Milk in the Northeast and Other Marketing Areas; Tentative Partial Final Decision on Proposed Amendments and Opportunity To File Written Exceptions to Tentative Marketing Agreements and Orders, 35306-35331 [E8-13943]
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Federal Register / Vol. 73, No. 120 / Friday, June 20, 2008 / Proposed Rules
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
Agricultural Marketing Service
7 CFR Part 1000
[Docket No. AMS–DA–07–0026; AO–14–A77,
et al.; DA–07–02–A]
Milk in the Northeast and Other
Marketing Areas; Tentative Partial
Final Decision on Proposed
Amendments and Opportunity To File
Written Exceptions to Tentative
Marketing Agreements and Orders
Agricultural Marketing Service,
USDA.
ACTION: Proposed rule; tentative partial
final decision.
rwilkins on PROD1PC63 with PROPOSALS3
AGENCY:
SUMMARY: This tentative partial final
decision proposes to adopt changes to
the manufacturing cost allowances and
the butterfat yield factor used in Class
III and Class IV product-price formulas
applicable to all Federal milk marketing
orders on an interim basis. A separate
decision regarding the collection of
manufacturing cost information, the use
of an energy cost adjustor and providing
for a cost add-on feature to Class III and
Class IV product-pricing formulas will
be addressed in a separate decision.
This tentative partial decision requires
determining if producers approve the
issuance of the amended orders on an
interim basis.
DATES: Comments should be submitted
on or before August 19, 2008.
ADDRESSES: Comments (six copies)
should be filed with the Hearing Clerk,
Stop 9200—Room 1031, United States
Department of Agriculture, 1400
Independence Avenue, SW.,
Washington, DC 20250–9200.
Comments may also be submitted at the
Federal eRulemaking portal: https://
www.regulations.gov.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Jack
Rower, Marketing Specialist, USDA/
AMS/Dairy Programs, Order
Formulation and Enforcement, Stop
0231—Room 2971–S, 1400
Independence Avenue, SW.,
Washington, DC 20250–0231, (202) 720–
2357, e-mail address:
jack.rower@usda.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: This
tentative partial final decision proposes
to adopt on an interim final and
emergency basis, amendments to the
manufacturing (make) allowances for
cheese, butter, nonfat dry milk (NFDM)
and dry whey powder contained in the
Class III and Class IV product price
formulas. Specifically, this decision
proposes to adopt the following make
allowances: Cheese—$0.2003 per
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pound; butter—$0.1715 per pound;
NFDM—$0.1678 per pound; and dry
whey—$0.1991 per pound. This
decision also proposes increasing the
butterfat yield factor in the butterfat
price formula from 1.20 to 1.211.
This decision also addresses
proposals published in the hearing
notice as Proposals 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10,
11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16 and 18 that seek
to change various features of the Class
III and Class IV product-price formulas.
Proposals seeking to establish a
manufacturing cost survey (Proposal 2),
establish an energy cost adjustor
(Proposal 17) and establish a cost addon (Proposal 20), will be addressed in a
separate recommended decision.
This administrative action is governed
by the provisions of Sections 556 and
557 of Title 5 of the United States Code
and, therefore, is excluded from the
requirements of Executive Order 12866.
The amendments to the rules
proposed herein have been reviewed
under Executive Order 12988, Civil
Justice Reform. They are not intended to
have a retroactive effect. If adopted, the
proposed amendments would not
preempt any state or local laws,
regulations, or policies, unless they
present an irreconcilable conflict with
this rule.
The Agricultural Marketing
Agreement Act of 1937 (Act), as
amended (7 U.S.C. 604–674), provides
that administrative proceedings must be
exhausted before parties may file suit in
court. Under Section 608c(15)(A) of the
Act, any handler subject to an order may
request modification or exemption from
such order by filing with the U.S.
Department of Agriculture (USDA) a
petition stating that the order, any
provision of the order, or any obligation
imposed in connection with the order is
not in accordance with the law. A
handler is afforded the opportunity for
a hearing on the petition. After a
hearing, USDA would rule on the
petition. The Act provides that the
district court of the United States in any
district in which the handler is an
habitant, or has its principal place of
business, has jurisdiction in equity to
review the USDA’s ruling on the
petition, provided a bill in equity is
filed not later than 20 days after the date
of the entry of the ruling.
Regulatory Flexibility Act and
Paperwork Reduction Act
In accordance with the Regulatory
Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601–612), the
Agricultural Marketing Service has
considered the economic impact of this
action on small entities and has certified
that this proposed rule will not have a
significant economic impact on a
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substantial number of small entities. For
the purpose of the Regulatory Flexibility
Act, a dairy farm is considered a small
business if it has an annual gross
revenue of less than $750,000, and a
dairy products manufacturer is a small
business if it has fewer than 500
employees.
For the purposes of determining
which dairy farms are small businesses,
the $750,000 per year criterion was used
to establish a production guideline of
500,000 pounds per month. Although
this guideline does not factor in
additional monies that may be received
by dairy producers, it should be an
inclusive standard for most small dairy
farmers. For purposes of determining a
handler’s size, if the plant is part of a
larger company operating multiple
plants that collectively exceed the 500employee limit, the plant will be
considered a large business even if the
local plant has fewer than 500
employees.
For the month of February 2007, the
month the initial public hearing was
held, the milk of 49,712 dairy farmers
was pooled on the Federal order system.
Of the total, 46,729 dairy farmers, or 94
percent, were considered small
businesses. During the same month, 352
plants were regulated by or reported
their milk receipts to be pooled and
priced on a Federal order. Of the total,
186 plants, or 53 percent, were
considered small businesses.
This decision proposes that all orders
be amended by changing the make
allowances contained in the formulas
used to compute component prices and
the minimum class prices in all Federal
milk orders. Specifically, the make
allowance for butter increases from
$0.1202 to $0.1715 per pound; the make
allowance for cheese increases from
$0.1682 to $0.2003 per pound; the make
allowance for NFDM increases from
$0.1570 to $0.1678 per pound; and the
make allowance for dry whey increases
from $0.1956 to $0.1991 per pound. The
butterfat yield factor in the butterfat
price formulas is increased from 1.20 to
1.211.
The proposed adoption of these new
make allowances serves to approximate
the average cost of producing cheese,
butter, NFDM and dry whey for
manufacturing plants located in Federal
milk marketing areas. The established
criteria for the make allowance changes
are applied in an identical fashion to
both large and small businesses and will
not have any different impact on those
businesses producing manufactured
milk products.
An economic analysis has been
performed that discusses impacts of the
proposed amendments on industry
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participants including producers and
manufacturers. It can be found on the
AMS Dairy Web site at https://
www.ams.usda.gov/dairy. Based on the
economic analysis we have concluded
that the proposed amendments will not
have a significant economic impact on
a substantial number of small entities.
The Agricultural Marketing Service
(AMS) is committed to complying with
the E-Government Act, to promote the
use of the Internet and other
information technologies to provide
increased opportunities for citizen
access to Government information and
services, and for other purposes.
This tentative partial final decision
does not require additional information
collection that needs clearance by the
Office of Management and Budget
(OMB) beyond currently approved
information collection. The primary
sources of data used to complete the
forms are routinely used in most
business transactions. The forms require
only a minimal amount of information
that can be supplied without data
processing equipment or a trained
statistical staff. Thus, the information
collection and reporting burden is
relatively small. Requiring the same
reports for all handlers does not
significantly disadvantage any handler
that is smaller than the industry
average.
Interested parties were invited to
submit comments on the probable
regulatory and informational impact of
this proposed rule on small entities.
Economic Analysis
In order to assess the impact of the
proposed changes in Federal order
producer price formulas, the
Department conducted an economic
analysis. The complete analysis is
available at on the Dairy Programs Web
site which can be accessed through
https://www.ams.usda.gov.
The impacts of the proposed changes
to the Class III and Class IV pricing
formulas contained in the tentative final
decision are summarized as changes
from the USDA baseline on an annual
basis and as a nine-year average change
from 2008–2016. Impacts on the Federal
order system are considered to be in the
context of the broader U.S. market for
milk and dairy products.
Producers: The U.S. all-milk price
falls an average $0.06 per cwt (0.39
percent) from a baseline level of $16.22
per cwt over the nine-year projection
period. The average Federal order
minimum blend price at test averages
$0.11 per cwt (0.68 percent) below the
baseline level of $16.43 per cwt. The
lower milk prices result in a tightening
of production. In turn, Federal order
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marketings fall an average 145 million
pounds (0.11 percent) below the
baseline average of 126.5 billion
pounds. Federal order cash receipts
decrease an average $165 million (0.79
percent) from the $20.8 billion baseline
receipts. U.S. marketings come in an
average 240 million pounds (0.13
percent) per year below the baseline
average of 187.8 billion pounds. The
lower marketings coupled with lower
prices across the board result in an
average decline of $156 million (0.51
percent) in producer revenue from the
baseline average of $30.4 billion.
Milk Manufacturers and Processors:
Increases to the make allowances in
Federal order minimum price formulas
are advantageous for dairy product
manufacturers. Average wholesale
prices over the projection period exceed
baseline by the following: Cheddar
cheese by $0.0176 per pound (1.14
percent), butter by $0.0346 per pound
(1.89 percent), nonfat dry milk by
$0.0090 per pound (0.88 percent), and
dry whey by $0.0034 per pound (0.94
percent).
In spite of the higher product prices,
the make allowance changes are
substantial enough that the nine-year
average component prices fall from
baseline levels. The changes are as
follows: Butterfat by $0.0014 per pound
(0.07 percent), protein by $0.0451 per
pound (1.96 percent), nonfat solids by
$0.0018 per pound (0.22 percent) and
the other solids price by $0.001 per
pound (0.05 percent). Lower component
prices are carried through to lower skim
milk pricing factors. The Class III skim
price falls an average $0.14 per cwt
(1.72 percent) from a baseline average
level of $8.16 per cwt and remains the
Class I price mover.
Consumers: The retail price of fluid
milk is expected to decrease an average
of $0.0094 per gallon (0.27 percent)
from the baseline average price of
$3.4135 over the nine-year projection
period due to the lower Class I price.
Consumers respond, albeit modestly, to
the decreased prices as evidenced by the
average 32 million pound (0.07 percent)
increase in Class I marketings from a
baseline average of 45 billion pounds
over the projection period. Class II
marketings increase overall, indicating
an increase in consumption of soft
products consistent with the slight
decline in Class II prices. At the same
time, consumers face higher prices for
hard manufactured dairy products such
as cheese, butter and nonfat dry milk
and as a result, Class III and Class IV
marketings fall from baseline levels.
Consumer demand for hard
manufactured dairy products is more
elastic than for fluid milk and soft
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products; consumers are more
responsive to changes in price.
Government Outlays: With the
expiration of the Milk Income Loss
Contract (MILC) program, and no
activity under Dairy Export Incentive
Program (DEIP), any change to
government outlays occurs through Milk
Price Support Program (MPSP)
purchases. Baseline level prices are high
enough that few government purchases
are expected. Under the proposed
changes, removals change only slightly
at the beginning of the projection
period; remaining unchanged in from
baseline in the long run projection.
The proposed changes to Class III and
Class IV pricing formulas result in lower
Federal order prices as well as higher
manufactured product prices. Thus, the
gap between the price of milk and the
wholesale prices received by processors
widens. At the same time, milk
producers face lower prices and respond
by cutting back on production, leading
to lower marketings and producer
revenue losses.
The decrease in the Federal minimum
price for Class I milk is passed on to
consumers in the form of a slightly
lower retail price for fluid milk which
increases consumption. However,
tighter milk supply bolsters
manufactured product prices and in
turn lowers consumption of cheese,
butter, and NDFM. Class I and Class II
marketings increase, but not enough to
counteract the lower prices, allowing
average receipts to fall across all classes.
Though prices for Class III and Class IV
milk decrease under the proposed
changes, the decreased consumption of
the associated dairy products and the
increase in Class I and Class II product
consumption causes a shift in dairy
product allocation, increasing the
amount of milk allocated to Class II
production.
Prior Documents in This Proceeding
Notice of Hearing: Issued February 5,
2007; published February 9, 2007 (72 FR
6179).
Supplemental Notice of Hearing:
Issued February 14, 2007; published
February 20, 2007 (72 FR 7753).
Notice To Reconvene Hearing: Issued
March 15, 2007; published March 21,
2007 (72 FR 13219).
Notice To Reconvene Hearing: Issued
May 2, 2007; published May 8, 2007 (72
FR 25986).
Preliminary Statement
Notice is hereby given of the filing
with the Hearing Clerk of this tentative
partial final decision with respect to the
proposed amendments to the tentative
marketing agreements and the orders
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regulating the handling of milk in the
Northeast and other marketing areas.
This notice is issued pursuant to the
provisions of the Agricultural Marketing
Agreement Act (AMAA) and applicable
rules of practice and procedure
governing the formulation of marketing
agreements and marketing orders (7 CFR
part 900).
Interested parties may file written
exceptions to this decision with the
Hearing Clerk, United States
Department of Agriculture, Room
1031—Stop 9200, 1400 Independence
Avenue, SW., Washington, DC 20250–
9200, by the August 19, 2008, deadline.
Six (6) copies of the exceptions should
be filed. Comments may also be
submitted at the Federal eRulemaking
portal: https://www.regulations.gov.
A public hearing was held upon
proposed amendments to the marketing
agreements and the orders regulating the
handling of milk in the Northeast and
other marketing areas. The hearing was
held, pursuant to the provisions of the
Agricultural Marketing Agreement Act
of 1937 (AMAA), as amended (7 U.S.C.
601–674), and the applicable rules of
practice and procedure governing the
formulation of marketing agreements
and marketing orders (7 CFR Part 900).
The proposed amendments set forth
below are based on the record of the
first session of a public hearing held in
Strongsville, Ohio, on February 26–
March 2, 2007, pursuant to a notice of
hearing issued February 5, 2007,
published March 21, 2007 (72 FR
13219); a second session of a public
hearing held in Indianapolis, Indiana,
on April 9–13, 2007, pursuant to a
reconvened hearing notice issued March
15, 2007, published March 21, 2007 (72
FR 13219); and a third session of a
public hearing held in Pittsburgh,
Pennsylvania, on July 9–11, 2007,
pursuant to a reconvened hearing notice
issued May 2, 2007, published May 8,
2007 (72 FR 25986).
The material issues on the record of
the hearing relate to:
1. Amending the product-price
formulas used to compute Class III and
Class IV prices.
2. Determination of Emergency
Marketing Conditions.
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Findings and Conclusions
1. Amending the product-price formulas
used to compute Class III and Class IV
prices
This tentative final decision adopts on
an interim basis, a proposal published
in the hearing notice as Proposal 1
which seeks to amend the
manufacturing allowances for butter,
cheese, nonfat dry milk (NFDM) and dry
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whey using the most currently available
data, and a portion of Proposal 6 that
increases the butterfat yield in the
butterfat price formula. Specifically, this
decision adopts the following
manufacturing allowances: Cheese—
$0.2003 per pound, butter—$0.1715 per
pound, NFDM—$0.1678 per pound and
dry whey—$0.1991 per pound. This
decision also increases the butterfat
yield factor in the butterfat price
formula from 1.20 to 1.211.
The Federal Milk Marketing Order
(FMMO) program currently uses
product-price formulas to compute
prices handlers must account for in the
marketwide pooling of milk used in the
four classes of products. These formulas
rely on the price of finished products to
determine the minimum classified
prices handlers pay for raw milk. In
addition, the Class III and Class IV
prices form the base from which Class
I and Class II prices are determined.
This end-product pricing system was
implemented on January 1, 2000
(published February 12, 1999; 64 FR
70868).
The product-price formulas are
computed by using component values
from National Agricultural Statistic
Service (NASS) surveyed prices of
manufactured dairy products. The
pricing system determines butterfat
prices for milk used in products in each
of the four classes from a surveyed
butter price; protein and other solids
prices for milk used in Class III products
from surveyed cheese and dry whey
prices; and a nonfat solids price for milk
used in Class II and Class IV products
from surveyed nonfat dry milk product
prices. The skim milk portion of the
Class I price may be derived from either
the protein and other solids price, or
from the nonfat dry milk price
depending on the price relationships.
The butterfat, protein, other solids and
nonfat solids prices are all derived in a
similar manner: Average NASS survey
price minus a manufacturing (make)
allowance times a yield factor. The yield
factor is an approximation of the
quantity of a specific product that can
be made from a hundredweight (cwt) of
milk. The yield factors were last
amended on April 1, 2003 (published
February 12, 2003; 68 FR 7063).
The make allowance factor represents
the cost manufacturers incur in making
raw milk into one pound of product.
Federal milk order pricing formulas
currently contain the following make
allowances: Cheese—$0.1682 per
pound, butter—$0.1202 per pound,
NFDM—$0.1570 per pound and dry
whey—$0.1956 per pound. These make
allowances were adopted in 2006 (71 FR
78333) and became effective on March
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1, 2007, and were determined on the
basis of a California Department of Food
and Agriculture (CDFA) and a Cornell
Program on Dairy Markets and Policy
(CPDMP) survey of manufacturing costs.
The current make allowances, except
dry whey, were computed by taking a
weighted average of the CDFA and
CPDMP surveys using National
commodity production as the weights,
and adjusting for marketing costs. The
dry whey make allowance was
computed by relying solely on the
CPDMP 2005 survey and adjusting for
marketing costs.
Nineteen proposals were published in
the hearing notice for this proceeding.
Proposals 4, 5 and 11 were withdrawn
at the hearing by proponents in support
of other noticed proposals. No further
reference to these proposals will be
made.
A proposal published in the hearing
notice as Proposal 1, offered by AgriMark Cooperative (Agri-Mark), seeks to
amend the Class III and Class IV make
allowances by using the most current
plant cost survey data available. AgriMark is a Capper-Volstead cooperative
with approximately 1,400 memberowners throughout New England and
New York, and operates four
manufacturing plants.
Agri-Mark is also the proponent of
Proposal 2 that seeks to amend the Class
III and Class IV product price formulas
to annually update the manufacturing
allowances using an annual
manufacturing cost survey of cheese,
whey powder, butter, and nonfat dry
milk plants (located outside of
California.) The proposed amendments
would grant authority to the Market
Administrator to administer the survey,
select the sample plants, and collect,
audit, and assemble cost information.
This proposal will also be addressed in
a separate decision.
A proposal published in the hearing
notice as Proposal 3, offered by Dairy
Producers of New Mexico (DPNM),
seeks to amend the manufacturing
allowances contained in the Class III
and Class IV product price formulas.
Specifically, this proposal seeks to set
the make allowances at the following
levels: $0.1108 per pound for butter;
$0.1638 per pound for cheese; $0.1410
per pound for NFDM; and $0.1500 per
pound for dry whey. DPNM is an
association of dairy producers located in
New Mexico and West Texas.
DPNM is the proponent of Proposals
6, 7 and 8 that seek to amend the yield
factors and the butterfat recovery rate of
the Class III and Class IV product price
formulas. Proposal 6 seeks to amend the
butter price formula by increasing the
butterfat yield factor from 1.20 to 1.211
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and to amend the protein price formula
by increasing the butterfat recovery rate
from 90 percent to 94 percent. Proposal
7 seeks to eliminate the farm-to-plant
shrink and butterfat shrink adjustments
of all yield factors. Proposal 8 seeks to
increase the nonfat solids yield factor
from 0.99 to 1.02, and increase the
protein price yield factor for cheese
from 1.383 to 1.405 and for butter from
1.572 to 1.653.
Proposal 9 was offered by the
International Dairy Foods Association
(IDFA). Proposal 9 seeks to amend the
Class III and Class IV product-price
formulas by adjusting the protein price
formula to reflect the lower value and
reduced volume of butterfat recoverable
as whey cream. IDFA is a trade
association with 530 members
representing manufacturers, marketers,
distributors, and suppliers of fluid milk
and related products.
Proposal 10 was submitted on behalf
of Agri-Mark. Proposal 10 seeks to
amend the Class III and Class IV
product-price formulas by reducing the
protein price to reflect the lower selling
price of whey butter.
Proposal 12 was offered by IDFA.
Proposal 12 seeks to amend the Class III
and Class IV product price formulas by
eliminating the 3-cent cost adjustment
for cheese manufacturing of 500-pound
barrels contained in the protein price
formula.
Proposal 13 was offered by Dairy
Farmers of America, Inc. (DFA) and the
Northwest Dairy Association (NDA).
Proposal 13 seeks to amend the Class III
and Class IV product-price formulas by
removing the barrel cheese price as a
cost component of the protein price
formula. DFA is a Capper-Volstead
cooperative with 13,500 memberowners producing milk in 40 states.
NDA is a Capper-Volstead cooperative
with approximately 610 memberowners, and operates 6 manufacturing
plants and 4 distributing plants in the
western United States.
Proposal 14 was advanced by AgriMark. Proposal 14 seeks to amend the
Class III and Class IV product price
formulas by using a combination of the
weekly NASS and CME cheese price
series to determine the cheese price
contained in the Class III and Class IV
product-price formulas.
Proposal 15 also was offered by
DPNM. This proposal seeks to replace
the NASS commodity price surveys
with CME commodity prices in each of
the price formulas except for the other
solids formula. The dry whey price in
the other solids formulas would
continue to be derived from the NASS
dry whey price survey.
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Proposal 16 was offered by National
All-Jersey, Inc. (NAJ). Proposal 16 seeks
to amend the Class III and Class IV
product-price formulas by eliminating
the other solids price and adding the
equivalent value of dry whey to the
protein price formula. NAJ is a breed
organization with more than 1,000
members.
Proposal 17 was offered by the
National Milk Producers Federation
(NMPF). The proposal seeks to amend
the Class III and Class IV product-price
formulas to incorporate a monthly
energy cost adjustment based on
monthly changes in the manufacturing
price indices for industrial natural gas
and industrial electricity as published
by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. NMPF
is an association consisting of 33 dairyfarmer cooperative members
representing nearly three-quarters of
U.S. dairy farmers. This proposal will be
addressed in a separate decision.
Proposal 18 was offered by the Maine
Dairy Industry Association (MDIA).
Proposal 18 seeks to amend the Class III
and Class IV product-price formulas by
incorporating a factor to account for any
monthly spread between component
price calculations for milk and a
competitive pay price for equivalent
Grade A milk. MDIA is an association
that represents all of Maine’s 350 dairy
farmers.
A proposal published in a
supplemental hearing notice as Proposal
20 was submitted on behalf of Dairylea
Cooperative, Inc. (Dairylea). Proposal 20
seeks to amend the Class III and Class
IV price formulas by establishing costof-production add-ons that
manufacturers could include in the
selling price of their products but would
not be included in the determination of
the NASS survey prices. Dairylea is a
Capper-Volstead cooperative with 2,400
member-owners located in seven states.
This proposal also will be addressed in
a separate decision.
To provide order to the volume of
hearing testimony and post-hearing
briefs, the summary of testimony is
organized as follows:
1. Make Allowances: Proposals 1, 2
and 3
2. Product Yields and Butterfat
Recovery Percentage: Proposals 6, 7 and
8
3. Value of Butterfat in Whey:
Proposals 9 and 10
4. Barrel Cheese Price: Proposals 12
and 13
5. Product Price Series: Proposals 14,
15 and 18
6. Other Solids Price: Proposal 16
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1. Make Allowances
A witness from Cornell University
(Cornell witness) testified regarding the
2006 manufacturing cost survey (2006
survey) conducted by the Cornell
Program on Dairy Markets and Policy
(CPDMP), to assess the manufacturing
costs of plants producing cheddar
cheese, dry whey, butter and NFDM.
The witness did not testify in support or
opposition to any proposal presented at
the hearing. The witness explained that
an earlier study, the CPDMP 2005
manufacturing cost survey (2005
survey), was contracted in part by
USDA and was presented at a 2006
rulemaking hearing (71 FR 52502), and
were factors considered by USDA in
developing the make allowances that
became effective March 1, 2007 (71 FR
78333). The witness said that some
manufacturing plants that participated
in the 2005 survey requested a new
survey to reflect more current cost
information.
The Cornell witness said that each of
the plants that participated in the 2005
survey were asked to participate in the
2006 survey. The witness stated that 21
plants agreed to participate and of those
plants 19 were deemed to have
acceptable data to be included in the
2006 survey. Plants submitted data
corresponding to their most recent fiscal
year; most of the data observations
occurred in calendar year 2006, the
witness said. The data was not audited
by the witness. The witness explained
that if a plant produced multiple
products they were asked to allocate
manufacturing costs for each product.
However, if they failed to do so the
witness allocated costs on a per pound
of solids basis in the finished product.
The average manufacturing costs
detailed in the study were on a per
pound of finished product basis and
were not adjusted for moisture content,
the witness said.
The Cornell witness said that 11
cheese plants participated in the 2006
survey compared with 16 cheese plants
in the 2005 survey. Eight of those plants
(one classified as a large plant and the
other seven as small plants) also
participated in the 2005 survey; the
three remaining plants that participated
in the 2006 survey were asked to
participate in 2005 but submitted data
too late for its inclusion. The witness
testified that five small cheese plants
that were included in the 2005 survey
opted not to participate in the 2006
survey. Of the eleven plants, the witness
classified seven as small plants and the
remaining four as large volume plants.
The witness testified that the weighted
average manufacturing cost of the 2006
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cheese plant sample was $0.1584 per
pound, a decrease of $0.0054 per pound
from 2005. The witness said that
comparing the costs for the eight plants
that participated in both surveys
revealed a weighted average cost
increase of $0.017 per pound between
the 2005 and 2006 surveys. The total
pounds covered by the 2006 survey
increased from approximately 60
million pounds in 2005 to nearly 119
million pounds in 2006. The Cornell
witness asserted that the 2005 survey
over-sampled small plants while the
2006 survey over-sampled large plants.
The witness noted that the average
packaging cost for cheese in the 2006
survey was only for 40-pound block
production. If a plant produced barrel
cheese the witness assigned it an
average 40-pound block packaging cost
before computing the average
manufacturing costs for the entire
sample.
The Cornell witness said that seven
whey plants participated in the 2006
survey and their weighted average cost
was $0.1976 per pound—an increase of
$0.0035 per pound from the 2005
survey. According to the witness, the
seven participating whey plants were
associated with a cheese plant that was
also included in the 2006 survey. The
witness noted that 12 whey plants
participated in the 2005 survey.
The Cornell witness said that four
butter plants participated in the 2006
survey; three of the plants also
participated in the 2005 survey. The
weighted average cost of the four plants
was $0.1846 per pound, an increase of
$0.0738 per pound over the 2005
survey. The survey accounted for 57.6
million pounds of butter. The witness
testified that significant cost allocation
problems and data quality problems
with the 2005 butter data were major
reasons for the large increase in the
weighted average cost from 2005 to
2006. The witness testified that the 2005
survey butter data was not accurate, but
asserted that the allocation problems
were corrected in the 2006 survey.
While maintaining that the 2006 survey
data was reliable, the witness said that
a larger sample size would have been
preferred. The witness also noted that
the manufacturing costs submitted by
one of the butter plants in the 2006
survey did include the cost of
transporting cream from its drying plant
to its butter plant.
The Cornell witness said that the 2006
survey for NFDM consisted of seven of
the eight NFDM plants that participated
in the 2005 survey. According to the
witness, the weighted average cost of
the seven plants was $0.1662 per
pound, an increase of $0.0239 per
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pound from 2005. The witness
explained that the weighted average cost
increase is partially explained by
increases in real costs (labor, packaging,
etc.), but also partly because of a change
in the methodology of indirectly
allocating costs between butter and
NFDM. According to the witness, there
were flaws in the method used to
indirectly allocate costs for NFDM in
the 2005 study that resulted in
understating the cost of processing
NFDM. The witness claimed that an
attempt was made in the 2006 survey to
correct this understated processing cost.
The witness did not explain the
reported flawed methodology or the
methodological changes for 2006.
According to the witness, the 2006
survey accounted for 70.1 million
pounds of NFDM, an increase of 15
million pounds.
A witness appearing on behalf of
Agri-Mark testified in support of
Proposals 1 and 2. The witness
explained that Proposal 1 seeks to
update the make allowances adopted on
an interim final basis (71 FR 78333),
effective March 1, 2007, using 2005
CDFA data. The witness asserted that
this update would increase the butter,
NFDM and cheese make allowances by
$0.0014, $0.0092 and $0.0029 per
pound, respectively. The witness was of
the opinion that the dry whey make
allowance should incorporate the 2005
CDFA data which reflects an average
cost of $0.2851 per pound.
The witness reiterated Agri-Mark’s
position expressed in comments to the
tentative final decision (71 FR 67467)
that proposed adoption of the current
make allowances. The witness
concluded that using this weighting
methodology (including a $0.0015 per
pound marketing cost factor) the
resulting make allowances should be:
$0.1780 per pound for cheese, $0.1351
per pound for butter, $0.1510 for NFDM
and $0.2090 per pound for dry whey.
The Agri-Mark witness conceded that
increasing the make allowances would
assist high-cost plants in covering their
costs while creating a financial windfall
for low-cost plants. In turn, the witness
said, the low-cost plants could use the
additional revenue to sell products at a
lower cost, pay producers a higher
price, or increase their financial returns.
The witness said that any financial
gains low-cost plants in the Southwest
earn from a high make allowance would
not harm high-cost plants in the
Northeast because it is too costly to
transport milk from the Southwest to
the Northeast. The witness believed that
competitive issues resulting from high
make allowances would only arise if a
low-cost plant was located next door to
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a high-cost plant that competes for the
same milk supply.
The Agri-Mark witness advanced
Proposal 2 seeking to establish an
annual manufacturing cost survey,
administered by USDA that would
automatically update make allowances
without requiring a rulemaking
proceeding. On brief, Agri-Mark
withdrew the automatic updating
portion of this proposal. The witness
explained that manufacturing input
prices fluctuate in the short-run and an
annual survey would ensure the timelier
recognition of these fluctuations in
make allowances. The witness said that
the CPDMP survey should provide the
basic methodology needed to conduct
the survey and that any changes to the
methodology should be done through
the formal rulemaking process. The
witness asserted that the survey should
be administered by market
administrator audit personnel and the
plant sample, preferably larger than the
CPDMP sample, should be selected by
random sampling. The witness also
supported auditing surveyed plants and
asserted that this function should be
funded by payments from the Market
Administrator’s administrative
assessment fund. The witness said that
if the survey was audited, the use of
CDFA cost data would no longer be
necessary in determining make
allowances. The witness also supported
addressing the proposed manufacturing
cost survey in a recommended decision
to allow for public comments.
The Agri-Mark witness was of the
opinion that based on the new CPDMP
survey the make allowances should be
set at the higher of: (1) A level that
would allow a minimum of 80 percent
of the producer milk used by Class III
and Class IV plants to cover their costs;
or (2) a level that would allow a
minimum of 25 percent of the producer
milk volume used by Class III and Class
IV plants in any specific Federal order
annually pooling at least 4 billion
pounds of milk to cover their costs. The
Agri-Mark witness opposed Proposal 3.
A witness appearing on behalf of
Land O’Lakes (LOL) testified in support
of Proposals 1 and 2. According to the
witness, LOL is a Capper-Volstead
cooperative with over 3,000 members
that own 4 manufacturing plants in the
United States. The witness supported
updating the current make allowances
with 2005 CDFA manufacturing cost
data as advanced in Proposal 1. The
witness advocated that the audited
CDFA whey manufacturing cost data be
included in the whey make allowance
computation. The witness asserted that
the make allowances should be
recalculated by weighting the CDFA and
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CPDMP data by the survey sample
volumes, not national product volumes
which the witness argued was not
statistically valid. The witness
concluded that the new make
allowances (using LOL’s proposed
weighting) should be as follows:
$0.1780 for cheese; $0.2090 for dry
whey; $0.1560 for NFDM; and $0.1351
for butter.
The LOL witness supported the
annual cost survey offered in Proposal
2, with technical modifications. The
witness stated that the authority for
collecting plant cost data should be
granted to the AMS Administrator, that
the plant sample be limited to plants
located outside of California that receive
pooled (producer) milk, and that the
survey results are combined with the
CDFA data to determine appropriate
Federal order make allowance levels.
The witness opposed the portion of
Proposal 2 that would set make
allowances at a level that would cover
the cost of manufacturing for the highest
cost Federal order marketing area. The
witness said that classified prices are
determined on a national, not a regional
basis, and therefore relying on regional
costs is inappropriate. The witness was
of the opinion that USDA should clearly
identify the target product volume and
percentage of plants that should be
covered by new make allowances that
result from this proceeding.
The LOL witness opposed Proposal 3
seeking to exclude CDFA manufacturing
cost data when computing new make
allowances. The witness argued that
since 2000 the Department has
continuously considered CDFA
manufacturing cost data when
determining new make allowance levels
and asserted that there is no justification
to modify that policy. The witness
elaborated that classified prices are
determined using a national survey that
includes California plants and therefore
including California plant costs when
determining make allowance levels is
appropriate.
A witness testifying on behalf of
Michigan Milk Producers Association
(MMPA) testified in support of
Proposals 1 and 2, and in opposition to
Proposal 3. According to the witness,
MMPA is a Capper-Volstead cooperative
with approximately 2,400 members that
markets 3.5 billion pounds of milk
annually and operates 2 manufacturing
plants. The witness offered support for
Proposal 1 to update the make
allowances based on the most currently
available data, specifically the 2005
CDFA manufacturing cost data. The
MMPA witness stressed support for
Proposal 2’s annual survey of
manufacturing costs that would be
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administered by AMS through its
market administrators.
A witness appearing on behalf of NDA
testified regarding the CPDMP 2005
survey that was used to determine
current make allowance levels. The
witness said that NDA participated in
the study and that costs for its NFDM
plants were incorrectly allocated. The
witness estimated that NDA’s NFDM
production represented approximately
54 percent of the total volume contained
in the CPDMP 2005 survey for NFDM.
In the survey, cream costs were
allocated on a butterfat solids basis
rather than as a percent of total solids,
the witness said. However, according to
the witness NDA’s NFDM plants
separate the cream that is stored in silos
to be sold or transported to its butter
manufacturing plant resulting in an
over-allocation of costs to cream in the
CPDMP 2005 survey. According to the
witness, this misallocation inaccurately
lowered NDA’s NFDM manufacturing
costs by $0.036 per pound. The witness
asserted that after correcting for this
error, the CPDMP 2005 survey for
NFDM weighted average cost should
been $0.019 per pound higher. The
witness urged USDA to issue an
emergency decision addressing make
allowances because of the errors
contained in the CPDMP 2005 survey.
A post-hearing brief was filed on
behalf of Agri-Mark, Foremost Farms
USA, LOL, MMPA, NDA and Associated
Milk Producers, Inc., hereinafter
referred to as Agri-Mark, et al. The
members of Agri-Mark, et al., are all
Capper-Volstead cooperatives who
market their members’ milk in the
Federal order system and operate
manufacturing plants.
The Agri-Mark, et al., brief
emphasized its support for productprice formulas because, in their opinion,
no truly independent competitive price
series exists to determine milk prices.
The brief summarized the evolution of
the Federal order pricing system and
asserted that USDA’s past policy has
been to set make allowances at levels
that cover the processing costs for most
Federal order plants. The brief
expressed the opinion that USDA
deviated from this policy when
determining current make allowance
levels.
The Agri-Mark, et al., brief supported
adoption of Proposal 1 and argued that
make allowances should be updated
using the 2005 CDFA and the CPDMP
2006 surveys. Agri-Mark, et al., was of
the opinion that USDA should continue
to use the same national product
volume weighting methodology that
determined the current make
allowances, incorporate CDFA whey
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cost data, use the CPDMP 2005 survey
cheese plant population average cost
instead of the sample average cost and
continue to include a marketing cost
factor of $0.0015 per pound in each
make allowance.
In their post-hearing brief, Agri-Mark,
et al., proposed that the cheese make
allowance be set at $0.2154 per pound.
Agri-Mark, et al., wrote that the CPDMP
2005 survey cheese plant population
average of $0.2028 per pound was the
most representative of average size
plants and therefore it is the best
available information to determine an
appropriate cheese make allowance.
Agri-Mark, et al., endorsed the
methodology explained in the IDFA
brief that derived a cheese make
allowance of $0.2154 per pound.
The Agri-Mark, et al., brief proposed
a dry whey make allowance of $0.2080
per pound by combining the 2005 CDFA
and the CPDMP survey of 2006
weighted average costs. Using this same
methodology, the brief proposed a
butter make allowance of $0.1725 per
pound and the NFDM make allowance
of $0.1782 per pound (though
stipulating that the CDFA medium-sized
plant cost should be used for NFDM.)
The brief summarized the Cornell
witness’ testimony regarding the errors
with the 2005 butter and NFDM survey
methodology and concluded that the
current make allowances that were
determined with this data are
unrepresentative of actual costs. AgriMark, et al., requested that Proposal 1 be
adopted on an emergency basis to
rectify the current unrepresentative
make allowances.
In their brief, Agri-Mark, et al.,
expressed support for the portion of
Proposal 2 that would authorize USDA
to develop and conduct periodic
manufacturing cost surveys of plants
located outside of California. The brief
explained that this data could then be
relied upon in future rulemaking
proceedings to amend the product price
formulas.
A witness testified on behalf of
DPNM, Select Milk Producers, Inc.
(Select), and Continental Dairy
Producers, Inc. (Continental).
Hereinafter, these entities will be
referred to as DPNM, et al. The witness
said that Select and Continental are
Capper-Volstead cooperatives whose
members are located in New Mexico,
Texas, Kansas, Ohio, Michigan and
Indiana. According to the witness, the
DPNM, et al., testimony was endorsed
by Lone Star Milk Producers and Zia
Milk Producers, Inc., who are also
Capper-Volstead cooperatives.
The DPNM, et al., witness testified in
support of Proposal 3. The witness was
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of the opinion that CDFA cost data
should not be used to determine new
make allowance levels because the data
are only representative of California
manufacturing plants which the witness
asserted have higher manufacturing
costs than the rest of the country. The
witness testified that CDFA data had
been utilized in the past when make
allowances were determined using
Rural Business Cooperative Service
(RBCS) cost data because the audited
CDFA data broadened the available data
and was used to verify the information
contained in the RBCS study. However,
the witness insisted that the CPDMP
cost surveys are far more representative
of the population of manufacturing
plants and should now be relied upon
as the sole determinant of make
allowances.
The DPNM, et al., witness testified
that make allowances should be set at
the following levels: $0.1108 per pound
for butter; $0.1638 per pound for cheese;
$0.1410 per pound for NFDM; and
$0.1500 per pound for dry whey. The
witness stated that except for dry whey,
the proposed make allowances are
identical to the weighted average costs
contained in the CPDMP 2005 survey.
The witness proposed that the dry whey
make allowance be determined by
adding $0.0090 per pound to the NFDM
make allowance to account for the
additional energy needed to produce
dry whey. The witness estimated that if
the DPNM, et al’s., proposed make
allowances are adopted, blend prices
would increase by $0.22 per cwt.
A second witness, a dairy accountant
and dairy farmer appearing on behalf of
DPNM, et al., testified regarding dairy
farm operating costs, accounting, and
business analysis of large modern dairy
farm operations. According to the
witness, the firm provides accounting
and other business services to dairy
producer operations in 27 states whose
production volume represents about 10
percent of the milk produced in the
United States. The witness testified that
based on data collected during the
1990’s, large dairy farms in six Western
states had an average annual net profit
per cwt of $1.31. The witness testified
that based on 10 years’ worth of client
data, dairy farms in the west and eastern
states must earn a net income of $1.50
and $2.00 per cwt, respectively, for a
dairy farmer to collect a salary and retire
debt. The witness predicted that for
2007 producer client average gross
income of $15.51 per cwt and an
average cost of production of $15.17 per
cwt, would yield an average net profit
of $0.34 per cwt. The witness said that
this was far from the $1.50 per cwt net
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profit needed for their clients to reduce
debt or cover living expenses.
The second DPNM, et al., witness
stated that low milk prices in 2005
reduced dairy farm client income to an
average of $206 per cow. The witness
noted that during the 1990s, average
production cost per cwt in western
states was $11.87 but this has risen to
$13.50 for 2004–2005. The witness
testified that rising input costs
combined with lower milk prices in
2004–2005 made large-scale, highly
efficient dairy farming unprofitable,
even in low-cost operating areas such as
west Texas and New Mexico. The
witness provided additional testimony
to show that increasing make
allowances depressed dairy farmer
income during a period of increasing
costs and reduced opportunities for
profitability. The witness supported this
testimony with 2006 client data
showing that a farm milking 1,800 cows
would have lost $284,000. The witness
provided detailed client data showing
that the major higher-cost milk
production factors during 2005 and
2006 were increased energy and feed
costs.
A third witness, a dairy farmer,
appearing on behalf of DPNM, et al.,
testified in support of Proposal 3. The
witness operates a farm in New Mexico
that milks approximately 3,800 cows
and testified that they have been
receiving $1.50 cwt below the
Southwest order’s blend price because
of hauling costs. The witness said that
over the last few years any increase in
producer milk prices has been
consumed by rapidly increasing
production costs. The witness
supported all proposals submitted by
DPNM and articulated opposition to
adoption of Proposals 1 and 2.
The DPNM, et al., post-hearing brief
explained its opposition to all other
proposals included in the hearing to
adjust the make allowances was based
on three principles: (1) The data used to
determine the appropriate level of
manufacturing allowances for
establishing Federal order prices should
be drawn from plants operating within
the Federal order system; (2)
adjustments to Federal order pricing
regulations should always be subject to
formal rulemaking; and (3) make
allowances should be set at a level
deemed appropriate by USDA, after
taking into consideration all statutorily
required factors and current milk
marketing conditions, rather than
prescribed geographic or volumetric
factors. The brief explained why the
CPDMP 2005 survey is the best data
available and met their criteria for use
in establishing Federal order make
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allowances and why the 2006 survey is
flawed and should not be relied upon in
determining make allowances.
A witness appearing on behalf of
IDFA testified in support of Proposal 1
and the annual manufacturing cost
survey advanced in Proposal 2.
However, the witness did not support
adoption of the portion of Proposal 2
that would result in the automatic
update of make allowances. The witness
requested emergency adoption of
Proposal 1 and this request was
reiterated in IDFA’s post-hearing brief.
The IDFA witness testified that the
product-price formulas determine the
minimum prices manufacturers must
pay for their raw milk and that those
whose costs exceed the fixed make
allowances in the price formulas are
unable to recoup their higher costs. The
witness asserted that any increase in the
manufacturer’s end product prices
would only result in an increase in the
minimum raw milk price they must pay.
According to the witness, manufacturers
also face financial problems if any of the
product-price formula factors are
incorrect. The witness illustrated by
example the impacts of both inaccurate
product prices and inaccurate make
allowances on manufacturers.
The IDFA witness testified that before
January 1, 2000, the Federal order
system utilized a market-based pricing
system which automatically reflected
current market conditions. However,
under the end product pricing system,
market factors (e.g. yields, butterfat
retention) are set at a point in time and
can only be changed through the formal
rulemaking process, the witness said.
The IDFA witness espoused that
setting make allowances too high or
yield factors too low may result in low
milk prices but that should not be of
concern to USDA. In this regard, the
witness was of the opinion that the
Federal order system should only
determine minimum prices and allow
market responses through over-order
premiums to remedy any regulated
prices that are too low. However, the
witness conceded that if a plant can
manufacture products at costs lower
than those reflected by the price formula
make allowance levels then the
difference could be used to make plant
investments, secure a larger milk supply
to the detriment of higher-cost plants or
return higher margins to plant owners.
The IDFA witness testified in support
of updating the current make
allowances with the most current cost
data available (Proposal 1). The witness
was of the opinion that the CDFA dry
whey cost data should be a factor in
determining a new dry whey make
allowance for Federal orders. The
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witness asserted that the CDFA average
dry whey plant size more closely
resembled the NASS average dry whey
plant size than did the CPDMP survey.
Furthermore, the witness asserted that
the CDFA dry whey data was skewed
toward low cost plants, not high cost
plants as asserted by USDA. The
witness maintained that using the CDFA
data in determining the dry whey make
allowance would not cause the make
allowance to be set too high. The
witness concluded that both the CDFA
and CPDMP dry whey weighted average
costs should be used to determine the
dry whey make allowance and reiterated
this position in its post-hearing brief.
Also in its post-hearing brief, IDFA
stated that any decision made by USDA
on the Class III and Class IV pricing
formulas should not directly consider
hearing testimony regarding dairy
farmer cost-of-production. The brief
asserted that it is already captured
indirectly through the supply and
demand for manufactured products and
therefore should not be given additional
consideration in this proceeding.
The IDFA witness testified that USDA
needs to correct for CPDMP’s stratified
cheese plant sampling which in IDFA’s
opinion over-represents low-cost cheese
plants. The witness highlighted
testimony of the Cornell witness which
compared the eight cheese plants that
participated in both surveys revealing
an average manufacturing cost increase
of 1.7 cents per pound. IDFA was of the
opinion that since the same cheese plant
sample was not used in the two CPDMP
surveys, the most appropriate method
for determining a new cheese make
allowance would be to use the weighted
average cost from the 2005 survey
($0.2028) plus 1.7 cents for a total of
$0.2198 per pound. In its brief, IDFA
concluded that the new make
allowances should be set no lower than
the following: $0.2154 per pound for
cheese; $0.1725 per pound for butter;
$0.1782 for NFDM; and $0.2080 for dry
whey.
The IDFA witness supported adopting
an annual manufacturing cost survey as
contained in Proposal 2 but opposed
any automatic updating of make
allowances. The witness said that an
annual survey would provide industry
participants information regarding
trends in plant costs and such
information could be used in future
hearings to adjust make allowances.
However, the witness did not support
automatically updating make
allowances outside of the hearing
process because it would prohibit
industry input regarding how the data
should be utilized. IDFA reiterated these
views in its post-hearing brief.
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The IDFA witness testified in
opposition to Proposal 3. The witness
argued that audited CDFA data should
continue to be included when
determining new make allowance
levels. The witness asserted that the
elimination of the CDFA data would
result in lower make allowances that in
their opinion are already too low. In its
post-hearing brief, IDFA asserted that
the proponents of Proposal 3 had
presented no evidence that
manufacturing costs have decreased to
levels similar to the manufacturing costs
reflected in make allowances that were
effective prior to February 1, 2007.
A witness appearing on behalf of
Lactalis American Group, Inc. (Lactalis)
testified in support of Proposal 1 and in
opposition to Proposal 3. According to
the witness, Lactalis operates six cheese
plants in the United States. The witness
expressed support for IDFA’s positions.
The witness said that the Class III and
Class IV product-price formulas should
be amended to give more flexibility to
market participants in establishing
market prices. The witness was of the
opinion that increasing make
allowances by adopting Proposal 1
would give processors the flexibility to
make short-term adjustments in
response to changing market conditions.
The witness argued that the increasing
milk supply, not make allowances
which are too high, is the cause of low
milk prices received by dairy farmers.
Therefore, the witness opposed any
proposals that would result in lower
make allowances.
A witness appearing on behalf of
Leprino testified in opposition to
Proposal 3 stating that there is no basis
to set make allowances below current
levels. According to the witness,
Leprino operates nine manufacturing
plants throughout the United States that
produce Italian style cheeses. The posthearing brief filed by Leprino expressed
support for the make allowances
proposed in IDFA’s post-hearing brief.
Leprino was of the opinion that make
allowances should be set no lower than
the following: $0.2154 for cheese;
$0.2080 for dry whey; $0.1725 for
butter; and $0.1782 for NFDM.
A witness appearing on behalf of
Saputo Cheese USA (Saputo), a dairy
manufacturer, testified in support of
IDFA’s positions. The witness testified
that Saputo opposed any proposal
which would add complexity to the
Federal milk order system. The witness
supported updating the current make
allowances to reflect the most current
available data as sought in Proposal 1
and that updated make allowances for
dry whey should use CDFA data.
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A post-hearing brief filed on behalf of
Twin County Dairy (Twin County), an
Iowa-based cheese manufacturer,
expressed support for the proposals
offered by IDFA and Agri-Mark that seek
to increase make allowances. However,
the brief asserted that the proposals do
not go far enough to ensure that
medium-sized plants such as those
operated by Twin County remain
profitable. The brief argued that the
proposed make allowances are heavily
weighted toward large, low-cost plants
and their adoption, especially the dry
whey make allowance, would cause
financial hardship on many cheese
manufacturing plants that are similar in
size to Twin County. Twin County
insisted that even though product-price
formulas are applied identically to large
and small plants, USDA should conduct
a regulatory impact analysis because in
Twin County’s opinion, product-price
formulas have a disproportionate impact
on small businesses compared with
larger entities that may benefit from
advantages of economies of scale.
A witness appearing on behalf of HP
Hood LLC (HP Hood) testified in
opposition to Proposals 1, 2 and 3.
According to the witness, HP Hood is a
manufacturer of Class I and Class II
dairy products that are distributed
nationally. The witness opposed
Proposals 1, 2 and 3 because their
adoption would change the Class III and
Class IV milk pricing formulas that in
turn are used to determine the Class I
and Class II prices that HP Hood pays
for its raw milk supply. The witness
opposed adoption of any proposal that
would result in the automatic or
periodic updating of the Class III and
Class IV pricing formulas arguing that
such updates should be made through
the formal rulemaking process.
A witness appearing on behalf of NAJ
offered an amendment to Proposal 2.
The witness said the amendment would
expand the manufacturing cost survey
to include gathering manufacturing cost
data for whey protein concentrates
(WPC’s) and lactose. This inclusion was
reiterated in NAJ’s post-hearing brief.
A Michigan dairy farmer testified
regarding the profitability of dairy
farmers and in opposition to adopting
any proposals that would increase make
allowances. The witness was opposed to
increasing make allowances until the
price formulas are amended to recognize
a farmer’s cost of production. The
witness stated that on-farm fuel costs
were $35,000 in 2004 and had risen to
$70,000 in 2006. The witness asserted
that there are many Michigan dairy
farmers considering leaving the dairy
industry because of increased costs and
low milk prices. The witness also
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expressed the opinion that NASS NFDM
prices were misreported or underreported during the prior 12 months.
A post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of O–AT–KA Milk Products
Cooperative, Inc., (O–AT–KA) expressed
support for Proposals 1 and 2, and
opposition to Proposal 3. According to
the brief, O–AT–KA is a CapperVolstead cooperative located in New
York and its plant manufactures 600
million pounds of milk annually into
butter and NFDM. The brief stressed
that changes to the make allowances
and other factors of the product price
formulas need to accurately represent
the current manufacturing market. O–
AT–KA expressed support for Proposal
1 and was of the opinion that the
CPDMP 2006 survey should be
considered a minimum when setting
make allowances. According to the
brief, O–AT–KA’s plant manufacturing
costs are higher than the CPDMP 2006
survey weighted average NFDM cost. O–
AT–KA also wrote that they compete
directly with California plants and
requested that USDA should keep the
Class IV and California Class 4a prices
aligned if it recommends any changes to
the product price formulas. O–AT–KA
noted support for Proposal 2, but not the
portion that calls for automatically
updating make allowances. The O–AT–
KA brief opposed adoption of Proposal
3 because it would inhibit their ability
to provide balancing services to the
market and a fair return to its memberowners.
A joint post-hearing brief filed on
behalf of Dairylea and DFA, hereinafter
referred to as Dairylea, et al., opposed
adoption of Proposals 1 and 2. The brief
opined that the current make
allowances should be used with the
addition of the energy adjustor
advanced in Proposal 17 and cost addons described in Proposal 20. The
Dairylea, et al., brief supported the NAJ
modification of Proposal 2 to expand
the NASS product price survey to
include information on whey protein
concentrates.
2. Product Yields and Butterfat
Recovery Percentage
A witness appearing on behalf of
DPNM, et al., testified in support of
Proposals 6, 7 and 8. The witness
testified that before January 1, 2000, the
Federal milk order price discovery
mechanism took into account dairy
farmers’ cost of production when
determining minimum regulated prices.
If farmers’ costs of production
increased, the witness said that
manufacturers were able to pay farmers
higher prices because on-farm
production costs could be passed on to
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their customers. However, under the
current pricing system, the witness
argued, minimum prices to dairy
farmers are based on the average prices
of dairy products sold nationally during
the month. As a result, the witness
asserted, dairy farmers have
experienced financial hardship because
they are unable to pass on their higher
costs to the marketplace.
The DPNM, et al., witness was of the
opinion that Proposals 6, 7 and 8 should
be considered jointly as coordinated
adjustments to the various yield factors
to ensure that dairy farmers receive a
fair minimum price. In its post-hearing
brief, DPNM, et al., added that Proposals
3 and 15 also should be considered in
conjunction with Proposals 6, 7 and 8
because together they address all parts
of the current product price formulas.
The DPNM, et al., witness testified in
support of Proposal 6 seeking to
increase the butterfat yield factor from
1.20 to 1.211. The witness said that this
change would correct for a
mathematical error in calculating farmto-plant shrinkage. The witness
explained that in the 2002 final decision
that established the current farm-toplant shrinkage factor, shrinkage
allocated to butterfat loss should have
been calculated on a per cwt of milk
basis, not on a per pound of butterfat
basis. DPNM, et al., noted on brief that
no witnesses at the hearing disagreed
with this assertion.
The DPNM, et al., witness also offered
a modification to Proposal 6 seeking to
amend the butterfat credit in the protein
price. The witness explained that when
USDA adjusted the butterfat yield factor
in the protein price formula to 1.572 in
2002 to account for farm-to-plant
shrinkage, the butterfat credit portion of
the protein formula was not adjusted to
an equivalent of 89.4 percent. The
witness estimated that increasing the
butterfat yield factor from 1.20 to 1.211
and decreasing the butterfat credit
portion of the protein formula from 90
to 89.4 percent would, on average, have
increased blend prices by $0.07 per cwt.
The DPNM, et al., witness testified in
support of Proposal 7 seeking to
eliminate the farm-to-plant shrinkage
factor. The witness was of the opinion
that accounting for farm-to-plant
shrinkage allows producers and
processors to mask inefficiencies.
According to the witness, DPNM, et al.,
farm-to-plant shrinkage is well below
the 0.25 percent assumed in the pricing
formulas. The witness attributed lower
farm-to-plant shrinkage to large
producers who ship tanker loads of
milk. The witness insisted that
shrinkage is not a result of milk solids
being unrecoverable from the milk
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tanker and hoses but rather the result of
imprecise measuring at the farm.
The DPNM, et al., witness testified
that the yield factors in the product
pricing formulas should be amended to
reflect current technology. The witness
proposed that the protein price formula
be changed to reflect a 94 percent
butterfat recovery in cheese
manufacturing, that the casein
percentage in milk be increased to 83.25
percent, and that the butterfat-to-protein
ratio in cheese be changed to 1.214 to
reflect average producer tests.
According to the witness, the adoption
of a 94 percent butterfat recovery rate
also implies that the butterfat yield
factor in the protein price should be
increased from 1.587 to 1.653 as
proposed in Proposal 8.
The DPNM, et al., witness estimated
that increasing the butterfat recovery
rate from 90 to 94 percent would result
in a 10.5-cent increase in producer
blend prices. The witness said that the
currently assumed 90 percent butterfat
recovery rate is based on technology
that is more than 20 years old while
new technology enables manufacturers
to achieve a much higher recovery rate.
Using CDFA plant cost survey data for
2002 through 2005, the witness used a
mass balance analysis to estimate the
flow of milk components through a
cheddar cheese plant and the allocation
of milk components to products and byproducts. Through this analysis the
witness derived a 94 percent butterfat
recovery rate for plants participating in
the CDFA cost survey. The witness
estimated the butterfat recovery rate for
cheese plants that participated in the
2004 RBCS cost study to be 95.25
percent for all cheeses.
The DPNM, et al., witness testified in
support of Proposal 8. The witness
argued that the percentage recovery
factor for casein in milk should be
increased from 82.2 to 83.2, to reflect
average producer tests, which would
result in a 2.3-cent per cwt increase in
producer blend prices. However, in
their post-hearing brief, DPNM, et al.,
stipulated that a casein recovery factor
of 83.10 percent was appropriate.
DPNM, et al., explained in brief that
changing the casein recovery factor
would raise the protein yield factor from
1.383 to 1.405; and increasing the
butterfat recovery rate to 94 percent
would change protein price formulas by
increasing the protein to butterfat ratio
from 1.17 to 1.214 and increasing the
butterfat yield from 1.587 to 1.653.
These changes would update the protein
price formula to reflect current industry
recovery standards and return revenue
to producers who, according to the
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DPNM brief, et al., have received lower
pay prices.
The DPNM, et al., witness estimated
that increasing the butterfat-to-protein
ratio from 1.17 to 1.24 would result in
a 3.7-cent increase in producer blend
prices. The witness said that the current
butterfat-to-protein ration of 1.17
represents standardized milk tests at 3.5
percent butterfat and 2.9915 percent
true protein. However, according to the
witness the 2004 average producer milk
test for milk contained in the 2004
RBCS study was 3.69 percent butterfat
and 3.04 percent true protein which
more accurately represents’ a butterfatto-protein ratio of 1.214.
The DPNM, et al., witness concluded
that the current butterfat to protein ratio
of standardized milk undervalues more
than one half of the producer milk
marketed on Federal orders. The
witness also stated that since plants
purchase milk at test, not at the
standardized values, it is more
appropriate to use weighted average
milk tests in the pricing formulas. In
brief, DPNM asserted that standardized
milk tests are lower than average
producer tests and result in yield factors
in the protein price formula that are
artificially low which in turn
understates what the protein price paid
to producers should be.
The DPNM, et al., witness concluded
that if the DPNM, et al., proposals to
change the butterfat recovery
percentage, butterfat-to-protein ratio,
and true protein in casein percentage
are adopted, producer blend prices
would increase by $0.20 per cwt.
The DPNM, et al., witness also
testified that the NFDM yield factor
should be increased from .99 pounds of
NFDM per pound of solids nonfat (SNF)
to 1.02 pounds of NFDM per pound of
SNF. The witness stressed that
according to current FDA standards of
identity, one pound of SNF can produce
as much as 1.05 pounds of NFDM. The
witness elaborated that NFDM is often
sold with approximately 5 percent
moisture, whereas SNF is assumed to
contain zero percent moisture.
Therefore, concluded the witness, the
current formula is incorrect in assuming
that one pound of SNF actually
produces less than one pound of NFDM.
The witness referred to various studies
conducted by CDFA and CPDMP that
demonstrated a combined NFDM and
buttermilk powder yield in excess of
1.025 pounds per pound of SNF. The
witness was of the opinion that after
taking into account the lower market
value of buttermilk powder, a NFDM
yield of 1.02 is appropriate. The witness
estimated that this proposed change
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would increase producer blend prices
by 4 cents.
The witness concluded that if all the
DPNM yield changes were adopted,
blend prices would increase by $0.42
per cwt and on average, producers
would receive $9,787 in additional
income per year. The witness was of the
opinion that any adjustment in yield
factors should also be accompanied by
an adjustment in make allowances
because the two are inherently linked.
A witness appearing on behalf of
Leprino testified in opposition to
Proposals 6, 7 and 8. The witness
opposed the portion of Proposal 6
seeking to increase the butterfat
recovery rate in cheese manufacturing
from 90 to 94 percent. In the witness’
opinion, the proponents for increasing
the butterfat recovery rate provided no
evidence to support this increase aside
from hypothetical examples. The
witness also opposed the amendment to
Proposal 6 to decrease the butterfat
credit in the protein formula below the
90 percent butterfat recovery rate that is
assumed in the cheese yield formula.
The witness explained that this would
cause cheese manufacturers to pay for
more butterfat than is actually contained
in the raw milk. The witness agreed that
there is an error regarding how butterfat
shrink is applied in the cheese yield
formula. However, the Leprino witness
did not support increasing the cheese
butterfat yield factor to 1.211 because of
milk component losses that occur in
cheesemaking that are not recognized in
the formula.
The Leprino witness testified in
opposition to elimination of the farm-toplant shrinkage factor advanced by
Proposal 7. The witness said that the
loss of milk when shipping from the
farm to the plant is well documented
and adjusting the Class III price to
reflect this loss is appropriate. The
witness said that Leprino experiences
farm-to-plant milk losses of
approximately 0.25 percent. The
witness disagreed with the rationale
offered by the proponent that increasing
farm sizes and single producers
shipping whole tanker loads of milk has
remedied farm-to-plant shrinkage. The
Leprino witness testified that deliveries
to the Leprino plant in Waverly, New
York, often have the milk of 15 to 18
producers per tanker. The witness
argued that milk losses from farm-toplant remain a reality that should
continue to be acknowledged in the
Class III price formula.
The Leprino witness testified in
opposition to increasing the cheese
protein yield factor from 1.383 to 1.405
(Proposal 8.) The witness said that the
proponent’s assumption of an 83.25
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percent casein in true protein content
that would lead to a cheese protein
yield factor of 1.405 was not based on
actual laboratory casein tests. Leprino’s
post-hearing brief reiterated its
opposition to Proposals 6, 7 and 8.
A witness appearing on behalf of
IDFA testified in opposition to
proposals seeking to increase yield
factors (Proposals 6, 7 and 8). The
witness was of the opinion that the
yield factors should actually be
decreased to reflect in-plant shrinkage
and the sale of lower-valued products
such as whey cream and buttermilk. In
its post-hearing brief, IDFA espoused
that proponents of increasing yield
factors made erroneous assumptions.
The brief stated that hearing evidence
documents that farm-to-plant losses are
a marketplace reality and should
continue to be recognized in the product
price formulas. The brief also argued
that hearing evidence does not support
proponent’s claim that a 94 percent
butterfat recovery rate is achievable by
most cheese manufacturing plants.
Lastly, the brief insisted that the 83.25
percent casein in true protein assumed
by the proponents is not based on any
actual milk tests.
A food technologist witness appearing
on behalf IDFA testified regarding the
cheese manufacturing process and
specifically about cheese production at
Alto Dairy Cooperative (Alto Dairy)
during 1985—2003. The witness
discussed the evolution of cheese
processing technology and testified that
the greatest loss of milkfat during the
cheese making process occurs during
the cutting of the coagulum. The
witness estimated that in moving from
using traditional open vats to newer
horizontal enclosed vats, the loss of
milkfat during the cutting of the
coagulum was reduced from 9.6 percent
to 6 percent. However, the witness said,
this does not account for losses during
other stages of the cheesemaking
process. The witness was of the opinion
that the industry average butterfat
recovery rate in cheddar cheese is
approximately 90 percent.
A witness appearing on behalf of Kraft
Foods (Kraft) testified in support of the
positions and proposals advocated by
IDFA. According to the witness, Kraft
purchases and manufacturers dairy
products and operates numerous plants
located throughout the country.
The Kraft witness opposed
eliminating the farm-to-plant shrinkage
factor in the Class III price formula
(Proposals 7 and 8). The witness said
that Kraft manufacturing plants
experience farm-to-plant milk shrinkage
and that this factor should continue to
be acknowledged in the price formulas
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so the butterfat recovery percentages
and yields are not arbitrarily inflated.
A witness appearing on behalf of
Davisco Foods (Davisco) testified as
being unable to use whey cream in
standardized full-fat cheddar
production. The witness explained
Davisco sells whey cream to a butter
manufacturer at a price lower than that
reflected in the Class III pricing formula.
According to the witness, Davisco owns
and operates manufacturing plants in
Idaho, Minnesota and South Dakota.
A witness appearing on behalf HP
Hood opposed adoption of increasing
yield factors. According to the witness,
the proposed yield factors are not
reflective of industry data provided in
record testimony. Furthermore, the
witness said, the shrinkage factor
should remain in the pricing formulas
and claimed that HP Hood experiences
an average total shrinkage (farm-to-plant
and in-plant loss) of 1.5 percent.
A witness appearing on behalf of LOL
testified in opposition to Proposal 6.
The witness asserted that when
determining the current farm-to-plant
shrinkage factor USDA did not clearly
state if the butterfat loss was based on
product pounds or cwt of milk. The
witness said that an increase in the
butterfat yield would increase the raw
milk costs of manufacturers who already
contend with a make allowance that
does not cover their cost of processing.
The witness opposed increasing the
butterfat recovery percentage to 94
percent and revealed that the LOL
cheese plant in Kiel, Wisconsin,
recently experienced an average annual
cheese yield of 10.21 pounds per cwt.
According to the witness, assuming a 90
percent butterfat recovery rate and
applying the plant’s average milk tests,
the Van Slyke formula estimates a
cheese yield of 10.16 pounds. The
witness indicated that the theoretical
Van Slyke result and observed plant
yield validates the continued use of the
90 percent butterfat recovery rate in the
Class III price formula.
The LOL witness also testified in
opposition to Proposals 7 and 8 seeking
to amend the yield factors by
eliminating farm-to-plant and butterfat
shrinkage factors. The witness said
proponents’ claim that minimal
comingled milk in the Florida,
Southwest, Arizona and Pacific
Northwest orders fails to recognize that
comingled milk in the Northeast and
Upper Midwest is commonplace as the
milk of 10 or more producers is
commonly comingled on a single load.
According to the witness, this makes
farm-to-plant shrinkage between farm
and plant weights inevitable. The
witness indicated that in 2006, the LOL
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butter and NFDM plant in Carlisle,
Pennsylvania, experienced an average
difference of 0.343 percent between
farm and plant weights and an 0.511
percent butterfat shrinkage. The witness
insisted that the LOL shrinkage
percentages validate the continued
incorporation of farm-to-plant and
butterfat shrinkage factors in the pricing
formulas.
A witness appearing on behalf of
MMPA testified in opposition to
Proposal 7 seeking to eliminate the
farm-to-plant shrinkage factor. The
witness elaborated that even though
MMPA pays its farmers based on farm
weights and tests, some milk solids are
lost during transportation of milk from
the farm to the plant. According to the
witness, MMPA plants experience
approximately a 0.3 percent loss of milk
from farm-to-plant. Without the farm-toplant shrinkage factor in the product
price formulas, the witness said that
MMPA would have to pay farmers for
milk that is lost in transport and cannot
be manufactured into a saleable
product.
The MMPA witness also opposed
Proposals 6 and 8 that seek to amend
the Class IV NFDM and butter yield
factors. The witness provided evidence
that MMPA experiences butter and
NFDM plant yields that are slightly
lower than those used by the Class IV
formula. The MMPA witness claimed
that their yields typically generate a
milk value of $11.11 per cwt, while the
assumed yields in the product price
formulas generate a milk value of $11.06
per cwt. The witness asserted that this
$0.05 per cwt advantage is eliminated
because of the off-grade products it
produces and sells at discounted prices.
The witness concluded that the current
Class IV yield factors are appropriate
and that the current calculation is
superior to the complicated alternatives
in Proposals 6, 7 and 8.
A witness appearing on behalf of
Foremost testified regarding cheese
production at Foremost’s manufacturing
plants. The witness entered a
declaration for the record describing the
types of cheese produced by Foremost
and the specific butterfat retention rate
achieved at its cheese manufacturing
plant in Marshfield, Wisconsin. Using a
mass balance analysis, the witness
stated that in 2006 the Marshfield plant
had an average butterfat retention rate of
90.25 percent. The witness said that
Foremost considered investing in more
modern cheese vats that would yield a
higher butterfat retention rate but chose
not to do so because it would take at
least 13 years to recoup any return on
such a large investment.
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The Agri-Mark, et al. post-hearing
brief expressed opposition to the
adoption of Proposals 6, 7 and 8. The
brief argued that the proponent’s
methodology in computing product
yields was flawed because it ignored
that milk solids and/or cream are
sometimes added to farm milk during
processing resulting in increased vat
yields. Therefore, Agri-Mark, et al.,
concluded that the product yields
advanced in Proposals 6 through 8 are
not representative of the volume of
products that can be produced from a
hundredweight of milk. Agri-Mark, et
al., also took exception to proponent’s
statements that dairy farmers are paying
for the costs of new plant equipment
designed to increase yields through
increased make allowances and reduced
producer income. Agri-Mark, et al.,
argued that enhanced yields increase
production thus lower manufacturing
costs per pound of product from which
make allowances are derived. AgriMark, et al., also opposed the
elimination of a farm-to-plant shrinkage
factor used in the product price
formulas.
The Agri-Mark, et al., brief stated that
increasing the butterfat recovery rate
from 90 percent to 94 percent is not
justified. Agri-Mark, et al., insisted that
the proponent’s claim that cheese plants
recycle their whey cream into the
cheese vat and are then able to achieve
a 94 percent butterfat recovery was
contradicted by many witnesses at the
hearing. Agri-Mark, et al., also wrote
that the record lacks sufficient evidence
to justify increasing the NFDM yield
factor from .99 to 1.02. The brief
supported USDA’s reasoning for relying
on the current NFDM yield factor and
said that the farm-to-plant shrinkage
factor is still valid.
The post-hearing brief filed on behalf
of Dairylea, et al., agreed with
proponents of Proposal 6 that an
arithmetic error in calculating the
shrinkage factor in the butterfat yield
had been made by USDA. Therefore, the
brief advocated that the butterfat yield
factor in the butterfat price formula be
increased to 1.211. The brief also
discussed the butterfat recovery
percentage in the protein price formula
and supported increasing the butterfat
retention factor in cheese manufacturing
but did not specify a factor. The brief
explained that currently the formula
assumes that 90 percent of the butterfat
in the cheese vat ends up in the finished
product. The brief emphasized the
importance of recognizing that the
butterfat retention is based on butterfat
going into the vat, not butterfat coming
from the farm. The brief asserted that a
90 percent recovery rate of butterfat
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going into the cheese vat is equivalent
to 89.4 percent of the butterfat coming
from farms going into the finished
product after accounting for farm-toplant shrinkage. The brief detailed that
cheese manufacturers that testified
achieving a fat recovery percentage of
90.25 percent on the basis of farm tests
actually experienced a butterfat
recovery of 90.9 percent of fat that
entered the cheese vat. The brief
concluded that this evidence, combined
with additional testimony regarding
available technology, makes higher
butterfat recovery possible and should
be reflected in the protein price formula.
The Dairylea, et al., brief opposed the
elimination of the farm-to-plant
shrinkage factor as advanced in
Proposal 7. The brief asserted that while
some production areas are dominated by
large farms, a large portion of the
country is dominated by small farms
where farm-to-plant shrinkage is
prevalent. However, the brief noted that
farm-to-plant shrinkage is reflected in
the product-price formulas because
yield data provided by manufacturers
are commonly based on farm weights
and tests.
The post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of O–AT–KA stated the hearing
record does not justify adoption of
Proposals 6, 7 and 8, and that the
proposed changes to yield factors would
increase its raw milk costs and inhibit
its ability to provide balancing services
to the market. O–AT–KA was of the
opinion that Proposal 6 should only be
adopted if USDA simultaneously
amends the product-price formulas to
account for in-plant losses and off-grade
products that are sold at a discount.
3. Value of Butterfat in Whey
A witness appearing on behalf of
IDFA testified in support of Proposal 9
seeking to adjust the protein price
formula to reflect the lower value and
volume of butterfat recoverable from
whey cream and was of the opinion that
it was superior to Proposal 10. The
witness asserted that the current Class
III price formula values the butterfat not
captured in the cheese at the Grade AA
butter price even though it is sold as
whey butter which has a lower value in
the marketplace. In its brief, IDFA
supported the testimony of the Leprino
witness regarding saleable volume and
the value whey cream in the
marketplace. The brief also highlighted
testimony that some processors do not
return whey cream back into its cheese
vats. The brief concluded that the
butterfat adjustment contained in the
protein price formula should be reduced
by $0.016 to account for the lower value
and saleable volume of whey cream.
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The witness appearing on behalf of
Agri-Mark supported adoption of
adjusting the Class III protein price
component to account for the lower
value of whey butter (Proposal 10). The
witness estimated that 0.42 pounds of
whey butter is made from a
hundredweight of milk and is sold at a
price below the Grade AA butter price.
According to the witness, Agri-Mark
sells its whey butter for $0.074 per
pound less than its Grade AA butter.
The witness was unaware of any public
data or published reports on market
prices for whey butter and was of the
opinion that there were very few
manufacturers making whey butter in
the United States.
The post-hearing brief filed on behalf
of Agri-Mark, et al., contended that the
product price formulas should recognize
the lower value and saleable volume of
whey cream and urged the adoption of
Proposal 9. The brief summarized
record evidence regarding plant whey
cream prices and volumes and insisted
that lower whey cream values are a
market reality that should be reflected
in the product-price formulas.
A witness appearing on behalf of
Leprino testified in support of Proposal
9. The Leprino witness reviewed the
derivation of the current cheese yield
per pound of fat in the Class III productprice formula using a Van Slyke formula
with an assumed butterfat recovery rate
of 90 percent and a moisture content of
38 percent. The witness asserted that
the Class III formula implies that 0.035
pounds of butterfat per cwt of milk is
recoverable as whey cream but is valued
in the Class III pricing formula as if it
was used to produce 0.042 pounds of
Grade AA butter. However, the witness
asserted that all whey cream is used to
produce Grade B butter which has a
lower value than Grade AA butter.
Based on testimony from Agri-Mark,
LOL and NDA, the witness estimated
that under the Class III price formula,
cheese manufacturers in the Northeast
and Pacific Northwest are being charged
12.5 and 20.4 cents, respectively, per
pound of butterfat in the whey cream
more than what these products can be
sold for in the marketplace. The witness
was unaware of any publicly available
data on national whey cream production
volumes and prices. The witness
conceded that Leprino does not make
cheddar cheese and uses all its whey
cream in its cheesemaking.
The Leprino witness testified that the
Class III formula also overestimates the
volume of butterfat recoverable as whey
cream. With an assumed 90 percent
butterfat recovery rate, the witness said
that the formulas infer the remaining 10
percent of butterfat is captured as whey
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cream. However, the witness explained
that only 7.8 percent of the butterfat is
actually recoverable because some
butterfat is incorporated into dry whey
or with the skim portion of the salt
whey that must be disposed.
The Leprino witness testified that
Proposal 9 would amend the Class III
formula to better account for
overvaluing the theoretical volumes and
market values of whey cream. The
witness explained that the butterfat
credit in the protein portion of the Class
III formula should be increased from 90
to 92.20 percent to acknowledge and
correct for the 7.8 percent of butterfat
that is recoverable as whey cream. In
addition, the witness maintained that
the butterfat portion of the Class III
formula should be reduced by $0.016 to
account for the lower price
manufacturers receive for Grade B
butter. The witness estimated that these
changes would have lowered the Class
III price by $0.169 per cwt over the last
five years. The witness revealed that
Leprino uses all of its whey cream in its
cheese production and therefore is able
to recoup the cheese value for all its
milk components.
A post-hearing brief filed on behalf of
Leprino stressed that the butterfat
portion of the Class III formula should
actually be reduced by $0.021 because
hearing testimony from other witnesses
revealed that 2007 whey prices in the
Pacific Northwest were significantly
lower than those in 2005 and 2006. The
brief highlighted testimony that the
2005–2006 Pacific Northwest average
whey cream sale price was 94.4 percent
of the average Grade AA butter price
while the 2005–2007 average whey
price fell to 89.4 percent of the Grade
AA butter price.
A witness appearing on behalf of Kraft
supported adoption of Proposal 9. The
witness indicated that on average, Kraft
receives $0.10 per pound less for whey
butter than for Grade AA butter.
A witness appearing on behalf of
Saputo testified that the Class III pricing
formula wrongly presumes that all
cheese manufacturers have dry whey
processing capabilities and can obtain a
high value for dry whey in the
marketplace. In reality, the witness said,
manufacturers sell whey as whey
protein concentrates, whey protein
isolates or in liquid form that have
widely disparate market values.
According to the witness, assumptions
regarding the production of dry whey
may financially harm cheese
manufacturers and could result in the
accelerated consolidation in milk
manufacturing. For these reasons, the
witness supported the adoption of
Proposal 9.
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A witness appearing on behalf of
Great Lakes Cheese (GLC) testified in
support of adoption of Proposal 9.
According to the witness, GLC is a
cheese manufacturer whose plant in
Adams, New York, processes 410
million pounds of milk annually into
American style cheeses and byproducts. The witness said that because
milk components are lost in many stages
of the cheesemaking process, the
Federal order system should not have
class prices that require manufacturers
to pay for milk components that they are
unable to use and sell. The witness
illustrated by example the in-plant milk
losses incurred from sanitizing
equipment and removing sludge from
the whey separator. In the example, the
witness estimated that in 2006, GLC lost
$23,770 worth of whey solids in the
desludging process.
The GLC witness said that GLC’s
Adams facility produces one million
pounds of whey cream annually which
usually can be sold at the Grade AA
butter market price. In 2006, the witness
stated, GLC received $1.2425 per pound
of whey cream fat and the average CME
AA butter price was $1.2405. However,
the witness explained, because the
average Class III butterfat price was
$1.3185 per pound (a $0.076 price
difference), it had to pay a higher price
for the butterfat in raw milk than it
could recover in the market.
A witness appearing on behalf of NDA
testified that Federal orders should
establish fair minimum prices for
producer milk while ensuring that the
product-price formulas reflect the true
value of dairy products in the market.
The witness stated that NDA receives
significantly less for its whey cream
sales than it does for sweet cream sales
and that Proposal 9 or Proposal 10
should be adopted to reflect this reality
in the product-price formulas. The
witness estimated that on average from
2005 through 2007, on a butterfat basis,
NDA sold its whey cream for 36 percent
less than it sold its sweet cream and
$0.0244 per pound less than the Class
III butterfat price. Therefore, the witness
said, NDA supports IDFA’s proposal to
adjust the protein price to reflect the
lower value of whey cream.
The NDA witness also explained that
its average selling price for
manufactured products is less than its
reported prices to NASS because some
of its production does not meet NASS
specifications. The witness testified that
products not meeting NASS
specifications are either products made
to meet specific customer orders or offgrade production such as cheese fines.
The witness said that in fiscal year
2007, 3.98 percent of NDA’s cheese
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production did not meet NASS
specifications either by design or error.
The volume was sold for a weighted
average price of $0.0218 per pound less
than its NASS reported cheddar—
lowering NDA’s total average cheese
price for the year by $0.009 per pound,
the witness said. The witness described
similar scenarios for NDA’s whey,
NFDM and buttermilk production.
The NDA witness revealed that in
fiscal year 2007, NDA’s Sunnyside,
Washington, plant, which uses modern
horizontal cheese vats, experienced a
cheese yield of 10.22 pounds of cheese
per cwt of milk with an average
moisture content of 38 percent and a
butterfat recovery rate of 92 percent.
The witness noted that NDA’s yield
reflects the use of whey cream added to
the cheese vats.
A witness for Twin County testified in
support of adopting Proposal 9. The
witness asserted that the Class III price
formula and current make allowances
for cheese and dry whey overvalues
milk components, particularly other
solids, leading to reduced plant
profitability. As a result, explained the
witness, manufacturers are required to
account to the marketwide pool for
some components at the Class III price
of milk even though they receive less
than the Class III price for them in the
marketplace.
The witness explained that Twin
County produces cheddar cheese that
meets particular customer specifications
which do not allow for returning whey
cream into its cheese-making process.
Consequently, the witness said that
Twin County invested in a whey
processing facility to process its skim
whey into whey protein concentrates
(WPC), ultra filtered milk and permeate.
According to the witness, Twin County
sells all of its whey cream in the
marketplace for approximately the
Grade AA butter prices times a
multiplier of 1.12. The witness said that
Twin County does fortify its cheese vats
with additional milk solids when it is
economically feasible and its average
cheese yield (including fortification) is
seasonal and ranges from nine to ten
pounds of cheese per cwt. The witness
said that while Twin County is required
to account to the marketwide pool for
all milk components at the Class III
price, it sells the whey produced at a
reduced price in the market resulting in
a net loss to the company for those
components. Additionally, while the
current make allowances effective
March 2007 did improve the
profitability of Twin County, the
witness insisted that the whey make
allowance is still inadequate to cover
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the whey manufacturing costs of the
plant.
The Twin County witness conceded
that the premiums it pays for milk could
be adjusted downward to offset revenue
losses. However, the witness indicated,
renegotiating premiums with suppliers
may have the unintended consequence
of impeding or damaging long-standing
relationships with suppliers and disrupt
the ability to procure milk as needed.
The witness appearing on behalf of
HP Hood also supported adoption of
Proposal 9 or 10.
The post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of Dairylea, et al., opposed the
adoption of Proposals 9 or 10. The brief
did not dispute that whey cream has a
lower value in the marketplace, but
noted that there are also higher valued
uses for butterfat that are not recognized
in the butterfat price. The brief
concluded that it would be
inappropriate to amend the butterfat
value to recognize lower-valued whey
cream without also recognizing highervalued butterfat uses.
The post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of DPNM, et al., opposed
adoption of Proposals 9 or 10. The brief
stressed that there is no publicly
announced information regarding prices
and volumes for whey cream or whey
butter. The brief argued that record
evidence demonstrates that a significant
portion of whey cream is returned to the
cheese vat and not sold as whey cream
in the market.
The post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of NAJ also expressed opposition
to the adoption of Proposals 9 or 10. The
brief said that if value of whey butter is
as low as the proponents claim, then a
separate whey butterfat price should be
established instead of lowering the
protein price.
4. Barrel-Block Cheese Price
The witness appearing on behalf of
IDFA testified in support of eliminating
the current 3-cent barrel-block price
adjustment (Proposal 12). The witness
maintained that there is no cost
difference between block and barrel
production and therefore the 3-cent
adjustment should be eliminated.
Furthermore, the witness said, the
CPDMP data used to determine the
current make allowances takes into
account the manufacturing cost
difference between barrels and blocks.
Maintaining the 3-cent adjustment
would, the witness said, result in
double counting of any purported cost
difference. In its post-hearing brief,
IDFA reiterated the need to eliminate
the 3-cent barrel-block price adjustment.
A witness appearing on behalf of
Davisco testified in support of Proposal
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12. The witness offered evidence on
Davisco’s manufacturing costs for 40pound block and 500-pound barrel
cheese production at its LeSueur,
Minnesota, plant. The witness
explained that the LeSueur plant has
separate block and barrel production
lines that enable Davisco to easily
isolate and compare packaging and
capital costs. After discussing the
differences in packaging and equipment
needed to produce block cheese and
barrel cheese, the witness testified that
Davisco spends $0.0012 per pound more
to produce block cheese. According to
the witness, its de minimis cost
differences in producing block and
barrel cheese warrant eliminating the 3cent adjustment.
The witnesses appearing on behalf of
Kraft, NDA and Saputo expressed
support for adoption of Proposal 12. The
Kraft witness testified that the 3-cent
adjustment historically represented the
additional cost of producing blocks
instead of barrels. However, the Kraft
witness asserted, the gross return
between blocks and barrels (adjusted to
38 percent moisture) is approximately
$0.0075 per pound. Therefore,
concluded the Kraft witness, it is no
longer necessary to add 3-cents to the
barrel cheese price because that cost
difference is being recouped in the
marketplace.
No proponent testimony was received
regarding Proposal 13.
The Kraft witness opposed
eliminating the barrel cheese price from
the Class III price formula (Proposal 13).
The witness asserted that since 2000,
the NASS cheese price survey
represented approximately 57 percent
barrels and 43 percent blocks.
Therefore, the witness insisted that it
would be inappropriate to eliminate the
barrel price from the Class III price
formula because it would not reflect the
actual prices of such a large part of the
national cheese market.
The witness appearing on behalf of
Leprino supported eliminating the 3cent block-barrel adjustment. The
witness asserted that the adjustment
was originally added to the barrel
cheese price because it was considered
the standard cost difference between
producing block and barrel cheese. The
witness testified that the 3-cent
adjustment was no longer necessary
because the CPDMP cheese
manufacturing cost survey used to
derive the current make allowances
already accounts for the cost difference.
The witness explained that keeping the
3-cent adjustment would be double
counting cost differences that may exist.
According to the witness, the 3-cent
adjustment was never based on actual
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cost data; rather it was a generally
accepted valuation of the average
production cost difference between
producing 40 pound blocks and 500
pound barrel cheese at 39 percent
moisture standard. However, the
witness noted that after January 2001
the barrel cheese price was adjusted to
38 percent moisture standard. The
witness asserted that this moisture
standard change on average increased
the barrel cheese price 2.2 cents per
pound during the last five years. The
witness estimated that eliminating the
3-cent barrel-block adjustment would
reduce the Class III price by $0.1624 per
cwt.
The Leprino witness also opposed
adoption of Proposal 13 because it
would reduce the amount of data used
to compute the classified milk prices.
The witness said that the barrel cheese
price should continue as a factor in
computing the Class III price because of
the additional cheese volume for which
it accounts.
The post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of Agri-Mark, et al., maintained
that the 3-cent barrel adjustment should
be eliminated and supported the views
of the IDFA witness and its post-hearing
brief urging the adoption of Proposal 12.
The post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of Dairylea, et al., opposed
eliminating the 3-cent per pound barrelblock cheese adjustment as advanced in
Proposal 12. The brief expressed the
opinion that cost data from one cheese
plant offered by Davisco Foods is not
adequate to support adopting the
proposed change. According to the brief,
cost data presented by Davisco Foods
only compared packaging and capital
costs for producing barrel and block
cheese. The brief argued that despite
Davisco’s belief that total manufacturing
costs before packaging were the same,
there may be differences in other
processing costs because block and
barrels are produced at different
moisture contents. The brief asserted
that if Davisco Foods cost data is
adjusted to reflect average moisture
content for blocks (37.75 percent) and
barrels (34 percent), the cost of capital
and packaging for blocks would be 10
percent higher than for barrels.
The Dairylea, et al., brief also
addressed the proponents’ assertion that
incorporating CPDMP data into
determining new make allowances
provides the necessary recognition of
the cost difference between block and
barrel production. The brief argued that
CDFA data in fact only includes cost
data from block production and its
continued use would mean that new
make allowances would be too heavily
weighted towards block production. The
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brief also asserted that evidence
showing the market price relationship
between blocks and barrels does not
provide a basis to conclude that similar
cost changes have occurred in the
manufacturing costs of block and barrel
cheese.
In its brief, DPNM, et al., opposed the
reduction or elimination of the 3-cent
barrel price adjustment (Proposal 12)
unless Proposal 15 was adopted. The
brief explained that Proposal 15 (using
the CME to determine product prices) is
intended to use only the CME block
cheese price, not an average of the 500pound barrel and 40-pound block
prices. If Proposal 15 is adopted as
intended, DPNM, et al. wrote, the 3-cent
barrel adjustment would no longer be
necessary.
5. Product Price Series
The witness appearing on behalf of
Agri-Mark testified in support of
Proposal 14. The witness said that the
proposed price series would use a
combination of the NASS and CME
cheese prices in the Class III productprice formula. The witness said that
Proposal 14 seeks to incorporate current
CME data to reduce the monthly
differences between prices that most
manufacturers sell their cheese and the
cheese price from which the
manufacturers’ cost of raw milk is
determined. The witness said that
cheese manufacturers use the CME
cheese price to set their base cheese
price which becomes reflected in the
NASS cheese price announced two
weeks later. The witness explained by
example that the two week lag between
CME and NASS price releases was a
problem in 2004 when cheese prices
were rapidly changing from week-toweek causing the two price series to
vary by more than 10 cents per pound
in seven months of the year. According
to analysis conducted by the witness
from January 2000 until February 2007,
98 percent of the variation in the NASS
block cheese price and 87 percent of the
variation of the NASS barrel cheese
price could be explained by the CME
price.
The Agri-Mark witness hypothesized
by example how Proposal 14 could be
administered. The witness explained
that the cheese price in the Class III
formula for April 2007 would be
calculated as follows: (1) Compute the
average CME cheese price for the four
weeks in April; (2) add the average
NASS cheese price for the last two
weeks of March and the first two weeks
of April; and (3) subtract the average
CME cheese price for the four weeks of
March. The Agri-Mark witness
explained that the cheese price used to
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determine the advanced Class I price
should be as follows: (1) Compute the
average CME cheese price for the second
and third weeks of March; (2) add the
average NASS cheese price for the first
and second weeks of March; and (3)
subtract the average CME cheese price
for the last two weeks of February. The
witness was of the opinion that these
new formulas would enable USDA to
use current CME prices while in the
long-run the NASS price series would
continue as the primary determinant of
cheese prices. The witness was of the
opinion that the resulting ‘‘hybrid
price’’ would reduce large monthly
price variations like those experienced
in 2004. The witness said that AgriMark does not support the sole use of
CME prices in the price formulas
because of the low volume of trades and
the possibility of price manipulation.
The Agri-Mark witness indicated that
adopting this hybrid price would not
significantly change the average USDA
cheese prices or FMMO producer blend
prices. The witness estimated that the
average Class III prices would have been
approximately $0.005 per pound less
and the Northeast order producer blend
prices would have averaged $0.003 per
cwt less using this hybrid price during
2003–2006. The witness did not see a
need to compute a hybrid price for
butter because the lag between the CME
and NASS price reporting is not a
problem.
In their post-hearing brief, Agri-Mark,
et al., reiterated their support for
adoption of Proposal 14 and opposition
to adopting Proposals 15 and 18, both of
which are discussed subsequently.
A witness appearing on behalf of
DPNM, et al., testified in support of
using CME product prices in the FMMO
price formulas as advanced in Proposal
15. The witness was of the opinion that
the CME is a superior price discovery
mechanism. The witness asserted that
the time lag associated with the NASS
price survey has, at times, created huge
differences between the advanced Class
I and Class II prices and the monthly
prices that are incorporated into the
Class III and Class IV formulas. The
witness opined that the time lag
associated with using the NASS price
survey sends incorrect price signals to
producers and that it creates a
disincentive for manufacturers to seek
higher product prices in the market
because it will result in increased raw
milk costs.
The DPNM, et al., witness testified
that NASS product prices track closely
with CME prices for cheese and butter.
However, the witness said, the NASS
NFDM price does not reflect the current
cash market. The witness stated that the
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NFDM market is unique because there
are only a few sellers and asserted that
sellers tend to use the previous week’s
NASS NFDM price to sell their
products. The witness stated that there
has been a growing price disparity
between the NASS NFDM price and the
NFDM price reported by Dairy Market
News. According to the witness, during
the first quarter of 2007, the monthly
NASS NFDM prices averaged $0.12 per
pound less than what was reported as
the average Western Mostly NFDM price
by Dairy Market News. The witness
calculated that this resulted in Class II
and Class IV prices being $1.03 per cwt
lower. The witness asserted that the
price discrepancy could be a reporting
error, noting that NASS does not have
the authority to audit its surveyed price
data.
The DPNM, et al., witness testified
that CME product prices could become
the preferred price discovery
mechanism because it is a public market
and since 1997 has expanded trading
times and the number of traded dairy
products. The witness stressed that CME
product prices are more reflective of the
current market for cheese, butter and
dry whey because many manufacturers
refer to the current CME product price
when making their sales. The witness
added that oversight by the Commodity
Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)
provides for regulatory oversight.
However, the witness testified that
NFDM is not actively traded on the CME
because packaging specifications require
that NFDM traded on the CME be in
government-specified bags. The witness
was of the opinion that if such
packaging requirement was changed, the
CME would become a viable market for
NFDM.
DPNM, et al.’s, brief expressed
support for adoption of Proposal 15 and
reiterated the position that NASS
product price surveys should be
replaced by CME product prices in each
of the price formulas except for the
other solids formula. According to the
brief, since the other solids formula uses
the NASS dry whey price and the CME
does not have a cash traded dry whey
price, continued use of the NASS dry
whey price is appropriate. The brief
indicated that the use of CME prices
would alleviate timing and circularity
issues associated with relying on NASS
survey prices. The brief concluded this
position is supported in a General
Accountability Office (GAO) study of
June 2007.
The DPNM, et al., brief expressed
support for using competitive pay price
series to establish classified Federal
order milk prices. However, the brief
expressed the opinion that Proposal 18
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needs to be more fully developed and
requested that USDA further investigate
the use of a competitive pay price and
convene a hearing to consider this
alternative.
A witness appearing on behalf of the
Maine Dairy Industry Association
(MDIA) testified in support of Proposal
18. According to the witness, MDIA is
an association that represents all of
Maine’s 350 dairy farmers. The witness
said that Proposal 18 seeks to establish
an average competitive pay price for
milk by incorporating a factor into the
other solids portion of the Class III price
formula to account for any monthly
spread between the component prices
for milk and a competitive pay price for
equivalent Grade A milk. The witness
was of the opinion that a competitive
pay price is a superior method for
determining the value of milk and
setting regulated minimum prices than
are product-price formulas. The witness
contended that butter, NFDM, cheese
and whey each have a separate market
that responds to separate and unique
supply and demand factors. The witness
explained that in a competitive pay
price system buyers pay for raw milk
based on supply and demand conditions
of the particular market in which they
operate.
The MDIA witness stated that USDA
has previously considered competitive
pay price mechanisms for pricing Class
III milk. The witness explained that a
1994–1996 simulated analysis
conducted by USDA revealed several
difficulties with competitive pay prices,
such as: (1) The influence of regulated
minimum prices could not be
eliminated; (2) inadequate vigorous
competition among buyers of milk; and
(3) competitive pricing was based on the
competitive situation for milk in
Minnesota and Wisconsin. The witness
explained that these limitations formed
the analysis basis for Proposal 18.
The MDIA witness explained how
Proposal 18’s competitive pay price
would be administered. The witness
said that geographic areas where an
adequate level of competition for milk
exists should be determined by
computing a Herfindahl index for each
county. The witness said this index is
a measurement of market
competitiveness where a low Herfindahl
index indicates more competition for
milk. For example, competition for milk
in a county with an index of 0.3450 is
greater than in a county with an index
of 0.3500. The witness proposed that
competitive price zones be determined
by aggregating clusters of 10 contiguous
counties or more with indexes less than
0.33. The witness said that an ideal
situation would be if at least a third of
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the manufacturing milk in Federal order
marketing areas were competitive price
zones. The witness explained that
handlers purchasing milk within these
zones would be exempt from paying
minimum classified prices, but would
still be required to pay current
differentials for Class I and Class II milk.
According to the witness, these
differentials would be pooled and
producers within the competitive price
zones would receive a 12-month rolling
average producer price differential
(PPD). Handlers would still pay
regulated classified prices for milk
produced outside of these zones, the
witness said.
According to the MDIA witness,
market administrators would collect
actual payment data from handlers for
milk purchased within the competitive
price zones for the preceding month and
estimated payments for the current
month. The market administrators
would compute a weighted average
price and deduct from that price the 12month rolling average PPD for the
month. This residual would be the value
of manufacturing milk in the
competitive price zone. A national
average competitive manufacturing milk
price would then be computed by
aggregating the average price and
volume data from all reporting
competitive price zones. This result
would become the new minimum Class
III price for milk purchases outside of
the competitive price zones.
The MDIA witness said that the
computation of protein and fat prices
would be unchanged under its
competitive price proposal. However,
the other solids price would be the
residual value of the Class III price once
the values of butterfat and protein were
deducted, the witness explained. The
witness said indirect compensation to
farmers, such as hauling charges, would
not be included in the computation of
a weighted average price but could be a
‘‘loophole’’ used by manufacturers to
lower the Class III milk price by shifting
more monies into hauling subsidies.
The MDIA witness asserted that over
the long run, producers located inside
competitive price zones would receive
the same revenue for their milk as
producers located outside of
competitive price zones. The witness
did not know if Proposal 18’s pricing
method would generate higher or lower
prices to all producers than the current
end product pricing system.
The MDIA witness was of the opinion
that the largest group of counties in
competitive price zones would be in the
Upper Midwest (UMW) marketing area
because of the large number of cheese
plants competing for a milk supply.
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This would most likely lead to a
weighted average competitive pay price
that is heavily influenced by prices paid
by UMW plants that historically have
been higher than Federal order
minimum prices, predicted the witness.
The witness conceded that a
competitive pay price heavily weighted
to conditions in the UMW would not
reflect national supply and demand
conditions.
A Maine dairy farmer appearing on
behalf of the MDIA testified in support
of Proposal 18. The witness testified
that Maine is not an area regulated by
the Federal milk order program, but
producer prices are heavily influenced
by those established under the
Northeast order. The witness stated that
Maine dairy farmers have turned to
alternative sources of income such as
state subsidies and increased equity
financing to keep their farms operating
because Federal minimum prices are too
low and driven by unpredictable price
swings for dairy products.
After adjusting USDA cost of
production information for Vermont to
account for lower labor and feed costs,
the MDIA witness estimated the cost of
production of a Maine dairy farmer to be
$19 per cwt, $20 per cwt and $24 per
cwt in 2004, 2005 and 2006,
respectively. The witness compared this
price to the Northeast Federal order
mailbox price of $16.29 per cwt, $15.39
per cwt and $13.22 per cwt in 2004,
2005 and 2006, respectively. Using
those data, the witness estimated that
for a medium-sized Maine dairy farm
with 150 cows, average net income fell
by $70,000 in 2004, $140,000 in 2005
and $320,000 in 2006. The witness
asserted that this increasing difference
between revenue and costs illustrates
why the Federal order pricing system
needs to be amended to more fully
reflect dairy farmer cost of production.
The MDIA witness also testified
regarding two programs operated by the
State of Maine. One program boosts
revenue to Maine dairy farmers by
distributing an over-order price
payment determined by the Maine Milk
Commission; and a second program that
gives a subsidy payment from the State
general fund. However, the witness said
during recent months these payments
have not been enough to make up for
the difference between declining milk
prices and increasing production costs.
The witness was of the opinion that
these State programs cannot be relied
upon in the long-run to provide a stable
marketplace for dairy farms.
A post-hearing brief filed on behalf of
MDIA reiterated its position that end
product pricing does not result in high
enough prices for the dairy farmers of
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the northeastern region of the United
States. MDIA stated that Proposal 18 is
‘‘a good starting point’’ from which to
develop a competitive price scheme that
would replace pricing derived from the
values of manufactured dairy products.
The brief acknowledged that MDIA’s
proposal is complex and lacks much of
the detail needed for its adoption.
However, MDIA reiterated its position
that the adoption of a competitive pay
price system would improve how
producer milk is valued and through
which minimum classified prices would
be determined.
The MDIA brief argued that price
discovery based on competitive
conditions for milk is superior to milk
prices derived from the market prices of
manufactured dairy products. The brief
insisted that prices derived using sound
economic principles and accurate
market data are crucial to accurate price
determination. The brief stressed that
ending a competitive pay price series for
milk has harmed dairy farmers,
especially in the northeastern, midwestern and southeastern regions of the
country. The brief attributed observed
price volatility in milk prices to the use
of end product price formulas. In this
regard, the brief asserted that the
product-pricing formulas and the logic
underlying component pricing do not
meet the articulated policy of the
AMAA. The brief argued that the
AMAA’s paramount objectives are
stabilization and enhancement of
producer income.
The witness appearing on behalf of
Dairylea supported using the CME
cheese and butter prices as substitutes
for the NASS surveyed prices as
advanced in Proposal 15. The witness
said that the industry already uses the
CME to set their base selling prices. The
witness asserted that using NASS
surveys to set minimum prices has
resulted in disorderly market conditions
because of the time lag of NASS product
price reporting results in short-term
manufacturing losses. According to the
witness, using the CME prices for butter
and cheese to set minimum classified
milk prices would eliminate the time lag
issue and price circularity issues.
A post hearing brief submitted on
behalf of Dairylea, et al., opposed
adoption of Proposal 18 by concluding
that record evidence is insufficient to
support its adoption. Their post-hearing
brief specifically expressed support for
the portion of Proposal 15 for using
CME prices for cheese and butter in the
product price formulas. This was not
supported by DFA. While Dairylea’s
brief expressed the opinion that using
CME prices would address the issue of
price circularity inherent in the NASS
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price survey, they did not support the
use of CME prices for dry whey and
NFDM.
In a separate post-hearing brief, DFA
specifically expressed support for
adoption of a hybrid price series
advanced in Proposal 14. DFA
emphasized that the hybrid price series
would transmit more timely market
signals to processors and producers by
aligning the purchase price of milk with
the market prices of milk products.
The witness appearing on behalf of
IDFA testified in opposition to adoption
of Proposal 14. The witness was of the
opinion that using the proposed hybrid
price would result in unnecessarily
complex price formulas that would
provide no tangible benefit to the
industry. The witness acknowledged the
problems associated with the time-lag of
the NASS price series, but stated that
there are alternative ways to address the
lag other than adding complexity to the
price formulas. Similar arguments were
offered in IDFA’s post-hearing brief.
The IDFA witness also testified in
opposition to adoption of Proposal 15.
The witness stated that the NASS
product price survey provides the
largest possible sample of wholesale
prices and should continue to be relied
upon in the product price formulas. The
witness said that USDA’s reasoning for
relying on the NASS price survey in the
Federal order reform decision is still
relevant. The witness was of the opinion
that many of the complaints associated
with the NASS price series could be
remedied if the price reporting to NASS
became electronic, mandatory and
audited. IDFA insisted in its posthearing brief that using the CME to
determine product prices could result in
product prices that are not
representative of actual market sale
prices and could encourage product
trading on the CME solely to manipulate
the minimum classified milk prices
established under Federal orders.
The IDFA witness also testified in
opposition to adopting a competitive
pay price series as advanced in Proposal
18. The witness indicated that currently
no reliable unregulated milk supply of
adequate size exists to become the basis
for a competitive pay price series.
The witness appearing on behalf of
Kraft opposed adoption of Proposal 15
and supported the continued use of the
NASS price survey to determine
classified prices. The witness explained
that the NASS price survey is national
in scope and represents a significantly
larger proportion of national cheese
production than does the CME. The
witness was of the opinion that if CME
prices are used to determine classified
prices, the growing volume of cheese
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production and sales in the western
states would not be adequately
represented. Therefore, the witness
concluded, NASS survey prices best
reflect the settled sales price at the
plant. The witness acknowledged the
time lag between CME prices and the
NASS price survey and insisted that a
better solution to the time lag problem
would be to require timelier reporting of
prices to NASS rather than abandon the
NASS price survey.
The witness appearing on behalf of
Saputo opposed the adoption of
Proposals 14 or 15 and indicated
support for the continued use of the
NASS price survey. The witness was of
the opinion that timelier price reporting
to NASS would counter asserted
problems associated with the lag
between the CME and NASS survey
prices. The Saputo witness opposed
using the CME to set minimum prices
because, in the witness’ opinion, the
CME is too thin a market to provide
accurate market signals.
The witness appearing on behalf of
Leprino testified in opposition to
Proposal 15 because of the low volume
of cheese that is traded on the CME as
compared to the volume of cheese
production that is represented in the
NASS survey. The witness also testified
that Leprino was not concerned with the
time lag between the CME prices and
the NASS price survey. The witness was
of the opinion that the time lag is
predictable and manageable for
manufacturers.
The witness appearing on behalf of
LOL testified in opposition to Proposal
15. The witness was of the opinion that
the more appropriate solution to the
problem of increased manufacturing
costs is the timelier updating of make
allowances and not the use of the CME
to derive classified prices. The witness
argued that the NASS price survey is
more representative of the national
cheese market while the CME continues
to remain a thinly traded market.
The witness appearing on behalf of
HP Hood opposed adoption of Proposal
18 because of the lack of analysis
available to determine its utility.
A post-hearing brief filed on behalf of
O–AT–KA stated that Proposal 18 may
warrant further consideration but it
should not be adopted in this
proceeding.
6. Other Solids Price
A witness appearing on behalf of NAJ
testified in support of adopting Proposal
16. The witness was of the opinion that
the value of dry whey should primarily
be derived from its protein content,
rather than its other solids content as
currently computed. The witness
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acknowledged that from August 2006 to
February 2007 the NASS dry whey price
more than doubled from 29.65 cents per
pound to 60.05 cents per pound and the
lactose price reported by Dairy Market
News increased from 33.89 cents per
pound to 59.34 cents per pound. The
witness was of the opinion that the
recent increase in lactose prices reflects
a shortage in lactose processing capacity
and not a lack of available lactose. The
witness believed that the high dry whey
and lactose prices prior to the fall of
2006 justify valuing dry whey on a
protein rather than other solids basis.
According to the NAJ witness, if
Proposal 16 had been in place from
April 2003 to September 2006, the Class
III price would have been one-cent per
cwt higher and only marginally higher
since September 2006.
The NAJ witness testified that from
2003 to 2006 dry whey production only
increased 1.5 percent, while the
increased production of whey protein
concentrates (WPCs) ranged from 6.6
percent to 45.5 percent depending on
the percent protein in the WPC. The
witness concluded that purchasers of
whey solids prefer WPC products that
are high in protein and therefore dry
whey should be priced on a protein
basis.
Using Dairy Market News’ monthly
prices since January 2000, the witness
discussed the costs of buying a pound
of protein (protein parity) and a pound
of lactose (lactose parity) in dry whey or
WPC–34 (34 percent protein). The
witness concluded that in all months,
the average price per pound of protein
in dry whey or WPC–34 exceeded the
average price per pound of lactose. The
witness also asserted that the cost per
pound of lactose in WPC–34 is higher
than if lactose were purchased
separately. According to the witness,
this price relationship reveals that
buyers of dry whey and WPCs are
purchasing these products for their
protein content rather than for their
lactose content. The witness also
emphasized that the value of protein in
dry whey and WPC–34 more closely
reflect each use than does lactose value
contained in the two products.
The NAJ witness also offered a
modification to Proposal 16 in that
NASS price surveys be expanded to
collect and report market prices of
various WPC’s and lactose. The witness
said this would build a dataset for use
in future rulemakings to consider the
appropriate valuation of whey solids.
A post-hearing brief filed on behalf of
NAJ reiterated positions given in
testimony. According to the brief, the
current other solids price formula does
not reasonably connect the market value
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of whey solids, which NAJ maintains is
based on its protein content, and how
producers are paid for whey.
The witness appearing on behalf of
IDFA opposed adoption of Proposal 16
because it was too complex and would
inappropriately value whey based on its
protein content when it is comprised
mainly of other solids. The witness said
that USDA’s preliminary economic
analysis demonstrates that adoption of
Proposal 16 could increase the cost of
high protein milk while lowering the
cost of low protein milk. However,
milk’s other solids content (primarily
whey) does not change in relationship
to the protein content, the witness said.
The witness also stated it would be
inappropriate to price dry whey on its
protein content since protein does not
affect whey yields.
The witness appearing on behalf of
Leprino testified in opposition to
Proposal 16 because its adoption would
result in distorted milk component
values. The witness insisted that since
dry whey yields are primarily driven by
the lactose content of milk and the other
solids composition, it would be
inappropriate to price whey on its
protein content.
The post-hearing brief filed on behalf
of Agri-Mark, et al., opposed adoption of
Proposal 16 arguing that the price of
other solids would then be determined
on its protein component which has no
impact on yield. The brief claimed that
since there in no standardized protein
content for whey, adoption of Proposal
16 could result in significant overvaluing of the protein in whey.
However, the brief supported NAJ’s call
for USDA to collect manufacturing cost
and price data for WPCs and lactose
because doing so would provide data on
how to appropriately value whey solids
for use in future proceedings.
The post-hearing brief filed on behalf
of Dairylea, et al., opposed adoption of
Proposal 16 because it would not add
value or efficiency to the product price
formulas.
The post-hearing brief filed on behalf
of DPNM, et al., opposed the adoption
of Proposal 16. However, the brief did
express support for NAJ calling for
USDA to collect prices, manufacturing
costs, and volumes for whey protein
concentrates and whey protein isolates.
A witness from Pennsylvania State
University offered testimony on the use
of an econometric model framework to
analyze changes to the Federal milk
marketing orders from all the proposals
under consideration and provided the
results at the hearing. The testimony
was not given on behalf of the
Pennsylvania State University. The
witness testified neither in support of or
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in opposition to any proposals. The
witness explained that the model is a
short-run supply-side model that does
not take into account changes in milk
demand. The witness said that the
model analyzed scenarios as outlined in
the USDA preliminary economic
analysis based on the USDA Baseline
Projections to 2015. The witness
concluded that the USDA preliminary
economic analysis did not accurately
reflect changes in the milk supply
because it did not adequately account
for the increase in feed prices and the
resulting effect on producer decisions.
A witness testifying on behalf of the
Ohio Farmers Union (OFU), National
Farmers Union (NFU) and the National
Family Farm Coalition (NFFC) called for
the hearing to be terminated because
dairy farmers continuously face low
milk prices and high input costs, and
that these concerns were not being
addressed in this proceeding. The
witness was of the opinion that the
FMMO system was no longer
accomplishing its mission of returning
market power to dairy farmers.
Discussion and Findings
This proceeding offered a wide array
of proposals aimed at changing FMMO
end-product pricing formulas used to
establish classified prices in all orders.
The original 19 proposals noticed range
from abandonment of the current
product-price formulas used to compute
minimum Class III and Class IV prices
to proposals that seek a variety of
changes to the product-pricing formulas
including manufacturing cost factors
(make allowances), yield factors,
technical factors, and authority to
separate a portion of manufactured
product sales prices from what
otherwise is used to establish
subsequent raw milk prices. The record
of this proceeding encompassed a total
of 12 hearing days over a 6-month
period from February through July, 2007
and consists of more than 3000 pages of
testimony, plus 78 exhibits and 10 post
hearing briefs. The diversity of
proposals considered indicates a lack of
consensus within the dairy industry
concerning how the Federal order
program should set minimum milk
prices in general and specifically how
the many features of the product-price
formulas should be altered.
Proponents for increasing make
allowances have requested that
regardless of the method adopted,
USDA should omit a recommended
decision and immediately adopt higher
make allowances for butter, NFDM,
cheese and dry whey because
manufacturing costs have increased
since the implementation of the current
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35323
make allowances. The proponent from
Agri-Mark for example, provided direct
testimony that electricity and other fuel
costs in cheese making had increased
for plants operated by the cooperative.
NMPF’s proposed use of BLS energy
cost data for an energy cost adjustor for
make allowances as sought by Proposal
17 (addressed in a separate decision)
provided reinforcement of the
continued and rapid increases in those
energy costs. Proposal 2, advanced by
Agri-Mark, seeking to formally
regularize the methodology for updating
manufacturing cost data, and Proposal
20, advanced by Dairylea, to establish a
cost add-on also are addressed in a
separate decision.
Proponent witnesses representing
Leprino, Twin County, and IDFA
provided specific and general
information that also support
concluding that energy, transportation,
labor and packaging costs for
manufacturing processors have
increased since the current make
allowances became effective in March
2007. As pointed out by IDFA, because
make allowances account for
manufacturing costs in the Class III and
Class IV price formulas but do not
change as those costs change, increasing
make allowances is the only reasonable
way by which those increased costs can
be recovered.
The ability of a manufacturer to offset
cost increases are limited by the level of
make allowances in the Class III and
Class IV price formulas. Manufacturing
processors are charged the FMMO
minimum price for producer milk used
to produce Class III and Class IV
products. However, plant manufacturing
cost increases may not be recovered
because Class III and Class IV productprice formulas use make allowances that
are fixed regardless of market conditions
and change only by regulatory action.
Simply put, when manufacturing cost
increases result in costs higher than
those provided by the formula make
allowance factors, the value of milk
used to make those products may be
over-valued.
Product-price formulas are relied
upon to establish the minimum class
prices of raw producer milk used to
make Class III and Class IV products,
which in turn establish Class I and Class
II prices. The product-pricing formulas
use market prices collected by NASS for
cheddar cheese, Grade AA butter, and
dry whey to set a minimum price for
Class III milk and NFDM and Grade AA
butter to set a minimum price for Class
IV milk. No competitive pay price series
currently exists that can be relied upon
to establish a price for raw milk
nationally. While some proponents look
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to the CME, the futures prices of the
CME use the FMMO minimum class
prices as the starting points for Class III
and Class IV milk futures contracts.
In the absence of competitive pay
price series, product-price formulas for
cheese, dry whey, NFDM and butter
serve as the only practical basis from
which the value of raw producer milk
used in their production can be derived.
A raw milk value is, in part, derived
from NASS collecting and aggregating
weekly reported sales price data from
manufacturers who produce and market
these commodity products and are
presented in the NASS Dairy Product
Price Survey.
The Class III and Class IV productprice formulas, among other factors, use
the market prices of the manufactured
products from which make allowance
factors are subtracted. The remaining
value, when converted to a milk
equivalent basis, is the value of raw
milk. Accordingly, the accuracy of
deriving the minimum value of raw
milk is dependent on the accuracy of
the commodity sale prices reported and
in large part the accuracy of the
manufacturing costs factors, or make
allowance factors, that are used in the
pricing formulas.
The Agri-Mark proposal, Proposal 1,
seeks to change make allowances used
in the Class III and Class IV product
formulas by relying on manufacturing
cost data contained in the record of this
proceeding by combining such data for
plants outside of California with the
most current manufacturing cost data
published by the CDFA.1 The 2-sets of
manufacturing costs for cheese, NFDM,
dry whey, and butter would be
combined on a weighted average basis
in a manner consistent with the
development of the current make
allowances used in determining Class III
and Class IV prices. Other proponents
seek to use the most recently available
publications of the CDFA.2 This method
was used in earlier rulemakings to
develop make allowances used in the
product-price formulas.3 4
1 Official Notices are taken of amendments to
make allowances and all related documentation by
the State of California in the Determinations,
Findings, Conclusions and Order of the Secretary of
Food and Agriculture, November 20, 2007, by the
Office of the California Secretary of Agriculture. See
https://www.cdfa.ca.gov/dairy/
dairy_hearings_matrix.html, and https://
www.cdfa.a.gov/dairy_hearings.html, and Summary
of Weighted Average Manufacturing Costs, Butter,
Nonfat Dry Milk, Cheddar Cheese, and Dry Whey
Powder, Released September 18, 2007; See https://
www.cdfa.ca.gov/dairy/pdf/
manufcostexhibit2006.pdf.
2 Ibid.
3 Official notice is taken of 67 FR 67906
November 7, 2002, and 68 FR 7063, February 12,
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Opponents of increasing make
allowances argue a number of points—
that they are already set at too high a
level, that dairy farmer production costs
also have increased significantly due to
higher energy and feed costs, that
processors should look beyond asking
dairy farmers to receive less for their
milk by charging more for manufactured
products, and that make allowance
increases should be made only when all
dairy farmer production costs are
captured in their milk pay price. These
are not valid arguments for opposing
how make allowances should be
determined or what levels make
allowances need to be in the Class III
and Class IV product-pricing formulas.
The record demonstrates that current
make allowance levels are not reflective
of the costs manufacturers incur in
processing raw milk into the finished
products of cheese, butter, NFDM and
dry whey.
Additionally, the Class III and Class
IV product-price formulas establish
derived classified prices for producer
milk that are used nationally in all
Federal milk orders. When dairy farmer
production costs exceed the value for
which products are sold in the
marketplace, no source of revenue from
the marketplace is available to cover
those costs.
In the aggregate, the costs of
producing milk are reflected in the
supply and demand conditions for the
dairy products. When the supply of
milk is insufficient to meet the demand
for Class III and Class IV products, the
prices for these products increase as do
regulated minimum milk prices paid to
dairy farmers because the milk is more
valuable and this greater milk value is
captured in the pricing formulas. Dairy
farmers face no regulatory minimums in
their costs and face no regulated
minimum payment obligation in the
way that regulated handlers must pay
dairy farmers for milk.
It is reasonable to conclude that the
make allowances used in the Class III
and Class IV product-price formulas
should be updated to reflect changes in
the costs manufacturers incur in
producing cheese, butter, dry whey, and
NFDM. It is necessary to reflect changes
in manufacturing costs so that with the
2003, final decision and final rule respectively, and
66 FR 54064, 65 FR 76832.
4 Official notice is taken of 71 FR 67467,
November 22, 2006, 71 FR 78333, December 29,
2006, as well as hearing testimony, exhibits, and
post hearing briefs for the hearing and hearing
continuations originally noticed in 71 FR 545,
January 5, 2006, and related materials concerning
make allowances and dairy product manufacturing
costs, and published for the convenience of the
public on the USDA, AMS Dairy Programs Web site
at https://www.ams.usda.gov/dairy.
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prevailing market prices for
manufactured products, minimum
Federal order classified prices can be
set. In the record of this proceeding,
evidence demonstrates that the
manufacturing costs of producing
cheese, dry whey, NFDM and butter
have increased since the
implementation of current make
allowances on an interim basis and
during the 6-month period when this
proceeding occurred.5
The record reveals an absence of
industry consensus concerning the
method (how) make allowances should
be changed that in turn determines the
level of the make allowances used in the
Class III and Class IV product-pricing
formulas. The differing proposed make
allowance levels offered over the course
of the proceeding represent the changes
in opinions concerning which
manufacturing costs, which
manufacturing cost survey(s) and other
factors should be considered. For
example, some proponents seeking
higher make allowances argued that
only CPDMP survey data and/or RBCS
survey data volumes should be relied
upon as these surveys are most
reflective of costs by plants who pay
Federal order prices. CDFA data
represents a cost survey of only
California processing plants. It is
important to Federal order classified
pricing that Class III and Class IV prices
be derived, as much as possible, from
national estimates of manufacturing cost
information and because NASS survey
prices include California. Accordingly,
it is reasonable to conclude that
appropriately combining this cost data
with cost survey data of manufacturing
plants not located in California will
tend to produce a measure of national
manufacturing costs. Doing so will tend
to not bias manufacturing costs
measurements that may otherwise result
from the exclusive use of one set of cost
survey data over another.
The proposal (Proposal 3) by DPNM is
offered in opposition to increasing make
allowances in the manner offered by
Agri-Mark. DPNM argues that because
the CPDMP 2006 survey represents
manufacturing costs of plants not
located in California, then that survey
should be exclusively relied upon in
determining new make allowances. This
argument is rejected. Proponents of
increasing make allowances have clearly
demonstrated that costs of producing
Class III and Class IV products have
increased. Continuing with the method
previously relied upon—relying on
manufacturing cost data from CPDMP’s
5 Ibid. Official notice is taken of 72 FR 36341, July
3, 2007.
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cost survey and CDFA in combination—
has provided effective and useable make
allowances in the pricing formulas even
though it is clear that the current levels
of make allowances need to be updated.
At issue in this proceeding, in part, is
whether make allowance levels should
be increased and what method should
be relied upon to determine those
levels. On its face, the DPNM proposal
to rely only on the CPDMP 2006 survey
data in determining make allowances
may seem reasonable as the survey
excludes California plants. However, the
argument does not consider other
important factors that affect the
marketing conditions for milk and dairy
products represented by California’s
dairy sector and its impact on the
supply and demand for milk and dairy
products nationally. Cheese, butter and
NFDM compete in a national
marketplace and as such the prices
established under the Class III and Class
IV product-pricing formulas need to be
reflective of marketing conditions that
directly affect determining the
minimum value of raw milk.
Accordingly, Proposal 3 is not adopted.
While many hearing participants
support the general method of
determining make allowances adopted
in this decision, the record nevertheless
reveals a lack of industry consensus in
35325
determining specific factors to be used
in the Class III and Class IV productpricing formulas. This is illustrated by
the information presented in Table 1
below. The seven sets of suggested make
allowances represent proposals from 4
different groups at various points of this
proceeding. The Agri-Mark, LOL, and
DPNM proposals were advanced by
producer groups with different milk
marketing and processing interests.
Regulated processors, including some
producer groups who are also regulated
in their capacity as processors, are
represented in this regard by the
proposals advanced by IDFA and
Leprino.
TABLE 1
Make allowances
Proponents
Cheese
$/lb
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Agri-Mark et al. (Brief Pg 20–24) .....................................................................
IDFA (Brief pg 11) ...........................................................................................
IDFA (Brief pg 12) ...........................................................................................
Leprino (Brief pg 2) ..........................................................................................
DPNM Proposal ...............................................................................................
DPNM Brief (pg 1) ...........................................................................................
DPNM Brief (pg 20) .........................................................................................
The range of proposed make
allowances presented in Table 1 varies
more than 30 percent between the
highest and lowest proposed make
allowance levels for cheese and dry
whey. Similarly, the range from highest
to lowest proposed make allowance for
butter remarkably varies by more than
60 percent and about 25 percent for
NFDM.
It is appropriate to rely on the CPDMP
2006 survey of manufacturing costs in
establishing the methodology of how
make allowances should be determined.
Its use is consistent with the
methodology relied upon in
determining the make allowances
currently in the Class III and Class IV
product-price formulas. The CPDMP
2006 survey results provide a new
estimation of manufacturing costs for
plants not located in California. The
CPDMP 2006 survey results, when used
in conjunction with the most current
survey results from CDFA, improves
estimation of manufacturing costs on a
national basis and is consistent with the
methodology relied upon in
determining the make allowances
currently in the Class III and Class IV
product-pricing formulas.
The manufacturing cost data
presented in the CPDMP 2006 survey is
essentially a new cost survey. The data
presented in the survey is similar to
CPDMP’s earlier cost survey in that both
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0.2154
0.2154
0.2198
0.2154
0.1638
0.1638
0.1638
surveys rely on cost information
provided from manufacturing plants not
located in California. The surveys are
similar in that they collect
manufacturing cost data for cheese,
butter, NFDM, and dry whey. However
there are differences, the most important
of which is using different samples of
plants than those reported in the earlier
CPDMP 2005 survey.
In the CPDMP 2005 survey, 16 cheese
plants provided cost data that were
incorporated to represent the weighted
average costs to manufacture cheese.
The 2006 survey represents data from 11
cheese plants of which 8 were among
the 16 plants participating in the 2005
survey. For butter, 4 plants provided
cost data in the 2006 survey and 2005
survey, but the surveys represent
different collections of sampled plants
with different production volumes.
Regarding butter manufacturing cost
data, the 2006 survey differs from the
early survey in that the 2006 survey
employed a different method for
allocating costs between butter and
NFDM production in plants that jointly
manufactured these products. For
NFDM, the plants sampled and reported
in the 2006 survey included all but one
of the plants sampled as part of the 2005
survey.
The determination of the adopted
make allowances for cheese, butter,
NFDM and dry whey are discussed
PO 00000
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Butter
$/lb
0.1725
0.1725
0.1846
0.1725
0.1108
0.1150
0.1108
NFDM
$/lb
0.1782
0.1782
0.1662
0.1782
0.1410
0.1410
0.1410
Dry whey
$/lb
0.2080
0.2080
0.1976
0.2080
0.1500
0.1590
0.1498
below. The make allowances adopted
represent national manufacturing cost
averages for cheese, butter, NFDM and
dry whey. As found and determined in
previous rulemakings on this issue, an
estimation of manufacturing costs for
national application requires that
national production volumes of these
commodities be considered in
determining the level of make
allowances to be relied upon and used
in the Class III and Class IV productpricing formulas. This is critical because
Class III and Class IV prices are the
same in all Federal milk marketing
orders.
Butter Make Allowance
The butter manufacturing cost data
presented in the CPDMP 2006 survey
reports weighted average costs based on
a sample of four plants. These data are
combined with the average cost data
from the most recent CDFA survey and
averaged over the 2006 national
production volume as published by
NASS. The combination of the weighted
average costs from the CPDMP and
CDFA surveys over the national
production volume plus a marketing
cost adjustment of $0.0015 yields a
make allowance $0.1715 per pound for
butter.
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NFDM Make Allowance
The NFDM manufacturing cost data
presented in the CPDMP 2006 survey
reports weighted average costs based on
a sample of 7 non-California plants.
These data are combined with the
weighted average costs reported by
CDFA and averaged over the 2006
national NFDM production volume as
reported by NASS. The combination of
the weighted average costs from the
CPDMP and CDFA surveys by the
national production volume plus a
marketing cost adjustment of $0.0015
yields a make allowance $0.1678 per
pound of NFDM.
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Cheese Make Allowance
The cheese manufacturing cost data
presented in the 2006 CPDMP survey
reports an average cost of producing a
pound of cheese of $0.1584 per pound.
This is significantly below the cost of
producing a pound of cheese reported
by the 2005 CPDMP survey. The cost
difference was explained by the
inclusion of fewer small plants in the
2006 survey. In addition, cheese
manufacturing costs of a larger plant
were included in the 2006 survey that
did not participate in the 2005 survey.
This led to 2006 survey results that are
heavily weighted towards larger volume
plants.
The record reveals that eight cheese
plants participated in both the 2005 and
2006 surveys and their costs increased
an average of $0.017 per pound of
cheese between the two survey years.
The Cornell researcher who
administered both surveys conceded
that this was the strongest conclusion
which can be drawn from the cheese
manufacturing data of the two surveys.
Supporters of relying on the $0.017
factor to compute a new make
allowance purport that this number can
simply be added to the 2005 CPDMP
plant average population cost of
$0.2028. This decision finds that
combining those two figures to compute
a new cheese make allowance is
procedurally incorrect. While a cost
increase of $0.017 is significant and may
be factually correct, it cannot be a factor
in determining a new make allowance
unless the original 2005 average
manufacturing cost of the eight plants is
included in the record. Therefore, use of
the $0.017 cost increase in determining
a new cheese make allowance is
rejected.
While the $0.017 cannot be used to
determine a new cheese make
allowance, the cost comparison between
the same samples of plants does reveal
that average manufacturing costs have
increased. However, comparing the
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weighted average cheese costs of the
two CPDMP surveys indicates that
processing costs have actually declined
$0.0054 per pound. This decision finds
that the inconsistencies between the two
CPDMP surveys call into question
whether either survey is representative
of cheese manufacturing costs.
Accordingly, for the purpose of
determining a make allowance for
cheese, the CPDMP 2006 survey results
for cheese are rejected.
This decision finds that the CDFA
2006 survey of average cheese
manufacturing costs is the best available
information representing the
manufacturing cost of producing a
pound of cheddar cheese. Accordingly,
the make allowance proposed for
adoption for cheddar cheese is $0.2003
per pound including $0.0015 per pound
marketing cost adjustment.
Dry Whey Make Allowance
Estimating the manufacturing cost of
producing dry whey presents a problem
similar to that for cheese. The most
recent published CDFA manufacturing
cost survey reveals that CDFA was not
satisfied with the precision in
estimating the average cost per pound
for whey products it discovered through
plant audits. In light of this concern
regarding dry whey manufacturing
costs, this decision does not rely on the
CDFA data.
This decision does rely on the CPDMP
2006 survey of the average
manufacturing cost to produce a pound
of dry whey. Relying solely on the
CPDMP 2006 survey is identical to the
approach used in determining the make
allowance for dry whey currently used
in the Class III price formula. The 2006
survey value of $0.1976 plus a
marketing cost adjustment of $0.0015
yields a dry whey make allowance of
$0.1991 per pound.
An issue was raised by Twin County
in its brief concerning an alleged
differential impact on small and large
businesses if make allowances or Class
III and IV price formulas are amended.
However, the purpose of the Class III
and IV price formulas and make
allowances is to set individual
minimum class prices for the Federal
milk order program on a national basis.
Butterfat Yield Factor
A proposal, published in the hearing
notice as Proposal 6, was included in a
package of proposals advanced by
DPNM seeking to amend the product
price formulas to more accurately
capture the use of modern
manufacturing technology and its
impact on milk value. A portion of
Proposal 6 seeks to amend the butterfat
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yield factor in the butterfat price
formula from 1.20 to 1.211 to account
for what DPNM and other participants
in this proceeding characterized as a
misapplication of farm-to-plant
shrinkage when the Class III and Class
IV product-price formulas were adopted
in November 2002 (67 FR 67906), and
became effective on April 1, 2003 (68 FR
7063).
Specifically, DPNM explained that the
current butterfat recovery factor of 1.20
used in the butterfat pricing formula is
the result of the incorrect application of
the butterfat shrinkage factor of 0.015
percent on a per pound of butterfat basis
rather than on a per cwt basis. As
explained by DPNW, the shrinkage
factor was, however, properly applied to
the butterfat adjustment portion of the
protein price formula. Correction of this
mathematical error removes this
inconsistency between the butterfat
pricing formula and the protein price
formula.
This decision agrees with DPNM and
others who support correction of this
error. In the 2002 final decision
adopting the current butterfat yield of
1.20, USDA correctly explained that
when accounting for the farm-to-plant
loss of milk, there is a 0.25 percent
butterfat loss per pound of butterfat,
plus an additional loss of 0.015 pounds
per cwt of milk. However, when
mathematically accounting for the loss
in the price formulas, the additional
0.015 pound of loss was applied on a
per pound of butterfat basis. This
decision corrects that error and adopts
a butterfat yield of 1.211.
Opponents of amending this factor do
not dispute that the current butterfat
yield factor used in the pricing formulas
is in error. Rather, opposition rests on
the premise that manufacturing
processors are already paying too much
for raw milk and attribute paying too
much to the in-plant shrinkage of
butterfat that cannot be processed into
a finished product. Furthermore,
adopting the 1.211 factor would result,
all other factors unchanged, in a higher
minimum price for raw milk. This
decision rejects such arguments. The
arguments are based on an unwanted
outcome and not on the basis of the
proper application of this factor. The
other features of Proposal 6 are not
adopted and those features are
discussed later in this decision.
Other proposals considered in this
proceeding address the three major
elements of the product-price
formulas—end-product prices used in
the formulas, manufactured product
yield factors and other intra-formula
cost factors. A proposal (Proposal 18)
advanced to establish an alternative
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approach to determining prices of raw
milk by attempting to develop a
competitive pay price also is
considered.
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Product Yields and Butterfat Recovery
Percentage
A package of proposals was advanced
by DPNM that seek to amend the
product-price formulas to capture the
use of more modern manufacturing
technology and its impact on milk value
(Proposals 6, 7, and 8). As already
discussed, a part of Proposal 6 seeking
to amend the butterfat yield factor in the
butterfat price formula from 1.20 to
1.211 is adopted. However, Proposal 6
also seeks to increase the butterfat
recovery percentage in the protein price
formula from 90 percent to 94 percent.
The argument for increasing this factor
is that new cheese manufacturing
technology has increased the amount of
butterfat that manufacturers could
possibly recover when making cheese. A
94 percent recovery rate will also
increase the blend price paid to
producers by $0.07 per cwt.
Opponents to increasing the butterfat
recovery rate, including LOL, NDA,
Sorrento, Leprino, MMPA, and H.P.
Hood presented evidence countering the
DPNM claim that a butterfat recovery in
excess of 90 percent is achievable
industry-wide. Many manufacturer
witnesses testified that their butterfat
recovery percentage in cheese is, on
average, 90 percent.
While the record contains evidence of
what butterfat recovery in cheese
production is possible by the use of
more modern manufacturing methods
and technology, the preponderance of
evidence reflects that many cheese
manufacturers generally achieve
butterfat recovery near 90 percent. It is
important that the product-price
formulas reflect current market
conditions, not market conditions that
may be possible but not widely
achieved or not reflective of general
industry wide conditions. Accordingly,
this decision rejects adoption of this
feature of DPNM Proposal 6.
A second proposal of the DPNM
package of proposals, Proposal 7, seeks
to eliminate the farm-to-plant shrink
adjustment factors in the Class III and
Class IV product-price formulas. The
argument by proponents is that modern
measurement and milk-handling
techniques, and the trend of
transporting full loads of milk from
single producers negate the need to
retain the shrinkage adjustment factors.
Opponents argue that in many
marketing areas, milk shipments are
commonly assembled from multiple
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farms and some farm-to-plant shrinkage
is inevitable.
Record evidence supports concluding
that farm-to-plant shrinkage remains a
reality for manufacturers. Numerous
witnesses testified regarding actual
average farm-to-plant shrinkage
experienced at their plants: LOL (0.343
percent); MMPA (0.3 percent); Leprino
(0.25 percent); and HP Hood (1.5
percent). While DPNM argued that its
members farm-to-plant shrinkage is well
below the 0.25 percent contained in the
Class III and Class IV product-price
formulas, no evidence was offered for
examination as an alternative other than
its elimination.
This decision finds that the Class III
and Class IV product-price formulas
should continue to recognize the loss of
milk that occurs when milk is moved
from the farm to a receiving plant. The
record also supports concluding that
some losses are outside the control of
the manufacturer. The 0.25 percent
shrinkage factor contained in the
formulas is a reasonable factor that
represents the loss of producer milk
when shipped from farm-to-plant.
Accordingly, Proposal 7 is not adopted.
A third proposal of the DPNM
package of proposals, Proposal 8, seeks
to increase the nonfat solids (NFS) yield
factor in the Class IV product price
formula and the yield factors for protein
and butterfat in the protein price
formula components of the Class III
product-price formula. The argument for
increasing these yield factors is that that
new technology could allow
manufacturers to achieve higher product
yields increasing the value of a cwt of
raw milk. Opponents counter that the
methodology used to derive the
proposed yield factors are flawed and
that no actual studies were offered to
support concluding that product yields
are higher than those currently provided
in the formulas.
As with the rejection of a portion of
Proposal 6 discussed above, the
preponderance of record evidence does
not support concluding that the NFS
yield or the cheese yield based on
protein and butterfat retention in cheese
manufacturing should be changed. The
record does not contain credible data
that shows that the proposed yields are
achievable. While the proponent offered
proposed yield factors from published
data, it failed to take into account
whether the addition of milk solids to
cheese vats was the likely source of
higher product yields. In fact, numerous
cheese manufacturers testified that
when economically feasible they
fortified their cheese vats to increase vat
yields. For these reasons this decision
finds that the current product yield
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factors used in the Class III and Class IV
product-price formulas are reasonable.
Accordingly, Proposal 8 is not adopted.
Value of Butterfat in Whey
Two proposals advanced by IDFA and
Agri-Mark, Proposals 9 and 10
respectively, seek to change the protein
price formula feature of the Class III
product-price formula by reducing the
protein price to reflect the lower market
value of whey cream. Proposal 9 also
seeks to further lower the protein price
to reflect the reduced recoverable
volume of whey cream in the cheese
making process. (During the proceeding
Agri-Mark withdrew its support of
Proposal 10 in support of IDFA’s
Proposal 9.) The argument for seeking
these changes is that that the volume of
milk contained in whey cream is
currently valued at the Grade AA butter
price but can only be sold as whey
butter (Grade B butter) or for other uses
with values below the Grade AA butter
price. Record evidence does indicate
that Grade B butter is marketed at a
discount to the Grade AA butter price
and is often marketed to commercial
food service establishments such as
bakeries. Although some hearing
participants (NAJ) suspect that the
volumes of whey cream produced and
the extent of a secondary market for
whey butter are relatively small, record
evidence also contains very limited data
regarding plant sales of whey butter.
More importantly, there is no known
publically available data for U.S. market
prices and volumes of whey butter
produced or sold.
Opponents (Dairylea, et al.) to IDFA’s
proposal acknowledge that while whey
cream does have a lower value than that
reflected in the Grade AA butter price,
other higher-value uses for whey cream
exist that also are not recognized.
Opponents argue that it would be
inappropriate to amend the butterfat
value to reflect a selected measure of
whey cream value while not considering
whey cream value in other (possibly
higher-value) uses.
The record does not support reducing
the protein price to account for
unknown volumes and values of whey
cream. Without publicly available
market data that measures and reports
whey cream volumes and prices, no
reasonable and objective means is
available to determine if or how whey
cream is unreasonably distorting the
protein price formula feature contained
in the Class III product-pricing formula.
The lack of verifiable data concerning
whey cream and/or its applicability to
any additional costs or value loss
experienced by cheese manufacturers
across the industry is unknown.
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Accordingly, Proposal 10 is not
adopted.
Barrel-Block Cheese Price Spread
Proposal 12 offered by IDFA and
supported by Leprino, DFA, NDA, AgriMark, and others, seeks to eliminate the
3-cent addition to the barrel price in the
protein price formula. The argument for
elimination from the protein price
formula is that the average price
difference between block and barrel
cheese was 3-cents when first
incorporated into the formula but now
there is now virtually no difference in
the packaging costs of blocks and
barrels. Proponents also argue that even
if there were a cost difference, that
difference would have been captured in
the CPDMP 2006 survey of
manufacturing costs. Other proponents
add to the argument that after the NASS
barrel cheese price was adjusted from 39
percent to 38 percent moisture content
in January 2001, the price difference
between barrels and blocks has averaged
$0.008 per pound.
The record contains only one cheese
manufacturer’s (Davisco) specific
packaging cost data for a single plant
located in Minnesota that produces
cheese in both blocks and barrels. That
plant’s average packaging cost for block
cheese was $0.0012 per pound more
than for barrels. Another cheese
manufacturer (Twin County) producing
exclusively cheese in barrels in Iowa
was unable to indicate whether it was
advantageous to their business to
support or oppose any change in the 3cent adjustment advanced in Proposal
12.
The record does not support a finding
for adopting Proposal 12. The argument
that any packaging cost differences that
exist between barrel and block cheese is
captured in the CPDMP 2006 survey is
inadequately supported. The record
reveals that all packaging costs reported
in the CPDMP 2006 survey were for 40pound block cheese production. If a
surveyed plant produced barrel cheese,
an average packaging cost for 40-pound
blocks was assigned to the plant.
Additionally, proponents assert that
since the price difference between
blocks and barrels is almost zero, it can
be concluded that any packaging cost
difference must also be nearly zero. This
decision does not find a causal
relationship between selling prices and
costs. While evidence does support that
market prices of blocks and barrels can
sometimes be identical, it cannot be
concluded that any purported cost
difference arising from packaging cost
differences must have also disappeared.
The sometime relatively similar market
prices of block and barrels could be
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explained by a multitude of factors not
relating to manufacturing and packaging
costs.
Packaging cost differences between
barrels and blocks may well be
negligible. While the record contains
packaging cost information for a single
plant that suggests similar packaging
costs of barrel and block cheese, such
evidence is insufficient to conclude that
this is representative across Federal
order manufacturing plants or should be
the basis for adopting the proposal.
Accordingly, Proposal 12 is not
adopted.
The proposal by DFA and NDA,
Proposal 13, seeks to eliminate the
cheese barrel price from the protein
price formula feature of the Class III
product-price formula, but not
testimony given in support of this
proposal. In addition to NDA proponent
support during the hearing and DFA
opposition to the adoption of the
proposal in their post-hearing brief,
significant opposition from others was
given. Opponents argue that because
barrel cheese represents roughly half of
the NASS price survey cheese volume,
removing the barrel price from the
protein price formula would greatly
reduce the total NASS survey volume
and thus make the price survey less
representative of the cheddar cheese
market.
This decision finds that retaining the
cheese barrel price in the protein price
formula is necessary to ensure that the
protein price is representative of the
national cheese market. The Class III
product-product price formula needs to
be as reasonably representative of the
market for cheese that determines the
value of milk. Record evidence reveals
that barrel production in the NASS
survey is often in excess of 50 percent
of the total cheese volume surveyed.
Eliminating the barrel price from the
protein price formula would
significantly and needlessly reduce the
volume of cheese used in the Class III
product price formula which could lead
to protein prices that are not as
representative of the national cheese
market. Accordingly, Proposal 13 is not
adopted.
Product Price Series
Proposal 14 advanced by Agri-Mark,
seeking to change the price data used in
the Class III and protein price formula
by combining NASS price survey data
for cheddar cheese with weekly average
CME cheese prices is presented as a
superior benchmark price for cheese.
The argument rests on the assertion that
2-week timing difference, or lag,
between the CME price and the NASS
price survey for cheese fails to capture
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changes in market prices in the current
value of cheese and the near-actual
Class III value. The proponent also
argues that adoption of this new price
series would reduce price volatility and
provide more up-to-date market
information than that currently
provided by the NASS price survey. In
other words, more current market
information would be transmitted
through minimum Class III prices and
provide more accurate pricing signals to
processors and producers.
Opponents to adoption of Agri-Mark’s
Proposal 14, including IDFA and its
members, collectively argue that
combining the CME price with the
NASS price would reduce the
usefulness of currently available risk
management tools. Those tools include
the use of futures contracts and the use
of forward contracts. Opponents also
note that the CME is a spot market
representing only about 4.1 percent of
all cheddar cheese traded and is not
representative of cheese being more
commonly produced and marketed on a
longer-term contract basis, that it adds
a degree of complexity to a pricingformula that is already too complex
without any discernible benefit and its
adoption would tend to bias price
reporting to the market conditions of the
Chicago area.
It is reasonable to expect that adding
a degree of complexity may tend to
reduce transparency and lessen the
understanding of the Class III and Class
IV product-pricing formulas. Other than
assertions by the proponent, the record
lacks evidence that combining CME
prices with NASS survey prices will
improve price discovery, market
information, or offer a superior
transmission of economic signals
through the minimum Class III price.
A rulemaking action on mandatory
product price reporting overtakes the
need to consider adoption of a new
price series that combines CME prices
with NASS survey prices. Improved
mandatory price reporting that provides
for auditing prices reported to NASS
and will make the accuracy, but not the
timing, of price data less of an issue
than envisioned during the course of the
hearing.
It would not be appropriate to
compare NASS and CME prices as being
coincident after accounting for their 2week lag until adequate data has been
collected against which a reasonable
price comparison can be made. If the
reported cheese prices in the NASS
reports are largely and similarly
reflective of CME prices, then the
proponent’s analysis and conclusions
retain validity. If large differences are
discovered between audited mandatory
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price reports compared with price
reporting that does not include auditing,
then Agri-Mark’s analysis of the 2 price
series being nearly identical may no
longer be reasonably recreated by a time
lag adjustment. Unaudited price
reporting includes all reporting prior to
the effective date of August 2, 2007, for
implementation of the mandatory price
reporting and auditing rulemaking.
Accordingly, Proposal 14 is not
adopted.
A proposal advanced by DPNM,
Proposal 15, seeking to replace the
NASS price series for cheese with the
CME price has similarities to that of
Proposal 14. It seeks to eliminate the 2week lag between CME prices and
NASS price reporting. DPNM argues
that using CME prices in the price
formula for cheese would provide
producers, marketers, and
manufacturers of cheddar cheese with
timelier prices and that CME represents
actual current cheese prices.
Opponents, including IDFA and its
members, NDA, Agri-Mark and DFA, as
in their opposition to the adoption of
Proposal 14, argue that the CME is too
thin a market to be relied upon for use
in the Class III product-price formula,
that the CME represents only about 4.1
percent of all cheddar cheese traded,
that its exclusive use would tend to bias
and limit the price reporting for cheese
to the market conditions of the Chicago
market, and that being a spot market for
cheese, it ignores other sales agreements
and marketing arrangements that
account for more than 95 percent of the
cheese marketed and largely captured in
the NASS price survey.
This decision agrees with opponents
in that cheese prices used in productprice formulas should reflect broad
market trends and not rely exclusively
on a smaller subset of cheese prices and
spot marketing conditions represented
by the CME. The record also makes clear
that more industry confidence is placed
on NASS price surveys than spot market
prices for cheese. Accordingly, Proposal
15 is not adopted.
Other Solids Price
Proposal 16, advanced by NAJ, seeks
to eliminate the other solids price and
expand the protein price formulas to
include the value of dry whey because,
according to NAJ, the value of whey lies
in its protein content. The proponent
asserts that the other solids price
formula does not connect the market
value of whey solids to how producers
are paid for whey. Therefore, the
proponent advocates that the value of
dry whey in the price formulas be
determined on the basis of its protein
content which will make the other
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solids price formula no longer
necessary.
IDFA and other opponents argue that
it would inappropriate to value dry
whey on a component (protein) that has
no measurable effect on the product
yield.
This decision finds that Proposal 16
would add no additional value arising
from protein to the marketwide pool. It
would simply shift the money attributed
to other nonfat solids into the protein
price formula and add a level of
complexity to the product price
formulas that would yield no
measurable benefit.
Record evidence does not support
eliminating the other nonfat solids
prices and shifting the value of dry
whey into the protein price formula.
Other solids in milk are composed
primarily of lactose, whey protein, ash
and other non-protein solids. Numerous
component markets, such as lactose and
dry whey, were evaluated during
Federal order reform to determine an
appropriate market on which to base the
other solids price. It was determined
that because no reliable lactose market
existed, the dry whey market was the
next best alternative. At this time, there
is still no reliable market for lactose on
which the other solids price could be
based. Therefore, this decision finds
that dry whey remains the most relevant
market on which to base the other solids
price. Accordingly, Proposal 16 is not
adopted.
Competitive Price Series
Proposal 18, advanced by the Maine
Dairy Industry Association (MDIA),
seeks to determine Class III and Class IV
prices with a competitive pay price
series rather than the current productprice formulas. The proposal seeks a
return to a competitive pay price used
by the FMMO program prior to 2000.
The proponent argues that adoption of
the proposed competitive pay price
series would eliminate the need for
establishing make allowances that,
when increased, reduce prices received
by dairy farmers.
A competitive pay price series
previously existed for nearly 40 years
and provided the foundation for all
classified prices set in the system of
milk marketing orders. A competitive
pay price series would negate the need
to directly consider manufacturing costs
and other factors such as product yields
and their relationship in deriving the
value of raw milk.
However, there are many details that
need resolution before the FMMO
program can return to basing classified
prices on a competitive pay price series.
For example, the proposed method is
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based on geographic areas (zones)
wherein strong competition for raw milk
prevails. A competitive pay price would
be derived by averaging prices from all
the competitive price zones. As
conceded by the proponent, these areas
would most likely be surrounded by
Federal milk marketing areas where
minimum classified prices prevail and
therefore milk prices within the
competitive price zones would be
influenced by milk priced under
adjoining Federal orders. Other
considerations, such as accounting for
various forms of in-kind payments to
producers, also need to be addressed.
Ignoring consideration of such subsidies
would allow plants to increase
(decrease) their hauling subsidies as a
way of reducing (increasing) the actual
pay price to dairy farmers.
For the same reasons articulated
regarding the need to abandon a
competitive price series, the only
current practical method upon which to
establish minimum Federal order prices
are product-price formulas. While other
methods have been considered, none
had superior benefits or had broadbased industry support other than
product-price formulas.
Therefore, this decision finds that
Proposal 18 cannot be implemented as
proposed. Accordingly, Proposal 18 is
not adopted.
Rulings on Motions
A motion for official notice of
publications and a final decision by the
CDFA was submitted by Agri-Mark, et
al., joined by Twin County Dairy, Inc.,
and supported by IDFA. This decision
takes official notice of these
publications. Accordingly, the motion is
rendered moot.
A motion and supplemental
information in support of that motion
seeking a continuance of the hearing for
the limited purpose of offering
additional data and analysis in
advancing Proposal 18 were submitted
by MDIA. A counter motion opposed to
MDIA’s motion was made by IDFA.
Offering new data and analysis by
continuing or re-opening the hearing for
the limited purpose of reconsidering
Proposal 18 would put all other hearing
participants advancing or opposing
proposals during the proceeding at a
disadvantage. This proceeding occurred
for 3 weeks held over the 6 month
period of February 2007 through July
2007. It also was preceded by an
information session in December 2006.
This decision finds that sufficient time
was made available to all known parties
to develop and present noticed
proposals. Accordingly, the motion is
denied.
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2. Determining Whether Emergency
Marketing Conditions Exist That Would
Warrant Omission of a Recommended
Decision
Evidence presented at the hearing and
in post-hearing briefs establishes that
current manufacturing allowances
contained in the product price formulas
do not reflect the current costs of
manufacturing milk into cheese, butter,
NFDM and dry whey. Data presented at
the hearing demonstrates that
manufacturing costs have increased
since manufacturing allowances were
last updated and implemented on
March 1, 2007. The method of
determining the new make allowances
proposed to be adopted in this tentative
decision is the same method used when
the current make allowances were
adopted and implemented. Issuance of a
recommended decision is not
reasonable as it would only delay
implementation of make allowances that
more reasonably reflect higher
manufacturing costs being incurred by
manufacturers. Additionally, the
method of determining the proposed
make allowances is the same as that
used in determining the make
allowances currently in use and is
known by handlers. The record also
shows that the yield factor in the
butterfat formula is not accurate. This
factor should be amended from the
current 1.20 to 1.211 to improve the
accuracy of the Class III and Class IV
product-pricing formulas. Improving the
accuracy of the formulas upon which all
classified milk prices are set in all
orders is critical in providing processors
with adequate revenue to maintain
operations and in providing producers
with market-based pricing signals from
which they base production and
marketing decisions. Accordingly, the
record clearly establishes a basis for
amending the orders on an interim
basis.
Consequently, it is determined that
emergency marketing conditions exist
that warrant omitting the issuance of a
recommended decision. The record
clearly establishes a basis as noted
above for amending the orders on an
interim basis. The opportunity to file
comments to the proposed amended
orders remains.
In view of these findings, an interim
final rule amending the orders will be
issued as soon as the procedures to
determine the approval of producers are
completed.
Rulings on Proposed Findings and
Conclusions
Briefs and proposed findings and
conclusions were filed on behalf of
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17:30 Jun 19, 2008
Jkt 214001
certain interested parties. These briefs,
proposed findings and conclusions, and
the evidence in the record were
considered in making the findings and
conclusions set forth above. To the
extent that the suggested findings and
conclusions filed by interested parties
are inconsistent with the findings and
conclusions set forth herein, the
requests to make such findings or reach
such conclusions are denied for the
reasons previously stated in this
decision.
General Findings
The findings and determinations
hereinafter set forth supplement those
that were made when the Northeast and
other marketing orders were first issued
and when they were amended. The
previous findings and determinations
are hereby ratified and confirmed,
except where they may conflict with
those set forth herein.
(a) The interim marketing agreements
and the orders, as hereby proposed to be
amended, and all of the terms and
conditions thereof, will tend to
effectuate the declared policy of the Act;
(b) The parity prices of milk as
determined pursuant to section 2 of the
Act are not reasonable in view of the
price of feeds, available supplies of
feeds, and other economic conditions
which affect market supply and demand
for milk in the marketing areas, and the
minimum prices specified in the
tentative marketing agreements and the
orders, as hereby proposed to be
amended, are such prices as will reflect
the aforesaid factors, insure a sufficient
quantity of pure and wholesome milk,
and be in the public interest; and
(c) The interim marketing agreements
and the orders, as hereby proposed to be
amended, will regulate the handling of
milk in the same manner as, and will be
applicable only to persons in the
respective classes of industrial and
commercial activity specified in,
marketing agreements upon which a
hearing has been held.
Interim Marketing Agreements and
Interim Order Amending the Orders
Made a part hereof are two
documents—an Interim Marketing
Agreement regulating the handling of
milk and an Interim Order amending the
orders regulating the handling of milk in
the Northeast and other marketing
areas—which have been decided upon
as the detailed and appropriate means of
effectuating the foregoing conclusions.
It is hereby ordered, that this entire
tentative partial decision and the
interim orders and the interim
marketing agreements hereto be
published in the Federal Register.
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Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4702
Referendum Order To Determine
Producer Approval; Determination of
Representative Period; and Designation
of Referendum Agent
It is hereby directed that referenda be
conducted and completed on or before
the 30th day from the date this decision
is published in the Federal Register, in
accordance with the procedure for the
conduct of referenda (7 CFR 900.300–
311), to determine whether the issuance
of the orders as amended and as hereby
proposed to be amended, regulating the
handling of milk in the Appalachian,
Arizona, Central, Florida, Mideast,
Northeast, Pacific Northwest, Southeast,
Southwest and Upper Midwest
marketing areas is approved or favored
by producers, as defined under the
terms of the orders (as amended and as
hereby proposed to be amended), who
during such representative period were
engaged in the production of milk for
sale within the aforesaid marketing
areas.
The representative period for the
conduct of such referenda is hereby
determined to be July 2007.
The agents of the Secretary to conduct
such referenda are hereby designated to
be the respective market administrators
of the aforesaid orders.
Interim Order Amending the Orders
Regulating the Handling of Milk in the
Northeast and Other Marketing Areas
This interim order shall not become
effective until the requirements of
§ 900.14 of the rules of practice and
procedure governing proceedings to
formulate marketing agreements and
marketing orders have been met.
Findings and Determinations
The findings and determinations
hereinafter set forth supplement those
that were made when the orders were
first issued and when they were
amended. The previous findings and
determinations are hereby ratified and
confirmed, except where they may
conflict with those set forth herein.
(a) Findings. A public hearing was
held upon certain proposed
amendments to the tentative marketing
agreements and to the orders regulating
the handling of milk in the Northeast
and other marketing areas. The hearing
was held pursuant to the provisions of
the Agricultural Marketing Agreement
Act of 1937, as amended (7 U.S.C. 601–
674), and the applicable rules of
practice and procedure (7 CFR part 900).
Upon the basis of the evidence
introduced at such hearing and the
record thereof, it is found that:
(1) The said orders as hereby
amended, and all of the terms and
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Federal Register / Vol. 73, No. 120 / Friday, June 20, 2008 / Proposed Rules
List of Subjects in 7 CFR Part 1000
Milk marketing orders.
Order Relative to Handling
It is therefore ordered, that on and
after the effective date hereof, the
handling of milk in the Northeast and
other marketing areas shall be in
conformity to and in compliance with
the terms and conditions of the order, as
amended, and as hereby amended, as
follows:
PART 1000—GENERAL PROVISIONS
OF FEDERAL MILK MARKETING
ORDERS
1. The authority citation for 7 CFR
part 1000 is amended to read as follows:
Authority: 7 U.S.C. 601–674, and 7253.
2. Section 1000.50 is amended by:
a. Revising paragraph (l);
b. Revising paragraph (m);
c. Revising paragraph (n)(2);
d. Revising paragraph (n)(3)(i);
e. Revising paragraph (o); and
f. Revising paragraph (q)(3).
The revisions read as follows:
§ 1000.50 Class prices, component prices,
and advanced pricing factors.
rwilkins on PROD1PC63 with PROPOSALS3
*
*
*
*
(l) Butterfat price. The butterfat price
per pound, rounded to the nearest one-
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19:53 Jun 19, 2008
Jkt 214001
hundredth cent, shall be the U.S.
average NASS AA Butter survey price
reported by the Department for the
month, less 17.15 cents, with the result
multiplied by 1.211.
(m) Nonfat solids price. The nonfat
solids price per pound, rounded to the
nearest one-hundredth cent, shall be the
U.S. average NASS nonfat dry milk
survey price reported by the Department
for the month, less 16.78 cents and
multiplying the result by 0.99.
(n) * * *
(1) * * *
(2) Subtract 20.03 cents from the price
computed pursuant to paragraph (n)(1)
of this section and multiply the result
by 1.383;
(3) * * *
(i) Subtract 20.03 cents from the price
computed pursuant to paragraph (n)(1)
of this section and multiply the result
by 1.572; and
*
*
*
*
*
(o) Other solids price. The other solids
price per pound, rounded to the nearest
one-hundredth cent, shall be the U.S.
average NASS dry whey survey price
reported by the Department for the
month minus 19.91 cents, with the
result multiplied by 1.03.
*
*
*
*
*
(q) * * *
(1) * * *
(2) * * *
(3) An advanced butterfat price per
pound rounded to the nearest onehundredth cent, shall be calculated by
computing a weighted average of the 2
most recent U.S. average NASS AA
Butter survey prices announced before
the 24th day of the month, subtracting
17.15 cents from this average, and
multiplying the result by 1.211.
as augmented by the provisions specified in
paragraph II hereof, shall be and are the
provisions of this marketing agreement as if
set out in full herein.
I. The findings and determinations, order
relative to handling, and the provisions of
§ ll to ll 6 all inclusive, of the order
regulating the handling of milk in the
llll 7 marketing area (7 CFR part ll); 8
and
II. The following provisions: § ll 9
Record of milk handled and authorization to
correct typographical errors.
(a) Record of milk handled. The
undersigned certifies that he/she handled
during the month of ll 10, ll
hundredweight of milk covered by this
marketing agreement.
(b) Authorization to correct typographical
errors. The undersigned hereby authorizes
the Deputy Administrator, or Acting Deputy
Administrator, Dairy Programs, Agricultural
Marketing Service, to correct any
typographical errors which may have been
made in this marketing agreement.
Effective date. This marketing agreement
shall become effective upon the execution of
a counterpart hereof by the Department in
accordance with Sec. 900.14(a) of the
aforesaid rules of practice and procedure.
In Witness Whereof, The contracting
handlers, acting under the provisions of the
Act, for the purposes and subject to the
limitations herein contained and not
otherwise, have hereunto set their respective
hands and seals.
Signature
By (Name)
lllllllllllllllllllll
(Title)
lllllllllllllllllllll
(Address)
lllllllllllllllllllll
(Seal)
Attest
lllllllllllllllllllll
[Note: The following will not appear in the
Code of Federal Regulations.]
conditions thereof, will tend to
effectuate the declared policy of the Act;
(2) The parity prices of milk, as
determined pursuant to Section 2 of the
Act, are not reasonable in view of the
price of feeds, available supplies of
feeds, and other economic conditions
which affect market supply and demand
for milk in the aforesaid marketing area.
The minimum prices specified in the
order as hereby amended are such
prices as will reflect the aforesaid
factors, insure a sufficient quantity of
pure and wholesome milk, and be in the
public interest; and
(3) The said orders as hereby
amended regulate the handling of milk
in the same manner as, and is applicable
only to persons in the respective classes
of industrial or commercial activity
specified in, a marketing agreement
upon which a hearing has been held.
*
35331
Dated: June 16, 2008.
David R. Shipman,
Acting Administrator, Agricultural Marketing
Service.
[FR Doc. E8–13943 Filed 6–19–08; 8:45 am]
Marketing Agreement Regulating the
Handling of Milk in Certain Marketing
Areas
The parties hereto, in order to effectuate
the declared policy of the Act, and in
accordance with the rules of practice and
procedure effective thereunder (7 CFR part
900), desire to enter into this marketing
agreement and do hereby agree that the
provisions referred to in paragraph I hereof,
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Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4702
BILLING CODE 3410–02–P
6 First
and last section of order.
of order.
8 Appropriate Part number.
9 Next consecutive section number.
10 Appropriate representative period for the order.
7 Name
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 73, Number 120 (Friday, June 20, 2008)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 35306-35331]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: E8-13943]
[[Page 35305]]
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Part IV
Department of Agriculture
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Agricultural Marketing Service
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7 CFR Part 1000
Milk in the Northeast and Other Marketing Areas; Tentative Partial
Final Decision on Proposed Amendments and Opportunity To File Written
Exceptions to Tentative Marketing Agreements and Orders; Proposed Rule
Federal Register / Vol. 73, No. 120 / Friday, June 20, 2008 /
Proposed Rules
[[Page 35306]]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
Agricultural Marketing Service
7 CFR Part 1000
[Docket No. AMS-DA-07-0026; AO-14-A77, et al.; DA-07-02-A]
Milk in the Northeast and Other Marketing Areas; Tentative
Partial Final Decision on Proposed Amendments and Opportunity To File
Written Exceptions to Tentative Marketing Agreements and Orders
AGENCY: Agricultural Marketing Service, USDA.
ACTION: Proposed rule; tentative partial final decision.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: This tentative partial final decision proposes to adopt
changes to the manufacturing cost allowances and the butterfat yield
factor used in Class III and Class IV product-price formulas applicable
to all Federal milk marketing orders on an interim basis. A separate
decision regarding the collection of manufacturing cost information,
the use of an energy cost adjustor and providing for a cost add-on
feature to Class III and Class IV product-pricing formulas will be
addressed in a separate decision. This tentative partial decision
requires determining if producers approve the issuance of the amended
orders on an interim basis.
DATES: Comments should be submitted on or before August 19, 2008.
ADDRESSES: Comments (six copies) should be filed with the Hearing
Clerk, Stop 9200--Room 1031, United States Department of Agriculture,
1400 Independence Avenue, SW., Washington, DC 20250-9200. Comments may
also be submitted at the Federal eRulemaking portal: https://
www.regulations.gov.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Jack Rower, Marketing Specialist,
USDA/AMS/Dairy Programs, Order Formulation and Enforcement, Stop 0231--
Room 2971-S, 1400 Independence Avenue, SW., Washington, DC 20250-0231,
(202) 720-2357, e-mail address: jack.rower@usda.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: This tentative partial final decision
proposes to adopt on an interim final and emergency basis, amendments
to the manufacturing (make) allowances for cheese, butter, nonfat dry
milk (NFDM) and dry whey powder contained in the Class III and Class IV
product price formulas. Specifically, this decision proposes to adopt
the following make allowances: Cheese--$0.2003 per pound; butter--
$0.1715 per pound; NFDM--$0.1678 per pound; and dry whey--$0.1991 per
pound. This decision also proposes increasing the butterfat yield
factor in the butterfat price formula from 1.20 to 1.211.
This decision also addresses proposals published in the hearing
notice as Proposals 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16 and
18 that seek to change various features of the Class III and Class IV
product-price formulas. Proposals seeking to establish a manufacturing
cost survey (Proposal 2), establish an energy cost adjustor (Proposal
17) and establish a cost add-on (Proposal 20), will be addressed in a
separate recommended decision.
This administrative action is governed by the provisions of
Sections 556 and 557 of Title 5 of the United States Code and,
therefore, is excluded from the requirements of Executive Order 12866.
The amendments to the rules proposed herein have been reviewed
under Executive Order 12988, Civil Justice Reform. They are not
intended to have a retroactive effect. If adopted, the proposed
amendments would not preempt any state or local laws, regulations, or
policies, unless they present an irreconcilable conflict with this
rule.
The Agricultural Marketing Agreement Act of 1937 (Act), as amended
(7 U.S.C. 604-674), provides that administrative proceedings must be
exhausted before parties may file suit in court. Under Section
608c(15)(A) of the Act, any handler subject to an order may request
modification or exemption from such order by filing with the U.S.
Department of Agriculture (USDA) a petition stating that the order, any
provision of the order, or any obligation imposed in connection with
the order is not in accordance with the law. A handler is afforded the
opportunity for a hearing on the petition. After a hearing, USDA would
rule on the petition. The Act provides that the district court of the
United States in any district in which the handler is an habitant, or
has its principal place of business, has jurisdiction in equity to
review the USDA's ruling on the petition, provided a bill in equity is
filed not later than 20 days after the date of the entry of the ruling.
Regulatory Flexibility Act and Paperwork Reduction Act
In accordance with the Regulatory Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601-
612), the Agricultural Marketing Service has considered the economic
impact of this action on small entities and has certified that this
proposed rule will not have a significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities. For the purpose of the Regulatory
Flexibility Act, a dairy farm is considered a small business if it has
an annual gross revenue of less than $750,000, and a dairy products
manufacturer is a small business if it has fewer than 500 employees.
For the purposes of determining which dairy farms are small
businesses, the $750,000 per year criterion was used to establish a
production guideline of 500,000 pounds per month. Although this
guideline does not factor in additional monies that may be received by
dairy producers, it should be an inclusive standard for most small
dairy farmers. For purposes of determining a handler's size, if the
plant is part of a larger company operating multiple plants that
collectively exceed the 500-employee limit, the plant will be
considered a large business even if the local plant has fewer than 500
employees.
For the month of February 2007, the month the initial public
hearing was held, the milk of 49,712 dairy farmers was pooled on the
Federal order system. Of the total, 46,729 dairy farmers, or 94
percent, were considered small businesses. During the same month, 352
plants were regulated by or reported their milk receipts to be pooled
and priced on a Federal order. Of the total, 186 plants, or 53 percent,
were considered small businesses.
This decision proposes that all orders be amended by changing the
make allowances contained in the formulas used to compute component
prices and the minimum class prices in all Federal milk orders.
Specifically, the make allowance for butter increases from $0.1202 to
$0.1715 per pound; the make allowance for cheese increases from $0.1682
to $0.2003 per pound; the make allowance for NFDM increases from
$0.1570 to $0.1678 per pound; and the make allowance for dry whey
increases from $0.1956 to $0.1991 per pound. The butterfat yield factor
in the butterfat price formulas is increased from 1.20 to 1.211.
The proposed adoption of these new make allowances serves to
approximate the average cost of producing cheese, butter, NFDM and dry
whey for manufacturing plants located in Federal milk marketing areas.
The established criteria for the make allowance changes are applied in
an identical fashion to both large and small businesses and will not
have any different impact on those businesses producing manufactured
milk products.
An economic analysis has been performed that discusses impacts of
the proposed amendments on industry
[[Page 35307]]
participants including producers and manufacturers. It can be found on
the AMS Dairy Web site at https://www.ams.usda.gov/dairy. Based on the
economic analysis we have concluded that the proposed amendments will
not have a significant economic impact on a substantial number of small
entities.
The Agricultural Marketing Service (AMS) is committed to complying
with the E-Government Act, to promote the use of the Internet and other
information technologies to provide increased opportunities for citizen
access to Government information and services, and for other purposes.
This tentative partial final decision does not require additional
information collection that needs clearance by the Office of Management
and Budget (OMB) beyond currently approved information collection. The
primary sources of data used to complete the forms are routinely used
in most business transactions. The forms require only a minimal amount
of information that can be supplied without data processing equipment
or a trained statistical staff. Thus, the information collection and
reporting burden is relatively small. Requiring the same reports for
all handlers does not significantly disadvantage any handler that is
smaller than the industry average.
Interested parties were invited to submit comments on the probable
regulatory and informational impact of this proposed rule on small
entities.
Economic Analysis
In order to assess the impact of the proposed changes in Federal
order producer price formulas, the Department conducted an economic
analysis. The complete analysis is available at on the Dairy Programs
Web site which can be accessed through https://www.ams.usda.gov.
The impacts of the proposed changes to the Class III and Class IV
pricing formulas contained in the tentative final decision are
summarized as changes from the USDA baseline on an annual basis and as
a nine-year average change from 2008-2016. Impacts on the Federal order
system are considered to be in the context of the broader U.S. market
for milk and dairy products.
Producers: The U.S. all-milk price falls an average $0.06 per cwt
(0.39 percent) from a baseline level of $16.22 per cwt over the nine-
year projection period. The average Federal order minimum blend price
at test averages $0.11 per cwt (0.68 percent) below the baseline level
of $16.43 per cwt. The lower milk prices result in a tightening of
production. In turn, Federal order marketings fall an average 145
million pounds (0.11 percent) below the baseline average of 126.5
billion pounds. Federal order cash receipts decrease an average $165
million (0.79 percent) from the $20.8 billion baseline receipts. U.S.
marketings come in an average 240 million pounds (0.13 percent) per
year below the baseline average of 187.8 billion pounds. The lower
marketings coupled with lower prices across the board result in an
average decline of $156 million (0.51 percent) in producer revenue from
the baseline average of $30.4 billion.
Milk Manufacturers and Processors: Increases to the make allowances
in Federal order minimum price formulas are advantageous for dairy
product manufacturers. Average wholesale prices over the projection
period exceed baseline by the following: Cheddar cheese by $0.0176 per
pound (1.14 percent), butter by $0.0346 per pound (1.89 percent),
nonfat dry milk by $0.0090 per pound (0.88 percent), and dry whey by
$0.0034 per pound (0.94 percent).
In spite of the higher product prices, the make allowance changes
are substantial enough that the nine-year average component prices fall
from baseline levels. The changes are as follows: Butterfat by $0.0014
per pound (0.07 percent), protein by $0.0451 per pound (1.96 percent),
nonfat solids by $0.0018 per pound (0.22 percent) and the other solids
price by $0.001 per pound (0.05 percent). Lower component prices are
carried through to lower skim milk pricing factors. The Class III skim
price falls an average $0.14 per cwt (1.72 percent) from a baseline
average level of $8.16 per cwt and remains the Class I price mover.
Consumers: The retail price of fluid milk is expected to decrease
an average of $0.0094 per gallon (0.27 percent) from the baseline
average price of $3.4135 over the nine-year projection period due to
the lower Class I price. Consumers respond, albeit modestly, to the
decreased prices as evidenced by the average 32 million pound (0.07
percent) increase in Class I marketings from a baseline average of 45
billion pounds over the projection period. Class II marketings increase
overall, indicating an increase in consumption of soft products
consistent with the slight decline in Class II prices. At the same
time, consumers face higher prices for hard manufactured dairy products
such as cheese, butter and nonfat dry milk and as a result, Class III
and Class IV marketings fall from baseline levels. Consumer demand for
hard manufactured dairy products is more elastic than for fluid milk
and soft products; consumers are more responsive to changes in price.
Government Outlays: With the expiration of the Milk Income Loss
Contract (MILC) program, and no activity under Dairy Export Incentive
Program (DEIP), any change to government outlays occurs through Milk
Price Support Program (MPSP) purchases. Baseline level prices are high
enough that few government purchases are expected. Under the proposed
changes, removals change only slightly at the beginning of the
projection period; remaining unchanged in from baseline in the long run
projection.
The proposed changes to Class III and Class IV pricing formulas
result in lower Federal order prices as well as higher manufactured
product prices. Thus, the gap between the price of milk and the
wholesale prices received by processors widens. At the same time, milk
producers face lower prices and respond by cutting back on production,
leading to lower marketings and producer revenue losses.
The decrease in the Federal minimum price for Class I milk is
passed on to consumers in the form of a slightly lower retail price for
fluid milk which increases consumption. However, tighter milk supply
bolsters manufactured product prices and in turn lowers consumption of
cheese, butter, and NDFM. Class I and Class II marketings increase, but
not enough to counteract the lower prices, allowing average receipts to
fall across all classes. Though prices for Class III and Class IV milk
decrease under the proposed changes, the decreased consumption of the
associated dairy products and the increase in Class I and Class II
product consumption causes a shift in dairy product allocation,
increasing the amount of milk allocated to Class II production.
Prior Documents in This Proceeding
Notice of Hearing: Issued February 5, 2007; published February 9,
2007 (72 FR 6179).
Supplemental Notice of Hearing: Issued February 14, 2007; published
February 20, 2007 (72 FR 7753).
Notice To Reconvene Hearing: Issued March 15, 2007; published March
21, 2007 (72 FR 13219).
Notice To Reconvene Hearing: Issued May 2, 2007; published May 8,
2007 (72 FR 25986).
Preliminary Statement
Notice is hereby given of the filing with the Hearing Clerk of this
tentative partial final decision with respect to the proposed
amendments to the tentative marketing agreements and the orders
[[Page 35308]]
regulating the handling of milk in the Northeast and other marketing
areas. This notice is issued pursuant to the provisions of the
Agricultural Marketing Agreement Act (AMAA) and applicable rules of
practice and procedure governing the formulation of marketing
agreements and marketing orders (7 CFR part 900).
Interested parties may file written exceptions to this decision
with the Hearing Clerk, United States Department of Agriculture, Room
1031--Stop 9200, 1400 Independence Avenue, SW., Washington, DC 20250-
9200, by the August 19, 2008, deadline. Six (6) copies of the
exceptions should be filed. Comments may also be submitted at the
Federal eRulemaking portal: https://www.regulations.gov.
A public hearing was held upon proposed amendments to the marketing
agreements and the orders regulating the handling of milk in the
Northeast and other marketing areas. The hearing was held, pursuant to
the provisions of the Agricultural Marketing Agreement Act of 1937
(AMAA), as amended (7 U.S.C. 601-674), and the applicable rules of
practice and procedure governing the formulation of marketing
agreements and marketing orders (7 CFR Part 900).
The proposed amendments set forth below are based on the record of
the first session of a public hearing held in Strongsville, Ohio, on
February 26-March 2, 2007, pursuant to a notice of hearing issued
February 5, 2007, published March 21, 2007 (72 FR 13219); a second
session of a public hearing held in Indianapolis, Indiana, on April 9-
13, 2007, pursuant to a reconvened hearing notice issued March 15,
2007, published March 21, 2007 (72 FR 13219); and a third session of a
public hearing held in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, on July 9-11, 2007,
pursuant to a reconvened hearing notice issued May 2, 2007, published
May 8, 2007 (72 FR 25986).
The material issues on the record of the hearing relate to:
1. Amending the product-price formulas used to compute Class III
and Class IV prices.
2. Determination of Emergency Marketing Conditions.
Findings and Conclusions
1. Amending the product-price formulas used to compute Class III and
Class IV prices
This tentative final decision adopts on an interim basis, a
proposal published in the hearing notice as Proposal 1 which seeks to
amend the manufacturing allowances for butter, cheese, nonfat dry milk
(NFDM) and dry whey using the most currently available data, and a
portion of Proposal 6 that increases the butterfat yield in the
butterfat price formula. Specifically, this decision adopts the
following manufacturing allowances: Cheese--$0.2003 per pound, butter--
$0.1715 per pound, NFDM--$0.1678 per pound and dry whey--$0.1991 per
pound. This decision also increases the butterfat yield factor in the
butterfat price formula from 1.20 to 1.211.
The Federal Milk Marketing Order (FMMO) program currently uses
product-price formulas to compute prices handlers must account for in
the marketwide pooling of milk used in the four classes of products.
These formulas rely on the price of finished products to determine the
minimum classified prices handlers pay for raw milk. In addition, the
Class III and Class IV prices form the base from which Class I and
Class II prices are determined. This end-product pricing system was
implemented on January 1, 2000 (published February 12, 1999; 64 FR
70868).
The product-price formulas are computed by using component values
from National Agricultural Statistic Service (NASS) surveyed prices of
manufactured dairy products. The pricing system determines butterfat
prices for milk used in products in each of the four classes from a
surveyed butter price; protein and other solids prices for milk used in
Class III products from surveyed cheese and dry whey prices; and a
nonfat solids price for milk used in Class II and Class IV products
from surveyed nonfat dry milk product prices. The skim milk portion of
the Class I price may be derived from either the protein and other
solids price, or from the nonfat dry milk price depending on the price
relationships. The butterfat, protein, other solids and nonfat solids
prices are all derived in a similar manner: Average NASS survey price
minus a manufacturing (make) allowance times a yield factor. The yield
factor is an approximation of the quantity of a specific product that
can be made from a hundredweight (cwt) of milk. The yield factors were
last amended on April 1, 2003 (published February 12, 2003; 68 FR
7063).
The make allowance factor represents the cost manufacturers incur
in making raw milk into one pound of product. Federal milk order
pricing formulas currently contain the following make allowances:
Cheese--$0.1682 per pound, butter--$0.1202 per pound, NFDM--$0.1570 per
pound and dry whey--$0.1956 per pound. These make allowances were
adopted in 2006 (71 FR 78333) and became effective on March 1, 2007,
and were determined on the basis of a California Department of Food and
Agriculture (CDFA) and a Cornell Program on Dairy Markets and Policy
(CPDMP) survey of manufacturing costs. The current make allowances,
except dry whey, were computed by taking a weighted average of the CDFA
and CPDMP surveys using National commodity production as the weights,
and adjusting for marketing costs. The dry whey make allowance was
computed by relying solely on the CPDMP 2005 survey and adjusting for
marketing costs.
Nineteen proposals were published in the hearing notice for this
proceeding. Proposals 4, 5 and 11 were withdrawn at the hearing by
proponents in support of other noticed proposals. No further reference
to these proposals will be made.
A proposal published in the hearing notice as Proposal 1, offered
by Agri-Mark Cooperative (Agri-Mark), seeks to amend the Class III and
Class IV make allowances by using the most current plant cost survey
data available. Agri-Mark is a Capper-Volstead cooperative with
approximately 1,400 member-owners throughout New England and New York,
and operates four manufacturing plants.
Agri-Mark is also the proponent of Proposal 2 that seeks to amend
the Class III and Class IV product price formulas to annually update
the manufacturing allowances using an annual manufacturing cost survey
of cheese, whey powder, butter, and nonfat dry milk plants (located
outside of California.) The proposed amendments would grant authority
to the Market Administrator to administer the survey, select the sample
plants, and collect, audit, and assemble cost information. This
proposal will also be addressed in a separate decision.
A proposal published in the hearing notice as Proposal 3, offered
by Dairy Producers of New Mexico (DPNM), seeks to amend the
manufacturing allowances contained in the Class III and Class IV
product price formulas. Specifically, this proposal seeks to set the
make allowances at the following levels: $0.1108 per pound for butter;
$0.1638 per pound for cheese; $0.1410 per pound for NFDM; and $0.1500
per pound for dry whey. DPNM is an association of dairy producers
located in New Mexico and West Texas.
DPNM is the proponent of Proposals 6, 7 and 8 that seek to amend
the yield factors and the butterfat recovery rate of the Class III and
Class IV product price formulas. Proposal 6 seeks to amend the butter
price formula by increasing the butterfat yield factor from 1.20 to
1.211
[[Page 35309]]
and to amend the protein price formula by increasing the butterfat
recovery rate from 90 percent to 94 percent. Proposal 7 seeks to
eliminate the farm-to-plant shrink and butterfat shrink adjustments of
all yield factors. Proposal 8 seeks to increase the nonfat solids yield
factor from 0.99 to 1.02, and increase the protein price yield factor
for cheese from 1.383 to 1.405 and for butter from 1.572 to 1.653.
Proposal 9 was offered by the International Dairy Foods Association
(IDFA). Proposal 9 seeks to amend the Class III and Class IV product-
price formulas by adjusting the protein price formula to reflect the
lower value and reduced volume of butterfat recoverable as whey cream.
IDFA is a trade association with 530 members representing
manufacturers, marketers, distributors, and suppliers of fluid milk and
related products.
Proposal 10 was submitted on behalf of Agri-Mark. Proposal 10 seeks
to amend the Class III and Class IV product-price formulas by reducing
the protein price to reflect the lower selling price of whey butter.
Proposal 12 was offered by IDFA. Proposal 12 seeks to amend the
Class III and Class IV product price formulas by eliminating the 3-cent
cost adjustment for cheese manufacturing of 500-pound barrels contained
in the protein price formula.
Proposal 13 was offered by Dairy Farmers of America, Inc. (DFA) and
the Northwest Dairy Association (NDA). Proposal 13 seeks to amend the
Class III and Class IV product-price formulas by removing the barrel
cheese price as a cost component of the protein price formula. DFA is a
Capper-Volstead cooperative with 13,500 member-owners producing milk in
40 states. NDA is a Capper-Volstead cooperative with approximately 610
member-owners, and operates 6 manufacturing plants and 4 distributing
plants in the western United States.
Proposal 14 was advanced by Agri-Mark. Proposal 14 seeks to amend
the Class III and Class IV product price formulas by using a
combination of the weekly NASS and CME cheese price series to determine
the cheese price contained in the Class III and Class IV product-price
formulas.
Proposal 15 also was offered by DPNM. This proposal seeks to
replace the NASS commodity price surveys with CME commodity prices in
each of the price formulas except for the other solids formula. The dry
whey price in the other solids formulas would continue to be derived
from the NASS dry whey price survey.
Proposal 16 was offered by National All-Jersey, Inc. (NAJ).
Proposal 16 seeks to amend the Class III and Class IV product-price
formulas by eliminating the other solids price and adding the
equivalent value of dry whey to the protein price formula. NAJ is a
breed organization with more than 1,000 members.
Proposal 17 was offered by the National Milk Producers Federation
(NMPF). The proposal seeks to amend the Class III and Class IV product-
price formulas to incorporate a monthly energy cost adjustment based on
monthly changes in the manufacturing price indices for industrial
natural gas and industrial electricity as published by the Bureau of
Labor Statistics. NMPF is an association consisting of 33 dairy-farmer
cooperative members representing nearly three-quarters of U.S. dairy
farmers. This proposal will be addressed in a separate decision.
Proposal 18 was offered by the Maine Dairy Industry Association
(MDIA). Proposal 18 seeks to amend the Class III and Class IV product-
price formulas by incorporating a factor to account for any monthly
spread between component price calculations for milk and a competitive
pay price for equivalent Grade A milk. MDIA is an association that
represents all of Maine's 350 dairy farmers.
A proposal published in a supplemental hearing notice as Proposal
20 was submitted on behalf of Dairylea Cooperative, Inc. (Dairylea).
Proposal 20 seeks to amend the Class III and Class IV price formulas by
establishing cost-of-production add-ons that manufacturers could
include in the selling price of their products but would not be
included in the determination of the NASS survey prices. Dairylea is a
Capper-Volstead cooperative with 2,400 member-owners located in seven
states. This proposal also will be addressed in a separate decision.
To provide order to the volume of hearing testimony and post-
hearing briefs, the summary of testimony is organized as follows:
1. Make Allowances: Proposals 1, 2 and 3
2. Product Yields and Butterfat Recovery Percentage: Proposals 6, 7
and 8
3. Value of Butterfat in Whey: Proposals 9 and 10
4. Barrel Cheese Price: Proposals 12 and 13
5. Product Price Series: Proposals 14, 15 and 18
6. Other Solids Price: Proposal 16
1. Make Allowances
A witness from Cornell University (Cornell witness) testified
regarding the 2006 manufacturing cost survey (2006 survey) conducted by
the Cornell Program on Dairy Markets and Policy (CPDMP), to assess the
manufacturing costs of plants producing cheddar cheese, dry whey,
butter and NFDM. The witness did not testify in support or opposition
to any proposal presented at the hearing. The witness explained that an
earlier study, the CPDMP 2005 manufacturing cost survey (2005 survey),
was contracted in part by USDA and was presented at a 2006 rulemaking
hearing (71 FR 52502), and were factors considered by USDA in
developing the make allowances that became effective March 1, 2007 (71
FR 78333). The witness said that some manufacturing plants that
participated in the 2005 survey requested a new survey to reflect more
current cost information.
The Cornell witness said that each of the plants that participated
in the 2005 survey were asked to participate in the 2006 survey. The
witness stated that 21 plants agreed to participate and of those plants
19 were deemed to have acceptable data to be included in the 2006
survey. Plants submitted data corresponding to their most recent fiscal
year; most of the data observations occurred in calendar year 2006, the
witness said. The data was not audited by the witness. The witness
explained that if a plant produced multiple products they were asked to
allocate manufacturing costs for each product. However, if they failed
to do so the witness allocated costs on a per pound of solids basis in
the finished product. The average manufacturing costs detailed in the
study were on a per pound of finished product basis and were not
adjusted for moisture content, the witness said.
The Cornell witness said that 11 cheese plants participated in the
2006 survey compared with 16 cheese plants in the 2005 survey. Eight of
those plants (one classified as a large plant and the other seven as
small plants) also participated in the 2005 survey; the three remaining
plants that participated in the 2006 survey were asked to participate
in 2005 but submitted data too late for its inclusion. The witness
testified that five small cheese plants that were included in the 2005
survey opted not to participate in the 2006 survey. Of the eleven
plants, the witness classified seven as small plants and the remaining
four as large volume plants. The witness testified that the weighted
average manufacturing cost of the 2006
[[Page 35310]]
cheese plant sample was $0.1584 per pound, a decrease of $0.0054 per
pound from 2005. The witness said that comparing the costs for the
eight plants that participated in both surveys revealed a weighted
average cost increase of $0.017 per pound between the 2005 and 2006
surveys. The total pounds covered by the 2006 survey increased from
approximately 60 million pounds in 2005 to nearly 119 million pounds in
2006. The Cornell witness asserted that the 2005 survey over-sampled
small plants while the 2006 survey over-sampled large plants. The
witness noted that the average packaging cost for cheese in the 2006
survey was only for 40-pound block production. If a plant produced
barrel cheese the witness assigned it an average 40-pound block
packaging cost before computing the average manufacturing costs for the
entire sample.
The Cornell witness said that seven whey plants participated in the
2006 survey and their weighted average cost was $0.1976 per pound--an
increase of $0.0035 per pound from the 2005 survey. According to the
witness, the seven participating whey plants were associated with a
cheese plant that was also included in the 2006 survey. The witness
noted that 12 whey plants participated in the 2005 survey.
The Cornell witness said that four butter plants participated in
the 2006 survey; three of the plants also participated in the 2005
survey. The weighted average cost of the four plants was $0.1846 per
pound, an increase of $0.0738 per pound over the 2005 survey. The
survey accounted for 57.6 million pounds of butter. The witness
testified that significant cost allocation problems and data quality
problems with the 2005 butter data were major reasons for the large
increase in the weighted average cost from 2005 to 2006. The witness
testified that the 2005 survey butter data was not accurate, but
asserted that the allocation problems were corrected in the 2006
survey. While maintaining that the 2006 survey data was reliable, the
witness said that a larger sample size would have been preferred. The
witness also noted that the manufacturing costs submitted by one of the
butter plants in the 2006 survey did include the cost of transporting
cream from its drying plant to its butter plant.
The Cornell witness said that the 2006 survey for NFDM consisted of
seven of the eight NFDM plants that participated in the 2005 survey.
According to the witness, the weighted average cost of the seven plants
was $0.1662 per pound, an increase of $0.0239 per pound from 2005. The
witness explained that the weighted average cost increase is partially
explained by increases in real costs (labor, packaging, etc.), but also
partly because of a change in the methodology of indirectly allocating
costs between butter and NFDM. According to the witness, there were
flaws in the method used to indirectly allocate costs for NFDM in the
2005 study that resulted in understating the cost of processing NFDM.
The witness claimed that an attempt was made in the 2006 survey to
correct this understated processing cost. The witness did not explain
the reported flawed methodology or the methodological changes for 2006.
According to the witness, the 2006 survey accounted for 70.1 million
pounds of NFDM, an increase of 15 million pounds.
A witness appearing on behalf of Agri-Mark testified in support of
Proposals 1 and 2. The witness explained that Proposal 1 seeks to
update the make allowances adopted on an interim final basis (71 FR
78333), effective March 1, 2007, using 2005 CDFA data. The witness
asserted that this update would increase the butter, NFDM and cheese
make allowances by $0.0014, $0.0092 and $0.0029 per pound,
respectively. The witness was of the opinion that the dry whey make
allowance should incorporate the 2005 CDFA data which reflects an
average cost of $0.2851 per pound.
The witness reiterated Agri-Mark's position expressed in comments
to the tentative final decision (71 FR 67467) that proposed adoption of
the current make allowances. The witness concluded that using this
weighting methodology (including a $0.0015 per pound marketing cost
factor) the resulting make allowances should be: $0.1780 per pound for
cheese, $0.1351 per pound for butter, $0.1510 for NFDM and $0.2090 per
pound for dry whey.
The Agri-Mark witness conceded that increasing the make allowances
would assist high-cost plants in covering their costs while creating a
financial windfall for low-cost plants. In turn, the witness said, the
low-cost plants could use the additional revenue to sell products at a
lower cost, pay producers a higher price, or increase their financial
returns. The witness said that any financial gains low-cost plants in
the Southwest earn from a high make allowance would not harm high-cost
plants in the Northeast because it is too costly to transport milk from
the Southwest to the Northeast. The witness believed that competitive
issues resulting from high make allowances would only arise if a low-
cost plant was located next door to a high-cost plant that competes for
the same milk supply.
The Agri-Mark witness advanced Proposal 2 seeking to establish an
annual manufacturing cost survey, administered by USDA that would
automatically update make allowances without requiring a rulemaking
proceeding. On brief, Agri-Mark withdrew the automatic updating portion
of this proposal. The witness explained that manufacturing input prices
fluctuate in the short-run and an annual survey would ensure the
timelier recognition of these fluctuations in make allowances. The
witness said that the CPDMP survey should provide the basic methodology
needed to conduct the survey and that any changes to the methodology
should be done through the formal rulemaking process. The witness
asserted that the survey should be administered by market administrator
audit personnel and the plant sample, preferably larger than the CPDMP
sample, should be selected by random sampling. The witness also
supported auditing surveyed plants and asserted that this function
should be funded by payments from the Market Administrator's
administrative assessment fund. The witness said that if the survey was
audited, the use of CDFA cost data would no longer be necessary in
determining make allowances. The witness also supported addressing the
proposed manufacturing cost survey in a recommended decision to allow
for public comments.
The Agri-Mark witness was of the opinion that based on the new
CPDMP survey the make allowances should be set at the higher of: (1) A
level that would allow a minimum of 80 percent of the producer milk
used by Class III and Class IV plants to cover their costs; or (2) a
level that would allow a minimum of 25 percent of the producer milk
volume used by Class III and Class IV plants in any specific Federal
order annually pooling at least 4 billion pounds of milk to cover their
costs. The Agri-Mark witness opposed Proposal 3.
A witness appearing on behalf of Land O'Lakes (LOL) testified in
support of Proposals 1 and 2. According to the witness, LOL is a
Capper-Volstead cooperative with over 3,000 members that own 4
manufacturing plants in the United States. The witness supported
updating the current make allowances with 2005 CDFA manufacturing cost
data as advanced in Proposal 1. The witness advocated that the audited
CDFA whey manufacturing cost data be included in the whey make
allowance computation. The witness asserted that the make allowances
should be recalculated by weighting the CDFA and
[[Page 35311]]
CPDMP data by the survey sample volumes, not national product volumes
which the witness argued was not statistically valid. The witness
concluded that the new make allowances (using LOL's proposed weighting)
should be as follows: $0.1780 for cheese; $0.2090 for dry whey; $0.1560
for NFDM; and $0.1351 for butter.
The LOL witness supported the annual cost survey offered in
Proposal 2, with technical modifications. The witness stated that the
authority for collecting plant cost data should be granted to the AMS
Administrator, that the plant sample be limited to plants located
outside of California that receive pooled (producer) milk, and that the
survey results are combined with the CDFA data to determine appropriate
Federal order make allowance levels. The witness opposed the portion of
Proposal 2 that would set make allowances at a level that would cover
the cost of manufacturing for the highest cost Federal order marketing
area. The witness said that classified prices are determined on a
national, not a regional basis, and therefore relying on regional costs
is inappropriate. The witness was of the opinion that USDA should
clearly identify the target product volume and percentage of plants
that should be covered by new make allowances that result from this
proceeding.
The LOL witness opposed Proposal 3 seeking to exclude CDFA
manufacturing cost data when computing new make allowances. The witness
argued that since 2000 the Department has continuously considered CDFA
manufacturing cost data when determining new make allowance levels and
asserted that there is no justification to modify that policy. The
witness elaborated that classified prices are determined using a
national survey that includes California plants and therefore including
California plant costs when determining make allowance levels is
appropriate.
A witness testifying on behalf of Michigan Milk Producers
Association (MMPA) testified in support of Proposals 1 and 2, and in
opposition to Proposal 3. According to the witness, MMPA is a Capper-
Volstead cooperative with approximately 2,400 members that markets 3.5
billion pounds of milk annually and operates 2 manufacturing plants.
The witness offered support for Proposal 1 to update the make
allowances based on the most currently available data, specifically the
2005 CDFA manufacturing cost data. The MMPA witness stressed support
for Proposal 2's annual survey of manufacturing costs that would be
administered by AMS through its market administrators.
A witness appearing on behalf of NDA testified regarding the CPDMP
2005 survey that was used to determine current make allowance levels.
The witness said that NDA participated in the study and that costs for
its NFDM plants were incorrectly allocated. The witness estimated that
NDA's NFDM production represented approximately 54 percent of the total
volume contained in the CPDMP 2005 survey for NFDM. In the survey,
cream costs were allocated on a butterfat solids basis rather than as a
percent of total solids, the witness said. However, according to the
witness NDA's NFDM plants separate the cream that is stored in silos to
be sold or transported to its butter manufacturing plant resulting in
an over-allocation of costs to cream in the CPDMP 2005 survey.
According to the witness, this misallocation inaccurately lowered NDA's
NFDM manufacturing costs by $0.036 per pound. The witness asserted that
after correcting for this error, the CPDMP 2005 survey for NFDM
weighted average cost should been $0.019 per pound higher. The witness
urged USDA to issue an emergency decision addressing make allowances
because of the errors contained in the CPDMP 2005 survey.
A post-hearing brief was filed on behalf of Agri-Mark, Foremost
Farms USA, LOL, MMPA, NDA and Associated Milk Producers, Inc.,
hereinafter referred to as Agri-Mark, et al. The members of Agri-Mark,
et al., are all Capper-Volstead cooperatives who market their members'
milk in the Federal order system and operate manufacturing plants.
The Agri-Mark, et al., brief emphasized its support for product-
price formulas because, in their opinion, no truly independent
competitive price series exists to determine milk prices. The brief
summarized the evolution of the Federal order pricing system and
asserted that USDA's past policy has been to set make allowances at
levels that cover the processing costs for most Federal order plants.
The brief expressed the opinion that USDA deviated from this policy
when determining current make allowance levels.
The Agri-Mark, et al., brief supported adoption of Proposal 1 and
argued that make allowances should be updated using the 2005 CDFA and
the CPDMP 2006 surveys. Agri-Mark, et al., was of the opinion that USDA
should continue to use the same national product volume weighting
methodology that determined the current make allowances, incorporate
CDFA whey cost data, use the CPDMP 2005 survey cheese plant population
average cost instead of the sample average cost and continue to include
a marketing cost factor of $0.0015 per pound in each make allowance.
In their post-hearing brief, Agri-Mark, et al., proposed that the
cheese make allowance be set at $0.2154 per pound. Agri-Mark, et al.,
wrote that the CPDMP 2005 survey cheese plant population average of
$0.2028 per pound was the most representative of average size plants
and therefore it is the best available information to determine an
appropriate cheese make allowance. Agri-Mark, et al., endorsed the
methodology explained in the IDFA brief that derived a cheese make
allowance of $0.2154 per pound.
The Agri-Mark, et al., brief proposed a dry whey make allowance of
$0.2080 per pound by combining the 2005 CDFA and the CPDMP survey of
2006 weighted average costs. Using this same methodology, the brief
proposed a butter make allowance of $0.1725 per pound and the NFDM make
allowance of $0.1782 per pound (though stipulating that the CDFA
medium-sized plant cost should be used for NFDM.) The brief summarized
the Cornell witness' testimony regarding the errors with the 2005
butter and NFDM survey methodology and concluded that the current make
allowances that were determined with this data are unrepresentative of
actual costs. Agri-Mark, et al., requested that Proposal 1 be adopted
on an emergency basis to rectify the current unrepresentative make
allowances.
In their brief, Agri-Mark, et al., expressed support for the
portion of Proposal 2 that would authorize USDA to develop and conduct
periodic manufacturing cost surveys of plants located outside of
California. The brief explained that this data could then be relied
upon in future rulemaking proceedings to amend the product price
formulas.
A witness testified on behalf of DPNM, Select Milk Producers, Inc.
(Select), and Continental Dairy Producers, Inc. (Continental).
Hereinafter, these entities will be referred to as DPNM, et al. The
witness said that Select and Continental are Capper-Volstead
cooperatives whose members are located in New Mexico, Texas, Kansas,
Ohio, Michigan and Indiana. According to the witness, the DPNM, et al.,
testimony was endorsed by Lone Star Milk Producers and Zia Milk
Producers, Inc., who are also Capper-Volstead cooperatives.
The DPNM, et al., witness testified in support of Proposal 3. The
witness was
[[Page 35312]]
of the opinion that CDFA cost data should not be used to determine new
make allowance levels because the data are only representative of
California manufacturing plants which the witness asserted have higher
manufacturing costs than the rest of the country. The witness testified
that CDFA data had been utilized in the past when make allowances were
determined using Rural Business Cooperative Service (RBCS) cost data
because the audited CDFA data broadened the available data and was used
to verify the information contained in the RBCS study. However, the
witness insisted that the CPDMP cost surveys are far more
representative of the population of manufacturing plants and should now
be relied upon as the sole determinant of make allowances.
The DPNM, et al., witness testified that make allowances should be
set at the following levels: $0.1108 per pound for butter; $0.1638 per
pound for cheese; $0.1410 per pound for NFDM; and $0.1500 per pound for
dry whey. The witness stated that except for dry whey, the proposed
make allowances are identical to the weighted average costs contained
in the CPDMP 2005 survey. The witness proposed that the dry whey make
allowance be determined by adding $0.0090 per pound to the NFDM make
allowance to account for the additional energy needed to produce dry
whey. The witness estimated that if the DPNM, et al's., proposed make
allowances are adopted, blend prices would increase by $0.22 per cwt.
A second witness, a dairy accountant and dairy farmer appearing on
behalf of DPNM, et al., testified regarding dairy farm operating costs,
accounting, and business analysis of large modern dairy farm
operations. According to the witness, the firm provides accounting and
other business services to dairy producer operations in 27 states whose
production volume represents about 10 percent of the milk produced in
the United States. The witness testified that based on data collected
during the 1990's, large dairy farms in six Western states had an
average annual net profit per cwt of $1.31. The witness testified that
based on 10 years' worth of client data, dairy farms in the west and
eastern states must earn a net income of $1.50 and $2.00 per cwt,
respectively, for a dairy farmer to collect a salary and retire debt.
The witness predicted that for 2007 producer client average gross
income of $15.51 per cwt and an average cost of production of $15.17
per cwt, would yield an average net profit of $0.34 per cwt. The
witness said that this was far from the $1.50 per cwt net profit needed
for their clients to reduce debt or cover living expenses.
The second DPNM, et al., witness stated that low milk prices in
2005 reduced dairy farm client income to an average of $206 per cow.
The witness noted that during the 1990s, average production cost per
cwt in western states was $11.87 but this has risen to $13.50 for 2004-
2005. The witness testified that rising input costs combined with lower
milk prices in 2004-2005 made large-scale, highly efficient dairy
farming unprofitable, even in low-cost operating areas such as west
Texas and New Mexico. The witness provided additional testimony to show
that increasing make allowances depressed dairy farmer income during a
period of increasing costs and reduced opportunities for profitability.
The witness supported this testimony with 2006 client data showing that
a farm milking 1,800 cows would have lost $284,000. The witness
provided detailed client data showing that the major higher-cost milk
production factors during 2005 and 2006 were increased energy and feed
costs.
A third witness, a dairy farmer, appearing on behalf of DPNM, et
al., testified in support of Proposal 3. The witness operates a farm in
New Mexico that milks approximately 3,800 cows and testified that they
have been receiving $1.50 cwt below the Southwest order's blend price
because of hauling costs. The witness said that over the last few years
any increase in producer milk prices has been consumed by rapidly
increasing production costs. The witness supported all proposals
submitted by DPNM and articulated opposition to adoption of Proposals 1
and 2.
The DPNM, et al., post-hearing brief explained its opposition to
all other proposals included in the hearing to adjust the make
allowances was based on three principles: (1) The data used to
determine the appropriate level of manufacturing allowances for
establishing Federal order prices should be drawn from plants operating
within the Federal order system; (2) adjustments to Federal order
pricing regulations should always be subject to formal rulemaking; and
(3) make allowances should be set at a level deemed appropriate by
USDA, after taking into consideration all statutorily required factors
and current milk marketing conditions, rather than prescribed
geographic or volumetric factors. The brief explained why the CPDMP
2005 survey is the best data available and met their criteria for use
in establishing Federal order make allowances and why the 2006 survey
is flawed and should not be relied upon in determining make allowances.
A witness appearing on behalf of IDFA testified in support of
Proposal 1 and the annual manufacturing cost survey advanced in
Proposal 2. However, the witness did not support adoption of the
portion of Proposal 2 that would result in the automatic update of make
allowances. The witness requested emergency adoption of Proposal 1 and
this request was reiterated in IDFA's post-hearing brief.
The IDFA witness testified that the product-price formulas
determine the minimum prices manufacturers must pay for their raw milk
and that those whose costs exceed the fixed make allowances in the
price formulas are unable to recoup their higher costs. The witness
asserted that any increase in the manufacturer's end product prices
would only result in an increase in the minimum raw milk price they
must pay. According to the witness, manufacturers also face financial
problems if any of the product-price formula factors are incorrect. The
witness illustrated by example the impacts of both inaccurate product
prices and inaccurate make allowances on manufacturers.
The IDFA witness testified that before January 1, 2000, the Federal
order system utilized a market-based pricing system which automatically
reflected current market conditions. However, under the end product
pricing system, market factors (e.g. yields, butterfat retention) are
set at a point in time and can only be changed through the formal
rulemaking process, the witness said.
The IDFA witness espoused that setting make allowances too high or
yield factors too low may result in low milk prices but that should not
be of concern to USDA. In this regard, the witness was of the opinion
that the Federal order system should only determine minimum prices and
allow market responses through over-order premiums to remedy any
regulated prices that are too low. However, the witness conceded that
if a plant can manufacture products at costs lower than those reflected
by the price formula make allowance levels then the difference could be
used to make plant investments, secure a larger milk supply to the
detriment of higher-cost plants or return higher margins to plant
owners.
The IDFA witness testified in support of updating the current make
allowances with the most current cost data available (Proposal 1). The
witness was of the opinion that the CDFA dry whey cost data should be a
factor in determining a new dry whey make allowance for Federal orders.
The
[[Page 35313]]
witness asserted that the CDFA average dry whey plant size more closely
resembled the NASS average dry whey plant size than did the CPDMP
survey. Furthermore, the witness asserted that the CDFA dry whey data
was skewed toward low cost plants, not high cost plants as asserted by
USDA. The witness maintained that using the CDFA data in determining
the dry whey make allowance would not cause the make allowance to be
set too high. The witness concluded that both the CDFA and CPDMP dry
whey weighted average costs should be used to determine the dry whey
make allowance and reiterated this position in its post-hearing brief.
Also in its post-hearing brief, IDFA stated that any decision made
by USDA on the Class III and Class IV pricing formulas should not
directly consider hearing testimony regarding dairy farmer cost-of-
production. The brief asserted that it is already captured indirectly
through the supply and demand for manufactured products and therefore
should not be given additional consideration in this proceeding.
The IDFA witness testified that USDA needs to correct for CPDMP's
stratified cheese plant sampling which in IDFA's opinion over-
represents low-cost cheese plants. The witness highlighted testimony of
the Cornell witness which compared the eight cheese plants that
participated in both surveys revealing an average manufacturing cost
increase of 1.7 cents per pound. IDFA was of the opinion that since the
same cheese plant sample was not used in the two CPDMP surveys, the
most appropriate method for determining a new cheese make allowance
would be to use the weighted average cost from the 2005 survey
($0.2028) plus 1.7 cents for a total of $0.2198 per pound. In its
brief, IDFA concluded that the new make allowances should be set no
lower than the following: $0.2154 per pound for cheese; $0.1725 per
pound for butter; $0.1782 for NFDM; and $0.2080 for dry whey.
The IDFA witness supported adopting an annual manufacturing cost
survey as contained in Proposal 2 but opposed any automatic updating of
make allowances. The witness said that an annual survey would provide
industry participants information regarding trends in plant costs and
such information could be used in future hearings to adjust make
allowances. However, the witness did not support automatically updating
make allowances outside of the hearing process because it would
prohibit industry input regarding how the data should be utilized. IDFA
reiterated these views in its post-hearing brief.
The IDFA witness testified in opposition to Proposal 3. The witness
argued that audited CDFA data should continue to be included when
determining new make allowance levels. The witness asserted that the
elimination of the CDFA data would result in lower make allowances that
in their opinion are already too low. In its post-hearing brief, IDFA
asserted that the proponents of Proposal 3 had presented no evidence
that manufacturing costs have decreased to levels similar to the
manufacturing costs reflected in make allowances that were effective
prior to February 1, 2007.
A witness appearing on behalf of Lactalis American Group, Inc.
(Lactalis) testified in support of Proposal 1 and in opposition to
Proposal 3. According to the witness, Lactalis operates six cheese
plants in the United States. The witness expressed support for IDFA's
positions. The witness said that the Class III and Class IV product-
price formulas should be amended to give more flexibility to market
participants in establishing market prices. The witness was of the
opinion that increasing make allowances by adopting Proposal 1 would
give processors the flexibility to make short-term adjustments in
response to changing market conditions. The witness argued that the
increasing milk supply, not make allowances which are too high, is the
cause of low milk prices received by dairy farmers. Therefore, the
witness opposed any proposals that would result in lower make
allowances.
A witness appearing on behalf of Leprino testified in opposition to
Proposal 3 stating that there is no basis to set make allowances below
current levels. According to the witness, Leprino operates nine
manufacturing plants throughout the United States that produce Italian
style cheeses. The post-hearing brief filed by Leprino expressed
support for the make allowances proposed in IDFA's post-hearing brief.
Leprino was of the opinion that make allowances should be set no lower
than the following: $0.2154 for cheese; $0.2080 for dry whey; $0.1725
for butter; and $0.1782 for NFDM.
A witness appearing on behalf of Saputo Cheese USA (Saputo), a
dairy manufacturer, testified in support of IDFA's positions. The
witness testified that Saputo opposed any proposal which would add
complexity to the Federal milk order system. The witness supported
updating the current make allowances to reflect the most current
available data as sought in Proposal 1 and that updated make allowances
for dry whey should use CDFA data.
A post-hearing brief filed on behalf of Twin County Dairy (Twin
County), an Iowa-based cheese manufacturer, expressed support for the
proposals offered by IDFA and Agri-Mark that seek to increase make
allowances. However, the brief asserted that the proposals do not go
far enough to ensure that medium-sized plants such as those operated by
Twin County remain profitable. The brief argued that the proposed make
allowances are heavily weighted toward large, low-cost plants and their
adoption, especially the dry whey make allowance, would cause financial
hardship on many cheese manufacturing plants that are similar in size
to Twin County. Twin County insisted that even though product-price
formulas are applied identically to large and small plants, USDA should
conduct a regulatory impact analysis because in Twin County's opinion,
product-price formulas have a disproportionate impact on small
businesses compared with larger entities that may benefit from
advantages of economies of scale.
A witness appearing on behalf of HP Hood LLC (HP Hood) testified in
opposition to Proposals 1, 2 and 3. According to the witness, HP Hood
is a manufacturer of Class I and Class II dairy products that are
distributed nationally. The witness opposed Proposals 1, 2 and 3
because their adoption would change the Class III and Class IV milk
pricing formulas that in turn are used to determine the Class I and
Class II prices that HP Hood pays for its raw milk supply. The witness
opposed adoption of any proposal that would result in the automatic or
periodic updating of the Class III and Class IV pricing formulas
arguing that such updates should be made through the formal rulemaking
process.
A witness appearing on behalf of NAJ offered an amendment to
Proposal 2. The witness said the amendment would expand the
manufacturing cost survey to include gathering manufacturing cost data
for whey protein concentrates (WPC's) and lactose. This inclusion was
reiterated in NAJ's post-hearing brief.
A Michigan dairy farmer testified regarding the profitability of
dairy farmers and in opposition to adopting any proposals that would
increase make allowances. The witness was opposed to increasing make
allowances until the price formulas are amended to recognize a farmer's
cost of production. The witness stated that on-farm fuel costs were
$35,000 in 2004 and had risen to $70,000 in 2006. The witness asserted
that there are many Michigan dairy farmers considering leaving the
dairy industry because of increased costs and low milk prices. The
witness also
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expressed the opinion that NASS NFDM prices were misreported or under-
reported during the prior 12 months.
A post-hearing brief submitted on behalf of O-AT-KA Milk Products
Cooperative, Inc., (O-AT-KA) expressed support for Proposals 1 and 2,
and opposition to Proposal 3. According to the brief, O-AT-KA is a
Capper-Volstead cooperative located in New York and its plant
manufactures 600 million pounds of milk annually into butter and NFDM.
The brief stressed that changes to the make allowances and other
factors of the product price formulas need to accurately represent the
current manufacturing market. O-AT-KA expressed support for Proposal 1
and was of the opinion that the CPDMP 2006 survey should be considered
a minimum when setting make allowances. According to the brief, O-AT-
KA's plant manufacturing costs are higher than the CPDMP 2006 survey
weighted average NFDM cost. O-AT-KA also wrote that they compete
directly with California plants and requested that USDA should keep the
Class IV and California Class 4a prices aligned if it recommends any
changes to the product price formulas. O-AT-KA noted support for
Proposal 2, but not the portion that calls for automatically updating
make allowances. The O-AT-KA brief opposed adoption of Proposal 3
because it would inhibit their ability to provide balancing services to
the market and a fair return to its member-owners.
A joint post-hearing brief filed on behalf of Dairylea and DFA,
hereinafter referred to as Dairylea, et al., opposed adoption of
Proposals 1 and 2. The brief opined that the current make allowances
should be used with the addition of the energy adjustor advanced in
Proposal 17 and cost add-ons described in Proposal 20. The Dairylea, et
al., brief supported the NAJ modification of Proposal 2 to expand the
NASS product price survey to include information on whey protein
concentrates.
2. Product Yields and Butterfat Recovery Percentage
A witness appearing on behalf of DPNM, et al., testified in support
of Proposals 6, 7 and 8. The witness testified that before January 1,
2000, the Federal milk order price discovery mechanism took into
account dairy farmers' cost of production when determining minimum
regulated prices. If farmers' costs of production increased, the
witness said that manufacturers were able to pay farmers higher prices
because on-farm production costs could be passed on to their customers.
However, under the current pricing system, the witness argued, minimum
prices to dairy farmers are based on the average prices of dairy
products sold nationally during the month. As a result, the witness
asserted, dairy farmers have experienced financial hardship because
they are unable to pass on their higher costs to the marketplace.
The DPNM, et al., witness was of the opinion that Proposals 6, 7
and 8 should be considered jointly as coordinated adjustments to the
various yield factors to ensure that dairy farmers receive a fair
minimum price. In its post-hearing brief, DPNM, et al., added that
Proposals 3 and 15 also should be considered in conjunction with
Proposals 6, 7 and 8 because together they address all parts of the
current product price formulas.
The DPNM, et al., witness testified in support of Proposal 6
seeking to increase the butterfat yield factor from 1.20 to 1.211. The
witness said that this change would correct for a mathematical error in
calculating farm-to-plant shrinkage. The witness explained that in the
2002 final decision that established the current farm-to-plant
shrinkage factor, shrinkage allocated to butterfat loss should have
been calculated on a per cwt of milk basis, not on a per pound of
butterfat basis. DPNM, et al., noted on brief that no witnesses at the
hearing disagreed with this assertion.
The DPNM, et al., witness also offered a modification to Proposal 6
seeking to amend the butterfat credit in the protein price. The witness
explained that when USDA adjusted the butterfat yield factor in the
protein price formula to 1.572 in 2002 to account for farm-to-plant
shrinkage, the butterfat credit portion of the protein formula was not
adjusted to an equivalent of 89.4 percent. The witness estimated that
increasing the butterfat yield factor from 1.20 to 1.211 and decreasing
the butterfat credit portion of the protein