Nonforeign Area Cost-of-Living Allowance Rates; Puerto Rico and Hawaii County, HI, 30727-30734 [E8-12020]
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30727
Rules and Regulations
Federal Register
Vol. 73, No. 104
Thursday, May 29, 2008
This section of the FEDERAL REGISTER
contains regulatory documents having general
applicability and legal effect, most of which
are keyed to and codified in the Code of
Federal Regulations, which is published under
50 titles pursuant to 44 U.S.C. 1510.
The Code of Federal Regulations is sold by
the Superintendent of Documents. Prices of
new books are listed in the first FEDERAL
REGISTER issue of each week.
OFFICE OF PERSONNEL
MANAGEMENT
5 CFR Part 591
RIN 3206–AL28
Nonforeign Area Cost-of-Living
Allowance Rates; Puerto Rico and
Hawaii County, HI
Office of Personnel
Management.
ACTION: Final rule.
AGENCY:
SUMMARY: The Office of Personnel
Management (OPM) is changing the
cost-of-living allowance (COLA) rates
received by certain white-collar Federal
and U.S. Postal Service employees in
Puerto Rico and Hawaii County, HI. The
changes are the result of interim
adjustments OPM calculated based on
relative Consumer Price Index
differences between the cost-of-living
allowance areas and the Washington,
DC, area. OPM is also making an
additional one-time adjustment to the
Puerto Rico COLA rate based on the
impact of the new sales tax in Puerto
Rico. This regulation increases the
COLA rate for Puerto Rico to 13 percent
and the COLA rate for Hawaii County,
HI, to 18 percent.
DATES: Effective date: June 30, 2008.
Implementation date: First day of the
first pay period beginning on or after
June 30, 2008.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
J. Stanley Austin, (202) 606–2838; fax:
(202) 606–4264; or e-mail:
COLA@opm.gov.
Section
5941 of title 5, United States Code,
authorizes Federal agencies to pay costof-living allowances (COLAs) to whitecollar Federal and U.S. Postal Service
employees stationed in Alaska, Hawaii,
Guam and the Northern Mariana
Islands, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin
Islands (USVI). Executive Order 10000,
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SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
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as amended, delegates to the Office of
Personnel Management (OPM) the
authority to administer nonforeign area
COLAs and prescribes certain
operational features of the program.
OPM conducts living-cost surveys in
each allowance area and in the
Washington, DC, area to determine
whether, and to what degree, COLA area
living costs are higher than those in the
DC area.
As required by section 591.223 of title
5, Code of Federal Regulations, OPM
conducts COLA surveys in the Alaska,
Pacific, and Caribbean areas on a 3-year
rotating basis, and in the Washington,
DC, area on an annual basis. OPM sets
the COLA rate for each area based on
the results of these surveys. For areas
not surveyed during a particular year,
OPM computes interim adjustments to
COLA rates based on the relative change
in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for
the COLA area compared with the
Washington, DC, area. (See 5 CFR
591.224–591.226.)
OPM adopted the COLA survey
methodology pursuant to the stipulation
for settlement in Caraballo et al. v.
United States, No. 1997–0027 (D.V.I.),
August 17, 2000. Caraballo was a classaction lawsuit in which the plaintiffs
contested the prior methodology OPM
used to determine COLA rates. In the
Caraballo settlement, the parties agreed
that if the Government adopted and
maintained certain changes in the COLA
program, the plaintiffs would be barred
from bringing suit over these issues. The
stipulation for settlement is available on
OPM’s Web site at https://www.opm.gov/
oca/cola/settlement.asp.
Before the settlement, the parties
entered into a memorandum of
understanding under which they
engaged in a cooperative process to
study living-cost and compensation
issues. The research was exhaustive and
covered essentially all aspects of the
COLA program. A summary of that
research is available at https://
www.opm.gov/oca/cola/research.asp.
Exhibit A of the Caraballo settlement
agreement lists 26 ‘‘Safe Harbor
Principles’’ that outline the changes to
which the parties agreed. These
principles formed the basis for a new
COLA methodology, which OPM
incorporated into its regulations. In
developing these regulations, OPM
consulted with the Survey
Implementation Committee, which was
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established under the Caraballo
settlement and is composed of
representatives of the parties in
Caraballo. The Survey Implementation
Committee in turn consulted with the
Technical Advisory Committee, which
was also established under the
Caraballo settlement and is composed of
three economists with expertise in
living-cost comparisons. OPM
published proposed regulations
incorporating the new methodology in
the Federal Register for notice and
comment on November 9, 2001, at 66 FR
56741, and a final rule on May 3, 2002,
at 67 FR 22339. The Survey
Implementation Committee and the
Technical Advisory Committee worked
closely with OPM in preparing for and
implementing the 2002, 2003, and 2004
COLA surveys.
On September 12, 2007, at 72 FR
52169, OPM published a Federal
Register notice conveying the results of
the 2006 interim adjustments for the
Pacific and Caribbean COLA areas. We
did not compute interim adjustments for
the Alaska COLA areas because we
surveyed Alaska in 2006. The interim
adjustments indicated that, except for
Hawaii County and Puerto Rico, the
COLA rates for the Pacific and
Caribbean COLA areas were set at the
appropriate levels. For Hawaii County,
the adjustments indicated an increase in
the COLA rate from 17 percent to 18
percent. For Puerto Rico, the
adjustments indicated an increase in the
COLA rate from 10.5 percent to 11
percent.
On September 6, 2007, at 72 FR
51200, OPM proposed to further
increase the Puerto Rico COLA rate to
13 percent to account for the impact on
prices of the new Puerto Rico sales tax.
This increase supersedes the 1 percent
reduction previously proposed by OPM
on October 27, 2006, at 71 FR 63176,
which was based on the 2005 Caribbean
survey results.
Discussion of Comments
We address comments received in
response to the 2007 proposed rule on
the rate increases in Puerto Rico and
Hawaii County, HI, in this section. We
also received comments in response to
the 2006 proposed rule to reduce the
COLA rate in Puerto Rico. Although the
rate reduction will not be implemented,
we also respond to these comments in
this section.
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2007 Proposed Rate Increases
Rising Living Costs
We received 253 comments in
response to the 2007 proposed rate
increases in Puerto Rico and Hawaii
County, HI. Most of the commenters in
Puerto Rico said they support the
proposed increase in the Puerto Rico
COLA rate; however, many commenters
believed the increase should be higher
than proposed. A number of
commenters cited a rise in the
Consumer Price Index produced by the
Puerto Rico Department of Labor and
Human Resources and other indicators
as a basis for a higher COLA rate.
As required by section 5941 of title 5,
U.S. Code, we compare living costs in
the COLA areas with living costs in the
Washington, DC, area to determine
COLA rates. We survey the prices of
over 240 items to use in the cost
comparisons. The comparisons result in
indexes that reflect how COLA area
prices measure against DC area prices
over a given period of time. The
comparisons result in indexes that do
not necessarily correspond to rising (or
falling) prices in the COLA areas. For
instance, if living costs in a COLA area
rise, but living costs in the DC area rise
more sharply, the COLA rate for the area
would decrease. Conversely, if COLA
area living costs decrease, but DC area
living costs decrease more sharply, the
COLA rate for the area would increase.
This regulation increases the COLA
rate in Puerto Rico from 10.5 percent to
13 percent based partially on the
relative change in the 2006 CPI for
Puerto Rico compared with the
Washington, DC, area and partially to
account for the new sales tax
implemented after the 2005 survey.
While this change provides a 2.5
percent increase in the COLA rate for
Federal employees in Puerto Rico, the
actual change from the 2005 survey
index of 103.32 (3 percent) to the
adjusted index of 112.94 (13 percent)
correlates to an effective increase of 10
percent. (The 3-percent COLA rate
indicated by the 2005 surveys was to be
implemented in annual 1-percentagepoint reductions.)
We used the CPI produced by the
Puerto Rico Department of Labor and
Human Resources for the 2006 interim
adjustment for Puerto Rico. The Puerto
Rico Department of Labor and Human
Resources has since revised its
methodology for producing the CPI.
This change in producing the CPI does
not affect the COLA index used for the
Puerto Rico rate increase implemented
in this regulation, but likely will affect
future Puerto Rico interim adjustment
comparisons.
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A number of commenters noted that
certain costs have increased since OPM
conducted the survey. They cited the
cost of gasoline, housing, utilities,
airline tickets, grocery items, medical
needs, automobile expenses, various
fees and taxes, and other items. Several
commenters believed we should survey
more frequently. We recognize that
prices for various items will increase in
the COLA areas and/or the DC area
between surveys. We collect prices in
each survey area every 3 years on a
rotating basis according to a schedule
agreed upon by the parties in the
Caraballo settlement. As noted
previously, we adjust area price indexes
in non-survey years based on the
relative change in the CPI for the COLA
area compared with the CPI for the
Washington, DC, area.
One commenter said OPM should
survey the cost of water, gas, electricity,
and telephone utilities. We survey each
of these items. We published a list of the
items we surveyed in the Caribbean and
DC areas in appendix 3 of the 2005
Caribbean Survey Report at 71 FR
63197.
Puerto Rico Sales Tax
Several commenters believed OPM
did not fully account for coverage of the
new Commonwealth and municipio
sales tax, particularly with grocery
items. We proposed a one-time
adjustment to the Puerto Rico COLA
index based on the sales tax, which had
not yet been captured by the COLA
surveys or reflected in the CPI
adjustments. We obtained information
on the applicability of the sales tax from
the Puerto Rico Department of the
Treasury (Hacienda). Using this
information, we applied the sales tax to
covered survey items to determine an
aggregate indicator of the impact of the
tax on the Puerto Rico COLA index. The
index increased by 1.9 points,
translating to a COLA rate increase of 2
percent. We did not attempt to account
for variations in tax coverage by
municipio as these variations would
likely have an inconsequential effect on
the index. Similarly, we did not account
for price reductions for survey items no
longer subject to the general excise tax
because the effect would also likely be
inconsequential. In the future, the sales
tax will be added to the prices we
survey and will be reflected in the
Puerto Rico CPI used for the interim
adjustments.
One association advocated making the
Puerto Rico increase retroactive to
November 5, 2007, the effective date of
the new sales tax. Paragraph (d) of
section 553 of title 5, U.S. Code,
requires that regulations be issued with
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an effective date at least 30 days after
publication. The Caraballo settlement
agreement requires that we publish rate
changes pursuant to section 553.
Recruitment and Retention
One commenter said the current
economy in Puerto Rico is likely
causing recruitment and retention
problems. OPM is concerned about the
Government’s ability to recruit and
retain a well-qualified workforce and
notes that the Government has several
pay authorities that are available to
address recruitment and retention
problems. Among these are special
salary rates and recruitment, retention,
and relocation incentives. OPM’s Web
site at https://www.opm.gov/oca/pay/
index.asp provides information on pay
authorities to assist in agency
recruitment and retention efforts.
Locality Pay
Several commenters noted their
opposition to an Administration
legislative proposal that would
transition employees in the COLA areas
to locality pay over a 7-year period. The
commenters said a change to locality
pay would lead to a decrease in net
salaries in Puerto Rico because locality
pay is subject to income tax. The
proposed legislation would reduce
COLAs by 85 percent of the added
locality pay amount to help offset (by 15
percent) the tax liability of locality pay,
but would not relieve employees of their
total tax responsibility. Unlike with
COLAs, all Federal employees, whether
in the COLA areas or the 48 contiguous
States and Washington, DC, must pay
income tax on locality pay. Under the
proposed legislation, a change to
locality pay would also eliminate future
COLA rate reductions and increases,
confer retirement credit where the
COLA did not, and provide higher pay
potential not restricted by the 25percent cap that applies to COLA rates.
Taxes
A number of commenters noted that
the Puerto Rico income tax is higher
than the Federal income tax paid by
employees in other areas. By law, we
must compare living costs in the COLA
areas with living costs in the
Washington, DC, area to determine the
COLA rates for the areas. In the DC area,
employees pay Federal income tax,
State income tax (Virginia and
Maryland), city income tax (DC), local
income tax (Maryland counties), and
personal property tax (Virginia
counties). Employees in all areas have
varying tax obligations depending on
income, dependents, deductions, and
other factors. Because of the complexity
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involved, we do not attempt to
determine the aggregate income tax
liability for employees in the COLA
areas and the DC area for comparison
purposes. The extent to which the total
tax burden may be higher in a COLA
area than in the DC area is covered by
the adjustment factor we add to the
price index for each COLA area
pursuant to the Caraballo settlement
agreement.
Rate Variations
A number of commenters said Hawaii
and the U.S. Virgin Islands have a
similar economic situation to Puerto
Rico, but have higher COLA rates. One
commenter thought that costs in Puerto
Rico justified the same 25 percent COLA
received by employees in Alaska and
Hawaii. Two commenters said that
prices are higher in Puerto Rico because
items must be imported. There are
innumerable economic influences that
affect prices in an area, including
poverty rate, housing vacancy rate,
availability of goods and services,
competition, and importation costs. We
survey using the same methodology and
essentially the same marketbasket in all
areas. We survey the final cost to the
consumer of items and services in each
area. The final cost includes any
overhead, transportation and shipping
costs, taxes, competition, and other
price influences. Additionally, we
survey catalog prices for a number of
items and include in the price the costs
for shipping, sales tax, and excise tax,
which are often higher in the COLA
areas relative to the Washington, DC,
area.
We use this data to compare living
costs in the COLA areas with living
costs in the DC area. The surveys and
subsequent interim adjustments have
indicated a 25-percent COLA rate for the
U.S. Virgin Islands and 3 of the 4
allowance areas in Hawaii, but a 10percent rate for Anchorage, AK, a 19percent rate for Fairbanks, AK, and a 20percent rate for Juneau, AK. The
Anchorage COLA index is below the
index for Puerto Rico. Actual COLA
rates are currently higher in Alaska
because the Caraballo settlement
established rates based on historical
levels in the areas. The COLA rates in
Alaska remain higher than indicated by
OPM’s surveys because we may reduce
rates by no more than 1 percent in a 12month period. We have published at 73
FR 772 a proposed second rate
reduction, from 24 to 23 percent, for
Anchorage, Fairbanks, and Juneau.
One commenter described how his
living costs increased on moving to
Puerto Rico from Texas. As noted
earlier, section 5941 of title 5, U.S.
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Code, requires that we compare living
costs in Puerto Rico with living costs in
the Washington, DC, area to set the
Puerto Rico COLA rate. We do not
conduct cost-of-living surveys in other
areas of the continental United States.
Housing Costs
Two commenters noted the high cost
of housing in safe neighborhoods and
high mortgage rates in Puerto Rico. As
stipulated by the Caraballo settlement,
we use rental equivalence to determine
shelter costs in the COLA areas. We
discuss the rental survey, including
neighborhood selection, later in this
section.
Hawaii County
Two commenters said there should be
separate COLA rates for the east (Hilo)
and west (Kona) sides of the island of
Hawaii because prices in these areas are
not equal. There are communities in
each of the nonforeign COLA areas (and
in the DC area) that are more expensive
than other communities within the same
COLA area. It is not feasible or practical
to segment each of these communities,
many of which share numerous
economic characteristics, into
independent survey areas with separate
COLA rates. For this reason, we do not
plan to split Hawaii County into two
separate COLA areas. However, we
remain open to a mutual
recommendation on this issue from the
COLA Advisory Committees in Hilo and
Kona.
2006 Proposed Reduction
We received 204 comments in
response to the 2006 proposed
reduction in the Puerto Rico COLA rate
published at 71 FR 63176. Although the
increase implemented by these
regulations supersedes the 2006
proposed reduction, we respond to the
comments we received in the discussion
that follows.
Increasing Costs
Many of the commenters said OPM
should not reduce COLA rates because
Puerto Rico living costs were increasing.
As noted previously, section 5941 of
title 5, U.S. Code, requires that we
measure costs in the COLA areas against
costs in the Washington, DC, area to
determine COLA rates. We increase the
COLA rate if the difference in living
costs between the COLA area and the
DC area increases and reduce the rate if
the difference in living costs between
the COLA area and the DC area
decreases. As provided by 5 CFR
591.228(c), we reduce COLA rates by no
more than 1 percentage point in a 12month period.
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A number of commenters referred to
publications or other surveys showing
high or rising costs in Puerto Rico,
indicating the COLA rate should be set
higher. We measure costs using the
methodology stipulated in the Caraballo
settlement and cannot comment on the
methodology used by other publications
and surveys. We conduct on-site
surveys in each survey area and collect
more than 4,600 prices on over 240
items representing typical consumer
purchases. We collect prices at over 900
outlets, including grocery, hardware,
electronics, and department stores, as
well as automobile dealers, doctors,
dentists, insurance companies, and
many other providers of goods and
services. We collect these prices in both
the COLA and DC areas to use in the
price comparisons that determine each
area’s COLA rate.
Numerous commenters noted that
certain costs increased after OPM
conducted the 2005 survey and that the
survey data were outdated. They cited
the cost of gasoline, housing, utilities,
grocery items, medical needs, various
fees and taxes, and other items. Many
commenters requested that OPM survey
again. As noted previously, we
recognize that prices for items may
increase in the COLA areas and/or the
DC area between surveys. We collect
prices in each survey area every 3 years
on a rotating basis according to a
schedule agreed upon by the parties in
the Caraballo settlement. As stipulated
in the settlement, we adjust COLA rates
annually between surveys based on the
relative change in the CPI for the COLA
area as compared with the Washington,
DC, area. We discuss this adjustment in
the notice on the 2006 interim
adjustments published at 72 FR 52169.
These adjustments are designed to
account for price fluctuations between
surveys. The 2006 interim adjustment
calculation raised the Puerto Rico index,
making the proposed COLA rate
reduction no longer necessary.
New Sales Tax
We received a number of comments
on the new sales tax in Puerto Rico. As
we discussed previously, we are
implementing an adjustment to account
for the impact of the sales tax as part of
the rate increase to 13 percent.
Rate Change Delay
One agency commented on the delay
in implementing COLA rate
adjustments. As set out in the Caraballo
settlement, we survey each COLA area
on a triennial basis and make interim
adjustments based on CPI changes in the
years between surveys. We also may
make adjustments based on special
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circumstances, such as with the Puerto
Rico sales tax adjustment. While we
make efforts to implement COLA rate
adjustments in a timely fashion, we
must follow the rulemaking procedures
mandated by the Administrative
Procedure Act (section 553 of title 5,
U.S. Code) and various other statutory
and regulatory requirements before
implementing any rate change. These
requirements largely determine the
interval for making a rate change
effective.
Comparison With DC
The same agency also commented on
the use of Washington, DC, as the basis
for COLA living-cost comparisons.
While the agency conceded that this
requirement is in statute (section 5941
of title 5, U.S. Code), it observed that the
DC area has become more expensive
over time, resulting in less variance
between the DC and COLA areas.
Because the requirement to use
Washington, DC, as the basis for
comparison is mandated in the statute
that authorizes COLAs, we do not have
authority to address this issue by
regulation.
COLA/Locality Pay
The agency also raised the issue of
replacing the nonforeign area COLA
with locality pay. The Federal
Employees Pay Comparability Act of
1990 authorizes locality pay only for
Federal employees in the contiguous 48
States and Washington, DC. We do not
have authority to address this issue by
regulation. However, as noted earlier in
this section, the Administration has
submitted proposed legislation for
consideration by Congress that would
convert employees from COLAs to
locality pay over time.
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Recruitment, Relocation, and Retention
Incentives
The agency noted that reductions in
COLA rates may require greater use of
discretionary authorities, such as
recruitment, relocation, and retention
incentives. As noted previously, OPM’s
Web site at www.opm.gov/oca/pay/
index.asp provides information on pay
authorities to assist in agency
recruitment and retention efforts.
Employee Involvement
One commenter believed OPM did
not conduct the survey in Puerto Rico
with local Federal employees. The
commenter indicated that OPM should
have surveyed a sample of Puerto Rico
Federal employees. We conduct on-site
price surveys of a marketbasket of goods
and services representing typical
consumer purchases as prescribed by
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the Caraballo settlement. Observers
from the Puerto Rico COLA Advisory
Committee, which is composed of
current Federal employees who live in
Puerto Rico, accompanied the OPM data
collectors during the non-rental price
survey. Before the 2005 Caribbean
survey, we established a COLA
Advisory Committee in each of the
survey areas. As described in 5 CFR
591.243, each Committee is composed
of approximately 12 agency and
employee representatives from the
survey area and two representatives
from OPM. We held 3-day meetings
with the COLA Advisory Committees in
each area to be surveyed to plan the
COLA surveys. During the 2005 survey,
the Committee members assisted OPM
staff in collecting non-rental data, and
after the survey the Committee members
had the opportunity to review all of the
survey results, including the results of
the rental survey. Although COLA
Advisory Committee members helped
plan the rental survey and had the
opportunity to review the rental survey
results in detail, Committee members
did not participate in the rental data
collection as observers.
Rental Surveys
One local union in Puerto Rico
offered extensive comments on the
Puerto Rico rental survey. The union
disputed the overall veracity, reliability,
and adequacy of the rental data
collected in Puerto Rico. The union
claimed OPM knowingly and willfully
harmed Puerto Rico employees through
the fashion in which it collected,
evaluated, analyzed, and utilized the
rental data in Puerto Rico. The union
and many other commenters asserted
that OPM’s actions did not conform to
the Caraballo settlement or Safe Harbor
Principles 5 (regarding quality and
quantity comparisons), 18 (regarding the
hedonic housing model and rental
equivalence), and 22A (regarding survey
plans and methodology).
As noted previously, the Caraballo
settlement prescribed the methodology
we use to conduct COLA surveys and
set COLA rates. The settlement
stipulates that OPM use a rental
equivalence approach to estimate
shelter costs and a hedonic regression
approach to compare housing of similar
quality. The Technical Advisory
Committee economists worked with
OPM and the Survey Implementation
Committee to develop methodologies for
the rental equivalence and hedonic
regression processes. The settlement
agreement did not require OPM to use
a particular method to collect rental
data; however, OPM provided its draft
rental data collection specifications and
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procedures to the Survey
Implementation Committee and
Technical Advisory Committee for
review and comment.
We contracted for the services of a
company with an outstanding depth of
experience in rental data collection to
survey rental properties in the COLA
areas for the 2004 through 2007 surveys.
The contractor collected the data in
essentially the same manner in all areas.
Using parameters defined by OPM, the
contractor collected rental data on-site
in Puerto Rico from March 13 through
May 5, 2005. Following its survey of the
Caribbean areas, the contractor surveyed
the Washington, DC, area. The
contractor delivered the rental survey
data to OPM in June 2005. We manually
reviewed the rental data and performed
various computer-based quality
assurance checks on the rental database.
We believe the 2005 rental survey was
in full conformance with the settlement
agreement and was stringently
conducted under the rental equivalence
and hedonic regression methodology
mutually developed by the Survey
Implementation Committee, Technical
Advisory Committee, and OPM.
The union further maintained the
rental data did not accurately reflect the
areas or types of housing units where
Federal employees live. The union said
that only a small percentage of the
rental observations in Puerto Rico were
in areas where the median income level
equals or exceeds the local average
Federal salary. The union also said OPM
and the Technical Advisory Committee
invented new categories of housing
units, ‘‘apartments in home’’ and
‘‘other,’’ almost exclusively for Puerto
Rico. The union said these two
categories of housing units were
substandard and not representative of
where Federal employees live.
We used data from the 2000 census
that show the number of Federal
employees and the number of housing
units by municipio to determine which
locations to survey and how many
samples the rental survey contractor
should attempt to collect in each
location. We allocated more samples to
locations that have a large number of
Federal employees and a large number
of housing units and fewer samples to
locations that have a small number of
Federal employees and housing units. If
the location had no Federal employees,
we excluded the location from the
survey.
We held a 3-day meeting with the
Puerto Rico COLA Advisory Committee
on January 18–20, 2005, to plan the
2005 Puerto Rico rental and non-rental
surveys. At the meeting, we shared with
the Committee a map that showed the
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rental survey locations and the
requested number of samples from each
location. At the Committee’s request, we
agreed to further refine the survey
locations using zip codes where
practical. We did this for the San Juan,
Carolina, and Bayamon municipios.
We also collect information that
reflects the quality of neighborhoods
and use additional information from the
Bureau of the Census to introduce
supplementary variables to the hedonic
regressions that indicate neighborhood
quality. To do this, we identify the
census tract in which each rental
observation is found and then add
variables, such as median income,
percent of school-age persons, and
percent of people in the area with B.A.
degrees or higher, to the hedonic
regressions. Those variables that prove
to be statistically significant and
increase the precision of the rent index
are used in the final hedonic regression
equation.
In the 2005 hedonic regression
analysis, we tested whether median
income or median income paired with
median income squared should be
included in the equation. We found that
median income was not a statistically
significant variable at the 99.9
confidence level and dropped it from
the hedonic regression.
The variable ‘‘Type of Unit’’ has eight
subcategories: (1) Detached house, (2)
duplex, (3) triplex, (4) townhouse/row
house, (5) in-home apartment, (6) walkup apartment, (7) high rise apartment,
and (8) other. An ‘‘in-home apartment’’
is usually in a structure one to three
stories tall with generally four or five
units within the structure. Sometimes
the original structure is a large, older
home that has been converted to
apartments. In other cases, the original
structure may have been a triplex or
quadplex. These units were found only
in Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin
Islands—none were found in the DC
area. We tested the effect of dropping all
in-home apartments in Puerto Rico in
the final hedonic regression equation.
The net result was a slight increase in
the Puerto Rico rent index from 63.49 to
63.95, which had an inconsequential
effect on the final survey living-cost
index.
Units classified as ‘‘Other’’ are
apartments in larger buildings that are
not duplexes, triplexes, high rise
apartments, typical walk-up apartment
complexes, or in-home apartments.
These were found mainly in Puerto
Rico. In consultation with the Technical
Advisory Committee, we collapsed
‘‘Type of Unit’’ into three subcategories:
(1) Apartments of any kind, (2)
townhouse/row house/duplex/triplex,
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and (3) detached house. ‘‘Collapsing’’
means combining two or more variables
or subcategories within a variable. We
generally do this when the variable or
subcategory parameter estimates are
similar and doing so improves the
accuracy of the survey area parameter
estimates. We assigned units classified
as ‘‘in-home apartment’’ and ‘‘other’’ to
the ‘‘apartments of any kind’’
subcategory. We then used hedonic
regressions to compare the COLA area
rents with DC area rents, while holding
quality and quantity constant.
The union claimed OPM did not
exercise any supervision over the
contractor’s data collection and
accepted all data submitted by the
contractor. We engaged a number of
controls on the rental data furnished by
the contractor. We established the
specifications and locations for the
rental survey in the contract and
provided that payment would be made
only for properties meeting the
specifications. We required progress
reports, shortfall reports, and other
documentation during the course of the
rental survey. As noted previously, we
performed quality assurance checks on
the data delivered by the contractor,
including manually comparing property
data against the property photograph(s)
and sketch. We mapped the properties
using longitude and latitude coordinates
to verify geographic locations.
Additionally, we provided the rental
data to Puerto Rico agency and union
representatives on the Puerto Rico
COLA Advisory Committee for
evaluation and comment.
Disparate Treatment
The union stated that OPM treated
Puerto Rico COLA employees in a
disparate fashion because of national
origin and without regard to unique
linguistic and cultural differences. The
union cited misspellings in the rental
data as evidence that the data collectors
encountered a serious language barrier.
OPM and the rental contractor respect
linguistic and cultural differences in
Puerto Rico. Both OPM and the
contractor assigned Spanish-speaking
data collectors, some of whom were
former residents of Puerto Rico, to the
price and rental surveys. In addition,
OPM arranged for observers from the
Puerto Rico COLA Advisory Committee,
which is composed of current Federal
employees who live in Puerto Rico, to
accompany the data collectors surveying
non-rental prices. The rental data
contained some misspellings in
business names and street addresses,
but the overall rental data were highquality and fulfilled the COLA survey
specifications for rental prices in Puerto
Rico. Misspellings in names and
addresses did not affect the rental prices
used to determine the rent index.
We conduct COLA surveys the same
in all areas using the methodology
prescribed by the Caraballo settlement.
The rental survey contractor similarly
does not vary its approach for collecting
rental data in the COLA areas. To the
extent cultural differences in Puerto
Rico affect prices, the survey accounts
for such differences. Additionally, we
add 7 points to the Puerto Rico COLA
index to account for other costs that
may be influenced in part by local or
cultural differences. For the rental
surveys, we note that cultural
differences likely explain variations in
advertising methods (e.g., more rent-byowner signs in Puerto Rico) and the
quantities of certain housing types (such
as in-home apartments) between Puerto
Rico and the DC area. We discuss these
variations elsewhere in this section.
The union said that OPM made
significant changes to the Alaska and
Pacific rental surveys based on the
union’s comments, but did not employ
the changes in the 2005 Caribbean rental
survey. We made refinements in the
hedonic regression analysis, including
adding listing source and self
identification refusal as variables based
on the union’s comments, but applied
all changes uniformly to the 2005, 2006,
and 2007 surveys. We also initiated trial
observation of the rental survey in the
2006 Alaska survey based on the
union’s comments; however, as we note
in the discussion that follows, we plan
to extend the trial period through the
2008 Caribbean survey.
Rental Survey Observers
The union believed OPM should have
allowed observers from the Puerto Rico
COLA Advisory Committee to
accompany the contractor on the 2005
rental surveys in Puerto Rico. We
permitted observers from the COLA
Advisory Committees to accompany
OPM data collectors conducting the
non-rental price surveys beginning with
the 2002 Caribbean surveys, but did not
similarly arrange for observers to
accompany the contractor conducting
the rental surveys. The union originally
requested that we permit observers for
the 2005 rental surveys during a presurvey meeting of the Puerto Rico COLA
Advisory Committee on January 18,
2005. At that time, the contract for the
rental surveys did not provide for
observers. We determined there was not
sufficient time to consider and resolve
various issues (e.g., higher contract
costs, logistical problems, and possible
conflict of interest), establish ground
rules for observers, and issue a contract
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modification before the scheduled 2005
rental data collection. Although we
could not provide for rental survey
observers in 2005, we did arrange for
the contractor to meet with the Puerto
Rico COLA Advisory Committee and
answer questions regarding the data
collection process.
Following the 2005 rental surveys, we
negotiated with the contractor to permit
rental survey observers on a trial basis.
We have extended the trial observation
period through the 2008 Caribbean
surveys so that all COLA area
committees will have an opportunity to
observe, but not otherwise participate
in, the rental data collection process.
Rental survey observations enable
COLA Advisory Committee members to
see how the contractor collects rental
data in the field. To maintain survey
integrity, we instruct the observers not
to attempt to advise, direct, or influence
the data collectors. Committee members
have an opportunity to participate in
setting the rental survey parameters in
the pre-survey meeting. Regardless of
whether committee members observe
the collection, we provide the collected
rental data to the committee for review
and comment.
The union said that OPM did not
provide the Puerto Rico COLA Advisory
Committee truthful and/or accurate
information regarding the rental
contractor’s work hours. OPM had noted
the contractor’s late work hours as one
of the impediments to permitting
Committee members to observe the
rental survey. The union said that
because the photographs of the rental
units were taken during daylight hours,
the contractor could not have worked
evenings and/or nights. We would not
have found photographs taken in the
dark acceptable, so are not surprised
that the contractor arranged to
photograph the units in the daylight. We
note that dawn to dusk in Puerto Rico
is approximately 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. in
April. We have since negotiated to
permit Committee members to observe
the rental survey during normal work
hours.
Manual Data Review
The union said OPM’s difficulties in
providing the Puerto Rico COLA
Advisory Committee with a printed
copy of the rental data meant OPM
could not have conducted a manual
review, because this would have
required a printed copy. We received a
printed copy of the rental data from the
rental survey contractor and used this
for our manual review. We did not
provide the contractor copy to the
Puerto Rico COLA Advisory Committee,
but instead elected to print a new copy
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from our electronic database. We did
this because the contractor’s copy did
not reflect the changes we made
following our manual and automated
reviews; the pictures and sketches on
the copy we produced were larger,
which we believed made it easier to see
details; copying the contractor’s twosided forms on a copier was less reliable
than printing from the rental database;
and we added census tract information
to the rental database, which was not on
the contractor’s copy. We encountered
initial difficulties in printing the copy
from our database, but we resolved the
problem and were able to provide a
copy to the COLA Advisory Committee.
Data Quality
The union stated that OPM did not
follow the established protocol for
developing a reliable hedonic regression
model. The union said OPM should
have reviewed the rental data, verified
the accuracy of the data, eliminated
unverifiable data, and determined that
the remaining data were not sufficient to
support a reliable hedonic model. The
union further said OPM and the
Technical Advisory Committee
knowingly ran statistical programs over
the deficient data and that OPM and the
Technical Advisory Committee should
have known that the rental data were
not of comparable quality and therefore
not fit to support a reliable hedonic
regression model. The union said a
process must be developed whereby an
adequate sample of accurate, verifiable,
and comparable rental data is utilized
before any hedonic regression to adjust
for quality differences is made.
The current process provides ample
accurate, verifiable, and comparable
rental data to determine rental
equivalence. In the 2005 Caribbean
survey, the sample consisted of over 400
rental observations in Puerto Rico and
over 900 observations in the
Washington, DC, area. To assure the
data were accurate, we conducted
various automated and manual reviews
as described earlier in this section. To
enable data to be verified, we obtained
housing unit addresses, geographic
coordinates, and photographs, which we
reviewed and provided to the Puerto
Rico COLA Advisory Committee. To
assure comparability, we employed
hedonic regression analysis as described
in the 2005 Caribbean survey report at
71 FR 63184. The Technical Advisory
Committee economists developed the
hedonic regression model in
consultation with OPM and the Survey
Implementation Committee in
accordance with the Caraballo
settlement and Safe Harbor Principle 18.
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Data Verification
The union said OPM knew most of
the data were not verifiable because
names and addresses of information
sources were not provided.
Approximately 17 percent of the 2005
rental observations in Puerto Rico were
from sources who refused to provide
self-identifying information, and no
observations in the DC area were from
such sources. COLA rental surveys are
voluntary; therefore, OPM cannot
require the source to provide selfidentifying information. In reviewing
the rental data, we found no indication
that the information was misrepresented
or collected in an unacceptable manner.
The contractor provided the address,
geographic coordinates (longitude and
latitude), and a photograph for each
unit, among other information. We
believe this information is sufficient for
verification.
We also analyzed whether source
refusals to provide self-identifying
information had a statistically
significant influence on rental rates in
Puerto Rico. We added selfidentification refusal as a variable in the
hedonic regression analysis. The
hypothesis was that properties
belonging to or managed by individuals
who refused to provide self-identifying
information would rent for less than
equivalent properties where the source
provided self-identifying information.
We found that self-identification refusal
was not a statistically significant
variable. This means that whether or not
the source provided self-identifying
information did not appear to have an
influence on rental rates. Therefore, we
see no reason to exclude observations
where self-identifying information is
withheld.
The union said the data also were not
verifiable because a high percentage of
the Puerto Rico rental samples were
obtained by ‘‘drive-by’’ observations and
supplemented later from the
contractor’s non-local headquarters
office. A ‘‘drive-by’’ property is one that
is advertised by a sign posted on the
property. The contractor collects
information from five types of sources:
local newspaper/publication, Internet,
agent/broker, drive-by/sign posted, and
other. The contractor collected data
from all types except ‘‘other’’ in both
Puerto Rico and the DC area, but the
distribution of observations by listing
source type varied by area.
The contractor often finds properties
with ‘‘For Rent’’ signs while driving
through rental survey neighborhoods. If
the property appears to meet contract
specifications, the contractor takes
photographs of the unit, records
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measurable and visual observations, and
notes the telephone number and other
contact information provided on the
‘‘For Rent’’ sign. The contact can be a
private individual, but in the DC area,
the ‘‘For Rent’’ signs often provide the
name of a property management
company. The contractor then calls the
point of contact, either locally or from
its non-local headquarters, and obtains
the rest of the required information
about the rental unit. We do not require
the contractor to document these calls
separately because the provided survey
data fully documents the information
collected.
To determine whether listing source
influenced rental rates, we added listing
source as a variable in the hedonic
regression analysis. We found that the
variable was statistically significant, but
that it raised the standard error of the
survey area parameter estimates.
Therefore, we did not use listing source
as a variable in the final hedonic
regression equation.
Addressing Union Concerns
The union stated it consistently
notified OPM of its concerns with the
rental survey and data collection, but
OPM did not make a serious attempt to
acknowledge, recognize, and address
the many valid issues the union raised.
We received several letters from the
union regarding rental survey issues in
response to two proposed COLA rate
reductions in Puerto Rico. We replied to
each of the union’s concerns in detailed
letters and also addressed its concerns
in final regulations published in the
Federal Register on August 2, 2006 (71
FR 43897). We again address the union’s
concerns in this discussion.
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Rental Survey Support
The union criticized OPM for
consistently supporting the contractor’s
work with respect to the 2005 rental
survey. We support the 2005 COLA
rental and non-rental surveys because
the surveys were conducted in
accordance with the methodology
prescribed by the Caraballo settlement
and developed in full collaboration with
the Survey Implementation Committee
and the Technical Advisory Committee
economists. The contractor supplied
rental data that fulfilled the contract
specifications set by OPM for acquiring
sufficient data to determine rental
equivalency under the settlement
methodology.
Substitutions
The union claimed OPM accepted
endless substitutions of housing units in
Puerto Rico from the contractor,
allowing the introduction of bias to the
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17:07 May 28, 2008
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housing sample. This is not correct. The
contract prescribed the order in which
the contractor would attempt to collect
the data and specified the steps the
contractor would take if it were unable
to collect the requested number of
observations within a class in a listed
location. The contract allowed the
contractor to do this without our direct
supervision or involvement so that the
rental survey could be conducted within
a relatively short timeframe and because
we did not have superior knowledge
about what was available for rent in the
local rental market. Although we were
not involved in the substitution process,
we received required reports that
showed how the contractor allocated the
shortfalls. The following is a brief
description of how the contract
addressed substitutions.
We determined the Puerto Rico
sample size mainly based on the
number of observations a contractor
could reasonably be expected to collect
within the survey time period. Next, we
used information from the 2000 Census
to distribute the samples in Puerto Rico
by zip code among the locations where
Federal employees live. We used the
same approach in the DC area and in the
U.S. Virgin Islands.
Within each location, we asked the
contractor to collect information on the
following six classes of housing: Class
A—four bedroom, single family unit not
to exceed 3200 square feet; Class B—
three bedroom, single family unit not to
exceed 2600 square feet; Class C—two
bedroom, single family unit not to
exceed 2200 square feet; Class D—three
bedroom apartment unit not to exceed
2000 square feet; Class E—two bedroom
apartment unit not to exceed 1800
square feet; Class F—one bedroom
apartment unit not to exceed 1400
square feet. In most cases, we
distributed the location target sample
among the class on an equal basis,
although sometimes we varied the class
distribution based on the projected
distribution within the location.
In designing the rental specifications,
we recognized it was unlikely that a
contractor would be able to find
observations that exactly corresponded
to the target distribution in the contract.
Therefore, we established a process in
the contract that enables the contractor
to adjust the distribution throughout the
survey by successively redistributing
the shortfall according to a series of
rules. The shortfall was the difference
between the target amount and what
was actually found.
At the lowest level, the contract
distribution specified the target amount
for a housing class within a location in
a survey area. If the contractor could not
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30733
find that amount, the contractor
allocated the shortfall to the next most
similar housing class within the
location. For example, if we asked the
contractor to collect six Class A
observations in a location but the
contractor could only find four, the
contractor assigned the shortfall to the
next most similar housing class within
that location, and repeated the process.
By the time the contractor had
completed surveying the location, if it
still had a shortfall, the contract
required the contractor to allocate that
shortfall among the observations in the
next location. For example, if the target
amount for a particular location was 36
but the contractor could only collect 30,
the contract required the contractor to
distribute the shortfall among the
housing classes in the next location.
In the last step, if the contractor was
unable to collect the number of samples
requested for the survey area, the
contractor was required to distribute the
shortfall to the next survey area listed in
the contract. In the case of the 2005
survey, the contractor obtained 445 of
the requested maximum 480 samples in
Puerto Rico, so it redistributed 35
samples to the Washington, DC, area.
Hedonic Regressions
The union also claimed the hedonic
regressions performed by OPM and the
Technical Advisory Committee to arrive
at the 2005 housing index for Puerto
Rico were inaccurate and invalid. The
methodology we used to produce the
rent indexes was an objective, multistep process by which we eliminated
variables that were not statistically
significant. As required by Safe Harbor
Principle 18 of the Caraballo settlement,
we use hedonic regressions to analyze
the rental data. We do not use a
‘‘matched-model’’ approach; i.e., we do
not compare the price of a 1,000 square
foot, 3-bedroom apartment in a COLA
area with the same size 3-bedroom
apartment in the DC area. Hedonic
regressions are a type of multiple
regression, which is a commonly used
mathematical process that describes
how one or more things—the
independent variables—affect
something else—the dependent variable.
The regression results show the
influence, on average, of each
independent variable on the dependent
variable while holding all of the other
independent variables constant.
We use the logarithm of rent as the
dependent variable. This is a commonly
used approach and was recommended
by the Technical Advisory Committee
economists. The independent variables
we use are various rental unit
characteristics. Variables may be
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continuous—like square footage,
number of bedrooms, or number of
bathrooms—or class variables, like
external condition (good, fair, etc.),
availability of air conditioning (yes, no),
or the particular COLA survey area in
which the rental unit is located. The
resulting hedonic regression allows
OPM to hold rental unit characteristics
constant between the COLA area and
the Washington, DC, area while
comparing rents. In other words, we use
hedonic regressions to compare rents for
non-identical but comparable rental
units by holding quality and quantity
constant, to the extent practical. It is not
practical to survey every characteristic
of a rental unit. For example, we do not
collect information on floor coverings,
size and types of windows, color of
bathroom fixtures, and size of closets.
Instead, working with the Survey
Implementation Committee, Technical
Advisory Committee, and COLA
Advisory Committees, we identified
over 80 characteristics that seem likely
to have an influence on rental prices.
Similarly, it is not desirable from a
statistical standpoint to use all 80-plus
characteristics in the hedonic
regressions. Therefore, OPM and the
Technical Advisory Committee, in
consultation with the Survey
Implementation Committee, developed
objective procedures to determine
which rental unit characteristics to
include in the regression equation.
Home Purchase Costs
One commenter believed OPM should
survey home purchase costs instead of
rental value. Under the Caraballo
settlement, the parties agreed to adopt a
rental equivalence approach similar to
the one the Bureau of Labor Statistics
uses for the Consumer Price Index.
Rental equivalence compares the shelter
value (rental value) of owned homes,
rather than total owner costs, because
the latter are influenced by the
investment value of the home (i.e., what
homeowners hope to realize as a profit
when they sell their homes). As a rule,
living-cost surveys do not compare how
consumers invest their money.
Executive Order 12866, Regulatory
Review
This rule has been reviewed by the
Office of Management and Budget in
accordance with Executive Order 12866.
Regulatory Flexibility Act
I certify that this regulation will not
have a significant economic impact on
a substantial number of small entities
because the regulation will affect only
Federal agencies and employees.
List of Subjects in 5 CFR Part 591
Government employees, Travel and
transportation expenses, Wages.
Office of Personnel Management.
Linda M. Springer,
Director.
Accordingly, OPM amends subpart B
of 5 CFR part 591 as follows:
I
PART 591—ALLOWANCES AND
DIFFERENTIALS
Subpart B—Cost-of-Living Allowance
and Post Differential—Nonforeign
Areas
1. The authority citation for subpart B
of 5 CFR part 591 continues to read as
follows:
I
Authority: 5 U.S.C. 5941; E.O. 10000, 3
CFR, 1943–1948 Comp., p. 792; and E.O.
12510, 3 CFR, 1985 Comp., p. 338.
2. Revise appendix A of subpart B to
read as follows:
I
Appendix A to Subpart B of Part 591—
Places and Rates at Which Allowances
Are Paid
This appendix lists the places approved for
a cost-of-living allowance and shows the
authorized allowance rate for each area. The
allowance rate shown is paid as a percentage
of an employee’s rate of basic pay. The rates
are subject to change based on the results of
future surveys.
Allowance
rate
(percent)
Geographic coverage
State of Alaska:
City of Anchorage and 80-kilometer (50-mile) radius by road .........................................................................................................
City of Fairbanks and 80-kilometer (50-mile) radius by road ..........................................................................................................
City of Juneau and 80-kilometer (50-mile) radius by road ..............................................................................................................
Rest of the State ..............................................................................................................................................................................
State of Hawaii:
City and County of Honolulu ............................................................................................................................................................
Hawaii County, Hawaii .....................................................................................................................................................................
County of Kauai ................................................................................................................................................................................
County of Maui and County of Kalawao ..........................................................................................................................................
Territory of Guam and Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands ...............................................................................................
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico ................................................................................................................................................................
U.S. Virgin Islands ...................................................................................................................................................................................
BILLING CODE 6325–39–P
ACTION:
SUMMARY: The Agricultural Marketing
Service (AMS) will raise the user fees
for cotton producers for 2008 crop
cotton classification services under the
Cotton Statistics and Estimates Act.
These user fees also are authorized
under the Cotton Standards Act of 1923.
The 2007 user fee for this classification
service was $1.85 per bale. This rule
will raise the fee for the 2008 crop to
$2.00 per bale. This fee and the existing
reserve are sufficient to cover the costs
[AMS–CN–07–0092; CN–08–001]
RIN 0581–AC80
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Final rule.
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
7 CFR Part 28
User Fees for 2008 Crop Cotton
Classification Services to Growers
AGENCY:
Agricultural Marketing Service,
USDA.
17:07 May 28, 2008
25
18
25
25
25
13
25
Agricultural Marketing Service
[FR Doc. E8–12020 Filed 5–28–08; 8:45 am]
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24
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 73, Number 104 (Thursday, May 29, 2008)]
[Rules and Regulations]
[Pages 30727-30734]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: E8-12020]
========================================================================
Rules and Regulations
Federal Register
________________________________________________________________________
This section of the FEDERAL REGISTER contains regulatory documents
having general applicability and legal effect, most of which are keyed
to and codified in the Code of Federal Regulations, which is published
under 50 titles pursuant to 44 U.S.C. 1510.
The Code of Federal Regulations is sold by the Superintendent of Documents.
Prices of new books are listed in the first FEDERAL REGISTER issue of each
week.
========================================================================
Federal Register / Vol. 73, No. 104 / Thursday, May 29, 2008 / Rules
and Regulations
[[Page 30727]]
OFFICE OF PERSONNEL MANAGEMENT
5 CFR Part 591
RIN 3206-AL28
Nonforeign Area Cost-of-Living Allowance Rates; Puerto Rico and
Hawaii County, HI
AGENCY: Office of Personnel Management.
ACTION: Final rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: The Office of Personnel Management (OPM) is changing the cost-
of-living allowance (COLA) rates received by certain white-collar
Federal and U.S. Postal Service employees in Puerto Rico and Hawaii
County, HI. The changes are the result of interim adjustments OPM
calculated based on relative Consumer Price Index differences between
the cost-of-living allowance areas and the Washington, DC, area. OPM is
also making an additional one-time adjustment to the Puerto Rico COLA
rate based on the impact of the new sales tax in Puerto Rico. This
regulation increases the COLA rate for Puerto Rico to 13 percent and
the COLA rate for Hawaii County, HI, to 18 percent.
DATES: Effective date: June 30, 2008.
Implementation date: First day of the first pay period beginning on
or after June 30, 2008.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: J. Stanley Austin, (202) 606-2838;
fax: (202) 606-4264; or e-mail: COLA@opm.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: Section 5941 of title 5, United States Code,
authorizes Federal agencies to pay cost-of-living allowances (COLAs) to
white-collar Federal and U.S. Postal Service employees stationed in
Alaska, Hawaii, Guam and the Northern Mariana Islands, Puerto Rico, and
the U.S. Virgin Islands (USVI). Executive Order 10000, as amended,
delegates to the Office of Personnel Management (OPM) the authority to
administer nonforeign area COLAs and prescribes certain operational
features of the program. OPM conducts living-cost surveys in each
allowance area and in the Washington, DC, area to determine whether,
and to what degree, COLA area living costs are higher than those in the
DC area.
As required by section 591.223 of title 5, Code of Federal
Regulations, OPM conducts COLA surveys in the Alaska, Pacific, and
Caribbean areas on a 3-year rotating basis, and in the Washington, DC,
area on an annual basis. OPM sets the COLA rate for each area based on
the results of these surveys. For areas not surveyed during a
particular year, OPM computes interim adjustments to COLA rates based
on the relative change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the COLA
area compared with the Washington, DC, area. (See 5 CFR 591.224-
591.226.)
OPM adopted the COLA survey methodology pursuant to the stipulation
for settlement in Caraballo et al. v. United States, No. 1997-0027
(D.V.I.), August 17, 2000. Caraballo was a class-action lawsuit in
which the plaintiffs contested the prior methodology OPM used to
determine COLA rates. In the Caraballo settlement, the parties agreed
that if the Government adopted and maintained certain changes in the
COLA program, the plaintiffs would be barred from bringing suit over
these issues. The stipulation for settlement is available on OPM's Web
site at https://www.opm.gov/oca/cola/settlement.asp.
Before the settlement, the parties entered into a memorandum of
understanding under which they engaged in a cooperative process to
study living-cost and compensation issues. The research was exhaustive
and covered essentially all aspects of the COLA program. A summary of
that research is available at https://www.opm.gov/oca/cola/research.asp.
Exhibit A of the Caraballo settlement agreement lists 26 ``Safe
Harbor Principles'' that outline the changes to which the parties
agreed. These principles formed the basis for a new COLA methodology,
which OPM incorporated into its regulations. In developing these
regulations, OPM consulted with the Survey Implementation Committee,
which was established under the Caraballo settlement and is composed of
representatives of the parties in Caraballo. The Survey Implementation
Committee in turn consulted with the Technical Advisory Committee,
which was also established under the Caraballo settlement and is
composed of three economists with expertise in living-cost comparisons.
OPM published proposed regulations incorporating the new methodology in
the Federal Register for notice and comment on November 9, 2001, at 66
FR 56741, and a final rule on May 3, 2002, at 67 FR 22339. The Survey
Implementation Committee and the Technical Advisory Committee worked
closely with OPM in preparing for and implementing the 2002, 2003, and
2004 COLA surveys.
On September 12, 2007, at 72 FR 52169, OPM published a Federal
Register notice conveying the results of the 2006 interim adjustments
for the Pacific and Caribbean COLA areas. We did not compute interim
adjustments for the Alaska COLA areas because we surveyed Alaska in
2006. The interim adjustments indicated that, except for Hawaii County
and Puerto Rico, the COLA rates for the Pacific and Caribbean COLA
areas were set at the appropriate levels. For Hawaii County, the
adjustments indicated an increase in the COLA rate from 17 percent to
18 percent. For Puerto Rico, the adjustments indicated an increase in
the COLA rate from 10.5 percent to 11 percent.
On September 6, 2007, at 72 FR 51200, OPM proposed to further
increase the Puerto Rico COLA rate to 13 percent to account for the
impact on prices of the new Puerto Rico sales tax. This increase
supersedes the 1 percent reduction previously proposed by OPM on
October 27, 2006, at 71 FR 63176, which was based on the 2005 Caribbean
survey results.
Discussion of Comments
We address comments received in response to the 2007 proposed rule
on the rate increases in Puerto Rico and Hawaii County, HI, in this
section. We also received comments in response to the 2006 proposed
rule to reduce the COLA rate in Puerto Rico. Although the rate
reduction will not be implemented, we also respond to these comments in
this section.
[[Page 30728]]
2007 Proposed Rate Increases
Rising Living Costs
We received 253 comments in response to the 2007 proposed rate
increases in Puerto Rico and Hawaii County, HI. Most of the commenters
in Puerto Rico said they support the proposed increase in the Puerto
Rico COLA rate; however, many commenters believed the increase should
be higher than proposed. A number of commenters cited a rise in the
Consumer Price Index produced by the Puerto Rico Department of Labor
and Human Resources and other indicators as a basis for a higher COLA
rate.
As required by section 5941 of title 5, U.S. Code, we compare
living costs in the COLA areas with living costs in the Washington, DC,
area to determine COLA rates. We survey the prices of over 240 items to
use in the cost comparisons. The comparisons result in indexes that
reflect how COLA area prices measure against DC area prices over a
given period of time. The comparisons result in indexes that do not
necessarily correspond to rising (or falling) prices in the COLA areas.
For instance, if living costs in a COLA area rise, but living costs in
the DC area rise more sharply, the COLA rate for the area would
decrease. Conversely, if COLA area living costs decrease, but DC area
living costs decrease more sharply, the COLA rate for the area would
increase.
This regulation increases the COLA rate in Puerto Rico from 10.5
percent to 13 percent based partially on the relative change in the
2006 CPI for Puerto Rico compared with the Washington, DC, area and
partially to account for the new sales tax implemented after the 2005
survey. While this change provides a 2.5 percent increase in the COLA
rate for Federal employees in Puerto Rico, the actual change from the
2005 survey index of 103.32 (3 percent) to the adjusted index of 112.94
(13 percent) correlates to an effective increase of 10 percent. (The 3-
percent COLA rate indicated by the 2005 surveys was to be implemented
in annual 1-percentage-point reductions.)
We used the CPI produced by the Puerto Rico Department of Labor and
Human Resources for the 2006 interim adjustment for Puerto Rico. The
Puerto Rico Department of Labor and Human Resources has since revised
its methodology for producing the CPI. This change in producing the CPI
does not affect the COLA index used for the Puerto Rico rate increase
implemented in this regulation, but likely will affect future Puerto
Rico interim adjustment comparisons.
A number of commenters noted that certain costs have increased
since OPM conducted the survey. They cited the cost of gasoline,
housing, utilities, airline tickets, grocery items, medical needs,
automobile expenses, various fees and taxes, and other items. Several
commenters believed we should survey more frequently. We recognize that
prices for various items will increase in the COLA areas and/or the DC
area between surveys. We collect prices in each survey area every 3
years on a rotating basis according to a schedule agreed upon by the
parties in the Caraballo settlement. As noted previously, we adjust
area price indexes in non-survey years based on the relative change in
the CPI for the COLA area compared with the CPI for the Washington, DC,
area.
One commenter said OPM should survey the cost of water, gas,
electricity, and telephone utilities. We survey each of these items. We
published a list of the items we surveyed in the Caribbean and DC areas
in appendix 3 of the 2005 Caribbean Survey Report at 71 FR 63197.
Puerto Rico Sales Tax
Several commenters believed OPM did not fully account for coverage
of the new Commonwealth and municipio sales tax, particularly with
grocery items. We proposed a one-time adjustment to the Puerto Rico
COLA index based on the sales tax, which had not yet been captured by
the COLA surveys or reflected in the CPI adjustments. We obtained
information on the applicability of the sales tax from the Puerto Rico
Department of the Treasury (Hacienda). Using this information, we
applied the sales tax to covered survey items to determine an aggregate
indicator of the impact of the tax on the Puerto Rico COLA index. The
index increased by 1.9 points, translating to a COLA rate increase of 2
percent. We did not attempt to account for variations in tax coverage
by municipio as these variations would likely have an inconsequential
effect on the index. Similarly, we did not account for price reductions
for survey items no longer subject to the general excise tax because
the effect would also likely be inconsequential. In the future, the
sales tax will be added to the prices we survey and will be reflected
in the Puerto Rico CPI used for the interim adjustments.
One association advocated making the Puerto Rico increase
retroactive to November 5, 2007, the effective date of the new sales
tax. Paragraph (d) of section 553 of title 5, U.S. Code, requires that
regulations be issued with an effective date at least 30 days after
publication. The Caraballo settlement agreement requires that we
publish rate changes pursuant to section 553.
Recruitment and Retention
One commenter said the current economy in Puerto Rico is likely
causing recruitment and retention problems. OPM is concerned about the
Government's ability to recruit and retain a well-qualified workforce
and notes that the Government has several pay authorities that are
available to address recruitment and retention problems. Among these
are special salary rates and recruitment, retention, and relocation
incentives. OPM's Web site at https://www.opm.gov/oca/pay/index.asp
provides information on pay authorities to assist in agency recruitment
and retention efforts.
Locality Pay
Several commenters noted their opposition to an Administration
legislative proposal that would transition employees in the COLA areas
to locality pay over a 7-year period. The commenters said a change to
locality pay would lead to a decrease in net salaries in Puerto Rico
because locality pay is subject to income tax. The proposed legislation
would reduce COLAs by 85 percent of the added locality pay amount to
help offset (by 15 percent) the tax liability of locality pay, but
would not relieve employees of their total tax responsibility. Unlike
with COLAs, all Federal employees, whether in the COLA areas or the 48
contiguous States and Washington, DC, must pay income tax on locality
pay. Under the proposed legislation, a change to locality pay would
also eliminate future COLA rate reductions and increases, confer
retirement credit where the COLA did not, and provide higher pay
potential not restricted by the 25-percent cap that applies to COLA
rates.
Taxes
A number of commenters noted that the Puerto Rico income tax is
higher than the Federal income tax paid by employees in other areas. By
law, we must compare living costs in the COLA areas with living costs
in the Washington, DC, area to determine the COLA rates for the areas.
In the DC area, employees pay Federal income tax, State income tax
(Virginia and Maryland), city income tax (DC), local income tax
(Maryland counties), and personal property tax (Virginia counties).
Employees in all areas have varying tax obligations depending on
income, dependents, deductions, and other factors. Because of the
complexity
[[Page 30729]]
involved, we do not attempt to determine the aggregate income tax
liability for employees in the COLA areas and the DC area for
comparison purposes. The extent to which the total tax burden may be
higher in a COLA area than in the DC area is covered by the adjustment
factor we add to the price index for each COLA area pursuant to the
Caraballo settlement agreement.
Rate Variations
A number of commenters said Hawaii and the U.S. Virgin Islands have
a similar economic situation to Puerto Rico, but have higher COLA
rates. One commenter thought that costs in Puerto Rico justified the
same 25 percent COLA received by employees in Alaska and Hawaii. Two
commenters said that prices are higher in Puerto Rico because items
must be imported. There are innumerable economic influences that affect
prices in an area, including poverty rate, housing vacancy rate,
availability of goods and services, competition, and importation costs.
We survey using the same methodology and essentially the same
marketbasket in all areas. We survey the final cost to the consumer of
items and services in each area. The final cost includes any overhead,
transportation and shipping costs, taxes, competition, and other price
influences. Additionally, we survey catalog prices for a number of
items and include in the price the costs for shipping, sales tax, and
excise tax, which are often higher in the COLA areas relative to the
Washington, DC, area.
We use this data to compare living costs in the COLA areas with
living costs in the DC area. The surveys and subsequent interim
adjustments have indicated a 25-percent COLA rate for the U.S. Virgin
Islands and 3 of the 4 allowance areas in Hawaii, but a 10-percent rate
for Anchorage, AK, a 19-percent rate for Fairbanks, AK, and a 20-
percent rate for Juneau, AK. The Anchorage COLA index is below the
index for Puerto Rico. Actual COLA rates are currently higher in Alaska
because the Caraballo settlement established rates based on historical
levels in the areas. The COLA rates in Alaska remain higher than
indicated by OPM's surveys because we may reduce rates by no more than
1 percent in a 12-month period. We have published at 73 FR 772 a
proposed second rate reduction, from 24 to 23 percent, for Anchorage,
Fairbanks, and Juneau.
One commenter described how his living costs increased on moving to
Puerto Rico from Texas. As noted earlier, section 5941 of title 5, U.S.
Code, requires that we compare living costs in Puerto Rico with living
costs in the Washington, DC, area to set the Puerto Rico COLA rate. We
do not conduct cost-of-living surveys in other areas of the continental
United States.
Housing Costs
Two commenters noted the high cost of housing in safe neighborhoods
and high mortgage rates in Puerto Rico. As stipulated by the Caraballo
settlement, we use rental equivalence to determine shelter costs in the
COLA areas. We discuss the rental survey, including neighborhood
selection, later in this section.
Hawaii County
Two commenters said there should be separate COLA rates for the
east (Hilo) and west (Kona) sides of the island of Hawaii because
prices in these areas are not equal. There are communities in each of
the nonforeign COLA areas (and in the DC area) that are more expensive
than other communities within the same COLA area. It is not feasible or
practical to segment each of these communities, many of which share
numerous economic characteristics, into independent survey areas with
separate COLA rates. For this reason, we do not plan to split Hawaii
County into two separate COLA areas. However, we remain open to a
mutual recommendation on this issue from the COLA Advisory Committees
in Hilo and Kona.
2006 Proposed Reduction
We received 204 comments in response to the 2006 proposed reduction
in the Puerto Rico COLA rate published at 71 FR 63176. Although the
increase implemented by these regulations supersedes the 2006 proposed
reduction, we respond to the comments we received in the discussion
that follows.
Increasing Costs
Many of the commenters said OPM should not reduce COLA rates
because Puerto Rico living costs were increasing. As noted previously,
section 5941 of title 5, U.S. Code, requires that we measure costs in
the COLA areas against costs in the Washington, DC, area to determine
COLA rates. We increase the COLA rate if the difference in living costs
between the COLA area and the DC area increases and reduce the rate if
the difference in living costs between the COLA area and the DC area
decreases. As provided by 5 CFR 591.228(c), we reduce COLA rates by no
more than 1 percentage point in a 12-month period.
A number of commenters referred to publications or other surveys
showing high or rising costs in Puerto Rico, indicating the COLA rate
should be set higher. We measure costs using the methodology stipulated
in the Caraballo settlement and cannot comment on the methodology used
by other publications and surveys. We conduct on-site surveys in each
survey area and collect more than 4,600 prices on over 240 items
representing typical consumer purchases. We collect prices at over 900
outlets, including grocery, hardware, electronics, and department
stores, as well as automobile dealers, doctors, dentists, insurance
companies, and many other providers of goods and services. We collect
these prices in both the COLA and DC areas to use in the price
comparisons that determine each area's COLA rate.
Numerous commenters noted that certain costs increased after OPM
conducted the 2005 survey and that the survey data were outdated. They
cited the cost of gasoline, housing, utilities, grocery items, medical
needs, various fees and taxes, and other items. Many commenters
requested that OPM survey again. As noted previously, we recognize that
prices for items may increase in the COLA areas and/or the DC area
between surveys. We collect prices in each survey area every 3 years on
a rotating basis according to a schedule agreed upon by the parties in
the Caraballo settlement. As stipulated in the settlement, we adjust
COLA rates annually between surveys based on the relative change in the
CPI for the COLA area as compared with the Washington, DC, area. We
discuss this adjustment in the notice on the 2006 interim adjustments
published at 72 FR 52169. These adjustments are designed to account for
price fluctuations between surveys. The 2006 interim adjustment
calculation raised the Puerto Rico index, making the proposed COLA rate
reduction no longer necessary.
New Sales Tax
We received a number of comments on the new sales tax in Puerto
Rico. As we discussed previously, we are implementing an adjustment to
account for the impact of the sales tax as part of the rate increase to
13 percent.
Rate Change Delay
One agency commented on the delay in implementing COLA rate
adjustments. As set out in the Caraballo settlement, we survey each
COLA area on a triennial basis and make interim adjustments based on
CPI changes in the years between surveys. We also may make adjustments
based on special
[[Page 30730]]
circumstances, such as with the Puerto Rico sales tax adjustment. While
we make efforts to implement COLA rate adjustments in a timely fashion,
we must follow the rulemaking procedures mandated by the Administrative
Procedure Act (section 553 of title 5, U.S. Code) and various other
statutory and regulatory requirements before implementing any rate
change. These requirements largely determine the interval for making a
rate change effective.
Comparison With DC
The same agency also commented on the use of Washington, DC, as the
basis for COLA living-cost comparisons. While the agency conceded that
this requirement is in statute (section 5941 of title 5, U.S. Code), it
observed that the DC area has become more expensive over time,
resulting in less variance between the DC and COLA areas. Because the
requirement to use Washington, DC, as the basis for comparison is
mandated in the statute that authorizes COLAs, we do not have authority
to address this issue by regulation.
COLA/Locality Pay
The agency also raised the issue of replacing the nonforeign area
COLA with locality pay. The Federal Employees Pay Comparability Act of
1990 authorizes locality pay only for Federal employees in the
contiguous 48 States and Washington, DC. We do not have authority to
address this issue by regulation. However, as noted earlier in this
section, the Administration has submitted proposed legislation for
consideration by Congress that would convert employees from COLAs to
locality pay over time.
Recruitment, Relocation, and Retention Incentives
The agency noted that reductions in COLA rates may require greater
use of discretionary authorities, such as recruitment, relocation, and
retention incentives. As noted previously, OPM's Web site at
www.opm.gov/oca/pay/index.asp provides information on pay authorities
to assist in agency recruitment and retention efforts.
Employee Involvement
One commenter believed OPM did not conduct the survey in Puerto
Rico with local Federal employees. The commenter indicated that OPM
should have surveyed a sample of Puerto Rico Federal employees. We
conduct on-site price surveys of a marketbasket of goods and services
representing typical consumer purchases as prescribed by the Caraballo
settlement. Observers from the Puerto Rico COLA Advisory Committee,
which is composed of current Federal employees who live in Puerto Rico,
accompanied the OPM data collectors during the non-rental price survey.
Before the 2005 Caribbean survey, we established a COLA Advisory
Committee in each of the survey areas. As described in 5 CFR 591.243,
each Committee is composed of approximately 12 agency and employee
representatives from the survey area and two representatives from OPM.
We held 3-day meetings with the COLA Advisory Committees in each area
to be surveyed to plan the COLA surveys. During the 2005 survey, the
Committee members assisted OPM staff in collecting non-rental data, and
after the survey the Committee members had the opportunity to review
all of the survey results, including the results of the rental survey.
Although COLA Advisory Committee members helped plan the rental survey
and had the opportunity to review the rental survey results in detail,
Committee members did not participate in the rental data collection as
observers.
Rental Surveys
One local union in Puerto Rico offered extensive comments on the
Puerto Rico rental survey. The union disputed the overall veracity,
reliability, and adequacy of the rental data collected in Puerto Rico.
The union claimed OPM knowingly and willfully harmed Puerto Rico
employees through the fashion in which it collected, evaluated,
analyzed, and utilized the rental data in Puerto Rico. The union and
many other commenters asserted that OPM's actions did not conform to
the Caraballo settlement or Safe Harbor Principles 5 (regarding quality
and quantity comparisons), 18 (regarding the hedonic housing model and
rental equivalence), and 22A (regarding survey plans and methodology).
As noted previously, the Caraballo settlement prescribed the
methodology we use to conduct COLA surveys and set COLA rates. The
settlement stipulates that OPM use a rental equivalence approach to
estimate shelter costs and a hedonic regression approach to compare
housing of similar quality. The Technical Advisory Committee economists
worked with OPM and the Survey Implementation Committee to develop
methodologies for the rental equivalence and hedonic regression
processes. The settlement agreement did not require OPM to use a
particular method to collect rental data; however, OPM provided its
draft rental data collection specifications and procedures to the
Survey Implementation Committee and Technical Advisory Committee for
review and comment.
We contracted for the services of a company with an outstanding
depth of experience in rental data collection to survey rental
properties in the COLA areas for the 2004 through 2007 surveys. The
contractor collected the data in essentially the same manner in all
areas. Using parameters defined by OPM, the contractor collected rental
data on-site in Puerto Rico from March 13 through May 5, 2005.
Following its survey of the Caribbean areas, the contractor surveyed
the Washington, DC, area. The contractor delivered the rental survey
data to OPM in June 2005. We manually reviewed the rental data and
performed various computer-based quality assurance checks on the rental
database. We believe the 2005 rental survey was in full conformance
with the settlement agreement and was stringently conducted under the
rental equivalence and hedonic regression methodology mutually
developed by the Survey Implementation Committee, Technical Advisory
Committee, and OPM.
The union further maintained the rental data did not accurately
reflect the areas or types of housing units where Federal employees
live. The union said that only a small percentage of the rental
observations in Puerto Rico were in areas where the median income level
equals or exceeds the local average Federal salary. The union also said
OPM and the Technical Advisory Committee invented new categories of
housing units, ``apartments in home'' and ``other,'' almost exclusively
for Puerto Rico. The union said these two categories of housing units
were substandard and not representative of where Federal employees
live.
We used data from the 2000 census that show the number of Federal
employees and the number of housing units by municipio to determine
which locations to survey and how many samples the rental survey
contractor should attempt to collect in each location. We allocated
more samples to locations that have a large number of Federal employees
and a large number of housing units and fewer samples to locations that
have a small number of Federal employees and housing units. If the
location had no Federal employees, we excluded the location from the
survey.
We held a 3-day meeting with the Puerto Rico COLA Advisory
Committee on January 18-20, 2005, to plan the 2005 Puerto Rico rental
and non-rental surveys. At the meeting, we shared with the Committee a
map that showed the
[[Page 30731]]
rental survey locations and the requested number of samples from each
location. At the Committee's request, we agreed to further refine the
survey locations using zip codes where practical. We did this for the
San Juan, Carolina, and Bayamon municipios.
We also collect information that reflects the quality of
neighborhoods and use additional information from the Bureau of the
Census to introduce supplementary variables to the hedonic regressions
that indicate neighborhood quality. To do this, we identify the census
tract in which each rental observation is found and then add variables,
such as median income, percent of school-age persons, and percent of
people in the area with B.A. degrees or higher, to the hedonic
regressions. Those variables that prove to be statistically significant
and increase the precision of the rent index are used in the final
hedonic regression equation.
In the 2005 hedonic regression analysis, we tested whether median
income or median income paired with median income squared should be
included in the equation. We found that median income was not a
statistically significant variable at the 99.9 confidence level and
dropped it from the hedonic regression.
The variable ``Type of Unit'' has eight subcategories: (1) Detached
house, (2) duplex, (3) triplex, (4) townhouse/row house, (5) in-home
apartment, (6) walk-up apartment, (7) high rise apartment, and (8)
other. An ``in-home apartment'' is usually in a structure one to three
stories tall with generally four or five units within the structure.
Sometimes the original structure is a large, older home that has been
converted to apartments. In other cases, the original structure may
have been a triplex or quadplex. These units were found only in Puerto
Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands--none were found in the DC area. We
tested the effect of dropping all in-home apartments in Puerto Rico in
the final hedonic regression equation. The net result was a slight
increase in the Puerto Rico rent index from 63.49 to 63.95, which had
an inconsequential effect on the final survey living-cost index.
Units classified as ``Other'' are apartments in larger buildings
that are not duplexes, triplexes, high rise apartments, typical walk-up
apartment complexes, or in-home apartments. These were found mainly in
Puerto Rico. In consultation with the Technical Advisory Committee, we
collapsed ``Type of Unit'' into three subcategories: (1) Apartments of
any kind, (2) townhouse/row house/duplex/triplex, and (3) detached
house. ``Collapsing'' means combining two or more variables or
subcategories within a variable. We generally do this when the variable
or subcategory parameter estimates are similar and doing so improves
the accuracy of the survey area parameter estimates. We assigned units
classified as ``in-home apartment'' and ``other'' to the ``apartments
of any kind'' subcategory. We then used hedonic regressions to compare
the COLA area rents with DC area rents, while holding quality and
quantity constant.
The union claimed OPM did not exercise any supervision over the
contractor's data collection and accepted all data submitted by the
contractor. We engaged a number of controls on the rental data
furnished by the contractor. We established the specifications and
locations for the rental survey in the contract and provided that
payment would be made only for properties meeting the specifications.
We required progress reports, shortfall reports, and other
documentation during the course of the rental survey. As noted
previously, we performed quality assurance checks on the data delivered
by the contractor, including manually comparing property data against
the property photograph(s) and sketch. We mapped the properties using
longitude and latitude coordinates to verify geographic locations.
Additionally, we provided the rental data to Puerto Rico agency and
union representatives on the Puerto Rico COLA Advisory Committee for
evaluation and comment.
Disparate Treatment
The union stated that OPM treated Puerto Rico COLA employees in a
disparate fashion because of national origin and without regard to
unique linguistic and cultural differences. The union cited
misspellings in the rental data as evidence that the data collectors
encountered a serious language barrier.
OPM and the rental contractor respect linguistic and cultural
differences in Puerto Rico. Both OPM and the contractor assigned
Spanish-speaking data collectors, some of whom were former residents of
Puerto Rico, to the price and rental surveys. In addition, OPM arranged
for observers from the Puerto Rico COLA Advisory Committee, which is
composed of current Federal employees who live in Puerto Rico, to
accompany the data collectors surveying non-rental prices. The rental
data contained some misspellings in business names and street
addresses, but the overall rental data were high-quality and fulfilled
the COLA survey specifications for rental prices in Puerto Rico.
Misspellings in names and addresses did not affect the rental prices
used to determine the rent index.
We conduct COLA surveys the same in all areas using the methodology
prescribed by the Caraballo settlement. The rental survey contractor
similarly does not vary its approach for collecting rental data in the
COLA areas. To the extent cultural differences in Puerto Rico affect
prices, the survey accounts for such differences. Additionally, we add
7 points to the Puerto Rico COLA index to account for other costs that
may be influenced in part by local or cultural differences. For the
rental surveys, we note that cultural differences likely explain
variations in advertising methods (e.g., more rent-by-owner signs in
Puerto Rico) and the quantities of certain housing types (such as in-
home apartments) between Puerto Rico and the DC area. We discuss these
variations elsewhere in this section.
The union said that OPM made significant changes to the Alaska and
Pacific rental surveys based on the union's comments, but did not
employ the changes in the 2005 Caribbean rental survey. We made
refinements in the hedonic regression analysis, including adding
listing source and self identification refusal as variables based on
the union's comments, but applied all changes uniformly to the 2005,
2006, and 2007 surveys. We also initiated trial observation of the
rental survey in the 2006 Alaska survey based on the union's comments;
however, as we note in the discussion that follows, we plan to extend
the trial period through the 2008 Caribbean survey.
Rental Survey Observers
The union believed OPM should have allowed observers from the
Puerto Rico COLA Advisory Committee to accompany the contractor on the
2005 rental surveys in Puerto Rico. We permitted observers from the
COLA Advisory Committees to accompany OPM data collectors conducting
the non-rental price surveys beginning with the 2002 Caribbean surveys,
but did not similarly arrange for observers to accompany the contractor
conducting the rental surveys. The union originally requested that we
permit observers for the 2005 rental surveys during a pre-survey
meeting of the Puerto Rico COLA Advisory Committee on January 18, 2005.
At that time, the contract for the rental surveys did not provide for
observers. We determined there was not sufficient time to consider and
resolve various issues (e.g., higher contract costs, logistical
problems, and possible conflict of interest), establish ground rules
for observers, and issue a contract
[[Page 30732]]
modification before the scheduled 2005 rental data collection. Although
we could not provide for rental survey observers in 2005, we did
arrange for the contractor to meet with the Puerto Rico COLA Advisory
Committee and answer questions regarding the data collection process.
Following the 2005 rental surveys, we negotiated with the
contractor to permit rental survey observers on a trial basis. We have
extended the trial observation period through the 2008 Caribbean
surveys so that all COLA area committees will have an opportunity to
observe, but not otherwise participate in, the rental data collection
process.
Rental survey observations enable COLA Advisory Committee members
to see how the contractor collects rental data in the field. To
maintain survey integrity, we instruct the observers not to attempt to
advise, direct, or influence the data collectors. Committee members
have an opportunity to participate in setting the rental survey
parameters in the pre-survey meeting. Regardless of whether committee
members observe the collection, we provide the collected rental data to
the committee for review and comment.
The union said that OPM did not provide the Puerto Rico COLA
Advisory Committee truthful and/or accurate information regarding the
rental contractor's work hours. OPM had noted the contractor's late
work hours as one of the impediments to permitting Committee members to
observe the rental survey. The union said that because the photographs
of the rental units were taken during daylight hours, the contractor
could not have worked evenings and/or nights. We would not have found
photographs taken in the dark acceptable, so are not surprised that the
contractor arranged to photograph the units in the daylight. We note
that dawn to dusk in Puerto Rico is approximately 6 a.m. to 7 p.m. in
April. We have since negotiated to permit Committee members to observe
the rental survey during normal work hours.
Manual Data Review
The union said OPM's difficulties in providing the Puerto Rico COLA
Advisory Committee with a printed copy of the rental data meant OPM
could not have conducted a manual review, because this would have
required a printed copy. We received a printed copy of the rental data
from the rental survey contractor and used this for our manual review.
We did not provide the contractor copy to the Puerto Rico COLA Advisory
Committee, but instead elected to print a new copy from our electronic
database. We did this because the contractor's copy did not reflect the
changes we made following our manual and automated reviews; the
pictures and sketches on the copy we produced were larger, which we
believed made it easier to see details; copying the contractor's two-
sided forms on a copier was less reliable than printing from the rental
database; and we added census tract information to the rental database,
which was not on the contractor's copy. We encountered initial
difficulties in printing the copy from our database, but we resolved
the problem and were able to provide a copy to the COLA Advisory
Committee.
Data Quality
The union stated that OPM did not follow the established protocol
for developing a reliable hedonic regression model. The union said OPM
should have reviewed the rental data, verified the accuracy of the
data, eliminated unverifiable data, and determined that the remaining
data were not sufficient to support a reliable hedonic model. The union
further said OPM and the Technical Advisory Committee knowingly ran
statistical programs over the deficient data and that OPM and the
Technical Advisory Committee should have known that the rental data
were not of comparable quality and therefore not fit to support a
reliable hedonic regression model. The union said a process must be
developed whereby an adequate sample of accurate, verifiable, and
comparable rental data is utilized before any hedonic regression to
adjust for quality differences is made.
The current process provides ample accurate, verifiable, and
comparable rental data to determine rental equivalence. In the 2005
Caribbean survey, the sample consisted of over 400 rental observations
in Puerto Rico and over 900 observations in the Washington, DC, area.
To assure the data were accurate, we conducted various automated and
manual reviews as described earlier in this section. To enable data to
be verified, we obtained housing unit addresses, geographic
coordinates, and photographs, which we reviewed and provided to the
Puerto Rico COLA Advisory Committee. To assure comparability, we
employed hedonic regression analysis as described in the 2005 Caribbean
survey report at 71 FR 63184. The Technical Advisory Committee
economists developed the hedonic regression model in consultation with
OPM and the Survey Implementation Committee in accordance with the
Caraballo settlement and Safe Harbor Principle 18.
Data Verification
The union said OPM knew most of the data were not verifiable
because names and addresses of information sources were not provided.
Approximately 17 percent of the 2005 rental observations in Puerto Rico
were from sources who refused to provide self-identifying information,
and no observations in the DC area were from such sources. COLA rental
surveys are voluntary; therefore, OPM cannot require the source to
provide self-identifying information. In reviewing the rental data, we
found no indication that the information was misrepresented or
collected in an unacceptable manner. The contractor provided the
address, geographic coordinates (longitude and latitude), and a
photograph for each unit, among other information. We believe this
information is sufficient for verification.
We also analyzed whether source refusals to provide self-
identifying information had a statistically significant influence on
rental rates in Puerto Rico. We added self-identification refusal as a
variable in the hedonic regression analysis. The hypothesis was that
properties belonging to or managed by individuals who refused to
provide self-identifying information would rent for less than
equivalent properties where the source provided self-identifying
information. We found that self-identification refusal was not a
statistically significant variable. This means that whether or not the
source provided self-identifying information did not appear to have an
influence on rental rates. Therefore, we see no reason to exclude
observations where self-identifying information is withheld.
The union said the data also were not verifiable because a high
percentage of the Puerto Rico rental samples were obtained by ``drive-
by'' observations and supplemented later from the contractor's non-
local headquarters office. A ``drive-by'' property is one that is
advertised by a sign posted on the property. The contractor collects
information from five types of sources: local newspaper/publication,
Internet, agent/broker, drive-by/sign posted, and other. The contractor
collected data from all types except ``other'' in both Puerto Rico and
the DC area, but the distribution of observations by listing source
type varied by area.
The contractor often finds properties with ``For Rent'' signs while
driving through rental survey neighborhoods. If the property appears to
meet contract specifications, the contractor takes photographs of the
unit, records
[[Page 30733]]
measurable and visual observations, and notes the telephone number and
other contact information provided on the ``For Rent'' sign. The
contact can be a private individual, but in the DC area, the ``For
Rent'' signs often provide the name of a property management company.
The contractor then calls the point of contact, either locally or from
its non-local headquarters, and obtains the rest of the required
information about the rental unit. We do not require the contractor to
document these calls separately because the provided survey data fully
documents the information collected.
To determine whether listing source influenced rental rates, we
added listing source as a variable in the hedonic regression analysis.
We found that the variable was statistically significant, but that it
raised the standard error of the survey area parameter estimates.
Therefore, we did not use listing source as a variable in the final
hedonic regression equation.
Addressing Union Concerns
The union stated it consistently notified OPM of its concerns with
the rental survey and data collection, but OPM did not make a serious
attempt to acknowledge, recognize, and address the many valid issues
the union raised. We received several letters from the union regarding
rental survey issues in response to two proposed COLA rate reductions
in Puerto Rico. We replied to each of the union's concerns in detailed
letters and also addressed its concerns in final regulations published
in the Federal Register on August 2, 2006 (71 FR 43897). We again
address the union's concerns in this discussion.
Rental Survey Support
The union criticized OPM for consistently supporting the
contractor's work with respect to the 2005 rental survey. We support
the 2005 COLA rental and non-rental surveys because the surveys were
conducted in accordance with the methodology prescribed by the
Caraballo settlement and developed in full collaboration with the
Survey Implementation Committee and the Technical Advisory Committee
economists. The contractor supplied rental data that fulfilled the
contract specifications set by OPM for acquiring sufficient data to
determine rental equivalency under the settlement methodology.
Substitutions
The union claimed OPM accepted endless substitutions of housing
units in Puerto Rico from the contractor, allowing the introduction of
bias to the housing sample. This is not correct. The contract
prescribed the order in which the contractor would attempt to collect
the data and specified the steps the contractor would take if it were
unable to collect the requested number of observations within a class
in a listed location. The contract allowed the contractor to do this
without our direct supervision or involvement so that the rental survey
could be conducted within a relatively short timeframe and because we
did not have superior knowledge about what was available for rent in
the local rental market. Although we were not involved in the
substitution process, we received required reports that showed how the
contractor allocated the shortfalls. The following is a brief
description of how the contract addressed substitutions.
We determined the Puerto Rico sample size mainly based on the
number of observations a contractor could reasonably be expected to
collect within the survey time period. Next, we used information from
the 2000 Census to distribute the samples in Puerto Rico by zip code
among the locations where Federal employees live. We used the same
approach in the DC area and in the U.S. Virgin Islands.
Within each location, we asked the contractor to collect
information on the following six classes of housing: Class A--four
bedroom, single family unit not to exceed 3200 square feet; Class B--
three bedroom, single family unit not to exceed 2600 square feet; Class
C--two bedroom, single family unit not to exceed 2200 square feet;
Class D--three bedroom apartment unit not to exceed 2000 square feet;
Class E--two bedroom apartment unit not to exceed 1800 square feet;
Class F--one bedroom apartment unit not to exceed 1400 square feet. In
most cases, we distributed the location target sample among the class
on an equal basis, although sometimes we varied the class distribution
based on the projected distribution within the location.
In designing the rental specifications, we recognized it was
unlikely that a contractor would be able to find observations that
exactly corresponded to the target distribution in the contract.
Therefore, we established a process in the contract that enables the
contractor to adjust the distribution throughout the survey by
successively redistributing the shortfall according to a series of
rules. The shortfall was the difference between the target amount and
what was actually found.
At the lowest level, the contract distribution specified the target
amount for a housing class within a location in a survey area. If the
contractor could not find that amount, the contractor allocated the
shortfall to the next most similar housing class within the location.
For example, if we asked the contractor to collect six Class A
observations in a location but the contractor could only find four, the
contractor assigned the shortfall to the next most similar housing
class within that location, and repeated the process. By the time the
contractor had completed surveying the location, if it still had a
shortfall, the contract required the contractor to allocate that
shortfall among the observations in the next location. For example, if
the target amount for a particular location was 36 but the contractor
could only collect 30, the contract required the contractor to
distribute the shortfall among the housing classes in the next
location.
In the last step, if the contractor was unable to collect the
number of samples requested for the survey area, the contractor was
required to distribute the shortfall to the next survey area listed in
the contract. In the case of the 2005 survey, the contractor obtained
445 of the requested maximum 480 samples in Puerto Rico, so it
redistributed 35 samples to the Washington, DC, area.
Hedonic Regressions
The union also claimed the hedonic regressions performed by OPM and
the Technical Advisory Committee to arrive at the 2005 housing index
for Puerto Rico were inaccurate and invalid. The methodology we used to
produce the rent indexes was an objective, multi-step process by which
we eliminated variables that were not statistically significant. As
required by Safe Harbor Principle 18 of the Caraballo settlement, we
use hedonic regressions to analyze the rental data. We do not use a
``matched-model'' approach; i.e., we do not compare the price of a
1,000 square foot, 3-bedroom apartment in a COLA area with the same
size 3-bedroom apartment in the DC area. Hedonic regressions are a type
of multiple regression, which is a commonly used mathematical process
that describes how one or more things--the independent variables--
affect something else--the dependent variable. The regression results
show the influence, on average, of each independent variable on the
dependent variable while holding all of the other independent variables
constant.
We use the logarithm of rent as the dependent variable. This is a
commonly used approach and was recommended by the Technical Advisory
Committee economists. The independent variables we use are various
rental unit characteristics. Variables may be
[[Page 30734]]
continuous--like square footage, number of bedrooms, or number of
bathrooms--or class variables, like external condition (good, fair,
etc.), availability of air conditioning (yes, no), or the particular
COLA survey area in which the rental unit is located. The resulting
hedonic regression allows OPM to hold rental unit characteristics
constant between the COLA area and the Washington, DC, area while
comparing rents. In other words, we use hedonic regressions to compare
rents for non-identical but comparable rental units by holding quality
and quantity constant, to the extent practical. It is not practical to
survey every characteristic of a rental unit. For example, we do not
collect information on floor coverings, size and types of windows,
color of bathroom fixtures, and size of closets. Instead, working with
the Survey Implementation Committee, Technical Advisory Committee, and
COLA Advisory Committees, we identified over 80 characteristics that
seem likely to have an influence on rental prices. Similarly, it is not
desirable from a statistical standpoint to use all 80-plus
characteristics in the hedonic regressions. Therefore, OPM and the
Technical Advisory Committee, in consultation with the Survey
Implementation Committee, developed objective procedures to determine
which rental unit characteristics to include in the regression
equation.
Home Purchase Costs
One commenter believed OPM should survey home purchase costs
instead of rental value. Under the Caraballo settlement, the parties
agreed to adopt a rental equivalence approach similar to the one the
Bureau of Labor Statistics uses for the Consumer Price Index. Rental
equivalence compares the shelter value (rental value) of owned homes,
rather than total owner costs, because the latter are influenced by the
investment value of the home (i.e., what homeowners hope to realize as
a profit when they sell their homes). As a rule, living-cost surveys do
not compare how consumers invest their money.
Executive Order 12866, Regulatory Review
This rule has been reviewed by the Office of Management and Budget
in accordance with Executive Order 12866.
Regulatory Flexibility Act
I certify that this regulation will not have a significant economic
impact on a substantial number of small entities because the regulation
will affect only Federal agencies and employees.
List of Subjects in 5 CFR Part 591
Government employees, Travel and transportation expenses, Wages.
Office of Personnel Management.
Linda M. Springer,
Director.
0
Accordingly, OPM amends subpart B of 5 CFR part 591 as follows:
PART 591--ALLOWANCES AND DIFFERENTIALS
Subpart B--Cost-of-Living Allowance and Post Differential--
Nonforeign Areas
0
1. The authority citation for subpart B of 5 CFR part 591 continues to
read as follows:
Authority: 5 U.S.C. 5941; E.O. 10000, 3 CFR, 1943-1948 Comp., p.
792; and E.O. 12510, 3 CFR, 1985 Comp., p. 338.
0
2. Revise appendix A of subpart B to read as follows:
Appendix A to Subpart B of Part 591--Places and Rates at Which
Allowances Are Paid
This appendix lists the places approved for a cost-of-living
allowance and shows the authorized allowance rate for each area. The
allowance rate shown is paid as a percentage of an employee's rate
of basic pay. The rates are subject to change based on the results
of future surveys.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Allowance
Geographic coverage rate
(percent)
------------------------------------------------------------------------
State of Alaska:
City of Anchorage and 80-kilometer (50-mile) radius by 24
road..................................................
City of Fairbanks and 80-kilometer (50-mile) radius by 24
road..................................................
City of Juneau and 80-kilometer (50-mile) radius by 24
road..................................................
Rest of the State...................................... 25
State of Hawaii:
City and County of Honolulu............................ 25
Hawaii County, Hawaii.................................. 18
County of Kauai........................................ 25
County of Maui and County of Kalawao................... 25
Territory of Guam and Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana 25
Islands...................................................
Commonwealth of Puerto Rico................................ 13
U.S. Virgin Islands........................................ 25
------------------------------------------------------------------------
[FR Doc. E8-12020 Filed 5-28-08; 8:45 am]
BILLING CODE 6325-39-P