Energy Conservation Program: Data Collection and Estimated Future Unit Sales of Five Lamp Types, 79072 [E8-30608]

Download as PDF 79072 Federal Register / Vol. 73, No. 248 / Wednesday, December 24, 2008 / Notices The benefits of the Disability and Rehabilitation Research Projects and Centers Program have been well established over the years in that similar projects have been completed successfully. These final priorities will generate new knowledge and technologies through research, development, dissemination, utilization, and technical assistance projects. Another benefit of these final priorities is that the establishment of new DRRPs will support the President’s NFI and will improve the lives of individuals with disabilities. The new DRRPs will generate, disseminate, and promote the use of new information that will improve the options for individuals with disabilities to perform regular activities in the community. Applicable Program Regulations: 34 CFR part 350. Electronic Access to This Document You may view this document, as well as all other Department of Education documents published in the Federal Register, in text or Adobe Portable Document Format (PDF) on the Internet at the following site: https://www.ed.gov/ news/fedregister. To use PDF you must have Adobe Acrobat Reader, which is available free at this site. If you have questions about using PDF, call the U.S. Government Printing Office (GPO), toll free, at 1– 888–293–6498; or in the Washington, DC, area at (202) 512–1530. Note: The official version of this document is the document published in the Federal Register. Free Internet access to the official edition of the Federal Register and the Code of Federal Regulations is available on GPO Access at: https://www.gpoaccess.gov/nara/ index.html (Catalog of Federal Domestic Assistance Number 84.133A Disability Rehabilitation Research Projects) Program Authority: 29 U.S.C. 762(g) and 764(a). Dated: December 19, 2008. Tracy R. Justesen, Assistant Secretary for Special Education and Rehabilitative Services. [FR Doc. E8–30702 Filed 12–23–08; 8:45 am] SUMMARY: The Department of Energy (DOE) is informing the public of its collection of historical data and creation of spreadsheet models to provide a benchmark estimate future unit sales of five lamp types (i.e., rough service lamps, vibration service lamps, 3-way incandescent lamps, 2,601–3,300 lumen general service incandescent lamps, and shatter resistant lamps). Relating to this activity, DOE prepared and is making available on its Web site: (1) a report that summarizes the methodology and presents the benchmark estimate of future unit sales for the five lamp types and (2) the spreadsheet model used to generate that estimate based on their respective historical annual growth rates. Both the report and the spreadsheet are available at: https:// www1.eere.energy.gov/buildings/ appliance_standards/residential/ five_lamp_types.html. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Send requests for additional information to Mrs. Linda Graves, U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Building Technologies, EE–2J, 1000 Independence Avenue, SW., Washington, DC 20585–0121, (202) 586– 1851. E-mail: Linda.Graves@ee.doe.gov. In the Office of General Counsel, contact Ms. Francine Pinto, U.S. Department of Energy, Office of General Counsel, GC– 72, 1000 Independence Avenue, SW., Washington, DC 20585, (202) 586–9507. E-mail: Francine.Pinto@hq.doe.gov. Discussion Section 321(a)(3)(B) of Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 (EISA 2007) amends section 325(l) of EPCA by adding paragraph (4)(B) that generally directs DOE in consultation with the National Electrical Manufacturers Association (NEMA) to (1) collect historical unit sales 1 data for each of the five lamp types (i.e., rough service lamps, vibration service lamps, 3-way incandescent lamps, 2,601–3,300 lumen general service incandescent lamps, and shatter-resistant lamps) and (2) construct a spreadsheet model for each of the five lamp types based on BILLING CODE 4000–01–P mstockstill on PROD1PC66 with NOTICES DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY Energy Conservation Program: Data Collection and Estimated Future Unit Sales of Five Lamp Types AGENCY: Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Department of Energy. ACTION: Notice of data availability. VerDate Aug<31>2005 18:45 Dec 23, 2008 Jkt 217001 1 In this analysis, DOE uses (and intends to continue to use) manufacturer shipments as a surrogate for unit sales. This assumption presumes that retailer inventories remain constant from year to year. DOE believes this is a reasonable assumption because the markets for these five lamp types have existed for many years, enabling manufacturers and retailers to establish appropriate inventory levels that reflect market demand. Furthermore, in the long-run, unit sales could not increase in any one year without manufacturer shipments increasing either that year or the following one. In either case, increasing unit sales must eventually result in increasing manufacturer shipments. PO 00000 Frm 00034 Fmt 4703 Sfmt 4703 coincident economic indicators that closely match the historical annual growth rates of each lamp type to provide a neutral comparison benchmark estimate of future unit sales. (42 U.S.C. 6295(l)(4)(B).) These estimates of future unit sales for each of the five lamp types constitute a neutral comparison benchmark against which DOE will later compare actual unit sales data starting with calendar 2010. (42 U.S.C. 6295(l)(4)(C).) DOE worked in consultation with NEMA to collect actual data for unit sales of each of the five lamp types for calendar years 1990 through 2006. DOE also constructed a model for each type of lamp that is based on the historical annual growth rate of the lamps which provides a benchmark estimate of future unit sales for each of the five lamp types. DOE has posted on its Web page 2 (1) a report that summarizes the methodology and presents the benchmark estimate of future unit sales and (2) a spreadsheet model that was used to estimate future unit sales for the five lamp types based on the historical annual growth rates for each. The report defines each of the five lamp types, presents the historical data that was provided by NEMA, discusses the methodology followed in analyzing that data to generate the estimated future unit sales, and presents the results for the five lamp types. The report also discusses the regulatory provisions in the statute for each of the five lamp types that would be enacted if the unit sales of one of these lamp types exceeded the benchmark estimate in any given year by 100 percent (i.e., double the benchmark estimate level). The spreadsheet contains the five models constructed for each of the lamp types, in compliance with section 325(l)(4)(B)(ii) of EPCA. These models closely match the historical annual growth rate of each lamp type and generate an estimate of future unit sales based on those trends. This future unit sales estimate constitutes the neutral comparison benchmark against which DOE will later conduct comparisons. Issued in Washington, DC, on December 18, 2008. John F. Mizroch, Acting Assistant Secretary, Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy. [FR Doc. E8–30608 Filed 12–23–08; 8:45 am] BILLING CODE 6450–01–P 2 The address for the Web page is given in the portion of this Notice. SUMMARY E:\FR\FM\24DEN1.SGM 24DEN1

Agencies

DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY

[Federal Register Volume 73, Number 248 (Wednesday, December 24, 2008)]
[Notices]
[Page 79072]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: E8-30608]


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DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY


Energy Conservation Program: Data Collection and Estimated Future 
Unit Sales of Five Lamp Types

AGENCY: Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Department of 
Energy.

ACTION: Notice of data availability.

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SUMMARY: The Department of Energy (DOE) is informing the public of its 
collection of historical data and creation of spreadsheet models to 
provide a benchmark estimate future unit sales of five lamp types 
(i.e., rough service lamps, vibration service lamps, 3-way incandescent 
lamps, 2,601-3,300 lumen general service incandescent lamps, and 
shatter resistant lamps). Relating to this activity, DOE prepared and 
is making available on its Web site: (1) a report that summarizes the 
methodology and presents the benchmark estimate of future unit sales 
for the five lamp types and (2) the spreadsheet model used to generate 
that estimate based on their respective historical annual growth rates. 
Both the report and the spreadsheet are available at: https://
www1.eere.energy.gov/buildings/appliance_standards/residential/five_
lamp_types.html.

FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Send requests for additional 
information to Mrs. Linda Graves, U.S. Department of Energy, Office of 
Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, Building Technologies, EE-2J, 
1000 Independence Avenue, SW., Washington, DC 20585-0121, (202) 586-
1851. E-mail: Linda.Graves@ee.doe.gov. In the Office of General 
Counsel, contact Ms. Francine Pinto, U.S. Department of Energy, Office 
of General Counsel, GC-72, 1000 Independence Avenue, SW., Washington, 
DC 20585, (202) 586-9507. E-mail: Francine.Pinto@hq.doe.gov.

Discussion

    Section 321(a)(3)(B) of Energy Independence and Security Act of 
2007 (EISA 2007) amends section 325(l) of EPCA by adding paragraph 
(4)(B) that generally directs DOE in consultation with the National 
Electrical Manufacturers Association (NEMA) to (1) collect historical 
unit sales \1\ data for each of the five lamp types (i.e., rough 
service lamps, vibration service lamps, 3-way incandescent lamps, 
2,601-3,300 lumen general service incandescent lamps, and shatter-
resistant lamps) and (2) construct a spreadsheet model for each of the 
five lamp types based on coincident economic indicators that closely 
match the historical annual growth rates of each lamp type to provide a 
neutral comparison benchmark estimate of future unit sales. (42 U.S.C. 
6295(l)(4)(B).) These estimates of future unit sales for each of the 
five lamp types constitute a neutral comparison benchmark against which 
DOE will later compare actual unit sales data starting with calendar 
2010. (42 U.S.C. 6295(l)(4)(C).)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \1\ In this analysis, DOE uses (and intends to continue to use) 
manufacturer shipments as a surrogate for unit sales. This 
assumption presumes that retailer inventories remain constant from 
year to year. DOE believes this is a reasonable assumption because 
the markets for these five lamp types have existed for many years, 
enabling manufacturers and retailers to establish appropriate 
inventory levels that reflect market demand. Furthermore, in the 
long-run, unit sales could not increase in any one year without 
manufacturer shipments increasing either that year or the following 
one. In either case, increasing unit sales must eventually result in 
increasing manufacturer shipments.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DOE worked in consultation with NEMA to collect actual data for 
unit sales of each of the five lamp types for calendar years 1990 
through 2006. DOE also constructed a model for each type of lamp that 
is based on the historical annual growth rate of the lamps which 
provides a benchmark estimate of future unit sales for each of the five 
lamp types. DOE has posted on its Web page \2\ (1) a report that 
summarizes the methodology and presents the benchmark estimate of 
future unit sales and (2) a spreadsheet model that was used to estimate 
future unit sales for the five lamp types based on the historical 
annual growth rates for each.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    \2\ The address for the Web page is given in the SUMMARY portion 
of this Notice.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

    The report defines each of the five lamp types, presents the 
historical data that was provided by NEMA, discusses the methodology 
followed in analyzing that data to generate the estimated future unit 
sales, and presents the results for the five lamp types. The report 
also discusses the regulatory provisions in the statute for each of the 
five lamp types that would be enacted if the unit sales of one of these 
lamp types exceeded the benchmark estimate in any given year by 100 
percent (i.e., double the benchmark estimate level).
    The spreadsheet contains the five models constructed for each of 
the lamp types, in compliance with section 325(l)(4)(B)(ii) of EPCA. 
These models closely match the historical annual growth rate of each 
lamp type and generate an estimate of future unit sales based on those 
trends. This future unit sales estimate constitutes the neutral 
comparison benchmark against which DOE will later conduct comparisons.

    Issued in Washington, DC, on December 18, 2008.
John F. Mizroch,
Acting Assistant Secretary, Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy.
[FR Doc. E8-30608 Filed 12-23-08; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6450-01-P

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