Primary National Ambient Air Quality Standard for Sulfur Dioxide, 64810-64881 [E9-28058]
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Federal Register / Vol. 74, No. 234 / Tuesday, December 8, 2009 / Proposed Rules
public hearing will be held on January
5, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia. The hearing
will be held at the following location:
Sam Nunn Atlanta Federal Center,
Conference Rooms B and C, 61 Forsyth
Street, SW., Atlanta, GA 30303,
Telephone: (404) 562–9077.
ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
AGENCY
40 CFR Parts 50, 53, and 58
[EPA–HQ–OAR–2007–0352; FRL–8984–3]
RIN 2060–A048
Primary National Ambient Air Quality
Standard for Sulfur Dioxide
PWALKER on DSK8KYBLC1PROD with PROPOSALS2
AGENCY: Environmental Protection
Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed rule.
SUMMARY: Based on its review of the air
quality criteria for oxides of sulfur and
the primary national ambient air quality
standard (NAAQS) for oxides of sulfur
as measured by sulfur dioxide (SO2),
EPA is proposing to revise the primary
SO2 NAAQS to provide requisite
protection of public health with an
adequate margin of safety. Specifically,
EPA proposes to establish a new 1-hour
SO2 standard within the range of 50–100
parts per billion (ppb), based on the 3year average of the annual 99th
percentile (or 4th highest) of 1-hour
daily maximum concentrations. The
EPA also proposes to revoke both the
existing 24-hour and annual primary
SO2 standards.
DATES: Comments must be received on
or before February 8, 2010. Under the
Paperwork Reduction Act, comments on
the information collection provisions
must be received by OMB on or before
January 7, 2010.
Public Hearings: A public hearing is
scheduled for this proposed rule. The
public hearing will be held on January
5, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia.
ADDRESSES: Submit your comments,
identified by Docket ID No. EPA–HQ–
OAR–2007–0352 by one of the following
methods:
• https://www.regulations.gov: Follow
the on-line instructions for submitting
comments.
• E-mail: a-and-r-Docket@epa.gov.
• Fax: 202–566–9744.
• Mail: Docket No. EPA–HQ–OAR–
2007–0352, Environmental Protection
Agency, Mail Code 6102T, 1200
Pennsylvania Ave., NW., Washington,
DC 20460. Please include a total of two
copies.
• Hand Delivery: Docket No. EPA–
HQ–OAR–2007–0352, Environmental
Protection Agency, EPA West, Room
3334, 1301 Constitution Ave., NW,
Washington, DC. Such deliveries are
only accepted during the Docket’s
normal hours of operation, and special
arrangements should be made for
deliveries of boxed information.
Public Hearings: A public hearing is
scheduled for this proposed rule. The
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Note: All persons entering the Atlanta
Federal Center must have a valid picture ID
such as a Driver’s License and go through
Federal security procedures. All persons
must go through a magnetometer and all
personal items must go through x-ray
equipment, similar to airport security
procedures. After passing through the
equipment, all persons must sign in at the
guard station and show their picture ID.
See the SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION
under ‘‘Public Hearing’’ for further
information.
Instructions: Direct your comments to
Docket ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2007–
0352. EPA’s policy is that all comments
received will be included in the public
docket without change and may be
made available online at
www.regulations.gov, including any
personal information provided, unless
the comment includes information
claimed to be Confidential Business
Information (CBI) or other information
whose disclosure is restricted by statute.
Do not submit information that you
consider to be CBI or otherwise
protected through www.regulations.gov
or e-mail. The www.regulations.gov Web
site is an ‘‘anonymous access’’ system,
which means EPA will not know your
identity or contact information unless
you provide it in the body of your
comment. If you send an e-mail
comment directly to EPA without going
through www.regulations.gov your email address will be automatically
captured and included as part of the
comment that is placed in the public
docket and made available on the
Internet. If you submit an electronic
comment, EPA recommends that you
include your name and other contact
information in the body of your
comment and with any disk or CD–ROM
you submit. If EPA cannot read your
comment due to technical difficulties
and cannot contact you for clarification,
EPA may not be able to consider your
comment. Electronic files should avoid
the use of special characters, any form
of encryption, and be free of any defects
or viruses. For additional information
about EPA’s public docket visit the EPA
Docket Center homepage at https://
www.epa.gov/epahome/dockets.htm.
Docket: All documents in the docket
are listed in the www.regulations.gov
index. Although listed in the index,
some information is not publicly
available, e.g., CBI or other information
whose disclosure is restricted by statute.
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Certain other material, such as
copyrighted material, will be publicly
available only in hard copy. Publicly
available docket materials are available
either electronically in
www.regulations.gov or in hard copy at
the Air and Radiation Docket and
Information Center, EPA/DC, EPA West,
Room 3334, 1301 Constitution Ave.,
NW., Washington, DC. The Public
Reading Room is open from 8:30 a.m. to
4:30 p.m., Monday through Friday,
excluding legal holidays. The telephone
number for the Public Reading Room is
(202) 566–1744 and the telephone
number for the Air and Radiation
Docket and Information Center is (202)
566–1742.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Dr.
Michael J. Stewart, Health and
Environmental Impacts Division, Office
of Air Quality Planning and Standards,
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,
Mail Code C504–06, Research Triangle
Park, NC 27711; telephone: 919–541–
7524; fax: 919–541–0237; e-mail:
stewart.michael@epa.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
General Information
What Should I Consider as I Prepare My
Comments for EPA?
1. Submitting CBI. Do not submit this
information to EPA through
www.regulations.gov or e-mail. Clearly
mark the part or all of the information
that you claim to be CBI. For CBI
information in a disk or CD–ROM that
you mail to EPA, mark the outside of the
disk or CD–ROM as CBI and then
identify electronically within the disk or
CD–ROM the specific information that
is claimed as CBI. In addition to one
complete version of the comment that
includes information claimed as CBI, a
copy of the comment that does not
contain the information claimed as CBI
must be submitted for inclusion in the
public docket. Information so marked
will not be disclosed except in
accordance with procedures set forth in
40 CFR part 2.
2. Tips for Preparing Your Comments.
When submitting comments, remember
to:
• Identify the rulemaking by docket
number and other identifying
information (subject heading, Federal
Register date and page number).
• Follow directions—the agency may
ask you to respond to specific questions
or organize comments by referencing a
Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) part
or section number.
• Explain why you agree or disagree,
suggest alternatives, and substitute
language for your requested changes.
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• Describe any assumptions and
provide any technical information and/
or data that you used.
• Provide specific examples to
illustrate your concerns, and suggest
alternatives.
• Explain your views as clearly as
possible, avoiding the use of profanity
or personal threats.
• Make sure to submit your
comments by the comment period
deadline identified.
general time slot for you to speak. The
EPA will make every effort to follow the
schedule as closely as possible on the
day of the hearing.
Oral testimony will be limited to five
(5) minutes for each commenter to
address the proposal. We will not be
providing equipment for commenters to
show overhead slides or make
computerized slide presentations unless
we receive special requests in advance.
Commenters should notify Ms. Crabtree
if they will need specific audiovisual
(AV) equipment. Commenters should
also notify Ms. Crabtree if they need
specific translation services for nonEnglish speaking commenters. The EPA
encourages commenters to provide
written versions of their oral testimonies
either electronically on computer disk,
CD–ROM, or in paper copy.
The hearing schedule, including lists
of speakers, will be posted on EPA’s
Web site for the proposal at https://
www.epa.gov/ttn/naaqs/standards/so2/
s_so2_index.html prior to the hearing.
Verbatim transcripts of the hearing and
written statements will be included in
the rulemaking docket.
PWALKER on DSK8KYBLC1PROD with PROPOSALS2
Availability of Related Information
A number of the documents that are
relevant to this rulemaking are available
through EPA’s Office of Air Quality
Planning and Standards (OAQPS)
Technology Transfer Network (TTN)
Web site at https://www.epa.gov/ttn/
naaqs/standards/so2/s_so2_index.html.
These documents include the Integrated
Review Plan and the Health Assessment
Plan, available at, the Integrated Science
Assessment (ISA), available at https://
www.epa.gov/ttn/naaqs/standards/so2/
s_so2_cr_isa.html, and the Risk and
Exposure Assessment (REA), available
at https://www.epa.gov/ttn/naaqs/
standards/so2/s_so2_cr_rea.html. These
and other related documents are also
available for inspection and copying in
the EPA docket identified above.
The following topics are discussed in this
preamble:
Public Hearing
The public hearing on January 5, 2010
will provide interested parties the
opportunity to present data, views, or
arguments concerning the proposed
rule. The EPA may ask clarifying
questions during the oral presentations,
but will not respond to the
presentations at that time. Written
statements and supporting information
submitted during the comment period
will be considered with the same weight
as any oral comments and supporting
information presented at the public
hearing. Written comments must be
received by the last day of the comment
period, as specified in this proposed
rulemaking.
The public hearing will begin at 10
a.m. and continue until 7 p.m. (local
time) or later, if necessary, depending
on the number of speakers wishing to
participate. The EPA will make every
effort to accommodate all speakers that
arrive and register before 7 p.m. A lunch
break is scheduled from 12:30 p.m. until
2 p.m.
If you would like to present oral
testimony at the hearing, please notify
Ms. Tricia Crabtree (C504–02), U.S.
EPA, Research Triangle Park, NC 27711.
The preferred method for registering is
by e-mail (crabtree.tricia@epa.gov). Ms.
Crabtree may be reached by telephone at
(919) 541–5688. She will arrange a
I. Background
A. Legislative requirements
B. Related SO2 control programs
C. History of reviews of the primary
NAAQS for sulfur oxides
II. Rationale for proposed decisions on the
primary standards
A. Characterization of SO2 air quality
1. Anthropogenic sources and current
patterns of SO2 air quality
2. SO2 monitoring
B. Health effects information
1. Respiratory effects and 5–10 minute
exposure to SO2
a. Respiratory symptoms
b. Lung function decrements
c. Adversity of 5–10 minute respiratory
effects
2. Respiratory effects and 1 to 24-hour
exposures to SO2
a. Respiratory symptoms
b. Emergency department visits and
hospitalizations
3. ISA conclusions regarding short-term (5minutes to 24-hour) SO2 exposures
4. Health effects and long-term exposures
to SO2
5. SO2-related impacts on public health
a. Pre-existing respiratory disease
b. Genetics
c. Age
d. Time spent outdoors
e. Ventilation rate
f. Socioeconomic status
g. Size of at-risk population
C. Human exposure and health risk
characterization
1. Evidence base for the risk
characterization
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2. Overview of approaches
3. Key limitations and uncertainties
D. Considerations in review of the
standards
1. Background on the current standards
2. Approach for reviewing the need to
retain or revise the current standards
E. Adequacy of the current standards
1. Adequacy of the current 24-hour
standard
a. Evidence-based considerations
b. Air quality, exposure, and risk-based
considerations
c. Summary of considerations from the
REA regarding the 24-hour standard
2. Adequacy of the current annual standard
a. Evidence-based considerations
b. Air quality, exposure, and risk-based
considerations
c. Summary of considerations from the
REA regarding the annual standard
3. CASAC views regarding adequacy of the
current 24-hour and annual standards
4. Administrator’s conclusions regarding
adequacy of the current 24-hour and
annual standards
F. Conclusions on the elements of a
proposed new short-term standard
1. Indicator
2. Averaging time
a. Evidence and air quality, exposure, and
risk-based considerations
b. CASAC views
c. Administrator’s conclusions on
averaging time
3. Form
a. Evidence, air quality, and risk-based
considerations
b. CASAC views
c. Administrator’s conclusions on form
4. Level
a. Evidence-based considerations
b. Air quality, exposure and risk-based
considerations
c. Observations based on evidence and
risk-based considerations
d. CASAC views
e. Administrator’s conclusions on level for
a 1-hour standard
5. Implications for retaining or revoking
current standards
G. Summary of proposed decisions on
primary standards
III. Proposed Amendments to Ambient
Monitoring and Reporting Requirements
A. Monitoring methods
1. Background
2. Proposed new FRM measurement
technique
3. Technical description of the proposed
UVF FRM
4. Implications to air monitoring networks
5. Proposed revisions to 40 CFR Part 53
B. Network design
1. Background
2. Proposed changes
a. Population Weighted Emissions Index
(PWEI) Triggered Monitoring
b. State-level emissions triggered
monitoring
c. Monitor placement and siting
d. Monitoring required by the Regional
Administrator
e. Alternative Network Design
C. Data Reporting
IV. Proposed Appendix T—Interpretation of
the Primary NAAQS for Oxides of Sulfur
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and Proposed Revisions to the
Exceptional Events Rule
A. Background
B. Interpretation of the NAAQS for Oxides
of Sulfur
1. 1-hour standard based on the annual 4th
highest daily value form
2. 1-hour primary standard based on the
99th percentile value form
C. Exceptional events information
submission schedule
V. Designations for the SO2 NAAQS
VI. Clean Air Act Implementation
Requirements
A. How this rule applies to tribes
B. Attainment dates
1. Attaining the NAAQS
2. Consequences of failing to attain by the
Statutory Attainment Date
C. Section 110(a)(2) NAAQS Infrastructure
Requirements
D. Attainment planning requirements
1. SO2 Nonattainment area SIP
requirements
2. New source review and prevention of
significant deterioration requirements
3. General conformity
E. Transition from the existing SO2
NAAQS to a revised SO2 NAAQS
VII. Communication of public health
information
VIII. Statutory and executive order reviews
A. Executive Order 12866: Regulatory
Planning and Review
B. Paperwork Reduction Act
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act
D. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
E. Executive Order 13132: Federalism
F. Executive Order 13175: Consultation
and Coordination with Indian Tribal
Governments
G. Executive Order 13045: Protection of
Children from Environmental Health &
Safety Risks
H. Executive Order 13211: Actions that
Significantly Affect Energy Supply,
Distribution or Use
I. National Technology Transfer and
Advancement Act
J. Executive Order 12898: Federal Actions
to Address Environmental Justice in
Minority Populations and Low-Income
Populations
References
PWALKER on DSK8KYBLC1PROD with PROPOSALS2
I. Background
A. Legislative requirements
Two sections of the Clean Air Act
(Act or CAA) govern the establishment
and revision of National Ambient Air
Quality Standards NAAQS. Section 108
of the Act directs the Administrator to
identify and list air pollutants that meet
certain criteria, including that the air
pollutant ‘‘in his judgment, cause[s] or
contribute[s] to air pollution which may
reasonably be anticipated to endanger
public health and welfare’’ and ‘‘the
presence of which in the ambient air
results from numerous or diverse mobile
or stationary sources.’’ CAA section 108
(a)(1)(A) & (B). For those air pollutants
listed, section 108 requires the
Administrator to issue air quality
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criteria that ‘‘accurately reflect the latest
scientific knowledge useful in
indicating the kind and extent of all
identifiable effects on public health or
welfare which may be expected from the
presence of [a] pollutant in ambient air
* * *’’ Section 108 (a) (2).
Section 109(a) of the Act directs the
Administrator to promulgate ‘‘primary’’
and ‘‘secondary’’ NAAQS for pollutants
for which air quality criteria have been
issued. Section 109(b)(1) defines a
primary standard as one ‘‘the attainment
and maintenance of which in the
judgment of the Administrator, based on
[the air quality] criteria and allowing an
adequate margin of safety, are requisite
to protect the public health.’’ 1 Section
109(b)(1). A secondary standard, in turn,
must ‘‘specify a level of air quality the
attainment and maintenance of which,
in the judgment of the Administrator,
based on [the air quality] criteria, is
requisite to protect the public welfare
from any known or anticipated adverse
effects associated with the presence of
such pollutant in the ambient air.’’ 2
Section 109(b)(2) This proposal
concerns exclusively the primary
NAAQS for oxides of sulfur.
The requirement that primary
standards include an adequate margin of
safety is intended to address
uncertainties associated with
inconclusive scientific and technical
information available at the time of
standard setting. It is also intended to
provide a reasonable degree of
protection against hazards that research
has not yet identified. Lead Industries
Association v. EPA, 647 F.2d 1130, 1154
(DC Cir 1980), cert. denied, 449 U.S.
1042 (1980); American Petroleum
Institute v. Costle, 665 F.2d 1176, 1186
(DC Cir. 1981), cert. denied, 455 U.S.
1034 (1982). Both kinds of uncertainties
are components of the risk associated
with pollution at levels below those at
which human health effects can be said
to occur with reasonable scientific
certainty. Thus, in selecting primary
standards that include an adequate
margin of safety, the Administrator is
seeking not only to prevent pollution
levels that have been demonstrated to be
harmful but also to prevent lower
1 The legislative history of section 109 indicates
that a primary standard is to be set at ‘‘the
maximum permissible ambient air level * * *
which will protect the health of any [sensitive]
group of the population,’’ and that for this purpose
‘‘reference should be made to a representative
sample of persons comprising the sensitive group
rather than to a single person in such a group.’’ S.
Rep. No. 91–1196, 91st Cong., 2d Sess. 10 (1970).
2 EPA is currently conducting a separate review
of the secondary SO2 NAAQS jointly with a review
of the secondary NO2 NAAQS (see https://
www.epa.gov/ttn/naaqs/standards/no2so2sec/
index.html for more information).
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pollutant levels that may pose an
unacceptable risk of harm, even if the
risk is not precisely identified as to
nature or degree.
In addressing the requirement for a
margin of safety, EPA considers such
factors as the nature and severity of the
health effects involved, the size of the
at-risk population(s), and the kind and
degree of the uncertainties that must be
addressed. The selection of any
particular approach to providing an
adequate margin of safety is a policy
choice left specifically to the
Administrator’s judgment. Lead
Industries Association v. EPA, 647 F.2d
at 1161–62.
In setting standards that are
‘‘requisite’’ to protect public health and
welfare, as provided in section 109(b),
EPA’s task is to establish standards that
are neither more nor less stringent than
necessary for these purposes. In so
doing, EPA may not consider the costs
of implementing the standards.
Whitman v. American Trucking
Associations, 531 U.S. 457, 471, 475–76
(2001).
Section 109(d)(1) of the Act requires
the Administrator to periodically
undertake a thorough review of the air
quality criteria published under section
108 and the NAAQS and to revise the
criteria and standards as may be
appropriate. The Act also requires the
Administrator to appoint an
independent scientific review
committee composed of seven members,
including at least one member of the
National Academy of Sciences, one
physician, and one person representing
State air pollution control agencies, to
review the air quality criteria and
NAAQS and to ‘‘recommend to the
Administrator any new * * * standards
and revisions of existing criteria and
standards as may be appropriate under
section 108 and subsection (b) of this
section.’’ CAA section 109 (d)(2). This
independent review function is
performed by the Clean Air Scientific
Advisory Committee (CASAC) of EPA’s
Science Advisory Board.
B. Related SO2 control programs
States are primarily responsible for
ensuring attainment and maintenance of
ambient air quality standards once EPA
has established them. Under section 110
of the Act, and related provisions, States
are to submit, for EPA approval, State
implementation plans (SIPs) that
provide for the attainment and
maintenance of such standards through
control programs directed to sources of
the pollutants involved. The States, in
conjunction with EPA, also administer
the prevention of significant
deterioration program that covers these
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pollutants. See CAA sections 160–169.
In addition, Federal programs provide
for nationwide reductions in emissions
of these and other air pollutants through
the Federal motor vehicle and motor
vehicle fuel control program under title
II of the Act, (CAA sections 202–250)
which involves controls for emissions
from all moving sources and controls for
the fuels used by these sources; new
source performance standards under
section 111; and title IV of the Act (CAA
sections 402–416), which specifically
provides for major reductions in SO2
emissions. EPA has also promulgated
the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR) to
define additional SO2 emission
reductions needed in the Eastern United
States to address the interstate impact
provisions of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D),
a rule which EPA is reevaluating
pursuant to court remand.
Currently, there are several areas
designated as being in nonattainment of
the primary SO2 NAAQS (see section
VI). If the SO2 NAAQS is revised as a
result of this review; however, some
additional areas could be classified as
non-attainment. Certain States would
then be required to develop SIPs that
identify and implement specific air
pollution control measures to reduce
ambient SO2 concentrations to attain
and maintain the revised SO2 NAAQS,
most likely by requiring air pollution
controls on sources that emit oxides of
sulfur (SOX).
C. History of reviews of the primary
NAAQS for sulfur oxides
On April 30, 1971, the EPA
promulgated primary SO2 NAAQS (36
FR 8187). These primary standards,
which were based on the findings
outlined in the original 1969 Air Quality
Criteria for Sulfur Oxides, were set at
0.14 parts per million averaged over a
24-hour period, not to be exceeded more
than once per year, and 0.030 ppm
annual arithmetic mean. In 1982, EPA
published the Air Quality Criteria for
Particulate Matter and Sulfur Oxides
(EPA, 1982) along with an addendum of
newly published controlled human
exposure studies, which updated the
scientific criteria upon which the initial
standards were based (EPA, 1982). In
1986, EPA published a second
addendum presenting newly available
evidence from epidemiologic and
controlled human exposure studies
(EPA, 1986). In 1988, EPA published a
proposed decision not to revise the
existing standards (53 FR 14926) (April
26, 1988). However, EPA specifically
requested public comment on the
alternative of revising the current
standards and adding a new 1-hour
primary standard of 0.4 ppm (400 ppb)
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to protect against 5–10 minute peak SO2
concentrations.
As a result of public comments on the
1988 proposal and other post-proposal
developments, EPA published a second
proposal on November 15, 1994 (59 FR
58958). The 1994 re-proposal was based
in part on a supplement to the second
addendum of the criteria document,
which evaluated new findings on 5–10
minute SO2 exposures in asthmatics
(EPA, 1994a). As in the 1988 proposal,
EPA proposed to retain the existing 24hour and annual standards. EPA also
solicited comment on three regulatory
alternatives to further reduce the health
risk posed by exposure to high 5-minute
peaks of SO2 if additional protection
were judged to be necessary. The three
alternatives were: (1) Revising the
existing primary SO2 NAAQS by adding
a new 5-minute standard of 0.6 ppm
(600 ppb) SO2; (2) establishing a new
regulatory program under section 303 of
the Act to supplement protection
provided by the existing NAAQS, with
a trigger level of 0.6 ppm (600 ppb) SO2,
one expected exceedance; and (3)
augmenting implementation of existing
standards by focusing on those sources
or source types likely to produce high
5-minute peak concentrations of SO2.
On May 22, 1996, EPA announced its
final decision not to revise the NAAQS
for SOX (61 FR 25566). EPA found that
asthmatics (a susceptible population
group) could be exposed to such shortterm SO2 bursts resulting in repeated
‘exposure events’ such that tens or
hundreds of thousands of asthmatics
could be exposed annually to lung
function effects ‘‘distinctly exceeding
* * * [the] typical daily variation in
lung function’’ that asthmatics routinely
experience, and found further that
repeated occurrences should be
regarded as significant from a public
health standpoint. 61 FR at 25572,
25573. Nonetheless, the agency
concluded that ‘‘the likelihood that
asthmatic individuals will be exposed
* * * is very low when viewed from a
national perspective’’, that ‘‘5-minute
peak SO[2] levels do not pose a broad
public health problem when viewed
from a national perspective’’, and that
‘‘short-term peak concentrations of
SO[2] do not constitute the type of
ubiquitous public health problem for
which establishing a NAAQS would be
appropriate.’’ Id. at 25575. EPA
concluded, therefore, that it would not
revise the existing standards or add a
standard to specifically address 5minute exposures. EPA also announced
an intention to propose guidance, under
section 303 of the Act, to assist states in
responding to short-term peak of SO2
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and later initiated a rulemaking to do so
(62 FR 210 (Jan. 2, 1997).
The American Lung Association and
the Environmental Defense Fund
challenged EPA’s decision not to
establish a 5-minute standard. On
January 30, 1998, the Court of Appeals
for the District of Columbia found that
EPA had failed to adequately explain its
determination that no revision to the
SO2 NAAQS was appropriate and
remanded the determination back to
EPA for further explanation. American
Lung Ass’n v. EPA, 134 F. 3d 388 (DC
Cir. 1998). Specifically, the court held
that EPA had failed to adequately
explain the basis for its conclusion that
short-term SO2 exposures to asthmatics
do not constitute a public health
problem, noting that the agency had
failed to explain the link between its
finding that repeated short-term
exposures were significant, and that
there would be tens to hundreds of
thousands of such exposures annually
to a susceptible subpopulation, but that
a NAAQS was found not be appropriate.
134 F. 3d at 392. The court also rejected
the explanation that short-term SO2
bursts were ‘‘localized, infrequent, and
site-specific’’ as a rational basis for the
conclusion that no public health
problem existed: ‘‘[N]othing in the Final
Decision explains why ‘localized’, ‘sitespecific’, or even ‘infrequent’ events
might nevertheless create a public
health problem, particularly since, in
some sense, all pollution is local and
site-specific * * *’’. Id. The court
accordingly remanded the case to EPA
to adequately explain its determination
or otherwise take action in accordance
with the opinion. In response, EPA has
collected and analyzed additional air
quality data focused on 5-minute
concentrations of SO2. These air quality
analyses conducted since the last review
will help inform the current review,
which will address the issues raised in
the court’s remand of the Agency’s last
decision.
EPA formally initiated the current
review of the air quality criteria for
oxides of sulfur and the SO2 primary
NAAQS on May 15, 2006 (71 FR 28023)
with a general call for information.
EPA’s draft Integrated Review Plan for
the Primary National Ambient Air
Quality Standards for Sulfur Dioxide
(EPA, 2007a) was made available in
April 2007 for public comment and was
discussed by the CASAC via a publicly
accessible teleconference on May 11,
2007. As noted in that plan, SOX
includes multiple gaseous (e.g., SO3)
and particulate (e.g., sulfate) species.
Because the health effects associated
with particulate species of SOx have
been considered within the context of
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the health effects of ambient particles in
the Agency’s review of the NAAQS for
particulate matter (PM), the current
review of the primary SO2 NAAQS is
focused on the gaseous species of SOx
and does not consider health effects
directly associated with particulate
species.
The first draft of the Integrated
Science Assessment for Oxides of
Sulfur-Health Criteria (ISA) and the
Sulfur Dioxide Health Assessment Plan:
Scope and Methods for Exposure and
Risk Assessment (EPA, 2007b) were
reviewed by CASAC at a public meeting
held on December 5–6, 2007. Based on
comments received from CASAC and
the public, EPA developed the second
draft of the ISA and the first draft of the
Risk and Exposure Assessment to
Support the Review of the SO2 Primary
National Ambient Air Quality Standard
(Risk and Exposure Assessment (REA)).
These documents were reviewed by
CASAC at a public meeting held on July
30–31, 2008. Based on comments
received from CASAC and the public at
this meeting, EPA released the final ISA
in September of 2008 (EPA, 2008a;
henceforth referred to as ISA). In
addition, comments received were
considered in developing the second
draft of the REA. Importantly, the
second draft of the REA contained a
draft staff policy assessment that
considered the evidence presented in
the final ISA and the air quality,
exposure, and risk characterization
results presented in the second draft
REA, as they related to the adequacy of
the current SO2 NAAQS and potential
alternative primary SO2 standards. This
document was reviewed by CASAC at a
public meeting held on April 16–17,
2009. In preparing the final REA report,
which included the final staff policy
assessment, EPA considered comments
received from CASAC and the public at
and subsequent to that meeting. The
final REA containing the final staff
policy assessment was completed in
August 2009 (EPA 2009a; henceforth
referred to as REA).
The schedule for completion of this
review is governed by a judicial order
resolving a lawsuit filed in September
2005, concerning the timing of the
current review. Center for Biologic
Diversity v. Johnson (Civ. No. 05–1814)
(D.D.C. 2007). The order that now
governs this review, entered by the
court in August 2007 and amended in
December 2008, provides that the
Administrator will sign, for publication,
notices of proposed and final
rulemaking concerning the review of the
primary SO2 NAAQS no later than
November 16, 2009 and June 2, 2010,
respectively.
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This action presents the
Administrator’s proposed decisions on
the current primary SO2 standards.
Throughout this preamble a number of
conclusions, findings, and
determinations proposed by the
Administrator are noted. Although they
identify the reasoning that supports this
proposal, they are not intended to be
final or conclusive. EPA invites general,
specific, and/or technical comments on
all issues involved with this proposal,
including all such proposed judgments,
conclusions, findings, and
determinations. In addition to
requesting comment on the overall
approach, EPA invites specific comment
on the level, or range of levels,
appropriate for such a standard, as well
as on the rationale that would support
that level or range of levels.
II. Rationale for proposed decisions on
the primary standards
This section presents the rationale for
the Administrator’s proposed decision
to revise the existing SO2 primary
standards by replacing the current 24hour and annual standards with a 1hour standard and to specify this 1-hour
standard to the nearest parts per billion
(ppb). As discussed more fully below,
this rationale takes into account: (1)
Judgments and conclusions presented in
the ISA and the REA; (2) CASAC advice
and recommendations, as reflected in
the CASAC panel’s discussions of drafts
of the ISA and REA at public meetings,
in separate written comments, and in
CASAC letters to the Administrator
(Henderson 2008; Samet, 2009); and (3)
public comments received at CASAC
meetings during the development of the
ISA and the REA.
In developing this rationale, EPA has
drawn upon an integrative synthesis of
the entire body of evidence on human
health effects associated with the
presence of SO2 in the ambient air, and
upon the results of quantitative
exposure and risk assessments reflecting
this evidence. As discussed below, this
body of evidence addresses a broad
range of health endpoints associated
with exposure to SO2 in the ambient air.
In considering this entire body of
evidence, EPA chose to focus in
particular on those health endpoints for
which the ISA finds associations with
SO2 to be causal or likely causal (see
section II.B below). Thus, the focus of
this proposal will be on respiratory
morbidity following short-term (5
minutes to 24 hours) exposure to SO2,
for which the ISA found a causal
relationship.
As discussed below, a substantial
amount of new research has been
conducted since EPA’s last review of the
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SO2 NAAQS, with important new
information coming from epidemiologic
studies in particular. The newly
available research studies evaluated in
the ISA have undergone intensive
scrutiny through multiple layers of peer
review and opportunities for public
review and comment. Although
important uncertainties remain in the
qualitative and quantitative
characterizations of health effects
attributable to exposure to ambient SO2,
the review of this information has been
extensive and deliberate.
The remainder of this section
discusses the Administrator’s rationale
for the proposed decisions on the
primary standard. Section II.A presents
a discussion of the principal emitting
sources and current patterns of SO2 air
quality, as well as the current SO2
monitoring network from which those
air quality patterns are obtained. Section
II.B includes an overview of the
scientific evidence related to the
respiratory effects associated with
ambient SO2 exposure. This overview
includes a discussion of the at-risk
populations considered in the ISA.
Section II.C discusses the approaches
taken by EPA to assess exposures and
health risks associated with exposure to
ambient SO2, including a discussion of
key uncertainties associated with the
analyses. Section II.D presents the
approach that is being used in the
current review of the SO2 NAAQS with
regard to consideration of the scientific
evidence and the air quality, exposure,
and risk-based results related to the
adequacy of the current standards and
potential alternative standards. Sections
II.E and II.F discuss the scientific
evidence and the air quality, exposure,
and risk-based results specifically as
they relate to the current and potential
alternative standards, including
discussion of the Administrator’s
proposed decisions on the standards.
Section II.G summarizes the
Administrator’s proposed decisions
with regard to the SO2 primary NAAQS.
A. Characterization of SO2 air quality
1. Anthropogenic sources and current
patterns of SO2 Air Quality
Anthropogenic SO2 emissions
originate chiefly from point sources,
with fossil fuel combustion at electric
utilities (∼66%) and other industrial
facilities (∼29%) accounting for the
majority of total emissions (ISA, section
2.1). Other anthropogenic sources of
SO2 include both the extraction of metal
from ore as well as the burning of high
sulfur-containing fuels by locomotives,
large ships, and equipment utilizing
diesel engines. SO2 emissions and
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ambient concentrations follow a strong
east to west gradient due to the large
numbers of coal-fired electric generating
units in the Ohio River Valley and
upper Southeast regions. In the 12
Consolidated Metropolitan Statistical
Areas (CMSAs) that had at least four
SO2 regulatory monitors from 2003–
2005, 24-hour average concentrations in
the continental U.S. ranged from a
reported low of ∼1 ppb in Riverside, CA
and San Francisco, CA to a high of ∼12
ppb in Pittsburgh, PA and Steubenville,
OH (ISA, section 2.5.1). In addition,
outside or inside all CMSAs from 2003–
2005, the annual average SO2
concentration was 4 ppb (ISA, Table 2–
8). However, spikes in hourly
concentrations occurred; the mean 1hour maximum concentration outside or
inside CMSAs was 13 ppb, with a
maximum value of greater than 600 ppb
outside CMSAs and greater than 700
ppb inside CMSAs (ISA, Table 2–8).
Temporal and spatial patterns of 5minute peaks of SO2 are also important
given that human clinical studies have
demonstrated that exposure to these
peaks can result in adverse respiratory
effects in exercising asthmatics (see
section II.B). For those monitors which
voluntarily reported 5-minute block
average data,3 when maximum 5-minute
concentrations were reported, the
absolute highest concentration over the
ten-year period exceeded 4000 ppb, but
for all individual monitors, the 99th
percentile was below 200 ppb (ISA,
section 2.5.2 Table 2–10). Median
concentrations from these monitors
reporting 5-minute data ranged from 1
ppb to 8 ppb, and the average for each
maximum 5-minute level ranged from 3
ppb to 17 ppb. Delaware, Pennsylvania,
Louisiana, and West Virginia had mean
values for maximum 5-minute data
exceeding 10 ppb. Among aggregated
within-state data for the 16 monitors
from which all 5-minute average
intervals were reported, the median
values ranged from 1 ppb to 5 ppb, and
the means ranged from 3 ppb to 11 ppb
(ISA, section 2.5.2). The highest
reported concentration was 921 ppb, but
the 99th percentile values for aggregated
within-state data were all below 90 ppb
(ISA, section 2.5.2).
2. SO2 monitoring
Although the SO2 standard was
established in 1971, uniform minimum
3 A small number of sites, 98 total from 1997 to
2007 of the approximately 500 SO2 monitors, and
not the same sites in all years, voluntarily reported
5-minute block average data to AQS (ISA, section
2.5.2). Of these, 16 reported all twelve 5-minute
averages in each hour for at least part of the time
between 1997 and 2007. The remainder reported
only the maximum 5-minute average in each hour.
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monitoring requirements for SO2
monitoring did not appear until May
1979. From the time of the
implementation of the 1979 monitoring
rule through 2008, the SO2 network has
steadily decreased in size from
approximately 1496 sites in 1980 to the
approximately 488 sites operating in
2008. At present, except for SO2
monitoring required at National Core
Monitoring Stations (NCore stations),
there are no minimum monitoring
requirements for SO2 in 40 CFR part 58
Appendix D, other than a requirement
for EPA Regional Administrator
approval before removing any existing
monitors and that any ongoing SO2
monitoring must have at least one
monitor sited to measure the maximum
concentration of SO2 in that area. EPA
removed the specific minimum
monitoring requirements for SO2 in the
2006 monitoring rule revisions, based
on the fact that there were no SO2
nonattainment areas at that time,
coupled with trends evidence showing
an increasing gap between national
average SO2 concentrations and the
current 24-hour and annual standards.
Additionally, the minimum
requirements were removed to provide
State, local, and tribal air monitoring
agencies flexibility in meeting higher
priority monitoring needs for pollutants
such as ozone and PM2.5, or
implementing the new multi-pollutant
sites (NCore network) required by the
2006 rule revisions, by allowing them to
discontinue lower priority monitoring.
More information on SO2 monitoring
can be found in section III.
B. Health effects information
During the last review, EPA retained
the current 24-hour and annual
averaging times for the primary SO2
NAAQS. The 24-hour NAAQS was
largely based on epidemiologic studies
that observed associations between 24hour average SO2 levels and adverse
respiratory effects and daily mortality
(EPA 1982, 1994a, 1994b). The annual
standard was supported by a few
epidemiologic studies that found an
association between adverse respiratory
effects and annual average SO2
concentrations (EPA 1982, 1994a,
1994b). However, it was noted that in
the locations where these epidemiologic
studies were conducted, high SO2 levels
were usually accompanied by high
levels of PM, thus making it difficult to
disentangle the individual contribution
each pollutant had on these health
outcomes. Moreover, EPA noted that
rather than 24-hour or annual average
SO2 levels, the health effects observed
in these studies may have been related,
at least in part, to the occurrence of
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shorter-term peaks of SO2 within a 24hour period (53 FR 14930; April 26,
1988).
In the current review, the ISA along
with its associated annexes, provided a
comprehensive review and assessment
of the scientific evidence related to the
health effects associated with SO2
exposures. For these health effects, the
ISA characterized judgments about
causality with a hierarchy that contains
five levels (ISA, section 1–3): sufficient
to infer a causal relationship, sufficient
to infer a likely causal relationship (i.e.,
more likely than not), suggestive but not
sufficient to infer a causal relationship,
inadequate to infer the presence or
absence of a causal relationship, and
suggestive of no causal relationship.
Judgments about causality were
informed by a series of aspects that are
based on those set forth by Sir Austin
Bradford Hill in 1965 (ISA, Table 1–1).
These aspects include strength of the
observed association, availability of
experimental evidence, consistency of
the observed association, biological
plausibility, coherence of the evidence,
temporal relationship of the observed
association, and the presence of an
exposure-response relationship.
Judgments made in the ISA about the
extent to which relationships between
various health endpoints and exposure
to SO2 are likely causal have been
informed by several factors. As
discussed in the ISA in section 1.3,
these factors include the nature of the
evidence (i.e., controlled human
exposure, epidemiologic, and/or
toxicological studies) and the weight of
evidence. The weight of evidence takes
into account such considerations as
biological plausibility, coherence of the
evidence, strength of associations, and
consistency of the evidence. Controlled
human exposure studies provide
directly applicable information for
determining causality because these
studies are not limited by differences in
dosimetry and species sensitivity,
which would need to be addressed in
extrapolating animal toxicology data to
human health effects, and because they
provide data relating health effects
specifically to SO2 exposures, in the
absence of the co-occurring pollutants
present in ambient air. Epidemiologic
studies provide evidence of associations
between SO2 concentrations and more
serious health endpoints (e.g., hospital
admissions and emergency department
visits) that cannot be assessed in
controlled human exposure studies. For
these studies the degree of uncertainty
introduced by confounding variables
(e.g., other pollutants) affects the level
of confidence that the health effects
being investigated are attributable to
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SO2 exposures alone and/or in
combination with co-occurring
pollutants.
In using a weight of evidence
approach to inform judgments about the
degree of confidence that various health
effects are likely to be caused by
exposure to SO2, confidence increases
with the number of studies consistently
reporting a particular health endpoint,
with increasing support for the
biological plausibility of the health
effects, and with the strength and
coherence of the evidence. Conclusions
regarding biological plausibility,
consistency, and coherence of evidence
of SO2-related health effects are drawn
from the integration of epidemiologic
studies with controlled human exposure
studies and with mechanistic
information from animal toxicological
studies. As discussed below, the weight
of evidence is strongest for respiratory
morbidity endpoints (e.g., lung function
decrements, respiratory symptoms,
hospital admissions, and emergency
department visits) associated with shortterm (5-minutes to 24-hours) exposure
to ambient SO2.
For epidemiologic studies, strength of
association refers to the magnitude of
the association and its statistical
strength, which includes assessment of
both effect estimate size and precision.
In general, when associations yield large
relative risk estimates, it is less likely
that the association could be completely
accounted for by a potential confounder
or some other bias. Consistency refers to
the persistent finding of an association
between exposure and outcome in
multiple studies of adequate power in
different persons, places, circumstances
and times.
Being mindful of the considerations
discussed above, the ISA concluded that
there was sufficient evidence to infer a
causal relationship between respiratory
morbidity and short-term (5-minutes to
24-hours) exposure to SO2 (ISA, section
5.2). The ISA based this conclusion on
the consistency, coherence, and
plausibility of findings observed in
controlled human exposure studies of
5–10 minutes, epidemiologic studies
mostly using 1-hour daily maximum
and 24-hour average SO2
concentrations, and animal toxicological
studies using exposures of minutes to
hours (ISA, section 5.2). The ISA judged
evidence of an association between SO2
exposure and other health categories to
be less convincing; other associations
were judged to be suggestive but not
sufficient to infer a causal relationship
(i.e., short-term exposure to SO2 and
mortality) or inadequate to infer the
presence or absence of a causal
relationship (i.e., short-term exposure to
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SO2 and cardiovascular morbidity, and
long-term exposure to SO2 and
respiratory morbidity, other morbidity,
and mortality). Key conclusions from
the ISA are described in greater detail in
Table 5–3 of the ISA.
As summarized above, the ISA found
a ‘‘causal’’ association between shortterm (5 minutes to 24 hour) exposure to
SO2 and respiratory morbidity. The
evidence leading to this conclusion will
be discussed throughout this section as
well as in the context of the adequacy
of the current and proposed alternative
standards (see section II.E and II.F) The
ISA also found ‘‘suggestive but not
sufficient’’ evidence to infer a causal
relationship between short-term SO2
exposure and mortality. EPA considered
this suggestive evidence within the
context of proposing a new 1-hour
averaging time (see section II.F.2). The
association between short- and longterm SO2 exposure and other health
categories was found to be inadequate to
infer the presence or absence of a causal
relationship and thus, will not be
discussed in detail in this notice.
Section II.B.1 discusses the results of
controlled human exposure studies
demonstrating respiratory effects in
exercising asthmatics following 5–10
minute exposures to SO2, and
conclusions in the REA regarding the
adversity of such effects. Section II.B.2
discusses the respiratory effects
reported in U.S. epidemiologic studies
of respiratory symptoms, as well as
emergency department visits and
hospital admissions for all respiratory
causes and asthma. Section II.B.3
discusses ISA conclusions regarding
short-term (5 minutes to 24-hours)
exposure to SO2 and respiratory effects,
and section II.B.4 discusses long-term
SO2 exposure and potentially adverse
health effects. Finally, section II.B.5
discusses SO2-related impacts on public
health.
1. Respiratory effects and 5–10 minute
exposure to SO2
As noted above, the ISA concluded
that there was sufficient evidence to
infer a causal relationship between
respiratory morbidity and short-term
(5-minutes to 24-hours) exposure to SO2
(ISA, section 5.2). This determination
was primarily based on controlled
human exposure studies demonstrating
a relationship between 5–10 minute
peak SO2 exposures and adverse effects
on the respiratory system in exercising
asthmatics. The ISA described the
controlled human exposure results as
being the ‘‘definitive evidence’’ for its
causal finding (ISA, section 5.2; p. 5–2).
Since the last review, several
additional controlled human exposure
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studies have been published that
provide supportive evidence of SO2induced decrements in lung function
and increases in respiratory symptoms
among exercising asthmatics (see ISA,
Annex Table D–2). However, based in
part on recent guidance from the
American Thoracic Society (ATS)
regarding what constitutes an adverse
health effect of air pollution (ATS,
2000), a much larger body of key older
studies described in the prior review
were analyzed in the ISA along with
studies published since the last review.
In their official statement, the ATS
concluded that an air pollution-induced
shift in a population distribution of a
given health-related endpoint (e.g., lung
function) should be considered adverse,
even if this shift does not result in the
immediate occurrence of illness in any
one individual in the population (ATS
2000). The ATS also recommended that
transient loss in lung function with
accompanying respiratory symptoms
attributable to air pollution should be
considered adverse. However, it was
noted in the ISA that symptom
perception is highly variable among
asthmatics even during severe episodes
of asthmatic bronchoconstriction, and
that an asymptomatic decrease in lung
function may pose a significant health
risk to asthmatic individuals as it is less
likely that these individuals will seek
treatment (ISA, section 3.1.3). Therefore,
whereas the conclusions in the prior
review of the SO2 NAAQS were based
on SO2 exposure concentrations which
resulted in large decrements in lung
function and moderate to severe
respiratory symptoms, the ISA’s current
review of data from controlled human
exposure studies focused on moderate
to large SO2-induced decrements in lung
function and/or respiratory symptoms
ranging from mild (perceptible wheeze
or chest tightness) to severe (breathing
distress requiring the use of a
bronchodilator). See also section II.B.1.c
below discussing adversity of effects.
Key controlled human exposure studies
of respiratory symptoms and lung
function are described briefly below and
in more detail in section 3.1.3 of the
ISA.
a. Respiratory symptoms
Numerous free-breathing controlled
human exposure studies have evaluated
respiratory symptoms (e.g. cough,
wheeze, or chest tightness) in exercising
asthmatic following 5–10 minute SO2
exposures. Linn et al. (1983) reported
that 5-minute exposures to SO2 levels as
low as 400 ppb resulted in exercising
asthmatics experiencing statistically
significant increases in respiratory
symptoms (e.g., wheeze, chest tightness,
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SO2 concentrations. That is, at
concentrations ranging from 200–300
ppb, the lowest levels tested in free
breathing chamber studies,6
approximately 5–30% of exercising
asthmatics experience moderate or
greater decrements in lung function
(ISA, Table 3–1). At concentrations of
400–600 ppb, moderate or greater
decrements in lung function occur in
approximately 20–60% of exercising
asthmatics, and compared to exposures
at 200–300 ppb, a larger percentage of
asthmatics experience severe
decrements in lung function (i.e.,
≥ 200% increase in sRaw, and/or a
≥ 20% decrease in FEV1) (ISA, Table 3–
1). The ISA also noted that at SO2
concentrations ≥ 400 ppb, moderate or
greater decrements in lung function are
frequently accompanied by respiratory
symptoms (e.g., cough, wheeze, chest
tightness, shortness of breath) (ISA,
Table 3–1). Further analysis and
discussion of the individual studies
presented above can be found in
Sections 3.1.1 to 3.1.3.5 of the ISA.
In addition to the evidence from freebreathing chamber studies, the ISA
notes very limited evidence of
decrements in lung function in
exercising asthmatics exposed to lower
levels of SO2 via mouthpiece. That is,
the ISA cites two studies where some
exercising asthmatics had small changes
in FEV1 or sRaw following exposure to
100 ppb SO2 via mouthpiece (Koenig et
al., 1990 and Sheppard et al., 1981).
b. Lung function decrements
The ISA found that in free-breathing
chamber studies, asthmatic individuals
exposed to SO2 concentrations as low as
200–300 ppb for 5–10 minutes during
exercise have been shown to experience
moderate or greater
bronchoconstriction, measured as a
decrease in Forced Expiratory Volume
in the first second (FEV1) of ≥ 15%, or
an increase in specific airway resistance
(sRaw) of ≥ 100% after correction for
exercise-induced responses in clean air
(Bethel et al., 1985; Linn et al., 1983,
1987; 1988; 1990; Roger et al., 1985).5 In
addition, the ISA concluded that among
asthmatics, both the percentage of
individuals affected, and the severity of
the response increases with increasing
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cough, substernal irritation). In a
separate study, exercising asthmatics
exhibited respiratory symptoms
following a 10-minute exposure to 400–
600 ppb SO2 (Linn et al., (1987); Smith
(1993)). Gong et al., (1995) exposed SO2sensitive asthmatics to 0, 500 and 1000
ppb SO2 for 10 minutes while
performing different levels of exercise
(light, medium, or heavy) and reported
that respiratory symptoms increased
with increasing SO2 concentrations. The
authors further reported that exposure
to 500 ppb SO2 during light exercise
evoked a more severe symptomatic
response than heavy exercise in clean
air.
In addition to these free breathing
chamber results described above,
studies using mouthpiece exposure
systems have reported respiratory
symptoms within minutes of SO2
exposure.4 Balmes et al. (1987) reported
that 7 out of 8 exercising asthmatics
developed respiratory symptoms
following a 500 ppb 3-minute exposure
to SO2 via mouthpiece (ISA section
3.1.3.1). In an additional study, Trenga
et al. (1999) reported increases in
respiratory symptoms in exercising
asthmatics following 10-minute
exposures to 500 ppb SO2. Although not
directly comparable to the freebreathing chamber results described
above, these mouthpiece exposure
results nonetheless support an
association between SO2 exposure and
respiratory symptoms.
c. Adversity of 5–10 minute respiratory
effects
The ATS has previously defined
adverse respiratory health effects as
‘‘medically significant physiologic
changes generally evidenced by one or
more of the following: (1) Interference
with the normal activity of the affected
person or persons, (2) episodic
respiratory illness, (3) incapacitating
illness, (4) permanent respiratory injury,
and/or (5) progressive respiratory
dysfunction’’ (ATS 1985). The ATS has
also recommended that transient loss in
lung function with accompanying
respiratory symptoms, or detectable
effects of air pollution on clinical
measures (e.g., medication use) be
considered adverse (ATS 1985). In
addition, the REA noted that during the
last O3 NAAQS review, the Criteria
Document (CD) and Staff Paper
4 Studies utilizing a mouthpiece exposure system
cannot be directly compared to studies involving
freely breathing subjects, as nasal absorption of SO2
is bypassed during oral breathing, thus allowing a
greater fraction of inhaled SO2 to reach the
tracheobronchial airways. As a result, individuals
exposed to SO2 through a mouthpiece are likely to
experience greater respiratory effects from a given
SO2 exposure.
5 FEV and sRaw are measures of
1
bronchoconstriction. Decreases in FEV1 or increases
in sRaw can result in difficulty breathing.
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6 The ISA cites one chamber study with
intermittent exercise where healthy and asthmatic
children were exposed to 100 ppb SO2 in a mixture
with ozone and sulfuric acid. The ISA notes that
compared to exposure to filtered air, exposure to
the pollutant mix did not result in statistically
significant changes in lung function or respiratory
symptoms (ISA section 3.1.3.4)
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indicated that for many people with
lung disease (e.g., asthma), even
moderate decrements in lung function
(e.g., FEV1 decrements > 10% but < 20%
and/or ≥ 100% increases in sRaw) or
respiratory symptoms would likely
interfere with normal activities and
result in additional and more frequent
use of medication (EPA 2006, EPA
2007d). The REA also noted that CASAC
has previously indicated that in the
context of standard setting, a focus on
the lower end of the range of moderate
functional responses is most appropriate
for estimating potentially adverse lung
function decrements in people with
lung disease (73 FR16463). Finally, the
REA noted that in the current SO2
NAAQS review, clinicians on the
CASAC Panel again advised that
moderate or greater decrements in lung
function can be clinically significant in
some individuals with respiratory
disease (hearing transcripts from USEPA
Clean Air Scientific Advisory
Committee (CASAC), July 30–31, 2008,
Sulfur Oxides-Health Criteria (part 3 of
4) pages 211–213).7
As previously mentioned, the ATS
published updated guidelines on what
constitutes an adverse health effect of
air pollution in 2000 (ATS, 2000).
Among other considerations, the 2000
guidelines stated that measurable
negative effects of air pollution on
quality of life should be considered
adverse (ATS 2000). These updated
guidelines also indicated that exposure
to air pollution that increases the risk of
an adverse effect to the entire
population is adverse, even though it
may not increase the risk of any
individual to an unacceptable level
(ATS 2000). For example, a population
of asthmatics could have a distribution
of lung function such that no individual
has a level associated with significant
impairment. Exposure to air pollution
could shift the distribution to lower
levels that still do not bring any
individual to a level that is associated
with clinically relevant effects.
However, this would be considered
adverse because individuals within the
population would have diminished
reserve function, and therefore would be
at increased risk if affected by another
agent (ATS 2000).
At SO2 concentrations ≥ 400 ppb,
controlled human exposure studies have
reported decrements in lung function
that are often statistically significant at
the group mean level, and that are
frequently accompanied by respiratory
symptoms. Being mindful that the ATS
7 These transcripts can be found in Docket ID No.
EPA–HQ–ORD–2006–0260. Available at
www.regulations.gov.
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guidelines described above specifically
indicate decrements in lung function
with accompanying respiratory
symptoms as being adverse, exposure to
5–10 minute SO2 concentrations ≥ 400
ppb are clearly adverse.
The ISA has also reported that
exposure to SO2 concentrations as low
as 200–300 ppb for 5–10 minutes results
in approximately 5–30% of exercising
asthmatics experiencing moderate or
greater decrements in lung function
(defined in terms of a ≥ 15% decline in
FEV1 or 100% increase in sRaw; ISA,
Table 3–1). Considering the 2000 ATS
guidelines mentioned above, the REA
found that these results could
reasonably indicate an SO2-induced
shift in these lung function
measurements for this population. As a
result, a significant percentage of
exercising asthmatics exposed to SO2
concentrations as low as 200 ppb would
have diminished reserve lung function
and would be at greater risk if affected
by another respiratory agent (e.g., viral
infection). Importantly, diminished
reserve lung function in a population
that is attributable to air pollution is an
adverse effect under ATS guidance. In
addition to the 2000 ATS guidelines, the
REA was also mindful of: (1) Previous
CASAC recommendations (Henderson
2006) and NAAQS review conclusions
(EPA 2006, EPA 2007d) indicating that
moderate decrements in lung function
can be clinically significant in some
asthmatics; and (2) subjects
participating in these controlled human
exposure studies not likely including
the most severe asthmatics. Taken
together, the REA concluded that
exposure to SO2 concentrations at least
as low as 200 ppb can result in adverse
health effects in asthmatics.
Importantly, the final REA noted that
this conclusion was in agreement with
CASAC comments following the first
draft SO2 REA (REA section 4.3). The
first draft SO2 REA focused its analyses
on exposures and risk associated with
5-minute SO2 concentrations ≥ 400 ppb.
However, CASAC strongly advised the
Administrator that effects to exercising
asthmatics at levels at least as low as
200 ppb can be adverse, and thus,
should be considered in the second
draft and final REAs (Henderson 2008).
2. Respiratory effects and 1- to 24-hour
exposure to SO2
In addition to the controlled human
exposure evidence described above, the
ISA based its causal finding of an
association between short-term (5minutes to 24-hours) exposure to SO2
and respiratory morbidity on results
from epidemiologic studies of
respiratory symptoms, as well as ED
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visits and hospital admissions for all
respiratory causes and asthma. More
specifically, the ISA describes the
results from these epidemiologic studies
as providing ‘‘supporting evidence’’ for
its determination of causality (ISA
section 5.2). Key epidemiologic studies
of respiratory symptoms, as well as ED
visits and hospital admissions are
discussed below.
a. Respiratory symptoms
The ISA found that the strongest
epidemiologic evidence of an
association between short-term SO2
concentrations and respiratory
symptoms was in children. Studies
conducted in North America and abroad
generally reported positive associations
between ambient SO2 concentrations
and respiratory symptoms in children.
U.S. studies of respiratory symptoms in
children (identified from Table 5–4 of
the ISA), including three large multicity studies, are described briefly below
and in more detail in section 3.1.4.1 of
the ISA.
The National Cooperative Inner-City
Asthma Study (NCICAS, Mortimer et al.
2002) included asthmatic children
(n = 846) from eight U.S. urban areas
and examined the relationship between
respiratory symptoms and summertime
air pollution levels. The strongest
associations were found between
morning symptoms (e.g., morning
cough) and the median 3-hour average
SO2 concentrations during morning
hours (8 a.m. to 11 a.m.)—following a 1to 2-day lag (ISA, Figure 3–2). Threehour average concentrations in the
morning hours ranged from 17 ppb in
Detroit to 37 ppb in East Harlem, NY.
This relationship remained robust and
statistically significant in multipollutant models with ozone (O3), and
nitrogen dioxide (NO2). When PM10 was
also added to the model, the effect
estimate remained relatively unchanged,
although was no longer statistically
significant (ISA, Figure 3–2). However,
the ISA noted that the loss of statistical
significance could have been the result
of reduced statistical power since only
three of the eight cities were included
in the multi-pollutant analysis with PM
(ISA, section 3.1.4.1).
The Childhood Asthma Management
Program (CAMP, Schildcrout et al.
2006) examined the association between
ambient air pollution and asthma
exacerbations in children (n = 990) from
eight North American cities. The
median 24-hour average SO2
concentrations (collected in seven of the
eight study locations) ranged from 2.2
ppb in San Diego to 7.4 ppb in St. Louis.
Positive associations with an increased
risk of asthma symptoms were observed
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at all lags, but only the association at the
3-day moving average was statistically
significant (ISA, Figure 3–3). In jointpollutant models with carbon monoxide
(CO) and NO2, the 3-day moving average
effect estimates remained robust and
statistically significant. In a jointpollutant model with PM10, the 3-day
moving average effect estimate remained
relatively unchanged, but was no longer
statistically significant (ISA Figure 3–3).
A longitudinal study of
schoolchildren (n = 1,844) during the
summer months from the Harvard Six
Cities Study suggested that the
association between SO2 and respiratory
symptoms may potentially be
confounded by PM10 (Schwartz et al.,
1994). It should be noted that unlike the
NCICAS and CAMP studies, this study
was not limited to asthmatic children.
The median 24-hour average SO2
concentration during this period was 4.1
ppb. SO2 concentrations were found to
be statistically significantly associated
with cough incidence and lower
respiratory symptoms in single
pollutant models. However, the effect of
SO2 was substantially reduced and no
longer statistically significant after
adjustment for PM10 in a co-pollutant
model. The ISA noted that because PM10
concentrations were correlated strongly
to SO2-derived sulfate particles
(r = 0.80), the reduced SO2 effect
estimate may indicate that for PM10
dominated by fine sulfate particles,
PM10 has a slightly stronger association
than SO2 to cough incidence and lower
respiratory symptoms (ISA, section
3.1.4.1.1).
In addition to the three U.S. multi-city
studies mentioned above, evidence of an
association between ambient SO2 and
respiratory symptoms in children was
found in two additional U.S. respiratory
symptom studies. Delfino et al., (2003)
reported a statistically significant
positive association between 1-hour
daily maximum SO2 concentrations in
Los Angeles and respiratory symptoms
in Hispanic children with asthma (n =
22). Similarly, Neas et al., (1995)
reported a positive association between
12-hour average SO2 concentrations in
Uniontown, PA and incidence of
evening cough in 4th and 5th graders (n
= 83; ISA section 3.1.4.1). Neither of
these single city studies employed
multi-pollutant models, but given the
consistency of results with other
epidemiologic evidence, they
nonetheless support the association
between ambient SO2 concentrations
and respiratory symptoms in children.
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b. Emergency department visits and
hospitalizations
Respiratory causes for ED and
hospitalization visits typically include
asthma, pneumonia, Chronic
Obstructive Pulmonary Disorder
(COPD), upper and lower respiratory
infections, as well as other minor
categories. Since the last review, there
have been more than 50 peer reviewed
epidemiologic studies published
worldwide and overall, the ISA
concluded that these studies provide
evidence to support an association
between ambient SO2 concentrations
and ED visits and hospitalizations for all
respiratory causes and asthma (ISA,
section 3.1.4.6). Notably, the ISA also
found that when analyses of ED visit
and hospitalizations for all respiratory
causes were restricted by age, the results
among children (0–14 years) and older
adults (65+ years) were mainly positive,
but not always statistically significant
(ISA, section 3.1.4.6). In these same
studies, when all age groups were
combined, the ISA found that the results
were mainly positive; however, the
excess risk estimates were generally
smaller compared to children and older
adults (ISA, Figure 3–6). Results from
key ED visit and hospital admission
studies conducted in the U.S. are
described in general below, and a more
detailed discussion of both the U.S. and
international literature can be found in
the ISA (ISA, section 3.1.4.6).
Of the respiratory ED visit and
hospital admission studies reviewed in
the ISA, 10 key studies were conducted
in the United States (ISA, Table 5–5). Of
these 10 studies, three evaluated
associations with SO2 using multipollutant models (Schwartz et al.,
(1995) in Tacoma, WA and New Haven
CT; New York Department of Health
(NYDOH), (2006) in Bronx and
Manhattan, NY; and Ito et al., (2007) in
New York City), while seven studies
evaluated the SO2 effect using only
single pollutant models (Wilson et al.,
(2005) in Manchester, NH and Portland,
ME; Peel et al., (2005) in Atlanta, GA;
Tolbert et al., (2007) in Atlanta GA; Jaffe
et al., (2003) in Cleveland, Cincinnati
and Columbus, OH; Schwartz et al.,
(1996) in Cleveland OH; Sheppard et al.,
(2003) in Seattle, WA; and Lin et al.,
(2004) in Bronx, NY). Taken together,
these studies generally reported
positive, but frequently not statistically
significant associations between
ambient SO2 and ED visits and hospital
admissions for all respiratory causes
and for asthma. With regard to U.S.
studies employing multi-pollutant
models, results reported in Bronx, NY
(NYDOH 2006) and New York City, NY
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(Ito et al., 2007) remained robust and
statistically significant in the presence
of PM2.5, [10% (4, 16) and 29.6% (14.3,
46.8), respectively] while in New
Haven, CT (Schwartz et al., 1995)
results remained robust and statistically
significant in the presence of PM10 [2%
(1, 3)]. However, in Manhattan, NY
(NYDOH 2006) results reported from
single, and multi-pollutant models were
negative (although not statistically
significantly negative), and in Tacoma,
WA (Schwartz et al., 1995) the SO2
effect estimate [3% (1,6)] was reduced
and no longer statistically significant in
a multi-pollutant model with PM10
[¥1% (¥4, 3)]. In models including
gaseous co-pollutants, the SO2 effect
estimate in the Bronx, NY (NYDOH
2006) remained statistically significant
in the presence of NO2 [10% (4,15)],
while in NYC (Ito et al., 2007) the SO2
effect estimate remained statistically
significant in the presence of O3 [26.8%
(13.7, 41.5)] and CO [31.1% (16.7,
47.2)], but not in the presence of NO2
[¥1.6% (¥16.7, 16.1)].
3. ISA conclusions regarding short-term
(5-minutes to 24-hours) SO2 exposures
As noted above, the ISA found that
moderate or greater decrements in lung
function occur in some exercising
asthmatics exposed to SO2
concentrations as low as 200–300 ppb
for 5–10 minutes. The ISA also found
that among asthmatics, both the
percentage of individuals affected, and
the severity of the response increased
with increasing SO2 concentrations.
That is, at 5–10 minute concentrations
ranging from 200–300 ppb, the lowest
levels tested in free breathing chamber
studies, approximately 5–30% percent
of exercising asthmatics experienced
moderate or greater decrements in lung
function (ISA, Table 3–1). At
concentrations of 400–600 ppb,
moderate or greater decrements in lung
function occurred in approximately 20–
60% of exercising asthmatics, and
compared to exposures at 200–300 ppb,
a larger percentage of asthmatics
experienced severe decrements in lung
function (i.e., ≥200% increase in sRaw,
and/or a ≥20% decrease in FEV1) (ISA,
Table 3–1). Moreover, at SO2
concentrations ≥400 ppb (5–10 minute
exposures), moderate or greater
decrements in lung function were
frequently accompanied by respiratory
symptoms.
In addition, the ISA concluded that
epidemiologic studies of respiratory
symptoms in children, as well as
emergency department visits and
hospitalizations for all respiratory
causes and asthma were consistent and
coherent. This evidence was consistent
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in that associations were reported in
studies conducted in numerous
locations and with a variety of
methodological approaches (ISA,
section 5.2). It was coherent in that
respiratory symptom results from
epidemiologic studies of short-term
(predominantly 1-hour daily maximum
or 24-hour average) SO2 concentrations
were generally in agreement with
respiratory symptom results from
controlled human exposure studies of
5–10 minutes. These results were also
coherent in that the respiratory effects
observed in controlled human exposure
studies of 5–10 minutes provided a
basis for a progression of respiratory
morbidity that could lead to the ED
visits and hospitalizations observed in
epidemiologic studies (ISA, section 5.2).
In addition, the ISA concluded that U.S.
and international epidemiologic studies
employing multi-pollutant models
suggested that SO2 had a generally
independent effect on respiratory
morbidity outcomes (ISA, section 5.2).
The ISA also found that the
respiratory effects of SO2 were
consistent with the mode of action as it
is currently understood from animal
toxicological and human exposure
studies (ISA, section 5.2). The
immediate effect of SO2 on the
respiratory system is
bronchoconstriction. This response is
mediated by chemosensitive receptors
in the tracheobronchial tree. Activation
of these receptors triggers central
nervous system reflexes that result in
bronchoconstriction and respiratory
symptoms that are often followed by
rapid shallow breathing (ISA, section
5.2). The ISA noted that asthmatics are
likely more sensitive to the respiratory
effects of SO2 due to pre-existing
inflammation associated with the
disease. For example, pre-existing
inflammation may lead to enhanced
release of inflammatory mediators, and/
or enhanced sensitization of the
chemosensitive receptors (ISA, section
5.2).
Taken together, the ISA concluded
that the controlled human exposure,
epidemiologic, and toxicological
evidence supported its determination of
a causal relationship between
respiratory morbidity and short-term (5minutes to 24-hours) exposure to SO2.
4. Health effects and long-term
exposures to SO2
There were numerous studies
published since the last review
examining possible associations
between long-term SO2 exposure and
mortality and morbidity (respiratory
morbidity, carcinogenesis, adverse
prenatal and neonatal outcomes)
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endpoints. However, the ISA concluded
that the evidence relating long-term
(weeks to years) SO2 exposure to
adverse health effects was ‘‘inadequate
to infer the presence or absence of a
causal relationship’’ (ISA, Table 5–3).
That is, the ISA found the long-term
health evidence to be of insufficient
quantity, quality, consistency, or
statistical power to make a
determination as to whether SO2 was
truly associated with these health
outcomes (ISA, Table 1–2).
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5. SO2-related impacts on public health
Interindividual variation in human
responses to air pollutants indicates that
some subpopulations are at increased
risk for the detrimental effects of
ambient exposure to SO2. The NAAQS
are intended to provide an adequate
margin of safety for both general
populations and sensitive
subpopulations, or those subgroups
potentially at increased risk for health
effects in response to ambient air
pollution. To facilitate the identification
of subpopulations at the greatest risk for
SO2-related health effects, studies have
identified factors that contribute to the
susceptibility and/or vulnerability of an
individual to SO2. Susceptible
individuals are broadly defined as those
with a greater likelihood of an adverse
outcome given a specific exposure in
comparison with the general population
(American Lung Association, 2001). The
susceptibility of an individual to SO2
can encompass a multitude of factors
which represent normal developmental
phases (e.g., age) or biologic attributes
(e.g., gender); however, other factors
(e.g., socioeconomic status (SES)) may
influence the manifestation of disease
and also increase an individual’s
susceptibility (American Lung
Association, 2001). In addition,
subpopulations may be vulnerable to
SO2 in response to an increase in their
exposure during certain windows of life
(e.g., childhood or old age) or as a result
of external factors (e.g., SES) that
contribute to an individual being
disproportionately exposed to higher
concentrations than the general
population. It should be noted that in
some cases specific factors may affect
both the susceptibility and vulnerability
of a subpopulation to SO2. For example,
a subpopulation that is characterized as
having low SES may have less access to
healthcare resulting in the manifestation
of a disease, which increases their
susceptibility to SO2, but they may also
reside in a location that results in
exposure to higher concentrations of
SO2, increasing their vulnerability to
SO2.
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To examine whether SO2
differentially affects certain
subpopulations, stratified analyses are
often conducted in epidemiologic
investigations to identify the presence
or absence of effect modification. A
thorough evaluation of potential effect
modifiers may help identify
subpopulations that are more
susceptible and/or vulnerable to SO2.
These analyses require the proper
identification of confounders and their
subsequent adjustment in statistical
models, which helps separate a spurious
from a true causal association. Although
the design of toxicological and human
clinical studies does not allow for an
extensive examination of effect
modifiers, the use of animal models of
disease and the study of individuals
with underlying disease or genetic
polymorphisms do allow for
comparisons between subgroups.
Therefore, the results from these
studies, combined with those results
obtained through stratified analyses in
epidemiologic studies, contribute to the
overall weight of evidence for the
increased susceptibility and
vulnerability of specific subpopulations
to SO2. Those groups identified in the
ISA to be potentially at greater risk of
experiencing an adverse health effect
from SO2 exposure are described in
more detail below.
a. Pre-existing respiratory disease
In human clinical studies, asthmatics
have been shown to be more responsive
to the respiratory effects of SO2
exposure than healthy non-asthmatics.
Although SO2-attributable decrements
in lung function have generally not been
demonstrated at concentrations ≤ 1000
ppb in non-asthmatics, statistically
significant increases in respiratory
symptoms and decreases in lung
function have consistently been
observed in exercising asthmatics
following 5–10 minute SO2 exposures at
concentrations ranging from 400–600
ppb (ISA, section 4.2.1.1). Moderate or
greater SO2-induced decrements in lung
function have also consistently been
observed at SO2 concentrations ranging
from 200–300 ppb in some asthmatics.
The ISA also noted that a number of
epidemiologic studies have reported
respiratory morbidity in asthmatics
associated with ambient SO2
concentrations (ISA 4.2.1.1). For
example, numerous epidemiologic
studies have observed positive
associations between ambient SO2
concentrations and ED visits and
hospitalizations for asthma (ISA section
4.2.1.1). Overall, the ISA concluded that
epidemiologic and controlled human
exposure studies indicated that
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individuals with pre-existing respiratory
diseases, particularly asthma, are at
greater risk than the general population
of experiencing SO2-associated health
effects (ISA, section 4.2.1.1).
b. Genetics
The ISA noted that a consensus now
exists among scientists that the potential
for genetic factors to increase the risk of
experiencing adverse health effects due
to ambient air pollution merits serious
consideration. Several criteria must be
satisfied in selecting and establishing
useful links between polymorphisms in
candidate genes and adverse respiratory
effects. First, the product of the
candidate gene must be significantly
involved in the pathogenesis of the
effect of interest, which is often a
complex trait with many determinants.
Second, polymorphisms in the gene
must produce a functional change in
either the protein product or in the level
of expression of the protein. Third, in
epidemiologic studies, the issue of effect
modification by other genes or
environmental exposures must be
carefully considered (ISA section 4.2.2).
Although many studies have
examined the association between
genetic polymorphisms and
susceptibility to air pollution in general,
only one study has specifically
examined the effects of SO2 exposure on
genetically distinct subpopulations.
Winterton et al. (2001) found a
significant association between SO2induced decrements in FEV1 and the
homozygous wild-type allele in the
promoter region of Tumor Necrosis
Factor-a (TNF– a; AA, position–308).
However, the ISA concluded that the
overall body of evidence was too limited
to reach a conclusion regarding the
effects of SO2 exposure on genetically
distinct subpopulations at this time.
c. Age
The ISA identified children (i.e., < 18
years of age) and older adults (i.e., > 65
years of age) as groups that are
potentially at greater risk of
experiencing SO2-associated adverse
health effects. In children, the
developing lung is prone to damage
from environmental toxicants as it
continues to develop through
adolescence. The biological basis for
increased risk in the elderly is
unknown, but one hypothesis is that it
may be related to changes in antioxidant
defenses in the fluid lining the
respiratory tract. The ISA found a
number of epidemiologic studies that
observed increased respiratory
symptoms in children associated with
increasing SO2 concentrations. In
addition, several studies have reported
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that the excess risk estimates for ED
visits and hospitalizations for all
respiratory causes, and to a lesser extent
asthma, associated with a 10-ppb
increase in 24-hour average SO2
concentrations were higher for children
and older adults than for all ages
together (ISA, section 4.2.3). However,
the ISA also noted that the evidence
from controlled human exposure studies
does not suggest that adolescents are
either more or less at risk than adults to
the respiratory effects of SO2, but rather
adolescents may experience similar
respiratory effects at a given exposure
concentration (ISA, sections 3.1.3.5 and
4.2.3).8 Overall, the ISA found that
compared to the general population,
there was limited evidence to suggest
that children and older adults are at
greater risk of experiencing SO2associated health effects (ISA, section
4.2.3).
d. Time spent outdoors
Outdoor SO2 concentrations are
generally much higher than indoor
concentrations. Thus, the ISA noted that
individuals who spend a significant
amount of time outdoors are likely at
greater risk of experiencing SO2associated health effects than those who
spend most of their time indoors (ISA
section 4.2.5).
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e. Ventilation rate
Controlled human exposure studies
have demonstrated that decrements in
lung function and respiratory symptoms
occur at significantly lower SO2
exposure levels in exercising subjects
compared to resting subjects. As
ventilation rate increases, breathing
shifts from nasal to oronasal, thus
resulting in greater uptake of SO2 in the
tracheobronchial airways due to the
diminished absorption of SO2 in the
nasal passages. Therefore, individuals
who spend a significant amount of time
at elevated ventilation rates (e.g. while
playing, exercising, or working) are
expected to be at greater risk of
experiencing SO2-associated health
effects (ISA section 4.2.5).
f. Socioeconomic status
There is limited evidence that
increased risk to SO2 exposure is
associated with lower SES (ISA section
4.2.5). Finkelstein et al. (2003) found
that among people with below-median
income, the relative risk for abovemedian exposure to SO2 was 1.18 (95%
CI: 1.11, 1.26); the corresponding
8 Very young children are not included in
controlled human exposure studies and this
absence of data on what is likely to be a sensitive
life stage is a source of uncertainty for children’s
susceptibility.
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relative risk among subjects with abovemedian income was 1.03 (95% CI: 0.83,
1.28). However, the ISA concluded that
there was insufficient evidence to reach
a conclusion regarding SES and
exposure to SO2 at this time (ISA
section 4.2.5).
g. Size of at-risk populations
Considering the size of the groups
mentioned above, large proportions of
the U.S. population are likely to have a
relatively high risk of experiencing SO2related health effects. In the United
States, approximately 7% of adults and
9% of children have been diagnosed
with asthma. Notably, the prevalence
and severity of asthma is higher among
certain ethnic or racial groups such as
Puerto Ricans, American Indians,
Alaskan Natives, and African Americans
(EPA 2008b). Furthermore, a higher
prevalence of asthma among persons of
lower SES and an excess burden of
asthma hospitalizations and mortality in
minority and inner-city communities
have been observed. In addition,
population groups based on age
comprise substantial segments of
individuals that may be potentially at
risk for SO2-related health impacts.
Based on U.S. census data from 2000,
about 72.3 million (26%) of the U.S.
population are under 18 years of age,
18.3 million (7.4%) are under 5 years of
age, and 35 million (12%) are 65 years
of age or older. There is also concern for
the large segment of the population that
is potentially at risk to SO2-related
health effects because of increased time
spent outdoors at elevated ventilation
rates (those who work or play outdoors).
Overall, the considerable size of the
population groups at risk indicates that
exposure to ambient SO2 could have a
significant impact on public health in
the United States.
C. Human exposure and health risk
characterization
To put judgments about SO2associated health effects into a broader
public health context, EPA has drawn
upon the results of the quantitative
exposure and risk assessments.
Judgments reflecting the nature of the
evidence and the overall weight of the
evidence are taken into consideration in
these quantitative exposure and risk
assessments, discussed below. These
assessments provide estimates of the
likelihood that asthmatics at moderate
or greater exertion (e.g. while
exercising) would experience SO2
exposures of potential concern as well
as an estimate of the number and
percent of exposed asthmatic
individuals likely to experience SO2induced lung function responses (i.e.,
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moderate or greater decrements in lung
function defined in terms of sRaw or
FEV1) under varying air quality
scenarios (e.g., just meeting the current
or alternative standards). These
assessments also characterize the kind
and degree of uncertainties inherent in
such estimates.
This section describes the approach
taken in the REA to characterize SO2related exposures and health risks.
Goals of the REA included estimating
short-term exposures and potential
human health risks associated with (1)
recent levels of ambient SO2; (2) SO2
levels adjusted to simulate just meeting
the current standards; and (3) SO2 levels
adjusted to simulate just meeting
potential alternative 1-hour standards.
This section discusses the scientific
evidence from the ISA that was used as
the basis for the risk characterization
(II.C.1), the approaches used in
characterizing exposures and risks
(II.C.2), and important uncertainties
associated with these analyses (II.C.3).
The results of the exposure and risk
analyses, as they relate to the current
and potential alternative standards, are
discussed in subsequent sections of this
proposal (sections II.E and II.F,
respectively).
1. Evidence base for the risk
characterization
As previously mentioned, the ISA
concluded that the evidence for an
association between respiratory
morbidity and SO2 exposure was
‘‘sufficient to infer a causal
relationship’’ (ISA, section 5.2) and that
the ‘‘definitive evidence’’ for this
conclusion was from the results of 5–10
minute controlled human exposure
studies demonstrating decrements in
lung function and/or respiratory
symptoms in exercising asthmatics (ISA,
section 5.2). Accordingly, the REA
concluded that quantitative exposure
and risk analyses should focus on 5minute levels of SO2 in excess of
potential health effect benchmark values
derived from the controlled human
exposure literature (REA, section 6.2).
These benchmark levels are not
potential standards, but rather are
concentrations which represent
‘‘exposures of potential concern’’ which
are used in the analyses to estimate
potential exposures and risks associated
with 5-minute concentrations of SO2. In
addition, although the REA concluded
that the epidemiologic evidence was not
appropriate for use in quantitative risk
analyses (REA, section 6.3), these
studies were considered in the selection
of potential alternative standards for use
in the air quality, exposure and risk
analyses (REA, chapter 5), as well as in
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the REA’s assessment of the adequacy of
the current and potential alternative
primary standards (REA, sections 10.3;
10.4; and 10.5).
As mentioned above, the health effect
benchmark values used in the REA were
derived primarily from the ISA’s
evaluation of the 5–10 minute
controlled human exposure literature.
The ISA concluded that moderate or
greater decrements in lung function
occurred in approximately 5–30% of
exercising asthmatics following
exposure to 200–300 ppb SO2 for 5–10
minutes. As explained in section
II.B.1.b, the ISA concluded that
moderate or greater decrements in lung
function occurred in approximately 20–
60% of exercising asthmatics following
exposure to 400–600 ppb SO2 for 5–10
minutes. The ISA also concluded that at
SO2 concentrations ≥ 400 ppb,
statistically significant moderate or
greater decrements in lung function at
the group mean level have often been
reported and are frequently
accompanied by respiratory symptoms
(ISA, section 3.1.3.5).
In addition to the health evidence
from the ISA presented above, when
considering potential health effect
benchmark levels, the REA noted: (1)
Subjects participating in human
exposure studies typically do not
include individuals who may be most
susceptible to the respiratory effects of
SO2, (e.g., the most severe asthmatics
given the obvious ethical issues of
subjecting such persons to the clinical
tests) and (2) given that approximately
5–30% of exercising asthmatics
experienced moderate or greater
decrements in lung function following
exposure to 200–300 ppb SO2 (the
lowest levels tested in free-breathing
chamber studies), it is likely that a
percentage of exercising asthmatics
would also experience similar
decrements in lung function following
exposure to levels lower than 200 ppb
(REA, section 6.2). That is, the REA
concluded that there was no evidence to
suggest that 200 ppb represented a
threshold level below which no adverse
respiratory effects would occur (REA,
section 6.2). Moreover, the REA
considered that small SO2-induced lung
function decrements have been
observed in exercising asthmatics at
concentrations as low as 100 ppb when
SO2 is administered via mouthpiece
(ISA, section 3.1.3).
Taken together, the REA concluded it
appropriate to examine potential 5minute benchmark values in the range
of 100–400 ppb (REA, section 6.2). The
lower end of the range considered the
factors mentioned above, while the
upper end of the range recognized that
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400 ppb represents the lowest
concentration at which moderate or
greater decrements in lung function are
frequently accompanied by respiratory
symptoms (REA, section 6.2): a
combination of effects which would
clearly be considered adverse under
ATS guidelines (ATS, 1985).
Although the analysis of exposures of
potential concern were conducted using
discrete benchmark levels (i.e., 100, 200,
300, 400 ppb), EPA recognizes that there
is no sharp breakpoint within the
continuum ranging from at and above
400 ppb down to 100 ppb. In
considering the concept of exposures of
potential concern, it is important to
balance concerns about the potential for
health effects and their severity with the
increasing uncertainty associated with
our understanding of the likelihood of
such effects at lower SO2 levels. Within
the context of this continuum, estimates
of exposures of potential concern at
discrete benchmark levels provide some
perspective on the potential public
health impacts of SO2-related health
effects that have been demonstrated in
controlled human exposure studies.
They also help in understanding the
extent to which such impacts could
change by just meeting the current and
potential alternative standards.
However, estimates of the number of
asthmatics likely to experience
exposures of potential concern cannot
be translated directly into quantitative
estimates of the number of people likely
to experience specific health effects.
Due to individual variability in
responsiveness, only a subset of
asthmatics exposed at and above a
specific benchmark level can be
expected to experience health effects.
The amount of weight to place on the
estimates of exposures of potential
concern at any of these benchmark
levels depends in part on the weight of
the scientific evidence concerning
health effects associated with SO2
exposures at and above that benchmark
level. Such public health policy
judgments are embodied in the NAAQS
standard setting criteria (i.e., standards
that, in the judgment of the
Administrator, are requisite to protect
public health with an adequate margin
of safety).
Since exposures of potential concern
cannot be directly translated into
quantitative estimates of the number of
individuals likely to experience specific
health effects, the REA not only
characterizes exposure and risks
utilizing exposures of potential concern,
but also uses information from the
controlled human exposure literature to
conduct a quantitative risk assessment.
The quantitative risk assessment
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estimated the number and percentage of
exposed asthmatics at moderate or
greater exertion expected to experience
a moderate or greater lung function
response (in terms of a ≥ 100% increase
in sRaw and/or a ≥ 15% decline in
FEV1; see section II.C.2).
2. Overview of approaches
As noted above, the purpose of the
assessments described in the REA was
to characterize air quality, exposures,
and health risks associated with recent
ambient levels of SO2, with SO2 levels
that could be associated with just
meeting the current SO2 NAAQS, and
with SO2 levels that could be associated
with just meeting potential alternative
standards. The REA utilizes three
approaches to characterize health risks
In the first approach, for each air quality
scenario, statistically estimated 9 and
measured ambient 5-minute SO2
concentrations were compared to the 5minute potential health effect
benchmark levels discussed above
which (as noted) were derived from the
controlled human exposure literature
(REA, chapter 7). In the second
approach, modeled estimates of 5minute exposures in asthmatics at
moderate or greater exertion (e.g. while
exercising) were compared to these 5minute potential health effect
benchmark levels. In the third approach,
exposure-response relationships from
individual level data from controlled
human exposure studies were used in
conjunction with the outputs of the
exposure analysis to estimate health
impacts under the air quality scenarios
mentioned above. A brief description of
these approaches is provided below and
each approach is described in detail in
chapters 7 through 9 of the REA.
In the first approach, statistically
estimated and actual measured 5-minute
ambient SO2 concentrations were
compared to 5-minute potential health
effect benchmark levels (REA, chapter
7). The results generated from the air
quality analysis were considered a
broad characterization of national air
9 Benchmark values derived from the controlled
human exposure literature were associated with a
5-minute averaging time. However, only 98 ambient
monitors located in 13 states from 1997–2007
reported measured 5-minute SO2 concentrations
since such monitoring is not required (see section
III). In contrast, 809 monitors in 48 states, DC,
Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands reported 1-hour
SO2 concentrations over a similar time period.
Therefore, to broaden analyses to areas where
measured 5-minute SO2 concentrations were not
available, the REA utilized a statistical relationship
to estimate the highest 5-minute level in an hour,
given a reported 1-hour average SO2 concentration
(REA, section 6.4). Then, similar to measured 5minute SO2 levels, statistically estimated 5-minute
SO2 concentrations were compared to 5-minute
potential health effect benchmark values.
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quality and human exposures that might
be associated with these 5-minute SO2
concentrations. An advantage of the air
quality analysis is its relative simplicity;
however, there is uncertainty associated
with the assumption that SO2 air quality
can serve as an adequate surrogate for
total exposure to ambient SO2. Actual
exposures might be influenced by
factors not considered by this approach,
including small scale spatial variability
in ambient SO2 concentrations (which
might not be captured by the network of
fixed-site ambient monitors) and
spatial/temporal variability in human
activity patterns.
In the second approach, an inhalation
exposure model was used to generate
more realistic estimates of personal
exposures in asthmatics (REA, chapter
8). This analysis estimated temporally
and spatially variable ambient 5-minute
SO2 concentrations and simulated
asthmatics contact with these pollutant
concentrations while at moderate or
greater exertion (i.e., while at elevated
ventilation rates). The approach was
designed to estimate exposures that are
not necessarily represented by the
existing ambient monitoring data.
AERMOD, an EPA dispersion model,
was used to estimate 1-hour ambient
SO2 concentrations using emissions
estimates from stationary, non-point,
and port sources. The Air Pollutants
Exposure (APEX) model, an EPA human
exposure model, was then used to
estimate population exposures using the
estimated hourly census block level SO2
concentrations. From these 1-hour
census block concentrations, 5-minute
maximum SO2 concentrations within
each hour were estimated using the
statistical relationship mentioned above.
A probabilistic approach was then used
to model asthmatics’ exposures
considering: (1) Time spent in different
microenvironments; (2) time spent at
moderate or greater exertion; and (3) the
variable SO2 concentrations that occur
within these microenvironments across
time, space, and microenvironment
type. Estimates of personal exposure to
5-minute SO2 levels were then
compared to the 5-minute potential
health benchmark levels (i.e., 5-minute
benchmark levels of 100, 200, 300, and
400 ppb). This approach to assessing
exposures was more resource intensive
than using ambient levels as an
indicator of exposure; therefore, the
final REA included the analysis of two
locations: St Louis and Greene County,
MO. Although the geographic scope of
this analysis was limited, the approach
provided estimates of SO2 exposures in
asthmatics and asthmatic children in St.
Louis and Greene Counties and thus,
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served to complement the broader air
quality characterization.
For the characterization of risks in
both the air quality analysis and the
exposure modeling analysis described
above, the REA used a range of 5-minute
potential health effect benchmarks: 100,
200, 300, and 400 ppb. These
benchmark values were compared to
both SO2 air quality levels and to
estimates of SO2 exposure in asthmatics.
When SO2 air quality was used as an
indicator of exposure, a key output of
the analysis was an estimate of the
number of days per year specific
locations experienced statistically
estimated 5-minute daily maximum
levels of SO2 that exceeded one of these
5-minute potential health effect
benchmarks. When personal exposures
were simulated, the output of the
analysis was an estimate of the number
and percent of asthmatics and asthmatic
children at risk for experiencing, at least
once per year, a statistically estimated 5minute daily maximum level of SO2 of
ambient origin in excess of one of these
benchmarks. An advantage of using the
benchmark approach to characterize
health risks is that the effects observed
in the controlled human exposure
studies clearly result from SO2
exposure, so the benchmarks are reliable
levels at which effects to asthmatics
from exposure to SO2 can occur. A
limitation of this approach is that the
magnitude of the SO2 effect on
decrements in lung function and
respiratory symptoms can vary
considerably from individual to
individual and thus, not all asthmatics
would be expected to respond to the
same levels of SO2 exposure. Therefore,
numbers of exposures can be quantified
more readily than the number of
individuals experiencing SO2-induced
lung function decrements and/or
respiratory symptoms.
The third approach was a quantitative
risk assessment. This approach
combined results from the exposure
analysis (i.e., the number of exposed
total asthmatics or asthmatic children
while at moderate or greater exertion)
with exposure-response functions
derived from individual level data from
controlled human exposure studies (see
ISA, Table 3–1 and Johns (2009) 10) to
estimate the percentage and number of
exposed asthmatics and asthmatic
children likely to experience a moderate
or greater lung function response (i.e.,
decrements in lung function defined in
10 EPA recently conducted a complete quality
assurance review of all individual subject data. The
results of this review did not substantively change
any of the entries in ISA, Table 3–1, and did not
in anyway affect the conclusions of the ISA (see
Johns and Simmons, 2009).
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terms of FEV1 and sRaw) under the air
quality scenarios mentioned above
(REA, chapter 9). The advantage of this
approach is that it recognizes that not
all exposed asthmatics at moderate or
greater exertion will have a lung
function response. Moreover, it is
advantageous in that rather than
considering discrete potential health
effect benchmark levels, it
quantitatively estimates the number and
percent of asthmatics and asthmatic
children likely to experience a moderate
or greater lung function response
considering the entire distribution of
personal exposures.
3. Key limitations and uncertainties
The way in which air quality,
exposure, and risk results will inform
ultimate decisions regarding the current
and potential alternative SO2 standards
will depend upon the weight placed on
each of the analyses when uncertainties
associated with those analyses are taken
into consideration. Sources of
uncertainty associated with each of the
analyses (air quality, exposure, and
quantitative risk) are briefly presented
below and are described in more detail
in chapters 7–9 of the REA.
In the air quality analysis, the REA
used ambient SO2 data from both the
limited number of monitors reporting 5minute concentrations and the broader
network of monitors reporting 1-hour
concentrations of SO2 to characterize
U.S. air quality. There was general
agreement in the monitor site attributes
and emissions sources potentially
influencing ambient monitoring
concentrations for each set of data
analyzed. However, the REA noted that
the greatest relative uncertainty was in
the spatial representativeness of both
the overall monitoring network and the
subsets of monitors chosen for detailed
analyses (REA, section 7.4.2.4).
An additional source of uncertainty in
the air quality analysis is associated
with the statistical model used to
estimate 5-minute maximum SO2
concentrations at monitors that reported
only 1-hour SO2 concentrations (REA,
section 7.4.2.6). Cross-validation of
statistically estimated 5-minute
concentrations with the limited number
of reported 5-minute SO2 measurements
indicated that the greatest difference in
the predicted versus observed numbers
of benchmark exceedances occurred at
the lower and upper tails of the
distribution. However, the REA noted
that overall, the results of the crossvalidation analysis indicated reasonable
model performance (REA, sections
10.3.3.1 and 10.5.2).
The air quality characterization
assumes that the ambient monitoring
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data and the estimated days per year
with exceedances of the specified
benchmark levels can serve as an
indicator of exposure. Longer-term
personal SO2 exposure (i.e., days to
weeks) concentrations are correlated
with and are a fraction of ambient SO2
concentrations. However, uncertainty
remains in this relationship when
considering short-term (i.e., 5-minute)
averaging times because of the lack of
comparable measurement data (REA,
section 7.4.2.7).
The St. Louis and Greene county
exposure assessments were also
associated with a number of key
uncertainties that should be considered
when interpreting the results with
regard to decisions on the standard.
Such uncertainties are highlighted
below, and these, as well as other
sources of uncertainty, are also
discussed in greater depth in section
8.11 of the REA.
In the exposure analyses, it was
necessary to derive an area source
emission profile rather than use a
default profile to improve the agreement
between ambient measurements and
model predicted 1-hour SO2
concentrations. The improved model
performance reduces uncertainty in the
1-hour SO2 concentrations predictions,
but nonetheless remains as an important
uncertainty in the absence of actual
local source emission profiles (REA,
section 8.11.2).
The St. Louis and Greene county
exposure assessments were performed
to better reflect both the temporal and
spatial representation of ambient
concentrations and to estimate the rate
of contact of asthmatic individuals with
5-minute SO2 concentrations while
engaged in moderate or greater exertion.
Estimated annual average SO2 exposures
in the two exposure modeling domains
are consistent with long-term personal
exposures (i.e., days to weeks) measured
in other U.S. locations (REA, chapter 8).
However, uncertainty remains in the
estimated number of persons with 5minute SO2 concentrations above
benchmark levels because of the lack of
comparable measurement data,
particularly considering both the shortterm averaging time and geographic
location (REA, section 8.11.2).
In addition, although all 5-minute
ambient SO2 concentrations in the
exposure analyses were estimated by the
exposure model, each hour was
comprised of the maximum 5-minute
SO2 concentration and eleven other 5minute SO2 concentrations normalized
to the 1-hour mean concentration. The
REA assumed that this approach would
reasonably estimate the number of
individuals exposed to peak
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concentrations. Sensitivity analyses
revealed that both the number of
persons exposed and where peak
exposures occur can vary when
considering an actual 5-minute temporal
profile (REA, Section 8.11.2)
A number of key uncertainties should
also be considered when interpreting
the results of the St. Louis and Greene
County risk assessment with regard to
decisions on the standard. Such
uncertainties associated with the St
Louis and Greene County risk
assessment are discussed briefly below
and in greater depth in section 9.4 of the
REA.
In the quantitative risk assessment, it
was necessary to estimate responses at
SO2 levels below the lowest exposure
levels used in the free-breathing
controlled human exposure studies (i.e.,
below 200 ppb). Probabilistic exposureresponse relationships were derived in
the REA using two different functional
forms (i.e., probit and 2-parameter
logistic), but nonetheless there remains
greater uncertainty in responses below
200 ppb because of the lack of
comparable experimental data.
Moreover, because the controlled
human exposure studies used in the risk
assessment involved only SO2
exposures, it was assumed in the REA
that estimates of SO2-induced health
responses are not affected by the
presence of other pollutants (e.g., PM2.5,
O3, NO2; REA, section 9.4).
The risk assessment assumes that the
SO2-induced responses for individuals
are reproducible. The REA noted that
this assumption had some support in
that one study (Linn et al., 1987)
exposed the same subjects on two
occasions to 600 ppb and the authors
reported a high degree of correlation
while observing a much lower
correlation for the lung function
response observed in the clean air with
exercise exposure (REA, section 9.4).
Because the vast majority of
controlled human exposure studies
investigating lung function responses
were conducted with adult subjects, the
risk assessment relies on data from adult
asthmatic subjects to estimate exposureresponse relationships that have been
applied to all asthmatic individuals,
including children. The ISA (section
3.1.3.5) indicates that there is a strong
body of evidence that suggests
adolescents may experience many of the
same respiratory effects at similar SO2
levels, but recognizes that these studies
administered SO2 via inhalation through
a mouthpiece (which can result in an
increase in lung SO2 uptake) rather than
in an exposure chamber. Therefore, the
uncertainty is greater in the risk
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estimates for asthmatic children (REA,
section 9.4) 11.
D. Considerations in review of the
standards
This section presents the integrative
synthesis of the evidence and
information contained in the ISA and
the REA with regard to the current and
potential alternative standards. EPA
notes that the final decision on retaining
or revising the current primary SO2
standards is a public health policy
judgment to be made by the
Administrator. The Administrator’s
final decision will draw upon scientific
information and analyses related to
health effects, population exposures,
and risks; as well as judgments about
the appropriate response to the range of
uncertainties that are inherent in the
scientific evidence and analyses; and
comments received in response to this
proposal.
1. Background on the current standards
There are currently two SO2 primary
standards. The 24-hour average standard
is 0.14 ppm not to be exceeded more
than once per year and the annual
average standard is 0.03 ppm. In the last
review of the SO2 NAAQS, both the 24hour and annual standards were
retained. The rationale for the retention
of these standards is discussed briefly
below.
In the last review, retention of the 24hour standard was based largely on
epidemiologic studies conducted in
London in the 1950s and 1960s. The
results of those studies suggested an
association between 24-hour average
levels of SO2 and increased daily
mortality and aggravation of bronchitis
when in the presence of elevated levels
of PM (53 FR 14927). Additional
epidemiologic evidence suggested that
elevated SO2 levels were associated
with the possibility of small, reversible
declines in children’s lung function (53
FR 14927). However, it was noted that
in the locations where these
epidemiologic studies were conducted,
high SO2 levels were usually
accompanied by high levels of PM, thus
making it difficult to disentangle the
individual contribution each pollutant
had on these health outcomes. It was
also noted that rather than 24-hour
average SO2 levels, the health effects
observed in these studies may have been
related, at least in part, to the
11 Very young children were not included in the
controlled human exposure data which served as
the basis for the exposure-response relationships
used in the risk assessment. This absence of data
on what is likely to be a sensitive life stage is an
additional source of uncertainty in the risk
assessment.
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occurrence of shorter-term peaks of SO2
within a 24-hour period (53 FR 14927).
Retention of the annual standard in
the last review was largely based on an
assessment of qualitative evidence
gathered from a limited number of
epidemiologic studies. The strongest
evidence for an association between
annual SO2 concentrations and adverse
health effects in the 1982 AQCD was
from a study conducted by Lunn et al
(1967). The authors found that among
children, a likely association existed
between chronic upper and lower
respiratory tract illnesses and annual
SO2 levels of 70–100 ppb in the
presence of 230–301 μg/m3 black smoke.
Three additional studies described in
the 1986 Second Addendum also
suggested that long-term exposure to
SO2 was associated with adverse
respiratory effects. Notably, studies
conducted by Chapman et al. (1985) and
Dodge et al. (1985) found associations
between long-term SO2 concentrations
(with or without high particle
concentrations) and cough in children
and young adults. However, it was
noted that there was considerable
uncertainty associated with these
studies because they were conducted in
locations subject to high, short-term
peak SO2 concentrations (i.e., locations
near point sources); therefore it was
difficult to discern whether this increase
in cough was the result of long-term,
low level SO2 exposure, or repeated
short-term peak SO2 exposures.
It was concluded in the last review
that there was no quantitative rationale
to support a specific range for an annual
standard (EPA, 1994b). However, it was
also found that although no single
epidemiologic study provided clear
quantitative conclusions, there appeared
to be some consistency across studies
indicating the possibility of respiratory
effects associated with long-term
exposure to SO2 just above the level of
the existing annual standard (EPA,
1994b). In addition, air quality analyses
conducted during the last review
indicated that the short-term standards
being considered (1-hour and/or 24hour) could not by themselves prevent
long-term concentrations of SO2 from
exceeding the level of the existing
annual standard in several large urban
areas. Ultimately, both the scientific
evidence and the air quality analyses
were used by the Administrator to
conclude that retaining the existing
annual standard was requisite to protect
human health.12
12 Section I.C above discusses potential standards
considered but not adopted in the last review,
notably some type of standard to deal with effects
of 5 to 10 minute exposures.
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2. Approach for reviewing the need to
retain or revise the current standards
The decision in the present review on
whether the current 24-hour and/or
annual standards are requisite to protect
public health with an adequate margin
of safety will be informed by a number
of scientific studies and analyses that
were not available in the 1996 review.
Specifically, as discussed above (section
II.B), a large number of epidemiologic
studies have been published since the
1996 review. Many of these studies
evaluated associations between SO2 and
adverse respiratory endpoints (e.g.,
respiratory symptoms, emergency
department visits, hospital admissions)
in locations where 24-hour and annual
average SO2 concentrations were below
the levels allowed by the current
standards. In addition, with respect to
adverse health effects associated with 5minute SO2 concentrations, the REA
described estimates of SO2-associated
health risks that could be present in
counties that just meet the current 24hour or annual standards, whichever
was controlling in a given county.13 The
approach for considering this scientific
evidence and exposure/risk information
is discussed below.
To evaluate whether the current
primary SO2 standards are adequate or
whether consideration of revisions is
appropriate, EPA is using an approach
in this review described in chapter 10
of the REA which builds upon the
approaches used in reviews of other
criteria pollutants, including the most
recent reviews of the NO2, Pb, O3, and
PM NAAQS (EPA, 2008c; EPA, 2007c;
EPA, 2007d; EPA, 2005), and reflects the
body of evidence and information that
is currently available. As in other recent
reviews, EPA’s considerations will
include the implications of placing
more or less weight or emphasis on
different aspects of the scientific
evidence and the exposure/risk-based
information, recognizing that the weight
to be given to various elements of the
evidence and exposure/risk information
is part of the public health policy
judgments that the Administrator will
13 As noted in the REA, the controlling standard
by definition would be the standard that allows air
quality to just meet either the annual concentration
level of 30.4 ppb (i.e., the annual standard is the
controlling standard) or the 2nd highest 24-hour
concentration level of 144 ppb (i.e., the 24-hour
standard is the controlling standard). The factor
selected is derived from a single monitor within
each county (even if there is more than one monitor
in the county) for a given year. A different (or the
same) monitor in each county could be used to
derive the factor for other years; the only
requirement for selection is that it be the lowest
factor, whether derived from the annual or 24-hour
standard level.
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make in reaching decisions on the
standard.
A series of general questions frames
this approach to considering the
scientific evidence and exposure-/riskbased information. First, EPA’s
consideration of the scientific evidence
and exposure/risk information with
regard to the adequacy of the current
standards is framed by the following
questions:
• To what extent does evidence that
has become available since the last
review reinforce or call into question
evidence for SO2-associated effects that
were identified in the last review?
• To what extent has evidence for
different health effects and/or sensitive
populations become available since the
last review?
• To what extent have uncertainties
identified in the last review been
reduced and/or have new uncertainties
emerged?
• To what extent does evidence and
exposure-/risk-based information that
has become available since the last
review reinforce or call into question
any of the basic elements of the current
standard?
To the extent that the available
evidence and exposure-/risk-based
information suggests it may be
appropriate to consider revision of the
current standards, EPA considers that
evidence and information with regard to
its support for consideration of a
standard that is either more or less
stringent than the current standards.
This evaluation is framed by the
following questions:
• Is there evidence that associations,
especially causal or likely causal
associations, extend to ambient SO2
concentrations as low as, or lower than,
the concentrations that have previously
been associated with health effects? If
so, what are the important uncertainties
associated with that evidence?
• Are exposures above benchmark
levels and/or health risks estimated to
occur in areas that meet the current
standard? If so, are the estimated
exposures and health risks important
from a public health perspective? What
are the important uncertainties
associated with the estimated risks?
To the extent that there is support for
consideration of a revised standard, EPA
then considers the specific elements of
the standard (indicator, averaging time,
form, and level) within the context of
the currently available information. In
so doing, the Agency addresses the
following questions regarding the
elements of the standard:
• Does the evidence provide support
for considering a different indicator for
gaseous SOX?
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• Does the evidence provide support
for considering different, or additional
averaging times?
• What ranges of levels and forms of
alternative standards are supported by
the evidence, and what are the
associated uncertainties and
limitations?
• To what extent do specific
averaging times, levels, and forms of
alternative standards reduce the
estimated exposures above benchmark
levels and risks attributable to exposure
to ambient SO2, and what are the
uncertainties associated with the
estimated exposure and risk reductions?
The questions outlined above have
been addressed in the REA. The
following sections present
considerations regarding the adequacy
of the current standards and potential
alternative standards, as discussed in
chapter 10 of the REA, in terms of
indicator, averaging time, form, and
level.
E. Adequacy of the current standards
In considering the adequacy of the
current standards, the policy assessment
chapter of the REA considered the
scientific evidence assessed in the ISA,
as well as the air quality, exposure, and
risk-based information presented in the
REA. A summary of this evidence and
information as well as CASAC
recommendations and the
Administrator’s conclusions regarding
the adequacy of the current standards
are presented below. Section II.E.1 will
discuss the adequacy of the current 24hour standard and Section II.E.2 will
then discuss adequacy of the current
annual standard. Section II.E.3 will
discuss CASAC views and finally,
section II.E.4 discusses the
Administrator’s conclusions regarding
the adequacy of the current 24-hour and
annual standards.
1. Adequacy of the current 24-hour
standard
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a. Evidence-based considerations
In considering the SO2 epidemiologic
studies as they relate to the adequacy of
the current 24-hour standard, the REA
noted that 24-hour average SO2
concentrations were below the current
24-hour average SO2 NAAQS in many
locations where positive and sometimes
statistically significant associations
were observed (REA, section 10.3). As
discussed previously (see section II.B.3),
the ISA characterized the epidemiologic
evidence for respiratory effects as being
consistent and coherent (ISA, section
5.2). The evidence is consistent in that
positive associations are reported in
studies conducted in numerous
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locations and with a variety of
methodological approaches (ISA,
section 5.2). It is coherent in the sense
that respiratory symptom results from
epidemiologic studies predominantly
using 1-hour daily maximum or 24-hour
average SO2 concentrations are
generally in agreement with the
respiratory symptom results from
controlled human exposure studies of
5–10 minutes. These results are also
coherent in that the respiratory effects
observed in controlled human exposure
studies of 5–10 minutes provide a basis
for a progression of respiratory
morbidity that could lead to the ED
visits and hospitalizations observed in
epidemiologic studies (ISA, section 5.2).
The ISA also noted that when the
epidemiologic literature is considered as
a whole, there are generally positive
associations between SO2 and
respiratory symptoms in children,
hospital admissions, and emergency
department visits. Moreover, some of
these associations were statistically
significant, particularly the more precise
effect estimates (ISA, section 5.2).
The interpretation of these SO2
epidemiologic studies is complicated by
the fact that SO2 is but one component
of a complex mixture of pollutants
present in the ambient air. In order to
provide some perspective on this
uncertainty, the ISA evaluates
epidemiologic studies that employ
multi-pollutant models. Specifically, the
ISA noted that a number of SO2
epidemiologic studies have attempted to
disentangle the effects of SO2 from those
of co-occurring pollutants by utilizing
multi-pollutant models. When evaluated
as a whole, SO2 effect estimates in these
models generally remained positive and
relatively unchanged when copollutants were included. Therefore,
although recognizing the uncertainties
associated with separating the effects of
SO2 from those of co-occurring
pollutants, the ISA concluded that the
limited available evidence indicates that
the effect of SO2 on respiratory health
outcomes appears to be generally robust
and independent of the effects of
gaseous co-pollutants, including NO2
and O3, as well as particulate copollutants, particularly PM2.5 (ISA,
section 5.2; p. 5–9).
In drawing broad conclusions
regarding the evidence, the ISA
considered the epidemiologic and
experimental evidence as well as the
uncertainties associated with that
evidence. When this evidence and its
associated uncertainties were taken
together, the ISA concluded that the
results of epidemiologic and
experimental studies form a plausible
and coherent data set that supports a
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relationship between SO2 exposures and
respiratory endpoints, including
respiratory symptoms and ED visits, at
ambient concentrations that are present
in areas that meet the current 24-hour
SO2 NAAQS (ISA, section 5.5). Thus,
taking into consideration the evidence
discussed above, particularly the
epidemiologic studies reporting SO2associated health effects in locations
that meet the current 24-hour standard,
the REA concluded that the
epidemiologic evidence calls into
question the adequacy of the current 24hour standard to protect public health
(REA, section 10.3.4).
b. Air quality, exposure, and risk-based
considerations
As previously mentioned, the ISA
found the evidence for an association
between respiratory morbidity and SO2
exposure to be ‘‘sufficient to infer a
causal relationship’’ (ISA, section 5.2)
and that the ‘‘definitive evidence’’ for
this conclusion comes from the results
of controlled human exposure studies
demonstrating decrements in lung
function and/or respiratory symptoms
in exercising asthmatics (ISA, section
5.2). Accordingly, the exposure and risk
analyses presented in the REA focused
on exposures and risks associated with
5-minute peaks of SO2 in excess of the
potential health effect benchmark values
of 100, 200, 300, and 400 ppb SO2. In
considering the results presented in
these analyses, the REA particularly
noted exceedances or exposures with
respect to the 200 and 400 ppb 5-minute
benchmark levels. These benchmark
levels were highlighted in the REA
because (1) 400 ppb represents the
lowest concentration in controlled
human exposure studies where
moderate or greater lung function
decrements which were often
statistically significant at the group
mean level, were frequently
accompanied by respiratory symptoms;
and (2) 200 ppb is the lowest level at
which moderate or greater decrements
in lung function in free-breathing
human exposure studies have been
observed (notably, 200 ppb is also the
lowest level that has been tested). The
REA also recognized that there was very
limited evidence demonstrating small
decrements in lung function at 100 ppb
from two mouthpiece exposure studies.
However, as previously noted (see
section II.B.1.b), the results of these
studies are not directly comparable to
free-breathing chamber studies, and
thus, the REA primarily considered
exceedences of the 200 ppb and 400 ppb
benchmark levels in its evaluation of the
adequacy of the current 24-hour (as well
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as the annual; see section II.E.2)
standard.
A key output of the air quality
analysis was the predicted number of
statistically estimated 5-minute daily
maximum SO2 concentrations above
benchmark levels given air quality
simulated to just meet the level of the
current 24-hour or annual SO2 standard,
whichever was controlling for a given
county. Under this scenario, in 40
counties selected for detailed analysis,
the REA found that the predicted yearly
mean number of statistically estimated
5-minute daily maximum
concentrations > 400 ppb ranges from
1–102 days per year,14 with most
counties in this analysis experiencing a
mean of at least 20 days per year when
statistically estimated 5-minute daily
SO2 concentrations exceed 400 ppb
(REA, Table 7–14). In addition, the
predicted yearly mean number of
statistically estimated 5-minute daily
maximum concentrations > 200 ppb
ranged from 21–171 days per year, with
about half of the counties in this
analysis experiencing ≥ 70 days per year
when 5-minute daily maximum SO2
concentrations exceed 200 ppb (REA,
Table 7–12).
The REA also generated exposure and
risk estimates for two study areas in
Missouri (i.e., Greene County and
several counties representing the St.
Louis urban area) which had significant
emission sources of SO2. As noted in
REA section 8.10, there were differences
in the number of exposures above
benchmark values when the results of
the Greene County and St. Louis
exposure assessments were compared.
In addition, given that the results of the
exposure assessment were used as
inputs into the quantitative risk
assessment, it was not surprising that
there were also differences in the
number of asthmatics at elevated
ventilation rates estimated to have a
moderate or greater lung function
response in Greene County when
compared to St. Louis. The REA noted
that the differences in the St. Louis and
Greene County exposure and
quantitative risk results are likely
indicative of the different types of
locations they represent (see section
8.10). Greene County is a rural county
with much lower population and
emission densities, compared to the St.
Louis study area which has population
and emissions density similar to other
urban areas in the U.S. It therefore
14 Air quality estimates presented in this section
represent the mean number of days per year when
5-minute daily maximum SO2 concentrations
exceed a particular benchmark level given 2001–
2006 air quality adjusted to just meet the current
standards (see REA, Tables 7–11 to 7–14).
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follows that there would be greater
exposures, and hence greater numbers
and percentages of asthmatics at
elevated ventilation rates experiencing
moderate or greater lung function
responses in the St. Louis study area.
Thus, when considering the risk and
exposure results as they relate to the
adequacy of the current standards, the
REA concluded that the St. Louis results
were more informative in terms of
ascertaining the extent to which the
current standards protect against effects
linked to the various benchmarks
(linked in turn to 5-minute exposures).
The results in fact suggested that the
current standards may not adequately
protect public health (REA, section
10.3.3). Moreover, the REA judged that
the exposure and risk estimates for the
St. Louis study area provided useful
insights into exposures and risks for
other urban areas in the U.S. with
similar population and SO2 emissions
densities (REA, section 10.3.3).
When considering the St. Louis
exposure results as they relate to the
adequacy of the current standards,
results discussed in the policy chapter
of the REA included the percent of
asthmatic children at moderate or
greater exertion estimated to experience
at least one exceedance of either the 200
or 400 ppb benchmark given air quality
that was adjusted upward to simulate
just meeting the current 24-hour
standard (i.e., the controlling standard
in St. Louis).15 Given this scenario, the
REA found that approximately 24% of
asthmatic children in that city would be
estimated to experience at least one SO2
exposure concentration greater than or
equal to the 400 ppb benchmark level
per year while at moderate or greater
exertion (e.g., while exercising; REA,
Figure 8–19). Similarly, the REA found
that approximately 73% of asthmatic
children would be expected to
experience at least one SO2 exposure
greater than or equal to a 200 ppb
benchmark level while at moderate or
greater exertion (REA, Figure 8–19).
When considering the St. Louis risk
results as they relate to the adequacy of
the current 24-hour standard, the policy
assessment chapter of the REA included
the percent of asthmatic children at
elevated ventilation rates likely to
experience at least one lung function
response given air quality that is
adjusted upward to simulate just
meeting the current standards. Under
this scenario, 19.1% to 19.2% of
exposed asthmatic children at elevated
15 Exposure and risk results presented in this
notice are with respect to asthmatic children,
results for all asthmatics are presented in REA
chapters, 8, 9, and 10.
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ventilation rates were estimated to
experience at least one moderate lung
function response per year (defined as
an increase in sRaw ≥ 100% (REA, Table
9–8)).16 17 Furthermore, 7.9% to 8.1% of
exposed asthmatic children at moderate
or greater exertion were estimated to
experience at least one large lung
function response per year (defined as
an increase in sRaw ≥ 200% (REA, Table
9–8)).
c. Summary of considerations from the
REA regarding the 24-hour standard
As noted above, the policy chapter of
the REA considered several lines of
scientific evidence when evaluating the
adequacy of the current 24-hour
standard to protect the public health.
These included causality judgments
made in the ISA, as well as the human
exposure and epidemiologic evidence
supporting those judgments. In
particular, the REA concluded that
numerous epidemiologic studies
reporting positive associations between
ambient SO2 and respiratory morbidity
endpoints were conducted in locations
that met, or were below the current 24hour standard (REA, section 10.3.4). The
REA concluded that to the extent that
these considerations are emphasized,
the adequacy of the current 24-hour
standard to protect the public health
would clearly be called into question
(REA, section 10.3.4). The REA found
this suggested consideration of a revised
24-hour standard and/or that an
additional shorter-averaging time
standard may be needed to provide
additional health protection for
sensitive groups, including asthmatics
and individuals who spend time
outdoors at elevated ventilation rates
(REA, section 10.3.4). This also
suggested that an alternative SO2
standard(s) should protect against
health effects ranging from lung
function responses and increased
respiratory symptoms following 5–10
minute peak SO2 exposures, to
increased respiratory symptoms and
respiratory-related ED visits and
hospital admissions associated with 1hour daily maximum or 24-hour average
16 The risk results presented represent the median
estimate of exposed asthmatics expected to
experience moderate or greater lung function
decrements. Results are presented for both the
probit and 2-parameter logistic functional forms.
The full range of estimates can be found in chapter
9 of the REA, and in all instances the smaller
estimate is a result of using the probit function to
estimate the exposure-response relationship.
17 In this notice, risk results with respect to
moderate or greater lung function responses are
presented in terms of sRaw (i.e., ≥ 100% increases
in sRaw). Risk results with respect to decrements
in lung function defined in terms of FEV1 can be
found in chapter 9 of the REA.
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SO2 concentrations (REA, section
10.3.4).
In examining the air quality,
exposure, and risk-based information
with regard to the adequacy of the
current 24-hour SO2 standard to protect
the public health, the REA found that
the results described above (and in more
detail in chapters 7–9 of the REA)
indicated that 5-minute exposures that
could reasonably be judged important
from a public health perspective (see
section II.B.1.c) were associated with air
quality adjusted upward to simulate just
meeting the current 24-hour standard.
These exposures were judged in the
REA to be significant from a public
health perspective due to their
frequency: approximately 24% of child
asthmatics at moderate or greater
exertion in St. Louis are estimated to be
exposed at least once per year to air
quality exceeding the 5-minute 400 ppb
benchmark, a level associated with lung
function decrements in the presence of
respiratory symptoms. Additionally,
approximately 73% of child asthmatics
in St. Louis would be expected to be
exposed at least once per year to air
quality exceeding the 5-minute 200 ppb
benchmark. Moreover, slightly over
19% of exposed child asthmatics in St.
Louis would be expected to experience
at least one adverse lung function
response (defined in terms of a ≥ 100%
increase in sRaw) each year. Therefore,
the REA concluded that the air quality,
exposure, and risk-based considerations
reinforced the epidemiologic evidence
in supporting the conclusion that
consideration should be given to
revising the current 24-hour standard
and/or setting a new shorter averaging
time standard (e.g., 1-hour or less) to
provide increased public health
protection, especially for sensitive
groups (e.g., asthmatics), from SO2related adverse health effects (REA,
section 10.3.4).
2. Adequacy of the current annual
standard
In considering the adequacy of the
current annual standard, the policy
assessment chapter of the REA
considered the scientific evidence
assessed in the ISA and the air quality,
exposure, and risk-based information
presented in the REA. A summary of
this evidence and information is
presented below.
a. Evidence-based considerations
As an initial consideration with
regard to the adequacy of the current
annual standard, the REA noted that
evidence relating long-term (weeks to
years) SO2 exposure to adverse health
effects (respiratory morbidity,
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carcinogenesis, adverse prenatal and
neonatal outcomes, and mortality) was
judged by the ISA to be ‘‘inadequate to
infer the presence or absence of a causal
relationship’’ (ISA, Table 5–3). That is,
the ISA found the health evidence to be
of insufficient quantity, quality,
consistency, or statistical power to make
a determination as to whether SO2 is
truly associated with these health
endpoints (ISA, Table 1–2). With
respect specifically to respiratory
morbidity in children (in part, the basis
for the current annual standard; see
section II.D.1), the ISA presented recent
epidemiologic evidence of an
association with long-term exposure to
SO2 (ISA, section 3.4.2). However, the
ISA found the strength of these
epidemiologic studies to be limited
because of (1) variability in results
across studies with respect to specific
respiratory morbidity endpoints; (2)
high correlations between long-term
average SO2 and co-pollutant
concentrations, particularly PM; and (3)
a lack of evaluation of potential
confounding (ISA, section 3.4.2.1).
The REA also noted that many
epidemiologic studies demonstrating
positive associations between 1-hour
daily maximum or 24-hour average SO2
concentrations and respiratory
symptoms, ED visits, and
hospitalizations were conducted in
areas where ambient SO2 concentrations
were well below the level of the current
annual NAAQS (REA, section 10.4.2).
The REA noted that this evidence
suggested that the current annual
standard was not providing adequate
protection against health effects
associated with shorter-term SO2
concentrations found in epidemiologic
studies (REA, section 10.4.2).
b. Air quality, exposure, and risk-based
considerations
Results of the risk characterization
based on the air quality assessment
provided additional insight into
whether there is a need to revise the
current annual standard, focusing again
on the extent to which the annual
standard may be providing protection
against effects associated with shortterm exposures. In general, analyses
presented in the REA described the
extent to which the current annual
standard provided protection against 5minute peaks of SO2 in excess of
potential health effect benchmark levels
(REA, chapter 7). The REA found that
many of the monitors where frequent 5minute exceedances were reported had
annual average SO2 concentrations well
below the level of the current annual
standard. Moreover, the REA found that
there was little to no correlation
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between the annual average SO2
concentration and the number of 5minute daily maximum concentrations
above potential health effect benchmark
levels at these monitors (REA section
7.3.1). Thus, the REA concluded that the
annual standard adds little in the way
of protection against 5-minute peaks of
SO2 (REA, section 10.4.4).
c. Summary of considerations from the
REA regarding the annual standard
As noted above, the ISA concluded
that the evidence relating long-term
(weeks to years) SO2 exposure to
adverse health effects (respiratory
morbidity, carcinogenesis, adverse
prenatal and neonatal outcomes, and
mortality) was ‘‘inadequate to infer the
presence or absence of a causal
relationship’’ (ISA, Table 5–3). The ISA
also reported that many epidemiologic
studies demonstrating positive
associations between short-term (e.g., 1hour daily maximum, 24-hour average)
SO2 concentrations and respiratory
symptoms, as well as ED visits and
hospitalizations, were conducted in
areas where annual ambient SO2
concentrations were well below the
level of the current annual NAAQS. In
addition, analyses conducted in the
REA suggested that the current annual
standard is not providing protection
against 5–10 minute peaks of SO2. Thus,
the scientific evidence and the risk and
exposure information suggest that the
current annual SO2 standard: (1) Is
likely not needed to protect against
health risks associated with long term
exposure to SO2; and 2) does not
provide adequate protection from the
health effects associated with shorterterm (i.e. ≤ 24-hours) SO2 exposures.
Thus, the policy chapter of the REA
accordingly concluded that
consideration should be given to either
revoking the annual standard or
retaining it without revision, in
conjunction with setting an appropriate
short-term standard(s) (REA, section
10.4.4).
3. CASAC views regarding the adequacy
of the current 24-hour and annual
standards
With regard to the adequacy of the
current standards, CASAC conclusions
were consistent with the views
expressed in the policy assessment
chapter of the REA.18 CASAC agreed
18 CASAC views with respect to the current 24hour and annual standards, as well as with respect
to potential alternative standards are those
following their review of the second draft SO2 REA,
which contained a staff policy assessment chapter.
EPA did not solicit, nor did it receive CASAC
comments on the final policy assessment chapter
contained in the final REA.
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that the primary concern in this review
is to protect against health effects that
have been associated with short-term
SO2 exposures, particularly those of 5–
10 minutes (Samet 2009). CASAC also
agreed that the current 24-hour and
annual standards are not sufficient to
protect public health against the types
of exposures that could lead to these
health effects. Given these
considerations, and as noted in their
letter to the EPA Administrator, CASAC
agreed ‘‘that the current 24-hour and
annual standards are not adequate to
protect public health, especially in
relation to short term exposures to SO2
(5–10 minutes) by exercising
asthmatics’’ (Samet, 2009, p. 15).
CASAC also noted: ‘‘assuming that EPA
adopts a one hour standard in the range
suggested, and if there is evidence
showing that the short-term standard
provides equivalent protection of public
health in the long-term as the annual
standard, the panel is supportive of the
REA discussion of discontinuing the
annual standard’’ (Samet 2009, p. 15).
With regard to the current 24-hour
standard, CASAC was generally
supportive of using the air quality
analyses in the REA as a means of
determining whether the current 24hour standard was needed in addition to
a new 1-hour standard to protect public
health. CASAC stated: ‘‘the evidence
presented [in REA Table 10–3] was
convincing that some of the alternative
one-hour standards could also
adequately protect against exceedences
of the current 24-hour standard’’ (Samet
2009, p. 15) Discussion regarding
CASAC’s views on how the standard
should be revised is provided below
within the context of discussions on the
elements (i.e., indicator, averaging time,
form, level) of a new short-term
standard.
4. The Administrator’s conclusions
regarding adequacy of the current 24hour and annual standards
Based on the epidemiologic evidence,
the risk and exposure data set out in this
section, as well as CASAC’s advice and
recommendations, the Administrator
concludes (subject to consideration of
public comment) that the current
standards are not adequate to protect
public health with an adequate margin
of safety. The basis for this conclusion
is as follows. First, the Administrator
accepts and agrees with the ISA’s
conclusion that the results of controlled
human exposure and epidemiologic
studies form a plausible and coherent
data set that supports a causal
relationship between short-term (5minutes to 24-hours) SO2 exposures and
adverse respiratory effects. The
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Administrator further agrees that the
epidemiologic evidence (buttressed by
the clinical evidence) indicates that the
effects seen in the epidemiologic studies
are attributable to exposure to SO2. She
also accepts and agrees with the
conclusion of the ISA that ‘‘[i]n the
epidemiologic studies, respiratory
effects were observed in areas where the
maximum ambient 24-h avg SO2
concentration was below the current 24h avg NAAQS level * * *’’ (ISA,
section 5.2, p. 5–2.) and so would occur
at ambient SO2 concentrations that are
present in locations meeting the current
24-hour NAAQS. The Administrator
also notes that these effects occurred in
areas with annual air quality levels
considerably lower than those allowed
by the current annual standard,
indicating that the annual standard also
is not providing protection against such
effects. Existence of epidemiologic
studies showing adverse effects
occurring at levels allowed by the
current standards is an accepted
justification for finding that it is
appropriate to revise the existing
standards. See, e.g. American Trucking
Ass’n v. EPA, 283 F. 3d 355, 370 (DC
Cir. 2002).
With regard to the exposure and risk
results, the Administrator notes and
agrees with the analyses in the REA
supporting that 5-minute exposures,
reasonably judged important from a
public health perspective, were
associated with air quality adjusted
upward to simulate just meeting the
current standards. The Administrator
especially notes the results of the St.
Louis exposure analysis which, as
summarized above, indicates that
substantial percentages of asthmatic
children at moderate or greater exertion
would be exposed, at least once
annually, to air quality exceeding the
400 and 200 ppb benchmarks.
Moreover, in addition to the health
evidence and risk-based information,
the Administrator agrees with CASAC’s
conclusion that the current SO2
standards do not adequately protect the
public’s health.
In considering approaches to revising
the current standards, the Administrator
is proposing that it is appropriate to
consider setting a new short-term
standard. The Administrator initially
notes that a 1-hour standard could
provide increased public health
protection, especially for members of atrisk groups, from health effects
described in both controlled human
exposure and epidemiologic studies,
and hence, health effects associated
with 5-minute to 24-hour exposures to
SO2. As discussed in section II.F.5
below, depending on the degree of
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protection afforded by such a standard,
it may be appropriate to replace, and not
retain, the current 24-hour and annual
standards in conjunction with setting a
new short-term standard.
F. Conclusions on the elements of a
proposed new short-term standard
In considering alternative SO2
primary NAAQS, the Administrator
notes the need to protect at-risk
populations from: (1) 1-hour daily
maximum and 24-hour average
exposures to SO2 that could cause the
types of respiratory morbidity effects
reported in epidemiologic studies; and
(2) 5–10 minute SO2 exposure
concentrations reported in controlled
human exposure studies to result in
moderate or greater lung function
responses and/or respiratory symptoms.
Considerations with regard to potential
alternative standards and the specific
options being proposed are discussed in
the following sections in terms of
indicator, averaging time, form, and
level (sections II.F.1 to II.F.4).
1. Indicator
In the last review, EPA focused on
SO2 as the most appropriate indicator
for ambient SOX. In making a decision
in the current review on the most
appropriate indicator, the Administrator
has considered the conclusions of the
ISA and REA as well as the views
expressed by CASAC. The REA noted
that, although the presence of gaseous
SOX species other than SO2 has been
recognized, no alternative to SO2 has
been advanced as being a more
appropriate surrogate for ambient
gaseous SOX. Controlled human
exposure studies and animal toxicology
studies provide specific evidence for
health effects following exposure to
SO2. Epidemiologic studies also
typically report levels of SO2, as
opposed to other gaseous SOX. Because
emissions that lead to the formation of
SO2 generally also lead to the formation
of other SOX oxidation products,
measures leading to reductions in
population exposures to SO2 can
generally be expected to lead to
reductions in population exposures to
other gaseous SOX. Therefore, meeting
an SO2 standard that protects the public
health can also be expected to provide
protection against potential health
effects that may be independently
associated with other gaseous SOX even
though such effects are not discernable
from currently available studies indexed
by SO2 alone. See American Petroleum
Institute v. EPA, 665 F, 2d 1176, 1186
(DC Cir. 1981) (reasonable for EPA to
use ozone as the indicator for all
photochemical oxidants even though
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health information on the other
photochemical oxidants is unknown;
regulating ozone alone is reasonable
since it presents a ‘‘predictable danger’’
and in doing so EPA did not abandon
its responsibility to regulate other
photochemical oxidants encompassed
by the determination that
photochemical oxidants as a class may
be reasonably anticipated to endanger
public health or welfare). Given these
key points, the REA concluded that the
available evidence supports the
retention of SO2 as the indicator in the
current review (REA, section 10.5.1).
Consistent with this conclusion, CASAC
stated in a letter to the EPA
Administrator that ‘‘for indicator, SO2 is
clearly the preferred choice’’ (Samet
2009, p. 14). The Administrator agrees
with this consensus, and therefore
proposes to retain SO2 as the indicator
for oxides of sulfur in the current
review.
PWALKER on DSK8KYBLC1PROD with PROPOSALS2
2. Averaging time
In considering whether it is
appropriate to revise the averaging times
of the current standards, the first
consideration is what health effects the
standard is addressing, and specifically
whether those effects are associated
with short-term (i.e., 5-minutes to 24hours), and/or long-term (i.e. weeks to
years) exposure to SO2. There are
distinct differences in the causality
judgments in the ISA as to short-term
versus long-term health effects of SO2.
The ISA found evidence relating longterm (weeks to years) SO2 exposures to
adverse health effects to be ‘‘inadequate
to infer the presence or absence of a
causal relationship’’ (ISA, Table 5–3). In
contrast, the ISA judged evidence
relating short-term (5-minutes to 24hours) SO2 exposure to respiratory
morbidity to be ‘‘sufficient to infer a
causal relationship’’ (the strongest
possible conclusion as to causality) and
short-term exposure to SO2 and
mortality to be ‘‘suggestive of a causal
relationship’’ (ISA, Table 5–3). Taken
together, the REA concluded that these
judgments most directly supported
standard averaging time(s) that focus
protection on SO2 exposures from 5minutes to 24-hours (REA, section,
10.5.2).
a. Evidence and air quality, exposure,
and risk-based considerations
In considering the level of support
available for specific short-term
averaging times, the REA noted the
strength of evidence from human
exposure and epidemiologic studies
evaluated in the ISA. As previously
mentioned, controlled human exposure
studies exposed exercising asthmatics to
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5–10 minute peak concentrations of SO2
and consistently found decrements in
lung function and/or respiratory
symptoms. Importantly, the ISA
described the controlled human
exposure studies as being the
‘‘definitive evidence’’ for its conclusion
that there exists a causal association
between short-term (5-minutes to 24hours) SO2 exposure and respiratory
morbidity (ISA, section 5.2). In addition
to the controlled human exposure
evidence, there is a relatively small
body of epidemiologic studies
describing positive associations between
1-hour daily maximum SO2 levels and
respiratory symptoms as well as
hospital admissions and ED visits for all
respiratory causes and asthma (ISA
Tables 5.4 and 5.5). In addition to the
evidence from these 1-hour daily
maximum epidemiologic studies, there
is a considerably larger body of
epidemiologic studies reporting positive
associations between 24-hour average
SO2 levels and respiratory symptoms, as
well as hospitalizations and ED visits
for all respiratory causes and asthma.
Moreover, with respect to these
epidemiologic studies, there is support
that adverse respiratory effects are more
likely to occur at the upper end of the
distribution of ambient SO2
concentrations (see section II.F.3 on
Form). In addition, when describing
epidemiologic studies observing
positive associations between ambient
SO2 and respiratory symptoms, the ISA
stated ‘‘that it is possible that these
associations are determined in large part
by peak exposures within a 24-hour
period’’ (ISA, section 5.2 at p. 5–5).
Similarly, the ISA stated that: ‘‘the
effects of SO2 on respiratory symptoms,
lung function, and airway inflammation
observed in the human clinical studies
using peak exposures further provides a
basis for a progression of respiratory
morbidity resulting in increased ED
visits and hospital admissions’’ and
makes the associations observed in the
epidemiologic studies ‘‘biologica[lly]
plausib[le]’’ (ISA, section 5.2 at p. 5–5).
The controlled human exposure
evidence described above provided
support for an averaging time that
protects against 5–10 minute peak SO2
exposures (REA, section 10.5.2). In
addition, the REA found that results
from epidemiologic studies provided
support for both 1-hour and 24-hour
averaging times (REA, section 10.5.2). In
addition, both the epidemiologic and
controlled human exposure evidence
suggests that a new short-term standard
should be focused on limiting peak SO2
exposures. Thus, it can reasonably be
concluded from the ISA and REA that
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it would be appropriate to consider the
degree of protection potential
alternative standards with averaging
times under consideration provide
against peak 5-minute to 24-hour SO2
exposures. Moreover, as fully discussed
in section II.F.3, this same information
makes it reasonable that the form of a
new short-term standard reflect a
strategy to limit peak SO2 exposures.
Thus, with respect to the analyses
presented below regarding averaging
time, a 99th percentile form will be
considered. See American Petroleum
Institute, 665 F. 2d at 1186 (selection of
highest average ozone level in one hour
to determine compliance with ozone
NAAQS is reasonable ‘‘because it is
calculated to measure the maximum
exposure, which has been found to be
a relevant factor in determining the
likely consequences of ozone
exposure’’).
In considering the level of support
available for specific short-term
averaging times, the policy assessment
chapter of the REA also took into
account air quality considerations. More
specifically, since the shortest averaging
time for the current primary SO2
standard is 24-hours, the REA evaluated
the potential for a standard based on 24hour average SO2 concentrations to limit
5-minute peak SO2 exposures (REA,
section 10.5.2). The REA evaluated
ratios between 99th percentile 5-minute
daily maximum and 99th percentile 24hour average SO2 concentrations for 42
monitors reporting measured 5-minute
data for any year between 2004–2006
(REA, Table 10–1). Across this set of
monitors, ratios of 99th percentile 5minute daily maximum to 99th
percentile 24-hour average SO2
concentrations spanned a range of 2.0 to
14.1 (REA, Table 10–1). These results
suggested a standard based on 24-hour
average SO2 concentrations would not
likely be an effective or efficient
approach for addressing 5-minute peak
SO2 concentrations. That is, the REA
concluded using a 24-hour average
standard to address 5-minute peaks
would likely result in over-controlling
in some areas, while under-controlling
in others (REA, section 10.5.2). This
analysis also suggested that a 5-minute
standard would not likely be an
effective or efficient means for
controlling 24-hour average SO2
concentrations (REA, section 10.5.2).
The REA also reported ratios between
99th percentile 5-minute daily
maximum and 99th percentile 1-hour
daily maximum SO2 levels from this set
of monitors. Compared to the ratios
discussed above (5-minute daily
maximum to 24-hour average), there
was far less variability between 5-
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minute daily maximum and 1-hour
daily maximum ratios. More
specifically, 39 of the 42 monitors had
99th percentile 5-minute daily
maximum to 99th percentile 1-hour
daily maximum ratios in the range of 1.2
to 2.5 (REA, Table 10–1). The remaining
three monitors had ratios of 3.6, 4.2 and
4.6 respectively. Overall, the REA found
that this relatively narrow range of
ratios (compared to the range of ratios
presented above with respect to 5minute daily maximum to 24-hour
average) suggested that a standard with
a 1-hour averaging time would be more
efficient and effective at limiting 5minute peaks of SO2 than a standard
with a 24-hour averaging time (REA,
section 10.5.2.2). This analysis also
suggested that a 5-minute standard
could be a relatively effective means of
controlling 1-hour daily maximum SO2
concentrations.19
The REA further evaluated the
potential of the 1-hour daily maximum
standards analyzed in the air quality,
exposure, and risk analyses to limit
peak 24-hour average SO2 exposures
(REA, section 10.5.2) since there is
epidemiologic evidence to suggest that
adverse respiratory effects are more
likely to occur at the upper end of the
distribution of ambient SO2
concentrations. The 99th percentile 24hour average SO2 concentrations in
cities where U.S. ED visit and
hospitalization studies (for all
respiratory causes and asthma;
identified from Table 5–5 of the ISA)
were conducted ranged from 16 ppb to
115 ppb (Thompson and Stewart, 2009).
Moreover, effect estimates that remained
statistically significant in multipollutant models with PM were found
in cities with 99th percentile 24-hour
average SO2 concentrations ranging
from approximately 36 ppb to 64 ppb.
The REA found that a 99th percentile 1hour daily maximum standard set at a
level of 50–100 ppb would generally
limit 99th percentile 24-hour average
SO2 concentrations in locations where
epidemiologic studies reported
statistically significant results in multipollutant models with PM (Table 1).
That is, for 2004, given air quality
adjusted to just meet a 50 ppb 99th
percentile 1-hour daily maximum
standard, the REA found that no county
included in this analysis was estimated
to have 24-hour average SO2
concentrations ≥ 36 ppb (Table 1). In
addition, given air quality adjusted to
just meet a 100 ppb 99th percentile 1hour daily maximum standard, only 6 of
the 39 counties (Linn, Union, Bronx,
Fairfax, Hudson, and Wayne) included
in this 2004 analysis were estimated to
have 99th percentile 24-hour average
SO2 concentrations ≥ 36 ppb (Table 1).
The REA repeated this analysis for the
years 2005 and 2006 and found similar
results (REA, Appendix Tables D1 and
D2).20
TABLE 1—99TH PERCENTILE 24-HOUR AVERAGE SO2 CONCENTRATIONS FOR 2004 GIVEN JUST MEETING THE ALTERNATIVE 1-HOUR DAILY MAXIMUM 99TH AND 98TH PERCENTILE POTENTIAL STANDARDS ANALYZED IN THE AIR QUALITY
ASSESSMENT
[Source: REA, Table 10–2].21
1-hour daily maximum standards
State
County
99th percentile
PWALKER on DSK8KYBLC1PROD with PROPOSALS2
50
AZ ........
DE .......
FL ........
IL .........
IL .........
IN .........
IN .........
IN .........
IN .........
IA .........
IA .........
MI ........
MO ......
MO ......
NH .......
NJ ........
NJ ........
NY .......
NY .......
NY .......
OH .......
OH .......
OH .......
OK .......
PA .......
PA .......
PA .......
PA .......
PA .......
TN .......
Gila .....................................................................
New Castle .........................................................
Hillsborough ........................................................
Madison ..............................................................
Wabash ..............................................................
Floyd ...................................................................
Gibson ................................................................
Lake ....................................................................
Vigo ....................................................................
Linn .....................................................................
Muscatine ...........................................................
Wayne ................................................................
Greene ................................................................
Jefferson .............................................................
Merrimack ...........................................................
Hudson ...............................................................
Union ..................................................................
Bronx ..................................................................
Chautauqua ........................................................
Erie .....................................................................
Cuyahoga ...........................................................
Lake ....................................................................
Summit ...............................................................
Tulsa ...................................................................
Allegheny ............................................................
Beaver ................................................................
Northampton .......................................................
Warren ................................................................
Washington .........................................................
Blount .................................................................
19 The analysis of peak to mean ratios was used
as an initial screen to evaluate which averaging
times could be suited to control 5-minute peaks of
SO2. The more sophisticated analysis for ultimately
determining that a one-hour averaging time set at
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6
12
10
12
7
8
9
12
10
21
17
17
12
9
17
19
18
23
13
14
17
10
12
16
12
10
11
11
15
15
150
12
23
20
24
13
15
18
24
19
42
34
33
24
18
33
38
36
47
27
27
34
19
24
32
23
20
23
22
31
31
200
18
35
30
36
20
23
27
36
29
64
51
50
36
27
50
57
54
70
40
41
51
29
36
47
35
30
34
33
46
46
an appropriate level could effectively limit these 5minute peaks was the air quality, exposure, and risk
analyses discussed in section II.F.4.
20 In 2005, given a 99th percentile 1-hour daily
maximum standard at 50 ppb, Wayne County, West
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250
25
47
40
48
27
31
36
48
39
85
68
66
48
36
66
76
72
93
54
54
67
39
48
63
47
40
45
44
62
61
31
59
50
60
33
39
45
60
48
106
85
83
60
45
83
95
90
117
67
68
84
48
61
79
59
51
56
56
77
77
100
200
16
28
28
28
19
20
20
31
24
49
38
37
31
25
39
48
44
54
32
30
40
23
27
36
30
25
36
28
36
35
32
56
55
56
38
41
41
62
48
98
76
74
62
51
79
96
89
107
65
61
80
47
55
72
60
49
72
56
71
71
Virginia would have an estimated 99th percentile
24-hour average SO2 concentration > 36 ppb (43
ppb; REA Appendix Table D–1).
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TABLE 1—99TH PERCENTILE 24-HOUR AVERAGE SO2 CONCENTRATIONS FOR 2004 GIVEN JUST MEETING THE ALTERNATIVE 1-HOUR DAILY MAXIMUM 99TH AND 98TH PERCENTILE POTENTIAL STANDARDS ANALYZED IN THE AIR QUALITY
ASSESSMENT—Continued
[Source: REA, Table 10–2].21
1-hour daily maximum standards
State
County
99th percentile
50
TN .......
TN .......
TX ........
VA .......
WV ......
WV ......
WV ......
WV ......
VI .........
Shelby .................................................................
Sullivan ...............................................................
Jefferson .............................................................
Fairfax .................................................................
Brooke ................................................................
Hancock ..............................................................
Monongalia .........................................................
Wayne ................................................................
St Croix ...............................................................
PWALKER on DSK8KYBLC1PROD with PROPOSALS2
The air quality information presented
above strongly support the likelihood
that an alternative 99th percentile (see
discussion of form below in II.F.3) 1hour daily maximum standard set at an
appropriate level (see discussion of
level in II.F.4) can substantially reduce
the upper end of the distribution of SO2
levels more likely to be associated with
adverse respiratory effects; that is: (1)
99th percentile 1-hour daily maximum
air quality concentrations in cities
observing positive effect estimates in
epidemiologic studies of hospital
admissions and ED visits for all
respiratory causes and asthma; and (2)
99th percentile 24-hour average air
quality concentrations found in U.S.
cities where ED visit and hospitalization
studies (for all respiratory causes and
asthma) observed statistically significant
associations in multi-pollutant models
with PM (i.e., 99th percentile 24-hour
average SO2 concentration ≥ 36 ppb). In
addition, based on the air quality and
exposure analyses presented in chapters
7 and 8 of the REA, there is also a strong
likelihood that a 99th percentile 1-hour
daily maximum standard will limit 5–10
minute peaks of SO2 shown in human
exposure studies to result in decrements
in lung function and/or respiratory
symptoms in exercising asthmatics (see
especially: REA Tables 7–11 to 7–14 and
Figure 8–19). Such analyses are also
summarized in section II.F.4 of this
21 99th or 98th percentile 1-hour daily maximum
concentrations were determined for each monitor in
a given county for the years complete data were
available from 2004–2006. These concentrations
were averaged, and the monitor with the highest
average in a given county was determined. Based
on this highest average, all monitors in a given
county were adjusted to just meet the potential
alternative standards defined above, and for each of
the years, the 99th percentile 24-hour average SO2
concentration was identified. Results for the years
2005 and 2006 are presented in the REA, Appendix
D.
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100
17
8
9
23
12
15
10
30
14
150
34
16
17
46
24
29
20
59
27
200
51
24
26
69
37
44
30
89
41
notice. Taken together, these results
support that a 1-hour daily maximum
standard, with an appropriate form and
level, can provide adequate protection
against the range of health outcomes
associated with averaging times from 5minutes to 24-hours (REA, section
10.5.2.3).
The REA also considered the
possibility of a 5-minute averaging time
based solely on the controlled human
exposure evidence. However, the REA
did not favor such an approach (REA
10.5.2.3). As in past NAAQS reviews,
the stability of the design of pollution
control programs in considering the
elements of a NAAQS was considered,
since more stable programs are more
effective, and hence result in enhanced
public safety. American Trucking
Associations v. EPA, 283 F. 3d 355, 375
(DC Cir. 2002) (choice of 98th percentile
form for 24-hour PM NAAQS, which
allows a number of high exposure days
per year to escape regulation under the
NAAQS, justifiable as ‘‘promot[ing]
development of more ‘effective
[pollution] control programs’ ’’, since
such programs would otherwise be ‘‘less
‘stable’—and hence * * * less
effective—than programs designed to
address longer-term average
conditions’’, and there are other means
(viz. emergency episode plans) to
control those high exposure days). In
this review, there were concerns about
the stability of a standard using a 5minute averaging time. Specifically,
there was concern that compared to
longer averaging times (e.g., 1-hour, 24hour), year-to-year variation in 5-minute
SO2 concentrations were likely to be
substantially more temporally and
spatially diverse. Thus, it is likely that
locations would frequently shift in and
out of attainment thereby reducing
public health protection by disrupting
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250
68
32
35
92
49
58
40
119
54
85
39
44
116
61
73
50
149
68
100
200
41
23
21
52
31
35
25
67
51
81
46
41
103
62
69
51
133
101
an area’s ongoing implementation plans
and associated control programs.
Consequently, the REA concluded that a
5-minute averaging time would not
provide a stable regulatory target and
therefore would not be the preferred
approach to provide adequate public
health protection. However, as noted
above, analyses in the REA support that
a 1-hour averaging time, given an
appropriate form and level (discussed
below in sections II.F.3 and II.F.4,
respectively) can adequately limit 5minute SO2 exposures and provide a
more stable regulatory target than
setting a 5-minute standard.
b. CASAC views
CASAC agreed with the conclusions
of the policy assessment chapter of the
REA that a primary consideration of the
SO2 NAAQS should be the protection
provided against health effects
associated with short-term exposures. In
their letter to the EPA Administrator,
CASAC stated that they were ‘‘in
agreement with having a short-term
standard and finds that the REA
supports a one-hour standard as
protective of public health’’ (Samet
2009, p. 1). Furthermore, CASAC agreed
with the REA that a ‘‘one-hour standard
is the preferred averaging time’’ (Samet
2009, p.15).’’
c. Administrator’s conclusions on
averaging time
In considering the most appropriate
averaging time(s) for the SO2 primary
NAAQS, the Administrator notes the
conclusions and judgments made in the
ISA about the available scientific
evidence, conclusions from the REA,
and CASAC recommendations
discussed above. Based on these
considerations, the Administrator
proposes to set a new standard based on
1-hour daily maximum SO2
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concentrations to provide increased
protection against effects associated
with short-term (5-minutes to 24-hours)
exposures. First, the Administrator
agrees with the REA’s conclusion that
the standard should focus protection on
short-term SO2 exposures from 5minutes to 24-hours. As noted above,
CASAC’s strong recommendation
supports this approach as well. Second,
the Administrator agrees that the
standard must provide requisite
protection from 5–10 minute exposure
events (the critical issue in the previous
review), but believes (subject to
consideration of public comment) that
this can be done without having a
standard with a 5-minute averaging
time. The Administrator agrees with the
REA conclusion that it is likely a 1-hour
standard—with the appropriate form
and level—can substantially reduce 5–
10 minute peaks of SO2 shown in
controlled human exposure studies to
result in respiratory symptoms and/or
decrements in lung function in
exercising asthmatics. The
Administrator further believes that a 5minute averaging time would result in
significant and unnecessary instability
and is undesirable for that reason. The
Administrator also notes the statements
from CASAC addressing whether a onehour averaging time can adequately
control 5–10 minute peak exposures and
whether there should be a 5-minute
averaging time. CASAC stated that the
REA had presented a ‘‘convincing
rationale’’ for a one-hour standard, and
that ‘‘a 1-hour standard is the preferred
averaging time’’ (Samet 2009, p. 16).
Third, the Administrator agrees that a
one-hour averaging time (again, with the
appropriate form and level) would
provide protection against the range of
health outcomes associated with
averaging times of one hour to 24 hours.
Specifically, the Administrator finds
that a 1-hour standard can substantially
reduce the upper end of the distribution
of SO2 levels more likely to be
associated with adverse respiratory
effects; that is: (1) 99th percentile 1-hour
daily maximum air quality
concentrations in U.S. cities where
positive effect estimates in
epidemiologic studies of hospital
admissions and ED visits for all
respiratory causes and asthma were
observed; and (2) 99th percentile 24hour average air quality concentrations
found in U.S. cities where ED visit and
hospitalization studies (for all
respiratory causes and asthma) observed
statistically significant associations in
multi-pollutant models with PM.
Finally, the Administrator notes that the
proposal to establish a new 1-hour
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averaging time is in agreement with
CASAC recommendations. As noted
above, CASAC stated that they were ‘‘in
agreement with having a short-term
standard and finds that the REA
supports a one-hour standard as
protective of public health’’ (Samet,
2009, p. 1).
3. Form
When evaluating alternative forms in
conjunction with specific levels, the
REA considered the adequacy of the
public health protection provided by the
combination of level and form to be the
foremost consideration. In addition, the
REA recognized that it is important that
the standard have a form that is
reasonably stable. As just explained in
the context of a five-minute averaging
time, a standard set with a high degree
of instability could have the effect of
reducing public health protection
because shifting in and out of
attainment could disrupt an area’s
ongoing implementation plans and
associated control programs.
a. Evidence, air quality, and risk-based
considerations
As previously mentioned, the policy
chapter of the REA (chapter 10)
recognized that the adequacy of the
public health protection provided by a
1-hour daily maximum potential
alternative standard will be dependent
on the combination of form and level. It
is therefore important that the particular
form selected for a 1-hour daily
maximum potential alternative standard
reflect the nature of the health risks
posed by increasing SO2 concentrations.
That is, the REA noted that the form of
the standard should reflect results from
controlled human exposure studies
demonstrating that the percentage of
asthmatics affected, and the severity of
the respiratory response (i.e. decrements
in lung function, respiratory symptoms)
increases as SO2 concentrations
increase. Taking this into consideration,
the REA concluded that a concentrationbased form, averaged over three years, is
more appropriate than an exceedancebased form (REA, section 10.5.3). This is
because a concentration-based form
averaged over three years would give
proportionally greater weight to years
when 1-hour daily maximum SO2
concentrations are well above the level
of the standard, than to years when 1hour daily maximum SO2
concentrations are just above the level
of the standard. In contrast, an expected
exceedance form would give the same
weight to years when
1-hour daily maximum SO2
concentrations are just above the level
of the standard, as to years when 1-hour
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daily maximum SO2 concentrations are
well above the level of the standard.
Therefore, the REA concluded that a
concentration-based form, averaged over
three years (which also increases the
stability of the standard) better reflects
the continuum of health risks posed by
increasing SO2 concentrations (i.e. the
percentage of asthmatics affected and
the severity of the response increases
with increasing SO2 concentrations;
REA, section 10.5.3).
The form of the standard should also
reflect health information in the ISA
that suggests that adverse respiratory
effects are more likely to occur at the
upper end of the distribution of ambient
SO2 concentrations. Specifically, a few
studies found that the increase in SO2related respiratory health effects was
observed at the upper end of the
distribution of SO2 concentrations (ISA,
section 5.3, p. 5–9). For example, an
epidemiologic study conducted in
Bronx, NY suggested an increased risk
of asthma hospitalizations on the days
with the highest SO2 concentrations
(Lin et al., 2004). More specifically, the
authors observed an increasing linear
trend with respect to asthma
hospitalizations across the range of SO2
concentrations, with more marked
effects observed at SO2 concentrations
somewhere between the 90th and 95th
percentiles (ISA, section 4.1.2 and ISA,
Figure 4–4).
The epidemiologic evidence is
consistent with the large body of
controlled human exposure studies of
exercising asthmatics exposed to shortterm peak concentrations of SO2; these
controlled human exposure studies
provide the ‘‘definitive evidence’’ that
short term peak SO2 exposure is
associated with respiratory morbidity
(SOx ISA, Section 5.3, page 5–2). These
studies consistently found moderate or
greater decrements in lung function (i.e.
≥ 100% increase in sRaw and/or ≥ 15%
decline in FEV1)22 and/or respiratory
symptoms in exercising asthmatics
following 5–10 minute peak exposures
to SO2. Moreover, as noted in the
discussion on averaging time (section
II.F.2), when discussing the possible
relationship between effects observed in
controlled human exposure studies and
associations reported in epidemiologic
analyses, the ISA stated with respect to
epidemiologic studies of respiratory
symptoms: ‘‘it is possible that these
associations are determined in large part
by peak exposures within a 24-hour
period’’ (ISA, section 5.2 at p. 5–5).
Similarly, the ISA stated that: ‘‘the
effects of SO2 on respiratory symptoms,
22 See section II.B.1.b above explaining sRaw and
FEV1.
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lung function, and airway inflammation
observed in the human clinical studies
using peak exposures further provides a
basis for a progression of respiratory
morbidity resulting in increased ED
visits and hospital admissions’’ and
makes the associations observed in the
epidemiologic studies ‘‘biologica[lly]
plausib[le]’’ (ISA, section 5.2 at p. 5–5).
Thus, both the epidemiologic and
controlled human exposure evidence
suggests that the form of the standard
should be focused on limiting peak SO2
exposures.
In considering specific concentrationbased forms, the REA recognized the
importance of: (1) Minimizing the
number of days per year that an area
could exceed the level of the standard
and still attain the standard and thus,
limiting the upper end of the
distribution of SO2 levels most likely
associated with adverse respiratory
effects (2) limiting the prevalence of
5-minute peaks of SO2; and (3)
providing a stable regulatory target to
prevent areas from frequently shifting in
and out of attainment. The REA focused
on 98th and 99th percentile forms
averaged over 3 years. The REA first
noted that in most locations analyzed,
the 99th percentile form of a 1-hour
daily maximum standard would
correspond to the 4th highest daily
maximum concentration in a year, while
a 98th percentile form would
correspond approximately to the 7th to
8th highest daily maximum
concentration in a year (REA,
Table 10–5 and Thompson, 2009). In
addition, results from the REA air
quality analysis suggested that at a given
SO2 standard level, a 99th percentile
form is appreciably more effective at
limiting 5-minute peak SO2
concentrations than a 98th percentile
form (REA, section 10.5.3 and REA,
Figures 7–27 and 7–28). For example,
the REA reported that compared to the
same standard with a 99th percentile
form, a 98th percentile 1-hour daily
maximum standard set at a level of 100
ppb allows for on average, an estimated
90 and 74% more days per year when
SO2 concentrations would likely exceed
the 200 and 400 ppb benchmark values
respectively (REA, section 10.5.3 and
REA, Figure 7–28). Moreover, in the
counties selected for analysis in the
REA air quality assessment, the
estimated number of benchmark
exceedances using a 98th percentile 1hour daily maximum standard set at a
level of 200 ppb was similar to the
corresponding 99th percentile standard
set at a level of 250 ppb (REA, section
10.5.3 and REA, Tables 7–11 through 7–
14). Similarly, the estimated number of
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benchmark exceedances considering a
98th percentile standard set at a level of
100 ppb fell within the range of
benchmark exceedances estimated for
99th percentile standards set at levels of
100 and 150 ppb (id.).
As an additional matter, the REA
compared trends in 98th and 99th
percentile design values, as well as
design values based on the 4th highest
daily maximum from 54 sites located in
the 40 counties selected for the detailed
air quality analysis (REA section 10.5.3
and Thompson, 2009). These results
suggested that at the vast majority of
sites, there would have been similar
changes in 98th and 99th percentile
design values over the last ten years (i.e.
based evaluating overlapping three year
intervals over the last ten years; see
REA, Figure 10–1 and Thompson, 2009).
These results also demonstrated that
design values based on the 4th highest
daily maximum are virtually
indistinguishable from design values
based on the 99th percentile (REA,
Figure 10–1 and Thompson, 2009). As
part of this analysis, all of the design
values over this ten year period for all
54 sites were aggregated and the
standard deviation calculated (REA,
Figure 10–2 and Thompson, 2009).
Results demonstrated similar standard
deviations—i.e. similar stability—based
on aggregated 98th or aggregated 99th
percentile design values over the ten
year period (see REA, Figure 10–2 and
Thompson 2009).
Considering the evidence and air
quality analyses presented above, the
REA concluded that a concentrationbased form provides the best protection
against the health risks posed by
increasing SO2 concentrations (REA,
section 10.5.3). Moreover, the REA
found that at a given standard level, a
99th percentile or 4th highest daily
maximum form provides appreciably
more public health protection against
5-minute peaks than a 98th percentile or
7th—8th highest daily maximum form
(REA, section 10.5.3). In addition, over
the last 10 years and for the vast
majority of the sites examined, there
appears to be little difference in 98th
and 99th percentile design value
stability (REA, section 10.5.3). Thus, the
REA ultimately concluded that
consideration should be given primarily
to a 1-hour daily maximum standard
with a 99th percentile or 4th highest
daily maximum form (REA, section
10.5.3.3).
b. CASAC views
CASAC agreed with the importance of
considering the public health protection
provided by the combination of form
and level. Moreover, CASAC was in
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general agreement with the forms being
considered. In a letter to the
Administrator, CASAC stated: ‘‘there is
adequate information to justify the use
of a concentration-based form averaged
over 3 years’’ (Samet 2009, p. 16).
Moreover, when considering 98th vs.
99th percentile forms, CASAC
encouraged EPA to consider analyses in
the REA (and perhaps additional
analyses) with respect to the number of
days per year 98th vs. 99th percentile
forms would allow SO2 concentrations
to exceed the selected level. CASAC
also encouraged EPA to consider
analyses such as those presented above
with respect to the number exceedences
of 5-minute benchmarks given 98th vs.
99th percentile forms at a given
standard level (Samet 2009).
c. Administrator’s conclusions on form
When considering alternative forms,
the Administrator notes and agrees with
the views expressed in the REA and the
recommendations from CASAC, as
described above. In particular, she
agrees that the standard should use a
concentration-based form averaged over
three years in order to give due weight
to years when 1-hour SO2
concentrations are well above the level
of the standard, than to years when
1-hour SO2 concentrations are just
above the level of the standard. The
Administrator agrees further, for the
reasons given above, that a 99th
percentile (or 4th highest) form could be
appreciably more protective than a 98th
(or 7th or 8th highest) form, and thus,
should be utilized. Given these
considerations, and in light of the
specific range proposed for level below,
the Administrator proposes to adopt
either a 99th percentile or a 4th highest
form, averaged over 3 years.
4. Level
In assessing the level of a one-hour
standard with either a 99th percentile or
4th highest average form (averaged over
three years in either case) to propose,
the Administrator has considered the
broad range of scientific evidence
assessed in the ISA, including the
epidemiologic studies and controlled
human exposure studies, as well as the
results of air quality, exposure, and risk
analyses presented in the REA. In light
of this body of evidence and analyses,
the Administrator reiterates that it is
necessary to provide increased public
health protection for at-risk populations
against an array of adverse respiratory
health effects related to short-term (i.e.,
5 minutes to 24 hours) exposures to
ambient SO2. In considering the most
appropriate way to provide this
protection, the Administrator is mindful
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of the extent to which the available
evidence and analyses can inform a
decision on the level of a standard.
Specifically, the range of proposed
standard levels discussed below is
informed by epidemiologic and
controlled human exposure studies.
a. Evidence-based considerations
Evidence-based considerations take
into account the full body of scientific
evidence assessed in the ISA. When
considering the extent to which this
scientific evidence can inform a
decision on the level of a 1-hour
standard, it is important to note that SO2
concentrations represent different
measures of exposure when drawn from
experimental versus epidemiologic
studies. Concentrations of SO2 tested in
experimental studies, such as controlled
human exposure studies, represent
exposure concentrations in the
breathing zone of the individual test
subjects. In cases where controlled
human exposure studies report effects,
those effects are caused directly by
exposure to a specified concentration of
SO2. In contrast, concentrations of SO2
drawn from epidemiologic studies are
often based on ambient monitoring data.
SO2 concentrations recorded at these
ambient monitors are used as surrogates
for the distribution of SO2 exposures
across the study area and over the time
period of the study.
Since the last review, there have been
more than 50 peer reviewed
epidemiologic studies published
worldwide dealing with SO2 exposure
and effects (see ISA Tables 5–4 and
5–5). Overall, the ISA concluded that
these studies provide evidence of an
association between ambient SO2
concentrations and respiratory
symptoms, as well as ED visits and
hospitalizations for all respiratory
causes and asthma (ISA, section 3.1.4).
Moreover, the ISA indicates that many
of these epidemiologic studies have
reported that children and older adults
may be at increased risk for SO2associated adverse respiratory effects
(ISA, section 5.2). In assessing the
extent to which these studies and their
associated air quality information can
inform the level of a new 99th
percentile (see sections II.F.2 and II.F.3)
1-hour daily maximum standard for the
U.S., the REA considered U.S. and
Canadian air quality information to be
most relevant. EPA sent a request to the
authors of U.S. and Canadian
epidemiologic studies (studies were
identified from Tables 5–4 and 5–5 of
the ISA) for 99th (and 98th) percentile
1-hour daily maximum SO2
concentrations from the monitor
recording the highest SO2 level in the
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location and time period corresponding
to their studies (see Thompson and
Stewart (2009)). Air quality information
was received from authors of both U.S.
and Canadian studies; however, as
noted in the REA (REA, section 5.5),
SO2 concentrations reported for
Canadian studies are not directly
comparable to those reported for studies
in the U.S. because SO2 levels reported
for Canadian analyses represent the
average 1-hour daily maximum level
across multiple monitors in a given city
(see REA Figure 5–5), rather than the
concentration from the single monitor
that recorded the highest SO2
concentration (see Thompson and
Stewart, 2009). Thus, the REA noted
that SO2 concentrations associated with
Canadian studies would be relatively
lower (potentially significantly lower)
than those levels presented for U.S.
epidemiologic studies, and therefore the
REA focused on 99th percentile air
quality information from U.S. studies
for informing potential 1-hour standard
levels.
Figures 1 to 4 present 99th (and 98th)
percentile 1-hour daily maximum SO2
concentrations from ten U.S.
epidemiologic studies (some of which
were conducted in multiple cities) of ED
visits and hospital admissions 23
(Figures 5–1 to 5–4 in the REA). The
REA noted that this information
provides evidence for effects in cities
with particular 99th percentile 1-hour
SO2 levels, and hence, was of particular
relevance for identifying standard levels
that could protect against the SO2
concentrations observed in these
studies. The air quality information
presented in these figures generally
shows that positive associations
between ambient SO2 concentrations
and ED visit and hospitalizations have
been reported in cities where 99th
percentile 1-hour daily maximum SO2
concentrations ranged from
approximately 50–460 ppb. More
specifically, seven of these studies were
in cities where 99th percentile 1-hour
daily maximum SO2 concentrations
ranged from approximately 75–150 ppb.
Among these epidemiologic studies in
the range of 75–150 ppb, there is a
cluster of three studies reporting
statistically significant results in multipollutant models with PM. Specifically,
23 In some cases, U.S. authors provided the AQS
monitor IDs used in their studies and the statistics
from the highest reporting monitor were calculated
by EPA. In cases where U.S. authors were unable
to provide the requested data (Schwartz 1995,
Schwartz 1996, and Jaffe 2003), EPA identified the
maximum reporting monitor from all monitors
located in the study area and calculated the 98th
and 99th percentile statistics (see Thompson and
Stewart 2009). Results presented from study
locations for which effect estimates were reported.
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in epidemiologic studies conducted in
the Bronx, NY (NYDOH 2006), and in
NYC, NY (Ito et al., 2007), the SO2 effect
estimate remained positive and
statistically significant in multipollutant models with PM2.5 in these
locations when 99th percentile 1-hour
daily maximum SO2 levels were 78 and
82 ppb respectively. (ISA, Table 5–5).
Moreover, in an epidemiologic study
conducted in New Haven, CT (Schwartz
et al., 1995), the SO2 effect estimate
remained positive and statistically
significant in a multi-pollutant model
with PM10 in this location when the
99th percentile 1-hour daily maximum
SO2 concentration was 150 ppb. The
REA noted that although statistical
significance in co-pollutant models is an
important consideration, it is not
necessary for appropriate consideration
of and reliance on such epidemiologic
evidence.24 However, as noted earlier,
there is special sensitivity in this review
in disentangling PM-related effects
(especially sulfate PM) from SO2-related
effects in interpreting the epidemiologic
studies; thus, these studies are of
particular relevance here, lending strong
support both to the conclusion that SO2
effects are generally independent of PM
(ISA, section 5.2) and that these
independent adverse effects of SO2 have
occurred in cities with 1-hour daily
maximum, 99th percentile
concentrations in the range of 78–150
ppb.
In addition to the study locations
where SO2 concentrations ranged from
75–150 ppb, the REA noted that two
epidemiologic studies included cities
reporting positive associations between
ambient SO2 levels and ED visits when
99th percentile 1-hour daily maximum
SO2 concentrations were approximately
50 ppb (Wilson et al., (2005) in
Portland, ME and Jaffe et al., (2003) in
Columbus, OH). These studies reported
generally positive and sometimes
statistically significant results using
single pollutant models (Figures 1 and
2), and did not evaluate potential
confounding through the use of multipollutant models. Nonetheless, these
studies provide limited evidence of an
association between ED visits and 99th
percentile 1-hour daily maximum SO2
concentrations in locations where SO2
levels were approximately 50 ppb.
Finally, the REA noted that studies
24 For example, evidence of a pattern of results
from a group of studies that find effect estimates
similar in direction and magnitude would warrant
consideration of and reliance on such studies even
if the studies did not all report statistically
significant associations in single- or multi-pollutant
models. The SO2 epidemiologic studies fit this
pattern, and are buttressed further by the results of
the clinical studies. ISA, section 5.2.
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conducted in Cleveland and Cincinnati,
OH (Schwartz et al. 1996 and Jaffe et al.
2003) reported positive associations
between ambient SO2 levels and ED
visits and hospital admissions when
99th percentile 1-hour daily maximum
SO2 concentrations in these cities
ranged from 170–457 ppb (REA, section
5.5). The REA found the SO2 level in
Cincinnati (Jaffe et al., 2003; REA
section 5.5) to be of particular concern.
The 99th percentile 1-hour daily
maximum SO2 level in Cincinnati was
> 400 ppb (Figure 2), which in
5–10 minute controlled human
exposure studies, was an SO2
concentration range consistently shown
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to result in clearly adverse health effects
in exercising asthmatics (i.e.,
decrements in lung function
accompanied by respiratory symptoms).
Taken together, the epidemiologic
evidence described above suggests that
standard levels at and below 75 ppb
should be considered to limit SO2
concentrations such that the upper end
of the distribution of daily maximum
hourly concentrations would likely be
below that observed in most of these
U.S. studies. Notably, a standard at or
below 75 ppb would be lower than the
SO2 air quality levels found in the
cluster of three epidemiologic studies
finding statistically significant effects in
multi-pollutant models with PM (i.e.,
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99th percentile 1-hour daily maximum
SO2 concentrations ≥ 78 ppb). Moreover,
standard levels at or below 75 ppb
recognize the limited evidence from two
epidemiologic studies reporting mostly
positive and sometimes statistically
significant associations in single
pollutant models when 99th percentile
1-hour daily maximum SO2
concentrations were approximately 50
ppb (Wilson et al., (2005) in Portland,
ME and Jaffe et al., (2003) in Columbus,
OH; see Figures 1 and 2). Judgments
about the weight to place on
uncertainties inherent in such studies
should also inform selection of a
specific standard level.
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The REA also considered findings
from controlled human exposure studies
when evaluating potential alternative
standard levels. The ISA found that the
most consistent evidence of decrements
in lung function and/or respiratory
symptoms was from controlled human
exposure studies exposing exercising
asthmatics to SO2 concentrations ≥ 400
ppb for 5–10 minute durations (ISA,
section 3.1.3.5). As previously
mentioned, at SO2 concentrations
ranging from 400–600 ppb, moderate or
greater decrements in lung function
occur in approximately 20–60% of
exercising asthmatics, and compared to
exposures at 200–300 ppb, a larger
percentage of subjects experience severe
decrements in lung function. Moreover,
at concentrations ≥ 400 ppb, decrements
in lung function are often statistically
significant at the group mean level, and
are frequently accompanied by
respiratory symptoms (ISA, Table 5–1).
Controlled human exposure studies
have also demonstrated decrements in
lung function in exercising asthmatics
25 There were no U.S. hospitalization studies with
1-hour effect estimates identified in Table 5–5 of
the ISA.
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following 5–10 minute SO2 exposures
starting as low as 200–300 ppb in freebreathing chamber studies. At
concentrations ranging from 200–300
ppb, the lowest levels tested in free
breathing chamber studies,
approximately 5–30% percent of
exercising asthmatics are likely to
experience moderate or greater
decrements in lung function in these
studies. Moreover, although these
individuals experienced lung function
decrements, they were not frequently
accompanied by respiratory symptoms
and at these SO2 concentrations, group
mean changes in lung function have not
been shown to be statistically
significant. However, the ISA and REA
noted that for evident ethical reasons,
the subjects participating in the
controlled human exposure studies
described above do not include the most
severe asthmatics. Thus, the REA found
it is reasonable to anticipate that
individuals who are more sensitive to
SO2 would have a greater response at
200–300 ppb SO2, and/or would
respond to SO2 concentrations even
lower than 200 ppb (REA, section
10.5.4). Similarly, the REA noted that
there is no evidence to suggest that 200
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ppb represents a threshold below which
no adverse respiratory effects occur
(REA, section 10.5.4). In fact, limited
evidence from two mouthpiece
exposure studies suggests that exposure
to 100 ppb SO2 can result in small
decrements in lung function.26
Considering the controlled human
exposure evidence presented above, the
ISA concluded that as SO2
concentrations increase the percentage
of asthmatics affected increases as does
the severity of the response. Moreover,
as previously noted, effects associated
with SO2 concentrations ≥ 400 ppb are
clearly considered adverse effects of air
pollution under ATS guidelines, while
effects at 200–300 ppb were considered
adverse in the REA based on
interpretation of ATS guidelines,
CASAC recommendations, and previous
conclusions from comparable situations
in other NAAQS reviews (see section
II.B.1.c). Taken together, the REA
concluded that the level of a new 99th
percentile 1-hour daily maximum
26 Although not directly comparable to freebreathing chamber studies, findings from these
mouthpiece studies may be particularly relevant to
those asthmatics who breathe oronasally even at
rest (EPA, 1994b).
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standard should provide substantial
protection against SO2 concentrations
≥ 400 ppb, and appreciable protection
against 5-minute SO2 concentrations
≥ 200 ppb (REA, section 10.5.4).
b. Air quality, exposure and risk-based
considerations
In evaluating the extent to which 99th
percentile 1-hour daily maximum
alternative standard levels limit 5minute SO2 concentrations ≥ 400 and
≥ 200 ppb, the REA first considered key
results of the air quality analysis. As
previously noted, the results generated
from the air quality analysis were from
40 counties and considered a broad
characterization of national air quality
and human exposures that might be
associated with these 5-minute SO2
concentrations (see section II.C).
However, there is uncertainty associated
with the assumption that SO2 air quality
measured at fixed site monitors can
serve as an adequate surrogate for total
exposure to ambient SO2. Actual
exposures might be influenced by
factors not considered in this analysis
including small scale spatial variability
in ambient SO2 concentrations (which
might not be captured by the network of
fixed-site ambient monitors) and
spatial/temporal variability in human
activity patterns.
Table 2 reports the maximum mean
number of days per year 5-minute daily
maximum SO2 levels would be expected
to exceed a given 5-minute potential
health effect benchmark level in any of
the 40 counties included in the air
quality analysis, given air quality
simulated to just meet the current, and
potential alternative 99th percentile 1hour daily maximum standards
analyzed in the REA. In addition,
although not directly analyzed in the
REA, these tables include air quality
results given a 99th percentile 1-hour
daily maximum standard at 75 ppb; this
concentration was included in these
tables because as mentioned above, the
epidemiologic evidence suggested
consideration of a standard level at or
below 75 ppb.27 Table 2 shows that at
standard levels ranging from 50–100
ppb, there would be at most two days
per year when statistically estimated 5minute SO2 concentrations in these
counties exceed the 400 ppb
benchmark, while at standard levels of
150 ppb and above there is a marked
increase in the maximum number of
days per year the 400 ppb benchmark is
exceeded. Similar trends are seen with
respect to the 300 ppb benchmark level.
With respect to the 200 and 100 ppb
benchmarks, the 50 ppb standard is
clearly the most effective at limiting
these 5-minute SO2 concentrations.
However, compared to standards at 150
ppb and above, standards in the range
of 75–100 ppb would allow
considerably less exceedence of the 200
and 100 ppb benchmarks. Additional
and more detailed results from the air
quality analysis can be found in chapter
7 of the REA.
TABLE 2—MAXIMUM MEAN NUMBER OF DAYS PER YEAR IN ANY OF THE COUNTIES INCLUDED IN THE AIR QUALITY ANALYSIS WHEN 5-MINUTE DAILY MAXIMUM SO2 CONCENTRATIONS EXCEED THE 100, 200, 300, AND 400 PPB POTENTIAL
HEALTH EFFECT BENCHMARK VALUES GIVEN AIR QUALITY ADJUSTED TO JUST MEET THE CURRENT STANDARDS, OR
ALTERNATIVE 99TH PERCENTILE 1-HOUR DAILY MAXIMUM STANDARDS
Air quality scenarios
Exposure benchmarks (5-minute
exposures)
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400
300
200
100
ppb
ppb
ppb
ppb
Just meeting current
standards
....................................................
....................................................
....................................................
....................................................
99th percentile 1-hour daily maximum standards
50 ppb
102
130
171
234
75 ppb
0
0
2
13
100 ppb
(0–2)
(0–5)
(2–13)
(13–43)
150 ppb
2
5
13
43
7
13
24
93
200 ppb
13
20
42
133
250 ppb
18
27
69
180
While the air quality analysis results
presented in Table 2 used estimated 5minute SO2 concentrations as a
surrogate for exposure, the results from
the exposure analysis considered the
likelihood that an asthmatic at elevated
ventilation rate would come into contact
with a 5-minute SO2 concentration at or
above a given benchmark level one or
more times per year. As previously
noted, this resource intensive analysis
was performed for St. Louis and Greene
County, MO, but results from the St.
Louis analysis were found to be more
informative with respect to informing
standard levels given that the St. Louis
results: (1) Suggested that the current
standards were not adequate to protect
public health; and (2) likely provide
useful insights into exposures and risk
for other urban areas in the U.S. with
similar population and SO2 emissions
density (i.e., areas where SO2 exposures
are more likely).
Table 3 reports the estimated percent
of asthmatic children at moderate or
greater exertion in St. Louis, that would
be expected to experience at least one
SO2 exposure per year, at or above a
health effect benchmark level in
scenarios in which air quality was
adjusted to meet the current, and
alternative 99th percentile 1-hour daily
maximum standards. This analysis
estimates that standard levels ranging
from 50–100 ppb would protect > 99%
of asthmatic children, at moderate or
greater exertion, from experiencing at
least one SO2 exposure ≥ 400 ppb per
year.28 Similarly, a standard at 150 ppb
is estimated to protect ∼ 99% of
asthmatic children at moderate or
greater exertion from experiencing at
least one SO2 exposure ≥ 400 ppb.
Compared to standards ranging from
50–150 ppb, standards at 200 and 250
ppb are estimated to allow appreciably
more exposures ≥ 400 ppb (Table 3).
With respect to the 300 ppb benchmark,
standards at 50, 75, and 100 ppb
provide similar protection, while there
is a marked increase in exposures of
asthmatic children at moderate or
greater exertion at standard levels ≥ 150
ppb (Table 3). Considering the 200 ppb
benchmark level, it is estimated that 1hour standard levels ranging from 50–
100 ppb limit 5-minute SO2 exposures
≥ 200 ppb considerably more than 1hour standard levels ≥ 150 ppb. More
27 Air quality, exposure, and risk numbers
reported in Chapter 10 of the REA for a 75 ppb
standard were bound by the estimates from air
quality adjusted to just meet 99th percentile 1-hour
daily maximum standards at 50 and 100 ppb.
28 Table 3 reports that given a 99th percentile 1hour daily maximum standard in the range of 50–
100 ppb, < 1% of asthmatic children at moderate or
greater exertion would be estimated to experience
an SO2 exposure ≥ 400 ppb, hence it can be stated
that this range of levels would protect > 99% of
asthmatic children at moderate or greater exertion
from experiencing at least one SO2 exposure ≥ 400
ppb per year.
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specifically, standards in the range of
50–100 ppb are estimated to protect
approximately 97 to > 99% of asthmatic
children at moderate or greater exertion
from experiencing at least one 5-minute
exposure ≥ 200 ppb per year, while
standards ranging from 150–250 ppb are
estimated to protect approximately 60 to
88% of these children from
experiencing at least one 5-minute SO2
exposure ≥ 200 ppb per year. Finally,
similar to the air quality analysis, a
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standard at 50 ppb is clearly most
effective at limiting 5-minute SO2
exposures ≥ 100 ppb. Additional and
more detailed results from the exposure
assessment can be found in chapter 8 of
the REA.
TABLE 3—ESTIMATED PERCENT OF ASTHMATIC CHILDREN IN ST. LOUIS AT MODERATE OR GREATER EXERTION EXPECTED
TO EXPERIENCE AT LEAST ONE 5-MINUTE EXPOSURE ABOVE THE 100, 200, 300, AND 400 PPB POTENTIAL HEALTH
EFFECT BENCHMARK LEVELS GIVEN AIR QUALITY ADJUSTED TO JUST MEET THE CURRENT STANDARDS, OR ALTERNATIVE 99TH PERCENTILE 1-HOUR DAILY MAXIMUM STANDARDS
Air quality scenarios
Exposure benchmarks
(5-minute exposures)
400
300
200
100
ppb
ppb
ppb
ppb
Just meeting current
standards
...........................................
...........................................
...........................................
...........................................
99th Percentile 1-hour daily maximum standards
50 ppb
24%
43.8%
73.1%
96.7%
In evaluating the extent to which
alternative standard levels provide
protection against the health effects
associated with 5-minute SO2
exposures, the REA also considered key
results from the quantitative risk
assessment (REA, chapter 9). Table 4
presents the percent of exposed
asthmatic children at moderate or
greater exertion in St. Louis expected to
75 ppb
< 1%
< 1%
< 1%
2.7%
100 ppb
< 1% ...................
< 1% ...................
(∼1 to 2.7%) .......
(2.7 to 24.5%) ....
< 1%
< 1%
2.7%
24.5%
experience at least one moderate or
greater lung function response per year,
in terms of sRaw, given the 99th
percentile 1-hour daily maximum
standards analyzed in the REA. Results
presented in Table 4 show that standard
levels in the range of 100 to 150 ppb
would generally be expected to protect
approximately 95 to 98% of exposed
asthmatic children at moderate or
150 ppb
∼1%
2.7%
11.6%
54.5%
200 ppb
2.7%
8%
24.5%
73.6%
250 ppb
6.3%
16%
40%
84.8%
greater exertion from experiencing at
least one ≥ 100% increase in sRaw per
year, while standards around and below
75 ppb would be estimated to provide
exposed asthmatic children with
protection approaching 99% or greater.
Additional and more detailed risk
analyses can be found in chapter 9 of
the REA.
TABLE 4—ESTIMATED PERCENT OF ASTHMATIC CHILDREN IN ST. LOUIS AT MODERATE OR GREATER EXERTION EXPECTED
TO EXPERIENCE A ≥ 100% INCREASE IN SRAW GIVEN AIR QUALITY ADJUSTED TO JUST MEET EITHER THE CURRENT
STANDARDS, OR ALTERNATIVE 99TH PERCENTILE 1-HOUR DAILY MAXIMUM STANDARDS
Air quality scenarios
99th Percentile 1-hour daily maximum standards
Just meeting current standards
50 ppb
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19.1–19.2% ......................................................................
c. Observations based on evidence and
risk-based considerations
The policy assessment chapter of the
REA considered the scientific evidence
and the air quality, exposure, and risk
information as they relate to considering
alternative 1-hour SO2 standards that
could be judged to be requisite to
protect public health with an adequate
margin of safety. This evidence and
information supports the following
conclusions:
• Given the U.S. epidemiologic
evidence and their associated air quality
levels (see Figures 1–4), 99th percentile
1-hour standard levels at and below 75
ppb should be considered to limit SO2
concentrations such that the upper end
of the distribution of daily maximum
hourly concentrations would likely be
below that observed in most of the U.S.
studies. Judgments about the weight to
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0.4–0.9%
75 ppb
100 ppb
(0.4–2.9%)
2.1–2.9%
place on uncertainties inherent in such
studies should also inform selection of
a specific standard level.
• Based on the air quality and
exposure results, 1-hour standard levels
in the range of 50–100 ppb should be
considered to substantially limit 5minute SO2 concentrations ≥ 400 ppb
and appreciably limit 5-minute SO2
concentrations ≥ 200 ppb.
• Based on the air quality and
exposure results, compared to a 1-hour
standard in the range of 50–100 ppb, a
1-hour standard level at 150 ppb would
be expected similarly limit 5-minute
SO2 concentrations ≥ 400 ppb, but
would limit 5-minute SO2
concentrations ≥ 200 ppb considerably
less.
• If relatively more weight is placed
on certain types of uncertainties in the
epidemiologic and controlled human
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150 ppb
4.6–5.4%
200 ppb
7.4–8.1%
250 ppb
10.4–10.9%
exposure evidence, levels up to 150 ppb
could be considered, recognizing the
questions as to the adequacy of
protection that would be raised by
levels at the higher end of this range.
• Placing relatively more weight on
the consideration that participants in
controlled human exposure studies do
not include the most severe asthmatics
would add support to considering
standard levels down to 50 ppb.
d. CASAC views
CASAC expressed their views on
potential levels for a standard in a letter
to the EPA Administrator (Samet, 2009)
within the context of their review of the
2nd draft REA, which also contained the
draft policy assessment chapter. In
drawing conclusions regarding the level
of a short-term standard, CASAC
considered the scientific evidence
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evaluated in the ISA, the air quality,
exposure, and risk results presented in
the 2nd draft REA, and the evidenceand risk-based considerations presented
in the policy assessment chapter of the
2nd draft REA. CASAC concurred with
the conclusion from the policy
assessment chapter for a range of
standard levels beginning at 50 ppb:
‘‘[that chapter 10] clearly provides
sufficient rationale for the range of
levels beginning at a lower limit of 50
ppb’’ (Samet 2009, p. 16). For instance,
CASAC has previously indicated that
EPA should consider in its analyses the
uncertainty that asthmatics participating
in controlled human exposure studies
do not represent the most SO2 sensitive
asthmatics (Henderson 2008 p. 6). With
respect to the upper end of the range,
CASAC stated, ‘‘an upper limit of 150
ppb posited in Chapter 10 could be
justified under some interpretations of
weight of evidence, uncertainties, and
policy choices regarding margin of
safety,’’ (Samet 2009, p. 16) although the
letter did not provide any indication of
what interpretations, uncertainties, or
policy choices might support selection
of a level as high as 150 ppb. Further,
CASAC stated that ‘‘the draft REA
appropriately implies that levels greater
than 150 ppb are not adequately
supported’’ (id). Moreover, CASAC
stated that: ‘‘the panel agrees that the
posited range of 50 to 150 ppb and the
exposition of factors to consider when
comparing values within the range are
appropriately conveyed (Samet 2009, p.
16).’’
e. Administrator’s conclusions on level
for a 1-hour standard
As discussed above, in sections II.F.2
and II.F.3, the Administrator has
proposed setting a 1-hour standard with
a 99th percentile form. For the reasons
discussed below, the Administrator
proposes to set a level for a new 99th
percentile 1-hour daily maximum
primary SO2 standard within the range
from 50 to 100 ppb. In reaching this
proposed decision, the Administrator
has considered: (1) The evidence-based
considerations from the final ISA and
the final REA; (2) the results of the air
quality, exposure, and risk assessments
discussed above and in the final REA;
(3) CASAC advice and
recommendations on both the ISA and
REA discussed above and provided in
CASAC’s letters to the Administrator;
and (4) public comments received on
the first and second drafts of the ISA
and REA. In considering what level of
a 1-hour SO2 standard is requisite to
protect public health with an adequate
margin of safety, the Administrator is
mindful that this choice requires
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judgments based on an interpretation of
the evidence and other information that
neither overstates nor understates the
strength and limitations of that evidence
and information.
The Administrator notes that the most
direct evidence of respiratory effects
from exposure to SO2 comes from the
controlled human exposure studies.
These studies exposed groups of
exercising asthmatics to defined
concentrations of SO2 for 5–10 minutes
and found adverse respiratory effects.
As discussed above, SO2 exposure levels
which resulted in respiratory effects in
controlled human exposure studies
were used in the REA as 5-minute
benchmark exposures of potential
concern. With respect to these 5-minute
benchmarks, the Administrator focused
on exceedences of the 400 and 200 ppb
benchmarks. She notes that under ATS
guidelines (ATS 1985, 2000) exposure to
5–10 minute SO2 concentrations ≥ 400
ppb results in health effects which are
clearly adverse: moderate or greater
decrements in lung function (in terms of
FEV1 or sRaw 29) that are frequently
accompanied by respiratory
symptoms.30
The Administrator also focused on
exceedences of the 200 ppb benchmark,
the lowest SO2 concentration tested in
free-breathing chamber studies. In these
studies, moderate or greater decrements
in lung function occurred in
approximately 5 to 30% of exercising
asthmatics, depending on the study. The
Administrator further notes that while
concentrations as low as 200 ppb have
not been frequently accompanied by
respiratory symptoms, she considers
these effects to be adverse in light of
CASAC advice and ATS guidelines. The
REA concluded that these controlled
human exposure studies could
reasonably be interpreted to indicate an
SO2-induced shift in lung function for
this population of asthmatics (REA,
section 4.3), such that asthmatics would
have diminished reserve lung function
and would be at greater risk if affected
by another respiratory agent (e.g., viral
infection). Importantly, diminished
reserve lung function in a population
29 Decreases of 10–20% in FEV (forced
1
expiratory volume) and/or 100–200% increases in
sRaw (specific airway resistance) are defined as
moderate decrements in lung function.
30 The ISA concluded that collective evidence
from controlled human exposure studies considered
in the previous review, along with a limited number
of new controlled human exposure studies,
consistently indicates that with elevated ventilation
rates a large percentage of asthmatic individuals
tested in a given chamber study (up to 60%,
depending on the study) experience moderate or
greater decrements in lung function, frequently
accompanied by respiratory symptoms, following
peak exposures to SO2 at concentrations of 0.4–0.6
ppm. (ISA, p 3–9).
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that is attributable to air pollution is an
adverse effect under ATS guidelines as
discussed in section II.B.1.c.
As discussed below, the
Administrator also considered the
results of the air quality, exposure, and
risk analyses, as they serve to estimate
the extent to which a given 1-hour
standard limits peaks of SO2 above the
5-minute benchmark concentrations
derived from controlled human
exposure studies. In considering these
results as they relate to limiting 5minute SO2 concentrations ≥ 400 ppb
and ≥ 200 ppb, and being mindful that
more severe effects occur following 5minute SO2 exposures ≥ 400 ppb, the
Administrator finds the most support
for 99th percentile 1-hour daily
maximum standard levels up to 100 ppb
to protect against 5-minute SO2
exposures ≥ 200 ppb. She notes that the
40-county air quality analysis estimates
that a 100 ppb 1-hour standard would
allow at most 2 days per year on average
when estimated 5-minute daily
maximum SO2 concentrations exceed
the 400 ppb benchmark, and at most 13
days per year on average when 5-minute
SO2 concentrations exceed the 200 ppb
benchmark (Table 2). Furthermore,
given a simulated 1-hour 100 ppb
standard level, most counties in the air
quality analysis were estimated to
experience 0 days per year on average
when 5-minute SO2 concentrations
exceed the 400 ppb benchmark and ≤ 3
days per year on average when 5-minute
SO2 concentrations were estimated to
exceed the 200 ppb benchmark (see
REA, Tables 7–14 and 7–12).
In addition, the St. Louis exposure
analysis estimates that a 99th percentile
1-hour standard at a level of 100 ppb
would likely protect > 99% of asthmatic
children at moderate or greater exertion
from experiencing at least one 5-minute
exposure ≥ 400 ppb per year, and
approximately 97% of asthmatic
children at moderate or greater exertion
from experiencing at least one exposure
≥ 200 ppb per year. In contrast, the
Administrator notes that the St. Louis
exposure analysis estimates a 99th
percentile 1-hour daily maximum
standard at a level of 150 ppb would
likely protect only about 88% of
asthmatic children at moderate or
greater exertion from experiencing at
least one 5-minute exposure ≥ 200 ppb
per year. Finally, the Administrator
notes that the St. Louis risk assessment
estimates that a 99th percentile 1-hour
standard level at 100 ppb would likely
protect about 97–98% of exposed
asthmatic children from experiencing at
least one moderate or greater lung
function response (defined as a ≥ 100%
increase in sRaw). Based on these
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considerations, she concludes that there
is support for a 99th percentile 1-hour
daily maximum standard level at or
below 100 ppb to appreciably limit 5minute exposures to SO2 above the 200
ppb benchmark level.
Turning to the epidemiologic
evidence, the Administrator notes that
epidemiologic studies have reported
associations between more serious
health outcomes (i.e. respiratory-related
ED visits and hospitalizations) and
ambient SO2 concentrations. Unlike the
controlled human exposure studies
however, results from epidemiologic
studies can be complicated by the fact
that SO2 is but one component of a
complex mixture of pollutants in the
ambient air. This uncertainty is
addressed by the ISA which concluded
that the limited available evidence
indicates that the effect of SO2 on
respiratory health outcomes appears to
be generally robust and independent of
the effects of gaseous co-pollutants,
including NO2 and O3, as well as
particulate co-pollutants, particularly
PM2.5 (ISA, section 5.2; p. 5–9).
The Administrator also notes that in
general, associations reported in
epidemiologic analyses are not
associated with a defined exposure level
of a pollutant (unlike the controlled
human exposure studies), but represent
concentrations of a pollutant taken from
ambient monitoring data during the
study period. These concentrations are
used as surrogates for the distribution of
pollutant exposures across the study
area over the time period of the study.
This introduces a degree of uncertainty
in the interpretation of epidemiologic
results in that it can be difficult to
discern what part of the distribution of
pollutant levels are likely most linked to
the associations reported in
epidemiologic analyses.
With respect to SO2 specifically, the
Administrator notes that adverse
respiratory effects in epidemiologic
studies are especially likely to occur at
the upper end of the distribution of
ambient SO2 concentrations. Although
some epidemiologic studies reported a
linear relationship across the entire
range of SO2 concentrations, a few other
studies found that the increase in SO2related respiratory health effects was
observed at the upper end of the
distribution of SO2 concentrations (ISA,
section 5.3, p. 5–9). For example, an
epidemiologic study conducted in
Bronx, NY suggested an increased risk
of asthma hospitalizations on the days
with the highest SO2 concentrations
(Lin et al., 2004). More specifically,
these authors observed increased risk of
asthma hospitalizations at SO2
concentrations somewhere between the
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90th and 95th percentiles (ISA, section
4.1.2 and ISA, Figure 4–4).
This epidemiologic evidence, though
not independently sufficient to draw
conclusions regarding causation, is
consistent with, and informed by, the
large body of controlled human
exposure studies of exercising
asthmatics exposed to short-term peak
concentrations of SO2; these controlled
human exposure studies provide the
‘‘definitive evidence’’ that short-term
peak SO2 exposure is associated with
respiratory morbidity (ISA, Section 5.3,
page 5–8). These studies consistently
found moderate or greater decrements in
lung function (i.e. ≥ 100% increase in
sRaw and/or ≥ 15% decline in FEV1)
and/or respiratory symptoms in
exercising asthmatics following 5–10
minute peak exposures to SO2.
Discussing the possible relationship
between effects observed in these
controlled human exposure studies and
the associations reported in the
epidemiologic studies, the ISA stated:
‘‘it is possible that these associations [in
the epidemiologic studies] are
determined in large part by peak
exposures within a 24-hour period’’
(ISA, section 5.2 at p. 5–5). Similarly,
the ISA stated that: ‘‘the effects of SO2
on respiratory symptoms, lung function,
and airway inflammation observed in
the human clinical studies using peak
exposures further provides a basis for a
progression of respiratory morbidity
resulting in increased ED visits and
hospital admissions’’ and makes the
associations observed in the
epidemiologic studies ‘‘biologica[lly]
plausib[le]’’ (ISA, section 5.2 at p. 5–5).
Thus, considered together, the
epidemiologic and controlled human
exposure evidence suggest that it is a
reasonable approach to move the air
quality distribution lower in a manner
that targets control of both hourly and
5–10 minute peak SO2 exposures.
For the reasons discussed above in
section II.F.3, the Administrator has
proposed a 99th percentile of the 1-hour
daily maximum concentration as an
appropriate form.31 Moreover, as just
discussed, there is support for the
Agency’s view that adverse respiratory
effects in epidemiologic studies are
especially likely to occur at the upper
end of the distribution of ambient SO2
concentrations. Therefore, the
Administrator finds it reasonable to
31 As previously discussed in section II.F.3, a 99th
percentile form was proposed to: (1) Minimize the
number of days per year that an area could exceed
the level of the standard and still attain the
standard; (2) limit the prevalence of 5-minute peaks
of SO2; and (3) provide a stable regulatory target to
prevent areas from frequently shifting in and out of
attainment.
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focus on limiting the 99th percentile
SO2 levels reported in locations where
positive associations were found in key
epidemiologic studies. Adjusting the
distribution of SO2 levels in this manner
will target control of those hourly and
5–10 minute peak SO2 concentrations
that are of most concern.
In considering the epidemiologic
evidence with regard to level, the
Administrator notes that there have
been more than 50 peer reviewed
epidemiologic studies evaluating SO2
published worldwide (ISA, Tables 5–4
and 5–5). The Administrator finds that
in assessing the extent to which these
studies and their associated air quality
information can inform the level of a
new 99th percentile 1-hour daily
maximum standard, U.S. and Canadian
air quality information is most relevant.
As described in section II.F.4.a, SO2
concentrations reported for Canadian
studies are not directly comparable to
those reported for U.S. studies. That is,
concentrations reported for Canadian
analyses represent the average 99th
percentile 1-hour daily maximum level
across multiple monitors in a given city
(REA Figure 5–5), rather than the
concentration from the single monitor
that recorded the highest SO2 level (see
Thompson and Stewart, 2009). Thus,
the Administrator focused on 99th
percentile air quality information from
U.S. studies for informing potential 1hour standard levels.
The Administrator notes that Figures
1 to 4 include 99th percentile 1-hour
daily maximum SO2 concentrations
from ten U.S. epidemiologic studies of
ED visits and hospital admissions
(Figures 5–1 to 5–4 in the REA). The
Administrator agrees with the REA
finding that this information provides
evidence of associations between
ambient SO2 and ED visits and hospital
admissions in cities with particular 99th
percentile 1-hour SO2 levels. This
information is relevant for identifying
standard levels that could significantly
limit SO2 concentrations so that the
upper end of the distribution of daily
maximum hourly concentrations would
likely be below that observed in most of
these studies. These figures report
mostly positive, and sometimes
statistically significant, associations
between ambient SO2 concentrations
and ED visit and hospital admissions in
locations where 99th percentile 1-hour
daily maximum SO2 levels ranged from
50–460 ppb. Moreover, within this
broader range of SO2 concentrations,
seven of these studies were in locations
where the 99th percentile of the 1-hour
daily maximum SO2 concentrations
were in the range of 75–150 ppb. The
Administrator particularly notes the
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cluster of three epidemiologic studies
between 78–150 ppb (for the 99th
percentile of the 1-hour SO2
concentrations) where the SO2 effect
estimate remained positive and
statistically significant in multipollutant models with PM (NYDOH
(2006), Ito et al., (2007), and Schwartz
et al., (1995)). The Administrator also
notes the limited evidence from two
epidemiologic studies employing single
pollutant models that found mostly
positive, and sometimes statistically
significant, associations between
ambient SO2 and ED visits in locations
where 1-hour SO2 concentrations were
approximately 50 ppb (Figures 1 and 2).
Based on the interpretation of the
epidemiologic evidence discussed
above, the Administrator concludes that
this evidence provides support for
consideration of a 99th percentile 1hour daily maximum standard level at
or below 75 ppb to limit SO2
concentrations such that the upper end
of the distribution of daily maximum
hourly concentrations would likely be
below that observed in most of the U.S.
studies. The Administrator also
recognizes that judgments about the
weight to place on uncertainties
inherent in such studies should inform
selection of a specific standard level.
Based on the epidemiologic and
controlled human exposure information
presented above, the Administrator
considered what range of standard
levels would be requisite to protect
public health, including the health of atrisk groups, with an adequate margin of
safety that is sufficient but not more
than necessary to achieve that result.
The assessment of a standard level calls
for consideration of both the degree of
risk to public health at alternative levels
of the standard as well as the certainty
that such risk will occur at any specific
level. Based on the information
available in the ISA, there is no
evidence-based bright line that indicates
a single appropriate level. Moreover,
given that a 1-hour averaging time is
being used to control 5-minute peaks of
SO2, the Administrator also recognizes
that the results of the air quality,
exposure, and risk analyses will have to
be considered given that these analyses
indicate the extent to which a particular
99th percentile 1-hour daily maximum
standard will likely limit 5-minute SO2
peaks of a given concentration. Thus,
the combination of scientific evidence
and air quality, exposure, and risk-based
information needs to be considered as a
whole in making this public health
policy judgment.
In selecting a level that would serve
as an appropriate upper end for a range
of levels to propose, the Administrator
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has considered a cautious approach to
interpreting the available evidence and
exposure/risk-based information—that
is, an approach that places relatively
more weight on those types of
uncertainties and limitations in the
information that would lead to placing
less reliance on the results of the
epidemiologic studies. This approach
would tend to avoid potentially
overestimating public health risks and
the degree of protection likely to be
associated with just meeting a particular
standard level. This approach would
place more weight in particular on
uncertainties in epidemiologic evidence
such as concerns related to exposure
measurement error, the possible role of
co-pollutants and effects modifiers, and
interindividual differences in
susceptibility to SO2-related effects.
In applying this approach, the
Administrator has selected an upper
end of a range of levels to propose at
100 ppb. The selection of this level
focuses on the results of the controlled
human exposure studies and is
primarily based on the results of the air
quality and exposure analyses which
suggest that a 1-hour standard should be
at or below 100 ppb to appreciably limit
5-minute SO2 benchmark concentrations
≥ 200 ppb. That is, as mentioned above,
the St. Louis exposure analysis indicates
that a 1-hour standard at 100 ppb would
still be estimated to protect about 97%
of asthmatic children at moderate or
greater exertion from experiencing at
least one 5-minute SO2 exposure ≥ 200
ppb. In contrast, the St. Louis exposure
analysis estimates that a 1-hour
standard at 150 ppb would likely only
protect about 88% of asthmatic children
at moderate or greater exertion from
experiencing at least one 5-minute SO2
exposure ≥ 200 ppb.
In selecting a level that would serve
as an appropriate lower end for a range
of levels to propose, the Administrator
has considered a precautionary
approach to interpreting the available
evidence and exposure/risk-based
information—that is, an approach that
places relatively more weight on the
results of the epidemiological studies, as
well as more weight on those types of
uncertainties that may be associated
with potentially underestimating health
effects in the most sensitive
populations. This approach would tend
to avoid potentially underestimating
public health risks and the degree of
protection likely to be associated with
just meeting a particular standard level.
This approach would place more weight
on the consideration that the
participants in controlled human
exposure studies did not include
individuals with severe asthma.
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In applying this approach, she has
selected 50 ppb as the lower end of a
range of levels to propose, which is
consistent with CASAC’s advice. The
selection of this level focuses in part on
the epidemiologic evidence. With
respect to the epidemiologic studies,
seven of ten U.S. ED visit and hospital
admission studies reporting generally
positive associations with ambient SO2
were conducted in locations where 99th
percentile 1-hour daily maximum SO2
levels were about 75–150 ppb, and three
of these studies observed statistically
significant positive associations
between ambient SO2 and respiratoryrelated ED visits and hospitalizations in
multi-pollutant models with PM
(NYDOH (2006), Ito et al., (2007), and
Schwartz et al., (1995)). Further, the
Administrator notes that a 99th
percentile 1-hour daily maximum
standard set at a level of 50 ppb is well
below the 99th percentile 1-hour daily
maximum SO2 concentrations reported
in locations where these studies were
conducted (i.e. well below 99th
percentile 1-hour daily maximum SO2
levels of 78–150 ppb). Finally, the
Administrator notes that two
epidemiologic studies reported
generally positive associations between
ambient SO2 and ED visits in cities
when 99th percentile 1-hour daily
maximum SO2 concentrations were
approximately 50 ppb, but does not
consider that evidence strong enough to
set a lower standard level.
In considering the results of the air
quality and exposure analyses, the
Administrator also notes that the 40county air quality analysis estimates
that a 99th percentile 1-hour daily
maximum standard set at a level of 50
ppb would result in zero days per year
when estimated 5-minute SO2
concentrations exceed the 400 ppb 5minute benchmark level and at most 2
days per year when modeled 5-minute
SO2 concentrations exceed the 200 ppb
5-minute benchmark level. In addition,
the St. Louis exposure analysis
estimates that a 99th percentile 1-hour
daily maximum standard set at a level
of 50 ppb would likely protect > 99%
of asthmatic children at moderate or
greater exertion from experiencing at
least one 5-minute exposure both ≥ 400
and ≥ 200 ppb per year.
The Administrator thus proposes to
set the level of a new 1-hour standard
that would protect public health with an
adequate margin of safety between 50
ppb and 100 ppb. In so doing, the
Administrator is relying on reported
findings from both epidemiologic and
controlled human exposure studies, as
well as the results of air quality and
exposure analyses. The Administrator
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solicits comment on this proposed range
of standard levels as well as on the
approach she has used to identify the
range. Specifically, the Administrator
solicits comment on the following:
• The weight she has placed on the
epidemiologic evidence, the controlled
human exposure evidence, and the air
quality, exposure, and risk information,
the benchmark used to select the
proposed range, and the uncertainties
associated with each of these.
• The most appropriate level within
this proposed range given the available
scientific evidence, and air quality,
exposure, and risk information, and the
uncertainties associated with each.
With regard to the proposed range of
standard levels, the Administrator notes
that the lower end of the proposed range
is consistent with CASAC advice that
there is clearly sufficient evidence for
consideration of standard levels starting
at 50 ppb (Samet 2009). With respect to
the upper end of the proposed range, the
Administrator notes that CASAC
concluded that standards up to 150 ppb
‘‘could be justified under some
interpretations of weight of evidence,
uncertainties, and policy choices
regarding margin of safety’’ (Samet
2009, p. 16), although the letter did not
provide any indication of what
interpretations, uncertainties, or policy
choices might support selection of a
level as high as 150 ppb.
In light of the range of levels included
in CASAC’s advice, the Administrator
solicits comment on setting a standard
level above 100 ppb and up to 150 ppb.
In so doing, the Administrator again
recognizes that there are uncertainties
with the scientific evidence, such as
attributing effects reported in
epidemiologic studies specifically to
SO2 given the presence of co-occurring
pollutants, especially PM, and the
uncertainties associated with using
ambient SO2 concentrations as a
surrogate for exposure. Any comments
should specifically address the cluster
of epidemiologic studies that remained
statistically significant in co-pollutant
models with PM, two of which had 99th
percentile levels appreciably lower than
150 ppb. Commenters should also
address the conclusion in the ISA that
the respiratory effects seen in the
epidemiologic studies are generally
robust and independent of copollutants. In addition, the
Administrator notes that compared to
the proposed range of 50–100 ppb, a
standard level as high as 150 ppb would
not comparably limit 5-minute SO2
exposures ≥ 200 ppb. She notes that the
St. Louis exposure analysis estimates
that a 150 ppb standard would protect
approximately 88% of asthmatic
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children at moderate or greater exertion
from experiencing at least one SO2
exposure ≥ 200 ppb per year (compared
to > 99% and approximately 97% given
standards at 50 and 100 ppb
respectively; see Table 3). There are also
questions as to whether a standard set
at this level would provide an adequate
margin of safety. Thus, with respect to
considering whether it would be
appropriate to set a standard level as
high as 150 ppb, the Administrator
invites comment on the extent to which
it is appropriate to emphasize
uncertainties with respect to the
epidemiologic evidence. She also
invites comment on the implications
such considerations would have on
limiting 5-minute SO2 exposures ≥ 200
ppb.
5. Implications for retaining or revoking
current standards
The REA recognized that the
particular level selected for a new 1hour daily maximum standard would
have implications for reaching decisions
on whether to retain or revoke the
current 24-hour and annual standards.
That is, with respect to SO2-induced
respiratory morbidity, the lower the
level selected for a 99th percentile 1hour daily maximum standard, the less
additional public health protection the
current standards would be expected to
provide. As previously mentioned (see
section II.E.3), CASAC expressed a
similar view following their review of
the 2nd draft REA: ‘‘assuming that EPA
adopts a one hour standard in the range
suggested, and if there is evidence
showing that the short-term standard
provides equivalent protection of public
health in the long-term as the annual
standard, the panel is supportive of the
REA discussion of discontinuing the
annual standard’’ (Samet 2009, p. 15).
With regard to the current 24-hour
standard, CASAC was generally
supportive of using the air quality
analyses in the REA as a means of
determining whether the current 24hour standard was needed in addition to
a new 1-hour standard to protect public
health. CASAC stated: ‘‘the evidence
presented [in REA Table 10–3] was
convincing that some of the alternative
one-hour standards could also
adequately protect against exceedances
of the current 24-hour standard’’ (Samet
2009, p. 15).
In accordance with the REA findings
and CASAC recommendations
mentioned above, the Administrator
notes that the 1-hour standards being
proposed (i.e., 99th percentile 1-hour
daily maximum SO2 standards at 50–
100 ppb) would have the effect of
maintaining 24-hour and annual SO2
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concentrations generally well below the
levels of the current 24-hour and annual
NAAQS (see REA Tables 10–3 and 10–
4 and REA Appendix Tables D–3 to D–
6). Thus, if a new 99th percentile 1-hour
daily maximum standard is set in the
proposed range of 50–100 ppb, than the
Administrator proposes to revoke the
current 24-hour and annual standards.
However, if a standard is set at a level
>100 ppb and up to 150 ppb, then the
Administrator proposes to retain the
existing 24-hour standard, recognizing
that a 99th percentile 1-hour daily
maximum standard at 150 ppb would
not have the effect of maintaining 24hour average SO2 concentrations below
the level of the current 24-hour standard
in all locations analyzed (see REA
Appendix Table D–4). However, the
Administrator would revoke the current
annual standard recognizing: (1) 99th
percentile 1-hour daily maximum
standards in the range of 50–150 ppb
would maintain annual average SO2
concentrations below the level of the
current annual standard (see REA Table
10–4 and REA Appendix tables D–5 and
D–6); and (2) the lack of sufficient
evidence linking long-term SO2
exposure to adverse health effects.
G. Summary of proposed decisions on
the primary standard
For the reasons discussed above, and
taking into account information and
assessments presented in the ISA and
REA as well as the advice and
recommendations of CASAC, the
Administrator proposes that the current
24-hour and annual standards are not
requisite to protect public health with
an adequate margin of safety. The
Administrator proposes to establish a
new 1-hour standard that will afford
increased protection for asthmatics and
other at-risk populations against an
array of adverse respiratory health
effects related to short-term (5-minutes
to 24-hours) SO2 exposure. These effects
include increased decrements in lung
function (defined in terms of sRaw and
FEV1), increases in respiratory
symptoms, and related serious
indicators of respiratory morbidity
including emergency department visits
and hospital admissions for respiratory
causes.
Specifically, the Administrator
proposes to set a new short-term
primary SO2 standard with a 1-hour
(daily maximum) averaging time and a
form defined as the 3-year average of the
99th percentile or the 4th highest daily
maximum concentration. The level for
the new standard is proposed to be
within the range of 50–100 ppb. The
Administrator also solicits comment on
levels as high as 150 ppb. In addition to
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setting a new 1-hour standard in the
proposed rage of 50–100 ppb, the
Administrator proposes to revoke the
current 24-hour and annual standards
recognizing that a 1-hour standard set in
the proposed range of 50–100 ppb will
have the effect of generally maintaining
24-hour and annual SO2 concentrations
well below the levels of the current 24hour and annual standards. Moreover,
the Administrator notes that there is
little health evidence to support an
annual standard for the purpose of
protecting against health effects
associated with long-term SO2
exposures.
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III. Proposed Amendments to Ambient
Monitoring and Reporting
Requirements
EPA is proposing changes to the
ambient air monitoring, reporting, and
network design requirements for the
SO2 NAAQS. This section discusses the
changes we are proposing that are
intended to support the proposed 1hour NAAQS, and the possible retention
of the existing 24-hour NAAQS
depending on the selected level of the
1-hour NAAQS, as described in Section
II above. Ambient SO2 monitoring data
are used to determine whether an area
is in violation of the SO2 NAAQS.
Ambient SO2 monitoring data are
collected by state, local, and tribal
monitoring agencies (‘‘monitoring
agencies’’) in accordance with the
monitoring requirements contained in
40 CFR parts 50, 53, and 58.
A. Monitoring methods
To be used in a determination of
compliance with the SO2 NAAQS, SO2
data must be collected using either a
Federal Reference Method (FRM) or a
Federal Equivalent Method (FEM) as
defined in 40 CFR Parts 50 and 53. The
current monitoring methods in use by
most State and local monitoring
agencies are FEM analyzers based on the
ultraviolet fluorescence (UVF)
measurement principle. These
continuous analyzers were implemented
into the SO2 monitoring networks in the
early 1980s, and the current manual
FRM for SO2 is no longer used for field
monitoring. The current list of all
approved FRMs and FEMs capable of
providing ambient SO2 data for use in
attainment designations may be found
on the EPA Web site https://
www.epa.gov/ttn/amtic/files/ambient/
criteria/reference-equivalent-methodslist.pdf.
For reasons explained subsequently,
EPA proposes to establish a new FRM
for measuring SO2 in the ambient air.
This proposed new FRM for SO2 would
be an automated method based on UVF
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(the same type of analyzers now in
widespread use), and it would be
specified in the form of a reference
measurement principle and a calibration
procedure. It would be in a new
Appendix A–1 to 40 CFR Part 50.
Analyzers approved as FRMs for SO2
after the effective date of the final rule
would be subject to performance
specifications and other requirements
set forth in 40 CFR Part 53, under
associated amendments proposed for
Part 53. The existing FRM for SO2 (a
wet-chemical, manual method) would
be retained for some period of time,
thereby permitting continued use of
currently designated FEMs to avoid any
disruption to existing SO2 monitoring
networks.
1. Background
FRMs, as set forth in several
appendices to 40 CFR Part 50, serve
either or both of two primary purposes.
The first is to provide a specified,
definitive methodology for routinely
measuring concentrations of various
ambient air pollutants for comparison to
the NAAQS in Part 50 and for other air
monitoring objectives. The second is to
provide a standard of comparison for
determining equivalence to the
specified reference method of
alternative and perhaps more practical
pollutant measurement methods (FEMs)
that can be used in lieu of the FRM for
routine monitoring.
Some of the FRMs contained in
appendices to Part 50 (such as the
current SO2 FRM) are manual methods
that are completely specified within
their respective appendices. Others
(such as the ozone FRM) are in the form
of a measurement principle and
associated calibration procedure that
must be implemented in a commercial
FRM analyzer model. Such FRM
analyzers must be tested and shown to
meet explicit performance and other
requirements that are set forth in 40 CFR
Part 53 (Ambient Air Monitoring
Reference and Equivalent Methods).
Each of these analyzer models is
considered to be an FRM only upon
specific designation as such by EPA
under the provisions of Part 53.
From time to time, as pollutant
measurement technology advances, the
reference methods in these Part 50
appendices need to be assessed to
determine if improved or more suitable
measurement technology has become
available to better meet current FRM
needs as well as potential future FRM
requirements. Such new technology can
either be presented to EPA for
evaluation by an FEM applicant under
§ 53.16, or (as in this case) EPA can
originate the process itself as provided
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in § 53.7. If, after reviewing a new
methodology, the Administrator
determines that the new methodology is
substantially superior, § 53.16 of Part 53
provides for supersession of FRMs
under these circumstances.
The FRM for measuring SO2 in the
ambient air was promulgated on April
30, 1971 (36 FR 8186), in conjunction
with EPA’s establishment (originally as
42 CFR Part 410) of the first national
ambient air quality standards (NAAQS)
for six pollutants (including sulfur
dioxide) as now set forth in 40 CFR Part
50. This SO2 FRM is specified in
Appendix A of Part 50 and identified as
the pararosaniline method. It is a
manual, wet-chemical method requiring
sample air to be bubbled through an
absorbing reagent (tetrachloromecurate),
which is then returned to a laboratory
for chemical analysis. At the time of its
promulgation, the method was
considered the best available method
and was in considerable use for
monitoring SO2 in the air. However,
newly developed automated continuous
analyzers approved as FEMs rapidly
supplanted use of this manual method
for air monitoring in the U.S. By the
1990’s, the FRM was no longer used at
all in domestic air monitoring (EPA,
2009b), and since then the method has
been used mainly as a comparison
reference method for the testing and
designation of candidate FEMs for SO2
in accordance with 40 CFR Part 53.
The pararosaniline manual FRM has
served its role for many years, but now
a better method is needed that more
fully meets the needs of contemporary
SO2 monitoring. The existing FRM is
primarily a 24-hour integrated method,
whereas a 1-hour SO2 FRM
measurement capability would be
needed to implement the proposed 1hour SO2 NAAQS. Existing FEM
analyzers can and do provide 1-hour
measurement capability, but EPA
wishes to facilitate the approval of new
monitoring technologies as well. While
the existing manual reference method
can produce 1-hour averages, it is
clearly impractical for routine use in
making 1-hour SO2 measurements. Also,
the 1-hour mode of the manual method
is not a good standard for approving
new FEMs with 1-hour measurement
capability, because scores of 1-hour
measurements would be needed during
equivalency testing. Further, the
existing FRM is cumbersome to use and
requires a mercury-containing reagent
that is potentially hazardous to
operators or to the environment if it is
mishandled.
These operational shortcomings
suggest that the existing FRM should be
replaced with a more suitable
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methodology. Fortunately, the existing
SO2 instrumental measurement
technique based on the UVF
measurement principle offers superior
performance and substantial operational
advantages, as reported in an FRM
evaluation for EPA produced by
Research Triangle Institute (Rickman,
1987). Analyzers using this technique
can well provide the needed detection
limits, precision, and accuracy and
fulfill other purposes of an FRM,
including use as an appropriate
standard of reference for testing and
designation of new FEM analyzers. After
reviewing these factors, EPA has
determined that a new, automated FRM
for SO2 based on the UVF measurement
principle should be adopted. EPA is
proposing to add the new FRM in a new
Appendix A–1 to Part 50.
In association with the proposed new
FRM, EPA is also proposing to update
the performance-based requirements for
FEM SO2 analyzers currently in 40 CFR
Part 53. These requirements were
established in the 1970’s, based
primarily on the wet-chemical
measurement technology available at
that time. Those initial requirements
have become significantly outdated and
should be modified to match current
technology, particularly because they
would apply to new FRM analyzers
under the proposed new FRM. The
better instrumental performance
available with the proposed new UVF
reference method technique allows the
performance requirements for SO2 in 40
CFR Part 53 to be made more stringent
for both FRM and FEM analyzers (EPA,
2009c).
2. Proposed new FRM measurement
technique
Since the 1970’s, a variety of
measurement principles have been
successfully used to produce
continuous analyzers for SO2, some of
which have qualified for EPA
designation as equivalent methods
(found at https://www.epa.gov/ttn/amtic/
files/ambient/criteria/referenceequivalent-methods-list.pdf). These
include methods based on ultraviolet
fluorescence, flame photometry,
differential optical absorption
spectroscopy, coulometric and
conductometric techniques, and second
derivative ultraviolet absorption
spectrometry. Although some of these
techniques saw considerable utilization
in the 1970’s, their use dwindled after
the introduction of UVF analyzers
because of various shortcomings such as
non-specificity for SO2, susceptibility to
interferences, marginal performance, or
operational disadvantages (e.g. requiring
hydrogen gas or wet-chemical reagents).
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Consequently, the UVF technique has
emerged as the clearly dominant
measurement technique for SO2,
providing a majority of the domestic air
monitoring data obtained over the last
three decades, and virtually 100% of the
current monitoring data (EPA, 2009b).
As the proposed new reference method,
the UVF technique would be specified
in performance-based form, with a
generic reference measurement
principle and associated calibration
procedure in a new Appendix A–1 to 40
CFR Part 50. Associated performance
requirements applicable to candidate
UVF FRM analyzers would be specified
in 40 CFR Part 53. This form of the FRM
is consistent with that specified for
FRMs for CO, O3, and NO2 in
Appendices C, D, and F (respectively) to
40 CFR Part 50.
Reasonable commercial availability of
high quality analyzers utilizing the
reference measurement principle that
can be offered by multiple
manufacturers, ideally over many years,
is an important aspect of any new
reference measurement principle. EPA
has designated more than a dozen UVF
analyzers as equivalent to the current
reference method over the last 30 years.
Although most of the early model UVF
analyzers are no longer in production,
many have been replaced by redesigned
and improved models, and entirely new
models continue to become designated
as FEMs. Currently, more than a halfdozen designated FEM models offered
by multiple manufacturers are
commercially available. The widespread
use of the method has three important
technical advantages for an FRM: (1) A
variety of analyzer models are available
and will likely continue to be available
from multiple manufacturers for many
years to come, (2) analyzer
manufacturers have had (and continue
to have) a strong marketing incentive to
improve, refine, perfect, and continue to
market such analyzers, and (3) the
number of accumulated UVF field
monitoring datasets (including related
QC data) provide an extensive, available
performance track record that can be
evaluated to assess the performance of
the analyzers in actual monitoring use.
The only other equivalent method
measurement technique that has even a
small representation among currently
available FEM analyzers is the
differential optical absorption
spectrometric method. The open-path
nature of this method (measurement of
pollutants in the open air without a
closed measurement cell) is not suitable
for many of the purposes of a reference
method. Further, this method is only
available as two product models from
two manufacturers, and very few State
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and local monitoring agencies are using
such analyzers.
The UVF technique is not without
some imperfections as a reference
method. Analyzers utilizing the
technique are, to a limited degree,
susceptible to interference from
aromatic hydrocarbon species and
potentially other compounds at existing
levels or levels that may occur at many
monitoring sites. However, analyzer
manufacturers have developed very
effective ways to reduce these potential
limitations, including careful selection
of wavelengths, optimum optical design,
and sample air scrubbers, such that
typical interferences are minimal.
All UVF analyzers that have been
designated as SO2 FEMs have been
tested and shown to meet the existing
performance requirements of 40 CFR
Part 53. These include required testing
for both positive and negative potential
interferents, minimum level of
measurement, zero and span drift, and
precision. The results of these tests have
been submitted to EPA and are in the
archived FEM applications for these
analyzers. Many newer models
substantially exceed those requirements,
with sensitivities down to less than 1
ppb, and typically commensurate levels
of signal noise, precision, and zero drift
(EPA, 2009c). In addition, UVF
analyzers can accommodate a wide
range of concentration measurement
ranges. They are quite well suited to
measure high, short-term SO2
concentrations near sources, and they
can also be used to measure trace-level
concentrations in clean areas.
For these reasons, EPA has decided to
propose a new automated SO2 FRM
based on the UVF measurement
technology. EPA is confident that
commercially available UVF instrument
models would provide capability to
serve not only current monitoring and
FRM applications but anticipated
monitoring and FRM needs well into
future years. EPA solicits comment on
the proposal to promulgate an FRM for
SO2 that would be an automated method
based on ultraviolet fluorescence, which
would be specified in the form of a
reference measurement principle and
calibration procedure, as stated here,
and contained in a new Appendix A–1
to 40 CFR Part 50.
3. Technical description of the proposed
UVF FRM
The proposed new reference method
is based on automated measurement of
the intensity of the characteristic
fluorescence released by SO2 in an
ambient air sample when irradiated by
ultraviolet light. The SO2 fluorescence
produced is also in the ultraviolet range,
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but is measured at a longer wavelength.
An analyzer implementing this
measurement principle would include a
measurement cell, an ultraviolet light
source of appropriate wavelength, an
ultraviolet detector system with
appropriate wavelength sensitivity, and
a pump and flow control system for
sampling the ambient air. Generally, the
analyzer also requires a means to reduce
concentrations of aromatic
hydrocarbons and possibly other
compounds (depending on target
wavelengths and other parameters used)
in the air sample to control for potential
measurement interferences. The
analyzer is calibrated by referencing the
instrumental fluorescence
measurements to SO2 standard
concentrations traceable to a NIST
(National Institute of Standards and
Technology) primary standard for SO2.
This generic description of the FRM
would be contained in Appendix A–1 to
40 CFR Part 50 and would be coupled
with explicit analyzer performance
requirements specified in Subpart B of
40 CFR Part 53. To qualify as an FRM,
an analyzer model based on this
principle would have to be tested in
accordance with test procedures in
Subpart B Part 53 and shown to meet
the performance requirements specified
in that Subpart. EPA could then
designate the analyzer model as an FRM
analyzer, as provided in Part 53.
4. Implications to air monitoring
networks
Under § 53.16, EPA must consider the
benefits of a proposed supersession of
an existing reference method, the
potential economic consequences of
such action for State and local
monitoring agencies, and any disruption
of State and local air quality monitoring
programs that might result from such
action. Supersession of an existing
reference method, as described in
§ 53.16, presumes that the existing FRM
would be deleted from Part 50 and
replaced with a new FRM, and that all
equivalent methods based on the old
FRM would be cancelled. In the case of
SO2, essentially all current domestic air
monitoring activity is carried out using
FEM UVF analyzers. Cancellation of the
FEM designations of all these analyzers
now would be potentially very
disruptive to State, local, and other
monitoring networks, even though
§ 53.16 alludes to a possible transition
period to allow monitoring agencies
some period of time to replace cancelled
FEM analyzers.
EPA recognizes that these existing
SO2 FEMs are providing monitoring
data that are adequate for the current
and the proposed SO2 NAAQS and for
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many other purposes, and there appears
to be no need or purpose served by their
withdrawal. Therefore, in this case, EPA
proposes instead to retain the existing
manual FRM for SO2 and to promulgate
an entirely new automated FRM for SO2.
The new FRM description would be
contained in a new Appendix A–1 to 40
CFR Part 50, and the existing FRM
would be re-codified as Appendix A–2
to 40 CFR Part 50, with both reference
methods coexisting. Following adoption
of the new Appendix A–1, new
language proposed for § 53.2(a) and (b)
would provide that new FRM and FEM
analyzers for SO2 be designated only
with reference to the proposed new
Appendix A–1. At the same time,
retention of the existing SO2 reference
method will preclude the need to cancel
the designations of all existing FEMs for
SO2.
Under this proposal, no monitoring
agencies would be required to change
their SO2 monitoring procedures as a
result of the proposed changes, so it
would have no economic costs for
implementation and no disruptive
effects on state, local, or tribal air
quality monitoring programs. Further,
since UVF FEM analyzers have been in
dominant use for many years, no bias or
discontinuity in any aspect of the
monitoring data obtained subsequently
would result from the proposed change
in the SO2 reference methodology.
In conjunction with the proposed new
FRM, EPA is also proposing to adopt
updated performance requirements in
40 CFR Part 53, applicable to both FRM
and FEM analyzers, consistent with the
automated methods and in anticipation
of future NAAQS needs. This would
ensure that, going forward, all new SO2
monitors would have improved
performance. EPA believes that the
proposal to retain the existing FRM
while adding the new FRM would
provide for a smooth, evolutionary
transition from the older, manual FRM
to the new, modern, automated FRM
and FEM technology and the associated
better performance requirements, with
no immediate impact to current
monitoring activities. For purposes of
comparing SO2 monitoring data to the
SO2 NAAQS, the EPA believes that the
UVF FEMs are appropriate for
continued use under the current
standards and under the option being
considered for a new 1-hour averaged
primary SO2 NAAQS. After several
years, at a time when either a new SO2
NAAQS would require higher
monitoring data quality or there would
be no further potential for disruption to
monitoring agencies, EPA would plan to
withdraw the older reference method
and it’s associated FEMs.
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5. Proposed revisions to 40 CFR Part 53
Several amendments associated with
the proposed new SO2 reference
measurement principle are proposed to
40 CFR Part 53. The most significant of
these would update the performance
requirements for both new FRM and
new FEM analyzers for SO2, as set forth
in proposed revised Table B–1. Based
on typical performance capabilities
available for UVF analyzers, EPA is
proposing to reduce the allowable noise
from 5 ppb to 1 ppb, the lower
detectable limit from 10 ppb to 2 ppb,
and the allowable interference
equivalent limits from ±20 ppb to ±5
ppb for each interferent and from 60
ppb to 20 ppb for the total of all
interferents. Also, EPA proposes to
change the allowable zero drift limits
from ±20 ppb to ±4 ppb, and to delete
the specified limits for span drift at 20%
of the upper range limit (URL) for SO2
analyzers. Review of FEM analyzer
performance test results has shown that
the 20% URL span limit requirements
are unnecessary because drift
performance requirements are
adequately covered by the zero drift and
80% URL span drift limits. EPA
proposes to change the lag time allowed
from 20 to 2 minutes and change the
rise and fall time limits from 15 to 2
minutes. For precision, EPA proposes to
change the form of the precision limit
specifications from ppm to percent (of
the URL) for SO2 analyzers and to set
the limit at 2 percent for both 20% and
80% of the URL. Two percent is
equivalent to 10 ppb for the standard
(500 ppb) range, which is equivalent to
the existing limit value for precision at
20% of the URL, but would be a
reduction from 15 ppb to 10 ppb for the
limit value at 80% of the URL. This
change in units from ppm (or ppb as
given here) to percent makes the
requirement responsive to higher and
lower measurement ranges. Also, a new
footnote is proposed to be added to
Table B–1 to clarify how noise tests are
to be carried out for candidate analyzers
having an adjustable or automatic time
constant capability.
EPA recognizes that SO2 monitoring
needs can vary widely, from monitoring
background levels in pristine areas to
measuring short-term (1-hour) or even
very short-term (less than 1-hour) highlevel averages in the vicinity of
substantial sources of SO2. To address
the need for more sensitive, lower
measurement ranges for SO2 analyzers,
EPA is proposing a separate set of
performance requirements that would
apply specifically to narrower
measurement ranges, i.e. ranges
extending from zero to concentrations
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less than 0.5 ppm. These additional
requirements are listed in the proposed
revised Table B–1. A candidate analyzer
that meets the Table B–1 requirements
for the standard measurement range (0
to 0.5 ppm) could optionally have one
or more narrower ranges included in its
FRM or FEM designation by further
testing to show that it meets these
supplemental, narrower-range
requirements.
At the other (high) end of the
concentration measurement spectrum,
another related change proposed for
§ 53.20 would allow optional
designation of measurement ranges for
SO2 up to 2 ppm rather than 1 ppm as
is now permitted, and designation of
these higher ranges would be applicable
to both FRM and FEM analyzers. Such
higher ranges are often needed for
measurement of short-interval SO2
averages. Finally, EPA is proposing to
clarify in § 53.20 that optional testing
for auxiliary higher or lower
measurement ranges (for all gaseous
pollutants) may include tests for only
some of the performance parameters,
since the test results for the other
performance parameters carried out for
the standard measurement range would
be technically applicable and adequate
for the higher and/or lower ranges as
well.
EPA believes that these changes in
performance requirements are
appropriate, based on analyzer
performance data available from
analyzer manuals and recent FEM
applications. EPA solicits comments
especially from UVF instrument users
and manufacturers on these proposed
changes, particularly in regard to
whether they are reasonable,
appropriate, of significant benefit, and
achievable without undue cost.
Comments are also requested on such
issues as the trade off between a high
measurement range and the need for
adequate resolution at concentrations
near the annual NAAQS, a similar trade
off between noise level and response
time (some analyzers allow these
parameters to be adjusted by the
operator or may adjust them
automatically based on the rate of
change of the concentration level), and
whether such performance parameters
should be addressed in more detail in
40 CFR Part 53. In particular, should
SO2 analyzer requirements address the
potential need for faster measurement
response time to permit more accurate
monitoring of short-term intervals such
as 5-minute or 10-minute averages, and
are the special performance
requirements EPA is proposing for
measuring very low levels (trace levels)
of SO2 appropriate and effective?
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Another significant change proposed
to 40 CFR Part 53 would add some low
and medium level 1-hour comparability
tests to the Subpart C comparability test
requirements, as specified in Table C–1.
These would help to ensure that the 1hour measurement performance of
candidate FEMs are adequate, relative to
the FRM. Also, EPA proposes to amend
Table A–1 in Subpart A to reflect the
new FRM description in proposed new
Appendix A–1 of 40 CFR Part 50. This
table would also be amended to correct
some printing errors in the current table
as well as to add new entries related to
the new FRM for lead in PM10 that was
recently promulgated. Other minor
changes would be necessary in the
wording of a few sections of Subparts A
and B due to the proposed change in the
nature of the SO2 FRM from a manual
to an automated method or to update
the language. These changes are
reflected in the proposed regulatory text
section of this notice.
EPA proposes additional minor
revisions to Tables B–2 and B–3 of
Subpart B. The changes proposed to
Table B–2 would update some of the
analytical methods for generation or
verification of SO2 and interferent test
concentrations and their associated
references. Similarly, Table B–3 would
be updated to add a specific listing for
ultraviolet fluorescent methods and to
add a few additional interferent test
species for some other measurement
techniques that have been found from
experience to be needed.
B. Network design
1. Background
The basic objectives of an ambient
monitoring network, as noted in 40 CFR
Part 58 Appendix D, include (1)
providing air pollution data to the
general public in a timely manner, (2)
supporting compliance with ambient air
quality standards and emissions strategy
development, and (3) providing support
for air pollution research. The SO2
network was originally deployed to
support implementation of the SO2
NAAQS established in 1971. Although
the SO2 standard was established in
1971, EPA did not establish uniform
minimum monitoring requirements for
SO2 monitoring until May 1979. From
the time of the implementation of the
1979 monitoring rule, through 2008, the
SO2 network has steadily decreased in
size from approximately 1496 sites in
1980 to the approximately 488 sites
operating in 2008 (Watkins and
Thompson, 2009). The reduction in
network size is due in part to the change
in the source sector contributions to the
overall SO2 inventory and the general
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decline of ambient SO2 levels over time.
In the early decades of the SO2 network,
particularly the 1970s, there was a
wider variety of more ubiquitous SO2
sources in urban areas, including
residential coal and oil furnaces, when
compared to the stationary source,
electric generating unit (EGU)dominated inventories of today (see
below). The situation in the 1970s led
to a network design keyed on
population, an appropriate approach at
the time considering the close proximity
of sources and people, particularly in
urban, residential settings (Watkins and
Thompson, 2009).
An analysis of the approximately 488
monitoring sites comprising the current
(2008) SO2 monitoring network
indicates that just under half (46%) of
the sites in the current SO2 network are
reported to be for the assessment of
concentrations for general population
exposure. As for the present day
inventory, the 2005 NEI (https://
www.epa.gov/ttn/chief/net/
2005inventory.html) indicates that SO2
emissions from EGUs contribute
approximately 70% of the
anthropogenic SO2 emissions in the U.S.
However, only approximately one third
(35%) of the network is reported to be
addressing locations of maximum
(highest) concentrations, likely linked to
a specific source or group of sources
such as EGUs.
The current network supports the
reporting of 1-hour data to EPA’s Air
Quality System (AQS) database, as
required in § 58.12 of 40 CFR Part 58,
since the network utilizes the
continuous UVF FEM, which can
provide time-resolved data averaged
over periods as short as several minutes.
The routine submittal of hourly data by
state, local, and tribal air monitoring
agencies to AQS is suitable for use in
comparison to both of the current
primary 24-hour and annual NAAQS.
There are a few monitoring agencies
who also report 5-minute data
voluntarily to AQS.
The current network is sited at a
variety of spatial scales; however a
majority of the network, just over sixty
percent, is sited at the neighborhood
spatial scale32 (Watkins and Thompson,
32 Spatial scales are defined in 40 CFR Part 58
Appendix D, Section 1.2, where the scales of
representativeness include:
1. Microscale—Defines the concentration in air
volumes associated with area dimensions ranging
from several meters up to about 100 meters.
2. Middle scale—Defines the concentration
typical of areas up to several city blocks in size,
with dimensions ranging from about 100 meters to
0.5 kilometers.
3. Neighborhood scale—Defines concentrations
within some extended area of the city that has
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2009). Although there are 488 SO2
monitors operating in the network, there
are currently no minimum monitoring
requirements for SO2 in 40 CFR part 58
Appendix D, other than the following
three: (1) SO2 must be monitored at
National Core (NCore) monitoring sites
(discussed below), (2) the EPA Regional
Administrator must approve the
removal of any existing monitors, and
(3) any ongoing SO2 monitoring must
have at least one monitor sited to
measure the maximum concentration of
SO2 in that area.
The SO2 monitors that are required as
part of the National Core monitoring
network (NCore) were not required
solely for providing direct support of
the SO2 NAAQS. The monitoring rule
promulgated in 2006 (71 FR 61236) and
codified at 40 CFR Part 58 and its
Appendices established the NCore
multi-pollutant network requirement to
support integrated air quality
management data needs. Further, NCore
is intended to establish long-term sites
providing data for air quality trends
analysis, model evaluation, and, for
urban sites, tracking metropolitan air
quality statistics. To do this, NCore sites
are required to measure various
pollutants, including SO2, but are not
sited to monitor maximum
concentrations of SO2. NCore sites
provide data representing
concentrations at the broader
neighborhood and urban spatial scales.
The data from the NCore sites will be
compared to the NAAQS although, as
noted earlier, NAAQS comparisons are
not the primary objective of NCore. The
NCore network, which will be fully
implemented by January 1, 2011, will
result in approximately 83 sites, each
with an SO2 monitor, with
approximately 60 sites being located in
urban areas.
As set out in detail in section II.B of
this notice, there is a causal relationship
between short-term SO2 exposure and
respiratory morbidity, with ’’short-term’’
meaning exposures from 5–10 minutes
up to and including 24 hours. This
finding is based primarily on results
from controlled human exposure studies
relatively uniform land use with dimensions in the
0.5 to 4.0 kilometers range.
4. Urban scale—Defines concentrations within an
area of city-like dimensions, on the order of 4 to 50
kilometers. Within a city, the geographic placement
of sources may result in there being no single site
that can be said to represent air quality on an urban
scale. The neighborhood and urban scales have the
potential to overlap in applications that concern
secondarily formed or homogeneously distributed
air pollutants.
5. Regional scale—Defines usually a rural area of
reasonably homogeneous geography without large
sources, and extends from tens to hundreds of
kilometers.
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of 5–10 minutes as well as
epidemiologic studies using mostly 1hour daily maximum and 24-hour
average SO2 concentrations.
Importantly, the ISA described the
controlled human exposure studies of
5–10 minutes as being the ‘‘definitive
evidence’’ for this conclusion (ISA,
section 5.2). In addition, when
describing epidemiologic studies
observing positive associations between
ambient SO2 and respiratory symptoms,
the ISA stated ‘‘that it is possible that
these associations are determined in
large part by peak exposures within a
24-hour period’’ (ISA, section 5.2 at p.
5–5). The ISA also stated that the
respiratory effects following 5- to 10minute SO2 exposures in controlled
human exposure studies provide a basis
for a progression of respiratory
morbidity that could result in increased
ED visits and hospital admissions (ISA,
section 5.2). Thus, the monitoring
network to support the proposed
NAAQS should be focused on
identifying the expected maximum
short-term concentrations in any
particular area.
The ISA (Section 2.1) indicates that
point (i.e., stationary) sources account
for approximately 95% of the total
anthropogenic SO2 emissions in the U.S.
According to the 2005 National
Emissions Inventory (https://
www.epa.gov/ttn/chief/net/
2005inventory.html), electrical
generating units (EGUs) emit
approximately 70% of the
anthropogenic SO2 emissions in the U.S.
The 2005 NEI indicates that the total
anthropogenic emission inventory of
SO2 is approximately 14,742 thousand
tons per year. Of those 14,742 thousand
tons per year of emitted SO2,
approximately 85% were emitted by
stationary sources that emit 100 or more
tons per year (comprising approximately
1,928 of the 32,988 facilities listed in
the 2005 NEI). This information
indicates that a relatively small number
(6%) of all SO2 emitting stationary
sources are responsible for a large
majority of the total anthropogenic
emissions inventory (85%) in the U.S.
Therefore, monitors sited to reflect
locations of expected maximum
concentrations should be primarily
oriented towards locations influenced
by one or a cluster of high SO2 emitting
sources.
As noted in the key observations of
the exposure analysis of the REA (REA,
Section 8.12), there are a variety of
factors that influence overall population
exposure to ground-level concentrations
in a given area, including population
density and proximity to sources,
emissions density in an area, and source
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specific emission parameters such as
stack height, among other factors. In
general, however, it is expected that any
short-term peaks that may occur in an
area are more likely to occur nearer to
a source or sources, or in an area where
multiple sources are significantly
contributing to increased ground level
concentrations (an area with high
emissions density).33 Given that
maximum ground-level concentrations
of SO2 are usually directly traceable to
specific sources, or a cluster of sources,
the network design should support
implementation of the proposed 1-hour
SO2 NAAQS by targeting maximum
ground-level concentrations in areas of
both higher population and higher
emissions.
2. Proposed changes
In conjunction with the proposed 1hour primary NAAQS and (if EPA
should adopt a standard at the upper
end of the range of levels for which the
Agency is soliciting comment) the
potential retention of the current 24hour NAAQS, we are proposing a
number of changes to the SO2
monitoring network. As just noted, there
are currently minimum monitoring
requirements for SO2 only at NCore
sites. The proposal for a new 1-hour
NAAQS necessitates the re-introduction
of minimum monitoring requirements.
An analysis of the approximately 488
monitoring sites comprising the current
(2008) SO2 monitoring network
indicates that just under half (∼46%) of
the sites in the current SO2 network are
reported to be for the assessment of
concentrations for general population
exposure. The current network was not
originally deployed to address current
short-term, peak concentrations, such as
those locations nearer to stationary
sources or in areas of higher emissions
densities, where maximum hourly and
5- to 10-minute concentrations are likely
to occur. The Agency has data
indicating that only about one third of
the existing SO2 network may be sourceoriented monitors and/or sited in
locations of expected maximum
concentrations (Watkins and Thompson,
2009).
To fully support the proposed SO2
NAAQS, the monitoring network needs
to identify where short-term, peak
ground-level concentrations—i.e.
concentrations from 5 minutes to one
hour (or potentially up to 24 hours)—
33 There is inherent variability in where peak
ground level concentrations may occur in space and
time from an individual source or group of sources,
due to multiple factors including tons emitted,
stack height, meteorology, among others. These
factors are discussed further in the Monitor
Placement and Siting section of this chapter.
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may occur. Due to the multiple variables
that affect ground level SO2
concentrations caused by one or more
stationary sources, it is difficult to
specify a source specific threshold,
algorithm, or metric by which to require
monitoring in a rule such as this. To
achieve this goal, therefore, EPA is
proposing a two-pronged network
design to ensure that States perform a
sufficient amount of monitoring of
ambient concentrations of SO2 to
determine attainment of the proposed
SO2 NAAQS that intends to prevent
exposure to peak concentrations. EPA
anticipates this two-pronged network
would require approximately 345
monitors nationwide, providing data for
comparison with both the proposed 1hour and the 24-hour standard if
retained. The network would be wholly
comprised of monitors sited at locations
of expected maximum hourly
concentrations. EPA is proposing that
the two prongs of this SO2 network
design would be distributed based on:
(1) A Population Weighted Emissions
Index (PWEI) and (2) the state-level
contribution to the national, SO2
emissions inventory. EPA notes that
although we propose that the network
include a minimum number of required
monitors, State, local, and tribal
agencies may conduct additional
monitoring above the minimum
requirements. If those additional
monitors satisfy all applicable
requirements in 40 CFR Part 58, the data
from those monitors would be
comparable to the NAAQS. EPA
estimates that one-half to two-thirds of
the monitors in the existing network
(excluding any currently operating
NCore sites) may have to be moved in
order to be counted towards the
requirement for monitors sited at
locations of expected maximum shortterm concentrations of SO2.
We solicit comment on whether the
estimated 348 monitors required by this
proposal, distributed based on the two
network design components presented
below, are too few, too many, or suitable
to establish a minimum network
sufficient to meet the monitoring
objectives noted above, including
supporting compliance with the
proposed 1-hour SO2 NAAQS.
We propose that state and, where
appropriate, local air monitoring
agencies submit a plan for deploying
SO2 monitors in accordance with the
proposed requirements presented below
by July 1, 2011. We also propose that
the SO2 network being proposed be
physically established no later than
January 1, 2013. Considering the
proposed timeline and criteria
presented in the network design, we
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solicit comment on whether alternative
dates would be more appropriate as
deadlines for state and local monitoring
agencies to submit a monitoring plan.
We also solicit comments on whether
alternative dates would be more
appropriate as deadlines for state and
local monitoring agencies to physically
deploy monitors.
a. Population weighted emissions index
(PWEI) triggered monitoring
The EPA proposes that the first prong
of the ambient SO2 monitoring network
account for SO2 exposure by requiring
monitors in locations where population
and emissions may lead to higher
potential for population exposure to
peak hourly SO2 concentrations. In
order to do this, EPA has developed a
Population Weighted Emissions Index
(PWEI) that uses population and
emissions inventory data at the CBSA 34
level to assign required monitoring for
a given CBSA (population and
emissions being obvious relevant factors
in prioritizing numbers of required
monitors). The PWEI for a particular
CBSA is calculated by multiplying the
population (using the latest Census
Bureau estimates) of a CBSA by the total
amount of SO2 emissions in that CBSA.
The CBSA emission value is in tons per
year, and is calculated by aggregating
the county level emissions for each
county in a CBSA. We then normalize
by dividing the resulting product of
CBSA population and CBSA SO2
emissions by 1,000,000 to provide a
PWEI value, the units of which are
millions of people-tons per year. This
calculation has been performed for each
CBSA and has been posted in the docket
as ‘‘CBSA PWEI Calculation, 2009’’.
EPA believes that using this PWEI
metric to inform where monitoring is
required is more appropriate for the SO2
network design than utilizing a
population-only type of approach, so
that we may focus monitoring resources
in areas of the country where people
and emission sources are in greater
proximity. In addition, EPA’s initial
view is that this PWEI concept is
appropriate for SO2 but is not
necessarily transferrable to the other
criteria pollutants. From a very broad
vantage point, SO2 is exclusively a
primarily emitted pollutant (i.e. unlike
PM2.5 and ozone there is no secondary
formation of SO2), is almost exclusively
emitted by stationary sources (unlike
NO2, CO, PM2.5, thoracic coarse PM, and
ozone), and is a gaseous pollutant which
34 CBSAs are defined by the U.S. Census Bureau,
and are comprised of both Metropolitan Statistical
Areas and Micropolitan Statistical Areas (https://
www.census.gov).
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is somewhat more subject to transport
(unlike Pb in the Total Suspended
Particulate (TSP) and PM10 size
fractions).
We propose that the first prong of the
SO2 network design require monitors in
CBSAs, according to the following
criteria. For any CBSA with a calculated
PWEI value equal to or greater than
1,000,000, a minimum of three SO2
monitors are required within that CBSA.
For any CBSA with a calculated PWEI
value equal to or greater than 10,000,
but less than 1,000,000, a minimum of
two SO2 monitors are required within
that CBSA. For any CBSA with a
calculated PWEI value equal to or
greater than 5,000, but less than 10,000,
a minimum of one SO2 monitor is
required within that CBSA. EPA
believes that the monitors required
within these breakpoints provide a
reasonable minimum number of
monitors in a CBSA that considers the
combination of population and
emissions that exist in a given CBSA.
This proposed requirement is based on
factors that will ensure highly
populated areas will receive monitoring
even if the emissions in that area are
moderate, which is appropriate given
the fact that the greater population
creates increased potential for exposure
to those moderate sources. Additionally,
this proposed requirement also ensures
that those areas with higher emissions
or emission densities, with moderate or
modest populations will receive
monitoring since those increased
emissions are likely to have a significant
impact on whatever population may
exist nearby.
EPA estimates that these criteria will
result in 231 required sites in 132
CBSAs. We propose that monitors
triggered in this first prong of the
network design must be sited in
locations of expected maximum 1-hour
concentrations, at the appropriate
spatial scale35, within the boundaries of
a given CBSA. EPA also proposes that
when state or local agencies make
selections for monitoring sites from a
pool of similar candidate site locations,
they shall prioritize monitoring where
the maximum expected hourly
concentrations occur in relative greater
proximity to populations. EPA believes
that states will likely need to use some
form of quantitative analysis, such as
35 Due to the variability in where maximum
ground-level concentrations may occur (discussed
in the Monitor Siting and Placement section of this
chapter), the appropriate spatial scales within
which an SO2 monitor might be placed include the
microscale, middle, and neighborhood scales,
which are defined in 40 CFR Part 58 Appendix D.
[could also refer to the fn above where these are
described]
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modeling, data analysis, or saturation
studies to aid in determining where
ground-level SO2 maxima may occur in
a given CBSA. The selection of these
sites shall be documented in the Annual
Monitoring Network Plan per § 58.10,
which includes a requirement for public
inspection or comment, and approval by
the EPA Regional Administrator.
EPA solicits comment on (1) the use
of the Population Weighted Emissions
Index (PWEI), (2) the PWEI calculation
method, (3) the PWEI breakpoints that
correlate to a number of required
monitors, (4) the requirement that the
monitors shall be sited in locations of
expected maximum 1-hour
concentration, and (5) that state or local
agencies making selections for
monitoring sites from a pool of similar
candidate site locations shall prioritize
monitoring where the maximum
expected hourly concentrations occur in
relative greater proximity to
populations.
EPA recognizes that CBSA
populations and emissions inventories
change over time, suggesting a need for
periodic review of the monitoring
network. At the same time, EPA
recognizes the advantages of a stable
monitoring network. Therefore, while
EPA currently provides for updates of
the NEI every 3 years, EPA believes that
the current network review
requirements per § 58.10 which requires
an annual network plan and recurring 5year assessments provide a suitable
schedule for planning and assessing the
monitoring network. Through the 5-year
assessments, states will be in a position
to review emissions distributions from
updated NEIs to calculate PWEI values
for each CBSA and subsequently assess
whether the operational monitoring
network remains appropriate. EPA
proposes that the number of sites
required to operate as a result of the
PWEI values calculated for each CBSA
be reviewed and revised for each CBSA
through the 5-year network assessment
cycle required in § 58.10. EPA solicits
comment on whether such adjustments
to the network should be required on a
5-year cycle that matches the general
frequency of network assessments or
some other frequency.
b. State-level emissions triggered
monitoring
As the second prong of the SO2
network, we are proposing to require a
monitor or monitors in each state,
allocated by state-level SO2 emissions.
In this prong, EPA proposes to
distribute approximately 117 sites,
based on the corresponding percent
contribution of each individual state to
the national anthropogenic SO2
emission inventory. This prong of the
network design is intended to allow a
portion of the overall required monitors
to be placed where needed, independent
of the PWEI, inside or outside of CBSAs.
EPA proposes to require monitors, using
state boundaries as the geographic unit
for allocation purposes, in proportion to
a state’s SO2 emissions, i.e., a state with
higher emissions will be required to
have a proportionally higher number of
monitors. The proposed percent
contribution of individual states is
based on the most recent NEI, with SO2
emissions being aggregated by state.
Each one percent (after rounding) would
correspond to one required monitor. For
example, according to the 2005 NEI, the
State of Ohio contributes 8.66% of the
total anthropogenic SO2 inventory,
which would correspond to requiring
nine monitors to be distributed within
Ohio. Further, EPA proposes that each
state have at least one monitor required
as part of this second prong, even if a
particular state contributes less than
0.5% of the total anthropogenic national
emissions inventory. As a result,
approximately 117 monitoring sites
would be required and distributed based
on state-level SO2 emissions in the most
recent NEI, which in this case, is the
2005 NEI. EPA solicits comment on the
use of state-level emission inventories
based on the most recent NEI to
proportionally distribute approximately
one third (117 sites) of the required
monitoring network.
According to the most recent NEI, for
this proposed second prong, we
estimate the state/percent contribution
to the national inventory/required
monitor distribution to be:
TABLE 5—STATE-LEVEL EMISSION TRIGGERED MONITORS—THIS TABLE SHOWS STATE AND TERRITORY LEVEL CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE NATIONAL SO2 INVENTORY AND THE CORRESPONDING NUMBER OF MONITORS REQUIRED FOR EACH
STATE AS PROPOSED IN PRONG 2 OF THE PROPOSED NETWORK DESIGN
Percent contribution to the national
SO2 inventory
(percent)
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State or Territory
Proposed
number of required
monitors
4.02
0.46
N/A
0.60
0.77
1.48
0.54
0.23
0.58
0.03
4.40
5.07
N/A
0.08
0.16
3.51
7.10
1.50
1.33
3.88
2.40
0.25
2.58
1.07
4
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
4
5
1
1
1
4
7
2
1
4
2
1
3
1
Alabama .......................................................................................................................................................
Alaska ..........................................................................................................................................................
American Samoa .........................................................................................................................................
Arizona .........................................................................................................................................................
Arkansas ......................................................................................................................................................
California ......................................................................................................................................................
Colorado ......................................................................................................................................................
Connecticut ..................................................................................................................................................
Delaware ......................................................................................................................................................
District of Columbia .....................................................................................................................................
Florida ..........................................................................................................................................................
Georgia ........................................................................................................................................................
Guam ...........................................................................................................................................................
Hawaii ..........................................................................................................................................................
Idaho ............................................................................................................................................................
Illinois ...........................................................................................................................................................
Indiana .........................................................................................................................................................
Iowa .............................................................................................................................................................
Kansas .........................................................................................................................................................
Kentucky ......................................................................................................................................................
Louisiana ......................................................................................................................................................
Maine ...........................................................................................................................................................
Maryland ......................................................................................................................................................
Massachusetts .............................................................................................................................................
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TABLE 5—STATE-LEVEL EMISSION TRIGGERED MONITORS—THIS TABLE SHOWS STATE AND TERRITORY LEVEL CONTRIBUTIONS TO THE NATIONAL SO2 INVENTORY AND THE CORRESPONDING NUMBER OF MONITORS REQUIRED FOR EACH
STATE AS PROPOSED IN PRONG 2 OF THE PROPOSED NETWORK DESIGN—Continued
Percent contribution to the national
SO2 inventory
(percent)
State or Territory
Proposed
number of required
monitors
3.32
1.05
0.81
2.8
0.26
0.82
0.49
0.43
0.69
0.32
2.65
4.40
1.08
N/A
8.66
1.12
0.32
7.96
N/A
0.06
2.06
0.19
2.63
6.34
0.35
0.05
N/A
2.34
0.45
3.63
1.79
0.83
3
1
1
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
3
4
1
1
9
1
1
8
1
1
2
1
3
6
1
1
1
2
1
4
2
1
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Michigan .......................................................................................................................................................
Minnesota ....................................................................................................................................................
Mississippi ....................................................................................................................................................
Missouri ........................................................................................................................................................
Montana .......................................................................................................................................................
Nebraska ......................................................................................................................................................
Nevada .........................................................................................................................................................
New Hampshire ...........................................................................................................................................
New Jersey ..................................................................................................................................................
New Mexico .................................................................................................................................................
New York .....................................................................................................................................................
North Carolina ..............................................................................................................................................
North Dakota ................................................................................................................................................
Northern Mariana Islands ............................................................................................................................
Ohio .............................................................................................................................................................
Oklahoma .....................................................................................................................................................
Oregon .........................................................................................................................................................
Pennsylvania ................................................................................................................................................
Puerto Rico ..................................................................................................................................................
Rhode Island ................................................................................................................................................
South Carolina .............................................................................................................................................
South Dakota ...............................................................................................................................................
Tennessee ...................................................................................................................................................
Texas ...........................................................................................................................................................
Utah .............................................................................................................................................................
Vermont .......................................................................................................................................................
Virgin Islands ...............................................................................................................................................
Virginia .........................................................................................................................................................
Washington ..................................................................................................................................................
West Virginia ................................................................................................................................................
Wisconsin .....................................................................................................................................................
Wyoming ......................................................................................................................................................
EPA proposes siting requirements for
this second prong of required monitors
to be the same as those in the first
prong: siting in locations of expected
maximum 1-hour concentrations, at the
appropriate spatial scale, within the
boundaries of a given state, and
prioritizing the selection of candidate
sites where the maximum expected
hourly concentrations occur in greater
proximity to populations. This again
would need to be determined case-bycase using quantitative analysis, such as
modeling, data analysis, or saturation
studies to aid in determining where
ground-level SO2 maxima may occur in
a given state. We propose that these
monitors can be located inside or
outside of CBSA boundaries. However,
if a monitor required by the second
prong is placed inside a CBSA that
already has a requirement for
monitoring due to the first prong of this
network design, that monitor would not
be allowed to count towards satisfying
the first prong requirements. As noted
for the first prong of required monitors,
the selection of these sites shall be
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documented in the Annual Monitoring
Network Plan per § 58.10, which
includes a requirement for public
inspection or comment, and approval by
the EPA Regional Administrator.
The EPA solicits comment on (1) the
use of state-level emission inventories to
proportionally distribute required
monitors, (2) requiring each state to
have at least one monitor under this
prong of the network design, and (3)
requiring all monitors to be sited in
locations of expected maximum 1-hour
concentration inside or outside of
CBSAs.
EPA recognizes that emissions
inventories change over time, suggesting
a need for periodic review of the
monitoring network. At the same time,
EPA recognizes the advantages of a
stable monitoring network. Therefore,
while EPA currently provides for
updates of the NEI every 3 years, EPA
believes that the current network review
requirements per § 58.10 which requires
an annual network plan and recurring 5year assessments provide a suitable
schedule for planning and assessing the
monitoring network. Through the 5-year
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assessments, states will be in a position
to review emissions distributions from
updated NEIs to assess whether the
monitoring requirements remain
appropriate. EPA proposes that the
number of sites required to operate as a
result of state-level emissions be
reviewed and revised for each state
through the 5-year network assessment
cycle required § 58.10. EPA solicits
comment on whether such adjustments
to the network should be required on a
5-year cycle that matches the general
frequency of network assessments or
some other frequency.
c. Monitor placement and siting
Sites that are to be placed in locations
of expected maximum 1-hour
concentrations, will also likely discern
5-minute peaks as well. EPA expects
that in general, these locations will be
in proximity to larger emitting sources
(in tons per year) and/or areas of
relatively high emissions densities
where multiple sources may be
contributing to peak ground-level
concentrations. The variability in where
such locations exist relative to the
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responsible emission source(s) depends
on multiple factors including the
tonnage emitted by a source (or group of
sources), stack height, stack diameter,
emission exit velocity, emission
temperature, terrain, and meteorology.
Depending on these variables, plumes
may heavily fumigate areas immediately
downwind of a source, or may never
truly touch down at all, dispersing into
ambient air where SO2 concentrations
continually decrease with increasing
distance away from the source. This is
illustrated in an example where a
relatively large source with a tall stack
height may not produce exceedingly
high ground level concentrations
anywhere along its plume trajectory
while a smaller source with a relatively
short stack may cause relatively higher
ground level concentrations under the
same meteorological conditions at the
same location. The primary reason for
this variability is because the peak
impacts of sources with higher stacks
will generally be farther downwind and
may be more variably located than is the
case for sources with shorter stacks.
Further, depending on meteorology, an
emission plume from an individual
source may cause increased groundlevel concentrations at any heading,
relative to the parent source,
corresponding to the prevailing winds.
When analyzing a particular source, a
state may find multiple locations where
peak ground-level concentrations may
occur around an individual source. EPA
does not intend for multiple monitors to
be sited around or in proximity to one
source. Not siting multiple monitors
around, or in proximity, to one source
ensures that more individual sources or
groups of sources will receive attention
by the monitoring network. States
always have the discretion to perform
additional monitoring above the
minimum requirements to increase
monitoring around a particular source
or group of sources.
Due to the variability of how, when,
where, and to what degree a source or
group of sources can contribute to peak,
ground-level SO2 concentrations, EPA
expects that State and local monitoring
agencies will need to analyze all
relevant information, including
available ambient and emissions data,
and potentially use air quality modeling
or saturation studies to select
appropriate monitoring site locations.
Further, due to the variability in where
maximum ground-level concentrations
may occur, the appropriate spatial
scales within which a monitor might be
placed include the microscale, middle,
and neighborhood scales, which are
defined in 40 CFR Part 58 Appendix D.
EPA believes that states, in evaluating a
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source (or group of sources) that
contribute to a peak ground-level SO2
concentration that varies with space and
time, should identify where the highest
concentrations are expected to occur in
developing candidate site locations.
EPA proposes that when state and local
agencies make selections for monitoring
sites from candidate site locations, they
shall prioritize monitoring where the
maximum expected hourly
concentrations occur in greater
proximity to populations. EPA solicits
comment on the role of population
exposure in the site selection process.
d. Monitoring required by the regional
administrator
In addition to the two prongs of the
proposed SO2 network design, we
propose that the Regional Administrator
will have discretion to require
monitoring above these minimum
requirements under prongs 1 and 2, as
necessary to address situations where
the minimum monitoring requirements
are not sufficient to meet monitoring
objectives noted above. EPA recognizes
that the minimum required monitors in
the proposed network design under the
two prongs described above are based
on indicators that may not provide for
all the monitoring that may be necessary
in an area. An example where EPA
envisions requiring an additional
monitor might be a case where a source
having modest emissions still has high
potential to cause a violation of the
NAAQS in a community or
neighborhood. This situation might
occur where a modest SO2 source has,
for example, a low emission stack and/
or is in an area where meteorological
conditions cause situations, such as
inversions or stagnation, that might lead
to high ground-level concentrations of
SO2. In this example, such a monitor
might be needed even though a state is
fulfilling its monitoring requirements
under the first and second prongs of the
proposed network design. The purpose
of this provision is to monitor in and
provide data for otherwise nonmonitored locations that have the
potential to exceed the level of the
NAAQS or that are perceived to have
higher exposure risks due to proximity
to a source or sources. In such an
example, the Regional Administrators
may make use of any available data
including existing model data, existing
data analyses, or screening tools such as
AERSCREEN or SCREEN3, to inform a
decision of whether or not a monitor
should be required for a given area or
location. Any monitor required through
the Regional Administrator and selected
by the state or local agency would be
included in the Annual Monitoring
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Network Plan per § 58.10, which
includes a requirement for public
inspection or comment, and approval by
the EPA Regional Administrator. In any
case, EPA encourages state, local, and
tribal monitoring agencies to provide
input and information to the
appropriate Regional Administrators in
determining whether additional
monitors are needed and the locations
of such monitors. We solicit comment
on the proposal to allow Regional
Administrators the discretion to require
monitoring above the requirements
under prongs 1 and 2 for any area or
location where those monitoring
requirements are not sufficient to meet
monitoring objectives.
EPA notes that existing requirements
detailed in § 58.14(c) address certain
conditions where existing monitors can
be shut down, with EPA Regional
Administrator approval. EPA is not
reopening or otherwise reconsidering
this provision. However, this
requirement is noted here so that state
or local agency requests to potentially
relocate SO2 monitors to meet the
proposed requirements of prongs 1 or 2
will be considered with the specific
provisions of § 58.14(c) in mind.
e. Alternative network design
EPA solicits comments on alternative
network designs, including alternative
methods to determine the minimum
number of monitors per state. We are
particularly interested in whether a
screening approach for assessing the
likelihood of a NAAQS exceedance
could be developed and serve as a basis
for determining the number and
location of required monitors.
More specifically, EPA requests
comment on whether it should utilize
existing screening tools such as
AERSCREEN or SCREEN3, which use
parameters such as effective stack height
and emissions levels to identify
facilities with the potential to cause an
exceedance of the proposed standard.
For that set of sources, EPA could then
require states to conduct more refined
modeling (likely using the American
Meteorological Society (AMS)/EPA
Regulatory Model (AERMOD)) to
determine locations where monitoring
should be conducted. Any screening or
modeling would likely be carried out by
states by using EPA recommended
models and techniques referenced by 40
CFR Part 51, Appendix W, which
provides guidance on air quality
modeling. Such screening or modeling
uses facility emission tonnage, stack
heights, stack diameters, emission
temperatures, emission velocities, and
accounts for local terrain and
meteorology in determining where
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expected maximum hourly
concentrations may occur. In using this
approach, EPA would then require
states to locate monitors at the point of
maximum concentration around sources
identified as likely causing NAAQS
exceedances.
This approach could lead to monitors
being required at a significantly larger
number of locations than under the
proposed approach. For example, the
NEI shows that 2,407 sources emit 50
tons per year or more of SO2, while
1,928 sources emit 100 tons per year or
more of SO2. If, for example, the state
screening approach found that a
substantial fraction of those 50 or 100
ton per year sources had a significant
probability of violating the NAAQS,
states could be required to model,
evaluate, and potentially monitor a
corresponding number of sources. EPA
also notes that this alternative approach
would not distinctly use population as
a factor for where monitors should be
placed. EPA solicits comment on the
resource implications for state and local
agencies associated with this approach.
If EPA selects a standard level near
the lower end of the proposed range, it
is likely that a greater number of areas
would exceed the NAAQS, leading to
the need for additional monitors. A
facility screening approach, as described
above would explicitly account for the
specific parameters of a facility, air
quality information, and the stringency
of the standard for determining the
number of monitors, in contrast to the
proposed approach. EPA solicits
comment on how, in the absence of a
facility screening approach, the number
of monitors required nationwide could
be adjusted if EPA finalizes a standard
near the lower end of the proposed
range.
C. Data reporting
SO2 UV fluorescence FEMs are
continuous gas analyzers, producing
updated data values on the order of
every 20 seconds. Data values are
typically aggregated into minute
averages and then compiled into hourly
averages for reporting purposes. EPA
proposes to retain the existing
requirement that State and local
monitoring agencies report hourly SO2
data to AQS within 90 days of the end
of each calendar quarter. EPA
encourages monitoring agencies to
voluntarily report their pre-validated
data on an hourly basis to EPA’s real
time AIRNow data system.
The definitive evidence for the ISA’s
conclusion of causal association
between short-term SO2 exposure and
respiratory morbidity is from controlled
human exposure studies of 5–10
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minutes in exercising asthmatics (ISA,
section 5.2). The REA therefore assessed
exposure and risks associated with 5minute SO2 concentrations above 5minute health effect benchmark levels
derived from these controlled human
exposure studies. In performing these
analyses, the REA noted that: (1) The
majority of the current SO2 monitoring
network reported 1-hour SO2
concentrations (REA section 7.2.3); (2)
very few state and local agencies in the
U.S. voluntary reported ambient 5minute SO2 concentrations, as such
reporting is not required (REA, section
10.3.3.2); and (3) the lack of 5-minute
monitoring data necessitated the use of
statistically estimated 5-minute SO2
concentrations derived from reported 1hour SO2 levels (see REA section 7.2.3)
in order to expand the geographic scope
of the exposure and risk analyses. Thus
given the demonstrated importance of 5minute SO2 concentrations, EPA
proposes that State and local agencies
shall report to AQS the maximum 5minute block average of the twelve 5minute block averages of SO2 for each
hour, in addition to the existing
requirement to report the 1-hour
average.
EPA solicits comment on the
proposed requirement for state and local
monitoring agencies to report both
hourly average and the maximum 5minute block average out of the twelve
5-minute block averages of SO2 for each
hour. EPA also solicits comment on the
advantages and disadvantages of
alternatively requiring state and local
agencies to report all twelve 5-minute
SO2 values for each hour. Having all
twelve 5-minute SO2 values for each
hour would provide more detailed
information for health research
purposes and provide additional
information to help inform the next
review of the SO2 standard. We also
solicit comment on alternatively
requiring state and local agencies to
report the maximum 5-minute
concentration in an hour based on a
moving 5-minute averaging period
rather than time block averaging.
EPA notes the potential resource
burden with the proposed requirement
to report 5-minute average values in
addition to 1-hour average values, as is
currently required. Accordingly, we
solicit comment on the magnitude and
importance of this resource burden,
recognizing that monitoring agencies
utilize a variety of automated data
acquisition and management programs,
and that the resulting burden of
validating and reporting 5-minute data
may vary from a relatively trivial matter
to an issue of greater importance,
depending on the procedures utilized
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64855
within each agency’s data reporting
process.
As a part of the larger data quality
performance requirements of the
ambient monitoring program, we are
proposing data quality objectives
(DQOs) for the proposed SO2 network.
The DQOs are meant to identify
measurement uncertainty for a given
pollutant method. We propose a goal for
acceptable measurement uncertainty for
SO2 methods to be defined for precision
as an upper 90 percent confidence limit
for the coefficient of variation (CV) of 15
percent and for bias as an upper 95
percent confidence limit for the absolute
bias of 15 percent. We solicit comment
on the proposed DQOs and on what the
acceptable measurement uncertainty
should be.
IV. Proposed Appendix T—
Interpretation of the Primary NAAQS
for Oxides of Sulfur and Proposed
Revisions to the Exceptional Events
Rule
The EPA is proposing to add
Appendix T, Interpretation of the
Primary National Ambient Air Quality
Standards for Oxides of Sulfur, to 40
CFR Part 50 in order to provide data
handling procedures for the proposed
SO2 1-hour primary standard. The
proposed § 50.11 which sets the
averaging period, level, indicator and
form of the NAAQS refers to this
Appendix T. The proposed Appendix T
would detail the computations
necessary for determining when the
proposed 1-hour primary SO2 NAAQS is
met. The proposed Appendix T also
would address data reporting, data
completeness considerations, and
rounding conventions.
Two versions of the proposed
Appendix T are printed at the end of
this notice. The first applies to a 1-hour
primary standard based on the annual
4th high value form, while the second
applies to a 1-hour primary standard
based on the 99th percentile daily value
form. (As explained in section II.F. 3
above, EPA is proposing alternative
forms here based on technical analysis
that they are equally effective.) The
discussion here addresses the first of
these versions, followed by a brief
description of the differences found in
the second version.
For the proposed 1-hour primary
standard, EPA is proposing data
handling procedures, a proposed
addition of a cross-reference to the
Exceptional Events Rule, a proposed
addition to allow the Administrator
discretion to consider otherwise
incomplete data to be complete, and a
proposed provision addressing the
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possibility of there being multiple SO2
monitors at one site.
The EPA is also proposing SO2specific changes to the deadlines in 40
CFR 50.14, by which states must flag
ambient air data that they believe have
been affected by exceptional events and
submit initial descriptions of those
events, and to the deadlines by which
states must submit detailed
justifications to support the exclusion of
that data from EPA determinations of
attainment or nonattainment with the
NAAQS. The deadlines now contained
in 40 CFR 50.14 are generic, and are not
always appropriate for SO2 given the
anticipated schedule for the
designations of areas under the
proposed SO2 NAAQS.
A. Background
The general purpose of a data
interpretation appendix is to provide
the practical details on how to make a
comparison between multi-day and
possibly multi-monitor ambient air
concentration data and the level of the
NAAQS, so that determinations of
attainment and nonattainment are as
objective as possible. Data interpretation
guidelines also provide criteria for
determining whether there are sufficient
data to make a NAAQS level
comparison at all.
The regulatory language for the
current SO2 NAAQS, originally adopted
in 1977, contains data interpretation
instructions only for the issue of data
completeness. This situation contrasts
with the situations for ozone, PM2.5,
PM10, and most recently Pb for which
there are detailed data interpretation
appendices in 40 CFR Part 50
addressing issues that can arise in
comparing monitoring data to the
NAAQS. EPA has used its experience
developing and applying these other
data interpretation appendices to
develop the proposed text for Appendix
T.
An exceptional event is defined in 40
CFR 50.1 as an event that affects air
quality, is not reasonably controllable or
preventable, is an event caused by
human activity that is unlikely to recur
at a particular location or is a natural
event, and is determined by the
Administrator in accordance with 40
CFR 50.14 to be an exceptional event.
Air quality data that is determined,
under the procedural steps and
substantive criteria specified in section
50.14, to have been affected by an
exceptional event may be excluded from
consideration when EPA makes a
determination that an area is meeting or
not meeting the associated NAAQS. The
key procedural deadlines in section
50.14 are that a State must notify EPA
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that data have been affected by an event,
i.e., ‘‘flag’’ the data in the Air Quality
Systems (AQS) database, and provide an
initial description of the event by July
1 of the year after the data are collected,
and that the State must submit the full
justification for exclusion within 3 years
after the quarter in which the data were
collected. However, if a regulatory
decision based on the data, for example
a designation action, is anticipated, the
schedule is shortened and all
information must be submitted to EPA
no later than a year before the decision
is to be made. This generic schedule
presents problems when a NAAQS has
been recently revised, as discussed
below.
B. Interpretation of the primary NAAQS
for oxides of sulfur
The purpose of a data interpretation
rule for the SO2 NAAQS is to give effect
to the form, level, averaging time, and
indicator specified in the proposed
regulatory text at 40 CFR 50.11,
anticipating and resolving in advance
various future situations that could
occur. The proposed Appendix T
provides definitions and requirements
that apply to the proposed 1-hour
primary standard for SO2. The
requirements concern how ambient data
are to be reported, what ambient data
are to be considered (including the issue
of which of multiple monitors’ data sets
will be used when more than one
monitor has operated at a site), and the
applicability of the Exceptional Events
Rule to the primary SO2 NAAQS.
1. 1-hour primary standard based on the
annual 4th high value form
With regard to data completeness for
the proposed 1-hour primary standard,
the proposed Appendix follows past
EPA practice for other NAAQS
pollutants by requiring that in general at
least 75% of the monitoring data that
should have resulted from following the
planned monitoring schedule in a
period must be available for the key air
quality statistic from that period to be
considered valid. For the proposed 1hour primary SO2 NAAQS, the key air
quality statistics are the daily maximum
1-hour concentrations in three
successive years. It is important that
sampling within a day encompass the
period when concentrations are likely to
be highest and that all seasons of the
year are well represented. Hence, the
75% requirement is proposed to be
applied at the daily and quarterly levels.
EPA invites comment on the proposed
completeness requirements.
Recognizing that there may be years
with incomplete data, the proposed text
provides that a design value derived
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from incomplete data will nevertheless
be considered valid in either of two
situations.
First, if the design value calculated
from at least four days of monitoring
observations in each of these years
exceeds the level of the 1-hour primary
standard, it would be valid. This
situation could arise if monitoring was
intermittent but high SO2 levels were
measured on enough hours and days for
the mean of the three annual 4th highest
values to exceed the standard. In this
situation, more complete monitoring
could not possibly have indicated that
the standard was actually met.
Second, we are proposing a diagnostic
data substitution test which is intended
to identify those cases with incomplete
data in which it nevertheless is very
likely, if not virtually certain, that the
daily 1-hour design value would have
been observed to be below the level of
the NAAQS if monitoring data had been
minimally complete.
The diagnostic test would be applied
only if there is at least 50% data capture
in each quarter of each year and if the
3-year mean of the observed annual 4th
highest maximum hourly values in the
incomplete data is below the NAAQS
level. The test would substitute a high
hypothetical concentration for as much
of the missing data as needed to meet
the 100% requirement in each quarter.
The value that is substituted for the
missing values is the highest daily
maximum 1-hour observed in the same
quarter, looking across all three years
under evaluation. If the resulting 3-year
design value is below the NAAQS, it is
highly likely that the design value
calculated from complete data would
also have been below the NAAQS, so
the original design value indicating
compliance would be considered valid.
It should be noted that one possible
outcome of applying the proposed
substitution test is that a year with
incomplete data may nevertheless be
determined to not have a valid design
value and thus to be unusable in making
1-hour primary NAAQS compliance
determinations for that 3-year period.
EPA invites comment on incorporating
the proposed substitution test into the
final rule.
EPA is proposing that the
Administrator have general discretion to
use incomplete data to calculate design
values that would be treated as valid for
comparison to the NAAQS despite the
incompleteness, either at the request of
a state or at her own initiative. Similar
provisions exist already for the PM2.5
and lead NAAQS, and EPA has recently
proposed such provisions to accompany
the proposed 1-hour NO2 and SO2
NAAQS. The Administrator would
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concentrations before comparison to the
level of the primary NAAQS.
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consider monitoring site closures/
moves, monitoring diligence, and
nearby concentrations in determining
whether to use such data.
2. 1-hour primary standard based on the
annual 99th percentile daily value form
The second version of the proposed
Appendix T appearing at the end of this
notice contains proposed interpretation
procedures for a 1-hour primary
standard based on the 99th percentile
daily value form. The 4th high daily
value form and the 99th percentile daily
value form would yield the same design
value in a situation in which every hour
and day of the year has reported
monitoring data, since the 99th
percentile of 365 daily values is the 4th
highest value. However, the two forms
diverge if data completeness is 82% or
less, because in that case the 99th
percentile value is the 3rd highest (or
higher) value, to compensate for the lack
of monitoring data on days when
concentrations could also have been
high.
Logically, provisions to address
possible data incompleteness under the
99th percentile daily value form should
be somewhat different from those for the
4th highest form. With a 4th highest
form, incompleteness should not
invalidate a design value that exceeds
the standard, for reasons explained
above. With the 99th percentile form,
however, a design value exceeding the
standard stemming from incomplete
data should not automatically be
considered valid, because
concentrations on the unmonitored days
could have been relatively low, such
that the actual 99th percentile value for
the year could have been lower, and the
design value could have been below the
standard. The second proposed version
of Appendix T accordingly has
somewhat different provisions for
dealing with data incompleteness. One
difference is the addition of another
diagnostic test based on data
substitution, which in some cases can
validate a design value based on
incomplete data that exceeds the
standard.
The second version of the proposed
Appendix T provides a table for
determining which day’s maximum 1hour concentration will be used as the
99th percentile concentration for the
year. The proposed table is similar to
one used now for the 24-hour PM2.5
NAAQS, which is based on a 98th
percentile form, but adjusted to reflect
a 99th percentile form for the 1-hour
primary SO2 standard. The proposed
Appendix T also provides instructions
for rounding (not truncating) the average
of three annual 99th percentile hourly
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C. Exceptional events information
submission schedule
The Exceptional Events Rule at 40
CFR 50.14 contains generic deadlines
for a state to submit to EPA specified
information about exceptional events
and associated air pollutant
concentration data. A state must
initially notify EPA that data have been
affected by an event by July 1 of the
calendar year following the year in
which the event occurred; this is done
by flagging the data in AQS and
providing an initial event description.
The state must also, after notice and
opportunity for public comment, submit
a demonstration to justify any claim
within 3 years after the quarter in which
the data were collected. However, if a
regulatory decision based on the data
(for example, a designation action) is
anticipated, the schedule to flag data in
AQS and submit complete
documentation to EPA for review is
shortened, and all information must be
submitted to EPA no later than one year
before the decision is to be made.
These generic deadlines are suitable
for the period after initial designations
have been made under a NAAQS, when
the decision that may depend on data
exclusion is a redesignation from
attainment to nonattainment or from
nonattainment to attainment. However,
these deadlines present problems with
respect to initial designations under a
newly revised NAAQS. One problem is
that some of the deadlines, especially
the deadlines for flagging some relevant
data, may have already passed by the
time the revised NAAQS is
promulgated. Until the level and form of
the NAAQS have been promulgated a
state does not know whether the criteria
for excluding data (which are tied to the
level and form of the NAAQS) were met
on a given day. Another problem is that
it may not be feasible for information on
some exceptional events that may affect
final designations to be collected and
submitted to EPA at least one year in
advance of the final designation
decision. This could have the
unintended consequence of EPA
designating an area nonattainment
because of uncontrollable natural or
other qualified exceptional events.
The Exceptional Events Rule at
§ 50.14(c)(2)(v) indicates ‘‘when EPA
sets a NAAQS for a new pollutant, or
revises the NAAQS for an existing
pollutant, it may revise or set a new
schedule for flagging data for initial
designation of areas for those NAAQS.’’
For the specific case of SO2, EPA
anticipates that the signature date for
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64857
the revised SO2 NAAQS will be June 2,
2010 (a date specified by Consent
Decree), that state/tribal designations
recommendations will be due by June 2,
2011, and that initial designations under
the revised NAAQS will be made by
June 1, 2012 (since June 2, 2012 would
be on a Saturday) and will be based on
air quality data from the years 2008–
2010 or 2009–2011 if there is sufficient
data for these data years. (See Section VI
below for more detailed discussion of
the designation schedule and what data
EPA intends to use.) Under the current
rule, because final designations would
be made by June 1, 2012, all events to
be considered during the designations
process would have to be flagged and
fully documented by states one year
prior to designations, by June 1, 2011.
A state would not be able to flag and
submit documentation regarding events
that occurred between June to December
2011 by one year before designations are
made in June 2012.
EPA is proposing revisions to 40 CFR
50.14 only to change submission dates
for information supporting claimed
exceptional events affecting SO2 data.
The proposed rule text at the end of this
notice shows the changes that would
apply if a revised SO2 NAAQS is
promulgated by June 2, 2010, and
designations are made two years after
such promulgation. For air quality data
collected in 2008, we propose to extend
the generic July 1, 2009 deadline for
flagging data (and providing a brief
initial description of the event) to
October 1, 2010. EPA believes this
extension would provide adequate time
for states to review the impact of
exceptional events from 2008 on the
revised standard and notify EPA by
flagging the relevant data in AQS. EPA
is not proposing to change the
foreshortened deadline of June 1, 2011
for submitting documentation to justify
an SO2-related exceptional event from
2008. We believe the generic deadline
provides adequate time for states to
develop and submit proper
documentation.
For data collected in 2009, EPA
proposes to extend generic deadline of
July 1, 2010 for flagging data and
providing initial event descriptions to
October 1, 2010. EPA is retaining the
deadline of June 1, 2011 for states to
submit documentation to justify an SO2related exceptional event from 2009.
EPA plans to assist the states by
providing at the time of signature our
assessment of which monitoring sites
and days have exceeded the NAAQS in
2008 and 2009. For data collected in
2010, EPA is proposing a deadline of
June 1, 2011 for flagging data and
providing initial event descriptions and
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for submitting documentation to justify
exclusion of the flagged data. EPA
believes that this deadline provides
states with adequate time to review and
identify potential exceptional events
that occur in calendar year 2010, even
for those events that might occur late in
the year. EPA believes these deadlines
will be feasible because experience
suggest that exceptional events affecting
SO2 data are few in number and easily
assessed, so no state is likely to have a
large workload.
If a state intends 2011 data to be
considered in SO2 designations, 2011
data must be flagged and detailed event
documentation submitted 60 days after
the end of the calendar quarter in which
the event occurred or by March 31,
2011, whichever date occurs first.
Again, EPA believes these deadlines
will be feasible because experience
suggest that exceptional events affecting
SO2 data are few in number and easily
assessed, so no state is likely to have a
large workload.
Table 6 summarizes the proposed
designation deadlines discussed in this
section and provides designation
schedule information from recent,
pending or prior NAAQS revisions for
other pollutants. If the promulgation
date for a revised SO2 NAAQS occurs on
a different date than June 1, 2010 (i.e.
if the consent decree should be
amended—which EPA does not
presently anticipate), EPA will revise
the final SO2 exceptional event flagging
and documentation submission
deadlines accordingly, consistent with
this proposal, to provide states with
reasonably adequate opportunity to
review, identify, and document
exceptional events that may affect an
area designation under a revised
NAAQS. EPA invites comment on these
proposed changes in the exceptional
event flagging and documentation
submission deadlines for the revised
SO2 NAAQS shown in Table 6.
TABLE 6—SCHEDULE FOR EXCEPTIONAL EVENT FLAGGING AND DOCUMENTATION SUBMISSION FOR DATA TO BE USED IN
DESIGNATIONS DECISIONS FOR NEW OR REVISED NAAQS
NAAQS pollutant/
standard/(level)/
promulgation date
Air quality data
collected for
calendar year
PM2.5/24-Hr Standard (35 μg/m3) Promulgated October 17, 2006.
Ozone/8-Hr Standard (0.075 ppm) Promulgated March 12, 2008.
Event flagging & initial description
deadline
Detailed documentation submission
deadline
April 15, 2008 a.
2005–2007
June 18, 2009 a .....................................
June 18, 2009 a.
2008
June 18, 2009 a .....................................
60 Days after the end of the calendar
quarter in which the event occurred
or February 5, 2010, whichever date
occurs first b.
July 1, 2010 a ........................................
June 18, 2009 a.
60 Days after the end of the calendar
quarter in which the event occurred
or February 5, 2010, whichever date
occurs first b.
January 22, 2011 a.
2009
2010
2008
July 1, 2010 a ........................................
April 1, 2011 a ........................................
October 1, 2010 b ..................................
January 22, 2011 a.
July 1, 2011 a.
June 1, 2011 b.
2009
2010
2011
(80–100
October 1, 2007 a ..................................
2008
2009
NO2/1-Hour Standard
Final Level Tbd).
2004–2006
October 1, 2010 b ..................................
June 1, 2011 b .......................................
60 Days after the end of the calendar
quarter in which the event occurred
or March 31, 2011, whichever date
occurs first b.
June 1, 2011 b.
June 1, 2011 b.
60 Days after the end of the calendar
quarter in which the event occurred
or March 31, 2011, whichever date
occurs first b.
Ppb,
SO2/1-Hour Standard (50–100 PPB,
Final Level Tbd).
a These dates are unchanged from those published In the original rulemaking, or are being proposed elsewhere and are shown in this table for
informational purposes—the agency is not opening these dates for comment under this rulemaking.
b Indicates change from general schedule In 40 CFR 50.14.
Note: EPA notes that the table of revised deadlines only applies to data EPA will use to establish the final initial designations for new or revised NAAQS. The general schedule applies for all other purposes, most notably, for data used by EPA for redesignations to attainment.
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V. Designations for the SO2 NAAQS
After EPA establishes or revises a
NAAQS, the CAA directs EPA and the
states to begin taking steps to ensure
that the new or revised NAAQS is met.
The first step is to identify areas of the
country that do not meet the new or
revised NAAQS. This step is known as
the initial area designations.
Section 107(d)(1)(A) of the CAA
provides that, ‘‘By such date as the
Administrator may reasonably require,
but not later than 1 year after
promulgation of a new or revised
NAAQS for any pollutant under section
109, the Governor of each state shall
* * * submit to the Administrator a list
of all areas (or portions thereof) in the
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state’’ that designates those areas as
nonattainment, attainment, or
unclassifiable. The CAA section
107(d)(1)(A)(i) defines an area as
nonattainment if it is violating the
NAAQS or if it is contributing to a
violation in a nearby area.
Section 107(d)(1)(B)(i) further
provides, ‘‘Upon promulgation or
revision of a NAAQS, the Administrator
shall promulgate the designations of all
areas (or portions thereof) * * * as
expeditiously as practicable, but in no
case later than 2 years from the date of
promulgation. Such period may be
extended for up to one year in the event
the Administrator has insufficient
information to promulgate the
designations within 2 years. By no later
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than 120 days prior to promulgating
designations, EPA is required to notify
states of any intended modifications to
their boundaries as EPA may deem
necessary. States then have an
opportunity to comment on EPA’s
intended decisions. (See section
107(d)(1)(B)(ii).) Whether or not a state
provides a recommendation, EPA must
promulgate the designation that the
Agency deems appropriate.
Therefore, following promulgation of
any revised SO2 NAAQS in June 2010,
EPA must promulgate initial
designations by June 2012, or, by June
2013 in the event that the Administrator
has insufficient information to
promulgate initial designations within 2
years. Along with the proposal to set a
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new 1-hour primary SO2 NAAQS,
elsewhere in this action, EPA is
proposing new SO2 ambient air
monitoring network requirements. As
proposed, any new monitors would be
deployed no later than January 1, 2013.
Compliance with the proposed 1-hour
SO2 NAAQS would be determined
based on 3 years of complete, quality
assured, certified monitoring data. We
do not expect newly sited monitors for
the proposed new network to generate
sufficient monitoring data for EPA to
use in determining whether areas are in
compliance with the revised SO2
NAAQS by the statutory deadline for
EPA to complete initial designations,
even if EPA were to take an additional
third year. Therefore, EPA intends to
complete the designations on a 2-year
schedule, by June 2012, based on 3
years of complete, quality assured,
certified air quality monitoring data
from the current monitoring network.
EPA expects to base designations on
air quality data from the years 2008–
2010 or 2009–2011. Because the new
monitoring network requirements
would not apply until January 1, 2013,
EPA expects that many SO2 monitors
now operating will continue in
operation at their current locations at
least through the end of 2011.36 The SO2
monitors in the current network were
generally sited to measure the highest
24-hour and annual average SO2
concentrations. However, all of the
monitors report hourly data. EPA
estimates that around 488 monitors
operated in 2008. EPA believes at least
one third of the monitors meet the
proposed network design requirements
and therefore would not need to be
moved. Additional monitors may be
retained in their current locations if
they are measuring high levels of SO2.
If a monitor in the existing network
indicates a violation of the 1-hour SO2
NAAQS, EPA intends to designate the
area nonattainment, regardless of
whether or not the monitor is located
such that it could be counted towards
meeting the proposed new network
requirements. However, if the monitor
indicates that the monitoring site meets
the 1-hour SO2 NAAQS, EPA’s decision
on the designation of the area would be
made on a case-by-case basis. One
possible outcome is that the area may be
designated as unclassifiable because
EPA would be unable to determine
whether the area is violating the 1-hour
36 EPA Regional Administrator approval will be
required for any state to discontinue an existing
monitoring site, and EPA does not expect that it
will before 2011 approve discontinuation of
monitoring at any site which appears to have a
substantial likelihood of violating the 1-hour
NAAQS.
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SO2 NAAQS, or contributing to a
violation in a nearby area, because of a
lack of a complete monitoring network
meeting the new network requirements.
Accordingly, state Governors would
need to submit their initial designation
recommendations to EPA no later than
June 2011. If the Administrator intends
to modify any state recommendation,
EPA would notify the state’s Governor
no later than February 2012, 120 days
prior to promulgating the final
designations. States would then have an
opportunity to comment on EPA’s
tentative decisions before EPA
promulgates the final designations in
June 2012.
While CAA section 107 specifically
addresses states, EPA intends to follow
the same process for tribes to the extent
practicable, pursuant to section 301(d)
of the CAA regarding tribal authority,
and the Tribal Authority Rule (63 FR
7254; February 12, 1998). Pursuant to
the Tribal Authority Rule, Tribes are not
subject to the schedule requirements
that apply to states. However, EPA
intends to promulgate designations for
Tribal land as well as state land
according to the schedule mandated for
state land, so EPA encourages Tribes
that wish to provide input on EPA’s
designations to provide this input on
the schedule mandated for states.
VI. Clean Air Act Implementation
Requirements
This section of the preamble discusses
the Clean Air Act (CAA) requirements
that states and emissions sources would
need to address when implementing
new or revised SO2 NAAQS based on
the structure outlined in the CAA and
existing rules.37 The EPA believes that
there are sufficient guidance documents
and regulations currently in place to
fully implement the proposed revision
to the SO2 NAAQS.38 However, EPA
may provide additional guidance in the
future, as necessary, to assist states and
emissions sources to comply with the
CAA provisions for implementing a new
or revised SO2 NAAQS.
The CAA assigns important roles to
EPA, states and tribal governments to
achieve the NAAQS. States have the
primary responsibility for developing
and implementing state implementation
plans (SIPs) that contain state measures
37 Since EPA is proposing to take comments on
retaining the current 24-hr standards without
revision if the 1-hr standard is set at 100–150 ppb,
the discussion in this section relates to
implementation of the proposed 1-hour standard
and the possible retention or revocation of the
current 24-hr standard.
38 See SO Guideline Document, Office of Air
2
Quality Planning and Standards, Research Triangle
Park, NC 27711, EPA–452/R–94–008, February
1994.
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64859
necessary to achieve the air quality
standards in each area once EPA has
established the NAAQS. EPA provides
assistance to states and tribes by
providing technical tools, assistance,
and guidance, including information on
the potential control measures that may
assist in helping areas attain the
standards.
Under section 110 of the CAA, 42
U.S.C. 7410, and related provisions,
states are directed to submit, for EPA
approval, SIPs that provide for the
attainment and maintenance of such
standards through control programs
directed at sources of SO2 emissions. If
a state fails to adopt and implement the
required SIPs by the time periods
provided in the CAA, EPA has the
responsibility under the CAA to adopt
a federal implementation plan (FIP) to
assure that areas attain the NAAQS in
an expeditious manner. The states, in
conjunction with EPA, also administer
the prevention of significant
deterioration (PSD) program for SO2.
See sections 160–169 of the CAA, 42
U.S.C. 7470–7479. In addition, federal
programs provide for nationwide
reductions in emissions of SO2 and
other air pollutants under Title II of the
Act, 42 U.S.C. 7521–7574. These
programs involve limits on the sulfur
content of the fuel used by automobiles,
trucks, buses, motorcycles, non-road
engines and equipment, marine vessels
and locomotives. EPA is also in the
process of establishing limits on the
sulfur content of the fuel used by ocean
going vessels. Emissions reductions for
SO2 are also obtained from
implementation of the new source
performance standards (NSPS) for
stationary sources under sections 111
and 129 of the CAA, 42 U.S.C. 7411 and
7429; and the national emission
standards for hazardous air pollutants
(NESHAP) for stationary sources under
section 112 of the CAA, 42 U.S.C. 7412.
A. How this rule applies to tribes
CAA section 301(d) authorizes EPA to
treat eligible Indian tribes in the same
manner as states (TAS) under the CAA
and requires EPA to promulgate
regulations specifying the provisions of
the statute for which such treatment is
appropriate. EPA has promulgated these
regulations—known as the Tribal
Authority Rule or TAR—at 40 CFR Part
49. See 63 FR 7254 (February 12, 1998).
The TAR establishes the process for
Indian tribes to seek TAS eligibility and
sets forth the CAA functions for which
TAS will be available. Under the TAR,
eligible tribes may seek approval for all
CAA and regulatory purposes other than
a small number of functions enumerated
at section 49.4. Implementation plans
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under section 110 are included within
the scope of CAA functions for which
eligible tribes may obtain approval.
Section 110(o) also specifically
describes tribal roles in submitting
implementation plans. Eligible Indian
tribes may thus submit implementation
plans covering their reservations and
other areas under their jurisdiction.
The CAA and TAR do not, however,
direct tribes to apply for TAS or
implement any CAA program. In
promulgating the TAR EPA explicitly
determined that it was not appropriate
to treat tribes similarly to states for
purposes of, among other things,
specific plan submittal and
implementation deadlines for NAAQSrelated requirements. 40 CFR 49.4(a). In
addition, where tribes do seek approval
of CAA programs, including section 110
implementation plans, the TAR
provides flexibility and allows them to
submit partial program elements, so
long as such elements are reasonably
severable—i.e., ‘‘not integrally related to
program elements that are not included
in the plan submittal, and are consistent
with applicable statutory and regulatory
requirements’’. 40 CFR 49.7.
To date, very few tribes have sought
TAS for purposes of section 110
implementation plans. However, some
tribes may be interested in pursuing
such plans to implement today’s
proposed standard, once it is
promulgated. In several sections of this
preamble, EPA describes the various
roles and requirements states will
address in implementing today’s
proposed standard. Such references to
states generally include eligible Indian
tribes to the extent consistent with the
flexibility provided to tribes under the
TAR. Where tribes do not seek TAS for
section 110 implementation plans, EPA
under its discretionary authority will
promulgate FIPs as ‘‘necessary or
appropriate to protect air quality.’’ 40
CFR 49.11(a). EPA also notes that some
tribes operate air quality monitoring
networks in their areas. For such
monitors to be used to measure
attainment with the proposed revised
primary NAAQS for SO2, the criteria
and procedures identified in this
proposed rule would apply.
B. Attainment dates
The latest date by which an area is
required to attain the SO2 NAAQS is
determined from the effective date of
the nonattainment designation for the
affected area. For areas designated
nonattainment for the revised SO2
NAAQS, SIPs must provide for
attainment of the NAAQS as
expeditiously as practicable, but no later
than 5 years from the effective date of
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the nonattainment designation for the
area. See section 192(a) of the CAA. The
EPA will determine whether an area has
demonstrated attainment of the SO2
NAAQS by evaluating air quality
monitoring data consistent with the
form of the NAAQS for SO2, if revised,
which will be codified at 40 CFR part
50, Appendix T.
1. Attaining the NAAQS
In order for an area to be redesignated
as attainment, it must meet five
conditions provided under section
107(d)(3)(E) of the CAA. This section
requires that:
• EPA must have determined that the
area has met the SO2 NAAQS;
• EPA has fully approved the state’s
implementation plan;
• The improvement in air quality in
the affected area is due to permanent
and enforceable reductions in
emissions;
• EPA has fully approved a
maintenance plan for the area; and
• The state(s) containing the area
have met all applicable requirements
under section 110 and part D.
2. Consequences of failing to attain by
the statutory attainment date
Any SO2 nonattainment area that fails
to attain by its statutory attainment date
would be subject to the requirements of
sections 179(c) and (d) of the CAA. EPA
is required to make a finding of failure
to attain no later than 6 months after the
specified attainment date and publish a
notice in the Federal Register. The state
would then need to submit an
implementation plan revision no later
than one year following the effective
date of the Federal Register notice
making the determination of the area’s
failure to attain. This submission must
demonstrate that the standard will be
attained as expeditiously as practicable,
but no later than 5 years from the
effective date of EPA’s finding that the
area failed to attain. In addition, section
179(d)(2) provides that the SIP revision
must include any specific additional
measures as may be reasonably
prescribed by EPA, including ‘‘all
measures that can be feasibly
implemented in the area in light of
technological achievability, costs, and
any nonair quality and other air qualityrelated health and environmental
impacts.’’
C. Section 110(a)(1) and (2) NAAQS
infrastructure requirements
Section 110(a)(2) of the CAA directs
all states to develop and maintain a
solid air quality management
infrastructure, including enforceable
emission limitations, an ambient
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monitoring program, an enforcement
program, air quality modeling
capabilities, and adequate personnel,
resources, and legal authority. Section
110(a)(2)(D) also requires state plans to
prohibit emissions from within the state
which contribute significantly to
nonattainment or maintenance areas in
any other state, or which interfere with
programs under part C of the CAA to
prevent significant deterioration of air
quality or to achieve reasonable progress
toward the national visibility goal for
Federal class I areas (national parks and
wilderness areas).
Under sections 110(a)(1) and (2) of the
CAA, all states are directed to submit
SIPs to EPA which demonstrate that
basic program elements have been
addressed within 3 years of the
promulgation of any new or revised
NAAQS. Subsections (A) through (M) of
section 110(a)(2) set forth the elements
that a state’s program must contain in
the SIP.39 The list of section 110(a)(2)
NAAQS implementation requirements
are the following:
• Ambient air quality monitoring/
data system: Section 110(a)(2)(B)
requires SIPs to provide for setting up
and operating ambient air quality
monitors, collecting and analyzing data
and making these data available to EPA
upon request.
• Program for enforcement of control
measures: Section 110(a)(2)(C) requires
SIPs to include a program providing for
enforcement of SIP measures and the
regulation and permitting of new/
modified sources.
• Interstate transport: Section
110(a)(2)(D) requires SIPs to include
provisions prohibiting any source or
other type of emissions activity in the
state from contributing significantly to
nonattainment or interfering with
maintenance of the NAAQS in another
state, or from interfering with measures
required to prevent significant
deterioration of air quality or to protect
visibility.
• Adequate resources: Section
110(a)(2)(E) directs states to provide
assurances of adequate funding,
personnel and legal authority to
implement their SIPs.
• Stationary source monitoring
system: Section 110(a)(2)(F) directs
39 Two elements identified in section 110(a)(2) are
not listed below because, as EPA interprets the
CAA, SIPs incorporating any necessary local
nonattainment area controls would not be due
within 3 years, but rather are due at the time the
nonattainment area planning requirements are due.
These elements are: (1) Emission limits and other
control measures, section 110(a)(2)(A), and (2)
Provisions for meeting part D, section 110(a)(2)(I),
which requires areas designated as nonattainment
to meet the applicable nonattainment planning
requirements of part D, title I of the CAA.
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states to establish a system to monitor
emissions from stationary sources and
to submit periodic emissions reports to
EPA.
• Emergency power: Section
110(a)(2)(G) directs states to include
contingency plans, and adequate
authority to implement them, for
emergency episodes in their SIPs.
• Provisions for SIP revision due to
NAAQS changes or findings of
inadequacies: Section 110(a)(2)(H)
directs states to provide for revisions of
their SIPs in response to changes in the
NAAQS, availability of improved
methods for attaining the NAAQS, or in
response to an EPA finding that the SIP
is inadequate.
• Consultation with local and Federal
government officials: Section
110(a)(2)(J) directs states to meet
applicable local and Federal
government consultation requirements
when developing SIPs and reviewing
preconstruction permits.
• Public notification of NAAQS
exceedances: Section 110(a)(2)(J) directs
states to adopt measures to notify the
public of instances or areas in which a
NAAQS is exceeded.
• PSD and visibility protection:
Section 110(a)(2)(J) also directs states to
adopt emissions limitations, and such
other measures, as may be necessary to
prevent significant deterioration of air
quality in attainment areas and protect
visibility in Federal Class I areas in
accordance with the requirements of
CAA Title I, part C.
• Air quality modeling/data: Section
110(a)(2)(K) requires that SIPs provide
for performing air quality modeling for
predicting effects on air quality of
emissions of any NAAQS pollutant and
submission of data to EPA upon request.
• Permitting fees: Section 110(a)(2)(L)
requires the SIP to include requirements
for each major stationary source to pay
permitting fees to cover the cost of
reviewing, approving, implementing
and enforcing a permit.
• Consultation/participation by
affected local government: Section
110(a)(2)(M) directs states to provide for
consultation and participation by local
political subdivisions affected by the
SIP.
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D. Attainment planning requirements
1. SO2 nonattainment area SIP
requirements
Any state containing an area
designated as nonattainment with
respect to the SO2 NAAQS would need
to develop for submission to EPA a SIP
meeting the requirements of part D,
Title I, of the CAA, providing for
attainment by the applicable statutory
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attainment date. See sections 191(a) and
192(a) of the CAA. As indicated in
section 191(a), all components of the
SO2 part D SIP must be submitted
within 18 months of the effective date
of an area’s designation as
nonattainment.
Section 172 of the CAA addresses the
general requirements for areas
designated as nonattainment. Section
172(c) directs states with nonattainment
areas to submit a SIP which contains an
attainment demonstration showing that
the affected area will attain the standard
by the applicable statutory attainment
date. The SIP must show that the area
will attain the standard as expeditiously
as practicable, and must ‘‘provide for
the implementation of all Reasonably
Available Control Measures (RACM) as
expeditiously as practicable (including
such reductions in emissions from
existing sources in the area as may be
obtained through the adoption, at a
minimum, of Reasonably Available
Control Technology (RACT)).’’
SIPs required under Part D of the CAA
must also provide for reasonable further
progress (RFP). See section 172(c)(2) of
the CAA. The CAA defines RFP as
‘‘such annual incremental reductions in
emissions of the relevant air pollution
as are required by part D, or may
reasonably be required by the
Administrator for the purpose of
ensuring attainment of the applicable
NAAQS by the applicable attainment
date.’’ See section 171 of the CAA.
Historically, for some pollutants, RFP
has been met by showing annual
incremental emission reductions
sufficient to maintain generally linear
progress toward attainment by the
applicable attainment date.
All SO2 nonattainment area SIPs must
include contingency measures which
must be implemented in the event that
an area fails to meet RFP or fails to
attain the standards by its attainment
date. See section 172(c)(9) of the CAA.
These contingency measures must be
fully adopted rules or control measures
that take effect without further action by
the state or the Administrator. The EPA
interprets this requirement to mean that
the contingency measures must be
implemented with only minimal further
action by the state or the affected
sources with no additional rulemaking
actions such as public hearings or
legislative review.
Emission inventories are also critical
for the efforts of state, local, and federal
agencies to attain and maintain the
NAAQS that EPA has established for
criteria pollutants including SO2.
Section 191(a) in conjunction with
section 172(c) requires that areas
designated as nonattainment for SO2
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submit an emission inventory to EPA no
later than 18 months after designation as
nonattainment. In the case of SO2,
sections 191(a) and 172(c) also direct
states to submit periodic emission
inventories for nonattainment areas. The
periodic inventory must include
emissions of SO2 for point, nonpoint,
mobile, and area sources.
2. New source review and prevention of
significant deterioration requirements
The Prevention of Significant
Deterioration (PSD) and nonattainment
New Source Review (NSR) programs
contained in parts C and D of Title I of
the CAA govern preconstruction review
of any new or modified major stationary
sources of air pollutants regulated under
the CAA as well as any precursors to the
formation of that pollutant when
identified for regulation by the
Administrator.40 The EPA rules
addressing these programs can be found
at 40 CFR 51.165, 51.166, 52.21, 52.24,
and Part 51, appendix S.
The PSD program applies when a
major source located in an area that is
designated as attainment or
unclassifiable for any criteria pollutant
is constructed or undergoes a major
modification.41 The nonattainment NSR
program applies on a pollutant-specific
basis when a major source constructs or
modifies in an area that is designated as
nonattainment for that pollutant. The
minor NSR program addresses major
and minor sources that undergo
construction or modification activities
that do not qualify as major, and it
applies, as necessary to assure
attainment, regardless of the designation
of the area in which a source is located.
PSD permit requirements are effective
on the promulgation date of a new or
revised standard. SIPs that address the
PSD requirements related to attainment
areas are due no later than 3 years after
the promulgation of a revised NAAQS
for SO2. The PSD requirements include
but are not limited to the following:
• Installation of Best Available
Control Technology (BACT);
• Air quality monitoring and
modeling analyses to ensure that a
project’s emissions will not cause or
contribute to a violation of any NAAQS
40 The terms ‘‘major’’ and ‘‘minor’’ define the size
of a stationary source, for applicability purposes, in
terms of an annual emissions rate (tons per year,
tpy) for a pollutant. Generally, a minor source is
any source that is not ‘‘major.’’ ‘‘Major’’ is defined
by the applicable regulations—PSD or
nonattainment NSR.
41 In addition, the PSD program applies to noncriteria pollutants subject to regulation under the
Act, except those pollutants regulated under section
112 and pollutants subject to regulation only under
section 211(o).
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or maximum allowable pollutant
increase (PSD increment);
• Notification of Federal Land
Manager of nearby Class I areas; and
public comment on the permit.
If EPA establishes a 1-hour NAAQS
for SO2, the owner or operator of any
major stationary source or major
modification locating in an attainment
or unclassifiable area for SO2 will be
required, as a prerequisite for a PSD
permit, to demonstrate that the
emissions increases from the new or
modified source will not cause or
contribute to a violation of the that new
NAAQS. The EPA does not anticipate
that this will pose a technical problem,
since the modeling capability and SO2
emissions input data already exist.
Depending on the final form of the 1hour NAAQS, it may be necessary to
make adjustments to the AERMOD
modeling system to accommodate the
form of the standard; however, EPA
anticipates that any such adjustments
can be readily accomplished in
coordination with the promulgation of
any new NAAQS for SO2 in time to
enable states to implement such
standard via the PSD program. The
analyses for the 1-hour NAAQS will be
in addition to the existing
demonstration of compliance for the
annual and 24-hour SO2 NAAQS, which
will continue to be required unless EPA
revokes these standards in conjunction
with its promulgation of a new 1-hour
NAAQS for SO2.
The owner or operator of a new or
modified source will still be required to
demonstrate compliance with the
annual and 24-hour SO2 increments,
even if their counterpart NAAQS are
revoked. The annual and 24-hour
increments are established in the CAA
and will need to remain in the PSD
regulations because EPA does not
interpret the Clean Air Act to authorize
EPA to remove them. It appears
necessary for Congress to amend the Act
to make appropriate changes to the
statutory SO2 increments, perhaps
similar to the way the Act was amended
to accommodate PM10 increments in
lieu of the statutory TSP increments. If
we establish a new 1-hour SO2 NAAQS,
EPA will consider the need to adopt
new 1-hour SO2 increments.
In association with the requirement to
demonstrate compliance with the
NAAQS and increments, the owner or
operator of a new or modified source
must submit for review and approval a
source impact analysis and an air
quality analysis. The source impact
analysis, primarily a modeling analysis,
must demonstrate that allowable
emissions increases from the proposed
source or modification, in conjunction
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with emissions from other existing
sources will not cause or contribute to
either a NAAQS or increment violation.
The air quality analysis must assess the
ambient air quality in the area that the
proposed source or modification would
affect.
For the air quality analysis, the owner
or operator must submit in its permit
application air quality monitoring data
that shall have been gathered over a
period of one year and is representative
of air quality in the area of the proposed
project. If existing data representative of
the area of the proposed project is not
available, new data may need to be
collected by the owner or operator of the
source or modification. Where data is
already available, it might be necessary
to evaluate the location of the
monitoring sites from which the SO2
data were collected in comparison to
any new siting requirements associated
with the 1-hour NAAQS. If existing sites
are inappropriate for providing the
necessary representative data, then new
monitoring data will need to be
collected by the owner or operator of the
proposed project.
Historically, EPA has allowed the use
of several screening tools to help
facilitate the implementation of the new
source review program by reducing the
permit applicant’s burden, and
streamlining the permitting process for
de minimis circumstances. These
screening tools include a significant
emissions rate (SER), significant impact
levels (SILs), and a significant
monitoring concentration (SMC). The
SER, as defined in tons per year for each
regulated pollutant, is used to determine
whether any proposed source or
modification will emit sufficient
amounts of a particular pollutant to
require the review of that pollutant
under the NSR permit program. EPA
will consider whether to evaluate the
existing significant emissions rate (SER)
for SO2 to see if it would change
substantially based on the NAAQS
levels for the 1-hour averaging period.
Historically, we have defined a de
minimis pollutant impact as one that
results in a modeled ambient impact of
less than approximately 4% of the shortterm NAAQS. The current SER for SO2
(40 tpy) is based on the impact on the
24-hour SO2 NAAQS. See, 45 FR 52676,
52707 (August 7, 1980). We have
typically used the most sensitive
averaging period to calculate the SER,
and we may want to evaluate the new
1-hour period for SO2 because it is
likely to represent most sensitive
averaging period for SO2.
The SIL, expressed as an ambient
pollutant concentration (μg/m3), is used
to determine whether the impact of a
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particular pollutant is significant
enough to warrant a complete air quality
impact analysis for any applicable
NAAQS and increments. EPA has
promulgated regulations under 40 CFR
51.165(b) which include SILs for SO2 to
determine whether a source’s impact
would be considered to cause or
contribute to a NAAQS violation for
either the 3-hour, 24-hour or annual
averaging periods. These SILs were
originally developed in 1978 to limit the
application of air quality dispersion
models to a downwind distance of no
more than 50 kilometers or to
‘‘insignificant levels.’’ See, 43 FR 26398,
June 19, 1978. Through guidance, EPA
has also allowed the use of SILs to
determine whether or not it is necessary
for a source to carry out a
comprehensive source impact analysis
and to determine the extent of the
impact area in which the analysis will
be carried out. The existing SILs for SO2
were not developed on the basis of
specific SO2 NAAQS levels, so if the
existing NAAQS are not being revised,
there is probably no need to revise the
existing SILs. Even if we decide to
revoke any of the existing NAAQS, the
corresponding SIL should still be useful
for increment assessment. A SIL for the
1-hour averaging period does not exist,
and would need to be developed for use
with modeling for 1-hour SO2 NAAQS
and increments (if and when
developed).
Finally, the SMC, also measured as an
ambient pollutant concentration (μg/
m3), is used to determine whether it
may be appropriate to exempt a
proposed project from the requirement
to collect ambient monitoring data for a
particular pollutant as part of a
complete permit application. EPA first
defined SMCs for regulated pollutants
under the PSD program in 1980. See, 45
FR 52676, 52709–10 (August 7, 1980).
The existing SMC for SO2, based on a
24-hour averaging period, may need to
be re-evaluated to consider the effect of
basing the SMC on the 1-hour averaging
period, especially in light of the fact that
we may revoke the NAAQS for the 24hour averaging period. Third, even if the
1-hour averaging period does not
indicate the need for a revised SMC for
SO2, the fact that the original SMC for
SO2 is based on 1980 monitoring data
(Lowest Detectable Level, correction
factor of ‘‘5’’), could be a basis for
revising the existing value. More up-todate monitoring data and statistical
analyses of monitoring accuracy may
yield a different—possibly lower—
correction factor today. A new 1-hour
NAAQS would not necessarily cause
this result, but may provide a ‘‘window
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of opportunity’’ to re-evaluate the SMC
for SO2. See sections II.E.2 and II.F.2
above.
As a means of reducing the permit
applicant’s burden, and to streamline
permitting, permit authorities use
screening tools referred to as significant
impact levels (SILs) and a significant
monitoring concentration (SMC). EPA
issued unofficial SO2 SILs for the 3-hour
(secondary standard), 24-hour and
annual averaging periods. These SILs
were developed in 1978 to limit the
application of air quality dispersion
models to a downwind distance of no
more than 50 kilometers or to
‘‘insignificant levels.’’ See, 43 FR
263—, 26398, (June 19, 1978). These
values were not developed on the basis
of specific SO2 NAAQS levels, so if the
existing NAAQS are not being revised,
there is probably no need to revise the
existing SILs. Even if we decide to
revoke any of the existing NAAQS, the
corresponding SIL should still be useful
for increment assessment. A SIL for the
1-hour averaging period does not exist,
and would need to be developed for use
with modeling for the 1-hour SO2
NAAQS and increments (if and when
developed).
States which have areas designated as
nonattainment for the SO2 NAAQS are
directed to submit, as a part of the SIP
due 18 months after an area is
designated as nonattainment, provisions
requiring permits for the construction
and operation of new or modified
stationary sources anywhere in the
nonattainment area. Prior to adoption of
the SIP revision addressing major source
nonattainment NSR for SO2
nonattainment areas, the requirements
of 40 CFR part 51, appendix S will
apply. Nonattainment NSR
requirements include but are not limited
to:
• Installation of Lowest Achievable
Emissions Rate (LAER) control
technology;
• Offsetting new emissions with
creditable emissions reductions;
• A certification that all major
sources owned and operated in the state
by the same owner are in compliance
with all applicable requirements under
the CAA;
• An alternative siting analysis
demonstrating that the benefits of a
proposed source significantly outweigh
the environmental and social costs
imposed as a result of its location,
construction, or modification; and
• Public comment on the permit.
Minor NSR programs must meet the
statutory requirements in section
110(a)(2)(C) of the CAA which requires
‘‘* * * regulation of the modification
and construction of any stationary
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source * * * as necessary to assure that
the [NAAQS] are achieved.’’ These
programs must be established in each
state within 3 years of the promulgation
of a new or revised NAAQS.
3. General conformity
Section 176(c) of the CAA requires
that all federal actions conform to an
applicable implementation plan
developed pursuant to section 110 and
part D of the CAA. The EPA rules
developed under section 176(c)
prescribe the criteria and procedures for
demonstrating and assuring conformity
of federal actions to a SIP. Each federal
agency must determine that any actions
covered by the general conformity rule
conform to the applicable SIP before the
action is taken. The criteria and
procedures for conformity apply only in
nonattainment areas and those areas
redesignated attainment since 1990
(‘‘maintenance areas’’) with respect to
the criteria pollutants under the CAA 42:
carbon monoxide (CO), lead (Pb),
nitrogen dioxide (NO2), ozone (O3),
particulate matter (PM2.5 and PM10), and
sulfur dioxide (SO2). The general
conformity rules apply one year
following the effective date of
designations for any new or revised
NAAQS.43
The general conformity determination
examines the impacts of direct and
indirect emissions related to federal
actions. The general conformity rule
provides several options to satisfy air
quality criteria, such as modeling or
offsets, and requires the federal action to
also meet any applicable SIP
requirements and emissions milestones.
The general conformity rule also
requires that notices of draft and final
general conformity determinations be
provided directly to air quality
regulatory agencies and to the public by
publication in a local newspaper.
E. Transition from the existing SO2
NAAQS to a revised SO2 NAAQS
As stated in section II.F.5 of this
notice, in addition to proposing a shortterm 1-hour SO2 NAAQS, EPA is
proposing to revoke the current annual
42 Criteria pollutants are those pollutants for
which EPA has established a NAAQS under section
109 of the CAA.
43 Transportation conformity is required under
CAA section 176(c) (42 U.S.C. 7506(c) to ensure that
federally supported highway and transit project
activities are consistent with (‘‘conform to’’) the
purpose of the SIP. Transportation conformity
applies to areas that are designated nonattainment,
and those areas redesignated to attainment after
1990 (‘‘maintenance areas’’ with plans developed
under CAA section 175A) for transportation-related
criteria pollutants. Due to the relatively small
amounts of sulfur in gasoline and on-road diesel
fuel, transportation conformity does not apply to
the SO2 NAAQS. 40 CFR 93.102(b)(1).
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and 24-hour standards, (annual 0.03
ppm and 24-hour 0.14 ppm).
Specifically, EPA is proposing that the
level for the 1-hour standard for SO2 be
a range between 50–100 ppb, and is
taking comment on setting the level of
the standard up to 150 ppb. If the
Administrator sets the 1-hour standard
at 100 ppb or lower, EPA is proposing
to revoke the current 24-hour standard.
If the Administrator sets the level of the
1-hour standard between a range of 100–
150 ppb, then EPA would retain the
current 24-hour standard.
If EPA revises the SO2 NAAQS and
revokes either the current annual or 24hour standard, EPA would need to
promulgate adequate anti-backsliding
provisions. The CAA establishes antibacksliding requirements where EPA
relaxes a NAAQS. Here, if EPA were to
replace the annual and/or 24-hour
standard with a short term 1-hour
standard, EPA would need to address
the section 172(e) anti-backsliding
provision of the CAA and determine
whether it applies on its face or by
analogy, and what provisions would be
appropriate to provide for transition to
the new standard. States would need to
insure that the health protection
provided under the existing SO2
NAAQS continues to be achieved as
well as maintained as states begin to
implement a revised NAAQS. This
means that states would be directed to
continue implementing attainment and
maintenance SIPs associated with the
existing SO2 NAAQS until such time as
they are subsumed by any new planning
and control requirements associated
with a revised NAAQS.
Whether or not section 172(e) directly
applies to EPA’s final action on the SO2
NAAQS, EPA has previously looked to
other provisions of the CAA to
determine how to address antibacksliding. The CAA contains a
number of provisions that indicate
Congress’s intent to not allow
provisions from implementation plans
to be altered or removed if the plan
revision would jeopardize the air
quality protection being provided by the
existing plan when EPA revises a
NAAQS to make it more stringent. For
example, section 110(l) provides that
EPA may not approve a SIP revision if
it interferes with any applicable
requirement concerning attainment and
RFP, or any other applicable
requirement under the CAA. In
addition, section 193 of the CAA
prohibits the modification of a control,
or a control requirement, in effect or
required to be adopted as of November
15, 1990 (i.e., prior to the promulgation
of the Clean Air Act Amendments of
1990), unless such a modification would
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ensure equivalent or greater emissions
reductions. Further, section 172(e) of
the CAA specifies that if EPA revises a
NAAQS to make it less stringent than a
previous NAAQS, control obligations
that apply in nonattainment area SIPs
may not be relaxed, and adopting those
controls that have not yet been adopted
as needed may not be avoided. The
intent of Congress, concerning the
aforementioned sections of the CAA,
was confirmed in a recent DC Circuit
Court opinion on the Phase I ozone
implementation rule. See South Coast
Air Quality Management Dist. v. EPA,
472 F.3d 882 (DC Cir. 2006).
To ensure that the antibacksliding
provisions and principles of section
172(e) are met and applied if EPA
revokes the current standards, EPA is
proposing that the current SO2 NAAQS
would remain in effect for one year
following the effective date of the initial
designations under section 107(d)(1) for
the revised SO2 NAAQS before the
current NAAQS are revoked in most
attainment areas. However, any existing
SIP provisions under CAA sections 110,
191 and 192 associated with the existing
annual and 24-hour SO2 NAAQS would
remain in effect, including all currently
implemented planning and emissions
control obligations, including both those
in the state’s SIP and that have been
promulgated by EPA in FIPs. This
would ensure that both the new
nonattainment NSR requirements and
the general conformity requirements for
a revised standard are in place so that
there will be no gap in the public health
protections provided by these two
programs. It will also insure that all
nonattainment areas under the current
NAAQS and all areas for which SIP
calls have been issued would continue
to be protected by currently required
control measures.
EPA is also proposing that the
existing NAAQS remain in place for any
current nonattainment area, or any area
for which a state has not fulfilled the
requirements of a SIP call, until the
affected area submits, and EPA
approves, a SIP with an attainment
demonstration which fully addresses
the attainment requirements of the
revised SO2 NAAQS. This, in
combination with the CAA mechanisms
provided in sections 110(l), 193, and
172(e) will help to ensure that
continued progress is made toward
timely attainment of the SO2 NAAQS.
Also, in light of the nature of the
proposed revision of the SO2 NAAQS,
the lack of classifications (and
mandatory controls associated with
such classifications pursuant to the
CAA), and the small number of current
nonattainment areas, and areas subject
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to SIP calls, EPA believes (subject to
consideration of public comment) that
retaining the current standard for a
limited period of time until attainment
SIPs are approved for the new standard
in current nonattainment areas and SIP
call areas, and one year after
designations in other areas, will
adequately serve the anti-backsliding
requirements and goals of the CAA.44
VII. Communication of Public Health
Information
Information on the public health
implications of ambient concentrations
of criteria pollutants is currently made
available primarily through EPA’s Air
Quality Index (AQI) program. The
current Air Quality Index has been in
use since its inception in 1999 (64 FR
42530). It provides accurate, timely, and
easily understandable information about
daily levels of pollution (40 CFR 58.50).
The AQI establishes a nationally
uniform system of indexing pollution
levels for NO2, carbon monoxide, ozone,
particulate matter and sulfur dioxide.
The AQI converts pollutant
concentrations in a community’s air to
a number on a scale from 0 to 500.
Reported AQI values enable the public
to know whether air pollution levels in
a particular location are characterized as
good (0–50), moderate (51–100),
unhealthy for sensitive groups (101–
150), unhealthy (151–200), very
unhealthy (201–300), or hazardous
(300–500). The AQI index value of 100
typically corresponds to the level of the
short-term primary NAAQS for each
pollutant. An AQI value greater than
100 means that a pollutant is in one of
the unhealthy categories (i.e., unhealthy
for sensitive groups, unhealthy, very
unhealthy, or hazardous) on a given
day; an AQI value at or below 100
means that a pollutant concentration is
in one of the satisfactory categories (i.e.,
moderate or good). Decisions about the
pollutant concentrations at which to set
the various AQI breakpoints, that
delineate the various AQI categories,
draw directly from the underlying
health information that supports the
review of the primary NAAQS.
The Agency recognizes the
importance of revising the AQI in a
timely manner to be consistent with any
revisions to the primary NAAQS.
Therefore EPA proposes to finalize
44 The areas that are currently designated as
nonattainment for the pre-existing SO2 primary
NAAQS are Hayden, AZ; Armstrong, PA; Laurel,
MT; Piti, GU; and Tanguisson, GU. The areas that
are designated nonattainment for both the primary
and the secondary standards are East Helena, MT,
Salt Lake Co, MT, Toole Co, UT, and Warren Co,
NJ. (See https://www.epa.gov/oar/oaqps/greenbk/
lnc.html). The Billings/Laurel, MT, area is the only
area currently subject to a SIP call.
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conforming changes to the AQI, in
connection with the Agency’s final
decision on the SO2 NAAQS if revisions
to the primary standard are
promulgated. If EPA promulgates a
short-term primary SO2 NAAQS,
conforming changes would include
setting the 100 level of the AQI at the
same level as the revised primary SO2
NAAQS. Conforming changes also
would include setting the other AQI
breakpoints at the lower end of the AQI
scale (i.e., AQI values of 50 and 150).
EPA does not propose to change
breakpoints at the higher end of the AQI
scale (from 200 to 500), which would
apply to state contingency plans or the
Significant Harm Level (40 CFR 51.16),
because the information from this
review does not inform decisions about
breakpoints at those higher levels.
With regard to an AQI value of 50, the
breakpoint between the good and
moderate categories, historically this
value is set at the level of the annual
NAAQS, if there is one, or one-half the
level of the short-term NAAQS in the
absence of an annual NAAQS (63 FR
67823, Dec. 12, 1998). Taking into
consideration this practice, EPA is
proposing to set the AQI value of 50 to
be between 25 and 50 ppb SO2, 1-hour
average. EPA anticipates that figures
towards the lower end of this range
would be appropriate if the standard is
set towards the lower end of the range
for the proposed standard (e.g. 50 ppb),
while figures towards the higher end of
the range would be more appropriate for
standards set at the higher end of the
range (e.g., 100 ppb). If the short-term
standard is set at a level above 100 ppb,
and (contrary to the proposal) the
annual standard is not revoked, then
consideration could be given to setting
an AQI value of 50 at the level of the
annual standard, or 30 ppb. EPA solicits
comments on this range for an AQI of
50, and the appropriate basis for
selecting an AQI of 50 both within this
range and, in light of EPA’s solicitation
of comment on 1-hour standard levels
above 100 ppb, above this range.
With regard to an AQI value of 150,
the breakpoint between the unhealthy
for sensitive groups and unhealthy
categories, historically values between
the short-term standard and an AQI
value of 500 are set at levels that are
approximately equidistant between the
AQI values of 100 and 500 unless there
is health evidence that suggests a
specific level would be appropriate (63
FR 67829, Dec. 12, 1998). For an AQI
value of 150, the range of 175 to 200 ppb
SO2, 1-hour average, represents the
midpoint between the proposed range
for the short-term standard and the level
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of an AQI value of 200 (300 ppb SO2,
1-hour average).
VIII Statutory and Executive Order
Reviews
A. Executive Order 12866: Regulatory
Planning and Review
Under section 3(f)(1) of Executive
Order 12866 (58 FR 51735, October 4,
1993), this action is an ‘‘economically
significant regulatory action’’ because it
is likely to have an annual effect on the
economy of $100 million or more.
Accordingly, EPA submitted this action
to the Office of Management and Budget
(OMB) for review under EO 12866 and
any changes made in response to OMB
recommendations have been
documented in the docket for this
action. In addition, EPA prepared a
Regulatory Impact Analysis (RIA) of the
potential costs and benefits associated
with this action. However, the CAA and
judicial decisions make clear that the
economic and technical feasibility of
attaining the national ambient standards
cannot be considered in setting or
revising NAAQS, although such factors
may be considered in the development
of State implementation plans to
implement the standards. Accordingly,
although an RIA has been prepared, the
results of the RIA have not been
considered by EPA in developing this
proposed rule.
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B. Paperwork Reduction Act
The information collection
requirements in this proposed rule have
been submitted for approval to the
Office of Management and Budget
(OMB) under the Paperwork Reduction
Act, 44 U.S.C. 3501 et seq. The
Information Collection Request (ICR)
document prepared by EPA for these
proposed revisions to part 58 has been
assigned EPA ICR number 2370.01
The information collected under 40
CFR part 53 (e.g., test results,
monitoring records, instruction manual,
and other associated information) is
needed to determine whether a
candidate method intended for use in
determining attainment of the NAAQS
in 40 CFR part 50 will meet the design,
performance, and/or comparability
requirements for designation as a
Federal reference method (FRM) or
Federal equivalent method (FEM). We
do not expect the number of FRM or
FEM determinations to increase over the
number that is currently used to
estimate burden associated with SO2
FRM/FEM determinations provided in
the current ICR for 40 CFR part 53 (EPA
ICR numbers 2370.01). As such, no
change in the burden estimate for 40
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CFR part 53 has been made as part of
this rulemaking.
The information collected and
reported under 40 CFR part 58 is needed
to determine compliance with the
NAAQS, to characterize air quality and
associated health impacts, to develop
emissions control strategies, and to
measure progress for the air pollution
program. The proposed amendments
would revise the technical requirements
for SO2 monitoring sites, require the
siting and operation of additional SO2
ambient air monitors, and the reporting
of the collected ambient SO2 monitoring
data to EPA’s Air Quality System (AQS).
The annual average reporting burden for
the collection under 40 CFR part 58
(averaged over the first 3 years of this
ICR) is $13,863,950. Burden is defined
at 5 CFR 1320.3(b). State, local, and
tribal entities are eligible for State
assistance grants provided by the
Federal government under the CAA
which can be used for monitors and
related activities.
An agency may not conduct or
sponsor, and a person is not required to
respond to, a collection of information
unless it displays a currently valid OMB
control number. The OMB control
numbers for EPA’s regulations in 40
CFR are listed in 40 CFR part 9.
To comment on the Agency’s need for
this information, the accuracy of the
provided burden estimates, and any
suggested methods for minimizing
respondent burden, EPA has established
a public docket for this rule, which
includes this ICR, under Docket ID
number EPA–HQ–OAR–2007–0352.
Submit any comments related to the ICR
to EPA and OMB. See ADDRESSES
section at the beginning of this notice
for where to submit comments to EPA.
Send comments to OMB at the Office of
Information and Regulatory Affairs,
Office of Management and Budget, 725
17th Street, NW, Washington, DC 20503,
Attention: Desk Office for EPA. Since
OMB is required to make a decision
concerning the ICR between 30 and 60
days after December 8, 2009, a comment
to OMB is best assured of having its full
effect if OMB receives it by January 7,
2010. The final rule will respond to any
OMB or public comments on the
information collection requirements
contained in this proposal.
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act
The Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA)
generally requires an agency to prepare
a regulatory flexibility analysis of any
rule subject to notice and comment
rulemaking requirements under the
Administrative Procedure Act or any
other statute unless the agency certifies
that the rule will not have a significant
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economic impact on a substantial
number of small entities. Small entities
include small businesses, small
organizations, and small governmental
jurisdictions.
For purposes of assessing the impacts
of this rule on small entities, small
entity is defined as: (1) A small business
that is a small industrial entity as
defined by the Small Business
Administration’s (SBA) regulations at 13
CFR 121.201; (2) a small governmental
jurisdiction that is a government of a
city, county, town, school district or
special district with a population of less
than 50,000; and (3) a small
organization that is any not-for-profit
enterprise which is independently
owned and operated and is not
dominant in its field.
After considering the economic
impacts of this proposed rule on small
entities, I certify that this action will not
have a significant economic impact on
a substantial number of small entities.
This proposed rule will not impose any
requirements on small entities. Rather,
this rule establishes national standards
for allowable concentrations of SO2 in
ambient air as required by section 109
of the CAA. American Trucking Ass’ns
v. EPA, 175 F. 3d 1027, 1044–45 (DC
Cir. 1999) (NAAQS do not have
significant impacts upon small entities
because NAAQS themselves impose no
regulations upon small entities).
Similarly, the proposed amendments to
40 CFR Part 58 address the requirements
for States to collect information and
report compliance with the NAAQS and
will not impose any requirements on
small entities. We continue to be
interested in the potential impacts of the
proposed rule on small entities and
welcome comments on issues related to
such impacts.
D. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
Title II of the Unfunded Mandates
Reform Act of 1995 (UMRA), Public
Law 104–4, establishes requirements for
Federal agencies to assess the effects of
their regulatory actions on State, local,
and tribal governments and the private
sector. Unless otherwise prohibited by
law, under section 202 of the UMRA,
EPA generally must prepare a written
statement, including a cost-benefit
analysis, for proposed and final rules
with ‘‘Federal mandates’’ that may
result in expenditures to State, local,
and tribal governments, in the aggregate,
or to the private sector, of $100 million
or more in any one year. Before
promulgating an EPA rule for which a
written statement is required under
section 202, section 205 of the UMRA
generally requires EPA to identify and
consider a reasonable number of
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regulatory alternatives and to adopt the
least costly, most cost-effective or least
burdensome alternative that achieves
the objectives of the rule. The
provisions of section 205 do not apply
when they are inconsistent with
applicable law. Moreover, section 205
allows EPA to adopt an alternative other
than the least costly, most cost-effective
or least burdensome alternative if the
Administrator publishes with the final
rule an explanation why that alternative
was not adopted. Before EPA establishes
any regulatory requirements that may
significantly or uniquely affect small
governments, including tribal
governments, it must have developed
under section 203 of the UMRA a small
government agency plan. The plan must
provide for notifying potentially
affected small governments, enabling
officials of affected small governments
to have meaningful and timely input in
the development of EPA regulatory
proposals with significant Federal
intergovernmental mandates, and
informing, educating, and advising
small governments on compliance with
the regulatory requirements.
This action is not subject to the
requirements of sections 202 and 205 of
the UMRA. EPA has determined that
this proposed rule does not contain a
Federal mandate that may result in
expenditures of $100 million or more
for State, local, and tribal governments,
in the aggregate, or the private sector in
any one year. The revisions to the SO2
NAAQS impose no enforceable duty on
any State, local or Tribal governments or
the private sector. The expected costs
associated with the monitoring
requirements are described in EPA’s ICR
document, but those costs are not
expected to exceed $100 million in the
aggregate for any year. Furthermore, as
indicated previously, in setting a
NAAQS, EPA cannot consider the
economic or technological feasibility of
attaining ambient air quality standards.
Because the CAA prohibits EPA from
considering the types of estimates and
assessments described in section 202
when setting the NAAQS, the UMRA
does not require EPA to prepare a
written statement under section 202 for
the revisions to the SO2 NAAQS.
With regard to implementation
guidance, the CAA imposes the
obligation for States to submit SIPs to
implement the SO2 NAAQS. In this
proposed rule, EPA is merely providing
an interpretation of those requirements.
However, even if this rule did establish
an independent obligation for States to
submit SIPs, it is questionable whether
an obligation to submit a SIP revision
would constitute a Federal mandate in
any case. The obligation for a State to
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submit a SIP that arises out of section
110 and section 191 of the CAA is not
legally enforceable by a court of law,
and at most is a condition for continued
receipt of highway funds. Therefore, it
is possible to view an action requiring
such a submittal as not creating any
enforceable duty within the meaning of
U.S.C. 658 for purposes of the UMRA.
Even if it did, the duty could be viewed
as falling within the exception for a
condition of Federal assistance under
U.S.C. 658.
EPA has determined that this
proposed rule contains no regulatory
requirements that might significantly or
uniquely affect small governments
because it imposes no enforceable duty
on any small governments. Therefore,
this rule is not subject to the
requirements of section 203 of the
UMRA.
E. Executive Order 13132: Federalism
Executive Order 13132, entitled
‘‘Federalism’’ (64 FR 43255; August 10,
1999), requires EPA to develop an
accountable process to ensure
‘‘meaningful and timely input by State
and local officials in the development of
regulatory policies that have federalism
implications.’’ ‘‘Policies that have
federalism implications’’ is defined in
the Executive Order to include
regulations that have ‘‘substantial direct
effects on the States, on the relationship
between the national government and
the States, or on the distribution of
power and responsibilities among the
various levels of government.’’
This proposed rule does not have
federalism implications. It will not have
substantial direct effects on the States,
on the relationship between the national
government and the States, or on the
distribution of power and
responsibilities among the various
levels of government, as specified in
Executive Order 13132. The rule does
not alter the relationship between the
Federal government and the States
regarding the establishment and
implementation of air quality
improvement programs as codified in
the CAA. Under section 109 of the CAA,
EPA is mandated to establish NAAQS;
however, CAA section 116 preserves the
rights of States to establish more
stringent requirements if deemed
necessary by a State. Furthermore, this
rule does not impact CAA section 107
which establishes that the States have
primary responsibility for
implementation of the NAAQS. Finally,
as noted in section E (above) on UMRA,
this rule does not impose significant
costs on State, local, or tribal
governments or the private sector. Thus,
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Executive Order 13132 does not apply
to this rule.
However, EPA recognizes that States
will have a substantial interest in this
rule and any corresponding revisions to
associated air quality surveillance
requirements, 40 CFR part 58.
Therefore, in the spirit of Executive
Order 13132, and consistent with EPA
policy to promote communications
between EPA and State and local
governments, EPA specifically solicits
comment on this proposed rule from
State and local officials.
F. Executive Order 13175: Consultation
and Coordination With Indian Tribal
Governments
Executive Order 13175, entitled
‘‘Consultation and Coordination with
Indian Tribal Governments’’ (65 FR
67249, November 9, 2000), requires EPA
to develop an accountable process to
ensure ‘‘meaningful and timely input by
tribal officials in the development of
regulatory policies that have tribal
implications.’’ This proposed rule does
not have tribal implications, as specified
in Executive Order 13175. It does not
have a substantial direct effect on one or
more Indian tribes, on the relationship
between the Federal government and
Indian tribes, or on the distribution of
power and responsibilities between the
Federal government and tribes. The rule
does not alter the relationship between
the Federal government and tribes as
established in the CAA and the TAR.
Under section 109 of the CAA, EPA is
mandated to establish NAAQS;
however, this rule does not infringe
existing tribal authorities to regulate air
quality under their own programs or
under programs submitted to EPA for
approval. Furthermore, this rule does
not affect the flexibility afforded to
tribes in seeking to implement CAA
programs consistent with the TAR, nor
does it impose any new obligation on
tribes to adopt or implement any
NAAQS. Finally, as noted in section E
(above) on UMRA, this rule does not
impose significant costs on tribal
governments. Thus, Executive Order
13175 does not apply to this rule.
However, EPA recognizes that tribes
may be interested in this rule and any
corresponding revisions to associated
air quality surveillance requirements.
Therefore, in the spirit of Executive
Order 13175, and consistent with EPA
policy to promote communications
between EPA and tribes, EPA
specifically solicits additional comment
on this proposed rule from tribal
officials.
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G. Executive Order 13045: Protection of
Children From Environmental Health &
Safety Risks
This action is subject to Executive
Order (62 FR 19885, April 23, 1997)
because it is an economically significant
regulatory action as defined by
Executive Order 12866, and we believe
that the environmental health risk
addressed by this action has a
disproportionate effect on children. The
proposed rule will establish uniform
national ambient air quality standards
for SO2; these standards are designed to
protect public health with an adequate
margin of safety, as required by CAA
section 109. The protection offered by
these standards may be especially
important for asthmatics, including
asthmatic children, because respiratory
effects in asthmatics are among the most
sensitive health endpoints for SO2
exposure. Because asthmatic children
are considered a sensitive population,
we have evaluated the potential health
effects of exposure to SO2 pollution
among asthmatic children. These effects
and the size of the population affected
are discussed in chapters 3 and 4 of the
ISA; chapters 3, 4, 7, 8, 9 of the REA,
and sections II.A through II.E of this
preamble.
H. Executive Order 13211: Actions That
Significantly Affect Energy Supply,
Distribution or Use
PWALKER on DSK8KYBLC1PROD with PROPOSALS2
This rule is not a ‘‘significant energy
action’’ as defined in Executive Order
13211, ‘‘Actions Concerning Regulations
That Significantly Affect Energy Supply,
Distribution, or Use’’ (66 FR 28355; May
22, 2001) because it is not likely to have
a significant adverse effect on the
supply, distribution, or use of energy.
The purpose of this rule is to establish
revised NAAQS for SO2. The rule does
not prescribe specific control strategies
by which these ambient standards will
be met. Such strategies will be
developed by States on a case-by-case
basis, and EPA cannot predict whether
the control options selected by States
will include regulations on energy
suppliers, distributors, or users. Thus,
EPA concludes that this rule is not
likely to have any adverse energy
effects.
I. National Technology Transfer and
Advancement Act
Section 12(d) of the National
Technology Transfer and Advancement
Act of 1995 (NTTAA), Public Law 104–
113, section 12(d) (15 U.S.C. 27) directs
EPA to use voluntary consensus
standards in its regulatory activities
unless to do so would be inconsistent
with applicable law or otherwise
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impractical. Voluntary consensus
standards are technical standards (e.g.,
materials specifications, test methods,
sampling procedures, and business
practices) that are developed or adopted
by voluntary consensus standards
bodies. The NTTAA directs EPA to
provide Congress, through OMB,
explanations when the Agency decides
not to use available and applicable
voluntary consensus standards.
This proposed rulemaking involves
technical standards with regard to
ambient monitoring of SO2. The use of
this voluntary consensus standard
would be impractical because the
analysis method does not provide for
the method detection limits necessary to
adequately characterize ambient SO2
concentrations for the purpose of
determining compliance with the
proposed revisions to the SO2 NAAQS.
EPA welcomes comments on this
aspect of the proposed rule, and
specifically invites the public to identify
potentially applicable voluntary
consensus standards and to explain why
such standards should be used in the
regulation.
J. Executive Order 12898: Federal
Actions To Address Environmental
Justice in Minority Populations and
Low-Income Populations
Executive Order 12898 (59 FR 7629;
Feb. 16, 1994) establishes federal
executive policy on environmental
justice. Its main provision directs
federal agencies, to the greatest extent
practicable and permitted by law, to
make environmental justice part of their
mission by identifying and addressing,
as appropriate, disproportionately high
and adverse human health or
environmental effects of their programs,
policies, and activities on minority
populations and low-income
populations in the United States.
EPA has determined that this
proposed rule will not have
disproportionately high and adverse
human health or environmental effects
on minority or low-income populations
because it increases the level of
environmental protection for all affected
populations without having any
disproportionately high and adverse
human health effects on any population,
including any minority or low-income
population. The proposed rule will
establish uniform national standards for
SO2 in ambient air. EPA solicits
comment on environmental justice
issues related to the proposed revision
of the SO2 NAAQS.
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Finkelstein N, Verma DK, Chapman K,
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CASAC–07–001. October 24, 2006.
Sulfur Dioxide Review Docket. Docket ID
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Henderson. (2008). Letter to EPA
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Review of the SO2 Primary National
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Docket. Docket ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–
2007–0352–0034. Available at
www.regulations.gov.
Ito K. (2007). Characterization of PM2.5,
gaseous pollutants, and meteorological
interactions in the context of time-series
health effects models. J Expos Sci
Environ Epidemiol. 17:S45–S60.
Jaffe DH, Singer ME, Rimm AA. (2003). Air
pollution and emergency department
visits for asthma among Ohio medicaid
recipients, 1991–1996. Environ Res.
91:21–28.
Johns. (2009). Presentation and analysis of
controlled human exposure data
described in Table 3–1 of the 2008
Integrated Science Assessment (ISA) for
Sulfur Oxides; April 29, 2009. Available
at: https://www.epa.gov/ttn/naaqs/
standards/so2/s_so2_cr_rea.html.
Johns and Simmons (2009). Memorandum to
the Sulfur Oxides NAAQS Review
Docket. Quality Assurance Review of
Individual Subject Data Presented in
Table 3–1 of the 2008 Integrated Science
Assessment (ISA) for Sulfur Oxides. Air
Quality Criteria for Sulfur Oxides
Docket. Docket ID No. EPA–HQ–ORD–
2006–0260–0036. Available at
www.regulations.gov.
Koenig JQ, Covert DS, Hanley QS, van Belle
G, Pierson WE. (1990). Prior exposure to
ozone potentiates subsequent response to
sulfur dioxide in adolescent asthmatic
subjects. Am Rev Respir Dis. 141:377–
380.
Lin S, Hwang S–A, Pantea C, Kielb C,
Fitzgerald E. (2004). Childhood asthma
hospitalizations and ambient air sulfur
dioxide concentrations in Bronx County,
New York. Arch Environ Health. 59:266–
275.
Linn WS, Venet TG, Shamoo DA, Valencia
LM, Anzar UT, Spier CE, Hackney JD.
(1983). Respiratory effects of sulfur
dioxide in heavily exercising asthmatics.
A dose-response study. Am Rev Respir
Dis. 127:278–83.
Linn WS, Avol EL, Peng RC, Shamoo DA,
Hackney JD. (1987). Replicated doseresponse study of sulfur dioxide effects
in normal, atopic, and asthmatic
volunteers. Am Rev Respir Dis.
136:1127–1134.
Linn WS, Avol EL, Shamoo DA, Peng RC,
Spier CE, Smith MN, Hackney JD. (1988).
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Effect of metaproterenol sulfate on mild
asthmatics’ response to sulfur dioxide
exposure and exercise. Arch Environ
Health. 43:399–406.
Linn WS, Shamoo DA, Peng RC, Clark KW,
Avol EL, Hackney JD. (1990). Responses
to sulfur dioxide and exercise by
medication-dependent asthmatics: effect
of varying medication levels. Arch
Environ Health. 45:24–30.
Lunn JE, Knowelden J, Handyside AJ. (1967).
Patterns of respiratory illness in
Sheffield infant schoolchildren. Br J Prev
Soc Med. 21:7–16
Mortimer KM, Neas LM, Dockery DW,
Redline S, Tager IB. (2002). The effect of
air pollution on inner-city children with
asthma. Eur Respir J. 19:699–705.
Neas LM, Dockery DW, Koutrakis P, Tollerud
DJ, Speizer FE. (1995). The association of
ambient air pollution with twice daily
peak expiratory flow rate measurements
in children. Am J Epidemiol. 141:111–
122.
NY DOH. (2006). A Study of Ambient Air
Contaminants and Asthma in New York
City. ATSDR Final Report #NTIS
PB2006–113523. Albany, NY; New York
State Energy Research and Development
Authority; New York State Department
of Health, for Atlanta, GA; Agency for
Toxic Substances and Disease Registry;
U.S. Department of Health and Human
Services.
Peel JL, Tolbert PE, Klein M, Metzger KB,
Flanders WD, Knox T, Mulholland JA,
Ryan PB, Frumkin H. (2005). Ambient air
pollution and respiratory emergency
department visits. Epidemiology.
16:164–174.
Rickman, EE, Wright RS. (1987). ‘‘Technical
Support Document for Supersession of
the Reference Method for the
Determination of Sulfur Dioxide in the
Atmosphere (Pararosaniline).’’ RTI/3680/
58–02 (August 1987) (Unpublished EPA
contractor report produced by Research
Triangle Institute).
Roger LJ, Kehrl HR, Hazucha M, Horstman
DH. (1985). Bronchoconstriction in
asthmatics exposed to sulfur dioxide
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59:784–91.
Samet JM. (2009). Letter to EPA
Administrator Lisa P. Jackson: Clean Air
Scientific Advisory Committee’s
(CASAC) Review of EPA’s Risk and
Exposure Assessment to Support the
Review of the SO2 Primary National
Ambient Air Quality Standards: Second
Draft. EPA–CASAC–09–007, May 18,
2009. Sulfur Dioxide Review Docket.
Docket ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2007–
0352–0035. Available at
www.regulations.gov.
Schildcrout JS, Sheppard L, Lumley T,
Slaughter JC, Koenig JQ, Shapiro GG.
(2006). Ambient air pollution and
asthma exacerbations in children: an
eight-city analysis. Am J Epidemiol.
164:505–517.
Schwartz J, Dockery DW, Neas LM, Wypij D,
Ware JH, Spengler JD, Koutrakis P,
Speizer FE, Ferris BG, Jr. (1994). Acute
effects of summer air pollution on
respiratory symptom reporting in
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children. Am J Respir Crit Care Med.
150:1234–1242.
Schwartz J. (1995). Short term fluctuations in
air pollution and hospital admissions of
the elderly for respiratory disease.
Thorax. 50:531–538.
Schwartz J. (1996). Air pollution and hospital
admissions for respiratory disease.
Epidemiology. 7:20–28.
Sheppard D, Saisho A, Nadel JA, Boushey
HA. (1981). Exercise increases sulfur
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Washington, 1987–1994. In: Revised
Analyses of Time-Series Studies of Air
Pollution and Health. Special report.
Boston, MA: Health Effects Institute; pp.
227–230.
Smith E. (1993). Subject Data Supplied by the
Researchers for the Recent Controlled
Human Studies Analyzed in the Staff
Paper Supplement and Accompanying
Memorandum. Memorandum to Docket
No. A–84–25, Item IV–B–5.
Thompson R. (2009). Sulfur Dioxide
Descriptive Statistics Tables. Office of
Air Quality Planning and Standards, U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency,
Research Triangle Park, NC. Sulfur
Dioxide Review Docket. Docket ID No.
EPA–HQ–OAR–2007–0352–0036.
Available at www.regulations.gov.
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Quality Statistics for Cities Referenced in
Key U.S. and Canadian Hospital
Admission and Emergency Department
Visits for All Respiratory Causes and
Asthma. Office of Air Quality Planning
and Standards, U.S. Environmental
Protection Agency, Research Triangle
Park, NC. Sulfur Dioxide Review Docket.
Docket ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–2007–
0352–0018. Available at
www.regulations.gov.
Tolbert PE, Klein M, Peel JL, Sarnat SE,
Sarnat JA. (2007). Multipollutant
modeling issues in a study of ambient air
quality and emergency department visits
in Atlanta. J Expos Sci Environ
Epidemiol. 17:S29–S35
Trenga CA, Koenig JQ, Williams PV. (1999).
Sulphur dioxide sensitivity and plasma
antioxidants in adult subjects with
asthma. Occup Environ Med. 56:544–
547.
Watkins and Thompson. (2009). SO2 Network
Review and Background; OAQPS; Office
of Air Quality Planning and Standards,
U.S. Environmental Protection Agency,
Research Triangle Park, NC. Sulfur
Dioxide NAAQS Review Docket. (OAR–
2005–0352). Sulfur Dioxide Review
Docket. Docket ID No. EPA–HQ–OAR–
2007–0352–0037. Available at
www.regulations.gov.
Wilson AM, Wake CP, Kelly T, Salloway JC.
(2005). Air pollution, weather, and
respiratory emergency room visits in two
northern New England cities: An
ecological time-series study. Environ
Res. 97:312–321.
Winterton DL, Kaufman J, Keener CV,
Quigley S, Farin FM, Williams PV,
Koenig JQ. (2001). Genetic
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subjects with asthma. Ann Allergy
Asthma Immunol. 86:232–238.
List of Subjects
40 CFR Part 50
Environmental protection, Air
pollution control, Carbon monoxide,
Lead, Nitrogen dioxide, Ozone,
Particulate matter, Sulfur oxides.
40 CFR Part 53
Environmental protection,
Administrative practice and procedure,
Air pollution control, Intergovernmental
relations, Reporting and recordkeeping
requirements.
40 CFR Part 58
Environmental protection,
Administrative practice and procedure,
Air pollution control, Intergovernmental
relations, Reporting and recordkeeping
requirements.
Dated: November 16, 2009.
Lisa P. Jackson,
Administrator.
For the reasons stated in the
preamble, title 40, chapter I of the Code
of Federal Regulations is proposed to be
amended as follows:
PART 50—NATIONAL PRIMARY AND
SECONDARY AMBIENT AIR QUALITY
STANDARDS
1. The authority citation for part 50
continues to read as follows:
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7401, et seq.
64869
2. Section 50.4 is amended by adding
paragraph (e) to read as follows:
§ 50.4 National primary ambient air quality
standards for sulfur oxides (sulfur dioxide).
*
*
*
*
*
(e) The standards set forth in this
section will remain applicable to all
areas notwithstanding the promulgation
of SO2 national ambient air quality
standards (NAAQS) in § 50.17. The SO2
NAAQS set forth in this section will no
longer apply to an area one year after
the effective date of the designation of
that area, pursuant to section 107 of the
Clean Air Act, for the SO2 NAAQS set
forth in § 50.17; except that for areas
designated nonattainment for the SO2
NAAQS set forth in this section as of the
effective date of § 50.17, and areas not
meeting the requirements of a SIP call
with respect to requirements for the SO2
NAAQS set forth in this section, the SO2
NAAQS set forth in this section will
apply until that area submits, pursuant
to section 191 of the Clean Air Act, and
EPA approves, an implementation plan
providing for attainment of the SO2
NAAQS set forth in § 50.17.
3. Section 50.14 is amended by
revising paragraph (c)(2)(vi) to read as
follows:
§ 50.14 Treatment of air quality monitoring
data influenced by exceptional events.
*
*
*
*
*
(c) * * *
(2) * * *
(vi) When EPA sets a NAAQS for a
new pollutant or revises the NAAQS for
an existing pollutant, it may revise or
set a new schedule for flagging
exceptional event data, providing initial
data descriptions and providing detailed
data documentation in AQS for the
initial designations of areas for those
NAAQS. Table 1 provides the schedule
for submission of flags with initial
descriptions in AQS and detailed
documentation. These schedules shall
apply for those data which will or may
influence the initial designation of areas
for those NAAQS. EPA anticipates
revising Table 1 as necessary to
accommodate revised data submission
schedules for new or revised NAAQS.
PWALKER on DSK8KYBLC1PROD with PROPOSALS2
TABLE 1—SCHEDULE OR EXCEPTIONAL EVENT FLAGGING AND DOCUMENTATION SUBMISSION FOR DATA TO BE USED IN
DESIGNATIONS DECISIONS FOR NEW OR REVISED NAAQS
NAAQS pollutant/
standard/(level)/
promulgation date
Air quality data
collected for
calendar year
PM2.5/24-Hr Standard (35 μg/m3) Promulgated October 17, 2006.
Ozone/8-Hr Standard (0.075 ppm) Promulgated March 12, 2008.
Event flagging and initial description
deadline
Detailed documentation submission
deadline
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October 1, 2007 a ...................................
April 15, 2008 a.
2005–2007
June 18, 2009 a ......................................
June 18, 2009 a.
2008
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2004–2006
June 18, 2009 a ......................................
June 18, 2009 a.
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TABLE 1—SCHEDULE OR EXCEPTIONAL EVENT FLAGGING AND DOCUMENTATION SUBMISSION FOR DATA TO BE USED IN
DESIGNATIONS DECISIONS FOR NEW OR REVISED NAAQS—Continued
NAAQS pollutant/
standard/(level)/
promulgation date
Air quality data
collected for
calendar year
Event flagging and initial description
deadline
Detailed documentation submission
deadline
2008
60 Days after the end of the calendar
quarter in which the event occurred
or February 5, 2010, whichever date
occurs first b.
July 1, 2010 a .........................................
60 Days after the end of the calendar
quarter in which the event occurred
or February 5, 2010, whichever date
occurs first b.
January 22, 2011 a.
2009
2010
2008
July 1, 2010 a .........................................
April 1, 2011 a .........................................
October 1, 2010 b ...................................
January 22, 2011 a.
July 1, 2011 a.
June 1, 2011 b.
2009
2010
2011
October 1, 2010 b ...................................
June 1, 2011 b ........................................
60 Days after the end of the calendar
quarter in which the event occurred
or March 31, 2011, whichever date
occurs first b.
June 1, 2011 b.
June 1, 2011 b.
60 Days after the end of the calendar
quarter in which the event occurred
or March 31, 2011, whichever date
occurs first b.
2009
NO2/1-Hour Standard (80–100 PPB,
final level TBD).
SO2/1-Hour Standard (50–100 PPB,
final level TBD).
a These dates are unchanged from those published in the original rulemaking, or are being proposed elsewhere and are shown in this table for
informational purposes—the Agency is not opening these dates for comment under this rulemaking.
b Indicates change from general schedule in 40 CFR 50.14.
Note: EPA notes that the table of revised deadlines only applies to data EPA will use to establish the final initial designations for new or revised NAAQS. The general schedule applies for all other purposes, most notably, for data used by EPA for redesignations to attainment.
*
*
*
*
*
4. A new 50.17 is added to read as
follows:
§ 50.17 National primary ambient air
quality standards for sulfur oxides (sulfur
dioxide).
(a) The level of the national primary
1-hour annual ambient air quality
standard for oxides of sulfur is (50–100)
parts per billion (ppb, which is 1 part
in 1,000,000,000), measured in the
ambient air as sulfur dioxide (SO2).
(b) The 1-hour primary standard is
met when the three-year average of the
annual (99th percentile)(fourth highest)
of the daily maximum 1-hour average
concentrations is less than or equal to
(50–100) ppb, as determined in
accordance with Appendix T of this
part.
5. Add Appendix A–1 to Part 50 to
read as follows:
PWALKER on DSK8KYBLC1PROD with PROPOSALS2
Appendix A–1 to Part 50—Reference
Measurement Principle and Calibration
Procedure for the Measurement of
Sulfur Dioxide in the Atmosphere
(Ultraviolet Fluorescence Method)
1.0 Applicability.
1.1 This ultraviolet fluorescence (UVF)
method provides a measurement of the
concentration of sulfur dioxide (SO2) in
ambient air for determining compliance with
the national primary and secondary ambient
air quality standards for sulfur oxides (sulfur
dioxide) as specified in § 50.4 and § 50.5 of
this chapter. The method is applicable to the
measurement of ambient SO2 concentrations
using continuous (real-time) sampling.
Additional quality assurance procedures and
guidance are provided in part 58, appendix
A, of this chapter and in Reference 3.
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2.0 Principle.
2.1 This reference method is based on
automated measurement of the intensity of
the characteristic fluorescence released by
SO2 in an ambient air sample contained in
a measurement cell of an analyzer when the
air sample is irradiated by ultraviolet (UV)
light passed through the cell. The fluorescent
light released by the SO2 is also in the
ultraviolet region, but at longer wavelengths
than the excitation light. Typically, optimum
instrumental measurement of SO2
concentrations is obtained with an excitation
wavelength in a band between approximately
190 to 230 nm, and measurement of the SO2
fluorescence in a broad band around 320 nm,
but these wavelengths are not necessarily
constraints of this reference method.
Generally, the measurement system
(analyzer) also requires means to reduce the
effects of aromatic hydrocarbon species, and
possibly other compounds, in the air sample
to control measurement interferences from
these compounds, which may be present in
the ambient air. References 1 and 2 describe
UVF method.
2.2. The measurement system is calibrated
by referencing the instrumental fluorescence
measurements to SO2 standard
concentrations traceable to a National
Institute of Science and Technology (NIST)
primary standard for SO2 (see Calibration
Procedure below).
2.3. An analyzer implementing this
measurement principle is shown
schematically in Figure 1. Designs should
include a measurement cell, a UV light
source of appropriate wavelength, a UV
detector system with appropriate wave length
sensitivity, a pump and flow control system
for sampling the ambient air and moving it
into the measurement cell, sample air
conditioning components as necessary to
minimize measurement interferences,
suitable control and measurement processing
capability, and other apparatus as may be
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necessary. The analyzer must be designed to
provide accurate, repeatable, and continuous
measurements of SO2 concentrations in
ambient air, with measurement performance
as specified in subpart B of part 53 of this
chapter.
2.4. Sampling considerations: The use of a
particle filter on the sample inlet line of a
UVF SO2 analyzer is required to prevent
interference, malfunction, or damage due to
particles in the sampled air.
3.0 Interferences.
3.1 The effects of the principal potential
interferences may need to be mitigated to
meet the interference equivalent
requirements of part 53 of this chapter. Polynuclear aromatic (PNA) hydrocarbons such
as xylene and naphthalene can fluoresce and
act as strong positive interferences. These
gases can be removed by using a permeation
type scrubber (hydrocarbon ‘‘kicker’’).
Nitrogen oxide (NO) in high concentrations
can also fluoresce and cause positive
interference. Optical filtering can be
employed to improve the rejection of
interference from high NO. Ozone can absorb
UV light given off by the SO2 molecule and
cause a measurement offset. This effect can
be reduced by minimizing the measurement
path length between the area where SO2
fluorescence occurs and the photomultiplier
tube detector (e.g. <5 cm). A hydrocarbon
scrubber, optical filter and appropriate
distancing of the measurement path length
may be required method components to
reduce interference.
4.0 Calibration Procedure. Atmospheres
containing accurately known concentrations
of sulfur dioxide are prepared using a
compressed gas transfer standard diluted
with accurately metered clean air flow rates.
4.1 Apparatus: Figure 2 shows a typical
generic system suitable for diluting a SO2 gas
cylinder concentration standard with clean
air through a mixing chamber to produce the
desired calibration concentration standards.
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schematically in Figure 1, and verify that all
materials in contact with the pollutant are of
glass, TeflonTM, or other suitably inert
material and completely clean.
4.2.2 Purge the SO2 standard gas lines
and pressure regulator to remove any
residual air.
4.2.3 Ensure that there are no leaks in the
system and that the flow measuring devices
are properly and accurately calibrated under
the conditions of use against a reliable
volume or flow rate standard such as a soapbubble meter or a wet-test meter traceable to
a NIST standard. All volumetric flow rates
should be corrected to the same reference
temperature and pressure by using the
formula below:
Fc = Fm
298.15P
m
760 (Tm + 273.15 )
Where:
Fc = corrected flow rate (L/min at 25° C and
760 mm Hg),
Fm = measured flow rate, (at temperature, Tm
and pressure, Pm),
Pm = measured pressure in mm Hg,
(absolute), and
Tm = measured temperature in degrees
Celsius.
4.2.4 Allow the SO2 analyzer under
calibration to sample zero air until a stable
response is obtained, then make the proper
zero adjustment.
4.2.5 Adjust the airflow to provide an SO2
concentration of approximately 80 percent of
the upper measurement range limit of the
SO2 instrument and verify that the total air
flow of the calibration system exceeds the
demand of all analyzers sampling from the
output manifold (with the excess vented).
4.2.6 Calculate the actual SO2 calibration
concentration standard as:
[ SO2 ] = C
Fp
Ft
EP08DE09.005
Where:
C = the concentration of the SO2 gas standard
Fp = the flow rate of SO2 gas standard
Ft = the total air flow rate of pollutant and
diluent gases
4.2.7 When the analyzer response has
stabilized, adjust the SO2 span control to
obtain the desired response equivalent to the
calculated standard concentration. If
substantial adjustment of the span control is
needed, it may be necessary to re-check the
zero and span adjustments by repeating steps
4.2.4 through 4.2.7 until no further
adjustments are needed.
4.2.8 Adjust the flow rate(s) to provide
several other SO2 calibration concentrations
over the analyzer’s measurement range. At
least five different concentrations evenly
spaced throughout the analyzer’s range are
suggested.
4.2.9 Plot the analyzer response (vertical
or Y-axis) versus SO2 concentration
(horizontal or X-axis). Compute the linear
regression slope and intercept and plot the
regression line to verify that no point
deviates from this line by more than 2
percent of the maximum concentration
tested.
Note: Additional information on
calibration and pollutant standards is
provided in Section 12 of Reference 3.
5.0 Frequency of calibration.
The frequency of calibration, as well as the
number of points necessary to establish the
calibration curve and the frequency of other
performance checking will vary by analyzer;
however, the minimum frequency,
acceptance criteria, and subsequent actions
are specified in Reference 3, Appendix D:
Measurement Quality Objectives and
Validation Template for SO2 (page 9 of 30).
The user’s quality control program should
provide guidelines for initial establishment
of these variables and for subsequent
alteration as operational experience is
accumulated. Manufacturers of analyzers
should include in their instruction/operation
manuals information and guidance as to
these variables and on other matters of
operation, calibration, routine maintenance,
and quality control.
6.0 References for SO2 Method.
1. H. Okabe, P.L. Splitstone, and J.J. Ball,
‘‘Ambient and Source SO2 Detector
Based on a Fluorescence Method’’,
Journal of the Air Control Pollution
Association, vol. 23, p. 514–516 (1973).
2. F.P. Schwarz, H. Okabe, and J.K.
Whittaker, ‘‘Fluorescence Detection of
Sulfur Dioxide in Air at the Parts per
Billion Level,’’ Analytical Chemistry,
vol. 46, pp. 1024–1028 (1974).
3. QA Handbook for Air Pollution
Measurement Systems—Volume II.
Ambient Air Quality Monitoring
Programs. U. S. EPA. EPA–454/B–08–
003 (2008). (Available at https://
www.epa.gov/ttn/amtic/qabook.html.)
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PWALKER on DSK8KYBLC1PROD with PROPOSALS2
A valve may be used to conveniently divert
the SO2 from the sampling manifold to
provide clean zero air at the output manifold
for zero adjustment. The system may be made
up using common laboratory components, or
it may be a commercially manufactured
system. In either case, the principle
components are as follows:
4.1.1 Air and standard gas flow
controllers, capable of maintaining constant
gas flow rates to within ± 2 percent.
4.1.2 Air and standard gas flow meters,
capable of measuring and monitoring air or
N2 (standard gas) flow rates to within ± 2
percent and properly calibrated to a NISTtraceable standard.
4.1.3 Mixing chamber, of an inert
material such as glass and of proper design
to provide thorough mixing of pollutant gas
and diluent air streams.
4.1.4 Sampling manifold, constructed of
glass, polytetrafluoroethylene (PTFE
TeflonTM), or other suitably inert material
and of sufficient diameter to insure a
minimum pressure drop at the analyzer
connection, with a vent designed to insure a
minimum over-pressure (relative to ambient
air pressure) at the analyzer connection and
to prevent ambient air from entering the
manifold.
4.1.5 Standard gas pressure regulator, of
clean stainless steel with a stainless steel
diaphragm, suitable for use with a high
pressure SO2 gas cylinder.
4.1.6 Reagents.
4.1.6.1 SO2 gas transfer standard, in N2,
with the concentration traceable to a NIST
Standard Reference Material (SRM) such as
SRM 1693a (50 μmole/mole) or SRM 1694a
(100 μmole/mole) Since UVF analyzers may
be sensitive to O2-to-N2 ratios, it is important
that the SO2 standard concentration be
sufficiently high (50 to 100 ppm) such that
the O2 content in the diluent air is not
significantly changed by the added standard
gas.
4.1.6.2 Clean zero air, free of
contaminants that could cause a detectable
response or a change in sensitivity of the
analyzer. Since ultraviolet fluorescence
analyzers may be sensitive to aromatic
hydrocarbons and O2-to-N2 ratios, it is
important that the clean zero air contains less
than 0.1 ppm aromatic hydrocarbons and O2
and N2 percentages approximately the same
as in ambient air. A procedure for generating
zero air is given in reference 1.
4.2 Procedure
4.2.1 Obtain a suitable calibration
apparatus, such as the one shown
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6. Appendix A to Part 50 is
redesignated as Appendix A–2 to Part
50.
7. Appendix T to Part 50 is added to
read as follows:
Option 1 for Appendix T to Part 50
PWALKER on DSK8KYBLC1PROD with PROPOSALS2
Appendix T to Part 50—Interpretation
of the Primary National Ambient Air
Quality Standards for Oxides of Sulfur
(Sulfur Dioxide) [1-hour primary
standard based on the 4th highest daily
maximum value form]
1. General.
(a) This appendix explains the data
handling conventions and computations
necessary for determining when the primary
national ambient air quality standards for
Oxides of Sulfur as measured by Sulfur
Dioxide (‘‘SO2 NAAQS’’) specified in § 50.4
are met. Sulfur Dioxide (SO2) is measured in
the ambient air by a Federal reference
method (FRM) based on appendix A to this
part or by a Federal equivalent method (FEM)
designated in accordance with part 53 of this
chapter. Data handling and computation
procedures to be used in making
comparisons between reported SO2
concentrations and the levels of the SO2
NAAQS are specified in the following
sections.
(b) Decisions to exclude, retain, or make
adjustments to the data affected by
exceptional events, including natural events,
are made according to the requirements and
process deadlines specified in §§ 50.1, 50.14
and 51.930 of this chapter.
(c) The terms used in this appendix are
defined as follows:
Annual 4th highest daily maximum 1-hour
value refers to the 4th highest daily 1-hour
maximum value at a site in a particular year.
Daily maximum 1-hour values for SO2
refers to the maximum 1-hour SO2
concentration values measured from
midnight to midnight (local standard time)
that are used in NAAQS computations.
Design values are the metrics (i.e.,
statistics) that are compared to the NAAQS
levels to determine compliance, calculated as
specified in section 5 of this appendix. The
design value for the primary NAAQS is the
3-year average of annual 4th highest daily
maximum 1-hour values for a monitoring site
(referred to as the ‘‘1-hour primary standard
design value’’).
Quarter refers to a calendar quarter.
Year refers to a calendar year.
2. Requirements for Data Used for
Comparisons With the SO2 NAAQS and Data
Reporting Considerations.
(a) All valid FRM/FEM SO2 hourly data
required to be submitted to EPA’s Air Quality
System (AQS), or otherwise available to EPA,
meeting the requirements of part 58 of this
chapter including appendices A, C, and E
shall be used in design value calculations.
Multi-hour average concentration values
collected by wet chemistry methods shall not
be used.
(b) When two or more SO2 monitors are
operated at a site, the state may in advance
designate one of them as the primary
monitor. If the state has not made this
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designation in advance, the Administrator
will make the designation, either in advance
or retrospectively. Design values will be
developed using only the data from the
primary monitor, if this results in a valid
design value. If data from the primary
monitor do not allow the development of a
valid design value, data solely from the other
monitor(s) will be used in turn to develop a
valid design value, if this results in a valid
design value. If there are three or more
monitors, the order for such comparison of
the other monitors will be determined by the
Administrator. The Administrator may
combine data from different monitors in
different years for the purpose of developing
a valid 1-hour primary standard design value,
if a valid design value cannot be developed
solely with the data from a single monitor.
However, data from two or more monitors in
the same year at the same site will not be
combined in an attempt to meet data
completeness requirements, except if one
monitor has physically replaced another
instrument permanently, in which case the
two instruments will be considered to be the
same monitor, or if the state has switched the
designation of the primary monitor from one
instrument to another during the year.
(c) Hourly SO2 measurement data shall be
reported to AQS in units of parts per billion
(ppb), to at most one place after the decimal,
with additional digits to the right being
truncated with no further rounding.
3. Comparisons with the 1-hour Primary
SO2 NAAQS.
(a) The 1-hour primary SO2 NAAQS is met
at a site when the valid 1-hour primary
standard design value is less than or equal to
[50–150] parts per billion (ppb).
(b) An SO2 1-hour primary standard design
value is valid if it encompasses three
consecutive calendar years of complete data.
A year meets data completeness requirements
when all 4 quarters are complete. A quarter
is complete when at least 75 percent of the
sampling days for each quarter have
complete data. A sampling day has complete
data if 75 percent of the hourly concentration
values are reported.
(c) In the case of one, two, or three years
that do not meet the completeness
requirements of section 3(b) of this appendix
and thus would normally not be usable for
the calculation of a valid 3-year 1-hour
primary standard design value, the 3-year 1hour primary standard design value shall
nevertheless be considered valid if either of
the following conditions is true:
(i) If there are at least four days in each of
the 3 years that have at least one reported
hourly value, and the resulting 3-year
1-hour primary standard design value
exceeds the 1-hour primary NAAQS. In this
situation, more complete data capture could
not possibly have resulted in a design value
below the 1-hour primary NAAQS:
(ii)(A) A 1-hour primary standard design
value that is below the level of the NAAQS
can be validated if the substitution test in
section 3(c)(ii)(B) results in a ‘‘test design
value’’ that is below the level of the NAAQS.
The test substitutes actual ‘‘high’’ reported
daily maximum 1-hour values from the same
site at about the same time of the year
(specifically, in the calendar quarter) for
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unknown hourly values that were not
successfully measured. Note that the test is
merely diagnostic in nature, intended to
confirm that there is a very high likelihood
that the original design value (the one with
less than 75 percent data capture of hours by
day and of days by quarter) reflects the true
under-NAAQS-level status for that 3-year
period; the result of this data substitution test
(the ‘‘test design value,’’ as defined in section
3(c)(ii)(B)) is not considered the actual design
value. For this test, substitution is permitted
only if there are at least 200 days across the
three matching quarters of the three years
under consideration (which is about 75
percent of all possible daily values in those
three quarters) for which 75 percent of the
hours in the day have reported
concentrations. However, maximum 1-hour
values from days with less than 75 percent
of the hours reported shall also be considered
in identifying the high value to be used for
substitution.
(B) The substitution test is as follows: Data
substitution will be performed in all quarter
periods that have less than 75 percent data
capture but at least 50 percent data capture;
if any quarter has less than 50 percent data
capture, then this substitution test cannot be
used. Identify for each quarter (e.g., January–
March) the highest reported daily maximum
1-hour value for that quarter, looking across
those three months of all three years under
consideration. All daily maximum 1-hour
values from all days in the quarter period
shall be considered when identifying this
highest value, including days with less than
75 percent data capture. If after substituting
the highest reported daily maximum 1-hour
value for a quarter for as much of the missing
daily data in the matching deficient
quarter(s) as is needed to make them 100
percent complete, the procedure in section 5
yields a recalculated 3-year 1-hour standard
‘‘test design value’’ below the level of the
standard, then the 1-hour primary standard
design value is deemed to have passed the
diagnostic test and is valid, and the level of
the standard is deemed to have been met in
that 3-year period. As noted in section 3(c)(i),
in such a case, the 3-year design value based
on the data actually reported, not the ‘‘test
design value,’’ shall be used as the valid
design value.
(d) A 1-hour primary standard design value
based on data that do not meet the
completeness criteria stated in 3(b) and also
do not satisfy section 3(c), may also be
considered valid with the approval of, or at
the initiative of, the Administrator, who may
consider factors such as monitoring site
closures/moves, monitoring diligence, the
consistency and levels of the valid
concentration measurements that are
available, and nearby concentrations in
determining whether to use such data.
(e) The procedures for calculating the 1hour primary standard design values are
given in section 5 of this appendix.
4. Rounding Conventions for the 1-hour
Primary SO2 NAAQS.
(a) Hourly SO2 measurement data shall be
reported to AQS in units of parts per billion
(ppb), to at most one place after the decimal,
with additional digits to the right being
truncated with no further rounding.
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(b) Daily maximum 1-hour values,
including the annual 4th highest of those
daily values, are not rounded.
(c) The 1-hour primary standard design
value is calculated pursuant to section 5 and
then rounded to the nearest whole number or
1 ppb (decimals 0.5 and greater are rounded
up to the nearest whole number, and any
decimal lower than 0.5 is rounded down to
the nearest whole number).
5. Calculation Procedures for the
1-hour Primary SO2 NAAQS.
(a) When the data for a particular site and
year meet the data completeness
requirements in section 3(b), or if one of the
conditions of section 3(c) is met, or if the
Administrator exercises the discretionary
authority in section 3(d), calculation of the
4th highest daily 1-hour maximum is
accomplished as follows.
(i) For each year, select from each day the
highest hourly value. All daily maximum 1hour values from all days in the quarter
period shall be considered at this step,
including days with less than 75 percent data
capture.
(ii) For each year, order these daily values
and take the 4th highest.
(iii) The 1-hour primary standard design
value for a site is mean of the three annual
4th highest values, rounded according to the
conventions in section 4.
Option 2 for Appendix T to Part 50
PWALKER on DSK8KYBLC1PROD with PROPOSALS2
Appendix T to Part 50—Interpretation
of the Primary National Ambient Air
Quality Standards for Oxides of Sulfur
(Sulfur Dioxide) [1-hour primary
standard based on the 99th percentile
form]
1. General.
(a) This appendix explains the data
handling conventions and computations
necessary for determining when the primary
national ambient air quality standards for
Oxides of Sulfur as measured by Sulfur
Dioxide (‘‘SO2 NAAQS’’) specified in § 50.4
are met. Sulfur Dioxide (SO2) is measured in
the ambient air by a Federal reference
method (FRM) based on appendix A to this
part or by a Federal equivalent method (FEM)
designated in accordance with part 53 of this
chapter. Data handling and computation
procedures to be used in making
comparisons between reported SO2
concentrations and the levels of the SO2
NAAQS are specified in the following
sections.
(b) Decisions to exclude, retain, or make
adjustments to the data affected by
exceptional events, including natural events,
are made according to the requirements and
process deadlines specified in §§ 50.1, 50.14
and 51.930 of this chapter.
(c) The terms used in this appendix are
defined as follows:
Daily maximum 1-hour values for SO2
refers to the maximum 1-hour SO2
concentration values measured from
midnight to midnight (local standard time)
that are used in NAAQS computations.
Design values are the metrics (i.e.,
statistics) that are compared to the NAAQS
levels to determine compliance, calculated as
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specified in section 5 of this appendix. The
design value for the primary 1-hour NAAQS
is the 3-year average of annual 99th
percentile daily maximum 1-hour values for
a monitoring site (referred to as the ‘‘1-hour
primary standard design value’’).
99th percentile daily maximum 1-hour
value is the value below which nominally 99
percent of all daily maximum 1-hour
concentration values fall, using the ranking
and selection method specified in section 5
of this appendix.
Quarter refers to a calendar quarter.
Year refers to a calendar year.
2. Requirements for Data Used for
Comparisons With the SO2 NAAQS and Data
Reporting Considerations.
(a) All valid FRM/FEM SO2 hourly data
required to be submitted to EPA’s Air Quality
System (AQS), or otherwise available to EPA,
meeting the requirements of part 58 of this
chapter including appendices A, C, and E
shall be used in design value calculations.
Multi-hour average concentration values
collected by wet chemistry methods shall not
be used.
(b) When two or more SO2 monitors are
operated at a site, the state may in advance
designate one of them as the primary
monitor. If the state has not made this
designation, the Administrator will make the
designation, either in advance or
retrospectively. Design values will be
developed using only the data from the
primary monitor, if this results in a valid
design value. If data from the primary
monitor do not allow the development of a
valid design value, data solely from the other
monitor(s) will be used in turn to develop a
valid design value, if this results in a valid
design value. If there are three or more
monitors, the order for such comparison of
the other monitors will be determined by the
Administrator. The Administrator may
combine data from different monitors in
different years for the purpose of developing
a valid 1-hour primary standard design value,
if a valid design value cannot be developed
solely with the data from a single monitor.
However, data from two or more monitors in
the same year at the same site will not be
combined in an attempt to meet data
completeness requirements, except if one
monitor has physically replaced another
instrument permanently, in which case the
two instruments will be considered to be the
same monitor, or if the state has switched the
designation of the primary monitor from one
instrument to another during the year.
(c) Hourly SO2 measurement data shall be
reported to AQS in units of parts per billion
(ppb), to at most one place after the decimal,
with additional digits to the right being
truncated with no further rounding.
3. Comparisons with the 1-hour Primary
SO2 NAAQS.
(a) The 1-hour primary SO2 NAAQS is met
at a site when the valid 1-hour primary
standard design value is less than or equal to
[50–150] parts per billion (ppb).
(b) An SO2 1-hour primary standard design
value is valid if it encompasses three
consecutive calendar years of complete data.
A year meets data completeness requirements
when all 4 quarters are complete. A quarter
is complete when at least 75 percent of the
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sampling days for each quarter have
complete data. A sampling day has complete
data if 75 percent of the hourly concentration
values are reported.
(c) In the case of one, two, or three years
that do not meet the completeness
requirements of section 3(b) of this appendix
and thus would normally not be useable for
the calculation of a valid 3-year 1-hour
primary standard design value, the 3-year 1hour primary standard design value shall
nevertheless be considered valid if one of the
following conditions is true.
(i) At least 75 percent of the days in each
quarter of each of three consecutive years
have at least one reported hourly value, and
the design value calculated according to the
procedures specified in section 5 is above the
level of the primary 1-hour standard.
(ii) (A) A 1-hour primary standard design
value that is below the level of the NAAQS
can be validated if the substitution test in
section 3(c)(ii)(B) results in a ‘‘test design
value’’ that is below the level of the NAAQS.
The test substitutes actual ‘‘high’’ reported
daily maximum 1-hour values from the same
site at about the same time of the year
(specifically, in the same calendar quarter)
for unknown values that were not
successfully measured. Note that the test is
merely diagnostic in nature, intended to
confirm that there is a very high likelihood
that the original design value (the one with
less than 75 percent data capture of hours by
day and of days by quarter) reflects the true
under-NAAQS-level status for that 3-year
period; the result of this data substitution test
(the ‘‘test design value’’, as defined in section
3(c)(ii)(B)) is not considered the actual design
value. For this test, substitution is permitted
only if there are at least 200 days across the
three matching quarters of the three years
under consideration (which is about 75
percent of all possible daily values in those
three quarters) for which 75 percent of the
hours in the day have reported
concentrations. However, maximum 1-hour
values from days with less than 75 percent
of the hours reported shall also be considered
in identifying the high value to be used for
substitution.
(B) The substitution test is as follows: Data
substitution will be performed in all quarter
periods that have less than 75 percent data
capture but at least 50 percent data capture;
if any quarter has less than 50 percent data
capture then this substitution test cannot be
used. Identify for each quarter (e.g., January–
March) the highest reported daily maximum
1-hour value for that quarter, looking across
those three months of all three years under
consideration. All daily maximum 1-hour
values from all days in the quarter period
shall be considered when identifying this
highest value, including days with less than
75 percent data capture. If after substituting
the highest reported daily maximum 1-hour
value for a quarter for as much of the missing
daily data in the matching deficient
quarter(s) as is needed to make them 100
percent complete, the procedure in section 5
yields a recalculated 3-year 1-hour standard
‘‘test design value’’ below the level of the
standard, then the 1-hour primary standard
design value is deemed to have passed the
diagnostic test and is valid, and the level of
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the standard is deemed to have been met in
that 3-year period. As noted in section 3(c)(i),
in such a case, the 3-year design value based
on the data actually reported, not the ‘‘test
design value’’, shall be used as the valid
design value.
(iii) (A) A 1-hour primary standard design
value that is above the level of the NAAQS
can be validated if the substitution test in
section 3(c)(iii)(B) results in a ‘‘test design
value’’ that is above the level of the NAAQS.
The test substitutes actual ‘‘low’’ reported
daily maximum 1-hour values from the same
site at about the same time of the year
(specifically, in the same three months of the
calendar) for unknown hourly values that
were not successfully measured. Note that
the test is merely diagnostic in nature,
intended to confirm that there is a very high
likelihood that the original design value (the
one with less than 75 percent data capture of
hours by day and of days by quarter) reflects
the true above-NAAQS-level status for that 3year period; the result of this data
substitution test (the ‘‘test design value’’, as
defined in section 3(c)(iii)(B)) is not
considered the actual design value. For this
test, substitution is permitted only if there
are a minimum number of available daily
data points from which to identify the low
quarter-specific daily maximum 1-hour
values, specifically if there are at least 200
days across the three matching quarters of the
three years under consideration (which is
about 75 percent of all possible daily values
in those three quarters) for which 75 percent
of the hours in the day have reported
concentrations. Only days with at least 75
percent of the hours reported shall be
considered in identifying the low value to be
used for substitution.
(B) The substitution test is as follows: Data
substitution will be performed in all quarter
periods that have less than 75 percent data
capture. Identify for each quarter (e.g.,
January–March) the lowest reported daily
maximum 1-hour value for that quarter,
looking across those three months of all three
years under consideration. All daily
maximum 1-hour values from all days with
at least 75 percent capture in the quarter
period shall be considered when identifying
this lowest value. If after substituting the
lowest reported daily maximum 1-hour value
for a quarter for as much of the missing daily
data in the matching deficient quarter(s) as is
needed to make them 75 percent complete,
the procedure in section 5 yields a
recalculated 3-year 1-hour standard ‘‘test
design value’’ above the level of the standard,
then the 1-hour primary standard design
value is deemed to have passed the
diagnostic test and is valid, and the level of
the standard is deemed to have been
exceeded in that 3-year period. As noted in
section 3(c)(i), in such a case, the 3-year
design value based on the data actually
reported, not the ‘‘test design value’’, shall be
used as the valid design value.
(d) A 1-hour primary standard design value
based on data that do not meet the
completeness criteria stated in 3(b) and also
do not satisfy section 3(c), may also be
considered valid with the approval of, or at
the initiative of, the Administrator, who may
consider factors such as monitoring site
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closures/moves, monitoring diligence, the
consistency and levels of the valid
concentration measurements that are
available, and nearby concentrations in
determining whether to use such data.
(e) The procedures for calculating the 1hour primary standard design values are
given in section 5 of this appendix.
4. Rounding Conventions for the 1-hour
Primary SO2 NAAQS.
(a) Hourly SO2 measurement data shall be
reported to AQS in units of parts per billion
(ppb), to at most one place after the decimal,
with additional digits to the right being
truncated with no further rounding.
(b) Daily maximum 1-hour values and
therefore the annual 4th highest of those
daily values are not rounded.
(c) The 1-hour primary standard design
value is calculated pursuant to section 5 and
then rounded to the nearest whole number or
1 ppb (decimals 0.5 and greater are rounded
up to the nearest whole number, and any
decimal lower than 0.5 is rounded down to
the nearest whole number).
5. Calculation Procedures for the 1-hour
Primary SO2 NAAQS.
(a) Procedure for identifying annual 99th
percentile values. When the data for a
particular site and year meet the data
completeness requirements in section 3(b), or
if one of the conditions of section 3(c) is met,
or if the Administrator exercises the
discretionary authority in section 3(d),
identification of annual 99th percentile value
is accomplished as follows.
(i) The annual 99th percentile value for a
year is the higher of the two values resulting
from the following two procedures.
(1) Procedure 1. For the year, determine the
number of days with at least 75 percent of
the hourly values reported.
(A) For the year, from only the days with
at least 75 percent of the hourly values
reported, select from each day the maximum
hourly value.
(B) Sort all these daily maximum hourly
values from a particular site and year by
descending value. (For example: (x[1], x[2],
x[3], * * *, x[n]). In this case, x[1] is the
largest number and x[n] is the smallest
value.) The 99th percentile is determined
from this sorted series of daily values which
is ordered from the highest to the lowest
number. Using the left column of Table 1,
determine the appropriate range (i.e., row) for
the annual number of days with valid data
for year y (cny). The corresponding ‘‘n’’ value
in the right column identifies the rank of the
annual 99th percentile value in the
descending sorted list of daily site values for
year y. Thus, P0.99, y = the nth largest value.
(2) Procedure 2. For the year, determine the
number of days with at least one hourly
value reported.
(A) For the year, from all the days with at
least one hourly value reported, select from
each day the maximum hourly value.
(B) Sort all these daily maximum values
from a particular site and year by descending
value. (For example: (x[1], x[2], x[3], * * *,
x[n]). In this case, x[1] is the largest number
and x[n] is the smallest value.) The 99th
percentile is determined from this sorted
series of daily values which is ordered from
the highest to the lowest number. Using the
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64875
left column of Table 1, determine the
appropriate range (i.e., row) for the annual
number of days with valid data for year y
(cny). The corresponding ‘‘n’’ value in the
right column identifies the rank of the annual
99th percentile value in the descending
sorted list of daily site values for year y.
Thus, P0.99, y = the nth largest value.
(b) The 1-hour primary standard design
value for a site is mean of the three annual
99th percentile values, rounded according to
the conventions in section 4.
TABLE 1
Annual number of days
with valid data for year
‘‘y’’ (cny)
P0.99, y is the nth
maximum value of
the year, where n is
the listed number
1–100 ..........................
101–200 ......................
201–300 ......................
301–366 ......................
1
2
3
4
PART 53—AMBIENT AIR MONITORING
REFERENCE AND EQUIVALENT
METHODS
8. The authority citation for part 53
continues to read as follows:
Authority: Sec. 301(a) of the Clean Air Act
(42 U.S.C. sec. 1857g(a)), as amended by sec.
15(c)(2) of Public Law 91–604, 84 Stat. 1713,
unless otherwise noted.
Subpart A—[Amended]
9. Section 53.2 is amended by revising
paragraphs (a)(1) and (b) to read as
follows:
§ 53.2. General requirements for a
reference method determination.
*
*
*
*
*
(a) Manual methods—(1) Sulfur
dioxide (SO2) and Lead. For measuring
SO2 and lead, Appendixes A–2 and G of
part 50 of this chapter specify unique
manual FRM for measuring those
pollutants. After [effective date of
Appendix A–1], a new FRM for SO2
must be an automated method that
utilizes the measurement principle and
calibration procedure specified in
Appendix A–1 to part 50 of this chapter
and must meet applicable requirements
of this part, as specified in paragraph (b)
of this section. Except as provided in
§ 53.16, other manual methods for lead
will not be considered for a reference
method determination under this part.
*
*
*
*
*
(b) Automated methods. An
automated FRM for measuring SO2, CO,
O3, or NO2 must utilize the
measurement principle and calibration
procedure specified in the appropriate
appendix to part 50 of this chapter
(appendix A–1 only for SO2 methods)
and must have been shown in
accordance with this part to meet the
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requirements specified in this subpart A
and subpart B of this part.
10. Section 53.8 is amended by
revising paragraph (c) to read as follows:
§ 53.8 Designation of reference and
equivalent methods.
*
*
*
*
*
(c) The Administrator will maintain a
current list of methods designated as
FRM or FEM in accordance with this
part and will send a copy of the list to
any person or group upon request. A
copy of the list will be available via the
Internet and may be available from other
sources.
11. Table A–1 to Subpart A is revised
to read as follows:
TABLE A–1 TO SUBPART A OF PART 53—SUMMARY OF APPLICABLE REQUIREMENTS FOR REFERENCE AND EQUIVALENT
METHODS FOR AIR MONITORING OF CRITERIA POLLUTANTS
Reference or
equivalent
Manual or automated
Reference ....................
Manual .........................
Automated ...................
Manual .........................
Automated ...................
Automated ...................
Manual .........................
Automated ...................
Automated ...................
Manual .........................
Automated ...................
Automated ...................
Manual .........................
Automated ...................
Manual .........................
Manual .........................
Automated ...................
Manual .........................
Manual .........................
Automated ...................
Manual .........................
Manual .........................
Automated ...................
Manual .........................
Manual .........................
Manual .........................
Automated ...................
Manual .........................
Manual .........................
Manual .........................
Automated ...................
Pollutant
SO2 ..........
Equivalent ....................
CO ............
O3 .............
NO2 ..........
Reference ....................
Equivalent ....................
Reference ....................
Equivalent ....................
Reference ....................
Equivalent ....................
Pb .............
Reference ....................
Equivalent ....................
PM10–Pb ..
Reference ....................
Equivalent ....................
PM10 .........
Reference ....................
Equivalent ....................
PM2.5 ........
Reference
Equivalent
Equivalent
Equivalent
Reference
Equivalent
Equivalent
Equivalent
PM10–2.5 ....
1 Some
....................
Class I .......
Class II ......
Class III .....
....................
Class I .......
Class II ......
Class III .....
Applicable part 50
appendix
Applicable subparts of part 53
B
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
A–2
A–1
A–1
A–1
C
C
C
D
D
D
F
F
F
G
G
G
Q
Q
Q
J
J
J
L
L
L1
L1
L, O
L, O
L, O
L 1, O 1
A
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
C
D
E
F
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓2
✓
✓
✓2
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓
✓12
✓1
✓12
✓1
requirements may apply, based on the nature of each particular candidate method, as determined by the Administrator.
Class III requirements may be substituted.
2 Alternative
Subpart B—[Amended]
12. Section 53.20 is amended as
follows:
A. By revising paragraph (b).
B. In paragraph (c), by revising Table
B–1.
The revisions read as follows:
§ 53.20
General provisions.
PWALKER on DSK8KYBLC1PROD with PROPOSALS2
*
*
*
*
*
(b) For a candidate method having
more than one selectable measurement
range, one range must be that specified
in table B–1 (standard range for SO2),
and a test analyzer representative of the
method must pass the tests required by
this subpart while operated in that
range. The tests may be repeated for one
or more broader ranges (i.e., ones
extending to higher concentrations) than
VerDate Nov<24>2008
16:44 Dec 07, 2009
Jkt 220001
the range specified in table B–1,
provided that the range does not extend
to concentrations more than four times
the upper range limit specified in table
B–1. For broader ranges, only the tests
for range (calibration), noise at 80% of
the upper range limit, and lag, rise and
fall time are required to be repeated.
The tests may be repeated for one or
more narrower ranges (ones extending
to lower concentrations) than that
specified in table B–1. For SO2 methods,
table B–1 specifies special performance
requirements for narrower (lower)
ranges. For methods other than SO2,
only the tests for range (calibration),
noise at 0% of the measurement range,
and lower detectable limit are required
to be repeated. If the tests are conducted
or passed only for the specified range
(standard range for SO2), any FRM or
PO 00000
Frm 00068
Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4702
FEM method determination with respect
to the method will be limited to that
range. If the tests are passed for both the
specified range and one or more broader
ranges, any such determination will
include the additional range(s) as well
as the specified range, provided that the
tests required by subpart C of this part
(if applicable) are met for the broader
range(s). If the tests are passed for both
the specified range and one or more
narrower ranges, any FRM or FEM
method determination for the method
will include the narrower range(s) as
well as the specified range. Appropriate
test data shall be submitted for each
range sought to be included in a FRM
or FEM method determination under
this paragraph (b).
(c) * * *
E:\FR\FM\08DEP2.SGM
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Federal Register / Vol. 74, No. 234 / Tuesday, December 8, 2009 / Proposed Rules
TABLE B–1—PERFORMANCE SPECIFICATIONS FOR AUTOMATED METHODS
SO2
Units 1
Performance parameter
Std. range 3
1.
2.
3.
4.
Range .........................................
Noise ..........................................
Lower detectable limit ................
Interference equivalent
Each interferent .......................
Total, all interferents ................
5. Zero drift, 12 and 24 hour ..........
7. Span drift, 24 hour:
20% of upper range limit .........
80% of upper range limit .........
8. Lag time ......................................
9. Rise time ....................................
10. Fall time ....................................
11. Precision:
20% of upper range limit .........
80% of upper range limit .........
Lower
range 2 3
O3
NO2
CO
Definitions and
test procedures
ppm ..............
ppm ..............
ppm ..............
0–0.5
0.001
0.002
<0.5
0.0005
0.001
0–0.5
0.005
0.010
0–50
50
1.0
0–0.5
0.005
0.010
Sec. 53.23(a).
Sec. 53.23(b).
Sec. 53.23(c).
ppm ..............
ppm ..............
ppm ..............
±0.005
0.020
±0.004
±0.005
0.020
±0.002
±0.02
0.06
±0.02
±1.0
1.5
±1.0
±0.02
0.04
±0.02
Sec. 53.23(d).
Sec. 53.23(d).
Sec. 53.23(e).
Percent
Percent
Minutes
Minutes
Minutes
±5.0
2
2
2
±5.0
2
2
2
±20.0
±5.0
20
15
15
..................
2
..................
2
0.010
..................
0.010
..................
.........
.........
........
........
........
ppm ..............
Percent .........
ppm ..............
Percent .........
..........................
2
..........................
2
±10.0
±2.5
10
5
5
0.5
....................
0.5
....................
±20.0
±5.0
20
15
15
Sec.
Sec.
Sec.
Sec.
Sec.
53.23(e).
53.23(e).
53.23(e).
53.23(e).
53.23(e).
0.020
..................
0.030
..................
Sec.
Sec.
Sec.
Sec.
53.23(e).
53.23(e).
53.23(e).
53.23(e).
1 To convert from parts per million (ppm) to μg/m3 at 25 °C and 760 mm Hg, multiply by M/0.02447, where M is the molecular weight of the
gas. Percent means percent of the upper range limit.
2 Tests for interference equivalent and lag time do not need to be repeated for any lower SO range provided the test for the standard range
2
shows that the lower range specification is met for each of these test parameters.
3 For candidate analyzers having automatic or adaptive time constants or smoothing filters, describe their functional nature, and describe and
conduct suitable tests to demonstrate their function aspects and verify that performances for calibration, noise, lag, rise, fall times, and precision
are within specifications under all applicable conditions. For candidate analyzers with operator-selectable time constants or smoothing filters, conduct calibration, noise, lag, rise, fall times, and precision tests at the highest and lowest settings that are to be included in the FRM or FEM
designation.
*
*
*
*
*
13. Section 53.21 is amended by
revising paragraph (a) to read as follows:
§ 53.21
Test conditions.
(a) Set-up and start-up of the test
analyzer shall be in strict accordance
with the operating instructions specified
in the manual referred to in § 53.4(b)(3).
Allow adequate warm-up or
stabilization time as indicated in the
operating instructions before beginning
the tests. The test procedures assume
that the test analyzer has an analog
measurement signal output that is
connected to a suitable strip chart
recorder of the servo, null-balance type.
This recorder shall have a chart width
of a least 25 centimeters, chart speeds
up to 10 cm per hour, a response time
of 1 second or less, a deadband of not
more than 0.25 percent of full scale, and
capability either of reading
measurements at least 5 percent below
zero or of offsetting the zero by at least
5 percent. If the test analyzer does not
have an analog signal output, or if other
types of measurement data output are
used, an alternative measurement data
recording device (or devices) may be
used for the tests, provided it is
reasonably suited to the nature and
purposes of the tests and an analog
representation of the analyzer
measurements for each test can be
plotted or otherwise generated that is
reasonably similar to the analog
measurement recordings that would be
produced by a conventional chart
recorder.
*
*
*
*
*
14. Section 53.22(d) is amended by
revising Table B–2 to read as follows:
§ 53.22
*
Generation of test atmospheres.
*
*
(d) * * *
*
*
TABLE B–2—TEST ATMOSPHERES
Test gas
Generation
Ammonia ....................
Permeation device. Similar to system described in references 1 and 2.
Cylinder of zero air or nitrogen containing CO2 as required
to obtain the concentration specified in table B–3.
PWALKER on DSK8KYBLC1PROD with PROPOSALS2
Carbon dioxide ...........
Carbon monoxide .......
Verification
Ethane ........................
Cylinder of zero air or nitrogen containing CO as required
to obtain the concentration specified in table B–3.
Cylinder of zero air or nitrogen containing ethane as required to obtain the concentration specified in table B–3.
Ethylene .....................
Cylinder of pre-purified nitrogen containing ethylene as required to obtain the concentration specified in table B–3.
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Indophenol method, reference 3.
Use NIST-certified standards whenever possible. If NIST
standards are not available, obtain 2 standards from
independent sources which agree within 2 percent, or
obtain one standard and submit it to an independent
laboratory for analysis, which must agree within 2 percent of the supplier’s nominal analysis.
Use a FRM CO analyzer as described in reference 8.
Gas chromatography, ASTM D2820, reference 10. Use
NIST-traceable gaseous methane or propane standards
for calibration.
Do.
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Federal Register / Vol. 74, No. 234 / Tuesday, December 8, 2009 / Proposed Rules
TABLE B–2—TEST ATMOSPHERES—Continued
Test gas
Generation
Verification
Hydrogen chloride ......
Cylinder 1 of pre-purified nitrogen containing approximately
100 ppm of gaseous HCL. Dilute with zero air to concentration specified in table B–3.
Permeation device system described in references 1 and
2.
Cylinder of zero air containing methane as required to obtain the concentration specified in table B–3.
Cylinder1 of pre-purified nitrogen containing approximately
100 ppm NO. Dilute with zero air to required concentration.
1. Gas phase titration as described in reference 6 .............
2. Permeation device, similar to system described in reference 6.
Collect samples in bubbler containing distilled water and
analyze by the mercuric thiocyante method, ASTM
(D612), p. 29, reference 4.
Tentative method of analysis for H2S content of the atmosphere, p. 426, reference 5.
Gas chromatography ASTM D2820, reference 10. Use
NIST-traceable methane standards for calibration.
Gas phase titration as described in reference 6, section
7.1.
Hydrogen sulfide ........
Methane .....................
Nitric oxide .................
Nitrogen dioxide .........
Ozone .........................
Calibrated ozone generator as described in reference 9 ....
Sulfur dioxide .............
1. Permeation device as described in references 1 and 2 ..
2. Dynamic dilution of a cylinder containing approximately
100 ppm SO2 as described in reference 7.
Pass zero air through distilled water at a fixed known temperature between 20 ° and 30 °C such that the air
stream becomes saturated. Dilute with zero air to concentration specified in table B–3.
Cylinder of pre-purified nitrogen containing 100 ppm xylene. Dilute with zero air to concentration specified in
table B–3.
1. Use an FRM NO2 analyzer calibrated with a gravimetrically calibrated permeation device.
2. Use an FRM NO2 analyzer calibrated by gas-phase titration as described in reference 6.
Use an FEM ozone analyzer calibrated as described in
reference 9.
Use an SO2 FRM or FEM analyzer as described in reference 7.
Measure relative humidity by means of a dew-point indicator, calibrated electrolytic or piezo electric hygrometer,
or wet/dry bulb thermometer.
Water ..........................
Xylene ........................
Zero air .......................
Use NIST-certified standards whenever possible. If NIST
standards are not available, obtain 2 standards from
independent sources which agree within 2 percent, or
obtain one standard and submit it to an independent
laboratory for analysis, which must agree within 2 percent of the supplier’s nominal analysis.
1. Ambient air purified by appropriate scrubbers or other
devices such that it is free of contaminants likely to
cause a detectable response on the analyzer.
2. Cylinder of compressed zero air certified by the supplier
or an independent laboratory to be free of contaminants
likely to cause a detectable response on the analyzer.
1 Use stainless steel pressure regulator dedicated to the pollutant measured.
Reference 1. O’Keefe, A. E., and Ortaman, G. C. ‘‘Primary Standards for Trace Gas Analysis,’’ Anal. Chem. 38, 760 (1966).
Reference 2. Scaringelli, F. P., A. E. Rosenberg, E*, and Bell, J. P., ‘‘Primary Standards for Trace Gas Analysis.’’ Anal. Chem. 42, 871 (1970).
Reference 3. ‘‘Tentative Method of Analysis for Ammonia in the Atmosphere (Indophenol Method)’’, Health Lab Sciences, vol. 10, No. 2, 115–
118, April 1973.
Reference 4. 1973 Annual Book of ASTM Standards, American Society for Testing and Materials, 1916 Race St., Philadelphia, PA.
Reference 5. Methods for Air Sampling and Analysis, Intersociety Committee, 1972, American Public Health Association, 1015.
Reference 6. 40 CFR 50 Appendix F, ‘‘Measurement Principle and Calibration Principle for the Measurement of Nitrogen Dioxide in the Atmosphere (Gas Phase Chemiluminescence).’’
Reference 7. 40 CFR 50 Appendix A–1, ‘‘Measurement Principle and Calibration Procedure for the Measurement of Sulfur Dioxide in the Atmosphere (Ultraviolet Fluorescence).’’
Reference 8. 40 CFR 50 Appendix C, ‘‘Measurement Principle and Calibration Procedure for the Measurement of Carbon Monoxide in the Atmosphere’’ (Non-Dispersive Infrared Photometry)’’.
Reference 9. 40 CFR 50 Appendix D, ‘‘Measurement Principle and Calibration Procedure for the Measurement of Ozone in the Atmosphere’’.
Reference 10. ‘‘Standard Test Method for C, through C5 Hydrocarbons in the Atmosphere by Gas Chromatography’’, D 2820, 1987 Annual
Book of Aston Standards, vol 11.03, American Society for Testing and Materials, 1916 Race St., Philadelphia, PA 19103.
§ 53.23
*
*
*
*
*
15. Section 53.23(d) is amended by
revising Table B–3 to read as follows:
*
Test procedures.
*
*
*
(d) * * *
*
TABLE B–3—INTERFERENT TEST CONCENTRATION,1 PARTS PER MILLION
PWALKER on DSK8KYBLC1PROD with PROPOSALS2
Pollutant
SO2
SO2
SO2
SO2
..............
..............
..............
..............
SO2 ..............
SO2 ..............
SO2 ..............
O3 ................
O3 ................
Analyzer type
Ultraviolet fluorescence
Flame photometric ......
Gas chromatography ...
Spectrophotometric-wet
chemical
(pararosanaline).
Electrochemical ...........
Conductivity .................
Spectrophotometricgas phase, including
DOAS.
Chemiluminescent .......
Electrochemical ...........
VerDate Nov<24>2008
16:44 Dec 07, 2009
Hydrochloric
acid
Ammonia
Hydrogen
sulfide
Sulfur
dioxide
............
............
............
0.2
............
............
............
0.1
5 0.1
4 0.14
0.01
0.1
0.1
4 0.14
0.2
0.2
............
0.1
0.1
............
0.1
............
............
4 0.14
............
............
............
3 0.1
3 0.1
............
Jkt 220001
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Nitrogen
dioxide
Nitric
oxide
Carbon
dioxide
Ethylene
Ozone
Mxylene
0.5
............
............
0.5
0.5
............
............
............
............
750
750
750
............
............
............
............
0.5
............
............
0.5
0.2
............
............
............
4 0.14
0.5
0.5
0.5
0.5
............
............
............
750
............
0.2
............
............
0.5
............
0.5
............
0.5
............
0.5
............
............
750
............
............
............
4 0.08
4 0.14
4 0.14
4 0.14
Frm 00070
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4 0.08
Carbon
monoxide
Methane
Ethane
Naphthalene
3 20,000
....................
............
50
50
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
6 0.05
............
............
............
............
............
0.2
3 20,000
....................
....................
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
3 20,000
....................
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
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Federal Register / Vol. 74, No. 234 / Tuesday, December 8, 2009 / Proposed Rules
TABLE B–3—INTERFERENT TEST CONCENTRATION,1 PARTS PER MILLION—Continued
Hydrochloric
acid
Pollutant
Analyzer type
O3 ................
Spectrophotometric-wet
chemical (potassium
iodide).
Spectrophotometricgas phase, including
ultraviolet absorption
and DOAS).
Infrared ........................
Gas chromatography
with flame ionization
detector.
Electrochemical ...........
Catalytic combustionthermal detection.
IR fluorescence ...........
Mercury replacementUV photometric.
Chemiluminescent .......
Spectrophotometric-wet
chemical (azo-dye
reaction).
Electrochemical ...........
Spectrophotometricgas phase.
O3 ................
CO ...............
CO ...............
CO ...............
CO ...............
CO ...............
CO ...............
NO2 .............
NO2 .............
NO2 .............
NO2 .............
Ammonia
Hydrogen
sulfide
Sulfur
dioxide
Nitrogen
dioxide
Ozone
Mxylene
Water
vapor
Carbon
monoxide
Methane
Ethane
Naphthalene
............
3 0.1
............
0.5
0.5
............
4 0.08
............
....................
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
0.5
............
............
4 0.08
0.02
20,000
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
750
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
20,000
20,000
4 10
............
............
............
0.5
............
............
............
............
............
0.1
............
............
0.5
............
............
750
0.2
0.2
............
............
............
............
20,000
20,000
4 10
............
5.0
............
0.5
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
750
............
............
0.2
............
............
............
............
20,000
....................
4 10
4 10
............
............
0.5
0.5
............
............
............
............
0.5
0.5
4 0.1
0.5
0.5
............
750
............
............
............
0.5
............
............
20,000
....................
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
0.5
0.5
4 0.1
0.5
0.5
750
............
............
............
0.5
0.5
............
............
20,000
20,000
50
50
............
............
............
............
............
............
Carbon
dioxide
Ethylene
3 0.5
............
0.5
0.5
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
............
3 0.1
............
0.2
............
3 0.1
3 0.1
4 0.1
4 0.1
Nitric
oxide
4 10
4 10
of interferent listed must be prepared and controlled to ±10 percent of the stated value.
types not listed will be considered by the Administrator as special cases.
not mix with the pollutant.
4 Concentration of pollutant used for test. These pollutant concentrations must be prepared to ±10 percent of the stated value.
5 If candidate method utilizes an elevated-temperature scrubber for removal of aromatic hydrocarbons, perform this interference test.
6 If naphthalene test concentration cannot be accurately quantified, remove the scrubber, use a test concentration that causes a full scale response, reattach the scrubber, and evaluate response for interference.
1 Concentrations
2 Analyzer
3 Do
*
*
*
*
*
Subpart C—[Amended]
16. Section 53.32 is amended by
revising paragraph (e)(2) to read as
follows:
§ 53.32 Test procedures for methods for
SO2, CO, O3, and NO2.
*
*
*
*
*
(e) * * *
(2) For a candidate method having
more than one selectable range, one
range must be that specified in table B–
1 of subpart B of this part, and a test
analyzer representative of the method
must pass the tests required by this
subpart while operated on that range.
The tests may be repeated for one or
more broader ranges (i.e., ones
extending to higher concentrations) than
the one specified in table B–1 of subpart
B of this part, provided that such a
range does not extend to concentrations
more than four times the upper range
limit specified in table B–1 of subpart B
of this part and that the test analyzer has
passed the tests required by subpart B
of this part (if applicable) for the
broader range. If the tests required by
this subpart are conducted or passed
only for the range specified in table
B–1 of subpart B of this part, any
equivalent method determination with
respect to the method will be limited to
that range. If the tests are passed for
both the specified range and a broader
range (or ranges), any such
determination will include the broader
range(s) as well as the specified range.
Appropriate test data shall be submitted
for each range sought to be included in
such a determination.
*
*
*
*
*
17. Table C–1 to Subpart C is revised
to read as follows:
TABLE C–1 TO SUBPART C OF PART 53—TEST CONCENTRATION RANGES, NUMBER OF MEASUREMENTS REQUIRED, AND
MAXIMUM DISCREPANCY SPECIFICATIONS
Simultaneous measurements required
Concentration range, parts per million
(ppm)
Pollutant
First set
Ozone ......................
First set
Second set
Maximum
discrepancy
specification,
parts per million
1-hour
24-hour
Second set
PWALKER on DSK8KYBLC1PROD with PROPOSALS2
....................
....................
....................
....................
....................
....................
0.02
0.03
0.04
14
18
....................
....................
............................
Low 7 to 11 ................................................
Med. 20 to 30 ............................................
High 25 to 45 .............................................
5
5
4
6
6
6
....................
....................
....................
....................
....................
....................
1.5
2.0
3.0
14
18
....................
....................
............................
Low 0.02 to 0.05 ........................................
Med. 0.10 to 0.15 ......................................
High 0.30 to 0.50 .......................................
5
5
4
6
6
6
3
2
2
3
3
2
0.02
0.03
0.04
Total ....................................................
VerDate Nov<24>2008
6
6
6
Total ....................................................
Sulfur dioxide ...........
5
5
4
Total ....................................................
Carbon monoxide ....
Low 0.06 to 0.10 ........................................
Med. 0.15 to 0.25 ......................................
High 0.35 to 0.46 .......................................
14
18
7
8
............................
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Federal Register / Vol. 74, No. 234 / Tuesday, December 8, 2009 / Proposed Rules
TABLE C–1 TO SUBPART C OF PART 53—TEST CONCENTRATION RANGES, NUMBER OF MEASUREMENTS REQUIRED, AND
MAXIMUM DISCREPANCY SPECIFICATIONS—Continued
Simultaneous measurements required
Concentration range, parts per million
(ppm)
Pollutant
First set
Low 0.02 to 0.08 ........................................
Med. 0.10 to 0.20 ......................................
High 0.25 to 0.35 .......................................
....................
....................
....................
....................
Subpart B—[Amended]
(g) Any State, or where applicable,
local agency operating an SO2 monitor
shall report the maximum 5-minute SO2
block average of the twelve 5-minute
block averages in each hour, in addition
to the hourly SO2 average.
23. Appendix A to Part 58 is amended
by adding paragraph 2.3.1.6 to read as
follows:
19. Section 58.10 is amended by
adding paragraph (a)(6) to read as
follows:
Appendix A to Part 58—Quality
Assurance Requirements for SLAMS,
SPMs and PSD Air Monitoring
§ 58.10 Annual monitoring network plan
and periodic network assessment.
*
(a) * * *
(6) A plan for establishing SO2
monitoring sites in accordance with the
requirements of appendix D to this part
shall be submitted to the EPA Regional
Administrator by July 1, 2011 as part of
the annual network plan required in
paragraph (a)(1) of this section. The plan
shall provide for all required SO2
monitoring sites to be operational by
January 1, 2013.
*
*
*
*
*
20. Section 58.12 is amended by
adding paragraph (g) to read as follows:
*
18. The authority citation for part 58
continues to read as follows:
Authority: 42 U.S.C. 7403, 7410, 7601(a),
7611, and 7619.
§ 58.12
Operating schedules.
*
*
*
*
*
(g) For continuous SO2 analyzers, the
maximum 5-minute block average
concentration of the twelve 5-minute
blocks in the hour must be collected
except as noted in § 58.12(a).
21. Section 58.13 is amended by
adding paragraph (d) to read as follows:
§ 58.13
Monitoring network completion.
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(d) The network of SO2 monitors must
be physically established no later than
January 1, 2013, and at that time, must
be operating under all of the
requirements of this part, including the
requirements of appendices A, C, D, and
E to this part.
22. Section 58.16 is amended by
adding paragraph (g) to read as follows:
§ 58.16 Data submittal and archiving
requirements.
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2.3.1.6 Measurement Uncertainty for SO2.
The goal for acceptable measurement
uncertainty for precision is defined as an
upper 90 percent confidence limit for the
coefficient of variation (CV) of 15 percent and
for bias as an upper 95 percent confidence
limit for the absolute bias of 15 percent.
*
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24. Appendix C to Part 58 is amended
by adding paragraph 2.1.2 to read as
follows:
Appendix C to Part 58—Ambient Air
Quality Monitoring Methodology
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2.1.2 Any SO2 FRM or FEM used for
making NAAQS decisions, as prescribed
in 40 CFR Part 50 Appendix A–1, must
be capable of providing 1-hour averaged
and 5-minute averaged concentration
data.
*
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25. Appendix D to Part 58 is amended
by revising paragraph 4.4 to read as
follows:
Appendix D to Part 58—Network
Design Criteria for Ambient Air Quality
Monitoring
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4.4 Sulfur Dioxide (SO2) Design Criteria.
4.4.1 General Requirements. State and,
where appropriate, local agencies must
operate a minimum number of required SO2
monitoring sites as described below.
4.4.2 Requirement for Monitoring by the
Population Weighted Emissions Index. (a)
The population weighted emissions index
(PWEI) shall be calculated by states for each
CBSA they contain or share with another
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2
2
0.02
0.02
0.03
7
....................
PART 58—AMBIENT AIR QUALITY
SURVEILLANCE
Second set
8
............................
24-hour
....................
....................
....................
Total ....................................................
Nitrogen dioxide .......
Second set
Maximum
discrepancy
specification,
parts per million
3
2
2
1-hour
First set
state or states for use in the implementation
of or adjustment to the SO2 monitoring
network. The PWEI shall be calculated by
multiplying the population of each CBSA,
using the most current census data, by the
total amount of SO2 in tons per year emitted
within the CBSA area, using an aggregate of
the most recent county level emissions data
available in the National Emissions Inventory
for each county in each CBSA. The resulting
product shall be divided by one million,
providing a PWEI value, the units of which
are million persons-tons per year. For any
CBSA with a calculated PWEI value equal to
or greater than 1,000,000, a minimum of
three SO2 monitors are required within that
CBSA. For any CBSA with a calculated PWEI
value equal to or greater than 10,000, but less
than 1,000,000, a minimum of two SO2
monitors are required within that CBSA. For
any CBSA with a calculated PWEI value
equal to or greater than 5,000, but less than
10,000, a minimum of one SO2 monitor is
required within that CBSA.
(1) The SO2 monitoring site(s) required as
a result of the PWEI in each CBSA shall be
sited by states through a process of
identifying locations within the boundaries
of that CBSA where maximum ground-level
1-hour SO2 concentrations occur due to
emissions that originate inside and/or
outside of that CBSA. Where a state or local
air monitoring agency identifies multiple
acceptable candidate sites where maximum
hourly SO2 concentrations are expected to
occur, the monitoring agency shall select the
location with the greater population
exposure. Where one CBSA is required to
have more than one SO2 monitor, the
monitoring sites shall not be oriented to
measure maximum hourly concentrations
from the same SO2 source or group of
sources, but shall monitor a different source
or group of sources. Any PWEI-triggered
monitors shall not count toward satisfying
any required monitors resulting from the
state emissions triggered requirements
described below.
(2) The number of SO2 monitors operated
as a result of the PWEI shall be reviewed and
adjusted as needed as a part of the 5-year
network assessment cycle required in § 58.10
of this part.
(b) [Reserved]
4.4.3 Requirement for State Emission
Triggered SO2 Monitoring. (a) Each State
shall operate a minimum number of monitors
based on that state’s contribution of SO2
emissions to the national, anthropogenic SO2
inventory as identified in the most recent
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National Emissions Inventory. Each state
shall operate one monitor for each percent
that it contributes to the NEI. The percent
contribution shall be rounded to the nearest
whole integer value. Every state shall operate
a minimum of one monitor under this
requirement.
(1) Each state emission triggered SO2
monitoring station shall be sited by states
through a process of identifying locations
within the boundaries of that state where
maximum ground-level 1-hour SO2
concentrations occur due to SO2 source
emissions originate inside or outside the
state. Where a state has CBSAs with PWEItriggered monitoring, the PWEI-triggered
monitors shall not count toward the
emission-triggered monitors. State emissiontriggered monitors shall not be sited to
measure maximum hourly concentrations
from the same SO2 source or group of sources
as another SO2 monitor, but shall measure
maximum hourly concentrations resulting
from a different source or group of sources.
(2) The number of SO2 monitors operated
as a result of state-level emissions shall be
reviewed and adjusted as needed as a part of
the 5-year network assessment cycle required
in § 58.10 of this part.
(b) [Reserved]
4.4.4 Regional Administrator Required
Monitoring. The Regional Administrator may
require additional SO2 monitoring stations
above the minimum number of monitors
required in 4.4.2 and 4.4.3 of this appendix,
where the minimum monitoring
requirements are not sufficient to meet
monitoring objectives. The Regional
Administrator may require, at his/her
discretion, additional monitors in situations
where an area has the potential to have
concentrations that may violate or contribute
to the violation of the NAAQS and the area
is not monitored under the minimum
monitoring provisions described above. The
Regional Administrator and the responsible
State or local air monitoring agency shall
work together to design and/or maintain the
most appropriate SO2 network to provide
sufficient data to meet monitoring objectives.
4.4.5 SO2 Monitoring Spatial Scales. (a)
The appropriate spatial scales for SO2
SLAMS monitors are the microscale, middle,
neighborhood, and possibly urban scales.
Monitors sited at the microscale, middle, and
neighborhood scales are suitable for
determining maximum hourly concentrations
for SO2 and can be used for compliance
actions. Monitors sited at urban scales are
useful for identifying SO2 transport, trends,
and, if sited upwind of local sources,
background concentrations.
(1) Microscale—This scale would typify
areas in close proximity to SO2 point and
area sources. Emissions from stationary point
and area sources, and non-road sources may,
under certain plume conditions, result in
high ground level concentrations at the
microscale. The microscale typically
represents an area impacted by the plume
with dimensions extending up to
approximately 100 meters.
(2) Middle scale—This scale generally
represents air quality levels in areas up to
several city blocks in size with dimensions
on the order of approximately 100 meters to
500 meters. The middle scale may include
locations of expected maximum short-term
concentrations due to proximity to major SO2
point, area, and/or non-road sources.
(3) Neighborhood scale—The
neighborhood scale would characterize air
quality conditions throughout some
relatively uniform land use areas with
dimensions in the 0.5 to 4.0 kilometer range.
Emissions from stationary point and area
sources may, under certain plume
conditions, result in high SO2 concentrations
at the neighborhood scale. Where a
neighborhood site is located away from
immediate SO2 sources, the site may be
useful in representing typical air quality
values for a larger residential area, and
therefore suitable for population exposure
and trends analyses.
(4) Urban scale—Measurements in this
scale would be used to estimate
concentrations over large portions of an
urban area with dimensions from 4 to 50
kilometers. Such measurements would be
useful for assessing trends in area-wide air
quality, and hence, the effectiveness of large
scale air pollution control strategies. Urban
scale sites may also support other monitoring
objectives of the SO2 monitoring network
such as identifying trends, and when
monitors are sited upwind of local sources,
background concentrations.
(b) [Reserved]
4.4.6 NCore Monitoring. SO2
measurements are included within the NCore
multipollutant site requirements as described
in paragraph (3)(b) of this appendix. NCorebased SO2 measurements are primarily used
to characterize SO2 trends and assist in
understanding SO2 transport across
representative areas in urban or rural
locations and are also used for comparison
with the SO2 NAAQS.
*
*
*
*
*
26. Appendix G to Part 58 is amended
as by revising Table 2 to read as follows:
Appendix G to Part 58—Uniform Air
Quality Index (AQI) and Daily
Reporting
*
*
*
*
*
TABLE 2—BREAKPOINTS FOR THE AQI
These breakpoints
O3 (ppm)
8-hour
O3 (ppm)
1-hour 1
0.000–0.059 ..
0.060–0.075 ..
........................
........................
0.076–0.095 ..
0.096–0.115 ..
0.116–0.374 ..
(2) ..................
(2) ..................
PM2.5
(μg/m3)
PM10
(μg/m3)
CO (ppm)
0.0–15.4
15.5–40.4
0–54
55–154
0.0–4.4
4.5–9.4
0.125–0.164
40.5–65.4
155–254
9.5–12.4
0.165–0.204
0.205–0.404
0.405–0.504
0.505–0.604
3 65.5–150.4
255–354
355–424
425–504
505–604
12.5–15.4
15.5–30.4
30.5–40.4
40.5–50.4
3 150.5–250.4
3 250.5–350.4
3 350.5–500.4
Equal these AQIs
SO2 (ppm) 1-hour
0–(0.025–0.050)
(0.026–0.051)–(0.050–
0.100)
(0.051–0.101)–(.175–
.200)
(0.176–0.201)–(.304)
0.305–0.604
0.605–0.804
0.805–1.004
NO2 (ppm)
1-hour
0–(0.040–0.053)
(0.041–0.054)–(0.080–
0.100)
(0.081–0.101)–(0.360–
0.370)
(0.361–0.371)–0.64
0.65–1.24
1.25–1.64
1.65–2.04
1 Areas
AQI
0–50
51–100
101–150
151–200
201–300
301–400
401–500
Category
Good.
Moderate.
Unhealthy for
Sensitive Groups.
Unhealthy.
Very Unhealthy.
Hazardous.
are generally required to report the AQI based on 8-hour ozone values. However, there are a small number of areas where an AQI based on 1-hour ozone
values would be more precautionary. In these cases, in addition to calculating the 8-hour ozone index value, the 1-hour ozone index value may be calculated, and the
maximum of the two values reported.
2 8-hour O values do not define higher AQI values (≥ 301). AQI values of 301 or greater are calculated with 1-hour O concentrations.
3
3
3 If a different SHL for PM
2.5 is promulgated, these numbers will change accordingly.
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 74, Number 234 (Tuesday, December 8, 2009)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 64810-64881]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: E9-28058]
[[Page 64809]]
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Part II
Environmental Protection Agency
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40 CFR Parts 50, 53, and 58
Primary National Ambient Air Quality Standard for Sulfur Dioxide;
Proposed Rule
Federal Register / Vol. 74, No. 234 / Tuesday, December 8, 2009 /
Proposed Rules
[[Page 64810]]
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ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION AGENCY
40 CFR Parts 50, 53, and 58
[EPA-HQ-OAR-2007-0352; FRL-8984-3]
RIN 2060-A048
Primary National Ambient Air Quality Standard for Sulfur Dioxide
AGENCY: Environmental Protection Agency (EPA).
ACTION: Proposed rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: Based on its review of the air quality criteria for oxides of
sulfur and the primary national ambient air quality standard (NAAQS)
for oxides of sulfur as measured by sulfur dioxide (SO2),
EPA is proposing to revise the primary SO2 NAAQS to provide
requisite protection of public health with an adequate margin of
safety. Specifically, EPA proposes to establish a new 1-hour
SO2 standard within the range of 50-100 parts per billion
(ppb), based on the 3-year average of the annual 99th percentile (or
4th highest) of 1-hour daily maximum concentrations. The EPA also
proposes to revoke both the existing 24-hour and annual primary
SO2 standards.
DATES: Comments must be received on or before February 8, 2010. Under
the Paperwork Reduction Act, comments on the information collection
provisions must be received by OMB on or before January 7, 2010.
Public Hearings: A public hearing is scheduled for this proposed
rule. The public hearing will be held on January 5, 2010 in Atlanta,
Georgia.
ADDRESSES: Submit your comments, identified by Docket ID No. EPA-HQ-
OAR-2007-0352 by one of the following methods:
https://www.regulations.gov: Follow the on-line
instructions for submitting comments.
E-mail: a-and-r-Docket@epa.gov.
Fax: 202-566-9744.
Mail: Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2007-0352, Environmental
Protection Agency, Mail Code 6102T, 1200 Pennsylvania Ave., NW.,
Washington, DC 20460. Please include a total of two copies.
Hand Delivery: Docket No. EPA-HQ-OAR-2007-0352,
Environmental Protection Agency, EPA West, Room 3334, 1301 Constitution
Ave., NW, Washington, DC. Such deliveries are only accepted during the
Docket's normal hours of operation, and special arrangements should be
made for deliveries of boxed information.
Public Hearings: A public hearing is scheduled for this proposed
rule. The public hearing will be held on January 5, 2010 in Atlanta,
Georgia. The hearing will be held at the following location: Sam Nunn
Atlanta Federal Center, Conference Rooms B and C, 61 Forsyth Street,
SW., Atlanta, GA 30303, Telephone: (404) 562-9077.
Note: All persons entering the Atlanta Federal Center must have
a valid picture ID such as a Driver's License and go through Federal
security procedures. All persons must go through a magnetometer and
all personal items must go through x-ray equipment, similar to
airport security procedures. After passing through the equipment,
all persons must sign in at the guard station and show their picture
ID.
See the SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION under ``Public Hearing'' for
further information.
Instructions: Direct your comments to Docket ID No. EPA-HQ-OAR-
2007-0352. EPA's policy is that all comments received will be included
in the public docket without change and may be made available online at
www.regulations.gov, including any personal information provided,
unless the comment includes information claimed to be Confidential
Business Information (CBI) or other information whose disclosure is
restricted by statute. Do not submit information that you consider to
be CBI or otherwise protected through www.regulations.gov or e-mail.
The www.regulations.gov Web site is an ``anonymous access'' system,
which means EPA will not know your identity or contact information
unless you provide it in the body of your comment. If you send an e-
mail comment directly to EPA without going through www.regulations.gov
your e-mail address will be automatically captured and included as part
of the comment that is placed in the public docket and made available
on the Internet. If you submit an electronic comment, EPA recommends
that you include your name and other contact information in the body of
your comment and with any disk or CD-ROM you submit. If EPA cannot read
your comment due to technical difficulties and cannot contact you for
clarification, EPA may not be able to consider your comment. Electronic
files should avoid the use of special characters, any form of
encryption, and be free of any defects or viruses. For additional
information about EPA's public docket visit the EPA Docket Center
homepage at https://www.epa.gov/epahome/dockets.htm.
Docket: All documents in the docket are listed in the
www.regulations.gov index. Although listed in the index, some
information is not publicly available, e.g., CBI or other information
whose disclosure is restricted by statute. Certain other material, such
as copyrighted material, will be publicly available only in hard copy.
Publicly available docket materials are available either electronically
in www.regulations.gov or in hard copy at the Air and Radiation Docket
and Information Center, EPA/DC, EPA West, Room 3334, 1301 Constitution
Ave., NW., Washington, DC. The Public Reading Room is open from 8:30
a.m. to 4:30 p.m., Monday through Friday, excluding legal holidays. The
telephone number for the Public Reading Room is (202) 566-1744 and the
telephone number for the Air and Radiation Docket and Information
Center is (202) 566-1742.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Dr. Michael J. Stewart, Health and
Environmental Impacts Division, Office of Air Quality Planning and
Standards, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Mail Code C504-06,
Research Triangle Park, NC 27711; telephone: 919-541-7524; fax: 919-
541-0237; e-mail: stewart.michael@epa.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
General Information
What Should I Consider as I Prepare My Comments for EPA?
1. Submitting CBI. Do not submit this information to EPA through
www.regulations.gov or e-mail. Clearly mark the part or all of the
information that you claim to be CBI. For CBI information in a disk or
CD-ROM that you mail to EPA, mark the outside of the disk or CD-ROM as
CBI and then identify electronically within the disk or CD-ROM the
specific information that is claimed as CBI. In addition to one
complete version of the comment that includes information claimed as
CBI, a copy of the comment that does not contain the information
claimed as CBI must be submitted for inclusion in the public docket.
Information so marked will not be disclosed except in accordance with
procedures set forth in 40 CFR part 2.
2. Tips for Preparing Your Comments. When submitting comments,
remember to:
Identify the rulemaking by docket number and other
identifying information (subject heading, Federal Register date and
page number).
Follow directions--the agency may ask you to respond to
specific questions or organize comments by referencing a Code of
Federal Regulations (CFR) part or section number.
Explain why you agree or disagree, suggest alternatives,
and substitute language for your requested changes.
[[Page 64811]]
Describe any assumptions and provide any technical
information and/or data that you used.
Provide specific examples to illustrate your concerns, and
suggest alternatives.
Explain your views as clearly as possible, avoiding the
use of profanity or personal threats.
Make sure to submit your comments by the comment period
deadline identified.
Availability of Related Information
A number of the documents that are relevant to this rulemaking are
available through EPA's Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards
(OAQPS) Technology Transfer Network (TTN) Web site at https://www.epa.gov/ttn/naaqs/standards/so2/s_so2_index.html. These documents
include the Integrated Review Plan and the Health Assessment Plan,
available at, the Integrated Science Assessment (ISA), available at
https://www.epa.gov/ttn/naaqs/standards/so2/s_so2_cr_isa.html, and
the Risk and Exposure Assessment (REA), available at https://www.epa.gov/ttn/naaqs/standards/so2/s_so2_cr_rea.html. These and
other related documents are also available for inspection and copying
in the EPA docket identified above.
Public Hearing
The public hearing on January 5, 2010 will provide interested
parties the opportunity to present data, views, or arguments concerning
the proposed rule. The EPA may ask clarifying questions during the oral
presentations, but will not respond to the presentations at that time.
Written statements and supporting information submitted during the
comment period will be considered with the same weight as any oral
comments and supporting information presented at the public hearing.
Written comments must be received by the last day of the comment
period, as specified in this proposed rulemaking.
The public hearing will begin at 10 a.m. and continue until 7 p.m.
(local time) or later, if necessary, depending on the number of
speakers wishing to participate. The EPA will make every effort to
accommodate all speakers that arrive and register before 7 p.m. A lunch
break is scheduled from 12:30 p.m. until 2 p.m.
If you would like to present oral testimony at the hearing, please
notify Ms. Tricia Crabtree (C504-02), U.S. EPA, Research Triangle Park,
NC 27711. The preferred method for registering is by e-mail
(crabtree.tricia@epa.gov). Ms. Crabtree may be reached by telephone at
(919) 541-5688. She will arrange a general time slot for you to speak.
The EPA will make every effort to follow the schedule as closely as
possible on the day of the hearing.
Oral testimony will be limited to five (5) minutes for each
commenter to address the proposal. We will not be providing equipment
for commenters to show overhead slides or make computerized slide
presentations unless we receive special requests in advance. Commenters
should notify Ms. Crabtree if they will need specific audiovisual (AV)
equipment. Commenters should also notify Ms. Crabtree if they need
specific translation services for non-English speaking commenters. The
EPA encourages commenters to provide written versions of their oral
testimonies either electronically on computer disk, CD-ROM, or in paper
copy.
The hearing schedule, including lists of speakers, will be posted
on EPA's Web site for the proposal at https://www.epa.gov/ttn/naaqs/standards/so2/s_so2_index.html prior to the hearing. Verbatim
transcripts of the hearing and written statements will be included in
the rulemaking docket.
Table of Contents
The following topics are discussed in this preamble:
I. Background
A. Legislative requirements
B. Related SO2 control programs
C. History of reviews of the primary NAAQS for sulfur oxides
II. Rationale for proposed decisions on the primary standards
A. Characterization of SO2 air quality
1. Anthropogenic sources and current patterns of SO2
air quality
2. SO2 monitoring
B. Health effects information
1. Respiratory effects and 5-10 minute exposure to
SO2
a. Respiratory symptoms
b. Lung function decrements
c. Adversity of 5-10 minute respiratory effects
2. Respiratory effects and 1 to 24-hour exposures to
SO2
a. Respiratory symptoms
b. Emergency department visits and hospitalizations
3. ISA conclusions regarding short-term (5-minutes to 24-hour)
SO2 exposures
4. Health effects and long-term exposures to SO2
5. SO2-related impacts on public health
a. Pre-existing respiratory disease
b. Genetics
c. Age
d. Time spent outdoors
e. Ventilation rate
f. Socioeconomic status
g. Size of at-risk population
C. Human exposure and health risk characterization
1. Evidence base for the risk characterization
2. Overview of approaches
3. Key limitations and uncertainties
D. Considerations in review of the standards
1. Background on the current standards
2. Approach for reviewing the need to retain or revise the
current standards
E. Adequacy of the current standards
1. Adequacy of the current 24-hour standard
a. Evidence-based considerations
b. Air quality, exposure, and risk-based considerations
c. Summary of considerations from the REA regarding the 24-hour
standard
2. Adequacy of the current annual standard
a. Evidence-based considerations
b. Air quality, exposure, and risk-based considerations
c. Summary of considerations from the REA regarding the annual
standard
3. CASAC views regarding adequacy of the current 24-hour and
annual standards
4. Administrator's conclusions regarding adequacy of the current
24-hour and annual standards
F. Conclusions on the elements of a proposed new short-term
standard
1. Indicator
2. Averaging time
a. Evidence and air quality, exposure, and risk-based
considerations
b. CASAC views
c. Administrator's conclusions on averaging time
3. Form
a. Evidence, air quality, and risk-based considerations
b. CASAC views
c. Administrator's conclusions on form
4. Level
a. Evidence-based considerations
b. Air quality, exposure and risk-based considerations
c. Observations based on evidence and risk-based considerations
d. CASAC views
e. Administrator's conclusions on level for a 1-hour standard
5. Implications for retaining or revoking current standards
G. Summary of proposed decisions on primary standards
III. Proposed Amendments to Ambient Monitoring and Reporting
Requirements
A. Monitoring methods
1. Background
2. Proposed new FRM measurement technique
3. Technical description of the proposed UVF FRM
4. Implications to air monitoring networks
5. Proposed revisions to 40 CFR Part 53
B. Network design
1. Background
2. Proposed changes
a. Population Weighted Emissions Index (PWEI) Triggered
Monitoring
b. State-level emissions triggered monitoring
c. Monitor placement and siting
d. Monitoring required by the Regional Administrator
e. Alternative Network Design
C. Data Reporting
IV. Proposed Appendix T--Interpretation of the Primary NAAQS for
Oxides of Sulfur
[[Page 64812]]
and Proposed Revisions to the Exceptional Events Rule
A. Background
B. Interpretation of the NAAQS for Oxides of Sulfur
1. 1-hour standard based on the annual 4th highest daily value
form
2. 1-hour primary standard based on the 99th percentile value
form
C. Exceptional events information submission schedule
V. Designations for the SO2 NAAQS
VI. Clean Air Act Implementation Requirements
A. How this rule applies to tribes
B. Attainment dates
1. Attaining the NAAQS
2. Consequences of failing to attain by the Statutory Attainment
Date
C. Section 110(a)(2) NAAQS Infrastructure Requirements
D. Attainment planning requirements
1. SO2 Nonattainment area SIP requirements
2. New source review and prevention of significant deterioration
requirements
3. General conformity
E. Transition from the existing SO2 NAAQS to a
revised SO2 NAAQS
VII. Communication of public health information
VIII. Statutory and executive order reviews
A. Executive Order 12866: Regulatory Planning and Review
B. Paperwork Reduction Act
C. Regulatory Flexibility Act
D. Unfunded Mandates Reform Act
E. Executive Order 13132: Federalism
F. Executive Order 13175: Consultation and Coordination with
Indian Tribal Governments
G. Executive Order 13045: Protection of Children from
Environmental Health & Safety Risks
H. Executive Order 13211: Actions that Significantly Affect
Energy Supply, Distribution or Use
I. National Technology Transfer and Advancement Act
J. Executive Order 12898: Federal Actions to Address
Environmental Justice in Minority Populations and Low-Income
Populations
References
I. Background
A. Legislative requirements
Two sections of the Clean Air Act (Act or CAA) govern the
establishment and revision of National Ambient Air Quality Standards
NAAQS. Section 108 of the Act directs the Administrator to identify and
list air pollutants that meet certain criteria, including that the air
pollutant ``in his judgment, cause[s] or contribute[s] to air pollution
which may reasonably be anticipated to endanger public health and
welfare'' and ``the presence of which in the ambient air results from
numerous or diverse mobile or stationary sources.'' CAA section 108
(a)(1)(A) & (B). For those air pollutants listed, section 108 requires
the Administrator to issue air quality criteria that ``accurately
reflect the latest scientific knowledge useful in indicating the kind
and extent of all identifiable effects on public health or welfare
which may be expected from the presence of [a] pollutant in ambient air
* * *'' Section 108 (a) (2).
Section 109(a) of the Act directs the Administrator to promulgate
``primary'' and ``secondary'' NAAQS for pollutants for which air
quality criteria have been issued. Section 109(b)(1) defines a primary
standard as one ``the attainment and maintenance of which in the
judgment of the Administrator, based on [the air quality] criteria and
allowing an adequate margin of safety, are requisite to protect the
public health.'' \1\ Section 109(b)(1). A secondary standard, in turn,
must ``specify a level of air quality the attainment and maintenance of
which, in the judgment of the Administrator, based on [the air quality]
criteria, is requisite to protect the public welfare from any known or
anticipated adverse effects associated with the presence of such
pollutant in the ambient air.'' \2\ Section 109(b)(2) This proposal
concerns exclusively the primary NAAQS for oxides of sulfur.
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\1\ The legislative history of section 109 indicates that a
primary standard is to be set at ``the maximum permissible ambient
air level * * * which will protect the health of any [sensitive]
group of the population,'' and that for this purpose ``reference
should be made to a representative sample of persons comprising the
sensitive group rather than to a single person in such a group.'' S.
Rep. No. 91-1196, 91st Cong., 2d Sess. 10 (1970).
\2\ EPA is currently conducting a separate review of the
secondary SO2 NAAQS jointly with a review of the
secondary NO2 NAAQS (see https://www.epa.gov/ttn/naaqs/standards/no2so2sec/ for more information).
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The requirement that primary standards include an adequate margin
of safety is intended to address uncertainties associated with
inconclusive scientific and technical information available at the time
of standard setting. It is also intended to provide a reasonable degree
of protection against hazards that research has not yet identified.
Lead Industries Association v. EPA, 647 F.2d 1130, 1154 (DC Cir 1980),
cert. denied, 449 U.S. 1042 (1980); American Petroleum Institute v.
Costle, 665 F.2d 1176, 1186 (DC Cir. 1981), cert. denied, 455 U.S. 1034
(1982). Both kinds of uncertainties are components of the risk
associated with pollution at levels below those at which human health
effects can be said to occur with reasonable scientific certainty.
Thus, in selecting primary standards that include an adequate margin of
safety, the Administrator is seeking not only to prevent pollution
levels that have been demonstrated to be harmful but also to prevent
lower pollutant levels that may pose an unacceptable risk of harm, even
if the risk is not precisely identified as to nature or degree.
In addressing the requirement for a margin of safety, EPA considers
such factors as the nature and severity of the health effects involved,
the size of the at-risk population(s), and the kind and degree of the
uncertainties that must be addressed. The selection of any particular
approach to providing an adequate margin of safety is a policy choice
left specifically to the Administrator's judgment. Lead Industries
Association v. EPA, 647 F.2d at 1161-62.
In setting standards that are ``requisite'' to protect public
health and welfare, as provided in section 109(b), EPA's task is to
establish standards that are neither more nor less stringent than
necessary for these purposes. In so doing, EPA may not consider the
costs of implementing the standards. Whitman v. American Trucking
Associations, 531 U.S. 457, 471, 475-76 (2001).
Section 109(d)(1) of the Act requires the Administrator to
periodically undertake a thorough review of the air quality criteria
published under section 108 and the NAAQS and to revise the criteria
and standards as may be appropriate. The Act also requires the
Administrator to appoint an independent scientific review committee
composed of seven members, including at least one member of the
National Academy of Sciences, one physician, and one person
representing State air pollution control agencies, to review the air
quality criteria and NAAQS and to ``recommend to the Administrator any
new * * * standards and revisions of existing criteria and standards as
may be appropriate under section 108 and subsection (b) of this
section.'' CAA section 109 (d)(2). This independent review function is
performed by the Clean Air Scientific Advisory Committee (CASAC) of
EPA's Science Advisory Board.
B. Related SO2 control programs
States are primarily responsible for ensuring attainment and
maintenance of ambient air quality standards once EPA has established
them. Under section 110 of the Act, and related provisions, States are
to submit, for EPA approval, State implementation plans (SIPs) that
provide for the attainment and maintenance of such standards through
control programs directed to sources of the pollutants involved. The
States, in conjunction with EPA, also administer the prevention of
significant deterioration program that covers these
[[Page 64813]]
pollutants. See CAA sections 160-169. In addition, Federal programs
provide for nationwide reductions in emissions of these and other air
pollutants through the Federal motor vehicle and motor vehicle fuel
control program under title II of the Act, (CAA sections 202-250) which
involves controls for emissions from all moving sources and controls
for the fuels used by these sources; new source performance standards
under section 111; and title IV of the Act (CAA sections 402-416),
which specifically provides for major reductions in SO2
emissions. EPA has also promulgated the Clean Air Interstate Rule
(CAIR) to define additional SO2 emission reductions needed
in the Eastern United States to address the interstate impact
provisions of CAA section 110(a)(2)(D), a rule which EPA is
reevaluating pursuant to court remand.
Currently, there are several areas designated as being in
nonattainment of the primary SO2 NAAQS (see section VI). If
the SO2 NAAQS is revised as a result of this review;
however, some additional areas could be classified as non-attainment.
Certain States would then be required to develop SIPs that identify and
implement specific air pollution control measures to reduce ambient
SO2 concentrations to attain and maintain the revised
SO2 NAAQS, most likely by requiring air pollution controls
on sources that emit oxides of sulfur (SOX).
C. History of reviews of the primary NAAQS for sulfur oxides
On April 30, 1971, the EPA promulgated primary SO2 NAAQS
(36 FR 8187). These primary standards, which were based on the findings
outlined in the original 1969 Air Quality Criteria for Sulfur Oxides,
were set at 0.14 parts per million averaged over a 24-hour period, not
to be exceeded more than once per year, and 0.030 ppm annual arithmetic
mean. In 1982, EPA published the Air Quality Criteria for Particulate
Matter and Sulfur Oxides (EPA, 1982) along with an addendum of newly
published controlled human exposure studies, which updated the
scientific criteria upon which the initial standards were based (EPA,
1982). In 1986, EPA published a second addendum presenting newly
available evidence from epidemiologic and controlled human exposure
studies (EPA, 1986). In 1988, EPA published a proposed decision not to
revise the existing standards (53 FR 14926) (April 26, 1988). However,
EPA specifically requested public comment on the alternative of
revising the current standards and adding a new 1-hour primary standard
of 0.4 ppm (400 ppb) to protect against 5-10 minute peak SO2
concentrations.
As a result of public comments on the 1988 proposal and other post-
proposal developments, EPA published a second proposal on November 15,
1994 (59 FR 58958). The 1994 re-proposal was based in part on a
supplement to the second addendum of the criteria document, which
evaluated new findings on 5-10 minute SO2 exposures in
asthmatics (EPA, 1994a). As in the 1988 proposal, EPA proposed to
retain the existing 24-hour and annual standards. EPA also solicited
comment on three regulatory alternatives to further reduce the health
risk posed by exposure to high 5-minute peaks of SO2 if
additional protection were judged to be necessary. The three
alternatives were: (1) Revising the existing primary SO2
NAAQS by adding a new 5-minute standard of 0.6 ppm (600 ppb)
SO2; (2) establishing a new regulatory program under section
303 of the Act to supplement protection provided by the existing NAAQS,
with a trigger level of 0.6 ppm (600 ppb) SO2, one expected
exceedance; and (3) augmenting implementation of existing standards by
focusing on those sources or source types likely to produce high 5-
minute peak concentrations of SO2.
On May 22, 1996, EPA announced its final decision not to revise the
NAAQS for SOX (61 FR 25566). EPA found that asthmatics (a
susceptible population group) could be exposed to such short-term
SO2 bursts resulting in repeated `exposure events' such that
tens or hundreds of thousands of asthmatics could be exposed annually
to lung function effects ``distinctly exceeding * * * [the] typical
daily variation in lung function'' that asthmatics routinely
experience, and found further that repeated occurrences should be
regarded as significant from a public health standpoint. 61 FR at
25572, 25573. Nonetheless, the agency concluded that ``the likelihood
that asthmatic individuals will be exposed * * * is very low when
viewed from a national perspective'', that ``5-minute peak
SO[2] levels do not pose a broad public health problem when
viewed from a national perspective'', and that ``short-term peak
concentrations of SO[2] do not constitute the type of
ubiquitous public health problem for which establishing a NAAQS would
be appropriate.'' Id. at 25575. EPA concluded, therefore, that it would
not revise the existing standards or add a standard to specifically
address 5-minute exposures. EPA also announced an intention to propose
guidance, under section 303 of the Act, to assist states in responding
to short-term peak of SO2 and later initiated a rulemaking
to do so (62 FR 210 (Jan. 2, 1997).
The American Lung Association and the Environmental Defense Fund
challenged EPA's decision not to establish a 5-minute standard. On
January 30, 1998, the Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia
found that EPA had failed to adequately explain its determination that
no revision to the SO2 NAAQS was appropriate and remanded
the determination back to EPA for further explanation. American Lung
Ass'n v. EPA, 134 F. 3d 388 (DC Cir. 1998). Specifically, the court
held that EPA had failed to adequately explain the basis for its
conclusion that short-term SO2 exposures to asthmatics do
not constitute a public health problem, noting that the agency had
failed to explain the link between its finding that repeated short-term
exposures were significant, and that there would be tens to hundreds of
thousands of such exposures annually to a susceptible subpopulation,
but that a NAAQS was found not be appropriate. 134 F. 3d at 392. The
court also rejected the explanation that short-term SO2
bursts were ``localized, infrequent, and site-specific'' as a rational
basis for the conclusion that no public health problem existed:
``[N]othing in the Final Decision explains why `localized', `site-
specific', or even `infrequent' events might nevertheless create a
public health problem, particularly since, in some sense, all pollution
is local and site-specific * * *''. Id. The court accordingly remanded
the case to EPA to adequately explain its determination or otherwise
take action in accordance with the opinion. In response, EPA has
collected and analyzed additional air quality data focused on 5-minute
concentrations of SO2. These air quality analyses conducted
since the last review will help inform the current review, which will
address the issues raised in the court's remand of the Agency's last
decision.
EPA formally initiated the current review of the air quality
criteria for oxides of sulfur and the SO2 primary NAAQS on
May 15, 2006 (71 FR 28023) with a general call for information. EPA's
draft Integrated Review Plan for the Primary National Ambient Air
Quality Standards for Sulfur Dioxide (EPA, 2007a) was made available in
April 2007 for public comment and was discussed by the CASAC via a
publicly accessible teleconference on May 11, 2007. As noted in that
plan, SOX includes multiple gaseous (e.g., SO3)
and particulate (e.g., sulfate) species. Because the health effects
associated with particulate species of SOx have been
considered within the context of
[[Page 64814]]
the health effects of ambient particles in the Agency's review of the
NAAQS for particulate matter (PM), the current review of the primary
SO2 NAAQS is focused on the gaseous species of
SOx and does not consider health effects directly associated
with particulate species.
The first draft of the Integrated Science Assessment for Oxides of
Sulfur-Health Criteria (ISA) and the Sulfur Dioxide Health Assessment
Plan: Scope and Methods for Exposure and Risk Assessment (EPA, 2007b)
were reviewed by CASAC at a public meeting held on December 5-6, 2007.
Based on comments received from CASAC and the public, EPA developed the
second draft of the ISA and the first draft of the Risk and Exposure
Assessment to Support the Review of the SO2 Primary National
Ambient Air Quality Standard (Risk and Exposure Assessment (REA)).
These documents were reviewed by CASAC at a public meeting held on July
30-31, 2008. Based on comments received from CASAC and the public at
this meeting, EPA released the final ISA in September of 2008 (EPA,
2008a; henceforth referred to as ISA). In addition, comments received
were considered in developing the second draft of the REA. Importantly,
the second draft of the REA contained a draft staff policy assessment
that considered the evidence presented in the final ISA and the air
quality, exposure, and risk characterization results presented in the
second draft REA, as they related to the adequacy of the current
SO2 NAAQS and potential alternative primary SO2
standards. This document was reviewed by CASAC at a public meeting held
on April 16-17, 2009. In preparing the final REA report, which included
the final staff policy assessment, EPA considered comments received
from CASAC and the public at and subsequent to that meeting. The final
REA containing the final staff policy assessment was completed in
August 2009 (EPA 2009a; henceforth referred to as REA).
The schedule for completion of this review is governed by a
judicial order resolving a lawsuit filed in September 2005, concerning
the timing of the current review. Center for Biologic Diversity v.
Johnson (Civ. No. 05-1814) (D.D.C. 2007). The order that now governs
this review, entered by the court in August 2007 and amended in
December 2008, provides that the Administrator will sign, for
publication, notices of proposed and final rulemaking concerning the
review of the primary SO2 NAAQS no later than November 16,
2009 and June 2, 2010, respectively.
This action presents the Administrator's proposed decisions on the
current primary SO2 standards. Throughout this preamble a
number of conclusions, findings, and determinations proposed by the
Administrator are noted. Although they identify the reasoning that
supports this proposal, they are not intended to be final or
conclusive. EPA invites general, specific, and/or technical comments on
all issues involved with this proposal, including all such proposed
judgments, conclusions, findings, and determinations. In addition to
requesting comment on the overall approach, EPA invites specific
comment on the level, or range of levels, appropriate for such a
standard, as well as on the rationale that would support that level or
range of levels.
II. Rationale for proposed decisions on the primary standards
This section presents the rationale for the Administrator's
proposed decision to revise the existing SO2 primary
standards by replacing the current 24-hour and annual standards with a
1-hour standard and to specify this 1-hour standard to the nearest
parts per billion (ppb). As discussed more fully below, this rationale
takes into account: (1) Judgments and conclusions presented in the ISA
and the REA; (2) CASAC advice and recommendations, as reflected in the
CASAC panel's discussions of drafts of the ISA and REA at public
meetings, in separate written comments, and in CASAC letters to the
Administrator (Henderson 2008; Samet, 2009); and (3) public comments
received at CASAC meetings during the development of the ISA and the
REA.
In developing this rationale, EPA has drawn upon an integrative
synthesis of the entire body of evidence on human health effects
associated with the presence of SO2 in the ambient air, and
upon the results of quantitative exposure and risk assessments
reflecting this evidence. As discussed below, this body of evidence
addresses a broad range of health endpoints associated with exposure to
SO2 in the ambient air. In considering this entire body of
evidence, EPA chose to focus in particular on those health endpoints
for which the ISA finds associations with SO2 to be causal
or likely causal (see section II.B below). Thus, the focus of this
proposal will be on respiratory morbidity following short-term (5
minutes to 24 hours) exposure to SO2, for which the ISA
found a causal relationship.
As discussed below, a substantial amount of new research has been
conducted since EPA's last review of the SO2 NAAQS, with
important new information coming from epidemiologic studies in
particular. The newly available research studies evaluated in the ISA
have undergone intensive scrutiny through multiple layers of peer
review and opportunities for public review and comment. Although
important uncertainties remain in the qualitative and quantitative
characterizations of health effects attributable to exposure to ambient
SO2, the review of this information has been extensive and
deliberate.
The remainder of this section discusses the Administrator's
rationale for the proposed decisions on the primary standard. Section
II.A presents a discussion of the principal emitting sources and
current patterns of SO2 air quality, as well as the current
SO2 monitoring network from which those air quality patterns
are obtained. Section II.B includes an overview of the scientific
evidence related to the respiratory effects associated with ambient
SO2 exposure. This overview includes a discussion of the at-
risk populations considered in the ISA. Section II.C discusses the
approaches taken by EPA to assess exposures and health risks associated
with exposure to ambient SO2, including a discussion of key
uncertainties associated with the analyses. Section II.D presents the
approach that is being used in the current review of the SO2
NAAQS with regard to consideration of the scientific evidence and the
air quality, exposure, and risk-based results related to the adequacy
of the current standards and potential alternative standards. Sections
II.E and II.F discuss the scientific evidence and the air quality,
exposure, and risk-based results specifically as they relate to the
current and potential alternative standards, including discussion of
the Administrator's proposed decisions on the standards. Section II.G
summarizes the Administrator's proposed decisions with regard to the
SO2 primary NAAQS.
A. Characterization of SO2 air quality
1. Anthropogenic sources and current patterns of SO2 Air
Quality
Anthropogenic SO2 emissions originate chiefly from point
sources, with fossil fuel combustion at electric utilities (~66%) and
other industrial facilities (~29%) accounting for the majority of total
emissions (ISA, section 2.1). Other anthropogenic sources of
SO2 include both the extraction of metal from ore as well as
the burning of high sulfur-containing fuels by locomotives, large
ships, and equipment utilizing diesel engines. SO2 emissions
and
[[Page 64815]]
ambient concentrations follow a strong east to west gradient due to the
large numbers of coal-fired electric generating units in the Ohio River
Valley and upper Southeast regions. In the 12 Consolidated Metropolitan
Statistical Areas (CMSAs) that had at least four SO2
regulatory monitors from 2003-2005, 24-hour average concentrations in
the continental U.S. ranged from a reported low of ~1 ppb in Riverside,
CA and San Francisco, CA to a high of ~12 ppb in Pittsburgh, PA and
Steubenville, OH (ISA, section 2.5.1). In addition, outside or inside
all CMSAs from 2003-2005, the annual average SO2
concentration was 4 ppb (ISA, Table 2-8). However, spikes in hourly
concentrations occurred; the mean 1-hour maximum concentration outside
or inside CMSAs was 13 ppb, with a maximum value of greater than 600
ppb outside CMSAs and greater than 700 ppb inside CMSAs (ISA, Table 2-
8).
Temporal and spatial patterns of 5-minute peaks of SO2
are also important given that human clinical studies have demonstrated
that exposure to these peaks can result in adverse respiratory effects
in exercising asthmatics (see section II.B). For those monitors which
voluntarily reported 5-minute block average data,\3\ when maximum 5-
minute concentrations were reported, the absolute highest concentration
over the ten-year period exceeded 4000 ppb, but for all individual
monitors, the 99th percentile was below 200 ppb (ISA, section 2.5.2
Table 2-10). Median concentrations from these monitors reporting 5-
minute data ranged from 1 ppb to 8 ppb, and the average for each
maximum 5-minute level ranged from 3 ppb to 17 ppb. Delaware,
Pennsylvania, Louisiana, and West Virginia had mean values for maximum
5-minute data exceeding 10 ppb. Among aggregated within-state data for
the 16 monitors from which all 5-minute average intervals were
reported, the median values ranged from 1 ppb to 5 ppb, and the means
ranged from 3 ppb to 11 ppb (ISA, section 2.5.2). The highest reported
concentration was 921 ppb, but the 99th percentile values for
aggregated within-state data were all below 90 ppb (ISA, section
2.5.2).
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\3\ A small number of sites, 98 total from 1997 to 2007 of the
approximately 500 SO2 monitors, and not the same sites in
all years, voluntarily reported 5-minute block average data to AQS
(ISA, section 2.5.2). Of these, 16 reported all twelve 5-minute
averages in each hour for at least part of the time between 1997 and
2007. The remainder reported only the maximum 5-minute average in
each hour.
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2. SO2 monitoring
Although the SO2 standard was established in 1971,
uniform minimum monitoring requirements for SO2 monitoring
did not appear until May 1979. From the time of the implementation of
the 1979 monitoring rule through 2008, the SO2 network has
steadily decreased in size from approximately 1496 sites in 1980 to the
approximately 488 sites operating in 2008. At present, except for
SO2 monitoring required at National Core Monitoring Stations
(NCore stations), there are no minimum monitoring requirements for
SO2 in 40 CFR part 58 Appendix D, other than a requirement
for EPA Regional Administrator approval before removing any existing
monitors and that any ongoing SO2 monitoring must have at
least one monitor sited to measure the maximum concentration of
SO2 in that area. EPA removed the specific minimum
monitoring requirements for SO2 in the 2006 monitoring rule
revisions, based on the fact that there were no SO2
nonattainment areas at that time, coupled with trends evidence showing
an increasing gap between national average SO2
concentrations and the current 24-hour and annual standards.
Additionally, the minimum requirements were removed to provide State,
local, and tribal air monitoring agencies flexibility in meeting higher
priority monitoring needs for pollutants such as ozone and
PM2.5, or implementing the new multi-pollutant sites (NCore
network) required by the 2006 rule revisions, by allowing them to
discontinue lower priority monitoring. More information on
SO2 monitoring can be found in section III.
B. Health effects information
During the last review, EPA retained the current 24-hour and annual
averaging times for the primary SO2 NAAQS. The 24-hour NAAQS
was largely based on epidemiologic studies that observed associations
between 24-hour average SO2 levels and adverse respiratory
effects and daily mortality (EPA 1982, 1994a, 1994b). The annual
standard was supported by a few epidemiologic studies that found an
association between adverse respiratory effects and annual average
SO2 concentrations (EPA 1982, 1994a, 1994b). However, it was
noted that in the locations where these epidemiologic studies were
conducted, high SO2 levels were usually accompanied by high
levels of PM, thus making it difficult to disentangle the individual
contribution each pollutant had on these health outcomes. Moreover, EPA
noted that rather than 24-hour or annual average SO2 levels,
the health effects observed in these studies may have been related, at
least in part, to the occurrence of shorter-term peaks of
SO2 within a 24-hour period (53 FR 14930; April 26, 1988).
In the current review, the ISA along with its associated annexes,
provided a comprehensive review and assessment of the scientific
evidence related to the health effects associated with SO2
exposures. For these health effects, the ISA characterized judgments
about causality with a hierarchy that contains five levels (ISA,
section 1-3): sufficient to infer a causal relationship, sufficient to
infer a likely causal relationship (i.e., more likely than not),
suggestive but not sufficient to infer a causal relationship,
inadequate to infer the presence or absence of a causal relationship,
and suggestive of no causal relationship. Judgments about causality
were informed by a series of aspects that are based on those set forth
by Sir Austin Bradford Hill in 1965 (ISA, Table 1-1). These aspects
include strength of the observed association, availability of
experimental evidence, consistency of the observed association,
biological plausibility, coherence of the evidence, temporal
relationship of the observed association, and the presence of an
exposure-response relationship.
Judgments made in the ISA about the extent to which relationships
between various health endpoints and exposure to SO2 are
likely causal have been informed by several factors. As discussed in
the ISA in section 1.3, these factors include the nature of the
evidence (i.e., controlled human exposure, epidemiologic, and/or
toxicological studies) and the weight of evidence. The weight of
evidence takes into account such considerations as biological
plausibility, coherence of the evidence, strength of associations, and
consistency of the evidence. Controlled human exposure studies provide
directly applicable information for determining causality because these
studies are not limited by differences in dosimetry and species
sensitivity, which would need to be addressed in extrapolating animal
toxicology data to human health effects, and because they provide data
relating health effects specifically to SO2 exposures, in
the absence of the co-occurring pollutants present in ambient air.
Epidemiologic studies provide evidence of associations between
SO2 concentrations and more serious health endpoints (e.g.,
hospital admissions and emergency department visits) that cannot be
assessed in controlled human exposure studies. For these studies the
degree of uncertainty introduced by confounding variables (e.g., other
pollutants) affects the level of confidence that the health effects
being investigated are attributable to
[[Page 64816]]
SO2 exposures alone and/or in combination with co-occurring
pollutants.
In using a weight of evidence approach to inform judgments about
the degree of confidence that various health effects are likely to be
caused by exposure to SO2, confidence increases with the
number of studies consistently reporting a particular health endpoint,
with increasing support for the biological plausibility of the health
effects, and with the strength and coherence of the evidence.
Conclusions regarding biological plausibility, consistency, and
coherence of evidence of SO2-related health effects are
drawn from the integration of epidemiologic studies with controlled
human exposure studies and with mechanistic information from animal
toxicological studies. As discussed below, the weight of evidence is
strongest for respiratory morbidity endpoints (e.g., lung function
decrements, respiratory symptoms, hospital admissions, and emergency
department visits) associated with short-term (5-minutes to 24-hours)
exposure to ambient SO2.
For epidemiologic studies, strength of association refers to the
magnitude of the association and its statistical strength, which
includes assessment of both effect estimate size and precision. In
general, when associations yield large relative risk estimates, it is
less likely that the association could be completely accounted for by a
potential confounder or some other bias. Consistency refers to the
persistent finding of an association between exposure and outcome in
multiple studies of adequate power in different persons, places,
circumstances and times.
Being mindful of the considerations discussed above, the ISA
concluded that there was sufficient evidence to infer a causal
relationship between respiratory morbidity and short-term (5-minutes to
24-hours) exposure to SO2 (ISA, section 5.2). The ISA based
this conclusion on the consistency, coherence, and plausibility of
findings observed in controlled human exposure studies of 5-10 minutes,
epidemiologic studies mostly using 1-hour daily maximum and 24-hour
average SO2 concentrations, and animal toxicological studies
using exposures of minutes to hours (ISA, section 5.2). The ISA judged
evidence of an association between SO2 exposure and other
health categories to be less convincing; other associations were judged
to be suggestive but not sufficient to infer a causal relationship
(i.e., short-term exposure to SO2 and mortality) or
inadequate to infer the presence or absence of a causal relationship
(i.e., short-term exposure to SO2 and cardiovascular
morbidity, and long-term exposure to SO2 and respiratory
morbidity, other morbidity, and mortality). Key conclusions from the
ISA are described in greater detail in Table 5-3 of the ISA.
As summarized above, the ISA found a ``causal'' association between
short-term (5 minutes to 24 hour) exposure to SO2 and
respiratory morbidity. The evidence leading to this conclusion will be
discussed throughout this section as well as in the context of the
adequacy of the current and proposed alternative standards (see section
II.E and II.F) The ISA also found ``suggestive but not sufficient''
evidence to infer a causal relationship between short-term
SO2 exposure and mortality. EPA considered this suggestive
evidence within the context of proposing a new 1-hour averaging time
(see section II.F.2). The association between short- and long-term
SO2 exposure and other health categories was found to be
inadequate to infer the presence or absence of a causal relationship
and thus, will not be discussed in detail in this notice.
Section II.B.1 discusses the results of controlled human exposure
studies demonstrating respiratory effects in exercising asthmatics
following 5-10 minute exposures to SO2, and conclusions in
the REA regarding the adversity of such effects. Section II.B.2
discusses the respiratory effects reported in U.S. epidemiologic
studies of respiratory symptoms, as well as emergency department visits
and hospital admissions for all respiratory causes and asthma. Section
II.B.3 discusses ISA conclusions regarding short-term (5 minutes to 24-
hours) exposure to SO2 and respiratory effects, and section
II.B.4 discusses long-term SO2 exposure and potentially
adverse health effects. Finally, section II.B.5 discusses
SO2-related impacts on public health.
1. Respiratory effects and 5-10 minute exposure to SO2
As noted above, the ISA concluded that there was sufficient
evidence to infer a causal relationship between respiratory morbidity
and short-term (5-minutes to 24-hours) exposure to SO2 (ISA,
section 5.2). This determination was primarily based on controlled
human exposure studies demonstrating a relationship between 5-10 minute
peak SO2 exposures and adverse effects on the respiratory
system in exercising asthmatics. The ISA described the controlled human
exposure results as being the ``definitive evidence'' for its causal
finding (ISA, section 5.2; p. 5-2).
Since the last review, several additional controlled human exposure
studies have been published that provide supportive evidence of
SO2-induced decrements in lung function and increases in
respiratory symptoms among exercising asthmatics (see ISA, Annex Table
D-2). However, based in part on recent guidance from the American
Thoracic Society (ATS) regarding what constitutes an adverse health
effect of air pollution (ATS, 2000), a much larger body of key older
studies described in the prior review were analyzed in the ISA along
with studies published since the last review. In their official
statement, the ATS concluded that an air pollution-induced shift in a
population distribution of a given health-related endpoint (e.g., lung
function) should be considered adverse, even if this shift does not
result in the immediate occurrence of illness in any one individual in
the population (ATS 2000). The ATS also recommended that transient loss
in lung function with accompanying respiratory symptoms attributable to
air pollution should be considered adverse. However, it was noted in
the ISA that symptom perception is highly variable among asthmatics
even during severe episodes of asthmatic bronchoconstriction, and that
an asymptomatic decrease in lung function may pose a significant health
risk to asthmatic individuals as it is less likely that these
individuals will seek treatment (ISA, section 3.1.3). Therefore,
whereas the conclusions in the prior review of the SO2 NAAQS
were based on SO2 exposure concentrations which resulted in
large decrements in lung function and moderate to severe respiratory
symptoms, the ISA's current review of data from controlled human
exposure studies focused on moderate to large SO2-induced
decrements in lung function and/or respiratory symptoms ranging from
mild (perceptible wheeze or chest tightness) to severe (breathing
distress requiring the use of a bronchodilator). See also section
II.B.1.c below discussing adversity of effects. Key controlled human
exposure studies of respiratory symptoms and lung function are
described briefly below and in more detail in section 3.1.3 of the ISA.
a. Respiratory symptoms
Numerous free-breathing controlled human exposure studies have
evaluated respiratory symptoms (e.g. cough, wheeze, or chest tightness)
in exercising asthmatic following 5-10 minute SO2 exposures.
Linn et al. (1983) reported that 5-minute exposures to SO2
levels as low as 400 ppb resulted in exercising asthmatics experiencing
statistically significant increases in respiratory symptoms (e.g.,
wheeze, chest tightness,
[[Page 64817]]
cough, substernal irritation). In a separate study, exercising
asthmatics exhibited respiratory symptoms following a 10-minute
exposure to 400-600 ppb SO2 (Linn et al., (1987); Smith
(1993)). Gong et al., (1995) exposed SO2-sensitive
asthmatics to 0, 500 and 1000 ppb SO2 for 10 minutes while
performing different levels of exercise (light, medium, or heavy) and
reported that respiratory symptoms increased with increasing
SO2 concentrations. The authors further reported that
exposure to 500 ppb SO2 during light exercise evoked a more
severe symptomatic response than heavy exercise in clean air.
In addition to these free breathing chamber results described
above, studies using mouthpiece exposure systems have reported
respiratory symptoms within minutes of SO2 exposure.\4\
Balmes et al. (1987) reported that 7 out of 8 exercising asthmatics
developed respiratory symptoms following a 500 ppb 3-minute exposure to
SO2 via mouthpiece (ISA section 3.1.3.1). In an additional
study, Trenga et al. (1999) reported increases in respiratory symptoms
in exercising asthmatics following 10-minute exposures to 500 ppb
SO2. Although not directly comparable to the free-breathing
chamber results described above, these mouthpiece exposure results
nonetheless support an association between SO2 exposure and
respiratory symptoms.
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\4\ Studies utilizing a mouthpiece exposure system cannot be
directly compared to studies involving freely breathing subjects, as
nasal absorption of SO2 is bypassed during oral
breathing, thus allowing a greater fraction of inhaled
SO2 to reach the tracheobronchial airways. As a result,
individuals exposed to SO2 through a mouthpiece are
likely to experience greater respiratory effects from a given
SO2 exposure.
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b. Lung function decrements
The ISA found that in free-breathing chamber studies, asthmatic
individuals exposed to SO2 concentrations as low as 200-300
ppb for 5-10 minutes during exercise have been shown to experience
moderate or greater bronchoconstriction, measured as a decrease in
Forced Expiratory Volume in the first second (FEV1) of >=
15%, or an increase in specific airway resistance (sRaw) of >= 100%
after correction for exercise-induced responses in clean air (Bethel et
al., 1985; Linn et al., 1983, 1987; 1988; 1990; Roger et al., 1985).\5\
In addition, the ISA concluded that among asthmatics, both the
percentage of individuals affected, and the severity of the response
increases with increasing SO2 concentrations. That is, at
concentrations ranging from 200-300 ppb, the lowest levels tested in
free breathing chamber studies,\6\ approximately 5-30% of exercising
asthmatics experience moderate or greater decrements in lung function
(ISA, Table 3-1). At concentrations of 400-600 ppb, moderate or greater
decrements in lung function occur in approximately 20-60% of exercising
asthmatics, and compared to exposures at 200-300 ppb, a larger
percentage of asthmatics experience severe decrements in lung function
(i.e., >= 200% increase in sRaw, and/or a >= 20% decrease in
FEV1) (ISA, Table 3-1). The ISA also noted that at
SO2 concentrations >= 400 ppb, moderate or greater
decrements in lung function are frequently accompanied by respiratory
symptoms (e.g., cough, wheeze, chest tightness, shortness of breath)
(ISA, Table 3-1). Further analysis and discussion of the individual
studies presented above can be found in Sections 3.1.1 to 3.1.3.5 of
the ISA.
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\5\ FEV1 and sRaw are measures of
bronchoconstriction. Decreases in FEV1 or increases in
sRaw can result in difficulty breathing.
\6\ The ISA cites one chamber study with intermittent exercise
where healthy and asthmatic children were exposed to 100 ppb
SO2 in a mixture with ozone and sulfuric acid. The ISA
notes that compared to exposure to filtered air, exposure to the
pollutant mix did not result in statistically significant changes in
lung function or respiratory symptoms (ISA section 3.1.3.4)
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In addition to the evidence from free-breathing chamber studies,
the ISA notes very limited evidence of decrements in lung function in
exercising asthmatics exposed to lower levels of SO2 via
mouthpiece. That is, the ISA cites two studies where some exercising
asthmatics had small changes in FEV1 or sRaw following
exposure to 100 ppb SO2 via mouthpiece (Koenig et al., 1990
and Sheppard et al., 1981).
c. Adversity of 5-10 minute respiratory effects
The ATS has previously defined adverse respiratory health effects
as ``medically significant physiologic changes generally evidenced by
one or more of the following: (1) Interference with the normal activity
of the affected person or persons, (2) episodic respiratory illness,
(3) incapacitating illness, (4) permanent respiratory injury, and/or
(5) progressive respiratory dysfunction'' (ATS 1985). The ATS has also
recommended that transient loss in lung function with accompanying
respiratory symptoms, or detectable effects of air pollution on
clinical measures (e.g., medication use) be considered adverse (ATS
1985). In addition, the REA noted that during the last O3
NAAQS review, the Criteria Document (CD) and Staff Paper indicated that
for many people with lung disease (e.g., asthma), even moderate
decrements in lung function (e.g., FEV1 decrements > 10% but
< 20% and/or >= 100% increases in sRaw) or respiratory symptoms would
likely interfere with normal activities and result in additional and
more frequent use of medication (EPA 2006, EPA 2007d). The REA also
noted that CASAC has previously indicated that in the context of
standard setting, a focus on the lower end of the range of moderate
functional responses is most appropriate for estimating potentially
adverse lung function decrements in people with lung disease (73
FR16463). Finally, the REA noted that in the current SO2
NAAQS review, clinicians on the CASAC Panel again advised that moderate
or greater decrements in lung function can be clinically significant in
some individuals with respiratory disease (hearing transcripts from
USEPA Clean Air Scientific Advisory Committee (CASAC), July 30-31,
2008, Sulfur Oxides-Health Criteria (part 3 of 4) pages 211-213).\7\
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\7\ These transcripts can be found in Docket ID No. EPA-HQ-ORD-
2006-0260. Available at www.regulations.gov.
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As previously mentioned, the ATS published updated guidelines on
what constitutes an adverse health effect of air pollution in 2000
(ATS, 2000). Among other considerations, the 2000 guidelines stated
that measurable negative effects of air pollution on quality of life
should be considered adverse (ATS 2000). These updated guidelines also
indicated that exposure to air pollution that increases the risk of an
adverse effect to the entire population is adverse, even though it may
not increase the risk of any individual to an unacceptable level (ATS
2000). For example, a population of asthmatics could have a
distribution of lung function such that no individual has a level
associated with significant impairment. Exposure to air pollution could
shift the distribution to lower levels that still do not bring any
individual to a level that is associated with clinically relevant
effects. However, this would be considered adverse because individuals
within the population would have diminished reserve function, and
therefore would be at increased risk if affected by another agent (ATS
2000).
At SO2 concentrations >= 400 ppb, controlled human
exposure studies have reported decrements in lung function that are
often statistically significant at the group mean level, and that are
frequently accompanied by respiratory symptoms. Being mindful that the
ATS
[[Page 64818]]
guidelines described above specifically indicate decrements in lung
function with accompanying respiratory symptoms as being adverse,
exposure to 5-10 minute SO2 concentrations >= 400 ppb are
clearly adverse.
The ISA has also reported that exposure to SO2
concentrations as low as 200-300 ppb for 5-10 minutes results in
approximately 5-30% of exercising asthmatics experiencing moderate or
greater decrements in lung function (defined in terms of a >= 15%
decline in FEV1 or 100% increase in sRaw; ISA, Table 3-1).
Considering the 2000 ATS guidelines mentioned above, the REA found that
these results could reasonably indicate an SO2-induced shift
in these lung function measurements for this population. As a result, a
significant percentage of exercisin