistence user groups starting in
January of 2009 and has evolved since
in response to information learned
during the consultation process.
To minimize any cultural or resource
impacts to subsistence whaling
activities from its exploration
operations, Shell will suspend drilling
activities on August 25, 2012, prior to
the start of the Kaktovik and Cross
Island bowhead whale hunting season.
The drillship and associated vessels will
remain outside of the Camden Bay area
during the hunt. Shell will resume
drilling operations after the conclusion
of the hunt and, depending on ice and
weather conditions, continue its
exploration activities through October
31, 2012. In addition to the adoption of
this project timing restriction, Shell will
implement the following additional
measures to ensure coordination of its
activities with local subsistence users to
minimize further the risk of impacting
marine mammals and interfering with
the subsistence hunts for marine
mammals:
(1) The drillship and support vessels
will transit through the Chukchi Sea
along a route that lies offshore of the
polynya zone. In the event the transit
outside of the polynya zone results in
Shell having to break ice (as opposed to
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managing ice by pushing it out of the
way), the drillship and support vessels
will enter into the polynya zone far
enough so that ice breaking is not
necessary. If it is necessary to move into
the polynya zone, Shell will notify the
local communities of the change in the
transit route through the Com Centers;
(2) Shell has developed a
Communication Plan and will
implement the plan before initiating
exploration drilling operations to
coordinate activities with local
subsistence users as well as Village
Whaling Associations in order to
minimize the risk of interfering with
subsistence hunting activities and keep
current as to the timing and status of the
bowhead whale migration, as well as the
timing and status of other subsistence
hunts. The Communication Plan
includes procedures for coordination
with Com and Call Centers to be located
in coastal villages along the Chukchi
and Beaufort Seas during Shell’s
proposed activities in 2012;
(3) Shell will employ local
Subsistence Advisors from the Beaufort
and Chukchi Sea villages to provide
consultation and guidance regarding the
whale migration and subsistence hunt.
There will be a total of nine subsistence
advisor-liaison positions (one per
village), to work approximately 8-hours
per day and 40-hour weeks through
Shell’s 2012 exploration project. The
subsistence advisor will use local
knowledge (Traditional Knowledge) to
gather data on subsistence lifestyle
within the community and advise on
ways to minimize and mitigate potential
impacts to subsistence resources during
the drilling season. Responsibilities
include reporting any subsistence
concerns or conflicts; coordinating with
subsistence users; reporting subsistencerelated comments, concerns, and
information; and advising how to avoid
subsistence conflicts. A subsistence
advisor handbook will be developed
prior to the operational season to
specify position work tasks in more
detail;
(4) Shell will implement flight
restrictions prohibiting aircraft from
flying within 1,000 ft (305 m) of marine
mammals or below 1,500 ft (457 m)
altitude (except during takeoffs and
landings or in emergency situations)
while over land or sea;
(5) The drilling support fleet will
avoid known fragile ecosystems,
including the Ledyard Bay Critical
Habitat Unit and will include
coordination through the Com Centers;
(6) All vessels will maintain cruising
speed not to exceed 9 knots while
transiting the Beaufort Sea;
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69023
(7) Collect all drilling mud and
cuttings with adhered mud from all well
sections below the 26-inch (20-inch
casing) section, as well as treated
sanitary waste water, domestic wastes,
bilge water, and ballast water and
transport them outside the Arctic for
proper disposal in an Environmental
Protection Agency licensed treatment/
disposal site. These waste streams shall
not be discharged into the ocean;
(8) Drilling mud shall be cooled to
mitigate any potential permafrost
thawing or thermal dissociation of any
methane hydrates encountered during
exploration drilling if such materials are
present at the drill site; and
(9) Drilling mud shall be recycled to
the extent practicable based on
operational considerations (e.g.,
whether mud properties have
deteriorated to the point where they
cannot be used further) so that the
volume of the mud disposed of at the
end of the drilling season is reduced.
The POC also contains measures
regarding ice management procedures,
critical operations procedures, the
blowout prevention program, and oil
spill response. Some of the oil spill
response measures to reduce impacts to
subsistence hunts include: Having the
primary OSRV on standby at all times
so that it is available within 1 hour if
needed; the remainder of the OSR fleet
will be available within 72 hours if
needed and will be capable of collecting
oil on the water up to the calculated
Worst Case Discharge; oil spill
containment equipment will be
available in the unlikely event of a
blowout; capping stack equipment will
be stored aboard one of the ice
management vessels and will be
available for immediate deployment in
the unlikely event of a blowout; and
pre-booming will be required for all fuel
transfers between vessels.
Unmitigable Adverse Impact Analysis
Shell has adopted a spatial and
temporal strategy for its Camden Bay
operations that should minimize
impacts to subsistence hunters. First,
Shell’s activities will not commence
until after the spring hunts have
occurred. Additionally, Shell will
traverse the Chukchi Sea far offshore, so
as to not interfere with July hunts in the
Chukchi Sea and will communicate
with the Com Centers to notify local
communities of any changes in the
transit route. Once Shell is on location
in Camden Bay, Beaufort Sea, whaling
will not commence until late August/
early September. Shell has agreed to
cease operations on August 25 to allow
the villages of Kaktovik and Nuiqsut to
prepare for the fall bowhead hunts, will
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move the drillship and all support
vessels out of the hunting area so that
there are no physical barriers between
the marine mammals and the hunters,
and will not recommence activities until
the close of both villages’ hunts.
Kaktovik is located 60 mi (96.6 km)
east of the project area. Therefore,
westward migrating whales would reach
Kaktovik before reaching the area of
Shell’s activities or any of the
ensonified zones. Although Cross Island
and Barrow are west of Shell’s drill
sites, sound generating activities from
Shell’s drilling program will have
ceased prior to the whales passing
through the area. Additionally, Barrow
lies 298 mi (479.6 km) west of Shell’s
Camden Bay drill sites, so whalers in
that area would not be displaced by any
of Shell’s activities.
Adverse impacts are not anticipated
on sealing activities since the majority
of hunts for seals occur in the winter
and spring, when Shell will not be
operating. Sealing activities in the
Colville River delta area occur more
than 100 mi (161 km) from Shell’s
Camden Bay drill sites.
Shell will also support the village
Com Centers in the Arctic communities
and employ local SAs from the Beaufort
and Chukchi Sea villages to provide
consultation and guidance regarding the
whale migration and subsistence hunt.
The SAs will provide advice to Shell on
ways to minimize and mitigate potential
impacts to subsistence resources during
the drilling season.
In the unlikely event of a major oil
spill in the Beaufort Sea, there could be
major impacts on the availability of
marine mammals for subsistence uses.
As discussed earlier in this document,
the probability of a major oil spill
occurring over the life of the project is
low (Bercha, 2008). Additionally, Shell
developed an ODPCP, which is
currently under review by the
Department of the Interior and several
Federal agencies and the public. Shell
has also incorporated several mitigation
measures into its operational design to
reduce further the risk of an oil spill.
Copies of Shell’s 2012 Camden Bay
Exploration Plan and ODPCP can be
found on the Internet at: https://
www.alaska.boemre.gov/ref/
ProjectHistory/2012Shell_BF/revisedEP/
EP.pdf and https://
www.alaska.boemre.gov/fo/ODPCPs/
2010_BF_rev1.pdf, respectively.
Proposed Incidental Harassment
Authorization
This section contains a draft of the
IHA itself. The wording contained in
this section is proposed for inclusion in
the IHA (if issued).
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(1) This Authorization is valid from
July 10, 2012, through October 31, 2012.
(2) This Authorization is valid only
for activities associated with Shell’s
2012 Camden Bay exploration drilling
program. The specific areas where
Shell’s exploration drilling program will
be conducted are within Shell lease
holdings in the Outer Continental Shelf
Lease Sale 195 and 202 areas in the
Beaufort Sea.
(3)(a) The incidental taking of marine
mammals, by Level B harassment only,
is limited to the following species:
Bowhead whale; gray whale; beluga
whale; harbor porpoise; ringed seal;
bearded seal; spotted seal; and ribbon
seal.
(3)(b) The taking by injury (Level A
harassment), serious injury, or death of
any of the species listed in Condition
3(a) or the taking of any kind of any
other species of marine mammal is
prohibited and may result in the
modification, suspension or revocation
of this Authorization.
(4) The authorization for taking by
harassment is limited to the following
acoustic sources (or sources with
comparable frequency and intensity)
and from the following activities:
(a) 8-airgun array with a total
discharge volume of 760 in3;
(b) continuous drillship sounds
during active drilling operations; and
(c) vessel sounds generated during
active ice management or icebreaking.
(5) The taking of any marine mammal
in a manner prohibited under this
Authorization must be reported
immediately to the Chief, Permits and
Conservation Division, Office of
Protected Resources, NMFS or his
designee.
(6) The holder of this Authorization
must notify the Chief of the Permits and
Conservation Division, Office of
Protected Resources, at least 48 hours
prior to the start of exploration drilling
activities (unless constrained by the
date of issuance of this Authorization in
which case notification shall be made as
soon as possible).
(7) General Mitigation and Monitoring
Requirements: The Holder of this
Authorization is required to implement
the following mitigation and monitoring
requirements when conducting the
specified activities to achieve the least
practicable impact on affected marine
mammal species or stocks:
(a) All vessels shall reduce speed to
at least 9 knots when within 300 yards
(274 m) of whales. The reduction in
speed will vary based on the situation
but must be sufficient to avoid
interfering with the whales. Those
vessels capable of steering around such
groups should do so. Vessels may not be
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operated in such a way as to separate
members of a group of whales from
other members of the group;
(b) Avoid multiple changes in
direction and speed when within 300
yards (274 m) of whales;
(c) When weather conditions require,
such as when visibility drops, support
vessels must reduce speed and change
direction, as necessary (and as
operationally practicable), to avoid the
likelihood of injury to whales;
(d) All vessels shall maintain cruising
speed not to exceed 9 knots while
transiting the Beaufort Sea in order to
reduce the risk of ship-whale collisions;
(e) Aircraft shall not fly within 1,000
ft (305 m) of marine mammals or below
1,500 ft (457 m) altitude (except during
takeoffs, landings, or in emergency
situations) while over land or sea;
(f) Utilize two, NMFS-qualified,
vessel-based Protected Species
Observers (PSOs) (except during meal
times and restroom breaks, when at least
one PSO shall be on watch) to visually
watch for and monitor marine mammals
near the drillship or support vessel
during active drilling or airgun
operations (from nautical twilight-dawn
to nautical twilight-dusk) and before
and during start-ups of airguns day or
night. The vessels’ crew shall also assist
in detecting marine mammals, when
practicable. PSOs shall have access to
reticle binoculars (7x50 Fujinon), bigeye binoculars (25x150), and night
vision devices. PSO shifts shall last no
longer than 4 hours at a time and shall
not be on watch more than 12 hours in
a 24-hour period. PSOs shall also make
observations during daytime periods
when active operations are not being
conducted for comparison of animal
abundance and behavior, when feasible;
(g) When a mammal sighting is made,
the following information about the
sighting will be recorded:
(i) Species, group size, age/size/sex
categories (if determinable), behavior
when first sighted and after initial
sighting, heading (if consistent), bearing
and distance from the MMO, apparent
reaction to activities (e.g., none,
avoidance, approach, paralleling, etc.),
closest point of approach, and
behavioral pace;
(ii) Time, location, speed, activity of
the vessel, sea state, ice cover, visibility,
and sun glare; and
(iii) The positions of other vessel(s) in
the vicinity of the MMO location.
(iv) The ship’s position, speed of
support vessels, and water temperature,
water depth, sea state, ice cover,
visibility, and sun glare will also be
recorded at the start and end of each
observation watch, every 30 minutes
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during a watch, and whenever there is
a change in any of those variables.
(h) PSO teams shall consist of Inupiat
observers and experienced field
biologists. An experienced field crew
leader will supervise the PSO team
onboard the survey vessel. New
observers shall be paired with
experienced observers to avoid
situations where lack of experience
impairs the quality of observations;
(i) PSOs will complete a two- or threeday training session on marine mammal
monitoring, to be conducted shortly
before the anticipated start of the 2012
open-water season. The training
session(s) will be conducted by
qualified marine mammalogists with
extensive crew-leader experience during
previous vessel-based monitoring
programs. A marine mammal observers’
handbook, adapted for the specifics of
the planned program will be reviewed
as part of the training;
(j) If there are Alaska Native PSOs, the
PSO training that is conducted prior to
the start of the survey activities shall be
conducted with both Alaska Native
PSOs and biologist PSOs being trained
at the same time in the same room.
There shall not be separate training
courses for the different PSOs; and
(k) PSOs shall be trained using visual
aids (e.g., videos, photos), to help them
identify the species that they are likely
to encounter in the conditions under
which the animals will likely be seen.
(8) ZVSP Mitigation and Monitoring
Measures: The Holder of this
Authorization is required to implement
the following mitigation and monitoring
requirements when conducting the
specified activities to achieve the least
practicable impact on affected marine
mammal species or stocks:
(a) PSOs shall conduct monitoring
while the airgun array is being deployed
or recovered from the water;
(b) PSOs shall visually observe the
entire extent of the exclusion zone (EZ)
(180 dB re 1 mPa [rms] for cetaceans and
190 dB re 1 mPa [rms] for pinnipeds)
using NMFS-qualified PSOs, for at least
30 minutes (min) prior to starting the
airgun array (day or night). If the PSO
finds a marine mammal within the EZ,
Shell must delay the seismic survey
until the marine mammal(s) has left the
area. If the PSO sees a marine mammal
that surfaces then dives below the
surface, the PSO shall continue the
watch for 30 min. If the PSO sees no
marine mammals during that time, they
should assume that the animal has
moved beyond the EZ. If for any reason
the entire radius cannot be seen for the
entire 30 min period (i.e., rough seas,
fog, darkness), or if marine mammals are
near, approaching, or in the EZ, the
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airguns may not be ramped-up. If one
airgun is already running at a source
level of at least 180 dB re 1 mPa (rms),
the Holder of this Authorization may
start the second airgun without
observing the entire EZ for 30 min prior,
provided no marine mammals are
known to be near the EZ;
(c) Establish and monitor a 180 dB re
1 mPa (rms) and a 190 dB re 1 mPa (rms)
EZ for marine mammals before the 8airgun array (760 in3) is in operation;
and a 180 dB re 1 mPa (rms) and a 190
dB re 1 mPa (rms) EZ before a single
airgun (40 in3) is in operation,
respectively. For purposes of the field
verification tests, described in condition
10(c)(i) below, the 180 dB radius is
predicted to be 0.77 mi (1.24 km) and
the 190 dB radius is predicted to be 0.33
mi (524 m);
(d) Implement a ‘‘ramp-up’’ procedure
when starting up at the beginning of
seismic operations, which means start
the smallest gun first and add airguns in
a sequence such that the source level of
the array shall increase in steps not
exceeding approximately 6 dB per 5min period. During ramp-up, the PSOs
shall monitor the EZ, and if marine
mammals are sighted, a power-down, or
shut-down shall be implemented as
though the full array were operational.
Therefore, initiation of ramp-up
procedures from shut-down requires
that the PSOs be able to view the full
EZ;
(e) Power-down or shutdown the
airgun(s) if a marine mammal is
detected within, approaches, or enters
the relevant EZ. A shutdown means all
operating airguns are shutdown (i.e.,
turned off). A power-down means
reducing the number of operating
airguns to a single operating 40 in3
airgun, which reduces the EZ to the
degree that the animal(s) is no longer in
or about to enter it;
(f) Following a power-down, if the
marine mammal approaches the smaller
designated EZ, the airguns must then be
completely shutdown. Airgun activity
shall not resume until the PSO has
visually observed the marine mammal(s)
exiting the EZ and is not likely to
return, or has not been seen within the
EZ for 15 min for species with shorter
dive durations (small odontocetes and
pinnipeds) or 30 min for species with
longer dive durations (mysticetes);
(g) Following a power-down or shutdown and subsequent animal departure,
airgun operations may resume following
ramp-up procedures described in
Condition 8(d) above;
(h) ZVSP surveys may continue into
night and low-light hours if such
segment(s) of the survey is initiated
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69025
when the entire relevant EZs are visible
and can be effectively monitored; and
(i) No initiation of airgun array
operations is permitted from a
shutdown position at night or during
low-light hours (such as in dense fog or
heavy rain) when the entire relevant EZ
cannot be effectively monitored by the
PSO(s) on duty.
(9) Subsistence Mitigation Measures:
To ensure no unmitigable adverse
impact on subsistence uses of marine
mammals, the Holder of this
Authorization shall:
(a) Traverse north through the Bering
Strait through the Chukchi Sea along a
route that lies offshore of the polynya
zone. In the event the transit outside of
the polynya zone results in Shell having
to break ice, the drilling vessel and
support vessels will enter into the
polynya zone far enough so that
icebreaking is not necessary. If it is
necessary to move into the polynya
zone, Shell shall notify the local
communities of the change in transit
route through the Communication and
Call Centers (Com Centers). As soon as
the fleet transits past the ice, it will exit
the polynya zone and continue a path in
the open sea toward the Camden Bay
drill sites;
(b) Implement the Communication
Plan before initiating exploration
drilling operations to coordinate
activities with local subsistence users
and Village Whaling Associations in
order to minimize the risk of interfering
with subsistence hunting activities;
(c) Participate in the Com Center
Program. The Com Centers shall operate
24 hours/day during the 2012 bowhead
whale hunt;
(d) Employ local Subsistence
Advisors (SAs) from the Beaufort and
Chukchi Sea villages to provide
consultation and guidance regarding the
whale migration and subsistence hunt;
(e) Not operate aircraft below 1,500 ft
(457 m) unless engaged in marine
mammal monitoring, approaching,
landing or taking off, or unless engaged
in providing assistance to a whaler or in
poor weather (low ceilings) or any other
emergency situations;
(f) Collect all drilling mud and
cuttings with adhered mud from all well
sections below the 26-inch (20-inch
casing) section, as well as treated
sanitary waste water, domestic wastes,
bilge water, and ballast water and
transport them outside the Arctic for
proper disposal in an Environmental
Protection Agency licensed treatment/
disposal site. These waste streams shall
not be discharged into the ocean;
(g) Cool all drilling mud to mitigate
any potential permafrost thawing or
thermal dissociation of any methane
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hydrates encountered during
exploration drilling if such materials are
present at the drill site;
(h) Recycle all drilling mud to the
extent practicable based on operational
considerations (e.g., whether mud
properties have deteriorated to the point
where they cannot be used further) so
that the volume of the mud disposed of
at the end of the drilling season is
reduced; and
(i) Suspended all drilling activities on
August 25 for the Kaktovik and Nuiqsut
(Cross Island) fall bowhead whale
hunts. The drilling vessel and support
fleet shall leave the Camden Bay project
area and move to an area north of
latitude 71°25′ N and west of longitude
146°4′ W. Shell shall not return to the
area to resume drilling operations until
the close of the Kaktovik and Nuiqsut
fall bowhead whale hunts.
(10) Monitoring Measures
(a) Vessel-based Monitoring: The
Holder of this Authorization shall
designate biologically-trained PSOs to
be aboard the drillship and all support
vessels. The PSOs are required to
monitor for marine mammals in order to
implement the mitigation measures
described in conditions 7 and 8 above;
(b) Aerial Survey Monitoring: The
Holder of this Authorization must
implement the aerial survey monitoring
program detailed in its Marine Mammal
Mitigation and Monitoring Plan (4MP).
The surveys must commence 5 to 7 days
before operations at the exploration well
sites get underway. Surveys shall be
flown daily throughout operations,
weather and flight conditions permitting
and shall continue for 5 to 7 days after
all activities at the site have ended; and
(c) Acoustic Monitoring:
(i) Field Source Verification: the
Holder of this Authorization is required
to conduct sound source verification
tests for the drilling vessel, support
vessels, and the airgun array. Sound
source verification shall consist of
distances where broadside and endfire
directions at which broadband received
levels reach 190, 180, 170, 160, and 120
dB re 1 mPa (rms) for all active acoustic
sources that may be used during the
activities. For the airgun array, the
configurations shall include at least the
full array and the operation of a single
source that will be used during power
downs. The test results shall be reported
to NMFS within 5 days of completing
the test.
(ii) Acoustic Study of Bowhead
Deflections: Deploy acoustic recorders at
five sites along the bowhead whale
migration path in order to record
vocalizations of bowhead whales as they
pass through the exploration drilling
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area. This program must be
implemented as detailed in the 4MP.
(11) Reporting Requirements: The
Holder of this Authorization is required
to:
(a) Within 5 days of completing the
sound source verification tests for the
drillship, support vessels, and the
airguns, the Holder shall submit a
preliminary report of the results to
NMFS. The report should report down
to the 120-dB radius in 10-dB
increments;
(b) Submit a draft report on all
activities and monitoring results to the
Office of Protected Resources, NMFS,
within 90 days of the completion of the
exploration drilling program. This
report must contain and summarize the
following information:
(i) Summaries of monitoring effort
(e.g., total hours, total distances, and
marine mammal distribution through
the study period, accounting for sea
state and other factors affecting
visibility and detectability of marine
mammals);
(ii) analyses of the effects of various
factors influencing detectability of
marine mammals (e.g., sea state, number
of observers, and fog/glare);
(iii) species composition, occurrence,
and distribution of marine mammal
sightings, including date, water depth,
numbers, age/size/gender categories (if
determinable), group sizes, and ice
cover;
(iv) sighting rates of marine mammals
during periods with and without
exploration drilling activities (and other
variables that could affect detectability),
such as: (A) Initial sighting distances
versus drilling state; (B) closest point of
approach versus drilling state; (C)
observed behaviors and types of
movements versus drilling state; (D)
numbers of sightings/individuals seen
versus drilling state; (E) distribution
around the survey vessel versus drilling
state; and (F) estimates of take by
harassment;
(v) Reported results from all
hypothesis tests should include
estimates of the associated statistical
power when practicable;
(vi) Estimate and report uncertainty in
all take estimates. Uncertainty could be
expressed by the presentation of
confidence limits, a minimummaximum, posterior probability
distribution, etc.; the exact approach
would be selected based on the
sampling method and data available;
(vii) The report should clearly
compare authorized takes to the level of
actual estimated takes.
(viii) If, after the independent
monitoring plan peer review changes
are made to the monitoring program,
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those changes must be detailed in the
report.
(c) The draft report will be subject to
review and comment by NMFS. Any
recommendations made by NMFS must
be addressed in the final report prior to
acceptance by NMFS. The draft report
will be considered the final report for
this activity under this Authorization if
NMFS has not provided comments and
recommendations within 90 days of
receipt of the draft report.
(d) A draft comprehensive report
describing the aerial, acoustic, and
vessel-based monitoring programs will
be prepared and submitted within 240
days of the date of this Authorization.
The comprehensive report will describe
the methods, results, conclusions and
limitations of each of the individual
data sets in detail. The report will also
integrate (to the extent possible) the
studies into a broad based assessment of
all industry activities and their impacts
on marine mammals in the Arctic Ocean
during 2012.
(e) The draft comprehensive report
will be subject to review and comment
by NMFS, the AEWC, and the NSB
Department of Wildlife Management.
The draft comprehensive report will be
accepted by NMFS as the final
comprehensive report upon
incorporation of comments and
recommendations.
(12)(a) In the unanticipated event that
the drilling program operation clearly
causes the take of a marine mammal in
a manner prohibited by this
Authorization, such as an injury (Level
A harassment), serious injury or
mortality (e.g., ship-strike, gear
interaction, and/or entanglement), Shell
shall immediately cease operations and
immediately report the incident to the
Chief of the Permits and Conservation
Division, Office of Protected Resources,
NMFS, by phone or email and the
Alaska Regional Stranding Coordinators.
The report must include the following
information: (i) Time, date, and location
(latitude/longitude) of the incident; (ii)
the name and type of vessel involved;
(iii) the vessel’s speed during and
leading up to the incident; (iv)
description of the incident; (v) status of
all sound source use in the 24 hours
preceding the incident; (vi) water depth;
(vii) environmental conditions (e.g.,
wind speed and direction, Beaufort sea
state, cloud cover, and visibility); (viii)
description of marine mammal
observations in the 24 hours preceding
the incident; (ix) species identification
or description of the animal(s) involved;
(x) the fate of the animal(s); (xi) and
photographs or video footage of the
animal (if equipment is available).
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Activities shall not resume until
NMFS is able to review the
circumstances of the prohibited take.
NMFS shall work with Shell to
determine what is necessary to
minimize the likelihood of further
prohibited take and ensure MMPA
compliance. Shell may not resume their
activities until notified by NMFS via
letter, email, or telephone.
(b) In the event that Shell discovers an
injured or dead marine mammal, and
the lead PSO determines that the cause
of the injury or death is unknown and
the death is relatively recent (i.e., in less
than a moderate state of decomposition
as described in the next paragraph),
Shell will immediately report the
incident to the Chief of the Permits and
Conservation Division, Office of
Protected Resources, NMFS, by phone
or email and the NMFS Alaska
Stranding Hotline and/or by email to the
Alaska Regional Stranding Coordinators.
The report must include the same
information identified in Condition
12(a) above. Activities may continue
while NMFS reviews the circumstances
of the incident. NMFS will work with
Shell to determine whether
modifications in the activities are
appropriate.
(c) In the event that Shell discovers an
injured or dead marine mammal, and
the lead PSO determines that the injury
or death is not associated with or related
to the activities authorized in Condition
2 of this Authorization (e.g., previously
wounded animal, carcass with moderate
to advanced decomposition, or
scavenger damage), Shell shall report
the incident to the Chief of the Permits
and Conservation Division, Office of
Protected Resources, NMFS, by phone
or email and the NMFS Alaska
Stranding Hotline and/or by email to the
Alaska Regional Stranding Coordinators,
within 24 hours of the discovery. Shell
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shall provide photographs or video
footage (if available) or other
documentation of the stranded animal
sighting to NMFS and the Marine
Mammal Stranding Network. Activities
may continue while NMFS reviews the
circumstances of the incident.
(13) Activities related to the
monitoring described in this
Authorization do not require a separate
scientific research permit issued under
section 104 of the Marine Mammal
Protection Act.
(14) The Plan of Cooperation
outlining the steps that will be taken to
cooperate and communicate with the
native communities to ensure the
availability of marine mammals for
subsistence uses must be implemented.
(15) Shell is required to comply with
the Terms and Conditions of the
Incidental Take Statement (ITS)
corresponding to NMFS’s Biological
Opinion issued to NMFS’s Office of
Protected Resources.
(16) A copy of this Authorization and
the ITS must be in the possession of all
contractors and PSOs operating under
the authority of this Incidental
Harassment Authorization.
(17) Penalties and Permit Sanctions:
Any person who violates any provision
of this Incidental Harassment
Authorization is subject to civil and
criminal penalties, permit sanctions,
and forfeiture as authorized under the
MMPA.
(18) This Authorization may be
modified, suspended or withdrawn if
the Holder fails to abide by the
conditions prescribed herein or if the
authorized taking is having more than a
negligible impact on the species or stock
of affected marine mammals, or if there
is an unmitigable adverse impact on the
availability of such species or stocks for
subsistence uses.
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69027
Endangered Species Act (ESA)
There is one marine mammal species
listed as endangered under the ESA
with confirmed or possible occurrence
in the proposed project area: the
bowhead whale. NMFS’ Permits and
Conservation Division will initiate
consultation with NMFS’ Endangered
Species Division under section 7 of the
ESA on the issuance of an IHA to Shell
under section 101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA
for this activity. Consultation will be
concluded prior to a determination on
the issuance of an IHA.
National Environmental Policy Act
(NEPA)
NMFS is currently preparing an
Environmental Assessment (EA),
pursuant to NEPA, to determine
whether the issuance of an IHA to Shell
for its 2012 drilling activities may have
a significant impact on the human
environment. NMFS expects to release a
draft of the EA for public comment, and
will inform the public, through the
Federal Register and posting on our
Web site, once a draft is available (see
ADDRESSES).
Request for Public Comment
As noted above, NMFS requests
comment on our analysis, the draft
authorization, and any other aspect of
the Notice of Proposed IHA for Shell’s
2012 Beaufort Sea exploratory drilling
program. Please include, with your
comments, any supporting data or
literature citations to help inform our
final decision on Shell’s request for an
MMPA authorization.
Dated: October 31, 2011.
James H. Lecky,
Director, Office of Protected Resources,
National Marine Fisheries Service.
[FR Doc. 2011–28641 Filed 11–4–11; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3510–22–P
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 76, Number 215 (Monday, November 7, 2011)]
[Notices]
[Pages 68974-69027]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2011-28641]
[[Page 68973]]
Vol. 76
Monday,
No. 215
November 7, 2011
Part III
Department of Commerce
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National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
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Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to Specified Activities; Taking
Marine Mammals Incidental to an Exploration Drilling Program Near
Camden Bay, Beaufort Sea, AK; Notice
Federal Register / Vol. 76 , No. 215 / Monday, November 7, 2011 /
Notices
[[Page 68974]]
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DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
RIN 0648-XA804
Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to Specified Activities;
Taking Marine Mammals Incidental to an Exploration Drilling Program
Near Camden Bay, Beaufort Sea, AK;
AGENCY: National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Commerce.
ACTION: Notice; proposed incidental harassment authorization; request
for comments.
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SUMMARY: NMFS received an application from Shell Offshore Inc. (Shell)
for an Incidental Harassment Authorization (IHA) to take marine
mammals, by harassment, incidental to offshore exploration drilling on
Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) leases in the Beaufort Sea, Alaska.
Pursuant to the Marine Mammal Protection Act (MMPA), NMFS is requesting
comments on its proposal to issue an IHA to Shell to take, by Level B
harassment only, eight species of marine mammals during the specified
activity.
DATES: Comments and information must be received no later than December
7, 2011.
ADDRESSES: Comments on the application should be addressed to Michael
Payne, Chief, Permits and Conservation Division, Office of Protected
Resources, National Marine Fisheries Service, 1315 East-West Highway,
Silver Spring, MD 20910. The mailbox address for providing email
comments is ITP.Nachman@noaa.gov. NMFS is not responsible for email
comments sent to addresses other than the one provided here. Comments
sent via email, including all attachments, must not exceed a 10-
megabyte file size.
Instructions: All comments received are a part of the public record
and will generally be posted to https://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/permits/incidental.htm without change. All Personal Identifying Information
(for example, name, address, etc.) voluntarily submitted by the
commenter may be publicly accessible. Do not submit Confidential
Business Information or otherwise sensitive or protected information.
A copy of the application, which contains several attachments,
including Shell's marine mammal mitigation and monitoring plan and Plan
of Cooperation, used in this document may be obtained by writing to the
address specified above, telephoning the contact listed below (see FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT), or visiting the Internet at: https://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/permits/incidental.htm. Documents cited in this
notice may also be viewed, by appointment, during regular business
hours, at the aforementioned address.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Candace Nachman, Office of Protected
Resources, NMFS, (301) 427-8401.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background
Sections 101(a)(5)(A) and (D) of the MMPA (16 U.S.C. 1361 et seq.)
direct the Secretary of Commerce to allow, upon request, the
incidental, but not intentional, taking of small numbers of marine
mammals by U.S. citizens who engage in a specified activity (other than
commercial fishing) within a specified geographical region if certain
findings are made and either regulations are issued or, if the taking
is limited to harassment, a notice of a proposed authorization is
provided to the public for review.
Authorization for incidental takings shall be granted if NMFS finds
that the taking will have a negligible impact on the species or
stock(s), will not have an unmitigable adverse impact on the
availability of the species or stock(s) for subsistence uses (where
relevant), and if the permissible methods of taking and requirements
pertaining to the mitigation, monitoring and reporting of such takings
are set forth. NMFS has defined ``negligible impact'' in 50 CFR 216.103
as ``* * * an impact resulting from the specified activity that cannot
be reasonably expected to, and is not reasonably likely to, adversely
affect the species or stock through effects on annual rates of
recruitment or survival.''
Section 101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA established an expedited process
by which citizens of the U.S. can apply for an authorization to
incidentally take small numbers of marine mammals by harassment.
Section 101(a)(5)(D) establishes a 45-day time limit for NMFS review of
an application followed by a 30-day public notice and comment period on
any proposed authorizations for the incidental harassment of marine
mammals. Within 45 days of the close of the comment period, NMFS must
either issue or deny the authorization.
Except with respect to certain activities not pertinent here, the
MMPA defines ``harassment'' as:
Any act of pursuit, torment, or annoyance which (i) has the
potential to injure a marine mammal or marine mammal stock in the
wild [``Level A harassment'']; or (ii) has the potential to disturb
a marine mammal or marine mammal stock in the wild by causing
disruption of behavioral patterns, including, but not limited to,
migration, breathing, nursing, breeding, feeding, or sheltering
[``Level B harassment''].
Summary of Request
NMFS received an application on May 10, 2011, from Shell for the
taking, by harassment, of marine mammals incidental to offshore
exploration drilling on OCS leases in the Beaufort Sea, Alaska. NMFS
reviewed Shell's application and identified a number of issues
requiring further clarification. After addressing comments from NMFS,
Shell modified its application and submitted a revised application on
September 2, 2011. NMFS carefully evaluated Shell's application,
including their analyses, and determined that the application is
complete. The September 2, 2011, application is the one available for
public comment (see ADDRESSES) and considered by NMFS for this proposed
IHA.
Shell plans to drill two exploration wells at two drill sites in
Camden Bay, Beaufort Sea, Alaska, during the 2012 Arctic open-water
season (July through October). Impacts to marine mammals may occur from
noise produced by the drillship, zero-offset vertical seismic profile
(ZVSP) surveys, and supporting vessels (including icebreakers) and
aircraft. Shell has requested an authorization to take 11 marine mammal
species by Level B harassment. However, some of these species are not
expected to be found in the activity area. Therefore, NMFS is proposing
to authorize take of eight marine mammal species, by Level B
harassment, incidental to Shell's offshore exploration drilling program
in Camden Bay. These species include: Beluga whale (Delphinapterus
leucas); bowhead whale (Balaena mysticetus); gray whale (Eschrichtius
robustus); harbor porpoise (Phocoena phocoena); bearded seal
(Erignathus barbatus); ringed seal (Phoca hispida); spotted seal (P.
largha); and ribbon seal (Histriophoca fasciata).
Description of the Specified Activity and Specified Geographic Region
Shell plans to conduct an offshore exploration drilling program on
U.S. Department of the Interior, Bureau of Ocean Energy Management
(BOEM, formerly the Minerals Management Service) Alaska OCS leases
located north of Point Thomson near Camden Bay in the Beaufort Sea,
Alaska, during the 2012 open-water season. During the 2012 drilling
program, Shell plans to complete two exploration wells at two
[[Page 68975]]
drill sites, one well each on the Torpedo prospect (NR06-04 Flaxman
Island lease block 6610, OCS-Y-1941 [Flaxman Island 6610--Torpedo ``H''
or ``J'' drill site]) and the Sivulliq prospect (NR06-04 Flaxman Island
lease block 6658, OCS-Y 1805 [Flaxman Island 6658--Sivulliq ``N'' or
``G'' drill sites]). See Figure 1-1 in Shell's application for the
lease block and drill site locations (see ADDRESSES). All drilling is
planned to be vertical.
Exploration Drilling
Shell plans to drill the Torpedo prospect well (Torpedo ``H'' or
``J'') first, followed by the Sivulliq well (Sivulliq ``N'' or ``G''),
unless adverse surface conditions or other factors dictate a reversal
of drilling sequence. In that case, Shell will mobilize to the Sivulliq
prospect and drill there first. Because this is an Arctic program,
weather and ice conditions will dictate actual operations. The Torpedo
H and J drill sites are located 20.8 and 23.1 mi (33.5 and 37.2 km)
from shore in water 120 and 124 ft (36.6 and 37.8 m) deep,
respectively. The Sivulliq G and N drill sites are located 16.6 and
16.2 mi (26.7 and 26.1 km) from shore in water 110 and 107 ft (33.5 and
32.6 m) deep, respectively.
(1) Drilling Vessels
Shell plans to use one of two drilling vessels for its proposed
2012 Camden Bay exploratory drilling program: The Kulluk (owned by
Shell and operated by Noble Drilling [Noble]); or the Discoverer (owned
and operated by Noble). Only one of these drilling vessels would be
used for the Camden Bay program, not both. Information on each vessel
is provided next, and additional details can be found in Attachment A
of Shell's IHA application (see ADDRESSES).
The Kulluk has an Arctic Class IV hull design, is capable of
drilling in up to 600 ft (182.9 m) of water and is moored using a 12-
point anchor system. The vessel is 266 ft (81 m) long. The Kulluk's
mooring system consists of 12 Hepburn winches located on the outboard
side of the main deck. Anchor wires lead off the bottom of each winch
drum inboard for approximately 55 ft (16.8 m). The wire is then
redirected by a sheave, down through a hawse pipe to an underwater, ice
protected, swivel fairlead. The wire travels from the fairlead directly
under the hull to the anchor system on the seafloor. The Kulluk would
have an anchor radius maximum of 3,117 ft (950 m) for the Sivulliq and
Torpedo drill sites. While on location at the drill sites, the Kulluk
will be affixed to the seafloor using 12, 15 metric ton Stevpris
anchors arranged in a radial array.
The Kulluk is designed to maintain its location in drilling mode in
moving ice with thickness up to 4 ft (1.2 m) without the aid of any
active ice management. With the aid of the ice management vessels, the
Kulluk would be able to withstand more severe ice conditions. In more
open-water conditions, the Kulluk can maintain its drilling location
during storm events with wave heights up to 18 ft (5.5 m) while
drilling, and can withstand wave heights of up to 40 ft (12.2 m) when
not drilling and disconnected (assuming a storm duration of 24 hours).
The Discoverer is a true drillship and is a largely self-contained
drillship that offers full accommodations for a crew of up to 140
persons. The Discoverer is 514 ft (156.7 m) long with a maximum height
(above keel) of 274 ft (83.7 m). It is an anchored drillship with an 8-
point anchored mooring system and would likely have a maximum anchor
radius of 2,969-2,986 ft (905-910 m) at either the Sivulliq or Torpedo
drill sites. While on location at the drill sites, the Discoverer will
be affixed to the seafloor using eight 7,000 kg (7.7 ton) Stevpris
anchors arranged in a radial array. The underwater fairleads prevent
ice fouling of the anchor lines. Turret mooring allows orientation of
the vessel's bow into the prevailing ice drift direction to present
minimum hull exposure to drifting ice. The vessel is rotated around the
turret by hydraulic jacks. Rotation can be augmented by the use of the
fitted bow and stern thrusters. The hull has been reinforced for ice
resistance. Ice-strengthened sponsons have been retrofitted to the
ship's hull.
(2) Support Vessels
During the 2012 drilling season, the Kulluk or Discoverer will be
attended by 11 vessels that will be used for ice-management, anchor
handling, oil spill response (OSR), refueling, resupply, drill mud/
cuttings and wastewater transfer, equipment and waste holding, and
servicing of the drilling operations. Tables 1-1a and 1-1b in Shell's
application provide lists of the support vessels to be used during the
drilling program and OSR vessels. The workboats associated with OSR
training (which are stored on an OSR barge) are not counted among the
11 attending vessels. All vessels are intended to be either in transit
or staged (i.e., on anchor) in the Beaufort Sea during the exploration
drilling activities. The oil spill tanker (OST) would be staged such
that it would arrive at a recovery site, if needed, within 24 hours of
departure from the staging location. The purpose of the OST would be to
provide a place to store large volumes of recovered crude oil, emulsion
and free water in the unlikely event of a spill, and OSR operations.
Additional information on Shell's fleet of oil spill response vessels
can be found in the IHA application.
The M/V Nordica (Nordica) or a similar vessel will serve as the
primary ice management vessel in support of the Kulluk or Discoverer.
Hull 247 or a similar vessel will provide anchor handling duties, serve
as the berthing (accommodations) vessel for the OSR crew, and will also
serve as a secondary ice management vessel by managing smaller ice
floes that may pose a potential safety issue to the drillship and the
support vessels servicing the drillship. This vessel will also provide
supplemental oil recovery capability (Vessel of Opportunity Skimming
System [VOSS]). When managing ice, the Nordica (or similar vessel) and
Hull 247 will generally be confined to a 40[deg] arc up to 3.1 mi (4.9
km) upwind originating at the drilling vessel (see Figure 1-3 in
Shell's application). It is anticipated that the ice management vessels
will be managing ice for up to 38% of the time when within 25 mi (40
km) of the Kulluk or Discoverer. Active ice management involves using
the ice management vessel to steer larger floes so that their path does
not intersect with the drill site. Around-the-clock ice forecasting
using real-time satellite coverage (available through Shell Ice and
Weather Advisory Center [SIWAC]) will support the ice management
duties. When the Nordica and Hull 247 are not needed for ice
management, they will reside outside the 25 mi (40 km) radius from the
Kulluk or Discoverer if it is safe to do so. These vessels will enter
and exit the Beaufort Sea with the Kulluk or Discoverer.
The exploration drilling operations will require the transfer of
supplies between either the Deadhorse/West Dock shorebase or Dutch
Harbor and the drillship (either the Kulluk or Discoverer). While the
Kulluk or Discoverer is anchored at a drill site, Shell anticipates 24
visits/tie-ups (if the Kulluk is the drilling vessel being used) or 8
visits/tie-ups (if the Discoverer is being used) throughout the
drilling season from support vessels. During resupply, mud/cuttings and
other waste streams will be transferred to a deck barge or waste barge
for temporary storage, which will be brought south for disposal at the
end of the drilling season. Additional information on the resupply and
waste removal vessels can be found in Shell's application. Removal of
waste and resupply to the
[[Page 68976]]
drilling vessels will be conducted the same way regardless of drilling
vessel.
(3) Aircraft
An AW139 or Sikorsky S-92 helicopter based in Deadhorse will be
used for flights between the shorebase and drill sites. It is expected
that on average, up to two flights per day (approximately 12 flights
per week) will be necessary to transport supplies and rotate crews. A
Sikorsky S-92 based in Barrow will be used for search and rescue
operations. Marine mammal monitoring flights will utilize a de
Havilland Twin Otter aircraft. The de Havilland Twin Otter is expected
to fly daily. Table 1-1c in Shell's application presents the aircraft
planned to support the exploration drilling program.
Zero-Offset Vertical Seismic Profile
At the end of each drill hole, Shell may conduct a geophysical
survey referred to as ZVSP at each drill site where a well is drilled
in 2012. During ZVSP surveys, an airgun array is deployed at a location
near or adjacent to the drilling vessel, while receivers are placed
(temporarily anchored) in the wellbore. The sound source (airgun array)
is fired repeatedly, and the reflected sonic waves are recorded by
receivers (geophones) located in the wellbore. The geophones, typically
in a string, are then raised up to the next interval in the wellbore,
and the process is repeated until the entire wellbore has been
surveyed. The purpose of the ZVSP is to gather geophysical information
at various depths, which can then be used to tie-in or ground-truth
geophysical information from the previous seismic surveys with
geological data collected within the wellbore.
Shell intends to conduct a particular form of vertical seismic
profile known as a ZVSP, in which the sound source is maintained at a
constant location near the wellbore (see Figure 1-2 in Shell's
application). A typical sound source that would be used by Shell in
2012 is the ITAGA eight-airgun array, which consists of four 150 in\3\
airguns and four 40 in\3\ airguns. These airguns can be activated in
any combination, and Shell intends to utilize the minimum airgun volume
required to obtain an acceptable signal. Current specifications of the
array are provided in Table 1-2 of Shell's application. The airgun
array is depicted within its frame or sled, which is approximately 6 ft
x 5 ft x 10 ft (1.8 m x 1.5 m x 3 m) (see photograph in Shell's
application). Typical receivers would consist of a Schlumberger
wireline four level Vertical Seismic Imager (VSI) tool, which has four
receivers 50-ft (15-m) apart.
A ZVSP survey is normally conducted at each well after total depth
is reached but may be conducted at a shallower depth. For each survey,
Shell plans to deploy the airgun array over the side of the Kulluk or
Discoverer with a crane (sound source will be 50-200 ft [15-61 m] from
the wellhead depending on crane location) to a depth of approximately
10-23 ft (3-7 m) below the water surface. The VSI, with its four
receivers, will be temporarily anchored in the wellbore at depth. The
sound source will be pressured up to 2,000 pounds per square inch (psi)
and activated 5-7 times at approximately 20-second intervals. The VSI
will then be moved to the next interval of the wellbore and reanchored,
after which the airgun array will again be activated 5-7 times. This
process will be repeated until the entire well bore is surveyed in this
manner. The interval between anchor points for the VSI usually is
between 200 and 300 ft (61 and 91 m). A normal ZVSP survey is conducted
over a period of about 10-14 hours, depending on the depth of the well
and the number of anchoring points. Therefore, considering a few
different scenarios, the airgun array could be fired between 117 and
245 times during the 10-14 hour period. For example, a 7,000-ft
(2,133.6-m) well with 200-ft (61-m) spacing and seven activations per
station would result in the airgun array being fired 245 times to
survey the entire well. That same 7,000-ft (2,133.6-m) well with 300-ft
(91-m) spacing and five activations would result in the airgun array
being fired 117 times to survey the entire well. The remainder of the
time during those 10-14 hours when the airgun is not firing is used to
move and anchor the geophone array.
Ice Management and Forecasting
Shell recognizes that the drilling program is located in an area
that is characterized by active sea ice movement, ice scouring, and
storm surges. In anticipation of potential ice hazards that may be
encountered, Shell has developed and will implement an Ice Management
Plan (IMP; see Attachment B in Shell's IHA application) to ensure real-
time ice and weather forecasting is conducted in order to identify
conditions that might put operations at risk and will modify its
activities accordingly. The IMP also contains ice threat classification
levels depending on the time available to suspend drilling operations,
secure the well, and escape from advancing hazardous ice. Real-time ice
and weather forecasting will be available to operations personnel for
planning purposes and to alert the fleet of impending hazardous ice and
weather conditions. Ice and weather forecasting is provided by SIWAC.
The center is continuously manned by experienced personnel, who rely on
a number of data sources for ice forecasting and tracking, including:
Radarsat and Envisat data--satellites with Synthetic
Aperture Radar, providing all-weather imagery of ice conditions with
very high resolution;
Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer--a satellite
providing lower resolution visual and near infrared imagery;
Aerial reconnaissance--provided by specially deployed
fixed wing or rotary wing aircraft for confirmation of ice conditions
and position;
Reports from ice specialists on the ice management and
anchor handling vessels and from the ice observer on the drillship;
Incidental ice data provided by commercial ships
transiting the area; and
Information from NOAA ice centers and the University of
Colorado.
Drift ice will be actively managed by ice management vessels,
consisting of an ice management vessel and an anchor handling vessel.
Ice management for safe operation of Shell's planned exploration
drilling program will occur far out in the OCS, remote from the
vicinities of any routine marine vessel traffic in the Beaufort Sea
causing no threat to public safety or services that occurs near to
shore. Shell vessels will also communicate movements and activities
through the 2012 North Slope Communications Centers. Management of ice
by ice management vessels will occur during a drilling season
predominated by open water and thus is not expected to contribute to
ice hazards, such as ridging, override, or pileup in an offshore or
nearshore environment.
The ice-management/anchor handling vessels would manage the ice by
deflecting any ice floes that could affect the Kulluk or Discoverer
when it is drilling and would also handle the Kulluk's or Discoverer's
anchors during connection to and separation from the seafloor. When
managing ice, the ice management and anchor handling vessels will
generally be operating at a 40[deg] arc up to 3.1 mi (4.9 km) upwind
originating at the Kulluk or Discoverer (see Figure 1-3 in Shell's
application).
It is anticipated that the ice management vessels will be managing
ice for 38% of the time when within 25 mi (40 km) of the Kulluk or
Discoverer.
[[Page 68977]]
The ice floe frequency and intensity are unpredictable and could range
from no ice to ice sufficiently dense that the fleet has insufficient
capacity to continue operating, and the Kulluk or Discoverer would need
to disconnect from its anchors and move off site. If ice is present,
ice management activities may be necessary in early July and towards
the end of operations in late October, but it is not expected to be
needed throughout the proposed drilling season. Shell has indicated
that when ice is present at the drill site, ice disturbance will be
limited to the minimum needed to allow drilling to continue. First-year
ice (i.e., ice that formed in the most recent autumn-winter period)
will be the type most likely to be encountered. The ice management
vessels will be tasked with managing the ice so that it will flow
easily around and past the Kulluk or Discoverer without building up in
front of or around it. This type of ice is managed by the ice
management vessel continually moving back and forth across the drift
line, directly up-drift of the Kulluk or Discoverer and making turns at
both ends. During ice management, the vessel's propeller is rotating at
approximately 15-20 percent of the vessel's propeller rotation
capacity. Ice management occurs with slow movements of the vessel using
lower power and therefore slower propeller rotation speed (i.e., lower
cavitation), allowing for fewer repositions of the vessel, thereby
reducing cavitation effects in the water. Occasionally, there may be
multi-year ice (i.e., ice that has survived at least one summer melt
season) ridges that would be managed at a much slower speed than that
used to manage first-year ice.
During Camden Bay exploration drilling operations, Shell has
indicated that they do not intend to conduct any icebreaking
activities; rather, Shell would deploy its support vessels to manage
ice as described here. As detailed in Shell's IMP (see Attachment B of
Shell's IHA application), actual breaking of ice would occur only in
the unlikely event that ice conditions in the immediate vicinity of
operations create a safety hazard for the drilling vessel. In such a
circumstance, operations personnel will follow the guidelines
established in the IMP to evaluate ice conditions and make the formal
designation of a hazardous, ice alert condition, which would trigger
the procedures that govern any actual icebreaking operations.
Historical data relative to ice conditions in the Beaufort Sea in the
vicinity of Shell's planned operations, and during the timeframe for
those operations, establish that there is a very low probability (e.g.,
minimal) for the type of hazardous ice conditions that might
necessitate icebreaking (e.g., records of the National Naval Ice Center
archives). This probability could be greater at the shoulders of the
drilling season (early July or late October); therefore, for purposes
of evaluating possible impacts of the planned activities, Shell has
assumed limited icebreaking activities for a very limited period of
time, and estimated incidental takes of marine mammals from such
activities.
Timeframe of Activities
Shell's base plan is for the Kulluk or Discoverer and the
associated support vessels to transit through the Bering Strait, after
July 1, 2012, then through the Chukchi Sea, around Pt. Barrow, and east
through the Alaskan Beaufort Sea, before arriving on location at the
Torpedo ``H'' location on or about July 10, or Sivulliq ``N'' if
adverse surface conditions or other factors dictate a reversal of
drilling sequence. At the completion of the drilling season on or
before October 31, 2012, one or two ice management vessels, along with
various support vessels, such as the OSR fleet, will accompany the
Kulluk or Discoverer as it travels west through the Beaufort Sea, then
south through the Chukchi Sea and the Bering Strait. Subject to ice
conditions, alternate exit routes may be considered. Shell has planned
a suspension of all operations beginning on August 25 for the Nuiqsut
(Cross Island) and Kaktovik subsistence bowhead whale hunts. During the
suspension for the whale hunts, the drilling fleet will leave the
Camden Bay project area, will move to a location at or north of 71.25
[deg] N. latitude and at or west of 146.4 [deg] W. longitude and will
return to resume activities after the Nuiqsut (Cross Island) and
Kaktovik subsistence bowhead whale hunts conclude. Shell will consult
with the Whaling Captain's Associations of Kaktovik and Nuiqsut to
ascertain the conclusion of their respective fall subsistence bowhead
whale hunts.
Shell will cease drilling on or before October 31, after which the
Kulluk or Discoverer will exit the Alaskan Beaufort Sea. In total,
Shell anticipates that the exploration drilling program will require
approximately 78 drilling days, excluding weather delays, the shutdown
period to accommodate the fall bowhead whale harvests at Kaktovik and
Cross Island (Nuiqsut), or other operational delays. Time to conduct
the ZVSP surveys is included in the 78 drilling days. Shell assumes
approximately 11 additional days will be needed for drillship
mobilization, drillship moves between locations, and drillship
demobilization.
Activities associated with the 2012 Camden Bay, Beaufort Sea,
exploration drilling program include operation of the drillship (either
the Kulluk or Discoverer), associated support vessels, crew change
support, and re-supply, ZVSP surveys, and icebreaking. The Kulluk or
Discoverer will remain at the location of the designated exploration
drill sites except when mobilizing and demobilizing to and from Camden
Bay, transiting between drill sites, and temporarily moving off
location if it is determined ice conditions require such a move to
ensure the safety of personnel and/or the environment in accordance
with Shell's IMP. Ice management vessels, anchor tenders, and OSR
vessels will remain in close proximity to the drillship during drilling
operations.
Exploratory Drilling Program Sound Characteristics
Potential impacts to marine mammals could occur from the noise
produced by the drillship and its support vessels (including the
icebreakers), aircraft, and the airgun array during ZVSP surveys. The
drillship produces continuous noise into the marine environment. NMFS
currently uses a threshold of 120 dB re 1 [micro]Pa (rms) for the onset
of Level B harassment from continuous sound sources. This 120 dB
threshold is also applicable for the icebreakers when actively managing
or breaking ice. The drilling vessel to be used will be either the
Kulluk or the Discoverer. The two vessels are likely to introduce
somewhat different levels of sound into the water during the
exploration drilling activities. The airgun array proposed to be used
by Shell for the ZVSP surveys produces pulsed noise into the marine
environment. NMFS currently uses a threshold of 160 dB re 1 [micro]Pa
(rms) for the onset of Level B harassment from pulsed sound sources.
(1) Drilling Sounds
Exploratory drilling will be conducted from the Kulluk or
Discoverer, vessels specifically designed for such operations in the
Arctic. Underwater sound propagation results from the use of
generators, drilling machinery, and the rig itself. Received sound
levels during vessel-based operations may fluctuate depending on the
specific type of activity at a given time and aspect from the vessel.
Underwater sound levels may also depend on the specific equipment in
operation. Lower sound levels have been reported during well logging
than during drilling operations
[[Page 68978]]
(Greene, 1987b), and underwater sound levels appeared to be lower at
the bow and stern aspects than at the beam (Greene, 1987a).
Most drilling sounds generated from vessel-based operations occur
at relatively low frequencies below 600 Hz although tones up to 1,850
Hz were recorded by Greene (1987a) during drilling operations in the
Beaufort Sea. At a range of 558 ft (170 m) the 20-1000 Hz band level
was 122-125 dB for the drillship Explorer I. Underwater sound levels
were slightly higher (134 dB) during drilling activity from the
Northern Explorer II at a range of 656 ft (200 m), although tones were
only recorded below 600 Hz. Underwater sound measurements from the
Kulluk at 0.62 mi (1 km) were higher (143 dB) than from the other two
vessels. Sounds from the Kulluk were measured in the Beaufort Sea in
1986 and reported by Greene (1987a). The back propagated broadband
source level from the measurements (185.5 dB re 1 [micro]Pa at 1 m
(rms); reported from the 1/3-octave band levels), which included sounds
from a support vessel operating nearby, were used to model sound
propagation at the Sivulliq prospect near Camden Bay.
Sound measurements from the Discoverer have not previously been
conducted in the Arctic. However, measurements of sounds produced by
the Discoverer were made in the South China Sea in 2009 (Austin and
Warner, 2010). The results of those measurements were used to model the
sound propagation from the Discoverer (including a nearby support
vessel) at planned exploration drilling locations in the Beaufort Sea
(Warner and Hannay, 2011). Broadband source levels of sounds produced
by the Discoverer varied by activity and direction from the ship but
were generally between 177 and 185 dB re 1 [mu]Pa at 1 m (rms) (Austin
and Warner, 2010). Once on location at the drill sites in Camden Bay,
Shell plans to take measurements of the drillship (either the Kulluk or
Discoverer) to quantify the absolute sound levels produced by drilling
and to monitor their variations with time, distance, and direction from
the drilling vessel.
(2) Vessel Sounds
In addition to the drillship, various types of vessels will be used
in support of the operations, including ice management vessels, anchor
handlers, offshore supply vessels, barges and tugs, and OSR vessels.
Sounds from boats and vessels have been reported extensively (Greene
and Moore, 1995; Blackwell and Greene, 2002, 2005, 2006). Numerous
measurements of underwater vessel sound have been performed in support
of recent industry activity in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas. Results
of these measurements were reported in various 90-day and comprehensive
reports since 2007 (e.g., Aerts et al., 2008; Hauser et al., 2008;
Brueggeman, 2009; Ireland et al., 2009). For example, Garner and Hannay
(2009) estimated sound pressure levels of 100 dB at distances ranging
from approximately 1.5 to 2.3 mi (2.4 to 3.7 km) from various types of
barges. MacDonald et al. (2008) estimated higher underwater sound
pressure levels (SPLs) from the seismic vessel Gilavar of 120 dB at
approximately 13 mi (21 km) from the source, although the sound level
was only 150 dB at 85 ft (26 m) from the vessel. Like other industry-
generated sound, underwater sound from vessels is generally at
relatively low frequencies.
The primary sources of sounds from all vessel classes are propeller
cavitation, propeller singing, and propulsion or other machinery.
Propeller cavitation is usually the dominant noise source for vessels
(Ross, 1976). Propeller cavitation and singing are produced outside the
hull, whereas propulsion or other machinery noise originates inside the
hull. There are additional sounds produced by vessel activity, such as
pumps, generators, flow noise from water passing over the hull, and
bubbles breaking in the wake. Icebreakers contribute greater sound
levels during icebreaking activities than ships of similar size during
normal operation in open water (Richardson et al., 1995a). This higher
sound production results from the greater amount of power and propeller
cavitation required when operating in thick ice.
Measurements of the icebreaking supply ship Robert Lemeur pushing
and breaking ice during exploration drilling operations in the Beaufort
Sea in 1986 resulted in an estimated broadband source level of 193 dB
re 1 [mu]Pa at 1 m (Greene, 1987a; Richardson et al., 1995a).
Sound levels during ice management activities would not be as
intense as during icebreaking, and the resulting effects to marine
species would be less significant in comparison. During ice management,
the vessel's propeller is rotating at approximately 15-20 percent of
the vessel's propeller rotation capacity. Instead of actually breaking
ice, during ice management, the vessel redirects and repositions the
ice by pushing it away from the direction of the drillship at slow
speeds so that the ice floe does not slip past the vessel bow.
Basically, ice management occurs at slower speed, lower power, and
slower propeller rotation speed (i.e., lower cavitation), allowing for
fewer repositions of the vessel, thereby reducing cavitation effects in
the water than would occur during icebreaking. Once on location at the
drill sites in Camden Bay, Shell plans to measure the sound levels
produced by vessels operating in support of drilling operations. These
vessels will include crew change vessels, tugs, ice management vessels,
and OSR vessels.
(3) Aircraft Sound
Helicopters may be used for personnel and equipment transport to
and from the drillship. Under calm conditions, rotor and engine sounds
are coupled into the water within a 26[deg] cone beneath the aircraft.
Some of the sound will transmit beyond the immediate area, and some
sound will enter the water outside the 26[deg] area when the sea
surface is rough. However, scattering and absorption will limit lateral
propagation in the shallow water.
Dominant tones in noise spectra from helicopters are generally
below 500 Hz (Greene and Moore, 1995). Harmonics of the main rotor and
tail rotor usually dominate the sound from helicopters; however, many
additional tones associated with the engines and other rotating parts
are sometimes present.
Because of doppler shift effects, the frequencies of tones received
at a stationary site diminish when an aircraft passes overhead. The
apparent frequency is increased while the aircraft approaches and is
reduced while it moves away.
Aircraft flyovers are not heard underwater for very long,
especially when compared to how long they are heard in air as the
aircraft approaches an observer. Helicopters flying to and from the
drillship will generally maintain straight-line routes at altitudes of
at least 1,500 ft (457 m) above sea level, thereby limiting the
received levels at and below the surface. Aircraft travel would be
controlled by Federal Aviation Administration approved flight paths.
(4) Vertical Seismic Profile Sound
A typical eight airgun array (4 x 40 in\3\ airguns and 4 x 150
in\3\ airguns, for a total discharge volume of 760 in\3\) would be used
to perform ZVSP surveys, if conducted after the completion of each
exploratory well. Typically, a single ZVSP survey will be performed
when the well has reached proposed total depth or final depth;
although, in some instances, a prior ZVSP will have been performed at a
[[Page 68979]]
shallower depth. A typical survey will last 10-14 hours, depending on
the depth of the well and the number of anchoring points, and include
firings of the full array, plus additional firing of a single 40-in\3\
airgun to be used as a ``mitigation airgun'' while the geophones are
relocated within the wellbore. The source level for the airgun array
proposed for use by Shell will differ based on source depth. At a depth
of 9.8 ft (3 m), the SPL is 238 dB re 1 [mu]Pa at 1 m, and at a depth
of 16.4 ft (5 m), the SPL is 241 dB re 1 [mu]Pa at 1 m, with most
energy between 20 and 140 Hz.
Airguns function by venting high-pressure air into the water. The
pressure signature of an individual airgun consists of a sharp rise and
then fall in pressure, followed by several positive and negative
pressure excursions caused by oscillation of the resulting air bubble.
The sizes, arrangement, and firing times of the individual airguns in
an array are designed and synchronized to suppress the pressure
oscillations subsequent to the first cycle. Typical high-energy airgun
arrays emit most energy at 10-120 Hz. However, the pulses contain
significant energy up to 500-1,000 Hz and some energy at higher
frequencies (Goold and Fish, 1998; Potter et al., 2007).
Although there will be several support vessels in the drilling
operations area, NMFS considers the possibility of collisions with
marine mammals highly unlikely. Once on location, the majority of the
support vessels will remain in the area of the drillship throughout the
2012 drilling season and will not be making trips between the shorebase
and the offshore vessels. When not needed for ice management/
icebreaking operations, the icebreaker and anchor handler will remain
approximately 25 mi (40 km) upwind and upcurrent of the drillship. Any
ice management/icebreaking activity would be expected to occur at a
distance of 0.6-12 mi (1-19 km) upwind and upcurrent of the drillship.
As the crew change/resupply activities are considered part of normal
vessel traffic and are not anticipated to impact marine mammals in a
manner that would rise to the level of taking, those activities are not
considered further in this document.
Description of Marine Mammals in the Area of the Specified Activity
The Beaufort Sea supports a diverse assemblage of marine mammals,
including: bowhead, gray, beluga, killer (Orcinus orca), minke
(Balaenoptera acutorostrata), and humpback (Megaptera novaeangliae)
whales; harbor porpoises; ringed, ribbon, spotted, and bearded seals;
narwhal (Monodon monoceros); polar bears (Ursus maritimus); and
walruses (Odobenus rosmarus divergens; see Table 4-1 in Shell's
application). The bowhead and humpback whales are listed as
``endangered'' under the Endangered Species Act (ESA) and as depleted
under the MMPA. Certain stocks or populations of gray, beluga, and
killer whales and spotted seals are listed as endangered or are
proposed for listing under the ESA; however, none of those stocks or
populations occur in the proposed activity area. On December 10, 2010,
NMFS published a notice of proposed threatened status for subspecies of
the ringed seal (75 FR 77476) and a notice of proposed threatened and
not warranted status for subspecies and distinct population segments of
the bearded seal (75 FR 77496) in the Federal Register. Neither of
these two ice seal species is considered depleted under the MMPA.
Additionally, the ribbon seal is considered a ``species of concern''
under the ESA. Both the walrus and the polar bear are managed by the
U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS) and are not considered further
in this Notice of Proposed IHA.
Of these species, eight are expected to occur in the area of
Shell's proposed operations. These species include: The bowhead, gray,
and beluga whales, harbor porpoise, and the ringed, spotted, bearded,
and ribbon seals. The marine mammal species that is likely to be
encountered most widely (in space and time) throughout the period of
the proposed drilling program is the ringed seal. Bowhead whales are
also anticipated to occur in the proposed project area more frequently
than the other cetacean species; however, their occurrence is not
expected until later in the season. Even though harbor porpoise and
ribbon seals are not typically sighted in Camden Bay, there have been
recent sightings in the Beaufort Sea near the Prudhoe Bay area, so
their occurrence could not be completely ruled out. Point Barrow,
Alaska, is the approximate northeastern extent of the harbor porpoise's
regular range (Suydam and George, 1992), though there are extralimital
records east to the mouth of the Mackenzie River in the Northwest
Territories, Canada, and recent sightings in the Beaufort Sea in the
vicinity of Prudhoe Bay during surveys in 2007 and 2008 (Christie et
al., 2009). Two ribbon seal sightings were reported during vessel-based
activities near Prudhoe Bay in 2008 (Savarese et al., 2009). Where
available, Shell used density estimates from peer-reviewed literature
in the application. In cases where density estimates were not readily
available in the peer-reviewed literature, Shell used other methods to
derive the estimates. NMFS reviewed the density estimate descriptions
and articles from which estimates were derived and requested additional
information to better explain the density estimates presented by Shell
in its application. This additional information was included in the
revised IHA application. The explanation for those derivations and the
actual density estimates are described later in this document (see the
``Estimated Take by Incidental Harassment'' section).
Other cetacean species that have been observed in the Beaufort Sea
but are uncommon or rarely identified in the project area include
narwhal and killer, minke, and humpback whales. These species could
occur in the project area, but each of these species is uncommon or
rare in the area and relatively few encounters with these species are
expected during the exploration drilling program. The narwhal occurs in
Canadian waters and occasionally in the Beaufort Sea, but it is rare
there and is not expected to be encountered. There are scattered
records of narwhal in Alaskan waters, including reports by subsistence
hunters, where the species is considered extralimital (Reeves et al.,
2002). Humpback and minke whales have recently been sighted in the
Chukchi Sea but very rarely in the Beaufort Sea. Greene et al. (2007)
reported and photographed a humpback whale cow/calf pair east of Barrow
near Smith Bay in 2007, which is the first known occurrence of
humpbacks in the Beaufort Sea. Savarese et al. (2009) reported one
minke whale sighting in the Beaufort Sea in 2007 and 2008. Due to the
rarity of these species in the proposed project area and the remote
chance they would be affected by Shell's proposed Beaufort Sea drilling
activities, these species are not discussed further in this proposed
IHA notice.
Shell's application contains information on the status,
distribution, seasonal distribution, abundance, and life history of
each of the species under NMFS jurisdiction mentioned in this document.
When reviewing the application, NMFS determined that the species
descriptions provided by Shell correctly characterized the status,
distribution, seasonal distribution, and abundance of each species.
Please refer to the application for that information (see ADDRESSES).
Additional information can also be found in the NMFS Stock Assessment
Reports (SAR). The Alaska
[[Page 68980]]
2010 SAR is available at: https://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/pdfs/sars/ak2010.pdf.
Brief Background on Marine Mammal Hearing
When considering the influence of various kinds of sound on the
marine environment, it is necessary to understand that different kinds
of marine life are sensitive to different frequencies of sound. Based
on available behavioral data, audiograms have been derived using
auditory evoked potentials, anatomical modeling, and other data,
Southall et al. (2007) designate ``functional hearing groups'' for
marine mammals and estimate the lower and upper frequencies of
functional hearing of the groups. The functional groups and the
associated frequencies are indicated below (though animals are less
sensitive to sounds at the outer edge of their functional range and
most sensitive to sounds of frequencies within a smaller range
somewhere in the middle of their functional hearing range):
Low frequency cetaceans (13 species of mysticetes):
Functional hearing is estimated to occur between approximately 7 Hz and
22 kHz (however, a study by Au et al. (2006) of humpback whale songs
indicate that the range may extend to at least 24 kHz);
Mid-frequency cetaceans (32 species of dolphins, six
species of larger toothed whales, and 19 species of beaked and
bottlenose whales): Functional hearing is estimated to occur between
approximately 150 Hz and 160 kHz;
High frequency cetaceans (eight species of true porpoises,
six species of river dolphins, Kogia, the franciscana, and four species
of cephalorhynchids): Functional hearing is estimated to occur between
approximately 200 Hz and 180 kHz; and
Pinnipeds in Water: Functional hearing is estimated to
occur between approximately 75 Hz and 75 kHz, with the greatest
sensitivity between approximately 700 Hz and 20 kHz.
As mentioned previously in this document, six marine mammal species
(three cetacean and three pinniped species) are likely to occur in the
proposed exploratory drilling area. Of the three cetacean species
likely to occur in Shell's proposed project area, two are classified as
low frequency cetaceans (i.e., bowhead and gray whales) and one is
classified as a mid-frequency cetacean (i.e., beluga whales) (Southall
et al., 2007).
Underwater audiograms have been obtained using behavioral methods
for four species of phocinid seals: The ringed, harbor, harp, and
northern elephant seals (reviewed in Richardson et al., 1995a; Kastak
and Schusterman, 1998). Below 30-50 kHz, the hearing threshold of
phocinids is essentially flat down to at least 1 kHz and ranges between
60 and 85 dB re 1 [mu]Pa. There are few published data on in-water
hearing sensitivity of phocid seals below 1 kHz. However, measurements
for one harbor seal indicated that, below 1 kHz, its thresholds
deteriorated gradually to 96 dB re 1 [mu]Pa at 100 Hz from 80 dB re 1
[mu]Pa at 800 Hz and from 67 dB re 1 [mu]Pa at 1,600 Hz (Kastak and
Schusterman, 1998). More recent data suggest that harbor seal hearing
at low frequencies may be more sensitive than that and that earlier
data were confounded by excessive background noise (Kastelein et al.,
2009a,b). If so, harbor seals have considerably better underwater
hearing sensitivity at low frequencies than do small odontocetes like
belugas (for which the threshold at 100 Hz is about 125 dB).
Pinniped call characteristics are relevant when assessing potential
masking effects of man-made sounds. In addition, for those species
whose hearing has not been tested, call characteristics are useful in
assessing the frequency range within which hearing is likely to be most
sensitive. The three species of seals present in the study area, all of
which are in the phocid seal group, are all most vocal during the
spring mating season and much less so during late summer. In each
species, the calls are at frequencies from several hundred to several
thousand hertz--above the frequency range of the dominant noise
components from most of the proposed oil exploration activities.
Cetacean hearing has been studied in relatively few species and
individuals. The auditory sensitivity of bowhead, gray, and other
baleen whales has not been measured, but relevant anatomical and
behavioral evidence is available. These whales appear to be specialized
for low frequency hearing, with some directional hearing ability
(reviewed in Richardson et al., 1995a; Ketten, 2000). Their optimum
hearing overlaps broadly with the low frequency range where exploration
drilling activities, airguns, and associated vessel traffic emit most
of their energy.
The beluga whale is one of the better-studied species in terms of
its hearing ability. As mentioned earlier, the auditory bandwidth in
mid-frequency odontocetes is believed to range from 150 Hz to 160 kHz
(Southall et al., 2007); however, belugas are most sensitive above 10
kHz. They have relatively poor sensitivity at the low frequencies
(reviewed in Richardson et al., 1995a) that dominate the sound from
industrial activities and associated vessels. Nonetheless, the noise
from strong low frequency sources is detectable by belugas many
kilometers away (Richardson and Wursig, 1997). Also, beluga hearing at
low frequencies in open-water conditions is apparently somewhat better
than in the captive situations where most hearing studies were
conducted (Ridgway and Carder, 1995; Au, 1997). If so, low frequency
sounds emanating from drilling activities may be detectable somewhat
farther away than previously estimated.
Call characteristics of cetaceans provide some limited information
on their hearing abilities, although the auditory range often extends
beyond the range of frequencies contained in the calls. Also,
understanding the frequencies at which different marine mammal species
communicate is relevant for the assessment of potential impacts from
manmade sounds. A summary of the call characteristics for bowhead,
gray, and beluga whales is provided next.
Most bowhead calls are tonal, frequency-modulated sounds at
frequencies of 50-400 Hz. These calls overlap broadly in frequency with
the underwater sounds emitted by many of the activities to be performed
during Shell's proposed exploration drilling program (Richardson et
al., 1995a). Source levels are quite variable, with the stronger calls
having source levels up to about 180 dB re 1 [mu]Pa at 1 m. Gray whales
make a wide variety of calls at frequencies from <100-2,000 Hz (Moore
and Ljungblad, 1984; Dalheim, 1987).
Beluga calls include trills, whistles, clicks, bangs, chirps and
other sounds (Schevill and Lawrence, 1949; Ouellet, 1979; Sjare and
Smith, 1986a). Beluga whistles have dominant frequencies in the 2-6 kHz
range (Sjare and Smith, 1986a). This is above the frequency range of
most of the sound energy produced by the proposed exploratory drilling
activities and associated vessels. Other beluga call types reported by
Sjare and Smith (1986a,b) included sounds at mean frequencies ranging
upward from 1 kHz.
The beluga also has a very well developed high frequency
echolocation system, as reviewed by Au (1993). Echolocation signals
have peak frequencies from 40-120 kHz and broadband source levels of up
to 219 dB re 1 [mu]Pa-m (zero-peak). Echolocation calls are far above
the frequency range of the sounds produced by the devices proposed for
use during Shell's Camden Bay exploratory drilling program. Therefore,
those industrial sounds are
[[Page 68981]]
not expected to interfere with echolocation.
Potential Effects of the Specified Activity on Marine Mammals
The likely or possible impacts of the proposed exploratory drilling
program in Camden Bay on marine mammals could involve both non-acoustic
and acoustic effects. Potential non-acoustic effects could result from
the physical presence of the equipment and personnel. Petroleum
development and associated activities introduce sound into the marine
environment. Impacts to marine mammals are expected to primarily be
acoustic in nature. Potential acoustic effects on marine mammals relate
to sound produced by drilling activity, vessels, and aircraft, as well
as the ZVSP airgun array. The potential effects of sound from the
proposed exploratory drilling program might include one or more of the
following: Tolerance; masking of natural sounds; behavioral
disturbance; non-auditory physical effects; and, at least in theory,
temporary or permanent hearing impairment (Richardson et al., 1995a).
However, for reasons discussed later in this document, it is unlikely
that there would be any cases of temporary, or especially permanent,
hearing impairment resulting from these activities. As outlined in
previous NMFS documents, the effects of noise on marine mammals are
highly variable, and can be categorized as follows (based on Richardson
et al., 1995a):
(1) The noise may be too weak to be heard at the location of the
animal (i.e., lower than the prevailing ambient noise level, the
hearing threshold of the animal at relevant frequencies, or both);
(2) The noise may be audible but not strong enough to elicit any
overt behavioral response;
(3) The noise may elicit reactions of variable conspicuousness and
variable relevance to the well being of the marine mammal; these can
range from temporary alert responses to active avoidance reactions such
as vacating an area at least until the noise event ceases but
potentially for longer periods of time;
(4) Upon repeated exposure, a marine mammal may exhibit diminishing
responsiveness (habituation), or disturbance effects may persist; the
latter is most likely with sounds that are highly variable in
characteristics, infrequent, and unpredictable in occurrence, and
associated with situations that a marine mammal perceives as a threat;
(5) Any anthropogenic noise that is strong enough to be heard has
the potential to reduce (mask) the ability of a marine mammal to hear
natural sounds at similar frequencies, including calls from
conspecifics, and underwater environmental sounds such as surf noise;
(6) If mammals remain in an area because it is important for
feeding, breeding, or some other biologically important purpose even
though there is chronic exposure to noise, it is possible that there
could be noise-induced physiological stress; this might in turn have
negative effects on the well-being or reproduction of the animals
involved; and
(7) Very strong sounds have the potential to cause a temporary or
permanent reduction in hearing sensitivity. In terrestrial mammals, and
presumably marine mammals, received sound levels must far exceed the
animal's hearing threshold for there to be any temporary threshold
shift (TTS) in its hearing ability. For transient sounds, the sound
level necessary to cause TTS is inversely related to the duration of
the sound. Received sound levels must be even higher for there to be
risk of permanent hearing impairment. In addition, intense acoustic or
explosive events may cause trauma to tissues associated with organs
vital for hearing, sound production, respiration and other functions.
This trauma may include minor to severe hemorrhage.
Potential Acoustic Effects From Exploratory Drilling Activities
(1) Tolerance
Numerous studies have shown that underwater sounds from industry
activities are often readily detectable by marine mammals in the water
at distances of many kilometers. Numerous studies have also shown that
marine mammals at distances more than a few kilometers away often show
no apparent response to industry activities of various types (Miller et
al., 2005; Bain and Williams, 2006). This is often true even in cases
when the sounds must be readily audible to the animals based on
measured received levels and the hearing sensitivity of that mammal
group. Although various baleen whales, toothed whales, and (less
frequently) pinnipeds have been shown to react behaviorally to
underwater sound such as airgun pulses or vessels under some
conditions, at other times mammals of all three types have shown no
overt reactions (e.g., Malme et al., 1986; Richardson et al., 1995;
Madsen and Mohl, 2000; Croll et al., 2001; Jacobs and Terhune, 2002;
Madsen et al., 2002; Miller et al., 2005). In general, pinnipeds and
small odontocetes seem to be more tolerant of exposure to some types of
underwater sound than are baleen whales. Richardson et al. (1995a)
found that vessel noise does not seem to strongly affect pinnipeds that
are already in the water. Richardson et al. (1995a) went on to explain
that seals on haul-outs sometimes respond strongly to the presence of
vessels and at other times appear to show considerable tolerance of
vessels, and Brueggeman et al. (1992, cited in Richardson et al.,
1995a) observed ringed seals hauled out on ice pans displaying short-
term escape reactions when a ship approached within 0.25-0.5 mi (0.4-
0.8 km).
(2) Masking
Masking is the obscuring of sounds of interest by other sounds,
often at similar frequencies. Marine mammals are highly dependent on
sound, and their ability to recognize sound signals amid other noise is
important in communication, predator and prey detection, and, in the
case of toothed whales, echolocation. Even in the absence of manmade
sounds, the sea is usually noisy. Background ambient noise often
interferes with or masks the ability of an animal to detect a sound
signal even when that signal is above its absolute hearing threshold.
Natural ambient noise includes contributions from wind, waves,
precipitation, other animals, and (at frequencies above 30 kHz) thermal
noise resulting from molecular agitation (Richardson et al., 1995a).
Background noise also can include sounds from human activities. Masking
of natural sounds can result when human activities produce high levels
of background noise. Conversely, if the background level of underwater
noise is high (e.g., on a day with strong wind and high waves), an
anthropogenic noise source will not be detectable as far away as would
be possible under quieter conditions and will itself be masked.
Although some degree of masking is inevitable when high levels of
manmade broadband sounds are introduced into the sea, marine mammals
have evolved systems and behavior that function to reduce the impacts
of masking. Structured signals, such as the echolocation click
sequences of small toothed whales, may be readily detected even in the
presence of strong background noise because their frequency content and
temporal features usually differ strongly from those of the background
noise (Au and Moore, 1988, 1990). The components of background noise
that are similar in frequency to the sound signal in question primarily
[[Page 68982]]
determine the degree of masking of that signal.
Redundancy and context can also facilitate detection of weak
signals. These phenomena may help marine mammals detect weak sounds in
the presence of natural or manmade noise. Most masking studies in
marine mammals present the test signal and the masking noise from the
same direction. The sound localization abilities of marine mammals
suggest that, if signal and noise come from different directions,
masking would not be as severe as the usual types of masking studies
might suggest (Richardson et al., 1995a). The dominant background noise
may be highly directional if it comes from a particular anthropogenic
source such as a ship or industrial site. Directional hearing may
significantly reduce the masking effects of these noises by improving
the effective signal-to-noise ratio. In the cases of high-frequency
hearing by the bottlenose dolphin, beluga whale, and killer whale,
empirical evidence confirms that masking depends strongly on the
relative directions of arrival of sound signals and the masking noise
(Penner et al., 1986; Dubrovskiy, 1990; Bain et al., 1993; Bain and
Dahlheim, 1994). Toothed whales, and probably other marine mammals as
well, have additional capabilities besides directional hearing that can
facilitate detection of sounds in the presence of background noise.
There is evidence that some toothed whales can shift the dominant
frequencies of their echolocation signals from a frequency range with a
lot of ambient noise toward frequencies with less noise (Au et al.,
1974, 1985; Moore and Pawloski, 1990; Thomas and Turl, 1990; Romanenko
and Kitain, 1992; Lesage et al., 1999). A few marine mammal species are
known to increase the source levels or alter the frequency of their
calls in the presence of elevated sound levels (Dahlheim, 1987; Au,
1993; Lesage et al., 1993, 1999; Terhune, 1999; Foote et al., 2004;
Parks et al., 2007, 2009; Di Iorio and Clark, 2009; Holt et al., 2009).
These data demonstrating adaptations for reduced masking pertain
mainly to the very high frequency echolocation signals of toothed
whales. There is less information about the existence of corresponding
mechanisms at moderate or low frequencies or in other types of marine
mammals. For example, Zaitseva et al. (1980) found that, for the
bottlenose dolphin, the angular separation between a sound source and a
masking noise source had little effect on the degree of masking when
the sound frequency was 18 kHz, in contrast to the pronounced effect at
higher frequencies. Directional hearing has been demonstrated at
frequencies as low as 0.5-2 kHz in several marine mammals, including
killer whales (Richardson et al., 1995a). This ability may be useful in
reducing masking at these frequencies. In summary, high levels of noise
generated by anthropogenic activities may act to mask the detection of
weaker biologically important sounds by some marine mammals. This
masking may be more prominent for lower frequencies. For higher
frequencies, such as that used in echolocation by toothed whales,
several mechanisms are available that may allow them to reduce the
effects of such masking.
Masking effects of underwater sounds from Shell's proposed
activities on marine mammal calls and other natural sounds are expected
to be limited. For example, beluga whales primarily use high-frequency
sounds to communicate and locate prey; therefore, masking by low-
frequency sounds associated with drilling activities is not expected to
occur (Gales, 1982, as cited in Shell, 2009). If the distance between
communicating whales does not exceed their distance from the drilling
activity, the likelihood of potential impacts from masking would be low
(Gales, 1982, as cited in Shell, 2009). At distances greater than 660-
1,300 ft (200-400 m), recorded sounds from drilling activities did not
affect behavior of beluga whales, even though the sound energy level
and frequency were such that