Approval and Promulgation of State Implementation Plans; State of Colorado; Interstate Transport of Pollution Revisions for the 1997 8-hour Ozone NAAQS: “Interference With Maintenance” Requirement, 56935-56942 [2010-23294]
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Federal Register / Vol. 75, No. 180 / Friday, September 17, 2010 / Proposed Rules
• Does not provide EPA with the
discretionary authority to address, as
appropriate, disproportionate human
health or environmental effects, using
practicable and legally permissible
methods, under Executive Order 12898
(59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994).
In addition, this rule does not have
tribal implications as specified by
Executive Order 13175 (65 FR 67249,
November 9, 2000), because the SIP is
not approved to apply in Indian country
located in the state, and EPA notes that
it will not impose substantial direct
costs on tribal governments or preempt
tribal law.
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection, Air
pollution control, Incorporation by
reference, Intergovernmental relations,
Nitrogen dioxide, Ozone, Particulate
matter, Reporting and recordkeeping
requirements, Volatile Organic
Compounds.
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.
Dated: September 9, 2010.
Carol Rushin,
Acting Regional Administrator, Region 8.
[FR Doc. 2010–23292 Filed 9–16–10; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6560–50–P
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
[EPA–R08–OAR–2007–1035; FRL–9202–7]
Approval and Promulgation of State
Implementation Plans; State of
Colorado; Interstate Transport of
Pollution Revisions for the 1997 8-hour
Ozone NAAQS: ‘‘Interference With
Maintenance’’ Requirement
Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed Rule.
AGENCY:
EPA is proposing to approve
the ‘‘State of Colorado Implementation
Plan to Meet the Requirements of Clean
Air Act section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)—
Interstate Transport Regarding the 1997
8-Hour Ozone Standard’’ addressing the
‘‘interference with maintenance’’
requirement of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
On June 18, 2009 the State of Colorado
submitted an interstate transport State
Implementation Plan (SIP) addressing
the interstate transport requirements
under section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) of the
Clean Air Act (CAA). In this action, EPA
is proposing to approve the Colorado
Interstate Transport SIP provisions that
address the section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)
requirement prohibiting a state’s
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SUMMARY:
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emissions from interfering with
maintenance of the 1997 8-hour ozone
National Ambient Air Quality Standards
(NAAQS) by any other state. This action
is being taken under section 110 of the
CAA.
DATES: Comments must be received on
or before October 18, 2010.
ADDRESSES: Submit your comments,
identified by Docket ID No. EPA–R08–
OAR–2007–1035, by one of the
following methods:
• https://www.regulations.gov. Follow
the on-line instructions for submitting
comments.
• E-mail:
mastrangelo.domenico@epa.gov
• Fax: (303) 312–6064 (please alert
the individual listed in the FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT if you are faxing
comments).
• Mail: Callie Videtich, Director, Air
Program, Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA), Region 8, Mailcode 8P–
AR, 1595 Wynkoop Street, Denver,
Colorado 80202–1129.
• Hand Delivery: Callie Videtich,
Director, Air Program, Environmental
Protection Agency (EPA), Region 8,
Mailcode 8P–AR, 1595 Wynkoop,
Denver, Colorado 80202–1129. Such
deliveries are only accepted Monday
through Friday, 8 a.m. to 4:30 p.m.,
excluding Federal holidays. Special
arrangements should be made for
deliveries of boxed information.
Instructions: Direct your comments to
Docket ID No. EPA–R08–OAR–2007–
1035. EPA’s policy is that all comments
received will be included in the public
docket without change and may be
made available online at https://
www.regulations.gov, including any
personal information provided, unless
the comment includes information
claimed to be Confidential Business
Information (CBI) or other information
whose disclosure is restricted by statute.
Do not submit information that you
consider to be CBI or otherwise
protected through https://
www.regulations.gov or e-mail. The
https://www.regulations.gov Web site is
an ‘‘anonymous access’’ system, which
means EPA will not know your identity
or contact information unless you
provide it in the body of your comment.
If you send an e-mail comment directly
to EPA, without going through https://
www.regulations.gov, your e-mail
address will be automatically captured
and included as part of the comment
that is placed in the public docket and
made available on the Internet. If you
submit an electronic comment, EPA
recommends that you include your
name and other contact information in
the body of your comment and with any
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disk or CD–ROM you submit. If EPA
cannot read your comment due to
technical difficulties and cannot contact
you for clarification, EPA may not be
able to consider your comment.
Electronic files should avoid the use of
special characters, any form of
encryption, and be free of any defects or
viruses. For additional instructions on
submitting comments, go to Section I.
General Information of the
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION section of
this document.
Docket: All documents in the docket
are listed in the https://
www.regulations.gov index. Although
listed in the index, some information is
not publicly available, e.g., CBI or other
information whose disclosure is
restricted by statute. Certain other
material, such as copyrighted material,
will be publicly available only in hard
copy. Publicly-available docket
materials are available either
electronically in https://
www.regulations.gov or in hard copy at
the Air Program, Environmental
Protection Agency (EPA), Region 8,
Mailcode 8P–AR, 1595 Wynkoop,
Denver, Colorado 80202–1129. EPA
requests that if at all possible, you
contact the individual listed in the FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT section to
view the hard copy of the docket. You
may view the hard copy of the docket
Monday through Friday, 8 a.m. to 4
p.m., excluding Federal holidays.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Domenico Mastrangelo, Air Program,
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,
Region 8, Mailcode 8P–AR, 1595
Wynkoop, Denver, Colorado 80202–
1129, (303) 312–6436,
mastrangelo.domenico@epa.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Definitions
For the purpose of this document, we
are giving meaning to certain words or
initials as follows:
(i) The words or initials Act or CAA
mean or refer to the Clean Air Act,
unless the context indicates otherwise.
(ii) The words EPA, we, us or our
mean or refer to the United States
Environmental Protection Agency.
(iii) The initials SIP mean or refer to
State Implementation Plan.
(iv) The words Colorado and State
mean the State of Colorado.
Table of Contents
I. General Information
What should I consider as I prepare my
comments for EPA?
II. Background
III. What action is EPA proposing?
IV. What is the State process to submit these
materials to EPA?
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V. EPA’s Review and Technical Information
A. EPA’s Evaluation of Interference with
Maintenance
B. Colorado Transport SIP
VI. Proposed Action
VII. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
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I. General Information
What should I consider as I prepare
my comments for EPA?
1. Submitting CBI. Do not submit CBI
to EPA through https://
www.regulations.gov or e-mail. Clearly
mark the part or all of the information
that you claim to be CBI. For CBI
information in a disk or CD ROM that
you mail to EPA, mark the outside of the
disk or CD ROM as CBI and then
identify electronically within the disk or
CD ROM the specific information that is
claimed as CBI. In addition to one
complete version of the comment that
includes information claimed as CBI, a
copy of the comment that does not
contain the information claimed as CBI
must be submitted for inclusion in the
public docket. Information so marked
will not be disclosed except in
accordance with procedures set forth in
40 CFR part 2.
2. Tips for Preparing Your Comments.
When submitting comments, remember
to:
Identify the rulemaking by docket
number and other identifying
information (subject heading, Federal
Register date and page number).
Follow directions—The agency may
ask you to respond to specific questions
or organize comments by referencing a
Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) part
or section number.
Explain why you agree or disagree;
suggest alternatives and substitute
language for your requested changes.
Describe any assumptions and
provide any technical information and/
or data that you used.
If you estimate potential costs or
burdens, explain how you arrived at
your estimate in sufficient detail to
allow for it to be reproduced.
Provide specific examples to illustrate
your concerns, and suggest alternatives.
Explain your views as clearly as
possible, avoiding the use of profanity
or personal threats.
Make sure to submit your comments
by the comment period deadline
identified.
II. Background
On July 18, 1997, EPA promulgated
new NAAQS for ozone and for fine
particulate matter (PM2.5). This action is
being taken in response to the
promulgation of the 1997 8-hour ozone
NAAQS. This action does not address
the requirements for the 1997 or 2006
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PM2.5, or the 2008 8-hour ozone
NAAQS; those standards will be
addressed in later actions.
Section 110(a)(1) of the CAA requires
states to submit SIPs to address a new
or revised NAAQS within 3 years after
promulgation of such standards, or
within such shorter period as EPA may
prescribe. Section 110(a)(2) lists the
elements that such new SIPs must
address, as applicable, including section
110(a)(2)(D)(i), which pertains to
interstate transport of certain emissions.
On August 15, 2006, EPA issued its
‘‘Guidance for State Implementation
Plan (SIP) Submissions to Meet Current
Outstanding Obligations Under Section
110(a)(2)(D)(i) for the 8-Hour Ozone and
PM2.5 National Ambient Air Quality
Standards’’ (2006 Guidance). EPA
developed the 2006 Guidance to make
recommendations to states for making
submissions to meet the requirements of
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) for the 1997 8hour ozone standards and the 1997
PM2.5 standards.
As identified in the 2006 Guidance,
the ‘‘good neighbor’’ provisions in
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) require each state
to submit a SIP that prohibits emissions
that adversely affect another state in the
ways contemplated in the statute.
Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) contains four
distinct requirements related to the
impacts of interstate transport. The SIP
must prevent sources in the state from
emitting pollutants in amounts which
will: (1) Contribute significantly to
nonattainment of the NAAQS in other
states; (2) interfere with maintenance of
the NAAQS in other states; (3) interfere
with provisions to prevent significant
deterioration of air quality in other
states; or (4) interfere with efforts to
protect visibility in other states.
On June 18, 2009, EPA received a SIP
revision from the State of Colorado
intended to address the requirements of
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) for the 1997 8hour ozone standards. In this
rulemaking, EPA is addressing only the
requirements that pertain to preventing
sources in Colorado from emitting
pollutants that will interfere with
maintenance of the 1997 8-hour ozone
NAAQS by other states. In its
submission, the State of Colorado
indicated that its current SIP is adequate
to prevent such interference. With this
submission, the state intended to meet
the recommendations of the 2006
Guidance for SIP submissions to meet
the second element of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i) for the 1997 8-hour ozone
standard.
III. What action is EPA proposing?
EPA is proposing approval of a
portion of the Colorado Interstate
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Transport of Air Pollution SIP
addressing the requirements of CAA
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) for the 1997 8hour ozone NAAQS. On December 30,
2008, the Colorado Air Quality Control
Commission (AQCC) adopted the ‘‘State
of Colorado Implementation Plan to
Meet the Requirements of the Clean Air
Act Section 110(a)(2)(d)(i)(I)—Interstate
Transport Regarding the 1997 8-Hour
Ozone Standard’’ (Colorado Interstate
Transport SIP). Colorado submitted this
SIP revision to EPA on June 18, 2009.
In this Federal Register action EPA is
proposing to approve only the language
and demonstration that, in this SIP
revision, address the requirements of
element (2), i.e., the prohibition of
interference with maintenance of the
1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS by any other
state.
IV. What is the State process to submit
these materials to EPA?
Section 110(k) of the CAA addresses
EPA’s rulemaking action on SIP
submissions by states. The CAA
requires states to observe certain
procedural requirements in developing
SIP revisions for submittal to EPA.
Section 110(a)(2) of the CAA requires
that each SIP revision be adopted after
reasonable notice and public hearing.
This must occur prior to the revision
being submitted by a state to EPA.
The Colorado AQCC held in early
December 2008 a public hearing for the
Colorado Interstate Transport SIP
revision, adopted it on December 30,
2008, and the State submitted it to EPA
on June 18, 2009.
On November 18, 2009, the AQCC
provided EPA with an exact color
duplicate of the SIP adopted by the
AQCC on December 30, 2008 and
included in the June 18, 2009 submittal
to EPA. In the original submittal, AQCC
provided a black and white copy. The
SIP’s color duplicate, available for
review as part of the Docket, makes it
easier to understand modeling results
reported in several graphs that are part
of the SIP technical demonstration.
EPA has reviewed the submittal from
the State of Colorado and has
determined that the State met the
requirements for reasonable notice and
public hearing under section 110(a)(2)
of the CAA.
V. EPA’s Review and Technical
Information
A. EPA’s Evaluation of Interference
With Maintenance
The second element of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i) requires that a state’s SIP
must prohibit any source or other type
of emissions activity in the state from
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emitting pollutants that would ‘‘interfere
with maintenance’’ of the applicable
NAAQS by any other state. This term is
not defined in the statute. Therefore,
EPA has interpreted this term in past
regulatory actions, such as the 1998
NOX SIP Call, in which EPA took action
to eliminate emissions of NOX that
significantly contributed to
nonattainment, or interfered with
maintenance of, the then applicable
ozone NAAQS through interstate
transport of NOX and the resulting
ozone.1 The NOX SIP Call was the
mechanism through which EPA
evaluated whether or not the NOX
emissions from sources in certain states
had such prohibited interstate impacts,
and if they had such impacts, required
the states to adopt substantive SIP
revisions to eliminate the NOX
emissions, whether through
participation in a regional cap and trade
program or by other means.
After promulgation of the 1997 8-hour
ozone NAAQS and the 1997 PM2.5
NAAQS, EPA again recognized that
regional transport was a serious concern
throughout the eastern U.S. and
therefore developed the 2005 Clean Air
Interstate Rule (CAIR) to address
emissions of SO2 and NOX that
exacerbate ambient ozone and PM2.5
levels in many downwind areas through
interstate transport.2 Within CAIR, EPA
likewise interpreted the term ‘‘interfere
with maintenance’’ as part of the
evaluation of whether or not the
emissions of sources in certain states
had such impacts on areas that EPA
determined would either be in violation
of the NAAQS, or would be in jeopardy
of violating the NAAQS, in a modeled
future year unless action were taken by
upwind states to reduce SO2 and NOX
emissions. Through CAIR, EPA again
required states that had such interstate
impacts to adopt substantive SIP
revisions to eliminate the SO2 and NOX
emissions, whether through
participation in a regional cap and trade
program or by other means.
EPA’s 2006 Guidance addressed
section 110(a)(2)(D) requirements for the
1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS and 1997
PM2.5 NAAQS. For those states subject
to CAIR, EPA indicated that compliance
with CAIR would meet the two
requirements of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)
for these NAAQS. For states not within
1 See, 63 FR 57356 (October 27, 1998). EPA’s
general approach to section 110(a)(2)(D) was upheld
in Michigan v. EPA, 213 F.3d 663 (D.C. Cir. 2000),
cert denied, 532 U.S. 904 (2001). However, EPA’s
approach to interference with maintenance in the
NOX SIP Call was not explicitly reviewed by the
court. See, North Carolina v. EPA, 531 F.3d 896,
907–09 (D.C. Cir. 2008). Continued
2 See, 70 FR 25162 (May 12, 2005).
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the CAIR region, EPA recommended
that states evaluate whether or not
emissions from their sources would
‘‘interfere with maintenance’’ in other
states, following the conceptual
approach adopted by EPA in CAIR.
After recommending various types of
information that could be relevant for
the technical analysis to support the SIP
submission, such as the amount of
emissions and meteorological
conditions in the state, EPA further
indicated that it would be appropriate
for the state to assess impacts of its
emissions on other states using
considerations comparable to those used
by EPA ‘‘in evaluating significant
contribution to nonattainment in the
CAIR.’’ 3 EPA did not make specific
recommendations for how states should
assess ‘‘interfere with maintenance’’
separately, and discussed the first two
elements of section 110(a)(2)(D) together
without explicitly differentiating
between them.
In 2008, however, the U.S. Court of
Appeals for the DC Circuit found that
CAIR and the related CAIR federal
implementation plans were unlawful.4
Among other issues, the court held that
EPA had not correctly addressed the
second element of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) in CAIR. The court
noted that ‘‘EPA gave no independent
significance to the ‘interfere with
maintenance’ prong of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) to separately identify
upwind sources interfering with
downwind maintenance.’’ 5 EPA’s
approach, the court reasoned, would
leave areas that are ‘‘barely meeting
attainment’’ with ‘‘no recourse’’ to
address upwind emissions sources.6
The court therefore concluded that a
plain language reading of the statute
requires EPA to give independent
meaning to the interfere with
maintenance requirement of section
110(a)(2)(D) and that the approach used
by EPA in CAIR failed to do so.
In addition to affecting CAIR directly,
the court’s decision in the North
Carolina case indirectly affects EPA’s
recommendations to states in the 2006
Guidance with respect to the interfere
3 Memorandum from William T. Harnett entitled,
‘‘Guidance for State Implementation Plan (SIP)
Submissions to Meet Current Outstanding
Obligations Under Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) for the 8hour Ozone and PM2.5 National Ambient Air
Quality Standards,’’ Aug. 15, 2006, p. 5. (‘‘2006
Guidance’’). Available for review in EPA’s
September 15, 2010 docket document entitled:
‘‘Relevant Guidance and Supporting Documentation
for the Proposed Rulemaking Federal Register
Action Docket ID # EPA–R08–OAR–2007–1035.’’
4 See, North Carolina v. EPA, 531 F.3d 896 (D.C.
Cir. 2008).
5 Id. at 909.
6 Id.
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with maintenance element of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) because the agency’s
guidance suggested that states use an
approach comparable to that used by
EPA in CAIR. States such as Colorado
developed and adopted their Interstate
Transport SIPs not long after the Court’s
July 2008 decision, but well before EPA,
in the Transport Rule Proposal (see
below), was able to propose a new
approach for the interference with
maintenance element. Without
recommendations from EPA, Colorado’s
SIP may not have sufficiently
differentiated between the significant
contribution to nonattainment and
interference with maintenance elements
of the statute, and relied in a general
way on the difference between
monitored concentrations and the 1997
8-hour ozone NAAQS to evaluate the
impacts of State emissions on
maintenance of the NAAQS in
neighboring states. EPA believes that it
is necessary to evaluate these state
submissions for section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)
in such a way as to assure that the
interfere with maintenance element of
the statute is given independent
meaning and is appropriately evaluated
using the types of information that EPA
recommended in the 2006 Guidance. To
accomplish this, EPA believes it is
necessary to use an updated approach to
this issue and to supplement the
technical analysis provided by the state
in order to evaluate the submissions
with respect to the interfere with
maintenance element of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i).
EPA has recently proposed a new rule
to address interstate transport pursuant
to section 110(a)(2)(D)(i), the ‘‘Federal
Implementation Plans to Reduce
Interstate Transport of Fine Particulate
Matter and Ozone’’ (Transport Rule
Proposal), in order to address the
judicial remand of CAIR.7 As part of the
Transport Rule Proposal, EPA
specifically reexamined the section
110(a)(2)(D)(i) requirement that
emissions from sources in a state must
not ‘‘interfere with maintenance’’ of the
1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS and 1997
PM2.5 NAAQS by other states. In the
proposal, EPA developed an approach
to identify areas that it predicts to be
close to the level of the 1997 8-hour
ozone NAAQS and 1997 PM2.5 NAAQS
in the future, and therefore at risk to
become or continue to be nonattainment
for these NAAQS unless emissions from
sources in other states are appropriately
controlled. This approach starts by
identifying those specific geographic
7 See ‘‘Federal Implementation Plans to Reduce
Interstate Transport of Fine Particulate Matter and
Ozone,’’ 75 FR 45210 (August 2, 2010).
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areas for which further evaluation is
appropriate, and differentiates between
areas where the concern is with
interference with maintenance, rather
than with significant contribution to
nonattainment.
As described in more detail below,
EPA’s analysis evaluates data from
existing monitors over three overlapping
three year periods (i.e., 2003–2005,
2004–2006, and 2005–2007), as well as
air quality modeling data, in order to
determine which areas are predicted to
be violating the 1997 8-hour ozone and
PM2.5 NAAQS in 2012, and which areas
are predicted potentially to have
difficulty with maintaining attainment
as of that date. In essence, if an area’s
projected data for 2012 indicates that it
would be violating the NAAQS based on
the average of these three overlapping
periods, then this monitor location is
appropriate for comparison for purposes
of the significant contribution to
nonattainment element of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i). If, however, an area’s
projected data indicate that it would be
violating the NAAQS based on the
highest single period, but not over the
average of the three periods, then this
monitor location is appropriate for
comparison for purposes of the interfere
with maintenance element of the
statute.
By this method, EPA has identified
those areas with monitors that are
appropriate ‘‘maintenance sites’’ or
maintenance ‘‘receptors’’ for evaluating
whether the emissions from sources in
another state could interfere with
maintenance in that particular area. EPA
then uses other analytical tools to
examine the potential impacts of
emissions from upwind states on these
maintenance receptors in downwind
states. EPA believes that this new
approach for identifying those areas that
are predicted to have maintenance
problems is appropriate to evaluate the
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) SIP submission of
a state for the interfere with
maintenance element.8 EPA’s 2006
Guidance did not provide this specific
recommendation to states, but in light of
the court’s decision on CAIR, EPA will
itself follow this approach in acting
upon the Colorado submission.
As explained in the 2006 Guidance,
EPA does not believe that section
110(a)(2)(D)(i) SIP submissions from all
states necessarily need to follow
8 To begin this analysis, EPA first identifies all
monitors projected to be in nonattainment or, based
on historic variability in air quality, projected to
have maintenance problems in 2012. These
maintenance receptors are close to the level of the
1997 ozone and PM2.5 NAAQS such that minor
variations in weather or emissions could result in
violations of the NAAQS in 2012.
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precisely the same analytical approach
as CAIR. In the 2006 Guidance, EPA
stated that: ‘‘EPA believes that the
contents of the SIP submission required
by section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) may vary
depending upon the facts and
circumstances related to the specific
NAAQS. In particular, the data and
analytical tools available at the time the
State develops and submits a SIP for a
new or revised NAAQS necessarily
affects the contents of the required
submission.’’ 9 EPA also indicated in the
2006 Guidance that it did not anticipate
that sources in states outside the
geographic area covered by CAIR were
significantly contributing to
nonattainment, or interfering with
maintenance, in other states.10 As noted
in the Transport Rule Proposal, EPA
continues to believe that the more
widespread and serious transport
problems in the eastern United States
are analytically distinct. For the 1997 8hour ozone NAAQS and the 1997 PM2.5
NAAQS, EPA believes that
nonattainment and maintenance
problems in the western United States
are relatively local in nature with only
limited impacts from interstate
transport.11 In the Transport Rule
Proposal, EPA did not calculate
interstate ozone or PM2.5 contributions
to or from western states.
Accordingly, EPA believes that
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) SIP submissions
for states not evaluated in the Transport
Rule Proposal may be evaluated using a
‘‘weight of the evidence’’ approach that
takes into account available relevant
information, such as that recommended
by EPA in the 2006 Guidance for states
outside the area affected by CAIR. Such
information may include, but is not
limited to, the amount of emissions in
the state relevant to the NAAQS in
question, the meteorological conditions
in the area, the distance from the state
to the nearest monitors in other states
that are appropriate receptors, or such
other information as may be probative to
consider whether sources in the state
may interfere with maintenance of the
1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS in other
states. These submissions can rely on
modeling when acceptable modeling
technical analyses are available, but
EPA does not believe that modeling is
necessarily required if other available
information is sufficient to evaluate the
presence or degree of interstate
transport in a given situation.
9 2006
Guidance at 4.
at 5.
11 See, Transport Rule Proposal, 75 FR 45210,
45277.
10 Id.
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B. Colorado Transport SIP
To meet the requirements of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) for the 1997 8-hour
ozone standard, the State of Colorado
developed and submitted to EPA on
June 18, 2009 an Interstate Transport
SIP that focused primarily on the
‘‘significant contribution to
nonattainment’’ requirement of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i) and, as noted earlier,
addressed only in a limited way the
interference with maintenance
requirement of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I).
On June 3, 2010, EPA approved the
Colorado Interstate Transport SIP
provision that require that emissions
from a state’s sources do not
significantly contribute to
nonattainment of the 1997 8-hour ozone
NAAQS in any other state. To
demonstrate that emissions from
Colorado do not interfere with
maintenance of the 1997 8-hour ozone
NAAQS in neighboring states, the
Colorado Interstate Transport SIP uses
results from Colorado’s 2009 ‘‘8-Hour
Ozone Attainment Plan’’ for the DMA/
NFR nonattainment area, and a report
from the Western States Air Resource
(WESTAR) Council to underscore that:
(a) Local anthropogenic ozone
contribution to high ozone
concentrations in Denver is only about
25%; and (b) on days of highest ozone
concentrations (reflecting a design value
of 84.9 ppb) in the DMA/NFR area, the
projected design values decrease to 63
ppb or less for all downwind Colorado
counties east of an imaginary northsouth line approximately 70 miles east
from Denver.12 EPA does not agree with
the State of Colorado Interstate
Transport SIP’s assessment that these
results demonstrate that ‘‘the magnitude
of ozone transport from Colorado to
other states is too low to * * * interfere
with maintenance by any other state
with respect to the 0.08 ppm NAAQS’’
as the sole basis for evaluating the
state’s interference.13 The limited
contribution of local emissions to
nonattainment in the DMA/NFR and the
quick drop in ozone levels in the
easternmost Colorado counties, in and
by themselves do not exclude a
potential for interference with
maintenance of the 8-hour ozone
NAAQS from Colorado emissions to
downwind maintenance areas. Rather,
as a reflection of emission levels, the
relatively (to the 1997 8-hour ozone
12 Colorado Interstate Transport SIP, December
12, 2009, Figure 5 at 15. Note that the modeling
analysis domain for the DMA/NFR attainment plan
was limited to the State’s territory, and that the 70
mile distance represents the approximate distance
from Denver to the western border of Morgan
County, Colorado.
13 Id. at 17.
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NAAQS) moderate ozone concentrations
in eastern Colorado and in neighboring
states somewhat reduce the probability
that State emissions interfere with
maintenance of the NAAQS by these
states.14
EPA is evaluating the Colorado
Interstate Transport SIP taking into
account the methodologies and analysis
results developed in the Transport Rule
Proposal in response to the judicial
remand of CAIR. As noted previously,
the Transport Rule Proposal includes a
new approach to determine whether
emissions from a state interfere with
maintenance of the 1997 8-hour ozone
NAAQS and the 1997 PM2.5 NAAQS by
other states. In this action, EPA is using
a comparable approach to that of the
Transport Rule Proposal in order to
determine if emissions from Colorado
sources interfere with maintenance of
the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS by other
states.
To evaluate ambient impacts from
upwind states to maintenance receptors,
the Transport Rule Proposal evaluates,
through air quality modeling of each
state’s emissions, the contribution from
individual states to downwind
maintenance receptors. States that
contribute pollutant concentrations
below the significance threshold for
interference with maintenance,
proposed at one percent of the NAAQS,
are excluded from further analysis.15
For the 1997 8-hour ozone standard
state contributions of 0.8 ppb and higher
are considered above the threshold,
while ozone contribution less than 0.8
ppb are below the threshold.
In the Transport Rule Proposal, EPA
projected future concentrations of ozone
at monitors to identify areas that are
expected to be out of attainment with
NAAQS or to have difficulty
maintaining compliance with the
NAAQS in 2012. To determine the
states that may cause interference at the
maintenance receptors, the Transport
Rule Proposal models the states’ ozone
contribution to these maintenance
receptors. Because the Transport Rule
Proposal does not model the
contribution of emissions from Colorado
(and other western states not fully
inside the Transport Rule Proposal’s
modeling domain) to 8-hour ozone
maintenance receptors in other states,
our assessment relies on a weight of
evidence approach that considers
relevant information (such as
identification of maintenance receptors
14 Similar evidence is provided by the substantial
gap between the 1997 8-hour ozone standard and
the design values at monitors in adjacent
downwind states such as Kansas, New Mexico,
Utah, and Wyoming. Id. at 7–8.
15 Transport Rule Proposal, 75 FR 45210, 45254.
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and estimates of ozone contributions)
from the Transport Rule Proposal
pertaining to states within its modeling
domain, and additional material such as
geographical and meteorological factors,
modeling analysis results from other
studies, back trajectory analyses, and
AQS monitoring data. While
conclusions reached for each of the
factors considered in the following
analysis are not in and by themselves
determinative, consideration of these
factors together provides a reliable
qualitative conclusion that emissions
from Colorado are not likely to interfere
with maintenance of the 1997 8-hour
ozone NAAQS at monitors in other
states.
Our analysis begins by assessing
Colorado’s contribution to the closest
maintenance receptors for the 1997 8hour ozone standard. The Transport
Rule Proposal identifies within its
modeling domain (consisting of 37
states east of the Rocky Mountains, and
the District of Columbia) 16
maintenance receptors, among which
the eight closest to Colorado are eight
receptors in the Dallas Fort Worth
(DFW) and Houston-Galveston-Brazoria
(HGB) 8-hour ozone nonattainment
areas.16
Two of the three DFW area
maintenance receptors are in Dallas
County (Hinton Street and Dallas
Executive Airport sites), and the third is
in Tarrant County (Keller site).17 These
monitors are at least 500 miles from
Colorado.18 Distance by itself is not an
obstacle to long range transport of ozone
and/or its precursors. NOX, the primary
ozone precursor that is the object of the
Transport Rule Proposal, may be
transported for long distances, and
contribute significantly to high ozone
concentrations in other states. However,
with increasing distance there are
greater opportunities for ozone or NOX
dispersion and/or removal from the
atmosphere due to the effect of winds or
16 The remaining eight maintenance-only sites are
in a handful of East Coast states: Connecticut,
Georgia, New York and Pennsylvania. See Table IV
C–12, Transport Rule Proposal, at 45252–253.
17 The 500 mile estimate represents the
approximate distance between Lamar, in the
southeastern corner of Colorado, and Dallas, Texas.
The monitors’ Site ID Numbers are: Hinton, 48–
113–0069; Executive Airport, 48–113–0087; and
Keller, 48–439–2003. See id. For monitors’ site
names, see online TCQE web page at https://
www.tceq.state.tx.us/cgi-bin/compliance/monops/
site_info.pl.
18 This distance underestimates the average
distance covered by emissions from Colorado
sources for at least two reasons: (a) Most Colorado
sources are further north and/or west from the DFW
area than Lamar; (b) 500 miles represents the
distance along a straight pathway from Lamar to
Dallas, Texas, as compared to the pathways full of
twists and turns that often characterize the long
range transport of air parcels.
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chemical sink processes. As a result,
one may conclude that the
approximately 500 miles from Colorado
sources of X emissions to the DFW area
maintenance receptors reduces, but does
not exclude, the possibility that the
Colorado emissions interfere with
maintenance of the NAAQS at these
receptors.
Because pollutant transport is linked
to wind direction, we examine how
frequently air masses from Colorado
pass through or end in the DFW area
that includes the maintenance receptors
identified above. The State of Texas’
2007 attainment demonstration for the
DFW area points out, without
quantifying contributions, how heavily
the area’s ozone concentrations are
affected by substantial transport from
other areas. Average ozone background
levels for DFW (reflecting
concentrations contributed to the area
by emissions from sources within Texas
but outside the nonattainment area, and
from sources outside Texas) are
estimated to range between 44 and 61
ppb, with peak averages between 64 and
68 ppb on days when 8-hour ozone
concentrations exceed the 1997
standard.19
To evaluate the impact of wind
direction on ozone transport from
Colorado to the DFW maintenance
receptors, we rely on the results of two
back trajectory studies, including a set
of trajectories with end points at the
maintenance receptors in the DFW
area.20 EPA generated these trajectories
using the HYSPLIT 4.9 online computer
application, selecting the archived Eta
Data Assimilation System (EDAS)
meteorological data sets with the
highest degree of resolution (40 km).21
Back trajectories were run for the days
of the 2005–2006 years in which ozone
concentrations at these receptors
exceeded the 1997 8-hour NAAQS—i.e.,
monitored ozone concentrations were
85 ppb or above. Exceedance days were
identified using the Air Quality System
(AQS), EPA’s repository of monitored
ambient air quality data. At each
monitor, trajectories were started at 22
19 ‘‘Dallas-Fort Worth Eight-Hour Ozone
Nonattainment Area: Attainment Demonstration,’’
TCEQ, May 23, 2007, p. i.
20 USEPA Region 8 mapped back trajectories
using software and data files maintained by the
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
(NOAA) Air Resource Laboratory (ARL).
21 Draxler, R.R. and Rolph, G.D., HYSPLIT
(HYbrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated
Trajectory) Model (2010), available via NOAA ARL
READY Web site, https://ready.arl.noaa.gov/
HYSPLIT.php. NOAA Air Resources Laboratory,
Silver Spring, MD. See also Rolph, G.D., Real-time
Environmental Applications and Display sYstem
(READY) Web site (2010), https://ready.arl.noaa.gov.
NOAA Air Resources Laboratory, Silver Spring,
MD.
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Coordinated Universal Time (UTC),
equivalent to 4 p.m. CST, and were run
backwards in time for 72 hours (three
days). The trajectory height at the
starting point is 1500 meters above
ground level. From the individual back
trajectories, ‘‘spider web’’ maps were
generated for all three monitors
combined and for each monitor (Figure
1.1 and Figures 1.1.a through 1.1.c in
Appendix A of EPA’s TSD).22 These
maps indicate that air parcel pathways
from Colorado and ending at
maintenance receptors in Dallas and
Tarrant Counties are rare during the
three days preceding ozone exceedances
at these receptors. On only one day, of
the 35 exceedance days at maintenance
receptors in 2005–2006, did the air mass
pathway go through Colorado, and even
in this one instance air parcels crossed
the State along a short pathway through
its northeast corner, before continuing
on their southeastward course.23
Back trajectory analysis results
included in the May 23, 2007 DFW area
Attainment Demonstration corroborate
these conclusions. The analysis, also
based on the HYSPLIT model, includes
all days during the years 2001–2003,
with trajectories of 48 hours (2 days)
duration, heights of 100, 500 and 1300
meters, and start times of 20, 21 and 22
UTC (2, 3, and 4 p.m. CST). The
resulting density plots in Figure 3–1 of
the DFW attainment demonstration
clearly show that during most of the
ozone season, on high and low ozone
days, air parcels from Colorado
infrequently end in or pass through the
DFW area.24
Because back trajectory analysis
results map pathways of air parcels that
may or may not transport pollutants,
they cannot be considered
determinative as to the transport of
ozone and its precursors, or of the
absence of such transport, from
Colorado emissions. However, the rarity
of air parcel trajectories from Colorado
to the DFW area and to its maintenance
receptors strongly support the
conclusion that emissions of ozone and
its precursors from Colorado are not
likely to interfere with maintenance of
the 1997 ozone NAAQS at these
receptors.
A final piece of evidence of a different
type is found in a modeling analysis
developed by EPA to assist the State of
New Mexico in its assessment of ozone
22 See back trajectory maps in Appendix A of the
EPA’s TSD supporting documentation in Docket ID
No. EPA–R08–OAR–2007–1035.
23 EPA’s TSD is available for review as part of the
supporting documentation for Docket ID N. EPA–
R08–OAR–2007–1035.
24 Dallas-Fort Worth Attainment Demonstration,
May 23, 2007, at 3–1 to 3–2.
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and PM2.5 transport from New Mexico to
other states. This modeling analysis,
part of the New Mexico Interstate
Transport SIP submission of July 30,
2007, relies on data developed by the
Central Regional Air Planning
Association (CENRAP) that includes a
2002 third quarter CENRAP modeling
dataset.25 It is based on a 36 km national
grid that includes Colorado, and uses
the ozone source apportionment tool
(OSAT) to determine potential linkages
between state emissions and downwind
states.26 Modeling results indicate that
at the height of the 2002 ozone season,
the highest ozone contribution from
Colorado emissions to the DFW
monitors (including its maintenance
receptors) averaged 0.4 ppb or less. That
is well below the contribution threshold
of 0.8 ppb, used in the proposed
Transport Rule.
The other five Texas monitors
identified by the Transport Rule
Proposal as maintenance-only receptors
in Texas are located in Harris County,
which lies within the HGB
nonattainment area. This area is at least
700 miles from Colorado.27 General
considerations on the effect of distance
on ozone transport from Colorado to the
DFW area, discussed above, also apply
to the potential for transport from
Colorado to the maintenance receptors
in the HGB area. The greater distance
(by about one third) between Colorado
and the HGB area increases the chance
for dispersion of any Colorado ozone
during its transport to HGB maintenance
receptors, and increases the odds for air
masses from Colorado to pick up greater
quantities of ozone and/or precursors
during their longer travel through
emissions rich Texas. Again, these
considerations reduce, but do not
exclude, the possibility of emissions
from Colorado interfering with
maintenance of the 8-hour ozone
NAAQS at the HGB maintenance
receptors.
25 ‘‘New Mexico State Interstate Transport SIP,’’
submitted to EPA July 30, 2007: Appendix D,
Exhibit 9 Modeling Data and Report for New
Mexico,’’ at 2.
26 For details on the model and on the analysis
see: id.
27 The 700-mile estimate represents the
approximate distance between Lamar, in the
southeastern corner of Colorado, and Houston,
Texas. The five monitoring sites’ names (ID No.)
are: Aldine (48–201–0024), Northwest Harris (48–
201–0029), Lynchburg Ferry (48–201–1015),
Clinton (48–201–1035), and Seabrook Friendship
Park (48–201–1050). The approximate 850-mile
distance between Denver and Houston is intended
to represent the distance to be covered by the
emissions from Colorado to the five maintenance
monitors. It is to be noted that the measured
distance represents that of the straight (and
shortest) path, which does not reflect the more
circuitous paths followed by air parcels.
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A similar conclusion is suggested by
the EPA back trajectories mapped for
the HGB maintenance receptors. Using
the same online HYSPLIT 4.9 online
computer application as for the DFW
trajectories,28 EPA ran back trajectories
from the HGB area maintenance
receptors for all 2005–2006 ozone
exceedances days. The pathways of air
parcels ending at, or passing through,
these monitors when ozone
concentrations reached levels of 85 ppb
or higher are shown in Figure 2.1 of
Appendix A in EPA’s supporting
documentation. At each monitor,
trajectories started at 22 Coordinated
Universal Time (UTC), equivalent to 4
p.m. CST, and ran backwards in time for
72 hours (three days), at 1500 meters
above ground level.29 Results show that
air parcel pathways passing 1500 meters
above the HGB maintenance receptors at
4 p.m. on exceedance days rarely came
from Colorado. Figure 3 of the back
trajectories report shows that only in
one out of 53 exceedance days at the
maintenance receptors did the air
parcel’s pathway go through Colorado.
Even in this one instance, the pathway
crossed Colorado for a very short
distance through the State’s northeast
corner, before continuing on its
southeastward course.30
Back trajectory analysis results from a
2009 report, ‘‘Effects of Meteorology on
Pollutant Trends’’ report, corroborate
these conclusions. The analysis uses
HYSPLIT with EDAS meteorological
datasets to plot 72-hour back trajectories
centered in Houston, at 300 meters
height and for various times of the day.
Trajectories are plotted for all days with
available data between May 1 and
October 31, 2000–2007. A clustering
algorithm built into HYSPLIT is used to
group individual back trajectories into
several classes based on shape and
direction.31 Due to the greater number of
days plotted, the six clusters of
trajectories shown in Figures 6–17 to 6–
22 include a much larger number of air
parcel pathways than EPA’s back
28 See
note 24 above.
Table 1, EPA’s ‘‘Back Trajectories Analysis
Documentation,’’ Table 1.
30 The trajectory’s path that ended at the
Northwest Harris receptor on August 31, 2006, is
almost the same as the one that on June 15, 2005
ended at the Keller receptor in Tarrant. This is
likely to be a coincidence, or an indication about
the pathways of air masses that go through eastern
Colorado before ending in eastern Texas (DFW and
HGB areas).
31 Dave Sullivan, ‘‘Effects of Meteorology on
Pollutant Trends,’’ March 16, 2009, at 27–34. This
report is available as one of the documents in EPA’s
TSD documentation, and may also be reviewed
online at https://www.tceq.state.tx.us/assets/public/
implementation/air/am/contracts/reports/da/
5820586245FY0801-20090316-utmet_effects_on_pollutant_trends.pdf.
29 See
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trajectory analysis referenced above, but
still show similar results concerning
trajectories from Colorado. Air parcels
from Colorado to the Houston area are
rare, as shown by the few trajectories
from Colorado in cluster 3 (Figure 6–19)
as compared with the total sample of
1416 trajectories included in the six
clusters. Figure 6–15 summarizes
effectively the overall scarcity of wind
pathways from Colorado, and from the
west/lower northwest sector in general,
to the HGB area. It shows the mean
centerlines for the six identified
clusters, and at their closest point to
Colorado’s borders the mean centerline
(number 3) is still at an estimated
distance of approximately 200 miles.
Again, back trajectories map pathways
of air parcels that may or may not
transport pollutants, and they cannot be
considered determinative as to the
transport of ozone and its precursors.
However, the infrequency of air parcels
trajectories from Colorado to the HGB
area in general, and to its maintenance
receptors in particular, strongly support
the conclusion that ozone precursors’
emissions and ozone from Colorado are
not likely to interfere with maintenance
of the 1997 ozone NAAQS at these
receptors.
The EPA modeling analysis
referenced earlier (concerning
contribution from Colorado sources to
the DFW area) includes information on
the contribution of the State emissions
to the HGB area as well. The 2002
modeled contribution from Colorado
ozone emissions to the HGB area is
estimated at 0.3 ppb or less. This
fraction of the significant contribution
threshold of 0.8 ppb, set in EPA’s
Transport Rule Proposal of August 2,
2010, strengthens our assessment that
Colorado emissions are unlikely to
interfere with maintenance of the 1997
ozone NAAQS at the HGB maintenance
receptors.32
As noted previously, eight of the 16
maintenance receptors identified within
the modeling by the Transport Rule
Proposal analysis are in a handful of
East Coast states: Connecticut, Georgia,
New York and Pennsylvania.33 The
westernmost states ‘‘linked’’ by the
Transport Rule Proposal to the eight
maintenance receptors in these states
include Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee,
and Alabama. None of the 13 states west
of these contributing states and east of
Colorado (such as North and South
Dakota and Nebraska) was found to
contribute significantly to the
32 New Mexico State Interstate Transport SIP,
2007, Appendix D, at 52.
33 Table IV C–12, Transport Rule, at 196–197.
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maintenance receptors in the east.34 In
addition, among the 13 non-contributing
states closer than Colorado to the
maintenance receptors in the east, there
are states such as Illinois, Wisconsin,
Iowa, Missouri, Arkansas, and Louisiana
that in 2005 had NOX emissions up to
twice as high as Colorado’s. Because the
analysis for the Transport Rule Proposal
found that these states with
substantially larger NOX emissions than
Colorado, and closer than Colorado to
the maintenance receptors in the east,
do not to contribute significantly to
maintenance receptors in Connecticut,
Georgia, New York and Pennsylvania, it
is logical to conclude that it is quite
unlikely for Colorado emissions to
interfere with maintenance of the 1997
8-hour ozone NAAQS at these same
receptors.
To assist in the evaluation of whether
states’ emissions interfere with
maintenance of the NAAQS in western
states, EPA has developed, independent
of the Transport Rule Proposal, a
modeling analysis identifying monitors
at risk for maintenance of the NAAQS
within a modeling domain that includes
the western states.35 The analysis
presented in the memo, ‘‘Documentation
of Future Year Ozone and Annual PM2.5
Design Values for Western States’’
(Western States Design Values), uses
model results from the Transport Rule
modeling Continental U.S. 36 km grid,
which is coarser than the 12 km grid
used in the Transport Rule, but does not
necessarily yield less reliable results.36
EPA’s modeling analysis of western
states to determine the monitors that are
at risk for maintenance of the 1997 8hour ozone NAAQS identifies only four
such maintenance receptors, and all
four are in California, in Mercer, Placer,
Riverside, and Sacramento Counties.
Distance and topography are not
favorable to ozone transport from
Denver, which is approximately 750
miles east of the monitors in Placer and
Sacramento Counties, and 850 miles
northeast to a Riverside County monitor.
In the absence of significant
34 In addition to North Dakota, South Dakota and
Nebraska, the 13 states include: Kansas, Oklahoma,
Minnesota, Iowa, Missouri, Arizona, Wisconsin,
Michigan, Illinois, and Louisiana. Table IV–C–21,
Transport Rule Proposal, at 45269–70.
35 A memorandum in the docket for this action
provides the information EPA used in order to
identify monitors that are receptors for evaluation
of interference with maintenance for certain states
in the western United States. See, Memorandum
from Brian Timin of EPA’s Office of Air Quality
Planning and Standards, Air Quality Modeling
Group entitled ‘‘Documentation of Future Year
Ozone and Annual PM2.5 Design Values for Western
States’’
‘‘Memorandum to Docket EPA–R08–OAR–2007–
1035,’’ EPA, August 23, 2010.
36 Id. at 5.
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northwesterly regional transport winds,
mountain ranges between Denver and
the California maintenance receptors,
such as the Rocky Mountains, the
Wasatch and the Sierra Nevada, present
large obstacles to ozone transport from
Colorado to California. Thus, geography
and topography reduce the likelihood of
transport from Colorado to California’s
maintenance receptors.
Prevailing wind orientation in fact
strongly supports the conclusion that
Colorado’s emissions are unlikely to
interfere with maintenance of the 1997
8-hour ozone standard in California.
West of the Continental Divide the
prevailing winds generally move from
south-westerly, westerly, or northwesterly directions, as indicated by the
typical movement of weather systems.
To further evaluate the direction of
regional transport winds affecting the
California maintenance receptors, we
have plotted back trajectories starting at
each maintenance receptor on high
ozone days. High ozone days include
the top one-third of the exceedance days
(for the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS)
registered at each monitor in 2005 and
2006. As shown by the trajectories
mapped for all four maintenance
receptors in Figure 3.1, Appendix A of
EPA’s supporting documentation, on
high ozone days air parcels converge on
the Mercer, Placer, Sacramento and
Riverside monitors from the northwest,
south and southeast, but there are no
pathways from the east/northeast
directions reaching even as far as the
eastern Nevada border, let alone
Colorado.
For a large number of receptors in
western states, EPA’s modeling analysis
could not calculate 2012 projected
design values because these receptors
did not have at least 5 days with base
year concentrations equal to or greater
than 70 ppb, as required by EPA’s
modeling guidance. However, the
observed maximum design values at
these sites in the 2003–2007 period
were generally well below the 1997
ozone NAAQS. The highest (nonCalifornia 37) site had a maximum
design value of 77 ppb. Additionally,
the 2012 modeling results at western
monitors (where a future year design
value could be estimated, shows a
37 We are excluding the California monitors from
this portion of our analysis because above we have
already demonstrated that Colorado’s emissions are
unlikely to interfere with maintenance at the
modeled California maintenance monitors in the
northern, central and southern sections of the state.
The factors we considered—distance, topography,
and wind orientation—apply equally to the unmodeled monitors and make it plausible to
conclude that the same demonstration is true for
Colorado emissions’ impact on California nonmodeled monitors.
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downward trend in ozone. There are no
areas in the West where ozone is
predicted to be higher in 2012 (without
CAIR) compared to 2005. On these bases
it is plausible to conclude that it is
highly unlikely, but not impossible, for
these monitors to be at risk for
maintenance of the 1997 8-hour ozone
NAAQS.
In conclusion, the variety of data and
the weight of evidence analysis
presented in this section support the
position of the Colorado Interstate
Transport SIP (adopted into the State
SIP on December 30, 2008 and
submitted to EPA June 18, 2009) that
emissions from Colorado do not
interfere with maintenance of the 1997
8-hour ozone NAAQS by any other
state, consistent with the requirements
of element (2) of CAA section
110(a)(2)(D)(i).
VI. Proposed Action
EPA is proposing partial approval of
the Colorado SIP to meet the
requirements of Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)
regarding the 1997 8-hour ozone
standard. Specifically, in this action
EPA is proposing to approve only the
language and demonstration that
address the requirements of element (2):
Prohibition of interference with
maintenance of the 1997 8-hour ozone
NAAQS by any other state. EPA
approved in a June 3, 2010 final action
the language and demonstration
addressing element (1): Prohibition of
significant contribution to
nonattainment of the 1997 8-hour ozone
NAAQS in any other state.
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VII. Statutory and Executive Order
Review
Under the Clean Air Act, the
Administrator is required to approve a
SIP submission that complies with the
provisions of the Act and applicable
Federal regulations. 42 U.S.C. 7410(k);
40 CFR 52.02(a). Thus, in reviewing SIP
submissions, EPA’s role is to approve
state choices, provided that they meet
the criteria of the Clean Air Act.
Accordingly, this action merely
approves state law as meeting Federal
requirements and does not impose
additional requirements beyond those
imposed by state law. For that reason,
this action:
• Is not a ‘‘significant regulatory
action’’ subject to review by the Office
of Management and Budget under
Executive Order 12866 (58 FR 51735,
October 4, 1993);
• Does not impose an information
collection burden under the provisions
of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44
U.S.C. 3501 et seq.);
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• Is certified as not having a
significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities
under the Regulatory Flexibility Act (5
U.S.C. 601 et seq.);
• Does not contain any unfunded
mandate or significantly or uniquely
affect small governments, as described
in the Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
of 1995 (Pub. L. 104–4);
• Does not have Federalism
implications as specified in Executive
Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, August 10,
1999);
• Is not an economically significant
regulatory action based on health or
safety risks subject to Executive Order
13045 (62 FR 19885, April 23, 1997);
• Is not a significant regulatory action
subject to Executive Order 13211 (66 FR
28355, May 22, 2001);
• Is not subject to requirements of
Section 12(d) of the National
Technology Transfer and Advancement
Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272 note) because
application of those requirements would
be inconsistent with the Clean Air Act;
and
• Does not provide EPA with the
discretionary authority to address, as
appropriate, disproportionate human
health or environmental effects, using
practicable and legally permissible
methods, under Executive Order 12898
(59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994).
In addition, this rule does not have
tribal implications as specified by
Executive Order 13175 (65 FR 67249,
November 9, 2000), because the SIP is
not approved to apply in Indian country
located in the state, and EPA notes that
it will not impose substantial direct
costs on tribal governments or preempt
tribal law.
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection, Air
pollution control, Incorporation by
reference, Intergovernmental relations,
Nitrogen dioxide, Ozone, Particulate
matter, Reporting and recordkeeping
requirements, Volatile Organic
Compounds.
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.
Dated: September 9, 2010.
Carol Rushin,
Acting Regional Administrator, Region 8.
[FR Doc. 2010–23294 Filed 9–16–10; 8:45 am]
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ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
[EPA–R09–OAR–2010–0569; FRL–9200–7]
Revisions to the California State
Implementation Plan, San Diego
County Air Pollution Control District
Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed rule.
AGENCY:
EPA is proposing to approve
revisions to the San Diego Air Pollution
Control District (SDCAPCD) portion of
the California State Implementation
Plan (SIP). This revision concerns the
definition of volatile organic
compounds (VOC). We are proposing to
approve a local rule to regulate these
emission sources under the Clean Air
Act as amended in 1990 (CAA or the
Act).
SUMMARY:
Any comments on this proposal
must arrive by October 18, 2010.
ADDRESSES: Submit comments,
identified by docket number [EPA–R09–
OAR–2010–0569], by one of the
following methods:
1. Federal eRulemaking Portal:
www.regulations.gov. Follow the on-line
instructions.
2. E-mail: steckel.andrew@epa.gov.
3. Mail or deliver: Andrew Steckel
(Air-4), U.S. Environmental Protection
Agency Region IX, 75 Hawthorne Street,
San Francisco, CA 94105–3901.
Instructions: All comments will be
included in the public docket without
change and may be made available
online at https://www.regulations.gov,
including any personal information
provided, unless the comment includes
Confidential Business Information (CBI)
or other information whose disclosure is
restricted by statute. Information that
you consider CBI or otherwise protected
should be clearly identified as such and
should not be submitted through
https://www.regulations.gov or e-mail.
https://www.regulations.gov is an
‘‘anonymous access’’ system, and EPA
will not know your identity or contact
information unless you provide it in the
body of your comment. If you send email directly to EPA, your e-mail
address will be automatically captured
and included as part of the public
comment. If EPA cannot read your
comment due to technical difficulties
and cannot contact you for clarification,
EPA may not be able to consider your
comment. Electronic files should avoid
the use of special characters, any form
of encryption, and be free of any defects
or viruses.
DATES:
E:\FR\FM\17SEP1.SGM
17SEP1
Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 75, Number 180 (Friday, September 17, 2010)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 56935-56942]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2010-23294]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
40 CFR Part 52
[EPA-R08-OAR-2007-1035; FRL-9202-7]
Approval and Promulgation of State Implementation Plans; State of
Colorado; Interstate Transport of Pollution Revisions for the 1997 8-
hour Ozone NAAQS: ``Interference With Maintenance'' Requirement
AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed Rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: EPA is proposing to approve the ``State of Colorado
Implementation Plan to Meet the Requirements of Clean Air Act section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I)--Interstate Transport Regarding the 1997 8-Hour
Ozone Standard'' addressing the ``interference with maintenance''
requirement of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). On June 18, 2009 the State
of Colorado submitted an interstate transport State Implementation Plan
(SIP) addressing the interstate transport requirements under section
110(a)(2)(D)(i) of the Clean Air Act (CAA). In this action, EPA is
proposing to approve the Colorado Interstate Transport SIP provisions
that address the section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) requirement prohibiting a
state's emissions from interfering with maintenance of the 1997 8-hour
ozone National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) by any other
state. This action is being taken under section 110 of the CAA.
DATES: Comments must be received on or before October 18, 2010.
ADDRESSES: Submit your comments, identified by Docket ID No. EPA-R08-
OAR-2007-1035, by one of the following methods:
https://www.regulations.gov. Follow the on-line
instructions for submitting comments.
E-mail: mastrangelo.domenico@epa.gov
Fax: (303) 312-6064 (please alert the individual listed in
the FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT if you are faxing comments).
Mail: Callie Videtich, Director, Air Program,
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), Region 8, Mailcode 8P-AR, 1595
Wynkoop Street, Denver, Colorado 80202-1129.
Hand Delivery: Callie Videtich, Director, Air Program,
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), Region 8, Mailcode 8P-AR, 1595
Wynkoop, Denver, Colorado 80202-1129. Such deliveries are only accepted
Monday through Friday, 8 a.m. to 4:30 p.m., excluding Federal holidays.
Special arrangements should be made for deliveries of boxed
information.
Instructions: Direct your comments to Docket ID No. EPA-R08-OAR-
2007-1035. EPA's policy is that all comments received will be included
in the public docket without change and may be made available online at
https://www.regulations.gov, including any personal information
provided, unless the comment includes information claimed to be
Confidential Business Information (CBI) or other information whose
disclosure is restricted by statute. Do not submit information that you
consider to be CBI or otherwise protected through https://www.regulations.gov or e-mail. The https://www.regulations.gov Web site
is an ``anonymous access'' system, which means EPA will not know your
identity or contact information unless you provide it in the body of
your comment. If you send an e-mail comment directly to EPA, without
going through https://www.regulations.gov, your e-mail address will be
automatically captured and included as part of the comment that is
placed in the public docket and made available on the Internet. If you
submit an electronic comment, EPA recommends that you include your name
and other contact information in the body of your comment and with any
disk or CD-ROM you submit. If EPA cannot read your comment due to
technical difficulties and cannot contact you for clarification, EPA
may not be able to consider your comment. Electronic files should avoid
the use of special characters, any form of encryption, and be free of
any defects or viruses. For additional instructions on submitting
comments, go to Section I. General Information of the SUPPLEMENTARY
INFORMATION section of this document.
Docket: All documents in the docket are listed in the https://www.regulations.gov index. Although listed in the index, some
information is not publicly available, e.g., CBI or other information
whose disclosure is restricted by statute. Certain other material, such
as copyrighted material, will be publicly available only in hard copy.
Publicly-available docket materials are available either electronically
in https://www.regulations.gov or in hard copy at the Air Program,
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), Region 8, Mailcode 8P-AR, 1595
Wynkoop, Denver, Colorado 80202-1129. EPA requests that if at all
possible, you contact the individual listed in the FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT section to view the hard copy of the docket. You
may view the hard copy of the docket Monday through Friday, 8 a.m. to 4
p.m., excluding Federal holidays.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Domenico Mastrangelo, Air Program,
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Region 8, Mailcode 8P-AR, 1595
Wynkoop, Denver, Colorado 80202-1129, (303) 312-6436,
mastrangelo.domenico@epa.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Definitions
For the purpose of this document, we are giving meaning to certain
words or initials as follows:
(i) The words or initials Act or CAA mean or refer to the Clean Air
Act, unless the context indicates otherwise.
(ii) The words EPA, we, us or our mean or refer to the United
States Environmental Protection Agency.
(iii) The initials SIP mean or refer to State Implementation Plan.
(iv) The words Colorado and State mean the State of Colorado.
Table of Contents
I. General Information
What should I consider as I prepare my comments for EPA?
II. Background
III. What action is EPA proposing?
IV. What is the State process to submit these materials to EPA?
[[Page 56936]]
V. EPA's Review and Technical Information
A. EPA's Evaluation of Interference with Maintenance
B. Colorado Transport SIP
VI. Proposed Action
VII. Statutory and Executive Order Reviews
I. General Information
What should I consider as I prepare my comments for EPA?
1. Submitting CBI. Do not submit CBI to EPA through https://www.regulations.gov or e-mail. Clearly mark the part or all of the
information that you claim to be CBI. For CBI information in a disk or
CD ROM that you mail to EPA, mark the outside of the disk or CD ROM as
CBI and then identify electronically within the disk or CD ROM the
specific information that is claimed as CBI. In addition to one
complete version of the comment that includes information claimed as
CBI, a copy of the comment that does not contain the information
claimed as CBI must be submitted for inclusion in the public docket.
Information so marked will not be disclosed except in accordance with
procedures set forth in 40 CFR part 2.
2. Tips for Preparing Your Comments. When submitting comments,
remember to:
Identify the rulemaking by docket number and other identifying
information (subject heading, Federal Register date and page number).
Follow directions--The agency may ask you to respond to specific
questions or organize comments by referencing a Code of Federal
Regulations (CFR) part or section number.
Explain why you agree or disagree; suggest alternatives and
substitute language for your requested changes.
Describe any assumptions and provide any technical information and/
or data that you used.
If you estimate potential costs or burdens, explain how you arrived
at your estimate in sufficient detail to allow for it to be reproduced.
Provide specific examples to illustrate your concerns, and suggest
alternatives.
Explain your views as clearly as possible, avoiding the use of
profanity or personal threats.
Make sure to submit your comments by the comment period deadline
identified.
II. Background
On July 18, 1997, EPA promulgated new NAAQS for ozone and for fine
particulate matter (PM2.5). This action is being taken in
response to the promulgation of the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS. This
action does not address the requirements for the 1997 or 2006
PM2.5, or the 2008 8-hour ozone NAAQS; those standards will
be addressed in later actions.
Section 110(a)(1) of the CAA requires states to submit SIPs to
address a new or revised NAAQS within 3 years after promulgation of
such standards, or within such shorter period as EPA may prescribe.
Section 110(a)(2) lists the elements that such new SIPs must address,
as applicable, including section 110(a)(2)(D)(i), which pertains to
interstate transport of certain emissions. On August 15, 2006, EPA
issued its ``Guidance for State Implementation Plan (SIP) Submissions
to Meet Current Outstanding Obligations Under Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)
for the 8-Hour Ozone and PM2.5 National Ambient Air Quality
Standards'' (2006 Guidance). EPA developed the 2006 Guidance to make
recommendations to states for making submissions to meet the
requirements of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) for the 1997 8-hour ozone
standards and the 1997 PM2.5 standards.
As identified in the 2006 Guidance, the ``good neighbor''
provisions in section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) require each state to submit a
SIP that prohibits emissions that adversely affect another state in the
ways contemplated in the statute. Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) contains four
distinct requirements related to the impacts of interstate transport.
The SIP must prevent sources in the state from emitting pollutants in
amounts which will: (1) Contribute significantly to nonattainment of
the NAAQS in other states; (2) interfere with maintenance of the NAAQS
in other states; (3) interfere with provisions to prevent significant
deterioration of air quality in other states; or (4) interfere with
efforts to protect visibility in other states.
On June 18, 2009, EPA received a SIP revision from the State of
Colorado intended to address the requirements of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) for the 1997 8-hour ozone standards. In this
rulemaking, EPA is addressing only the requirements that pertain to
preventing sources in Colorado from emitting pollutants that will
interfere with maintenance of the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS by other
states. In its submission, the State of Colorado indicated that its
current SIP is adequate to prevent such interference. With this
submission, the state intended to meet the recommendations of the 2006
Guidance for SIP submissions to meet the second element of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i) for the 1997 8-hour ozone standard.
III. What action is EPA proposing?
EPA is proposing approval of a portion of the Colorado Interstate
Transport of Air Pollution SIP addressing the requirements of CAA
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) for the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS. On December
30, 2008, the Colorado Air Quality Control Commission (AQCC) adopted
the ``State of Colorado Implementation Plan to Meet the Requirements of
the Clean Air Act Section 110(a)(2)(d)(i)(I)--Interstate Transport
Regarding the 1997 8-Hour Ozone Standard'' (Colorado Interstate
Transport SIP). Colorado submitted this SIP revision to EPA on June 18,
2009. In this Federal Register action EPA is proposing to approve only
the language and demonstration that, in this SIP revision, address the
requirements of element (2), i.e., the prohibition of interference with
maintenance of the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS by any other state.
IV. What is the State process to submit these materials to EPA?
Section 110(k) of the CAA addresses EPA's rulemaking action on SIP
submissions by states. The CAA requires states to observe certain
procedural requirements in developing SIP revisions for submittal to
EPA. Section 110(a)(2) of the CAA requires that each SIP revision be
adopted after reasonable notice and public hearing. This must occur
prior to the revision being submitted by a state to EPA.
The Colorado AQCC held in early December 2008 a public hearing for
the Colorado Interstate Transport SIP revision, adopted it on December
30, 2008, and the State submitted it to EPA on June 18, 2009.
On November 18, 2009, the AQCC provided EPA with an exact color
duplicate of the SIP adopted by the AQCC on December 30, 2008 and
included in the June 18, 2009 submittal to EPA. In the original
submittal, AQCC provided a black and white copy. The SIP's color
duplicate, available for review as part of the Docket, makes it easier
to understand modeling results reported in several graphs that are part
of the SIP technical demonstration.
EPA has reviewed the submittal from the State of Colorado and has
determined that the State met the requirements for reasonable notice
and public hearing under section 110(a)(2) of the CAA.
V. EPA's Review and Technical Information
A. EPA's Evaluation of Interference With Maintenance
The second element of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) requires that a
state's SIP must prohibit any source or other type of emissions
activity in the state from
[[Page 56937]]
emitting pollutants that would ``interfere with maintenance'' of the
applicable NAAQS by any other state. This term is not defined in the
statute. Therefore, EPA has interpreted this term in past regulatory
actions, such as the 1998 NOX SIP Call, in which EPA took
action to eliminate emissions of NOX that significantly
contributed to nonattainment, or interfered with maintenance of, the
then applicable ozone NAAQS through interstate transport of
NOX and the resulting ozone.\1\ The NOX SIP Call
was the mechanism through which EPA evaluated whether or not the
NOX emissions from sources in certain states had such
prohibited interstate impacts, and if they had such impacts, required
the states to adopt substantive SIP revisions to eliminate the
NOX emissions, whether through participation in a regional
cap and trade program or by other means.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ See, 63 FR 57356 (October 27, 1998). EPA's general approach
to section 110(a)(2)(D) was upheld in Michigan v. EPA, 213 F.3d 663
(D.C. Cir. 2000), cert denied, 532 U.S. 904 (2001). However, EPA's
approach to interference with maintenance in the NOX SIP
Call was not explicitly reviewed by the court. See, North Carolina
v. EPA, 531 F.3d 896, 907-09 (D.C. Cir. 2008). Continued
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
After promulgation of the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS and the 1997
PM2.5 NAAQS, EPA again recognized that regional transport
was a serious concern throughout the eastern U.S. and therefore
developed the 2005 Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR) to address
emissions of SO2 and NOX that exacerbate ambient
ozone and PM2.5 levels in many downwind areas through
interstate transport.\2\ Within CAIR, EPA likewise interpreted the term
``interfere with maintenance'' as part of the evaluation of whether or
not the emissions of sources in certain states had such impacts on
areas that EPA determined would either be in violation of the NAAQS, or
would be in jeopardy of violating the NAAQS, in a modeled future year
unless action were taken by upwind states to reduce SO2 and
NOX emissions. Through CAIR, EPA again required states that
had such interstate impacts to adopt substantive SIP revisions to
eliminate the SO2 and NOX emissions, whether
through participation in a regional cap and trade program or by other
means.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\2\ See, 70 FR 25162 (May 12, 2005).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
EPA's 2006 Guidance addressed section 110(a)(2)(D) requirements for
the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS and 1997 PM2.5 NAAQS. For those
states subject to CAIR, EPA indicated that compliance with CAIR would
meet the two requirements of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) for these
NAAQS. For states not within the CAIR region, EPA recommended that
states evaluate whether or not emissions from their sources would
``interfere with maintenance'' in other states, following the
conceptual approach adopted by EPA in CAIR. After recommending various
types of information that could be relevant for the technical analysis
to support the SIP submission, such as the amount of emissions and
meteorological conditions in the state, EPA further indicated that it
would be appropriate for the state to assess impacts of its emissions
on other states using considerations comparable to those used by EPA
``in evaluating significant contribution to nonattainment in the
CAIR.'' \3\ EPA did not make specific recommendations for how states
should assess ``interfere with maintenance'' separately, and discussed
the first two elements of section 110(a)(2)(D) together without
explicitly differentiating between them.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\3\ Memorandum from William T. Harnett entitled, ``Guidance for
State Implementation Plan (SIP) Submissions to Meet Current
Outstanding Obligations Under Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) for the 8-hour
Ozone and PM2.5 National Ambient Air Quality Standards,''
Aug. 15, 2006, p. 5. (``2006 Guidance''). Available for review in
EPA's September 15, 2010 docket document entitled: ``Relevant
Guidance and Supporting Documentation for the Proposed Rulemaking
Federal Register Action Docket ID EPA-R08-OAR-2007-1035.''
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In 2008, however, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the DC Circuit
found that CAIR and the related CAIR federal implementation plans were
unlawful.\4\ Among other issues, the court held that EPA had not
correctly addressed the second element of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) in
CAIR. The court noted that ``EPA gave no independent significance to
the `interfere with maintenance' prong of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) to
separately identify upwind sources interfering with downwind
maintenance.'' \5\ EPA's approach, the court reasoned, would leave
areas that are ``barely meeting attainment'' with ``no recourse'' to
address upwind emissions sources.\6\ The court therefore concluded that
a plain language reading of the statute requires EPA to give
independent meaning to the interfere with maintenance requirement of
section 110(a)(2)(D) and that the approach used by EPA in CAIR failed
to do so.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\4\ See, North Carolina v. EPA, 531 F.3d 896 (D.C. Cir. 2008).
\5\ Id. at 909.
\6\ Id.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
In addition to affecting CAIR directly, the court's decision in the
North Carolina case indirectly affects EPA's recommendations to states
in the 2006 Guidance with respect to the interfere with maintenance
element of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) because the agency's guidance
suggested that states use an approach comparable to that used by EPA in
CAIR. States such as Colorado developed and adopted their Interstate
Transport SIPs not long after the Court's July 2008 decision, but well
before EPA, in the Transport Rule Proposal (see below), was able to
propose a new approach for the interference with maintenance element.
Without recommendations from EPA, Colorado's SIP may not have
sufficiently differentiated between the significant contribution to
nonattainment and interference with maintenance elements of the
statute, and relied in a general way on the difference between
monitored concentrations and the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS to evaluate
the impacts of State emissions on maintenance of the NAAQS in
neighboring states. EPA believes that it is necessary to evaluate these
state submissions for section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) in such a way as to
assure that the interfere with maintenance element of the statute is
given independent meaning and is appropriately evaluated using the
types of information that EPA recommended in the 2006 Guidance. To
accomplish this, EPA believes it is necessary to use an updated
approach to this issue and to supplement the technical analysis
provided by the state in order to evaluate the submissions with respect
to the interfere with maintenance element of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i).
EPA has recently proposed a new rule to address interstate
transport pursuant to section 110(a)(2)(D)(i), the ``Federal
Implementation Plans to Reduce Interstate Transport of Fine Particulate
Matter and Ozone'' (Transport Rule Proposal), in order to address the
judicial remand of CAIR.\7\ As part of the Transport Rule Proposal, EPA
specifically reexamined the section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) requirement that
emissions from sources in a state must not ``interfere with
maintenance'' of the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS and 1997 PM2.5
NAAQS by other states. In the proposal, EPA developed an approach to
identify areas that it predicts to be close to the level of the 1997 8-
hour ozone NAAQS and 1997 PM2.5 NAAQS in the future, and
therefore at risk to become or continue to be nonattainment for these
NAAQS unless emissions from sources in other states are appropriately
controlled. This approach starts by identifying those specific
geographic
[[Page 56938]]
areas for which further evaluation is appropriate, and differentiates
between areas where the concern is with interference with maintenance,
rather than with significant contribution to nonattainment.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\7\ See ``Federal Implementation Plans to Reduce Interstate
Transport of Fine Particulate Matter and Ozone,'' 75 FR 45210
(August 2, 2010).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
As described in more detail below, EPA's analysis evaluates data
from existing monitors over three overlapping three year periods (i.e.,
2003-2005, 2004-2006, and 2005-2007), as well as air quality modeling
data, in order to determine which areas are predicted to be violating
the 1997 8-hour ozone and PM2.5 NAAQS in 2012, and which
areas are predicted potentially to have difficulty with maintaining
attainment as of that date. In essence, if an area's projected data for
2012 indicates that it would be violating the NAAQS based on the
average of these three overlapping periods, then this monitor location
is appropriate for comparison for purposes of the significant
contribution to nonattainment element of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i). If,
however, an area's projected data indicate that it would be violating
the NAAQS based on the highest single period, but not over the average
of the three periods, then this monitor location is appropriate for
comparison for purposes of the interfere with maintenance element of
the statute.
By this method, EPA has identified those areas with monitors that
are appropriate ``maintenance sites'' or maintenance ``receptors'' for
evaluating whether the emissions from sources in another state could
interfere with maintenance in that particular area. EPA then uses other
analytical tools to examine the potential impacts of emissions from
upwind states on these maintenance receptors in downwind states. EPA
believes that this new approach for identifying those areas that are
predicted to have maintenance problems is appropriate to evaluate the
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) SIP submission of a state for the interfere
with maintenance element.\8\ EPA's 2006 Guidance did not provide this
specific recommendation to states, but in light of the court's decision
on CAIR, EPA will itself follow this approach in acting upon the
Colorado submission.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\8\ To begin this analysis, EPA first identifies all monitors
projected to be in nonattainment or, based on historic variability
in air quality, projected to have maintenance problems in 2012.
These maintenance receptors are close to the level of the 1997 ozone
and PM2.5 NAAQS such that minor variations in weather or
emissions could result in violations of the NAAQS in 2012.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
As explained in the 2006 Guidance, EPA does not believe that
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) SIP submissions from all states necessarily
need to follow precisely the same analytical approach as CAIR. In the
2006 Guidance, EPA stated that: ``EPA believes that the contents of the
SIP submission required by section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) may vary depending
upon the facts and circumstances related to the specific NAAQS. In
particular, the data and analytical tools available at the time the
State develops and submits a SIP for a new or revised NAAQS necessarily
affects the contents of the required submission.'' \9\ EPA also
indicated in the 2006 Guidance that it did not anticipate that sources
in states outside the geographic area covered by CAIR were
significantly contributing to nonattainment, or interfering with
maintenance, in other states.\10\ As noted in the Transport Rule
Proposal, EPA continues to believe that the more widespread and serious
transport problems in the eastern United States are analytically
distinct. For the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS and the 1997 PM2.5
NAAQS, EPA believes that nonattainment and maintenance problems in the
western United States are relatively local in nature with only limited
impacts from interstate transport.\11\ In the Transport Rule Proposal,
EPA did not calculate interstate ozone or PM2.5
contributions to or from western states.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\9\ 2006 Guidance at 4.
\10\ Id. at 5.
\11\ See, Transport Rule Proposal, 75 FR 45210, 45277.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Accordingly, EPA believes that section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) SIP
submissions for states not evaluated in the Transport Rule Proposal may
be evaluated using a ``weight of the evidence'' approach that takes
into account available relevant information, such as that recommended
by EPA in the 2006 Guidance for states outside the area affected by
CAIR. Such information may include, but is not limited to, the amount
of emissions in the state relevant to the NAAQS in question, the
meteorological conditions in the area, the distance from the state to
the nearest monitors in other states that are appropriate receptors, or
such other information as may be probative to consider whether sources
in the state may interfere with maintenance of the 1997 8-hour ozone
NAAQS in other states. These submissions can rely on modeling when
acceptable modeling technical analyses are available, but EPA does not
believe that modeling is necessarily required if other available
information is sufficient to evaluate the presence or degree of
interstate transport in a given situation.
B. Colorado Transport SIP
To meet the requirements of section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) for the 1997
8-hour ozone standard, the State of Colorado developed and submitted to
EPA on June 18, 2009 an Interstate Transport SIP that focused primarily
on the ``significant contribution to nonattainment'' requirement of
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i) and, as noted earlier, addressed only in a
limited way the interference with maintenance requirement of section
110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I). On June 3, 2010, EPA approved the Colorado
Interstate Transport SIP provision that require that emissions from a
state's sources do not significantly contribute to nonattainment of the
1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS in any other state. To demonstrate that
emissions from Colorado do not interfere with maintenance of the 1997
8-hour ozone NAAQS in neighboring states, the Colorado Interstate
Transport SIP uses results from Colorado's 2009 ``8-Hour Ozone
Attainment Plan'' for the DMA/NFR nonattainment area, and a report from
the Western States Air Resource (WESTAR) Council to underscore that:
(a) Local anthropogenic ozone contribution to high ozone concentrations
in Denver is only about 25%; and (b) on days of highest ozone
concentrations (reflecting a design value of 84.9 ppb) in the DMA/NFR
area, the projected design values decrease to 63 ppb or less for all
downwind Colorado counties east of an imaginary north-south line
approximately 70 miles east from Denver.\12\ EPA does not agree with
the State of Colorado Interstate Transport SIP's assessment that these
results demonstrate that ``the magnitude of ozone transport from
Colorado to other states is too low to * * * interfere with maintenance
by any other state with respect to the 0.08 ppm NAAQS'' as the sole
basis for evaluating the state's interference.\13\ The limited
contribution of local emissions to nonattainment in the DMA/NFR and the
quick drop in ozone levels in the easternmost Colorado counties, in and
by themselves do not exclude a potential for interference with
maintenance of the 8-hour ozone NAAQS from Colorado emissions to
downwind maintenance areas. Rather, as a reflection of emission levels,
the relatively (to the 1997 8-hour ozone
[[Page 56939]]
NAAQS) moderate ozone concentrations in eastern Colorado and in
neighboring states somewhat reduce the probability that State emissions
interfere with maintenance of the NAAQS by these states.\14\
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\12\ Colorado Interstate Transport SIP, December 12, 2009,
Figure 5 at 15. Note that the modeling analysis domain for the DMA/
NFR attainment plan was limited to the State's territory, and that
the 70 mile distance represents the approximate distance from Denver
to the western border of Morgan County, Colorado.
\13\ Id. at 17.
\14\ Similar evidence is provided by the substantial gap between
the 1997 8-hour ozone standard and the design values at monitors in
adjacent downwind states such as Kansas, New Mexico, Utah, and
Wyoming. Id. at 7-8.
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EPA is evaluating the Colorado Interstate Transport SIP taking into
account the methodologies and analysis results developed in the
Transport Rule Proposal in response to the judicial remand of CAIR. As
noted previously, the Transport Rule Proposal includes a new approach
to determine whether emissions from a state interfere with maintenance
of the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS and the 1997 PM2.5 NAAQS by
other states. In this action, EPA is using a comparable approach to
that of the Transport Rule Proposal in order to determine if emissions
from Colorado sources interfere with maintenance of the 1997 8-hour
ozone NAAQS by other states.
To evaluate ambient impacts from upwind states to maintenance
receptors, the Transport Rule Proposal evaluates, through air quality
modeling of each state's emissions, the contribution from individual
states to downwind maintenance receptors. States that contribute
pollutant concentrations below the significance threshold for
interference with maintenance, proposed at one percent of the NAAQS,
are excluded from further analysis.\15\ For the 1997 8-hour ozone
standard state contributions of 0.8 ppb and higher are considered above
the threshold, while ozone contribution less than 0.8 ppb are below the
threshold.
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\15\ Transport Rule Proposal, 75 FR 45210, 45254.
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In the Transport Rule Proposal, EPA projected future concentrations
of ozone at monitors to identify areas that are expected to be out of
attainment with NAAQS or to have difficulty maintaining compliance with
the NAAQS in 2012. To determine the states that may cause interference
at the maintenance receptors, the Transport Rule Proposal models the
states' ozone contribution to these maintenance receptors. Because the
Transport Rule Proposal does not model the contribution of emissions
from Colorado (and other western states not fully inside the Transport
Rule Proposal's modeling domain) to 8-hour ozone maintenance receptors
in other states, our assessment relies on a weight of evidence approach
that considers relevant information (such as identification of
maintenance receptors and estimates of ozone contributions) from the
Transport Rule Proposal pertaining to states within its modeling
domain, and additional material such as geographical and meteorological
factors, modeling analysis results from other studies, back trajectory
analyses, and AQS monitoring data. While conclusions reached for each
of the factors considered in the following analysis are not in and by
themselves determinative, consideration of these factors together
provides a reliable qualitative conclusion that emissions from Colorado
are not likely to interfere with maintenance of the 1997 8-hour ozone
NAAQS at monitors in other states.
Our analysis begins by assessing Colorado's contribution to the
closest maintenance receptors for the 1997 8-hour ozone standard. The
Transport Rule Proposal identifies within its modeling domain
(consisting of 37 states east of the Rocky Mountains, and the District
of Columbia) 16 maintenance receptors, among which the eight closest to
Colorado are eight receptors in the Dallas Fort Worth (DFW) and
Houston-Galveston-Brazoria (HGB) 8-hour ozone nonattainment areas.\16\
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\16\ The remaining eight maintenance-only sites are in a handful
of East Coast states: Connecticut, Georgia, New York and
Pennsylvania. See Table IV C-12, Transport Rule Proposal, at 45252-
253.
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Two of the three DFW area maintenance receptors are in Dallas
County (Hinton Street and Dallas Executive Airport sites), and the
third is in Tarrant County (Keller site).\17\ These monitors are at
least 500 miles from Colorado.\18\ Distance by itself is not an
obstacle to long range transport of ozone and/or its precursors.
NOX, the primary ozone precursor that is the object of the
Transport Rule Proposal, may be transported for long distances, and
contribute significantly to high ozone concentrations in other states.
However, with increasing distance there are greater opportunities for
ozone or NOX dispersion and/or removal from the atmosphere
due to the effect of winds or chemical sink processes. As a result, one
may conclude that the approximately 500 miles from Colorado sources of
X emissions to the DFW area maintenance receptors reduces,
but does not exclude, the possibility that the Colorado emissions
interfere with maintenance of the NAAQS at these receptors.
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\17\ The 500 mile estimate represents the approximate distance
between Lamar, in the southeastern corner of Colorado, and Dallas,
Texas. The monitors' Site ID Numbers are: Hinton, 48-113-0069;
Executive Airport, 48-113-0087; and Keller, 48-439-2003. See id. For
monitors' site names, see online TCQE web page at https://www.tceq.state.tx.us/cgi-bin/compliance/monops/site_info.pl.
\18\ This distance underestimates the average distance covered
by emissions from Colorado sources for at least two reasons: (a)
Most Colorado sources are further north and/or west from the DFW
area than Lamar; (b) 500 miles represents the distance along a
straight pathway from Lamar to Dallas, Texas, as compared to the
pathways full of twists and turns that often characterize the long
range transport of air parcels.
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Because pollutant transport is linked to wind direction, we examine
how frequently air masses from Colorado pass through or end in the DFW
area that includes the maintenance receptors identified above. The
State of Texas' 2007 attainment demonstration for the DFW area points
out, without quantifying contributions, how heavily the area's ozone
concentrations are affected by substantial transport from other areas.
Average ozone background levels for DFW (reflecting concentrations
contributed to the area by emissions from sources within Texas but
outside the nonattainment area, and from sources outside Texas) are
estimated to range between 44 and 61 ppb, with peak averages between 64
and 68 ppb on days when 8-hour ozone concentrations exceed the 1997
standard.\19\
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\19\ ``Dallas-Fort Worth Eight-Hour Ozone Nonattainment Area:
Attainment Demonstration,'' TCEQ, May 23, 2007, p. i.
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To evaluate the impact of wind direction on ozone transport from
Colorado to the DFW maintenance receptors, we rely on the results of
two back trajectory studies, including a set of trajectories with end
points at the maintenance receptors in the DFW area.\20\ EPA generated
these trajectories using the HYSPLIT 4.9 online computer application,
selecting the archived Eta Data Assimilation System (EDAS)
meteorological data sets with the highest degree of resolution (40
km).\21\ Back trajectories were run for the days of the 2005-2006 years
in which ozone concentrations at these receptors exceeded the 1997 8-
hour NAAQS--i.e., monitored ozone concentrations were 85 ppb or above.
Exceedance days were identified using the Air Quality System (AQS),
EPA's repository of monitored ambient air quality data. At each
monitor, trajectories were started at 22
[[Page 56940]]
Coordinated Universal Time (UTC), equivalent to 4 p.m. CST, and were
run backwards in time for 72 hours (three days). The trajectory height
at the starting point is 1500 meters above ground level. From the
individual back trajectories, ``spider web'' maps were generated for
all three monitors combined and for each monitor (Figure 1.1 and
Figures 1.1.a through 1.1.c in Appendix A of EPA's TSD).\22\ These maps
indicate that air parcel pathways from Colorado and ending at
maintenance receptors in Dallas and Tarrant Counties are rare during
the three days preceding ozone exceedances at these receptors. On only
one day, of the 35 exceedance days at maintenance receptors in 2005-
2006, did the air mass pathway go through Colorado, and even in this
one instance air parcels crossed the State along a short pathway
through its northeast corner, before continuing on their southeastward
course.\23\
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\20\ USEPA Region 8 mapped back trajectories using software and
data files maintained by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA) Air Resource Laboratory (ARL).
\21\ Draxler, R.R. and Rolph, G.D., HYSPLIT (HYbrid Single-
Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory) Model (2010), available
via NOAA ARL READY Web site, https://ready.arl.noaa.gov/HYSPLIT.php.
NOAA Air Resources Laboratory, Silver Spring, MD. See also Rolph,
G.D., Real-time Environmental Applications and Display sYstem
(READY) Web site (2010), https://ready.arl.noaa.gov. NOAA Air
Resources Laboratory, Silver Spring, MD.
\22\ See back trajectory maps in Appendix A of the EPA's TSD
supporting documentation in Docket ID No. EPA-R08-OAR-2007-1035.
\23\ EPA's TSD is available for review as part of the supporting
documentation for Docket ID N. EPA-R08-OAR-2007-1035.
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Back trajectory analysis results included in the May 23, 2007 DFW
area Attainment Demonstration corroborate these conclusions. The
analysis, also based on the HYSPLIT model, includes all days during the
years 2001-2003, with trajectories of 48 hours (2 days) duration,
heights of 100, 500 and 1300 meters, and start times of 20, 21 and 22
UTC (2, 3, and 4 p.m. CST). The resulting density plots in Figure 3-1
of the DFW attainment demonstration clearly show that during most of
the ozone season, on high and low ozone days, air parcels from Colorado
infrequently end in or pass through the DFW area.\24\
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\24\ Dallas-Fort Worth Attainment Demonstration, May 23, 2007,
at 3-1 to 3-2.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Because back trajectory analysis results map pathways of air
parcels that may or may not transport pollutants, they cannot be
considered determinative as to the transport of ozone and its
precursors, or of the absence of such transport, from Colorado
emissions. However, the rarity of air parcel trajectories from Colorado
to the DFW area and to its maintenance receptors strongly support the
conclusion that emissions of ozone and its precursors from Colorado are
not likely to interfere with maintenance of the 1997 ozone NAAQS at
these receptors.
A final piece of evidence of a different type is found in a
modeling analysis developed by EPA to assist the State of New Mexico in
its assessment of ozone and PM2.5 transport from New Mexico
to other states. This modeling analysis, part of the New Mexico
Interstate Transport SIP submission of July 30, 2007, relies on data
developed by the Central Regional Air Planning Association (CENRAP)
that includes a 2002 third quarter CENRAP modeling dataset.\25\ It is
based on a 36 km national grid that includes Colorado, and uses the
ozone source apportionment tool (OSAT) to determine potential linkages
between state emissions and downwind states.\26\ Modeling results
indicate that at the height of the 2002 ozone season, the highest ozone
contribution from Colorado emissions to the DFW monitors (including its
maintenance receptors) averaged 0.4 ppb or less. That is well below the
contribution threshold of 0.8 ppb, used in the proposed Transport Rule.
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\25\ ``New Mexico State Interstate Transport SIP,'' submitted to
EPA July 30, 2007: Appendix D, Exhibit 9 Modeling Data and Report
for New Mexico,'' at 2.
\26\ For details on the model and on the analysis see: id.
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The other five Texas monitors identified by the Transport Rule
Proposal as maintenance-only receptors in Texas are located in Harris
County, which lies within the HGB nonattainment area. This area is at
least 700 miles from Colorado.\27\ General considerations on the effect
of distance on ozone transport from Colorado to the DFW area, discussed
above, also apply to the potential for transport from Colorado to the
maintenance receptors in the HGB area. The greater distance (by about
one third) between Colorado and the HGB area increases the chance for
dispersion of any Colorado ozone during its transport to HGB
maintenance receptors, and increases the odds for air masses from
Colorado to pick up greater quantities of ozone and/or precursors
during their longer travel through emissions rich Texas. Again, these
considerations reduce, but do not exclude, the possibility of emissions
from Colorado interfering with maintenance of the 8-hour ozone NAAQS at
the HGB maintenance receptors.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\27\ The 700-mile estimate represents the approximate distance
between Lamar, in the southeastern corner of Colorado, and Houston,
Texas. The five monitoring sites' names (ID No.) are: Aldine (48-
201-0024), Northwest Harris (48-201-0029), Lynchburg Ferry (48-201-
1015), Clinton (48-201-1035), and Seabrook Friendship Park (48-201-
1050). The approximate 850-mile distance between Denver and Houston
is intended to represent the distance to be covered by the emissions
from Colorado to the five maintenance monitors. It is to be noted
that the measured distance represents that of the straight (and
shortest) path, which does not reflect the more circuitous paths
followed by air parcels.
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A similar conclusion is suggested by the EPA back trajectories
mapped for the HGB maintenance receptors. Using the same online HYSPLIT
4.9 online computer application as for the DFW trajectories,\28\ EPA
ran back trajectories from the HGB area maintenance receptors for all
2005-2006 ozone exceedances days. The pathways of air parcels ending
at, or passing through, these monitors when ozone concentrations
reached levels of 85 ppb or higher are shown in Figure 2.1 of Appendix
A in EPA's supporting documentation. At each monitor, trajectories
started at 22 Coordinated Universal Time (UTC), equivalent to 4 p.m.
CST, and ran backwards in time for 72 hours (three days), at 1500
meters above ground level.\29\ Results show that air parcel pathways
passing 1500 meters above the HGB maintenance receptors at 4 p.m. on
exceedance days rarely came from Colorado. Figure 3 of the back
trajectories report shows that only in one out of 53 exceedance days at
the maintenance receptors did the air parcel's pathway go through
Colorado. Even in this one instance, the pathway crossed Colorado for a
very short distance through the State's northeast corner, before
continuing on its southeastward course.\30\
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\28\ See note 24 above.
\29\ See Table 1, EPA's ``Back Trajectories Analysis
Documentation,'' Table 1.
\30\ The trajectory's path that ended at the Northwest Harris
receptor on August 31, 2006, is almost the same as the one that on
June 15, 2005 ended at the Keller receptor in Tarrant. This is
likely to be a coincidence, or an indication about the pathways of
air masses that go through eastern Colorado before ending in eastern
Texas (DFW and HGB areas).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Back trajectory analysis results from a 2009 report, ``Effects of
Meteorology on Pollutant Trends'' report, corroborate these
conclusions. The analysis uses HYSPLIT with EDAS meteorological
datasets to plot 72-hour back trajectories centered in Houston, at 300
meters height and for various times of the day. Trajectories are
plotted for all days with available data between May 1 and October 31,
2000-2007. A clustering algorithm built into HYSPLIT is used to group
individual back trajectories into several classes based on shape and
direction.\31\ Due to the greater number of days plotted, the six
clusters of trajectories shown in Figures 6-17 to 6-22 include a much
larger number of air parcel pathways than EPA's back
[[Page 56941]]
trajectory analysis referenced above, but still show similar results
concerning trajectories from Colorado. Air parcels from Colorado to the
Houston area are rare, as shown by the few trajectories from Colorado
in cluster 3 (Figure 6-19) as compared with the total sample of 1416
trajectories included in the six clusters. Figure 6-15 summarizes
effectively the overall scarcity of wind pathways from Colorado, and
from the west/lower northwest sector in general, to the HGB area. It
shows the mean centerlines for the six identified clusters, and at
their closest point to Colorado's borders the mean centerline (number
3) is still at an estimated distance of approximately 200 miles.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\31\ Dave Sullivan, ``Effects of Meteorology on Pollutant
Trends,'' March 16, 2009, at 27-34. This report is available as one
of the documents in EPA's TSD documentation, and may also be
reviewed online at https://www.tceq.state.tx.us/assets/public/implementation/air/am/contracts/reports/da/5820586245FY0801-20090316-ut-met_effects_on_pollutant_trends.pdf.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Again, back trajectories map pathways of air parcels that may or
may not transport pollutants, and they cannot be considered
determinative as to the transport of ozone and its precursors. However,
the infrequency of air parcels trajectories from Colorado to the HGB
area in general, and to its maintenance receptors in particular,
strongly support the conclusion that ozone precursors' emissions and
ozone from Colorado are not likely to interfere with maintenance of the
1997 ozone NAAQS at these receptors.
The EPA modeling analysis referenced earlier (concerning
contribution from Colorado sources to the DFW area) includes
information on the contribution of the State emissions to the HGB area
as well. The 2002 modeled contribution from Colorado ozone emissions to
the HGB area is estimated at 0.3 ppb or less. This fraction of the
significant contribution threshold of 0.8 ppb, set in EPA's Transport
Rule Proposal of August 2, 2010, strengthens our assessment that
Colorado emissions are unlikely to interfere with maintenance of the
1997 ozone NAAQS at the HGB maintenance receptors.\32\
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\32\ New Mexico State Interstate Transport SIP, 2007, Appendix
D, at 52.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
As noted previously, eight of the 16 maintenance receptors
identified within the modeling by the Transport Rule Proposal analysis
are in a handful of East Coast states: Connecticut, Georgia, New York
and Pennsylvania.\33\ The westernmost states ``linked'' by the
Transport Rule Proposal to the eight maintenance receptors in these
states include Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, and Alabama. None of the
13 states west of these contributing states and east of Colorado (such
as North and South Dakota and Nebraska) was found to contribute
significantly to the maintenance receptors in the east.\34\ In
addition, among the 13 non-contributing states closer than Colorado to
the maintenance receptors in the east, there are states such as
Illinois, Wisconsin, Iowa, Missouri, Arkansas, and Louisiana that in
2005 had NOX emissions up to twice as high as Colorado's.
Because the analysis for the Transport Rule Proposal found that these
states with substantially larger NOX emissions than
Colorado, and closer than Colorado to the maintenance receptors in the
east, do not to contribute significantly to maintenance receptors in
Connecticut, Georgia, New York and Pennsylvania, it is logical to
conclude that it is quite unlikely for Colorado emissions to interfere
with maintenance of the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS at these same
receptors.
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\33\ Table IV C-12, Transport Rule, at 196-197.
\34\ In addition to North Dakota, South Dakota and Nebraska, the
13 states include: Kansas, Oklahoma, Minnesota, Iowa, Missouri,
Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, Illinois, and Louisiana. Table IV-C-
21, Transport Rule Proposal, at 45269-70.
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To assist in the evaluation of whether states' emissions interfere
with maintenance of the NAAQS in western states, EPA has developed,
independent of the Transport Rule Proposal, a modeling analysis
identifying monitors at risk for maintenance of the NAAQS within a
modeling domain that includes the western states.\35\ The analysis
presented in the memo, ``Documentation of Future Year Ozone and Annual
PM2.5 Design Values for Western States'' (Western States
Design Values), uses model results from the Transport Rule modeling
Continental U.S. 36 km grid, which is coarser than the 12 km grid used
in the Transport Rule, but does not necessarily yield less reliable
results.\36\
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\35\ A memorandum in the docket for this action provides the
information EPA used in order to identify monitors that are
receptors for evaluation of interference with maintenance for
certain states in the western United States. See, Memorandum from
Brian Timin of EPA's Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards,
Air Quality Modeling Group entitled ``Documentation of Future Year
Ozone and Annual PM2.5 Design Values for Western States''
``Memorandum to Docket EPA-R08-OAR-2007-1035,'' EPA, August 23,
2010.
\36\ Id. at 5.
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EPA's modeling analysis of western states to determine the monitors
that are at risk for maintenance of the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS
identifies only four such maintenance receptors, and all four are in
California, in Mercer, Placer, Riverside, and Sacramento Counties.
Distance and topography are not favorable to ozone transport from
Denver, which is approximately 750 miles east of the monitors in Placer
and Sacramento Counties, and 850 miles northeast to a Riverside County
monitor. In the absence of significant northwesterly regional transport
winds, mountain ranges between Denver and the California maintenance
receptors, such as the Rocky Mountains, the Wasatch and the Sierra
Nevada, present large obstacles to ozone transport from Colorado to
California. Thus, geography and topography reduce the likelihood of
transport from Colorado to California's maintenance receptors.
Prevailing wind orientation in fact strongly supports the
conclusion that Colorado's emissions are unlikely to interfere with
maintenance of the 1997 8-hour ozone standard in California. West of
the Continental Divide the prevailing winds generally move from south-
westerly, westerly, or north-westerly directions, as indicated by the
typical movement of weather systems. To further evaluate the direction
of regional transport winds affecting the California maintenance
receptors, we have plotted back trajectories starting at each
maintenance receptor on high ozone days. High ozone days include the
top one-third of the exceedance days (for the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS)
registered at each monitor in 2005 and 2006. As shown by the
trajectories mapped for all four maintenance receptors in Figure 3.1,
Appendix A of EPA's supporting documentation, on high ozone days air
parcels converge on the Mercer, Placer, Sacramento and Riverside
monitors from the northwest, south and southeast, but there are no
pathways from the east/northeast directions reaching even as far as the
eastern Nevada border, let alone Colorado.
For a large number of receptors in western states, EPA's modeling
analysis could not calculate 2012 projected design values because these
receptors did not have at least 5 days with base year concentrations
equal to or greater than 70 ppb, as required by EPA's modeling
guidance. However, the observed maximum design values at these sites in
the 2003-2007 period were generally well below the 1997 ozone NAAQS.
The highest (non-California \37\) site had a maximum design value of 77
ppb. Additionally, the 2012 modeling results at western monitors (where
a future year design value could be estimated, shows a
[[Page 56942]]
downward trend in ozone. There are no areas in the West where ozone is
predicted to be higher in 2012 (without CAIR) compared to 2005. On
these bases it is plausible to conclude that it is highly unlikely, but
not impossible, for these monitors to be at risk for maintenance of the
1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\37\ We are excluding the California monitors from this portion
of our analysis because above we have already demonstrated that
Colorado's emissions are unlikely to interfere with maintenance at
the modeled California maintenance monitors in the northern, central
and southern sections of the state. The factors we considered--
distance, topography, and wind orientation--apply equally to the un-
modeled monitors and make it plausible to conclude that the same
demonstration is true for Colorado emissions' impact on California
non-modeled monitors.
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In conclusion, the variety of data and the weight of evidence
analysis presented in this section support the position of the Colorado
Interstate Transport SIP (adopted into the State SIP on December 30,
2008 and submitted to EPA June 18, 2009) that emissions from Colorado
do not interfere with maintenance of the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS by any
other state, consistent with the requirements of element (2) of CAA
section 110(a)(2)(D)(i).
VI. Proposed Action
EPA is proposing partial approval of the Colorado SIP to meet the
requirements of Section 110(a)(2)(D)(i)(I) regarding the 1997 8-hour
ozone standard. Specifically, in this action EPA is proposing to
approve only the language and demonstration that address the
requirements of element (2): Prohibition of interference with
maintenance of the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS by any other state. EPA
approved in a June 3, 2010 final action the language and demonstration
addressing element (1): Prohibition of significant contribution to
nonattainment of the 1997 8-hour ozone NAAQS in any other state.
VII. Statutory and Executive Order Review
Under the Clean Air Act, the Administrator is required to approve a
SIP submission that complies with the provisions of the Act and
applicable Federal regulations. 42 U.S.C. 7410(k); 40 CFR 52.02(a).
Thus, in reviewing SIP submissions, EPA's role is to approve state
choices, provided that they meet the criteria of the Clean Air Act.
Accordingly, this action merely approves state law as meeting Federal
requirements and does not impose additional requirements beyond those
imposed by state law. For that reason, this action:
Is not a ``significant regulatory action'' subject to
review by the Office of Management and Budget under Executive Order
12866 (58 FR 51735, October 4, 1993);
Does not impose an information collection burden under the
provisions of the Paperwork Reduction Act (44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq.);
Is certified as not having a significant economic impact
on a substantial number of small entities under the Regulatory
Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.);
Does not contain any unfunded mandate or significantly or
uniquely affect small governments, as described in the Unfunded
Mandates Reform Act of 1995 (Pub. L. 104-4);
Does not have Federalism implications as specified in
Executive Order 13132 (64 FR 43255, August 10, 1999);
Is not an economically significant regulatory action based
on health or safety risks subject to Executive Order 13045 (62 FR
19885, April 23, 1997);
Is not a significant regulatory action subject to
Executive Order 13211 (66 FR 28355, May 22, 2001);
Is not subject to requirements of Section 12(d) of the
National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act of 1995 (15 U.S.C. 272
note) because application of those requirements would be inconsistent
with the Clean Air Act; and
Does not provide EPA with the discretionary authority to
address, as appropriate, disproportionate human health or environmental
effects, using practicable and legally permissible methods, under
Executive Order 12898 (59 FR 7629, February 16, 1994).
In addition, this rule does not have tribal implications as specified
by Executive Order 13175 (65 FR 67249, November 9, 2000), because the
SIP is not approved to apply in Indian country located in the state,
and EPA notes that it will not impose substantial direct costs on
tribal governments or preempt tribal law.
List of Subjects in 40 CFR Part 52
Environmental protection, Air pollution control, Incorporation by
reference, Intergovernmental relations, Nitrogen dioxide, Ozone,
Particulate matter, Reporting and recordkeeping requirements, Volatile
Organic Compounds.
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401 et seq.
Dated: September 9, 2010.
Carol Rushin,
Acting Regional Administrator, Region 8.
[FR Doc. 2010-23294 Filed 9-16-10; 8:45 am]
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