Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Final Rule Designating the Northern Rocky Mountain Population of Gray Wolf as a Distinct Population Segment and Removing This Distinct Population Segment From the Federal List of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife, 10514-10560 [08-798]
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DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
[FWS–R6–ES–2008–008; 92220–1113–0000;
ABC Code: C6]
RIN 1018–AU53
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
and Plants; Final Rule Designating the
Northern Rocky Mountain Population
of Gray Wolf as a Distinct Population
Segment and Removing This Distinct
Population Segment From the Federal
List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife
Fish and Wildlife Service,
Interior.
ACTION: Final rule.
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AGENCY:
SUMMARY: The U.S. Fish and Wildlife
Service (Service, we or us), hereby
establishes a distinct population
segment (DPS) of the gray wolf (Canis
lupus) in the Northern Rocky Mountains
(NRM) of the United States (U.S.) and
removes this DPS from the List of
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife.
The NRM gray wolf DPS encompasses
the eastern one-third of Washington and
Oregon, a small part of north-central
Utah, and all of Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming. Based on the best scientific
and commercial data available, the NRM
DPS is no longer an endangered or
threatened species pursuant to the
Endangered Species Act of 1973, as
amended (Act) (16 U.S.C. 1531 et seq.).
The NRM DPS has exceeded its
biological recovery goals, and all threats
in the foreseeable future have been
sufficiently reduced or eliminated.
The States of Idaho (2002) and
Montana (2003) adopted State laws and
management plans that meet the
requirements of the Act and will
conserve a recovered wolf population
into the foreseeable future. In 2007,
following a change in State law,
Wyoming drafted and approved a
revised wolf management plan
(Wyoming 2007). We have determined
that this plan meets the requirements of
the Act as providing adequate regulatory
protections to conserve Wyoming’s
portion of a recovered wolf population
into the foreseeable future. Our
determination is conditional upon the
2007 Wyoming wolf management law
(W.S. 11–6–302 et seq. and 23–1–101, et
seq. in House Bill 0213) being fully in
effect and the wolf management plan
being legally authorized by Wyoming
statutes. If the law is not in effect
(discussed in more detail below) within
20 days from the date of this
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publication, we will withdraw this final
rule and replace it with an alternate
final rule that removes the Act’s
protections throughout all of the DPS,
except the significant portion of the gray
wolf’s range in northwestern Wyoming
outside the National Parks.
DATES: This rule becomes effective
March 28, 2008.
ADDRESSES: This final rule is available
on the Internet at https://
www.regulations.gov. Comments and
materials received, as well as supporting
documentation used in preparation of
this final rule, are available for
inspection, by appointment, during
normal business hours, at our Montana
office, 585 Shepard Way, Helena,
Montana 59601. Call (406) 449–5225,
extension 204 to make arrangements.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Edward E. Bangs, Western Gray Wolf
Recovery Coordinator, U.S. Fish and
Wildlife Service, at our Helena office
(see ADDRESSES) or telephone (406) 449–
5225, extension 204. Individuals who
are hearing-impaired or speechimpaired may call the Federal Relay
Service at 1–800–877–8337 for TTY
assistance.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background
Gray wolves are the largest wild
members of the dog family (Canidae).
Adult gray wolves range from 18–80
kilograms (kg) (40–175 pounds (lb))
depending upon sex and region (Mech
1974, p. 1). In the NRM, adult male gray
wolves average over 45 kg (100 lb), but
may weigh up to 60 kg (130 lb). Females
weigh slightly less than males. Wolves’
fur color is frequently a grizzled gray,
but it can vary from pure white to coal
black (Gipson et al. 2002, p. 821).
Gray wolves have a circumpolar range
including North America, Europe, and
Asia. As Europeans began settling the
U.S., they poisoned, trapped, and shot
wolves, causing this once widespread
species to be eradicated from most of its
range in the 48 conterminous States
(Mech 1970, pp. 31–34; McIntyre 1995).
Gray wolf populations were eliminated
from Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming, as
well as adjacent southwestern Canada
by the 1930s (Young and Goldman 1944,
p. 414).
Wolves primarily prey on medium
and large mammals. Wolves normally
live in packs of 2 to 12 animals. In the
NRM, pack sizes average about 10
wolves in protected areas, but a few
complex packs have been substantially
bigger in some areas of Yellowstone
National Park (YNP) (Smith et al. 2006,
p. 243; Service et al. 2007, Tables 1–3).
Packs typically occupy large distinct
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territories from 518 to 1,295 square
kilometers (km2) (200 to 500 square
miles (mi2)) and defend these areas from
other wolves or packs. Once a given area
is occupied by resident wolf packs, it
becomes saturated and wolf numbers
become regulated by the amount of
available prey, intra-species conflict,
other forms of mortality, and dispersal.
Dispersing wolves may cover large areas
(See Defining the Boundaries of the
NRM DPS) as they try to join other
packs or attempt to form their own pack
in unoccupied habitat (Mech and
Boitani 2003, p. 11–17).
Typically, only the top-ranking
(‘‘alpha’’) male and female in each pack
breed and produce pups (Packard 2003,
p. 38; Smith et al. 2006, pp. 243–4;
Service et al. 2007, Tables 1–3). Females
and males typically begin breeding as 2year-olds and may annually produce
young until they are over 10 years old.
Litters are typically born in April and
range from 1 to 11 pups, but average
around 5 pups (Service et al. 1989–
2007, Tables 1–3). Most years, four of
these five pups survive until winter
(Service et al. 1989–2007, Tables 1–3).
Wolves can live 13 years (Holyan et al.
2005, p. 446), but the average lifespan
in the NRM is less than 4 years (Smith
et al. 2006, p. 245). Pup production and
survival can increase when wolf density
is lower and food availability per wolf
increases (Fuller et al. 2003, p. 186).
Pack social structure is very adaptable
and resilient. Breeding members can be
quickly replaced either from within or
outside the pack and pups can be reared
by another pack member should their
parents die (Packard 2003, p. 38;
Brainerd et al. 2008; Mech 2006, p.
1482). Consequently, wolf populations
can rapidly recover from severe
disruptions, such as very high levels of
human-caused mortality or disease.
After severe declines, wolf populations
can more than double in just 2 years if
mortality is reduced; increases of nearly
100 percent per year have been
documented in low-density suitable
habitat (Fuller et al. 2003, pp. 181–183;
Service et al. 2007, Table 4).
For detailed information on the
biology of this species see the ‘‘Biology
and Ecology of Gray Wolves’’ section of
the April 1, 2003, final rule to reclassify
and remove the gray wolf from the list
of endangered and threatened wildlife
in portions of the conterminous U.S.
(2003 Reclassification Rule) (68 FR
15804).
Previous Federal Actions
In 1974, four subspecies of gray wolf
were listed as endangered, including the
NRM gray wolf (Canis lupus irremotus),
the eastern timber wolf (C.l. lycaon) in
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the northern Great Lakes region, the
Mexican wolf (C.l. baileyi) in Mexico
and the southwestern U.S., and the
Texas gray wolf (C.l. monstrabilis) of
Texas and Mexico (39 FR 1171, January
4, 1974). In 1978, we published a rule
(43 FR 9607, March 9, 1978) relisting
the gray wolf as endangered at the
species level (C. lupus) throughout the
conterminous 48 States and Mexico,
except for Minnesota, where the gray
wolf was reclassified to threatened. At
that time, critical habitat was designated
in Minnesota and Isle Royale, Michigan.
On February 8, 2007, we established a
Western Great Lakes (WGL) DPS and
removed it from the List of Endangered
and Threatened Wildlife (72 FR 6052).
On November 22, 1994, we designated
portions of Idaho, Montana, and
Wyoming as two nonessential
experimental population areas for the
gray wolf under section 10(j) of the Act
including the Yellowstone Experimental
Population Area (59 FR 60252,
November 22, 1994) and the Central
Idaho Experimental Population Area (59
FR 60266, November 22, 1994). These
designations, which are found at 50 CFR
17.40(i), assisted us in initiating gray
wolf reintroduction projects in central
Idaho and in the Greater Yellowstone
Area (GYA). In 2005 and 2008, we
revised these regulations to provide
increased management flexibility for
this recovered wolf population in States
with Service-approved post-delisting
wolf management plans (70 FR 1286,
January 6, 2005; 73 FR 4270, January 28,
2008). The revisions are at 50 CFR
17.84(n).
The NRM wolf population is a
metapopulation comprised of three core
recovery areas. It has a range (wolf
breeding pairs, wolf packs, and routine
dispersing wolves) that encompasses all
of Idaho, most of Montana and
Wyoming, and parts of adjacent States
(Service 2005, p. 1–2). It achieved its
numerical and distributional recovery
goals at the end of 2000 (Service et al.
2007, Table 4). The temporal portion of
the recovery goal was achieved in 2002
when the numerical and distributional
recovery goals were exceeded for the
third successive year (Service et al.
2007, Table 4). To meet the Act’s
requirements, Idaho, Montana, and
Wyoming needed to develop postdelisting wolf management plans to
ensure that adequate regulatory
mechanisms would exist should the
Act’s protections be removed. In 2004,
the Service determined that Montana
and Idaho’s laws and wolf management
plans were adequate to assure that their
shares of the NRM wolf population
would be maintained above recovery
levels (see Recovery section). However,
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we determined the 2003 Wyoming
legislation and wolf management plan
(Wyoming 2003) were not adequate to
assume that Wyoming’s portion of the
NRM wolf population would be
maintained above recovery levels
(Williams 2004). Wyoming challenged
this determination, but the Federal
District Court in Wyoming dismissed
the case (360 F. Supp 2nd 1214, D.
Wyoming 2005). Wyoming appealed
that decision, and on April 3, 2006, the
Tenth Circuit Court of Appeals upheld
the district court decision (442 F. 3rd
1262).
On July 19, 2005, we received a
petition from the Office of the Governor,
State of Wyoming and the Wyoming
Game and Fish Commission (WGFC) to
revise the listing status for the gray wolf
by establishing a NRM DPS and to
remove it from the Federal List of
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
(Freudenthal 2005). On August 1, 2006,
we announced a 12-month finding that
the petitioned action (delisting in all of
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming) was not
warranted because the 2003 Wyoming
State law and wolf management plan
did not provide the necessary regulatory
mechanisms to ensure that Wyoming’s
numerical and distributional share of a
recovered NRM wolf population would
be conserved (71 FR 43410). Wyoming
challenged this finding in Federal
District Court (State of Wyoming, et al.
v. USDOI, CA No. 06CV0245J).
Wyoming has indicated that they will
deem the claims in the pending
litigation settled and will request that
the court dismiss the litigation upon
publication of this final rule by
February 28, 2008 (Freudenthal 2007b).
On February 8, 2007, we proposed to
designate the NRM DPS of the gray wolf
and to delist all or most portions of the
NRM DPS (72 FR 6106). Specifically, we
proposed to delist wolves in Montana,
Idaho, and Wyoming, and parts of
Washington, Oregon, and Utah. The
proposal noted that the area in
northwestern Wyoming outside the
National Parks (i.e., YNP, Grand Teton
National Park, and John D. Rockefeller
Memorial Parkway) would only be
delisted in the final rule if adequate
State regulatory mechanisms were
developed. On July 6, 2007, the Service
extended the comment period in order
to consider a 2007 revised Wyoming
wolf management plan and State law
that we believed, if implemented, could
allow the wolves in northwestern
Wyoming to be removed from the List
of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
(72 FR 36939). On November 16, 2007,
the WGFC unanimously approved the
2007 Wyoming Plan (Cleveland 2007, p.
1). We then determined this plan
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provides adequate regulatory
protections to conserve Wyoming’s
portion of a recovered wolf population
into the foreseeable future (Hall 2007, p.
1–2). Our determination was
conditional upon the 2007 Wyoming
wolf management law being fully in
effect and the wolf management plan
being legally authorized by Wyoming
statutes. The plan automatically goes
into effect upon the Governor’s
certification to the Wyoming Secretary
of State that all of the provisions found
in the 2007 Wyoming wolf management
law have been met (W.S. §§ 23–1–101 et
sec.; discussed in further detail in
Factor D below) (Freudenthal 2007b, p.
1–3).
For detailed information on previous
Federal actions also see the 2003
reclassification rule (68 FR 15804, April
1, 2003), the 2006 advanced notice of
proposed rulemaking (ANPR) (71 FR
6634, February 8, 2006), the 12-month
finding on Wyoming’s petition to delist
(71 FR 43410, August 1, 2006), and the
February 8, 2007, proposed rule to
designate the NRM population of gray
wolf as a DPS and remove this DPS from
the List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife (72 FR 6106).
Distinct Vertebrate Population Segment
Policy Overview
Pursuant to the Act, we consider if
information is sufficient to indicate that
listing any species, subspecies, or, for
vertebrates, any DPS of these taxa may
be warranted. To interpret and
implement the DPS provision of the Act
and congressional guidance, the Service
and the National Marine Fisheries
Service (NMFS) published a policy
regarding the recognition of distinct
vertebrate population segments under
the Act (61 FR 4722–4725, February 7,
1996). Under this policy, three factors
are considered in a decision regarding
the establishment and listing,
reclassification, or delisting of a DPS.
The first two factors determine whether
the population segment is a valid DPS—
(1) discreteness of the population
segment in relation to the remainder of
the taxon, and (2) the significance of the
population segment to the taxon to
which it belongs. If a population meets
both tests, it is a DPS. Then the third
factor, the population segment’s
conservation status, is evaluated in
relation to the Act’s standards for
listing, delisting, or reclassification (i.e.,
is the DPS endangered or threatened).
Defining the Boundaries of the NRM
DPS
We defined the geographic boundaries
for the area to be evaluated for DPS
status based on discreteness and
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significance as defined by our DPS
policy. The DPS policy allows an
artificial (e.g., State line) or manmade
(e.g., road or highway) boundary to be
used as a boundary of convenience for
clearly identifying the geographic area
for a DPS. The NRM DPS includes all
of Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming, the
eastern third of Washington and Oregon,
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and a small part of north central Utah.
Specifically, the DPS includes that
portion of Washington east of Highway
97 and Highway 17 north of Mesa and
that portion of Washington east of
Highway 395 south of Mesa. It includes
that portion of Oregon east of Highway
395 and Highway 78 north of Burns
Junction and that portion of Oregon east
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of Highway 95 south of Burns Junction.
Finally, the NRM DPS includes that
portion of Utah east of Highway 84 and
north of Highway 80. The center of
these roads is deemed the border of the
NRM DPS (See Figure 1).
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One factor we considered in defining
the boundaries of the NRM DPS was the
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current distribution of known wolf
packs in 2006 (Service et al. 2007,
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Figure 1) (except four packs in
northwestern Wyoming that did not
persist). We also examined the annual
distribution of wolf packs from 2002
(the first year the population exceeded
the recovery goal) through 2006 (Service
et al. 2003–2007, Figure 1; Bangs et al.
in press). Because outer distribution
changed little in these years, we used
the 2004 data because it had already
been analyzed in the February 8, 2006
ANPR (71 FR 6634). Wolf packs have
been documented in Montana, Idaho, or
Wyoming so we include these three
States in the DPS.
Dispersal distances also played a key
role in determining the boundaries for
the NRM DPS. We examined the known
dispersal distances of over 200 marked
dispersing wolves from the NRM from
1993 through 2005 (Jimenez et al. in
prep.). These data indicate that the
average dispersal distance of wolves
from the NRM was about 97 km (60 mi)
(Boyd and Pletscher 1999, p. 1094;
Jimenez et al. in prep; Thiessen 2007, p.
33). We determined that 300 km (190
mi), three times the average dispersal
distance, was a breakpoint in our data
for unusually long-distance dispersal
out from existing wolf pack territories
(Jimenez et al. in prep., Figure 2 and 3).
Only 10 wolves (none of which
subsequently bred) have dispersed
farther outside the core population areas
and remained in the United States.
None of these wolves returned to the
core recovery areas in Montana, Idaho,
or Wyoming. Only dispersal from the
NRM wolf packs to areas within the
United States was considered in these
calculations because we were trying to
determine the appropriate NRM DPS
boundaries within the U.S. Dispersers to
Canada were not considered in our
calculation of average dispersal distance
because the distribution of suitable
habitat and wolves and level of human
persecution in Canada is significantly
different than in the U.S., potentially
affecting wolf dispersal patterns. We
plotted average dispersal distance and
three times the average dispersal
distance from existing wolf pack
territories in the NRM. The resulting
map indicated a wide area where wolf
dispersal was common enough to
support intermittent additional pack
establishment from the core recovery
areas given the availability of patches of
nearby suitable habitat (Service 2005, p.
1–2). Our specific data on wolf dispersal
in the NRM may not be applicable to
other areas of North America (Mech and
Boitani 2003, pp. 13–16).
We also examined suitable wolf
habitat in Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming (Oakleaf et al. 2006, pp. 555–
558) and throughout the western U.S.
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(Carroll et al. 2003, p. 538; Carroll et al.
2006, pp. 27–30) by comparing the
biological and physical characteristics
of areas currently occupied by wolf
packs with the characteristics of
adjacent areas that remain unoccupied
by wolf packs. The basic findings and
predictions of those models (Carroll et
al. 2003, p. 541; Carroll et al. 2006, p.
32; Oakleaf et al. 2006, p. 559) were
similar in many respects. Suitable wolf
habitat in the NRM DPS is typically
characterized by public land,
mountainous forested habitat, abundant
year-round wild ungulate populations,
lower road density, lower numbers of
domestic livestock that were only
present seasonally, few domestic sheep
(Ovis sp.), low agricultural use, and low
human populations (see Factor A). The
models indicate that a large block of
suitable wolf habitat exists in central
Idaho and the GYA, and to a smaller
extent in northwestern Montana. These
findings support the recommendations
of the 1987 wolf recovery plan (Service
1987) that identified those three areas as
the most likely locations to support a
recovered wolf population and are
consistent with the actual distribution
of all wolf breeding pairs in the NRM
since 1986 (Bangs et al. 1998, Figure 1;
Service et al. 1999–2007, Figures 1–4,
Tables 1–3). The models indicate little
habitat is suitable to support wolf packs
within the portion of the NRM DPS in
eastern Montana, southern Idaho,
eastern Wyoming, Washington, Oregon,
or northcentral Utah (See Factor A).
Unsuitable habitat also was important
in determining the boundaries of the
NRM DPS. Model predictions by
Oakleaf et al. (2006, p. 559) and Carroll
et al. (2003, pp. 540–541; 2006, p. 27)
and our observations during the past 20
years (Bangs et al. 2004, p. 93; Service
et al. 2007, Figures 1–4, Table 4)
indicate that non-forested rangeland and
croplands associated with intensive
agricultural use (prairie and high desert)
preclude wolf pack establishment and
persistence. This unsuitability is due to
high rates of wolf mortality, high
densities of livestock compared to wild
ungulates, chronic conflict with
livestock and pets, local cultural
intolerance of large predators, and wolf
behavioral characteristics that make
them vulnerable to human-caused
mortality in open landscapes (See
Factor A). We looked at the distribution
of large expanses of unsuitable habitat
that would form a broad boundary
separating the NRM DPS from both the
southwestern and midwestern wolf
populations and from the core of any
other possible wolf population that
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might develop in the foreseeable future
in the western U.S.
We included the eastern parts of
Washington and Oregon and a small
portion of north central Utah within the
NRM DPS, because—(1) These areas are
within 97 to 300 km (60 to 190 mi) from
the core wolf population and routinely
used by dispersing wolves; (2) lone
dispersing wolves have been
documented in these areas more than
once in recent times (Jimenez et al. in
prep.); (3) these areas contain some
suitable habitat (see Factor A); and (4)
the potential for connectivity exists
between the relatively small and
fragmented patches of suitable habitat in
these areas with larger blocks of suitable
habitat in the NRM DPS. If wolf
breeding pairs establish in these areas,
habitat suitability models suggest these
nearby areas would likely be more
connected to the core recovery areas in
central Idaho and northwestern
Wyoming than to any future wolf
populations that might become
established in other large blocks of
potentially suitable habitat farther
beyond the NRM DPS border. As noted
earlier, large swaths of unsuitable
habitat would isolate any wolf breeding
pairs within the NRM DPS from other
large patches of suitable habitat to the
west or south (Carroll et al. 2003, p.
541).
Although we have received reports of
individual wolves and wolf packs in the
North Cascades of Washington (Almack
and Fitkin 1998, pp. 7–13), agency
efforts to confirm them were
unsuccessful and to date no individual
wolves or packs have been confirmed
there (Boyd and Pletscher 1999, p. 1096;
Jimenez et al. in prep.). Intervening
unsuitable habitat makes it highly
unlikely that wolves from the NRM DPS
have dispersed to the North Cascades in
recent history. However, if wolves
dispersed into this area, they would
remain protected by the Act as
endangered because it is outside of the
NRM DPS.
We include all of Wyoming, Montana,
and Idaho in the NRM DPS because (1)
their State regulatory frameworks apply
Statewide; and (2) expanding the DPS
beyond a 300 km (190 mi) band of likely
dispersal distances to include extreme
eastern Montana and Wyoming adds
only unsuitable habitat and does not
affect the distinctness of the NRM DPS.
Although including all of Wyoming in
the NRM DPS results in including
portions of the Sierra Madre, the Snowy,
and the Laramie Ranges, we do not
consider these areas to be suitable wolf
habitat because of their size, shape, and
distance from a strong source of
dispersing wolves. Oakleaf et al. (2006,
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pp. 558–559) chose not to analyze these
areas of southeast Wyoming because
they are fairly intensively used by
livestock and are surrounded with, and
interspersed by, private land, making
pack establishment and persistence
unlikely. While Carroll et al. (2003, p.
541; 2006, p. 32) optimistically
predicted these areas were suitable
habitat, the model predicted that under
current conditions these areas were
largely sink habitat and that by 2025
(within the foreseeable future) they were
likely to be ranked as low occupancy
because of human population growth
and road development.
We chose not to extend the NRM DPS
border east beyond Montana and
Wyoming, because those adjacent
portions of North Dakota, South Dakota,
and Nebraska are far outside the
predicted routine dispersal range of gray
wolves from the NRM. In addition, the
available information on potentially
suitable habitat indicates that Colorado
and additional areas of Utah to the
south and west of the NRM DPS include
large areas of potentially suitable but
unoccupied habitat (Carroll et al. 2003,
p. 541). The current distribution of wolf
packs in the NRM wolf population
encompasses most of the suitable
habitat, that area is surrounded by
unsuitable habitat, and the nearest other
blocks of suitable habitat are far beyond
the expected dispersal distance of
wolves that might form new breeding
pairs. Therefore, we concluded that a
smaller NRM DPS that contains the core
recovery areas and the adjacent areas of
largely unsuitable habitat where routine
wolf dispersal could be expected, but
that excludes contiguous blocks of
potentially suitable habitat to the west
and south that are outside the routine
wolf dispersal area is representative of
the current and future status of the
existing NRM wolf population and
consistent with our DPS policy.
Analysis for Discreteness
Under the DPS policy, a population
segment of a vertebrate taxon may be
considered discrete if it satisfies either
one of the following conditions—(1) Is
markedly separated from other
populations of the same taxon as a
consequence of physical, physiological,
ecological, or behavioral factors
(quantitative measures of genetic or
morphological discontinuity may
provide evidence of this separation); or
(2) is delimited by international
governmental boundaries within which
differences in control of exploitation,
management of habitat, conservation
status, or regulatory mechanisms exist
that are significant in light of section
4(a)(1)(D) of the Act.
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Markedly Separated from Other
Populations of the Taxon—The eastern
edge of the NRM DPS (Figure 1) is about
644 km (400 mi) from the western edge
of the WGL DPS core wolf population
(eastern Minnesota) and is separated
from it by hundreds of miles of
unsuitable habitat (see Factor A). The
southern edge of the NRM DPS border
is about 724 km (450 mi) from the
nonessential experimental populations
of wolves in the southwestern U.S. with
vast amounts of unoccupied marginal or
unsuitable habitat separating them. No
wild wolves have been confirmed west
of the NRM DPS boundary (although
occasionally we get unconfirmed reports
and 2 wolves were killed close to that
boundary). While one dispersing wolf
was confirmed east and one south of the
NRM DPS boundary, no wolf packs have
ever been found there. No wolves from
other U.S. wolf populations are known
to have dispersed as far as the NRM
DPS.
Although wolves can disperse over
1,092 km (680 mi) (with actual travel
distances exceeding 10,000 km (6,000
mi)) (Fritts 1983, pp. 166–167; Ream et
al. 1991, pp. 351–352; Boyd and
Pletscher 1999, p. 1094; Missouri
Department of Conservation 2001, pp.
1–2; Jimenez et al. in prep.; Wabakken
et al. 2007, p. 1631), the average
dispersal of NRM wolves is about 97 km
(60 mi) (Boyd and Pletscher 1999, p.
1100; Jimenez et al. in prep.; Thiessen
2007, p. 72). Only 10 of over 200
confirmed NRM wolf dispersal events
from 1992 through 2005 have been over
300 km (190 mi) and outside the core
recovery areas (Boyd and Pletscher.
1999, p. 1094; Jimenez et al. in prep.).
Undoubtedly many other dispersal
events have occurred but not been
detected because only 30 percent of the
NRM wolf population has been radiocollared. All but two of these known
U.S. long-distance dispersers remained
within the NRM DPS. None of them
found mates or survived long enough to
form packs or breed in the U.S. (Jimenez
et al. in prep.).
The first wolf confirmed to have
dispersed (within the U.S.) beyond the
border of the NRM DPS was killed by
a vehicle collision along Interstate 70 in
north-central Colorado in spring 2004.
Video footage of a black wolf-like canid
taken near Walden in northern Colorado
in early 2006, suggests another
dispersing wolf may have traveled into
Colorado. The subsequent status or
location of that animal is unknown.
Finally, in spring 2006, the carcass of a
male black wolf was found along
Interstate 90 in western South Dakota.
Genetic testing confirmed it was a wolf
that had dispersed from the GYA. We
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expect that occasional lone wolves will
continue to disperse between and
beyond the core recovery areas in
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming, as well
as into States adjacent to the NRM DPS.
However, pack development and
persistence outside the NRM DPS is
unlikely because wolves that disperse as
individuals typically have low survival
(Pletscher et al. 1997, p. 459) and
suitable habitat is limited and distant
(Carroll et al. 2003, p. 541) from the
NRM DPS.
No connectivity currently exists
between the NRM, WGL, and
Southwestern gray wolf populations,
nor are there any resident wolf packs in
intervening areas. While it is
theoretically possible that a lone wolf
might traverse over 644 km (400 mi)
from one population to the other,
movement between these populations
has never been documented and is
extremely unlikely because of both the
distance and the large areas of
unsuitable habitat between the
populations. Furthermore, the DPS
policy does not require complete
separation of one DPS from other
populations, but instead requires some
‘‘marked separation.’’ Thus, if
occasional individual wolves or packs
disperse among populations, the NRM
DPS could still display the required
discreteness. Based on the information
presented above, we have determined
that NRM gray wolves are markedly
separated from all other gray wolf
populations in the U.S.
Differences Among U.S. and
Canadian Wolf Populations—The DPS
policy allows us to use international
borders to delineate the boundaries of a
DPS if there are differences in control of
exploitation, conservation status, or
regulatory mechanisms between the
countries. Significant differences exist
in management between U.S. and
Canadian wolf populations. About
52,000 to 60,000 wolves occur in
Canada, where suitable habitat is
abundant (Boitani 2003, p. 322).
Because of this abundance, wolves in
Canada are not protected by Federal
laws and are only minimally protected
in most Canadian provinces (Pletscher
et al. 1991, p. 546). In the U.S., unlike
Canada, Federal protection and
intensive management has been
necessary to recover the wolf (Carbyn
1983). When delisted, States in the NRM
DPS would carefully monitor and
manage to retain populations above the
recovery goal (see Factor D). Therefore,
we will continue to use the U.S.-Canada
border to mark the northern boundary of
the NRM DPS due to the difference in
control of exploitation, conservation
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status, and regulatory mechanisms
between the two countries.
Analysis for Significance
If we determine that a population
segment is discrete, we next consider
available scientific evidence of its
significance to the taxon to which it
belongs. Our DPS policy states that this
consideration may include, but is not
limited to, the following factors: (1)
Persistence of the discrete population
segment in an ecological setting unusual
or unique for the taxon; (2) evidence
that loss of the discrete population
segment would result in a significant
gap in the range of the taxon; (3)
evidence that the discrete population
segment represents the only surviving
natural occurrence of a taxon that may
be more abundant elsewhere as an
introduced population outside its
historic range; and/or (4) evidence that
the discrete population segment differs
markedly from other populations of the
species in its genetic characteristics.
Below we address factors 1 and 2.
Factors 3 and 4 do not apply to the NRM
DPS and thus are not included in our
analysis for significance.
Unusual or Unique Ecological
Setting—Within the range of holarctic
wolves, the NRM has among the highest
diversity of large predators and native
ungulate prey species, resulting in
complex ecological interaction between
the ungulate prey, predator and
scavenger groups, and vegetation (Smith
et al. 2003, p. 331). In the NRM DPS,
gray wolves share habitats with black
bears (Ursus americanus), grizzly bears
(U.arctos horribilis), cougars (Felis
concolor), lynx (Lynx canadensis),
wolverine (Gulo gulo), coyotes (Canis
latrans), foxes (Vulpes vulpes), badgers
(Taxidea taxus), bobcats (Felis rufus),
fisher (Martes pennanti), and marten
(Martes americana). The unique and
diverse assemblage of native prey
include elk (Cervus canadensis), mule
deer (Odocoileus hemionus), whitetailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus),
moose (Alces alces), woodland caribou
(Rangifer caribou), bighorn sheep (Ovis
canadensis), mountain goats (Oreamnos
americanus), pronghorn antelope
(Antilocapra americana), bison (Bison
bison) (only in the GYA), and beaver
(Castor canadensis). This complexity
leads to unique dramatic and unique
ecological cascades in pristine areas,
such as in YNP. While these effects
likely still occur at varying degrees
elsewhere, they are increasingly
modified and subtle the more an area is
affected by humans (Smith et al. 2003,
pp. 334–338; Robbins 2004, pp. 80–81;
Campbell et al. 2006, pp. 747–753;
Hebblewhite et al. 2005, p. 2135; Garrott
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et al. 2005, p. 1245). For example,
wolves appear to be changing elk
behavior and elk relationships and
competition with other native ungulates
in YNP. These complex interactions
may increase streamside willow
production and survival (Ripple and
Beschta 2004, p. 755), that in turn can
affect beaver and nesting by riparian
birds (Nievelt 2001, p. 1). This
suspected pattern of wolf-caused
changes also may be occurring with
scavengers, whereby wolf predation is
providing a year-round source of food
for a diverse variety of carrion feeders
(Wilmers et al. 2003, p. 996; Wilmers
and Getz 2005, p. 571). The wolf
population in the NRM has extended
the southern range of the contiguous
gray wolf population in western North
America nearly 400 miles (640 km) into
a much more diverse, ecologically
complex, and unique assemblage of
species than is found elsewhere within
occupied wolf habitat in most of the
northern hemisphere.
Significant Gap in the Range of the
Taxon—Wolves once lived throughout
most of North America. Wolves have
been extirpated from most of the
southern portions of their historic North
American range. The loss of the NRM
wolf population would represent a
significant gap in the species’ holarctic
range in that this loss would create a 15degree latitudinal or over 1,600-km
(1,000-mi) gap across the Rocky
Mountains between the Mexican wolf
and wolves in Canada. If this potential
gap were realized, substantial cascading
ecological impacts, such as behavioral
changes in elk that reduced browsing
pressure and allowed increased willow
growth in riparian areas that can then
support beaver or nesting song birds,
would occur in the NRM, most
noticeably in the most pristine and
wildest areas (Smith et al. 2003, pp.
334–338; Robbins 2004, pp. 80–81;
Campbell et al. 2006, pp. 747–753;
Hebblewhite and Smith in press, p. 1–
6).
Given the wolf’s historic occupancy of
the conterminous U.S. and the portion
of the historic range the conterminous
U.S. represents, recovery in the lower 48
States has long been viewed as
important to the taxon (39 FR 1171,
January 4, 1974; 43 FR 9607, March 9,
1978). The NRM DPS is significant in
achieving this objective, as it is 1 of only
3 populations of wolves in the lower 48
States and currently constitutes nearly
25 percent of all wolves in the lower 48
States.
We conclude, based on our analysis of
the best available scientific information,
that the NRM DPS is significant to the
taxon in that NRM wolves exist in a
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unique ecological setting and their loss
would represent a significant gap in the
range of the taxon. Therefore, the NRM
DPS meets the criterion of significance
under our DPS policy. Because the NRM
gray wolf population is both discrete
and significant, it is a valid DPS. The
conservation status of the DPS is
discussed below (see Summary of
Factors Affecting the Species section).
Recovery
Recovery Planning and the Selection
of Recovery Criteria—Shortly after
listing we formed the interagency wolf
recovery team to complete a recovery
plan for the NRM population (Service
1980, p. i; Fritts et al. 1995, p. 111). The
NRM Wolf Recovery Plan (recovery
plan) was approved in 1980 (Service
1980, p. i) and revised in 1987 (Service
1987, p. i). Recovery plans are not
regulatory documents and are instead
intended to provide guidance to the
Service, States, and other partners on
methods of minimizing threats to listed
species and on criteria that may be used
to determine when recovery is achieved.
There are many paths to accomplishing
recovery of a species and recovery may
be achieved without all criteria being
fully met. For example, one or more
criteria may have been exceeded while
other criteria may not have been
accomplished. In that instance, the
Service may judge that the threats have
been minimized sufficiently, and the
species is robust enough to reclassify
from endangered to threatened or to
delist. In other cases, recovery
opportunities may have been recognized
that were not known at the time the
recovery plan was finalized. These
opportunities may be used instead of
methods identified in the recovery plan.
Likewise, information on the species
may be learned that was not known at
the time the recovery plan was
finalized. The new information may
change the extent that criteria need to be
met for recognizing recovery of the
species. Recovery of a species is a
dynamic process requiring adaptive
management that may, or may not, fully
follow the guidance provided in a
recovery plan.
The 1980 recovery plan’s objective
was to re-establish and maintain viable
populations of the NRM wolf (Canis
lupus irremotus) in its former range
where feasible (Service 1980, p. iii). The
revised recovery plan (Service 1987, p.
57) specifies a recovery criterion of a
minimum of 10 breeding pairs of wolves
(defined as 2 wolves of opposite sex and
adequate age, capable of producing
offspring) for a minimum of 3
successive years in each of 3 core
recovery areas—(1) Northwestern
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Montana (Glacier National Park; the
Great Bear, Bob Marshall, and Lincoln
Scapegoat Wilderness Areas; and
adjacent public and private lands), (2)
central Idaho (Selway-Bitterroot, Gospel
Hump, Frank Church River of No
Return, and Sawtooth Wilderness Areas;
and adjacent, mostly Federal, lands),
and (3) the YNP area (including the
Absaroka-Beartooth, North Absaroka,
Washakie, and Teton Wilderness Areas;
and adjacent public and private lands).
That plan recommended that wolf
establishment not be promoted outside
these distinct recovery areas, but that
connectivity between them be
encouraged. However, no attempts were
made to prevent wolf pack
establishment outside of the recovery
areas unless chronic conflict required
resolution (Service 1994, p. 1–15, 16;
Service 1999; p. 2). The recovery plan
states that if 2 recovery areas maintain
a minimum of 10 breeding pairs for 3
successive years, the gray wolves in the
NRM can be reclassified to threatened
status, and if all 3 recovery areas
maintain a minimum of 10 breeding
pairs for 3 successive years, then the
NRM wolf population can be considered
fully recovered and can be considered
for delisting.
The 1994 environmental impact
statement (EIS) on wolf reintroduction
reviewed wolf recovery in the NRM and
the adequacy of the recovery goals
because we were concerned that the
1987 goals might be insufficient (Service
1994, pp. 6:68–78). The Service
conducted a thorough literature review
of wolf population viability analysis and
minimum viable populations, reviewed
the recovery goals for other wolf
populations, surveyed the opinions of
43 wolf experts, of which 25 responded,
and incorporated our own expertise into
a review of the NRM wolf recovery goal.
We published our analysis in the
Service’s EIS and in a peer-reviewed
paper (Service 1994, Appendix 8 & 9;
Fritts and Carbyn 1995, p. 26–38). Our
analysis concluded that the 1987
recovery goal was, at best, a minimum
recovery goal, and that modifications
were warranted on the basis of more
recent information about wolf
distribution, connectivity, and numbers.
We agree with Fritts and Carbyn (1995,
p. 26) that ‘‘Data on survival of actual
wolf populations suggest greater
resiliency than indicated by theory’’ and
theoretical treatments of population
viability ‘‘have created unnecessary
dilemmas for wolf recovery programs by
overstating the required population
size’’. Based on our analysis and peer
review comments, we concluded that
‘‘Thirty or more breeding pairs
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comprising some 300+ wolves in a
metapopulation (a population that exists
as partially isolated sets of
subpopulations) with genetic exchange
between subpopulations should have a
high probability of long-term
persistence’’ because such a population
would contain enough individuals in
successfully reproducing packs
distributed over distinct but somewhat
connected large areas to be viable for the
long term (Service 1994, pp. 6:75). A
population at or above this size would
contain at least 30 successfully
reproducing packs and ample
individuals to ensure long-term
population viability. In addition the
metapopulation configuration and
distribution throughout secure suitable
habitat would ensure that each core
recovery area would provide a
recovered population that would be
distributed over a large enough area to
provide resilience to natural or mancaused events that may temporarily
affect one core recovery area. No wolf
population of this size and distribution
has gone extinct in recent history unless
it was deliberately eradicated by
humans (Boitani 2003, 321–331). We
further determined that a
metapopulation of this size and
distribution among the three core
recovery areas within the area we now
identify as the NRM DPS would result
in a wolf population that would fully
achieve our recovery objectives.
We conducted another review of what
constitutes a recovered wolf population
in late 2001 and early 2002 to reevaluate
and update our 1994 analysis and
conclusions (Service 1994, Appendix 9).
We surveyed 86 biologists, of which 50
responded, with expertise in wolves and
population viability from North
America and Europe for their
professional opinions regarding a wide
range of issues related to the NRM
recovery goal. We also reviewed a wide
range of literature, including wolf
population viability analysis from other
areas (Bangs 2002, p. 1–9). Despite
varied professional opinions and a great
diversity of suggestions, experts
overwhelmingly thought the recovery
goal derived in our 1994 analysis was
more biologically appropriate than the
1987 recovery plan’s criteria for
recovery and represented a viable and
recovered wolf population. Reviewers
also thought connectivity (either natural
or human-facilitated) was important to
maintaining the metapopulation
configuration and wolf population
viability. Reviewers also recommended
other concepts/numbers for recovery
goals but most were slight modifications
to those we recommended in our 1994
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analysis. While experts strongly (78%)
supported our 1994 conclusions that a
metapopulation of at least 30 breeding
pairs and at least 300 wolves would
provide for a viable wolf population,
they also concluded that wolf
population viability was enhanced by
higher (500 or more wolves) rather than
lower population levels (300) and longer
(more than 3 years) rather than shorter
(3 years) demonstrated time frames. The
more numerous and widely distributed
a species is, the higher its probability of
population viability will be. However,
the Act requires us to ensure a species
is no longer threatened or endangered
not that its viability would be
theoretically maximized. A wolf
metapopulation of at least 30 breeding
pairs and at least 300 wolves ensures it
will remain viable and recovered. A
slight majority indicated that the 1987
recovery goal, of only 10 breeding pairs
(defined as a male and female capable
of breeding) in each of three distinct
recovery areas, may be viable, given the
persistence of other small wolf
populations in other parts of the world.
The results of previous population
viability analysis for other wolf
populations varied widely, and similar
to our 1994 analysis, reviewers
concluded that theoretical results were
strongly dependent on the variables and
assumptions used in such models and
conclusions often predicted different
outcomes than actual empirical data had
conclusively demonstrated. Based on
that review, we reaffirmed our more
relevant and stringent 1994 definition of
wolf breeding pairs, population
viability, and recovery (Service 1994, p.
6:75).
We measure the wolf recovery goal by
the number of breeding pairs because
wolf populations are maintained by
packs that successfully raise pups. We
use ‘‘breeding pairs’’ to describe
successfully reproducing packs (Service
1994, pp. 6:67; Bangs 2002, p. 7–8;
Mitchell et al. in press). Breeding pairs
are only measured in winter because
most wolf mortality occurs in spring/
summer/fall and winter is the beginning
of the annual courtship and breeding
season for wolves. Often we do not
know if the specific pack actually
contains an adult male, adult female,
and two pups in winter; however, pack
size has proven to have a strong
correlation with breeding pair status
and by simply knowing the size of wolf
packs in mid-winter we can reliably
estimate the number of breeding pairs
(Ausband 2006; Mitchell et al. in press).
In the future, the States will be able to
use pack size in winter as a surrogate to
reliably identify each pack’s
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contribution toward meeting our
breeding pair recovery criteria and to
better predict the effect of managing for
certain pack sizes on wolf population
recovery.
We have also determined that an
essential part of achieving recovery is an
equitable distribution of wolf breeding
pairs and individual wolves among the
three States and the three core recovery
areas. A wolf metapopulation that is
equitably distributed among the three
core recovery areas provides each area
with enough successfully reproducing
packs and individuals to withstand any
threats to it and to allow for local
adaptation to the ecological conditions
within each area (e.g., bison in the GYA,
white-tailed deer in northwestern
Montana, or steep terrain of central
Idaho). In addition, a minimum number
of successfully reproducing packs and
individual wolves in each core recovery
area ensures a consistent strong source
of dispersing individuals between and
among the three recovery areas to
consistently occupy suitable habitat,
form new or join existing packs, and
provide the opportunity for genetic and
demographic mixing within the
population to maintain its viability and
resilience. Like peer reviewers in 1994
and 2002, we concluded that NRM wolf
recovery and long-term wolf population
viability is dependent on its distribution
as well as maintaining the minimum
numbers of breeding pairs and wolves.
While uniform distribution is not
necessary, a well-distributed population
with no one State/recovery area
maintaining a disproportionately low
number of packs or number of
individual wolves is needed to maintain
wolf distribution in and adjacent to core
recovery areas and other suitable habitat
throughout the NRM.
Following the 2002 review, we began
to use States, in addition to recovery
areas, to measure progress toward
recovery goals (Service et al. 2003–2007,
Table 4). Because Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming each contain the vast majority
of one of the original three core recovery
areas, we determined the
metapopulation structure would be
conserved by equally dividing the
overall recovery goal between the three
States. This approach made each State’s
responsibility for wolf conservation fair,
consistent, and clear. It avoided any
possible confusion that one State might
assume all of the responsibility for
maintaining the required number of
wolves and wolf breeding pairs in a
shared core recovery area. State
regulatory authorities and traditional
management of resident game
populations occur on a State-by-State
basis. Management by State would still
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maintain a robust wolf population in
each core recovery area because they
each contain manmade or natural
refugia from high levels of humancaused mortality (e.g., National Parks,
wilderness areas, and remote Federal
lands) that guarantee those areas remain
the stronghold for wolf breeding pairs
and source of dispersing wolves in each
State.
Recovery targets by State promote
connectivity and genetic exchange
between the metapopulation segments
by avoiding management that focuses
solely on wolf breeding pairs in
relatively distinct core recovery areas
and promote a minimum level of
potential natural dispersal to and from
each population segment. This approach
also will increase the numbers of
potential wolf breeding pairs in the
GYA because it is shared by all three
States. Wyoming alone has committed
to maintain at least 15 breeding pairs
(with at least 7 of those breeding pairs
outside the National Parks) and 150
wolves, so wolves in the Montana and
Idaho portion of the GYA would be in
addition to those required to exceed
minimal recovery area levels. A large
and well-distributed population within
the GYA is especially important because
it is the most isolated core recovery area
within the NRM DPS (Oakleaf et al.
2006, p. 554; vonHoldt et al. 2007, p.
19).
The numerical component of the
recovery goal represents the minimum
number of breeding pairs and wolves
needed to achieve recovery. To ensure
that the NRM wolf population continues
to exceed the recovery goal of 30
breeding pairs and 300 wolves, Montana
(2003), Idaho (2002; 2007), and
Wyoming (2007) have committed to
manage for at least 15 breeding pairs
and at least 150 wolves per State in midwinter and maintain its metapopulation
structure. Because the recovery goal
components are measured in mid-winter
when the wolf population is near its
annual low point, the average annual
wolf population will be much higher
than these minimal goals. At this point
in time, it is unknown how many
wolves and breeding pairs will
ultimately result from implementation
of the State management plans except
that each State plan’s management
objectives assure that the NRM DPS will
certainly be well over a combined total
of 45 breeding pairs and 450 wolves.
Each State has committed to manage for
at least 150 wolves and 15 breeding
pairs by regulating human-caused
mortality. If each of the States managed
to have only 15 breeding pairs and 150
wolves (which is extremely unlikely
since each would have to be at their
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lowest allowable level at the same time
and wolves will still also be present in
National Parks, wilderness areas, and
remote public lands where sharp
reductions in wolf numbers are
unlikely), then 45 breeding pairs would
likely result in more than 450 wolves.
Service data since 1986 indicate that,
within the NRM DPS, each breeding
pair has corresponded to 14 wolves in
mid-winter (Service et al. 2007, Table
4).
These goals were designed to provide
the NRM gray wolf population with
sufficient representation, resilience, and
redundancy for its long-term
conservation (See Summary of Threats
Analysis section for details). We have
expended considerable effort to
develop, repeatedly re-evaluate, and
when necessary modify, the recovery
goals (Service 1987, p. 12; Service 1994,
Appendix 8 and 9; Fritts and Carbyn
1995, p. 26; Bangs 2002, p. 1). After
evaluating all available information, we
conclude the best scientific and
commercial data available continues to
support the ability of these recovery
goals to ensure the population does not
again become in danger of extinction.
Monitoring and Managing Recovery—
In 1989, we formed an Interagency Wolf
Working Group (Working Group)
composed of Federal, State, and Tribal
agency personnel (Bangs 1991, p. 7;
Fritts et al. 1995, p. 109; Service et al.
1989–2007, p. 1). The Working Group
conducted four basic recovery tasks
(Service et al. 1989–2007, p. 1–2), in
addition to the standard enforcement
functions associated with the take of a
listed species. These tasks were: (1)
Monitor wolf distribution and numbers;
(2) control wolves that attacked
livestock by moving them, conducting
other non-lethal measures, or killing
them (Bangs et al. 2006, p. 7); (3)
conduct research and publish scientific
publications on wolf relationships to
ungulate prey, other carnivores and
scavengers, livestock, and people; and
(4) provide accurate science-based
information to the public and mass
media so that people could develop
their opinions about wolves and wolf
management from an informed
perspective.
The size and distribution of the NRM
wolf population is estimated by the
Working Group each year and, along
with other information, is published in
an interagency annual report (Service et
al. 1989–2007, Table 4, Figure 1). Since
the early 1980s, the Service and our
cooperating partners have radio-collared
and monitored over 940 wolves in the
NRM to assess population status,
conduct research, and to reduce/resolve
conflict with livestock. The Working
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Group’s annual population estimates
represent the best scientific and
commercial data available regarding
year-end NRM gray wolf population size
and trends, as well as distributional and
other information.
Recovery by State—At the end of
2000, the NRM population first met its
overall numerical and distributional
recovery goal of a minimum of 30
breeding pairs and over 300 wolves
well-distributed among Montana, Idaho,
and Wyoming (Service et al. 2001, Table
4; 68 FR 15804, April 1, 2003). This
minimum recovery goal was exceeded
every year since 2000 (Service et al.
2002–2007, Table 4; Service 2007a).
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Because the recovery goal must be
achieved for 3 consecutive years, the
temporal element of recovery was not
achieved until the end of 2002 when
663 wolves and 49 breeding pairs were
present (Service et al. 2003, Table 4). At
the end of 2007, the NRM wolf
population achieved its numerical and
distributional recovery goal for 8
consecutive years (68 FR 15804, April 1,
2003; 71 FR 6634, February 8, 2006;
Service et al. 2001–2007, Table 4;
Service 2007a).
For the State-by-State recovery goals,
Idaho and Wyoming first achieved the
minimum recovery goal of 10 breeding
pairs and 100 wolves in 2000, and
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10523
Montana first achieved them in 2002.
All three States have met or exceeded
this goal every year since it was first
achieved. In late 2007, preliminary
estimates indicate there are 394 wolves
in 37 breeding pairs in Montana, 788
wolves in 41 breeding pairs in Idaho,
and 362 wolves in 27 breeding pairs in
Wyoming for about 1,545 wolves in 105
potential breeding pairs in the NRM
wolf population (Service 2007a). The
NRM wolf population increased about
24 percent annually from 1995 to 2006
(Service et al. 2007, Table 4). Figure 2
illustrates wolf population trends by
State from 1979 to 2006.
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BILLING CODE 4310–55–C
As discussed previously, after the
2002 peer review of the wolf recovery
efforts, we began using States, in
addition to recovery areas, to measure
progress toward recovery goals (Service
et al. 2003–2007, Table 4). However,
because the original recovery plan
included goals for core recovery areas
we have included the following
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discussion on the history of the recovery
efforts and status of these core recovery
areas, including how the wolf
population’s distribution and
metapopulation structure is important
to maintaining its viability and how the
biological characteristics of each core
recovery area differ (Service et al. 2007,
Table 4).
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Recovery in the Northwestern
Montana Recovery Area— The
Northwestern Montana Recovery Area’s
84,800 km2 (33,386 mi2) includes:
Glacier National Park; the Great Bear,
Bob Marshall, and Lincoln Scapegoat
Wilderness Areas; and adjacent public
and private lands in northern Montana
and the northern Idaho panhandle.
Wolves there are listed as endangered.
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Reproduction first occurred in
northwestern Montana in 1986 (Ream et
al. 1989). The natural ability of wolves
to find and quickly recolonize empty
habitat (Mech and Boitani 2003, p. 17–
19), the interim control plan (Service
1988, 1999), and the interagency
recovery program combined to
effectively promote an increase in wolf
numbers (Bangs 1991, p.7–13). By 1996,
the number of wolves had grown to
about 70 wolves in 7 known breeding
pairs. However, since 1997, the
estimated number of breeding pairs and
wolves has fluctuated, partly due to
actual population size and partly due to
monitoring effort. It varied from 4 to 12
breeding pairs and from 49 to 171
wolves (Service et al. 2007, Table 4) but
generally increased. In 2007, we
estimated 214 wolves in 24 breeding
pairs in the northwestern Montana
recovery area (Service 2007a).
The Northwestern Montana Recovery
Area has sustained fewer wolves than
the other recovery areas because there is
less suitable habitat and it is more
fragmented (Oakleaf et al. 2006. p. 560).
Some of the variation in our wolf
population estimates for northwestern
Montana is due to the difficulty of
counting wolves in the areas’ thick
forests. Wolves in northwestern
Montana also prey mainly on whitetailed deer, resulting in smaller packs
and territories, which makes packs more
difficult to detect (Bangs et al. 1998, p.
878). Increased monitoring efforts in
northwestern Montana by Montana
Fish, Wildlife and Parks (MFWP) since
2005 were likely responsible for some of
the higher population estimates. Wolf
numbers in 2003 and 2004 also likely
exceeded 10 breeding pairs and 100
wolves but were not documented
simply due to less intensive monitoring
those years (Service et al. 2007, Table 4;
Service 2007a). Wolf numbers in
northwestern Montana have exceeded
100 wolves and 10 breeding pairs for at
least the past 3 years, and probably the
last 6 years (Service et al. 2007, Table
4).
Routine dispersal of wolves has been
documented among northwestern
Montana, central Idaho, and adjacent
Canadian populations, demonstrating
that northwestern Montana’s wolves are
demographically and genetically linked
to both the wolf population in Canada
and in central Idaho (Pletscher et al.
1991, pp. 547–8; Boyd and Pletscher
1999, pp. 1105–1106; Sime 2007, p. 4;
Jimenez et al. in prep.). Because of fairly
contiguous but fractured suitable
habitat, wolves dispersing into
northwestern Montana from both
directions will continue to join or form
new packs and supplement this portion
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of the overall NRM wolf population
(Boyd et al. 1995, p. 140; Forbes and
Boyd 1996, p. 1082; Forbes and Boyd
1997, p. 1226; Jimenez et al. in prep;
vonHoldt et al. 2007, p. 19; Thiessen
2007, p. 50; Sime 2007, p. 4).
Unlike YNP or the central Idaho
Wilderness complex, northwestern
Montana lacks a large core refugium that
contains large numbers of overwintering
wild ungulates and few livestock.
Therefore, wolf numbers may not ever
be as high in northwestern Montana as
they are in the Central Idaho or GYA
core recovery areas. However, this
portion of the NRM DPS has persisted
for nearly 20 years, is robust today, and
habitat there is capable of supporting
200 wolves (Service et al. 2007, Table
4). State management, pursuant to the
Montana State wolf management plan
(2003), will ensure this portion of the
NRM DPS continues to thrive (see
Factor D).
Recovery in the Central Idaho
Recovery Area—The Central Idaho
Recovery Area’s 53,600 km2 (20,700
mi2) includes: The Selway Bitterroot,
Gospel Hump, Frank Church River of
No Return, and Sawtooth Wilderness
Areas; adjacent, mostly Federal lands, in
central Idaho; and adjacent parts of
southwest Montana (Service 1994, p.
iv). In January 1995, 15 young adult
wolves from Alberta, Canada were
released in central Idaho (Bangs and
Fritts 1996, p. 409; Fritts et al. 1997, p.
7). In January 1996, an additional 20
wolves from British Columbia were
released (Bangs et al. 1998, p. 787).
Central Idaho contains the greatest
amount of highly suitable wolf habitat
compared to either northwestern
Montana or the GYA (Oakleaf et al.
2006, p. 559). Consequently, the central
Idaho area population has grown
continuously and expanded its range
since reintroduction. As in the
Northwestern Montana Recovery Area,
some of the Central Idaho Recovery
Area’s increase in its wolf population
estimate was due to an increased
monitoring effort by Idaho Department
of Fish and Game (IDFG). By 2007, we
estimated 885 wolves in 48 potential
breeding pairs in the central Idaho
recovery area (Service 2007a). This
marks ten successive years (1998–2007)
that this recovery area contained at least
10 breeding pair and 100 wolves
(Service et al. 2007; Service 2007a).
Recovery in the GYA—The GYA
Recovery Area (63,700 km2 [24,600
mi2]) includes: YNP; the Absaroka
Beartooth, North Absaroka, Washakie,
and Teton Wilderness Areas (the
National Park/Wilderness units);
adjacent public and private lands in
Wyoming; and adjacent parts of Idaho
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and Montana (Service 1994, p. iv). The
wilderness portions of the GYA are only
seasonally used by wolves due to high
elevation, deep snow, and low
productivity in terms of sustaining yearround wild ungulate populations
(Service et al. 2007, Figure 3). In 1995,
14 wolves representing 3 family groups
from Alberta were released in YNP
(Bangs and Fritts 1996, p. 409; Fritts et
al. 1997, p. 7; Phillips and Smith 1996,
pp. 33–43). In 1996, this procedure was
repeated with 17 wolves representing 4
family groups from British Columbia.
Finally, 10 five-month-old pups
removed from northwestern Montana
were released in YNP in the spring of
1997 (Bangs et al. 1998, p. 787). Only 2
survived past 9 months but both became
breeding adults. By 2007, we estimated
455 wolves in 34 potential breeding
pairs in the GYA (Service 2007a). This
marks eight successive years (2000–
2007) that this recovery area contained
at least 10 breeding pair and 100 wolves
(Service et al. 2007; Service 2007a).
Wolf numbers in the GYA were stable
in 2005, but known breeding pairs
dropped by 30 percent to only 20 pairs
(Service et al. 2006, Table 4). The
population recovered in 2006, primarily
because numbers outside YNP in
Wyoming grew to about 174 wolves in
15 breeding pairs (Service et al. 2007).
Most of this decline occurred in YNP
(which declined from 171 wolves in 16
known breeding pairs in 2004 to 118
wolves in 7 breeding pairs in 2005
(Service et al. 2005, 2006, Tables 1–4)
and likely occurred because: (1) Highly
suitable habitat in YNP was saturated
with wolf packs; (2) conflict among
packs appeared to limit population
density; (3) fewer elk occur in YNP than
when reintroduction took place
(Vucetich et al. 2005, p. 259; White and
Garrott 2006, p. 942); and (4) a
suspected 2005 outbreak of disease
(canine parvovirus (CPV) or canine
distemper (CD)) reduced that years’’ pup
survival to 20 percent (Service et al.
2006, Table 2; Smith et al. 2006, p. 244;
Smith and Almberg 2007, pp. 17–20).
By 2007, the YNP wolf population had
rebounded and was estimated to contain
186 wolves in 12 breeding pairs (Service
2007a). Additional significant growth in
the National Park/Wilderness portions
of the Wyoming wolf population is
unlikely because suitable wolf habitat is
saturated with resident wolf packs.
Maintaining wolf populations above
recovery levels in the GYA of the NRM
DPS will depend on wolf packs living
outside the National Park/Wilderness
portions of northwestern Wyoming and
southwestern Montana.
For further information on the history
of NRM wolf recovery, recovery
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planning (including defining
appropriate recovery criteria),
population monitoring (through the end
of 2007), and cooperation and
coordination with our partners in
achieving recovery, see the ‘‘Recovery’’
section of the August 1, 2006, 12-month
status review (71 FR 43411–43413),
Service weekly wolf reports (1995–
2007), and the Rocky Mountain Wolf
Recovery Interagency Annual Reports
(Service et al. 1989–2007) at https://
westerngraywolf.fws.gov. The NRM Wolf
Interagency Annual Report for 2007
(Service et al. 2008) should be available
about the time this rule is published.
Public Comments Solicited
In accordance with our Interagency
Policy for Peer Review in Endangered
Species Act Activities (59 FR 34270,
July 1, 1994) and the Office of
Management and Budget’s (OMB) Final
Information Quality Bulletin for Peer
Review, we solicited independent
review of the science in the proposed
delisting rule from eight well-published
North American scientists with
extensive expertise in wolf biology. The
purpose of this review was to ensure
that our decision to establish and delist
the NRM gray wolf DPS was based on
scientifically sound data, assumptions,
analyses, and conclusions. All eight
peer reviewers submitted comments on
the proposed delisting rule during the
initial 90-day comment period (72 FR
6106, February 8, 2007; 72 FR 14760,
March 29, 2007). Five of those experts
reviewed the proposal again after we
reopened the comment period (73 FR
36939, July 6, 2007) to allow
consideration of Wyoming’s revised
wolf management plan and its impact
upon our proposal.
Six of seven peer reviewers who
specifically stated an opinion on the
soundness of our overall initial delisting
proposal confirmed that our approach
was generally reasonable and sciencebased and that appropriate literature
was cited. Five of the eight experts
volunteered the opinion that the
Service’s rejection of the Wyoming 2003
wolf management framework appeared
warranted. Two reviewers questioned
whether delisting anywhere in the NRM
DPS should proceed without an
approved Wyoming wolf management
plan. All of the experts who reviewed
Wyoming’s revised plan and
commented during the reopened
comment period indicated delisting was
appropriate. Generally, the reviewers
agreed with our conclusion that the wolf
population in the NRM DPS is
biologically recovered and is no longer
threatened as long as the States
adequately regulate human-caused
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mortality. The reviewers provided many
valuable thoughts, questions, and
suggestions for improving the
document. Issues identified by
reviewers included: Suggestions to
expand the discussion related to the
recovery criteria (connectivity,
foreseeable future, metapopulation, and
breeding pairs); the adequacy of State
wolf management plans and their future
commitments; how the DPS border and
criteria for suitable habitat were
developed; not delisting northwestern
Wyoming within the NRM DPS; and the
effect of human-caused mortality on the
wolf population.
We considered their comments and
recommendations as we made our final
decision on the proposal. As a result of
these comments, we incorporated many
changes into the document. All other
substantive peer reviewer comments are
addressed under the appropriate Issue/
Response sections, which follow.
Summary of Public Comments
In our proposed rule, we requested
that all interested parties submit
information, data, comments, or
suggestions (72 FR 6106, February 8,
2007). The comment period was open
from February 8, 2007, through May 9,
2007 (72 FR 6106, February 8, 2007; 72
FR 14760, March 29, 2007). On July 6,
2007, we reopened the comment period
for an additional 30 days (73 FR 36939).
During the comment periods, we held
eight public hearings and eight open
houses (72 FR 6106, February 8, 2007;
72 FR 14760, March 29, 2007; 73 FR
36939, July 6, 2007). To further promote
interest and awareness in the proposal,
we also: conducted numerous press
interviews; published legal notices in
newspapers; and posted on our website,
and otherwise made available, the
proposal and numerous background
documents. Comments could be hand
delivered to us or submitted to us
via e-mail, mail, the Federal eRulemaking Portal, fax, or public
hearing testimony. Because the Federal
Register notices listed one email
address and the press releases listed
another email address, we considered
comments submitted to either email
address. During the public comment
process, we received 410 oral
statements, 103 written testimony
statements, over 283,000 emailed public
comments, and 434 mailed and faxed
comments. Comments were submitted
by a wide array of parties, including the
general public, environmental
organizations, outdoor recreation,
agricultural agencies and organizations,
and Tribal, Federal, State, and local
governments.
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We reviewed all comments from peer
reviewers and the public for substantive
issues and new information regarding
the proposed rule. Substantive
comments received during the comment
period have been addressed below or
incorporated directly into this final rule.
Comments of a similar nature are
grouped together under subject headings
in a series of ‘‘Issues’’ and ‘‘Responses.’’
Technical and Editorial Comments
Issue 1: Numerous technical and
editorial comments and corrections
were provided by respondents on nearly
every part of the proposal. Several peer
reviewers and others suggested or
provided additional literature to
consider in the final rule.
Response 1: We corrected and
updated numbers and other data
wherever appropriate and possible. We
edited the rule to make its purpose and
rationale clearer. We shortened and
condensed several sections by not
repeating information that was already
contained in the references cited.
The literature used and recommended
by the peer reviewers and others has
been considered and incorporated, as
appropriate, in this final rule. We also
reviewed and added literature in
development and in press to our
reference list when it represents the best
scientific and commercial data
available. The list of literature cited in
this rule will be posted on our website.
Compliance With Laws, Regulations,
and Policy
Issue 2: Numerous parties suggested
that delisting the NRM DPS does not
comply with our legal, regulatory, and
policy responsibilities.
Response 2: We have carefully
reviewed the legal requirements of the
Act, its implementing regulations, and
relevant case law, all relevant Executive,
Secretarial, and Director Orders,
Departmental and Service policy, and
other federal policies and procedures.
We believe this rule and the process by
which it was developed fully satisfies
all of our legal, regulatory, and policy
responsibilities.
Issue 3: Some commenters suggested
that a new NEPA analysis on the 1995
reintroduction was needed because
wolves have exceeded levels analyzed
in the 1994 Environmental Impact
Statement (EIS). Others suggested NEPA
compliance on the delisting was needed
for other reasons.
Response 3: The 1994 EIS was limited
to the NRM wolf reintroduction efforts
and is not applicable to the delisting
process. As noted in the proposed rule,
NEPA compliance documents, such as
environmental assessments or
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environmental impact statements, need
not be prepared in connection with
actions adopted pursuant to section 4(a)
of the Act (listings, delistings, and
reclassifications). A notice outlining the
Service’s reasons for this determination
was published in the Federal Register
on October 25, 1983 (48 FR 49244).
Issue 4: The Service has not
adequately consulted with Native
American Tribes, as required by
Secretarial Order 3206.
Response 4: The Service has engaged
in a wide variety of efforts to consult
with Native American Tribes. During
the development of the proposal and
this final rule, we endeavored to consult
with Native American Tribes and Native
American organizations to provide them
with a complete understanding of the
proposal and to enable us to gain an
understanding of their concerns. We
made additional efforts to contact and
inform Tribes during the comment
period, including providing the
opportunity for informational meetings
with Tribal representatives before the
open houses and hearings on the
delisting proposal. As we have become
aware of Native American concerns, we
have tried to address those concerns to
the extent allowed by the Act, the
Administrative Procedure Act, and
other Federal statutes. We continue to
work closely with and fund the Nez
Perce Tribe and we assisted the Wind
River Tribes in developing a Tribal Wolf
Management Plan (Wind River Tribes
2007) that we approved in June 2007.
Recovery Goals, Recovery Criteria, and
Delisting
Issue 5: Some commenters suggested
that we should not use numerical quotas
in reclassification or delisting decisions
for the gray wolf. Commenters offered a
multitude of reasons why delisting is
warranted/not warranted or premature/
overdue.
Response 5: The Act specifies that
objective and measurable criteria be
developed for recovering listed species.
For a detailed discussion of the NRM
wolf recovery criteria see the Recovery
section. This final delisting
determination is based upon the
species’ status relative to the Act’s
definition of threatened or endangered
and considers potential threats to the
species as outlined in section 4(a)(1) of
the Act. Population numbers and status
provide useful information for assessing
the species’ vulnerability to these
factors. Therefore we believe that it is
appropriate to use numerical
information in our analysis if delisting
is warranted. As described in detail in
this rule, the species no longer meets
the definition of threatened or
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endangered, thus, delisting is
warranted.
Issue 6: Some commenters requested
that we further explain the recovery
criteria.
Response 6: The rule now provides a
fuller explanation of the recovery goals
(see the Recovery Planning and the
Selection of Recovery Criteria section).
Issue 7: Several commenters used the
higher numbers of wolves required for
recovery of wolves in the WGL DPS as
evidence that the NRM wolf population
is too low to delist.
Response 7: The recovery goals for the
WGL DPS and the NRM DPS differ
because the biological circumstances
(such as prey type and density, wolf
density, habitat suitability, terrain, other
ecological conditions, the history of
recovery and planning efforts, and
potential for human conflict) in each
area differ. However, the standards for
achieving recovery have the same
biological foundation. Each set of
recovery goals required a
metapopulation structure, numerical
and distribution delisting criteria to be
exceeded for several years, State plans
that would adequately regulate wolf
mortality, and sufficient elimination or
reduction of threats to the population.
The standards for achieving recovery in
the WGL DPS and NRM DPS are both
scientifically valid and realistically
reflect the biological similarities and
differences between each area.
Issue 8: Some suggested that the 1994
recovery goal was inadequate to ensure
the continued viability of the NRM DPS.
Specifically, it was suggested that the
1994 EIS could not properly evaluate
the recovery goals because predicting
the number of wolves the two thenunoccupied recovery zones might
support was not possible in 1994. Some
thought that the wolf recovery goals
should be reevaluated given historic or
recent wolf numbers and distribution
throughout the NRM. Others suggested
that additional protection of the
ecosystem on which the NRM wolves
depend would be necessary to
accomplish successful recovery in areas
of historic occupancy. Some questioned
the objectivity of the peer review
process for the recovery goals. Others
suggested that the wolf population be
reduced to the minimum recovery goal
of 300 wolves in 30 breeding pairs.
Response 8: We do not dispute the
fact that the NRM can support a wolf
population that is several times higher
than the minimum numerical recovery
goal. However, under the Act, species
recovery is considered to be the return
of a species to the point where it is no
longer threatened or endangered.
Recovery under the Act does not require
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restoring a species to historic levels or
even maximizing possible levels of
genetic diversity, density, or
distribution. The Service has reviewed
the NRM wolf recovery goal to ensure it
is adequate (see discussion in Recovery
section). We determined that a threeState wolf metapopulation that does not
fall below 10 breeding pairs and 100
wolves per State in mid-winter is
biologically recovered. Montana, Idaho
and Wyoming have committed to
maintain the NRM wolf population
above those minimum numerical and
distributional levels.
We used an extensive unbiased
scientific peer review and public review
process and our own expertise to help
investigate, and modify as necessary,
the recovery goals. We continue to
believe these goals are adequate to
ensure the species does not again
become threatened or endangered.
Additionally, peer reviews of the State
wolf management plans and the
rulemaking process also confirmed the
adequacy of the recovery goals to
maintain a recovered wolf population in
the NRM.
Regarding habitat, we believe the
NRM DPS contains sufficient quality
and quantity of habitat to maintain a
healthy and viable wolf population in
the long-term (as discussed in Factor A
below). Thus, we do not believe there is
a need for additional habitat protections
in the NRM DPS.
Finally, the Act does not require or
authorize the Service to manage a listed
species to keep it from surpassing
minimum recovery goals.
Future Wolf Numbers
Issue 9: Many pointed out that the
States will manage the NRM wolf
population for fewer wolves than
currently exist. Others recommended
that we recognize that wolf numbers can
fluctuate dramatically.
Response 9: The delisted NRM DPS
wolf population may be reduced from
its current levels of around 1,500 wolves
after delisting. However, the three States
containing all habitat occupied by
persistent wolf packs and most of the
suitable habitat in the NRM DPS have
each committed to manage for at least
15 breeding pairs and 150 wolves so the
population never goes below recovery
levels. These States have indicated that
they will likely manage the population
at around 883–1,240 wolves in 69–96
breeding pairs (see Recovery Planning
and the Selection of Recovery Criteria
section and Factor D.). We believe
maintenance well above the minimum
recovery goal is more than sufficient to
maintain wolf recovery in the NRM. We
and our State partners recognize that all
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wildlife populations, including wolves,
can fluctuate widely over a relatively
short period of time. By managing for at
least 50 percent above the minimal
recovery levels, the States provide an
adequate safety margin. This margin,
combined with the States’ commitment
to adaptively manage the species as
needed, adequately addressed concerns
about population fluctuations.
Additional Recovery Efforts
Issue 10: Some commenters suggested
that the Service should initiate
additional recovery programs in order to
achieve gray wolf recovery before any
delisting occurs. Others thought
additional recovery efforts in these areas
were unwise and unnecessary. The
adjacent States of California, Nevada,
Colorado, Utah, Oregon, and
Washington were mentioned most
frequently for additional recovery
programs.
Response 10: Possible future wolf
recovery programs are beyond the scope
of this rulemaking as such actions are
not necessary to ensure the NRM DPS
remains unlikely to become endangered
in the foreseeable future throughout all
or a significant portion of its range.
Issue 11: Several commenters thought
that wolf recovery should require recolonization of all historical range or, at
least, the portions of the historical range
that could be made suitable. Some
suggested that wolves should remain
listed to promote wolf restoration
within unoccupied portions of the
species historic range, both in and
beyond the NRM DPS. Others indicated
that the conservation biology concepts
of resiliency, redundancy, and
representation need to be addressed
over a much broader area. Some
believed that our interpretation of
recovery led us to focus on occupied
habitat and controlling excessive rates
of human-caused mortality rather than
‘‘true recovery.’’ It was suggested that
‘‘true recovery’’ requires natural
connectivity or linkage, protection and
enhancement of existing population
levels, widespread habitat protection
and restoration, and very protective
regulatory mechanisms.
Response 11: Many of these
comments would expand the purpose of
the Act and the meaning of ‘‘recover’’
under the Act. The purpose of the Act
is to prevent species extinctions and
provide for the conservation of
endangered and threatened species.
Conservation is defined as the use of all
methods and procedures which are
necessary to bring any endangered or
threatened species to the point at which
the measures provided pursuant to the
Act are no longer necessary. According
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to our implementing regulations (50
CFR 424.11), a species is recovered
when the best scientific and commercial
data available indicate that it no longer
meets the definition of endangered or
threatened under the Act.
Restoration of historically occupied
areas can play a role in achieving this
goal. In the case of the NRM DPS,
occupancy has been restored and will be
sustained across a sufficiently large area
to ensure the recovered status of the
NRM DPS is never compromised.
Occupancy across larger portions of the
historical range, unless required to
preclude the NRM DPS from again
becoming threatened or endangered, are
beyond the requirements of the Act.
Resiliency, redundancy, and
representation (described in detail in
the Conclusion of the 5-Factor Analysis
section below) are important factors in
the long-term conservation status of any
species (Shaffer and Stein 2000). The
principles of resiliency and redundancy
are satisfied by the metapopulation
structure of the NRM DPS, the numeric
and distributional elements of the
recovery goal, the core of highly
protected public lands that provide
secure habitat in each core recovery
area, and the natural biological
resiliency and adaptability of wolves.
The concept of representation, when
applied to the conservation of the gray
wolf, indicates that we should preserve
enough genetic diversity so that future
genetic problems are unlikely to lead to
extinction. These problems may include
genetic drift (random fluctuations of
gene frequencies in a population) and
inbreeding depression (decreased vigor
in terms of growth, survival, or
fecundity), which would result in a
diminished ability to survive or evolve
as new environmental conditions
develop. Within the NRM DPS, the
current gray wolf recovery program
preserves all of what remains of the
species’ genetic diversity in that area
(Leonard et al. 2005, p. 1) (See
discussion of genetics in Factor E.). The
three wolf populations in the lower 48
States (WGL DPS, NRM DPS, and the
wolf population in the southwest)
contain all of the remaining genetic
material of the gray wolf that formerly
inhabited those areas. Additionally, the
species remains abundant in many areas
of the northern hemisphere.
Collectively, this information shows
that the conservation biology principle
of representation is satisfied.
We disagree with the assertion that
we have inappropriately focused our
recovery efforts on occupied habitat and
mortality control. In fact, we have
focused recovery efforts on wolf
population levels, distribution, habitat,
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connectivity, all forms of mortality,
wolf/human conflicts, diseases and
parasites, predation, human attitudes,
genetics, and dispersal (Service et al.
2007). We have also worked to maintain
public tolerance of wolves by limiting
damage to private property. These
recovery efforts led to significant
increases in wolf numbers and range,
allowing wolves to reoccupy habitats
they were absent from since the 1930s.
Our efforts also provided demographic,
genetic, and habitat security. Wolves
now occupy most of the suitable habitat
within the NRM DPS. This
comprehensive approach to recovery
will be continued under State
management in the future. Additional
conservation actions that would result
in a more widely distributed and
numerically abundant wolf population
in the NRM DPS are not necessary to
meet the definition of recovered under
the Act.
Issue 12: Many suggested that we
failed to recognize the ecological
importance or trophic cascades (the
ripple effect in predator, herbivore,
plant, and scavenger communities
caused by restoring a keystone species
like wolves) and ecological effects
emanating from wolf restoration in the
NRM. Some suggested that the Act
mandates that a species be ‘‘ecologically
effective.’’ Still others thought we
should use an ‘‘ecosystem approach’’
when implementing recovery. Finally,
some suggested delisting does not fulfill
parts of the Service mission which
includes, ‘‘working with others, to
conserve, protect and enhance fish,
wildlife, and plants and their habitats
for the continuing benefit of the
American people.’’
Response 12: We recognize that wolf
recovery appears to have caused trophic
cascades and ecological effects that
affect numerous other animal and plant
communities, and their relationships
with each other. One example is
changes in elk density and behavior that
reduce browsing pressure in riparian
areas that allow increased willow
growth and survival, which then
provides habitat for beaver, fish fry, and
nesting song birds. These effects have
been most pronounced when wolf
populations are at natural carrying
capacity, such as in YNP (Smith et al.
2003, pp. 330–340; Robbins 2004, pp.
76–85; Campbell et al. 2006, pp. 360–
363). While some believe we should
stall delisting until these cascading
ecological effects are restored
throughout the NRM DPS or beyond,
this approach is not supported by the
Act. Instead, when a species no longer
meets the definition of endangered or
threatened under the Act, it is
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recovered, and should be delisted.
Similarly, the Act does not require that
we achieve or maintain ‘‘ecological
effectiveness’’ (i.e., occupancy with
densities that maintain critical
ecosystem interactions and help ensure
against ecosystem degradation) (Soule et
al. 2003, p. 1239).
Service policy intends that we apply
an ecosystem approach in carrying out
our programs for fish and wildlife
conservation (National Policy Issuances
95–03 and 96–10; 59 FR 34274, July 1,
1994). The goal of such an approach is
to strive to contribute to the effective
conservation of natural biological
diversity through perpetuation of
dynamic, healthy ecosystems when
carrying out our various mandates and
functions. Preserving and recovering
endangered and threatened species is
one of the more basic aspects of an
ecosystem approach to conservation.
Successful recovery of a threatened or
endangered species requires that the
necessary components of its habitat and
ecosystem be conserved, and that
diverse partnerships be developed to
ensure the long-term protection of those
components. Thus, the recovery success
demonstrated for gray wolves, a
keystone or ‘‘highly interactive species’’
(as defined by Soule et al. 2003),
incorporated an ecosystem approach.
Finally, we believe the delisting
portrays successful implementation of
our mission statement. Gray wolf
recovery programs involve many
partners in the private and public
sector, at all levels of government, and
include numerous other State and
Federal agencies. The gray wolf
recovery successes described in this rule
resulted from working with others to
conserve, protect, and enhance gray
wolf populations in the NRM DPS. That
success has now reached a point where
the NRM DPS is no longer threatened or
endangered and thus no longer requires
the protections of the Act.
Issue 13: Some commenters suggested
that we should delist gray wolves in
areas outside the proposed DPS because:
wolves are common elsewhere (in other
areas of the lower 48 States or in Alaska
and Canada); wolves have recovered (in
that area or elsewhere); wolves are
extirpated in many areas and could be
delisted on the basis of extinction in
those areas; keeping wolves listed where
there is little or no suitable habitat
results in irresolvable conflicts; and a
State can manage a resident species
better than the Federal government.
Response 13: The Federal status of
wolves under the Act outside of the
NRM DPS is beyond the scope of this
action. An evaluation of these areas for
either delisting or additional recovery
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efforts will be addressed in subsequent
efforts.
Designating the NRM Distinct
Population Segment
Issue 14: Some commenters suggested
that we improperly designated the NRM
DPS.
Response 14: As described above, the
NRM DPS is biologically based,
appropriate, and was developed in
accordance with the Act and the DPS
Policy. The Service has the authority to
list, reclassify, or delist at the
subspecies, species, or DPS level, as we
believe to be most appropriate to carry
out the purpose of the Act.
Issue 15: Some commenters suggested
that the NRM gray wolf population is
not a DPS because all populations in the
lower 48 States were once connected.
Thus, the population should not be
considered discrete.
Response 15: A comprehensive
evaluation of the NRM gray wolf
population’s discreteness is included in
the ‘‘Analysis for Discreteness’’ section
above. The Act and the DPS Policy
require that a DPS be discrete from other
existing populations. Historical
distribution has no bearing on the NRM
population’s current discreteness. The
boundaries of the NRM DPS are based
on likely dispersal distances and
surrounding unsuitable habitat.
We believe a continuous
uninterrupted population throughout
most of the lower 48 States, as existed
historically, is not achievable. The best
scientific and commercial information
available suggests the NRM population
will remain markedly separated from
other gray wolf populations in the lower
48 States. Occupancy in the vast
majority of intervening areas is
unsustainable because most of those
areas have been too modified by people
for wolf packs to persist.
Issue 16: Several commenters
suggested that the DPS policy is to be
used only in listing decisions and that
using it in a delisting decision violates
Congressional intent and the legislative
and statutory structure of the Act.
Response 16: The Act, its
implementing regulations, and our DPS
policy provide no support for this
interpretation. Section 4(a)(1) of the Act
directs the Secretary of the Interior to
determine whether ‘‘any species’’ is
endangered or threatened. Numerous
sections of the Act refer to adding and
removing ‘‘species’’ from the list of
threatened or endangered plants and
animals. Section 3(15) defines ‘‘species’’
to include any subspecies ‘‘* * * and
any distinct population segment of any
species of vertebrate fish or wildlife
* * *’’ The Act directs us to list,
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reclassify, and delist species,
subspecies, and DPSs of vertebrate
species. It contains no provisions
requiring, or even allowing, DPSs to be
treated in a different manner than
species or subspecies when carrying out
the listing, recovery, and delisting
functions mandated by section 4.
Furthermore, our DPS Policy states that
the policy is intended for ‘‘the purposes
of listing, delisting, and reclassifying
species under the Act’’ (61 FR 4722,
February 7, 1996), and that it ‘‘guides
the evaluation of distinct vertebrate
population segments for the purposes of
listing, delisting, and reclassifying
under the Act’’ (61 FR 4725, February 7,
1996).
These comments also overlook the
untenable situation that would arise if
DPSs could be listed, but could never be
delisted, after they have been
successfully recovered. Clearly Congress
did not envision such an outcome when
amending the definition of species to
include vertebrate DPSs.
Issue 17: It was pointed out that the
designation of the NRM DPS created a
remnant population. Some suggested
this violates the Act as the Act allows
us to ‘‘consider listing only an entire
species, subspecies, or DPS’’ (Alsea
Valley Alliance v. Evans, 161 F. Supp.
2d 1154, 1162 (D. Or. 2001)); therefore,
we cannot declare part of a listed
species a DPS without also designating
the remaining listed species as DPS(s).
We should reconsider the status of all
other wolf populations in the lower 48
States simultaneously and should not
delist the NRM population until we
consider recovery goals and planning
for all other wolf populations/areas in
the lower 48 States.
Response 17: While in some
situations it may be appropriate to
designate multiple DPSs
simultaneously, the Act does not require
it. This flexibility allows the Service to
subsequently list or delist additional
DPSs when additional information
becomes available or as the conservation
status of the taxon changes. Importantly,
the court held that the Act allows this
flexibility. In National Wildlife
Federation v. Norton (385 F. Supp. 2d
553, 565 (D. Vt. 2005), the court found
that ‘‘Nowhere in the Act is the
Secretary prevented from creating a
‘non-DPS remnant’ designation,
especially when the remnant area was
already listed * * *’’ Our current
designation of a NRM DPS, while
retaining the remaining other wolves
listed as endangered or nonessential
experimental, is consistent with this
aspect of the District Court’s ruling.
Issue 18: Some suggested that the
Service should use subspecies to
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designate DPSs across the gray wolf’s
historical range and these DPSs should
replace or supplement the current
recovery zones. Others thought the
current program illegally restored the
wrong subspecies of wolf to Montana,
Idaho, and Wyoming.
Response 18: The subspecific
classification for the gray wolf identified
by Hall (1984, pp. 2–11) is no longer in
accordance with accepted, although
evolving, scientific taxonomic literature
and approaches (Service 1994, p. 1–21–
22; Brewster and Fritts 1995, p. 353;
Nowak 1995, p. 375; Nowak 2003, pp.
248–50), including new genetic analysis
(Wayne and Vila 2003, pp. 223–4;
Leonard et al. 2005; p. 1; Leonard and
Wayne 2007, p. 1). Newer molecular
techniques indicate distinct subspecies
classifications or ranges are not
appropriate when evaluating natural
diversity and evolution in wolves. We
accept the holarctic species (Canis
lupus) concept without regard to
theoretical historic subspecies
designations. Therefore, we do not
consider the wolves we reintroduced
from Canada as a separate subspecies.
Theoretical use of multiple DPSs to
reestablish wolf populations in areas
outside the recovered NRM DPS is
beyond the scope of this rulemaking.
Issue 19: It was suggested that a wolf
dispersing outside of the DPS
boundaries (e.g., into Colorado) may
create confusion among State, Federal,
and Tribal agencies regarding the status
of that wolf. To address this confusion,
some believed that any wolf originating
from the NRM DPS should be
considered part of that DPS, regardless
of where they are geographically.
Response 19: Consistent with Section
4(c) of the Act, the status of individual
members of any species, subspecies, or
DPS is dependent on its geographic
location. We used easily identifiable
boundaries, such as the center line of
major highways or State borders, to
minimize management confusion. Once
this rule goes into effect, if a wolf goes
beyond the NRM DPS boundary it
attains the listing status of the area it
has entered (i.e., endangered in much of
the lower 48 States except where listed
as nonessential experimental or
delisted, as in the WGL DPS). Similarly,
if a wolf enters the NRM DPS, it would
not be listed and would be managed
according to the relevant State
management plan. State and Federal
agencies adjacent to the NRM DPS are
aware of and understand the
management implications of the DPS
boundaries. While we believe that
future dispersal and conflicts outside
the DPS will be rare, we will continue
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to work with any affected States or
Tribes to resolve them.
Issue 20: Numerous comments
suggested the border of the DPS was
improperly developed. Some suggested
the DPS should have been larger, while
others thought it should have been
smaller. Some believe that because the
boundaries were mainly highways or
State borders, they were arbitrary and
not based on sound biological principles
or natural features like rivers. The
adjacent States requested that the NRM
DPS boundary be changed to include
most of Utah, Nevada, and Oregon,
some of eastern North and South
Dakota, and none of Washington.
Response 20: The boundary of the
NRM DPS was established by analyzing
the distribution of potentially suitable
and unsuitable habitat for wolves in the
NRM and the documented dispersal
distances of radio-collared wolves.
These are the most likely factors to
influence a split between the NRM DPS
and other potential areas of occupancy.
A smaller DPS might split the biological
entity. A larger DPS might split a
neighboring biological entity, should
one ever be established. According to
our DPS policy, an artificial or
manmade boundary (such as Interstate,
Federal, and State highways, or State
borders) may be used as a boundary of
convenience in order to clearly identify
the geographic area included within the
DPS. We believe such use of easily
understood boundaries will promote
public understanding of the decision. In
this case, the NRM DPS boundaries
were defined along easily identifiable
boundaries that represent the most
appropriate DPS for this population (see
DPS discussion in this rule for our
rationale). While some suggested ‘‘more
biological’’ borders like rivers or
geological features, we do not believe
such borders are of any greater
biological meaning to wolves given their
ability to cross nearly any geographic
feature and distance (Linnell et al.
2005). In our view, the biological
influences of suitable and unsuitable
habitat in combination with mortality
risk are likely to have the greatest
influence on separation among
populations.
Defining Suitable Habitat
Issue 21: Some commenters thought
we should explain why some
historically occupied lands were
excluded from our definition of suitable
habitat.
Response 21: Our identification of
suitable habitat was based on the best
scientific and commercial information
available regarding successful
utilization of habitat. Many areas of
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historic wolf habitat are no longer
capable of supporting wolves. Most of
these areas have been so modified by
human activities as to be unsuitable for
wolves. This issue is discussed in more
detail in Factor A below.
Issue 22: Some commenters suggested
that we improperly considered more
than strictly biological criteria in
defining suitable habitat by allowing the
definition of suitable to consider human
tolerance. Others suggested that we
misinterpreted the habitat suitability
models because they only present
probabilities of successful occupation
by wolves under current conditions.
Response 22: Our approach to suitable
habitat considered a variety of factors
including but not limited to human
tolerance. Suitable wolf habitat in the
NRM is generally characterized as
public land with mountainous, forested
habitat that contains abundant yearround wild ungulate populations, low
road density, low numbers of domestic
livestock that are only present
seasonally, few domestic sheep, low
agricultural use, and few people.
Unsuitable wolf habitat is not capable of
supporting viable populations. In the
NRM, unsuitable habitat is generally
considered private land, flat open
prairie or desert, lands containing low
or seasonal wild ungulate populations,
high road density, high numbers of yearround domestic livestock including
many domestic sheep, high levels of
agricultural use, and many people.
When wolves occur in places with high
levels of human activity, they
experience an increased mortality risk.
The level of impact from such mortality
is directly related to the location and
numbers of humans and their activities.
In terms of suitable habitat models,
we recognize that none of the available
models are exact indicators of what is
‘‘suitable.’’ Each model only identifies
areas with a 50 percent or greater
chance of being suitable. Thus, we made
our determination based upon a number
of factors including, but not limited to,
these models.
Foreseeable Future
Issue 23: Some commenters believed
that limiting foreseeable future to 30
years was inappropriate.
Response 23: For the NRM DPS, the
foreseeable future differs for each factor
potentially impacting the DPS and we
revised our definition of foreseeable
future in this final rule to take into
account the variability of what is
foreseeable for each threat factor.
However, for most factors impacting the
NRM DPS, we believe a window of up
to 30 years is foreseeable. We consider
this to be a reasonable timeframe
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because: (1) It took approximately this
long from listing for public attitudes and
regulations to result in a social climate
that promoted and allowed for wolf
restoration in the WGL DPS and NRM
DPS; (2) this timeframe represents about
ten wolf generations (3 years each)
which is about how long it took for
wolves in both the NRM DPS and WGL
DPS to expand numbers and exceed
their biological recovery criteria; and (3)
available habitat and potential future
distribution models (Carroll et al. 2003,
536; Carroll et al. 2006, Figure 6) predict
out about this far. For some threat
factors, a longer time horizon may be
appropriate. For example, in our
consideration of genetics, we reviewed
a paper that looked 100 years into the
future (vonHoldt et al. 2007). When
evaluating the available information,
with respect to foreseeable future, we
take into account reduced confidence as
we forecast further into the future.
Potential Threats to the NRM DPS
Issue 24: A number of commenters
disputed our analysis of the five listing
factors, suggesting alternative scenarios
where the NRM wolf population would
be threatened in the future.
Response 24: We updated and
augmented the final rule’s five-factor
analysis to address specific issues
raised. Our analysis revealed that none
of these potential factors will threaten
the NRM DPS wolf population in the
foreseeable future.
Issue 25: It was suggested that we did
not fully evaluate or acknowledge the
potential impacts from oil and gas
development or other human
development on the wolf population.
Other habitat issues in the NRM that
required additional consideration
included rapid human population
growth and the resulting increase in
houses, roads, recreation, and wolf/
human conflicts.
Response 25: These issues are now
considered under Factor A below.
Issue 26: Some commenters thought
that the Service should reduce the
future threat to wolves by requiring that
livestock be reduced or eliminated on
public lands.
Response 26: Wolves and livestock,
primarily cattle and horses, can live
near one another for extended periods of
time without significant conflict.
Through active management, most
wolves do not learn that livestock can
be successfully attacked and do not
view them as prey. However, when
wolves and livestock mix some
livestock and some wolves are
inevitably killed. Furthermore, when
wolves learn to attack livestock, that
behavior can quickly be learned by
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other wolves if it is not stopped. Since
large numbers of wild ungulates winter
on private property, even wolves that
prey exclusively on wild ungulates will
be in close proximity to livestock during
at least some portion of the year. Wolf
recovery has occurred and will continue
to be maintained without modification
of traditional western land-use practices
and without removing livestock from
public grazing allotments. Public lands
in the NRM can have both large
predators and seasonal livestock
grazing. The Service has no need, for the
purposes of wolf recovery, for livestock
grazing practices on either public or
private land to be modified, because
wolf recovery is not threatened by the
current levels of activities. Regulating
livestock grazing on public lands is
under the authorities of the respective
land management agencies. We believe
State management will continue to
successfully balance traditional
livestock grazing practices, open space,
and wolf conservation.
Issue 27: Some commenters were
concerned about humane treatment of
wolves and were opposed to certain
methods of take, particularly aerial
gunning and poisoning. Numerous
parties suggested that the Service
should not allow public hunting of
wolves. Others suggested that we should
require the use of nonlethal control
tools to reduce conflict with livestock.
Response 27: After delisting, we have
determined that the States regulating
wolves in the NRM DPS will not
threaten the wolf population. However,
we have no jurisdiction over the method
or timing of State management or
control of a delisted species. In
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming, wolves
listed as trophy game can only be taken
by the public as prescribed by State
statute, usually fair chase hunting or
regulated trapping. Wildlife listed as
predatory animals are generally not
covered by State anti-cruelty laws (e.g.,
Wyoming Title 6, Chapter 3, Article 2),
so methods of take are not regulated.
Wildlife agency professionals adhere to
specific protocols when they capture,
handle, or euthanize wildlife for
research or management purposes. In
the vast majority of situations, wolf
control will be accomplished by
regulated public hunting and trapping
or agency control of problem wolves.
State authorized wolf control may
include, just as the federally authorized
control program currently does, gunning
from the air and ground, trapping, and,
in a few cases, removing pups from
dens. Deliberate poisoning of wolves
will not be allowed due to current
Environmental Protection Agency label
restrictions on the use and application
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of all poisons (including M–44 devices)
capable of killing wolves. Humane
treatment of wolves in National Parks
would be unaffected by delisting.
Hunting (and in some areas even
unregulated hunting) has not threatened
wolf populations (Boitani 2003).
Hunting is a valuable, efficient, and
cost-effective tool to help manage
wildlife populations. Viable robust wolf
populations in Canada, Alaska, and
other parts of the world are hunted. The
Service recognized (Service 1994, p. 1–
13) and encouraged (Bangs et al. in
press) State wolf management programs
to incorporate regulated public hunting
in their wolf conservation programs.
Conservation programs to restore large
predators such as mountain lions, black
bears, and wolves succeeded because of
the historic restoration of wild
ungulates, such as elk and deer, by State
fish and game agencies and hunter
dollars and involvement (Geist et al.
2001, p. 175–181).
While not required by the Act, the
States and Tribes will continue to use a
combination of management options in
order to reduce wolf/human conflicts
including nonlethal forms of control
(Bangs et al. 2006). However, these
methods are effective in only some
circumstances, and no single tool is a
cure for every problem. Lethal control
will still be required in many
circumstances. Lethal control can also
improve the overall effectiveness of
nonlethal methods (Brietenmoser et al.
2005, p. 70).
Issue 28: Many people commented
that the State regulatory frameworks,
especially those of Idaho and Wyoming,
were not adequate and should not have
been approved. Commenters cited antiwolf statements by public officials and
county ordinances as evidence that
persecution of wolves will resume if
delisting occurs. Some expressed their
opinion that Wyoming’s 2003 State law
and management plan were inadequate,
while others argued we were wrong not
to approve the measures as an adequate
regulatory mechanism. Some felt that
Wyoming’s revised protections
remained inadequate. Some were
concerned the States would not honor
their commitments or would change
their laws to persecute wolves after
delisting. Others maintained that none
of the NRM DPS should be delisted
until all States within the DPS
(including Oregon, Washington, and
Utah) had approved wolf management
plans. Finally, some wanted the States
to manage for breeding pairs rather than
undefined packs.
Response 28: We recognize that
human persecution of wolves was the
primary reason for their wide-spread
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extirpation across North America. We
fully analyzed the nature and magnitude
of this threat in Factors C and D below.
Despite statements to the media by some
public officials and some county
ordinances that, if implemented, would
be problematic for maintenance of a
recovered wolf population, the official
written policy and laws of the States,
committing them to manage for a wolf
population that always exceeds
minimum recovery levels, supersede
county rules and authorities and
statements by politicians reported by
the media.
Our evaluation of State regulatory
mechanisms considered all the laws,
regulations, ordinances, resolutions,
memorials, statements by elected
officials, and State plans for Montana,
Idaho and Wyoming. The States of
Idaho (2002) and Montana (2003)
adopted State laws and management
plans that meet the requirements of the
Act and will conserve a recovered wolf
population into the foreseeable future.
While we continue to believe the 2003
Wyoming law and wolf management
plan were not sufficient to maintain
Wyoming’s share of a recovered NRM
DPS (Williams 2004, pp. 1–3; 71 FR
43410, August 1, 2006; 71 FR 6634,
February 8, 2006; 72 FR 6106, February
8, 2007), we have determined that the
2007 Wyoming State law and wolf
management plan meet the
requirements of the Act and will
conserve Wyoming’s share of a
recovered wolf population into the
foreseeable future (assuming they are
allowed to become effective; see
discussion under Factor D below) (72
FR 36939, July 6, 2007; Hall 2007). We
believe these regulatory mechanisms are
adequate to ensure that the wolf
population in the NRM DPS will remain
well above recovery levels into the
foreseeable future (Williams 2004, pp.
1–3; Hall 2007, p. 1). The discrepancy
between breeding pairs and packs no
longer appears relevant as all three
States have committed to measure wolf
recovery criteria by breeding pairs and
numbers of wolves (Montana 2003;
IDFG 2007; Wyoming 2007). We used
peer review, public review during
rulemaking, and our own expertise to
assess whether the State plans provided
adequate regulatory mechanisms to
ensure a recovered wolf population into
the foreseeable future.
Any wolf conservation by the Tribes
and the States of Washington, Oregon,
and Utah will be beneficial, but is not
necessary to either achieving or
maintaining a recovered wolf
population in the NRM DPS. These
areas contain little habitat suitable to
support persistent wolf packs and any
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wolf breeding pairs that might occur
there in the future would be too few and
distant from the core recovery areas to
affect the viability of the contiguous
NRM wolf population. Still, Oregon and
Utah have State wolf management
plans/strategies and Washington is
developing one (see Factor D). The
Service has not approved these plans
and we do not have any need to do so
in order to finalize this delisting action.
This is consistent with the recovery
plan which considered parts of these
States (Service 1987, p. 2).
State management will provide
mechanisms for the control of problem
wolves, including allowing landowners
to take wolves in certain situations and
allowing regulated public harvest of
surplus wolves in the NRM DPS. This
flexibility in wolf control is expected to
increase public tolerance (Idaho 2007,
Appendix A).
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming have
committed in their laws and plans to
maintain the wolf population safely
above recovery levels by regulating
human-caused mortality. Mandatory
post-delisting monitoring includes
evaluating any threats to the NRM wolf
population as well as its distribution
and numbers. A decline of wolf
populations below recovery goals due to
failure of the States to honor their
commitments or for other reasons could
result in relisting under the Act.
Issue 29: Some suggested wolf
management needs to be transferred to
the States and Tribes.
Response 29: The Service agrees that
a recovered wolf population is best
managed by the respective States and
Tribes. The States have relatively large
and well-distributed professional fish
and game agencies with demonstrated
skills and experience that have
successfully managed a diversity of
resident species, including large
carnivores, and will do a similarly
outstanding job of managing a recovered
wolf population. State management of
wolves will be in alignment with the
classic State-led North American model
for wildlife management, which has
been extremely successful at restoring,
maintaining, and expanding the
distribution of numerous populations of
other wildlife species, including other
large predators, throughout North
America (Geist 2006, p. 1).
The Service delisted the WGL wolf
population in early 2007, returning
management of this population to the
States and Tribes. Under cooperative
agreements with us, Montana, Idaho,
and the Nez Perce Tribe have
successfully managed wolves in those
States for the past 3 years. The Service
worked closely with Montana, Idaho,
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and Wyoming as they developed their
wolf management plans to ensure that
they will always manage for a wolf
population that exceeds recovery
criteria. We are confident the States and
Tribes will adequately manage wolves
so the protections of the Act will not be
required in the foreseeable future.
Issue 30: Some parties feared that
State wolf management plans might not
be implemented because funding for the
plans is not guaranteed. Therefore, they
concluded that the Service could not
rely on them as adequate regulatory
mechanisms, and delisting should not
occur.
Response 30: Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming all recognize that
implementation of their wolf
management plans requires funding.
The States have committed to secure the
necessary funding to manage the wolf
populations under the guidelines
established by their Service-approved
State wolf management plans (Idaho
2002; pp. 23–25; Montana 2003, pp. xiv;
Idaho 2007, pp. 24, 47–48; Wyoming
2007, pp. 29–31). All have worked with
their congressional delegations to secure
Federal funding, but recognized that
other sources of funding may eventually
be required to implement their plans. In
addition to State license fees or other
forms of State funding, Federal funding
could be available to help manage a
delisted wolf population including in
the form of directed appropriations,
Pittman-Robinson Wildlife Restoration
Act, other Federal grant programs, and
private funding. The Service will
continue to assist the States to secure
adequate funding for wolf management.
If wolf management by a State was to be
completely unfunded or was inadequate
to carry out the basic commitments of
an approved State plan, then the
promised management of threats by the
States and the required monitoring of
wolf populations might not be
addressed. That scenario could trigger a
status review for possible relisting
under the Act.
Issue 31: Several parties suggested
that we should have considered the risk
to the wolf population from catastrophic
events such as fire, climate change,
drought, disease, and stochastic events.
Response 31: In response to these
comments, we added a discussion of
catastrophic events under Factor E
below. Other potential catastrophic
events are considered in other sections
including our evaluation of habitat
modification, diseases and parasites,
human harassment and killing, genetic
risks, climate change, and human
attitudes.
Issue 32: Some suggested that the
Service should consider the potential
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effect of low genetic diversity on gray
wolf recovery. They contend that 300
wolves and 30 breeding pairs is not high
enough to maintain long-term genetic
viability. These comments also suggest
that the isolation of the GYA precluded
a natural metapopulation dynamic for
wolves in the NRM.
Response 32: Low genetic diversity
and inbreeding is a concern for species
with small populations or that have
gone through a population bottleneck.
We have fully analyzed this issue in
Section E below. After careful
consideration of all of the available
information on this issue, we do not
believe that low genetic diversity will
threaten the NRM DPS in the
foreseeable future.
Issue 33: Many pointed out that
natural connectivity is an important
consideration for the long-term
conservation of the NRM wolf
population. Some suggested that we
should provide habitat protections for
identified natural linkage zones between
and within the GYA and central Idaho
and northwestern Montana. It was also
suggested that we should identify
critical habitat for these linkage zones.
Response 33: Wolves have an unusual
ability to disperse long distances rapidly
across virtually any habitat and to select
mates to maximize genetic diversity.
Thus, connectivity issues are less likely
to affect wolves than nearly any other
species of land mammal (Paquet et al.
2006, p. 3). Although it is highly
unlikely there would ever be a need,
complications from a potential lack of
natural habitat connectivity could be
quickly resolved by agency
management, such as relocations.
Connectivity and genetics are discussed
further below under factors A and E,
respectively.
Additionally, connectivity for wildlife
across the NRM remains an important
and high-priority issue for the Service
and our partner wildlife agencies. A
process to identify, maintain, and
improve wildlife movement areas
between the large blocks of public land
in the NRM is ongoing (Servheen et al.
2003, p. 3). This interagency effort
involves 13 State and Federal agencies
working on linkage facilitation across
private lands, public lands, and
highways (Interagency Grizzly Bear
Committee 1994, 2001, pp. 1–2; Brown
2007, pp. 1–3). To date, this effort has
included: (1) Development of a written
protocol and guidance document on
how to implement linkage zone
management on public lands (Public
Land Linkage Taskforce 2004, pp. 3–5);
(2) production of several private land
linkage management documents
(Service 1997; Parker and Parker 2002,
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p. 2); (3) analyses of linkage zone
management in relation to highways
(Geodata Services Inc. 2005, p. 2; Waller
and Servheen 2005, p. 998); and (4) a
workshop in the spring of 2006 on
implementing management actions for
wildlife linkage (the proceedings of
which are available online at: https://
www.cfc.umt.edu/linkage). The
objective of this work is to maintain and
enhance movement opportunities for all
wildlife species across the NRM.
Although this linkage work is not
directly associated with the wolf
population, it may benefit wolves even
after delisting.
No critical habitat was ever, nor
required to be, designated in the NRM
for wolves under Section 4 of the Act.
Critical habitat can only be designated
under the Act for threatened and
endangered species. There is no legal
basis to designate critical habitat for the
delisted NRM DPS.
Issue 34: Some commenters stated
that we failed to consider the impacts of
State hunts on the social structure of
wolf packs.
Response 34: This issue is now
considered under Factor E below.
Issue 35: Some commenters
encouraged us to investigate human
dimensions with a protocol that would
allow quantification of changes in the
attitudes of the general public, farmers,
hunters, and other stakeholders.
Response 35: We agree that the values
people hold about wolves may provide
valuable insight into successful
management strategies (Peek et al. 1991,
p. 15). The States have already
conducted surveys about human values
towards wolves (Idaho 2007, Appendix
A; as one example) and will likely
continue to do so in the future. We
believe this information may be helpful
to formulate State policies. However,
such monitoring is not required by the
Act in order to justify delisting.
Significant Portion of Range
Issue 36: Some commenters expressed
dissenting views and interpretations of
the Act’s phrase ‘‘significant portion of
its range’’ (SPR) in the definition of a
threatened or an endangered species.
Several believed that ‘‘range’’ should
mean historical range and provided us
with Vucetich et al. (2006) as support
for their position. Others opined that
our definition was the same used in our
2003 rule that was invalidated by the
court (68 FR 15804, April 1, 2003). Still
others suggested our consideration of
SPR should consider all suitable or
potential habitat.
Response 36: On March 16, 2007, the
Solicitor of the Department of the
Interior issued a memorandum opinion
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with an extensive evaluation of the
meaning of ‘‘in danger of extinction
throughout all or a significant portion of
its range’’ (Department of the Interior,
Office of the Solicitor 2007). As
elaborated in this opinion, we believe
the law is clear that ‘‘range’’ in this
phrase refers to ‘‘current range,’’ not
‘‘historical range’’ and that the Service
therefore must focus primarily on
current range. Data about the historical
range and how the species came to be
extinct in a portion of its historical
range may be relevant in understanding
or predicting whether a species is ‘‘in
danger of extinction’’ in its current
range. The fact that a species has ceased
to exist in what may have been portions
of its historical range does not
necessarily mean that it is ‘‘in danger of
extinction’’ in a significant portion of
the range where it currently exists. For
the purposes of this rule, ‘‘range’’
includes all of the NRM DPS (as
identified in Factor A below and
illustrated in Figure 1). Thus, our fivefactor analysis analyzed threats across
all portions of the NRM DPS.
Public Involvement
Issue 37: Some thought that the
Service should have provided
additional opportunities to learn more
about the proposal and to provide
comments including additional public
hearings. Specifically, we received
requests for hearings in Denver, CO,
Seattle, WA, Portland, OR, and Jackson,
WY.
Response 37: We believe that we
provided ample opportunity for public
comment including public comment
periods totaling 120 days and eight
public hearings. Comments could be
hand-delivered to us or submitted to us
via e-mail, mail, the Federal eRulemaking Portal, fax, or public
hearing testimony. We have provided
public comment opportunities beyond
the basic requirements of the Act and
other Federal rulemaking procedures.
We also alerted interested parties to
the details of public hearings and
opportunities for public comment.
Public hearing times and locations and
other avenues to comment were
announced in the Federal Register,
posted on our Web site and in our
weekly wolf reports, and publicized in
local and national press releases. All
comments, whether presented at a
public hearing or provided in another
manner, received the same review and
consideration.
The Act requires that we hold one
public hearing if requested; we held 8
public hearings. We selected locations
that were within a reasonable driving
distance of people who live near wolves
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and in every State within the NRM DPS.
Commenting via e-mail, hand delivery,
or letter allowed unlimited space to
express comments, as opposed to the
public hearing format, which limited
comments to three minutes in order to
provide an opportunity for all attending
to speak. More than 283,000 comments
were received.
Scientific Analyses
Issue 38: Some suggested that the
Service should conduct a population
viability analysis (PVA) or other
additional modeling exercises or
analysis (e.g. International Union for the
Conservation of Nature (IUCN)
guidelines) before delisting.
Response 38: The Act requires that we
use the best scientific data available
when we make decisions to list,
reclassify, or delist a species. PVAs can
be valuable as a tool to help us
understand the population dynamics of
a rare species (White 2000). They can be
useful in identifying gaps in our
knowledge of the demographic
parameters that are most important to a
species’ survival, but they cannot tell us
how many individuals are necessary to
avoid extinction. The difficulty of
applying PVA techniques to wolves has
been discussed by Fritts and Carbyn
(1995) and Boitani (2003). Problems
include: Our inability to provide
accurate input information for the
probability of occurrence of, and impact
from, catastrophic events (such as a
major disease outbreak or prey base
collapse); Our inability to incorporate
all the complexities and feedback loops
inherent in wild systems and agency
adaptive management strategies; our
inability to provide realistic inputs for
the influences of environmental
variation (such as annual fluctuations in
winter severity and the resulting
impacts on prey abundance and
vulnerability); temporal variation;
selective outbreeding (vonHoldt et al.
2007); individual heterogeneity; and
difficulty in dealing with the spatial
aspects of extreme territoriality and the
long-distance dispersals shown by
wolves. Relatively minor changes in any
of these input values into a theoretical
model can result in vastly different
outcomes.
Thus, we believe conducting a PVA
type analysis on the effect of wolf
population management would be of
limited value in the NRM DPS. Instead,
we relied upon an extensive body of
empirical data on wolves and the NRM
wolf population. We believe the State
commitments for adaptive management
preclude the usefulness of theorizing
about the potential status of the NRM
wolf population under fixed criteria. We
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also utilized models that employed
PVA-like parameters and analysis to
help identify potentially suitable wolf
habitat in the NRM DPS now and into
the future (Carroll et al. 2003, 2006;
Carroll 2006). The IUCN Redlist (IUCN
2007; https://www.iucnredlist.org; Bangs
and Smith in press) considers gray
wolves in North America a species of
least concern and does not list regional
or local populations. Wolves in the
NRM DPS are simply the southwestern
tip of a biologically-secure contiguous
North American wolf population
containing tens of thousands of
individuals.
While some suggested that we
conduct a PVA based on maintenance of
30 breeding pairs and 300 wolves or
capping a wolf population at an
arbitrary level, we believe this would
lead to an inaccurate and misleading
conclusion. Any such analysis would
ignore the fluctuating nature of wildlife
populations, actual requirements of the
recovery goal, and the States’
commitments to manage well above that
level and to adjust their management
strategies should the wolf population
ever appear not to be meeting the State’s
management objectives.
Issue 39: Some commenters felt that it
was difficult to judge the scientific
validity of the science we relied upon
because some of the science and
literature was gray literature, had not
been peer reviewed, was in preparation,
or was through personal
communication.
Response 39: While we attempt to use
peer-reviewed literature to the
maximum extent possible, the Act
requires us to make our decision based
on the best scientific and commercial
data available. Because we have so
many ongoing research and monitoring
projects, new data are constantly being
collected, analyzed, peer reviewed, and
published. Such information often
represents the best scientific data
available (Service et al. 2007, pp. 64,
114, 183, 213), which the Service cannot
ignore. All citations are available upon
request.
Relisting Criteria
Issue 40: Some comments suggested
we develop a clear, unequivocal set of
criteria for automatic relisting. Some
comments argued that monitoring is not
sufficient if the results of investigations
are not promptly incorporated in policy
and management, and this type of rapid
response requires availability of
contingency funds, clear roles and
authorities, and the power to impose the
necessary actions on all involved
partners. They suggest, that because the
effectiveness of the monitoring program
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depends ‘‘* * * upon adequate funding
to provide research results with
scientifically acceptable confidence
limits,’’ the monitoring plan should
have secure funding for at least 5 to 10
years before delisting occurs.
Response 40: Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming have committed to monitor
the wolf population according to the
breeding pair standard and to publish
annual reports of their activities for at
least the first 5 years after delisting. We
will post this information and our
analysis of it on our Web site annually.
We believe that our criteria for
relisting are clear. Four scenarios could
lead us to initiate a status review and
analysis of threats to determine if
relisting was warranted including: (1) If
the wolf population for any one State
falls below the minimum NRM wolf
population recovery level of 10 breeding
pairs of wolves and 100 wolves in either
Montana, Idaho, or Wyoming; (2) if the
wolf population segment in Montana,
Idaho, or Wyoming falls below 15
breeding pairs or 150 wolves in any one
of those States for 3 consecutive years;
(3) if the wolf population in Wyoming
outside of YNP falls below 7 breeding
pairs for 3 consecutive years; or (4) if a
change in State law or management
objectives would significantly increase
the threat to the wolf population. All
such reviews would be made available
for public review and comment,
including peer review by select species
experts.
Any such status review would
analyze status relative to the definition
of threatened or endangered considering
the 5 factors outlined in section 4(a)(1).
If, at any time, data indicate that
protective status under the Act should
be reinstated, we can initiate listing
procedures, including, if appropriate,
emergency listing. If emergency listing
was instituted, we would then have 240
days to complete a conventional listing
rule before the protections of the
emergency rule would expire.
Funding for government programs is
never certain at any level, but the
funding to support wolf management
activities of the various Federal and
State agencies in the NRM has been
consistently obligated for the past 20
years, and we have a high level of
confidence that the resources necessary
to carry out the monitoring and
management programs will continue for
the foreseeable future. We may provide
Federal funding for Federal monitoring
requirements.
Use of Section 6 Agreements for States
Outside the NRM DPS
Issue 41: Our proposal solicited
comments regarding our intention to use
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ESA section 6 agreements to allow
States outside the NRM DPS with
Service-approved wolf management
plans to assume management of listed
wolves, including nonlethal and lethal
control of problem wolves. Some
comments suggested this approach was
inappropriate while others applauded
the idea.
Response 41: This issue is not directly
related to delisting in the NRM DPS and
has been removed from this final rule.
We will work with adjacent States to
evaluate the appropriate mechanisms
for States to manage listed wolves,
including control of problem wolves.
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Miscellaneous Issues Not Germane to
This Rulemaking
Issue 42: Some comments pointed out
the positive and negative economic
impacts of wolves, especially related to
tourism in YNP, livestock depredation,
and competition with hunters for
surplus big game.
Response 42: Under the Act, listing
decisions are not to consider economic
factors. That said, we believe wolfrelated tourism in places like YNP will
not be affected by delisting.
Additionally, State management will
reduce economic losses caused by
livestock depredation and competition
with hunters for wild ungulates.
Issue 43: Many comments were made
on issues that were not related to or
affected by this rulemaking. Most often
these issues involved strongly held
personal opinions or perceptions about
Federal, State, or Tribal government or
authorities, property rights, methods of
take, risks to human safety, negative
affects to hunting, outfitting, livestock
production, tourism, ecosystem
restoration, the U.S. Constitution,
wildlife management in general, wolves
and wolf management, and
modifications to the NRM experimental
population special 10(j) rule.
Response 43: While we respect these
personal values, they are beyond the
scope of this rulemaking.
Summary of Factors Affecting the
Species
Section 4 of the Act and its
implementing regulations (50 CFR part
424) set forth the procedures for listing,
reclassifying, or removing species from
listed status. ‘‘Species’’ is defined by the
Act as including any species or
subspecies of fish, wildlife, or plant,
and any distinct vertebrate population
segment of fish or wildlife that
interbreeds when mature (16 U.S.C.
1532(16)). Under 50 CFR 424.11(d), we
may remove the protections of the Act
if the best available scientific and
commercial data substantiate that the
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species is neither endangered nor
threatened for the following reasons: (1)
The species is extinct; (2) the species
has recovered; or (3) the original
scientific data used at the time the
species was classified were in error.
A species may be delisted as
recovered only if the best scientific and
commercial data available indicate that
it is no longer endangered or threatened.
Determining whether a species meets
the recovered definition requires
consideration of the five categories of
threats specified in section 4(a)(1) of the
Act. For species that are already listed
as endangered or threatened, this
analysis of threats is an evaluation of
both the threats currently facing the
species and the threats that are
reasonably likely to affect the species in
the foreseeable future following the
delisting or downlisting and the
removal or reduction of the Act’s
protections.
Under section 3 of the Act, a species
is ‘‘endangered’’ if it is in danger of
extinction throughout all or a
‘‘significant portion of its range’’ and is
‘‘threatened’’ if it is likely to become
endangered within the foreseeable
future throughout all or a ‘‘significant
portion of its range.’’ The word ‘‘range’’
in the phrase ‘‘significant portion of its
range’’ refers to the range in which the
species currently exists. For the
purposes of this rule, ‘‘range’’ includes
all of the NRM DPS (as identified in
Factor A below and illustrated in Figure
1).
Evaluating whether the species
should be considered threatened or
endangered in all or a significant
portion of its range is a multiple-step
analysis. If we determine that the
species is endangered throughout all of
its range, we list it as endangered
throughout its range and no further
analysis is necessary. If not, we then
evaluate if the species meets the
definition of threatened throughout all
of its range. If the species is threatened
in all of its range, we list the species as
threatened and consider if any
significant portions of its range warrant
listing as endangered. If we determine
that the species is not threatened or
endangered in all of its range, we
consider whether any significant
portions of its range warrant
consideration as threatened or
endangered. If we determine that the
species is threatened or endangered in
a significant portion of its range, the
provisions of the Act would only apply
to the significant portion of the species’
range where it is threatened or
endangered.
Foreseeable future is defined by the
Services on a case-by-case basis, taking
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into account a variety of species-specific
factors such as lifespan, genetics,
breeding behavior, demography, threat
projection timeframes, and
environmental variability.
‘‘Foreseeable’’ is commonly viewed as
‘‘such as reasonably can or should be
anticipated: such that a person of
ordinary prudence would expect it to
occur or exist under the circumstances’’
(Merriam-Webster’s Dictionary of Law
1996; Western Watershed Project v. Foss
(D. Idaho 2005; CV 04–168–MHW). For
the NRM DPS, the foreseeable future
differs for each factor potentially
impacting the DPS. For most factors
impacting the NRM DPS, we believe a
window of up to 30 years is foreseeable.
We consider this to be a reasonable
timeframe because: (1) It took
approximately this long from listing for
public attitudes and regulations to result
in a social climate that promoted and
allowed for wolf restoration in the WGL
DPS and NRM DPS; (2) this timeframe
represents about ten wolf generations (3
years each) which is about how long it
took for wolves in both the NRM DPS
and WGL DPS to expand numbers and
achieve their biological recovery
criteria; and (3) available habitat and
potential future distribution models
(Carroll et al. 2003, 536; Carroll et al.
2006, Figure 6) predict out about this
far. For some threat factors, a longer
time horizon may be appropriate. For
example, in our consideration of
genetics, we reviewed a paper that
looked 100 years into the future
(vonHoldt et al. 2007). When evaluating
the available information, with respect
to foreseeable future, we take into
account reduced confidence as we
forecast further into the future.
The following analysis examines all
five factors currently affecting, or that
are likely to affect, the NRM gray wolf
DPS within the foreseeable future.
A. The Present or Threatened
Destruction, Modification, or
Curtailment of Its Habitat or Range
The NRM DPS is approximately
980,803 km2 (378,690 mi2) and includes
402,606 km2 (155,447 mi2) of Federal
land (41 percent); 49,803 km2 (19,229
mi2) of State land (5 percent); 32,942
km2 (12,719 mi2) of Tribal land (3
percent); 427,998 km2 (165,251 mi2) of
private land (44 percent) (the remaining
area is either water or lands in
Washington that were not categorized
into ownership in the geographic
information system (GIS) layers we
analyzed). The NRM DPS contains large
amounts of three Ecoregion Divisions—
Temperate Steppe (prairie) (312,148 km2
[120,521 mi2]); Temperate Steppe
Mountain (forest) (404,921 km2 [156,341
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mi2]); and Temperate Desert (high
desert) (263,544 km2 [101,755 mi2])
(Bailey 1995, p. iv). The following
analysis focuses on suitable habitat
within the NRM DPS and areas
currently occupied by persistent wolf
packs (i.e., core recovery areas) (which
may include intermittent unsuitable
habitat). Then, unsuitable habitat is
examined. A number of threats to
habitat are examined including climate
change, increased human populations
and development (including oil and
gas), connectivity, ungulate populations,
and livestock grazing.
Suitable Habitat—Wolves once
occupied or transited all of the NRM
DPS. However, much of the wolf’s
historical range within the NRM DPS
has been modified for human use and is
no longer suitable habitat. We have
reviewed the quality, quantity, and
distribution of habitat relative to the
biological requirements of wolves. In
doing so we reviewed two models,
Oakleaf et al. (2006, pp. 555–558) and
Carroll et al. (2003, pp. 536–548; 2006,
pp. 27–31; Carroll 2005, p. 1–3), to help
us gauge the current amount and
distribution of suitable wolf habitat in
the NRM DPS. Both models ranked
areas as suitable habitat if they had
characteristics that suggested they might
have a 50 percent or greater chance of
supporting wolf packs. Suitable wolf
habitat in the NRM DPS was typically
characterized in both models as public
land with mountainous, forested habitat
that contains abundant year-round wild
ungulate populations, low road density,
low numbers of domestic livestock that
are only present seasonally, few
domestic sheep, low agricultural use,
and few people. Unsuitable wolf habitat
was typically just the opposite (i.e.,
private land, flat open prairie or desert,
low or seasonal wild ungulate
populations, high road density, high
numbers of year-round domestic
livestock including many domestic
sheep, high levels of agricultural use,
and many people). Despite their
similarities, these two models had
substantial differences in the area
analyzed, GIS data layers, inputs, and
assumptions. As a result, the Oakleaf et
al. (2006, p. 559) and Carroll et al.
(2006, p. 33) models predicted different
amounts of theoretically suitable wolf
habitat in areas examined by both
models (i.e., portions of Montana, Idaho,
and Wyoming).
Oakleaf’s model was a more intensive
effort that only looked at potential wolf
habitat in Idaho, Montana, and
Wyoming (Oakleaf et al. 2006, p. 555).
It used roads accessible to two-wheel
and four-wheel vehicles, topography
(slope and elevation), land ownership,
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relative ungulate density (based on State
harvest statistics), cattle (Bos sp.) and
sheep density, vegetation characteristics
(ecoregions and land cover), and human
density to comprise its GIS data layers.
Oakleaf analyzed the characteristics of
areas occupied and not occupied by
NRM wolf packs through 2000 to
predict what other areas in the NRM
might be suitable or unsuitable for
future wolf pack formation (Oakleaf et
al. 2006, p. 555). In total, Oakleaf et al.
(2006, p. 559) ranked 170,228 km2
(65,725 mi2) as suitable habitat in
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming.
In contrast, Carroll’s model analyzed
a much larger area (all 12 western States
and northern Mexico) in a less specific
way (Carroll et al. 2006, pp. 27–31).
Carroll’s model used density and type of
roads, human population density and
distribution, slope, and vegetative
greenness as ‘‘pseudo-habitat’’ to
estimate relative ungulate density to
predict associated wolf survival and
fecundity rates (Carroll et al. 2006, p.
29). The combination of the GIS model
and wolf population parameters were
then used to develop estimates of
habitat theoretically suitable for wolf
pack persistence. In addition, Carroll
predicted the potential effect on suitable
wolf habitat of increased road
development and human density
expected by 2025 (Carroll et al. 2006,
pp. 30–31). Within the NRM DPS,
Carroll et al. (2006, pp. 27–31) ranked
277,377 km2 (107,096 mi2) as suitable
including 105,993 km2 (40,924 mi2) in
Montana; 82,507 km2 (31,856 mi2) in
Idaho; 77,202 km2 (29,808 mi2) in
Wyoming; 6,620 km2 (2,556 mi2) in
Oregon; 4,286 km2 (1,655 mi2) in Utah;
and 769 km2 (297 mi2) in Washington.
Approximately 96 percent of the
suitable habitat (265,703 km2 (102,588
mi2)) within the NRM DPS occurred in
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming.
According to the Carroll model,
approximately 28 percent of the NRM
DPS would be ranked as suitable habitat
(Carroll et al. 2006, pp. 27–31).
The Carroll et al. (2006, pp. 31–34)
model tended to be more generous in
identifying suitable wolf habitat under
current conditions than the Oakleaf (et
al. 2006, pp. 558–560) model or that our
field observations indicate is realistic.
But Carroll’s model provided a valuable
relative measure across the western U.S.
upon which comparisons could be
made. The Carroll model did not
incorporate livestock density into its
calculations as the Oakleaf model did
(Carroll et al. 2006, pp. 27–29; Oakleaf
et al. 2006, p. 556). Thus, the Carroll
model did not consider those conditions
where wolf mortality is high and habitat
unsuitable because of chronic conflict
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with livestock. During the past 20 years,
wolf packs have been unable to persist
in areas intensively used for livestock
production, primarily because of agency
control of problem wolves and illegal
killing.
Furthermore, many of the more
isolated primary habitat patches that the
Carroll model predicted as currently
suitable were predicted to be unsuitable
by the year 2025, indicating they were
likely on the lower end of what ranked
as suitable habitat in that model (Carroll
et al. 2006, p. 32). Because these types
of areas were typically too small to
support breeding pairs and too isolated
from the core population to receive
enough dispersing wolves to overcome
higher rates of human-caused mortality,
we do not believe they are currently
suitable habitat based upon our data on
wolf pack persistence for the past 20
years (Bangs 1991, p. 9; Bangs et al.
1998, p. 788; Service et al. 1999–2007,
Figure 1).
Despite the substantial differences in
each model’s analysis area, GIS data
layers, inputs, and assumptions, both
models predicted that most suitable
wolf habitat in the NRM was in
northwestern Montana, central Idaho,
and the GYA, which is the area
currently occupied by the NRM gray
wolf DPS. Carroll’s model also indicated
that these three areas had suitable
habitat between them and it would
remain relatively intact in the future
(Carroll et al. 2006, p. 25). However,
northwest Montana and Idaho were
much more connected to each other and
the wolf population in Canada than to
the GYA (Oakleaf et al. 2006, p. 554).
Collectively the three core areas were
surrounded by large areas of unsuitable
habitat.
These models are useful in
understanding the relative proportions
and distributions of various habitat
characteristics and their relationships to
wolf pack persistence, rather than as
predictors of absolute acreages or areas
that can actually be successfully
occupied by wolf packs. Additionally,
both models generally support earlier
Service predictions about wolf habitat
suitability in the NRM (Service 1980, p.
9; 1987, p. 7; 1994, p. vii). Because
theoretical models only define suitable
habitat as those areas that have
characteristics with a 50 percent or
more probability of supporting wolf
packs, it is impossible to give an exact
acreage of suitable habitat that can
actually be successfully occupied. It is
important to note that these areas also
have up to a 50 percent chance of not
supporting wolf packs.
We considered data on the location of
suitable wolf habitat from a number of
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sources in developing our estimate of
currently suitable wolf habitat in the
NRM DPS. Specifically, we considered
the recovery areas identified in the 1987
wolf recovery plan (Service 1987, p. 23),
the primary analysis areas analyzed in
the 1994 Environmental Impact
Statement (EIS) for the GYA (63,700 mi2
[24,600 mi2]) and central Idaho (53,600
mi2 [20,700 mi2]) (Service 1994, p. iv),
information derived from theoretical
models by Carroll et al. (2006, p. 25) and
Oakleaf et al. (2006, p. 554), our nearly
20 years of field experience managing
wolves in the NRM, and locations of
persistent wolf packs and breeding pairs
since recovery has been achieved.
Collectively, this evidence leads us to
concur with the Oakleaf et al. (2006, p.
559) model’s predictions that the most
important habitat attributes for wolf
pack persistence are forest cover, public
land, high elk density, and low livestock
density. Therefore, we believe that
Oakleaf’s calculations of the amount
and distribution of suitable wolf habitat
available for persistent wolf pack
formation, in the parts of Montana,
Idaho, and Wyoming analyzed,
represent the most reasonable
prediction of suitable wolf habitat in
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming.
The area we conclude that is suitable
habitat is generally depicted in Oakleaf
et al. (2006, p. 559). Generally, suitable
habitat is located in: Western Montana
west of I–15 and south of I–90; Idaho
north of Interstate 84; and the northwest
corner of Wyoming including those
areas east of State highway 120, along
the western border of the Wind River
Reservation, and USDA Forest Service
(USFS) lands north of Boulder, WY, to
the Idaho border. A comparison of
actual wolf pack distribution in 2006
(Service et al. 2007, Figure 1) and
Oakleaf et al.’s (2006, p. 559) prediction
of suitable habitat indicates that nearly
all suitable habitat in Montana, Idaho,
and Wyoming is currently occupied and
areas predicted to be unsuitable remain
largely unoccupied.
Although Carroll determined there
may be some (4%) potentially suitable
wolf habitat in the NRM DPS outside of
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming, we
believe it is marginally suitable at best
and is insignificant to wolf population
recovery because it occurs in small
isolated fragmented areas. While some
areas predicted to be unsuitable habitat
in Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming have
been temporarily occupied and used by
wolves or even packs, we still consider
them as largely unsuitable habitat.
Generally, wolf packs in such areas have
failed to persist long enough to be
categorized as breeding pairs and
successfully contribute toward recovery.
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An example of this occurred in 2006
when wolf packs formed in the Bighorn
Mountains and near Pinedale, Wyoming
(Service et al. 2007). Neither area was
classified as having a breeding pair in
2006 and by 2007 at least four packs had
either disappeared from the areas or
been controlled because of chronic
conflicts with livestock. Therefore,
while these areas are routinely used by
dispersing wolves, we consider such
areas as containing unsuitable habitat
and believe that dispersing wolves
attempting to colonize those areas are
unlikely to form breeding pairs or
contribute to population recovery.
Unoccupied Suitable Habitat—
Habitat suitability modeling indicates
that the three NRM DPS core recovery
areas are atypical of other habitats in the
western U.S. because suitable habitat in
those core areas occurs in such large
contiguous blocks (Service 1987, p. 7;
Larson 2004, p. 49; Carroll et al. 2006,
p. 35; Oakleaf et al. 2006, p. 559). It is
likely that without core refugia areas,
like YNP or the central Idaho
wilderness, that provide a steady source
of dispersing wolves, other potentially
suitable wolf habitat would not be
capable of sustaining wolf breeding
pairs. Some habitat ranked by models as
suitable adjacent to core refugia may be
able to support wolf breeding pairs,
while other habitat farther away from a
strong source of dispersing wolves may
not be able to support persistent packs.
This fact is important when considering
suitable habitat, as defined by the
Carroll (et al. 2006, p. 30) and Oakleaf
(et al. 2006, p. 559) models, because
wolf populations can persist despite
very high rates of mortality only if they
have high rates of immigration (Fuller et
al. 2003, p. 183). Therefore, model
predictions regarding habitat suitability
do not always translate into successful
wolf occupancy and wolf breeding
pairs.
Strips and smaller (less than 2,600
km2 [1,000 mi2]) patches of theoretically
suitable habitat (Carroll et al. 2006, p.
34; Oakleaf et al. 2006, p. 559)
(typically, isolated mountain ranges)
often possess higher mortality risk for
wolves because they are surrounded by,
or in close proximity to, unsuitable
habitat with a high mortality risk. In
addition, pack territories often form
along distinct geological features (Mech
and Boitani 2003, p. 23), such as the
crest of a rugged mountain range, so
useable space for wolves in isolated,
long, narrow mountain ranges may be
reduced by half or more, and thus are
often too small to support a wolf
breeding pair. This phenomenon, in
which the quality and quantity of
suitable habitat is diminished because
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of interactions with surrounding lesssuitable habitat, is known as an edge
effect (Mills 1995, pp. 400–401). Edge
effects are exacerbated in small habitat
patches with high perimeter-to-area
ratios (i.e., those that are long and
narrow, like isolated mountain ranges)
and in species with large territories, like
wolves, because they are more likely to
encounter surrounding unsuitable
habitat (Woodroffe and Ginsberg 1998,
p. 2128). Because of edge effects, some
habitat areas outside the core areas may
rank as suitable in models, but are
unlikely to actually be successfully
occupied by persistent wolf packs. For
these reasons, we believe that the NRM
DPS will remain anchored by the three
core recovery areas. These areas will
continue to provide a constant source of
dispersing wolves into surrounding
areas, supplementing wolf packs and
breeding pairs in adjacent, but less
secure suitable habitat.
Habitat Currently Occupied By
Persistent Wolf Packs—The area in the
NRM DPS currently occupied by
persistent wolf packs was calculated by
drawing a line around the outer points
of radio-telemetry locations of all
known wolf pack territories in 2006
(Service et al. 2007, Figure 1, minus 4
packs that did not persist). We defined
the habitat currently occupied by
persistent wolf packs as that area
confirmed as being used by resident
wolves to raise pups or that is used by
two or more territorial wolves at the end
of any year (Service 1994, pp. 6:5–6).
Typically by the end of the year only 50
percent of packs meet the criteria to be
classified as breeding pairs. The overall
distribution of wolf packs has been
similar since 2000, despite a wolf
population that has more than doubled
(Service et al. 2001–2007, Figure 1;
Bangs et al. in press). Because the States
have committed to maintain a wolf
population above the minimum
recovery levels (achieved in 2002), we
expect this general distribution will be
maintained. Habitat occupied by
persistent wolf packs changed little
from 2004 (275,533 km2 [106,384 mi2]);
to 2005 (260,535 km2 [100,593 mi2]); to
2006 (minus four packs that did not
persist in 2007—295,116 km2 [113,949
mi2]) or 2007 (Service et al. 2005, 2006,
2007, Figure 1; Service et al. 2008 in
prep., Figure 1).
We included areas between the three
core recovery areas as habitat occupied
by persistent wolf packs, because they
are important for connectivity between
areas, even though wolf packs or
breeding pairs did not persist in certain
portions of these areas. While models
ranked some of this habitat as
unsuitable, these intervening areas are
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important to maintaining the
metapopulation structure, because
dispersing wolves routinely travel
through these areas and packs
occasionally occupy them (Service
1994, pp. 6:5–6; Bangs 2002, p. 3;
Jimenez et al. in prep.). This would
include areas like the Flathead Valley
and other smaller valleys intensively
used for agriculture and a few of the
smaller, isolated mountain ranges
surrounded by agricultural lands in
western Montana.
As of the end of 2006, we estimated
that persistent wolf packs occupied
approximately 295,116 km2 (113,949
mi2) of habitat in parts of Montana
(136,492 km2 [52,702 mi2]), Idaho
(118,554 km2 [45,776 mi2]), and
Wyoming (40,070 km2 [15,472 mi2])
(Service et al. 2007, Figure 1—minus 4
packs that did not persist). Although
habitat occupied by persistent wolf
packs includes some prairie (4,488 km2
[1,733 mi2]) and some high desert
(24,478 km2 [9,451 mi2]), wolf packs
have not used these habitat types
successfully (Service et al. 2007, Figure
1—minus 4 packs that did not persist).
Since 1986, no persistent wolf pack has
had a majority of its home range in high
desert or prairie habitat. Landownership
in the area occupied by persistent wolf
packs is 191,473 km2 (73,931 mi2)
Federal (65 percent); 13,522 km2 (5,225
mi2) State (4.6 percent); 6,594 km2
(2,546 mi2) Tribal (2.2 percent); and
80,512 km2 (31,087 mi2) private (27
percent) (Service et al. 2007, Figure 1—
minus 4 packs that did not persist).
We determined that the current wolf
population resembles a three-lobed
metapopulation and that the overall area
used by persistent wolf packs in the
NRM DPS has not significantly
expanded since the population achieved
its recovery goal in 2002. Stagnant outer
distribution patterns for the past 7 years
indicate there is probably limited
suitable habitat for the NRM wolf
population to expand significantly
beyond its current outer borders.
Carroll’s model predicted that 165,503
km2 (63,901 mi2) of suitable habitat (62
percent) was within the area occupied
by persistent wolf packs. However, the
model’s remaining potentially suitable
habitat (38 percent) was often
fragmented and in smaller, more
isolated patches (Carroll et al. 2006, p.
35) and we have determined that such
areas do not provide habitat suitable to
support persistent wolf packs.
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming each
have committed to manage for at least
15 breeding pairs and 150 wolves while
never letting the population fall below
10 breeding pairs and 100 wolves in
mid-winter to ensure long-term viability
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of the NRM DPS. The NRM DPS
occupies nearly 100 percent of the core
recovery areas recommended in the
1987 recovery plan (i.e., central Idaho,
the GYA, and northwestern Montana)
(Service 1987, p. 23) and nearly 100
percent of the primary analysis areas
(the areas where suitable habitat was
predicted to exist and the wolf
population would live) analyzed for
wolf reintroduction in central Idaho and
the GYA (Service 1994, p. 1:6). This
pattern will continue, because
management plans for public lands in
the NRM DPS will result in forest cover,
high ungulate densities, low to
moderate road and livestock densities,
and other factors critical to maintaining
suitable wolf habitat.
Potential Threats Affecting Habitat or
Range—Establishing a recovered wolf
population in the NRM DPS did not
require land-use restrictions or
curtailment of traditional land-uses,
because there was enough suitable
habitat, enough wild ungulates, and
sufficiently few livestock conflicts to
allow wolves to recover under existing
conditions (Bangs et al. 2004, pp. 95–
96). We do not believe that any
traditional land-use practices in the
NRM DPS need be modified to maintain
a recovered NRM DPS into the
foreseeable future. We do not anticipate
overall habitat changes in the NRM DPS
occurring at a magnitude that will
threaten wolf recovery in the foreseeable
future, because 71 percent of the
occupied habitat is in public ownership
that is managed for multiple uses that
are complementary with suitable wolf
habitat and maintenance of viable wolf
populations (Carroll et al. 2003, p. 542;
Oakleaf et al. 2006, p. 560).
The GYA and central Idaho core
recovery areas, 63,714 km2 (24,600 mi2)
and 53,613 km2 (20,700 mi2),
respectively, are primarily composed of
public lands (Service 1994, p. iv) and
are the largest contiguous blocks of
suitable habitat within the NRM DPS.
Public lands in National Parks,
wilderness, roadless areas, and large
blocks of contiguous mountainous
forested habitat are largely unavailable
or unsuitable for intensive development.
Central Idaho and the GYA provide
secure wolf habitat and abundant
ungulate populations, with about 99,300
ungulates in the GYA and 241,400 in
central Idaho (Service 1994, pp. viii–ix).
These areas are considered secure
because they are not available for
development due to their land-use
classifications, management guidelines
for other species (e.g., grizzly bears),
habitat, access, and geological
characteristics (Service 1993, 1996,
2007c; Serhveen et al. 2003; USFS
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2006). Thus, they will continue to
provide suitable habitat for a resident
wolf population and will be a
dependable source of dispersing wolves
to help maintain a viable wolf
population in the NRM DPS (Service
1994, p. 1:4). The central Idaho recovery
area has 24,281 km2 (9,375 mi2) of
designated wilderness at its core
(Service 1994, p. 3:85). The core of the
GYA recovery area includes over 8,094
km2 (3,125 mi2) in YNP and about
16,187 km2 (6,250 mi2) of designated
wilderness (although these areas are less
useful to wolves, except seasonally, due
to high elevation) (Service 1994, p.
3:45). These areas are in public
ownership and are not useful or
available for human development at a
scale that could affect their overall
suitability for wolves. No foreseeable
habitat-related threats would prevent
these areas from supporting a wolf
population that exceeds recovery levels.
While the northwestern Montana
recovery area (basically west of I–15 and
north of I–90 in Montana and Idaho)
(84,800 km2 (33,386 mi2)) also has a
core of protected suitable habitat
(Glacier National Park, the Bob Marshal
Wilderness Complex, and extensive
USFS lands), it is not as high quality or
as contiguous as that in either central
Idaho or GYA. The primary reason for
this is that many ungulates do not
winter in the Park or Wilderness areas
because these are higher in elevation.
Most wolf packs in northwestern
Montana live west of the Continental
Divide, where forest habitats are a
fractured mix of private and public
lands (Service et al. 1989–2007, Figure
1). This mix exposes wolves to high
levels of human-caused mortality, and
thus this area supports smaller and
fewer wolf packs. Wolf dispersal into
northwestern Montana from the more
stable resident packs in the core
protected area (largely the North Fork of
the Flathead River along the eastern
edge of Glacier National Park and the
few large river drainages in the Bob
Marshall Wilderness Complex) and the
abundant National USFS lands largely
used for recreation and timber
production rather than livestock
production helps to maintain that
portion of the NRM DPS (Bangs et al.
1998, p. 786). Wolves also disperse into
northwestern Montana (and central
Idaho) from Canada and some packs
have trans-boundary territories, helping
to maintain the NRM DPS (Boyd et al.
1995, p. 136). Conversely, wolf dispersal
from northwestern Montana into
Canada, where wolves are much less
protected, continues to draw some
wolves into vacant or low-density
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habitats in Canada where they are
subject to liberal hunting and agency
control (Bangs et al. 1998, p. 790).
Despite mortalities that occur in
Canada, the trans-boundary movements
of wolves and wolf packs led to the
original establishment of wolves in
Montana, and will continue to have an
overall positive effect on wolf genetic
diversity and demography in the
northwest Montana portion of the NRM
DPS.
Sufficient suitable habitat exists so
that the NRM DPS can be easily
maintained above recovery levels. The
most important suitable wolf habitat is
in public ownership, and the State and
Federal land-management agencies have
been managing that habitat for several
decades and plan to continue to manage
it so it will continue to provide forage
and security for high ungulate
populations, sufficient cover for wolf
security, moderate and seasonal
livestock grazing, and low road density.
Carroll et al. (2003, p. 541; 2006, p. 31)
predicted future wolf habitat suitability
under several scenarios through 2025,
including increased human population
growth and road development.
Projections of human population
growth, associated development, and
road construction and other threats were
not predicted to alter wolf habitat
suitability in the NRM DPS enough to
cause the wolf population to fall below
recovery levels in the foreseeable future.
Modeling also predicted that habitat
suitability could be increased beyond
current levels by simply reducing roads
on public lands (Mech et al. 1988; 86–
87), a process underway in the NRM
(Service 1993, 1996, 2007; Serhveen et
al. 2003; Carroll et al. 2006, p. 25;
Brown 2006, 1–3).
The recovery plan (Service 1987, p.
13), the metapopulation structure
recommended by the 1994 EIS (Service
1994, pp. 6:74–75), and subsequent
investigations (Bangs 2002, p. 3)
recognize the importance of habitat
connectivity between northwestern
Montana, central Idaho, and the GYA
(See Factor E). There appears to be
enough habitat connectivity between
occupied wolf habitat in Canada,
northwestern Montana, and Idaho to
ensure exchange of sufficient numbers
of dispersing wolves to maintain
demographic and genetic diversity in
the NRM DPS (Oakleaf et al. 2006, p.
559; Carroll et al. 2006, p. 32; Jimenez
et al. in prep; vonHoldt et al. 2007, p.
19). To date, from radio-telemetry
monitoring, we have documented
routine wolf movement between Canada
and northwestern Montana (Pletscher et
al. 1991, p. 544; Boyd and Pletscher
1999, pp. 1095–1096; Sime 2007),
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routine wolf movement between Idaho
and Montana, including several
transborder packs, and at least five
wolves have dispersed into the GYA.
Because YNP is saturated with resident
packs, only one individual is known to
have dispersed into YNP itself (Boyd et
al. 1995, pp. iii–3–1; Jimenez et al. in
prep; vonHoldt et al. 2007; Service et al.
2007, Figure 1; Service 2007b, p. 1).
Furthermore, because only about 30
percent of the wolf population has been
radio-collared, additional dispersal
(perhaps 3 times that documented or +1
migrant per year into the GYA) has
undoubtedly occurred. The documented
movement of wolves described above
demonstrates that current habitat
conditions allow dispersing wolves to
occasionally travel from one recovery
area to another. Finally, the Montana
State wolf management plan (the key
State regarding connectivity) commits to
maintaining natural connectivity to
ensure the genetic integrity of the NRM
DPS by promoting land uses, such as
traditional ranching, that enhance
wildlife habitat and conservation. In
addition, the Montana (Montana 2003,
p. 35), Idaho (IDFG 2002, p. 18), and
Wyoming (WYGF 2007, p. 17) State wolf
management plans all commit to
maintaining the meta-population
structure of the NRM DPS and
maintaining sufficient genetic diversity,
by various methods including relocation
if necessary, to ensure the long-term
viability of the wolf population of the
NRM DPS.
Other Components of Wolf Habitat—
Another important factor in maintaining
wolf populations is the native ungulate
population. Wild ungulate prey in these
three areas are composed mainly of elk,
white-tailed deer, mule deer, moose,
and (only in the GYA) bison. Bighorn
sheep, mountain goats, and pronghorn
antelope also are common but not
important, at least to date, as wolf prey.
In total, 100,000–250,000 wild
ungulates are estimated in each State
where wolf packs currently exist
(Service 1994, pp. viii–ix). The States in
the NRM DPS have managed resident
ungulate populations for decades and
maintain them at densities that would
easily support a recovered wolf
population; State ungulate management
plans commit them to do so into the
future (See Idaho 2007, pp. 1–2; Curtis
2007, pp. 14–21 as an examples of such
plans). We know of no foreseeable
condition that would cause a decline in
ungulate populations significant enough
to threaten the recovered status of the
NRM DPS.
Cattle and sheep are at least twice as
numerous as wild ungulates even on
public lands (Service 1994, pp. viii).
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The only areas that lack livestock and
that are large enough to support wolf
packs are YNP, Glacier National Park,
some adjacent USFS Wilderness Areas,
and parts of Wilderness Areas in central
Idaho and northwestern Montana.
Consequently, every wolf pack outside
these areas has interacted with some
livestock, primarily cattle. Livestock
and livestock carrion are routinely used
by wolves, but management discourages
chronic killing of livestock. Conflict
between wolves and livestock has
resulted in the annual removal of some
wolves (Bangs et al. 1995, p. 131; 2004,
p. 92; 2005, pp. 342–344; Service et al.
2007, Table 5a). See Factors D and E.
Human growth and development will
continue in the NRM, including
increased development and conversion
of private low-density rural lands to
higher density urban developments,
road development and transportation
facilities (pipelines and energy
transmission lines), resource extraction
(primarily oil and gas, coal, and wind
development in certain areas), and more
recreationists on public lands (Robbins
2007). Despite efforts to minimize
impacts to wildlife (Brown 2006, pp. 1–
3), some of this development will make
some areas of the NRM DPS less suitable
for wolf occupancy. However, none of
these developments and increased
human presence will threaten wolf
recovery or meaningfully impact the
amount of suitable wolf habitat in the
NRM in the foreseeable future. Wolves
are a habitat generalist and one of the
most adaptable large predators in the
world, and only became extirpated
because of deliberate human
persecution (Fuller et al. 2003, p. 163;
Boitani 2003, pp. 328–330). Land-use
restrictions on human development
were not necessary to recover the wolf
population. Even active wolf dens can
be quite resilient to nonlethal
disturbance by humans (Frame et al.
2007, p. 316). The vast majority of
suitable wolf habitat and the current
wolf population are secure in
mountainous forested Federal public
land (National Parks, wilderness,
roadless areas, and lands managed for
multiple uses primarily by the USFS but
some by the Bureau of Land
Management) that will not be legally
available for or suitable to intensive
levels of human development. Nearly all
oil and gas and coal leases that are being
developed or are likely to be developed
in the foreseeable future in the NRM
DPS are to the south or east of the areas
suitable for and currently occupied by
persistent wolf packs (Robbins 2007;
Environmental Working Group 2007).
Habitat quality for wolves is based
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almost solely on adequate prey and
security from excessive human-caused
mortality.
Most types of intensive human
development predicted in the future
will occur in areas that have already
been extensively modified by human
activities in the past and are already
unsuitable wolf habitat (Wyoming 2005,
Appendix III). Furthermore, such
development is likely to continue to be
focused at lower elevations, on private
lands and in open habitats, and outside
of currently suitable and currently
occupied wolf habitat (Robbins 2007).
Given the nature, location, and very
small scale of oil and gas and coal
development within the NRM DPS this
type of development will not affect wolf
habitat. Oil and gas and coal reserves
and leases are not located in the
mountainous areas that comprise
suitable wolf habitat in the NRM DPS
(Robbins 2007). In addition, State
regulatory mechanisms in Wyoming,
Montana, and Idaho, and Federal land
management practices/guidelines (see a
USFS Management Plan as an example;
USFS 2006) in the NRM DPS restrict the
location and extent of development
associated with them on public lands so
we do not believe these activities will
substantially impact prey or wolf
security in suitable habitat.
Development on private land near
suitable habitat will continue to expose
wolves to more conflicts and higher risk
of human-caused mortality. However,
we believe the rate of conflict is well
within the wolf population’s biological
mortality threshold (generally between
34%–50% annually), especially given
the large amount of secure habitat that
will support a recovered wolf
population and will provide a reliable
and constant source of dispersing
wolves (Mech 1989, pp. 387–8). Wolf
populations persist in many areas of the
world that are far more developed than
the NRM currently is or is likely to be
in the foreseeable future (Boitani 2003,
pp. 322–23). Habitat connectivity in the
NRM may be reduced below current
levels, but wolves have exceptional
abilities to disperse through even
unsuitable habitats and such impacts
would still not threaten the wolf
population. (See discussions of
connectivity and genetics in Factor E).
Current habitat conditions are adequate
to support a wolf population of 1,500
individuals, and model predictions
indicate that development in the NRM
over the next 25 years is unlikely to
change habitat in a manner that would
threaten the NRM DPS (Carroll et al.
2003, p. 544). The ranges of wolves and
grizzly bears overlap in many parts of
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming, and
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mandatory habitat guidelines on public
lands for grizzly bear conservation
guarantee and far exceed necessary
criteria for maintaining suitable habitat
for wolves (Service 2007c as one
example).
Given the large number of wolves in
each recovery area of the nearly
contiguous NRM DPS, natural habitat
connectivity may be important only as
it relates to theoretical long-term genetic
isolation in the GYA without
management intervention. The wolf
population and suitable habitat in the
GYA may become more isolated and
dispersal into the GYA from central
Idaho or northwestern Montana less
common due to future habitat
development (Carroll et al 2003, p. 543;
Oakleaf et al. 2006; vonHoldt et al.
2007). In addition, higher rates of
human-caused mortality are anticipated
under State management. Increased
rates of human-caused mortality may
result in more social openings
(vacancies created when individuals die
or disperse) within wolf packs within
the core recovery areas of northwestern
Montana, and central Idaho, creating
local space for wolves that might
otherwise disperse into the GYA to
search out breeding opportunities or to
join existing packs. Higher mortality
rates will also be more likely to remove
individuals that might disperse into the
outer edges of the GYA because
mortality rates are already highest along
the edges of the core recovery areas
(Smith 2007a). In contrast, increased
rates of human-caused mortality in the
GYA might create more social openings
in existing packs that could be filled by
wolves dispersing from northwestern
Montana and central Idaho.
We believe the former scenario is
more likely than the latter and that the
cumulative result of increased humancaused mortality will likely be more
genetic isolation of wolves in the GYA.
However, some level of natural
connectivity will continue because of
the large amount of public land and low
human density between the GYA and
central Idaho and the ability of wolves
to disperse rapidly over long distances
through otherwise unsuitable habitat
(Carroll 2006, p. 376). Also the GYA
will contain more wolves than just those
in YNP, including 7 or more breeding
pairs to be maintained in Wyoming
outside of YNP, wolves in southwestern
Montana (73 wolves in 13 packs
comprising 5 breeding pairs in 2006),
and southeastern Idaho (6 wolves in 1
breeding pair in 2006). Furthermore,
each State has committed to maintain
genetic diversity at a level that does not
threaten wolf population viability in the
GYA (Idaho 2002, p.18; Montana 2003,
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p.27; WGFD 2007, p.17), which
completely addresses this theoretical
issue. Regardless, wolves in the GYA
portion of the NRM DPS would still not
become threatened by a potential worsecase decrease in genetic diversity in the
next 100 years because other wolf
populations have persisted for decades
or even centuries with even lower
genetic diversity (Boitani 2003).
We recognize the theoretical concerns
over the future potential impact of
natural habitat connectivity and genetic
isolation in the GYA, and possibly other
recovery areas. The States will be
required to evaluate the wolf population
status annually for the first 5 years after
delisting. If this analysis indicates the
wolf population might become
threatened under a continuation of that
same State management strategy in the
foreseeable future, the States would
either adjust their management
strategies to resolve those issues, or the
process to evaluate listing all or parts of
the NRM DPS under the Act would
begin.
While lone wolves will continue to
occasionally disperse outside of the
NRM DPS core recovery area, it is
unlikely that many breeding pairs will
persist outside of this area, except
possibly in parts of eastern Washington
and northeastern Oregon that abut the
large Idaho wolf population and where
some suitable habitat exists. However,
we anticipate the establishment of
breeding pairs in that portion of the
NRM DPS will be sporadic because
suitable habitat is limited and
fragmented. The combination of limited
suitable habitat and high rates of
human-caused mortality that will be
associated with predatory animal status
in eastern and southern Wyoming will
further reduce the already extremely
low probability of dispersing wolves
successfully recolonizing Colorado,
Utah, South Dakota, or Nebraska.
Likewise, increased rates of humancaused mortality in Idaho and Montana
will likely further inhibit the already
low potential for successful wolf
recolonization of Nevada and the
Dakotas, respectively. However, while
any dispersing wolves in these areas
would remain listed as endangered,
should breeding pairs become
established, they will not affect the
viability of the NRM DPS. Any suitable
habitat adjacent to the NRM DPS is too
fragmented and too far from the NRM
DPS core recovery areas to provide
dispersing wolves back into it to
supplement it either genetically or
demographically.
The large amount of public lands that
cannot or will not be developed within
the core recovery areas within the NRM
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DPS assures that adequate suitable
habitat for wolves will exist into the
foreseeable future. Even though some
habitat degradation will occur in the
smaller areas of suitable habitat between
the core recovery areas, the quantity and
quality of habitat that will remain will
be sufficient to maintain some level of
natural connectivity into the foreseeable
future (Carroll et al. 2003 p.32).
However, the GYA is the most isolated
area, and development around its edges
is likely to continue in the future. The
level of development predicted in this
area is not expected to threaten wolves
because habitat in protected public
lands would remain secure.
Human populations in the GYA, and
the rest of the U.S., are expected to
increase (Carroll 2006). In the six GYA
Wyoming counties where wolf breeding
pairs will be maintained, the human
population is projected to increase by
roughly 15,000 residents between 2000
and 2020 (from 105,215 in 2000 to
120,771 by 2020) (Wyoming Department
of Administration and Information
Economic Analysis Division 2005). The
Montana GYA counties are expected to
increase by roughly 35,000 people
during this same time (from 120,934 in
2000 to 154,800 by 2020) (NPA Data
Services 2002). We anticipate similar
levels of population growth in the
remaining portions of the NRM DPS
given that the West, as a region, is
projected to increase at rates faster than
any other region of the U.S. (U.S.
Census Bureau Population Division
2005).
Increasing human populations do not
necessarily lead to declining predator
populations. Mortality can be limited
with adequate management programs
(Linnell et al. 2001, p. 348), research
and monitoring, and outreach and
education about living with wildlife. In
addition, conservation groups, on a
willing seller basis, have been retiring
Federal grazing allotments in areas with
chronic large-predator/livestock conflict
to benefit large carnivore conservation
efforts (Fischer 2007). The States, of
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming, Federal
land management agencies, Tribes, and
private ranch lands in Montana, Idaho,
and Wyoming already conserve habitat
for large populations of mountain lions,
black bears, and grizzly bears and wolf
prey such as elk and deer.
The Service has no need or authority
to limit future human population
growth for wolf conservation in the
NRM DPS. The management plans of
appropriate land management agencies
and governments manage public lands
to limit resource impacts from human
use of those lands, and these plans are
more than adequate to support a
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recovered wolf population (see USDA
2006 as one example). Habitat
suitability for wolves will change over
time with human development,
activities, and attitudes, but not to the
extent that it is likely to threaten wolf
recovery.
Summary of Threats to Wolf
Habitat—We do not foresee that impacts
to suitable and potentially suitable
habitat will occur at levels that will
significantly affect wolf numbers or
distribution or affect population
recovery and long-term viability in the
NRM DPS. Suitable habitat, occupied by
persistent wolf packs, is secured by core
recovery areas in northwestern
Montana, central Idaho, and the GYA,
including northwestern Wyoming.
These areas include Glacier National
Park, Grand Teton National Park, YNP,
numerous USFS Wilderness Areas, and
other State and Federal public lands.
These areas will continue to be managed
for high ungulate densities, moderate
rates of seasonal livestock grazing,
moderate-to-low road densities
associated with abundant native prey,
low potential for livestock conflicts, and
security from excessive unregulated
human-caused mortality. The core
recovery areas also are within proximity
to one another and have enough public
land between them to ensure enough
natural connectivity for wolf dispersal
into the foreseeable future. The possible
exception is the GYA, where some
believe human-induced genetic
connectivity might be required within
100 years (vonHoldt et al. 2007, p. 1).
We do not share this view and explain
why in detail under Factor E.
No significant threats to the suitable
habitat in Idaho, Montana, and
Wyoming are known to exist in the
foreseeable future. These areas currently
support nearly 1,500 wolves and over
100 breeding pairs and have long been
recognized as the most likely areas to
successfully support 30 or more
breeding pairs of wolves, comprising
300 or more individuals in a
metapopulation with some dispersal
between subpopulations (Service 1980,
pp. 1–4; 1987, p. 23; 1994, pp. 6, 74–
75; 71 FR 6634, February 8, 2006).
Unsuitable habitat and small fragmented
areas of suitable habitat away from these
core recovery areas largely represent
geographic locations where wolf
breeding pairs are likely to persist only
in low numbers, if at all. Although such
areas may historically have contained
suitable habitat (and may contribute to
a healthy wolf population in the NRM
DPS by facilitating dispersal between
core areas), wolf packs in these areas are
not important or necessary for
maintaining a viable, self-sustaining,
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and evolving (Geffen et al. 2004, p.
2481) representative wolf population in
the NRM DPS into the foreseeable
future.
B. Overutilization for Commercial,
Recreational, Scientific, or Educational
Purposes
As detailed below, overutilization for
commercial, recreational, scientific, or
educational purposes has not been a
significant threat to the NRM DPS.
Mortality rates caused by commercial,
recreational, scientific, or educational
purposes are not anticipated to exceed
sustainable levels following delisting.
These activities have not been a threat
to the viability of the wolves in the past,
and we have no reason to believe that
they would become a threat to the
viability of the wolves in the foreseeable
future.
Since their listing under the Act, no
gray wolves have been deliberately and
legally killed or removed from the wild
in the NRM for commercial, recreational
(hunting, trapping), or educational
purposes. In the NRM, about 3 percent
of the wolves captured for scientific
research, nonlethal control, and
monitoring have been accidentally
killed (Bangs et al. in press). Some
wolves may have been illegally killed
for commercial use of the pelts and
other parts, but we believe illegal
commercial trafficking in wolf pelts or
wolf parts is rare. Illegal capture of
wolves for commercial breeding
purposes also is possible, but we have
no evidence that it occurs in the NRM.
We believe the prohibition against
‘‘take’’ provided for by Section 9 of the
Act has discouraged and minimized the
illegal killing of wolves for commercial
or recreational purposes. Although
Federal penalties under Section 11 of
the Act will not apply once delisting is
finalized, other Federal laws will still
protect wildlife in National Parks and
on other Federal lands (Service 1994,
pp. 1:5–9). In addition, the States and
Tribes have similar laws and regulations
that protect game or trophy animals
from overutilization for commercial,
recreational, scientific, and educational
purposes (See Factor D for a more
detailed discussion of this issue). We
believe these laws will continue to
provide a strong deterrent to illegal
killing of wolves by the public, as they
have been effective in State-led
conservation programs for other resident
wildlife such as black bears, mountain
lions, elk, and deer. In addition, the
State fish and game agencies, National
Parks, other Federal agencies, and most
Tribes have well-distributed
experienced professional law
enforcement officers to help enforce
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State, Federal, and Tribal wildlife
regulations (See Factor D).
Scientific Research and Monitoring—
From 1984 to 2007, the Service and our
cooperating partners captured over 940
NRM wolves for monitoring, nonlethal
control, and research purposes with 23
accidental deaths. With delisting of gray
wolves in the NRM DPS, the States,
National Parks, and Tribes will continue
to capture and radio-collar wolves in the
NRM DPS for monitoring and research
purposes in accordance with their State
wolf management plans (See ‘‘Factor D’’
and ‘‘Post-Delisting Monitoring’’
sections). We expect that capture-caused
mortality by Federal, State, and Tribal
agencies, and universities conducting
wolf monitoring, nonlethal control, and
research will remain below 3 percent of
the wolves captured, and will be an
insignificant source of mortality to the
wolf population.
Education—We are unaware of any
wolves that have been removed from the
wild for solely educational purposes in
recent years. Wolves that are used for
such purposes are typically privatelyheld captive-reared offspring of wolves
that were already in captivity for other
reasons and are not protected by the
Act. However, States may get requests to
place wolves that would otherwise be
euthanized in captivity for research or
educational purposes. Such requests
have been, and will continue to be, rare;
would be closely regulated by the State
wildlife management agencies through
the requirement for State permits for
protected species; and would not
substantially increase human-caused
wolf mortality rates.
Commercial and Recreational Uses—
In Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming, any
legal take after delisting (primarily
hunting and trapping) will be regulated
by State or Tribal law so that such take
would not threaten each State’s share of
the NRM DPS (See Factor D). The
exception would be in Wyoming where
there will be no regulation of wolf take
in the area where wolves are designated
as predatory animals. However, we have
determined that the area of Wyoming
where wolves are designated as
predatory animals is outside of the GYA
and is not important to maintaining
recovery in the Wyoming portion of the
NRM wolf population (See discussion in
Boundaries of the DPS).
Because wolves are highly territorial,
wolf populations in saturated habitat
naturally limit further population
increases through wolf-to-wolf conflict
or dispersal to unoccupied habitat. Wolf
populations can maintain themselves
despite sustained human-caused
mortality rates of 30 to 50 percent per
year (Keith 1983; Fuller et al. 2003, pp.
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182–184). In addition, human-caused
mortality can take the place of up to 70
percent of wolf mortality that would
have occurred naturally [e.g., wolf
population/social pressures were
relieved because a wolf was killed in a
vehicle collision that would have
otherwise been killed by other wolves]
(Fuller et al. 2003, p. 186). Wolf pups
can be successfully raised by other pack
members and breeding individuals can
be quickly replaced by other wolves
(Brainerd et al. 2008, p. 1). Collectively,
these factors mean that wolf populations
are quite resilient to human-caused
mortality if it can be regulated.
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming will
regulate human-caused mortality to
manipulate wolf distribution and
overall population size to help reduce
conflicts with livestock and, in some
cases, human hunting of big game, just
as they do for other resident species of
wildlife. Montana, Idaho, Wyoming, and
some Tribes in those States will allow
regulated public harvest of surplus
wolves in the NRM DPS for commercial
and recreational purposes by regulated
private and guided hunting and
trapping. Such take and any commercial
use of wolf pelts or other parts will be
regulated by State or Tribal law (see
discussion of State laws and plans
under Factor D). The regulated take of
those wolves will not affect wolf
population recovery or viability in the
NRM DPS because Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming will allow such take only for
wolves that are surplus to achieving the
State’s commitment to maintaining a
recovered population. Take of wolves in
eastern and southern Wyoming will be
unregulated. However, those areas of
Wyoming and any wolves that may be
present are not necessary to sustain a
recovered wolf population in the NRM
DPS because they would be so few,
scattered, and temporary.
State laws in Washington, Oregon,
and Utah do not currently allow public
take of wolves for recreational or
commercial purposes. Regulated
hunting and trapping are traditional and
effective wildlife management tools that
may be applied to help achieve State
and Tribal wolf management objectives
as needed and may be authorized at
some point in the future. However, any
wolf breeding pairs in those portions of
the NRM DPS would not be necessary
to sustain wolf population recovery in
the NRM DPS and no threats, including
high rates of human-caused mortality, in
these States would affect the wolf
population in Montana, Idaho, or
Wyoming. Wolf packs that formed
outside the core recovery areas would
be limited in number, scattered,
temporary, experience high mortality
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rates, and consequently would not
persist long enough to produce many
dispersal-aged individuals. Wolves
typically do not disperse from their
natal pack until they are at least 1.5
years old so these types of packs would
produce very few dispersers that could
supplement the wolf population in the
core recovery areas.
In summary, the States have
organizations and regulatory and
enforcement systems in place to limit
human-caused mortality of wolves in all
areas of the NRM DPS where regulated
take will be important to maintaining
the recovered wolf population into the
foreseeable future. The Montana, Idaho,
and Wyoming State plans commit these
States to regulate all take of wolves in
their part of the NRM DPS. These plans
include regulation of take for
commercial, recreational, scientific, and
educational purposes. The States will
incorporate any Tribal harvest as part of
the overall level of allowable take to
ensure that the wolf population does not
fall below the NRM DPS’s numerical
and distributional recovery levels (Idaho
2007, p. 16–17). The States and Tribes
have humane and professional animal
handling protocols and trained
personnel that will ensure that
population monitoring and research
results in few unintentional mortalities.
Furthermore, the States’ permitting
process for captive wildlife and animal
care will ensure that few, if any, wolves
will be removed from the wild solely for
educational purposes (Idaho 2002, 2007;
Montana 2003; Wyoming 2007). We
conclude that potential wolf take
resulting from commercial, scientific, or
educational purposes in the NRM DPS
will be regulated so that it will not
threaten wolf population recovery for
the foreseeable future.
C. Disease or Predation
As discussed in detail below, a wide
range of diseases may affect wolves in
the NRM DPS. However, no diseases or
parasites, even in combination, are of
such magnitude that the population is
likely to become in danger of extinction
in the foreseeable future. Similarly,
predation does not pose a significant
threat to the NRM DPS. The rates of
mortality caused by disease and
predation are well within acceptable
limits, and we do not expect those rates
to change appreciably if the NRM DPS
is delisted. Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming State plans commit to
monitoring wolf health to ensure any
new impacts caused by diseases or
parasites are quickly detected. Natural
predation on wolves is rare, but
predation by humans can be a
significant issue if not regulated. More
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information on disease and predation
(including by humans) is provided
below.
Disease—Wolves in the NRM DPS are
exposed to a wide variety of diseases
and parasites that are common
throughout North America. Many
diseases (viruses and bacteria, many
protozoa and fungi) and parasites
(helminthes and arthropods) have been
reported for the gray wolf, and several
of them have had significant, but
temporary impacts during wolf recovery
in the 48 conterminous States (Brand et
al. 1995, p. 428; Kreeger 2003, pp. 202–
214). The EIS on gray wolf
reintroduction identified disease impact
as an issue, but did not evaluate it
further, as it appeared to be insignificant
(Service 1994, pp. 1:20–21).
Infectious disease induced by
parasitic organisms is a normal factor in
the life of wild animals, and the typical
wild animal hosts a broad multi-species
community of potentially harmful
parasitic organisms (Wobeser 2002, p.
160). We fully anticipate that these
diseases and parasites will follow the
same pattern seen in other areas of
North America (Brand et al. 1995, pp.
428–429; Bailey et al. 1995, p. 445;
Johnson 1995a, b; Kreeger 2003, pp.
202–204; Atkinson 2006, pp. 1–7; Smith
and Almberg 2007, pp. 17–19) and will
not significantly threaten wolf
population viability. Nevertheless,
because these diseases and parasites,
and perhaps others, have the potential
to impact wolf population distribution
and demographics, careful monitoring
(as per the State wolf management
plans) will track such events (Atkinson
2006, pp. 1–7). Should such an outbreak
occur, human-caused mortality would
be regulated by the States over an
appropriate area and time period to
ensure wolf population numbers in the
NRM DPS are maintained above
recovery levels in those portions of the
NRM DPS.
Canine parvovirus (CPV) infects
wolves, domestic dogs (Canis
familiaris), foxes, coyotes, skunks
(Mephitis mephitis), and raccoons
(Procyon lotor). The population impacts
of CPV occur via diarrhea-induced
dehydration leading to abnormally high
pup mortality (Wisconsin Department of
Natural Resources 1999, p. 61). Clinical
CPV is characterized by severe
hemorrhagic diarrhea and vomiting;
debility and subsequent mortality is a
result of dehydration, electrolyte
imbalances, and shock. The CPV has
been detected in nearly every wolf
population in North America including
Alaska (Bailey et al. 1995, p. 441; Brand
et al. 1995, p. 421; Kreeger 2003, pp.
210–211; Johnson et al. 1994), and
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exposure in wolves is thought to be
almost universal. Currently, nearly 100
percent of the wolves handled by
Montana Fish, Wildlife and Parks
(MFWP) (Atkinson 2006) and YNP
(Smith and Almberg 2007, p. 18) had
blood antibodies indicating nonlethal
exposure to CPV. The CPV contributed
to low pup survival in the northern
range of YNP in 1999, and was
suspected to have done so again in 2005
(Smith et al. 2006, p. 244). However,
monitoring data show 2006 and 2007
pup production and survival in YNP
returned to normal levels (Smith and
Almberg 2007, pp. 18–19). The impact
of such disease outbreaks to the overall
NRM DPS of the gray wolf has been
localized and temporary, as has been
documented elsewhere (Bailey et al.
1995, p. 441; Brand et al. 1995, p. 421;
Kreeger 2003, pp. 210–211).
Canine distemper (CD) is an acute,
fever-causing disease of carnivores
caused by a virus (Kreeger 2003, p. 209).
It is common in domestic dogs and
some wild canids, such as coyotes and
foxes in the NRM (Kreeger 2003, p. 209).
The prevalence of antibodies to this
disease in samples of wolf blood in
North American wolves is about 17
percent (Kreeger 2003, p. 209). Nearly
85 percent of Montana wolf blood
samples analyzed in 2005 indicated
nonlethal exposure to CD (Atkinson
2006). Similar results were found in
YNP (Smith and Almberg 2007, p. 18).
Mortality in wolves has been
documented in Canada (Carbyn 1982, p.
109), Alaska (Peterson et al. 1984, p. 31;
Bailey et al. 1995, p. 441), and in a
single Wisconsin pup (Wydeven and
Wiedenhoeft 2003, p. 7). Canine
distemper is not a major mortality factor
in wolves, despite high exposure to the
virus, because affected wolf populations
demonstrate good recruitment (Brand et
al. 1995, pp. 420–421). Mortality from
CD has been confirmed only once in
gray wolves of the NRM DPS despite
their high exposure to it, but we suspect
it contributed to the high pup mortality
documented in the northern GYA in
spring 2005.
Lyme disease, caused by a spirochete
bacterium, is spread primarily by deer
ticks (Ixodes dammini). Host species
include humans, horses (Equus
caballus), dogs, white-tailed deer, mule
deer, elk, white-footed mice
(Peromyscus leucopus), eastern
chipmunks (Tamias striatus), coyotes,
and wolves. In WGL populations, it
does not appear to cause adult
mortality, but might be suppressing
population growth by decreasing wolf
pup survival (Wisconsin Department of
Natural Resources 1999, p. 61). Lyme
disease has not been reported from
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10543
wolves beyond the Great Lakes region
(Wisconsin Department of Natural
Resources 1999, p. 61).
Mange is caused by a mite (Sarcoptes
scabeii) that infests the skin. The
irritation caused by feeding and
burrowing mites results in intense
itching, resulting in scratching and
severe fur loss, which can lead to
mortality from exposure during winter
weather or secondary infections
(Kreeger 2003, pp. 207–208). Advanced
mange can involve the entire body and
can cause emaciation, decreased
wariness, staggering, and death (Kreeger
2003, p. 207). In a long-term Alberta
wolf study, higher wolf densities were
correlated with increased incidence of
mange, and pup survival decreased as
the incidence of mange increased
(Brand et al. 1995, pp. 427–428). Mange
has been shown to temporarily affect
wolf population growth rates and
perhaps wolf distribution (Kreeger 2003,
p. 208).
Mange has been detected in, and
caused mortality to, wolves in the NRM
DPS, but almost exclusively in the GYA,
and primarily east of the Continental
Divide (Jimenez et al. 2007a; Atkinson
2006, p. 5; Smith and Almberg 2007, p.
19). Those wolves likely contracted
mange from coyotes or fox whose
populations experience occasional
outbreaks. In Montana, 3 percent of 38
packs in 2003, 10 percent of 40 packs
in 2004, 24 percent of 46 packs in 2005,
10 percent of 60 packs in 2006, and 4
percent of 71 packs in 2007 showed
evidence of mange, although not all
members of every pack appeared
infested. In Wyoming, including YNP,
mange affected 5 percent of 22 packs in
2002, 8 percent of 26 packs in 2003, 12
percent of 26 packs in 2004, 3 percent
of 29 packs in 2005, 9 percent of 40
packs in 2006, and 15 percent of 33
packs in 2007. Mange has not been
confirmed in wolves in Idaho (Jimenez
et al. 2007a).
In packs with the most severe
infestations, pup survival appeared low,
and some adults died (Jimenez et al.
2007a). In addition, we euthanized
approximately 4 wolves with severe
mange for humane reasons and because
of their abnormal behavior. We predict
that mange in the NRM DPS will act as
it has in other parts of North America
(Brand et al. 1995, pp. 427–428; Kreeger
2003, pp. 207–208) and not threaten
wolf population viability. Evidence
suggests that wolves in the NRM DPS
will not be infested on a chronic
population-wide level given the recent
response of wolves that naturally
overcame a mange infestation (Jimenez
et al. 2007a).
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Dog-biting lice (Trichodectes canis)
commonly feed on domestic dogs, but
can infest coyotes and wolves (Schwartz
et al. 1983, p. 372; Mech et al. 1985, p.
404). The lice can attain severe
infestations, particularly in pups. The
worst infestations can result in severe
scratching, irritated and raw skin,
substantial hair loss particularly in the
groin, and poor condition. While no
wolf mortality has been confirmed,
death from exposure and/or secondary
infection following self-inflicted trauma,
caused by inflammation and itching,
appears possible. Dog-biting lice were
first confirmed in wolves in the NRM
DPS on two pups in the Battlefield pack
in the Big Hole Valley of southwestern
Montana in 2005. In 2006, 3 pups the
Battlefield pack were infested. In 2006
and 2007 lice were documented on 9
wolves from 8 packs in south-central
Idaho. None of these infestations were
severe (Service et al. 2006, p. 15;
Atkinson 2006, p. 5; Jimenez et al.
2007b). Based on epizootics of lice
infestations reported in other areas in
North America, lice may contribute to
higher morbidity in individual wolves,
but will not be a significant cause of
mortality that would threaten the
regional wolf population (Kreeger 2003,
p. 208). The source of the lice
infestation is unknown, but was likely
domestic dogs.
Rabies, canine heartworm (Dirofilaria
immitus), blastomycosis, brucellosis,
neosporsis, leptospirosis, bovine
tuberculosis, canine coronavirus, viral
papillomatosis, hookworm, tapeworm,
coccidiosis, and canine adenovirus/
hepatitis have all been documented in
wild gray wolves, but their impacts on
future wild wolf populations are not
likely to be significant (Brand et al.
1995, pp. 419–429; Johnson 1995a, pp.
5–73, 1995b, pp. 5–49; Mech and Kurtz
1999, p. 305; Wisconsin Department of
Natural Resources 1999, p. 61; Kreeger
2003, pp. 202–214; Atkinson 2006, p. 1–
7). Canid rabies caused local population
declines in Alaska (Ballard and
Krausman 1997, p. 242) and may
temporarily limit population growth or
distribution where another species, such
as arctic foxes (Alopex lagopus), act as
a reservoir for the disease. Range
expansion could provide new avenues
for exposure to several of these diseases,
especially canine heartworm, rabies,
bovine tuberculosis, and possibly new
diseases such as chronic wasting disease
and West Nile virus, further
emphasizing the need for vigilant
disease monitoring programs.
Because several of the diseases and
parasites are known to be spread by
wolf-to-wolf contact, their incidence
may increase if wolf densities increase.
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However, because wolf densities are
already high (Service et al. 2007, Table
1 & Figure 1), wolf-to-wolf contacts will
not likely lead to a continuing increase
in disease prevalence. The wolves’
exposure to these types of organisms
may be most common outside of the
core population areas, where domestic
dogs are most common, and lowest in
the core population areas because
wolves tend to flow out of, not into,
saturated habitats. Despite this dynamic,
we assume that most wolves in the NRM
DPS will continue to have exposure to
most diseases and parasites in the
system. Diseases or parasites have not
been a significant threat to wolf
population recovery in the NRM DPS to
date, and we have no reason to believe
that they will become a significant
threat to their viability in the
foreseeable future.
In terms of future monitoring, each
State has committed to monitor the gray
wolf NRM DPS for significant disease
and parasite problems (Atkinson 2006,
p. 1; Idaho 2007, pp. 36–7; Wyoming
2007, p. 7, 39). These State wildlife
health programs often cooperate with
Federal agencies and universities and
usually have both reactive and proactive
wildlife health monitoring protocols.
Reactive strategies consist of periodic
intensive investigations after disease or
parasite problems have been detected
through routine management practices,
such as pelt examination, reports from
hunters, research projects, or population
monitoring. Proactive strategies often
involve ongoing routine investigation of
wildlife health information through
collection and analysis of blood and
tissue samples from all or a sub-sample
of wildlife carcasses or live animals that
are handled. We do not believe that
diseases or changes in disease
monitoring by the States or Tribes will
threaten wolf population recovery in the
NRM DPS.
Natural Predation—No wild animals
routinely prey on gray wolves (Ballard
et al. 2003, pp. 259–260). Occasionally
wolves have been killed by large prey
such as elk, deer, bison, and moose
(Mech and Nelson 1989, p. 207; Mech
and Peterson 2003, p. 134; Smith et al.
2006, p. 247), but those instances are
few. Since the 1980s, we know of
wolves in the NRM have died from
wounds they received while attacking
prey on about a dozen occasions (Smith
et al. 2006, p. 247). That level of
mortality could not significantly affect
wolf population viability or stability.
Since wolves in the NRM DPS have
been monitored, only three wolves have
been confirmed killed by other large
predators. Two adults were killed by
mountain lions, and one pup was killed
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by a grizzly bear (Jimenez et al. 2006).
Wolves in the NRM DPS inhabit the
same areas as mountain lions, grizzly
bears, and black bears, but conflicts
rarely result in the death of either
species. Wolves evolved with other
large predators, and no other large
predators in North America, except
humans, have the potential to
significantly impact wolf populations.
Other wolves are the largest cause of
natural predation among wolves.
Numerous mortalities have resulted
from territorial conflicts between
wolves, and about 7 percent of wolf
deaths are caused by territorial conflict
in the NRM gray wolf DPS (Smith
2007a). Wherever wolf packs occur,
including the NRM, some low level of
wolf mortality will result from territorial
conflict. Wolf populations tend to
regulate their own density;
consequently, territorial conflict is
highest in saturated habitats. That cause
of mortality is infrequent and does not
result in a level of mortality that would
significantly affect a wolf population’s
viability in the NRM (Smith 2007a).
Human-caused Predation—Wolves
are susceptible to human-caused
mortality, especially in open habitats
such as those that occur in the western
U.S. (Bangs et al. 2004, p. 93). An active
eradication program is the sole reason
that wolves were extirpated from the
NRM (Weaver 1978, p. i). Humans kill
wolves for a number of reasons. In all
locations where people, livestock, and
wolves coexist, some wolves are killed
to resolve conflicts with livestock (Fritts
et al. 2003, p. 310; Woodroffe et al.
2005, pp. 86–107, 345–7). Occasionally,
wolf killings are accidental (e.g., wolves
are hit by vehicles, mistaken for coyotes
and shot, or caught in traps set for other
animals) (Bangs et al. 2005, p. 346), and
some are reported to State, Tribal, and
Federal authorities.
However, many wolf killings are
intentional, illegal, and are never
reported to authorities. Wolves may
become unwary of people or human
activity, and that can make them
vulnerable to human-caused mortality
(Mech and Boitani 2003, pp. 300–302).
In the NRM DPS, mountain topography
concentrates both wolf and human
activity in valley bottoms (Boyd and
Pletscher 1999, p. 1105), especially in
winter, which increases wolf exposure
to human-caused mortality. The number
of illegal killings is difficult to estimate
and impossible to accurately determine
because they generally occur in areas
with few witnesses. Often the evidence
has decayed by the time the wolf’s
carcass is discovered or the evidence is
destroyed or concealed by the
perpetrators. While human-caused
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mortality, including illegal killing, has
not prevented population recovery, it
has affected NRM wolf distribution
(Bangs et al. 2004, p. 93). In the past 20
years and despite repeated dispersal of
lone wolves into such areas, no wolf
packs have successfully established and
persisted solely in open prairie or high
desert habitats that are used for
intensive agriculture production (Bangs
et al. 1998, p. 788; Service et al. 1989–
2007, Figure 1).
As part of the interagency wolf
monitoring program and various
research projects, about 30 percent of
the wolves in the NRM DPS have been
monitored with radio telemetry since
the 1980s (Smith 2007a). The annual
survival rate of mature wolves in
northwestern Montana and adjacent
Canada from 1984 through 1995 was 80
percent (Pletscher et al. 1997, p. 459); 84
percent for resident wolves and 66
percent for dispersers. That study found
84 percent of wolf mortality to be
human-caused. Bangs et al. (1998, p.
790) found similar statistics, with
humans causing most of the wolf
mortality in the NRM DPS. Radiocollared wolves in the largest blocks of
remote habitat without livestock, such
as central Idaho or YNP, had annual
survival rates around 80 percent (Smith
et al., 2006 p. 245). Wolves outside of
large remote areas had survival rates as
low as 54 percent in some years (Smith
et al. 2006, p. 245). This percentage is
at the lower end of adult wolf survival
rates that an isolated population can
sustain (Fuller et al. 2003, p. 185).
These survival rates may be biased.
Wolves are more likely to be radiocollared if they are likely to come into
conflict with people, so the proportion
of mortality caused by agency
depredation control actions could be
overestimated by radio-telemetry data.
People who illegally kill wolves may
destroy the radio-collar, so the
proportion of illegal mortality could be
underestimated. Wolves that disperse
long distances are much more difficult
to locate than resident wolves, so their
survival may be even lower than
telemetry data indicate. The high
proportion of wolves radio-collared in
National Parks for research purposes
can result in underestimating the overall
rate of human-caused mortality in the
NRM DPS. However, wolf numbers have
increased at rate of about 24% annually
in the face of ongoing levels of humancaused mortality.
A preliminary analysis of the survival
data among NRM DPS radio-collared
wolves (n=940) (Hensey & Fuller 1983;
Smith 2007a) from 1984 through 2006
indicates that about 26 percent of adultsized wolves die every year, so annual
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adult survival averages about 74
percent, which typically allows wolf
population growth (Keith 1983, p. 66;
Fuller et al. 2003, p. 182). Humans
caused just over 75 percent of all known
radio-collared wolf deaths (Smith
2007a). This type of analysis does not
estimate the cause or rate of survival
among pups younger than 7 months of
age, because they are too small to radiocollar. Agency control of problem
wolves and illegal killing are the two
largest causes of wolf death; combined
these causes remove nearly 20 percent
of the population annually and are
responsible for a majority of all known
wolf deaths (Smith et al. 2006, p. 245).
Wolf mortality from agency control of
problem wolves (which includes legal
take by private individuals under
defense of property regulations in rules
promulgated under section 10(j) of the
Act) is estimated to remove around 10
percent of adult radio-collared wolves
annually. From 1995 through 2007, 60
wolves were legally killed by private
citizens under Federal defense of
property regulations (50 CFR 17.84(i)
and (n)) that are similar to Montana,
Idaho, and Wyoming State laws for
resident game animals that would take
effect and direct take of problem wolves
by both the public and agencies if
wolves were delisted. Agency control
removed over 672 problem wolves from
1987 through 2007 (Service et al. 2007,
Table 4; Service 2007a), indicating that
private citizen take (about 8 percent)
under State defense of property laws
would not significantly increase the
overall rate of problem wolf removal
(Bangs et al. in press, pp. 19–20).
Of radio-collared wolves that died
from 1984–2005, 21% were killed by
natural causes (including 7% wolf-towolf conflict), 15% died from humancaused mortality other than agency
control (vehicles, capture-related,
incidental trapping, accidents, and legal
harvest of wolves that range into
Canada), 28% were killed in control
actions, 21% were illegally killed, and
for 15% the cause of death was
unknown (Smith 2007a).
A comparison of the overall wolf
population and the number of problem
wolves killed indicates agency control
removes, on average, about 9 percent of
the overall wolf population annually
(Service et al. 2007, Table 5). Wolf
mortality under State and Tribal defense
of property regulations that is incidental
to other legal activities, agency control
of problem wolves, and legal hunting
and trapping will be regulated by
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming and
Tribes when the Act’s protections are
removed. This issue is discussed further
below under Factor D.
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The overall causes and rates of annual
wolf mortality are affected by several
variables. Wolves in higher quality
suitable habitat, such as remote, forested
areas with few livestock (like National
Parks or central Idaho wilderness), have
high survival rates (80%). Wolves in
unsuitable habitat or in suitable habitat
without substantial refugia have
survival rates approaching 60% (Smith
2007a). Mortality rates also vary
depending on whether the wolves are
resident pack members or dispersers, if
they have a history with livestock
depredation, or have been relocated
(Bradley et al. 2005, p. 1506). However,
the overall rate of wolf mortality has
been low enough since 1987 that the
wolf population in the NRM DPS has
steadily increased. The wolf population
is now nearly three times as numerous
as needed to meet minimum recovery
levels and is distributed throughout
most suitable habitat within the NRM
DPS (Service 1987, p. 23; Service 1994,
p. 1:6).
When the NRM DPS of the gray wolf
is delisted, State management will likely
increase the mortality rate outside
National Parks and National Wildlife
Refuges from its current level of about
26 percent annually (Smith 2007a). Wolf
mortality, as high as 50 percent
annually, may be sustainable under
some conditions (Fuller et al. 2003, p.
185). Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming
have the regulatory authorization and
commitment to regulate humanπcaused
mortality so that the wolf population
remains above its numerical and
distributional recovery goals. This issue
is discussed further below under Factor
D.
In summary, human-caused mortality
to adult radio-collared wolves in the
NRM DPS, averaging over 20 percent
per year (Smith 2007a), still allows for
rapid wolf population growth. The
protection of wolves under the Act
promoted rapid initial wolf population
growth in suitable habitat. Montana,
Idaho, and Wyoming have committed to
continue to regulate human-caused
mortality so that it does not reduce
numbers of wolves in the NRM DPS
below recovery levels. Montana, Idaho,
Wyoming, Oregon, Washington, and
Utah have adequate laws and
regulations to ensure that the NRM DPS
remains above recovery levels (see
Factor D). Each post-delisting
management entity (State, Tribal, and
Federal) has experienced and
professional wildlife staff to ensure
those commitments can be
accomplished.
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D. The Adequacy or Inadequacy of
Existing Regulatory Mechanisms
To address this factor, we compare
the current regulatory mechanisms
within the NRM DPS to the future
mechanisms that would provide the
framework for wolf management after
delisting. These regulatory mechanisms
are and will be implemented by the
State governments included in the NRM
DPS. Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming’s
wolf management programs are
designed to maintain a recovered wolf
population while minimizing the
damage it causes by allowing for
removal of wolves in areas of chronic
conflict or in unsuitable habitat. The
three States with habitat occupied by
persistent wolf packs have adopted wolf
management plans that will govern how
wolves will be managed when delisted.
As discussed below, we have
determined that Montana’s, Idaho’s, and
Wyoming’s plans will provide adequate
regulatory mechanisms because these
States have management plans that
would maintain at least 10 breeding
pairs and 100 wolves per State by
managing for a safety margin of at least
15 breeding pairs and at least 150
wolves in each State.
While it is unknown at this time what
levels the wolf population would
ultimately achieve, other than above the
minimum management objectives,
Montana’s plan states ‘‘approximately
328–657 wolves (or 27–54 breeding
pairs) would be present in Montana in
2015’’ (Montana 2003, p. 132); Idaho
intends to manage well above 20
breeding pairs to maintain opportunities
for regulated public hunting of wolves
only above that level, and ≤2003 levels
of livestock and big game conflict (in
2003 there were 345 wolves in 25
breeding pairs in Idaho) (Idaho 2007,
pp. 16, 20–21; Idaho 2007 pp. 20–21;
Service et al. 2007, Table 4); and
Wyoming has committed to manage for
7 breeding pairs outside the National
Parks (historically representing 70–98
wolves) in addition to those in YNP
(since 2000 YNP annually averaged 140
wolves in 10 breeding pairs) that could
result in Wyoming, including those in
YNP, maintaining at least 210–238
wolves and 17 breeding pairs (Wyoming
2007, p. 1; Service et al. 2000–2007,
Table 2). Based on these State
projections, the entire NRM wolf
population will likely be managed
around 883–1240 wolves in 69–96
breeding pairs, roughly two to four
times higher than minimum recovery
levels but slightly below the 2007
estimate of around 1,500 wolves
(Service 2007a). Any wolf conservation
by the Tribes and the States of
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Washington, Oregon, and Utah will be
beneficial, but is not necessary to either
achieving or maintaining a recovered
wolf population in the NRM DPS.
Current Wolf Management—The 1980
and 1987 NRM wolf recovery plans
(Service 1980, p. 4; 1987, p. 3)
recognized that conflict with livestock
was the major reason that wolves were
extirpated and that management of
conflicts was a necessary component of
wolf restoration. The plans also
recognized that control of problem
wolves was necessary to maintain local
public tolerance of wolves and that
removal of some wolves would not
prevent the wolf population from
achieving recovery. In 1988, the Service
developed an interim wolf control plan
that applied to Montana and Wyoming
(Service 1988, p. 1); the plan was
amended in 1990 to include Idaho and
eastern Washington (Service 1990, p. 1).
We analyzed the effectiveness of those
plans in 1999, and revised our
guidelines for management of problem
wolves listed as endangered (Service
1999, p. 1). Evidence showed that most
wolves do not attack livestock,
especially larger livestock such as adult
horses and cattle, but wolf presence
around livestock will result in some
level of depredation (Bangs and Shivik
2001; Bangs et al. 2005, pp. 348–350).
Therefore, we developed a set of
guidelines under which depredating
wolves could be harassed, moved, or
killed by agency officials (Service 1999,
pp. 39–40). The control plans were
based on the premise that agency wolf
control actions would affect only a
small number of wolves, but would
sustain public tolerance for nondepredating wolves, thus enhancing the
chances for successful population
recovery (Mech 1995, pp. 276–276). Our
assumptions have proven correct, as
wolf depredation on livestock and
subsequent agency control actions have
remained at low levels (annually
averaging about 64 cattle, 135 sheep, 8
dogs, and 3 other forms of livestock
from 1995–2006) (Service et al. 2007,
Table 5), and the wolf population has
expanded its distribution and numbers
far beyond, and more quickly than,
earlier predictions (Service 1994, p.
2:12; Service et al. 2007, Table 4).
The conflict between wolves and
livestock has resulted in the average
annual removal of 8–10 percent of the
wolf population (Bangs et al. 1995, p.
130; Bangs et al. 2004, p. 92; Bangs et
al. 2005, pp. 342–344; Service et al.
2007, Tables 4, 5; Smith 2007a). We
estimate that each year illegal killing
removed another 10 percent of the wolf
population, and accidental and
unintentional human-caused deaths
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have removed another 3 percent (Smith
2007a). Even with this level of
mortality, populations have expanded
rapidly (Service et al. 2007, Table 5).
Despite liberal regulations regarding
wolf removal, all suitable areas for
wolves are being occupied by resident
packs (Service et al. 2007, Figure 1).
Wolf pack distribution has remained
largely unchanged since the end of 2000
(Service et al. 2001–2007, Figure 1),
indicating that wolf packs are simply
filling the areas with suitable habitat,
not successfully expanding their range
into unsuitable habitat.
Because wolf populations continually
try to expand, wolves will increasingly
disperse into unsuitable areas that are
intensively used for livestock
production. A higher percentage of
wolves in those areas will result in wolf
conflicts with livestock, and a larger
number of those wolves will be removed
to reduce future livestock damage. In
2006 about 12 percent of the NRM wolf
population was removed because of
conflicts with livestock but the
population still increased over 20
percent. In 2007 the rate of removal was
even higher and the wolf population
still increased by nearly 20 percent
(Service 2007a). Human-caused
mortality would have to remove 34 to as
much as 50 percent of the wolf
population annually before population
growth would cease (Fuller et al. 2003,
pp. 184–185). Preliminary wolf survival
data from radio-telemetry studies
suggests that adult wolf mortality
resulting from conflict with people
could nearly be doubled beyond the
current 23 percent annual rate and still
not significantly impact wolf population
recovery (Smith 2007a). Wolf
populations are quite resilient to
human-caused mortality, and
compensate for it in part by lower rates
of natural mortality and lower dispersal
rates. In addition, wolf packs quickly
adapt to social vacancies by replacing
breeders or adopting orphaned pups,
thus maintaining breeding pairs. The
State management laws and plans
intend to balance the level of wolf
mortality by regulating human-caused
mortality with the wolf population
growth rate to achieve population
objectives in each State.
Regulatory Assurances Within the
NRM DPS—In 1999, the Governors of
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming agreed
that regional coordination in wolf
management planning among the States,
Tribes, and other jurisdictions would be
necessary to ensure timely delisting.
They signed a Memorandum of
Understanding to facilitate cooperation
among the three States in developing
adequate State wolf management plans
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so that delisting could proceed. In this
agreement, all three States committed to
maintain at least 10 breeding pairs and
100 wolves per State. The States were to
develop their pack definitions to
approximate the current breeding pair
definition. Governors from the three
States renewed that agreement in April
2002.
The wolf population in the NRM
achieved its numerical and
distributional recovery goals at the end
of 2000. The temporal portion of the
recovery goal (maintaining numerical
and distributional recovery goals for 3
consecutive years) was achieved at the
end of 2002. Because the primary threat
to the wolf population (human-caused
mortality) still has the potential to
significantly impact wolf populations if
not adequately managed, under the Act
there must be regulatory assurances that
the States will manage for sustainable
mortality levels before we can remove
the Act’s protections. Therefore, we
requested that the States of Montana,
Idaho, and Wyoming prepare State wolf
management plans to demonstrate how
they would manage wolves after the
protections of the Act were removed.
Wolf management by the Tribes and the
States of Washington, Oregon, and Utah
might result in a few wolf breeding
pairs, but they would not be necessary
to either achieving or maintaining a
recovered wolf population in the NRM
DPS, because habitat in those areas is
limited and often distant from the core
recovery areas. Likewise, no threats in
those States or on Tribal lands could be
significant enough to affect wolf
population recovery in Montana, Idaho,
or Wyoming. The Service provided
varying degrees of funding and
assistance to the States while they
developed their wolf management
plans. Several issues key to our
approval of State plans include
regulations that would provide for
regulatory control of take, a pack
definition biologically consistent with
the Service’s definition of a breeding
pair, the ability to realistically manage
State wolf populations, agency
monitoring of the wolf population and
any impacts to it, and the number of
breeding pairs and wolves the States
agree to manage for above minimum
recovery levels.
The final Service determination of the
adequacy of those three key State
management plans was based on the
combination of Service knowledge of
State law, the State management plans,
wolf biology, our experience managing
wolves for the last 20 years, peer review
of the State plans, and the State’s
response to peer review. Those State
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plans can be viewed at https://
westerngraywolf.fws.gov/.
After our analysis of the State laws,
the State plans, and other factors, the
Service determined that State laws and
wolf management plans were adequate
to assure the Service that each State’s
share of the NRM wolf population
would be maintained above recovery
levels following delisting. Therefore, we
determined those regulatory
mechanisms met the requirements of the
Act. State and Tribal wolf management
plans in the NRM DPS are discussed
below.
Montana—The gray wolf was listed
under the Montana Nongame and
Endangered Species Conservation Act of
1973 (87–5–101 MCA). Senate Bill 163,
passed by the Montana Legislature and
signed into law by the Governor in
2001, establishes the current legal status
for wolves in Montana. Upon Federal
delisting, wolves will be classified and
protected under Montana law as a
‘‘Species in Need of Management’’ (87–
5–101 to 87–5–123). Such species are
primarily managed through regulation
of all forms of human-caused mortality
in a manner similar to trophy game
animals like mountain lions and black
bears. The MFWP and the Commission
would then finalize more detailed
administrative rules, as is typically done
for other resident wildlife, but they
must be consistent with the Serviceapproved Montana wolf management
plan and State law. Classification as a
‘‘Species in Need of Management’’ and
the associated administrative rules
under Montana State law create the
legal mechanism to protect wolves and
regulate human-caused mortality
beyond the immediate defense of life/
property situations. Some illegal
human-caused mortality would still
occur, but is to be prosecuted under
State law and Commission regulations.
In 2001, the Governor of Montana
appointed the Montana Wolf
Management Advisory Council to advise
MFWP regarding wolf management after
the species is removed from the lists of
Federal and State-protected species. In
August 2003, MFWP completed a Final
EIS pursuant to the Montana
Environmental Policy Act and
recommended that the Updated
Advisory Council alternative be selected
as Montana’s Final Gray Wolf
Conservation and Management Plan
(Montana 2003, p. 131). See https://
www.fwp.State.mt.us to view the MFWP
Final EIS and the Montana Gray Wolf
Conservation and Management Plan.
Under the management plan, the wolf
population will be maintained above the
recovery level of 10 breeding pairs by
managing for a safety margin of at least
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15 breeding pairs. MFWP will manage
problem wolves in a manner similar to
the control program currently being
implemented in the experimental
population area in southern Montana,
whereby landowners and livestock
producers on public land can shoot
wolves seen attacking livestock or dogs,
and agency control of problem wolves is
incremental and in response to
confirmed depredations. State
management of conflicts would become
more protective of wolves, and no
public hunting would be allowed if
there are fewer than 15 packs. Wolves
will not be deliberately confined to any
specific areas of Montana, but their
distribution and numbers will be
managed adaptively based on ecological
factors, wolf population status, conflict
mitigation, and human social tolerance.
The MFWP plan commits to implement
its management framework in a manner
that encourages connectivity among
wolf populations in Canada, Idaho,
GYA, and Montana to maintain the
overall metapopulation structure. Wolf
management will include population
monitoring, routine analysis of
population health, management in
concert with prey populations, law
enforcement, control of domestic
animal/human conflicts, consideration
of a wolf-damage compensation
program, research, and information and
public outreach. Montana’s plan
(Montana 2003, p. 132) predicts that
under State management, the wolf
population will increase to between 328
and 657 wolves with approximately 27
to 54 breeding pairs by 2015.
An important ecological factor
determining wolf distribution in
Montana is the availability and
distribution of wild ungulates. Montana
has a rich, diverse, and widely
distributed prey base on both public and
private lands. The MFWP has and will
continue to manage wild ungulates
according to Commission-approved
policy direction and species
management plans. The plans typically
describe a management philosophy that
protects the long-term sustainability of
the ungulate populations, allows
recreational hunting of surplus game,
and aims to keep the population within
management objectives based on
ecological and social considerations.
The MFWP takes a proactive approach
to integrate management of ungulates
and carnivores. Ungulate harvest is to be
balanced with maintaining sufficient
prey populations to sustain Montana’s
segment of a recovered wolf population.
Ongoing efforts to monitor populations
of both ungulates and wolves will
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provide credible, scientific information
for wildlife management decisions.
State regulations will allow agency
management of problem wolves by
MFWP and USDA-Wildlife Services
(WS); take by private citizens in defense
of private property; and, when the
population is above 15 packs, regulated
hunting of wolves. Montana wildlife
regulations allowing take in defense of
private property are similar to the 2005
experimental population regulations,
whereby landowners and livestock
grazing permittees can shoot wolves
seen attacking or molesting livestock or
pets as long as such incidents are
reported promptly and subsequent
investigations confirm that livestock
were being attacked by wolves. The
MFWP has enlisted and directed
USDA–WS in problem wolf
management, just as the Service has
done since 1987.
When the Service reviewed and
determined that the Montana wolf
management plan met the requirements
of the Act, we stated that Montana’s
wolf management plan would maintain
a recovered wolf population and
minimize conflicts with other
traditional activities in Montana’s
landscape. The Service has every
confidence that Montana will
implement the commitments it has
made in its current laws, regulations,
and wolf plan. In June 2005, MFWP
signed a Cooperative Agreement with
the Service, and it now manages all
wolves in Montana subject to general
oversight by the Service. The State’s
oversight has proven to be successful, as
Montana’s wolf population estimate
increased from 152 wolves in 15
breeding pairs in late 2004 (Service et
al. 2007, Table 4) to about 394 wolves
in 37 breeding pairs in 2007 (Service
2007a) since the 2005 agreement.
Idaho—The Idaho Fish and Game
Commission (Idaho Commission) has
authority to classify wildlife under
Idaho Code 36–104(b) and 36–201. The
gray wolf was classified as endangered
by the State until March 2005, when the
Idaho Commission reclassified the
species as a big game animal under
Idaho Administrative Procedures Act
(13.01.06.100.01.d). The big game
classification will take effect upon
Federal delisting, and until then, wolves
will be managed under Federal status.
Wolves are a big game animal, and State
regulations will adjust human–caused
wolf mortality to ensure that recovery
levels are exceeded. Title 36 of the
Idaho statutes currently has penalties
associated with illegal take of big game
animals. These rules are consistent with
the legislatively adopted Idaho Wolf
Conservation and Management Plan
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(IWCMP) (Idaho 2002) and big game
hunting restrictions currently in place.
The IWCMP states that wolves will be
protected against illegal take as a big
game animal under Idaho Code 36–
1402, 36–1404, and 36–202(h).
The IWCMP was written with the
assistance and leadership of the Wolf
Oversight Committee established in
1992 by the Idaho Legislature. Many
special interest groups, including
legislators, sportsmen, livestock
producers, conservationists, and IDFG
personnel, were involved in the
development of the IWCMP. The
Service provided technical advice to the
Committee and reviewed numerous
drafts before the IWCMP was finalized.
In March 2002, the IWCMP was adopted
by joint resolution of the Idaho
Legislature. The IWCMP can be found
at: https://www.fishandgame.idaho.gov/
cms/wildlife/wolves/wolf_plan.pdf.
The IWCMP calls for IDFG to be the
primary manager of wolves after
delisting; to maintain a minimum of 15
packs of wolves as a substantial margin
of safety over the 10 breeding pair
minimum; and to manage them as a
viable self-sustaining population that
will never require relisting under the
Act. Wolf take will be more liberal if
there are more than 15 packs and more
conservative if there are fewer than 15
packs in Idaho. The wolf population
will be managed by defense of property
regulations similar to those now in
effect under the Act. Public harvest will
be incorporated as a management tool
when there are 15 or more packs in
Idaho to help mitigate conflicts with
livestock producers or big game
populations that outfitters, guides, and
others hunt. The IWCMP allows IDFG to
classify the wolf as a big game animal
or furbearer, or to assign a special
classification of predator, so that
human-caused mortality can be
regulated. In March 2005, the Idaho
Commission proposed that, upon
delisting, the wolf would be classified
as a big game animal with the intent of
managing wolves similar to black bears
and mountain lions, including the
opportunity for regulated public
hunting when populations are above 15
packs. The IWCMP calls for the State to
coordinate with USDA–WS to manage
depredating wolves depending on the
number of wolves in the State. It also
calls for a balanced educational effort.
In November 2007, Idaho released its
Wolf Population Management Plan for
public review and comment (Otter 2007,
p. 1; Idaho 2007). That plan is a more
detailed step-down management plan
compared to the general guidance given
in the plan Idaho adopted in 2002 and
discusses how the population will likely
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be managed well above 20 breeding
pairs to provide hunting opportunities
for wolves surplus to that goal (Idaho
2007, p. 16). The 2007 plan details how
wolf populations will be managed to
assure their niche in Idaho’s wild places
into the future (Otter 2007). It should be
finalized in March 2008.
Elk and deer populations are managed
to meet biological and social objectives
for each herd unit according to the
State’s species management plans. The
IDFG will manage both ungulates and
carnivores, including wolves, to
maintain viable populations of each.
Ungulate harvest would be focused on
maintaining sufficient prey populations
to sustain viable wolf and other
carnivore populations and hunting.
IDFG has conducted research to better
understand the impacts of wolves and
their relationships to ungulate
population sizes and distribution so that
regulated take of wolves can be used to
assist in management of ungulate
populations and vice versa.
The Mule Deer Initiative in southeast
Idaho was implemented by IDFG in
2005, to restore and improve mule deer
populations. Though most of the
initiative lies outside current wolf range
and suitable wolf habitat in Idaho,
improving ungulate populations and
hunter success will decrease negative
attitudes toward wolves. When mule
deer increase, some wolves may move
into the areas that are being highlighted
under the initiative. Habitat
improvements within much of southeast
Idaho would focus on improving mule
deer conditions. The Clearwater Elk
Initiative also is an attempt to improve
elk numbers in the area of the
Clearwater Region in north Idaho where
currently IDFG has concerns about the
health of that once-abundant elk herd
(Idaho 2006).
As stated previously, in March 2005
the gray wolf was reclassified by the
Idaho Commission as a big game animal
and this classification will take effect
upon Federal delisting. Human-caused
mortality will be regulated as directed
by the IWCMP to maintain a recovered
wolf population. The Service has every
confidence that Idaho will implement
the commitments it has made in its
current laws, regulations, and wolf plan.
In January 2006, the Governor of Idaho
signed a Memorandum of
Understanding with the Secretary of the
Interior that provided the IDFG the
authority to manage all Idaho wolves
while they remain listed. The State’s
oversight has proven to be successful.
Since the 2006 agreement, Idaho’s wolf
population estimate increased from 512
wolves in 36 breeding pairs in late 2005
(Service et al. 2007, Table 4) to about
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788 wolves in 41 breeding pairs in 2007
(Service 2007a.)
Wyoming—In 2007, the Wyoming
legislature passed a State statute that
would permit designation of wolves as
‘‘trophy game’’ in an area totaling just
over 12,000 square miles in
northwestern Wyoming, including YNP,
Grand Teton National Park, John D.
Rockefeller Memorial Parkway, adjacent
USFS-designated Wilderness Areas, and
adjacent public and private lands, once
the wolf is delisted from the Act.
Following the change in State law,
Wyoming drafted a revised wolf
management plan (Wyoming 2007). On
November 16, 2007, the WGFC
unanimously approved the 2007
Wyoming Plan (Cleveland 2007, p. 1).
The Service has determined that this
plan, if implemented, will provide
adequate regulatory protections to
conserve Wyoming’s portion of a
recovery wolf population into the
foreseeable future (Hall 2007, p. 1–3).
The plan automatically goes into effect
upon the Governor’s certification to the
Wyoming Secretary of State that all of
the provisions found in the 2007
Wyoming wolf management law have
been met (Freudenthal 2007b, p. 1–3).
Thus, our determination is conditional
upon the 2007 Wyoming wolf
management law being fully in effect
within 20 days of publication of this
rule and the wolf management plan
being legally authorized by Wyoming
statutes (Hall 2007).
Implementation of that law and the
trophy game area of northwestern
Wyoming is premised on Wyoming’s
Governor certifying to the Wyoming
Secretary of State that (1) the Service
published a delisting rule that includes
the entire State of Wyoming prior to
February 28, 2007; (2) the Service
modified the 2005 special rule [(10(j)]
for the experimental population that
addressed Wyoming’s concerns about
wolf management to maintain ungulate
herds above State management
objectives; and (3) settlement or
resolution of the claims relating to the
Service not approving Wyoming’s 2003
wolf management law and wolf plan.
This action satisfies the first criterion
above. The second criterion was
satisfied on January 29, 2008 when the
Wyoming Governor certified that the
10(j) rule modification satisfied
Wyoming’s law (Freudenthal 2008).
Wyoming has indicated that they will
deem the claims in the pending
litigation settled and will request that
the court dismiss the litigation upon
publication of this final rule by
February 28, 2008 (Freudenthal 2007b).
Dismissal of the case is not needed for
the 2007 wolf management plan and law
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to become effective (Freudenthal
2007b). Additionally, on November 19,
2007, the Governor certified that the
provisions in the Wyoming wolf
management law, § 11–6–302(b) and 23–
1–101(b), relating to the trophy game
area boundary had been changed. We
anticipate final certification will be
issued within 20 days of publication of
this rule.
If the provisions in the Wyoming wolf
law are not fulfilled and the final
certifications are not made within 20
days of publication of this rule, we will
withdraw this final rule before its
effective date. In that case, the 2003
Wyoming State law and wolf
management plan will be the regulatory
mechanisms in Wyoming. As previously
determined, these mechanisms do not
provide the necessary regulatory
mechanisms to ensure that Wyoming’s
numerical and distributional share of a
recovered NRM wolf population will be
conserved (Williams 2004; 71 FR 43410,
August 1, 2006). In such situation, we
will replace this final rule with an
alternate final rule that retains the Act’s
protections in much of northwestern
Wyoming, outside the National Parks,
while wolves would be delisted in all
other portions of the NRM DPS (72 FR
6106, February 8, 2007). We are moving
forward with delisting the entire NRM
DPS because we fully expect the
requirements of the 2007 Wyoming
statute will be satisfied, allowing the
approved wolf management plan to be
fully implemented. Thus, the following
analysis considers the adequacy of the
2007 Wyoming State law and wolf
management plan.
‘‘Trophy game’’ status allows the
Wyoming Game and Fish Commission
(WYGFC) and Wyoming Game and Fish
Department (WGFD) to regulate
methods of take, hunting seasons, types
of allowed take, and numbers of wolves
that could be killed. Wyoming’s
management objective is to maintain at
least 15 breeding pairs and 150 wolves
in the trophy area of northwestern
Wyoming (Freudenthal 2007a).
Wyoming will manage to maintain 7 of
these breeding pairs outside the
National Parks in northwestern
Wyoming. Wyoming would manage
wolves as it does other resident trophy
game, including routine wolf population
and health monitoring, regulation of
take by the public, including defense of
property, and agency control of problem
wolves (Wyoming 2007). The Trophy
Game Area in northwestern Wyoming
(Freudenthal 2007a) encompasses 70%
of the suitable wolf habitat in Wyoming
(Oakleaf 2007) and 91% of the area is
secure public land. In 2006 this area,
excluding the National Parks, supported
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10549
at least 25 packs, 15 breeding pairs, and
175 wolves (Service et al. 2007, Table
2). The Trophy Game Area designated
by Wyoming is clearly large enough to
support 15 breeding pairs and 150
wolves even if Yellowstone Park had
none (a very unlikely scenario).
Therefore the Trophy Game Area is
large enough to maintain Wyoming’s
commitment to the NRM wolf
metapopulation on its own.
Wolves occurring in the portion of the
State outside of the Trophy Game Area,
which consists largely of habitat
unsuitable for wolf pack establishment
and persistence, will be designated as
‘‘predatory animals’’ and will be subject
to unregulated human-caused mortality.
Areas in Wyoming outside the trophy
game area have not supported persistent
wolf packs since 1995 (Service et al.
1999–2007, Figure 1, 3). Wolves are
unlike coyotes in that wolf behavior and
reproductive biology results in wolves
being extirpated in the face of extensive
human-caused mortality. These types
and levels of take would most likely
prevent wolf packs from persisting in
areas of Wyoming where they are
classified as predatory animals.
Wyoming regulations ensure that
wolves will be managed to prevent the
need for relisting in the future. The
State of Wyoming has designated
wolves as a Trophy Game Species
within an area which is capable of
supporting at least 15 breeding pairs
(USFWS et al. 2007, Figure 3; Wyoming
2007, p. 1). The area includes:
northwest Wyoming beginning at the
junction of Wyoming Highway 120 and
the Wyoming-Montana State line;
southerly along Wyoming Highway 120
to the Greybull River; southwesterly up
said river to the Wood River;
southwesterly up said river to the
Shoshone National Forest boundary;
southerly along said boundary to the
Wind River Indian Reservation
boundary; westerly, then southerly
along said boundary to the Continental
Divide; southeasterly along said divide
to the Middle Fork of Boulder Creek;
westerly down said creek to Boulder
Creek; westerly down said creek to the
Bridger-Teton National Forest boundary;
northwesterly along said boundary to its
intersection with U.S. Highway 189–
191; northwesterly along said highway
to the intersection with U.S. Highway
26–89–191; northerly along said
highway to Wyoming Highway 22 in the
town of Jackson; westerly along said
highway to the Wyoming-Idaho State
line; north along said State line to the
Wyoming-Montana State line; north,
then east along said State line to
Wyoming Highway 120. As stated
above, the Trophy Game Area is
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approximately 91% secure public lands
and represents only about 12 percent of
Wyoming, but contains approximately
70 percent of the suitable wolf habitat
in Wyoming (Oakleaf 2007). Conversely,
the area of Wyoming outside the Trophy
Game Area is not considered significant
to the recovery of gray wolves in the
Northern Rocky Mountains (72 FR 6118;
February 8, 2007; Oakleaf et al. 2006);
nearly all wolves that have attempted to
occupy the portion of Wyoming outside
the Trophy Game Area have been
involved in conflicts and lethally
removed under Service management;
and the stagnant distribution patterns
since recovery objectives were achieved
indicate there is limited suitable habitat
in Wyoming for the NRM DPS wolf
population to expand significantly
beyond the three core recovery areas (72
FR 6120, February 8, 2007).
Within the Trophy Game Area, the
WYGFC through the WYGF will have
management authority over wolves
outside the National Parks and will
manage wolves and set harvest
regulations in such a way as to assure
that the management targets of at least
15 breeding pairs and at least 150
wolves for the State, with at least 7 of
these breeding pairs in Wyoming
outside the National Park Units, are met.
The maintenance of wolf breeding pairs
outside the National Parks is important
to supplement those in the National
Parks that, according to YNP policy,
will fluctuate naturally and possibly
widely, and to ensure the GYA is
maintained at a level and distribution
(71 FR 43410, August 1, 2006) that
encourages the incorporation of
naturally dispersing wolves into the
GYA system, and that suitable habitat in
northwestern Wyoming is occupied by
wolf packs. The State of Wyoming will
also monitor wolves under the State’s
predatory animal status, including the
number and location of all wolves that
are taken (Wyoming 2007).
This regulatory framework provides
assurance that Wyoming’s share of the
NRM DPS will be maintained above
recovery levels into the foreseeable
future and that most suitable wolf
habitat in Wyoming will be occupied by
at least 150 wolves in at least 15 wolf
breeding pairs. This type of
management framework is consistent in
its general principles with the
frameworks in the States of Minnesota,
Michigan, Wisconsin, Montana, and
Idaho that have been accepted as
adequate regulatory frameworks for
wolves after de-listing. The Wyoming
regulatory framework provides adequate
assurances that a viable wolf population
will be maintained in the NRM DPS.
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Washington—Wolves in Washington
are listed as endangered under the
State’s administrative code (WAC
232.12.014; these provisions may be
viewed at: https://apps.leg.wa.gov/wac/).
Under Washington’s administrative
code (WAC 232.12.297), ‘‘endangered’’
means any wildlife species native to the
State of Washington that is seriously
threatened with extinction throughout
all or a significant portion of its range
within the State. Endangered species in
the State of Washington are protected
from hunting, possession, and malicious
harassment, unless such taking has been
authorized by rule of the Washington
Fish and Wildlife Commission (RCW
77.15.120; these provisions can be
viewed at: https://apps.leg.wa.gov/rcw/).
Following the delisting of the NRM
DPS, those areas in Washington
included in the NRM DPS will remain
listed as endangered by Washington
State. The areas in Washington not
included in the NRM DPS will remain
listed as endangered under both State
and Federal law.
Although we have received reports of
individual and wolf family units in the
North Cascades of Washington (Almack
and Fitkin 1998), agency efforts to
confirm them were unsuccessful and to
date, no individual wolves or packs
have ever been documented there (Boyd
and Pletscher 1999; Jimenez et al. in
prep). Intervening unsuitable habitat
makes it highly unlikely that wolves
from the NRM DPS have dispersed to
the North Cascades of Washington in
recent history.
Washington State does not currently
have a recovery or management plan for
wolves, but the State has established a
wolf working group advisory committee
and is preparing a State gray wolf
conservation and management plan (see
https://wdfw.wa.gov/wlm/diversty/soc/
gray_wolf/). Interagency Wolf Response
Guidelines have been developed by the
Service, WDFW, and USDA WS to
provide a checklist of response actions
for five situations that may arise in the
future (can be viewed at https://
wdfw.wa.gov/wlm/diversty/soc/
gray_wolf/contacts.htm). Wolf
management in Washington may be
beneficial to the NRM DPS, but is not
necessary for achieving or maintaining a
recovered population of wolves in the
NRM DPS.
Oregon—The gray wolf has been
classified as endangered under the
Oregon Endangered Species Act (ORS
496.171–192) since 1987. The law
requires the Oregon Fish and Wildlife
Commission to conserve the species in
Oregon. Anticipating the
reestablishment of wolves in Oregon
from the growing Idaho population, the
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Commission directed the development
of a wolf conservation and management
plan to meet the requirements of both
the Oregon Endangered Species Act and
the Oregon Wildlife Policy. ORS
496.012 states in part: ‘‘It is the policy
of the State of Oregon that wildlife shall
be managed to prevent serious depletion
of any indigenous species and to
provide the optimum recreational and
aesthetic benefits for present and future
generations of the citizens of this State.’’
In February 2005, the Oregon Fish
and Wildlife Commission adopted the
Oregon Wolf Conservation and
Management Plan (Oregon 2005). The
plan was built to meet the five delisting
criteria identified in State statutes and
administrative rules: (1) The species is
not now (and is not likely in the
foreseeable future to be) in danger of
extinction in any significant portion of
its range in Oregon or in danger of
becoming endangered; (2) the species’
natural reproductive potential is not in
danger of failure due to limited
population numbers, disease, predation,
or other natural or human-related
factors affecting its continued existence;
(3) most populations are not undergoing
imminent or active deterioration of
range or primary habitat; (4)
overutilization of the species or its
habitat for commercial, recreational,
scientific, or educational purposes is not
occurring or likely to occur; and (5)
existing State or Federal programs or
regulations are adequate to protect the
species and its habitat.
The Plan describes measures the
Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife
(ODFW) will take to conserve and
manage the species. This includes
actions that could be taken to protect
livestock from wolf depredation and
address human safety concerns. The
following summarizes the primary
components of the plan:
• Wolves that naturally disperse into
Oregon will be conserved and managed
under the plan. Wolves will not be
captured outside of Oregon and released
in the State.
• Wolves may be considered for
Statewide delisting once the population
reaches four breeding pairs for 3
consecutive years in eastern Oregon
(note—the boundary between east and
west wolf management zones is defined
by U.S. Highway 97 from the Columbia
River to the junction of U.S. Highway
20, southeast on U.S. Highway 20 to the
junction with U.S. Highway 395, and
south on U.S. Highway 395 to the
California border). Four breeding pairs
are considered the minimum
conservation population objective, also
described as Phase 1. The plan calls for
managing wolves in western Oregon, as
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if the species remains listed, until the
western Oregon wolf population reaches
four breeding pairs. This means, for
example, that a landowner would be
required to obtain a permit to address
depredation problems using injurious
harassment.
• While the wolf remains listed as a
State endangered species, the following
will be allowed: (1) Wolves may be
harassed (e.g., shouting, firing a shot in
the air) to distract a wolf from a
livestock operation or area of human
activity; (2) harassment that causes
injury to a wolf (e.g., rubber bullets or
bean bag projectiles) may be employed
to prevent depredation, but only with a
permit; (3) wolves may be relocated to
resolve an immediate localized problem
from an area of human activity (e.g.,
wolf inadvertently caught in a trap) to
the nearest wilderness area (relocation
will be done by ODFW or USDA–WS
personnel); (4) livestock producers who
witness a wolf ‘in the act’ of attacking
livestock on public or private land must
have a permit before taking any action
that would cause harm to the wolf; and
(5) wolves involved in chronic
depredation may be killed by ODFW or
USDA–WS personnel; however,
nonlethal methods will be emphasized
and employed first in appropriate
circumstances. Under this final delisting
rule, wolves will remain federally listed
in the western two thirds of Oregon, and
neither of these two agencies have
authority to use lethal removal in the
portions of Oregon outside of the NRM
DPS.
• Once the wolf is State-delisted,
more options are available to address
wolf-livestock conflict. While there are
five to seven breeding pairs, landowners
with a permit may kill a wolf involved
in chronic depredation. Five to seven
breeding pairs is considered the
management population objective, or
Phase 2.
• When there are more than seven
breeding pairs, under Phase 3, a limited
controlled hunt could be allowed to
decrease chronic depredation or reduce
pressure on wild ungulate populations.
• The plan provides wildlife
managers with adaptive management
strategies to address wolf predation
problems on wild ungulates if
confirmed wolf predation leads to
declines in localized herds.
• In the unlikely event that a person
is attacked by a wolf, the plan describes
the circumstances under which
Oregon’s criminal code and the Federal
Endangered Species Act would allow
harassing, harming or killing of wolves
where necessary to avoid imminent,
grave injury. Such an incident must be
reported to law enforcement officials.
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• A strong information and education
program is proposed to ensure anyone
with an interest in wolves is able to
learn more about the species and stay
informed about wildlife management
activities.
• Several research projects are
identified as necessary for future
success of long-term wolf conservation
and management. Monitoring and radiocollaring wolves are listed as critical
components of the plan both for
conservation and communication with
Oregonians.
• An economic analysis provides
estimates of costs and benefits
associated with wolves in Oregon and
wolf conservation and management.
• Finally, the plan requires annual
reporting to the Commission on program
implementation.
The Oregon Wolf Management Plan,
as approved by the Oregon Fish and
Wildlife Commission in February 2005,
called for three legislative actions,
which the 2005 Oregon Legislative
Assembly considered, but did not adopt.
These actions were: (1) Changing the
legal status of the gray wolf from
protected non-game wildlife to a
‘‘special status mammal’’ under the
‘‘game mammal’’ definition in ORS
496.004; (2) amending the wildlife
damage statute (ORS 498.012) to remove
the requirement for a permit to lethally
take a gray wolf caught in the act of
attacking livestock; and (3) creating a
State-funded program to pay
compensation for wolf-caused losses of
livestock and to pay for proactive
methods to prevent wolf depredation.
As a result, the Fish and Wildlife
Commission amended the Oregon Plan
in December 2005 and rather than
dropping the proposals chose to move
them from the body of the Plan to an
appendix. The Commission remains on
record as calling for those legislative
enhancements; however,
implementation of the Oregon Plan does
not depend upon them.
Under the Oregon Wolf Management
Plan, the gray wolf will remain
classified as endangered under State law
until the conservation population
objective for eastern Oregon is reached
(i.e., four breeding pairs for 3
consecutive years). Once the objective is
achieved, the State delisting process
will be initiated. Following delisting
from the State Endangered Species Act,
wolves will retain their classification as
nongame wildlife under ORS 496.375.
Utah—When federally delisted,
wolves in that portion of the NRM DPS
in Utah will remain listed as protected
wildlife under State law. In Utah,
wolves fall under three layers of
protection–(1) State code, (2)
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10551
Administrative Rule and (3) Species
Management Plan. The Utah Code can
be found at https://www.le.State.ut.us/
code/TITLE23/TITLE23.htm. The
relevant administrative rules that
restrict wolf take can be found at
https://www.rules.utah.gov/publicat/
code/r657/r657–003.htm and https://
www.rules.utah.gov/publicat/code/r657/
r657–011.htm. These regulations restrict
all potential taking of wolves in Utah,
including that portion in the NRM DPS.
Wolf management in Utah will have no
effect on the recovered wolf population
that resides in suitable habitat in
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming.
In 2003, the Utah Legislature passed
House Joint Resolution 12, which
directed the Utah Division of Wildlife
Resources (UDWR) to draft a wolf
management plan for review,
modification, and adoption by the Utah
Wildlife Board, through the Regional
Advisory Council process. In April
2003, the Utah Wildlife Board directed
UDWR to develop a proposal for a wolf
working group to assist the agency in
this endeavor. The UDWR created the
Wolf Working Group in the summer of
2003. The Wolf Working Group is
composed of 13 members that represent
diverse public interests regarding
wolves in Utah.
On June 9, 2005, the Utah Wildlife
Board passed the Utah Wolf
Management Plan (Utah 2005). The goal
of the Plan is to manage, study, and
conserve wolves moving into Utah
while avoiding conflicts with the elk
and deer management objectives of the
Ute Indian Tribe; minimizing livestock
depredation; and protecting wild
ungulate populations in Utah from
excessive wolf predation. The Utah Plan
can be viewed at https://
www.wildlife.utah.gov/wolf/. Its purpose
is to guide management of wolves in
Utah during an interim period from
Federal delisting until 2015, or until it
is determined that wolves have become
established in Utah, or the assumptions
of the plan (political, social, biological,
or legal) change. During this interim
period, immigrating wolves will be
studied to determine where they are
most likely to settle without conflict.
Tribal Plans—Approximately 20
Tribes are within the NRM DPS.
Currently perhaps only 1–2 wolf packs
are entirely dependent on Tribal lands
for their existence in the NRM DPS. In
the NRM DPS about 32,942 km2 (12,719
mi2) (3 percent) of the area is Tribal
land. In the NRM DPS wolf occupied
habitat, about 4,696 km2 (1,813 mi2) (2
percent) is Tribal land (Service et al.
2006; 71 FR 6645, February 8, 2006).
Therefore, while Tribal lands can
contribute some habitat for wolf packs
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in the NRM, they will be relatively
unimportant to maintaining a recovered
wolf population in the NRM DPS. Many
wolf packs live in areas of public land
where Tribes have various treaty rights,
such as wildlife harvest. Montana,
Idaho, and Wyoming propose to
incorporate Tribal harvest into their
assessment of the potential surplus of
wolves available for public harvest in
each State, each year, to ensure that the
wolf population is maintained above
recovery levels. Utilization of those
Tribal treaty rights will not significantly
impact the wolf population or reduce it
below recovery levels because a small
portion of the wolf population could be
affected by Tribal harvest or lives in
areas subject to Tribal harvest rights.
The overall regulatory framework
analyzed in this rule depends entirely
on State-led management of wolves that
are primarily on lands where resident
wildlife is traditionally managed by the
State. Any wolves that may establish
themselves on Tribal lands will be in
addition to those managed by the State
outside Tribal reservations. At this point
in time, only the Wind River Tribe
(Wind River Tribe 2007) has an
approved tribal wolf management plan
for its lands. In addition, Nez Perce
Tribe had a Service wolf management
plan approved in 1995, but that plan
applied only to listed wolves, and it was
approved by the Service so the Tribe
could take a portion of the
responsibility for wolf monitoring and
management in Idaho under the 1994
special regulation under section 10(j).
No other Tribe has submitted a wolf
management plan. In November 2005,
the Service requested information from
all the Tribes in the NRM regarding
their Tribal regulations and any other
relevant information regarding Tribal
management or concerns about wolves
(Bangs 2004). We reviewed all responses
and incorporated Tribal comments on
the 2007 delisting proposal into this
final rule.
Summary—State wolf management
plans for Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming
(assuming implementation of the
Wyoming State wolf management law)
commit to regulation of wolf mortality
over conflicts with livestock after
delisting in a manner similar to that
used by the Service to reduce conflicts
with private property, and that would
assume the maintenance of wolf
populations above recovery levels.
These State plans have committed to
using a definition of a wolf pack that
approximates the Service’s current
breeding pair definition. Based on that
definition, they have committed to
maintaining at least 10 breeding pairs
and 100 wolves per State by managing
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for a safety margin of at least 15
breeding pairs and at least 150 wolves
in each State. In addition, Wyoming has
committed to manage for at least 7 of
these wolf breeding pairs outside the
National Parks. These States are to
control problem wolves in a manner
similar to that used by the Service for
the past 20 years (Service 1988, p. 8;
1994, pp. 2, 9–12; 1999, pp. 39–40; 70
FR 1306–1311, January 6, 2005) and use
adaptive management principles to
regulate and balance wolf population
size and distribution with livestock
conflict and public tolerance. When
wolf populations are above the State
management objective of 15 breeding
pairs, wolf control measures may be
more liberal. If wolf populations ever
get below 15 breeding pairs, wolf
control as directed by each State will be
more conservative to bring about
population increases. The State wildlife
agencies have experienced professional
staff with expertise in wildlife
monitoring, research and management,
veterinarian and forensic science,
problem wildlife management and
control, education, outreach,
administration, regulations and laws,
and law enforcement that can
successfully implement the States’
commitments for science-based wolf
management.
With delisting the wolf in the NRM
DPS, the major differences between the
previous Federal management and the
new State management of problem
wolves will be the slightly increased
authority given to private landowners
and grazing permittees to take wolves in
the act of attacking or molesting
livestock or other domestic animals, and
public harvest programs to help regulate
wolf distribution and density to meet
State management objectives.
Private take of problem wolves under
State regulations will replace some
agency control, but we believe this will
not substantially increase or decrease
the overall numbers of problem wolves
killed each year because of conflicts
with livestock or affect the recovered
status of the NRM DPS. Because the
overall rate of depredation and conflict
is dependent on the wolf population
level (Service et al. 2007, Tables 4, 5),
we believe overall rates of lethal control
will remain stable and increased legal
take by private individuals will simply
replace some of the take of problem
wolves by public agencies. In contrast to
the Service recovery program, State and
Tribal management programs will
incorporate regulated public harvest
when wolf populations in Montana,
Idaho, and Wyoming are safely above
recovery levels of 15 or more breeding
pairs (in Wyoming 7 or more of those
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breeding pairs must be outside the
National Parks). This approach will help
manage wolf distribution and numbers
to minimize conflicts with humans.
States routinely use regulated public
harvest to help successfully manage and
conserve other large predators and wild
ungulates under their management
authority. The adjacent States of Utah,
Oregon, and Washington all have in
place laws that would remain in effect
to protect wolves after delisting. Utah
and Oregon have adopted wolf
management plans, and Washington is
currently preparing one. For the
purposes of this rule there is no need for
the Service to review or approve state
wolf management plans outside of
Montana, Idaho, or Wyoming. The
adjacent States’ management strategies
should not impact the core recovery
areas in Montana, Idaho, or Wyoming,
because of the distance of those states
from the core recovery areas. Any wolf
breeding pairs that do become
established in other States in the NRM
DPS, while not necessary to maintain
the NRM DPS above recovery levels, can
only have a positive effect on
maintaining wolf population recovery in
the NRM DPS.
The States of Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming have successfully managed
resident ungulate populations for
decades and maintain them at densities
that would easily support a recovered
wolf population. They and Federal land
management agencies will continue to
manage for high ungulate populations in
the foreseeable future. Native ungulate
populations also are maintained at high
levels by Washington, Oregon, and Utah
in the portions of those States that are
in the NRM DPS. No foreseeable
condition would cause a decline in
ungulate populations significant enough
to affect a recovered wolf population.
E. Other Natural or Manmade Factors
Affecting Its Continued Existence
Public Attitudes Toward the Gray
Wolf—The primary determinant of the
long-term status of gray wolf
populations in the U.S. will be human
attitudes toward this large predator.
These attitudes are largely based on the
real and perceived conflicts between
human activities and values and wolves,
such as depredation on livestock and
pets, competition for surplus wild
ungulates between hunters and wolves,
concerns for human safety, wolves’
symbolic representation of wildness and
ecosystem health, killing of wolves by
people, and the wolf-related traditions
of Native American Tribes or local
culture.
In recent decades, national support
has been evident for wolf recovery and
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reintroduction in the NRM (Service
1994, pp. 5:11–111). With the continued
help of private conservation
organizations, the States and Tribes will
continue to foster public support to
maintain recovered wolf populations in
the NRM DPS. We have concluded that
the State management regulations that
will go into effect when wolves in the
NRM DPS are delisted will further
enhance local public support for wolf
recovery. State management provides a
larger and more effective local
organization and a more familiar means
for dealing with these conflicts (Mech
1995, pp. 275–276; Williams et al. 2002,
p. 582; Bangs et al. 2004, p. 102; Bangs
et al. in press). State wildlife
organizations have specific departments
and staff dedicated to providing
accurate and science-based public
education, information, and outreach
(Idaho 2007, p. 23–24, Appendix A;
Wyoming 2007, p. 28–29; Montana
2003, p. 90–91).
Genetic Considerations—The genetic
diversity of wolves in North America
was reduced by the historic large-scale
extirpation of wolves in North America
(Leonard et al. 2005, p. 9), but
populations have rebounded from
previously low levels and even the
relatively inbred Mexican wolf
(Fredrickson et al. 2007) is not
threatened by reduced genetic diversity
alone. Even a wolf population on Isle
Royale National Park that started from
possibly 2 founders in 1949 and
remained very small (<50 wolves) has
persisted until the present time (Boitani
2003, p. 330). The wolf population on
the island-like Kenai Peninsula, Alaska,
was recolonized by a few wolves in the
1960’s. That population is removed
from other populations, has remained
small (<200 wolves), is hunted and
trapped, doesn’t appear threatened
(Peterson et al. 1994, p. 1), and is
genetically fit (Talbot and Scribner
1997, p. 20–21). Small wolf populations
are unlikely to be threatened solely by
loss of genetic diversity, but that
possibility exists (Boitani 2003, p. 330).
Many extant wolf populations have
persisted for many decades or centuries
with low genetic diversity (Boitani
2003, pp. 322–03, 330–1; Fritts and
Carbyn 1996). Furthermore, from a
purely biological perspective, the NRM
DPS is just the southern extension of a
vast North American wolf population
consisting of many tens of thousands of
individuals.
We asked a wolf genetics expert who
was a peer reviewer on the Service’s
2006 proposal to delist the WGL wolf
population (Wayne 2006), whose team
we had contracted to do a genetic
analysis of wolves in the NRM, to
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comment on our proposal (Wayne
2007). We did not ask him to be one of
the peer reviewers for this proposal
because of that potential conflict of
interest. He and his colleagues
mistakenly believed the Service’s
recovery goals were to have only 10
breeding pairs and 100 wolves in each
of the three States and were unaware of
the States’ intentions to manage for
about 883–1,250 wolves in mid-winter.
Based on this belief they concluded that
the YNP wolf population was less than
what would be required for maintaining
a genetically healthy, self-sustaining
metapopulation. They believed it was
too low given the wolf population’s
current higher population level, and
that the current genetic isolation of YNP
and potentially the GYA from the other
recovery areas and Canada would
reduce the genetic integrity of the YNP
segment of the NRM wolf population,
within 100 years. We carefully
examined all those claims and
determined those related to the GYA
were based on faulty assumptions,
unjustifiably pessimistic forecasts, and
therefore we respectfully disagreed with
them for the reasons stated below.
Genetic diversity throughout the NRM
is currently very high (Forbes and Boyd
1996, p. 1084; Forbes and Boyd 1997, p.
226; vonHoldt et al. 2007, p. 19) and
likely to remain so especially in the
northwestern Montana and central
Idaho core recovery areas, because wolf
packs are relatively contiguous
throughout those areas and into Canada
where wolf packs are numerous and
contiguous northward to the Arctic
Ocean (Service et al. 2007, Figure 1).
However, the theoretical modeling by
von Holdt et al. (2007; Figure 8)
indicated that under a worst-case
scenario in 100 years the genetic
diversity of wolves in YNP would be
reduced if it were totally isolated from
the GYA and the GYA was totally
isolated from the other core recovery
areas. That lower genetic diversity
might result in an average of 4 pups
being born into each pack rather than
the current 5 per pack. That would
certainly not threaten or even reduce the
number of wolves in YNP which will
continue to have an adult survival rate
of around 80%, but lower pup
production might theoretically reduce
the rates of wolf dispersal from the Park.
However, the model’s assumptions are
misleading. Delisting will not affect
wolves in YNP and YNP is at the center
of the GYA core recovery area that is
composed of wolves in YNP as well as
those outside of YNP in northwestern
Wyoming, southwestern Montana, and
to a lesser extent southeastern Idaho.
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Modeling and field data suggest that
low-density wolf populations have a
reduced probability of finding mates
(Hurford et al. 2006; Brainerd et al.
2008), so having a high-density core
refugium for wolves like YNP as the
cornerstone of the GYA core recovery
area is fortuitous and provides for a
much larger and well-dispersed wolf
population than the one modeled and
upon which the von Holdt et al. (2007)
paper based their predictions.
Wolves have naturally dispersed into
the GYA. In 1992, an uncollared black
wolf from northwestern Montana was
shot just south of YNP (Fain 2007, p. 1).
Another black wolf was filmed in YNP
a month before that shooting, but has
never been reported again. It is
unknown if it was the same or a
different wolf. Since 1995, we have
documented dispersal of wolves to the
GYA on at least four occasions by radiocollared wolves from Idaho. One was
likely the alpha male of the Greybull
pack near Meeteetse, WY. Recently a
dispersing radio-collared male from
Idaho has paired with a female in YNP
(Service 2007b). Two other radiocollared wolves dispersed into the GYA
from Idaho but were not suspected of
breeding. Other wolves from Idaho or
northwestern Montana have
undoubtedly made the journey to the
GYA since 1995 but have not been
detected simply because they were not
uniquely marked or tracked with radio
telemetry (an average of only 30% of the
wolf population is marked). However,
while genetic studies are continuing, at
this time no genes from offspring of a
wolf dispersing from central Idaho or
northwestern Montana into the GYA
have been detected in the samples that
have been analyzed (Wayne 2007). In
other words, although 4–12 individual
wolves have naturally dispersed into the
GYA, to date little, if any, of their DNA
has become incorporated into the GYA
portion of the NRM DPS. If no new
genes ever entered the GYA in the next
100 years (either naturally or by agency
relocations), the GYA wolf population’s
currently high genetic diversity would
be reduced, but not to the point the
GYA wolf population would be
threatened because other wolf
populations have persisted at lower
levels and with lower genetic diversity
for decades or centuries.
The potential lack of genetic
connectivity between wolves in YNP
and wolves in the rest of the NRM DPS
is not considered a threat under the
Act’s criteria for persistence, because
much smaller extant wolf populations
with much lower genetic diversity have
persisted for decades or even centuries
(See Fritts and Carbyn 1995, p. 33;
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Boitiani 2003, pp. 330–335; Liberg 2005,
pp. 5–6 for examples). Furthermore, if
wolves select breeders for genetic
differences, as data indicate (wolves
have a strong tendency to select mates
that will minimize inbreeding) (Bensch
et al. 2006, p. 72; vonHoldt et al. 2007,
p. 1), then future dispersers into a
system experiencing genetic inbreeding
would be much more likely to have
their genes strongly selected for and
incorporated into the inbred population.
In addition, Montana (2003, p. 35),
Idaho (2007, p. 20), and Wyoming
(2007, p. 17) committed to foster
successful dispersal by maintaining a
widely-dispersed wolf population over
45 breeding pairs and 450 wolves,
continuing to work toward resolving
wildlife connectivity issues in the NRM
DPS, including the maintenance of
traditional ranching/open space, and if
necessary relocate wolves or use other
measures if reduced genetic diversity
ever threatened wolf population
recovery. Many small populations with
low genetic diversity expanded rapidly
when human persecution stopped
(Boitani 2003, pp. 317–340; Fritts and
Carbyn 1996, pp. 31–33). As a final
safeguard, which is highly unlikely to
be needed, relocation has proven to be
a relatively simple procedure. Genetic
rescue, improved pup production, and
population increases have occurred in
severely inbred small wolf populations
as a result of the incorporation of one
or two new genetic lines/individuals
(Vila et al. 2003, p. 91; Liberg et al.
2004, p. 17; Liberg 2005, pp. 5–6; Mills
2006, pp. 195–96; Fredrickson et al.
2007, p. 2365).
We agree with the conclusions of
vonHoldt et al.’s (2007, pp. 18–19) that
‘‘these limitations can potentially be
addressed by management actions such
as increased protection, habitat
restoration, and population
augmentation,’’ all things Montana,
Idaho, and Wyoming have already
committed to do in their wolf
management plans. We also agree that
genetic data should be incorporated into
long-term wolf conservation efforts and
are confident the States will consider all
the recommendations made by
vonHoldt et al. (2007, p. 19) and other
scientific literature when they manage
wolf numbers and distribution in the
NRM DPS.
Climate Change—While there is much
debate about the rates at which carbon
dioxide levels, atmospheric
temperatures, and ocean temperatures
will rise, the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC), a group of
leading climate scientists commissioned
by the United Nations, concluded there
is a general consensus among the
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world’s best scientists that climate
change is occurring (Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change 2001, pp. 2–
3; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change 2007, p. 4). The twentieth
century was the warmest in the last
1,000 years (Inkley et al. 2004, pp. 2–3)
with global mean surface temperature
increasing by 0.4 to 0.8 degrees Celsius
(0.7 to 1.4 degrees Fahrenheit). These
increases in temperature were more
pronounced over land masses as
evidenced by the 1.5 to 1.7 degrees
Celsius (2.7 to 3.0 degrees Fahrenheit)
increase in North America since the
1940s (Vincent et al. 1999, p. 96; Cayan
et al. 2001, p. 411). According to the
IPCC, warmer temperatures will
increase 1.1 to 6.4 degrees Celsius (2.0
to 11.5 degrees Fahrenheit) by 2100
(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change 2007, pp. 10–11). The
magnitude of warming in the NRM has
been particularly great, as indicated by
an 8-day advance in the appearance of
spring phenological indicators in
Edmonton, Alberta, since the 1930s
(Cayan et al. 2001, p. 400). The
hydrologic regime in the NRM also has
changed with global climate change,
and is projected to change further
(Bartlein et al. 1997, p. 786; Cayan et al.
2001, p. 411; Stewart et al. 2004, pp.
223–224). Under global climate change
scenarios, the NRM may eventually
experience milder, wetter winters and
warmer, drier summers (Bartlein et al.
1997, p. 786). Additionally, the pattern
of snowmelt runoff also may change,
with a reduction in spring snowmelt
(Cayan et al. 2001, p. 411) and an earlier
peak (Stewart et al. 2004, pp. 223–224),
so that a lower proportion of the annual
discharge will occur during spring and
summer.
Even with these changes, climate
change should not threaten the NRM
wolf population. Wolves are habitat
generalists and next to humans are the
most widely distributed land mammal
on earth. Wolves live in every habitat
type in the Northern Hemisphere that
contains ungulates, and once ranged
from central Mexico to the Arctic Ocean
in North America. The NRM DPS is
roughly in the middle of historic wolf
distribution in North America, so
wolves could easily adapt to the slightly
warmer and drier conditions that are
predicted with climate change,
including any northward expansion of
diseases, parasites, new prey, or
competitors or reductions in species
currently at or near the southern extent
of their range.
Changing climate conditions have the
potential to impact wolf prey. However,
the extent and rate to which ungulate
populations will be impacted is difficult
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to foresee with any level of confidence.
One logical consequence of climate
change could be a reduction in the
number of elk, deer, moose, and bison
dying over winter, thus maintaining a
higher overall prey base for wolves
(Wilmers and Getz 2005, p. 574;
Wilmers and Post 2006, p. 405).
Furthermore, increased over-winter
survival would likely result in overall
increases and more resiliency in
ungulate populations, thereby providing
more prey for wolves.
Catastrophic Events—The habitat
model/PVA by Carroll et al. (2003, p.
543) analyzed environmental
stochasticity and predicted it was
unlikely to threaten wolf persistence in
the GYA. We also considered
catastrophic and stochastic events to the
extent possible. None of these factors
are thought to pose a significant risk to
wolf recovery in the foreseeable future.
With regard to wildfires, which humans
often view as catastrophic events, large
mobile species such as wolves and their
ungulate prey usually are not adversely
impacted.Wildfires in the NRM often
lead to an increase in ungulate food
supplies and an increase in ungulate
numbers, which in turn supports
increased wolf numbers. Wolves are an
exceptionally resilient species.
Impacts to Wolf Pack Social
Structure—When human-caused
mortality rates are low, packs contain
older individuals. Older experienced
individuals (5–7 yrs old) have gained
their maximum body size and weight.
They help maintain traditions (e.g.,
hunting bison) in a pack and are more
successful at killing very large prey.
They also help stabilize their pack’s
social structure and can more
successfully defend their territory from
neighboring wolf packs (Smith 2007a).
All these effects will continue in areas
like YNP, GTNP, GNP, the wilderness
areas surrounding those Parks, and the
wilderness areas and most remote
portions of central Idaho and
northwestern Montana, where humancaused mortality is relatively low. These
‘‘natural’’ social structures will continue
unaltered in those areas after wolves are
delisted. However, wolves in much of
the NRM DPS will be constantly
interacting with livestock and people
and will not be at biological carrying
capacity or maximum density. In
addition, regulated hunting will be
allowed by the States and that will
increase wolf mortality rates. Wolf
packs have high rates of natural
turnover (Mech 2006, p. 1482) and
quickly adapt to changes in pack social
structure (Brainerd et al. 2008). Higher
rates of human-caused mortality also
may simply replace some forms of
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natural mortality (Fuller et al. 2003, pp.
185–6). Thus the potential effects
caused by natural wolf pack dynamics
in much of the NRM DPS will be
moderated to varying degrees by
conflicts with humans and rates of
human-caused mortality (Garrott et al.
2005; pp. 7–9; Campbell et al. 2006, p.
363). Higher rates of human-caused
mortality outside protected areas will
result in different wolf pack size and
structure than that in protected areas,
but wolves in many parts of the world,
including most of North America,
experience various levels of humancaused mortality and the associated
disruption in natural processes and wolf
social structure without ever threatening
the population (Boitani 2003).
Therefore, while social structure
disruption may occur in the future, it
will not threaten the wolf with
extinction in the foreseeable future.
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Summary
No manmade or natural factors
threaten wolf population recovery in the
NRM DPS now or in the foreseeable
future. Public attitudes toward wolves
have improved greatly over the past 30
years, and we expect that, given
adequate continued management of
conflicts, those attitudes will continue
to support wolf restoration. The State
wildlife agencies have professional
education, information, and outreach
components and are to present balanced
science-based information to the public
that will continue to foster general
public support for wolf restoration and
the necessity of conflict resolution to
maintain public tolerance of wolves.
Additionally, any wolf genetic viability,
interbreeding coefficients or changes in
wolf pack social structure are unlikely
to threaten the wolf population in the
NRM DPS in the foreseeable future, but
if the GYA population segment was
threatened that issue could be easily
resolved by reintroduction or other
deliberate management actions, as
promised by the States, if it ever
becomes necessary.
Conclusion of the 5-Factor Analysis
Is the Species Threatened or
Endangered throughout ‘‘All’’ of Its
Range—As required by the Act, we
considered the five potential threat
factors to assess whether the gray wolf
in the NRM DPS is threatened or
endangered throughout all or a
significant portion of its range. When
considering the listing status of the
species, the first step in the analysis is
to determine whether the species is in
danger of extinction throughout all of its
range. If this is the case, then the species
is listed in its entirety. For instance, if
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the threats against a species are acting
on only a portion of its range, but they
are at such a large scale that they place
the entire species in danger of
extinction, we would list the entire
species.
Human-caused mortality is the most
significant threat to the long-term
conservation of the gray wolf. Managing
this source of mortality (i.e.,
overutilization of wolves for
commercial, recreational, scientific and
educational purposes and human
predation) remains the primary
challenge to maintaining a recovered
wolf population into the foreseeable
future. Montana and Idaho have wolf
management plans to regulate humancaused mortality that are current and
effective under State law and that the
Service has determined are adequate to
support a recovered wolf population.
We have also determined that the 2007
Wyoming wolf management plan, if
implemented, will provide adequate
regulatory protections to conserve
Wyoming’s portion of a recovery wolf
population into the foreseeable future
(Hall 2007, pp. 1–3). As stated
previously, the 2007 Wyoming wolf
management plan automatically goes
into effect upon the Governor’s
certification to the Wyoming Secretary
of State that all of the provisions found
in the 2007 Wyoming wolf management
law have been met (Freudenthal 2007b,
pp. 1–3). Thus, while our determination
is conditional upon the 2007 Wyoming
wolf management law being fully in
effect within 20 days of publication of
this rule and the wolf management plan
being legally authorized by Wyoming
statutes (Hall 2007), we anticipate that
this final certification will be issued
within the specified time period.
Therefore, we have concluded that each
State will maintain its share and
distribution of the NRM DPS wolf
population above recovery levels for the
foreseeable future.
In terms of habitat, the amount and
distribution of suitable habitat in public
ownership provides, and will continue
to provide, large core areas that contain
high-quality habitat of sufficient size to
anchor a recovered wolf population
(assuming adequate regulatory
mechanisms are in place). Our analysis
of land-use practices shows these areas
will maintain their suitability well into
the foreseeable future, if not
indefinitely. These areas also provide
the necessary connectivity to support a
three-part metapopulation. As
illustrated in the GYA in 2005 and
discussed in our 2006 12-month finding
(71 FR 43410, August 1, 2006), disease
and parasites can play a temporary role
in population stability. That said, as
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long as populations are managed above
recovery levels, diseases or parasites are
not likely to threaten the recovered
NRM DPS at any point in the
foreseeable future. Natural predation is
likely to remain an insignificant factor
in population dynamics into the
foreseeable future. Finally, we believe
that other natural or manmade factors
are unlikely to threaten the recovered
wolf population within the foreseeable
future.
Overall, we have determined that
secure portions of Idaho, Montana and
Wyoming contain habitat of sufficient
quality, extent, and distribution to
collectively support connected, stable
populations of more than 45 breeding
pairs and 450 wolves that will not fall
below 30 breeding pairs and 300
wolves. Connectivity with wolves in
Canada will provide further stability to
this portion of the NRM DPS. Thus, the
NRM DPS does not merit continued
listing as threatened or endangered
throughout ‘‘all’’ of its range.
Is the Species Threatened or
Endangered in a Significant Portion of
Its Range—Having determined that the
NRM DPS of gray wolf does not meet
the definition of threatened or
endangered in all of its range, we must
next consider whether there are any
significant portions of its range that are
in danger of extinction or are likely to
become endangered in the foreseeable
future. On March 16, 2007, a formal
opinion was issued by the Solicitor of
the Department of the Interior, ‘‘The
Meaning of ‘In Danger of Extinction
Throughout All or a Significant Portion
of Its Range’ ’’ (U.S. DOI 2007). We have
summarized our interpretation of that
opinion and the underlying statutory
language below. A portion of a species’
range is significant if it is part of the
current range of the species and is
important to the conservation of the
species because it contributes
meaningfully to the representation,
resiliency, or redundancy of the species.
The contribution must be at a level such
that its loss would result in a decrease
in the ability to conserve the species.
The first step in determining whether
a species is threatened or endangered in
a significant portion of its range is to
identify any portions of the range of the
species that warrant further
consideration. The range of a species
can theoretically be divided into
portions in an infinite number of ways.
However, there is no purpose to
analyzing portions of the range that are
not reasonably likely to be significant
and threatened or endangered. To
identify only those portions that warrant
further consideration, we determine
whether there is substantial information
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indicating that (i) the portions may be
significant and (ii) the species may be in
danger of extinction there or likely to
become so within the foreseeable future.
In practice, a key part of this analysis is
whether the threats are geographically
concentrated in some way. If the threats
to the species are essentially uniform
throughout its range, no portion is likely
to warrant further consideration.
Moreover, if any concentration of
threats applies only to portions of the
range that are unimportant to the
conservation of the species, such
portions will not warrant further
consideration.
If we identify any portions that
warrant further consideration, we then
determine whether in fact the species is
threatened or endangered in any
significant portion of its range.
Depending on the biology of the species,
its range, and the threats it faces, it may
be more efficient for the Service to
address the significance question first,
or the status question first. Thus, if the
Service determines that a portion of the
range is not significant, the Service need
not determine whether the species is
threatened or endangered there; if the
Service determines that the species is
not threatened or endangered in a
portion of its range, the Service need not
determine if that portion is significant.
The terms ‘‘resiliency,’’
‘‘redundancy,’’ and ‘‘representation’’ are
intended to be indicators of the
conservation value of portions of the
range (Schaffer and Stein 2000).
Resiliency of a species allows the
species to recover from periodic
disturbance. A species will likely be
more resilient if large populations exist
in high-quality habitat that is
distributed throughout the range of the
species in such a way as to capture the
environmental variability found within
the range of the species. It is likely that
the larger size of a population will help
contribute to the viability of the species
overall. Thus, a portion of the range of
a species may make a meaningful
contribution to the resiliency of the
species if the area is relatively large and
contains particularly high-quality
habitat or if its location or
characteristics make it less susceptible
to certain threats than other portions of
the range. When evaluating whether or
how a portion of the range contributes
to resiliency of the species, it may help
to evaluate the historical value of the
portion and how frequently the portion
is used by the species. In addition, the
portion may contribute to resiliency for
other reasons—for instance, it may
contain an important concentration of
certain types of habitat that are
necessary for the species to carry out its
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life-history functions, such as breeding,
feeding, migration, dispersal, or
wintering.
Redundancy of populations may be
needed to provide a margin of safety for
the species to withstand catastrophic
events. This does not mean that any
portion that provides redundancy is a
significant portion of the range of a
species. The idea is to conserve enough
areas of the range such that random
perturbations in the system act on only
a few populations. Therefore, each area
must be examined based on whether
that area provides an increment of
redundancy that is important to the
conservation of the species.
Adequate representation ensures that
the species’ adaptive capabilities are
conserved. Specifically, the portion
should be evaluated to see how it
contributes to the genetic diversity of
the species. The loss of genetically
based diversity may substantially
reduce the ability of the species to
respond and adapt to future
environmental changes. A peripheral
population may contribute meaningfully
to representation if there is evidence
that it provides genetic diversity due to
its location on the margin of the species’
habitat requirements.
To determine whether the NRM DPS
is threatened in any significant portion
of its range, we first consider how the
concepts of resiliency, representation,
and redundancy apply to the
conservation of this particular DPS. A
number of available documents provide
insight into this discussion, including
the 1994 EIS on the reintroduction
efforts in Central Idaho and the GYA
(Service 1994), the 1987 recovery plan
(Service 1987), our 2001/2002 review of
the recovery goals (Bangs 2002),
Interagency Annual Reports (Service et
al. 1989–2007), and numerous
professional publications (Soule et al.
2003, p. 1238; Scott et al. 2005, p. 383;
Vucetich et al. 2006, p. 1383; Carroll et
al. 2006, pp. 369–371; Waples et al.
2007, p. 964; see Service et al. 2007, pp.
213–230).
In the case of this final rule, because
we anticipate that the 2007 Wyoming
wolf management law will be fully in
effect within 20 days of publication of
this final rule and that the 2007
Wyoming wolf management plan will
then be legally authorized by Wyoming
statutes (Hall 2007), no portion of the
NRM DPS currently occupied by
persistent wolf packs (i.e., core recovery
areas) warrants further consideration.
Through our analysis (see Factor D
section) we have determined that
Montana’s, Idaho’s and Wyoming’s
plans meet the Act’s requirements for
delisting because these States have
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proposed management objectives that
would maintain at least 10 breeding
pairs and 100 wolves per State by
managing for a safety margin of at least
15 breeding pairs and at least 150
wolves in each State. Thus, the absence
of threats means that the species is
neither endangered nor threatened in
these portions of its range.
However, if the provisions in the
Wyoming wolf law are not fulfilled and
the final certifications are not made
within 20 days of publication of the
final rule, we will withdraw this final
rule before its effective date. In this
situation, the 2003 Wyoming State law
and wolf management plan would be
the regulatory mechanisms in Wyoming.
As we have previously determined, the
2003 Wyoming State law and wolf
management plan are not adequate to
ensure that Wyoming’s numerical and
distributional share of a recovered NRM
wolf population will be conserved
(Williams 2004; 71 FR 43410, August 1,
2006). Thus, we have decided to further
consider the portion of the NRM DPS in
northwestern Wyoming, outside the
National Park Service lands, in the
following analysis.
Through an abundance of caution, we
have identified two areas within the
NRM DPS as warranting further
consideration to determine if they are
significant portions of the range that
may be threatened or endangered. These
areas include (1) northwest Wyoming,
outside the National Park Service lands,
and (2) portions of the NRM DPS within
97 to 300 km (60 to 190 mi) of the
habitat currently occupied by persistent
wolf packs (i.e. core recovery areas)
which are routinely used by dispersing
wolves. For each of these areas we
evaluate whether they are significant
per the above definition and, if
significant, we weigh whether they are
threatened or endangered.
The area of northwest Wyoming,
outside the National Park Service lands,
has long been considered critical to gray
wolf recovery in the NRM (Service 1987;
Service 1994; 71 FR 43410, August 1,
2006). As outlined in our 12-month
finding (71 FR 43410, August 1, 2006),
we believe this area is important for
maintaining a viable, self-sustaining,
and evolving representative metapopulation in the NRM DPS into the
foreseeable future. We have determined
that a fundamental part of achieving
recovery in the NRM DPS is a welldistributed number of wolf packs and
individual wolves among the three
States and the three recovery zones. The
possible loss of wolves in northwest
Wyoming, outside the National Park
Service lands, would meaningfully
affect the representation, resiliency, or
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redundancy of the NRM DPS, making
this portion of the range a significant
portion of the range.
The portion of the NRM DPS range in
northwest Wyoming, outside the
National Park Service lands, is
considered significant because it
contains a substantial proportion of the
secure suitable habitat in Wyoming, and
contains many of the persistent wolf
packs that have been documented in
Wyoming since 1995. In 2006 this area
supported at least 25 packs, 15 breeding
pairs, and 175 wolves (Service et al.
2007, Table 2). Under the provisions of
the 2007 Wyoming wolf management
plan, wolves in this portion of the NRM
DPS range will be managed as trophy
game (see Factor D) (Freudenthal
2007a). Areas in Wyoming outside the
Trophy Game Area have not supported
persistent wolf packs since 1995. The
entire Trophy Game Area, as described
in the 2007 Wyoming wolf management
plan, is: Northwest Wyoming beginning
at the junction of Wyoming Highway
120 and the Wyoming-Montana State
line; southerly along Wyoming Highway
120 to the Greybull River; southwesterly
up said river to the Wood River;
southwesterly up said river to the
Shoshone National Forest boundary;
southerly along said boundary to the
Wind River Indian Reservation
boundary; westerly, then southerly
along said boundary to the Continental
Divide; southeasterly along said divide
to the Middle Fork of Boulder Creek;
westerly down said creek to Boulder
Creek; westerly down said creek to the
Bridger-Teton National Forest boundary;
northwesterly along said boundary to its
intersection with U.S. Highway 189–
191; northwesterly along said highway
to the intersection with U.S. Highway
26–89–191; northerly along said
highway to Wyoming Highway 22 in the
town of Jackson; westerly along said
highway to the Wyoming-Idaho State
line; north along said state line to the
Wyoming-Montana State line; north,
then east along said State line to
Wyoming Highway 120. This area
contains about 70% (31,207 km2 [12,049
mi2]) of the suitable wolf habitat in
Wyoming. The significant portion of the
NRM DPS range in northwest Wyoming
to which this analysis applies is the
Trophy Game Area, as described above,
excluding the lands administered by the
National Park Service.
Within this portion of the NRM DPS
range in northwestern Wyoming,
managing human-caused mortality
remains the primary challenge to
maintaining a recovered wolf
population in the foreseeable future. If
this issue is adequately addressed, none
of the other factors, individually or
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collectively, are likely to rise to the level
of threatening or endangering the
population within the foreseeable
future.
In 2004, we determined that problems
with the 2003 Wyoming legislation and
plan, and inconsistencies between the
law and management plan did not allow
us to approve Wyoming’s approach to
wolf management (Williams 2004). On
August 1, 2006, we published a 12month finding describing the reasons
why the 2003 Wyoming State law and
wolf management plan did not provide
the necessary regulatory mechanisms to
assure maintenance of Wyoming’s
numerical and distributional share of a
recovered NRM wolf population (71 FR
43410).
In 2007, the Wyoming legislature
amended State law to address Service
concerns. Following the change in State
law, the WFGC approved a revised wolf
management plan (Cleveland 2007).
This plan was then approved by the
Service as providing adequate
regulatory protections to conserve
Wyoming’s portion of a recovered NRM
DPS into the foreseeable future (Hall
2007). We anticipate the stipulations in
the Wyoming law will be met within the
next 20 days following publication and
prior to the rule being effective. Thus,
based on the best scientific and
commercial information available, we
determine that this significant portion of
the range is not likely to become in
danger of extinction within the
foreseeable future (see Factor D).
However, if the requirements of the
2007 Wyoming wolf management laws
are not met, we will withdraw this final
rule before its effective date and replace
it with an alternate final rule
maintaining the Act’s 1994 nonessential
experimental population protections
(§ 17.84 (i)) in northwestern Wyoming’s
significant portion of the NRM DPS (See
Factor D). The alternate final rule would
remove the gray wolf from the
endangered and threatened species list
in the remainder of the NRM DPS. We
are moving forward with this rule as
written because we view its withdrawal
unlikely.
Finally, we decided to assume that
the portions of the NRM DPS within 97
to 300 km (60 to 190 mi) of the habitat
currently occupied by persistent wolf
packs (i.e. core recovery areas) which
are routinely used by dispersing wolves
warranted additional consideration out
of an abundance of caution and based
on the controversy concerning the status
of the wolf in this area. Specifically, we
considered: The portion of Montana east
of I–15 and north of I–90; the portion of
Idaho south of I–84; the remainder of
Wyoming not considered above; and the
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portions of Oregon, Washington, and
Utah within the NRM DPS. These
boundaries are based largely upon our
understanding of suitable habitat and
the location of easily identifiable and
understandable manmade markers and
boundaries. The following provides our
analysis of whether these portions of the
range are significant.
While wolves historically occurred
over most of the NRM DPS, large
portions of this area are no longer able
to support viable wolf populations or
breeding pairs. These areas include
about 13 percent of theoretical suitable
wolf habitat (as described by Oakleaf et
al. 2006, p. 561). To the extent that any
of these areas contain suitable habitat,
they are small, fragmented areas where
wolf packs cannot persist. This is why
wolf recovery was never envisioned for
these areas (Service 1987; Service 1994).
We believe these areas are insignificant
to maintaining the NRM wolf
population’s viability because they
make virtually no contribution to the
species’ representation, resiliency, or
redundancy.
In light of the above, we conclude that
none of the areas within 97 to 300 km
(60 to 190 mi) of the habitat currently
occupied by persistent wolf packs (i.e.
core recovery areas) constitute a
significant portion of the range. These
areas are not likely to meaningfully
contribute to the representation,
resiliency, or redundancy at a level such
that their loss would result in a decrease
in the ability to conserve the species. As
noted above, if we determine that a
portion of the range is not significant,
we need not determine whether the
species is threatened or endangered
there.
In summary, we have determined that
none of the existing or potential threats,
either alone or in combination with
others, are likely to cause the gray wolf
in the NRM DPS to become in danger of
extinction within the foreseeable future
throughout all or any significant portion
of its range (assuming Wyoming’s wolf
management law and management plan
are allowed to become effective). On the
basis of this evaluation, we remove the
gray wolf in the NRM DPS from the
Federal List of Endangered and
Threatened Wildlife.
Effects of the Rule
Promulgation of this final rule will
affect the protections afforded to the
NRM gray wolf DPS under the Act.
Taking, Interstate commerce, import,
and export of wolves from the NRM DPS
are no longer prohibited under the Act.
Other State and Federal laws will still
regulate take. In addition, with the
removal of the NRM DPS from the List
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of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife,
Federal agencies are no longer required
to consult with us under section 7 of the
Act to ensure that any action
authorized, funded, or carried out by
them is not likely to jeopardize the
species’ continued existence. This
regulation removes the now obsolete
nonessential experimental regulations
designed to reduce the regulatory
burden in parts of the NRM DPS. No
critical habitat has been designated for
the NRM DPS: Thus, 50 CFR 17.95 is
not modified by this regulation.
Delisting the NRM DPS is expected to
have positive effects in terms of
management flexibility to the State,
Tribal, and local governments.
The full protections of the Act will
still continue to apply to wolves in
other portions of the lower 48 States
outside the NRM DPS and the Western
Great Lakes DPS. The Western Great
Lakes DPS was established and removed
from the List of Endangered and
Threatened Wildlife in a separate action
on February 8, 2007 (72 CFR 6052).
Post-Delisting Monitoring
Section 4(g)(1) of the Act, added in
the 1988 reauthorization, requires us to
implement a system, in cooperation
with the States, to monitor for not less
than 5 years the status of all species that
have recovered and been removed from
the Lists of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife and Plants (50 CFR 17.11 and
17.12). The purpose of this postdelisting monitoring (PDM) is to verify
that a recovered species remains secure
from risk of extinction after it no longer
has the protections of the Act. Should
relisting be required, we may make use
of the emergency listing authorities
under section 4(b)(7) of the Act to
prevent a significant risk to the wellbeing of any recovered species.
Monitoring Techniques—The NRM
area was intensively monitored for
wolves even before wolves were
documented in Montana in the mid1980s (Weaver 1978; Ream and Mattson
1982, pp. 379–381; Kaminski and
Hansen 1984, p. v). Numerous Federal,
State, and Tribal agencies, universities,
and special interest groups assisted in
those various efforts. Since 1979, wolves
have been monitored using standard
techniques including collecting,
evaluating, and following-up on
suspected observations of wolves or
wolf signs by natural resource agencies
or the public; howling or snow tracking
surveys conducted by the Service, our
university and agency cooperators,
volunteers, or interested special interest
groups; and by capturing, radiocollaring, and monitoring wolves. We
only consider wolves and wolf packs as
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confirmed when Federal, State, or Tribal
agency verification is made by field staff
that can reliably identify wolves and
wolf signs.
The wolf monitoring system works in
a hierarchical nature. Typically we
receive a report (either directly or
passed along by another agency) that
wolves or their signs were observed. We
make no judgment whether the report
seems credible or not and normally just
note the general location of that
observation. Unless breeding results,
reports of single animals are not
important unless tied to other reports or
unusual observations that elicit concern
(e.g., a wolf reported feeding on a
livestock carcass). Lone wolves can
wander long distances over a short
period of time (Mech and Boitani 2003,
pp. 14–15) and may be almost
impossible to find again or confirm.
However, the patterns and clusters of
those individual reports are very
informative and critical to subsequent
agency decisions about where to focus
agency searches for wolf pack activity.
When we receive multiple reports of
multiple individuals that indicate
possible territoriality and pair bonding
(the early stage of pack formation), or a
report of multiple wolves that seems
highly credible (usually made by a
biologist or experienced outdoorsperson), we typically notify the nearest
Federal, State, or Tribal natural
resource/land management agency and
ask them to be on the alert for possible
wolf activity during the normal course
of their field activities. Once they locate
areas of suspected wolf activity, we may
ask experienced field biologists to
search the area for wolf signs (tracks,
howling, scats, ungulate kills).
Depending on the type of activity
confirmed, field crews may decide to
capture and radio-collar the wolves.
Radio-collared wolves are then located
from the air 1 to 4 times per month
dependent on a host of factors including
funding, personnel, aircraft availability,
weather, and other priorities. At the end
of the year, we compile agencyconfirmed wolf observations to estimate
the number and location of adult wolves
and pups that were likely alive on
December 31 of that year. These data are
then summarized by packs to indicate
overall population size, composition,
and distribution. This level of wildlife
monitoring is intensive and the results
are relatively accurate estimates of wolf
population distribution and structure
(Service et al. 2007, Table 1–4, Figure 1–
4). This monitoring strategy has been
used to estimate the NRM wolf
population for over 20 years.
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming, as
well as Washington, Oregon and Utah,
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have committed to continue monitoring
wolf populations, according to their
State wolf management plans (See State
plans in Factor D) or in other
cooperative agreements, using
techniques similar to those used by the
Service and its cooperators (which has
included the States, Tribes, and USDA–
WS—the same agencies that will be
managing and monitoring wolves postdelisting). The States have committed to
continue to conduct wolf population
monitoring through the mandatory 5year PDM period that is required by the
Act (Idaho 2002, p. 35; Montana 2003,
pp. 63, 78; Wyoming 2007, p. 12). The
States also have committed to publish
the results of their monitoring efforts in
annual wolf reports as has been done
since 1989 by the Service and its
cooperators (Service et al. 1989–2007).
Other States and Tribes within the DPS
adjacent to Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming also have participated in this
interagency cooperative wolf monitoring
system for at least the past decade, and
their plans commit them to continue to
report wolf activity in their State and
coordinate those observations with
other States. The annual reports have
also documented all aspects of the wolf
management program including staffing
and funding, legal issues, population
monitoring, control to reduce livestock
and pet damage, research (predator-prey
interactions, livestock-wolf conflict
prevention, disease and health
monitoring, publications, etc.) and
public outreach.
Service Review of the Post-Delisting
Status of the Wolf Population—To
ascertain wolf population distribution
and structure and to analyze if the wolf
population might require a Service-led
status review (to determine whether it
should again be listed under the Act),
we intend to review the State and any
Tribal annual wolf reports for the first
five years after delisting. The status of
the NRM wolf population will be
estimated by estimating the numbers of
packs, breeding pairs, and total numbers
of wolves in mid-winter by State and by
recovery area throughout the postdelisting monitoring period (Service et
al 2007, Table 4, Figure 1). By
evaluating the techniques used and the
results of those wolf monitoring efforts,
the Service can decide whether further
action, including relisting is warranted.
In addition, the States and Tribes are
investigating other, perhaps more
accurate and less expensive, ways to
help estimate and describe wolf pack
distribution and abundance (Kunkel et
al. 2005; Ausband 2006; Mitchell et al.
in press; Service et al. 2007, Figure 1,
Table 4).
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Other survey methods and data can
become the ‘biological equivalents’ of
the breeding pair definition currently
used to measure recovery (Mitchell et
al. in press). Those State and Tribal
investigations also include alternative
ways to estimate the status of the wolf
population and the numbers of breeding
pairs that are as accurate, but less
expensive, than those that are currently
used (Ausband 2006; Mitchell et al. in
press). Although not compelled by the
Act, the State will likely continue to
publish their annual wolf population
estimates, in cooperation with National
Parks and Tribes, after the 5-year
mandatory wolf population monitoring
required by the Act is over because of
mandatory reporting requirements in
Federal funding and grant programs and
the high local and national public and
scientific interest in NRM wolves.
We fully recognize and anticipate that
State and Tribal laws regarding wolves
and State and Tribal management will
change through time as new knowledge
becomes available as the States and
Tribes gain additional experience at
wolf management and conservation. We
will base any analysis of whether a
status review and relisting are
warranted upon the best scientific and
commercial data available regarding
wolf distribution, abundance, and
threats in the NRM DPS. For the 5-year
PDM period, the best source of that
information will be the States’ annual or
other wolf reports and publications. We
intend to post those annual State wolf
reports and our annual review and
comment on the status of the wolf
population in the NRM DPS on our Web
site (https://westerngraywolf.fws.gov/) by
approximately April 1 of each following
year. During our annual analysis of the
States’ annual reports (which will
continue for 5 years), we also intend to
comment on any threats that may have
increased during the previous year, such
as significant changes in a State
regulatory framework, habitat, diseases,
decreases in prey abundance, increases
in wolf-livestock conflict, or other
natural and man-caused factors.
Our analysis and response for PDM is
to track changes in wolf abundance,
distribution, and threats to the
population. Four scenarios could lead
us to initiate a status review and
analysis of threats to determine if
relisting is warranted including: (1) If
the wolf population for any one State
falls below the minimum NRM wolf
population recovery level of 10 breeding
pairs of wolves and 100 wolves in either
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming at the
end of the year; (2) if the portion of the
wolf population in Montana, Idaho, or
Wyoming falls below 15 breeding pairs
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or 150 wolves at the end of the year in
any one of those States for 3 consecutive
years; (3) if the wolf population in
Wyoming outside of YNP falls below 7
breeding pairs for 3 consecutive years;
or (4) if a change in State law or
management objectives would
significantly increase the threat to the
wolf population. All such reviews
would be made available for public
review and comment, including peer
review by select species experts.
Additionally, if any of these scenarios
occurred during the mandatory 5-year
PDM period, the PDM period would be
extended 5 additional years from that
point in that State.
Regulatory Planning and Review
(Executive Order 12866)
The Office of Management and Budget
(OMB) has determined that this rule is
not significant and has not reviewed
this rule under Executive Order 12866
(E.O. 12866). OMB bases its
determination upon the following four
criteria:
(a) Whether the rule will have an
annual effect of $100 million or more on
the economy or adversely affect an
economic sector, productivity, jobs, the
environment, or other units of the
government.
(b) Whether the rule will create
inconsistencies with other Federal
agencies’ actions.
(c) Whether the rule will materially
affect entitlements, grants, user fees,
loan programs, or the rights and
obligations of their recipients.
(d) Whether the rule raises novel legal
or policy issues.
Paperwork Reduction Act
Office of Management and Budget
(OMB) regulations at 5 CFR 1320
implement provisions of the Paperwork
Reduction Act (44 U.S. C. 3501 et seq.).
The OMB regulations at 5 CFR 1320.3
(c) define a collection of information as
the obtaining of information by or for an
agency by means of identical questions
posed to, or identical reporting,
recordkeeping, or disclosure
requirements imposed on, 10 or more
persons. Furthermore, 5 CFR
1320.3(c)(4) specifies that ‘‘ten or more
persons’’ refers to the persons to whom
a collection of information is addressed
by the agency within any 12-month
period. For purposes of this definition,
employees of the Federal Government
are not included. The Service may not
conduct or sponsor and you are not
required to respond to a collection of
information unless it displays a
currently valid OMB control number.
This rule does not contain any
collections of information that require
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10559
approval by OMB under the Paperwork
Reduction Act. As proposed under the
Post-Delisting Monitoring section above,
populations will be monitored by
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming in
accordance with their Wolf Management
Plans. We do not anticipate a need to
request data or other information from
10 or more persons during any 12month period to satisfy monitoring
information needs. If it becomes
necessary to collect information from 10
or more non-Federal individuals,
groups, or organizations per year, we
will first obtain information collection
approval from OMB.
National Environmental Policy Act
The Service has determined that
Environmental Assessments and
Environmental Impact Statements, as
defined under the authority of the
NEPA, need not be prepared in
connection with actions adopted
pursuant to section 4(a) of the Act. A
notice outlining the Service’s reasons
for this determination was published in
the Federal Register on October 25,
1983 (48 FR 49244).
Executive Order 13211
On May 18, 2001, the President issued
Executive Order 13211 on regulations
that significantly affect energy supply,
distribution, and use. Executive Order
13211 requires agencies to prepare
Statements of Energy Effects when
undertaking certain actions. As this
final rule is not expected to significantly
affect energy supplies, distribution, or
use, this action is not a significant
energy action and no Statement of
Energy Effects is required.
Government-to-Government
Relationship With Tribes
In accordance with the President’s
memorandum of April 29, 1994,
Government-to-Government Relations
with Native American Tribal
Governments (59 FR 22951), Executive
Order 13175, and 512 DM 2, we have
coordinated the proposed rule and this
final rule with the affected Tribes.
Throughout several years of
development of earlier related rules and
the proposed rule, we have endeavored
to consult with Native American tribes
and Native American organizations in
order to both (1) provide them with a
complete understanding of the proposed
changes, and (2) to understand their
concerns with those changes. We have
fully considered their comments during
the development of this final rule. If
requested, we will conduct additional
consultations with Native American
tribes and multitribal organizations
subsequent to this final rule in order to
E:\FR\FM\27FER2.SGM
27FER2
10560
Federal Register / Vol. 73, No. 39 / Wednesday, February 27, 2008 / Rules and Regulations
Authority: 16 U.S.C. 1361–1407; 16 U.S.C.
1531–1544; 16 U.S.C. 4201–4245; Pub. L. 99–
625, 100 Stat. 3500; unless otherwise noted.
recordkeeping requirements,
Transportation.
facilitate the transition to State and
tribal management of gray wolves
within the NRM DPS.
References Cited
A complete list of all references cited
in this document is available upon
request from the Western Gray Wolf
Recovery Coordinator (see ADDRESSES
above).
List of Subjects in 50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and threatened species,
Exports, Imports, Reporting and
Regulation Promulgation
Accordingly, we amend part 17,
subchapter B of chapter I, title 50 of the
Code of Federal Regulations, as set forth
below:
I
§ 17.11 Endangered and threatened
wildlife.
PART 17—[AMENDED]
*
1. The authority citation for part 17
continues to read as follows:
I
Species
Historic range
Common name
Vertebrate population where
endangered or threatened
*
*
U.S.A., conterminous (lower 48)
States, except: (1) Where listed as
an experimental population below;
(2) Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan,
eastern North Dakota (that portion
north and east of the Missouri River
upstream to Lake Sakakawea and
east of the centerline of Highway 83
from Lake Sakakawea to the Canadian border), eastern South Dakota
(that portion north and east of the
Missouri River), northern Iowa,
northern Illinois, and northern Indiana (those portions of IA, IL, and IN
north of the centerline of Interstate
Highway 80), and northwestern
Ohio (that portion north of the centerline of Interstate Highway 80 and
west of the Maumee River at Toledo); and (3) Montana, Idaho, Wyoming, eastern Washington (that
portion of Washington east of the
Centerline of Highway 97 and Highway 17 north of Mesa and that portion of Washington east of the centerline of Highway 395 south of
Mesa), eastern Oregon (portion of
Oregon east of the centerline of
Highway 395 and Highway 78 north
of Burns Junction and that portion
of Oregon east of the centerline of
Highway 95 south of Buirns Junction), and north-central Utah (that
portion of Utah east of the centerline of Highway 84 and north of
Highway 80). Mexico.
U.S.A. (portions of AZ, NM, and TX—
see § 17.84(k)).
Scientific name
I 2. In § 17.11(h), the entry for ‘‘Wolf,
gray’’ under MAMMALS in the List of
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife is
revised to read as follows:
*
*
(h) * * *
*
When
listed
Status
*
Critical
habitat
Special
rules
MAMMALS
*
Wolf, gray ..........
*
Canis lupus .......
*
Holarctic ............
Do ...............
...... do ...............
...... do ...............
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
*
§ 17.84
*
*
1, 6, 13,
15, 35
N/A
N/A
631
N/A
17.84(k)
XN
*
[Amended]
3. Amend § 17.84 by removing
paragraphs (i) and (n).
I
mstockstill on PROD1PC66 with RULES2
E
*
19:37 Feb 26, 2008
Jkt 214001
PO 00000
Frm 00048
Fmt 4701
Sfmt 4700
*
Dated: February 13, 2008.
H. Dale Hall,
Director, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service.
[FR Doc. 08–798 Filed 2–21–08; 9:49 am]
BILLING CODE 4310–55–P
VerDate Aug<31>2005
*
E:\FR\FM\27FER2.SGM
27FER2
Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 73, Number 39 (Wednesday, February 27, 2008)]
[Rules and Regulations]
[Pages 10514-10560]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 08-798]
[[Page 10513]]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Part II
Department of the Interior
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Fish and Wildlife Service
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50 CFR Part 17
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Final Rule Designating
the Northern Rocky Mountain Population of Gray Wolf as a Distinct
Population Segment and Removing This Distinct Population Segment From
the Federal List of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife; Final Rule
Federal Register / Vol. 73, No. 39 / Wednesday, February 27, 2008 /
Rules and Regulations
[[Page 10514]]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR
Fish and Wildlife Service
50 CFR Part 17
[FWS-R6-ES-2008-008; 92220-1113-0000; ABC Code: C6]
RIN 1018-AU53
Endangered and Threatened Wildlife and Plants; Final Rule
Designating the Northern Rocky Mountain Population of Gray Wolf as a
Distinct Population Segment and Removing This Distinct Population
Segment From the Federal List of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife
AGENCY: Fish and Wildlife Service, Interior.
ACTION: Final rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: The U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (Service, we or us), hereby
establishes a distinct population segment (DPS) of the gray wolf (Canis
lupus) in the Northern Rocky Mountains (NRM) of the United States
(U.S.) and removes this DPS from the List of Endangered and Threatened
Wildlife. The NRM gray wolf DPS encompasses the eastern one-third of
Washington and Oregon, a small part of north-central Utah, and all of
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming. Based on the best scientific and
commercial data available, the NRM DPS is no longer an endangered or
threatened species pursuant to the Endangered Species Act of 1973, as
amended (Act) (16 U.S.C. 1531 et seq.). The NRM DPS has exceeded its
biological recovery goals, and all threats in the foreseeable future
have been sufficiently reduced or eliminated.
The States of Idaho (2002) and Montana (2003) adopted State laws
and management plans that meet the requirements of the Act and will
conserve a recovered wolf population into the foreseeable future. In
2007, following a change in State law, Wyoming drafted and approved a
revised wolf management plan (Wyoming 2007). We have determined that
this plan meets the requirements of the Act as providing adequate
regulatory protections to conserve Wyoming's portion of a recovered
wolf population into the foreseeable future. Our determination is
conditional upon the 2007 Wyoming wolf management law (W.S. 11-6-302 et
seq. and 23-1-101, et seq. in House Bill 0213) being fully in effect
and the wolf management plan being legally authorized by Wyoming
statutes. If the law is not in effect (discussed in more detail below)
within 20 days from the date of this publication, we will withdraw this
final rule and replace it with an alternate final rule that removes the
Act's protections throughout all of the DPS, except the significant
portion of the gray wolf's range in northwestern Wyoming outside the
National Parks.
DATES: This rule becomes effective March 28, 2008.
ADDRESSES: This final rule is available on the Internet at https://
www.regulations.gov. Comments and materials received, as well as
supporting documentation used in preparation of this final rule, are
available for inspection, by appointment, during normal business hours,
at our Montana office, 585 Shepard Way, Helena, Montana 59601. Call
(406) 449-5225, extension 204 to make arrangements.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Edward E. Bangs, Western Gray Wolf
Recovery Coordinator, U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, at our Helena
office (see ADDRESSES) or telephone (406) 449-5225, extension 204.
Individuals who are hearing-impaired or speech-impaired may call the
Federal Relay Service at 1-800-877-8337 for TTY assistance.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background
Gray wolves are the largest wild members of the dog family
(Canidae). Adult gray wolves range from 18-80 kilograms (kg) (40-175
pounds (lb)) depending upon sex and region (Mech 1974, p. 1). In the
NRM, adult male gray wolves average over 45 kg (100 lb), but may weigh
up to 60 kg (130 lb). Females weigh slightly less than males. Wolves'
fur color is frequently a grizzled gray, but it can vary from pure
white to coal black (Gipson et al. 2002, p. 821).
Gray wolves have a circumpolar range including North America,
Europe, and Asia. As Europeans began settling the U.S., they poisoned,
trapped, and shot wolves, causing this once widespread species to be
eradicated from most of its range in the 48 conterminous States (Mech
1970, pp. 31-34; McIntyre 1995). Gray wolf populations were eliminated
from Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming, as well as adjacent southwestern
Canada by the 1930s (Young and Goldman 1944, p. 414).
Wolves primarily prey on medium and large mammals. Wolves normally
live in packs of 2 to 12 animals. In the NRM, pack sizes average about
10 wolves in protected areas, but a few complex packs have been
substantially bigger in some areas of Yellowstone National Park (YNP)
(Smith et al. 2006, p. 243; Service et al. 2007, Tables 1-3). Packs
typically occupy large distinct territories from 518 to 1,295 square
kilometers (km\2\) (200 to 500 square miles (mi\2\)) and defend these
areas from other wolves or packs. Once a given area is occupied by
resident wolf packs, it becomes saturated and wolf numbers become
regulated by the amount of available prey, intra-species conflict,
other forms of mortality, and dispersal. Dispersing wolves may cover
large areas (See Defining the Boundaries of the NRM DPS) as they try to
join other packs or attempt to form their own pack in unoccupied
habitat (Mech and Boitani 2003, p. 11-17).
Typically, only the top-ranking (``alpha'') male and female in each
pack breed and produce pups (Packard 2003, p. 38; Smith et al. 2006,
pp. 243-4; Service et al. 2007, Tables 1-3). Females and males
typically begin breeding as 2-year-olds and may annually produce young
until they are over 10 years old. Litters are typically born in April
and range from 1 to 11 pups, but average around 5 pups (Service et al.
1989-2007, Tables 1-3). Most years, four of these five pups survive
until winter (Service et al. 1989-2007, Tables 1-3). Wolves can live 13
years (Holyan et al. 2005, p. 446), but the average lifespan in the NRM
is less than 4 years (Smith et al. 2006, p. 245). Pup production and
survival can increase when wolf density is lower and food availability
per wolf increases (Fuller et al. 2003, p. 186). Pack social structure
is very adaptable and resilient. Breeding members can be quickly
replaced either from within or outside the pack and pups can be reared
by another pack member should their parents die (Packard 2003, p. 38;
Brainerd et al. 2008; Mech 2006, p. 1482). Consequently, wolf
populations can rapidly recover from severe disruptions, such as very
high levels of human-caused mortality or disease. After severe
declines, wolf populations can more than double in just 2 years if
mortality is reduced; increases of nearly 100 percent per year have
been documented in low-density suitable habitat (Fuller et al. 2003,
pp. 181-183; Service et al. 2007, Table 4).
For detailed information on the biology of this species see the
``Biology and Ecology of Gray Wolves'' section of the April 1, 2003,
final rule to reclassify and remove the gray wolf from the list of
endangered and threatened wildlife in portions of the conterminous U.S.
(2003 Reclassification Rule) (68 FR 15804).
Previous Federal Actions
In 1974, four subspecies of gray wolf were listed as endangered,
including the NRM gray wolf (Canis lupus irremotus), the eastern timber
wolf (C.l. lycaon) in
[[Page 10515]]
the northern Great Lakes region, the Mexican wolf (C.l. baileyi) in
Mexico and the southwestern U.S., and the Texas gray wolf (C.l.
monstrabilis) of Texas and Mexico (39 FR 1171, January 4, 1974). In
1978, we published a rule (43 FR 9607, March 9, 1978) relisting the
gray wolf as endangered at the species level (C. lupus) throughout the
conterminous 48 States and Mexico, except for Minnesota, where the gray
wolf was reclassified to threatened. At that time, critical habitat was
designated in Minnesota and Isle Royale, Michigan. On February 8, 2007,
we established a Western Great Lakes (WGL) DPS and removed it from the
List of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife (72 FR 6052).
On November 22, 1994, we designated portions of Idaho, Montana, and
Wyoming as two nonessential experimental population areas for the gray
wolf under section 10(j) of the Act including the Yellowstone
Experimental Population Area (59 FR 60252, November 22, 1994) and the
Central Idaho Experimental Population Area (59 FR 60266, November 22,
1994). These designations, which are found at 50 CFR 17.40(i), assisted
us in initiating gray wolf reintroduction projects in central Idaho and
in the Greater Yellowstone Area (GYA). In 2005 and 2008, we revised
these regulations to provide increased management flexibility for this
recovered wolf population in States with Service-approved post-
delisting wolf management plans (70 FR 1286, January 6, 2005; 73 FR
4270, January 28, 2008). The revisions are at 50 CFR 17.84(n).
The NRM wolf population is a metapopulation comprised of three core
recovery areas. It has a range (wolf breeding pairs, wolf packs, and
routine dispersing wolves) that encompasses all of Idaho, most of
Montana and Wyoming, and parts of adjacent States (Service 2005, p. 1-
2). It achieved its numerical and distributional recovery goals at the
end of 2000 (Service et al. 2007, Table 4). The temporal portion of the
recovery goal was achieved in 2002 when the numerical and
distributional recovery goals were exceeded for the third successive
year (Service et al. 2007, Table 4). To meet the Act's requirements,
Idaho, Montana, and Wyoming needed to develop post-delisting wolf
management plans to ensure that adequate regulatory mechanisms would
exist should the Act's protections be removed. In 2004, the Service
determined that Montana and Idaho's laws and wolf management plans were
adequate to assure that their shares of the NRM wolf population would
be maintained above recovery levels (see Recovery section). However, we
determined the 2003 Wyoming legislation and wolf management plan
(Wyoming 2003) were not adequate to assume that Wyoming's portion of
the NRM wolf population would be maintained above recovery levels
(Williams 2004). Wyoming challenged this determination, but the Federal
District Court in Wyoming dismissed the case (360 F. Supp 2nd 1214, D.
Wyoming 2005). Wyoming appealed that decision, and on April 3, 2006,
the Tenth Circuit Court of Appeals upheld the district court decision
(442 F. 3rd 1262).
On July 19, 2005, we received a petition from the Office of the
Governor, State of Wyoming and the Wyoming Game and Fish Commission
(WGFC) to revise the listing status for the gray wolf by establishing a
NRM DPS and to remove it from the Federal List of Endangered and
Threatened Wildlife (Freudenthal 2005). On August 1, 2006, we announced
a 12-month finding that the petitioned action (delisting in all of
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming) was not warranted because the 2003 Wyoming
State law and wolf management plan did not provide the necessary
regulatory mechanisms to ensure that Wyoming's numerical and
distributional share of a recovered NRM wolf population would be
conserved (71 FR 43410). Wyoming challenged this finding in Federal
District Court (State of Wyoming, et al. v. USDOI, CA No. 06CV0245J).
Wyoming has indicated that they will deem the claims in the pending
litigation settled and will request that the court dismiss the
litigation upon publication of this final rule by February 28, 2008
(Freudenthal 2007b).
On February 8, 2007, we proposed to designate the NRM DPS of the
gray wolf and to delist all or most portions of the NRM DPS (72 FR
6106). Specifically, we proposed to delist wolves in Montana, Idaho,
and Wyoming, and parts of Washington, Oregon, and Utah. The proposal
noted that the area in northwestern Wyoming outside the National Parks
(i.e., YNP, Grand Teton National Park, and John D. Rockefeller Memorial
Parkway) would only be delisted in the final rule if adequate State
regulatory mechanisms were developed. On July 6, 2007, the Service
extended the comment period in order to consider a 2007 revised Wyoming
wolf management plan and State law that we believed, if implemented,
could allow the wolves in northwestern Wyoming to be removed from the
List of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife (72 FR 36939). On November
16, 2007, the WGFC unanimously approved the 2007 Wyoming Plan
(Cleveland 2007, p. 1). We then determined this plan provides adequate
regulatory protections to conserve Wyoming's portion of a recovered
wolf population into the foreseeable future (Hall 2007, p. 1-2). Our
determination was conditional upon the 2007 Wyoming wolf management law
being fully in effect and the wolf management plan being legally
authorized by Wyoming statutes. The plan automatically goes into effect
upon the Governor's certification to the Wyoming Secretary of State
that all of the provisions found in the 2007 Wyoming wolf management
law have been met (W.S. Sec. Sec. 23-1-101 et sec.; discussed in
further detail in Factor D below) (Freudenthal 2007b, p. 1-3).
For detailed information on previous Federal actions also see the
2003 reclassification rule (68 FR 15804, April 1, 2003), the 2006
advanced notice of proposed rulemaking (ANPR) (71 FR 6634, February 8,
2006), the 12-month finding on Wyoming's petition to delist (71 FR
43410, August 1, 2006), and the February 8, 2007, proposed rule to
designate the NRM population of gray wolf as a DPS and remove this DPS
from the List of Endangered and Threatened Wildlife (72 FR 6106).
Distinct Vertebrate Population Segment Policy Overview
Pursuant to the Act, we consider if information is sufficient to
indicate that listing any species, subspecies, or, for vertebrates, any
DPS of these taxa may be warranted. To interpret and implement the DPS
provision of the Act and congressional guidance, the Service and the
National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS) published a policy regarding
the recognition of distinct vertebrate population segments under the
Act (61 FR 4722-4725, February 7, 1996). Under this policy, three
factors are considered in a decision regarding the establishment and
listing, reclassification, or delisting of a DPS. The first two factors
determine whether the population segment is a valid DPS--(1)
discreteness of the population segment in relation to the remainder of
the taxon, and (2) the significance of the population segment to the
taxon to which it belongs. If a population meets both tests, it is a
DPS. Then the third factor, the population segment's conservation
status, is evaluated in relation to the Act's standards for listing,
delisting, or reclassification (i.e., is the DPS endangered or
threatened).
Defining the Boundaries of the NRM DPS
We defined the geographic boundaries for the area to be evaluated
for DPS status based on discreteness and
[[Page 10516]]
significance as defined by our DPS policy. The DPS policy allows an
artificial (e.g., State line) or manmade (e.g., road or highway)
boundary to be used as a boundary of convenience for clearly
identifying the geographic area for a DPS. The NRM DPS includes all of
Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming, the eastern third of Washington and
Oregon, and a small part of north central Utah. Specifically, the DPS
includes that portion of Washington east of Highway 97 and Highway 17
north of Mesa and that portion of Washington east of Highway 395 south
of Mesa. It includes that portion of Oregon east of Highway 395 and
Highway 78 north of Burns Junction and that portion of Oregon east of
Highway 95 south of Burns Junction. Finally, the NRM DPS includes that
portion of Utah east of Highway 84 and north of Highway 80. The center
of these roads is deemed the border of the NRM DPS (See Figure 1).
BILLING CODE 4310-55-P
[[Page 10517]]
[GRAPHIC] [TIFF OMITTED] TR27FE08.025
BILLING CODE 4310-55-C
One factor we considered in defining the boundaries of the NRM DPS
was the current distribution of known wolf packs in 2006 (Service et
al. 2007,
[[Page 10518]]
Figure 1) (except four packs in northwestern Wyoming that did not
persist). We also examined the annual distribution of wolf packs from
2002 (the first year the population exceeded the recovery goal) through
2006 (Service et al. 2003-2007, Figure 1; Bangs et al. in press).
Because outer distribution changed little in these years, we used the
2004 data because it had already been analyzed in the February 8, 2006
ANPR (71 FR 6634). Wolf packs have been documented in Montana, Idaho,
or Wyoming so we include these three States in the DPS.
Dispersal distances also played a key role in determining the
boundaries for the NRM DPS. We examined the known dispersal distances
of over 200 marked dispersing wolves from the NRM from 1993 through
2005 (Jimenez et al. in prep.). These data indicate that the average
dispersal distance of wolves from the NRM was about 97 km (60 mi) (Boyd
and Pletscher 1999, p. 1094; Jimenez et al. in prep; Thiessen 2007, p.
33). We determined that 300 km (190 mi), three times the average
dispersal distance, was a breakpoint in our data for unusually long-
distance dispersal out from existing wolf pack territories (Jimenez et
al. in prep., Figure 2 and 3). Only 10 wolves (none of which
subsequently bred) have dispersed farther outside the core population
areas and remained in the United States. None of these wolves returned
to the core recovery areas in Montana, Idaho, or Wyoming. Only
dispersal from the NRM wolf packs to areas within the United States was
considered in these calculations because we were trying to determine
the appropriate NRM DPS boundaries within the U.S. Dispersers to Canada
were not considered in our calculation of average dispersal distance
because the distribution of suitable habitat and wolves and level of
human persecution in Canada is significantly different than in the
U.S., potentially affecting wolf dispersal patterns. We plotted average
dispersal distance and three times the average dispersal distance from
existing wolf pack territories in the NRM. The resulting map indicated
a wide area where wolf dispersal was common enough to support
intermittent additional pack establishment from the core recovery areas
given the availability of patches of nearby suitable habitat (Service
2005, p. 1-2). Our specific data on wolf dispersal in the NRM may not
be applicable to other areas of North America (Mech and Boitani 2003,
pp. 13-16).
We also examined suitable wolf habitat in Montana, Idaho, and
Wyoming (Oakleaf et al. 2006, pp. 555-558) and throughout the western
U.S. (Carroll et al. 2003, p. 538; Carroll et al. 2006, pp. 27-30) by
comparing the biological and physical characteristics of areas
currently occupied by wolf packs with the characteristics of adjacent
areas that remain unoccupied by wolf packs. The basic findings and
predictions of those models (Carroll et al. 2003, p. 541; Carroll et
al. 2006, p. 32; Oakleaf et al. 2006, p. 559) were similar in many
respects. Suitable wolf habitat in the NRM DPS is typically
characterized by public land, mountainous forested habitat, abundant
year-round wild ungulate populations, lower road density, lower numbers
of domestic livestock that were only present seasonally, few domestic
sheep (Ovis sp.), low agricultural use, and low human populations (see
Factor A). The models indicate that a large block of suitable wolf
habitat exists in central Idaho and the GYA, and to a smaller extent in
northwestern Montana. These findings support the recommendations of the
1987 wolf recovery plan (Service 1987) that identified those three
areas as the most likely locations to support a recovered wolf
population and are consistent with the actual distribution of all wolf
breeding pairs in the NRM since 1986 (Bangs et al. 1998, Figure 1;
Service et al. 1999-2007, Figures 1-4, Tables 1-3). The models indicate
little habitat is suitable to support wolf packs within the portion of
the NRM DPS in eastern Montana, southern Idaho, eastern Wyoming,
Washington, Oregon, or northcentral Utah (See Factor A).
Unsuitable habitat also was important in determining the boundaries
of the NRM DPS. Model predictions by Oakleaf et al. (2006, p. 559) and
Carroll et al. (2003, pp. 540-541; 2006, p. 27) and our observations
during the past 20 years (Bangs et al. 2004, p. 93; Service et al.
2007, Figures 1-4, Table 4) indicate that non-forested rangeland and
croplands associated with intensive agricultural use (prairie and high
desert) preclude wolf pack establishment and persistence. This
unsuitability is due to high rates of wolf mortality, high densities of
livestock compared to wild ungulates, chronic conflict with livestock
and pets, local cultural intolerance of large predators, and wolf
behavioral characteristics that make them vulnerable to human-caused
mortality in open landscapes (See Factor A). We looked at the
distribution of large expanses of unsuitable habitat that would form a
broad boundary separating the NRM DPS from both the southwestern and
midwestern wolf populations and from the core of any other possible
wolf population that might develop in the foreseeable future in the
western U.S.
We included the eastern parts of Washington and Oregon and a small
portion of north central Utah within the NRM DPS, because--(1) These
areas are within 97 to 300 km (60 to 190 mi) from the core wolf
population and routinely used by dispersing wolves; (2) lone dispersing
wolves have been documented in these areas more than once in recent
times (Jimenez et al. in prep.); (3) these areas contain some suitable
habitat (see Factor A); and (4) the potential for connectivity exists
between the relatively small and fragmented patches of suitable habitat
in these areas with larger blocks of suitable habitat in the NRM DPS.
If wolf breeding pairs establish in these areas, habitat suitability
models suggest these nearby areas would likely be more connected to the
core recovery areas in central Idaho and northwestern Wyoming than to
any future wolf populations that might become established in other
large blocks of potentially suitable habitat farther beyond the NRM DPS
border. As noted earlier, large swaths of unsuitable habitat would
isolate any wolf breeding pairs within the NRM DPS from other large
patches of suitable habitat to the west or south (Carroll et al. 2003,
p. 541).
Although we have received reports of individual wolves and wolf
packs in the North Cascades of Washington (Almack and Fitkin 1998, pp.
7-13), agency efforts to confirm them were unsuccessful and to date no
individual wolves or packs have been confirmed there (Boyd and
Pletscher 1999, p. 1096; Jimenez et al. in prep.). Intervening
unsuitable habitat makes it highly unlikely that wolves from the NRM
DPS have dispersed to the North Cascades in recent history. However, if
wolves dispersed into this area, they would remain protected by the Act
as endangered because it is outside of the NRM DPS.
We include all of Wyoming, Montana, and Idaho in the NRM DPS
because (1) their State regulatory frameworks apply Statewide; and (2)
expanding the DPS beyond a 300 km (190 mi) band of likely dispersal
distances to include extreme eastern Montana and Wyoming adds only
unsuitable habitat and does not affect the distinctness of the NRM DPS.
Although including all of Wyoming in the NRM DPS results in including
portions of the Sierra Madre, the Snowy, and the Laramie Ranges, we do
not consider these areas to be suitable wolf habitat because of their
size, shape, and distance from a strong source of dispersing wolves.
Oakleaf et al. (2006,
[[Page 10519]]
pp. 558-559) chose not to analyze these areas of southeast Wyoming
because they are fairly intensively used by livestock and are
surrounded with, and interspersed by, private land, making pack
establishment and persistence unlikely. While Carroll et al. (2003, p.
541; 2006, p. 32) optimistically predicted these areas were suitable
habitat, the model predicted that under current conditions these areas
were largely sink habitat and that by 2025 (within the foreseeable
future) they were likely to be ranked as low occupancy because of human
population growth and road development.
We chose not to extend the NRM DPS border east beyond Montana and
Wyoming, because those adjacent portions of North Dakota, South Dakota,
and Nebraska are far outside the predicted routine dispersal range of
gray wolves from the NRM. In addition, the available information on
potentially suitable habitat indicates that Colorado and additional
areas of Utah to the south and west of the NRM DPS include large areas
of potentially suitable but unoccupied habitat (Carroll et al. 2003, p.
541). The current distribution of wolf packs in the NRM wolf population
encompasses most of the suitable habitat, that area is surrounded by
unsuitable habitat, and the nearest other blocks of suitable habitat
are far beyond the expected dispersal distance of wolves that might
form new breeding pairs. Therefore, we concluded that a smaller NRM DPS
that contains the core recovery areas and the adjacent areas of largely
unsuitable habitat where routine wolf dispersal could be expected, but
that excludes contiguous blocks of potentially suitable habitat to the
west and south that are outside the routine wolf dispersal area is
representative of the current and future status of the existing NRM
wolf population and consistent with our DPS policy.
Analysis for Discreteness
Under the DPS policy, a population segment of a vertebrate taxon
may be considered discrete if it satisfies either one of the following
conditions--(1) Is markedly separated from other populations of the
same taxon as a consequence of physical, physiological, ecological, or
behavioral factors (quantitative measures of genetic or morphological
discontinuity may provide evidence of this separation); or (2) is
delimited by international governmental boundaries within which
differences in control of exploitation, management of habitat,
conservation status, or regulatory mechanisms exist that are
significant in light of section 4(a)(1)(D) of the Act.
Markedly Separated from Other Populations of the Taxon--The eastern
edge of the NRM DPS (Figure 1) is about 644 km (400 mi) from the
western edge of the WGL DPS core wolf population (eastern Minnesota)
and is separated from it by hundreds of miles of unsuitable habitat
(see Factor A). The southern edge of the NRM DPS border is about 724 km
(450 mi) from the nonessential experimental populations of wolves in
the southwestern U.S. with vast amounts of unoccupied marginal or
unsuitable habitat separating them. No wild wolves have been confirmed
west of the NRM DPS boundary (although occasionally we get unconfirmed
reports and 2 wolves were killed close to that boundary). While one
dispersing wolf was confirmed east and one south of the NRM DPS
boundary, no wolf packs have ever been found there. No wolves from
other U.S. wolf populations are known to have dispersed as far as the
NRM DPS.
Although wolves can disperse over 1,092 km (680 mi) (with actual
travel distances exceeding 10,000 km (6,000 mi)) (Fritts 1983, pp. 166-
167; Ream et al. 1991, pp. 351-352; Boyd and Pletscher 1999, p. 1094;
Missouri Department of Conservation 2001, pp. 1-2; Jimenez et al. in
prep.; Wabakken et al. 2007, p. 1631), the average dispersal of NRM
wolves is about 97 km (60 mi) (Boyd and Pletscher 1999, p. 1100;
Jimenez et al. in prep.; Thiessen 2007, p. 72). Only 10 of over 200
confirmed NRM wolf dispersal events from 1992 through 2005 have been
over 300 km (190 mi) and outside the core recovery areas (Boyd and
Pletscher. 1999, p. 1094; Jimenez et al. in prep.). Undoubtedly many
other dispersal events have occurred but not been detected because only
30 percent of the NRM wolf population has been radio-collared. All but
two of these known U.S. long-distance dispersers remained within the
NRM DPS. None of them found mates or survived long enough to form packs
or breed in the U.S. (Jimenez et al. in prep.).
The first wolf confirmed to have dispersed (within the U.S.) beyond
the border of the NRM DPS was killed by a vehicle collision along
Interstate 70 in north-central Colorado in spring 2004. Video footage
of a black wolf-like canid taken near Walden in northern Colorado in
early 2006, suggests another dispersing wolf may have traveled into
Colorado. The subsequent status or location of that animal is unknown.
Finally, in spring 2006, the carcass of a male black wolf was found
along Interstate 90 in western South Dakota. Genetic testing confirmed
it was a wolf that had dispersed from the GYA. We expect that
occasional lone wolves will continue to disperse between and beyond the
core recovery areas in Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming, as well as into
States adjacent to the NRM DPS. However, pack development and
persistence outside the NRM DPS is unlikely because wolves that
disperse as individuals typically have low survival (Pletscher et al.
1997, p. 459) and suitable habitat is limited and distant (Carroll et
al. 2003, p. 541) from the NRM DPS.
No connectivity currently exists between the NRM, WGL, and
Southwestern gray wolf populations, nor are there any resident wolf
packs in intervening areas. While it is theoretically possible that a
lone wolf might traverse over 644 km (400 mi) from one population to
the other, movement between these populations has never been documented
and is extremely unlikely because of both the distance and the large
areas of unsuitable habitat between the populations. Furthermore, the
DPS policy does not require complete separation of one DPS from other
populations, but instead requires some ``marked separation.'' Thus, if
occasional individual wolves or packs disperse among populations, the
NRM DPS could still display the required discreteness. Based on the
information presented above, we have determined that NRM gray wolves
are markedly separated from all other gray wolf populations in the U.S.
Differences Among U.S. and Canadian Wolf Populations--The DPS
policy allows us to use international borders to delineate the
boundaries of a DPS if there are differences in control of
exploitation, conservation status, or regulatory mechanisms between the
countries. Significant differences exist in management between U.S. and
Canadian wolf populations. About 52,000 to 60,000 wolves occur in
Canada, where suitable habitat is abundant (Boitani 2003, p. 322).
Because of this abundance, wolves in Canada are not protected by
Federal laws and are only minimally protected in most Canadian
provinces (Pletscher et al. 1991, p. 546). In the U.S., unlike Canada,
Federal protection and intensive management has been necessary to
recover the wolf (Carbyn 1983). When delisted, States in the NRM DPS
would carefully monitor and manage to retain populations above the
recovery goal (see Factor D). Therefore, we will continue to use the
U.S.-Canada border to mark the northern boundary of the NRM DPS due to
the difference in control of exploitation, conservation
[[Page 10520]]
status, and regulatory mechanisms between the two countries.
Analysis for Significance
If we determine that a population segment is discrete, we next
consider available scientific evidence of its significance to the taxon
to which it belongs. Our DPS policy states that this consideration may
include, but is not limited to, the following factors: (1) Persistence
of the discrete population segment in an ecological setting unusual or
unique for the taxon; (2) evidence that loss of the discrete population
segment would result in a significant gap in the range of the taxon;
(3) evidence that the discrete population segment represents the only
surviving natural occurrence of a taxon that may be more abundant
elsewhere as an introduced population outside its historic range; and/
or (4) evidence that the discrete population segment differs markedly
from other populations of the species in its genetic characteristics.
Below we address factors 1 and 2. Factors 3 and 4 do not apply to the
NRM DPS and thus are not included in our analysis for significance.
Unusual or Unique Ecological Setting--Within the range of holarctic
wolves, the NRM has among the highest diversity of large predators and
native ungulate prey species, resulting in complex ecological
interaction between the ungulate prey, predator and scavenger groups,
and vegetation (Smith et al. 2003, p. 331). In the NRM DPS, gray wolves
share habitats with black bears (Ursus americanus), grizzly bears
(U.arctos horribilis), cougars (Felis concolor), lynx (Lynx
canadensis), wolverine (Gulo gulo), coyotes (Canis latrans), foxes
(Vulpes vulpes), badgers (Taxidea taxus), bobcats (Felis rufus), fisher
(Martes pennanti), and marten (Martes americana). The unique and
diverse assemblage of native prey include elk (Cervus canadensis), mule
deer (Odocoileus hemionus), white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus),
moose (Alces alces), woodland caribou (Rangifer caribou), bighorn sheep
(Ovis canadensis), mountain goats (Oreamnos americanus), pronghorn
antelope (Antilocapra americana), bison (Bison bison) (only in the
GYA), and beaver (Castor canadensis). This complexity leads to unique
dramatic and unique ecological cascades in pristine areas, such as in
YNP. While these effects likely still occur at varying degrees
elsewhere, they are increasingly modified and subtle the more an area
is affected by humans (Smith et al. 2003, pp. 334-338; Robbins 2004,
pp. 80-81; Campbell et al. 2006, pp. 747-753; Hebblewhite et al. 2005,
p. 2135; Garrott et al. 2005, p. 1245). For example, wolves appear to
be changing elk behavior and elk relationships and competition with
other native ungulates in YNP. These complex interactions may increase
streamside willow production and survival (Ripple and Beschta 2004, p.
755), that in turn can affect beaver and nesting by riparian birds
(Nievelt 2001, p. 1). This suspected pattern of wolf-caused changes
also may be occurring with scavengers, whereby wolf predation is
providing a year-round source of food for a diverse variety of carrion
feeders (Wilmers et al. 2003, p. 996; Wilmers and Getz 2005, p. 571).
The wolf population in the NRM has extended the southern range of the
contiguous gray wolf population in western North America nearly 400
miles (640 km) into a much more diverse, ecologically complex, and
unique assemblage of species than is found elsewhere within occupied
wolf habitat in most of the northern hemisphere.
Significant Gap in the Range of the Taxon--Wolves once lived
throughout most of North America. Wolves have been extirpated from most
of the southern portions of their historic North American range. The
loss of the NRM wolf population would represent a significant gap in
the species' holarctic range in that this loss would create a 15-degree
latitudinal or over 1,600-km (1,000-mi) gap across the Rocky Mountains
between the Mexican wolf and wolves in Canada. If this potential gap
were realized, substantial cascading ecological impacts, such as
behavioral changes in elk that reduced browsing pressure and allowed
increased willow growth in riparian areas that can then support beaver
or nesting song birds, would occur in the NRM, most noticeably in the
most pristine and wildest areas (Smith et al. 2003, pp. 334-338;
Robbins 2004, pp. 80-81; Campbell et al. 2006, pp. 747-753; Hebblewhite
and Smith in press, p. 1-6).
Given the wolf's historic occupancy of the conterminous U.S. and
the portion of the historic range the conterminous U.S. represents,
recovery in the lower 48 States has long been viewed as important to
the taxon (39 FR 1171, January 4, 1974; 43 FR 9607, March 9, 1978). The
NRM DPS is significant in achieving this objective, as it is 1 of only
3 populations of wolves in the lower 48 States and currently
constitutes nearly 25 percent of all wolves in the lower 48 States.
We conclude, based on our analysis of the best available scientific
information, that the NRM DPS is significant to the taxon in that NRM
wolves exist in a unique ecological setting and their loss would
represent a significant gap in the range of the taxon. Therefore, the
NRM DPS meets the criterion of significance under our DPS policy.
Because the NRM gray wolf population is both discrete and significant,
it is a valid DPS. The conservation status of the DPS is discussed
below (see Summary of Factors Affecting the Species section).
Recovery
Recovery Planning and the Selection of Recovery Criteria--Shortly
after listing we formed the interagency wolf recovery team to complete
a recovery plan for the NRM population (Service 1980, p. i; Fritts et
al. 1995, p. 111). The NRM Wolf Recovery Plan (recovery plan) was
approved in 1980 (Service 1980, p. i) and revised in 1987 (Service
1987, p. i). Recovery plans are not regulatory documents and are
instead intended to provide guidance to the Service, States, and other
partners on methods of minimizing threats to listed species and on
criteria that may be used to determine when recovery is achieved. There
are many paths to accomplishing recovery of a species and recovery may
be achieved without all criteria being fully met. For example, one or
more criteria may have been exceeded while other criteria may not have
been accomplished. In that instance, the Service may judge that the
threats have been minimized sufficiently, and the species is robust
enough to reclassify from endangered to threatened or to delist. In
other cases, recovery opportunities may have been recognized that were
not known at the time the recovery plan was finalized. These
opportunities may be used instead of methods identified in the recovery
plan. Likewise, information on the species may be learned that was not
known at the time the recovery plan was finalized. The new information
may change the extent that criteria need to be met for recognizing
recovery of the species. Recovery of a species is a dynamic process
requiring adaptive management that may, or may not, fully follow the
guidance provided in a recovery plan.
The 1980 recovery plan's objective was to re-establish and maintain
viable populations of the NRM wolf (Canis lupus irremotus) in its
former range where feasible (Service 1980, p. iii). The revised
recovery plan (Service 1987, p. 57) specifies a recovery criterion of a
minimum of 10 breeding pairs of wolves (defined as 2 wolves of opposite
sex and adequate age, capable of producing offspring) for a minimum of
3 successive years in each of 3 core recovery areas--(1) Northwestern
[[Page 10521]]
Montana (Glacier National Park; the Great Bear, Bob Marshall, and
Lincoln Scapegoat Wilderness Areas; and adjacent public and private
lands), (2) central Idaho (Selway-Bitterroot, Gospel Hump, Frank Church
River of No Return, and Sawtooth Wilderness Areas; and adjacent, mostly
Federal, lands), and (3) the YNP area (including the Absaroka-
Beartooth, North Absaroka, Washakie, and Teton Wilderness Areas; and
adjacent public and private lands). That plan recommended that wolf
establishment not be promoted outside these distinct recovery areas,
but that connectivity between them be encouraged. However, no attempts
were made to prevent wolf pack establishment outside of the recovery
areas unless chronic conflict required resolution (Service 1994, p. 1-
15, 16; Service 1999; p. 2). The recovery plan states that if 2
recovery areas maintain a minimum of 10 breeding pairs for 3 successive
years, the gray wolves in the NRM can be reclassified to threatened
status, and if all 3 recovery areas maintain a minimum of 10 breeding
pairs for 3 successive years, then the NRM wolf population can be
considered fully recovered and can be considered for delisting.
The 1994 environmental impact statement (EIS) on wolf
reintroduction reviewed wolf recovery in the NRM and the adequacy of
the recovery goals because we were concerned that the 1987 goals might
be insufficient (Service 1994, pp. 6:68-78). The Service conducted a
thorough literature review of wolf population viability analysis and
minimum viable populations, reviewed the recovery goals for other wolf
populations, surveyed the opinions of 43 wolf experts, of which 25
responded, and incorporated our own expertise into a review of the NRM
wolf recovery goal. We published our analysis in the Service's EIS and
in a peer-reviewed paper (Service 1994, Appendix 8 & 9; Fritts and
Carbyn 1995, p. 26-38). Our analysis concluded that the 1987 recovery
goal was, at best, a minimum recovery goal, and that modifications were
warranted on the basis of more recent information about wolf
distribution, connectivity, and numbers. We agree with Fritts and
Carbyn (1995, p. 26) that ``Data on survival of actual wolf populations
suggest greater resiliency than indicated by theory'' and theoretical
treatments of population viability ``have created unnecessary dilemmas
for wolf recovery programs by overstating the required population
size''. Based on our analysis and peer review comments, we concluded
that ``Thirty or more breeding pairs comprising some 300+ wolves in a
metapopulation (a population that exists as partially isolated sets of
subpopulations) with genetic exchange between subpopulations should
have a high probability of long-term persistence'' because such a
population would contain enough individuals in successfully reproducing
packs distributed over distinct but somewhat connected large areas to
be viable for the long term (Service 1994, pp. 6:75). A population at
or above this size would contain at least 30 successfully reproducing
packs and ample individuals to ensure long-term population viability.
In addition the metapopulation configuration and distribution
throughout secure suitable habitat would ensure that each core recovery
area would provide a recovered population that would be distributed
over a large enough area to provide resilience to natural or man-caused
events that may temporarily affect one core recovery area. No wolf
population of this size and distribution has gone extinct in recent
history unless it was deliberately eradicated by humans (Boitani 2003,
321-331). We further determined that a metapopulation of this size and
distribution among the three core recovery areas within the area we now
identify as the NRM DPS would result in a wolf population that would
fully achieve our recovery objectives.
We conducted another review of what constitutes a recovered wolf
population in late 2001 and early 2002 to reevaluate and update our
1994 analysis and conclusions (Service 1994, Appendix 9). We surveyed
86 biologists, of which 50 responded, with expertise in wolves and
population viability from North America and Europe for their
professional opinions regarding a wide range of issues related to the
NRM recovery goal. We also reviewed a wide range of literature,
including wolf population viability analysis from other areas (Bangs
2002, p. 1-9). Despite varied professional opinions and a great
diversity of suggestions, experts overwhelmingly thought the recovery
goal derived in our 1994 analysis was more biologically appropriate
than the 1987 recovery plan's criteria for recovery and represented a
viable and recovered wolf population. Reviewers also thought
connectivity (either natural or human-facilitated) was important to
maintaining the metapopulation configuration and wolf population
viability. Reviewers also recommended other concepts/numbers for
recovery goals but most were slight modifications to those we
recommended in our 1994 analysis. While experts strongly (78%)
supported our 1994 conclusions that a metapopulation of at least 30
breeding pairs and at least 300 wolves would provide for a viable wolf
population, they also concluded that wolf population viability was
enhanced by higher (500 or more wolves) rather than lower population
levels (300) and longer (more than 3 years) rather than shorter (3
years) demonstrated time frames. The more numerous and widely
distributed a species is, the higher its probability of population
viability will be. However, the Act requires us to ensure a species is
no longer threatened or endangered not that its viability would be
theoretically maximized. A wolf metapopulation of at least 30 breeding
pairs and at least 300 wolves ensures it will remain viable and
recovered. A slight majority indicated that the 1987 recovery goal, of
only 10 breeding pairs (defined as a male and female capable of
breeding) in each of three distinct recovery areas, may be viable,
given the persistence of other small wolf populations in other parts of
the world. The results of previous population viability analysis for
other wolf populations varied widely, and similar to our 1994 analysis,
reviewers concluded that theoretical results were strongly dependent on
the variables and assumptions used in such models and conclusions often
predicted different outcomes than actual empirical data had
conclusively demonstrated. Based on that review, we reaffirmed our more
relevant and stringent 1994 definition of wolf breeding pairs,
population viability, and recovery (Service 1994, p. 6:75).
We measure the wolf recovery goal by the number of breeding pairs
because wolf populations are maintained by packs that successfully
raise pups. We use ``breeding pairs'' to describe successfully
reproducing packs (Service 1994, pp. 6:67; Bangs 2002, p. 7-8; Mitchell
et al. in press). Breeding pairs are only measured in winter because
most wolf mortality occurs in spring/summer/fall and winter is the
beginning of the annual courtship and breeding season for wolves. Often
we do not know if the specific pack actually contains an adult male,
adult female, and two pups in winter; however, pack size has proven to
have a strong correlation with breeding pair status and by simply
knowing the size of wolf packs in mid-winter we can reliably estimate
the number of breeding pairs (Ausband 2006; Mitchell et al. in press).
In the future, the States will be able to use pack size in winter as a
surrogate to reliably identify each pack's
[[Page 10522]]
contribution toward meeting our breeding pair recovery criteria and to
better predict the effect of managing for certain pack sizes on wolf
population recovery.
We have also determined that an essential part of achieving
recovery is an equitable distribution of wolf breeding pairs and
individual wolves among the three States and the three core recovery
areas. A wolf metapopulation that is equitably distributed among the
three core recovery areas provides each area with enough successfully
reproducing packs and individuals to withstand any threats to it and to
allow for local adaptation to the ecological conditions within each
area (e.g., bison in the GYA, white-tailed deer in northwestern
Montana, or steep terrain of central Idaho). In addition, a minimum
number of successfully reproducing packs and individual wolves in each
core recovery area ensures a consistent strong source of dispersing
individuals between and among the three recovery areas to consistently
occupy suitable habitat, form new or join existing packs, and provide
the opportunity for genetic and demographic mixing within the
population to maintain its viability and resilience. Like peer
reviewers in 1994 and 2002, we concluded that NRM wolf recovery and
long-term wolf population viability is dependent on its distribution as
well as maintaining the minimum numbers of breeding pairs and wolves.
While uniform distribution is not necessary, a well-distributed
population with no one State/recovery area maintaining a
disproportionately low number of packs or number of individual wolves
is needed to maintain wolf distribution in and adjacent to core
recovery areas and other suitable habitat throughout the NRM.
Following the 2002 review, we began to use States, in addition to
recovery areas, to measure progress toward recovery goals (Service et
al. 2003-2007, Table 4). Because Montana, Idaho, and Wyoming each
contain the vast majority of one of the original three core recovery
areas, we determined the metapopulation structure would be conserved by
equally dividing the overall recovery goal between the three States.
This approach made each State's responsibility for wolf conservation
fair, consistent, and clear. It avoided any possible confusion that one
State might assume all of the responsibility for maintaining the
required number of wolves and wolf breeding pairs in a shared core
recovery area. State regulatory authorities and traditional management
of resident game populations occur on a State-by-State basis.
Management by State would still maintain a robust wolf population in
each core recovery area because they each contain manmade or natural
refugia from high levels of human-caused mortality (e.g., National
Parks, wilderness areas, and remote Federal lands) that guarantee those
areas remain the stronghold for wolf breeding pairs and source of
dispersing wolves in each State.
Recovery targets by State promote connectivity and genetic exchange
between the metapopulation segments by avoiding management that focuses
solely on wolf breeding pairs in relatively distinct core recovery
areas and promote a minimum level of potential natural dispersal to and
from each population segment. This approach also will increase the
numbers of potential wolf breeding pairs in the GYA because it is
shared by all three States. Wyoming alone has committed to maintain at
least 15 breeding pairs (with at least 7 of those breeding pairs
outside the National Parks) and 150 wolves, so wolves in the Montana
and Idaho portion of the GYA would be in addition to those required to
exceed minimal recovery area levels. A large and well-distributed
population within the GYA is especially important because it is the
most isolated core recovery area within the NRM DPS (Oakleaf et al.
2006, p. 554; vonHoldt et al. 2007, p. 19).
The numerical component of the recovery goal represents the minimum
number of breeding pairs and wolves needed to achieve recovery. To
ensure that the NRM wolf population continues to exceed the recovery
goal of 30 breeding pairs and 300 wolves, Montana (2003), Idaho (2002;
2007), and Wyoming (2007) have committed to manage for at least 15
breeding pairs and at least 150 wolves per State in mid-winter and
maintain its metapopulation structure. Because the recovery goal
components are measured in mid-winter when the wolf population is near
its annual low point, the average annual wolf population will be much
higher than these minimal goals. At this point in time, it is unknown
how many wolves and breeding pairs will ultimately result from
implementation of the State management plans except that each State
plan's management objectives assure that the NRM DPS will certainly be
well over a combined total of 45 breeding pairs and 450 wolves. Each
State has committed to manage for at least 150 wolves and 15 breeding
pairs by regulating human-caused mortality. If each of the States
managed to have only 15 breeding pairs and 150 wolves (which is
extremely unlikely since each would have to be at their lowest
allowable level at the same time and wolves will still also be present
in National Parks, wilderness areas, and remote public lands where
sharp reductions in wolf numbers are unlikely), then 45 breeding pairs
would likely result in more than 450 wolves. Service data since 1986
indicate that, within the NRM DPS, each breeding pair has corresponded
to 14 wolves in mid-winter (Service et al. 2007, Table 4).
These goals were designed to provide the NRM gray wolf population
with sufficient representation, resilience, and redundancy for its
long-term conservation (See Summary of Threats Analysis section for
details). We have expended considerable effort to develop, repeatedly
re-evaluate, and when necessary modify, the recovery goals (Service
1987, p. 12; Service 1994, Appendix 8 and 9; Fritts and Carbyn 1995, p.
26; Bangs 2002, p. 1). After evaluating all available information, we
conclude the best scientific and commercial data available continues to
support the ability of these recovery goals to ensure the population
does not again become in danger of extinction.
Monitoring and Managing Recovery--In 1989, we formed an Interagency
Wolf Working Group (Working Group) composed of Federal, State, and
Tribal agency personnel (Bangs 1991, p. 7; Fritts et al. 1995, p. 109;
Service et al. 1989-2007, p. 1). The Working Group conducted four basic
recovery tasks (Service et al. 1989-2007, p. 1-2), in addition to the
standard enforcement functions associated with the take of a listed
species. These tasks were: (1) Monitor wolf distribution and numbers;
(2) control wolves that attacked livestock by moving them, conducting
other non-lethal measures, or killing them (Bangs et al. 2006, p. 7);
(3) conduct research and publish scientific publications on wolf
relationships to ungulate prey, other carnivores and scavengers,
livestock, and people; and (4) provide accurate science-based
information to the public and mass media so that people could develop
their opinions about wolves and wolf management from an informed
perspective.
The size and distribution of the NRM wolf population is estimated
by the Working Group each year and, along with other information, is
published in an interagency annual report (Service et al. 1989-2007,
Table 4, Figure 1). Since the early 1980s, the Service and our
cooperating partners have radio-collared and monitored over 940 wolves
in the NRM to assess population status, conduct research, and to
reduce/resolve conflict with livestock. The Working
[[Page 10523]]
Group's annual population estimates represent the best scientific and
commercial data available regarding year-end NRM gray wolf population
size and trends, as well as distributional and other information.
Recovery by State--At the end of 2000, the NRM population first met
its overall numerical and distributional recovery goal of a minimum of
30 breeding pairs and over 300 wolves well-distributed among Montana,
Idaho, and Wyoming (Service et al. 2001, Table 4; 68 FR 15804, April 1,
2003). This minimum recovery goal was exceeded every year since 2000
(Service et al. 2002-2007, Table 4; Service 2007a). Because the
recovery goal must be achieved for 3 consecutive years, the temporal
element of recovery was not achieved until the end of 2002 when 663
wolves and 49 breeding pairs were present (Service et al. 2003, Table
4). At the end of 2007, the NRM wolf population achieved its numerical
and distributional recovery goal for 8 consecutive years (68 FR 15804,
April 1, 2003; 71 FR 6634, February 8, 2006; Service et al. 2001-2007,
Table 4; Service 2007a).
For the State-by-State recovery goals, Idaho and Wyoming first
achieved the minimum recovery goal of 10 breeding pairs and 100 wolves
in 2000, and Montana first achieved them in 2002. All three States have
met or exceeded this goal every year since it was first achieved. In
late 2007, preliminary estimates indicate there are 394 wolves in 37
breeding pairs in Montana, 788 wolves in 41 breeding pairs in Idaho,
and 362 wolves in 27 breeding pairs in Wyoming for about 1,545 wolves
in 105 potential breeding pairs in the NRM wolf population (Service
2007a). The NRM wolf population increased about 24 percent annually
from 1995 to 2006 (Service et al. 2007, Table 4). Figure 2 illustrates
wolf population trends by State from 1979 to 2006.
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As discussed previously, after the 2002 peer review of the wolf
recovery efforts, we began using States, in addition to recovery areas,
to measure progress toward recovery goals (Service et al. 2003-2007,
Table 4). However, because the original recovery plan included goals
for core recovery areas we have included the following discussion on
the history of the recovery efforts and status of these core recovery
areas, including how the wolf population's distribution and
metapopulation structure is important to maintaining its viability and
how the biological characteristics of each core recovery area differ
(Service et al. 2007, Table 4).
Recovery in the Northwestern Montana Recovery Area-- The
Northwestern Montana Recovery Area's 84,800 km\2\ (33,386 mi\2\)
includes: Glacier National Park; the Great Bear, Bob Marshall, and
Lincoln Scapegoat Wilderness Areas; and adjacent public and private
lands in northern Montana and the northern Idaho panhandle. Wolves
there are listed as endangered.
[[Page 10525]]
Reproduction first occurred in northwestern Montana in 1986 (Ream et
al. 1989). The natural ability of wolves to find and quickly recolonize
empty habitat (Mech and Boitani 2003, p. 17-19), the interim control
plan (Service 1988, 1999), and the interagency recovery program
combined to effectively promote an increase in wolf numbers (Bangs
1991, p.7-13). By 1996, the number of wolves had grown to about 70
wolves in 7 known breeding pairs. However, since 1997, the estimated
number of breeding pairs and wolves has fluctuated, partly due to
actual population size and partly due to monitoring effort. It varied
from 4 to 12 breeding pairs and from 49 to 171 wolves (Service et al.
2007, Table 4) but generally increased. In 2007, we estimated 214
wolves in 24 breeding pairs in the northwestern Montana recovery area
(Service 2007a).
The Northwestern Montana Recovery Area has sustained fewer wolves
than the other recovery areas because there is less suitable habitat
and it is more fragmented (Oakleaf et al. 2006. p. 560). Some of the
variation in our wolf population estimates for northwestern Montana is
due to the difficulty of counting wolves in the areas' thick forests.
Wolves in northwestern Montana also prey mainly on white-tailed deer,
resulting in smaller packs and territories, which makes packs more
difficult to detect (Bangs et al. 1998, p. 878). Increased monitoring
efforts in northwestern Montana by Montana Fish, Wildlife and Parks
(MFWP) since 2005 were likely responsible for some of the higher
population estimates. Wolf numbers in 2003 and 2004 also likely
exceeded 10 breeding pairs and 100 wolves but were not documented
simply due to less intensive monitoring those years (Service et al.
2007, Table 4; Service 2007a). Wolf numbers in northwestern Montana
have exceeded 100 wolves and 10 breeding pairs for at least the past 3
years, and probably the last 6 years (Service et al. 2007, Table 4).
Routine dispersal of wolves has been documented among northwestern
Montana, central Idaho, and adjacent Canadian populations,
demonstrating that northwestern Montana's wolves are demographically
and genetically linked to both the wolf population in Canada and in
central Idaho (Pletscher et al. 1991, pp. 547-8; Boyd and Pletscher
1999, pp. 1105-1106; Sime 2007, p. 4; Jimenez et al. in prep.). Because
of fairly contiguous but fractured suitable habitat, wolves dispersing
into northwestern Montana from both directions will continue to join or
form new packs and supplement this portion of the overall NRM wolf
population (Boyd et al. 1995, p. 140; Forbes and Boyd 1996, p. 1082;
Forbes and Boyd 1997, p. 1226; Jimenez et al. in prep; vonHoldt et al.
2007, p. 19; Thiessen 2007, p. 50; Sime 2007, p. 4).
Unlike YNP or the central Idaho Wilderness complex, northwestern
Montana lacks a large core refugium that contains large numbers of
overwintering wild ungulates and few livestock. Therefore, wolf numbers
may not ever be as high in northwestern Montana as they are in the
Central Idaho or GYA core recovery areas. However, this portion of the
NRM DPS has persisted for nearly 20 years, is robust today, and habitat
there is capable of supporting 200 wolves (Service et al. 2007, Table
4). State management, pursuant to the Montana State wolf management
plan (2003), will ensure this portion of the NRM DPS continues to
thrive (see Factor D).
Recovery in the Central Idaho Recovery Area--The Central Idaho
Recovery Area's 53,600 km\2\ (20,700 mi\2\) includes: The Selway
Bitterroot, Gospel Hump, Frank Church River of No Return, and Sawtooth
Wilderness Areas; adjacent, mostly Federal lands, in central Idaho; and
adjacent parts of southwest Montana (Service 1994, p. iv). In January
1995, 15 young adult wolves from Alberta, Canada were released in
central Idaho (Bangs and Fritts 1996, p. 409; Fritts et al. 1997, p.
7). In January 1996, an additional 20 wolves from British Columbia were
released (Bangs et al. 1998, p. 787). Central Idaho contains the
greatest amount of highly suitable wolf habitat compared to either
northwestern Montana or the GYA (Oakleaf et al. 2006, p. 559).
Consequently, the central Idaho area population has grown continuously
and expanded its range since reintroduction. As in the Northwestern
Montana Recovery Area, some of the Central Idaho Recovery Area's
increase in its wolf population estimate was due to an increased
monitoring effort by Idaho Department of Fish and Game (IDFG). By 2007,
we estimated 885 wolves in 48 potential breeding pairs in the central
Idaho recovery area (Service 2007a). This marks ten successive years
(1998-2007) that this recovery area contained at least 10 breeding pair
and 100 wolves (Service et al. 2007; Service 2007a).
Recovery in the GYA--The GYA Recovery Area (63,700 km\2\ [24,600
mi\2\]) includes: YNP; the Absaroka Beartooth, North Absaroka,
Washakie, and Teton Wilderness Areas (the National Park/Wilderness
units); adjacent public and private lands in Wyoming; and adjacent
parts of Idaho and Montana (Service 1994, p. iv). The wilderness
portions of the GYA are only seasonally used by wolves due to high
elevation, deep snow, and low productivity in terms of sustaining year-
round wild ungulate populations (Service et al. 2007, Figure 3). In
1995, 14 wolves representing 3 family groups from Alberta were released
in YNP (Bangs and Fritts 1996, p. 409; Fritts et al. 1997, p. 7;
Phillips and Smith 1996, pp. 33-43). In 1996, this procedure was
repeated with 17 wolves representing 4 family groups from British
Columbia. Finally, 10 five-month-old pups removed from northwestern
Montana were released in YNP in the spring of 1997 (Bangs et al. 1998,
p. 787). Only 2 survived past 9 months but both became breeding adults.
By 2007, we estimated 455 wolves in 34 potential breeding pairs in the
GYA (Service 2007a). This marks eight successive years (2000-2007) that
this recovery area contained at least 10 breeding pair and 100 wolves
(Service et al. 2007; Service 2007a).
Wolf numbers in the GYA were stable in 2005, but known breeding
pairs dropped by 30 percent to only 20 pairs (Service et al. 2006,
Table 4). The population recovered in 2006, primarily because numbers
outside YNP in Wyoming grew to about 174 wolves in 15 breeding pairs
(Service et al. 2007). Most of this decline occurred in YNP (which
declined from 171 wolves in 16 known breeding pairs in 2004 to 118
wolves in 7 breeding pairs in 2005 (Service et al. 2005, 2006, Tables
1-4) and likely occurred because: (1) Highly suitable habitat in YNP
was saturated with wolf packs; (2) conflict among packs appeared to
limit population density; (3) fewer elk occur in YNP than when
reintroduction took place (Vucetich et al. 2005, p. 259; White and
Garrott 2006, p. 942); and (4) a suspected 2005 outbreak of disease
(canine parvovirus (CPV) or canine distemper (CD)) reduced that years''
pup survival to 20 percent (Service et al. 2006, Table 2; Smith et al.
2006, p. 244; Smith and Almberg 2007, pp. 17-20). By