Marketing Order Regulating the Handling of Spearmint Oil Produced in the Far West; Salable Quantities and Allotment Percentages for the 2009-2010 Marketing Year, 1971-1976 [E9-604]
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Federal Register / Vol. 74, No. 9 / Wednesday, January 14, 2009 / Proposed Rules
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Arlen L. Lancaster,
Vice President, Commodity Credit
Corporation and Chief, Natural Resources
Conservation Service.
[FR Doc. E9–506 Filed 1–13–09; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3410–16–P
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DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
Agricultural Marketing Service
7 CFR Part 985
[Docket Nos. AMS–FV–08–0104; FV09–985–
1 PR]
Marketing Order Regulating the
Handling of Spearmint Oil Produced in
the Far West; Salable Quantities and
Allotment Percentages for the 2009–
2010 Marketing Year
AGENCY: Agricultural Marketing Service,
USDA.
ACTION: Proposed rule.
SUMMARY: This rule would establish the
quantity of spearmint oil produced in
the Far West, by class that handlers may
purchase from, or handle for, producers
during the 2009–2010 marketing year,
which begins on June 1, 2009. This rule
invites comments on the establishment
of salable quantities and allotment
percentages for Class 1 (Scotch)
spearmint oil of 842,171 pounds and 42
percent, respectively, and for Class 3
(Native) spearmint oil of 1,196,109
pounds and 53 percent, respectively.
The Spearmint Oil Administrative
Committee (Committee), the agency
responsible for local administration of
the marketing order for spearmint oil
produced in the Far West,
recommended these limitations for the
purpose of avoiding extreme
fluctuations in supplies and prices to
help maintain stability in the spearmint
oil market.
DATES: Comments must be received by
March 16, 2009.
ADDRESSES: Interested persons are
invited to submit written comments
concerning this proposal. Comments
must be sent to the Docket Clerk,
Marketing Order Administration
Branch, Fruit and Vegetable Programs,
AMS, USDA, 1400 Independence
Avenue, SW., STOP 0237, Washington,
DC 20250–0237; Fax: (202) 720–8938; or
Internet: https://www.regulations.gov. All
comments should reference the docket
number and the date and page number
of this issue of the Federal Register and
will be made available for public
inspection in the Office of the Docket
Clerk during regular business hours, or
can be viewed at: https://
www.regulations.gov. All comments
submitted in response to this rule will
be included in the record and will be
made available to the public. Please be
advised that the identity of the
individuals or entities submitting the
comments will be made public on the
Internet at the address provided above.
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FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Susan M. Coleman, Marketing Specialist
or Gary D. Olson, Regional Manager,
Northwest Marketing Field Office,
Marketing Order Administration
Branch, Fruit and Vegetable Programs,
AMS, USDA; Telephone: (503) 326–
2724; Fax: (503) 326–7440; or E-mail:
Sue.Coleman@usda.gov or
GaryD.Olson@usda.gov.
Small businesses may request
information on complying with this
regulation by contacting Jay Guerber,
Marketing Order Administration
Branch, Fruit and Vegetable Programs,
AMS, USDA, 1400 Independence
Avenue, SW., STOP 0237, Washington,
DC 20250–0237; Telephone: (202) 720–
2491, Fax: (202) 720–8938, or E-mail:
Jay.Guerber@usda.gov.
This rule
is issued under Marketing Order No.
985 (7 CFR Part 985), as amended,
regulating the handling of spearmint oil
produced in the Far West (Washington,
Idaho, Oregon, and designated parts of
Nevada and Utah), hereinafter referred
to as the ‘‘order.’’ This order is effective
under the Agricultural Marketing
Agreement Act of 1937, as amended (7
U.S.C. 601–674), hereinafter referred to
as the ‘‘Act.’’
The Department of Agriculture
(USDA) is issuing this rule in
conformance with Executive Order
12866.
This rule has been reviewed under
Executive Order 12988, Civil Justice
Reform. Under the marketing order now
in effect, salable quantities and
allotment percentages may be
established for classes of spearmint oil
produced in the Far West. This
proposed rule would establish the
quantity of spearmint oil produced in
the Far West, by class, which may be
purchased from or handled for
producers by handlers during the 2009–
2010 marketing year, which begins on
June 1, 2009. This rule will not preempt
any State or local laws, regulations, or
policies, unless they present an
irreconcilable conflict with this rule.
The Act provides that administrative
proceedings must be exhausted before
parties may file suit in court. Under
section 608c(15)(A) of the Act, any
handler subject to an order may file
with USDA a petition stating that the
order, any provision of the order, or any
obligation imposed in connection with
the order is not in accordance with law
and request a modification of the order
or to be exempted therefrom. A handler
is afforded the opportunity for a hearing
on the petition. After the hearing, USDA
would rule on the petition. The Act
provides that the district court of the
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
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United States in any district in which
the handler is an inhabitant, or has his
or her principal place of business, has
jurisdiction to review USDA’s ruling on
the petition, provided an action is filed
not later than 20 days after the date of
the entry of the ruling.
Pursuant to authority in §§ 985.50,
985.51, and 985.52 of the order, the full
eight-member Committee met on
October 15, 2008, and recommended
salable quantities and allotment
percentages for both classes of oil for the
2009–2010 marketing year. The
Committee in a vote with six members
in favor and two members opposed,
recommended the establishment of a
salable quantity and allotment
percentage for Scotch spearmint oil of
842,171 pounds and 42 percent,
respectively. For Native spearmint oil,
the Committee unanimously
recommended the establishment of a
salable quantity and allotment
percentage of 1,196,109 pounds and 53
percent, respectively.
This rule would limit the amount of
spearmint oil that handlers may
purchase from, or handle for, producers
during the 2009–2010 marketing year,
which begins on June 1, 2009. Salable
quantities and allotment percentages
have been placed into effect each season
since the order’s inception in 1980.
The U.S. production of Scotch
spearmint oil is concentrated in the Far
West, which includes Washington,
Idaho, and Oregon and a portion of
Nevada and Utah. Scotch spearmint oil
is also produced in the Midwest states
of Indiana, Michigan, and Wisconsin, as
well as in the States of Montana, South
Dakota, North Dakota, and Minnesota.
However, production in the Midwest
states has gone from 200,000 pounds in
2003, down to an estimated 25,000
pounds in 2008. This has increased the
percentage of annual U.S. sales of
Scotch spearmint oil in the production
area covered by the marketing order to
approximately 85 percent.
When the order became effective in
1980, the Far West had 72 percent of the
world’s sales of Scotch spearmint oil.
While the Far West is still the leading
producer of Scotch spearmint oil, its
share of world sales is now estimated to
be about 45 percent. This loss in world
sales for the Far West region is directly
attributed to the increase in global
production. Other factors that have
played a significant role include the
overall quality of the imported oil and
technological advances that allow for
more blending of lower quality oils.
Such factors have provided the
Committee with challenges in
accurately predicting trade demand for
Scotch oil. This, in turn, has made it
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difficult to balance available supplies
with demand and to achieve the
Committee’s overall goal of stabilizing
producer and market prices.
The marketing order has continued to
contribute to price and general market
stabilization for Far West producers.
The Committee, as well as spearmint oil
producers and handlers attending the
October 15, 2008, meeting, indicated
that the 2008–2009 producer price for
Scotch oil ranges from a low of $12.00
per pound to a high of $14.00 per
pound. Although there is currently
some forward contracting being done
within this same price range, producers
are generally wary of locking in a price
because of the significant increases in
their cost of production. The $12.00 to
$14.00 producer price is generally less
than the cost of production for most
producers as indicated in a study from
the Washington State University
Cooperative Extension Service (WSU).
In 2001, this study estimated production
costs to be between $13.50 and $15.00
per pound. However, recent cost
comparisons by the Committee indicate
that the major costs of nitrogen,
phosphate, sulfur, potash, herbicide,
fuel, and rootstock have increased
almost 120% since 2001.
Low producer returns have
contributed to an overall reduction in
acreage planted to Scotch spearmint in
recent years. When the order became
effective in 1980, the Far West region
had 9,702 acres of Scotch spearmint.
The Committee estimates that 2008–
2009 Scotch spearmint acreage is about
7,435 acres. Based on this amount, the
Committee estimates that Scotch
spearmint oil production for the 2008–
2009 marketing season will be about
841,427 pounds.
The Committee recommended the
2009–2010 Scotch spearmint oil salable
quantity of 842,171 pounds and
allotment percentage of 42 percent
utilizing sales estimates for 2009–2010
Scotch spearmint oil as provided by
several of the industry’s handlers, as
well as historical and current Scotch
spearmint oil sales levels. The
Committee is estimating that about
850,000 pounds of Scotch spearmint oil,
on average, may be sold during the
2009–2010 marketing year. When
considered in conjunction with the
estimated carry-in of 124,735 pounds of
oil on June 1, 2009, the recommended
salable quantity of 842,171 pounds
results in a total available supply of
Scotch spearmint oil next year of about
966,906 pounds.
The recommendation for the 2009–
2010 Scotch spearmint oil volume
regulation is consistent with the
Committee’s stated intent of keeping
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adequate supplies available at all times,
while attempting to stabilize prices at a
level adequate to sustain the producers.
Furthermore, the recommendation takes
into consideration the industry’s desire
to compete with less expensive oil
produced outside the regulated area.
Native spearmint oil producers are
facing market conditions similar to
those affecting the Scotch spearmint oil
market. Over 90 percent of the U.S.
production of Native spearmint is
produced within the Far West
production area. Very little pure Native
spearmint oil is produced outside of the
United States.
The supply and demand
characteristics of the current Native
spearmint oil market, combined with
the stabilizing impact of the marketing
order, have kept the price relatively
steady. The Committee, as well as
spearmint oil producers and handlers
attending the October 15, 2008, meeting,
estimate that the 2008–2009 Native oil
producer price ranges between $11.50
per pound and $13.00 per pound. As
with Scotch oil, there is some forward
contracting of Native spearmint oil
within this price range. The Committee
is hopeful that this price range will be
sufficient to stimulate additional
increases in acreage in 2009, although
the magnitude of the increases will
likely be tempered by substantial
increases in production costs and the
availability of attractively priced
alternative crops. The WSU study
referenced earlier indicates that the cost
of producing Native spearmint oil has
ranged from $10.26 to $10.92 per
pound. However, as stated earlier, this
study was completed in 2001 and recent
cost comparisons by the Committee
indicate that the major costs of nitrogen,
phosphate, sulfur, potash, herbicide,
fuel, and rootstock have increased
almost 120% since 2001.
As with Scotch, however, the
relatively low level of producer returns
has also caused an overall reduction in
Native spearmint acreage. When the
order became effective in 1980, the Far
West region had 12,153 acres of Native
spearmint. The Committee estimates
that about 8,513 acres of Native
spearmint were planted for the 2008–
2009 season. Based on the reduced
Native spearmint acreage, the
Committee estimates that production for
the 2008–2009 marketing season will be
about 1,203,754 pounds.
The Committee’s recommendation for
the 2009–2010 Native spearmint oil
salable quantity of 1,196,109 pounds
and allotment percentage of 53 percent
utilized sales estimates provided by
several of the industry’s handlers, as
well as historical and current Native
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spearmint oil sales levels. The
Committee is estimating that about
1,250,000 pounds of Native spearmint
oil may be sold during the 2009–2010
marketing year (trade demand). When
considered in conjunction with the
estimated carry-in of 51,363 pounds of
oil on June 1, 2009, the recommended
salable quantity of 1,196,109 pounds
results in a total 2009–2010 available
supply of Native spearmint oil of about
1,247,472 pounds.
The Committee’s method of
calculating the Native spearmint oil
salable quantity and allotment
percentage continues to primarily
utilize information on price and
available supply as they are affected by
the estimated trade demand. The
Committee’s stated intent is to make
adequate supplies available to meet
market needs and improve producer
prices.
The Committee believes that the order
has contributed extensively to the
stabilization of producer prices, which
prior to 1980 experienced wide
fluctuations from year to year.
According to the National Agricultural
Statistics Service, for example, the
average price paid for both classes of
spearmint oil ranged from $4.00 per
pound to $11.10 per pound during the
period between 1968 and 1980. Prices
since the order’s inception, the period
from 1980 to 2007, have generally
stabilized at an average price of $12.69
per pound for Scotch spearmint oil and
$9.97 per pound for Native spearmint
oil.
The Committee based its
recommendation for the proposed
salable quantity and allotment
percentage for each class of spearmint
oil for the 2009–2010 marketing year on
the information discussed above, as well
as the data outlined below.
1,000,000 pounds. The average of sales
over the last three years is 831,342
pounds.
(C) Salable quantity required in the
2009–2010 marketing year production—
725,265 pounds. This figure is the
difference between the estimated 2009–
2010 marketing year trade demand
(850,000 pounds) and the estimated
carry-in on June 1, 2009 (124,735
pounds).
(D) Total estimated allotment base for
the 2009–2010 marketing year—
2,005,168 pounds. This figure
represents a one percent increase over
the revised 2008–2009 total allotment
base. This figure is generally revised
each year on June 1 due to producer
base being lost due to the bona fide
effort production provisions of
§ 985.53(e). The revision is usually
minimal.
(E) Computed allotment percentage—
36.2 percent. This percentage is
computed by dividing the required
salable quantity by the total estimated
allotment base.
(F) Recommended allotment
percentage—42 percent. This
recommendation is based on the
Committee’s determination that the
computed 36.2 percent would not
adequately supply the potential 2009–
2010 market.
(G) The Committee’s recommended
salable quantity—842,171 pounds. This
figure is the product of the
recommended allotment percentage and
the total estimated allotment base.
(H) Estimated available supply for the
2009–2010 marketing year—966,906
pounds. This figure is the sum of the
2009–2010 recommended salable
quantity (842,171 pounds) and the
estimated carry-in on June 1, 2009
(124,735 pounds).
(1) Class 1 (Scotch) Spearmint Oil
(A) Estimated carry-in on June 1,
2009—124,735 pounds. This figure is
the difference between the revised
2008–2009 marketing year total
available supply of 974,735 pounds and
the estimated 2008–2009 marketing year
trade demand of 850,000 pounds.
(B) Estimated trade demand for the
2009–2010 marketing year—850,000
pounds. This figure is based on input
from producers at six Scotch spearmint
oil production area meetings held in late
September and early October 2008, as
well as estimates provided by handlers
and other meeting participants at the
October 15, 2008, meeting. The average
estimated trade demand provided at the
six production area meetings is 852,447
pounds, whereas the estimated handler
trade demand ranged from 800,000 to
(2) Class 3 (Native) Spearmint Oil
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(A) Estimated carry-in on June 1,
2009—51,363 pounds. This figure is the
difference between the revised 2008–
2009 marketing year total available
supply of 1,301,363 pounds and the
estimated 2008–2009 marketing year
trade demand of 1,250,000 pounds.
(B) Estimated trade demand for the
2009–2010 marketing year—1,250,000
pounds. This figure is based on input
from producers at the six Native
spearmint oil production area meetings
held in late September and early
October 2008, as well as estimates
provided by handlers and other meeting
participants at the October 15, 2008
meeting. The average estimated trade
demand provided at the six production
area meetings was 1,237,945 pounds,
whereas the handler estimate ranged
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from 1,250,000 pounds to 1,300,000
pounds.
(C) Salable quantity required from the
2009–2010 marketing year production—
1,198,637 pounds. This figure is the
difference between the estimated 2009–
2010 marketing year trade demand
(1,250,000 pounds) and the estimated
carry-in on June 1, 2009 (51,363
pounds).
(D) Total estimated allotment base for
the 2009–2010 marketing year—
2,256,810 pounds. This figure
represents a one percent increase over
the revised 2008–2009 total allotment
base. This figure is generally revised
each year on June 1 due to producer
base being lost due to the bona fide
effort production provisions of
§ 985.53(e). The revision is usually
minimal.
(E) Computed allotment percentage—
53.1 percent. This percentage is
computed by dividing the required
salable quantity (1,198,637) by the total
estimated allotment base (2,256,810).
(F) Recommended allotment
percentage—53 percent. This is the
Committee’s recommendation based on
the computed allotment percentage
(53.1 percent), the average of the
computed allotment percentage figures
from the six production area meetings
(52.5 percent), and input from
producers and handlers at the October
15, 2008, meeting.
(G) The Committee’s recommended
salable quantity—1,196,109 pounds.
This figure is the product of the
recommended allotment percentage (53
percent) and the total estimated
allotment base (2,256,810).
(H) Estimated available supply for the
2009–2010 marketing year—1,247,474
pounds. This figure is the sum of the
2009–2010 recommended salable
quantity (1,196,109 pounds) and the
estimated carry-in on June 1, 2009
(51,363 pounds).
The salable quantity is the total
quantity of each class of spearmint oil,
which handlers may purchase from, or
handle on behalf of producers during a
marketing year. Each producer is
allotted a share of the salable quantity
by applying the allotment percentage to
the producer’s allotment base for the
applicable class of spearmint oil.
The Committee’s recommended
Scotch and Native spearmint oil salable
quantities and allotment percentages of
842,171 pounds and 42 percent, and
1,196,109 pounds and 53 percent,
respectively, are based on the
Committee’s goal of maintaining market
stability by avoiding extreme
fluctuations in supplies and prices, and
the anticipated supply and trade
demand during the 2009–2010
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marketing year. The proposed salable
quantities are not expected to cause a
shortage of spearmint oil supplies. Any
unanticipated or additional market
demand for spearmint oil, which may
develop during the marketing year, can
be satisfied by an increase in the salable
quantities. Both Scotch and Native
spearmint oil producers who produce
more than their annual allotments
during the 2009–2010 marketing year
may transfer such excess spearmint oil
to a producer with spearmint oil
production less than their annual
allotment or put it into the reserve pool
until November 1, 2009.
This proposed regulation, if adopted,
would be similar to regulations issued
in prior seasons. Costs to producers and
handlers resulting from this rule are
expected to be offset by the benefits
derived from a stable market and
improved returns. In conjunction with
the issuance of this proposed rule,
USDA has reviewed the Committee’s
marketing policy statement for the
2009–2010 marketing year. The
Committee’s marketing policy
statement, a requirement whenever the
Committee recommends volume
regulations, fully meets the intent of
§ 985.50 of the order. During its
discussion of potential 2009–2010
salable quantities and allotment
percentages, the Committee considered:
(1) The estimated quantity of salable oil
of each class held by producers and
handlers; (2) the estimated demand for
each class of oil; (3) the prospective
production of each class of oil; (4) the
total of allotment bases of each class of
oil for the current marketing year and
the estimated total of allotment bases of
each class for the ensuing marketing
year; (5) the quantity of reserve oil, by
class, in storage; (6) producer prices of
oil, including prices for each class of oil;
and (7) general market conditions for
each class of oil, including whether the
estimated season average price to
producers is likely to exceed parity.
Conformity with the USDA’s
‘‘Guidelines for Fruit, Vegetable, and
Specialty Crop Marketing Orders’’ has
also been reviewed and confirmed.
The establishment of these salable
quantities and allotment percentages
would allow for anticipated market
needs. In determining anticipated
market needs, consideration by the
Committee was given to historical sales,
as well as changes and trends in
production and demand. This rule also
provides producers with information on
the amount of spearmint oil that should
be produced for the 2009–2010 season
in order to meet anticipated market
demand.
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Initial Regulatory Flexibility Analysis
Pursuant to requirements set forth in
the Regulatory Flexibility Act (RFA), the
Agricultural Marketing Service (AMS)
has considered the economic impact of
this rule on small entities. Accordingly,
AMS has prepared this initial regulatory
flexibility analysis.
The purpose of the RFA is to fit
regulatory actions to the scale of
business subject to such actions in order
that small businesses will not be unduly
or disproportionately burdened.
Marketing orders issued pursuant to the
Act, and the rules issued thereunder, are
unique in that they are brought about
through group action of essentially
small entities acting on their own
behalf.
There are eight spearmint oil handlers
subject to regulation under the order,
and approximately 55 producers of
Scotch spearmint oil and approximately
94 producers of Native spearmint oil in
the regulated production area. Small
agricultural service firms are defined by
the Small Business Administration
(SBA) (13 CFR 121.201) as those having
annual receipts of less than $7,000,000,
and small agricultural producers are
defined as those having annual receipts
of less than $750,000.
Based on the SBA’s definition of
small entities, the Committee estimates
that 2 of the 8 handlers regulated by the
order could be considered small
entities. Most of the handlers are large
corporations involved in the
international trading of essential oils
and the products of essential oils. In
addition, the Committee estimates that
18 of the 55 Scotch spearmint oil
producers and 24 of the 94 Native
spearmint oil producers could be
classified as small entities under the
SBA definition. Thus, a majority of
handlers and producers of Far West
spearmint oil may not be classified as
small entities.
The Far West spearmint oil industry
is characterized by producers whose
farming operations generally involve
more than one commodity, and whose
income from farming operations is not
exclusively dependent on the
production of spearmint oil. A typical
spearmint oil-producing operation has
enough acreage for rotation such that
the total acreage required to produce the
crop is about one-third spearmint and
two-thirds rotational crops. Thus, the
typical spearmint oil producer has to
have considerably more acreage than is
planted to spearmint during any given
season. Crop rotation is an essential
cultural practice in the production of
spearmint oil for weed, insect, and
disease control. To remain economically
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viable with the added costs associated
with spearmint oil production, most
spearmint oil-producing farms fall into
the SBA category of large businesses.
Small spearmint oil producers
generally are not as extensively
diversified as larger ones and as such
are more at risk from market
fluctuations. Such small producers
generally need to market their entire
annual allotment and do not have the
luxury of having other crops to cushion
seasons with poor spearmint oil returns.
Conversely, large diversified producers
have the potential to endure one or
more seasons of poor spearmint oil
markets because income from alternate
crops could support the operation for a
period of time. Being reasonably assured
of a stable price and market provides
small producing entities with the ability
to maintain proper cash flow and to
meet annual expenses. Thus, the market
and price stability provided by the order
potentially benefit the small producer
more than such provisions benefit large
producers. Even though a majority of
handlers and producers of spearmint oil
may not be classified as small entities,
the volume control feature of this order
has small entity orientation.
This proposed rule would establish
the quantity of spearmint oil produced
in the Far West, by class that handlers
may purchase from, or handle for,
producers during the 2009–2010
marketing year. The Committee
recommended this rule to help maintain
stability in the spearmint oil market by
avoiding extreme fluctuations in
supplies and prices. Establishing
quantities to be purchased or handled
during the marketing year through
volume regulations allows producers to
plan their spearmint planting and
harvesting to meet expected market
needs. The provisions of §§ 985.50,
985.51, and 985.52 of the order
authorize this rule.
Instability in the spearmint oil subsector of the mint industry is much
more likely to originate on the supply
side than the demand side. Fluctuations
in yield and acreage planted from
season-to-season tend to be larger than
fluctuations in the amount purchased by
buyers. Demand for spearmint oil tends
to be relatively stable from year-to-year.
The demand for spearmint oil is
expected to grow slowly for the
foreseeable future because the demand
for consumer products that use
spearmint oil will likely expand slowly,
in line with population growth.
Demand for spearmint oil at the farm
level is derived from retail demand for
spearmint-flavored products such as
chewing gum, toothpaste, and
mouthwash. The manufacturers of these
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products are by far the largest users of
mint oil. However, spearmint flavoring
is generally a very minor component of
the products in which it is used, so
changes in the raw product price have
no impact on retail prices for those
goods.
Spearmint oil production tends to be
cyclical. Years of large production, with
demand remaining reasonably stable,
have led to periods in which large
producer stocks of unsold spearmint oil
have depressed producer prices for a
number of years. Shortages and high
prices may follow in subsequent years,
as producers respond to price signals by
cutting back production.
The significant variability is
illustrated by the fact that the coefficient
of variation (a standard measure of
variability; ‘‘CV’’) of Far West spearmint
oil production from 1980 through 2007
was about 0.23. The CV for spearmint
oil grower prices was about 0.14, well
below the CV for production. This
provides an indication of the price
stabilizing impact of the marketing
order.
Production in the shortest marketing
year was about 50 percent of the 28-year
average (1.85 million pounds from 1980
through 2007) and the largest crop was
approximately 166 percent of the 28year average. A key consequence is that
in years of oversupply and low prices
the season average producer price of
spearmint oil is below the average cost
of production (as measured by the
Washington State University
Cooperative Extension Service).
The wide fluctuations in supply and
prices that result from this cycle, which
was even more pronounced before the
creation of the marketing order, can
create liquidity problems for some
producers. The marketing order was
designed to reduce the price impacts of
the cyclical swings in production.
However, producers have been less able
to weather these cycles in recent years
because of the increase in production
costs. While prices have been relatively
steady, the cost of production has
dramatically increased which has
caused a hesitation by producers to
plant. Producers are also enticed by the
prices of alternative crops and their
lower cost of production.
In an effort to stabilize prices, the
spearmint oil industry uses the volume
control mechanisms authorized under
the order. This authority allows the
Committee to recommend a salable
quantity and allotment percentage for
each class of oil for the upcoming
marketing year. The salable quantity for
each class of oil is the total volume of
oil that producers may sell during the
marketing year. The allotment
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16:42 Jan 13, 2009
Jkt 217001
percentage for each class of spearmint
oil is derived by dividing the salable
quantity by the total allotment base.
Each producer is then issued an
annual allotment certificate, in pounds,
for the applicable class of oil, which is
calculated by multiplying the
producer’s allotment base by the
applicable allotment percentage. This is
the amount of oil for the applicable
class that the producer can sell.
By November 1 of each year, the
Committee identifies any oil that
individual producers have produced
above the volume specified on their
annual allotment certificates. This
excess oil is placed in a reserve pool
administered by the Committee.
There is a reserve pool for each class
of oil that may not be sold during the
current marketing year unless USDA
approves a Committee recommendation
to make a portion of the pool available.
However, limited quantities of reserve
oil are typically sold to fill deficiencies.
A deficiency occurs when on-farm
production is less than a producer’s
allotment. In that case, a producer’s own
reserve oil can be sold to fill that
deficiency. Excess production (higher
than the producer’s allotment) can be
sold to fill other producers’ deficiencies.
All of this needs to take place by
November 1.
In any given year, the total available
supply of spearmint oil is composed of
current production plus carry-over
stocks from the previous crop. The
Committee seeks to maintain market
stability by balancing supply and
demand, and to close the marketing year
with an appropriate level of carryout. If
the industry has production in excess of
the salable quantity, then the reserve
pool absorbs the surplus quantity of
spearmint oil, which goes unsold during
that year, unless the oil is needed for
unanticipated sales.
Under its provisions, the order may
attempt to stabilize prices by (1) limiting
supply and establishing reserves in high
production years, thus minimizing the
price-depressing effect that excess
producer stocks have on unsold
spearmint oil, and (2) ensuring that
stocks are available in short supply
years when prices would otherwise
increase dramatically. The reserve pool
stocks grown in large production years
are drawn down in short crop years.
An econometric model was used to
assess the impact that volume control
has on the prices producers receive for
their commodity. Without volume
control, spearmint oil markets would
likely be over-supplied, resulting in low
producer prices and a large volume of
oil stored and carried over to the next
crop year. The model estimates how
PO 00000
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Fmt 4702
Sfmt 4702
1975
much lower producer prices would
likely be in the absence of volume
controls.
The Committee estimated the trade
demand for the 2009–2010 marketing
year for both classes of oil at 2,100,000
pounds, and that the expected
combined carry-in will be 176,098
pounds. This results in a combined
required salable quantity of 1,923,902
pounds. Therefore, with volume control,
sales by producers for the 2009–2010
marketing year would be limited to
2,038,280 pounds (the recommended
salable quantity for both classes of
spearmint oil).
The recommended salable
percentages, upon which 2009–2010
producer allotments are based, are 42
percent for Scotch and 53 percent for
Native. Without volume controls,
producers would not be limited to these
allotment levels, and could produce and
sell additional spearmint. The
econometric model estimated a $1.40
decline in the season average producer
price per pound (from both classes of
spearmint oil) resulting from the higher
quantities that would be produced and
marketed without volume control. The
surplus situation for the spearmint oil
market that would exist without volume
controls in 2009–2010 also would likely
dampen prospects for improved
producer prices in future years because
of the buildup in stocks.
The use of volume controls allows the
industry to fully supply spearmint oil
markets while avoiding the negative
consequences of over-supplying these
markets. The use of volume controls is
believed to have little or no effect on
consumer prices of products containing
spearmint oil and will not result in
fewer retail sales of such products.
The Committee discussed alternatives
to the recommendations contained in
this rule for both classes of spearmint
oil. The Committee discussed and
rejected the idea of recommending that
there not be any volume regulation for
both classes of spearmint oil because of
the severe price-depressing effects that
would occur without volume control.
The Committee considered various
alternative levels of volume control for
Scotch spearmint oil, including
increasing the percentage to a less
restrictive level, or decreasing the
percentage. After considerable
discussion the Committee unanimously
determined that 842,171 pounds and 42
percent would be the most effective
salable quantity and allotment
percentage, respectively, for the 2009–
2010 marketing year.
The Committee also considered
various alternative levels of volume
control for Native spearmint oil. After
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considerable discussion the Committee
unanimously determined that 1,196,109
pounds and 53 percent would be the
most effective salable quantity and
allotment percentage, respectively, for
the 2009–2010 marketing year.
As noted earlier, the Committee’s
recommendation to establish salable
quantities and allotment percentages for
both classes of spearmint oil was made
after careful consideration of all
available information, including: (1) The
estimated quantity of salable oil of each
class held by producers and handlers;
(2) the estimated demand for each class
of oil; (3) the prospective production of
each class of oil; (4) the total of
allotment bases of each class of oil for
the current marketing year and the
estimated total of allotment bases of
each class for the ensuing marketing
year; (5) the quantity of reserve oil, by
class, in storage; (6) producer prices of
oil, including prices for each class of oil;
and (7) general market conditions for
each class of oil, including whether the
estimated season average price to
producers is likely to exceed parity.
Based on its review, the Committee
believes that the salable quantity and
allotment percentage levels
recommended would achieve the
objectives sought.
Without any regulations in effect, the
Committee believes the industry would
return to the pronounced cyclical price
patterns that occurred prior to the order,
and that prices in 2009–2010 would
decline substantially below current
levels.
As stated earlier, the Committee
believes that the order has contributed
extensively to the stabilization of
producer prices, which prior to 1980
experienced wide fluctuations from
year-to-year. National Agricultural
Statistics Service records show that the
average price paid for both classes of
spearmint oil ranged from $4.00 per
pound to $11.10 per pound during the
period between 1968 and 1980. Prices
have been consistently more stable since
the marketing order’s inception in 1980,
with an average price for the period
from 1980 to 2007 of $12.77 per pound
for Scotch spearmint oil and $9.98 per
pound for Native spearmint oil.
According to the Committee, the
recommended salable quantities and
allotment percentages are expected to
achieve the goals of market and price
stability.
As previously stated, annual salable
quantities and allotment percentages
have been issued for both classes of
spearmint oil since the order’s
inception. Reporting and recordkeeping
requirements have remained the same
for each year of regulation. These
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16:42 Jan 13, 2009
Jkt 217001
requirements have been approved by the
Office of Management and Budget under
OMB Control No. 0581–0178, Vegetable
and Specialty Crops. Accordingly, this
rule would not impose any additional
reporting or recordkeeping requirements
on either small or large spearmint oil
producers and handlers. As with all
Federal marketing order programs,
reports and forms are periodically
reviewed to reduce information
requirements and duplication by
industry and public sector agencies.
AMS is committed to complying with
the E-Government Act, to promote the
use of the Internet and other
information technologies to provide
increased opportunities for citizen
access to Government information and
services, and for other purposes.
USDA has not identified any relevant
Federal rules that duplicate, overlap, or
conflict with this rule.
In addition, the Committee’s meeting
was widely publicized throughout the
spearmint oil industry, and all
interested persons were invited to
attend the meeting and participate in
Committee deliberations on all issues.
Like all Committee meetings, the
October 15, 2008, meeting was a public
meeting, and all entities, both large and
small, were able to express views on
this issue. Finally, interested persons
are invited to submit comments on this
proposed rule, including the regulatory
and informational impacts of this action
on small businesses.
A small business guide on complying
with fruit, vegetable, and specialty crop
marketing agreements and orders may
be viewed at: https://www.ams.usda.gov/
AMSv1.0/
ams.fetchTemplateData.do?template=
TemplateN&page=
MarketingOrdersSmallBusinessGuide.
Any questions about the compliance
guide should be sent to Jay Guerber at
the previously mentioned address in the
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT
section.
A 60-day comment period is provided
to allow interested persons the
opportunity to respond to this proposal.
All written comments timely received
will be considered before a final
determination is made on this matter.
List of Subjects in 7 CFR Part 985
Marketing agreements, Oils and fats,
Reporting and recordkeeping
requirements, Spearmint oil.
For the reasons set forth in the
preamble, 7 CFR Part 985 is proposed to
be amended as follows:
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PART 985—MARKETING ORDER
REGULATING THE HANDLING OF
SPEARMINT OIL PRODUCED IN THE
FAR WEST
1. The authority citation for 7 CFR
Part 985 continues to read as follows:
Authority: 7 U.S.C. 601–674.
2. A new § 985.228 is added to read
as follows:
Note: This section will not appear in the
Code of Federal Regulations.
§ 985.228 Salable quantities and allotment
percentages—2009–2010 marketing year.
The salable quantity and allotment
percentage for each class of spearmint
oil during the marketing year beginning
on June 1, 2009, shall be as follows:
(a) Class 1 (Scotch) oil—a salable
quantity of 842,171 pounds and an
allotment percentage of 42 percent.
(b) Class 3 (Native) oil—a salable
quantity of 1,196,109 pounds and an
allotment percentage of 53 percent.
Dated: January 8, 2009.
James E. Link,
Administrator, Agricultural Marketing
Service.
[FR Doc. E9–604 Filed 1–13–09; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3410–02–P
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
Agricultural Marketing Service
7 CFR Parts 1000 and 1033
[AMS–DA–08–0049; AO–166–A77; Docket
No. DA–08–06]
Milk in the Mideast Marketing Area;
Recommended Decision and
Opportunity To File Written Exceptions
on Proposed Amendments to Tentative
Marketing Agreement and Order
AGENCY: Agricultural Marketing Service,
USDA.
ACTION: Proposed rule; recommended
decision.
SUMMARY: This decision recommends
adoption of a proposal to adjust Class I
prices in certain counties of the Mideast
Federal milk marketing order. Class I
prices are recommended to be
unchanged in 193 counties within the
marketing area and to be increased by
up to $0.20 per hundredweight in 110
counties in the southern portion of the
marketing area. The original hearing
proposal to adjust Class I prices is
recommended for adoption, except it is
modified to recommend a $0.20 increase
in the Class I price at Charleston, West
Virginia.
E:\FR\FM\14JAP1.SGM
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 74, Number 9 (Wednesday, January 14, 2009)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 1971-1976]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: E9-604]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
Agricultural Marketing Service
7 CFR Part 985
[Docket Nos. AMS-FV-08-0104; FV09-985-1 PR]
Marketing Order Regulating the Handling of Spearmint Oil Produced
in the Far West; Salable Quantities and Allotment Percentages for the
2009-2010 Marketing Year
AGENCY: Agricultural Marketing Service, USDA.
ACTION: Proposed rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: This rule would establish the quantity of spearmint oil
produced in the Far West, by class that handlers may purchase from, or
handle for, producers during the 2009-2010 marketing year, which begins
on June 1, 2009. This rule invites comments on the establishment of
salable quantities and allotment percentages for Class 1 (Scotch)
spearmint oil of 842,171 pounds and 42 percent, respectively, and for
Class 3 (Native) spearmint oil of 1,196,109 pounds and 53 percent,
respectively. The Spearmint Oil Administrative Committee (Committee),
the agency responsible for local administration of the marketing order
for spearmint oil produced in the Far West, recommended these
limitations for the purpose of avoiding extreme fluctuations in
supplies and prices to help maintain stability in the spearmint oil
market.
DATES: Comments must be received by March 16, 2009.
ADDRESSES: Interested persons are invited to submit written comments
concerning this proposal. Comments must be sent to the Docket Clerk,
Marketing Order Administration Branch, Fruit and Vegetable Programs,
AMS, USDA, 1400 Independence Avenue, SW., STOP 0237, Washington, DC
20250-0237; Fax: (202) 720-8938; or Internet: https://
www.regulations.gov. All comments should reference the docket number
and the date and page number of this issue of the Federal Register and
will be made available for public inspection in the Office of the
Docket Clerk during regular business hours, or can be viewed at: http:/
/www.regulations.gov. All comments submitted in response to this rule
will be included in the record and will be made available to the
public. Please be advised that the identity of the individuals or
entities submitting the comments will be made public on the Internet at
the address provided above.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Susan M. Coleman, Marketing Specialist
or Gary D. Olson, Regional Manager, Northwest Marketing Field Office,
Marketing Order Administration Branch, Fruit and Vegetable Programs,
AMS, USDA; Telephone: (503) 326-2724; Fax: (503) 326-7440; or E-mail:
Sue.Coleman@usda.gov or GaryD.Olson@usda.gov.
Small businesses may request information on complying with this
regulation by contacting Jay Guerber, Marketing Order Administration
Branch, Fruit and Vegetable Programs, AMS, USDA, 1400 Independence
Avenue, SW., STOP 0237, Washington, DC 20250-0237; Telephone: (202)
720-2491, Fax: (202) 720-8938, or E-mail: Jay.Guerber@usda.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: This rule is issued under Marketing Order
No. 985 (7 CFR Part 985), as amended, regulating the handling of
spearmint oil produced in the Far West (Washington, Idaho, Oregon, and
designated parts of Nevada and Utah), hereinafter referred to as the
``order.'' This order is effective under the Agricultural Marketing
Agreement Act of 1937, as amended (7 U.S.C. 601-674), hereinafter
referred to as the ``Act.''
The Department of Agriculture (USDA) is issuing this rule in
conformance with Executive Order 12866.
This rule has been reviewed under Executive Order 12988, Civil
Justice Reform. Under the marketing order now in effect, salable
quantities and allotment percentages may be established for classes of
spearmint oil produced in the Far West. This proposed rule would
establish the quantity of spearmint oil produced in the Far West, by
class, which may be purchased from or handled for producers by handlers
during the 2009-2010 marketing year, which begins on June 1, 2009. This
rule will not preempt any State or local laws, regulations, or
policies, unless they present an irreconcilable conflict with this
rule.
The Act provides that administrative proceedings must be exhausted
before parties may file suit in court. Under section 608c(15)(A) of the
Act, any handler subject to an order may file with USDA a petition
stating that the order, any provision of the order, or any obligation
imposed in connection with the order is not in accordance with law and
request a modification of the order or to be exempted therefrom. A
handler is afforded the opportunity for a hearing on the petition.
After the hearing, USDA would rule on the petition. The Act provides
that the district court of the
[[Page 1972]]
United States in any district in which the handler is an inhabitant, or
has his or her principal place of business, has jurisdiction to review
USDA's ruling on the petition, provided an action is filed not later
than 20 days after the date of the entry of the ruling.
Pursuant to authority in Sec. Sec. 985.50, 985.51, and 985.52 of
the order, the full eight-member Committee met on October 15, 2008, and
recommended salable quantities and allotment percentages for both
classes of oil for the 2009-2010 marketing year. The Committee in a
vote with six members in favor and two members opposed, recommended the
establishment of a salable quantity and allotment percentage for Scotch
spearmint oil of 842,171 pounds and 42 percent, respectively. For
Native spearmint oil, the Committee unanimously recommended the
establishment of a salable quantity and allotment percentage of
1,196,109 pounds and 53 percent, respectively.
This rule would limit the amount of spearmint oil that handlers may
purchase from, or handle for, producers during the 2009-2010 marketing
year, which begins on June 1, 2009. Salable quantities and allotment
percentages have been placed into effect each season since the order's
inception in 1980.
The U.S. production of Scotch spearmint oil is concentrated in the
Far West, which includes Washington, Idaho, and Oregon and a portion of
Nevada and Utah. Scotch spearmint oil is also produced in the Midwest
states of Indiana, Michigan, and Wisconsin, as well as in the States of
Montana, South Dakota, North Dakota, and Minnesota. However, production
in the Midwest states has gone from 200,000 pounds in 2003, down to an
estimated 25,000 pounds in 2008. This has increased the percentage of
annual U.S. sales of Scotch spearmint oil in the production area
covered by the marketing order to approximately 85 percent.
When the order became effective in 1980, the Far West had 72
percent of the world's sales of Scotch spearmint oil. While the Far
West is still the leading producer of Scotch spearmint oil, its share
of world sales is now estimated to be about 45 percent. This loss in
world sales for the Far West region is directly attributed to the
increase in global production. Other factors that have played a
significant role include the overall quality of the imported oil and
technological advances that allow for more blending of lower quality
oils. Such factors have provided the Committee with challenges in
accurately predicting trade demand for Scotch oil. This, in turn, has
made it difficult to balance available supplies with demand and to
achieve the Committee's overall goal of stabilizing producer and market
prices.
The marketing order has continued to contribute to price and
general market stabilization for Far West producers. The Committee, as
well as spearmint oil producers and handlers attending the October 15,
2008, meeting, indicated that the 2008-2009 producer price for Scotch
oil ranges from a low of $12.00 per pound to a high of $14.00 per
pound. Although there is currently some forward contracting being done
within this same price range, producers are generally wary of locking
in a price because of the significant increases in their cost of
production. The $12.00 to $14.00 producer price is generally less than
the cost of production for most producers as indicated in a study from
the Washington State University Cooperative Extension Service (WSU). In
2001, this study estimated production costs to be between $13.50 and
$15.00 per pound. However, recent cost comparisons by the Committee
indicate that the major costs of nitrogen, phosphate, sulfur, potash,
herbicide, fuel, and rootstock have increased almost 120% since 2001.
Low producer returns have contributed to an overall reduction in
acreage planted to Scotch spearmint in recent years. When the order
became effective in 1980, the Far West region had 9,702 acres of Scotch
spearmint. The Committee estimates that 2008-2009 Scotch spearmint
acreage is about 7,435 acres. Based on this amount, the Committee
estimates that Scotch spearmint oil production for the 2008-2009
marketing season will be about 841,427 pounds.
The Committee recommended the 2009-2010 Scotch spearmint oil
salable quantity of 842,171 pounds and allotment percentage of 42
percent utilizing sales estimates for 2009-2010 Scotch spearmint oil as
provided by several of the industry's handlers, as well as historical
and current Scotch spearmint oil sales levels. The Committee is
estimating that about 850,000 pounds of Scotch spearmint oil, on
average, may be sold during the 2009-2010 marketing year. When
considered in conjunction with the estimated carry-in of 124,735 pounds
of oil on June 1, 2009, the recommended salable quantity of 842,171
pounds results in a total available supply of Scotch spearmint oil next
year of about 966,906 pounds.
The recommendation for the 2009-2010 Scotch spearmint oil volume
regulation is consistent with the Committee's stated intent of keeping
adequate supplies available at all times, while attempting to stabilize
prices at a level adequate to sustain the producers. Furthermore, the
recommendation takes into consideration the industry's desire to
compete with less expensive oil produced outside the regulated area.
Native spearmint oil producers are facing market conditions similar
to those affecting the Scotch spearmint oil market. Over 90 percent of
the U.S. production of Native spearmint is produced within the Far West
production area. Very little pure Native spearmint oil is produced
outside of the United States.
The supply and demand characteristics of the current Native
spearmint oil market, combined with the stabilizing impact of the
marketing order, have kept the price relatively steady. The Committee,
as well as spearmint oil producers and handlers attending the October
15, 2008, meeting, estimate that the 2008-2009 Native oil producer
price ranges between $11.50 per pound and $13.00 per pound. As with
Scotch oil, there is some forward contracting of Native spearmint oil
within this price range. The Committee is hopeful that this price range
will be sufficient to stimulate additional increases in acreage in
2009, although the magnitude of the increases will likely be tempered
by substantial increases in production costs and the availability of
attractively priced alternative crops. The WSU study referenced earlier
indicates that the cost of producing Native spearmint oil has ranged
from $10.26 to $10.92 per pound. However, as stated earlier, this study
was completed in 2001 and recent cost comparisons by the Committee
indicate that the major costs of nitrogen, phosphate, sulfur, potash,
herbicide, fuel, and rootstock have increased almost 120% since 2001.
As with Scotch, however, the relatively low level of producer
returns has also caused an overall reduction in Native spearmint
acreage. When the order became effective in 1980, the Far West region
had 12,153 acres of Native spearmint. The Committee estimates that
about 8,513 acres of Native spearmint were planted for the 2008-2009
season. Based on the reduced Native spearmint acreage, the Committee
estimates that production for the 2008-2009 marketing season will be
about 1,203,754 pounds.
The Committee's recommendation for the 2009-2010 Native spearmint
oil salable quantity of 1,196,109 pounds and allotment percentage of 53
percent utilized sales estimates provided by several of the industry's
handlers, as well as historical and current Native
[[Page 1973]]
spearmint oil sales levels. The Committee is estimating that about
1,250,000 pounds of Native spearmint oil may be sold during the 2009-
2010 marketing year (trade demand). When considered in conjunction with
the estimated carry-in of 51,363 pounds of oil on June 1, 2009, the
recommended salable quantity of 1,196,109 pounds results in a total
2009-2010 available supply of Native spearmint oil of about 1,247,472
pounds.
The Committee's method of calculating the Native spearmint oil
salable quantity and allotment percentage continues to primarily
utilize information on price and available supply as they are affected
by the estimated trade demand. The Committee's stated intent is to make
adequate supplies available to meet market needs and improve producer
prices.
The Committee believes that the order has contributed extensively
to the stabilization of producer prices, which prior to 1980
experienced wide fluctuations from year to year. According to the
National Agricultural Statistics Service, for example, the average
price paid for both classes of spearmint oil ranged from $4.00 per
pound to $11.10 per pound during the period between 1968 and 1980.
Prices since the order's inception, the period from 1980 to 2007, have
generally stabilized at an average price of $12.69 per pound for Scotch
spearmint oil and $9.97 per pound for Native spearmint oil.
The Committee based its recommendation for the proposed salable
quantity and allotment percentage for each class of spearmint oil for
the 2009-2010 marketing year on the information discussed above, as
well as the data outlined below.
(1) Class 1 (Scotch) Spearmint Oil
(A) Estimated carry-in on June 1, 2009--124,735 pounds. This figure
is the difference between the revised 2008-2009 marketing year total
available supply of 974,735 pounds and the estimated 2008-2009
marketing year trade demand of 850,000 pounds.
(B) Estimated trade demand for the 2009-2010 marketing year--
850,000 pounds. This figure is based on input from producers at six
Scotch spearmint oil production area meetings held in late September
and early October 2008, as well as estimates provided by handlers and
other meeting participants at the October 15, 2008, meeting. The
average estimated trade demand provided at the six production area
meetings is 852,447 pounds, whereas the estimated handler trade demand
ranged from 800,000 to 1,000,000 pounds. The average of sales over the
last three years is 831,342 pounds.
(C) Salable quantity required in the 2009-2010 marketing year
production--725,265 pounds. This figure is the difference between the
estimated 2009-2010 marketing year trade demand (850,000 pounds) and
the estimated carry-in on June 1, 2009 (124,735 pounds).
(D) Total estimated allotment base for the 2009-2010 marketing
year--2,005,168 pounds. This figure represents a one percent increase
over the revised 2008-2009 total allotment base. This figure is
generally revised each year on June 1 due to producer base being lost
due to the bona fide effort production provisions of Sec. 985.53(e).
The revision is usually minimal.
(E) Computed allotment percentage--36.2 percent. This percentage is
computed by dividing the required salable quantity by the total
estimated allotment base.
(F) Recommended allotment percentage--42 percent. This
recommendation is based on the Committee's determination that the
computed 36.2 percent would not adequately supply the potential 2009-
2010 market.
(G) The Committee's recommended salable quantity--842,171 pounds.
This figure is the product of the recommended allotment percentage and
the total estimated allotment base.
(H) Estimated available supply for the 2009-2010 marketing year--
966,906 pounds. This figure is the sum of the 2009-2010 recommended
salable quantity (842,171 pounds) and the estimated carry-in on June 1,
2009 (124,735 pounds).
(2) Class 3 (Native) Spearmint Oil
(A) Estimated carry-in on June 1, 2009--51,363 pounds. This figure
is the difference between the revised 2008-2009 marketing year total
available supply of 1,301,363 pounds and the estimated 2008-2009
marketing year trade demand of 1,250,000 pounds.
(B) Estimated trade demand for the 2009-2010 marketing year--
1,250,000 pounds. This figure is based on input from producers at the
six Native spearmint oil production area meetings held in late
September and early October 2008, as well as estimates provided by
handlers and other meeting participants at the October 15, 2008
meeting. The average estimated trade demand provided at the six
production area meetings was 1,237,945 pounds, whereas the handler
estimate ranged from 1,250,000 pounds to 1,300,000 pounds.
(C) Salable quantity required from the 2009-2010 marketing year
production--1,198,637 pounds. This figure is the difference between the
estimated 2009-2010 marketing year trade demand (1,250,000 pounds) and
the estimated carry-in on June 1, 2009 (51,363 pounds).
(D) Total estimated allotment base for the 2009-2010 marketing
year--2,256,810 pounds. This figure represents a one percent increase
over the revised 2008-2009 total allotment base. This figure is
generally revised each year on June 1 due to producer base being lost
due to the bona fide effort production provisions of Sec. 985.53(e).
The revision is usually minimal.
(E) Computed allotment percentage--53.1 percent. This percentage is
computed by dividing the required salable quantity (1,198,637) by the
total estimated allotment base (2,256,810).
(F) Recommended allotment percentage--53 percent. This is the
Committee's recommendation based on the computed allotment percentage
(53.1 percent), the average of the computed allotment percentage
figures from the six production area meetings (52.5 percent), and input
from producers and handlers at the October 15, 2008, meeting.
(G) The Committee's recommended salable quantity--1,196,109 pounds.
This figure is the product of the recommended allotment percentage (53
percent) and the total estimated allotment base (2,256,810).
(H) Estimated available supply for the 2009-2010 marketing year--
1,247,474 pounds. This figure is the sum of the 2009-2010 recommended
salable quantity (1,196,109 pounds) and the estimated carry-in on June
1, 2009 (51,363 pounds).
The salable quantity is the total quantity of each class of
spearmint oil, which handlers may purchase from, or handle on behalf of
producers during a marketing year. Each producer is allotted a share of
the salable quantity by applying the allotment percentage to the
producer's allotment base for the applicable class of spearmint oil.
The Committee's recommended Scotch and Native spearmint oil salable
quantities and allotment percentages of 842,171 pounds and 42 percent,
and 1,196,109 pounds and 53 percent, respectively, are based on the
Committee's goal of maintaining market stability by avoiding extreme
fluctuations in supplies and prices, and the anticipated supply and
trade demand during the 2009-2010
[[Page 1974]]
marketing year. The proposed salable quantities are not expected to
cause a shortage of spearmint oil supplies. Any unanticipated or
additional market demand for spearmint oil, which may develop during
the marketing year, can be satisfied by an increase in the salable
quantities. Both Scotch and Native spearmint oil producers who produce
more than their annual allotments during the 2009-2010 marketing year
may transfer such excess spearmint oil to a producer with spearmint oil
production less than their annual allotment or put it into the reserve
pool until November 1, 2009.
This proposed regulation, if adopted, would be similar to
regulations issued in prior seasons. Costs to producers and handlers
resulting from this rule are expected to be offset by the benefits
derived from a stable market and improved returns. In conjunction with
the issuance of this proposed rule, USDA has reviewed the Committee's
marketing policy statement for the 2009-2010 marketing year. The
Committee's marketing policy statement, a requirement whenever the
Committee recommends volume regulations, fully meets the intent of
Sec. 985.50 of the order. During its discussion of potential 2009-2010
salable quantities and allotment percentages, the Committee considered:
(1) The estimated quantity of salable oil of each class held by
producers and handlers; (2) the estimated demand for each class of oil;
(3) the prospective production of each class of oil; (4) the total of
allotment bases of each class of oil for the current marketing year and
the estimated total of allotment bases of each class for the ensuing
marketing year; (5) the quantity of reserve oil, by class, in storage;
(6) producer prices of oil, including prices for each class of oil; and
(7) general market conditions for each class of oil, including whether
the estimated season average price to producers is likely to exceed
parity. Conformity with the USDA's ``Guidelines for Fruit, Vegetable,
and Specialty Crop Marketing Orders'' has also been reviewed and
confirmed.
The establishment of these salable quantities and allotment
percentages would allow for anticipated market needs. In determining
anticipated market needs, consideration by the Committee was given to
historical sales, as well as changes and trends in production and
demand. This rule also provides producers with information on the
amount of spearmint oil that should be produced for the 2009-2010
season in order to meet anticipated market demand.
Initial Regulatory Flexibility Analysis
Pursuant to requirements set forth in the Regulatory Flexibility
Act (RFA), the Agricultural Marketing Service (AMS) has considered the
economic impact of this rule on small entities. Accordingly, AMS has
prepared this initial regulatory flexibility analysis.
The purpose of the RFA is to fit regulatory actions to the scale of
business subject to such actions in order that small businesses will
not be unduly or disproportionately burdened. Marketing orders issued
pursuant to the Act, and the rules issued thereunder, are unique in
that they are brought about through group action of essentially small
entities acting on their own behalf.
There are eight spearmint oil handlers subject to regulation under
the order, and approximately 55 producers of Scotch spearmint oil and
approximately 94 producers of Native spearmint oil in the regulated
production area. Small agricultural service firms are defined by the
Small Business Administration (SBA) (13 CFR 121.201) as those having
annual receipts of less than $7,000,000, and small agricultural
producers are defined as those having annual receipts of less than
$750,000.
Based on the SBA's definition of small entities, the Committee
estimates that 2 of the 8 handlers regulated by the order could be
considered small entities. Most of the handlers are large corporations
involved in the international trading of essential oils and the
products of essential oils. In addition, the Committee estimates that
18 of the 55 Scotch spearmint oil producers and 24 of the 94 Native
spearmint oil producers could be classified as small entities under the
SBA definition. Thus, a majority of handlers and producers of Far West
spearmint oil may not be classified as small entities.
The Far West spearmint oil industry is characterized by producers
whose farming operations generally involve more than one commodity, and
whose income from farming operations is not exclusively dependent on
the production of spearmint oil. A typical spearmint oil-producing
operation has enough acreage for rotation such that the total acreage
required to produce the crop is about one-third spearmint and two-
thirds rotational crops. Thus, the typical spearmint oil producer has
to have considerably more acreage than is planted to spearmint during
any given season. Crop rotation is an essential cultural practice in
the production of spearmint oil for weed, insect, and disease control.
To remain economically viable with the added costs associated with
spearmint oil production, most spearmint oil-producing farms fall into
the SBA category of large businesses.
Small spearmint oil producers generally are not as extensively
diversified as larger ones and as such are more at risk from market
fluctuations. Such small producers generally need to market their
entire annual allotment and do not have the luxury of having other
crops to cushion seasons with poor spearmint oil returns. Conversely,
large diversified producers have the potential to endure one or more
seasons of poor spearmint oil markets because income from alternate
crops could support the operation for a period of time. Being
reasonably assured of a stable price and market provides small
producing entities with the ability to maintain proper cash flow and to
meet annual expenses. Thus, the market and price stability provided by
the order potentially benefit the small producer more than such
provisions benefit large producers. Even though a majority of handlers
and producers of spearmint oil may not be classified as small entities,
the volume control feature of this order has small entity orientation.
This proposed rule would establish the quantity of spearmint oil
produced in the Far West, by class that handlers may purchase from, or
handle for, producers during the 2009-2010 marketing year. The
Committee recommended this rule to help maintain stability in the
spearmint oil market by avoiding extreme fluctuations in supplies and
prices. Establishing quantities to be purchased or handled during the
marketing year through volume regulations allows producers to plan
their spearmint planting and harvesting to meet expected market needs.
The provisions of Sec. Sec. 985.50, 985.51, and 985.52 of the order
authorize this rule.
Instability in the spearmint oil sub-sector of the mint industry is
much more likely to originate on the supply side than the demand side.
Fluctuations in yield and acreage planted from season-to-season tend to
be larger than fluctuations in the amount purchased by buyers. Demand
for spearmint oil tends to be relatively stable from year-to-year. The
demand for spearmint oil is expected to grow slowly for the foreseeable
future because the demand for consumer products that use spearmint oil
will likely expand slowly, in line with population growth.
Demand for spearmint oil at the farm level is derived from retail
demand for spearmint-flavored products such as chewing gum, toothpaste,
and mouthwash. The manufacturers of these
[[Page 1975]]
products are by far the largest users of mint oil. However, spearmint
flavoring is generally a very minor component of the products in which
it is used, so changes in the raw product price have no impact on
retail prices for those goods.
Spearmint oil production tends to be cyclical. Years of large
production, with demand remaining reasonably stable, have led to
periods in which large producer stocks of unsold spearmint oil have
depressed producer prices for a number of years. Shortages and high
prices may follow in subsequent years, as producers respond to price
signals by cutting back production.
The significant variability is illustrated by the fact that the
coefficient of variation (a standard measure of variability; ``CV'') of
Far West spearmint oil production from 1980 through 2007 was about
0.23. The CV for spearmint oil grower prices was about 0.14, well below
the CV for production. This provides an indication of the price
stabilizing impact of the marketing order.
Production in the shortest marketing year was about 50 percent of
the 28-year average (1.85 million pounds from 1980 through 2007) and
the largest crop was approximately 166 percent of the 28-year average.
A key consequence is that in years of oversupply and low prices the
season average producer price of spearmint oil is below the average
cost of production (as measured by the Washington State University
Cooperative Extension Service).
The wide fluctuations in supply and prices that result from this
cycle, which was even more pronounced before the creation of the
marketing order, can create liquidity problems for some producers. The
marketing order was designed to reduce the price impacts of the
cyclical swings in production. However, producers have been less able
to weather these cycles in recent years because of the increase in
production costs. While prices have been relatively steady, the cost of
production has dramatically increased which has caused a hesitation by
producers to plant. Producers are also enticed by the prices of
alternative crops and their lower cost of production.
In an effort to stabilize prices, the spearmint oil industry uses
the volume control mechanisms authorized under the order. This
authority allows the Committee to recommend a salable quantity and
allotment percentage for each class of oil for the upcoming marketing
year. The salable quantity for each class of oil is the total volume of
oil that producers may sell during the marketing year. The allotment
percentage for each class of spearmint oil is derived by dividing the
salable quantity by the total allotment base.
Each producer is then issued an annual allotment certificate, in
pounds, for the applicable class of oil, which is calculated by
multiplying the producer's allotment base by the applicable allotment
percentage. This is the amount of oil for the applicable class that the
producer can sell.
By November 1 of each year, the Committee identifies any oil that
individual producers have produced above the volume specified on their
annual allotment certificates. This excess oil is placed in a reserve
pool administered by the Committee.
There is a reserve pool for each class of oil that may not be sold
during the current marketing year unless USDA approves a Committee
recommendation to make a portion of the pool available. However,
limited quantities of reserve oil are typically sold to fill
deficiencies. A deficiency occurs when on-farm production is less than
a producer's allotment. In that case, a producer's own reserve oil can
be sold to fill that deficiency. Excess production (higher than the
producer's allotment) can be sold to fill other producers'
deficiencies. All of this needs to take place by November 1.
In any given year, the total available supply of spearmint oil is
composed of current production plus carry-over stocks from the previous
crop. The Committee seeks to maintain market stability by balancing
supply and demand, and to close the marketing year with an appropriate
level of carryout. If the industry has production in excess of the
salable quantity, then the reserve pool absorbs the surplus quantity of
spearmint oil, which goes unsold during that year, unless the oil is
needed for unanticipated sales.
Under its provisions, the order may attempt to stabilize prices by
(1) limiting supply and establishing reserves in high production years,
thus minimizing the price-depressing effect that excess producer stocks
have on unsold spearmint oil, and (2) ensuring that stocks are
available in short supply years when prices would otherwise increase
dramatically. The reserve pool stocks grown in large production years
are drawn down in short crop years.
An econometric model was used to assess the impact that volume
control has on the prices producers receive for their commodity.
Without volume control, spearmint oil markets would likely be over-
supplied, resulting in low producer prices and a large volume of oil
stored and carried over to the next crop year. The model estimates how
much lower producer prices would likely be in the absence of volume
controls.
The Committee estimated the trade demand for the 2009-2010
marketing year for both classes of oil at 2,100,000 pounds, and that
the expected combined carry-in will be 176,098 pounds. This results in
a combined required salable quantity of 1,923,902 pounds. Therefore,
with volume control, sales by producers for the 2009-2010 marketing
year would be limited to 2,038,280 pounds (the recommended salable
quantity for both classes of spearmint oil).
The recommended salable percentages, upon which 2009-2010 producer
allotments are based, are 42 percent for Scotch and 53 percent for
Native. Without volume controls, producers would not be limited to
these allotment levels, and could produce and sell additional
spearmint. The econometric model estimated a $1.40 decline in the
season average producer price per pound (from both classes of spearmint
oil) resulting from the higher quantities that would be produced and
marketed without volume control. The surplus situation for the
spearmint oil market that would exist without volume controls in 2009-
2010 also would likely dampen prospects for improved producer prices in
future years because of the buildup in stocks.
The use of volume controls allows the industry to fully supply
spearmint oil markets while avoiding the negative consequences of over-
supplying these markets. The use of volume controls is believed to have
little or no effect on consumer prices of products containing spearmint
oil and will not result in fewer retail sales of such products.
The Committee discussed alternatives to the recommendations
contained in this rule for both classes of spearmint oil. The Committee
discussed and rejected the idea of recommending that there not be any
volume regulation for both classes of spearmint oil because of the
severe price-depressing effects that would occur without volume
control.
The Committee considered various alternative levels of volume
control for Scotch spearmint oil, including increasing the percentage
to a less restrictive level, or decreasing the percentage. After
considerable discussion the Committee unanimously determined that
842,171 pounds and 42 percent would be the most effective salable
quantity and allotment percentage, respectively, for the 2009-2010
marketing year.
The Committee also considered various alternative levels of volume
control for Native spearmint oil. After
[[Page 1976]]
considerable discussion the Committee unanimously determined that
1,196,109 pounds and 53 percent would be the most effective salable
quantity and allotment percentage, respectively, for the 2009-2010
marketing year.
As noted earlier, the Committee's recommendation to establish
salable quantities and allotment percentages for both classes of
spearmint oil was made after careful consideration of all available
information, including: (1) The estimated quantity of salable oil of
each class held by producers and handlers; (2) the estimated demand for
each class of oil; (3) the prospective production of each class of oil;
(4) the total of allotment bases of each class of oil for the current
marketing year and the estimated total of allotment bases of each class
for the ensuing marketing year; (5) the quantity of reserve oil, by
class, in storage; (6) producer prices of oil, including prices for
each class of oil; and (7) general market conditions for each class of
oil, including whether the estimated season average price to producers
is likely to exceed parity. Based on its review, the Committee believes
that the salable quantity and allotment percentage levels recommended
would achieve the objectives sought.
Without any regulations in effect, the Committee believes the
industry would return to the pronounced cyclical price patterns that
occurred prior to the order, and that prices in 2009-2010 would decline
substantially below current levels.
As stated earlier, the Committee believes that the order has
contributed extensively to the stabilization of producer prices, which
prior to 1980 experienced wide fluctuations from year-to-year. National
Agricultural Statistics Service records show that the average price
paid for both classes of spearmint oil ranged from $4.00 per pound to
$11.10 per pound during the period between 1968 and 1980. Prices have
been consistently more stable since the marketing order's inception in
1980, with an average price for the period from 1980 to 2007 of $12.77
per pound for Scotch spearmint oil and $9.98 per pound for Native
spearmint oil.
According to the Committee, the recommended salable quantities and
allotment percentages are expected to achieve the goals of market and
price stability.
As previously stated, annual salable quantities and allotment
percentages have been issued for both classes of spearmint oil since
the order's inception. Reporting and recordkeeping requirements have
remained the same for each year of regulation. These requirements have
been approved by the Office of Management and Budget under OMB Control
No. 0581-0178, Vegetable and Specialty Crops. Accordingly, this rule
would not impose any additional reporting or recordkeeping requirements
on either small or large spearmint oil producers and handlers. As with
all Federal marketing order programs, reports and forms are
periodically reviewed to reduce information requirements and
duplication by industry and public sector agencies.
AMS is committed to complying with the E-Government Act, to promote
the use of the Internet and other information technologies to provide
increased opportunities for citizen access to Government information
and services, and for other purposes.
USDA has not identified any relevant Federal rules that duplicate,
overlap, or conflict with this rule.
In addition, the Committee's meeting was widely publicized
throughout the spearmint oil industry, and all interested persons were
invited to attend the meeting and participate in Committee
deliberations on all issues. Like all Committee meetings, the October
15, 2008, meeting was a public meeting, and all entities, both large
and small, were able to express views on this issue. Finally,
interested persons are invited to submit comments on this proposed
rule, including the regulatory and informational impacts of this action
on small businesses.
A small business guide on complying with fruit, vegetable, and
specialty crop marketing agreements and orders may be viewed at: http:/
/www.ams.usda.gov/AMSv1.0/
ams.fetchTemplateData.do?template=TemplateN&page=MarketingOrdersSmallBus
inessGuide. Any questions about the compliance guide should be sent to
Jay Guerber at the previously mentioned address in the FOR FURTHER
INFORMATION CONTACT section.
A 60-day comment period is provided to allow interested persons the
opportunity to respond to this proposal. All written comments timely
received will be considered before a final determination is made on
this matter.
List of Subjects in 7 CFR Part 985
Marketing agreements, Oils and fats, Reporting and recordkeeping
requirements, Spearmint oil.
For the reasons set forth in the preamble, 7 CFR Part 985 is
proposed to be amended as follows:
PART 985--MARKETING ORDER REGULATING THE HANDLING OF SPEARMINT OIL
PRODUCED IN THE FAR WEST
1. The authority citation for 7 CFR Part 985 continues to read as
follows:
Authority: 7 U.S.C. 601-674.
2. A new Sec. 985.228 is added to read as follows:
Note: This section will not appear in the Code of Federal
Regulations.
Sec. 985.228 Salable quantities and allotment percentages--2009-2010
marketing year.
The salable quantity and allotment percentage for each class of
spearmint oil during the marketing year beginning on June 1, 2009,
shall be as follows:
(a) Class 1 (Scotch) oil--a salable quantity of 842,171 pounds and
an allotment percentage of 42 percent.
(b) Class 3 (Native) oil--a salable quantity of 1,196,109 pounds
and an allotment percentage of 53 percent.
Dated: January 8, 2009.
James E. Link,
Administrator, Agricultural Marketing Service.
[FR Doc. E9-604 Filed 1-13-09; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 3410-02-P