Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation Funding and Fiscal Affairs; Farmer Mac Investments and Liquidity, 27951-27956 [2010-12012]
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Federal Register / Vol. 75, No. 96 / Wednesday, May 19, 2010 / Proposed Rules
§ 1980.320
Interest rate.
The interest rate must not exceed the
established, applicable usury rate. Loans
guaranteed under this subpart must bear
a fixed interest rate over the life of the
loan. The rate shall be agreed upon by
the borrower and the Lender and must
not be more than the current Fannie
Mae rate as defined in § 1980.302(a) of
this subpart. The Lender must
document the rate and the date it was
determined.
4. Section 1980.353 (c)(4) is revised to
read as follows:
§ 1980.353 Filing and processing
applications.
(c) * * *
(4) Anticipated loan rates and terms,
the date and amount of the Fannie Mae
rate used to determine the interest rate,
and the Lender’s certification that the
proposed rate is in compliance with
§ 1980.320 of this subpart.
*
*
*
*
*
Dated: April 30, 2010.
˜
Tammye Trevino,
Administrator, Rural Housing Service.
[FR Doc. 2010–11383 Filed 5–18–10; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3410–XV–P
FARM CREDIT ADMINISTRATION
12 CFR Part 652
RIN 3052–AC56
Federal Agricultural Mortgage
Corporation Funding and Fiscal
Affairs; Farmer Mac Investments and
Liquidity
Farm Credit Administration.
ACTION: Advance notice of proposed
rulemaking (ANPRM).
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AGENCY:
SUMMARY: The Farm Credit
Administration (FCA, Agency, us, or
we) is considering amending our
regulations governing the Federal
Agricultural Mortgage Corporation
(Farmer Mac or the Corporation) nonprogram investments and liquidity
requirements. The objective of these
regulations is to ensure that Farmer Mac
holds an appropriate level of highquality, liquid investments to maintain
a sufficient liquidity reserve, invest
surplus funds, and manage interest rate
risk.
DATES: You may send us comments by
July 6, 2010.
ADDRESSES: We offer a variety of
methods for you to submit comments on
this advanced notice of proposed
rulemaking. For accuracy and efficiency
reasons, commenters are encouraged to
submit comments by e-mail or through
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the Agency’s Web site. As facsimiles
(fax) are difficult for us to process and
achieve compliance with section 508 of
the Rehabilitation Act, we are no longer
accepting comments submitted by fax.
Regardless of the method you use,
please do not submit your comment
multiple times via different methods.
You may submit comments by any of
the following methods:
• E-mail: Send us an e-mail at regcomm@fca.gov.
• FCA Web site: https://www.fca.gov.
Select ‘‘Public Commenters,’’ then
‘‘Public Comments,’’ and follow the
directions for ‘‘Submitting a Comment.’’
• Federal eRulemaking Portal: https://
www.regulations.gov. Follow the
instructions for submitting comments.
• Mail: Joseph T. Connor, Associate
Director for Policy and Analysis, Office
of Secondary Market Oversight, Farm
Credit Administration, 1501 Farm
Credit Drive, McLean, VA 22102–5090.
You may review copies of all
comments we receive at our office in
McLean, Virginia, or on our Web site at
https://www.fca.gov. Once you are in the
Web site, select ‘‘Public Commenters,’’
then ‘‘Public Comments,’’ and follow the
directions for ‘‘Reading Submitted
Public Comments.’’ We will show your
comments as submitted, but for
technical reasons we may omit items
such as logos and special characters.
Identifying information that you
provide, such as phone numbers and
addresses, will be publicly available.
However, we will attempt to remove email addresses to help reduce Internet
spam.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Joseph T. Connor, Associate Director for
Policy and Analysis, Office of
Secondary Market Oversight, Farm
Credit Administration, McLean, VA
22102–5090, (703) 883–4280, TTY
(703) 883–4056; or
Jennifer A. Cohn, Senior Counsel, Office
of General Counsel, Farm Credit
Administration, McLean, VA 22102–
5090, (703) 883–4020, TTY (703) 883–
4020.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
I. Objective
The objective of this ANPRM is to
solicit public comments on revisions
and updates to Farmer Mac’s nonprogram investment and liquidity
management regulations in light of
investment and liquidity risk issues that
arose during the recent financial crisis.
With the benefit of information gained
through this ANPRM and our internal
analysis, we will consider changes to
the regulations to enhance their
fundamental objective: to ensure the
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safety and soundness and continuity of
Farmer Mac operations.
II. Background
Congress established Farmer Mac in
1988 as part of its effort to resolve the
agricultural crisis of the 1980s. Congress
expected that establishing a secondary
market for agricultural and rural
housing mortgages would increase the
availability of competitively priced
mortgage credit to America’s farmers,
ranchers, and rural homeowners.
In addition to serving its investorstakeholders, Farmer Mac, like all
Government-sponsored enterprises
(GSEs), has a public policy purpose
embedded in its corporate mission that
arises from having been created by an
act of Congress. The public policy
component of its mission explicitly
includes its service to customerstakeholders (farmers, ranchers, rural
homeowners, and rural utility
cooperatives, all through their lenders).1
The public policy component also
includes protection of taxpayerstakeholders. The latter arises from
Farmer Mac’s ability to issue debt to the
Department of the Treasury to cover
guarantee losses under certain
circumstances.2 These two public policy
components of Farmer Mac’s mission
are, in some respects, counterbalancing,
as we now explain.
A fundamental premise of finance is
the natural positive relationship
between risk and expected return. This
means that when Farmer Mac increases
its expected return, it also increases its
risk of loss; the opposite is true when
risk decreases. More return, in general,
will better position Farmer Mac to
reduce the rates it charges customers (a
benefit to those stakeholders) and
increase its earnings (a benefit to
investor-stakeholders). However, the
risk Farmer Mac assumes to earn a
greater return increases the risk to
others, including ultimately taxpayers,
and thus adds an offsetting cost to these
earnings benefits.
In general, a guiding principle for
FCA in establishing regulations is to
maintain an appropriate balance
between these costs and benefits, i.e.,
attempting to maximize Farmer Mac’s
ability to serve its customers and
provide an appropriate return for
investors while ensuring that it engages
in safe and sound operations, thereby
providing a high degree of certainty that
Farmer Mac will continue to be able to
make its products available to serve
1 See title VIII of the Farm Credit Act of 1971, as
amended (Act), 12 U.S.C. 2279aa–2279cc et seq.)
2 See section 8.13 of the Act.
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customers and will never need to issue
debt to the Department of Treasury.
Liquidity is a firm’s ability to meet its
obligations as they come due without
substantial negative impact on its
operations or financial condition. While
the management of Farmer Mac’s nonprogram investment portfolio and its
liquidity risk are closely linked, they are
not synonymous. Management of the
non-program investment portfolio, and
specifically the associated market risk,
is one component under the general
heading of liquidity risk management.
Liquidity risk is the risk that the
Corporation is unable to meet expected
obligations (and reasonably estimated
unexpected obligations) as they come
due without substantial adverse impact
on its operations or financial condition.
Reasonably estimated liquidity risk
should consider scenarios of debt
market disruptions, asset market
disruptions such as industry sector
security price risk scenarios, as well as
contingent liquidity events. Contingent
liquidity events include significant
changes in overall economic conditions,
or events that would impact the
market’s perception of Farmer Mac such
as reputation risks and legal risks, as
well as a broad and significant
deterioration in the agriculture sector
and its potential impact on Farmer
Mac’s need for cash to fulfill obligations
under the terms of products such as
Long-Term Standby Purchase
commitments.
Farmer Mac’s primary sources of
liquidity are the principal and interest
it receives from non-program and
program investments and its access to
debt markets. The sale of non-program
investments—which consist of
investment securities, cash, and cash
equivalents—provides a secondary
source of liquidity cushion in the event
of a short-term disruption in Farmer
Mac’s access to the capital markets that
prevents Farmer Mac from issuing new
debt. The sale of Farmer Mac’s program
investments in agricultural mortgages,
rural home loans, and rural utility
cooperative loans could provide
additional liquidity, although the
amount of liquidity provided by these
instruments in times of stress is
uncertain. The reason for that
uncertainty is that, with the exception
of the subset of these investments that
are guaranteed by the United States
Department of Agriculture (USDA),3 we
are not aware of significantly active
markets in which to sell them. As a
3 Farmer Mac’s program investments in loans that
are guaranteed by the USDA as described in section
8.0(9)(B) of the Act, and which are securitized by
Farmer Mac, are known as the ‘‘Farmer Mac II’’
program.
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result, FCA regulations do not currently
recognize any liquidity value in Farmer
Mac’s program book of business (with
the exception of a discounted amount of
the Farmer Mac II volume).
During 2008, the markets in corporate
debt and asset-backed securities
experienced significant value reductions
in response to the general seizing up of
these markets. For financial regulators,
these events highlighted the need to
reevaluate the requirements for liquidity
risk management. This experience also
has triggered broad re-evaluation of
liquidity risk management among
institutions and regulators globally—
including a re-evaluation of the degree
of confidence that is assumed in
corporate policies and regulatory
guidance regarding the availability of
markets for debt issuance and asset sales
under stressful economic or market
conditions. We are interested in public
response to questions regarding FCA
regulatory requirements related to
Farmer Mac’s management of market
risk, liquidity risk, and funding risk.
III. Section-by-Section Questions for
Public Comment
A discussion of our existing
regulations (which became effective in
the third quarter of 2005), along with
our questions about changes we are
considering to these regulations, follow.
For ease of use, Section IV., at the end
of this document, lists the key questions
asked throughout this section.
A. Section 652.10—Investment
Management and Requirements
Effective risk management requires
financial institutions to establish: (1)
Policies; (2) risk limits; (3) mechanisms
for identifying, measuring, and
reporting risk exposures; and (4) strong
corporate governance including specific
procedures and internal controls.
Section 652.10 requires Farmer Mac to
establish and follow certain
fundamental practices to effectively
manage risks in its investment portfolio.
This provision requires Farmer Mac’s
board of directors to adopt written
policies that establish risk limits and
guide the decisions of investment
managers. Board policies must establish
objective criteria so investment
managers can prudently manage credit,
market, liquidity, and operational risks.
Investment policies must provide for
specific risk limits and diversification
requirements for the various classes of
eligible investments and for the entire
investment portfolio. Risk limits must
be based on Farmer Mac’s business mix,
capital position, the term structure of its
debt, the cash flow attributes of both onand off-balance sheet obligations and
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risk tolerance capabilities. Risk
tolerance can be expressed through
several parameters such as duration,
convexity, sector distribution, yield
curve distribution, term structure of
debt, credit quality, risk-adjusted return,
portfolio size, total return volatility, or
value-at-risk.4 Farmer Mac must use a
combination of parameters to
appropriately limit its exposure to credit
and market risk. The policies must also
establish other controls—such as
delegation of responsibilities, separation
of duties, timely and effective valuation
practices, and routine reporting—that
are consistent with sound business
practices.
1. Earnings Performance and Risk
Benchmarks
We have questions regarding several
areas of § 652.10. Our first general area
of discussion pertaining to this section
concerns the usefulness of adding
regulatory guidance to benchmark
earnings performance and risk profiles
of the investment portfolio to evaluate
liquidity risk and non-program
investment management. Section
652.10(c) requires Farmer Mac’s board
to establish investment risk limits, and
§ 652.10(g) requires Farmer Mac’s
management to report to the board on
investment performance and risk. The
regulation does not, however, include
specific requirements regarding
acceptable levels of either earnings
performance (such as the spread over
cost of funds or the spread over an
appropriate yield benchmark) or risk
(such as measured by historical
variation of returns or as implied by
changes in earnings levels).
Risk is measured in terms of the
uncertainty (i.e., volatility) of the
expected earnings stream. Inferences
about real-time changes in risk can be
drawn from the real-time changes in
prices, i.e., the yield the market
demands on the instruments at any
point in time. An increase in return
demanded by investors implies greater
risk. In this discussion, we use return
measurements as a proxy for relative
risk measurements.
Earnings spreads are performance
indicators with implications regarding
relative risk. For example, in times of
market turbulence, investors may prefer
4 Duration measures a bond’s or portfolio’s price
sensitivity to a change in interest rates. Convexity
measures the rate of change in duration with
respect to a change in interest rates. Yield curve
distribution refers to the distribution of the
portfolio’s investments in short-, intermediate-, or
long-term investments. Term structure of debt refers
to the distribution of the Corporation’s debt
maturities over time. Value-at-risk is a methodology
used to measure market risk in an investment
portfolio.
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debt issued by Farmer Mac simply
because it is GSE debt—a ‘‘flight to
quality’’—and not because of any
positive developments in Farmer Mac’s
business. With its debt in greater
demand, its cost of funds would
decrease. The coupon interest Farmer
Mac receives on its investments would
continue at its previous level.5 The
result would be a widening in the
spread between Farmer Mac’s earnings
rates and its cost of funds. Would this
scenario clearly imply an increase in
Farmer Mac’s liquidity risk?
To ensure an appropriate level of
earnings performance while limiting risk
to an acceptable level, should our
regulations (and/or Farmer Mac board
policy) specify earnings performance
benchmarks and some acceptable band
of earnings performance above and
below such benchmarks? The
benchmark could be used to evaluate
investment portfolio earnings and risk.
Earnings performance that is too low
compared to the benchmark would
indicate a need for improved
management of earnings performance,
and earnings performance that is too
high indicating unacceptable levels of
liquidity risk, or credit risk, or both? A
detailed explanation and more detailed
questions follow.
Investor behavior is an indicator of
relative risk in the market. For purposes
of this explanation, we divide the
universe of investors into two general
categories by risk tolerance—either riskseeking or risk-averse. In periods of
‘‘flight to quality,’’ two changes occur in
investor behavior relative to the preturbulence baseline: (1) Risk-seeking
investors demand higher yields (and
theoretically the increase is specifically
higher liquidity premium or credit
premium, or both) 6 and (2) risk-averse
investors accept lower yields from
perceived higher-quality issuers. In
periods of ‘‘flight to quality,’’ interest
rates on non-GSE debt securities would
tend to move up, while interest rates on
GSE debt would tend to move down.
For Farmer Mac, this has two
implications: (1) Its cost of funds
5 The scenario ignores interest rate effects which
could influence the spread in either direction
depending on the circumstances, and also the
impact of any new investments over the period.
6 Yields are generally viewed as containing four
compensation components: (1) The risk-free rate
(which includes a load for expected inflation), (2)
credit premium over the risk-free rate, which
compensates the investor for default risk, (3)
liquidity premium over the risk-free rate, which
compensates the investor for the risk that he will
be unable to sell the investment quickly at, or near,
par, and (4) premium associated with the value of
embedded options (if any). For purposes of this
explanation, we assume option-adjusted spreads to
remove the impact on spreads of changes in the
value of embedded options.
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declines; and (2) the liquidity risk in its
non-program investments increases. The
latter occurs because the market’s view
of the relative liquidity and credit
strength of marketable securities has
deteriorated—which is why investments
purchased in a more normal
environment would then sell at
discount to par in order to provide riskseeking investors with the increased
liquidity/credit premiums they require.7
The market’s perception of liquidity
and credit quality constantly fluctuates.
Therefore, a key question is: Is there
some level of increased earnings spread
(relative to an appropriate spread
benchmark) that could reasonably be
assumed to indicate an unacceptable
amount of increased liquidity risk? We
do not believe that an institution should
be penalized for a decline in the
liquidity of what had previously been
acceptable investments due to events
over which it had no influence.
However, should the regulations (or
board policy) recognize the reduced
liquidity in the investment portfolio and
guide management’s response to steer
the institution back toward a more
acceptable level of liquidity risk? If so,
how might Farmer Mac’s liquidity
management policy establish limits
around an investment portfolio
benchmark, either statically or
dynamically, to reflect the potential
changes in investment value that can
occur in stressful market or economic
environments?
There may be market-based measures
such as spreads (and the amount of time
over which unusually wide or narrow
spreads are sustained) that would be
more dynamic indicators of liquidity
risk and enhance the recognition of, and
response to, significantly increased risks
through discounting procedures that are
indexed to major changes in such
indicators. Dynamic indicators could be
included in Farmer Mac board policy
and, when exceeded, simply instruct
management to steer the portfolio back
toward the targeted indicator level over
some period of time. From a conceptual
perspective, a dynamic indicator
showing an unusually wide spread may
indicate increased risk in the liquidity
value of the investment portfolio.
Further, an unusual degree of narrowing
of spreads (that occurs despite no
change in Farmer Mac’s financial
position) may indicate reduced risk in
the liquidity value of the investment
portfolio. Therefore, a dynamic
indicator based on earnings spreads of
eligible securities might be used to
establish limits that would trigger a
7 Excluding Treasury and GSE investments with
regard, at least, to credit risk.
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rebalancing of the investment portfolio.
This rebalancing would help ensure that
the portfolio maintains stability in
market value even under stressful
conditions.8
We recognize that one possible
complicating factor to such spread
limits might be the inability in some
cases to clearly identify the underlying
funding instruments (and therefore the
costs) of a given subset of Farmer Mac’s
investments. Therefore, return levels
(i.e., yields) might offer another
indication of relative risk. Yield
thresholds might be an alternative for a
dynamic threshold to help ensure that
portfolio liquidity risk does not exceed
acceptable levels. For example, would it
be appropriate for Farmer Mac to set
triggers based on weighted-average yield
thresholds set at some level above a
benchmark eligible investment portfolio
return—which, when triggered, would
require management to rebalance the
investment portfolio (or asset class
within the portfolio)?
2. Contingency Liquidity Funding Plan
Our second area of discussion
pertaining to this regulation concerns
§ 652.10(c)(3). That provision requires
that Farmer Mac’s investment policies
describe the liquidity characteristics of
eligible investments that it will hold to
meet its liquidity needs and objectives,
but it does not require liquidity
contingency funding planning. Such
plans are generally regarded as a key
component of good corporate
governance, and Farmer Mac currently
has a contingency funding plan in place.
Would it be appropriate for our
regulations to require a liquidity
contingency funding plan? If so, how
specific should the regulation be
regarding required components of the
plan versus simply requiring that the
plan reasonably reflect current
standards, for example, those specified
by the Basel Committee on Banking
Supervision? 9
3. Debt Maturity Management Plan
Third, the maturity structure of
Farmer Mac’s debt is a key driver of its
liquidity position at any given time and
8 In addition, another scenario may be worth
considering. Is there a plausible scenario under
which Farmer Mac’s cost of funds would drop
precipitously enough to increase earnings spreads
above some wide threshold over benchmark spreads
that would be due solely to positive developments
in Farmer Mac’s business, and therefore have no
implications on the liquidity risk of its
investments?
9 ‘‘Principles for Sound Liquidity Risk
Management and Supervision’’, Basel Committee on
Banking Supervision, Bank for International
Settlements, September 2008 (or successor
document, in the future). This document can be
found at https://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs144.htm.
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a key input to the calculation of its
minimum liquidity reserve requirement
(discussed in Section III.B. of this
preamble). Under normal yield curve
conditions, long-term debt—debt
maturing in greater than 1 year—is more
costly than short-term debt—debt
maturing in less than 1 year. Long-term
debt, however, is generally viewed as
adding stability and strength to a
corporation’s liquidity position
compared to short-term debt given the
need to frequently roll over such debt.
Farmer Mac’s term structure of debt,
as published in its balance sheet, has
normally been heavily weighted in
short-term debt. Farmer Mac often
synthetically extends the term of much
of its short-funded debt using swap
contracts, which results in a lower net
cost of funds compared to simply
issuing longer term debt. The fact that
these combinations of debt and
derivative positions behave like longer
term debt contributes to the stability
and strength of its liquidity position.
However, the practice adds counterparty
risk on the swaps and short-term debt
rollover risk to Farmer Mac’s overall
liquidity risk position compared to
issuing long-term debt.
In light of the marginal funding
instability that results from relying
primarily on shorter term debt—even
when the maturity is extended
synthetically—would it be appropriate
to require Farmer Mac to establish a
debt maturity management plan? If so,
how might such a requirement be
structured?
We recognize that the minimum daily
liquidity reserve requirement includes
incentives to this same end of
moderating the term structure of debt.
However, this question asks specifically
whether this additional requirement
would appropriately augment the
minimum daily liquidity reserve
requirement and partially compensate
for some of the shortcomings of that
measurement discussed in Section III.B.
of this preamble.
4. Evidence of Market for Program
Investments
Finally, as discussed above, we are
aware of no significantly active markets
in which Farmer Mac could sell its
program investments held on-balance
sheet (other than Farmer Mac II assets),
and therefore the amount of liquidity
provided by these investments is
uncertain. We recognize that Farmer
Mac from time to time has sold these
instruments successfully in the past.
Moreover, the principal and interest
cash flows on these assets provide
liquidity in the normal course of
business. In light of the foregoing,
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should the availability of a liquid
market for Farmer Mac’s program
investments be considered in the
Corporation’s liquidity contingency
funding plan? 10
B. Section 652.20(a)—Minimum Daily
Liquidity Reserve Requirement
The minimum daily liquidity reserve
requirement found at § 652.20(a)
requires Farmer Mac to hold eligible
liquidity instruments such as cash,
eligible non-program investments, and/
or Farmer Mac II assets (subject to
certain discounts) to fund its operations
for a minimum of 60 days.11
This ‘‘days-of-liquidity’’ metric, while
useful, has drawbacks. Perhaps foremost
among those drawbacks is that this
metric contains information about a
single point-in-time, but it provides no
projected information. A large days-ofliquidity measurement today provides
little or no information about what the
measurement might be tomorrow.
Are there other metrics or approaches
that might improve upon, augment, or
appropriately replace days-of-liquidity
as currently used in § 652.20(a)? For
example, in the current days-of-liquidity
calculation, once discounts have been
applied to assets, each liquid asset
dollar (net of discounts) is viewed (for
purposes of the calculation) as being of
equal quality and liquidity value.
However, clearly there is greater
liquidity value in, for example, the
amount of undiscounted cash dollars in
that total than there is in the dollars
associated with corporate debt
securities. Under the current rule, the
debt securities are discounted at either
5 percent or 10 percent for purposes of
estimating liquidity value, but the actual
amount realized in a sale would depend
on many factors. If stress developed
suddenly in the market, the debt
securities might be worth considerably
less than the discounted amounts, but
the cash dollars would not change.
Therefore, to recognize greater
differences in the liquidity value of
different asset classes, and to augment
the minimum days-of-liquidity
requirement, would it be appropriate to
establish a subcategory of the minimum
days-of-liquidity requirement that would
include, for example, only cash or
Treasury securities in the definition of
‘‘primary liquid assets’’ but also set a
10 Section 652.10, on investment management
and requirements, currently governs only nonprogram investment activities. This would be a new
requirement governing the liquidity of Farmer
Mac’s program investments.
11 The purpose of this minimum daily liquidity
reserve requirement is to enable Farmer Mac to
continue its operations if its access to the capital
markets were impeded or otherwise disrupted.
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smaller minimum required number of
days? Recognizing that liquidity risk
cannot be eliminated for Farmer Mac,
could a ‘‘primary’’ days-of-liquidity
minimum add significant certainty to
Farmer Mac’s liquidity policies at an
acceptable cost? We recognize that the
return on such investments is likely to
be lower than Farmer Mac’s funding
costs, which would create a drag on
earnings. If such a requirement is
warranted, what would be the
appropriate number of minimum
primary days-of-liquidity, balancing the
benefits gained from maintaining these
higher quality liquid assets against their
higher cost?
C. Section 652.20(c)—Discounts
Section 652.20(c) requires Farmer
Mac to apply specified discounts to all
investments in the liquidity portfolio,
other than cash and overnight
investments, in order to reflect the risk
of diminished marketability of even
these liquid investments under adverse
market conditions. The investments that
must be discounted include money
market instruments, floating and fixed
rate debt and preferred stock securities,
diversified investment funds, and
Farmer Mac II assets. In the wake of the
recent disruptions in financial markets,
we are considering whether a more
conservative view of the discounts is
appropriate.
At the same time, we recognize that
deep discounts, if actually realized
during a liquidation, impact not only
Farmer Mac’s ability to meet obligations
in a timely manner, but also its capital
position. In other words, the loss on sale
of these assets at extremely deep
discounts could, at large volumes, have
a very detrimental impact on capital
levels.
Thus, in setting this policy, there is a
trade-off between setting deeper, more
conservative discounts versus the
alternative of excluding those assets
from eligibility (or, in the case of Farmer
Mac II assets, excluding them from the
liquidity reserve) because appropriately
deep discounts might reasonably be so
deep that, if realized, they could
destabilize Farmer Mac’s capital
position. In light of these concerns,
would it be appropriate to re-evaluate
the discounts in § 652.20(c) to better
reflect the risk of diminished
marketability of liquid investments
under adverse conditions? If so, which
ones and what would be the appropriate
degree of change? In particular, we
request public comment on whether the
discount currently applied on Farmer
Mac II securities is appropriate.
In addition, the existing, relatively
coarse discounting schedule could
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overlook important liquidity-quality
characteristics of individual
investments. Would it be appropriate to
refine the schedule of discounts in
§ 652.20(c)? For example, there is no
difference in the discounts applied to
AAA-rated versus AA-rated corporate
debt securities. Conversely, is the
coarseness of the current discount
schedule more desirable because of its
simplicity?
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D. Section 652.35(a)—Eligible NonProgram Investments
The current rule provides Farmer Mac
with a broad array of eligible highquality, liquid investments while
providing a regulatory framework that
can readily accommodate innovations in
financial products and analytical tools.
Farmer Mac may purchase and hold
the eligible non-program investments
listed in § 652.35 to maintain liquidity
reserves, manage interest rate risk, and
invest surplus short-term funds. As we
stated in our preamble adopting this
rule, only investments that can be
promptly converted into cash without
significant loss are suitable for
achieving these objectives.12 We further
stated our intent that all eligible
investments be either traded in active
and universally recognized secondary
markets or valuable as collateral.13 For
many of the investments, the regulation
requires that they not exceed certain
maximum percentages of the total nonprogram investment portfolio. We
established these portfolio caps to limit
credit risk exposures, promote
diversification, and encourage
investments in securities that exhibit
low levels of price volatility and
liquidity risk. In addition, the table sets
single obligor limits to help reduce
exposure to counterparty risk.
Would the experience gained during
the financial markets crisis of 2008 and
2009 justify adjustments to many of the
portfolio limits in § 652.35 to add
conservatism to them and improve
diversification of the portfolio? We
invite comments on appropriate
changes for each asset class, final
maturity limit, credit rating
requirement, portfolio concentration
limit, and other restrictions. We also
request comment on several specific
provisions, as follows.
1. Section 652.35(a)(1)—Obligations of
the United States
Section 652.35(a)(1) permits Farmer
Mac to invest in Treasuries and other
obligations (except mortgage securities)
fully insured or guaranteed by the
12 70
FR 40641 (July 14, 2005).
13 Id.
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13:46 May 18, 2010
Jkt 220001
United States Government or
Government agency without limitation.
Given that Farmer Mac might not
always hold the ‘‘on the run’’ (i.e.,
highest liquidity) issuance of Treasury
securities, would imposing maximum
maturity limitations enhance the resale
value of these investments in stressful
conditions?
2. Section 652.35(a)(2)—Obligations of
Government-Sponsored Agencies
In light of the recent financial
instability of Government-sponsored
agencies such as Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac, would it be appropriate to
revise this section to put concentration
limits on exposure to these entities in
§ 652.35(a)(2)? 14
3. Section 652.35(a)(3)—Municipal
Securities
Section 652.35(a)(3) authorizes
investment in municipal securities.
Currently, revenue bonds are limited to
15 percent or less of Farmer Mac’s total
investment portfolio, while general
obligations have no such limitation. The
maturity limits and credit rating
requirements are also more generous for
general obligations. The requirements in
§ 652.35(a)(3) carry the implied
assumption that general obligation
bonds are always less risky than
revenue bonds. But is that always the
case? In the scenario of severe economic
recession, could a municipal issuer’s tax
base erode faster than the revenues on
a bridge or toll road, for example?
Would it be more appropriate for our
regulation to limit both sub-categories
equally?
4. Section 652.35(a)(6)—Mortgage
Securities
Section 652.35(a)(6) authorizes
investments in non-Government agency
or Government-sponsored agency
securities that comply with 15 U.S.C.
77(d)5 or 15 U.S.C. 78c(a)(41). These
types of mortgage securities are
typically issued by private sector
entities and are mostly comprised of
securities that are collateralized by
‘‘jumbo’’ mortgages with principal
amounts that exceed the maximum
limits of Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac
programs. We invite comment on
whether it is appropriate to include
mortgage securities collateralized by
‘‘jumbo’’ mortgages as an eligible
liquidity investment.
14 Under § 652.35(a)(2), Government-sponsored
agency mortgage securities, but no other such
securities, are limited to 50 percent of Farmer Mac’s
total non-program investment portfolio. In addition,
§ 652.35(d)(1) bars Farmer Mac from investing more
than 100 percent of its regulatory capital in any one
Government-sponsored agency.
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Fmt 4702
Sfmt 4702
27955
5. Section 652.35(a)(8)—Corporate Debt
Securities
Section 652.35(a)(8) authorizes
investment in corporate debt securities.
The rule does not contain concentration
limits related to industry sector
exposure. We request comment on
whether such industry sector exposure
limits should be added. Further, is it
appropriate to allow investments in
subordinated debt as the current rule
does? If so, is it appropriate that
subordinated debt receives discounts
and investment limits at the same level
as more senior types of corporate debt?
E. Section 652.35(d)(1)—Obligor Limits
An appropriate level of diversification
is a key attribute of a liquidity
investment portfolio. In § 652.35(d)(1),
we prohibit Farmer Mac from investing
more than 25 percent of its regulatory
capital in eligible investments issued by
any single entity, issuer, or obligor.
Government-sponsored agencies have a
different obligor limit; Farmer Mac may
not invest more than 100 percent of its
regulatory capital in any one
Government-sponsored agency. There
are no obligor limits for Government
agencies.
Do the obligor limits in § 652.35(d)(1)
generally provide for an adequate level
of diversification? Specifically, in light
of the uncertainty associated with the
current conservatorships of both Fannie
Mae and Freddie Mac, is it appropriate
to maintain a higher obligor limit for
Government-sponsored agencies?
F. Section 652.40—Stress Tests for
Mortgage Securities
In the current rule, stress-testing
requirements apply to one type of
asset—mortgage securities—and one
type of stress—interest rate risk.15 Is the
scope of the stress-testing requirement
adequate, or should it be broadened to
apply to the entire investment portfolio
(both individually and at a portfolio
level)? Should the scope of the stresstesting be expanded to include market
price risks due to factors other than
interest rate changes? We refer to both
firm-specific risks and systemic risks.
Firm-level risks include operational
fraud, deteriorating program asset
quality, and negative media coverage.
Systemic risks include industry sector
shocks such as occurred on September
11, 2001, with payment system
disruption, or asset class as was seen in
the financial services sector in 2007 and
15 By interest rate risk, we refer to the price
sensitivity of mortgage instruments over different
interest rate/yield curve scenarios, including
prepayment and interest rate volatility
assumptions—as described in current § 652.40.
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Federal Register / Vol. 75, No. 96 / Wednesday, May 19, 2010 / Proposed Rules
erowe on DSK5CLS3C1PROD with PROPOSALS-1
2008. If the scope of required stresstesting is expanded, what types and
severity of liquidity event scenarios
should be tested, and how should
forward-looking cash-flow projections
be built around these scenarios?
IV. List of Key Questions
• To ensure an appropriate level of
earnings performance while limiting
risk to an acceptable level, should our
regulations (and/or Farmer Mac board
policy) specify earnings performance
benchmarks and some acceptable band
of earnings performance above and
below such benchmarks? If so, how
might Farmer Mac’s liquidity
management policy establish limits
around an investment portfolio
benchmark, either statically or
dynamically, to reflect the potential
changes in investment value that can
occur in stressful market or economic
environments?
• Would it be appropriate for our
regulations to require a liquidity
contingency funding plan? If so, how
specific should the regulation be
regarding required components of the
plan versus simply requiring that the
plan reasonably reflect current
standards, for example, those specified
by the Basel Committee on Banking
Supervision?
• In light of the marginal funding
instability that results from relying
primarily on shorter term debt—even
when the maturity is extended
synthetically—would it be appropriate
to require Farmer Mac to establish a
debt maturity management plan? If so,
how might such a requirement be
structured?
• Should the availability of a liquid
market for Farmer Mac’s program
investments be considered in the
Corporation’s liquidity contingency
funding plan?
• Are there other metrics or
approaches available that might
improve upon, augment, or
appropriately replace days-of-liquidity
as currently used in § 652.20(a)? For
example, to recognize greater
differences in the liquidity value of
different asset classes, and to augment
the minimum days-of-liquidity
requirement, would it be appropriate to
establish a subcategory of the minimum
days-of-liquidity requirement that
would include, for example, only cash
or Treasury securities in the definition
of ‘‘primary liquid assets’’ but also set a
smaller minimum required number of
days? If such a requirement is
warranted, what would be the
appropriate number of minimum
primary days-of-liquidity, balancing the
benefits gained from maintaining these
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13:46 May 18, 2010
Jkt 220001
higher quality liquid assets against their
higher cost?
• Would it be appropriate to reevaluate the discounts in § 652.20(c) in
order to better reflect the risk of
diminished marketability of liquid
investments under adverse conditions?
If so, which ones and what would be the
appropriate degree of change? In
particular, we request public comment
on whether the discount currently
applied on Farmer Mac II securities is
appropriate. Would it be appropriate to
refine the schedule of discounts in
§ 652.20(c)? For example, there is no
difference in the discounts applied to
AAA-rated versus AA-rated corporate
debt securities.
• Would the experience gained
during the financial markets crisis of
2008 and 2009 justify adjustments to
many of the portfolio limits in § 652.35
to add conservatism to them and
improve diversification of the portfolio?
We invite specific comments on
appropriate changes for each asset class,
final maturity limit, credit rating
requirement, portfolio concentration
limit, and other restrictions.
Given that Farmer Mac might not
always hold the ‘‘on the run’’ (i.e.,
highest liquidity) issuance of Treasury
securities, would imposing maximum
maturity limitations enhance the resale
value of these investments in stressful
conditions?
In light of the recent financial
instability of Government-sponsored
agencies such as Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac, would it be appropriate to
revise this section to put concentration
limits on exposure to these entities in
§ 652.35(a)(2)?
The requirements in § 652.35(a)(3)
carry the implied assumption that
general obligation bonds are always less
risky than revenue bonds. But is that
always the case? Would it be more
appropriate for our regulation to limit
both sub-categories equally?
We invite comment on whether it is
appropriate to include mortgage
securities collateralized by ‘‘jumbo’’
mortgages as an eligible liquidity
investment.
Further, is it appropriate to allow
investments in subordinated debt as the
current rule does? If so, is it appropriate
that subordinated debt receives
discounts and investment limits at the
same level as more senior types of
corporate debt?
• Do the obligor limits in
§ 652.35(d)(1) generally provide for an
adequate level of diversification?
Specifically, in light of the uncertainty
associated with the current
conservatorships of both Fannie Mae
and Freddie Mac, is it appropriate to
PO 00000
Frm 00008
Fmt 4702
Sfmt 4702
maintain a higher obligor limit for
Government-sponsored agencies?
• Is the scope of the stress-testing
requirement adequate, or should it be
broadened to apply to the entire
investment portfolio (both individually
and at a portfolio level)? Should the
scope of the stress-testing be expanded
to include market price risks due to
factors other than interest rate changes?
If the scope of required stress-testing is
expanded, what types and severity of
liquidity event scenarios should be
tested, and how should forward-looking,
cash flow projections be built around
these scenarios?
V. Conclusion
We welcome comments on all
provisions of this notice, even if we did
not request specific comments on those
provisions.
Dated: May 13, 2010.
Roland E. Smith,
Secretary, Farm Credit Administration Board.
[FR Doc. 2010–12012 Filed 5–18–10; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6705–01–P
DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION
Federal Aviation Administration
14 CFR Part 39
[Docket No. FAA–2010–0478; Directorate
Identifier 2008–NM–090–AD]
RIN 2120–AA64
Airworthiness Directives; Airbus Model
A300 B4–600, B4–600R, and F4–600R
Series Airplanes, and Model C4–605R
Variant F Airplanes (Collectively Called
A300–600 Series Airplanes); and Model
A300 and A310 Series Airplanes
AGENCY: Federal Aviation
Administration (FAA), DOT.
ACTION: Notice of proposed rulemaking
(NPRM).
SUMMARY: We propose to adopt a new
airworthiness directive (AD) for the
products listed above. This proposed
AD results from mandatory continuing
airworthiness information (MCAI)
originated by an aviation authority of
another country to identify and correct
an unsafe condition on an aviation
product. The MCAI describes the unsafe
condition as: Two cases of complete
nose landing gear (NLG) shock absorber
bolts failure were reported to the
manufacturer. In both cases, the crew
was unable to retract the gear and was
forced to an In Flight Turn Back. In one
case, the aircraft experienced a low
speed runway excursion. The root cause
of the bolts failure has been identified
E:\FR\FM\19MYP1.SGM
19MYP1
Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 75, Number 96 (Wednesday, May 19, 2010)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 27951-27956]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 2010-12012]
=======================================================================
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
FARM CREDIT ADMINISTRATION
12 CFR Part 652
RIN 3052-AC56
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation Funding and Fiscal
Affairs; Farmer Mac Investments and Liquidity
AGENCY: Farm Credit Administration.
ACTION: Advance notice of proposed rulemaking (ANPRM).
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: The Farm Credit Administration (FCA, Agency, us, or we) is
considering amending our regulations governing the Federal Agricultural
Mortgage Corporation (Farmer Mac or the Corporation) non-program
investments and liquidity requirements. The objective of these
regulations is to ensure that Farmer Mac holds an appropriate level of
high-quality, liquid investments to maintain a sufficient liquidity
reserve, invest surplus funds, and manage interest rate risk.
DATES: You may send us comments by July 6, 2010.
ADDRESSES: We offer a variety of methods for you to submit comments on
this advanced notice of proposed rulemaking. For accuracy and
efficiency reasons, commenters are encouraged to submit comments by e-
mail or through the Agency's Web site. As facsimiles (fax) are
difficult for us to process and achieve compliance with section 508 of
the Rehabilitation Act, we are no longer accepting comments submitted
by fax. Regardless of the method you use, please do not submit your
comment multiple times via different methods. You may submit comments
by any of the following methods:
E-mail: Send us an e-mail at reg-comm@fca.gov.
FCA Web site: https://www.fca.gov. Select ``Public
Commenters,'' then ``Public Comments,'' and follow the directions for
``Submitting a Comment.''
Federal eRulemaking Portal: https://www.regulations.gov.
Follow the instructions for submitting comments.
Mail: Joseph T. Connor, Associate Director for Policy and
Analysis, Office of Secondary Market Oversight, Farm Credit
Administration, 1501 Farm Credit Drive, McLean, VA 22102-5090.
You may review copies of all comments we receive at our office in
McLean, Virginia, or on our Web site at https://www.fca.gov. Once you
are in the Web site, select ``Public Commenters,'' then ``Public
Comments,'' and follow the directions for ``Reading Submitted Public
Comments.'' We will show your comments as submitted, but for technical
reasons we may omit items such as logos and special characters.
Identifying information that you provide, such as phone numbers and
addresses, will be publicly available. However, we will attempt to
remove e-mail addresses to help reduce Internet spam.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Joseph T. Connor, Associate Director for Policy and Analysis, Office of
Secondary Market Oversight, Farm Credit Administration, McLean, VA
22102-5090, (703) 883-4280, TTY (703) 883-4056; or
Jennifer A. Cohn, Senior Counsel, Office of General Counsel, Farm
Credit Administration, McLean, VA 22102-5090, (703) 883-4020, TTY (703)
883-4020.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
I. Objective
The objective of this ANPRM is to solicit public comments on
revisions and updates to Farmer Mac's non-program investment and
liquidity management regulations in light of investment and liquidity
risk issues that arose during the recent financial crisis. With the
benefit of information gained through this ANPRM and our internal
analysis, we will consider changes to the regulations to enhance their
fundamental objective: to ensure the safety and soundness and
continuity of Farmer Mac operations.
II. Background
Congress established Farmer Mac in 1988 as part of its effort to
resolve the agricultural crisis of the 1980s. Congress expected that
establishing a secondary market for agricultural and rural housing
mortgages would increase the availability of competitively priced
mortgage credit to America's farmers, ranchers, and rural homeowners.
In addition to serving its investor-stakeholders, Farmer Mac, like
all Government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs), has a public policy
purpose embedded in its corporate mission that arises from having been
created by an act of Congress. The public policy component of its
mission explicitly includes its service to customer-stakeholders
(farmers, ranchers, rural homeowners, and rural utility cooperatives,
all through their lenders).\1\ The public policy component also
includes protection of taxpayer-stakeholders. The latter arises from
Farmer Mac's ability to issue debt to the Department of the Treasury to
cover guarantee losses under certain circumstances.\2\ These two public
policy components of Farmer Mac's mission are, in some respects,
counterbalancing, as we now explain.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ See title VIII of the Farm Credit Act of 1971, as amended
(Act), 12 U.S.C. 2279aa-2279cc et seq.)
\2\ See section 8.13 of the Act.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
A fundamental premise of finance is the natural positive
relationship between risk and expected return. This means that when
Farmer Mac increases its expected return, it also increases its risk of
loss; the opposite is true when risk decreases. More return, in
general, will better position Farmer Mac to reduce the rates it charges
customers (a benefit to those stakeholders) and increase its earnings
(a benefit to investor-stakeholders). However, the risk Farmer Mac
assumes to earn a greater return increases the risk to others,
including ultimately taxpayers, and thus adds an offsetting cost to
these earnings benefits.
In general, a guiding principle for FCA in establishing regulations
is to maintain an appropriate balance between these costs and benefits,
i.e., attempting to maximize Farmer Mac's ability to serve its
customers and provide an appropriate return for investors while
ensuring that it engages in safe and sound operations, thereby
providing a high degree of certainty that Farmer Mac will continue to
be able to make its products available to serve
[[Page 27952]]
customers and will never need to issue debt to the Department of
Treasury.
Liquidity is a firm's ability to meet its obligations as they come
due without substantial negative impact on its operations or financial
condition. While the management of Farmer Mac's non-program investment
portfolio and its liquidity risk are closely linked, they are not
synonymous. Management of the non-program investment portfolio, and
specifically the associated market risk, is one component under the
general heading of liquidity risk management. Liquidity risk is the
risk that the Corporation is unable to meet expected obligations (and
reasonably estimated unexpected obligations) as they come due without
substantial adverse impact on its operations or financial condition.
Reasonably estimated liquidity risk should consider scenarios of debt
market disruptions, asset market disruptions such as industry sector
security price risk scenarios, as well as contingent liquidity events.
Contingent liquidity events include significant changes in overall
economic conditions, or events that would impact the market's
perception of Farmer Mac such as reputation risks and legal risks, as
well as a broad and significant deterioration in the agriculture sector
and its potential impact on Farmer Mac's need for cash to fulfill
obligations under the terms of products such as Long-Term Standby
Purchase commitments.
Farmer Mac's primary sources of liquidity are the principal and
interest it receives from non-program and program investments and its
access to debt markets. The sale of non-program investments--which
consist of investment securities, cash, and cash equivalents--provides
a secondary source of liquidity cushion in the event of a short-term
disruption in Farmer Mac's access to the capital markets that prevents
Farmer Mac from issuing new debt. The sale of Farmer Mac's program
investments in agricultural mortgages, rural home loans, and rural
utility cooperative loans could provide additional liquidity, although
the amount of liquidity provided by these instruments in times of
stress is uncertain. The reason for that uncertainty is that, with the
exception of the subset of these investments that are guaranteed by the
United States Department of Agriculture (USDA),\3\ we are not aware of
significantly active markets in which to sell them. As a result, FCA
regulations do not currently recognize any liquidity value in Farmer
Mac's program book of business (with the exception of a discounted
amount of the Farmer Mac II volume).
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\3\ Farmer Mac's program investments in loans that are
guaranteed by the USDA as described in section 8.0(9)(B) of the Act,
and which are securitized by Farmer Mac, are known as the ``Farmer
Mac II'' program.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
During 2008, the markets in corporate debt and asset-backed
securities experienced significant value reductions in response to the
general seizing up of these markets. For financial regulators, these
events highlighted the need to reevaluate the requirements for
liquidity risk management. This experience also has triggered broad re-
evaluation of liquidity risk management among institutions and
regulators globally--including a re-evaluation of the degree of
confidence that is assumed in corporate policies and regulatory
guidance regarding the availability of markets for debt issuance and
asset sales under stressful economic or market conditions. We are
interested in public response to questions regarding FCA regulatory
requirements related to Farmer Mac's management of market risk,
liquidity risk, and funding risk.
III. Section-by-Section Questions for Public Comment
A discussion of our existing regulations (which became effective in
the third quarter of 2005), along with our questions about changes we
are considering to these regulations, follow. For ease of use, Section
IV., at the end of this document, lists the key questions asked
throughout this section.
A. Section 652.10--Investment Management and Requirements
Effective risk management requires financial institutions to
establish: (1) Policies; (2) risk limits; (3) mechanisms for
identifying, measuring, and reporting risk exposures; and (4) strong
corporate governance including specific procedures and internal
controls. Section 652.10 requires Farmer Mac to establish and follow
certain fundamental practices to effectively manage risks in its
investment portfolio.
This provision requires Farmer Mac's board of directors to adopt
written policies that establish risk limits and guide the decisions of
investment managers. Board policies must establish objective criteria
so investment managers can prudently manage credit, market, liquidity,
and operational risks. Investment policies must provide for specific
risk limits and diversification requirements for the various classes of
eligible investments and for the entire investment portfolio. Risk
limits must be based on Farmer Mac's business mix, capital position,
the term structure of its debt, the cash flow attributes of both on-
and off-balance sheet obligations and risk tolerance capabilities. Risk
tolerance can be expressed through several parameters such as duration,
convexity, sector distribution, yield curve distribution, term
structure of debt, credit quality, risk-adjusted return, portfolio
size, total return volatility, or value-at-risk.\4\ Farmer Mac must use
a combination of parameters to appropriately limit its exposure to
credit and market risk. The policies must also establish other
controls--such as delegation of responsibilities, separation of duties,
timely and effective valuation practices, and routine reporting--that
are consistent with sound business practices.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\4\ Duration measures a bond's or portfolio's price sensitivity
to a change in interest rates. Convexity measures the rate of change
in duration with respect to a change in interest rates. Yield curve
distribution refers to the distribution of the portfolio's
investments in short-, intermediate-, or long-term investments. Term
structure of debt refers to the distribution of the Corporation's
debt maturities over time. Value-at-risk is a methodology used to
measure market risk in an investment portfolio.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
1. Earnings Performance and Risk Benchmarks
We have questions regarding several areas of Sec. 652.10. Our
first general area of discussion pertaining to this section concerns
the usefulness of adding regulatory guidance to benchmark earnings
performance and risk profiles of the investment portfolio to evaluate
liquidity risk and non-program investment management. Section 652.10(c)
requires Farmer Mac's board to establish investment risk limits, and
Sec. 652.10(g) requires Farmer Mac's management to report to the board
on investment performance and risk. The regulation does not, however,
include specific requirements regarding acceptable levels of either
earnings performance (such as the spread over cost of funds or the
spread over an appropriate yield benchmark) or risk (such as measured
by historical variation of returns or as implied by changes in earnings
levels).
Risk is measured in terms of the uncertainty (i.e., volatility) of
the expected earnings stream. Inferences about real-time changes in
risk can be drawn from the real-time changes in prices, i.e., the yield
the market demands on the instruments at any point in time. An increase
in return demanded by investors implies greater risk. In this
discussion, we use return measurements as a proxy for relative risk
measurements.
Earnings spreads are performance indicators with implications
regarding relative risk. For example, in times of market turbulence,
investors may prefer
[[Page 27953]]
debt issued by Farmer Mac simply because it is GSE debt--a ``flight to
quality''--and not because of any positive developments in Farmer Mac's
business. With its debt in greater demand, its cost of funds would
decrease. The coupon interest Farmer Mac receives on its investments
would continue at its previous level.\5\ The result would be a widening
in the spread between Farmer Mac's earnings rates and its cost of
funds. Would this scenario clearly imply an increase in Farmer Mac's
liquidity risk?
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\5\ The scenario ignores interest rate effects which could
influence the spread in either direction depending on the
circumstances, and also the impact of any new investments over the
period.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
To ensure an appropriate level of earnings performance while
limiting risk to an acceptable level, should our regulations (and/or
Farmer Mac board policy) specify earnings performance benchmarks and
some acceptable band of earnings performance above and below such
benchmarks? The benchmark could be used to evaluate investment
portfolio earnings and risk. Earnings performance that is too low
compared to the benchmark would indicate a need for improved management
of earnings performance, and earnings performance that is too high
indicating unacceptable levels of liquidity risk, or credit risk, or
both? A detailed explanation and more detailed questions follow.
Investor behavior is an indicator of relative risk in the market.
For purposes of this explanation, we divide the universe of investors
into two general categories by risk tolerance--either risk-seeking or
risk-averse. In periods of ``flight to quality,'' two changes occur in
investor behavior relative to the pre-turbulence baseline: (1) Risk-
seeking investors demand higher yields (and theoretically the increase
is specifically higher liquidity premium or credit premium, or both)
\6\ and (2) risk-averse investors accept lower yields from perceived
higher-quality issuers. In periods of ``flight to quality,'' interest
rates on non-GSE debt securities would tend to move up, while interest
rates on GSE debt would tend to move down. For Farmer Mac, this has two
implications: (1) Its cost of funds declines; and (2) the liquidity
risk in its non-program investments increases. The latter occurs
because the market's view of the relative liquidity and credit strength
of marketable securities has deteriorated--which is why investments
purchased in a more normal environment would then sell at discount to
par in order to provide risk-seeking investors with the increased
liquidity/credit premiums they require.\7\
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\6\ Yields are generally viewed as containing four compensation
components: (1) The risk-free rate (which includes a load for
expected inflation), (2) credit premium over the risk-free rate,
which compensates the investor for default risk, (3) liquidity
premium over the risk-free rate, which compensates the investor for
the risk that he will be unable to sell the investment quickly at,
or near, par, and (4) premium associated with the value of embedded
options (if any). For purposes of this explanation, we assume
option-adjusted spreads to remove the impact on spreads of changes
in the value of embedded options.
\7\ Excluding Treasury and GSE investments with regard, at
least, to credit risk.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The market's perception of liquidity and credit quality constantly
fluctuates. Therefore, a key question is: Is there some level of
increased earnings spread (relative to an appropriate spread benchmark)
that could reasonably be assumed to indicate an unacceptable amount of
increased liquidity risk? We do not believe that an institution should
be penalized for a decline in the liquidity of what had previously been
acceptable investments due to events over which it had no influence.
However, should the regulations (or board policy) recognize the reduced
liquidity in the investment portfolio and guide management's response
to steer the institution back toward a more acceptable level of
liquidity risk? If so, how might Farmer Mac's liquidity management
policy establish limits around an investment portfolio benchmark,
either statically or dynamically, to reflect the potential changes in
investment value that can occur in stressful market or economic
environments?
There may be market-based measures such as spreads (and the amount
of time over which unusually wide or narrow spreads are sustained) that
would be more dynamic indicators of liquidity risk and enhance the
recognition of, and response to, significantly increased risks through
discounting procedures that are indexed to major changes in such
indicators. Dynamic indicators could be included in Farmer Mac board
policy and, when exceeded, simply instruct management to steer the
portfolio back toward the targeted indicator level over some period of
time. From a conceptual perspective, a dynamic indicator showing an
unusually wide spread may indicate increased risk in the liquidity
value of the investment portfolio. Further, an unusual degree of
narrowing of spreads (that occurs despite no change in Farmer Mac's
financial position) may indicate reduced risk in the liquidity value of
the investment portfolio. Therefore, a dynamic indicator based on
earnings spreads of eligible securities might be used to establish
limits that would trigger a rebalancing of the investment portfolio.
This rebalancing would help ensure that the portfolio maintains
stability in market value even under stressful conditions.\8\
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\8\ In addition, another scenario may be worth considering. Is
there a plausible scenario under which Farmer Mac's cost of funds
would drop precipitously enough to increase earnings spreads above
some wide threshold over benchmark spreads that would be due solely
to positive developments in Farmer Mac's business, and therefore
have no implications on the liquidity risk of its investments?
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We recognize that one possible complicating factor to such spread
limits might be the inability in some cases to clearly identify the
underlying funding instruments (and therefore the costs) of a given
subset of Farmer Mac's investments. Therefore, return levels (i.e.,
yields) might offer another indication of relative risk. Yield
thresholds might be an alternative for a dynamic threshold to help
ensure that portfolio liquidity risk does not exceed acceptable levels.
For example, would it be appropriate for Farmer Mac to set triggers
based on weighted-average yield thresholds set at some level above a
benchmark eligible investment portfolio return--which, when triggered,
would require management to rebalance the investment portfolio (or
asset class within the portfolio)?
2. Contingency Liquidity Funding Plan
Our second area of discussion pertaining to this regulation
concerns Sec. 652.10(c)(3). That provision requires that Farmer Mac's
investment policies describe the liquidity characteristics of eligible
investments that it will hold to meet its liquidity needs and
objectives, but it does not require liquidity contingency funding
planning. Such plans are generally regarded as a key component of good
corporate governance, and Farmer Mac currently has a contingency
funding plan in place. Would it be appropriate for our regulations to
require a liquidity contingency funding plan? If so, how specific
should the regulation be regarding required components of the plan
versus simply requiring that the plan reasonably reflect current
standards, for example, those specified by the Basel Committee on
Banking Supervision? \9\
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\9\ ``Principles for Sound Liquidity Risk Management and
Supervision'', Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, Bank for
International Settlements, September 2008 (or successor document, in
the future). This document can be found at https://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs144.htm.
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3. Debt Maturity Management Plan
Third, the maturity structure of Farmer Mac's debt is a key driver
of its liquidity position at any given time and
[[Page 27954]]
a key input to the calculation of its minimum liquidity reserve
requirement (discussed in Section III.B. of this preamble). Under
normal yield curve conditions, long-term debt--debt maturing in greater
than 1 year--is more costly than short-term debt--debt maturing in less
than 1 year. Long-term debt, however, is generally viewed as adding
stability and strength to a corporation's liquidity position compared
to short-term debt given the need to frequently roll over such debt.
Farmer Mac's term structure of debt, as published in its balance
sheet, has normally been heavily weighted in short-term debt. Farmer
Mac often synthetically extends the term of much of its short-funded
debt using swap contracts, which results in a lower net cost of funds
compared to simply issuing longer term debt. The fact that these
combinations of debt and derivative positions behave like longer term
debt contributes to the stability and strength of its liquidity
position. However, the practice adds counterparty risk on the swaps and
short-term debt rollover risk to Farmer Mac's overall liquidity risk
position compared to issuing long-term debt.
In light of the marginal funding instability that results from
relying primarily on shorter term debt--even when the maturity is
extended synthetically--would it be appropriate to require Farmer Mac
to establish a debt maturity management plan? If so, how might such a
requirement be structured?
We recognize that the minimum daily liquidity reserve requirement
includes incentives to this same end of moderating the term structure
of debt. However, this question asks specifically whether this
additional requirement would appropriately augment the minimum daily
liquidity reserve requirement and partially compensate for some of the
shortcomings of that measurement discussed in Section III.B. of this
preamble.
4. Evidence of Market for Program Investments
Finally, as discussed above, we are aware of no significantly
active markets in which Farmer Mac could sell its program investments
held on-balance sheet (other than Farmer Mac II assets), and therefore
the amount of liquidity provided by these investments is uncertain. We
recognize that Farmer Mac from time to time has sold these instruments
successfully in the past. Moreover, the principal and interest cash
flows on these assets provide liquidity in the normal course of
business. In light of the foregoing, should the availability of a
liquid market for Farmer Mac's program investments be considered in the
Corporation's liquidity contingency funding plan? \10\
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\10\ Section 652.10, on investment management and requirements,
currently governs only non-program investment activities. This would
be a new requirement governing the liquidity of Farmer Mac's program
investments.
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B. Section 652.20(a)--Minimum Daily Liquidity Reserve Requirement
The minimum daily liquidity reserve requirement found at Sec.
652.20(a) requires Farmer Mac to hold eligible liquidity instruments
such as cash, eligible non-program investments, and/or Farmer Mac II
assets (subject to certain discounts) to fund its operations for a
minimum of 60 days.\11\
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\11\ The purpose of this minimum daily liquidity reserve
requirement is to enable Farmer Mac to continue its operations if
its access to the capital markets were impeded or otherwise
disrupted.
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This ``days-of-liquidity'' metric, while useful, has drawbacks.
Perhaps foremost among those drawbacks is that this metric contains
information about a single point-in-time, but it provides no projected
information. A large days-of-liquidity measurement today provides
little or no information about what the measurement might be tomorrow.
Are there other metrics or approaches that might improve upon,
augment, or appropriately replace days-of-liquidity as currently used
in Sec. 652.20(a)? For example, in the current days-of-liquidity
calculation, once discounts have been applied to assets, each liquid
asset dollar (net of discounts) is viewed (for purposes of the
calculation) as being of equal quality and liquidity value. However,
clearly there is greater liquidity value in, for example, the amount of
undiscounted cash dollars in that total than there is in the dollars
associated with corporate debt securities. Under the current rule, the
debt securities are discounted at either 5 percent or 10 percent for
purposes of estimating liquidity value, but the actual amount realized
in a sale would depend on many factors. If stress developed suddenly in
the market, the debt securities might be worth considerably less than
the discounted amounts, but the cash dollars would not change.
Therefore, to recognize greater differences in the liquidity value
of different asset classes, and to augment the minimum days-of-
liquidity requirement, would it be appropriate to establish a
subcategory of the minimum days-of-liquidity requirement that would
include, for example, only cash or Treasury securities in the
definition of ``primary liquid assets'' but also set a smaller minimum
required number of days? Recognizing that liquidity risk cannot be
eliminated for Farmer Mac, could a ``primary'' days-of-liquidity
minimum add significant certainty to Farmer Mac's liquidity policies at
an acceptable cost? We recognize that the return on such investments is
likely to be lower than Farmer Mac's funding costs, which would create
a drag on earnings. If such a requirement is warranted, what would be
the appropriate number of minimum primary days-of-liquidity, balancing
the benefits gained from maintaining these higher quality liquid assets
against their higher cost?
C. Section 652.20(c)--Discounts
Section 652.20(c) requires Farmer Mac to apply specified discounts
to all investments in the liquidity portfolio, other than cash and
overnight investments, in order to reflect the risk of diminished
marketability of even these liquid investments under adverse market
conditions. The investments that must be discounted include money
market instruments, floating and fixed rate debt and preferred stock
securities, diversified investment funds, and Farmer Mac II assets. In
the wake of the recent disruptions in financial markets, we are
considering whether a more conservative view of the discounts is
appropriate.
At the same time, we recognize that deep discounts, if actually
realized during a liquidation, impact not only Farmer Mac's ability to
meet obligations in a timely manner, but also its capital position. In
other words, the loss on sale of these assets at extremely deep
discounts could, at large volumes, have a very detrimental impact on
capital levels.
Thus, in setting this policy, there is a trade-off between setting
deeper, more conservative discounts versus the alternative of excluding
those assets from eligibility (or, in the case of Farmer Mac II assets,
excluding them from the liquidity reserve) because appropriately deep
discounts might reasonably be so deep that, if realized, they could
destabilize Farmer Mac's capital position. In light of these concerns,
would it be appropriate to re-evaluate the discounts in Sec. 652.20(c)
to better reflect the risk of diminished marketability of liquid
investments under adverse conditions? If so, which ones and what would
be the appropriate degree of change? In particular, we request public
comment on whether the discount currently applied on Farmer Mac II
securities is appropriate.
In addition, the existing, relatively coarse discounting schedule
could
[[Page 27955]]
overlook important liquidity-quality characteristics of individual
investments. Would it be appropriate to refine the schedule of
discounts in Sec. 652.20(c)? For example, there is no difference in
the discounts applied to AAA-rated versus AA-rated corporate debt
securities. Conversely, is the coarseness of the current discount
schedule more desirable because of its simplicity?
D. Section 652.35(a)--Eligible Non-Program Investments
The current rule provides Farmer Mac with a broad array of eligible
high-quality, liquid investments while providing a regulatory framework
that can readily accommodate innovations in financial products and
analytical tools.
Farmer Mac may purchase and hold the eligible non-program
investments listed in Sec. 652.35 to maintain liquidity reserves,
manage interest rate risk, and invest surplus short-term funds. As we
stated in our preamble adopting this rule, only investments that can be
promptly converted into cash without significant loss are suitable for
achieving these objectives.\12\ We further stated our intent that all
eligible investments be either traded in active and universally
recognized secondary markets or valuable as collateral.\13\ For many of
the investments, the regulation requires that they not exceed certain
maximum percentages of the total non-program investment portfolio. We
established these portfolio caps to limit credit risk exposures,
promote diversification, and encourage investments in securities that
exhibit low levels of price volatility and liquidity risk. In addition,
the table sets single obligor limits to help reduce exposure to
counterparty risk.
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\12\ 70 FR 40641 (July 14, 2005).
\13\ Id.
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Would the experience gained during the financial markets crisis of
2008 and 2009 justify adjustments to many of the portfolio limits in
Sec. 652.35 to add conservatism to them and improve diversification of
the portfolio? We invite comments on appropriate changes for each asset
class, final maturity limit, credit rating requirement, portfolio
concentration limit, and other restrictions. We also request comment on
several specific provisions, as follows.
1. Section 652.35(a)(1)--Obligations of the United States
Section 652.35(a)(1) permits Farmer Mac to invest in Treasuries and
other obligations (except mortgage securities) fully insured or
guaranteed by the United States Government or Government agency without
limitation. Given that Farmer Mac might not always hold the ``on the
run'' (i.e., highest liquidity) issuance of Treasury securities, would
imposing maximum maturity limitations enhance the resale value of these
investments in stressful conditions?
2. Section 652.35(a)(2)--Obligations of Government-Sponsored Agencies
In light of the recent financial instability of Government-
sponsored agencies such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, would it be
appropriate to revise this section to put concentration limits on
exposure to these entities in Sec. 652.35(a)(2)? \14\
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\14\ Under Sec. 652.35(a)(2), Government-sponsored agency
mortgage securities, but no other such securities, are limited to 50
percent of Farmer Mac's total non-program investment portfolio. In
addition, Sec. 652.35(d)(1) bars Farmer Mac from investing more
than 100 percent of its regulatory capital in any one Government-
sponsored agency.
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3. Section 652.35(a)(3)--Municipal Securities
Section 652.35(a)(3) authorizes investment in municipal securities.
Currently, revenue bonds are limited to 15 percent or less of Farmer
Mac's total investment portfolio, while general obligations have no
such limitation. The maturity limits and credit rating requirements are
also more generous for general obligations. The requirements in Sec.
652.35(a)(3) carry the implied assumption that general obligation bonds
are always less risky than revenue bonds. But is that always the case?
In the scenario of severe economic recession, could a municipal
issuer's tax base erode faster than the revenues on a bridge or toll
road, for example? Would it be more appropriate for our regulation to
limit both sub-categories equally?
4. Section 652.35(a)(6)--Mortgage Securities
Section 652.35(a)(6) authorizes investments in non-Government
agency or Government-sponsored agency securities that comply with 15
U.S.C. 77(d)5 or 15 U.S.C. 78c(a)(41). These types of mortgage
securities are typically issued by private sector entities and are
mostly comprised of securities that are collateralized by ``jumbo''
mortgages with principal amounts that exceed the maximum limits of
Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac programs. We invite comment on whether it is
appropriate to include mortgage securities collateralized by ``jumbo''
mortgages as an eligible liquidity investment.
5. Section 652.35(a)(8)--Corporate Debt Securities
Section 652.35(a)(8) authorizes investment in corporate debt
securities. The rule does not contain concentration limits related to
industry sector exposure. We request comment on whether such industry
sector exposure limits should be added. Further, is it appropriate to
allow investments in subordinated debt as the current rule does? If so,
is it appropriate that subordinated debt receives discounts and
investment limits at the same level as more senior types of corporate
debt?
E. Section 652.35(d)(1)--Obligor Limits
An appropriate level of diversification is a key attribute of a
liquidity investment portfolio. In Sec. 652.35(d)(1), we prohibit
Farmer Mac from investing more than 25 percent of its regulatory
capital in eligible investments issued by any single entity, issuer, or
obligor. Government-sponsored agencies have a different obligor limit;
Farmer Mac may not invest more than 100 percent of its regulatory
capital in any one Government-sponsored agency. There are no obligor
limits for Government agencies.
Do the obligor limits in Sec. 652.35(d)(1) generally provide for
an adequate level of diversification? Specifically, in light of the
uncertainty associated with the current conservatorships of both Fannie
Mae and Freddie Mac, is it appropriate to maintain a higher obligor
limit for Government-sponsored agencies?
F. Section 652.40--Stress Tests for Mortgage Securities
In the current rule, stress-testing requirements apply to one type
of asset--mortgage securities--and one type of stress--interest rate
risk.\15\ Is the scope of the stress-testing requirement adequate, or
should it be broadened to apply to the entire investment portfolio
(both individually and at a portfolio level)? Should the scope of the
stress-testing be expanded to include market price risks due to factors
other than interest rate changes? We refer to both firm-specific risks
and systemic risks. Firm-level risks include operational fraud,
deteriorating program asset quality, and negative media coverage.
Systemic risks include industry sector shocks such as occurred on
September 11, 2001, with payment system disruption, or asset class as
was seen in the financial services sector in 2007 and
[[Page 27956]]
2008. If the scope of required stress-testing is expanded, what types
and severity of liquidity event scenarios should be tested, and how
should forward-looking cash-flow projections be built around these
scenarios?
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\15\ By interest rate risk, we refer to the price sensitivity of
mortgage instruments over different interest rate/yield curve
scenarios, including prepayment and interest rate volatility
assumptions--as described in current Sec. 652.40.
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IV. List of Key Questions
To ensure an appropriate level of earnings performance
while limiting risk to an acceptable level, should our regulations
(and/or Farmer Mac board policy) specify earnings performance
benchmarks and some acceptable band of earnings performance above and
below such benchmarks? If so, how might Farmer Mac's liquidity
management policy establish limits around an investment portfolio
benchmark, either statically or dynamically, to reflect the potential
changes in investment value that can occur in stressful market or
economic environments?
Would it be appropriate for our regulations to require a
liquidity contingency funding plan? If so, how specific should the
regulation be regarding required components of the plan versus simply
requiring that the plan reasonably reflect current standards, for
example, those specified by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision?
In light of the marginal funding instability that results
from relying primarily on shorter term debt--even when the maturity is
extended synthetically--would it be appropriate to require Farmer Mac
to establish a debt maturity management plan? If so, how might such a
requirement be structured?
Should the availability of a liquid market for Farmer
Mac's program investments be considered in the Corporation's liquidity
contingency funding plan?
Are there other metrics or approaches available that might
improve upon, augment, or appropriately replace days-of-liquidity as
currently used in Sec. 652.20(a)? For example, to recognize greater
differences in the liquidity value of different asset classes, and to
augment the minimum days-of-liquidity requirement, would it be
appropriate to establish a subcategory of the minimum days-of-liquidity
requirement that would include, for example, only cash or Treasury
securities in the definition of ``primary liquid assets'' but also set
a smaller minimum required number of days? If such a requirement is
warranted, what would be the appropriate number of minimum primary
days-of-liquidity, balancing the benefits gained from maintaining these
higher quality liquid assets against their higher cost?
Would it be appropriate to re-evaluate the discounts in
Sec. 652.20(c) in order to better reflect the risk of diminished
marketability of liquid investments under adverse conditions? If so,
which ones and what would be the appropriate degree of change? In
particular, we request public comment on whether the discount currently
applied on Farmer Mac II securities is appropriate. Would it be
appropriate to refine the schedule of discounts in Sec. 652.20(c)? For
example, there is no difference in the discounts applied to AAA-rated
versus AA-rated corporate debt securities.
Would the experience gained during the financial markets
crisis of 2008 and 2009 justify adjustments to many of the portfolio
limits in Sec. 652.35 to add conservatism to them and improve
diversification of the portfolio? We invite specific comments on
appropriate changes for each asset class, final maturity limit, credit
rating requirement, portfolio concentration limit, and other
restrictions.
Given that Farmer Mac might not always hold the ``on the run''
(i.e., highest liquidity) issuance of Treasury securities, would
imposing maximum maturity limitations enhance the resale value of these
investments in stressful conditions?
In light of the recent financial instability of Government-
sponsored agencies such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, would it be
appropriate to revise this section to put concentration limits on
exposure to these entities in Sec. 652.35(a)(2)?
The requirements in Sec. 652.35(a)(3) carry the implied assumption
that general obligation bonds are always less risky than revenue bonds.
But is that always the case? Would it be more appropriate for our
regulation to limit both sub-categories equally?
We invite comment on whether it is appropriate to include mortgage
securities collateralized by ``jumbo'' mortgages as an eligible
liquidity investment.
Further, is it appropriate to allow investments in subordinated
debt as the current rule does? If so, is it appropriate that
subordinated debt receives discounts and investment limits at the same
level as more senior types of corporate debt?
Do the obligor limits in Sec. 652.35(d)(1) generally
provide for an adequate level of diversification? Specifically, in
light of the uncertainty associated with the current conservatorships
of both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, is it appropriate to maintain a
higher obligor limit for Government-sponsored agencies?
Is the scope of the stress-testing requirement adequate,
or should it be broadened to apply to the entire investment portfolio
(both individually and at a portfolio level)? Should the scope of the
stress-testing be expanded to include market price risks due to factors
other than interest rate changes? If the scope of required stress-
testing is expanded, what types and severity of liquidity event
scenarios should be tested, and how should forward-looking, cash flow
projections be built around these scenarios?
V. Conclusion
We welcome comments on all provisions of this notice, even if we
did not request specific comments on those provisions.
Dated: May 13, 2010.
Roland E. Smith,
Secretary, Farm Credit Administration Board.
[FR Doc. 2010-12012 Filed 5-18-10; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6705-01-P