Launch Safety: Lightning Criteria for Expendable Launch Vehicles, 33139-33152 [2011-14146]
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Federal Register / Vol. 76, No. 110 / Wednesday, June 8, 2011 / Rules and Regulations
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[FR Doc. 2011–14043 Filed 6–7–11; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4910–13–P
DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
Federal Aviation Administration
14 CFR Part 417
[Docket No. FAA–2011–0181; Amdt. No.
417–2]
RIN 2120–AJ84
Launch Safety: Lightning Criteria for
Expendable Launch Vehicles
Federal Aviation
Administration (FAA), DOT.
ACTION: Direct final rule; request for
comments.
srobinson on DSK4SPTVN1PROD with RULES
AGENCY:
The FAA is amending its
lightning commit criteria to account for
new information about the risks of
natural and triggered lightning. This
action amends flight criteria for
mitigating against naturally occurring
lightning and lightning triggered by the
flight of an expendable launch vehicle
SUMMARY:
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through or near an electrified
environment in or near a cloud. These
changes will increase launch
availability and implement changes
already adopted by the United States
Air Force.
DATES: Effective July 25, 2011. Submit
comments on or before July 8, 2011.
ADDRESSES: You may send comments
identified by Docket Number FAA–
2011–0181 using any of the following
methods:
• Federal eRulemaking Portal: Go to
https://www.regulations.gov and follow
the instructions for sending your
comments electronically.
• Mail: Send comments to Docket
Operations, U.S. Department of
Transportation, 1200 New Jersey
Avenue, SE., West Building Ground
Floor, Room W12–140, Washington, DC
20590.
• Fax: Fax comments to Docket
Operations at 202–493–2251.
• Hand Delivery: Take comments to
Docket Operations in Room W12–140 of
the West Building Ground Floor at 1200
New Jersey Avenue, SE., Washington,
PO 00000
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DC, between 9 a.m. and 5 p.m., Monday
through Friday, except Federal holidays.
For more information on the
rulemaking process, see the
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION section of
this document.
Privacy: We will post all comments
we receive, without change, to https://
www.regulations.gov, including any
personal information you provide.
Using the search function of our docket
web site, anyone can find and read the
comments received into any of our
dockets, including the name of the
individual sending the comment (or
signing the comment for an association,
business, labor union, etc.). You may
review DOT’s complete Privacy Act
Statement in the Federal Register
published on April 11, 2000 (65 FR
19477–78) or you may visit https://
DocketsInfo.dot.gov.
Docket: To read background
documents or comments received, go to
https://www.regulations.gov at any time
or to Docket Operations in Room W12–
140 of the West Building Ground Floor
at 1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE.,
Washington, DC, between 9 a.m. and
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5 p.m., Monday through Friday, except
Federal holidays.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: For
technical questions concerning this rule
contact Karen Shelton-Mur, Office of
Commercial Space Transportation,
AST–300, Federal Aviation
Administration, 800 Independence
Avenue, SW., Washington, DC 20591;
telephone (202) 267–7985; facsimile
(202) 267–5463, e-mail Karen.SheltonMur@faa.gov.
For legal questions concerning this
rule contact Laura Montgomery, Senior
Attorney for Commercial Space
Transportation, Office of the Chief
Counsel, Federal Aviation
Administration, 800 Independence
Avenue, SW., Washington, DC 20591;
telephone (202) 267–3150; facsimile
(202) 267–7971, e-mail
laura.montgomery@faa.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Authority for This Rulemaking
The FAA’s authority to issue rules on
commercial space transportation safety
is found in Title 49 of the United States
Codes, section 322(a), which authorizes
the Secretary of Transportation to carry
out rulemakings. 51 U.S.C. subtitle V,
chapter 509, 51 U.S.C. 50901–50923
(Chapter 509) governs the FAA’s
regulation of the safety of commercial
space transportation. This rulemaking is
promulgated under the authority of
section 322(a).
srobinson on DSK4SPTVN1PROD with RULES
Direct Final Rule Procedure
The FAA anticipates this regulation
will not result in adverse or negative
comment and therefore is issuing it as
a direct final rulemaking. Because the
changes to the lightning commit criteria
will increase launch availability and are
already implemented at Air Force
launch ranges, the public interest is well
served by this rulemaking.
Unless a written adverse or negative
comment or a written notice of intent to
submit an adverse or negative comment
is received within the comment period,
the regulations will become effective on
the date specified above. After the close
of the comment period, the FAA will
publish a document in the Federal
Register indicating that no adverse or
negative comments were received and
confirming the date on which the final
rule will become effective. If the FAA
does receive, within the comment
period, an adverse or negative comment,
or written notice of intent to submit
such a comment, the FAA will
withdraw the direct final rule by
publication in the Federal Register, and
a notice of proposed rulemaking may be
published with a new comment period.
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Comments Invited
The FAA invites interested persons to
participate in this rulemaking by
submitting written comments, data, or
views. The agency also invites
comments relating to the economic,
environmental, energy, or federalism
impacts that might result from adopting
the changes. The most helpful
comments reference a specific portion of
the proposal, explain the reason for any
recommended change, and include
supporting data. To ensure the docket
does not contain duplicate comments,
please send only one copy of written
comments, or if you are filing comments
electronically, please submit your
comments only one time.
The FAA will file in the docket all
comments we receive, as well as a
report summarizing each substantive
public contact with FAA personnel
concerning this rulemaking. Before
acting on this proposal, the FAA will
consider all comments received on or
before the closing date for comments.
The agency will consider comments
filed after the comment period has
closed if possible without incurring
expense or delay. The FAA may make
changes in light of the comments
received.
Proprietary or Confidential Business
Information
Do not file in the docket information
that you consider to be proprietary or
confidential business information. Send
or deliver this information directly to
the person identified in the FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT section of this
document. Mark the information that is
considered proprietary or confidential.
If the information is on a disk or CD–
ROM, mark the outside of the disk or
CD–ROM and also identify
electronically within the disk or CD–
ROM the specific information that is
proprietary or confidential.
Under 14 CFR 11.35(b), when the
FAA is aware of proprietary information
filed with a comment, the agency does
not place it in the docket. The FAA
holds it in a separate file to which the
public does not have access, and the
agency places a note in the docket that
it has received it. If the FAA receives a
request to examine or copy this
information, the FAA treats it as any
other request under the Freedom of
Information Act, 5 U.S.C. 552. The FAA
processes such a request under the DOT
procedures found in 49 CFR part 7.
Availability of Rulemaking Documents
You can get an electronic copy using
the Internet by:
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(1) Searching the Federal
eRulemaking portal at https://
www.regulations.gov;
(2) Visiting the FAA’s Regulations and
Policies web page at https://
www.faa.gov/regulations_policies/; or
(3) Accessing the Government
Printing Office’s web page at https://
www.gpoaccess.gov/fr/.
You can also get a copy by sending a
request to the Federal Aviation
Administration, Office of Rulemaking,
ARM–1, 800 Independence Avenue,
SW., Washington, DC 20591, or by
calling (202) 267–9680. Make sure to
identify the docket and amendment
numbers of this rulemaking.
I. Background
On August 25, 2006, the FAA issued
requirements designed for an
expendable launch vehicle (ELV) to
avoid natural and triggered lightning
during flight. Licensing and Safety
Requirements for Launch, 71 FR 50508
(Aug. 25, 2006). An ELV is an
unmanned rocket that typically carries
satellites to orbit. ELVs carry large
amounts of fuel and, due to the
explosive nature of the fuel, may not be
permitted to reach populated areas in
the event they go off course. In the
United States, safety for ELVs is
achieved by use of a flight termination
system. A flight termination system
prevents an errant launch vehicle from
reaching a populated area by destroying
the vehicle. A flight termination system
consists of all components on board a
launch vehicle that provide the ability
to end its flight in a controlled manner.
Without the restrictions mandated by
appendix G of part 417, a lightning
strike could disable a flight safety
system yet allow continued flight of the
launch vehicle without a launch
operator being able to stop its flight.
By codifying appendix G, the FAA
implemented criteria developed by a
Lightning Advisory Panel (LAP) to the
National Aeronautics and Space
Administration (NASA) and the U.S. Air
Force. See Merceret et al., ed., A History
of the Lightning Launch Commit Criteria
and the Lightning Advisory Panel for
America’s Space Program, NASA/SP–
2010–216283, 124, par. 25 (Aug. 2010)
(A History of the Lightning Criteria) and
Rationales for the Lightning FlightCommit Criteria, NASA/TP–2010–
216291, (Oct. 7, 2010)(Rationales for
Lightning Criteria). Appendix G’s flight
commit criteria impose time and
distance restrictions on launch,
requiring a launch operator to wait to
initiate flight for specified amounts of
time after a lightning strike or when
launch would take a flight path too
close to an electrified cloud.
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In this direct final rule, the FAA is
permitting greater launch availability. In
brief, the FAA is reducing requirements
that a launch operator wait to launch by
expanding the applicability of certain
exceptions and recognizing that the risk
of triggering lightning is less than
previously understood at distances
closer than previously believed. The
FAA is also codifying criteria for
obtaining accurate radar reflectivity
measurements to ensure calculation of
the volume-averaged, height-integrated
radar reflectivity (VAHIRR) and other
measurements, such as the vertical
extent of a cloud top, are representative
of actual conditions at the time of
launch, because these calculations are
instrumental in determining the
presence of and risk posed by electrified
clouds.
II. New Requirements
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A. General Applicability
The FAA is revising the general
description of appendix G to clarify that
the flight commit criteria are to mitigate
lightning strikes and avoid initiation of
lightning when a launch vehicle flies
near or through a highly electrified
environment in or near a cloud. The
FAA is also clarifying that, when a
launch operator uses optional
equipment, such as a field mill, to
increase launch availability, an operator
may not ignore data that does not satisfy
the requirement. This addition,
particularly when read in conjunction
with 14 CFR 417.113(c)(1)(ii), should
ensure that a launch takes place only
when it is clear that all the criteria are
satisfied. Section 417.113(c)(1)(ii) states
that a launch operator’s launch safety
rules 1 must ensure there is clear and
convincing evidence that the criteria of
appendix G, which apply to the
conditions present at the time of lift-off,
are not violated. Section G417.1 states
that all lightning flight commit criteria
of Appendix G must be satisfied. In
other words, each paragraph of each
section must be individually satisfied at
the time of launch. In short, the burden
is on the launch operator to ensure that
conditions are safe for launch.
A launch operator must understand
that each of the sections of appendix G
deliberately prohibits launch under
certain conditions. Since all of the
criteria must be satisfied, appendix G
must be read in its entirety to determine
whether or not launch is prohibited.
Thus, the satisfaction of any particular
paragraph or section cannot be
considered to permit launch. Even the
1 A launch operator must follow its safety rules.
14 CFR 417.113(a)(3).
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simultaneous satisfaction of all sections
means only that there are no known
natural- or triggered-lightning threats
that prohibit launch. According to
§ 417.113(c)(1)(ii), it is still necessary for
the launch weather team to report any
other hazardous conditions to the
person with authority for deciding
whether or not to launch.
B. New Definitions and Clarifications of
Existing Definitions
Section G.417.3 of appendix G defines
terms if they would not be familiar to
a trained meteorological observer, such
as ‘‘field mill,’’ or if they constitute nonstandard usage of an otherwise familiar
term, such as ‘‘associated.’’ The FAA is
adding new definitions, clarifying
existing ones, and making minor
editorial changes to others. For terms
not defined in this section, a useful
reference is the AMS Glossary of
Meteorology, American Meteorological
Society, 2000: Glossary of Meteorology,
2nd ed., American Meteorological
Society, Boston, MA, 850; also available
on line at https://
amsglossary.allenpress.com/glossary.
New definitions to appendix G
include definitions of Cone of silence,
Electric field, Horizontal distance,
Radar reflectivity, and Slant distance.
A cone of silence is a volume within
which a radar cannot detect any object
and is an inverted circular cone
centered on the radar antenna. A cone
of silence consists of all elevation angles
greater than the maximum elevation
angle reached by the radar. The cone of
silence is a volume that the radar beam
cannot access because of a radar’s
maximum tilt elevation. Radar echoes
close to and directly above the radar
cannot be detected. The methodology of
section G417.25(b) provides that the
specified volume for the VAHIRR
calculation must not contain any
portion of the cone of silence. Note as
well that, for any given search pattern,
certain sectors may be blocked out for
reasons of payload safety, and the
specified volume also may not contain
any portion of a sector blocked out for
these reasons. The methodology of
section G417.25(a) also provides that no
other radar reflectivity measurements,
such as those used to delineate a cloud,
may be affected by any volume that is
inaccessible to the radar.
An electric field is a vertical electric
field (Ez) at the surface of the Earth.
This definition differentiates the surface
electric field from those measured aloft.
A horizontal distance is a distance
that is measured horizontally between a
field mill or electric-field-measurement
point and the nearest part of the vertical
projection of an object or flight path
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onto the surface of the Earth. The FAA
is defining horizontal distance in order
to distinguish between the measurement
of this two-dimensional distance and
the three-dimensional ‘‘slant distance.’’
Radar reflectivity means the radar
reflectivity factor due to hydrometeors,
in dBZ. This is non-standard usage of a
term that is defined in the Glossary of
Meteorology. Radar reflectivity
measurements in units of dBZ (as
defined in the Glossary and not further
discussed herein) are further specified
in section G417.25(a) and are used
throughout this appendix, including for
the calculation of VAHIRR.
A slant distance means the shortest
distance between two points, whether
horizontal, vertical, or inclined in three
dimensional space. A slant distance is
used in measuring the distance between
a radar reflectivity or VAHIRR
measurement point and either a flight
path or an object such as a cloud.
The FAA is also clarifying the
definitions of Associated, Cloud,
Disturbed weather, Flight path,
Transparent, and Volume-averaged
height-integrated radar reflectivity
(VAHIRR). The following paragraphs
describe the changes made to these
definitions and the reasons for those
changes.
Associated means two or more clouds
are caused by the same disturbed
weather or are physically connected.
The FAA is deleting the discussion
contained in the current definition.
Discussion is better placed in
explanatory material like this preamble,
and is unnecessary in regulatory text.
Accordingly, it is still the case that
‘‘associated’’ does not have to mean
occurring at the same time. It is also still
the case that a cumulus cloud formed
locally and a cirrus layer physically
separated from that cumulus cloud and
generated by a distant source are not
associated, even if they occur over or
near the launch point at the same time.
A cloud is a visible mass of
suspended water droplets, ice crystals,
or a combination of water droplets and
ice crystals. A ‘‘cloud’’ includes the
entire volume containing such particles.
This clarification omits an unnecessary
reference to the particles being
produced by condensation of water
vapor in the atmosphere. Note that this
definition works together with that of
‘‘slant distance’’ to specify that standoff
distances from a cloud be measured
from the nearest edge of that cloud.
Disturbed weather is a weather system
where a dynamical process destabilizes
the air on a scale larger than individual
clouds or cells. Disturbed weather
specifically includes, but is not limited
to, fronts, troughs, and squall lines. (In
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this case, the examples are retained as
a critical part of the definition.) The
body of the definition remains
unchanged, but the FAA is now adding
a squall line as an important example of
disturbed weather because, along with
fronts and troughs, it is frequently
related to electrification of the
associated clouds.
Flight path means a launch vehicle’s
planned flight trajectory, including the
trajectory’s vertical and horizontal
uncertainties resulting from all threesigma guidance and performance
deviations. The FAA is no longer
referencing wind effects because threesigma dispersions already take wind
effects into account.
The definition of transparent is
clarified to mean any of the following
conditions apply:
➣ Objects above, including higher
clouds, blue sky, and stars are not
blurred, are distinct, and are not
obscured when viewed at visible
wavelengths;
➣ Objects below, including terrain,
buildings, and lights on the ground, are
clear, distinct, and not obscured when
viewed at visible wavelengths;
➣ Objects above or below are seen
distinctly not only through breaks in a
cloud;
➣ The cloud has a radar reflectivity
of less than 0 dBZ.
Historically, transparency has been
determined by a person watching the
sky. The weather experts at the Federal
launch ranges prefer observations
undertaken by a person. Rather than
limiting visual observations to those
made by a person standing outdoors,
this definition reflects the fact that
transparency may be determined by
satellite or camera as well. A person
may also look at images of the
conditions outside to ascertain
transparency. For these reasons, the
phrase ‘‘at visible wavelengths’’ has been
retained; clouds that look transparent to
a human observer may not look
transparent to an imaging sensor
operating at another wavelength, and
vice versa.
Volume-averaged height-integrated
radar reflectivity means the product,
expressed in units of dBZ-km, of the
volume-averaged radar reflectivity (in
dBZ) and the average cloud thickness
(in kilometers) in the specified volume
determined by a VAHIRR-measurement
point. The old definition states that the
calculation applies to ‘‘a specified
volume relative to a point along the
flight track.’’ The change clarifies that
VAHIRR may be computed at points
other than along a flight path. New
section G417.25(b) describes in detail
how VAHIRR is calculated.
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Additionally, the FAA is making
minor editorial changes to the following
definitions: Anvil cloud, Precipitation,
Moderate precipitation, Thick cloud
layer, Triboelectrification, and Volumeaveraged height-integrated radar
reflectivity.
The FAA is also deleting several
definitions.
Cloud edge is being deleted because it
is now part of the definition of a cloud.
Electric field measurement at the
surface of the Earth is being deleted.
The criteria this term contained are
more accurately characterized as
requirements, and, therefore, now
appear in new section G417.25(c)
Electric field measurement, which
governs how to measure electric fields.
Electric field measurement aloft is
removed because Appendix G contains
no criteria for electric field
measurement aloft in the regulations.
Although the FAA initially considered
criteria for electric fields aloft, in the
end, it did not promulgate requirements
when it issued part 417. The definition
was inadvertently left in the final rule.
The definition of Ohms/square is
removed because the term is a standard
unit of measurement. The definition of
Specified volume is no longer necessary
because the term contained
requirements now located in section
G417.25. Treated is being deleted
because it contained requirements now
located in section G417.23(b). Within is
being deleted because more precise
language regarding the distance between
a flight path and a cloud should prevent
any misunderstanding regarding the
distance for which a launch operator
must account.
III. Changes to Temperature, Time, and
Distance Restrictions for Anvil and
Debris Clouds
In this direct final rule, the FAA is
permitting greater launch availability. In
brief, the FAA is reducing requirements
that a launch operator wait to launch by
expanding the applicability of certain
exceptions and decreasing waiting time
requirements because of recognition that
the risk of triggering lightning is less
than previously understood at distances
closer than previously believed. In order
to ensure satisfaction of minimum
standards of measurement and
uniformity across launch sites, the FAA
is codifying in new section G417.25 the
measurement criteria used during a
second airborne field mill campaign
(ABFM–II) conducted during 2000 and
2001. A lightning advisory panel that
provides expertise to the Air Force and
NASA recommended this approach to
the ranges. The FAA also accepts the
more simple approach that the ranges
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currently use to calculate volumeaveraged, height-integrated radar
reflectivity because it is more
conservative than the codified
approach. Acceptable techniques to
calculate VAHIRR are further discussed
in Section III.C.3 below.
A. Structural Changes
At the outset, the FAA must note that
the order of the new requirements for
anvil and debris clouds is reversed from
the old requirements. These new rules
have also been written so that only one
set of restrictions applies at a time. For
example, for attached anvil clouds, in
old section G417.9.
• Paragraph (a) contains requirements
for flight paths through or within 10
nautical miles of the cloud,
• Paragraph (b) contains requirements
for flight paths through or within 5
nautical miles of the cloud, and
• Paragraph (c) contains requirements
for flight paths through a cloud.
This organization is potentially
confusing, since all three paragraphs
apply to flight through, and both
paragraphs (a) and (b) apply to flight
within 5 nautical miles of, the cloud.
The application has been simplified in
the new G417.9, where—
• Paragraph (b) contains all
requirements for flight paths through a
cloud,
• Paragraph (c) contains all
requirements for flight paths greater
than 0 and less than or equal to 3
nautical miles from the cloud,
• Paragraph (d) contains all
requirements for flight paths greater
than 3 and less than or equal to 5
nautical miles from the cloud, and
finally,
• Paragraph (e) contains all
requirements for flight paths greater
than 5 and less than or equal to 10
nautical miles from a cloud.
Whereas more than one paragraph
could apply under the old rule, the end
result of this restructuring is that, for
any given slant distance from a cloud,
at most, one paragraph will apply in the
new rule. For example, suppose a
launch vehicle’s flight path would place
the closest approach of the vehicle 2
nautical miles from an attached anvil
cloud. Under the old rule, the operator
would need to satisfy the requirements
of both sections G417.9(a), because 2
nautical miles is less than 10 nautical
miles, and G417.9(b), because 2 nautical
miles is less than 5 nautical miles.
Under the new rule, the operator only
needs to satisfy the requirements of
G417.9(c) because 2 nautical miles is
between zero and 3 nautical miles. This
change should make the rules easier to
follow. However, because of this
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restructuring, there is not a one-to-one
correspondence between the paragraphs
of the old and new rules.
Even in the rules that have been
structurally rearranged, it must be
remembered that slant distance from a
cloud refers only to the closest approach
of the vehicle. Otherwise multiple
paragraphs may still be taken to apply.
An operator must always take care that
all paragraphs are satisfied.
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B. Clarification of Applicability of
Restrictions to Anvil Clouds Formed
From Parents at Altitudes below ¥10
Degrees Celsius
Under new paragraphs (a) of sections
G417.9 and G417.11, for both attached
and detached anvil clouds, the
requirements to wait before initiating
flight apply only when an anvil cloud
forms from a parent cloud that has a top
at an altitude where the temperature is
¥10 degrees Celsius or colder. Even
though anvil clouds can form in
temperatures slightly above freezing,
only anvil clouds with parents whose
tops are at altitudes with temperatures
at or below ¥10 degrees Celsius pose a
real possibility of containing high
electric fields.2 When a convective
cloud grows through different altitudes,
it may reach altitudes with freezing or
colder temperatures. At these altitudes
the cloud may acquire ice particles, ice
crystals, super-cooled water droplets or
a combination thereof. It is primarily
this mixture of phases that can produce
a strong electrical generator within the
cloud. When the cloud top has become
colder than ¥10 degrees Celsius, the
cloud is likely to be electrified, and
when its top has become colder than
¥20 degrees Celsius, strong
electrification is likely.3
The temperature criterion in
paragraphs (a) applies to the parent
cloud. Anvil clouds are limited to
outflow from convective clouds at
altitudes with temperatures at or colder
than ¥-10 degrees Celsius. According to
studies, anvil clouds that develop from
cumulus clouds with cloud top
temperatures warmer than ¥10 degrees
Celsius rarely develop electric fields
with the strength of a thunderstorm.4
In practice, this limitation of the flight
commit criteria to anvil clouds formed
2 Willett, ed., Rationales for Lightning Criteria, at
9, 45, 61, and 108.
3 Id. at 45.
4 Dye, J.E., W.P. Winn, J.J. Jones, and D.W. Breed,
1989: The electrification of New Mexico
Thunderstorms. 1. Relationship between
precipitation development and the onset of
electrification, J. Geophys. Res., 94, 8643–8656.
Breed, D.W., and J.E. Dye, 1989: The electrification
of New Mexico Thunderstorms Part 2. Electric field
growth during initial electrification. J. Geophys.
Res, 94, 14, 841–14, 854.
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from parents at sufficiently cold
altitudes is not new. Although not
clearly expressed in the old appendix G,
the Federal ranges have historically
limited their restrictions on flight to
non-transparent anvil clouds formed
from parents at altitudes where the
temperatures are ¥10 degrees Celsius or
colder.
C. Exceptions to the Requirement To
Wait To Initiate Flight
This rulemaking increases the
availability of exceptions to certain
prohibitions on initiating flight under
circumstances posing a risk of natural or
triggered lightning. Specifically,
although an FAA licensee must wait
specified amounts of time after the last
lightning discharge to initiate flight
through a non-transparent attached or
detached anvil cloud or a nontransparent debris cloud, the licensee
need not wait, under the new versions
of the anvil and debris-cloud rules, if all
of the non-transparent anvil or debris
clouds within 3 nautical miles of a flight
path are located at altitudes where the
temperature is colder than 0 degrees
Celsius and if the volume-averaged,
height-integrated radar reflectivity
(VAHIRR) is less than +10 dBZ-km. For
the longer standoff distances, anvil
clouds must be cold within 10 nautical
miles, but there is no requirement to
calculate VAHIRR.
The launch operator must always
remember, however, that all sections of
Appendix G must be satisfied
simultaneously. In particular, section
G417.5, requires standoff distances of 10
nautical miles from a parent
thunderstorm and from the lightning
itself, so there will usually be portions
of a non-transparent anvil or debris
cloud through which flight is prohibited
by the lightning provision even though
it may not be prohibited by the anvil or
debris cloud requirements themselves.
1. Reduced Restrictions on Launches
With a Flight Path Greater Than 3
Nautical Miles From an Anvil or Debris
Cloud
The first change reduces some
restrictions on launches with a flight
path greater than 3 nautical miles from
a non-transparent anvil or debris cloud.
For flight paths more than 3 nautical
miles from a non-transparent anvil
cloud, rather than requiring that a
launch operator always wait after a
lightning discharge, the FAA now
requires only that the altitude of the
portion of the cloud within a specified
distance of the flight path be at
temperatures less than 0 degrees Celsius
to permit flight. For non-transparent
debris clouds with flight paths greater
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33143
than 3 nautical miles from the cloud,
the FAA will no longer require any
waiting after a lightning discharge or
detachment.
For non-transparent anvil clouds, the
requirements for a waiting period for
flight paths more than 3 nautical miles
from a cloud are not being dropped
entirely. However, the requirements for
anvil clouds will be more flexible
beyond 3 nautical miles than they are
under the current rules. For anvil clouds
more than 3 nautical miles from a flight
path, the FAA will require, unless the
operator waits 3 hours after the last
lightning discharge, that the altitudes at
which the flight path passes within a
specified distance of the cloud have
temperatures of less than 0 degrees
Celsius. This restriction was based on
the first Airborne Field Mill campaign
(ABFM–II) which showed that clouds at
altitudes with temperatures of less than
0 degrees Celsius do not contain electric
field magnitudes of greater than
3 kV/m. Merceret et al., supra, 242. The
specific rule changes for attached and
detached anvil clouds are explained in
turn below. The reasons for the changes
follow these descriptions.
i. Attached Anvil Clouds (G417.9)
A launch operator using flight paths
of greater than 3 and less than or equal
to 5 nautical miles from an attached
non-transparent anvil cloud will no
longer always need to wait 30 minutes
after a lightning discharge, and will no
longer need to show that the VAHIRR is
less than 33 dBZ-kft within 3 hours of
a lightning discharge. The old
requirement is contained in both section
G417.9(a), which requires waiting for 30
minutes after a lightning discharge
regardless of distance, and in section
G417.9(b), which only allows passage
between 30 minutes and 3 hours after a
lightning discharge, if the VAHIRR
measurement is under +33 dBZ-kft and
the altitudes at which the flight path
passes within 5 nautical miles of the
cloud have temperatures of less than 0
degrees Celsius.
Under the new requirements, the
restriction applicable to flight paths
between 3 and 5 nautical miles will be
contained in section G417.9(d) and will
require waiting for 3 hours after a
lighting discharge unless, as with the
old rule, the portion of the attached
anvil cloud at a slant distance of less
than or equal to 5 nautical miles from
the flight path is located entirely at
altitudes where the temperature is
colder than 0 degrees Celsius. A launch
operator will no longer be required to
wait for 30 minutes after a lightning
discharge and will not need to calculate
VAHIRR to be able to launch within 3
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hours of a lightning discharge. However,
a launch operator will still need to show
satisfaction of the temperature at
altitude restriction in order to launch
within 3 hours of a lightning discharge.
Launch operators with flight paths of
greater than 5 and less than or equal to
10 nautical miles from an attached nontransparent anvil cloud will no longer
always need to wait 30 minutes after a
lightning discharge as required by old
section G417.9(a). Section G417.9(e)
will now require waiting 30 minutes
unless the portion of the attached anvil
cloud at a slant distance of less than or
equal to 10 nautical miles from the
flight path is located entirely at altitudes
where the temperature is colder than 0
degrees Celsius.
srobinson on DSK4SPTVN1PROD with RULES
ii. Detached Anvil Clouds (G417.11)
Launch operators with flight paths
between 3 and 10 nautical miles from a
detached non-transparent anvil cloud
will no longer always need to wait 30
minutes after a lightning discharge and
will no longer need to meet any
requirements once 30 minutes have
passed since the last lightning
discharge. The new G417.11(d) will
require that the launch operator wait 30
minutes after a lightning discharge from
the cloud unless the portion of the
detached anvil cloud at a slant distance
of less than or equal to 10 nautical miles
from the flight path is located entirely
at altitudes where the temperature is
colder than 0 degrees Celsius. Section
G417.11(a) currently requires that a
launch operator wait 30 minutes after a
lightning discharge, without the benefit
of any exceptions. Additionally, current
G417.11(b) does not allow a launch
operator to pass between 3 and 5
nautical miles from a cloud between 30
minutes and 3 hours after a lightning
discharge unless one of two sets of
conditions are met. The new
requirements are more flexible because
they allow an exception to the
requirement that the launch operator
wait 30 minutes after a lightning
discharge and because they do not
require any conditions to be met after 30
minutes, even between 3 and 5 nautical
miles.
iii. Rationale
The reduced restrictions on a flight
path in excess of 3 nautical miles of a
cold 5 anvil or debris cloud arise out of
experimental and statistical work
performed by the LAP, which
recommends lightning requirements for
5 For the sake of brevity, the references to ‘‘cold’’
anvil clouds in this discussion refer to those whose
parent clouds have tops at an altitude where the
temperature is equal to or colder than ¥10 degrees
Celsius.
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20:41 Jun 07, 2011
Jkt 223001
launches at Federal launch ranges. The
LAP has performed statistical analyses
of data collected during ABFM–II. The
goal of ABFM–II was to characterize the
electric fields of anvil and debris clouds
by flying an aircraft into these types of
clouds while taking measurements at
various distances from the clouds using
electric field mills. The ABFM II
campaign used aircraft carrying airborne
field mills to measure the electric fields
of clouds of interest. The campaign used
ground-based radar to measure the
reflectivity of the same clouds so that it
would be possible to correlate the radar
reflectivity of the clouds with the
electric field measurements of the
airborne field mills. Francis J. Merceret,
et al., On the Magnitude of the Electric
Field near Thunderstorm-Associated
Clouds, 47 Journal of Applied
Meteorology and Climatology 240, 243
(2008). These data were used to develop
the VAHIRR parameter associated with
cloud electrification. Both the
temperature and VAHIRR criteria are
correlated with mixed-phase
precipitation, namely, the presence of
water in both solid and liquid phases.
When a cloud spans the freezing
level, the cloud can acquire a charge
due to processes involving the mixing of
liquid water droplets and ice crystals. A
build up of electric charge in a cloud
can lead to natural or triggered
lightning. When the VAHIRR is less
than 10 dBZ-km, it means that any
mixed phase processes are unable to
produce significant charging.
Like the Air Force and NASA before
it, the FAA’s existing triggered lightning
criteria are based on the determination
that a launch vehicle will not trigger
lightning in an electric field with a
magnitude of less than 3 kilovolts per
meter (kV/m). The following discussion
of each of the changes to the FAA’s
lightning commit criteria will, therefore,
focus on showing how the FAA’s new
requirements ensure that the electric
field magnitude along the flight path
will be less than 3 kV/m, so that the
new requirements will be essentially as
safe as the current requirements.
Therefore, the FAA is able to follow
the Federal launch range’s lead in
making the rules less restrictive because
of new analyses of the ABFM–II data.
T.P. O’Brien & R. Walterscheid,
Supplemental Statistical Analysis of
ABFM–II Data for Lightning Launch
Commit Criteria, Aerospace Report No.
TOR–2007(1494)–6, 3 (2007).
As a purely qualitative matter, out of
158 flights through non-transparent
debris or anvil clouds during ABFM–II,
the field mills detected no electric field
with a magnitude of greater than 3 kV/
m outside of a cloud. This was so even
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Fmt 4700
Sfmt 4700
though the sample contained 30 flights
through clouds with an electric field
magnitude of more than 3 kV/m
somewhere inside the cloud. Id.
Based on the data obtained, a
qualitative analysis shows that flying
more than 3 nautical miles from a nontransparent anvil cloud is as safe as the
FAA’s current requirements. The LAP
also used this data to demonstrate
statistically in two ways that it is
extremely unlikely that the electric field
magnitude will be more than 3 kV/m at
distances greater than 3 nautical miles
from the clouds.
A launch operator may calculate
VAHIRR to help determine whether it is
safe to fly, even if there has been a
relatively recent lightning discharge. If
the VAHIRR is less than 10 dBZ-km
(about 33 dBZ-kft), the probability of an
electric field of greater than 3 kV/m
occurring is less than 1 in 10,000. Dye
et al., supra, 14.
Calculating VAHIRR consists of
multiplying the average cloud thickness
and the average radar reflectivity found
in a column with an 11 kilometer by 11
kilometer cross-section centered on a
point of interest, where the two sides
are oriented north-south and east-west.
Because 3 nautical miles is 5.52
kilometers, a VAHIRR box centered on
a flight path more than 3 nautical miles
from the anvil cloud’s edge will not
contain the anvil cloud and will,
therefore, have a radar reflectivity of
zero, meaning that the VAHIRR will be
zero. Because zero is clearly less than
+33 dBZ-kft, flight at more than 3
nautical miles from the cloud will be at
least as safe as the current requirements
of G417.9(b)(2) and G417.11(b)(2)(ii),
which only require a VAHIRR of less
than +33 dBZ-kft. James E. Dye, et al.,
Analysis of Proposed 2007–2008
Revisions to the Lightning Launch
Commit Criteria for United States Space
Launches, 13th Conference on Aviation,
Range and Aerospace Meteorology 8.2,
2–3 (available at https://ams.confex.com/
ams/88Annual/techprogram/
programexpanded_474.htm) (2008);
Francis J. Merceret, Risk Analysis of
Proposed Reduction of Anvil and Debris
Cloud LLCC Standoff Distances from
Five to Three Miles, 1–2 (2007) (internal
LAP memorandum).
The LAP also performed a Gaussian
statistical analysis on the electric field
data collected between 6 kilometers (3.2
nautical miles) and 12 kilometers (6.5
nautical miles) from anvil and debris
clouds in an attempt to determine the
likelihood of various electric field
magnitudes occurring at those distances
from the clouds. The LAP found that an
electric field of significance was highly
unlikely.
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Federal Register / Vol. 76, No. 110 / Wednesday, June 8, 2011 / Rules and Regulations
The LAP used a Gaussian distribution
to perform a conservative three-sigma
worst-case risk analysis by using an
assumed mean of three times the
measured mean and an assumed error
estimate of three times the calculated
error. The LAP concluded that, even
with these conservative assumptions,
the probability that an electric field with
a magnitude of 3 kV/m would occur
within 3.2 to 6.5 nautical miles of a nontransparent anvil or debris cloud was
negligible; the probability of a field of
even 2 kV/m was on the order of 10¥7.
Dye et al., supra, at 3–4. These
probabilities were obtained by only
analyzing non-transparent clouds that
typically contain elevated electric fields,
namely, those that somewhere
contained electric fields greater than 3
kV/m. Merceret, supra, at 2–6. The FAA
concludes from this analysis that
launches more than 3 nautical miles
from anvil and debris clouds are
unlikely to trigger lightning because it is
extremely remote for the electric field to
reach a magnitude of 3 kV/m at
distances more than 3 nautical miles
from these clouds.
However, this analysis uses an
unconventional technique for extreme
value analysis. Gaussian analysis is not
typically used to determine the
likelihood of a quantity that is relatively
far from any of the observed quantities.
Therefore, the LAP also performed a
second statistical analysis. Dye et al.,
supra, at 4–5.
The LAP used a second statistical
method to determine the probability of
the electric field magnitude exceeding 3
kV/m at various distances from the anvil
and debris clouds in increments of 0.6
kilometers (0.32 nautical miles) and
again found it extremely unlikely.
O’Brien & Walterscheid, supra, at 7.
Gaussian distributions are not
necessarily well suited to extrapolating
fits to the wings of a frequency
distribution where the event frequency
(in this case the frequency of fields
exceeding 3 kV/m) is very small. A
widely used function for extreme value
estimation is the Weibull function. For
each distance increment from the
clouds, a 2-parameter Weibull
distribution was a good statistical fit for
the data. Extrapolating the tail of the
Weibull shows how likely it would be
at each increment to encounter an
electric field with a magnitude greater
than 3 kV/m. Even at 0.6 kilometers
(0.32 nautical miles) from the cloud’s
edge, the probability of exceeding 3 kV/
m was on the order of 10¥9. If only
clouds containing an electric field of
over 3 kV/m were considered, the
calculated probability was somewhat
lower, but this is most likely a statistical
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20:41 Jun 07, 2011
Jkt 223001
artifact relating to sample size. At 5.4
kilometers (2.9 nautical miles), the
probability was under 10¥16 even if
only clouds containing an electric field
of over 3 kV/m were considered.
O’Brien & Walterscheid, supra, at 7.
Therefore, the FAA concludes that the
risk of encountering electric field
magnitudes greater than 3 kV/m is very
small if the flight path is more than 3
nautical miles from the edge of an anvil
or debris cloud. In fact, the Weibull fit
analysis indicates that a launch would
not likely encounter a field of 3 kV/m
even if the flight path was at 0.32
nautical miles from the cloud’s edge, so
the requirements to wait or satisfy the
VAHIRR criteria on launches with flight
paths more than 3 nautical miles from
a cloud’s edge are not necessary.
iv. Reduced Restrictions on Launches
With a Flight Path Within 3 Nautical
Miles of a Debris Cloud
Analysis of the ABFM–II data has also
demonstrated that satisfying the
VAHIRR criteria can allow greater
launch opportunities near a nontransparent debris cloud that has
discharged lightning. This change
expands launch availability because at
any distance from a cloud the
regulations permit flight if the
conditions satisfy the VAHIRR and
temperature restrictions. For a flight
path through a non-transparent debris
cloud under old section G417.13(a), a
launch operator must wait 3 hours after
detachment or a lightning discharge
without exception. New section
G417.13(a) requires a launch operator to
wait 3 hours only if the operator cannot
demonstrate that the VAHIRR is below
10 dBZ-km (+33 dBZ-kft) and that every
portion of the non-transparent debris
cloud at a slant distance within 5
nautical miles of the flight path is at
altitudes where the cloud has
temperatures of less than 0 degrees
Celsius.
For flight paths between 0 and 3
nautical miles from the debris cloud, the
current section G417.13(b) requires
waiting 3 hours unless the launch meets
three conditions:
1. There is at least one working field
mill within 5 nautical miles of the
cloud,
2. The magnitude of the electric field
measurements has been less than 1 kV/
m for 15 minutes within 5 nautical
miles of the cloud, and
3. The maximum radar reflectivity has
been less than 10 dBZ for 15 minutes
within 5 nautical miles of the cloud.
The new requirements still allow the
fulfillment of these three conditions as
a method to avoid waiting the 3-hour
period, but will also allow earlier flight
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33145
if the operator meets the VAHIRR
exception, and if every portion of the
debris cloud at a slant distance within
5 nautical miles of the flight path is at
altitudes where the cloud has
temperatures of less than 0 degrees
Celsius.
A VAHIRR measurement of less than
10 dBZ-km (or approximately 33 dBZkft), along with satisfactory field mill
measurements and temperatures, means
that a debris cloud does not contain an
elevated electric field, even if portions
of it are located at an altitude conducive
to the creation of an electric charge. In
fact, the VAHIRR method may be even
more reliable when applied to nontransparent debris clouds than to anvil
clouds. To demonstrate this, the LAP
used a Weibull distribution to show that
the upper bound of the 95-percentconfidence-interval for the probability
of the electric field exceeding 3 kV/m if
the VAHIRR measurement is between 5
and 15 dBZ-km is on the order of 10¥5
for debris clouds, as opposed to 10¥2 for
anvil clouds. The expected value of the
probability of exceeding 3 kV/m is
much less. A more detailed examination
demonstrated that the expected value of
the probability of exceeding 3 kV/m for
anvil clouds is 10¥4 if the VAHIRR is
less than 10 dBZ-km, so the probability
of exceeding 3 kV/m for debris clouds
is probably even lower than 10¥5 if the
VAHIRR is less than 10 dBZ-km. Dye et
al., supra, 4–5. Therefore, the FAA has
concluded that it is appropriate to
extend the availability of the VAHIRR
exception to waiting to launch to debris
clouds.
2. Changes for Launches With a Flight
Path Within Three Nautical Miles of an
Attached Anvil Cloud
For flight paths within 3 nautical
miles of a cold, non-transparent anvil
cloud, the FAA will now permit flight
within 30 minutes of a lightning
discharge when temperature and
VAHIRR readings satisfy the regulatory
criteria. Therefore, for flight paths
between 0 and 3 nautical miles from a
cloud, the new section G417.9(c) allows
launch at any time if the VAHIRR is
below 10 dBZ-km and every portion of
the anvil cloud at a slant distance
within 5 nautical miles of the flight path
is at altitudes where the non-transparent
cloud has temperatures of less than 0
degrees Celsius. The old rule requires
waiting for 30 minutes after lightning
discharge if not passing through the
non-transparent cloud (current
G417.9(a) and (b)) or 3 hours after
lightning discharge if passing through
the non-transparent cloud (current
G417.9(c)) unless VAHIRR and
temperature at altitude conditions are
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Federal Register / Vol. 76, No. 110 / Wednesday, June 8, 2011 / Rules and Regulations
met. The new requirements will allow
VAHIRR and the temperature at altitude
conditions to always be an alternative to
having to wait after a lightning
discharge. For detached non-transparent
anvil clouds, the requirements remain
the same for flight paths less than or
equal to 3 nautical miles except that
now a launch operator can pass within
3 nautical miles of the non-transparent
cloud within 30 minutes of a lightning
discharge if the VAHIRR is below 10
dBZ-km and every portion of the nontransparent cloud at a slant distance
within 5 nautical miles of the flight path
is at altitudes where the cloud has
temperatures of less than 0 degrees
Celsius. This change is contained in
G417.11(c)(1). This change is possible
because the studies of the ABFM–II
campaign show, as discussed above,
that electric fields greater than 3 kv/m
do not extend as far and the decay rate
is much more rapid near the anvil edge 6
than previously believed. Cloud charges
decay in time in the absence of active
charge generation and, real-time radar
reflectivity readings and calculations
may be used to confirm that the electric
field has, in fact, subsided to acceptable
levels.
The FAA will not require a launch
operator to wait 30 minutes when
temperature and VAHIRR readings
satisfy the criteria for attached and
detached non-transparent anvil clouds
when the flight path is between 0 and
3 nautical miles. As described above,
statistical analysis of the ABFM II
measurements for all anvils shows that,
even for highly electrified anvils with
electric fields much greater than 3 kV/
m inside the cloud, the electric field
outside of the anvil cloud falls off very
rapidly and once falling to low levels
remains small at greater distances.
O’Brien. et. al. at 9. For attached and
detached non-transparent anvil clouds
and debris clouds, when the electric
field is strong, namely, when it exceeds
3 kV/m, the radar reflectivity in the
same location over the ABFM II data set
is invariably greater than approximately
10 dBZ. As noted, the Weibull
distribution and extreme value analysis
for anvil and debris clouds showed that,
when VAHIRR is ≤ 10 dBZ-km, the
probability of having electric fields in
excess of 3 Kv/m is very small (on the
order of 10¥4 or lower). Based on these
results, the FAA finds that a launch that
meets the VAHIRR criterion obviates
concerns regarding electric fields in
excess of 3 kV/m. Strong electric fields
are known to occur in the melting zone
of many precipitating layer clouds.7
Satisfaction of the temperature
requirement ensures that this type of
electric charging within the melting
zone will not occur.
3. Codification of Measurement Criteria
New section G417.25 represents a
codification of three different sets of
measurement specifications. Section
G417.25(a) contains requirements for
accurate and reliable radar reflectivity
measurements that qualify for use
throughout the other sections of this
appendix. In addition to VAHIRR
calculations, such uses include all radar
measurements of the location, spatial
extent, and intensity of clouds and
precipitation. Such specifications are
currently applied by the U.S. Air Force
and NASA at the Federal ranges and can
also be met by correct application of
data from the national Next-Generation
Radar (NEXRAD) network.8 If the
available radar does not meet these
requirements, a launch operator must
fall back on visual and other
observations to convincingly
demonstrate that the rules are not
violated.
Section G417.25(b) applies
specifically to VAHIRR calculations and
explains how valid VAHIRR
measurements must be made. These
specifications are the same as those
used during the ABFM II of 2000 and
2001 from which a safe VAHIRR
threshold of ≤10 dBZ-km was
statistically determined for anvil and
debris clouds. Because there is no
guarantee that this threshold would be
safe if VAHIRR were calculated
operationally in a different way, the
FAA is codifying these specifications
here. See below, however, for an
alternative calculation that is currently
in use by the U.S. Air Force and NASA
at the Eastern Range and that satisfies
section G417.1(c) by being at least as
safe as the FAA’s requirements.
Finally, section G417.25(c) specifies
the measurement techniques for electric
fields to qualify for use in this
appendix. Again, these are the
specifications currently used by the
federal launch ranges.
Section G417.25(a) requires that a
licensee who relies on radar reflectivity
measurements, including the
calculation of VAHIRR, to increase
launch availability must satisfy a
number of requirements. The Federal
7 Rationales
for Lightning Criteria, at 123.
is a network of 159 high-resolution
Doppler weather radars operated by the National
Weather Service, an agency of the National Oceanic
and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) within
the United States Department of Commerce.
8 NEXRAD
6 Dye, J. E., et al. (2007), Electric fields, cloud
microphysics, and reflectivity in anvils of Florida
thunderstorms. J. Geophys. Res., 112, D11215,
doi:10.1029/2006JD007550.
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20:41 Jun 07, 2011
Jkt 223001
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Sfmt 4700
launch ranges satisfy the requirements
of paragraph (a) of this section because
they employ meteorological radar,9 and
they ensure that—
(1) The radar wavelength is greater
than or equal to 5 centimeters in order
that attenuation by intervening clouds
and/or precipitation not be
significant; 10
(2) Any reflectivity measurement is of
a meteorological target, such as a cloud
or precipitation, and not of some other
objects, such as birds or insects, nor due
to ‘‘anomalous propagation’’; 11
(3) The spatial accuracy and
resolution of a reflectivity measurement
is one kilometer or better in order that
the locations and spatial extent of
clouds—especially their critical
altitudes and thicknesses—and of
precipitation can be determined with
sufficient accuracy for use in this
appendix; 12
(4) Any attenuation caused by
precipitation or an accumulation of
water or ice on the radome that protects
the radar antenna is less than or equal
to 1 dBZ because the requirements in
this appendix can be met only with that
degree of accuracy; 13 and
(5) A reflectivity measurement
contains no portion of the cone of
silence or other blocked out portion so
that it is not giving a bogus indication.14
A launch operator who relies on
VAHIRR to increase launch availability
under this appendix must satisfy the
requirements of both sections
G417.25(a) and (b), or must otherwise
ensure that its estimates of VAHIRR are
at least as large as those that would
result from section G417.25(b) to ensure
that its invocation of any VAHIRR
exceptions to these rules are at least as
safe. The current requirements for
calculating VAHIRR at the Federal
launch ranges satisfy section G417.1(c)
because they are more conservative,
even though there are certain
requirements of section G417.25(b) that
they do not satisfy. The Federal launch
ranges do not, as required by paragraph
(b)(1), ensure that a digital signal
processor provide radar reflectivity
measurements on a three-dimensional
9 The Federal launch ranges employ
meteorological radars because other radars do not
provide sufficient granularity in depicting
reflectivity on a gridded representation.
10 The radar used at the Eastern and Western
Ranges is WSR–88D and WSR–74C. They meet this
criterion.
11 45th Weather Squadron, Steps for Evaluating
VAHIRR, par. 6 (March 2005.
12 Blakeslee, R.J., H.J. Christian, and B. Vonnegut
(1989), Electrical measurements over
thunderstorms, J. Geophys. Res., 94, 135–140.
13 45th Weather Squadron, Steps for Evaluating
VAHIRR, Par. 2, (March 2005).
14 A History of the Lightning Criteria, 124, par. 25.
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Cartesian grid having a maximum gridpoint-to-grid-point spacing of one
kilometer in each of the three
dimensions. The ranges do, as required
by paragraph (b)(2), ensure that the
specified volume is bounded in the
horizontal by vertical plane,
perpendicular sides located 5.5
kilometers (3 nautical miles) north, east,
south, and west of the point where
VAHIRR is to be evaluated; on the
bottom by the 0 degree Celsius level;
and on the top by an altitude of
18 kilometers.15 Note that the specified
volume need not contain the VAHIRR
evaluation point, which may be either
below the lower boundary of that
volume (as when the vehicle is on the
launch pad) or above the upper
boundary (as when the vehicle is flying
high above an anvil cloud) of the
specified volume.
To calculate VAHIRR a launch
operator must compute both a volume
averaged radar reflectivity and an
average cloud thickness in a specified
volume before multiplying them to
obtain a value for VAHIRR. Neither of
these quantities is available yet as an
output product of the WSR–88D.16 or
WSR–74C radar systems that the Federal
ranges use to support commercial
launches.17 Instead, the Federal ranges
and NASA rely on Interim
Instructions 18 for computing these
quantities, which are more conservative
and, thus, afford less launch availability
than allowed by section G417.25(b).
Paragraph (c) of section G417.25
requires a launch operator who
measures an electric field to comply
with this appendix to—
• Employ a ground-based field mill in
order to obtain a reliable and easily
calibrated measurement with a
relatively low-maintenance instrument;
• Use only the one-minute arithmetic
average of the instantaneous readings
from that field mill to minimize the
effects of local space charge and
lightning field changes;
• Ensure that all field mills are
calibrated so that the polarity of the
electric field measurements is the same
as the polarity of a voltage placed on a
test plate above the sensor as discussed
in more detail below;
• Ensure that the altitude of the flight
path of the launch vehicle is equal to or
less than 20 kilometers (66 thousand
feet) everywhere above a horizontal
circle of 5 nautical miles centered on
15 Id.
16 Technical name for NEXRAD is WSR–88D,
which stands for Weather Surveillance Radar, 1988,
Doppler.
17 A History of the Lightning Criteria, 124, par. J.
18 Id. (describing the interim methodology).
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the field mill being used as discussed
further below, and
• Use only direct measurements from
a field mill. A launch operator may not
interpolate based on electric-field
contours because interpolation schemes
are highly variable and can give
unexpected results.
The Federal launch ranges use electric
field mills that satisfy each of the
requirements of paragraph (c) of section
G417.25. Accordingly, no new
methodology is being codified here.
Regarding the polarity of an electric
field measurement, note that the
required polarity is the opposite of the
so-called ‘‘physics sign convention’’ that
is now used almost exclusively in the
atmospheric electricity literature. This
older sign convention is retained here,
however, because it has been in
exclusive use at the Kennedy Space
Center and the Eastern Range since the
early days of the Launch Pad Lightning
Warning System and it remains in use
today.
The FAA is relaxing the requirements
for field measurement by limiting the
altitude of the flight path of the launch
vehicle to less than 20 kilometers (66
thousand feet) everywhere above a
horizontal circle of 5 nautical miles
centered on the field mill. Electric field
measurements above 20 kilometers are
to be ignored.
Small Business Regulatory Enforcement
Fairness Act
The Small Business Regulatory
Enforcement Fairness Act (SBREFA) of
1996 requires the FAA to comply with
small entity requests for information or
advice about compliance with statutes
and regulations within its jurisdiction.
Therefore, any small entity that has a
question regarding this document may
contact their local FAA official, or the
person listed under FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT. You can find out
more about SBREFA on the Internet at
https://www.faa.gov/
regulations_policies/rulemaking/
sbre_act/.
IV. Regulatory Analyses
Paperwork Reduction Act
The Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995
(44 U.S.C. 3507(d)) requires that the
FAA consider the impact of paperwork
and other information collection
burdens imposed on the public. The
FAA has determined that this final rule
has no new additional burden to
respondents over and above that which
the Office of Management and Budget
already approved under the existing
rule titled, ‘‘Commercial Space
Transportation Licensing Regulations’’
(OMB 2120–0608).
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International Compatibility
The FAA has determined that a
review of the Convention on
International Civil Aviation Standards
and Recommended Practices is not
warranted because there is not a
comparable rule under ICAO standards.
Regulatory Evaluation, Regulatory
Flexibility Determination, International
Trade Regulatory Flexibility
Determination
Changes to Federal regulations must
undergo several economic analyses.
First, Executive Order 12866 directs that
each Federal agency may propose or
adopt a regulation only upon a reasoned
determination that the benefits of the
intended regulation justify its costs.
Second, the Regulatory Flexibility Act
of 1980 (Pub. L. 96–354) requires
agencies to analyze the economic
impact of regulatory changes on small
entities. Third, the Trade Agreements
Act (Pub. L. 96–39) prohibits agencies
from setting standards that create
unnecessary obstacles to the foreign
commerce of the United States. In
developing U.S. standards, the Trade
Act requires agencies developing
standards to consider international
standards and, where appropriate, that
they be the basis of U.S. standards.
Fourth, the Unfunded Mandates Reform
Act of 1995 (Pub. L. 104–4) requires
agencies to prepare a written assessment
of the costs, benefits, and other effects
of proposed or final rules that include
a Federal mandate likely to result in the
expenditure by State, local, or tribal
governments, in the aggregate, or by the
private sector, of $100 million or more
annually (adjusted for inflation with
base year of 1995). This portion of the
preamble summarizes the FAA’s
analysis of the economic impacts of this
direct final rule.
Department of Transportation Order
DOT 2100.5 prescribes policies and
procedures for simplification, analysis,
and review of regulations. If the
expected cost impact is so minimal that
a proposed or final rule does not
warrant a detailed evaluation, this order
permits that a statement to that effect
and the basis for it be included in the
preamble if a full regulatory evaluation
of the cost and benefits is not prepared.
Such a determination has been made for
this direct final rule. The reasoning for
this determination follows. Note that the
following discussion represents a gross
simplification of the new requirements
and that there is no safe substitute for
reading the rules themselves.
These changes are being made
because studies and data that were not
available when the current regulations
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were established have led the FAA to
conclude that the intended level of
safety can be maintained with fewer
constraints on launch through and near
anvil and debris clouds.
The FAA concluded from studies that
a launch vehicle will not trigger
lightning in a steady electric field with
a magnitude of less than 3 kV/m.
Furthermore, the Lightning Advisory
Panel performed analyses which
support the conclusion that the
possibility of encountering electric field
magnitudes of more than 3 kV/m is very
small if the flight path is more than 3
nautical miles from an anvil or debris
cloud’s edge, provided that all other
sections of Appendix G are also
satisfied. Furthermore, quantitative
studies from the LAP indicate that, if
the VAHIRR is less than 10 dBZ-km
(about 33 dBZ-kft), the probability of an
electric field of greater than 3 kV/m
occurring is less than 1 in 10,000 under
these conditions.
With this rule, launch initiation may
occur sooner and certainly no later than
under current regulations. There will be
fewer constraints on launch initiation
because in some situations, fewer
conditions will be needed to meet
criteria for launch initiation and in
other situations; alternative conditions
that meet prescribed criteria will be
accepted for launch initiation.
Therefore, the rule will increase launch
availability and likely decrease costs.
The direct final rule adds a section
(G417.25) which describes the methods
for calculating the VAHIRR currently
accepted by the FAA. These precise
methods are not prescribed in the
current Code of Federal Regulations.
The direct final rule codifies VAHIRR
calculation methods and recognizes as
acceptable the method used by the
federal launch ranges, and therefore
increases clarity. The direct final rule
also reorganizes rule language and adds
and changes definitions to enhance
clarity of the rule language.
Since this direct final rule will be cost
relieving without degrading safety, a
regulatory evaluation was not prepared.
FAA has, therefore, determined that this
direct final rule is not a ‘‘significant
regulatory action’’ as defined in section
3(f) of Executive Order 12866, and is not
‘‘significant’’ as defined in DOT’s
Regulatory Policies and Procedures.
Regulatory Flexibility Determination
The Regulatory Flexibility Act of 1980
(Pub. L. 96–354) (RFA) establishes ‘‘as a
principle of regulatory issuance that
agencies shall endeavor, consistent with
the objectives of the rule and of
applicable statutes, to fit regulatory and
informational requirements to the scale
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of the businesses, organizations, and
governmental jurisdictions subject to
regulation. To achieve this principle,
agencies are required to solicit and
consider flexible regulatory proposals
and to explain the rationale for their
actions to assure that such proposals are
given serious consideration.’’ The RFA
covers a wide-range of small entities,
including small businesses, not-forprofit organizations, and small
governmental jurisdictions.
Agencies must perform a review to
determine whether a rule will have a
significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities. If
the agency determines that it will, the
agency must prepare a regulatory
flexibility analysis as described in the
RFA.
However, if an agency determines that
a rule is not expected to have a
significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities,
section 605(b) of the RFA provides that
the head of the agency may so certify
and a regulatory flexibility analysis is
not required. The certification must
include a statement providing the
factual basis for this determination, and
the reasoning should be clear.
This direct final rule is cost relieving,
and thus is not expected to have a
significant economic impact. Therefore
as FAA Administrator, I certify this rule
will not have a significant economic
impact on a substantial number of small
entities.
International Trade Impact Assessment
The Trade Agreements Act of 1979
(Pub. L. 96–39), as amended by the
Uruguay Round Agreements Act (Pub.
L. 103–465), prohibits Federal agencies
from establishing standards or engaging
in related activities that create
unnecessary obstacles to the foreign
commerce of the United States.
Pursuant to these Acts, the
establishment of standards is not
considered an unnecessary obstacle to
the foreign commerce of the United
States, so long as the standard has a
legitimate domestic objective, such as
the protection of safety, and does not
operate in a manner that excludes
imports that meet this objective. The
statute also requires consideration of
international standards and, where
appropriate, that they be the basis for
U.S. standards. The FAA has found no
comparable international standards. The
FAA has assessed the potential effect of
this direct final rule and determined
that it will have only a domestic impact
and therefore no affect on international
trade.
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Unfunded Mandates Assessment
Title II of the Unfunded Mandates
Reform Act of 1995 (Pub. L. 104–4)
requires each Federal agency to prepare
a written statement assessing the effects
of any Federal mandate in a proposed or
final agency rule that may result in an
expenditure of $100 million or more (in
1995 dollars) in any one year by State,
local, and tribal governments, in the
aggregate, or by the private sector; such
a mandate is deemed to be a ‘‘significant
regulatory action.’’ The FAA currently
uses an inflation-adjusted value of
$140.8 million in lieu of $100 million.
This direct final rule does not contain
such a mandate; therefore, the
requirements of Title II of the Act do not
apply.
Executive Order 13132, Federalism
The FAA has analyzed this final rule
under the principles and criteria of
Executive Order 13132, Federalism. We
determined that this action will not
have a substantial direct effect on the
States, or the relationship between the
national government and the States, or
on the distribution of power and
responsibilities among the various
levels of government. Therefore, we
determined that this final rule does not
have federalism implications.
Environmental Analysis
FAA Order 1050.1E identifies FAA
actions that are categorically excluded
from preparation of an environmental
assessment or environmental impact
statement under the National
Environmental Policy Act in the
absence of extraordinary circumstances.
The FAA has determined this
rulemaking action qualifies for the
categorical exclusion identified in
Chapter 3, paragraph 312d, governing
rulemakings such as this, and involves
no extraordinary circumstances.
Regulations That Significantly Affect
Energy Supply, Distribution, or Use
The FAA has analyzed this final rule
under Executive Order 13211, Actions
Concerning Regulations that
Significantly Affect Energy Supply,
Distribution, or Use, 66 FR 28355 (May
18, 2001). We have determined that it is
not a ‘‘significant energy action’’ under
the executive order because it is not a
‘‘significant regulatory action’’ under
Executive Order 12866, and it is not
likely to have a significant adverse effect
on the supply, distribution, or use of
energy.
List of Subjects in 14 CFR Part 417
Space Safety, Space transportation
and exploration.
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The Amendments
In consideration of the foregoing, the
Federal Aviation Administration
amends Chapter I of Title 14 Code of
Federal Regulations as follows:
PART 417—LAUNCH SAFETY
1. The authority citation for part 417
is revised to read as follows:
■
Authority: 51 U.S.C. 50901–50923.
2. Revise Appendix G to read as
follows:
■
Appendix G to Part 417—Natural and
Triggered Lightning Flight Commit
Criteria
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G417.1 General
This appendix provides flight commit
criteria for mitigating against natural
lightning strikes and lightning triggered by
the flight of a launch vehicle through or near
an electrified environment. A launch
operator may not initiate flight unless the
weather conditions at the time of launch
satisfy all lightning flight commit criteria of
this appendix.
(a) In order to meet the lightning flight
commit criteria, a launch operator must
employ any:
(1) Weather monitoring and measuring
equipment needed, and
(2) Procedures needed to verify
compliance.
(b) When equipment or procedures, such as
a field mill or calculation of the volumeaveraged, height-integrated radar reflectivity
(VAHIRR) of clouds, are used with the
lightning flight commit criteria to increase
launch opportunities, a launch operator must
evaluate all applicable measurements to
determine whether the measurements satisfy
the criteria. A launch operator may not turn
off available instrumentation to create the
appearance of meeting a requirement and
must use all radar reflectivity measurements
within a specified volume for a VAHIRR
calculation.
(c) If a launch operator proposes any
alternative lightning flight commit criteria,
the launch operator must clearly and
convincingly demonstrate that the alternative
provides an equivalent level of safety to that
required by this appendix.
G417.3 Definitions
For the purpose of this appendix:
Anvil cloud means a stratiform or fibrous
cloud formed by the upper-level outflow or
blow-off from a thunderstorm or convective
cloud.
Associated means two or more clouds are
caused by the same disturbed weather or are
physically connected.
Bright band means an enhancement of
radar reflectivity caused by frozen
hydrometeors falling and beginning to melt at
any altitude where the temperature is 0
degrees Celsius or warmer.
Cloud means a visible mass of suspended
water droplets or ice crystals, or a
combination of water droplets and ice
crystals. The cloud is the entire volume
containing such particles.
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Cloud layer means a vertically continuous
array of clouds, not necessarily of the same
type, whose bases are approximately at the
same altitude.
Cone of silence means the volume within
which a radar cannot detect any object, and
is an inverted circular cone centered on the
radar antenna. A cone of silence consists of
all elevation angles greater than the
maximum elevation angle reached by the
radar.
Debris cloud means any cloud, except an
anvil cloud, that has become detached from
a parent cumulonimbus cloud or
thunderstorm, or that results from the decay
of a parent cumulonimbus cloud or
thunderstorm.
Disturbed weather means a weather system
where a dynamical process destabilizes the
air on a scale larger than the individual
clouds or cells. Examples of disturbed
weather include fronts, troughs, and squall
lines.
Electric field means a vertical electric field
(Ez) at the surface of the Earth.
Field mill means an electric-field sensor
that uses a moving, grounded conductor to
induce a time-varying electric charge on one
or more sensing elements in proportion to the
ambient electrostatic field.
Flight path means a launch vehicle’s
planned flight trajectory, and includes the
trajectory’s vertical and horizontal
uncertainties resulting from all three-sigma
guidance and performance deviations.
Horizontal distance means a distance that
is measured horizontally between a field mill
or electric field measurement point and the
nearest part of the vertical projection of an
object or flight path onto the surface of the
Earth.
Moderate precipitation means a
precipitation rate of 0.1 inches/hr or a radar
reflectivity of 30 dBZ.
Non-transparent means that one or more of
the following conditions apply:
(1) Objects above, including higher clouds,
blue sky, and stars, are blurred, indistinct, or
obscured when viewed from below when
looking through a cloud at visible
wavelengths; or objects below, including
terrain, buildings, and lights on the ground,
are blurred, indistinct, or obscured when
viewed from above when looking through a
cloud at visible wavelengths;
(2) Objects above an observer are seen
distinctly only through breaks in a cloud; or
(3) The cloud has a radar reflectivity of 0
dBZ or greater.
Precipitation means detectable rain, snow,
hail, graupel, or sleet at the ground; virga; or
a radar reflectivity greater than 18 dBZ.
Radar reflectivity means the radar
reflectivity factor due to hydrometeors, in
dBZ.
Slant distance means the shortest distance
between two ports, whether horizontal,
vertical, or inclined, in three dimensional
space.
Thick cloud layer means one or more cloud
layers whose combined vertical extent from
the base of the bottom cloud layer to the top
of the uppermost cloud layer exceeds 4,500
feet. Cloud layers are combined with
neighboring layers for determining total
thickness only when they are physically
connected by vertically continuous clouds.
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Thunderstorm means any convective cloud
that produces lightning.
Transparent means that any of the
following conditions apply:
(1) Objects above, including higher clouds,
blue sky, and stars, are not blurred, are
distinct and are not obscured when viewed
at visible wavelengths; or objects below,
including terrain, buildings, and lights on the
ground, are clear, distinct, and not obscured
when viewed at visible wavelengths; (2)
Objects identified in paragraph (1) of this
definition are seen distinctly not only
through breaks in a cloud; and (3) The cloud
has a radar reflectivity of less than 0 dBZ.
Triboelectrification means the transfer of
electrical charge between ice particles and a
launch vehicle when the ice particles collide
with the vehicle during flight.
Volume-averaged, height integrated radar
reflectivity (VAHIRR) means the product,
expressed in units of dBZ-km or dBZ-kft, of
a volume-averaged radar reflectivity and an
average cloud thickness in a specified
volume corresponding to a point.
G417.5 Lightning
(a) A launch operator must wait 30 minutes
to initiate flight after any type of lightning
occurs in a thunderstorm if the flight path
will carry the launch vehicle at a slant
distance of less than or equal to 10 nautical
miles from that thunderstorm. This
paragraph does not apply to an anvil cloud
that is attached to a parent thunderstorm.
(b) A launch operator must wait 30
minutes to initiate flight after any type of
lightning occurs at a slant distance of less
than or equal to 10 nautical miles from the
flight path, unless:
(1) The non-transparent part of the cloud
that produced the lightning is at a slant
distance of greater than 10 nautical miles
from the flight path;
(2) There is at least one working field mill
at a horizontal distance of less than or equal
to 5 nautical miles from each such lightning
discharge; and
(3) The absolute values of all electric field
measurements at a horizontal distance of less
than or equal to 5 nautical miles from the
flight path and at each field mill specified in
paragraph (b)(2) of this section have been less
than 1000 volts/meter for at least 15 minutes.
G417.7 Cumulus Clouds
(a) This section applies to non-transparent
cumulus clouds, except for cirrocumulus,
altocumulus, or stratocumulus clouds. This
section does not apply to an anvil cloud that
is attached to a parent cumulus cloud.
(b) A launch operator may not initiate
flight if the slant distance to the flight path
is less than or equal to 10 nautical miles from
any cumulus cloud that has a top at an
altitude where the temperature is colder than
or equal to ¥20 degrees Celsius.
(c) A launch operator may not initiate
flight if the slant distance to the flight path
is less than or equal to 5 nautical miles from
any cumulus cloud that has a top at an
altitude where the temperature is colder than
or equal to ¥10 degrees Celsius.
(d) A launch operator may not initiate
flight if the flight path will carry the launch
vehicle through any cumulus cloud with its
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top at an altitude where the temperature is
colder than or equal to ¥5 degrees Celsius.
(e) A launch operator may not initiate
flight if the flight path will carry the launch
vehicle through any cumulus cloud that has
a top at an altitude where the temperature is
colder than or equal to +5, and warmer than
¥5 degrees Celsius unless:
(1) The cloud is not producing
precipitation;
(2) The horizontal distance from the center
of the cloud top to at least one working field
mill is less than 2 nautical miles; and
(3) All electric field measurements at a
horizontal distance of less than or equal to
5 nautical miles of the flight path and at each
field mill specified in paragraph (e)(2) of this
section have been between ¥100 volts/meter
and +500 volts/meter for at least 15 minutes.
G417.9 Attached Anvil Clouds
(a) This section applies to any nontransparent anvil cloud formed from a parent
cloud that has a top at an altitude where the
temperature is colder than or equal to ¥10
degrees Celsius.
(b) Flight path through cloud: If a flight
path will carry a launch vehicle through any
attached anvil cloud, the launch operator
may not initiate flight unless:
(1) The portion of the attached anvil cloud
at a slant distance of less than or equal to 5
nautical miles from the flight path is located
entirely at altitudes where the temperature is
colder than 0 degrees Celsius; and
(2) The volume-averaged, height-integrated
radar reflectivity is less than +10 dBZ-km
(+33 dBZ-kft) at every point at a slant
distance of less than or equal to 1 nautical
mile from the flight path.
(c) Flight path between 0 and 3 nautical
miles from cloud: If a flight path will carry
a launch vehicle at a slant distance of greater
than 0, but less than or equal to 3, nautical
miles from any attached anvil cloud, a
launch operator must wait 3 hours to initiate
flight after a lightning discharge in or from
the parent cloud or anvil cloud, unless:
(1) The portion of the attached anvil cloud
at a slant distance of less than or equal to 5
nautical miles from the flight path is located
entirely at altitudes where the temperature is
colder than 0 degrees Celsius; and
(2) The volume-averaged, height-integrated
radar reflectivity is less than +10 dBZ-km
(+33 dBZ-kft) at every point at a slant
distance of less than or equal to 1 nautical
mile from the flight path.
(d) Flight path between 3 and 5 nautical
miles from cloud: If a flight path will carry
a launch vehicle at a slant distance of greater
than 3 and less than or equal to 5 nautical
miles from any attached anvil cloud, a
launch operator must wait 3 hours to initiate
flight after every lightning discharge in or
from the parent cloud or anvil cloud, unless
the portion of the attached anvil cloud at a
slant distance of less than or equal to 5
nautical miles from the flight path is located
entirely at altitudes where the temperature is
colder than 0 degrees Celsius.
(e) Flight path between 5 and 10 nautical
miles from cloud: If the flight path will carry
the launch vehicle at a slant distance of
greater than 5 and less than or equal to 10
nautical miles from any attached anvil cloud,
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the launch operator must wait to initiate
flight for 30 minutes after every lightning
discharge in or from the parent cloud or anvil
cloud, unless the portion of the attached
anvil cloud at a slant distance of less than or
equal to 10 nautical miles from the flight
path is located entirely at altitudes where the
temperature is colder than 0 degrees Celsius.
G417.11 Detached Anvil Clouds
(a) This section applies to any nontransparent anvil cloud formed from a parent
cloud that had a top at an altitude where the
temperature was colder than or equal to ¥10
degrees Celsius.
(b) Flight path through cloud: If the flight
path will carry the launch vehicle through a
detached anvil cloud, the launch operator
may not initiate flight unless:
(1) The launch operator waits 4 hours after
every lightning discharge in or from the
detached anvil cloud; and observation shows
that 3 hours have passed since the anvil
cloud detached from the parent cloud; or
(2) Each of the following conditions exists:
(i) Any portion of the detached anvil cloud
at a slant distance of less than or equal to 5
nautical miles from the flight path is located
entirely at altitudes where the temperature is
colder than 0 degrees Celsius; and
(ii) The VAHIRR is less than +10 dBZ-km
(+33 dBZ-kft) everywhere in the flight path.
(c) Flight path between 0 and 3 nautical
miles from cloud: If a flight path will carry
a launch vehicle at a slant distance of greater
than 0 and less than or equal to 3 nautical
miles from a detached anvil cloud, the
launch operator must accomplish both of the
following:
(1) Wait 30 minutes to initiate flight after
every lightning discharge in or from the
parent cloud or anvil cloud before
detachment of the anvil cloud, and after
every lightning discharge in or from the
detached anvil cloud after detachment,
unless:
(i) The portion of the detached anvil cloud
less than or equal to 5 nautical miles from
the flight path is located entirely at altitudes
where the temperature is colder than 0
degrees Celsius; and
(ii) The VAHIRR is less than +10 dBZ-km
(+33 dBZ-kft) at every point at a slant
distance of less than or equal to 1 nautical
mile from the flight path; and
(2) If a launch operator is unable to initiate
flight in the first 30 minutes under paragraph
(c)(1) of this section, the launch operator
must wait to initiate flight for 3 hours after
every lightning discharge in or from the
parent cloud or anvil cloud before
detachment of the anvil cloud, and after
every lightning discharge in or from the
detached anvil cloud after detachment,
unless:
(i) All of the following are true:
(A) There is at least one working field mill
at a horizontal distance of less than or equal
to 5 nautical miles from the detached anvil
cloud;
(B) The absolute values of all electric field
measurements at a horizontal distance of less
than or equal to 5 nautical miles from the
flight path and at each field mill specified in
paragraph (c)(2)(i)(A) of this section have
been less than 1000 V/m for at least 15
minutes; and
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(C) The maximum radar reflectivity from
any part of the detached anvil cloud at a slant
distance of less than or equal to 5 nautical
miles from the flight path has been less than
+10 dBZ for at least 15 minutes; or
(ii) Both of the following are true:
(A) The portion of the detached anvil cloud
at a slant distance of less than or equal to 5
nautical miles from the flight path is located
entirely at altitudes where the temperature is
colder than 0 degrees Celsius; and
(B) The volume-averaged, height-integrated
radar reflectivity is less than +10 dBZ-km
(+33 dBZ-kft) at every point at a slant
distance of less than or equal to 1 nautical
mile from the flight path.
(d) Flight path between 3 and 10 nautical
miles from cloud: If a flight path will carry
a launch vehicle at a slant distance of greater
than 3 and less than or equal to 10 nautical
miles from a detached anvil cloud, the
launch operator must wait 30 minutes to
initiate flight after every lightning discharge
in or from the parent cloud or anvil cloud
before detachment, and after every lightning
discharge in or from the detached anvil cloud
after detachment, unless the portion of the
detached anvil cloud at a slant distance of
less than or equal to 10 nautical miles from
the flight path is located entirely at altitudes
where the temperature is colder than 0
degrees Celsius.
G417.13 Debris Clouds
(a) This section applies to any nontransparent debris cloud whose parent
cumuliform cloud has had any part at an
altitude where the temperature was colder
than ¥20 degrees Celsius or to any debris
cloud formed by a thunderstorm. This
section does not apply to a detached anvil
cloud.
(b) A launch operator must calculate a ‘‘3hour period’’ as starting at the latest of the
following times:
(1) The debris cloud is observed to be
detached from the parent cloud;
(2) The debris cloud is observed to have
formed by the collapse of the parent cloud
top to an altitude where the temperature is
warmer than ¥10 degrees Celsius; or
(3) Any lightning discharge occurs in or
from the debris cloud.
(c) Flight path through cloud: If a flight
path will carry a launch vehicle through a
debris cloud, the launch operator may not
initiate flight during the ‘‘3-hour period,’’ of
paragraph (b) of this section, unless:
(1) The portion of the debris cloud at a
slant distance of less than or equal to 5
nautical miles from the flight path is located
entirely at altitudes where the temperature is
colder than 0 degrees Celsius; and
(2) The VAHIRR is less than +10 dBZ-km
(+33 dBZ-kft) everywhere in the flight path.
(d) Flight path between 0 and 3 nautical
miles from cloud: If the flight path will carry
the launch vehicle at a slant distance of
greater than or equal to 0 and less than or
equal to 3 nautical miles from the debris
cloud, the launch operator may not initiate
flight during the ‘‘3-hour period,’’ unless one
of the following applies:
(1) A launch operator may initiate flight
during the ‘‘3-hour period,’’ of paragraph (b)
of this section if:
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(i) There is at least one working field mill
at a horizontal distance of less than or equal
to 5 nautical miles from the debris cloud;
(ii) The absolute values of all electric field
measurements at a horizontal distance of less
than or equal to 5 nautical miles from the
flight path and at each field mill specified in
paragraph (d)(1)(i) of this section have been
less than 1000 volts/meter for at least 15
minutes; and
(ii) The maximum radar reflectivity from
any part of the debris cloud less than or equal
to a slant distance of 5 nautical miles from
the flight path has been less than +10 dBZ
for at least 15 minutes; or
(2) A launch operator may initiate flight
during the ‘‘3-hour period,’’ of paragraph (b)
of this section if:
(i) The portion of the debris cloud at a slant
distance of less than or equal to 5 nautical
miles from the flight path is located entirely
at altitudes where the temperature is colder
than 0 degrees Celsius; and
(ii) The VAHIRR is less than + 10 dBZ-km
(+33 dBZ-kft) at every point at a slant
distance of less than or equal to 1 nautical
mile from the flight path.
srobinson on DSK4SPTVN1PROD with RULES
G417.15 Disturbed Weather
A launch operator may not initiate flight if
the flight path will carry the launch vehicle
through a non-transparent cloud associated
with disturbed weather that has clouds with
tops at altitudes where the temperature is
colder than 0 degrees Celsius and that
contains, at a slant distance of less than or
equal to 5 nautical miles from the flight path,
either:
(a) Moderate or greater precipitation; or
(b) Evidence of melting precipitation such
as a radar bright band.
G417.17 Thick Cloud Layers
(a) This section does not apply to either
attached or detached anvil clouds.
(b) A launch operator may not initiate
flight if the flight path will carry the launch
vehicle through a non-transparent cloud
layer that is:
(1) Greater than or equal to 4,500 feet thick
and any part of the cloud layer in the flight
path is located at an altitude where the
temperature is between 0 degrees Celsius and
¥20 degrees Celsius, inclusive; or
(2) Connected to a thick cloud layer that,
at a slant distance of less than or equal to 5
nautical miles from the flight path, is greater
than or equal to 4,500 feet thick and has any
part located at any altitude where the
temperature is between 0 degrees Celsius and
¥20 degrees Celsius, inclusive.
(c) A launch operator may initiate flight
despite paragraphs (a)(1) and (a)(2) of this
section if the thick cloud layer:
(1) Is a cirriform cloud layer that has never
been associated with convective clouds,
(2) Is located entirely at altitudes where the
temperature is colder than or equal to ¥15
degrees Celsius, and
(3) Shows no evidence of containing liquid
water.
G417.19 Smoke Plumes
(a) A launch operator may not initiate
flight if the flight path will carry the launch
vehicle through any non-transparent
cumulus cloud that has developed from a
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20:41 Jun 07, 2011
Jkt 223001
smoke plume while the cloud is attached to
the smoke plume, or for the first 60 minutes
after the cumulus cloud is observed to be
detached from the smoke plume.
(b) This section does not apply to nontransparent cumulus clouds that have formed
above a fire but have been detached from the
smoke plume for more than 60 minutes.
Section G417.7 applies.
G417.21
Surface Electric Fields
(a) A launch operator must wait 15 minutes
to initiate flight after the absolute value of
any electric field measurement at a
horizontal distance of less than or equal to
5 nautical miles from the flight path has been
greater than or equal to 1500 volts/meter.
(b) A launch operator must wait 15
minutes to initiate flight after the absolute
value of any electric field measurement at a
horizontal distance of less than or equal to
5 nautical miles from the flight path has been
greater than or equal to 1000 volts/meter,
unless:
(1) All clouds at a slant distance of less
than or equal to 10 nautical miles from the
flight path are transparent; or
(2) All non-transparent clouds at a slant
distance less than or equal to 10 nautical
miles from the flight path:
(i) Have tops at altitudes where the
temperature is warmer than or equal to +5
degrees Celsius, and
(ii) Have not been part of convective clouds
with cloud tops at altitudes where the
temperature was colder than or equal to ¥10
degrees Celsius for 3 hours.
G417.23 Triboelectrification
(a) A launch operator may not initiate
flight if the flight path will carry the launch
vehicle through any part of a cloud at any
altitude where:
(1) The temperature is colder than or equal
to ¥10 degrees Celsius; and
(2) The launch vehicle’s velocity is less
than or equal to 3000 feet/second,
(b) Paragraph (a) of this section does not
apply if either:
(1) The launch vehicle is treated for surface
electrification so that:
(i) All surfaces of the launch vehicle
susceptible to ice particle impact are such
that the surface resistivity is less than 10 9
Ohms per square; and
(ii) All conductors on surfaces, including
dielectric surfaces that have been coated with
conductive materials, are bonded to the
launch vehicle by a resistance that is less
than 10 5 ohms; or
(2) A launch operator demonstrates by test
or analysis that electrostatic discharges on
the surface of the launch vehicle caused by
triboelectrification will not be hazardous to
the launch vehicle or the spacecraft.
G417.25 Measurement of Cloud Radar
Reflectivity, Computation of VAHIRR, and
Measurement of Electric Field
(a) Radar reflectivity measurement. A
launch operator who measures radar
reflectivity to comply with this appendix
must employ a meteorological radar and
ensure that—
(1) The radar wavelength is greater than or
equal to 5 cm;
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33151
(2) A reflectivity measurement is due to a
meteorological target;
(3) The spatial accuracy and resolution of
a reflectivity measurement is 1 kilometer or
better;
(4) Any attenuation caused by intervening
precipitation or by an accumulation of water
or ice on the radome is less than or equal to
1 dBZ; and
(5) A reflectivity measurement contains no
portion of the cone of silence above the radar
antenna, nor any portion of any sector that
is blocked out for payload safety reasons.
(b) Computation of VAHIRR. A launch
operator who measures VAHIRR to comply
with this appendix must ensure that—
(1) A digital signal processor provides
radar reflectivity measurements on a threedimensional Cartesian grid having a
maximum grid-point-to-grid-point spacing of
one kilometer in each of the three
dimensions;
(2) The specified volume is the volume
bounded in the horizontal by vertical, plane,
perpendicular sides located 5.5 kilometers (3
nautical miles) north, east, south, and west
of the point where VAHIRR is to be
evaluated; on the bottom by the 0 degree
Celsius level; and on the top by an altitude
of 20 kilometers;
(3) Volume-averaged radar reflectivity is
the arithmetic average of the radar reflectivity
measurements in dBZ at grid points within
the specified volume. A launch operator
must include each grid point within the
specified volume in the average if and only
if that grid point has a radar reflectivity
measurement equal to or greater than 0 dBZ.
If fewer than 10% of the grid points in the
specified volume have radar reflectivity
measurements equal to or greater than 0 dBZ,
then the volume-averaged radar reflectivity is
either the maximum radar reflectivity
measurement in the specified volume, or 0
dBZ, whichever is greater.
(4) Average cloud thickness is the
difference in kilometers or thousands of feet
between an average top and an average base
of all clouds in the specified volume,
computed as follows:
(i) The cloud base to be averaged is the
higher, at each horizontal position, of either
(A) The 0 degree Celsius altitude, or
(B) The lowest altitude of all radar
reflectivity measurements of 0 dBZ or greater.
(ii) The cloud top to be averaged is the
highest altitude of all radar reflectivity
measurements of 0 dBZ or greater at each
horizontal position.
(iii) A launch operator must—
(A) Take the cloud base at any horizontal
position as the altitude of the corresponding
base grid point minus half of the grid-point
vertical separation;
(B) Take the cloud top at that horizontal
position as the altitude of the corresponding
top grid point plus half of this vertical
separation.
(5) All VAHIRR-evaluation points in the
flight path itself are:
(i) Greater than a slant distance of 10
nautical miles from any radar reflectivity of
35 dBZ or greater at altitudes of 4 kilometers
or greater above mean sea level; and
(ii) Greater than a slant distance of 10
nautical miles from any type of lightning that
has occurred in the previous 5 minutes.
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Federal Register / Vol. 76, No. 110 / Wednesday, June 8, 2011 / Rules and Regulations
(iii) A launch operator need not apply
paragraph (b)(5) of this section to VAHIRR
evaluation points outside the flight path but
within one nautical mile of the flight path.
(6) VAHIRR is the product, expressed in
units of dBZ-km or dBZ-kft, of the volumeaveraged radar reflectivity defined in
paragraph (b)(3) of this section and the
average cloud thickness defined in paragraph
(b)(4) of this section in the specified volume
defined in paragraph (b)(2) of this section.
(c) Electric field measurement. A launch
operator who measures an electric field to
comply with this appendix must—
(1) Employ a ground-based field mill,
(2) Use only the one-minute arithmetic
average of the instantaneous readings from
that field mill,
(3) Ensure that all field mills are calibrated
so that the polarity of the electric field
measurements is the same as the polarity of
a voltage placed on a test plate above the
sensor,
(4) Ensure that the altitude of the flight
path of the launch vehicle is equal to or less
than 20 kilometers (66 thousand feet)
everywhere above a horizontal circle of 5
nautical miles centered on the field mill
being used,
(5) Use only direct measurements from a
field mill, and
(6) Not interpolate based on electric-field
contours.
ADDRESSES:
Issued in Washington, DC, on May 23,
2011.
J. Randolph Babbitt,
Administrator.
Regulatory Information
On April 20, 2011, we published a
notice of proposed rulemaking (NPRM)
entitled Safety Zone; Michigan Bankers
Association Fireworks, Lake Huron,
Mackinac Island, Michigan, in the
Federal Register (76 FR 22064). We
received 0 public submissions
commenting on the proposed rule. No
public meeting was requested, and none
was held.
Under 5 U.S.C. 553(d)(3), the Coast
Guard finds that good cause exists for
making this rule effective less than 30
days after publication in the Federal
Register. Delaying the effective date of
this rule would be impracticable and
contrary to the public interest because it
would inhibit the Coast Guard from
ensuring the safety of vessels and the
public during the fireworks display.
[FR Doc. 2011–14146 Filed 6–7–11; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4910–13–P
DEPARTMENT OF HOMELAND
SECURITY
Coast Guard
33 CFR Part 165
[Docket No. USCG–2011–0265]
RIN 1625–AA00
Safety Zone; Michigan Bankers
Association Fireworks, Lake Huron,
Mackinac Island, MI
Coast Guard, DHS.
Temporary final rule.
AGENCY:
ACTION:
srobinson on DSK4SPTVN1PROD with RULES
Background and Purpose
The Coast Guard is
establishing a temporary safety zone in
the Captain of the Port Sault Sainte
Marie zone. This zone is intended to
restrict vessels from certain portions of
water areas within Sector Sault Sainte
Marie Captain of the Port zone, as
defined by 33 CFR 3.45–45. This
temporary safety zone is necessary to
protect spectators and vessels from the
hazards associated with fireworks
displays.
DATES: This rule is effective from 9 p.m.
to 11 p.m. on June 23, 2011.
SUMMARY:
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20:41 Jun 07, 2011
Jkt 223001
Comments and material
received from the public, as well as
documents mentioned in this preamble
as being available in the docket, are part
of docket USCG–2011–0265 and are
available online by going to https://
www.regulations.gov, inserting USCG–
2011–0265 in the ‘‘Keyword’’ box, and
then clicking ‘‘Search’’. They are also
available for inspection or copying at
the Docket Management Facility (M–30),
U.S. Department of Transportation,
West Building Ground Floor, Room
W12–140, 1200 New Jersey Avenue SE.,
Washington, DC 20590, between 9 a.m.
and 5 p.m., Monday through Friday,
except Federal holidays.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: If
you have questions on this temporary
rule, call or email BMC Gregory Ford,
Prevention Department, Coast Guard,
Sector Sault Sainte Marie, MI, telephone
(906) 635–3222, email
Gregory.C.Ford@uscg.mil. If you have
questions on viewing or submitting
material to the docket, call Renee V.
Wright, Program Manager, Docket
Operations, telephone 202–366–9826.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
From June 21, 2011 through June 24,
2011, the Michigan Bankers
Association’s will celebrate its 125th
anniversary. The celebration will take
place on and around Mackinac Island.
On the evening of June 23, 2011, the
celebration will include a fireworks
display to be launched from a water
location. The Captain of the Port Sault
Sainte Marie has determined that the
fireworks event poses various hazards to
the public, including obstructions to the
navigable channel, explosive dangers
associated with fireworks, and debris
falling into the water. To minimize
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Fmt 4700
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these and other hazards, this rule will
establish a temporary safety zone
around the fireworks display.
Discussion of Comments and Changes
The Coast Guard received 0 public
submissions commenting on this rule.
Regulatory Analyses
We developed this rule after
considering numerous statutes and
executive orders related to rulemaking.
Below we summarize our analyses
based on 13 of these statutes or
executive orders.
Regulatory Planning and Review
This rule is not a significant
regulatory action under section 3(f) of
Executive Order 12866, Regulatory
Planning and Review, and does not
require an assessment of potential costs
and benefits under section 6(a)(3) of that
Order. The Office of Management and
Budget has not reviewed it under that
Order. It is not ‘‘significant’’ under the
regulatory policies and procedures of
the Department of Homeland Security
(DHS). We conclude that this rule is not
a significant regulatory action because
we anticipate that it will have minimal
impact on the economy, will not
interfere with other agencies, will not
adversely alter the budget of any grant
or loan recipients, and will not raise any
novel legal or policy issues. The safety
zone created by this rule will be
relatively small and enforced for
relatively short time. Also, the safety
zone is designed to minimize its impact
on navigable waters. Furthermore, the
safety zone has been designed to allow
vessels to transit around it. Thus,
restrictions on vessel movement within
that particular area are expected to be
minimal. Under certain conditions,
moreover, vessels may still transit
through the safety zone when permitted
by the Captain of the Port.
Small Entities
Under the Regulatory Flexibility Act
(5 U.S.C. 601–612), we have considered
whether this rule would have a
significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities.
The term ‘‘small entities’’ comprises
small businesses, not-for-profit
organizations that are independently
owned and operated and are not
dominant in their fields, and
governmental jurisdictions with
populations of less than 50,000.
The Coast Guard certifies under 5
U.S.C. 605(b) that this rule will not have
a significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities. On
April 20, 2011, the Coast Guard
published a notice of proposed
E:\FR\FM\08JNR1.SGM
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 76, Number 110 (Wednesday, June 8, 2011)]
[Rules and Regulations]
[Pages 33139-33152]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2011-14146]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
Federal Aviation Administration
14 CFR Part 417
[Docket No. FAA-2011-0181; Amdt. No. 417-2]
RIN 2120-AJ84
Launch Safety: Lightning Criteria for Expendable Launch Vehicles
AGENCY: Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), DOT.
ACTION: Direct final rule; request for comments.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: The FAA is amending its lightning commit criteria to account
for new information about the risks of natural and triggered lightning.
This action amends flight criteria for mitigating against naturally
occurring lightning and lightning triggered by the flight of an
expendable launch vehicle through or near an electrified environment in
or near a cloud. These changes will increase launch availability and
implement changes already adopted by the United States Air Force.
DATES: Effective July 25, 2011. Submit comments on or before July 8,
2011.
ADDRESSES: You may send comments identified by Docket Number FAA-2011-
0181 using any of the following methods:
Federal eRulemaking Portal: Go to https://www.regulations.gov and follow the instructions for sending your
comments electronically.
Mail: Send comments to Docket Operations, U.S. Department
of Transportation, 1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE., West Building Ground
Floor, Room W12-140, Washington, DC 20590.
Fax: Fax comments to Docket Operations at 202-493-2251.
Hand Delivery: Take comments to Docket Operations in Room
W12-140 of the West Building Ground Floor at 1200 New Jersey Avenue,
SE., Washington, DC, between 9 a.m. and 5 p.m., Monday through Friday,
except Federal holidays.
For more information on the rulemaking process, see the
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION section of this document.
Privacy: We will post all comments we receive, without change, to
https://www.regulations.gov, including any personal information you
provide. Using the search function of our docket web site, anyone can
find and read the comments received into any of our dockets, including
the name of the individual sending the comment (or signing the comment
for an association, business, labor union, etc.). You may review DOT's
complete Privacy Act Statement in the Federal Register published on
April 11, 2000 (65 FR 19477-78) or you may visit https://DocketsInfo.dot.gov.
Docket: To read background documents or comments received, go to
https://www.regulations.gov at any time or to Docket Operations in Room
W12-140 of the West Building Ground Floor at 1200 New Jersey Avenue,
SE., Washington, DC, between 9 a.m. and
[[Page 33140]]
5 p.m., Monday through Friday, except Federal holidays.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: For technical questions concerning
this rule contact Karen Shelton-Mur, Office of Commercial Space
Transportation, AST-300, Federal Aviation Administration, 800
Independence Avenue, SW., Washington, DC 20591; telephone (202) 267-
7985; facsimile (202) 267-5463, e-mail Karen.Shelton-Mur@faa.gov.
For legal questions concerning this rule contact Laura Montgomery,
Senior Attorney for Commercial Space Transportation, Office of the
Chief Counsel, Federal Aviation Administration, 800 Independence
Avenue, SW., Washington, DC 20591; telephone (202) 267-3150; facsimile
(202) 267-7971, e-mail laura.montgomery@faa.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Authority for This Rulemaking
The FAA's authority to issue rules on commercial space
transportation safety is found in Title 49 of the United States Codes,
section 322(a), which authorizes the Secretary of Transportation to
carry out rulemakings. 51 U.S.C. subtitle V, chapter 509, 51 U.S.C.
50901-50923 (Chapter 509) governs the FAA's regulation of the safety of
commercial space transportation. This rulemaking is promulgated under
the authority of section 322(a).
Direct Final Rule Procedure
The FAA anticipates this regulation will not result in adverse or
negative comment and therefore is issuing it as a direct final
rulemaking. Because the changes to the lightning commit criteria will
increase launch availability and are already implemented at Air Force
launch ranges, the public interest is well served by this rulemaking.
Unless a written adverse or negative comment or a written notice of
intent to submit an adverse or negative comment is received within the
comment period, the regulations will become effective on the date
specified above. After the close of the comment period, the FAA will
publish a document in the Federal Register indicating that no adverse
or negative comments were received and confirming the date on which the
final rule will become effective. If the FAA does receive, within the
comment period, an adverse or negative comment, or written notice of
intent to submit such a comment, the FAA will withdraw the direct final
rule by publication in the Federal Register, and a notice of proposed
rulemaking may be published with a new comment period.
Comments Invited
The FAA invites interested persons to participate in this
rulemaking by submitting written comments, data, or views. The agency
also invites comments relating to the economic, environmental, energy,
or federalism impacts that might result from adopting the changes. The
most helpful comments reference a specific portion of the proposal,
explain the reason for any recommended change, and include supporting
data. To ensure the docket does not contain duplicate comments, please
send only one copy of written comments, or if you are filing comments
electronically, please submit your comments only one time.
The FAA will file in the docket all comments we receive, as well as
a report summarizing each substantive public contact with FAA personnel
concerning this rulemaking. Before acting on this proposal, the FAA
will consider all comments received on or before the closing date for
comments. The agency will consider comments filed after the comment
period has closed if possible without incurring expense or delay. The
FAA may make changes in light of the comments received.
Proprietary or Confidential Business Information
Do not file in the docket information that you consider to be
proprietary or confidential business information. Send or deliver this
information directly to the person identified in the FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT section of this document. Mark the information that
is considered proprietary or confidential. If the information is on a
disk or CD-ROM, mark the outside of the disk or CD-ROM and also
identify electronically within the disk or CD-ROM the specific
information that is proprietary or confidential.
Under 14 CFR 11.35(b), when the FAA is aware of proprietary
information filed with a comment, the agency does not place it in the
docket. The FAA holds it in a separate file to which the public does
not have access, and the agency places a note in the docket that it has
received it. If the FAA receives a request to examine or copy this
information, the FAA treats it as any other request under the Freedom
of Information Act, 5 U.S.C. 552. The FAA processes such a request
under the DOT procedures found in 49 CFR part 7.
Availability of Rulemaking Documents
You can get an electronic copy using the Internet by:
(1) Searching the Federal eRulemaking portal at https://www.regulations.gov;
(2) Visiting the FAA's Regulations and Policies web page at https://www.faa.gov/regulations_policies/; or
(3) Accessing the Government Printing Office's web page at https://www.gpoaccess.gov/fr/.
You can also get a copy by sending a request to the Federal
Aviation Administration, Office of Rulemaking, ARM-1, 800 Independence
Avenue, SW., Washington, DC 20591, or by calling (202) 267-9680. Make
sure to identify the docket and amendment numbers of this rulemaking.
I. Background
On August 25, 2006, the FAA issued requirements designed for an
expendable launch vehicle (ELV) to avoid natural and triggered
lightning during flight. Licensing and Safety Requirements for Launch,
71 FR 50508 (Aug. 25, 2006). An ELV is an unmanned rocket that
typically carries satellites to orbit. ELVs carry large amounts of fuel
and, due to the explosive nature of the fuel, may not be permitted to
reach populated areas in the event they go off course. In the United
States, safety for ELVs is achieved by use of a flight termination
system. A flight termination system prevents an errant launch vehicle
from reaching a populated area by destroying the vehicle. A flight
termination system consists of all components on board a launch vehicle
that provide the ability to end its flight in a controlled manner.
Without the restrictions mandated by appendix G of part 417, a
lightning strike could disable a flight safety system yet allow
continued flight of the launch vehicle without a launch operator being
able to stop its flight.
By codifying appendix G, the FAA implemented criteria developed by
a Lightning Advisory Panel (LAP) to the National Aeronautics and Space
Administration (NASA) and the U.S. Air Force. See Merceret et al., ed.,
A History of the Lightning Launch Commit Criteria and the Lightning
Advisory Panel for America's Space Program, NASA/SP-2010-216283, 124,
par. 25 (Aug. 2010) (A History of the Lightning Criteria) and
Rationales for the Lightning Flight-Commit Criteria, NASA/TP-2010-
216291, (Oct. 7, 2010)(Rationales for Lightning Criteria). Appendix G's
flight commit criteria impose time and distance restrictions on launch,
requiring a launch operator to wait to initiate flight for specified
amounts of time after a lightning strike or when launch would take a
flight path too close to an electrified cloud.
[[Page 33141]]
In this direct final rule, the FAA is permitting greater launch
availability. In brief, the FAA is reducing requirements that a launch
operator wait to launch by expanding the applicability of certain
exceptions and recognizing that the risk of triggering lightning is
less than previously understood at distances closer than previously
believed. The FAA is also codifying criteria for obtaining accurate
radar reflectivity measurements to ensure calculation of the volume-
averaged, height-integrated radar reflectivity (VAHIRR) and other
measurements, such as the vertical extent of a cloud top, are
representative of actual conditions at the time of launch, because
these calculations are instrumental in determining the presence of and
risk posed by electrified clouds.
II. New Requirements
A. General Applicability
The FAA is revising the general description of appendix G to
clarify that the flight commit criteria are to mitigate lightning
strikes and avoid initiation of lightning when a launch vehicle flies
near or through a highly electrified environment in or near a cloud.
The FAA is also clarifying that, when a launch operator uses optional
equipment, such as a field mill, to increase launch availability, an
operator may not ignore data that does not satisfy the requirement.
This addition, particularly when read in conjunction with 14 CFR
417.113(c)(1)(ii), should ensure that a launch takes place only when it
is clear that all the criteria are satisfied. Section 417.113(c)(1)(ii)
states that a launch operator's launch safety rules \1\ must ensure
there is clear and convincing evidence that the criteria of appendix G,
which apply to the conditions present at the time of lift-off, are not
violated. Section G417.1 states that all lightning flight commit
criteria of Appendix G must be satisfied. In other words, each
paragraph of each section must be individually satisfied at the time of
launch. In short, the burden is on the launch operator to ensure that
conditions are safe for launch.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ A launch operator must follow its safety rules. 14 CFR
417.113(a)(3).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
A launch operator must understand that each of the sections of
appendix G deliberately prohibits launch under certain conditions.
Since all of the criteria must be satisfied, appendix G must be read in
its entirety to determine whether or not launch is prohibited. Thus,
the satisfaction of any particular paragraph or section cannot be
considered to permit launch. Even the simultaneous satisfaction of all
sections means only that there are no known natural- or triggered-
lightning threats that prohibit launch. According to Sec.
417.113(c)(1)(ii), it is still necessary for the launch weather team to
report any other hazardous conditions to the person with authority for
deciding whether or not to launch.
B. New Definitions and Clarifications of Existing Definitions
Section G.417.3 of appendix G defines terms if they would not be
familiar to a trained meteorological observer, such as ``field mill,''
or if they constitute non-standard usage of an otherwise familiar term,
such as ``associated.'' The FAA is adding new definitions, clarifying
existing ones, and making minor editorial changes to others. For terms
not defined in this section, a useful reference is the AMS Glossary of
Meteorology, American Meteorological Society, 2000: Glossary of
Meteorology, 2nd ed., American Meteorological Society, Boston, MA, 850;
also available on line at https://amsglossary.allenpress.com/glossary.
New definitions to appendix G include definitions of Cone of
silence, Electric field, Horizontal distance, Radar reflectivity, and
Slant distance.
A cone of silence is a volume within which a radar cannot detect
any object and is an inverted circular cone centered on the radar
antenna. A cone of silence consists of all elevation angles greater
than the maximum elevation angle reached by the radar. The cone of
silence is a volume that the radar beam cannot access because of a
radar's maximum tilt elevation. Radar echoes close to and directly
above the radar cannot be detected. The methodology of section
G417.25(b) provides that the specified volume for the VAHIRR
calculation must not contain any portion of the cone of silence. Note
as well that, for any given search pattern, certain sectors may be
blocked out for reasons of payload safety, and the specified volume
also may not contain any portion of a sector blocked out for these
reasons. The methodology of section G417.25(a) also provides that no
other radar reflectivity measurements, such as those used to delineate
a cloud, may be affected by any volume that is inaccessible to the
radar.
An electric field is a vertical electric field (Ez) at the surface
of the Earth. This definition differentiates the surface electric field
from those measured aloft.
A horizontal distance is a distance that is measured horizontally
between a field mill or electric-field-measurement point and the
nearest part of the vertical projection of an object or flight path
onto the surface of the Earth. The FAA is defining horizontal distance
in order to distinguish between the measurement of this two-dimensional
distance and the three-dimensional ``slant distance.''
Radar reflectivity means the radar reflectivity factor due to
hydrometeors, in dBZ. This is non-standard usage of a term that is
defined in the Glossary of Meteorology. Radar reflectivity measurements
in units of dBZ (as defined in the Glossary and not further discussed
herein) are further specified in section G417.25(a) and are used
throughout this appendix, including for the calculation of VAHIRR.
A slant distance means the shortest distance between two points,
whether horizontal, vertical, or inclined in three dimensional space. A
slant distance is used in measuring the distance between a radar
reflectivity or VAHIRR measurement point and either a flight path or an
object such as a cloud.
The FAA is also clarifying the definitions of Associated, Cloud,
Disturbed weather, Flight path, Transparent, and Volume-averaged
height-integrated radar reflectivity (VAHIRR). The following paragraphs
describe the changes made to these definitions and the reasons for
those changes.
Associated means two or more clouds are caused by the same
disturbed weather or are physically connected. The FAA is deleting the
discussion contained in the current definition. Discussion is better
placed in explanatory material like this preamble, and is unnecessary
in regulatory text. Accordingly, it is still the case that
``associated'' does not have to mean occurring at the same time. It is
also still the case that a cumulus cloud formed locally and a cirrus
layer physically separated from that cumulus cloud and generated by a
distant source are not associated, even if they occur over or near the
launch point at the same time.
A cloud is a visible mass of suspended water droplets, ice
crystals, or a combination of water droplets and ice crystals. A
``cloud'' includes the entire volume containing such particles. This
clarification omits an unnecessary reference to the particles being
produced by condensation of water vapor in the atmosphere. Note that
this definition works together with that of ``slant distance'' to
specify that standoff distances from a cloud be measured from the
nearest edge of that cloud.
Disturbed weather is a weather system where a dynamical process
destabilizes the air on a scale larger than individual clouds or cells.
Disturbed weather specifically includes, but is not limited to, fronts,
troughs, and squall lines. (In
[[Page 33142]]
this case, the examples are retained as a critical part of the
definition.) The body of the definition remains unchanged, but the FAA
is now adding a squall line as an important example of disturbed
weather because, along with fronts and troughs, it is frequently
related to electrification of the associated clouds.
Flight path means a launch vehicle's planned flight trajectory,
including the trajectory's vertical and horizontal uncertainties
resulting from all three-sigma guidance and performance deviations. The
FAA is no longer referencing wind effects because three-sigma
dispersions already take wind effects into account.
The definition of transparent is clarified to mean any of the
following conditions apply:
[rtarr9] Objects above, including higher clouds, blue sky, and
stars are not blurred, are distinct, and are not obscured when viewed
at visible wavelengths;
[rtarr9] Objects below, including terrain, buildings, and lights on
the ground, are clear, distinct, and not obscured when viewed at
visible wavelengths;
[rtarr9] Objects above or below are seen distinctly not only
through breaks in a cloud;
[rtarr9] The cloud has a radar reflectivity of less than 0 dBZ.
Historically, transparency has been determined by a person watching the
sky. The weather experts at the Federal launch ranges prefer
observations undertaken by a person. Rather than limiting visual
observations to those made by a person standing outdoors, this
definition reflects the fact that transparency may be determined by
satellite or camera as well. A person may also look at images of the
conditions outside to ascertain transparency. For these reasons, the
phrase ``at visible wavelengths'' has been retained; clouds that look
transparent to a human observer may not look transparent to an imaging
sensor operating at another wavelength, and vice versa.
Volume-averaged height-integrated radar reflectivity means the
product, expressed in units of dBZ-km, of the volume-averaged radar
reflectivity (in dBZ) and the average cloud thickness (in kilometers)
in the specified volume determined by a VAHIRR-measurement point. The
old definition states that the calculation applies to ``a specified
volume relative to a point along the flight track.'' The change
clarifies that VAHIRR may be computed at points other than along a
flight path. New section G417.25(b) describes in detail how VAHIRR is
calculated.
Additionally, the FAA is making minor editorial changes to the
following definitions: Anvil cloud, Precipitation, Moderate
precipitation, Thick cloud layer, Triboelectrification, and Volume-
averaged height-integrated radar reflectivity.
The FAA is also deleting several definitions.
Cloud edge is being deleted because it is now part of the
definition of a cloud. Electric field measurement at the surface of the
Earth is being deleted. The criteria this term contained are more
accurately characterized as requirements, and, therefore, now appear in
new section G417.25(c) Electric field measurement, which governs how to
measure electric fields. Electric field measurement aloft is removed
because Appendix G contains no criteria for electric field measurement
aloft in the regulations. Although the FAA initially considered
criteria for electric fields aloft, in the end, it did not promulgate
requirements when it issued part 417. The definition was inadvertently
left in the final rule. The definition of Ohms/square is removed
because the term is a standard unit of measurement. The definition of
Specified volume is no longer necessary because the term contained
requirements now located in section G417.25. Treated is being deleted
because it contained requirements now located in section G417.23(b).
Within is being deleted because more precise language regarding the
distance between a flight path and a cloud should prevent any
misunderstanding regarding the distance for which a launch operator
must account.
III. Changes to Temperature, Time, and Distance Restrictions for Anvil
and Debris Clouds
In this direct final rule, the FAA is permitting greater launch
availability. In brief, the FAA is reducing requirements that a launch
operator wait to launch by expanding the applicability of certain
exceptions and decreasing waiting time requirements because of
recognition that the risk of triggering lightning is less than
previously understood at distances closer than previously believed. In
order to ensure satisfaction of minimum standards of measurement and
uniformity across launch sites, the FAA is codifying in new section
G417.25 the measurement criteria used during a second airborne field
mill campaign (ABFM-II) conducted during 2000 and 2001. A lightning
advisory panel that provides expertise to the Air Force and NASA
recommended this approach to the ranges. The FAA also accepts the more
simple approach that the ranges currently use to calculate volume-
averaged, height-integrated radar reflectivity because it is more
conservative than the codified approach. Acceptable techniques to
calculate VAHIRR are further discussed in Section III.C.3 below.
A. Structural Changes
At the outset, the FAA must note that the order of the new
requirements for anvil and debris clouds is reversed from the old
requirements. These new rules have also been written so that only one
set of restrictions applies at a time. For example, for attached anvil
clouds, in old section G417.9.
Paragraph (a) contains requirements for flight paths
through or within 10 nautical miles of the cloud,
Paragraph (b) contains requirements for flight paths
through or within 5 nautical miles of the cloud, and
Paragraph (c) contains requirements for flight paths
through a cloud.
This organization is potentially confusing, since all three paragraphs
apply to flight through, and both paragraphs (a) and (b) apply to
flight within 5 nautical miles of, the cloud. The application has been
simplified in the new G417.9, where--
Paragraph (b) contains all requirements for flight paths
through a cloud,
Paragraph (c) contains all requirements for flight paths
greater than 0 and less than or equal to 3 nautical miles from the
cloud,
Paragraph (d) contains all requirements for flight paths
greater than 3 and less than or equal to 5 nautical miles from the
cloud, and finally,
Paragraph (e) contains all requirements for flight paths
greater than 5 and less than or equal to 10 nautical miles from a
cloud.
Whereas more than one paragraph could apply under the old rule, the
end result of this restructuring is that, for any given slant distance
from a cloud, at most, one paragraph will apply in the new rule. For
example, suppose a launch vehicle's flight path would place the closest
approach of the vehicle 2 nautical miles from an attached anvil cloud.
Under the old rule, the operator would need to satisfy the requirements
of both sections G417.9(a), because 2 nautical miles is less than 10
nautical miles, and G417.9(b), because 2 nautical miles is less than 5
nautical miles. Under the new rule, the operator only needs to satisfy
the requirements of G417.9(c) because 2 nautical miles is between zero
and 3 nautical miles. This change should make the rules easier to
follow. However, because of this
[[Page 33143]]
restructuring, there is not a one-to-one correspondence between the
paragraphs of the old and new rules.
Even in the rules that have been structurally rearranged, it must
be remembered that slant distance from a cloud refers only to the
closest approach of the vehicle. Otherwise multiple paragraphs may
still be taken to apply. An operator must always take care that all
paragraphs are satisfied.
B. Clarification of Applicability of Restrictions to Anvil Clouds
Formed From Parents at Altitudes below -10 Degrees Celsius
Under new paragraphs (a) of sections G417.9 and G417.11, for both
attached and detached anvil clouds, the requirements to wait before
initiating flight apply only when an anvil cloud forms from a parent
cloud that has a top at an altitude where the temperature is -10
degrees Celsius or colder. Even though anvil clouds can form in
temperatures slightly above freezing, only anvil clouds with parents
whose tops are at altitudes with temperatures at or below -10 degrees
Celsius pose a real possibility of containing high electric fields.\2\
When a convective cloud grows through different altitudes, it may reach
altitudes with freezing or colder temperatures. At these altitudes the
cloud may acquire ice particles, ice crystals, super-cooled water
droplets or a combination thereof. It is primarily this mixture of
phases that can produce a strong electrical generator within the cloud.
When the cloud top has become colder than -10 degrees Celsius, the
cloud is likely to be electrified, and when its top has become colder
than -20 degrees Celsius, strong electrification is likely.\3\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\2\ Willett, ed., Rationales for Lightning Criteria, at 9, 45,
61, and 108.
\3\ Id. at 45.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The temperature criterion in paragraphs (a) applies to the parent
cloud. Anvil clouds are limited to outflow from convective clouds at
altitudes with temperatures at or colder than --10 degrees Celsius.
According to studies, anvil clouds that develop from cumulus clouds
with cloud top temperatures warmer than -10 degrees Celsius rarely
develop electric fields with the strength of a thunderstorm.\4\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\4\ Dye, J.E., W.P. Winn, J.J. Jones, and D.W. Breed, 1989: The
electrification of New Mexico Thunderstorms. 1. Relationship between
precipitation development and the onset of electrification, J.
Geophys. Res., 94, 8643-8656. Breed, D.W., and J.E. Dye, 1989: The
electrification of New Mexico Thunderstorms Part 2. Electric field
growth during initial electrification. J. Geophys. Res, 94, 14, 841-
14, 854.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In practice, this limitation of the flight commit criteria to anvil
clouds formed from parents at sufficiently cold altitudes is not new.
Although not clearly expressed in the old appendix G, the Federal
ranges have historically limited their restrictions on flight to non-
transparent anvil clouds formed from parents at altitudes where the
temperatures are -10 degrees Celsius or colder.
C. Exceptions to the Requirement To Wait To Initiate Flight
This rulemaking increases the availability of exceptions to certain
prohibitions on initiating flight under circumstances posing a risk of
natural or triggered lightning. Specifically, although an FAA licensee
must wait specified amounts of time after the last lightning discharge
to initiate flight through a non-transparent attached or detached anvil
cloud or a non-transparent debris cloud, the licensee need not wait,
under the new versions of the anvil and debris-cloud rules, if all of
the non-transparent anvil or debris clouds within 3 nautical miles of a
flight path are located at altitudes where the temperature is colder
than 0 degrees Celsius and if the volume-averaged, height-integrated
radar reflectivity (VAHIRR) is less than +10 dBZ-km. For the longer
standoff distances, anvil clouds must be cold within 10 nautical miles,
but there is no requirement to calculate VAHIRR.
The launch operator must always remember, however, that all
sections of Appendix G must be satisfied simultaneously. In particular,
section G417.5, requires standoff distances of 10 nautical miles from a
parent thunderstorm and from the lightning itself, so there will
usually be portions of a non-transparent anvil or debris cloud through
which flight is prohibited by the lightning provision even though it
may not be prohibited by the anvil or debris cloud requirements
themselves.
1. Reduced Restrictions on Launches With a Flight Path Greater Than 3
Nautical Miles From an Anvil or Debris Cloud
The first change reduces some restrictions on launches with a
flight path greater than 3 nautical miles from a non-transparent anvil
or debris cloud. For flight paths more than 3 nautical miles from a
non-transparent anvil cloud, rather than requiring that a launch
operator always wait after a lightning discharge, the FAA now requires
only that the altitude of the portion of the cloud within a specified
distance of the flight path be at temperatures less than 0 degrees
Celsius to permit flight. For non-transparent debris clouds with flight
paths greater than 3 nautical miles from the cloud, the FAA will no
longer require any waiting after a lightning discharge or detachment.
For non-transparent anvil clouds, the requirements for a waiting
period for flight paths more than 3 nautical miles from a cloud are not
being dropped entirely. However, the requirements for anvil clouds will
be more flexible beyond 3 nautical miles than they are under the
current rules. For anvil clouds more than 3 nautical miles from a
flight path, the FAA will require, unless the operator waits 3 hours
after the last lightning discharge, that the altitudes at which the
flight path passes within a specified distance of the cloud have
temperatures of less than 0 degrees Celsius. This restriction was based
on the first Airborne Field Mill campaign (ABFM-II) which showed that
clouds at altitudes with temperatures of less than 0 degrees Celsius do
not contain electric field magnitudes of greater than 3 kV/m. Merceret
et al., supra, 242. The specific rule changes for attached and detached
anvil clouds are explained in turn below. The reasons for the changes
follow these descriptions.
i. Attached Anvil Clouds (G417.9)
A launch operator using flight paths of greater than 3 and less
than or equal to 5 nautical miles from an attached non-transparent
anvil cloud will no longer always need to wait 30 minutes after a
lightning discharge, and will no longer need to show that the VAHIRR is
less than 33 dBZ-kft within 3 hours of a lightning discharge. The old
requirement is contained in both section G417.9(a), which requires
waiting for 30 minutes after a lightning discharge regardless of
distance, and in section G417.9(b), which only allows passage between
30 minutes and 3 hours after a lightning discharge, if the VAHIRR
measurement is under +33 dBZ-kft and the altitudes at which the flight
path passes within 5 nautical miles of the cloud have temperatures of
less than 0 degrees Celsius.
Under the new requirements, the restriction applicable to flight
paths between 3 and 5 nautical miles will be contained in section
G417.9(d) and will require waiting for 3 hours after a lighting
discharge unless, as with the old rule, the portion of the attached
anvil cloud at a slant distance of less than or equal to 5 nautical
miles from the flight path is located entirely at altitudes where the
temperature is colder than 0 degrees Celsius. A launch operator will no
longer be required to wait for 30 minutes after a lightning discharge
and will not need to calculate VAHIRR to be able to launch within 3
[[Page 33144]]
hours of a lightning discharge. However, a launch operator will still
need to show satisfaction of the temperature at altitude restriction in
order to launch within 3 hours of a lightning discharge.
Launch operators with flight paths of greater than 5 and less than
or equal to 10 nautical miles from an attached non-transparent anvil
cloud will no longer always need to wait 30 minutes after a lightning
discharge as required by old section G417.9(a). Section G417.9(e) will
now require waiting 30 minutes unless the portion of the attached anvil
cloud at a slant distance of less than or equal to 10 nautical miles
from the flight path is located entirely at altitudes where the
temperature is colder than 0 degrees Celsius.
ii. Detached Anvil Clouds (G417.11)
Launch operators with flight paths between 3 and 10 nautical miles
from a detached non-transparent anvil cloud will no longer always need
to wait 30 minutes after a lightning discharge and will no longer need
to meet any requirements once 30 minutes have passed since the last
lightning discharge. The new G417.11(d) will require that the launch
operator wait 30 minutes after a lightning discharge from the cloud
unless the portion of the detached anvil cloud at a slant distance of
less than or equal to 10 nautical miles from the flight path is located
entirely at altitudes where the temperature is colder than 0 degrees
Celsius. Section G417.11(a) currently requires that a launch operator
wait 30 minutes after a lightning discharge, without the benefit of any
exceptions. Additionally, current G417.11(b) does not allow a launch
operator to pass between 3 and 5 nautical miles from a cloud between 30
minutes and 3 hours after a lightning discharge unless one of two sets
of conditions are met. The new requirements are more flexible because
they allow an exception to the requirement that the launch operator
wait 30 minutes after a lightning discharge and because they do not
require any conditions to be met after 30 minutes, even between 3 and 5
nautical miles.
iii. Rationale
The reduced restrictions on a flight path in excess of 3 nautical
miles of a cold \5\ anvil or debris cloud arise out of experimental and
statistical work performed by the LAP, which recommends lightning
requirements for launches at Federal launch ranges. The LAP has
performed statistical analyses of data collected during ABFM-II. The
goal of ABFM-II was to characterize the electric fields of anvil and
debris clouds by flying an aircraft into these types of clouds while
taking measurements at various distances from the clouds using electric
field mills. The ABFM II campaign used aircraft carrying airborne field
mills to measure the electric fields of clouds of interest. The
campaign used ground-based radar to measure the reflectivity of the
same clouds so that it would be possible to correlate the radar
reflectivity of the clouds with the electric field measurements of the
airborne field mills. Francis J. Merceret, et al., On the Magnitude of
the Electric Field near Thunderstorm-Associated Clouds, 47 Journal of
Applied Meteorology and Climatology 240, 243 (2008). These data were
used to develop the VAHIRR parameter associated with cloud
electrification. Both the temperature and VAHIRR criteria are
correlated with mixed-phase precipitation, namely, the presence of
water in both solid and liquid phases.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\5\ For the sake of brevity, the references to ``cold'' anvil
clouds in this discussion refer to those whose parent clouds have
tops at an altitude where the temperature is equal to or colder than
-10 degrees Celsius.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
When a cloud spans the freezing level, the cloud can acquire a
charge due to processes involving the mixing of liquid water droplets
and ice crystals. A build up of electric charge in a cloud can lead to
natural or triggered lightning. When the VAHIRR is less than 10 dBZ-km,
it means that any mixed phase processes are unable to produce
significant charging.
Like the Air Force and NASA before it, the FAA's existing triggered
lightning criteria are based on the determination that a launch vehicle
will not trigger lightning in an electric field with a magnitude of
less than 3 kilovolts per meter (kV/m). The following discussion of
each of the changes to the FAA's lightning commit criteria will,
therefore, focus on showing how the FAA's new requirements ensure that
the electric field magnitude along the flight path will be less than 3
kV/m, so that the new requirements will be essentially as safe as the
current requirements.
Therefore, the FAA is able to follow the Federal launch range's
lead in making the rules less restrictive because of new analyses of
the ABFM-II data. T.P. O'Brien & R. Walterscheid, Supplemental
Statistical Analysis of ABFM-II Data for Lightning Launch Commit
Criteria, Aerospace Report No. TOR-2007(1494)-6, 3 (2007).
As a purely qualitative matter, out of 158 flights through non-
transparent debris or anvil clouds during ABFM-II, the field mills
detected no electric field with a magnitude of greater than 3 kV/m
outside of a cloud. This was so even though the sample contained 30
flights through clouds with an electric field magnitude of more than 3
kV/m somewhere inside the cloud. Id.
Based on the data obtained, a qualitative analysis shows that
flying more than 3 nautical miles from a non-transparent anvil cloud is
as safe as the FAA's current requirements. The LAP also used this data
to demonstrate statistically in two ways that it is extremely unlikely
that the electric field magnitude will be more than 3 kV/m at distances
greater than 3 nautical miles from the clouds.
A launch operator may calculate VAHIRR to help determine whether it
is safe to fly, even if there has been a relatively recent lightning
discharge. If the VAHIRR is less than 10 dBZ-km (about 33 dBZ-kft), the
probability of an electric field of greater than 3 kV/m occurring is
less than 1 in 10,000. Dye et al., supra, 14.
Calculating VAHIRR consists of multiplying the average cloud
thickness and the average radar reflectivity found in a column with an
11 kilometer by 11 kilometer cross-section centered on a point of
interest, where the two sides are oriented north-south and east-west.
Because 3 nautical miles is 5.52 kilometers, a VAHIRR box centered on a
flight path more than 3 nautical miles from the anvil cloud's edge will
not contain the anvil cloud and will, therefore, have a radar
reflectivity of zero, meaning that the VAHIRR will be zero. Because
zero is clearly less than +33 dBZ-kft, flight at more than 3 nautical
miles from the cloud will be at least as safe as the current
requirements of G417.9(b)(2) and G417.11(b)(2)(ii), which only require
a VAHIRR of less than +33 dBZ-kft. James E. Dye, et al., Analysis of
Proposed 2007-2008 Revisions to the Lightning Launch Commit Criteria
for United States Space Launches, 13th Conference on Aviation, Range
and Aerospace Meteorology 8.2, 2-3 (available at https://ams.confex.com/ams/88Annual/techprogram/programexpanded_474.htm) (2008); Francis J.
Merceret, Risk Analysis of Proposed Reduction of Anvil and Debris Cloud
LLCC Standoff Distances from Five to Three Miles, 1-2 (2007) (internal
LAP memorandum).
The LAP also performed a Gaussian statistical analysis on the
electric field data collected between 6 kilometers (3.2 nautical miles)
and 12 kilometers (6.5 nautical miles) from anvil and debris clouds in
an attempt to determine the likelihood of various electric field
magnitudes occurring at those distances from the clouds. The LAP found
that an electric field of significance was highly unlikely.
[[Page 33145]]
The LAP used a Gaussian distribution to perform a conservative
three-sigma worst-case risk analysis by using an assumed mean of three
times the measured mean and an assumed error estimate of three times
the calculated error. The LAP concluded that, even with these
conservative assumptions, the probability that an electric field with a
magnitude of 3 kV/m would occur within 3.2 to 6.5 nautical miles of a
non-transparent anvil or debris cloud was negligible; the probability
of a field of even 2 kV/m was on the order of 10-7. Dye et
al., supra, at 3-4. These probabilities were obtained by only analyzing
non-transparent clouds that typically contain elevated electric fields,
namely, those that somewhere contained electric fields greater than 3
kV/m. Merceret, supra, at 2-6. The FAA concludes from this analysis
that launches more than 3 nautical miles from anvil and debris clouds
are unlikely to trigger lightning because it is extremely remote for
the electric field to reach a magnitude of 3 kV/m at distances more
than 3 nautical miles from these clouds.
However, this analysis uses an unconventional technique for extreme
value analysis. Gaussian analysis is not typically used to determine
the likelihood of a quantity that is relatively far from any of the
observed quantities. Therefore, the LAP also performed a second
statistical analysis. Dye et al., supra, at 4-5.
The LAP used a second statistical method to determine the
probability of the electric field magnitude exceeding 3 kV/m at various
distances from the anvil and debris clouds in increments of 0.6
kilometers (0.32 nautical miles) and again found it extremely unlikely.
O'Brien & Walterscheid, supra, at 7. Gaussian distributions are not
necessarily well suited to extrapolating fits to the wings of a
frequency distribution where the event frequency (in this case the
frequency of fields exceeding 3 kV/m) is very small. A widely used
function for extreme value estimation is the Weibull function. For each
distance increment from the clouds, a 2-parameter Weibull distribution
was a good statistical fit for the data. Extrapolating the tail of the
Weibull shows how likely it would be at each increment to encounter an
electric field with a magnitude greater than 3 kV/m. Even at 0.6
kilometers (0.32 nautical miles) from the cloud's edge, the probability
of exceeding 3 kV/m was on the order of 10-9. If only clouds
containing an electric field of over 3 kV/m were considered, the
calculated probability was somewhat lower, but this is most likely a
statistical artifact relating to sample size. At 5.4 kilometers (2.9
nautical miles), the probability was under 10-16 even if
only clouds containing an electric field of over 3 kV/m were
considered. O'Brien & Walterscheid, supra, at 7.
Therefore, the FAA concludes that the risk of encountering electric
field magnitudes greater than 3 kV/m is very small if the flight path
is more than 3 nautical miles from the edge of an anvil or debris
cloud. In fact, the Weibull fit analysis indicates that a launch would
not likely encounter a field of 3 kV/m even if the flight path was at
0.32 nautical miles from the cloud's edge, so the requirements to wait
or satisfy the VAHIRR criteria on launches with flight paths more than
3 nautical miles from a cloud's edge are not necessary.
iv. Reduced Restrictions on Launches With a Flight Path Within 3
Nautical Miles of a Debris Cloud
Analysis of the ABFM-II data has also demonstrated that satisfying
the VAHIRR criteria can allow greater launch opportunities near a non-
transparent debris cloud that has discharged lightning. This change
expands launch availability because at any distance from a cloud the
regulations permit flight if the conditions satisfy the VAHIRR and
temperature restrictions. For a flight path through a non-transparent
debris cloud under old section G417.13(a), a launch operator must wait
3 hours after detachment or a lightning discharge without exception.
New section G417.13(a) requires a launch operator to wait 3 hours only
if the operator cannot demonstrate that the VAHIRR is below 10 dBZ-km
(+33 dBZ-kft) and that every portion of the non-transparent debris
cloud at a slant distance within 5 nautical miles of the flight path is
at altitudes where the cloud has temperatures of less than 0 degrees
Celsius.
For flight paths between 0 and 3 nautical miles from the debris
cloud, the current section G417.13(b) requires waiting 3 hours unless
the launch meets three conditions:
1. There is at least one working field mill within 5 nautical miles
of the cloud,
2. The magnitude of the electric field measurements has been less
than 1 kV/m for 15 minutes within 5 nautical miles of the cloud, and
3. The maximum radar reflectivity has been less than 10 dBZ for 15
minutes within 5 nautical miles of the cloud.
The new requirements still allow the fulfillment of these three
conditions as a method to avoid waiting the 3-hour period, but will
also allow earlier flight if the operator meets the VAHIRR exception,
and if every portion of the debris cloud at a slant distance within 5
nautical miles of the flight path is at altitudes where the cloud has
temperatures of less than 0 degrees Celsius.
A VAHIRR measurement of less than 10 dBZ-km (or approximately 33
dBZ-kft), along with satisfactory field mill measurements and
temperatures, means that a debris cloud does not contain an elevated
electric field, even if portions of it are located at an altitude
conducive to the creation of an electric charge. In fact, the VAHIRR
method may be even more reliable when applied to non-transparent debris
clouds than to anvil clouds. To demonstrate this, the LAP used a
Weibull distribution to show that the upper bound of the 95-percent-
confidence-interval for the probability of the electric field exceeding
3 kV/m if the VAHIRR measurement is between 5 and 15 dBZ-km is on the
order of 10-5 for debris clouds, as opposed to
10-2 for anvil clouds. The expected value of the probability
of exceeding 3 kV/m is much less. A more detailed examination
demonstrated that the expected value of the probability of exceeding 3
kV/m for anvil clouds is 10-4 if the VAHIRR is less than 10
dBZ-km, so the probability of exceeding 3 kV/m for debris clouds is
probably even lower than 10-5 if the VAHIRR is less than 10
dBZ-km. Dye et al., supra, 4-5. Therefore, the FAA has concluded that
it is appropriate to extend the availability of the VAHIRR exception to
waiting to launch to debris clouds.
2. Changes for Launches With a Flight Path Within Three Nautical Miles
of an Attached Anvil Cloud
For flight paths within 3 nautical miles of a cold, non-transparent
anvil cloud, the FAA will now permit flight within 30 minutes of a
lightning discharge when temperature and VAHIRR readings satisfy the
regulatory criteria. Therefore, for flight paths between 0 and 3
nautical miles from a cloud, the new section G417.9(c) allows launch at
any time if the VAHIRR is below 10 dBZ-km and every portion of the
anvil cloud at a slant distance within 5 nautical miles of the flight
path is at altitudes where the non-transparent cloud has temperatures
of less than 0 degrees Celsius. The old rule requires waiting for 30
minutes after lightning discharge if not passing through the non-
transparent cloud (current G417.9(a) and (b)) or 3 hours after
lightning discharge if passing through the non-transparent cloud
(current G417.9(c)) unless VAHIRR and temperature at altitude
conditions are
[[Page 33146]]
met. The new requirements will allow VAHIRR and the temperature at
altitude conditions to always be an alternative to having to wait after
a lightning discharge. For detached non-transparent anvil clouds, the
requirements remain the same for flight paths less than or equal to 3
nautical miles except that now a launch operator can pass within 3
nautical miles of the non-transparent cloud within 30 minutes of a
lightning discharge if the VAHIRR is below 10 dBZ-km and every portion
of the non-transparent cloud at a slant distance within 5 nautical
miles of the flight path is at altitudes where the cloud has
temperatures of less than 0 degrees Celsius. This change is contained
in G417.11(c)(1). This change is possible because the studies of the
ABFM-II campaign show, as discussed above, that electric fields greater
than 3 kv/m do not extend as far and the decay rate is much more rapid
near the anvil edge \6\ than previously believed. Cloud charges decay
in time in the absence of active charge generation and, real-time radar
reflectivity readings and calculations may be used to confirm that the
electric field has, in fact, subsided to acceptable levels.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\6\ Dye, J. E., et al. (2007), Electric fields, cloud
microphysics, and reflectivity in anvils of Florida thunderstorms.
J. Geophys. Res., 112, D11215, doi:10.1029/2006JD007550.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The FAA will not require a launch operator to wait 30 minutes when
temperature and VAHIRR readings satisfy the criteria for attached and
detached non-transparent anvil clouds when the flight path is between 0
and 3 nautical miles. As described above, statistical analysis of the
ABFM II measurements for all anvils shows that, even for highly
electrified anvils with electric fields much greater than 3 kV/m inside
the cloud, the electric field outside of the anvil cloud falls off very
rapidly and once falling to low levels remains small at greater
distances. O'Brien. et. al. at 9. For attached and detached non-
transparent anvil clouds and debris clouds, when the electric field is
strong, namely, when it exceeds 3 kV/m, the radar reflectivity in the
same location over the ABFM II data set is invariably greater than
approximately 10 dBZ. As noted, the Weibull distribution and extreme
value analysis for anvil and debris clouds showed that, when VAHIRR is
<= 10 dBZ-km, the probability of having electric fields in excess of 3
Kv/m is very small (on the order of 10-4 or lower). Based on
these results, the FAA finds that a launch that meets the VAHIRR
criterion obviates concerns regarding electric fields in excess of 3
kV/m. Strong electric fields are known to occur in the melting zone of
many precipitating layer clouds.\7\ Satisfaction of the temperature
requirement ensures that this type of electric charging within the
melting zone will not occur.
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\7\ Rationales for Lightning Criteria, at 123.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
3. Codification of Measurement Criteria
New section G417.25 represents a codification of three different
sets of measurement specifications. Section G417.25(a) contains
requirements for accurate and reliable radar reflectivity measurements
that qualify for use throughout the other sections of this appendix. In
addition to VAHIRR calculations, such uses include all radar
measurements of the location, spatial extent, and intensity of clouds
and precipitation. Such specifications are currently applied by the
U.S. Air Force and NASA at the Federal ranges and can also be met by
correct application of data from the national Next-Generation Radar
(NEXRAD) network.\8\ If the available radar does not meet these
requirements, a launch operator must fall back on visual and other
observations to convincingly demonstrate that the rules are not
violated.
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\8\ NEXRAD is a network of 159 high-resolution Doppler weather
radars operated by the National Weather Service, an agency of the
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) within the
United States Department of Commerce.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Section G417.25(b) applies specifically to VAHIRR calculations and
explains how valid VAHIRR measurements must be made. These
specifications are the same as those used during the ABFM II of 2000
and 2001 from which a safe VAHIRR threshold of <=10 dBZ-km was
statistically determined for anvil and debris clouds. Because there is
no guarantee that this threshold would be safe if VAHIRR were
calculated operationally in a different way, the FAA is codifying these
specifications here. See below, however, for an alternative calculation
that is currently in use by the U.S. Air Force and NASA at the Eastern
Range and that satisfies section G417.1(c) by being at least as safe as
the FAA's requirements.
Finally, section G417.25(c) specifies the measurement techniques
for electric fields to qualify for use in this appendix. Again, these
are the specifications currently used by the federal launch ranges.
Section G417.25(a) requires that a licensee who relies on radar
reflectivity measurements, including the calculation of VAHIRR, to
increase launch availability must satisfy a number of requirements. The
Federal launch ranges satisfy the requirements of paragraph (a) of this
section because they employ meteorological radar,\9\ and they ensure
that--
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\9\ The Federal launch ranges employ meteorological radars
because other radars do not provide sufficient granularity in
depicting reflectivity on a gridded representation.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
(1) The radar wavelength is greater than or equal to 5 centimeters
in order that attenuation by intervening clouds and/or precipitation
not be significant; \10\
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\10\ The radar used at the Eastern and Western Ranges is WSR-88D
and WSR-74C. They meet this criterion.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
(2) Any reflectivity measurement is of a meteorological target,
such as a cloud or precipitation, and not of some other objects, such
as birds or insects, nor due to ``anomalous propagation''; \11\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\11\ 45th Weather Squadron, Steps for Evaluating VAHIRR, par. 6
(March 2005.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
(3) The spatial accuracy and resolution of a reflectivity
measurement is one kilometer or better in order that the locations and
spatial extent of clouds--especially their critical altitudes and
thicknesses--and of precipitation can be determined with sufficient
accuracy for use in this appendix; \12\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\12\ Blakeslee, R.J., H.J. Christian, and B. Vonnegut (1989),
Electrical measurements over thunderstorms, J. Geophys. Res., 94,
135-140.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
(4) Any attenuation caused by precipitation or an accumulation of
water or ice on the radome that protects the radar antenna is less than
or equal to 1 dBZ because the requirements in this appendix can be met
only with that degree of accuracy; \13\ and
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\13\ 45th Weather Squadron, Steps for Evaluating VAHIRR, Par. 2,
(March 2005).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
(5) A reflectivity measurement contains no portion of the cone of
silence or other blocked out portion so that it is not giving a bogus
indication.\14\
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\14\ A History of the Lightning Criteria, 124, par. 25.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
A launch operator who relies on VAHIRR to increase launch
availability under this appendix must satisfy the requirements of both
sections G417.25(a) and (b), or must otherwise ensure that its
estimates of VAHIRR are at least as large as those that would result
from section G417.25(b) to ensure that its invocation of any VAHIRR
exceptions to these rules are at least as safe. The current
requirements for calculating VAHIRR at the Federal launch ranges
satisfy section G417.1(c) because they are more conservative, even
though there are certain requirements of section G417.25(b) that they
do not satisfy. The Federal launch ranges do not, as required by
paragraph (b)(1), ensure that a digital signal processor provide radar
reflectivity measurements on a three-dimensional
[[Page 33147]]
Cartesian grid having a maximum grid-point-to-grid-point spacing of one
kilometer in each of the three dimensions. The ranges do, as required
by paragraph (b)(2), ensure that the specified volume is bounded in the
horizontal by vertical plane, perpendicular sides located 5.5
kilometers (3 nautical miles) north, east, south, and west of the point
where VAHIRR is to be evaluated; on the bottom by the 0 degree Celsius
level; and on the top by an altitude of 18 kilometers.\15\ Note that
the specified volume need not contain the VAHIRR evaluation point,
which may be either below the lower boundary of that volume (as when
the vehicle is on the launch pad) or above the upper boundary (as when
the vehicle is flying high above an anvil cloud) of the specified
volume.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\15\ Id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
To calculate VAHIRR a launch operator must compute both a volume
averaged radar reflectivity and an average cloud thickness in a
specified volume before multiplying them to obtain a value for VAHIRR.
Neither of these quantities is available yet as an output product of
the WSR-88D.\16\ or WSR-74C radar systems that the Federal ranges use
to support commercial launches.\17\ Instead, the Federal ranges and
NASA rely on Interim Instructions \18\ for computing these quantities,
which are more conservative and, thus, afford less launch availability
than allowed by section G417.25(b).
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\16\ Technical name for NEXRAD is WSR-88D, which stands for
Weather Surveillance Radar, 1988, Doppler.
\17\ A History of the Lightning Criteria, 124, par. J.
\18\ Id. (describing the interim methodology).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Paragraph (c) of section G417.25 requires a launch operator who
measures an electric field to comply with this appendix to--
Employ a ground-based field mill in order to obtain a
reliable and easily calibrated measurement with a relatively low-
maintenance instrument;
Use only the one-minute arithmetic average of the
instantaneous readings from that field mill to minimize the effects of
local space charge and lightning field changes;
Ensure that all field mills are calibrated so that the
polarity of the electric field measurements is the same as the polarity
of a voltage placed on a test plate above the sensor as discussed in
more detail below;
Ensure that the altitude of the flight path of the launch
vehicle is equal to or less than 20 kilometers (66 thousand feet)
everywhere above a horizontal circle of 5 nautical miles centered on
the field mill being used as discussed further below, and
Use only direct measurements from a field mill. A launch
operator may not interpolate based on electric-field contours because
interpolation schemes are highly variable and can give unexpected
results.
The Federal launch ranges use electric field mills that satisfy
each of the requirements of paragraph (c) of section G417.25.
Accordingly, no new methodology is being codified here.
Regarding the polarity of an electric field measurement, note that
the required polarity is the opposite of the so-called ``physics sign
convention'' that is now used almost exclusively in the atmospheric
electricity literature. This older sign convention is retained here,
however, because it has been in exclusive use at the Kennedy Space
Center and the Eastern Range since the early days of the Launch Pad
Lightning Warning System and it remains in use today.
The FAA is relaxing the requirements for field measurement by
limiting the altitude of the flight path of the launch vehicle to less
than 20 kilometers (66 thousand feet) everywhere above a horizontal
circle of 5 nautical miles centered on the field mill. Electric field
measurements above 20 kilometers are to be ignored.
Small Business Regulatory Enforcement Fairness Act
The Small Business Regulatory Enforcement Fairness Act (SBREFA) of
1996 requires the FAA to comply with small entity requests for
information or advice about compliance with statutes and regulations
within its jurisdiction. Therefore, any small entity that has a
question regarding this document may contact their local FAA official,
or the person listed under FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT. You can
find out more about SBREFA on the Internet at https://www.faa.gov/regulations_policies/rulemaking/sbre_act/.
IV. Regulatory Analyses
Paperwork Reduction Act
The Paperwork Reduction Act of 1995 (44 U.S.C. 3507(d)) requires
that the FAA consider the impact of paperwork and other information
collection burdens imposed on the public. The FAA has determined that
this final rule has no new additional burden to respondents over and
above that which the Office of Management and Budget already approved
under the existing rule titled, ``Commercial Space Transportation
Licensing Regulations'' (OMB 2120-0608).
International Compatibility
The FAA has determined that a review of the Convention on
International Civil Aviation Standards and Recommended Practices is not
warranted because there is not a comparable rule under ICAO standards.
Regulatory Evaluation, Regulatory Flexibility Determination,
International Trade Regulatory Flexibility Determination
Changes to Federal regulations must undergo several economic
analyses. First, Executive Order 12866 directs that each Federal agency
may propose or adopt a regulation only upon a reasoned determination
that the benefits of the intended regulation justify its costs. Second,
the Regulatory Flexibility Act of 1980 (Pub. L. 96-354) requires
agencies to analyze the economic impact of regulatory changes on small
entities. Third, the Trade Agreements Act (Pub. L. 96-39) prohibits
agencies from setting standards that create unnecessary obstacles to
the foreign commerce of the United States. In developing U.S.
standards, the Trade Act requires agencies developing standards to
consider international standards and, where appropriate, that they be
the basis of U.S. standards. Fourth, the Unfu