Approval and Promulgation of Implementation Plans; North Dakota; Regional Haze State Implementation Plan; Federal Implementation Plan for Interstate Transport of Pollution Affecting Visibility and Regional Haze, 58570-58648 [2011-23372]
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58570
Federal Register / Vol. 76, No. 183 / Wednesday, September 21, 2011 / Proposed Rules
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
[EPA–R08–OAR–2010–0406; FRL–9461–7]
Approval and Promulgation of
Implementation Plans; North Dakota;
Regional Haze State Implementation
Plan; Federal Implementation Plan for
Interstate Transport of Pollution
Affecting Visibility and Regional Haze
Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed rule.
AGENCY:
EPA is proposing to partially
approve and partially disapprove a
revision to the North Dakota State
Implementation Plan (SIP) addressing
regional haze submitted by the Governor
of North Dakota on March 3, 2010, along
with SIP Supplement No. 1 submitted
on July 27, 2010, and part of SIP
Amendment No. 1 submitted on July 28,
2011. These SIP revisions were
submitted to address the requirements
of the Clean Air Act (CAA or Act) and
our rules that require states to prevent
any future and remedy any existing
man-made impairment of visibility in
mandatory Class I areas caused by
emissions of air pollutants from
numerous sources located over a wide
geographic area (also referred to as the
‘‘regional haze program’’). EPA is
proposing a Federal Implementation
Plan (FIP) to address the deficiencies
identified in our proposed partial
disapproval of North Dakota’s regional
haze SIP. In lieu of this proposed FIP,
or a portion thereof, we are proposing
approval of a SIP revision if the State
submits such a revision in a timely way,
and the revision matches the terms of
our proposed FIP.
In addition, EPA is proposing to
disapprove a revision to the North
Dakota SIP addressing the interstate
transport of pollutants that the Governor
submitted on April 6, 2009. We are
proposing to disapprove it because it
does not meet the Act’s requirements
concerning non-interference with
programs to protect visibility in other
states. To address this deficiency, we
are proposing a FIP.
DATES: Comments: Comments must be
received on or before November 21,
2011. Public Hearing. A public hearing
for this proposal is scheduled to be held
on Thursday, October 13, 2011, at the
Bismarck Veterans Memorial Public
Library, Meeting Room A, 515 North 5th
Street, Bismarck, North Dakota 58501,
(701) 355–1480. The public hearing will
be held from 3 p.m. until 5 p.m., and
again from 6 p.m. until 8 p.m.
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The public hearing will provide
interested parties the opportunity to
present information and opinions to
EPA concerning our proposal. Interested
parties may also submit written
comments, as discussed in the proposal.
Written statements and supporting
information submitted during the
comment period will be considered
with the same weight as any oral
comments and supporting information
presented at the public hearing. We will
not respond to comments during the
public hearing. When we publish our
final action, we will provide written
responses to all oral and written
comments received on our proposal.
At the public hearing, the hearing
officer may limit the time available for
each commenter to address the proposal
to 5 minutes or less if the hearing officer
determines it to be appropriate. We will
not be providing equipment for
commenters to show overhead slides or
make computerized slide presentations.
Any person may provide written or oral
comments and data pertaining to our
proposal at the public hearing. Verbatim
transcripts, in English, of the hearing
and written statements will be included
in the rulemaking docket.
ADDRESSES: Submit your comments,
identified by Docket ID No. EPA–R08–
OAR–2010–0406, by one of the
following methods:
• https://www.regulations.gov. Follow
the on-line instructions for submitting
comments.
• E-mail: r8airndhaze@epa.gov.
• Fax: (303) 312–6064 (please alert
the individual listed in the FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT section if you are
faxing comments).
• Mail: Director, Air Program,
Environmental Protection Agency
(EPA), Region 8, Mailcode 8P–AR, 1595
Wynkoop Street, Denver, Colorado
80202–1129.
• Hand Delivery: Director, Air
Program, Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA), Region 8, Mailcode 8P–
AR, 1595 Wynkoop Street, Denver,
Colorado 80202–1129. Such deliveries
are only accepted Monday through
Friday, 8 a.m. to 4:30 p.m., excluding
Federal holidays. Special arrangements
should be made for deliveries of boxed
information.
Instructions: Direct your comments to
Docket ID No. EPA–R08–OAR–2010–
0406. EPA’s policy is that all comments
received will be included in the public
docket without change and may be
made available online at https://
www.regulations.gov, including any
personal information provided, unless
the comment includes information
claimed to be Confidential Business
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Information (CBI) or other information
whose disclosure is restricted by statute.
Do not submit information that you
consider to be CBI or otherwise
protected through https://
www.regulations.gov or e-mail. The
https://www.regulations.gov Web site is
an ‘‘anonymous access’’ system, which
means EPA will not know your identity
or contact information unless you
provide it in the body of your comment.
If you send an e-mail comment directly
to EPA, without going through https://
www.regulations.gov, your e-mail
address will be automatically captured
and included as part of the comment
that is placed in the public docket and
made available on the Internet. If you
submit an electronic comment, EPA
recommends that you include your
name and other contact information in
the body of your comment and with any
disk or CD–ROM you submit. If EPA
cannot read your comment due to
technical difficulties and cannot contact
you for clarification, EPA may not be
able to consider your comment.
Electronic files should avoid the use of
special characters, any form of
encryption, and be free of any defects or
viruses. For additional information
about EPA’s public docket visit the EPA
Docket Center homepage at https://
www.epa.gov/epahome/dockets.htm.
Docket: All documents in the docket
are listed in the https://
www.regulations.gov index. Although
listed in the index, some information is
not publicly available, e.g., CBI or other
information whose disclosure is
restricted by statute. Certain other
material, such as copyrighted material,
will be publicly available only in hard
copy. Publicly available docket
materials are available either
electronically in https://
www.regulations.gov or in hard copy at
the Air Program, Environmental
Protection Agency (EPA), Region 8,
1595 Wynkoop Street, Denver, Colorado
80202–1129. EPA requests that if at all
possible, you contact the individual
listed in the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONTACT section to view the hard copy
of the docket. You may view the hard
copy of the docket Monday through
Friday, 8 a.m. to 4 p.m., excluding
Federal holidays.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Gail
Fallon, EPA Region 8, at (303) 312–
6281, or Fallon.Gail@epa.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Definitions
For the purpose of this document, we
are giving meaning to certain words or
initials as follows:
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(i) The words or initials Act or CAA
mean or refer to the Clean Air Act,
unless the context indicates otherwise.
(ii) The words EPA, we, us or our
mean or refer to the United States
Environmental Protection Agency.
(iii) The initials SIP mean or refer to
State Implementation Plan.
(iv) The initials FIP mean or refer to
Federal Implementation Plan.
(v) The initials NAAQS mean or refer
to National Ambient Air Quality
Standards.
(vi) The words North Dakota and
State mean the State of North Dakota.
(vii) The initials BART mean or refer
to Best Available Retrofit Technology.
(viii) The initials RP mean or refer to
Reasonable Progress.
(ix) The initials NOX mean or refer to
nitrogen oxides.
(x) The initials SO2 mean or refer to
sulfur dioxide.
(xi) The initials NH3 mean or refer to
ammonia.
(xii) The initials PM2.5 mean or refer
to particulate matter with an
aerodynamic diameter of less than 2.5
micrometers.
(xiii) The initials PM10 mean or refer
to particulate matter with an
aerodynamic diameter of less than 10
micrometers.
(xiv) The initials OC mean or refer to
organic carbon.
(xv) The initials EC mean or refer to
elemental carbon.
(xvi) The initials VOC mean or refer
to volatile organic compounds.
(xvii) The initials EGUs mean or refer
to Electric Generating Units.
(xviii) The initials RPGs mean or refer
to Reasonable Progress Goals.
(xix) The initials LTS mean or refer to
Long-Term Strategy.
(xx) The initials RAVI mean or refer
to Reasonably Attributable Visibility
Impairment.
(xxi) The initials FLMs mean or refer
to Federal Land Managers.
(xxii) The initials URP mean or refer
to Uniform Rate of Progress.
(xxiii) The initials MRYS mean or
refer to Milton R. Young Station.
(xxiv) The initials LOS mean or refer
to Leland Olds Station.
(xxv) The initials IMPROVE mean or
refer to Interagency Monitoring of
Protected Visual Environments
monitoring network.
(xxvi) The initials RPOs mean or refer
to regional planning organizations.
(xxvii) The initials WRAP mean or
refer to the Western Regional Air
Program.
(xxviii) The initials PSD mean or refer
to Prevention of Signification
Deterioration.
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(xxix) The initials Theodore Roosevelt
or TRNP mean or refer to Theodore
Roosevelt National Park.
(xxx) The initials Lostwood or LWA
mean or refer to Lostwood National
Wildlife Refuge Wilderness Area.
(xxxi) The initials TSD mean or refer
to Technical Support Document.
(xxxii) The initials IWAQM mean or
refer to Interagency Workgroup on Air
Quality Modeling.
(xxxiii) The initials FGD mean or refer
to flue gas desulfurization.
(xxxiv) The initials SOFA mean or
refer to separated overfire air.
(xxxv) The initials LNB mean or refer
to low NOX burners.
(xxxvi) The initials PRB mean or refer
to Powder River Basin.
(xxxvii) The initials SCR mean or
refer to selective catalytic reduction.
(xxxviii) The initials LTO mean or
refer to low temperature oxidation.
(xxxix) The initials NSCR mean or
refer to non-selective catalytic
reduction.
(xl) The initials ECO mean or refer to
electro-catalytic oxidation.
(xli) The initials SNCR mean or refer
to selective non-catalytic reduction.
(xlii) The initials RRI mean or refer to
rich reagent injection.
(xliii) The initials FGR mean or refer
to external flue gas recirculation.
(xliv) The initials OFA mean or refer
to overfire air.
(xlv) The initials HE–SNCR mean or
refer to hydrocarbon enhanced SNCR.
(xlvi) The initials CGR mean or refer
to conventional gas reburn.
(xlvii) The initials FLGR mean or refer
to fuel-lean gas reburn.
(xlviii) The initials ROFA mean or
refer to rotating overfire air.
(xlix) The initials LDSCR mean or
refer to low-dust SCR.
(l) The initials TESCR mean or refer
to tail-end SCR.
(li) The initials ASOFA mean or refer
to advanced separated overfire air.
(lii) The initials OEC mean or refer to
oxygen enhanced combustion.
(liii) The initials FGD mean or refer to
flue gas desulfurization system.
(liv) The initials CoHPAC mean or
refer to compact hybrid particulate
collector.
(lv) The initials CAM mean or refer to
compliance assurance monitoring.
(lvi) The initials CEMS mean or refer
to continuous emission monitoring
systems.
(lvii) The initials CMAQ mean or refer
to Community Multi-Scale Air Quality
modeling system.
(lviii) The initials SMOKE mean or
refer to Sparse Matrix Operator Kernel
Emissions modeling system.
(lix) The initials CAMx mean or refer
to Comprehensive Air Quality Model.
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(lx) The initials EIA mean or refer to
Energy Information Agency.
(lxi) The initials GRE mean or refer to
Great River Energy.
(lxii) The initials RMC mean or refer
to the Regional Modeling Center at the
University of California Riverside.
(lxiii) The initials WEP mean or refer
to Weighted Emissions Potential.
Table of Contents
I. Overview of Proposed Actions
A. Regional Haze
B. Interstate Transport of Pollutants that
Impact Visibility
II. SIP and FIP Background
III. What is the background for our proposed
actions?
A. Regional Haze
B. Roles of Agencies in Addressing
Regional Haze
C. The 1997 NAAQS for Ozone and PM2.5
and CAA 110(a)(2)(D)(i)
IV. What are the requirements for Regional
Haze SIPs?
A. The CAA and the Regional Haze Rule
B. Determination of Baseline, Natural, and
Current Visibility Conditions
C. Determination of Reasonable Progress
Goals
D. Best Available Retrofit Technology
(BART)
E. Long-Term Strategy (LTS)
F. Coordinating Regional Haze and
Reasonably Attributable Visibility
Impairment (RAVI)
G. Monitoring Strategy and Other SIP
Requirements
H. Consultation With States and Federal
Land Managers (FLMs)
V. Our Analysis of North Dakota’s Regional
Haze SIP
A. Affected Class I Areas
B. Determination of Baseline, Natural, and
Current Visibility Conditions
1. Estimating Natural Visibility Conditions
2. Estimating Baseline Visibility
Conditions
3. Natural Visibility Impairment
4. Uniform Rate of Progress (URP)
C. Evaluation of North Dakota’s BART
Determinations other than for NOX for
Milton R. Young Station Units 1 and 2,
Leland Olds Station Unit 2, and Coal
Creek Station Units 1 and 2
1. Identification of BART-Eligible Sources
2. Identification of Sources Subject to
BART
a. Modeling Methodology
b. Contribution Threshold
c. Sources Identified by North Dakota as
Subject to BART
3. BART Determinations and Federally
Enforceable Limits
a. Great River Energy, Coal Creek Station
b. Great River Energy, Stanton Station
c. Minnkota Power Cooperative, Milton R.
Young Station (MRYS)
d. Basin Electric Power Cooperative,
Leland Olds Station (LOS)
e. North Dakota BART Results and
Summary
D. Evaluation of North Dakota’s NOX BART
Determinations for Milton R. Young
Station Units 1 and 2, Leland Olds
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Station Unit 2, and Coal Creek Station
Units 1 and 2
1. Milton R. Young Station Units 1 and 2
and Leland Olds Station Unit 2
a. Milton R. Young Station Unit 1—State
Analysis
b. Milton R. Young Station Unit 2—State
Analysis
c. Leland Olds Station Unit 2—State
Analysis
d. EPA’s Evaluation of the State’s Cost
Analyses for NOX BART for Milton R.
Young Station Unit 1 and 2 and Leland
Olds Station Unit 2
e. EPA’s Evaluation of the State’s Visibility
Analyses for NOX BART for Milton R.
Young Station Unit 1 and 2 and Leland
Olds Station Unit 2
2. Coal Creek Station Units 1 and 2
a. Coal Creek Station Units 1 and 2—State
Analysis
b. EPA’s Evaluation of the State’s NOX
BART Review for Coal Creek Units 1 and
2
E. Federal Implementation Plan to Address
NOX BART for Milton R. Young Station
Units 1 and 2, and Leland Olds Station
Unit 2
1. Introduction
2. BART analysis for Milton R. Young
Station 1
3. BART analysis for Milton R. Young
Station 2
4. BART analysis for Leland Olds Station
2
F. Federal Implementation Plan to Address
NOX BART for Coal Creek Station Units
1 and 2
1. Introduction
2. BART analysis for Coal Creek Units 1
and 2
G. Evaluation of North Dakota’s Reasonable
Progress Goal
1. North Dakota’s Visibility Modeling
2. North Dakota’s Reasonable Progress
‘‘Four-Factor’’ Analysis
3. North Dakota’s Conclusions from the
Four-Factor Analysis
4. Establishment of the Reasonable
Progress Goal
5. Reasonable Progress Consultation
6. Our Conclusion on North Dakota’s
Reasonable Progress Goal and Need for
Additional Controls
H. Our Conclusion on North Dakota’s
Reasonable Progress Goal and Need for
Additional Controls
I. Federal Implementation Plan to Address
Nitrogen Oxides (NOX) Reasonable
Progress Measures for Antelope Valley
Station Units 1 and 2 and Reasonable
Progress Goals
1. Introduction
2. Reasonable Progress Analysis for
Antelope Valley Station Units 1 and 2
J. Long-Term Strategy
1. Emissions Inventories
2. Sources of Visibility Impairment in
North Dakota Class I Areas
3. Visibility Projection Modeling
4. Consultation and Emissions Reductions
for Other States’ Class I Areas
5. Mandatory Long-Term Strategy Factors
a. Reductions Due to Ongoing Air Pollution
Programs
b. Measures to Mitigate the Impacts of
Construction Activities
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c. Emission Limitation and Schedules of
Compliance
d. Source Retirement and Replacement
Schedules
e. Agricultural and Forestry Smoke
Management Techniques
f. Enforceability of North Dakota’s
Measures
g. Anticipated Net Effect on Visibility Due
to Projected Changes
h. Periodic SIP Revisions and 5-Year
Progress Reports
K. Coordination of Reasonably Attributable
Visibility Impairment and Regional Haze
Requirements
L. Monitoring Strategy and Other SIP
Requirements
M. Federal Land Manager Coordination
N. Periodic SIP Revisions and Five-year
Progress Reports
VI. Our Analysis of North Dakota’s Interstate
Visibility Transport SIP Provisions
VII. FIP for Interstate Visibility Transport
VIII. Proposed Actions
A. Regional Haze
B. Interstate Transport and Visibility
IX. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
List of Tables
Table 1. Visibility Impact Reductions Needed
Based on Best and Worst Days Baselines,
Natural Conditions, and Uniform Rate of
Progress Goals for North Dakota Class I
Areas
Table 2. Summary of Uniform Rate of
Progress
Table 3. List of BART—Eligible Sources in
North Dakota
Table 4. Individual BART—Eligible Source
Visibility Impacts on North Dakota Class
I Areas
Table 5. Summary of Coal Creek SO2 BART
Analysis for Unit 1 and Unit 2 Boilers
Table 6. Summary of Coal Creek Filterable
PM BART Analysis for Unit 1 and Unit
2 Boilers
Table 7. Summary of Stanton SO2 BART
Analysis for Unit 1 Boiler with Lignite
Coal
Table 8. Summary of Stanton SO2 BART
Analysis for Unit 1 Boiler with Powder
River Basin Coal
Table 9. Summary of Stanton NOX BART
Analysis for Unit 1 Boiler with Lignite
Coal
Table 10. Summary of Stanton NOX BART
Analysis for Unit 1 Boiler with Powder
River Basin Coal
Table 11. Summary of Stanton PM BART
Analysis for Unit 1 Boiler with Lignite
Coal
Table 12. Summary of Milton R. Young
Station SO2 BART Analysis for Unit 1
Boiler
Table 13. Summary of Milton R. Young
Station PM BART Analysis for Unit 1
Boiler
Table 14. Summary of Milton R. Young
Station SO2 BART Analysis for Unit 2
Boiler
Table 15. Summary of Milton R. Young
Station PM BART Analysis for Unit 2
Boiler
Table 16. Summary of Leland Olds Station
SO2 BART Analysis for Unit 1 Boiler
Table 17. Summary of Leland Olds Station
NOX BART Analysis for Unit 1 Boiler
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Table 18. Summary of Leland Olds Station
PM BART Analysis for Unit 1 Boiler
Table 19. Summary of Leland Olds Station
SO2 BART Analysis for Unit 2 Boiler
Table 20. Summary of Leland Olds Station
PM BART Analysis for Unit 2 Boiler
Table 21. North Dakota BART Determinations
for SO2 Emissions that EPA is Proposing
to Approve
Table 22. North Dakota BART Determinations
for NOX Emissions that EPA is Proposing
to Approve
Table 23. Summary of Milton R. Young
Station NOX BART Analysis for Unit 1
Boiler
Table 24. Summary of Milton R. Young
Station NOX BART Analysis for Unit 2
Boiler
Table 25. Summary of Leland Olds Station
NOX BART Analysis for Unit 2 Boiler
Table 26. North Dakota BART Determinations
for NOX Emissions for Milton R. Young
Station Units 1 and 2 and Leland Olds
Station Unit 2
Table 27. Contrast of TESCR Cost
Effectiveness
Table 28. Comparison of EPA Control Cost
Manual and Burns & McDonnell Indirect
Capital Costs
Table 29. Comparison of EPA Control Cost
Manual & B&McD ‘‘Other’’ Capital Costs
Table 30. Comparison of Sargent & Lundy
and Dr. Fox’s Tail-End SCR Variable
Operation and Maintenance Costs for
Leland Olds Station Unit 2 (2009
Dollars)
Table 31. Summary of Coal Creek NOX BART
Analysis for Unit 1 and Unit 2 Boilers
Table 32. Summary of EPA NOX BART
Analysis Control Technologies for
Milton R. Young Station Unit 1 Boiler
Table 33. Summary of EPA NOX BART
Capital Cost Analysis for SNCR on
Milton R. Young Station Unit 1 Boiler
Table 34. Summary of EPA NOX BART
Annual Analysis for SNCR on Milton R.
Young Station Unit 1 Boiler
Table 35. Summary of EPA NOX BART Costs
for SNCR on Milton R. Young Station
Unit 1 Boiler
Table 36. Summary of EPA NOX BART
Capital Cost Analysis for TESCR on
Milton R. Young Station Unit 1 Boiler
Table 37. Summary of EPA NOX BART
Annual Costs for TESCR Scenario 3 1 on
Milton R. Young Station Unit 1 Boiler
Table 38. Summary of EPA NOX BART Costs
for Various TESCR Scenarios on Milton
R. Young Station Unit 1 Boiler
Table 39. Summary of EPA NOX BART
Analysis Comparison of TESCR and
SNCR Options for Milton R. Young
Station Unit 1 Boiler
Table 40. Summary of EPA NOX BART
Analysis Control Technologies for
Milton R. Young Station Unit 2 Boiler
Table 41. Summary of EPA NOX BART
Capital Cost Analysis for SNCR on
Milton R. Young Station Unit 2 Boiler
Table 42. Summary of EPA NOX BART
Annual Analysis for SNCR on Milton R.
Young Station Unit 2 Boiler
Table 43. Summary of EPA NOX BART Costs
for SNCR on Milton R. Young Station
Unit 2 Boiler
Table 44. Summary of EPA NOX BART
Capital Cost Analysis for TESCR
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Scenario 3 1 on Milton R. Young Station
Unit 2 Boiler
Table 45. Summary of EPA NOX BART
Annual Costs for TESCR Scenario 3 1 on
Unit 2 Boiler
Table 46. Summary of EPA NOX BART Costs
for Various TESCR + ASOFA Scenarios
on Milton R. Young Station Unit 2 Boiler
Table 47. Summary of EPA NOX BART
Analysis Comparison of TESCR and
SNCR Options for Milton R. Young
Station Unit 2 Boiler
Table 48. Summary of EPA NOX BART
Analysis Control Technologies for
Leland Olds Station Unit 2 Boiler
Table 49. Summary of EPA NOX BART
Capital Cost Analysis for SNCR on
Leland Olds Station Unit 2 Boiler
Table 50. Summary of EPA NOX BART
Annual Costs for SNCR on Leland Olds
Station Unit 2 Boiler
Table 51. Summary of EPA NOX BART Costs
for SNCR on Leland Olds Station Unit 2
Boiler
Table 52. Summary of EPA NOX BART
Capital Cost Analysis for TESCR
Scenario 3 on Leland Olds Station Unit
2 Boiler
Table 53. Summary of Some EPA NOX BART
Annual Costs for TESCR Scenario 3 1 on
Leland Olds Station Unit 2 Boiler
Table 54. Summary of EPA NOX BART Costs
for Various TESCR + ASOFA Scenarios
on Leland Olds Station Unit 2 Boiler
Table 55. Summary of EPA NOX BART
Analysis Comparison of TESCR and
SNCR Options for Leland Olds Station
Unit 2 Boiler
Table 56. Summary of EPA Coal Creek BART
Analysis Control Technologies for Units
1 and 2 Boilers
Table 57. Summary of EPA NOX BART
Capital Cost Analysis for SNCR on Coal
Creek Station Units 1 and 2 Boilers
Table 58. Summary of EPA Annual Cost
Analysis for SNCR + ASOFA on Coal
Creek Station Units 1 and 2 Boilers
Table 59. Summary of EPA Costs for SNCR
on Coal Creek Station Units 1 and 2
Boilers
Table 60. Summary of EPA Capital Cost
Analysis for LDSCR on Coal Creek
Station Units 1 and 2 Boilers
Table 61. Summary of EPA Annual Cost
Analysis for LDSCR on Coal Creek
Station Units 1 and 2 Boilers
Table 62. Summary of EPA Costs for LDSCR
on Coal Creek Station Units 1 and 2
Boilers
Table 63. Summary of EPA NOX BART
Analysis for Coal Creek Station Units 1
and 2 Boilers
Table 64. North Dakota Q/D Analysis Sources
with Results Greater than 10
Table 65. North Dakota Sources for
Reasonable Progress Four-Factor
Analyses
Table 66. Current Control for Reasonable
Progress Sources
Table 67. Control Option Costs for
Reasonable Progress Sources
Table 68. ND’s Modeled Visibility
Improvement for Reasonable Progress
Sources
Table 69. Comparison of Reasonable Progress
Goals to Uniform Rate of Progress on
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Most Impaired Days for North Dakota
Class I Areas
Table 70. Comparison of Reasonable Progress
Goals to Baseline Conditions on Least
Impaired Days for North Dakota Class I
Areas
Table 71. Summary of Antelope Valley
Station NOX Reasonable Progress
Analysis Control Technologies for Units
1 and 2 Boilers
Table 72. Summary of Antelope Valley
Station NOX Reasonable Progress Cost
Analysis for Units 1 and 2 Boilers
Table 73. North Dakota SO2 Emission
Inventory—2002 and 2018
Table 74. North Dakota NOX Emission
Inventory—2002 and 2018
Table 75. North Dakota Organic Carbon
Emission Inventory—2002 and 2018
Table 76. North Dakota Elemental Carbon
Emission Inventory—2002 and 2018
Table 77. North Dakota PM2.5 Emission
Inventory—2002 and 2018
Table 78. North Dakota Coarse Particulate
Matter Emission Inventory—2002 and
2018
Table 79. ND Sources Extinction
Contribution 2000–2004 for 20% Worst
Days
Table 80. Source Region Apportionment for
20% Worst Days (Percentage)
Table 81. Annual Average Emissions from
Fire (2000–2004) (Tons/Year)
I. Overview of Proposed Actions
A. Regional Haze
We propose to partially approve and
partially disapprove North Dakota’s
regional haze State Implementation Plan
(Regional Haze SIP) revision that was
submitted on March 3, 2010, SIP
Supplement No. 1 that was submitted
on July 27, 2010, and part of SIP
Amendment No. 1 that was submitted
on July 28, 2011. Specifically, we
propose to disapprove the following:
• North Dakota’s NOX BART
determinations and emissions limits for
Units 1 and 2 of Minnkota Power
Cooperative’s Milton R. Young Station,
Unit 2 of Basin Electric Power
Cooperative’s Leland Olds Station, and
Units 1 and 2 of Great River Energy’s
Coal Creek Station.
• North Dakota’s determination under
the reasonable progress requirements
found at 40 CFR 51.308(d)(1) that no
additional NOX emissions controls are
warranted at Units 1 and 2 of Basin
Electric Power Cooperative’s Antelope
Valley Station.
• North Dakota’s Reasonable Progress
Goals (RPGs).
• Portions of North Dakota’s longterm strategy that rely on or reflect other
aspects of the Regional Haze SIP we are
proposing to disapprove.
We are proposing to approve the
remaining aspects of North Dakota’s
Regional Haze SIP revision that was
submitted on March 3, 2010 and SIP
Supplement No. 1 that was submitted
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58573
on July 27, 2010. We are proposing to
approve the following parts of SIP
Amendment No. 1 that the State
submitted on July 28, 2011: (1)
Amendments to Section 10.6.1.2
pertaining to Coyote Station, and (2)
amendments to Appendix A.4, the
Permit to Construct of Coyote Station.
We are not proposing action on the
remainder of the July 28, 2011 submittal
at this time.
We are proposing the promulgation of
a FIP to address the deficiencies in the
North Dakota Regional Haze SIP that we
have identified in this proposal.
The proposed FIP includes the
following elements:
• NOX BART determinations and
emission limits for Milton R. Young
Station Units 1 and 2 and Leland Olds
Station Unit 2 of 0.07 lb/MMBtu
(pounds per one million British
Thermal Units) that apply singly to each
of these units on a 30-day rolling
average, and a requirement that the
owners/operators comply with these
NOX BART limits within five (5) years
of the effective date of our final rule.
• NOX BART determination and
emission limit for Coal Creek Station
Units 1 and 2 of 0.12 lb/MMBtu that
applies singly to each of these units on
a 30-day rolling average, but inviting
comment on whether 0.14 lb/MMBtu
should be the limit instead, and a
requirement that the owners/operators
comply with these NOX BART limits
within five (5) years of the effective date
of our final rule.
• A reasonable progress
determination and NOX emission limit
for Antelope Valley Station Units 1 and
2 of 0.17 lb/MMBtu that applies singly
to each of these units on a 30-day rolling
average, and a requirement that the
owner/operator meet the limit as
expeditiously as practicable, but no later
than July 31, 2018.
• Monitoring, record-keeping, and
reporting requirements for the above
seven units to ensure compliance with
these emission limitations.
• Reasonable progress goals
consistent with the SIP limits proposed
for approval and the proposed FIP
limits.
• Long-term strategy elements that
reflect the other aspects of the proposed
FIP.
In lieu of this proposed FIP, or
portion thereof, we are proposing
approval of a SIP revision if the State
submits such a revision in a timely way,
and the revision matches the terms of
our proposed FIP, or relevant portion
thereof.
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B. Interstate Transport of Pollutants
That Impact Visibility
We are proposing to disapprove a
portion of the SIP revision North Dakota
submitted on April 6, 2009, for the
purpose of addressing the ‘‘good
neighbor’’ provisions of CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i) for the 1997 8-hour ozone
NAAQS and the PM2.5 NAAQS. Section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) of the Act requires that
states have a SIP, or submit a SIP
revision, containing provisions
‘‘prohibiting any source or other type of
emission activity within the state from
emitting any air pollutant in amounts
which will * * * interfere with
measures required to be included in the
applicable implementation plan for any
other State under part C [of the CAA]
* * * to protect visibility.’’ Because of
the potential significant impacts on
visibility from the interstate transport of
pollutants, we interpret the ‘‘good
neighbor’’ provisions of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i) as requiring states to
include in their SIPs either measures to
prohibit emissions that would interfere
with the reasonable progress goals
required to be set to protect Class I areas
in other states, or a demonstration that
emissions from North Dakota sources
and activities will not have the
prohibited impacts under the existing
SIP.
The State’s April 6, 2009 SIP
submission suggested that North Dakota
intended to address the requirements of
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) by a timely
submission of its Regional Haze SIP by
December of 2007, but the State did not
make that submission until March 3,
2010. Moreover, while North Dakota
ultimately submitted a Regional Haze
SIP revision that addresses visibility
and reasonable progress goals directly,
North Dakota did not explicitly specify
that it was submitting the Regional Haze
SIP revision to satisfy the visibility
prong of 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II). Most
importantly, however, EPA must review
the April 6, 2009 submission in light of
the current facts and circumstances, and
the Regional Haze SIP revision that the
State ultimately submitted does not
fully meet the substantive requirements
of the regional haze program. The State
made no other SIP submission in which
it indicated that it intended to meet the
visibility prong of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) in any other way.
Accordingly, we are proposing to
disapprove North Dakota’s April 6, 2009
SIP submittal for the visibility prong of
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II), because that
submittal neither contains adequate
measures to eliminate emissions that
would interfere with the required
visibility programs in other states, nor a
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demonstration that the existing North
Dakota SIP already includes measures
sufficient to eliminate such prohibited
impacts.
We are proposing the promulgation of
a FIP to address the deficiency in North
Dakota’s April 6, 2009 SIP submission
that we have identified in this proposal,
in order to meet the interstate transport
requirements of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) for visibility.
Specifically, the proposed FIP consists
of a finding that the combination of our
proposed partial approval of North
Dakota’s Regional Haze SIP and our
proposed partial FIP for regional haze
for North Dakota will satisfy the
interstate transport requirements of
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) with respect to
visibility. The emissions reductions
resulting from the combination SIP/FIP
and other provisions contained in the
SIP will ensure non-interference with
the required visibility programs of other
states, as well as simultaneously meet
the substantive requirements of the
regional haze program. Simultaneous
action on both the section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) and regional haze
program requirements will also be the
most efficient approach to ensure that
sources in North Dakota are controlled
adequately to meet both requirements,
and to avoid the possibility that sources
might be required to implement two
successive levels of controls in order to
meet both requirements.
II. SIP and FIP Background
The CAA requires each state to
develop plans to meet various air
quality requirements, including
protection of visibility. CAA sections
110(a), 169A, and 169B. The plans
developed by a state are referred to as
SIPs. A state must submit its SIPs and
SIP revisions to us for approval. Once
approved, a SIP is enforceable by EPA
and citizens under the CAA, also known
as being federally enforceable. If a state
fails to make a required SIP submittal or
if we find that a state’s required
submittal is incomplete or
unapprovable, then we must promulgate
a FIP to fill this regulatory gap. CAA
section 110(c)(1). As discussed
elsewhere in this notice, we are
proposing to disapprove aspects of
North Dakota’s Regional Haze SIP. We
are also proposing to disapprove, as not
meeting the requirements of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) of the CAA regarding
visibility, North Dakota’s interstate
transport SIP. We are proposing FIPs to
address the deficiencies in North
Dakota’s regional haze and interstate
transport SIPs.
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III. What is the background for our
proposed actions?
A. Regional Haze
Regional haze is visibility impairment
that is produced by a multitude of
sources and activities which are located
across a broad geographic area and emit
PM2.5 (e.g., sulfates, nitrates, organic
carbon (OC), elemental carbon (EC), and
soil dust) and its precursors (e.g., sulfur
dioxide (SO2), NOX, and in some cases,
ammonia (NH3) and volatile organic
compounds (VOCs)). These precursors
react in the atmosphere to form PM2.5.
PM2.5 impairs visibility by scattering
and absorbing light. Visibility
impairment reduces the clarity, color,
and visible distance that one can see.
PM2.5 also can cause serious health
effects and mortality in humans and
contributes to environmental effects
such as acid deposition and
eutrophication.
Data from the existing visibility
monitoring network, the ‘‘Interagency
Monitoring of Protected Visual
Environments’’ (IMPROVE) monitoring
network, show that visibility
impairment caused by air pollution
occurs virtually all the time at most
national park and wilderness areas. The
average visual range 1 in many Class I
areas (i.e., national parks and memorial
parks, wilderness areas, and
international parks meeting certain size
criteria) in the western United States is
100–150 kilometers, or about one-half to
two-thirds of the visual range that
would exist without anthropogenic air
pollution. 64 FR 35714, 35715 (July 1,
1999). In most of the eastern Class I
areas of the United States, the average
visual range is less than 30 kilometers,
or about one-fifth of the visual range
that would exist under estimated
natural conditions. Id.
In section 169A of the 1977
Amendments to the CAA, Congress
created a program for protecting
visibility in the nation’s national parks
and wilderness areas. This section of the
CAA establishes as a national goal the
‘‘prevention of any future, and the
remedying of any existing, impairment
of visibility in mandatory Class I
Federal areas 2 which impairment
1 Visual range is the greatest distance, in
kilometers or miles, at which a dark object can be
viewed against the sky.
2 Areas designated as mandatory Class I Federal
areas consist of national parks exceeding 6000
acres, wilderness areas and national memorial parks
exceeding 5000 acres, and all international parks
that were in existence on August 7, 1977. See CAA
section 162(a). In accordance with section 169A of
the CAA, EPA, in consultation with the Department
of Interior, promulgated a list of 156 areas where
visibility is identified as an important value. See 44
FR 69122, November 30, 1979. The extent of a
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results from manmade air pollution.’’
CAA § 169A(a)(1). The terms
‘‘impairment of visibility’’ and
‘‘visibility impairment’’ are defined in
the Act to include a reduction in visual
range and atmospheric discoloration. Id.
section 169A(g)(6). In 1980, we
promulgated regulations to address
visibility impairment in Class I areas
that is ‘‘reasonably attributable’’ to a
single source or small group of sources,
i.e., ‘‘reasonably attributable visibility
impairment’’ (RAVI). 45 FR 80084
(December 2, 1980). These regulations
represented the first phase in addressing
visibility impairment. We deferred
action on regional haze that emanates
from a variety of sources until
monitoring, modeling, and scientific
knowledge about the relationships
between pollutants and visibility
impairment had improved.
Congress added section 169B to the
CAA in 1990 to address regional haze
issues, and we promulgated regulations
addressing regional haze in 1999. 64 FR
35714 (July 1, 1999), codified at 40 CFR
part 51, subpart P. The Regional Haze
Rule revised the existing visibility
regulations to integrate into them
provisions addressing regional haze
impairment and establish a
comprehensive visibility protection
program for Class I areas. The
requirements for regional haze, found at
40 CFR 51.308 and 51.309, are included
in our visibility protection regulations at
40 CFR 51.300–309. Some of the main
regional haze requirements are
summarized in section IV of this action.
The requirement to submit a Regional
Haze SIP applies to all 50 states, the
District of Columbia and the Virgin
Islands. States were required to submit
a SIP addressing regional haze visibility
impairment no later than December 17,
2007.3 40 CFR 51.308(b).
Few States submitted a Regional Haze
SIP prior to the December 17, 2007
deadline, and on January 15, 2009, EPA
found that 37 states, including North
Dakota, and the District of Columbia
and the Virgin Islands, had failed to
submit SIPs addressing the regional
haze requirements. 74 FR 2392. Once
mandatory Class I area includes subsequent changes
in boundaries, such as park expansions. CAA
section 162(a). Although states and tribes may
designate as Class I additional areas which they
consider to have visibility as an important value,
the requirements of the visibility program set forth
in section 169A of the CAA apply only to
‘‘mandatory Class I Federal areas.’’ Each mandatory
Class I Federal area is the responsibility of a
‘‘Federal Land Manager’’ (FLM). See CAA section
302(i). When we use the term ‘‘Class I area’’ in this
action, we mean a ‘‘mandatory Class I Federal
area.’’
3 EPA’s regional haze regulations require
subsequent updates to the regional haze SIPs. 40
CFR 51.308(g)–(i).
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EPA has found that a State has failed to
make a required submission, EPA is
required to promulgate a FIP within two
years unless the State submits a SIP and
the Agency approves it within the two
year period. CAA § 110(c)(1).
B. Roles of Agencies in Addressing
Regional Haze
Successful implementation of the
regional haze program will require longterm regional coordination among
states, tribal governments and various
federal agencies. Pollution affecting the
air quality in Class I areas can be
transported over long distances, even
hundreds of kilometers. Therefore, to
address effectively the problem of
visibility impairment in Class I areas,
states need to develop strategies in
coordination with one another, taking
into account the effect of emissions from
one jurisdiction on the air quality in
another.
Because the pollutants that lead to
regional haze can originate from sources
located across broad geographic areas,
we have encouraged the states and
tribes across the United States to
address visibility impairment from a
regional perspective. Five regional
planning organizations (RPOs) were
formed to address regional haze and
related issues. The regional planning
organizations first evaluated technical
information to better understand how
their states and tribes impact Class I
areas across the country, and then
pursued the development of regional
strategies to reduce emissions of
particulate matter (PM) and other
pollutants leading to regional haze.
The Western Regional Air Program
(WRAP) is a collaborative effort of state
governments, tribal governments, and
various federal agencies established to
conduct data analyses, conduct
pollutant transport modeling, and
coordinate planning activities among
the western states. Member state
governments include: Alaska, Arizona,
California, Colorado, Idaho, Montana,
New Mexico, North Dakota, Oregon,
South Dakota, Utah, Washington, and
Wyoming. Tribal members include
Campo Band of Kumeyaay Indians,
Confederated Salish and Kootenai
Tribes, Cortina Indian Rancheria, Hopi
Tribe, Hualapai Nation of the Grand
Canyon, Native Village of Shungnak,
Nez Perce Tribe, Northern Cheyenne
Tribe, Pueblo of Acoma, Pueblo of San
Felipe, and Shoshone-Bannock Tribes of
Fort Hall.
C. The 1997 NAAQS for Ozone and
PM2.5 and CAA 110(a)(2)(D)(i)
On July 18, 1997, we promulgated the
1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS and the
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1997 PM2.5 NAAQS. 62 FR 38652.
Section 110(a)(1) of the CAA requires
states to submit SIPs to address a new
or revised NAAQS within 3 years after
promulgation of such standards, or
within such shorter period as we may
prescribe. Section 110(a)(2) of the CAA
lists the elements that such new SIPs
must address, as applicable, including
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i), which pertains to
the interstate transport of certain
emissions.
On April 25, 2005, we published a
‘‘Finding of Failure to Submit SIPs for
Interstate Transport for the 8-hour
Ozone and PM2.5 NAAQS.’’ 70 FR
21147. This action included a finding
that North Dakota and other states had
failed to submit SIPs to address
interstate transport of air pollution
affecting required visibility programs in
other states, among other things, and
started a 2-year clock for the
promulgation of a FIP by us, unless a
state made a submission to meet the
requirements of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i),
and we approved the submission, prior
to that time. Id.
On August 15, 2006, we issued our
‘‘Guidance for State Implementation
Plan (SIP) Submissions to Meet Current
Outstanding Obligations Under Section
110(a)(2)(D)(i) for the 8–Hour Ozone and
PM2.5 National Ambient Air Quality
Standards’’ (2006 Guidance). We
developed the 2006 Guidance to make
recommendations to states for making
submissions to meet the requirements of
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) for the 1997 8hour ozone NAAQS and the 1997 PM2.5
NAAQS.
As identified in the 2006 Guidance,
the ‘‘good neighbor’’ provisions in
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) of the CAA
require each state to have a SIP that
prohibits emissions that adversely affect
another state in the ways contemplated
in the statute. Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)
contains four distinct requirements or
‘‘prongs’’ related to the impacts of
interstate transport. The SIP must
prevent sources in the state from
emitting pollutants in amounts which
will: (1) Contribute significantly to
nonattainment of the NAAQS in other
states; (2) interfere with maintenance of
the NAAQS in other states; (3) interfere
with provisions to prevent significant
deterioration of air quality in other
states; or (4) interfere with efforts to
protect visibility in other states.
Acknowledging that the Regional
Haze SIPs were still under development
and were not due until December 17,
2007, the 2006 Guidance recommended
that states could make a simple SIP
submission confirming that it was not
possible at that point in time to assess
whether there was any interference with
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measures in the applicable SIP for
another state designed to ‘‘protect
visibility’’ for the 1997 8-hour ozone
NAAQS and the 1997 PM2.5 NAAQS.
See 74 FR 2392 (January 15, 2009). We
note that our 2006 Guidance was based
on the premise that as of the time of its
issuance in August 2006, it was
reasonable for EPA to recommend that
states could merely indicate that the
imminent Regional Haze SIP would be
the appropriate means to establish that
its SIP contained adequate provisions to
prevent interference with the visibility
programs required in other states. As
discussed in more detail below, at this
point in time, EPA must review the
submissions in light of the actual facts
and in light of the statutory
requirements of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II).
On June 2, 2009, WildEarth Guardians
sued EPA for our failure to take action
to promulgate FIPs, or to act on
submitted SIPs in lieu thereof, to satisfy
the requirements of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i) for the 1997 8-hour ozone
NAAQS and 1997 PM2.5 NAAQS. Seven
western states were named in the
lawsuit: Colorado, North Dakota, New
Mexico, Oklahoma, California, Idaho,
and Oregon. A consent decree was filed
on November 10, 2009. The consent
decree included various dates by which
EPA was required to take action on each
of the four prongs of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i) for each of the seven
states for both of the applicable NAAQS.
It required that EPA sign a notice by
May 10, 2011, approving a SIP or FIP or
combination SIP/FIP for North Dakota
meeting the requirements of section
110(a)(2)(D) regarding interference with
measures in other states related to
protection of visibility. Pursuant to a
subsequent modification to the consent
decree and a subsequent stipulation,
this date for final action was extended
to February 9, 2012. The modification
and subsequent stipulation also
required that EPA sign a notice of
proposed rulemaking by September 1,
2011.
On April 6, 2009, we received a SIP
revision from North Dakota to address
the interstate transport provisions of
CAA 110(a)(2)(D)(i) for the 1997 8-hour
ozone NAAQS and the 1997 PM2.5
NAAQS. In prior actions we approved
this North Dakota SIP submittal for the
three other prongs of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i). (75 FR 31290, June 3,
2010 and 75 FR 71023, November 22,
2010). However, as noted above, we are
proposing to disapprove the submittal
for purposes of the visibility prong and
are proposing a FIP to address this
requirement. Acting on both the section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) requirement and the
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Regional Haze SIP requirement
simultaneously will ensure the most
efficient use of resources by the affected
sources and EPA.
IV. What are the requirements for
Regional Haze SIPs?
The following is a summary of the
requirements of the Regional Haze Rule.
See 40 CFR 51.308 for further detail
regarding the requirements of the rule.
A. The CAA and the Regional Haze Rule
Regional Haze SIPs must assure
reasonable progress towards the
national goal of achieving natural
visibility conditions in Class I areas.
Section 169A of the CAA and our
implementing regulations require states
to establish long-term strategies for
making reasonable progress toward
meeting this goal. Implementation plans
must also give specific attention to
certain stationary sources that were in
existence on August 7, 1977, but were
not in operation before August 7, 1962,
and require these sources, where
appropriate, to install BART controls for
the purpose of eliminating or reducing
visibility impairment. The specific
Regional Haze SIP requirements are
discussed in further detail below.
B. Determination of Baseline, Natural,
and Current Visibility Conditions
The Regional Haze Rule establishes
the deciview (dv) as the principal metric
for measuring visibility. See 70 FR
39104, 39118. This visibility metric
expresses uniform changes in the degree
of haze in terms of common increments
across the entire range of visibility
conditions, from pristine to extremely
hazy conditions. Visibility is sometimes
expressed in terms of the visual range,
which is the greatest distance, in
kilometers or miles, at which a dark
object can just be distinguished against
the sky. The deciview is a useful
measure for tracking progress in
improving visibility, because each
deciview change is an equal incremental
change in visibility perceived by the
human eye. Most people can detect a
change in visibility of one deciview.4
The deciview is used in expressing
reasonable progress goals (which are
interim visibility goals towards meeting
the national visibility goal), defining
baseline, current, and natural
conditions, and tracking changes in
visibility. The Regional Haze SIPs must
contain measures that ensure
‘‘reasonable progress’’ toward the
national goal of preventing and
4 The preamble to the Regional Haze Rule
provides additional details about the deciview. 64
FR 35714, 35725 (July 1, 1999).
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remedying visibility impairment in
Class I areas caused by manmade air
pollution by reducing anthropogenic
emissions that cause regional haze. The
national goal is a return to natural
conditions, i.e., manmade sources of air
pollution would no longer impair
visibility in Class I areas.
To track changes in visibility over
time at each of the 156 Class I areas
covered by the visibility program (40
CFR 81.401–437), and as part of the
process for determining reasonable
progress, states must calculate the
degree of existing visibility impairment
at each Class I area at the time of each
Regional Haze SIP submittal and
periodically review progress every five
years midway through each 10-year
implementation period. To do this, the
Regional Haze Rule requires states to
determine the degree of impairment (in
deciviews) for the average of the 20
percent least impaired (‘‘best’’) and the
average of the 20 percent most impaired
(‘‘worst’’) visibility days over a specified
time period at each of their Class I areas.
In addition, states must also develop an
estimate of natural visibility conditions
for the purpose of comparing progress
toward the national goal. Natural
visibility is determined by estimating
the natural concentrations of pollutants
that cause visibility impairment and
then calculating total light extinction
based on those estimates. We have
provided guidance to states regarding
how to calculate baseline, natural and
current visibility conditions.5
For the first Regional Haze SIPs that
were due by December 17, 2007,
‘‘baseline visibility conditions’’ were the
starting points for assessing ‘‘current’’
visibility impairment. Baseline visibility
conditions represent the degree of
visibility impairment for the 20 percent
least impaired days and 20 percent most
impaired days for each calendar year
from 2000 to 2004. Using monitoring
data for 2000 through 2004, states are
required to calculate the average degree
of visibility impairment for each Class I
area, based on the average of annual
values over the five-year period. The
comparison of initial baseline visibility
conditions to natural visibility
conditions indicates the amount of
improvement necessary to attain natural
5 Guidance for Estimating Natural Visibility
Conditions Under the Regional Haze Rule,
September 2003, EPA–454/B–03–005, available at
https://www.epa.gov/ttncaaa1/t1/memoranda/
Regional Haze _envcurhr_gd.pdf, (hereinafter
referred to as ‘‘our 2003 Natural Visibility
Guidance’’); and Guidance for Tracking Progress
Under the Regional Haze Rule, (September 2003,
EPA–454/B–03–004, available at https://
www.epa.gov/ttncaaa1/t1/memoranda/
rh_tpurhr_gd.pdf, (hereinafter referred to as our
‘‘2003 Tracking Progress Guidance’’).
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visibility, while the future comparison
of baseline conditions to the then
current conditions will indicate the
amount of progress made. In general, the
2000—2004 baseline period is
considered the time from which
improvement in visibility is measured.
C. Determination of Reasonable Progress
Goals
The vehicle for ensuring continuing
progress towards achieving the natural
visibility goal is the submission of a
series of Regional Haze SIPs from the
states that establish two reasonable
progress goals (i.e., two distinct goals,
one for the ‘‘best’’ and one for the
‘‘worst’’ days) for every Class I area for
each (approximately) 10-year
implementation period. See 40 CFR
51.308(d), (f). The Regional Haze Rule
does not mandate specific milestones or
rates of progress, but instead calls for
states to establish goals that provide for
‘‘reasonable progress’’ toward achieving
natural (i.e., ‘‘background’’) visibility
conditions. In setting reasonable
progress goals, states must provide for
an improvement in visibility for the
most impaired days over the
(approximately) 10-year period of the
SIP, and ensure no degradation in
visibility for the least impaired days
over the same period. Id.
In establishing reasonable progress
goals, states are required to consider the
following factors established in section
169A of the CAA and in our Regional
Haze Rule at 40 CFR 51.308(d)(1)(i)(A):
(1) The costs of compliance; (2) the time
necessary for compliance; (3) the energy
and non-air quality environmental
impacts of compliance; and (4) the
remaining useful life of any potentially
affected sources. States must
demonstrate in their SIPs how these
factors are considered when selecting
the reasonable progress goals for the
best and worst days for each applicable
Class I area. In setting the reasonable
progress goals, states must also consider
the rate of progress needed to reach
natural visibility conditions by 2064
(referred to hereafter as the ‘‘Uniform
Rate of Progress’’) and the emission
reduction measures needed to achieve
that rate of progress over the 10-year
period of the SIP. Uniform progress
towards achievement of natural
conditions by the year 2064 represents
a rate of progress, which states are to
use for analytical comparison to the
amount of progress they expect to
achieve. If a state establishes a
reasonable progress goal that provides
for a slower rate of improvement in
visibility than the rate that would be
needed to attain natural conditions by
2064, the state must demonstrate, based
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on the reasonable progress factors, that
the rate of progress for the
implementation plan to attain natural
conditions by 2064 is not reasonable,
and that the progress goal adopted by
the state is reasonable. In setting
reasonable progress goals, each state
with one or more Class I areas (‘‘Class
I State’’) must also consult with
potentially ‘‘contributing states,’’ i.e.,
other nearby states with emission
sources that may be affecting visibility
impairment at the State’s Class I areas.
40 CFR 51.308(d)(1)(iv). In determining
whether a state’s goals for visibility
improvement provide for reasonable
progress toward natural visibility
conditions, EPA is required to evaluate
the demonstrations developed by the
state pursuant to paragraphs 40 CFR
51.308(d)(1)(i) and (d)(1)(ii). 40 CFR
51.308(d)(1)(iii).
D. Best Available Retrofit Technology
(BART)
Section 169A of the CAA directs
states to evaluate the use of retrofit
controls at certain larger, often
uncontrolled, older stationary sources
with the potential to emit 250 tons or
more per year of any pollutant in order
to address visibility impacts from these
sources. Specifically, section
169A(b)(2)(A) of the Act requires states
to revise their SIPs to contain such
measures as may be necessary to make
reasonable progress towards the natural
visibility goal, including a requirement
that certain categories of existing major
stationary sources 6 built between 1962
and 1977 procure, install, and operate
BART, as determined by the state or by
EPA in the case of a plan promulgated
under section 110(c) of the CAA. Under
the Regional Haze Rule, states are
directed to conduct BART
determinations for such ‘‘BARTeligible’’ sources that may be
anticipated to cause or contribute to any
visibility impairment in a Class I area.
Rather than requiring source-specific
BART controls, states also have the
flexibility to adopt an emissions trading
program or other alternative program as
long as the alternative provides greater
reasonable progress towards improving
visibility than BART.
On July 6, 2005, we published the
Guidelines for BART Determinations
Under the Regional Haze Rule at
Appendix Y to 40 CFR part 51 (‘‘BART
Guidelines’’) to assist states in
determining which of their sources
should be subject to the BART
requirements and in determining
6 The ‘‘major stationary sources’’ potentially
subject to BART are listed in CAA section
169A(g)(7).
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58577
appropriate emission limits for each
applicable source. 70 FR 39104. In
making a BART determination for a
fossil fuel-fired electric generating plant
with a total generating capacity in
excess of 750 megawatts (MW), a state
must use the approach set forth in the
BART Guidelines. A state is encouraged,
but not required, to follow the BART
Guidelines in making BART
determinations for other types of
sources. Regardless of source size or
type, a state must meet the requirements
of the CAA and our regulations for
selection of BART, and the state’s BART
analysis and determination must be
reasonable in light of the overarching
purpose of the regional haze program.
The process of establishing BART
emission limitations can be logically
broken down into three steps: first,
states identify those sources which meet
the definition of ‘‘BART-eligible source’’
set forth in 40 CFR 51.301; 7 second,
states determine which of such sources
‘‘emits any air pollutant which may
reasonably be anticipated to cause or
contribute to any impairment of
visibility in any such area’’ (a source
which fits this description is ‘‘subject to
BART,’’); and third, for each source
subject to BART, states then identify the
best available type and level of control
for reducing emissions.
States must address all visibilityimpairing pollutants emitted by a source
in the BART determination process. The
most significant visibility-impairing
pollutants are SO2, NOX, and PM. We
have stated that states should use their
best judgment in determining whether
VOC or NH3 compounds impair
visibility in Class I areas.
Under the BART Guidelines, states
may select an exemption threshold
value for their BART modeling, below
which a BART-eligible source would
not be expected to cause or contribute
to visibility impairment in any Class I
area. The state must document this
exemption threshold value in the SIP
and must state the basis for its selection
of that value. Any source with
emissions that model above the
threshold value would be subject to a
BART determination review. The BART
Guidelines acknowledge varying
circumstances affecting different Class I
areas. States should consider the
number of emission sources affecting
the Class I areas at issue and the
magnitude of the individual sources’
7 BART-eligible sources are those sources that
have the potential to emit 250 tons or more of a
visibility-impairing air pollutant, were not in
operation prior to August 7, 1962, but were in
existence on August 7, 1977, and whose operations
fall within one or more of 26 specifically listed
source categories. 40 CFR 51.301.
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impacts. Any exemption threshold set
by the state should not be higher than
0.5 deciviews. 40 CFR part 51, appendix
Y, section III.A.1.
In their SIPs, states must identify
‘‘BART-eligible sources’’ and ‘‘subjectto-BART sources’’ and document their
BART control determination analyses.
The term ‘‘BART-eligible source’’ used
in the BART Guidelines means the
collection of individual emission units
at a facility that together comprises the
BART-eligible source. In making BART
determinations, section 169A(g)(2) of
the CAA requires that states consider
the following factors: (1) The costs of
compliance; (2) the energy and non-air
quality environmental impacts of
compliance; (3) any existing pollution
control technology in use at the source;
(4) the remaining useful life of the
source; and (5) the degree of
improvement in visibility which may
reasonably be anticipated to result from
the use of such technology. See also 40
CFR 51.308(e)(1)(ii)(A).
A Regional Haze SIP must include
source-specific BART emission limits
and compliance schedules for each
source subject to BART. Once a state has
made its BART determination, the
BART controls must be installed and in
operation as expeditiously as
practicable, but no later than five years
after the date of our approval of the
Regional Haze SIP. CAA section
169(g)(4) and 40 CFR 51.308(e)(1)(iv). In
addition to what is required by the
Regional Haze Rule, general SIP
requirements mandate that the SIP must
also include all regulatory requirements
related to monitoring, recordkeeping,
and reporting for the BART controls on
the source. See CAA section 110(a). As
noted above, the Regional Haze Rule
allows states to implement an
alternative program in lieu of BART so
long as the alternative program can be
demonstrated to achieve greater
reasonable progress toward the national
visibility goal than would BART.
E. Long-Term Strategy (LTS)
Consistent with the requirement in
section 169A(b) of the CAA that states
include in their Regional Haze SIP a 10to 15-year strategy for making
reasonable progress, section 51.308(d)(3)
of the Regional Haze Rule requires that
states include a long-term strategy in
their Regional Haze SIPs. The long-term
strategy is the compilation of all control
measures a state will use during the
implementation period of the specific
SIP submittal to meet applicable
reasonable progress goals. The long-term
strategy must include ‘‘enforceable
emissions limitations, compliance
schedules, and other measures as
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necessary to achieve the reasonable
progress goals’’ for all Class I areas
within, or affected by emissions from,
the state. 40 CFR 51.308(d)(3).
When a state’s emissions are
reasonably anticipated to cause or
contribute to visibility impairment in a
Class I area(s) located in another state or
states, the Regional Haze Rule requires
the state to consult with the other
state(s) in order to develop coordinated
emissions management strategies. 40
CFR 51.308(d)(3)(i). Also, a state with a
Class I area impacted by emissions from
another state must consult with such
contributing state, (id.) and must also
demonstrate that it has included in its
SIP all measures necessary to obtain its
share of the emission reductions needed
to meet the reasonable progress goals for
the Class I area. Id. at (d)(3)(ii). The
regional planning organizations have
provided forums for significant
interstate consultation, but additional
consultations between states may be
required to sufficiently address
interstate visibility issues. This is
especially true where two states belong
to different regional planning
organizations.
States should consider all types of
anthropogenic sources of visibility
impairment in developing their longterm strategy, including stationary,
minor, mobile, and area sources. At a
minimum, states must describe how
each of the following seven factors
listed below are taken into account in
developing their long-term strategy: (1)
Emission reductions due to ongoing air
pollution control programs, including
measures to address reasonably
attributable visibility impairment; (2)
measures to mitigate the impacts of
construction activities; (3) emissions
limitations and schedules for
compliance to achieve the reasonable
progress goals; (4) source retirement and
replacement schedules; (5) smoke
management techniques for agricultural
and forestry management purposes
including plans as currently exist
within the state for these purposes; (6)
enforceability of emissions limitations
and control measures; and (7) the
anticipated net effect on visibility due to
projected changes in point, area, and
mobile source emissions over the period
addressed by the long-term strategy. 40
CFR 51.308(d)(3)(v).
F. Coordinating Regional Haze and
Reasonably Attributable Visibility
Impairment (RAVI)
As part of the Regional Haze Rule, we
revised 40 CFR 51.306(c) regarding the
long-term strategy for reasonably
attributable visibility impairment to
require that the reasonably attributable
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visibility impairment plan must provide
for a periodic review and SIP revision
not less frequently than every three
years until the date of submission of the
state’s first plan addressing regional
haze visibility impairment, which was
due December 17, 2007, in accordance
with 40 CFR 51.308(b) and (c). On or
before this date, the state must revise its
plan to provide for review and revision
of a coordinated long-term strategy for
addressing reasonably attributable
visibility impairment and regional haze,
and the state must submit the first such
coordinated long-term strategy with its
first Regional Haze SIP. Future
coordinated long-term strategy and
periodic progress reports evaluating
progress towards reasonable progress
goals, must be submitted consistent
with the schedule for SIP submission
and periodic progress reports set forth
in 40 CFR 51.308(f) and 51.308(g),
respectively. The periodic review of a
state’s long-term strategy must report on
both regional haze and reasonably
attributable visibility impairment and
must be submitted to us as a SIP
revision.
G. Monitoring Strategy and Other SIP
Requirements
Section 51.308(d)(4) of the Regional
Haze Rule includes the requirement for
a monitoring strategy for measuring,
characterizing, and reporting of regional
haze visibility impairment that is
representative of all mandatory Class I
Federal areas within the state. The
strategy must be coordinated with the
monitoring strategy required in section
51.305 for reasonably attributable
visibility impairment. Compliance with
this requirement may be met through
‘‘participation’’ in the IMPROVE
network, i.e., review and use of
monitoring data from the network. The
monitoring strategy is due with the first
Regional Haze SIP, and it must be
reviewed every five (5) years. The
monitoring strategy must also provide
for additional monitoring sites if the
IMPROVE network is not sufficient to
determine whether reasonable progress
goals will be met.
Under section 51.308(d)(4), the SIP
must also provide for the following:
• Procedures for using monitoring
data and other information in a state
with mandatory Class I areas to
determine the contribution of emissions
from within the state to regional haze
visibility impairment at Class I areas
both within and outside the state;
• Procedures for using monitoring
data and other information in a state
with no mandatory Class I areas to
determine the contribution of emissions
from within the state to regional haze
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visibility impairment at Class I areas in
other states;
• Reporting of all visibility
monitoring data to the Administrator at
least annually for each Class I area in
the state, and where possible, in
electronic format;
• Developing a statewide inventory of
emissions of pollutants that are
reasonably anticipated to cause or
contribute to visibility impairment in
any Class I area. The inventory must
include emissions for a baseline year,
emissions for the most recent year for
which data are available, and estimates
of future projected emissions. A state
must also make a commitment to update
the inventory periodically; and
• Other elements, including
reporting, recordkeeping, and other
measures necessary to assess and report
on visibility.
The Regional Haze Rule requires
control strategies to cover an initial
implementation period extending to the
year 2018, with a comprehensive
reassessment and revision of those
strategies, as appropriate, every 10 years
thereafter. Periodic SIP revisions must
meet the core requirements of section
51.308(d), with the exception of BART.
The requirement to evaluate sources for
BART applies only to the first Regional
Haze SIP. Facilities subject to BART
must continue to comply with the BART
provisions of section 51.308(e). Periodic
SIP revisions will assure that the
statutory requirement of reasonable
progress will continue to be met.
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H. Consultation With States and Federal
Land Managers (FLMs)
The Regional Haze Rule requires that
states consult with Federal Land
Managers before adopting and
submitting their SIPs. 40 CFR 51.308(i).
States must provide Federal Land
Managers an opportunity for
consultation, in person and at least 60
days prior to holding any public hearing
on the SIP. This consultation must
include the opportunity for the Federal
Land Managers to discuss their
assessment of impairment of visibility
in any Class I area and to offer
recommendations on the development
of the reasonable progress goals and on
the development and implementation of
strategies to address visibility
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impairment. Further, a state must
include in its SIP a description of how
it addressed any comments provided by
the Federal Land Managers. Finally, a
SIP must provide procedures for
continuing consultation between the
state and Federal Land Managers
regarding the state’s visibility protection
program, including development and
review of SIP revisions, five-year
progress reports, and the
implementation of other programs
having the potential to contribute to
impairment of visibility in Class I areas.
V. Our Analysis of North Dakota’s
Regional Haze SIP
On March 3, 2010, the State of North
Dakota submitted a Regional Haze SIP
revision for approval into the North
Dakota SIP. North Dakota provided two
other submittals—SIP Supplement No. 1
on July 27, 2010 (provisions pertaining
to Heskett Station) and SIP Amendment
No. 1 on July 28, 2011 (provisions
pertaining to Coyote Station and
materials relating to the Prevention of
Signification Deterioration (PSD) BACT
determination for Milton R. Young
Station).
As part of Amendment No. 1, the
State submitted the entire
administrative record for its BACT
determination for Milton R. Young
Station. The administrative record
consists of at least 259 documents
comprising over 850 megabytes of
information. Given our September 1,
2011 deadline to sign this notice of
proposed rulemaking under the consent
decree discussed in section III.C, we
lack sufficient time to act on or consider
this aspect of Amendment No. 1. Under
CAA section 110(k)(2), EPA is not
required to act on a SIP submittal until
12 months after it is determined to be
or deemed complete. We have
considered some of the documents
related to the State’s BACT
determination for Milton R. Young
Station and have included those
documents in the docket for this
proposed action.
We are proposing action on the
aspects of Amendment No. 1 that
pertain to Coyote Station because such
provisions were amenable to our
evaluation in the available time.
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58579
The following is a discussion of our
evaluation of the relevant submittals.
A. Affected Class I Areas
In accordance with 40 CFR 51.308(d),
North Dakota identified two Class I
areas within its borders: Theodore
Roosevelt National Park (Theodore
Roosevelt or TRNP) and Lostwood
National Wildlife Refuge Wilderness
Area (Lostwood or LWA). North Dakota
is responsible for developing reasonable
progress goals for these two Class I
areas. North Dakota has also determined
that North Dakota emissions have or
may reasonably be expected to have
impacts at Class I areas in other states
including: Boundary Waters Canoe Area
Wilderness Area and Voyageurs
National Park in Minnesota, Isle Royale
National Park and Seney National
Wildlife Refuge Wilderness Area in
Michigan, Medicine Lake National
Wildlife Refuge Wilderness Area and
U.L. Bend National Wildlife Refuge
Wilderness Area in Montana, and
Badlands National Park and Wind Cave
National Park in South Dakota. North
Dakota consulted with the appropriate
state air quality agency in each of these
states through their involvement with
the WRAP. Assessment of North
Dakota’s contribution to haze in these
Class I areas is based on technical
analyses developed by WRAP.
B. Determination of Baseline, Natural,
and Current Visibility Conditions
As required by section 51.308(d)(2)(i)
of the Regional Haze Rule and in
accordance with our 2003 Natural
Visibility Guidance, North Dakota
calculated baseline/current and natural
visibility conditions for its Class I areas,
Theodore Roosevelt and Lostwood, on
the most impaired and least impaired
days, as summarized below (and further
described in the Technical Support
Document (TSD)). The natural visibility
conditions, baseline visibility
conditions, and visibility impact
reductions needed to achieve the
uniform rate of progress in 2018 for both
North Dakota Class I areas are presented
in Table 1 and further explained in this
section. More detail is available in
Sections 5 and 8 of the North Dakota
SIP.
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TABLE 1—VISIBILITY IMPACT REDUCTIONS NEEDED BASED ON BEST AND WORST DAYS BASELINES, NATURAL
CONDITIONS, AND UNIFORM RATE OF PROGRESS GOALS FOR NORTH DAKOTA CLASS I AREAS
20% Worst days
North Dakota class I area
2000–2004
Baseline
(dv)
Theodore Roosevelt National Park ......................
Lostwood National Wildlife Refuge Wilderness
Area ..................................................................
1. Estimating Natural Visibility
Conditions
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Natural background visibility, as
defined in our 2003 Natural Visibility
Guidance, is estimated by calculating
the expected light extinction using
default estimates of natural
concentrations of fine particle
components adjusted by site-specific
estimates of humidity. This calculation
uses the IMPROVE equation, which is a
formula for estimating light extinction
from the estimated natural
concentrations of fine particle
components (or from components
measured by the IMPROVE monitors).
As documented in our 2003 Natural
Visibility Guidance, EPA allows states
to use ‘‘refined’’ or alternative
approaches to this guidance to estimate
the values that characterize the natural
visibility conditions of Class I areas.
One alternative approach is to develop
and justify the use of alternative
estimates of natural concentrations of
fine particle components. Another
alternative is to use the ‘‘new IMPROVE
equation’’ that was adopted for use by
the IMPROVE Steering Committee in
December 2005.8 The purpose of this
refinement to the ‘‘old IMPROVE
equation’’ is to provide more accurate
estimates of the various factors that
affect the calculation of light extinction.
For Theodore Roosevelt and
Lostwood, North Dakota opted to use
WRAP calculations in which the default
estimates for the natural conditions
were combined with the ‘‘new
IMPROVE equation.’’ This is an
8 The IMPROVE program is a cooperative
measurement effort governed by a steering
committee composed of representatives from
Federal agencies (including representatives from
EPA and the FLMs) and regional planning
organizations. The IMPROVE monitoring program
was established in 1985 to aid the creation of
Federal and State implementation plans for the
protection of visibility in Class I areas. One of the
objectives of IMPROVE is to identify chemical
species and emission sources responsible for
existing anthropogenic visibility impairment. The
IMPROVE program has also been a key participant
in visibility-related research, including the
advancement of monitoring instrumentation,
analysis techniques, visibility modeling, policy
formulation and source attribution field studies.
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2018 URP
Goal
(dv)
20% Best days
2018 Reduction needed
(delta dv)
2064 Natural
conditions
(dv)
2000–2004
Baseline
(dv)
2064 Natural
conditions
(dv)
17.80
15.47
2.33
7.8
7.76
3.04
19.57
16.89
2.68
8.0
8.19
2.92
acceptable approach under our 2003
Natural Visibility Guidance. For
Theodore Roosevelt, the default natural
visibility value for the 20 percent worst
days is 7.31 deciviews and for the 20
percent best days is 2.19 deciviews. For
Lostwood, the default natural visibility
value for the 20 percent worst days is
7.33 deciviews and for the 20 percent
best days is 2.21 deciviews. For
Theodore Roosevelt, North Dakota also
referred to WRAP calculations using the
new IMPROVE equation, finding the
‘‘refined’’ natural visibility value for the
20 percent worst days to be 7.8
deciviews and for the 20 percent best
days to be 3.0 deciviews. For Lostwood,
the ‘‘refined’’ natural visibility result for
the 20 percent worst days is 8.0
deciviews and for the 20 percent best
days is 2.9 deciviews. We have
reviewed North Dakota’s estimate of the
natural visibility conditions and
propose to find it acceptable using the
new IMPROVE equation.
The new IMPROVE equation takes
into account the most recent review of
the science 9 and accounts for the effect
of particle size distribution on light
extinction efficiency of sulfate, nitrate,
and organic carbon. It also adjusts the
mass multiplier for organic carbon
(particulate organic matter) by
increasing it from 1.4 to 1.8. New terms
9 The science behind the revised IMPROVE
equation is summarized in our Technical Support
Document, in the Technical Support Document for
Technical Products Prepared by the Western
Regional Air Partnership (WRAP) in Support of
Western Regional Haze Plans, Februrary 28, 2011,
and in numerous published papers. See for
example: Hand, J.L., and Malm, W.C., 2006, Review
of the IMPROVE Equation for Estimating Ambient
Light Extinction Coefficients—Final Report. March
2006. Prepared for Interagency Monitoring of
Protected Visual Environments (IMPROVE),
Colorado State University, Cooperative Institute for
Research in the Atmosphere, Fort Collins, Colorado,
available at https://vista.cira.colostate.edu/improve/
publications/GrayLit/016_IMPROVEeqReview/
IMPROVEeqReview.htm and Pitchford, Marc., 2006,
Natural Haze Levels II: Application of the New
IMPROVE Algorithm to Natural Species
Concentrations Estimates. Final Report of the
Natural Haze Levels II Committee to the RPO
Monitoring/Data Analysis Workgroup. September
2006, available at https://vista.cira.colostate.edu/
improve/Publications/GrayLit/029_NaturalCondII/
naturalhazelevelsIIreport.ppt.
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are added to the equation to account for
light extinction by sea salt and light
absorption by gaseous nitrogen dioxide.
Site-specific values are used for
Rayleigh scattering (scattering of light
due to atmospheric gases) to account for
the site-specific effects of elevation and
temperature. Separate relative humidity
enhancement factors are used for small
and large size distributions of
ammonium sulfate and ammonium
nitrate and for sea salt. The terms for the
remaining contributors, elemental
carbon (light-absorbing carbon), fine
soil, and coarse mass terms, do not
change between the original and new
IMPROVE equations.
2. Estimating Baseline Visibility
Conditions
As required by section 51.308(d)(2)(i)
of the Regional Haze Rule and in
accordance with our 2003 Natural
Visibility Guidance, North Dakota
calculated baseline visibility conditions
for Theodore Roosevelt and Lostwood.
The baseline condition calculation
begins with the calculation of light
extinction, using the IMPROVE
equation. The IMPROVE equation sums
the light extinction 10 resulting from
individual pollutants, such as sulfates
and nitrates. As with the natural
visibility conditions calculation, North
Dakota chose to use the new IMPROVE
equation.
The period for establishing baseline
visibility conditions is 2000–2004, and
baseline conditions must be calculated
using available monitoring data. 40 CFR
51.308(d)(2). The North Dakota Regional
Haze SIP employed visibility
monitoring data collected by IMPROVE
monitors located in both North Dakota
Class I areas for the years 2000 through
2004 and the resulting baseline
conditions represent an average for
2000–2004. North Dakota calculated the
baseline conditions at Theodore
Roosevelt as 17.8 deciviews on the 20
10 The amount of light lost as it travels over one
million meters. The haze index, in units of
deciviews (dv), is calculated directly from the total
light extinction, bext expressed in inverse
megameters (Mm¥1), as follows: HI = 10 ln(bext/10).
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percent worst days, and 7.8 deciviews
on the 20 percent best days. North
Dakota calculated the baseline
conditions at Lostwood as 19.6
deciviews on the 20 percent worst days,
and 8.2 deciviews on the 20 percent best
days. We have reviewed North Dakota’s
estimations of baseline visibility
conditions at Theodore Roosevelt
National Park and Lostwood and
propose to find them acceptable.
3. Natural Visibility Impairment
To address the requirements of 40
CFR 51.308(d)(2)(iv)(A), North Dakota
also calculated the number of deciviews
by which baseline conditions exceed
natural visibility conditions at Theodore
Roosevelt and Lostwood: for the 20
percent worst days, 10.0 deciviews
(17.8¥7.8) and 11.6 deciviews
(19.6¥8.0), respectively; for the 20
percent best days, 4.8 deciviews
(7.8¥3.0) and 5.3 deciviews (8.2¥2.9),
respectively. We have reviewed North
Dakota’s estimate of the natural
visibility impairment and propose to
find it acceptable.
4. Uniform Rate of Progress (URP)
In setting the reasonable progress
goals, North Dakota analyzed and
determined the uniform rate of progress
needed to reach natural visibility
conditions by the year 2064. In so doing,
North Dakota compared the baseline
visibility conditions in Theodore
Roosevelt and Lostwood to the natural
visibility conditions in Theodore
Roosevelt and Lostwood (as described
above) and determined the uniform rate
of progress needed in order to attain
natural visibility conditions by 2064 in
both Class I areas. North Dakota
constructed the uniform rate of progress
consistent with the requirements of the
Regional Haze Rule and consistent with
our 2003 Tracking Progress Guidance by
plotting a straight graphical line from
the baseline level of visibility
impairment for 2000–2004 to the level
of visibility conditions representing no
anthropogenic impairment in 2064 for
Theodore Roosevelt and Lostwood. The
uniform rate of progress are summarized
in Table 2 and further described below.
Using a baseline visibility value at
Theodore Roosevelt of 17.8 deciviews
58581
and a ‘‘refined’’ natural visibility value
of 7.8 deciviews for the 20 percent worst
days, North Dakota calculated the
uniform rate of progress to be
approximately 0.17 deciviews per year
(dv/year or dv/yr). This results in a total
reduction of 10.0 deciviews to reach the
natural visibility condition of 7.8
deciviews in 2064. The uniform rate of
progress results in a visibility
improvement of 2.3 deciviews needed
for the period covered by this SIP
revision submittal (up to and including
2018).
Using a baseline visibility value at
Lostwood of 19.6 deciviews and a
‘‘refined’’ natural visibility value of 8.0
deciviews for the 20 percent worst days,
North Dakota calculated the uniform
rate of progress to be approximately 0.19
deciviews per year. This results in a
total reduction of 11.6 deciviews to
reach the natural visibility condition of
8.0 deciviews in 2064. The uniform rate
of progress results in a visibility
improvement of 2.7 deciviews needed
for the period covered by this SIP
revision submittal (up to and including
2018).
TABLE 2—SUMMARY OF UNIFORM RATE OF PROGRESS
Class I area
TRNP
Baseline Conditions ................................................................
Natural Visibility .......................................................................
17.8 dv ...................................................
7.8 dv .....................................................
19.6 dv.
8.0 dv.
Total Improvement by 2064 ....................................................
10.0 dv ...................................................
11.6 dv.
Improvement for this SIP by 2018 ..........................................
URP .........................................................................................
2.3 dv .....................................................
0.17 dv/year ...........................................
2.7 dv.
0.19 dv/year.
We propose to find that North Dakota
has appropriately calculated the
uniform rate of progress.
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C. Evaluation of North Dakota’s BART
Determinations Other Than for NOX for
Milton R. Young Station Units 1 and 2,
Leland Olds Station Unit 2, and Coal
Creek Station Units 1 and 2
BART is an element of North Dakota’s
long-term strategy for the first
implementation period. As discussed in
more detail in section IV.D of this
preamble, the BART evaluation process
consists of three components: (1) An
identification of all the BART-eligible
sources; (2) an assessment of whether
those BART-eligible sources are in fact
subject to BART; and (3) a
determination of any BART controls.
North Dakota addressed these steps as
follows:
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1. Identification of BART-Eligible
Sources
The first step of a BART evaluation is
to identify all the BART-eligible sources
within the state’s boundaries. North
Dakota identified the BART-eligible
sources in North Dakota by utilizing the
approach set out in the BART
Guidelines (70 FR 39158); this approach
provides three criteria for identifying
BART-eligible sources: (1) One or more
emission units at the facility fit within
one of the 26 categories listed in the
BART Guidelines; (2) the emission
unit(s) began operation on or after
August 6, 1962, and was in existence on
August 6, 1977; and (3) potential
emissions of any visibility-impairing
pollutant from subject units are 250 tons
or more per year. North Dakota initially
screened its emissions inventory and
permitting database to identify major
facilities with emission units in one or
more of the 26 BART categories.
Following this, North Dakota used its
databases and records to identify
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LWA
facilities in these source categories with
potential emissions of 250 tons per year
or more for any visibility-impairing
pollutant from any unit that was in
existence on August 7, 1977 and began
operation on or after August 7, 1962.
North Dakota contacted the sources,
when necessary, to obtain or confirm
this information.
The BART Guidelines direct states to
address SO2, NOX, and direct PM
(including both coarse particulate
matter (PM10) and PM2.5) emissions as
visibility-impairing pollutants and to
exercise their ‘‘best judgment to
determine whether VOC or NH3
emissions from a source are likely to
have an impact on visibility in an area.’’
See 70 FR 39162. WRAP modeling
demonstrated that VOCs from
anthropogenic sources are not
significant visibility-impairing
pollutants at Theodore Roosevelt and
Lostwood. NH3 emissions in North
Dakota are primarily due to area
sources, such as livestock and fertilizer
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application. Because these are not point
sources, they are not subject to BART.
For the BART-eligible sources in North
Dakota, North Dakota determined that
NH3 and VOC emissions are negligible.
The emissions inventory prepared for
the WRAP modeling demonstrates that
NH3 from point sources are not
significant visibility-impairing
pollutants in North Dakota. We have
reviewed this information and propose
to accept this determination.
North Dakota identified BART-eligible
sources in North Dakota as shown in
Table 3. This information is presented
in Section 7 of North Dakota’s SIP.
TABLE 3—LIST OF BART-ELIGIBLE SOURCES IN NORTH DAKOTA
BART-eligible source
Location
BART Source category
(SC)
1. American Crystal Sugar Company
(Main Boiler and Lime Kiln).
2. Basin Electric Power Cooperative, Leland Olds Station (Unit 1 and Unit 2).
3. Great River Energy, Coal Creek Station
(Unit 1 and Unit 2).
4. Great River Energy, Stanton Station
(Unit 1).
5. Minnkota Power Cooperative, Milton R.
Young Station (Unit 1 and Unit 2).
6. Montana Dakota Utilities Resources
Group, Inc. R.M. Heskett Station (Unit
2).
7. Tesoro Petroleum Corporation, Mandan
Refinerry Carbon Monoxide Furnace.
Drayton, northeastern ........
North Dakota .....................
Stanton, central .................
North Dakota .....................
Falkirk, central ...................
North Dakota .....................
Stanton, central .................
North Dakota .....................
Center, central ...................
North Dakota .....................
Mandan, central .................
North Dakota .....................
SC 22—fossil fuel boilers >250 MMBtu/
hr heat input and SC 12—lime plants.
SC 1—fossil fuel steam electric plants
>250 MMBtu/hr heat input.
SC 1—fossil fuel steam electric plants
>250 MMBtu/hr heat input.
SC 1—fossil fuel steam electric plants
>250 MMBtu/hr heat input.
SC 1—fossil fuel steam electric plants
>250 MMBtu/hr heat input.
SC 1—fossil fuel steam electric plants
>250 MMBtu/hr heat input.
LWA 400 km.
Mandan, central .................
North Dakota .....................
SC 11—petroleum refineries ...................
TRNP 180 km.
2. Identification of Sources Subject to
BART
The second step of the BART
evaluation is to identify those BARTeligible sources that may reasonably be
anticipated to cause or contribute to any
visibility impairment at any Class I area,
i.e. those sources that are subject to
BART. The BART Guidelines allow
states to consider exempting some
BART-eligible sources from further
BART review because they may not
reasonably be anticipated to cause or
contribute to any visibility impairment
in a Class I area. Consistent with the
BART Guidelines, North Dakota
required each of its BART-eligible
sources to develop and submit
dispersion modeling to assess the extent
of their contribution to visibility
impairment at surrounding Class I areas.
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a. Modeling Methodology
The BART Guidelines provide that
states may use the CALPUFF 11
modeling system or another appropriate
model to predict the visibility impacts
from a single source on a Class I area
and to, therefore, determine whether an
individual source is anticipated to cause
11 Note that our reference to CALPUFF
encompasses the entire CALPUFF modeling system,
which includes the CALMET, CALPUFF, and
CALPOST models and other pre and post
processors. The different versions of CALPUFF
have corresponding versions of CALMET,
CALPOST, etc. which may not be compatible with
previous versions (e.g., the output from a newer
version of CALMET may not be compatible with an
older version of CALPUFF). The different versions
of the CALPUFF modeling system are available
from the model developer at https://www.src.com/
verio/download/download.htm.
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or contribute to impairment of visibility
in Class I areas, i.e., ‘‘is subject to
BART.’’ The Guidelines state that we
find CALPUFF is the best regulatory
modeling application currently
available for predicting a single source’s
contribution to visibility impairment (70
FR 39162).
The BART Guidelines also
recommend that states develop a
modeling protocol for making
individual source attributions, and
suggest that states may want to consult
with us and their RPO to address any
issues prior to modeling. North Dakota
used the CALPUFF model for North
Dakota BART sources in accordance
with a protocol it developed entitled
‘‘Protocol for BART–Related Visibility
Impairment Modeling Analyses in North
Dakota, November 2005,’’ which was
approved by EPA and the Federal Land
Managers and is included in Appendix
A.1 of the SIP. The North Dakota
protocol follows recommendations for
long range transport described in
appendix W to 40 CFR part 51,
‘‘Guideline on Air Quality Models,’’ and
in EPA’s ‘‘Interagency Workgroup on
Air Quality Modeling (IWAQM) Phase 2
Summary Report and Recommendations
for Modeling Long Range Transport
Impacts,’’ as recommended by the BART
Guidelines. 40 CFR part 51, appendix Y,
section III.A.3.
To determine if each BART-eligible
source has a significant impact on
visibility, North Dakota used the
CALPUFF model to estimate daily
visibility impacts above estimated
natural conditions at each Class I area
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Nearest class I
area
TRNP 150 km.
TRNP 160 km.
TRNP 150 km.
TRNP 150 km.
TRNP 180 km.
within 300 km of any BART-eligible
facility, based on maximum actual 24hour emissions over a three year period
(2000–2002).
North Dakota opted to conduct
supplemental modeling for some
sources using its own unique modeling
approach. Further discussion on this is
provided in section V.D and in the
Technical Support Document.
b. Contribution Threshold
For states using modeling to
determine the applicability of BART to
single sources, the BART Guidelines
note that the first step is to set a
contribution threshold to assess whether
the impact of a single source is
sufficient to cause or contribute to
visibility impairment at a Class I area.
The BART Guidelines state that, ‘‘[a]
single source that is responsible for a 1.0
deciview change or more should be
considered to ‘cause’ visibility
impairment.’’ 70 FR 39104, 39161. The
BART Guidelines also state that ‘‘the
appropriate threshold for determining
whether a source contributes to
visibility impairment may reasonably
differ across states,’’ but, ‘‘[a]s a general
matter, any threshold that you use for
determining whether a source
‘contributes’ to visibility impairment
should not be higher than 0.5
deciviews.’’ Id. Further, in setting a
contribution threshold, states should
‘‘consider the number of emissions
sources affecting the Class I areas at
issue and the magnitude of the
individual sources’ impacts.’’ The
Guidelines affirm that states are free to
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use a lower threshold if they conclude
that the location of a large number of
BART-eligible sources in proximity to a
Class I area justifies this approach.
North Dakota used a contribution
threshold of 0.5 deciviews for
determining which sources are subject
to BART. The State’s decision was based
on the following factors: (1) 0.5
Deciviews equates to the 5% extinction
threshold for new sources under the
Prevention of Signification Deterioration
New Source Review rules, (2) 0.5
deciviews represents the limit of
perceptible change, (3) most of North
Dakota’s major point sources are over
100 miles away from Class I areas and
are located downwind in the prevailing
wind direction, and (4) BART screening
modeling indicates the visibility impact
of these point sources is either much
greater than both 1.0 deciviews and 0.5
deciviews or less than 0.5 deciviews.
Although we do not agree that all of the
factors considered by North Dakota’s
Department of Health are relevant in
determining whether a source can be
considered to cause or contribute to
visibility impairment, we propose to
approve the State’s threshold of 0.5
deciviews. As shown in Table 4, North
Dakota exempted four of the seven
BART-eligible sources in the state from
further review under the BART
requirements. The visibility impacts
attributable to each of these four sources
fell well below 0.5 deciviews. Given the
relatively limited impact on visibility
from these four sources, we propose to
agree with North Dakota’s Department
of Health that 0.5 deciviews is a
reasonable threshold for North Dakota
in determining whether its BARTeligible sources are subject to BART.
Because our recommended modeling
approach already incorporates choices
that tend to lower peak daily visibility
impact values,12 our BART Guidelines
state that a state should compare the
98th percentile (as opposed to the 90th
or lower percentile) of CALPUFF
modeling results against the
58583
‘‘contribution’’ threshold established by
the state for purposes of determining
BART applicability. While North Dakota
used a 98th percentile comparison,
North Dakota also included a 90th
percentile comparison in its SIP. The
use of the 90th percentile excludes
roughly the worst 36 days of data in a
year compared to 7 days for the 98th
percentile. We find that the 98th
percentile value is appropriate. Further
explanation on use of the 98th versus
90th percentile value is provided at 70
FR 39121, July 6, 2005.
c. Sources Identified by North Dakota as
Subject to BART
The results of the CALPUFF modeling
are summarized in Table 4. Those
facilities listed with demonstrated
impacts at all Class I areas less than 0.5
deciviews were determined by North
Dakota to not be subject to BART; those
with impacts greater than 0.5 deciviews
were determined to be subject toBART.
TABLE 4—INDIVIDUAL BART-ELIGIBLE SOURCE VISIBILITY IMPACTS ON NORTH DAKOTA CLASS I AREAS
Source and unit
1. American Crystal Sugar Company (Main Boiler and Lime Kiln) .....................................
2. Great River Energy, Coal Creek Station (Unit 1 and Unit 2) ..........................................
3. Great River Energy, Stanton Station (Unit 1) ..................................................................
4. Minnkota Power Cooperative, Milton R. Young Station (Unit 1 and Unit 2) ...................
5. Basin Electric Power Cooperative, Leland Olds Station (Unit 1 and Unit 2) ..................
6. Montana Dakota Utilities Resources Group, Inc. R.M. Heskett Station (Unit 2) .............
7. Tesoro Petroleum Corporation, Mandan Refinery Carbon Monoxide Furnace ...............
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3. BART Determinations and Federally
Enforceable Limits
The third step of a BART evaluation
is to perform the BART analysis. The
BART Guidelines (70 FR 39164)
describe the BART analysis as
consisting of the following five steps:
• Step 1: Identify All Available
Retrofit Control Technologies,
• Step 2: Eliminate Technically
Infeasible Options,
12 See
our BART Guidelines, Section III.A.3.
State’s single-source modeling for Heskett
Station Unit 2 predicted the highest maximum 24hour 98th percentile visibility impact value to be
0.82 dv at Theodore Rooseveltand 0.58 dv at
Lostwood. Since these values were close to the
BART exemption threshold, MDU hired a
consultant to perform a refined CALPUFF modeling
analysis. We and the FLMs expressed concerns
13 The
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Maximum 24hour 98th percentile visibility
impact (dv)
Class I Area
LWA
TRNP
LWA
TRNP
LWA
TRNP
LWA
TRNP
LWA
TRNP
LWA
TRNP
LWA
TRNP
0.04
0.04
4.04
4.48
1.35
1.68
4.88
6.69
5.42
6.22
0.23
0.28
0.04
0.05
Subject to BART or
exempt
Exempt.
Subject to BART.
Subject to BART.
Subject to BART.
Subject to BART.
Exempt.13
Exempt.
• Step 3: Evaluate Control
Effectiveness of Remaining Control
Technologies,
• Step 4: Evaluate Impacts and
Document the Results, and
• Step 5: Evaluate Visibility Impacts.
All of the sources presented in Table
4 that are subject to BART are fossilfuel-fired EGUs. North Dakota
performed BART determinations for all
of the sources subject to BART for NOX,
SO2, and PM. We find that North Dakota
adequately considered all five steps
above in its BART determinations, with
the exception of its NOX BART
determinations for Milton R. Young
Station Units 1 and 2, Leland Olds
Station Unit 2, and Coal Creek Station
Units 1 and 2. We are proposing to
disapprove the NOX BART
determinations for these five units, and
we discuss them separately in Sections
V.D, V.E, and V.F of this proposal. We
propose to approve North Dakota’s
about the refined modeling. MDU agreed to remodel
using an EPA approved protocol. The results of the
final analysis predicted the highest maximum 24hour 98th percentile visibility impact value to be
0.28 dv at TRNP and 0.23 dv at LWA in 2001. The
refined modeling used a 1 kilometer grid size
instead of 3 kilometer, speciated particulate matter
emissions into several components with varying
light scattering potential, and used annual average
background visibility instead of the annual 20%
best day’s background visibility. We agree with the
revised modeling results and with the State’s
analysis that Heskett Station Unit 2 is below the
BART threshold and not subject to BART.
Information on the refined modeling and the State’s
updated analysis was submitted with SIP
Supplement No. 1 on July 27, 2010.
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BART determinations for all remaining
cases and summarize them below.
a. Great River Energy, Coal Creek
Station
Background
Coal Creek Station is a two-unit, 1,100
gross MW mine-mouth electrical
generating plant located near
Underwood, North Dakota. It consists
primarily of two steam generators (both
with a 550 MW capacity) and associated
coal and ash handling systems. Both
units are identical Combustion
Engineering boilers that tangentially fire
pulverized lignite coal. The expected
remaining useful life for each is at least
20 years. In addition, the State
concluded that there are 24 BARTeligible material handling transfer
operations that are negligible sources of
PM and five BART-eligible units—
consisting of auxiliary or emergency
equipment—that are negligible sources
of PM, SO2, and NOX. The State
analyzed each pollutant and its effect on
the visibility in Class I areas. A
summary of the State’s analyses of
existing controls and potential BART
controls for each pollutant is set forth
below, except for the discussion of NOX
BART for Units 1 and 2 which we
address in section V.D.2.a. Since the
Unit 1 and Unit 2 boilers are identical,
the State made a single BART
determination that is applicable to each
unit. The State’s BART determination
for Coal Creek Station is provided in
Appendix B.2 of the SIP. The visibility
impacts noted in the following analyses
are derived from the company’s BART
analysis provided in Appendix C.2 of
the SIP (refer to Technical Support
Document for more details).
Unit 1 and Unit 2 Boilers
SO2 BART Review: Each unit is
already equipped with a wet scrubber
system which removes approximately
90% of the SO2 from 60% of the flue
gas. In addition, Great River Energy
constructed a pilot 75 tons per hour
lignite drying system in 2005 as part of
a collaborative agreement under the
Clean Coal Power Initiative. Lower
moisture content of the coal provides
the following two primary benefits: (1)
Enhanced scrubber efficiency due to
increased boiler efficiency and lower
flue gas volume, and (2) decreased fuel
combustion quantities resulting in lower
emissions. Great River Energy opted to
install the coal drying equipment
independent of the BART controls
chosen for SO2. The State used undried
coal as the worst case scenario for
purposes of emissions estimating,
explaining that it could not be
reasonably sure of future coal moisture
or British thermal unit (Btu) content.
The baseline controlled SO2 emissions
that North Dakota reported in the SIP
are 24,604 tons per year per unit.14
The State identified the following SO2
control options as having potential
application to the Coal Creek Station
boilers: coal cleaning/washing, K-Fuel®,
TurboSorp®, coal drying, dry sorbent
injection, spray dryer, wet scrubber
modification, and wet scrubber
replacement. The State eliminated the
following options as technically
infeasible: coal cleaning/washing and
K-Fuel. As noted above, Great River
Energy has elected to install coal drying
equipment independent of SO2 BART
controls. The average cost effectiveness
of all the remaining control options, as
provided by Great River Energy, was
deemed reasonable with the exception
of the TurboSorp® circulating dry
scrubber. Since the circulating dry
scrubber has a lower removal efficiency
compared to a new or upgraded wet
scrubber and costs more than the wet
scrubber options, North Dakota
eliminated a circulating dry scrubber
from further consideration. The
incremental cost effectiveness of a new
wet scrubber was deemed excessive as
it achieved no additional emission
reductions as compared to the next most
effective option of modifying the
existing wet scrubber. The State did not
identify any energy or non-air quality
effects that would preclude the selection
of any of the five alternatives. A
summary of the State’s SO2 BART
analysis, and the visibility impacts
derived from modeling conducted by
the source, are provided in Table 5.
TABLE 5—SUMMARY OF COAL CREEK SO2 BART ANALYSIS FOR UNIT 1 AND UNIT 2 BOILERS
Visibility impacts 1 2
Control option
Control
efficiency
(%)
Wet Scrubber Replacement ...............
Wet Scrubber Modification 3 ..................
Spray Dryer ................
Existing Scrubber with
0% Bypass .............
Dry Sorbent Injection
Emission rate
(lb/MMBtu)
Emissions
reduction
(tons/yr)
Annualized
cost
(MM$)
Cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
Visibility
improvement
(delta dv)
Fewer Days >
0.5 dv
(days)
95
0.146
20,760
30.76
1,482
1.919
68
95
90
0.146
0.292
20,760
16,915
11.52
29.22
555
1,727
1.419
........................
49
........................
83.1
70
0.493
0.875
11,610
1,538
9.84
12.52
848
8,140
........................
........................
........................
........................
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1 The visibility improvement described in this table represents the change in the maximum 98th percentile impact over the modeled 3-year meteorological period (2001–2003) at the highest impacted Class I area, Theodore Roosevelt. Similarly, the number of days above 0.5 deciviews is
the total for the modeled 3-year meteorological period at Theodore Roosevelt.
2 Great River Energy modeled combined SO and NO controls. Thus, the results shown include the noted SO control option and North Dako2
X
2
ta’s selected NOX BART control, LNB Option 1.
3 While wet scrubber modification achieves the same annual SO reduction as wet scrubber replacement, Great River Energy modeled wet
2
scrubber modification using a much higher 24-hour emission rate. This accounts for the disparity in the modeled visibility improvement between
the two options.
North Dakota determined BART to be
modifications to the existing wet
scrubbers so as to achieve scrubbing of
100% of the flue gas stream and adding
a new coal dryer serving both units (the
addition of a coal dryer is clarified in
Section 7.4.2 of the SIP). North Dakota
specified a BART limit as a minimum
14 North Dakota calculated baseline emissions
based on a future undried coal sulfur content of
1.10% and provided a detailed discussion of this
adjustment in the SIP, Appendix B.2, pp. 8–10.
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control efficiency of 95% (30-day rolling
average) based on the inlet SO2
concentration to the scrubber or 0.15 lb/
MMBtu (30-day rolling average)
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averaged over both units. The estimated
cost of wet scrubber modifications was
$555 per ton ($/ton) of SO2 removed,
and the capital and annualized costs
were estimated to be $76,220,000, and
$11,520,000 per year ($/year or $/yr),
respectively.
We are proposing to approve the
State’s SO2 BART determination for
Coal Creek Units 1 and 2. The State’s
assessment of costs and other impacts
was reasonable. The guidelines do not
require EGUs with existing flue gas
desulfurization (FGD) systems (another
term for scrubbers) achieving greater
than 50 percent control to remove these
controls and replace them with new
controls but do recommend that states
evaluate upgrades to such existing
scrubber systems (70 FR 39133 and 70
FR 39171). The upgrade to the existing
wet scrubbers at Coal Creek will result
in a stringent level of control
comparable to a new wet scrubber and
will result in a reduction in annual SO2
emissions from the plant of
approximately 20,760 tons. This
substantial reduction will result in a
significant improvement in visibility at
Theodore Roosevelt, estimated to be
1.419 deciviews and 49 fewer days
above 0.5 deciviews when combined
with the State’s selected NOX BART
controls, separated overfire air (SOFA) +
low NOX burners (LNB).
Filterable PM BART Review: Each unit
at Coal Creek is already equipped with
an electrostatic precipitator (ESP) for
PM which is 99.5% efficient. The
baseline controlled PM emissions that
North Dakota reported in the SIP are 775
tons per year per unit with an emission
rate of 0.030 lb/MMBtu. The State
identified the following PM control
options as having potential application
to the Coal Creek Station boilers:
multiclone, replacement of the dry ESP,
a polishing wet ESP, and a baghouse.
The State eliminated the multiclone
option as technically infeasible for
controlling PM emissions from the
boilers. A summary of the State’s PM
BART analysis is provided in Table 6.
TABLE 6—SUMMARY OF COAL CREEK FILTERABLE PM BART ANALYSIS FOR UNIT 1 AND UNIT 2 BOILERS
Control
efficiency
(%)
Control option
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Replacement Dry ESP ...............................................
Polishing Wet ESP .....................................................
Baghouse ...................................................................
North Dakota determined BART to be
no additional controls. The State
predicted the incremental visibility
improvement from any of the three
control options would be less than 0.027
deciviews. The alternative with the least
cost for reducing filterable PM is the
polishing wet ESP. This system has a
cost effectiveness of $4,961 per ton of
particulate when compared to the
current emission control system (ESP
operating at 99.5% efficiency).
Considering the negligible improvement
in visibility that would be achieved by
adding a polishing wet ESP, the State
considers this cost, as well as the costs
of the more expensive options, to be
excessive. The State established a BART
emission limit of 0.07 lb/MMBtu.
We are proposing to approve the
State’s filterable PM BART
determination for Coal Creek Units 1
and 2. The State’s assessment of costs
and other impacts was reasonable. The
existing ESP already reduces PM
emissions by approximately 99.5%, and
North Dakota reasonably determined
that the costs of additional PM controls
would be excessive given the negligible
improvement in visibility that would
result.
Condensable PM (PM10) Review: The
State provided an estimated emission
rate for condensable PM of 0.02 lb/
MMBtu. This emission rate is lower
than the current filterable PM emission
rate of 0.03 lb/MMBtu. Thus the State
concluded that the visibility impacts
from condensable PM would be even
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Emission rate
(lb/MMBtu)
99.75
99.75
99.75
Emissions
reduction
(tons/yr)
0.015
0.015
0.015
less than the impacts from filterable PM.
Condensable PM consists of both
organic and inorganic substances.
Organic condensable PM includes VOCs
that are in a gaseous state through the
air pollution control devices but
eventually change to a solid or liquid
state. The primary inorganic substance
from boilers is sulfuric acid mist with
lesser amounts of hydrogen fluoride and
ammonium sulfate. Sulfuric acid mist is
the largest component of condensable
PM so controlling it will control most of
the condensable PM. The options for
controlling sulfuric acid mist are the
same as the options for controlling SO2.
BART for SO2—modification of the
existing wet scrubber—will reduce
sulfuric acid mist by approximately
90%. Changes that would provide
additional reductions are not warranted
given the minimal improvement in
visibility that would result. The State
determined that ongoing good
combustion controls and the BART limit
for SO2 would also constitute BART for
condensable PM.
We are proposing to approve the
State’s condensable PM BART
determination for Coal Creek Units 1
and 2. Upgrades to the wet scrubbers
required as part of SO2 BART will
substantially reduce sulfuric acid mist,
which is the largest component of
condensable PM. North Dakota
reasonably determined that the costs of
additional condensable PM controls
would be excessive given the negligible
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Annualized cost
(MM$)
387
387
387
10.06
1.92
7.67
Cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
25,995
4,961
19,819
improvement in visibility that would
result.
Auxiliary Boilers No. 91 and No. 92,
Emergency Generator, Emergency Fire
Pump, and Material Handling and
Fugitive Sources
The State analyzed and determined
BART for these small emissions sources
at the plant and determined that BART
is existing controls with no additional
controls. The State based its conclusion
on the fact that further controls would
not be cost effective and would have
virtually no impact on visibility. For
further detail, see the State’s BART
analysis.
We agree with the State’s conclusion
and are proposing to approve its BART
determination for these sources.
b. Great River Energy, Stanton Station
Background
Stanton Station is a 188 MW electrical
generating plant located on the bank of
the Missouri River in eastern Mercer
County near Stanton, North Dakota. The
plant’s one main turbine generator is
run by the Unit 1 and Unit 10 boilers.
Unit 1, which is the only BART eligible
unit at Stanton Station, began operation
in 1966. An auxiliary boiler was added
in 1982. Unit 1 has a dry bottom frontwall-fired configuration and is
permitted to burn both lignite and subbituminous Powder River Basin (PRB)
coal. Unit 1 has an expected remaining
useful life of at least 20 years. Because
Great River Energy does not intend to
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blend coals, North Dakota determined
BART controls and emission limits
separately for both each coal type that
Unit 1 is permitted to burn. The use of
two coals with different sulfur contents
complicates the SO2 BART analysis and
determination for Unit 1. Associated
limits were determined based upon each
fuel, cost effectiveness, and expected
visibility improvements. In addition to
the boilers, there are 13 BART-eligible
material handling transfer operations
that are negligible sources of PM and
three other BART-eligible units
consisting of auxiliary or emergency
equipment that are negligible sources of
PM, SO2, and NOX. The State analyzed
each pollutant and its effect on the
visibility in Class I areas. A summary of
the State’s analyses of existing controls
and potential BART controls for each
pollutant is set forth below. The State’s
BART determination for Stanton Station
is provided in Appendix B.3 of the SIP.
The visibility impacts noted in the
following analyses are derived from the
company’s BART analysis provided in
Appendix C.3 of the SIP.
Unit 1 Boiler
SO2 BART Review (Lignite Coal): Unit
1 is not equipped with any pollution
controls for SO2. The baseline
uncontrolled SO2 emissions that North
Dakota reported in the SIP are 8,242
tons per year with an emission rate of
1.70 lb/MMBtu. The State identified the
following SO2 control options as having
potential application to the Stanton
Station boiler: wet scrubber, spray
dryer/fabric filter, circulating dry
scrubber, flash dryer absorber,15 wet
scrubber with 10% bypass, dry sorbent
injection/fabric filter, dry sorbent
injection/existing ESP, Powerspan
ECO®, coal cleaning, Pahlman
ProcessTM, and K-Fuel®. The State
eliminated the following options as
technically infeasible: coal cleaning,
K-Fuel®, Powerspan ECO®, and the
Pahlman ProcessTM. The cost of all the
technically feasible control options was
deemed reasonable. The flash dryer
absorber with a control efficiency of
90% was not carried through the
analysis as it costs more than a spray
dryer with no additional emissions
reduction. The State determined that
there were no energy and non-air
quality environmental impacts that
would preclude the selection of any of
the control equipment alternatives.
However, the State cited the
environmental impact of a wet scrubber
using 20% more water and difficulties
in expanding on-site pond capacity to
accommodate this additional water as
one reason for not selecting a wet
scrubber. In addition, the State
determined the incremental cost of
$10,600 per ton for the circulating dry
scrubber as compared to a spray dryer
was excessive. Therefore, it removed the
circulating dry scrubber from further
consideration. The State also found that
a wet scrubber would only reduce SO2
emissions by 469 tons per year more
than the spray dryer/fabric filter option
and noted that the incremental visibility
improvement would be 0.112 deciviews.
A summary of the State’s SO2 BART
analysis with lignite coal, and the
visibility impacts derived from
modeling conducted by the source, are
provided in Table 7.
TABLE 7—SUMMARY OF STANTON SO2 BART ANALYSIS FOR UNIT 1 BOILER WITH LIGNITE COAL
Visibility impacts 1 2
Control option
Control
efficiency
(%)
Wet Scrubber .........
Circulating Dry
Scrubber .............
SD/FF .....................
Wet Scrubber with
10% Bypass .......
DSI/FF ....................
DSI/ESP .................
Emission rate
(lb/MMBtu)
Emissions
reduction
(tons/yr)
Annualized cost
(MM$)
Cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
Visibility
benefit
(delta dv)
Fewer days >
0.5
(days)
95
0.091
8,907
13.18
1,480
1.119
49
93
90
0.127
0.181
8,720
8,438
14.22
11.22
1,631
1,330
........................
1.007
........................
43
86
55
35
0.263
0.817
1.18
8,063
5,157
3,282
9.49
8.43
3.2
1,177
1,635
975
........................
0.382
0.382
........................
16
16
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
1 The visibility improvement described in this table represents the change in the maximum 98th percentile impact over the modeled 3-year meteorological period (2001–2003) at the highest impacted Class I area, Theodore Roosevelt. Similarly, the number of days above 0.5 deciviews is
the total for the modeled 3-year meteorological period at Theodore Roosevelt.
2 Visibility impacts are presented for each SO control option with NO emissions at pre-control emission rates.
2
X
For use of lignite coal, North Dakota
determined BART to be a spray dryer
with a fabric filter. North Dakota
specified a BART limit as a minimum
control efficiency of 90% (30-day rolling
average) on the inlet SO2 concentration
to the pollution control equipment or
0.24 lb/MMBtu (30-day rolling average).
In establishing the 30-day rolling
average limit, the State increased the
calculated annual emissions rate of 0.18
lb/MMBtu to 0.24 lb/MMBtu to account
for coal variability over the shorter
averaging period. The estimated average
cost effectiveness of the spray dryer
with a fabric filter was $1,330 per ton
of SO2 removed, and the capital and
annualized costs were estimated to be
$77,840,000 and $11,220,000 per year,
respectively. This control option will
result in a significant improvement in
visibility at Theodore Roosevelt,
estimated to be 1.007 deciviews and 43
fewer days above 0.5 deciviews.
SO2 BART Review (Powder River
Basin Coal): North Dakota concluded
that the technically feasible control
options for Unit 1 are the same whether
the source is burning lignite or Powder
River Basin coal. North Dakota
conducted its analyses based on two
different baseline SO2 emission limits
which vary due to anticipated sulfur
content variations in the Powder River
Basin coal as the result of a new coal
contract.16 The State determined that
the incremental cost of $16,000 per ton
(with a 1.2 lb/MMBtu baseline emission
rate) for a circulating dry scrubber
compared to a spray dryer was
excessive. In addition, the State
considered the incremental cost of over
$11,800 per ton (with a 0.64 lb/MMBtu
baseline emission rate) for a wet
scrubber as compared to a spray dryer
15 North Dakota appears to have a typographical
error in its BART determination. Though flash dryer
absorber is not included in its list of available
control options for lignite coal, flash dryer absorber
is mentioned in the lignite analysis and is listed in
the technically feasible options for Powder River
Basin coal.
16 Appendix B.3, pp. 17–22, of the SIP describes
the basis for the 1.2 lb/MMBtu and 0.64 lb/MMBtu
SO2 baseline emission rates.
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to be excessive. Therefore, the State
removed the wet scrubber and
circulating dry scrubber from further
consideration. The State also found that
a wet scrubber would only reduce SO2
summary of the State’s SO2 BART
analysis with Powder River Basin coal
is provided in Table 8.
emissions by 311 tons per year more
than the spray dryer/fabric filter option
and that the incremental visibility
improvement would be less than 0.112
deciviews, the value for lignite. A
TABLE 8—SUMMARY OF STANTON SO2 BART ANALYSIS FOR UNIT 1 BOILER WITH POWDER RIVER BASIN COAL
Control
efficiency
(%)
Control option
Wet Scrubber ...........................................................
Circulating Dry Scrubber ..........................................
SD/FF .......................................................................
Wet Scrubber with 10% Bypass ..............................
DSI/FF ......................................................................
DSI/ESP ...................................................................
For use of Powder River Basin coal,
North Dakota determined BART to be a
spray dryer with a fabric filter to
achieve a minimum control efficiency of
90% (30-day rolling average) on the
inlet SO2 concentration to the pollution
control equipment or an emission limit
of 0.16 lb/MMBtu (30-day rolling
average). In establishing the 30-day
rolling average BART limit, the State
increased the calculated annual
emissions rate of 0.12 lb/MMBtu to 0.16
lb/MMBtu to account for coal variability
over the shorter averaging period. The
estimated cost of a spray dryer with a
fabric filter was $2,006 per ton of SO2
removed, and the capital and
annualized costs were estimated to be
$77,840,000 and $11,220,000 per year,
respectively. The projected visibility
improvements from this option, as well
as for all other control options, when
the source burns Powder River Basin
coal, are anticipated to be less than
when the source burns lignite coal.
We are proposing to approve the
State’s SO2 BART determinations for
Stanton Unit 1 for both lignite and
Powder River Basin coal. The State’s
Emission rate
(lb/MMBtu)
95
93
90
86
55
35
Emissions
reduction
(tons/yr)
0.06
0.084
0.12
0.168
0.54
0.78
5,905
5,781
5,594
5,346
3,419
2,176
assessment of costs and other impacts
was reasonable. The spray dryer with
fabric filter represents a stringent level
of control and will result in a reduction
in annual SO2 emissions from the plant
of approximately 8,438 tons when
lignite is burned and 5,594 tons when
Powder River Basin coal is burned. This
substantial reduction will result in a
significant improvement in visibility at
Theodore Roosevelt, estimated to be
1.007 deciviews and 43 fewer days
above 0.5 deciviews. Higher performing
alternatives (wet scrubber or circulating
dry scrubber) would only produce a
slightly greater reduction in SO2 and
improvement in visibility, at higher
cost. We are proposing to find that,
based on its consideration of the BART
factors, the State’s elimination of these
control options was reasonable.
NOX BART Review (Lignite Coal):
Unit 1 is already equipped with LNB for
NOX control. North Dakota indicates in
the SIP that Unit 1 has baseline
controlled NOX emissions of 1,740 tons
per year with an emission rate of 0.36
lb/MMBtu. North Dakota identified the
following control options as having
Cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
Annualized cost
(MM$)
13.18
14.22
11.22
9.49
8.43
3.20
2,232
2,460
2,006
1,775
2,466
1,471
potential application as BART: selective
catalytic reduction (SCR), low
temperature oxidation (LTO), nonselective catalytic reduction (NSCR),
electro-catalytic oxidation (ECO),
selective non-catalytic reduction
(SNCR), rich reagent injection (RRI),
external flue gas recirculation (FGR),
overfire air (OFA), LNB, and the
Pahlman Process. The State identified
the following control options as
technically infeasible: ECO, NSCR, the
Pahlman Process, RRI, and external flue
gas recirculation. The incremental cost
effectiveness of both SCR and LTO were
deemed excessive at $10,000 and
$45,400 per ton, respectively, when
compared to a combination of LNB,
OFA, and SNCR (LNB + OFA + SNCR).
The State determined that there were no
energy and non-air quality
environmental impacts that would
preclude the selection of any of the
control equipment alternatives. A
summary of the State’s NOX BART
analysis with lignite coal, and the
visibility impacts derived from
modeling conducted by the source, are
provided in Table 9.
TABLE 9—SUMMARY OF STANTON NOX BART ANALYSIS FOR UNIT 1 BOILER WITH LIGNITE COAL
Visibility Imacts1 2
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
Control option
Control
efficiency
(%)
SCR ..........................
LTO ..........................
LNB + OFA + SNCR
SNCR .......................
LNB + OFA ..............
90
90
45
33
........................
Emission rate
(lb/MMBtu)
Emissions
reduction
(tons/yr)
Annualized
cost
(MM$)
Cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
0.044
0.044
0.239
0.29
..........................
1,929
1,929
983
738
........................
12.49
44.78
3.00
2.70
........................
6,475
23,217
3,052
3,658
..........................
Visibility
benefit
(delta dv)
Fewer days >
0.5 dv (days)
1.405
........................
1.110
1.027
1.009
59
........................
52
43
43
1 The visibility improvement described in this table represents the change in the maximum 98th percentile impact over the modeled 3-year meteorological period (2001–2003) at the highest impacted Class I area, Theodore Roosevelt. Similarly, the number of days above 0.5 deciviews is
the total for the modeled 3-year meteorological period at Theodore Roosevelt.
2 Great River Energy modeled combined SO and NO controls. Thus, the results shown include the noted NO control option and North Da2
X
X
kota’s selected SO2 BART control, a spray dryer with fabric filter.
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For use of lignite coal, North Dakota
determined BART to be LNB + OFA +
SNCR. North Dakota specified a BART
limit as a minimum control efficiency of
45% and an emission limit of 0.29 lb/
MMBtu (30-day rolling average). The
estimated average cost effectiveness of
the selected control combination is
$3,052 per ton of NOX removed. The
capital and annualized costs were
estimated to be $10,660,000 and
$3,000,000, respectively. This control
option, when combined with the spray
dryer/fabric filter determined to be
BART for SO2, will result in a
significant improvement in visibility at
Theodore Roosevelt, estimated to be
1.110 deciviews and 52 fewer days
above 0.5 deciviews. This represents an
incremental visibility improvement of
0.103 deciviews and 9 fewer days above
0.5 deciviews when compared to use of
a spray dryer/fabric filter with the
existing low NOx burners.
NOX BART Review (Powder River
Basin Coal): The technically feasible
control options for Powder River Basin
coal are the same. The costs of both SCR
and LTO were deemed excessive. The
State determined that there were no
energy and non-air quality
environmental impacts that would
preclude the selection of any of the
control equipment alternatives. A
summary of the State’s NOX BART
analysis with Powder River Basin coal
is provided in Table 10.
TABLE 10—SUMMARY OF STANTON NOX BART ANALYSIS FOR UNIT 1 BOILER WITH POWDER RIVER BASIN COAL
Control
efficiency
(%)
Control option
SCR ..........................................................................
LTO ..........................................................................
LNB + OFA + SNCR ................................................
SNCR .......................................................................
LNB + OFA ..............................................................
For use of Powder River Basin coal,
North Dakota determined BART to be
LNB + OFA + SNCR with a minimum
control efficiency of 45% and an
emission limit of 0.23 lb/MMBtu (30day rolling average). The estimated cost
of the selected control combination is
$3,778 per ton of NOX removed. The
capital and annualized costs were
estimated to be $10,660,000 and
$3,000,000, respectively. The projected
visibility improvements from this
option, as well as for all other control
options, when the source burns Powder
River Basin coal, are anticipated to be
less than when the source burns lignite
coal.
Emission rate
(lb/MMBtu)
88
88
45
36
21
Emissions
reduction
(tons/yr)
0.044
0.044
0.196
0.230
0.286
Annualized cost
(MM$)
1,530
1,530
794
629
358
We are proposing to approve the
State’s NOX BART determinations for
Stanton Unit 1 for both lignite and
Powder River Basin coal. Given the
projected incremental visibility
improvement of just under 0.3
deciviews from the use of SCR or LTO
as compared to LNB + OFA + SNCR and
the average and incremental cost
effectiveness values associated with
these technologies, the State reasonably
concluded that the costs associated with
SCR and LTO are not warranted.
Filterable PM BART Review (Lignite
Coal): Unit 1 is already equipped with
an ESP for PM control. The State
evaluated the following control options
12.49
44.78
3.0
2.7
0.3
Cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
8,163
29,268
3,778
4,293
838
as having potential application as
BART: baghouse, new ESP, and wet
ESP. All were deemed technically
feasible. The State determined all
options present excessive costs with the
least expensive option being the wet
ESP at $112,780 per ton of PM removed.
North Dakota stated there would be
negligible visibility improvement with
additional controls. The State
determined BART to be no additional
controls with an emission limit of 0.07
lb/MMBtu when burning lignite. A
summary of the State’s PM BART
analysis with lignite coal is provided in
Table 11.
TABLE 11—SUMMARY OF STANTON PM BART ANALYSIS FOR UNIT 1 BOILER WITH LIGNITE COAL
Control
efficiency
(%)
Control option
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
Baghouse .................................................................
New ESP ..................................................................
Wet ESP ..................................................................
Filterable PM BART Review (Powder
River Basin Coal): North Dakota did not
conduct a separate analysis for filterable
PM when combusting Powder River
Basin coal. The State noted that
available pollution control equipment is
expected to control emissions from both
lignite and Powder River Basin coal
down to similar emission rates. North
Dakota determined that BART for
filterable PM when burning Powder
River Basin coal was the same as when
burning lignite: no additional controls
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Emission
rate
(lb/MMBtu)
99.7+
99.7
99.7
Emissions
reduction
(tons/yr)
0.015
0.015
0.015
with an emission limit of 0.07 lb/
MMBtu.
We are proposing to approve the
State’s filterable PM BART
determination for Stanton Unit 1. The
State’s assessment of costs and other
impacts was reasonable. Existing
controls, ESP, already reduce PM
emissions by approximately 99.5%, and
North Dakota reasonably determined
that the costs of additional PM controls
would be excessive given the negligible
improvement in visibility that would
result.
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Annualized cost
(MM$)
18
18
18
4.98
5.80
2.03
Cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
276,670
322,220
112,780
Condensable PM (PM10) Review
(Lignite Coal): The State provided an
estimated emission rate for condensable
PM of 0.02 lb/MMBtu. This emission
rate is about equal to the current
filterable PM emission rate of 0.019 lb/
MMBtu. Based on the negligible
visibility impacts of filterable PM, the
State anticipated that the visibility
impacts of condensable PM would also
be negligible. Condensable PM consists
of both organic and inorganic
substances. Organic condensable PM
includes VOCs that are in a gaseous
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state through the air pollution control
devices but eventually change to a solid
or liquid state. The primary inorganic
substance from boilers is sulfuric acid
mist with lesser amounts of hydrogen
fluoride and ammonium sulfate.
Sulfuric acid mist is the largest
component of condensable PM so
controlling it will control most of the
condensable PM. The options for
controlling sulfuric acid mist are the
same as the options for controlling SO2.
BART for SO2—spray dryer with a fabric
filter—will reduce sulfuric acid mist by
approximately 90%. North Dakota
determined that changes that would
provide additional reductions are not
warranted given the negligible
improvement in visibility that would
result. The State determined that
ongoing good combustion controls and
the BART limit for SO2 would also
constitute BART for condensable PM.
Condensable PM (PM10) Review
(Powder River Basin Coal): For the same
reasons described above for condensable
PM when burning lignite, North Dakota
determined that ongoing good
combustion controls and the BART limit
for SO2 would also constitute BART for
condensable PM when burning Powder
River Basin coal.
We are proposing to approve the
State’s condensable PM BART
determination for Stanton Unit 1. The
spray dryer with a fabric filter required
for SO2 BART will substantially reduce
sulfuric acid mist, which is the largest
component of condensable PM. North
Dakota reasonably determined that the
costs of additional condensable PM
controls would be excessive given the
negligible improvement in visibility that
would result.
Auxiliary Boiler, Emergency
Generator, Emergency Fire Pump,
Material Handling and Fugitive Sources
The State analyzed and determined
BART for these small emissions sources
at the plant and determined that BART
is existing controls with no additional
controls. The State based its conclusion
on the fact that further controls would
not be cost effective and would have
virtually no impact on visibility. For
further detail, see the State’s BART
analysis.
We agree with the State’s conclusion
and are proposing to approve its BART
determination for these sources.
c. Minnkota Power Cooperative, Milton
R. Young Station (MRYS)
Background
Milton R. Young Station is a two-unit
794 MW electrical generating plant
located near Center, North Dakota. Both
units are Babcock & Wilcox cyclone
boilers burning lignite coal. Commercial
operation commenced for Unit 1 (277
MW) in 1970 and for Unit 2 (517 MW)
in 1977. Both units have an expected
remaining useful life of at least 20 years.
In addition, there are ten BART-eligible
material handling transfer operations
that are negligible sources of PM and
four other BART-eligible units
consisting of auxiliary or emergency
equipment that are negligible sources of
PM, SO2, and NOX. The State analyzed
each pollutant and its effect on the
visibility in Class I areas. A summary of
the State’s analysis of existing controls
and potential BART controls is set forth
below, except for the discussion of NOX
BART for Units 1 and 2, which we
address in section V.D.1 below. The
State’s BART determination for Milton
R. Young Station is provided in
Appendix B.4 of the SIP. The company’s
BART analysis is provided in Appendix
C.4 of the SIP.
Unit 1 Boiler
SO2 BART Review: Unit 1 had no
existing SO2 control system at the time
of the State’s BART analysis, but as a
result of a consent decree resolving
alleged New Source Review violations
at Milton R. Young Station, Minnkota
installed a wet scrubber in April 2011.
The consent decree states that if
Minnkota installs a wet scrubber, it
must comply with a 95% control
efficiency with no alternative emission
limit (lb/MMBtu) limit. The deadline to
meet the new emission limit is
December 31, 2011. The baseline
uncontrolled SO2 emissions that North
Dakota reported in the SIP are 21,519
tons per year with an emission rate of
approximately 1.87 lb/MMBtu.
The State evaluated the following SO2
control options for having potential
application as BART: wet scrubber,
spray dryer, circulating dry scrubber,
Powerspan ECO, fuel switching, and
coal cleaning. North Dakota identified
Powerspan ECO and coal cleaning as
technically infeasible. The State also
cited a court case as a rationale for not
further analyzing fuel switching.17 The
State found all three remaining
technologies to be cost effective. The
State determined that there were no
energy and non-air quality
environmental impacts that would
preclude the selection of any of the
control equipment alternatives. A
summary of the State’s SO2 BART
analysis, and the visibility impacts
derived from modeling conducted by
the source, are provided in Table 12.
TABLE 12—SUMMARY OF MILTON R. YOUNG STATION SO2 BART ANALYSIS FOR UNIT 1 BOILER
Control
efficiency
(%)
Control option
Wet Scrubber
Circulating Dry
Scrubber .....
Spray Dryer ....
Emission rate
(lb/MMBtu)
Emissions
reduction
(tons/yr)
Annualized
cost
(MM$)
Cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
Visibility impacts
12
Visibility benefit
(delta dv)
Fewer days 0.5
dv (days)
95
0.10
20,443
22.58
1,105
2.076
71
93
90
0.14
0.20
20,013
19,367
24.65
23.68
1,232
1,222
..........................
2.002
..........................
62
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
1 The visibility improvement described in this table represents the change in the maximum 98th percentile impact over the modeled 3-year meteorological period (2001–2003) at the highest impacted Class I area, Theodore Roosevelt. Similarly, the number of days above 0.5 deciviews is
the total for the modeled 3-year meteorological period at Theodore Roosevelt.
2 Visibility impacts are presented for each SO control option with NO emissions at pre-control emission rates.
2
X
North Dakota determined BART to be
a wet scrubber, the most efficient
control alternative, operating at a
minimum 95% control efficiency (30-
day rolling average). Since the wet
scrubber is the most efficient
17 A decision by the Seventh Circuit Court of
Appeals on a BACT determination for Prairie
Generating Company, LLC indicated that fuel
switching was not required for mine mouth coal
generating facilities. The State’s position is this
would also apply to BART determinations. We
agree that a State is not required to consider
switching from coal to natural gas as part of a BART
analysis for a coal-fired power plant. As EPA noted
in the BART Guidelines, we do not consider BART
as a requirement to redesign the source when
considering available control alternatives. 79 FR at
39164.
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technology, further evaluation of the
other alternatives is not necessary.
Minnkota did conduct modeling for the
90% and 95% control options; the
results are included in Table 12. The
estimated cost of a wet scrubber was
$1,105 per ton of SO2 removed, and the
capital and annualized costs were
estimated to be $111,776,000 and
$22,584,000 per year, respectively.
We are proposing to approve the
State’s SO2 BART determination for
Milton R. Young Station Unit 1. The
State selected the most efficient control
technology at a 95% control level,
which we consider to be consistent with
the most stringent level of control
currently available. Per our BART
Guidelines, a state may skip the fivefactor analysis if it is imposing the most
stringent level of control. Nonetheless,
we note that the wet scrubber will
produce a reduction in annual SO2
emissions from the unit of
approximately 20,443 tons. This
substantial reduction will result in a
significant improvement in visibility at
Theodore Roosevelt—estimated to be
2.076 deciviews and 71 fewer days
above 0.5 deciviews.
Filterable PM BART Review: Unit 1 is
equipped with an ESP rated at
approximately 99% control efficiency.
The baseline controlled PM emissions
that North Dakota reported in the SIP
are 268 tons per year with an emission
rate of 0.019 lb/MMBtu. The State
evaluated the following PM control
options for having potential application
as BART with all four being found
technically feasible: a new baghouse; a
new ESP; a compact hybrid particulate
collector (CoHPAC); and upgrading the
existing ESP. All were deemed to have
excessive costs. The alternative with the
least cost was a new baghouse at
$39,433 per ton of PM removed. The
State determined BART to be no
additional controls. Minnkota is subject
to a consent decree limiting PM
emissions to 0.030 lb/MMBtu in the
event Minnkota installs a wet scrubber.
North Dakota stated there would be
insignificant visibility improvement
with additional controls. Since
Minnkota has installed a wet scrubber,
the State proposed that BART is an
emission limit of 0.030 lb/MMBtu
(average of three test runs). A summary
of the State’s PM BART analysis is
provided in Table 13.
TABLE 13—SUMMARY OF MILTON R. YOUNG STATION PM BART ANALYSIS FOR UNIT 1 BOILER
Control
efficiency (%)
Control option
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
Baghouse .................................................................
New ESP ..................................................................
CoHPAC ...................................................................
We are proposing to approve the
State’s filterable PM BART
determination for Milton R. Young
Station Unit 1. The State’s assessment of
costs and other impacts was reasonable.
Existing controls, ESP, already reduce
PM emissions by approximately 99%,
and North Dakota reasonably
determined that the costs of additional
PM controls would be excessive given
the negligible improvement in visibility
that would result.
Condensable PM (PM10) Review:
Sulfuric acid mist is the largest
component of condensable PM. North
Dakota stated that the options for
controlling sulfuric acid mist are the
same as the options for controlling SO2.
Based on the negligible visibility
impacts of filterable PM, the State
anticipated that the visibility impacts of
condensable PM would also be
negligible. The State determined that
ongoing good combustion controls and
the BART limit for SO2 would also
constitute BART for condensable PM.
We are proposing to approve the
State’s condensable PM BART
determination for Milton R. Young
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Emission rate
(lb/MMBtu)
99.7+
99.7
99.7
Emissions reduction (tons/yr)
Annualized cost
(MM$)
134
90
90
5.28
4.64
3.63
0.013
0.015
0.015
Station Unit 1. The wet scrubber
required for SO2 BART will
substantially reduce sulfuric acid mist,
which is the largest component of
condensable PM. North Dakota’s
determination is reasonable.
Unit 2 Boiler
SO2 BART Review: At the time of the
State’s BART analysis, Unit 2 was
equipped with a wet scrubber system
which treated approximately 78% of the
flue gas with the remaining flue gas bypassed for stack gas reheat. The wet
scrubber system achieved
approximately 75% SO2 removal. The
baseline controlled SO2 emissions that
North Dakota reported in the SIP are
18,090 tons per year with an emission
rate of approximately 0.88 lb/MMBtu.
The Milton R. Young Station consent
decree imposed a deadline for Unit 2 to
be upgraded and achieve 90% control
efficiency by December 31, 2010. The
upgraded scrubber was placed into
operation on December 8, 2010.
The State evaluated the following SO2
control options for BART: A new wet
scrubber; upgrade to existing scrubber
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Cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
39,433
51,589
40,355
(either to 90% or 95%); circulating dry
scrubber; spray dryer; flash dryer
absorber; Powerspan ECO; fuel
switching; and coal cleaning. The Stated
found coal cleaning, Powerspan ECO,
and fuel switching to be technically
infeasible. The average cost
effectiveness of all remaining
alternatives was deemed reasonable.
The State determined that there were no
energy and non-air quality
environmental impacts that would
preclude the selection of any of the
control equipment alternatives. As the
95% control efficiency scrubber upgrade
had equal or greater control efficiency at
lower cost as compared to a new wet
scrubber or a circulating dry scrubber,
and the 90% control efficiency scrubber
upgrade had equal control efficiency at
lower cost as compared to a spray dryer
or flash dryer, the State reduced the
options to the 95% and 90% control
efficiency scrubber upgrades. A
summary of the State’s SO2 BART
analysis, and visibility impacts derived
from modeling conducted by the source,
are provided in Table 14.
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TABLE 14—SUMMARY OF MILTON R. YOUNG STATION SO2 BART ANALYSIS FOR UNIT 2 BOILER
Visibility impacts1 2
Control
efficiency
(%)
Control option
Upgrade Existing
Scrubber .................
Upgrade Existing
Scrubber .................
Emission rate
(lb/MMBtu)
Emissions
reduction
(tons/yr)
Annualized
cost
(MM$)
Cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
Visibility
benefit
(delta dv)
Fewer days >
0.5 dv
(days)
95
0.11
16,126
8.41
522
1.627
52
90
0.23
14,162
7.33
518
1.423
40
1 The visibility improvement described in this table represents the change in the maximum 98th percentile impact over the modeled 3-year meteorological period (2001–2003) at the highest impacted Class I area, Theodore Roosevelt. Similarly, the number of days above 0.5 deciviews is
the total for the modeled 3-year meteorological period at Theodore Roosevelt.
2 Visibility impacts are presented for each SO control option with NO emissions at pre-control emission rates.
2
X
North Dakota determined BART to be
the improvements to the wet scrubber to
achieve a 95% control efficiency (from
scrubber inlet to outlet, 30-day rolling
average). Minnkota would have to
comply with either the 95% reduction
requirement or the 0.15 lb/MMBtu limit,
but not both. The 90% control efficiency
requirement from the consent decree
resolving the alleged new source review
violations is also incorporated into the
BART permit, which is part of the SIP.
We are proposing to approve the
State’s SO2 BART determination for
Milton R. Young Station Unit 2. The
State’s assessment of costs and other
impacts was reasonable. The upgrade to
the existing wet scrubbers represents a
stringent level of control and will result
in a reduction in annual SO2 emissions
from the plant of approximately 16,126
tons. This substantial reduction will
result in a significant improvement in
visibility at Theodore Roosevelt—
estimated to be 1.627 deciviews and 52
fewer days above 0.5 deciviews.
Filterable PM BART Review: Unit 2 is
equipped with an ESP rated at
approximately 99% control efficiency
with a baseline emission rate of 0.06 lb/
MMBtu. The average emission rate for
this unit for 2000–2004 was 0.028 lb/
MMBtu. The baseline controlled PM
emissions that North Dakota reported in
the SIP are 1,135 tons per year. The
State evaluated the following PM
control options for BART and found all
four to be technically feasible: A new
baghouse; a new ESP; a CoHPAC; and
upgrades to the existing ESP. The cost
of all options was deemed excessive,
with the least expensive being CoHPAC
at $6,693 per ton of PM removed. North
Dakota stated that visibility impacts
even at 100% control would be minimal
due to the low emission reductions of
849 tons per year compared to the
baseline conditions with the existing
99% efficient ESP. The State proposed
BART to be no additional controls. The
consent decree limits PM emissions to
0.030 lb/MMBtu. Therefore, the State
proposed that BART is an emission
limit of 0.030 lb/MMBtu (average of
three test runs). A summary of the
State’s PM BART analysis is provided in
Table 15.
TABLE 15—SUMMARY OF MILTON R. YOUNG STATION PM BART ANALYSIS FOR UNIT 2 BOILER
Control
efficiency
(%)
Control option
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
Baghouse .................................................................
New ESP ..................................................................
CoHPAC ...................................................................
Baseline ...................................................................
We are proposing to approve the
State’s filterable PM BART
determination for Milton R. Young
Station Unit 2. The State’s assessment of
costs and other impacts was reasonable.
Existing controls, ESP, already reduce
PM emissions by approximately 99%,
and North Dakota reasonably
determined that the costs of additional
PM controls would be excessive given
the negligible improvement in visibility
that would result.
Condensable PM (PM10) Review:
Sulfuric acid mist is the largest
component of condensable PM. North
Dakota stated that the options for
controlling sulfuric acid mist are the
same as the options for controlling SO2.
Based on the negligible visibility
impacts of filterable PM, the State
anticipated that the visibility impacts of
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Emission rate
(lb/MMBtu)
99.7+
99.7
99.7
99.0
0.013
0.015
0.015
0.060
Emissions
reduction
(tons/yr)
887
849
849
..........................
condensable PM would also be
negligible. The State determined that
ongoing good combustion controls and
the BART limit for SO2 would also
constitute BART for condensable PM.
We are proposing to approve the
State’s condensable PM BART
determination for Milton R. Young
Station Unit 2. The wet scrubber
required for SO2 BART will
substantially reduce sulfuric acid mist,
which is the largest component of
condensable PM. North Dakota’s
determination is reasonable.
Auxiliary Boiler, Emergency
Generator, Emergency Fire Pumps, and
Material Handling and Fugitive Sources
The State analyzed and determined
BART for these small emissions sources
at the plant and determined that BART
is existing controls with no additional
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Annualized cost
(MM$)
8.25
7.52
5.68
2.97
Cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
9,300
8,857
6,693
..........................
controls. The State based its conclusion
on the fact that further controls would
not be cost effective and would have
virtually no impact on visibility. For
further detail, see the State’s BART
analysis.
We agree with the State’s conclusion
and are proposing to approve its BART
determination for these sources.
d. Basin Electric Power Cooperative,
Leland Olds Station (LOS)
This is a 656 MW coal-fired electrical
generating plant located in Stanton,
North Dakota with two boiler units. Unit
1 is a Babcock & Wilcox wall-fired, drybottom, pulverized coal-fired boiler
serving a turbine generator with a
nameplate rating of 216 MW. Unit 2 is
a Babcock & Wilcox cyclone-fired unit
burning crushed coal, with a turbine-
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generator name plate rating of 440 MW.
Unit 1 began commercial operation in
1966 and Unit 2 began operation in
1976. Both boiler units burn lignite coal
and have an expected remaining useful
life of at least 20 years. In addition,
there are seven BART-eligible material
handling transfer operations that are
negligible sources of PM and two other
BART-eligible units consisting of
auxiliary and emergency equipment that
are negligible sources of PM, SO2, and
NOX. Each pollutant and its effect on
the visibility in Class I areas was
analyzed by the State. A summary of the
State’s analysis of existing controls and
potential BART controls for each
pollutant is set forth below, except for
the discussion of NOX BART for Unit 2,
which we address in section V.D.1.c
below. The State’s BART determination
for Leland Olds Station is provided in
Appendix B.1 of the SIP. The company’s
BART analysis is provided in Appendix
C.1 of the SIP.
Unit 1 Boiler
SO2 BART Review: Unit 1 has no
existing SO2 control system. The
baseline uncontrolled SO2 emissions
that North Dakota reported in the SIP
are 34,683 tons per year with an
emission rate of approximately 3.02 lb/
MMBtu. The State evaluated the
following SO2 control options for BART:
Wet scrubber; spray dryer; circulating
dry scrubber; flash dryer absorber;
Powerspan ECO; fuel switching; and
coal cleaning. Powerspan ECO and coal
cleaning were identified as technically
infeasible. The State conducted a cost
analysis for the top three options and
found all to be cost effective. The flash
dryer absorber was not included in the
analysis because it costs more than a
spray dryer with no additional
emissions reduction. The State
determined that there were no energy
and non-air quality environmental
impacts that would preclude the
selection of any of the control
equipment alternatives. A summary of
the State’s SO2 BART analysis for Unit
1, and visibility impacts derived from
modeling conducted by the source, are
provided in Table 16.
TABLE 16—SUMMARY OF LELAND OLDS STATION SO2 BART ANALYSIS FOR UNIT 1 BOILER
Visibility impacts1 2
Control option
Control
efficiency
(%)
Wet Scrubber .............
Circulating Dry Scrubber ..........................
Spray Dryer ................
Emission rate
(lb/MMBtu)
Emissions
reduction
(tons/yr)
Annualized
cost
(MM$)
Cost effectiveness
($/ton)
Visibility
benefit
(delta dv)
Fewer days >
0.5 dv
(days)
95
0.15
32,949
19.31
586
1.912
83
93
90
0.21
0.30
32,255
31,215
20.72
18.70
636
599
1.743
1.707
78
77
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
1 The visibility improvement described in this table represents the change in the maximum 98th percentile impact over the modeled 3-year meteorological period (2001–2003) at the highest impacted Class I area, Theodore Roosevelt. Similarly, the number of days above 0.5 deciviews is
the total for the modeled 3-year meteorological period at Theodore Roosevelt.
2 Basin Electric modeled combined SO and NO controls. The results shown include the noted SO control option and NO at the presump2
X
2
X
tive rate. Given that the presumptive NOX emission rate is very close to the pre-control NOX rate, the visibility impacts shown are largely due to
the reduction in SO2 emissions and not the reduction in NOX emissions.
North Dakota determined BART to be
the most efficient control option, a wet
scrubber operating at 95% control
efficiency or below an emission limit of
0.15 lb/MMBtu (30-day rolling average).
Basin Electric would have to comply
with either the 95% reduction
requirement or the 0.15 lb/MMBtu limit,
but not both. The estimated average cost
effectiveness of a wet scrubber was $586
per ton of SO2 removed, and the capital
and annualized costs were estimated to
be $107,220,000 and $19,310,000 per
year, respectively.
We are proposing to approve the
State’s SO2 BART analysis and
determination for Leland Olds Station
Unit 1. The State’s assessment of costs
and other impacts was reasonable. The
wet scrubber represents a stringent level
of control and will result in a reduction
in annual SO2 emissions from the plant
of approximately 32,949 tons. This
substantial reduction will result in a
significant improvement in visibility at
Theodore Roosevelt, estimated to be
1.912 deciviews and 83 fewer days
above 0.5 deciviews.
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NOX BART Review: Unit 1 is equipped
with LNB (installed in 1995). The
baseline controlled NOX emissions that
North Dakota reported in the SIP are
2,967 tons per year with an emission
rate of approximately 0.285 lb/MMBtu.
The State identified the following
control option combinations for BART:
• Selective catalytic reduction (SCR).
• Electro-catalytic oxidation (ECO).
• Selective non-catalytic reduction
(SNCR).
• Hydrocarbon enhanced SNCR (HE–
SNCR).
• Rich reagent injection (RRI).
• Rotomix (ROFA + SNCR).
• Conventional gas reburn (CGR).
• CGR + SNCR with SOFA.
• Coal reburn.
• Coal reburn + SNCR.
• Fuel-lean gas reburn (FLGR).
• FLGR + SNCR.
• Rotating overfire air (ROFA).
• Separated overfire air (SOFA).
• New low NOX burners (LNB).
• Combustion improvements.
The State agreed with Basin Electric’s
determination that high dust SCR is not
technically feasible but found that lowdust SCR (LDSCR) and tail-end SCR
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(TESCR) would be technically feasible.
North Dakota also identified ECO, coal
reburn plus SNCR, and RRI as
technically infeasible for Unit 1. The
State determined the average cost
effectiveness of the four most efficient
options to be excessive with estimates
ranging from $4,400 to $13,600 per ton
of NOX removed. The State also
determined the incremental costs of
these options to be excessive with
estimates ranging from $12,500 to
$80,700. North Dakota discussed the
benefits of pilot testing and based its
acceptance of cost estimates provided
by Basin Electric on the inability to
mandate pilot testing in the BART
process. The State noted that EPA, in
the BART Guidelines, established a
presumptive NOX emission limit of
0.29 lb/MMBtu for this type of boiler.
The State determined that there were no
energy and non-air quality
environmental impacts that would
preclude the selection of any of the
control equipment alternatives. A
summary of the State’s NOX BART
analysis for Unit 1 is provided in Table
17.
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58593
TABLE 17—SUMMARY OF LELAND OLDS STATION NOX BART ANALYSIS FOR UNIT 1 BOILER
Control
efficiency
(%)
Control option
SCR Low Dust ...........................................................
SCR Tail End .............................................................
Coal Reburn + Boosted SOFA ..................................
Coal Reburn + SOFA ................................................
SNCR + Boosted SOFA ............................................
SNCR + Basic SOFA .................................................
SNCR + Close Coupled OFA ....................................
Boosted SOFA ...........................................................
SOFA .........................................................................
North Dakota determined BART to be
SNCR + basic SOFA with an emission
limit of 0.19 lb/MMBtu (30-day rolling
average). The estimated average cost
effectiveness for SNCR + SOFA was
$2,487 per ton of NOX removed, and the
capital and annualized costs were
estimated to be $6,234,000 and
$3,099,000 per year, respectively.
Basin Electric did not provide the
modeled visibility impacts of SNCR +
basic SOFA for Unit 1 individually.
Instead, for this control option, Basin
Electric provided the visibility impacts
for Unit 1 and Unit 2 combined, with
the emissions from Unit 2 held constant.
The resulting visibility improvement,
when compared to no controls at Unit
1, is estimated to be 0.160 deciviews at
Theodore Roosevelt.
We are proposing to approve the
State’s NOX BART determination for
Leland Olds Station Unit 1. Based on
our review of North Dakota’s
submission, we are proposing to find
that it was reasonable for the State to
eliminate higher performing control
options and select SNCR + basic SOFA
as BART with an emission limit of 0.19
lb/MMBtu (30-day rolling average).
Three of the other controls under
consideration—Coal Reburn + Boosted
SOFA, Coal Reburn + SOFA, and SNCR
+ Boosted SOFA—would provide
minimal additional reductions of NOX,
Emission rate
(lb/MMBtu)
80
80
48.7
46.2
45.1
42.0
24.5
24.3
19.4
Emissions
reduction
(tons/yr)
0.057
0.057
0.146
0.153
0.156
0.165
0.215
0.216
0.230
Annualized cost
(MM$)
2,374
2,374
1,445
1,371
1,338
1,246
727
721
576
(and presumably relatively small
improvements in visibility), but have
higher dollar per ton values. The
incremental costs of these options
compared to SNCR + basic SOFA are
relatively high. We note that we do not
agree with the State’s cost analysis for
SCR, but nonetheless find the
elimination of SCR for this unit to be
acceptable. As we explain in greater
detail in section V.D.1.d below, Basin
Electric deviated significantly from
EPA’s control cost manual when it
estimated costs for SCR for Leland Olds
Station Unit 2, and substantially
overestimated the costs for SCR. The
State relied on Basin Electric’s estimates
of the costs for SCR for Unit 2 when it
estimated the costs for SCR for Unit 1.
Thus, we anticipate that the State’s
estimate for Unit 1 also overestimates
the costs for SCR. Nonetheless, Unit 1
is relatively small compared to Milton
R. Young Station Units 1 and 2 and
Leland Olds Station Unit 2 and has
substantially lower baseline NOX
emissions. And, unlike those units, Unit
1 is not a cyclone boiler and so is
currently fitted with low-NOX burners.
Finally, North Dakota has selected an
emission limit—0.19 lb/MMBtu—based
on the use of post-combustion controls
(SNCR) and combustion controls, that is
substantially more stringent than the
presumptive BART limit for this type of
18.63–26.86
21.51–31.01
7.03
5.98
3.82
3.10
3.36
1.14
0.14
Cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
7,849–11,313
9,061–13,628
4,866
4,364
2,854
2,487
4,623
1,577
250
boiler. This emission limit represents an
adjustment of the annual rate since the
30-day rolling average is expected to be
5–15% higher. These controls will
achieve a reduction in NOX emissions of
about 1,246 tons per year. Based on
these factors, we are proposing to
approve North Dakota’s NOX BART
determination.
Filterable PM BART Review: Unit 1 is
equipped with an ESP rated at
approximately 99% control efficiency.
The baseline controlled PM emissions
that North Dakota reported in the SIP
are 219 tons per year with an emission
rate of approximately 0.040 lb/MMBtu.
The State evaluated the following PM
control options for BART and found all
to be technically feasible: A new
baghouse; a new ESP; and a CoHPAC.
North Dakota considered the cost
effectiveness for all three options to be
excessive with the least expensive
option being CoHPAC at an average cost
effectiveness of $11,947 per ton of PM
removed. North Dakota stated there
would be negligible visibility
improvement with additional controls.
The State proposed BART to be no
additional controls with an emission
limit of 0.07 lb/MMBtu (average three
test runs). A summary of the State’s PM
BART analysis for Unit 1 is provided in
Table 18.
TABLE 18—SUMMARY OF LELAND OLDS STATION PM BART ANALYSIS FOR UNIT 1 BOILER
Control
efficiency
(%)
Control option
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
Baghouse .................................................................
New ESP ..................................................................
CoHPAC ...................................................................
Condensable PM (PM10) Review:
Sulfuric acid mist is the largest
component of condensable PM. The
options for controlling sulfuric acid mist
are the same as the options for
controlling SO2; therefore, North Dakota
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Emission rate
(lb/MMBtu)
99.7+
99.7
99.7
Emissions
reduction
(tons/yr)
0.013
0.013
0.013
determined that BART for condensable
PM is good SO2 control. The State
determined that ongoing good
combustion controls and the BART limit
for SO2 would also constitute BART for
condensable PM.
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Annualized cost
(MM$)
224
207
207
3.26
2.63
2.47
Cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
15,554
12,705
11,947
We are proposing to approve the
State’s condensable PM BART
determination for Leland Olds Station
Unit 1. The wet scrubber required for
SO2 BART will substantially reduce
sulfuric acid mist, which is the largest
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component of condensable PM. North
Dakota reasonably determined that the
costs of additional condensable PM
controls would be excessive given the
negligible improvement in visibility that
would result.
Unit 2 Boiler
SO2 BART Review: Unit 2 has no
existing SO2 control system. The
baseline uncontrolled SO2 emissions
that North Dakota reported in the SIP
are 67,858 tons per year with an
emission rate of approximately 3.02 lb/
MMBtu. The State identified the
following as potential control options:
new wet scrubber, spray dryer,
circulating dry scrubber, flash dryer
absorber, Powerspan ECO, fuel
switching, and coal cleaning.
Powerspan ECO and coal cleaning were
determined to be technically infeasible.
A summary of the State’s SO2 BART
analysis for Unit 2, and visibility
impacts derived from modeling
conducted by the source, are provided
in Table 19.
TABLE 19—SUMMARY OF LELAND OLDS STATION SO2 BART ANALYSIS FOR UNIT 2 BOILER
Visibility impacts1 2
Control
efficiency
(%)
Control option
Wet Scrubber .............
Circulating Dry Scrubber ..........................
Spray Dryer ................
Flash Dryer Absorber
Fuel Switching ............
Emission rate
(lb/MMBtu)
Emissions
reduction
(tons/yr)
Annualized
cost
(MM$)
Cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
Visibility
benefit
(delta dv)
Fewer days
> 0.5 dv
(days)
95
0.15
64,465
29.84
463
3.479
89
93
90
90
77
0.21
0.30
0.30
0.69
63,108
61,072
61,072
<52,251
35.58
32.89
32.43
13.49
564
539
531
258
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
1 The visibility improvement described in this table represents the change in the maximum 98th percentile impact over the modeled 3-year meteorological period (2001–2003) at the highest impacted Class I area, Theodore Roosevelt. Similarly, the number of days above 0.5 deciviews is
the total for the modeled 3-year meteorological period at Theodore Roosevelt.
2 Basin Electric modeled combined SO and NO
2
X controls. The results shown include the noted SO2 control option and NOX at the SOFA
emission rate. Given that the NOX emission rate with SOFA is somewhat close to the pre-control NOX rate, the visibility impacts shown are
largely due to the reduction in SO2 emissions and not the reduction in NOX emissions.
North Dakota determined BART to be
the most efficient control option, a wet
scrubber operating at 95% control
efficiency or below an emission limit of
0.15 lb/MMBtu (30-day rolling average).
Basin Electric would have to comply
with either the 95% reduction
requirement or the 0.15 lb/MMBtu limit,
but not both. The estimated average cost
effectiveness of a wet scrubber was $463
per ton of SO2 removed, and the capital
and annualized costs were estimated to
be $147,600,000 and $29,840,000 per
year, respectively.
We are proposing to approve the
State’s SO2 BART determination for
Leland Olds Station Unit 2. The State’s
assessment of costs and other impacts
control options for BART and found all
to be technically feasible: A new
baghouse; a new ESP; and a CoHPAC.
North Dakota considered the average
cost effectiveness for all three options to
be excessive, with the least expensive
option being CoHPAC at $12,000 per
ton. The average PM emission rate for
2000–2004 was 0.025 lb/MMBtu. The
State noted that eliminating all PM
emissions would result in a visibility
impact of only 0.026 deciviews. The
State established BART as no additional
controls and the existing permitted
emission limit of 0.07 lb/MMBtu
(average three test runs). A summary of
the State’s PM BART analysis for Unit
2 is provided in Table 20.
was reasonable. The wet scrubber
represents a stringent level of control
and will result in a reduction in annual
SO2 emissions from the plant of
approximately 64,465 tons. When
modeled with modest NOX reductions
assumed for SOFA, the maximum
improvement is estimated to be 3.479
deciviews and 89 fewer days above 0.5
deciviews at Theodore Roosevelt.
Filterable PM BART Review: Unit 2 is
equipped with an ESP rated at
approximately 99% control efficiency.
The baseline controlled PM emissions
that North Dakota reported in the SIP
are 627 tons per year with an emission
rate of approximately 0.034 lb/MMBtu.
The State evaluated the following PM
TABLE 20—SUMMARY OF LELAND OLDS STATION PM BART ANALYSIS FOR UNIT 2 BOILER
Control
efficiency
(%)
Control option
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
Baghouse .................................................................
New ESP ..................................................................
CoHPAC ...................................................................
Baseline ...................................................................
We are proposing to approve the
State’s filterable PM BART
determination for Leland Olds Station
Unit 2. The State’s assessment of costs
and other impacts was reasonable.
Existing controls, ESP, already reduce
PM emissions by approximately 99%,
and North Dakota reasonably
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Jkt 223001
Emission rate
(lb/MMBtu)
99.7+
99.7
99.7
99.3
0.013
0.015
0.015
0.034
Emissions
reduction
(tons/yr)
Annualized cost
(MM$)
Cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
388
350
350
..........................
5.89
4.95
4.21
..........................
15,186
14,137
12,029
..........................
determined that the costs of additional
PM controls would be excessive given
the negligible improvement in visibility
that would result.
Condensable PM (PM10) Review:
Sulfuric acid mist is the largest
component of condensable PM. The
options for controlling sulfuric acid mist
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are the same as the options for
controlling SO2; therefore, North Dakota
determined that BART for condensable
PM is good SO2 control. The State
determined that ongoing good
combustion controls and the BART limit
for SO2 would also constitute BART for
condensable PM.
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Federal Register / Vol. 76, No. 183 / Wednesday, September 21, 2011 / Proposed Rules
We are proposing to approve the
State’s condensable PM BART
determination for Leland Olds Station
Unit 2. The wet scrubber required for
SO2 BART will substantially reduce
sulfuric acid mist, which is the largest
component of condensable PM. North
Dakota reasonably determined that the
costs of additional condensable PM
controls would be excessive given the
negligible improvement in visibility that
would result.
Auxiliary Boiler, Emergency Fire Pump,
and Material Handling and Fugitive
Sources
The State analyzed and determined
BART for these small emissions sources
at the plant and determined that BART
is existing controls with no additional
controls. The State based its conclusion
on the fact that further controls would
not be cost effective and would have
virtually no impact on visibility. For
further detail, see the State’s BART
analysis.
We agree with the State’s conclusion
and are proposing to approve its BART
determination for these sources.
e. North Dakota BART Results and
Summary
We have summarized North Dakota’s
BART determinations that we are
proposing to approve in Table 21 for
SO2 and Table 22 for NOX, below. We
have not summarized the information
for PM as it has relatively low impact on
visibility.
North Dakota’s Regional Haze Rule
requires each source subject to BART to
install and operate BART no later than
5 years after we approve this Regional
Haze SIP. NDAC 33–15–25–02.2. This
satisfies the requirement under 40 CFR
51.308(e)(1)(iv), that ‘‘each source
subject to BART be required to install
and operate BART as expeditiously as
practicable, but in no event later than 5
years after approval of the
implementation plan revision.’’
As noted previously, to be
approvable, the Regional Haze SIP must
include monitoring, recordkeeping, and
reporting requirements to ensure that
58595
the BART limits are enforceable. North
Dakota has included individual source
permits in its Regional Haze SIP that
contain such requirements. See SIP
Appendix D. We have reviewed these
requirements and find them to be
adequate as they relate to the BART
limits we are proposing to approve. In
particular, for SO2 and NOX BART
limits, the permits require the use of
continuous emission monitoring
systems (CEMS) to determine
compliance, generally in accordance
with 40 CFR part 75. For the filterable
PM BART limits, the permits require
stack testing and compliance with a
compliance assurance monitoring
(CAM) plan. Adequate recordkeeping
and reporting requirements are also
specified.
For the reasons discussed above, we
propose to find that, with the exception
of the NOX BART determinations for
Milton R. Young Station Units 1 and 2,
Leland Olds Station Unit 2, and Coal
Creek Units 1 and 2, North Dakota
satisfied the BART requirements of 40
CFR 51.308(e).
TABLE 21—NORTH DAKOTA BART DETERMINATIONS FOR SO2 EMISSIONS THAT EPA IS PROPOSING TO APPROVE
Source and unit
2000–2004
average
emissions
(tons/yr)
Baseline
level of
control
(% reduction)
BART level
of control
(% reduction) 1
Control device
Emissions
after
controls
(tons/yr)
Emission
reduction
(tons/yr) 2
16,666
0
95
New Wet Scrubber ...
1,376
15,290
30,828
0
95
New Wet Scrubber ...
2,530
28,298
14,086
68
95
3,781
10,305
12,407
68
95
3,621
8,786
8,312
0
90
Modified Existing Wet
Scrubber and Coal
Dryer.
Modified Existing Wet
Scrubber and Coal
Dryer.
New Spray dryer and
Fabric Filter.
1,179
7,133
Minnkota Power Cooperative, MRYS
Unit 1.
Minnkota Power Cooperative, MRYS
Unit 2.
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
Basin Electric Power
Cooperative, LOS
Unit 1.
Basin Electric Power
Cooperative, Leland Olds Station
Unit 2.
Great River Energy,
Coal Creek Station
Unit 1.
Great River Energy,
Coal Creek Station
Unit 2.
Great River Energy,
Stanton Station
Unit 1.
20,148
0
95
New Wet Scrubber ...
1,007
19,141
12,404
65
95
Modified Existing Wet
Scrubber.
2,739
9,665
1 Based
2 Based
on two-year baseline emission rate for BART.
on the average 2000–2004 operating rate.
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Emission limit
95% reduction or
0.15 lb/MMBtu, 30day rolling average.
95% reduction or
0.15 lb/MMBtu, 30day rolling average.
95% reduction or
0.15 lb/MMBtu, 30day rolling average.
95% reduction or
0.15 lb/MMBtu, 30day rolling average.
90% reduction or
0.24 lb/MMBtu (lignite), or 0.16 lb/
MMBtu (PRB) 30day rolling average.
95% reduction, 30day rolling average.
95% reduction, or
0.15 lb/MMBtu, 30day rolling average.
Also, 90% reduction.
58596
Federal Register / Vol. 76, No. 183 / Wednesday, September 21, 2011 / Proposed Rules
TABLE 22—NORTH DAKOTA BART DETERMINATIONS FOR NOX EMISSIONS THAT EPA IS PROPOSING TO APPROVE
Source and unit
Baseline
level
of control
(% reduction)
2000–2004
average
emissions
(tons/yr)
BART level
of control
(% reduction) 1
Stanton Unit 1 ...........
2,048
0
45
Leland Olds Unit 1 ....
2,501
0
42
1 Based
2 Based
Control device
Emissions
after controls
(tons/yr)
LNB, Overfire Air and
SNCR.
SOFA and SNCR ......
Emission
reduction
(tons/yr) 2
1,425
623
1,744
757
Emission limit
0.29 lb/106 Btu, 30day rolling average.
0.19 lb/106 Btu, 30day rolling average.
on two-year baseline emission rate for BART.
on the average 2000–2004 operating rate.
D. Evaluation of North Dakota’s NOX
BART Determinations for Milton R.
Young Station Units 1 and 2, Leland
Olds Station Unit 2, and Coal Creek
Station Units 1 and 2
The discussion below is limited to the
NOX BART assessments for Milton R.
Young Station Units 1 and 2, Leland
Olds Station Unit 2, and Coal Creek
Units 1 and 2. North Dakota’s other
BART assessments are covered in
Section V.C.3, above.
1. Milton R. Young Station Units 1 and
2 and Leland Olds Station Unit 2
a. Milton R. Young Station Unit 1—State
Analysis
At the time Minnkota made its BART
submittal upon which the State based
its analysis, Milton R. Young Station
Unit 1 had no existing NOX control
system. The baseline uncontrolled NOX
emissions that North Dakota reported in
the SIP are 9,032 tons per year per unit
with an emission rate of 0.849 lb/
MMBtu. The Minnkota consent decree,
discussed in section V.C.3.c, above,
required Minnkota to install OFA on
Unit 1 by December 31, 2009.
The State has asserted that the Milton
R. Young Station units do not exceed
the 750 MW threshold for mandatory
application of the BART guidelines and
the presumptive NOX BART limits. That
presumptive limit for a cyclone unit
greater than 200 MW burning lignite is
0.10 lb/MMBtu. To reach its conclusion,
North Dakota relied on the nameplate
capacity of the units. We propose to
disagree based on the fact that the actual
operating levels for Units 1 and 2 are
277 MW and 517 MW, respectively—
i.e., in excess of their nameplate
capacities.18 The sum of these permitted
levels results in a total generating
capacity of at least 794 MW, which is
above the 750 MW capacity threshold
established by the CAA and the
Regional Haze Rule (see 40 CFR
51.308(e)(ii)(B)). We also note that the
State’s regional haze regulations, at
NDAC 33–15–25–03, require that
facility owners or operators for whom
the guidelines are not mandatory ‘‘shall
use appendix y [EPA’s BART
Guidelines] as guidance for preparing
their best available control retrofit
technology determinations.’’ 19
The State identified the following as
potential control options: SCR, ECO,
SNCR, HE–SNCR, RRI, Rotomix (ROFA
+ SNCR), CGR, CGR + SNCR + SOFA,
coal reburn, coal reburn + SNCR, FLGR,
FLGR + SOFA, ROFA, SOFA, advanced
separated overfire air (ASOFA),
combustion improvements (included
with SOFA and ASOFA), and oxygen
enhanced combustion (OEC). The State
eliminated the following from further
consideration as technically infeasible:
High dust SCR, ECO, HE–SNCR, RRI,
Rotomix (ROFA + SNCR), CGR + SNCR,
coal reburn + SNCR, FLGR + SNCR, and
OEC.
A summary of the State’s analysis for
NOX BART alternatives, and modeling
results provided by both the source and
State are provided in Table 23 for Unit
1.
TABLE 23—SUMMARY OF MILTON R. YOUNG STATION NOX BART ANALYSIS FOR UNIT 1 BOILER
Visibility impacts 1 2
Control option
Control
efficiency
(%)
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
LDSCR + ASOFA ........
TESCR + ASOFA ........
SNCR + ASOFA ..........
Gas Reburn + ASOFA
Coal Reburn + ASOFA
FLGR + ASOFA ...........
ASOFA .........................
Emission rate
(lb/MMBtu)
90
90
58.1
56
54.6
45.9
39.5
0.085
0.085
0.355
0.374
0.385
0.460
0.513
Emissions
reduction
(tons/yr)
Annualized
cost
(MM$)
8,129
8,129
5,248
5,058
4,931
4,146
3,568
33.53–52.19
39.31–56.10
7.47
37.33
11.39
16.99
2.49
Cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
4,124–6,421
4,835–6,901
1,424
7,381
2,309
4,098
698
Visibility
benefit (delta
dv)
Fewer days
> 0.5 dv
(days)
3.476
3.476
2.923
........................
........................
........................
........................
114
114
96
........................
........................
........................
........................
1 The visibility improvement described in this table represents the change in the maximum 98th percentile impact over the modeled 3-year meteorological period (2001–2003) at the highest impacted Class I area, Theodore Roosevelt. Similarly, the number of days above 0.5 deciviews is
the total for the modeled 3-year meteorological period at Theodore Roosevelt.
2 Minnkota and the State modeled combined SO and NO
2
X controls. The results shown include SO2 at an emission rate reflective of SO2
scrubbing along with the noted NOX control option. More detail on this approach is provided in the Technical Support Document.
The State determined that the cost of
all control options was reasonable with
the exception of both SCR
configurations. The State considered the
average cost effectiveness and
incremental cost effectiveness of LDSCR
18 See letter from John T. Graves, Environmental
Superintendent, Minnkota Power Cooperative, Inc.,
to Dana Mount, Director, Division of Environmental
Engineering, North Dakota Department of Health,
Re: Permit to Operate No. F76009, Permit Revisions,
November 20, 1995.
19 We are proposing to approve the State’s
regional haze regulations as part of this action.
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Federal Register / Vol. 76, No. 183 / Wednesday, September 21, 2011 / Proposed Rules
and TESCR to be excessive and
unreasonable. These control options,
when combined with wet scrubbing for
SO2, would result in a significant
improvement in visibility at Theodore
Roosevelt, estimated to be 3.476
deciviews and 114 fewer days above 0.5
deciviews. This represents an
incremental visibility improvement of
1.400 deciviews and 43 fewer days
above 0.5 deciviews beyond that
achieved by wet scrubbing alone.
Moreover, when compared to SNCR +
ASOFA, it would result in an
incremental visibility improvement of
0.553 deciviews and 18 fewer days
above 0.5 deciviews. However, the State
also stated that single source visibility
benefits calculated using the EPA
modeling guidelines are inflated and
conducted supplemental cumulative
visibility modeling (i.e., modeling using
degraded background, reflecting
emissions from all sources). The results
of the State’s supplemental cumulative
modeling showed greatly reduced
visibility benefits from use of SCR,
benefits that the State considered to be
negligible. The State determined that
there were no energy and non-air
quality environmental impacts that
would preclude the selection of any of
the control equipment alternatives.
North Dakota determined BART to be
SNCR + ASOFA (the next most efficient
option after SCR), with an emission
limit of 0.36 lb/MMBtu (30-day rolling
average) and a separate limit during
startup of 2070.2 lb/hr (24-hour rolling
average). North Dakota estimated the
cost effectiveness for SNCR + ASOFA to
be $1,424 per ton of NOX removed, and
the capital and annualized costs to be
$8,113,000 and $7,742,000 per year,
respectively.
b. Milton R. Young Station Unit 2—
State Analysis
At the time Minnkota made its BART
submittal upon which the State based
58597
its analysis, Milton R. Young Station
Unit 2 was equipped with an OFA NOX
control system. The baseline controlled
NOX emissions that North Dakota
reported in the SIP were 15,507 tons per
year per unit with an emission rate of
approximately 0.81 lb/MMBtu. The
State identified the following as
potential control options: SCR, ECO,
SNCR, HE–SNCR, ASOFA, RRI + SNCR
+ ASOFA, Rotomix (ROFA + SNCR),
CGR + SNCR, coal reburn, coal reburn
+ SNCR, FLGR, FLGR + SOFA, ROFA,
SOFA, ASOFA, combustion
improvements, and OEC. The State
eliminated the following from further
consideration as technically infeasible:
High dust SCR, ECO, HE–SNCR, RRI,
Rotomix (ROFA + SNCR), CGR + SNCR,
coal reburn + SNCR, FLGR + SNCR, and
OEC. A summary of the State’s analysis
for NOX BART alternatives, and
modeling results provided by both the
source and State, are provided in Table
24 for Unit 2.
TABLE 24—SUMMARY OF MILTON R. YOUNG STATION NOX BART ANALYSIS FOR UNIT 2 BOILER
Visibility impacts 1 2
Control option
Control
efficiency
(%)
LDSCR + ASOFA ....
TESCR + ASOFA ....
SNCR + ASOFA ......
Gas Reburn +
ASOFA .................
Coal Reburn +
ASOFA .................
FLGR + ASOFA .......
ASOFA .....................
Emission rate
(lb/MMBtu)
Emissions
reduction
(tons/yr)
Annualized
cost
(MM$)
Cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
Visibility
benefit
(delta dv)
Fewer
days > 0.5 dv
(days)
90
90
58.0
0.079
0.079
0.330
13,956
13,956
8,994
57.35–89.07
66.51–98.81
11.41
4,109–6,382
4,765–7,081
1,268
3.945
3.945
3.379
110
110
89
55.4
0.350
8,591
63.88
7,436
........................
........................
54.2
45
37.7
0.360
0.432
0.489
8,405
6,978
5,846
19.48
29.31
4.38
2,317
4,201
749
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
........................
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
1 The visibility improvement described in this table represents the change in the maximum 98th percentile impact over the modeled 3-year meteorological period (2001–2003) at the highest impacted Class I area, Theodore Roosevelt. Similarly, the number of days above 0.5 deciviews is
the total for the modeled 3-year meteorological period at Theodore Roosevelt.
2 Minnkota and the State conducted the modeling with combined SO and NO controls. The results shown include SO at an emission rate
2
X
2
reflective of SO2 scrubbing along with the noted NOX control option.
The State determined the average cost
effectiveness of all control options was
reasonable with the exception of both
SCR configurations. The State
considered the average cost
effectiveness and incremental cost
effectiveness of LDSCR and TESCR to be
excessive and unreasonable. These
control options, when combined with
wet scrubbing for SO2, would result in
a significant improvement in visibility
at Theodore Roosevelt National Park—
estimated to be 3.945 deciviews and 110
fewer days above the 0.5 dv threshold.
This represents an incremental visibility
improvement of 2.318 deciviews and 58
fewer days above the 0.5 dv threshold
beyond that achieved by wet scrubbing
alone. Moreover, when compared to
SNCR + ASOFA, SCR + ASOFA would
result in an incremental visibility
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Jkt 223001
improvement of 0.566 deciviews and 21
fewer days above the 0.5 dv threshold.
However, using the same approach it
used for Milton R. Young Station Unit
1, the State determined that the
visibility benefits from use of SCR
would be negligible. The State
determined that there were no energy
and non-air quality environmental
impacts that would preclude the
selection of any of the control
equipment alternatives. North Dakota
determined BART to be SNCR + ASOFA
(the next most efficient option after
SCR), with an emission limit of 0.35 lb/
MMBtu (30-day rolling average) and a
separate limit during startup of 3,995.6
lb/hr (24-hour rolling average). The
State estimated the cost effectiveness for
SNCR + ASOFA to be $1,268 per ton of
NOX removed, and the capital and
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Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4702
annualized costs to be $17,128,000 and
$11,405,000 per year, respectively.
c. Leland Olds Station Unit 2—State
Analysis
At the time Basin Electric made its
BART submittal upon which the State
based its analysis, Unit 2 had no
existing NOX control system. ASOFA
was installed in November 2009. The
State identified the following as
potential control options: SCR, ECO,
SNCR, HE–SNCR, ASOFA, RRI + SNCR
+ ASOFA, Rotomix (ROFA + SNCR),
CGR + SNCR, coal reburn, coal reburn
+ SNCR, FLGR, SOFA, ASOFA, ROFA,
combustion improvements, and OEC.
The State eliminated the following from
further consideration as technically
infeasible: High dust SCR, ECO, HE–
SNCR, Rotamix, CGR + SNCR, coal
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58598
Federal Register / Vol. 76, No. 183 / Wednesday, September 21, 2011 / Proposed Rules
reburn + SNCR, FLGR + SNCR, and
OEC.
A summary of the State’s analysis for
NOX BART alternatives, and modeling
results provided by both the source and
State are provided in Table 25 for Unit
2.
TABLE 25—SUMMARY OF LELAND OLDS STATION NOX BART ANALYSIS FOR UNIT 2 BOILER
Visibility impacts 1 2
Control option
Control
efficiency
(%)
Low Dust SCR +
ASOFA ...............
Tail End SCR +
ASOFA ...............
RRI + SNCR +
ASOFA ...............
SNCR + ASOFA ....
Coal Reburn +
ASOFA ...............
ASOFA ...................
Emission rate
(lb/MMBtu)
Emissions
reduction
(tons/yr)
Annualized
cost
(MM$)
Cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
Visibility
benefit
(delta dv)
Fewer days
> 0.5 dv
(days)
90
0.07
10,821
38.74–55.84
3,581–5,161
4.393
130
90
0.07
10,821
43.83–63.17
4,050–5,838
4.393
130
60.3
54.5
0.266
0.305
7,250
6,553
17.4
10.87
2,400
1,659
3.963
3.874
110
105
51.8
37.7
0.323
0.482
6,228
3,366
14.86
1.24
2,386
369
........................
3.479
........................
89
1 The visibility improvement described in this table represents the change in the maximum 98th percentile impact over the modeled 3-year meteorological period (2001–2003) at the highest impacted Class I area, Theodore Roosevelt. Similarly, the number of days above 0.5 deciviews is
the total for the modeled 3-year meteorological period at Theodore Roosevelt.
2 The visibility modeling that North Dakota (for SCR) and Basin Electric (all scenarios but SCR) performed for Leland Olds Station Unit 2 included SO2 control (FGD 95%) in addition to the noted NOX control. Thus, these values do not reflect the distinct visibility benefit from the NOX
control options but do provide the incremental benefit between the options.
The State determined that the average
and incremental cost effectiveness of
SCR + ASOFA was excessive given its
finding that visibility improvement
would be negligible. SCR + ASOFA,
when combined with wet scrubbing for
SO2 would result in a significant
improvement in visibility at Theodore
Roosevelt, estimated to be 4.393
deciviews and 130 fewer days above 0.5
deciviews. As the State did not provide
discrete modeling for individual
pollutants, it is not possible to describe
the incremental visibility benefits of
SCR + ASOFA or other NOX control
options over the selected SO2 BART
control (FGD at 95%). Nonetheless,
when compared to SNCR + ASOFA,
SCR would result in an incremental
visibility improvement of 0.512
deciviews and 25 fewer days above 0.5
deciviews. However, using the same
supplemental cumulative modeling it
used for Milton R. Young Station units
1 and 2, the State determined that
visibility benefits from use of SCR +
ASOFA would be negligible. While the
State found that RRI + SNCR + ASOFA
and SNCR + ASOFA both had
reasonable average cost effectiveness
values, it found the incremental costs
for RRI + SNCR + ASOFA to be
excessive given its finding that
incremental visibility improvement
would be negligible. By reference to its
analysis for Leland Olds Station Unit 1,
North Dakota noted the difficulty in
accurately predicting costs for SCR
based on alleged uncertainties regarding
catalyst size and life. North Dakota
accepted the cost estimates provided by
Basin Electric. The State determined
that there were no energy and non-air
quality environmental impacts that
would preclude the selection of any of
the control equipment alternatives.
North Dakota determined BART to be
SNCR plus ASOFA with an emission
limit of 0.35 lb/MMBtu (30-day rolling
average). North Dakota estimated the
cost for SNCR plus ASOFA to be $1,659
per ton of NOX removed, and the capital
and annualized costs to be $16,800,000
and $10,870,000 per year, respectively.
A summary of the pertinent
information related to the State’s NOX
BART determinations for Milton R.
Young Station Units 1 and 2 and Leland
Olds Station Unit 1 is provided in Table
26.
TABLE 26—NORTH DAKOTA BART DETERMINATIONS FOR NOX EMISSIONS FOR MILTON R. YOUNG STATION UNITS 1 AND
2 AND LELAND OLDS STATION UNIT 2
Source and unit
2000–2004
average
emissions
(tons/yr)
Baseline
level of
control
(% reduction)
BART level
of control
(% reduction)
Control device
Emissions
after
controls
(tons/yr)
Emission
reduction
(tons/yr)
8,665
0
58.1
ASOFA and SNCR ...
3,857
4,808
MRYS Unit 2 .............
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MRYS Unit 1 .............
14,705
0
58
ASOFA and SNCR ...
6,392
8,313
LOS Unit 2 ................
10,422
0
54.5
ASOFA and SNCR ...
5,904
4,518
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0.36 lb/106 Btu, 30day rolling average.
0.35 lb/106 Btu, 30day rolling average.
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Federal Register / Vol. 76, No. 183 / Wednesday, September 21, 2011 / Proposed Rules
d. EPA’s Evaluation of the State’s Cost
Analyses for NOX BART for Milton R.
Young Station Unit 1 and 2 and Leland
Olds Station Unit 2
As noted above, North Dakota found
that the costs of SCR at Milton R. Young
Station Units 1 and 2 and Leland Olds
Station Unit 2 were excessive and
eliminated it as a control option. We
propose to find that North Dakota did
not properly follow the requirements of
40 CFR 51.308(e)(1)(ii)(A) in
determining NOX BART for these units.
Specifically, we propose that North
Dakota did not properly or reasonably
‘‘take into consideration the costs of
compliance.’’ Instead, North Dakota
relied on facility-provided cost
estimates that greatly overestimated the
costs of SCR. Given that SCR is typically
considered to be a highly cost-effective
control option for power plants with
cyclone boilers burning lignite, and that
EPA selected a presumptive NOX limit
for cyclone units of 0.10 lb/MMBtu
based on the cost-effectiveness of SCR,20
we retained two consultants (ERG and
RTI, subcontractor Dr. Phyllis Fox) to
independently assess the costs of
installing, operating, and maintaining
these controls. These consultants found
that numerous aspects of the cost
estimates for SCR at these units, which
the State relied on, were much higher
than their estimates. Our consultants
revised the cost analyses using EPA’s
Air Pollution Control Cost Manual,21
58599
and where appropriate, costing
assumptions used in the facilityprovided analyses. Their revised
analyses resulted in cost effectiveness
values that are well within the range
that North Dakota, other states, and we
have found cost effective in the BART
context. We have reviewed and
evaluated our consultants’ reports and
agree with their findings regarding SCR
at Milton R. Young Station Units 1 and
2 and Leland Olds Station Unit 2. Our
consultants’ reports have been
incorporated into the Technical Support
Document.22
Table 27, below, contrasts North
Dakota’s low-end cost effectiveness
values for tail end SCR (TESCR) at the
three units with our estimates.23
TABLE 27—CONTRAST OF TESCR COST EFFECTIVENESS
North Dakota
projected cost
($/ton NOX
removed)
Plant
MRYS 1 ...........................................................................................................................................................
MRYS 2 ...........................................................................................................................................................
LOS 2 ...............................................................................................................................................................
$4,800
4,800
4,100
EPA’s projected
cost
($/ton NOX
removed)
$2,600
2,700
1,800
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Our Technical Support Document
provides a detailed comparison between
the costing methodologies. However, a
few general points can be made that
explain why our costs differ so
dramatically from North Dakota’s. Both
North Dakota and we used the facilities’
BART evaluations as the starting points
for the assessments,24 and we largely
relied on the facilities’ direct capital
equipment costs in our analyses.25
However, a major issue is that the
companies used numerous indirect cost
and other accounting mechanisms that
are not included in EPA’s Air Pollution
Control Cost Manual (‘‘Control Cost
Manual’’) and are not adequately
justified. According to the BART
Guidelines, ‘‘cost estimates should be
based on the OAQPS Control Cost
Manual, where possible’’ ‘‘[i]n order to
maintain and improve consistency.’’ 70
FR 39104, 39166. The use of the Control
Cost Manual provides a reasonable
standard for comparison of costs
between sources and across states, and
the BART Guidelines indicate that
documentation should be provided for
‘‘any * * * element of the calculation
that differs from Control Cost Manual.’’
70 FR 39166. Most of North Dakota’s
other BART determinations did follow
the Control Cost Manual and properly
provide a basis for comparison to other
control equipment installations
nationally.26 In preparing our cost
analyses, we followed the Control Cost
Manual where possible.
In addition to deviating in significant
and unjustified ways from the Control
Cost Manual, the companies adopted
unreasonable assumptions related to
catalyst size and life, catalyst cost, and
outage requirements for catalyst
replacement. Our analyses replaced
these unreasonable assumptions with
reasonable ones.
In the case of Minnkota’s analyses for
Milton R. Young Station Units 1 and 2,
conducted by Minnkota’s consultant,
Burns & McDonnell, the estimated total
capital costs are higher by a factor of
about 1.8 than would be calculated
using the Control Cost Manual,
20 The BART Guidelines state, ‘‘Because of the
relatively high NOX emission rates of cyclone units,
SCR is more cost-effective than the use of current
combustion control technology for these units. The
use of SCRs at cyclone units burning bituminous
coal, sub-bituminous coal, and lignite should
enable the units to cost-effectively meet NOX rates
of 0.10 lb/mmbtu. As a result, we are establishing
a presumptive NOX limit of 0.10 lb/mmbtu based
on the use of SCR for coal-fired cyclone units
greater than 200 MW located at 750 MW power
plants.’’ 40 CFR part 51, appendix Y.
21 U.S. EPA, EPA Air Pollution Control Cost
Manual, EPA/452/B–02–001, 6th Ed., January 2002.
The EPA Air Pollution Control Cost Manual was
formerly known as the OAQPS Control Cost
Manual.
22 Dr. Phyllis Fox, Revised BART CostEffectiveness Analysis for Tail End Selective
Catalytic Reduction at Basin Electric Power
Cooperative Leland Olds Station Unit 2. Report
Prepared for U.S. EPA, RTI Project Number
0209897.004.095, March 2011.
ERG Minnkota SCR Cost Summaries, May 2010
and August 2011 and EPA Region 8’s Letter to Mr.
Terry O’Clair dated May 10, 2010 regarding ‘‘EPA’s
Comments on the NDDH’s [North Dakota’s] April
2010 Draft BACT Determination for NOX for the
MRYS.’’
23 The facilities, and hence, North Dakota,
presented a range of cost effectiveness values for
low-dust and tail-end SCR based on the alleged
uncertainties with estimating costs for SCR. A
comparison of North Dakota’s high-end cost
estimates would reflect an even greater disparity
with our cost estimates.
24 Burns & McDonnell, BART Determination
Study for Milton R. Young Station Unit 1 and 2,
Prepared for Minnkota Power Cooperative, Inc.,
October 2006, Revised August 2007.
Letter from Cris Miller, Senior Environmental
Project Administrator, Basin Electric Power
Cooperative, to Terry L. O’Clair, North Dakota
Department of Health, Attaching Letter from
William DePriest, Senior Vice President,
Environmental Services, to Cris Miller, Re: BART
Evaluation Update—Tail End SCR, May 27, 2009
(5/27/09 S&L Cost Analysis).
25 For a detailed discussion, the reader should
refer to our consultants’ reports in the Technical
Support Document.
26 SIP Appendix C.2, Great River Energy’s Coal
Creek BART Analysis, is an example of a cost
analysis submitted to North Dakota as part of a
BART submittal that does not include many of the
indirect capital costs and contingencies included in
Burns & McDonnell’s analysis. Although EPA is not
in agreement with every aspect of the cost analysis
in the example, it does illustrate a case where the
Control Cost Manual format is generally followed
and the estimated SCR capital costs are far less (by
a factor of almost 4 for LDSCR on Unit 2, which
is a smaller unit in comparison to the example and
should cost less) than what was estimated for
MRYS.
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assuming the same base costs for direct
capital costs.
For indirect capital costs, Table 28
identifies the deviations from the
Control Cost Manual in the Burns &
McDonnell estimates.
TABLE 28—COMPARISON OF EPA CONTROL COST MANUAL AND BURNS & MCDONNELL INDIRECT CAPITAL COSTS 27
Control cost
manual
(% of direct cap
cost ‘‘A’’)
Indirect cost
B&McD analysis
(% of direct cap
cost ‘‘A’’)
General Facilities (Construction Mgt) ..............................................................................................................
Engineering & Home Office Fees ....................................................................................................................
Startup Expenses ............................................................................................................................................
Process Contingency (Scope Contingency) ....................................................................................................
Project Contingency (Pricing Contingency) .....................................................................................................
0.05 × A
0.10 × A
0
0.05 × A
0.18 × A
0.04
0.15
0.02
0.15
0.15
Totals ........................................................................................................................................................
0.38 × A
0.51 × A
While this difference is significant,
Burns & McDonnell then added two
more contingencies (‘‘cost escalation
during project’’ and ‘‘owner’s costs—
other’’) and included an allowance for
funds during construction (interest)
before calculating the total capital
investment. The Control Cost Manual
allows for ‘‘preproduction costs’’ of 2%
of the sum of the direct capital costs,
indirect capital costs, and ‘‘project
contingency.’’ Table 29 below compares
these ‘‘other’’ costs used by Burns &
McDonnell to the preproduction costs
×
×
×
×
×
A
A
A
A
A
provided by the Control Cost Manual.
To normalize these costs with those
tabulated above, percentages were
related back to the direct capital costs
(‘‘A’’).28
TABLE 29—COMPARISON OF EPA CONTROL COST MANUAL & B&MCD ‘‘OTHER’’ CAPITAL COSTS
Control cost
manual
(% of direct cap
cost ‘‘A’’)
B&McD analysis
(% of direct cap
cost ‘‘A’’)
Cost Escalation ................................................................................................................................................
Allowance for Funds During Construction (Interest During Construction) ......................................................
Preproduction Costs ........................................................................................................................................
Owners Cost—Other (Owner Contingency) ....................................................................................................
0
0
0.03 × A
0
0.30 × A
0.20 × A
0
0.17 × A
Totals ........................................................................................................................................................
0.03 × A
0.67 × A
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Other costs
From these tables, it is clear that
Burns & McDonnell included
contingencies and accounting items that
deviate significantly from the Control
Cost Manual and which it did not justify
by reference to any need unique to
Milton R. Young Station. Although
North Dakota asked Burns & McDonnell
to provide a detailed explanation
regarding its high indirect capital cost
estimates, Burns & McDonnell’s
February 11, 2010, response to this
request (see SIP Appendix C.4) fails to
justify why the Burns & McDonnell cost
methodology should be allowed for the
Milton R. Young Station analysis, when
it is not part of the Control Cost Manual
and is not the standardized
methodology used by other sources.
While the Control Cost Manual does
contemplate some flexibility in some
contingencies (such as degree of retrofit
difficulty), Burns & McDonnell has not
substantiated the need to go beyond
standard contingencies provided by the
Control Cost Manual. As stated in the
Control Cost Manual, ‘‘[c]ontingencies is
a catch-all category that covers
unforeseen costs that may arise, such as
possible redesign and modification of
equipment, escalation increases in cost
of equipment, increase in field labor
costs, and delays encountered in startup.’’ 29 Thus, the contingency in the
Control Cost Manual should already
account for possible changes in labor
costs, and inclusion of a contingency
plus escalation of costs is redundant
according to the Control Cost Manual
methodology. Escalation of costs should
not be included as a separate estimate
in the estimate of Total Capital
Investment since it is included as part
of the contingency estimate.
Also, in Table 2.5 of the SCR chapter
of the Control Cost Manual, the
‘‘Allowance for Funds During
Construction’’ (inflation) is specifically
listed as zero. Therefore, Burns &
McDonnell should not have added what
amounts to 20% of the direct capital
costs to cover inflation. Including
‘‘owner’s costs’’ and ‘‘owner’s
contingency’’ is also not consistent with
the Control Cost Manual methodology
and appears to be redundant.
Burns & McDonnell mentioned that it
anticipated that significant retrofit work
would be required that would affect the
scope and price of the project. However,
there have been many SCR retrofits
facing much more difficult challenges
with space limitations and boiler
modifications than Milton R. Young
Station can be expected to face
installing a LDSCR or TESCR
27 Although, Burns & McDonnell stated in its
December 11, 2010 submittal to the State that its
BACT cost estimates ‘‘follow the outline of Table
2.5 in the SCR Chapter of EPA’s Control Cost
Manual,’’ many items do not match in description,
so some assumptions had to be made. Where there
are differences, the Burns & McDonnell cost title is
in parentheses. Also, this comparison assumes that
‘‘project contingency’’ of 15% is part of the indirect
costs, so when applied exclusively to the direct
capital costs only, it becomes 18%.
28 Preproduction costs are listed as being 2% of
the total direct (A), indirect (B), and ‘‘project
contingency’’ (C) costs. This becomes 3% of the
total direct capital costs. (B = 0.20 * A; C = 0.18
* A; A + B + C = 1.38 A; 0.02 * 1.38 A = 0.03).
29 See Control Cost Manual, 2002, Chapter 2,
Section 2.3.1.
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downstream of the ESP (or flue gas
desulfurization system (FGD)) in a rural
location. Thus, we find that Burns &
McDonnell’s contingencies for extra
retrofit work are not warranted. Instead,
we find that the contingencies outlined
in the Control Cost Manual (5% process
contingency and 15% project
contingency) are reasonable for
purposes of the Milton R. Young Station
NOX BART analyses.
Our estimate of total installed capital
costs with adjusted indirect capital costs
for TESCR at Milton R. Young Station
Unit 1 is $120,629,000 in 2009 dollars,
compared to Burns & McDonnell’s
estimate of $192,830,000. For Unit 2 our
estimate is $216,870,000 and Burns &
McDonnell’s is $329,150,000.
When it calculated annual costs for
SCR at Milton R. Young Station, Burns
& McDonnell also deviated from the
Control Cost Manual without reasonable
justification and relied on unreasonable
operation and design assumptions. For
example, the Control Cost Manual
provides an annual maintenance factor
of 1.5% of the total capital investment.
Burns & McDonnell assumed 3%. The
Control Cost Manual does not allow
annual operation and maintenance costs
to be ‘‘levelized’’—i.e., adjusted based
on predicted future inflation and other
factors. Burns & McDonnell levelized
these costs, which increased them by
about 25%. The reason the Control Cost
Manual does not use levelized costs is
to ensure that cost comparisons are
made on a current real dollar basis,
relying on the most accurate
information available at current prices.
(See, Control Cost Manual, Section 1,
chapter 1, p. 1–3, footnote 1, and
Section 4.2, Chapter 2, p. 2–50, example
problem.)
Regarding operation and design
assumptions, Burns & McDonnell
assumed that the SCR catalyst might
have to be replaced as frequently as
three or four times per year. Given that
catalyst poisons will be removed by the
ESP, or ESP and SO2 controls, before
reaching the SCR in a low-dust or tailend configuration, Burns & McDonnell’s
assumption about catalyst replacement
is unreasonable. While Burns &
McDonnell’s low-end SCR cost numbers
are based on a two-year frequency for
catalyst replacement, our consultants
find that a three-year frequency is the
most reasonable assumption.30 Burns &
McDonnell also used unreasonable
assumptions related to catalyst cost and
necessary outage time and related
electricity costs for catalyst
replacement. For example, Burns &
McDonnell failed to consider that
catalyst replacement could occur during
outages already occurring at the plant.
Our Technical Support Document
contains additional details regarding the
flaws in Burns & McDonnell’s analysis.
Burns & McDonnell’s estimate for
total annual costs for TESCR at Milton
R. Young Station Unit 1 was
$43,290,000; using the Control Cost
Manual factors and other reasonable
assumptions, our estimate is
58601
$24,176,000. Burns & McDonnell’s
estimate for Unit 2 was $73,245,000 and
ours is $40,570,000.
Sargent & Lundy, Basin Electric’s
consultant, also employed numerous
unreasonable assumptions in estimating
costs and cost effectiveness for NOX
BART at Leland Olds Station Unit 2. For
example, Sargent & Lundy
overestimated catalyst volume, catalyst
cost, outage time for catalyst
replacement, and frequency of catalyst
replacement. Our consultant, Dr. Phyllis
Fox, details in her report that Sargent &
Lundy’s estimates are often
unsupported and why they are
unreasonable. Also, like Burns &
McDonnell, Sargent & Lundy levelized
operation and maintenance costs, which
increased these costs by about 20%. As
noted above, levelizing these costs is
inconsistent with the Control Cost
Manual. Sargent & Lundy assumed that
a sorbent injection system might be
needed if SCR were installed. As Dr.
Fox explains, no such system is needed
since catalyst formulations are available
to minimize sulfuric acid mist
emissions. In addition, Sargent & Lundy
used inflated values for the costs of
utilities and supplies, including NH3,31
natural gas, and electricity. Further
detail regarding these issues is
contained in section V.D.1.d of this
action and in our TSD. Table 30
contains a summary of some of the most
significant differences between Sargent
& Lundy’s estimates and Dr. Fox’s
estimates.
TABLE 3—COMPARISON OF SARGENT & LUNDY AND DR. FOX’S TAIL-END SCR VARIABLE OPERATION AND MAINTENANCE
COSTS FOR LELAND OLDS STATION UNIT 2
[2009 dollars]
Dr. Fox
(MM$/year)
Sargent & Lundy
(MM$/year)
Cost factor
Ammonia ..................................................................
Catalyst ....................................................................
Power .......................................................................
Natural Gas for Flue Gas Reheating .......................
Outage Penalty ........................................................
Sorbent Injection ......................................................
..................................................................................
..................................................................................
..................................................................................
..................................................................................
..................................................................................
..................................................................................
2.116
0.321
1.879
2.596
0
0
1.655
3.960
2.930
7.750
7.392
0.207
Total Variable O&M Cost, A .............................
Sum of Various Items Listed Above .......................
6.913
23.894
Total Fixed O&M Cost, B .................................
Total O&M Cost .......................................................
Levelized for Inflation, Discount Rate, and Equipment Life 1.
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Description
..................................................................................
A + B .......................................................................
(A + B) × 1.193 .......................................................
0.824
7.737
..............................
0.827
24.721
29.496
Total Annual Capital Cost, C ............................
..................................................................................
14.361
14.423
30 Report of Hans Hartenstein: On North Dakota
Department of Health’s April 10, 2010 BACT
Determination for Minnkota’s M.R. Young Station,
On Behalf of United States Department of Justice,
April 2010. Report of Phyllis Fox: Revised BART
Cost Effectiveness Analysis for Tail-End Selective
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Catalytic Reduction at the Basin Electric Power
Cooperative Leland Olds Station Unit 2 Final
Report, March 2011.
31 In the case of NH , Sargent & Lundy evaluated
3
a range of costs of $450 per ton to $700 per ton even
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2010 BART analysis for the Navajo Generating
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cost analysis.
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TABLE 3—COMPARISON OF SARGENT & LUNDY AND DR. FOX’S TAIL-END SCR VARIABLE OPERATION AND MAINTENANCE
COSTS FOR LELAND OLDS STATION UNIT 2—Continued
[2009 dollars]
Description
Dr. Fox
(MM$/year)
Cost factor
Total Annual Cost .............................................
A + B + C ................................................................
22.098
Sargent & Lundy
(MM$/year)
43.919 2
1 Levelization
is included only in the Sargent & Lundy analysis and is not part of the acceptable methods presented in the Control Cost Manual.
2 Note: The Sargent & Lundy cost breakdown obtained during our review and included in the Technical Support Document, when summed,
does not exactly match the total annual cost of $43,830,000 provided in SIP Appendices B.1 and C.1.
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We also question Sargent & Lundy’s
estimated capital cost of $373/kW (2010
dollars) to retrofit SCR at Leland Olds
Station. Sargent & Lundy provided no
documentation for this figure, and it is
higher than the actual installed cost for
existing retrofit SCRs, including those
with extreme retrofit difficulty and
those requiring flue gas reheat. Despite
our concern about Sargent & Lundy’s
capital cost estimate, we used it in our
cost analysis. Thus, we consider our
resulting cost effectiveness value to be
conservative in Basin Electric’s favor
and to represent an upper bound for a
reasonable cost effectiveness value for
SCR (i.e., it is our opinion that the
actual cost effectiveness value would be
lower than our estimate suggests). Our
Technical Support Document contains
additional details regarding our
concerns regarding Sargent & Lundy’s
capital cost estimate for SCR.
Sargent & Lundy’s estimate for total
annual costs for TESCR at Leland Olds
Station Unit 2 was $43,830,000; using
the Control Cost Manual factors and
other reasonable assumptions, our
estimate is $22,098,000.
North Dakota’s estimates for TESCR
($4,100—$7,100), based on companysupplied estimates, are roughly two to
three times higher than estimates that
are based on accepted estimating
practices.32 These differences are
significant, particularly because our
revised cost estimates fall within the
range that North Dakota, other states,
and EPA have considered as being cost
effective for BART determinations.
Accordingly, we do not consider North
Dakota’s cost estimates to be consistent
with the statutory and regulatory
requirement that North Dakota consider
cost in determining BART. Thus, the
BART analyses for these units do not
meet the requirements of the regional
32 They are also much higher than the values EPA
relied on in determining that SCR is cost effective
on coal-fired cyclone units for purposes of
determining presumptive NOX BART limits in the
BART Guidelines: ‘‘Our analysis indicated that
cost-effectiveness of applying SCR on coal-fired
cyclone units is typically less than $1500 a ton, and
that the average cost-effectiveness is $900 per ton.’’
70 FR 39135–39136.
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haze regulation, and we are proposing to
disapprove those analyses and the
resultant BART determinations.
e. EPA’s Evaluation of the State’s
Visibility Analyses for NOX BART for
Milton R. Young Station Unit 1 and 2
and Leland Olds Station Unit 2
Generally, to evaluate visibility
improvements associated with potential
BART control options, North Dakota
conducted or relied on CALPUFF
modeling that was consistent with the
recommended approach in the BART
Guidelines and the State’s EPAapproved protocol included in
Appendix A.1 of its Regional Haze SIP.
Such modeling assumes natural
background conditions—i.e., without
emissions from current emissions
sources. However, for its NOX BART
determinations for Milton R. Young
Station Units 1 and 2 and Leland Olds
Station Unit 2, North Dakota conducted
supplemental cumulative visibility
modeling—i.e., modeling that included
emissions from all other sources in the
inventory. North Dakota did not use this
alternative modeling approach for any
other pollutant or any other BART units
within North Dakota.
The State attached considerable
weight to the results of this alternative
modeling when it determined NOX
BART for the three units. SIP
appendices B.1 and B.4. The State stated
that it conducted this supplemental
cumulative modeling because ‘‘the
single source modeling under the BART
Guidelines overestimates the visibility
improvement’’ and ‘‘single-source
modeling results * * * tend to be five
to seven times larger’’ than results when
the same source is combined with all
other sources in a cumulative analysis.
Id. SIP Section 7.4.2. Based on its
supplemental cumulative modeling, the
State determined that the visibility
improvement that would result from
SCR would be ‘‘negligible’’ and
proceeded to eliminate SCR based on
‘‘the excessive cost and negligible
visibility improvement.’’ SIP
appendices B.1 and B.4.
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The perceived change in visibility
from controls on a single source is
reduced when background contributions
from other sources are included in the
modeling. In other words, cumulative
modeling reduces the predicted
visibility benefit in deciviews from any
level of control considered. For three
units and one pollutant only, North
Dakota relies on its supplemental
cumulative modeling as a partial basis
to reject SCR as BART. Not only is
North Dakota’s approach arbitrary, it is
inconsistent with the purpose of BART
and the regional haze program
generally, as well as the BART modeling
approach used by other states and EPA.
The CAA establishes a National goal
of eliminating man-made visibility
impairment from all mandatory Class I
Federal areas. Use of natural
background (i.e., not considering other
source emissions) in the BART context
is consistent with the ultimate goal of
the program to reach natural
background conditions. Also, the
modeling of visibility improvements
from potential control options should be
consistent with the subject-to-BART
modeling, which compares singlesource impacts to natural conditions.
Otherwise, BART, one of the primary
requirements under the regional haze
regulations, could be reduced as to be
meaningless. Thus, the BART
Guidelines direct states to ‘‘[c]alculate
the model results for each receptor as
the change in deciviews compared
against natural visibility conditions.’’ 40
CFR part 51, appendix Y, section IV.D,
step 5. The consistent use of a clean
background in BART evaluations in
North Dakota and surrounding states
will foster emission reductions that will
speed achievement of natural
background conditions, and will ensure
equity among states in achieving this
goal.
Because North Dakota relied on a
visibility modeling method that is
inconsistent with the BART Guidelines,
its own EPA-approved protocol, and the
purpose of the Regional Haze Rule, we
do not consider North Dakota’s analysis
of visibility improvement for NOX
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BART for the three units to be
reasonable.33 We propose to find that
North Dakota’s analysis is inconsistent
with the statutory and regulatory
requirement that North Dakota consider
‘‘the degree of improvement in visibility
which may reasonably be anticipated to
result from the use of such technology.’’
Thus, the BART analyses for these units
do not meet the requirements of the
regional haze regulation, and we are
proposing to disapprove those analyses
and the resultant BART
determinations.34
We are proposing a FIP for NOX BART
for these units to fill the gap left by our
proposed disapproval. We discuss our
proposed FIP in section V.G, below.
2. Coal Creek Station Units 1 and 2
a. Coal Creek Station Units 1 and 2—
State Analysis
Each unit is already equipped with
LNB and SOFA. The State identified the
following NOX control options as having
potential application to the Coal Creek
Station boilers: FGR, high-dust SCR,
ECO, Pahlman ProcessTM, LDSCR,
TESCR, LTO, SNCR, and modified and
additional SOFA and LNB. The State
eliminated the following options as
technically infeasible: FGR, ECO, and
the Pahlman ProcessTM. The State
deemed the incremental cost of LTO,
SCR, and SNCR to be excessive. The
State noted SNCR would be cost
effective except for the loss of fly ash
sales due to likely NH3 contamination.
58603
The loss of fly ash sales would add to
the cost of SNCR and SCR for Coal
Creek Station, which has an established
market for fly ash to be used in concrete.
Four testimonial letters from North
Dakota fly ash marketers and end-users
(included in Appendix C.2 of the SIP)
attest to problematic NH3 concentrations
in fly ash due to SCR and SNCR control
technology. The State also noted that
loss of fly ash sales would cause the
undesirable non-air quality
environmental impact of additional
waste destined for landfill disposal. A
summary of the State’s NOX BART
analysis, and the modeling results
provided by both the source and the
State, are provided in Table 31 for each
unit.
TABLE 31—SUMMARY OF COAL CREEK NOX BART ANALYSIS FOR UNIT 1 AND UNIT 2 BOILERS
Visibility impacts 2 3
Control option
Control
efficiency
(%)
LTO ........................
LDSCR ...................
SNCR .....................
SOFA + LNB Option 1 1 ................
Emission rate
(lb/MMBtu)
Emissions
reduction
(tons/yr)
Annualized cost
(MM$)
90
80
50
0.022
0.043
0.108
4,821
4,286
2,678
58.07
56.15
22.9
30
0.15
1,607
Cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
66.0
Visibility
benefit
(delta dv)
Fewer days
> 0.5 dv
(days)
12,045
13,101
8,551
1.853
1.760
1.507
64
62
50
411
1.419
49
1 The
State and company also reviewed a less desirable Option 2 which was the same control technology with a lower control efficiency of
21%.
2 The visibility modeling that Great River Energy performed for Coal Creek Units 1 and 2 included SO control in addition to the noted NO
2
X
control. The modeling results shown above reflect the chosen SO2 BART control, scrubber modifications, in addition to the noted NOX control option. Thus, these values do not reflect the distinct visibility benefit from the NOX control options but do provide the incremental benefit between
the options.
3 The visibility improvement described in this table represents the change in the maximum 98th percentile impact over the modeled 3-year meteorological period (2001–2003) at the highest impacted Class I area, Theodore Roosevelt. Similarly, the number of days above 0.5 deciviews is
the total for the modeled 3-year meteorological period at Theodore Roosevelt.
b. EPA’s Evaluation of the State’s NOX
BART Review for Coal Creek Units 1
and 2
During review of North Dakota’s NOX
BART analyses for Coal Creek Station,
we identified a possible discrepancy
with Great River Energy’s and the
State’s costs associated with lost fly ash
sales. Upon our request, subsequent to
submittal of the SIP, North Dakota
obtained additional supporting
information from Great River Energy for
lost fly ash revenue and for the potential
cost of fly ash NH3 mitigation. The
supporting information included an
updated cost analysis from Great River
Energy noting that the correct sales
price for fly ash was $5 per ton instead
of $36 per ton. Great River Energy
indicated the $36 per ton price was a
typographical error. The updated
analysis included corrected fly ash
revenue data and NH3 mitigation costs.
That analysis, dated June 16, 2011,
indicated that the average cost
effectiveness for SNCR at Coal Creek
Station Units 1 and 2 would be $2,318
per ton of NOX emissions reductions
rather than the original estimate of
$8,551 per ton. While Great River
Energy subsequently revised this value
to $3,198 per ton based on concerns
regarding the technical feasibility of
mitigating the NH3 in North Dakota
lignite fly ash,35 either of these values
is substantially less than the values
North Dakota relied on to make its NOX
BART determination for Coal Creek
Station Units 1 and 2. They are also
within the cost effectiveness range that
North Dakota found reasonable for
BART controls at other BART sources
and that we and other states have found
reasonable. Great River Energy’s error
33 In fact, by adopting a different set of rules for
modeling the visibility benefits of SCR at MRYS
and LOS, it appears that North Dakota singled these
units out for preferential treatment without a valid
justification.
34 In addition to the cost and visibility issues, we
disagree with North Dakota that separate NOX limits
during startup at Milton R. Young Station Units 1
and 2 are necessary or represent BART. The SIP
does not demonstrate that such special treatment is
appropriate or needed. We find that a 30-day rolling
average limit is adequate to address emissions
variations that may result from startup at a facility
that is properly managing its operations. We also
note that no other source sought or was granted a
separate limit during startup. This forms another
basis for our proposed disapproval of the NOX
BART limits for Milton R. Young Station Units 1
and 2.
35 See July 15, 2011 letter from Great River Energy
to Terry O’Clair.
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North Dakota determined BART to be
modified and additional SOFA plus
LNB with emission limits of 0.15 lb/
MMBtu on an annual average basis and
0.17 lb/MMBtu on a 30-day rolling
average basis. North Dakota provided
that Unit 1 and Unit 2 emissions may be
averaged provided the average does not
exceed the limit. The estimated cost of
modified and additional SOFA plus
LNB was $411 per ton of NOX removed,
and the capital and annualized costs
were estimated to be $5,260,000 and
$660,000 per year, respectively.
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also affected the cost effectiveness
values for SCR.
Because of the significant error
underlying the State’s cost analysis, we
are proposing to disapprove the State’s
NOX BART determination for Coal
Creek Station Units 1 and 2 and are
proposing a FIP to establish NOX BART
limits for these units.
State determined SNCR was technically
feasible for North Dakota EGUs. We
agree with the State that SNCR is
technically feasible. The State also
determined in Section 7 of the SIP that
two forms of SCR are technically
feasible for use on North Dakota EGUs
burning lignite coal, stating the
following:
E. Federal Implementation Plan To
Address NOX BART for Milton R. Young
Station Units 1 and 2, and Leland Olds
Station Unit 2
The seven BART sources determined SCR
is not technically feasible for installation on
boilers in North Dakota burning lignite coal.
The Department agrees that high dust SCR is
not technically feasible; however, LDSCR and
TESCR are considered technically feasible.
1. Introduction
As noted above, North Dakota
selected SNCR + ASOFA as NOX BART
for Milton R. Young Station Units 1 and
2 and Leland Olds Station Unit 2, but
in doing so, inappropriately eliminated
SCR + ASOFA as potential BART. Thus,
in our proposed FIP, we are reevaluating these two technologies and
associated emission limits as potential
BART. Our analysis follows our BART
Guidelines for both facilities. For Milton
R. Young Station 1 and 2, the BART
Guidelines are mandatory. Milton R.
Young Station has a capacity of 794
megawatts.36 For Leland Olds Station 2,
the guidelines are not mandatory, but
we are following them because they
provide a reasonable and consistent
approach for determining BART.
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2. BART Analysis for Milton R. Young
Station 1
Step 1: Identify All Available
Technologies.
Our analysis only considers SNCR +
ASOFA and SCR + ASOFA. Because the
State selected SNCR +ASOFA as BART,
and our concern is that the State did not
properly evaluate SCR as BART, there is
no need to consider lower-performing
technologies.
Step 2: Eliminate Technically
Infeasible Options.
We are not eliminating either SNCR or
SCR as being technically infeasible.
Both technologies have been widely
employed to control NOX emissions
from coal-fired power plants.37 38 39 The
36 Letter from John T. Graves, Environmental
Superintendent, Minnkota Power Cooperative, Inc.
to Dana Mount, Director, Division of Environmental
Engineering, North Dakota Department of Health,
Re: Permit to Operate No. F76009, Permit Revisions,
November 20, 1995.
37 Institute of Clean Air Companies (ICAC) White
Paper, Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR) Controls
of NOX Emissions from Fossil Fuel-Fired Electric
Power Plants, May 2009, pp. 7–8.
38 Control Technologies to Reduce Conventional
and Hazardous Air Pollutants from Coal-Fired
Power Plants Northeast States for Coordinated Air
Use Management (NESCAUM), March 31, 2011, p.
16.
39 ICAC White Paper, Selective Non-Catalytic
Reduction (SNCR) for Controlling NOX Emissions,
February 2008, pp. 6–7.
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The State based its conclusion on an
analysis contained in Appendix B.5 that
the State submitted with its Regional
Haze SIP.
According to our BART Guidelines, a
demonstration of technical infeasibility
must be documented and must show,
‘‘based on physical, chemical, or
engineering principles, why technical
difficulties would preclude the
successful use of the control option on
the emissions unit under review.’’ 40
CFR part 51, appendix Y, section IV.D,
Step 2. Only then may a control
technology be eliminated from further
consideration in the BART analysis. Id.
The BART Guidelines go on to state that
a control technology is technically
feasible if it is ‘‘available’’ and
‘‘applicable.’’
A technology is considered available
if the source owner may obtain it
through commercial channels, or it is
otherwise available in the common
sense meaning of the word. Id. SCR
technology has been available through
commercial channels for many years,
and it could be purchased for use at
Milton R. Young Station Units 1 and 2.
SCR technology is not in the ‘‘pilot scale
testing stages of development’’ for use at
coal-fired power plants, and there is no
need for Minnkota ‘‘to conduct
extended trials to learn how to apply
[the] technology on a totally new and
dissimilar source type.’’ Id.
A technology is considered applicable
if it can reasonably be installed and
operated on the source type under
consideration. EPA must exercise its
technical judgment in making this
determination. Id. The Guidelines state
that a commercially available control
option will be presumed applicable if it
has been used on the same or a similar
source type. Given that SCR has been
deployed at hundreds 40 of EGUs,
burning a wide variety of coals, it is
presumed that it is applicable to the
coal-fired EGUs at Milton R. Young
Station.
40 ICAC
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While Minnkota, the owner of Milton
R. Young Station, and more recently the
State of North Dakota,41 have asserted
that SCR technology is not technically
feasible, we cannot reasonably conclude
that SCR is not available or applicable
to Milton R. Young Station. In EPA’s
view, the concerns raised by Minnkota
and the State relate only to the specific
length of catalyst life at Milton R. Young
Station, not to the commercial
availability of SCR, or the ability of SCR
to reduce NOX emissions from the flue
gas stream, at Milton R. Young Station
Units 1 and 2. Their primary argument
is that the fuel used at Milton R. Young
Station, and in turn the flue gas stream,
contain relatively high concentrations of
certain constituents (primarily sodium
and potassium) that will deactivate the
catalyst relatively rapidly and require
that the catalyst be replaced too often.
We consider this to be a cost issue, not
a matter of technical feasibility. The
BART Guidelines state, ‘‘Where the
resolution of technical difficulties is
merely a matter of increased cost, you
should consider the technology to be
technically feasible.’’ 40 CFR part 51,
appendix Y, section IV.D, step 2. As
noted above, SCR has a long and proven
history of successfully reducing NOX
emissions from coal-fired electric steam
generating units.
We also note that in the BACT
context, the State gives great weight to
the fact that two catalyst vendors
queried by Minnkota indicated an
unwillingness to provide typical
catalyst life guarantees without first
performing catalyst deactivation field
41 In the context of a recent BACT determination
for MRYS, the State reversed its prior position and
decided in that context that SCR is technically
infeasible on cyclone boilers burning North Dakota
lignite coal. On July 28, 2011, the State submitted
to EPA as part of Amendment No. 1 to the regional
haze SIP the entire administrative record for its
BACT determination for MRYS. The administrative
record consists of at least 259 documents
comprising over 850 megabytes of information. EPA
was unable to consider this administrative record/
SIP revision in this proposed action; the time
available under a relevant consent decree deadline
did not allow EPA to. Note that under the CAA,
EPA is not required to act on a SIP submittal until
12 months after it is determined to be or deemed
complete. EPA has individually considered some of
the documents included in the State’s BACT
administrative record and has included those
documents in the docket for this proposed action.
We note that under the dispute resolution
provisions of a separate consent decree between
EPA, the State of North Dakota, Minnkota Power
Cooperative, Inc., and Square Butte Electric
Cooperative, (Civil Action No. 1:06–CV–034), EPA
has filed a petition with the United States District
Court for the District of North Dakota disputing the
State’s PSD BACT determination and its finding in
that context that SCR is technically infeasible at
MRYS. Our proposed action here pertains to BART,
not BACT, is governed by CAA provisions and
regulations specific to regional haze and BART, and
is not governed by such consent decree.
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tests on the coal Minnkota burns at
Milton R. Young Station. However, as
noted in our BART Guidelines, ‘‘lack of
a vendor guarantee by itself does not
present sufficient justification that a
control option or an emissions limit is
technically infeasible.’’ 40 CFR part 51,
appendix Y, section IV.D, step 2. Here,
the vendor guarantee for a specific
catalyst life, or lack thereof, is not
relevant to the availability of SCR, or its
ability to remove NOX from the gas
stream at Milton R. Young Station, but
only to the willingness of two catalyst
companies to provide a specific catalyst
life guarantee without more
information. Neither vendor contacted
by Minnkota indicated it would not
provide SCR catalyst absent any prior
field testing. One of the two catalyst
vendors contacted by Minnkota is
willing to provide full performance
guarantees on critical operating
parameters such as NOX reduction, NH3
slip, SO2 to sulfur trioxide (SO3)
conversion, and pressure drop. This is
strong evidence that at least one of the
two catalyst vendors contacted by
Minnkota believes NOX can be
successfully controlled with SCR at
Milton R. Young Station and that SCR
is commercially available. In addition,
both catalyst vendors contacted by
Minnkota have stated they believe a
catalyst life guarantee can be offered
once the field testing data is collected.
The fact that some catalyst vendors have
not yet offered a catalyst life guarantee
without field testing of deactivation
rates is not evidence that SCR is not
available or is technically infeasible at
Milton R. Young Station. Given the
record before us, the lack of a vendor
guarantee for a specific catalyst life is
not sufficient to overcome the
presumption that this commercially
available technology is applicable to
coal-fired power plants, including
Milton R. Young Station.
Additional support for our finding
that SCR is not technically infeasible is
contained in Appendix B.5 of the State’s
SIP. There, the State concluded that
low-dust and tail-end SCR were
technically feasible. A LDSCR would be
located after the electrostatic
precipitator (ESP), which removes
particulates. Alternatively, a TESCR
would be located after both the ESP and
SO2 scrubber. Testing has shown that
these control devices would remove a
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high percentage of the ash and catalyst
poisons before they would reach the
SCR, thereby negating the higher
concentrations of catalyst poisons in
North Dakota lignite coal compared to
other applications of high-dust SCR at
coal-fired utility boilers.
North Dakota reviewed PM stack tests
at Milton R. Young Station Unit 2
(August 2007 and May 2008) that
indicated an average sodium and
potassium removal efficiency of greater
than 99% by the ESP and wet scrubber,
with resulting emission rates at 0.78
milligrams sodium sulfate and 0.20
milligrams potassium sulfate per normal
cubic meter. See Appendix B.5 to the
SIP submittal. The State found that
these loadings of sodium and potassium
aerosols, which would enter a LDSCR or
TESCR at Milton R. Young Station, were
significantly lower than the
concentrations present in the gas
streams of boilers burning peat and
wood that were the subject of
experimental and pilot scale testing of
SCR catalyst life. The State carefully
evaluated the results of such testing and
concluded that a reasonable catalyst life
could be achieved at Milton R. Young
Station.42 Id. Appendix B.5 also
indicates that North Dakota
independently consulted three vendors
who opined to the State that SCR would
be technically feasible at Milton R.
Young Station.43 Finally, the State
found that existing biomass boilers,
with flue gas characteristics that
approximate those from North Dakota
42 The State concluded that an SCR system would
require a catalyst life of at least 10,000 hours to be
considered an applicable technology and
technically feasible. We do not agree with this
arbitrarily-selected bright-line threshold. Catalyst
life relates to how often the catalyst needs to be
replaced to maintain the ability of the SCR to
successfully reduce NOX emissions. Thus, catalyst
life is a component of the cost analysis for SCR.
43 ‘‘The Department [North Dakota] contacted
three of the vendors, Ceram Environmental, Haldor
Topsoe and Babcock Power. The companies
generally confirmed the information in the emails
to Mr. Hartenstein. Babcock Power indicated that
they had no worries about getting 10,000 hours of
catalyst life at the M.R. Young Station. However,
they recommended ‘coupon’ testing prior to design
of the SCR. Ceram was convinced it was technically
feasible; however, their representative did
acknowledge that if the sodium and potassium
aerosols are making it through the ESP and wet
scrubber, catalyst deactivation could be a problem.
Haldor Topsoe indicated that the catalyst
deactivation at M.R. Young would be manageable
if the catalyst is kept dry during outages.’’ SIP
Appendix B.5.
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58605
lignite, have used TESCR successfully.
Id.
Also, Microbeam Technologies, Inc.
(Microbeam) performed PM emissions
testing for Milton R. Young Station Unit
2 in March of 2009. The Microbeam
results demonstrate the high removal
efficiency of PM and the primary
catalyst poisons of interest (sodium and
potassium) by the ESP and scrubber at
Milton R. Young Station. The results
reflected a PM removal efficiency of
99.76%, and that the amount of sodium
oxide plus potassium oxide was
approximately 50–90 times greater
entering the ESP than exiting the ESP.
The results were similar for sodium
oxide plus potassium oxide entering the
ESP versus exiting the wet scrubber.
This means the loading of sodium oxide
plus potassium oxide on a high-dust
SCR at Milton R. Young Station would
be approximately 50–90 times higher
than on a LDSCR or TESCR. Put another
way, the Microbeam results showed that
the ESP removes at least 98% of the
catalyst poisons, which would be before
the flue gas reaches a LDSCR or TESCR.
Thus, any differences in fuel quality
(especially concentrations of catalyst
poisons in the ash) of North Dakota
lignite compared to other types of coal
in the United States would be offset at
the control percentages described
because Milton R. Young Station would
employ a LDSCR or TESCR, whereas the
vast majority of SCR installations in the
United States are configured as highdust SCRs.
Step 3: Evaluate Control Effectiveness
of Remaining Control Technology.
For the purposes of our SNCR +
ASOFA cost analysis, we used a control
efficiency of 58% and an emission rate
of 0.355 lb/MMBtu, the same control
efficiency that North Dakota used. For
our TESCR + ASOFA cost analysis we
used the control efficiency of 93.8% that
Minnkota used in its BART analysis and
an emission rate of 0.05 lb/MMBtu,
instead of North Dakota’s 90% control
efficiency and 0.085 lb/MMBtu
emission rate. We find that SCR
technology, by itself, can achieve 90%
control efficiency and that the overall
NOX reduction would be even greater
(93.8%) with the use of combustion
controls in combination with SCR. A
summary of emissions projections for
the two control options is provided in
Table 32.
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TABLE 32—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART ANALYSIS CONTROL TECHNOLOGIES FOR MILTON R. YOUNG STATION UNIT 1
BOILER
Control efficiency
(%)
Control option
TESCR + ASOFA ............................................................................
SNCR + ASOFA ..............................................................................
No Controls (Baseline) ....................................................................
1 North
Emission rate
(lb/MMBtu)
93.8
58
0
Emissions
(tons/yr)
0.053
0.355
0.849
627
3,784
1 10,037
Emissions
reduction
(tons/yr)
9,410
5,248
............................
Dakota used a baseline of 9,032 tons/yr. We changed this to reflect maximum heat input and the utilization rate reported by Minnkota.
Step 4: Evaluate Impacts and
Document Results.
Factor 1: Costs of compliance.
SNCR + ASOFA.
We are not relying on North Dakota’s
costs for SNCR. Though the North
Dakota costs derived by Burns &
McDonnell are generally consistent with
the Control Cost Manual, at least one
cost, related to lost revenue due to
outage, is not. The North Dakota costs
are also based on lower reagent costs
which we acknowledge do fluctuate. To
ensure a fair comparison between the
two competing technologies, we have
re-worked the costs for SNCR. We relied
on Minnkota’s Burns & McDonnell
estimate for total capital equipment
costs for SNCR. However, we have then
generally used factors and assumptions
provided by the Control Cost Manual for
the remainder of the SNCR analysis. In
the absence of a Control Cost Manual
method for combustion controls, we
have used all the costs provided by
North Dakota for ASOFA. This approach
is similar to the one we used to analyze
the costs for SCR at Milton R. Young
Station Unit 1, which enables us to
compare the costs of the two
technologies on a consistent basis. This
was not an exhaustive effort, but it did
result in a downward adjustment in the
cost estimate for SNCR. We deem the
analysis adequate for comparing the cost
effectiveness values of the two top
control options—SCR and SNCR.
Regarding specific elements in our
cost analysis, we used $475 per ton to
estimate urea costs and did not allow for
lost revenue due to outage (consistent
with Control Cost Manual). To estimate
the average cost effectiveness (dollars
per ton of emissions reductions), we
divided the total annual cost by the
estimated NOX emissions reductions.
We summarize our costs from our SNCR
cost analysis in Tables 33, 34, and 35.
TABLE 33—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART CAPITAL COST ANALYSIS FOR SNCR ON MILTON R. YOUNG STATION UNIT 1
BOILER
Description
Cost factor
Capital Investment ASOFA, A .........................................................................................................................
Capital Investment SNCR, B ...........................................................................................................................
Total Capital Investment, TCI (2009$) ............................................................................................................
............................
............................
A+B
Cost ($)
4,277,000
4,007,000
8,284,000
TABLE 34—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART ANNUAL ANALYSIS FOR SNCR ON MILTON R. YOUNG STATION UNIT 1 BOILER
Description
Cost factor
Cost ($)
Annual Maintenance ..................................................................................................
Reagent .....................................................................................................................
Electricity ...................................................................................................................
Water .........................................................................................................................
Increased Coal ..........................................................................................................
Increased Ash ............................................................................................................
.015 × TCI ...............................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
60,108
949,747
21,529
958
36,845
2,639
Total Direct Annual Cost (TDAC) .......................................................................
Indirect Annual Cost 1 (IDAC) ....................................................................................
Sum of Various Items Listed Above .......
CRF × TCI ...............................................
1,071,827
378,253
Total Annual Cost SNCR (TACS) ......................................................................
TDAC + IDAC ..........................................
1,450,081
Total Annual Cost ASOFA (TACA) ....................................................................
North Dakota Appendix B.4 ....................
2,520,719
Total Annual Cost SNCR+ASOFA .....................................................................
TACS + TACA .........................................
3,970,799
1 Capital
Recovery Factor (CRF) is 0.0944 and is based on a 7% interest rate and 20 year equipment life. Office of Management and Budget,
Circular A–4, Regulatory Analysis, https://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/circulars_a004_a-4/.
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TABLE 35—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART COSTS FOR SNCR ON MILTON R. YOUNG STATION UNIT 1 BOILER
Control option
Total installed
capital cost
(MM$)
Total annual
cost
(MM$)
Emissions
reductions
(tons/yr)
Average cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
SNCR + ASOFA ............................................................................................
8.284
3.971
5,777
687
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SCR + ASOFA.
Our contractor, ERG, prepared a cost
analysis for SCR for Milton R. Young
Station Units 1 and 2. As explained
below, ERG started with some of the
cost information in the Burns &
McDonnell (Minnkota’s contractor)
BACT cost analyses provided in the
NOX BACT Analysis Study,
Supplemental Reports, for Units 1 and
2 dated February 2010 and November
2009, respectively. See SIP Appendix
C.4.
ERG used Burns & McDonnell’s
original SCR equipment costs and other
costs that were not independently
verified by EPA (auxiliaries/balance of
plant, construction costs, natural gas
pipeline, reagent costs, natural gas
costs), but then calculated total capital
costs and annual costs for SCR using the
applicable Control Cost Manual
methodology and factors and certain
information supplied by EPA. While
EPA could not independently verify
many of the Burns & McDonnellestimated costs, and believes they may
overestimate actual costs, the result is a
cost estimate that should represent the
upper end of likely costs for these items.
EPA provided ERG with information
regarding catalyst volume, catalyst cost,
catalyst replacement frequency, and
estimated additional outage time for
replacing spent catalyst. EPA provided
a reasonable value for catalyst cost of
$6,000 per cubic meter based on vendor
data. This cost could be significantly
reduced if regenerated catalyst were
used. Contingencies were calculated
using the Control Cost Manual
assumptions. The maintenance costs
were adjusted using the cost factor in
the Control Cost Manual, and annual
costs were not ‘‘levelized.’’ 44
To be conservative, ERG calculated
four different catalyst replacement
scenarios. Scenarios 1 through 3 assume
catalyst replacement of one layer per
year, one layer every two years, and one
layer every three years. ERG’s Scenarios
1 through 3 do not include additional
outage time that Minnkota claimed
would be necessary for boiler
maintenance for solidified slag removal
specifically attributable to the
installation of ASOFA. For Scenario 3,
which we find most reasonable for
reasons further described below, there
would be no additional unit outage time
(and associated electricity costs) for
catalyst replacement, because all of this
work could be completed during a
regularly scheduled major unit outage
event. Despite our disagreement about
44 As discussed in section V.D., above, the Control
Cost Manual does not provide for ‘‘levelization’’ of
annual costs.
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the extent of additional outage time due
to ASOFA, we had ERG run Scenario 4
as a ‘‘worst-case’’ scenario that assumes
the accuracy of Burns & McDonnell’s
estimate of additional outage time
needed for solidified slag removal due
to the installation of ASOFA.45 For all
scenarios, ERG modified the amount of
time required for each catalyst layer
replacement from Burns & McDonnell’s
assumptions, recalculated the unit
availability using the revised downtime,
and recalculated electricity costs and
corresponding NOX emissions using the
new availability.
We find that Scenario 3 is the most
reasonable based on the following
considerations regarding catalyst life:
• An SCR catalyst must be changed
out periodically. The catalyst lifetime is
a function of catalyst activity and NH3
slip. As catalyst activity decreases over
time, NH3 slip increases until it reaches
the design limit, at which point new
catalyst is added. One of the two
catalyst vendors queried by Minnkota
prepared a budgetary proposal that
estimated a catalyst exchange cycle for
Milton R. Young Station based on the
catalyst design presented in the
proposal. This catalyst design was
developed by the catalyst vendor based
on the detailed boiler and fuel
specifications supplied by Minnkota.
The catalyst design was also intended to
reflect the three year planned outage
schedule at Milton R. Young Station
specified by Minnkota. In the budgetary
proposal, the catalyst design includes an
initial fill of two catalyst layers with one
empty spare layer. The catalyst vendor
estimated the two initial catalyst layers
would operate for 24,000 hours, at
which time a third layer of catalyst (in
the spare layer) would be added. The
vendor estimated that the first layer of
catalyst would need replacement at
about 88,000 hours, or over 10 years of
SCR operation. The second catalyst
layer replacement would not be needed
until approximately 125,000 hours or
approximately 15 years of SCR
operation. Thus, EPA’s assumption of
replacing a layer of catalyst every three
years is conservative and a reasonable
assumption. Based on the catalyst
vendor’s expected catalyst exchange
45 Minnkota asserts there is a potential reduction
in reliability and availability of a lignite-fired
cyclone boiler as a result of installing and operating
a separated overfire air system due to challenges in
maintaining adequate slag layer development and
flow within the cyclone barrels or furnace bottom
compared with non air-staged combustion.
Minnkota claims the need for forced or extended
scheduled outages to remove the solidified slag.
EPA does not agree that these additional outage
times for ASOFA are legitimate. For further detail
regarding this issue, please refer to our Technical
Support Document.
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cycles, the three year replacement
assumption would overestimate annual
costs once the third layer of catalyst is
added after the third year of operation.
At that point, the catalyst vendor
estimates less frequent need for catalyst
replacement. While the other catalyst
vendor queried by Minnkota estimates
an approximately two year catalyst
replacement cycle, there is no reason to
give more deference to that proposal.
• SCR catalyst is typically specified
to last 16,000 to 24,000 hours for hotside (or high dust) SCRs (after the
boiler), the worst-case location for
catalyst life. In the tail-end position,
after ash and catalyst poisons have been
significantly reduced by pollution
control devices, SCR catalyst typically
lasts 50,000 to over 100,000 hours.46
• We have assumed the SCR at Milton
R. Young Station 1 would be located at
the tail end, after the ESP and new wet
scrubber. As noted, these control
devices remove the majority of the ash
and catalyst poisons. Flue gas
composition data collected at Milton R.
Young Station 2, which has an
inefficient, older wet scrubber, proves
that the amount of submicron alkali
aerosols is so small that catalyst
deactivation would not occur rapidly.47
Further, any remaining soluble alkaline
substances would not poison the
catalyst at TESCR operating
temperatures. Significant deactivation
only occurs if condensed moisture is
present at the catalyst surface, i.e., when
the catalyst is being cooled down to
below the water dew point. Unit
startups and shutdowns do not occur
frequently at Milton R. Young Station 1.
Furthermore, condensation on the
catalyst can be prevented by bypassing
or buttoning up the SCR reactor during
forced outages of a few days.48
46 See, for example, vendor e-mails in Appendix
D of the North Dakota Report: Selective Catalytic
Reduction (SCR) Technical Feasibility for M.R.
Young Station; McIlvaine, Next Generation SCR
Choices—High-Dust, Low-Dust and Tail-End, FGD
& DeNOx Newsletter, no. 369, January 2009; Hans
Hartenstein, Steag’s Long-Term SCR Catalyst
Operating Experience and Cost, EPRI SCR
Workshop, 2005.
47 1/8/10 EPA Comments, enclosure 2, pp. 24–25
(‘‘As discussed extensively in the Minnkota BACT
comments, the actual flue gas composition analysis
data measured downstream of the wet FGD at
MRYS [Milton R. Young Station] proves that the
amount of submicron alkalie aerosols is so small
that catalyst deactivation does not occur rapidly
and a relatively long catalyst life can reasonably
expected (sic) compared to most HDSCR [high dust
SCR] installations.’’)
48 5/6/08 Cochran (CERAM) E-mail, p. 2 (As to
high dust SCR:, a worst case: ‘‘Due to the high
sodium and iron concentrations it is recommended
that a full SCR bypass system be installed. During
lay-up periods the catalyst would need to remain
warm and dry (above condensing conditions), for
instance with an air drying or dehumidification
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Regardless, catalyst vendors have ample
experience preventing moisture
condensation in SCR catalysts.49 In
other words, available evidence suggests
that catalyst life would be relatively
long, consistent with that experienced at
plants burning other types of coal and
fuel.
ERG derived the annual cost of
$2,161,000 (2009 dollars) for
installation, operation, and maintenance
of ASOFA for Unit 1 from tables 4–6–
SF of Minnkota’s February 2010
Supplemental BACT Analysis for
Milton R. Young Station. As we noted
above relative to the ASOFA slag issue
and associated costs due to additional
unit outage time assumed by Minnkota
in calculating annual operating costs,
EPA does not concur that this cost is
entirely representative, but the ERG
analysis relied on this cost due to time
constraints. As with the annual costs for
SCR, ERG did not ‘‘levelize’’ these
annual costs for SNCR. ERG added the
annual costs for ASOFA to the annual
costs for SCR to arrive at a total cost for
the combined controls.
To estimate the average cost
effectiveness (dollars per ton of
emissions reductions), ERG divided the
total annual cost by the estimated NOX
emissions reductions.
We summarize our costs from the ERG
cost analysis in Tables 36, 37 and 38.
See our Technical Support Document
for the full analyses, in particular, our
letter to Mr. Terry O’Clair, North Dakota
Department of Health, dated May 10,
2010, and attached spreadsheet.
TABLE 36—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART CAPITAL COST ANALYSIS FOR TESCR ON MILTON R. YOUNG STATION UNIT 1
BOILER
Cost
(MM$)
Description
Control cost manual factor or calculation
Total Direct Capital Costs, A .....................................................................................
Indirect Installation Costs
General Facilities ................................................................................................
Engineering and Home Office Fees ...................................................................
Process Contingencies .......................................................................................
Total Indirect Installation Costs, B ............................................................................
Project Contingency, C ......................................................................................
Total Plant Cost, D ....................................................................................................
Preproduction Cost, G ........................................................................................
Inventory Capital (Reagent), H ..........................................................................
Natural Gas Pipeline ..........................................................................................
..................................................................
86.32
0.05 × A ...................................................
0.10 × A ...................................................
0.05 × A ...................................................
0.20 × A ...................................................
0.15 × (A + B) ..........................................
A + B + C ................................................
0.02 × D ...................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
4.32
8.63
4.32
17.26
15.54
119.12
2.41
0.087
1.50
Total Capital Investment, TCI = D + G + H .......................................................
..................................................................
123.13
TABLE 37—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART ANNUAL COSTS FOR TESCR SCENARIO 3 1 ON MILTON R. YOUNG STATION
UNIT 1 BOILER
Cost
(MM$) 2
Description
Cost factor
Annual Maintenance ..................................................................................................
Reagent .....................................................................................................................
Catalyst ......................................................................................................................
Electricity ...................................................................................................................
Natural Gas for Flue Gas Reheating and Urea to Ammonia Conversion ................
.015 × TCI ...............................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
1.809
2.716
0.250
2.711
3.756
Total Direct Annual Cost (TDAC) .......................................................................
Indirect Annual Cost 3 (IDAC) .............................................................................
Annual ASOFA Cost (AAC) ...............................................................................
Sum of Various Items Listed Above .......
CRF × TCI ...............................................
..................................................................
11.281
10.735
2.161
Total Annual Cost (TAC) ....................................................................................
TDAC + IDAC + AAC ..............................
24.176
1 See
Table 38 for an explanation of Scenarios.
are in 2009 dollars.
3 Capital Recovery Factor (CRF) is 0.0872 and is based on a 6% interest rate and 20 year equipment life. From Minnkota NO BACT Analysis
X
Study, Milton R. Young Station Unit 1, Table C.1–1, p. C1–4, October 2006 (provided in BART Determination Study for Milton R. Young Station
Unit 1 and 2, October 2006, SIP Appendix C.4).
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
2 Costs
system. This may necessitate the use of a
dehumidifier and air lock system to access the
reactor.’’), in 5/8/08 Milton R. Young Additional
Information.
49 Minnkota Power Cooperative, Inc. and Square
Butte Electric Cooperative, Additional Information
and Discussion of Vendor Responses on SCR
Technical Feasibility, North Dakota’s NOx BACT
Determination for Milton R. Young Station Units 1
& 2, Appendix A, Vendor Emails, Email from John
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Cochran, CERAM Environmental, Inc., to Robert
Blakley, Re: Request for Lignite SCR Feasibility
Commercial and Technical Information, May 6,
2008 (‘‘Sodium is a catalyst poison. Concerns
reported by Dr. Benson regarding high sodium
content and fine fume are duly noted, but
inadequate evidence is presented that this could be
a fatal flaw to application of SCR considering the
flawed pitch and resultant pluggage of the catalyst
used during the Coyote Station testing [North
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Dakota lignite]. Sodium is not a poison to catalyst
at SCR operating temperatures. Significant
deactivation can occur if condensed moisture
transports sodium residing at the surface into the
catalyst pore structure during outage or layup.
CERAM has experience with high sodium
applications to substantiate this effect. Important to
avoid deactivation from sodium is the need to
protect the catalyst from going through a
condensation event.’’)
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TABLE 38—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART COSTS FOR VARIOUS TESCR SCENARIOS ON MILTON R. YOUNG STATION
UNIT 1 BOILER
Scenario
1
2
3
4
Emissions
reductions 1
(tons/year)
Description
...................................................................
...................................................................
...................................................................
...................................................................
1 layer replaced every year ........................
1 layer replaced every 2 years ...................
1 layer replaced every 3 years ...................
ASOFA downtime allowed ..........................
Total annual
cost
($MM)
9,418
9,414
9,410
9,424
Average cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
25.53
24.73
24.18
26.23
2,711
2,627
2,569
2,783
1 Reductions vary based on impacts to boiler availability in each scenario (i.e., lower boiler operating hours equate to lower emission
reductions).
Factor 2: Energy impacts.
The additional energy requirements
involved in installation and operation of
the evaluated controls are not
significant enough to warrant
eliminating either SNCR or SCR.
Factor 3: Non-air quality
environmental impacts.
The non-air quality environmental
impacts are not significant enough to
warrant eliminating either SNCR or
SCR.
Factor 4: Remaining useful life.
The remaining useful life of Milton R.
Young Station Unit 1 is at least 20 years.
Thus, this factor does not impact our
BART determination.
Factor 5: Evaluate visibility impacts.
Minnkota modeled the visibility
benefits for SNCR + ASOFA using
natural background per the BART
Guidelines. North Dakota then
performed additional modeling for the
SCR + ASOFA control option. Minnkota
and North Dakota both provided singlesource modeling results using natural
background conditions, complying with
the BART Guidelines. The SCR +
ASOFA option, when combined with
wet scrubbing for SO2, would result in
a significant improvement in visibility
at Theodore Roosevelt, estimated to be
3.476 deciviews and 114 fewer days
above 0.5 deciviews. This represents an
incremental visibility improvement of
1.400 deciviews and 43 fewer days
above 0.5 deciviews beyond that
achieved by wet scrubbing alone.
Moreover, when compared to SNCR +
ASOFA, it would result in an
incremental visibility improvement of
0.553 deciviews and 18 fewer days
above 0.5 deciviews. North Dakota
conducted supplemental cumulative
modeling for SCR at Milton R. Young
Station 1 that is discussed in more
detail in section V.D.1.e. For the reasons
described there, we are disregarding
North Dakota’s alternative modeling in
our analysis.
More information on our
interpretation of the State’s and source’s
modeling information is included in the
Technical Support Document.
Step 5: Select BART.
We propose to find that BART is SCR
+ ASOFA at Milton R. Young Station 1
with an emission limit of 0.07 lb/
MMBtu (30-day rolling average). Of the
five BART factors, cost and visibility
improvement were the critical ones in
our analysis of controls for this source.
We agree with the State that the other
three factors are not relevant to this
BART determination.
In our BART analysis for NOX at
Milton R. Young Station 1, we
considered SNCR + ASOFA and SCR +
ASOFA. The comparison between our
SNCR analysis and our TESCR Scenario
3 analysis is provided in Table 39.
TABLE 39—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART ANALYSIS COMPARISON OF TESCR AND SNCR OPTIONS FOR MILTON R.
YOUNG STATION UNIT 1 BOILER
Visibility impacts 1 2 4
Total installed
capital cost
(MM$)
Control option
TESCR + ASOFA (Scenario 3) .......
SNCR + ASOFA ..............................
Total annual cost
(MM$)
3 123.13
Average cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
24.18
3.97
8.28
Incremental
cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
2,569
687
4,855
..........................
Visibility
improvement
(delta
deciviews)
3.476
2.923
Fewer days >
0.5 dv
114
96
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1 Minnkota’s and the State’s modeling for both SNCR and SCR was based on lower emissions reductions (fewer tons removed) than we anticipate; thus, we anticipate slightly greater visibility benefits (delta deciview) than reflected in these values. The visibility benefit shown is for the
most impacted Class I area, Theodore Roosevelt.
2 Minnkota and the State modeled combined SO and NO controls. The results shown include SO at an emission rate reflective of wet scrub2
X
2
bing along with the noted NOX control option.
3 This installed capital cost estimate does not include the capital cost of ASOFA. The total annualized cost does include the capital cost of
ASOFA.
4 The visibility improvement described in this table represents the change in the maximum 98th percentile impact over the modeled 3-year meteorological period (2001–2003) at the highest impacted Class I area, Theodore Roosevelt. Similarly, the number of days above 0.5 deciviews is
the total for the modeled 3-year meteorological period at Theodore Roosevelt.
We have concluded that SNCR +
ASOFA and SCR + ASOFA are both cost
effective control technologies and that
both would provide substantial
visibility benefits. SNCR + ASOFA has
a cost effectiveness value of $687 per
ton. While SCR + ASOFA is more
expensive than SNCR + ASOFA, it has
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a cost effectiveness value of $2,569 per
ton of NOX emissions reduced. This is
well within the range of values we have
considered reasonable for BART and
that states other than North Dakota have
considered reasonable for BART. Even
with more frequent catalyst
replacement, SCR would still be cost
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effective even at the high end of the
range ($2,783 per ton) allowing for the
most frequent catalyst replacement of
one layer per year and allowing for the
questionable costs of lost power
generation revenue in TESCR Scenario
4. We also analyzed the SCR costs
assuming the same baseline emissions
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of 9,032 tons per year used by North
Dakota and determined that the highend cost effectiveness value, assuming
the most frequent catalyst replacement
frequency, would be about $3,115 per
ton of NOX reduced. All of these cost
effectiveness values are well within the
range of values that North Dakota
considered reasonable in several of its
NOX BART determinations, where
predicted visibility improvement was
considerably lower.
We have weighed costs against the
anticipated visibility impacts at Milton
R. Young Station 1, as modeled by
Minnkota and the State. Both sets of
controls would have a positive impact
on visibility. As compared to SNCR +
ASOFA, SCR + ASOFA would provide
an additional visibility benefit 0.553
deciviews and 18 fewer days above 0.5
deciviews at Theodore Roosevelt. We
consider these impacts to be substantial,
especially in light of the fact that neither
of these Class I areas is projected to
meet the uniform rate of progress. We
also note that the 0.553 deciview
improvement at Theodore Roosevelt is
greater than the improvement in
visibility that North Dakota found
reasonable to support other NOX BART
determinations in the SIP despite higher
cost effectiveness values for the sources
involved in these other BART
determinations. Given the incremental
visibility improvement associated with
SCR + ASOFA, the relatively low
incremental cost effectiveness between
the two control options ($4,855 per ton),
and the reasonable average cost
effectiveness values for SCR + ASOFA,
we propose that the NOX BART
emission limit for Milton R. Young
Station 1 should be based on SCR +
ASOFA.
In proposing a BART emission limit
of 0.07 lb/MMBtu, we adjusted the
annual design rate of 0.05 lb/MMBtu
upwards to allow for a sufficient margin
of compliance for a 30-day rolling
average limit that would apply at all
times, including startup, shutdown, and
malfunction.50 We are also proposing
monitoring, recordkeeping, and
reporting requirements in regulatory
text at the end of this proposal.
As we have noted previously, under
section 51.308(e)(1)(iv), ‘‘each source
subject to BART [is] required to install
and operate BART as expeditiously as
practicable, but in no event later than 5
years after approval of the
implementation plan revision.’’ Based
on the retrofit of other SCR installations
we have reviewed, we propose a
compliance deadline of five (5) years
from the date our final FIP becomes
effective.
3. BART analysis for Milton R. Young
Station 2
Step 1: Identify All Available
Technologies.
Our analysis only considers SNCR +
ASOFA and SCR + ASOFA. Because the
State selected SNCR + ASOFA as BART,
and our concern is that the State did not
properly evaluate SCR as BART, there is
no need to consider lower-performing
technologies.
Step 2: Eliminate Technically
Infeasible Options.
For the reasons described in our
BART analysis and determination for
Milton R. Young Station Unit 1, we are
not eliminating either SNCR or SCR as
being technically infeasible.
Step 3: Evaluate Control Effectiveness
of Remaining Control Technology.
For the purposes of our SNCR +
ASOFA cost analysis, we used a control
efficiency of 58% and an emission rate
of 0.355 lb/MMBtu, the same control
efficiency that North Dakota used. For
our TESCR + ASOFA cost analysis we
used the control efficiency of 93.8% that
Minnkota used in its BART analysis and
an emission rate of 0.05 lb/MMBtu,
instead of North Dakota’s 90% control
efficiency and 0.085 lb/MMBtu
emission rate. We find that SCR
technology, by itself, can achieve 90%
control efficiency and that the overall
NOX reduction would be even greater
(93.8%) with the use of combustion
controls in combination with SCR. A
summary of emissions projections for
the two control options is provided in
Table 40.
TABLE 40—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART ANALYSIS CONTROL TECHNOLOGIES FOR MILTON R. YOUNG STATION UNIT 2
BOILER
Control efficiency
(%)
Control option
TESCR + ASOFA ..................................................................................
SNCR + ASOFA ....................................................................................
No Controls (Baseline) ..........................................................................
1 North
Emission rate
(lb/MMBtu)
93.8
58
0
Emissions
(tons/yr)
0.049
0.330
0.786
984
6,630
1 15,792
Emissions
reduction
(tons/yr)
14,807
9,162
..........................
Dakota used a baseline of 15,507 tons/yr. We adjusted this to reflect maximum heat input and the utilization rate reported by Minnkota.
Milton R. Young Station Unit 1, we are
not relying on North Dakota’s costs for
SNCR. We have adjusted North Dakota’s
costs using the same methodology we
describe in our BART analysis and
Step 4: Evaluate Impacts and
Document Results.
Factor 1: Costs of compliance.
SNCR + ASOFA.
For the reasons described in our
BART analysis and determination for
determination for Milton R. Young
Station Unit 1.
We summarize our costs from our
SNCR cost analysis in Tables 41, 42, and
43.
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TABLE 41—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART CAPITAL COST ANALYSIS FOR SNCR ON MILTON R. YOUNG STATION UNIT 2
BOILER
Description
Cost factor
Capital Investment ASOFA, A .........................................................................................................................
Capital Investment SNCR, B ...........................................................................................................................
............................
............................
10,008,000
7,437,806
Total Capital Investment, TCI (2009$) .....................................................................................................
A+B
17,445,806
50 As discussed in the BART Guidelines, section
V (70 FR 39172, July 6, 2005), and Section 302(k)
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of the CAA, emissions limits such as BART are
required to be met on a continuous basis.
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58611
TABLE 42—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART ANNUAL ANALYSIS FOR SNCR ON MILTON R. YOUNG STATION UNIT 2 BOILER
Description
Cost factor
Cost ($)
Annual Maintenance ..................................................................................................
Reagent .....................................................................................................................
Electricity ...................................................................................................................
Water .........................................................................................................................
Increased Coal ..........................................................................................................
Increased Ash ............................................................................................................
.015 × TCI ...............................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
111,567
1,768,029
37,963
1,784
68,590
4,913
Total Direct Annual Cost (TDAC) .......................................................................
Sum of Various Items Listed Above .......
1,992,847
Indirect Annual Cost 1 (IDAC) ....................................................................................
CRF × TCI ...............................................
702,076
Total Annual Cost SNCR (TACS) ......................................................................
TDAC + IDAC ..........................................
2,694,923
Total Annual Cost ASOFA (TACA) ....................................................................
North Dakota Appendix B.4 ....................
3,749,684
Total Annual Cost SNCR + ASOFA ...................................................................
TACS + TACA .........................................
6,444,608
1 Capital Recovery Factor (CRF) is 0.0944 and is based on a 7% interest rate and 20 year equipment life. Office of Management and Budget,
Circular A–4, Regulatory Analysis, https://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/circulars_a004_a-4/.
TABLE 43—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART COSTS FOR SNCR ON MILTON R. YOUNG STATION UNIT 2 BOILER
Control option
Total installed
capital cost
(MM$)
Total annual
cost
(MM$)
Emissions
reductions
(tons/yr)
Average
cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
SNCR + ASOFA ............................................................................................
17.46
6.444
9,162
703
SCR + ASOFA.
Our contractor, ERG, prepared a cost
analysis for SCR for Milton R. Young
Station Units 1 and 2. For a description
of the approach/assumptions ERG used
in preparing its cost analysis, please see
our BART analysis and determination
for Milton R. Young Station Unit 1. For
further detail, please refer to our
Technical Support Document.
For the reasons discussed with
respect to Milton R. Young Station Unit
1 in section V.E.2., we find that
Scenario 3 with a 3-year catalyst life is
the most reasonable assumption for
Milton R. Young Station Unit 2.
ERG derived the annual cost of
$3,843,000 (2009 dollars) for
installation, operation, and maintenance
of ASOFA from tables 4–6SF of
Minnkota’s February 2010 Supplement
BACT Analysis for Milton R. Young
Station. As we noted above relative to
the ASOFA slag issue, EPA does not
concur that this cost is representative,
but the ERG analysis relied on this cost
due to time constraints. ERG added the
annual costs for ASOFA to the annual
costs for SCR to arrive at a total cost for
the combined controls.
We summarize our costs from the ERG
cost analysis in Tables 44 and 45. See
our Technical Support Document for the
full analyses, in particular, our letter to
Mr. Terry O’Clair, North Dakota
Department of Health, dated May 10,
2010, and attached spreadsheet.
TABLE 44—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART CAPITAL COST ANALYSIS FOR TESCR SCENARIO 3 1 ON MILTON R. YOUNG
STATION UNIT 2 BOILER
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Description
Control cost manual
factor or
calculation
Cost
(MM$)
Total Direct Capital Costs, A .....................................................................................
Indirect Installation Costs
General Facilities ................................................................................................
Engineering and Home Office Fees ...................................................................
Process Contingencies .......................................................................................
Total Indirect Installation Costs, B ............................................................................
Project Contingency, C ..............................................................................................
Total Plant Cost, D ....................................................................................................
Preproduction Cost, G ...............................................................................................
Inventory Capital (Reagent), H ..................................................................................
Natural Gas Pipeline .................................................................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
0.05 × A ...................................................
0.10 × A ...................................................
0.05 × A ...................................................
0.20 × A ...................................................
0.15 × (A + B) ..........................................
A + B + C ................................................
0.02 x D ...................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
151.97
............................
7.60
15.20
7.60
30.39
27.36
212.53
4.25
0.087
2.81
Total Capital Investment, TCI = D + G + H .......................................................
..................................................................
216.87
1 See
Table 46 for an explanation of Scenarios.
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TABLE 45—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART ANNUAL COSTS FOR TESCR SCENARIO 3 1 ON UNIT 2 BOILER
Cost ($) 2
Description
Cost factor
Annual Maintenance ..................................................................................................
Reagent .....................................................................................................................
Catalyst ......................................................................................................................
Electricity ...................................................................................................................
Natural Gas for Flue Gas Reheating and Urea to Ammonia Conversion ................
.015 × TCI ...............................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
3.25
0.396
0.425
3.96
6.00
Total Direct Annual Cost (TDAC) .......................................................................
Indirect Annual Cost 3 (IDAC) ....................................................................................
Annual ASOFA Cost (AAC) .......................................................................................
Sum of Various Items Listed Above .......
CRF × TCI ...............................................
..................................................................
17.82
18.91
3.84
Total Annual Cost (TAC) ....................................................................................
TDAC + IDAC + AAC ..............................
40.57
1 See
Table 46 for an explanation of Scenarios.
2 Costs are in 2009 dollars.
3 Capital Recovery Factor (CRF) is 0.0872 and is based on a 6% interest rate and 20 year equipment life. From Minnkota NO BACT Analysis
X
Study, Milton R. Young Station Unit 1, Table C.1–1, p. C1–4, October 2006 (provided in BART Determination Study for Milton R. Young Station
Units 1 and 2, October 2006, SIP Appendix C.4).
TABLE 46—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART COSTS FOR VARIOUS TESCR + ASOFA SCENARIOS ON MILTON R. YOUNG
STATION UNIT 2 BOILER
Scenario
1
2
3
4
................................................................
................................................................
................................................................
................................................................
1 Reductions
Emissions
reductions 1
(tons/year)
Description
1 layer replaced every year .....................
1 layer replaced every 2 years ................
1 layer replaced every 3 years ................
ASOFA downtime allowed .......................
Total annual
cost
($MM)
14,825
14,816
14,807
14,829
Average cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
43.63
41.89
40.57
42.89
2,943
2,827
2,740
2,892
vary based on impacts to boiler availability in each scenario (i.e., lower boiler operating hours equate to lower emissions).
Factor 2: Energy impacts.
The additional energy requirements
involved in installation and operation of
the evaluated controls are not
significant enough to warrant
eliminating either SNCR or SCR.
Factor 3: Non-air quality
environmental impacts.
The non-air quality environmental
impacts are not significant enough to
warrant eliminating either SNCR or
SCR.
Factor 4: Remaining useful life.
The remaining useful life of Milton R.
Young Station Unit 2 is at least 20 years.
Thus, this factor does not impact our
BART determination.
Factor 5: Evaluate visibility impacts.
Minnkota modeled the visibility
benefits for SNCR + ASOFA using
natural background per the BART
Guidelines, North Dakota then
performed additional modeling for the
SCR + ASOFA control option. Minnkota
and North Dakota both provided singlesource modeling results using natural
background conditions, complying with
the BART Guidelines. The SCR +
ASOFA option, when combined with
wet scrubbing for SO2, would result in
a significant improvement in visibility
at Theodore Roosevelt—estimated to be
3.945 deciviews and 110 fewer days
above 0.5 deciviews. This represents an
incremental visibility improvement of
2.318 deciviews and 58 fewer days
above 0.5 deciviews beyond that
achieved by wet scrubbing alone.
Moreover, when compared to SNCR +
ASOFA, it would result in an
incremental visibility improvement of
0.566 deciviews and 21 fewer days
above 0.5 deciviews. North Dakota
conducted supplemental cumulative
modeling for SCR at Milton R. Young
Station 2 that is discussed in more
detail in section V.D.1.e. For the reasons
described there, we are disregarding
North Dakota’s alternative modeling in
our analysis. More information on our
interpretation of the State’s and source’s
modeling information is included in the
Technical Support Document.
Step 5: Select BART.
We propose to find that BART is SCR
+ ASOFA at Milton R. Young Station 2
with an emission limit of 0.07 lb/
MMBtu (30-day rolling average). Of the
five BART factors, cost and visibility
improvement were the critical ones in
our analysis of controls for this source.
We agree with the State that the other
three factors are not relevant to this
BART determination.
In our BART analysis for NOX at
Milton R. Young Station 2, we
considered SNCR + ASOFA and SCR +
ASOFA. The comparison between our
SNCR analysis and our TESCR Scenario
3 analysis is provided in Table 47.
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TABLE 47—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART ANALYSIS COMPARISON OF TESCR AND SNCR OPTIONS FOR MILTON R.
YOUNG STATION UNIT 2 BOILER
Visibility impacts 1 2 4
Total installed
capital cost
(MM$)
Control option
TESCR + ASOFA (Scenario 3) .........
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Total annual
cost
(MM$)
3 216.9
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Average cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
40.57
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Incremental
cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
2,740
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5,695
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improvement
(delta
deciviews)
3.945
Fewer
days > 0.5
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58613
TABLE 47—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART ANALYSIS COMPARISON OF TESCR AND SNCR OPTIONS FOR MILTON R.
YOUNG STATION UNIT 2 BOILER—Continued
Visibility impacts 1 2 4
Total installed
capital cost
(MM$)
Control option
SNCR + ASOFA ................................
Total annual
cost
(MM$)
17.45
Average cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
6.44
Incremental
cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
703
Visibility
improvement
(delta
deciviews)
3.379
Fewer
days > 0.5
dv
89
1 Minnkota’s
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and the State’s modeling for both SNCR and SCR was based on lower emissions reductions (fewer tons removed) than we anticipate; thus, we anticipate slightly greater visibility benefits (delta deciview) than reflected in these values. The visibility benefit shown is for the
most impacted Class I area, Theodore Roosevelt.
2 Minnkota and the State conducted the modeling with combined SO and NO controls. The results shown include SO at an emission rate
2
X
2
reflective of wet scrubbing along with the noted NOX control option.
3 This installed capital cost estimate does not include the capital cost of ASOFA. The total annualized cost does include the capital cost of
ASOFA.
4 The visibility improvement described in this table represents the change in the maximum 98th percentile impact over the modeled 3-year meteorological period (2001–2003) at the highest impacted Class I area, Theodore Roosevelt. Similarly, the number of days above 0.5 deciviews is
the total for the modeled 3-year meteorological period at Theodore Roosevelt.
As discussed in more detail in the
Technical Support Document, we have
concluded that SNCR + ASOFA and
SCR + ASOFA are both cost effective
control technologies and that both
would provide substantial visibility
benefits. SNCR + ASOFA has a cost
effectiveness value of $703 per ton.
While SCR + ASOFA is more expensive
than SNCR + ASOFA, it has a cost
effectiveness value of $2,740 per ton of
NOX emissions reduced. This is well
within the range of values we have
considered reasonable for BART and
that states other than North Dakota have
considered reasonable for BART. Even
with more frequent catalyst
replacement, SCR would still be cost
effective even at the high end of the
range ($2,892 per ton) allowing for the
most frequent catalyst replacement of
one layer per year and allowing for the
questionable costs of lost power
generation revenue in TESCR Scenario
4. We also analyzed the SCR costs
assuming the same baseline emissions
of 15,507 tons per year used by North
Dakota and determined that the highend cost effectiveness value, assuming
the most frequent catalyst replacement
frequency, would be about $2,949 per
ton of NOX reduced. All of these cost
effectiveness values are well within the
range of values that North Dakota
considered reasonable in several of its
NOX BART determinations, where
predicted visibility improvement was
considerably lower.
We have weighed costs against the
anticipated visibility impacts at Milton
R. Young Station Unit 2, as modeled by
Minnkota and the State. Both sets of
controls would have a positive impact
on visibility. As compared to SNCR +
ASOFA, SCR + ASOFA would provide
an additional visibility benefit of 0.566
deciview at Theodore Roosevelt and 21
fewer days above 0.5 deciviews. We
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consider these impacts to be substantial,
especially in light of the fact that neither
of these Class I areas is projected to
meet the uniform rate of progress. We
also note that the 0.566 deciview
improvement at Theodore Roosevelt is
greater than the improvement in
visibility that North Dakota found
reasonable to support other NOX BART
determinations in the SIP, at higher cost
effectiveness values. Given the visibility
improvement associated with SCR +
ASOFA, the relatively low incremental
cost effectiveness between the two
control options ($6,045 per ton), and the
reasonable average cost effectiveness
values for SCR + ASOFA, we propose
that the NOX BART emission limit for
Milton R. Young Station 2 should be
based on SCR + ASOFA.
In proposing a BART emission limit
of 0.07 lb/MMBtu, we adjusted the
annual design rate of 0.05 lb/MMBtu
upwards to allow for a sufficient margin
of compliance for a 30-day rolling
average limit that would apply at all
times, including during startup,
shutdown, and malfunction.51 We are
also proposing monitoring,
recordkeeping, and reporting
requirements in regulatory text at the
end of this proposal.
As we have noted previously, under
section 51.308(e)(1)(iv), ‘‘each source
subject to BART [is] required to install
and operate BART as expeditiously as
practicable, but in no event later than 5
years after approval of the
implementation plan revision.’’ Based
on the retrofit of other SCR installations
we have reviewed, we propose a
compliance deadline of five (5) years
from the date our final FIP becomes
effective.
51 As discussed in the BART Guidelines, section
V (70 FR 39172, July 6, 2005), and Section 302(k)
of the CAA, emissions limits such as BART are
required to be met on a continuous basis.
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4. BART Analysis for Leland Olds
Station 2
Step 1: Identify All Available
Technologies.
As with the Milton R. Young Station
Units, our analysis for Leland Olds Unit
2 only considers SNCR + ASOFA and
SCR + ASOFA. Because the State
selected SNCR + ASOFA as BART, and
our concern is that the State did not
properly evaluate SCR as BART, there is
no need to consider lower-performing
technologies.
Step 2: Eliminate Technically
Infeasible Options.
We are not eliminating either SNCR or
SCR as being technically infeasible.
Both technologies have been widely
employed to control NOX emissions
from coal-fired power plants. The State
determined SNCR was technically
feasible for North Dakota EGUs. We
agree with the State that SNCR is
technically feasible. The State also
determined, in Section 7 of the SIP, that
two forms of SCR are technically
feasible for use on North Dakota EGUs
burning lignite coal. The State based its
conclusion on an analysis it provided in
Appendix B.5 to its Regional Haze SIP.
For further discussion concerning the
technical feasibility of SCR, please see
our NOX BART analysis and
determination for Milton R. Young
Station Unit 1 and our Technical
Support Document.
Step 3: Evaluate Control Effectiveness
of Remaining Control Technologies.
For the purposes of our SNCR +
ASOFA cost analysis, we used a control
efficiency of 54% and an emission rate
of 0.305 lb/MMBtu, the same control
efficiency that North Dakota used. For
our TESCR + ASOFA cost analysis we
used a control efficiency of 93% and an
emission rate of 0.05 lb/MMBtu, instead
of North Dakota’s 90% control
efficiency and 0.07 lb/MMBtu emission
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rate. We find that SCR technology, by
itself, can achieve 90% control
efficiency and that the overall NOX
reduction would be even greater (93%)
with the use of combustion controls in
combination with SCR. A summary of
emissions and the two control options is
provided in Table 48.
TABLE 48—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART ANALYSIS CONTROL TECHNOLOGIES FOR LELAND OLDS STATION UNIT 2
BOILER
Control
efficiency
(%)
Control option
TESCR + ASOFA ..........................................................................
SNCR + ASOFA ............................................................................
No Controls (Baseline) ..................................................................
Emission rate
(lb/MMBtu)
93
54
0
Emissions
(tons/yr)
0.05
0.305
0.67
900
5,900
1 13,000
Emissions
reduction
(tons/yr)
12,100
7,100
............................
1 We calculated our baseline using the same method used by Sargent & Lundy in its May 2009 report, but we adjusted the capacity factor
downward to 86.5%.
Step 4: Evaluate Impacts and
Document Results.
Factor 1: Cost of compliance.
SNCR + ASOFA.
We are not relying on North Dakota’s
costs for SNCR. Though the North
Dakota costs, developed by Sargent &
Lundy on behalf of Basin Electric, are
generally consistent with the Control
Cost Manual, at least one cost, related to
lost revenue due to outage, is not. To
ensure a fair comparison between the
two competing technologies, we have
re-worked the costs for SNCR.
We relied on Sargent & Lundy’s
estimate for total capital investment
costs but adjusted them for 2009
dollars.52 Then, we generally used
factors and assumptions for annual costs
provided by the Control Cost Manual. In
the absence of a Control Cost Manual
method for combustion controls, we
used all the costs that North Dakota
provided for ASOFA.
This is the same approach we used to
analyze the costs for TESCR at Leland
Olds Station 2, which enables us to
compare the costs of SNCR and TESCR
on a consistent basis. Our effort to reestimate the costs for SNCR was not
exhaustive, but it did result in a
downward adjustment in the cost
estimate for SNCR. We deem the
analysis adequate for comparing the cost
effectiveness values of the two top
control options—SCR and SNCR.
Regarding specific elements in our
cost analysis, we used $475 per ton to
estimate urea costs and did not allow for
lost revenue due to outage because the
Control Cost Manual does not allow for
lost revenue due to outage. To estimate
the average cost effectiveness (dollars
per ton of emissions reductions), we
divided the total annualized cost by the
estimated NOX emissions reductions.
We summarize our costs from our SNCR
cost analysis in Tables 49, 50, and 51.
See the Technical Support Document
for our full analyses.
TABLE 49—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART CAPITAL COST ANALYSIS FOR SNCR ON LELAND OLDS STATION UNIT 2
BOILER
Description
Cost factor
Cost ($)
Capital Investment ASOFA, A ...................................................................................
Capital Investment SNCR, B .....................................................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
11,440,000
7,800,000
Total Capital Investment, TCI (2009$) ...............................................................
A + B .......................................................
19,240,000
TABLE 50—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART ANNUAL COSTS FOR SNCR ON LELAND OLDS STATION UNIT 2 BOILER
Cost factor
Annual Maintenance ..................................................................................................
Reagent .....................................................................................................................
Electricity ...................................................................................................................
Water .........................................................................................................................
Increased Coal ..........................................................................................................
Increased Ash ............................................................................................................
.015 × TCI ...............................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
117,000
2,704,208
44,656
2,183
83,927
6,117
Total Direct Annual Cost (TDAC) .......................................................................
Sum of Various Items Listed Above .......
2,958,090
Indirect Annual Cost 1 (IDAC) ....................................................................................
CRF × TCI ...............................................
736,265
Total Annual Cost SNCR (TACS) ......................................................................
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Description
Cost ($)
TDAC + IDAC ..........................................
3,694,355
Total Annual Cost ASOFA 2 (TACA) ..................................................................
..................................................................
1,256,855
Total Annual Cost SNCR + ASOFA ...................................................................
TACS + TACA .........................................
4,951,210
1 Capital Recovery Factor (CRF) is 0.0944 and is based on a 7% interest rate and 20 year equipment life. Office of Management and Budget,
Circular A–4, Regulatory Analysis, https://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/circulars_a004_a-4/.
52 We obtained capital costs from the company’s
BART analysis in Appendix C of the SIP.
Adjustment to 2009 dollars was accomplished using
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the Chemical Engineering Plant Cost Index (CEPCI)
for 2009 and 2006 (521.9/499.6=1.044). Available
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from Chemical Engineering Magazine (https://
www.che.com).
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2 Calculated
from Table 2.5–2, Basin Electric letter, May 29, 2009, Appendix C.1.
TABLE 51—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART COSTS FOR SNCR ON LELAND OLDS STATION UNIT 2 BOILER
Control option
Total installed
capital cost
(MM$)
Total
annualized
cost
(MM$)
Emissions
reductions
(tons/yr)
Average cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
SNCR + ASOFA ..............................................................................................
19.24
4.95
7,100
700
TESCR + ASOFA.
Dr. Phyllis Fox, PhD, PE, as
subcontractor to our contractor, RTI,
prepared a cost analysis for TESCR for
Leland Olds Station Unit 2. Dr. Fox
started with the cost information in the
Sargent & Lundy letter report dated May
27, 2009 with Basin Electric cover letter
dated May 29, 2009. See SIP Appendix
C.1. As described in greater detail
below, while Dr. Fox relied on Sargent
& Lundy’s estimate for total capital
investment for TESCR equipment and
for the unit cost for catalyst, she
adjusted Sargent & Lundy’s assumptions
for various other costs to make them
consistent with the Control Cost Manual
and reasonable costing assumptions.
TESCR + ASOFA Capital Costs.
The May 27, 2009 Sargent & Lundy
Cost Analysis reports a capital cost
range of $165,800,000 to $170,800,000
for installed capital costs for TESCR +
ASOFA in 2009 dollars.53 Sargent &
Lundy calculated these costs from a
lump sum unit capital cost estimate
expressed in dollars per kilowatt of
electricity generated. These costs are
significantly higher than costs reported
for similar installations.54 We were not
able to determine the basis for the
deviation because Sargent & Lundy did
not provide support for its unit capital
cost estimate. Contrary to common
practice, Sargent & Lundy did not
separately identify equipment (e.g.,
reactor housing, ducts, bypass, NH3
injection system, sonic horns, etc.) and
installation costs. Nonetheless, we used
Sargent & Lundy’s total capital
investment estimate as the basis for our
analysis, with the exception of the total
capital costs for sorbent injection.55 The
53 5/27/09
S&L Cost Analysis, Table 2.5–2.
indicates that Sargent & Lundy’s estimate
of capital costs to retrofit SCR at Leland Olds ($373/
kW in 2010 dollars) is higher than actual installed
costs for existing retrofit SCRs, including those with
extreme retrofit difficulty and those requiring flue
gas reheat. For further detail, please see our
Technical Support Document. Thus, we consider
our resulting cost effectiveness value to be
conservative in favor of Basin Electric and to
represent an upper bound for installation and
operation of an SCR on LOS Unit 2. Put another
way, we believe the cost effectiveness of SCR on
LOS Unit 2 is more favorable than our estimate
suggests.
55 Dr. Fox concluded that a sorbent injection
system would not be needed to reduce sulfuric acid
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54 Data
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result is a cost estimate that should
represent the upper bound of likely
costs.
For our analysis, we used a total
installed capital cost estimate of
$164,676,000 in 2009 dollars. This
includes the cost of ASOFA but not the
cost of a dry sorbent injection control
system. This estimate is based primarily
on the Sargent & Lundy lump sum unit
capital cost estimate expressed in
dollars per kilowatt of electricity
generated, $350/kW, in 2009 dollars.
TESCR + ASOFA Annual Costs.
As previously discussed, the total
capital cost is annualized using a capital
recovery factor. This value is then
summed with estimated annual
operating and maintenance costs to
arrive at a value for total annual costs.
Using an appropriate capital recovery
factor of 0.08718, Dr. Fox calculated an
annualized capital cost of $14,356,000
in 2009 dollars. Dr. Fox estimated that
total annual operating and maintenance
costs would be $22,090,000. Sargent &
Lundy’s estimate of variable operating
and maintenance costs (NH3, catalyst,
power, natural gas, outage cost, and
sorbent injection) was three to five times
higher than Dr. Fox’s estimate.
Below, we provide further detail
regarding some of the major
assumptions and reasoning underlying
our estimate of annual operating and
maintenance costs.56
Costs Related to Catalyst
Catalyst Lifetime
As noted already, an SCR catalyst
must be changed out periodically.
Information regarding catalyst life that
we relied on for our cost analysis for
Milton R. Young Station Units 1 and 2
is also relevant here. Leland Olds
mist because low conversion catalysts are available
and because tail-end SCR would operate at a much
lower temperature than high-dust SCR, which
would significantly reduce the conversion of SO2 to
SO3. Dr. Fox concluded that the conversion could
be kept below the significance level. Our rationale
for excluding sorbent injection is further discussed
in our Technical Support Document.
56 Contrary to Sargent & Lundy’s approach, Dr.
Fox did not ‘‘levelize’’ annual costs. As explained
more fully in our evaluation of the State’s NOx
BART determinations for MRYS Units 1 and 2 and
LOS Unit 2, the Control Cost Manual does not
provide for levelization of annual costs.
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Station Unit 2 burns similar North
Dakota lignite in a similar cyclone
boiler. We note that Dr. Fox examined
information related to catalyst life at
Milton R. Young Station and
independently considered relevant data
and information to conclude that 24,000
hours is a reasonable assumption for
catalyst life at Leland Olds Station. This
is what Dr. Fox used for her cost
analysis for Leland Olds Station Unit 2.
Dr. Fox rejected Sargent & Lundy’s
estimate that catalyst life would only be
six to 12 months; she found that Sargent
& Lundy’s estimate was based on a
number of faulty assumptions. For
further detail regarding catalyst life,
please see our BART analysis and
determination for Milton R. Young
Station Unit 1 and our Technical
Support Document.
Although we are confident that 24,000
hours represents a conservative
assumption for catalyst life at Leland
Olds Station Unit 2, we have also
prepared cost estimates using 8,000 and
16,000 hours as assumptions for catalyst
life in order to determine the sensitivity
of costs to this variable. Further
information is provided below.
Number of Catalyst Layers
The catalyst volume required to
achieve a given NOX level is typically
divided into layers that can be
separately replaced. Most SCR designs
include an empty layer that can be filled
with catalyst as the need arises. The
most common configuration is two
active layers with one spare. Initially,
two layers are filled with catalyst. The
third layer is added at the end of the
initial catalyst lifetime.
We assumed an initial configuration
of two filled and one empty layer of
catalyst in our cost analysis, which is
consistent with the design of modern
SCRs. The empty layer would be filled
after 24,000 hours, the assumed catalyst
life.
Time Value of Money
The Control Cost Manual explains
that the future worth factor should be
used to amortize catalyst cost over the
years preceding the actual catalyst
purchase. As money is allocated in
advance of purchase, the sum of the
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annual catalyst replacement cost is less
than the purchase price of the catalyst.
Thus, we have multiplied the catalyst
purchase price by a future worth factor.
Assuming an interest rate of 7%, a
catalyst life of 24,000 hours, and a
capacity factor of 86.5%, the future
worth factor is 0.31.57
Unit Catalyst Cost
We have assumed a cost of $7,500 per
cubic meter of catalyst ($/m3), which is
the same cost assumed in Sargent &
Lundy’s analysis. This is very high
compared to values typically quoted by
vendors, $4,500/m3¥$6,500/m3,
depending upon volume per order.58
While we find that $7,500/m3 is high,
we did not have access to specific
vendor quotes for this element due to
confidentiality claims. This is another
element that makes our cost estimate
conservatively high.
Catalyst Volume
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Sargent & Lundy assumed a catalyst
volume of 530 m3 in its cost
calculations.59 The Sargent & Lundy
spreadsheets produced in response to
our CAA section 114 request indicate
that this figure was derived by
arbitrarily increasing a catalyst volume
of 440 m3 by 20%.60 The source of the
starting point (440 m3) and the 20%
adjustment are not disclosed.
As we commented on the draft
Regional Haze SIP, the value of 530 m3
is high for a TESCR. Typically, cyclone
fired units require about 1.5 m3 of
catalyst per MW for a high-dust SCR,
while TESCRs require less than half the
catalyst volume of a high-dust SCR.61
Thus, one would expect a catalyst
volume of about 330 m3 for Leland Olds
Station Unit 2. However, we used the
unadjusted catalyst volume of 440 m3
from Sargent & Lundy’s spreadsheets as
a highly conservative upper bound.
57 Cost Manual, pdf 489–490, Eqn. 2.52: FWF =
0.07[1/(1.073¥1)] = 0.31. Y = 24,000 hr/
(8760)(0.865) = 3.2, rounds to 3.
58 Letter from Callie A. Videtich, Director, Air
Program, EPA Region 8, to Terry O’Clair, Director,
Division of Air Quality, North Dakota Department
of Health, Re: EPA Region 8 Comments on
December 2009 Draft Regional Haze SIP (Public
Comment Version), January 8, 2010, Enclosure 2, p.
28; e-mail from Anthony C. Favale, Director—SCR
Products, Hitachi Power Systems America, Ltd., to
Anita Lee, U.S. EPA, Region 9, Re: CX Catalyst
Question, April 1, 2010 ($5,500/m3 to $6,000/m3);
e-mail from Flemming Hansen, Manager SCR
DeNOx Catalyst, Haldor T2010
18:15 Sep 20, 2011
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Catalyst Changeout Time
First, a special outage to change out
the catalyst would not be required. The
catalyst can be changed out during
scheduled major outages, which occur
every 3 years. The first catalyst change
would occur 3 years after installation.
Thus, careful planning would align the
first and subsequent changes with major
outages, requiring no lost generation
charges.
Second, the estimated catalyst
exchange rate for a TESCR on the
similar Milton R. Young Station units
was 2.2 days for Unit 1 (257 MW) and
3.8 days for Unit 2 (477 MW).62 Based
on these values, the proportional
exchange time for Leland Olds Station
Unit 2 is 3.6 days. This is generally
consistent with industry experience.
Alternatively, as the boiler is typically
down for cleaning 3 to 4 times per year
for a period of about 4 days each time,
this downtime would be sufficient to
exchange a layer should one be required
before a major outage. SCR systems are
designed to minimize unit downtime to
minimize operating costs.
Thus, we assumed there would be no
lost generation during catalyst
replacement because it would be
prudent design and operating practice to
schedule these events during routinely
scheduled maintenance outages.
Cost of Utilities and Supplies
We have included costs for NH3, the
reagent used in the SCR, and natural
gas, used to reheat the flue gas. Our
costs for these items do not reflect
potential changes in future commodity
prices. This is because cost effectiveness
methodology is based on the current
annualized cost without escalation. The
Control Cost Manual approach,
recommended by the BART Guidelines,
explicitly excludes future escalation
because cost comparisons are made on
a current real dollar basis. Inflation is
not included in cost effectiveness
analyses as these analyses rely on the
most accurate information available at
current prices and do not try to
extrapolate those prices into the
future.63
Ammonia (NH3)
Recent BART analyses have used
values in the range of $450 per ton.
Black & Veatch, an engineering firm that
designs SCRs, used an anhydrous
ammonia cost of $450 per ton in a
September 2010 BART analysis for
Boardman.64 Sargent & Lundy used an
62 Hartenstein
Report, April 2010, p. 36.
e.g., Cost Manual, p. 2–36, pdf 50.
64 Black & Veatch, Portland General Electric
Boardman Plant, Best Available Retrofit Technology
63 See,
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anhydrous ammonia cost of $475 per
ton in a September 2010 BART analysis
for the Navajo Generating Station.65 We
used $475 per ton for the cost of NH3.
Natural Gas
The temperature of the flue gas
exiting the wet scrubber must be raised
to SCR operating temperature. There is
more than one method for doing this.
One method uses natural gas. The other
uses steam. The cost of reheating the
flue gas is typically one of the most
significant operating costs for a TESCR.
Steam has important advantages over
natural gas for use in flue gas reheating:
lower cost, no increase in flue gas flow
rate from gas combustion byproducts,
no moisture condensation on the
catalyst, and no risk of re-vaporization
of catalyst poisons in the flame of a duct
burner. Most TESCRs in Europe use
steam for reheating.66 Vendors in the
Milton R. Young Station case uniformly
recommended the use of a steam coil in
place of natural gas-fired duct burners.67
However, Sargent & Lundy did not
evaluate the use of steam, and we lack
the information needed to accurately
calculate the cost of steam. Thus, we
assumed the use of natural gas in our
cost estimates. This is another
indication that our estimate is
conservative.
Operating experience with numerous
TESCRs in Europe over the past 20 years
indicates that an increase of 20 to 25
degrees F is adequate for reheat.68
Further, an SCR operating temperature
of 525–550 degrees F is sufficient for a
TESCR as the flue gas SO2
concentrations after the wet scrubber are
low, eliminating the concern with
deposition of ammonia salts on the
catalyst.69 Burns & McDonnell
estimated a natural gas firing rate of 66.4
(BART)/Reasonable Progress Analysis Revision 3:
Boardman 2020 Alternative, August 27, 2010, Table
2–2.
65 Sargent & Lundy, Salt River Project Navajo
Generating Station—Units 1, 2, 3, SCR and
Baghouse Capital Cost Estimate Report, Revision D,
August 17, 2010, pdf 58, Table 9–2.
66 1/8/10 EPA Comments, Enclosure 1, p. 25.
67 See, e.g., Hartenstein Report, April 2010, pp.
34–35, 40–43.
68 Hartenstein Report, April 2010, p. 40.
69 McIlvaine, Next Generation SCR Choices—
High-Dust, Low-Dust and Tail-End, FGD & DeNOx
Newsletter, No. 369, January 2009; 5/6/08 Cochran
(CERAM) e-mail, p. 2 (‘‘Ammonia should not be
injected below the minimum operating
temperatures (MOT). Based on the SO2 to SO3
reported the MOT would be approximately 600 F.
For lower sulfur fuels [such as ND lignite] and/or
reduced NOX removal performance a lower MOT
would be possible. Additionally, brief periods of
operation below the MOT would be possible
without permanent degradation. In no event would
any ammonia be allowed to be injected below 530
F for any likely combination of reasonable sulfur
and NOX removal parameters.’’), in 5/8/08 Milton
R. Young Additional Information.
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MMBtu/hr for TESCR on Milton R.
Young Station Unit 2.70 The Burns &
McDonnell estimate is consistent with
European experience. Thus, we used
66.4 MMBtu/hr in our cost analysis.
Next, we determined an appropriate
price assumption for natural gas. As
noted, BART cost effectiveness analyses
are based on the best estimate of current
costs at the time of the analysis and do
not consider future escalation. As cost
effectiveness is determined relative to
other similar sources, future escalation
in gas prices would affect all natural gas
users, not just Leland Olds Station.
The most recent data reported to the
Energy Information Agency (EIA)
indicates that the cost of natural gas to
electric power consumers in North
Dakota has ranged from $4.48/MMBtu
(October 2010) to $5.37/MMBtu (June
2010).71 As very little natural gas is
currently used in North Dakota, a more
reasonable estimate for a dedicated
supply is the Henry Hub spot price plus
transportation cost. The 2010 Henry
Hub price of natural gas is $4.37/
MMBtu.72 The expected Henry Hub
natural gas spot price for 2011 is $4.16/
MMBtu, or $0.21/MMBtu lower than
2010. The Energy Information Agency
expects the natural gas market to begin
to tighten in 2012, with the Henry Hub
spot price increasing to an average of
$4.58/MMBtu.73 Transportation cost is
typically less than $1/MMBtu. Thus, a
reasonable estimate for purposes of our
analysis is about $5.50/MMBtu.
Power
An SCR increases power demand for
auxiliary equipment, including the
induced draft fans used to overcome the
increase in backpressure from the SCR
plus electricity to run the NH3 system,
dilution air blower, dilution air heaters,
and seal air fans. Thus, auxiliary power
is the electricity required to run the
plant, or electricity not sold.
This cost is estimated by multiplying
the electricity demand in kilowatts by
the cost of electricity in dollars per
megawatt hour (MWh). Cost
effectiveness analyses are based on the
cost to the owner to generate electricity,
or the busbar cost, not market retail
rates. The unit cost of electricity used by
Sargent & Lundy, $50/MWh, is high for
a lignite-fired boiler built near its fuel
source. Burns & McDonnell assumed
$38/MWh in the 2005 Feasibility
Analysis for Leland Olds 74 and $35/
MWh for Milton R. Young Unit 1.75 We
used $38/MWh, the value Burns &
McDonnell reported for Leland Olds.
Capacity Factor
The capacity factor is the fraction of
the available capacity that is actually
used. It is calculated as the ratio of the
actual electrical output to its full
capacity, typically over a year. The
emission reductions and variable
operating and maintenance costs are
both directly proportional to the
capacity factor. The higher the capacity
factor, the larger the emission
reductions and the higher the variable
operating and maintenance costs.
The BART Guidelines indicate that:
‘‘in the absence of enforceable
limitations, you calculate baseline
emissions based upon continuation of
past practice.’’ 76 The Sargent & Lundy
analysis calculated the capacity factor
assuming the unit would operate at full
58617
capacity at all times except during
catalyst change-outs. This resulted in
capacity factors of 92% to 96%, which
are higher than operating experience.
Dr. Fox calculated a capacity factor of
86.5%. This was based on a comparison
of Leland Olds Station Unit 2’s actual
electrical output for a baseline period,
obtained from monthly Clean Air
Markets data, to its rated capacity (440
MW).77 This 86.5% value was used to
calculate NOX emission reductions and
variable operating and maintenance
costs.
NOX Emission Reduction
In our calculations, we assumed
TESCR + ASOFA reduced baseline NOX
emissions of 0.67 lb/MMBtu 78 to 0.05
lb/MMBtu. An SCR outlet NOX emission
rate of 0.05 lb/MMBtu can be readily
achieved by TESCR + ASOFA. The May
27, 2009 Sargent & Lundy analysis and
supporting spreadsheets assumed the
combination achieved 0.05 lb/MMBtu.
In the Sargent & Lundy analysis, the
SCR was specifically assumed to reduce
NOX from an inlet of 0.48 lb/MMBtu, a
level consistent with performance of
Leland Olds Unit 2 since installation of
ASOFA, to 0.05 lb/MMBtu or 90% NOX
control.
We added the annual costs for
ASOFA to the annual costs for TESCR
to arrive at a total annual cost for the
combined controls. To estimate the
average cost effectiveness (dollars per
ton of emissions reductions), we then
divided the total annual cost by the
estimated NOX emission reductions. We
summarize our cost estimates in Tables
52, 53 and 54. See our Technical
Support Document for the full analyses.
TABLE 52—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART CAPITAL COST ANALYSIS FOR TESCR SCENARIO 3 ON LELAND OLDS
STATION UNIT 2 BOILER
Cost factor
Capital Investment (2010$) ASOFA, A .....................................................................
Capital Investment (2010$) SCR, B ..........................................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
11,440,000
164,121,000
Total Capital Investment, TCI (2010$) ......................................................................
Total Capital Investment, TCI (2009$) ......................................................................
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Description
A + B .......................................................
TCI(2010) × CEPCI(521.9/556.2) ............
175,561,000
164,734,423
70 Burns & McDonnell, Technology Feasibility
Analysis and Cost Estimates for Leland Olds Station
Unit 1 and 2, Basin Electric Power Cooperative,
Final Draft, December 2005, p. 86.
71 EIA, Natural Gas Monthly:https://
www.eia.doe.gov/oil_gas/natural_gas/
data_publications/natural_gas_monthly/ngm.html.
72 https://tonto.eia.gov/dnav/ng/hist/
rngwhhda.htm.
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73 https://www.eia.doe.gov/analysis/ and https://
www.eia.gov/emeu/steo/pub/contents.html.
74 Burns & McDonnell, Technology Feasibility
Analysis and Cost Estimate for Leland Olds Station
Unit 1 and 2, Basin Electric Power Cooperative,
Final Draft, December 2005, p. 86.
75 Burns & McDonnell, NO Best Available
X
Control Technology Analysis Study—Supplemental
Report for Milton R. Young Station Unit 1,
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Cost ($)
Minnkota Power Cooperative, Inc., November 2009,
p. 4–42.
76 70 FR 39167 (July 6, 2005).
77 Capacity factor = 3,334,426 MWh/[(440)(8760)]
= 0.865.
78 North Dakota’s BART Determination for Leland
Olds Station Units 1 and 2, SIP Appendix B.1, p.
24.
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TABLE 53—SUMMARY OF SOME EPA NOX BART ANNUAL COSTS FOR TESCR SCENARIO 3 1 ON LELAND OLDS STATION
UNIT 2 BOILER
Cost ($) 2
Description
Cost factor
Annual Maintenance ..................................................................................................
Reagent .....................................................................................................................
Catalyst ......................................................................................................................
Electricity ...................................................................................................................
Natural Gas for Flue Gas Reheating and Urea to Ammonia Conversion ................
.015×TCI ..................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
823,564
2,115,190
320,796
1,878,814
2,595,446
Total Direct Annual Cost (TDAC). ......................................................................
Indirect Annual Cost 3 (IDAC) .............................................................................
..................................................................
CRF × TCI ...............................................
7,733,810
14,356,473
Total Annual Cost (TAC) ....................................................................................
TDAC + IDAC ..........................................
22,090,283
1 See
Table 54 for an explanation of Scenarios.
are in 2009 dollars.
Recovery Factor (CRF) is 0.08718 and is based on a 6% interest rate and 20 year equipment life. From Table 1.2–3, BART Determination Study, Leland Olds Units 1 and 2, August 2006, SIP Appendix C.1.
2 Costs
3 Capital
TABLE 54—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART COSTS FOR VARIOUS TESCR + ASOFA SCENARIOS ON LELAND OLDS
STATION UNIT 2 BOILER
Emissions
reductions
(tons/year)
Scenario
Description
1 ........................
2 ........................
3 ........................
1 layer replaced every year ..............................................................
1 layer replaced every 2 years .........................................................
1 layer replaced every 3 years .........................................................
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Factor 2: Energy impacts.
The additional energy requirements
involved in installation and operation of
the evaluated controls are not
significant enough to warrant
eliminating either SNCR or SCR.
Factor 3: Non-air quality
environmental impacts.
The non-air quality environmental
impacts are not significant enough to
warrant eliminating either SNCR or
SCR.
Factor 4: Remaining useful life.
The remaining useful life of Leland
Olds Station Unit 2 is at least 20 years.
Thus, this factor does not impact our
BART determination.
Average cost effectiveness for each
option.
To estimate the average annual cost
effectiveness (dollars per ton of
emissions reductions), we divided the
total annual cost by the estimated NOX
emissions reductions. These estimates
are noted in our summary in Table 55.
Our average annual cost effectiveness
estimate for SNCR + ASOFA at Leland
Olds Station Unit 2 is $700 per ton of
NOX reductions. Our average annual
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cost effectiveness estimate for SCR +
ASOFA at Leland Olds Station Unit 2 is
$1,833 per ton of NOX reductions.
Step 5: Evaluate Visibility Impacts.
Basin Electric modeled the visibility
benefits for SNCR + ASOFA using
natural background per the BART
Guidelines. North Dakota then
performed additional modeling for the
SCR + ASOFA control option. Basin
Electric and North Dakota both provided
single-source modeling results using
natural background conditions,
complying with the BART Guidelines.
The SCR + ASOFA option, when
combined with FGD at 95% for SO2,
would result in a significant
improvement in visibility at Theodore
Roosevelt, estimated to be 4.393
deciviews and 130 fewer days above 0.5
deciviews. As the State did not provide
discrete modeling for individual
pollutants, it is not possible to describe
the incremental visibility benefits of
SCR + ASOFA or other NOX control
options over the selected SO2 BART
control (FGD at 95%). Nonetheless,
when compared to SNCR + ASOFA,
SCR would result in an incremental
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Sfmt 4702
Total annualized
cost
($MM)
12,050
12,050
12,050
24.31
23.74
23.55
Average cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
1,892
1,848
1,833
visibility improvement of 0.512
deciviews and 25 fewer days above 0.5
deciviews. North Dakota conducted
supplemental cumulative modeling for
SCR at Milton R. Young Station 1 that
is discussed in more detail in section
V.D.1.e. For the reasons described there,
we are disregarding North Dakota’s
alternative modeling in our analysis.
More information on our
interpretation of the State’s and source’s
modeling information is included in the
Technical Support Document.
Step 6: EPA BART Determination for
Leland Olds Station 2.
We propose to find that BART is SCR
+ ASOFA at Leland Olds Station 2 with
an emission limit of 0.07 lb/MMBtu (30day rolling average). Of the five BART
factors, cost and visibility improvement
were the critical ones in our analysis of
controls for this source. We agree with
the State that the other three factors are
not relevant to this BART
determination.
The comparison between our SNCR +
ASOFA analysis and our TESCR +
ASOFA Scenario 3 analysis is provided
in Table 55.
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58619
TABLE 55—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART ANALYSIS COMPARISON OF TESCR AND SNCR OPTIONS FOR LELAND OLDS
STATION UNIT 2 BOILER
Visibility impacts 1,
Total installed
capital cost
(MM$)
Control option
TESCR + ASOFA (Scenario 3) ...........
SNCR + ASOFA ..................................
Total
annualized
cost
(MM$)
164.68
19.24
Incremental
cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
Average cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
22.09
4.95
1,833
700
3,489
..........................
Visibility
improvement
(delta
deciviews)
2
Fewer days >
0.5
dv
4.393
3.874
130
105
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1 The visibility modeling that North Dakota (for SCR) and Basin Electric (all scenarios but SCR) performed for Leland Olds Station Unit 2 included SO2 control (FGD 95%) in addition to the noted NOX control. Thus, these values do not reflect the distinct visibility benefit from the NOX
control options but do provide the incremental benefit between the options.
2 The visibility improvement described in this table represents the change in the maximum 98th percentile impact over the modeled 3-year meteorological period (2001–2003) at the highest impacted Class I area, Theodore Roosevelt. Similarly, the number of days above 0.5 deciviews is
the total for the modeled 3-year meteorological period at Theodore Roosevelt.
We have concluded that SNCR +
ASOFA and SCR + ASOFA are both cost
effective control technologies and that
both would provide substantial
visibility benefits. SNCR + ASOFA has
a cost effectiveness value of $700 per
ton. While SCR + ASOFA is more
expensive than SNCR + ASOFA, it has
a cost effectiveness value of $1,833 per
ton of NOX emissions reduced. This is
well within the range of values we have
considered reasonable for BART and
that states other than North Dakota have
considered reasonable for BART. Even if
we assume a catalyst replacement
frequency of one layer per year, which
we find is highly unlikely, SCR would
still be cost effective ($1,892 per ton).
We also analyzed the SCR costs
assuming the same baseline emissions
of 12,023 tons per year used by North
Dakota and determined that the highend cost effectiveness value, assuming
the most frequent catalyst replacement
frequency, would be about $2,035 per
ton of NOX reduced. All of these cost
effectiveness values are well within the
range of values that North Dakota
considered reasonable in several of its
NOX BART determinations, where
predicted visibility improvement was
considerably lower.
We have weighed costs against the
anticipated visibility impacts at Leland
Olds Station 2. Both sets of controls
would have a positive impact on
visibility. As compared to SNCR +
ASOFA, SCR + ASOFA would provide
an additional visibility benefit 0.512
deciviews and 25 fewer days above 0.5
deciviews at Theodore Roosevelt. We
consider these impacts to be substantial,
especially in light of the fact that neither
of these Class I areas are projected to
meet the uniform rate of progress. We
also note that the 0.512 deciview
improvement at Theodore Roosevelt is
greater than the improvement in
visibility that North Dakota found
reasonable to support other NOX BART
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determinations in the SIP, at higher cost
effectiveness values. Given the
appreciable incremental visibility
improvement associated with SCR +
ASOFA, the relatively low incremental
cost effectiveness between the two
control options ($3,489 per ton), and the
reasonable average cost effectiveness
values for SCR + ASOFA, we propose
that the NOX BART emission limit for
Leland Olds Station 2 should be based
on SCR + ASOFA.
In proposing a BART emission limit
of 0.07 lb/MMBtu, we adjusted the
annual design rate of 0.05 lb/MMBtu
upwards to allow for a sufficient margin
of compliance for a 30-day rolling
average limit that would apply at all
times, including during startup,
shutdown, and malfunction.79 We are
also proposing monitoring,
recordkeeping, and reporting
requirements in regulatory text at the
end of this proposal.
As we have noted previously, under
section 51.308(e)(1)(iv), ‘‘each source
subject to BART [is] required to install
and operate BART as expeditiously as
practicable, but in no event later than 5
years after approval of the
implementation plan revision.’’ Based
on the retrofit of other SCR installations
we have reviewed, we propose a
compliance deadline of five (5) years
from the date our final FIP becomes
effective.
Note regarding SCR at Milton R. Young
Station Units 1 and 2 and Leland Olds
Station Unit 2: Our proposal that SCR is
BART at Milton R. Young Station Units 1 and
2 and Leland Olds Station Unit 2 has been
thoroughly analyzed and considered. As we
indicate above, the sources and the State
believe that SCR is technically infeasible,
based on their views regarding catalyst
deactivation and the lack of firm vendor
guarantees of catalyst life. We disagree with
79 As discussed in the BART Guidelines, section
V (70 FR 39172, July 6, 2005), and Section 302(k)
of the CAA, emissions limits such as BART are
required to be met on a continuous basis.
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the sources and the State and have adopted
assumptions we and our consultants consider
reasonable regarding SCR catalyst life at
these units. We note that, should we finalize
our FIP as proposed, Minnkota, Basin
Electric, and/or the State may request
reconsideration of our final action based on
the potential outcomes of any field testing
regarding catalyst life they may choose to
undertake prior to the date the emission
limits in our FIP become effective.
F. Federal Implementation Plan to
Address NOX BART for Coal Creek
Station Units 1 and 2
1. Introduction
As noted above, North Dakota
selected SOFA + LNB as NOX BART for
Coal Creek Station Units 1 and 2 but in
doing so, inappropriately eliminated
SNCR + SOFA + LNB and SCR + SOFA
+ LNB as potential BART based on
erroneous cost information for Coal
Creek Station’s fly ash sales. Thus, in
our proposed FIP, we are re-evaluating
LTO, SCR, SNCR, and low-NOX burners
and SOFA as potential BART. Our
analysis follows our BART Guidelines.
For Coal Creek Station Units 1 and 2,
the BART Guidelines are mandatory.
Coal Creek Station has a capacity of
1,100 MWs. North Dakota selected lowNOX burners and SOFA with an
associated limit of 0.17 pounds per
million Btu as NOX BART for Coal
Creek.
2. BART analysis for Coal Creek Units
1 and 2
Since Coal Creek Units 1 and 2 are
identical, we are considering average
historical data for each unit and then
proposing a single BART determination
that applies to each unit.
Step 1: Identify All Available
Technologies.
Our analysis for Coal Creek Units 1
and 2 considers SOFA + LNB
(combustion controls), and combustion
controls in combination with SNCR,
SCR, and LTO.
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Step 2: Eliminate Technically
Infeasible Options.
For the reasons described in our
BART analysis and determination for
Milton R. Young Station Units 1 and 2
and Leland Olds Station 2, we are not
eliminating either SNCR or SCR as being
technically infeasible. We are not
eliminating any of the other control
options as being technically infeasible.
For ease of comparison, we are
evaluating LDSCR (downstream of the
particulate control device). This is the
option that North Dakota and Great
River Energy (GRE) evaluated, and this
location for the SCR equipment is
preferable to a high-dust location
(upstream of the particulate control
device) for minimizing the amount of
ash and catalyst poisons that would
otherwise be present in the flue gases,
thus increasing catalyst life and
decreasing operating costs. A tail-end
location (downstream of the particulate
control and the SO2 wet scrubber
control devices) is another feasible
option. (See our BART determinations
for Milton R. Young Station and Leland
Olds Station units in sections V.E.2 and
V.E.3 for further discussion of LDSCR
and TESCR.) The State determined all
options to be technically feasible,
including LDSCR and TESCR, for North
Dakota EGUs.
Step 3: Evaluate Control Effectiveness
of Remaining Control Technology.
For the purposes of our SOFA + LNB
cost analysis, we used a control
efficiency of 29% and an emission rate
of 0.15 lb/MMBtu. In our SNCR +
ASOFA cost analysis, we used a control
efficiency of 49% and an emission rate
of 0.108 lb/MMBtu. For our LDSCR +
ASOFA cost analysis we used a control
efficiency of 80% and an emission rate
of 0.043 lb/MMBtu. We used the same
emission rates as North Dakota and
calculated slightly different efficiency
ratings based on an emissions baseline
for years 2000 through 2004. Due to
limited time, we did not perform a
separate cost analysis for LTO and are
accepting the Great River Energy cost
estimates that North Dakota used. These
were based on a control efficiency of
90% and an emission rate of 0.022 lb/
MMBtu. A summary of emissions and
control options is provided in Table 56.
TABLE 56—SUMMARY OF EPA COAL CREEK BART ANALYSIS CONTROL TECHNOLOGIES FOR UNITS 1 AND 2 BOILERS
Control
efficiency
(%)
Control option
LTO + SOFA + LNB ........................................................................................
LDSCR + SOFA + LNB ...................................................................................
SNCR + SOFA + LNB .....................................................................................
SOFA + LNB ....................................................................................................
SOFA + LNB (Baseline) ..................................................................................
1 Calculated
90
80
49
29
0
Emissions
(tons/yr)
0.022
0.043
0.108
0.150
0.22
536
1,084
2,722
3,780
5,2941
Emissions
reduction
(tons/yr)
4,821
4,210
2,572
1,514
........................
average for historic baseline (2000–2004) for Unit 1. Units 1 and 2 comparable in size and emissions.
Step 4: Evaluate Impacts and
Document Results.
Factor 1: Costs of compliance.
SOFA + LNB.
We relied on North Dakota’s and
Great River Energy’s cost analysis for
SOFA + LNB. (See SIP, Appendices B.2
and C.2.) Great River Energy evaluated
two slightly different emissions rates.
We find that the lower emission rate
(higher control efficiency) and
associated costs are reasonable, and we
rely on this information to supplement
our other control option cost analyses.
We used an emission rate of 0.151 lb/
MMBtu, with a resulting capital cost of
$5.37 million, a total annual cost of
$673,100, and an average cost
effectiveness of $412 per ton of NOX
emissions reductions.
SNCR+ SOFA + LNB.
We are not relying on North Dakota’s
costs for SNCR due to the erroneous fly
ash cost information used by Great River
Energy, which the State relied on in its
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
Emission rate
(lb/MMBtu)
analyses. We prepared a cost analysis
for SNCR for Coal Creek Station Units
1 and 2. As explained below, we have
used some of the cost information
provided in a Great River Energy letter
from Ms. Mary Jo Roth to Mr. Terry
O’Clair dated July 15, 2011. The original
price for fly ash in Great River Energy’s
analysis was $36.00 per ton. (See SIP,
Appendix C.2). In its July 15, 2011
letter, Great River Energy corrected this
value to $5.00 per ton. We have used
this value in our analyses.
Regarding this value for fly ash sales,
North Dakota concluded that SCR and
SNCR use at Coal Creek would likely
result in NH3 in the fly ash due to NH3
slip which would negatively affect fly
ash salability. According to Great River
Energy and North Dakota, fly ash that is
currently beneficially used in the
production of concrete would, instead,
be landfilled. While we have opted to
agree that fly ash will not be saleable for
the SNCR and SCR options for purposes
of our cost analyses, we are seeking
comment on this issue, particularly
related to the levels of NH3 that fly ash
marketers deem problematic, and the
availability, applicability, and cost of
applying NH3 mitigation techniques to
fly ash derived from lignite coal.
We also relied on Great River Energy’s
estimate for direct capital equipment
costs for SNCR. We then generally used
factors and assumptions provided by the
Control Cost Manual for the remainder
of our SNCR analysis, as well as cost
estimates we consider to be reasonable
for certain recurring costs. This is the
same approach we used to analyze the
costs for SCR and SNCR at Leland Olds
Station Unit 2 and Milton R. Young
Station Units 1 and 2. This enables us
to compare the costs of the various
technologies on a consistent basis. We
summarize our costs from our SNCR
cost analysis in Tables 57, 58, and 59.
TABLE 57—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART CAPITAL COST ANALYSIS FOR SNCR ON COAL CREEK STATION UNITS 1 AND
2 BOILERS
Description
Cost factor
Capital Investment ASOFA, A ........................................................................
Capital Investment SNCR, B ..........................................................................
.................................................................................
.................................................................................
4,913,000
5,374,000
Total Capital Investment, TCI (2009$) ...........................................................
A + B ......................................................................
10,287,000
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TABLE 58—SUMMARY OF EPA ANNUAL COST ANALYSIS FOR SNCR + ASOFA ON COAL CREEK STATION UNITS 1 AND 2
BOILERS
Description
Cost factor
Cost ($)
Annual Maintenance .......................................................................................
Reagent ..........................................................................................................
Electricity .........................................................................................................
Water ..............................................................................................................
Increased Coal ................................................................................................
Increased Ash .................................................................................................
Additional Ash Disposal ..................................................................................
Lost Ash Sales ................................................................................................
.015xTCI .................................................................
.................................................................................
.................................................................................
.................................................................................
.................................................................................
.................................................................................
.................................................................................
.................................................................................
80,600
1,000,000
35,600
1,000
38,000
2,900
2,023,700
2,023,700
Total Direct Annual Cost (TDAC) ............................................................
Sum of Various Items Listed Above ......................
5,250,000
Indirect Annual Cost 1 (IDAC) ..................................................................
CRF x TCI ..............................................................
507,000
Total Annual Cost SNCR (TACS) ...........................................................
TDAC + IDAC .........................................................
5,760,000
Total Annual Cost ASOFA (TACA) .........................................................
North Dakota Appendix B.4 ...................................
673,000
Total Annual Cost SNCR + ASOFA ........................................................
TACS + TACA ........................................................
6,430,000
1 Capital
Recovery Factor (CRF) is 0.0944 and is based on a 7% interest rate and 20 year equipment life. Office of Management and Budget,
Circular A–4, Regulatory Analysis, https://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/circulars_a004_a-4/.
TABLE 59—SUMMARY OF EPA COSTS FOR SNCR ON COAL CREEK STATION UNITS 1 AND 2 BOILERS
Control option
Total installed
capital cost
(MM$)
Total annual
cost
(MM$)
Emissions reductions
(tons/yr)
Average cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
SNCR + SOFA + LNB .............................................................................
10.29
6.40
2,572
$2,500
SCR+ SOFA + LNB.
We are not relying on North Dakota’s
costs for SCR + SOFA + LNB due to the
erroneous fly ash cost information used
by Great River Energy, which the State
relied on in its analyses. Here again, we
used the source’s corrected sales price
for fly ash of $5.00 per ton. As with
SNCR, we relied on Great River Energy’s
estimate for direct capital equipment
costs for SCR. We then generally used
factors and assumptions provided by the
Control Cost Manual for the remainder
of our SCR analysis, as well as cost
estimates we consider to be reasonable
for certain recurring costs. This is the
same approach we used to analyze the
costs for SCR and SNCR at Leland Olds
Station Unit 2 and Milton R. Young
Station Units 1 and 2. This enables us
to compare the costs of the various
technologies on a consistent basis. We
summarize our costs from our SCR cost
analysis in Tables 60, 61, and 62.
TABLE 60—SUMMARY OF EPA CAPITAL COST ANALYSIS FOR LDSCR ON COAL CREEK STATION UNITS 1 AND 2 BOILERS
Description
Cost factor
Cost ($)
Capital Investment ASOFA, A ...................................................................................
Capital Investment LDSCR, B ...................................................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
4,913,000
60,241,000
Total Capital Investment, TCI (2009$) ...............................................................
A + B .......................................................
65,154,000
TABLE 61—SUMMARY OF EPA ANNUAL COST ANALYSIS FOR LDSCR ON COAL CREEK STATION UNITS 1 AND 2 BOILERS
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
Description
Cost factor
Annual Maintenance ..................................................................................................
Reagent .....................................................................................................................
Electricity ...................................................................................................................
Catalyst ......................................................................................................................
Natural Gas ...............................................................................................................
Additional Ash Disposal .............................................................................................
Lost Ash Sales ..........................................................................................................
Total Direct Annual Cost (TDAC) .......................................................................
.015 × TCI ...............................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
..................................................................
Sum of Various Items Listed Above .......
903,600
498,000
974,000
708,000
3,890,000
2,023,700
2,023,700
11,021,000
Indirect Annual Cost 1 (IDAC) .............................................................................
CRF x TCI ...............................................
5,686,000
Total Annual Cost LDSCR (TACS) ....................................................................
TDAC + IDAC ..........................................
16,707,000
Total Annual Cost ASOFA (TACA) ....................................................................
North Dakota Appendix B.4 ....................
620,400
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TABLE 61—SUMMARY OF EPA ANNUAL COST ANALYSIS FOR LDSCR ON COAL CREEK STATION UNITS 1 AND 2
BOILERS—Continued
Description
Cost factor
Total Annual Cost LDSCR + ASOFA .................................................................
Cost ($)
TACS + TACA .........................................
17,328,000
1 Capital
Recovery Factor (CRF) is 0.0944 and is based on a 7% interest rate and 20 year equipment life. Office of Management and Budget,
Circular A–4, Regulatory Analysis, https://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/circulars_a004_a-4/.
TABLE 62—SUMMARY OF EPA COSTS FOR LDSCR ON COAL CREEK STATION UNITS 1 AND 2 BOILERS
Control option
Total installed capital cost
(MM$)
Total annual
cost
(MM$)
LDSCR + SOFA + LNB .............................................................................................
65,154,000
17,328,000
Factor 2: Energy impacts.
The additional energy requirements
involved in installation and operation of
the evaluated controls are not
significant enough to warrant
eliminating any of the control options.
Factor 3: Non-air quality
environmental impacts.
The non-air quality environmental
impacts are not significant enough to
warrant eliminating any of the options.
It is possible that fly ash will need to be
landfilled if it cannot be sold due to
NH3 contamination. We have
considered this possibility in our cost
analysis. However, while North Dakota
considered this to be of some
importance in its evaluation of non-air
quality environmental impacts and its
elimination of SNCR as a potential
BART option at Coal Creek Station, we
note that North Dakota has selected
SNCR as BART at several other units. In
those determinations, North Dakota did
not indicate that landfilling of fly ash
would cause any particular non-air
quality environmental impacts. And
given that this is the typical practice at
many facilities using SCR and SNCR to
control NOX, we do not find this to be
a consideration that warrants
elimination of SCR or SNCR as potential
BART control options.
Factor 4: Remaining useful life.
The remaining useful life of Coal
Creek Station Units 1 and 2 is at least
20 years. Thus, this factor does not
impact our BART determination.
Factor 5: Evaluate visibility impacts.
Great River Energy modeled the
visibility benefits for all the control
options using natural background per
the BART Guidelines. The SO2 scrubber
controls were included with every
modeling run for the NOX control
options. This modeling predicted that
the visibility improvement would range
from 1.853 deciviews with LTO +
scrubber modifications down to 1.378
deciviews for the least efficient
technology, SOFA + LNB + scrubber
modifications, at Theodore Roosevelt
(98th percentile). More information on
our interpretation of Great River
Energy’s modeling information is
included in the Technical Support
Document.
Emissions
reductions
(tons/yr)
Average cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
4,210
4,116
Based on Great River Energy’s
modeling, we anticipate that SNCR +
SOFA + LNB would provide additional
visibility improvement compared to
SOFA + LNB (higher control option) of
about 0.105 deciviews at Theodore
Roosevelt, Northern Unit, and 0.088
deciviews at Theodore Roosevelt,
Southern Unit. Also, when compared to
SOFA + LNB, SNCR + SOFA + LNB
would provide six fewer days above 0.5
deciviews at Lostwood, three fewer days
at Theodore Roosevelt, Northern Unit,
and one less day at Theodor Roosevelt,
Southern Unit.80
Step 5: Select BART.
We propose to find that BART is
SNCR + SOFA + LNB at Coal Creek
Station Units 1 and 2 with an emission
limit of 0.12 lb/MMBtu (30-day rolling
average). Of the five BART factors, cost
and visibility improvement were the
critical ones in our analysis of controls
for this source. As indicated above, we
find that the other three factors are not
significant for this BART determination.
Our evaluation of the four control
options is summarized in Table 63.
TABLE 63—SUMMARY OF EPA NOX BART ANALYSIS FOR COAL CREEK STATION UNITS 1 AND 2 BOILERS
Total installed capital cost
(MM$)
Control option
Total annual
cost
(MM$)
44.32
65.15
10.29
4.91
58.21
17.33
6.43
0.67
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
LTO + SOFA + LNB ......................
LDSCR + SOFA + LNB 1 ...............
SNCR + SOFA + LNB ...................
SOFA + LNB ..................................
Emissions
reductions
(tons/year)
4,821
4,210
2,572
1,517
Average cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
11,608
4,116
2,500
445
Incremental
cost
effectiveness
($/ton)
..........................
6,653
5,441
..........................
Visibility impacts1 2
Visibility
improvement
(delta dv)
1.853
1.760
1.507
1.419
Fewer
days >
0.5 dv
64
62
50
49
1 The visibility modeling that Great River Energy performed for Coal Creek Units 1 and 2 included SO control in addition to the noted NO
2
X
control. The modeling results shown above reflect the chosen SO2 BART control, scrubber modifications, in addition to the noted NOX control option. Thus, these values do not reflect the distinct visibility benefit from the NOX control options but do provide the incremental benefit between
the options. Also, this table only presents the modeling results for Theodore Roosevelt, Southern Unit, for 2002, because this is where and when
Great River Energy modeled the largest 98th percentile absolute impact under any scenario. However, as noted in the text and in North Dakota’s
SIP, Great River Energy modeled greater incremental benefit between SOFA + LNB and SNCR + SOFA + LNB at Theodore Roosevelt, Northern
Unit for 2002.
80 In its BART determination, the State presented
the deciview improvement at Theodore Roosevelt,
Northern Unit.
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2 The visibility improvement described in this table represents the change in the maximum 98th percentile impact over the modeled 3-year meteorological period (2001–2003) at the highest impacted Class I area, Theodore Roosevelt. Similarly, the number of days above 0.5 deciviews is
the total for the modeled 3-year meteorological period at Theodore Roosevelt.
We have concluded that SOFA + LNB
and SNCR + SOFA + LNB are both cost
effective control technologies and that
both would provide incremental
visibility benefits. SOFA + LNB has a
cost effectiveness value of $445 per ton
of NOX emissions reduced. While SNCR
+ ASOFA is more expensive than SOFA
+ LNB, it has a cost effectiveness value
of $2,500 per ton of NOX emissions
reduced. We note that this figure would
be substantially lower—approximately
$1,700 per ton—if NH3 contamination in
the fly ash can be mitigated. Either of
these values is well within the range of
values we have considered reasonable
for BART and that states other than
North Dakota have considered
reasonable for BART. It is also within
the range of values that North Dakota
considered reasonable in its NOX BART
determinations, with comparable
predicted visibility improvement. We
note that Great River Energy’s July 15,
2011 cost effectiveness estimate of
$3,198 per ton for SNCR is also within
the range that North Dakota has
considered reasonable in selecting
SNCR as BART at other EGUs.
We find the cost effectiveness values
for LTO + SOFA + LNB and LDSCR +
SOFA + LNB to be excessive and are
proposing to eliminate these options as
BART. While the incremental visibility
improvement of 0.35 to 0.25 deciviews
compared to the SNCR option is not
insignificant, both the average and
incremental cost effectiveness values
associated with these options are high.
The average cost effectiveness value for
LTO + SOFA + LNB is $11,608 per ton.
We find it is not reasonable to impose
this cost given the predicted visibility
improvement.
Using the value Great River Energy
supplied for installed capital cost, we
calculated an average cost effectiveness
value for SCR + SOFA + LNB of $4,116
per ton. Given the anticipated visibility
improvement, and the incremental cost
effectiveness value of $6,653, we are not
prepared to impose this option as
BART. We also conducted some further
analysis of costs. We determined that
Great River Energy’s value for installed
capital cost equates to approximately
$110/kW. This value appears to be low
based on actual industry experience. For
comparison, we performed an
additional analysis for LDSCR + SOFA
+ LNB using an installed capital cost of
$280/kW. We derived this value from
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EPA’s Integrated Planning Model.81 The
analysis resulted in an average cost
effectiveness value of $6,600 per ton.
This analysis provides further support
for our conclusion that the SCR option
is not reasonable.
SNCR, when combined with scrubber
modifications achieving 95% control,
would result in a significant
improvement in visibility at Theodore
Roosevelt, estimated to be 1.507
deciviews and 50 fewer days above 0.5
deciviews. As the State did not provide
discrete modeling for individual
pollutants, it is not possible to describe
the incremental visibility benefits of
SNCR, or other NOX control options,
over the selected SO2 BART control
(scrubber modifications at 95% control).
Nonetheless, when compared to SOFA
plus LNB, SNCR would result in an
incremental visibility improvement of
0.088 deciviews at Theodore Roosevelt
South Unit. North Dakota reports an
even higher visibility benefit, 0.105
deciviews, at Theodore Roosevelt North
Unit in Appendix B of the SIP, though
this was not the most impacted unit in
the baseline modeling. We note that the
State imposed SNCR as BART at
Stanton Station, where emission
reductions were estimated to be 390
tons per year or less compared to the
next lower control option, incremental
visibility improvement was estimated to
be 0.135 deciviews or less compared to
the next lower control option, and
where cost effectiveness values ranged
from $3,052 to $3,778 per ton. Given the
reasonable cost effectiveness value of
$2,500 per ton and the incremental
visibility benefit, we find it reasonable
to select SNCR as BART, especially in
light of the fact that neither of North
Dakota’s Class I areas are projected to
meet the uniform rate of progress.
In proposing a BART emission limit
of 0.12 lb/MMBtu, we adjusted the
annual design rate of 0.108 lb/MMBtu
upwards to allow for a sufficient margin
of compliance for a 30-day rolling
average limit that would apply at all
times, including during startup,
shutdown, and malfunction.82 While we
are proposing a BART limit of 0.12 lb/
MMBtu, we invite comment on whether
we should impose a different emission
limit of 0.14 lb/MMBtu on a 30-day
81 https://www.epa.gov/airmarkt/progsregs/epaipm/.
82 As discussed in the BART Guidelines, section
V (70 FR 39172, July 6, 2005), and Section 302(k)
of the CAA, emissions limits such as BART are
required to be met on a continuous basis.
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rolling average. Great River Energy has
suggested in its July 15, 2011 letter that
the Coal Creek Station units may be able
to achieve a limit below 0.14 lb/MMBtu
with a coal-drying process in
combination with combustion controls,
presumably at a lower cost effectiveness
value than SNCR plus combustion
controls.
As we have noted previously, under
section 51.308(e)(1)(iv), ‘‘each source
subject to BART [is] required to install
and operate BART as expeditiously as
practicable, but in no event later than 5
years after approval of the
implementation plan revision.’’ Based
on the retrofit of other SNCR
installations we have reviewed, we
propose a compliance deadline of five
(5) years from the date our final FIP
becomes effective.
We are also proposing monitoring,
recordkeeping, and reporting
requirements in regulatory text at the
end of this proposal.
G. Evaluation of North Dakota’s
Reasonable Progress Goal
In order to establish reasonable
progress goals for Theodore Roosevelt
and Lostwood and to determine the
controls needed for the long-term
strategy, North Dakota followed the
process established in the Regional Haze
Rule. First, North Dakota identified the
anticipated visibility improvement in
2018 in both North Dakota Class I areas
using the WRAP Community MultiScale Air Quality (CMAQ) modeling
results. This modeling identified the
extent of visibility improvement from
the baseline by pollutant for each Class
I area. The modeling relied on projected
source emission inventories, which
included enforceable Federal and state
regulations already in place and
anticipated BART controls.
North Dakota then identified sources
and source categories (other than BART
sources) in North Dakota that are major
contributors to visibility impairment
and considered whether these sources
should be controlled based on a
consideration of the factors identified in
the CAA and EPA’s regulations. See
CAA 169A(g)(1) and 40 CFR
51.308(d)(1)(i)(A). Next, based on
controls selected through this analysis,
North Dakota set the reasonable progress
goals for each Class I area and compared
the reasonable progress goals for each
area to the 2018 uniform rate of
progress. The SIP includes North
Dakota’s analysis and conclusion that
reasonable progress will be made by
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2018, including an analysis of pollutant
trends, emission reductions, and
improvements expected. The reasonable
progress discussion and analyses are
included in Section 9 of the SIP. We are
proposing to disapprove North Dakota’s
submitted reasonable progress goals as
described more fully below.
1. North Dakota’s Visibility Modeling
The primary tool WRAP relied upon
for modeling regional haze
improvements by 2018, and for
estimating North Dakota’s Reasonable
Progress Goals, was the CMAQ model.
The CMAQ model was used to estimate
2018 visibility conditions in North
Dakota and all western Class I areas,
based on application of anticipated
regional haze strategies in the various
states’ regional haze plans, including
assumed controls on BART sources.
The Regional Modeling Center (RMC)
at the University of California Riverside
conducted the CMAQ modeling under
the oversight of the WRAP Modeling
Forum. The Regional Modeling Center
developed air quality modeling inputs
including annual meteorology and
emissions inventories for: (1) A 2002
actual emissions base case, (2) a
planning case to represent the 2000–
2004 regional haze baseline period
using averages for key emissions
categories, and (3) a 2018 base case of
projected emissions determined using
factors known at the end of 2005. All
emission inventories were spatially and
temporally allocated using the Sparse
Matrix Operator Kernel Emissions
(SMOKE) modeling system. Each of
these inventories underwent a number
of revisions throughout the
development process to arrive at the
final versions used in CMAQ modeling.
A more detailed description of the
CMAQ modeling performed by WRAP
can be found in Appendix A.5 of the SIP
and in the EPA Technical Support
Document.
To supplement the WRAP modeling
effort, North Dakota conducted further
analyses using a hybrid modeling
approach to address its concerns
regarding weight of evidence and spatial
resolution issues. The North Dakota
hybrid modeling approach involved
nesting a local North Dakota CALPUFF
domain within the WRAP National
CMAQ domain, and is explained in
detail in Section 8 of the SIP.
North Dakota indicates its modeling
methodology more realistically defines
plume geometry for local large point
sources and discounts the impacts of
international sources in Canada over
which North Dakota has no control.
North Dakota is the only WRAP State
which opted to develop its own
reasonable progress modeling
methodology. Appendix W outlines
specific criteria for the use of alternate
models and it does not appear that those
criteria have been satisfied for the use
of North Dakota’s hybrid modeling.
2. North Dakota’s Reasonable Progress
‘‘Four-Factor’’ Analysis
In determining the measures
necessary to make reasonable progress,
States must take into account the
following four factors and demonstrate
how they were taken into consideration
in selecting reasonable progress goals
for a Class I area:
• Costs of Compliance,
• Time Necessary for Compliance,
• Energy and Non-air Quality
Environmental Impacts of Compliance,
and
• Remaining Useful Life of any
Potentially Affected Sources. CAA
§ 169A(g)(1) and 40 CFR 308(d)(1)(i)(A).
As the purpose of the reasonable
progress analysis is to evaluate the
potential of controlling certain sources
or source categories for addressing
visibility from manmade sources, the
four-factor analysis conducted by North
Dakota addresses only anthropogenic
sources, on the assumption that the
focus should be on sources that can be
‘‘controlled.’’ In its evaluation of
potential sources or source categories
for reasonable progress, North Dakota
primarily considered point sources.
North Dakota also only considered
controls for emissions of SO2 and NOX
(i.e., sulfate and nitrate) which are
typically associated with anthropogenic
sources. Previous BART modeling that
the State conducted showed that PM
emissions from point sources contribute
only a minimal amount to the visibility
impairment in the North Dakota Class I
areas. More discussion on sources of
sulfate and nitrate emissions and the
State’s rationale for focusing on point
sources is included in Section 9.4 of the
SIP.
To identify the point sources in North
Dakota that potentially affect visibility
in Class I areas, North Dakota started
with the list of sources subject to Title
V permitting requirements. Based on
2007 data, the State determined that
Title V source emissions represent a
very high percentage of the point source
SO2 and NOX emissions in North
Dakota—approximately 98 to 99%.
North Dakota then divided the actual
emissions (Q) in tons per year from the
Title V sources by their distance (D) in
kilometers to the nearest Class I Federal
area. Actual annual emissions were
determined based on total average
emissions for the period 2000–2004 for
SO2 and NOX combined. North Dakota
decided to use a Q/D value of 10 as its
threshold for further evaluation for
reasonable progress controls. North
Dakota chose this value based on the
Federal Land Managers’ proposed FLAG
guidance amendments for initial
screening criteria, as well as the State’s
interpretation of statements in EPA’s
BART guidelines.83 A comprehensive
list of the Title V Sources the State
reviewed is included in Table 9.4 of the
North Dakota SIP. The sources with Q/
D results greater than 10 are listed
below in Table 64.
TABLE 64—NORTH DAKOTA Q/D ANALYSIS SOURCES WITH RESULTS GREATER THAN 10
SO2 + NOX
2000–2004
Average
(tons)
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
Source
Owner
Antelope Valley Station Unit 1 .................
Antelope Valley Station Unit 2 .................
Grasslands Gas Plant ..............................
Lignite Gas Plant .....................................
Great Plains Synfuels ..............................
Basin Electric ..........................................
Basin Electric ..........................................
Bear Paw Energy ....................................
Bear Paw Energy ....................................
Dakota Gasification Co ...........................
83 The relevant language in our BART Guidelines
reads, ‘‘Based on our analyses, we believe that a
State that has established 0.5 deciviews as a
contribution threshold could reasonably exempt
from the BART review process sources that emit
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Nearest
class I area
Distance to
nearest
class I area
(km)
Nearest Q/D
(tons/km)
13,864
12,796
748
463
10,802
TRNP
TRNP
TRNP
Lostwood
TRNP
107
107
38
15
107
129.6
119.6
19.7
30.9
101.0
less than 500 tons per year of NOX or SO2 (or
combined NOX and SO2), as long as these sources
are located more than 50 kilometers from any Class
I area; and sources that emit less than 1000 tons per
year of NOX or SO2 (or combined NOX and SO2) that
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are located more than 100 kilometers from any
Class I area.’’ (See 40 CFR 51, appendix Y, section
III, How to Identify Sources ‘‘Subject to BART.’’)
The values described equate to a Q/D of 10.
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TABLE 64—NORTH DAKOTA Q/D ANALYSIS SOURCES WITH RESULTS GREATER THAN 10—Continued
SO2 + NOX
2000–2004
Average
(tons)
Source
Owner
Tioga Gas Plant .......................................
Heskett Plant Unit 2 .................................
Comp. Station No. 4 ................................
Coyote Station .........................................
Little Knife Gas Plant ...............................
Mandan Refinery ......................................
Hess Corporation ....................................
MDU Company ........................................
Northern Border Pipeline ........................
Otter Tail Power Company .....................
Petro-Hunt ...............................................
Tesoro .....................................................
For the reasons described below, the
State eliminated from further
consideration several sources that met
the Q/D criteria. After the 2000–2004
baseline period, Bear Paw Energy began
injecting acid gas at its Grasslands and
Lignite Gas Plants. This has eliminated
SO2 emissions, except during
malfunctions of the injection
equipment. The gas injection process is
included in Bear Paw Energy’s Title V
permits and reduces its Q/D for the two
facilities to 9.8 and 8.1 including
malfunction emissions. The Northern
Border Pipeline Company Compressor
Nearest
class I area
Distance to
nearest
class I area
(km)
Nearest Q/D
(tons/km)
3,655
3,411
188
27,804
422
5,757
Lostwood
TRNP
TRNP
TRNP
TRNP
TRNP
35
182
18
112
39
182
104.4
18.7
10.4
248.3
10.8
31.6
Station No. 4 is powered by a natural
gas turbine that was replaced with a
lower emitting turbine in 2005; this
reduced its Q/D to 6.6. Petro Hunt’s
Little Knife Gas Plant’s SO2 and NOX
emissions are on the decline due to a
decrease in gas volume and new
production coming from the Bakken
formation, which contains sweet gas.
Based on its emissions in 2008, the
Little Knife Gas Plant had a Q/D of 7.6,
and emissions are expected to continue
to decline in the future. The Tesoro
Refining and Marketing Company’s
Mandan Refinery is subject to a consent
decree that requires substantial
emissions reductions. Since the baseline
period, Tesoro has installed a wet
scrubber and ESP to control SO2
emissions from the catalytic cracking
unit, LNB in the boilers, and other
improvements that have reduced its Q/
D to 7.9.
North Dakota undertook a more
detailed analysis of the remaining
sources that exceeded a Q/D of 10.
These sources are shown below in Table
65.
TABLE 65—NORTH DAKOTA SOURCES FOR REASONABLE PROGRESS FOUR-FACTOR ANALYSES
Source
Owner
Unit
Type
Capacity
Antelope Valley Station ............................
Antelope Valley Station ............................
Coyote Station .........................................
Great Plains Synfuels Plant .....................
Basin Electric Power Coop. ....................
Basin Electric Power Coop. ....................
Otter Tail Power Co. ...............................
Dakota Gasification Co. ..........................
1
2
Main Boiler
Boilers A, B
and S
EGU
EGU
EGU
Industrial
Boilers
Hess Corp. ..............................................
3
Sulfur
Recovery
Unit (SRU)
Tioga Gas Plant .......................................
Hess Corp. ..............................................
C1–A to F
Heskett Station 84 .....................................
Montana Dakota Utilities .........................
2
Compressor
engines
EGU
435 MWe
435 MWe
450 MWe
763 x 106
BTU/hr
each
225
long tons
per day
(LTPD)
1920–2350
BHp each
78 MWe
Tioga Gas Plant .......................................
The control options and costs that
North Dakota considered were derived,
in part, from WRAP’s
report, Supplementary Information for
Four-Factor Analyses for Selected
Individual Facilities in North Dakota,
May 18, 2009. A copy of this report and
other related information is included in
Appendix I.1 of the SIP. A summary of
the control options considered along
with their corresponding costs is
provided in Table 67. The State made
certain adjustments to WRAP’s values;
these are identified in the SIP.
SO2 + NOX
2000–2004
Average
(tons/yr)
13,864
12,796
27,804
10,802
1,097
1,353
3,411
Four Factor Analysis
Current Controls
Table 66 shows the current controls in
place at each reasonable progress
source.
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
TABLE 66—CURRENT CONTROL FOR REASONABLE PROGRESS SOURCES
Source
Pollutant
Antelope Valley Station 1 ......................................
Antelope Valley Station 2 ......................................
84 Because of a BART applicability issue, North
Dakota did not complete the reasonable progress
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SO2
NOX
SO2
NOX
Control
..........................................................
..........................................................
..........................................................
..........................................................
analysis for Heskett Unit 2 in time for inclusion as
part of its March 3, 2010 submittal. The State
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Spray Dryer.
OFA.
Spray Dryer.
OFA.
submitted the four factor analysis for Heskett as
Supplement No. 1.
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Federal Register / Vol. 76, No. 183 / Wednesday, September 21, 2011 / Proposed Rules
TABLE 66—CURRENT CONTROL FOR REASONABLE PROGRESS SOURCES—Continued
Source
Pollutant
Coyote ...................................................................
Tioga Gas Plant SRU Engines .............................
Great Plains Synfuels Plant—Boilers ....................
Heskett ..................................................................
Because upgrades of the spray dryers
at Antelope Valley Units 1 and 2 are
already in progress, the State did not
consider this option for these units
during this planning period. The State
expects the spray dryers to achieve 90%
removal efficiency but doesn’t expect a
reduction in emissions because of an
anticipated increase in coal sulfur
content. At the Coyote Station, the State
SO2
NOX
SO2
NOX
SO2
NOX
SO2
NOX
Control
..........................................................
..........................................................
..........................................................
..........................................................
..........................................................
..........................................................
..........................................................
..........................................................
evaluated replacing the existing spray
dryer. The boilers at Great Plains
Synfuels Plant are equipped with an
NH3 reagent wet scrubbing system
followed by a wet ESP. This system is
achieving 96–97% removal of SO2 from
the flue gas. The State determined that
this removal efficiency is comparable to
BACT and BART for industrial boilers
of this size; thus the State did not
Spray Dryer.
None.
3 Stage Claus + 4 bed Cold Bed Absorber.
None.
Wet Scrubber.
None.
None.
None.
evaluate additional SO2 controls for this
source.
Cost of Compliance
Table 67 shows the cost of
compliance for the control technologies
evaluated for each of the reasonable
progress sources.
TABLE 67—CONTROL OPTION COSTS FOR REASONABLE PROGRESS SOURCES
Unit
Source
Antelope Valley
Station.
Pollutant
Control technology
1 .........................
SO2 ....................
New Wet Scrubber.
LNB ....................
SNCR .................
LNB + SNCR .....
SCR w/reheat ....
LNB + SCR w/reheat.
New Wet Scrubber.
LNB ....................
SNCR .................
LNB + SNCR .....
SCR w/reheat ....
LNB + SCR w/reheat.
New Wet Scrubber.
ASOFA ...............
SNCR .................
ASOFA + SNCR
SCR w/reheat ....
ASOFA + SCR
w/reheat.
WS + LI ..............
WS .....................
CDS/Bag + LI ....
SD/Bag + LI .......
CDS/Bag ............
SD/Bag ..............
LI ........................
LDSCR ...............
TESCR ...............
SNCR .................
Staged Combustion.
Tail Gas Clean
Up.
Air Fuel Ratio
Controller.
Ignition Timing
Retard.
NOX ...................
Antelope Valley
Station.
2 .........................
SO2 ....................
NOX ...................
SO2 ....................
Coyote Station ....
1 .........................
NOX ...................
Heskett Station ....
2 .........................
SO2 ....................
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
NOX ...................
Tioga Gas Plant ..
SO2 ....................
1920 Hp Engines
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SRU ...................
NOX ...................
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Control efficiency (%)
Sfmt 4702
Emissions reductions
(tons/yr)
Total
annualized
cost ($ millions)
Cost effectiveness ($/ton)
95
6,780
32.17
4,745
51
40
65
80
90
3,889
3,050
4,956
6,100
6,863
2.28
8.96
11.24
44.00
46.30
586
2,938
2,268
7,213
6,746
95
5,899
32.17
5,453
51
40
65
80
90
3,450
2,706
4,397
5,411
6,087
2.28
8.96
11.24
44.00
46.30
661
3,311
2,556
8,132
7,606
95
12,835
33.28
2,593
40
40
55
80
90
5,223
5,223
7,182
10,446
11,752
1.28
8.52
11.25
45.30
46.60
246
1,631
1,566
4,337
3,965
96
95
95
94
92
90
60
80
80
33
20
2,582
2,556
2,556
2,539
2,475
2,421
1,614
858
858
354
215
13.35
12.30
11.95
10.86
10.99
9.81
1.05
5.21
6.05
1.42
0.37
5,171
4,813
4,673
4,296
4,402
4,054
651
6,079
7,050
4,023
1,702
99.8
1,018
5.80
5,697
25
305
0.26
852
22
268
0.14
522
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TABLE 67—CONTROL OPTION COSTS FOR REASONABLE PROGRESS SOURCES—Continued
Total
annualized
cost ($ millions)
Control technology
NOX ...................
NOX ...................
LEC Retrofit .......
SCR ...................
SCR ...................
SNCR .................
85
80
50
30
1,035
974
34
259
0.56
1.60
0.50
1.69
541
1,643
1,471
6,525
80
670
5.50
8,216
Unit
Great Plains Synfuels Plant.
2350 Hp Engines
Boilers (information is per
each boiler).
The State found that the following
control options have excessive cost
effectiveness values:
• Antelope Valley 1 & 2—Wet
scrubber; SCR w/reheat; and LNB + SCR
w/reheat.
• Coyote—SCR w/reheat and ASOFA
+ SCR w/reheat.
• Heskett—Wet scrubber; circulating
dry scrubber, with or without limestone
injection; spray dryer, with or without
limestone injection; SCR; and SNCR .
• Tioga Gas Plant—Tail Gas Cleanup.
• Great Plains Synfuels Plant—SNCR
and SCR.
Also, at Heskett, the State found that
SNCR plus staged combustion is not
technically feasible. The State expressed
concerns that SCR and SNCR may not
be technically feasible at Great Plains
Synfuels Plant. The State did not further
evaluate the controls that it found had
excessive cost effectiveness values or
that it found were not technically
feasible.
Time Necessary for Compliance
Relying on the EC/R report, the State
found that up to 6.5 years after SIP
approval would be necessary to achieve
compliance with some of the control
options and that additional time might
Control efficiency (%)
Emissions reductions
(tons/yr)
Pollutant
SCR ...................
Source
be necessary if normal maintenance
outages did not coincide with projected
schedules.
Energy and Non-Air Impacts
The State found that all of the control
technologies for the various sources
would consume energy and that
enhancement of the lb/MMBtu
scrubbing system at Coyote Station
would increase the amount of solid
waste generated. However, the State
concluded that the energy and non-air
impacts would not preclude the
selection of any of the technologies
identified at any of the facilities.
Remaining Useful Life of the Source
With the exception of the engines at
Tioga Gas Plant, the State found that the
remaining useful life of the sources
would be at least 20 years and would
not preclude the selection of any of the
control options. The State anticipated
that the engines at Tioga may need to be
refurbished before 20 years but that this
would extend their remaining useful life
indefinitely.
Visibility Improvement
In addition to evaluating the four
statutory factors, North Dakota also
Cost effectiveness ($/ton)
considered the visibility impacts
associated with the control options for
each RP source. However, in modeling
visibility impacts, North Dakota used a
hybrid cumulative modeling approach
that is inappropriate for determining the
visibility impact for individual sources.
As with the modeling North Dakota
conducted for its NOX BART analysis
for MRYS Units 1 and 2 and LOS Unit
2, the approach fails to compare singlesource impacts to natural background.
While there is no requirement that
States, when performing RP analyses,
follow the modeling procedures set out
in the BART guidelines, or that they
consider visibility impacts at all, we
find that North Dakota’s visibility
modeling significantly understates the
visibility improvement that would be
realized for the control options under
consideration. Accordingly, we are
disregarding the modeling analysis that
North Dakota has used to support its RP
determinations for individual sources.
Table 68 shows the State’s cost
effectiveness and visibility modeling
results.
TABLE 68—NORTH DAKOTA’S MODELED VISIBILITY IMPROVEMENT FOR REASONABLE PROGRESS SOURCES 1
Source
Pollutant
Control technology
Visibility
improvement (dv)
TRNP
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
Antelope Valley Station 1 ...............
Antelope Valley Station 2 ...............
Coyote .............................................
Tioga G.P. 1920 BHp Engines
2350 BHp Engines.
Heskett ............................................
LWA
Cost
effectiveness
($/dv)
NOX .......................................
NOX .......................................
SO2 NOX ...............................
NOX .......................................
LNB + SNCR ..................................
LNB + SNCR ..................................
Wet Scrubber ASOFA + SNCR .....
SCR ................................................
0.005
0.005
0.02
0
0.01
0.01
0.04
2 0.05
1,124,000,000
1,124,000,000
1,113,000,000
21,200,000
SO2 ........................................
NOX .......................................
Limestone Injection .........................
SNCR Staged Combustion .............
..............
0.009
............
0.003
116,667,000
158,222,000
40,667,000
.
1 For
Tioga, the visibility improvement is for all engines. The visibility improvement numbers for Coyote and Heskett represent the combined
benefit from SO2 and NOX. For Heskett, the State modeled one scenario that assumed 95% SO2 control and 40% NOX control.
2 For Tioga, the SIP indicates the visibility improvement is 0.5 deciviews. The State informed us in a letter dated August 3, 2010 that this was
an error and that the actual modeled value is 0.05 deciviews.
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Federal Register / Vol. 76, No. 183 / Wednesday, September 21, 2011 / Proposed Rules
3. North Dakota’s Conclusions From Its
Four-Factor Analysis
The State determined that requiring
additional controls on the reasonable
progress sources will not substantially
improve visibility in the Class I Federal
Areas. Based on its cumulative
modeling for the average of the 20%
worst days, the State determined that
the maximum combined improvement
from use of the most efficient control
options carried forward in the analysis
for each source would be 0.11 deciviews
at Lostwood and 0.03 deciviews at
Theodore Roosevelt. According to the
State, this amounts to a 0.17%
improvement at Theodore Roosevelt
over the baseline condition for the most
impaired days and 0.56% improvement
at Lostwood National Wildlife Refuge
Wilderness Area. The State determined
that the cost effectiveness value was
over 618 million dollars per deciview of
improvement at Lostwood and 2.3
billion dollars per deciview at Theodore
Roosevelt. For all reasonable progress
sources, the State determined that the
cost ($/deciviews) was excessive, both
on an individual and a cumulative
basis. Therefore, the State concluded
that no additional controls are
warranted under reasonable progress
during this planning period.
Controls at Coyote Station and Heskett
Station
While the State concluded that
additional controls are not warranted for
purposes of meeting reasonable
progress, the State nonetheless included
controls for Coyote Station and Heskett
Station in the SIP. For Coyote Station,
the State reached an agreement with the
owner/operator to reduce NOX
emissions by approximately 4,213 tons
per year from the facility’s 2000 to 2004
baseline. This represents a decrease of
approximately 32%. To effectuate this
reduction, North Dakota issued a permit
to construct to Coyote Station and
included it in the SIP. See SIP
Amendment No. 1, submitted July 28,
2011. The permit requires that Coyote
Station comply with an emissions limit
of 0.50 lb/MMBtu (30-day rolling
average) by July 1, 2018.
For Heskett Station, the State reached
an agreement with the owner/operator
to use limestone injection into the boiler
to reduce SO2 emissions by
approximately 573 tons per year from
the facility’s 2000 to 2004 baseline
emissions. This represents a decrease of
approximately 34% from the facility’s
2007 to 2008 baseline emissions. To
effectuate this reduction, North Dakota
issued a permit to construct to Heskett
Station and included it in the SIP. See
SIP Supplement No. 1, submitted July
27, 2011. The permit requires that
Heskett Station achieve a minimum
70% reduction of SO2 (coal to stack) or
comply with an SO2 emissions limit of
0.60 lb/MMBtu (12-month rolling
average) within five years of EPA’s
approval of the permit to construct as
part of the SIP.
4. Establishment of the Reasonable
Progress Goal
40 CFR 308(d)(1) of the Regional Haze
Rule requires States to ‘‘establish goals
(in deciviews) that provide for
reasonable progress towards achieving
natural visibility conditions’’ for each
Class I area of the State. These
reasonable progress goals are interim
goals that must provide for incremental
visibility improvement for the most
impaired visibility days, and ensure no
degradation for the least impaired
visibility days. The reasonable progress
goals for the first planning period are
goals for the year 2018.
Based on (1) The results of the WRAP
CMAQ modeling, (2) the results of the
four-factor analysis of major North
Dakota sources, and (3) the emission
controls on North Dakota BART sources,
North Dakota established reasonable
progress goals for the most impaired
days for both of North Dakota’s Class I
areas, as identified in Table 69 below.
Also shown in Table 69 is a comparison
of the reasonable progress goals to the
uniform rate of progress for both Class
I areas. The reasonable progress goals
for the 20% worst days fall short of the
uniform rate of progress by 1.77 and
2.25 deciviews for Theodore Roosevelt
and Lostwood, respectively. In Sections
8 and 9 of the SIP, the State presented
additional scenarios that compared the
State’s hybrid modeling results to the
WRAP modeling results. The State’s
hybrid modeling approach results in
more optimistic estimations of visibility
improvements. However, even when the
State set all North Dakota SO2 and NOX
emissions to zero in the hybrid model,
it could not meet the uniform rate of
progress.
TABLE 69—COMPARISON OF REASONABLE PROGRESS GOALS TO UNIFORM RATE OF PROGRESS ON MOST IMPAIRED
DAYS FOR NORTH DAKOTA CLASS I AREAS
Visibility conditions on 20% worst days
(dv)
North Dakota class I area
Average for 20%
worst days
(baseline 2000–
2004)
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
Theodore Roosevelt National Park .................................................
Lostwood Wilderness Area ..............................................................
North Dakota’s reasonable progress
goals for Theodore Roosevelt for 2018
for the 20% worst days represents a 0.6
deciviews improvement over baseline
and its reasonable progress goals for
Lostwood for 2018 represents a 0.5
deciviews improvement over baseline.
North Dakota’s reasonable progress
goals establish a slower rate of progress
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2018 URP goal
17.80
19.57
than the uniform rate of progress. North
Dakota has calculated that under the
rate of progress represented by its
reasonable progress goals, North Dakota
would attain natural visibility
conditions in 156 years at Theodore
Roosevelt and 232 years at Lostwood.
Table 70 provides a comparison of
North Dakota’s reasonable progress
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RPG
(WRAP
projection)
15.47
16.87
17.24
19.12
Percentage of
URP achieved
24.0
16.7
goals to baseline conditions on the least
impaired days. This comparison
demonstrates that North Dakota’s
reasonable progress goals will result in
no degradation in visibility conditions
in the first planning period; instead, for
the 20% best days, there would be a
slight improvement in visibility from
the baseline for both Class I areas.
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58629
TABLE 70—COMPARISON OF REASONABLE PROGRESS GOALS TO BASELINE CONDITIONS ON LEAST IMPAIRED DAYS FOR
NORTH DAKOTA CLASS I AREAS
Visibility conditions on 20% best
days
(dv)
North Dakota class I area
Average for 20%
best days
(baseline 2000–
2004)
Theodore Roosevelt National Park .................................................................................
Lostwood Wilderness Area ..............................................................................................
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
North Dakota believes the reasonable
progress goals it established for the
North Dakota Class I areas are
reasonable, and that it is not reasonable
to achieve the glide path in 2018, for the
following reasons:
1. Findings from the four-factor
analysis along with the State’s visibility
analyses resulted in excessive dollar per
deciview costs for additional controls.
2. Sources outside of the modeling
domain and in Canada contribute 50–
67% of the sulfate or nitrate to North
Dakota’s Class I areas. These are the
pollutants that cause the greatest
visibility impairment in such areas.
Canadian sources are not under the
control of North Dakota or the
surrounding States and will not be
significantly controlled by 2018. North
Dakota conducted modeling to emulate
100% control of all in-state sources and
demonstrated that the uniform rate of
progress would still not be met.
3. After sulfate and nitrate, the next
largest contributor to visibility
impairment in North Dakota’s Class I
areas is organic carbon. Much of the
organic carbon emissions, which
account for approximately 15% and
18% of the extinction at Lostwood and
Theodore Roosevelt, respectively, on the
20% worst days, are from natural fires
that cannot be controlled.
5. Reasonable Progress Consultation
North Dakota consulted directly with
neighboring states and through the
WRAP, and relied on the technical
tools, policy documents, and other
products that all western states used to
develop their regional haze plans. The
WRAP Implementation Work Group was
one of the primary collaboration
mechanisms. In addition, North Dakota
consulted directly with the State of
Minnesota through the Minnesota
Pollution Control Agency. Discussions
with neighboring states included the
review of major contributing sources of
air pollution, as documented in
numerous WRAP reports and projects.
The focus of this review process was
interstate transport of emissions, major
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sources believed to be contributing, and
whether any mitigation measures were
needed. All the states relied upon
similar emission inventories, results
from source apportionment studies and
BART modeling, review of IMPROVE
monitoring data, existing state smoke
management programs, and other
information in assessing the extent to
which each state contributes to visibility
impairment other states’ Class I areas.
40 CFR 51.308(d)(3)(ii) of the Regional
Haze Rule requires a state to
demonstrate that its regional haze plan
includes all measures necessary to
obtain its fair share of emission
reductions needed to meet reasonable
progress goals. Based on the
consultation described above, North
Dakota identified no major
contributions that supported developing
new interstate strategies, mitigation
measures, or emission reduction
obligations. Both North Dakota and
neighboring states agreed that the
implementation of BART and other
existing measures in state regional haze
plans were sufficient for the states to
meet the reasonable progress goals for
their Class I areas, and that future
consultation would address any new
strategies or measures needed.
H. Our Conclusion on North Dakota’s
Reasonable Progress Goal and Need for
Additional Controls
We agree with North Dakota’s
conclusion that it is not reasonable to
meet the uniform rate of progress for
Theodore Roosevelt and Lostwood by
2018. In particular, North Dakota’s
modeling showed that even if all inState emissions were reduced to zero,
North Dakota could still not achieve the
uniform rate of progress at its Class I
areas. We also agree with North Dakota’s
conclusion that it appropriately
consulted with other states and
determined that it needed no further
controls beyond those already contained
in the SIP to address impacts on Class
I areas in other states. However, we
disagree with North Dakota’s conclusion
that no additional controls on non-
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RPG
(WRAP
projection)
7.76
8.19
7.67
8.06
Achieved ‘‘no
degradation’’
(Y/N)
Y
Y
BART sources are reasonable and
disagree with North Dakota’s selected
reasonable progress goals.
Because the reasonable progress goals
fall short of the uniform rate of progress,
North Dakota must demonstrate that its
reasonable progress goals and rejection
of reasonable progress controls is
reasonable, based on the four factors. 40
CFR 51.308(d)(1)(ii).
As an initial matter, we disagree with
the State’s assessment of visibility
improvement at individual reasonable
progress sources. While it is reasonable
for a state to consider visibility
improvement as an additional factor in
its reasonable progress analysis when
evaluating visibility benefits from
potential control options at individual
sources, it is not appropriate to assume
degraded background conditions, as the
State did. As we note above, using
degraded rather than natural
background in the modeling produces
estimates that greatly underestimate the
benefits of potential control options.
The ultimate goal of the regional haze
program is to achieve natural visibility
conditions, not to preserve degraded
conditions.
As a result of North Dakota’s
inappropriate visibility modeling
approach, North Dakota greatly
understated visibility improvements in
deciviews.85 Thus, cost effectiveness
values, when expressed in dollars per
deciview, were overestimated. Also, it is
important to recognize that dollars per
deciview values will always be
significantly higher, often by several
orders of magnitude, than the more
85 The SIP includes 98th percentile modeling
using natural background for the BART sources.
Many of the reasonable progress sources are also
large EGUs that are located in the same general area
of the State. While we do not have specific BART
Guidelines-compliant modeling for all of the
reasonable progress sources, we would expect
similar emissions reductions at the reasonable
progress sources would produce visibility benefits
of the same order of magnitude as at the BART
sources. We do not find it reasonable to model
BART sources one way and then model similar
reasonable progress sources a different way when
the ultimate goal is the same—attain natural
visibility conditions by 2064.
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Federal Register / Vol. 76, No. 183 / Wednesday, September 21, 2011 / Proposed Rules
commonly used and understood dollars
per ton values.
Below we discuss each reasonable
progress source and EPA’s conclusions
regarding the State’s reasonable progress
determination.
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
Antelope Valley Station Units 1 and 2
EPA is proposing to approve the
State’s conclusion that no additional
SO2 controls are warranted for these two
units for this planning period. The cost
effectiveness values for a new wet
scrubber at each unit are $4,735 and
$5,453 per ton. Also, the State noted
that the existing spray dryers are already
being upgraded. Based on the cost
effectiveness values, we find that North
Dakota reasonably rejected additional
SO2 controls during this planning
period.
EPA does not agree with the State’s
conclusion that no additional controls
are reasonable for NOX for this planning
period. In particular, the cost
effectiveness values for low-NOX
burners at each unit are $586 and $661
per ton. These values are very
reasonable and far less than many of the
cost effectiveness values the State found
reasonable in making its BART
determinations. Given predicted NOX
reductions of approximately 3,500 tons
per unit per year, and the fact that North
Dakota’s reasonable progress goals will
not meet the uniform rate of progress,
we find that it was unreasonable for the
State to reject these highly inexpensive
controls. EPA is proposing NOX controls
for these two units in section V.I below.
Coyote Station
EPA is proposing to approve the
State’s conclusion that no additional
SO2 control is warranted for this
planning period. The cost effectiveness
value for a new wet scrubber is $2,593
per ton. While this is within the range
of cost effectiveness values that North
Dakota, other states, and we have
considered reasonable in the BART
context, it is not so low that we are
prepared to disapprove the State’s
conclusion in the reasonable progress
context. We emphasize that Coyote
currently employs a spray dryer to
control SO2 emissions at a control
efficiency of approximately 66%. The
existence of these controls has also
influenced our decision.
EPA does not agree with the State’s
conclusion that no additional NOX
controls are reasonable for this planning
period. In particular, the cost
effectiveness value for ASOFA is $246
per ton. This value is very reasonable
and far less than many of the cost
effectiveness values the State found
reasonable in making its BART
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determinations. Given the predicted
NOX reduction of approximately 5,223
tons per year, and the fact that North
Dakota’s reasonable progress goals will
not meet the uniform rate of progress,
we find that it was unreasonable for the
State to reject this highly inexpensive
control for reasonable progress.
However, as noted above, the State
reached an agreement whereby the
owner/operator of Coyote Station will
meet a NOX emission limit of 0.50 lb/
MMBtu by July 1, 2018. It is anticipated
the source will meet this limit by
installing OFA. North Dakota has made
this limit enforceable through a permit
to construct that it submitted as part of
SIP Amendment No. 1. While we
disagree with the State’s reasoning
regarding reasonable progress, we find
the proposed limit to be reasonable to
meet reasonable progress requirements
at Coyote Station for this initial
planning period. We are proposing to
approve the permit to construct that
contains this limit.
Tioga Gas Plant
Based on the relatively small
predicted emissions reductions and the
cost effectiveness values, we are
proposing to approve the State’s
determination that no additional SO2 or
NOX controls are reasonable for this
source in this initial planning period.
Great Plains Synfuels Plant
EPA agrees with the State that the
current SO2 controls are achieving the
most stringent level of control; thus,
analysis of other SO2 controls is not
necessary. We also agree with the State’s
determination that additional NOX
controls are not reasonable during this
initial planning period based on the
high cost effectiveness values for those
controls ($6,525 to $8,216 per ton) and
the relatively modest emissions
reductions that would be achieved.
Heskett Station Unit 2
We find reasonable the State’s
conclusion that some of the higher
performing SO2 controls are not
reasonable for SO2 for this initial
planning period. The cost effectiveness
values for all SO2 control options above
limestone injection are relatively high,
ranging from about $4,000 to $5,000 per
ton. We do not agree with the State’s
conclusion that limestone injection, at
$651 per ton, is not reasonable during
this planning period. However, as noted
above, the State reached an agreement
whereby the owner/operator of Heskett
Station will install limestone injection
and will reduce SO2 by at least 70%
(coal to stack, 12-month rolling average)
or meet an SO2 emissions limit of 0.60
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lb/MMBtu (12-month rolling average).
North Dakota has made this limit
enforceable through a permit to
construct that it submitted as part of SIP
Supplement No. 1. The permit requires
compliance with the emissions limits
within five years of EPA’s approval of
the permit. While we disagree with the
State’s reasoning regarding reasonable
progress, we find the proposed SO2
limits to be reasonable to meet
reasonable progress requirements at
Heskett Station for this initial planning
period. We are proposing to approve the
permit to construct that contains these
limits.
EPA is proposing to approve the
State’s determination that no additional
NOX controls at Heskett Station Unit 2
are reasonable in this planning period.
The cost effectiveness values for
potential NOX controls are too high and/
or the emissions reductions are too
modest.
Because we are proposing to
disapprove North Dakota’s reasonable
progress determination for NOX for
Antelope Valley Station Units 1 and 2
and setting NOX limits through a FIP,
and because we are proposing to
disapprove North Dakota’s NOX BART
determinations for Milton R. Young
Station Units 1 and 2, Leland Olds
Station Unit 2, and Coal Creek Station
Units 1 and 2, we are proposing to
disapprove North Dakota’s reasonable
progress goals. North Dakota’s
reasonable progress goals do not
represent appropriate NOX BART
controls at Milton R. Young Station
Units 1 and 2, Leland Olds Station Unit
2, and Coal Creek Station Units 1 and
2 or appropriate NOX reasonable
progress controls at Antelope Valley
Station Units 1 and 2. Accordingly, we
are proposing to replace North Dakota’s
reasonable progress goals in our FIP.
I. Federal Implementation Plan To
Address Nitrogen Oxides (NOX)
Reasonable Progress Measures for
Antelope Valley Station Units 1 and 2
and Reasonable Progress Goals
1. Introduction
As discussed above, we propose to
disapprove North Dakota’s reasonable
progress conclusion that no additional
controls at Antelope Valley Station
Units 1 and 2 are warranted during this
planning period. To correct the
deficiencies identified in our proposed
disapproval, we are proposing a FIP.
Because we are proposing to disapprove
North Dakota’s reasonable progress
goals, we are also proposing a FIP to
replace them.
In proposing a FIP to address
reasonable progress emission reductions
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and reasonable progress goals, we must
consider the same factors that states are
required to consider.
2. Reasonable Progress Analysis for
Antelope Valley Station Units 1 and 2
As noted above in section V.G.2.,
North Dakota conducted an analysis of
potential NOX controls at Antelope
Valley Station. In doing so, it
considered the factors identified in the
CAA and EPA’s regulations. See CAA
169A(g)(1) and 40 CFR
51.308(d)(1)(i)(A). It also considered
visibility impacts. Our analysis is based
on the information provided by North
Dakota, except that, as we explain
below, we are disregarding North
Dakota’s visibility analysis.
The BART Guidelines recommend
that states utilize a five-step process for
determining BART for EGU sources
above 750 MW in size. Although this
five-step process is not required for
making reasonable progress
determinations, we have elected to
largely follow it in our reasonable
progress analysis because there is some
overlap in the statutory BART and
reasonable progress factors and because
it provides a reasonable structure for
evaluating potential control options.
Units 1 and 2 are tangentially-fired
boilers, each having a generating
capacity of 435 MW. These boilers are
not BART-eligible because they
commenced operation in the 1980s,
after the 15-year period specified in the
58631
Regional Haze Rule. The boilers burn
North Dakota lignite.
Step 1: Identify All Available
Technologies.
Our analysis considers LNB, SNCR,
SNCR + LNB, SCR, and SCR + LNB.
Both boilers are already equipped with
OFA systems.
Step 2: Eliminate Technically
Infeasible Options.
We are not eliminating any of the
control options as being technically
infeasible.
Step 3: Evaluate Control Effectiveness
of Remaining Control Technology.
A summary of emissions projections
for the various control options is
provided in Table 71.
TABLE 71—SUMMARY OF ANTELOPE VALLEY STATION NOX REASONABLE PROGRESS ANALYSIS CONTROL TECHNOLOGIES
FOR UNITS 1 AND 2 BOILERS
Control option
Control efficiency
(%)
Emissions 1
(tons/yr)
Emissions
reduction
(tons/yr)
Emissions 1
(tons/yr)
Unit 1
SCR + LNB ......................................................
SCR ..................................................................
SNCR + LNB ...................................................
SNCR ...............................................................
LNB ..................................................................
No Controls (Baseline) .....................................
1 Calculated
90
80
65
40
51
0
762
1,525
2,669
4,575
3,736
7,625
Emissions
reduction
(tons/yr)
Unit 2
6,863
6,100
4,956
3,050
3,889
............................
678
1,354
2,368
4,059
3,315
6,765
6,087
5,411
4,397
2,706
3,450
............................
from North Dakota’s emissions reductions and control efficiencies.
Step 4: Evaluate Impacts and
Document Results.
Factor 1: Costs of compliance.
Table 72 provides a summary of
estimated annual costs for the various
control options. These values are based
on North Dakota’s estimates in Section
9 of the SIP.
TABLE 72—SUMMARY OF ANTELOPE VALLEY STATION NOX REASONABLE PROGRESS COST ANALYSIS FOR UNITS 1 AND 2
BOILERS
Total Annual 1
Cost (MM$)
(same for both
units)
Control option
Cost
Effectiveness
($/ton)
Unit 1
SCR + LNB ....................................................................................................................
SCR ...............................................................................................................................
SNCR + LNB .................................................................................................................
SNCR .............................................................................................................................
LNB ................................................................................................................................
Cost
Effectiveness
($/ton)
Unit 2
46.3
44
11.24
8.96
2.28
6,746
7,213
2,268
2,938
586
7,606
8,132
2,556
3,311
661
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
1 North Dakota presented a range of costs for SCR; we are reporting the low end of the range based on our position on catalyst life and other
considerations discussed in our BART FIP for Milton R. Young Station and Leland Olds Station.
Factor 2: Energy impacts.
The additional energy requirements
involved in installation and operation of
the evaluated controls are not
significant enough to warrant
eliminating any of the control options.
Factor 3: Non-air quality
environmental impacts.
The non-air quality environmental
impacts are not significant enough to
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warrant eliminating any of the control
options.
Factor 4: Remaining useful life.
The remaining useful life of Antelope
Valley Units 1 and 2 is at least 20 years.
Thus, this factor does not impact our
reasonable progress determination.
Optional Factor 5: Evaluate visibility
impacts.
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Although visibility impact is not one
of the four statutory factors, North
Dakota opted to include the visibility
impacts in its reasonable progress
analysis in Section 9 of the SIP. As
explained in section V.D.1.e, above, we
are disregarding these modeling results
because the State did not conduct its
modeling in a manner that properly
represents impacts from individual
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Federal Register / Vol. 76, No. 183 / Wednesday, September 21, 2011 / Proposed Rules
sources. (See our Technical Support
Document for further explanation of our
reasoning.) In a document separate from
the SIP, North Dakota provided results
of visibility modeling for Antelope
Valley Station that was conducted per
the BART Guidelines—i.e., assuming
natural background. This modeling
predicts a visibility benefit of 0.754
deciviews at Theodore Roosevelt from
the installation of LNB for both units
combined.
Step 6: Select Reasonable Progress
Controls.
Based on our examination of North
Dakota’s cost estimates and the
predicted visibility benefit of 0.754
deciviews, we propose to find that LNB
+ SOFA are reasonable controls to
address reasonable progress for the
initial planning period, with an
emission limit of 0.17 lb/MMBtu (30day rolling average). Of the four
reasonable progress factors and the
optional factor of visibility
improvement, cost and visibility
improvement were the critical ones in
our analysis of controls for this source.
We agree with the State that the other
three factors are not relevant to this
reasonable progress determination. The
average cost effectiveness values for
LNB at each unit are $586 and $661 per
ton. These values are very reasonable
and far less than many of the cost
effectiveness values the State found
reasonable in making its BART
determinations. Also, the Antelope
Valley Station units are comparable in
size to other large EGUs in North Dakota
for which the State selected SNCR or
combustion controls in the BART
context. And, North Dakota predicted
that installation of LNB would achieve
NOX reductions of approximately 3,500
tons per unit per year, which is
substantial. Given the significant
predicted visibility benefit, the low cost,
and the fact that North Dakota’s
reasonable progress goals will not meet
the uniform rate of progress, we find
that it is reasonable to require a
reasonable progress limit at Antelope
Valley Station Units 1 and 2 based on
the installation of LNB.
We have eliminated higher
performing options—SNCR + LNB, SCR,
and SCR + LNB—because their cost
effectiveness values are significantly
higher and/or the emission reductions
are not that much higher than LNB.
Considering the statutory factors, we
find that it is not reasonable to insist on
these higher control levels in this first
planning period. However, we expect
the State to consider such controls in
the next planning period.
We are proposing an emission limit of
0.17 lb/MMBtu (30-day rolling average)
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Jkt 223001
based on a baseline emission rate of 0.35
lb/MMBtu and a predicted control
efficiency of 51%. We also note that this
is the presumptive limit in the BART
Guidelines for this type of large boiler
using combustion controls. We find the
BART Guidelines’ analysis of cost
effective control technologies/emission
limits for similar sources useful in
assessing achievable emission limits.
The emission limit would apply on a
continuous basis, including during
startup, shutdown, and malfunction.
We propose to require that Basin
Electric start meeting our proposed
emission limit at Antelope Valley
Station Units 1 and 2 as expeditiously
as practicable, but no later than July 31,
2018. This is consistent with the
requirement that the SIP cover an initial
planning period that ends July 31, 2018.
We invite comment on whether a
different deadline would be appropriate.
We are proposing monitoring,
recordkeeping, and reporting
requirements for Antelope Valley that
are the same as those we are proposing
for BART for Milton R. Young Station,
Leland Olds Station, and Coal Creek
Station.
3. Reasonable Progress Goals for North
Dakota
We are proposing to impose
reasonable progress controls on
Antelope Valley Station Units 1 and 2
as described above, as well as more
stringent BART controls on Milton R.
Young Station Units 1 and 2, Leland
Olds Station Unit 2, and Coal Creek
Station Units 1 and 2 than North Dakota
and WRAP assumed in modeling North
Dakota’s reasonable progress goals.
Also, we assume that controls included
in the SIP for Heskett Station and
Coyote Station were not modeled when
the reasonable progress goals were
determined.
We could not re-run the WRAP
modeling due to time and resource
constraints, but anticipate that the
additional controls would result in an
increase in visibility improvement
during the 20% worst days. As noted in
our analyses, many of our proposed
controls would result in significant
incremental visibility benefits when
modeled against natural background.
We anticipate that this would translate
into some measurable improvement if
modeled on the 20% worst days as well.
We are confident that this improvement
would not be sufficient to achieve the
uniform rate of progress at Theodore
Roosevelt and Lostwood in 2018. We
expect the State to quantify the visibility
improvement in its next Regional Haze
SIP revision.
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For purposes of this action, we are
proposing reasonable progress goals that
are consistent with the additional
controls we are proposing and the
Heskett and Coyote controls included in
the SIP. While we would prefer to
quantify the reasonable progress goals,
we note that the reasonable progress
goals themselves are not enforceable
values. The more critical elements for
our FIP are the emissions limits we are
proposing to impose, which will be
enforceable.
J. Long-Term Strategy
As described in section IV.E of this
action, the long-term strategy is a
compilation of state-specific control
measures relied on by the state for
achieving its reasonable progress goals.
The long-term strategy must include
‘‘enforceable emissions limitations,
compliance schedules, and other
measures as necessary to achieve the
reasonable progress goals’’ for all Class
I areas within, or affected by emissions
from, the state. 40 CFR 51.308(d)(3).
North Dakota’s long-term strategy for the
first implementation period addresses
the emissions reductions from federal,
state, and local controls that take effect
in the state from the end of the baseline
period starting in 2004 until 2018. The
North Dakota long-term strategy was
developed by North Dakota, in
coordination with the WRAP, through
an evaluation of the following
components: (1) WRAP emission
inventories for a 2002 baseline and a
2018 projection (including reductions
from WRAP member state controls
required or expected under federal and
state regulations (including BART)); (2)
modeling to determine visibility
improvement and apportion individual
state contributions; (3) state
consultation; and (4) application of the
long-term strategy factors. The State’s
detailed long-term strategy is included
in Section 10 of the Regional Haze SIP.
1. Emissions Inventories
40 CFR 51.308(d)(3)(iii) requires that
North Dakota document the technical
basis, including modeling, monitoring,
and emissions information, on which it
relied to determine its apportionment of
emission reduction obligations
necessary for achieving reasonable
progress in each mandatory Class I
Federal area it affects. North Dakota
must identify the baseline emissions
inventory on which its strategies are
based. 40 CFR 51.308(d)(3)(iv) requires
that North Dakota identify all
anthropogenic (human-caused) sources
of visibility impairment it considered in
developing its long-term strategy. This
includes major and minor stationary
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sources, mobile sources, and area
sources. In its efforts to meet these
requirements, North Dakota relied on
technical analyses developed by WRAP
and approved by all state participants,
as described below.
Emissions within North Dakota are
both naturally occurring and man-made.
Two primary sources of naturally
occurring emissions include wildfires
and windblown dust. In North Dakota,
the primary sources of anthropogenic
emissions include electric utility steam
generating units, energy production and
processing sources, agricultural
production and processing sources,
prescribed burning, and fugitive dust
sources. The North Dakota inventory
includes emissions of SO2, NOX, PM2.5,
PM10, organic carbon, elemental carbon,
VOCs, and NH3.
An emissions inventory for each
pollutant was developed by WRAP for
North Dakota for the baseline year 2002
and for 2018, which is the first
reasonable progress milestone. The 2018
emissions inventory was developed by
projecting 2002 emissions and applying
reductions expected from federal and
state regulations. The emission
inventories developed by WRAP were
calculated using approved EPA
methods. North Dakota made some
adjustments to area oil and gas to
include SO2 emissions from flaring and
lease use of sour gas at well sites.
Emissions included in the 2018 WRAP
inventory for the proposed Gascoyne
500 coal-fired power plant were
removed since the Permit-to-Construct
application for this facility was
withdrawn. North Dakota disagreed
with the WRAP-estimated NOX
emissions for area oil and gas
production predicted for 2018, and
based on discussions with the Oil and
Gas Division of the North Dakota
Industrial Commission and
representatives of WRAP, adjusted these
emissions to 2.5 times the 2002
emission rate.
There are ten different emission
inventory source categories identified in
the North Dakota regional haze Plan:
Point, area, area oil and gas, on-road,
off-road, all fire, biogenic, road dust,
58633
fugitive dust, and windblown dust.
Tables 73 through 78 show the 2002
baseline emissions, the 2018 projected
emissions, and net changes of emissions
for SO2, NOX, organic carbon, elemental
carbon, PM2.5, and PM10 by source
category in North Dakota. The methods
that WRAP used to develop these
emission inventories are described in
more detail in Appendix A.5 of the SIP
and in the EPA Technical Support
Document.
SO2 emissions in North Dakota,
shown in Table 73, come mostly from
coal combustion at electrical generation
facilities, with smaller amounts coming
from the oil and gas industry, natural
gas combustion, and mobile sources. A
60% statewide reduction in SO2
emissions is expected by 2018 due to
planned controls on existing sources.
This includes emission reductions of
approximately 98,000 tons from the
installation of SO2 BART controls on the
EGUs at Milton R. Young Station,
Leland Olds Station, Coal Creek Station,
and Stanton Station.
TABLE 73—NORTH DAKOTA SO2 EMISSION INVENTORY—2002 AND 2018
[North Dakota statewide SO2 emissions (tons/year)]
Source category
Baseline 2002
Future 2018
Net change
Percent change
Point .................................................................................................
All Fire ..............................................................................................
Biogenic ...........................................................................................
Area .................................................................................................
Area Oil and Gas .............................................................................
On-Road Mobile ...............................................................................
Off-Road Mobile ...............................................................................
Road Dust ........................................................................................
Fugitive Dust ....................................................................................
Wind Blown Dust .............................................................................
157,069
540
0
5,557
4,958
812
7,246
3
26
0
59,560
337
0
5,995
4,200
81
276
3
30
0
¥97,509
¥203
0
438
¥758
¥731
¥6,970
0
4
0
¥62
¥38
0
8
¥15
¥90
¥96
0
15%
0
Total ..........................................................................................
176,211
70,482
¥105,729
¥60
NOX emissions in North Dakota,
shown in Table 74, are expected to
decline 25% by 2018, primarily due to
significant improvements in mobile
sources. Off-road and on-road vehicle
NOX emissions are estimated to decline
by more than 40,000 tons per year from
the base case emissions total of 80,000
tons per year. Also, the State projected
emission reductions of over 21,000 tons
from the installation of NOX BART
controls on the EGUs at Milton R.
Young Station, Leland Olds Station,
Coal Creek Station, and Stanton Station.
Increases in area oil and gas sources are
related to increased drilling and
production activity, which is expected
to taper off from current levels to 2.5
times the 2002 levels by 2018.
TABLE 74—NORTH DAKOTA NOX EMISSION INVENTORY—2002 AND 2018
[North Dakota statewide NOX emissions (tons/year)]
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
Source category
Baseline 2002
Point .................................................................................................
All Fire ..............................................................................................
Biogenic ...........................................................................................
Area .................................................................................................
Area Oil and Gas .............................................................................
On-Road Mobile ...............................................................................
Off-Road Mobile ...............................................................................
Road Dust ........................................................................................
Fugitive Dust ....................................................................................
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Future 2018
87,438
1,774
44,569
10,833
4,631
24,746
55,502
3
40
Sfmt 4702
Net change
¥25,055
¥701
0
1,623
6,946
¥19,840
¥20,945
0
1
62,383
1,073
44,569
12,456
11,577
4,906
34,557
3
41
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21SEP2
Percent change
¥29
¥40
0
15
150
¥80
¥38
0
3
58634
Federal Register / Vol. 76, No. 183 / Wednesday, September 21, 2011 / Proposed Rules
TABLE 74—NORTH DAKOTA NOX EMISSION INVENTORY—2002 AND 2018—Continued
[North Dakota statewide NOX emissions (tons/year)]
Source category
Baseline 2002
Future 2018
Net change
Percent change
Wind Blown Dust .............................................................................
0
0
0
0
Total ..........................................................................................
229,536
171,566
¥57,970
¥25
Most of the organic carbon emissions
in North Dakota are from fires as shown
in Table 75. Natural (nonanthropogenic) wildfire can fluctuate
greatly from year to year. 2002 was an
average year for wildfires in North
Dakota. Another sizable source is
anthropogenic fire (human-caused),
such as forestry prescribed burning,
agricultural field burning, and outdoor
residential burning. Overall, organic
carbon emissions are estimated to
decline by 19% by 2018.
TABLE 75—NORTH DAKOTA ORGANIC CARBON EMISSION INVENTORY—2002 AND 2018
[North Dakota statewide organic carbon emissions (tons/year)]
Source category
Baseline 2002
Future 2018
Net change
Percent change
Point .................................................................................................
All Fire ..............................................................................................
Biogenic ...........................................................................................
Area .................................................................................................
Area Oil and Gas .............................................................................
On-Road Mobile ...............................................................................
Off-Road Mobile ...............................................................................
Road Dust ........................................................................................
Fugitive Dust ....................................................................................
Wind Blown Dust .............................................................................
262
3,657
0
1,466
0
231
1,034
201
1,989
0
248
2,647
0
1,387
0
151
457
193
2,041
0
¥14
¥1,010
0
¥79
0
¥80
¥577
¥8
52
0
¥5
¥28
0
¥5
0
¥35
¥56
¥4
3
0
Total ..........................................................................................
8,840
7,124
¥1,716
¥19
The primary source of elemental
carbon is off-road mobile sources as
shown in Table 76. Another contributor
is fire. Other emissions of note are area
and on-road mobile sources. Elemental
carbon emissions are estimated to
decrease by 52% by 2018 due mostly to
new Federal mobile source regulations.
TABLE 76—NORTH DAKOTA ELEMENTAL CARBON EMISSION INVENTORY—2002 AND 2018
[North Dakota Statewide Elemental Carbon Emissions (tons/year)]
Source category
Baseline 2002
Future 2018
Net change
Percent change
29
510
0
262
0
272
3,625
15
135
0
32
449
0
267
0
48
1,363
14
139
0
3
¥61
0
5
0
¥224
¥2,262
¥1
4
0
10
¥12
0
2
0
¥82
¥62
¥7
3
0
Total ..........................................................................................
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Point .................................................................................................
All Fire ..............................................................................................
Biogenic ...........................................................................................
Area .................................................................................................
Area Oil and Gas .............................................................................
On-Road Mobile ...............................................................................
Off-Road Mobile ...............................................................................
Road Dust ........................................................................................
Fugitive Dust ....................................................................................
Wind Blown Dust .............................................................................
4,848
2,312
¥2,536
¥52
As detailed in Tables 77 and 78, the
primary sources of PM (both PM10 and
PM2.5) are road, fugitive, and
windblown dust (agriculture, mining,
construction, and unpaved and paved
roads). Overall, PM shows an increase of
2–3% by 2018. North Dakota has
approximately 38 million acres of farm
and ranch land—approximately 86% of
the State’s area. Working the land
produces significant amounts of fugitive
and windblown dust. The WRAP
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estimated that emission sources in
North Dakota put more than 420,000
tons of PM into the atmosphere in 2002.
Fugitive dust from agricultural activities
and windblown dust from farm fields
were major contributors to these
emissions. Although PM emissions were
large, the effect on visibility in the
North Dakota Class I areas was relatively
small, but not insignificant. At
Theodore Roosevelt, coarse mass and
soil combined to contribute
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approximately 11% of the total
extinction during the 20% worst days of
the baseline period. At Lostwood,
approximately 7% of the total extinction
was due to coarse mass and soil. North
Dakota sources contributed
approximately 45% of the PM2.5 and
PM10 at Theodore Roosevelt and
approximately 30% at Lostwood during
the 20% worst days in 2000–2004.
North Dakota stated that it anticipated
an increase in agricultural conservation
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tillage practices by 2018, with a
resultant reduction in PM2.5 and PM10
emissions; however, North Dakota did
not adjust the WRAP figures. WRAP
figures for potential emission sources on
the 20% worst visibility days are
provided in Section 6 of the SIP.
TABLE 77—NORTH DAKOTA PM2.5 EMISSION INVENTORY—2002 AND 2018
[North Dakota Statewide PM2.5 Emissions (tons/year)]
Source category
Baseline 2002
Point .................................................................................................
All Fire ..............................................................................................
Biogenic ...........................................................................................
Area .................................................................................................
Area Oil and Gas .............................................................................
On-Road Mobile ...............................................................................
Off-Road Mobile ...............................................................................
Road Dust ........................................................................................
Fugitive Dust ....................................................................................
Wind Blown Dust .............................................................................
Total .................................................................................................
Future 2018
2,002
821
0
1,617
0
0
0
3,086
36,354
17,639
61,519
Net change
2,086
404
0
1,647
0
0
0
2956
37999
17639
62,731
Percent change
84
¥417
0
30
0
0
0
¥130
1,645
0
1,212
4
¥51
0
2
0
0
0
¥4
5
0
2
TABLE 78—NORTH DAKOTA COARSE PARTICULATE MATTER EMISSION INVENTORY—2002 AND 2018
[North Dakota Statewide Coarse Particulate Matter Emissions (tons/year)]
Source category
Baseline 2002
Future 2018
Net change
Percent change
Point .................................................................................................
All Fire ..............................................................................................
Biogenic ...........................................................................................
Area .................................................................................................
Area Oil and Gas .............................................................................
On-Road Mobile ...............................................................................
Off-Road Mobile ...............................................................................
Road Dust ........................................................................................
Fugitive Dust ....................................................................................
Wind Blown Dust .............................................................................
565
503
0
199
0
141
0
28,711
172,606
158,752
2,349
460
0
216
0
111
0
27,478
184,063
158,752
1,784
¥43
0
17
0
¥30
0
¥1,233
11,457
0
316
¥9
0
9
0
¥21
0
¥4
7
0
Total ..........................................................................................
361,477
373,429
11,952
3
2. Sources of Visibility Impairment in
North Dakota Class I Areas
In order to determine the significant
sources contributing to haze in North
Dakota’s Class I areas, North Dakota
relied upon two source apportionment
analysis techniques developed by the
WRAP. The first technique was regional
modeling using the Comprehensive Air
Quality Model (CAMx) and the PM
Source Apportionment Technology
(PSAT) tool, used for the attribution of
sulfate and nitrate sources only. The
second technique was the Weighted
Emissions Potential (WEP) tool, used for
attribution of sources of organic carbon,
elemental carbon, PM2.5, and PM10. The
WEP tool is based on emissions and
residence time, not modeling.
PSAT uses the CAMx air quality
model to show nitrate-sulfate-ammonia
chemistry and apply this chemistry to a
system of tracers or ‘‘tags’’ to track the
chemical transformations, transport, and
removal of NOX and SO2. These two
pollutants are important because they
tend to originate from anthropogenic
sources. Therefore, the results from this
analysis can be useful in determining
contributing sources that may be
controllable, both in-state and in
neighboring states.
WEP is a screening tool that helps to
identify source regions that have the
potential to contribute to haze formation
at specific Class I areas. Unlike PSAT,
this method does not account for
chemistry or deposition. The WEP
combines emissions inventories, wind
patterns, and residence times of air
masses over each area where emissions
occur, to estimate the percent
contribution of different pollutants. Like
PSAT, the WEP tool compares baseline
values (2000–2004) to 2018 values, to
show the improvement expected by
2018, for sulfate, nitrate, organic carbon,
elemental carbon, PM2.5, and PM10.
More information on the WRAP
modeling methodologies is available in
the EPA Technical Support Document.
The PSAT and WEP results presented
in Tables 79 and 80 were derived from
Section 6 of the SIP. Table 79 shows the
contribution of different pollutant
species from North Dakota sources.
Sulfates and nitrates are the primary
pollutants contributing to extinction.
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TABLE 79—ND SOURCES EXTINCTION CONTRIBUTION 2000–2004 FOR 20% WORST DAYS
Class I area
Pollutant species
TRNP .......................................................
Sulfate .....................................................
Nitrate ......................................................
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Extinction
Sfmt 4702
(Mm¥1)
Species
contribution
to total
extinction
(%)
17.53
13.74
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ND sources
contribution
to species
extinction (%) 1
35
27
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19
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TABLE 79—ND SOURCES EXTINCTION CONTRIBUTION 2000–2004 FOR 20% WORST DAYS—Continued
Extinction (Mm¥1)
Class I area
Pollutant species
LWA .........................................................
OC ...........................................................
EC ............................................................
PM2.5 ........................................................
PM10 ........................................................
Sea Salt ...................................................
Sulfate .....................................................
Nitrate ......................................................
OC ...........................................................
EC ............................................................
PM2.5 ........................................................
PM10 ........................................................
Sea Salt ...................................................
1
Species
contribution
to total
extinction
(%)
10.82
2.75
0.9
4.82
0.07
21.4
22.94
11.05
2.84
0.62
3.93
0.26
ND sources
contribution
to species
extinction (%) 1
21
5
2
10
0
34
36
18
5
1
6
0
12
29
44
45
0
18
13
23
35
28
32
0
Contribution of sulfate and nitrate based on PSAT; OC, EC, PM2.5, PM10, and Sea Salt contribution based on WEP.
Table 80 shows influences from
sources both inside and outside of North
Dakota. The results for sulfates and
nitrates indicate that the 20% worst
days at Lostwood and at Theodore
Roosevelt are mostly impacted by a
combination of sources in North Dakota
and Canada, as well as sources outside
the modeling domain.
TABLE 80—SOURCE REGION APPORTIONMENT FOR 20% WORST DAYS
[Percentage]
Class I area
Contributing area
TRNP
SO4
North Dakota ....................................................................................
Canada ............................................................................................
Outside Domain ...............................................................................
Montana ...........................................................................................
CENRAP ..........................................................................................
Other ................................................................................................
See the Technical Support Document
for details on how the 2018 emissions
inventory was constructed. WRAP and
North Dakota used this inventory and
other states’ 2018 emission inventories
to construct visibility projection
modeling for 2018.
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3. Visibility Projection Modeling
The Regional Modeling Center at the
University of California Riverside,
under the oversight of the WRAP
Modeling Forum, performed modeling
for the regional haze long-term strategy
for the WRAP member states, including
North Dakota. The modeling analysis is
a complex technical evaluation that
began with selection of the modeling
system. Regional Modeling Center
primarily used the CMAQ
photochemical grid model to estimate
2018 visibility conditions in North
Dakota and all western Class I areas,
based on application of the regional
haze strategies in the various state
plans, including assumed controls on
BART sources.
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LWA
NO3
21.1
28.3
32.6
3.1
4.9
10.5
The Regional Modeling Center
developed air quality modeling inputs,
including annual meteorology and
emissions inventories for: (1) A 2002
actual emissions base case, (2) a
planning case to represent the 2000–
2004 regional haze baseline period
using averages for key emissions
categories, and (3) a 2018 base case of
projected emissions determined using
factors known at the end of 2005. All
emission inventories were spatially and
temporally allocated using the SMOKE
modeling system. Each of these
inventories underwent a number of
revisions throughout the development
process to arrive at the final versions
used in CMAQ modeling. The WRAP
states’ modeling was developed in
accordance with our guidance.86 A more
86 Guidance on the Use of Models and Other
Analyses for Demonstrating Attainment of Air
Quality Goals for Ozone, PM2.5, and Regional Haze,
(EPA–454/B–07–002), April 2007, located at http:
//www.epa.gov/scram001/guidance/guide/final-03pm-rh-guidance.pdf. Emissions Inventory Guidance
for Implementation of Ozone and Particulate Matter
National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS)
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SO4
19.1
31.8
17.9
15.0
2.5
13.7
NO3
17.9
45.9
20.2
2.4
5.3
8.3
13.0
44.6
14.0
9.3
5.1
14.0
detailed description of the CMAQ
modeling performed for the WRAP can
be found in Appendix A.5 of the SIP
and in the Technical Support
Document.
The photochemical modeling of
regional haze for the WRAP states for
2002 and 2018 was conducted on the
36-km resolution national regional
planning organization domain that
covered the continental United States,
portions of Canada and Mexico, and
portions of the Atlantic and Pacific
Oceans along the east and west coasts.
The Regional Modeling Center
examined the model performance of the
regional modeling for the areas of
interest before determining whether the
CMAQ model results were suitable for
use in the regional haze assessment of
the long-term strategy and for use in the
modeling assessment. The 2002
and Regional Haze Regulations, August 2005,
updated November 2005 (‘‘our Modeling
Guidance’’), located at https://www.epa.gov/
ttnchie1/eidocs/eiguid/, EPA–454/R–05–
001.
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modeling efforts were used to evaluate
air quality/visibility modeling for a
historical episode—in this case, for
calendar year 2002—to demonstrate the
suitability of the modeling systems for
subsequent planning, sensitivity, and
emissions control strategy modeling.
Model performance evaluation
compares output from model
simulations with ambient air quality
data for the same time period to
determine whether model performance
is sufficiently accurate to justify using
the model to simulate future conditions.
Once the Regional Modeling Center
determined that model performance was
acceptable, it used the model to
determine the 2018 reasonable progress
goals using the current and future year
air quality modeling predictions, and
compared the reasonable progress goals
to the uniform rate of progress.
To supplement the WRAP modeling
effort, North Dakota conducted further
analyses using a hybrid modeling
approach to address concerns pertaining
to weight of evidence and spatial
resolution issues. The North Dakota
hybrid modeling approach involved
nesting a local North Dakota CALPUFF
domain within the WRAP National
CMAQ domain. This approach is
explained in detail in Section 8 of the
SIP.
North Dakota believes its modeling
methodology more realistically defines
plume geometry for local large point
sources and discounts the impacts of
international sources in Canada over
which North Dakota has no control.
North Dakota is the only WRAP State
which opted to develop its own
reasonable progress modeling
methodology. Appendix W outlines
specific criteria for the use of alternate
models and it does not appear that those
criteria have been satisfied for the use
of North Dakota’s hybrid modeling. In
addition, as modeling science has
improved, there have been a number of
technical changes in the CALPUFF
modeling system and EPA/Federal Land
Managers recommended default
settings, changes that have been
implemented since North Dakota
proposed the CMAQ/CALPUFF hybrid
modeling approach in 2007. In the
Reasonable Progress modeling, the
hybrid CALPUFF/CMAQ modeling
results were adjusted based on
IMPROVE monitoring data, and it is not
clear whether the use of these obsolete
settings affected the weight of evidence
factors or the Reasonable Progress
demonstration. The settings North
Dakota used in the CALPUFF model
within the hybrid modeling system
would not be considered technically
sound if contained in a regulatory
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modeling protocol in future projects.
However, in this instance it did not
make a difference since North Dakota is
not able to meet the uniform rate of
progress with either the WRAP analysis
or North Dakota’s hybrid modeling
system.
4. Consultation and Emissions
Reductions for Other States’ Class I
Areas
40 CFR 51.308(d)(3)(i) requires that
North Dakota consult with another state
if its emissions are reasonably
anticipated to contribute to visibility
impairment at that state’s Class I area(s),
and that North Dakota consult with
other states if those other states’
emissions are reasonably anticipated to
contribute to visibility impairment at
Theodore Roosevelt or Lostwood. North
Dakota’s consultations with other states
are described in section V.G.5 above.
After evaluating whether emissions
from North Dakota sources contribute to
visibility impairment in other states’
Class I areas, North Dakota concluded
there was no contribution sufficient to
require consultation. North Dakota’s
evaluation relied upon NOX BART and
reasonable progress reductions as
described in the SIP. Nontheless, North
Dakota did consult with other states and
tribes, largely through the WRAP
process, in order to meet the regulatory
requirements.
40 CFR 51.308(d)(3)(ii) requires that if
North Dakota emissions cause or
contribute to impairment in another
state’s Class I area, North Dakota must
demonstrate that it has included in its
Regional Haze SIP all measures
necessary to obtain its share of the
emission reductions needed to meet the
progress goal for that Class I area.
Section 51.308(d)(3)(ii) also requires
that, since North Dakota participated in
a regional planning process, it must
ensure it has included all measures
needed to achieve its apportionment of
emission reduction obligations agreed
upon through that process. As we state
in the Regional Haze Rule, North
Dakota’s commitments to participate in
WRAP bind it to secure emission
reductions agreed to as a result of that
process, unless it proposes a separate
process and performs its consultations
on the basis of that process. See 64 FR
35735,
North Dakota accepted and
incorporated the WRAP-developed
visibility modeling into its Regional
Haze SIP, and the Regional Haze SIP
includes the controls assumed in the
modeling. North Dakota satisfied the
Regional Haze Rule’s requirements for
consultation and included controls in
the SIP sufficient to address the relevant
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58637
requirements of the Regional Haze Rule
related to impacts on Class I areas in
other states. However, we are proposing
to disapprove the long-term strategy for
other reasons, as described below.
5. Mandatory Long-Term Strategy
Factors
40 CFR 51.308(d)(3)(v) requires that
North Dakota, at a minimum, consider
certain factors in developing its longterm strategy (the long-term strategy
factors). These are: (a) Emission
reductions due to ongoing air pollution
control programs, including measures to
address reasonably attributable visibility
impairment; (b) measures to mitigate the
impacts of construction activities; (c)
emissions limitations and schedules for
compliance to achieve the reasonable
progress goal; (d) source retirement and
replacement schedules; (e) smoke
management techniques for agricultural
and forestry management purposes
including plans as currently exist
within the state for these purposes; (f)
enforceability of emissions limitations
and control measures; and (g) the
anticipated net effect on visibility due to
projected changes in point, area, and
mobile source emissions over the period
addressed by the long-term strategy.
a. Reductions Due to Ongoing Air
Pollution Programs
In addition to its BART
determinations, North Dakota’s longterm strategy incorporates emission
reductions due to a number of ongoing
air pollution control programs.
i. Prevention of Significant
Deterioration/New Source Review Rules
The two primary regulatory tools for
addressing visibility impairment from
industrial sources are BART and the
Prevention of Signification Deterioration
New Source Review rules. The
Prevention of Signification Deterioration
rules protect visibility in Class I areas
from new industrial sources and major
changes to existing sources. North
Dakota’s Air Pollution Control Rules
(NDAC Chapter 33–15–19) contain
requirements for visibility impact
assessment and mitigation associated
with emissions from new and modified
major stationary sources. A primary
responsibility of North Dakota under
these rules is visibility protection.
Chapter 33–15–19 describes
mechanisms for visibility impact
assessment and review by North Dakota,
as well as impact modeling methods
and requirements. Typically, this
modeling is conducted for sources
within 300 kilometers of a Class I area.
North Dakota will not issue an air
quality permit to any new major source
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or major modification within this
distance that is found through modeling
to cause significant visibility
impairment, unless the impact is
mitigated.
ii. North Dakota’s Phase I Visibility
Protection Program
In 1987 North Dakota adopted NDAC
Chapter 33–15–19 for visibility
protection to address EPA’s Phase I
visibility rules. Also in 1987, North
Dakota adopted NDAC Chapter 33–15–
04 for open burning restrictions; it
provides that, except in an emergency,
the visibility of any class I area cannot
be adversely impacted.
iii. On-Going Implementation of State
and Federal Mobile Source Regulations
Mobile source annual emissions show
a major decrease in NOX in North
Dakota from 2002 to 2018. This
reduction will result from numerous
‘‘on the books’’ Federal mobile source
regulations. This trend is expected to
provide significant visibility benefits.
Beginning in 2006, EPA mandated new
standards for on-road (highway) diesel
fuel, known as ultra-low sulfur diesel.
This regulation dropped the sulfur
content of diesel fuel from 500 parts per
million (ppm) to 15 ppm. Ultra-low
sulfur diesel fuel enables the use of
cleaner technology diesel engines and
vehicles with advanced emissions
control devices, resulting in
significantly lower emissions.
Diesel fuel intended for locomotive,
marine, and non-road (farming and
construction) engines and equipment
was required to meet a low sulfur diesel
fuel maximum specification of 500 ppm
sulfur in 2007 (down from 5000 ppm).
By 2010, the ultra-low sulfur diesel fuel
standard of 15 ppm sulfur applied to all
non-road diesel fuel. Locomotive and
marine diesel fuel will be required to
meet the ultra-low sulfur diesel
standard beginning in 2012, resulting in
further reductions of diesel emissions.
b. Measures To Mitigate the Impacts of
Construction Activities
In developing its long-term strategy,
North Dakota has considered the impact
of construction activities. Based on
general knowledge of construction
activity in the State, and without
conducting extensive research on the
contribution of emissions from
construction activities to visibility
impairment in North Dakota Class I
areas, North Dakota found that current
State regulations adequately address
construction activities.
Current rules addressing impacts from
construction activities in North Dakota
include NDAC 33–15–17, which
regulates fugitive dust emissions. The
rule addresses ‘‘fugitive emissions’’
from a variety of sources applicable to
construction activities. This regulation
requires ‘‘reasonable precautions’’ be
taken to prevent PM from becoming
airborne from activities such as
construction projects. Types of actions
to be taken include the use of water or
chemicals for control of dust from
demolition, construction operations,
unpaved roads at construction sites, and
material stockpiles. North Dakota
requires permits for asphalt and
concrete plants and rock, sand, and
gravel plants. The State has committed
to re-evaluating emissions from
construction activities related to the oil
and gas industry, including construction
of oil well pads, compressor stations,
and gas plants, in future Regional Haze
SIP planning periods since this has the
potential to be a growing source
category.
c. Emission Limitation and Schedules of
Compliance
The SIP contains emission limits and
schedules of compliance for those
sources subject to BART: Milton R.
Young Station, Leland Olds Station,
Coal Creek Station, and Stanton Station.
The schedules for implementation of
BART for these sources are identified in
Section 7.5 of the SIP and in permits
included in Appendix D of the SIP.
While the State did not impose any
emission limits to meet reasonable
progress requirements, the State did
include emission limits for Coyote
Station and Heskett Station in the SIP.
These ‘‘other’’ emission reductions are
discussed in the long-term strategy
under Section 10.6.1 of the SIP and the
limits and compliance schedules are
included in permits contained in
Appendix A of the SIP. See section
V.G.3 of this action for further
discussion of these limits and
schedules.
d. Source Retirement and Replacement
Schedules
The State does not anticipate major
source retirements or replacements.
Replacement of existing facilities will be
managed according to the existing
Prevention of Signification Deterioration
program. The 2018 modeling that WRAP
conducted included three new power
plants in North Dakota. Two are now
unlikely to be built. Construction of new
power plants or replacement of existing
plants prior to 2018 is unlikely.
e. Agricultural and Forestry Smoke
Management Techniques
North Dakota has an area of
approximately 44.16 million acres. Of
this total, 26.5 million acres is cropland,
11 million acres is pasture/rangeland,
and 236,000 acres is woodland/forest,
with five State forests comprising
13,300 acres. Prescribed burning is
governed by State rules in NDAC 33–
15–04–02 and must be approved in
advance. Although agricultural crop
burning does not require advance
approval, most agricultural cropland
burning takes place in the eastern twothirds of the State away from the State’s
Class I areas. In general, prevailing
winds carry smoke from cropland
burning away from North Dakota Class
I areas. Table 81, below, shows WRAP’s
estimate of emissions from fire in North
Dakota for the 2000–2004 baseline
period.
TABLE 81—ANNUAL AVERAGE EMISSIONS FROM FIRE (2000–2004)
[Tons/Year]
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Source
PM2.5
PM10
NOX
SO2
OC
EC
Natural ..............................
Anthropogenic ..................
225
596
441
62
773
1001
250
290
2,214
1,443
424
86
Total ..........................
821
503
1774
540
3,657
510
40 CFR 308(d)(3)(v)(E) of the Regional
Haze Rule requires the long-term
strategy to address smoke management
techniques for agricultural and forestry
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burning. These two sources generally
have a very small contribution to
visibility impairment in North Dakota
Class I areas except during the worst
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days in late July and August when
organic carbon, an indicator of fire
emissions, replaces sulfate and nitrate
as the dominant contributor to
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extinction. Much of these fire emissions
are from wildfires, which fluctuate
significantly from year to year.
According to the source apportionment
analyses conducted by the WRAP,
anthropogenic fire emissions in North
Dakota contribute less than 1% of the
total sulfate and nitrate concentrations
at Theodore Roosevelt and Lostwood.
North Dakota found that the current
smoke management rules are sufficient
to achieve reasonable progress toward
the national visibility goal but will
reevaluate these rules in future planning
periods.
f. Enforceability of North Dakota’s
Measures
40 CFR 51.308(d)(3)(v)(F) of the
Regional Haze Rule requires States to
ensure that emission limitations and
control measures used to meet
reasonable progress goals are
enforceable. In addition to what is
required by the Regional Haze Rule,
general SIP requirements mandate that
the SIP must also include adequate
monitoring, recordkeeping, and
reporting requirements for the regional
haze emission limits and requirements.
See CAA section 110(a). As noted, the
SIP specifies BART and other emission
limits and compliance schedules, and
North Dakota has included such limits
and compliance schedules in Stateenforceable air quality permits that
North Dakota has included in the SIP.87
(See Appendix A and Appendix D of the
SIP.) In addition to specifying the limits
and compliance schedules, these
permits specify monitoring,
recordkeeping, and reporting
requirements. North Dakota worked
closely with EPA in developing these
requirements. For SO2 and NOX limits,
North Dakota has required the use of
CEMS that must be operated and
maintained in accordance with relevant
EPA regulations, in particular, 40 CFR
part 75. For PM limits, the SIP requires
testing in accordance with EPAapproved test methods and compliance
with a CAM plan approved as part of a
Title V permit. The SIP requires that
relevant records be kept for five years,
and that sources report excess emissions
on a quarterly basis.
In addition to these permits, various
requirements that are relevant to
regional haze are codified in North
Dakota’s regulations, including North
Dakota’s Regional Haze Rule (NDAC 33–
15–25, contained in Appendix H of the
SIP) and its Prevention of Signification
87 Because they are included in the SIP, these
permits will remain unchanged for federal purposes
unless and until North Dakota submits a change to
permit terms as a SIP revision, and EPA approves
such SIP revision.
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Deterioration and other provisions
mentioned above.
g. Anticipated Net Effect on Visibility
Due to Projected Changes
The anticipated net effect on visibility
due to projected changes in point, area,
and mobile source emissions during this
planning period is addressed in sections
V.J.3 above.
h. Periodic SIP Revisions and 5-Year
Progress Reports
Consistent with 40 CFR 51.308(g),
North Dakota committed to submit to
EPA a progress report, in the form of a
SIP revision, every five years following
the initial submittal of the SIP. The
report will evaluate progress towards
the reasonable progress goal for each
mandatory Class I Federal area located
within the State and in each mandatory
Class I Federal area located outside the
State that may be affected by emissions
from within the State. These
requirements and commitment are
discussed in detail in section 11.2 of the
North Dakota SIP.
6. Our Conclusion on North Dakota’s
Long Term Strategy
We propose to partially approve and
partially disapprove North Dakota’s
long-term strategy. Because we are
proposing to disapprove the NOX BART
determinations for Milton R. Young
Station Units 1 and 2, Leland Olds
Station Unit 2, and Coal Creek Station
Units 1 and 2, we are also proposing to
disapprove the corresponding permit
limits and monitoring, recordkeeping,
and reporting provisions that North
Dakota relied on as part of its long-term
strategy. Because we are proposing to
disapprove the reasonable progress
determination for Antelope Valley
Station Units 1 and 2, we are also
proposing to disapprove the long-term
strategy because it does not include
appropriate NOX reasonable progress
emission limits, compliance schedule,
and corresponding monitoring,
recordkeeping, and reporting
requirements for Antelope Valley
Station Units 1 and 2. Except for these
elements, the long-term strategy satisfies
the requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(d)(3),
and we are proposing to approve it.
7. Partial FIP for Long Term Strategy
We are proposing regulatory language
as part of our FIP that specifies emission
limits, compliance schedules, and
monitoring, recordkeeping, and
reporting requirements for the following
sources, requirements, and pollutants:
a. Milton R. Young Station Units 1
and 2, BART, NOX.
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58639
b. Leland Olds Station Unit 2, BART,
NOX.
c. Coal Creek Units 1 and 2, BART,
NOX.
d. Antelope Valley Station Units 1
and 2, reasonable progress, NOX.
We are proposing this regulatory
language to fill the gap in the long-term
strategy that would be left by our
proposed partial disapproval of the
long-term strategy. Our monitoring,
recordkeeping, and reporting
requirements generally mirror those
imposed by North Dakota, except that
all cross-references are to federal
regulations only, we have modified
some of the requirements from 40 CFR
part 75, and we are not providing a
separate limit for startup for Milton R.
Young Station Units 1 and 2. We note
that no other source or unit has
requested or received a separate limit
for startup, and we conclude that such
a limit is not warranted. The 30-day
averaging period for the limit already
accounts for potential fluctuations due
to properly-conducted startups, and
nothing in North Dakota’s record
convinces us that Milton R. Young
Station will be unable to comply with
the BART limits we have selected.
K. Coordination of Reasonably
Attributable Visibility Impairment and
Regional Haze Requirements
Our visibility regulations direct states
to coordinate their reasonably
attributable visibility impairment longterm strategy and monitoring provisions
with those for regional haze, as
explained in section IV.F, above. Under
our reasonably attributable visibility
impairment regulations, the reasonably
attributable visibility impairment
portion of a state SIP must address any
integral vistas identified by the Federal
Land Managers pursuant to 40 CFR
51.304. See 40 CFR 51.302. An integral
vista is defined in 40 CFR 51.301 as a
‘‘view perceived from within the
mandatory Class I Federal area of a
specific landmark or panorama located
outside the boundary of the mandatory
Class I Federal area.’’ Visibility in any
mandatory Class I Federal area includes
any integral vista associated with that
area. The Federal Land Managers did
not identify any integral vistas in North
Dakota. In addition, neither Class I area
in North Dakota is experiencing
reasonably attributable visibility
impairment, nor are any North Dakota
sources affected by the reasonably
attributable visibility impairment
provisions. The North Dakota Regional
Haze SIP, in Sections 10.6.1 and 4.1,
does address the two requirements
regarding coordination of the regional
haze long-term strategy and monitoring
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provisions with the reasonably
attributable visibility impairment longterm strategy and monitoring
provisions. As noted in the Regional
Haze SIP, North Dakota has previously
made a commitment to address
reasonably attributable visibility
impairment should a Federal Land
Manager certify visibility impairment
from an individual source. See North
Dakota visibility SIP revisions to
address reasonably attributable visibility
impairment, (NDAC 13–15–19, EPA
approved September 28, 1988, 53 FR
37757), and Prevention of Signification
Deterioration visibility provisions
(NDAC 13–15–15, EPA approved July
19, 2007, 72 FR 39564). We propose to
find that the Regional Haze SIP
appropriately supplements and
augments North Dakota’s reasonably
attributable visibility impairment
visibility provisions by updating the
monitoring and long-term strategy
provisions to address regional haze. We
discuss the relevant monitoring
provisions further below.
L. Monitoring Strategy and Other SIP
Requirements
40 CFR 51.308(d)(4) requires that the
SIP contain a monitoring strategy for
measuring, characterizing, and reporting
regional haze visibility impairment that
is representative of all mandatory Class
I Federal areas within the state. This
monitoring strategy must be coordinated
with the monitoring strategy required in
40 CFR 51.305 for reasonably
attributable visibility impairment. As 40
CFR 51.308(d)(4) notes, compliance
with this requirement may be met
through participation in the IMPROVE
network. 40 CFR 51.308(d)(4)(i) further
requires the establishment of any
additional monitoring sites or
equipment needed to assess whether
reasonable progress goals to address
regional haze for all mandatory Class I
Federal areas within the state are being
achieved. Consistent with EPA’s
monitoring regulations for reasonably
attributable visibility impairment and
regional haze, North Dakota indicates in
Section 4.2 of the Regional Haze SIP
that it will rely on the IMPROVE
network for compliance purposes, in
addition to any reasonably attributable
visibility impairment monitoring that
may be needed in the future. The
IMPROVE monitors at the North Dakota
Class I Areas also described in Section
4.2 of the SIP. We propose to find that
North Dakota has satisfied the
requirements in 40 CFR 51.308(d)(4)
enumerated in this paragraph.
40 CFR 51.308(d)(4)(ii) requires that
North Dakota establish procedures by
which monitoring data and other
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information are used in determining the
contribution of emissions from within
North Dakota to regional haze visibility
impairment at mandatory Class I
Federal areas both within and outside
the state. The IMPROVE monitoring
program is national in scope, and other
states have similar monitoring and data
reporting procedures, ensuring a
consistent and robust monitoring data
collection system. As 40 CFR
51.308(d)(4) indicates, participation in
the IMPROVE program constitutes
compliance with this requirement. We
therefore propose that North Dakota has
satisfied this requirement.
40 CFR 51.308(d)(4)(iv) requires that
the SIP provide for the reporting of all
visibility monitoring data to the
Administrator at least annually for each
mandatory Class I Federal area in the
state. To the extent possible, North
Dakota should report visibility
monitoring data electronically. 40 CFR
51.308(d)(4)(vi) also requires that the
SIP provide for other elements,
including reporting, recordkeeping, and
other measures, necessary to assess and
report on visibility. We propose that
North Dakota’s participation in the
IMPROVE network ensures that the
monitoring data is reported at least
annually and is easily accessible;
therefore, such participation complies
with this requirement.
40 CFR 51.308(d)(4)(v) requires that
North Dakota maintain a statewide
inventory of emissions of pollutants that
are reasonably anticipated to cause or
contribute to visibility impairment in
any mandatory Class I Federal area. The
inventory must include emissions for a
baseline year, emissions for the most
recent year for which data are available,
and estimates of future projected
emissions. The state must also include
a commitment to update the inventory
periodically. Please refer to section
V.J.1, above, where we discuss North
Dakota’s emission inventory. North
Dakota states in Section 4 of the SIP that
it intends to update the North Dakota
statewide emissions inventories
periodically and review periodic
emissions information from other states
and future emissions projections. We
propose that this satisfies the
requirement.
M. Federal Land Manager Coordination
Lostwood is managed by the Fish and
Wildlife Service, and Theodore
Roosevelt is managed by the National
Park Service; these are the respective
Federal Land Managers for these North
Dakota Class I areas. Although the
Federal Land Managers are very active
in participating in the regional planning
organizations, the Regional Haze Rule
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grants the Federal Land Managers a
special role in the review of the regional
haze SIPs, summarized in section IV.H,
above. The Federal Land Managers and
the state environmental agencies are our
partners in the regional haze process.
Under 40 CFR 51.308(i)(2), North
Dakota was obligated to provide the
Fish and Wildlife Service and the
National Park Service with an
opportunity for consultation, in person
and at least 60 days prior to holding a
public hearing on the Regional Haze
SIP. North Dakota sent a draft of its
Regional Haze SIP to the Fish and
Wildlife Service and the National Park
Service on August 9, 2009 and at the
same time notified the Federal Land
Managers of the State’s January 7, 2010
public hearing.
40 CFR 51.308(i)(3) requires that
North Dakota provide in its Regional
Haze SIP a description of how it
addressed any comments provided by
the Federal Land Managers. The Federal
Land Managers communicated to the
State (and EPA) their dissatisfaction
with the BART determinations for
Milton R. Young Station Units 1 and 2
and Leland Olds Station Unit 2 among
other issues. They expressed their view
that SCR, instead of SNCR, is NOX
BART for these sources. The Federal
Land Managers also disagreed with
North Dakota’s rejection of reasonable
progress controls. North Dakota
responded to the Federal Land
Managers’ comments and concerns in
Appendix J of the Regional Haze SIP.
Lastly, 40 CFR 51.308(i)(4) specifies
the regional haze SIP must provide
procedures for continuing consultation
between the State and Federal Land
Managers on the implementation of the
visibility protection program required
by 40 CFR 51.308, including
development and review of
implementation plan revisions and 5year progress reports, and on the
implementation of other programs
having the potential to contribute to
impairment of visibility in mandatory
Class I Federal areas. North Dakota
commits in Section 11 of its Regional
Haze SIP to continue to coordinate and
consult with the Federal Land Managers
as required by 40 CFR 51.308(i)(4).
North Dakota states that it intends to
consult the Federal Land Managers in
the development and review of
implementation plan revisions; review
of progress reports; and development
and implementation of other programs
that may contribute to impairment of
visibility at North Dakota and other
Class I areas.
While we disagree with the substance
of North Dakota’s decisions regarding
NOX BART for Milton R. Young Station
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Units 1 and 2, Leland Olds Station Unit
2, and Coal Creek Station Units 1 and
2, and reasonable progress controls for
NOX for AVS Units 1 and 2, we are
proposing that the State complied with
the requirements of 40 CFR 51.308(i).
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N. Periodic SIP Revisions and Five-year
Progress Reports
North Dakota commits in Section 11
of the SIP to complete items required in
the future by the Regional Haze Rule.
North Dakota acknowledged its
obligation under 40 CFR 51.308(f) to
submit periodic progress reports and
Regional Haze SIP revisions, with the
first report due by July 31, 2018 and
every ten years thereafter.
North Dakota acknowledged its
obligation under 40 CFR 51.308(g) to
submit a progress report in the form of
a SIP revision to us every five years
following the initial submittal of the
Regional Haze SIP. The report will
evaluate the progress made towards the
reasonable progress goals for each
mandatory Class I area located within
North Dakota and in each mandatory
Class I area located outside North
Dakota that may be affected by
emissions from within North Dakota.
VI. Our Analysis of North Dakota’s
Interstate Visibility Transport SIP
Provisions
In July 1997, EPA promulgated the
1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS and the
1997 PM2.5 NAAQS. Sections 110(a)(1)
and (2) of the CAA require states to
submit SIPs that provide for the
implementation, maintenance, and
enforcement of a new or revised
NAAQS within three years following
the promulgation of the new or revised
standard. Thus, states were required to
submit SIPs that satisfy the applicable
requirements under sections 110(a)(1)
and (2), including the requirements of
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i), by July 2000.
Among other things, section
110(a)(2)(D)(i) requires states to make a
submission that establishes that the
state’s SIP contains adequate provisions
to prevent interference with measures
required to be included in the SIPs of
other states to protect visibility. A state
could establish the adequacy of its SIP
for this purpose by demonstrating that
existing provisions prevent such
interference, by adding new provisions
to prevent such interference, or by a
combination of existing and new
provisions.
States, including North Dakota, did
not meet the statutory July 2000
deadline for submission of these SIPs.
Accordingly, on April 25, 2005, EPA
made findings of failure to submit,
notifying all states, including North
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Dakota, of their failure to make the
required SIP submission to address
interstate transport under section
110(a)(2)(D)(i). 70 FR 21147. This
finding started a 24-month FIP clock
under section 110(c). Pursuant to
section 110(c), EPA is required to
promulgate a FIP to address the
applicable interstate transport
requirements, unless a state makes the
required submission and EPA fully
approves such submission, within the
24-month period. As noted earlier, EPA
was sued by WildEarth Guardians for
failing to meet its statutory FIP
obligation for North Dakota by the
applicable deadline in April of 2007,
and is thus under a consent decree
deadline to take the necessary SIP
approval or FIP action.
EPA issued the 2006 Guidance to
make recommendations to states about
how to make SIP submissions for
purposes of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i),
including the visibility prong.
Acknowledging that the regional haze
SIPs were still under development and
were not due until December 17, 2007,
we recommended that states could make
a SIP submission confirming that it was
not possible at that point in time to
assess whether there was any
interference with measures in the
applicable SIP for another state
designed to ‘‘protect visibility’’ for the
1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS and the
1997 PM2.5 NAAQS. We note that our
2006 Guidance was based on the
premise that as of the time of its
issuance in August 2006, it was
reasonable for EPA to recommend that
states could merely indicate that the
imminent regional haze SIP would be
the appropriate means to establish that
its SIP contained adequate provisions to
prevent interference with the visibility
programs required in other states.
Subsequent events have demonstrated
that we were mistaken in our
assumptions that all states would
submit regional haze SIPs by December
of 2007, and mistaken in our
assumption that all such submissions
would meet applicable regional haze
program requirements and therefore be
approved shortly thereafter. Our 2006
Guidance was intended to make
recommendations that were relevant at
that point in time, and subsequent
events have rendered it inappropriate in
this specific action. EPA’s 2006
Guidance was not intended to delay
indefinitely the consideration of
impacts on other states’ Class I areas, or
to allow the states’ failure to submit
regional haze SIPs on time, or to submit
approvable regional haze SIPs, to
provide an excuse for failing to analyze
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58641
those impacts in a reasonable way. At
this point in time, EPA must review the
submission from the State in light of the
actual facts and in light of the statutory
requirements of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II).
North Dakota submitted a SIP on
April 6, 2009, intended to address all
four prongs of the interstate transport
requirements of CAA 110(a)(2)(D)(i) for
the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS and the
1997 PM2.5 NAAQS. With respect to the
visibility prong section in
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II), North Dakota merely
stated that it was at that time working
with the WRAP, including associated
states and stakeholders, to prepare a
regional haze SIP. However, North
Dakota did not explicitly state in its
April 6, 2009, submittal that it intended
that its Regional Haze SIP be used to
satisfy the visibility prong, nor did it
include such a statement in its Regional
Haze SIP ultimately submitted or in the
Governor’s letter that accompanied it.
The state also did not make any other
SIP submission indicating that intended
to meet the requirements of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) by any other means.
However, the state did not make the
Regional Haze SIP by the deadline for
such submissions, and the Regional
Haze SIP itself does not fully meet the
requirements of the regional haze
program. Hence, we are not able to
consider the Regional Haze SIP in
determining the adequacy of North
`
Dakota’s SIP vis-a-vis the visibility
prong of 110(a)(2)(D)(i). Instead, we are
considering only the adequacy of North
Dakota’s April 6, 2009 submittal to
address the visibility prong.
The visibility prong, contained in
CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II), requires
that states submit a SIP revision
containing provisions ‘‘prohibiting any
source or other type of emission activity
within the state from emitting any air
pollutant in amounts which will * * *
interfere with measures required to be
included in the applicable
implementation plan for any other State
under part C [of the CAA] to protect
visibility.’’ Because of the impacts on
visibility from the interstate transport of
pollutants, we interpret the ‘‘good
neighbor’’ provisions of section 110 of
the Act described above as requiring
states to include in their SIPs either
measures to prohibit emissions that
would interfere with the reasonable
progress goals required to be set to
protect Class I areas in other states, or
a demonstration that emissions from
North Dakota sources and activities will
not have the prohibited impacts.
The State’s April 6, 2009 SIP
submission did contain some statements
concerning the requirements of the
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visibility prong of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i). Section 7.8 of North
Dakota’s submission generally describes
the requirements of CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i). With respect to the
visibility prong, Section 7.8 states the
following:
‘‘In the review process for new or modified
stationary sources, or other types of
emissions activities, the Department will
assess the impact on neighboring states.
* * * With respect to visibility, an
assessment on Prevention of Signification
Deterioration Class I area’s visibility will be
made when a significant impact is
suspected.’’
It is evident that the State intended
this provision to address interstate
visibility impacts of emissions from new
or modified sources. This provision was
not intended, and is not sufficient, to
satisfy the requirements of the visibility
prong regarding the interstate impacts
on visibility of emissions from existing
North Dakota sources.
Section 7.8.1.D of the SIP specifically
addresses interstate visibility impacts
from existing sources. First, it cites
language from EPA’s 2006 Guidance
regarding CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) 88
that reads as follows:
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‘‘At this point in time, EPA has made no
determination that emissions from any State
interfere with measures required to be
included in a plan to address reasonably
attributable visibility impairment. Further,
EPA is not aware of any certification of
existing reasonably attributable impairments
of visibility by a Federal Land Manager that
has not already been resolved. The EPA
accordingly believes that States should be
able to make a relatively simple SIP
submission verifying that no source within
the State emits pollutants that interfere with
measures included in the visibility SIPs
under the 1980 regulations.’’
The State responded to EPA’s 2006
Guidance by concluding in Section
7.8.1.D, that ‘‘there are no North Dakota
sources of emissions that interfere with
implementation of visibility SIP [sic]
under the 1980 regulations.’’ We find
North Dakota’s conclusion to be
reasonable in so far as it addressed the
issue of potential adverse visibility
impacts as contemplated in the 1980
regulations. However, EPA’s 2006
Guidance also recommended that states
address regional haze SIPs under EPA’s
regional haze regulations, and the
statute requires a determination with
respect to measures required in the SIPs
of other states.
Noting that the regional haze SIPs
were not due until December 17, 2007
88 ‘‘Guidance for State Implementation Plan
Submissions to Meet Current Outstanding
Obligations Under Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) for the 8–
Hour Ozone and PM2.5 National Ambient Air
Quality Standards.’’
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(over a year after the 2006 Guidance was
issued), EPA stated that ‘‘[t]he States
and Regional Planning Organizations
are currently engaged in the task of
identifying those Class I areas impacted
by each State’s emissions and
developing strategies for addressing
regional haze to be included in the
States’ regional haze SIPs.’’ Thus, EPA
indicated that ‘‘it is currently
premature’’ to determine whether a
state’s SIP contains adequate provisions
to prohibit emissions that interfere with
measures in other states’ regional haze
SIPs. EPA concluded by saying,
‘‘Accordingly, EPA believes that States
may make a simple SIP submission
confirming that it is not possible at this
time to assess whether there is any
interference with measures in the
applicable SIP for another State
designed to ‘protect visibility’ for the 8hour ozone and PM2.5 NAAQS until
regional haze SIPs are submitted and
approved.’’ Thus, EPA’s
recommendation to states as of that
particular point in time was that they
refer to the imminent regional haze SIP
submission as the means by which they
could address the visibility prong of
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i).
Apparently keying off this
recommendation, North Dakota
included the following statement
regarding visibility transport and
regional haze in Section 7.8.1.D:
‘‘The State of North Dakota is working with
the Western Regional Air Partnership,
including associated States and stakeholders,
to prepare a SIP to address the EPA Regional
Haze regulation (40 CFR 51.308). Until
regional haze SIPs are submitted and
approved, North Dakota believes it is not
possible at this time to assess whether there
is any interference with measures in the
applicable SIP for another state for regional
haze.’’
The State’s April 6, 2009 SIP
submission contains no other statements
or analysis regarding the impact of
emissions from North Dakota sources on
visibility programs in other states, and
in particular no other statements
concerning impacts on the regional haze
program in other states.
North Dakota’s April 6, 2009 SIP
submission thus suggested that the State
intended to address the requirements of
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) by a timely
submission of its regional haze SIP by
December of 2007, but due to
intervening circumstances the State did
not in fact make that submission until
March 3, 2010. Moreover, while North
Dakota ultimately did submit the
Regional Haze SIP to address the
requirements of the regional haze
program directly, North Dakota did not
explicitly specify that it was submitting
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the Regional Haze SIP revision to satisfy
the visibility prong of 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II).
Most importantly, however, EPA must
review the April 6, 2009 submission in
light of the current facts and
circumstances, and the Regional Haze
SIP revision that the State ultimately
submitted does not fully meet the
substantive requirements of the regional
haze program. The State made no other
SIP submission in which it indicated
that it intended to meet the visibility
prong of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) in any
other way.
Accordingly, we are proposing to
disapprove North Dakota’s April 6, 2009
SIP submittal for the visibility prong of
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II), because that
submittal neither contains adequate
measures to eliminate emissions that
would interfere with the required
visibility programs in other states, nor a
demonstration that the existing North
Dakota SIP already includes measures
sufficient to eliminate such prohibited
impacts. To the extent that the State
intended to meet the requirement of
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) with the
Regional Haze SIP, the Regional Haze
SIP submission itself is not fully
approvable.
VII. FIP for Interstate Visibility
Transport
Because we are proposing to
disapprove North Dakota’s April 6, 2009
SIP submission with respect to the
visibility prong of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II), we are proposing a
FIP to fill the gap that would be left by
our proposed disapproval. As an initial
matter, we note that section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) does not explicitly
specify how we should ascertain
whether a state’s SIP contains adequate
provisions to prevent emissions from
sources in that state from interfering
with measures required in another state
to protect visibility. Thus, the statute is
ambiguous on its face, and we must
interpret that provision.
Our 2006 Guidance recommended
that a state could meet the visibility
prong of the transport requirements of
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) of the CAA by
submission of the regional haze SIP, due
in December 2007. Our reasoning was
that the development of the regional
haze SIPs was intended to occur in a
collaborative environment among the
states. In fact, in developing their
respective reasonable progress goals,
WRAP states consulted with each other
through WRAP’s work groups. As a
result of this process, the common
understanding was that each state
would take action to achieve the
emissions reductions relied upon by
other states in their reasonable progress
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demonstrations under the Regional Haze
Rule. WRAP states consulted in the
development of reasonable progress
goals, using the products of this
technical consultation process to codevelop their reasonable progress goals.
In developing their visibility projections
using photochemical grid modeling,
WRAP states assumed a certain level of
emissions from sources within North
Dakota that coincided with North
Dakota’s BART determinations and
North Dakota’s existing controls for
other sources. Although we have not yet
received all regional haze SIPs, we
understand that the WRAP states used
the visibility projection modeling to
establish their own respective
reasonable progress goals. Thus, we
believe that an implementation plan
that provides for emissions reductions
consistent with the assumptions used in
those states’ modeling is one means to
ensure that emissions from North
Dakota sources do not interfere with the
measures designed to protect visibility
in other states.
North Dakota’s Regional Haze SIP
submission includes BART
determinations and reasonable progress
conclusions that are consistent with the
information and assumptions North
Dakota provided to the WRAP and that
other states will have relied upon in the
development of their own regional haze
SIPs. Therefore, North Dakota’s Regional
Haze SIP, as submitted to us, would
have been sufficient to obtain North
Dakota’s needed share of emission
reductions for interstate transport
purposes for visibility, if it had been
submitted to us for that purpose and if
it were fully approvable. However, as
already noted, North Dakota did not
specify that it intended to submit its
Regional Haze SIP to meet the visibility
prong of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II).
In addition, we are proposing to
disapprove North Dakota’s NOX BART
determinations for Milton R. Young
Station 1 and 2, Leland Olds Station 2,
and Coal Creek Station Units 1 and 2
and North Dakota’s NOX reasonable
progress determination for Antelope
Valley Station Units 1 and 2, and
instead proposing a FIP for purposes of
the regional haze program. Thus, we are
proposing a FIP to meet the visibility
prong of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II)
that relies on the combination of the
North Dakota Regional Haze SIP
provisions that we are proposing to
approve and the additions to the
regional haze program for North Dakota
that we are proposing in our FIP for
NOX BART for Milton R. Young Station
Units 1 and 2, Leland Olds Station Unit
2, and Coal Creek Station Units 1 and
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2 and NOX reasonable progress for
Antelope Valley Station Units 1 and 2.
Because this combination exceeds the
stringency of BART and reasonable
progress limits that were already
factored into the WRAP modeling for
reasonable progress goals, we propose
that this combination meets the
visibility prong of CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II). We propose to find
that this combination of regional haze
controls will ensure that emissions from
sources in North Dakota do not interfere
with other states’ visibility programs as
required by section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) of
the CAA.
VIII. Proposed Actions
A. Regional Haze
We are proposing to partially approve
and partially disapprove North Dakota’s
Regional Haze SIP revision that was
submitted on March 3, 2010, SIP
Supplement No. 1 that was submitted
on July 27, 2010, and part of SIP
Amendment No. 1 that was submitted
on July 28, 2011. Specifically, we are
proposing to disapprove the following:
Æ North Dakota’s NOX BART
determinations and emissions limits for
Milton R. Young Station Units 1 and 2,
Leland Olds Station Unit 2, and Coal
Creek Station Units 1 and 2.
Æ North Dakota’s determination under
the reasonable progress requirements
found at section 40 CFR 51.308(d)(1)
that no additional NOX emissions
controls are warranted at Units 1 and 2
of Basin Electric Power Cooperative’s
Antelope Valley Station.
Æ North Dakota’s reasonable progress
goals.
Æ Portions of North Dakota’s long-term
strategy that rely on or reflect other
aspects of the Regional Haze SIP we are
proposing to disapprove.
We are proposing to approve the
remaining aspects of North Dakota’s
Regional Haze SIP revision that was
submitted on March 3, 2010 and SIP
Supplement No. 1 that was submitted
on July 27, 2010. We are proposing to
approve the following parts of SIP
Amendment No. 1 that the State
submitted on July 28, 2011: (1)
Amendments to Section 10.6.1.2
pertaining to Coyote Station, and (2)
amendments to Appendix A.4, the
Permit to Construct of Coyote Station.
We are not proposing action on the
remainder of the July 28, 2011 submittal
at this time.
We are proposing the promulgation of
a FIP to address the deficiencies in the
North Dakota Regional Haze SIP that we
have identified in this proposal.
The proposed FIP includes the
following elements:
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• NOX BART determinations and
emission limits for Milton R. Young
Station Units 1 and 2 and Leland Olds
Station Unit 2 of 0.07 lb/MMBtu that
apply singly to each of these units on a
30-day rolling average, and a
requirement that the owners/operators
comply with these NOX BART limits
within five (5) years of the effective date
of our final rule.
• NOx BART determination and
emission limit for Coal Creek Station
Units 1 and 2 of 0.12 lb/MMBtu that
applies singly to each of these units on
a 30-day rolling average, but inviting
comment on whether 0.14 lb/MMBtu
should be the limit instead, and a
requirement that the owners/operators
comply with these NOX BART limits
within five (5) years of the effective date
of our final rule.
• A reasonable progress
determination and NOX emission limit
for Antelope Valley Station Units 1 and
2 of 0.17 lb/MMBtu that applies singly
to each of these units on a 30-day rolling
average, and a requirement that the
owner/operator meet the limit by
July 31, 2018.
• Monitoring, recordkeeping, and
reporting requirements for the above
seven units to ensure compliance with
these emission limitations.
• Reasonable progress goals
consistent with the SIP limits proposed
for approval and proposed FIP limits.
• Long-term strategy elements that
reflect the other aspects of the proposed
FIP.
In lieu of this proposed FIP, or
portion thereof, we are proposing
approval of a SIP revision if the State
submits such a revision in a timely way,
and the revision matches the terms of
our proposed FIP, or relevant portion
thereof.
B. Interstate Transport of Visibility
We are also proposing to disapprove
a portion of a SIP revision submitted by
the State of North Dakota for the
purpose of addressing the ‘‘good
neighbor’’ provisions of the CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i) for the 1997 8-hour ozone
NAAQS and the 1997 PM2.5 NAAQS.
Specifically, we propose to disapprove
the portion of the April 6, 2009, SIP in
which North Dakota intended to address
the requirement of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) that emissions from
North Dakota sources do not interfere
with measures required in the SIP of
any other state under part C of the CAA
to protect visibility. Because of this
proposed disapproval, we also need to
propose a FIP to meet this requirement
of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II). To meet
this FIP duty, we are proposing to find
that North Dakota sources will be
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sufficiently controlled to eliminate
interference with the visibility programs
of other states by a combination of the
measures that we are simultaneously
proposing to approve as meeting the
regional haze SIP requirements
combined with the additional measures
that we are proposing to impose in a FIP
to meet the remaining regional haze SIP
requirements.
IX. Statutory and Executive Order
Reviews
A. Executive Order 12866: Regulatory
Planning and Review
This proposed action is not a
‘‘significant regulatory action’’ under
the terms of Executive Order 12866 (58
FR 51735, October 4, 1993) and is
therefore not subject to review under
Executive Orders 12866 and 13563 (76
FR 3821, January 21, 2011). As
discussed in detail in section C below,
the proposed FIP applies to only four
facilities. It is therefore not a rule of
general applicability.
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B. Paperwork Reduction Act
This proposed action does not impose
an information collection burden under
the provisions of the Paperwork
Reduction Act, 44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.
Under the Paperwork Reduction Act, a
‘‘collection of information’’ is defined as
a requirement for ‘‘answers to * * *
identical reporting or recordkeeping
requirements imposed on ten or more
persons. * * * ’’ 44 U.S.C. 3502(3)(A).
Because the proposed FIP applies to just
four facilities, the Paperwork Reduction
Act does not apply. See 5 CFR 1320(c).
Burden means the total time, effort, or
financial resources expended by persons
to generate, maintain, retain, or disclose
or provide information to or for a
Federal agency. This includes the time
needed to review instructions; develop,
acquire, install, and utilize technology
and systems for the purposes of
collecting, validating, and verifying
information, processing and
maintaining information, and disclosing
and providing information; adjust the
existing ways to comply with any
previously applicable instructions and
requirements; train personnel to be able
to respond to a collection of
information; search data sources;
complete and review the collection of
information; and transmit or otherwise
disclose the information.
An agency may not conduct or
sponsor, and a person is not required to
respond to a collection of information
unless it displays a currently valid
Office of Management and Budget
(OMB) control number. The OMB
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control numbers for our regulations in
40 CFR are listed in 40 CFR Part 9.
D. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
(UMRA)
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act
The Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA)
generally requires an agency to prepare
a regulatory flexibility analysis of any
rule subject to notice and comment
rulemaking requirements under the
Administrative Procedure Act or any
other statute unless the agency certifies
that the rule will not have a significant
economic impact on a substantial
number of small entities. Small entities
include small businesses, small
organizations, and small governmental
jurisdictions.
For purposes of assessing the impacts
of today’s proposed rule on small
entities, small entity is defined as: (1) A
small business as defined by the Small
Business Administration’s (SBA)
regulations at 13 CFR 121.201; (2) a
small governmental jurisdiction that is a
government of a city, county, town,
school district or special district with a
population of less than 50,000; and (3)
a small organization that is any not-forprofit enterprise which is independently
owned and operated and is not
dominant in its field.
After considering the economic
impacts of this proposed action on small
entities, I certify that this proposed
action will not have a significant
economic impact on a substantial
number of small entities. The FIP that
EPA is proposing for purposes of the
visibility prong of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) consists of the
combination of the proposed approval
of the state’s Regional Haze SIP
submission and the proposed Regional
Haze FIP by EPA that adds additional
controls to certain sources. The Regional
Haze FIP that EPA is proposing for
purposes of the regional haze program
consists of imposing federal controls to
meet the BART requirement for NOX
emissions on specific units at three
sources in North Dakota, and imposing
controls to meet the reasonable progress
requirement for NOX emissions at one
additional source in North Dakota. The
net result of these two simultaneous FIP
actions is that EPA is proposing direct
emission controls on selected units at
only four sources. The sources in
question are each large electric
generating plants that are not owned by
small entities, and therefore are not
small entities. The proposed partial
approval of the SIP, if finalized, merely
approves state law as meeting Federal
requirements and imposes no additional
requirements beyond those imposed by
state law. See Mid-Tex Electric
Cooperative, Inc. v. FERC, 773 F.2d 327
(D.C. Cir. 1985).
Title II of the Unfunded Mandates
Reform Act of 1995 (UMRA), Public
Law 104–4, establishes requirements for
Federal agencies to assess the effects of
their regulatory actions on State, local,
and Tribal governments and the private
sector. Under section 202 of UMRA,
EPA generally must prepare a written
statement, including a cost-benefit
analysis, for proposed and final rules
with ‘‘Federal mandates’’ that may
result in expenditures to State, local,
and Tribal governments, in the
aggregate, or to the private sector, of
$100 million or more (adjusted for
inflation) in any 1 year. Before
promulgating an EPA rule for which a
written statement is needed, section 205
of UMRA generally requires EPA to
identify and consider a reasonable
number of regulatory alternatives and
adopt the least costly, most costeffective, or least burdensome
alternative that achieves the objectives
of the rule. The provisions of section
205 of UMRA do not apply when they
are inconsistent with applicable law.
Moreover, section 205 of UMRA allows
EPA to adopt an alternative other than
the least costly, most cost-effective, or
least burdensome alternative if the
Administrator publishes with the final
rule an explanation why that alternative
was not adopted. Before EPA establishes
any regulatory requirements that may
significantly or uniquely affect small
governments, including Tribal
governments, it must have developed
under section 203 of UMRA a small
government agency plan. The plan must
provide for notifying potentially
affected small governments, enabling
officials of affected small governments
to have meaningful and timely input in
the development of EPA regulatory
proposals with significant Federal
intergovernmental mandates, and
informing, educating, and advising
small governments on compliance with
the regulatory requirements.
Under Title II of UMRA, EPA has
determined that this proposed rule does
not contain a Federal mandate that may
result in expenditures that exceed the
inflation-adjusted UMRA threshold of
$100 million by State, local, or Tribal
governments or the private sector in any
1 year. In addition, this proposed rule
does not contain a significant Federal
intergovernmental mandate as described
by section 203 of UMRA nor does it
contain any regulatory requirements
that might significantly or uniquely
affect small governments.
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E. Executive Order 13132: Federalism
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Federalism (64 FR 43255, August 10,
1999) revokes and replaces Executive
Orders 12612 (Federalism) and 12875
(Enhancing the Intergovernmental
Partnership). Executive Order 13132
requires EPA to develop an accountable
process to ensure ‘‘meaningful and
timely input by State and local officials
in the development of regulatory
policies that have federalism
implications.’’ ‘‘Policies that have
federalism implications’’ is defined in
the Executive Order to include
regulations that have ‘‘substantial direct
effects on the States, on the relationship
between the national government and
the States, or on the distribution of
power and responsibilities among the
various levels of government.’’ Under
Executive Order 13132, EPA may not
issue a regulation that has federalism
implications, that imposes substantial
direct compliance costs, and that is not
required by statute, unless the Federal
government provides the funds
necessary to pay the direct compliance
costs incurred by State and local
governments, or EPA consults with
State and local officials early in the
process of developing the proposed
regulation. EPA also may not issue a
regulation that has federalism
implications and that preempts State
law unless the Agency consults with
State and local officials early in the
process of developing the proposed
regulation.
This rule will not have substantial
direct effects on the States, on the
relationship between the national
government and the States, or on the
distribution of power and
responsibilities among the various
levels of government, as specified in
Executive Order 13132, because it
merely addresses the State not fully
meeting its obligation to prohibit
emissions from interfering with other
states measures to protect visibility
established in the CAA. Thus, Executive
Order 13132 does not apply to this
action. In the spirit of Executive Order
13132, and consistent with EPA policy
to promote communications between
EPA and State and local governments,
EPA specifically solicits comment on
this proposed rule from State and local
officials.
F. Executive Order 13175: Consultation
and Coordination With Indian Tribal
Governments
Executive Order 13175, entitled
Consultation and Coordination with
Indian Tribal Governments (65 FR
67249, November 9, 2000), requires EPA
to develop an accountable process to
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ensure ‘‘meaningful and timely input by
tribal officials in the development of
regulatory policies that have tribal
implications.’’ This proposed rule does
not have tribal implications, as specified
in Executive Order 13175. It will not
have substantial direct effects on tribal
governments. Thus, Executive Order
13175 does not apply to this rule. EPA
specifically solicits additional comment
on this proposed rule from tribal
officials.
G. Executive Order 13045: Protection of
Children From Environmental Health
Risks and Safety Risks
Executive Order 13045: Protection of
Children from Environmental Health
Risks and Safety Risks (62 FR 19885,
April 23, 1997), applies to any rule that:
(1) Is determined to be economically
significant as defined under Executive
Order 12866; and (2) concerns an
environmental health or safety risk that
we have reason to believe may have a
disproportionate effect on children. EPA
interprets EO 13045 as applying only to
those regulatory actions that concern
health or safety risks, such that the
analysis required under section 5–501 of
the EO has the potential to influence the
regulation. This action is not subject to
EO 13045 because it implements
specific standards established by
Congress in statutes. However, to the
extent this proposed rule will limit
emissions of NOX, the rule will have a
beneficial effect on children’s health by
reducing air pollution.
H. Executive Order 13211: Actions
Concerning Regulations That
Significantly Affect Energy Supply,
Distribution, or Use
This action is not subject to Executive
Order 13211 (66 FR 28355 (May 22,
2001)), because it is not a significant
regulatory action under Executive Order
12866.
I. National Technology Transfer and
Advancement Act
Section 12 of the National Technology
Transfer and Advancement Act
(NTTAA) of 1995 requires Federal
agencies to evaluate existing technical
standards when developing a new
regulation. To comply with NTTAA,
EPA must consider and use ‘‘voluntary
consensus standards’’ (VCS) if available
and applicable when developing
programs and policies unless doing so
would be inconsistent with applicable
law or otherwise impractical.
The EPA believes that VCS are
inapplicable to this action. Today’s
action does not require the public to
perform activities conducive to the use
of VCS.
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58645
J. Executive Order 12898: Federal
Actions To Address Environmental
Justice in Minority Populations and
Low-Income Populations
Executive Order 12898 (59 FR 7629,
February 16, 1994), establishes federal
executive policy on environmental
justice. Its main provision directs
federal agencies, to the greatest extent
practicable and permitted by law, to
make environmental justice part of their
mission by identifying and addressing,
as appropriate, disproportionately high
and adverse human health or
environmental effects of their programs,
policies, and activities on minority
populations and low-income
populations in the United States.
We have determined that this
proposed rule, if finalized, will not have
disproportionately high and adverse
human health or environmental effects
on minority or low-income populations
because it increases the level of
environmental protection for all affected
populations without having any
disproportionately high and adverse
human health or environmental effects
on any population, including any
minority or low-income population.
This proposed rule limits emissions of
NOX from four facilities in North
Dakota. The partial approval of the SIP,
if finalized, merely approves state law
as meeting Federal requirements and
imposes no additional requirements
beyond those imposed by state law.
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection, Air
pollution control, Intergovernmental
relations, Nitrogen dioxides, Particulate
matter, Reporting and recordkeeping
requirements, Sulfur dioxide, Volatile
organic compounds.
Dated: September 1, 2011.
James B. Martin,
Regional Administrator, EPA, Region 8.
40 CFR part 52 is proposed to be
amended as follows:
PART 52—[AMENDED]
1. The authority citation for part 52
continues to read as follows:
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.
Subpart JJ—North Dakota
2. Section 52.1820 is amended as
follows:
a. In paragraph (c) by adding entries
to the end of the table.
b. In paragraph (d) by adding entries
to the end of the table.
c. Adding paragraphs (e)(23) through
(e)(25).
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§ 52.1820
Identification of plan.
*
*
*
*
(c) * * *
*
STATE OF NORTH DAKOTA REGULATIONS
State citation
*
State
effective
date
Title/subject
*
*
*
33–15–25
Explanations
*
*
*
REGIONAL HAZE REQUIREMENTS
State
effective
date
State citation
Title/subject
33–15–25–01 ............
33–15–25–02 ............
33–15–25–03 ............
Definitions ..................................................
Best Available Retrofit Technology ...........
Guidelines for Best Available Retrofit
Technology Determinations Under the
Regional Haze Rule.
Monitoring, Recordkeeping, and Reporting
33–15–25–04 ............
EPA
approval date
and
citation
EPA
approval date
and
citation 1
Explanations
1/1/07
1/1/07
1/1/07
1/1/07
1 In order to determine the EPA effective date for a specific provision listed in this table, consult the Federal Register notice cited in this column for the particular provision.
(d) * * *
Name of source
State
effective
date
Nature of requirement
*
Leland Olds Station
Units 1 and 2.
*
*
Air Pollution Control Permit to Construct
for Best Available Retrofit Technology
(BART).
Milton R. Young Station Units 1 and 2.
2/23/10
*
...........................
Air Pollution Control Permit to Construct
for Best Available Retrofit Technology
(BART).
2/23/10
...........................
Coal Creek Station
Units 1 and 2.
Air Pollution Control Permit to Construct
for Best Available Retrofit Technology
(BART).
2/23/10
...........................
Stanton Station Unit 1
Air Pollution Control
for Best Available
(BART).
Air Pollution Control
PTC10028.
Air Pollution Control
PTC10008.
Permit to Construct
Retrofit Technology
2/23/10
Permit to Construct,
7/22/10
...........................
Permit to Construct,
3/14/11
Explanations
...........................
...........................
Heskett Station Unit 2
Coyote Station Unit 1
*
EPA
approval date
and
citation 3
*
*
Excluding the NOX BART limits for Unit 2
and corresponding monitoring, recordkeeping, and reporting requirements,
which EPA is proposing to disapprove.
Excluding the NOX BART limits for Units 1
and 2 and corresponding monitoring,
recordkeeping, and reporting requirements, which EPA is proposing to disapprove.
Excluding the NOX BART limits for Units 1
and 2 and corresponding monitoring,
recordkeeping, and reporting requirements, which EPA is proposing to disapprove.
3 In order to determine the EPA effective date for a specific provision listed in this table, consult the Federal Register notice cited in this column for the particular provision.
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(e) * * *
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Name of nonregulatory SIP
provision
*
(23) North Dakota State
Implementation Plan for
Regional Haze.
(24) North Dakota State
Implementation Plan for
Regional Haze Supplement No. 1.
(25) North Dakota State
Implementation Plan for
Regional Haze Amendment No. 1.
Applicable geographic or
non-attainment area
State submittal date/adopted date
EPA approval date and citation 3
*
*
Statewide ..........................
*
Submitted: 3/3/10 ..............
*
*
...........................................
Statewide ..........................
Submitted: 7/27/10 ............
...........................................
Statewide ..........................
Submitted: 7/28/11 ............
...........................................
58647
Explanations
*
Excluding [provisions we
are disapproving and
anything superseded].
Excluding [provisions we
are disapproving and
anything superseded].
Excluding [provisions we
are not acting on].
3 In order to determine the EPA effective date for a specific provision listed in this table, consult the Federal Register notice cited in this column for the particular provision.
3. New § 52.1825 is added to read as
follows:
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§ 52.1825 Federal implementation plan for
regional haze.
(a) Applicability. This section applies
to each owner and operator of the
following coal-fired electric generating
units (EGUs) in the State of North
Dakota: Milton R. Young Station, Units
1 and 2; Leland Olds Station, Unit 2;
Coal Creek Station, Units 1 and 2;
Antelope Valley Station, Units 1 and 2.
(b) Definitions. Terms not defined
below shall have the meaning given
them in the Clean Air Act or EPA’s
regulations implementing the Clean Air
Act. For purposes of this section:
Boiler operating day means a 24-hour
period between 12 midnight and the
following midnight during which any
fuel is combusted at any time in the
EGU. It is not necessary for fuel to be
combusted for the entire 24-hour period.
Continuous emission monitoring
system or CEMS means the equipment
required by this section to sample,
analyze, measure, and provide, by
means of readings recorded at least once
every 15 minutes (using an automated
data acquisition and handling system
(DAHS)), a permanent record of NOX
emissions, other pollutant emissions,
diluent, or stack gas volumetric flow
rate.
NOX means nitrogen oxides.
Owner/operator means any person
who owns or who operates, controls, or
supervises an EGU identified in
paragraph (a) of this section.
Unit means any of the EGUs identified
in paragraph (a) of this section.
(c) Emissions limitations—(1) The
owners/operators subject to this section
shall not emit or cause to be emitted
NOX in excess of the following
limitations, in pounds per million
British thermal units (lb/MMBtu),
averaged over a rolling 30-day period:
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NOX Emission
limit
(lb/MMBtu)
Source name
Milton R. Young Station, Unit
1 ........................................
Milton R. Young Station, Unit
2 ........................................
Leland Olds Station Unit 2 ...
Coal Creek Station, Unit 1 ...
Coal Creek Station, Unit 2 ...
Antelope Valley Station, Unit
1 ........................................
Antelope Valley Station, Unit
2 ........................................
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.12
0.12
0.17
0.17
(2) These emission limitations shall
apply at all times, including startups,
shutdowns, emergencies, and
malfunctions.
(d) Compliance date. The owners and
operators subject to this section shall
comply with the emissions limitations
and other requirements of this section
by March 11, 2017 unless otherwise
indicated in specific paragraphs.
(e) Compliance determination—(1)
CEMS. At all times after the compliance
date specified in paragraph (d) of this
section, the owner/operator of each unit
shall maintain, calibrate, and operate a
CEMS, in full compliance with the
requirements found at 40 CFR part 75,
to accurately measure NOX, diluent, and
stack gas volumetric flow rate from each
unit. The CEMS shall be used to
determine compliance with the
emission limitations in paragraph (c) of
this section for each unit.
(2) Method. (i) For any hour in which
fuel is combusted in a unit, the owner/
operator of each unit shall calculate the
hourly average NOX concentration in lb/
MMBtu at the CEMS in accordance with
the requirements of 40 CFR part 75. At
the end of each boiler operating day, the
owner/operator shall calculate and
record a new 30-day rolling average
emission rate in lb/MMBtu from the
arithmetic average of all valid hourly
emission rates from the CEMS for the
PO 00000
Frm 00079
Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4702
current boiler operating day and the
previous 29 successive boiler operating
days.
(ii) An hourly average NOX emission
rate in lb/MMBtu is valid only if the
minimum number of data points, as
specified in 40 CFR part 75, is acquired
by both the NOX pollutant concentration
monitor and the diluent monitor (O2 or
CO2).
(iii) Data reported to meet the
requirements of this section shall not
include data substituted using the
missing data substitution procedures of
subpart D of 40 CFR part 75, nor shall
the data have been bias adjusted
according to the procedures of 40 CFR
part 75.
(f) Recordkeeping. Owner/operator
shall maintain the following records for
at least five years:
(1) All CEMS data, including the date,
place, and time of sampling or
measurement; parameters sampled or
measured; and results.
(2) Records of quality assurance and
quality control activities for emissions
measuring systems including, but not
limited to, any records required by 40
CFR part 75.
(3) Records of all major maintenance
activities conducted on emission units,
air pollution control equipment, and
CEMS.
(4) Any other records required by 40
CFR part 75.
(g) Reporting. All reports under this
section shall be submitted to the
Director, Office of Enforcement,
Compliance and Environmental Justice,
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,
Region 8, Mail Code 8ENF–AT, 1595
Wynkoop Street, Denver, Colorado
80202–1129.
(1) Owner/operator shall submit
quarterly excess emissions reports no
later than the 30th day following the
end of each calendar quarter. Excess
emissions means emissions that exceed
the emissions limits specified in
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21SEP2
58648
Federal Register / Vol. 76, No. 183 / Wednesday, September 21, 2011 / Proposed Rules
sroberts on DSK5SPTVN1PROD with PROPOSALS
and duration of each period of excess
emissions, specific identification of
each period of excess emissions that
occurs during startups, shutdowns, and
malfunctions of the unit, the nature and
cause of any malfunction (if known),
and the corrective action taken or
preventative measures adopted.
(2) Owner/operator shall submit
quarterly CEMS performance reports, to
include dates and duration of each
period during which the CEMS was
inoperative (except for zero and span
adjustments and calibration checks),
reason(s) why the CEMS was
inoperative and steps taken to prevent
recurrence, any CEMS repairs or
adjustments, and results of any CEMS
performance tests required by 40 CFR
VerDate Mar<15>2010
18:15 Sep 20, 2011
Jkt 223001
part 75 (Relative Accuracy Test Audits,
Relative Accuracy Audits, and Cylinder
Gas Audits).
(3) When no excess emissions have
occurred or the CEMS has not been
inoperative, repaired, or adjusted during
the reporting period, such information
shall be stated in the report.
(h) Notifications. (1) Owner/operator
shall submit notification of
commencement of construction of any
equipment which is being constructed
to comply with the NOX emission limits
in paragraph (c) of this section.
(2) Owner/operator shall submit semiannual progress reports on construction
of any such equipment.
(3) Owner/operator shall submit
notification of initial startup of any such
equipment.
PO 00000
Frm 00080
Fmt 4701
Sfmt 9990
(i) Equipment operation. At all times,
owner/operator shall maintain each
unit, including associated air pollution
control equipment, in a manner
consistent with good air pollution
control practices for minimizing
emissions.
(j) Credible Evidence. Nothing in this
section shall preclude the use, including
the exclusive use, of any credible
evidence or information, relevant to
whether a source would have been in
compliance with requirements of this
section if the appropriate performance
or compliance test procedures or
method had been performed.
[FR Doc. 2011–23372 Filed 9–20–11; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560–50–P
E:\FR\FM\21SEP2.SGM
21SEP2
Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 76, Number 183 (Wednesday, September 21, 2011)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 58570-58648]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2011-23372]
[[Page 58569]]
Vol. 76
Wednesday,
No. 183
September 21, 2011
Part II
Environmental Protection Agency
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40 CFR Part 52
Approval and Promulgation of Implementation Plans; North Dakota;
Regional Haze State Implementation Plan; Federal Implementation Plan
for Interstate Transport of Pollution Affecting Visibility and Regional
Haze; Proposed Rule
Federal Register / Vol. 76, No. 183 / Wednesday, September 21, 2011 /
Proposed Rules
[[Page 58570]]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
[EPA-R08-OAR-2010-0406; FRL-9461-7]
Approval and Promulgation of Implementation Plans; North Dakota;
Regional Haze State Implementation Plan; Federal Implementation Plan
for Interstate Transport of Pollution Affecting Visibility and Regional
Haze
AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: EPA is proposing to partially approve and partially disapprove
a revision to the North Dakota State Implementation Plan (SIP)
addressing regional haze submitted by the Governor of North Dakota on
March 3, 2010, along with SIP Supplement No. 1 submitted on July 27,
2010, and part of SIP Amendment No. 1 submitted on July 28, 2011. These
SIP revisions were submitted to address the requirements of the Clean
Air Act (CAA or Act) and our rules that require states to prevent any
future and remedy any existing man-made impairment of visibility in
mandatory Class I areas caused by emissions of air pollutants from
numerous sources located over a wide geographic area (also referred to
as the ``regional haze program''). EPA is proposing a Federal
Implementation Plan (FIP) to address the deficiencies identified in our
proposed partial disapproval of North Dakota's regional haze SIP. In
lieu of this proposed FIP, or a portion thereof, we are proposing
approval of a SIP revision if the State submits such a revision in a
timely way, and the revision matches the terms of our proposed FIP.
In addition, EPA is proposing to disapprove a revision to the North
Dakota SIP addressing the interstate transport of pollutants that the
Governor submitted on April 6, 2009. We are proposing to disapprove it
because it does not meet the Act's requirements concerning non-
interference with programs to protect visibility in other states. To
address this deficiency, we are proposing a FIP.
DATES: Comments: Comments must be received on or before November 21,
2011. Public Hearing. A public hearing for this proposal is scheduled
to be held on Thursday, October 13, 2011, at the Bismarck Veterans
Memorial Public Library, Meeting Room A, 515 North 5th Street,
Bismarck, North Dakota 58501, (701) 355-1480. The public hearing will
be held from 3 p.m. until 5 p.m., and again from 6 p.m. until 8 p.m.
The public hearing will provide interested parties the opportunity
to present information and opinions to EPA concerning our proposal.
Interested parties may also submit written comments, as discussed in
the proposal. Written statements and supporting information submitted
during the comment period will be considered with the same weight as
any oral comments and supporting information presented at the public
hearing. We will not respond to comments during the public hearing.
When we publish our final action, we will provide written responses to
all oral and written comments received on our proposal.
At the public hearing, the hearing officer may limit the time
available for each commenter to address the proposal to 5 minutes or
less if the hearing officer determines it to be appropriate. We will
not be providing equipment for commenters to show overhead slides or
make computerized slide presentations. Any person may provide written
or oral comments and data pertaining to our proposal at the public
hearing. Verbatim transcripts, in English, of the hearing and written
statements will be included in the rulemaking docket.
ADDRESSES: Submit your comments, identified by Docket ID No. EPA-R08-
OAR-2010-0406, by one of the following methods:
https://www.regulations.gov. Follow the on-line
instructions for submitting comments.
E-mail: r8airndhaze@epa.gov.
Fax: (303) 312-6064 (please alert the individual listed in
the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section if you are faxing
comments).
Mail: Director, Air Program, Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA), Region 8, Mailcode 8P-AR, 1595 Wynkoop Street, Denver,
Colorado 80202-1129.
Hand Delivery: Director, Air Program, Environmental
Protection Agency (EPA), Region 8, Mailcode 8P-AR, 1595 Wynkoop Street,
Denver, Colorado 80202-1129. Such deliveries are only accepted Monday
through Friday, 8 a.m. to 4:30 p.m., excluding Federal holidays.
Special arrangements should be made for deliveries of boxed
information.
Instructions: Direct your comments to Docket ID No. EPA-R08-OAR-
2010-0406. EPA's policy is that all comments received will be included
in the public docket without change and may be made available online at
https://www.regulations.gov, including any personal information
provided, unless the comment includes information claimed to be
Confidential Business Information (CBI) or other information whose
disclosure is restricted by statute. Do not submit information that you
consider to be CBI or otherwise protected through https://www.regulations.gov or e-mail. The https://www.regulations.gov Web site
is an ``anonymous access'' system, which means EPA will not know your
identity or contact information unless you provide it in the body of
your comment. If you send an e-mail comment directly to EPA, without
going through https://www.regulations.gov, your e-mail address will be
automatically captured and included as part of the comment that is
placed in the public docket and made available on the Internet. If you
submit an electronic comment, EPA recommends that you include your name
and other contact information in the body of your comment and with any
disk or CD-ROM you submit. If EPA cannot read your comment due to
technical difficulties and cannot contact you for clarification, EPA
may not be able to consider your comment. Electronic files should avoid
the use of special characters, any form of encryption, and be free of
any defects or viruses. For additional information about EPA's public
docket visit the EPA Docket Center homepage at https://www.epa.gov/epahome/dockets.htm.
Docket: All documents in the docket are listed in the https://www.regulations.gov index. Although listed in the index, some
information is not publicly available, e.g., CBI or other information
whose disclosure is restricted by statute. Certain other material, such
as copyrighted material, will be publicly available only in hard copy.
Publicly available docket materials are available either electronically
in https://www.regulations.gov or in hard copy at the Air Program,
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), Region 8, 1595 Wynkoop Street,
Denver, Colorado 80202-1129. EPA requests that if at all possible, you
contact the individual listed in the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT
section to view the hard copy of the docket. You may view the hard copy
of the docket Monday through Friday, 8 a.m. to 4 p.m., excluding
Federal holidays.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Gail Fallon, EPA Region 8, at (303)
312-6281, or Fallon.Gail@epa.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Definitions
For the purpose of this document, we are giving meaning to certain
words or initials as follows:
[[Page 58571]]
(i) The words or initials Act or CAA mean or refer to the Clean Air
Act, unless the context indicates otherwise.
(ii) The words EPA, we, us or our mean or refer to the United
States Environmental Protection Agency.
(iii) The initials SIP mean or refer to State Implementation Plan.
(iv) The initials FIP mean or refer to Federal Implementation Plan.
(v) The initials NAAQS mean or refer to National Ambient Air
Quality Standards.
(vi) The words North Dakota and State mean the State of North
Dakota.
(vii) The initials BART mean or refer to Best Available Retrofit
Technology.
(viii) The initials RP mean or refer to Reasonable Progress.
(ix) The initials NOX mean or refer to nitrogen oxides.
(x) The initials SO2 mean or refer to sulfur dioxide.
(xi) The initials NH3 mean or refer to ammonia.
(xii) The initials PM2.5 mean or refer to particulate matter with
an aerodynamic diameter of less than 2.5 micrometers.
(xiii) The initials PM10 mean or refer to particulate matter with
an aerodynamic diameter of less than 10 micrometers.
(xiv) The initials OC mean or refer to organic carbon.
(xv) The initials EC mean or refer to elemental carbon.
(xvi) The initials VOC mean or refer to volatile organic compounds.
(xvii) The initials EGUs mean or refer to Electric Generating
Units.
(xviii) The initials RPGs mean or refer to Reasonable Progress
Goals.
(xix) The initials LTS mean or refer to Long-Term Strategy.
(xx) The initials RAVI mean or refer to Reasonably Attributable
Visibility Impairment.
(xxi) The initials FLMs mean or refer to Federal Land Managers.
(xxii) The initials URP mean or refer to Uniform Rate of Progress.
(xxiii) The initials MRYS mean or refer to Milton R. Young Station.
(xxiv) The initials LOS mean or refer to Leland Olds Station.
(xxv) The initials IMPROVE mean or refer to Interagency Monitoring
of Protected Visual Environments monitoring network.
(xxvi) The initials RPOs mean or refer to regional planning
organizations.
(xxvii) The initials WRAP mean or refer to the Western Regional Air
Program.
(xxviii) The initials PSD mean or refer to Prevention of
Signification Deterioration.
(xxix) The initials Theodore Roosevelt or TRNP mean or refer to
Theodore Roosevelt National Park.
(xxx) The initials Lostwood or LWA mean or refer to Lostwood
National Wildlife Refuge Wilderness Area.
(xxxi) The initials TSD mean or refer to Technical Support
Document.
(xxxii) The initials IWAQM mean or refer to Interagency Workgroup
on Air Quality Modeling.
(xxxiii) The initials FGD mean or refer to flue gas
desulfurization.
(xxxiv) The initials SOFA mean or refer to separated overfire air.
(xxxv) The initials LNB mean or refer to low NOX
burners.
(xxxvi) The initials PRB mean or refer to Powder River Basin.
(xxxvii) The initials SCR mean or refer to selective catalytic
reduction.
(xxxviii) The initials LTO mean or refer to low temperature
oxidation.
(xxxix) The initials NSCR mean or refer to non-selective catalytic
reduction.
(xl) The initials ECO mean or refer to electro-catalytic oxidation.
(xli) The initials SNCR mean or refer to selective non-catalytic
reduction.
(xlii) The initials RRI mean or refer to rich reagent injection.
(xliii) The initials FGR mean or refer to external flue gas
recirculation.
(xliv) The initials OFA mean or refer to overfire air.
(xlv) The initials HE-SNCR mean or refer to hydrocarbon enhanced
SNCR.
(xlvi) The initials CGR mean or refer to conventional gas reburn.
(xlvii) The initials FLGR mean or refer to fuel-lean gas reburn.
(xlviii) The initials ROFA mean or refer to rotating overfire air.
(xlix) The initials LDSCR mean or refer to low-dust SCR.
(l) The initials TESCR mean or refer to tail-end SCR.
(li) The initials ASOFA mean or refer to advanced separated
overfire air.
(lii) The initials OEC mean or refer to oxygen enhanced combustion.
(liii) The initials FGD mean or refer to flue gas desulfurization
system.
(liv) The initials CoHPAC mean or refer to compact hybrid
particulate collector.
(lv) The initials CAM mean or refer to compliance assurance
monitoring.
(lvi) The initials CEMS mean or refer to continuous emission
monitoring systems.
(lvii) The initials CMAQ mean or refer to Community Multi-Scale Air
Quality modeling system.
(lviii) The initials SMOKE mean or refer to Sparse Matrix Operator
Kernel Emissions modeling system.
(lix) The initials CAMx mean or refer to Comprehensive Air Quality
Model.
(lx) The initials EIA mean or refer to Energy Information Agency.
(lxi) The initials GRE mean or refer to Great River Energy.
(lxii) The initials RMC mean or refer to the Regional Modeling
Center at the University of California Riverside.
(lxiii) The initials WEP mean or refer to Weighted Emissions
Potential.
Table of Contents
I. Overview of Proposed Actions
A. Regional Haze
B. Interstate Transport of Pollutants that Impact Visibility
II. SIP and FIP Background
III. What is the background for our proposed actions?
A. Regional Haze
B. Roles of Agencies in Addressing Regional Haze
C. The 1997 NAAQS for Ozone and PM2.5 and CAA
110(a)(2)(D)(i)
IV. What are the requirements for Regional Haze SIPs?
A. The CAA and the Regional Haze Rule
B. Determination of Baseline, Natural, and Current Visibility
Conditions
C. Determination of Reasonable Progress Goals
D. Best Available Retrofit Technology (BART)
E. Long-Term Strategy (LTS)
F. Coordinating Regional Haze and Reasonably Attributable
Visibility Impairment (RAVI)
G. Monitoring Strategy and Other SIP Requirements
H. Consultation With States and Federal Land Managers (FLMs)
V. Our Analysis of North Dakota's Regional Haze SIP
A. Affected Class I Areas
B. Determination of Baseline, Natural, and Current Visibility
Conditions
1. Estimating Natural Visibility Conditions
2. Estimating Baseline Visibility Conditions
3. Natural Visibility Impairment
4. Uniform Rate of Progress (URP)
C. Evaluation of North Dakota's BART Determinations other than
for NOX for Milton R. Young Station Units 1 and 2, Leland
Olds Station Unit 2, and Coal Creek Station Units 1 and 2
1. Identification of BART-Eligible Sources
2. Identification of Sources Subject to BART
a. Modeling Methodology
b. Contribution Threshold
c. Sources Identified by North Dakota as Subject to BART
3. BART Determinations and Federally Enforceable Limits
a. Great River Energy, Coal Creek Station
b. Great River Energy, Stanton Station
c. Minnkota Power Cooperative, Milton R. Young Station (MRYS)
d. Basin Electric Power Cooperative, Leland Olds Station (LOS)
e. North Dakota BART Results and Summary
D. Evaluation of North Dakota's NOX BART
Determinations for Milton R. Young Station Units 1 and 2, Leland
Olds
[[Page 58572]]
Station Unit 2, and Coal Creek Station Units 1 and 2
1. Milton R. Young Station Units 1 and 2 and Leland Olds Station
Unit 2
a. Milton R. Young Station Unit 1--State Analysis
b. Milton R. Young Station Unit 2--State Analysis
c. Leland Olds Station Unit 2--State Analysis
d. EPA's Evaluation of the State's Cost Analyses for
NOX BART for Milton R. Young Station Unit 1 and 2 and
Leland Olds Station Unit 2
e. EPA's Evaluation of the State's Visibility Analyses for
NOX BART for Milton R. Young Station Unit 1 and 2 and
Leland Olds Station Unit 2
2. Coal Creek Station Units 1 and 2
a. Coal Creek Station Units 1 and 2--State Analysis
b. EPA's Evaluation of the State's NOX BART Review
for Coal Creek Units 1 and 2
E. Federal Implementation Plan to Address NOX BART
for Milton R. Young Station Units 1 and 2, and Leland Olds Station
Unit 2
1. Introduction
2. BART analysis for Milton R. Young Station 1
3. BART analysis for Milton R. Young Station 2
4. BART analysis for Leland Olds Station 2
F. Federal Implementation Plan to Address NOX BART
for Coal Creek Station Units 1 and 2
1. Introduction
2. BART analysis for Coal Creek Units 1 and 2
G. Evaluation of North Dakota's Reasonable Progress Goal
1. North Dakota's Visibility Modeling
2. North Dakota's Reasonable Progress ``Four-Factor'' Analysis
3. North Dakota's Conclusions from the Four-Factor Analysis
4. Establishment of the Reasonable Progress Goal
5. Reasonable Progress Consultation
6. Our Conclusion on North Dakota's Reasonable Progress Goal and
Need for Additional Controls
H. Our Conclusion on North Dakota's Reasonable Progress Goal and
Need for Additional Controls
I. Federal Implementation Plan to Address Nitrogen Oxides
(NOX) Reasonable Progress Measures for Antelope Valley
Station Units 1 and 2 and Reasonable Progress Goals
1. Introduction
2. Reasonable Progress Analysis for Antelope Valley Station
Units 1 and 2
J. Long-Term Strategy
1. Emissions Inventories
2. Sources of Visibility Impairment in North Dakota Class I
Areas
3. Visibility Projection Modeling
4. Consultation and Emissions Reductions for Other States' Class
I Areas
5. Mandatory Long-Term Strategy Factors
a. Reductions Due to Ongoing Air Pollution Programs
b. Measures to Mitigate the Impacts of Construction Activities
c. Emission Limitation and Schedules of Compliance
d. Source Retirement and Replacement Schedules
e. Agricultural and Forestry Smoke Management Techniques
f. Enforceability of North Dakota's Measures
g. Anticipated Net Effect on Visibility Due to Projected Changes
h. Periodic SIP Revisions and 5-Year Progress Reports
K. Coordination of Reasonably Attributable Visibility Impairment
and Regional Haze Requirements
L. Monitoring Strategy and Other SIP Requirements
M. Federal Land Manager Coordination
N. Periodic SIP Revisions and Five-year Progress Reports
VI. Our Analysis of North Dakota's Interstate Visibility Transport
SIP Provisions
VII. FIP for Interstate Visibility Transport
VIII. Proposed Actions
A. Regional Haze
B. Interstate Transport and Visibility
IX. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
List of Tables
Table 1. Visibility Impact Reductions Needed Based on Best and Worst
Days Baselines, Natural Conditions, and Uniform Rate of Progress
Goals for North Dakota Class I Areas
Table 2. Summary of Uniform Rate of Progress
Table 3. List of BART--Eligible Sources in North Dakota
Table 4. Individual BART--Eligible Source Visibility Impacts on
North Dakota Class I Areas
Table 5. Summary of Coal Creek SO2 BART Analysis for Unit
1 and Unit 2 Boilers
Table 6. Summary of Coal Creek Filterable PM BART Analysis for Unit
1 and Unit 2 Boilers
Table 7. Summary of Stanton SO2 BART Analysis for Unit 1
Boiler with Lignite Coal
Table 8. Summary of Stanton SO2 BART Analysis for Unit 1
Boiler with Powder River Basin Coal
Table 9. Summary of Stanton NOX BART Analysis for Unit 1
Boiler with Lignite Coal
Table 10. Summary of Stanton NOX BART Analysis for Unit 1
Boiler with Powder River Basin Coal
Table 11. Summary of Stanton PM BART Analysis for Unit 1 Boiler with
Lignite Coal
Table 12. Summary of Milton R. Young Station SO2 BART
Analysis for Unit 1 Boiler
Table 13. Summary of Milton R. Young Station PM BART Analysis for
Unit 1 Boiler
Table 14. Summary of Milton R. Young Station SO2 BART
Analysis for Unit 2 Boiler
Table 15. Summary of Milton R. Young Station PM BART Analysis for
Unit 2 Boiler
Table 16. Summary of Leland Olds Station SO2 BART
Analysis for Unit 1 Boiler
Table 17. Summary of Leland Olds Station NOX BART
Analysis for Unit 1 Boiler
Table 18. Summary of Leland Olds Station PM BART Analysis for Unit 1
Boiler
Table 19. Summary of Leland Olds Station SO2 BART
Analysis for Unit 2 Boiler
Table 20. Summary of Leland Olds Station PM BART Analysis for Unit 2
Boiler
Table 21. North Dakota BART Determinations for SO2
Emissions that EPA is Proposing to Approve
Table 22. North Dakota BART Determinations for NOX
Emissions that EPA is Proposing to Approve
Table 23. Summary of Milton R. Young Station NOX BART
Analysis for Unit 1 Boiler
Table 24. Summary of Milton R. Young Station NOX BART
Analysis for Unit 2 Boiler
Table 25. Summary of Leland Olds Station NOX BART
Analysis for Unit 2 Boiler
Table 26. North Dakota BART Determinations for NOX
Emissions for Milton R. Young Station Units 1 and 2 and Leland Olds
Station Unit 2
Table 27. Contrast of TESCR Cost Effectiveness
Table 28. Comparison of EPA Control Cost Manual and Burns &
McDonnell Indirect Capital Costs
Table 29. Comparison of EPA Control Cost Manual & B&McD ``Other''
Capital Costs
Table 30. Comparison of Sargent & Lundy and Dr. Fox's Tail-End SCR
Variable Operation and Maintenance Costs for Leland Olds Station
Unit 2 (2009 Dollars)
Table 31. Summary of Coal Creek NOX BART Analysis for
Unit 1 and Unit 2 Boilers
Table 32. Summary of EPA NOX BART Analysis Control
Technologies for Milton R. Young Station Unit 1 Boiler
Table 33. Summary of EPA NOX BART Capital Cost Analysis
for SNCR on Milton R. Young Station Unit 1 Boiler
Table 34. Summary of EPA NOX BART Annual Analysis for
SNCR on Milton R. Young Station Unit 1 Boiler
Table 35. Summary of EPA NOX BART Costs for SNCR on
Milton R. Young Station Unit 1 Boiler
Table 36. Summary of EPA NOX BART Capital Cost Analysis
for TESCR on Milton R. Young Station Unit 1 Boiler
Table 37. Summary of EPA NOX BART Annual Costs for TESCR
Scenario 3 \1\ on Milton R. Young Station Unit 1 Boiler
Table 38. Summary of EPA NOX BART Costs for Various TESCR
Scenarios on Milton R. Young Station Unit 1 Boiler
Table 39. Summary of EPA NOX BART Analysis Comparison of
TESCR and SNCR Options for Milton R. Young Station Unit 1 Boiler
Table 40. Summary of EPA NOX BART Analysis Control
Technologies for Milton R. Young Station Unit 2 Boiler
Table 41. Summary of EPA NOX BART Capital Cost Analysis
for SNCR on Milton R. Young Station Unit 2 Boiler
Table 42. Summary of EPA NOX BART Annual Analysis for
SNCR on Milton R. Young Station Unit 2 Boiler
Table 43. Summary of EPA NOX BART Costs for SNCR on
Milton R. Young Station Unit 2 Boiler
Table 44. Summary of EPA NOX BART Capital Cost Analysis
for TESCR
[[Page 58573]]
Scenario 3 \1\ on Milton R. Young Station Unit 2 Boiler
Table 45. Summary of EPA NOX BART Annual Costs for TESCR
Scenario 3 \1\ on Unit 2 Boiler
Table 46. Summary of EPA NOX BART Costs for Various TESCR
+ ASOFA Scenarios on Milton R. Young Station Unit 2 Boiler
Table 47. Summary of EPA NOX BART Analysis Comparison of
TESCR and SNCR Options for Milton R. Young Station Unit 2 Boiler
Table 48. Summary of EPA NOX BART Analysis Control
Technologies for Leland Olds Station Unit 2 Boiler
Table 49. Summary of EPA NOX BART Capital Cost Analysis
for SNCR on Leland Olds Station Unit 2 Boiler
Table 50. Summary of EPA NOX BART Annual Costs for SNCR
on Leland Olds Station Unit 2 Boiler
Table 51. Summary of EPA NOX BART Costs for SNCR on
Leland Olds Station Unit 2 Boiler
Table 52. Summary of EPA NOX BART Capital Cost Analysis
for TESCR Scenario 3 on Leland Olds Station Unit 2 Boiler
Table 53. Summary of Some EPA NOX BART Annual Costs for
TESCR Scenario 3 \1\ on Leland Olds Station Unit 2 Boiler
Table 54. Summary of EPA NOX BART Costs for Various TESCR
+ ASOFA Scenarios on Leland Olds Station Unit 2 Boiler
Table 55. Summary of EPA NOX BART Analysis Comparison of
TESCR and SNCR Options for Leland Olds Station Unit 2 Boiler
Table 56. Summary of EPA Coal Creek BART Analysis Control
Technologies for Units 1 and 2 Boilers
Table 57. Summary of EPA NOX BART Capital Cost Analysis
for SNCR on Coal Creek Station Units 1 and 2 Boilers
Table 58. Summary of EPA Annual Cost Analysis for SNCR + ASOFA on
Coal Creek Station Units 1 and 2 Boilers
Table 59. Summary of EPA Costs for SNCR on Coal Creek Station Units
1 and 2 Boilers
Table 60. Summary of EPA Capital Cost Analysis for LDSCR on Coal
Creek Station Units 1 and 2 Boilers
Table 61. Summary of EPA Annual Cost Analysis for LDSCR on Coal
Creek Station Units 1 and 2 Boilers
Table 62. Summary of EPA Costs for LDSCR on Coal Creek Station Units
1 and 2 Boilers
Table 63. Summary of EPA NOX BART Analysis for Coal Creek
Station Units 1 and 2 Boilers
Table 64. North Dakota Q/D Analysis Sources with Results Greater
than 10
Table 65. North Dakota Sources for Reasonable Progress Four-Factor
Analyses
Table 66. Current Control for Reasonable Progress Sources
Table 67. Control Option Costs for Reasonable Progress Sources
Table 68. ND's Modeled Visibility Improvement for Reasonable
Progress Sources
Table 69. Comparison of Reasonable Progress Goals to Uniform Rate of
Progress on Most Impaired Days for North Dakota Class I Areas
Table 70. Comparison of Reasonable Progress Goals to Baseline
Conditions on Least Impaired Days for North Dakota Class I Areas
Table 71. Summary of Antelope Valley Station NOX
Reasonable Progress Analysis Control Technologies for Units 1 and 2
Boilers
Table 72. Summary of Antelope Valley Station NOX
Reasonable Progress Cost Analysis for Units 1 and 2 Boilers
Table 73. North Dakota SO2 Emission Inventory--2002 and
2018
Table 74. North Dakota NOX Emission Inventory--2002 and
2018
Table 75. North Dakota Organic Carbon Emission Inventory--2002 and
2018
Table 76. North Dakota Elemental Carbon Emission Inventory--2002 and
2018
Table 77. North Dakota PM2.5 Emission Inventory--2002 and
2018
Table 78. North Dakota Coarse Particulate Matter Emission
Inventory--2002 and 2018
Table 79. ND Sources Extinction Contribution 2000-2004 for 20% Worst
Days
Table 80. Source Region Apportionment for 20% Worst Days
(Percentage)
Table 81. Annual Average Emissions from Fire (2000-2004) (Tons/Year)
I. Overview of Proposed Actions
A. Regional Haze
We propose to partially approve and partially disapprove North
Dakota's regional haze State Implementation Plan (Regional Haze SIP)
revision that was submitted on March 3, 2010, SIP Supplement No. 1 that
was submitted on July 27, 2010, and part of SIP Amendment No. 1 that
was submitted on July 28, 2011. Specifically, we propose to disapprove
the following:
North Dakota's NOX BART determinations and
emissions limits for Units 1 and 2 of Minnkota Power Cooperative's
Milton R. Young Station, Unit 2 of Basin Electric Power Cooperative's
Leland Olds Station, and Units 1 and 2 of Great River Energy's Coal
Creek Station.
North Dakota's determination under the reasonable progress
requirements found at 40 CFR 51.308(d)(1) that no additional
NOX emissions controls are warranted at Units 1 and 2 of
Basin Electric Power Cooperative's Antelope Valley Station.
North Dakota's Reasonable Progress Goals (RPGs).
Portions of North Dakota's long-term strategy that rely on
or reflect other aspects of the Regional Haze SIP we are proposing to
disapprove.
We are proposing to approve the remaining aspects of North Dakota's
Regional Haze SIP revision that was submitted on March 3, 2010 and SIP
Supplement No. 1 that was submitted on July 27, 2010. We are proposing
to approve the following parts of SIP Amendment No. 1 that the State
submitted on July 28, 2011: (1) Amendments to Section 10.6.1.2
pertaining to Coyote Station, and (2) amendments to Appendix A.4, the
Permit to Construct of Coyote Station. We are not proposing action on
the remainder of the July 28, 2011 submittal at this time.
We are proposing the promulgation of a FIP to address the
deficiencies in the North Dakota Regional Haze SIP that we have
identified in this proposal.
The proposed FIP includes the following elements:
NOX BART determinations and emission limits for
Milton R. Young Station Units 1 and 2 and Leland Olds Station Unit 2 of
0.07 lb/MMBtu (pounds per one million British Thermal Units) that apply
singly to each of these units on a 30-day rolling average, and a
requirement that the owners/operators comply with these NOX
BART limits within five (5) years of the effective date of our final
rule.
NOX BART determination and emission limit for
Coal Creek Station Units 1 and 2 of 0.12 lb/MMBtu that applies singly
to each of these units on a 30-day rolling average, but inviting
comment on whether 0.14 lb/MMBtu should be the limit instead, and a
requirement that the owners/operators comply with these NOX
BART limits within five (5) years of the effective date of our final
rule.
A reasonable progress determination and NOX
emission limit for Antelope Valley Station Units 1 and 2 of 0.17 lb/
MMBtu that applies singly to each of these units on a 30-day rolling
average, and a requirement that the owner/operator meet the limit as
expeditiously as practicable, but no later than July 31, 2018.
Monitoring, record-keeping, and reporting requirements for
the above seven units to ensure compliance with these emission
limitations.
Reasonable progress goals consistent with the SIP limits
proposed for approval and the proposed FIP limits.
Long-term strategy elements that reflect the other aspects
of the proposed FIP.
In lieu of this proposed FIP, or portion thereof, we are proposing
approval of a SIP revision if the State submits such a revision in a
timely way, and the revision matches the terms of our proposed FIP, or
relevant portion thereof.
[[Page 58574]]
B. Interstate Transport of Pollutants That Impact Visibility
We are proposing to disapprove a portion of the SIP revision North
Dakota submitted on April 6, 2009, for the purpose of addressing the
``good neighbor'' provisions of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) for the
1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS and the PM2.5 NAAQS. Section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) of the Act requires that states have a SIP, or
submit a SIP revision, containing provisions ``prohibiting any source
or other type of emission activity within the state from emitting any
air pollutant in amounts which will * * * interfere with measures
required to be included in the applicable implementation plan for any
other State under part C [of the CAA] * * * to protect visibility.''
Because of the potential significant impacts on visibility from the
interstate transport of pollutants, we interpret the ``good neighbor''
provisions of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) as requiring states to include in
their SIPs either measures to prohibit emissions that would interfere
with the reasonable progress goals required to be set to protect Class
I areas in other states, or a demonstration that emissions from North
Dakota sources and activities will not have the prohibited impacts
under the existing SIP.
The State's April 6, 2009 SIP submission suggested that North
Dakota intended to address the requirements of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) by a timely submission of its Regional Haze SIP by
December of 2007, but the State did not make that submission until
March 3, 2010. Moreover, while North Dakota ultimately submitted a
Regional Haze SIP revision that addresses visibility and reasonable
progress goals directly, North Dakota did not explicitly specify that
it was submitting the Regional Haze SIP revision to satisfy the
visibility prong of 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II). Most importantly, however, EPA
must review the April 6, 2009 submission in light of the current facts
and circumstances, and the Regional Haze SIP revision that the State
ultimately submitted does not fully meet the substantive requirements
of the regional haze program. The State made no other SIP submission in
which it indicated that it intended to meet the visibility prong of
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) in any other way. Accordingly, we are
proposing to disapprove North Dakota's April 6, 2009 SIP submittal for
the visibility prong of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II), because that
submittal neither contains adequate measures to eliminate emissions
that would interfere with the required visibility programs in other
states, nor a demonstration that the existing North Dakota SIP already
includes measures sufficient to eliminate such prohibited impacts.
We are proposing the promulgation of a FIP to address the
deficiency in North Dakota's April 6, 2009 SIP submission that we have
identified in this proposal, in order to meet the interstate transport
requirements of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) for visibility.
Specifically, the proposed FIP consists of a finding that the
combination of our proposed partial approval of North Dakota's Regional
Haze SIP and our proposed partial FIP for regional haze for North
Dakota will satisfy the interstate transport requirements of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) with respect to visibility. The emissions
reductions resulting from the combination SIP/FIP and other provisions
contained in the SIP will ensure non-interference with the required
visibility programs of other states, as well as simultaneously meet the
substantive requirements of the regional haze program. Simultaneous
action on both the section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) and regional haze
program requirements will also be the most efficient approach to ensure
that sources in North Dakota are controlled adequately to meet both
requirements, and to avoid the possibility that sources might be
required to implement two successive levels of controls in order to
meet both requirements.
II. SIP and FIP Background
The CAA requires each state to develop plans to meet various air
quality requirements, including protection of visibility. CAA sections
110(a), 169A, and 169B. The plans developed by a state are referred to
as SIPs. A state must submit its SIPs and SIP revisions to us for
approval. Once approved, a SIP is enforceable by EPA and citizens under
the CAA, also known as being federally enforceable. If a state fails to
make a required SIP submittal or if we find that a state's required
submittal is incomplete or unapprovable, then we must promulgate a FIP
to fill this regulatory gap. CAA section 110(c)(1). As discussed
elsewhere in this notice, we are proposing to disapprove aspects of
North Dakota's Regional Haze SIP. We are also proposing to disapprove,
as not meeting the requirements of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) of the
CAA regarding visibility, North Dakota's interstate transport SIP. We
are proposing FIPs to address the deficiencies in North Dakota's
regional haze and interstate transport SIPs.
III. What is the background for our proposed actions?
A. Regional Haze
Regional haze is visibility impairment that is produced by a
multitude of sources and activities which are located across a broad
geographic area and emit PM2.5 (e.g., sulfates, nitrates,
organic carbon (OC), elemental carbon (EC), and soil dust) and its
precursors (e.g., sulfur dioxide (SO2), NOX, and
in some cases, ammonia (NH3) and volatile organic compounds
(VOCs)). These precursors react in the atmosphere to form
PM2.5. PM2.5 impairs visibility by scattering and
absorbing light. Visibility impairment reduces the clarity, color, and
visible distance that one can see. PM2.5 also can cause
serious health effects and mortality in humans and contributes to
environmental effects such as acid deposition and eutrophication.
Data from the existing visibility monitoring network, the
``Interagency Monitoring of Protected Visual Environments'' (IMPROVE)
monitoring network, show that visibility impairment caused by air
pollution occurs virtually all the time at most national park and
wilderness areas. The average visual range \1\ in many Class I areas
(i.e., national parks and memorial parks, wilderness areas, and
international parks meeting certain size criteria) in the western
United States is 100-150 kilometers, or about one-half to two-thirds of
the visual range that would exist without anthropogenic air pollution.
64 FR 35714, 35715 (July 1, 1999). In most of the eastern Class I areas
of the United States, the average visual range is less than 30
kilometers, or about one-fifth of the visual range that would exist
under estimated natural conditions. Id.
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\1\ Visual range is the greatest distance, in kilometers or
miles, at which a dark object can be viewed against the sky.
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In section 169A of the 1977 Amendments to the CAA, Congress created
a program for protecting visibility in the nation's national parks and
wilderness areas. This section of the CAA establishes as a national
goal the ``prevention of any future, and the remedying of any existing,
impairment of visibility in mandatory Class I Federal areas \2\ which
impairment
[[Page 58575]]
results from manmade air pollution.'' CAA Sec. 169A(a)(1). The terms
``impairment of visibility'' and ``visibility impairment'' are defined
in the Act to include a reduction in visual range and atmospheric
discoloration. Id. section 169A(g)(6). In 1980, we promulgated
regulations to address visibility impairment in Class I areas that is
``reasonably attributable'' to a single source or small group of
sources, i.e., ``reasonably attributable visibility impairment''
(RAVI). 45 FR 80084 (December 2, 1980). These regulations represented
the first phase in addressing visibility impairment. We deferred action
on regional haze that emanates from a variety of sources until
monitoring, modeling, and scientific knowledge about the relationships
between pollutants and visibility impairment had improved.
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\2\ Areas designated as mandatory Class I Federal areas consist
of national parks exceeding 6000 acres, wilderness areas and
national memorial parks exceeding 5000 acres, and all international
parks that were in existence on August 7, 1977. See CAA section
162(a). In accordance with section 169A of the CAA, EPA, in
consultation with the Department of Interior, promulgated a list of
156 areas where visibility is identified as an important value. See
44 FR 69122, November 30, 1979. The extent of a mandatory Class I
area includes subsequent changes in boundaries, such as park
expansions. CAA section 162(a). Although states and tribes may
designate as Class I additional areas which they consider to have
visibility as an important value, the requirements of the visibility
program set forth in section 169A of the CAA apply only to
``mandatory Class I Federal areas.'' Each mandatory Class I Federal
area is the responsibility of a ``Federal Land Manager'' (FLM). See
CAA section 302(i). When we use the term ``Class I area'' in this
action, we mean a ``mandatory Class I Federal area.''
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Congress added section 169B to the CAA in 1990 to address regional
haze issues, and we promulgated regulations addressing regional haze in
1999. 64 FR 35714 (July 1, 1999), codified at 40 CFR part 51, subpart
P. The Regional Haze Rule revised the existing visibility regulations
to integrate into them provisions addressing regional haze impairment
and establish a comprehensive visibility protection program for Class I
areas. The requirements for regional haze, found at 40 CFR 51.308 and
51.309, are included in our visibility protection regulations at 40 CFR
51.300-309. Some of the main regional haze requirements are summarized
in section IV of this action. The requirement to submit a Regional Haze
SIP applies to all 50 states, the District of Columbia and the Virgin
Islands. States were required to submit a SIP addressing regional haze
visibility impairment no later than December 17, 2007.\3\ 40 CFR
51.308(b).
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\3\ EPA's regional haze regulations require subsequent updates
to the regional haze SIPs. 40 CFR 51.308(g)-(i).
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Few States submitted a Regional Haze SIP prior to the December 17,
2007 deadline, and on January 15, 2009, EPA found that 37 states,
including North Dakota, and the District of Columbia and the Virgin
Islands, had failed to submit SIPs addressing the regional haze
requirements. 74 FR 2392. Once EPA has found that a State has failed to
make a required submission, EPA is required to promulgate a FIP within
two years unless the State submits a SIP and the Agency approves it
within the two year period. CAA Sec. 110(c)(1).
B. Roles of Agencies in Addressing Regional Haze
Successful implementation of the regional haze program will require
long-term regional coordination among states, tribal governments and
various federal agencies. Pollution affecting the air quality in Class
I areas can be transported over long distances, even hundreds of
kilometers. Therefore, to address effectively the problem of visibility
impairment in Class I areas, states need to develop strategies in
coordination with one another, taking into account the effect of
emissions from one jurisdiction on the air quality in another.
Because the pollutants that lead to regional haze can originate
from sources located across broad geographic areas, we have encouraged
the states and tribes across the United States to address visibility
impairment from a regional perspective. Five regional planning
organizations (RPOs) were formed to address regional haze and related
issues. The regional planning organizations first evaluated technical
information to better understand how their states and tribes impact
Class I areas across the country, and then pursued the development of
regional strategies to reduce emissions of particulate matter (PM) and
other pollutants leading to regional haze.
The Western Regional Air Program (WRAP) is a collaborative effort
of state governments, tribal governments, and various federal agencies
established to conduct data analyses, conduct pollutant transport
modeling, and coordinate planning activities among the western states.
Member state governments include: Alaska, Arizona, California,
Colorado, Idaho, Montana, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oregon, South
Dakota, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming. Tribal members include Campo
Band of Kumeyaay Indians, Confederated Salish and Kootenai Tribes,
Cortina Indian Rancheria, Hopi Tribe, Hualapai Nation of the Grand
Canyon, Native Village of Shungnak, Nez Perce Tribe, Northern Cheyenne
Tribe, Pueblo of Acoma, Pueblo of San Felipe, and Shoshone-Bannock
Tribes of Fort Hall.
C. The 1997 NAAQS for Ozone and PM2.5 and CAA
110(a)(2)(D)(i)
On July 18, 1997, we promulgated the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS and
the 1997 PM2.5 NAAQS. 62 FR 38652. Section 110(a)(1) of the
CAA requires states to submit SIPs to address a new or revised NAAQS
within 3 years after promulgation of such standards, or within such
shorter period as we may prescribe. Section 110(a)(2) of the CAA lists
the elements that such new SIPs must address, as applicable, including
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i), which pertains to the interstate transport of
certain emissions.
On April 25, 2005, we published a ``Finding of Failure to Submit
SIPs for Interstate Transport for the 8-hour Ozone and PM2.5
NAAQS.'' 70 FR 21147. This action included a finding that North Dakota
and other states had failed to submit SIPs to address interstate
transport of air pollution affecting required visibility programs in
other states, among other things, and started a 2-year clock for the
promulgation of a FIP by us, unless a state made a submission to meet
the requirements of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i), and we approved the
submission, prior to that time. Id.
On August 15, 2006, we issued our ``Guidance for State
Implementation Plan (SIP) Submissions to Meet Current Outstanding
Obligations Under Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) for the 8-Hour Ozone and
PM2.5 National Ambient Air Quality Standards'' (2006
Guidance). We developed the 2006 Guidance to make recommendations to
states for making submissions to meet the requirements of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i) for the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS and the 1997
PM2.5 NAAQS.
As identified in the 2006 Guidance, the ``good neighbor''
provisions in section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) of the CAA require each state to
have a SIP that prohibits emissions that adversely affect another state
in the ways contemplated in the statute. Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)
contains four distinct requirements or ``prongs'' related to the
impacts of interstate transport. The SIP must prevent sources in the
state from emitting pollutants in amounts which will: (1) Contribute
significantly to nonattainment of the NAAQS in other states; (2)
interfere with maintenance of the NAAQS in other states; (3) interfere
with provisions to prevent significant deterioration of air quality in
other states; or (4) interfere with efforts to protect visibility in
other states.
Acknowledging that the Regional Haze SIPs were still under
development and were not due until December 17, 2007, the 2006 Guidance
recommended that states could make a simple SIP submission confirming
that it was not possible at that point in time to assess whether there
was any interference with
[[Page 58576]]
measures in the applicable SIP for another state designed to ``protect
visibility'' for the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS and the 1997
PM2.5 NAAQS. See 74 FR 2392 (January 15, 2009). We note that
our 2006 Guidance was based on the premise that as of the time of its
issuance in August 2006, it was reasonable for EPA to recommend that
states could merely indicate that the imminent Regional Haze SIP would
be the appropriate means to establish that its SIP contained adequate
provisions to prevent interference with the visibility programs
required in other states. As discussed in more detail below, at this
point in time, EPA must review the submissions in light of the actual
facts and in light of the statutory requirements of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II).
On June 2, 2009, WildEarth Guardians sued EPA for our failure to
take action to promulgate FIPs, or to act on submitted SIPs in lieu
thereof, to satisfy the requirements of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) for the
1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS and 1997 PM2.5 NAAQS. Seven western
states were named in the lawsuit: Colorado, North Dakota, New Mexico,
Oklahoma, California, Idaho, and Oregon. A consent decree was filed on
November 10, 2009. The consent decree included various dates by which
EPA was required to take action on each of the four prongs of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i) for each of the seven states for both of the applicable
NAAQS. It required that EPA sign a notice by May 10, 2011, approving a
SIP or FIP or combination SIP/FIP for North Dakota meeting the
requirements of section 110(a)(2)(D) regarding interference with
measures in other states related to protection of visibility. Pursuant
to a subsequent modification to the consent decree and a subsequent
stipulation, this date for final action was extended to February 9,
2012. The modification and subsequent stipulation also required that
EPA sign a notice of proposed rulemaking by September 1, 2011.
On April 6, 2009, we received a SIP revision from North Dakota to
address the interstate transport provisions of CAA 110(a)(2)(D)(i) for
the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS and the 1997 PM2.5 NAAQS. In
prior actions we approved this North Dakota SIP submittal for the three
other prongs of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i). (75 FR 31290, June 3, 2010 and
75 FR 71023, November 22, 2010). However, as noted above, we are
proposing to disapprove the submittal for purposes of the visibility
prong and are proposing a FIP to address this requirement. Acting on
both the section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(II) requirement and the Regional Haze
SIP requirement simultaneously will ensure the most efficient use of
resources by the affected sources and EPA.
IV. What are the requirements for Regional Haze SIPs?
The following is a summary of the requirements of the Regional Haze
Rule. See 40 CFR 51.308 for further detail regarding the requirements
of the rule.
A. The CAA and the Regional Haze Rule
Regional Haze SIPs must assure reasonable progress towards the
national goal of achieving natural visibility conditions in Class I
areas. Section 169A of the CAA and our implementing regulations require
states to establish long-term strategies for making reasonable progress
toward meeting this goal. Implementation plans must also give specific
attention to certain stationary sources that were in existence on
August 7, 1977, but were not in operation before August 7, 1962, and
require these sources, where appropriate, to install BART controls for
the purpose of eliminating or reducing visibility impairment. The
specific Regional Haze SIP requirements are discussed in further detail
below.
B. Determination of Baseline, Natural, and Current Visibility
Conditions
The Regional Haze Rule establishes the deciview (dv) as the
principal metric for measuring visibility. See 70 FR 39104, 39118. This
visibility metric expresses uniform changes in the degree of haze in
terms of common increments across the entire range of visibility
conditions, from pristine to extremely hazy conditions. Visibility is
sometimes expressed in terms of the visual range, which is the greatest
distance, in kilometers or miles, at which a dark object can just be
distinguished against the sky. The deciview is a useful measure for
tracking progress in improving visibility, because each deciview change
is an equal incremental change in visibility perceived by the human
eye. Most people can detect a change in visibility of one deciview.\4\
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\4\ The preamble to the Regional Haze Rule provides additional
details about the deciview. 64 FR 35714, 35725 (July 1, 1999).
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The deciview is used in expressing reasonable progress goals (which
are interim visibility goals towards meeting the national visibility
goal), defining baseline, current, and natural conditions, and tracking
changes in visibility. The Regional Haze SIPs must contain measures
that ensure ``reasonable progress'' toward the national goal of
preventing and remedying visibility impairment in Class I areas caused
by manmade air pollution by reducing anthropogenic emissions that cause
regional haze. The national goal is a return to natural conditions,
i.e., manmade sources of air pollution would no longer impair
visibility in Class I areas.
To track changes in visibility over time at each of the 156 Class I
areas covered by the visibility program (40 CFR 81.401-437), and as
part of the process for determining reasonable progress, states must
calculate the degree of existing visibility impairment at each Class I
area at the time of each Regional Haze SIP submittal and periodically
review progress every five years midway through each 10-year
implementation period. To do this, the Regional Haze Rule requires
states to determine the degree of impairment (in deciviews) for the
average of the 20 percent least impaired (``best'') and the average of
the 20 percent most impaired (``worst'') visibility days over a
specified time period at each of their Class I areas. In addition,
states must also develop an estimate of natural visibility conditions
for the purpose of comparing progress toward the national goal. Natural
visibility is determined by estimating the natural concentrations of
pollutants that cause visibility impairment and then calculating total
light extinction based on those estimates. We have provided guidance to
states regarding how to calculate baseline, natural and current
visibility conditions.\5\
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\5\ Guidance for Estimating Natural Visibility Conditions Under
the Regional Haze Rule, September 2003, EPA-454/B-03-005, available
at https://www.epa.gov/ttncaaa1/t1/memoranda/Regional Haze _
envcurhr_gd.pdf, (hereinafter referred to as ``our 2003 Natural
Visibility Guidance''); and Guidance for Tracking Progress Under the
Regional Haze Rule, (September 2003, EPA-454/B-03-004, available at
https://www.epa.gov/ttncaaa1/t1/memoranda/rh_tpurhr_gd.pdf,
(hereinafter referred to as our ``2003 Tracking Progress
Guidance'').
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For the first Regional Haze SIPs that were due by December 17,
2007, ``baseline visibility conditions'' were the starting points for
assessing ``current'' visibility impairment. Baseline visibility
conditions represent the degree of visibility impairment for the 20
percent least impaired days and 20 percent most impaired days for each
calendar year from 2000 to 2004. Using monitoring data for 2000 through
2004, states are required to calculate the average degree of visibility
impairment for each Class I area, based on the average of annual values
over the five-year period. The comparison of initial baseline
visibility conditions to natural visibility conditions indicates the
amount of improvement necessary to attain natural
[[Page 58577]]
visibility, while the future comparison of baseline conditions to the
then current conditions will indicate the amount of progress made. In
general, the 2000--2004 baseline period is considered the time from
which improvement in visibility is measured.
C. Determination of Reasonable Progress Goals
The vehicle for ensuring continuing progress towards achieving the
natural visibility goal is the submission of a series of Regional Haze
SIPs from the states that establish two reasonable progress goals
(i.e., two distinct goals, one for the ``best'' and one for the
``worst'' days) for every Class I area for each (approximately) 10-year
implementation period. See 40 CFR 51.308(d), (f). The Regional Haze
Rule does not mandate specific milestones or rates of progress, but
instead calls for states to establish goals that provide for
``reasonable progress'' toward achieving natural (i.e., ``background'')
visibility conditions. In setting reasonable progress goals, states
must provide for an improvement in visibility for the most impaired
days over the (approximately) 10-year period of the SIP, and ensure no
degradation in visibility for the least impaired days over the same
period. Id.
In establishing reasonable progress goals, states are required to
consider the following factors established in section 169A of the CAA
and in our Regional Haze Rule at 40 CFR 51.308(d)(1)(i)(A): (1) The
costs of compliance; (2) the time necessary for compliance; (3) the
energy and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance; and (4)
the remaining useful life of any potentially affected sources. States
must demonstrate in their SIPs how these factors are considered when
selecting the reasonable progress goals for the best and worst days for
each applicable Class I area. In setting the reasonable progress goals,
states must also consider the rate of progress needed to reach natural
visibility conditions by 2064 (referred to hereafter as the ``Uniform
Rate of Progress'') and the emission reduction measures needed to
achieve that rate of progress over the 10-year period of the SIP.
Uniform progress towards achievement of natural conditions by the year
2064 represents a rate of progress, which states are to use for
analytical comparison to the amount of progress they expect to achieve.
If a state establishes a reasonable progress goal that provides for a
slower rate of improvement in visibility than the rate that would be
needed to attain natural conditions by 2064, the state must
demonstrate, based on the reasonable progress factors, that the rate of
progress for the implementation plan to attain natural conditions by
2064 is not reasonable, and that the progress goal adopted by the state
is reasonable. In setting reasonable progress goals, each state with
one or more Class I areas (``Class I State'') must also consult with
potentially ``contributing states,'' i.e., other nearby states with
emission sources that may be affecting visibility impairment at the
State's Class I areas. 40 CFR 51.308(d)(1)(iv). In determining whether
a state's goals for visibility improvement provide for reasonable
progress toward natural visibility conditions, EPA is required to
evaluate the demonstrations developed by the state pursuant to
paragraphs 40 CFR 51.308(d)(1)(i) and (d)(1)(ii). 40 CFR
51.308(d)(1)(iii).
D. Best Available Retrofit Technology (BART)
Section 169A of the CAA directs states to evaluate the use of
retrofit controls at certain larger, often uncontrolled, older
stationary sources with the potential to emit 250 tons or more per year
of any pollutant in order to address visibility impacts from these
sources. Specifically, section 169A(b)(2)(A) of the Act requires states
to revise their SIPs to contain such measures as may be necessary to
make reasonable progress towards the natural visibility goal, including
a requirement that certain categories of existing major stationary
sources \6\ built between 1962 and 1977 procure, install, and operate
BART, as determined by the state or by EPA in the case of a plan
promulgated under section 110(c) of the CAA. Under the Regional Haze
Rule, states are directed to conduct BART determinations for such
``BART-eligible'' sources that may be anticipated to cause or
contribute to any visibility impairment in a Class I area. Rather than
requiring source-specific BART controls, states also have the
flexibility to adopt an emissions trading program or other alternative
program as long as the alternative provides greater reasonable progress
towards improving visibility than BART.
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\6\ The ``major stationary sources'' potentially subject to BART
are listed in CAA section 169A(g)(7).
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On July 6, 2005, we published the Guidelines for BART
Determinations Under the Regional Haze Rule at Appendix Y to 40 CFR
part 51 (``BART Guidelines'') to assist states in determining which of
their sources should be subject to the BART requirements and in
determining appropriate emission limits for each applicable source. 70
FR 39104. In making a BART determination for a fossil fuel-fired
electric generating plant with a total generating capacity in excess of
750 megawatts (MW), a state must use the approach set forth in the BART
Guidelines. A state is encouraged, but not required, to follow the BART
Guidelines in making BART determinations for other types of sources.
Regardless of source size or type, a state must meet the requirements
of the CAA and our regulations for selection of BART, and the state's
BART analysis and determination must be reasonable in light of the
overarching purpose of the regional haze program.
The process of establishing BART emission limitations can be
logically broken down into three steps: first, states identify those
sources which meet the definition of ``BART-eligible source'' set forth
in 40 CFR 51.301; \7\ second, states determine which of such sources
``emits any air pollutant which may reasonably be anticipated to cause
or contribute to any impairment of visibility in any such area'' (a
source which fits this description is ``subject to BART,''); and third,
for each source subject to BART, states then identify the best
available type and level of control for reducing emissions.
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\7\ BART-eligible sources are those sources that have the
potential to emit 250 tons or more of a visibility-impairing air
pollutant, were not in operation prior to August 7, 1962, but were
in existence on August 7, 1977, and whose operations fall within one
or more of 26 specifically listed source categories. 40 CFR 51.301.
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States must address all visibility-impairing pollutants emitted by
a source in the BART determination process. The most significant
visibility-impairing pollutants are SO2, NOX, and
PM. We have stated that states should use their best judgment in
determining whether VOC or NH3 compounds impair visibility
in Class I areas.
Under the BART Guidelines, states may select an exemption threshold
value for their BART modeling, below which a BART-eligible source would
not be expected to cause or contribute to visibility impairment in any
Class I area. The state must document this exemption threshold value in
the SIP and must state the basis for its selection of that value. Any
source with emissions that model above the threshold value would be
subject to a BART determination review. The BART Guidelines acknowledge
varying circumstances affecting different Class I areas. States should
consider the number of emission sources affecting the Class I areas at
issue and the magnitude of the individual sources'
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impacts. Any exemption threshold set by the state should not be higher
than 0.5 deciviews. 40 CFR part 51, appendix Y, section III.A.1.
In their SIPs, states must identify ``BART-eligible sources'' and
``subject-to-BART sources'' and document their BART control
determination analyses. The term ``BART-eligible source'' used in the
BART Guidelines means the collection of individual emission units at a
facility that together comprises the BART-eligible source. In making
BART determinations, section 169A(g)(2) of the CAA requires that states
consider the following factors: (1) The costs of compliance; (2) the
energy and non-air quality environmental impacts of compliance; (3) any
existing pollution control technology in use at the source; (4) the
remaining useful life of the source; and (5) the degree of improvement
in visibility which may reasonably be anticipated to result from the
use of such technology. See also 40 CFR 51.308(e)(1)(ii)(A).
A Regional Haze SIP must include source-specific BART emission
limits and compliance schedules for each source subject to BART. Once a
state has made its BART determination, the BART controls must be
installed and in operation as expeditiously as practicable, but no
later than five years after the date of our approval of the Regional
Haze SIP. CAA section 169(g)(4) and 40 CFR 51.308(e)(1)(iv). In
addition to what is required by the Regional Haze Rule, general SIP
requirements mandate that the SIP must also include all regulatory
requirements related to monitoring, recordkeeping, and reporting for
the BART controls on the source. See CAA section 110(a). As noted
above, the Regional Haze Rule allows states to implement an alternative
program in lieu of BART so long as the alternative program can be
demonstrated to achieve greater reasonable progress toward the national
visibility goal than would BART.
E. Long-Term Strategy (LTS)
Consistent with the requirement in section 169A(b) of the CAA that
states include in their Regional Haze SIP a 10- to 15-year strategy for
making reasonable progress, section 51.308(d)(3) of the Regional Haze
Rule requires that states