Small Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to Specified Activities; Open-water Marine Survey Program in the Chukchi Sea, Alaska, During 2009-2010, 55368-55412 [E9-25545]
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55368
Federal Register / Vol. 74, No. 206 / Tuesday, October 27, 2009 / Notices
DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration
RIN 0648–XP00
Small Takes of Marine Mammals
Incidental to Specified Activities;
Open-water Marine Survey Program in
the Chukchi Sea, Alaska, During 2009–
2010
AGENCY: National Marine Fisheries
Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
Commerce.
ACTION: Notice; issuance of an
incidental take authorization.
SUMMARY: In accordance with the
Marine Mammal Protection Act
(MMPA) regulations, notification is
hereby given that NMFS has issued an
Incidental Harassment Authorization
(IHA) to Shell Offshore Inc. and Shell
Gulf of Mexico Inc., collectively known
as Shell, to take, by harassment, small
numbers of 12 species of marine
mammals incidental to an open-water
marine survey program, which includes
shallow hazards and site clearance work
and strudel scour surveys, in the
Chukchi Sea, Alaska, during the 2009/
2010 Arctic open-water season.
DATES: Effective August 19, 2009,
through August 18, 2010.
ADDRESSES: A copy of the application
containing a list of the references used
in this document, two addenda to the
application, NMFS’ Environmental
Assessment (EA) and Finding of No
Significant Impact (FONSI), and the IHA
may be obtained by writing to the
address specified above, telephoning the
contact listed below (see FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT), or visiting the
Internet at: https://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/
pr/permits/incidental.htm#applications.
Documents cited in this notice may be
viewed, by appointment, during regular
business hours, at the aforementioned
address.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Candace Nachman, Office of Protected
Resources, NMFS, (301) 713–2289 or
Brad Smith, NMFS, Alaska Region,
(907) 271–3023.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
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Background
Sections 101(a)(5)(A) and (D) of the
MMPA (16 U.S.C. 1361 et seq.) direct
the Secretary of Commerce to allow,
upon request, the incidental, but not
intentional, taking of small numbers of
marine mammals by U.S. citizens who
engage in a specified activity (other than
commercial fishing) within a specified
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geographical region if certain findings
are made and either regulations are
issued or, if the taking is limited to
harassment, a notice of a proposed
authorization is provided to the public
for review.
Authorization for incidental takings
shall be granted if NMFS finds that the
taking will have a negligible impact on
the species or stock(s), will not have an
unmitigable adverse impact on the
availability of the species or stock(s) for
subsistence uses (where relevant), and if
the permissible methods of taking and
requirements pertaining to the
mitigation, monitoring and reporting of
such takings are set forth. NMFS has
defined ‘‘negligible impact’’ in 50 CFR
216.103 as ‘‘... an impact resulting from
the specified activity that cannot be
reasonably expected to, and is not
reasonably likely to, adversely affect the
species or stock through effects on
annual rates of recruitment or survival.’’
Section 101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA
established an expedited process by
which citizens of the U.S. can apply for
an authorization to incidentally take
small numbers of marine mammals by
harassment. Except with respect to
certain activities not pertinent here, the
MMPA defines ‘‘harassment’’ as:
clearance and shallow hazards surveys,
an ice gouge survey, and a strudel scour
survey in the Beaufort Sea and an ice
gouge survey in the Chukchi Sea for the
2009/2010 season. However, in an
addendum to the IHA application
submitted to NMFS on March 10, 2009,
Shell indicated that it cancelled all
survey programs for the Beaufort Sea
and the ice gouge survey for the
Chukchi Sea in 2009. Shell submitted a
second application addendum on May
19, 2009, indicating that Shell will
utilize an array of 4 x 10 in3 guns (40
in3 total discharge volume) instead of
the 2 x 10 in3 array (20 in3 total
discharge volume).
Site clearance and shallow hazards
surveys will evaluate the seafloor and
shallow sub-seafloor at prospective
exploration drilling locations, focusing
on the depth to seafloor, topography, the
potential for shallow faults or gas zones,
and the presence of archaeological
features. The types of equipment used to
conduct these surveys use low level
energy sources focused on limited areas
in order to characterize the footprint of
the seafloor and shallow sub-seafloor at
prospective drilling locations.
any act of pursuit, torment, or annoyance
which (i) has the potential to injure a marine
mammal or marine mammal stock in the wild
[Level A harassment]; or (ii) has the potential
to disturb a marine mammal or marine
mammal stock in the wild by causing
disruption of behavioral patterns, including,
but not limited to, migration, breathing,
nursing, breeding, feeding, or sheltering
[Level B harassment].
Chukchi Site Clearance and Shallow
Hazards Surveys
Site clearance and shallow hazards
surveys of potential proposed locations
for exploration drilling will be executed
as required by the Minerals
Management Service’s (MMS)
regulations. These surveys gather data
on: (1) bathymetry; (2) seabed
topography and other seabed
characteristics (e.g., boulder patches);
(3) potential geohazards (e.g., shallow
faults and shallow gas zones); and (4)
the presence of any archeological
features (e.g., shipwrecks). Site
clearance and shallow hazards surveys
can be accomplished by one vessel with
acoustic sources. A detailed overview of
the activities of this survey was
provided in the Notice of Proposed IHA
(74 FR 26217, June 1, 2009). Since
publication of that notice, Shell updated
two pieces of information. First, the R/
V Mt. Mitchell will be utilized as the
source vessel for the site clearance and
shallow hazards surveys. The R/V Mt.
Mitchell is a diesel powered vessel, 70
m (231 ft) long, 12.7 m (42 ft) wide, with
a 4.5 m (15 ft) draft. Second, the specific
prospects within Outer Continental
Shelf (OCS) Lease Sale (LS) 193 have
been identified. Shell will conduct the
surveys at the Burger and Crackerjack
prospects and, if time and weather
conditions permit, at SW Shoebill.
Additional information is also
Section 101(a)(5)(D) establishes a 45–
day time limit for NMFS review of an
application followed by a 30–day public
notice and comment period on any
proposed authorization for the
incidental harassment of marine
mammals. Within 45 days of the close
of the comment period, NMFS must
either issue or deny the authorization.
Summary of Request
On December 15, 2008, NMFS
received an application from Shell for
the taking, by Level B harassment only,
of small numbers of several species of
marine mammals incidental to
conducting an open-water marine
survey program during the 2009/2010
Arctic open-water season in the
Chukchi Sea. Shell plans to conduct site
clearance and shallow hazards surveys
and a strudel scour survey in the
Chukchi Sea. These surveys are a
continuation of those conducted by
Shell in the Chukchi Sea in 2008.
Shell’s December 2008, application also
requested MMPA coverage for site
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Description of the Specified Activity
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Chukchi Strudel Scour Survey
During the early melt, the rivers begin
to flow and discharge water over the
coastal sea ice near the river deltas. That
water rushes down holes in the ice
(‘‘strudels’’) and scours the seafloor.
These erosional areas are called ‘‘strudel
scours’’. Information on these features is
required for prospective pipeline
planning. Two proposed activities are
required to gather this information:
aerial survey via helicopter overflights
during the melt to locate the strudels
and strudel scour marine surveys to
gather bathymetric data. Additional
information was provided in the Notice
of Proposed IHA (74 FR 26217, June 1,
2009) and Shell’s application (see
ADDRESSES).
Figure 1 in Shell’s application failed to
identify the Alaska Maritime National
Wildlife Refuge north of Point Lay and
asked that the figure be revised. Those
comments have been passed on to Shell
for consideration in future IHA
applications. Any application specific
comments that address the statutory and
regulatory requirements or findings
NMFS must make to issue an IHA are
addressed in this section of the Federal
Register notice. Additionally, some of
NSB’s comments concerned the
Beaufort Sea operations or ice gouge
surveys. As noted above and in the
Notice of Proposed IHA (74 FR 26217,
June 1, 2009), Shell notified NMFS that
it did not intend to conduct these
activities; therefore, no marine
mammals will be taken. Comments on
the Beaufort operations and Chukchi ice
gouge survey are not addressed in this
document.
Comments and Responses
A notice of receipt of Shell’s MMPA
application and NMFS’ proposal to
issue an IHA to Shell published in the
Federal Register on June 1, 2009 (74 FR
26217). That notice described, in detail,
Shell’s proposed activity, the marine
mammal species that may be affected by
the activity, and the anticipated effects
on marine mammals. During the 30–day
public comment period, NMFS received
six comment letters from the following:
the Marine Mammal Commission
(MMC); Ocean Conservancy and
Oceana; the Alaska Eskimo Whaling
Commission (AEWC); the Inupiat
Community of the Arctic Slope (ICAS);
the North Slope Borough (NSB) Office of
the Mayor and NSB Department of
Wildlife Management (collectively
‘‘NSB’’); and Alaska Wilderness League
(AWL), Center for Biological Diversity,
Defenders of Wildlife, Earthjustice,
Natural Resources Defense Council,
Northern Alaska Environmental Center,
Pacific Environment, Sierra Club, The
Wilderness Society, and World Wildlife
Fund (collectively ‘‘AWL’’), along with
an attached letter from David E. Bain,
Ph.D.
Both AEWC and NSB submitted
several journal articles as attachments to
their comment letters. NMFS
acknowledges receipt of these
documents but does not intend to
address the specific articles themselves
in the responses to comments. AEWC
also submitted an unsigned, final
version of the 2009 Conflict Avoidance
Agreement (CAA). However, Shell
signed the CAA on June 24, 2009. Some
of NSB’s comments were specific to the
application and do not have a bearing
on NMFS’ determinations for issuing an
IHA. For example, NSB pointed out that
General Comments
Comment 1: AWL believes that NMFS
should not issue incidental take
authorizations for oil and gas-related
seismic surveying until NMFS and other
agencies complete a comprehensive
review of both the industrial activities
and the marine resources of the Arctic.
This review should ensure that critical
information gaps relating to the Arctic
are filled and that decisions made about
Arctic activities are made in the context
of a comprehensive plan for the region.
In the interim, NMFS should not
facilitate further potentially harmful
seismic activity.
Response: In order to issue an
authorization pursuant to Section
101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA, NMFS must
determine that the authorized activity
will take only small numbers of marine
mammals, will have a negligible impact
on affected species or stocks, and will
not have an unmitigable adverse impact
on affected species or stocks for
subsistence uses. If NMFS is able to
make these findings, the Secretary is
required to issue an IHA. In the case of
Shell’s activities for 2009/2010 (as
described in the application, the Notice
of Proposed IHA (74 FR 26217, June 1,
2009) and this document), NMFS
determined that the authorized activity
met the requirements of Section
101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA. Additionally,
as described later in this section and
throughout this document, NMFS has
determined that Shell’s activities will
not result in injury or mortality of
marine mammals.
Comment 2: AWL, ICAS, and Ocean
Conservancy and Oceana note that
Shell’s activities will occur on leases
that were acquired in OCS LS 193,
which was conducted pursuant to MMS’
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contained in Shell’s application and
application addenda, which are
available for review (see ADDRESSES).
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2007–2012 Five-Year Leasing Program.
This leasing program is part of on-going
litigation. NMFS should not issue IHAs
for activities on these leases until the
litigation is resolved.
Response: NMFS is aware of the
litigation in the U.S. Court of Appeals
for the D.C. Circuit, but we disagree
with the commenter’s assertion that
NMFS should not issue IHAs for
activities on these leases until the
litigation is resolved. Although the court
issued an opinion vacating and
remanding the 5–yr lease program to
MMS, it also issued an order (on July
28, 2009) staying its mandate. MMS
informed the court that it would
complete remand proceedings as soon
as possible and that, in the meantime,
it would continue to review and act
upon exploration plans for Chukchi Sea
leases. MMS stated, however, that it
would suspend activities under any
approved plan pending the Secretary of
the Interior’s reconsideration decision
on the remanded program, thereby
halting all but data gathering ancillary
activities on Chukchi Sea leases. Shell’s
2009 operations are unaffected by the
litigation because they are data
gathering ancillary activities. Therefore,
NMFS has concluded it was appropriate
to issue an IHA to Shell for its 2009
seismic operations.
Comment 3: ICAS points out that
Native communities in Alaska have long
been ignored in the race to find and
develop offshore oil and gas resources
and that the U.S. Government has
consistently failed to comply with legal
requirements that require consultation
with local Native communities as
proposals are being developed that
affect native environments. Instead,
both Federal agencies and the entities
they permit make only token gestures at
consultations with Native groups
offering them only the opportunity for
involvement after proposals are
developed and after local knowledge
would serve a useful purpose.
Response: Regulations at 50 CFR
216.104(a)(12) require applicants for
IHAs in Arctic waters to submit a Plan
of Cooperation (POC), which, among
other things, requires the applicant to
meet with affected subsistence
communities to discuss the proposed
activities. Additionally, for many years,
NMFS has conducted the Arctic Openwater Meeting, which brings together
the Federal agencies, the oil and gas
industry, and affected Alaska Native
organizations to discuss the proposed
activities and monitoring plans. Local
knowledge is considered at these times,
and it is not too late for that knowledge
to serve a useful purpose.
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Comment 4: Executive Order 13175
requires Federal agencies to conduct
government-to-government consultation
when undertaking to formulate and
implement policies that have tribal
implications. Despite this explicit
requirement, ICAS believes that NMFS
has failed to consult with governing
bodies of Native people who will be and
have been affected by the decisions
NMFS is making under the MMPA.
NMFS must meet with ICAS and local
Native villages on a government-togovernment basis to discuss the
proposed IHA, as well as appropriate
mitigation and monitoring
requirements.
Response: NMFS recognizes the
importance of the government-togovernment relations and has taken
steps to ensure that Alaska Natives play
an active role in the management of
Arctic species. For example, NOAA and
the AEWC co-manage bowhead whales
pursuant to a cooperative agreement.
This agreement has allowed the AEWC
to play a significant role in the
management of a valuable resource by
affording Alaska Natives the
opportunity to protect bowhead whales
and the Eskimo culture and to promote
scientific investigation, among other
purposes.
In addition, NMFS works closely with
Alaska Natives when considering
whether to permit the take of marine
mammals incidental to oil and gas
operations. NMFS has met repeatedly
over the years with Alaska Native
representatives to discuss concerns
related to NMFS’ MMPA program in the
Arctic, and has also taken into account
recommended mitigation measures to
reduce the impact of oil and gas
operations on bowhead whales and to
ensure the availability of marine
mammals for taking for subsistence
uses. Finally, NMFS has participated in
Alaska Native community meetings in
the past and will continue to do so,
when feasible. NMFS will continue to
ensure that it meets its government-togovernment responsibilities and will
work closely with Alaska Natives to
address their concerns.
Comment 5: Ocean Conservancy and
Oceana believe that Shell’s activities
could substantially affect marine
mammals in an area already impacted
by climate change and particularly
vulnerable to ocean acidification.
Approving an IHA in these
circumstances would be contrary to
NMFS’ responsibilities under the law.
Response: NMFS believes that it has
made all of the necessary
determinations in order to issue an IHA
pursuant to Section 101(a)(5)(D) of the
MMPA. NMFS has determined that
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Shell’s activities will affect only small
numbers of marine mammals, will have
a negligible impact on the affected
species and stocks, and will not have an
unmitigable adverse impact on the
availability of such species or stock for
taking for subsistence purposes,
provided the mitigation measures
described later in this document are
implemented. NMFS completed an EA
to analyze the impacts of cumulative
activities on the affected species in the
action area, including climate change.
Comment 6: AEWC and NSB
expressed three concerns with the
timing of IHA applications. First, they
ask that only one authorization be
issued per calendar year or per
operating season for work associated
with a specific project. Secondly, NMFS
should ensure that IHA applications are
submitted at least 1 month prior to the
April Open-water Meeting or
comparable peer review meetings that
may ultimately replace such meetings.
This will allow Native communities to
receive draft POCs and proposed
mitigation measures sufficiently in
advance of these meetings to allow for
meaningful discussion of any identified
major flaws, evaluation of suggested
improvements that draw upon our
particular local expertise, and
consideration of appropriate peer
reviewers. Lastly, they request that
NMFS change the expiration date for
authorizations so that a single calendar
year is authorized rather than activities
in the latter part of one calendar year
and the early part of the following year.
Response: Regarding the first and
third points, Section 101(a)(5)(D) of the
MMPA allows NMFS to issue IHAs ‘‘for
periods of not more than 1 year.’’ There
is no requirement that the period of
effectiveness of an IHA fall within 1
calendar year or operating season. In
instances where the period of
effectiveness of an IHA would cover
more than one operating season (i.e.,
there is considerable downtime between
the start and finish of the operations),
NMFS analyzes impacts for the entire
extent of the operations when issuing
the IHA. Regarding the second point
about distribution of applications,
NMFS cannot guarantee that all
applications will be submitted to NMFS
at least 1 month prior to the meeting.
NMFS has a unique relationship with
AEWC pursuant to a cooperative
agreement. Pursuant to this agreement,
NOAA is required to consult with
AEWC on any action undertaken or
proposed to be undertaken that may
affect the bowhead whale and/or
subsistence whaling. To that end, NMFS
will make every effort to provide the
AEWC with as much information as
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possible prior to the Open-water
Meeting or comparable peer review
meeting. However, it is NMFS’ practice
not to release applications for MMPA
authorizations until NMFS deems them
complete and a proposed IHA notice or
notice of receipt of an application for
rulemaking has published in the
Federal Register.
Comment 7: NSB notes that Shell’s
application indicates that several
vessels will be involved in the 2009–
2010 period, involving various transit
routes that are to be used to reach the
Arctic survey sites. There is an absence
of discussion of impacts and ‘‘takes’’
that may occur upon these transit
routes. Shell needs to consider and state
the impacts sufficiently. Additionally,
Shell should consider other stocks of
belugas beyond the Beaufort and
Chukchi sea stocks, as impacts may
occur in Bristol Bay during ship transit.
Response: As has been stated in
several Federal Register notices in the
past, normal shipping and transit
operations do not rise to a level
requiring an authorization under the
MMPA. To require IHAs and Letters of
Authorization (LOAs) for standard
shipping would reduce the ability of
NMFS to review activities that have a
potential to cause harm to marine
mammal populations. For example, in
the Arctic Ocean, NMFS would need to
issue authorizations for barging
operations that supply the North Slope
villages in addition to various onshore
and offshore oil and gas projects.
However, on this matter, Shell will (in
keeping with the CAA signed by Shell)
follow transit routes contained in the
CAA to avoid conflicts with subsistence
hunters.
Comment 8: NSB states that NMFS
should not issue Shell an IHA for the
strudel scour surveys in 2010, as they
are substantially different from the
shallow hazards and site clearance
surveys. Additionally, it is not clear
what other activities might be occurring
in 2010, so it is not possible to evaluate
the potential cumulative impacts from
multiple activities that might occur in
2010. If NMFS does issue Shell an IHA
for that survey, estimated takes and
monitoring are needed. Additional
information is needed from Shell about
the possible impacts to marine
mammals, monitoring plans, and
mitigation measures from helicopter
surveys over the sea ice. NMFS needs to
make this additional information
available to the public and decision
makers for review and comment before
it issues an IHA to Shell for strudel
scour surveys in 2010. NSB also notes
that the number of days of operation for
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the strudel scour surveys is not
consistent throughout the application.
Response: The activities for the
strudel scour survey are described in
Shell’s application and the proposed
IHA in order to describe the full scale
of Shell’s operations. However, NMFS
has determined that the activities for the
strudel scour survey will not result in
take of marine mammals. While the
sonar equipment proposed to be used
for this project generates high sound
energy, the equipment operates at
frequencies (>100 kHz) beyond the
effective hearing range of most marine
mammals likely to be encountered
during strudel scour operations. Given
the direct downward beam pattern of
these sonar systems coupled with the
high-frequency characteristics of the
signals, the horizontal received levels of
180 and 190 dB re 1 μPa (rms) would
be much smaller when compared to
those from the low-frequency airguns
with similar source levels. Therefore,
NMFS has determined that marine
mammals will not have a significant
behavioral response (i.e., a ‘‘take’’) to
the strudel scour surveys. However,
Shell needs to coordinate these
activities with the Native Alaskan
communities to ensure that there is no
unmitigable adverse impact to
subsistence hunts. As described in the
application, two separate activities will
occur to complete the strudel scour
surveys: helicopter overflights and
marine vessel work. The overflights will
take approximately 4 days to complete
and will occur in mid-May or early
June. The marine vessel portion of the
survey will take approximately 10 days
to complete and will occur sometime in
July or early to mid-August.
Comment 9: NSB incorporated by
reference a December 18, 2008, letter
sent to the Acting Assistant
Administrator for Fisheries, as well as
NMFS’ February 19, 2009, response,
asking for suspension and review of
Shell’s 2008–2009 IHA, wherein Shell
was allowed to proceed with seismic
activities despite what was
acknowledged by NMFS to be a
potentially flawed survey design. At
that time, NSB asked that no more IHAs
be issued until compliance with the
MMPA could be demonstrated. Based
on NSB’s review of NMFS’ current
proposed IHA, NSB does not see a
demonstration of compliance and thus
does not support issuance of an IHA at
this time.
Response: As was stated in NMFS’
February letter responding to NSB’s
concerns, NMFS determined that Shell
was in substantial compliance with
their IHA during the 2008 seismic
survey season. No additional
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information has been provided to NMFS
to indicate that Shell was not in
compliance with the IHA. Additionally,
NMFS believes that Shell will comply
with the monitoring and mitigation
measures required in the 2009 IHA.
MMPA Concerns
Comment 10: AWL, NSB, and AEWC
state that NMFS cannot issue an IHA or
a LOA (because NMFS has not
promulgated regulations for mortality by
seismic activities) to Shell for its
activities since they carry the potential
for serious injury or death to marine
mammals. AEWC also believes that
because Level A harassment is possible,
an LOA is needed.
Response: Section 101(a)(5)(D) of the
MMPA authorizes Level A (injury)
harassment and Level B (behavioral)
harassment takes. While NMFS’
regulations indicate that a LOA must be
issued if there is a potential for serious
injury or mortality, NMFS does not
believe that Shell’s surveys will result
in serious injury or mortality, thus
obviating the need for a LOA. As
explained throughout this Federal
Register Notice, it is highly unlikely
that marine mammals would be exposed
to sound pressure levels (SPLs) that
could result in serious injury or
mortality. The best scientific
information indicates that an auditory
injury is unlikely to occur as apparently
sounds need to be significantly greater
than 180 dB for injury to occur (Southall
et al., 2007). Based on the analysis
contained in the ‘‘Potential Effects of
Survey Activities on Marine Mammals’’
section in the Notice of Proposed IHA
(74 FR 26217, June 1, 2009), NMFS has
determined that an IHA can lawfully be
issued to Shell for their activities since
the already unlikely potential for
serious injury or mortality will be
reduced even further through the
incorporation of the mitigation and
monitoring measures described later in
this document and required by the IHA.
Comment 11: AEWC notes their
disappointment in NMFS for releasing
for public comment an incomplete
application from Shell that fails to
provide the mandatory information
required by the MMPA and NMFS’
implementing regulations. AEWC
requests that NMFS return Shell’s
application as incomplete, or else the
agency risks making arbitrary and
indefensible determinations under the
MMPA. The following is the
information that AEWC believes to be
missing from Shell’s application: (1) a
POC ‘‘or information that identifies
what measures have been taken and/or
will be taken to minimize any adverse
effects on the availability of marine
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55371
mammals for subsistence uses’’ (50 CFR
216.104(a)(12)); (2) a scheduled meeting
‘‘with the affected subsistence
communities to discuss proposed
activities and to resolve potential
conflicts’’ (50 CFR 216.104(a)(12)(ii));
(3) a ‘‘description of what measures the
applicant has taken and/or will take to
ensure that proposed activities will not
interfere with subsistence whaling or
sealing’’ (50 CFR 216.104(a)(12)(iii)); (4)
suggested means of learning of,
encouraging, and coordinating any
research related activities (50 CFR
216.104(a)(14)); (5) a description of the
specified activities and specified
geographic region (16 U.S.C.
1371(a)(5)(D)(i)); and (6) a description of
the ‘‘age, sex, and reproductive
condition’’ of the marine mammals that
will be impacted (50 CFR 216.104(a)(6)).
AWL and NSB also note their concern
about the lack of specificity regarding
the timing and location of the site
clearance and shallow hazards and
strudel scour surveys.
Response: NMFS does not agree that
it released an incomplete application for
review during the public comment
period. After NMFS’ initial review of
the application, NMFS submitted
questions and comments to Shell on its
application. After receipt and review of
Shell’s responses, which were
submitted as an addendum to the
original application, NMFS made its
determination of completeness and
released the application, addenda, and
the proposed IHA notice (74 FR 26217,
June 1, 2009). Regarding the six specific
pieces of information believed to be
missing by AEWC, Shell’s original
application included a description of
the pieces of information that are
required pursuant to 50 CFR
216.104(a)(12). The application noted
that Shell was planning to meet with
subsistence communities in 2009 and
described measures to ensure that the
applicant’s proposed activities will not
interfere with subsistence whaling or
sealing. The proposed IHA notice (74 FR
26217, June 1, 2009) also noted
meetings that had already taken place in
the villages of Barrow, Point Hope,
Point Lay, Wainwright, and Kotzebue.
Moreover, on May 15, 2009, Shell
distributed its draft POC for the 2009
activities to NMFS, other government
agencies, and affected stakeholder
communities.
Information required pursuant to 50
CFR 216.104(a)(14) was also included in
Shell’s application. Shell provided a list
of researchers who could potentially
receive results of their research
activities who may find the data useful
in their own research. Additionally,
Shell and ConocoPhillips will be
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working together in 2009 to deploy an
intensive array of acoustic recorders
around both the Burger and Klondike
prospects in the Chukchi Sea.
NMFS also determined that Shell’s
application provides descriptions of the
specified activities and specified
geographic region. NMFS defines
‘‘specified geographical region’’ as ‘‘an
area within which a specified activity is
conducted and which has certain
biogeographic characteristics’’ (50 CFR
216.103). In regard to how specific one
must be to define a ‘‘specific geographic
region’’ within which the activity would
take place, House Report 97–228 states:
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The specified geographic region should not
be larger than is necessary to accomplish the
specified activity, and should be drawn in
such a way that the effects on marine
mammals in the region are substantially the
same. Thus, for example, it would be
inappropriate to identify the entire Pacific
coast of the North American continent as a
specified geographic region, but it may be
appropriate to identify particular segments of
that coast having similar characteristics, both
biological and otherwise, as specified
geographical regions.
NMFS believes that the U.S. Chukchi
Sea meets Congressional intent and
NMFS’ definition because the region has
similar geographic, physiographic (e.g.,
topography, temperature, sea ice),
biologic (e.g., marine fauna (fish and
marine mammals)), and sociocultural
characteristics. Shell’s application noted
that the applicant would conduct
activities on some of its prospects
gained during LS 193, which itself is
considered a ‘‘specified geographic
region.’’ Since that time, Shell has
informed NMFS of the specific areas
within the lease holdings on which
Shell intends to conduct the site
clearance and shallow hazards surveys.
They are the Burger and Crackerjack
prospects, as well as SW Shoebill if time
and weather conditions allow. At this
time, more specificity on the location of
the in-water portion of the strudel scour
surveys cannot be provided. Until areas
with strudel scour are revealed during
helicopter overflights, it is uncertain the
exact location along the Chukchi Sea
coast where marine vessel operations
will occur. However, as previously
mentioned, the Chukchi Sea itself is
considered a ‘‘specified geographic
region.’’ Shell also provided a
description of the types of equipment
that would be used and time frame for
conducting its activities. Therefore,
NMFS believes that Shell’s description
of the activity and the locations for
conducting their surveys meet the
requirements of the MMPA.
Lastly, 50 CFR 216.104(a)(6) requires
that an applicant submit information on
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the ‘‘age, sex, and reproductive
condition (if possible)’’ (emphasis
added) of the number of marine
mammals that may be taken. In the
application, Shell described the species
expected to be taken by harassment and
provided estimates of how many of each
species were expected to be taken
during their activities. In most cases, it
is very difficult to estimate how many
animals, especially cetaceans, of each
age, sex, and reproductive condition
will be taken or impacted by seismic or
site clearance and shallow hazards
surveys. In conclusion, NMFS believes
that Shell provided all of the necessary
information to proceed with publishing
a proposed IHA notice in the Federal
Register.
Comment 12: AEWC and NSB state
that Shell did not disclose the full
spectrum of activities in which it will
engage. For example, Shell mentions
support vessels and other equipment in
its application but such machinery is
not disclosed among Shell’s activities.
Additionally, Shell changed the airgun
array it planned to use after submitting
its application but did not conduct any
new analysis of the impacts from this
change, thus negating its analysis of the
impacts from the original airgun array.
Shell needs to adequately specify the
activities and impacts of all the actions
that will be undertaken in the Chukchi.
AEWC also states that NMFS relied on
surveys conducted in 2008 by Shell to
calculate the area of ‘‘water exposed to
received levels at or above 160 dB.’’ The
2008 surveys, however, were based on
signals from ‘‘four 10 in3 airguns,’’ and
not the 40 in3 airguns that Shell now
intends to use. Thus, for this reason as
well, Shell’s application must be
returned.
Response: NMFS determined that
Shell’s application and application
addenda fully described the activities in
which Shell will engage. In previous
years, when Shell conducted its larger,
3D seismic surveys, several support
vessels were needed to carry out
operations. However, for this smaller
survey, all work will be conducted from
the single source vessel. All acoustic
equipment that will be used to conduct
the surveys is listed in the application.
Shell did change the number of airguns
and submitted this information to
NMFS in their second application
addendum. In assessing the new airgun
array, NMFS determined that the
potential impacts to marine mammals
would be the same if the total discharge
volume was 20 in3 or 40 in3. Shell
submitted revised take estimates based
on the new discharge volume and
ensonified zones. The analysis of
impacts from airguns and the revised
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take estimates were contained in the
proposed IHA notice (74 FR 26217, June
1, 2009). Therefore, NMFS determined
that Shell adequately specified the
activities and impacts of all the actions
that will be undertaken in the Chukchi
Sea.
The modeled radii that Shell
submitted were from sound source
verification tests conducted in the
Chukchi Sea during the 2008 openwater season by JASCO. JASCO
modeled three different airgun
configurations: 4 x 10 in3 airgun array;
2 x 10 in3 airgun array; and 1 x 10 in3
airgun. For 2009, Shell intends to use
the 4 x 10 in3 airgun array and not the
40 in3 airguns, as noted by AEWC.
Therefore, this modeling was accurately
used by Shell in its submission to
NMFS.
Comment 13: NSB and AWL
expressed concern that the IHA will
cover a full year, as the assessment of
effects on bowhead whales apparently
relies in part on the surveys ending
before the peak of the bowhead fall
migration through the Chukchi Sea.
Shell indicates that it will require a
maximum of 50 days of active data
acquisition, but it is noteworthy that
this estimate expressly excludes any
unplanned downtime. Consequently,
Shell could need to survey well into the
month of October, and the IHA as
proposed would allow it to do so. A 1–
year IHA is clearly not compelled by the
MMPA, and an authorization that
includes a portion of the next openwater season only invites later
confusion. Although NMFS’ analysis of
impacts to marine mammals appears to
consider the entire 50 days of active
surveying, the process leaves open the
possibility of an unjustifiably segmented
evaluation of survey activity, looking
only at a portion of the surveying that
will take place in a single season. NMFS
should take steps to avoid such results.
Response: Section 101(a)(5)(D)(i) of
the MMPA states that: ‘‘Upon request
therefor by citizens of the United States
who engage in a specified activity (other
than commercial fishing) within a
specific geographic region, the Secretary
shall authorize, for periods of not more
than 1 year, subject to such conditions
as the Secretary may specify, the
incidental, but not intentional, taking by
harassment of small numbers of marine
mammals of a species or population
stock by such citizens while engaging in
that activity within that region....’’
As noted, the MMPA does not limit
the issuance of an IHA to a single openwater season (approximately July 20 to
approximately November 15 in the U.S.
Beaufort and Chukchi Seas), a period of
less than 4 months, and even less
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available time if an applicant’s activity
is located in an area subject to area
closure due to native subsistence
hunting. Provided the IHA application
includes an analysis of the specified
activities during the time frame
proposed by the applicant, NMFS will
consider issuing an IHA that extends
into a portion of the following year.
NMFS evaluated the effects of Shell’s
activities for the full requested time
frame, including evaluating effects into
the following season. Additionally,
NMFS believes that even if Shell must
conduct activities into the middle or
end of October, the mitigation and
monitoring measures required by the
IHA (described later in this document)
will not increase the level of impact to
marine mammals in the area.
Comment 14: AEWC and NSB state
that NMFS failed to issue a draft
authorization for public review and
comment. The plain language of both
the MMPA and NMFS’ implementing
regulations require that NMFS provide
the opportunity for public comment on
the ‘‘proposed incidental harassment
authorization’’ (50 CFR 216.104(b)(1)(i);
16 U.S.C. 1371 (a)(5)(D)(iii)) and not just
on the application itself as NMFS has
done here. Without a complete draft
authorization and accompanying
findings, AEWC and NSB cannot
provide meaningful comments on
Shell’s proposed activities, ways to
mitigate the impacts of those activities
on marine mammals, and measures that
are necessary to protect subsistence uses
and sensitive resources. For example,
AEWC cannot ensure that the
authorization will comport with the
requirements of the applicable CAA.
Response: The June 1, 2009 proposed
IHA notice (74 FR 26217) contained all
of the relevant information needed by
the public to provide comments on the
proposed authorization itself. The
notice contained the permissible
methods of taking by harassment, means
of effecting the least practicable impact
on such species (i.e., mitigation),
measures to ensure no unmitigable
adverse impact on the availability of the
species or stock for taking for
subsistence use, requirements
pertaining to the monitoring and
reporting of such taking, including
requirements for the independent peer
review of the proposed monitoring plan.
The notice provided detail on all of
these points, allowing the public to
provide meaningful comments.
Additionally, the notice contained
NMFS’ preliminary findings of
negligible impact and no unmitigable
adverse impact.
The signing of a CAA is not a
requirement to obtain an IHA.
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Additionally, the CAA is a document
that is negotiated between and signed by
the industry participant, AEWC, and the
Village Whaling Captains’ Associations.
NMFS has no role in the development
or execution (other than, where
appropriate, to include marine mammalrelated measures from the CAA in the
IHA) of this agreement. While signing a
CAA helps NMFS to make its no
unmitigable adverse impact
determination for bowhead and beluga
whales, it is not a requirement.
Comment 15: NSB states that based on
the limited information provided by
NMFS, there is no way to determine
whether Shell’s monitoring and
reporting plans were subjected to
independent peer review, as required by
the MMPA. Unless NMFS can
demonstrate compliance with the
MMPA and its own regulations, it
cannot issue an IHA to Shell. AEWC
also notes that NMFS cannot issue an
IHA to any company whose monitoring
plan has not been cleared through
independent peer review.
Response: On May 6, 2009, NMFS
contacted representatives from AEWC,
NSB, MMC, and Shell about nominating
people to participate in an independent
peer review of Shell’s monitoring plan.
NMFS received nominations from all of
the contacted parties and selected and
contacted reviewers from these lists.
Two of the contacted individuals
provided detailed comments on Shell’s
monitoring and reporting plan. NMFS
provided Shell with the comments and
recommendations of the reviewers. The
reviewers’ comments and changes to the
monitoring plan are addressed later in
this document (see ‘‘Monitoring Plan
Independent Peer Review’’ section later
in this document). NMFS complied with
the requirements under the MMPA and
the implementing regulations for issuing
IHAs, and therefore can legally issue an
IHA to Shell to conduct their
operations.
Comment 16: AEWC states that
because of the critical information
provided through the direct
observations of AEWC hunters, the peer
review process must include AEWC
representatives.
Response: NMFS’ proposed rule for
implementing the 1994 amendments to
the MMPA described the process for
conducting an independent peer review
of monitoring plans where the proposed
activity may affect the availability of a
species or stock for taking for
subsistence uses (60 FR 28379, May 31,
1995). While panelists for the
independent peer review are selected by
NMFS in consultation with the MMC,
AEWC and/or other Alaska native
organizations as appropriate, and the
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applicant, selected ‘‘panelists are
experts who are not currently employed
or contracted by either the affected
Alaskan native organization or the
applicant’’ (60 FR 28381, May 31, 1995).
Therefore, it was NMFS’ intent not to
include AEWC representatives in the
independent peer review process.
However, AEWC representatives are
afforded the opportunity to provide
information based on their direct
observations and experiences at the
annual Open-water Meeting and
through the public comment process on
the proposed IHA.
Comment 17: AEWC specifically
requests that NMFS release its response
to comments at the earliest possible
time and that NMFS not allow seismic
activities to begin until the whaling
captains have had a chance to review
NMFS’ response. We note that in 2008,
NMFS did not publish its response to
comments on Shell’s IHA for seismic
operations in the Beaufort Sea until well
after the fall subsistence hunt at Cross
Island had concluded and seismic
operations had already taken place.
There can be no excuse for allowing
seismic operations to take place directly
within one of the most important
subsistence hunting areas in the Arctic
Ocean prior to NMFS explaining to the
local communities and whaling captains
why it was issuing an IHA over their
well-reasoned objections, which were
presented during the public comment
period. The fact that NMFS would not
release its response to comments until
after the activities had taken place casts
serious doubt on the validity of NMFS’
public involvement process and the
underlying analysis of impacts to
subsistence activities and marine
mammals.
Response: NMFS publishes its
responses to public comments in the
Federal Register notice of issuance or
denial. There is no provision requiring
an applicant to wait to begin operations
until after review of NMFS’ responses to
comments by members of the public. No
public comment period is required on
the Federal Register notice announcing
NMFS’ final decision. For the issuance
of Shell’s 2008 and 2009 IHAs, NMFS
reviewed and considered all of the
comments submitted before making its
final determinations. Additionally,
NMFS summarized and presented all of
the significant issues raised by the
commenters to the decision maker
before signing the IHA.
Comment 18: AEWC notes that by
regulation, Shell must include with its
application a POC that ensures potential
conflicts with subsistence uses are
resolved/mitigated prior to the issuance
of an IHA. It is AEWC’s view that
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signing and following the CAA meets
the POC requirement as it pertains to
bowhead whales. AEWC states that
Shell must agree to all the terms of the
2009 Open-water CAA in order to
mitigate the effects of its proposed
operations. In fact, the CAA was in use
prior to NMFS’ issuance of its
regulations, and the POC requirement
was included in the regulatory language
to point operators to the CAA. In
addition to the CAA setting forth
mitigation measures agreed to by the
operators and hunters, a schedule of
meetings in preparation for each
upcoming season, and post-season
review meetings to evaluate the
effectiveness of mitigation measures
employed during a certain season, an
operator’s adherence to the terms of the
CAA enables the Secretary to make the
no unmitigable adverse impact finding
required by Congress in the MMPA.
NMFS is well-advised to heed the longstanding practice of relying on the CAA
to enable the Secretary to make the
required finding, as the agency has no
other basis upon which to determine
whether a specified set of mitigation
measures will enable hunters to retain
access to migrating marine mammals
without increasing the risks associated
with an already high-risk practice.
Response: NMFS believes that the
CAA is an important mechanism to
ensure that there is not an unmitigable
adverse impact on the availability of
bowhead whales for taking for
subsistence uses. However, the CAA is
a document entered into between two
entities (industry applicants and native
community stakeholders). NMFS is
neither a signatory to the CAA, nor does
it play any formal role in the
development of the CAA other than by
requiring industry applicants to develop
a POC pursuant to 50 CFR
216.104(a)(12). Moreover, the CAA is
only one way to make the no
unmitigable adverse impact to
subsistence uses finding. Although
NMFS has a limited role in this process,
NMFS supports the continuation of the
CAA process to help ensure that native
subsistence harvests are successful.
Comment 19: AEWC and NSB state
that the conclusion that Shell’s
proposed activities will only take small
numbers of marine mammals and will
have no more than a negligible impact
is not justified by the information
provided. AEWC believes that without
knowing more about the status and
number of species present in the
Chukchi Sea, this conclusion cannot be
supported. NSB believes that NMFS has
not adequately considered whether
marine mammals may be harassed at
received levels significantly lower than
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160 dB and has not considered the
possible serious injuries associated with
authorizing the proposed activities.
Response: NMFS believes that it
provided sufficient information in its
proposed IHA notice (74 FR 26217, June
1, 2009) to make the small numbers and
negligible impact determinations and
that the best scientific information
available was used to make those
determinations. The available
information was sufficient to make the
necessary findings. While some
published articles indicate that certain
marine mammal species may avoid
seismic vessels at levels below 160 dB,
NMFS does not believe that these
responses rise to the level of a
significant behavioral response. While
studies, such as Miller et al. (1999),
have indicated that some bowhead
whales may have started to be deflected
from their migratory path 35 km (21.7
mi) from the seismic vessel, it should be
pointed out that these minor course
changes are during migration and, as
described in MMS’ 2006 Final
Programmatic Environmental
Assessment (PEA), have not been seen
at other times of the year and during
other activities. To show the contextual
nature of this minor behavioral
modification, recent monitoring studies
of Canadian seismic operations indicate
that feeding, non-migratory bowhead
whales do not move away from a noise
source at an SPL of 160 dB. Therefore,
while bowheads may avoid an area of 20
km (12.4 mi) around a noise source,
when that determination requires a
post-survey computer analysis to find
that bowheads have made a 1 or 2
degree course change, NMFS believes
that does not rise to a level of a ‘‘take.’’
NMFS therefore continues to estimate
‘‘takings’’ under the MMPA from
impulse noises, such as seismic, as
being at a distance of 160 dB (re 1 μPa).
NMFS has determined that Shell’s
activities will not cause serious injury to
marine mammals. As explained
throughout this Federal Register Notice,
it is highly unlikely that marine
mammals would be exposed to SPLs
that could result in serious injury or
mortality. The best scientific
information indicates that an auditory
injury is unlikely to occur, as apparently
sounds need to be significantly greater
than 180 dB for injury to occur (Southall
et al., 2007). The 180–dB radius for the
airgun array to be used by Shell is 160
m (525 ft). Therefore, if injury were
possible from Shell’s activities, the
animal would need to be closer than 160
m (525 ft). However, based on the
configuration of the airgun array and
streamers, it is highly unlikely that a
marine mammal would be that close to
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the seismic vessel. Mitigation measures
described later in this document will be
implemented should a marine mammal
enter this small zone around the airgun
array.
Comment 20: AEWC notes that based
on the density estimates, Shell is
predicting that an average of 692 and a
maximum of 1,078 ringed seals may be
exposed to seismic sounds. These are by
no means ‘‘small numbers’’ of marine
mammals that will be subjected to
impacts as a result of Shell’s operations.
NSB notes that Shell’s application states
that approximately 2 percent of the
Bering-Chukchi-Beaufort stock of
bowhead whales will be exposed to
sounds greater than or equal to 160 dB
(rms). This is a large percentage of the
population.
Response: NMFS determined that the
small numbers requirement has been
satisfied. Shell has predicted that an
average of 692 ringed seals will be
exposed to SPLs of 160 dB or greater
during operations. This does not mean
that this is the number of ringed seals
that will actually exhibit a disruption of
behavioral patterns in response to the
sound source; rather, it is simply the
best estimate of the number of animals
that potentially could have a behavioral
modification due to the noise. For
example, Moulton and Lawson (2002)
indicate that most pinnipeds exposed to
seismic sounds lower than 170 dB do
not visibly react to that sound, and,
therefore, pinnipeds are not likely to
react to seismic sounds unless they are
greater than 170 dB re 1 μPa (rms).
The Level B harassment take estimate
of 692 ringed seals is a small number,
at least in relative terms, in that it
represents only 0.3 percent of the
regional stock size of that species
(249,000), if each ‘‘exposure’’ at 160 dB
represents an individual ringed seal.
The percentage would be even lower if
a higher SPL is required for a behavioral
reaction (as is expected) or, if as
expected, animals move out of the
seismic area. As a result, NMFS
determined that these ‘‘exposure’’
estimates are conservative, and seismic
surveys will actually affect less than 0.3
percent of the Chukchi Sea ringed seal
population.
Regarding bowhead whales, this
percentage is a remnant from when
Shell was going to conduct its full suite
of surveys in both the Beaufort and
Chukchi Seas. As mentioned earlier in
this document, the Beaufort Sea surveys
and the Chukchi Sea ice gouge survey
were cancelled for the 2009/2010
season. Shell’s Chukchi Sea site
clearance and shallow hazards surveys
are estimated to take only one bowhead
whale, representing less than 0.01
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percent of the Bering-Chukchi-Beaufort
stock of bowhead whales.
Comment 21: AEWC states that Shell
should be required to engage in
monitoring activities that are separate
and apart from its oil and gas activities
(see 50 CFR 216.104(a)(14)). These
activities must be separate from Shell’s
proposed oil and gas related operations,
since any data from such operations is
skewed in light of marine mammals’
avoidance of the vessels and seismic
noise.
Response: In 2009, Shell and
ConocoPhillips are jointly funding an
extensive acoustic monitoring program
in the Chukchi Sea. A total of 44
recorders will be distributed both
broadly across the Chukchi lease area
and nearshore environment and
intensively on the Burger and Klondike
lease areas. The broad area arrays are
designed to capture both general
background soundscape data and
marine mammal call data across the
lease area. Shell hopes to gain insights
into large-scale distribution of marine
mammals, identification of marine
mammal species present, movement and
migration patterns, and general
abundance data. Many of these
recorders will be placed tens of miles
away from the site clearance and
shallow hazards surveys. Additionally,
these recorders will remain deployed
after completion of Shell’s survey work
in 2009.
Pursuant to 50 CFR 216.104(a)(14), an
applicant must include ‘‘suggested
means of learning of, encouraging, and
coordinating research opportunities,
plans, and activities relating to reducing
such incidental taking and evaluating its
effects.’’ There is no requirement that
this information or monitoring be
conducted separate and apart from the
authorized activities, since the research
is supposed to evaluate the effects of the
taking.
Marine Mammal Impact Concerns
Comment 22: AWL, NSB, and AEWC
noted that NMFS has acknowledged that
permanent threshold shift (PTS)
qualifies as a serious injury. Therefore,
if an acoustic source at its maximum
level has the potential to cause PTS and
thus lead to serious injury, it would not
be appropriate to issue an IHA for the
activity (60 FR 28381, May 31, 1995).
AEWC states that therefore an LOA is
required here. While the airguns
proposed by Shell are smaller than
those associated with typical 2D/3D
deep marine surveys, the noise they
produce is still considerable, as
evidenced by the estimated 120 dB
radius that extends out to 24 km (15 mi).
These groups state that in the proposed
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IHA, NMFS did not rule out the
possibility of animals incurring PTS (74
FR 26222, June 1, 2009). Although
NMFS characterizes the possibility as
unlikely, it nevertheless relies on
mitigation measures, such as ramp-ups
and exclusion zones, to ‘‘minimize’’ the
‘‘already-minimal’’ probability of PTS.
Response: In the proposed rule
implementing the process to apply for
and obtain an IHA, NMFS stated that
authorizations for harassment involving
the ‘‘potential to injure’’ would be
limited to only those that may involve
non-serious injury (60 FR 28380, May
31, 1995). However, NMFS goes on to
say that ‘‘if the review of an application
for incidental harassment indicates
there is a potential for serious injury or
death, NMFS proposes that it would
either (1) determine that the potential
for serious injury can be negated
through mitigation requirements that
could be required under the
authorization or (2) deny’’ (Ibid) the IHA
and require the applicant to petition for
regulations and LOA. As stated several
times in this document and previous
Federal Register notices for seismic
activities, there is no empirical evidence
that exposure to pulses of airgun sound
can cause PTS in any marine mammal,
even with large arrays of airguns (see
Southall et al., 2007). PTS is thought to
occur several decibels above that
inducing mild temporary threshold shift
(TTS), the mildest form of hearing
impairment (a non-injurious effect).
NMFS (1995, 2000) concluded that
cetaceans and pinnipeds should not be
exposed to pulsed underwater noise at
received levels exceeding, respectively,
180 and 190 dB re 1 μPa (rms). The
established 180- and 190–dB re 1 μPa
(rms) criteria are the received levels
above which, in the view of a panel of
bioacoustics specialists convened by
NMFS before TTS measurements for
marine mammals started to become
available, one could not be certain that
there would be no injurious effects,
auditory or otherwise, to marine
mammals. As summarized later in this
document, data that are now available
imply that TTS is unlikely to occur
unless bow-riding odontocetes are
exposed to airgun pulses much stronger
than 180 dB re 1 Pa rms (Southall et al.,
2007). Additionally, while the Federal
Register notice cited by the commenters
states that NMFS considered PTS to be
a serious injury (60 FR 28380, May 31,
1995), our understanding of
anthropogenic sound and the way it
impacts marine mammals has evolved
since then, and NMFS no longer
considers PTS to be a serious injury.
NMFS has defined ‘‘serious injury’’ in
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50 CFR 216.3 as ‘‘...any injury that will
likely result in mortality.’’ There are no
data that suggest that PTS would be
likely to result in mortality, especially
the limited degree of PTS that could
hypothetically be incurred through
exposure of marine mammals to seismic
airguns at the level and for the duration
that are likely to occur in this action.
The extent of the 120–dB radius does
not indicate that animals may be
seriously injured. Additionally, NMFS
has required monitoring and mitigation
measures to negate the possibility of
marine mammals being seriously
injured as a result of Shell’s activities.
In the proposed IHA, NMFS determined
that no cases of TTS are expected to
result from Shell’s activities. Based on
this determination and the explanation
provided here, PTS is also not expected.
Therefore, an IHA is appropriate.
Comment 23: AEWC and NSB state
that research is increasingly showing
that marine mammals may remain
within dangerous distances of seismic
operations rather than leave a valued
resource such as a feeding ground (see
Richardson, 2004). The International
Whaling Commission (IWC) scientific
committee has indicated that the lack of
deflection by feeding whales in Camden
Bay (during Shell seismic activities)
likely shows that whales will tolerate
and expose themselves to potentially
harmful levels of sound when needing
to perform a biologically vital activity,
such as feeding (mating, giving birth,
etc.). Thus, the noise from Shell’s
proposed operations could injure
marine mammals if they are close
enough to the source.
Response: If marine mammals, such
as bowhead whales, remain near a
seismic operation to perform a
biologically vital activity, such as
feeding, depending on the distance from
the vessel and the size of the 160–dB
radius, the animals may experience
some Level B harassment. Depending on
the distance of the animals from the
vessel and the number of individual
whales present, certain mitigation
measures are required to be
implemented. If an aggregation of 12 or
more mysticete whales are detected
within the 160–dB radius, then the
airguns must be shutdown until the
aggregation is no longer within that
radius. Additionally, if any whales are
sighted within the 180–dB radius of the
active airgun array, then either a powerdown or shutdown must be
implemented immediately. For the
reasons stated throughout this
document, NMFS has determined that
Shell’s operations will not injure marine
mammals.
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Comment 24: AWL and NSB state that
the standard for determining whether an
IHA is appropriate is exceptionally
protective. If there is even the
possibility of serious injury, NMFS must
establish that the ‘‘potential for serious
injury can be negated through
mitigation requirements’’ (60 FR 28380,
May 31, 1995; emphasis added). Reports
from previous surveys, however,
indicate that, despite monitored
exclusion zones, marine mammals
routinely stray too close to the airguns.
AEWC states that the safety radii
proposed by Shell do not negate injury.
Perhaps, more importantly, the
documented exposures were recorded
only because conditions were such that
the marine mammals could be observed,
but this only represents a fraction of the
time that airguns are operating. Marine
mammal observers (MMOs) cannot see
animals at the surface when it is dark or
during the day because of fog, glare,
rough seas, the small size of animals
such as seals, and the large portion of
time that animals spend submerged.
Shell has acknowledged that reported
sightings are only ‘‘minimum’’ estimates
of the number of animals potentially
affected by surveying. AWL, NSB, and
AEWC note that although NMFS
recognizes that infra-red goggles and
night-vision binoculars are of ‘‘limited’’
effectiveness when visibility is low, its
only response for Shell’s 2009 surveying
is that MMOs are relieved of monitoring
the exclusion zones at night, except
during periods before and during rampups.
NMFS appears to simply presume that
marine mammals will naturally avoid
airguns when they are operating at full
strength, removing the need for
monitoring when conditions prevent
MMOs from effectively watching for
intrusions into the exclusion zones.
That premise is not supported by the
survey data, indicating that shutdowns
and power-downs have repeatedly
proven necessary. The requirement for
ramp-up rests on the same foundation
that marine mammals will leave an
affected area as a result of increasing
noise. Yet, as the Joint Subcommittee on
Ocean Science & Technology report
noted, although ramp-up is a widely
imposed practice, ‘‘there has never been
a demonstration that it works as
intended.’’ Because NMFS has not
negated the possibility of serious injury
from Shell’s 2009 seismic surveying, it
may not issue an IHA.
Response: As has already been stated
several times in this document, recent
literature has indicated that sounds
need to be significantly higher than 180
dB to cause injury to marine mammals
(see Southall et al., 2007). Therefore, the
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180- and 190–dB safety zones are
conservative. The survey reports
indicate that mitigation measures (i.e.,
power-downs or shutdowns) were
implemented, thus preventing the
animals from being exposed to more
than one or two seismic pulses.
Additionally, Shell’s operations will
occur in an area where periods of
darkness do not begin until early
September. Beginning in early
September, there will be approximately
1–3 hours of darkness each day, with
periods of darkness increasing by about
30 min each day. By the end of the
survey period, there will be
approximately 8 hours of darkness each
day.
The source vessel will be traveling at
speeds of about 1–5 knots (1.9–9.3 km/
hr). With a 180–dB safety range of 160
m (525 ft), the vessel will have moved
out of the safety zone within a few
minutes. As a result, during underway
survey operations, MMOs are instructed
to concentrate on the area ahead of the
vessel, not behind the vessel where
marine mammals would need to be
voluntarily swimming towards the
vessel to enter the 180–dB zone. In fact,
in some of NMFS’ IHAs issued for
scientific seismic operations, shutdown
is not required for marine mammals that
approach the vessel from the side or
stern in order to ride the bow wave or
rub on the seismic streamers deployed
from the stern (and near the airgun
array) as some scientists consider this a
voluntary action on the part of an
animal that is not being harassed or
injured by seismic noise. While NMFS
concurs that shutdowns are not likely
warranted for these voluntary
approaches, in the Arctic Ocean, all
seismic surveys are shutdown or
powered down for all marine mammal
close approaches. Also, in all seismic
IHAs, including Shell’s IHA, NMFS
requires that the safety zone be
monitored for 30 min prior to beginning
ramp-up to ensure that no marine
mammals are present within the safety
zones. Implementation of ramp-up is
required because it is presumed it
would allow marine mammals to
become aware of the approaching vessel
and move away from the noise, if they
find the noise annoying. Data from 2007
and 2008, when Shell had support boats
positioned 1 km (0.62 mi) on each side
of the 3D seismic vessel, suggest that
marine mammals do in fact move away
from an active source vessel. In those
instances, more seals were seen from the
support vessels than were seen from the
source vessels during active seismic
operations. Additionally, research has
indicated that some species tend to
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avoid areas of active seismic operations
(e.g., bowhead whales, see Richardson
et al., 1999).
NMFS has determined that an IHA is
the proper authorization required to
cover Shell’s survey. As described in
other responses to comments in this
document, NMFS does not believe that
there is a risk of serious injury or
mortality from these activities. The
monitoring reports from 2006, 2007, and
2008 do not note any instances of
serious injury or mortality (Patterson et
al., 2007; Funk et al., 2008; Ireland et
al., 2009). Additionally, NMFS is
confident it has met all of the
requirements of section 101(a)(5)(D) of
the MMPA (as described throughout this
document) and therefore can issue an
IHA to Shell for its survey operations in
2009/2010.
Comment 25: AWL, Dr. Bain, NSB,
and AEWC believe that NMFS has not
adequately considered whether marine
mammals may be harassed at received
levels significantly lower than 160 dB.
Here, NMFS calculated harassment from
Shell’s proposed surveying based on the
exposure to marine mammals to sounds
at or above 160 dB. This uniform
approach to harassment, however, does
not take into account known reactions
of marine mammals in the Arctic to
levels of noise far below 160 dB. These
letters state that bowhead, gray, killer,
and beluga whales and harbor porpoise
react to sounds lower than 160 dB. At
least in the case of bowhead whales, a
120–dB level is more appropriate to
assess levels of harassment.
Citing several papers on killer whales
and harbor porpoise, Dr. Bain states that
major behavioral changes of these
animals appear to be associated with
received levels of around 135 dB re 1
μPa, and that minor behavioral changes
can occur at received levels from 90–
110 dB re 1 μPa or lower. He also states
that belugas have been observed to
respond to icebreakers by swimming
rapidly away at distances up to 80 km,
where received levels were between 94
and 105 dB re 1 μPa. Belugas exhibited
minor behavioral changes such as
changes in vocalization, dive patterns,
and group composition at distances up
to 50 km (NRC, 2003), where received
levels were likely around 120 dB.
AEWC also states that in conducting
scoping on its national acoustic
guidelines for marine mammals, NMFS
noted that the existing system for
determining take (i.e., the 160 dB mark)
‘‘considers only the sound pressure
level of an exposure but not its other
attributes, such as duration, frequency,
or repetition rate, all of which are
critical for assessing impacts on marine
mammals’’ and ‘‘also assumes a
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consistent relationship between rms
(root-mean-square) and peak pressure
values for impulse sounds, which is
known to be inaccurate under certain
(many) conditions’’ (70 FR 1871, 1873,
January 11, 2005). Thus, NMFS itself
has recognized that 160 dB (rms) is not
an adequate measure.
Response: The best information
available to date for reactions by
bowhead whales to noise, such as
seismic, is based on the results from the
1998 aerial survey (as supplemented by
data from earlier years) as reported in
Miller et al. (1999). In 1998, bowhead
whales below the water surface at a
distance of 20 km (12.4 mi) from an
airgun array received pulses of about
117–135 dB re 1 μPa rms, depending
upon propagation. Corresponding levels
at 30 km (18.6 mi) were about 107–126
dB re 1 Pa rms. Miller et al. (1999)
surmise that deflection may have begun
about 35 km (21.7 mi) to the east of the
seismic operations, but did not provide
SPL measurements to that distance and
noted that sound propagation has not
been studied as extensively eastward in
the alongshore direction, as it has
northward, in the offshore direction.
Therefore, while this single year of data
analysis indicates that bowhead whales
may make minor deflections in
swimming direction at a distance of 30–
35 km (18.6–21.7 mi), there is no
indication that the SPL where deflection
first begins is at 120 dB, it could be at
another SPL lower or higher than 120
dB. Miller et al. (1999) also note that the
received levels at 20–30 km (12.4–18.6
mi) were considerably lower in 1998
than have previously been shown to
elicit avoidance in bowheads exposed to
seismic pulses. However, the seismic
airgun array used in 1998 was larger
than the ones used in 1996 and 1997.
Therefore, NMFS believes that it cannot
scientifically support adopting any
single SPL value below 160 dB and
apply it across the board for all species
and in all circumstances. Second, these
minor course changes occurred during
migration and, as indicated in MMS’
2006 PEA, have not been seen at other
times of the year and during other
activities.
Third, as stated in the past, NMFS
does not believe that minor course
corrections during a migration rise to a
level of being a significant behavioral
response. To show the contextual nature
of this minor behavioral modification,
recent monitoring studies of Canadian
seismic operations indicate that when,
not migrating, but involved in feeding,
bowhead whales do not move away
from a noise source at an SPL of 160 dB.
Therefore, while bowheads may avoid
an area of 20 km (12.4 mi) around a
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noise source, when that determination
requires a post-survey computer
analysis to find that bowheads have
made a 1 or 2 degree course change,
NMFS believes that does not rise to a
level of a ‘‘take.’’ NMFS therefore
continues to estimate ‘‘takings’’ under
the MMPA from impulse noises, such as
seismic, as being at a distance of 160 dB
(re 1 Pa). However, monitoring a 120–
dB radius in the Chukchi Sea is not
practicable and due to safety concerns,
NMFS would not require this level of
monitoring in the Chukchi Sea.
Although it is possible that marine
mammals could react to any sound
levels detectable above the ambient
noise level within the animals’
respective frequency response range,
this does not mean that such animals
would react in a biologically significant
way. According to experts on marine
mammal behavior, the degree of
reaction which constitutes a ‘‘take,’’ i.e.,
a reaction deemed to be biologically
significant that could potentially disrupt
the migration, breathing, nursing,
breeding, feeding, or sheltering, etc., of
a marine mammal is complex and
context specific, and it depends on
several variables in addition to the
received level of the sound by the
animals. These additional variables
include, but are not limited to, other
source characteristics (such as
frequency range, duty cycle, continuous
vs. impulse vs. intermittent sounds,
duration, moving vs. stationary sources,
etc.); specific species, populations, and/
or stocks; prior experience of the
animals (naive vs. previously exposed);
habituation or sensitization of the sound
by the animals; and behavior context
(whether the animal perceives the
sound as predatory or simply
annoyance), etc. (Southall et al., 2007).
The references cited in the comment
letters address different source
characteristics (continuous sound rather
than impulse sound that are planned for
the proposed shallow hazard and site
clearance surveys) or species (killer
whales and harbor proposes) that rarely
occur in the proposed Arctic action
area. Much research regarding bowhead
and gray whales response to seismic
survey noises has been conducted in
addition to marine mammal monitoring
studies during prior seismic surveys.
Detailed descriptions regarding behavior
responses of these marine mammals to
seismic sounds are available (e.g.,
Richardson et al., 1995; review by
Southall et al., 2007), and are also
discussed in this document.
Additionally, as Shell does not intend to
use ice-breakers during its operations,
statements regarding beluga reactions to
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icebreaker noise are not relevant to this
activity.
Regarding the last point raised in this
comment by AEWC, NMFS recognizes
the concern. Based on the information
and data contained in Southall et al.
(2007), NMFS is moving towards
implementing a dual criteria for impacts
of noise on marine mammals. However,
until guidelines are available, NMFS
will continue to use the 160–dB
threshold for determining the level of
take of marine mammals by Level B
harassment for impulse noise (such as
from airguns).
Comment 26: NSB and AWL note that
this IHA, as currently proposed, is based
on uncertainties that are not allowed
under the MMPA. Citing comments
made by NMFS on recent MMS LS
Environmental Impact Statements, they
note that NMFS stated that without
more current and thorough data on the
marine mammals in the Chukchi Sea
and their use of these waters, it would
be difficult to make the findings
required by the MMPA. NMFS also
specifically observed that activities
‘‘occurring near productive forage areas
such as the Hanna Shoal’’ or ‘‘along
migratory corridors’’ are most likely to
encounter and impact marine mammals.
Shell’s proposed surveying for 2009 will
likely take place proximate to the Hanna
Shoal and within the pathway for
migrating bowheads.
It is generally recognized that there is
much unknown about the range of
potential effects of sound on marine
mammals, especially long-term
sublethal effects and the impact of
exposure to increasing levels of noise
year after year. NMFS noted in both sets
of LS comments that the ‘‘continued
lack of basic audiometric data for key
marine mammal species’’ that occur
throughout the Chukchi Sea inhibits the
‘‘ability to determine the nature and
biological significance of exposure to
various levels of both continuous and
impulsive oil and gas activity sounds.’’
Again, NMFS stressed that additional
data should be obtained for the agency
to consider authorizing incidental
taking under the MMPA and the
Endangered Species Act (ESA). AWL
also states that the need for more
information regarding the effects of
sound and the appropriate mitigation
measures was emphasized in a recent
report issued by an interagency task
force led by a representative from
NOAA (JSOST, 2009). This lack of
information runs up against the
precautionary nature of the MMPA. Nor
can NMFS claim the lack of available
information justifies its decision. NMFS
has an affirmative obligation to find that
impacts are no more than ‘‘negligible’’
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and limited to the harassment of only
‘‘small numbers of marine mammals.’’
NSB also notes that Shell’s
application contains several references
to the lack of evidence for damage to
auditory mechanisms of several marine
mammals. A lack of data does not
amount to a lack of evidence. Shell
needs to provide actual citations that
show a lack of damage. These citations
must be from studies of baleen whales,
belugas, and pinnipeds that were
focused on the assessment of this type
of damage. But this information does
not exist for the noise produced typical
of Arctic open-water seismic operations.
In fact, the basic anatomy of bowhead
whale auditory apparatus has not been
investigated.
Response: NMFS agrees that there is
some uncertainty on the current status
of some marine mammal species in the
Chukchi Sea and on impacts to marine
mammals from seismic surveys. NMFS
is currently proposing to conduct new
population assessments for Arctic
pinniped species, and current
information is available on-line through
the Stock Assessment Reports (SARs). In
regard to impacts, there is no indication
that seismic survey activities are having
a long-term impact on marine mammals.
For example, apparently, bowhead
whales continued to increase in
abundance during periods of intense
seismic in the Chukchi Sea in the 1980s
(Raftery et al., 1995; Angliss and
Outlaw, 2007), even without
implementation of current mitigation
requirements. As a result, NMFS
believes that seismic survey noise in the
Arctic will affect only small numbers of
and have no more than a negligible
impact on marine mammals in the
Chukchi Sea. However, as NMFS
recognizes that there is a lack of
information on certain aspects of the
marine mammals in the Chukchi Sea
and the potential impacts on marine
mammal species and stocks from
offshore oil exploration, Shell (in
collaboration with other offshore
companies) has developed and
implemented a monitoring program to
address data gaps. NMFS used the best
scientific information available to make
the required findings under the MMPA.
As explained in this document, based
on that information, NMFS has
determined that Shell’s activities will
affect only small numbers of marine
mammals, will have a negligible impact
on affected species or stocks, and will
not have an unmitigable adverse impact
on subsistence uses of the affected
species or stocks.
Comment 27: The MMC recommends
that the IHA require that operations be
suspended immediately if a dead or
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seriously injured marine mammal is
found in the vicinity of the operations
and if that death or injury could be
attributable to the applicant’s activities.
Any suspension should remain in place
until NMFS has: (1) reviewed the
situation and determined that further
deaths or serious injuries are unlikely to
occur; or (2) issued regulations
authorizing such takes under section
101(a)(5)(A) of the MMPA.
Response: NMFS concurs with the
MMC’s recommendation and will
require the immediate suspension of
seismic activities if a dead or injured
marine mammal has been sighted
within an area where the Holder of the
IHA deployed and utilized seismic
airguns within the past 24 hours.
Additionally, Shell is required to notify
the Marine Mammal Stranding Network
of stranded marine mammals.
Comment 28: NSB and AEWC note
that stranded marine mammals or their
carcasses are also a sign of injury. NMFS
states in its notice that it ‘‘does not
expect any marine mammal will...strand
as a result of the proposed survey’’ (74
FR 26222, June 1, 2009). In reaching this
conclusion, NMFS claims that
strandings have not been recorded for
the Beaufort and Chukchi Seas. NSB
and AEWC included a paper, which
documents 25 years of stranding data,
including five whales reported in 2008
alone in comparison with the five dead
whales that were reported in the same
area over the course of 25 years (Rosa,
2009). NSB also included some
stranding reports and newspaper
articles for bowhead whales discovered
in the last 25 years.
In light of the increase in seismic
operations in the Arctic since 2006,
NSB’s study raises serious concerns
about the impacts of these operations
and their potential to injure marine
mammals. While we think this study
taken together with the June 2008
stranding of ‘‘melon headed whales off
Madagascar that appears to be
associated with seismic surveys’’ (74 FR
26222, June 1, 2009) demonstrate that
seismic operations have the potential to
injure marine mammals beyond beaked
whales (and that Shell needs to apply
for an LOA for its operations), certainly
NSB’s study shows that direct injury of
whales is on-going. These direct impacts
must be analyzed and explanations
sought out before additional activities
with the potential to injure marine
mammals are authorized.
Thus, NMFS must explain how, in
light of this new information, Shell’s
application does not have the potential
to injure marine mammals. NMFS must
also require Shell to report the numbers
and species of dead animals it
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encounters and require necropsies to be
performed on dead marine mammals
found during Shell’s operations.
Response: NMFS has reviewed the
information provided by NSB and
AEWC regarding marine mammal
strandings in the Arctic. The stranding
reports and accompanying newspaper
articles for the three bowhead whales
discovered in the 1980s and 1990s do
not link the deaths to seismic activities.
Rather, the two more detailed reports
point to entanglement in fishing gear as
the possible cause of death in both
instances. Additionally, Rosa (2009)
does not provide any evidence linking
the cause of death for the bowhead
carcasses reported in 2008 to seismic
operations. Additionally, the increased
reporting of carcasses in the Arctic since
2006 may also be a result of increased
reporting effort and does not necessarily
indicate that there were fewer
strandings prior to 2008. MMOs aboard
industry vessels in the Beaufort and
Chukchi Seas have been required to
report sightings of injured and dead
marine mammals to NMFS as part of the
IHA requirements only since 2006.
Regarding the June 2008 stranding of
melon headed whales off Madagascar,
information available to NMFS at this
time indicates that the seismic airguns
were not active around the time of the
stranding. While the NSB study (Rosa,
2009) does present information
regarding the injury of whales in the
Arctic, it does not link the cause of the
injury to seismic survey operations. As
NMFS has stated previously, the
evidence linking marine mammal
strandings and seismic surveys remains
tenuous at best. Two papers, Taylor et
al. (2004) and Engel et al. (2004)
reference seismic signals as a possible
cause for a marine mammal stranding.
Taylor et al. (2004) noted two beaked
whale stranding incidents related to
seismic surveys. The statement in
Taylor et al. (2004) was that the seismic
vessel was firing its airguns at 1300 hrs
on September 24, 2004, and that
between 1400 and 1600 hrs, local
fishermen found live stranded beaked
whales 22 km (12 nm) from the ship’s
location. A review of the vessel’s
trackline indicated that the closest
approach of the seismic vessel and the
beaked whales stranding location was
18 nm (33 km) at 1430 hrs. At 1300 hrs,
the seismic vessel was located 25 nm
(46 km) from the stranding location.
What is unknown is the location of the
beaked whales prior to the stranding in
relation to the seismic vessel, but the
close timing of events indicates that the
distance was not less than 18 nm (33
km). No physical evidence for a link
between the seismic survey and the
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stranding was obtained. In addition,
Taylor et al. (2004) indicates that the
same seismic vessel was operating 500
km (270 nm) from the site of the
Galapagos Island stranding in 2000.
Whether the 2004 seismic survey caused
the beaked whales to strand is a matter
of considerable debate (see Cox et al.,
2004). However, these incidents do
point to the need to look for such effects
during future seismic surveys. To date,
follow up observations on several
scientific seismic survey cruises have
not indicated any beaked whale
stranding incidents.
Engel et al. (2004), in a paper
presented to the IWC in 2004 (SC/56/
E28), mentioned a possible link between
oil and gas seismic activities and the
stranding of 8 humpback whales (7 off
the Bahia or Espirito Santo States and 1
off Rio de Janeiro, Brazil). Concerns
about the relationship between this
stranding event and seismic activity
were raised by the International
Association of Geophysical Contractors
(IAGC). The IAGC (2004) argues that not
enough evidence is presented in Engel
et al. (2004) to assess whether or not the
relatively high proportion of adult
strandings in 2002 is anomalous. The
IAGC contends that the data do not
establish a clear record of what might be
a ‘‘natural’’ adult stranding rate, nor is
any attempt made to characterize other
natural factors that may influence
strandings. As stated previously, NMFS
remains concerned that the Engel et al.
(2004) article appears to compare
stranding rates made by opportunistic
sightings in the past with organized
aerial surveys beginning in 2001. If so,
then the data are suspect.
Moreover, marine mammal strandings
do not appear to be related to seismic
survey work in the Arctic Ocean.
Additionally, NMFS notes that in the
Beaufort Sea, aerial surveys have been
conducted by MMS and industry during
periods of industrial activity (and by
MMS during times with no activity). No
marine mammal strandings have been
observed during these surveys, that
appear to be related to seismic survey
activity, and none have been reported
by NSB inhabitants (although dead
marine mammals are occasionally
sighted). Finally, if bowhead and gray
whales react to sounds at very low
levels by making minor course
corrections to avoid seismic noise and
mitigation measures require Shell to
ramp-up the seismic array to avoid a
startle effect, strandings, similar to what
was observed in the Bahamas in 2000,
are unlikely to occur in the Arctic
Ocean. Therefore, NMFS does not
expect any marine mammals will incur
serious injury or mortality as a result of
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Shell’s 2009/2010 survey operations, so
an LOA is not needed.
Lastly, Shell is required to report all
sightings of dead and injured marine
mammals to NMFS and to notify the
Marine Mammal Health and Stranding
Response Network. However, Shell is
not permitted to conduct necropsies on
dead marine mammals. Necropsies can
only be performed by people authorized
to do so under the Marine Mammal
Health and Stranding Response Program
MMPA permit. NMFS is currently
considering different methods for
marking carcasses to reduce the problem
of double counting. However, a protocol
has not yet been developed, so marking
is not required in the IHA.
Comment 29: AWL states that
additional mitigation measures are
needed to address vulnerable cow/calf
pairs. When assessing the potential
impacts of noise, NMFS and MMS have
recognized that bowhead cow/calf pairs
merit special conditions. NMFS
acknowledged in 2008 that more
information is needed about the
potential effects of even a single seismic
survey on the health of females and very
young calves. Collectively, these factors
led NMFS to require a safety zone
tailored to protect multiple migrating
cow/calf pairs for the surveying that
took place in both seas in 2006 and for
the subsequent surveying in the
Beaufort Sea in 2007 and 2008. These
same factors compel a 120–dB safety
zone for migrating cow/calf pairs during
Shell’s proposed surveying in the
Chukchi Sea in 2009.
Response: The 120–dB safety zone for
migrating bowhead cow/calf pairs was
implemented to reduce impacts to the
animals as they migrated through the
narrow corridor in the Beaufort Sea.
However, in the Chukchi Sea, the
migratory corridor for bowhead whales
is wider and more open, thus the 120–
dB ensonified zone would not impede
bowhead whale migration. The animals
would be able to swim around the
ensonified area. Additionally, NMFS
has not imposed a requirement to
conduct aerial monitoring of the 120–dB
safety zone for the occurrence of four or
more cow-calf pairs in the Chukchi Sea
because it is not practicable. First,
NMFS determined that monitoring the
120–dB safety zone was not necessary in
the Chukchi Sea because there would
not be the level of effort by 3D seismic
survey operations found in 2006. This
provides cow/calf pairs with sufficient
ability to move around the seismic
source without significant effort.
Second, aerial surveys are not required
in the Chukchi Sea because they have
currently been determined to be
impracticable due to lack of adequate
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landing facilities, the prevalence of fog
and other inclement weather in that
area, potentially resulting in an inability
to return to the airport of origin, thereby
resulting in safety concerns.
Comment 30: AEWC states the
analysis that is provided regarding
bowhead whales assumes, without
supporting evidence, their migrations
through the Chukchi follow a narrow
path. AEWC and NSB note that
insufficient data exist about bowhead
whale and other species’ use of the
Chukchi, and Shell should not be
authorized to operate in this sensitive
area until further information has been
collected. For this same reason, AEWC
asks NMFS to cap the seismic and
related activities that it authorizes each
year in the Arctic to ensure that we are
not damaging sensitive marine resources
that are relied on for subsistence in
ways that we are unaware of.
Response: NMFS disagrees with the
first statement. In fact, in NMFS’ Notice
of Proposed IHA (74 FR 26217, June 1,
2009), NMFS stated that the bowhead
migration pathway is narrower and
more well defined in the Beaufort Sea
than in the Chukchi Sea. Regarding the
comment about insufficient data, please
see the response to comment 26 in this
document. While NMFS acknowledges
that there is some uncertainty about the
status of marine mammals in and their
use of the Chukchi Sea, population
assessments are being conducted. NMFS
used the best scientific information
available to make the necessary findings
required under the MMPA. Using the
best available information, NMFS
determined that Shell’s survey will
affect only small numbers of marine
mammals, will have a negligible impact
on affected species or stocks, and will
not have an unmitigable adverse impact
on the affected species or stocks for
subsistence uses.
NMFS does not authorize the actual
seismic and related activities. That
authority falls to MMS. Rather, NMFS
authorizes the take of marine mammals
incidental to a specified activity (in this
case, seismic activity) pursuant to
sections 101(a)(5)(A) and (D) of the
MMPA. While NMFS agrees that
limiting the number of geophysical
operations in either the Arctic would
reduce impacts on marine mammals,
this condition is unnecessary for a
determination on whether there will be
an unmitigable adverse impact on
subsistence uses of marine mammals
because applicants are required to
complete a POC to ensure that their
activities will not affect subsistence
hunts. As described elsewhere in this
document, Shell has incorporated
design features into their program,
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signed the 2009 CAA, and implemented
a POC, and NMFS has included
measures in the IHA to ensure no
unmitigable adverse impacts to
subsistence hunts.
NMFS understands that, under the
terms of an OCS lease, the lessee is
required to make progress on
exploration and development on its
leases in order to hold that lease beyond
the initial lease term. Ancillary
activities (such as seismic and shallow
hazard surveys) are those activities
conducted on a lease site to obtain data
and information to meet MMS’
regulations to explore and develop a
lease. If a limit is placed by NMFS on
the number of ancillary activities
authorized for a planning area in a given
year, NMFS may preclude the lessee
from complying with MMS regulations
to proceed in a timely manner on
exploring or developing its OCS leases.
Therefore, based on both practicability
and that it is not necessary, NMFS has
not adopted this suggested mitigation
measure. However, NMFS encourages
industry participants to work together to
reduce seismic sounds in the Arctic
Ocean through cooperative programs in
data collection to reduce impacts on
marine mammals.
Comment 31: NSB states that Shell
needs to consider impacts on those
species that may not occur in the project
area in ‘‘meaningful numbers.’’
Response: Although bowhead, beluga,
and gray whales and harbor porpoise are
more likely to occur in the project area
than other cetacean species (i.e.,
humpback, fin, killer, and minke
whale), all of these species were
described and analyzed in Shell’s
application and NMFS’ proposed IHA
(74 FR 26217, June 1, 2009).
Comment 32: NSB notes that Shell
states, ‘‘These types of surveys,
collectively and individually, have not
resulted in impacts of biological
significance to marine mammals of the
Arctic...’’ Shell does not have data to
support this statement, as Shell and
other oil and gas companies have yet to
examine whether there have been
impacts of biological significance from
exploration activities in the Beaufort
and Chukchi Seas. Determination of the
biological significance of impacts from
oil and gas activities (beyond just
behavioral deflection) is needed.
Further, ‘‘biological significance’’ must
be defined. NSB also notes that Shell
states, ‘‘Any effects would be temporary
and of short duration at any one place.’’
It is difficult, if not impossible to judge
this statement from the information
included in this IHA.
Response: To date, there have not
been any reported large scale impacts
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attributable to offshore oil and gas
development in the Arctic. NMFS
would expect that villagers who hunt
and fish in the offshore waters would
notice changes in marine life. However,
NMFS agrees that there is some
uncertainty on the current status of
some marine mammal species in the
Beaufort and Chukchi Seas and on
impacts on marine mammals from
seismic surveys. NMFS is currently
proposing to conduct new population
assessments for Arctic pinniped species
and current information is available online through its SARs program. As
stated previously, NMFS determines
whether takings by harassment are
occurring based on whether there is a
significant behavioral change in
biologically important activity, such as
feeding, breeding, migration or
sheltering. All of these activities are
potentially important for reproductive
success of a marine mammal population
(67 FR 46722, July 16, 2002). In regard
to impacts, there is no indication that
seismic survey activities are having a
long-term impact on marine mammals.
For example, apparently, bowhead
whales continued to increase in
abundance during periods of intense
seismic in the Chukchi Sea in the 1980s
(Raftery et al., 1995; Angliss and
Outlaw, 2007), even without
implementation of current mitigation
requirements. As a result, NMFS has
determined that seismic survey noise in
the Arctic will have no more than a
short-term effect on marine mammals in
the Chukchi Sea.
Large-scale impact assessments on
marine mammal species from offshore
seismic activities have been ongoing
since 2006 through the industry’s
comprehensive monitoring plan. NMFS
along with AEWC, NSB, oil exploration
companies, and others have developed
an off-seismic vessel monitoring
program to help address the potential
impact of seismic activities on marine
mammals and subsistence uses of
marine mammals. This program is
described later in this document (see
‘‘Comprehensive Monitoring Reports’’).
If NSB wishes to set alternative
priorities for this impact assessment
program, it should make that concern
known to NMFS and Shell as soon as
possible.
Comment 33: NSB notes that Shell
states, ‘‘Excessive amounts of repeated
exposure can lead to overestimation of
the number of animals potentially
exposed through double counting.’’ NSB
indicates that this can also cause greater
harm in animals exposed multiple
times/chronically.
Response: Repeated exposure may
cause a marine mammal to exhibit
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diminished responsiveness
(habituation), or disturbance effects may
persist; the latter is most likely with
sounds that are highly variable in
characteristics, infrequent, and
unpredictable in occurrence, and
associated with situations that a marine
mammal perceives as a threat.
Additionally, the relatively short crosstrack distance of the 160–dB radius
associated with Shell’s site clearance
and shallow hazards surveys result in
little overlap of exposed waters during
the survey.
Moreover, as explained in detail
elsewhere in this document, marine
mammals will need to be significantly
closer to the seismic source and be
exposed to SPLs greater than 180 dB to
be injured or killed by the airgun array.
For large airgun arrays (much larger
than the array to be used by Shell in
2009/2010), this distance may be within
200 m (656 ft) of the vessel. In order for
a marine mammal to receive multiple
exposures (and thereby incur PTS), the
animal would: (1) need to be close to the
vessel and not detected during the
period of multiple exposure; (2) be
swimming in approximately the same
direction and speed as the vessel; and
(3) not be deflected away from the
vessel as a result of the noise from the
seismic array. Preliminary model
simulations for seismic surveys in the
Gulf of Mexico indicate that marine
mammals are unlikely to incur single or
multiple exposure levels that could
result in PTS, as the seismic vessel
would be moving at about 4–5 knots,
while the marine mammals would not
likely be moving within the zone of
potential auditory injury in the same
direction and speed as the vessel,
especially for those marine mammals
that take measures to avoid areas of
seismic noise.
Comment 35: Citing research on long
term adverse effects to whales and
dolphins from whale watching activities
(Trites and Bain, 2000; Bain, 2002;
Lusseau et al., 2006), Dr. Bain states that
Level B behavioral harassment could be
the primary threat to cetacean
populations.
Response: Although NMFS agrees that
long-term, persistent, and chronic
exposure to Level B harassment could
have a profound and significant impact
on marine mammal populations, such as
described in the references cited by Dr.
Bain, those examples do not reflect the
impacts of seismic surveys to marine
mammals for Shell’s project. First,
whale watching vessels are intentionally
targeting and making close approaches
to cetacean species so the tourists
onboard can have a better view of the
animals. Some of these whale/dolphin
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watching examples cited by Dr. Bain
occurred in the coastal waters of the
Northwest Pacific between April and
October and for extended periods of
time (‘‘[r]ecreational and scientific
whale watchers were active by around
6 a.m., and some commercial whale
watching continued until around
sunset’’). Thus multiple vessels have
been documented to be in relatively
close proximity to whales for about 12
hours a day, six months a year, not
counting some ‘‘out of season’’ whale
watching activities and after dark
commercial filming efforts. In addition,
noise exposures to whales and dolphins
from whale watching vessels are
probably significant due to the vessels’
proximity to the animals. To the
contrary, Shell’s proposed open-water
shallow hazard and site clearance
surveys, along with existing industrial
operations in the Arctic Ocean, do not
intentionally approach marine
mammals in the project areas. Shell’s
survey locations are situated in a much
larger Arctic Ocean Basin, which is far
away from most human impacts.
Therefore, the effects from each activity
are remote and spread farther apart, as
analyzed in NMFS’ 2009 EA, as well as
the MMS 2006 PEA.
Shell’s site clearance and shallow
hazards activities would only be
conducted between August and October
for 50 days, weather permitting. In
addition, although studies and
monitoring reports from previous
seismic surveys have detected Level B
harassment of marine mammals, such as
avoidance of certain areas by bowhead
and beluga whales during the airgun
firing, no evidence suggests that such
behavioral modification is biologically
significant or non-negligible (Malme et
al., 1986, 1988; Richardson et al., 1987,
1999; Miller et al., 1999, 2005), as
compared to those exposed by chronic
whale watching vessels cited by Dr.
Bain. Therefore, NMFS believes that
potential impacts to marine mammals in
the Chukchi Sea by site clearance and
shallow hazards surveys would be
limited to Level B harassment only, and
due to the limited scale and remoteness
of the project in relation to a large area,
such adverse effects would not
accumulate to the point where
biologically significant effects would be
realized.
Comment 36: Dr. Bain states that
changes in behavior resulting from noise
exposure could lead to indirect injury in
marine mammals in the wild. He
presented several examples to suggest
that marine mammals repeatedly
exposed to Level B harassment could
result in Level A takes: (1) Harbor
porpoise were observed traveling at high
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speeds during exposure to midfrequency sonar in Haro Strait in 2003
and that exhaustion from rapid flight
could lead to mortality; (2) citing MMS’
(2004) Environmental Assessment on
Proposed Oil and Gas Lease Sale 195 in
the Beaufort Sea Planning Area (OCS
EIS/EA MMS 2004–028) that feeding
requires a prey density of 800 mg/m3
and his own observation, Dr. Bain is
concerned displacement from high
productive feeding areas would
negatively affect individual whales and
that small cetaceans such as harbor
porpoise would face a risk of death if
they are unable to feed for periods as
short as 48 - 72 hours, or they may move
into habitat where they face an
increased risk of predation; (3)
individual killer whales have been
observed splitting from their pod when
frightened by sonar and that other killer
whales’ separation from their social
units has resulted in death; (4) TTS may
lead to harm, as a minke whale was
nearly struck by a research vessel in the
area where one had been observed
fleeing mid-frequency sonar, and blunt
force trauma was identified as a cause
of death in the investigation of harbor
porpoise mortalities following exposure
to mid-frequency sonar; and (5)
impaired auditory ability may increase
predation, as white-sided dolphins were
attacked by killer whales because the
noise of the research vessel caused the
approach of the killer whales to go
undetected by the dolphins.
Response: NMFS agrees that it is
possible that changes in behavior or
auditory masking resulting from noise
exposure could lead to injury in marine
mammals under certain circumstances
in the world, such as those examples/
hypotheses raised by Dr. Bain. However,
it is not likely that received SPLs from
the site clearance and shallow hazards
surveys would drastically cause changes
in behavior or auditory masking in
marine mammals in the vicinity of the
action area. First, marine mammals in
the aforementioned examples and
hypotheses were exposed to high levels
of non-pulse intermittent sounds, such
as military sonar, which has been
shown to cause flight activities (e.g.,
Haro Strait killer whales); and
continuous sounds such as the vessel,
which could cause auditory masking
when animals are closer to the source.
The sources produced by the acoustic
equipment and airguns for Shell’s site
clearance and shallow hazards surveys
are impulse sounds used in seismic
profiling, bathymetry, and seafloor
imaging. Unlike military sonar, seismic
pulses have an extremely short duration
(tens to hundreds of milliseconds) and
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55381
relatively long intervals (several
seconds) between pulses. Therefore, the
sound energy levels from these acoustic
sources and small airguns are far lower
in a given time period. Second, the
intervals between each short pulse
would allow the animals to detect any
biologically significant signals, and thus
avoid or prevent auditory masking. In
addition, NMFS requires mitigation
measures to ramp-up acoustic sources at
a rate of no more than 6 dB per 5 min.
This ramp-up would prevent marine
mammals from being exposed to high
level noises without warning, thereby
eliminating the possibility that animals
would dramatically alter their behavior
(i.e. from a ‘‘startle’’ reaction). NMFS
also believes that long-term
displacement of marine mammals from
a feeding area is not likely because the
seismic vessel is constantly moving, and
the maximum 160–dB ensonified radius
is about 1.4 km, which would create an
area of ensonification of approximately
6 km2 at any given moment, which
constitutes a very small portion of the
Chukchi Sea (0.001 percent). In reality,
NMFS expects the 160–dB ensonified
zone to be smaller due to absorption and
attenuation of acoustic energy in the
water column.
Comment 36: AEWC states that NMFS
does little to assess whether Level A
harassment is occurring as a result of
the deflection of marine mammals as a
result of Shell’s proposed operations.
Deflected marine mammals may suffer
impacts due to masking of natural
sounds including calling to others of
their species, physiological damage
from stress and other non-auditory
effects, harm from pollution of their
environment, tolerance, and hearing
impacts (see Nieukirk et al., 2004). Not
only do these operations disrupt the
animals’ behavioral patterns, but they
also create the potential for injury by
causing marine mammals to miss
feeding opportunities, expend more
energy, and stray from migratory routes
when they are deflected. Dr. Bain also
states that there are three main ways
that minor behavioral changes, when
experienced by numerous individuals
for extended periods of time, can affect
population growth: increased energy
expenditure, reduced food acquisition,
and stress (Trites and Bain, 2000).
Response: See the response to
comment 35 regarding the potential for
injury. The paper cited by AEWC
(Nieukirk et al., 2004) tried to draw
linkages between recordings of fin,
humpback, and minke whales and
airgun signals in the western North
Atlantic; however, the authors note the
difficulty in assessing impacts based on
the data collected. The authors also state
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that the effects of airgun activity on
baleen whales is unknown and then cite
to Richardson et al. (1995) for some
possible effects, which AEWC lists in
their comment. There is no statement in
the cited study, however, about the
linkage between deflection and these
impacts. While deflection may cause
animals to expend extra energy, there is
no evidence that this deflection is
causing a significant behavioral change
to a biologically significant activity. In
fact, bowhead whales continued to
increase in abundance during periods of
intense seismic in the Chukchi Sea in
the 1980s (Raftery et al., 1995; Angliss
and Outlaw, 2007). Therefore, NMFS
does not believe that injury will occur
as a result of Shell’s activities.
Additionally, Shell’s total data
acquisition activities will occur in an
extremely small portion of the Chukchi
Sea (0.2 percent). Therefore, based on
the smaller radii associated with Shell’s
site clearance and shallow hazards
surveys than the larger 2D or 3D seismic
programs and the extremely small area
of the Chukchi Sea where Shell will
utilize airguns, it is unlikely that marine
mammals will need to expend extra
energy to locate prey or to have reduced
foraging opportunities.
Comment 37: Citing Erbe (2002),
AEWC notes that any sound at some
level can cause physiological damage to
the ear and other organs and tissues.
Placed in a context of an unknown
baseline of sound levels in the Chukchi
Sea, it is critically important that NMFS
take a precautionary approach to
permitting additional noise sources in
this poorly studied and understood
habitat. Thus, the best available science
dictates that NMFS use a more cautious
approach in addressing impacts to
marine mammals from seismic
operations.
Response: The statement from Erbe
(2002) does not take into account
mitigation measures required in the IHA
to reduce impacts to marine mammals.
As stated throughout this document,
based on the fact that Shell will be using
a small airgun array (total discharge
volume of 40 in3) and will implement
mitigation measures (i.e., ramp-up,
power-down, shutdown, etc.), NMFS
does not believe that there will be any
injury or mortality of marine mammals
as a result of Shell’s operations.
Comment 38: AEWC states that in
making its negligible impact
determination, NMFS failed to consider
several impacts: (1) Non-auditory,
physiological effects, namely stress; (2)
the possibility of vessel strikes needs to
be considered in light of scientific
evidence of harm from ship traffic to
marine mammals; (3) impacts to marine
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mammal habitat, including pollution of
the marine environment and the risk of
oil spills, toxic, and nontoxic waste
being discharged; (4) impacts to fish and
other food sources upon which marine
mammals rely; (5) specific marine
mammals that will be taken, including
their age, sex, and reproductive
condition; and (6) the use of multiple
airguns at one time. For this last point,
referencing Nieukirk et al. (2004) and
NRC (2003), AEWC states that the
impacts from airguns cannot simply be
discounted by assuming that most of the
energy is focused vertically, and, thus,
the impacts horizontally are not great.
Dr. Bain also notes that directional
sources and arrays produce significant
energy in directions other than their
primary direction.
Response: NMFS does not agree that
these impacts were not considered.
First, non-auditory, physiological
effects, including stress, were analyzed
in the Notice of Proposed IHA (74 FR
26217, June 1, 2009). No single marine
mammal is expected to be exposed to
high levels of sound for extended
periods based on the size of the airgun
array to be used by Shell and the fact
that an animal would need to swim
close to, parallel to, and at the same
speed as the vessel to incur several high
intensity pulses. This also does not take
into account the mitigation measures
described later in this document.
Second, impacts resulting from vessel
strikes and habitat pollution and
impacts to fish were fully analyzed in
MMS’ 2006 Final PEA and incorporated
by reference into NMFS’ 2009 EA for
Shell’s activities. Additionally, the
proposed IHA analyzed potential
impacts to marine mammal habitat,
including prey resources. That analysis
noted that while mortality has been
observed for certain fish species found
in extremely close proximity to the
airguns, Saetre and Ona (1996)
concluded that mortality rates caused by
exposure to sounds are so low compared
to natural mortality that issues relating
to stock recruitment should be regarded
as insignificant. Based on the small
portion of the Chukchi Sea that will be
ensonified during Shell’s activities, less
than 0.1 percent of available food
resources are anticipated to be
impacted, which would have little, if
any, effect on a marine mammal’s ability
to forage successfully.
For the fifth point, please see the
response to comment 11. The age, sex,
and reproductive condition must
provided when possible. However, this
is often extremely difficult to predict.
Additional mitigation measures for
bowhead cow/calf pairs, such as
monitoring the 120–dB radius and
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requiring shutdown when 4 or more
cow/calf pairs enter that zone, were
considered but determined to be
impracticable for this survey. As stated
elsewhere in this document, due to
safety concerns, aerial surveys are not
required in the offshore Chukchi Sea
environment. Regarding the last point
raised by AEWC, NMFS analyzed
impacts from the use of an airgun array
with a total discharge volume of 40 in3.
In its analysis, NMFS did not discount
the impacts from airguns by simply
assuming that most of the energy is
focused downward (i.e., vertically).
While the fact that the downward
direction of the airguns minimizes
sound that is emitted in the horizontal
direction, NMFS fully analyzed the
impacts of airgun sounds on marine
mammals and has required monitoring
and mitigation measures to reduce the
impacts further. Based on the
information contained in this response
and the analyses in the proposed IHA
and NMFS’ EA, NMFS determined that
impacts to marine mammals as a result
of Shell’s action will be negligible.
Comment 39: NSB notes that Shell’s
application states, ‘‘In the absence of
important feeding areas, the potential
diversion of a small number of
bowheads is not expected to have any
significant or long-term consequences
for individual bowheads or their
population. Bowheads, gray, or beluga
whales are not predicted to be excluded
from any habitat.’’ If these whales are
avoiding the 160 dB and potentially the
120 dB isopleths, and the logic that is
used for use of the mitigation gun is that
the sound ‘‘clears’’ the area, then, yes,
they will most certainly be excluded
from part of their habitat.
Response: NMFS agrees with NSB’s
statement that whales will likely be
excluded from part of their habitat.
However, the exclusion is expected to
be temporary and would not affect
feeding opportunities because only an
extremely small fraction of the Chukchi
Sea will be ensonified as a result of
Shell’s operations (less than 0.2
percent). Implicit in this conclusion,
therefore, is that there will be many
other areas available to whales for
feeding and other biologically important
activities.
Acoustic Impacts
Comment 40: Citing studies on noise
impacts to chinchillas (Henderson et al.,
1991) and human noise exposure
standards by the U.S. Occupational
Safety Health Administration (OSHA),
Dr. Bain states, ‘‘[I]n humans, chronic
exposure to levels of noise too low to
generate a TTS can result in PTS.’’ As
OSHA standards require limiting human
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exposure to noise at 115 dBA above
threshold to 15 minutes per day, Dr.
Bain concludes that this level is
equivalent to 145 dB re 1 μPa for killer
whales. Dr. Bain states that although the
reference levels for sound in air and
water are different, this difference is
taken into account when determining
thresholds.
Dr. Bain notes that while OSHA’s
standards are for continuous noise and
assume multi-year exposure, surveys
employ multiple intermittent sources,
which in a reverberant environment,
have the potential to become nearly
continuous. While individual projects
will cause limited exposure to
individual marine mammals, these
individuals will accumulate exposure
from natural sources (e.g., wind) and
human activities (e.g., other seismic
surveys, vessel traffic) conducted over
the course of their lifetime.
Response: Although NMFS agrees that
chronic exposure to noise levels that
would not cause TTS could result in
hearing impairment in the long-term, it
is important to understand that such
exposure has to be of a chronic and
long-term nature. The OSHA standards
for permissible exposure are based on
daily impacts throughout an employee’s
career, while the noise exposure to
seismic surveys by marine mammals is
short-term and intermittent (surveys
occur for 2–3 months in a given year),
as described in the Notice of Proposed
IHA and NMFS’ EA. In addition, the
reference Dr. Bain cites (Henderson et
al., 1991) does not address chronic
noise impact to humans. The research
by Henderson et al. (1991) focused on
the applicability of the equal energy
hypothesis (EEH) to impact (impulse)
noise exposures on chinchillas, and the
results indicated that hearing loss
resulting from exposure to impact noise
did not conform to the predictions of
the EEH, which is the basis for OSHA
standards for continuous noise
exposure.
Most importantly, Dr. Bain’s
extrapolation of 145 dB re 1 Pa for killer
whale hearing safety from OSHA’s 115
dBA is fundamentally flawed for three
reasons:
(1) The reference points when using
decibel units that address sound in air
and in water are different. For airborne
sounds, such as those by OSHA, the
reference point is 20 μPa, while for
underwater sounds, the reference point
is 1 μPa. There is a 26 dB difference
between the values when different
reference points are used for the same
sound pressure; therefore, 115 dB re 20
μPa is 141 dB re 1 μPa for the same
sound pressure. So 115 dB re 20 μPa in
air above human threshold (defined as
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0 dB re 20 μPa in air) would be 141 dB
re 1 μPa underwater for the same sound
pressure. Using the lowest threshold of
30 dB re 1 μPa as the killer whale
hearing threshold and assuming that
noise impacts to killer whales are the
same as for humans, one could
extrapolate that continuous noise
exposure of 171 dB re 1 μPa (141 dB
over the 30 dB threshold) for 15 minutes
for killer whales would be equivalent to
humans exposed to 115 dB re 20 Pa for
15 minutes. Nevertheless, such
extrapolation still leaves much
uncertainty since marine mammals have
a different mechanism for sound
reception (Au, 1993; Richardson et al.,
1995). Some of the most recent science
has shown that for some odontocetes,
the onset of TTS when exposed to
impulse noise is much higher (Finneran
et al., 2002) than NMFS’ current
thresholds.
(2) The decibel values used by OSHA
are expressed as broadband A-weighted
sound levels expressed in dBA. This
frequency-dependent weighting
function is used to apply to the sound
in accordance with the sensitivity of the
human ear to different frequencies.
Thus, it is inappropriate to compare
these values to an animal’s hearing
capability, including how an animal
perceives sound in air (Richardson et
al., 1995). For marine mammals, Mweighting functions have been
suggested based on five different
hearing functional groups to address
different hearing sensitivities of
different frequencies by each of the
marine mammal groups (Southall et al.,
2007).
(3) Finally, the sound characteristic
used in OSHA standards is continuous
sound, while the seismic sound from
the proposed shallow hazard and site
clearance surveys is impulse sound,
which by its very nature is not a
continuous sound. There are several
seconds between each shot, and each
shot only lasts for a few milliseconds.
Therefore, the amount of time without
seismic sound between each shot is
greater than 99 percent. As there is a
significant period of time between shot
events, this does not qualify as a
continuous sound source. NMFS’ EA
assessed the cumulative impacts from
all activities in the Chukchi Sea. Based
on that assessment, NMFS determined
that Shell’s activities would not produce
any significant cumulative impacts to
the human environment (i.e., marine
mammals).
Comment 41: Dr. Bain states that
sound sources are typically divided into
continuous and pulsed categories, and
that behavioral effects from pulsed
sound are likely to be independent of
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the repetition rate and duty cycle and
depend primarily on the duration of the
survey. Dr. Bain further states that
intermittent pulses can result in
continuously received noise when
sound arrives via multiple paths, which
Dr. Bain explains as ‘‘sound that
bounces between the bottom and the
surface will take longer to reach an
animal than sound traveling via a direct
path,’’ and that ‘‘noise can mask signals
for a brief period before and after it is
received, meaning an almost continuous
received noise can mask signals
continuously.’’
Response: NMFS does not agree with
Dr. Bain’s statement on ocean acoustics
and his subsequent analysis and
assessment regarding underwater sound
propagation and its effects to marine
mammals. Within the scientific
community on ocean acoustics and
bioacoustics, two types of sound are
traditionally recognized: transient
sounds (sounds of relatively short
duration) and continuous sounds
(sounds that go on and on). Transient
sounds can be further classified into
impulsive (such as seismic airguns,
explosives, pile driving) and nonimpulsive (such as military tactic
sonars) sounds (Richardson et al., 1995).
Other researchers studying noise
impacts on marine mammals classified
sound types into a single pulse (a single
explosive), multiple pulses (seismic
airguns, pile driving), and non-pulses
(ships, sonar) (Southall et al., 2007). A
simple way to distinguish pulses sound
from non-pulses (continuous sound
included) is that the former have rapid
rise-time in relation to its extremely
short duration. As mentioned in the
response to comment 25, behavioral
responses from marine mammals when
exposed to underwater noise is complex
and context specific, and often depend
on the sound characteristics (such as
received levels, duration, duty cycles,
frequency, etc.) and other variables.
NMFS agrees that the distinction
between transient and continuous
sounds is not absolute, as continuous
sound from a fast moving vessel is often
treated as transient sound in relation to
a stationary or slow moving marine
mammal. Further, the distinction
between pulses and non-pulses is also
not always clear, as certain pulsed
sound sources (e.g., seismic airguns and
explosives) may become non-pulses at
greater distances due to signal decay
through reverberation and other
propagation paths. However, Dr. Bain’s
statement that intermittent pulses can
result in continuously received noise
when sound arrives via multiple paths
is unfounded. For a marine mammal
exposed to noise, multipath propagation
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would expose the animal to the noise
multiple times, usually each subsequent
exposure with lower sound level due to
loss of acoustic energy from surface and
bottom reflections; however, the noise
arriving via multipath propagation
would not become continuous sound
because the intervals between signals
would always exist. In addition, noise
cannot mask a signal before or after it
is received by the animal. Masking of
signals can only occur when the
unwanted sound (noise) interferes with
the signal when received by the animal,
generally at similar frequencies
(Richardson et al., 1995). Therefore, Dr.
Bain’s assessment regarding the
potential impact of the acoustic sources
to be used during Shell’s operations is
not supported.
Comment 42: Dr. Bain states that one
characteristic of pulsed sources is
known as ‘‘time-bandwidth’’ product,
and he explains that it is ‘‘any sound
with a finite duration (that is, any realworld sound) contains additional
frequencies to the nominal frequency.
That is, pulsed sources that nominally
have a frequency that is too high to hear,
may, in fact, be audible, as the source
will contain lower frequencies that are
detectable.’’
Response: NMFS does not agree with
Dr. Bain’s statement that high frequency
pulsed sources nominally contain
additional frequencies that are audible.
The high frequency pulsed sources are
expected to operate within their
frequency range, although some
mechanical noise at lower frequencies
may be produced as a byproduct during
the operation. The mechanical noise
associated with acoustic equipment is
expected to be low intensity and is not
expected to result in harassment of
marine mammals. Furthermore, the term
‘‘time-bandwidth product’’ is generally
used in signal process, which is
irrelevant to the Chukchi Sea site
clearance and shallow hazards survey.
Marine Mammal Biology Concerns
Comment 43: NSB states that Table 4–
1 in Shell’s application should be
organized based on the NMFS accepted
stocks of marine mammals, which is the
appropriate management unit. For
example, beluga whales should be
evaluated for the Beaufort Sea stock and
the eastern Chukchi Sea stock.
Population estimates (including nmin,
point estimate for stock size, and
confidence interval around that point
estimate) should be given for each stock.
Grouping by species is misleading and
inappropriate.
Furthermore, Shell separates out
numbers of marine mammals by
offshore vs. nearshore/ice edge. This
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approach is confusing, inappropriate for
the Chukchi Sea, and needs to be
refined. Marine mammals occur and
migrate across the entire area.
Designating a separate abundance for
offshore and nearshore is not
appropriate and is not helpful for
evaluating the potential for small takes
of marine mammals.
The pinniped section of Table 4–1 is
also misleading. All four species occur
in areas other than sea ice. Shell’s
estimate of the number of spotted seals
is incorrect. The provided estimate is
from a MMS document and is only for
the Beaufort Sea. Thousands of spotted
seals use Chukchi Sea haulouts. That
information should be provided in the
application.
Response: Table 4–1 is meant to
provide an overview of the marine
mammals that are described in detail in
Section 4 of Shell’s application. The
different stocks that may be encountered
during Shell’s activities are described in
the text portions of the application that
follow the table. For example, the
discussion for beluga whales describes
both the Beaufort Sea stock and the
eastern Chukchi Sea stock. Where
available, the requested information
(e.g., nmin, point estimate for stock size,
etc.) was provided; however, that
information is not available in the
NMFS SARs for all Arctic species. Shell
will consider revising this table in
future IHA applications. The textual
descriptions also provide additional
information on the use of the Chukchi
Sea by the different species listed in
Table 4–1 and a Chukchi Sea specific
abundance estimate for spotted seals.
Comment 44: NSB states that the last
paragraph in the beluga section of the
application (page 16) is incomplete.
Decision makers and the public need to
be aware that the entire Beaufort and
Chukchi populations of belugas migrate
through the Chukchi Sea during the
autumn. This information is necessary
because Shell’s proposed work is in the
Chukchi Sea and may impact beluga
whales. Therefore, appropriate
monitoring and mitigation plans are
needed for the central Chukchi Sea.
Response: Discussion of the migration
patterns of the Beaufort Sea stock of
beluga whales is contained earlier in the
beluga whale description (page 15 of the
application). NMFS considered impacts
to beluga whales during Shell’s Chukchi
operations. The IHA issued to Shell
contains appropriate monitoring and
mitigation measures (described in detail
later in this document) for all marine
mammal species under NMFS’
jurisdiction.
Comment 45: NSB notes that
statements regarding bowheads
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summering in the Chukchi Sea and
feeding in the Beaufort Sea are
incomplete. They provide statements of
sightings during the summer months,
indicating that not all bowheads migrate
to the eastern Beaufort Sea in the
summer. This information is needed by
decision makers and the public to better
assess the potential impacts from oil
and gas activities on bowheads.
Response: MMS’ 2006 Final PEA
contains a discussion about bowhead
migration and references scientific
literature and accounts from hunters,
indicating that some bowheads may
summer in the western Beaufort Sea or
Chukchi Sea. This information was
incorporated by reference into NMFS’
2009 EA for the issuance of an IHA to
Shell and was considered in making the
necessary MMPA findings.
Comment 46: NSB states that the
discussion of results from Shell’s aerial
surveys regarding gray whales is
misleading. Shell states that gray whales
were most abundant near shore between
Barrow and Wainwright; however, Shell
did not conduct aerial surveys in
offshore areas, including in the
proposed operation area. Shell’s visual
observations in offshore areas came
solely from observers on boats. It is not
reasonable to compare aerial and vessel
surveys to conclude that gray whales are
mostly using nearshore areas. Scientific
information on how gray whales are
using offshore areas should be
considered limited at this time.
Response: Comment noted. In
assessing impacts to gray whales, NMFS
considered that individuals may occur
within the action area. Estimated take
numbers for gray whales reflect the fact
that the animals may use offshore areas
near Shell’s operations (see the
‘‘Estimated Take of Marine Mammals’’
section later in this document).
Comment 47: AWL states that there is
insufficient information in the proposed
IHA Federal Register notice related to
gray whales to justify NMFS’ MMPA
conclusions. Gray whales have been
shown to abandon habitat in response to
anthropogenic noise. It is not clear that
NMFS considered the proximity of
Shell’s proposed survey areas to the
Hanna Shoal or other potential eastern
gray whale feeding areas.
AWL and Dr. Bain note that gray
whale numbers have declined since delisting of the species in 1994. Dr. Bain
states that this raises the question of
whether gray whales should be re-listed
as threatened under the ESA since their
population has a negative trend and is
at a level that was considered
threatened even when it was increasing.
One implication of re-listing would be
a change in the recovery factor for
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calculating Potential Biological Removal
(PBR). Using the value for an ESA-listed
species would reduce PBR to 42.
Subsistence harvest in Russia alone
exceeds this number. Thus, additional
threats such as habitat loss due to
disturbance from seismic surveys would
result in further jeopardy to the survival
of the species. It is clear that a careful
evaluation of this species is needed
before activities that disturb gray whales
are allowed.
Response: NMFS considered the
potential impacts of the site clearance
and shallow hazards surveys on gray
whales. MMS’ 2006 Final PEA contains
discussion and analysis of the potential
effects of airgun noise on gray whales,
including avoidance of habitat when
seismic surveys are occurring. This
information was considered by NMFS
and incorporated by reference into the
EA prepared for this action. Through
this analysis, NMFS considered the fact
that the Chukchi Sea is considered a
primary summer feeding ground for the
eastern North Pacific stock of gray
whales. However, NMFS determined
that Shell’s surveys will impact only
small numbers of gray whales and will
have a negligible impact on the affected
stock. This determination was made
based on several factors: (1) the small
size of the airgun array (40 in3); (2) the
short duration of the survey
(approximately 50 days); and (3) the
incorporation of the required mitigation
and monitoring measures described
later in this document.
Since 1994, NMFS has continued to
monitor the status of the population
consistent with its responsibilities
under the ESA and the MMPA. In 1999,
a NMFS review of the status of the
eastern North Pacific stock of gray
whales recommended the continuation
of this stock’s classification as nonthreatened (Rugh et al., 1999).
Workshop participants determined the
stock was not in danger of extinction,
nor was it likely to become so in the
foreseeable future. In 2001 several
organizations and individuals
petitioned NMFS to re-list the eastern
North Pacific gray whale population.
NMFS concluded that there were
several factors that may be affecting the
gray whale population but there was no
information indicating that the
population may be in danger of
extinction or likely to become so in the
foreseeable future. Wade and Perryman
(2002) and Punt et al. (2004) (cited in
the 2008 SAR, Angliss and Allen, 2009)
found that the stock is within its
optimum sustainable population level
and that the population is likely close
to or above its unexploited equilibrium
level. NMFS continues to monitor the
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abundance of the stock through the
MMPA stock assessment process,
especially as it approaches its carrying
capacity. If new information suggests a
reevaluation of the eastern North Pacific
gray whales’ listing status is warranted,
NMFS will complete the appropriate
reviews. Lastly, Shell’s surveys are not
expected to destroy or result in any
permanent impact on habitats used by
gray whales or to their prey resources or
to jeopardize the continued existence of
the species.
Comment 48: AWL, Dr. Bain, and
AEWC state that the division of the
harbor porpoise population in Alaska is
incorrect. Dr. Bain and AEWC cite to the
2008 harbor porpoise Bering Sea stock
SAR (Angliss and Allen, 2009):
In cases outside of Alaska, studies have
shown that stock structure is more fine-scale
than is reflected in the Alaska Stock
Assessment Reports. At this time, no data are
available to reflect stock structure for harbor
porpoise in Alaska. However, based on
comparisons with other regions, smaller
stocks are likely. Should new information on
harbor porpoise become available, the harbor
porpoise Stock Assessment Reports will be
updated.
That is, the stock to be affected by the
survey is likely to be far smaller than
currently recognized. The implication is
that the population is far less able to
tolerate takes than expected based on
the current stock definition. AWL states
that while NMFS is not required to
develop a definitive stock assessment, it
cannot rely on concededly inaccurate
information in order to comply with its
MMPA obligations. AEWC states that
without knowing whether a specific
stock of harbor porpoise exists in the
area that will be impacted by Shell’s
operations and the population numbers
and health of that stock, NMFS cannot
determine the level of take and whether
such take will be negligible to the stock.
Thus, operations in the Chukchi should
not proceed until additional studies
have been conducted.
Response: Currently, there are
insufficient samples to draw
conclusions about stock structure of
harbor porpoise within Alaska. While
NMFS acknowledges that perhaps
smaller stocks should be recognized in
Alaska, the best science currently
available indicates that Shell’s activities
will potentially impact only small
numbers of harbor porpoise and will not
have a negligible impact on the affected
species or stock. Using the current
estimated stock size for the Bering Sea
stock, only 0.01 percent is estimated to
be taken by harassment. If the number
should be something closer to the low
1,000s (as suggested by AWL), this
would still represent less than 1 percent
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of the stock size. NMFS does not agree
that just because a stock contains fewer
individuals than originally estimated
that it is far less able to tolerate takes
than expected. Dr. Bain does not
provide any scientific evidence for this
statement.
Comment 49: Dr. Bain states that
another point of concern regarding the
harbor porpoise is that NMFS is
reviewing new data on other sources of
takes but will not complete the analysis
until next year (Allen and Angliss, in
prep.). These data are needed to assess
the cumulative effects of the proposed
survey and other factors that impact the
population.
Response: While the draft 2009 SAR
(Allen and Angliss, in prep.) states that
more current data on fishery-related
serious injury and mortality are being
analyzed and will be available for
inclusion in the 2010 SAR, it also states
that in 2001 only one fishery-related
harbor porpoise mortality was recorded
in 2001, and none were recorded for the
period 2002–2006. Although no records
are currently available for 2007–2009,
the estimated level of human-caused
mortality and serious injury is not
known to exceed PBR (Allen and
Angliss, in prep.). NMFS assessed
cumulative impacts to all marine
mammals that may occur in the area of
Shell’s operations in its 2009 EA. Based
on that assessment, NMFS concluded
that issuance of an IHA to Shell to
conduct its open-water marine survey
program in the Chukchi Sea during the
2009/2010 Arctic open-water season
would not produce any significant
cumulative impacts to the human
environment.
Comment 50: NSB notes that more
information is needed regarding use of
the Chukchi Sea and how
environmental changes may affect that
use for bearded and ringed seals.
Response: As required by the MMPA
implementing regulations at 50 CFR
216.102(a), NMFS has used the best
scientific information available in
making its determinations required
under the MMPA. While recent stock
assessments are lacking for several
species of ice seals, for reasons stated
elsewhere in this Federal Register
Notice, no ice seals are expected to be
killed or seriously injured as a result of
Shell’s site clearance and shallow
hazards surveys and the number of
takings by Level B harassment will be
small relative to the best estimate of
population size. Therefore, NMFS has
determined that Shell’s activity would
not result in a decrease in population
sizes of any of the ice seal species. As
a result of our analysis, NMFS believes
that Shell’s proposed site clearance and
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shallow hazard surveys are not expected
to have adverse impacts on ice seals.
Density and Take Estimate Concerns
Several of the comment letters
addressed concerns over the species
densities used by Shell to calculate take
estimates. In general, the commenters
believed that Shell used flawed density
estimates, which then led to incorrect
take estimates. This subsection
addresses those concerns and provides
further explanation beyond the
information and explanations provided
in Shell’s application and the Notice of
Proposed IHA (74 FR 26217, June 1,
2009). Dr. Sue Moore was one of the
independent peer reviewers for Shell’s
4MP. Those comments are addressed in
the ‘‘Monitoring Plan Independent Peer
Review’’ subsection later in this
document. However, Dr. Moore also
provided comments on the density
estimates used by Shell, which are more
appropriately addressed in this
subsection.
Comment 51: NSB states, ‘‘Shell
contends that ‘‘Animal [marine
mammal] densities are generally
expected to be lower in deep water, and
at locations far-offshore’’’ (page 13 in
Shell’s application). Shell does not
provide references to support this
statement. It is possible that the
statement is based on visual surveys in
offshore areas conducted from boats
during the past 3 years. (Shell’s
nearshore surveys were conducted by
plane.) Because of the impact from boat
sounds, including 3D seismic, to marine
mammals and the limited efficacy of
MMOs, it is inappropriate to compare
density estimates from the nearshore
and offshore areas using these two
different methods. Moreover, Shell’s
2008 report on the ‘‘Joint Monitoring
Program’’ showed that in some cases the
number of marine mammal calls
detected was greater in offshore areas
compared to nearshore areas.
Response: The statement is a
generalization across multiple species
and seasons and does not indicate that
it applies for all species (use of the word
‘‘generally’’). Additionally, this
statement was written when the
application was also considering
estimates of marine mammals in the
Beaufort Sea. For example, results
presented in Moore et al. (2000b) for
bowhead and beluga whales during the
summer months in the Beaufort Sea and
to some extent for gray whales in the
Chukchi Sea support this statement, as
well as statements contained in
Bengtson et al. (2005) for ringed and
bearded seals. However, it is possible
that certain species may be encountered
in higher densities in offshore areas.
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The paragraph from which this
statement was taken was merely an
introduction. Species specific
descriptions are contained in the
following pages of the application.
Comment 52: AEWC states that in
assessing the level of take and whether
it is negligible, NMFS relied on flawed
density estimates that call into question
all of NMFS’ preliminary conclusions.
Density data are lacking or outdated for
almost all marine mammals that may be
affected by Shell’s operations in the
Chukchi Sea, especially for the fall. A
few species specific examples are
provided that illustrate NMFS’ failure to
utilize the best available scientific
studies in assessing Shell’s application.
NMFS’ guess at the number of beluga
and bowhead whales in the Chukchi in
the summer relies on a study from
Moore et al. that was published in 2000
based upon information from ‘‘industry
vessels.’’ The estimate is contrary to the
best available scientific information on
beluga whale presence in the Chukchi
in the SAR from 2005. While more
updated information is necessary on
beluga presence in the Chukchi during
the summer, even the SAR demonstrates
the arbitrary nature of NMFS’ density
calculations and the information upon
which these calculations rely. The SAR
for bowhead whales cites to a 2003
study that documented bowheads ‘‘in
the Chukchi and Bering Seas in the
summer’’ that are ‘‘thought to be a part
of the expanding Western Arctic stock’’
(Angliss and Allen, 2009). While a study
published in 2003 still is not a sufficient
basis for a 2009 density analysis, this
study does show that additional
information is available that indicates
that the number of bowhead whales in
the Chukchi may be higher than
estimated by NMFS.
Response: As required by the MMPA
implementing regulations at 50 CFR
216.102(a), NMFS has used the best
scientific information available in
assessing the level of take and whether
it is negligible. The data presented in
Moore et al. (2000b) was not derived
from sightings on industry vessels. The
paper relies on data collected over 10
years (1982–1991) from aerial surveys
offshore of northern Alaska. AEWC does
not provide a citation for the 2005
publication cited in the beluga SAR;
however, NMFS assumes it is Suydam
et al. (2005). This is a more recent paper
that provides information on the
movements of 23 tagged beluga whales
in the Arctic Ocean basin. However,
Suydam et al. (2005) do not provide any
density calculations or information.
Shell did reference this publication in
section 4 of the IHA application when
describing the distribution of beluga
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whales. Therefore, although this
information was not used when deriving
density or take estimates for beluga
whales, this information was considered
by NMFS in making its MMPA findings.
Additionally, the 2003 study noted by
AEWC in the bowhead whale SAR
discusses distribution, not density
(Rugh et al., 2003). This paper is cited
in the distribution discussion of
bowhead whales in the Chukchi in
section 4 of Shell’s application.
However, it is not useful for deriving
density estimates. Therefore, density
estimates for bowhead and beluga
whales using Moore et al. (2000b) are
based on the best available science.
Comment 53: Dr. Moore notes that the
last paragraph on page 25 of Shell’s
application states in part that ‘‘For the
Chukchi Sea, cetacean densities during
the summer (July-August) were
estimated from effort and sightings data
in Moore et al. (2000b).’’ Moore et al.
(2000b) does provide summer Chukchi
transect survey effort and sighting data
(stratified by bathymetry) but only for
gray whales. However, expected
densities are listed for eight cetacean
species. Since data for seven of these
species cannot be referenced to Moore et
al. (2000b), they must be calculated
(somehow) from ‘‘data collected aboard
industry vessels in 2006 and 2007.’’
However, to my knowledge, industry
vessels never conducted surveys in a
manner from which abundance can be
estimated. NSB, AEWC, and Dr. Bain
echo Dr. Moore’s comment about using
data from industry vessels for harbor
porpoise. AEWC also states that the
insufficiency of the harbor porpoise
density estimate is compounded by
NMFS’ decision not to rely on data from
‘‘early autumn months’’ in calculating
the ‘‘fall period’’ density of porpoises
and to use ‘‘minimal values’’ instead,
which is equally arbitrary.
Response: The paragraph noted by the
reviewer is meant to indicate to the
reader the primary sources from which
density information was derived. In the
following paragraphs in the application
(and in the Notice of Proposed IHA),
additional information on the derivation
of summer and fall densities for each
species is provided. As Dr. Moore
suggests, data on the effort and sightings
of gray whales during summer surveys
are reported in Moore et al. (2000b), and
these data were used to estimate their
expected density. Although not reported
in the text or tables in Moore et al.
(2000b), Figure 6 in the article indicates
two on-transect sightings of beluga
whales in the Chukchi Sea in the
summer. These two sightings along with
the survey effort for gray whales were
used to calculate a summer beluga
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whale density estimate for the Chukchi
Sea. As explained in Shell’s application,
this same method was used to calculate
a summer density of bowhead whales by
assuming one sighting had occurred
(although none were actually reported)
during the reported survey effort for
gray whales.
No published densities or data on
survey efforts or sightings were
available for harbor porpoise, but
estimates had been calculated from
industry survey data in 2006 and 2007,
so those densities were used. The
commenter is correct that the industry
vessels did not conduct standard
randomized line-transect surveys while
operating (except for short periods in
2006). However, this information was
considered the best scientific
information available to determine a
density estimate for harbor porpoise in
the Chukchi Sea. As noted in the
subsequent paragraphs in Shell’s
application, density or survey data for
other cetacean species are either not
available or have been reported in such
low numbers that minimal densities
were selected to account for chance
encounters of these species that are less
frequently observed in the area of
Shell’s operations in the Chukchi Sea.
Additionally, for harbor porpoise,
different density estimates were used for
the summer and fall periods (see Tables
6–1 and 6–2 in Shell’s application).
Comment 54: Dr. Moore also notes
that page 25 of Shell’s application also
states, ‘‘Because few data are available
on the densities of marine mammals
other than large cetaceans in the
Chukchi Sea in the fall (Sep-Oct),
density estimates from the summer
period have been adjusted to reflect the
expected ratio of summer-to-fall
densities based on the natural history
characteristics of each species’’
(emphasis added by commenter). Moore
et al. (2000b) provides fall Chukchi data
for bowhead, beluga, and gray whales,
why is this not used? Even if these data
were used, however, there remains the
question of using sightings from
industry vessels to ‘‘calculate densities’’
for five of the eight cetacean species
listed in Table 6–2 of Shell’s
application. The MMC also recommends
that NMFS require Shell to describe in
detail how it adjusted the data in Moore
et al. (2000b) to estimate cetacean
densities in the Chukchi Sea in the fall.
Response: Shell used the data from
Moore et al. (2000b) to calculate
densities for beluga and gray whales
during the fall period in the Chukchi
Sea, which is noted in subsequent
paragraphs in the application. However,
in order to be consistent with methods
used to calculate bowhead densities in
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previous years, Moore et al. (2000b) was
not used, although that data could have
been used. See the response to comment
53 regarding deriving densities from
industry vessels. In the absence of peerreviewed literature, this was the best
information available. Additional
information on the use of correction
factors and calculating density estimates
is provided in the responses to several
of the comments contained in this
subsection of the document.
Comment 55: AEWC states that NMFS
fails to explain how and why it reaches
various conclusions in calculating
marine mammal densities and what the
densities are actually estimated to be
once calculated. One example is NMFS’
reliance on Moore et al. (2000b) in
making its density determinations. This
study documented sightings of marine
mammals but did not estimate the total
number of animals present. NMFS fails
to explain the basis for its ‘‘conversion’’
of data on sightings to its density
conclusions.
Response: All densities used in
calculating estimated take of marine
mammals based on the described
operations are shown in Tables 6–1 and
6–2 of Shell’s application. Moore et al.
(2000b) provides line transect effort and
sightings from aerial surveys for
cetaceans in the Chukchi Sea. The
kilometers of ‘‘on-transect’’ observer
effort and number of sightings were
used in the accepted line-transect
density estimate equation described in
Buckland et al. (2001). Species specific
correction factors for animals that were
not at the surface or that were at the
surface but were not sighted [g(0)] and
animals not sighted due to distance
from the survey trackline [f(0)] used in
the equation were taken from reports or
publications on the same species or
similar species if no values were
available for a given species, that used
the same survey platform. Additional
explanations regarding the calculations
of marine mammal densities are
provided in the responses to other
comments in this subsection of this
document.
Comment 56: NSB indicates that
Shell’s approach to estimating densities
of beluga and bowhead whales is
problematic. Shell uses densities from
aerial surveys, which would be
appropriate if bowheads and belugas
were more or less stationary. In reality,
the entire bowhead population and both
stocks of belugas migrate through the
area Shell proposes for its 2009
exploration activities. Thus, many more
bowheads and belugas may potentially
be taken during Shell’s operations than
what they have estimated. NMFS should
carefully evaluate, and modify as
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55387
appropriate, the approach Shell has
used for estimating takes.
AWL also questions the use of a
‘‘density’’ measure in determining take
in the Chukchi Sea during the bowhead
migration. NMFS has recognized in the
past that using density is inappropriate
for determining bowhead take from
seismic activities in the Beaufort Sea
during the fall. It is not clear on what
basis NMFS abandons an approach that
would estimate migrating whales in the
Chukchi Sea. Using a density
calculation artificially reduces the
number of bowheads that will likely be
impacted from Shell’s surveying and
does not represent the best available
science.
Response: Shell’s density estimates
for bowhead and beluga whales are
based on the best scientific information
available, which is the standard
required by the MMPA implementing
regulations at 50 CFR 216.102(a). The
alternative method referred to by AWL
for estimating take of migrating
bowhead whales was only used for
seismic operations in the Beaufort Sea
(and is described in Shell’s IHA
application in the Beaufort Sea
Estimating Take Section; however, Shell
cancelled the Beaufort Sea activities).
This method has not been applied to
activities in the Chukchi Sea. Because
the migration corridor is narrower and
better defined in the Beaufort Sea than
the Chukchi Sea this method was
deemed appropriate by NMFS for
seismic operations in the Beaufort.
However, the migratory path taken by
bowhead whales once they enter the
Chukchi Sea is not as well understood.
Moreover, the migratory route is not as
narrowly defined in the Chukchi.
Additionally, if these species avoid
areas of active seismic operations at
levels lower than 160 dB re 1 μPa (rms),
as noted by several of the commenters,
then fewer animals will occur in the
area of Shell’s operations. After careful
evaluation of the methods used by Shell
to estimate take, NMFS has determined
that Shell used the best scientific
information available in calculating the
take estimates.
Comment 57: Dr. Bain notes that
when estimating number of takes, it is
important to consider if the individuals
are feeding or migrating. In the case
where there is little natural movement,
the number of individuals in the
ensonified area is an index of the
number of takes. Exposed individuals
can accumulate noise exposure or move
out of the area. Assuming optimal
foraging, displaced individuals will
move to poorer feeding areas or compete
with individuals for food in comparable
habitat. When competition outside the
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ensonified area occurs, the fitness of all
individuals involved will be reduced,
although only those exposed to noise
are typically counted as taken.
Dr. Bain continues that when
individuals are migrating through an
area, new individuals are exposed to
noise as they approach the noise source.
Rather than estimating takes based on
density in the ensonified area, it is more
appropriate to draw a line across the
ensonified area and estimate the number
of individuals that would be expected to
cross that line during the survey. Using
an estimate of bowhead density from
Funk et al. (2006) of 3/100 km2 (3/38.6
mi2) in offshore waters in mid-season
and a 120–dB diameter of 46 km (28.6
mi), Dr. Bain presents take numbers
during the bowhead migration. Taking
into account typical migration speed for
bowhead whales (4.5 km reported in
Koski et al. [2002]), in 24 hours,
approximately 144 whales would either
enter the ensonified area or be deflected
to avoid it. As can be seen, the number
of migrating whales exposed is far
higher than would be the case if the
sound source and whales were
relatively stationary. Although not
meant to be exact, the numbers used
here are well within the range of
possibilities and serve to illustrate that
far more whales might be exposed
during migration than during a feeding
season.
Response: Dr. Bain does not provide
any scientific support for his theory.
The temporary displacement of marine
mammals from foraging habitat is not
expected to affect individual fitness. For
example, apparently, bowhead whales
continued to increase in abundance
during periods of intense seismic in the
Chukchi Sea in the 1980s (Raftery et al.,
1995; Angliss and Allen, 2009), even
without implementation of current
mitigation requirements. NMFS is not
certain what Dr. Bain means by ‘‘an
index of the number of takes.’’
NMFS does not agree with Dr. Bain’s
method for calculating takes of
migrating bowhead whales. First, Dr.
Bain uses the 120–dB level to estimate
the level of take. For impulse sounds,
such as from seismic airguns, NMFS
uses the 160 dB re 1 μPa (rms) threshold
to estimate Level B harassment. NMFS
has responded several times over the
past few years and elsewhere in this
document to the assertion by
commenters that Level B harassment
takes should be estimated at the 120 dB
level and not at the 160 dB level (see
response to comment 25). Because Dr.
Bain used this lower threshold, the take
number presented is much higher than
that generated by NMFS and Shell.
Second, Dr. Bain uses a density estimate
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from Funk et al. (2006), which is based
on industry monitoring. The public has
expressed concern over the use of
density estimates derived from industry
monitoring (see other comments in this
subsection). As explained in the
response to comment 53, NMFS uses
density estimates from peer reviewed
journal articles when they are available.
However, in instances when monitoring
from industry vessels provide the only
information, estimates are derived from
those reports. However, in the case of
bowhead whales, information is
available from non-industry monitoring
studies (e.g., Moore et al. (2000b));
therefore, the estimate provided in Funk
et al. (2006) was not used. Additionally,
Dr. Bain’s calculation assumes that the
whales will continue their entire
migration along the same track as the
seismic vessel. While some bowhead
whales may occur in the action area, the
migration corridor in the Chukchi Sea is
not well defined. One cannot assume
that the entire migration will occur near
Shell’s operations. Lastly, Dr. Bain’s
calculation also asserts that deflection
itself constitutes a take. As explained
elsewhere in this document, a minor
course correction does not constitute a
significant behavioral response rising to
the level of a take. Therefore, NMFS
does not agree that Dr. Bain’s formula
accurately portrays the number of
bowhead whale takes during the fall
migration period through the Chukchi
Sea.
Comment 58: Dr. Bain states that
NMFS modeled takes in the Chukchi in
September based on sightings in the
Beaufort. However, the model is
demonstrably inaccurate based on
existing data from the Chukchi. Further,
NMFS misinterpreted the data that form
the basis of their extrapolation. Dr. Bain
argues that the three reasons provided
by NMFS for believing densities would
be 20 times lower in the survey area
than in the Beaufort in September are
wrong. First, while it may be true to
some degree that the migration corridor
is narrower in the Beaufort, this is
irrelevant. The reported density for the
Beaufort depends on how well the
survey design identifies the corridor
boundary. Regardless of whether the
average density is correctly identified,
the density will vary across the corridor.
That is, when the corridor widens, the
average density will decline, but
concentrations may still occur, as
appears to be the case for the survey
area (see plot in Moore et al. (2000b)).
Second, NMFS maintains that
bowheads are more likely to migrate
non-stop through the Chukchi in
contrast to the Beaufort where they
sometimes linger. As discussed in detail
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in Dr. Bain’s letter (and comment 59),
this will increase rather than decrease
the number of whales taken. Third,
NMFS states that most of the whales
will migrate north of the survey area. To
the contrary, the survey area is in the
center of the migration route. Dr. Bain
cites Quakenbush (2007), which shows
a tagged bowhead whale migrating
through Shell’s survey area, and Moore
et al. (2000b), which plotted bowhead
sightings the same distance offshore as
the survey area, not north of it. Finally,
Funk et al. (2006) found many
bowheads nearshore, not north of the
survey area as anticipated by NMFS.
AWL states even accepting a density
approach for the fall, we do not believe
that the 95% discount applied by NMFS
is appropriate. NMFS’ .05 ‘‘correction
factor’’ rests on the three points raised
by Dr. Bain in this comment. AWL
states that as discussed by Dr. Bain,
these assertions do not justify such a
severe reduction.
Response: Although it would be
preferable to estimate takes of marine
mammals migrating through the
Chukchi Sea using detailed data on
migration location, timing, and rates, as
exist for bowhead whales in the
Beaufort Sea, no such data exist for any
species in the Chukchi Sea. Applying
data from the Beaufort Sea without
adjustment to the Chukchi Sea, as
suggested by the commenter, is also
demonstrably inaccurate based on the
evidence provided. Because specific
migration data are lacking, the more
common approach of using expected
marine mammal densities to estimate
takes in the Chukchi Sea was used.
However, even basic density
information on many species present in
the Chukchi Sea during the open-water
season are not available in the
published literature.
In the case of bowhead whales, the
most well documented density
estimates, including f(0) and g(0)
correction factors, are given in
Richardson and Thomson (2002) for the
Beaufort Sea, so this density was chosen
as the starting point for estimating an
expected density in the Chukchi Sea.
The bowhead migration through the
Chukchi Sea has been thought to
bifurcate after passing Point Barrow.
Recent data from the Alaska Department
of Fish and Game (ADF&G 2009), which
provides updated information of the
tagging studies presented in
Quakenbush (2007), suggest that a
majority of bowheads travel through the
northern Chukchi Sea to the Russian
coast during the fall migration
(approximately 90 percent) while a
small number may travel southeast
along the U.S. Chukchi Sea coast
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(approximately 10 percent). Many of the
animals traveling through the northern
Chukchi Sea to the Russian coast
appeared to travel north of Shell’s
Burger and Crackerjack prospects (the
location for the 2009 site clearance and
shallow hazards surveys). Although the
sample size in the Beaufort Sea is
somewhat smaller, the geographic
distribution of migration paths through
the Beaufort Sea does appear more
restricted than through the northern
Chukchi Sea (Quakenbush 2007;
ADF&G 2009). Bowhead whale feeding
areas have not been identified in or near
lease holdings in the Chukchi Sea, so
whales are not likely to concentrate at
densities as high as those encountered
by Richardson and Thomson (2002) in
the Beaufort Sea, supporting a further
reduction in the density used in the
Chukchi Sea. These factors lead to the
selection of a density that was 5 percent
of the density reported by Richardson
and Thomson (2002).
Comment 59: AWL states that equally
important is the lack of reasoning to
support the final result. Although NMFS
has provided some information as to
why it applied a discount factor, it has
not explained how it arrived at the
precise figure. While some adjustment
may be appropriate, NMFS does not
include adequate information to
demonstrate the basis for determining
that such a sharp reduction is required.
At a minimum, NMFS must reveal how
it developed its calculations.
Dr. Bain also notes that it is unclear
how corrections were made, as the
application indicated species specific
values for g(0) and f(0) were used.
However, these values are dependent on
the species and the observation platform
used and sighting conditions involved,
not just the species. While no on-effort
sightings during surveys were reported
for some species, the probability of
detecting any individuals given the
effort level and assumed density was
not reported.
Response: See response to comment
58, which explains how NMFS arrived
at a specific discount factor for bowhead
whales in the Chukchi Sea. As noted in
Shell’s application, when densities were
provided in publications the g(0) and
f(0) correction factors used in density
calculations were developed or applied
by the original authors in the
appropriate manner given the survey
platform and conditions. Otherwise, g(0)
and f(0) correction factors developed for
the same type of survey platform and
during on-effort (i.e., good sighting
conditions) were used on survey data
for which densities had not been
explicitly calculated.
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Comment 60: Dr. Bain states that
while the mean density may be used in
some cases to calculate a best estimate
of take, maximum estimates should be
considered as well to ensure worst case
scenarios do not pose an unacceptable
threat to a population.
Response: When evaluating the take
estimates presented in Shell’s IHA
application, NMFS took into
consideration both the average and
maximum estimates. However, as
explained in the Notice of Proposed IHA
(74 FR 26217, June 1, 2009), since Shell
did not provide a rationale regarding the
maximum estimate, NMFS decided that
the average density data of marine
mammal populations would be used to
calculate estimated take numbers
because these numbers are based on
surveys and monitoring of marine
mammals in the vicinity of the proposed
project area. NMFS only used the
‘‘maximum’’ estimates for marine
mammal species that are considered
rare in the project area and for which
little to no density information exists
(i.e., killer, fin, humpback, and minke
whales and ringed seals) in order to
account for some possibility of these
species possibly being taken by Shell’s
activities. Additionally, using maximum
density estimates is problematic as it
tends to inflate harassment take
estimates to an unreasonably high
number and is not based on empirical
science.
Comment 61: Dr. Bain states that
since the assumptions upon which
NMFS based its model are faulty, one
would expect available data to
contradict the model, and this is, in fact,
the case. He notes that Funk et al.
(2006), using more recent data from the
Chukchi than the data in Richardson
and Thomson (2002) from the Beaufort
Sea used by NMFS, found mid-season
offshore densities to be 0.03156/km2,
meaning that NMFS’ model
underestimates density by a factor of
almost 30 for the latter part of the
survey season. Additionally, Dr. Bain
notes that the model used to calculate
August densities works a little bit better
than the September model, as the early
season densities observed by Funk et al.
(2006) were about 7.5 times higher than
predicted by NMFS, using data from
Moore et al. (2000b). Even if NMFS
concluded estimating abundance from
missed sightings rather than existing
sighting data were the best approach,
the assumption of one missed sighting
is the wrong methodology. Rather,
NMFS should identify the lowest
density which would result in a small
probability that all whales would be
missed (scientists typically use 0.05,
0.01, or 0.001 as the definition of a
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55389
‘‘small probability’’). In summary, the
models used for estimating bowhead
density are based on faulty assumptions
and underestimate bowhead density by
an order of magnitude.
Response: Dr. Bain relies on Funk et
al. (2006) for validating the applicability
of bowhead density estimates derived
from Moore et al. (2000b) and
Richardson and Thomson (2002).
However, the density estimates in Funk
et al. (2006) were calculated from data
collected aboard industry vessels during
routine operations, not while
conducting line-transect surveys and
therefore serve as a very poor
comparison to data reported by
Richardson and Thomson (2002) and
Moore et al. (2000b) collected from
aircraft flying line-transect surveys.
Routine industry vessel operations are
often conducted in one or more highly
localized areas, creating spatial and
temporal auto-correlation that likely
artificially inflate density estimates
calculated from the data. As yet, there
are no known or accepted methods to
account for these types of autocorrelation in non-randomized survey
data.
Dr. Bain also appears to have
misunderstood how a ‘‘missed’’ sighting
was used to calculate the Chukchi Sea
bowhead density estimate. Dr. Bain fails
to understand that there were zero
reported sightings (i.e., there were no
‘‘existing sighting data’’ to use, as
suggested by the commenter), and,
therefore, the assumption that there had
been one sighting is, in effect,
calculating the lowest density which
would result in zero sightings. Because
the calculation of bowhead density
assuming this hypothetical sighting
included the g(0) correction factor,
animals ‘‘missed’’ by observers, for the
various reasons described by Dr. Bain,
were taken into account.
Comment 62: NSB quotes a statement
from page 29 of Shell’s application:
‘‘Small numbers of minke and
humpback whales were observed during
industry activities in 2006 and 2007’’
(Ireland et al., 2008). NSB notes that if
these animals were expected to flee
from the industry operations/
disturbance, then the numbers of
animals actually seen would likely be a
gross underestimate.
Response: The sightings of minke and
humpback whales that were reported in
Ireland et al. (2008) occurred during
non-seismic periods (i.e., no airguns
firing). Therefore, fleeing would not be
expected at those times.
Comment 63: Dr. Moore and NSB note
that Shell used Bengtson et al. (2005) to
estimate pinniped densities; however,
this paper only provides information for
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springtime estimates of bearded and
ringed seals. NSB notes that it is very
likely that estimates of seals during
open-water periods are much different
than spring surveys, and Shell should
be required to conduct surveys to
appropriately estimate densities of these
two seal species that are being
considered for listing. Additionally,
Shell states that it uses shipboard
estimates of some marine mammals to
estimate densities for estimating takes in
the Chukchi Sea, which is inappropriate
because it will underestimate densities.
A cursory comparison of Shell’s density
estimate from shipboard and aerial
surveys reveals that shipboard estimates
are biased low; therefore, take estimates
will be biased low for any time that
density estimates from ships are used.
NSB also believes that the method used
to calculate density estimates for ribbon
seals is entirely inappropriate and
unacceptable. Dr. Moore asks, ‘‘how is
it that expected densities are listed for
ribbon and spotted seals in Tables 6–1
and 6–2?’’
Response: NMFS agrees that densities
may be different for ringed and bearded
seals during the open-water period than
during the spring ice-covered season
reported in Bengtson et al. (2005).
However, estimates for the open-water
period are expected to be lower than
those reported in the springtime because
animals will no longer be concentrated
during pupping/breeding season near
ice cracks or leads. As mentioned later
in the application, densities of seals
calculated from industry vessel data
were indeed lower than those reported
by Bengtson et al. (2005). The data were
provided merely for comparison
purposes within the text. However, the
higher densities reported by Bengtson et
al. (2005) were used to calculate the take
estimates. Additionally, as described
later in the application, very little
information exists on spotted seal
densities in the offshore areas of the
Chukchi Sea. Therefore, spotted seal
densities were estimated by multiplying
the bearded seal density provided in
Bengtson et al. (2005) by 0.2, based on
the ratio of abundance estimates of
spotted seal to bearded seal. Ribbon
seals have been reported in very small
numbers within the Chukchi Sea by
observers on industry vessels (Ireland et
al., 2007a; Patterson et al., 2007) so
minimal values have been used for
expected densities to account for chance
encounters of this species during Shell’s
operations. The use of minimal values
for ribbon seal density estimates is
appropriate and actually provides an
overestimate of the likelihood of
encountering a ribbon seal during
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Shell’s surveys. Using actual densities
of ribbon seals in the project area would
result in an estimate of less than one
seal being encountered. NMFS has
determined that the best scientific
information available on the four
pinniped species that may occur in the
project area was used to calculate
density and take estimates.
Comment 64: Page 35 of Shell’s
application states: ‘‘Under this
assumption, densities of marine
mammals expected to be observed in or
near ice margin areas have been applied
to 10% of the proposed survey
trackline.’’ NSB requests more
information on how these estimates
were developed.
Response: Survey operations require
towing equipment in the water, making
it susceptible to damage or loss in the
presence of ice. Therefore, survey
activities will not occur within pack-ice,
and only a small amount of surveying
may occur within the vicinity of ice.
Densities of some marine mammal
species that may occur in the project
area are expected to be higher in or near
sea ice. In order to avoid
underestimating the potential number of
takes by harassment if surveying occurs
near ice for a short period of time, a
small portion (10 percent) of the survey
trackline was applied to these densities.
Comment 65: NSB states that Shell
must use the 120–dB isopleth for
estimating the number of bowheads that
might be taken by harassment, not the
160–dB isopleth because of the
sensitivity of migrating bowheads to
anthropogenic sound. Additionally,
allowance for migration of the other
marine mammal species is needed. Dr.
Bain also states that increased takes due
to migration of beluga whales should
have been taken into account.
Response: See responses to comments
27 and 31 in this document. Based on
the information provided in those
responses, NMFS continues to support
the use of the 160–dB threshold to
estimate take by Level B harassment
from impulse sounds, such as seismic
airguns.
Comment 66: The AEWC states that
ringed seals provide another prime
example of NMFS’ reliance on industry
operations for information on the
species (see 74 FR 26224, June 1, 2009).
Again, the industry operations obtained
far lower numbers than the scientific
studies of ringed seals.
Response: The commenter has
misunderstood the inclusion of the
density estimates obtained from
industry operations in the Notice of
Proposed IHA and Shell’s application
for ringed seals. The values were given
in the text merely for purposes of
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comparison. As stated elsewhere in the
application and Notice of Proposed IHA,
the values used to calculate ringed seal
densities were derived from Bengtson et
al. (2005), which are higher than the
values obtained from industry
operations.
Comment 67: NSB notes that Shell
provides a take estimate of 283 bowhead
whales in the IHA application. NSB
states that this would assume that
Shell’s MMOs would need to visualize
283 bowhead whales in the 160–dB
isopleth. Such numbers of whales have
not been seen in the past.
Response: First, this number was the
combined estimate for surveys that were
originally proposed to be conducted in
the Beaufort Sea and for operations
proposed in the Chukchi Sea. The
Beaufort Sea operations were cancelled
by Shell and were not analyzed or
authorized by NMFS. The average and
maximum take estimates for bowheads
in the Chukchi Sea are much lower (one
and five, respectively). Additionally,
NSB has misunderstood the original
calculation of 283 whales and the
method by which post-season take
estimates are calculated. The calculation
of 283 whales includes corrections for
animals that would not be observed by
MMOs on the vessels either because the
animals were underwater or because
detection is more difficult the farther
the animals are from the vessel. These
same corrections are applied when
estimating post-season take numbers.
However, based on the small size of the
160–dB radius for Shell’s Chukchi Sea
operations (1,400 m [0.87 mi]), it is
anticipated that MMOs will be able to
better monitor the zone than when
monitoring aboard vessels using large
airgun arrays.
Comment 68: NSB notes that Shell
states in its application that ‘‘the
number of migrating bowhead whales
exposed to sounds ≥120 dB by the
proposed surveys would be 8.5x the
number estimated at ≥160 dB.’’ Actual
numbers should be included. By our
calculation, this is 2,405 whales, almost
a fifth of the Bering-Chukchi-Beaufort
Sea stock of bowhead whales, exposed
at 120 dB. Harassment of this many
whales in this stock should not be
permissible.
Response: This statement was meant
to indicate how many bowhead whales
could potentially be exposed to sounds
at the 120 dB level. However, as
discussed elsewhere in this document,
NMFS does not consider exposure to
impulse sound at 120 dB to constitute
a take. Additionally, as explained in the
response to comment 67, the take
estimate of 283 whales was when all
operations were still planned to occur.
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Comment 69: AEWC is opposed to
NMFS using ‘‘survey data’’ gathered by
industry while engaging in oil and gas
related activities and efforts to
document their take of marine
mammals. NMFS’ methodologies are not
adequate for assessing the density or
presence of marine mammals that
typically avoid such operations. Thus, it
is completely arbitrary to rely on data
collected from the very vessels that
marine mammals avoid in making
density arguments, and it is not
surprising that such industry
information consistently reports lower
numbers for this reason. For these
reasons, NMFS cannot rely on such
industry information in calculating the
density of marine mammals or
determining whether certain species are
present in the area without running
afoul of the law.
Response: See the response to
comment 53. In making its
determinations, NMFS uses the best
scientific information available, as
required by the MMPA implementing
regulations. For some species, density
estimates from sightings surveys, as well
as from ‘‘industry surveys’’, were
provided in the text of Shell’s
application and the Notice of Proposed
IHA for purposes of comparison.
However, where information was
available from sightings surveys (e.g.,
Moore et al., 2000b, Bengtson et al.,
2005), those estimates were used to
calculate take. Data collected on
industry vessels were only used when
no other information was available.
Additionally, while some Arctic marine
mammal species have shown fleeing
responses to seismic airguns, data is
also collected on these vessels during
periods when no active seismic data
collection is occurring.
Comment 70: AEWC states that as a
general matter, when it comes to NMFS
assessing the various stocks of marine
mammals under the MMPA, it cannot
use out-dated data i.e., ‘‘abundance
estimates older than 8 years’’ because of
the ‘‘decline in confidence in the
reliability of an aged abundance
estimate’’ (Angliss and Allen, 2009) and
the agency is thus unable to reach
certain conclusions. Similarly, here,
where data are out-dated or nonexistent, NMFS should decide it cannot
reach the necessary determinations.
These flaws in NMFS’ analysis render
the agency’s preliminary determinations
about the level of harassment and
negligible impacts completely arbitrary.
Response: The statements quoted by
AEWC from Angliss and Allen (2009)
are contained in species SARs where
abundance estimates are older than 8
years. However, the full statement reads
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as follows: ‘‘However, the 2005
revisions to the SAR guidelines (NMFS,
2005) state that abundance estimates
older than 8 years should not be used
to calculate PBR due to a decline in
confidence in the reliability of an aged
abundance estimate.’’ Shell’s activities
are not anticipated to remove any
individuals from the stock or
population. Therefore, a recent estimate
of PBR is not needed for NMFS to make
the necessary findings under Section
101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA. Additionally,
Shell’s application provides information
(including data limitations) and
references for its estimates of marine
mammal abundance. Because AEWC
has not provided information contrary
to the data provided by Shell, and
NMFS does not have information that
these estimates are not reliable, NMFS
considers these data to be the best
available.
Comment 71: The MMC notes that
Shell will base estimates of the
minimum number of marine mammals
taken by harassment on the numbers of
animals directly seen within the
relevant safety radii by observers on the
vessel during survey activities. The
MMC is concerned that this method of
estimation may be misleading because
(1) the minimum estimate will depend
on the portion of time observers are on
duty (e.g., operations or observations at
night may not be included), (2) it does
not account for observer sighting
proficiency (e.g., the ability to sight
cetaceans versus pinnipeds), and (3) it
does not account for behavioral
responses of animals outside the socalled safety zones. Shell’s maximum
take estimate is likewise problematic
because it fails to take into account the
movement patterns of these species,
which could greatly bias the maximum
estimates of take by harassment. Absent
reasonable corrections for these factors,
the minimum and maximum estimates
may be potentially useless or
misleading, with potentially adverse
consequences. The MMC therefore
recommends that NMFS require Shell
and other applicants to develop and
implement a biologically realistic study
design for estimating take levels. Dr.
Tim Ragen, one of the independent peer
reviewers of Shell’s 4MP, expressed
similar concerns. [Dr. Ragen’s comments
specific to the contents of the 4MP are
addressed later in this document in the
‘‘Monitoring Plan Independent Peer
Review’’ subsection.]
Response: In order to account for the
concerns expressed by the MMC, Shell
provides take estimates in the 90–day
report based on several methods of
calculation: a minimum; a potential
maximum; and a mid-level estimate.
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NMFS agrees that all observations are a
function of observer effort. The
minimum effort is exactly that, a
minimum. It is how many animals were
actually seen within the specified sound
radius (e.g., 160–dB isopleth). NMFS
does not assume that the minimum
estimate is anything more than what
was seen or that this number is the
actual number taken. It is not possible
to provide a ‘‘correction factor’’ for the
minimum take estimate, as it represents
the number of animals sighted by the
MMOs within a given radius.
A mid-level estimate is made
comparing the densities of animals
collected during seismic and nonseismic periods. NMFS and Shell
recognize that various factors, including
those mentioned above create potential
variation in these numbers. The third
estimate is based on densities reported
in the literature during periods when no
seismic operations are occurring. Shell
uses the numbers that are considered to
be the best estimate of density for the
area of operations. Depending upon
when the densities are measured and
when the seismic shoot occurred, such
densities may overestimate the number
of ‘‘takes,’’ but these are reported as
potential maximum levels of ‘‘take’’
assuming that there was no avoidance of
the operational area. (However, based
on information provided elsewhere in
this document, several species, such as
bowhead and beluga whales have
shown avoidance behavior to airguns.)
The actual number of takes most likely
lies somewhere between the mid-level
estimate and the potential maximum
estimate. Calculation methods are
described in detail in the 90–day reports
submitted by Shell for operations
conducted in 2006, 2007, and 2008
(Patterson et al., 2007; Funk et al., 2008;
Ireland et al., 2009).
Comment 72: Dr. Bain indicates that
NMFS failed to consider the increases in
takes of bowhead and beluga whales if
there are delays in the work, resulting
in its completion at the end of the
period covered by the application (end
of October) rather than at the time given
for the best case scenario (late
September).
Response: If Shell encounters several
delays in August or September, then
animals would not be taken because no
active data acquisition would be
occurring. Those takes would then
potentially occur in October. However,
based on the migration patterns for
these two species, the density estimates
would be nearly the same in early to
mid-October as late September (i.e., the
beginning of the migratory period).
Therefore, these higher densities have
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already been taken into account when
estimating the level of take.
Comment 73: AEWC states that NMFS
failed to account for the impacts from
the strudel scour surveys in the spring
of 2010, proposing only summer and fall
density estimates. These practices have
resulted in entirely arbitrary
calculations of the level of take of
marine mammals and whether such
takes constitute ‘‘small numbers’’ or a
‘‘negligible impact’’ as a result of Shell’s
proposal.
Response: See response to comment 8.
NMFS has determined that marine
mammals will not have a significant
behavioral response (i.e., a ‘‘take’’) to
the strudel scour surveys. Therefore,
neither Shell’s application nor the
Notice of Proposed IHA provide any
take estimates for the strudel scour
survey. However, Shell needs to
coordinate these activities with the
Native Alaskan communities to ensure
that there is no unmitigable adverse
impact to subsistence hunts.
Habitat Concerns
Comment 74: NSB notes that Shell’s
application states, ‘‘...concluded that
mortality rates caused by exposure to
sounds are so low compared to natural
mortality that issues relating to stock
recruitment should be regarded as
insignificant.’’ NSB asks, ‘‘What about
these effects in addition to natural
mortality?’’
Response: The potential for Shell’s
activities to affect ecosystem features
and biodiversity components, including
fish and invertebrates, is analyzed in
NMFS’ EA for this action. Shell’s
activities would impact less than 0.1
percent of available food resources,
which would have little, if any, effect on
a marine mammal’s ability to forage
successfully. Fish would need to be in
very close proximity to the airguns in
order to incur mortality. Based on the
small scale of effects anticipated on fish,
fish eggs, and larvae from the airgun
activity, these mortalities are not
expected to cumulatively cause
significant impacts when added to the
natural mortality rates.
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Subsistence Use Concerns
Comment 75: The MMC recommends
that issuance of the IHA be contingent
upon NMFS establishing specific
mitigation measures for bowhead and
beluga whales that will ensure that the
proposed activities do not affect the
subject species in ways that will make
them less available to subsistence
hunters. Such measures should reflect
the provisions of any CAA, as well as
meet the requirements of the MMPA.
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Response: NMFS has required Shell,
through the IHA, to implement
mitigation measures for conducting
seismic surveys that are designed to
avoid, to the greatest extent practicable,
impacts on coastal marine mammals
and thereby, meet the needs of those
subsistence communities that depend
upon these mammals for sustenance and
cultural cohesiveness. For the 2009
season, several of these mitigation
measures were taken from the 2009
CAA signed by Shell on June 24, 2009,
and include coastal stand-off distances
for seismic and vessel transiting
activities; a coastal community
communication station; and emergency
assistance to whalers, among other
measures.
Comment 76: NSB and AEWC state
that the MMPA requires NMFS to find
that the specified activities covered by
an IHA ‘‘will not have an unmitigable
adverse impact on the availability of
[marine mammal populations] for taking
for subsistence uses ‘‘ (16 U.S.C.
1371(a)(5)(D)(i)(II)). For the reasons
presented herein, such a conclusion
cannot be adequately supported. First,
in order for impacts to be mitigated, the
measures must be ‘‘successfully
implemented’’ (50 CFR 216.104(c))
(emphasis added). Thus, Shell cannot
on the one hand rely on mitigation to
claim its activities will not adversely
impact subsistence use but on the other
hand fail to commit to mitigating the
impacts of its action or ensuring the
public has the opportunity to comment
on the mitigation measures. For
example, Shell acknowledges that there
‘‘could be an adverse impact on the
Inupiat bowhead subsistence hunt’’ but
claims the impact ‘‘is mitigated’’ despite
the fact the mitigation measures upon
which Shell relies, such as the POC,
have yet to even be established, and
Shell makes no definitive commitment
to measures to avoid conflicts.
Second, the dates and durations of
Shell’s activities are stated in
amorphous terms, making it impossible
for NMFS to assess whether Shell’s
activities will interfere with subsistence
hunting, migration, or feeding of marine
mammals. Without this detailed
information, NMFS is making arbitrary
determinations about the actual impacts
of Shell’s activities on subsistence uses
in the Chukchi Sea.
Response: The MMPA does not
prohibit an activity from having an
adverse impact on the availability of
marine mammals for subsistence uses;
rather, the MMPA requires NMFS to
ensure the activity does not have an
unmitigable adverse impact on the
availability of such species or stocks for
taking for subsistence uses. NMFS has
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defined ‘‘unmitigable adverse impact’’
in 50 CFR 216.103 as an impact
resulting from the specified activity: (1)
that is likely to reduce the availability
of the species to a level insufficient for
a harvest to meet subsistence needs by:
(i) causing the marine mammals to
abandon or avoid hunting areas; (ii)
directly displacing subsistence users; or
(iii) placing physical barriers between
the marine mammals and the
subsistence hunters; and (2) that cannot
be sufficiently mitigated by other
measures to increase the availability of
marine mammals to allow subsistence
needs to be met.
Shell signed the 2009 CAA on June
24, 2009. As mentioned in the response
to comment 75, NMFS included
measures from the 2009 CAA related to
marine mammals and avoiding conflicts
with subsistence hunts in the IHA.
Additionally, NMFS, other government
agencies, and affected stakeholder
agencies and communities were
provided a copy of the draft POC in May
2009, which outlined measures Shell
would implement to ensure no
unmitigable adverse impact to
subsistence uses. The POC specifies
times and areas to avoid in order to
minimize possible conflicts with
traditional subsistence hunts by North
Slope villages for transit and open-water
activities. Shell waited to begin
activities until the close of the spring
beluga hunt in the village of Point Lay.
NMFS also considered the fact that
Shell’s activities will occur more than
113 km (70 mi) offshore. Hunters
typically do not travel this far to collect
animals. Based on the measures
contained in the IHA (and described
later in this document), NMFS has
determined that mitigation measures are
in place to ensure that Shell’s
operations do not have an unmitigable
adverse impact on the availability of
marine mammal species or stocks for
subsistence uses.
Comment 77: NSB and AWL state that
Shell’s discussion of the impacts to
subsistence use is far too limited in
scope. Shell looks only at the direct
impacts from its activities on active
scouting and whaling but does nothing
to quantify the overall impacts to
subsistence users from on-going oil and
gas activities throughout the whales’
migration routes in the Beaufort and
Chukchi Seas and beyond. AWL also
states that NMFS must also evaluate the
following: the susceptibility of bowhead
and beluga whales to disturbance from
levels of noise below 160 dB; the
potential impacts of future activities in
both oceans; the acknowledged
uncertainty regarding the effects of
seismic activity; and the lack of baseline
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biological data for the Chukchi Sea. For
these reasons, NMFS has not adequately
supported its MMPA finding as to
subsistence resources (see 50 CFR
216.104(c)) (best available science
standard for subsistence finding).
Response: NMFS analyzed the
impacts from these additional activities
in the cumulative impacts analysis
section in the EA for this action. MMS’
2006 Final PEA also contains a full
cumulative impacts analysis, which was
incorporated into NMFS’ 2009 EA by
reference. NMFS has responded to the
other issues raised by AWL elsewhere in
this document. Based on the responses
and reasoning provided throughout this
document, NMFS has determined that
its MMPA finding as to subsistence
resources is adequately supported.
Comment 78: NSB states that the
MMPA authorizes NMFS to issue a take
authorization only if it first finds that
there will be adequate monitoring of
such taking and that all methods and
means of ensuring the least practicable
impact have been adopted (16 U.S.C.
1371(a)(5)(D)(ii)(I)). Shell’s proposed
monitoring and mitigation measures are
insufficient to protect against adverse
impacts on the availability of the
species or stock for subsistence uses.
Thus, NMFS should not issue an IHA
for the proposed activities until
adequate monitoring and mitigation
techniques for avoiding adverse impacts
to the marine mammals and subsistence
hunting are developed.
Response: First, the section of the
statute the discussion the requirement
for monitoring measures is 16 U.S.C.
1371(a)(5)(D)(ii)(III), not 16 U.S.C.
1371(a)(5)(D)(ii)(I) as cited by the
commenter. Second, NMFS has
included measures from the 2009 CAA
in Shell’s IHA. Measures include: (1)
avoiding groups or concentrations of
whales; (2) reducing vessel speed when
within 300 yards of whales and taking
care not to separate members of a group
from other members; (3) participating in
Communication Centers; (4) planning
vessel routes to minimize any potential
conflict with subsistence whaling and
sealing activities; (5) transiting at least
five miles offshore; (6) conducting
seismic operations at least 60 miles from
shore; (7) providing emergency
assistance to whalers; and (8)
conducting a post-season review with
the communities. Additionally, the
following factors (1) Shell’s activities
will occur more than 113 km (70 mi)
offshore where little to no subsistence
hunting occurs, (2) activities will not
commence before the end of the spring
beluga hunt in Point Lay, and, (3) the
location of the operational area is 225
km (140 mi) west of Barrow, so whales
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will reach Barrow for the fall hunt
before being exposed to sounds from the
airguns will also ensure no unmitigable
adverse impact to subsistence uses in
the Chukchi Sea. Therefore, NMFS has
determined that the monitoring and
mitigation measures required to be
implemented by Shell are adequate to
ensure no unmitigable adverse impact to
subsistence uses.
Comment 79: NSB notes that Shell
states in its application that it will work
with the communities to ‘‘eliminate
disturbance to subsistence whaling
activities in the Beaufort and Chukchi
Seas.’’ Shell needs to provide the details
of how it intends to ‘‘eliminate
disturbance.’’ Shell has expressed
increasing unwillingness to sign a CAA
with AEWC to protect subsistence
hunting of bowheads. If Shell is
planning on only using POCs,
developed in village meetings that are
often poorly attended and without
dialogue about details of mitigation
measures, then Shell must provide
details of the plans to ‘‘eliminate
disturbance.’’ Additionally, details are
needed about how Shell will avoid
impacts to hunting of other marine
mammals, especially belugas and
walrus. NSB also states, ‘‘If NMFS is
going to rely on a POC so there are no
unmitigable adverse impacts to
subsistence hunting of marine
mammals, there must be some process
by which the communities can formally
agree and accept the POC.’’ They note
that the CAA has worked well over the
past 15 years in part because all parties
agree to mitigation measures.
Response: It should be understood
that the POC is required by NMFS’
implementing regulations to be
submitted as part of the industry’s IHA
application; so it is logical that NMFS’
MMPA determinations would be made
after submission of the POC. The POC
is required by NMFS regulations in
order to bring industry and the village
residents together to discuss planned
offshore activities and to identify
potential problems. To be effective,
NMFS and Shell believe the POC must
be a dynamic document, which will
expand to incorporate the
communications and consultation that
will continue to occur throughout 2009.
Outcomes of POC meetings are included
in updates attached to the POC and
distributed to Federal, state, and local
agencies, as well as local stakeholder
groups.
In its Interim Rule for Arctic
Activities (61 FR 1588, April 10, 1996),
NMFS clarified that if either a POC or
information required by 50 CFR
216.104(a)(12) is not submitted, and, if
during the comment period, evidence is
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provided indicating that an adverse
impact to subsistence needs will result
from the activity, an authorization may
be delayed in order to resolve this
disagreement. The requirements for
meeting this requirement are clearly
stated in 50 CFR 216.104(12).
In any event, Shell signed a CAA in
June 2009, which contains measures
agreed to by the parties. Many of these
subsistence-related measures (as they
pertain to marine mammals and the
related subsistence harvests) have been
included in the IHA and are
enforceable.
Information on how Shell will avoid
impacts to subsistence hunts of beluga
whales in the Chukchi Sea have been
discussed elsewhere in this document.
The walrus is managed by the U.S. Fish
and Wildlife Service (USFWS), and as
such, NMFS does not have jurisdiction
over this species.
Comment 80: NSB states that transit
of Shell’s vessels should not occur
before July 15 instead of the stated date
of July 1. The villages of Point Lay and
Wainwright hunt beluga whales during
late June or July (or sometimes early
August). Transiting vessels through the
Chukchi Sea might cause belugas to
avoid their traditional congregation
areas nearshore and thus impact
subsistence hunting.
Response: Shell’s policy has been to
communicate with the villages of Point
Lay and Wainwright during the spring
hunting period in order to ensure that
vessel transits will not interfere with the
spring beluga hunt. Shell will wait until
the completion of the spring hunt before
transiting through the Chukchi Sea.
Mitigation and Monitoring Concerns
Comment 81: The MMC notes that
NMFS is proposing to include in the
IHA the additional mitigation and
monitoring measures that were included
in IHAs issued to Shell in 2006, 2007,
and 2008. The MMC supports these
proposed mitigation and monitoring
measures and recommends that they be
incorporated in the IHA, if issued.
Response: NMFS has included the
mitigation and monitoring measures
described in the Notice of Proposed IHA
(74 FR 26217, June 1, 2009) in the
issued IHA. However, for reasons
described elsewhere in this document,
NMFS has not required a 120–dB
shutdown zone for activities in the
Chukchi Sea.
Comment 82: NSB notes that it
appears Shell wants to survey in areas
other than Burger. If this is the case,
NMFS needs to require additional and
appropriate monitoring.
Response: The monitoring measures
contained in the IHA are required at all
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site clearance and shallow hazards
surveying sites, not just Burger.
Therefore, if Shell conducts surveying
activities at Crackerjack or SW Shoebill,
the same monitoring measures required
at Burger will be undertaken at
Crackerjack and SW Shoebill.
Comment 83: AWL states that NMFS
has proposed an exclusion zone for 12
or more gray or bowhead whales within
the 160–dB zone, extending 1,400 m
(0.87 mi) from the seismic vessel. AWL
and Dr. Bain note that there are serious
concerns with the efficacy of mitigation
measures such as exclusion zones,
particularly when visibility is poor to
non-existent. AWL also states that
NMFS has not indicated that it will
require a fixed number of MMOs to be
on duty, and Shell states that the
number of MMOs during any period
depends on multiple factors, including
berthing availability and lifeboat space.
If Shell ultimately relies on single
observers located on the source vessel
only, monitoring the full 1,400 m (0.87
mi) radius for aggregations of whales
will present a considerable challenge.
NSB also notes the inadequacies of
MMOs to monitor the 160- and 120–dB
isopleths. Therefore, MMOs will not
provide a reasonable measure of how
many marine mammals are exposed to
sounds produced by site clearance and
shallow hazards surveys. Additional
monitoring approaches, such as
intensive acoustic arrays, chase vessels,
or aerial surveys are needed. NSB also
states that Shell is intending to conduct
intensive acoustic monitoring near the
Burger and Klondike prospects. This
will be useful for measuring takes of
marine mammals and examining
behavioral responses to site clearance
and shallow hazards surveys. Other
areas that Shell intends to explore with
airguns should also be monitored with
intensive acoustic arrays or with
another suitable monitoring technique,
such as aerial surveys. Detailed
monitoring of marine mammal behavior
and density is needed.
Response: The seismic vessels will be
traveling at speeds of about 1–5 knots
(1.9–9.3 km/hr). With a 180–dB safety
range of 160 m (525 ft) and a 160–dB
safety range of 1,400 m (0.87 mi), a
vessel will have moved out of the
applicable safety zone within a few
minutes. As a result, during underway
seismic operations, MMOs are
instructed to concentrate on the area
ahead of the vessel, not behind the
vessel where marine mammals would
need to be voluntarily swimming
towards the vessel to enter the 180– or
160–dB zones. In fact, in some of NMFS’
IHAs issued for scientific seismic
operations, shutdown is not required for
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marine mammals that approach the
vessel from the side or stern in order to
ride the bow wave or rub on the seismic
streamers deployed from the stern (and
near the airgun array) as some scientists
consider this a voluntary action on the
part of an animal that is not being
harassed or injured by seismic noise.
While NMFS concurs that shutdowns
are not likely warranted for these
voluntary approaches, in the Arctic
Ocean, all seismic surveys are shutdown
or powered down for all marine
mammal close approaches. Also, in all
seismic IHAs, including Shell’s IHA,
NMFS requires that the safety zone be
monitored for 30 min prior to beginning
ramp-up to ensure that no marine
mammals are present within the safety
zones. Implementation of ramp-up is
required because it is presumed it
would allow marine mammals to
become aware of the approaching vessel
and move away from the noise, if they
find the noise annoying.
Periods of total darkness will not set
in during Shell’s survey until early
September. For the month of September,
nighttime conditions will occur for
approximately 1–6 hrs. However, during
times of reduced light, MMOs will be
equipped with night vision devices.
During poor visibility conditions, if the
entire safety zone is not visible for the
entire 30 min pre-ramp-up period,
operations cannot begin.
Shell will not be relying on single
MMOs aboard the source vessel to
monitor the different radii. The IHA
requires Shell to have five MMOs on the
source vessel at any time, and two
MMOs must be on duty during all preramp up and ramp-up periods, as well
as for a large a fraction of the other
operating hours as possible. MMOs are
not permitted to work more than 4
consecutive hours and no more than
three shifts per day (i.e., no more than
12 hours in a 24 hour period). By
requiring five MMOs on the vessel at all
times, this will allow for two MMOs to
be on-watch for a greater period of time
without causing fatigue.
In 2009, Shell and ConocoPhillips are
jointly funding an extensive acoustic
monitoring program in the Chukchi Sea.
A total of 44 recorders will be
distributed both broadly across the
Chukchi lease area and nearshore
environment and intensively on the
Burger and Klondike lease areas. The
broad area arrays are designed to
capture both general background
soundscape data and marine mammal
call data across the lease area. Shell
hopes to gain insights into large-scale
distribution of marine mammals,
identification of marine mammal
species present, movement and
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migration patterns, and general
abundance data. While intensive arrays
will not be deployed at the Crackerjack
prospect, the broad array will still
collect some of the information
suggested by NSB. However, an
intensive array is not necessary at every
site, as the acoustic monitoring is not
used to implement mitigation measures.
Aerial monitoring is not required in
IHAs for surveys that occur in the
offshore environment of the Chukchi
Sea because they have currently been
determined to be impracticable due to
lack of adequate landing facilities, the
prevalence of fog and other inclement
weather in that area, potentially
resulting in an inability to return to the
airport of origin, thereby resulting in
safety concerns.
Comment 84: AEWC states that as part
of its application, Shell is required to
suggest its proposed ‘‘means of
accomplishing the necessary monitoring
and reporting that will result in
increased knowledge of the species’’
and document ‘‘the level of taking or
impacts on populations of marine
mammals...’’ (50 CFR 216.104(a)(13)).
One of the reasons for this monitoring
is for NMFS to ‘‘ensure that
authorizations over time have only a
negligible impact on species or stocks of
marine mammals and no unmitigable
adverse impact on the availability of
species or stocks for taking for
subsistence uses (60 FR 28381, May 31,
1995). Thus, monitoring is critical to the
proper functioning of the MMPA. For
this reason, NMFS has previously
explained that a site-specific monitoring
plan must be submitted and would have
to include information regarding survey
techniques and/or other methods to be
used to determine whether the behavior
of marine mammals near the activity is
being affected and how the number of
takes would be determined, including
the expected precision of that estimated
number. However, Shell has failed to
adequately describe its monitoring
plans. For example, Shell fails to
disclose its ethograms for studying
marine mammal behavior or describe
how data will be collected to ‘‘estimate
the ’take’ of marine mammals by
harassment.’’ Without this detailed
information, AEWC cannot comment on
the adequacy of Shell’s monitoring plan
or make suggestions for study design so
that the data collected can easily be
used by AEWC and others.
Response: While a list of the types of
animal behaviors that are recorded by
the MMOs was not included in the 4MP,
MMOs record common behaviors
exhibited by cetaceans and pinnipeds.
Shell’s 2009 monitoring and reporting
plan is similar to that used by Shell in
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2006, 2007, and 2008. The 90–day
reports from those seasons contain
descriptions of the types of behaviors
that were recorded (Patterson et al.,
2007; Funk et al., 2008; Ireland et al.,
2009). The 4MP contains a brief
description of the methods to calculate
take. These are the same methods that
have been used by Shell in previous
years. The full explanations can be
found in the 90–day reports (Patterson
et al., 2007; Funk et al., 2008; Ireland et
al., 2009). Shell’s methods have been
described several times, and AEWC and
others have had several opportunities
over the past few years to comment on
the methods for monitoring and
reporting behavior and take levels
during seismic surveys.
Comment 85: AEWC indicates that
Shell’s monitoring plan focuses solely
on ‘‘reporting’’ the level of take and not
‘‘monitoring’’ marine mammals. The
monitoring plan is designed to attempt
to document the take of marine
mammals and fails to include proactive
monitoring beyond that necessary for
attempting to assess the level of take
that occurs. Especially given the lack of
data that exists on marine mammals use
of the Chukchi, Shell should be required
to conduct basic presence and absence
surveys and collect density data
utilizing vessels and other tools that
will minimally disturb marine life and
scientifically recognized data collection
techniques.
Response: MMOs record the presence
of marine mammals sighted outside of
the monitoring zones and note the
behaviors exhibited by the animals.
Additionally, in 2009, Shell will be
deploying an array of 44 acoustic
recorders to gain insights into largescale distribution of marine mammals,
identification of marine mammal
species present, movement and
migration patterns, and general
abundance data of marine mammals in
the Chukchi Sea. Similar data have been
collected in 2006–2008. The data
collected during the 2009 season will
assist in evaluating changes in the
Chukchi Sea ecosystem.
Comment 86: NSB asks how the
mitigation measures are being evaluated
for efficacy. NSB and AEWC note that
Shell asserts that mitigation measures
are designed to protect animals from
injurious takes, but it is not clear that
these mitigation measures are effective
in protecting marine mammals or
subsistence hunters. Data previously
presented by Shell and ConocoPhillips
from their seismic activities made clear
that MMOs failed to detect many marine
mammals that encroached within the
designated safety zones. NSB states, ‘‘In
essence the MMOs were not able to
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observe marine mammals in the entire
safety zone.’’ Thus, the safety zones do
not provide adequate mitigation from
physical harm to marine mammals.
Response: NMFS believes that the
required monitoring and mitigation
measures are effective at ensuring the
least practicable impact to marine
mammals. Moreover, the safety zones
for Shell’s 2009 surveys are much
smaller than those for the larger 3D
seismic surveys in past years. The 180–
and 190–dB safety zones are 160 m (525
ft) and 50 m (164 ft), respectively. The
monitoring reports from 2006, 2007, and
2008 do not note any instances of
serious injury or mortality (Patterson et
al., 2007; Funk et al., 2008; Ireland et
al., 2009). Additionally, the fact that a
power-down or shutdown is required
does not indicate that marine mammals
are not being detected or that they are
incurring serious injury. As discussed
elsewhere in this document and in the
Notice of Proposed IHA (74 FR 26217,
June 1, 2009), the received level of a
single seismic pulse (with no frequency
weighting) might need to be
approximately 186 dB re 1 μPa2.s (i.e.,
186 dB sound exposure level [SEL]) in
order to produce brief, mild TTS (a noninjurious, Level B harassment) in
odontocetes. Exposure to several strong
seismic pulses that each have received
levels near 175–180 dB SEL might result
in slight TTS in a small odontocete,
assuming the TTS threshold is (to a first
approximation) a function of the total
received pulse energy. For Shell’s
proposed survey activities, the distance
at which the received energy level (per
pulse) would be expected to be ≥175–
180 dB SEL is the distance to the 190
dB re 1 μPa (rms) isopleth (given that
the rms level is approximately 10–15 dB
higher than the SEL value for the same
pulse). Seismic pulses with received
energy levels ≥175–180 dB SEL (190 dB
re 1 μPa (rms)) are expected to be
restricted to a radius of approximately
50 m (164 ft) around the airgun array.
For baleen whales, there are no data,
direct or indirect, on levels or properties
of sound that are required to induce
TTS. The frequencies to which baleen
whales are most sensitive are lower than
those to which odontocetes are most
sensitive, and natural background noise
levels at those low frequencies tend to
be higher. As a result, auditory
thresholds of baleen whales within their
frequency band of best hearing are
believed to be higher (less sensitive)
than are those of odontocetes at their
best frequencies (Clark and Ellison,
2004). From this, it is suspected that
received levels causing TTS onset may
also be higher in baleen whales.
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In pinnipeds, TTS thresholds
associated with exposure to brief pulses
(single or multiple) of underwater sound
have not been measured. Initial
evidence from prolonged exposures
suggested that some pinnipeds may
incur TTS at somewhat lower received
levels than do small odontocetes
exposed for similar durations (Kastak et
al., 1999, 2005; Ketten et al., 2001; cf.
Au et al., 2000). However, more recent
indications are that TTS onset in the
most sensitive pinniped species studied
(harbor seal, which is closely related to
the ringed seal) may occur at a similar
SEL as in odontocetes (Kastak et al.,
2004).
NMFS (1995, 2000) concluded that
cetaceans and pinnipeds should not be
exposed to pulsed underwater noise at
received levels exceeding, respectively,
180 and 190 dB re 1 μPa (rms). The
established 180– and 190–dB re 1 μPa
(rms) criteria are not considered to be
the levels above which TTS might
occur. Rather, they are the received
levels above which, in the view of a
panel of bioacoustics specialists
convened by NMFS before TTS
measurements for marine mammals
started to become available, one could
not be certain that there would be no
injurious effects, auditory or otherwise,
to marine mammals. As summarized
above, data that are now available imply
that TTS is unlikely to occur unless
bow-riding odontocetes are exposed to
airgun pulses much stronger than 180
dB re 1 μPa rms (Southall et al., 2007).
No cases of TTS are expected as a
result of Shell’s proposed activities
given the small size of the source, the
strong likelihood that baleen whales
(especially migrating bowheads) would
avoid the approaching airguns (or
vessel) before being exposed to levels
high enough for there to be any
possibility of TTS, and the mitigation
measures proposed to be implemented
during the survey described later in this
document.
There is no empirical evidence that
exposure to pulses of airgun sound can
cause PTS in any marine mammal, even
with large arrays of airguns (see
Southall et al., 2007). PTS might occur
at a received sound level at least several
decibels above that inducing mild TTS
if the animal is exposed to the strong
sound pulses with very rapid rise time.
It is highly unlikely that marine
mammals could receive sounds strong
enough (and over a sufficient duration)
to cause permanent hearing impairment
during a project employing the airgun
sources planned here (i.e., an airgun
array with a total discharge volume of
40 in3). In the proposed project, marine
mammals are unlikely to be exposed to
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received levels of seismic pulses strong
enough to cause more than slight TTS.
Given the higher level of sound
necessary to cause PTS, it is even less
likely that PTS could occur. In fact,
even the levels immediately adjacent to
the airgun may not be sufficient to
induce PTS, especially because a
mammal would not be exposed to more
than one strong pulse unless it swam
immediately alongside the airgun for a
period longer than the inter-pulse
interval. Baleen whales, and belugas as
well, generally avoid the immediate area
around operating seismic vessels. The
planned monitoring and mitigation
measures, including visual monitoring,
power-downs, and shutdowns of the
airguns when mammals are seen within
the safety radii, will minimize the
already-minimal probability of exposure
of marine mammals to sounds strong
enough to induce PTS.
Comment 87: NSB states that Shell
needs to include a plan of reporting/
communicating the presence of floating
dead marine mammals within the zone
of industrial exploration. NSB would
like to work with industry to determine
cause of death and perform other
biological sampling from carcasses
noted in areas of industrial activity.
There are no provisions within the 4MP
that facilitate these objectives.
Additionally, NSB has asked industry to
work with NMFS to develop a plan to
mark carcasses so that they are not recounted and a more definitive count of
dead, floating marine mammals within
the industry zone of operations can be
made. This is not included here.
Response: The IHA requires Shell to
notify both NMFS and the Marine
Mammal Stranding Network within 24
hours of sighting a stranded marine
mammal. The MMOs are also required
to complete a Level A Stranding Report
Form and to take photographs when
possible. However, Shell is not
permitted to collect samples or conduct
necropsies on dead marine mammals.
Necropsies can only be performed by
people authorized to do so under the
Marine Mammal Health and Stranding
Response Program MMPA permit.
NMFS is currently considering different
methods for marking carcasses to reduce
the problem of double counting.
However, a protocol has not yet been
developed, so marking is neither
required nor authorized in the IHA.
Comment 88: The MMC believes that
absent an evaluation by the oil and gas
industry of its monitoring and
mitigation measures, the effects of the
industry’s activities will remain
uncertain. The MMC recommends that
NMFS require Shell and other
companies conducting seismic work in
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the Arctic to undertake the studies
needed to verify observer proficiency
(including the number of observers
needed to monitor entire safety zones
and the presence of marine mammals
near or within those zones, particularly
when operations are being conducted 24
hours a day) and provide additional
rationale allowing seismic surveys to
continue under nighttime conditions
when observer proficiency is severely
compromised. AWL also notes that
NMFS should prohibit surveying at
night and at times of low visibility to
achieve the means of effecting the least
practicable impact on a species or stock.
At a minimum, NMFS must require
multiple observers working
simultaneously in order to effectively
monitor the 160–dB zone. NSB states
that with regard to nighttime and poor
visibility conditions, Shell proposes
essentially no limitations on operations,
even though they acknowledge that the
likelihood of observers seeing marine
mammals in such conditions is low. The
obvious solution not analyzed by Shell
or NMFS is to simply prohibit seismic
surveying when conditions prevent
MMOs from detecting all marine
mammals in the safety zone.
The MMC, AWL, and Dr. Bain
recommend that Shell be required to
supplement its mitigation measures by
using passive acoustic monitoring
(PAM). Such monitoring will enhance
marine mammal detection capabilities
under all conditions, but particularly at
night and when visibility is otherwise
poor.
Response: The MMOs hired by Shell
are required to complete training
courses and exams to verify their
proficiency. All MMOs used for the
2009 surveys have at least 2 years of
experience working as MMOs for
surveys in Arctic waters. Several of the
MMOs also have experience working on
vessels in other parts of the world as
well. Two MMOs are required to be onduty during all pre-ramp-up and rampup periods and for as large a fraction of
the active surveying period as possible.
MMOs are not required to be on-duty
during nighttime periods. However, if
the entire safety zone is not visible
during the 30 min pre-ramp-up and
ramp-up periods, then operations are
not permitted to begin.
On the matter of practicability, NMFS
has been informed by Shell that
requiring a shutdown of the airgun
arrays due to inclement weather or
darkness in the Arctic would reduce
overall effectiveness by about 40
percent. Such a loss in efficiency could
increase the potential for Shell and
other companies to increase effort by
bringing additional seismic vessels into
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the Beaufort and/or Chukchi Seas. As a
result, implementation of this
suggestion as a mitigation measure is
considered by NMFS to be
impracticable because of economic and
practical reasons.
However, an alternative mitigation
measure has been identified by NMFS
and is being reviewed that could
increase detection of marine mammals
during darkness. The alternative
mitigation measure could involve the
use of a high-frequency marine mammal
monitoring (HF/M3) sonar, similar to a
model used by the U.S. Navy. The HF/
M3 sonar is capable of detecting marine
mammals out to about 2 km (1.1 mi),
with up to 98 percent detection ability
(depending upon animal size, distance
from sonar and animal depth) (Ellison
and Stein, 1999) and has the capability
to be ramped up to avoid injury to
marine mammals (as it can detect the
mammal prior to the HF/M3 sonar
reaching levels of auditory injury). It
should be noted that this sonar does not
require a marine mammal to be
vocalizing in order to be detected and
has the capability of being ramped-up,
ensuring that, once a marine mammal is
detected within a 2–km (1.1 mi) radius,
powering up the HF/M3 ceases until the
marine mammal is no longer detected
within the 2–km zone. Once ramp-up of
the HF/M3 is complete, seismic surveys
can commence. During surveys, the HF/
M3 would continue to monitor the area
closest to the array where there is a
higher potential for injury, if marine
mammals were not either deflected by
the seismic noise or detected by MMOs,
passive acoustics, or active acoustics.
NMFS believes that utilizing the HF/M3
with ramp-up would result in the
harassment of fewer marine mammals
and further ensure that auditory injury
does not occur. However, based on the
small discharge volume of the airgun
array to be used by Shell for its 2009/
2010 survey operations and the required
mitigation and monitoring measures
(described later in this document),
NMFS does not believe that marine
mammal injury will occur, with or
without the use of the HF/M3.
Moreover, as stated in the Federal
Register Notice of Proposed IHA (74 FR
26217, June 1, 2009), once the safety
zones are visually established and presurvey monitoring has concluded that
there are no marine mammals within
the safety zones, seismic surveys can
commence and continue into low
visibility conditions. However, if for any
reasons the seismic sources are stopped
during low visibility conditions, they
are not to be restarted until the
conditions are suitable for the marine
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mammal visual monitoring so that the
safety zones can be re-established.
NMFS’ 2009 EA for this action
contains an analysis of why PAM is not
required to be used by Shell to
implement mitigation measures. Shell
will deploy acoustic recorders to collect
data on vocalizing animals. However,
this information will not be used in a
real-time or near-real-time capacity.
Along with the fact that marine
mammals may not always vocalize
while near the PAM device, another
shortcoming is that it requires a quiet
vessel so that vessel noise does not
hinder the ability to hear marine
mammals. MMS is sponsoring a
workshop in November 2009, which
will review available acoustic
monitoring technology (passive and
active), its feasibility and applicability
for use in MMS-authorized activities,
and what additional developments need
to take place to improve its
effectiveness. NMFS may consider
requirements for PAM in the future
depending on information received as
the technology develops further.
Comment 89: It is also AEWC’s
position that independent verification of
offshore operators’ compliance with
IHA provisions must be required as part
of the mitigation for the IHAs.
Response: NMFS’ implementing
regulations at 50 CFR 216.104 require an
applicant to submit information about
the mitigation, monitoring, and
reporting measures that will be
implemented to ensure the least
practicable impact on the affected
species or stock. NMFS reviews these
proposed measures, and, after
discussion with the applicant, requires
mitigation, monitoring, and reporting
protocols that NMFS determines will
ensure only small numbers of marine
mammals will be taken, that those
takings will have a negligible impact on
the affected species or stock, will not
have an unmitigable adverse impact on
the affected species or stock for taking
for subsistence uses, and will effect the
least practicable impact on the affected
species or stock. While NMFS
recognizes that independent verification
of an operator’s compliance with the
terms of an IHA is generally the best
course of action if possible or
practicable, in some cases it is not
practicable. In this case, and at this
time, NMFS does rely on the industry to
comply with the measures set forth in
the IHA. NMFS continues to review
reports submitted by IHA holders to
ensure that they comply with the terms
contained in the authorization. These
reports require, among other things, the
holder to supply information regarding
sightings of marine mammals and the
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implementation of appropriate
mitigation measures. NMFS is
continually interested, and trying, to
develop a monitoring program more
independent of the action, but, until
such a monitoring plan is implemented,
NMFS will rely on the industry to
provide assurance that the activity
remains in compliance with measures
contained in an IHA.
Comment 90: The MMC cannot
determine from the information
provided in the application whether
Shell plans to collect data during rampup procedures to test the assumption
that animals are able to, and will, move
away from an increasingly loud noise to
avoid harmful effects. The MMC
recommends that NMFS require Shell
and other applicant’s using ramp-up
procedures to collect and analyze data
pertaining to the efficacy of ramp-up as
a mitigation measure. NSB also states
that data need to be collected to better
understand the effectiveness of the
mitigation measures (i.e., ramp-up,
power-down, and shutdown). Dr. Bain
stresses the importance of collecting
data on animals that are exposed to
noise versus those that are not exposed
in order to allow for comparisons of
population dynamics.
Response: While scientific research
built around the question on whether
ramp-up is effective has not been
conducted, several studies on the effects
of anthropogenic noise on marine
mammals indicate that many marine
mammals will move away from a sound
source that they find annoying (e.g.
Malme, 1984; Clark et al., 1999; Miller
et al., 1999; others reviewed in
Richardson et al., 1995). In particular,
three species of baleen whales have
been the subject of tests involving
exposure to sounds from a single airgun,
which is equivalent to the first stage of
ramp-up. All three species were shown
to move away at the onset of a single
airgun operation (Malme et al., 1983–
1986; BBN Reports 5366, 5586, 6265;
Richardson et al., 1986; McCauley et al.,
1998, 2000).
From this research, it can be
presumed that if a marine mammal
finds a noise source annoying or
disturbing, it will move away from the
source prior to sustaining an injury,
unless some other over-riding biological
activity keeps the animal from vacating
the area. This is the premise supporting
NMFS’ and others’ belief that ramp-up
is effective in preventing injury to
marine mammals. In addition, observers
and power-down/shut-down criteria
provide for the protection of nonresponding mammals: e.g., those that
either do not hear the sounds because of
a hearing impairment or because the
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sounds are outside the hearing range of
the species, or those individuals that do
not react to the sounds because of
behavioral or other physiological
factors. Implementation of these
measures would prevent injury to those
animals that do not vacate the area. A
ramp-up study was first proposed to be
conducted by MMS in 1999 (HESS,
1999). While this study has not been
funded to date, NMFS believes that a
basic difficulty exists for testing rampup effectiveness without first
establishing some mode of doseresponse. As a result, prior to testing
ramp-up effectiveness, this type of
information is currently being obtained
by the Sperm Whales Seismic Study.
NMFS believes that this information is
a critical component for understanding
marine mammal impacts from worldwide operating seismic activities.
Additionally, the IHA requires that
MMOs make observations for the 30 min
prior to ramp-up, during all ramp-ups,
and during all daytime seismic
operations and record the following
information: (1) the species, group size,
age/size/sex categories (if determinable),
the general behavioral activity, heading
(if consistent), bearing and distance
from seismic vessel, sighting cue,
behavioral pace, and apparent reaction
of all marine mammals seen near the
seismic vessel and/or its airgun array
(e.g., none, avoidance, approach,
paralleling, etc); and (2) the time,
location, heading, speed, and activity of
the vessel (shooting or not), along with
sea state, visibility, cloud cover and sun
glare. These requirements should
provide information regarding the
effectiveness of ramp-up as a mitigation
measure, provided animals are detected
during ramp-up. This information is
also recorded when a power-down or
shutdown occurs. Lastly, Shell also
documents sightings and behaviors of
marine mammals when no active survey
operations are occurring (e.g., down due
to weather, transiting), allowing for
some level of comparison between
exposed and non-exposed individuals.
Comment 91: AEWC states that Shell
relies on an out-dated Notice to Lessees
(NTL 2004–G01) in its proposed
mitigation plan to supply some of its
mitigation measures. Not only has this
notice been superceded (see NTL 2007–
G02), but it is based on requirements
stemming from a NMFS Biological
Opinion for a lease sale in the Gulf of
Mexico. The conditions in the Notice
are not designed for Alaskan operations
or the specific and unique needs of the
Arctic. Thus, Shell’s reliance on this
Notice in crafting its mitigation
measures is arbitrary.
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Response: The full statement in the
4MP to which AEWC refers reads as
follows: ‘‘The Program will be operated
and administered consistent with MMS
NTL 2004–G01 or such alternative
requirements as may be specified in the
NMFS IHA...’’ While the 2004 NTL is
mentioned in the 4MP, the mitigation
measures that are described in the 4MP
and Notice of Proposed IHA (74 FR
26217, June 1, 2009) and subsequently
required in the IHA are similar to those
that have been developed and required
by NMFS over the past few years for oil
and gas seismic surveys in Arctic
waters. Several of the mitigation
measures required by NMFS in the IHA
are specific to the unique needs of the
Arctic. One example is the 160–dB
shutdown requirement when an
aggregation of 12 or more bowhead are
gray whales occur within that isopleth.
Comment 92: AEWC and NSB both
state that if NMFS relies on mitigation
included in an IHA to find an activity
will have only a negligible level of
impact, that finding is ‘‘subject to such
mitigating measures being successfully
implemented’’ (50 CFR 216.104;
emphasis added). The simple existence
of a measure is not enough. Shell must
be able to demonstrate that measures
will and can be implemented, thus,
ensuring that impacts to bowheads
remain negligible. As Shell’s proposed
mitigation currently stands, this is a
difficult if not impossible determination
for NMFS to make.
Response: Shell’s 2006, 2007, and
2008 90–day monitoring reports
indicate that the company was able to
implement the required mitigation
measures (Patterson et al., 2007; Funk et
al., 2008; Ireland et al., 2009). Since the
measures contained in the 2009 IHA do
not differ substantially from those
required previously, NMFS does not
have any reason to doubt successful
implementation during the current site
clearance and shallow hazards surveys.
NMFS has determined that with the
incorporation and implementation of
the mitigation measures, impacts to
bowheads and other marine mammals
will be negligible. Additionally, AEWC
and NSB have not provided information
indicating that Shell did not
successfully implement the required
mitigation measures.
Comment 93: NSB states that while
there are descriptions of zones of impact
within the 4MP, there is no clear
statement of mitigation measures
associated with these zones of impact.
Monitoring does not equate to
mitigation. There must be a clear action
that results from monitoring, and these
actions should go further than just
power-downs. Clear indications of when
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mitigation measures are triggered and
what results will occur are needed in
this document.
Response: The Notice of Proposed
IHA (74 FR 26217, June 1, 2009)
contained a discussion of mitigation
measures associated with the different
zones of impact. It explained when a
power-down or shutdown in required to
occur and how long airguns must
remain off or used at a reduced level.
NMFS has informed Shell that
commenters have requested additional
detail in the application documents.
However, this does not have a bearing
on NMFS’ required MMPA findings for
issuing an IHA.
Comment 94: Dr. Bain questions the
effectiveness of marine mammal
monitoring with only two MMOs on
duty full time. Citing Forney and
Barlow (1998) and Dahlheim and
Towell (1994), Dr. Bain states that a
common work schedule where
consistent effort is required would be 40
minutes on, 40 minutes off, 40 minutes
on, two hours off, three times a day. Dr.
Bain suggests that an observation team
of 12 MMOs would be required to cover
a 24–hour period. Further, MMOs
working shifts longer than 40 minutes
cannot be expected to have the same
sighting efficiency as those working in
dedicated surveys, making it
questionable to use sighting efficiencies
from dedicated surveys to predict
effectiveness of MMOs and to use
dedicated survey parameters to
extrapolate density estimates from
MMO data. Dr. Bain further states that
the probability of detecting marine
mammals would drop with increased
distance from the vessel.
Response: NMFS does not agree with
Dr. Bain’s assessment and suggestions
regarding MMOs and marine mammal
monitoring. NMFS reviewed the
references (Dahlheim and Towell, 1994;
Forney and Barlow, 1998) provided by
Dr. Bain, and did not find any type of
work schedules described. Unlike
observers during marine mammal
population surveys who are required to
search the entire field for any marine
mammals, the primary responsibilities
for MMOs are to monitor the safety
zones, which in this case are 160 m (525
ft) for the 180–dB isopleth and 50 m
(164 ft) for the 190–dB isopleth and to
ensure that proper mitigation measures
(power-down or shutdown) are
implemented if a marine mammal is
about to enter or is sighted within these
safety zones. NMFS agrees that the
detection probability of a marine
mammal drops with increased distance
from the ship. However, the occurrence
of marine mammals outside the safety
zones is not a big concern for marine
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mammal monitoring during the
proposed seismic activity because it is
presumed these animals would not be
within a zone that could result in injury.
Furthermore, MMOs would be on duty
for 4 consecutive hours or less to reduce
fatigue. Shell will have five MMOs on
the vessel at all times so that two MMOs
are on duty during all pre-ramp-up and
ramp-up periods and for as a large a
fraction of other periods as possible. In
addition, all MMOs hired for the
proposed seismic surveys must be
NMFS-approved observers who are
qualified to perform the required
monitoring tasks. Therefore, NMFS
believes that two MMOs are effective for
marine mammal monitoring for Shell’s
shallow hazard and site clearance
surveys.
Comment 95: Dr. Bain is concerned
that many species that are capable of
diving for more than 30 minutes could
be missed during the monitoring.
Response: NMFS agrees with Dr. Bain
that monitoring for deep diving marine
mammals poses a challenge. However,
within the proposed survey area, there
are no marine mammals that normally
dive for more than 30 minutes.
However, in the event that a marine
would be missed during the initial presurvey monitoring, ramp-up procedures
will be followed when an acoustic
source begins to operate, so the
undetected animal(s) would have an
opportunity to detect the sound as it
increases gradually and move away
from the source. Please refer to the
Mitigation and Monitoring Measures
sections later in this document for a
detailed description of these measures.
Comment 96: Dr. Bain notes that a
fundamental assumption in noise
mitigation is that animals will move
away from the noise source (horizontal
avoidance). Dr. Bain is concerned that
many species are sedentary, territorial,
or have strong tendencies toward site
fidelity, and that these species are
unlikely to move away from a noise
source. In addition, Dr. Bain is
concerned that many predators are used
to experiencing pain during feeding,
and hence tolerate pain [from being
exposed to loud noise] rather than
abandoning their prey (e.g., many
mammals involved in fisheryinteractions).
Response: First, the monitoring and
mitigation measures described in this
document and contained in Shell’s IHA
would prevent any marine mammals
from being exposed to received levels
that could cause onset of injury (180 dB
re 1 μPa (rms) for cetaceans and 190 dB
re 1 μPa (rms) for pinnipeds). Second,
there are no sedentary marine mammals.
The proposed survey is fundamentally
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different from commercial fisheries
activities in which the appearance of a
seismic vessel does not reinforce the
marine mammal with food or prey,
therefore, it is unlikely that predatory
marine mammals would approach the
seismic vessel or acoustic source while
searching for prey. Even if a marine
mammal happens to be in close vicinity
of the vessel or source, monitoring and
mitigation measures require the crew to
power-down or shutdown the acoustic
sources so that the animal will not be
affected by Level A harassment.
Cumulative Impact Concerns
Comment 97: The MMC continues to
be concerned about the potential
cumulative impacts of climate-related
ecosystem changes occurring in the
Arctic and the anticipated increase in
the level of seismic and other oil and
gas-related activities in the region. The
MMC recommends that NMFS conduct
a more extensive analysis of the
potential or likely effects of currently
authorized and proposed oil and gas
activities, climate change, and
additional anthropogenic risk factors
(e.g., industrial operations) and the
possible cumulative effects of all of
these activities over time. The MMC
also recommends that NMFS, together
with the applicant and other
appropriate agencies and organizations,
develop a comprehensive population
monitoring and impact assessment
program to assess whether these
activities, in combination with other
risk factors, are individually or
cumulatively having any significant
adverse population-level effects on
marine mammals or having an
unmitigable adverse effect on the
availability of marine mammals for
subsistence uses by Alaska Natives.
Such a monitoring program should
focus initially on the need to collect
adequate baseline information to allow
for future analyses of effects. Finally,
the MMC recommends that NMFS
sponsor a workshop or workshops to
facilitate the development of a
comprehensive population monitoring
and impact assessment program.
Response: A description of the
monitoring program submitted by Shell
was provided in Shell’s application,
outlined in the Notice of Proposed IHA
(74 FR 26217, June 1, 2009), and posted
on the NMFS PR IHA webpage. As a
result of a dialogue on monitoring by
scientists and stakeholders attending
NMFS’ public meetings in Anchorage in
April, 2006, October, 2006, and April,
2007, the industry has expanded its
monitoring program in order to fulfill its
responsibilities under the MMPA.
Additionally, Shell’s 2009 monitoring
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plan was subjected to an independent
peer review. (See the ‘‘Monitoring Plan
Independent Peer Review’’ subsection
later in this document for more
information.) For the fourth year, Shell
has included a marine mammal research
component designed to provide baseline
data on marine mammals for future
operations planning. A description of
this research is provided later in this
document (see ‘‘Comprehensive
Monitoring Reports’’ section). Scientists
are continuing discussions to ensure
that the research effort obtains the best
scientific information possible. Finally,
it should be noted that this far-field
monitoring program follows the
guidance of the MMC’s recommended
approach for monitoring seismic
activities in the Arctic (Hofman and
Swartz, 1991), that additional research
might be warranted when impacts to
marine mammals would not be
detectable as a result of vessel
observation programs.
Comment 98: NSB, AEWC, AWL, and
Oceana and the Ocean Conservancy
state that NMFS must also consider the
effects of disturbances in the context of
other activities occurring in the Arctic.
NSB notes, as stated previously, the
cumulative impacts of all industrial
activities must be factored into any
negligible impact determination. NMFS
has not done so for Shell’s activities,
and, therefore, the proposed IHA should
not be issued until a cumulative impact
assessment is conducted.
Response: Under section 101(a)(5)(D)
of the MMPA, NMFS is required to
determine whether the taking by the
applicant’s specified activity will take
only small numbers of marine
mammals, will have a negligible impact
on the affected marine mammal species
or population stocks, and will not have
an unmitigable impact on the
availability of affected species or stocks
for subsistence uses. Cumulative impact
assessments are NMFS’ responsibility
under the National Environmental
Policy Act (NEPA), not the MMPA. In
that regard, MMS’ 2006 Final PEA,
NMFS’ 2007 and 2008 Supplemental
EAs, and NMFS’ 2009 EA address
cumulative impacts. The Final PEA’s
cumulative activities scenario and
cumulative impact analysis focused on
oil and gas-related and non-oil and gasrelated noise-generating events/
activities in both Federal and State of
Alaska waters that were likely and
foreseeable. Other appropriate factors,
such as Arctic warming, military
activities, and noise contributions from
community and commercial activities
were also considered. Appendix D of
the Final PEA addresses similar
comments on cumulative impacts,
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including global warming. That
information was incorporated into and
updated in the NMFS 2008 SEA and
into this document by citation. Because
these documents are part of NMFS’
Administrative Record on this matter,
the information contained within them
do not need to be repeated. Please refer
to these documents for that assessment.
Comment 99: AEWC is concerned that
absent an analysis of the effects of all of
the planned operations on marine
mammals, it is impossible to assess the
level of take of these animals that is ongoing. For this reason, AEWC advocates
that NMFS implement a cap on the
overall seismic-related activities that
can occur in Arctic waters each year.
Response: See the response to
comment 98 discussing analysis of
cumulative impacts. Regarding the
suggestion to cap the number of
activities each year, NMFS understands
that under the terms of an OCS lease,
the lessee is required to make progress
on exploration and development on its
leases in order to hold that lease beyond
the initial lease term. Ancillary
activities (such as seismic and shallow
hazard surveys) are those activities
conducted on a lease site to obtain data
and information to meet MMS’
regulations to explore and develop a
lease. If a limit is placed by NMFS on
the number of ancillary activities
authorized for a planning area in a given
year, NMFS may preclude the lessee
from complying with MMS regulations
to proceed in a timely manner on
exploring or developing its OCS leases.
However, NMFS will not issue an IHA
for any activity where NMFS is unable
to make the necessary findings under
section 101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA.
Therefore, based on both practicability
and that it is not necessary in this
particular instance (because there is
only one ancillary activity occurring
this season), NMFS has not adopted this
suggested mitigation measure. However,
NMFS encourages industry participants
to work together to reduce seismic
sounds in the Arctic Ocean through
cooperative programs in data collection
to reduce impacts on marine mammals.
ESA Concerns
Comment 100: AEWC and NSB both
note that the Notice of Proposed IHA (74
FR 26217, June 1, 2009) states NMFS’
determination that ‘‘Shell’s proposed
activities...are adequately analyzed in
the 2008 Biological Opinion’’ and that
‘‘NMFS does not plan to conduct a new
section 7 consultation.’’ They both state
that this is in direct contravention of the
ESA. Both Shell and NMFS readily
acknowledge that several endangered
species will likely be impacted by
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Shell’s proposed authorizations.
Therefore, under the plain language of
the statute, the IHA must be consulted
on pursuant to section 7 of the ESA.
Moreover, in light of our changing
climate and the increased activity in the
Arctic, it is essential that NMFS
continue to consult on authorized
activities so that the baseline used in
making jeopardy/no-jeopardy
determinations remains current.
Response: Under section 7 of the ESA,
NMFS has completed consultation with
the MMS on ‘‘Oil and Gas Leasing and
Exploration Activities in the U.S.
Beaufort and Chukchi Seas, Alaska; and
Authorization of Small Takes Under the
Marine Mammal Protection Act.’’ In a
Biological Opinion issued on July 17,
2008, NMFS concluded that the
issuance of seismic survey permits by
MMS and the incidental take
authorizations under the MMPA for
seismic surveys are not likely to
jeopardize the continued existence of
the endangered fin, humpback, or
bowhead whale. As no critical habitat
has been designated for these species,
none will be affected. The 2008
Biological Opinion takes into
consideration all oil and gas related
activities that are reasonably likely to
occur, including exploratory oil drilling
activities. This Biological Opinion does
not include impacts from production
activities, which are subject to a
separate consultation.
NMFS has reviewed Shell’s proposed
action and has determined that the
findings in the 2008 Biological Opinion
apply to its 2009 Chukchi Sea site
clearance and shallow hazards surveys.
In addition, NMFS has issued an
Incidental Take Statement (ITS) under
this Biological Opinion for Shell’s
survey activities, which contains
reasonable and prudent measures with
implementing terms and conditions to
minimize the effects of take of bowhead,
humpback, and fin whales.
Comment 101: AWL notes that NMFS’
2008 programmatic Biological Opinion
does not contain an ITS. AWL assumes
that NMFS will issue a new ITS in a
timely manner.
Response: As indicated in the
response to comment 100, after issuance
of the IHA, NMFS also issued a new
ITS.
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NEPA Concerns
Comment 102: AEWC and NSB
believe that NMFS, in direct
contravention of the law, excluded the
public from the NEPA process since
NMFS did not release a draft EA for the
public to review and provide comments
prior to NMFS taking its final action.
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Response: Neither NEPA nor the
Council on Environmental Quality’s
(CEQ) regulations explicitly require
circulation of a draft EA for public
comment prior to finalizing the EA. The
Federal courts have upheld this
conclusion, and in one recent case, the
Ninth Circuit squarely addressed the
question of public involvement in the
development of an EA. In Bering Strait
Citizens for Responsible Resource
Development v. U.S. Army Corps of
Engineers (9th Cir. 2008), the court held
that the circulation of a draft EA is not
required in every case; rather, Federal
agencies should strive to involve the
public in the decision-making process
by providing as much environmental
information as is practicable prior to
completion of the EA so that the public
has a sufficient opportunity to weigh in
on issues pertinent to the agency’s
decision-making process. In the case of
Shell’s 2009 MMPA IHA request, NMFS
involved the public in the decisionmaking process by distributing Shell’s
IHA application and addenda for a 30–
day notice and comment period.
However, at that time, a draft EA was
not available to provide to the public for
comment. The IHA application and
NMFS’ Notice of Proposed IHA (74 FR
26217, June 1, 2009) contained
information relating to the project. For
example, the application included a
project description, its location,
environmental matters such as species
and habitat to be affected, and measures
designed to minimize adverse impacts
to the environment and the availability
of affected species or stocks for
subsistence uses.
Comment 103: AEWC notes that
Shell’s IHA application warrants review
in an environmental impact statement
(EIS) given the potential for significant
impacts.
Response: NMFS’ 2009 EA was
prepared to evaluate whether significant
environmental impacts may result from
the issuance of an IHA to Shell, which
is an appropriate application of NEPA.
After completing the EA, NMFS
determined that there would not be
significant impacts to the human
environment and accordingly issued a
FONSI. Therefore, an EIS is not needed
for this action.
Comment 104: AEWC, AWL, and NSB
note the release of the MMS/NMFS
Draft Programmatic EIS (PEIS; MMS,
2007) in the summer of 2007. To date,
a Final PEIS has not been completed.
The commenters believe that all public
comments submitted on the Draft PEIS
must be answered and the Final PEIS
released before NMFS can issue new
IHAs for seismic activities in the
Chukchi and Beaufort Seas. AWL states
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that CEQ regulations limit new activities
that are otherwise covered by a PEIS
during the period in which the
environmental review is in progress.
Allowing surveying to continue avoids
the broader look at potential impacts
and could prejudice the agency’s
decision making.
Response: While the Final PEIS will
analyze the affected environment and
environmental consequences from
seismic surveys in the Arctic, the
analysis contained in the Final PEIS
will apply more broadly to Arctic
seismic operations. NMFS’ issuance of
an IHA to Shell for the taking of several
species of marine mammals incidental
to conducting its open-water marine
survey program in the Chukchi Sea in
2009, as analyzed in the EA, is not
expected to significantly affect the
quality of the human environment.
Shell’s surveys are not expected to
significantly affect the quality of the
human environment because of the
limited duration and scope of Shell’s
operations. Additionally, the EA
contained a full analysis of cumulative
impacts.
Marine Mammals Affected by the
Activity
Marine mammals that occur in the
proposed survey areas belong to three
taxonomic groups: (1) odontocetes
(toothed cetaceans), (2) mysticetes
(baleen whales), and (3) carnivora
(pinnipeds and polar bears). Cetaceans
and pinnipeds (except walrus) are the
subject of this IHA. In the U.S., the
walrus and polar bear are managed by
the USFWS. USFWS issued a LOA to
Shell on July 16, 2009, for incidental
‘‘takes’’ specific to walruses and polar
bears.
Marine mammal species under the
jurisdiction of NMFS which are known
to or may occur in the open-water
marine survey area of the Chukchi Sea
include eight cetacean and four
pinniped species (see Table 4–1 in
Shell’s application). Three of these
species, the bowhead, humpback and
fin whales, are listed as ‘‘endangered’’
under the ESA. Bowhead whales are
more common in the survey area than
other ESA species. Based on a small
number of sightings, fin whales are
unlikely to occur along the planned
trackline in the Chukchi Sea. Humpback
whales normally are not found in the
Chukchi Sea; however, several
humpback sightings were recorded
during vessel-based surveys in the
Chukchi Sea in 2007 (Reiser et al.,
2008).
The marine mammal species under
NMFS jurisdiction that are most likely
to occur in the survey area include:
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beluga, bowhead, and gray whales,
harbor porpoise, and ringed, bearded,
and spotted seals. The marine mammal
species likely to be encountered most
widely (in space and time) throughout
the survey period is the ringed seal.
Encounters with bowhead and gray
whales are expected to be limited to
particular regions and seasons, as
discussed in Shell’s application.
Four additional cetacean species and
one pinniped species-the killer, minke,
humpback, and fin whales and ribbon
seals-could occur in the project area, but
each of these species is uncommon or
rare in the survey area and relatively
few encounters with these species are
expected during Shell’s operations.
Descriptions of the biology, distribution,
and population status of the marine
mammal species under NMFS’
jurisdiction can be found in Shell’s
application and the NMFS SARs. The
Alaska SAR is available at: https://
www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/pdfs/sars/
ak2008.pdf. Please refer to those
documents for information on these
species.
Potential Effects of Survey Activities on
Marine Mammals
The only anticipated impacts to
marine mammals associated with
Shell’s proposed activities (primarily
resulting from noise propagation) are
from vessel movements and airgun
operations. Aircraft may provide a
potential secondary source of sound.
The physical presence of vessels and
aircraft could also potentially lead to
non-acoustic effects on marine
mammals involving visual or other cues.
The effects of sounds from airguns
might include one or more of the
following: tolerance, masking of natural
sounds, behavioral disturbance, and
temporary or permanent hearing
impairment or non-auditory effects
(Richardson et al., 1995). As outlined in
previous NMFS documents, the effects
of noise on marine mammals are highly
variable, and can be categorized as
follows (based on Richardson et al.,
1995):
(1) The noise may be too weak to be
heard at the location of the animal (i.e.,
lower than the prevailing ambient noise
level, the hearing threshold of the
animal at relevant frequencies, or both);
(2) The noise may be audible but not
strong enough to elicit any overt
behavioral response;
(3) The noise may elicit reactions of
variable conspicuousness and variable
relevance to the well being of the
marine mammal; these can range from
temporary alert responses to active
avoidance reactions such as vacating an
area at least until the noise event ceases;
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(4) Upon repeated exposure, a marine
mammal may exhibit diminishing
responsiveness (habituation), or
disturbance effects may persist; the
latter is most likely with sounds that are
highly variable in characteristics,
infrequent, and unpredictable in
occurrence, and associated with
situations that a marine mammal
perceives as a threat;
(5) Any anthropogenic noise that is
strong enough to be heard has the
potential to reduce (mask) the ability of
a marine mammal to hear natural
sounds at similar frequencies, including
calls from conspecifics, and underwater
environmental sounds such as surf
noise;
(6) If mammals remain in an area
because it is important for feeding,
breeding, or some other biologically
important purpose even though there is
chronic exposure to noise, it is possible
that there could be noise-induced
physiological stress; this might in turn
have negative effects on the well-being
or reproduction of the animals involved;
and
(7) Very strong sounds have the
potential to cause temporary or
permanent reduction in hearing
sensitivity. In terrestrial mammals, and
presumably marine mammals, received
sound levels must far exceed the
animal’s hearing threshold for there to
be any TTS in its hearing ability. For
transient sounds, the sound level
necessary to cause TTS is inversely
related to the duration of the sound.
Received sound levels must be even
higher for there to be risk of permanent
hearing impairment. In addition, intense
acoustic or explosive events may cause
trauma to tissues associated with organs
vital for hearing, sound production,
respiration and other functions. This
trauma may include minor to severe
hemorrhage.
The Notice of Proposed IHA (74 FR
36217, June 1, 2009) included a
discussion of the effects of sounds from
airguns on mysticetes, odontocetes, and
pinnipeds, including tolerance,
masking, behavioral disturbance,
hearing impairment and other physical
effects, and non-auditory physiological
effects, as well as a discussion on
stranding and mortality events. The
initial discussion of the potential effects
of airguns on marine mammals
presented in the Notice of Proposed IHA
were presented without consideration of
the mitigation measures proposed by
Shell and required by NMFS. However,
NMFS’ preliminary determinations were
made only after evaluation of Shell’s
proposed mitigation measures. When
these measures are taken into account,
it is unlikely that this project would
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55401
result in temporary, or especially,
permanent hearing impairment or any
significant non-auditory physical or
physiological effects.
The Notice of Proposed IHA also
included a discussion of the potential
effects of the sonar equipment (e.g.,
multi-beam bathymetric sonar) to be
used by Shell during the surveys. While
the sonar equipment proposed to be
used for this project generates high
sound energy, the equipment operates at
frequencies (≤100 kHz) beyond the
effective hearing range of most marine
mammals likely to be encountered
during the proposed activities
(Richardson et al., 1995). Therefore,
NMFS believes that effects of signals
from sonar equipment to marine
mammals will be negligible.
Estimated Take of Marine Mammals
The anticipated harassments from the
activities described above may involve
temporary changes in behavior. There is
no evidence that the planned activities
could result in serious injury or
mortality, for example due to collisions
with vessels or strandings. Disturbance
reactions, such as avoidance, are very
likely to occur among marine mammals
in the vicinity of the source vessel. The
required mitigation and monitoring
measures (described later in this
document) will result in, at most, Level
B harassment and will reduce even
further the already minimal potential for
the risk of injury.
The Notice of Proposed IHA (74 FR
26217, June 1, 2009) included an indepth discussion of the methodology
used by Shell to estimate incidental take
by harassment by its seismic activities
and the numbers of marine mammals
that might be affected during the site
clearance and shallow hazards surveys
in the Chukchi Sea. Additional
information was included in Shell’s IHA
application and application addenda.
Moreover, further explanations have
been provided in the ‘‘Comments and
Responses’’ section earlier in this
document based on comments received
during the 30–day public comment
period. A summary is provided here.
The estimates are based on data
obtained during marine mammal
surveys in and near the proposed survey
area and on estimates of the sizes of the
areas where effects could potentially
occur. In some cases, these estimates
were made from data collected in
regions, habitats, or seasons that differ
from those in the proposed survey areas.
Adjustments to reported population or
density estimates were made to account
for these differences insofar as possible.
Although several systematic surveys
of marine mammals have been
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conducted in the southern Beaufort Sea,
few data (systematic or otherwise) are
available on the distribution and
numbers of marine mammals in the
Chukchi Sea beyond the 200 m (656 ft)
bathymetry contour. The main sources
of distributional and numerical data
used in deriving the estimates are
described below and in Shell’s
application. While there is some
uncertainty related to the use of regional
population densities for applications
that are local in focus, these estimates
are based on the best available scientific
data and represents standard practice.
Marine Mammal Density Estimates
This section provides estimates of the
number of individuals potentially
exposed to sound levels at or above 160
dB re 1 Pa (rms). The estimates are
based on a consideration of the number
of marine mammals that might be
disturbed appreciably by operations in
the Chukchi Sea.
For the Chukchi Sea, cetacean
densities during the summer (JulyAugust) were estimated from effort and
sightings data in Moore et al. (2000b)
while pinniped densities were
estimated from Bengtson et al. (2005).
Because few data are available on the
densities of marine mammals other than
large cetaceans in the Chukchi Sea in
the fall (September-October), density
estimates from the summer period have
been adjusted to reflect the expected
ratio of summer-to-fall densities based
on the natural history characteristic of
each species. Alternatively, some
densities from data collected aboard
industry vessels in 2006 and 2007 in the
Chukchi Sea have been used.
As noted above, there is some
uncertainty about the representativeness
of the data and assumptions used in the
calculations. To provide some
allowance for the uncertainties,
‘‘maximum estimates’’ as well as
‘‘average estimates’’ of the numbers of
marine mammals potentially affected
have been derived and provided by
Shell in their application. For a few
marine mammal species, several density
estimates were available, and in those
cases, the average and maximum
estimates were calculated from the
survey data. In other cases, only one, or
no applicable estimate was available so
correction factors were used to arrive at
‘‘average’’ and ‘‘maximum’’ estimates.
These are described in detail in Shell’s
application and the Notice of Proposed
IHA (74 FR 26217, June 1, 2009). Except
where noted, the ‘‘maximum’’ estimates
have been calculated as twice the
‘‘average’’ estimates. The densities
presented are believed to be similar to,
or in most cases higher than, the
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densities that will actually be
encountered during the survey.
Detectability bias, quantified in part
by [f(0)], is associated with diminishing
sightability with increasing lateral
distance from the survey trackline.
Availability bias [g(0)] refers to the fact
that there is less than 100 percent
probability of sighting an animal that is
present along the survey trackline.
These correction factors were applied to
the data from Moore et al. (2000b) and
were already included in data provided
by Richardson and Thompson (2002) on
beluga and bowhead whales, and where
possible were applied to the available
data for other species.
Estimated densities of marine
mammals in the Chukchi Sea during the
‘‘summer’’ (July and August) site
clearance and shallow hazards survey
are presented in Table 6–1 of Shell’s
application. Densities of marine
mammals estimated for the ‘‘fall’’ period
of Shell’s proposed activities in the
Chukchi Sea (September and possibly
October) are presented in Table 6–2 of
the application. Both ‘‘average’’ and
‘‘maximum’’ densities are provided in
the tables. Unless otherwise noted by
Shell in the application, maximum
densities are twice the average densities.
However, since Shell did not provide a
rationale regarding the maximum
estimate, NMFS has decided that the
average density data of marine mammal
populations will be used to calculate
estimated take numbers because these
numbers are based on surveys and
monitoring of marine mammals in the
vicinity of the proposed project area.
NMFS only used the ‘‘maximum’’
estimates for marine mammal species
that are considered rare in the project
area and for which little to no density
information exists (i.e., killer, fin,
humpback, and minke whales and
ringed seals).
(1) Cetaceans
Nine species of cetaceans are known
to occur in the Chukchi Sea project area.
Only four of these (bowhead, beluga,
and gray whales and harbor porpoise)
are expected to be encountered in
meaningful numbers during the
proposed survey. Densities of bowhead
and beluga whales are expected to be
lower in the summer when the majority
of the stocks are in the Canadian
Beaufort Sea. Later in the season, as the
animals begin their westward migration
through the Alaskan Beaufort and
Chukchi Seas, densities of these species
will increase in the survey area. Species
specific information for bowhead,
beluga, and gray whales and harbor
porpoise was contained in the Notice of
Proposed IHA.
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The remaining four cetacean species
that could be encountered in the
Chukchi Sea during Shell’s proposed
open-water marine survey include the
humpback, killer, minke, and fin
whales. Although there is evidence of
the occasional occurrence of these
species in the Chukchi Sea, it is
unlikely that individuals will be
encountered during the proposed
survey.
(2) Pinnipeds
Four species of pinnipeds may be
encountered in the Chukchi Sea area of
Shell’s proposed shallow hazards and
site clearance program: ringed, bearded,
spotted, and ribbon seals. Each of these
species, except the spotted seal, is
associated with both the ice margin and
the nearshore area. Ribbon seals have
been reported in very small numbers
within the Chukchi Sea by observers on
industry vessels (Ireland et al., 2007a;
Patterson et al., 2007) so minimal values
have been used for expected densities.
Additional information for ringed,
bearded, and spotted seals can be found
in the Notice of Proposed IHA.
Exposure Calculations of Marine
Mammals
Numbers of marine mammals that
might be present and potentially
disturbed as a result of the site clearance
and shallow hazards surveys are
estimated below based on available data
about mammal distribution and
densities at different locations and times
of the year, as described previously.
Shell’s survey would take place in the
Chukchi Sea over two different seasons
(i.e., summer, August, and fall,
September and possibly October). The
estimates of marine mammal densities
have therefore been separated both
spatially and temporally in an attempt
to represent the distribution of animals
expected to be encountered over the
duration of the survey.
The number of individuals of each
species potentially exposed to received
sound levels at or above 160 dB re 1 μPa
(rms) within the survey region, time
period, and habitat zone was estimated
by multiplying:
• The expected species density (as
provided in Tables 6–1 and 6–2 of
Shell’s application); by
• The anticipated area to be
ensonified to the specified level in the
survey region (900 km2), time period,
and habitat zone to which that density
applies.
The numbers of potential individuals
exposed were then summed for each
species across the survey region,
seasons, and habitat zones. Some of the
animals estimated to be exposed,
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particularly migrating bowhead whales,
might show avoidance reactions before
being exposed to 160 dB re 1 μPa (rms).
Thus, these calculations actually
estimate the number of individuals
potentially exposed to sound at or above
160 dB (rms) that would occur if there
were no avoidance of the area
ensonified to that level.
The area of water potentially exposed
to received levels at or above 160 dB
(rms) by the proposed operations was
calculated by multiplying the planned
trackline distance by the cross-track
distance of the sound propagation
measured during previous field seasons.
For site clearance and shallow hazards
surveys in 2008 in the Chukchi Sea, the
160 dB radius from the Cape Flattery’s
four 10 in3 airguns measured in 2008
was 1,400 m (0.87 mi), and the single 10
in3 airgun was 440 m (0.27 mi).
Closely spaced survey lines and large
cross-track distances of the 160 dB radii
can result in repeated exposure of the
same area of water. Excessive amounts
of repeated exposure can lead to
overestimation of the number of animals
potentially exposed through double
counting. However, the relatively short
cross-track distances of the 160 dB radii
associated with the site clearance and
shallow hazards surveys result in little
overlap of exposed waters during the
survey, so multiple exposures due to
overlap of ensonified areas have not
been removed from the area
calculations.
Shallow hazards and site clearance
surveys in the Chukchi Sea are planned
to occur along approximately 480 km
(298 mi) of survey lines (plus
approximately 120 km (74.6 mi) of
mitigation gun activity between survey
lines) from August-September (and
possibly early to mid-October) exposing
approximately 900 km2 (347.5 mi2) of
water to sounds at or above 160 dB re
1 Pa (rms). Additional information on
the calculations for estimating take can
be found in Shell’s application and the
Notice of Proposed IHA.
Based on the operational plans and
marine mammal densities described
above, the estimates of marine mammals
potentially exposed to sounds at or
above 160 dB (rms) in the Chukchi Sea
are presented in Table 6–7 of
Addendum 2 to Shell’s application. A
discussion of the number of potential
exposures is summarized by species in
the following subsections.
(1) Cetaceans
Based on density estimates, one ESAlisted cetacean species (the bowhead
whale) is expected to be exposed to
received sound levels at or above 160
dB (rms) unless bowheads avoid the
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17:15 Oct 26, 2009
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survey vessel before the received levels
reach 160 dB. Migrating bowheads are
likely to avoid the survey vessel, though
many of the bowheads engaged in other
activities, particularly feeding and
socializing may not. Using average
density estimates, Shell estimates that
one bowhead whale may potentially be
exposed to sounds at or above 160 dB
(rms) in the Chukchi Sea project area
during the site clearance and shallow
hazards survey (see Table 6–7 of
Addendum 2 to Shell’s application).
Two other cetacean species listed as
endangered under the ESA that may be
encountered in the project area (fin and
humpback whales) are unlikely to be
exposed given their low ‘‘average’’
density estimates in the area. However,
Shell has estimated that a ‘‘maximum’’
of five humpback whales and five fin
whales may be exposed to sound levels
at or above 160 dB (rms) during the
proposed survey (see Table 6–7 in
Addendum 2). NMFS’ reasoning for
using the ‘‘maximum’’ estimate for these
species was explained earlier in this
document.
Most of the cetaceans exposed to
survey sounds with received levels
greater than or equal to 160 dB (rms)
would involve bowhead, gray, and
beluga whales and harbor porpoise.
Average and maximum estimates of the
number of exposures of cetaceans other
than bowheads are: beluga whale (10
and 19, respectively), gray whale (19
and 37, respectively), and harbor
porpoise (6 and 11, respectively).
Average estimates for the other cetacean
species are zero (see Table 6–7 in
Addendum 2 to Shell’s application)
since accurate density estimates are not
possible given the paucity of sightings.
However, maximum estimates are
provided for these species (Table 6–7).
For the common species, the requested
numbers are calculated as described
previously in this document and based
on the average densities from the data
reported in the different studies
mentioned previously.
(2) Pinnipeds
The ringed seal is the most
widespread and abundant pinniped in
ice-covered Arctic waters, and there is
a great deal of annual variation in
population size and distribution of these
marine mammals. Ringed seals account
for the vast majority of marine mammals
expected to be encountered and hence
exposed to airgun sounds with received
levels greater than or equal to 160 dB re
1 μPa (rms) during the site clearance
and shallow hazards survey. The
average (and maximum) exposure
estimate is that 692 (1,078) ringed seals
might be exposed to marine survey
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55403
sounds with received levels at or above
160 dB (rms).
Two additional pinniped species
(other than Pacific walrus) are expected
to be encountered. They are the bearded
seal (31 and 43, average and maximum
estimates, respectively) and the spotted
seal (6 and 11, average and maximum
estimates, respectively; Table 6–7 in
Addendum 2 to Shell’s application).
The ribbon seal is unlikely to be
encountered. Therefore, only a
maximum estimate (5) has been
provided for this species based on the
minimal density data and extremely low
density estimates for this species in the
Chukchi Sea. NMFS’ reasoning for using
the ‘‘maximum’’ estimate for this
species was explained earlier in this
document.
Conclusions
(1) Cetaceans
Most of the bowhead whales
encountered during the summer will
likely show overt disturbance
(avoidance) if they receive airgun
sounds with levels at or above 160 dB
re 1 Pa (rms). The small airgun array
proposed for use in this survey greatly
limits the size of the 160 dB zone
around the ship (1,400 m (0.87 mi)). The
use of this smaller array will result in
fewer bowhead whales being disturbed
by the survey when compared to the use
of larger arrays.
Seismic operators sometimes see
dolphins and other small toothed
whales near operating airgun arrays, but
in general, there seems to be a tendency
for most delphinds to show some
limited avoidance of operating seismic
vessels (Stone, 2003; Moulton and
Miller, 2005; Holst et al., 2006; Stone
and Tasker, 2006). Studies that have
reported cases of small toothed whales
close to the operating airguns include
Duncan (1985), Arnold (1996), Stone
(2003), and Holst et al. (2006). However,
at least when in the Canadian Beaufort
Sea in summer, belugas appear to be
fairly responsive to seismic energy, with
few being sighted within 10–20 km
(6.2–12.4 mi) of seismic vessels during
aerial surveys. These results were
consistent with the low number of
beluga sightings reported by observers
aboard the seismic vessel, suggesting
that some belugas might be avoiding the
seismic operations at distances of 10–20
km (6.2–12.4 mi; Miller et al., 2005).
The study conducted by Miller et al.
(2005) was aboard a vessel conducting
a 3D seismic survey, utilizing two
identical 2,250 in3 airgun arrays with
each array containing 24 guns. Since the
acoustic sources to be used during
Shell’s survey are significantly smaller
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(total discharge volume of 40 in3) than
the ones described in the Miller et al.
(2005) study, deflections of that
magnitude are not expected.
Taking into account the mitigation
measures that are planned, effects on
cetaceans are generally expected to be
restricted to avoidance of a limited area
around the survey operation and shortterm changes in behavior, falling within
the MMPA definition of ‘‘Level B
harassment’’. Furthermore, the
estimated numbers of animals
potentially exposed to sound levels
sufficient to cause appreciable
disturbance are relatively low
percentages of the population sizes in
the Bearing-Chukchi-Beaufort seas, as
described next.
Based on the 160 dB (rms)
disturbance criterion, the best (average)
estimates of the numbers of cetacean
exposures to sounds at or above 160 dB
re 1 μPa (rms) represent varying
proportions of the populations of each
species in the Chukchi Sea and adjacent
waters (cf. Table 6–1 in Shell’s
application). For species listed as
endangered under the ESA, Shell’s
estimates suggest it is unlikely that fin
or humpback whales will be exposed to
received levels greater than or equal to
160 dB rms, but that approximately one
bowhead may be exposed at this level.
The latter is less than 0.01 percent of the
Bering-Chukchi-Beaufort population of
greater than 13,779 individuals
assuming 3.4 percent annual population
growth from the 2001 estimate of 10,545
animals (Zeh and Punt, 2005).
Beluga whales may be exposed to
sounds produced by the airgun arrays
during the survey, and the numbers
potentially affected are small relative to
the population size (Table 6–7 in
Addendum 2 to Shell’s application).
The best estimate of the number of
belugas that might be exposed to sounds
at or above 160 dB (10) represents 0.27
percent of the eastern Chukchi Sea
population of approximately 3,710
individuals (Angliss and Allen, 2009).
Gray whales and harbor porpoise may
also be exposed to sounds produced by
the airguns. The best (average) estimate
of the number of gray whales and harbor
porpoise that might be exposed to
sounds at or above 160 dB (rms)
represents 0.11 percent of the Eastern
North Pacific stock of gray whales and
less than 0.01 percent of the Bering Sea
stock of harbor porpoise.
In addition, killer, fin, humpback, and
minke whales could also be taken by
Level B harassment as a result of the
survey. However, the possibility is low.
The numbers of ‘‘average’’ estimated
take of these species are not available
because they are rare in the project area
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17:15 Oct 26, 2009
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and little density data exist for these
species in the project area. Since the
Chukchi Sea represents only a small
fraction of the North Pacific and Arctic
basins where these animals occur, and
these animals do not regularly
congregate in the vicinity of the project
area, NMFS has determined that only
relatively small numbers, if any, of these
marine mammal species would be
potentially affected by Shell’s activities.
Varying estimates of the numbers of
marine mammals that might be exposed
to sounds from the airgun array during
the 2009 Shell shallow hazards and site
clearance surveys have been presented
(average vs. maximum). The relatively
short-term exposures that will occur are
not expected to result in any long-term
negative consequences for the
individuals or their populations.
The many reported cases of apparent
tolerance by cetaceans of seismic
exploration, vessel traffic, and some
other human activities show that coexistence is possible. Mitigation
measures such as controlled vessel
speed, dedicated MMOs, non-pursuit,
shutdowns or power-downs when
marine mammals are seen within
defined ranges, and avoiding migration
pathways when animals are likely most
sensitive to noise will further reduce
short-term reactions and minimize any
effects on hearing sensitivity. In all
cases, the effects are expected to be
short-term, with no lasting biological
consequence. Subsistence issues are
addressed later in this document.
Potential Bowhead Disturbance at
Lower Received Levels – Aerial surveys
during fall seismic surveys in the
Beaufort Sea showed that migrating
bowhead whales appeared to avoid
seismic activities at distances of 20–30
km (12.4–18.6 mi) and received sound
levels of 120–130 dB rms (Miller et al.,
1999; Richardson et al., 1999).
Therefore, it is possible that a larger
number of bowhead whales than
estimated above may be disturbed to
some extent if reactions occur at or near
approximately 130 dB (rms). Using the
same method of calculation as described
earlier in this document for estimating
take, the number of migrating bowhead
whales exposed to sounds greater than
or equal to 120 dB by the proposed
survey would be approximately 8.5 the
number estimated at 160 dB. (It should
be noted though that this calculation is
more accurate for the Beaufort Sea
where the bowhead whale migration
pathway is narrower and more clearly
defined than in the Chukchi Sea.)
However, acoustic data collected in the
vicinity of seismic surveys in the
Beaufort Sea in 2007 indicated that
bowhead whales did not avoid the
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sound source at distances equivalent to
120 dB (rms) and instead tolerated
sounds at higher levels while likely
changing their calling behavior
(Blackwell et al., 2008).
Reducing operations during the
bowhead whale subsistence harvest is
meant to accomplish two mitigation
objectives. It greatly reduces the
potential for conflicts with subsistence
hunting activities, and it allows a large
proportion of the bowhead population
to migrate past the survey area without
being exposed to survey sounds at or
above 160 dB (rms) or 120 dB (rms).
The western Arctic stock of bowhead
whales usually begins its westward
migration through the Beaufort Sea in
late August. Westbound bowheads
typically reach the Barrow area in midSeptember and remain in that area until
late October (Brower, 1996). Therefore,
migrating bowhead whales are not
expected in the proposed Chukchi Sea
survey area until the second half of the
survey, as the project is expected to
occur for approximately 50 days
between August and September, not
including weather delays. Shell’s
seismic vessel left Dutch Harbor on July
27, 2009. Through September 30, 2009,
Shell had completed 34 days of active
data acquisition. Also during this
period, Shell experienced 13 down-days
due to weather, and there were 19 days
of transit to both Nome and Dutch
Harbor for crew transfers and
resupplying the vessel. Shell expects to
complete active seismic operations on
October 10, 2009, and to return to Dutch
Harbor on October 15 (G. Horner, 2009,
Shell, pers. comm.).
(2) Pinnipeds
A few pinniped species are likely to
be encountered in the study area, but
the ringed seal is by far the most
abundant marine mammal species in the
survey area. The best (average) estimates
of the numbers of individual seals likely
to be exposed to airgun sounds at
received levels at or above 160 dB re 1
μPa (rms) during the open-water marine
survey in the Chukchi Sea are as
follows: ringed seals (692), bearded
seals (31), and spotted seals (6),
(representing 0.3 percent, 0.6 percent,
and 0.01 percent, respectively, of the
Bering-Chukchi-Beaufort populations
for each species). It is probable that only
a small percentage of the animals
exposed to sound levels at 160 dB
would actually be disturbed. For
example, Moulton and Lawson (2002)
indicate that most pinnipeds exposed to
seismic sounds lower than 170 dB do
not visibly react to that sound, and,
therefore, pinnipeds are not likely to
react to seismic sounds unless they are
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greater than 170 dB re 1 μPa (rms).
Consequently, the take estimates
presented in this document may be an
overestimation. The short-term
exposures of pinnipeds to airgun sounds
are not expected to result in any longterm negative consequences for the
individuals or their populations, as
observations have shown pinnipeds to
be rather tolerant of (or habituated to)
underwater seismic sounds.
Potential Impacts on Habitat
Shell’s activities will not result in any
permanent impact on habitats used by
marine mammals or to their prey
sources. Any effects would be
temporary and of short duration at any
one place. The primary potential
impacts to marine mammals are
associated with acoustic sound levels
from the site clearance and shallow
hazards surveys discussed earlier in this
document.
The Notice of Proposed IHA (74 FR
26217, June 1, 2009) contained a
discussion of the potential impacts to
the marine mammal habitat in the
survey area. The activities are not
expected to have any habitat-related
effects that would produce long-term
impacts to marine mammals or their
habitat due to the limited extent of the
acquisition areas and timing of the
activities.
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Effects of Seismic Noise and Other
Related Activities on Subsistence
The disturbance and potential
displacement of marine mammals by
sounds from seismic activities are the
principal concerns related to
subsistence use of the area. Subsistence
remains the basis for Alaska Native
culture and community. Marine
mammals are legally hunted in Alaskan
waters by coastal Alaska Natives. In
rural Alaska, subsistence activities are
often central to many aspects of human
existence, including patterns of family
life, artistic expression, and community
religious and celebratory activities. The
main species that are hunted include
bowhead and beluga whales, ringed,
spotted, and bearded seals, walruses,
and polar bears . The importance of
each of these species varies among the
communities and is largely based on
availability.
Communities that participate in
subsistence hunts that have the
potential to be affected by Shell’s openwater marine survey program in the
Chukchi Sea survey areas are Point
Hope, Point Lay, Wainwright, Barrow
and possibly Kotzebue (however, this
community is much farther to the south
of the project area).
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17:15 Oct 26, 2009
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Point Hope residents subsistence hunt
for bowhead and beluga whales, polar
bears, and walrus. Bowhead and beluga
whales are hunted in the spring and
early summer along the ice edge. Beluga
whales may also be hunted later in the
summer along the shore. Walrus are
harvested in late spring and early
summer, and polar bears are hunted
from October to April (MMS, 2007).
Seals are available from October through
June, but are harvested primarily during
the winter months, from November
through March, due to the availability of
other resources during the other periods
of the year (MMS, 2007).
With Point Lay situated near
Kasegaluk Lagoon, the community’s
main subsistence focus is on beluga
whales. Each year, hunters from Point
Lay drive belugas into the lagoon to a
traditional hunting location. The
belugas have been predictably sighted
near the lagoon from late June through
mid- to late July (Suydam et al., 2001).
Seals are available year-round, and
polar bears and walruses are normally
hunted in the winter. Hunters typically
travel to Barrow, Wainwright, or Point
Hope to participate in bowhead whale
harvest, but there is interest in
reestablishing a local Point Lay harvest.
Shell’s activities are scheduled to avoid
the traditional subsistence beluga hunt,
which annually occurs in July, and
Shell will not begin data acquisition
until the close of the hunt.
Wainwright residents subsist on both
beluga and bowhead whales in the
spring and early summer. During these
two seasons the chances of landing a
whale are higher than during other
seasons. Seals are hunted by this
community year-round, and polar bears
are hunted in the winter.
Barrow residents’ main subsistence
focus is concentrated on biannual
bowhead whale hunts. They hunt these
whales during the spring and fall.
Westbound bowheads typically reach
the Barrow area in mid-September and
are in that area until late October (e.g.,
Brower, 1996). Autumn bowhead
whaling near Barrow normally begins in
mid-September to early October but may
begin as early as late-August if whales
are observed and ice conditions are
favorable (USDI/BLM, 2005). Whaling
near Barrow can continue into October,
depending on the quota and conditions.
Other animals, such as seals, walruses,
and polar bears are hunted outside of
the whaling season, but they are not the
primary source of the subsistence
harvest (URS Corporation, 2005).
There could be an adverse impact on
the Inupiat bowhead subsistence hunt if
the whales were deflected seaward
(further from shore) in traditional
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55405
hunting areas. The impact would be that
whaling crews would have to travel
greater distances to intercept westward
migrating whales thereby creating a
safety hazard for whaling crews and/or
limiting chances of successfully striking
and landing bowheads. This potential
impact is mitigated by application of the
procedures established in the 4MP.
Adaptive mitigation measures may be
employed during times of active
scouting and whaling within the
traditional subsistence hunting areas of
the potentially affected communities.
Shell did not begin activities until the
close of the spring bowhead hunts.
However, there is a possibility that their
data acquisition will not be completed
prior to the start of the fall bowhead
hunt in Barrow. However, it is not
expected that the whales will be
deflected further offshore before
reaching Barrow since Shell’s survey
will occur approximately 225 km (140
mi) west of Barrow. The whales will be
traveling westward through the Beaufort
Sea from Canada and will reach Barrow
before entering the survey area in the
Chukchi Sea. Based on these factors,
Shell’s Chukchi Sea survey is not
expected to interfere with the fall
bowhead harvest in Barrow. In recent
years, bowhead whales have
occasionally been taken in the fall by
coastal villages along the Chukchi coast,
but the total number of these animals
has been small.
Shell has adopted a spatial and
temporal operational strategy for its
Chukchi Sea operations that should
minimize impacts to subsistence
hunters. Operations will not begin prior
to the close of the spring bowhead hunt
in the Chukchi coastal villages and will
closely coordinate with and avoid
impacts to beluga whale hunts and
walrus hunts through subsistence
advisors.
The timing (late summer and fall after
many of the Chukchi Sea communities
have harvested sizeable portions of their
marine mammal quota) and distance
(approximately 113 km (70 mi) or more)
from shore, as well as the low volume
airguns to be used and the required
mitigation measures described later in
this document, are expected to mitigate
any adverse effects of the surveys on the
availability of marine mammals for
subsistence uses. NMFS does not expect
subsistence users to be directly
displaced by the surveys because
subsistence hunters usually do not
travel this far (113 km [70 mi]) offshore
to harvest marine mammals. Also,
because of the significant distance
offshore and the lack of hunting in these
areas, there is no expectation that any
physical barriers would exist between
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marine mammals and subsistence users.
Based on this information, as well as the
fact that Shell signed the 2009 Openwater CAA, NMFS has determined that
Shell’s site clearance and shallow
hazards surveys in the Chukchi Sea in
2009/2010 will not have an unmitigable
adverse impact on subsistence uses.
Plan of Cooperation (POC) and Conflict
Avoidance Agreement (CAA)
Regulations at 50 CFR 216.104(a)(12)
require IHA applicants for activities that
take place in Arctic waters to provide a
POC or information that identifies what
measures have been taken and/or will
be taken to minimize adverse effects on
the availability of marine mammals for
subsistence purposes. Shell has
prepared and will implement a draft
POC for its 2009 activities. The POC
also describes concerns received during
2008. Shell developed the POC to
mitigate and avoid any unreasonable
interference from their planned
activities with North Slope subsistence
uses and resources. The POC is, and has
been in the past, the result of numerous
meetings and consultations between
Shell, affected subsistence communities
and stakeholders, and Federal agencies.
The POC identifies and documents
potential conflicts and associated
measures that will be taken to minimize
any adverse effects on the availability of
marine mammals for subsistence use.
The Draft POC document was
distributed to the communities,
subsistence users groups, NMFS, and
USFWS on May 15, 2009. To be
effective, the POC must be a dynamic
document which will expand to
incorporate the communications and
consultation that will continue to occur
throughout 2009 and 2010. Outcomes of
POC meetings are typically included in
updates attached to the POC as addenda
and distributed to Federal, state, and
local agencies as well as local
stakeholder groups that either
adjudicate or influence mitigation
approaches for Shell’s open-water
programs.
Shell has held and plans to hold
additional community meetings in
Barrow, Wainwright, Point Hope, Point
Lay, and Kotzebue regarding its 2009
Chukchi open-water marine survey
program. Some of the community POC
meetings that have already occurred
include: February 2, 2009, in Barrow;
March 24, 2009, in Point Hope; March
25, 2009, in Kotzebue; March 26, 2009,
in Wainwright; April 22, 2009, in Point
Lay, and April 23, 2009, in Kivalina.
Shell plans to focus on lessons learned
from the 2008 open-water program to
avoid potential conflicts. During 2009,
Shell will continue to meet with the
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17:15 Oct 26, 2009
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marine mammal commissions and
committees including the AEWC,
Eskimo Walrus Commission (EWC),
Alaska Beluga Whale Committee
(ABWC), Alaska Ice Seal Committee
(AISC), and the Alaska Nanuuq
Commission (ANC). Throughout 2009,
Shell anticipates meeting with the
marine mammal commissions and
committees active in the subsistence
harvests and marine mammal research.
Also during 2009, Shell will meet at
least twice with the commissioners and
committee heads of ABWC, ANC, EWC,
and AISC jointly in co-management
meetings. During a pre-season comanagement meeting Shell presented
pre-season planning to the
commissioners and committee leads in
order to gather their input on
subsistence use concerns, consider their
traditional knowledge in the design of
project mitigations, and to hear about
their involvement in research on marine
mammals and/or traditional use.
Following the season, Shell will have a
post-season co-management meeting
with the commissioners and committee
heads to discuss results of mitigation
measures and outcomes of the preceding
season. The goal of the post-season
meeting is to build upon the knowledge
base, discuss successful or unsuccessful
outcomes of mitigation measures, and
possibly refine plans or mitigation
measures if necessary.
In addition, Shell will meet with
North Slope officials and community
leaders on an as-requested basis before
the 2009 open-water season in order to
discuss the proposed activities. Lastly,
Shell intends to discuss adaptive
conflict avoidance mechanisms to
address concerns expressed by
subsistence users in the North Slope
communities.
The POC also specifies times and
areas to avoid in order to minimize
possible conflicts with traditional
subsistence hunts by North Slope
villages for transit and open-water
activities. As mentioned elsewhere in
this document, Shell waited to begin its
2009 activities until the close of Point
Lay’s spring beluga hunt. Additionally,
Shell has stated that vessel transits in
the Chukchi Sea spring lead system will
not occur prior to July 1, 2009, and July
1, 2010.
In regard to the CAA, the AEWC
submitted a draft CAA to the industry
earlier this spring and was signed by
Shell on June 24, 2009. The 2009 CAA
incorporated all appropriate measures
and procedures regarding the timing
and areas of the Shell’s planned
activities (e.g., places where seismic
operations will be curtailed or moved in
order to avoid potential conflicts with
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active subsistence whaling and sealing);
a communications system between
Shell’s vessels and whaling and hunting
crews (i.e., the communications center
will be located in strategic areas);
provision for MMOs/Inupiat
communicators aboard all project
vessels; conflict resolution procedures;
and provisions for rendering emergency
assistance to subsistence hunting crews.
If requested, post-season meetings will
also be held to assess the effectiveness
of the 2009 CAA between Shell, the
AEWC, and the Whaling Captains
Associations, to address how well
conflicts (if any) were resolved; and to
receive recommendations on any
changes (if any) that may be needed in
the implementation of future CAAs. In
addition, NMFS has included in Shell’s
IHA, those mitigation and monitoring
measures contained in the CAA that it
determined would ensure that Shell’s
activities will not have an unmitigable
adverse impact on subsistence uses of
marine mammals.
Based on the signed CAA, the
mitigation and monitoring measures
included in the IHA (see next sections),
and the project design itself, NMFS has
determined that there will not be an
unmitigable adverse impact on
subsistence uses from Shell’s activities.
Mitigation and Monitoring
As part of its application, Shell has
implemented a 4MP that will consist of
monitoring and mitigation during their
open-water shallow hazards data
acquisition activities in the Chukchi Sea
during the 2009/2010 open-water
season. The program consists of
monitoring and mitigation during
Shell’s various activities related to
survey data acquisition, including
transit and data acquisition. This
program will provide information on the
numbers of marine mammals potentially
affected by the survey program and realtime mitigation to prevent possible
injury or mortality of marine mammals
by sources of sound and other vesselrelated activities. Monitoring efforts will
be initiated to collect data to address the
following specific objectives: (1)
improve the understanding of the
distribution and abundance of marine
mammals in the Chukchi Sea project
areas; and (2) assess the effects of sound
and vessel activities on marine
mammals inhabiting the project areas
and their distribution relative to the
local people that depend on them for
subsistence hunting. These objectives
and the monitoring and mitigation goals
will be addressed through the
utilization of vessel-based MMOs on the
survey source vessels. Additional
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information can be found in Shell’s
application.
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Mitigation Measures
The survey program incorporates both
design features and operational
procedures for minimizing potential
impacts on cetaceans and pinnipeds and
on subsistence hunts. The design
features and operational procedures are
described in the IHA application
submitted to NMFS summarized here.
Survey design features include:
• Timing and locating survey
activities to avoid interference with the
annual fall bowhead whale and other
marine mammal hunts;
• Selecting and configuring the
energy source array in such a way that
it minimizes the amount of energy
introduced into the marine environment
and, specifically, so that it minimizes
horizontal propagation;
• Limiting the size of the acoustic
energy source to only that required to
meet the technical objectives of the
survey; and
• Early season field assessment to
establish and refine (as necessary) the
appropriate 180 dB and 190 dB safety
zones, and other radii relevant to
behavioral disturbance.
The potential disturbance of cetaceans
and pinnipeds during survey operations
will be minimized further through the
implementation of several ship-based
mitigation measures, which include
establishing and monitoring safety and
disturbance zones, speed and course
alterations, ramp-up (or soft start),
power-down, and shutdown procedures,
and provisions for poor visibility
conditions.
(1) Safety and Disturbance Zones
Safety radii for marine mammals
around airgun arrays are customarily
defined as the distances within which
received pulse levels are greater than or
equal to 180 dB re 1 μPa (rms) for
cetaceans and greater than or equal to
190 dB re 1 μPa (rms) for pinnipeds.
These safety criteria are based on an
assumption that seismic pulses at lower
received levels will not injure these
animals or impair their hearing abilities,
but that higher received levels might
have such effects. It should be
understood that marine mammals inside
these safety zones will not be seriously
injured or killed as these zones were
established prior to the current
understanding that significantly higher
levels of impulse sounds would be
required before injury or mortality could
occur (see Southall et al., 2007).
Monitoring similar to that conducted
in the Chukchi Sea in 2007/2008 is
required in 2009/2010. Shell is required
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to use MMOs onboard the survey vessel
to monitor the 190 and 180 dB (rms)
safety radii for pinnipeds and cetaceans,
respectively, and to implement
appropriate mitigation as discussed in
this document.
In addition, a 160–dB (rms) vessel
monitoring zone for bowhead and gray
whales shall be established and
monitored during all survey activities.
Whenever an aggregation of 12 or more
bowhead or gray whales are observed
during a vessel-monitoring program
within the 160–dB zone around the
source vessel, the survey will not
commence or will shutdown until
MMOs confirm they are no longer
present within the 160–dB safety radius
of surveying operations (see the ‘‘Powerdowns and Shutdowns’’ subsection later
in this document). The radius of the
160–dB isopleth based on modeling is
1,400 m (0.87 mi).
During previous survey operations in
the Chukchi Sea, Shell utilized early
season sound source verification (SSV)
to establish safety zones for the
previously mentioned sound level
criteria. As the equipment being utilized
in 2009 is similar to that used in 2008,
Shell will initially utilize the derived
(i.e., measured) sound criterion
distances from 2008. An acoustics
contractor performed the direct
measurements of the received levels of
underwater sound versus distance and
direction from the energy source arrays
using calibrated hydrophones. The
acoustic data was analyzed and used to
verify (and if necessary adjust) the
safety distances.
(2) Ramp-up
A ramp-up of an energy source array
provides a gradual increase in energy
levels, and involves a step-wise increase
in the number and total volume of
energy released until the full
complement is achieved. The purpose of
a ramp-up (or ‘‘soft start’’) is to ‘‘warn’’
cetaceans and pinnipeds in the vicinity
of the energy source and to provide the
time for them to leave the area and thus
avoid any potential injury or
impairment of their hearing abilities.
During the survey program, the
operator is required ramp up energy
sources slowly, if the energy source
being utilized generates sound energy
within the frequency spectrum of
cetacean or pinniped hearing. Full
ramp-ups (i.e., from a cold start after a
shut down, when no airguns have been
firing) shall begin by firing one small
airgun. Ramp-ups are required at any
time electrical power to the airgun array
has been discontinued for a period of 10
min or more and the MMO watch has
been suspended
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Ramp-up, after a shutdown, will not
begin until there has been a minimum
of a 30 min period of observation by
MMOs of the safety zone to assure that
no marine mammals are present. The
entire safety zone must be visible during
the 30 min lead-in to a full ramp-up. If
the entire safety zone is not visible, then
ramp-up from a cold start cannot begin.
If a marine mammal(s) is sighted within
the safety zone during the 30–min
watch prior to ramp-up, ramp-up will be
delayed until the marine mammal(s) is
sighted outside of the safety zone or the
animal(s) is not sighted for at least 15
min for small odontocetes and
pinnipeds or 30 min for baleen whales
(large odontocetes do not occur within
the project area).
During periods of turn around and
transit between survey transects, at least
one airgun (or energy source) shall
remain operational. The ramp-up
procedure still must be followed when
increasing the source levels from one
gun to the full array. Keeping air gun
firing, however, avoids the prohibition
of a cold start during darkness or other
periods of poor visibility. Through use
of this approach, survey operations can
resume upon entry to a new transect
without a full ramp-up and the
associated 30–min lead-in observations.
MMOs must be on duty whenever the
airguns are firing during daylight and
during the 30–min periods prior to
ramp-ups as well as during ramp-ups.
Daylight will occur for 24 hr/day until
mid-August, so until that date, MMOs
will automatically be observing during
the 30–min period preceding a ramp-up.
Later in the season, MMOs will be
called out at night to observe prior to
and during any ramp-up. The vessel
operator and MMOs shall maintain
records of the times when ramp-ups
start and when the airgun arrays reach
full power.
(3) Power-downs and Shutdowns
A power-down is the immediate
reduction in the number of operating
energy sources from all firing to some
smaller number. A shutdown is the
immediate cessation of firing of all
energy sources. The arrays shall be
immediately powered down whenever a
marine mammal is sighted approaching
near or close to the applicable safety
zone of the full arrays but is outside the
applicable safety zone of the single
source. If a marine mammal is sighted
within the applicable safety zone of the
single energy source, the entire array
will be shut down (i.e., no sources
firing). Although MMOs will be located
on the bridge ahead of the center of the
airgun array, the shutdown criterion for
animals ahead of the vessel will be
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based on the distance from the bridge
(vantage point for MMOs) rather than
from the airgun array a precautionary
approach. For marine mammals sighted
alongside or behind the array, the
distance is measured from the array.
Following a power-down or
shutdown, operation of the airgun array
will not resume until the marine
mammal has cleared the applicable
safety zone. The animal will be
considered to have cleared the safety
zone if it:
(1) Is visually observed to have left
the safety zone;
(2) Has not been seen within the zone
for 15 min in the case of small
odontocetes and pinnipeds; or
(3) Has not been seen within the zone
for 30 min in the case of mysticetes.
For the aggregation of 12 or more
mysticete whales, the acoustic
equipment will not be turned back on or
return to full power until the
aggregation has left the 160–dB isopleth
or the animals forming the aggregation
are reduced to fewer than 12 mysticete
whales.
In the unanticipated event that an
injured or dead marine mammal is
sighted within an area where the
operator deployed and utilized airguns
within the past 24 hours, the airguns
must be shutdown immediately and the
Marine Mammal Stranding Network
notified.
(4) Operations at Night and in Poor
Visibility
Shell plans to conduct the site
clearance and shallow hazards survey
24 hr/day. Regarding nighttime
operations, note that there will be no
periods of total darkness until midAugust. When operating under
conditions of reduced visibility
attributable to darkness or to adverse
weather conditions, infra-red or nightvision binoculars will be available for
use. It is recognized, however, that their
effectiveness is limited. For that reason,
MMOs will not routinely be on watch at
night, except in periods before and
during ramp-ups. As stated earlier, if the
entire safety zone is not visible for at
least 30 min prior to ramp-up, then
ramp-up may not proceed. It should be
noted that if one small energy source
has remained firing, the rest of the array
can be ramped up during darkness or in
periods of low visibility. Survey
operations may continue under
conditions of darkness or reduced
visibility.
(5) Speed and Course Alterations
If a marine mammal (in water) is
detected outside the safety radius and,
based on its position and the relative
motion, is likely to enter the safety
radius, the vessel’s speed and/or direct
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course shall be changed in a manner
that does not compromise safety
requirements. The animal’s activities
and movements relative to the source
vessel shall be closely monitored to
ensure that the individual does not
approach within the safety radius. If the
mammal is sighted approaching near or
close to the applicable safety radius,
further mitigative actions must be taken,
i.e., either further course alterations or
power-down or shutdown of the
airgun(s).
(6) Determination on Mitigation
NMFS has determined that the
combination of the use of the mitigation
gun, ramp-up of the airgun array, and
the slow vessel speed (to allow marine
mammals sufficient time to take
necessary avoidance measures), the use
of trained MMOs, shutdown procedures
(to avoid potential injury if the animal
is close to the vessel), and the
behavioral response of marine mammals
(especially bowhead whales) to avoid
areas of high anthropogenic noise all
provide protection to marine mammals
from serious injury or mortality. As a
result, NMFS has determined that it is
not necessary to require termination of
survey activities during darkness or
reduced visibility and that the current
level of mitigation will achieve the least
practicable impact on marine mammal
species or stocks.
period (i.e., 12 hours total per day) in
order to avoid fatigue. Shell is required
to have five MMOs on-board the source
vessel at any one time during all survey
operations.
Crew leaders and most other
biologists serving as observers in 2009
are individuals with experience as
observers during one or more of the
1996–2008 monitoring projects for
Shell, WesternGeco, or BP and/or
subsequent offshore monitoring projects
for other clients in Alaska, the Canadian
Beaufort, or other offshore areas.
Biologist-observers have previous
marine mammal observation experience
and field crew leaders are highly
experienced with previous vessel-based
monitoring projects. Qualifications for
those individuals have been provided to
NMFS for review and acceptance.
Inupiat observers shall be experienced
in the region and familiar with the
marine mammals of the area. An MMO
handbook, adapted for the specifics of
the survey programs from the
handbooks created for previous
monitoring projects were prepared and
distributed to all MMOs (see Shell’s
4MP for additional details on the
handbook). All observers completed a
2–day training and refresher session on
marine mammal monitoring shortly
before the start of the 2009 open-water
season.
Marine Mammal Monitoring
Vessel-based monitoring for marine
mammals shall be conducted
throughout the period of survey
operations. The 4MP is required to be
implemented by a team of experienced
MMOs, including both biologists and
Inupiat personnel. All MMOs must be
approved by NMFS prior to the start of
operations. At least one observer on the
survey vessel will be an Inupiat who
will have the responsibility of
communicating with the Inupiat
community and (during the whaling
season) directly with the Subsistence
Advisors in coastal villages.
The MMOs shall be stationed aboard
the survey source vessel throughout the
active field season. The duties of the
MMOs include watching for and
identifying cetaceans and pinnipeds;
recording their numbers, distances, and
reactions to the survey operations;
initiating mitigation measures when
appropriate; and reporting the results.
MMOs aboard the survey source vessel
must be on watch during all daylight
periods when the energy sources are in
operation and when energy source
operations are to start up at night. Each
MMO shift shall not exceed more than
4 consecutive hours, and no MMO shall
work more than 3 shifts in a 24 hr
(1) Monitoring Methodology
The observer(s) shall watch for marine
mammals from the best available
vantage point on the operating source
vessel, which is usually the bridge or
flying bridge. The observer(s) will scan
systematically with the naked eye and 7
x 50 reticle binoculars, supplemented
with 20 x 50 image stabilized
binoculars, and night-vision equipment
when needed. Personnel on the bridge
will assist the MMOs in watching for
pinnipeds and cetaceans.
The observer(s) will give particular
attention to the areas within the ‘‘safety
zone’’ around the source vessel. These
zones are the maximum distances
within which received levels may
exceed 180 dB re 1 μPa (rms) for
cetaceans or 190 dB re 1 μPa (rms) for
pinnipeds. MMOs shall also monitor the
160 dB re 1 μPa (rms) radius for Level
B harassment takes, as this radius is
expected to be a maximum of 1,400 m
(0.87 mi). The 160–dB isopleth (1,400 m
[0.87 mi]) will also be monitored for the
presence of aggregations of 12 or more
bowhead or gray whales.
Information required to be recorded
by MMOs includes the same types of
information that were recorded during
previous monitoring programs (1998–
2008) in the Chukchi and Beaufort seas
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(Moulton and Lawson, 2002; Patterson
et al., 2007). When a mammal sighting
is made, the following information
about the sighting shall be recorded:
(1) Species, group size, age/size/sex
categories (if determinable), behavior
when first sighted and after initial
sighting, heading (if consistent), bearing
and distance from the source vessel,
apparent reaction to the source vessel
(e.g., none, avoidance, approach,
paralleling, etc.), closest point of
approach, and behavioral pace;
(2) Time, location, heading, speed,
activity of the vessel, and operational
state (e.g., operating airguns, ramp-up,
etc.), sea state, ice cover, visibility, and
sun glare; and
(3) The positions of other vessel(s) in
the vicinity of the source vessel. This
information will be recorded by the
MMOs at times of whale (but not seal)
sightings.
The ship’s position, heading, and
speed, the operational state (e.g.,
number and size of operating energy
sources), and water temperature (if
available), water depth, sea state, ice
cover, visibility, and sun glare shall also
be recorded at the start and end of each
observation watch and, during a watch,
every 30 min and whenever there is a
change in one or more of those
variables.
Distances to nearby marine mammals,
e.g., those within or near the 190 dB (or
other) safety zone applicable to
pinnipeds, will be estimated with
binoculars (7 x 50) containing a reticle
to measure the vertical angle of the line
of sight to the animal relative to the
horizon.
Observers will use a laser rangefinder
to test and improve their abilities for
visually estimating distances to objects
in the water. Previous experience
showed that this Class 1 eye-safe device
was not able to measure distances to
seals more than about 70 m (230 ft)
away. (Previous SSV measurements
indicate that the 190–dB safety radius
for the 4 x 10 in3 airgun array proposed
for use during Shell’s site clearance and
shallow hazards survey is
approximately 50 m (164 ft), well within
the range of 70 m (230 ft)). However, it
was very useful in improving the
distance estimation abilities of the
observers at distances up to about 600
m (1968 ft)-the maximum range at
which the device could measure
distances to highly reflective objects
such as other vessels.
When a marine mammal is seen
within the safety radius applicable to
that species, the geophysical crew shall
be notified immediately so that the
required mitigation measures described
previously in this document can be
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implemented. As in 1996–2001 and in
2006–2008, it is expected that the airgun
arrays will be shut down within several
seconds-often before the next shot
would be fired, and almost always
before more than one additional shot is
fired. The MMO shall then maintain a
watch to determine when the
mammal(s) is outside the safety zone
such that airgun operations can resume.
Night vision equipment (‘‘Generation
3’’ binocular image intensifiers or
equivalent units) will be available for
use when needed. Prior to mid-August,
there will be no hours of total darkness
in the project area. The operators shall
provide or arrange for the following
specialized field equipment for use by
the onboard MMOs: reticule binoculars,
20 x 50 image stabilized binoculars,
‘‘Big-eye’’ binoculars, laser rangefinders,
inclinometer, laptop computers, night
vision binoculars, and possibly digital
still and digital video cameras.
(2) Field Data-recording and Verification
The observers shall record their
observations onto datasheets or directly
into handheld computers. During
periods between watches and periods
when operations are suspended, those
data will be entered into a laptop
computer running a custom computer
database. The accuracy of the data entry
will be verified in the field by
computerized validity checks as the
data are entered and by subsequent
manual checking of the database
printouts. These procedures allow
initial summaries of data to be prepared
during and shortly after the field season
and will facilitate transfer of the data to
statistical, graphical, or other programs
for further processing. Quality control of
the data will be facilitated by the startof-season training session, subsequent
supervision by the onboard field crew
leader, and ongoing data checks during
the field season.
(3) Acoustic Sound Source Verification
Measurements
As part of the IHA application process
for similar shallow hazards and marine
survey acquisition in 2006–2008, Shell
contracted JASCO Research Ltd. to
conduct acoustic measurements of
vessel and energy source arrays on
source and support to broadband
received levels of 190, 180, 170, 160,
and 120 dB re 1 μPa (rms; see Table 1
of Attachment A in Shell’s application).
The radii measured by these previous
SSV tests will be utilized as temporary
safety radii until current SSV
measurements of the actual airgun array
sound are available as mentioned earlier
in this document. The measurements
wer made at the beginning of the field
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55409
season and the measured radii are to
used for the remainder of the survey
period.
The objectives of the SSV tests
planned for 2009 in the Chukchi Sea
and the methods used to conduct the
tests were described in Shell’s 4MP and
the Notice of Proposed IHA (74 FR
26217, June 1, 2009).
(4) Chukchi Sea Acoustic Arrays
Shell and ConocoPhillips are jointly
funding an extensive acoustic
monitoring program in the Chukchi Sea
in 2009. This program incorporates the
acoustic programs of 2006–2008 with a
total of 44 recorders distributed both
broadly across the Chukchi lease area
and the nearshore environment and
intensively on the Burger and Klondike
lease areas. The broad area arrays are
designed to capture both general
background soundscape data and
marine mammal call data across the
lease area. From these recordings, it is
anticipated that Shell (and others) may
be able to gain insights into large-scale
distribution of marine mammals,
identification of marine mammal
species present, movement and
migration patters, and general
abundance data.
The intense area arrays are designed
to support localization of marine
mammal calls on and around the
leasehold areas. In the case of the Burger
prospect, where Shell intends to
conduct shallow hazards data
acquisition, localized calls will enable
investigators to understand response of
marine mammals to survey operations
both in terms of distribution around the
operation and behavior (i.e., calling
behavior).
(5) Aerial Surveys
No manned aerial overflights are
anticipated during the 2009 shallow
hazards and marine survey activities. In
the Chukchi Sea, all shallow hazards
activities will be conducted beyond 113
km (70 mi) from shore and well away
from coastal communities or nearshore
concentrations of subsistence resources.
The strudel scour survey will be
conducted beyond 8 km (5 mi) from
shore and will utilize sources of low
energy and frequencies outside the
hearing ranges of cetacean and pinniped
species in the area. Additionally, the
energy source to be utilized by Shell for
the survey operations is minimal by
comparison to larger scale seismic
operations. It is not anticipated that
manned overflights would accomplish
any direct mitigative effects or
monitoring purpose. Additionally, aerial
surveys are not required in the Chukchi
Sea because they have currently been
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determined to be impracticable due to
lack of adequate landing facilities, the
prevalence of fog and other inclement
weather in that area, potentially
resulting in an inability to return to the
airport of origin, thereby resulting in
safety concerns. Although no manned
aerial surveys are planned as part of the
4MP, NMFS has determined that the
monitoring and mitigation measures
proposed by Shell in its 4MP and
required in the IHA will be sufficient to
reduce impacts on marine mammals to
the lowest level practicable.
(6) Monitoring Plan Independent Peer
Review
The MMPA requires that monitoring
plans be independently peer reviewed
‘‘where the proposed activity may affect
the availability of a species or stock for
taking for subsistence uses’’ (16 U.S.C.
1371(a)(5)(D)(ii)(III)). Regarding this
requirement, NMFS’ implementing
regulations state, ‘‘Upon receipt of a
complete monitoring plan, and at its
discretion, [NMFS] will either submit
the plan to members of a peer review
panel for review or within 60 days of
receipt of the proposed monitoring plan,
schedule a workshop to review the
plan’’ (50 CFR 216.108(d)). Shell’s 4MP
was discussed by meeting participants
at the Arctic Stakeholder Open-water
Workshop in Anchorage, Alaska, on
April 6–8, 2009. On April 24, 2009,
NMFS received a letter from the AEWC,
which noted that while there was
discussion of the 4MP at the workshop,
they do not believe that there was ample
review of the plan and wanted to know
NMFS’ plans to hold an independent
peer review in order to meet its
statutory requirement.
NMFS established an independent
peer review panel to review Shell’s
monitoring plan for the 2009/2010
open-water season activities. NMFS
asked the AEWC, the Marine Mammal
Commission, and Shell to recommend
independent subject matter experts to
take part in the panel. NMFS selected
and contacted the panelists from the
names submitted by the aforementioned
organizations. NMFS received
comments from two of the reviewers.
NMFS considered the recommendations
of the reviewers and modified the
monitoring plan, as appropriate.
The comments from the independent
peer reviewers focused on the following:
(1) the number of MMOs; (2)
qualifications and training of MMOs; (3)
standardization of methods and gear; (4)
the inability of MMOs to monitor at
night; (5) the efficacy of ramp-up and
the minimum period for shutdowns;
and (6) acoustic monitoring. The
reviewers also addressed concerns
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Technical Reports
influencing detectability of marine
mammals (e.g., sea state, number of
observers, and fog/glare); (4) species
composition, occurrence, and
distribution of marine mammal
sightings, including date, water depth,
numbers, age/size/gender categories (if
determinable), group sizes, and ice
cover; (5) sighting rates of marine
mammals versus operational state (and
other variables that could affect
detectability); (6) initial sighting
distances versus operational state; (7)
closest point of approach versus
operational state; (8) observed behaviors
and types of movements versus
operational state; (9) numbers of
sightings/individuals seen versus
operational state; (10) distribution
around the acoustic source vessel versus
operational state; and (11) estimates of
take by harassment. The take estimates
will be calculated using two different
methods to provide both minimum and
maximum estimates. The minimum
estimate will be based on the numbers
of marine mammals directly seen within
the relevant radii (160, 180, and 190 dB
(rms)) by observers on the source vessel
during survey activities. The maximum
estimate will be calculated using
densities of marine mammals
determined for non-acoustic areas and
times. These density estimates will be
calculated from data collected during (a)
vessel based surveys in non-operational
areas, or (b) observations from the
source vessel or supply boats during
non-operational periods. The estimated
densities in areas without data
acquisition activity will be applied to
the amount of area exposed to the
relevant levels of sound to calculate the
maximum number of animals
potentially exposed or deflected. This
report shall be due 90 days after
termination of the 2009 open-water
season and shall include the results
from any seismic work conducted in the
Chukchi/Beaufort Seas in 2009 under
the previous IHA, which expired on
August 19, 2009.
The results of the 2009 Shell vesselbased monitoring, including estimates
of ‘‘take’’ by harassment, shall be
presented in the ‘‘90–day’’ and Final
Technical reports, as required by NMFS
in the IHA. The Technical Reports shall
include: (1) summaries of monitoring
effort (e.g., total hours, total distances,
and marine mammal distribution
through study period versus operational
state, sea state, and other factors
affecting visibility and detectability of
marine mammals); (2) summaries of the
occurrence of power-downs, shutdowns,
ramp-ups, and ramp-up delays; (3)
analyses of the effects of various factors,
Comprehensive Monitoring Reports
In November, 2007, Shell (in
coordination and cooperation with other
Arctic seismic IHA holders) released a
final, peer-reviewed edition of the 2006
Joint Monitoring Program in the
Chukchi and Beaufort Seas, JulyNovember 2006 (LGL, 2007). This report
is available on the NMFS Protected
Resources website (see ADDRESSES). In
March, 2009, Shell released a final,
peer-reviewed edition of the Joint
Monitoring Program in the Chukchi and
Beaufort Seas, Open Water Seasons,
2006–2007 (Ireland et al., 2009). This
report is also available on the NMFS
similar to those raised by the public
about the density estimates and take
calculations and estimates. Those
concerns are addressed in the ‘‘Density
and Take Estimate Concerns’’
subsection of the ‘‘Comments and
Responses’’ section earlier in this
document.
Shell has clarified some of the
ambiguities in the 4MP, which address
some of the concerns of the reviewers.
Five MMOs will be on-board the site
clearance and shallow hazards vessel for
the duration of the survey. This will
allow for two MMOs to be on duty
during all pre-ramp-up and ramp-up
periods and for as large a portion of
active surveying during daylight hours
for no more than 12 hours per day.
Clarification has also been provided on
the training and qualifications of the
MMOs. The MMO handbook contains
information on all species expected to
occur in the project area, and posttraining exams are required to verify
proficiencies. Concerns regarding
monitoring at night and the efficacy of
ramp-up were addressed in the
responses to the public comments.
Ramp-up must occur if the airguns have
been shutdown for 10 minutes or more.
The reviewers also suggested the use of
PAM as an alternate monitoring
measure at night and in poor visibility
conditions. The explanation for not
requiring PAM was discussed earlier in
this document and NMFS’ EA.
Reporting
SSV Report
A report on the preliminary results of
the acoustic verification measurements,
including as a minimum the measured
190-, 180-, and 160–dB (rms) radii of the
airgun sources, shall be submitted
within 120 hr after collection and
analysis of those measurements at the
start of the field season. This report will
specify the distances of the safety zones
that were adopted for the survey.
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Protected Resources website (see
ADDRESSES). A draft comprehensive
report for 2008 (Funk et al., 2009) was
provided to NMFS and those attending
the Arctic Stakeholder Open-water
Workshop in Anchorage, Alaska, on
April 6–8, 2009. The 2008 report
provides data and analyses from a
number of industry monitoring and
research studies carried out in the
Chukchi and Beaufort Seas during the
2008 open-water season with
comparison to data collected in 2006
and 2007. Once Shell is able to
incorporate reviewer comments, the
final 2008 report will be made available
to the public.
Following the 2009 open-water
season, a comprehensive report
describing the acoustic and vessel-based
monitoring programs will be prepared.
The comprehensive report will describe
the methods, results, conclusions and
limitations of each of the individual
data sets in detail. The report will also
integrate (to the extent possible) the
program into an assessment of 2009
industry activities and their impacts on
marine mammals. The report will help
to establish long term data sets that can
assist with the evaluation of changes, if
any, in the Chukchi Sea ecosystem. The
report will attempt to provide a regional
synthesis of available data on industry
activity in offshore areas of northern
Alaska that may influence marine
mammal density, distribution, and
behavior.
This report will consider data from
many different sources including
differing types of acoustic systems for
data collection (net array and OBH
systems) and vessel based observations.
Collection of comparable data across the
wide array of programs will help with
the synthesis of information and allow
integration of the data sets over a period
of years. Data protocols for the acoustic
operations will be similar to those used
in 2006–2008 to facilitate this
integration.
Endangered Species Act
NMFS previously consulted under
section 7 of the ESA on the issuance of
IHAs for seismic survey activities in the
Beaufort and Chukchi Seas. In a
Biological Opinion issued on July 17,
2008, NMFS concluded that the
issuance of seismic survey permits by
MMS and the issuance of the associated
IHAs for seismic surveys are not likely
to jeopardize the continued existence of
threatened or endangered species
(specifically the bowhead, humpback,
and fin whales) under the jurisdiction of
NMFS or destroy or adversely modify
any designated critical habitat. The 2008
Biological Opinion takes into
VerDate Nov<24>2008
17:15 Oct 26, 2009
Jkt 220001
consideration all oil and gas related
activities that are reasonably likely to
occur, including exploratory (but not
production) oil drilling activities. NMFS
has reviewed Shell’s proposed activities
in light of the 2008 Biological Opinion
and believes that Shell’s 2009/2010
open-water season activities and their
effects are adequately analyzed in the
2008 Biological Opinion. NMFS has
issued an ITS under this Biological
Opinion which contains reasonable and
prudent measures with implementing
terms and conditions to minimize the
effects of take of listed species.
National Environmental Policy Act
(NEPA)
NMFS prepared an EA that includes
an analysis of potential environmental
effects associated with NMFS’ issuance
of an IHA to Shell to take marine
mammals incidental to conducting its
open-water marine survey program in
the Chukchi Sea during 2009–2010.
NMFS has finalized the EA and
prepared a FONSI for this action.
Therefore, preparation of an EIS is not
necessary.
Determinations
Based on the information provided in
Shell’s application, Shell’s application
addenda, this document, Shell’s 2009
4MP, the 2006 and 2007 Final
Comprehensive Reports, the 2008 Draft
Comprehensive Report, NMFS’ 2009
EA, and other relevant documents,
NMFS has determined that the impact
of Shell conducting its proposed openwater marine survey program (site
clearance and shallow hazards and
strudel scour surveys) in the Chukchi
Sea during the 2009/2010 open-water
season may result, at worst, in a
temporary modification in behavior
(Level B Harassment) of small numbers
of 12 species of marine mammals, will
have no more than a negligible impact
on the affected species or stocks, and
will not have an unmitigable adverse
impact on the availability of such
species or stock for taking for
subsistence purposes, provided the
mitigation measures described
previously in this document are
implemented.
While the number of potential
incidental harassment takes will depend
on the distribution and abundance of
marine mammals (which vary annually
due to variable ice conditions and other
factors) in the area of survey operations,
the number of potential harassment
takings is estimated to be small (less
than one percent of any of the estimated
population sizes) and has been
mitigated to the lowest level practicable
through incorporation of the measures
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55411
mentioned previously in this document.
NMFS anticipates the actual take of
individuals to be lower than the
numbers presented in the analysis
because those numbers do not reflect
either the implementation of the
required mitigation measures or the fact
that some animals will avoid the sound
at levels lower than those expected to
result in harassment.
In addition, no take by death and/or
serious injury is anticipated, and the
potential for temporary or permanent
hearing impairment will be avoided
through the incorporation of the
mitigation and monitoring measures
described earlier in this document. This
determination is supported by the fact
that: (1) given sufficient notice through
slow ship speed and ramp-up of
acoustic equipment, marine mammals
are expected to move away from a
sound source prior to it becoming
potentially injurious; (2) TTS is unlikely
to occur, especially in odontocetes and
pinnipeds, until sound levels above 180
dB re 1 μPa (rms) and 190 dB re 1 μPa
(rms), respectively, are reached; and (3)
animals are unlikely to be exposed to
potentially injurious levels of sound
unless they get very close to the vessel
(approximately 160 m (525 ft) for the
180 dB (rms) radius and 50 m (164 ft)
for the 190 dB (rms) radius). However,
as stated earlier in this document, based
on the configuration of the airgun array
and streamers, it is highly unlikely that
a marine mammal would approach
within 160 m (525 ft) of the seismic
vessel. No rookeries, mating grounds,
areas of concentrated feeding, or other
areas of special significance for marine
mammals occur within the area of
operations during the season of
operations.
NMFS has determined that Shell’s
open-water marine survey program in
the Chukchi Sea in 2009/2010 will not
have an unmitigable adverse impact on
the subsistence uses of bowhead whales
and other marine mammals. This
determination is supported by the
information in this Federal Register
Notice, including: (1) Survey activities
will not begin prior to the closure of the
spring bowhead hunt in Chukchi coastal
villages; (2) Shell will closely
coordinate with and avoid impacts to
beluga whale hunts through subsistence
advisors; (3) activities are scheduled to
avoid the traditional subsistence beluga
hunt, which annually occurs in July in
the community of Point Lay; (4) Barrow
is east of the project area, so the animals
will reach Barrow before entering the
project area on their fall westward
migration through the Beaufort and
Chukchi Seas; (5) the fact that survey
activities will occur more than 113 km
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sroberts on DSKD5P82C1PROD with NOTICES
(70 mi) or more from shore, and most
cetaceans and pinnipeds are hunted
much closer to the shore; and (6) that
several of the required mitigation and
monitoring conditions in the IHA
(described earlier in this document) are
designed to ensure that there will not be
VerDate Nov<24>2008
17:15 Oct 26, 2009
Jkt 220001
an unmitigable adverse impact on
subsistence uses of marine mammals.
during the 2009/2010 Arctic open-water
season.
Authorization
Dated: October 19, 2009.
James H. Lecky,
Director, Office of Protected Resources,
National Marine Fisheries Service.
[FR Doc. E9–25545 Filed 10–26–09; 8:45 am]
As a result of these determinations,
NMFS has issued an IHA to Shell for
conducting an open-water marine
survey program in the Chukchi Sea
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 74, Number 206 (Tuesday, October 27, 2009)]
[Notices]
[Pages 55368-55412]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: E9-25545]
[[Page 55367]]
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Part III
Department of Commerce
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National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
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Small Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to Specified Activities; Open-
water Marine Survey Program in the Chukchi Sea, Alaska, During 2009-
2010; Notice
Federal Register / Vol. 74, No. 206 / Tuesday, October 27, 2009 /
Notices
[[Page 55368]]
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DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
RIN 0648-XP00
Small Takes of Marine Mammals Incidental to Specified Activities;
Open-water Marine Survey Program in the Chukchi Sea, Alaska, During
2009-2010
AGENCY: National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Commerce.
ACTION: Notice; issuance of an incidental take authorization.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: In accordance with the Marine Mammal Protection Act (MMPA)
regulations, notification is hereby given that NMFS has issued an
Incidental Harassment Authorization (IHA) to Shell Offshore Inc. and
Shell Gulf of Mexico Inc., collectively known as Shell, to take, by
harassment, small numbers of 12 species of marine mammals incidental to
an open-water marine survey program, which includes shallow hazards and
site clearance work and strudel scour surveys, in the Chukchi Sea,
Alaska, during the 2009/2010 Arctic open-water season.
DATES: Effective August 19, 2009, through August 18, 2010.
ADDRESSES: A copy of the application containing a list of the
references used in this document, two addenda to the application, NMFS'
Environmental Assessment (EA) and Finding of No Significant Impact
(FONSI), and the IHA may be obtained by writing to the address
specified above, telephoning the contact listed below (see FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT), or visiting the Internet at: https://www.nmfs.noaa.gov/pr/permits/incidental.htm#applications.
Documents cited in this notice may be viewed, by appointment,
during regular business hours, at the aforementioned address.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Candace Nachman, Office of Protected
Resources, NMFS, (301) 713-2289 or Brad Smith, NMFS, Alaska Region,
(907) 271-3023.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background
Sections 101(a)(5)(A) and (D) of the MMPA (16 U.S.C. 1361 et seq.)
direct the Secretary of Commerce to allow, upon request, the
incidental, but not intentional, taking of small numbers of marine
mammals by U.S. citizens who engage in a specified activity (other than
commercial fishing) within a specified geographical region if certain
findings are made and either regulations are issued or, if the taking
is limited to harassment, a notice of a proposed authorization is
provided to the public for review.
Authorization for incidental takings shall be granted if NMFS finds
that the taking will have a negligible impact on the species or
stock(s), will not have an unmitigable adverse impact on the
availability of the species or stock(s) for subsistence uses (where
relevant), and if the permissible methods of taking and requirements
pertaining to the mitigation, monitoring and reporting of such takings
are set forth. NMFS has defined ``negligible impact'' in 50 CFR 216.103
as ``... an impact resulting from the specified activity that cannot be
reasonably expected to, and is not reasonably likely to, adversely
affect the species or stock through effects on annual rates of
recruitment or survival.''
Section 101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA established an expedited process
by which citizens of the U.S. can apply for an authorization to
incidentally take small numbers of marine mammals by harassment. Except
with respect to certain activities not pertinent here, the MMPA defines
``harassment'' as:
any act of pursuit, torment, or annoyance which (i) has the
potential to injure a marine mammal or marine mammal stock in the
wild [Level A harassment]; or (ii) has the potential to disturb a
marine mammal or marine mammal stock in the wild by causing
disruption of behavioral patterns, including, but not limited to,
migration, breathing, nursing, breeding, feeding, or sheltering
[Level B harassment].
Section 101(a)(5)(D) establishes a 45-day time limit for NMFS
review of an application followed by a 30-day public notice and comment
period on any proposed authorization for the incidental harassment of
marine mammals. Within 45 days of the close of the comment period, NMFS
must either issue or deny the authorization.
Summary of Request
On December 15, 2008, NMFS received an application from Shell for
the taking, by Level B harassment only, of small numbers of several
species of marine mammals incidental to conducting an open-water marine
survey program during the 2009/2010 Arctic open-water season in the
Chukchi Sea. Shell plans to conduct site clearance and shallow hazards
surveys and a strudel scour survey in the Chukchi Sea. These surveys
are a continuation of those conducted by Shell in the Chukchi Sea in
2008. Shell's December 2008, application also requested MMPA coverage
for site clearance and shallow hazards surveys, an ice gouge survey,
and a strudel scour survey in the Beaufort Sea and an ice gouge survey
in the Chukchi Sea for the 2009/2010 season. However, in an addendum to
the IHA application submitted to NMFS on March 10, 2009, Shell
indicated that it cancelled all survey programs for the Beaufort Sea
and the ice gouge survey for the Chukchi Sea in 2009. Shell submitted a
second application addendum on May 19, 2009, indicating that Shell will
utilize an array of 4 x 10 in\3\ guns (40 in\3\ total discharge volume)
instead of the 2 x 10 in\3\ array (20 in\3\ total discharge volume).
Site clearance and shallow hazards surveys will evaluate the
seafloor and shallow sub-seafloor at prospective exploration drilling
locations, focusing on the depth to seafloor, topography, the potential
for shallow faults or gas zones, and the presence of archaeological
features. The types of equipment used to conduct these surveys use low
level energy sources focused on limited areas in order to characterize
the footprint of the seafloor and shallow sub-seafloor at prospective
drilling locations.
Description of the Specified Activity
Chukchi Site Clearance and Shallow Hazards Surveys
Site clearance and shallow hazards surveys of potential proposed
locations for exploration drilling will be executed as required by the
Minerals Management Service's (MMS) regulations. These surveys gather
data on: (1) bathymetry; (2) seabed topography and other seabed
characteristics (e.g., boulder patches); (3) potential geohazards
(e.g., shallow faults and shallow gas zones); and (4) the presence of
any archeological features (e.g., shipwrecks). Site clearance and
shallow hazards surveys can be accomplished by one vessel with acoustic
sources. A detailed overview of the activities of this survey was
provided in the Notice of Proposed IHA (74 FR 26217, June 1, 2009).
Since publication of that notice, Shell updated two pieces of
information. First, the R/V Mt. Mitchell will be utilized as the source
vessel for the site clearance and shallow hazards surveys. The R/V Mt.
Mitchell is a diesel powered vessel, 70 m (231 ft) long, 12.7 m (42 ft)
wide, with a 4.5 m (15 ft) draft. Second, the specific prospects within
Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) Lease Sale (LS) 193 have been identified.
Shell will conduct the surveys at the Burger and Crackerjack prospects
and, if time and weather conditions permit, at SW Shoebill. Additional
information is also
[[Page 55369]]
contained in Shell's application and application addenda, which are
available for review (see ADDRESSES).
Chukchi Strudel Scour Survey
During the early melt, the rivers begin to flow and discharge water
over the coastal sea ice near the river deltas. That water rushes down
holes in the ice (``strudels'') and scours the seafloor. These
erosional areas are called ``strudel scours''. Information on these
features is required for prospective pipeline planning. Two proposed
activities are required to gather this information: aerial survey via
helicopter overflights during the melt to locate the strudels and
strudel scour marine surveys to gather bathymetric data. Additional
information was provided in the Notice of Proposed IHA (74 FR 26217,
June 1, 2009) and Shell's application (see ADDRESSES).
Comments and Responses
A notice of receipt of Shell's MMPA application and NMFS' proposal
to issue an IHA to Shell published in the Federal Register on June 1,
2009 (74 FR 26217). That notice described, in detail, Shell's proposed
activity, the marine mammal species that may be affected by the
activity, and the anticipated effects on marine mammals. During the 30-
day public comment period, NMFS received six comment letters from the
following: the Marine Mammal Commission (MMC); Ocean Conservancy and
Oceana; the Alaska Eskimo Whaling Commission (AEWC); the Inupiat
Community of the Arctic Slope (ICAS); the North Slope Borough (NSB)
Office of the Mayor and NSB Department of Wildlife Management
(collectively ``NSB''); and Alaska Wilderness League (AWL), Center for
Biological Diversity, Defenders of Wildlife, Earthjustice, Natural
Resources Defense Council, Northern Alaska Environmental Center,
Pacific Environment, Sierra Club, The Wilderness Society, and World
Wildlife Fund (collectively ``AWL''), along with an attached letter
from David E. Bain, Ph.D.
Both AEWC and NSB submitted several journal articles as attachments
to their comment letters. NMFS acknowledges receipt of these documents
but does not intend to address the specific articles themselves in the
responses to comments. AEWC also submitted an unsigned, final version
of the 2009 Conflict Avoidance Agreement (CAA). However, Shell signed
the CAA on June 24, 2009. Some of NSB's comments were specific to the
application and do not have a bearing on NMFS' determinations for
issuing an IHA. For example, NSB pointed out that Figure 1 in Shell's
application failed to identify the Alaska Maritime National Wildlife
Refuge north of Point Lay and asked that the figure be revised. Those
comments have been passed on to Shell for consideration in future IHA
applications. Any application specific comments that address the
statutory and regulatory requirements or findings NMFS must make to
issue an IHA are addressed in this section of the Federal Register
notice. Additionally, some of NSB's comments concerned the Beaufort Sea
operations or ice gouge surveys. As noted above and in the Notice of
Proposed IHA (74 FR 26217, June 1, 2009), Shell notified NMFS that it
did not intend to conduct these activities; therefore, no marine
mammals will be taken. Comments on the Beaufort operations and Chukchi
ice gouge survey are not addressed in this document.
General Comments
Comment 1: AWL believes that NMFS should not issue incidental take
authorizations for oil and gas-related seismic surveying until NMFS and
other agencies complete a comprehensive review of both the industrial
activities and the marine resources of the Arctic. This review should
ensure that critical information gaps relating to the Arctic are filled
and that decisions made about Arctic activities are made in the context
of a comprehensive plan for the region. In the interim, NMFS should not
facilitate further potentially harmful seismic activity.
Response: In order to issue an authorization pursuant to Section
101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA, NMFS must determine that the authorized
activity will take only small numbers of marine mammals, will have a
negligible impact on affected species or stocks, and will not have an
unmitigable adverse impact on affected species or stocks for
subsistence uses. If NMFS is able to make these findings, the Secretary
is required to issue an IHA. In the case of Shell's activities for
2009/2010 (as described in the application, the Notice of Proposed IHA
(74 FR 26217, June 1, 2009) and this document), NMFS determined that
the authorized activity met the requirements of Section 101(a)(5)(D) of
the MMPA. Additionally, as described later in this section and
throughout this document, NMFS has determined that Shell's activities
will not result in injury or mortality of marine mammals.
Comment 2: AWL, ICAS, and Ocean Conservancy and Oceana note that
Shell's activities will occur on leases that were acquired in OCS LS
193, which was conducted pursuant to MMS' 2007-2012 Five-Year Leasing
Program. This leasing program is part of on-going litigation. NMFS
should not issue IHAs for activities on these leases until the
litigation is resolved.
Response: NMFS is aware of the litigation in the U.S. Court of
Appeals for the D.C. Circuit, but we disagree with the commenter's
assertion that NMFS should not issue IHAs for activities on these
leases until the litigation is resolved. Although the court issued an
opinion vacating and remanding the 5-yr lease program to MMS, it also
issued an order (on July 28, 2009) staying its mandate. MMS informed
the court that it would complete remand proceedings as soon as possible
and that, in the meantime, it would continue to review and act upon
exploration plans for Chukchi Sea leases. MMS stated, however, that it
would suspend activities under any approved plan pending the Secretary
of the Interior's reconsideration decision on the remanded program,
thereby halting all but data gathering ancillary activities on Chukchi
Sea leases. Shell's 2009 operations are unaffected by the litigation
because they are data gathering ancillary activities. Therefore, NMFS
has concluded it was appropriate to issue an IHA to Shell for its 2009
seismic operations.
Comment 3: ICAS points out that Native communities in Alaska have
long been ignored in the race to find and develop offshore oil and gas
resources and that the U.S. Government has consistently failed to
comply with legal requirements that require consultation with local
Native communities as proposals are being developed that affect native
environments. Instead, both Federal agencies and the entities they
permit make only token gestures at consultations with Native groups
offering them only the opportunity for involvement after proposals are
developed and after local knowledge would serve a useful purpose.
Response: Regulations at 50 CFR 216.104(a)(12) require applicants
for IHAs in Arctic waters to submit a Plan of Cooperation (POC), which,
among other things, requires the applicant to meet with affected
subsistence communities to discuss the proposed activities.
Additionally, for many years, NMFS has conducted the Arctic Open-water
Meeting, which brings together the Federal agencies, the oil and gas
industry, and affected Alaska Native organizations to discuss the
proposed activities and monitoring plans. Local knowledge is considered
at these times, and it is not too late for that knowledge to serve a
useful purpose.
[[Page 55370]]
Comment 4: Executive Order 13175 requires Federal agencies to
conduct government-to-government consultation when undertaking to
formulate and implement policies that have tribal implications. Despite
this explicit requirement, ICAS believes that NMFS has failed to
consult with governing bodies of Native people who will be and have
been affected by the decisions NMFS is making under the MMPA. NMFS must
meet with ICAS and local Native villages on a government-to-government
basis to discuss the proposed IHA, as well as appropriate mitigation
and monitoring requirements.
Response: NMFS recognizes the importance of the government-to-
government relations and has taken steps to ensure that Alaska Natives
play an active role in the management of Arctic species. For example,
NOAA and the AEWC co-manage bowhead whales pursuant to a cooperative
agreement. This agreement has allowed the AEWC to play a significant
role in the management of a valuable resource by affording Alaska
Natives the opportunity to protect bowhead whales and the Eskimo
culture and to promote scientific investigation, among other purposes.
In addition, NMFS works closely with Alaska Natives when
considering whether to permit the take of marine mammals incidental to
oil and gas operations. NMFS has met repeatedly over the years with
Alaska Native representatives to discuss concerns related to NMFS' MMPA
program in the Arctic, and has also taken into account recommended
mitigation measures to reduce the impact of oil and gas operations on
bowhead whales and to ensure the availability of marine mammals for
taking for subsistence uses. Finally, NMFS has participated in Alaska
Native community meetings in the past and will continue to do so, when
feasible. NMFS will continue to ensure that it meets its government-to-
government responsibilities and will work closely with Alaska Natives
to address their concerns.
Comment 5: Ocean Conservancy and Oceana believe that Shell's
activities could substantially affect marine mammals in an area already
impacted by climate change and particularly vulnerable to ocean
acidification. Approving an IHA in these circumstances would be
contrary to NMFS' responsibilities under the law.
Response: NMFS believes that it has made all of the necessary
determinations in order to issue an IHA pursuant to Section
101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA. NMFS has determined that Shell's activities
will affect only small numbers of marine mammals, will have a
negligible impact on the affected species and stocks, and will not have
an unmitigable adverse impact on the availability of such species or
stock for taking for subsistence purposes, provided the mitigation
measures described later in this document are implemented. NMFS
completed an EA to analyze the impacts of cumulative activities on the
affected species in the action area, including climate change.
Comment 6: AEWC and NSB expressed three concerns with the timing of
IHA applications. First, they ask that only one authorization be issued
per calendar year or per operating season for work associated with a
specific project. Secondly, NMFS should ensure that IHA applications
are submitted at least 1 month prior to the April Open-water Meeting or
comparable peer review meetings that may ultimately replace such
meetings. This will allow Native communities to receive draft POCs and
proposed mitigation measures sufficiently in advance of these meetings
to allow for meaningful discussion of any identified major flaws,
evaluation of suggested improvements that draw upon our particular
local expertise, and consideration of appropriate peer reviewers.
Lastly, they request that NMFS change the expiration date for
authorizations so that a single calendar year is authorized rather than
activities in the latter part of one calendar year and the early part
of the following year.
Response: Regarding the first and third points, Section
101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA allows NMFS to issue IHAs ``for periods of not
more than 1 year.'' There is no requirement that the period of
effectiveness of an IHA fall within 1 calendar year or operating
season. In instances where the period of effectiveness of an IHA would
cover more than one operating season (i.e., there is considerable
downtime between the start and finish of the operations), NMFS analyzes
impacts for the entire extent of the operations when issuing the IHA.
Regarding the second point about distribution of applications, NMFS
cannot guarantee that all applications will be submitted to NMFS at
least 1 month prior to the meeting. NMFS has a unique relationship with
AEWC pursuant to a cooperative agreement. Pursuant to this agreement,
NOAA is required to consult with AEWC on any action undertaken or
proposed to be undertaken that may affect the bowhead whale and/or
subsistence whaling. To that end, NMFS will make every effort to
provide the AEWC with as much information as possible prior to the
Open-water Meeting or comparable peer review meeting. However, it is
NMFS' practice not to release applications for MMPA authorizations
until NMFS deems them complete and a proposed IHA notice or notice of
receipt of an application for rulemaking has published in the Federal
Register.
Comment 7: NSB notes that Shell's application indicates that
several vessels will be involved in the 2009-2010 period, involving
various transit routes that are to be used to reach the Arctic survey
sites. There is an absence of discussion of impacts and ``takes'' that
may occur upon these transit routes. Shell needs to consider and state
the impacts sufficiently. Additionally, Shell should consider other
stocks of belugas beyond the Beaufort and Chukchi sea stocks, as
impacts may occur in Bristol Bay during ship transit.
Response: As has been stated in several Federal Register notices in
the past, normal shipping and transit operations do not rise to a level
requiring an authorization under the MMPA. To require IHAs and Letters
of Authorization (LOAs) for standard shipping would reduce the ability
of NMFS to review activities that have a potential to cause harm to
marine mammal populations. For example, in the Arctic Ocean, NMFS would
need to issue authorizations for barging operations that supply the
North Slope villages in addition to various onshore and offshore oil
and gas projects. However, on this matter, Shell will (in keeping with
the CAA signed by Shell) follow transit routes contained in the CAA to
avoid conflicts with subsistence hunters.
Comment 8: NSB states that NMFS should not issue Shell an IHA for
the strudel scour surveys in 2010, as they are substantially different
from the shallow hazards and site clearance surveys. Additionally, it
is not clear what other activities might be occurring in 2010, so it is
not possible to evaluate the potential cumulative impacts from multiple
activities that might occur in 2010. If NMFS does issue Shell an IHA
for that survey, estimated takes and monitoring are needed. Additional
information is needed from Shell about the possible impacts to marine
mammals, monitoring plans, and mitigation measures from helicopter
surveys over the sea ice. NMFS needs to make this additional
information available to the public and decision makers for review and
comment before it issues an IHA to Shell for strudel scour surveys in
2010. NSB also notes that the number of days of operation for
[[Page 55371]]
the strudel scour surveys is not consistent throughout the application.
Response: The activities for the strudel scour survey are described
in Shell's application and the proposed IHA in order to describe the
full scale of Shell's operations. However, NMFS has determined that the
activities for the strudel scour survey will not result in take of
marine mammals. While the sonar equipment proposed to be used for this
project generates high sound energy, the equipment operates at
frequencies (>100 kHz) beyond the effective hearing range of most
marine mammals likely to be encountered during strudel scour
operations. Given the direct downward beam pattern of these sonar
systems coupled with the high-frequency characteristics of the signals,
the horizontal received levels of 180 and 190 dB re 1 microPa (rms)
would be much smaller when compared to those from the low-frequency
airguns with similar source levels. Therefore, NMFS has determined that
marine mammals will not have a significant behavioral response (i.e., a
``take'') to the strudel scour surveys. However, Shell needs to
coordinate these activities with the Native Alaskan communities to
ensure that there is no unmitigable adverse impact to subsistence
hunts. As described in the application, two separate activities will
occur to complete the strudel scour surveys: helicopter overflights and
marine vessel work. The overflights will take approximately 4 days to
complete and will occur in mid-May or early June. The marine vessel
portion of the survey will take approximately 10 days to complete and
will occur sometime in July or early to mid-August.
Comment 9: NSB incorporated by reference a December 18, 2008,
letter sent to the Acting Assistant Administrator for Fisheries, as
well as NMFS' February 19, 2009, response, asking for suspension and
review of Shell's 2008-2009 IHA, wherein Shell was allowed to proceed
with seismic activities despite what was acknowledged by NMFS to be a
potentially flawed survey design. At that time, NSB asked that no more
IHAs be issued until compliance with the MMPA could be demonstrated.
Based on NSB's review of NMFS' current proposed IHA, NSB does not see a
demonstration of compliance and thus does not support issuance of an
IHA at this time.
Response: As was stated in NMFS' February letter responding to
NSB's concerns, NMFS determined that Shell was in substantial
compliance with their IHA during the 2008 seismic survey season. No
additional information has been provided to NMFS to indicate that Shell
was not in compliance with the IHA. Additionally, NMFS believes that
Shell will comply with the monitoring and mitigation measures required
in the 2009 IHA.
MMPA Concerns
Comment 10: AWL, NSB, and AEWC state that NMFS cannot issue an IHA
or a LOA (because NMFS has not promulgated regulations for mortality by
seismic activities) to Shell for its activities since they carry the
potential for serious injury or death to marine mammals. AEWC also
believes that because Level A harassment is possible, an LOA is needed.
Response: Section 101(a)(5)(D) of the MMPA authorizes Level A
(injury) harassment and Level B (behavioral) harassment takes. While
NMFS' regulations indicate that a LOA must be issued if there is a
potential for serious injury or mortality, NMFS does not believe that
Shell's surveys will result in serious injury or mortality, thus
obviating the need for a LOA. As explained throughout this Federal
Register Notice, it is highly unlikely that marine mammals would be
exposed to sound pressure levels (SPLs) that could result in serious
injury or mortality. The best scientific information indicates that an
auditory injury is unlikely to occur as apparently sounds need to be
significantly greater than 180 dB for injury to occur (Southall et al.,
2007). Based on the analysis contained in the ``Potential Effects of
Survey Activities on Marine Mammals'' section in the Notice of Proposed
IHA (74 FR 26217, June 1, 2009), NMFS has determined that an IHA can
lawfully be issued to Shell for their activities since the already
unlikely potential for serious injury or mortality will be reduced even
further through the incorporation of the mitigation and monitoring
measures described later in this document and required by the IHA.
Comment 11: AEWC notes their disappointment in NMFS for releasing
for public comment an incomplete application from Shell that fails to
provide the mandatory information required by the MMPA and NMFS'
implementing regulations. AEWC requests that NMFS return Shell's
application as incomplete, or else the agency risks making arbitrary
and indefensible determinations under the MMPA. The following is the
information that AEWC believes to be missing from Shell's application:
(1) a POC ``or information that identifies what measures have been
taken and/or will be taken to minimize any adverse effects on the
availability of marine mammals for subsistence uses'' (50 CFR
216.104(a)(12)); (2) a scheduled meeting ``with the affected
subsistence communities to discuss proposed activities and to resolve
potential conflicts'' (50 CFR 216.104(a)(12)(ii)); (3) a ``description
of what measures the applicant has taken and/or will take to ensure
that proposed activities will not interfere with subsistence whaling or
sealing'' (50 CFR 216.104(a)(12)(iii)); (4) suggested means of learning
of, encouraging, and coordinating any research related activities (50
CFR 216.104(a)(14)); (5) a description of the specified activities and
specified geographic region (16 U.S.C. 1371(a)(5)(D)(i)); and (6) a
description of the ``age, sex, and reproductive condition'' of the
marine mammals that will be impacted (50 CFR 216.104(a)(6)). AWL and
NSB also note their concern about the lack of specificity regarding the
timing and location of the site clearance and shallow hazards and
strudel scour surveys.
Response: NMFS does not agree that it released an incomplete
application for review during the public comment period. After NMFS'
initial review of the application, NMFS submitted questions and
comments to Shell on its application. After receipt and review of
Shell's responses, which were submitted as an addendum to the original
application, NMFS made its determination of completeness and released
the application, addenda, and the proposed IHA notice (74 FR 26217,
June 1, 2009). Regarding the six specific pieces of information
believed to be missing by AEWC, Shell's original application included a
description of the pieces of information that are required pursuant to
50 CFR 216.104(a)(12). The application noted that Shell was planning to
meet with subsistence communities in 2009 and described measures to
ensure that the applicant's proposed activities will not interfere with
subsistence whaling or sealing. The proposed IHA notice (74 FR 26217,
June 1, 2009) also noted meetings that had already taken place in the
villages of Barrow, Point Hope, Point Lay, Wainwright, and Kotzebue.
Moreover, on May 15, 2009, Shell distributed its draft POC for the 2009
activities to NMFS, other government agencies, and affected stakeholder
communities.
Information required pursuant to 50 CFR 216.104(a)(14) was also
included in Shell's application. Shell provided a list of researchers
who could potentially receive results of their research activities who
may find the data useful in their own research. Additionally, Shell and
ConocoPhillips will be
[[Page 55372]]
working together in 2009 to deploy an intensive array of acoustic
recorders around both the Burger and Klondike prospects in the Chukchi
Sea.
NMFS also determined that Shell's application provides descriptions
of the specified activities and specified geographic region. NMFS
defines ``specified geographical region'' as ``an area within which a
specified activity is conducted and which has certain biogeographic
characteristics'' (50 CFR 216.103). In regard to how specific one must
be to define a ``specific geographic region'' within which the activity
would take place, House Report 97-228 states:
The specified geographic region should not be larger than is
necessary to accomplish the specified activity, and should be drawn
in such a way that the effects on marine mammals in the region are
substantially the same. Thus, for example, it would be inappropriate
to identify the entire Pacific coast of the North American continent
as a specified geographic region, but it may be appropriate to
identify particular segments of that coast having similar
characteristics, both biological and otherwise, as specified
geographical regions.
NMFS believes that the U.S. Chukchi Sea meets Congressional intent
and NMFS' definition because the region has similar geographic,
physiographic (e.g., topography, temperature, sea ice), biologic (e.g.,
marine fauna (fish and marine mammals)), and sociocultural
characteristics. Shell's application noted that the applicant would
conduct activities on some of its prospects gained during LS 193, which
itself is considered a ``specified geographic region.'' Since that
time, Shell has informed NMFS of the specific areas within the lease
holdings on which Shell intends to conduct the site clearance and
shallow hazards surveys. They are the Burger and Crackerjack prospects,
as well as SW Shoebill if time and weather conditions allow. At this
time, more specificity on the location of the in-water portion of the
strudel scour surveys cannot be provided. Until areas with strudel
scour are revealed during helicopter overflights, it is uncertain the
exact location along the Chukchi Sea coast where marine vessel
operations will occur. However, as previously mentioned, the Chukchi
Sea itself is considered a ``specified geographic region.'' Shell also
provided a description of the types of equipment that would be used and
time frame for conducting its activities. Therefore, NMFS believes that
Shell's description of the activity and the locations for conducting
their surveys meet the requirements of the MMPA.
Lastly, 50 CFR 216.104(a)(6) requires that an applicant submit
information on the ``age, sex, and reproductive condition (if
possible)'' (emphasis added) of the number of marine mammals that may
be taken. In the application, Shell described the species expected to
be taken by harassment and provided estimates of how many of each
species were expected to be taken during their activities. In most
cases, it is very difficult to estimate how many animals, especially
cetaceans, of each age, sex, and reproductive condition will be taken
or impacted by seismic or site clearance and shallow hazards surveys.
In conclusion, NMFS believes that Shell provided all of the necessary
information to proceed with publishing a proposed IHA notice in the
Federal Register.
Comment 12: AEWC and NSB state that Shell did not disclose the full
spectrum of activities in which it will engage. For example, Shell
mentions support vessels and other equipment in its application but
such machinery is not disclosed among Shell's activities. Additionally,
Shell changed the airgun array it planned to use after submitting its
application but did not conduct any new analysis of the impacts from
this change, thus negating its analysis of the impacts from the
original airgun array. Shell needs to adequately specify the activities
and impacts of all the actions that will be undertaken in the Chukchi.
AEWC also states that NMFS relied on surveys conducted in 2008 by Shell
to calculate the area of ``water exposed to received levels at or above
160 dB.'' The 2008 surveys, however, were based on signals from ``four
10 in\3\ airguns,'' and not the 40 in\3\ airguns that Shell now intends
to use. Thus, for this reason as well, Shell's application must be
returned.
Response: NMFS determined that Shell's application and application
addenda fully described the activities in which Shell will engage. In
previous years, when Shell conducted its larger, 3D seismic surveys,
several support vessels were needed to carry out operations. However,
for this smaller survey, all work will be conducted from the single
source vessel. All acoustic equipment that will be used to conduct the
surveys is listed in the application. Shell did change the number of
airguns and submitted this information to NMFS in their second
application addendum. In assessing the new airgun array, NMFS
determined that the potential impacts to marine mammals would be the
same if the total discharge volume was 20 in\3\ or 40 in\3\. Shell
submitted revised take estimates based on the new discharge volume and
ensonified zones. The analysis of impacts from airguns and the revised
take estimates were contained in the proposed IHA notice (74 FR 26217,
June 1, 2009). Therefore, NMFS determined that Shell adequately
specified the activities and impacts of all the actions that will be
undertaken in the Chukchi Sea.
The modeled radii that Shell submitted were from sound source
verification tests conducted in the Chukchi Sea during the 2008 open-
water season by JASCO. JASCO modeled three different airgun
configurations: 4 x 10 in\3\ airgun array; 2 x 10 in\3\ airgun array;
and 1 x 10 in\3\ airgun. For 2009, Shell intends to use the 4 x 10
in\3\ airgun array and not the 40 in\3\ airguns, as noted by AEWC.
Therefore, this modeling was accurately used by Shell in its submission
to NMFS.
Comment 13: NSB and AWL expressed concern that the IHA will cover a
full year, as the assessment of effects on bowhead whales apparently
relies in part on the surveys ending before the peak of the bowhead
fall migration through the Chukchi Sea. Shell indicates that it will
require a maximum of 50 days of active data acquisition, but it is
noteworthy that this estimate expressly excludes any unplanned
downtime. Consequently, Shell could need to survey well into the month
of October, and the IHA as proposed would allow it to do so. A 1-year
IHA is clearly not compelled by the MMPA, and an authorization that
includes a portion of the next open-water season only invites later
confusion. Although NMFS' analysis of impacts to marine mammals appears
to consider the entire 50 days of active surveying, the process leaves
open the possibility of an unjustifiably segmented evaluation of survey
activity, looking only at a portion of the surveying that will take
place in a single season. NMFS should take steps to avoid such results.
Response: Section 101(a)(5)(D)(i) of the MMPA states that: ``Upon
request therefor by citizens of the United States who engage in a
specified activity (other than commercial fishing) within a specific
geographic region, the Secretary shall authorize, for periods of not
more than 1 year, subject to such conditions as the Secretary may
specify, the incidental, but not intentional, taking by harassment of
small numbers of marine mammals of a species or population stock by
such citizens while engaging in that activity within that region....''
As noted, the MMPA does not limit the issuance of an IHA to a
single open-water season (approximately July 20 to approximately
November 15 in the U.S. Beaufort and Chukchi Seas), a period of less
than 4 months, and even less
[[Page 55373]]
available time if an applicant's activity is located in an area subject
to area closure due to native subsistence hunting. Provided the IHA
application includes an analysis of the specified activities during the
time frame proposed by the applicant, NMFS will consider issuing an IHA
that extends into a portion of the following year. NMFS evaluated the
effects of Shell's activities for the full requested time frame,
including evaluating effects into the following season. Additionally,
NMFS believes that even if Shell must conduct activities into the
middle or end of October, the mitigation and monitoring measures
required by the IHA (described later in this document) will not
increase the level of impact to marine mammals in the area.
Comment 14: AEWC and NSB state that NMFS failed to issue a draft
authorization for public review and comment. The plain language of both
the MMPA and NMFS' implementing regulations require that NMFS provide
the opportunity for public comment on the ``proposed incidental
harassment authorization'' (50 CFR 216.104(b)(1)(i); 16 U.S.C. 1371
(a)(5)(D)(iii)) and not just on the application itself as NMFS has done
here. Without a complete draft authorization and accompanying findings,
AEWC and NSB cannot provide meaningful comments on Shell's proposed
activities, ways to mitigate the impacts of those activities on marine
mammals, and measures that are necessary to protect subsistence uses
and sensitive resources. For example, AEWC cannot ensure that the
authorization will comport with the requirements of the applicable CAA.
Response: The June 1, 2009 proposed IHA notice (74 FR 26217)
contained all of the relevant information needed by the public to
provide comments on the proposed authorization itself. The notice
contained the permissible methods of taking by harassment, means of
effecting the least practicable impact on such species (i.e.,
mitigation), measures to ensure no unmitigable adverse impact on the
availability of the species or stock for taking for subsistence use,
requirements pertaining to the monitoring and reporting of such taking,
including requirements for the independent peer review of the proposed
monitoring plan. The notice provided detail on all of these points,
allowing the public to provide meaningful comments. Additionally, the
notice contained NMFS' preliminary findings of negligible impact and no
unmitigable adverse impact.
The signing of a CAA is not a requirement to obtain an IHA.
Additionally, the CAA is a document that is negotiated between and
signed by the industry participant, AEWC, and the Village Whaling
Captains' Associations. NMFS has no role in the development or
execution (other than, where appropriate, to include marine mammal-
related measures from the CAA in the IHA) of this agreement. While
signing a CAA helps NMFS to make its no unmitigable adverse impact
determination for bowhead and beluga whales, it is not a requirement.
Comment 15: NSB states that based on the limited information
provided by NMFS, there is no way to determine whether Shell's
monitoring and reporting plans were subjected to independent peer
review, as required by the MMPA. Unless NMFS can demonstrate compliance
with the MMPA and its own regulations, it cannot issue an IHA to Shell.
AEWC also notes that NMFS cannot issue an IHA to any company whose
monitoring plan has not been cleared through independent peer review.
Response: On May 6, 2009, NMFS contacted representatives from AEWC,
NSB, MMC, and Shell about nominating people to participate in an
independent peer review of Shell's monitoring plan. NMFS received
nominations from all of the contacted parties and selected and
contacted reviewers from these lists. Two of the contacted individuals
provided detailed comments on Shell's monitoring and reporting plan.
NMFS provided Shell with the comments and recommendations of the
reviewers. The reviewers' comments and changes to the monitoring plan
are addressed later in this document (see ``Monitoring Plan Independent
Peer Review'' section later in this document). NMFS complied with the
requirements under the MMPA and the implementing regulations for
issuing IHAs, and therefore can legally issue an IHA to Shell to
conduct their operations.
Comment 16: AEWC states that because of the critical information
provided through the direct observations of AEWC hunters, the peer
review process must include AEWC representatives.
Response: NMFS' proposed rule for implementing the 1994 amendments
to the MMPA described the process for conducting an independent peer
review of monitoring plans where the proposed activity may affect the
availability of a species or stock for taking for subsistence uses (60
FR 28379, May 31, 1995). While panelists for the independent peer
review are selected by NMFS in consultation with the MMC, AEWC and/or
other Alaska native organizations as appropriate, and the applicant,
selected ``panelists are experts who are not currently employed or
contracted by either the affected Alaskan native organization or the
applicant'' (60 FR 28381, May 31, 1995). Therefore, it was NMFS' intent
not to include AEWC representatives in the independent peer review
process. However, AEWC representatives are afforded the opportunity to
provide information based on their direct observations and experiences
at the annual Open-water Meeting and through the public comment process
on the proposed IHA.
Comment 17: AEWC specifically requests that NMFS release its
response to comments at the earliest possible time and that NMFS not
allow seismic activities to begin until the whaling captains have had a
chance to review NMFS' response. We note that in 2008, NMFS did not
publish its response to comments on Shell's IHA for seismic operations
in the Beaufort Sea until well after the fall subsistence hunt at Cross
Island had concluded and seismic operations had already taken place.
There can be no excuse for allowing seismic operations to take place
directly within one of the most important subsistence hunting areas in
the Arctic Ocean prior to NMFS explaining to the local communities and
whaling captains why it was issuing an IHA over their well-reasoned
objections, which were presented during the public comment period. The
fact that NMFS would not release its response to comments until after
the activities had taken place casts serious doubt on the validity of
NMFS' public involvement process and the underlying analysis of impacts
to subsistence activities and marine mammals.
Response: NMFS publishes its responses to public comments in the
Federal Register notice of issuance or denial. There is no provision
requiring an applicant to wait to begin operations until after review
of NMFS' responses to comments by members of the public. No public
comment period is required on the Federal Register notice announcing
NMFS' final decision. For the issuance of Shell's 2008 and 2009 IHAs,
NMFS reviewed and considered all of the comments submitted before
making its final determinations. Additionally, NMFS summarized and
presented all of the significant issues raised by the commenters to the
decision maker before signing the IHA.
Comment 18: AEWC notes that by regulation, Shell must include with
its application a POC that ensures potential conflicts with subsistence
uses are resolved/mitigated prior to the issuance of an IHA. It is
AEWC's view that
[[Page 55374]]
signing and following the CAA meets the POC requirement as it pertains
to bowhead whales. AEWC states that Shell must agree to all the terms
of the 2009 Open-water CAA in order to mitigate the effects of its
proposed operations. In fact, the CAA was in use prior to NMFS'
issuance of its regulations, and the POC requirement was included in
the regulatory language to point operators to the CAA. In addition to
the CAA setting forth mitigation measures agreed to by the operators
and hunters, a schedule of meetings in preparation for each upcoming
season, and post-season review meetings to evaluate the effectiveness
of mitigation measures employed during a certain season, an operator's
adherence to the terms of the CAA enables the Secretary to make the no
unmitigable adverse impact finding required by Congress in the MMPA.
NMFS is well-advised to heed the long-standing practice of relying on
the CAA to enable the Secretary to make the required finding, as the
agency has no other basis upon which to determine whether a specified
set of mitigation measures will enable hunters to retain access to
migrating marine mammals without increasing the risks associated with
an already high-risk practice.
Response: NMFS believes that the CAA is an important mechanism to
ensure that there is not an unmitigable adverse impact on the
availability of bowhead whales for taking for subsistence uses.
However, the CAA is a document entered into between two entities
(industry applicants and native community stakeholders). NMFS is
neither a signatory to the CAA, nor does it play any formal role in the
development of the CAA other than by requiring industry applicants to
develop a POC pursuant to 50 CFR 216.104(a)(12). Moreover, the CAA is
only one way to make the no unmitigable adverse impact to subsistence
uses finding. Although NMFS has a limited role in this process, NMFS
supports the continuation of the CAA process to help ensure that native
subsistence harvests are successful.
Comment 19: AEWC and NSB state that the conclusion that Shell's
proposed activities will only take small numbers of marine mammals and
will have no more than a negligible impact is not justified by the
information provided. AEWC believes that without knowing more about the
status and number of species present in the Chukchi Sea, this
conclusion cannot be supported. NSB believes that NMFS has not
adequately considered whether marine mammals may be harassed at
received levels significantly lower than 160 dB and has not considered
the possible serious injuries associated with authorizing the proposed
activities.
Response: NMFS believes that it provided sufficient information in
its proposed IHA notice (74 FR 26217, June 1, 2009) to make the small
numbers and negligible impact determinations and that the best
scientific information available was used to make those determinations.
The available information was sufficient to make the necessary
findings. While some published articles indicate that certain marine
mammal species may avoid seismic vessels at levels below 160 dB, NMFS
does not believe that these responses rise to the level of a
significant behavioral response. While studies, such as Miller et al.
(1999), have indicated that some bowhead whales may have started to be
deflected from their migratory path 35 km (21.7 mi) from the seismic
vessel, it should be pointed out that these minor course changes are
during migration and, as described in MMS' 2006 Final Programmatic
Environmental Assessment (PEA), have not been seen at other times of
the year and during other activities. To show the contextual nature of
this minor behavioral modification, recent monitoring studies of
Canadian seismic operations indicate that feeding, non-migratory
bowhead whales do not move away from a noise source at an SPL of 160
dB. Therefore, while bowheads may avoid an area of 20 km (12.4 mi)
around a noise source, when that determination requires a post-survey
computer analysis to find that bowheads have made a 1 or 2 degree
course change, NMFS believes that does not rise to a level of a
``take.'' NMFS therefore continues to estimate ``takings'' under the
MMPA from impulse noises, such as seismic, as being at a distance of
160 dB (re 1 microPa).
NMFS has determined that Shell's activities will not cause serious
injury to marine mammals. As explained throughout this Federal Register
Notice, it is highly unlikely that marine mammals would be exposed to
SPLs that could result in serious injury or mortality. The best
scientific information indicates that an auditory injury is unlikely to
occur, as apparently sounds need to be significantly greater than 180
dB for injury to occur (Southall et al., 2007). The 180-dB radius for
the airgun array to be used by Shell is 160 m (525 ft). Therefore, if
injury were possible from Shell's activities, the animal would need to
be closer than 160 m (525 ft). However, based on the configuration of
the airgun array and streamers, it is highly unlikely that a marine
mammal would be that close to the seismic vessel. Mitigation measures
described later in this document will be implemented should a marine
mammal enter this small zone around the airgun array.
Comment 20: AEWC notes that based on the density estimates, Shell
is predicting that an average of 692 and a maximum of 1,078 ringed
seals may be exposed to seismic sounds. These are by no means ``small
numbers'' of marine mammals that will be subjected to impacts as a
result of Shell's operations. NSB notes that Shell's application states
that approximately 2 percent of the Bering-Chukchi-Beaufort stock of
bowhead whales will be exposed to sounds greater than or equal to 160
dB (rms). This is a large percentage of the population.
Response: NMFS determined that the small numbers requirement has
been satisfied. Shell has predicted that an average of 692 ringed seals
will be exposed to SPLs of 160 dB or greater during operations. This
does not mean that this is the number of ringed seals that will
actually exhibit a disruption of behavioral patterns in response to the
sound source; rather, it is simply the best estimate of the number of
animals that potentially could have a behavioral modification due to
the noise. For example, Moulton and Lawson (2002) indicate that most
pinnipeds exposed to seismic sounds lower than 170 dB do not visibly
react to that sound, and, therefore, pinnipeds are not likely to react
to seismic sounds unless they are greater than 170 dB re 1 microPa
(rms).
The Level B harassment take estimate of 692 ringed seals is a small
number, at least in relative terms, in that it represents only 0.3
percent of the regional stock size of that species (249,000), if each
``exposure'' at 160 dB represents an individual ringed seal. The
percentage would be even lower if a higher SPL is required for a
behavioral reaction (as is expected) or, if as expected, animals move
out of the seismic area. As a result, NMFS determined that these
``exposure'' estimates are conservative, and seismic surveys will
actually affect less than 0.3 percent of the Chukchi Sea ringed seal
population.
Regarding bowhead whales, this percentage is a remnant from when
Shell was going to conduct its full suite of surveys in both the
Beaufort and Chukchi Seas. As mentioned earlier in this document, the
Beaufort Sea surveys and the Chukchi Sea ice gouge survey were
cancelled for the 2009/2010 season. Shell's Chukchi Sea site clearance
and shallow hazards surveys are estimated to take only one bowhead
whale, representing less than 0.01
[[Page 55375]]
percent of the Bering-Chukchi-Beaufort stock of bowhead whales.
Comment 21: AEWC states that Shell should be required to engage in
monitoring activities that are separate and apart from its oil and gas
activities (see 50 CFR 216.104(a)(14)). These activities must be
separate from Shell's proposed oil and gas related operations, since
any data from such operations is skewed in light of marine mammals'
avoidance of the vessels and seismic noise.
Response: In 2009, Shell and ConocoPhillips are jointly funding an
extensive acoustic monitoring program in the Chukchi Sea. A total of 44
recorders will be distributed both broadly across the Chukchi lease
area and nearshore environment and intensively on the Burger and
Klondike lease areas. The broad area arrays are designed to capture
both general background soundscape data and marine mammal call data
across the lease area. Shell hopes to gain insights into large-scale
distribution of marine mammals, identification of marine mammal species
present, movement and migration patterns, and general abundance data.
Many of these recorders will be placed tens of miles away from the site
clearance and shallow hazards surveys. Additionally, these recorders
will remain deployed after completion of Shell's survey work in 2009.
Pursuant to 50 CFR 216.104(a)(14), an applicant must include
``suggested means of learning of, encouraging, and coordinating
research opportunities, plans, and activities relating to reducing such
incidental taking and evaluating its effects.'' There is no requirement
that this information or monitoring be conducted separate and apart
from the authorized activities, since the research is supposed to
evaluate the effects of the taking.
Marine Mammal Impact Concerns
Comment 22: AWL, NSB, and AEWC noted that NMFS has acknowledged
that permanent threshold shift (PTS) qualifies as a serious injury.
Therefore, if an acoustic source at its maximum level has the potential
to cause PTS and thus lead to serious injury, it would not be
appropriate to issue an IHA for the activity (60 FR 28381, May 31,
1995). AEWC states that therefore an LOA is required here. While the
airguns proposed by Shell are smaller than those associated with
typical 2D/3D deep marine surveys, the noise they produce is still
considerable, as evidenced by the estimated 120 dB radius that extends
out to 24 km (15 mi). These groups state that in the proposed IHA, NMFS
did not rule out the possibility of animals incurring PTS (74 FR 26222,
June 1, 2009). Although NMFS characterizes the possibility as unlikely,
it nevertheless relies on mitigation measures, such as ramp-ups and
exclusion zones, to ``minimize'' the ``already-minimal'' probability of
PTS.
Response: In the proposed rule implementing the process to apply
for and obtain an IHA, NMFS stated that authorizations for harassment
involving the ``potential to injure'' would be limited to only those
that may involve non-serious injury (60 FR 28380, May 31, 1995).
However, NMFS goes on to say that ``if the review of an application for
incidental harassment indicates there is a potential for serious injury
or death, NMFS proposes that it would either (1) determine that the
potential for serious injury can be negated through mitigation
requirements that could be required under the authorization or (2)
deny'' (Ibid) the IHA and require the applicant to petition for
regulations and LOA. As stated several times in this document and
previous Federal Register notices for seismic activities, there is no
empirical evidence that exposure to pulses of airgun sound can cause
PTS in any marine mammal, even with large arrays of airguns (see
Southall et al., 2007). PTS is thought to occur several decibels above
that inducing mild temporary threshold shift (TTS), the mildest form of
hearing impairment (a non-injurious effect). NMFS (1995, 2000)
concluded that cetaceans and pinnipeds should not be exposed to pulsed
underwater noise at received levels exceeding, respectively, 180 and
190 dB re 1 microPa (rms). The established 180- and 190-dB re 1 microPa
(rms) criteria are the received levels above which, in the view of a
panel of bioacoustics specialists convened by NMFS before TTS
measurements for marine mammals started to become available, one could
not be certain that there would be no injurious effects, auditory or
otherwise, to marine mammals. As summarized later in this document,
data that are now available imply that TTS is unlikely to occur unless
bow-riding odontocetes are exposed to airgun pulses much stronger than
180 dB re 1 Pa rms (Southall et al., 2007). Additionally, while the
Federal Register notice cited by the commenters states that NMFS
considered PTS to be a serious injury (60 FR 28380, May 31, 1995), our
understanding of anthropogenic sound and the way it impacts marine
mammals has evolved since then, and NMFS no longer considers PTS to be
a serious injury. NMFS has defined ``serious injury'' in 50 CFR 216.3
as ``...any injury that will likely result in mortality.'' There are no
data that suggest that PTS would be likely to result in mortality,
especially the limited degree of PTS that could hypothetically be
incurred through exposure of marine mammals to seismic airguns at the
level and for the duration that are likely to occur in this action.
The extent of the 120-dB radius does not indicate that animals may
be seriously injured. Additionally, NMFS has required monitoring and
mitigation measures to negate the possibility of marine mammals being
seriously injured as a result of Shell's activities. In the proposed
IHA, NMFS determined that no cases of TTS are expected to result from
Shell's activities. Based on this determination and the explanation
provided here, PTS is also not expected. Therefore, an IHA is
appropriate.
Comment 23: AEWC and NSB state that research is increasingly
showing that marine mammals may remain within dangerous distances of
seismic operations rather than leave a valued resource such as a
feeding ground (see Richardson, 2004). The International Whaling
Commission (IWC) scientific committee has indicated that the lack of
deflection by feeding whales in Camden Bay (during Shell seismic
activities) likely shows that whales will tolerate and expose
themselves to potentially harmful levels of sound when needing to
perform a biologically vital activity, such as feeding (mating, giving
birth, etc.). Thus, the noise from Shell's proposed operations could
injure marine mammals if they are close enough to the source.
Response: If marine mammals, such as bowhead whales, remain near a
seismic operation to perform a biologically vital activity, such as
feeding, depending on the distance from the vessel and the size of the
160-dB radius, the animals may experience some Level B harassment.
Depending on the distance of the animals from the vessel and the number
of individual whales present, certain mitigation measures are required
to be implemented. If an aggregation of 12 or more mysticete whales are
detected within the 160-dB radius, then the airguns must be shutdown
until the aggregation is no longer within that radius. Additionally, if
any whales are sighted within the 180-dB radius of the active airgun
array, then either a power-down or shutdown must be implemented
immediately. For the reasons stated throughout this document, NMFS has
determined that Shell's operations will not injure marine mammals.
[[Page 55376]]
Comment 24: AWL and NSB state that the standard for determining
whether an IHA is appropriate is exceptionally protective. If there is
even the possibility of serious injury, NMFS must establish that the
``potential for serious injury can be negated through mitigation
requirements'' (60 FR 28380, May 31, 1995; emphasis added). Reports
from previous surveys, however, indicate that, despite monitored
exclusion zones, marine mammals routinely stray too close to the
airguns. AEWC states that the safety radii proposed by Shell do not
negate injury.
Perhaps, more importantly, the documented exposures were recorded
only because conditions were such that the marine mammals could be
observed, but this only represents a fraction of the time that airguns
are operating. Marine mammal observers (MMOs) cannot see animals at the
surface when it is dark or during the day because of fog, glare, rough
seas, the small size of animals such as seals, and the large portion of
time that animals spend submerged. Shell has acknowledged that reported
sightings are only ``minimum'' estimates of the number of animals
potentially affected by surveying. AWL, NSB, and AEWC note that
although NMFS recognizes that infra-red goggles and night-vision
binoculars are of ``limited'' effectiveness when visibility is low, its
only response for Shell's 2009 surveying is that MMOs are relieved of
monitoring the exclusion zones at night, except during periods before
and during ramp-ups.
NMFS appears to simply presume that marine mammals will naturally
avoid airguns when they are operating at full strength, removing the
need for monitoring when conditions prevent MMOs from effectively
watching for intrusions into the exclusion zones. That premise is not
supported by the survey data, indicating that shutdowns and power-downs
have repeatedly proven necessary. The requirement for ramp-up rests on
the same foundation that marine mammals will leave an affected area as
a result of increasing noise. Yet, as the Joint Subcommittee on Ocean
Science & Technology report noted, although ramp-up is a widely imposed
practice, ``there has never been a demonstration that it works as
intended.'' Because NMFS has not negated the possibility of serious
injury from Shell's 2009 seismic surveying, it may not issue an IHA.
Response: As has already been stated several times in this
document, recent literature has indicated that sounds need to be
significantly higher than 180 dB to cause injury to marine mammals (see
Southall et al., 2007). Therefore, the 180- and 190-dB safety zones are
conservative. The survey reports indicate that mitigation measures
(i.e., power-downs or shutdowns) were implemented, thus preventing the
animals from being exposed to more than one or two seismic pulses.
Additionally, Shell's operations will occur in an area where periods of
darkness do not begin until early September. Beginning in early
September, there will be approximately 1-3 hours of darkness each day,
with periods of darkness increasing by about 30 min each day. By the
end of the survey period, there will be approximately 8 hours of
darkness each day.
The source vessel will be traveling at speeds of about 1-5 knots
(1.9-9.3 km/hr). With a 180-dB safety range of 160 m (525 ft), the
vessel will have moved out of the safety zone within a few minutes. As
a result, during underway survey operations, MMOs are instructed to
concentrate on the area ahead of the vessel, not behind the vessel
where marine mammals would need to be voluntarily swimming towards the
vessel to enter the 180-dB zone. In fact, in some of NMFS' IHAs issued
for scientific seismic operations, shutdown is not required for marine
mammals that approach the vessel from the side or stern in order to
ride the bow