Rate Increase Disclosure and Review, 81004-81029 [2010-32143]
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81004
Federal Register / Vol. 75, No. 246 / Thursday, December 23, 2010 / Proposed Rules
DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND
HUMAN SERVICES
45 CFR Part 154
[OCIIO–9999–P; Docket No. HHS–OS–2010–
0029]
RIN 0950–AA03
Rate Increase Disclosure and Review
Office of Consumer Information
and Insurance Oversight (OCIIO),
Department of Health and Human
Services (HHS).
ACTION: Notice of proposed rulemaking
(NPRM).
AGENCY:
This document contains
proposed regulations implementing the
rules for health insurance issuers
regarding the disclosure and review of
unreasonable premium increases under
section 2794 of the Public Health
Service Act. The proposed rule would
establish a rate review program to
ensure that all rate increases that meet
or exceed an established threshold are
reviewed by a State or HHS to
determine whether the rate increases are
unreasonable.
DATES: Send your comments on or
before February 22, 2011.
ADDRESSES: All comments will be made
available to the public.
SUMMARY:
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Warning: Do not include any personally
identifiable information (such as name,
address, or other contact information) or
confidential business information that you do
not want publicly disclosed. All comments
are posted on the Internet exactly as received,
and can be retrieved by most Internet search
engines. No deletions, modifications, or
redactions will be made to the comments
received, as they are public records.
Comments may be submitted anonymously.
In commenting, please refer to file
code OCIIO–9999–P. Because of staff
and resource limitations, we cannot
accept comments by facsimile (FAX)
transmission.
You may submit comments using any
of the following methods (please choose
only one of the ways listed):
• Electronically. You may submit
electronic comments on this regulation
to https://www.regulations.gov. Follow
the instructions under the ‘‘More Search
Options’’ tab.
• Mail. You may mail written
comments to the following address
ONLY: Office of Consumer Information
and Insurance Oversight, Department of
Health and Human Services, Attention:
OCIIO–9999–P, Room 445–G, Hubert H.
Humphrey Building, 200 Independence
Avenue, SW., Washington, DC 20201.
Please allow sufficient time for mailed
comments to be received before the
close of the comment period.
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• Hand or Courier. If you prefer, you
may deliver (by hand or courier) your
written comments before the close of the
comment period to the following
address: Office of Consumer Information
and Insurance Oversight, Department of
Health and Human Services, Attention:
OCIIO–9999–P, Room 445–G, Hubert H.
Humphrey Building, 200 Independence
Avenue, SW., Washington, DC 20201.
(Because access to the interior of the
Hubert H. Humphrey Building is not
readily available to persons without
Federal government identification,
commenters are encouraged to leave
their comments in the OCIIO drop slots
located in the main lobby of the
building. A stamp-in clock is available
for persons wishing to retain a proof of
filing by stamping in and retaining an
extra copy of the comments being filed.)
Comments mailed to the address
indicated as appropriate for hand or
courier delivery may be delayed and
received after the comment period.
Submission of comments on
paperwork requirements. You may
submit comments on this document’s
paperwork requirements by following
the instructions at the end of the
‘‘Collection of Information
Requirements’’ section in this document.
For information on viewing public
comments, see the beginning of the
‘‘ADDITIONAL INFORMATION’’
section.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
For questions concerning this
proposed rule, contact Sally McCarty,
Office of Consumer Information and
Insurance Oversight, Department of
Health and Human Services, by phone
at (301) 492–4489 OR by e-mail at
ratereview@hhs.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Inspection of Public Comments: All
comments received before the close of
the comment period are available for
viewing by the public, including any
personally identifiable or confidential
business information that is included in
a comment. We post all comments
received before the close of the
comment period on the following Web
site as soon as possible after they have
been received: https://regulations.gov.
Follow the search instructions on that
Web site to view public comments.
Comments received timely will also
be available for public inspection as
they are received, generally beginning
approximately 3 weeks after publication
of a document, at the headquarters of
the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid
Services, 7500 Security Boulevard,
Baltimore, Maryland 21244, Monday
through Friday of each week from
8:30 a.m. to 4 p.m. To schedule an
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appointment to view public comments,
phone 1–800–743–3951.
Table of Contents
I. Background
II. Provisions of the Proposed Rule
A. Introduction and Overview
B. Definitions (§ 154.102)
C. Applicability (§ 154.103)
D. Rate Increases Subject to Review
(§ 154.200)
E. Review of Rate Increases Subject to
Review by HHS or by a State (§ 154.210)
F. Effective Rate Review Program
(§ 154.301)
G. Unreasonable Rate Increases
H. Issuer Disclosure Required Under
Part 154
III. Collection of Information Requirements
IV. Response to Comments
V. Regulatory Impact Analysis
I. Background
The Patient Protection and Affordable
Care Act (Pub. L. 111–148), was enacted
on March 23, 2010; the Health Care and
Education Reconciliation Act (Pub. L.
111–152), was enacted on March 30,
2010. In this preamble we refer to the
two statutes collectively as the
Affordable Care Act. The Affordable
Care Act reorganizes, amends, and adds
to the provisions of Part A of title XXVII
of the Public Health Service Act (PHS
Act) relating to group health plans and
health insurance issuers in the group
and individual markets.
The Department of Health and Human
Services (HHS or the Department) is
issuing regulations in several phases in
order to implement revisions to the PHS
Act made by the Affordable Care Act.
Most of the previous regulations were
issued jointly with the Departments of
Labor and the Treasury. A request for
comments relating to the medical loss
ratio (MLR) provisions of PHS Act
section 2718 was published in the
Federal Register on April 14, 2010
(75 FR 19297) (notice, or request for
comments). A request for comments
relating to the premium review
provisions of PHS Act section 2794 was
also published by HHS in the Federal
Register on April 14, 2010 (75 FR
19335) (notice, or request for
comments). Additionally, a series of
interim final regulations were published
earlier this year implementing PHS Act
provisions added by the Affordable Care
Act. Specifically, interim final rules
were published implementing
(1) section 2714 (requiring dependent
coverage of children to age 26) (75 FR
27122 (May 13, 2010)); (2) section 1251
of the Affordable Care Act (relating to
status as a grandfathered health plan)
(75 FR 34538 (June 17, 2010));
(3) sections 2704 (prohibiting
preexisting condition exclusions), 2711
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(regarding lifetime and annual dollar
limits on benefits), 2712 (regarding
restrictions on rescissions), and 2719A
(regarding patient protections) (75 FR
37188 (June 28, 2010)); (4) section 2713
(regarding preventive health services)
(75 FR 41726 (July 19, 2010)); (5) section
2719 (regarding internal claims and
appeals and external review processes)
(75 FR 43330 (July 23, 2010)). HHS
published interim final regulations
implementing PHS Act section 2718
(regarding medical loss ratio (75 FR
74864 (December 1, 2010)). HHS,
Department of Labor, and Department of
the Treasury also published an
amendment to the interim final
regulations relating to status as a
grandfathered health plan (regarding
change in health insurance issuers) in
the Federal Register on November 17,
2010 (75 FR 70114). The Departments
have also published sub-regulatory
guidance regarding various issues
related to the implementation of the
Affordable Care Act, available at https://
www.dol.gov/ebsa and https://
www.hhs.gov/ociio.
These proposed regulations are being
published to implement section 2794 of
the PHS Act, relating to the disclosure
and review of unreasonable premium
increases.1
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II. Provisions of the Proposed Rule
A. Introduction and Overview
Section 1003 of the Affordable Care
Act adds a new PHS Act section 2794
which directs the Secretary, in
conjunction with the States, to establish
a process for the annual review of
‘‘unreasonable increases in premiums
for health insurance coverage.’’ The
statute provides that this process shall
require health insurance issuers to
submit to the Secretary and the
applicable State a justification for an
unreasonable premium increase prior to
the implementation of the increase.
The review process required under
section 2794 does not preempt or
supplant any existing State laws or
processes governing the review of
insurance premiums, including any
State authority to prevent the
implementation of unreasonable rates.
Many States’ laws already provide that
rates may not be approved, or may not
remain in effect, if they are excessive or
unreasonable in relation to the benefits
provided or fail to satisfy other statutory
standards. Specifically, our review of
State law indicates that 43 of the 50
States currently have some rate review
1 There are two sections numbered 2794 in the
Public Health Service Act. The Section 2794 that is
the basis for this rule is entitled ‘‘Ensuring That
Consumers Get Value For Their Dollars.’’
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process, in either the individual or
small group markets, or both.
This proposed regulation recognizes
the traditional role of the States in
regulating insurance rates and builds on
existing State-based rate review
processes. In circumstances where HHS
is reviewing rates rather than a State,
which we believe will be a minority of
States that have not yet established
effective rate review programs as
discussed below, a determination by
HHS that a rate increase is
‘‘unreasonable’’ under section 2794
would not prevent any health insurance
issuer from implementing a rate
increase permitted by State law. In this
regard, this proposed regulation
preserves the opportunity for insurers to
implement a proposed rate that is
consistent with State law. Moreover, the
process established by this proposed
regulation would not result in any delay
in an issuer’s ability to implement a
proposed rate increase. In other words,
the requirements of Section 2794 only
supplement and complement, rather
than supplant, and do not interfere
with, existing State laws and processes
for rate review.
Section 2794 of the PHS Act directs
the Secretary, in conjunction with the
States, to establish a process for the
annual review of unreasonable increases
in ‘‘premiums.’’ ’’Premium’’ is the final
amount charged to a specific insured.
For those States that currently review
proposed increases in ‘‘premiums,’’ it is
the underlying rates and methods that
are the subject of the actuarial review
conducted by these States.
To determine rates for a specific
insurance product, the issuer must
estimate future claims costs in
connection with that product and then
the revenue needed to pay anticipated
claims and non-claims expenses, such
as administrative expenses including
profits. The costs that will be incurred
and the revenue that will be received
are not known at the time the rate is
established (indeed, the number of
people that will be covered by the
product is not known), so the rates must
be based on an actuarial estimate of
these costs and of the non-claims
expenses. It is these estimates, along
with the methodology used to determine
them, that are the subject of the
actuarial review conducted by States
that have authority to review premium
or rate increases.
Once the overall amount of revenue
needed is established, the premium that
will be charged to specific insureds is
determined. Generally, the premium
charged will vary depending on
characteristics such as age, geography,
and in the individual market in many
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States, health status. It will also vary
based on choices made by the insured,
such as the amount of deductibles and
co-pays. The criteria that may be used
and the differences in premium that
may be charged are determined by State
law.
This proposed regulation, therefore,
provides a process for the review of
unreasonable rate increases, based upon
the practice in States that conduct
effective reviews of the cost of health
insurance coverage.
Section 2794 of the PHS Act does not
define what makes a rate increase
‘‘unreasonable,’’ nor does it specify the
process that should be used for
determining whether a particular rate
increase is unreasonable (requiring that
a review be conducted and a
justification submitted). Therefore, this
proposed regulation provides a
definition of an ‘‘unreasonable’’ rate
increase, and outlines a process that
would be used by HHS when reviewing
rate increases to determine which rates
are subject to review and among them
which are ‘‘unreasonable.’’
We considered two types of processes
that arguably could satisfy the
requirement in 2794 that unreasonable
rates be reviewed. One would establish,
by regulation, a standard of
unreasonableness, based on some
criteria other than an actuarial standard
or actual review. For example, any rate
increase exceeding the average increase
for similar products during the previous
year, or any rate increase exceeding a
rate of inflation of medical costs by a
specific amount, could be deemed to be
unreasonable. Under this approach, any
rate increase over a pre-determined
percentage would be considered
‘‘unreasonable’’ and therefore subject to
review. However, while consumers may
view any large increase in the cost of
their health insurance coverage to be
‘‘unreasonable,’’ it is not possible to
know whether an increase is
‘‘unreasonable’’ from an actuarial
standpoint until the proposed increase,
and the underlying assumptions, have
been the subject of actuarial analysis.
Moreover, while such an approach may
be relatively easy to administer, for the
reasons stated above it almost certainly
would label as ‘‘unreasonable’’ rate
increases that are not unreasonable from
an actuarial standpoint. This point was
made in numerous comments received
in response to the Request for
Comments published on April 14, 2010
in the Federal Register (75 FR 19335).
Those comments suggest that HHS
should not establish a definition of an
unreasonable rate increase by, for
example, providing that all rate
increases greater than a specified
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percentage would be deemed to be
unreasonable.
In addition, this ‘‘literal’’ reading
under which rates are deemed
‘‘unreasonable’’ at the outset, in the
absence of review, would make any
‘‘review’’ process meaningless, as the
outcome of any review (that is, whether
the rate was ‘‘unreasonable’’) would
have been pre-determined.
This proposed regulation instead
proposes an alternative approach that is
consistent with the language of section
2794; is more narrowly focused on what
we interpret to be the purpose of that
section; and would not involve the
anomaly of ‘‘pre-determining’’ the
reasonableness of a rate before it has
been reviewed. Under this approach, if
a proposed rate increase equals or
exceeds a defined threshold, it would be
considered ‘‘subject to review.’’ The
review process would then determine if
the increase is, in fact, unreasonable.
This approach interprets the statutory
‘‘process’’ for reviewing unreasonable
rate increases as a process under which
rates that may ultimately be determined
to be unreasonable are reviewed. Under
this interpretation, identifying
potentially unreasonable rates for
review is reasonably an element of a
broader process for the review of
proposed rate increases.
Rates above the threshold would not
be deemed or otherwise determined to
be unreasonable in advance of this
review. As discussed below, for rate
increases filed in a State on or after July
1, 2011, or effective on or after July 1,
2011 in a State that does not require a
rate increase to be filed, the threshold
for whether rates are subject to review
would be whether the average weighted
increase in the rate filing, alone or in
combination with prior increases in the
preceding 12 month period, is 10
percent or more.
In establishing the 10 percent
threshold for determining which rates
are subject to review, HHS has balanced
the wide range of available data on rate
and medical trend increases. HHS
reviewed available data and literature
on insurance rate increases in States and
general trends in health care costs. HHS
reviewed each State’s applicable Web
site, and determined that the
information related to rate trends posted
on these Web sites is limited. Our
review of the limited data available
suggests that the majority of increases in
the individual market exceeded 10
percent each year for the past 3 years.
These yearly increases significantly
exceed some national measures of
medical cost inflation, such as the
medical component of the Consumer
Price Index, whose inflation has
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typically ranged from 3.7 percent to 4.4
percent. The Centers for Medicare and
Medicaid Services’ National Health
Expenditures (NHE) data is another
measure of health care cost trends based
on overall national health care
spending. The five most recent years of
available NHE data suggest that overall
health care expenditures have increased
at an annual rate between 4.4 percent to
6.9 percent. Some commenters
suggested using these indices as
thresholds for a review of rate increases.
Another national index, the Standard &
Poor’s Healthcare Economic
Commercial Index, also measures
insurance rate trends. The S & P Index
measures trends in provider claims
costs, which encompasses both unit cost
and utilization changes; the trend in
that index from September 2009 to
September 2010 was 8.5 percent.
The 10 percent threshold established
in this regulation exceeds these major
indices and in doing so balances
industry concerns that any threshold
would be over-inclusive with the
competing concern that it would subject
to review too few rates that may be
unreasonable. As we discuss below,
when better and more specific data on
trends in insurance rates in individual
States can be collected, State-specific
thresholds would be established.
This approach does not provide for
the review of every proposed rate
increase, no matter how small, to
determine whether it is unreasonable.
We recognize that the choice of any
threshold makes it inevitable that
unreasonable rate increases below the
threshold will not be reviewed, and that
a proposed increase of less than 10
percent would be unreasonable if the
actuarial assumptions underlying the
increase were invalid or unreasonable.
In proposing this approach, HHS also
has taken into consideration the fact
that many States, as discussed below,
conduct a rate review process for all rate
increases without regard to the
magnitude of the increase. We expect
the number of States conducting such
reviews to increase in light of additional
resources provided under the rate
review grants and passage of State
legislation. Therefore, as a practical
matter, in a growing number of States,
there is even less likelihood that an
unreasonable increase below the
threshold would be implemented.
In this regulation, HHS proposes an
approach that balances the regulatory
burdens that would be imposed on both
the agency and the industry if every rate
increase, no matter how small, were to
be reviewed for unreasonableness
against the potential harm to consumers
should a small, but unreasonable,
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increase not be reviewed and the issuer
not be required to provide a final
justification for the increase. We invite
comments on whether 10 percent is a
reasonable threshold to apply in
determining which rate increases will
be subject to review.
In establishing an initial 10 percent
threshold for whether a rate increase is
subject to review, as discussed below,
HHS recognizes that rates, underlying
costs, and health care trends vary from
State to State. Many factors influence
the magnitude and frequency of
increases in the States, and a single,
national filing threshold does not reflect
all of the local variations. As a
consequence, HHS would propose, for
future calendar years, to establish Statespecific thresholds for each future
calendar year by September 15th of the
prior year. In determining each Statespecific threshold, HHS would consider
the State-specific data submitted for
each rate increase subject to review, and
also the State-specific data received by
HHS from those States that have
received ‘‘premium review grants’’ under
section 2794(c) of the PHS Act. To the
extent that a State insurance regulator
has other data that could serve as the
basis for a State-specific threshold, that
would be considered as well.
As discussed below, the State-specific
threshold would be based on the same
analysis used to develop the initial 10
percent threshold, but would be based
on data from the specific State, rather
than the national data we analyzed in
selecting the proposed 10 percent figure.
In response to the Request for
Comments, many commenters also
suggested that the rate review process
should not apply to rate increases in the
large group market. Currently, our
review of State law indicates that only
18 States have authority to review rates
for all or part of the large group market.
Applying this regulation to the large
group market would result in a process
that is not closely aligned with most
State processes upon which the
regulation is modeled. In addition,
many issuers are not accustomed to
submitting proposed rate increases for
review in this market. Finally,
purchasers in the large group market
have greater leverage than those in the
individual and small group markets,
and therefore may be better able to
avoid imposition of unreasonable rate
increases. For these reasons, under this
proposed regulation, rates in the large
group market would not be subject to
the rate review process we are
proposing. HHS solicits specific
comments on whether, in the future, if
rate increases in the large group market
were subject to a review process under
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section 2794, if that process should
differ from the process provided for in
this proposed regulation for the
individual and small group markets.
In recognition of the primary role
States have in reviewing rates today,
HHS would defer to the definitions used
under applicable State rate filing laws
when determining whether a rate filing
relates to health insurance coverage
offered in the individual market, small
group market, or large group market,
where such laws differ from the
definitions of these terms in the PHS
Act. HHS believes that deferring to the
definitions employed in State rate filing
laws ensures that the rate review
process under this proposed regulation
would not disrupt current State rate
filing and review practices; however, we
are soliciting public comment on
alternative approaches. We note that
this is solely for rate filing purposes.
Federal law distinctions in the
Affordable Care Act regarding group
size apply for all other purposes unless
otherwise specified. As discussed
below, where State rate filings laws do
not contain definitions of small and
large group markets, we propose to
employ the definitions in the Public
Health Service Act, with the caveat that
the number used for a cut-off between
small and large groups would remain at
50 employees, as is currently the case in
all States, even though States have the
option of using 100 employees prior to
2016, and a 100 employee cut-off would
be used after that date.
Rate increases for health insurance
coverage for ‘‘excepted benefits,’’ as
described in paragraph (1) of subsection
(c) of section 2791 of the PHS Act, or in
paragraphs (2), (3) or (4) of such
subsection, if the benefits are provided
under a separate policy, certificate of
contract of insurance, would also be
exempted from review under this
proposed regulation. Excepted benefits,
such as dental and vision, do not appear
to be a principal focus of the Affordable
Care Act, and the regulatory burden that
would be imposed on the industry and
HHS would not justify reviewing rate
increases for these benefits.
All rate increases that meet or exceed
the 10 percent threshold would be
reviewed, by the relevant State, or by
HHS in the smaller number of cases
where States do not yet have an
effective process in place. The proposed
regulation would use the definition of
States set forth in section 2791(d)(14) of
the PHS Act, which defines States to
include each of the several States, the
District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, the
Virgin Islands, Guam, American Samoa,
and the Northern Mariana Islands.
Consistent with the statutory
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requirement in section 2794 that the rate
review process be established ‘‘in
conjunction with the States,’’ the
proposed regulation provides that HHS
would adopt a State’s determination of
whether a rate increase is unreasonable
if the State has an effective rate review
program for rates filed in a particular
market. This element of the proposed
regulation preserves the primary role
States have today in reviewing rates. So
long as a State can conduct an effective
review of proposed rate increases that
meet or exceed the applicable threshold,
State determinations will be adopted by
HHS.
HHS expects that a significant
majority of States would currently meet
the standards for having an effective
review process in one or both of the
individual or small group markets, and
we anticipate the remainder would
likely establish an effective rate review
process as they obtain needed statutory
authority or implement new or
enhanced review procedures. More than
10 States indicated in their applications
for rate review grants they would be
seeking additional legislative authority
to enhance their existing processes.
HHS would evaluate whether a State
has an effective rate review program
based on four main factors, all of which
currently represent the best practices
among the many States which conduct
review today. The first factor is whether
the State receives from health insurance
issuers’ data and documentation
sufficient to determine whether a rate
increase is unreasonable. As noted
above, many States have these
provisions today. The second factor is
whether the State effectively reviews the
data and documentation submitted by
health insurance issuers in support of a
rate increase. The third factor is whether
the State review examines the
reasonableness of the assumptions used
by the issuer in developing its rate
proposal and the historic data
underlying those assumptions. The
proposed regulation also describes the
areas of analysis that a State’s review
would be required to include in order
for it to be deemed effective. The fourth
factor is whether the State applies a
standard set forth in statute or
regulation when making the
determination of whether a rate increase
is unreasonable. This proposed
regulation does not establish a standard
for unreasonableness that a State must
use or apply; nor does it require a
numerical standard to be applied under
State law to determine whether a rate
increase is unreasonable. Rather, a State
regulator would apply the applicable
standards that exist under State law.
Finally, we are soliciting public
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comment on whether the public’s ability
to comment on unreasonable rate
increases during the review process
should be considered as one criterion
for an effective rate review program.
As noted above, section 2794 does not
provide a definition of ‘‘unreasonable’’
rate increases. The proposed regulation
provides that States would apply the
standards set forth in State law or
regulation when determining whether a
rate increase is unreasonable. As
mentioned above, many States’ laws
provide that rates may not be approved,
or may not remain in effect, if they are
excessive or unreasonable in relation to
the benefits provided or fail to satisfy
other statutory standards. Specifically,
our review of States’ laws indicates that
43 of the 50 States currently have some
rate review process in either the
individual or small group markets, or
both. 16 States and the District of
Columbia explicitly prohibit insurance
rates from being excessive, inadequate,
or unfairly discriminatory. In addition,
13 States prohibit rates from being both
unreasonable in relation to the benefits
provided and excessive, inadequate, or
unfairly discriminatory. Finally, an
additional 14 States prohibit rates from
being unreasonable in relation to the
benefits provided. For the remaining 8
States, we did not identify any explicit
statutory standards that address the
unreasonableness of rates; however,
these States may use other legal tools
available to regulate unreasonable rates.
In addition, based on the rate review
grant applications, some Territories
either have a rate review process in
place today, or expect to implement a
process in the future.
When a State with an effective rate
review program determines whether a
rate increase violates the standards set
forth in State law and therefore whether
the increase is unreasonable, HHS
would adopt that determination and
would not conduct an independent
review of the State’s determination.
Given this proposed regulation, and the
rate review grants made available to
States under Section 2794 of the PHS
Act, it is likely that, as States gain rate
review authority and improve their rate
review programs, the number of States
in which HHS would be conducting
reviews would diminish over time.
For rate increases filed in markets for
which a State does not have an effective
rate review process, HHS would
conduct a review of the proposed rate
increases to determine whether they are
unreasonable until such time as the
State implements an effective review
process in that market. This proposed
regulation provides that where HHS
conducts rate reviews, the standard for
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unreasonable would be whether the rate
increase is ‘‘excessive,’’ ‘‘unjustified,’’ or
‘‘unfairly discriminatory.’’ The proposed
regulation lists the factors that HHS
would consider when determining if a
rate increase is excessive, unjustified or
unfairly discriminatory, and therefore,
unreasonable.
Consistent with the statutory
requirement that a ‘‘justification’’ be
filed before an unreasonable rate may be
implemented, the regulation also
proposes to require that for rate
increases that are subject to review
(because they meet or exceed the 10
percent review threshold), a preliminary
justification would have to be submitted
to the applicable State in which the
increase is proposed to be implemented,
as long as a State accepts such
submissions, and to HHS. The
regulation sets out the proposed
contents of the preliminary justification.
The preliminary justification would be
divided into three parts, each part
having a different purpose. The
proposed regulation would require
health insurance issuers to complete
parts one and two of the preliminary
justification, regardless of whether a
State or HHS is reviewing the rate
increase. The information that would be
contained in parts one and two of the
preliminary justification is intended to
provide consumers with a description of
the rate increase and the factors
contributing to the increase, including
both a descriptive and a quantitative
analysis.
The information required to be
provided in the preliminary justification
supplements, and does not conflict
with, State laws specifying what issuers
must file with the State when they
propose to increase rates. Those laws
continue to govern what the issuer must
file with the State, and would be
unaffected by this proposed regulation
and the requirement that the
preliminary justification must be filed
with HHS.
When HHS is reviewing a rate
increase, issuers would be required to
submit the additional data required
under part three of the preliminary
justification in order to allow HHS to
conduct a comprehensive actuarial
review of the increase. The specific data
reporting requirements in part three of
the preliminary justification are
modeled on the actuarial memorandum
guidelines included in NAIC Model
Regulation 134–1. In the event the level
of detail provided by a health insurance
issuer does not provide a sufficient basis
for HHS to review a rate increase, HHS
would request from the health insurance
issuer the additional information
necessary to complete its review.
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Parts one and two of the preliminary
justification would promptly be posted
to the HHS Web site so that insurance
consumers are on notice of proposed
increases and have basic information
about the factors the issuer asserts are
causing the increase. HHS will also post
on its Web site before any information
contained in part three of the
preliminary justification that has not
been designated as ‘‘confidential’’ as
defined in HHS’s Freedom of
Information Act regulations, 45 CFR
§ 5.65. HHS will make a determination
as to whether to post information
designated as ‘‘confidential’’ under the
standards and procedure set forth in
those regulations, and will post that
information only after making a
determination that it is subject to
disclosure as provided by those
regulations.
If HHS reviews a rate increase and
determines it to be unreasonable, HHS
would provide its final determination to
the health insurance issuer. If the issuer
chooses not to implement the
unreasonable rate increase, or to
implement a lower increase than it had
proposed and such lower increase is
below the applicable subject to review
threshold, the issuer would be required
to provide a final notification to this
effect to HHS. If the issuer chooses to
implement a lower increase but the
lower increase is above the applicable
subject to review threshold, the lower
increase would be subject to review and
the issuer would be required to submit
a new preliminary justification. If the
issuer implements an unreasonable rate
increase, it would have to provide to
HHS a final justification in response to
HHS’s determination of
unreasonableness. HHS would post its
final determination and the issuer’s
final notification or final justification on
its Web site. If the issuer chooses to
implement the rate increase, it would be
required to post its preliminary
justification, HHS’s determination and
its final justification on its Web site.
One of the elements of an effective
rate review program, discussed more
fully below, is that the State’s review
would include an analysis of certain
specific factors set forth in this
proposed regulation and which are
based on the common practices that
States employ today. In addition, the
State would provide to the issuer and to
HHS its determination of whether a rate
increase is unreasonable, along with an
explanation of how its analysis of the
factors set forth in the proposed
regulation caused it to arrive at that
determination. HHS would adopt
determinations made by States with
effective rate review programs. When
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HHS has adopted a State’s
determination as to whether a rate
increase is unreasonable, HHS would
post the State’s final determination on
its Web site, together with the issuer’s
final justification in the event that the
issuer chose to implement a rate
increase that was determined to be
unreasonable by the State.
B. Definitions (§ 154.102)
The proposed regulation provides the
following key definitions that would
apply to the rate review process used by
HHS, and to its determination regarding
whether a rate increase is unreasonable.
The definitions are discussed here
because they are unique to this
regulation or may be of particular
interest to enrollees, health insurance
issuers, consumers, regulators, and
others. Defined terms that conform to
definitions commonly used in the
health insurance industry, such as
‘‘insurance,’’ or that have already been
defined in Federal law, are not
discussed here.
1. Individual Market and Small Group
Market
As discussed above, in order to ensure
that the rate review process outlined in
the proposed regulation is consistent
with the process used by States in
performing rate reviews, and in order to
avoid any disruption to the current State
rate filing and review practices, the
definitions of ‘‘individual market’’ and
‘‘small group market’’ would be defined
as they are under the applicable State’s
rate filing laws, if such laws include
such definitions. For example, several
States define a small group to include 2
to 25 employees for rating purposes, and
the small group rating requirements in
these States do not apply to groups with
26 or more employees. Further, certain
States consider association plans to be
large employers for rating purposes. In
such circumstances, and only for this
purpose, HHS would defer to applicable
State law when determining whether a
rate increase in that State relates to the
small group market. For all other
purposes the definitions set forth in the
PHS Act govern as applicable.
In addition, for purposes of rate
review under this regulation only, if the
State rate filing law does not include a
definition of small or large group, the
definition under the PHS Act would be
used, except that a small group would
be defined to include 1 to 50 employees.
Currently, under the Affordable Care
Act definitions, States have the option
until 2016 of using 50 or 100 as the
cutoff for a small group, with 100
applying after that date, and all States
have elected the 50 option. Thus, if
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there are no definitions of small and
large group in a State’s rate filing law,
this proposed regulation would define
‘‘small group’’ to include 1 to 50
employees.
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2. Unreasonable Rate Increase
The proposed regulation defines a rate
increase as ‘‘unreasonable’’ if it is
‘‘unjustified,’’ ‘‘excessive,’’ or ‘‘unfairly
discriminatory,’’ as these terms are more
fully described in § 154.205, but this
proposed definition would apply only
to rate increases that are reviewed by
HHS, and would not create a Federal
standard for States to use when
determining whether a rate increase is
unreasonable. These terms are described
consistently with the standards that are
most commonly used by States to
identify rate increases that are not in
compliance with State law.
Since HHS would be adopting the
determinations of States with an
effective rate review program, the
proposed regulation includes in the
definition of ‘‘unreasonable rate
increase,’’ those rate increases that have
been determined by a State to be
excessive, unjustified, unfairly
discriminatory or otherwise
unreasonable under applicable State
law. Accordingly, a State with an
effective review program would be
permitted to use any applicable
standards set forth in statute or
regulation for determining whether a
rate increase that is subject to review is
unreasonable. This serves to preserve
and recognize existing State laws
relating to unreasonable rates. HHS
recognizes that factors other than those
addressed in the proposed regulation
may be viewed as potentially impacting
the reasonableness of a rate, including
the structure and competitiveness of the
market, and we are therefore soliciting
public comment to identify these factors
and whether they should be considered
in determining whether a rate increase
is unreasonable.
C. Applicability (§ 154.103)
The requirements of this proposed
regulation would generally be
applicable to all health insurance
issuers offering small group or
individual health insurance coverage in
a State.
Section 2794 of the PHS Act does not
apply to grandfathered health plan
coverage (See 45 CFR 147.140 (75 FR
34538, June 17, 2010, as amended by 75
FR 70114, November 17, 2010)), so these
proposed regulations similarly would
not apply to such coverage.
In addition, insurance coverage that
meets the ‘‘excepted benefits’’ definition
set forth in section 2791(c) of the PHS
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Act and 45 CFR 144.103 would not be
subject to these proposed regulations.
While ‘‘excepted benefits’’ are not
explicitly exempt from section 2794 of
the PHS Act, they are exempt from other
provisions of the PHS Act, as added by
the Affordable Care Act. ‘‘Excepted
benefits’’ do not appear to be the focus
of the rate review provisions of the
Affordable Care Act. Therefore, the
proposed regulation would exempt
‘‘excepted benefits,’’ to allow for the
consistent administration of the PHS
Act with respect to these defined
benefits.
While HHS recognizes that the rate
review provisions of section 2794 of the
PHS Act do not specify to which
particular segments of the insurance
market the rate review provisions apply,
and contain no specific exclusion for
the large group market, HHS proposes
that these provisions should only apply
to the small group and individual
market at this time. The significant
majority of States focus their efforts on
review of rates within the small group
and individual markets. Purchasers in
the large group market are viewed as
more sophisticated purchasers, who
may have greater leverage and therefore
better ability to avoid the imposition of
unreasonable rate increases, also
mitigating the need for more active
regulation. Many States have limited
authority over the large group market, so
under the framework set out in this
regulation, few States could satisfy the
standards for an effective review process
in the large group market. Taking these
factors into consideration, as noted
above, these proposed regulations
would not apply to the large group
market. HHS may, however, revise these
regulations at a future date to cover such
plans, and solicits specific comments on
whether, in the future, if rate increases
in the large group market were subject
to a review process under Section 2794,
that process should be different than the
one provided for in this regulation for
the small and individual group markets.
Although section 2794 of the PHS Act
directs that implementation of the
annual rate review process begin with
the 2010 plan year, the rate review
process established in the proposed
regulation would begin implementation
with rate increases filed in a State on or
after July 1, 2011, or effective on or after
July 1, 2011 in a State that does not
require rate increases to be filed, due to
several factors. At the time that the
Affordable Care Act amendments to the
PHS Act first became effective, on
March 23, 2010, many health insurance
issuers had already implemented rate
increases for the 2010 plan or policy
year, and many more had taken
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81009
necessary steps to implement increases
in the immediate months that followed.
Since that time, in fulfilling the statute’s
directive that an effective rate review
program be developed in conjunction
with the States, the National
Association of Insurance Commissioners
(NAIC) has been working to develop
appropriate reporting and disclosure
mechanisms, and HHS has provided
input into this development process.
HHS also deemed it appropriate to
solicit public comments prior to the
promulgation of this proposed
regulation, through the Request for
Comments published on April 14, 2010.
Finally, this regulation is being issued
in proposed form, with opportunity for
further comments which specifically
address this proposed regulation.
Therefore, as noted, the rate review
process outlined in this proposed
regulation would begin with rate
increases filed in a State on or after July
1, 2011 or effective on or after July 1,
2011 in a State that does not require rate
increases to be filed.
D. Rate Increases Subject To Review
(§ 154.200)
1. Applicable Threshold for Rate
Increases Subject To Review
As explained previously, while
section 2794 of the PHS Act directs the
Secretary to establish a process for the
annual review of unreasonable increases
in ‘‘premiums,’’ HHS has interpreted this
as referring to the underlying ‘‘rates’’ that
are used to develop the premiums. This
is consistent with how these terms are
most commonly used by State regulators
and the insurance industry. Often, the
rate review process performed by States
is one that reviews changes to the rating
structure for a plan or policy, as
opposed to premium increases within
the plan or policy that are derived from
the underlying rating structure.
Therefore a ‘‘rate increase’’ alters the
underlying rate structure of a policy
form, while a ‘‘premium increase’’ can
occur even without any increase (or
change) to the underlying rate structure.
For example, for policies that are agerated, as the duration of the policy
advances, premium changes that
correlate with age bands are not ‘‘rate
increases,’’ since they do not change the
underlying rate structure. For these
reasons, the term ‘‘rate’’ is used instead
of the statutory term ‘‘premium’’
throughout the text of the proposed
regulation.
Since it is not possible under the
provisions of this proposed regulation to
know before conducting a review of a
proposed rate increase whether it is
‘‘unreasonable,’’ the process that would
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be established must provide for the
review of a range of proposed rate
increases, some of which ultimately
would be determined to be
unreasonable, while others would not.
This proposed regulation therefore
provides that for health insurance
coverage offered in the individual or
small group market all proposed rate
increases above the defined threshold
would be ‘‘subject to review.’’ In
establishing a threshold for rate
increases subject to review, the
Secretary has balanced the need to set
a standard that would effectively
capture unreasonable increases, while
avoiding unnecessary filing burdens for
health insurance issuers with regard to
increases that are likely to be
reasonable.
The review of a rate increase subject
to review, and the determination of
whether the rate increase is
unreasonable, must take into account
the unique experience of a health
insurance product and cannot be subject
to a simple, fixed value. Therefore,
under the proposed rule, a rate increase
that is subject to review would not be
per se unreasonable. For 2011, the
threshold for whether a rate increase is
subject to review is a rate increase of 10
percent or more. This applies not only
to a single rate increase, but also to
multiple rate increases of less than 10
percent that, when added to one or more
previous increases within the preceding
12 month period, total 10 percent or
more.
In establishing the 10 percent
threshold, as noted earlier, HHS
reviewed available data and literature
on insurance rate increases in States and
general trends in health care costs. HHS
reviewed each State’s applicable Web
site, and determined that the
information related to rate trends posted
on these Web sites is limited. A small
number of States make available data on
rate increases in different insurance
market segments in that State. Our
review of this data suggests that the
majority of increases in the individual
market exceeded 10 percent each year
for the past 3 years. Trends are slightly
lower in the small group market, but
over 40 percent of increases still
exceeded 10 percent. In fact, in the
States examined, rate increases in the
individual market and small group
market typically exceeded 15 percent.
These yearly increases significantly
exceed some national measures of
medical cost inflation, such as the
medical component of the Consumer
Price Index, whose inflation has
typically ranged from 3.7 percent to 4.4
percent. The Centers for Medicare and
Medicaid Services’ National Health
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Expenditures (NHE) data is another
measure of health care cost trends based
on overall national health care
spending. The five most recent years of
available NHE data suggest that overall
health care expenditures have increased
at an annual rate between 4.4 percent to
6.9 percent. Commenters point out that
the factors which account for the NHE
or the medical component of the CPI are
different than the various components
that account for increases in insurance
rates. For example, the medical
component of CPI does not take into
account utilization of health care
services, or the risk profiles of specific
populations but is instead based on
prices for certain services provided to
the general population. Health
insurance rates are affected, not only by
the prices charged by the providers of
health care services, but also by changes
in the rate at which those services are
accessed and the characteristics of the
group covered by the insurance.
Another national index, the Standard &
Poor’s Healthcare Economic
Commercial Index, also measures
insurance rate trends. The S & P Index
measures trends in provider claims
costs, which encompasses both unit cost
and utilization changes; the trend in
that index from September 2009 to
September 2010 was 8.5 percent.
In establishing a 10 percent threshold
for determining which rates are subject
to review, HHS has balanced the wide
range of available data on rate and
medical trend increases. If, for example,
the NHE or medical component of the
CPI represented an accurate measure of
insurance rate trends, then a threshold
for review could be established
consistent with those indices under the
theory that rate increases in line with
those trends were reasonable because
they tracked medical cost trends
generally, and increases that exceed
those measures are more likely to be
unreasonable. However, since neither of
those particular measures captures the
many factors that affect insurance rates,
using those measures as a threshold for
reviewing rates under section 2794
would be over-inclusive. Under that
approach, rather than capturing
potentially unreasonable or excessive
rate increases, almost all rate increases
would be subject to review. Such a
result would not be consistent with the
intent of section 2794. For these
reasons, a 10 percent threshold is a
reasonable accommodation between the
observed, but limited data available
regarding trends in rate increases in the
States, and the available but not
precisely comparable data on general
trends in health care costs and
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spending, and recognizes that other
factors may justify a larger rate increase.
As noted earlier, the Secretary would
seek to establish a State-specific
threshold for each future calendar year
no later than September 15th of the
preceding calendar year, beginning in
2011, provided applicable State-specific
trend data is available. If a State-specific
threshold is not established by the
Secretary for an applicable calendar
year, the 10 percent threshold would
continue to apply.
A State-specific threshold, to the
extent it can be developed, would be
based on the same kind of analysis used
in establishing the proposed 10 percent
threshold, but would account for Statespecific variations in rate increases
based on the cost of health care,
utilization patterns, and other factors
affecting health insurance rates in a
State. HHS would use trend data and
other information made available to
HHS from States receiving premium
review grants and through the reporting
and notification requirements of this
proposed regulation to develop Statespecific thresholds, when possible.
In developing the 10 percent
threshold, the Secretary considered the
level of aggregation that should apply
when determining whether a rate
increase meets or exceeds the threshold,
and the Secretary received numerous
comments on this issue. Comments
received from issuers, the American
Academy of Actuaries, and industry
groups proposed the use of a higher
level of aggregation of multiple policy
forms to improve statistical credibility.
Typically, this aggregation occurs
within a market segment. Consumer
groups, on the other hand, generally
favored lower levels of aggregation.
Finally, various State regulators sent
comments describing how individual
State rate review laws affect the level of
aggregation used in performing rate
reviews.
In considering the broad range of
perspectives represented by the
comments on aggregation, the proposed
regulation requires the consideration of
rate increases at the ‘‘product’’ level
when determining whether the increase
is subject to review. Product would be
defined under this proposed regulation
as a package of health insurance
coverage benefits with a discrete set of
rating and pricing methodologies that a
health insurance issuer offers in a State.
Most States require issuers to submit
each ‘‘product’’ as a separate form filing
prior to marketing the ‘‘product’’ in the
State. While each filed ‘‘product’’ may
include variable options (such as
different cost-sharing or deductible
requirements), this definition,
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consistent with State law, does not
consider each variable option as a
separate ‘‘product.’’ Any rate increase for
a product that meets or exceeds the
applicable threshold is subject to
review. However, if an issuer has rate
increases that meet or exceed the
applicable threshold for multiple
products, the issuer may submit a
single, combined preliminary
justification for those products
combined, provided (i) the experience
of all combined products has been
aggregated to calculate the rate
increases, and (ii) the rate increase is the
same across all combined products.
2. Determining Whether a Rate Increase
Meets or Exceeds the Threshold
A rate increase would meet or exceed
the applicable threshold if the weighted
average increase for all enrollees subject
to the rate increase meets or exceeds the
applicable threshold. In this case, the
weighted average takes into account the
number of enrollees affected by each
particular rate increase and represents
the given increase proportionately.
Specifically, we assume that different
subcategories of enrollees will
experience varying rate increases. The
weighted average is calculated as
follows: For each subcategory of
enrollees subject to the same rate
increase, we multiply the number of
enrollees by the respective rate increase.
The products are then summed over all
subcategories. The sum is then divided
by the total number of enrollees to
arrive at the weighted average rate
increase.
A rate increase meets or exceeds the
threshold either by itself, or when
considered cumulatively with any
previous rate increases implemented
with respect to the product during the
preceding 12-month period. Therefore, a
single rate increase which by itself falls
below the applicable threshold must be
aggregated with rate increases
implemented during the 12 month
period preceding its effective date in
order to determine whether it is subject
to review. If a rate increase meets or
exceeds the threshold when combined
with a previous increase or increases
during the 12-month period preceding
the date on which the rate increase
would become effective, the rate
increase is subject to review, and such
review shall include a review of the
aggregate rate increases during the
applicable 12-month period.
E. Review of Rate Increases Subject To
Review by a State or by HHS (§ 154.210)
As noted above, under this proposed
regulation, States would continue to
have primary responsibility for the
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review of rate increases. HHS would
only review rates when a State has not
yet established a process, including
adequate legal authority, to do so. While
not every State is currently equipped to
conduct an effective review of insurance
rates, the significant majority of States
have a review process for some or all of
the individual or small group markets,
and many are planning to expand their
authority to review rates using the
grants provided in the Affordable Care
Act detailed below. We fully expect that
the vast majority of States will be able
to conduct effective reviews in the
future, should they choose to.
A Kaiser Family Foundation survey
designed to explore what rate review
authority States have and how they
exercise it, identifies various reasons
that explain why there is wide variation
in the review of rate increases by
States.2 Some States have no legislative
authority to approve or disapprove
rates, while others have the authority to
approve rates prior to implementation,
or disapprove rates before or after
implementation. Among States with
robust legislative authority, a thorough
rate review is contingent on State
resources, staffing, and statutory
timelines. The effectiveness of a State
rate review program depends on State
law as well as insurance department
resources and practices, and will be
determined, for purposes of this
regulation, based on the State’s ability to
meet the criteria set forth in § 154.301.
Section 2794(c) of the PHS Act
established a program to award
‘‘premium review grants.’’ Section
2794(c) makes available a total of $250
million through 2014 for the provision
of grants to States to support their
efforts to enhance review of premium
increases. These grants are available to
States with the goal of improving
existing rate review programs,
developing rate review programs in
States where none exist, and improving
the transparency of the rate review
process for the public. On August 16,
2010 HHS announced the first cycle of
grant awards totaling the amount of $46
million to build upon States’ current
processes for reviewing, and to the
extent permitted by State law,
approving health insurance premium
increases. Forty-five States and the
District of Columbia applied for grants,
and each was awarded $1 million in
grant funds.
In applying for the first phase of these
grants in 2010, some States indicated a
2 Kaiser Family Foundation, ‘‘Rate Review:
Spotlight on State Efforts to Make Health Insurance
More Affordable,’’ December 2010, available at
https://www.kff.org/healthreform/upload/8122.pdf.
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need for additional resources to make
the State’s rate review program more
effective. Many States indicated they
lacked funding to hire actuaries and to
secure other resources essential to a
meaningful rate review program.
Therefore, the rate review process under
this proposed regulation, in conjunction
with the rate review grant program,
would enhance the quality and quantity
of review of rate increases that States are
able to conduct, building on their
existing efforts and processes.
By requiring the Secretary to develop
a rate review process in conjunction
with the States, Congress also
recognized that many States have
significant experience reviewing rate
increases and understand the local
market forces driving health insurance
rate increases. Therefore, HHS is
proposing a rate review process that
leverages State experience and
expertise.
Section 154.210 of the proposed
regulation sets forth the factors that
would determine whether HHS would
review rate increases that are subject to
review or whether HHS would adopt the
determination made by a State regarding
whether a rate increase is an
unreasonable rate increase. To the
extent that a State has an effective rate
review program in a given market, as
evaluated by HHS using the criteria set
forth more fully below, HHS would
adopt that State’s determinations
regarding rate increases subject to the
State’s review in a given market.
Accordingly, upon receipt of the State’s
final determination and explanation for
its determination, HHS would adopt the
determination of a State that has an
effective rate review program regarding
whether a rate increase is unreasonable
under applicable State law. If a State
does not have an effective rate review
program in place for the individual or
small group markets within the State,
only then would HHS review rate
increases and make its own
determinations of whether the rate
increases are unreasonable.
F. Effective Rate Review Program
(§ 154.301)
1. General Criteria for an Effective Rate
Review Program
This regulation sets out specific
criteria, set forth in § 154.301(a), for
evaluating whether a State has an
effective rate review program in the
individual and small group markets.
Specifically defining these criteria
provides transparency to the rate review
process as these criteria are readily
available to the States, health insurance
issuers, and consumers. These criteria
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were developed solely for the purpose
of establishing the standards that HHS
would use to evaluate, in consultation
with the States, whether a State’s rate
review process is effective, or whether
HHS would conduct rate reviews and
make a determination as to whether a
rate increase is unreasonable. Since a
State may be in the process of
improving its rate review program, and
may be using grant funds and other
resources for this purpose, HHS would
make its determination based on the
State’s existing rate review program,
including any recent changes made that
would satisfy the criteria for an effective
rate review program set forth in
§ 154.301(a).
Under proposed § 154.301(a)(1), we
set forth four criteria for an effective rate
review program. These criteria are
drawn from common practices that
States use today for effective reviews.
Underlying these proposed criteria is
the principle that the purpose of an
effective rate review program is to
affirmatively determine, based on
substantial evidence on the record as a
whole, whether a rate increase is an
unreasonable rate increase. The
proposed regulation specifies that in
order for a State’s rate review program
to be considered effective, the State
needs to have the legal authority to
obtain data and documentation that is
sufficient to conduct an effective
examination. The State would also be
required to effectively review data and
documentation submitted in support of
rate increases. An effective rate review
program would have to include an
examination of both (i) the
reasonableness of the assumptions used
by the health insurance issuer in
developing the rate proposal and the
validity of historical data underlying
such assumptions; and (ii) the issuer’s
data related to past projections and
actuarial experience. As is the case for
those States conducting effective review
today, this examination of assumptions
and past projections would be required
to include analyses of at least the
following twelve areas that typically
impact rates:
• Medical trend changes by major
service categories;
• Utilization changes by major service
categories;
• Cost-sharing changes by major
service categories;
• Benefit changes;
• Changes in enrollee risk profile;
• Impact of over- or under-estimate of
medical trend in previous years on the
current rate;
• Reserve needs;
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• Administrative costs related to
programs that improve health care
quality;
• Other administrative costs;
• Applicable taxes, licensing or
regulatory fees;
• Medical loss ratio; and
• The health insurance issuer’s riskbased capital status relative to national
standards.
Finally, the State’s determination of
whether a rate increase is unreasonable
would be made under a standard that is
set forth in State statute or regulation.
As noted above, 43 States have some
standard under State law that would
apply to the review of unreasonable
rates. This proposed regulation does not
establish a standard that States must
apply.
2. HHS’s Determination Whether a State
Has an Effective Rate Review Program
We fully expect that the vast majority
of States will be able to conduct
effective reviews in the future. HHS
expects that the majority of States
would currently meet the standards for
having an effective review process, and
many more would become effective
review States as they obtain needed
statutory authority or implement new or
enhanced rate review processes. So long
as a State can conduct an effective
review of proposed rate increases that
meet or exceed the applicable threshold,
States will not be ‘‘second-guessed’’ by
HHS. Working with the States, HHS
would evaluate whether a State’s rate
review program meets the requirements
of an effective rate review program set
forth in § 154.301(a) based on
documentation and information
received from the State through the
grant process, through review of
applicable State law, and through any
other information otherwise available to
HHS. Unless a State were no longer
conducting reviews in accordance with
the criteria set forth in proposed
§ 154.301(a), HHS would not conduct
reviews for rate filings in that State. If
after an initial determination has been
made by HHS that a State’s rate review
program is not effective, HHS would
subsequently be able to determine that
later improvements made by the State to
its rate review program have made it an
effective rate review program. HHS
would post on its Web site a list of those
States having effective rate review
programs, and would update this list
from time to time, as appropriate.
G. Unreasonable Rate Increases
(§ 154.205)
Under the proposed regulation, when
HHS reviews a rate increase, HHS
would determine that the rate increase
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is an unreasonable rate increase if the
increase is an excessive rate increase, an
unjustified rate increase, or an unfairly
discriminatory rate increase. The factors
that make a rate increase excessive,
unjustified or unfairly discriminatory
are described in 154.205. HHS would
consider all of these factors in
determining whether a rate increase is
unreasonable. The factors used to
determine whether a rate increase is
unreasonable would only apply to rate
increases that are reviewed by HHS.
Each State would apply its own State
standards when reviewing a rate
increase to determine whether it is
unreasonable.
HHS recognizes that factors other than
those addressed in the proposed
regulation may be viewed as potentially
impacting the reasonableness of a rate,
including the structure and
competitiveness of the market, and we
are therefore soliciting public comment
to identify these factors and whether
they should be considered in
determining whether a rate increase is
unreasonable.
1. Excessive Rate Increase
An excessive rate increase is a rate
increase that is subject to review and
that causes the premium charged for the
health insurance coverage to be
unreasonably high in relation to the
benefits provided. HHS recognizes that
identifying objective measures that
would be considered in determining
whether a rate increase is excessive
would be helpful to both issuers and the
public. The proposed regulation
therefore would describe several
objective measures that HHS would
consider in determining whether a rate
increase causes the premiums charged
to be unreasonably high in relation to
the benefits provided.
First, HHS would consider whether
the rate increase results in a projected
future loss ratio below the Federal
medical loss ratio (MLR) standard
determined under section 2718 of the
PHS Act for the applicable market to
which the rate increase applies. HHS
recognizes that under the regulations
implementing the MLR standards, 75 FR
74864 (December 1, 2010), generally
issuers must meet the relevant MLR
standard in each State by aggregating all
of their business in a particular market
segment. The consequence of this
approach is that an issuer may meet the
MLR standard in the aggregate even if a
particular insurance product does not
meet the relevant standard so long as
the combination of all products in the
market by the issuer meets the Federal
standard. Therefore, while the MLR is
not a determinative factor, MLR
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standards serve as a benchmark against
which the reasonableness of rates are
measured in the industry and the
approach that would be adopted under
this proposed rule is consistent with the
approach taken in States that have had
MLR standards under State law. Under
this proposed approach, if an issuer
proposed an increase of 10 percent or
more (an increase that would be subject
to review) for one or more individual
market products, and the projected MLR
for the product or products was below
80 percent, the increase nonetheless
would not necessarily be considered
excessive if the issuer could
demonstrate that the aggregate MLR for
all products in the individual market in
that State would be at or above 80
percent.
Notably, the Federal MLR standard
under the Public Health Service Act also
takes into account certain adjustments
such as credibility adjustments to
account for newer and smaller plans
and other special cases. HHS would
consider the issuer’s adjusted Federal
medical loss ratio in the applicable
market to which the rate increase
applies when determining whether an
increase is excessive.
Second, in determining whether a rate
increase is excessive, HHS would
consider whether one or more of the
assumptions on which the rate increase
is based are not supported by
substantial evidence. Finally, HHS
would consider whether the choice of
assumptions or combination of
assumptions on which the rate increase
is based is unreasonable.
2. Unjustified Rate Increase
Included in this proposed regulation
are provisions that would require health
insurance issuers to provide a defined
set of data and documentation to HHS,
to permit HHS to determine whether a
rate increase is ‘‘unjustified.’’ A
proposed rate increase that is subject to
review would be ‘‘unjustified’’ if the
health insurance issuer provides data or
documentation to HHS in connection
with the increase that is incomplete,
inadequate or otherwise does not
provide a basis upon which the
reasonableness of an increase may be
determined. Therefore, issuers would be
required to provide data and
documentation that is sufficient for HHS
to conduct a meaningful review of a rate
increase.
3. Unfairly Discriminatory Rate Increase
Under the proposed regulation, an
unfairly discriminatory rate increase is
one that results in premium differences
for a particular product between
insureds within similar risk categories
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that are not permissible under
applicable State law or, if no State law
applies, do not reasonably correspond to
differences in expected costs. In this
context, a risk category is a
classification of a group of insureds who
share a common set of descriptive
characteristics, such as age or
geographic location, and are covered
under a single product. Health
insurance issuers charge different
premiums to insureds that fall within
different risk categories.
More than 25 States prohibit health
insurance rates from being unfairly
discriminatory. Therefore, the proposed
regulation would define an
unreasonable rate increase to include an
unfairly discriminatory rate increase. In
order to develop the factors that would
make a rate increase an unfairly
discriminatory rate increase, HHS
reviewed factors applied by States to
determine whether a rate increase is
unfairly discriminatory.
In our review, we concluded that
States determine whether a rate increase
is unfairly discriminatory based on the
specific rating requirements under
applicable State law. For example, if a
State’s rating law prohibits price
discrimination within a rating cell (a
subcategory of enrollees with particular
characteristics in common, such as age,
geographical location or tobacco status),
a rate increase in that State would be
unfairly discriminatory if the increase
varied between individuals with the
same characteristics within a given
rating cell. If a State’s rating law
requires community rating (the practice
of charging a common, unadjusted
premium to all members of a diverse
pool who may have widely varied
health spending for the year) or
prohibits the use of a specific rating
factor such as geographical location, age
or tobacco status, a rate increase in that
State would be unfairly discriminatory
if the increase was calculated based on
a prohibited rating factor or does not
account for pooled experience under the
State’s community rating requirements.
Therefore, under the proposed
regulation, an unfairly discriminatory
rate increase would be one that results
in premium differences not permissible
under applicable State law between
insureds within similar risk categories
or, if no State law applies, do not
reasonably correspond to differences in
expected costs. This approach would
give deference to applicable State rating
laws, and give HHS the ability to
determine that a rate increase is unfairly
discriminatory in the absence of
applicable State law.
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H. Issuer Disclosure Required Under
Part 154
1. Preliminary Justification
The proposed regulation would
require health insurance issuers to
submit a preliminary justification for all
rate increases subject to review,
regardless of whether a State or HHS is
reviewing the rate increase. The format
of the preliminary justification would be
provided in guidance. In order to
minimize the burden on health
insurance issuers to complete the
preliminary justification, HHS is
developing a web-based program that
would allow health insurance issuers to
complete and submit the preliminary
justification electronically. The
information contained in parts one and
two of the preliminary justification
would be intended to provide
consumers with a thorough description
of the rate increase, including both a
narrative descriptive and a quantitative
analysis. Further, parts one and two
would provide consumers with the
context necessary to interpret a State’s
or HHS’s determination as to whether a
rate increase is unreasonable. HHS is
sensitive to placing an increased
reporting burden on health insurance
issuers, but believes that the majority of
issuers would have the information
required in parts one and two of the
preliminary justification readily
available, since this is the type of
information generally used by issuers to
calculate their rates.
In developing the requirements for
parts one and two of the proposed
preliminary justification, HHS has
reviewed and incorporated elements
from a comparable form developed by
the NAIC over a period of several
months. For example, State regulators
expressed the view that consumers need
more than just quantitative information,
such as cost and utilization trend
factors, to interpret a rate increase.
Regulators recommended that issuers be
required to provide a narrative
explanation of applicable rate increases
that supports and explains the key
quantitative information associated with
the increase. The narrative also should
describe, in a straightforward fashion,
the rationale for the rate increase. The
preliminary justification therefore
would require issuers to provide high
level quantitative data associated with a
rate increase along with a written
narrative explaining the increase.
If HHS is responsible for reviewing a
rate increase, HHS would conduct a
comprehensive actuarial review of the
increase. In this case, issuers would be
required to submit additional
information in part three of the
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preliminary justification. As noted
above, the specific proposed data
reporting requirements in part three of
the preliminary justification are
modeled on the actuarial memorandum
guidelines included in NAIC Model
Regulation 134–1. These guidelines set
forth reasonable standards for reporting
and justifying rate increases, and this
type of data comprises a typical rate
filing in those States that require rates
to be filed. Therefore, HHS anticipates
that these data would be readily
available to most issuers. Shortly
following the release of this proposed
rule, HHS will release via the Federal
Register a draft version of the
preliminary justification for public
comment. The draft preliminary
justification will provide the formatting
and reporting instructions for each of
the reporting categories listed in the
regulation.
Part one of the preliminary
justification, titled ‘‘rate increase
summary,’’ would require issuers to
submit the following data underlying
the rate increase:
(1) Historical and projected claims
experience;
(2) Trend projections related to
utilization, and service or unit cost;
(3) Any claims assumptions related to
benefit changes;
(4) Allocation of the overall rate
increase to claims and non-claims costs;
(5) Per enrollee per month allocation
of current and projected premium;
(6) Current loss ratio and projected
loss ratio;
(7) Three year history of rate increases
for the product associated with the rate
increase; and
(8) Employee and executive
compensation data from the health
insurance issuer’s annual financial
statements.
Under part two of the preliminary
justification, titled ‘‘written description
justifying the rate increase,’’ a health
insurance issuer would be required to
provide a written description of the rate
increase, including: (1) An explanation
of the rating methodology (that is, the
method used to apply various rating
factors, such as cost trends or benefit
design, to the development of an
insurance rate, as well as the formulae
employed to apply those factors); (2) an
explanation of the most significant
factors causing the rate increase,
including a brief description of the
relevant claims and non-claims expense
increases reported in the rate increase
summary; and (3) a brief description of
the overall experience of the policy,
including historical and projected
expenses and loss ratios.
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Again, a health insurance issuer
would be required to complete and
submit sections one and two of the
preliminary justification for all rate
increases subject to review, regardless of
whether HHS or a State is reviewing the
rate increase. Issuers would be required
to complete part three titled, ‘‘rate filing
documentation,’’ only in the event HHS
is reviewing the rate increase. The rate
filing documentation supports parts one
and two of the preliminary justification,
and the proposed regulation lists the
following broad reporting data
categories that would be required under
part three, consistent with NAIC model
requirements:
(1) Description of the type of policy,
benefits, renewability, general
marketing method and issue age limits;
(2) Scope and reason for the rate
increase;
(3) Average annual premium per
policy, before and after the rate increase;
(4) Past experience, and any other
alternative or additional data used;
(5) A description of how the rate
increase was determined, including the
general description and source of each
assumption used;
(6) The cumulative loss ratio and a
description of how it was calculated;
(7) The projected future loss ratio and
a description of how it was calculated;
(8) The projected lifetime loss ratio
that combines cumulative and future
experience, and a description of how it
was calculated;
(9) The Federal medical loss ratio
standard in the applicable market to
which the rate increase applies,
accounting for any adjustments
allowable under Federal law; and
(10) If the result under paragraph
(e)(7) is less than the standard under
paragraph (e)(9), a justification for this
outcome.
When health insurance issuers
provide rate filing documentation for
each category in part three of the
preliminary justification, they would
have to be sufficient to permit HHS to
conduct a thorough actuarial review of
the rate increase. However, HHS would
accept a State rate filing in lieu of the
information required under part three,
provided the rate filing includes the
information required under such part. In
the event a health insurance issuer does
not provide sufficiently detailed
information for HHS to review a rate
increase and determine whether it is
unreasonable, HHS would request from
the health insurance issuer the
information necessary to complete its
review. HHS proposes to provide further
details on the format by which the
specific data elements would be
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required to be submitted by this
proposed regulation.
2. Submission of Final Justification or
Final Notification
When a State with an effective rate
review program receives notice of a rate
increase subject to review, it would
determine whether the increase is an
unreasonable rate increase. The State
would provide its findings and
conclusions to HHS. In the situations
when HHS reviews a rate increase, HHS
would prepare a final determination and
brief explanation of its analysis. If HHS
determines that a rate increase is not
unreasonable, or adopts a determination
by a State that a rate increase is not
unreasonable, the health insurance
issuer would not be obligated to submit
any additional information to HHS. If
HHS determines that a rate increase is
unreasonable, HHS would provide the
final determination and explanation to
the health insurance issuer. If HHS
adopts a determination by a State that
a rate increase is unreasonable, and the
health insurance issuer is legally
permitted to implement the
unreasonable rate increase under
applicable State law, HHS would
provide the State’s final determination
and explanation to the issuer.
If the health insurance issuer intends
to implement an unreasonable rate
increase, the issuer would be required to
submit a final justification to HHS. The
justification would be a brief response
to HHS’s or the applicable State’s final
determination. If the issuer chooses not
to implement the unreasonable rate
increase, or chooses to implement a
lower rate increase, it would be required
to notify HHS to that effect. If the issuer
implements a lower rate increase that
does not meet or exceed the applicable
threshold, the lower increase would not
be subject to the proposed regulation.
However if the lower rate increase does
meet or exceed the applicable threshold,
the increase would be subject to the
proposed regulation and the issuer
would be required to submit to HHS a
new preliminary justification for the
increase. The issuer would submit the
final justification or final notification by
the later of 10 days after (i) the
implementation of such increase or (ii)
the health insurance issuer’s receipt of
HHS’s final determination that a rate
increase is an unreasonable rate
increase.
The purpose of the final justification
would be to provide the health
insurance issuer with an opportunity to
respond to HHS’s or the State’s
determination that its rate increase is
unreasonable and to make the issuer’s
final justification available to health
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insurance consumers. Since HHS would
rely directly on information provided by
the health insurance issuer when
making the determination whether a
rate increase is unreasonable, the health
insurance issuer’s final justification
would have to be consistent with and
based upon the information provided
under the preliminary justification, and
could not include new or different
information that was not provided to
HHS. Health insurance issuers would be
required to provide their final
justifications electronically to HHS
through the web-based program
developed by HHS.
As noted above, HHS’s determination
that a rate increase is unreasonable
would not have any effect on the
issuer’s right to implement the rate
increase, which is entirely a matter of
State law. Similarly, HHS’s review of
rate increases would not delay the
implementation of those increases; the
timing of implementation is also a
matter of State law.
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3. Posting of Information on the HHS
Web site
HHS proposes to promptly post on its
Web site the information contained in
parts one and two of the preliminary
justification. Section 2794 requires the
Secretary to ensure the public
disclosure of information, including the
justifications. The statute does not
specify when this information must be
posted, but HHS believes that Congress
intended that the rate review process be
transparent, and that this objective is
served by giving consumers immediate
access to basic information regarding
the proposed increase that is under
consideration by HHS or States and
prior to the implementation of the rates
that are subject to review. To avoid a
misperception that these postings
represent justifications for rate increases
that are determined to be unreasonable,
HHS will prominently place a
disclaimer near the postings that: ‘‘The
preliminary justification is the initial
summary information regarding the rate
increase subject to review and does not
represent a determination that the rate
increase subject to review is an
unreasonable rate increase.’’ We solicit
public comment on the specific
language HHS should use in its
disclaimer. HHS considered disclosing
this information later in the review
process, such as when the review of the
rate increase was completed, but
determined that posting in this manner
would reduce transparency and provide
insufficient opportunity for consumer
review of information related to these
rate increases prior to implementation.
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HHS does not consider the
information contained in the
preliminary justification to be
confidential and believes that
consumers would benefit from this
information because it provides a basic
description of the rationale underlying a
rate increase. HHS also believes that the
information under part three should be
made public, but understands that
issuers may consider certain of this
information to be confidential. HHS
would promptly post on its Web site
any information provided in part three
of the preliminary justification, as long
as it has not been designated as
‘‘confidential’’ as defined in HHS’s
Freedom of Information Act regulations,
45 CFR 5.65. HHS will also make a
determination as to whether to post
information designated as ‘‘confidential’’
under the standards and procedure set
forth in those regulations, and will post
that information only after making a
determination that it is subject to
disclosure as provided by those
regulations.
HHS would also post on its Web site
the final determinations of both States
and HHS that a rate increase is either
unreasonable or not, as well as
explanations for those determinations.
In the event that either a State or HHS
determines that a rate increase is an
unreasonable rate increase and the
health insurance issuer chooses to
implement the rate increase, HHS
would also post on its Web site the
health insurance issuer’s final
justification.
4. Posting of Information on the Health
Insurance Issuer’s Web site
PHS Act section 2794 requires health
insurance issuers to prominently post
on their Web sites their justification for
an unreasonable premium increase.
Therefore, if HHS determines that a rate
increase is unreasonable or adopts a
determination by a State that a rate
increase is unreasonable, and the health
insurance issuer implements the rate
increase, the issuer would be required to
post on its Web site the information
contained in the preliminary
justification; HHS’s final determination
and explanation; and the issuer’s final
justification. In an attempt to minimize
this posting burden, health insurance
issuers would be able to download from
HHS an electronic file containing the
information required to be posted.
Further, the health insurance issuer
would have no obligation to post on its
Web site any information regarding rate
increases that are not determined to be
unreasonable or that are not
implemented. HHS proposes to issue
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further guidance regarding the format of
posting.
5. Timing of Submission of Preliminary
Justification, Final Justification, Final
Notice, and Issuer Posting
PHS Act section 2794 requires health
insurance issuers to provide
justifications for unreasonable rate
increases prior to the implementation of
such increases. As noted above,
consistent with this requirement, HHS
is proposing necessary timeframes for
the completion of the preliminary
justification by health insurance issuers.
Specifically, if a State requires a health
insurance issuer to file a proposed rate
increase with the State prior to
implementation of the rate, the issuer
would be required to submit a
completed preliminary justification
when it submits the proposed rate
increase to the State. This approach
would allow HHS to receive the
preliminary justification prior to
implementation of a rate increase
without creating an additional burden
on health insurance issuers to include
an extensive justification in their initial
submission to the State.
If a State does not require a health
insurance issuer to file a rate increase
with the State, HHS anticipates that
such State would not be found to have
an effective rate review program.
Therefore, HHS anticipates that it would
be responsible for reviewing rate
increases in those States. PHS Act
section 2794 does not require issuers to
submit rate filing data prior to
implementation of a rate increase, and
accordingly neither would this
proposed regulation. Therefore, absent
any State law to the contrary, issuers
would have the option of completing
the preliminary justification at the time
of implementation or prior to that time.
If HHS requires information in addition
to the preliminary justification to
complete its review, then the issuer
would be required to provide this
information within five business days
following its receipt of the request.
In the event the issuer implements an
unreasonable rate increase, the issuer
would be required to submit a final
justification to HHS and post the
required information on its Web site
within the later of 10 days after the
implementation of the increase or 10
days after the issuer’s receipt of the final
determination by HHS that the rate is
unreasonable. If an issuer determines
that it will decline to implement or has
withdrawn an increase determined by
HHS to be unreasonable, or that it will
implement a lower increase, it would be
required to notify HHS of this decision
within 10 days of its determination.
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III. Collection of Information
Requirements
Under the Paperwork Reduction Act
of 1995, we are required to provide 60
days notice in the Federal Register and
solicit public comment before a
collection of information requirement is
submitted to the Office of Management
and Budget (OMB) for review and
approval. This proposed rule contains
information collection requirements
(ICRs) that are subject to review by
OMB. A description of these provisions
is given in the following paragraphs
with an estimate of the annual burden,
and summarized in table A. Included in
the estimate is the time for reviewing
instructions, searching existing data
sources, gathering and maintaining the
data needed, and completing and
reviewing each collection of
information. In order to fairly evaluate
whether an information collection
should be approved by OMB, section
3506(c)(2)(A) of the Paperwork
Reduction Act of 1995 requires that we
solicit comment on the following issues:
• The need for the information
collection and its usefulness in carrying
out the proper functions of our agency.
• The accuracy of our estimate of the
information collection burden.
• The quality, utility, and clarity of
the information to be collected.
• Recommendations to minimize the
information collection burden on the
affected public, including automated
collection techniques.
We are soliciting public comment on
each of these issues for the following
sections of this proposed rule that
contain information collection
requirements (ICRs):
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A. Background
Section 2794 requires the Secretary to
develop, in conjunction with the States,
a process for the annual review of
unreasonable rate increases. The
proposed regulation would establish a
rate review program to ensure that all
rate increases that meet or exceed an
established threshold are reviewed by a
State or HHS to determine whether the
rate increases are unreasonable. Under
the proposed regulation, if HHS
determines that a State has an effective
rate review program in a given market,
using the criteria set forth in the
proposed rule, HHS would adopt that
State’s determinations regarding
whether rate increases in that market are
unreasonable, provided that the State
reports its final determinations to HHS,
and explains the bases of its
determinations. For all other States,
HHS would conduct its own review of
rates that meet or exceed the applicable
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threshold to determine whether they are
unreasonable.
Section 2794 directs the Secretary to
ensure the public disclosure of
information on unreasonable rate
increases and justification for those
increases. The proposed regulation
would therefore develop a process to
ensure the public disclosure of
information on unreasonable rate
increases and justifications for those
increases. Section 2794 also requires
that health insurance issuers submit a
justification for an unreasonable rate
increase to HHS and the relevant State
prior to its implementation. The
proposed regulation would therefore
establish various reporting requirements
for health insurance issuers, including a
preliminary justification for a proposed
rate increase, a final justification for any
rate increase determined by a State or
HHS to be unreasonable, and a
notification requirement for
unreasonable rate increases which the
carrier will not implement.
B. ICRs Regarding the Rate Review
Preliminary Justification Form
(§ 154.215 and § 154.220)
This proposed rule describes the
preliminary justification that each
health insurance issuer would be
required to submit to both HHS and
States, if it is seeking to implement a
rate increase that meets or exceeds the
threshold described in § 154.200. The
preliminary justification would include
data supporting the potential rate
increase as well as a written explanation
of the rate increase. For those rates HHS
would be reviewing, issuers’
submissions would also include
supplemental data and information that
HHS would need to make a valid
actuarial determination regarding
whether a rate increase is unreasonable.
Each health insurance issuer seeking
to implement a rate increase that meets
or exceeds the established threshold
would be required to complete a
preliminary justification. The
preliminary justification consists of
three parts. Part one consists of a
document (Excel spreadsheet) to be
completed by issuers for all proposed
rate increases that meet or exceed the
threshold. Part two of the preliminary
justification is a three- to five-page
written narrative explaining the
methodology used to derive the rate
increase. Issuers would be required to
submit to both HHS and the applicable
State parts one and two prior to
implementation of a rate increase,
regardless of whether HHS is reviewing
the rate increase or adopting the State’s
review. Issuers typically calculate these
figures in order to develop a premium
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and submit a rate filing to State
regulators. The data elements and
methodologies are commonly calculated
by issuers and are often required by
States that review rates.
Issuers would be required to complete
part three of the preliminary
justification only when HHS is
reviewing a rate increase to determine
whether it is unreasonable or not, and
submit part three to HHS only (and not
to the applicable State). Part three of the
preliminary justification defines an
additional set of information that issuers
must submit only when HHS is
reviewing a rate increase. The
information provided under part three
would allow HHS to make a valid
actuarial determination as to whether
the rate increase is unreasonable or not.
If an issuer completes and submits part
three of the preliminary justification,
but does not provide sufficient
information for HHS to conduct its
review, HHS would request the
additional information necessary to
make its determination. Issuers would
have five business days to respond to
any request for outstanding information
from HHS.
Using 2010 data, HHS estimates the
number of rate filings in 2010 that
would have been subject to the
proposed rule had it been in force to be
between 3,635 and 4,015 in the
individual and small group markets
nationwide. HHS estimates that the total
number of rate filings is expected to
increase slightly in 2011, due in part to
an increased number of issuers required
to file based on those factors discussed
in the impact analysis section.
Therefore, HHS estimates that, in 2011,
there would be 5,343 rate filings subject
to the proposed rule. As discussed in
the impact analysis section, HHS
estimates that approximately 773 of
these rate filings would require review
under the proposed rule because they
meet or exceed the established
threshold.
At this time, HHS has not completed
development of the draft forms for parts
one, two, and three of the preliminary
justification that issuers would have to
submit should their rate increase be
subject to review because it would meet
or exceed the threshold. While these are
new forms, we believe issuers are
already collecting the data necessary to
complete any form we develop. Because
the forms are still under development,
we cannot assign a complete burden
estimate at this time. Once the forms are
available, we will publish a notice in
the Federal Register to solicit public
comments on the forms and provide our
burden estimates associated with this
requirement.
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C. ICRs Regarding State Determinations
(§ 154.210 and § 154.225)
Under the proposed rule, if HHS
determines that a State has satisfied
specific criteria for an effective rate
review program under § 154.301, HHS
would adopt the State’s determinations
regarding whether a rate increase that
meets or exceeds the established
threshold is unreasonable, providing the
State reports its final determinations to
the Department and explains the bases
of its determination as required under
§ 154.210(b)(2). As discussed in the
impact analysis section, since many
States are already performing these
functions, the cost burden to States
would be small and would largely be
offset by rate review grants provided by
the Department to help States improve
their rate review processes. In those
cases where a State does not have an
effective rate review program, HHS
would make its own determinations
regarding whether a rate increase that
meets or exceeds the established
threshold is unreasonable.
HHS would post on its Web site the
information contained in each
preliminary justification for each rate
increase subject to review under
§ 154.200. For consumer clarity, HHS
would also post on its Web site the final
disposition of each rate increase
reviewed by either HHS or a State.
Therefore, either a State or HHS would
make a final disposition for all rate
increases reviewed under the proposed
rule, similar to current rate filing
practices under the NAIC System for
Electronic Rate and Form Filing
(SERFF) or similar State-based filing
systems.
As explained in the impact analysis
section, HHS estimates that 773 rates
would be reviewed under the proposed
rule because they meet or exceed the
established threshold and that 25 to 35
States, in whole or in part based on
market segment, would be reporting to
HHS and posting dispositions on
approximately two-thirds of these rates
(or 515 filings) for at least one market.
The RIA also estimates that reporting
information from the State to
Department will require approximately
20 minutes per filing. Thus the annual
burden for this requirement is
approximately 172 hours. HHS
estimates that the additional burden of
posting to the States would be
negligible, since States currently post
information about the disposition of
rates. However, we welcome comments
regarding the burden associated with
the State posting burden requirements
described in § 154.225.
D. ICRs Regarding the Final Justification
and Final Notification (§ 154.230)
The proposed rule would require
health insurance issuers to submit to
HHS and the relevant State a final
justification for any unreasonable rate
increase that would be implemented
and to display this information on their
Internet Web sites. If an issuer is legally
permitted to implement an
unreasonable rate increase and declines
to implement the increase, the issuer
81017
would provide notice to HHS that it will
not implement the increase. As
discussed in the impact analysis
section, HHS estimates that 417 issuers
will submit an estimated 371 to 1,396
rates for review and that it will take
between 6 to 16 hours to complete the
entire justification process. HHS
estimates that 773 rates will meet or
exceed the threshold and further
assumes carriers will implement 100
percent of rates found unreasonable. We
welcome comments regarding the
burden associated with the State posting
burden requirements described in
§ 154.230.
E. ICRs Regarding HHS’s
Determinations of Effective Rate Review
Programs (§ 154.301)
As discussed earlier in the preamble,
HHS would determine whether a State’s
rate review program meets the
requirements of an effective rate review
program set forth in § 154.301(a) based
on documentation and information
received from the State through the
grant process, through review of
applicable State law, and through any
other information otherwise available to
HHS. The information collection for the
‘‘Grants to States for Health Insurance
Premium Review’’ is approved under
OMB Control number 0938–1092. Since
HHS does not believe additional data
from States are necessary to make these
determinations, we assume the
additional burden from this provision is
zero.
TABLE A—ESTIMATED ANNUAL BURDEN
Type of collection
45 CFR Section
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§ 154.210
§ 154.215
§ 154.225
§ 154.230
§ 154.230
...............................................
and § 154.220 .......................
...............................................
...............................................
...............................................
Respondent
Reporting ........
Reporting ........
Disclosure .......
Reporting ........
Disclosure .......
States .........
Issuers ........
States .........
Issuers ........
Issuers ........
In compliance with the Paperwork
Reduction Act of 1995 (44 U.S.C.
3507(d)), the agency has submitted the
information collection provisions of this
proposed rule to OMB for review.
If you comment on these information
collection and recordkeeping
requirements, please do either of the
following:
1. Submit your comments
electronically as specified in the
ADDRESSES section of this proposed rule;
or
2. Submit your comments to the
Office of Information and Regulatory
Affairs, Office of Management and
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Number of
respondents
Total annual
responses
25–35
417
25–35
417
417
Budget, Attention: OCIIO Desk Officer,
OCIIO–9999–P, Fax: (202) 395–7245; or
E-mail: OIRA_submission@omb.eop.gov.
IV. Response to Comments
Because of the large number of public
comments we normally receive on
Federal Register documents, we are not
able to acknowledge or respond to them
individually. We will consider all
comments we receive by the date and
time specified in the DATES section of
this preamble, and, when we proceed
with a subsequent document, we will
respond to the comments in the
preamble to that document.
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515
773
515
773
773
Hours per response
0.33 ....................
TBD ...................
Negligible ...........
.5 ........................
.5 ........................
Total hours
172
TBD
0
386
386
V. Regulatory Impact Analysis
In accordance with the provisions of
Executive Order 12866, this regulation
was reviewed by the Office of
Management and Budget.
A. Summary
As stated earlier in the preamble, this
notice of proposed rulemaking (NPRM)
implements Section 2794 of the Public
Health Service (PHS) Act (as added by
Section 1003 of the Affordable Care
Act), which requires the Secretary, in
conjunction with the States, to establish
a process for the annual review of
unreasonable increases in health
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Federal Register / Vol. 75, No. 246 / Thursday, December 23, 2010 / Proposed Rules
insurance premiums (referred to in the
NPRM as ‘‘rates’’). This notice of
proposed rulemaking outlines the
methodology by which HHS would
review proposed rate increases. HHS
has proposed this regulation to
implement statutory provisions
designed to help make private health
insurance more affordable, and to
increase the transparency of the process
by which health insurance issuers
calculate premiums. HHS has quantified
costs where possible and provided a
qualitative discussion of the benefits
and of the transfers and costs that may
stem from this regulation.
B. Executive Order 12866
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Executive Order 12866 (58 FR 51735)
directs agencies to assess all costs and
benefits of available regulatory
alternatives and, if regulation is
necessary, to select regulatory
approaches that maximize net benefits
(including potential economic,
environmental, public health and safety
effects; distributive impacts; and
equity).
Section 3(f) of the Executive Order
defines a ‘‘significant regulatory action’’
as an action that is likely to result in a
proposed rule (1) having an annual
effect on the economy of $100 million
or more in any one year, or adversely
and materially affecting a sector of the
economy, productivity, competition,
jobs, the environment, public health or
safety, or State, local or tribal
governments or communities (also
referred to as ‘‘economically
significant’’); (2) creating a serious
inconsistency or otherwise interfering
with an action taken or planned by
another agency; (3) materially altering
the budgetary impacts of entitlement
grants, user fees, or loan programs or the
rights and obligations of recipients
thereof; or (4) raising novel legal or
policy issues arising out of legal
mandates, the President’s priorities, or
the principles set forth in the Executive
Order. OMB has determined that this
proposed rule is a ‘‘significant rule’’
under Executive Order 12866.
Accordingly, OMB has reviewed this
proposed rule under the Executive
Order.
A regulatory impact analysis (RIA)
must be prepared for major rules with
economically significant effects ($100
million or more in any 1 year); and a
‘‘significant’’ regulatory action is subject
to review by the Office of Management
and Budget (OMB). As discussed below,
HHS has concluded that this proposed
rule would likely not have economic
impacts of $100 million or more in any
one year, nor would it adversely or
materially affect a sector of the
economy, productivity, competition,
jobs, the environment, public health or
safety, or State, local or tribal
governments or communities. This
assessment is based primarily on the
administrative costs to issuers of
completing the preliminary justification
form they are required to submit when
proposing rate increases of 10 percent or
greater, and on the costs to States and
the Federal government of reviewing
these justifications. As discussed below,
HHS is not able to quantify the effect of
this proposed rule on rates charged by
issuers, and it is possible that the effect
on rates will be large enough to cause
the proposed rule to be considered a
major rule. HHS invites comments on
this issue.
Nevertheless, HHS opted to provide
an assessment of the potential costs,
benefits, and transfers associated with
this proposed regulation.
1. Need for Regulatory Action
Consistent with the provisions in
Section 2794 of the PHS Act, this NPRM
when finalized would require health
insurance issuers offering nongrandfathered coverage in the
individual and small group markets to
report information concerning rate
increases to HHS and the applicable
State if the proposed increase is 10
percent or higher. Section 2794(a) of the
PHS Act (captioned ‘‘initial premium
review process’’) requires the Secretary
to ‘‘establish a process for the annual
review of unreasonable increases in
premiums for health insurance
coverage.’’ The section further provides
that issuers ‘‘submit to the Secretary and
the relevant State a justification for an
unreasonable premium increase prior to
the implementation of the increase.’’
Many States currently review rate
filings in all or some portion of the
insurance market, therefore, the burden
of implementing this proposed rule on
States will be small. In the States that
do not currently conduct effective rate
review, HHS will initially review those
rate filings that meet or exceed the 10
percent threshold. HHS anticipates that
those States will use the rate review
grants described in the preamble to
enhance their capacity for review.
Moreover, HHS anticipates gradually
transitioning rate review responsibilities
to these States as they build their
capacity and as a result, reducing
Federal costs over time.
In addition, this proposed rule
requires issuers proposing rate increases
10 percent and above to provide a
preliminary justification for the
proposed increase. That preliminary
justification will use data typically
assembled by the issuers in computing
their rate request. Because the
preliminary justification requires the
restating of existing data rather than the
generation of new information, HHS
expects the burden on issuers in filing
the justification will be relatively small.
2. Summary of Impacts
In accordance with OMB Circular
A–4, Table 1 below depicts an
accounting statement summarizing
HHS’ assessment of the benefits, costs,
and transfers associated with this
regulatory action. HHS limited the
period covered by the regulatory impact
analysis (RIA) to 2011–2013. Estimates
are not provided for subsequent years
because there will be significant
changes in the marketplace in 2014
related to the offering of new individual
and small group plans through the
health insurance Exchanges, and the
wide ranging scope of these changes
makes it difficult to project results for
2014 and beyond.
As described in this RIA, HHS
estimates that this regulatory action
would result in better information for
consumers about their health insurance
premiums and is likely to lower
premiums. The proposed rule also
imposes costs on insurers associated
with preparing and filing proposed rate
increases, and imposes costs on State
and Federal governments associated
with reviewing proposed rate increases.
In accordance with Executive Order
12866, HHS believes that the benefits of
this regulatory action justify the costs.
TABLE 1—ACCOUNTING TABLE
Benefits:
Qualitative:
* Increased transparency in health insurance markets, promoting competition.
* To the extent that unreasonable rate increases are prevented as a result of this rule, reduction in the deadweight loss to the economy
from the exercise of monopolistic power by issuers.
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Federal Register / Vol. 75, No. 246 / Thursday, December 23, 2010 / Proposed Rules
TABLE 1—ACCOUNTING TABLE—Continued
Costs:
Low
estimate
Annualized Monetized ($millions/year)
Mid-range
estimate
High
estimate
Year dollar
Discount
rate percent
Period
covered
7
12
19
2010
....................
2011–2013
6
11
18
2010
....................
2011–2013
One-time costs to create systems to report data, and annual costs related to reporting data to the Secretary, providing rate increase justifications, and costs to the States and Federal government of reviewing the justifications.
Transfers:
Qualitative:
* To the extent that rate increases are reduced as a result of this rule, money will be transferred from issuers/shareholders to consumers.
3. Qualitative Discussion of Anticipated
Benefits, Costs and Transfers
a. Benefits
Reliable information on prices is a
prerequisite for well-functioning
competitive markets. Consumers in the
individual and small-group health
insurance markets, which are highly
concentrated, may have difficulty
knowing whether an increase in their
premium is actuarially justifiable—for
example, because it is due to a change
in the scope of covered services—or
whether it is the result of insurers
exercising market power to set rates
above the level that is actuarially
justifiable.
The proposed rule subjects proposed
rate increases of ten percent or more to
additional scrutiny in order to safeguard
against this exercise of market power by
insurers. The proposed rule’s reporting
requirements should result in better
information for consumers about prices,
promoting competition and potentially
increasing the volume of trade, thereby
yielding a net benefit to society.
C. Estimated Number of Affected
Entities and Number of Rate Filings
Meeting or Exceeding the Threshold and
Subject To Review
HHS has identified the primary
sources of costs that would be
associated with this proposed rule as
the costs to issuers associated with
reporting, recordkeeping, notifications,
and the costs to State and Federal
governments of conducting reviews of
the justifications filed by issuers.
HHS estimates that issuers would
incur approximately $10 million to $15
million in one-time administrative
costs, and $0.4 million to $4.5 million
in annual ongoing administrative costs
related to complying with the
requirements of this proposed rule from
Section 2794 of the Public Health
Service Act specifies that the rate
review provisions apply to health
insurance issuers offering individual or
group health insurance coverage, not
including grandfathered health plans.
As discussed earlier in the preamble, in
this context, the term ‘‘issuer’’ has the
same meaning provided in 45 CFR
144.103, which states that an issuer is
‘‘an insurance company, insurance
service, or insurance organization
(including an HMO) that is required to
be licensed to engage in the business of
insurance in a State and that is subject
to State law that regulates insurance
(within the meaning of section 514(b)(2)
of ERISA).’’ As discussed in the
preamble, the rate review provisions in
this proposed rule apply to issuers that
offer individual and small group
coverage, and these issuers would be
required to submit a preliminary
justification for rate increases meeting
or exceeding the rate review threshold
of 10 percent, to file with the Secretary
and the applicable State a final
justification for those rate increases
3 The analytic sample excludes companies that
are regulated by HHS of Managed Health Care in
California, as well as small, single-State insurers
that are not required by State regulators to submit
NAIC annual financial statements. The excluded
companies are estimated to account for
approximately 9 percent of the comprehensive
major medical fully insured market. In addition,
among the 579 companies that filed with the NAIC,
137 were excluded because of data anomalies.
These 137 excluded companies are estimated to
account for approximately 5 percent of the
individual market and less than one percent of the
group market.
b. Costs
mstockstill on DSKH9S0YB1PROD with PROPOSALS5
2011 through 2013. In addition, States
would incur very small additional costs
for reporting the results of their reviews
to the Federal government, and the
Federal government would incur
approximately $0.6 million to $4.8
million in annual costs to conduct
reviews of justifications filed by issuers
in States that do not perform effective
reviews. Additional details relating to
these costs are discussed later in this
regulatory impact analysis.
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found unreasonable, and disclose
information about the proposed
increase, if implemented, on their Web
sites. The following sections summarize
HHS’ estimates of the number of entities
and rate filings that would be affected
by the requirements being proposed in
this rule.
D. Estimated Number of Affected
Entities
The rate review provisions will apply
to all health insurance issuers offering
coverage in the individual and small
group markets except for grandfathered
plans. The number of issuers is 311 in
the individual market and 342 in the
small group market, for a total of 417
(unduplicated) issuers, as determined
for the interim final rule for
implementing the medical loss ratio
requirements under the Affordable Care
Act (Federal Register December 1,
2010).
Table 2 shows the estimated
distribution of the 417 issuers offering
coverage in the individual and small
group markets for the analytic sample
used in this RIA.3 Approximately 75
percent (311) of these issuers offer
coverage in the individual market and
82 percent (342) offer coverage in the
small group market. Additionally, HHS
estimates that there are 34.8 million
enrollees in coverage that would be
subject to the requirements being
proposed in this rule, including
approximately 10.6 million enrollees in
individual market coverage and 24.2
million enrollees in small group
coverage (estimated based on ‘‘life years’’
for 2009 NAIC Health and Life Blank
filers, which excludes data for
companies that are not required to file
annual statements with NAIC).4
4 As noted above, issuers that are regulated by
HHS of Managed Health Care in California are not
required to file annual statements with the NAIC,
and are not included in the estimates provided
here.
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TABLE 2—ESTIMATED NUMBER OF ISSUERS SUBJECT TO THE RATE REVIEW REQUIREMENTS BY MARKET
Issuers
(companies)
offering
coverage 1 3
Description
Enrollees 2
% of total
Number
(in thousands)
% of total
100.0
..........................
74.6
82.0
34,792
........................
10,603
24,189
100.0
..........................
30.5
69.5
Number
Total (Unduplicated) ....................................................................................
Number Offering Coverage In:
Individual Market ..................................................................................
Small Group Market 4 ...........................................................................
417
........................
311
342
Notes:
1 Issuers represents companies (e.g., NAIC company codes).
2 Enrollment represents ‘‘life years’’ (total member months divided by 12).
3 Total issuers represents 2009 NAIC Health and Life Blank filers with valid data, which excludes approximately 8 percent of comprehensive
major medical premium among NAIC filers. Also excludes data for companies that are regulated by the California Department of Managed Health
Care.
4 Small group is defined based on the current definition (e.g., 2 to 50 employees).
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E. Estimated Number of Rate Filings
This section of the regulatory impact
assessment provides estimates of the
number of filings that would be subject
to review under this proposed rule.
1. Estimation Methods and Sources of
Uncertainty
HHS estimates the total number of
rate filings using data on the number of
filings in 2010 made through the NAIC
System for Electronic Rate and Form
Filing (SERFF). However, not all issuers
are required to file through SERFF, and
HHS is required to make assumptions
about the total number of filings in
2010, as well as the expected change in
the number of filings between 2010 and
2011.
HHS conducted research to compile
information regarding the regulatory
structure in place by State and market.
HHS analyzed information provided by
States in their applications for rate
review grants, analyzed State
Department of Insurance Web sites, and
surveyed State Insurance Department
staff via telephone to obtain information
regarding the number of licensed
carriers and filings in the individual and
small group markets. In its original
estimate for the number of filings, HHS
used ten representative States with
relatively complete data to estimate the
average number of filings that could be
expected per State and by market. Those
average values were used for all States
to estimate the total number of filings in
the individual and small group markets.
HHS also gathered information from
State Insurance Departments to obtain
data for 2008 through 2010 on the
estimated number of filings processed,
by market, and approval/rejection rate,
stratified by the magnitude of the
increase. Separately HHS received from
the NAIC an extract showing the final
disposition for all comprehensive major
medical filings in SERFF for the first
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three quarters of calendar year 2010, by
market type. This information was used
to estimate the total number of filings in
2010 received and processed by the 49
States and the District of Columbia
which use SERFF.
Another SERFF extract provided the
number of comprehensive major
medical filings filed for 2009 by 31
States. All 19 States that did not use the
field ‘‘market type’’ were excluded from
the extract. Using the data pertaining to
the 31 States included in the 2009 data,
HHS estimated the proportion of filings
submitted by quarter, and used that
distribution, along with the 2010 data,
to project the number of filings for all
States using SERFF for the 4th quarter
of 2010. The increase in the number of
number of filings from 2009 to 2010, by
State and market, was added to the 2010
estimates to trend the number of filings
forward to 2011. HHS has determined
that there is insufficient data to estimate
the number of rate filings beyond 2011.
Although there is some uncertainty
concerning the number of filings in
2011, a much larger source of
uncertainty is uncertainty about the
number of filings that will have
proposed rate increases greater than or
equal to 10 percent. Data on rate
requests made by issuers are available
from a handful of States, and HHS has
used these data to estimate the
proportion of rate filings with requested
rate increases of 10 percent or greater.
However, given the small number of
States for which data are available, there
is substantial uncertainty about the
number of filings in 2010 with proposed
rate increases that are greater than or
equal to 10 percent. Further, even if
HHS had precise data on the
distribution of rate increase requests in
2010, it is unclear to what extent that
distribution might change in 2011 as a
result of this proposed rule. Given the
combination of data imperfections and
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limitations and behavioral uncertainties,
HHS has chosen to provide a range of
estimates, based on a range of
assumptions.
2. Estimated Number of Rate Filings
Meeting or Exceeding the Threshold and
Subject To Review
Twenty-five States require issuers to
use the NAIC System for Electronic Rate
and Form Filing (SERFF) and many
issuers also use SERFF for filings in
States that have no SERFF requirement.
Based on the number of SERFF filings
from 31 States for the first three quarters
of 2010, HHS estimates a range of rate
filings from 3,635 to 4,015 in the
individual and small group markets for
all States for all of 2010.
The total number of filings in 2011 is
expected to be larger than the number
of filings in 2010 in part due to an
increased number of issuers required to
file and additional filings to meet the
justification requirements.5 Based on
actuarial estimates using data from 2009
and 2010, HHS estimates that the
number of 2011 rate filings will be in
the range of from 4,858 to 5,828 (see
Table 3).
Issuers are not required to submit
preliminary justification for their
grandfathered enrollees. The percentage
of individuals covered under policies
that will lose grandfathered status in the
individual market is estimated to be 40
to 67 percent, according to
Grandfathered Health Plan Regulation
(Federal Register June 17, 2010). The
percentage of small group plans
relinquishing their grandfathered status
in the small group market is estimated
5 According the Kaiser Family Foundation, a
number of States have already enhanced their rate
review and filing process under their current
authority and several other States will seek
additional authority to review rates from their
legislature. See Rate Review: Spotlight on State
Efforts to Make Health Insurance More Affordable,
Kaiser Family Foundation, December 2010.
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to be 20 to 42 percent in 2011. HHS uses
40 percent, 54 percent, and 67 percent
for the low, mid, and high estimates of
the percentage of non-grandfathered rate
filings in the individual market and 20
percent, 30 percent and 42 percent in
the small group market.
An issuer would be required to
submit a preliminary justification report
to the Secretary and the applicable State
if the rate increase is 10 percent or
higher. The estimates in this regulatory
impact analysis are based on this
provision of the proposed rule.
Data from a small group of States for
their individual market show the
percentage of rate requests at or above
10 percent ranged from 50 percent to 72
percent during the time period 2008 to
2010.6 The fraction of enrollees in plans
requesting an increase of 10 percent or
greater ranged from 34 percent to 77
percent. HHS uses 50 percent, 60
percent, and 70 percent as the low, mid,
and high estimates for the percentage of
rate requests at or above the rate review
threshold of 10 percent in the
individual market, and 35 percent, 50
percent, and 75 percent for the
percentage of enrollees affected.
Data on rate requests in the small
group market are available from three
States (Colorado and Oregon, data for
2009 and 2010, and Minnesota, 2007
through 2010).7 On average,
approximately 35 percent of rate
requests were for 10 percent or greater,
and with, one exception, in each State
81021
and year combination, between 20
percent and 40 percent of rate requests
were above that threshold. HHS uses 20
percent, 30 percent, and 40 percent for
the low, medium, and high-range
estimates of the percentage of rate
requests at or above the rate review
threshold of 10 percent in the small
group market. For the percentage of
enrollees affected in the small group
market, HHS estimates 15 percent, 30
percent, and 50 percent.8
The following table (Table 3) shows
the low, mid and high range estimates
(371, 773, and 1,396) of the number of
filings that will be subject to review and
require the submission of a justification
report because the proposed rate
increase is 10 percent or greater.
TABLE 3—ESTIMATED NUMBER OF FILINGS SUBJECT TO REVIEW
Individual
Estimated number of filings for 2011:
Low Range ...........................................................................................................................
Mid Range ............................................................................................................................
High Range ...........................................................................................................................
Percent of filings subject to review (non-grandfathered):
Low Range ...........................................................................................................................
Mid Range ............................................................................................................................
High Range ...........................................................................................................................
Number of filings subject to review:
Low Range ...........................................................................................................................
Mid Range ............................................................................................................................
High Range ...........................................................................................................................
Estimated percentage of filings meeting or exceeding threshold:
Low Range ...........................................................................................................................
Mid Range ............................................................................................................................
High Range ...........................................................................................................................
Estimated number of filings meeting or exceeding threshold:
Low Range ...........................................................................................................................
Mid Range ............................................................................................................................
High Range ...........................................................................................................................
F. Estimated Administrative Costs
Related To Rate Review Provisions
Small group
Total
1107
1247
1386
3751
4097
4442
4858
5343
5828
40%
54%
67%
20%
30%
42%
........................
443
673
929
750
1229
1866
1193
1902
2794
50%
60%
70%
20%
30%
40%
........................
........................
........................
221
404
650
150
369
746
371
773
1396
........................
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As stated earlier in this preamble, this
proposed rule would implement the
reporting requirements of section 2794,
describing the type of information that
would be included in the preliminary
justification to the Secretary and the
applicable State and the disclosure that
would be made available to consumers
on the issuer’s Web site if the rate
increase is found to be unreasonable.
HHS has quantified the primary sources
of start-up costs that issuers in the
individual and small group market
would incur to bring themselves into
compliance with this proposed rule, as
well as the ongoing annual costs that
they would incur related to these
requirements. These costs and the
methodology used to estimate them are
discussed below.
In order to assess the potential
administrative burden relating to the
requirements in this proposed rule, HHS
consulted with the NAIC and industry
experts to gain insight into the tasks and
level of effort required. Based on these
discussions, HHS estimates that issuers
would incur one-time start-up costs
associated with developing teams to
review the requirements in this
proposed rule, and developing
processes for capturing the necessary
data (e.g., automating systems). HHS
estimates that issuers would also incur
ongoing annual costs relating to data
collection, completing the justification
6 The sources for the rate increases in the
individual market are: Iowa list of proposed rate
increases as of October 25, 2010 https://www.iid.
state.ia.us/docs/0_Multi-year%20A&
H%20Rate%20Increase_PPACA%20Types.pdf;
Illinois list of proposed rate increases as of
September 2010 https://www.insurance.illinois.gov/
Reports/special_reports/IMMHPRFR.pdf; North
Carolina rate filings https://infoportal.ncdoi.net/
filelookup.jsp?divtype=3; Oregon list of proposed
rate increases as of November 30 2010 https://www.
oregoninsurance.org/insurer/rates_forms/health_
rate_filings/health-rate-filing-search.html;
Pennsylvania announcement of each proposed rate
increases https://www.pabulletin.com/secure/search.
html, Washington list of proposed rate increases
from the State.
7 The sources for the rate increases in the small
group market are: Colorado list of rate increases
https://www.dora.state.co.us/pls/real/Ins_RAF_
Report.main; Minnesota list of final rate increases
from the State; and Oregon list of proposed rate
increases https://www.oregoninsurance.org/insurer/
rates_forms/health_rate_filings/health-rate-filingsearch.html.
8 Rate filings in which each of the products
covered in the filing are grandfathered plans will
not be subject to the provisions of this proposed
rule. However, in the small group market, HHS
believes that most filings are made for products
which are still being actively marketed. To the
extent that there are filings in the individual market
that include no products which are being actively
marketed, the estimates provided here of the
number of filings that will be subject to review are
overestimates of the true burden that will be
imposed by this proposed rule.
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Federal Register / Vol. 75, No. 246 / Thursday, December 23, 2010 / Proposed Rules
reports, conducting a final internal
review, submitting the reports to the
Secretary and applicable State, record
retention, and Web site notifications.
2. Ongoing Costs Related To Rate
Review Reporting
For each rate review reporting year,
issuers offering coverage in the
individual and small group markets
would be required to submit a
preliminary justification to the Secretary
and applicable State prior to the
implementation of a rate increase for
each proposed rate increase of 10
percent or greater.
Ongoing annual costs are estimated at
6 to 16 hours per justification report at
1. One-Time Start-up Costs
Based on discussions with NAIC and
industry experts, start-up costs are
estimated at $25,000 to $35,000 per
issuer, calculated from assumptions of
125 to 175 hours at $200 per hour
(senior actuary fee) to review the
requirements for this proposed rule and
developing processes for data collection.
$200 per hour or $1,200 to $3,200 per
report. Most of the hours are for
populating the justification reports with
an additional hour for record retention
and Web site notification.
HHS estimates that the one-time costs
relating to the rate review reporting
requirements in this proposed rule
would range from $10 million to $15
million, and that annual costs would be
between $0.4 million and $4.5 million
per year (Table 4).
TABLE 4—ESTIMATED COSTS FOR REPORTING, RECORD RETENTION, AND WEBSITE NOTIFICATION (ACTUAL DOLLARS)
Total
number of
issuers
Total
number of
reports
Estimated
total
hours (1)
Estimated
average
cost per
hour (2)
417
417
371
371
52,125
2,226
$200
200
Total Year One Costs ...................................
MID RANGE ASSUMPTIONS:
One-Time Costs ............................................
Ongoing Costs ..............................................
417
371
54,351
417
417
773
773
Total Year One Costs ...................................
HIGH RANGE ASSUMPTIONS:
One-Time Costs ............................................
Ongoing Costs ..............................................
417
Total Year One Costs ...................................
Description
Estimated
average
cost per
report
$10,425,000
445200
$25,000
1,068
$28,100
1,200
200
10,870,200
26,068
29,300
62,550
8,503
200
200
12,510,000
1,700,600
30,000
4,078
16,184
2,200
773
71,053
200
14,210,600
34,078
18,384
417
417
1,396
1,396
72,975
22,336
200
200
14,595,000
4,467,200
35,000
10,713
10,455
3,200
417
LOW RANGE ASSUMPTIONS:
One-Time Costs ............................................
Ongoing Costs ..............................................
Estimated
average
cost per
issuer
1,396
95,311
200
19,062,200
45.713
13,655
Estimated
total
cost
Notes: Estimated costs are stated in 2010 dollars.
(1) Estimated number of one-time start up hours and annual ongoing hours.
(2) Actuary salary/fee.
3. Estimated Costs to the States and
Federal Government Related To Rate
Review Provisions
Section 2794 directs the Secretary to,
in conjunction with the States establish
a process for the annual review of
unreasonable increases in premiums for
health insurance coverage. In doing so,
both the Federal Government and States
will incur certain administrative costs.
However, HHS estimates that the
additional costs to the States will be
negligible given that the majority
already conduct some level of rate
review, and the costs to the Federal
Government and States will be
extremely small.
4. Estimated Costs to the Federal
Government
States currently have primary
responsibility for the review of rate
increases and will continue to under
this proposed regulation. If a State does
not have an effective rate review
program in place for all or some markets
within the State, HHS would review rate
increases that meet or exceed the 10
percent threshold and make its own
determinations of whether the rate
increases were excessive, unjustified, or
unfairly discriminatory, or otherwise
unreasonable, within those markets.
This activity could be conducted with
in-house resources and/or with the use
of contracted services. Given the fact
that, as noted above, some States do not
have review authority in either the
small group or individual markets, and
assuming filings are evenly distributed
across markets, HHS estimates a range
between 28 percent and 36 percent of
the rate filings requiring review in 2011
would fall under HHS’s review
responsibility. Based on these filing
estimates and the necessary actuarial
expertise, this rate review process
would range in cost from $0.6 million
to $4.8 million.
Table 5 describes the assumptions
used in the estimates for the
administrative costs to the Federal
Government associated with its rate
review activities.
mstockstill on DSKH9S0YB1PROD with PROPOSALS5
TABLE 5—ESTIMATED ACTUARIAL RATES
Estimated actuarial rates
Low
Principal Actuaries .......................................................................................................................
Support Actuaries ........................................................................................................................
Actuarial Analyst ..........................................................................................................................
Administrative Support .................................................................................................................
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Mid
$340.00
200.00
120.00
80.00
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$350.00
234.00
150.00
100.00
High
$360.00
275.00
180.00
120.00
81023
Federal Register / Vol. 75, No. 246 / Thursday, December 23, 2010 / Proposed Rules
TABLE 5—ESTIMATED ACTUARIAL RATES—Continued
Estimated actuarial rates
Low
Mid
Estimated Time to Complete Average Review
High
Average Time Required
Principal Actuaries .......................................................................................................................
Support Actuaries ........................................................................................................................
Actuarial Analyst ..........................................................................................................................
Administrative Support .................................................................................................................
Actuarial Staff Hours ....................................................................................................................
4.25
8.50
12.00
9.00
24.75
5.50
9.50
14.00
9.50
29.00
6.75
11.00
15.00
12.00
32.75
Total Staff Hours ..................................................................................................................
33.75
38.5
44.75
Low
Mid
High
Estimated Cost per Review .........................................................................................................
Number of Rate Reviews ............................................................................................................
$5,305
104
$7,198
255
$9,595
503
Total Expected Contracting Cost .........................................................................................
551,720
1,835,490
4,826,285
In addition to the costs to the Federal
government of conducting rate reviews
in States that do not conduct effective
reviews, there will be a small, largely
one-time cost to the Federal government
to determine whether States are
conducting effective reviews.
5. Estimated Costs to States
HHS recognizes that States have
significant experience reviewing rate
increases. As discussed earlier in this
preamble, most States have existing
effective rate review programs that
would meet the requirements of this
regulation in substituting for HHS’
review of rate filings that meet or exceed
the threshold. Rate review grants
provided by HHS are expected to
increase the effectiveness of State rate
review processes, but are not a direct
measure of the cost of this regulation.
HHS estimates that the cost burden on
States would be small because most
States currently conduct rate review.
For these States the incremental costs
and requirements of this regulation
would be minimal. Some States do not
already have a rate review process or
have a process that applies to only a
portion of the individual and small
group markets that this regulation
addresses. In these States, the
implementation costs to develop
effective rate review processes at the
State level will be offset by the rate
review grants provided by HHS.
However, from a Federal budget
perspective, these Federal costs from
grants will be largely balanced by a
decrease in the Federal cost of
performing reviews directly. For States
not currently conducting effective rate
review, there are likely a variety of
factors affecting the decision to institute
an effective rate review process,
including the need for resources, as well
as potential legislative hurdles. The rate
review grants are expected to help
States overcome some of these hurdles.
States with effective rate review
programs would be required to report on
their rate review activities to the
Secretary. HHS believes that this
reporting requirement will involve
minimal cost. HHS estimates that
reporting information from the State to
Department will require approximately
20 minutes per filing. Based on resource
use from the NAIC’s 2009 Resource
Report which shows the average
Department of Insurance actuary earns
approximately $45 an hour, HHS
estimates an average cost per filing of
$15. The estimated cost of reporting the
two-thirds of filings meeting or
exceeding the 10 percent threshold,
which are reviewed by States, ranges
from $4,011 to $13,404.
G. Transfers
The proposed rule will likely result in
lower premiums, although the
magnitude of this effect is difficult to
predict. To the extent that premiums are
lower as a result of the proposed rule,
this represents a transfer from insurers/
shareholders to consumers. The
experience of States that engage in rate
review, summarized in Table 6, suggests
that the review process may result in
premium increases that are lower than
they would otherwise be.9
TABLE 6—STATE RATE REVIEW ACTIONS
[State filings from 2005 to 2010]
Number of filings
State
Market
A .............
Individual ................................................................................
Small Group ...........................................................................
Individual ................................................................................
Small Group ...........................................................................
Combined ..............................................................................
B .............
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C ............
It is difficult, however, to draw strong
conclusions from this information about
the effects of additional rate review on
96
21
31
37
34
Range of rate
requests
7%–40% ...........
14%–26% .........
4%–30% ...........
1%–17% ...........
1%–32% ...........
rates because we are uncertain about
insurers’ behavioral response. Further, a
substantial number of States currently
Range of actual
increases
0%–21%
9%–22%
1%–25%
1%–17%
1%–32%
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15
5
14
5
8
operate effective rate review processes,
and it is likely that any potential effect
9 Data provided by States on recent rate review
actions from informal discussions between HHS
and State Department of Insurance actuaries
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...........
...........
...........
...........
...........
Number of
rate reductions
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in these States will be less than in States
currently without strong rate review.
Although HHS did not estimate the
impact of this proposed regulation on
the reduction in premium rate increases,
HHS estimates that comprehensive
major medical premiums are $28 billion
in the individual market and $95 billion
in the small group market, for a total of
$123 billion in 2011 (Medical Loss Ratio
Regulation Technical Appendix,
December 1, 2010 and National Health
Expenditure projection factors). The
percentage of individuals covered under
policies that will lose grandfathered
status in the individual market is
estimated to be 40 to 67 percent
(Grandfathered Health Plan Regulation,
June 17, 2010). The percentage of small
group plans relinquishing their
grandfathered status in the small group
market is estimated to be 20 to 42
percent in 2011 (Grandfathered Health
Plan Regulation, June 17, 2010). Thus,
HHS estimates that approximately $30
to $59 billion of premiums will be
written by issuers in the individual and
small group markets to nongrandfathered subscribers. Given the
magnitude of the premiums that may be
affected, HHS invites comments on how
to calculate premium savings so as to
determine whether the $100 million
threshold is met.
H. Regulatory Alternatives
Under the Executive Order, HHS is
required to consider alternatives to
issuing regulations and alternative
regulatory approaches. HHS considers a
variety of regulatory alternatives below.
mstockstill on DSKH9S0YB1PROD with PROPOSALS5
1. Establish a Lower or Higher
Threshold for Rate Increase Review
Section 2794(a) requires the Secretary,
in conjunction with the States to
conduct an annual review of
unreasonable increases in premiums. In
establishing a threshold for rate
increases that would be subject to
review, HHS (1) examined national
trends in rate increases and health care
costs; and (2) weighed the
administrative burden on issuers and
States against the level of protection for
consumers.
If HHS established a threshold lower
than 10 percent, this would impose a
larger burden on issuers, States, and
HHS, and HHS judged that it would not
yield a substantial benefit for
consumers. However, as discussed
earlier in the preamble, HHS proposes
an approach that balances the regulatory
burdens on both the agency and the
industry where every rate increase, no
matter how small, is reviewed for
unreasonableness against the potential
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harm to consumers should a small but
unreasonable increase be implemented.
In addition, HHS has also taken into
consideration the fact that many States,
as discussed below, conduct a rate
review process for all rate increases
without regard to the magnitude of the
increase, and we expect the number of
States conducting such reviews to
increase. Therefore, as a practical
matter, in a growing number of States,
the prospect that an unreasonable
increase that is also below the 10
percent threshold would be
implemented without review is
mitigated by the State review processes.
HHS recognizes that there may be rate
increases that fall below the 10 percent
threshold that are unjustified. However,
given the practice of many States to
review all increases, HHS considered
the cost benefit of the additional Federal
resources to potentially catch
unjustified/unreasonable rates vs.
fairness to consumers and the additional
administrative burden for insurers. HHS
could spend additional resources and
potentially catch only a small number of
unreasonable rates below the threshold.
HHS also examined establishing a
threshold higher than 10 percent for rate
increases that would be subject to
review. However, in attempting to strike
the balance discussed above, HHS
decided on the 10 percentage point
threshold. Specifically, with a threshold
higher than 10 percent, consumers
would face greater exposure to rate
increases that were either unjustified or
excessive with no assurance that those
rates were given a careful review.
2. Establish a State-Specific Threshold
HHS recognizes that underlying costs
and health care trends vary from State
to State. Many factors influence the
magnitude and frequency of increases in
the States, and a single, national filing
threshold does not reflect all of the local
variations. Therefore, in this proposed
rule, HHS proposes to use a Statespecific threshold as determined by the
Secretary for future calendar years.
HHS did not immediately adopt the
State-specific threshold for rate
increases in calendar year 2011 because
of the lack of State-specific data. For
future calendar years, the Secretary
would consider the State-specific data
submitted for each rate increase subject
to review, and also the State-specific
rate trend data and information received
by the Secretary from those States that
have received ‘‘premium review grants’’
under section 2794(c) of the PHS Act.
Using these data, the Secretary may set
a State-specific threshold. In the event
the Secretary does not have sufficient
data to calculate a State-specific
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threshold, the threshold will remain at
10 percent.
3. Establish a Threshold Based on the
Market Share of the Insurer
An alternative approach would have
established a lower threshold for
insurers with larger market share, with
the justification that such insurers were
more likely to be able to exert market
power. However, analysis of data from
a limited number of States suggested
showed no evidence that larger insurers
received higher rates of increase.
Further, to the extent that market power
exists in the individual market because
subscribers with health problems are
unable to switch to a competing insurer,
this power exists equally for small
companies as for large ones. As a result,
HHS decided to propose a uniform
threshold for all insurers, regardless of
their size.
4. Apply Rate Review Standards to the
Large Group Market
As discussed in the preamble, HHS
discussed applying this proposed rule to
the large group market as well as the
individual and small group markets.
However, because of the current ratesetting practices of the large group
market and States’ limited authority
over this segment of the market, HHS
concluded that this regulation should
only apply to the individual and small
group markets.
We welcome comments on the likely
costs and benefits of this proposed rule
as presented, on alternatives that would
improve consumer benefits and
minimize industry burden, and on our
quantitative estimates of burden.
I. Regulatory Flexibility Act
The Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA)
requires agencies that issue a regulation
to analyze options for regulatory relief
of small businesses if a proposed rule
has a significant impact on a substantial
number of small entities. The RFA
generally defines a ‘‘small entity’’ as
(1) a proprietary firm meeting the size
standards of the Small Business
Administration (SBA), (2) a nonprofit
organization that is not dominant in its
field, or (3) a small government
jurisdiction with a population of less
than 50,000 (States and individuals are
not included in the definition of ‘‘small
entity’’). HHS uses as its measure of
significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities a
change in revenues of more than 3 to 5
percent.
The RFA requires agencies to analyze
options for regulatory relief of small
businesses, if a proposed rule has a
significant impact on a substantial
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number of small entities. For purposes
of the RFA, small entities include small
businesses, nonprofit organizations, and
small government jurisdictions. Small
businesses are those with sizes below
thresholds established by the Small
Business Administration (SBA). We
examined the health insurance industry
in depth in the Regulatory Impact
Analysis we prepared for the proposed
rule on establishment of the Medicare
Advantage program (69 FR 46866,
August 3, 2004). In that analysis we
determined that there were few if any
insurance firms underwriting
comprehensive health insurance
policies (in contrast, for example, to
travel insurance policies or dental
discount policies) that fell below the
size thresholds for ‘‘small’’ business
established by the SBA.
Further, the one-time costs of this
proposed rule are approximately $25
thousand per covered entity (regardless
of size or non-profit status) and
approximately $4 thousand annually in
ongoing costs. Numbers of this
magnitude do not remotely approach
the amounts necessary to be considered
a ‘‘significant economic impact’’ on
firms with revenues of tens of millions
of dollars (usually hundreds of millions
or billions of dollars annually).
Accordingly, we have determined, and
certify, that this proposed rule will not
have a significant economic impact on
a substantial number of small entities
and that a regulatory flexibility analysis
is not required.
In addition, section 1102(b) of the
Social Security Act requires us to
prepare a regulatory impact analysis if
a proposed rule may have a significant
economic impact on the operations of a
substantial number of small rural
hospitals. This analysis must conform to
the provisions of section 604 of the
RFA. This notice of proposed
rulemaking would not affect small rural
hospitals. Therefore, the Secretary has
determined that this proposed rule
would not have a significant impact on
the operations of a substantial number
of small rural hospitals.
J. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
Section 202 of the Unfunded
Mandates Reform Act of 1995 requires
that agencies assess anticipated costs
and benefits before issuing any
proposed rule that includes a Federal
mandate that could result in
expenditure in any one year by State,
local or tribal governments, in the
aggregate, or by the private sector, of
$100 million in 1995 dollars, updated
annually for inflation. In 2010, that
threshold level is approximately $135
million.
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UMRA does not address the total cost
of a proposed rule. Rather, it focuses on
certain categories of cost, mainly those
‘‘Federal mandate’’ costs resulting from:
(1) Imposing enforceable duties on
State, local, or tribal governments, or on
the private sector; or (2) increasing the
stringency of conditions in, or
decreasing the funding of, State, local,
or tribal governments under entitlement
programs.
This proposed rule includes no
mandates on State, local, or tribal
governments. Under the proposed rule,
issuers would be required to submit rate
justification reports for rate increases of
10 percent or greater directly to HHS. A
State may voluntarily choose to use its
existing rate review process, if deemed
an ‘‘effective rate review program,’’ to
make a determination as to whether a
rate increase is unreasonable. If a State
chooses to review the rate increase, the
State would be required to submit to
HHS the final determination and an
explanation of its analysis. However, if
a State chooses not to do so, HHS would
review a rate increase subject to review
to determine whether it is unreasonable.
Thus, the law and this regulation do not
impose an unfunded mandate on States.
However, consistent with policy
embodied in UMRA, this notice for
proposed rulemaking has been designed
to be the least burdensome alternative
for State, local and tribal governments,
and the private sector while achieving
the objectives of the Affordable Care
Act.
K. Federalism
Executive Order 13132 establishes
certain requirements that an agency
must meet when it promulgates a
proposed rule (and subsequent final
rule) that imposes substantial direct
requirement costs on State and local
governments, preempts State law, or
otherwise has Federalism implications.
In HHS’ view, while the requirements
proposed in this notice for proposed
rulemaking would not impose
substantial direct costs on State and
local governments, this notice for
proposed rulemaking has federalism
implications due to direct effects on the
distribution of power and
responsibilities among the State and
Federal governments relating to
determining the reasonableness of rate
increases for coverage that Statelicensed health insurance issuers offer
in the individual and small group
markets.
HHS recognizes that there are
federalism implications with regard to
HHS’ evaluation of effective rate review
programs and its subsequent review of
rate increases. Under Subpart C of this
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81025
proposed rule, HHS outlines those
criteria that States would have to meet
in order to be deemed to have an
effective rate review program. If HHS
determines that a State does not meet
those criteria, then HHS would review
a rate increase subject to review to
determine whether it is unreasonable. If
a State does meet the criteria, then HHS
would adopt that State’s determination
of whether a rate increase is
unreasonable.
States would continue to apply State
law requirements regarding rate and
policy filings. State rate review
processes that are more stringent than
the Federal requirements would likely
be deemed effective and satisfy the
requirements under this proposed rule.
Accordingly, States have significant
latitude to impose requirements with
respect to health insurance issuers that
are more restrictive than the Federal
law.
In compliance with the requirement
of Executive Order 13132 that agencies
examine closely any policies that may
have federalism implications or limit
the policy making discretion of the
States, HHS has engaged in efforts to
consult with and work cooperatively
with affected States, including
participating in conference calls with
and attending conferences of the
National Association of Insurance
Commissioners, and consulting with
State insurance officials on an
individual basis.
Throughout the process of developing
this notice of proposed rulemaking,
HHS has attempted to balance the
States’ interests in regulating health
insurance issuers, and Congress’ intent
to provide uniform protections to
consumers in every State. By doing so,
it is HHS’ view that it has complied
with the requirements of Executive
Order 13132. Under the requirements
set forth in section 8(a) of Executive
Order 13132, and by the signatures
affixed to this regulation, HHS certifies
that the Office of Consumer Information
and Insurance Oversight has complied
with the requirements of Executive
Order 13132 for the attached notice for
proposed rulemaking in a meaningful
and timely manner.
List of Subjects in 45 CFR Part 154
Administrative practice and
procedure, Claims, Health care, Health
insurance, Health plans, Penalties,
Reporting and recordkeeping
requirements.
For the reasons set forth in the
preamble, the Department of Health and
Human Services proposes to amend 45
CFR subtitle A, subchapter B, by adding
a new part 154 to read as follows:
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PART 154—HEALTH INSURANCE
ISSUER RATE INCREASES:
DISCLOSURE AND REVIEW
REQUIREMENTS
Subpart A—General Provisions
Sec.
154.101 Basis and scope.
154.102 Definitions.
154.103 Applicability.
Subpart B—Disclosure and Review
Provisions
154.200 Rate increases subject to review.
154.205 Unreasonable rate increases.
154.210 Review of rate increases subject to
review by HHS or by a State.
154.215 Submission of disclosure to HHS
for rate increases subject to review.
154.220 Timing of preliminary justification.
154.225 Determination by HHS or a State of
an unreasonable rate increase.
154.230 Submission and posting of final
justifications for unreasonable rate
increases.
Subpart C—Effective Rate Review
Programs
154.301 HHS’s determinations of effective
rate review programs.
Authority: Section 2794 of the Public
Health Service Act (42 U.S.C. 300gg–94).
Subpart A—General Provisions
§ 154.101
Basis and scope.
(a) Basis. This part implements
section 2794 of the Public Health
Service (PHS) Act.
(b) Scope. This part establishes the
requirements for health insurance
issuers offering small group or
individual health insurance coverage to
report information concerning
unreasonable rate increases to the
Department of Health and Human
Services (HHS). This part further
establishes the process by which it will
be determined whether the rate
increases are unreasonable rate
increases as defined in this part.
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§ 154.102
Definitions.
As used in this part:
Effective rate review program means a
State program that HHS has determined
meets the requirements set forth in
§ 154.301(a) for the relevant market
segment in the State.
Federal medical loss ratio standard
means the applicable medical loss ratio
standard for the State and market
segment involved, determined under
subpart B of 45 CFR part 158.
Health insurance coverage has the
meaning given the term in section
2791(b)(1) of the PHS Act.
Health insurance issuer has the
meaning given the term in section
2791(b)(2) of the PHS Act.
HHS means the Department of Health
and Human Services.
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Individual market has the meaning
given the term under the applicable
State’s rate filing laws, except that
where State law does not define the
term, it has the meaning given in section
2791(e)(1)(A) of the PHS Act.
Product means a package of health
insurance coverage benefits with a
discrete set of rating and pricing
methodologies that a health insurance
issuer offers in a State.
Rate increase means an increase of the
rates for a specific product offered in the
individual or small group market.
Rate increase subject to review means
a rate increase that meets the criteria set
forth in § 154.200.
Secretary means the Secretary of the
Department of Health and Human
Services.
Small group market has the meaning
given under the applicable State’s rate
filing laws, except that where State law
does not define the term, it has the
meaning given in section 2791(e)(5) of
the PHS Act; provided, however, that
for the purpose of this definition, ‘‘50’’
employees is substituted for ‘‘100’’
employees in the definition of ‘‘small
employer’’ under section 2791(e)(4).
State has the meaning given the term
in section 2791(d)(14) of the PHS Act.
Unreasonable rate increase means:
(1) When HHS is conducting the
review required by this part, a rate
increase that HHS determines is:
(i) An excessive rate increase;
(ii) An unjustified rate increase; or
(iii) An unfairly discriminatory rate
increase; as described in § 154.205.
(2) When HHS adopts the
determination of a State that has an
effective rate review program, a rate
increase that the State determines is
excessive, unjustified, unfairly
discriminatory, or otherwise
unreasonable as provided under
applicable State law.
§ 154.103
Applicability.
(a) In general. The requirements of
this part apply to health insurance
issuers offering health insurance
coverage in the individual market and
small group market.
(b) Exceptions. The requirements of
this part do not apply to grandfathered
health plan coverage as defined in 45
CFR § 147.140, or to excepted benefits
as described in paragraph (1) of
subsection (c) of section 2791 of the
Public Health Service Act, or as
described in paragraph (2), (3) or (4) of
such subsection if the benefits are
provided under a separate policy,
certificate or contract of insurance.
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Subpart B—Disclosure and Review
Provisions
§ 154.200
review.
Rate increases subject to
(a) Rate increases that meet or exceed
the following threshold are subject to
review to determine whether they are
unreasonable rate increases:
(1) For rate increases filed in a State
on or after July 1, 2011, or effective on
or after July 1, 2011 in a State that does
not require rate increases to be filed, a
rate increase that is 10 percent or more,
as calculated under paragraph (b) of this
section.
(2) For rate increases filed in a State
during calendar year 2012 and
thereafter, or effective during calendar
year 2012 and thereafter in a State that
does not require rate increases to be
filed, any rate increase, as calculated
under paragraph (b) of this section that
meets or exceeds:
(i) State-specific thresholds as
determined by the Secretary for the
applicable calendar year based on the
cost of health care and health insurance
coverage in a State; or
(ii) 10 percent if an applicable Statespecific threshold is not established by
the Secretary under paragraph (a)(2)(i)
of this section. The thresholds set forth
in paragraph (a)(2)(i) will be published
in the Federal Register no later than
September 15th of the year preceding
the calendar year in which the threshold
applies, beginning in 2012.
(b) A rate increase meets or exceeds
the applicable threshold set forth in
paragraph (a) of this section if the
weighted average increase for all
enrollees subject to the rate increase
meets or exceeds the applicable
threshold.
(c) If a rate increase that does not
otherwise meet or exceed the threshold
under paragraph (b) of this section
meets or exceeds the threshold if
combined with a previous increase or
increases during the 12 month period
preceding the date on which the rate
increase would become effective, then
the rate increase must be considered to
meet or exceed the threshold and is
subject to review under § 154.210, and
such review shall include a review of
the aggregate rate increases during the
applicable 12 month period.
§ 154.205
Unreasonable rate increases.
(a) When HHS reviews a rate increase
subject to review under § 154.210(a),
HHS will determine that the rate
increase is an unreasonable rate increase
if the increase is an excessive rate
increase, an unjustified rate increase, or
an unfairly discriminatory rate increase.
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(b) The rate increase is an excessive
rate increase if the increase causes the
premium charged for the health
insurance coverage to be unreasonably
high in relation to the benefits provided
under the coverage. In determining
whether the rate increase causes the
premium charged to be unreasonably
high in relationship to the benefits
provided, HHS will consider:
(1) Whether the rate increase results
in a projected medical loss ratio below
the Federal medical loss ratio standard
in the applicable market to which the
rate increase applies, after accounting
for any adjustments allowable under
Federal law;
(2) Whether one or more of the
assumptions on which the rate increase
is based is not supported by substantial
evidence; and
(3) Whether the choice of assumptions
or combination of assumptions on
which the rate increase is based is
unreasonable.
(c) The rate increase is an unjustified
rate increase if the health insurance
issuer provides data or documentation
to HHS in connection with the increase
that is incomplete, inadequate or
otherwise does not provide a basis upon
which the reasonableness of an increase
may be determined.
(d) The rate increase is an unfairly
discriminatory rate increase if the
increase results in premium differences
between insureds within similar risk
categories that:
(1) Are not permissible under
applicable State law; or
(2) In the absence of an applicable
State law, do not reasonably correspond
to differences in expected costs.
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§ 154.210 Review of rate increases subject
to review by HHS or by a State.
(a) Except as provided in paragraph
(b) of this section, HHS will review a
rate increase subject to review to
determine whether it is unreasonable, as
required by this part.
(b) HHS will adopt a State’s
determination of whether a rate increase
is an unreasonable rate increase, if the
State:
(1) Has an effective rate review
program as described in § 154.301; and
(2) The State provides to HHS, on a
form and in a manner prescribed by the
Secretary, its final determination of
whether a rate increase is unreasonable,
which must include an explanation of
how its analysis of the relevant factors
set forth in § 154.301(a)(3) caused it to
arrive at that determination, within five
business days following the State’s final
determination.
(c) HHS will post and maintain on its
Web site a list of the States that meet the
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requirements of paragraph (b) of this
section.
§ 154.215 Submission of disclosure to
HHS for rate increases subject to review.
(a) For each rate increase subject to
review, a health insurance issuer must
submit a preliminary justification for
each product affected by the increase on
a form and in the manner prescribed by
the Secretary.
(b) The preliminary justification must
consist of the following parts:
(1) Rate increase summary;
(2) Written description justifying the
rate increase; and
(3) When HHS is reviewing the rate
increase under § 154.210(a), rate filing
documentation.
(c) A health insurance issuer must
complete and submit parts one and two
of the preliminary justification
described in paragraph (b)(1) and (2) of
this section to HHS and, as long as the
applicable State accepts such
submissions, to the applicable State, for
any rate increase subject to review. If a
rate increase subject to review is for a
product offered in the individual market
or small group market and HHS is
reviewing the rate increase under
§ 154.210(a), then the health insurance
issuer must also complete and submit
part three of the preliminary
justification described in paragraph
(b)(3) of this section to HHS only.
(d) The health insurance issuer may
submit a single, combined preliminary
justification for rate increases subject to
review affecting multiple products, if
the claims experience of all products
has been aggregated to calculate the rate
increases and the rate increases are the
same across all products.
(e) Content of rate increase summary.
The rate increase summary must
include the following:
(1) Historical and projected claims
experience;
(2) Trend projections related to
utilization, and service or unit cost;
(3) Any claims assumptions related to
benefit changes;
(4) Allocation of the overall rate
increase to claims and non-claims costs;
(5) Per enrollee per month allocation
of current and projected premium;
(6) Current loss ratio and projected
loss ratio;
(7) Three year history of rate increases
for the product associated with the rate
increase; and
(8) Employee and executive
compensation data from the health
insurance issuer’s annual financial
statements.
(f) Content of written description
justifying the rate increase. The written
description of the rate increase must
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81027
include a simple and brief narrative
describing the data and assumptions
that were used to develop the rate
increase and include the following:
(1) Explanation of the rating
methodology;
(2) Explanation of the most significant
factors causing the rate increase,
including a brief description of the
relevant claims and non-claims expense
increases reported in the rate increase
summary; and
(3) Brief description of the overall
experience of the policy, including
historical and projected expenses, and
loss ratios.
(g) Content of rate filing
documentation. (1) The rate filing
documentation supports the information
required under paragraphs (d) and (e) of
this section. This documentation must
be sufficient to permit HHS to conduct
a review to determine whether the rate
increase is an unreasonable rate increase
and must include the following:
(i) Description of the type of policy,
benefits, renewability, general
marketing method and issue age limits;
(ii) Scope and reason for the rate
increase;
(iii) Average annual premium per
policy, before and after the rate increase;
(iv) Past experience, and any other
alternative or additional data used;
(v) A description of how the rate
increase was determined, including the
general description and source of each
assumption used;
(vi) The cumulative loss ratio and a
description of how it was calculated;
(vii) The projected future loss ratio
and a description of how it was
calculated;
(viii) The projected lifetime loss ratio
that combines cumulative and future
experience, and a description of how it
was calculated;
(ix) Federal medical loss ratio
standard in the applicable market to
which the rate increase applies,
accounting for any adjustments
allowable under Federal law; and
(x) If the result under paragraph
(g)(1)(vii) of this section is less than the
standard under paragraph (g)(1)(ix) of
this section, a justification for this
outcome.
(2) If the health insurance issuer is
also required to submit a rate filing to
a State in connection with the rate
increase under State law, HHS will
accept a copy of the filing provided that
the filing includes all of the information
described in paragraph (g)(1)(i) through
paragraph (g)(1)(x) of this section.
(h) In the event the level of detail
provided by the issuer for the
information under paragraph (g) of this
section does not provide sufficient basis
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for HHS to determine whether the rate
increase is an unreasonable rate
increase, HHS will request the
additional information necessary to
make its determination. The health
insurance issuer must provide the
requested information to HHS within
five business days following its receipt
of the request.
(i) Posting of the disclosure on the
HHS Web site.
(1) HHS will promptly make available
to the public on its Web site the
information contained in parts one and
two of each preliminary justification.
(2) HHS will make available to the
public on its Web site the information
contained in part three of each
preliminary justification after its receipt
thereof.
(i) HHS will post any information
contained in part three of the
preliminary justification that is not
designated as ‘‘confidential’’ as defined
in HHS’s Freedom of Information Act
regulations, 45 CFR 5.65.
(ii) HHS will make a determination as
to whether to post information
designated as ‘‘confidential’’ under the
standards and procedure set forth in 45
CFR 5.65, and will post that information
only after making a determination that
it is subject to disclosure as provided by
45 CFR 5.65.
(3) HHS will include the following
disclaimer on its Web site with
information made available to the
public under this paragraph (i):
‘‘The preliminary justification is the initial
summary information regarding the rate
increase subject to review and does not
represent a determination that the rate
increase subject to review is an unreasonable
rate increase.’’
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§ 154.220 Timing of preliminary
justification.
A health insurance issuer must
submit a preliminary justification for all
rate increases subject to review that are
filed in a State on or after July 1, 2011,
or effective on or after July 1, 2011 in
a State that does not require the rate
increase subject to review to be filed, as
follows:
(a) If a State requires that a proposed
rate increase be filed with the State
prior to the implementation of the rate,
the health insurance issuer must submit
to HHS and the applicable State the
preliminary justification on the date on
which the health insurance issuer
submits the proposed rate increase to
the State.
(b) For all other States, the health
insurance issuer must submit to HHS
and the State the preliminary
justification prior to the implementation
of the rate increase.
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§ 154.225 Determination by HHS or a State
of an unreasonable rate increase.
(a) When HHS receives a preliminary
justification for a rate increase subject to
review and HHS reviews the rate
increase under § 154.210(a), HHS will
determine whether the rate increase is
an unreasonable rate increase.
(1) HHS will post on its Web site its
final determination and a brief
explanation of its analysis within five
business days following its final
determination.
(2) If HHS determines that the rate
increase is an unreasonable rate
increase, HHS will also provide its final
determination and brief explanation to
the health insurance issuer within five
business days following its final
determination.
(b) If a State conducts a review under
§ 154.210(b), HHS will adopt the State’s
determination of whether a rate increase
is unreasonable and post on the HHS
Web site the State’s final determination
described in § 154.210(b)(2).
(c) If a State determines that the rate
increase is an unreasonable rate increase
and the health insurance issuer is
legally permitted to implement the
unreasonable rate increase under
applicable State law, HHS will provide
the State’s final determination and brief
explanation to the health insurance
issuer within five business days
following HHS’s receipt thereof.
§ 154.230 Submission and posting of final
justifications for unreasonable rate
increases.
(a) If a health insurance issuer
receives from HHS a final determination
by HHS or a State that a rate increase
is an unreasonable rate increase, and the
health insurance issuer declines to
implement the rate increase or chooses
to implement a lower increase, the
health insurance issuer must submit to
HHS timely notice that it will not
implement the rate increase or that it
will implement a lower increase on a
form and in the manner prescribed by
the Secretary.
(b) If a health insurance issuer
implements a lower increase as
described in paragraph (a) of this
section and the lower increase does not
meet or exceed the applicable threshold
under § 154.200, such lower increase is
not subject to this part. If the lower
increase meets or exceeds the applicable
threshold, the health insurance issuer
must submit a new preliminary
justification under this part.
(c) If a health insurance issuer
implements a rate increase determined
by HHS or a State to be unreasonable,
the health insurance issuer must, within
the later of 10 days after the
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implementation of such increase or the
health insurance issuer’s receipt of
HHS’s final determination that a rate
increase is an unreasonable rate
increase:
(1) Submit to HHS a final justification
in response to HHS’s or the State’s final
determination, as applicable. The
information in the final justification
must be consistent with the information
submitted in the preliminary
justification supporting the rate
increase; and
(2) Prominently post on its Web site
the following information on a form and
in the manner prescribed by the
Secretary:
(i) The information made available to
the public by HHS and described in
§ 154.215(i);
(ii) HHS’s or the State’s final
determination and brief explanation
described in § 154.225(a) and
§ 154.210(b)(2), as applicable; and
(iii) The health insurance issuer’s
final justification for implementing an
increase that has been determined to be
unreasonable by HHS or the State, as
applicable.
(3) The health insurance issuer must
continue to make this information
available to the public on its Web site
for at least three years.
(d) HHS will post all final
justifications on the HHS Web site. This
information will remain available to the
public on the HHS Web site for three
years.
Subpart C–Effective Rate Review
Programs
§ 154.301 HHS’s determinations of
effective rate review programs.
(a) Effective rate review program. The
purpose of an effective rate review
program as set forth in this section is to
determine whether a rate increase is an
unreasonable rate increase. In
evaluating whether a State has an
effective rate review program, HHS will
apply the following criteria for the
review of rates for the small group
market and the individual market, and
also, as applicable depending on State
law, the review of rates for different
types of products within those markets:
(1) The State receives from issuers
data and documentation in connection
with rate increases that are sufficient to
conduct the examination described in
paragraph (a)(3) of this section.
(2) The State conducts an effective
and timely review of the data and
documentation submitted by a health
insurance issuer in support of a
proposed rate increase.
(3) The State’s rate review process
includes an examination of:
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(i) The reasonableness of the
assumptions used by the health
insurance issuer to develop the
proposed rate increase and the validity
of the historical data underlying the
assumptions; and
(ii) The health insurance issuer’s data
related to past projections and actual
experience.
(4) The examination must include an
analysis of:
(i) The impact of medical trend
changes by major service categories;
(ii) The impact of utilization changes
by major service categories;
(iii) The impact of cost-sharing
changes by major service categories;
(iv) The impact of benefit changes;
(v) The impact of changes in enrollee
risk profile;
(vi) The impact of any overestimate or
underestimate of medical trend for prior
year periods related to the rate increase;
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(vii) The impact of changes in reserve
needs;
(viii) The impact of changes in
administrative costs related to programs
that improve health care quality;
(ix) The impact of changes in other
administrative costs;
(x) The impact of changes in
applicable taxes, licensing or regulatory
fees;
(xi) Medical loss ratio; and
(xii) The health insurance issuer’s
risk-based capital status relative to
national standards.
(5) The State’s determination of
whether a rate increase is unreasonable
is made under a standard that is set
forth in State statute or regulation.
(b) HHS will determine whether a
State has an effective rate review
program for each market based on
documentation and information
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81029
received from the State or any other
information otherwise available to HHS
that its rate review program meets the
criteria described in paragraph (a) of
this section.
(c) HHS reserves the right to
determine that a State no longer has an
effective rate review program if HHS
determines that the State no longer
satisfies the criteria set forth in
paragraph (a) of this section.
Dated: December 16, 2010.
Jay Angoff,
Director, Office of Consumer Information and
Insurance Oversight.
Approved: December 16, 2010.
Kathleen Sebelius,
Secretary.
[FR Doc. 2010–32143 Filed 12–21–10; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 4150–03–P
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 75, Number 246 (Thursday, December 23, 2010)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 81004-81029]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2010-32143]
[[Page 81003]]
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Part V
Department of Health and Human Services
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45 CFR Part 154
Rate Increase Disclosure and Review; Proposed Rule
Federal Register / Vol. 75 , No. 246 / Thursday, December 23, 2010 /
Proposed Rules
[[Page 81004]]
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DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES
45 CFR Part 154
[OCIIO-9999-P; Docket No. HHS-OS-2010-0029]
RIN 0950-AA03
Rate Increase Disclosure and Review
AGENCY: Office of Consumer Information and Insurance Oversight (OCIIO),
Department of Health and Human Services (HHS).
ACTION: Notice of proposed rulemaking (NPRM).
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: This document contains proposed regulations implementing the
rules for health insurance issuers regarding the disclosure and review
of unreasonable premium increases under section 2794 of the Public
Health Service Act. The proposed rule would establish a rate review
program to ensure that all rate increases that meet or exceed an
established threshold are reviewed by a State or HHS to determine
whether the rate increases are unreasonable.
DATES: Send your comments on or before February 22, 2011.
ADDRESSES: All comments will be made available to the public.
Warning: Do not include any personally identifiable information
(such as name, address, or other contact information) or
confidential business information that you do not want publicly
disclosed. All comments are posted on the Internet exactly as
received, and can be retrieved by most Internet search engines. No
deletions, modifications, or redactions will be made to the comments
received, as they are public records. Comments may be submitted
anonymously.
In commenting, please refer to file code OCIIO-9999-P. Because of
staff and resource limitations, we cannot accept comments by facsimile
(FAX) transmission.
You may submit comments using any of the following methods (please
choose only one of the ways listed):
Electronically. You may submit electronic comments on this
regulation to https://www.regulations.gov. Follow the instructions under
the ``More Search Options'' tab.
Mail. You may mail written comments to the following
address ONLY: Office of Consumer Information and Insurance Oversight,
Department of Health and Human Services, Attention: OCIIO-9999-P, Room
445-G, Hubert H. Humphrey Building, 200 Independence Avenue, SW.,
Washington, DC 20201. Please allow sufficient time for mailed comments
to be received before the close of the comment period.
Hand or Courier. If you prefer, you may deliver (by hand
or courier) your written comments before the close of the comment
period to the following address: Office of Consumer Information and
Insurance Oversight, Department of Health and Human Services,
Attention: OCIIO-9999-P, Room 445-G, Hubert H. Humphrey Building, 200
Independence Avenue, SW., Washington, DC 20201.
(Because access to the interior of the Hubert H. Humphrey Building
is not readily available to persons without Federal government
identification, commenters are encouraged to leave their comments in
the OCIIO drop slots located in the main lobby of the building. A
stamp-in clock is available for persons wishing to retain a proof of
filing by stamping in and retaining an extra copy of the comments being
filed.)
Comments mailed to the address indicated as appropriate for hand or
courier delivery may be delayed and received after the comment period.
Submission of comments on paperwork requirements. You may submit
comments on this document's paperwork requirements by following the
instructions at the end of the ``Collection of Information
Requirements'' section in this document.
For information on viewing public comments, see the beginning of
the ``ADDITIONAL INFORMATION'' section.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
For questions concerning this proposed rule, contact Sally McCarty,
Office of Consumer Information and Insurance Oversight, Department of
Health and Human Services, by phone at (301) 492-4489 OR by e-mail at
ratereview@hhs.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Inspection of Public Comments: All comments received before the
close of the comment period are available for viewing by the public,
including any personally identifiable or confidential business
information that is included in a comment. We post all comments
received before the close of the comment period on the following Web
site as soon as possible after they have been received: https://regulations.gov. Follow the search instructions on that Web site to
view public comments.
Comments received timely will also be available for public
inspection as they are received, generally beginning approximately 3
weeks after publication of a document, at the headquarters of the
Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, 7500 Security Boulevard,
Baltimore, Maryland 21244, Monday through Friday of each week from 8:30
a.m. to 4 p.m. To schedule an appointment to view public comments,
phone 1-800-743-3951.
Table of Contents
I. Background
II. Provisions of the Proposed Rule
A. Introduction and Overview
B. Definitions (Sec. 154.102)
C. Applicability (Sec. 154.103)
D. Rate Increases Subject to Review (Sec. 154.200)
E. Review of Rate Increases Subject to Review by HHS or by a
State (Sec. 154.210)
F. Effective Rate Review Program (Sec. 154.301)
G. Unreasonable Rate Increases
H. Issuer Disclosure Required Under Part 154
III. Collection of Information Requirements
IV. Response to Comments
V. Regulatory Impact Analysis
I. Background
The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (Pub. L. 111-148),
was enacted on March 23, 2010; the Health Care and Education
Reconciliation Act (Pub. L. 111-152), was enacted on March 30, 2010. In
this preamble we refer to the two statutes collectively as the
Affordable Care Act. The Affordable Care Act reorganizes, amends, and
adds to the provisions of Part A of title XXVII of the Public Health
Service Act (PHS Act) relating to group health plans and health
insurance issuers in the group and individual markets.
The Department of Health and Human Services (HHS or the Department)
is issuing regulations in several phases in order to implement
revisions to the PHS Act made by the Affordable Care Act. Most of the
previous regulations were issued jointly with the Departments of Labor
and the Treasury. A request for comments relating to the medical loss
ratio (MLR) provisions of PHS Act section 2718 was published in the
Federal Register on April 14, 2010 (75 FR 19297) (notice, or request
for comments). A request for comments relating to the premium review
provisions of PHS Act section 2794 was also published by HHS in the
Federal Register on April 14, 2010 (75 FR 19335) (notice, or request
for comments). Additionally, a series of interim final regulations were
published earlier this year implementing PHS Act provisions added by
the Affordable Care Act. Specifically, interim final rules were
published implementing (1) section 2714 (requiring dependent coverage
of children to age 26) (75 FR 27122 (May 13, 2010)); (2) section 1251
of the Affordable Care Act (relating to status as a grandfathered
health plan) (75 FR 34538 (June 17, 2010)); (3) sections 2704
(prohibiting preexisting condition exclusions), 2711
[[Page 81005]]
(regarding lifetime and annual dollar limits on benefits), 2712
(regarding restrictions on rescissions), and 2719A (regarding patient
protections) (75 FR 37188 (June 28, 2010)); (4) section 2713 (regarding
preventive health services) (75 FR 41726 (July 19, 2010)); (5) section
2719 (regarding internal claims and appeals and external review
processes) (75 FR 43330 (July 23, 2010)). HHS published interim final
regulations implementing PHS Act section 2718 (regarding medical loss
ratio (75 FR 74864 (December 1, 2010)). HHS, Department of Labor, and
Department of the Treasury also published an amendment to the interim
final regulations relating to status as a grandfathered health plan
(regarding change in health insurance issuers) in the Federal Register
on November 17, 2010 (75 FR 70114). The Departments have also published
sub-regulatory guidance regarding various issues related to the
implementation of the Affordable Care Act, available at https://www.dol.gov/ebsa and https://www.hhs.gov/ociio.
These proposed regulations are being published to implement section
2794 of the PHS Act, relating to the disclosure and review of
unreasonable premium increases.\1\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ There are two sections numbered 2794 in the Public Health
Service Act. The Section 2794 that is the basis for this rule is
entitled ``Ensuring That Consumers Get Value For Their Dollars.''
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
II. Provisions of the Proposed Rule
A. Introduction and Overview
Section 1003 of the Affordable Care Act adds a new PHS Act section
2794 which directs the Secretary, in conjunction with the States, to
establish a process for the annual review of ``unreasonable increases
in premiums for health insurance coverage.'' The statute provides that
this process shall require health insurance issuers to submit to the
Secretary and the applicable State a justification for an unreasonable
premium increase prior to the implementation of the increase.
The review process required under section 2794 does not preempt or
supplant any existing State laws or processes governing the review of
insurance premiums, including any State authority to prevent the
implementation of unreasonable rates. Many States' laws already provide
that rates may not be approved, or may not remain in effect, if they
are excessive or unreasonable in relation to the benefits provided or
fail to satisfy other statutory standards. Specifically, our review of
State law indicates that 43 of the 50 States currently have some rate
review process, in either the individual or small group markets, or
both.
This proposed regulation recognizes the traditional role of the
States in regulating insurance rates and builds on existing State-based
rate review processes. In circumstances where HHS is reviewing rates
rather than a State, which we believe will be a minority of States that
have not yet established effective rate review programs as discussed
below, a determination by HHS that a rate increase is ``unreasonable''
under section 2794 would not prevent any health insurance issuer from
implementing a rate increase permitted by State law. In this regard,
this proposed regulation preserves the opportunity for insurers to
implement a proposed rate that is consistent with State law. Moreover,
the process established by this proposed regulation would not result in
any delay in an issuer's ability to implement a proposed rate increase.
In other words, the requirements of Section 2794 only supplement and
complement, rather than supplant, and do not interfere with, existing
State laws and processes for rate review.
Section 2794 of the PHS Act directs the Secretary, in conjunction
with the States, to establish a process for the annual review of
unreasonable increases in ``premiums.'' ''Premium'' is the final amount
charged to a specific insured. For those States that currently review
proposed increases in ``premiums,'' it is the underlying rates and
methods that are the subject of the actuarial review conducted by these
States.
To determine rates for a specific insurance product, the issuer
must estimate future claims costs in connection with that product and
then the revenue needed to pay anticipated claims and non-claims
expenses, such as administrative expenses including profits. The costs
that will be incurred and the revenue that will be received are not
known at the time the rate is established (indeed, the number of people
that will be covered by the product is not known), so the rates must be
based on an actuarial estimate of these costs and of the non-claims
expenses. It is these estimates, along with the methodology used to
determine them, that are the subject of the actuarial review conducted
by States that have authority to review premium or rate increases.
Once the overall amount of revenue needed is established, the
premium that will be charged to specific insureds is determined.
Generally, the premium charged will vary depending on characteristics
such as age, geography, and in the individual market in many States,
health status. It will also vary based on choices made by the insured,
such as the amount of deductibles and co-pays. The criteria that may be
used and the differences in premium that may be charged are determined
by State law.
This proposed regulation, therefore, provides a process for the
review of unreasonable rate increases, based upon the practice in
States that conduct effective reviews of the cost of health insurance
coverage.
Section 2794 of the PHS Act does not define what makes a rate
increase ``unreasonable,'' nor does it specify the process that should
be used for determining whether a particular rate increase is
unreasonable (requiring that a review be conducted and a justification
submitted). Therefore, this proposed regulation provides a definition
of an ``unreasonable'' rate increase, and outlines a process that would
be used by HHS when reviewing rate increases to determine which rates
are subject to review and among them which are ``unreasonable.''
We considered two types of processes that arguably could satisfy
the requirement in 2794 that unreasonable rates be reviewed. One would
establish, by regulation, a standard of unreasonableness, based on some
criteria other than an actuarial standard or actual review. For
example, any rate increase exceeding the average increase for similar
products during the previous year, or any rate increase exceeding a
rate of inflation of medical costs by a specific amount, could be
deemed to be unreasonable. Under this approach, any rate increase over
a pre-determined percentage would be considered ``unreasonable'' and
therefore subject to review. However, while consumers may view any
large increase in the cost of their health insurance coverage to be
``unreasonable,'' it is not possible to know whether an increase is
``unreasonable'' from an actuarial standpoint until the proposed
increase, and the underlying assumptions, have been the subject of
actuarial analysis. Moreover, while such an approach may be relatively
easy to administer, for the reasons stated above it almost certainly
would label as ``unreasonable'' rate increases that are not
unreasonable from an actuarial standpoint. This point was made in
numerous comments received in response to the Request for Comments
published on April 14, 2010 in the Federal Register (75 FR 19335).
Those comments suggest that HHS should not establish a definition of an
unreasonable rate increase by, for example, providing that all rate
increases greater than a specified
[[Page 81006]]
percentage would be deemed to be unreasonable.
In addition, this ``literal'' reading under which rates are deemed
``unreasonable'' at the outset, in the absence of review, would make
any ``review'' process meaningless, as the outcome of any review (that
is, whether the rate was ``unreasonable'') would have been pre-
determined.
This proposed regulation instead proposes an alternative approach
that is consistent with the language of section 2794; is more narrowly
focused on what we interpret to be the purpose of that section; and
would not involve the anomaly of ``pre-determining'' the reasonableness
of a rate before it has been reviewed. Under this approach, if a
proposed rate increase equals or exceeds a defined threshold, it would
be considered ``subject to review.'' The review process would then
determine if the increase is, in fact, unreasonable. This approach
interprets the statutory ``process'' for reviewing unreasonable rate
increases as a process under which rates that may ultimately be
determined to be unreasonable are reviewed. Under this interpretation,
identifying potentially unreasonable rates for review is reasonably an
element of a broader process for the review of proposed rate increases.
Rates above the threshold would not be deemed or otherwise
determined to be unreasonable in advance of this review. As discussed
below, for rate increases filed in a State on or after July 1, 2011, or
effective on or after July 1, 2011 in a State that does not require a
rate increase to be filed, the threshold for whether rates are subject
to review would be whether the average weighted increase in the rate
filing, alone or in combination with prior increases in the preceding
12 month period, is 10 percent or more.
In establishing the 10 percent threshold for determining which
rates are subject to review, HHS has balanced the wide range of
available data on rate and medical trend increases. HHS reviewed
available data and literature on insurance rate increases in States and
general trends in health care costs. HHS reviewed each State's
applicable Web site, and determined that the information related to
rate trends posted on these Web sites is limited. Our review of the
limited data available suggests that the majority of increases in the
individual market exceeded 10 percent each year for the past 3 years.
These yearly increases significantly exceed some national measures
of medical cost inflation, such as the medical component of the
Consumer Price Index, whose inflation has typically ranged from 3.7
percent to 4.4 percent. The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services'
National Health Expenditures (NHE) data is another measure of health
care cost trends based on overall national health care spending. The
five most recent years of available NHE data suggest that overall
health care expenditures have increased at an annual rate between 4.4
percent to 6.9 percent. Some commenters suggested using these indices
as thresholds for a review of rate increases. Another national index,
the Standard & Poor's Healthcare Economic Commercial Index, also
measures insurance rate trends. The S & P Index measures trends in
provider claims costs, which encompasses both unit cost and utilization
changes; the trend in that index from September 2009 to September 2010
was 8.5 percent.
The 10 percent threshold established in this regulation exceeds
these major indices and in doing so balances industry concerns that any
threshold would be over-inclusive with the competing concern that it
would subject to review too few rates that may be unreasonable. As we
discuss below, when better and more specific data on trends in
insurance rates in individual States can be collected, State-specific
thresholds would be established.
This approach does not provide for the review of every proposed
rate increase, no matter how small, to determine whether it is
unreasonable. We recognize that the choice of any threshold makes it
inevitable that unreasonable rate increases below the threshold will
not be reviewed, and that a proposed increase of less than 10 percent
would be unreasonable if the actuarial assumptions underlying the
increase were invalid or unreasonable. In proposing this approach, HHS
also has taken into consideration the fact that many States, as
discussed below, conduct a rate review process for all rate increases
without regard to the magnitude of the increase. We expect the number
of States conducting such reviews to increase in light of additional
resources provided under the rate review grants and passage of State
legislation. Therefore, as a practical matter, in a growing number of
States, there is even less likelihood that an unreasonable increase
below the threshold would be implemented.
In this regulation, HHS proposes an approach that balances the
regulatory burdens that would be imposed on both the agency and the
industry if every rate increase, no matter how small, were to be
reviewed for unreasonableness against the potential harm to consumers
should a small, but unreasonable, increase not be reviewed and the
issuer not be required to provide a final justification for the
increase. We invite comments on whether 10 percent is a reasonable
threshold to apply in determining which rate increases will be subject
to review.
In establishing an initial 10 percent threshold for whether a rate
increase is subject to review, as discussed below, HHS recognizes that
rates, underlying costs, and health care trends vary from State to
State. Many factors influence the magnitude and frequency of increases
in the States, and a single, national filing threshold does not reflect
all of the local variations. As a consequence, HHS would propose, for
future calendar years, to establish State-specific thresholds for each
future calendar year by September 15th of the prior year. In
determining each State-specific threshold, HHS would consider the
State-specific data submitted for each rate increase subject to review,
and also the State-specific data received by HHS from those States that
have received ``premium review grants'' under section 2794(c) of the
PHS Act. To the extent that a State insurance regulator has other data
that could serve as the basis for a State-specific threshold, that
would be considered as well.
As discussed below, the State-specific threshold would be based on
the same analysis used to develop the initial 10 percent threshold, but
would be based on data from the specific State, rather than the
national data we analyzed in selecting the proposed 10 percent figure.
In response to the Request for Comments, many commenters also
suggested that the rate review process should not apply to rate
increases in the large group market. Currently, our review of State law
indicates that only 18 States have authority to review rates for all or
part of the large group market. Applying this regulation to the large
group market would result in a process that is not closely aligned with
most State processes upon which the regulation is modeled. In addition,
many issuers are not accustomed to submitting proposed rate increases
for review in this market. Finally, purchasers in the large group
market have greater leverage than those in the individual and small
group markets, and therefore may be better able to avoid imposition of
unreasonable rate increases. For these reasons, under this proposed
regulation, rates in the large group market would not be subject to the
rate review process we are proposing. HHS solicits specific comments on
whether, in the future, if rate increases in the large group market
were subject to a review process under
[[Page 81007]]
section 2794, if that process should differ from the process provided
for in this proposed regulation for the individual and small group
markets.
In recognition of the primary role States have in reviewing rates
today, HHS would defer to the definitions used under applicable State
rate filing laws when determining whether a rate filing relates to
health insurance coverage offered in the individual market, small group
market, or large group market, where such laws differ from the
definitions of these terms in the PHS Act. HHS believes that deferring
to the definitions employed in State rate filing laws ensures that the
rate review process under this proposed regulation would not disrupt
current State rate filing and review practices; however, we are
soliciting public comment on alternative approaches. We note that this
is solely for rate filing purposes. Federal law distinctions in the
Affordable Care Act regarding group size apply for all other purposes
unless otherwise specified. As discussed below, where State rate
filings laws do not contain definitions of small and large group
markets, we propose to employ the definitions in the Public Health
Service Act, with the caveat that the number used for a cut-off between
small and large groups would remain at 50 employees, as is currently
the case in all States, even though States have the option of using 100
employees prior to 2016, and a 100 employee cut-off would be used after
that date.
Rate increases for health insurance coverage for ``excepted
benefits,'' as described in paragraph (1) of subsection (c) of section
2791 of the PHS Act, or in paragraphs (2), (3) or (4) of such
subsection, if the benefits are provided under a separate policy,
certificate of contract of insurance, would also be exempted from
review under this proposed regulation. Excepted benefits, such as
dental and vision, do not appear to be a principal focus of the
Affordable Care Act, and the regulatory burden that would be imposed on
the industry and HHS would not justify reviewing rate increases for
these benefits.
All rate increases that meet or exceed the 10 percent threshold
would be reviewed, by the relevant State, or by HHS in the smaller
number of cases where States do not yet have an effective process in
place. The proposed regulation would use the definition of States set
forth in section 2791(d)(14) of the PHS Act, which defines States to
include each of the several States, the District of Columbia, Puerto
Rico, the Virgin Islands, Guam, American Samoa, and the Northern
Mariana Islands. Consistent with the statutory requirement in section
2794 that the rate review process be established ``in conjunction with
the States,'' the proposed regulation provides that HHS would adopt a
State's determination of whether a rate increase is unreasonable if the
State has an effective rate review program for rates filed in a
particular market. This element of the proposed regulation preserves
the primary role States have today in reviewing rates. So long as a
State can conduct an effective review of proposed rate increases that
meet or exceed the applicable threshold, State determinations will be
adopted by HHS.
HHS expects that a significant majority of States would currently
meet the standards for having an effective review process in one or
both of the individual or small group markets, and we anticipate the
remainder would likely establish an effective rate review process as
they obtain needed statutory authority or implement new or enhanced
review procedures. More than 10 States indicated in their applications
for rate review grants they would be seeking additional legislative
authority to enhance their existing processes.
HHS would evaluate whether a State has an effective rate review
program based on four main factors, all of which currently represent
the best practices among the many States which conduct review today.
The first factor is whether the State receives from health insurance
issuers' data and documentation sufficient to determine whether a rate
increase is unreasonable. As noted above, many States have these
provisions today. The second factor is whether the State effectively
reviews the data and documentation submitted by health insurance
issuers in support of a rate increase. The third factor is whether the
State review examines the reasonableness of the assumptions used by the
issuer in developing its rate proposal and the historic data underlying
those assumptions. The proposed regulation also describes the areas of
analysis that a State's review would be required to include in order
for it to be deemed effective. The fourth factor is whether the State
applies a standard set forth in statute or regulation when making the
determination of whether a rate increase is unreasonable. This proposed
regulation does not establish a standard for unreasonableness that a
State must use or apply; nor does it require a numerical standard to be
applied under State law to determine whether a rate increase is
unreasonable. Rather, a State regulator would apply the applicable
standards that exist under State law. Finally, we are soliciting public
comment on whether the public's ability to comment on unreasonable rate
increases during the review process should be considered as one
criterion for an effective rate review program.
As noted above, section 2794 does not provide a definition of
``unreasonable'' rate increases. The proposed regulation provides that
States would apply the standards set forth in State law or regulation
when determining whether a rate increase is unreasonable. As mentioned
above, many States' laws provide that rates may not be approved, or may
not remain in effect, if they are excessive or unreasonable in relation
to the benefits provided or fail to satisfy other statutory standards.
Specifically, our review of States' laws indicates that 43 of the 50
States currently have some rate review process in either the individual
or small group markets, or both. 16 States and the District of Columbia
explicitly prohibit insurance rates from being excessive, inadequate,
or unfairly discriminatory. In addition, 13 States prohibit rates from
being both unreasonable in relation to the benefits provided and
excessive, inadequate, or unfairly discriminatory. Finally, an
additional 14 States prohibit rates from being unreasonable in relation
to the benefits provided. For the remaining 8 States, we did not
identify any explicit statutory standards that address the
unreasonableness of rates; however, these States may use other legal
tools available to regulate unreasonable rates. In addition, based on
the rate review grant applications, some Territories either have a rate
review process in place today, or expect to implement a process in the
future.
When a State with an effective rate review program determines
whether a rate increase violates the standards set forth in State law
and therefore whether the increase is unreasonable, HHS would adopt
that determination and would not conduct an independent review of the
State's determination. Given this proposed regulation, and the rate
review grants made available to States under Section 2794 of the PHS
Act, it is likely that, as States gain rate review authority and
improve their rate review programs, the number of States in which HHS
would be conducting reviews would diminish over time.
For rate increases filed in markets for which a State does not have
an effective rate review process, HHS would conduct a review of the
proposed rate increases to determine whether they are unreasonable
until such time as the State implements an effective review process in
that market. This proposed regulation provides that where HHS conducts
rate reviews, the standard for
[[Page 81008]]
unreasonable would be whether the rate increase is ``excessive,''
``unjustified,'' or ``unfairly discriminatory.'' The proposed
regulation lists the factors that HHS would consider when determining
if a rate increase is excessive, unjustified or unfairly
discriminatory, and therefore, unreasonable.
Consistent with the statutory requirement that a ``justification''
be filed before an unreasonable rate may be implemented, the regulation
also proposes to require that for rate increases that are subject to
review (because they meet or exceed the 10 percent review threshold), a
preliminary justification would have to be submitted to the applicable
State in which the increase is proposed to be implemented, as long as a
State accepts such submissions, and to HHS. The regulation sets out the
proposed contents of the preliminary justification. The preliminary
justification would be divided into three parts, each part having a
different purpose. The proposed regulation would require health
insurance issuers to complete parts one and two of the preliminary
justification, regardless of whether a State or HHS is reviewing the
rate increase. The information that would be contained in parts one and
two of the preliminary justification is intended to provide consumers
with a description of the rate increase and the factors contributing to
the increase, including both a descriptive and a quantitative analysis.
The information required to be provided in the preliminary
justification supplements, and does not conflict with, State laws
specifying what issuers must file with the State when they propose to
increase rates. Those laws continue to govern what the issuer must file
with the State, and would be unaffected by this proposed regulation and
the requirement that the preliminary justification must be filed with
HHS.
When HHS is reviewing a rate increase, issuers would be required to
submit the additional data required under part three of the preliminary
justification in order to allow HHS to conduct a comprehensive
actuarial review of the increase. The specific data reporting
requirements in part three of the preliminary justification are modeled
on the actuarial memorandum guidelines included in NAIC Model
Regulation 134-1. In the event the level of detail provided by a health
insurance issuer does not provide a sufficient basis for HHS to review
a rate increase, HHS would request from the health insurance issuer the
additional information necessary to complete its review.
Parts one and two of the preliminary justification would promptly
be posted to the HHS Web site so that insurance consumers are on notice
of proposed increases and have basic information about the factors the
issuer asserts are causing the increase. HHS will also post on its Web
site before any information contained in part three of the preliminary
justification that has not been designated as ``confidential'' as
defined in HHS's Freedom of Information Act regulations, 45 CFR Sec.
5.65. HHS will make a determination as to whether to post information
designated as ``confidential'' under the standards and procedure set
forth in those regulations, and will post that information only after
making a determination that it is subject to disclosure as provided by
those regulations.
If HHS reviews a rate increase and determines it to be
unreasonable, HHS would provide its final determination to the health
insurance issuer. If the issuer chooses not to implement the
unreasonable rate increase, or to implement a lower increase than it
had proposed and such lower increase is below the applicable subject to
review threshold, the issuer would be required to provide a final
notification to this effect to HHS. If the issuer chooses to implement
a lower increase but the lower increase is above the applicable subject
to review threshold, the lower increase would be subject to review and
the issuer would be required to submit a new preliminary justification.
If the issuer implements an unreasonable rate increase, it would have
to provide to HHS a final justification in response to HHS's
determination of unreasonableness. HHS would post its final
determination and the issuer's final notification or final
justification on its Web site. If the issuer chooses to implement the
rate increase, it would be required to post its preliminary
justification, HHS's determination and its final justification on its
Web site.
One of the elements of an effective rate review program, discussed
more fully below, is that the State's review would include an analysis
of certain specific factors set forth in this proposed regulation and
which are based on the common practices that States employ today. In
addition, the State would provide to the issuer and to HHS its
determination of whether a rate increase is unreasonable, along with an
explanation of how its analysis of the factors set forth in the
proposed regulation caused it to arrive at that determination. HHS
would adopt determinations made by States with effective rate review
programs. When HHS has adopted a State's determination as to whether a
rate increase is unreasonable, HHS would post the State's final
determination on its Web site, together with the issuer's final
justification in the event that the issuer chose to implement a rate
increase that was determined to be unreasonable by the State.
B. Definitions (Sec. 154.102)
The proposed regulation provides the following key definitions that
would apply to the rate review process used by HHS, and to its
determination regarding whether a rate increase is unreasonable. The
definitions are discussed here because they are unique to this
regulation or may be of particular interest to enrollees, health
insurance issuers, consumers, regulators, and others. Defined terms
that conform to definitions commonly used in the health insurance
industry, such as ``insurance,'' or that have already been defined in
Federal law, are not discussed here.
1. Individual Market and Small Group Market
As discussed above, in order to ensure that the rate review process
outlined in the proposed regulation is consistent with the process used
by States in performing rate reviews, and in order to avoid any
disruption to the current State rate filing and review practices, the
definitions of ``individual market'' and ``small group market'' would
be defined as they are under the applicable State's rate filing laws,
if such laws include such definitions. For example, several States
define a small group to include 2 to 25 employees for rating purposes,
and the small group rating requirements in these States do not apply to
groups with 26 or more employees. Further, certain States consider
association plans to be large employers for rating purposes. In such
circumstances, and only for this purpose, HHS would defer to applicable
State law when determining whether a rate increase in that State
relates to the small group market. For all other purposes the
definitions set forth in the PHS Act govern as applicable.
In addition, for purposes of rate review under this regulation
only, if the State rate filing law does not include a definition of
small or large group, the definition under the PHS Act would be used,
except that a small group would be defined to include 1 to 50
employees. Currently, under the Affordable Care Act definitions, States
have the option until 2016 of using 50 or 100 as the cutoff for a small
group, with 100 applying after that date, and all States have elected
the 50 option. Thus, if
[[Page 81009]]
there are no definitions of small and large group in a State's rate
filing law, this proposed regulation would define ``small group'' to
include 1 to 50 employees.
2. Unreasonable Rate Increase
The proposed regulation defines a rate increase as ``unreasonable''
if it is ``unjustified,'' ``excessive,'' or ``unfairly
discriminatory,'' as these terms are more fully described in Sec.
154.205, but this proposed definition would apply only to rate
increases that are reviewed by HHS, and would not create a Federal
standard for States to use when determining whether a rate increase is
unreasonable. These terms are described consistently with the standards
that are most commonly used by States to identify rate increases that
are not in compliance with State law.
Since HHS would be adopting the determinations of States with an
effective rate review program, the proposed regulation includes in the
definition of ``unreasonable rate increase,'' those rate increases that
have been determined by a State to be excessive, unjustified, unfairly
discriminatory or otherwise unreasonable under applicable State law.
Accordingly, a State with an effective review program would be
permitted to use any applicable standards set forth in statute or
regulation for determining whether a rate increase that is subject to
review is unreasonable. This serves to preserve and recognize existing
State laws relating to unreasonable rates. HHS recognizes that factors
other than those addressed in the proposed regulation may be viewed as
potentially impacting the reasonableness of a rate, including the
structure and competitiveness of the market, and we are therefore
soliciting public comment to identify these factors and whether they
should be considered in determining whether a rate increase is
unreasonable.
C. Applicability (Sec. 154.103)
The requirements of this proposed regulation would generally be
applicable to all health insurance issuers offering small group or
individual health insurance coverage in a State.
Section 2794 of the PHS Act does not apply to grandfathered health
plan coverage (See 45 CFR 147.140 (75 FR 34538, June 17, 2010, as
amended by 75 FR 70114, November 17, 2010)), so these proposed
regulations similarly would not apply to such coverage.
In addition, insurance coverage that meets the ``excepted
benefits'' definition set forth in section 2791(c) of the PHS Act and
45 CFR 144.103 would not be subject to these proposed regulations.
While ``excepted benefits'' are not explicitly exempt from section 2794
of the PHS Act, they are exempt from other provisions of the PHS Act,
as added by the Affordable Care Act. ``Excepted benefits'' do not
appear to be the focus of the rate review provisions of the Affordable
Care Act. Therefore, the proposed regulation would exempt ``excepted
benefits,'' to allow for the consistent administration of the PHS Act
with respect to these defined benefits.
While HHS recognizes that the rate review provisions of section
2794 of the PHS Act do not specify to which particular segments of the
insurance market the rate review provisions apply, and contain no
specific exclusion for the large group market, HHS proposes that these
provisions should only apply to the small group and individual market
at this time. The significant majority of States focus their efforts on
review of rates within the small group and individual markets.
Purchasers in the large group market are viewed as more sophisticated
purchasers, who may have greater leverage and therefore better ability
to avoid the imposition of unreasonable rate increases, also mitigating
the need for more active regulation. Many States have limited authority
over the large group market, so under the framework set out in this
regulation, few States could satisfy the standards for an effective
review process in the large group market. Taking these factors into
consideration, as noted above, these proposed regulations would not
apply to the large group market. HHS may, however, revise these
regulations at a future date to cover such plans, and solicits specific
comments on whether, in the future, if rate increases in the large
group market were subject to a review process under Section 2794, that
process should be different than the one provided for in this
regulation for the small and individual group markets.
Although section 2794 of the PHS Act directs that implementation of
the annual rate review process begin with the 2010 plan year, the rate
review process established in the proposed regulation would begin
implementation with rate increases filed in a State on or after July 1,
2011, or effective on or after July 1, 2011 in a State that does not
require rate increases to be filed, due to several factors. At the time
that the Affordable Care Act amendments to the PHS Act first became
effective, on March 23, 2010, many health insurance issuers had already
implemented rate increases for the 2010 plan or policy year, and many
more had taken necessary steps to implement increases in the immediate
months that followed. Since that time, in fulfilling the statute's
directive that an effective rate review program be developed in
conjunction with the States, the National Association of Insurance
Commissioners (NAIC) has been working to develop appropriate reporting
and disclosure mechanisms, and HHS has provided input into this
development process. HHS also deemed it appropriate to solicit public
comments prior to the promulgation of this proposed regulation, through
the Request for Comments published on April 14, 2010. Finally, this
regulation is being issued in proposed form, with opportunity for
further comments which specifically address this proposed regulation.
Therefore, as noted, the rate review process outlined in this proposed
regulation would begin with rate increases filed in a State on or after
July 1, 2011 or effective on or after July 1, 2011 in a State that does
not require rate increases to be filed.
D. Rate Increases Subject To Review (Sec. 154.200)
1. Applicable Threshold for Rate Increases Subject To Review
As explained previously, while section 2794 of the PHS Act directs
the Secretary to establish a process for the annual review of
unreasonable increases in ``premiums,'' HHS has interpreted this as
referring to the underlying ``rates'' that are used to develop the
premiums. This is consistent with how these terms are most commonly
used by State regulators and the insurance industry. Often, the rate
review process performed by States is one that reviews changes to the
rating structure for a plan or policy, as opposed to premium increases
within the plan or policy that are derived from the underlying rating
structure. Therefore a ``rate increase'' alters the underlying rate
structure of a policy form, while a ``premium increase'' can occur even
without any increase (or change) to the underlying rate structure. For
example, for policies that are age-rated, as the duration of the policy
advances, premium changes that correlate with age bands are not ``rate
increases,'' since they do not change the underlying rate structure.
For these reasons, the term ``rate'' is used instead of the statutory
term ``premium'' throughout the text of the proposed regulation.
Since it is not possible under the provisions of this proposed
regulation to know before conducting a review of a proposed rate
increase whether it is ``unreasonable,'' the process that would
[[Page 81010]]
be established must provide for the review of a range of proposed rate
increases, some of which ultimately would be determined to be
unreasonable, while others would not. This proposed regulation
therefore provides that for health insurance coverage offered in the
individual or small group market all proposed rate increases above the
defined threshold would be ``subject to review.'' In establishing a
threshold for rate increases subject to review, the Secretary has
balanced the need to set a standard that would effectively capture
unreasonable increases, while avoiding unnecessary filing burdens for
health insurance issuers with regard to increases that are likely to be
reasonable.
The review of a rate increase subject to review, and the
determination of whether the rate increase is unreasonable, must take
into account the unique experience of a health insurance product and
cannot be subject to a simple, fixed value. Therefore, under the
proposed rule, a rate increase that is subject to review would not be
per se unreasonable. For 2011, the threshold for whether a rate
increase is subject to review is a rate increase of 10 percent or more.
This applies not only to a single rate increase, but also to multiple
rate increases of less than 10 percent that, when added to one or more
previous increases within the preceding 12 month period, total 10
percent or more.
In establishing the 10 percent threshold, as noted earlier, HHS
reviewed available data and literature on insurance rate increases in
States and general trends in health care costs. HHS reviewed each
State's applicable Web site, and determined that the information
related to rate trends posted on these Web sites is limited. A small
number of States make available data on rate increases in different
insurance market segments in that State. Our review of this data
suggests that the majority of increases in the individual market
exceeded 10 percent each year for the past 3 years. Trends are slightly
lower in the small group market, but over 40 percent of increases still
exceeded 10 percent. In fact, in the States examined, rate increases in
the individual market and small group market typically exceeded 15
percent. These yearly increases significantly exceed some national
measures of medical cost inflation, such as the medical component of
the Consumer Price Index, whose inflation has typically ranged from 3.7
percent to 4.4 percent. The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services'
National Health Expenditures (NHE) data is another measure of health
care cost trends based on overall national health care spending. The
five most recent years of available NHE data suggest that overall
health care expenditures have increased at an annual rate between 4.4
percent to 6.9 percent. Commenters point out that the factors which
account for the NHE or the medical component of the CPI are different
than the various components that account for increases in insurance
rates. For example, the medical component of CPI does not take into
account utilization of health care services, or the risk profiles of
specific populations but is instead based on prices for certain
services provided to the general population. Health insurance rates are
affected, not only by the prices charged by the providers of health
care services, but also by changes in the rate at which those services
are accessed and the characteristics of the group covered by the
insurance. Another national index, the Standard & Poor's Healthcare
Economic Commercial Index, also measures insurance rate trends. The S &
P Index measures trends in provider claims costs, which encompasses
both unit cost and utilization changes; the trend in that index from
September 2009 to September 2010 was 8.5 percent.
In establishing a 10 percent threshold for determining which rates
are subject to review, HHS has balanced the wide range of available
data on rate and medical trend increases. If, for example, the NHE or
medical component of the CPI represented an accurate measure of
insurance rate trends, then a threshold for review could be established
consistent with those indices under the theory that rate increases in
line with those trends were reasonable because they tracked medical
cost trends generally, and increases that exceed those measures are
more likely to be unreasonable. However, since neither of those
particular measures captures the many factors that affect insurance
rates, using those measures as a threshold for reviewing rates under
section 2794 would be over-inclusive. Under that approach, rather than
capturing potentially unreasonable or excessive rate increases, almost
all rate increases would be subject to review. Such a result would not
be consistent with the intent of section 2794. For these reasons, a 10
percent threshold is a reasonable accommodation between the observed,
but limited data available regarding trends in rate increases in the
States, and the available but not precisely comparable data on general
trends in health care costs and spending, and recognizes that other
factors may justify a larger rate increase.
As noted earlier, the Secretary would seek to establish a State-
specific threshold for each future calendar year no later than
September 15th of the preceding calendar year, beginning in 2011,
provided applicable State-specific trend data is available. If a State-
specific threshold is not established by the Secretary for an
applicable calendar year, the 10 percent threshold would continue to
apply.
A State-specific threshold, to the extent it can be developed,
would be based on the same kind of analysis used in establishing the
proposed 10 percent threshold, but would account for State-specific
variations in rate increases based on the cost of health care,
utilization patterns, and other factors affecting health insurance
rates in a State. HHS would use trend data and other information made
available to HHS from States receiving premium review grants and
through the reporting and notification requirements of this proposed
regulation to develop State-specific thresholds, when possible.
In developing the 10 percent threshold, the Secretary considered
the level of aggregation that should apply when determining whether a
rate increase meets or exceeds the threshold, and the Secretary
received numerous comments on this issue. Comments received from
issuers, the American Academy of Actuaries, and industry groups
proposed the use of a higher level of aggregation of multiple policy
forms to improve statistical credibility. Typically, this aggregation
occurs within a market segment. Consumer groups, on the other hand,
generally favored lower levels of aggregation. Finally, various State
regulators sent comments describing how individual State rate review
laws affect the level of aggregation used in performing rate reviews.
In considering the broad range of perspectives represented by the
comments on aggregation, the proposed regulation requires the
consideration of rate increases at the ``product'' level when
determining whether the increase is subject to review. Product would be
defined under this proposed regulation as a package of health insurance
coverage benefits with a discrete set of rating and pricing
methodologies that a health insurance issuer offers in a State. Most
States require issuers to submit each ``product'' as a separate form
filing prior to marketing the ``product'' in the State. While each
filed ``product'' may include variable options (such as different cost-
sharing or deductible requirements), this definition,
[[Page 81011]]
consistent with State law, does not consider each variable option as a
separate ``product.'' Any rate increase for a product that meets or
exceeds the applicable threshold is subject to review. However, if an
issuer has rate increases that meet or exceed the applicable threshold
for multiple products, the issuer may submit a single, combined
preliminary justification for those products combined, provided (i) the
experience of all combined products has been aggregated to calculate
the rate increases, and (ii) the rate increase is the same across all
combined products.
2. Determining Whether a Rate Increase Meets or Exceeds the Threshold
A rate increase would meet or exceed the applicable threshold if
the weighted average increase for all enrollees subject to the rate
increase meets or exceeds the applicable threshold. In this case, the
weighted average takes into account the number of enrollees affected by
each particular rate increase and represents the given increase
proportionately. Specifically, we assume that different subcategories
of enrollees will experience varying rate increases. The weighted
average is calculated as follows: For each subcategory of enrollees
subject to the same rate increase, we multiply the number of enrollees
by the respective rate increase. The products are then summed over all
subcategories. The sum is then divided by the total number of enrollees
to arrive at the weighted average rate increase.
A rate increase meets or exceeds the threshold either by itself, or
when considered cumulatively with any previous rate increases
implemented with respect to the product during the preceding 12-month
period. Therefore, a single rate increase which by itself falls below
the applicable threshold must be aggregated with rate increases
implemented during the 12 month period preceding its effective date in
order to determine whether it is subject to review. If a rate increase
meets or exceeds the threshold when combined with a previous increase
or increases during the 12-month period preceding the date on which the
rate increase would become effective, the rate increase is subject to
review, and such review shall include a review of the aggregate rate
increases during the applicable 12-month period.
E. Review of Rate Increases Subject To Review by a State or by HHS
(Sec. 154.210)
As noted above, under this proposed regulation, States would
continue to have primary responsibility for the review of rate
increases. HHS would only review rates when a State has not yet
established a process, including adequate legal authority, to do so.
While not every State is currently equipped to conduct an effective
review of insurance rates, the significant majority of States have a
review process for some or all of the individual or small group
markets, and many are planning to expand their authority to review
rates using the grants provided in the Affordable Care Act detailed
below. We fully expect that the vast majority of States will be able to
conduct effective reviews in the future, should they choose to.
A Kaiser Family Foundation survey designed to explore what rate
review authority States have and how they exercise it, identifies
various reasons that explain why there is wide variation in the review
of rate increases by States.\2\ Some States have no legislative
authority to approve or disapprove rates, while others have the
authority to approve rates prior to implementation, or disapprove rates
before or after implementation. Among States with robust legislative
authority, a thorough rate review is contingent on State resources,
staffing, and statutory timelines. The effectiveness of a State rate
review program depends on State law as well as insurance department
resources and practices, and will be determined, for purposes of this
regulation, based on the State's ability to meet the criteria set forth
in Sec. 154.301.
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\2\ Kaiser Family Foundation, ``Rate Review: Spotlight on State
Efforts to Make Health Insurance More Affordable,'' December 2010,
available at https://www.kff.org/healthreform/upload/8122.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Section 2794(c) of the PHS Act established a program to award
``premium review grants.'' Section 2794(c) makes available a total of
$250 million through 2014 for the provision of grants to States to
support their efforts to enhance review of premium increases. These
grants are available to States with the goal of improving existing rate
review programs, developing rate review programs in States where none
exist, and improving the transparency of the rate review process for
the public. On August 16, 2010 HHS announced the first cycle of grant
awards totaling the amount of $46 million to build upon States' current
processes for reviewing, and to the extent permitted by State law,
approving health insurance premium increases. Forty-five States and the
District of Columbia applied for grants, and each was awarded $1
million in grant funds.
In applying for the first phase of these grants in 2010, some
States indicated a need for additional resources to make the State's
rate review program more effective. Many States indicated they lacked
funding to hire actuaries and to secure other resources essential to a
meaningful rate review program. Therefore, the rate review process
under this proposed regulation, in conjunction with the rate review
grant program, would enhance the quality and quantity of review of rate
increases that States are able to conduct, building on their existing
efforts and processes.
By requiring the Secretary to develop a rate review process in
conjunction with the States, Congress also recognized that many States
have significant experience reviewing rate increases and understand the
local market forces driving health insurance rate increases. Therefore,
HHS is proposing a rate review process that leverages State experience
and expertise.
Section 154.210 of the proposed regulation sets forth the factors
that would determine whether HHS would review rate increases that are
subject to review or whether HHS would adopt the determination made by
a State regarding whether a rate increase is an unreasonable rate
increase. To the extent that a State has an effective rate review
program in a given market, as evaluated by HHS using the criteria set
forth more fully below, HHS would adopt that State's determinations
regarding rate increases subject to the State's review in a given
market. Accordingly, upon receipt of the State's final determination
and explanation for its determination, HHS would adopt the
determination of a State that has an effective rate review program
regarding whether a rate increase is unreasonable under applicable
State law. If a State does not have an effective rate review program in
place for the individual or small group markets within the State, only
then would HHS review rate increases and make its own determinations of
whether the rate increases are unreasonable.
F. Effective Rate Review Program (Sec. 154.301)
1. General Criteria for an Effective Rate Review Program
This regulation sets out specific criteria, set forth in Sec.
154.301(a), for evaluating whether a State has an effective rate review
program in the individual and small group markets. Specifically
defining these criteria provides transparency to the rate review
process as these criteria are readily available to the States, health
insurance issuers, and consumers. These criteria
[[Page 81012]]
were developed solely for the purpose of establishing the standards
that HHS would use to evaluate, in consultation with the States,
whether a State's rate review process is effective, or whether HHS
would conduct rate reviews and make a determination as to whether a
rate increase is unreasonable. Since a State may be in the process of
improving its rate review program, and may be using grant funds and
other resources for this purpose, HHS would make its determination
based on the State's existing rate review program, including any recent
changes made that would satisfy the criteria for an effective rate
review program set forth in Sec. 154.301(a).
Under proposed Sec. 154.301(a)(1), we set forth four criteria for
an effective rate review program. These criteria are drawn from common
practices that States use today for effective reviews. Underlying these
proposed criteria is the principle that the purpose of an effective
rate review program is to affirmatively determine, based on substantial
evidence on the record as a whole, whether a rate increase is an
unreasonable rate increase. The proposed regulation specifies that in
order for a State's rate review program to be considered effective, the
State needs to have the legal authority to obtain data and
documentation that is sufficient to conduct an effective examination.
The State would also be required to effectively review data and
documentation submitted in support of rate increases. An effective rate
review program would have to include an examination of both (i) the
reasonableness of the assumptions used by the health insurance issuer
in developing the rate proposal and the validity of historical data
underlying such assumptions; and (ii) the issuer's data related to past
projections and actuarial experience. As is the case for those States
conducting effective review today, this examination of assumptions and
past projections would be required to include analyses of at least the
following twelve areas that typically impact rates:
Medical trend changes by major service categories;
Utilization changes by major service categories;
Cost-sharing changes by major service categories;
Benefit changes;
Changes in enrollee risk profile;
Impact of over- or under-estimate of medical trend in
previous years on the current rate;
Reserve needs;
Administrative costs related to programs that improve
health care quality;
Other administrative costs;
Applicable taxes, licensing or regulatory fees;
Medical loss ratio; and
The health insurance issuer's risk-based capital status
relative to national standards.
Finally, the State's determination of whether a rate increase is
unreasonable would be made under a stand