Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to Specified Activities; Taking Marine Mammals Incidental to Open Water Marine Seismic Survey in the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas, Alaska, 49710-49758 [2010-19950]
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DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration
RIN 0648–XV09
Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to
Specified Activities; Taking Marine
Mammals Incidental to Open Water
Marine Seismic Survey in the Beaufort
and Chukchi Seas, Alaska
National Marine Fisheries
Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
Commerce.
ACTION: Notice; issuance of an incidental
take authorization.
AGENCY:
In accordance with the
Marine Mammal Protection Act
(MMPA) regulations, notification is
hereby given that NMFS has issued an
Incidental Harassment Authorization
(IHA) to Shell Offshore Inc. (Shell) to
take, by harassment, small numbers of 8
species of marine mammals incidental
to a marine survey program, which
includes site clearance and shallow
hazards, ice gouge, and strudel scour
surveys, in the Beaufort and Chukchi
Seas, Alaska, during the 2010 Arctic
open water season.
DATES: Effective August 6, 2010, through
November 30, 2010.
ADDRESSES: Inquiry for information on
the incidental take authorization should
be addressed to Michael Payne, Chief,
Permits, Conservation and Education
Division, Office of Protected Resources,
National Marine Fisheries Service, 1315
East-West Highway, Silver Spring, MD
20910. A copy of the application
containing a list of the references used
in this document, NMFS’
Environmental Assessment (EA) and
Finding of No Significant Impact
(FONSI), and the IHA may be obtained
by writing to the address specified
above, telephoning the contact listed
below (see FOR FURTHER INFORMATION
CONTACT), or visiting the Internet at:
https://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/permits/
incidental.htm#applications.
Documents cited in this notice may be
viewed, by appointment, during regular
business hours, at the aforementioned
address.
SUMMARY:
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FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Shane Guan, Office of Protected
Resources, NMFS, (301) 713–2289 or
Brad Smith, NMFS, Alaska Region,
(907) 271–3023.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background
Sections 101(a)(5)(A) and (D) of the
MMPA (16 U.S.C. 1361 et seq.) direct
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the Secretary of Commerce to allow,
upon request, the incidental, but not
intentional, taking of small numbers of
marine mammals by U.S. citizens who
engage in a specified activity (other than
commercial fishing) within a specified
geographical region if certain findings
are made and either regulations are
issued or, if the taking is limited to
harassment, a notice of a proposed
authorization is provided to the public
for review.
Authorization for incidental takings
shall be granted if NMFS finds that the
taking will have a negligible impact on
the species or stock(s), will not have an
unmitigable adverse impact on the
availability of the species or stock(s) for
subsistence uses (where relevant), and if
the permissible methods of taking and
requirements pertaining to the
mitigation, monitoring and reporting of
such takings are set forth. NMFS has
defined ‘‘negligible impact’’ in 50 CFR
216.103 as ‘‘* * * an impact resulting
from the specified activity that cannot
be reasonably expected to, and is not
reasonably likely to, adversely affect the
species or stock through effects on
annual rates of recruitment or survival.’’
Section 101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA
established an expedited process by
which citizens of the U.S. can apply for
an authorization to incidentally take
small numbers of marine mammals by
harassment. Except with respect to
certain activities not pertinent here, the
MMPA defines ‘‘harassment’’ as:
any act of pursuit, torment, or annoyance
which (i) has the potential to injure a marine
mammal or marine mammal stock in the wild
[‘‘Level A harassment’’]; or (ii) has the
potential to disturb a marine mammal or
marine mammal stock in the wild by causing
disruption of behavioral patterns, including,
but not limited to, migration, breathing,
nursing, breeding, feeding, or sheltering
[‘‘Level B harassment’’].
Section 101(a)(5)(D) establishes a 45day time limit for NMFS review of an
application followed by a 30-day public
notice and comment period on any
proposed authorizations for the
incidental harassment of marine
mammals. Within 45 days of the close
of the comment period, NMFS must
either issue or deny the authorization.
Summary of Request
NMFS received an application on
December 24, 2009, from Shell for the
taking, by harassment, of marine
mammals incidental to several marine
surveys designed to gather data relative
to site clearance and shallow hazards,
ice gouge, and strudel scour in selected
areas of the Beaufort Sea and ice gouge
in the Chukchi Sea, Alaska. These
surveys are continuations of those
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performed by Shell in the Beaufort Sea
beginning in 2006, and in the Chukchi
Sea in 2008. After addressing comments
from NMFS, Shell modified its
application and submitted a revised
application on April 19, 2010. The April
19, 2010, application is the one
available for public comment (see
ADDRESSES) and considered by NMFS
for this proposed IHA.
Site clearance and shallow hazards
surveys will evaluate the seafloor, and
shallow sub seafloor at prospective
exploration drilling locations, focusing
on the depth to seafloor, topography, the
potential for shallow faults or gas zones,
and the presence of archaeological
features. The types of equipment used to
conduct these surveys use low level
energy sources focused on limited areas
in order to characterize the footprint of
the seafloor and shallow sub seafloor at
prospective drilling locations. Ice gouge
surveys will determine the depth and
distribution of ice gouges into the
seabed. Ice gouge surveys use low-level
energy sources similar to the site
clearance and shallow hazards.
Shell intends to conduct these marine
surveys during the 2010 Arctic openwater season (July through October).
Impacts to marine mammals may occur
from noise produced by various active
acoustic sources used in the surveys.
Description of the Specified Activity
Shell plans to complete the following
surveys during the 2010 open-water
season:
• Beaufort Sea Site Clearance and
Shallow Hazards Surveys
• Beaufort Sea Marine Surveys
Æ Ice Gouge Survey
Æ Strudel Scour Survey
• Chukchi Sea Marine Surveys
Æ Ice Gouge Survey
Each of these individual surveys will
require marine vessels to accomplish
the work. Shell states that these marine
surveys will be conducted between July
and October 2010, however, ice and
weather conditions will influence the
exact dates and locations marine vessel
survey operations can be conducted.
1. Beaufort Sea Site Clearance and
Shallow Hazards Surveys
Shell’s proposed site clearance and
shallow hazards surveys are to gather
data on: (1) Bathymetry, (2) seabed
topography and other seabed
characteristics (e.g., boulder patches),
(3) potential geohazards (e.g., shallow
faults and shallow gas zones), and (4)
the presence of any archeological
features (e.g., shipwrecks). Site
clearance and shallow hazards surveys
can be accomplished by one vessel with
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acoustic sources. No other vessels are
necessary to accomplish the proposed
work.
The focus of this activity will be on
Shell’s existing leases in Harrison Bay
in the central Beaufort Sea. Actual
locations of site clearance and shallow
hazards surveys within Harrison Bay
have not been definitively set as of this
date, although these will occur on the
Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) lease
blocks in Harrison Bay located in the
Beaufort Sea shown on Figure 1 of
Shell’s IHA application. The site
clearance and shallow hazards surveys
will be conducted within an area of
approximately 216 mi2 (558 km2) north
of Thetis Island more than 3 mi (4.8 km)
to approximately 20 mi (33 km)
offshore. Approximately 63 mi (162.7
km) of the data acquisition is planned
within this general area. The survey
track line is approximately 351.5 mi2
(565 km2). The average depth of the
survey area ranges from 35 to 85 ft (10.7
to 26 m).
Ice and weather permitting, Shell is
proposing to conduct site clearance and
shallow hazards surveys within the
timeframe of July 2010 through October
2010. The actual survey time is
expected to take 30 days.
The vessel that will be conducting
this activity has not been determined at
this point, but will be similar to the R/
V Mt. Mitchell which is the vessel that
was used for surveys in the Chukchi Sea
in 2009. The R/V Mt. Mitchell is a diesel
powered-vessel, 70 m (231 ft) long, 12.7
m (42 ft) wide, with a 4.5 m (15 ft) draft.
It is proposed that the following
acoustic instrumentation, or something
similar, be used.
• Deep Penetration Profiler, (40 cu-in
airgun source with 48-channel streamer)
and Medium Penetration Profiler, (40
cu-in airgun source with 24-channel
streamer):
The deep and medium penetration
profilers are the major active acoustic
sources used in the site clearance and
shallow hazards surveys. The modeled
source level is estimated at 217 dB re 1
μPa rms. The 120, 160, 180, and 190 dB
re 1 μPa rms received level isopleths are
estimated at 14,900 m, 1,220 m, 125 m,
and 35 m from the source, respectively.
• Dual-frequency side scan sonar,
(100–400 kHz or 300–600 kHz):
Based on Shell’s 2006 90-day report,
the source level of this active acoustic
source when operated at 190 and 240
kHz is approximately 225 dB re 1 μPa
rms. Due to its high frequency range,
NMFS does not consider its acoustic
energy would be strong enough to cause
impacts to marine mammals beyond a
couple of hundred meters from the
source.
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• Single beam Echo Sounder, (high:
100–340 kHz, low: 24–50 kHz):
This echo sounder is a typical
‘‘fathometer’’ or ‘‘fish-finder’’ that is
widely used in most recreational or
fishing vessels. Source levels for these
types of units are typically in the range
of 180–200 dB re 1 μPa rms. Using a
spherical spreading model, the 160 dB
isopleth is estimated at 100 m from the
source for the lower range of the
acoustic signals. For the higher range of
the signal, due to the higher absorption
coefficients, the 160 dB isopleth is
expected to be under 100 m from the
source.
• Multi-Beam Echo Sounder, (240
kHz):
Since the output frequency from this
echo sounder is above the upper-limit of
marine mammal hearing range, NMFS
believes it unlikely that a marine
mammal would be taken by this
activity.
• Shallow Sub-Bottom Profiler, (2–12
kHz):
Information regarding this active
acoustic source on two vessels (Alpha
Helix and Henry C.) was provided in
Shell’s 2008 90-day open water marine
survey monitoring report. For the Alpha
Helix measurement, at 3.5 kHz, the
source level for the shallow sub-bottom
profiler was 193.8 dB re 1 μPa rms, and
its 120, 160, 180, and 190 dB re 1 μPa
rms isopleths were determined to be 310
m, 14 m, 3 m, and 1 m from the source,
respectively. For the Henry C.
measurement, at 3.5 kHz, the source
level of the similar profiler was
measured at 167.2 dB re 1 μPa rms, and
its 120 and 160 dB re 1 μPa rms
isopleths were determined to be 980 m
and 3 m, respectively.
2. Beaufort Sea Marine Surveys
Two marine survey activities are
proposed for the Beaufort Sea: (1) Ice
gouge survey, and (2) strudel scour
survey. Shell continues to conduct these
types of marine surveys annually over a
few years to enhance baseline and
statistical understanding of the
formation, longevity, and temporal
distribution of sea floor features and
baseline environmental and biologic
conditions. Marine surveys for ice gouge
and strudel scour surveys can be
accomplished by one vessel for each. No
other vessels are necessary to
accomplish the proposed work.
The proposed ice gouge surveys will
be conducted in both State of Alaska
waters including Camden Bay, and the
Federal waters of the OCS in the
Beaufort Sea near Pt. Thomson ranging
from near shore to approximately 37 mi
(59.5 km) offshore. The water depth in
the ice gouging survey area ranges
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between 15 to 120 ft (4.5 to 36.6 m), and
the surveys will be conducted within an
area of 1,950 mi2 (5,036 km2) with a
survey track line of approximately 1,276
mi (2,050 km, See Figure 2 of Shell’s
IHA application).
The proposed strudel scour survey
will occur in State of Alaska waters in
Pt. Thomson ranging from near shore to
3 mi (4.8 km) offshore. The water depth
ranges from 3 to 20 ft (0.9 to 6.1 m). The
strudel scour survey will be conducted
in an area of approximately 140 mi2
(361.5 km2). The survey track line is
approximately 124 mi (200 km).
Ice and weather permitting, Shell is
proposing to conduct this work within
the timeframe of July 2010 through
October 2010. The actual survey time is
expected to take 45 days.
Ice Gouge Survey
As part of the feasibility study for
Shell’s Alaskan prospects a survey is
required to identify and evaluate seabed
conditions. Ice gouging is created by ice
keels, which project from the bottom of
moving ice and gouge into seafloor
sediment. Ice gouge features are
mapped, and by surveying each year,
new gouges can be identified. The ice
gouge information is used to aid in
predicting the prospect of, orientation,
depth, and frequency of future ice
gouges. Ice gouge information is
required for the design of potential
pipelines and for the design of pipeline
trenching and installation equipment.
The 2010 ice gouge surveys will be
conducted using the conventional
survey method where the acoustic
instrumentation will be towed behind
the survey vessel, or possibly with the
use of an Autonomous Underwater
Vehicle (AUV). The same acoustic
instrumentation will be used during
both AUV and the conventional survey
methods. The AUV is a self-propelled
autonomous vehicle that will be
equipped with acoustic instrumentation
and programmed for remote operation
over the seafloor where the ice gouge
survey is to be conducted, and the
vehicle is launched and retrieved from
a marine vessel.
For the survey operations, the AUV
will be launched from the stern of a
vessel and will survey the seafloor close
to the vessel. The vessel will transit an
area, with the AUV surveying the area
behind the vessel. The AUV also has a
Collision Avoidance System and
operates without a towline that reduces
potential impact to marine mammals
(such as entanglement). Using
bathymetric sonar or multibeam echo
sounder the AUV can record the gouges
on the seafloor surface caused by ice
keels. The sub-bottom profiler can
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record layers beneath the surface to
about 20 feet (6 m). The AUV is more
maneuverable and able to complete
surveys more quickly than a
conventional survey. This reduces the
duration that vessels producing sound
must operate. The proposed ice gouge
survey in the Beaufort Sea is expected
to last for 45 days.
The vessel that will be used for ice
gouging surveys has not been selected,
but it is anticipated that the vessel
would be similar to the R/V Mt.
Mitchell, which is 70 m (231 ft) long,
12.7 m (42 ft) wide, and 4.5 m (15 ft)
draft.
It is proposed that the following
acoustic instrumentation, or something
similar, be used.
• Dual Frequency sub-bottom
profiler; (2 to 7 kHz or 8 to 23 kHz):
Information regarding this active
acoustic source on Henry C. was
provided in Shell’s 2006 and 2007 90day open water marine survey
monitoring reports. In the 2006 report,
at 2–7 and 8–23 kHz, the source level
was estimated at 184.6 dB re 1 μPa rms,
and its 120, 160, and 180 dB re 1 μPa
rms isopleths were determined to be 456
m, 7 m, and 2 m from the source,
respectively. In the 2007 report, at 2–7
kHz, the source level was estimated at
161.1 dB re 1 μPa rms, and its 120 and
160 dB re 1 μPa rms isopleths were
determined to be 260 m and 1 m,
respectively.
• Multibeam Echo Sounder (240 kHz)
and Side-scan sonar system (190 to 210
kHz):
Since the output frequencies from
these acoustic instruments are above the
upper-limits of marine mammal hearing
range, NMFS believes it unlikely that a
marine mammal would be taken by this
activity.
Strudel Scour Survey
During the early melt on the North
Slope, the rivers begin to flow and
discharge water over the coastal sea ice
near the river deltas. That water flows
down holes in the ice (‘‘strudels’’) and
scours the seafloor. These areas are
called ‘‘strudel scours’’. Information on
these features is required for prospective
pipeline planning. Two proposed
activities are required to gather this
information: aerial survey via helicopter
overflights during the melt to locate the
strudels; and strudel scour marine
surveys to gather bathymetric data. The
overflights investigate possible sources
of overflood water and will survey local
streams that discharge in the vicinity of
Point Thomson including the Staines
River, which discharges to the east into
Flaxman Lagoon, and the Canning
River, which discharges to the east
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directly into the Beaufort Sea. These
helicopter overflights will occur during
late May/early June 2010 and, weather
permitting, should take no more than
two days. There are no planned
landings during these overflights other
than at the Deadhorse or Kaktovik
airports.
Areas that have strudel scour
identified during the aerial survey will
be verified and surveyed with a marine
vessel after the breakup of nearshore ice.
The vessel has not been determined,
however, it is anticipated that it will be
the diesel-powered R/V Annika Marie
which has been utilized 2006 through
2008 and measures 13.1 m (43 ft) long,
or similar vessel.
This proposed activity is not
anticipated to take more than 5 days to
conduct. The operation is conducted in
the shallow water areas near the coast
in the vicinity of Point Thomson. This
vessel will use the following equipment:
• Multibeam Echo Sounder (240 kHz)
and Side-scan sonar system (190 to 210
kHz):
Since the output frequencies from
these acoustic instruments are above the
upper-limits of marine mammal hearing
range, NMFS believes it unlikely that a
marine mammal would be taken by this
activity.
• Single Beam Bathymetric Sonar:
Source levels for these types of units
are typically in the 180–230 dB range,
somewhat lower than multibeam or side
scan sonars. A unit used during a
previous survey had a source level (at
high power) of 215 dB re 1 μPa (0-peak)
and a standard operating frequency of
200 kHz. Since the output frequencies
from these acoustic instruments are
above the upper-limits of marine
mammal hearing range, NMFS believes
it unlikely that a marine mammal would
be taken by this activity.
3. Chukchi Sea Marine Survey—Ice
Gouge Survey
Shell proposes one marine survey
activity for the Chukchi Sea in 2010.
Shell intends to conduct ice gouge
surveys annually over a few years to
enhance baseline and statistical
understanding of the formation,
longevity, and temporal distribution of
sea floor features and baseline
environmental and biologic conditions.
The ice gouge survey can be
accomplished by one vessel. No other
vessels are necessary to accomplish the
proposed work.
The proposed ice gouge surveys will
be conducted in both State of Alaska
waters and the Federal waters of the
OCS in the Chukchi Sea. Actual
locations of the ice gouge surveys have
not been definitively set as of this date,
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although these will occur within the
area outlined in Figure 4 of the IHA
application. The water depth of the ice
gouging survey ranges between 20 to
120 ft (6.1 to 36.6 m), and the surveys
will take in an area of 21,954 mi2
(56,965 km2), with a survey track line of
approximately 1,539 mi (2,473 km).
This activity is proposed to be
conducted within the timeframe of July
through October 2010. The total
program will last a maximum of 60
days, excluding downtime due to ice,
weather and other unforeseen delays,
and should be complete by the end of
October 2010.
The equipment and method used to
conduct the ice gouge survey in the
Chukchi Sea will be the same as that
used in the Beaufort Sea. Because of the
low source levels of the sub-bottom
profiler and the high-frequency nature
of the multi-beam echo sounder used in
the proposed ice gouge survey, NMFS
believes it unlikely that a marine
mammal would be taken by this
activity.
Comments and Responses
A notice of NMFS’ proposal to issue
an IHA to Shell published in the
Federal Register on May 18, 2010 (75
FR 27708). That notice described, in
detail, Shell’s proposed activity, the
marine mammal species that may be
affected by the activity, and the
anticipated effects on marine mammals.
During the 30-day public comment
period, NMFS received five comment
letters from the following: the Marine
Mammal Commission (Commission);
the Alaska Eskimo Whaling Commission
(AEWC); the Inupiat Community of the
Arctic Slope (ICAS); the North Slope
Borough Office of the Mayor (NSB); and
Alaska Wilderness League (AWL),
Audubon Alaska, Center for Biological
Diversity, Defenders of Wildlife,
Earthjustice, Greenpeace, Natural
Resources Defense Council, Northern
Alaska Environmental Center, Ocean
Conservancy, Oceana, Pacific
Environment, Sierra Club, and World
Wildlife Fund (collectively ‘‘AWL’’),
along with an attached letter from Dr.
David E. Bain, a contract scientist for
NMFS.
The AEWC submitted several journal
articles as attachments to its comment
letters. NMFS acknowledges receipt of
these documents but does not intend to
address the specific articles themselves
in the responses to comments, since
these journal articles are merely used as
citations in AEWC’s comments. AEWC
also submitted an unsigned, final
version of the 2010 Conflict Avoidance
Agreement (CAA), since Shell declined
to sign the CAA. Dr. Bain also attached
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an in-review journal article he
coauthored. Any comments specific to
Shell’s application that address the
statutory and regulatory requirements or
findings NMFS must make to issue an
IHA are addressed in this section of the
Federal Register notice.
General Comments
Comment 1: AEWC and ICAS believe
that NMFS should not issue incidental
take authorizations for oil and gasrelated activities given the current
suspension of offshore drilling in Alaska
and pending reorganization of the
Minerals Management Service (MMS).
AEWC and ICAS point out that the harm
caused by an oil spill is not the only risk
to marine mammals posed by oil and
gas activities on the OCS and that there
are concerns regarding underwater noise
from geophysical activities and the
threats posed to marine mammals from
noise and chemical pollution, as well as
increased vessel traffic. AEWC further
claims that many times, NMFS issued
IHAs over the objections of the scientific
and subsistence communities as well as
the agencies’ own scientists.
Response: The legal requirements and
underlying analysis for the issuance of
an IHA concerning take associated with
seismic activities are unrelated to the
moratorium on offshore drilling and
reorganization of the MMS. In order to
issue an authorization pursuant to
Section 101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA,
NMFS must determine that the taking
by harassment of small numbers of
marine mammal species or stocks will
have a negligible impact on affected
species or stocks, and will not have an
unmitigable adverse impact on the
availability of affected species or stocks
for taking for subsistence uses. If NMFS
is able to make these findings, the
Secretary is required to issue an IHA. In
the case of Shell’s activities for 2010 (as
described in the application, the notice
of proposed IHA (75 FR 27708; May 18,
2010) and this document), NMFS
determined that it was able to make the
required MMPA findings. Additionally,
as described later in this section and
throughout this document, NMFS has
determined that Shell’s activities will
not result in injury or mortality of
marine mammals, and no injury or
mortality is authorized under the IHA.
As discussed in detail in the proposed
IHA (75 FR 27708; May 18, 2010), the
EA for the issuance of IHAs to Shell and
Statoil for the proposed open water
marine and seismic surveys, and this
document, NMFS has conducted a
thorough analysis of the potential
impacts of underwater anthropogenic
sound (especially sound from
geophysical surveys) on marine
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mammals. We have cited multiple
studies and research that support
NMFS’ MMPA and National
Environmental Policy Act (NEPA)
determinations that the localized and
short-term disturbance from seismic
surveys, with strict mitigation and
monitoring measures implemented, is
likely to result in negligible impacts to
marine mammals and no significant
impact to the human environment,
respectively. Although issuance of the
IHA may be of concern to certain
members of the public, the proposed
issuance of the IHA was carefully
reviewed and analyzed by NMFS
scientists both at headquarters, through
an Endangered Species Act (ESA)
section 7 consultation at NMFS Alaska
Regional Office, and by an independent
bioacoustics expert and NMFS’ National
Marine Mammal Laboratory. Based on
those reviews, NMFS staff in the Office
of Protected Resources made
appropriate changes to this document.
Comment 2: ICAS points out that
Native communities in Alaska have long
been ignored in the race to find and
develop offshore oil and gas resources
and that the U.S. Government has
consistently failed to comply with legal
requirements that require consultation
with local Native communities as
proposals are being developed that
affect native environments. Instead,
both Federal agencies and the entities
they permit make only token gestures at
consultations with Native groups
offering them only the opportunity for
involvement after proposals are
developed and after local knowledge
would serve a useful purpose.
Response: Regulations at 50 CFR
216.104(a)(12) require applicants for
IHAs in Arctic waters to submit a Plan
of Cooperation (POC), which, among
other things, requires the applicant to
meet with affected subsistence
communities to discuss the proposed
activities. Additionally, for many years,
NMFS has conducted the Arctic Open
Water Meeting, which brings together
the Federal agencies, the oil and gas
industry, and affected Alaska Native
organizations to discuss the proposed
activities and monitoring plans. Local
knowledge is considered at these times,
and it is not too late for that knowledge
to serve a useful purpose. These
communities are also afforded the
opportunity to submit comments on the
application and proposed IHA notice,
which are then considered by NMFS
before making a final determination on
whether or not to issue an IHA.
Comment 3: Executive Order 13175
requires Federal agencies to conduct
government-to-government consultation
when undertaking to formulate and
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49713
implement policies that have tribal
implications. Despite this explicit
requirement, ICAS believes that NMFS
has failed to consult with governing
bodies of Native people who will be and
have been affected by the decisions
NMFS is making under the MMPA.
NMFS must meet with ICAS and local
Native villages on a government-togovernment basis to discuss the
proposed IHA, as well as appropriate
mitigation and monitoring
requirements.
Response: NMFS recognizes the
importance of the government-togovernment relationship and has taken
steps to ensure that Alaska Natives play
an active role in the management of
Arctic species. For example, NOAA and
the AEWC co-manage bowhead whales
pursuant to a cooperative agreement.
This agreement has allowed the AEWC
to play a significant role in the
management of a valuable resource by
affording Alaska Natives the
opportunity to protect bowhead whales
and the Eskimo culture and to promote
scientific investigation, among other
purposes.
In addition, NMFS works closely with
Alaska Natives when considering
whether to permit the take of marine
mammals incidental to oil and gas
operations. NMFS has met repeatedly
over the years with Alaska Native
representatives to discuss concerns
related to NMFS’ MMPA program in the
Arctic, and has also taken into account
recommended mitigation measures to
reduce the impact of oil and gas
operations on bowhead whales and to
ensure the availability of marine
mammals for taking for subsistence
uses. Finally, NMFS has participated in
Alaska Native community meetings in
the past and will continue to do so,
when feasible. NMFS most recently met
with ICAS at its May monthly meeting
in Barrow to discuss NMFS’ role in
minimizing impacts to marine mammals
from oil and gas industry activities and
asked the ICAS membership for specific
recommendations. NMFS will continue
to ensure that it meets its governmentto-government responsibilities and will
work closely with Alaska Natives to
address their concerns.
MMPA Concerns
Comment 4: AEWC notes their
disappointment in NMFS for releasing
for public comment an incomplete
application from Shell that fails to
provide the mandatory information
required by the MMPA and NMFS’
implementing regulations. AEWC
requests that NMFS return Shell’s
application as incomplete, or else the
agency risks making arbitrary and
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indefensible determinations under the
MMPA. The following is the
information that AEWC believes to be
missing from Shell’s application: (1) A
description of the ‘‘age, sex, and
reproductive condition’’ of the marine
mammals that will be impacted,
particularly in regard to bowhead
whales (50 CFR 216.104(a)(6)); (2) the
economic ‘‘availability and feasibility
* * * of equipment, methods, and
manner of conducting such activity or
other means of effecting the least
practicable adverse impact upon the
affected species or stocks, their habitat,
and on their availability for subsistence
uses, paying particular attention to
rookeries, mating grounds, and areas of
similar significance’’ (50 CFR
216.104(a)(11)); and (3) suggested means
of learning of, encouraging, and
coordinating any research related
activities (50 CFR 216.104(a)(14)). NSB
also notes its concern about the lack of
specificity regarding the timing and
location of the proposed surveys, as
well as the lack of specificity regarding
the surveys themselves.
Response: NMFS does not agree that
it released an incomplete application for
review during the public comment
period. After NMFS’ initial review of
the application, NMFS submitted
questions and comments to Shell on its
application. After receipt and review of
Shell’s responses, which were
incorporated into the final version of the
IHA application that was released to the
public for review and comment, NMFS
made its determination of completeness
and released the application, addenda,
and the proposed IHA notice (75 FR
27708; May 18, 2010). Regarding the
three specific pieces of information
believed to be missing by AEWC, Shell’s
original application included a
description of the pieces of information
that are required pursuant to 50 CFR
216.104(a)(12).
Information required pursuant to 50
CFR 216.104(a)(6) requires that an
applicant submit information on the
‘‘age, sex, and reproductive condition (if
possible)’’ of the number of marine
mammals that may be taken. In the
application, Shell described the species
expected to be taken by harassment and
provided estimates of how many of each
species were expected to be taken
during their activities. In most cases, it
is very difficult to estimate how many
animals, especially cetaceans, of each
age, sex, and reproductive condition
will be taken or impacted by seismic or
site clearance and shallow hazards
surveys.
Shell also provided information on
economic ‘‘availability and feasibility
* * * of equipment, methods, and
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manner of conducting such activity or
other means of effecting the least
practicable adverse impact upon the
affected species or stocks, their habitat,
and on their availability for subsistence
uses, paying particular attention to
rookeries, mating grounds, and areas of
similar significance’’ (50 CFR
216.104(a)(11)) in its IHA application. In
its application, Shell states that four
main mitigations regarding site
clearance and shallow hazards surveys
in the Beaufort Sea are proposed: (1)
Timing and locations for active survey
acquisition work; (2) to configure
airguns in a manner that directs energy
primarily down to the seabed thus
decreasing the range of horizontal
spreading of noise; (3) using a energy
source which is as small as possible
while still accomplishing the survey
objectives; and (4) curtailing active
survey work when the marine mammal
observers sight visually (from
shipboard) the presence of marine
mammals within identified ensonified
zones. Details of these mitigation
measures are discussed further in the
4MP that is included in Shell’s IHA
application. In addition to these
measures, NMFS’ Notice of Proposed
IHA (75 FR 27708, May 18, 2010)
described mitigation measures proposed
to be implemented by Shell (outlined in
the application), as well as additional
measures proposed by NMFS for
inclusion in an IHA.
Lastly, information required pursuant
to 50 CFR 216.104(a)(14) was also
included in Shell’s application. Shell
provided a list of researchers who could
potentially receive results of their
research activities who may find the
data useful in their own research.
Additionally, Shell states that it plans to
deploy arrays of acoustic recorders in
the Beaufort Sea in 2010, similar to
those deployed in 2007 and 2008 using
DASARs supplied by Greeneridge.
These directional acoustic systems
permit localization of bowhead whale
and other marine mammal
vocalizations, and to further
understand, define, and document
sound characteristics and propagation
resulting from shallow hazards surveys
that may have the potential to cause
deflections of bowhead whales from
their migratory pathway. NMFS also
determined that Shell’s application
provides descriptions of the specified
activities and specified geographic
region.
In conclusion, NMFS believes that
Shell provided all of the necessary
information to proceed with publishing
a proposed IHA notice in the Federal
Register.
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Comment 5: AEWC and NSB state that
NMFS failed to issue a draft
authorization for public review and
comment. The plain language of both
the MMPA and NMFS’ implementing
regulations require that NMFS provide
the opportunity for public comment on
the ‘‘proposed incidental harassment
authorization’’ (50 CFR 216.104(b)(1)(i);
16 U.S.C. 1371 (a)(5)(D)(iii)) and not just
on the application itself as NMFS has
done here. Given Shell’s refusal to sign
the CAA and without a complete draft
authorization and accompanying
findings, AEWC states that it cannot
provide meaningful comments on
Shell’s proposed activities, ways to
mitigate the impacts of those activities
on marine mammals, and measures that
are necessary to protect subsistence uses
and sensitive resources.
Response: The May 18, 2010 proposed
IHA notice (75 FR 27708) contained all
of the relevant information needed by
the public to provide comments on the
proposed authorization itself. The
notice contained the permissible
methods of taking by harassment, means
of effecting the least practicable impact
on such species (i.e., mitigation),
measures to ensure no unmitigable
adverse impact on the availability of the
species or stock for taking for
subsistence use, requirements
pertaining to the monitoring and
reporting of such taking, including
requirements for the independent peer
review of the proposed monitoring plan.
The notice provided detail on all of
these points and, in NMFS view,
allowed the public to comment on the
proposed authorization and inform
NMFS’ final decision. Additionally, the
notice contained NMFS’ preliminary
findings of negligible impact and no
unmitigable adverse impact.
The signing of a CAA is not a
requirement to obtain an IHA. The CAA
is a document that is negotiated
between and signed by the industry
participant, AEWC, and the Village
Whaling Captains’ Associations. NMFS
has no role in the development or
execution of this agreement. Although
the contents of a CAA may inform
NMFS’ no unmitigable adverse impact
determination for bowhead and beluga
whales and ice seals, the signing of it is
not a requirement. While a CAA has not
been signed and a final version agreed
to by industry participants, AEWC, and
the Village Whaling Captains’
Associations, NMFS was provided with
a copy of the version ready for signature
by AEWC. NMFS has reviewed the CAA
and included several measures from the
document which relate to marine
mammals and avoiding conflicts with
subsistence hunts in the IHA. Some of
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the conditions which have been added
to the IHA include: (1) Avoiding
concentrations of whales and reducing
vessel speed when near whales; (2)
flying at altitudes above 457 m (1,500 ft)
unless involved in marine mammal
monitoring or during take-offs, landings,
or in emergencies situations; (3)
conducting sound source verification
measurements; and (4) participating in
the Communication Centers. Despite the
lack of a signed CAA for 2010 activities,
NMFS is confident that the measures
contained in the IHA will ensure no
unmitigable adverse impact to
subsistence users.
Comment 6: AEWC and NSB argue
that Shell has not demonstrated that its
proposed activities would take only
‘‘small numbers of marine mammals of
a species or population stock,’’ resulting
in no more than a ‘‘negligible impact’’ on
a species or stock. In addition, NSB
argues that NMFS has not adequately
analyzed harassment associated with
received levels of noise below 160 dB.
Response: NMFS believes that it
provided sufficient information in its
proposed IHA notice (75 FR 27708; May
18, 2010) to make the small numbers
and negligible impact determinations
and that the best scientific information
available was used to make those
determinations. While some published
articles indicate that certain marine
mammal species may avoid seismic
vessels at levels below 160 dB, NMFS
does not consider that these responses
rise to the level of a take, as defined in
the MMPA. While studies, such as
Miller et al. (1999), have indicated that
some bowhead whales may have started
to deflect from their migratory path 35
km (21.7 mi) from the seismic vessel, it
should be pointed out that these minor
course changes are during migration
and, as described in MMS’ 2006 Final
Programmatic Environmental
Assessment (PEA), have not been seen
at other times of the year and during
other activities. To show the contextual
nature of this minor behavioral
modification, recent monitoring studies
of Canadian seismic operations indicate
that feeding, non-migratory bowhead
whales do not move away from a noise
source at an SPL of 160 dB. Therefore,
while bowheads may avoid an area of 20
km (12.4 mi) around a noise source,
when that determination requires a
post-survey computer analysis to find
that bowheads have made a 1 or 2
degree course change, NMFS believes
that does not rise to a level of a ‘‘take,’’
as the change in bearing is due to
animals sensing the noise and avoiding
passage through the ensonified area
during their migration, and should not
be considered as being displaced from
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their habitat. NMFS therefore continues
to estimate ‘‘takings’’ under the MMPA
from impulse noises, such as seismic, as
being at a distance of 160 dB (re 1 μPa).
As explained throughout this Federal
Register notice, it is highly unlikely that
marine mammals would be exposed to
SPLs that could result in serious injury
or mortality. The best scientific
information indicates that an auditory
injury is unlikely to occur, as apparently
sounds need to be significantly greater
than 180 dB for injury to occur (Southall
et al., 2007). The 180–dB radius for the
airgun array to be used by Shell is 125
m (410 ft). Therefore, if injury were
possible from Shell’s activities, the
animal would need to be closer than 125
m (410 ft). However, based on the
configuration of the airgun array and
streamers, it is highly unlikely that a
marine mammal would be that close to
the seismic vessel. Mitigation measures
described later in this document will be
implemented should a marine mammal
enter this small zone around the airgun
array.
Regarding the ‘‘small numbers’’ issue
raised by the AEWC and NSB, NMFS
has provided estimates on the number
of marine mammals that could be taken
as a result of Shell’s proposed marine
surveys, and the estimated takes from
these proposed activities are all under 3
percent for affected marine mammal
populations (see Potential Number of
Takes by Harassment section below).
Impacts to Marine Mammals
Comment 7: AEWC notes that based
on the density estimates, Shell is
predicting that an average of 381 and a
maximum of 394 Bering-ChukchiBeaufort (B–C–B) stock of bowhead
whales may be exposed to seismic
sounds at received levels above 160 dB.
AEWC states that these are by no means
‘‘small numbers’’ of marine mammals
that will be subjected to impacts as a
result of Shell’s operations.
Response: NMFS determined that the
small numbers requirement has been
satisfied. Shell has predicted that an
average of 381 individuals of the B–C–
B stock of bowhead whales would be
exposed to noise received levels above
160 dB as the result of Shell’s proposed
marine surveys, and NMFS assumes that
animals exposed to received levels
above 160 dB are taken. However,
because of the tendency of whales to
avoid the source to some degree, and the
fact that both the whales and the source
are both moving through an area, the
majority of the exposures would likely
occur at levels closer to 160 dB (not
higher levels) and the impacts would be
expected to be relatively low-level and
not of a long duration. NMFS addresses
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‘‘small numbers’’ in terms relative to the
stock or population size. The Level B
harassment take estimate of 381
bowhead whales is a small number in
relative terms, because of the nature of
the anticipated responses and in that it
represents only 2.67 percent of the
regional stock size of that species
(14,247), if each ‘‘exposure’’ at 160 dB
represents an individual bowhead
whale. Additionally, the percentage
would be even lower if animals move
out of the seismic area in a manner that
does not result in a take at all.
Comment 8: AWL, NSB, and AEWC
noted that NMFS has acknowledged that
permanent threshold shift (PTS)
qualifies as a serious injury. Therefore,
if an acoustic source at its maximum
level has the potential to cause PTS and
thus lead to serious injury, it would not
be appropriate to issue an IHA for the
activity (60 FR 28381, May 31, 1995).
AEWC states that therefore an LOA is
required here. While the airguns
proposed by Shell are smaller than
those associated with typical 2D/3D
deep marine surveys, the noise they
produce is still considerable, as
evidenced by the estimated 120 dB
radius that extends out to 14,000 m.
Response: In the proposed rule to
implement the process to apply for and
obtain an IHA, NMFS stated that
authorizations for harassment involving
the ‘‘potential to injure’’ would be
limited to only those that may involve
non-serious injury (60 FR 28379; May
31, 1995). While the Federal Register
notice cited by the commenters states
that NMFS considered PTS to be a
serious injury (60 FR 28379; May 31,
1995), our understanding of
anthropogenic sound and the way it
impacts marine mammals has evolved
since then, and NMFS no longer
considers PTS to be a serious injury.
NMFS has defined ‘‘serious injury’’ in 50
CFR 216.3 as ‘‘* * * any injury that will
likely result in mortality.’’ There are no
data that suggest that PTS would be
likely to result in mortality, especially
the limited degree of PTS that could
hypothetically be incurred through
exposure of marine mammals to seismic
airguns at the level and for the duration
that are likely to occur in this action.
Further, as stated several times in this
document and previous Federal
Register notices for seismic activities,
there is no empirical evidence that
exposure to pulses of airgun sound can
cause PTS in any marine mammal, even
with large arrays of airguns (see
Southall et al. 2007). PTS is thought to
occur several decibels above that
inducing mild temporary threshold shift
(TTS), the mildest form of hearing
impairment (a non-injurious effect).
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NMFS concluded that cetaceans and
pinnipeds should not be exposed to
pulsed underwater noise at received
levels exceeding, respectively, 180 and
190 dB re 1 μPa (rms). The established
180- and 190-dB re 1 μPa (rms) criteria
are the received levels above which, in
the view of a panel of bioacoustics
specialists convened by NMFS before
TTS measurements for marine mammals
started to become available, one could
not be certain that there would be no
injurious effects, auditory or otherwise,
to marine mammals. As summarized
later in this document, data that are now
available imply that TTS is unlikely to
occur unless bow-riding odontocetes are
exposed to airgun pulses much stronger
than 180 dB re 1 Pa rms (Southall et al.
2007). Additionally, NMFS has required
monitoring and mitigation measures to
negate the possibility of marine
mammals being seriously injured as a
result of Shell’s activities. In the
proposed IHA, NMFS determined that
Shell’s activities are unlikely to even
result in TTS. Based on this
determination and the explanation
provided here, PTS is also not expected.
Therefore, an IHA is appropriate.
Comment 9: AWL, Dr. Bain, NSB, and
AEWC state that NMFS has not
adequately considered whether marine
mammals may be harassed at received
levels significantly lower than 160 dB
and that NMFS did not use the best
scientific evidence in setting the sound
levels against which take was assessed.
They state that NMFS calculated
harassment from Shell’s proposed
surveying based on the exposure to
marine mammals to sounds at or above
160 dB and that this uniform approach
to harassment does not take into
account known reactions of marine
mammals in the Arctic to levels of noise
far below 160 dB. These comments state
that bowhead, gray, killer, and beluga
whales and harbor porpoise react to
sounds lower than 160 dB.
Citing several papers on killer whales
and harbor porpoise, Dr. Bain states that
major behavioral changes of these
animals appear to be associated with
received levels of around 135 dB re 1
μPa, and that minor behavioral changes
can occur at received levels from 90–
110 dB re 1 μPa or lower. He also states
that belugas have been observed to
respond to icebreakers by swimming
rapidly away at distances up to 80 km,
where received levels were between 94
and 105 dB re 1 μPa. Belugas exhibited
minor behavioral changes such as
changes in vocalization, dive patterns,
and group composition at distances up
to 50 km (NRC 2003), where received
levels were likely around 120 dB.
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AEWC also states that in conducting
scoping on its national acoustic
guidelines for marine mammals, NMFS
noted that the existing system for
determining take (i.e., the 160 dB mark)
‘‘considers only the sound pressure level
of an exposure but not its other
attributes, such as duration, frequency,
or repetition rate, all of which are
critical for assessing impacts on marine
Mammals’’ and ‘‘also assumes a
consistent relationship between rms
(root-mean-square) and peak pressure
values for impulse sounds, which is
known to be inaccurate under certain
(many) conditions’’ (70 FR 1871, 1873;
January 11, 2005). Thus, NMFS itself
has recognized that 160 dB (rms) is not
an adequate measure. AEWC argues that
current scientific research establishes
that 120 dB (rms) is a more appropriate
measure for impacts to marine
mammals.
Response: The best information
available to date for reactions by
bowhead whales to noise, such as
seismic, is based on the results from the
1998 aerial survey (as supplemented by
data from earlier years) as reported in
Miller et al. (1999). In 1998, bowhead
whales below the water surface at a
distance of 20 km (12.4 mi) from an
airgun array received pulses of about
117–135 dB re 1 μPa rms, depending
upon propagation. Corresponding levels
at 30 km (18.6 mi) were about 107–126
dB re 1 μPa rms. Miller et al. (1999)
surmise that deflection may have begun
about 35 km (21.7 mi) to the east of the
seismic operations, but did not provide
SPL measurements to that distance and
noted that sound propagation has not
been studied as extensively eastward in
the alongshore direction, as it has
northward, in the offshore direction.
Therefore, while this single year of data
analysis indicates that bowhead whales
may make minor deflections in
swimming direction at a distance of 30–
35 km (18.6–21.7 mi), there is no
indication that the SPL where deflection
first begins is at 120 dB; it could be at
another SPL lower or higher than 120
dB. Miller et al. (1999) also note that the
received levels at 20–30 km (12.4–18.6
mi) were considerably lower in 1998
than have previously been shown to
elicit avoidance in bowheads exposed to
seismic pulses. However, the seismic
airgun array used in 1998 was larger
than the ones used in 1996 and 1997.
Therefore, NMFS believes that it cannot
scientifically support adopting any
single SPL value below 160 dB and
apply it across the board for all species
and in all circumstances. Second, these
minor course changes occurred during
migration and, as indicated in MMS’
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2006 PEA, have not been seen at other
times of the year and during other
activities. Third, as stated in the past,
NMFS does not believe that minor
course corrections during a migration
equate to ‘‘take’’ under the MMPA. This
conclusion is based on controlled
exposure experiments conducted on
migrating gray whales exposed to the
U.S. Navy’s low frequency sonar (LFA)
sources (Tyack 2009). When the source
was placed in the middle of the
migratory corridor, the whales were
observed deflecting around the source
during their migration. However, such
minor deflection is considered not to be
biologically significant. To show the
contextual nature of this minor
behavioral modification, recent
monitoring studies of Canadian seismic
operations indicate that when, not
migrating, but involved in feeding,
bowhead whales do not move away
from a noise source at an SPL of 160 dB.
Therefore, while bowheads may avoid
an area of 20 km (12.4 mi) around a
noise source, when that determination
requires a post-survey computer
analysis to find that bowheads have
made a 1 or 2 degree course change,
NMFS believes that does not rise to a
level of a ‘‘take.’’ NMFS therefore
continues to estimate ‘‘takings’’ under
the MMPA from impulse noises, such as
seismic, as being at a distance of 160 dB
(re 1 μPa). Although it is possible that
marine mammals could react to any
sound levels detectable above the
ambient noise level within the animals’
respective frequency response range,
this does not mean that such animals
would react in a biologically significant
way. According to experts on marine
mammal behavior, the degree of
reaction which constitutes a ‘‘take,’’ i.e.,
a reaction deemed to be biologically
significant that could potentially disrupt
the migration, breathing, nursing,
breeding, feeding, or sheltering, etc., of
a marine mammal is complex and
context specific, and it depends on
several variables in addition to the
received level of the sound by the
animals. These additional variables
include, but are not limited to, other
source characteristics (such as
frequency range, duty cycle, continuous
vs. impulse vs. intermittent sounds,
duration, moving vs. stationary sources,
etc.); specific species, populations, and/
or stocks; prior experience of the
animals (naive vs. previously exposed);
habituation or sensitization of the sound
by the animals; and behavior context
(whether the animal perceives the
sound as predatory or simply
annoyance), etc. (Southall et al. 2007).
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The references cited in the comment
letters address different source
characteristics (continuous sound rather
than impulse sound that are planned for
the proposed shallow hazard and site
clearance surveys) or species (killer
whales and harbor proposes) that rarely
occur in the proposed Arctic action
area. Some information about the
responses of bowhead and gray whales
to seismic survey noises has been
acquired through dedicated research
and marine mammal monitoring studies
conducted during prior seismic surveys.
Detailed descriptions regarding
behavioral responses of these marine
mammals to seismic sounds are
available (e.g., Richardson et al. 1995;
review by Southall et al. 2007), and are
also discussed in this document.
Additionally, as Shell does not intend to
use ice-breakers during its operations,
statements regarding beluga reactions to
icebreaker noise are not relevant to this
activity.
Regarding the last point raised in this
comment by AEWC, NMFS recognizes
the concern. However, NMFS does not
agree with AEWC’s statement that
current scientific research establishes
that 120 dB (rms) is a more appropriate
measure for impacts to marine mammals
for reasons noted above. Based on the
information and data summarized in
Southall et al. (2007), and on
information from various studies, NMFS
believes that the onset for behavioral
harassment is largely context
dependent, and there are many studies
showing marine mammals do not show
behavioral responses when exposed to
multiple pulses at received levels above
160 dB re 1 μPa (e.g., Malme et al. 1983;
Malme et al. 1984; Richardson et al.
1986; Akamatsu et al. 1993; Madsen and
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without more current and thorough data
on the marine mammals in the Chukchi
Sea and their use of these waters, it
would be difficult to make the findings
required by the MMPA. NSB notes that
NMFS noted that the ‘‘continued lack of
basic audiometric data for key marine
mammal species’’ that occur throughout
the Chukchi Sea inhibits the ‘‘ability to
determine the nature and biological
significance of exposure to various
levels of both continuous and impulsive
oil and gas activity sounds.’’
Response: NMFS agrees that while
there may be some uncertainty on the
current status of some marine mammal
species in the Chukchi Sea and on
impacts to marine mammals from
seismic surveys, the best available
information supports our findings.
NMFS is currently proposing to conduct
new population assessments for Arctic
pinniped species, and current
information is available on-line through
the Stock Assessment Reports (SARs).
Moreover, NMFS has required the
industry to implement a monitoring and
reporting program to collect additional
information concerning effects to
marine mammals.
In regard to impacts, there is no
indication that seismic survey activities
are having a long-term impact on marine
mammals. For example, apparently,
bowhead whales continued to increase
in abundance during periods of intense
seismic activity in the Chukchi Sea in
the 1980s (Raftery et al. 1995; Angliss
and Outlaw 2007), even without
implementation of current mitigation
requirements. As a result, NMFS
believes that seismic survey noise in the
Arctic will affect only small numbers of
and have no more than a negligible
impact on marine mammals in the
Chukchi Sea. As explained in this
document and based on the best
available information, NMFS has
determined that Shell’s activities will
affect only small numbers of marine
mammals, will have a negligible impact
on affected species or stocks, and will
not have an unmitigable adverse impact
on subsistence uses of the affected
species or stocks.
Comment 11: AEWC notes that
stranded marine mammals or their
carcasses are also a sign of injury. NMFS
states in its notice that it ‘‘does not
expect any marine mammal will * * *
strand as a result of the proposed
survey’’ (75 FR 27708; May 18, 2010). In
reaching this conclusion, NMFS claims
that strandings have not been recorded
for the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas.
AEWC states that the Department of
Wildlife Management of NSB has
completed a study documenting 25
years worth of stranding data and
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showing that five dead whales were
reported in 2008 alone in comparison
with the five dead whales that were
reported in the same area over the
course of 25 years (Rosa 2009).
In light of the increase in seismic
operations in the Arctic since 2006,
AEWC says that NSB’s study raises
serious concerns about the impacts of
these operations and their potential to
injure marine mammals. AEWC states
that while they think this study taken
together with the June 2008 stranding of
‘‘melon headed whales off Madagascar
that appears to be associated with
seismic surveys’’ (75 FR 27708; May 18,
2010) demonstrate that seismic
operations have the potential to injure
marine mammals beyond beaked whales
(and that Shell needs to apply for an
LOA for its operations), certainly NSB’s
study shows that direct injury of whales
is on-going. AEWC states that these
direct impacts must be analyzed and
explanations sought out before
additional activities with the potential
to injure marine mammals are
authorized, and that NMFS must
explain how, in light of this new
information, Shell’s application does
not have the potential to injure marine
mammals.
Response: NMFS has reviewed the
information provided by AEWC
regarding marine mammal strandings in
the Arctic. The Rosa (2009) paper cited
by AEWC does not provide any
evidence linking the cause of death for
the bowhead carcasses reported in 2008
to seismic operations. Additionally, the
increased reporting of carcasses in the
Arctic since 2006 may also be a result
of increased reporting effort and does
not necessarily indicate that there were
fewer strandings prior to 2008. Marine
mammal observers (MMOs) aboard
industry vessels in the Beaufort and
Chukchi Seas have been required to
report sightings of injured and dead
marine mammals to NMFS as part of the
IHA requirements only since 2006.
Regarding the June 2008 stranding of
melon headed whales off Madagascar,
information available to NMFS at this
time indicates that the seismic airguns
were not active around the time of the
stranding. While the Rosa (2009) study
does present information regarding the
injury of whales in the Arctic, it does
not link the cause of the injury to
seismic survey operations. As NMFS
has stated previously, the evidence
linking marine mammal strandings and
seismic surveys remains tenuous at best.
Two papers, Taylor et al. (2004) and
Engel et al. (2004) reference seismic
signals as a possible cause for a marine
mammal stranding.
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Taylor et al. (2004) noted two beaked
whale stranding incidents related to
seismic surveys. The statement in
Taylor et al. (2004) was that the seismic
vessel was firing its airguns at 1300 hrs
on September 24, 2004, and that
between 1400 and 1600 hrs, local
fishermen found live stranded beaked
whales 22 km (12 nm) from the ship’s
location. A review of the vessel’s
trackline indicated that the closest
approach of the seismic vessel and the
beaked whales stranding location was
18 nm (33 km) at 1430 hrs. At 1300 hrs,
the seismic vessel was located 25 nm
(46 km) from the stranding location.
What is unknown is the location of the
beaked whales prior to the stranding in
relation to the seismic vessel, but the
close timing of events indicates that the
distance was not less than 18 nm (33
km). No physical evidence for a link
between the seismic survey and the
stranding was obtained. In addition,
Taylor et al. (2004) indicates that the
same seismic vessel was operating 500
km (270 nm) from the site of the
Galapagos Island stranding in 2000.
Whether the 2004 seismic survey caused
the beaked whales to strand is a matter
of considerable debate (see Cox et al.
2006). However, these incidents do
point to the need to look for such effects
during future seismic surveys. To date,
follow up observations on several
scientific seismic survey cruises have
not indicated any beaked whale
stranding incidents.
Engel et al. (2004), in a paper
presented to the IWC in 2004 (SC/56/
E28), mentioned a possible link between
oil and gas seismic activities and the
stranding of 8 humpback whales (7 off
the Bahia or Espirito Santo States and 1
off Rio de Janeiro, Brazil). Concerns
about the relationship between this
stranding event and seismic activity
were raised by the International
Association of Geophysical Contractors
(IAGC). The IAGC (2004) argues that not
enough evidence is presented in Engel
et al. (2004) to assess whether or not the
relatively high proportion of adult
strandings in 2002 is anomalous. The
IAGC contends that the data do not
establish a clear record of what might be
a ‘‘natural’’ adult stranding rate, nor is
any attempt made to characterize other
natural factors that may influence
strandings. As stated previously, NMFS
remains concerned that the Engel et al.
(2004) article appears to compare
stranding rates made by opportunistic
sightings in the past with organized
aerial surveys beginning in 2001. If so,
then the data are suspect.
Finally, if bowhead and gray whales
react to sounds at very low levels by
making minor course corrections to
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avoid seismic noise, and mitigation
measures require Shell to ramp-up the
seismic array to avoid a startle effect,
strandings such as those observed in the
Bahamas in 2000 are highly unlikely to
occur in the Arctic Ocean as a result of
seismic activity. Therefore, NMFS does
not expect any marine mammals will
incur serious injury or mortality as a
result of Shell’s 2010 survey operations,
so an LOA is not needed.
Lastly, Shell is required to report all
sightings of dead and injured marine
mammals to NMFS and to notify the
Marine Mammal Health and Stranding
Response Network. However, Shell is
not permitted to conduct necropsies on
dead marine mammals. Necropsies can
only be performed by people authorized
to do so under the Marine Mammal
Health and Stranding Response Program
MMPA permit. NMFS is currently
considering different methods for
marking carcasses to reduce the problem
of double counting. However, a protocol
has not yet been developed, so marking
is not required in the IHA.
Comment 12: AEWC and NSB state
that research is increasingly showing
that marine mammals may remain
within dangerous distances of seismic
operations rather than leave a valued
resource such as a feeding ground (see
Richardson 2004). The International
Whaling Commission (IWC) scientific
committee has indicated that the lack of
deflection by feeding whales in Camden
Bay (during Shell seismic activities)
likely shows that whales will tolerate
and expose themselves to potentially
harmful levels of sound when needing
to perform a biologically vital activity,
such as feeding (mating, giving birth,
etc.). Thus, the noise from Shell’s
proposed operations could injure
marine mammals if they are close
enough to the source. NSB further states
that NMFS has not adequately analyzed
the potential for serious injury.
Response: If marine mammals, such
as bowhead whales, remain near a
seismic operation to perform a
biologically vital activity, such as
feeding, depending on the distance from
the vessel and the size of the 160-dB
radius, the animals may experience
some Level B harassment. A detailed
analysis on potential impacts of
anthropogenic noise (including noise
from seismic airguns and other active
acoustic sources used in geophysical
surveys) is provided in the proposed
IHA (75 FR 27708; May 18, 2010) and
in this document. Based on the analysis,
NMFS believes that it is unlikely any
animals exposed to noise from Shell’s
proposed marine surveys would be
exposed to received levels that could
cause TTS (a non-injurious Level B
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harassment). Therefore, it is even less
likely that marine mammals would be
exposed to levels of sound from Shell’s
activity that could cause PTS (a nonlethal Level A harassment).
In addition, depending on the
distance of the animals from the vessel
and the number of individual whales
present, certain mitigation measures are
required to be implemented. If an
aggregation of 12 or more mysticete
whales are detected within the 160-dB
radius, then the airguns must be
shutdown until the aggregation is no
longer within that radius. Additionally,
if any whales are sighted within the
180-dB radius or any pinnipeds are
sighted within the 190-dB radius of the
active airgun array, then either a powerdown or shutdown must be
implemented immediately. For the
reasons stated throughout this
document, NMFS has determined that
Shell’s operations will not injure,
seriously injure, or kill marine
mammals.
Comment 13: AEWC states that NMFS
does little to assess whether Level A
harassment is occurring as a result of
the deflection of marine mammals as a
result of Shell’s proposed operations.
Deflected marine mammals may suffer
impacts due to masking of natural
sounds including calling to others of
their species, physiological damage
from stress and other non-auditory
effects, harm from pollution of their
environment, tolerance, and hearing
impacts (see Nieukirk et al. 2004). Not
only do these operations disrupt the
animals’ behavioral patterns, but they
also create the potential for injury by
causing marine mammals to miss
feeding opportunities, expend more
energy, and stray from migratory routes
when they are deflected. Dr. Bain also
states that there are three main ways
that minor behavioral changes, when
experienced by numerous individuals
for extended periods of time, can affect
population growth: Increased energy
expenditure, reduced food acquisition,
and stress (Trites and Bain 2000).
Response: See the response to
comment 9 regarding the potential for
injury. The paper cited by AEWC
(Nieukirk et al. 2004) tried to draw
linkages between recordings of fin,
humpback, and minke whales and
airgun signals in the western North
Atlantic; however, the authors note the
difficulty in assessing impacts based on
the data collected. The authors also state
that the effects of airgun activity on
baleen whales is unknown and then cite
to Richardson et al. (1995) for some
possible effects, which AEWC lists in
their comment. There is no statement in
the cited study, however, about the
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linkage between deflection and these
impacts. While deflection may cause
animals to expend extra energy, there is
no evidence that this deflection is
causing a significant behavioral change
that will adversely impact population
growth. In fact, bowhead whales
continued to increase in abundance
during periods of intense seismic
activity in the Chukchi Sea in the 1980s
(Raftery et al. 1995; Angliss and Outlaw
2007). Therefore, NMFS does not
believe that injury will occur as a result
of Shell’s activities. Additionally,
Shell’s total data acquisition activities
would only ensonify 7.3 km2 to received
levels above 160 dB of the Beaufort Sea
(0.0016% of the entire Beaufort Sea).
Therefore, based on the smaller radii
associated with Shell’s site clearance
and shallow hazards surveys than the
larger 2D or 3D seismic programs and
the extremely small area of the Beaufort
Sea where Shell will utilize airguns, it
is unlikely that marine mammals will
need to expend extra energy to locate
prey or to have reduced foraging
opportunities.
Comment 14: Citing Erbe (2002),
AEWC notes that any sound at some
level can cause physiological damage to
the ear and other organs and tissues.
Placed in a context of an unknown
baseline of sound levels in the Chukchi
Sea, it is critically important that NMFS
take a precautionary approach to
permitting additional noise sources in
this poorly studied and understood
habitat. Thus, the best available science
dictates that NMFS use a more cautious
approach in addressing impacts to
marine mammals from seismic
operations.
Response: The statement from Erbe
(2002) does not take into account
mitigation measures required in the IHA
to reduce impacts to marine mammals.
As stated throughout this document,
based on the fact that Shell will be using
a small airgun array (total discharge
volume of 40 in3) and will implement
mitigation measures (i.e., ramp-up,
power-down, shutdown, etc.), NMFS
does not believe that there will be any
injury or mortality of marine mammals
as a result of Shell’s operations.
Comment 15: AEWC states that in
making its negligible impact
determination, NMFS failed to consider
several impacts: (1) Displacing marine
mammals from feeding areas; (2) nonauditory, physiological effects, namely
stress; (3) the possibility of vessel strikes
needs to be considered in light of
scientific evidence of harm from ship
traffic to marine mammals; (4) impacts
to marine mammal habitat, including
pollution of the marine environment
and the risk of oil spills, toxic, and
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nontoxic waste being discharged; (5)
impacts to fish and other food sources
upon which marine mammals rely; and
(6) specific marine mammals that will
be taken, including their age, sex, and
reproductive condition. The first issue
was also raised by Dr. Bain.
Response: NMFS does not agree that
these impacts were not considered.
First, the area that would be ensonified
by Shell’s proposed open water marine
surveys represents a small fraction of
the total habitat of marine mammals in
the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas. In
addition, as the survey vessel is
constantly moving, the ensonified zone
where the received levels exceed 160 dB
re 1 μPa (rms), which is estimated to be
approximately 7.3 km2 at any given
time, is constantly moving. Therefore,
the duration during which marine
mammals would potentially avoid the
ensonified area would be brief.
Therefore, NMFS does not believe
marine mammals would be displaced
from their customary feeding areas as a
result of Shell’s proposed marine
surveys.
Second, non-auditory, physiological
effects, including stress, were analyzed
in the Notice of Proposed IHA (75 FR
27708; May 18, 2010). No single marine
mammal is expected to be exposed to
high levels of sound for extended
periods based on the size of the airgun
array to be used by Shell and the fact
that an animal would need to swim
close to, parallel to, and at the same
speed as the vessel to incur several high
intensity pulses. This also does not take
into account the mitigation measures
described later in this document.
Third, impacts resulting from vessel
strikes and habitat pollution and
impacts to fish were fully analyzed in
NMFS’ 2010 Final EA for Shell and
Statoil’s open water marine and seismic
activities (NMFS 2010). Additionally,
the proposed IHA analyzed potential
impacts to marine mammal habitat,
including prey resources. That analysis
noted that while mortality has been
observed for certain fish species found
in extremely close proximity to the
airguns, S#tre and Ona (1996)
concluded that mortality rates caused by
exposure to sounds are so low compared
to natural mortality that issues relating
to stock recruitment should be regarded
as insignificant.
For the sixth point, please see the
response to comment 4. The age, sex,
and reproductive condition must be
provided when possible. However, this
is often extremely difficult to predict.
Additional mitigation measures for
bowhead cow/calf pairs, such as
monitoring the 120-dB radius and
requiring shutdown when 4 or more
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cow/calf pairs enter that zone, were
considered and required for this survey.
Comment 16: AEWC states that in
assessing the level of take and whether
it is negligible, NMFS relied on flawed
density estimates that call into question
all of NMFS’ preliminary conclusions.
AEWC states that density data are
lacking or outdated for almost all
marine mammals that may be affected
by Shell’s operations in the Beaufort
and Chukchi Seas, especially for the
fall. AEWC provided a few species
specific examples to show that NMFS
failed to utilize the best available
scientific studies in assessing Shell’s
application. AEWC argues that NMFS’
guess at the number of beluga and
bowhead whales relies on a study from
Moore et al. that was published in 2000,
that the density of bowhead whales was
derived from limited aerial surveys
conducted by industry operators, and
that these estimates are contrary to the
best available scientific information.
AEWC also points out that NMFS makes
no mention of the most recent Alaska
Marine Mammal Stock Assessment
Report (SAR) which was released this
year, and that the Assessment cites to a
2003 study that documented bowheads
‘‘in the Chukchi and Bering Seas in the
summer’’ that are ‘‘thought to be a part
of the expanding Western Arctic stock’’
(Angliss and Allen 2009). While a study
published in 2003 still is not a sufficient
basis for a 2009 density analysis, this
study does show that additional
information is available that indicates
that the number of bowhead whales in
the Chukchi may be higher than
estimated by NMFS.
Response: As required by the MMPA
implementing regulations at 50 CFR
216.102(a), NMFS has used the best
scientific information available in
assessing the level of take and whether
it is negligible. Although most of the
data NMFS depends on were collected
over 10 years (1982–1991) from aerial
surveys offshore of northern Alaska
(Moore et al. 2000), these are the best
scientific information available for
bowhead and beluga whale density and
distribution so far. Since approximately
10 days of Shell’s proposed shallow
hazards and site clearance surveys are
likely to occur during the fall period
when bowheads are migrating through
the Beaufort Sea, more conservative
estimates were made to take account for
this 10-day moving average presented
by Richardson and Thomson (2002).
Additionally, the 2003 study noted by
AEWC in the bowhead whale Alaska
Marine Mammal SAR discusses
distribution, not density (Rugh et al.
2003). It was not cited because it is not
useful for deriving density estimates.
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Therefore, density estimates for
bowhead and beluga whales using
Moore et al. (2000) are based on the best
available science.
Comment 17: AEWC states that NMFS
fails to explain how and why it reaches
various conclusions in calculating
marine mammal densities and what the
densities are actually estimated to be
once calculated. One example is NMFS’
reliance on Moore et al. (2000) in
making its density determinations. This
study documented sightings of marine
mammals but did not estimate the total
number of animals present. AEWC
states that NMFS’s practices have
resulted in entirely arbitrary
calculations of the level of take of
marine mammals and whether such
takes constitute ‘‘small numbers’’ or a
‘‘negligible impact’’ as a result of Shell’s
proposal.
Response: All densities used in
calculating estimated take of marine
mammals based on the described
operations are shown in Tables 6–1 to
6–3 of Shell’s application. Moore et al.
(2000) provides line transect effort and
sightings from aerial surveys for
cetaceans in the Chukchi Sea. The
kilometers of ‘‘on-transect’’ observer
effort and number of sightings were
used in the accepted line-transect
density estimate equation described in
Buckland et al. (2001). Species specific
correction factors for animals that were
not at the surface or that were at the
surface but were not sighted [g(0)] and
animals not sighted due to distance
from the survey trackline [f(0)] used in
the equation were taken from reports or
publications on the same species or
similar species if no values were
available for a given species, that used
the same survey platform. Additional
explanations regarding the calculations
of marine mammal densities are
provided in the Shell’s application and
the Federal Register notice for the
proposed IHA (75 FR 27708; May 18,
2010). Therefore, NMFS believes the
methodology used in calculations of the
level of take of marine mammals is
scientifically well supported.
Comment 18: AEWC is opposed to
NMFS using ‘‘survey data’’ gathered by
industry while engaging in oil and gas
related activities and efforts to
document their take of marine
mammals. AEWC points out that such
industry ‘‘monitoring’’ is designed to
document the level of take occurring
from the operation (see 75 FR 27724 and
Shell’s 4MP). AEWC argues that putting
aside whether the methodologies
employed are adequate for this purpose,
they certainly are not adequate for
assessing the density or presence of
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marine mammals that typically avoid
such operations.
Response: In making its
determinations, NMFS uses the best
scientific information available, as
required by the MMPA implementing
regulations. For some species, density
estimates from sightings surveys, as well
as from ‘‘industry surveys’’, were
provided in the text of Shell’s
application and the Notice of Proposed
IHA for purposes of comparison.
However, where information was
available from sightings surveys (e.g.,
Moore et al. 2000; Bengtson et al. 2005),
those estimates were used to calculate
take. Data collected on industry vessels
were only used when no other
information was available. Additionally,
while some Arctic marine mammal
species have shown fleeing responses to
seismic airguns, data is also collected on
these vessels during periods when no
active seismic data collection is
occurring.
Comment 19: AEWC states that as a
general matter, when it comes to NMFS
assessing the various stocks of marine
mammals under the MMPA, it cannot
use outdated data i.e., ‘‘abundance
estimates older than 8 years’’ because of
the ‘‘decline in confidence in the
reliability of an aged abundance
estimate’’ (Angliss and Allen 2009) and
the agency is thus unable to reach
certain conclusions. Similarly, here,
where data are outdated or nonexistent,
NMFS should decide it cannot reach the
necessary determinations. AEWC argues
that these flaws in NMFS’ analysis
render the agency’s preliminary
determinations about the level of
harassment and negligible impacts
completely arbitrary.
Response: The statements quoted by
AEWC from Angliss and Allen (2009)
are contained in species SARs where
abundance estimates are older than 8
years. However, the full statement reads
as follows: ‘‘However, the 2005 revisions
to the SAR guidelines (NMFS 2005)
state that abundance estimates older
than 8 years should not be used to
calculate PBR due to a decline in
confidence in the reliability of an aged
abundance estimate.’’ Shell’s activities
are not anticipated to remove any
individuals from the stock or
population. Therefore, a recent estimate
of PBR is not needed for NMFS to make
the necessary findings under Section
101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA. Additionally,
Shell’s application provides information
(including data limitations) and
references for its estimates of marine
mammal abundance. Because AEWC
has not provided information contrary
to the data provided by Shell, and
NMFS does not have information that
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these estimates are not reliable, NMFS
considers these data to be the best
available.
Comment 20: AWL argues that the
effects of ice gouge and strudel scour
surveying should be considered. AWL
states that NMFS’ dismissal of potential
effects based on marine mammal
hearing is not adequately supported.
AWL and Dr. Bain argue that NMFS’
approach fails to take into consideration
the fact that: (1) Juvenile whales, based
on their smaller size, likely hear sounds
of higher frequencies than adults of the
same species; (2) that sound sources
contain frequencies beyond the
‘‘normal’’ frequency in the form of
undertones, overtones, distortion, or
noise; (3) NMFS failed to consider the
beat frequency, that when a source
simultaneously emits sound of more
than one frequency, it will also emit
energy at the difference between the two
frequencies; (4) NMFS fails to take into
account the fact that information about
hearing abilities of bowhead whales is
based on estimates since bowheads have
not been the subject of direct testing and
there is inherent uncertainty in these
estimates; and (5) the Federal Register
notice does not address the fact that
toothed whales are sensitive to highfrequency sounds including those over
100 kHz.
Response: NMFS considered the
potential effects of Shell’s proposed ice
gouge and strudel scour surveys in the
Beaufort and Chukchi Seas (75 FR
27708; May 18, 2010). The reason NMFS
does not think take of marine mammal
is likely from ice gouge and strudel
scour is because the active acoustic
devices being used in these surveys are
either in the frequency range above 180
kHz, which is beyond marine mammals
functional hearing range, or with low
source levels. In addition, due to their
high-frequency nature, there is much
absorption during sound propagation,
which weakens much of the acoustic
intensity within a relatively short range.
Although NMFS recognizes much
scientific information is still needed on
marine mammal hearing capability and
audiograms, studies over the past sixty
years on key common species across
several major taxonomy groups have
provided overall hearing ranges of
marine mammal species (see review in
Richardson et al. 1995; Southall et al.
2007). These studies show that marine
mammal hearing ranges follow certain
patterns and can be divided into five
functional hearing groups: lowfrequency cetacean (baleen whales),
mid-frequency cetacean (mostly large to
mid-size toothed whales, and
delphinids), high-frequency cetacean
(porpoises and river dolphins),
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pinniped in water, and pinniped in air
(Southall et al. 2007). Although it is
possible that juvenile animals could
have better hearing at high-frequency
ranges similar to humans, however, the
overall sensitivity that defines hearing is
based on species (or hearing groups)
instead of age groups. Therefore, it is
incorrect to assume that juvenile whales
hear sounds of higher frequencies
because of their small size, regardless of
species and functional hearing groups.
In addition, the reason that juvenile
animals (including humans) have
slightly better high-frequency hearing is
related to age rather than size (the
principle behind it is a biological
phenomenon called presbycusis, or
aging ear).
Regarding point (2) concerning
‘‘normal’’ frequency, which was not
defined in the comment, NMFS assumes
that Dr. Bain refers to the frequenc(ies)
outside the manufacturers’ specs for
their acoustic devices. Although these
outlier noises could be a concern for
high-frequency acoustic sources,
especially if the frequencies are within
the sensitive hearing range of marine
mammals, NMFS does not believe these
noises have high acoustic intensities in
most cases. Nevertheless, NMFS
requested that Shell provide frequency
spectra and source characteristics for all
of its acoustic devices. Shell reported
back that it was unable to obtain such
specifications from manufacturers.
However, Shell will be required to
conduct measurements of power density
spectra (frequency spectra) of its high
frequency active acoustic sources
(operating frequency >180 kHz) that will
be used in its marine surveys against
ambient background noise levels. The
power density spectra of these high
frequency active acoustic sources will
be reported in 1/3-octave band and 1-Hz
band from 10 Hz to 180 kHz. The
purpose for this measurement is to
determine whether there is any acoustic
energy within marine mammal hearing
ranges that would be generated from
operating these high frequency acoustic
sources.
If significant acoustic energy
(broadband source level >160 dB re 1
μPa @ 1 m in frequency band below 180
kHz) from these high frequency active
acoustic sources exists within marine
mammal hearing ranges, Shell is
required to implement mitigation
measures (such as establishing
disturbance zones). Therefore, NMFS
believes it unlikely that a marine
mammal would be taken by this
activity.
In regard to point (3), in order to
produce ‘‘beat frequency,’’ not only do
the two sources have to be very close to
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each other, they also have to be
perfectly synchronized. In the case of
Shell’s high-frequency sonar, these two
interfering frequencies will need to be
produced by one device to use the nonlinearity of water to purposefully
generate the different frequency
between two high frequencies. Even so,
it is a very inefficient way to generate
the beat frequency, with only a low
percentage of the original intensity with
very narrow beamwidth. Therefore,
NMFS does not consider this to be an
issue of concern.
NMFS is aware that no direct
measurements of hearing exist for these
animals, and theories regarding their
sensory capabilities are consequently
speculative (for a detailed assessment by
species using the limited available
information, see Erbe 2002). In these
species, hearing sensitivity has been
estimated from behavioral responses (or
lack thereof) to sounds at various
frequencies, vocalization frequencies
they use most, body size, ambient noise
levels at the frequencies they use most,
and cochlear morphometry and
anatomical modeling (Richardson et al.
1995; Wartzok and Ketten 1999; Houser
et al. 2001; Erbe 2002; Clark and Ellison
2004; Ketten et al. 2007). Though
detailed information is lacking on the
species level, the combined information
strongly suggests that mysticetes are
likely most sensitive to sound from
perhaps tens of Hz to ∼10 kHz (Southall
et al. 2007). Although hearing ranges for
toothed whales (mid- and highfrequency cetaceans) fall between 100s
Hz to over 100 kHz, their most sensitive
frequency lie between 10 to 90 kHz, and
sensitivity falls sharply above 100 kHz.
Comment 21: Dr. Bain states that
changes in behavior resulting from noise
exposure could lead to indirect injury in
marine mammals in the wild. He
presented several examples to suggest
that marine mammals repeatedly
exposed to Level B harassment could
result in Level A takes: (1) Harbor
porpoise were observed traveling at high
speeds during exposure to midfrequency sonar in Haro Strait in 2003
and that exhaustion from rapid flight
could lead to mortality; (2) citing MMS’
(2004) Environmental Assessment on
Proposed Oil and Gas Lease Sale 195 in
the Beaufort Sea Planning Area (OCS
EIS/EA MMS 2004–028) that feeding
requires a prey density of 800 mg/m3
and his own observation, Dr. Bain is
concerned displacement from highly
productive feeding areas would
negatively affect individual whales and
that small cetaceans such as harbor
porpoise would face a risk of death if
they are unable to feed for periods as
short as 48–72 hours, or they may move
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into habitat where they face an
increased risk of predation; and (3)
individual killer whales have been
observed splitting from their pod when
frightened by sonar and that other killer
whales’ separation from their social
units has resulted in death.
Response: NMFS agrees that it is
possible that changes in behavior or
auditory masking resulting from noise
exposure could lead to injury in marine
mammals under certain circumstances
in the world, such as those examples/
hypotheses raised by Dr. Bain. However,
the assumption that Dr. Bain made that
‘‘exhaustion from rapid flight leading to
heart or other muscle damage’’ could
account for mortality merely because of
exposure to airgun noise has no
scientific basis. Also, it is not likely that
received SPLs from the site clearance
and shallow hazards surveys would
cause drastic changes in behavior or
auditory masking in marine mammals in
the vicinity of the action area. First,
marine mammals in the aforementioned
examples and hypotheses were exposed
to high levels of non-pulse intermittent
sounds, such as military sonar, which
has been shown to cause flight activities
(e.g., Haro Strait killer whales); and
continuous sounds such as the vessel,
which could cause auditory masking
when animals are closer to the source.
The sources produced by the acoustic
equipment and airguns for Shell’s site
clearance and shallow hazards surveys
are impulse sounds used in seismic
profiling, bathymetry, and seafloor
imaging. Unlike military sonar, seismic
pulses have an extremely short duration
(tens to hundreds of milliseconds) and
relatively long intervals (several
seconds) between pulses. Therefore, the
sound energy levels from these acoustic
sources and small airguns are far lower
in a given time period. Second, the
intervals between each short pulse
would allow the animals to detect any
biologically significant signals, and thus
avoid or prevent auditory masking.
Although airgun pulses at long
distances (over kilometers) may be
‘‘stretched’’ in duration and become nonpulse due to multipath propagation, the
intervals between the non-pulse noises
would still allow biologically important
signals to be detected by marine
mammals. Especially due to the
relatively small source being used for
the site clearance and shallow hazard
surveys, the received levels at such long
distances would be even lower (e.g.,
modeled received levels at 15 km are
expected to be under 120 dB re 1 μPa).
In addition, NMFS requires mitigation
measures to ramp-up acoustic sources at
a rate of no more than 6 dB per 5 min.
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This ramp-up would prevent marine
mammals from being exposed to high
level noises without warning, thereby
eliminating the possibility that animals
would dramatically alter their behavior
(i.e. from a ‘‘startle’’ reaction). NMFS
also believes that long-term
displacement of marine mammals from
a feeding area is not likely because the
seismic vessel is constantly moving, and
the maximum 160-dB ensonified radius
is about 1.22 km, which would create an
area of ensonification of approximately
7.3 km2 at any given moment, which
constitutes a very small portion of the
Beaufort Sea (0.0016 percent). In reality,
NMFS expects the 160-dB ensonified
zone to be smaller due to absorption and
attenuation of acoustic energy in the
water column.
Comment 22: Citing research on long
term adverse effects to whales and
dolphins from whale watching activities
(Trites and Bain 2000; Bain 2002;
Lusseau et al. 2009), Dr. Bain states that
Level B behavioral harassment could be
the primary threat to cetacean
populations.
Response: Although NMFS agrees that
long-term, persistent, and chronic
exposure to Level B harassment could
have a profound and significant impact
on marine mammal populations, such as
described in the references cited by Dr.
Bain, those examples do not reflect the
impacts of seismic surveys to marine
mammals for Shell’s project. First,
whale watching vessels are intentionally
targeting and making close approaches
to cetacean species so the tourists
onboard can have a better view of the
animals. Some of these whale/dolphin
watching examples cited by Dr. Bain
occurred in the coastal waters of the
Northwest Pacific between April and
October and for extended periods of
time (‘‘[r]ecreational and scientific
whale watchers were active by around
6 a.m., and some commercial whale
watching continued until around
sunset’’). Thus multiple vessels have
been documented to be in relatively
close proximity to whales for about 12
hours a day, six months a year, not
counting some ‘‘out of season’’ whale
watching activities and after dark
commercial filming efforts. In addition,
noise exposures to whales and dolphins
from whale watching vessels are
probably significant due to the vessels’
proximity to the animals. To the
contrary, Shell’s proposed open-water
shallow hazard and site clearance
surveys, along with existing industrial
operations in the Arctic Ocean, do not
intentionally approach marine
mammals in the project areas. Shell’s
survey locations are situated in a much
larger Arctic Ocean Basin, which is far
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away from most human impacts.
Therefore, the effects from each activity
are remote and spread farther apart, as
analyzed in NMFS’ 2010 EA, as well as
the MMS 2006 PEA. Shell’s site
clearance and shallow hazards activities
would only be conducted between July
and October for 60 days, weather
permitting. In addition, although studies
and monitoring reports from previous
seismic surveys have detected Level B
harassment of marine mammals, such as
avoidance of certain areas by bowhead
and beluga whales during the airgun
firing, no evidence suggests that such
behavioral modification is biologically
significant or non-negligible (Malme et
al. 1986; 1988; Richardson et al. 1987;
1999; Miller et al. 1999; 2005), as
compared to marine mammals exposed
to chronic sound from whale watching
vessels, as cited by Dr. Bain. Therefore,
NMFS believes that potential impacts to
marine mammals in the Chukchi Sea by
site clearance and shallow hazards
surveys would be limited to Level B
harassment only, and due to the limited
scale and remoteness of the project in
relation to a large area, such adverse
effects would not accumulate to the
point where biologically significant
effects would be realized.
Comment 23: Dr. Bain notes that
NMFS uses different thresholds for
continuous and pulsed sounds. Dr. Bain
thus assumes that the motivation for
this was to tie impact to SEL
measurements of sound (as opposed to
RMS or peak-to-peak measurements),
which correlated well with TTS. Dr.
Bain states that there is no evidence
linking SEL to behavioral changes, and
citing his paper (Bain and Williams, in
review), Mr. Bain claims he found peakto-peak level measurements correlated
best with behavioral changes.
Response: First, Dr. Bain’s assumption
regarding NMFS’ use of different
behavioral thresholds for impulse and
non-impulse noises are incorrect. The
reason for the difference is not to tie
impact to SEL measurements of sound
to behavioral change, rather, this
difference (received level at 160 dB re
1 μPa for pulse and 120 dB re 1 μPa for
non-pulse) came from many field
observations and analyses (see review
by Richardson et al. 1995; Southall et al.
2007) on measured avoidance responses
in whales in the wild. Specifically, the
160 dB re 1 μPa (rms) threshold was
derived from data for mother-calf pairs
of migrating gray whales (Malme et al.
1983; 1984) and bowhead whales
(Richardson et al. 1985; Richardson et
al. 1986) responding when exposed to
seismic airguns (impulsive sound
source). The 120 dB re 1μPa (rms)
threshold also originates from research
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on baleen whales, specifically migrating
gray whales (Malme et al. 1984;
predicted 50% probability of avoidance)
and bowhead whales reacting when
exposed to industrial (i.e., drilling and
dredging) activities (non-impulsive
sound source) (Richardson et al. 1990).
Dr. Bain’s attached paper (Bain and
Williams, in review) reports the results
of an examination of effects of large
airgun arrays on behavior of marine
mammals in the waters of British
Columbia, Canada and Washington
State, USA, using a small boat to
monitor out to long ranges (1 to > 70 km
from the seismic source vessel). The
paper concludes that a significant
relationship was observed between the
magnitude of behavioral response and
peak-to-peak received level and the long
distances at which behavioral responses
were observed (> 60 km for harbor
porpoise), along with counterproductive behavior that occasionally
brought individuals into higherintensity acoustic zones. However, there
are potential design flaws in the study.
First, the paper states a launch carried
aboard the seismic receiver vessel was
placed in the water to perform received
level measurements near marine
mammals. When making acoustic
measurements, the launch ‘‘travelled
along a line at approximately 20 km/h
until either marine mammals were
closely approached, or the launch had
travelled 10 km.’’ Therefore, it is highly
likely that behavioral reactions from
observed marine mammals were caused
by the high-speed, close-approach of the
launch, rather than from distant seismic
airguns. This experiment design may
explain the authors’ observation of
‘‘counter-productive behavioral
responses’’ that animals are moving into
higher-intensity acoustic zones, which
probably indicates that behavioral
changes caused by Bain’s launch greatly
exceeded any behavioral change
resulting from exposure to seismic
airgun noise. Second, the authors of the
paper also expressed ‘‘methodological
concerns due to the subjectivity of
observers.’’ Nevertheless, this study
concludes that harbor seal individuals
were generally moving away from the
airguns at exposure levels above 170 dB
re 1 μPa (p–p) and that gray whales were
observed at received levels up to
approximately 170 dB re 1 μPa (p–p)
exhibiting no obvious behavioral
response. These observations contradict
Mr. Bain’s earlier comments that major
behavioral effects result from noise in
the 105–125 dB range.
Finally, Bain and Williams (in review)
also state that the study ‘‘found that
while airguns concentrated their sound
output at low frequencies, substantial
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high frequency energy (to at least 100
kHz) was also present.’’ However, the
paper provides no explanation as to
how this conclusion was made. The
accompanying power density spectrum
(Figure 2 in Bain and Williams, in
review) of the paper fails to show
evidence that the frequencies above 1
kHz were mostly contributed from
seismic airguns, and there was no
indication at what distance this
recording was made.
Subsistence Issues
Comment 24: AEWC states that the
nondiscretionary congressional
directive that there will be no more than
a negligible impact to marine mammals
and no unmitigable adverse impact to
the availability of marine mammals for
subsistence taking is consistent with the
MMPA’s overall treatment of both
marine mammal and subsistence
protections. AEWC further states that
Congress has set a ‘‘moratorium on the
taking * * * of marine mammals,’’ 16
U.S.C. 1371(a), with the sole exemption
provided for the central role of
subsistence hunting by Alaska Natives.
Thus, AEWC concludes that Congress
has given priority to subsistence takes of
marine mammals over all other
exceptions to the moratorium, which
may be applied for and obtained only if
certain statutory and regulatory
requirements are met. However, AEWC
states that incidental harassment
authorizations are available only for
specified activities for which the
Secretary makes the mandated findings.
Thus, the pursuit of those activities is
subordinated, by law, to the critical
subsistence uses that sustain Alaska’s
coastal communities. NSB further states
that NMFS has not adequately
demonstrated that the proposed
activities will not have ‘‘an unmitigable
adverse impact on the availability of
such species or stock for taking for
subsistence uses.’’
Response: The MMPA does not
prohibit an activity from having an
adverse impact on the availability of
marine mammals for subsistence uses;
rather, the MMPA requires NMFS to
ensure the activity does not have an
unmitigable adverse impact on the
availability of such species or stocks for
taking for subsistence uses. NMFS has
defined ‘‘unmitigable adverse impact’’ in
50 CFR 216.103 as an impact resulting
from the specified activity: (1) That is
likely to reduce the availability of the
species to a level insufficient for a
harvest to meet subsistence needs by: (i)
Causing the marine mammals to
abandon or avoid hunting areas; (ii)
directly displacing subsistence users; or
(iii) placing physical barriers between
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the marine mammals and the
subsistence hunters; and (2) that cannot
be sufficiently mitigated by other
measures to increase the availability of
marine mammals to allow subsistence
needs to be met.
For the determination of the
unmitigable adverse impact analysis,
NMFS, other government agencies, and
affected stakeholder agencies and
communities were provided a copy of
the draft POC in March 2010, which
outlined measures Shell would
implement to ensure no unmitigable
adverse impact to subsistence uses. The
POC specifies times and areas to avoid
in order to minimize possible conflicts
with traditional subsistence hunts by
North Slope villages for transit and
open-water activities. Shell waited to
begin activities until the close of the
spring beluga hunt in the village of
Point Lay. Shell has also developed a
Communication Plan and will
implement the plan before initiating the
2010 program to coordinate activities
with local subsistence users as well as
Village Whaling Associations in order to
minimize the risk of interfering with
subsistence hunting activities, and keep
current as to the timing and status of the
bowhead whale migration, as well as the
timing and status of other subsistence
hunts. The Communication Plan
includes procedures for coordination
with Communication and Call Centers
to be located in coastal villages along
the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas during
Shell’s program in 2010.
Based on the measures contained in
the IHA (and described later in this
document), NMFS has determined that
mitigation measures are in place to
ensure that Shell’s operations do not
have an unmitigable adverse impact on
the availability of marine mammal
species or stocks for subsistence uses.
Mitigation and Monitoring Concerns
Comment 25: NSB is concerned that
MMOs cannot see animals at the surface
when it is dark or during the day
because of fog, glare, rough seas, the
small size of animals such as seals, and
the large portion of time that animals
spend submerged. NSB also notes that
Shell has acknowledged that reported
sightings are only ‘‘minimum’’ estimates
of the number of animals potentially
affected by surveying.
Response: NMFS recognizes the
limitations of visual monitoring in
darkness and other inclement weather
conditions. Therefore, in the IHA to
Shell, NMFS requires that no seismic
airgun can be ramped up when the
entire safety zones are not visible.
However, Shell’s operations will occur
in an area where periods of darkness do
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not begin until early September.
Beginning in early September, there will
be approximately 1–3 hours of darkness
each day, with periods of darkness
increasing by about 30 min each day. By
the end of the survey period, there will
be approximately 8 hours of darkness
each day. These conditions provide
MMOs favorable monitoring conditions
for most of the time.
Comment 26: AEWC notes that Shell
intends to employ marine mammal
observers (‘‘MMO’’) and a ‘‘190 and 180
dB safety radii for pinnipeds and
cetaceans, respectively, and the 160 dB
disturbance radii’’ to mitigate these
effects. However, AEWC states that the
safety radii proposed by Shell do not
negate these impacts. The safety radii
only function as well as the observers
on the vessels can see and report marine
mammals within the radii or the general
vicinity of the vessel. AEWC notes that
MMOs are human and suffer from
human flaws, and that observers are bad
at judging distances in the water—i.e.,
whether a marine mammal is within the
radii or not. AEWC further states that at
night and during storms MMOs are
particularly ineffective. Thus, AEWC
concludes that Shell’s proposed MMO
program is not sufficient mitigation to
prevent Shell from engaging in Level A
harassment.
Response: NMFS does not agree with
AEWC’s observation and conclusion,
although AEWC is right that distance
judging in the water is a challenging
issue for MMOs. However, as noted in
Shell’s Marine Mammal Monitoring and
Mitigation Plan (4MP), distances to
nearby marine mammals will be
estimated with binoculars (Fujinon 7 x
50) containing a reticle to measure the
vertical angle of the line of sight to the
animal relative to the horizon. In
addition, MMOs may use a laser
rangefinder to test and improve their
abilities for visually estimating
distances to objects in the water. The
device was very useful in improving the
distance estimation abilities of the
observers at distances up to about 600
m (1,968 ft)—the maximum range at
which the device could measure
distances to highly reflective objects
such as other vessels—while the
isopleth to the 180 dB received level is
expected to be at 125 m (410 ft) from the
source vessel. Therefore, NMFS believes
that marine mammal monitoring efforts
that would be employed by Shell during
its marine surveys are adequate.
In addition, mitigation measures such
as ramp-up of airguns would warn any
marine mammals that are missed during
the pre-survey period to leave the
survey vicinity. Lastly, recent studies
show that it is unlikely a marine
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mammal would experience TTS when
exposed to a seismic pulse at a received
level of 190 dB (see Finneran et al.
2002). In order for a marine mammal to
experience even a mild TTS, the animal
has to be in a zone with intense noise
for a certain duration to and be exposed
to a sound level much greater than a
single seismic impulse, and research on
marine mammal behavior during TTS
experiments indicates that animals will
try to avoid areas where receive levels
are high enough to cause TTS (see
Finneran et al. 2002).
Comment 27: NSB and AEWC note
that Shell asserts that mitigation
measures are designed to protect
animals from injurious takes, but it is
not clear that these mitigation measures
are effective in protecting marine
mammals or subsistence hunters. AEWC
states that data previously presented by
Shell and ConocoPhillips from their
seismic activities made clear that MMOs
failed to detect many marine mammals
that encroached within the designated
safety zones. AEWC further notes that
Shell admits that night vision devices
‘‘are not nearly as effective as visual
observation during daylight hours.’’
Response: NMFS believes that the
required monitoring and mitigation
measures are effective and are an
adequate means of effecting the least
practicable impact to marine mammals
and their habitat. Moreover, the safety
zones for Shell’s 2010 surveys are much
smaller than those for the larger 3D
seismic surveys in past years. The 180and 190-dB safety zones are 125 m (410
ft) and 35 m (115 ft), respectively. The
monitoring reports from 2006, 2007,
2008, and 2009 do not note any
instances of serious injury or mortality
(Patterson et al. 2007; Funk et al. 2008;
Ireland et al. 2009; Reiser et al. 2010).
Additionally, the fact that a powerdown or shutdown is required does not
indicate that marine mammals are not
being detected or that they are incurring
serious injury. As discussed elsewhere
in this document and in the Notice of
Proposed IHA (75 FR 27708; May 18,
2010), the received level of a single
seismic pulse (with no frequency
weighting) might need to be
approximately 186 dB re 1 μPa2-s (i.e.,
186 dB sound exposure level [SEL]) in
order to produce brief, mild TTS (a noninjurious, Level B harassment) in
odontocetes. Exposure to several strong
seismic pulses that each have received
levels near 175–180 dB SEL might result
in slight TTS in a small odontocete,
assuming the TTS threshold is (to a first
approximation) a function of the total
received pulse energy. For Shell’s
proposed survey activities, the distance
at which the received energy level (per
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pulse) would be expected to be ≥175–
180 dB SEL is the distance to the 190
dB re 1 μPa (rms) isopleth (given that
the rms level is approximately 10–15 dB
higher than the SEL value for the same
pulse). Seismic pulses with received
energy levels ≥175–180 dB SEL (190 dB
re 1 μPa (rms)) are expected to be
restricted to a radius of approximately
35 m (115 ft) around the airgun array.
For baleen whales, there are no data,
direct or indirect, on levels or properties
of sound that are required to induce
TTS. The frequencies to which baleen
whales are most sensitive are lower than
those to which odontocetes are most
sensitive, and natural background noise
levels at those low frequencies tend to
be higher. As a result, auditory
thresholds of baleen whales within their
frequency band of best hearing are
believed to be higher (less sensitive)
than are those of odontocetes at their
best frequencies (Clark and Ellison
2004). From this, it is suspected that
received levels causing TTS onset may
also be higher in baleen whales.
In pinnipeds, TTS thresholds
associated with exposure to brief pulses
(single or multiple) of underwater sound
have not been measured. Initial
evidence from prolonged exposures
suggested that some pinnipeds may
incur TTS at somewhat lower received
levels than do small odontocetes
exposed for similar durations (Kastak et
al. 1999; 2005). However, more recent
indications are that TTS onset in the
most sensitive pinniped species studied
(harbor seal, which is closely related to
the ringed seal) may occur at a similar
SEL as in odontocetes (Kastak et al.
2004).
NMFS concluded that cetaceans and
pinnipeds should not be exposed to
pulsed underwater noise at received
levels exceeding, respectively, 180 and
190 dB re 1 μPa (rms). The established
180- and 190-dB re 1 μPa (rms) criteria
are not considered to be the levels above
which TTS might occur. Rather, they are
the received levels above which, in the
view of a panel of bioacoustics
specialists convened by NMFS before
TTS measurements for marine mammals
started to become available, one could
not be certain that there would be no
injurious effects, auditory or otherwise,
to marine mammals. As summarized
above, data that are now available imply
that TTS is unlikely to occur unless
bow-riding odontocetes are exposed to
airgun pulses much stronger than 180
dB re 1 μPa rms (Southall et al. 2007).
No cases of TTS are expected as a result
of Shell’s proposed activities given the
small size of the source, the strong
likelihood that baleen whales
(especially migrating bowheads) would
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avoid the approaching airguns (or
vessel) before being exposed to levels
high enough for there to be any
possibility of TTS, and the mitigation
measures proposed to be implemented
during the survey described later in this
document.
There is no empirical evidence that
exposure to pulses of airgun sound can
cause PTS in any marine mammal, even
with large arrays of airguns (see
Southall et al. 2007). PTS might occur
at a received sound level at least several
decibels above that inducing mild TTS
if the animal is exposed to the strong
sound pulses with very rapid rise time.
It is highly unlikely that marine
mammals could receive sounds strong
enough (and over a sufficient duration)
to cause permanent hearing impairment
during a project employing the airgun
sources planned here (i.e., an airgun
array with a total discharge volume of
40 in3). In the proposed project, marine
mammals are unlikely to be exposed to
received levels of seismic pulses strong
enough to cause more than slight TTS.
Given the higher level of sound
necessary to cause PTS, it is even less
likely that PTS could occur. In fact,
even the levels immediately adjacent to
the airgun may not be sufficient to
induce PTS, especially because a
mammal would not be exposed to more
than one strong pulse unless it swam
immediately alongside the airgun for a
period longer than the inter-pulse
interval. Baleen whales, and belugas as
well, generally avoid the immediate area
around operating seismic vessels. The
planned monitoring and mitigation
measures, including visual monitoring,
power-downs, and shutdowns of the
airguns when mammals are seen within
the safety radii, will minimize the
already-minimal probability of exposure
of marine mammals to sounds strong
enough to induce PTS.
NMFS acknowledges that night-time
monitoring by using night vision
devices is not nearly as effective as
visual observation during daylight
hours. Therefore, the IHA to Shell
prohibits start up of seismic airguns
when the entire safety zone can not be
effectively monitored during the nighttime hours. If Shell has a shutdown of
its seismic airgun array during low-light
hours, it will have to wait till daylight
to start ramping up the airguns.
Comment 28: The Commission
believes that absent an evaluation by the
oil and gas industry of its monitoring
and mitigation measures, the effects of
the industry’s activities will remain
uncertain. The Commission
recommends that NMFS require Shell to
collect information necessary to
evaluate the effectiveness of the
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mitigation measures adopted and to
review and modify mitigation measures
accordingly. The Commission notes that
mitigation measures required for Shell’s
proposed marine surveys should be
useful to a degree, but in some cases
they are not sufficiently specific. For
example, the Commission raised
questions about the ‘‘power-down’’ and
asks NMFS to specify what speed of
reduction would be required when a
marine mammal is observed within 274
m (300 yards) of a vessel. The
Commission considers it vital that
NMFS and the industry make every
reasonable effort to evaluate the
mitigation measures whenever possible,
and that the evaluation should provide
a basis for (1) Distinguishing between
measures that do and do not have
protective value, (2) improving those
that are useful, and (3) finding
alternatives for those that are not. Citing
a report from the Joint Subcommittee on
Ocean Science and Technology, NSB
also questions the effectiveness of rampup measures.
Response: In order to issue an
incidental take authorization (ITA)
under Sections 101(a)(5)(A) and (D) of
the MMPA, NMFS must, where
applicable, set forth the permissible
methods of taking pursuant to such
activity, and other means of effecting
the least practicable impact on such
species or stock and its habitat, paying
particular attention to rookeries, mating
grounds, and areas of similar
significance, and on the availability of
such species or stock for taking for
certain subsistence uses (where
relevant). For Shell’s proposed open
water marine surveys, a series of
mitigation and monitoring measures are
required under the IHA. These
mitigation measures include: (1) Sound
source measurements to determine
safety zones more accurately, (2)
establishment of safety and disturbance
zones to be monitored by MMOs on the
seismic vessel, (3) a power-down when
a marine mammal is detected
approaching a safety zone and a
shutdown when a marine mammal is
observed within a zone, (4) ramp-up of
the airgun array, (5) establishing a 120dB safety zone and prohibition of
seismic surveys within that zone
whenever it encompasses four or more
bowhead whale mother-calf pairs, (6)
establishing a 160-dB safety zone that
would prohibit firing of the seismic
airguns within the zone whenever it
encompasses 12 or more bowhead or
gray whales involved in non-migratory
behavior (e.g., feeding), and (7) a
requirement that vessels reduce speed
when within 274 m (300 yards) of
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whales and steer around those whales if
possible.
The basic rational for these mitigation
measures is (a) To avoid exposing
marine mammals to intense seismic
airgun noises at received levels that
could cause TTS (for mitigation
measures listed as (1) through (4)), (b) to
avoid exposing large aggregations of
bowhead whales and bowhead whale
calves to elevated noise received levels
(mitigation measures (5) and (6)), and (c)
to avoid vessel strike of marine
mammals (mitigation measure (7)).
Although limited research in recent
years shows that noise levels that could
induce TTS in odontocetes and
pinnipeds are much higher than current
NMFS safety thresholds (i.e., 180 dB
and 190 dB re 1 μPa (rms) for cetaceans
and pinnipeds, respectively), mitigation
measures listed in (1) through (3)
provide very conservative measures to
ensure that no marine mammals are
exposed to noise levels that would
result in TTS. The power-down measure
listed in (3) requires Shell to reduce the
firing airguns accordingly so that a
marine mammal that is detected
approaching the safety zone will be
further away from the reduced safety
radius (as a result of power-down).
Regarding mitigation measures
requiring ramp-ups, while scientific
research built around the question on
whether ramp-up is effective has not
been conducted, several studies on the
effects of anthropogenic noise on marine
mammals indicate that many marine
mammals will move away from a sound
source that they find annoying (e.g.
Malme et al. 1984; Miller et al. 1999;
others reviewed in Richardson et al.
1995). In particular, three species of
baleen whales have been the subject of
tests involving exposure to sounds from
a single airgun, which is equivalent to
the first stage of ramp-up. All three
species were shown to move away at the
onset of a single airgun operation
(Malme et al. 1983; 1984; 1985; 1986;
Richardson et al. 1986; McCauley et al.
1998; 2000). From this research, it can
be presumed that if a marine mammal
finds a noise source annoying or
disturbing, it will move away from the
source prior to sustaining an injury,
unless some other over-riding biological
activity keeps the animal from vacating
the area. This is the premise supporting
NMFS’ and others’ belief that ramp-up
is effective in preventing injury to
marine mammals. However, to what
degree ramp-up protects marine
mammals from exposure to intense
noises is unknown. Thus, NMFS will
require industry applicants that will
conduct marine or seismic surveys in
the 2010 open water season to collect,
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record, analyze, and report MMO
observations during any ramp-up
period, as recommended by the
independent peer review panel
convened in March 2010, to review
Shell’s monitoring plan (more
information is available later in this
document).
Mitigation measures (5) and (6)
regarding four cow-calf pairs and an
aggregation of 12 bowhead and/or gray
whales, which were proposed in MMS’
2006 programmatic EA and were
required in NMFS IHAs issued between
2006 to 2008, need to be further
analyzed for their effectiveness and
efficacy. NMFS is currently conducting
a review of these mitigation measures
through the Environmental Impact
Statement process for the Arctic oil and
gas activities.
Finally, regarding the speed reduction
for vessels in the vicinity of marine
mammals, NMFS clarifies that vessel
speed must be reduced to less than 10
knots when a marine mammal is
detected within 274 m (300 yards) of the
vessel. This mitigation measure is to
avoid vessel strike of marine mammals
and is based on NMFS’ ship strike rule
for the north Atlantic right whale.
NMFS will evaluate the efficacy of this
mitigation. Although there has never
been a vessel strike of marine mammals
by vessels involved in seismic activities
in the Arctic, NMFS is still taking this
precaution.
Comment 29: The Commission
recommends that Shell be required to
supplement its mitigation measures by
using passive acoustic monitoring
(PAM) to provide a more reliable
estimate of the number of marine
mammals taken during the course of the
proposed seismic survey.
Response: NMFS’ 2010 EA for this
action contains an analysis of why PAM
is not required to be used by Shell to
implement mitigation measures. Shell
will deploy acoustic recorders to collect
data on vocalizing animals. However,
this information will not be used in a
real-time or near-real-time capacity.
Along with the fact that marine
mammals may not always vocalize
while near the PAM device, another
impediment is that flow noise generated
by a towed PAM will interfere with low
frequency whale calls and make their
detection difficult and unreliable. MMS
sponsored a workshop on the means of
acoustic detection of marine mammals
in November 2009 in Boston, MA. The
workshop reviewed various available
acoustic monitoring technology (passive
and active), its feasibility and
applicability for use in MMS-authorized
activities, and what additional
developments need to take place to
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improve its effectiveness. The
conclusion is that at this stage, using
towed passive acoustics to detect
marine mammals is not a mature
technology. NMFS may consider
requirements for PAM in the future
depending on information received as
the technology develops further.
Additionally, NMFS recommended to
Shell that the company work to help
develop and improve this type of
technology for use in the Arctic.
Comment 30: AWL states that NMFS
should consider time and space
limitations on surveying in order to
reduce harm, and that there is a general
consensus that spatial-temporal
avoidance of high value habitat
represents one of the best means to
diminish potential impacts. In this case,
AWL requests NMFS to evaluate the
possibility of avoiding activities during
the peak of the bowhead migration
within the Beaufort migratory corridor
before issuing an IHA. In addition, AWL
requests NMFS to require Shell to
complete its 30 days of shallow hazard
surveying in July and August in an
effort to avoid—as much as possible—
the bulk of the bowhead migration.
Response: In making its negligible
determination for the issuance of an
IHA to Shell for open water marine
surveys, NMFS has conducted a
thorough review and analysis on how to
reduce any adverse effects to marine
mammals from the proposed action,
including the consideration of time and
space limitations that could reduce
impacts to the bowhead migration. As
Shell indicates in its IHA application,
the majority of the site clearance and
shallow hazards surveys will be
conducted during August and
September to avoid the peak of the
bowhead whale migration through the
Beaufort Sea, which typically occurs in
mid-September and October.
In addition, bowhead whales
migrating west across the Alaskan
Beaufort Sea in autumn, in particular,
are unusually responsive to airgun
noises, with avoidance occurring out to
distances of 20–30 km from a mediumsized airgun source (Miller et al. 1999;
Richardson et al. 1999). However, while
bowheads may avoid an area of 20 km
(12.4 mi) around a noise source, when
that determination requires a postsurvey computer analysis to find that
bowheads have made a 1 or 2 degree
course change, NMFS believes that does
not rise to a level of a ‘‘take’’ and that
such minor behavioral modification is
not likely to be biologically significant.
Comment 31: The Commission
recommends that NMFS (1) Review the
proposed monitoring measures to
ensure that Shell is required to gather
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information on all the potentially
important sources of noise and the
complex sound field that the seismic
survey activities create; (2) work with
Shell and its contractors to engage
acknowledged survey experts to review
the survey design and planned analyses
to ensure that Shell will provide
relatively unbiased and reliable results;
(3) work with Shell to coordinate a
comparative analysis of the results of
vessel-based, aerial, and passive
acoustic monitoring methods to evaluate
their relative strengths and weaknesses
and determine if and how they could be
improved for use with future surveys;
(4) develop a plan for collecting
meaningful baseline information—that
is, information that provides a reliable
basis for evaluating long-term effects on
the marine mammal species and stocks
that may be affected by oil and gas
development and production in the
Beaufort Sea area; and (5) work with
Shell to determine how the data
collected during the proposed activities
can be made available to other scientific
purposes.
Response: NMFS largely agrees with
the Commission’s recommendations and
has been working with the seismic
survey applicants and their contractors
on gathering information on acoustic
sources, survey design review, and
monitoring analyses. NMFS has
contacted Shell and received
information on all the active acoustic
sources that would be used for its
proposed open water marine surveys.
The information includes source
characteristics such as frequency ranges
and source levels, as well as estimated
propagation loss. In addition, at NMFS’
request, Shell has provided power
density spectra for all of its highfrequency sonar equipments.
Regarding the remaining points,
NMFS convened an independent peer
review panel to review Shell’s 4MP for
the Open Water Marine Survey Program
in the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas,
Alaska. The panel met on March 25 and
26, 2010, and provided their final report
to NMFS on April 22, 2010. NMFS has
reviewed the report and evaluated all
recommendations made by the panel.
NMFS has determined that there are
several measures that Shell can
incorporate into its 2010 open water
Marine Survey Program 4MP to improve
it, and is requiring those measures in
the IHA. Additionally, there are other
recommendations that NMFS has
determined would also result in better
data collection, and could potentially be
implemented by oil and gas industry
applicants, but which likely could not
be implemented for the 2010 open-water
season due to technical issues (see
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below). A detailed discussion about the
panel review is presented later in this
document. While it may not be possible
to implement those changes this year,
NMFS believes that they are worthwhile
and appropriate suggestions that may
require a bit more time to implement,
and Shell should consider incorporating
them into future monitoring plans
should Shell decide to apply for IHAs
in the future. Nevertheless, despite
these recommendations, NMFS believes
that Shell’s 4MP will be sufficient for
purposes of data gathering in 2010.
Comment 32: The Commission
recommends that the IHA require Shell
to halt its seismic survey and consult
with NMFS regarding any seriously
injured or dead marine mammal when
the injury or death may have resulted
from Shell’s activities.
Response: NMFS concurs with the
Commission’s recommendation. NMFS
has included a condition in the IHA
which requires Shell to immediately
shutdown the seismic airguns if a dead
or injured marine mammal has been
sighted within an area where the
seismic airguns were operating within
the past 24 hours so that information
regarding the animal can be collected
and reported to NMFS. In addition,
Shell must report the events to the
Marine Mammal Stranding Network
within 24 hours of the sighting, as well
as to the NMFS staff person designated
by the Director, Office of Protected
Resources, or to the staff person
designated by the Alaska Regional
Administrator. The lead MMO is
required to complete a written
certification, which must include the
following information: species or
description of the animal(s); the
condition of the animal(s) (including
carcass condition if the animal is dead);
location and time of first discovery;
observed behaviors (if alive); and
photographs or video (if available). In
the event that the marine mammal
injury or death was determined to have
been a direct result of Shell’s activities,
then operations will cease, NMFS and
the Stranding Network will be notified
immediately, and operations will not be
permitted to resume until NMFS has
had an opportunity to review the
written certification and any
accompanying documentation, make
determinations as to whether
modifications to the activities are
appropriate and necessary, and has
notified Shell that activities may be
resumed.
If NMFS determines that further
investigation is appropriate, once
investigations are completed and
determinations made, NMFS would use
available information to help reduce the
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likelihood that a similar event would
happen in the future and move forward
with necessary steps to ensure
environmental compliance for oil and
gas related activities under the MMPA.
Cumulative Impact Concerns
Comment 33: NSB, AEWC, ICAS, and
AWL state that NMFS must also
consider the effects of disturbances in
the context of other activities occurring
in the Arctic. NSB states that NMFS
should ascertain the significance of
multiple exposures to underwater noise,
ocean discharge, air pollution, and
vessel traffic—all of which could impact
bowhead whales and decrease survival
rates or reproductive success. NSB notes
that the cumulative impacts of all
industrial activities must be factored
into any negligible impact
determination. NSB, AEWC, ICAS, and
AWL list a series of reasonably
foreseeable activities in the Arctic
Ocean as: (1) GX Technology’s Beaufort
Sea seismic surveys; (2) Statoil’s
Chukchi Sea seismic surveys; (3)
Seismic surveys planned in the
Canadian Arctic; (4) U.S. Geological
Survey’s (USGS’) seismic surveys; (5)
BP’s production operations at Northstar;
and (6) Dalmorneftegeophysica (DMNG)
Russian Far East offshore seismic
surveys.
Response: Under section 101(a)(5)(D)
of the MMPA, NMFS is required to
determine whether the taking by the
applicant’s specified activity will take
only small numbers of marine
mammals, will have a negligible impact
on the affected marine mammal species
or population stocks, and will not have
an unmitigable impact on the
availability of affected species or stocks
for subsistence uses. Cumulative impact
assessments are NMFS’ responsibility
under the National Environmental
Policy Act (NEPA), not the MMPA. In
that regard, MMS’ 2006 Final PEA,
NMFS’ 2007 and 2008 Supplemental
EAs, NMFS’ 2009 EA, and NMFS’ 2010
EA address cumulative impacts. The
most recent NMFS’ 2010 EA addresses
cumulative activities and the
cumulative impact analysis focused on
oil and gas related and non-oil and gas
related activities in both Federal and
State of Alaska waters that were likely
and foreseeable. The oil and gas related
activities in the U.S. Arctic in 2010
include this activity; Statoil’s proposed
seismic survey in Chukchi Sea; ION
Geophysical’s proposed seismic survey
in Beaufort Sea; and BP’s production
operations at Northstar. GX
Technology’s Beaufort Sea seismic
surveys have been cancelled by the
company. Seismic survey activities in
the Canadian and Russian Arctic occur
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in different geophysical areas, therefore,
they are not analyzed under the NMFS
2010 EA. Other appropriate factors,
such as Arctic warming, military
activities, and noise contributions from
community and commercial activities
were also considered in NMFS’ 2010
EA. Please refer to that document for
further discussion of cumulative
impacts.
Comment 34: Citing the peer review
panel created for this year’s open water
meeting that Shell’s activities ‘‘will
create a complex sound field with
potential effects beyond those that the
applicant proposes to monitor,’’ and
NRC’s advice on assessing cumulative
effects to the population from multiple
effects to multiple individuals, the AWL
recommends NMFS create a sound
budget for the Arctic, limiting the total
amount of sound introduced into the
water. The AWL further states that
instead of dismissing the impacts of
relatively smaller sources of sound,
NMFS should account for and regulate
those sources, and a sound budget may
be the most appropriate tool for doing
so. The AWL states that even without a
comprehensive sound budget, NMFS
could impose limits on the total number
of activities permitted in the Arctic
during the open water season. Allowing
only one or two noise generating
activities each year could reduce the
potential for take and would facilitate
additional monitoring of the impacts of
noise, since multiple noise sources
make it very difficult to study the effect
of specific sound sources.
Response: NMFS agrees that assessing
cumulative effects to the population
from multiple effects to multiple
individual marine mammals is an
important approach to understanding
overall impacts of industry activities to
the species and the environment. NMFS
is also considering the peer review
panel’s recommendation and is
addressing sound budget issues in the
marine environment through a series of
workshops and a working group. In
addition, Shell is required to provide
sound source verification (SSV) tests
before they start marine surveys. These
acoustic measurements will be analyzed
and provided in the 90-day report for
Shell’s marine surveys. Additional
information on Arctic sound budget
data are being collected by many
researchers, including underwater
recordings made by some of the passive
acoustic arrays deployed on the Alaska
north slope. These data will hopefully
be analyzed to address overall ambient
sound levels and a sound budget for the
Arctic Ocean.
Further, NMFS also requested that
Shell provide source characteristics for
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all active acoustic sources that are
planned to be used in the proposed
open water marine surveys. NMFS has
reviewed these data and analyzed
overall ambient sound levels in the
Arctic Ocean based on current
knowledge. The review and analysis
showed that the short-term
ensonification of a small region in the
Beaufort and Chukchi Seas during the
open water season is not likely to
appreciably increase the ambient noise
level and alter the local ocean
soundscape. A description of the
analysis is provided in NMFS’ 2010 EA
for Shell and Statoil’s proposed open
water marine and seismic surveys
(NMFS 2010).
Finally, as NMFS is working on its
Arctic EIS, limits on the total of oil and
gas related activities to be allowed in
the Arctic are being considered under
separate alternatives. Nevertheless,
NMFS does not agree with AWL’s
notion of ‘‘[a]llowing only one or two
noise generating activities each year’’ as
monitoring reports and studies from
prior year industrial activities (e.g.,
there were five seismic survey activities
in the open water season of 2008)
indicate that multiple activities can be
authorized in the Arctic while still
reaching a finding of no significant
impact, provided that appropriate
mitigation and monitoring measures are
prescribed and implemented.
Comment 35: In addressing
cumulative effects, Dr. Bain points out
a number of ways he believes that
Statoil’s seismic surveys in the Chukchi
Sea could interact with Shell’s marine
surveys: (1) If the same individuals are
exposed to both projects, this would
increase the duration of exposure
beyond those considered in the
applications. Further, individuals
would potentially be exposed multiple
times, and multiple exposures are likely
to result in increased stress levels; (2) if
both projects operate in the Chukchi at
the same time, individuals would be
forced to simultaneously respond to
both noise sources. Avoidance of one
noise source could result in a marine
mammal approaching the other noise
source, resulting in unexpectedly high
noise exposure. This negates the safety
assumption that animals will move
away prior to receiving harmful
exposure; and (3) different individuals
may be exposed to the two projects,
which would put NMFS’ assumption
that its policies only allow small takes
to occur into question.
Response: In assessing the cumulative
effects, NMFS has considered that
animals could be exposed to multiple
activities, multiple times. As described
in detail in the proposed IHA (75 FR
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27708; May 18, 2010), Shell’s ice gouge
survey in the Chukchi Sea is not
expected to result in takes of marine
mammals due to its high frequency and
the low energy acoustic sources being
used. In addition, even if marine
mammals would be affected by the
presence of the ice gouge survey
activities being conducted concurrently
with Statoil’s 3D marine seismic survey,
the affected areas represent a small
fraction of the total habitat of the
Chukchi Sea, therefore, it is not likely
that marine mammals avoiding one
source would run into the other, as
suggested by Dr. Bain. The ensonified
area with received levels above 160 dB
in the Chukchi Sea is 531 km2 (or 0.089
percent of the entire Chukchi Sea).
Finally, considering different
individuals may be exposed to two
projects in both the Beaufort and
Chukchi Seas, NMFS has provided the
total number of individuals that could
be taken by Level B harassment from
both activities and concludes that the
total take numbers are small, with the
most potential takes being: 184 Eastern
Chukchi Sea beluga whales (4.95% of
the population), 539 B–C–B bowhead
whales (3.78% population), and 6,629
Alaska ringed seals (2.87% population).
Potential takes of all other species are
estimated to be under 1% of the
populations. Therefore, NMFS believes
Dr. Bain’s concerns are not warranted.
ESA Concerns
Comment 36: AWL states that NMFS
section 7 consultation under the ESA
must consider the potential impact of
potential future oil and gas activities,
including (1) Shell’s strudel scour and
ice gouge surveying to enable pipeline
construction for production on its
proposed Chukchi and Beaufort drill
sites; and (2) a shallow hazard survey in
Harrison Bay to allow for later
exploration drilling. AWL states that in
both instances, NMFS must consider the
effects of the entire agency action.
Response: Under section 7 of the ESA,
NMFS Office of Protected Resources has
completed consultation with NMFS
Alaska Regional Office on
‘‘Authorization of Small Takes under the
Marine Mammal Protection Act for
Certain Oil and Gas Exploration
Activities in the U.S. Beaufort and
Chukchi Seas, Alaska for 2010.’’ In a
Biological Opinion issued on July 13,
2010, NMFS concluded that the
issuance of the incidental take
authorizations under the MMPA for
seismic surveys are not likely to
jeopardize the continued existence of
the endangered humpback or bowhead
whale. As no critical habitat has been
designated for these species, none will
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be affected. The 2010 Biological
Opinion takes into consideration all oil
and gas related seismic survey activities
that would occur in the 2010 open water
season. This Biological Opinion does
not include impacts from exploratory
drilling and production activities,
which are subject to a separate
consultation. In addition, potential
future impacts from oil and gas
activities will be subject to consultation
in the future when activities are
proposed. NMFS has reviewed Shell’s
proposed action and has determined
that the findings in the 2010 Biological
Opinion apply to its 2010 Beaufort Sea
site clearance and shallow hazards
surveys. In addition, NMFS has issued
an Incidental Take Statement (ITS)
under this Biological Opinion for Shell’s
survey activities, which contains
reasonable and prudent measures with
implementing terms and conditions to
minimize the effects of take of bowhead
and humpback whales.
Comment 37: AWL argues that NMFS’
existing regional biological opinion is
inadequate. AWL states that NMFS’
2008 Biological Opinion does not
adequately consider site-specific
information related to Shell’s proposed
drilling. AWL points out that Shell has
proposed exploration drilling in
Camden Bay in the Beaufort Sea, and
that Camden Bay has been repeatedly
identified as a resting and feeding area
for migrating bowheads, which has been
reaffirmed by the recent monitoring.
AWL states that NMFS should reexamine the potential impacts of Shell’s
proposed drilling in light of its longstanding policy and the cautionary
language contained in its 2008 opinion.
Response: NMFS initiated a section 7
consultation under the ESA for the
potential impacts to ESA-listed marine
mammal species that could be adversely
affected as a result of several oil and gas
related activities in the 2010 open-water
season. The 2010 Biological Opinion
covered the activities by Shell, Statoil,
and ION’s proposed open water marine
and seismic survey activities. However,
as far as Shell’s drilling activities are
concerned, Shell has withdrawn these
actions due to the moratorium on
offshore drilling.
Comment 38: AWL argues that NMFS’
2008 Biological Opinion does not
adequately consider oil spills. AWL
states that in the 2008 Biological
Opinion, NMFS recognized the
potential dangers of a large oil spill, and
that whales contacting oil, particularly
freshly-spilled oil, ‘‘could be harmed
and possibly killed.’’ Citing NMFS’s
finding in its 2008 Biological Opinion
that several ‘‘coincidental events’’ would
have to take place for such harm to
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occur: (1) A spill; (2) that coincides with
the whales’ seasonal presence; (3) that is
‘‘transported to the area the whales
occupy (e.g., the migrational corridor or
spring lead system)’’; and (4) is not
successfully cleaned up. AWL points
out that this combination of events is
not as remote as NMFS appears to have
assumed because NMFS’ analysis of
whether a spill may occur relies in part
on statistical probabilities based on past
incidents. AWL states that there appears
to have been a significant breakdown in
the system that was intended to both
prevent spills from occurring and
require adequate oil spill response
capabilities to limit the harm. AWL
states that NMFS must take into account
that there are likely gaps in the current
regulatory regime, and that given those
flaws, an analysis that relies on the
safety record of previous drilling is
doubtful as a predictive tool.
Response: As discussed in the
previous Response to Comment, no
drilling is planned for Shell during the
2010 open water season, therefore, these
activities will be considered in a
separate consultation if and when Shell
proposes to conduct exploratory drilling
because seismic activities do not raise
an oil-spill concern.
NEPA Concerns
Comment 39: AEWC believes that
NMFS, in direct contravention of the
law, excluded the public from the NEPA
process since NMFS did not release a
draft EA for the public to review and
provide comments prior to NMFS taking
its final action.
Response: Neither NEPA nor the
Council on Environmental Quality’s
(CEQ) regulations explicitly require
circulation of a draft EA for public
comment prior to finalizing the EA. The
Federal courts have upheld this
conclusion, and in one recent case, the
Ninth Circuit squarely addressed the
question of public involvement in the
development of an EA. In Bering Strait
Citizens for Responsible Resource
Development v. U.S. Army Corps of
Engineers (524 F.3d 938, 9th Cir. 2008),
the court held that the circulation of a
draft EA is not required in every case;
rather, Federal agencies should strive to
involve the public in the decisionmaking process by providing as much
environmental information as is
practicable prior to completion of the
EA so that the public has a sufficient
opportunity to weigh in on issues
pertinent to the agency’s decisionmaking process. In the case of Shell’s
2010 MMPA IHA request, NMFS
involved the public in the decisionmaking process by distributing Shell’s
IHA application and addenda for a 30-
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day notice and comment period.
However, at that time, a draft EA was
not available to provide to the public for
comment. The IHA application and
NMFS’ Notice of Proposed IHA (75 FR
27708; May 18, 2010) contained
information relating to the project. For
example, the application included a
project description, its location,
environmental matters such as species
and habitat to be affected, and measures
designed to minimize adverse impacts
to the environment and the availability
of affected species or stocks for
subsistence uses.
Comment 40: AEWC notes that Shell’s
IHA application warrants review in an
environmental impact statement (EIS)
given the potential for significant
impacts.
Response: NMFS’ 2010 EA was
prepared to evaluate whether significant
environmental impacts may result from
the issuance of an IHA to Shell, which
is an appropriate application of NEPA.
After completing the EA, NMFS
determined that there would not be
significant impacts to the human
environment and accordingly issued a
FONSI. Therefore, an EIS is not needed
for this action.
Comment 41: AEWC, AWL, and NSB
note that NMFS is preparing a
Programmatic EIS (PEIS). Although
MMS published a draft PEIS (PEIS;
MMS 2007) in the summer of 2007, to
date, a Final PEIS has not been
completed. AWL also notes that NMFS
and MMS have reaffirmed their
previous determination that a
programmatic EIS process is necessary
to address the overall, cumulative
impacts of increased oil and gas activity
in the Arctic Ocean and intend to
incorporate into that analysis new
scientific information as well as new
information about projected seismic and
exploratory drilling activity in both
seas. However, AWL and AEWC argue
that NEPA regulations make clear that
NMFS should not proceed with
authorizations for individual projects
like Shell’s surveying until its
programmatic EIS is complete. NSB
states that it would be regretful for Shell
to proceed on a one-year IHA when the
impact of those activities could have a
catastrophic impact on Arctic resources
and foreclose management options to be
developed in the forthcoming EIS.
Response: While the Final PEIS will
analyze the affected environment and
environmental consequences from
seismic surveys in the Arctic, the
analysis contained in the Final PEIS
will apply more broadly to Arctic oil
and gas operations. NMFS’ issuance of
an IHA to Shell for the taking of several
species of marine mammals incidental
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to conducting its open-water marine
survey program in the Chukchi and
Beaufort Seas in 2010, as analyzed in
the EA, is not expected to significantly
affect the quality of the human
environment. Shell’s surveys are not
expected to significantly affect the
quality of the human environment
because of the limited duration and
scope of Shell’s operations.
Additionally, the EA contained a full
analysis of cumulative impacts.
Miscellaneous Issues
Comment 42: The AEWC states that
Shell was unable to reach an accord on
the annual CAA with AEWC. AEWC
states that the CAA has historically
formed the basis for NMFS’ statutorily
required determination of no
unmitigable adverse impacts to
subsistence activities. Specifically,
AEWC states that Shell was not able to
reach agreement with AEWC on (1)
provisions for zero discharge and (2) on
the sound threshold for activities that
should be subject to sound source
verification procedures. AEWC requests
NMFS to fulfill its Congressional
mandate and ensure that Shell’s
activities do not have more than a
negligible impact on marine mammal
stocks or an unmitigable adverse impact
on the subsistence activities. The
Commission also recommends that
NMFS require Shell to engage in
consultations with Alaska Native
communities that may be affected by the
company’s activities and, to the extent
feasible, seek to resolve any Alaska
Native concerns through negotiation of
a CAA.
Response: AEWC states that the CAA
has historically formed the basis for
NMFS’ statutorily required
determination of no unmitigable adverse
impacts to subsistence activities, which
is incorrect. Under sections 101(a)(5)(A)
and (D) of the MMPA (16 U.S.C. 1361
et seq.), an IHA or LOA shall be granted
to U.S. citizens who engage in a
specified activity (other than
commercial fishing) within a specified
geographical region if NMFS finds that
the taking of marine mammals will have
a negligible impact on the species or
stock(s) and will not have an
unmitigable adverse impact on the
availability of the species or stock(s) for
certain subsistence uses, and if the
permissible methods of taking and
requirements pertaining to the
mitigation, monitoring and reporting of
such takings are set forth. In other
words, no marine mammal take
authorizations may be issued if NMFS
has reason to believe that the proposed
exploration or development activities
would have an unmitigable adverse
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impact on the availability of marine
mammal species or stock(s) for Alaskan
native subsistence uses. Although
Federal laws do not require consultation
with the native coastal communities
until after offshore exploration and
development plans have been finalized,
permitted, and authorized, prepermitting consultations between the oil
and gas industry and the Alaskan
coastal native communities are
considered by NMFS when the agency
makes a determination whether such
activities would have an unmitigable
adverse impact on the availability of
marine mammal species or stock(s) for
subsistence uses. For the proposed
marine surveys, Shell has conducted
POC meetings for its seismic operations
in the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas in the
communities and villages of Nuiqsut,
Kaktovik, Barrow, Kotzebue,
Wainwright, Point Lay, and Point Hope.
Shell has not signed the 2010 CAA
with Alaska Natives and has informed
NMFS that it does not intend to do so.
NMFS has scrutinized all of the
documents submitted by Shell (e.g., IHA
application, Plan of Cooperation and
other correspondence to NMFS and
affected stakeholders) and documents
submitted by other affected stakeholders
and concluded that harassment of
marine mammals incidental to Shell’s
activities will not have more than a
negligible impact on marine mammal
stocks or an unmitigable adverse impact
on the availability of marine mammals
for taking for subsistence uses. This
finding was based in large part on
NMFS’ definition of ‘‘negligible impact,’’
‘‘unmitigable adverse impact,’’ the
proposed mitigation and monitoring
measures, the scope of activities
proposed to be conducted, including
time of year, location and presence of
marine mammals in the project area,
and Shell’s Plan of Cooperation.
As described in Shell’s IHA
application, the source vessel will
transit through the Chukchi Sea along a
route that lies offshore of the polynya
zone. This entry into the Chukchi Sea
will not occur before July 1, 2010. In the
event the transit outside of the polynya
zone results in Shell having to move
away from ice, the source vessel may
enter into the polynya zone. If it is
necessary to move into the polynya
zone, Shell will notify the local
communities of the change in the transit
route through the Com Centers.
Shell has developed a
Communication Plan and will
implement the plan before initiating the
2010 program to coordinate activities
with local subsistence users as well as
Village Whaling Associations in order to
minimize the risk of interfering with
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subsistence hunting activities, and keep
current as to the timing and status of the
bowhead whale migration, as well as the
timing and status of other subsistence
hunts. The Communication Plan
includes procedures for coordination
with Communication and Call Centers
to be located in coastal villages along
the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas during
Shell’s program in 2010.
Shell will employ local Subsistence
Advisors from the Beaufort and Chukchi
Sea villages to provide consultation and
guidance regarding the whale migration
and subsistence hunt. There may be up
to nine subsistence advisor-liaison
positions (one per village), to work
approximately 8 hours per day and 40hour weeks through Shell’s 2010
program. The subsistence advisor will
use local knowledge to gather data on
subsistence lifestyle within the
community and advise as to ways to
minimize and mitigate potential impacts
to subsistence resources during program
activities. Responsibilities include
reporting any subsistence concerns or
conflicts; coordinating with subsistence
users; reporting subsistence-related
comments, concerns, and information;
and advising how to avoid subsistence
conflicts. A subsistence advisor
handbook will be developed prior to the
operational season to specify position
work tasks in more detail.
Shell will also implement flight
restrictions prohibiting aircraft from
flying within 1,000 ft (300 m) of marine
mammals or below 1,500 ft (457 m)
altitude (except during takeoffs and
landings or in emergency situations)
while over land or sea.
Besides bowhead whale hunting,
beluga whales are hunted for
subsistence at Barrow, Wainwright,
Point Lay, and Point Hope, with the
most taken by Point Lay (Fuller and
George 1997). Harvest at all of these
villages generally occurs between April
and July with most taken in April and
May when pack-ice conditions
deteriorate and leads open up. Ringed,
bearded, and spotted seals are hunted
by all of the villages bordering the
project area (Fuller and George 1997).
Ringed and bearded seals are hunted
throughout the year, but most are taken
in May, June, and July when ice breaks
up and there is open water instead of
the more difficult hunting of seals at
holes and lairs. Spotted seals are only
hunted in spring through summer.
Therefore, the scheduling of the
proposed marine surveys is expected to
have minimum conflict between the
industries and marine mammal
harvests.
Finally, the required mitigation and
monitoring measures are expected to
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reduce any adverse impacts on marine
mammals for taking for subsistence uses
to the extent practicable. These
measures include, but are not limited to,
the 180 dB and 190 dB safety (shutdown/power-down) zones; a
requirement to monitor the 160 dB
isopleths for aggregations of 12 or more
non-migratory balaenidae whales and
when necessary shut down seismic
airguns; reducing vessel speed to 10
knots or less when a vessel is within
300 yards of whales to avoid a collision;
utilizing communication centers to
avoid any conflict with subsistence
hunting activities; and the use of marine
mammal observers.
Measures related to ‘‘zero volume
discharge’’ do not affect NMFS’
negligible determination on impacts of
the species or stock(s) or the
unmitigable adverse impact
determination on the availability of the
species or stock(s) for certain
subsistence uses, as long as Shell’s
emission discharge is within the
guidelines set by the Environmental
Protection Agency (EPA). Regarding the
sound source verification (SSV), NMFS
requires Shell to conduct SSV tests for
all its airgun and active acoustic sources
and seismic and support vessels that
will be involved in the proposed marine
surveys.
Over the past several months, NMFS
has worked with both Alaska Native
communities and the industry, to the
extent feasible, to resolve any Alaska
Native concerns from the proposed open
water marine and seismic surveys.
These efforts include convening an open
water stakeholders’ meeting in
Anchorage, AK, in March 2010, and
multiple conference meetings with
representatives of the Alaska Native
communities and the industry. Lastly,
as mentioned previously in this
document, NMFS has included several
measures from the CAA in the IHA
issued to Shell.
Comment 43: AEWC notes that, in
2009, NMFS did not publish its
response to comments on proposed
IHAs activities conducted during the
open water season until well after the
fall subsistence hunt at Cross Island had
concluded and geophysical operations
had already taken place. AEWC states
that NMFS’ failure to release its
response to comments until after the
activities had taken place casts serious
doubt on the validity of NMFS’ public
involvement process and the underlying
analysis of impacts to subsistence
activities and marine mammals.
Response: NMFS does not agree with
AEWC’s statement that NMFS’ failure to
release its response to comments until
after the activities had taken place casts
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doubt on the validity of NMFS’ public
involvement process, or the underlying
analysis of impacts to subsistence
activities and marine mammals. As
stated earlier, the decision to issue an
IHA to Shell for its proposed marine
surveys in the Beaufort and Chukchi
Seas is based in large part on NMFS’
definition of ‘‘negligible impact,’’
‘‘unmitigable adverse impact,’’ the
proposed mitigation and monitoring
measures, the scope of activities
proposed to be conducted, including
time of year, location and presence of
marine mammals in the project area,
extensive research and studies on
potential impacts of anthropogenic
sounds to marine mammals, marine
mammal behavior, distribution, and
movements in the vicinity of Shell’s
proposed project areas, Shell’s Plan of
Cooperation, and on public comments
received during the commenting period
and peer-review recommendations by
an independent review panel. The
reason that NMFS was not able to
publish its response to comments on
proposed IHA activities in 2009 for
Shell’s shallow hazards and site
clearance surveys until the end of the
survey activities was due to the large
amount of comments NMFS received.
NMFS was able to review and analyze
all comments it received and address
their validity for the issuance of the
IHA. However, due to the large volume
of comments, NMFS was not able to
organize them into publishable format
to be incorporated into the Federal
Register notice for publication on a
timely basis. NMFS will strive to make
sure that all comments are addressed in
full and published by the time IHAs or
LOAs are issued.
Comment 44: AEWC states that Shell
failed to provide plans for community
engagement. AEWC states that Shell is
required to include in its application a
‘‘schedule for meeting with affected
subsistence communities to discuss
proposed activities and to resolve
potential conflicts regarding any aspects
of either the operation or the plan of
cooperation.’’ (50 CFR
216.104(a)(12)(ii)). However, AEWC
notes that in its application, Shell only
just mentions that it held a few meetings
and ‘‘anticipates continued
engagement.’’ AEWC argues that this
vague intention to participate in more
meetings with the affected communities
is insufficient and does not satisfy the
regulatory requirement. AEWC points
out that Shell is also required to provide
its plans for continuing to meet with
communities. AEWC notes that while
Shell mentions communicating with
communities via its SA and Com and
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Call Center program, which allows for
the availability of back and forth
communication, the company has
described no actual, planned
communication with the affected
communities.
Response: The information AEWC
contained in the comment is outdated.
Since the submission of Shell’s IHA
application, Shell indicated that it
completed its pre-season Plan of
Cooperation meetings for the 2010
season in early April 2010. Through the
Subsistence Advisor (SA) and Com and
Call Center (Com Center) program for
2010, Shell’s SA and Shell
representatives in the Com Centers will
be available daily to the communities
throughout the 2010 season. The SA and
Com Center programs provide residents
of the nearest affected communities a
way to communicate where and when
subsistence activities occur so that
industry may avoid conflicts with
planned subsistence activities.
Comment 45: NSB states that NMFS
should consider and address
disproportionate impacts in analyzing
the IHA application, that Federal
agencies must ‘‘make achieving
environmental justice part of * * *
[their] mission[s].’’ Compared to many
United States residents, NSB states that
Alaskan Natives face significant impacts
from oil and gas activities in the OCS.
NSB requests that NMFS thus
specifically address issues of
environmental justice in considering
this application and that NMFS must
also work to ensure effective public
participation and access to information,
and must ‘‘ensure that public
documents, notices, and hearings
relating to human health or the
environment are concise,
understandable, and readily accessible
to the public.’’
Response: Under section 101(a)(5)(D)
of the MMPA, NMFS is required to
determine whether the taking by the
applicant’s specified activity will take
only small numbers of marine
mammals, will have a negligible impact
on the affected marine mammal species
or population stocks, and will not have
an unmitigable impact on the
availability of affected species or stocks
for subsistence uses. Environmental
justice and other impacts to the human
environment are NMFS’ responsibility
under the NEPA and applicable
executive orders, not the MMPA. In that
regard, NMFS’ 2010 EA addresses the
potential cumulative impacts to the
socioeconomic environment, including
traditional knowledge, community and
economy of the Alaskan Arctic,
subsistence harvesting, and coastal and
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marine use issues. Please refer to NMFS’
2010 EA for these assessments.
In addition, NMFS has been working
with the public to ensure public
participation, which includes the public
review and comments on Shell’s IHA
application and the proposed IHA. All
documents related to this action are
available through the NMFS Office of
Protected Resources Web site at https://
www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/permits/
incidental.htm#applications.
Description of Marine Mammals in the
Area of the Specified Activity
Nine cetacean and four pinniped
species under NMFS jurisdiction could
occur in the general area of Shell’s open
water marine survey areas in the
Beaufort and Chukchi Seas. The species
most likely to occur in the general area
near Harrison Bay in the Alaskan
Beaufort Sea include two cetacean
species: Beluga (Delphinapterus leucas)
and bowhead whales (Balaena
mysticetus) and three seal species:
Ringed (Phoca hispida), spotted (P.
largha), and bearded seals (Erignathus
barbatus). Most encounters are likely to
occur in nearshore shelf habitats or
along the ice edge. The marine mammal
species that is likely to be encountered
most widely (in space and time)
throughout the period of the planned
shallow hazards surveys is the ringed
seal. Encounters with bowhead and
beluga whales are expected to be limited
to particular regions and seasons, as
discussed below.
Other marine mammal species that
have been observed in the Beaufort and
Chukchi Seas but are less frequent or
uncommon in the Beaufort Sea project
area include harbor porpoise (Phocoena
phocoena), narwhal (Monodon
monoceros), killer whale (Orcinus orca),
fin whale (Balaenoptera physalus),
minke whale (B. acutorostrata),
humpback whale (Megaptera
novaeangliae), gray whale (Eschrichtius
robustus), and ribbon seal (Histriophoca
fasciata). These species could occur in
the project area, but each of these
species is uncommon or rare in the area
and relatively few encounters with these
species are expected during the
proposed marine surveys. The narwhal
occurs in Canadian waters and
occasionally in the Beaufort Sea, but it
is rare there and is not expected to be
encountered. There are scattered records
of narwhal in Alaskan waters, including
reports by subsistence hunters, where
the species is considered extralimital
(Reeves et al. 2002). Point Barrow,
Alaska, is the approximate northeastern
extent of the harbor porpoise’s regular
range (Suydam and George 1992),
though there are extralimital records
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49731
east to the mouth of the Mackenzie
River in the Northwest Territories,
Canada, and recent sightings in the
Beaufort Sea in the vicinity of Prudhoe
Bay during surveys in 2007 and 2008
(Christie et al. 2009). Monnett and
Treacy (2005) did not report any harbor
porpoise sightings during aerial surveys
in the Beaufort Sea from 2002 through
2004. Humpback, fin, and minke whales
have recently been sighted in the
Chukchi Sea but very rarely in the
Beaufort Sea. Greene et al. (2007)
reported and photographed a humpback
whale cow/calf pair east of Barrow near
Smith Bay in 2007, which is the first
known occurrence of humpbacks in the
Beaufort Sea. Savarese et al. (2009)
reported one minke whale sighting in
the Beaufort Sea in 2007 and 2008.
Ribbon seals do not normally occur in
the Beaufort Sea; however, two ribbon
seal sightings were reported during
vessel-based activities near Prudhoe Bay
in 2008 (Savarese et al. 2009).
The bowhead and humpback whales
are listed as ‘‘endangered’’ under the
Endangered Species Act (ESA) and as
depleted under the MMPA. Certain
stocks or populations of gray, beluga,
and killer whales and spotted seals are
listed as endangered or proposed for
listing under the ESA; however, none of
those stocks or populations occur in the
proposed activity area. Additionally, the
ribbon seal is considered a ‘‘species of
concern’’ under the ESA, and the
bearded and ringed seals are ‘‘candidate
species’’ under the ESA, meaning they
are currently being considered for
listing.
Shell’s application contains
information on the status, distribution,
seasonal distribution, and abundance of
each of the species under NMFS
jurisdiction mentioned in this
document. Please refer to the
application for that information (see
ADDRESSES). Additional information can
also be found in the NMFS Stock
Assessment Reports (SAR). The Alaska
2009 SAR is available at: https://www.
nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/pdfs/sars/ak2009.pdf.
Monitoring Plan Peer Review
The MMPA requires that monitoring
plans be independently peer reviewed
‘‘where the proposed activity may affect
the availability of a species or stock for
taking for subsistence uses’’ (16 U.S.C.
1371(a)(5)(D)(ii)(III)). Regarding this
requirement, NMFS’ implementing
regulations state, ‘‘Upon receipt of a
complete monitoring plan, and at its
discretion, [NMFS] will either submit
the plan to members of a peer review
panel for review or within 60 days of
receipt of the proposed monitoring plan,
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schedule a workshop to review the
plan’’ (50 CFR 216.108(d)).
NMFS convened an independent peer
review panel to review Shell’s Marine
Mammal Monitoring and Mitigation
Plan (4MP) for the Open Water Marine
Survey Program in the Beaufort and
Chukchi Seas, Alaska, during 2010. The
panel met on March 25 and 26, 2010,
and provided their final report to NMFS
on April 22, 2010. The full panel report
can be viewed at: https://www.nmfs.
noaa.gov/pr/permits/incidental.htm#
applications.
NMFS provided the panel with
Shell’s 4MP and asked the panel to
address the following questions and
issues for Shell’s plan:
(1) The monitoring program should
document the effects (including
acoustic) on marine mammals and
document or estimate the actual level of
take as a result of the activity. Does the
monitoring plan meet this goal?
(2) Ensure that the monitoring
activities and methods described in the
plan will enable the applicant to meet
the requirements listed in (1) above;
(3) Are the applicant’s objectives
achievable based on the methods
described in the plan?
(4) Are the applicant’s objectives the
most useful for understanding impacts
on marine mammals?
(5) Should the applicant consider
additional monitoring methods or
modifications of proposed monitoring
methods for the proposed activity? And
(6) What is the best way for an
applicant to report their data and results
to NMFS?
Section 3 of the report contains
recommendations that the panel
members felt were applicable to all of
the monitoring plans reviewed this year.
Section 4.4 of the report contains
recommendations specific to Shell’s
Open Water Marine Survey Program
4MP. Specifically, for the general
recommendations, the panel
commented on issues related to: (1)
Acoustic effects of oil and gas
exploration—assessment and mitigation;
(2) aerial surveys; (3) MMOs; (4) visual
near-field monitoring; (5) visual far-field
monitoring; (6) baseline biological and
environmental information; (7)
comprehensive ecosystem assessments
and cumulative impacts; (8) duplication
of seismic survey effort; and (9) whale
behavior.
NMFS has reviewed the report and
evaluated all recommendations made by
the panel. NMFS has determined that
there are several measures that Shell can
incorporate into its 2010 Open Water
Marine Survey Program 4MP to improve
it. Additionally, there are other
recommendations that NMFS has
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determined would also result in better
data collection, and could potentially be
implemented by oil and gas industry
applicants, but which likely could not
be implemented for the 2010 open water
season due to technical issues (see
below). While it may not be possible to
implement those changes this year,
NMFS believes that they are worthwhile
and appropriate suggestions that may
require a bit more time to implement,
and Shell should consider incorporating
them into future monitoring plans
should Shell decide to apply for IHAs
in the future.
The following subsections lay out
measures that NMFS recommends for
implementation as part of the 2010
Open Water Marine Survey Program
4MP and those that are recommended
for future programs.
Recommendations for Inclusion in the
2010 4MP and IHA
Section 3.3 of the panel report
contains several recommendations
regarding MMOs, which NMFS agrees
that Shell should incorporate:
• Observers should be trained using
visual aids (e.g., videos, photos), to help
them identify the species that they are
likely to encounter in the conditions
under which the animals will likely be
seen.
• Observers should understand the
importance of classifying marine
mammals as ‘‘unknown’’ or
‘‘unidentified’’ if they cannot identify
the animals to species with confidence.
In those cases, they should note any
information that might aid in the
identification of the marine mammal
sighted. For example, for an
unidentified mysticete whale, the
observers should record whether the
animal had a dorsal fin.
• Observers should attempt to
maximize the time spent looking at the
water and guarding the safety radii.
They should avoid the tendency to
spend too much time evaluating animal
behavior or entering data on forms, both
of which detract from their primary
purpose of monitoring the safety zone.
• ‘Big eye’ binoculars (25 × 150)
should be used from high perches on
large, stable platforms. They are most
useful for monitoring impact zones that
extend beyond the effective line of sight.
With two or three observers on watch,
the use of ‘big eyes’ should be paired
with searching by naked eye, the latter
allowing visual coverage of nearby areas
to detect marine mammals. When a
single observer is on duty, the observer
should follow a regular schedule of
shifting between searching by nakedeye, low-power binoculars, and big-eye
binoculars based on the activity, the
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environmental conditions, and the
marine mammals of concern.
• Observers should use the best
possible positions for observing (e.g.,
outside and as high on the vessel as
possible), taking into account weather
and other working conditions.
• Whenever possible, new observers
should be paired with experienced
observers to avoid situations where lack
of experience impairs the quality of
observations. If there are Alaska Native
MMOs, the MMO training that is
conducted prior to the start of the
survey activities should be conducted
with both Alaska Native MMOs and
biologist MMOs being trained at the
same time in the same room. There
should not be separate training courses
for the different MMOs.
In Section 3.4, panelists recommend
collecting some additional data to help
verify the utility of the ‘‘ramp-up’’
requirement commonly contained in
IHAs. To help evaluate the utility of
ramp-up procedures, NMFS will require
observers to record and report their
observations during any ramp-up
period. An analysis of these
observations may lead to the conclusion
regarding the effectiveness of ramp-up
and should be included in the
monitoring report.
Among other things, Section 3.5 of the
panel report recommends recording
visibility data because of the concern
that the line-of-sight distance for
observing marine mammals is reduced
under certain conditions. MMOs should
‘‘carefully document visibility during
observation periods so that total
estimates of take can be corrected
accordingly’’.
Section 4.4 of the report contains
recommendations specific to Shell’s
Open Water Marine Survey Program
4MP. Of the recommendations
presented in this section, NMFS has
determined that the following should be
implemented for the 2010 season:
• Summarize observation effort and
conditions, the number of animals seen
by species, the location and time of each
sighting, position relative to the survey
vessel, the company’s activity at the
time, each animal’s response, and any
adjustments made to operating
procedures. Provide all spatial data on
charts (always including vessel
location).
• Make all data available in the report
or (preferably) electronically for
integration with data from other
companies.
• Accommodate specific requests for
raw data, including tracks of all vessels
and aircraft associated with the
operation and activity logs documenting
when and what types of sounds are
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introduced into the environment by the
operation.
NMFS spoke with Shell about the
inclusion of these recommendations
into the 2010 4MP and IHA. Shell
indicated to NMFS that they will
incorporate these recommendations into
the 4MP, and NMFS has made several
of these recommendations requirements
in the IHA.
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Recommendations for Inclusion in
Future Monitoring Plans
Section 3.5 of the report recommends
methods for conducting comprehensive
monitoring of a large-scale seismic
operation. One method for conducting
this monitoring recommended by panel
members is the use of passive acoustic
devices. Additionally, Section 3.2 of the
report encourages the use of such
systems if aerial surveys will not be
used for real-time mitigation
monitoring. NMFS acknowledges that
there are challenges involved in using
this technology to detect bowhead
whale vocalizations in conjunction with
seismic airguns in this environment,
especially in real time. However, NMFS
recommends that Shell work to help
develop and improve this type of
technology for use in the Arctic (and use
it once it is available and effective), as
it could be valuable both for real-time
mitigation implementation, as well as
archival data collection. Shell indicated
to NMFS that they have been working
for several years to aid in the
development of such technology and
will continue to do so.
The panelists also recommend adding
a tagging component to monitoring
plans. ‘‘Tagging of animals expected to
be in the area where the survey is
planned also may provide valuable
information on the location of
potentially affected animals and their
behavioral responses to industrial
activities. Although the panel
recognized that such comprehensive
monitoring might be difficult and
expensive, such an effort (or set of
efforts) reflects the complex nature of
the challenge of conducting reliable,
comprehensive monitoring for seismic
or other relatively-intense industrial
operations that ensonify large areas of
ocean.’’ While this particular
recommendation is not feasible for
implementation in 2010, NMFS
recommends that Shell consider adding
a tagging component to future seismic
survey monitoring plans should Shell
decide to conduct such activities in
future years. Shell currently helps to
fund the U.S. Geological Survey’s
walrus tagging project in the Arctic and
is open to the idea of helping to fund
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other marine mammal tagging projects
in the Arctic.
To the extent possible, NMFS
recommends implementing the
recommendation contained in Section
4.4.6 for the 2010 season: ‘‘Integrate all
observer data with information from
tagging and acoustic studies to provide
a more comprehensive description of
the acoustic environment during its
survey.’’ However, NMFS recognizes
that this integration process may take
time to implement. Therefore, Shell
should begin considering methods for
the integration of the observer data now
if Shell intends to apply for IHAs in the
future.
In Section 3.4, panelists recommend
collecting data to evaluate the efficacy
of using forward-looking infrared
devices (FLIR) vs. night-vision
binoculars. The panelists note that
while both of these devices may
increase detection capabilities by MMOs
of marine mammals, the reliability of
these technologies should be tested
under appropriate conditions and their
efficacy evaluated. NMFS recommends
that Shell design a study to explore
using both FLIR and night-vision
binoculars and collect data on levels of
detection of marine mammals using
each type of device.
Other Recommendations in the Report
The panel also made several
recommendations, which are not
discussed in the two preceding
subsections. NMFS determined that
many of the recommendations were
made beyond the bounds of what the
panel members were tasked to do. For
example, the panel recommended that
NMFS begin a transition away from
using a single metric of acoustic
exposure to estimate the potential
effects of anthropogenic sound on
marine living resources. This is not a
recommendation about monitoring but
rather addresses a NMFS policy issue.
NMFS is currently in the process of
revising its acoustic guidelines on a
national scale. A recommendation was
also made regarding the training and
oversight of MMOs. NMFS is currently
working on a national policy for this as
well Section 3.7 of the report contains
several recommendations regarding
comprehensive ecosystem assessments
and cumulative impacts. These are
good, broad recommendations, however,
the implementation of these
recommendations would not be the
responsibility solely of oil and gas
industry applicants. The
recommendations require the
cooperation and input of several groups,
including Federal, state, and local
government agencies, members of other
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49733
industries, and members of the
scientific research community. NMFS
will encourage the industry and others
to build the relationships and
infrastructure necessary to pursue these
goals, and incorporate these
recommendations into future MMPA
authorizations, as appropriate. Lastly,
Section 3.8 of the report makes a
recommendation regarding data sharing
and reducing the duplication of seismic
survey effort. While this is a valid
recommendation, it does not relate to
monitoring or address any of the six
questions with which the panel
members were tasked to answer.
For some of the recommendations,
NMFS felt that additional clarification
was required by the panel members
before NMFS could determine whether
or not applicants should incorporate
them into the monitoring plans. Section
3.2 of the report discusses the use of and
methods for conducting aerial surveys.
Industry applicants have not conducted
aerial surveys in Chukchi Sea lease sale
areas for several years because of the
increased risk for flying there (as noted
by the panel report). To that end, NMFS
has asked the panel to provide
recommendations on whether or not
similar surveys could be conducted
from dedicated vessel-based platforms.
NMFS also asked for additional
clarification on some of the
recommendations regarding data
collection and take estimate
calculations. In addition, NMFS asked
the panel members for clarification on
the recommendation contained in
Section 3.6 regarding baseline studies.
Lastly, NMFS asked the panel members
for clarification on the recommendation
specific to Shell contained in Section
4.4 regarding estimating statistical
power for all methods intended to
detect adverse impacts. Once NMFS
hears back from the panel and is clear
with these recommendations, NMFS
will follow up with Shell and discuss
the implementation of these additional
measures in future years.
Potential Effects of the Specified
Activity on Marine Mammals
Operating a variety of active acoustic
sources such as airguns, side-scan
sonars, echo-sounders, and sub-bottom
profilers for site clearance and shallow
hazard surveys, ice gouge, and strudel
surveys can impact marine mammals in
a variety of ways.
Potential Effects of Airgun and Sonar
Sounds on Marine Mammals
The effects of sounds from airgun
pulses might include one or more of the
following: tolerance, masking of natural
sounds, behavioral disturbance, and
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temporary or permanent hearing
impairment or non-auditory effects
(Richardson et al. 1995). As outlined in
previous NMFS documents, the effects
of noise on marine mammals are highly
variable, and can be categorized as
follows (based on Richardson et al.
1995):
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(1) Tolerance
Numerous studies have shown that
pulsed sounds from airguns are often
readily detectable in the water at
distances of many kilometers.
Numerous studies have also shown that
marine mammals at distances more than
a few kilometers from operating seismic
vessels often show no apparent
response. That is often true even in
cases when the pulsed sounds must be
readily audible to the animals based on
measured received levels and the
hearing sensitivity of that mammal
group. Although various baleen whales,
toothed whales, and (less frequently)
pinnipeds have been shown to react
behaviorally to airgun pulses under
some conditions, at other times,
mammals of all three types have shown
no overt reactions. In general, pinnipeds
and small odontocetes seem to be more
tolerant of exposure to airgun pulses
than baleen whales.
(2) Behavioral Disturbance
Marine mammals may behaviorally
react to sound when exposed to
anthropogenic noise. These behavioral
reactions are often shown as: changing
durations of surfacing and dives,
number of blows per surfacing, or
moving direction and/or speed;
reduced/increased vocal activities;
changing/cessation of certain behavioral
activities (such as socializing or
feeding); visible startle response or
aggressive behavior (such as tail/fluke
slapping or jaw clapping); avoidance of
areas where noise sources are located;
and/or flight responses (e.g., pinnipeds
flushing into water from haulouts or
rookeries).
The biological significance of many of
these behavioral disturbances is difficult
to predict, especially if the detected
disturbances appear minor. However,
the consequences of behavioral
modification could be expected to be
biologically significant if the change
affects growth, survival, and
reproduction. Some of these significant
behavioral modifications include:
• Drastic change in diving/surfacing
patterns (such as those thought to be
causing beaked whale stranding due to
exposure to military mid-frequency
tactical sonar);
• Habitat abandonment due to loss of
desirable acoustic environment; and
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• Cease feeding or social interaction.
For example, at the Guerreo Negro
Lagoon in Baja California, Mexico,
which is one of the important breeding
grounds for Pacific gray whales,
shipping and dredging associated with a
salt works may have induced gray
whales to abandon the area through
most of the 1960s (Bryant et al. 1984).
After these activities stopped, the
lagoon was reoccupied, first by single
whales and later by cow-calf pairs.
The onset of behavioral disturbance
from anthropogenic noise depends on
both external factors (characteristics of
noise sources and their paths) and the
receiving animals (hearing, motivation,
experience, demography) and is also
difficult to predict (Southall et al. 2007).
Currently NMFS uses 160 dB re 1 μPa
at received level for impulse noises
(such as airgun pulses) as the onset of
marine mammal behavioral harassment.
Mysticete: Baleen whales generally
tend to avoid operating airguns, but
avoidance radii are quite variable.
Whales are often reported to show no
overt reactions to airgun pulses at
distances beyond a few kilometers, even
though the airgun pulses remain well
above ambient noise levels out to much
longer distances (reviewed in
Richardson et al. 1995; Gordon et al.
2004). However, studies done since the
late 1990s of migrating humpback and
migrating bowhead whales show
reactions, including avoidance, that
sometimes extend to greater distances
than documented earlier. Avoidance
distances often exceed the distances at
which boat-based observers can see
whales, so observations from the source
vessel can be biased. Observations over
broader areas may be needed to
determine the range of potential effects
of some large-source seismic surveys
where effects on cetaceans may extend
to considerable distances (Richardson et
al. 1999; Moore and Angliss 2006).
Longer-range observations, when
required, can sometimes be obtained via
systematic aerial surveys or aircraftbased observations of behavior (e.g.,
Richardson et al. 1986, 1999; Miller et
al. 1999, 2005; Yazvenko et al. 2007a,
2007b) or by use of observers on one or
more support vessels operating in
coordination with the seismic vessel
(e.g., Smultea et al. 2004; Johnson et al.
2007). However, the presence of other
vessels near the source vessel can, at
least at times, reduce sightability of
cetaceans from the source vessel
(Beland et al. 2009), thus complicating
interpretation of sighting data.
Some baleen whales show
considerable tolerance of seismic
pulses. However, when the pulses are
strong enough, avoidance or other
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behavioral changes become evident.
Because the responses become less
obvious with diminishing received
sound level, it has been difficult to
determine the maximum distance (or
minimum received sound level) at
which reactions to seismic become
evident and, hence, how many whales
are affected.
Studies of gray, bowhead, and
humpback whales have determined that
received levels of pulses in the 160–170
dB re 1 μPa (rms) range seem to cause
obvious avoidance behavior in a
substantial fraction of the animals
exposed (see review in Southall et al.
2007). In many areas, seismic pulses
diminish to these levels at distances
ranging from 4–15 km from the source.
A substantial proportion of the baleen
whales within such distances may show
avoidance or other strong disturbance
reactions to the operating airgun array.
However, in other situations, various
mysticetes tolerate exposure to full-scale
airgun arrays operating at even closer
distances, with only localized avoidance
and minor changes in activities. At the
other extreme, in migrating bowhead
whales, avoidance often extends to
considerably larger distances (20–30
km) and lower received sound levels
(120–130 dB re 1 μPa (rms)). Also, even
in cases where there is no conspicuous
avoidance or change in activity upon
exposure to sound pulses from distant
seismic operations, there are sometimes
subtle changes in behavior (e.g.,
surfacing-respiration-dive cycles) that
are only evident through detailed
statistical analysis (e.g., Richardson et
al. 1986; Gailey et al. 2007).
Data on short-term reactions by
cetaceans to impulsive noises are not
necessarily indicative of long-term or
biologically significant effects. It is not
known whether impulsive sounds affect
reproductive rate or distribution and
habitat use in subsequent days or years.
However, gray whales have continued to
migrate annually along the west coast of
North America despite intermittent
seismic exploration (and much ship
traffic) in that area for decades
(Appendix A in Malme et al. 1984;
Richardson et al. 1995), and there has
been a substantial increase in the
population over recent decades (Allen
and Angliss 2010). The western Pacific
gray whale population did not seem
affected by a seismic survey in its
feeding ground during a prior year
(Johnson et al. 2007). Similarly,
bowhead whales have continued to
travel to the eastern Beaufort Sea each
summer despite seismic exploration in
their summer and autumn range for
many years (Richardson et al. 1987),
and their numbers have increased
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notably (Allen and Angliss 2010).
Bowheads also have been observed over
periods of days or weeks in areas
ensonified repeatedly by seismic pulses
(Richardson et al. 1987; Harris et al.
2007). However, it is generally not
known whether the same individual
bowheads were involved in these
repeated observations (within and
between years) in strongly ensonified
areas. In any event, in the absence of
some unusual circumstances, the
history of coexistence between seismic
surveys and baleen whales suggests that
brief exposures to sound pulses from
any single seismic survey are unlikely to
result in prolonged effects.
Odontocete: Little systematic
information is available about reactions
of toothed whales to airgun pulses. Few
studies similar to the more extensive
baleen whale/seismic pulse work
summarized above have been reported
for toothed whales. However, there are
recent systematic data on sperm whales
(e.g., Gordon et al. 2006; Madsen et al.
2006; Winsor and Mate 2006; Jochens et
al. 2008; Miller et al. 2009). There is
also an increasing amount of
information about responses of various
odontocetes to seismic surveys based on
monitoring studies (e.g., Stone 2003;
Smultea et al. 2004; Moulton and Miller
2005; Bain and Williams 2006; Holst et
al. 2006; Stone and Tasker 2006; Potter
et al. 2007; Hauser et al. 2008; Holst and
Smultea 2008; Weir 2008; Barkaszi et al.
2009; Richardson et al. 2009).
Dolphins and porpoises are often seen
by observers on active seismic vessels,
occasionally at close distances (e.g., bow
riding). However, some studies near the
U.K., Newfoundland and Angola, in the
Gulf of Mexico, and off Central America
have shown localized avoidance. Also,
belugas summering in the Canadian
Beaufort Sea showed larger-scale
avoidance, tending to avoid waters out
to 10–20 km from operating seismic
vessels. In contrast, recent studies show
little evidence of conspicuous reactions
by sperm whales to airgun pulses,
contrary to earlier indications.
There are almost no specific data on
responses of beaked whales to seismic
surveys, but it is likely that most if not
all species show strong avoidance.
There is increasing evidence that some
beaked whales may strand after
exposure to strong noise from tactical
military mid-frequency sonars. Whether
they ever do so in response to seismic
survey noise is unknown. Northern
bottlenose whales seem to continue to
call when exposed to pulses from
distant seismic vessels.
For delphinids, and possibly the
Dall’s porpoise, the available data
suggest that a ≥170 dB re 1 μPa (rms)
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disturbance criterion (rather than ≥160
dB) would be appropriate. With a
medium-to-large airgun array, received
levels typically diminish to 170 dB
within 1–4 km, whereas levels typically
remain above 160 dB out to 4–15 km
(e.g., Tolstoy et al. 2009). Reaction
distances for delphinids are more
consistent with the typical 170 dB re 1
μParms distances.
Due to their relatively higher
frequency hearing ranges when
compared to mysticetes, odontocetes
may have stronger responses to midand high-frequency sources such as subbottom profilers, side scan sonar, and
echo sounders than mysticetes
(Richardson et al. 1995; Southall et al.
2007). Although the mid- and highfrequency active acoustic sources with
operating frequency between 2 and 50
kHz planned to be used by Shell have
much lower power outputs (167–200 dB
re 1 μPa @ 1 m at source level) than
those from the airguns, they could cause
mild behavior reactions to odontocete
whales because their operating
frequencies fall within the sensitive
hearing range of these animals.
However, scientific information is
lacking on specific behavioral responses
by odontocetes to mid- and highfrequency sources. Nevertheless, based
on our current knowledge on mysticete
reaction towards low-frequency airgun
pulses, we could induce that more or
less similar reactions could be exhibited
by odontocete whales towards mid- and
high-frequency sources.
Pinnipeds: Few studies of the
reactions of pinnipeds to noise from
open-water seismic exploration have
been published (for review of the early
literature, see Richardson et al. 1995).
However, pinnipeds have been observed
during a number of seismic monitoring
studies. Monitoring in the Beaufort Sea
during 1996–2002 provided a
substantial amount of information on
avoidance responses (or lack thereof)
and associated behavior. Additional
monitoring of that type has been done
in the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas in
2006–2009. Pinnipeds exposed to
seismic surveys have also been observed
during seismic surveys along the U.S.
west coast. Some limited data are
available on physiological responses of
pinnipeds exposed to seismic sound, as
studied with the aid of radio telemetry.
Also, there are data on the reactions of
pinnipeds to various other related types
of impulsive sounds.
Early observations provided
considerable evidence that pinnipeds
are often quite tolerant of strong pulsed
sounds. During seismic exploration off
Nova Scotia, gray seals exposed to noise
from airguns and linear explosive
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49735
charges reportedly did not react strongly
(J. Parsons in Greene et al. 1985). An
airgun caused an initial startle reaction
among South African fur seals but was
ineffective in scaring them away from
fishing gear. Pinnipeds in both water
and air sometimes tolerate strong noise
pulses from non-explosive and
explosive scaring devices, especially if
attracted to the area for feeding or
reproduction (Mate and Harvey 1987;
Reeves et al. 1996). Thus, pinnipeds are
expected to be rather tolerant of, or to
habituate to, repeated underwater
sounds from distant seismic sources, at
least when the animals are strongly
attracted to the area.
In summary, visual monitoring from
seismic vessels has shown only slight (if
any) avoidance of airguns by pinnipeds,
and only slight (if any) changes in
behavior. These studies show that many
pinnipeds do not avoid the area within
a few hundred meters of an operating
airgun array. However, based on the
studies with large sample size, or
observations from a separate monitoring
vessel, or radio telemetry, it is apparent
that some phocid seals do show
localized avoidance of operating
airguns. The limited nature of this
tendency for avoidance is a concern. It
suggests that one cannot rely on
pinnipeds to move away, or to move
very far away, before received levels of
sound from an approaching seismic
survey vessel approach those that may
cause hearing impairment.
(3) Masking
Chronic exposure to excessive, though
not high-intensity, noise could cause
masking at particular frequencies for
marine mammals that utilize sound for
vital biological functions. Masking can
interfere with detection of acoustic
signals such as communication calls,
echolocation sounds, and
environmental sounds important to
marine mammals. Since marine
mammals depend on acoustic cues for
vital biological functions, such as
orientation, communication, finding
prey, and avoiding predators, marine
mammals that experience severe
acoustic masking will have reduced
fitness in survival and reproduction.
Masking occurs when noise and
signals (that animal utilizes) overlap at
both spectral and temporal scales. For
the airgun noise generated from the
proposed marine seismic survey, these
are low frequency (under 1 kHz) pulses
with extremely short durations (in the
scale of milliseconds). Lower frequency
man-made noises are more likely to
affect detection of communication calls
and other potentially important natural
sounds such as surf and prey noise.
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There is little concern regarding
masking due to the brief duration of
these pulses and relatively longer
silence between airgun shots (9–12
seconds) near the noise source,
however, at long distances (over tens of
kilometers away) in deep water, due to
multipath propagation and
reverberation, the durations of airgun
pulses can be ‘‘stretched’’ to seconds
with long decays (Madsen et al. 2006;
Clark and Gagnon 2006). Therefore it
could affect communication signals
used by low frequency mysticetes when
they occur near the noise band and thus
reduce the communication space of
animals (e.g., Clark et al. 2009a, 2009b)
and cause increased stress levels (e.g.,
Foote et al. 2004; Holt et al. 2009).
Further, in areas of shallow water,
multipath propagation of airgun pulses
could be more profound, thus affecting
communication signals from marine
mammals even at close distances.
Nevertheless, the intensity of the noise
is also greatly reduced at such long
distances.
Although masking effects of pulsed
sounds on marine mammal calls and
other natural sounds are expected to be
limited, there are few specific studies on
this. Some whales continue calling in
the presence of seismic pulses and
whale calls often can be heard between
the seismic pulses (e.g., Richardson et
al. 1986; McDonald et al. 1995; Greene
et al. 1999a, 1999b; Nieukirk et al. 2004;
Smultea et al. 2004; Holst et al. 2005a,
2005b, 2006; Dunn and Hernandez
2009). However, there is one recent
summary report indicating that calling
fin whales distributed in one part of the
North Atlantic went silent for an
extended period starting soon after the
onset of a seismic survey in the area
(Clark and Gagnon 2006). It is not clear
from that preliminary paper whether the
whales ceased calling because of
masking, or whether this was a
behavioral response not directly
involving masking. Also, bowhead
whales in the Beaufort Sea may decrease
their call rates in response to seismic
operations, although movement out of
the area might also have contributed to
the lower call detection rate (Blackwell
et al. 2009a; 2009b).
Among the odontocetes, there has
been one report that sperm whales
ceased calling when exposed to pulses
from a very distant seismic ship (Bowles
et al. 1994). However, more recent
studies of sperm whales found that they
continued calling in the presence of
seismic pulses (Madsen et al. 2002;
Tyack et al. 2003; Smultea et al. 2004;
Holst et al. 2006; Jochens et al. 2008).
Madsen et al. (2006) noted that airgun
sounds would not be expected to mask
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sperm whale calls given the intermittent
nature of airgun pulses. Dolphins and
porpoises are also commonly heard
calling while airguns are operating
(Gordon et al. 2004; Smultea et al. 2004;
Holst et al. 2005a, 2005b; Potter et al.
2007). Masking effects of seismic pulses
are expected to be negligible in the case
of the smaller odontocetes, given the
intermittent nature of seismic pulses
plus the fact that sounds important to
them are predominantly at much higher
frequencies than are the dominant
components of airgun sounds.
Pinnipeds have best hearing
sensitivity and/or produce most of their
sounds at frequencies higher than the
dominant components of airgun sound,
but there is some overlap in the
frequencies of the airgun pulses and the
calls. However, the intermittent nature
of airgun pulses presumably reduces the
potential for masking.
Marine mammals are thought to be
able to compensate for masking by
adjusting their acoustic behavior such as
shifting call frequencies, increasing call
volume and vocalization rates. For
example, blue whales are found to
increase call rates when exposed to
seismic survey noise in the St. Lawrence
Estuary (Di Iorio and Clark 2009). The
North Atlantic right whales (Eubalaena
glacialis) exposed to high shipping
noise increase call frequency (Parks et
al. 2007), while some humpback whales
respond to low-frequency active sonar
playbacks by increasing song length
(Miller et al. 2000).
(4) Hearing Impairment
Marine mammals exposed to high
intensity sound repeatedly or for
prolonged periods can experience
hearing threshold shift (TS), which is
the loss of hearing sensitivity at certain
frequency ranges (Kastak et al. 1999;
Schlundt et al. 2000; Finneran et al.
2002; 2005). TS can be permanent
(PTS), in which case the loss of hearing
sensitivity is unrecoverable, or
temporary (TTS), in which case the
animal’s hearing threshold will recover
over time (Southall et al. 2007). Just like
masking, marine mammals that suffer
from PTS or TTS will have reduced
fitness in survival and reproduction,
either permanently or temporarily.
Repeated noise exposure that leads to
TTS could cause PTS. For transient
sounds, the sound level necessary to
cause TTS is inversely related to the
duration of the sound.
TTS: TTS is the mildest form of
hearing impairment that can occur
during exposure to a strong sound
(Kryter 1985). While experiencing TTS,
the hearing threshold rises and a sound
must be stronger in order to be heard.
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It is a temporary phenomenon, and
(especially when mild) is not
considered to represent physical
damage or ‘‘injury’’ (Southall et al.
2007). Rather, the onset of TTS is an
indicator that, if the animal is exposed
to higher levels of that sound, physical
damage is ultimately a possibility.
The magnitude of TTS depends on the
level and duration of noise exposure,
and to some degree on frequency,
among other considerations (Kryter
1985; Richardson et al. 1995; Southall et
al. 2007). For sound exposures at or
somewhat above the TTS threshold,
hearing sensitivity recovers rapidly after
exposure to the noise ends. In terrestrial
mammals, TTS can last from minutes or
hours to (in cases of strong TTS) days.
Only a few data have been obtained on
sound levels and durations necessary to
elicit mild TTS in marine mammals
(none in mysticetes), and none of the
published data concern TTS elicited by
exposure to multiple pulses of sound
during operational seismic surveys
(Southall et al. 2007).
For toothed whales, experiments on a
bottlenose dolphin (Tursiops truncates)
and beluga whale showed that exposure
to a single watergun impulse at a
received level of 207 kPa (or 30 psi)
peak-to-peak (p-p), which is equivalent
to 228 dB re 1 μPa (p-p), resulted in a
7 and 6 dB TTS in the beluga whale at
0.4 and 30 kHz, respectively.
Thresholds returned to within 2 dB of
the pre-exposure level within 4 minutes
of the exposure (Finneran et al. 2002).
No TTS was observed in the bottlenose
dolphin.
Finneran et al. (2005) further
examined the effects of tone duration on
TTS in bottlenose dolphins. Bottlenose
dolphins were exposed to 3 kHz tones
(non-impulsive) for periods of 1, 2, 4 or
8 seconds (s), with hearing tested at 4.5
kHz. For 1-s exposures, TTS occurred
with SELs of 197 dB, and for exposures
>1 s, SEL >195 dB resulted in TTS (SEL
is equivalent to energy flux, in dB re 1
μPa2-s). At an SEL of 195 dB, the mean
TTS (4 min after exposure) was 2.8 dB.
Finneran et al. (2005) suggested that an
SEL of 195 dB is the likely threshold for
the onset of TTS in dolphins and
belugas exposed to tones of durations
1–8 s (i.e., TTS onset occurs at a nearconstant SEL, independent of exposure
duration). That implies that, at least for
non-impulsive tones, a doubling of
exposure time results in a 3 dB lower
TTS threshold.
However, the assumption that, in
marine mammals, the occurrence and
magnitude of TTS is a function of
cumulative acoustic energy (SEL) is
probably an oversimplification. Kastak
et al. (2005) reported preliminary
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evidence from pinnipeds that, for
prolonged non-impulse noise, higher
SELs were required to elicit a given TTS
if exposure duration was short than if it
was longer, i.e., the results were not
fully consistent with an equal-energy
model to predict TTS onset. Mooney et
al. (2009a) showed this in a bottlenose
dolphin exposed to octave-band nonimpulse noise ranging from 4 to 8 kHz
at SPLs of 130 to 178 dB re 1 μPa for
periods of 1.88 to 30 minutes (min).
Higher SELs were required to induce a
given TTS if exposure duration was
short than if it was longer. Exposure of
the aforementioned bottlenose dolphin
to a sequence of brief sonar signals
showed that, with those brief (but nonimpulse) sounds, the received energy
(SEL) necessary to elicit TTS was higher
than was the case with exposure to the
more prolonged octave-band noise
(Mooney et al. 2009b). Those authors
concluded that, when using (nonimpulse) acoustic signals of duration
∼0.5 s, SEL must be at least 210–214 dB
re 1 μPa2-s to induce TTS in the
bottlenose dolphin. The most recent
studies conducted by Finneran et al.
also support the notion that exposure
duration has a more significant
influence compared to SPL as the
duration increases, and that TTS growth
data are better represented as functions
of SPL and duration rather than SEL
alone (Finneran et al. 2010a, 2010b). In
addition, Finneran et al. (2010b)
conclude that when animals are
exposed to intermittent noises, there is
recovery of hearing during the quiet
intervals between exposures through the
accumulation of TTS across multiple
exposures. Such findings suggest that
when exposed to multiple seismic
pulses, partial hearing recovery also
occurs during the seismic pulse
intervals.
For baleen whales, there are no data,
direct or indirect, on levels or properties
of sound that are required to induce
TTS. The frequencies to which baleen
whales are most sensitive are lower than
those to which odontocetes are most
sensitive, and natural ambient noise
levels at those low frequencies tend to
be higher (Urick 1983). As a result,
auditory thresholds of baleen whales
within their frequency band of best
hearing are believed to be higher (less
sensitive) than are those of odontocetes
at their best frequencies (Clark and
Ellison 2004). From this, it is suspected
that received levels causing TTS onset
may also be higher in baleen whales.
However, no cases of TTS are expected
given the small size of the airguns
proposed to be used and the strong
likelihood that baleen whales
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(especially migrating bowheads) would
avoid the approaching airguns (or
vessel) before being exposed to levels
high enough for there to be any
possibility of TTS.
In pinnipeds, TTS thresholds
associated with exposure to brief pulses
(single or multiple) of underwater sound
have not been measured. Initial
evidence from prolonged exposures
suggested that some pinnipeds may
incur TTS at somewhat lower received
levels than do small odontocetes
exposed for similar durations (Kastak et
al. 1999; 2005). However, more recent
indications are that TTS onset in the
most sensitive pinniped species studied
(harbor seal, which is closely related to
the ringed seal) may occur at a similar
SEL as in odontocetes (Kastak et al.
2004).
Most cetaceans show some degree of
avoidance of seismic vessels operating
an airgun array (see above). It is unlikely
that these cetaceans would be exposed
to airgun pulses at a sufficiently high
level for a sufficiently long period to
cause more than mild TTS, given the
relative movement of the vessel and the
marine mammal. TTS would be more
likely in any odontocetes that bow- or
wake-ride or otherwise linger near the
airguns. However, while bow- or wakeriding, odontocetes would be at the
surface and thus not exposed to strong
sound pulses given the pressure release
and Lloyd Mirror effects at the surface.
But if bow- or wake-riding animals were
to dive intermittently near airguns, they
would be exposed to strong sound
pulses, possibly repeatedly.
If some cetaceans did incur mild or
moderate TTS through exposure to
airgun sounds in this manner, this
would very likely be a temporary and
reversible phenomenon. However, even
a temporary reduction in hearing
sensitivity could be deleterious in the
event that, during that period of reduced
sensitivity, a marine mammal needed its
full hearing sensitivity to detect
approaching predators, or for some
other reason.
Some pinnipeds show avoidance
reactions to airguns, but their avoidance
reactions are generally not as strong or
consistent as those of cetaceans.
Pinnipeds occasionally seem to be
attracted to operating seismic vessels.
There are no specific data on TTS
thresholds of pinnipeds exposed to
single or multiple low-frequency pulses.
However, given the indirect indications
of a lower TTS threshold for the harbor
seal than for odontocetes exposed to
impulse sound (see above), it is possible
that some pinnipeds close to a large
airgun array could incur TTS.
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49737
Current NMFS’ noise exposure
standards require that cetaceans and
pinnipeds should not be exposed to
pulsed underwater noise at received
levels exceeding, respectively, 180 and
190 dB re 1 μPa (rms). These criteria
were taken from recommendations by
an expert panel of the High Energy
Seismic Survey (HESS) Team that
performed an assessment on noise
impacts by seismic airguns to marine
mammals in 1997, although the HESS
Team recommended a 180-dB limit for
pinnipeds in California (HESS 1999).
The 180 and 190 dB re 1 μPa (rms)
levels have not been considered to be
the levels above which TTS might
occur. Rather, they were the received
levels above which, in the view of a
panel of bioacoustics specialists
convened by NMFS before TTS
measurements for marine mammals
started to become available, one could
not be certain that there would be no
injurious effects, auditory or otherwise,
to marine mammals. As summarized
above, data that are now available imply
that TTS is unlikely to occur in various
odontocetes (and probably mysticetes as
well) unless they are exposed to a
sequence of several airgun pulses
stronger than 190 dB re 1 μPa (rms). On
the other hand, for the harbor seal,
harbor porpoise, and perhaps some
other species, TTS may occur upon
exposure to one or more airgun pulses
whose received level equals the NMFS
‘‘do not exceed’’ value of 190 dB re 1 μPa
(rms). That criterion corresponds to a
single-pulse SEL of 175–180 dB re 1
μPa2-s in typical conditions, whereas
TTS is suspected to be possible in
harbor seals and harbor porpoises with
a cumulative SEL of ∼171 and ∼164 dB
re 1 μPa2-s, respectively.
It has been shown that most large
whales and many smaller odontocetes
(especially the harbor porpoise) show at
least localized avoidance of ships and/
or seismic operations. Even when
avoidance is limited to the area within
a few hundred meters of an airgun array,
that should usually be sufficient to
avoid TTS based on what is currently
known about thresholds for TTS onset
in cetaceans. In addition, ramping up
airgun arrays, which is standard
operational protocol for many seismic
operators, should allow cetaceans near
the airguns at the time of startup (if the
sounds are aversive) to move away from
the seismic source and to avoid being
exposed to the full acoustic output of
the airgun array. Thus, most baleen
whales likely will not be exposed to
high levels of airgun sounds provided
the ramp-up procedure is applied.
Likewise, many odontocetes close to the
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trackline are likely to move away before
the sounds from an approaching seismic
vessel become sufficiently strong for
there to be any potential for TTS or
other hearing impairment. Hence, there
is little potential for baleen whales or
odontocetes that show avoidance of
ships or airguns to be close enough to
an airgun array to experience TTS.
Therefore, it is not likely that marine
mammals in the vicinity of the proposed
open water marine and seismic surveys
by Shell and Statoil would experience
TTS as a result of these activities.
PTS: When PTS occurs, there is
physical damage to the sound receptors
in the ear. In some cases, there can be
total or partial deafness, whereas in
other cases, the animal has an impaired
ability to hear sounds in specific
frequency ranges (Kryter 1985). Physical
damage to a mammal’s hearing
apparatus can occur if it is exposed to
sound impulses that have very high
peak pressures, especially if they have
very short rise times. (Rise time is the
interval required for sound pressure to
increase from the baseline pressure to
peak pressure.)
There is no specific evidence that
exposure to pulses of airgun sound can
cause PTS in any marine mammal, even
with large arrays of airguns. However,
given the likelihood that some mammals
close to an airgun array might incur at
least mild TTS (see above), there has
been further speculation about the
possibility that some individuals
occurring very close to airguns might
incur PTS (e.g., Richardson et al. 1995;
Gedamke et al. 2008). Single or
occasional occurrences of mild TTS are
not indicative of permanent auditory
damage, but repeated or (in some cases)
single exposures to a level well above
that causing TTS onset might elicit PTS.
Relationships between TTS and PTS
thresholds have not been studied in
marine mammals, but are assumed to be
similar to those in humans and other
terrestrial mammals (Southall et al.
2007). Based on data from terrestrial
mammals, a precautionary assumption
is that the PTS threshold for impulse
sounds (such as airgun pulses as
received close to the source) is at least
6 dB higher than the TTS threshold on
a peak-pressure basis, and probably >6
dB higher (Southall et al. 2007). The
low-to-moderate levels of TTS that have
been induced in captive odontocetes
and pinnipeds during controlled studies
of TTS have been confirmed to be
temporary, with no measurable residual
PTS (Kastak et al. 1999; Schlundt et al.
2000; Finneran et al. 2002; 2005;
Nachtigall et al. 2003; 2004). However,
very prolonged exposure to sound
strong enough to elicit TTS, or shorter-
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term exposure to sound levels well
above the TTS threshold, can cause
PTS, at least in terrestrial mammals
(Kryter 1985). In terrestrial mammals,
the received sound level from a single
non-impulsive sound exposure must be
far above the TTS threshold for any risk
of permanent hearing damage (Kryter
1994; Richardson et al. 1995; Southall et
al. 2007). However, there is special
concern about strong sounds whose
pulses have very rapid rise times. In
terrestrial mammals, there are situations
when pulses with rapid rise times (e.g.,
from explosions) can result in PTS even
though their peak levels are only a few
dB higher than the level causing slight
TTS. The rise time of airgun pulses is
fast, but not as fast as that of an
explosion.
Some factors that contribute to onset
of PTS, at least in terrestrial mammals,
are as follows:
• Exposure to single very intense
sound,
• Fast rise time from baseline to peak
pressure,
• Repetitive exposure to intense
sounds that individually cause TTS but
not PTS, and
• Recurrent ear infections or (in
captive animals) exposure to certain
drugs.
Cavanagh (2000) reviewed the
thresholds used to define TTS and PTS.
Based on this review and SACLANT
(1998), it is reasonable to assume that
PTS might occur at a received sound
level 20 dB or more above that inducing
mild TTS. However, for PTS to occur at
a received level only 20 dB above the
TTS threshold, the animal probably
would have to be exposed to a strong
sound for an extended period, or to a
strong sound with rather rapid rise time.
More recently, Southall et al. (2007)
estimated that received levels would
need to exceed the TTS threshold by at
least 15 dB, on an SEL basis, for there
to be risk of PTS. Thus, for cetaceans
exposed to a sequence of sound pulses,
they estimate that the PTS threshold
might be an M-weighted SEL (for the
sequence of received pulses) of ∼198 dB
re 1 μPa2-s. Additional assumptions had
to be made to derive a corresponding
estimate for pinnipeds, as the only
available data on TTS-thresholds in
pinnipeds pertained to nonimpulse
sound (see above). Southall et al. (2007)
estimated that the PTS threshold could
be a cumulative SEL of ∼186 dB re 1
μPa2-s in the case of a harbor seal
exposed to impulse sound. The PTS
threshold for the California sea lion and
northern elephant seal would probably
be higher given the higher TTS
thresholds in those species. Southall et
al. (2007) also note that, regardless of
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Sfmt 4703
the SEL, there is concern about the
possibility of PTS if a cetacean or
pinniped received one or more pulses
with peak pressure exceeding 230 or
218 dB re 1 μPa, respectively. Thus, PTS
might be expected upon exposure of
cetaceans to either SEL ≥198 dB re 1
μPa2-s or peak pressure ≥230 dB re 1
μPa. Corresponding proposed dual
criteria for pinnipeds (at least harbor
seals) are ≥186 dB SEL and ≥ 218 dB
peak pressure (Southall et al. 2007).
These estimates are all first
approximations, given the limited
underlying data, assumptions, species
differences, and evidence that the ‘‘equal
energy’’ model may not be entirely
correct.
Sound impulse duration, peak
amplitude, rise time, number of pulses,
and inter-pulse interval are the main
factors thought to determine the onset
and extent of PTS. Ketten (1994) has
noted that the criteria for differentiating
the sound pressure levels that result in
PTS (or TTS) are location and species
specific. PTS effects may also be
influenced strongly by the health of the
receiver’s ear.
As described above for TTS, in
estimating the amount of sound energy
required to elicit the onset of TTS (and
PTS), it is assumed that the auditory
effect of a given cumulative SEL from a
series of pulses is the same as if that
amount of sound energy were received
as a single strong sound. There are no
data from marine mammals concerning
the occurrence or magnitude of a
potential partial recovery effect between
pulses. In deriving the estimates of PTS
(and TTS) thresholds quoted here,
Southall et al. (2007) made the
precautionary assumption that no
recovery would occur between pulses.
It is unlikely that an odontocete
would remain close enough to a large
airgun array for sufficiently long to
incur PTS. There is some concern about
bowriding odontocetes, but for animals
at or near the surface, auditory effects
are reduced by Lloyd’s mirror and
surface release effects. The presence of
the vessel between the airgun array and
bow-riding odontocetes could also, in
some but probably not all cases, reduce
the levels received by bow-riding
animals (e.g., Gabriele and Kipple 2009).
The TTS (and thus PTS) thresholds of
baleen whales are unknown but, as an
interim measure, assumed to be no
lower than those of odontocetes. Also,
baleen whales generally avoid the
immediate area around operating
seismic vessels, so it is unlikely that a
baleen whale could incur PTS from
exposure to airgun pulses. The TTS (and
thus PTS) thresholds of some pinnipeds
(e.g., harbor seal) as well as the harbor
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porpoise may be lower (Kastak et al.
2005; Southall et al. 2007; Lucke et al.
2009). If so, TTS and potentially PTS
may extend to a somewhat greater
distance for those animals. Again,
Lloyd’s mirror and surface release
effects will ameliorate the effects for
animals at or near the surface.
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(5) Non-Auditory Physical Effects
Non-auditory physical effects might
occur in marine mammals exposed to
strong underwater pulsed sound.
Possible types of non-auditory
physiological effects or injuries that
theoretically might occur in mammals
close to a strong sound source include
stress, neurological effects, bubble
formation, and other types of organ or
tissue damage. Some marine mammal
species (i.e., beaked whales) may be
especially susceptible to injury and/or
stranding when exposed to intense
sounds. However, there is no definitive
evidence that any of these effects occur
even for marine mammals in close
proximity to large arrays of airguns, and
beaked whales do not occur in the
proposed project area. In addition,
marine mammals that show behavioral
avoidance of seismic vessels, including
most baleen whales, some odontocetes
(including belugas), and some
pinnipeds, are especially unlikely to
incur non-auditory impairment or other
physical effects. The small airgun array
proposed to be used by Shell would
only have 190 and 180 dB distances of
35 and 125 m (115 and 410 ft),
respectively.
Therefore, it is unlikely that such
effects would occur during Shell’s
proposed surveys given the brief
duration of exposure and the planned
monitoring and mitigation measures
described later in this document.
(6) Stranding and Mortality
Marine mammals close to underwater
detonations of high explosive can be
killed or severely injured, and the
auditory organs are especially
susceptible to injury (Ketten et al. 1993;
Ketten 1995). Airgun pulses are less
energetic and their peak amplitudes
have slower rise times, while stranding
and mortality events would include
other energy sources (acoustical or
shock wave) far beyond just seismic
airguns. To date, there is no evidence
that serious injury, death, or stranding
by marine mammals can occur from
exposure to airgun pulses, even in the
case of large airgun arrays.
However, in numerous past IHA
notices for seismic surveys, commenters
have referenced two stranding events
allegedly associated with seismic
activities, one off Baja California and a
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second off Brazil. NMFS has addressed
this concern several times, and, without
new information, does not believe that
this issue warrants further discussion.
For information relevant to strandings of
marine mammals, readers are
encouraged to review NMFS’ response
to comments on this matter found in 69
FR 74906 (December 14, 2004), 71 FR
43112 (July 31, 2006), 71 FR 50027
(August 24, 2006), and 71 FR 49418
(August 23, 2006). In addition, a MayJune 2008, stranding of 100–200 melonheaded whales (Peponocephala electra)
off Madagascar that appears to be
associated with seismic surveys is
currently under investigation (IWC
2009).
It should be noted that strandings
related to sound exposure have not been
recorded for marine mammal species in
the Beaufort and Chukchi seas. NMFS
notes that in the Beaufort Sea, aerial
surveys have been conducted by MMS
and industry during periods of
industrial activity (and by MMS during
times with no activity). No strandings or
marine mammals in distress have been
observed during these surveys and none
have been reported by North Slope
Borough inhabitants. As a result, NMFS
does not expect any marine mammals
will incur serious injury or mortality in
the Arctic Ocean or strand as a result of
proposed seismic survey.
Potential Effects From Active Sonar
Equipment on Marine Mammals
Several active acoustic sources other
than the 40 cu-in airgun have been
proposed for Shell’s 2010 open water
marine surveys in the Beaufort and
Chukchi Seas. The specifications of
these sonar equipments (source levels
and frequency ranges) are provided
above. In general, the potential effects of
these equipments on marine mammals
are similar to those from the airgun,
except the magnitude of the impacts is
expected to be much less due to the
lower intensity and higher frequencies.
Estimated source levels and zones of
influence from sonar equipment are
discussed above. In some cases, due to
the fact that the operating frequencies of
some of this equipment (e.g., Multibeam echo sounder: frequency at 240
kHz) are above the hearing ranges of
marine mammals, use of the equipment
is not expected to cause any take of
marine mammals.
Vessel Sounds
In addition to the noise generated
from seismic airguns and active sonar
systems, various types of vessels will be
used in the operations, including source
vessels and support vessels. Sounds
from boats and vessels have been
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49739
reported extensively (Greene and Moore
1995; Blackwell and Greene 2002; 2005;
2006). Numerous measurements of
underwater vessel sound have been
performed in support of recent industry
activity in the Chukchi and Beaufort
Seas. Results of these measurements
have been reported in various 90-day
and comprehensive reports since 2007
(e.g., Aerts et al. 2008; Hauser et al.
2008; Brueggeman 2009; Ireland et al.
2009). For example, Garner and Hannay
(2009) estimated sound pressure levels
of 100 dB at distances ranging from
approximately 1.5 to 2.3 mi (2.4 to 3.7
km) from various types of barges.
MacDonald et al. (2008) estimated
higher underwater SPLs from the
seismic vessel Gilavar of 120 dB at
approximately 13 mi (21 km) from the
source, although the sound level was
only 150 dB at 85 ft (26 m) from the
vessel. Compared to airgun pulses,
underwater sound from vessels is
generally at relatively low frequencies.
The primary sources of sounds from
all vessel classes are propeller
cavitation, propeller singing, and
propulsion or other machinery.
Propeller cavitation is usually the
dominant noise source for vessels (Ross
1976). Propeller cavitation and singing
are produced outside the hull, whereas
propulsion or other machinery noise
originates inside the hull. There are
additional sounds produced by vessel
activity, such as pumps, generators,
flow noise from water passing over the
hull, and bubbles breaking in the wake.
Icebreakers contribute greater sound
levels during ice-breaking activities than
ships of similar size during normal
operation in open water (Richardson et
al. 1995). This higher sound production
results from the greater amount of
power and propeller cavitation required
when operating in thick ice. Source
levels from various vessels would be
empirically measured before the start of
marine surveys.
Anticipated Effects on Habitat
The primary potential impacts to
marine mammals and other marine
species are associated with elevated
sound levels produced by airguns and
other active acoustic sources. However,
other potential impacts to the
surrounding habitat from physical
disturbance are also possible.
Potential Impacts on Prey Species
With regard to fish as a prey source
for cetaceans and pinnipeds, fish are
known to hear and react to sounds and
to use sound to communicate (Tavolga
et al. 1981) and possibly avoid predators
(Wilson and Dill 2002). Experiments
have shown that fish can sense both the
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strength and direction of sound
(Hawkins, 1981). Primary factors
determining whether a fish can sense a
sound signal, and potentially react to it,
are the frequency of the signal and the
strength of the signal in relation to the
natural background noise level.
The level of sound at which a fish
will react or alter its behavior is usually
well above the detection level. Fish
have been found to react to sounds
when the sound level increased to about
20 dB above the detection level of 120
dB (Ona 1988); however, the response
threshold can depend on the time of
year and the fish’s physiological
condition (Engas et al. 1993). In general,
fish react more strongly to pulses of
sound rather than a continuous signal
(Blaxter et al. 1981), and a quicker alarm
response is elicited when the sound
signal intensity rises rapidly compared
to sound rising more slowly to the same
level.
Investigations of fish behavior in
relation to vessel noise (Olsen et al.
1983; Ona 1988; Ona and Godo 1990)
have shown that fish react when the
sound from the engines and propeller
exceeds a certain level. Avoidance
reactions have been observed in fish
such as cod and herring when vessels
approached close enough that received
sound levels are 110 dB to 130 dB
(Nakken 1992; Olsen 1979; Ona and
Godo 1990; Ona and Toresen 1988).
However, other researchers have found
that fish such as polar cod, herring, and
capeline are often attracted to vessels
(apparently by the noise) and swim
toward the vessel (Rostad et al. 2006).
Typical sound source levels of vessel
noise in the audible range for fish are
150 dB to 170 dB (Richardson et al.
1995).
Some mysticetes, including bowhead
whales, feed on concentrations of
zooplankton. Some feeding bowhead
whales may occur in the Alaskan
Beaufort Sea in July and August, and
others feed intermittently during their
westward migration in September and
October (Richardson and Thomson
[eds.] 2002; Lowry et al. 2004).
Reactions of zooplanktoners to sound
are, for the most part, not known. Their
abilities to move significant distances
are limited or nil, depending on the type
of animal. A reaction by zooplankton to
sounds produced by the marine survey
program would only be relevant to
whales if it caused concentrations of
zooplankton to scatter. Pressure changes
of sufficient magnitude to cause that
type of reaction would probably occur
only near the airgun source, which is
expected to be a very small area.
Impacts on zooplankton behavior are
predicted to be negligible, and that
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would translate into negligible impacts
on feeding mysticetes.
Estimated Take by Incidental
Harassment
Except with respect to certain
activities not pertinent here, the MMPA
defines ‘‘harassment’’ as: any act of
pursuit, torment, or annoyance which (i)
has the potential to injure a marine
mammal or marine mammal stock in the
wild [Level A harassment]; or (ii) has
the potential to disturb a marine
mammal or marine mammal stock in the
wild by causing disruption of behavioral
patterns, including, but not limited to,
migration, breathing, nursing, breeding,
feeding, or sheltering [Level B
harassment]. Only take by Level B
behavioral harassment is anticipated as
a result of the proposed open water
marine survey program. Anticipated
take of marine mammals is associated
with noise propagation from the seismic
airgun(s) used in the site clearance and
shallow hazards surveys.
The full suite of potential impacts to
marine mammals was described in
detail in the ‘‘Potential Effects of the
Specified Activity on Marine Mammals’’
section found earlier in this document.
The potential effects of sound from the
proposed open water marine survey
programs might include one or more of
the following: tolerance; masking of
natural sounds; behavioral disturbance;
non-auditory physical effects; and, at
least in theory, temporary or permanent
hearing impairment (Richardson et al.
1995). As discussed earlier in this
document, the most common impact
will likely be from behavioral
disturbance, including avoidance of the
ensonified area or changes in speed,
direction, and/or diving profile of the
animal. For reasons discussed
previously in this document, hearing
impairment (TTS and PTS) are highly
unlikely to occur based on the fact that
most of the equipment to be used during
Shell’s proposed open water marine
survey programs do not have received
levels high enough to elicit even mild
TTS beyond a short distance. For
instance, for the airgun sources, the 180and 190-dB re 1 μPa (rms) isopleths
extend to 125 m and 35 m from the
source, respectively. None of the other
active acoustic sources is expected to
have received levels above 180 dB re 1
μPa (rms) within the frequency bands of
marine mammal hearing sensitivity
(below 180 kHz) beyond a few meters
from the source. Finally, based on the
proposed mitigation and monitoring
measures described earlier in this
document, no injury or mortality of
marine mammals is anticipated as a
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Sfmt 4703
result of Shell’s proposed open water
marine survey programs.
For impulse sounds, such as those
produced by airgun(s) used for the site
clearance and shallow hazards surveys,
NMFS uses the 160 dB re 1 μPa (rms)
isopleth to indicate the onset of Level B
harassment. Shell provided calculations
for the 160-dB isopleths produced by
these active acoustic sources and then
used those isopleths to estimate takes by
harassment. NMFS used these
calculations to make the necessary
MMPA findings. Shell provides a full
description of the methodology used to
estimate takes by harassment in its IHA
application (see ADDRESSES), which is
also provided in the following sections.
Shell has requested an authorization
to take individuals of 11 marine
mammal species by Level B harassment.
These 11 marine mammal species are:
beluga whale (Delphinapterus leucas),
narwhal (Monodon monoceros), harbor
porpoise (Phocoena phocoena),
bowhead whale (Balaena mysticetus),
gray whale (Eschrichtius robustus),
humpback whale (Megaptera
novaeangliae), minke whale
(Balaenoptera acutorostrata), bearded
seal (Erignathus barbatus), ringed seal
(Phoca hispida), spotted seal (P. largha),
and ribbon seal (Histriophoca fasciata).
However, NMFS believes that narwhals,
minke whales, and ribbon seals are not
likely to occur in the proposed survey
area during the time of the proposed site
clearance and shallow hazards surveys.
Therefore, NMFS believes that only the
other eight of the 11 marine mammal
species would likely be taken by Level
B behavioral harassment as a result of
the proposed marine surveys.
Basis for Estimating ‘‘Take by
Harassment’’
As stated previously, it is current
NMFS policy to estimate take by Level
B harassment for impulse sounds as
occurring when an animal is exposed to
a received level of 160 dB re 1 μPa
(rms). However, not all animals react to
sounds at this low level, and many will
not show strong reactions (and in some
cases any reaction) until sounds are
much stronger. Southall et al. (2007)
provides a severity scale for ranking
observed behavioral responses of both
free-ranging marine mammals and
laboratory subjects to various types of
anthropogenic sound (see Table 4 in
Southall et al. (2007)). Tables 7, 9, and
11 in Southall et al. (2007) outline the
numbers of low-frequency cetaceans,
mid-frequency cetaceans, and pinnipeds
in water, respectively, reported as
having behavioral responses to multipulses in 10-dB received level
increments. These tables illustrate that
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the more severe reactions did not occur
until sounds were much higher than 160
dB re 1 μPa (rms).
The proposed open water marine
surveys would use low energy active
acoustic sources, including a total
volume of 40 cu-in airgun or airgun
array. Other active acoustic sources
used for ice gouging and strudel scour
all have relatively low source levels
and/or high frequencies beyond marine
mammal hearing range. Table 1 depicts
the modeled and/or measured source
levels, and radii for the 120, 160, 180,
and 190 dB re 1 μPa (rms) from various
sources (or equivalent) that are
proposed to be used in the marine
mammal surveys by Shell.
Table 1. A list of active acoustic
sources proposed to be used for the
Shell’s 2010 open water marine surveys
in the Chukchi and Beaufort Seas
TABLE 1—A LIST OF ACTIVE ACOUSTIC SOURCES PROPOSED TO BE USED FOR THE SHELL’S 2010 OPEN WATER MARINE
SURVEYS IN THE CHUKCHI AND BEAUFORT SEAS
Survey types
Active acoustic sources
Frequency
Modeled
source level
Radii (m) at modeled received levels (dB re 1 μPa)
190
180
...................................
217
Dual frequency side scan
190 & 240 kHz .........
225
Single beam echo sound
100–340 kHz ............
180–200
Shallow sub-bottom profiler.
3.5 kHz (Alpha Helix)
193.8
1
3
14
310
3.5 kHz (Henry C.) ...
167.2
NA
NA
3
980
400 Hz ......................
176.8
NA
NA
9
1,340
Dual freq sub-bottom
profiler.
2–7 kHz & 8–23 kHz
184.6
NA
2
7
456
Multibeam Echo Sounder
240 kHz ....................
Not modeled/measured because frequency outputs beyond marine
mammal hearing range.
Multibeam Echo Sounder
240 kHz ....................
Not modeled/measured because frequency outputs beyond marine
mammal hearing range.
Single Beam Bathymetric
Sonar.
> 200 kHz .................
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Strudel Scour Survey.
‘‘Take by Harassment’’ is calculated in
this section and Shell’s application by
multiplying the expected densities of
marine mammals that may occur in the
site clearance and shallow hazards
survey area by the area of water body
likely to be exposed to airgun impulses
with received levels of ≥160 dB re 1 μPa
(rms). The single exception to this
method is for the estimation of
exposures of bowhead whales during
the fall migration where more detailed
data were available allowing an
alternate approach, described below, to
be used. This section describes the
estimated densities of marine mammals
that may occur in the project area. The
area of water that may be ensonified to
the above sound levels is described
further in the ‘‘Potential Number of
Takes by Harassment’’ subsection.
Marine mammal densities near the
operation are likely to vary by season
and habitat. However, sufficient
published data allowing the estimation
of separate densities during summer
(July and August) and fall (September
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1,220
14,900
Not modeled/measured because frequency outputs
beyond marine mammal hearing range.
Not modeled/measured because majority of frequency
outputs beyond marine mammal hearing range.
Not modeled/measured because frequency outputs
beyond marine mammal hearing range.
and October) are only available for
beluga and bowhead whales. As noted
above, exposures of bowhead whales
during the fall are not calculated using
densities (see below). Therefore,
summer and fall densities have been
estimated for beluga whales, and a
summer density has been estimated for
bowhead whales. Densities of all other
species have been estimated to represent
the duration of both seasons. The
estimated 30 days of site clearance and
shallow hazards survey activity will
take place in eastern Harrison Bay at
approximately five potential prospective
future drill sites. The survey lines form
a grid or survey ‘‘patch.’’ It is expected
that three of these patches will be
surveyed during the summer and two
during the fall. The areas of water
exposed to sounds during surveys at the
patches are separated by season in this
manner and as described further below.
Marine mammal densities are also
likely to vary by habitat type. In the
Alaskan Beaufort Sea, where the
continental shelf break is relatively
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125
120
Site Clearance &
40 cu-in airgun ...............
Shallow Hazards.
Ice Gouging Surveys.
35
160
close to shore, marine mammal habitat
is often defined by water depth.
Bowhead and beluga occurrence within
nearshore (0–131 ft, 0–40 m), outer
continental shelf (131–656 ft, 40–200
m), slope (656–6,562 ft, 200–2,000 m),
basin (≤6,562 ft, 2,000 m), or similarly
defined habitats have been described
previously (Moore et al. 2000;
Richardson and Thomson 2002). The
presence of most other species has
generally only been described relative to
the entire continental shelf zone (0–656
ft, 0–200 m) or beyond. Sounds
produced by the site clearance and
shallow hazards surveys are expected to
drop below 160 dB within the nearshore
zone (0–131 ft, 0–40 m, water depth).
Sounds ≥160 dB are not expected to
occur in waters >656 ft (200 m). Because
airgun sounds at the indicated levels
would not be introduced to the outer
continental shelf, separate beluga and
bowhead densities for the outer
continental shelf have not been used in
the calculations.
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In addition to water depth, densities
of marine mammals are likely to vary
with the presence or absence of sea ice
(see later for descriptions by species). At
times during either summer or fall,
pack-ice may be present in some of the
area near Harrison Bay. However,
because some of the survey equipment
towed behind the vessel may be
damaged by ice, site clearance and
shallow hazards survey activities will
generally avoid sea-ice. Therefore, Shell
has assumed that only 10% of the area
exposed to sounds ≥160 dB by the
survey will be near ice margin habitat.
Ice-margin densities of marine mammals
in both seasons have therefore been
multiplied by 10% of the area exposed
to sounds by the airguns, while openwater (nearshore) densities have been
multiplied by the remaining 90% of the
area (see area calculations below).
To provide some allowance for the
uncertainties, Shell calculated both
‘‘maximum estimates’’ as well as
‘‘average estimates’’ of the numbers of
marine mammals that could potentially
be affected. For a few marine mammal
species, several density estimates were
available, and in those cases the mean
and maximum estimates were
determined from the survey data. In
other cases, no applicable estimate (or
perhaps a single estimate) was available,
so correction factors were used to arrive
at ‘‘average’’ and ‘‘maximum’’ estimates.
These are described in detail in the
following subsections. NMFS has
determined that the average density data
of marine mammal populations will be
used to calculate estimated take
numbers because these numbers are
based on surveys and monitoring of
marine mammals in the vicinity of the
proposed project area. For several
species whose average densities are too
low to yield a take number due to extra-
limital distribution in the vicinity of the
proposed Beaufort Sea survey area, but
whose chance occurrence has been
documented in the past, such as gray
and humpback whales and harbor
porpoises, NMFS allotted a few
numbers of these species to allow
unexpected takes of these species.
Detectability bias, quantified in part
by f(0), is associated with diminishing
sightability with increasing lateral
distance from the trackline. Availability
bias [g(0)] refers to the fact that there is
<100% probability of sighting an animal
that is present along the survey
trackline. Some sources of densities
used below included these correction
factors in their reported densities. In
other cases the best available correction
factors were applied to reported results
when they had not been included in the
reported data (e.g. Moore et al. 2000b).
(1) Cetaceans
As noted above, the densities of
beluga and bowhead whales present in
the Beaufort Sea are expected to vary by
season and location. During the early
and mid-summer, most belugas and
bowheads are found in the Canadian
Beaufort Sea and Amundsen Gulf or
adjacent areas. Low numbers of
bowhead whales, some of which are in
feeding aggregations, are found in the
eastern Alaskan Beaufort Sea and the
northeastern Chukchi Sea. Belugas
begin to move across the Alaskan
Beaufort Sea in August, and the majority
of bowheads do so toward the end of
August.
Beluga Whales—Beluga density
estimates were derived from data in
Moore et al. (2000). During the summer,
beluga whales are most likely to be
encountered in offshore waters of the
eastern Alaskan Beaufort Sea or areas
with pack ice. The summer beluga
whale nearshore density was based on
11,985 km (7,749 mi) of on-transect
effort and 9 associated sightings that
occurred in water ≤50 m (164 ft) in
Moore et al. (2000; Table 2). A mean
group size of 1.63, a f(0) value of 2.841,
and a g(0) value of 0.58 from Harwood
et al. (1996) were also used in the
calculation. Moore et al. (2000) found
that belugas were equally likely to occur
in heavy ice conditions as open water or
very light ice conditions in summer in
the Beaufort Sea, so the same density
was used for both nearshore and icemargin estimates (Table 2). The fall
beluga whale nearshore density was
based on 72,711 km (45,190 mi) of ontransect effort and 28 associated
sightings that occurred in water ≤50 m
(164 ft) reported in Moore et al. (2000).
A mean group size of 2.9 (CV=1.9),
calculated from all Beaufort Sea fall
beluga sightings in ≤50 m (164 ft) of
water present in the MMS Bowhead
Whale Aerial Survey Program (BWASP)
database, along with the same f(0) and
g(0) values from Harwood et al. (1996)
were also used in the calculation. Moore
et al. (2000) found that during the fall
in the Beaufort Sea belugas occurred in
moderate to heavy ice at higher rates
than in light ice, so ice-margin densities
were estimated to be twice the
nearshore densities. Based on the CV of
group size maximum estimates in both
season and habitats were estimated as
four times the average estimates. ‘‘Takes
by harassment’’ of beluga whales during
the fall in the Beaufort Sea were not
calculated in the same manner as
described for bowhead whales (below)
because of the relatively lower expected
densities of beluga whales in nearshore
habitat near the site clearance and
shallow hazards surveys and the lack of
detailed data on the likely timing and
rate of migration through the area (Table
3).
TABLE 2—EXPECTED SUMMER (JUL–AUG) DENSITIES OF BELUGA AND BOWHEAD WHALES IN THE ALASKAN BEAUFORT
SEA. DENSITIES ARE CORRECTED FOR F(0) AND G(0) BIASES
Nearshore
Species ..............................................................................................................................
Beluga whale .....................................................................................................................
Bowhead whale .................................................................................................................
Average Density (#/km2).
0.0030. ..............................
0.0186. ..............................
Ice margin
Average Density (#/km2).
0.0030.
0.0186.
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TABLE 3—EXPECTED FALL (SEP–NOV) DENSITIES OF BELUGA AND BOWHEAD WHALES IN THE ALASKAN BEAUFORT SEA.
DENSITIES ARE CORRECTED FOR F(0) AND G(0) BIASES
Nearshore
Species ..............................................................................................................................
Beluga whale .....................................................................................................................
Bowhead whale* ................................................................................................................
Ice margin
Average Density (#/km 2).
0.0027. ..............................
N/A. ...................................
Average Density (#/km 2).
0.0054.
N/A.
*See text for description of how bowhead whales estimates were made.
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Bowhead Whales—Industry aerial
surveys of the continental shelf near
Camden Bay in 2008 recorded eastward
migrating bowhead whales until July 12
(Lyons and Christie 2009). No bowhead
sightings were recorded again, despite
continued flights, until August 19.
Aerial surveys by industry operators did
not begin until late August of 2006 and
2007, but in both years bowheads were
also recorded in the region before the
end of August (Christie et al. 2009). The
late August sightings were likely of
bowheads beginning their fall migration
so the densities calculated from those
surveys were not used to estimate
summer densities in this region. The
three surveys in July 2008, resulted in
density estimates of 0.0099, 0.0717, and
0.0186 whales/km 2, respectively. The
estimate of 0.0186 whales/km 2 was
used as the average nearshore density,
and the estimate of 0.0717 whales/km 2
was used as the maximum (Table 2). Sea
ice was not present during these
surveys. Moore et al. (2000) reported
that bowhead whales in the Alaskan
Beaufort Sea were distributed uniformly
relative to sea ice, so the same nearshore
densities were used for ice-margin
habitat.
During the fall most bowhead whales
will be migrating west past the site
clearance and shallow hazards surveys,
so it is less accurate to assume that the
number of individuals present in the
area from one day to the next will be
static. However, feeding, resting, and
milling behaviors are not entirely
uncommon at this time and location
either. In order to incorporate the
movement of whales past the planned
operations, and because the necessary
data are available, Shell has developed
an alternate method of calculating the
number of individuals exposed to
sounds produced by the site clearance
and shallow hazards surveys. The
method is founded on estimates of the
proportion of the population that would
pass within the ≥160 dB rms zones on
a given day in the fall during survey
activities.
Approximately 10 days of site
clearance and shallow hazards survey
activity are likely to occur during the
fall period when bowheads are
migrating through the Beaufort Sea. If
the bowhead population has continued
to grow at an annual rate of 3.4%, the
current population size would be
approximately 14,247 individuals based
on a 2001 population of 10,545 (Zeh and
Punt 2005). Based on data in Richardson
and Thomson (2002, Appendix 9.1), the
number of whales expected to pass each
day was estimated as a proportion of the
population. Minimum and maximum
estimates of the number of whales
passing each day were not available, so
a single estimate based on the 10-day
moving average presented by
Richardson and Thomson (2002) was
used. Richardson and Thomson (2002)
also calculated the proportion of
animals within water depth bins (<20
m, 20–40 m, 40–200 m, >200 m; or <65
ft, 65–131 ft, 131–656 ft, >656 ft). Using
this information the total number of
whales expected to pass the site
clearance and shallow hazards surveys
each day was multiplied by the
proportion of whales that would be in
each depth category to estimate how
many individuals would be within each
depth bin on a given day. The
proportion of each depth bin falling
within the ≥160 dB rms zone was then
multiplied by the number of whales
within the respective bins to estimate
the total number of individuals that
would be exposed on each day. This
was repeated for a total of 10 days
(September 15–19 and October 1–4) and
the results were summed to estimate the
total number of bowhead whales that
might be exposed to ≥160 dB rms during
the migration period in the Beaufort
Sea.
Other Cetaceans—For other cetacean
species that may be encountered in the
Beaufort Sea, densities are likely to vary
somewhat by season, but differences are
not expected to be great enough to
require estimation of separate densities
for the two seasons. Harbor porpoises
and gray whales are not expected to be
present in large numbers in the Beaufort
Sea during the fall but small numbers
may be encountered during the summer.
They are most likely to be present in
nearshore waters (Table 4). Narwhals
are not expected to be encountered
during the site clearance and shallow
hazards surveys. However, there is a
chance that a few individuals may be
present if ice is nearby. The first record
of humpback whales in the Beaufort Sea
was documented in 2007 so their
presence cannot be ruled out. Since
these species occur so infrequently in
the Beaufort Sea, little to no data are
available for the calculation of densities.
Minimal densities have therefore been
assigned for calculation purposes and to
allow for chance encounters (Table 4).
TABLE 4. EXPECTED DENSITIES OF CETACEANS (EXCLUDING BELUGA AND BOWHEAD WHALE) AND SEALS IN THE ALASKAN
BEAUFORT SEA
Nearshore
Species
Average density
Narwhal ................................................................................................................
Harbor porpoise ...................................................................................................
Gray whale ...........................................................................................................
Bearded seal ........................................................................................................
Ribbon seal ..........................................................................................................
Ringed seal ..........................................................................................................
Spotted seal .........................................................................................................
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(2) Pinnipeds
Extensive surveys of ringed and
bearded seals have been conducted in
the Beaufort Sea, but most surveys have
been conducted over the landfast ice,
and few seal surveys have occurred in
open-water or in the pack ice. Kingsley
(1986) conducted ringed seal surveys of
the offshore pack ice in the central and
eastern Beaufort Sea during late spring
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0.0001
0.0001
0.0181
0.0001
0.3547
0.0037
(late June). These surveys provide the
most relevant information on densities
of ringed seals in the ice margin zone of
the Beaufort Sea. The density estimate
in Kingsley (1986) was used as the
average density of ringed seals that may
be encountered in the ice margin (Table
6–3 in Shell’s application and Table 4
here). The average ringed seal density in
the nearshore zone of the Alaskan
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Ice margin
(#/km 2)
Average density (#/km 2)
0.0000
0.0000
0.0000
0.0128
0.0001
0.2510
0.0001
Beaufort Sea was estimated from results
of ship-based surveys at times without
seismic operations reported by Moulton
and Lawson (2002; Table 6–3 in Shell’s
application and Table 4 here).
Densities of bearded seals were
estimated by multiplying the ringed seal
densities by 0.051 based on the
proportion of bearded seals to ringed
seals reported in Stirling et al. (1982;
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Table 6–3 in Shell’s application and
Table 4 here). Spotted seal densities in
the nearshore zone were estimated by
summing the ringed seal and bearded
seal densities and multiplying the result
by 0.015 based on the proportion of
spotted seals to ringed plus bearded
seals reported in Moulton and Lawson
(2002; Table 6–3 in Shell’s application
and Table 4 here). Minimal values were
assigned as densities in the ice-margin
zones (Table 6–3 in Shell’s application
and Table 4 here).
Potential Number of Takes by
Harassment
Numbers of marine mammals that
might be present and potentially
disturbed are estimated below based on
available data about mammal
distribution and densities at different
locations and times of the year as
described previously. The planned site
clearance and shallow hazards survey
would take place in the Beaufort Sea
over two different seasons. The
estimates of marine mammal densities
have therefore been separated both
spatially and temporarily in an attempt
to represent the distribution of animals
expected to be encountered over the
duration of the site clearance and
shallow hazards survey.
The number of individuals of each
species potentially exposed to received
levels ≥160 dB re 1 μPa (rms) within
each season and habitat zone was
estimated by multiplying
• the anticipated area to be ensonified
to the specified level in each season and
habitat zone to which that density
applies, by
• the expected species density.
The numbers of potential individuals
exposed were then summed for each
species across the two seasons and
habitat zones. Some of the animals
estimated to be exposed, particularly
migrating bowhead whales, might show
avoidance reactions before being
exposed to ≥160 dB re 1 μPa (rms).
Thus, these calculations actually
estimate the number of individuals
potentially exposed to ≥160 dB that
would occur if there were no avoidance
of the area ensonified to that level.
The area of water potentially exposed
to received levels ≥160 dB re 1 μPa (rms)
by airgun operations was calculated by
buffering a typical site clearance and
shallow hazards survey grid of lines by
the estimated >160 dB distance from the
airgun source, including turns between
lines during which a single mitigation
airgun will be active. Measurements of
a 2 x 10 in3 airgun array used in 2007
were reported by Funk et al. (2008).
These measurements were used to
model both of the potential airgun
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arrays that may be used in 2010, a 4 x
10 in3 array or a 2 x 10 in3 + 1 x 20 in3
array. The modeling results showed that
the 40 cubic inch array is likely to
produce sound that propagates further
than the alternative array, so those
results were used. The modeled 160 dB
re 1 μPa (rms) distance from a 40 cubic
inch array was 1,220 m (4,003 ft) from
the source. Because this is a modeled
estimate, but based on similar
measurements at the same location, the
estimated distance was only increased
by a factor of 1.25 instead of a typical
1.5 factor. This results in a 160 dB
distance of 1,525 m (5,003 ft) which was
added to both sides of the survey lines
in a typical site clearance and shallow
hazards survey grid. The resulting area
that may be exposed to airgun sounds
≥160 dB re 1 μPa (rms) is 81.6 km2. In
most cases the use of a single mitigation
gun during turns will not appreciably
increase the total area exposed to
sounds ≥160 dB re 1 μPa (rms), but
analysis of a similar survey pattern from
the Chukchi Sea (but using the Beaufort
sound radii) suggested use of the
mitigation gun may increase this area to
82.3 km2. As described above, three
patches (246.9 km2) are likely to be
surveyed during the summer leaving
two (164.6 km2) for the fall. During both
seasons, 90% of the area has been
multiplied by nearshore (open-water)
densities, and the remaining 10% by the
ice-margin densities.
For analysis of potential effects on
migrating bowhead whales we
calculated the maximum distance
perpendicular to the migration path
ensonified to ≥160 dB re 1 μPa (rms) by
a typical survey patch as 11.6 km (7.2
mi). This distance represents
approximately 21% of the 56 km (34.8
mi) between the barrier islands and the
40-m (131-ft) bathymetry line so it was
assumed that 21% of the bowheads
migrating within the nearshore zone
(water depth 0–40 m, or 0–131 ft) may
be exposed to sounds ≥160 dB re 1 μPa
(rms) if they showed no avoidance of
the site clearance and shallow hazards
survey activities.
Cetaceans—Cetacean species
potentially exposed to airgun sounds
with received levels ≥160 dB re 1 μPa
(rms) would involve bowhead, gray,
humpback, and beluga whales and
harbor porpoises. Shell also included
some maximum exposure estimates for
narwhal and minke whale. However, as
stated previously in this document,
NMFS has determined that authorizing
take of these two cetacean species is not
warranted given the highly unlikely
potential of these species to occur in the
open water marine survey area. The
average estimates of the number of
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individual bowhead whales exposed to
received sound levels ≥160 dB re 1 μPa
(rms) is 381 and belugas is 1 individual.
However, since beluga whales often
form small groups, it is likely that the
exposure to the animals would be based
on groups instead of individual animals.
Therefore, NMFS proposes to make an
adjustment to increase the number of
beluga whale takes to 5 individuals to
reflect the aggregate nature of these
animals.
The estimates show that one
endangered cetacean species (the
bowhead whale) is expected to be
exposed to sounds ≥160 dB re 1 μPa
(rms) unless bowheads avoid the area
around the site clearance and shallow
hazards survey areas (Tables 4).
Migrating bowheads are likely to do so
to some extent, though many of the
bowheads engaged in other activities,
particularly feeding and socializing,
probably will not.
As discussed before, although no take
estimates of gray and humpback whales
and harbor porpoises can be calculated
due to their low density and extralimital
distribution in the vicinity of the site
clearance and shallow hazards survey
area in the Beaufort Sea, their
occurrence has been documented in the
past. Therefore, to allow for chance
encounters of these species, NMFS
proposes to include two individuals of
each of these three species as having the
potential to be exposed to an area with
received levels ≥160 dB re 1 μPa (rms).
Pinnipeds—The ringed seal is the
most widespread and abundant
pinniped in ice-covered arctic waters,
and there appears to be a great deal of
year-to-year variation in abundance and
distribution of these marine mammals.
Ringed seals account for a large number
of marine mammals expected to be
encountered during the site clearance
and shallow hazard survey activities,
and hence exposed to sounds with
received levels ≥160 dB re 1 μPa (rms).
The average estimate is that 567 ringed
seals might be exposed to sounds with
received levels ≥160 dB re 1 μPa (rms)
from airgun impulses.
Two additional seal species are
expected to be encountered. Average
estimates for bearded seal exposures to
sound levels ≥160 dB re 1μPa (rms) is
7 individuals. For spotted seal the
exposure estimates is 1 individual.
Table 5 summarizes the number of
potential takes by harassment of all
species.
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TABLE 5—SUMMARY OF THE NUMBER
OF POTENTIAL EXPOSURES OF MARINE
MAMMALS TO RECEIVED
SOUND LEVELS IN THE WATER OF
≥160 DB DURING SHELL’S PLANNED
SITE CLEARANCE AND SHALLOW
HAZARDS SURVEYS NEAR HARRISON
BAY IN THE BEAUFORT SEA, ALASKA, JULY—OCTOBER, 2010
Species
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Beluga whale ...................
Harbor porpoise ...............
Bowhead whale ...............
Gray whale .......................
Humpback whale .............
Bearded seal ....................
Ringed seal ......................
Spotted seal .....................
Total number of
exposure to
sound levels
>160 dB re 1 μPa
(rms)
5
2
381
2
2
7
142
1
Estimated Take Conclusions
Cetaceans—Effects on cetaceans are
generally expected to be restricted to
avoidance of an area around the site
clearance and shallow hazards surveys
and short-term changes in behavior,
falling within the MMPA definition of
‘‘Level B harassment’’.
Using the 160 dB criterion, the
average estimates of the numbers of
individual cetaceans exposed to sounds
≥160 dB re 1 μPa (rms) represent varying
proportions of the populations of each
species in the Beaufort Sea and adjacent
waters. For species listed as
‘‘Endangered’’ under the ESA, the
estimates include approximately 381
bowheads. This number is
approximately 2.7% of the BeringChukchi-Beaufort population of >14,247
assuming 3.4% annual population
growth from the 2001 estimate of
>10,545 animals (Zeh and Punt 2005).
The small numbers of other mysticete
whales that may occur in the Beaufort
Sea are unlikely to occur near the
planned site clearance and shallow
hazards surveys. The few that might
occur would represent a very small
proportion of their respective
populations. The average estimate of the
number of belugas that might be
exposed to ≥160 dB re 1 μPa (rms) (1,
with adjustment to 5 considering group
occurrence) represents <1% of its
population.
Seals—A few seal species are likely to
be encountered in the study area, but
ringed seal is by far the most abundant
in this area. The average estimates of the
numbers of individuals exposed to
sounds at received levels ≥160 dB re 1
μPa (rms) during the site clearance and
shallow hazards surveys are as follows:
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ringed seals (142), bearded seals (7), and
spotted seals (1), (representing <1% of
their respective Beaufort Sea
populations).
Impact on Availability of Affected
Species or Stock for Taking for
Subsistence Uses
Relevant Subsistence Uses
The disturbance and potential
displacement of marine mammals by
sounds from the proposed marine
surveys are the principal concerns
related to subsistence use of the area.
Subsistence remains the basis for Alaska
Native culture and community. Marine
mammals are legally hunted in Alaskan
waters by coastal Alaska Natives. In
rural Alaska, subsistence activities are
often central to many aspects of human
existence, including patterns of family
life, artistic expression, and community
religious and celebratory activities.
Additionally, the animals taken for
subsistence provide a significant portion
of the food that will last the community
throughout the year. The main species
that are hunted include bowhead and
beluga whales, ringed, spotted, and
bearded seals, walruses, and polar bears.
(Both the walrus and the polar bear are
under the USFWS’ jurisdiction.) The
importance of each of these species
varies among the communities and is
largely based on availability.
The subsistence communities in the
Beaufort and Chukchi Seas that have the
potential to be impacted by Shell’s
proposed open water marine surveys
include Kaktovik, Nuiqsut, Barrow,
Wainwright, and Point Lay. Kaktovik is
a coastal community near the east
boundary of the proposed ice gouging
area. Nuiqsut is approximately 30 mi
(50 km) inland from the proposed site
clearance and shallow hazards survey
area. Cross Island, from which Nuiqsut
hunters base their bowhead whaling
activities, is approximately 44 mi (70
km) east of the proposed site clearance
and shallow hazards survey area.
Barrow lies approximately 168 mi (270
km) west of Shell’s Harrison Bay site
clearance and shallow hazards survey
areas. Wainwright is a coastal
community approximately 12 mi (20
km) to the southeast boundary of the
proposed ice gouging survey area in the
Chukchi Sea. Point Lay is another
coastal community boarding the
southwest boundary of the proposed ice
gouging survey area in the Chukchi Sea.
Point Hope is the western tip of the
North Slope and is approximately 124
mi (200 km) southwest of Shell’s
proposed ice gouge survey area in the
Chukchi Sea.
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(1) Bowhead Whales
Of the three communities along the
Beaufort Sea coast, Barrow is the only
one that currently participates in a
spring bowhead whale hunt. However,
this hunt is not anticipated to be
affected by Shell’s activities, as the
spring hunt occurs in late April to early
May, and Shell’s marine surveys in
Beaufort Sea will not begin until July at
the earliest.
All three communities participate in a
fall bowhead hunt. In autumn,
westward-migrating bowhead whales
typically reach the Kaktovik and Cross
Island (Nuiqsut hunters) areas by early
September, at which point the hunts
begin (Kaleak 1996; Long 1996;
Galginaitis and Koski 2002; Galginaitis
and Funk 2004, 2005; Koski et al. 2005).
Around late August, the hunters from
Nuiqsut establish camps on Cross Island
from where they undertake the fall
bowhead whale hunt. The hunting
period starts normally in early
September and may last as late as midOctober, depending mainly on ice and
weather conditions and the success of
the hunt. Most of the hunt occurs
offshore in waters east, north, and
northwest of Cross Island where
bowheads migrate and not inside the
barrier islands (Galginaitis 2007).
Hunters prefer to take bowheads close to
shore to avoid a long tow, but Braund
and Moorehead (1995) report that crews
may (rarely) pursue whales as far as 50
mi (80 km) offshore. Whaling crews use
Kaktovik as their home base, leaving the
village and returning on a daily basis.
The core whaling area is within 12 mi
(19.3 km) of the village with a periphery
ranging about 8 mi (13 km) farther, if
necessary. The extreme limits of the
Kaktovik whaling hunt would be the
middle of Camden Bay to the west. The
timing of the Kaktovik bowhead whale
hunt roughly parallels the Cross Island
whale hunt (Impact Assessment Inc
1990b; SRB&A 2009: Map 64). In recent
years, the hunts at Kaktovik and Cross
Island have usually ended by mid- to
late September.
Westbound bowheads typically reach
the Barrow area in mid-September, and
are in that area until late October
(Brower 1996). However, over the years,
local residents report having seen a
small number of bowhead whales
feeding off Barrow or in the pack ice off
Barrow during the summer. Recently,
autumn bowhead whaling near Barrow
has normally begun in mid-September
to early October, but in earlier years it
began as early as August if whales were
observed and ice conditions were
favorable (USDI/BLM 2005). The recent
decision to delay harvesting whales
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until mid-to-late September has been
made to prevent spoilage, which might
occur if whales were harvested earlier in
the season when the temperatures tend
to be warmer. Whaling near Barrow can
continue into October, depending on the
quota and conditions.
Along the Chukchi Sea, the spring
bowhead whale hunt for Wainwright
occurs between April and June in leads
offshore from the village. Whaling
camps can be located up to 16–24 km
(10–15 mi) from shore, depending on
where the leads open up. Whalers prefer
to be closer, however, and will
sometimes go overland north of
Wainwright to find closer leads (SRBA
1993). Residents of Point Lay have not
hunted bowhead whales in the recent
past, but were selected by the
International Whaling Commission
(IWC) to receive a bowhead whale quota
in 2009, and began bowhead hunting
again in 2009. In the more distant past,
Point Lay hunters traveled to Barrow,
Wainwright, or Point Hope to
participate in the bowhead whale
harvest activities. In Point Hope, the
bowhead whale hunt occurs between
March and June, when the pack-ice lead
is usually 10–11 km (6–7 mi) offshore.
Camps are set up along the landfast ice
edge to the south and southeast of the
village. Point Hope whalers took
between one and seven bowhead whales
per year between 1978 and 2008, with
the exception of 1980, 1989, 2002, and
2006, when no whales were taken
(Suydam and George 2004; Suydam et
al. 2008, 2007, 2006, 2005). There is no
fall bowhead hunt in Point Hope, as the
whales migrate back down on the west
side of the Bering Strait, out of range of
the Point Hope whalers (Fuller and
George 1997).
(2) Beluga Whales
Beluga whales are not a prevailing
subsistence resource in the communities
of Kaktovik and Nuiqsut. Kaktovik
hunters may harvest one beluga whale
in conjunction with the bowhead hunt;
however, it appears that most
households obtain beluga through
exchanges with other communities.
Although Nuiqsut hunters have not
hunted belugas for many years while on
Cross Island for the fall hunt, this does
not mean that they may not return to
this practice in the future. Data
presented by Braund and Kruse (2009)
indicate that only one percent of
Barrow’s total harvest between 1962 and
1982 was of beluga whales and that it
did not account for any of the harvested
animals between 1987 and 1989.
There has been minimal harvest of
beluga whales in Beaufort Sea villages
in recent years. Additionally, if belugas
are harvested, it is usually in
conjunction with the fall bowhead
harvest. Shell will not be operating
during the Kaktovik and Nuiqsut fall
bowhead harvests.
In the Chukchi communities, the
spring beluga hunt by Wainwright
residents is concurrent with the
bowhead hunt, but belugas are typically
taken only during the spring hunt if
bowheads are not present in the area.
Belugas are also hunted later in the
summer, between July and August,
along the coastal lagoon systems.
Belugas are usually taken less than 16
km (10 mi) from shore. Beluga whales
are harvested in June and July by Point
Lay residents. They are taken in the
highest numbers in Naokak and
Kukpowruk Passes south of Point Lay,
but hunters will travel north to Utukok
Pass and south to Cape Beaufort in
search of belugas. The whales are
usually herded by hunters with their
boats into the shallow waters of
Kasegaluk Lagoon (MMS 2007). In Point
Hope, belugas are also hunted in the
spring, coincident with the spring
bowhead hunt. A second hunt takes
place later in the summer, in July and
August, and can extend into September,
depending on conditions and the IWC
quota. The summer hunt is conducted
in open water along the coastline on
either side of Point Hope, as far north
as Cape Dyer (MMS 2007). Belugas are
smaller than bowhead whales, but
beluga whales often make up a
significant portion of the total harvest
for Point Hope (Fuller and George 1997;
SRBA 1993). Ninety-eight belugas
harvested in 1992 made up 40.3% of the
total edible harvest for that year. Three
bowhead whales represented 6.9% of
the total edible harvest for the same year
(Fuller and George 1997).
(3) Ice Seals
Ringed seals are available to
subsistence users in the Beaufort Sea
year-round, but they are primarily
hunted in the winter or spring due to
the rich availability of other mammals
in the summer. Bearded seals are
primarily hunted during July in the
Beaufort Sea; however, in 2007, bearded
seals were harvested in the months of
August and September at the mouth of
the Colville River Delta. An annual
bearded seal harvest occurs in the
vicinity of Thetis Island in July through
August. Approximately 20 bearded seals
are harvested annually through this
hunt. Spotted seals are harvested by
some of the villages in the summer
months. Nuiqsut hunters typically hunt
spotted seals in the nearshore waters off
the Colville River delta, which drains
into Harrison Bay, where Shell’s
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proposed site clearance and shallow
hazards surveys are planned.
Although there is the potential for
some of the Beaufort villages to hunt ice
seals during the summer and fall
months while Shell is conducting
marine surveys, the primary sealing
months occur outside of Shell’s
operating time frame.
In the Chukchi Sea, seals are most
often taken between May and September
by Wainwright residents. Wainwright
hunters will travel as far south as
Kuchaurak Creek (south of Point Lay)
and north to Peard Bay. Hunters
typically stay within 72 km (45 mi) of
the shore. Ringed and bearded seals are
harvested all year by Point Lay hunters.
Ringed seals are hunted 32 km (20 mi)
north of Point Lay, as far as 40 km (25
mi) offshore. Hunters travel up to 48 m
(30 mi) north of the community for
bearded seals, which are concentrated
in the Solivik Island area. Bearded seals
are also taken south of the community
in Kasegaluk Lagoon, and as far as 40
km (25 mi) from shore. Seals are
harvested throughout most of the year
by the Point Hope community, although
they tend to be taken in the greatest
numbers in the winter and spring
months. The exception is the bearded
seal hunt, which peaks later in the
spring and into the summer (Fuller and
George 1997; MMS 2007). Species of
seals harvested by Point Hope hunters
include ringed, spotted, and bearded.
Seals are hunted on the ice (Fuller and
George 1997). Hunters tend to stay close
to the shore but will travel up to 24 km
(15 mi) offshore south of the point,
weather dependent. Seals are hunted to
the north of the community as well, but
less often, as the ice is less stable and
can be dangerous. Seals are taken
between Akoviknak Lagoon to the south
and Ayugatak Lagoon to the north
(MMS 2007).
Potential Impacts to Subsistence Uses
NMFS has defined ‘‘unmitigable
adverse impact’’ in 50 CFR 216.103 as:
* * * an impact resulting from the
specified activity: (1) That is likely to reduce
the availability of the species to a level
insufficient for a harvest to meet subsistence
needs by: (i) Causing the marine mammals to
abandon or avoid hunting areas; (ii) Directly
displacing subsistence users; or (iii) Placing
physical barriers between the marine
mammals and the subsistence hunters; and
(2) That cannot be sufficiently mitigated by
other measures to increase the availability of
marine mammals to allow subsistence needs
to be met.
Noise and general activity during
Shell’s proposed open water marine
surveys have the potential to impact
marine mammals hunted by Native
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Alaskans. In the case of cetaceans, the
most common reaction to anthropogenic
sounds (as noted previously in this
document) is avoidance of the
ensonified area. In the case of bowhead
whales, this often means that the
animals divert from their normal
migratory path by several kilometers.
Additionally, general vessel presence in
the vicinity of traditional hunting areas
could negatively impact a hunt.
In the case of subsistence hunts for
bowhead whales in the Beaufort and
Chukchi Seas, there could be an adverse
impact on the hunt if the whales were
deflected seaward (further from shore)
in traditional hunting areas. The impact
would be that whaling crews would
have to travel greater distances to
intercept westward migrating whales,
thereby creating a safety hazard for
whaling crews and/or limiting chances
of successfully striking and landing
bowheads.
Plan of Cooperation (POC or Plan)
Regulations at 50 CFR 216.104(a)(12)
require IHA applicants for activities that
take place in Arctic waters to provide a
POC or information that identifies what
measures have been taken and/or will
be taken to minimize adverse effects on
the availability of marine mammals for
subsistence purposes.
Shell’s POC is also subject to MMS
Lease Sale Stipulation No. 5, which
requires that all exploration operations
be conducted in a manner that prevents
unreasonable conflicts between oil and
gas activities and the subsistence
activities and resources of residents of
the North Slope.
The POC identifies the measures that
Shell has developed in consultation
with North Slope subsistence
communities and will implement
during its planned 2010 site clearance
and shallow hazards surveys and ice
gouge surveys to minimize any adverse
effects on the availability of marine
mammals for subsistence uses. In
addition, the POC details Shell’s
communications and consultations with
local subsistence communities
concerning its planned 2010 program,
potential conflicts with subsistence
activities, and means of resolving any
such conflicts. Shell states that through
its Subsistence Advisor (SA) and Com
and Call Center (Com Center) program
for 2010, Shell’s SA and Shell
representatives in the Com Centers will
be available daily to the communities
throughout the 2010 season. The SA and
Com Center programs provide residents
of the nearest affected communities a
way to communicate where and when
subsistence activities so that industry
may avoid conflicts with planned
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subsistence activities. Shell continues to
document its contacts with the North
Slope subsistence communities, as well
as the substance of its communications
with subsistence stakeholder groups.
Shell states that the POC will be, and
has been in the past, the result of
numerous meetings and consultations
between Shell, affected subsistence
communities and stakeholders, and
federal agencies. The POC identifies and
documents potential conflicts and
associated measures that will be taken
to minimize any adverse effects on the
availability of marine mammals for
subsistence use. Outcomes of POC
meetings are attached to the POC as
addenda and were distributed to
Federal, State, and local agencies as
well as local stakeholder groups that
either adjudicate or influence mitigation
approaches for Shell’s open water
programs.
Meetings for Shell’s 2010 program in
the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas were
conducted for Nuiqsut, Kaktovik,
Barrow, Point Hope, Point Lay,
Wainwright, and Kotzebue in the 1st
quarter of 2010. Shell met with the
marine mammal commissions and
committees including the Alaska
Eskimo Whaling Commission, Eskimo
Walrus Commission, Alaska Beluga
Whale Committee, Alaska Ice Seal
Committee, and the Alaska Nanuuq
Commission on December 8, 2009 in comanagement meeting. Throughout 2010
Shell anticipates continued engagement
with the marine mammal commissions
and committees active in the
subsistence harvests and marine
mammal research.
Following the 2010 season, Shell
intends to have a post-season comanagement meeting with the
commissioners and committee heads to
discuss results of mitigation measures
and outcomes of the preceding season.
The goal of the post-season meeting is
to build upon the knowledge base,
discuss successful or unsuccessful
outcomes of mitigation measures, and
possibly refine plans or mitigation
measures if necessary.
Mitigation Measures
In order to issue an incidental take
authorization under Section 101(a)(5)(D)
of the MMPA, NMFS must set forth the
permissible methods of taking pursuant
to such activity, and other means of
effecting the least practicable adverse
impact on such species or stock and its
habitat, paying particular attention to
rookeries, mating grounds, and areas of
similar significance, and on the
availability of such species or stock for
taking for certain subsistence uses.
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For Shell’s proposed open water
marine surveys in the Beaufort and
Chukchi Sea, Shell worked with NMFS
and proposed the following mitigation
measures to minimize the potential
impacts to marine mammals in the
project vicinity as a result of the marine
survey activities.
As part of the application, Shell
submitted to NMFS a Marine Mammal
Monitoring and Mitigation Program
(4MP) for its shallow hazards survey
activities in the Beaufort Sea during the
2010 open-water season. The objectives
of the 4MP are:
• To ensure that disturbance to
marine mammals and subsistence hunts
is minimized and all permit stipulations
are followed,
• To document the effects of the
proposed survey activities on marine
mammals, and
• To collect baseline data on the
occurrence and distribution of marine
mammals in the study area.
For the proposed Shell’s 2010 open
water marine survey program in the
Beaufort and Chukchi Seas, the
following mitigation measures are
required.
(1) Sound Source Measurements
As described above, previous
measurements of airguns in the Harrison
Bay area were used to model the
distances at which received levels are
likely to fall below 160, 180, and 190 dB
re 1 μPa (rms) from the planned airgun
sources. These modeled distances will
be used as temporary safety radii until
measurements of the airgun sound
source are conducted. The
measurements will be made at the
beginning of the field season and the
measured radii used for the remainder
of the survey period.
The objectives of the sound source
verification measurements planned for
2010 in the Beaufort Sea will be to
measure the distances in the broadside
and endfire directions at which
broadband received levels reach 190,
180, 170, 160, and 120 dB re 1 μPa (rms)
for the energy source array
combinations that may be used during
the survey activities. The configurations
will include at least the full array and
the operation of a single source that will
be used during power downs. The
measurements of energy source array
sounds will be made at the beginning of
the survey and the distances to the
various radii will be reported as soon as
possible after recovery of the
equipment. The primary radii of
concern will be the 190 and 180 dB
safety radii for pinnipeds and cetaceans,
respectively, and the 160 dB
disturbance radii. In addition to
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reporting the radii of specific regulatory
concern, nominal distances to other
sound isopleths down to 120 dB re 1
μPa (rms) will be reported in increments
of 10 dB.
Data will be previewed in the field
immediately after download from the
ocean bottom hydrophone (OBH)
instruments. An initial sound source
analysis will be supplied to NMFS and
the airgun operators within 120 hours of
completion of the measurements, if
possible. The report will indicate the
distances to sound levels between 190
dB re 1 μPa (rms) and 120 dB re 1 μPa
(rms) based on fits of empirical
transmission loss formulae to data in the
endfire and broadside directions. The
120-hour report findings will be based
on analysis of measurements from at
least three of the OBH systems. A more
detailed report including analysis of
data from all OBH systems will be
issued to NMFS as part of the 90-day
report following completion of the
acoustic program.
Airgun pressure waveform data from
the OBH systems will be analyzed using
JASCO’s suite of custom signal
processing software that implements the
following data processing steps:
• Energy source pulses in the OBH
recordings are identified using an
automated detection algorithm. The
algorithm also chooses the 90% energy
time window for rms sound level
computations.
• Waveform data is converted to units
of μPa using the calibrated acoustic
response of the OBH system. Gains for
frequency-dependent hydrophone
sensitivity, amplifier and digitizer are
applied in this step.
• For each pulse, the distance to the
airgun array is computed from GPS
deployment positions of the OBH
systems and the time referenced DGPS
navigation logs of the survey vessel.
• The waveform data are processed to
determine flat-weighted peak sound
pressure level (PSPL), rms SPL and SEL.
• Each energy pulse is Fast Fourier
Transformed (FFT) to obtain 1-Hz
spectral power levels in 1-second steps.
• The spectral power levels are
integrated in standard 1/3-octave bands
to obtain band sound pressure levels
(BSPL) for bands from 10 Hz to 20 kHz.
Both un-weighted and M-weighted
(frequency weighting based on hearing
sensitivities of four marine mammal
functional hearing groups, see Southall
et al. (2007) for a review) SPL’s for each
airgun pulse may be computed in this
step for species of interest.
The output of the above data
processing steps includes listings and
graphs of airgun array narrow band and
broadband sound levels versus range,
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and spectrograms of shot waveforms at
specified ranges. Of particular
importance are the graphs of level
versus range that are used to compute
representative radii to specific sound
level thresholds.
Power density spectra (frequency
spectra) of high frequency active
acoustic sources (operating frequency
>180 kHz) that will be used in Shell’s
marine surveys will also be measured
against ambient background noise levels
and reported in 1/3-octave band and 1Hz band from 10 Hz to 180 kHz. The
purpose for this measurement is to
determine whether there is any acoustic
energy within marine mammal hearing
ranges that would be generated from
operating these high frequency acoustic
sources.
(2) Safety and Disturbance Zones
Under current NMFS guidelines,
‘‘safety radii’’ for marine mammal
exposure to impulse sources are
customarily defined as the distances
within which received sound levels are
≥180 dB re 1 μPa (rms) for cetaceans and
≥190 dB re 1 μPa (rms) for pinnipeds.
These safety criteria are based on an
assumption that SPL received at levels
lower than these will not injure these
animals or impair their hearing abilities,
but that SPL received at higher levels
might have some such effects.
Disturbance or behavioral effects to
marine mammals from underwater
sound may occur after exposure to
sound at distances greater than the
safety radii (Richardson et al. 1995).
Initial safety and disturbance radii for
the sound levels produced by the survey
activities have been modeled. These
radii will be used for mitigation
purposes until results of direct
measurements are available early during
the exploration activities. The planned
survey will use an airgun source
composed of either 40 in3 airguns or 1
× 20-in3 plus 2 × 10-in3 airguns. The
total source volume will be 4 × 10 in3.
Measurements of a 2 × 10-in3 airgun
array used in 2007 were reported by
Funk et al. (2008). These measurements
were used as the basis for modeling both
of the potential airgun arrays that may
be used in 2010. The modeling results
showed that the 40 in3 array is likely to
produce sounds that propagate further
than the alternative array, so those
results were used to estimate ‘‘takes by
harassment’’ in Shell’s IHA application
and will also be used during initial
survey activities prior to in-field sound
source measurements. The modeled 190
and 180 dB distances from a 40 cubic
inch array were 35 and 125 m,
respectively. Because this is a modeled
estimate, but based on similar
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measurements at the same location, the
estimated distances for initial safety
radii were only increased by a factor of
1.25 instead of a typical 1.5 factor. This
results in a 190-dB distance of 44 m and
a 180-dB distance of 156 m.
A single 10-in3 airgun will be used as
a mitigation gun during turns or if a
power down of the full array is
necessary due to the presence of a
marine mammal close to the vessel.
Underwater sound propagation of a 10in3 airgun was measured near Harrison
Bay in 2007 and results were reported
in Funk et al. (2008). The 190 dB and
180 dB distances from those
measurements, 5 m and 20 m
respectively, will be used as the presound source measurement safety zones
during use of the single mitigation gun.
An acoustics contractor will perform
the direct measurements of the received
levels of underwater sound versus
distance and direction from the energy
source arrays using calibrated
hydrophones. The acoustic data will be
analyzed as quickly as reasonably
practicable in the field and used to
verify (and if necessary adjust) the
safety distances. The mitigation
measures to be implemented at the 190
and 180 dB sound levels will include
power downs and shut downs as
described below.
(3) Power Downs and Shut Downs
A power-down is the immediate
reduction in the number of operating
energy sources from all firing to some
smaller number. A shutdown is the
immediate cessation of firing of all
energy sources. The arrays will be
immediately powered down whenever a
marine mammal is sighted approaching
close to or within the applicable safety
zone of the full arrays but is outside or
about to enter the applicable safety zone
of the single mitigation source. If a
marine mammal is sighted within the
applicable safety zone of the single
mitigation airgun, the entire array will
be shut down (i.e., no sources firing).
Although MMOs will be located on the
bridge ahead of the center of the airgun
array, the shutdown criterion for
animals ahead of the vessel will be
based on the distance from the bridge
(vantage point for MMOs) rather than
from the airgun array—a precautionary
approach. For marine mammals sighted
alongside or behind the airgun array, the
distance is measured from the array.
Following a power-down or
shutdown, operation of the airgun array
will not resume until the marine
mammal has cleared the applicable
safety zone. The animal will be
considered to have cleared the safety
zone if it:
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• Is visually observed to have left the
safety zone;
• Has not been seen within the zone
for 15 min in the case of small
odontocetes and pinnipeds; or
• Has not been seen within the zone
for 30 min in the case of mysticetes.
In the unanticipated event that an
injured or dead marine mammal is
sighted within an area where Shell
deployed and utilized seismic airguns
within the past 24 hours, Shell will
immediately shutdown the seismic
airgun array and notify the Marine
Mammal Stranding Network within 24
hours of the sighting.
In the event that the marine mammal
has been determined to have been
deceased for at least 72 hours, as
certified by the lead MMO onboard the
source vessel, and no other marine
mammals have been reported injured or
dead during that same 72 hour period,
the airgun array may be restarted (by
conducting the necessary ramp-up
procedures described elsewhere in this
section of the document) upon
completion of a written certification by
the MMO. The certification must
include the following: species or
description of the animal(s); the
condition of the animal(s) (including
carcass condition if the animal is dead);
location and time of first discovery;
observed behaviors (if alive); and
photographs or video (if available).
Within 24 hours after the event
specified herein, Shell must notify
NMFS by telephone or email of the
event and ensure that the written
certification is provided to NMFS.
In the event that the marine mammal
injury resulted from something other
than seismic airgun operations (e.g.,
gunshot wound, polar bear attack), as
certified by the lead MMO onboard the
seismic vessel, the airgun array may be
restarted (by conducting the necessary
ramp-up procedures described
elsewhere in this section of the
document) upon completion of a written
certification by the MMO. The
certification must include the following:
species or description of the animal(s);
the condition of the animal(s) (including
carcass condition if the animal is dead);
location and time of first discovery;
observed behaviors (if alive); and
photographs or video (if available).
Within 24 hours after the event
specified herein, Shell must notify
NMFS by telephone or email of the
event and ensure that the written
certification is provided to NMFS.
In the event the animal has not been
dead for a period greater than 72 hours
or the cause of the injury or death
cannot be immediately determined by
the lead MMO, Shell shall immediately
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report the incident to either the NMFS
staff person designated by the Director,
Office of Protected Resources or to the
staff person designated by the Alaska
Regional Administrator. The lead MMO
must complete written certification and
provide it to the NMFS staff person. The
certification must include the following:
species or description of the animal(s);
the condition of the animal(s) (including
carcass condition if the animal is dead);
location and time of first discovery;
observed behaviors (if alive); and
photographs or video (if available). The
airgun array may be restarted (by
conducting the necessary ramp-up
procedures described elsewhere in this
section of the document) upon
completion of the written certification.
In the event that the marine mammal
death or injury was directly caused by
the seismic airgun operations (e.g.,
struck by a vessel, entangled in gear),
Shell shall immediately report the
incident to the designated NMFS staff
person by telephone or email and the
Marine Mammal Stranding Network of
the event and ensure that written
certification is provided to the NMFS
staff person. The certification must
include the following: species or
description of the animal(s); the
condition of the animal(s) (including
carcass condition if the animal is dead);
location and time of first discovery;
observed behaviors (if alive); and
photographs or video (if available). The
airguns may not be restarted until
NMFS has had an opportunity to review
the written certification and any
accompanying documentation, make
determinations as to whether
modifications to the activities are
appropriate and necessary, and has
notified Shell that activities may be
resumed. Approval to resume
operations may be provided via letter, email, or telephone.
(4) Ramp Ups
A ramp up of an airgun array provides
a gradual increase in sound levels, and
involves a stepwise increase in the
number and total volume of airguns
firing until the full volume is achieved.
The purpose of a ramp up (or ‘‘soft
start’’) is to ‘‘warn’’ cetaceans and
pinnipeds in the vicinity of the airguns
and to provide time for them to leave
the area and thus avoid any potential
injury or impairment of their hearing
abilities.
During the proposed shallow hazards
survey program, the seismic operator
will ramp up the airgun arrays slowly.
Full ramp ups (i.e., from a cold start
after a shut down, when no airguns have
been firing) will begin by firing a single
airgun in the array. The minimum
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duration of a shut-down period, i.e.,
without air guns firing, which must be
followed by a ramp up typically is the
amount of time it would take the source
vessel to cover the 180-dB safety radius.
The actual time period depends on ship
speed and the size of the 180-dB safety
radius. That period is estimated to be
about 1–2 minutes based on the
modeling results described above and a
survey speed of 4 knots.
A full ramp up, after a shut down,
will not begin until there has been a
minimum of 30 min of observation of
the safety zone by MMOs to assure that
no marine mammals are present. The
entire safety zone must be visible during
the 30-minute lead-in to a full ramp up.
If the entire safety zone is not visible,
then ramp up from a cold start cannot
begin. If a marine mammal(s) is sighted
within the safety zone during the 30minute watch prior to ramp up, ramp up
will be delayed until the marine
mammal(s) is sighted outside of the
safety zone or the animal(s) is not
sighted for at least 15–30 minutes: 15
minutes for small odontocetes and
pinnipeds, or 30 minutes for baleen
whales and large odontocetes.
During turns and transit between
seismic transects, at least one airgun
will remain operational. The ramp-up
procedure still will be followed when
increasing the source levels from one
airgun to the full arrays. However,
keeping one airgun firing will avoid the
prohibition of a cold start during
darkness or other periods of poor
visibility. Through use of this approach,
seismic operations can resume upon
entry to a new transect without a full
ramp up and the associated 30-minute
lead-in observations. MMOs will be on
duty whenever the airguns are firing
during daylight, and during the 30-min
periods prior to ramp-ups as well as
during ramp-ups. Daylight will occur for
24 h/day until mid-August, so until that
date MMOs will automatically be
observing during the 30-minute period
preceding a ramp up. Later in the
season, MMOs will be called out at
night to observe prior to and during any
ramp up. The seismic operator and
MMOs will maintain records of the
times when ramp-ups start, and when
the airgun arrays reach full power.
To help evaluate the utility and
effectiveness of ramp-up procedures,
MMOs are required to record and report
their observations during any ramp-up
period.
(5) Mitigation Measures Concerning
Bowhead Cow/Calf Pairs and Whale
Aggregations
For seismic activities (including
shallow hazards and site clearance and
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other marine surveys where active
acoustic sources will be employed) in
the Beaufort Sea after August 25, a 120dB monitoring (safety) zone for
bowhead whales will be established and
monitored for the next 24 hours if four
or more bowhead whale cow/calf pairs
are observed at the surface during an
aerial monitoring program within the
area where an ensonified 120-dB zone
around the vessel’s track is projected.
To the extent practicable, such
monitoring should focus on areas
upstream (eastward) of the bowhead
migration. No seismic surveying shall
occur within the 120-dB safety zone
around the area where these whale cowcalf pairs were observed, until two
consecutive surveys (aerial or vessel)
indicate they are no longer present
within the 120-dB safety zone of
seismic-surveying operations.
A 160-dB vessel monitoring zone for
bowhead and gray whales will be
established and monitored in the
Chukchi Sea and after August 25 in the
Beaufort Sea during all seismic surveys.
Whenever an aggregation of bowhead
whales or gray whales (12 or more
whales of any age/sex class that appear
to be engaged in a nonmigratory,
significant biological behavior (e.g.,
feeding, socializing)) are observed
during an aerial or vessel monitoring
program within the 160-dB safety zone
around the seismic activity, the seismic
operation will not commence or will
shut down, until two consecutive
surveys (aerial or vessel) indicate they
are no longer present within the 160-dB
safety zone of seismic-surveying
operations.
Survey information, especially
information about bowhead whale cowcalf pairs or feeding bowhead or gray
whale aggregations, shall be provided to
NMFS as required in MMPA
authorizations, and will form the basis
for NMFS determining whether
additional mitigation measures, if any,
will be required over a given time
period.
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(6) Mitigation Measures Concerning
Vessel Speed and Directions
Furthermore, the following measures
concerning vessel speed and directions
are required for Shell’s 2010 open water
marine survey program in the Beaufort
and Chukchi Seas:
• All vessels should reduce speed to
below 10 knots when within 300 yards
(274 m) of whales, and those vessels
capable of steering around such groups
should do so. Vessels may not be
operated in such a way as to separate
members of a group of whales from
other members of the group;
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• Avoid multiple changes in direction
and speed when within 300 yards (274
m) of whales; and
• When weather conditions require,
such as when visibility drops, support
vessels must adjust speed accordingly to
avoid the likelihood of injury to whales.
(7) Subsistence Mitigation Measures
The following mitigation measures,
plans, and programs shall be
implemented to reduce impacts from
Shell’s marine surveys that could
potentially affect subsistence groups
and communities. These measures,
plans, and programs have been effective
in past seasons of work in the Arctic
and were developed in past
consultations with these communities.
These measures, plans, and programs
will be implemented by Shell during its
2010 program in both the Beaufort and
Chukchi Seas to monitor and mitigate
potential impacts to subsistence users
and resources.
Shell states that it will implement the
following additional measures to ensure
coordination of its activities with local
subsistence users to minimize further
the risk of impacting marine mammals
and interfering with any subsistence
hunts:
• For the purposes of reducing or
eliminating conflicts between
subsistence whaling activities and
Shell’s survey program, Shell will
participate with other operators in the
Communication and Call Centers (ComCenter) Program. The Com-Centers will
be operated 24 hours/day during the
2010 fall subsistence bowhead whale
hunt.
• To minimize impacts on marine
mammals and subsistence hunting
activities, the source vessel will transit
through the Chukchi Sea along a route
that lies offshore of the polynya zone.
This entry into the Chukchi Sea will not
occur before July 1, 2010. In the event
the transit outside of the polynya zone
results in Shell having to move away
from ice, the source vessel may enter
into the polynya zone. If it is necessary
to move into the polynya zone, Shell
will notify the local communities of the
change in the transit route through the
Com-Centers.
• Shell has developed a
Communication Plan and will
implement the plan before initiating the
2010 program to coordinate activities
with local subsistence users as well as
Village Whaling Associations in order to
minimize the risk of interfering with
subsistence hunting activities, and keep
current as to the timing and status of the
bowhead whale migration, as well as the
timing and status of other subsistence
hunts. The Communication Plan
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includes procedures for coordination
with Com-Centers to be located in
coastal villages along the Beaufort and
Chukchi Seas during Shell’s program in
2010.
• Shell will employ local Subsistence
Advisors from the Beaufort and Chukchi
Sea villages to provide consultation and
guidance regarding the whale migration
and subsistence hunt. There may be up
to nine subsistence advisor-liaison
positions (one per village), to work
approximately 8 hours per day and 40hour weeks through Shell’s 2010
program. The subsistence advisor will
use local knowledge (Traditional
Knowledge) to gather data on
subsistence lifestyle within the
community and advise as to ways to
minimize and mitigate potential impacts
to subsistence resources during program
activities. Responsibilities include
reporting any subsistence concerns or
conflicts; coordinating with subsistence
users; reporting subsistence-related
comments, concerns, and information;
and advising how to avoid subsistence
conflicts. A subsistence advisor
handbook will be developed prior to the
operational season to specify position
work tasks in more detail.
• Shell will also implement flight
restrictions prohibiting aircraft from
flying within 1,000 ft (300 m) of marine
mammals or below 1,500 ft (457 m)
altitude (except during takeoffs and
landings or in emergency situations)
while over land or sea.
• Upon notification by a Com-Center
operator of an at-sea emergency, Shell
will provide such assistance as
necessary to prevent the loss of life, if
conditions allow the holder of this
Authorization to safely do so.
• Upon request for emergency
assistance made by a subsistence whale
hunting organization, or by a member of
such an organization, in order to
prevent the loss of a whale, the holder
of this Authorization shall assist towing
of a whale taken in a traditional
subsistence whale hunt, if conditions
allow Shell to safely do so.
• Post-season Review: Following
completion of the 2010 Beaufort and
Chukchi Seas open water marine survey
program, Shell will conduct a comanagement meeting with the
commissioners and committee heads to
discuss results of mitigation measures
and outcomes of the preceding season.
The goal of the post-season meeting is
to build upon the knowledge base,
discuss successful or unsuccessful
outcomes of mitigation measures, and
possibly refine plans or mitigation
measures if necessary.
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Mitigation Conclusions
NMFS has carefully evaluated the
applicant’s proposed mitigation
measures and considered a range of
other measures in the context of
ensuring that NMFS prescribes the
means of effecting the least practicable
impact on the affected marine mammal
species and stocks and their habitat. Our
evaluation of potential measures
included consideration of the following
factors in relation to one another:
• The manner in which, and the
degree to which, the successful
implementation of the measure is
expected to minimize adverse impacts
to marine mammals;
• The proven or likely efficacy of the
specific measure to minimize adverse
impacts as planned; and
• The practicability of the measure
for applicant implementation.
Based on our evaluations and
analyses of the aforementioned
mitigation measures, NMFS has
determined that the mitigation measures
provide the means of effecting the least
practicable impact on marine mammal
species or stocks and their habitat,
paying particular attention to rookeries,
mating grounds, and areas of similar
significance, and will have no
unmitigable impact to subsistence hunt.
Monitoring and Reporting Measures
In order to issue an ITA for an
activity, Section 101(a)(5)(D) of the
MMPA states that NMFS must, where
applicable, set forth ‘‘requirements
pertaining to the monitoring and
reporting of such taking.’’ The MMPA
implementing regulations at 50 CFR
216.104 (a)(13) indicate that requests for
ITAs must include the suggested means
of accomplishing the necessary
monitoring and reporting that will result
in increased knowledge of the species
and of the level of taking or impacts on
populations of marine mammals that are
expected to be present in the proposed
action area.
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Monitoring Measures
The following monitoring measures
are required for Shell’s 2010 open water
marine survey program in the Beaufort
and Chukchi Seas.
(1) Vessel-based MMOs
Vessel-based monitoring for marine
mammals will be done by trained
MMOs throughout the period of marine
survey activities. MMOs will monitor
the occurrence and behavior of marine
mammals near the survey vessel during
all daylight periods during operation
and during most daylight periods when
airgun operations are not occurring.
MMO duties will include watching for
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and identifying marine mammals,
recording their numbers, distances, and
reactions to the survey operations, and
documenting ‘‘take by harassment’’ as
defined by NMFS.
A sufficient number of MMOs will be
required onboard the survey vessel to
meet the following criteria: (1) 100%
monitoring coverage during all periods
of survey operations in daylight; (2)
maximum of 4 consecutive hours on
watch per MMO; and (3) maximum of
12 hours of watch time per day per
MMO.
MMO teams will consist of Inupiat
observers and experienced field
biologists. An experienced field crew
leader will supervise the MMO team
onboard the survey vessel. New
observers shall be paired with
experienced observers to avoid
situations where lack of experience
impairs the quality of observations. The
total number of MMOs may decrease
later in the season as the duration of
daylight decreases.
Shell anticipates that there will be
provision for crew rotation at least every
six to eight weeks to avoid observer
fatigue. During crew rotations detailed
hand-over notes will be provided to the
incoming crew leader by the outgoing
leader. Other communications such as
email, fax, and/or phone
communication between the current and
oncoming crew leaders during each
rotation will also occur when possible.
In the event of an unexpected crew
change Shell will facilitate such
communications to insure monitoring
consistency among shifts.
Crew leaders and most other
biologists serving as observers in 2010
will be individuals with experience as
observers during one or more of the
1996–2009 seismic or shallow hazards
monitoring projects in Alaska, the
Canadian Beaufort, or other offshore
areas in recent years.
Biologist-observers will have previous
marine mammal observation experience,
and field crew leaders will be highly
experienced with previous vessel-based
marine mammal monitoring and
mitigation projects. Resumes for those
individuals will be provided to NMFS
for review and acceptance of their
qualifications. Inupiat observers will be
experienced in the region, familiar with
the marine mammals of the area, and
complete a NMFS-approved observer
training course designed to familiarize
individuals with monitoring and data
collection procedures. A marine
mammal observers’ handbook, adapted
for the specifics of the planned survey
program, will be prepared and
distributed beforehand to all MMOs.
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Most observers, including Inupiat
observers, will also complete a two-day
training and refresher session on marine
mammal monitoring, to be conducted
shortly before the anticipated start of the
2010 open-water season. Any
exceptions will have or receive
equivalent experience or training. The
training session(s) will be conducted by
qualified marine mammalogists with
extensive crew-leader experience during
previous vessel-based seismic
monitoring programs. Observers should
be trained using visual aids (e.g., videos,
photos), to help them identify the
species that they are likely to encounter
in the conditions under which the
animals will likely be seen.
If there are Alaska Native MMOs, the
MMO training that is conducted prior to
the start of the survey activities should
be conducted with both Alaska Native
MMOs and biologist MMOs being
trained at the same time in the same
room. There should not be separate
training courses for the different MMOs.
Primary objectives of the training
include:
• Review of the marine mammal
monitoring plan for this project,
including any amendments specified by
NMFS in the IHA (if issued), by USFWS
and by MMS, or by other agreements in
which Shell may elect to participate;
• Review of marine mammal sighting,
identification, and distance estimation
methods;
• Review of operation of specialized
equipment (reticle binoculars, night
vision devices, and GPS system);
• Review of, and classroom practice
with, data recording and data entry
systems, including procedures for
recording data on marine mammal
sightings, monitoring operations,
environmental conditions, and entry
error control. These procedures will be
implemented through use of a
customized computer database and
laptop computers; and
• Review of the specific tasks of the
Inupiat Communicator.
Observers should understand the
importance of classifying marine
mammals as ‘‘unknown’’ or
‘‘unidentified’’ if they cannot identify
the animals to species with confidence.
In those cases, they should note any
information that might aid in the
identification of the marine mammal
sighted. For example, for an
unidentified mysticete whale, the
observers should record whether the
animal had a dorsal fin.
MMOs will watch for marine
mammals from the best available
vantage point on the survey vessel,
typically the bridge. MMOs will scan
systematically with the unaided eye and
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7 × 50 reticle binoculars, supplemented
with 20 × 60 image-stabilized Zeiss
Binoculars or Fujinon 25 × 150 ‘‘Big-eye’’
binoculars and night-vision equipment
when needed. With two or three
observers on watch, the use of big eyes
should be paired with searching by
naked eye, the latter allowing visual
coverage of nearby areas to detect
marine mammals. Personnel on the
bridge will assist the MMOs in watching
for marine mammals.
Observers should attempt to
maximize the time spent looking at the
water and guarding the safety radii.
They should avoid the tendency to
spend too much time evaluating animal
behavior or entering data on forms, both
of which detract from their primary
purpose of monitoring the safety zone.
Observers should use the best
possible positions for observing (e.g.,
outside and as high on the vessel as
possible), taking into account weather
and other working conditions. MMOs
shall carefully document visibility
during observation periods so that total
estimates of take can be corrected
accordingly.
Information to be recorded by marine
mammal observers will include the
same types of information that were
recorded during recent monitoring
programs associated with Industry
activity in the Arctic (e.g., Ireland et al.
2009). When a mammal sighting is
made, the following information about
the sighting will be recorded:
(A) Species, group size, age/size/sex
categories (if determinable), behavior
when first sighted and after initial
sighting, heading (if consistent), bearing
and distance from the MMO, apparent
reaction to activities (e.g., none,
avoidance, approach, paralleling, etc.),
closest point of approach, and
behavioral pace;
(B) Time, location, speed, activity of
the vessel, sea state, ice cover, visibility,
and sun glare;
(C) The positions of other vessel(s) in
the vicinity of the MMO location; and
(D) Whether adjustments were made
to Shell’s activity status.
The ship’s position, speed of support
vessels, and water temperature, water
depth, sea state, ice cover, visibility, and
sun glare will also be recorded at the
start and end of each observation watch,
every 30 minutes during a watch, and
whenever there is a change in any of
those variables.
Distances to nearby marine mammals
will be estimated with binoculars
(Fujinon 7 × 50 binoculars) containing
a reticle to measure the vertical angle of
the line of sight to the animal relative
to the horizon. MMOs may use a laser
rangefinder to test and improve their
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abilities for visually estimating
distances to objects in the water.
However, previous experience showed
that a Class 1 eye-safe device was not
able to measure distances to seals more
than about 230 ft (70 m) away. The
device was very useful in improving the
distance estimation abilities of the
observers at distances up to about 1,968
ft (600 m)—the maximum range at
which the device could measure
distances to highly reflective objects
such as other vessels. Humans observing
objects of more-or-less known size via a
standard observation protocol, in this
case from a standard height above water,
quickly become able to estimate
distances within about ±20% when
given immediate feedback about actual
distances during training.
For monitoring related to deployment
of the AUV, MMOs will advise the
vehicle operators prior to deployment if
aggregations of marine mammals have
been observed in the survey area which
might increase the likelihood of the
vehicle encountering an animal or
otherwise disturbing a group of animals.
Shell plans to conduct the site
clearance and shallow hazards survey
24 hr/day. Regarding nighttime
operations, note that there will be no
periods of total darkness until midAugust. When operating under
conditions of reduced visibility
attributable to darkness or to adverse
weather conditions, night-vision
equipment (‘‘Generation 3’’ binocular
image intensifiers, or equivalent units)
will be available for use.
(2) Aerial Survey Program
Shell proposes to conduct an aerial
survey program in support of the
shallow hazards program in the Beaufort
Sea during the fall of 2010. The shallow
hazards survey program may start in the
Beaufort Sea as early as July 2010,
however, aerial surveys would not begin
until the start of the bowhead whale
migration, around August 20, 2010. The
objectives of the aerial survey will be:
• To advise operating vessels as to the
presence of marine mammals (primarily
cetaceans) in the general area of
operation;
• To collect and report data on the
distribution, numbers, movement and
behavior of marine mammals near the
survey operations with special emphasis
on migrating bowhead whales;
• To support regulatory reporting
related to the estimation of impacts of
survey operations on marine mammals;
• To investigate potential deflection
of bowhead whales during migration by
documenting how far east of survey
operations a deflection may occur and
where whales return to normal
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migration patterns west of the
operations; and
• To monitor the accessibility of
bowhead whales to Inupiat hunters.
Specially-outfitted Twin Otter aircraft
have an excellent safety record and are
expected to be the survey aircraft. These
aircraft will be specially modified for
survey work and have been used
extensively by NMFS, Alaska
Department of Fish and Game, North
Slope Borough, and LGL Limited during
many marine mammal projects in
Alaska, including industry-funded
projects as recent as the 2006–2008
seasons. The aircraft will be provided
with a comprehensive set of survival
equipment appropriate to offshore
surveys in the Arctic. For safety reasons,
the aircraft will be operated with two
pilots.
Aerial survey flights will begin
around August 20, 2010. Surveys will
then be flown daily during the shallow
hazards survey operations, weather and
flight conditions permitting, and
continued for 5 to 7 days after all
activities at the site have ended.
The aerial survey procedures will be
generally consistent with those used
during earlier industry studies (Davis et
al. 1985; Johnson et al. 1986; Evans et
al. 1987; Miller et al. 1997, 1998, 1999,
2002; Patterson 2007). This will
facilitate comparison and pooling of
data where appropriate. However, the
specific survey grids will be tailored to
Shell’s operations. During the 2010
open-water season Shell will coordinate
and cooperate with the aerial surveys
conducted by MMS/NMFS and any
other groups conducting surveys in the
same region.
It is understood that shallow hazard
survey timing and the specific location
offshore of Harrison Bay are subject to
change as a result of unpredictable
weather and ice conditions. The aerial
survey design is therefore intended to be
flexible and able to adapt at short notice
to changes in the operations.
For marine mammal monitoring
flights, aircraft will be flown at
approximately 120 knots (138 mph)
ground speed and usually at an altitude
of 1,000 ft (305 m). Flying at a survey
speed of 120 knots (138 mph) greatly
increases the amount of area that can be
surveyed, given aircraft limitations,
with minimal effect on the ability to
detect bowhead whales. Surveys in the
Beaufort Sea are directed at bowhead
whales, and an altitude of 900–1,000 ft
(274–305 m) is the lowest survey
altitude that can normally be flown
without concern about potential aircraft
disturbance. Aerial surveys at an
altitude of 1,000 ft (305 m) do not
provide much information about seals
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but are suitable for both bowhead and
beluga whales. The need for a 900–
1,000+ (374–305 m) ft cloud ceiling will
limit the dates and times when surveys
can be flown.
Two primary observers will be seated
at bubble windows on either side of the
aircraft and a third observer will observe
part time and record data the rest of the
time. All observers need bubble
windows to facilitate downward
viewing. For each marine mammal
sighting, the observer will dictate the
species, number, size/age/sex class
when determinable, activity, heading,
swimming speed category (if traveling),
sighting cue, ice conditions (type and
percentage), and inclinometer reading to
the marine mammal into a digital
recorder. The inclinometer reading will
be taken when the animal’s location is
90° to the side of the aircraft track,
allowing calculation of lateral distance
from the aircraft trackline.
Transect information, sighting data
and environmental data will be entered
into a GPS-linked computer by the third
observer and simultaneously recorded
on digital voice recorders for backup
and validation. At the start of each
transect, the observer recording data
will record the transect start time and
position, ceiling height (ft), cloud cover
(in 10ths), wind speed (knots), wind
direction (°T) and outside air
temperature (°C). In addition, each
observer will record the time, visibility
(subjectively classified as excellent,
good, moderately impaired, seriously
impaired or impossible), sea state
(Beaufort wind force), ice cover (in
10ths) and sun glare (none, moderate,
severe) at the start and end of each
transect, and at 2-min intervals along
the transect. This will provide data in
units suitable for statistical summaries
and analyses of effects of these variables
(and position relative to the survey
vessel) on the probability of detecting
animals (see Davis et al. 1982; Miller et
al. 1999; Thomas et al. 2002). The data
logger will automatically record time
and aircraft position (latitude and
longitude) for sightings and transect
waypoints, and at pre-selected intervals
along transects.
Ice observations during aerial surveys
will be recorded and satellite imagery
may be used, where available, during
post-season analysis to determine ice
conditions adjacent to the survey area.
These are standard practices for surveys
of this type and are necessary in order
to interpret factors responsible for
variations in sighting rates.
Shell will assemble the information
needed to relate marine mammal
observations to the locations of the
survey vessel, and to the estimated
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received levels of industrial sounds at
mammal locations. During the aerial
surveys, Shell will record relevant
information on other industry vessels,
whaling vessels, low-flying aircraft, or
any other human activities that are
observed in the survey area.
Shell will also consult with MMS/
National Marine Mammal Laboratory
regarding coordination during the
survey activities and real-time sharing
of data. The aims will be:
• To ensure aircraft separation when
both crews conduct surveys in the same
general region;
• To coordinate the 2010 aerial
survey projects in order to maximize
consistency and minimize duplication;
• To use data from MMS’s broadscale surveys to supplement the results
of the more site specific Shell surveys
for purposes of assessing the effects of
shallow hazard survey activities on
whales and estimating ‘‘take by
harassment’’;
• To maximize consistency with
previous years’ efforts insofar as
feasible.
It is expected that raw bowhead
sighting and flight-line data will be
exchanged between MMS and Shell on
a daily basis during the survey period,
and that each team will also submit its
sighting information to NMFS in
Anchorage each day. After the Shell and
MMS data files have been reviewed and
finalized, they will be exchanged in
digital form.
Shell is not aware of any other related
aerial survey programs presently
scheduled to occur in the Alaskan
Beaufort Sea in areas where Shell is
anticipated to be conducting survey
operations during July–October 2010.
However, one or more other programs
are possible in support of other industry
and research operations. If another
aerial survey project were planned,
Shell would seek to coordinate with that
project to ensure aircraft separation,
maximize consistency, minimize
duplication, and share data.
During the late summer and fall,
bowhead whale is the primary species
of concern, but belugas and gray whales
are also present. To address concerns
regarding deflection of bowheads at
greater distances, the survey pattern
around shallow hazards survey
operations has been designed to
document whale distribution from about
25 mi (40 km) east of Shell’s vessel
operations to about 37 mi (60 km) west
of operations (see Figure 1 of Shell’s
4MP).
Bowhead whale movements during
the late summer/autumn are generally
from east to west, and transects should
be designed to intercept rather than
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parallel whale movements. The transect
lines in the grid will be oriented northsouth, equally spaced at 5 mi (8 km) and
randomly shifted in the east-west
direction for each survey by no more
than the transect spacing. The survey
grid will total about 808 mi (1,300 km)
in length, requiring approximately 6
hours to survey at a speed of 120 knots
(138 mph), plus ferry time. Exact
lengths and durations will vary
somewhat depending on the position of
the survey operation and thus of the
grid, the sequence in which lines are
flown (often affected by weather), and
the number of refueling/rest stops.
Weather permitting, transects making
up the grid in the Beaufort Sea will be
flown in sequence from west to east.
This decreases difficulties associated
with double counting of whales that are
(predominantly) migrating westward.
(3) Acoustic Monitoring
As discussed earlier in this document,
Shell will conduct SSV tests to establish
the isopleths for the applicable safety
radii. In addition, Shell proposes to use
acoustic recorders to study bowhead
deflections.
Shell plans to deploy arrays of
acoustic recorders in the Beaufort Sea in
2010, similar to that which was done in
2007 and 2008 using Directional
Autonomous Seafloor Acoustic
Recorders (DASARs) supplied by
Greeneridge. These directional acoustic
systems permit localization of bowhead
whale and other marine mammal
vocalizations. The purpose of the array
will be to further understand, define,
and document sound characteristics and
propagation resulting from shallow
hazards surveys that may have the
potential to cause deflections of
bowhead whales from their migratory
pathway. Of particular interest will be
the east-west extent of deflection, if any
(i.e., how far east of a sound source do
bowheads begin to deflect and how far
to the west beyond the sound source
does deflection persist). Of additional
interest will be the extent of offshore (or
towards shore) deflection that might
occur.
In previous work around seismic
operations in the Alaskan Beaufort Sea,
the primary method for studying this
question has been aerial surveys.
Acoustic localization methods will
provide supplementary information for
addressing the whale deflection
question. Compared to aerial surveys,
acoustic methods have the advantage of
providing a vastly larger number of
whale detections, and can operate day
or night, independent of visibility, and
to some degree independent of ice
conditions and sea state—all of which
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prevent or impair aerial surveys.
However, acoustic methods depend on
the animals to call, and to some extent,
assume that calling rate is unaffected by
exposure to industrial noise. Bowheads
call frequently in fall, but there is some
evidence that their calling rate may be
reduced upon exposure to industrial
sounds, complicating interpretation.
The combined use of acoustic and aerial
survey methods will provide a suite of
information that should be useful in
assessing the potential effects of survey
operations on migrating bowhead
whales.
Using passive acoustics with
directional autonomous recorders, the
locations of calling whales will be
observed for a 6- to 10-week continuous
monitoring period at five coastal sites
(subject to favorable ice and weather
conditions).
Shell plans to conduct the whale
migration monitoring using the passive
acoustics techniques developed and
used successfully since 2001 for
monitoring the migration past Northstar
production island northwest of Prudhoe
Bay and from Kaktovik to Harrison Bay
during the 2007–2009 migrations. Those
techniques involve using DASARs to
measure the arrival angles of bowhead
calls at known locations, then
triangulating to locate the calling whale.
In attempting to assess the responses
of bowhead whales to the planned
industrial operations, it will be essential
to monitor whale locations at sites both
near and far from industry activities.
Shell plans to monitor at five sites along
the Alaskan Beaufort coast as shown in
Figure 3 of Shell’s 4MP. The easternmost site (#5 in Figure 3 of the 4MP)
will be just east of Kaktovik and the
western-most site (#1 in Figure 3 of the
4MP) will be in the vicinity of Harrison
Bay. Site 2 will be located west of
Prudhoe Bay. Sites 4 and 3 will be west
of Camden Bay. These five sites will
provide information on possible
migration deflection well in advance of
whales encountering an industry
operation and on ‘‘recovery’’ after
passing such operations should a
deflection occur.
The proposed geometry of DASARs at
each site is comprised of seven DASARs
oriented in a north-south pattern
resulting in five equilateral triangles
with 4.3-mi (7-km) element spacing.
DASARs will be installed at planned
locations using a GPS. However, each
DASAR’s orientation once it settles on
the bottom is unknown and must be
determined to know how to reference
the call angles measured to the whales.
Also, the internal clocks used to sample
the acoustic data typically drift slightly,
but linearly, by an amount up to a few
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seconds after 6 weeks of autonomous
operation. Knowing the time differences
within a second or two between
DASARs is essential for identifying
identical whale calls received on two or
more DASARs.
Bowhead migration begins in late
August with the whales moving
westward from their feeding sites in the
Canadian Beaufort Sea. It continues
through September and well into
October. Shell will attempt to install the
21 DASARs at three sites (3, 4 and 5) in
early August. The remaining 14
DASARs will be installed at sites 1 and
2 in late August. Thus, Shell proposes
monitoring for whale calls from before
August 15 until sometime before
October 15, 2010.
At the end of the season, the fourth
DASAR in each array will be
refurbished, recalibrated, and
redeployed to collect data through the
winter. The other DASARs in the arrays
will be recovered. The redeployed
DASARs will be programmed to record
35 min every 3 hours with a disk
capacity of 10 months at that recording
rate. This should be ample space to
allow over-wintering from
approximately mid-October 2010,
through mid-July 2011.
Additional details on methodology
and data analysis for the three types of
monitoring described here (i.e., vesselbased, aerial, and acoustic) can be found
in the 4MP in Shell’s application (see
ADDRESSES).
Reporting Measures
(1) SSV Report
A report on the preliminary results of
the acoustic verification measurements,
including as a minimum the measured
190-, 180-, 160-, and 120-dB re 1 μPa
(rms) radii of the source vessel(s) and
the support vessels, will be submitted
within 120 hr after collection and
analysis of those measurements at the
start of the field season. This report will
specify the distances of the safety zones
that were adopted for the marine survey
activities.
(2) Technical Reports
The results of Shell’s 2010 open water
marine survey monitoring program (i.e.,
vessel-based, aerial, and acoustic),
including estimates of ‘‘take’’ by
harassment, will be presented in the
‘‘90-day’’ and Final Technical reports.
The Technical Reports will include: (a)
Summaries of monitoring effort (e.g.,
total hours, total distances, and marine
mammal distribution through the study
period, accounting for sea state and
other factors affecting visibility and
detectability of marine mammals); (b)
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analyses of the effects of various factors
influencing detectability of marine
mammals (e.g., sea state, number of
observers, and fog/glare); (c) species
composition, occurrence, and
distribution of marine mammal
sightings, including date, water depth,
numbers, age/size/gender categories (if
determinable), group sizes, and ice
cover; (d) analyses of the effects of
survey operations; (e) sighting rates of
marine mammals during periods with
and without airgun activities (and other
variables that could affect detectability);
(f) initial sighting distances versus
airgun activity state; (g) closest point of
approach versus airgun activity state;
(h) observed behaviors and types of
movements versus airgun activity state;
(i) numbers of sightings/individuals
seen versus airgun activity state;
(j) distribution around the survey vessel
versus airgun activity state; and (k)
estimates of take by harassment. This
information will be reported for both the
vessel-based and aerial monitoring. In
addition, Shell shall provide all spatial
data on charts (always including vessel
location) and make all data available in
the report, preferably electronically, for
integration with data from other
companies. Shell shall also
accommodate specific requests for raw
data, including tracks of all vessels and
aircraft associated with the operation
and activity logs documenting when
and what types of sounds are
introduced into the environment by the
operation.
Analysis of all acoustic data will be
prioritized to address the primary
questions. The primary data analysis
questions are to (a) Determine when,
where, and what species of animals are
acoustically detected on each DASAR,
(b) analyze data as a whole to determine
offshore bowhead distributions as a
function of time, (c) quantify spatial and
temporal variability in the ambient
noise, and (d) measure received levels of
airgun activities. The bowhead
detection data will be used to develop
spatial and temporal animal
distributions. Statistical analyses will be
used to test for changes in animal
detections and distributions as a
function of different variables (e.g., time
of day, time of season, environmental
conditions, ambient noise, vessel type,
operation conditions).
The initial technical report is due to
NMFS within 90 days of the completion
of Shell’s Beaufort and Chukchi Seas
open water marine survey programs.
The ‘‘90-day’’ report will be subject to
review and comment by NMFS. Any
recommendations made by NMFS must
be addressed in the final report prior to
acceptance by NMFS.
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(3) Comprehensive Report
In November, 2007, Shell (in
coordination and cooperation with other
Arctic seismic IHA holders) released a
final, peer-reviewed edition of the 2006
Joint Monitoring Program in the
Chukchi and Beaufort Seas, July–
November 2006 (LGL 2007). This report
is available on the NMFS Protected
Resources Web site (see ADDRESSES). In
March, 2009, Shell released a final,
peer-reviewed edition of the Joint
Monitoring Program in the Chukchi and
Beaufort Seas, Open Water Seasons,
2006–2007 (Ireland et al. 2009). This
report is also available on the NMFS
Protected Resources Web site (see
ADDRESSES). A draft comprehensive
report for 2008 (Funk et al. 2009) was
provided to NMFS and those attending
the Arctic Stakeholder Open-water
Workshop in Anchorage, Alaska, on
April 6–8, 2009. The 2008 report
provides data and analyses from a
number of industry monitoring and
research studies carried out in the
Chukchi and Beaufort Seas during the
2008 open-water season with
comparison to data collected in 2006
and 2007. Reviewers plan to provide
comments on the 2008 report to Shell
shortly. Once Shell is able to
incorporate reviewer comments, the
final 2008 report will be made available
to the public. The 2009 draft
comprehensive report is due to NMFS
by mid-April 2010. NMFS will make
this report available to the public upon
receipt.
Following the 2010 shallow hazards
surveys a comprehensive report
describing the vessel-based, aerial, and
acoustic monitoring programs will be
prepared. The comprehensive report
will describe the methods, results,
conclusions and limitations of each of
the individual data sets in detail. The
report will also integrate (to the extent
possible) the studies into a broad based
assessment of industry activities, and
other activities that occur in the
Beaufort and/or Chukchi seas, and their
impacts on marine mammals during
2010. The report will help to establish
long-term data sets that can assist with
the evaluation of changes in the
Chukchi and Beaufort Seas ecosystems.
The report will attempt to provide a
regional synthesis of available data on
industry activity in offshore areas of
northern Alaska that may influence
marine mammal density, distribution
and behavior. The comprehensive report
will be due to NMFS within 240 days
of the date of issuance of the IHA (if
issued).
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(4) Notification of Injured or Dead
Marine Mammals
Shell will notify NMFS’ Office of
Protected Resources and NMFS’
Stranding Network within 48 hours of
sighting an injured or dead marine
mammal in the vicinity of marine
survey operations. Shell will provide
NMFS with the species or description of
the animal(s), the condition of the
animal(s) (including carcass condition if
the animal is dead), location, time of
first discovery, observed behaviors (if
alive), and photo or video (if available).
In the event that an injured or dead
marine mammal is found by Shell that
is not in the vicinity of the proposed
open water marine survey program,
Shell will report the same information
as listed above as soon as operationally
feasible to NMFS.
Negligible Impact and Small Numbers
Analysis and Determination
NMFS has defined ‘‘negligible impact’’
in 50 CFR 216.103 as ‘‘* * * an impact
resulting from the specified activity that
cannot be reasonably expected to, and is
not reasonably likely to, adversely affect
the species or stock through effects on
annual rates of recruitment or survival.’’
In making a negligible impact
determination, NMFS considers a
variety of factors, including but not
limited to: (1) The number of
anticipated mortalities; (2) the number
and nature of anticipated injuries; (3)
the number, nature, intensity, and
duration of Level B harassment; and (4)
the context in which the takes occur.
No injuries or mortalities are
anticipated to occur as a result of Shell’s
proposed 2010 open water marine
surveys in the Beaufort and Chukchi
Seas, and none are proposed to be
authorized. Additionally, as discussed
previously in this document, animals in
the area are not expected to incur
hearing impairment (i.e., TTS or PTS) or
non-auditory physiological effects.
Takes will be limited to Level B
behavioral harassment. Although it is
possible that some individuals of
marine mammals may be exposed to
sounds from marine survey activities
more than once, the expanse of these
multi-exposures are expected to be less
extensive since both the animals and the
survey vessels will be moving
constantly in and out the survey areas.
The proposed marine survey areas in
the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas are not
known habitat for breeding or calving
for marine mammals during the time of
the proposed marine survey activities.
Although bowhead whales are
observed feeding in the Beaufort and
Chukchi Seas during the summer, some
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studies have shown that bowhead
whales will continue to feed in areas of
seismic operations (e.g., Richardson et
al. 2004). Therefore, it is reasonable to
conclude that the marine surveys using
active acoustic sources will not displace
bowhead whales from their important
feeding areas. Also, it is important to
note that the sounds produced by the
proposed Shell marine surveys are of
much lower intensity than those
produced by airgun arrays during a 3D
or 2D seismic survey. Should bowheads
choose to feed in the ensonified area
instead of avoiding the sound,
individuals may be exposed to sounds
at or above 160 dB re 1 μPa (rms) when
the survey vessel passes by. Depending
on the direction and speed of the survey
vessel, the duration of exposure is not
expected to be more than 15 minutes
(assuming the survey vessel is traveling
at 4 knots (7.5 km/hr) and heading
directly towards the whale but without
engaging the whale inside the safety
zone). While feeding in an area of
increased anthropogenic sound even
below NMFS current threshold for
behavioral harassment for impulse
sound, i.e. 160 dB re 1 μPa (rms), may
potentially result in increased stress, it
is not anticipated that the low received
levels from marine surveys and the
amount of time that an individual whale
may remain in the area to feed would
result in extreme physiological stress to
the animal (see review by Southall et al.
2007). Additionally, if an animal is
excluded from the area (such as
Harrison Bay) for feeding because it
decides to avoid the ensonified area,
this may result in some extra energy
expenditure for the animal to find an
alternate feeding area. However, there
are multiple feeding areas nearby in the
Beaufort Sea for bowhead whales to
choose from. The disruption to feeding
is not anticipated to have more than a
negligible impact on the affected species
or stock.
Beluga whales are less likely to occur
in the proposed marine survey area than
bowhead whales in Beaufort Sea.
Should any belugas occur in the area of
marine surveys, it is not expected that
they would be exposed for a prolonged
period of time, for the same reason
discussed above due to the movement of
survey vessel and animals. Gray whales,
humpback whales, and harbor porpoises
rarely occur in the Beaufort Sea,
therefore, the potential effects to these
species from the proposed open water
marine surveys is expected to be close
to none. The exposure of cetaceans to
sounds produced by the proposed
marine surveys is not expected to result
in more than Level B harassment and is
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anticipated to have no more than a
negligible impact on the affected species
or stock.
Some individual pinnipeds may be
exposed to sound from the proposed
marine surveys more than once during
the time frame of the project. However,
as discussed previously, due to the
constant moving of the survey vessel,
the probability of an individual
pinniped being exposed to sound
multiple times is much lower than if the
source is stationary. Therefore, NMFS
has determined that the exposure of
pinnipeds to sounds produced by the
proposed marine surveys in the Beaufort
and Chukchi Seas is not expected to
result in more than Level B harassment
and is anticipated to have no more than
a negligible impact on the affected
species or stock.
Of the eight marine mammal species
likely to occur in the proposed marine
survey area, only the bowhead and
humpback whales are listed as
endangered under the ESA. The species
are also designated as ‘‘depleted’’ under
the MMPA. Despite these designations,
the Bering-Chukchi-Beaufort stock of
bowheads has been increasing at a rate
of 3.4 percent annually for nearly a
decade (Allen and Angliss 2010).
Additionally, during the 2001 census,
121 calves were counted, which was the
highest yet recorded. The calf count
provides corroborating evidence for a
healthy and increasing population
(Allen and Angliss 2010). The
occurrence of humpback whales in the
proposed marine survey areas is
considered very rare. There is no critical
habitat designated in the U.S. Arctic for
the bowhead whale and humpback
whale. The bearded and ringed seals are
‘‘candidate species’’ under the ESA,
meaning they are currently being
considered for listing but are not
designated as depleted under the
MMPA. None of the other three species
that may occur in the project area are
listed as threatened or endangered
under the ESA or designated as depleted
under the MMPA.
Potential impacts to marine mammal
habitat were discussed previously in
this document (see the ‘‘Anticipated
Effects on Habitat’’ section). Although
some disturbance is possible to food
sources of marine mammals, the
impacts are anticipated to be minor
enough as to not affect rates of
recruitment or survival of marine
mammals in the area. Based on the vast
size of the Arctic Ocean where feeding
by marine mammals occurs versus the
localized area of the marine survey
activities, any missed feeding
opportunities in the direct project area
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would be minor based on the fact that
other feeding areas exist elsewhere.
The estimated takes proposed to be
authorized represent 0.01% of the
Beaufort Sea population of
approximately 39,258 beluga whales
(Allen and Angliss 2010), 0.004% of
Bering Sea stock of approximately
48,215 harbor porpoises, 0.01% of the
Eastern North Pacific stock of
approximately 17,752 gray whales,
2.67% of the Bering-Chukchi-Beaufort
population of 14,247 individuals
assuming 3.4 percent annual population
growth from the 2001 estimate of 10,545
animals (Zeh and Punt, 2005), and
0.21% of the Western North Pacific
stock of approximately 938 humpback
whales. The take estimates presented for
bearded, ringed, and spotted seals
represent 0.003, 0.06, and 0.002 percent
of U.S. Arctic stocks of each species,
respectively. These estimates represent
the percentage of each species or stock
that could be taken by Level B
behavioral harassment if each animal is
taken only once. In addition, the
mitigation and monitoring measures
(described previously in this document)
proposed for inclusion in the IHA (if
issued) are expected to reduce even
further any potential disturbance to
marine mammals.
Based on the analysis contained
herein of the likely effects of the
specified activity on marine mammals
and their habitat, and taking into
consideration the implementation of the
mitigation and monitoring measures,
NMFS finds that Shell’s proposed 2010
open water marine surveys in the
Beaufort and Chukchi Seas may result
in the incidental take of small numbers
of marine mammals, by Level B
harassment only, and that the total
taking from the marine surveys will
have a negligible impact on the affected
species or stocks.
Unmitigable Adverse Impact Analysis
and Determination
NMFS has determined that Shell’s
proposed 2010 open water marine
surveys in the Beaufort and Chukchi
Seas will not have an unmitigable
adverse impact on the availability of
species or stocks for taking for
subsistence uses. This determination is
supported by information contained in
this document and Shell’s POC. Shell
has adopted a spatial and temporal
strategy for its Arctic open water marine
surveys that should minimize impacts
to subsistence hunters, which is
discussed in detail below, broken into
different subsistence activities.
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(1) Bowhead Whales
During the proposed period of activity
(July through October) most marine
mammals are expected to be dispersed
throughout the area, except during the
peak of the bowhead whale migration in
the Beaufort Sea, which occurs from late
August into October. Bowhead whales
are expected to be in the Canadian
Beaufort Sea during much of the time
prior to subsistence whaling and,
therefore, are not expected to be affected
by the site clearance and shallow hazard
surveys prior to then. Further, site
clearance and shallow hazards surveys
will be conducted over 50–100 mi (80–
160 km) west of the furthest west
boundary of the traditional bowhead
hunting waters used by Kaktovik
hunters, 10–50 mi (16–80 km) west of
Cross Island from where Nuiqsut
hunters base their harvest, and over 35
miles east of the furthest east boundary
of the traditional bowhead hunting
waters used by Barrow hunters. In light
of the small sound source for these
surveys and resulting ensonified area
> 160 dB (1,525 m) described previously
in this document, the sheer distances
from where these site clearance and
shallow hazard surveys will occur from
the areas of Kaktovik and Barrow
bowhead hunts serve to mitigate any
prospect of impact to the hunts. Site
clearance and shallow hazard surveys
will be timed to occur beyond the
traditional boundary of Nuiqsut hunts,
besides occurring 10–50 mi (16–80 km)
west of Cross Island and ‘‘downstream’’
of this bowhead whale hunt, thereby
mitigating the prospect of impact to
Nuiqsut whaling. In addition, Shell will
execute a communication plan and use
communication and call centers located
in coastal villages of the Beaufort Sea
(see above) to communicate activities
and routine vessel traffic with
subsistence users throughout the period
in which all surveys will be conducted.
As a result of the distance and spatial
location of site clearance and shallow
hazard surveys from traditional
bowhead whale subsistence harvest, any
effects on the bowhead whale, as a
subsistence resource, will be negligible.
Activities associated with Shell’s
planned ice gouge surveys in Camden
Bay would have no or negligible effect
on the availability of bowhead whales
for the Kaktovik, Nuiqsut, and Barrow
subsistence whaling harvests. Mitigation
of the impact from ice gouge surveys
includes the possible use of either an
AUV, or conventional survey method
without airguns, and timing and
location of surveys. The AUV will be
launched from the stern of a vessel and
will survey the seafloor close to the
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vessel. The vessel will transit an area,
with the AUV surveying the area behind
the vessel. Marine mammal observers
onboard the vessel will help to ensure
the AUV has a minimal impact on the
environment. The AUV also has a
Collision Avoidance System and
operates without a towline, thereby
reducing potential impact to marine
mammals. Using bathymetric sonar or
multi-beam echo sounder the AUV can
record the gouges on the seafloor surface
caused by ice keels. The Sub-bottom
profiler can record layers beneath the
surface to about 20 ft (6.1 m). The AUV
is more maneuverable and able to
complete surveys more quickly than a
conventional survey. This reduces the
duration that vessels producing sound
must operate. Also, the ice gouge
surveys will be timed to avoid locations
east of Mary Sachs Entrance in Camden
Bay during the bowhead subsistence
harvest of Kaktovik. The ice gouge
survey locations through Mary Sachs
Entrance and out into Camden Bay are
more than 40 mi (64 km) east of Cross
Island, and given this distance plus the
low-level sound source of the ice gouge
surveys, this will mitigate impact to the
Nuiqsut bowhead whale subsistence
harvest. Timing of activities will be
coordinated via the nearest
communication and call centers
operating in the Beaufort Sea,
presumably in Kaktovik and Deadhorse.
As a result of the timing, location, and
lack of an airgun source for the ice
gouge surveys, any effects on the
bowhead whale, as a subsistence
resource, will be negligible.
Ice gouge survey activities in the
Chukchi Sea will be scheduled to avoid
impact to bowhead whale subsistence
harvests that could be conducted in the
Chukchi Sea communities of
Wainwright or Point Hope. Scheduling
will be coordinated via the nearest
communication and call center
operating in the Chukchi Sea
communities.
(2) Beluga Whales
Beluga are not a prevailing
subsistence resource in the communities
of Kaktovik, Nuiqsut, or Barrow. Thus,
given the location and timing of site
clearance and shallow hazards and ice
gouge surveys in the Beaufort Sea, any
such behavioral response by beluga to
these activities would have no
significant effect on them as a
subsistence resource.
Belugas are a prevailing subsistence
resource in the Chukchi Sea community
of Pt. Lay. The Point Lay beluga hunt is
concentrated in the first two weeks of
July (but sometimes continues into
August), when belugas are herded by
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hunters with boats into Kasegaluk
Lagoon and harvested in shallow
waters. Ice gouge survey activities in the
Chukchi Sea will be scheduled to avoid
the traditional subsistence beluga hunt
in the community of Pt. Lay. Timing of
any ice gouge survey activities will be
coordinated via the nearest
communication and call centers
operating in the Chukchi Sea,
presumably in Wainwright and Barrow.
(3) Seals
Seals are an important subsistence
resource and ringed seals make up the
bulk of the seal harvest of both Kaktovik
and Nuiqsut. Seals can be hunted yearround, but are taken in highest numbers
in the summer months in the Beaufort
Sea (MMS 2008). Seal-hunting trips can
take Nuiqsut hunters several miles
offshore; however, the majority of seal
hunting takes place closer to shore. The
mouth of the Colville River is
considered a productive seal hunting
area (AES 2009), as well as the edge of
the sea ice. Lease blocks where site
clearance and shallow hazards surveys
will occur are located over 15 mi (24
km) from the mouth of the Colville
River, so there is less chance for impact
on subsistence hunting for seals. Ice
gouge surveys in Mary Sachs Entrance
in Camden Bay will be conducted (AES
2009) over 30 miles from the
westernmost extent of seal hunting by
Kaktovik hunters (AES 2009). The
remainder of ice gouge lines will be
much further offshore than where
Kaktovik seal hunts typically occur
which is inside the barrier islands (AES
2009). It is assumed that effects on
subsistence seal harvests would be
negligible given the distances between
Shell’s proposed site clearance and
shallow hazards and ice gouge surveys
and the subsistence seal hunting areas
of Nuiqsut and Kaktovik.
Seals are an important subsistence
resource in the Chukchi Sea community
of Wainwright. Ringed seals make up
the bulk of the seal harvest. Most ringed
and bearded seals are harvested in the
winter or in the spring (May-July) which
is before Shell’s ice gouge survey would
commence, but some harvest continues
into the open water period. Hunting that
does occur during the open water
season generally occurs within 10 miles
of the coastline (AES 2009), while the
majority of ice gouge survey activity
will be much further offshore. Timing of
activities will be coordinated via the
nearest communication and call centers
operating in the Chukchi Sea,
presumably in Wainwright and Barrow.
It is assumed that effects on subsistence
seal harvests would be negligible given
the timing and distances between
PO 00000
Frm 00049
Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4703
49757
Shell’s proposed ice gouge survey and
the subsistence seal hunting area of
Wainwright.
All survey activities will be operated
in accordance with the procedures of
Shell’s Marine Mammal Monitoring and
Mitigation Plan (4MP) that accompanies
this program. This potential impact is
mitigated by application of the
procedures established in the 4MP and
to be detailed in the POC. Adaptive
mitigation measures may be employed
during times of active scouting,
whaling, or other subsistence hunting
activities that occur within the
traditional subsistence hunting areas of
the potentially affected communities.
Shell states that it will continue its
adopted spatial and temporal
operational strategy that, when
combined with its community outreach
and engagement program, will provide
effective protection to the bowhead
migration and subsistence hunt.
Based on the above analysis, measures
described in Shell’s POC, the proposed
mitigation and monitoring measures,
and the project design, NMFS has
determined that there will not be an
unmitigable adverse impact on
subsistence uses from Shell’s 2010 open
water marine survey activities in the
Beaufort and Chukchi Seas.
Endangered Species Act (ESA)
There are two marine mammal
species listed as endangered under the
ESA with confirmed or possible
occurrence in the proposed project area:
the bowhead whale and the humpback
whale. NMFS’ Permits, Conservation
and Education Division consulted with
NMFS’ Alaska Regional Office Division
of Protected Resources under section 7
of the ESA on the issuance of an IHA
to Shell under section 101(a)(5)(D) of
the MMPA for this activity. A Biological
Opinion was issued on July 13, 2010,
which concludes that issuance of an
IHA is not likely to jeopardize the
continued existence of the fin,
humpback, or bowhead whale. NMFS
has issued an Incidental Take Statement
under this Biological Opinion which
contains reasonable and prudent
measures with implementing terms and
conditions to minimize the effects of
take of listed species.
National Environmental Policy Act
(NEPA)
NMFS prepared an EA that includes
an analysis of potential environmental
effects associated with NMFS’ issuance
of an IHA to Shell to take marine
mammals incidental to conducting its
marine survey program in the Beaufort
and Chukchi Seas during 2010 open
water season. NMFS has finalized the
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EA and prepared a FONSI for this
action. Therefore, preparation of an EIS
is not necessary.
Authorization
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As a result of these determinations,
NMFS has issued an IHA to Shell to
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take marine mammals incidental to its
2010 open water marine surveys in the
Beaufort and Chukchi Seas, Alaska,
provided the previously mentioned
mitigation, monitoring, and reporting
requirements are incorporated.
PO 00000
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Fmt 4701
Sfmt 9990
Dated: August 6, 2010.
James H. Lecky,
Director, Office of Protected Resources,
National Marine Fisheries Service.
[FR Doc. 2010–19950 Filed 8–12–10; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3510–22–P
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 75, Number 156 (Friday, August 13, 2010)]
[Notices]
[Pages 49710-49758]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2010-19950]
[[Page 49709]]
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Part V
Department of Commerce
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National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
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Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to Specified Activities; Taking
Marine Mammals Incidental to Open Water Marine Seismic Survey in the
Beaufort and Chukchi Seas, Alaska; Notice
Federal Register / Vol. 75 , No. 156 / Friday, August 13, 2010 /
Notices
[[Page 49710]]
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DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
RIN 0648-XV09
Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to Specified Activities;
Taking Marine Mammals Incidental to Open Water Marine Seismic Survey in
the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas, Alaska
AGENCY: National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Commerce.
ACTION: Notice; issuance of an incidental take authorization.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: In accordance with the Marine Mammal Protection Act (MMPA)
regulations, notification is hereby given that NMFS has issued an
Incidental Harassment Authorization (IHA) to Shell Offshore Inc.
(Shell) to take, by harassment, small numbers of 8 species of marine
mammals incidental to a marine survey program, which includes site
clearance and shallow hazards, ice gouge, and strudel scour surveys, in
the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas, Alaska, during the 2010 Arctic open
water season.
DATES: Effective August 6, 2010, through November 30, 2010.
ADDRESSES: Inquiry for information on the incidental take authorization
should be addressed to Michael Payne, Chief, Permits, Conservation and
Education Division, Office of Protected Resources, National Marine
Fisheries Service, 1315 East-West Highway, Silver Spring, MD 20910. A
copy of the application containing a list of the references used in
this document, NMFS' Environmental Assessment (EA) and Finding of No
Significant Impact (FONSI), and the IHA may be obtained by writing to
the address specified above, telephoning the contact listed below (see
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT), or visiting the Internet at: https://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/permits/incidental.htm#applications.
Documents cited in this notice may be viewed, by appointment,
during regular business hours, at the aforementioned address.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Shane Guan, Office of Protected
Resources, NMFS, (301) 713-2289 or Brad Smith, NMFS, Alaska Region,
(907) 271-3023.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background
Sections 101(a)(5)(A) and (D) of the MMPA (16 U.S.C. 1361 et seq.)
direct the Secretary of Commerce to allow, upon request, the
incidental, but not intentional, taking of small numbers of marine
mammals by U.S. citizens who engage in a specified activity (other than
commercial fishing) within a specified geographical region if certain
findings are made and either regulations are issued or, if the taking
is limited to harassment, a notice of a proposed authorization is
provided to the public for review.
Authorization for incidental takings shall be granted if NMFS finds
that the taking will have a negligible impact on the species or
stock(s), will not have an unmitigable adverse impact on the
availability of the species or stock(s) for subsistence uses (where
relevant), and if the permissible methods of taking and requirements
pertaining to the mitigation, monitoring and reporting of such takings
are set forth. NMFS has defined ``negligible impact'' in 50 CFR 216.103
as ``* * * an impact resulting from the specified activity that cannot
be reasonably expected to, and is not reasonably likely to, adversely
affect the species or stock through effects on annual rates of
recruitment or survival.''
Section 101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA established an expedited process
by which citizens of the U.S. can apply for an authorization to
incidentally take small numbers of marine mammals by harassment. Except
with respect to certain activities not pertinent here, the MMPA defines
``harassment'' as:
any act of pursuit, torment, or annoyance which (i) has the
potential to injure a marine mammal or marine mammal stock in the
wild [``Level A harassment'']; or (ii) has the potential to disturb
a marine mammal or marine mammal stock in the wild by causing
disruption of behavioral patterns, including, but not limited to,
migration, breathing, nursing, breeding, feeding, or sheltering
[``Level B harassment''].
Section 101(a)(5)(D) establishes a 45-day time limit for NMFS
review of an application followed by a 30-day public notice and comment
period on any proposed authorizations for the incidental harassment of
marine mammals. Within 45 days of the close of the comment period, NMFS
must either issue or deny the authorization.
Summary of Request
NMFS received an application on December 24, 2009, from Shell for
the taking, by harassment, of marine mammals incidental to several
marine surveys designed to gather data relative to site clearance and
shallow hazards, ice gouge, and strudel scour in selected areas of the
Beaufort Sea and ice gouge in the Chukchi Sea, Alaska. These surveys
are continuations of those performed by Shell in the Beaufort Sea
beginning in 2006, and in the Chukchi Sea in 2008. After addressing
comments from NMFS, Shell modified its application and submitted a
revised application on April 19, 2010. The April 19, 2010, application
is the one available for public comment (see ADDRESSES) and considered
by NMFS for this proposed IHA.
Site clearance and shallow hazards surveys will evaluate the
seafloor, and shallow sub seafloor at prospective exploration drilling
locations, focusing on the depth to seafloor, topography, the potential
for shallow faults or gas zones, and the presence of archaeological
features. The types of equipment used to conduct these surveys use low
level energy sources focused on limited areas in order to characterize
the footprint of the seafloor and shallow sub seafloor at prospective
drilling locations. Ice gouge surveys will determine the depth and
distribution of ice gouges into the seabed. Ice gouge surveys use low-
level energy sources similar to the site clearance and shallow hazards.
Shell intends to conduct these marine surveys during the 2010
Arctic open-water season (July through October). Impacts to marine
mammals may occur from noise produced by various active acoustic
sources used in the surveys.
Description of the Specified Activity
Shell plans to complete the following surveys during the 2010 open-
water season:
Beaufort Sea Site Clearance and Shallow Hazards Surveys
Beaufort Sea Marine Surveys
[cir] Ice Gouge Survey
[cir] Strudel Scour Survey
Chukchi Sea Marine Surveys
[cir] Ice Gouge Survey
Each of these individual surveys will require marine vessels to
accomplish the work. Shell states that these marine surveys will be
conducted between July and October 2010, however, ice and weather
conditions will influence the exact dates and locations marine vessel
survey operations can be conducted.
1. Beaufort Sea Site Clearance and Shallow Hazards Surveys
Shell's proposed site clearance and shallow hazards surveys are to
gather data on: (1) Bathymetry, (2) seabed topography and other seabed
characteristics (e.g., boulder patches), (3) potential geohazards
(e.g., shallow faults and shallow gas zones), and (4) the presence of
any archeological features (e.g., shipwrecks). Site clearance and
shallow hazards surveys can be accomplished by one vessel with
[[Page 49711]]
acoustic sources. No other vessels are necessary to accomplish the
proposed work.
The focus of this activity will be on Shell's existing leases in
Harrison Bay in the central Beaufort Sea. Actual locations of site
clearance and shallow hazards surveys within Harrison Bay have not been
definitively set as of this date, although these will occur on the
Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) lease blocks in Harrison Bay located in
the Beaufort Sea shown on Figure 1 of Shell's IHA application. The site
clearance and shallow hazards surveys will be conducted within an area
of approximately 216 mi\2\ (558 km\2\) north of Thetis Island more than
3 mi (4.8 km) to approximately 20 mi (33 km) offshore. Approximately 63
mi (162.7 km) of the data acquisition is planned within this general
area. The survey track line is approximately 351.5 mi\2\ (565 km\2\).
The average depth of the survey area ranges from 35 to 85 ft (10.7 to
26 m).
Ice and weather permitting, Shell is proposing to conduct site
clearance and shallow hazards surveys within the timeframe of July 2010
through October 2010. The actual survey time is expected to take 30
days.
The vessel that will be conducting this activity has not been
determined at this point, but will be similar to the R/V Mt. Mitchell
which is the vessel that was used for surveys in the Chukchi Sea in
2009. The R/V Mt. Mitchell is a diesel powered-vessel, 70 m (231 ft)
long, 12.7 m (42 ft) wide, with a 4.5 m (15 ft) draft.
It is proposed that the following acoustic instrumentation, or
something similar, be used.
Deep Penetration Profiler, (40 cu-in airgun source with
48-channel streamer) and Medium Penetration Profiler, (40 cu-in airgun
source with 24-channel streamer):
The deep and medium penetration profilers are the major active
acoustic sources used in the site clearance and shallow hazards
surveys. The modeled source level is estimated at 217 dB re 1 [mu]Pa
rms. The 120, 160, 180, and 190 dB re 1 [mu]Pa rms received level
isopleths are estimated at 14,900 m, 1,220 m, 125 m, and 35 m from the
source, respectively.
Dual-frequency side scan sonar, (100-400 kHz or 300-600
kHz):
Based on Shell's 2006 90-day report, the source level of this
active acoustic source when operated at 190 and 240 kHz is
approximately 225 dB re 1 [mu]Pa rms. Due to its high frequency range,
NMFS does not consider its acoustic energy would be strong enough to
cause impacts to marine mammals beyond a couple of hundred meters from
the source.
Single beam Echo Sounder, (high: 100-340 kHz, low: 24-50
kHz):
This echo sounder is a typical ``fathometer'' or ``fish-finder''
that is widely used in most recreational or fishing vessels. Source
levels for these types of units are typically in the range of 180-200
dB re 1 [mu]Pa rms. Using a spherical spreading model, the 160 dB
isopleth is estimated at 100 m from the source for the lower range of
the acoustic signals. For the higher range of the signal, due to the
higher absorption coefficients, the 160 dB isopleth is expected to be
under 100 m from the source.
Multi-Beam Echo Sounder, (240 kHz):
Since the output frequency from this echo sounder is above the
upper-limit of marine mammal hearing range, NMFS believes it unlikely
that a marine mammal would be taken by this activity.
Shallow Sub-Bottom Profiler, (2-12 kHz):
Information regarding this active acoustic source on two vessels
(Alpha Helix and Henry C.) was provided in Shell's 2008 90-day open
water marine survey monitoring report. For the Alpha Helix measurement,
at 3.5 kHz, the source level for the shallow sub-bottom profiler was
193.8 dB re 1 [mu]Pa rms, and its 120, 160, 180, and 190 dB re 1 [mu]Pa
rms isopleths were determined to be 310 m, 14 m, 3 m, and 1 m from the
source, respectively. For the Henry C. measurement, at 3.5 kHz, the
source level of the similar profiler was measured at 167.2 dB re 1
[mu]Pa rms, and its 120 and 160 dB re 1 [mu]Pa rms isopleths were
determined to be 980 m and 3 m, respectively.
2. Beaufort Sea Marine Surveys
Two marine survey activities are proposed for the Beaufort Sea: (1)
Ice gouge survey, and (2) strudel scour survey. Shell continues to
conduct these types of marine surveys annually over a few years to
enhance baseline and statistical understanding of the formation,
longevity, and temporal distribution of sea floor features and baseline
environmental and biologic conditions. Marine surveys for ice gouge and
strudel scour surveys can be accomplished by one vessel for each. No
other vessels are necessary to accomplish the proposed work.
The proposed ice gouge surveys will be conducted in both State of
Alaska waters including Camden Bay, and the Federal waters of the OCS
in the Beaufort Sea near Pt. Thomson ranging from near shore to
approximately 37 mi (59.5 km) offshore. The water depth in the ice
gouging survey area ranges between 15 to 120 ft (4.5 to 36.6 m), and
the surveys will be conducted within an area of 1,950 mi\2\ (5,036
km\2\) with a survey track line of approximately 1,276 mi (2,050 km,
See Figure 2 of Shell's IHA application).
The proposed strudel scour survey will occur in State of Alaska
waters in Pt. Thomson ranging from near shore to 3 mi (4.8 km)
offshore. The water depth ranges from 3 to 20 ft (0.9 to 6.1 m). The
strudel scour survey will be conducted in an area of approximately 140
mi\2\ (361.5 km\2\). The survey track line is approximately 124 mi (200
km).
Ice and weather permitting, Shell is proposing to conduct this work
within the timeframe of July 2010 through October 2010. The actual
survey time is expected to take 45 days.
Ice Gouge Survey
As part of the feasibility study for Shell's Alaskan prospects a
survey is required to identify and evaluate seabed conditions. Ice
gouging is created by ice keels, which project from the bottom of
moving ice and gouge into seafloor sediment. Ice gouge features are
mapped, and by surveying each year, new gouges can be identified. The
ice gouge information is used to aid in predicting the prospect of,
orientation, depth, and frequency of future ice gouges. Ice gouge
information is required for the design of potential pipelines and for
the design of pipeline trenching and installation equipment.
The 2010 ice gouge surveys will be conducted using the conventional
survey method where the acoustic instrumentation will be towed behind
the survey vessel, or possibly with the use of an Autonomous Underwater
Vehicle (AUV). The same acoustic instrumentation will be used during
both AUV and the conventional survey methods. The AUV is a self-
propelled autonomous vehicle that will be equipped with acoustic
instrumentation and programmed for remote operation over the seafloor
where the ice gouge survey is to be conducted, and the vehicle is
launched and retrieved from a marine vessel.
For the survey operations, the AUV will be launched from the stern
of a vessel and will survey the seafloor close to the vessel. The
vessel will transit an area, with the AUV surveying the area behind the
vessel. The AUV also has a Collision Avoidance System and operates
without a towline that reduces potential impact to marine mammals (such
as entanglement). Using bathymetric sonar or multibeam echo sounder the
AUV can record the gouges on the seafloor surface caused by ice keels.
The sub-bottom profiler can
[[Page 49712]]
record layers beneath the surface to about 20 feet (6 m). The AUV is
more maneuverable and able to complete surveys more quickly than a
conventional survey. This reduces the duration that vessels producing
sound must operate. The proposed ice gouge survey in the Beaufort Sea
is expected to last for 45 days.
The vessel that will be used for ice gouging surveys has not been
selected, but it is anticipated that the vessel would be similar to the
R/V Mt. Mitchell, which is 70 m (231 ft) long, 12.7 m (42 ft) wide, and
4.5 m (15 ft) draft.
It is proposed that the following acoustic instrumentation, or
something similar, be used.
Dual Frequency sub-bottom profiler; (2 to 7 kHz or 8 to 23
kHz):
Information regarding this active acoustic source on Henry C. was
provided in Shell's 2006 and 2007 90-day open water marine survey
monitoring reports. In the 2006 report, at 2-7 and 8-23 kHz, the source
level was estimated at 184.6 dB re 1 [mu]Pa rms, and its 120, 160, and
180 dB re 1 [mu]Pa rms isopleths were determined to be 456 m, 7 m, and
2 m from the source, respectively. In the 2007 report, at 2-7 kHz, the
source level was estimated at 161.1 dB re 1 [mu]Pa rms, and its 120 and
160 dB re 1 [mu]Pa rms isopleths were determined to be 260 m and 1 m,
respectively.
Multibeam Echo Sounder (240 kHz) and Side-scan sonar
system (190 to 210 kHz):
Since the output frequencies from these acoustic instruments are
above the upper-limits of marine mammal hearing range, NMFS believes it
unlikely that a marine mammal would be taken by this activity.
Strudel Scour Survey
During the early melt on the North Slope, the rivers begin to flow
and discharge water over the coastal sea ice near the river deltas.
That water flows down holes in the ice (``strudels'') and scours the
seafloor. These areas are called ``strudel scours''. Information on
these features is required for prospective pipeline planning. Two
proposed activities are required to gather this information: aerial
survey via helicopter overflights during the melt to locate the
strudels; and strudel scour marine surveys to gather bathymetric data.
The overflights investigate possible sources of overflood water and
will survey local streams that discharge in the vicinity of Point
Thomson including the Staines River, which discharges to the east into
Flaxman Lagoon, and the Canning River, which discharges to the east
directly into the Beaufort Sea. These helicopter overflights will occur
during late May/early June 2010 and, weather permitting, should take no
more than two days. There are no planned landings during these
overflights other than at the Deadhorse or Kaktovik airports.
Areas that have strudel scour identified during the aerial survey
will be verified and surveyed with a marine vessel after the breakup of
nearshore ice. The vessel has not been determined, however, it is
anticipated that it will be the diesel-powered R/V Annika Marie which
has been utilized 2006 through 2008 and measures 13.1 m (43 ft) long,
or similar vessel.
This proposed activity is not anticipated to take more than 5 days
to conduct. The operation is conducted in the shallow water areas near
the coast in the vicinity of Point Thomson. This vessel will use the
following equipment:
Multibeam Echo Sounder (240 kHz) and Side-scan sonar
system (190 to 210 kHz):
Since the output frequencies from these acoustic instruments are
above the upper-limits of marine mammal hearing range, NMFS believes it
unlikely that a marine mammal would be taken by this activity.
Single Beam Bathymetric Sonar:
Source levels for these types of units are typically in the 180-230
dB range, somewhat lower than multibeam or side scan sonars. A unit
used during a previous survey had a source level (at high power) of 215
dB re 1 [mu]Pa (0-peak) and a standard operating frequency of 200 kHz.
Since the output frequencies from these acoustic instruments are above
the upper-limits of marine mammal hearing range, NMFS believes it
unlikely that a marine mammal would be taken by this activity.
3. Chukchi Sea Marine Survey--Ice Gouge Survey
Shell proposes one marine survey activity for the Chukchi Sea in
2010. Shell intends to conduct ice gouge surveys annually over a few
years to enhance baseline and statistical understanding of the
formation, longevity, and temporal distribution of sea floor features
and baseline environmental and biologic conditions. The ice gouge
survey can be accomplished by one vessel. No other vessels are
necessary to accomplish the proposed work.
The proposed ice gouge surveys will be conducted in both State of
Alaska waters and the Federal waters of the OCS in the Chukchi Sea.
Actual locations of the ice gouge surveys have not been definitively
set as of this date, although these will occur within the area outlined
in Figure 4 of the IHA application. The water depth of the ice gouging
survey ranges between 20 to 120 ft (6.1 to 36.6 m), and the surveys
will take in an area of 21,954 mi\2\ (56,965 km\2\), with a survey
track line of approximately 1,539 mi (2,473 km). This activity is
proposed to be conducted within the timeframe of July through October
2010. The total program will last a maximum of 60 days, excluding
downtime due to ice, weather and other unforeseen delays, and should be
complete by the end of October 2010.
The equipment and method used to conduct the ice gouge survey in
the Chukchi Sea will be the same as that used in the Beaufort Sea.
Because of the low source levels of the sub-bottom profiler and the
high-frequency nature of the multi-beam echo sounder used in the
proposed ice gouge survey, NMFS believes it unlikely that a marine
mammal would be taken by this activity.
Comments and Responses
A notice of NMFS' proposal to issue an IHA to Shell published in
the Federal Register on May 18, 2010 (75 FR 27708). That notice
described, in detail, Shell's proposed activity, the marine mammal
species that may be affected by the activity, and the anticipated
effects on marine mammals. During the 30-day public comment period,
NMFS received five comment letters from the following: the Marine
Mammal Commission (Commission); the Alaska Eskimo Whaling Commission
(AEWC); the Inupiat Community of the Arctic Slope (ICAS); the North
Slope Borough Office of the Mayor (NSB); and Alaska Wilderness League
(AWL), Audubon Alaska, Center for Biological Diversity, Defenders of
Wildlife, Earthjustice, Greenpeace, Natural Resources Defense Council,
Northern Alaska Environmental Center, Ocean Conservancy, Oceana,
Pacific Environment, Sierra Club, and World Wildlife Fund (collectively
``AWL''), along with an attached letter from Dr. David E. Bain, a
contract scientist for NMFS.
The AEWC submitted several journal articles as attachments to its
comment letters. NMFS acknowledges receipt of these documents but does
not intend to address the specific articles themselves in the responses
to comments, since these journal articles are merely used as citations
in AEWC's comments. AEWC also submitted an unsigned, final version of
the 2010 Conflict Avoidance Agreement (CAA), since Shell declined to
sign the CAA. Dr. Bain also attached
[[Page 49713]]
an in-review journal article he coauthored. Any comments specific to
Shell's application that address the statutory and regulatory
requirements or findings NMFS must make to issue an IHA are addressed
in this section of the Federal Register notice.
General Comments
Comment 1: AEWC and ICAS believe that NMFS should not issue
incidental take authorizations for oil and gas-related activities given
the current suspension of offshore drilling in Alaska and pending
reorganization of the Minerals Management Service (MMS). AEWC and ICAS
point out that the harm caused by an oil spill is not the only risk to
marine mammals posed by oil and gas activities on the OCS and that
there are concerns regarding underwater noise from geophysical
activities and the threats posed to marine mammals from noise and
chemical pollution, as well as increased vessel traffic. AEWC further
claims that many times, NMFS issued IHAs over the objections of the
scientific and subsistence communities as well as the agencies' own
scientists.
Response: The legal requirements and underlying analysis for the
issuance of an IHA concerning take associated with seismic activities
are unrelated to the moratorium on offshore drilling and reorganization
of the MMS. In order to issue an authorization pursuant to Section
101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA, NMFS must determine that the taking by
harassment of small numbers of marine mammal species or stocks will
have a negligible impact on affected species or stocks, and will not
have an unmitigable adverse impact on the availability of affected
species or stocks for taking for subsistence uses. If NMFS is able to
make these findings, the Secretary is required to issue an IHA. In the
case of Shell's activities for 2010 (as described in the application,
the notice of proposed IHA (75 FR 27708; May 18, 2010) and this
document), NMFS determined that it was able to make the required MMPA
findings. Additionally, as described later in this section and
throughout this document, NMFS has determined that Shell's activities
will not result in injury or mortality of marine mammals, and no injury
or mortality is authorized under the IHA.
As discussed in detail in the proposed IHA (75 FR 27708; May 18,
2010), the EA for the issuance of IHAs to Shell and Statoil for the
proposed open water marine and seismic surveys, and this document, NMFS
has conducted a thorough analysis of the potential impacts of
underwater anthropogenic sound (especially sound from geophysical
surveys) on marine mammals. We have cited multiple studies and research
that support NMFS' MMPA and National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA)
determinations that the localized and short-term disturbance from
seismic surveys, with strict mitigation and monitoring measures
implemented, is likely to result in negligible impacts to marine
mammals and no significant impact to the human environment,
respectively. Although issuance of the IHA may be of concern to certain
members of the public, the proposed issuance of the IHA was carefully
reviewed and analyzed by NMFS scientists both at headquarters, through
an Endangered Species Act (ESA) section 7 consultation at NMFS Alaska
Regional Office, and by an independent bioacoustics expert and NMFS'
National Marine Mammal Laboratory. Based on those reviews, NMFS staff
in the Office of Protected Resources made appropriate changes to this
document.
Comment 2: ICAS points out that Native communities in Alaska have
long been ignored in the race to find and develop offshore oil and gas
resources and that the U.S. Government has consistently failed to
comply with legal requirements that require consultation with local
Native communities as proposals are being developed that affect native
environments. Instead, both Federal agencies and the entities they
permit make only token gestures at consultations with Native groups
offering them only the opportunity for involvement after proposals are
developed and after local knowledge would serve a useful purpose.
Response: Regulations at 50 CFR 216.104(a)(12) require applicants
for IHAs in Arctic waters to submit a Plan of Cooperation (POC), which,
among other things, requires the applicant to meet with affected
subsistence communities to discuss the proposed activities.
Additionally, for many years, NMFS has conducted the Arctic Open Water
Meeting, which brings together the Federal agencies, the oil and gas
industry, and affected Alaska Native organizations to discuss the
proposed activities and monitoring plans. Local knowledge is considered
at these times, and it is not too late for that knowledge to serve a
useful purpose. These communities are also afforded the opportunity to
submit comments on the application and proposed IHA notice, which are
then considered by NMFS before making a final determination on whether
or not to issue an IHA.
Comment 3: Executive Order 13175 requires Federal agencies to
conduct government-to-government consultation when undertaking to
formulate and implement policies that have tribal implications. Despite
this explicit requirement, ICAS believes that NMFS has failed to
consult with governing bodies of Native people who will be and have
been affected by the decisions NMFS is making under the MMPA. NMFS must
meet with ICAS and local Native villages on a government-to-government
basis to discuss the proposed IHA, as well as appropriate mitigation
and monitoring requirements.
Response: NMFS recognizes the importance of the government-to-
government relationship and has taken steps to ensure that Alaska
Natives play an active role in the management of Arctic species. For
example, NOAA and the AEWC co-manage bowhead whales pursuant to a
cooperative agreement. This agreement has allowed the AEWC to play a
significant role in the management of a valuable resource by affording
Alaska Natives the opportunity to protect bowhead whales and the Eskimo
culture and to promote scientific investigation, among other purposes.
In addition, NMFS works closely with Alaska Natives when
considering whether to permit the take of marine mammals incidental to
oil and gas operations. NMFS has met repeatedly over the years with
Alaska Native representatives to discuss concerns related to NMFS' MMPA
program in the Arctic, and has also taken into account recommended
mitigation measures to reduce the impact of oil and gas operations on
bowhead whales and to ensure the availability of marine mammals for
taking for subsistence uses. Finally, NMFS has participated in Alaska
Native community meetings in the past and will continue to do so, when
feasible. NMFS most recently met with ICAS at its May monthly meeting
in Barrow to discuss NMFS' role in minimizing impacts to marine mammals
from oil and gas industry activities and asked the ICAS membership for
specific recommendations. NMFS will continue to ensure that it meets
its government-to-government responsibilities and will work closely
with Alaska Natives to address their concerns.
MMPA Concerns
Comment 4: AEWC notes their disappointment in NMFS for releasing
for public comment an incomplete application from Shell that fails to
provide the mandatory information required by the MMPA and NMFS'
implementing regulations. AEWC requests that NMFS return Shell's
application as incomplete, or else the agency risks making arbitrary
and
[[Page 49714]]
indefensible determinations under the MMPA. The following is the
information that AEWC believes to be missing from Shell's application:
(1) A description of the ``age, sex, and reproductive condition'' of
the marine mammals that will be impacted, particularly in regard to
bowhead whales (50 CFR 216.104(a)(6)); (2) the economic ``availability
and feasibility * * * of equipment, methods, and manner of conducting
such activity or other means of effecting the least practicable adverse
impact upon the affected species or stocks, their habitat, and on their
availability for subsistence uses, paying particular attention to
rookeries, mating grounds, and areas of similar significance'' (50 CFR
216.104(a)(11)); and (3) suggested means of learning of, encouraging,
and coordinating any research related activities (50 CFR
216.104(a)(14)). NSB also notes its concern about the lack of
specificity regarding the timing and location of the proposed surveys,
as well as the lack of specificity regarding the surveys themselves.
Response: NMFS does not agree that it released an incomplete
application for review during the public comment period. After NMFS'
initial review of the application, NMFS submitted questions and
comments to Shell on its application. After receipt and review of
Shell's responses, which were incorporated into the final version of
the IHA application that was released to the public for review and
comment, NMFS made its determination of completeness and released the
application, addenda, and the proposed IHA notice (75 FR 27708; May 18,
2010). Regarding the three specific pieces of information believed to
be missing by AEWC, Shell's original application included a description
of the pieces of information that are required pursuant to 50 CFR
216.104(a)(12).
Information required pursuant to 50 CFR 216.104(a)(6) requires that
an applicant submit information on the ``age, sex, and reproductive
condition (if possible)'' of the number of marine mammals that may be
taken. In the application, Shell described the species expected to be
taken by harassment and provided estimates of how many of each species
were expected to be taken during their activities. In most cases, it is
very difficult to estimate how many animals, especially cetaceans, of
each age, sex, and reproductive condition will be taken or impacted by
seismic or site clearance and shallow hazards surveys.
Shell also provided information on economic ``availability and
feasibility * * * of equipment, methods, and manner of conducting such
activity or other means of effecting the least practicable adverse
impact upon the affected species or stocks, their habitat, and on their
availability for subsistence uses, paying particular attention to
rookeries, mating grounds, and areas of similar significance'' (50 CFR
216.104(a)(11)) in its IHA application. In its application, Shell
states that four main mitigations regarding site clearance and shallow
hazards surveys in the Beaufort Sea are proposed: (1) Timing and
locations for active survey acquisition work; (2) to configure airguns
in a manner that directs energy primarily down to the seabed thus
decreasing the range of horizontal spreading of noise; (3) using a
energy source which is as small as possible while still accomplishing
the survey objectives; and (4) curtailing active survey work when the
marine mammal observers sight visually (from shipboard) the presence of
marine mammals within identified ensonified zones. Details of these
mitigation measures are discussed further in the 4MP that is included
in Shell's IHA application. In addition to these measures, NMFS' Notice
of Proposed IHA (75 FR 27708, May 18, 2010) described mitigation
measures proposed to be implemented by Shell (outlined in the
application), as well as additional measures proposed by NMFS for
inclusion in an IHA.
Lastly, information required pursuant to 50 CFR 216.104(a)(14) was
also included in Shell's application. Shell provided a list of
researchers who could potentially receive results of their research
activities who may find the data useful in their own research.
Additionally, Shell states that it plans to deploy arrays of acoustic
recorders in the Beaufort Sea in 2010, similar to those deployed in
2007 and 2008 using DASARs supplied by Greeneridge. These directional
acoustic systems permit localization of bowhead whale and other marine
mammal vocalizations, and to further understand, define, and document
sound characteristics and propagation resulting from shallow hazards
surveys that may have the potential to cause deflections of bowhead
whales from their migratory pathway. NMFS also determined that Shell's
application provides descriptions of the specified activities and
specified geographic region.
In conclusion, NMFS believes that Shell provided all of the
necessary information to proceed with publishing a proposed IHA notice
in the Federal Register.
Comment 5: AEWC and NSB state that NMFS failed to issue a draft
authorization for public review and comment. The plain language of both
the MMPA and NMFS' implementing regulations require that NMFS provide
the opportunity for public comment on the ``proposed incidental
harassment authorization'' (50 CFR 216.104(b)(1)(i); 16 U.S.C. 1371
(a)(5)(D)(iii)) and not just on the application itself as NMFS has done
here. Given Shell's refusal to sign the CAA and without a complete
draft authorization and accompanying findings, AEWC states that it
cannot provide meaningful comments on Shell's proposed activities, ways
to mitigate the impacts of those activities on marine mammals, and
measures that are necessary to protect subsistence uses and sensitive
resources.
Response: The May 18, 2010 proposed IHA notice (75 FR 27708)
contained all of the relevant information needed by the public to
provide comments on the proposed authorization itself. The notice
contained the permissible methods of taking by harassment, means of
effecting the least practicable impact on such species (i.e.,
mitigation), measures to ensure no unmitigable adverse impact on the
availability of the species or stock for taking for subsistence use,
requirements pertaining to the monitoring and reporting of such taking,
including requirements for the independent peer review of the proposed
monitoring plan. The notice provided detail on all of these points and,
in NMFS view, allowed the public to comment on the proposed
authorization and inform NMFS' final decision. Additionally, the notice
contained NMFS' preliminary findings of negligible impact and no
unmitigable adverse impact.
The signing of a CAA is not a requirement to obtain an IHA. The CAA
is a document that is negotiated between and signed by the industry
participant, AEWC, and the Village Whaling Captains' Associations. NMFS
has no role in the development or execution of this agreement. Although
the contents of a CAA may inform NMFS' no unmitigable adverse impact
determination for bowhead and beluga whales and ice seals, the signing
of it is not a requirement. While a CAA has not been signed and a final
version agreed to by industry participants, AEWC, and the Village
Whaling Captains' Associations, NMFS was provided with a copy of the
version ready for signature by AEWC. NMFS has reviewed the CAA and
included several measures from the document which relate to marine
mammals and avoiding conflicts with subsistence hunts in the IHA. Some
of
[[Page 49715]]
the conditions which have been added to the IHA include: (1) Avoiding
concentrations of whales and reducing vessel speed when near whales;
(2) flying at altitudes above 457 m (1,500 ft) unless involved in
marine mammal monitoring or during take-offs, landings, or in
emergencies situations; (3) conducting sound source verification
measurements; and (4) participating in the Communication Centers.
Despite the lack of a signed CAA for 2010 activities, NMFS is confident
that the measures contained in the IHA will ensure no unmitigable
adverse impact to subsistence users.
Comment 6: AEWC and NSB argue that Shell has not demonstrated that
its proposed activities would take only ``small numbers of marine
mammals of a species or population stock,'' resulting in no more than a
``negligible impact'' on a species or stock. In addition, NSB argues
that NMFS has not adequately analyzed harassment associated with
received levels of noise below 160 dB.
Response: NMFS believes that it provided sufficient information in
its proposed IHA notice (75 FR 27708; May 18, 2010) to make the small
numbers and negligible impact determinations and that the best
scientific information available was used to make those determinations.
While some published articles indicate that certain marine mammal
species may avoid seismic vessels at levels below 160 dB, NMFS does not
consider that these responses rise to the level of a take, as defined
in the MMPA. While studies, such as Miller et al. (1999), have
indicated that some bowhead whales may have started to deflect from
their migratory path 35 km (21.7 mi) from the seismic vessel, it should
be pointed out that these minor course changes are during migration
and, as described in MMS' 2006 Final Programmatic Environmental
Assessment (PEA), have not been seen at other times of the year and
during other activities. To show the contextual nature of this minor
behavioral modification, recent monitoring studies of Canadian seismic
operations indicate that feeding, non-migratory bowhead whales do not
move away from a noise source at an SPL of 160 dB. Therefore, while
bowheads may avoid an area of 20 km (12.4 mi) around a noise source,
when that determination requires a post-survey computer analysis to
find that bowheads have made a 1 or 2 degree course change, NMFS
believes that does not rise to a level of a ``take,'' as the change in
bearing is due to animals sensing the noise and avoiding passage
through the ensonified area during their migration, and should not be
considered as being displaced from their habitat. NMFS therefore
continues to estimate ``takings'' under the MMPA from impulse noises,
such as seismic, as being at a distance of 160 dB (re 1 [mu]Pa). As
explained throughout this Federal Register notice, it is highly
unlikely that marine mammals would be exposed to SPLs that could result
in serious injury or mortality. The best scientific information
indicates that an auditory injury is unlikely to occur, as apparently
sounds need to be significantly greater than 180 dB for injury to occur
(Southall et al., 2007). The 180-dB radius for the airgun array to be
used by Shell is 125 m (410 ft). Therefore, if injury were possible
from Shell's activities, the animal would need to be closer than 125 m
(410 ft). However, based on the configuration of the airgun array and
streamers, it is highly unlikely that a marine mammal would be that
close to the seismic vessel. Mitigation measures described later in
this document will be implemented should a marine mammal enter this
small zone around the airgun array.
Regarding the ``small numbers'' issue raised by the AEWC and NSB,
NMFS has provided estimates on the number of marine mammals that could
be taken as a result of Shell's proposed marine surveys, and the
estimated takes from these proposed activities are all under 3 percent
for affected marine mammal populations (see Potential Number of Takes
by Harassment section below).
Impacts to Marine Mammals
Comment 7: AEWC notes that based on the density estimates, Shell is
predicting that an average of 381 and a maximum of 394 Bering-Chukchi-
Beaufort (B-C-B) stock of bowhead whales may be exposed to seismic
sounds at received levels above 160 dB. AEWC states that these are by
no means ``small numbers'' of marine mammals that will be subjected to
impacts as a result of Shell's operations.
Response: NMFS determined that the small numbers requirement has
been satisfied. Shell has predicted that an average of 381 individuals
of the B-C-B stock of bowhead whales would be exposed to noise received
levels above 160 dB as the result of Shell's proposed marine surveys,
and NMFS assumes that animals exposed to received levels above 160 dB
are taken. However, because of the tendency of whales to avoid the
source to some degree, and the fact that both the whales and the source
are both moving through an area, the majority of the exposures would
likely occur at levels closer to 160 dB (not higher levels) and the
impacts would be expected to be relatively low-level and not of a long
duration. NMFS addresses ``small numbers'' in terms relative to the
stock or population size. The Level B harassment take estimate of 381
bowhead whales is a small number in relative terms, because of the
nature of the anticipated responses and in that it represents only 2.67
percent of the regional stock size of that species (14,247), if each
``exposure'' at 160 dB represents an individual bowhead whale.
Additionally, the percentage would be even lower if animals move out of
the seismic area in a manner that does not result in a take at all.
Comment 8: AWL, NSB, and AEWC noted that NMFS has acknowledged that
permanent threshold shift (PTS) qualifies as a serious injury.
Therefore, if an acoustic source at its maximum level has the potential
to cause PTS and thus lead to serious injury, it would not be
appropriate to issue an IHA for the activity (60 FR 28381, May 31,
1995). AEWC states that therefore an LOA is required here. While the
airguns proposed by Shell are smaller than those associated with
typical 2D/3D deep marine surveys, the noise they produce is still
considerable, as evidenced by the estimated 120 dB radius that extends
out to 14,000 m.
Response: In the proposed rule to implement the process to apply
for and obtain an IHA, NMFS stated that authorizations for harassment
involving the ``potential to injure'' would be limited to only those
that may involve non-serious injury (60 FR 28379; May 31, 1995). While
the Federal Register notice cited by the commenters states that NMFS
considered PTS to be a serious injury (60 FR 28379; May 31, 1995), our
understanding of anthropogenic sound and the way it impacts marine
mammals has evolved since then, and NMFS no longer considers PTS to be
a serious injury. NMFS has defined ``serious injury'' in 50 CFR 216.3
as ``* * * any injury that will likely result in mortality.'' There are
no data that suggest that PTS would be likely to result in mortality,
especially the limited degree of PTS that could hypothetically be
incurred through exposure of marine mammals to seismic airguns at the
level and for the duration that are likely to occur in this action.
Further, as stated several times in this document and previous
Federal Register notices for seismic activities, there is no empirical
evidence that exposure to pulses of airgun sound can cause PTS in any
marine mammal, even with large arrays of airguns (see Southall et al.
2007). PTS is thought to occur several decibels above that inducing
mild temporary threshold shift (TTS), the mildest form of hearing
impairment (a non-injurious effect).
[[Page 49716]]
NMFS concluded that cetaceans and pinnipeds should not be exposed to
pulsed underwater noise at received levels exceeding, respectively, 180
and 190 dB re 1 [mu]Pa (rms). The established 180- and 190-dB re 1
[mu]Pa (rms) criteria are the received levels above which, in the view
of a panel of bioacoustics specialists convened by NMFS before TTS
measurements for marine mammals started to become available, one could
not be certain that there would be no injurious effects, auditory or
otherwise, to marine mammals. As summarized later in this document,
data that are now available imply that TTS is unlikely to occur unless
bow-riding odontocetes are exposed to airgun pulses much stronger than
180 dB re 1 Pa rms (Southall et al. 2007). Additionally, NMFS has
required monitoring and mitigation measures to negate the possibility
of marine mammals being seriously injured as a result of Shell's
activities. In the proposed IHA, NMFS determined that Shell's
activities are unlikely to even result in TTS. Based on this
determination and the explanation provided here, PTS is also not
expected. Therefore, an IHA is appropriate.
Comment 9: AWL, Dr. Bain, NSB, and AEWC state that NMFS has not
adequately considered whether marine mammals may be harassed at
received levels significantly lower than 160 dB and that NMFS did not
use the best scientific evidence in setting the sound levels against
which take was assessed. They state that NMFS calculated harassment
from Shell's proposed surveying based on the exposure to marine mammals
to sounds at or above 160 dB and that this uniform approach to
harassment does not take into account known reactions of marine mammals
in the Arctic to levels of noise far below 160 dB. These comments state
that bowhead, gray, killer, and beluga whales and harbor porpoise react
to sounds lower than 160 dB.
Citing several papers on killer whales and harbor porpoise, Dr.
Bain states that major behavioral changes of these animals appear to be
associated with received levels of around 135 dB re 1 [mu]Pa, and that
minor behavioral changes can occur at received levels from 90-110 dB re
1 [mu]Pa or lower. He also states that belugas have been observed to
respond to icebreakers by swimming rapidly away at distances up to 80
km, where received levels were between 94 and 105 dB re 1 [mu]Pa.
Belugas exhibited minor behavioral changes such as changes in
vocalization, dive patterns, and group composition at distances up to
50 km (NRC 2003), where received levels were likely around 120 dB.
AEWC also states that in conducting scoping on its national
acoustic guidelines for marine mammals, NMFS noted that the existing
system for determining take (i.e., the 160 dB mark) ``considers only
the sound pressure level of an exposure but not its other attributes,
such as duration, frequency, or repetition rate, all of which are
critical for assessing impacts on marine Mammals'' and ``also assumes a
consistent relationship between rms (root-mean-square) and peak
pressure values for impulse sounds, which is known to be inaccurate
under certain (many) conditions'' (70 FR 1871, 1873; January 11, 2005).
Thus, NMFS itself has recognized that 160 dB (rms) is not an adequate
measure. AEWC argues that current scientific research establishes that
120 dB (rms) is a more appropriate measure for impacts to marine
mammals.
Response: The best information available to date for reactions by
bowhead whales to noise, such as seismic, is based on the results from
the 1998 aerial survey (as supplemented by data from earlier years) as
reported in Miller et al. (1999). In 1998, bowhead whales below the
water surface at a distance of 20 km (12.4 mi) from an airgun array
received pulses of about 117-135 dB re 1 [mu]Pa rms, depending upon
propagation. Corresponding levels at 30 km (18.6 mi) were about 107-126
dB re 1 [mu]Pa rms. Miller et al. (1999) surmise that deflection may
have begun about 35 km (21.7 mi) to the east of the seismic operations,
but did not provide SPL measurements to that distance and noted that
sound propagation has not been studied as extensively eastward in the
alongshore direction, as it has northward, in the offshore direction.
Therefore, while this single year of data analysis indicates that
bowhead whales may make minor deflections in swimming direction at a
distance of 30-35 km (18.6-21.7 mi), there is no indication that the
SPL where deflection first begins is at 120 dB; it could be at another
SPL lower or higher than 120 dB. Miller et al. (1999) also note that
the received levels at 20-30 km (12.4-18.6 mi) were considerably lower
in 1998 than have previously been shown to elicit avoidance in bowheads
exposed to seismic pulses. However, the seismic airgun array used in
1998 was larger than the ones used in 1996 and 1997. Therefore, NMFS
believes that it cannot scientifically support adopting any single SPL
value below 160 dB and apply it across the board for all species and in
all circumstances. Second, these minor course changes occurred during
migration and, as indicated in MMS' 2006 PEA, have not been seen at
other times of the year and during other activities. Third, as stated
in the past, NMFS does not believe that minor course corrections during
a migration equate to ``take'' under the MMPA. This conclusion is based
on controlled exposure experiments conducted on migrating gray whales
exposed to the U.S. Navy's low frequency sonar (LFA) sources (Tyack
2009). When the source was placed in the middle of the migratory
corridor, the whales were observed deflecting around the source during
their migration. However, such minor deflection is considered not to be
biologically significant. To show the contextual nature of this minor
behavioral modification, recent monitoring studies of Canadian seismic
operations indicate that when, not migrating, but involved in feeding,
bowhead whales do not move away from a noise source at an SPL of 160
dB. Therefore, while bowheads may avoid an area of 20 km (12.4 mi)
around a noise source, when that determination requires a post-survey
computer analysis to find that bowheads have made a 1 or 2 degree
course change, NMFS believes that does not rise to a level of a
``take.'' NMFS therefore continues to estimate ``takings'' under the
MMPA from impulse noises, such as seismic, as being at a distance of
160 dB (re 1 [mu]Pa). Although it is possible that marine mammals could
react to any sound levels detectable above the ambient noise level
within the animals' respective frequency response range, this does not
mean that such animals would react in a biologically significant way.
According to experts on marine mammal behavior, the degree of reaction
which constitutes a ``take,'' i.e., a reaction deemed to be
biologically significant that could potentially disrupt the migration,
breathing, nursing, breeding, feeding, or sheltering, etc., of a marine
mammal is complex and context specific, and it depends on several
variables in addition to the received level of the sound by the
animals. These additional variables include, but are not limited to,
other source characteristics (such as frequency range, duty cycle,
continuous vs. impulse vs. intermittent sounds, duration, moving vs.
stationary sources, etc.); specific species, populations, and/or
stocks; prior experience of the animals (naive vs. previously exposed);
habituation or sensitization of the sound by the animals; and behavior
context (whether the animal perceives the sound as predatory or simply
annoyance), etc. (Southall et al. 2007).
[[Page 49717]]
The references cited in the comment letters address different
source characteristics (continuous sound rather than impulse sound that
are planned for the proposed shallow hazard and site clearance surveys)
or species (killer whales and harbor proposes) that rarely occur in the
proposed Arctic action area. Some information about the responses of
bowhead and gray whales to seismic survey noises has been acquired
through dedicated research and marine mammal monitoring studies
conducted during prior seismic surveys. Detailed descriptions regarding
behavioral responses of these marine mammals to seismic sounds are
available (e.g., Richardson et al. 1995; review by Southall et al.
2007), and are also discussed in this document. Additionally, as Shell
does not intend to use ice-breakers during its operations, statements
regarding beluga reactions to icebreaker noise are not relevant to this
activity.
Regarding the last point raised in this comment by AEWC, NMFS
recognizes the concern. However, NMFS does not agree with AEWC's
statement that current scientific research establishes that 120 dB
(rms) is a more appropriate measure for impacts to marine mammals for
reasons noted above. Based on the information and data summarized in
Southall et al. (2007), and on information from various studies, NMFS
believes that the onset for behavioral harassment is largely context
dependent, and there are many studies showing marine mammals do not
show behavioral responses when exposed to multiple pulses at received
levels above 160 dB re 1 [mu]Pa (e.g., Malme et al. 1983; Malme et al.
1984; Richardson et al. 1986; Akamatsu et al. 1993; Madsen and
M[oslash]hl 2000; Harris et al. 2001; Miller et al. 2005). Therefore,
although using a uniform SPL of 160-dB for the onset of behavioral
harassment for impulse noises may not capture all of the nuances of
different marine mammal reactions to sound, it is an appropriately
conservative way to manage and regulate anthropogenic noise impacts on
marine mammals. Therefore, unless and until an improved approach is
developed and peer-reviewed, NMFS will continue to use the 160-dB
threshold for determining the level of take of marine mammals by Level
B harassment for impulse noise (such as from airguns).
Comment 10: NSB and AWL note that this IHA, as currently proposed,
is based on uncertainties that are not allowed under the MMPA. Citing
comments made by NMFS on recent MMS Lease Sale Environmental Impact
Statements, NSB notes that NMFS stated that without more current and
thorough data on the marine mammals in the Chukchi Sea and their use of
these waters, it would be difficult to make the findings required by
the MMPA. NSB notes that NMFS noted that the ``continued lack of basic
audiometric data for key marine mammal species'' that occur throughout
the Chukchi Sea inhibits the ``ability to determine the nature and
biological significance of exposure to various levels of both
continuous and impulsive oil and gas activity sounds.''
Response: NMFS agrees that while there may be some uncertainty on
the current status of some marine mammal species in the Chukchi Sea and
on impacts to marine mammals from seismic surveys, the best available
information supports our findings. NMFS is currently proposing to
conduct new population assessments for Arctic pinniped species, and
current information is available on-line through the Stock Assessment
Reports (SARs). Moreover, NMFS has required the industry to implement a
monitoring and reporting program to collect additional information
concerning effects to marine mammals.
In regard to impacts, there is no indication that seismic survey
activities are having a long-term impact on marine mammals. For
example, apparently, bowhead whales continued to increase in abundance
during periods of intense seismic activity in the Chukchi Sea in the
1980s (Raftery et al. 1995; Angliss and Outlaw 2007), even without
implementation of current mitigation requirements. As a result, NMFS
believes that seismic survey noise in the Arctic will affect only small
numbers of and have no more than a negligible impact on marine mammals
in the Chukchi Sea. As explained in this document and based on the best
available information, NMFS has determined that Shell's activities will
affect only small numbers of marine mammals, will have a negligible
impact on affected species or stocks, and will not have an unmitigable
adverse impact on subsistence uses of the affected species or stocks.
Comment 11: AEWC notes that stranded marine mammals or their
carcasses are also a sign of injury. NMFS states in its notice that it
``does not expect any marine mammal will * * * strand as a result of
the proposed survey'' (75 FR 27708; May 18, 2010). In reaching this
conclusion, NMFS claims that strandings have not been recorded for the
Beaufort and Chukchi Seas. AEWC states that the Department of Wildlife
Management of NSB has completed a study documenting 25 years worth of
stranding data and showing that five dead whales were reported in 2008
alone in comparison with the five dead whales that were reported in the
same area over the course of 25 years (Rosa 2009).
In light of the increase in seismic operations in the Arctic since
2006, AEWC says that NSB's study raises serious concerns about the
impacts of these operations and their potential to injure marine
mammals. AEWC states that while they think this study taken together
with the June 2008 stranding of ``melon headed whales off Madagascar
that appears to be associated with seismic surveys'' (75 FR 27708; May
18, 2010) demonstrate that seismic operations have the potential to
injure marine mammals beyond beaked whales (and that Shell needs to
apply for an LOA for its operations), certainly NSB's study shows that
direct injury of whales is on-going. AEWC states that these direct
impacts must be analyzed and explanations sought out before additional
activities with the potential to injure marine mammals are authorized,
and that NMFS must explain how, in light of this new information,
Shell's application does not have the potential to injure marine
mammals.
Response: NMFS has reviewed the information provided by AEWC
regarding marine mammal strandings in the Arctic. The Rosa (2009) paper
cited by AEWC does not provide any evidence linking the cause of death
for the bowhead carcasses reported in 2008 to seismic operations.
Additionally, the increased reporting of carcasses in the Arctic since
2006 may also be a result of increased reporting effort and does not
necessarily indicate that there were fewer strandings prior to 2008.
Marine mammal observers (MMOs) aboard industry vessels in the Beaufort
and Chukchi Seas have been required to report sightings of injured and
dead marine mammals to NMFS as part of the IHA requirements only since
2006.
Regarding the June 2008 stranding of melon headed whales off
Madagascar, information available to NMFS at this time indicates that
the seismic airguns were not active around the time of the stranding.
While the Rosa (2009) study does present information regarding the
injury of whales in the Arctic, it does not link the cause of the
injury to seismic survey operations. As NMFS has stated previously, the
evidence linking marine mammal strandings and seismic surveys remains
tenuous at best. Two papers, Taylor et al. (2004) and Engel et al.
(2004) reference seismic signals as a possible cause for a marine
mammal stranding.
[[Page 49718]]
Taylor et al. (2004) noted two beaked whale stranding incidents
related to seismic surveys. The statement in Taylor et al. (2004) was
that the seismic vessel was firing its airguns at 1300 hrs on September
24, 2004, and that between 1400 and 1600 hrs, local fishermen found
live stranded beaked whales 22 km (12 nm) from the ship's location. A
review of the vessel's trackline indicated that the closest approach of
the seismic vessel and the beaked whales stranding location was 18 nm
(33 km) at 1430 hrs. At 1300 hrs, the seismic vessel was located 25 nm
(46 km) from the stranding location. What is unknown is the location of
the beaked whales prior to the stranding in relation to the seismic
vessel, but the close timing of events indicates that the distance was
not less than 18 nm (33 km). No physical evidence for a link between
the seismic survey and the stranding was obtained. In addition, Taylor
et al. (2004) indicates that the same seismic vessel was operating 500
km (270 nm) from the site of the Galapagos Island stranding in 2000.
Whether the 2004 seismic survey caused the beaked whales to strand is a
matter of considerable debate (see Cox et al. 2006). However, these
incidents do point to the need to look for such effects during future
seismic surveys. To date, follow up observations on several scientific
seismic survey cruises have not indicated any beaked whale stranding
incidents.
Engel et al. (2004), in a paper presented to the IWC in 2004 (SC/
56/E28), mentioned a possible link between oil and gas seismic
activities and the stranding of 8 humpback whales (7 off the Bahia or
Espirito Santo States and 1 off Rio de Janeiro, Brazil). Concerns about
the relationship between this stranding event and seismic activity were
raised by the International Association of Geophysical Contractors
(IAGC). The IAGC (2004) argues that not enough evidence is presented in
Engel et al. (2004) to assess whether or not the relatively high
proportion of adult strandings in 2002 is anomalous. The IAGC contends
that the data do not establish a clear record of what might be a
``natural'' adult stranding rate, nor is any attempt made to
characterize other natural factors that may influence strandings. As
stated previously, NMFS remains concerned that the Engel et al. (2004)
article appears to compare stranding rates made by opportunistic
sightings in the past with organized aerial surveys beginning in 2001.
If so, then the data are suspect.
Finally, if bowhead and gray whales react to sounds at very low
levels by making minor course corrections to avoid seismic noise, and
mitigation measures require Shell to ramp-up the seismic array to avoid
a startle effect, strandings such as those observed in the Bahamas in
2000 are highly unlikely to occur in the Arctic Ocean as a result of
seismic activity. Therefore, NMFS does not expect any marine mammals
will incur serious injury or mortality as a result of Shell's 2010
survey operations, so an LOA is not needed.
Lastly, Shell is required to report all sightings of dead and
injured marine mammals to NMFS and to notify the Marine Mammal Health
and Stranding Response Network. However, Shell is not permitted to
conduct necropsies on dead marine mammals. Necropsies can only be
performed by people authorized to do so under the Marine Mammal Health
and Stranding Response Program MMPA permit. NMFS is currently
considering different methods for marking carcasses to reduce the
problem of double counting. However, a protocol has not yet been
developed, so marking is not required in the IHA.
Comment 12: AEWC and NSB state that research is increasingly
showing that marine mammals may remain within dangerous distances of
seismic operations rather than leave a valued resource such as a
feeding ground (see Richardson 2004). The International Whaling
Commission (IWC) scientific committee has indicated that the lack of
deflection by feeding whales in Camden Bay (during Shell seismic
activities) likely shows that whales will tolerate and expose
themselves to potentially harmful