Fisheries of the Northeastern United States; Summer Flounder, Scup, and Black Sea Bass Fisheries; 2008 Summer Flounder, Scup, and Black Sea Bass Specifications; 2008 Research Set-Aside Projects, 64023-64034 [07-5647]
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Federal Register / Vol. 72, No. 219 / Wednesday, November 14, 2007 / Proposed Rules
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[FR Doc. 07–5670 Filed 11–9–07; 11:21 am]
BILLING CODE 6820–EP–S
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DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration
50 CFR Part 648
[Docket No. 071030625–7626–01]
RIN 0648–XC84
Fisheries of the Northeastern United
States; Summer Flounder, Scup, and
Black Sea Bass Fisheries; 2008
Summer Flounder, Scup, and Black
Sea Bass Specifications; 2008
Research Set-Aside Projects
National Marine Fisheries
Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
Commerce.
ACTION: Proposed specifications; request
for comments.
AGENCY:
SUMMARY: NMFS proposes specifications
for the 2008 summer flounder, scup,
and black sea bass fisheries and
provides notice of three conditionally
approved projects that will be
requesting Exempted Fishing Permits
(EFPs) as part of the Mid-Atlantic
Fishery Management Council’s
(Council) Research Set-Aside (RSA)
program. The implementing regulations
for the Summer Flounder, Scup, and
Black Sea Bass Fishery Management
Plan (FMP) require NMFS to publish
specifications for the upcoming fishing
year for each of these species and to
provide an opportunity for public
comment. Furthermore, regulations
under the Magnuson-Stevens Fishery
Conservation and Management Act
(Magnuson-Stevens Act) require a notice
to be published to provide interested
parties the opportunity to comment on
applications for EFPs. The intent of this
action is to establish harvest levels that
assure that the target fishing mortality
rates (F) or exploitation rates specified
for these species in the FMP are not
exceeded and to allow for rebuilding of
the stocks as well as to provide notice
of EFP requests, all in accordance with
the Magnuson-Stevens Act.
DATES: Comments must be received on
or before December 3, 2007.
ADDRESSES: You may submit comments,
identified by RIN 0648–XC84, by any
one of the following methods:
• Electronic Submissions: Submit all
electronic public comments via the
Federal eRulemaking Portal https://
www.regulations.gov.
• Mail and hand delivery: Patricia A.
Kurkul, Regional Administrator, NMFS,
Northeast Regional Office, One
Blackburn Drive, Gloucester, MA 01930.
Mark the outside of the envelope:
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Federal Register / Vol. 72, No. 219 / Wednesday, November 14, 2007 / Proposed Rules
‘‘Comments on 2008 Summer Flounder,
Scup, and Black Sea Bass
Specifications.’’
• Fax: (978) 281–9135.
Instructions: All comments received
are a part of the public record and will
generally be posted to https://
www.regulations.gov without change.
All Personal Identifying Information (for
example, name, address, etc.)
voluntarily submitted by the commenter
may be publicly accessible. Do not
submit Confidential Business
Information or otherwise sensitive or
protected information.
NMFS will accept anonymous
comments. Attachments to electronic
comments will be accepted in Microsoft
Word, Excel, WordPerfect, or Adobe
PDF file formats only.
Copies of the specifications
document, including the Environmental
Assessment, Regulatory Impact Review,
and Initial Regulatory Flexibility
Analysis (EA/RIR/IRFA) and other
supporting documents for the
specifications are available from Daniel
Furlong, Executive Director, MidAtlantic Fishery Management Council,
Room 2115, Federal Building, 300 South
Street, Dover, DE 19901–6790. These
documents are also accessible via the
Internet at https://www.nero.noaa.gov.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Michael Ruccio, Fishery Policy Analyst,
(978) 281–9104.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
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Background
The summer flounder, scup, and
black sea bass fisheries are managed
cooperatively by the Council and the
Atlantic States Marine Fisheries
Commission (Commission), in
consultation with the New England and
South Atlantic Fishery Management
Councils. The management units
specified in the FMP include summer
flounder (Paralichthys dentatus) in U.S.
waters of the Atlantic Ocean from the
southern border of North Carolina
northward to the U.S./Canada border,
and scup (Stenotomus chrysops) and
black sea bass (Centropristis striata) in
U.S. waters of the Atlantic Ocean from
35°13.3′N. lat. (the latitude of Cape
Hatteras Lighthouse, Buxton, North
Carolina) northward to the U.S./Canada
border. Implementing regulations for
these fisheries are found at 50 CFR part
648, subpart A (General Provisions),
subpart G (summer flounder), subpart H
(scup), and subpart I (black sea bass).
The regulations outline the process
for specifying the annual commercial
quotas and recreational harvest limits
for the summer flounder, scup, and
black sea bass fisheries, as well as other
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management measures (e.g., mesh
requirements, minimum fish sizes, gear
restrictions, possession restrictions, and
area restrictions) for these fisheries. The
measures are intended to achieve the
annual targets set forth for each species
in the FMP, specified either as an F or
an exploitation rate (the proportion of
fish available at the beginning of the
year that are removed by fishing during
the year). Once the catch limits are
established, they are divided into quotas
based on formulas contained within the
FMP.
As required by the FMP, a Monitoring
Committee for each species, made up of
members from NMFS, the Commission,
and both the Mid-Atlantic and New
England Fishery Management Councils,
reviews the best available scientific
information and recommends catch
limits and other management measures
that will achieve the target F or
exploitation rate for each fishery.
Consistent with the implementation of
Framework Adjustment 5 to the FMP
(69 FR 62818, October 28, 2004), each
Monitoring Committee meets annually
to recommend the Total Allowable
Landings (TAL), unless the TAL has
already been established for the
upcoming calendar year as part of a
multiple-year specification process,
provided that new information does not
require a modification to the multipleyear quotas. Further, the TALs may be
specified in any given year for the
following 1, 2, or 3 years. The Council
is not obligated to specify multi-year
TALs, but is able to do so, depending on
the information available and the status
of the fisheries.
The Council’s Demersal Species
Committee and the Commission’s
Summer Flounder, Scup, and Black Sea
Bass Management Board (Board)
consider the Monitoring Committees’
recommendations and any public
comment and make their own
recommendations. While the Board
action is final, the Council’s
recommendations must be reviewed by
NMFS to assure that they comply with
FMP objectives and applicable law. The
Council and Board made their
recommendations at a joint meeting
held August 7–9, 2007.
Explanation of Research Set-Aside
(RSA)
Background: In 2001, regulations
were implemented under Framework
Adjustment 1 to the FMP to allow up to
3 percent of the TAL for each species to
be set aside each year for scientific
research purposes. For the 2008 fishing
year, a Request for Proposals was
published to solicit research proposals
based upon the research priorities that
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were identified by the Council (71 FR
77726, December 27, 2006).
NMFS has conditionally approved
three research projects for the harvest of
the portion of the quota that has been
recommended by the Council to be set
aside for research purposes. In
anticipation of receiving applications
for EFPs to conduct this research, the
Assistant Regional Administrator for
Sustainable Fisheries, Northeast Region,
NMFS (Assistant Regional
Administrator), has made a preliminary
determination that the activities
authorized under the EFPs issued in
response to the approved RSA projects
would be consistent with the goals and
objectives of the FMP. However, further
review and consultation may be
necessary before a final determination is
made to issue any EFP.
For informational purposes, these
proposed specifications include a
statement indicating the amount of
quota that has been preliminarily set
aside for research purposes (a
percentage of the TAL for each fishery,
not to exceed 3 percent, as
recommended by the Council and
Board), and a brief description of the
RSA projects, including exemptions
requested, and the amount of RSA
requested for each project. The RSA
amounts may be adjusted, following
consultation with RSA applicants, in
the final rule establishing the 2008
specifications for the summer flounder,
scup, and black sea bass fisheries. If the
total amount of RSA is not awarded,
NMFS will publish a document in the
Federal Register to restore the unused
amount to the applicable TAL.
For 2008, the conditionally approved
projects may collectively be awarded
the following amounts of RSA: 233,192
lb (106 mt) of summer flounder; 214,000
lb (97 mt) of scup; and 85,790 lb (39 mt)
of black sea bass. The projects may also
be collectively awarded up to 50,000 lb
(23 mt) of both Loligo squid and
Atlantic bluefish.
2008 RSA Proposal Summaries: The
University of Rhode Island submitted a
proposal to conduct a fifth year of work
in a fishery-independent scup survey
that would utilize unvented fish traps
fished on hard bottom areas in southern
New England waters to characterize the
size composition of the scup
population. Survey activities would be
conducted from May 15 through
October 15, 2008, at 10 rocky bottom
study sites located offshore, where there
is a minimal scup pot fishery and no
active trawl fishery, and at two scup
spawning ground sites. Up to two
vessels would conduct the research
survey. Sampling would occur off the
coasts of Rhode Island and southern
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Massachusetts. Up to three vessels
would harvest the RSA during the
period January 1 through December 31,
2007. The principle investigators have
requested exemptions from trip limits,
gear requirements (excluding marine
mammal avoidance and/or release
devices), and closed seasons for harvest
of RSA species. The preliminary RSA
requested for this project is 2,000 lb
(907 kg) of summer flounder; 64,000 lb
(29 mt) of scup; and 24,000 lb (11 mt)
of black sea bass.
The Virginia Institute of Marine
Science (VIMS) submitted a proposal to
conduct a near-shore trawl survey in
Mid-Atlantic waters between Gay Head,
Massachusetts, and Cape Hatteras,
North Carolina, including both Block
Island and Rhode Island Sounds. A
stratified random sampling of
approximately 200 stations will occur in
depths between 18–60 feet (8–18 m).
The function of the survey would be to
provide stock assessment data for
summer flounder, scup, black sea bass,
Loligo squid, butterfish, Atlantic
bluefish, several species managed by the
Atlantic States Marine Fisheries
Commission (Commission) such as
weakfish and Atlantic croaker, and
unmanaged forage species. The research
aspects of the trawl survey will be
conducted by one VIMS scientific
research vessel operating under the
control of VIMS personnel. This vessel
will operate under a Letter of
Authorization (LOA) as provided for by
the specific exemption for scientific
research activities found at 50 CFR
600.745. Up to 35 vessels will harvest
the RSA between January 1 through
December 31 during commercial fishing
operations, except that these vessels
have requested exemptions for closed
seasons and trip limits to harvest the
RSA allocated to the project. The
preliminary RSA requested by this
project is 150,000 lb (68 mt) of both
summer flounder and scup and 50,000
lb (23 mt) each of black sea bass,
Atlantic bluefish, and Loligo squid.
The National Fisheries Institute (NFI)
has submitted a proposal to conduct an
evaluation of discard mortality for
summer flounder in trawl fisheries. This
study is designed to work in concert
with a previous summer flounder
mortality RSA-funded study conducted
in 2007. Combined sources of mortality
and injury quantification that occur as
part of trawling, tracking and tagging,
and scuba diver observation will be
utilized to provide an estimate of trawlrelated mortality. Research sampling
will be conducted adjacent to Little Egg
Inlet off the New Jersey coast in
September and October 2008. One
vessel will conduct the research
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activities and may simultaneously
participate in harvesting RSA, if the
season for summer flounder is closed or
if more fish, above those needed for the
research activities, are caught than are
permitted by possession limits. The
principle investigators have requested
exemption from the commercial
summer flounder minimum size so that
fish smaller than 14 inches (35.5 cm)
may be temporarily retained to assess
viability and to affix tags and data
transmitters. Up to 35 vessels will
harvest the RSA between January 1
through December 31 under during
commercial fishing operations, except
that these vessels have requested
exemptions for closed seasons and trip
limits to harvest the RSA allocated to
the project. The preliminary RSA
requested by this project is 81,192 lb (37
mt) of summer flounder 50,000 lb (23
mt) and 11,790 lb (5 mt) of black sea
bass.
Regulations under the MagnusonStevens Act require publication of this
notification to provide interested parties
the opportunity to comment on
applications for proposed EFPs.
Explanation of Quota Adjustments Due
to Quota Overages
This action proposes commercial
quotas based on the proposed TALs and
Total Allowable Catches (TACs) and the
formulas for allocation contained in the
FMP. In 2002, NMFS published final
regulations to implement a regulatory
amendment (67 FR 6877, February 14,
2002) that revised the way in which the
commercial quotas for summer
flounder, scup, and black sea bass are
adjusted if landings in any fishing year
exceed the quota allocated (thus
resulting in a quota overage). If NMFS
approves a different TAL or TAC at the
final specifications stage (i.e., in the
final rule), the commercial quotas will
be recalculated based on the formulas in
the FMP. Likewise, if new information
indicates that overages have occurred
and deductions are necessary, NMFS
will publish notice of the adjusted
quotas in the Federal Register. NMFS
anticipates that the information
necessary to determine whether overage
deductions are necessary will be
available by the time the final
specifications are published. The
commercial quotas contained in these
proposed specifications for summer
flounder, scup, and black sea bass do
not reflect any deductions for overages.
The final specifications, however, will
contain quotas that have been adjusted
consistent with the procedures
described above.
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Summer Flounder
The Southern Demersal Working
Group (SDWG), a technical stock
assessment group composed of
personnel from the Northeast Fisheries
Science Center (NEFSC), NMFS
Northeast Regional Office, Council,
Commission, state marine fisheries
agencies, academia, and an independent
participant with stock assessment
expertise selected by the Council, met
June 19–20, 2007, to update the summer
flounder assessment through 2006/2007
based on the most recent available
research survey and fisheries catch data.
This was a routine annual update, as
called for by the FMP. The update
utilized the model and methods
evaluated and recommended for
continued use in the most recent peer
review conducted by the NMFS Office
of Science and Technology Division
(S&T) in 2006.
The 2007 SDWG update shows that
summer flounder are overfished and
that overfishing occurred in 2006, the
year for which the most recent,
complete fishery-dependent data are
available. The F estimated for 2006 is
0.35, a reduction from the estimated F
of 0.47 for 2005, but still above the FMAX
threshold of 0.28. FMAX is the level of
fishing mortality that produces
maximum yield per recruit. The
updated 2007 assessment confirms that
summer flounder have been subject to
overfishing each year of the rebuilding
period that began in 2000. Spawning
stock biomass (SSB) in 2006 was
estimated to be 93.0 million lb (42,184
mt), below the S&T updated biomass
threshold of 1⁄2 SSBMSY= 98.6 million lb
(44,724 mt). FMSY is the fishing
mortality rate that, if applied constantly,
would result in maximum sustainable
yield (MSY). When F > FMAX,
overfishing is considered to be
occurring, and when B<1⁄2 BMSY, the
stock is considered overfished. The
arithmetic mean recruitment from 1982
to 2006 is 37 million fish at age 0, with
a median of 33 million fish. The 2006
year class is currently estimated to be
about 30 million fish.
The Virtual Population Analysis
(VPA) model used in the summer
flounder assessment tends to
underestimate F and overestimate stock
biomass in the most recent years of the
analysis until those data stabilize as
new data are added in subsequent years.
The model has also produced variable
patterns for recruitment. Typically, the
magnitude of the retrospective patterns
get smaller after 5 to 7 years and
completely stabilizes (converges) after
10 years of data have been added to the
model (i.e., the estimates of F, SSB, and
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recruitment for the year 1995 have
gradually stabilized over time and are
now expected not to change when new
data are added in successive years’
updates).
Over the last 3 years, the annual
retrospective increase in fishing
mortality has ranged from +20 to +40
percent. Over the last 3 years, the
annual retrospective decrease in SSB
has ranged from -8 to -22 percent.
Retrospective analysis shows no
definitive trend in estimation of the
abundance of age 0 fish in the most
recent years. Over the last 3 years, the
annual retrospective change in
recruitment has been variable and
ranged from -7 to +13 percent. These
patterns are likely the result of an
underestimation of the true catch, due
to discards and/or unreported landings.
The impact for management, given these
persistent retrospective patterns, is that
the summer flounder stock is increasing
at a lower rate and is currently at a
smaller size than previously forecast.
The regulations state that the Council
shall recommend, and NMFS shall
implement, measures (including the
TAL) necessary to achieve, with at least
a 50–percent probability of success, a
fishing mortality rate that produces the
maximum yield per recruit (FMAX).
This requirement is also consistent with
a 2000 Federal Court Order (Natural
Resources Defense Council v. Daley,
Civil No. 1:99 CV 00221 (JLG)) regarding
the setting of the summer flounder TAL.
Summer flounder are under a rebuilding
program whose timeline for completion
has been extended from January 1, 2010,
to no later than January 1, 2013, by
section 120(a) of the 2006 reauthorized
Magnuson-Stevens Act.
It has been evident in recent years
that setting specifications designed to
satisfy the minimum requirement of the
regulations (i.e., a 50–percent
probability of achieving FMAX) is
insufficient to prevent overfishing and
to ensure that rebuilding will occur
within the required timeframe. For the
2007 fishery, NMFS implemented a TAL
that differed from the Council
recommendation. The 2007 NMFS
implemented TAL had a more
precautionary 75–percent probability of
achieving an F rate calculated to ensure
that stock rebuilding will occur within
the remaining years of the rebuilding
time frame. This F rate, FREBUILD, was
set at 0.203, which is lower than FMAX
(0.28). It will not be possible to estimate
if the 2007 FREBUILD target was
successful in constraining fishing
mortality at or below the 0.203 level and
in ending overfishing (i.e., F <0.28) until
mid-year in 2008, after the final 2007
recreational and commercial fisheries
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data have been compiled, audited, and
are available for analysis.
The SDWG 2007 assessment update
analysis indicated a 2008 TAL of 17.5
million lb (7,938 mt) at an
FREBUILD=0.199 is forecast to rebuild the
stock to the S&T recommended
SSBMSY=197.2 million lb (89,450 mt) by
Nov 1, 2012, and to a Total Stock
Biomass (TSB) =207.3 million lb (94,031
mt) by Jan 1, 2013. Maintaining the
FREBUILD=0.199 rate for the remaining
rebuilding period years of 2009–2012 is
forecast by the SDWG’s 2007 update to
achieve the required stock rebuilding for
summer flounder by the January 1,
2013, deadline, with at least a 50–
percent probability of success. As such,
this is the 2008 TAL analytical baseline
that satisfies the minimum requirements
of the Magnuson-Stevens Act rebuilding
requirements and is consistent with the
FMP regulations and Court rulings
regarding probabilities for success. A
TAL at this level is more conservative
than the regulatory requirement that
TAL recommendations have at least 50
percent probability of achieving FMAX
(i.e., FMAX=0.28, the SDWG baseline
TAL is set below this at the
FREBUILD=0.199 level).
The Summer Flounder Monitoring
Committee evaluated a range of options,
derived from the SDWG’s baseline, for
the 2008 TAL and their associated
probabilities for constraining fishing
mortality within the FREBUILD target. In
addition, the Monitoring Committee
evaluated TALs and F target
probabilities provided by Council staff
wherein the 2008 FREBUILD value of
0.199 would be corrected in an attempt
to compensate for the retrospective
pattern which has resulted from the
VPA analysis. Council staff applied a 1year correction to the FREBUILD target by
reducing the 2008 FREBUILD by 28–
percent from 0.199 to 0.143. Council
staff derived the correction to FREBUILD
by using the most recent 3-year average
underestimation of F in the model (i.e.,
28 percent). The TAL and probability
options recommended by Council staff
ranged from a low of 11.64 million lb
(5,280 mt) with a 75–percent probability
of achieving the corrected 2008
FREBUILD=0.143, to a high of 15.77
million lb (7,153 mt) that has a 75–
percent probability of achieving the
uncorrected 2008 FREBUILD=0.199.
The Monitoring Committee
recommended a TAL within the range of
12.90 to 11.64 million lb (5,851 mt to
5,280 mt) to the Council. This range was
based on the corrected FREBUILD value
(0.143) and would achieve a 50- to 75–
percent probability of achieving the
corrected F, respectively. Both Council
staff and the Monitoring Committee
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assumed in their analysis of the
adjusted FREBUILD value for 2008 that
the resulting TAL would be sufficient to
correct, within 1 year, the course of the
summer flounder rebuilding program
provided the 2008 F target is not
exceeded. The Monitoring Committee
projections utilized for rebuilding years
2009–2012 assumes that the
retrospective pattern ceases to occur.
The TAL range proposed by the
Monitoring Committee is more
conservative than the regulatory
requirements of the FMP and the
statutory requirements of the MagnusonStevens Act.
The Council and the Board discussed
the Monitoring Committee
recommendation at the August Council
meeting. The Council discussed at
length the feasibility of achieving the
rebuilding biomass target within the
rebuilding period given recent
recruitment levels and environmental
factors, the retrospective patterns that
arise from the VPA modeling approach,
and the requirements of National
Standard 1 that mandates management
measures shall prevent overfishing
while achieving optimum yield on a
continuing basis and National Standard
8 that guides Councils to minimize, to
the extent practicable, adverse impacts
of conservation and management
measures on fishing communities. The
Council and the Board considered the
various alternatives presented to them,
and considered the need to rebuild the
stock within the required timeframe, the
needs of fishery participants, and the
need to act with precaution in the face
of uncertainty regarding the
retrospective patterns. The Council
adopted a 15.77–million-lb (7,153 mt)
TAL that has a 75–percent probability of
constraining mortality to the FREBUILD
target of 0.199 in 2008. As such, the
Council’s recommended TAL exceeds
the regulatory requirement for success
by employing a probability greater than
50 percent. In addition, the F target is
the lower FREBUILD (0.199) value as
opposed to the minimally required
FMAX value (0.28). The Council and
Board agreed to set aside 233,192 lb
(106 mt) of the proposed TAL for
research. After deducting the RSA, the
TAL would be divided into a
commercial quota (60 percent) and a
recreational harvest limit (40 percent).
All other management measures were
recommended to remain status quo.
The Commission is expected to
maintain the voluntary measures
currently in place to reduce regulatory
discards that occur as a result of landing
limits established by the states. The
Commission established a system
whereby 15 percent of each state’s quota
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would be voluntarily set aside each year
to enable vessels to land an incidental
catch allowance after the directed
fishery has been closed. The intent of
the incidental catch set-aside is to
reduce discards by allowing fishermen
to land summer flounder caught
incidentally in other fisheries during the
year, while also ensuring that the state’s
overall quota is not exceeded. These
Commission set-asides are not included
in these proposed specifications because
these measures are not authorized by
the FMP and NMFS does not have
authority to implement them.
Table 1 presents the proposed
allocations by state, with and without
the commercial portion of the RSA
deduction. These state quota allocations
are preliminary and are subject to
reductions if there are overages of states
quotas carried over from a previous
fishing year (using the landings
information and procedures described
earlier). Any commercial quota
adjustments to account for overages will
be included in the final rule
implementing these specifications.
TABLE 1. 2007 PROPOSED INITIAL SUMMER FLOUNDER STATE COMMERCIAL QUOTAS
Commercial Quota less RSA1
Commercial Quota
State
Percent Share
kg2
lb
kg2
lb
ME
0.04756
4,500
2,041
4,434
2,011
NH
0.00046
44
20
43
19
MA
6.82046
645,352
292,732
635,809
288,403
RI
15.68298
1,483,924
673,108
1,461,981
663,143
CT
2.25708
213,565
96,873
210,407
95,441
NY
7.64699
723,558
328,206
712,859
323,348
NJ
16.72499
1,582,519
717,830
1,559,118
707,204
DE
0.01779
1,683
764
1,658
752
MD
2.03910
192,940
87,517
190,087
86,223
VA
21.31676
2,016,992
914,892
1,987,166
901,363
NC
27.44584
2,596,925
1,177,945
2,558,524
1,160,527
100.00001
9,462,001
4,291,964
9,322,086
4,228,435
Total3
1
2
3
Preliminary Research Set-Aside amount is 233,192 lb (106 mt).
Kilograms are as converted from pounds and do not sum to the converted total due to rounding.
Rounding of quotas results in totals exceeding 100 percent.
pwalker on PROD1PC71 with PROPOSALS
Scup
Scup was last formally assessed in
June 2002 at the 35th Northeast
Regional SAW. At that time, SARC 35
indicated that the species was no longer
overfished, but that stock status with
respect to overfishing could not be
evaluated. The stock is considered
overfished when the 3-year average of
scup SSB is less than the biomass
threshold (2.77 kg/tow; the maximum
NEFSC spring survey 3-year average of
SSB).
On August 18, 2005, NMFS notified
the Council that the scup stock had been
designated as overfished and that,
within 1 year of that notice, an
amendment or proposed regulations for
the scup fishery to end overfishing and
to rebuild the stock must be prepared in
accordance with the Magnuson-Stevens
Act. In response, the Council developed
and submitted for Secretarial review,
Amendment 14 to the FMP
(Amendment 14) to rebuild, during a 7year period, the scup stock from an
overfished condition to a biomass level
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(B) associated with MSY or (BMSY), as
required by the Magnuson-Stevens Act.
The Secretary approved Amendment 14
on July 3, 2007. The final rule
implementing the amendment
published in the Federal Register on
July 23, 2007 (72 FR 40077). The
rebuilding program begins on January 1,
2008 (i.e., year one of the 7-year plan).
The Amendment 14 rebuilding plan
applies a constant F of 0.10 in each year
of the 7-year rebuilding period.
The 2006 NEFSC Spring SSB 3-year
average (2005–2007) index value of 0.76
kg/tow remains below the minimum
biomass threshold of 2.77 kg/tow. The
scup stock is considered overfished. The
NEFSC spring survey index increased
significantly in 2004 to 1.85 kg/tow
relative to the low value of 0.15 kg/tow
derived in 2003. In 2005, the spring
index dropped to 0.10 kg/tow; however,
in 2006 this value increased to 2.04 kg/
tow. The 2006 index was the highest
value in the spring survey since 1978,
excluding the high value in 2002. In
2007, this value dropped to 0.14 kg/tow.
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The FMP specifies that the TAC
associated with a given exploitation rate
be allocated 78 percent to the
commercial sector and 22 percent to the
recreational sector. Scup discard
estimates are deducted from both
sectors’ TACs to establish TALs for each
sector, i.e., TAC minus discards equals
TAL. The commercial TAC, discards,
and TAL (commercial quota) are then
allocated on a percentage basis to three
quota periods, as specified in the FMP:
Winter I (January-April)--45.11 percent;
Summer (May-October)--38.95 percent;
and Winter II (November-December)-15.94 percent.
The Monitoring Committee
recommended a 2008 TAL of 7.34
million lb (3,329 mt) to achieve the
target exploitation rate of 9 percent
(F=0.10). The discard estimates used by
the Monitoring Committee in the 2008
TAC calculations were based on the
average discards of 2005 and 2006 for
the commercial and recreational
fisheries. This discard estimate is 2.56
million lb (1,161 mt), resulting in a TAC
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of 9.90 million lb (4,491 mt). The
Council and the Board accepted the
Monitoring Committee’s
recommendations for 2008. NMFS is
proposing to implement the Council and
Board recommendation as it complies
with the provisions of the Amendment
14 rebuilding program. This TAL is a
38.8–percent decrease from the 2007
TAL of 12.0 million lb (5,443 mt).
The commercial TAC would be 7.72
million lb (3,502 mt) and the
recreational TAC would be 2.18 million
lb (989 mt). After deducting estimated
discards (2.26 million lb (1,025 mt) for
(13,608 kg) for Winter I, to be reduced
to 1,000 lb (454 kg) when 80 percent of
the quota is projected to be reached, and
2,000 lb (907 kg) for Winter II).
Table 2 presents the 2008 commercial
allocation recommended by the Council,
with and without the preliminary
214,000–lb (97–mt) RSA deduction.
These 2008 allocations are preliminary
and may be subject to downward
adjustment due to 2006 overages in the
final rule implementing these
specifications, based on the procedures
for calculating overages described
earlier.
the commercial sector and 0.30 million
lb (136 mt) for the recreational sector),
the initial commercial quota would be
5.46 million lb (2,477 mt) and the
recreational harvest limit would be 1.88
million lb (853 mt). The Council and
Board agreed to set aside 214,000 lb (97
mt) of the TAL for research activities.
Deducting this RSA would result in a
commercial quota of 5.30 million lb
(2,404 mt) and a recreational harvest
limit of 1.82 million lb (826 mt).
The proposed 2008 specifications
would maintain the status quo base
scup possession limits, i.e., 30,000 lb
TABLE 2. 2008 PROPOSED INITIAL TAC, COMMERCIAL SCUP QUOTA, AND POSSESSION LIMITS
Period
Percent
TAC in lb (mt)
Discards in lb (mt)
Commercial Quota
in lb (mt)
Commercial Quota
less RSA in lb (mt)
Possession Limits
in lb (kg)
Winter I
45.11
3,483,394(1,580)
1,019,486(462)
2,463,908(1,118)
2,367,373(1,074)
30,0001(13,608)
Summer
38.95
3,007,719(1,364)
880,270(399)
2,127,449(965)
2,044,096(927)
n/a
Winter II
15.94
1,230,887(558)
360,244(163)
870,643(395)
836,531(379)
2,000(907)
Total2
100.00
7,722,000(3,503)
2,260,000(1,025)
5,462,000(2,478)
5,248,000(2,380)
1The
Winter I landing limit would drop to 1,000 lb (454 kg) upon attainment of 80 percent of the seasonal allocation.
2Totals subject to rounding error.
n/a-Not applicable
The final rule to implement
Framework 3 to the FMP (68 FR 62250,
November 3, 2003) implemented a
process, for years in which the full
Winter I commercial scup quota is not
harvested, to allow unused quota from
the Winter I period to be rolled over to
the quota for the Winter II period. As
shown in Table 3, the proposed
specifications would maintain the status
quo Winter II possession limit-torollover amount ratios (i.e., 1,500 lb
(680 kg) per 500,000 lb (227 mt) of
unused Winter I period quota).
TABLE 3. POTENTIAL INCREASE IN WINTER II POSSESSION LIMITS BASED ON THE AMOUNT OF SCUP ROLLED OVER FROM
WINTER I TO WINTER II PERIOD
Initial Winter II Possession Limit
Rollover from Winter I to Winter II
lb
kg
lb
2,000
907
0-499,999
2,000
907
2,000
Increase in Initial Winter II Possession Limit
kg
Final Winter II Possession Limit
after Rollover from Winter I to Winter II
lb
kg
lb
kg
0-227
0
0
2,000
907
500,000-999,999
227-454
1,500
680
3,500
1,588
907
1,000,000-1,499,999
454-680
3,000
1,361
5,000
2,268
2,000
907
1,500,000-1,999,999
680-907
4,500
2,041
6,500
2,948
2,000
907
2,000,000-2,500,000
907-1,134
6,000
2,722
8,000
3,629
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Black Sea Bass
Amendment 12 to the FMP indicated
that the black sea bass stock, which was
determined by SARC 27 to be overfished
in 1998, could be rebuilt to the target
biomass within a 10-year period, i.e., by
2010. The current target exploitation
rate is based on the current estimate of
FMAX, or 0.33 (25.6 percent). The
northern stock of black sea bass was last
assessed at the 43rd SAW in June 2006.
The SARC 43 Panel did not consider the
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stock assessment to provide an adequate
basis to evaluate stock status against the
biological reference points, but did not
recommend any other reference points
to replace them.
The most recent Center spring survey
results indicate that the exploitable
biomass of black sea bass decreased in
2006. The 2006 biomass index, i.e., the
3-year average exploitable biomass for
2005 through 2007, is estimated to be
0.6 kg/tow, below the threshold biomass
value of 0.976 kg/tow. Based on these
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results, if the biological reference points
in the FMP are applied, black sea bass
once again would be considered to be
overfished.
Because the estimate of exploitable
biomass is based on a 3-year average,
the actual estimate for 2007 will not be
derived until the spring 2008 survey
results are available; if it is 0.263 (3-year
moving average for 2006), and assuming
an exploitation rate of 21 percent in
2003, the TAL associated with the target
exploitation rate would be 3.75 million
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lb (1,701 mt). However, if the 2008
estimate is 0.328 (3-year moving average
for 2005), the TAL associated with the
target exploitation rate would be 4.68
million lb (2,123 mt). Given the
uncertainty in the black sea bass survey
estimates and the potential
underestimation of the 2003
exploitation rate (21 percent), the
Monitoring Committee agreed with the
Council staff recommendation to set a 1year TAL of 4.22 million lb (1,914 mt).
The Council and Board accepted the
Monitoring Committee
recommendation. This TAL would
represent a 15.6–percent decrease from
2007.
NMFS proposes to implement a 2008
black sea bass TAL of 4.22 million lb
(1,194 mt), consistent with the Council
and Board recommendations. The FMP
specifies that the TAL associated with a
given exploitation rate be allocated 49
percent to the commercial sector and 51
percent to the recreational sector;
therefore, the initial TAL would be
allocated 2.07 million lb (939 mt) to the
commercial sector and 2.15 million lb
(975 mt) to the recreational sector. The
Council and Board also agreed to set
aside 85,790 lb (39 mt) of the black sea
bass TAL for research activities. After
deducting the RSA the TAL would be
divided into a commercial quota of
2,025,763 lb (919 mt) and a recreational
harvest limit of 2,108,447 lb (956 mt), as
specified in the FMP.
Classification
Pursuant to section 304 (b)(1)(A) of
the Magnuson-Stevens Act, the NMFS
Assistant Administrator has determined
that this proposed rule is consistent
with the Summer Flounder, Scup, and
Black Sea Bass FMP, other provisions of
the Magnuson-Stevens Act, and other
applicable law, subject to further
consideration after public comment.
These proposed specifications are
exempt from review under Executive
Order 12866.
An IRFA was prepared, as required by
section 603 of the Regulatory Flexibility
Act (RFA). The IRFA describes the
economic impact these proposed
specifications, if adopted, would have
on small entities. A description of the
action, why it is being considered, and
the legal basis for this action are
contained in the preamble to this
proposed rule. A copy of this analysis
is available from NMFS (see
ADDRESSES). A summary of the analysis
follows.
The economic analysis assessed the
impacts of the various management
alternatives. The no action alternative is
defined as follows: (1) No proposed
specifications for the 2008 summer
flounder, scup, and black sea bass
fisheries would be published; (2) the
indefinite management measures
(minimum mesh sizes, minimum sizes,
possession limits, permit and reporting
requirements, etc.) would remain
unchanged; (3) there would be no quota
set-aside allocated to research in 2008;
(4) the existing gear restrictive areas
would remain in place for 2008; and (5)
there would be no specific cap on the
allowable annual landings in these
fisheries (i.e., there would be no quotas).
Implementation of the no action
alternative would be inconsistent with
the goals and objectives of the FMP, its
implementing regulations, and the
64029
Magnuson-Stevens Act. In addition, the
no action alternative would
substantially complicate the approved
management program for these fisheries,
and would very likely result in
overfishing of the resources. Under the
no action alternative, the fisheries
would operate without an identified cap
on allowable landings because the
quotas implemented for 2007 expire on
December 31, 2007, and there are no
provisions to roll-over those quota
provisions into 2008 if specifications are
not published for the year. Therefore,
the no action alternative is not
considered to be a reasonable alternative
to the preferred action.
The Council prepared economic
analyses for Alternatives 1 through 3.
Alternative 1 consists of the harvest
limits proposed by the Council and the
Board for all three species. Alternative
1 contains the Monitoring Committee’s
recommended harvest limits for scup
and black sea bass. Alternative 2
consists of the most restrictive quotas
(i.e., lowest landings) considered by the
Council and the Board for all of the
species. Alternative 2 contains the
harvest limit recommended by the
Monitoring Committee for summer
flounder. Alternative 3 consists of the
status quo quotas, which were the least
restrictive quotas (i.e., highest landings)
considered by the Council and Board for
all three species.
Table 4 presents the 2008 initial
TALs, RSA, commercial quotas adjusted
for RSA, and preliminary recreational
harvests for the fisheries under these
three quota alternatives.
TABLE 4. COMPARISON, IN LB (MT), OF THE 2008 SUMMER FLOUNDER, SCUP, AND BLACK SEA BASS QUOTA
ALTERNATIVES
Initial TAL
RSA
2
Preliminary Adjusted Commercial Quota1
Preliminary Recreational
Harvest Limit
Quota Alternative 1 (Council’s Preferred)
Summer Flounder
15.77 million(7,150)
233,192(106)
9.32 million(4,230)
6.21 million(2,820)
Scup
7.34 million(3,330)
214,000(97)
5.30 million(2,400)
1.82 million(830)
Black Sea Bass
4.22 million(1,910)
85,790(39)
2.03 million(920)
2.11 million(960)
Quota Alternative 2 (Most Restrictive)
11.64 million(5,280)
233,192(106)
6.84 million(3,100)
4.56 million(2,070)
Scup
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Summer Flounder
5.02 million(2,280)
151,000(68)
3.54 million(1,610)
1.33 million(600)
Black Sea Bass
3.75 million(1,700)
85,790(39)
1.80 million(820)
1.87 million(850)
Quota Alternative 3 (Status Quo-Least Restrictive)
Summer Flounder
17.112 million(7,760)
233,192(106)
10.13 million(4,590)
6.75 million(3,060)
Scup
12.00 million(5,440)
214,000(97)
8.94 million(4,060)
2.85 million(1,290)
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TABLE 4. COMPARISON, IN LB (MT), OF THE 2008 SUMMER FLOUNDER, SCUP, AND BLACK SEA BASS QUOTA
ALTERNATIVES—Continued
Initial TAL
Black Sea Bass
RSA
5.00 million(2,270)
Preliminary Adjusted Commercial Quota1
85,790(39)
Preliminary Recreational
Harvest Limit
2.41 million(1,090)
2
2.51 million(1,140)
1
Note that preliminary quotas are provisional and may change to account for overages of the 2007 quotas.
Conditionally approved RSA amount or 3 percent of the alternative’s TAL, whichever is less.
Note: Metric tons are as converted from pounds as shown and are subject to rounding error.
2
Table 5 presents the percent change
associated with each of these
commercial quota alternatives (adjusted
for RSA) compared to the final adjusted
quotas for 2007.
TABLE 5. PERCENT CHANGE ASSOCIATED WITH 2008 ADJUSTED COMMERCIAL QUOTA ALTERNATIVES COMPARED TO 2007
COMMERCIAL ADJUSTED QUOTAS
Total Aggregate Changes Including RSA
Species
Quota Alternative 1 (Council Preferred)
Alternative 2 (Most Restrictive)
Quota Alternative 3 (Least Restrictive/Status Quo)
Summer Flounder
-7.8%
-32.0%
+ 1.3%
Scup
-38.8%
-58.2%
+ 1.3%
Black Sea Bass
-15.6%
-25.0%
+ less than 1.0%
The total gross revenue for the
individual vessels that would be
directly regulated by this action is less
than $ 4.0 million each. All vessels that
would be impacted by this proposed
rulemaking are therefore considered to
be small entities and, thus, there would
be no disproportionate impacts between
large and small entities as a result. The
categories of small entities likely to be
affected by this action include
commercial and charter/party vessel
owners holding an active Federal permit
for summer flounder, scup, or black sea
bass, as well as owners of vessels that
fish for any of these species in state
waters. The Council estimates that the
proposed 2007 quotas could affect 2,253
vessels that held a Federal summer
flounder, scup, and/or black sea bass
permit in 2006. However, the more
immediate impact of this rule will likely
be felt by the 903 vessels that actively
participated in these fisheries (i.e.,
landed these species) in 2006.
Commercial Fishery Impacts
The Council estimated the total
revenues derived from all species
landed by each vessel during calendar
year 2007 to determine a vessel’s
dependence and revenue derived from a
particular species. This estimate
provided the base from which to
compare the effects of the proposed
quota changes from 2007 to 2008.
Alternative 1 (Council’s Preferred
Measures): The analysis of the harvest
limits in Alternative 1 indicated that
these harvest levels would result in
2008 revenue losses, relative to 2007, of
less than 5 percent for 115 vessels and
greater than or equal to 5 percent for 733
vessels. More specifically, vessels are
projected to incur revenue reductions as
follows: Change of 5–9 percent, 374
vessels; 10–19 percent, 249 vessels; 20–
29 percent, 29 vessels; 30–39 percent,
29; 40–49 percent, 19 vessels, and
greater than or equal to 50 percent, 2
vessels. Most commercial vessels
showing revenue reduction of greater
than 5 percent are concentrated in NJ,
RI, NC, NY and MA.
The Council also examined the level
of ex-vessel revenues for the impacted
vessels to assess further impacts the
impacts of Alternative 1 (Table 6).
TABLE 6. COMPARISON OF ALTERNATIVE 1 IMPACTS TO VESSEL TOTAL GROSS SALES BY REVENUE REDUCTION
CATEGORY
2007 Total Gross Sales (Ex-Vessel Revenues)
Revenue Reduction
Range
$1,000 or Less
$10,000 or Less
No. of Vessels in
Range
No. of Vessels
Percent in Range
No. of Vessels
Percent in Range
5 to 9
374
149
40
63
17
10 to 19
249
82
33
138
55
20 to 29
60
8
13
17
28
30 to 39
29
8
28
16
55
40 to 49
19
10
53
17
89
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(Percent)
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TABLE 6. COMPARISON OF ALTERNATIVE 1 IMPACTS TO VESSEL TOTAL GROSS SALES BY REVENUE REDUCTION
CATEGORY—Continued
2007 Total Gross Sales (Ex-Vessel Revenues)
Revenue Reduction
Range
$1,000 or Less
$10,000 or Less
No. of Vessels in
Range
No. of Vessels
Percent in Range
No. of Vessels
Percent in Range
Greater than or
equal to 50
2
2
100
0
0
Total
733
259
35
424
58
(Percent)
Based on the information in Table 6,
the dependence on fishing for some of
these vessels is likely small as 35
percent of vessels incurring revenue
reductions of gross sales equal to or less
than $1,000 and 58 percent of impacted
vessels had gross sales of less than or
equal to $10,000 for 2006.
The Council also analyzed changes in
total gross revenues that would occur as
a result of the quota alternatives.
Alternative 1 would decrease total
revenues for summer flounder by
approximately $0.84 million, scup by
$3.20 million, and black sea bass $0.88
million, relative to expected revenues
earned from the 2007 quotas.
The overall reduction in ex-vessel
gross revenue associated with the
potential changes in quotas in 2008
relative to the quotas implemented in
2007 is approximately $4.92 million
(using 2006 ex-vessel prices) under
Alternative 1. Assuming that the
decrease in total ex-vessel gross revenue
associated with the proposed rule for
each fishery is distributed equally
among the vessels that landed those
species in 2006 (the last full year of data
availability), the average decrease in
gross revenue per vessel associated with
the preferred quota would be $1,143 for
summer flounder and $3,197, $7,637 for
scup, and $1,642 for black sea bass. The
number of vessels landing summer
flounder, scup, and black sea bass in
2006 was 735, 419, and 536,
respectively.
The predicted changes in ex-vessel
gross revenues associated with the
potential changes in quotas in 2008
versus 2007 assumed static 2006 prices
(summer flounder--$1.79/lb; scup-$0.89/lb; and black sea bass--$2.50/lb).
However, if prices for these species
change as a consequence of changes in
landings, then the associated revenue
changes could be different than those
estimated above, and could mitigate
some of the revenue reductions
associated with lower quantities of
quota available under this alternative.
Alternative 2 (Most Restrictive
Measures): The analysis of the harvest
limits of Alternative 2 indicated that all
vessels would incur revenue losses
equal to or greater than 5 percent. More
specifically, vessels are projected to
incur revenue reductions as follows: 10–
19 percent, 45 vessels; 20–29 percent,
292 vessels; 30–39 percent, 456 vessels;
40–49 percent, 61 vessels; and greater or
equal to 50 percent, 41 vessels. Further
examination shows that 314 of the
impacted vessels (35 percent) had gross
sales of $1,000 or less and 547 of the
impacted vessels (61 percent) had gross
sales of $10,000 or less, thus likely
indicating that the dependence on these
fisheries for some of these vessels is
very small. Table 7 contains additional
information on the specific impacts on
gross sales under this alternative.
TABLE 7. COMPARISON OF ALTERNATIVE 2 IMPACTS TO VESSEL TOTAL GROSS SALES BY REVENUE REDUCTION
CATEGORY
2007 Total Gross Sales (Ex-Vessel Revenues)
Revenue Reduction
Range
$1,000 or Less
$10,000 or Less
No. of Vessels in
Range
No. of Vessels
Percent in Range
No. of Vessels
Percent in Range
10 to 19
45
17
38
33
73
20 to 29
292
115
39
208
71
30 to 39
456
157
34
258
57
40 to 49
69
10
14
20
29
Greater than or
equal to 50
41
15
37
28
68
Total
903
314
35
547
61
pwalker on PROD1PC71 with PROPOSALS
(Percent)
As in Alternative 1, most commercial
vessels showing revenue reduction are
concentrated in MA, RI, NY, NJ, and
NC.
Alternative 2 was estimated to
decrease total summer flounder, scup,
VerDate Aug<31>2005
16:00 Nov 13, 2007
Jkt 214001
and black sea bass revenues by
approximately $5.28 million, $4.77
million and $1.45 million respectively,
relative to expected revenues earned
from the 2007 quotas. The overall
reduction in ex-vessel gross revenue
PO 00000
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Fmt 4702
Sfmt 4702
associated with the potential changes in
quotas in 2008 versus 2007 is
approximately $11.50 million (in 2006
dollars) under Alternative 2. Assuming
that the decrease in total ex-vessel gross
revenue associated with the proposed
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rule for each fishery is distributed
equally among the vessels that landed
those species in 2006 (the last full year
of data availability), the average
decrease in gross revenue per vessel
associated with the Alternative 2 quota
would be $7,184 for summer flounder,
$11,384 for scup and $2,706 for black
sea bass. The total average gross revenue
reduction for vessels that land summer
flounder, scup and black sea bass would
then be $12,735.
Alternative 3 (Status Quo/Least
Restrictive Measures): Alternative 3 was
estimated to increase total summer
flounder, scup, and black sea bass
revenues by approximately $0.61, $0.04,
and $0.08 million respectively, relative
to expected revenues earned from the
2007 quotas (assuming the entire quotas
are landed and ex-vessel prices
previously outlined remain effective).
The overall increase in ex-vessel gross
revenue associated with the potential
changes in quotas in 2008 versus 2007
is approximately $0.73 million (in 2006
dollars) under Alternative 3. Assuming
that the increase in total ex-vessel gross
revenue associated with the proposed
rule for each fishery is distributed
equally among the vessels that landed
those species in 2006 (the last full year
of data availability), the average increase
in gross revenue per vessel associated
with the Alternative 3 quota would be
$829 for summer flounder, $95 for scup
and $149 for black sea bass. The total
average gross revenue reduction for
vessels that land all three species would
then be $808.
Recreational Fishery Impacts
For the analysis of the alternative
recreational harvest limits, the 2008
recreational harvest limits were
compared with the 2007 recreational
harvest limits and landings through
2006, the most recent year with
complete recreational data. The 2008
specifications setting analysis
conducted by Council staff is
principally for commercial fisheries. As
such, only general information related
to the changes in recreational harvest
limits are analyzed as part of the quota
specification rulemaking. The effects of
specific recreational management
measures, including minimum fish
sizes, possession limits, and fishing
seasons for all three species will be
analyzed by the Council when the
Council and Board submit
recommendations for the 2008
recreational fisheries following the
December 2007 Council meeting. At that
time, more complete 2007 recreational
fishery information will be available.
Summer Flounder: The Alternative 1
recreational harvest limit (adjusted for
VerDate Aug<31>2005
16:00 Nov 13, 2007
Jkt 214001
RSA) of 6.21 million lb (2,817 mt),
would be a 7–percent decrease from the
2007 recreational harvest limit of 6.84
million lb (3,104 mt) and a 46–percent
reduction from the 2006 landings of
11.51 million lb (5,221 mt). The
Alternative 2 recreational harvest limit
of 4.56 million lb (2,068 mt) would be
32 percent lower than the 2007
recreational harvest limit, and would
represent a 60–percent decrease from
2006 recreational landings. The
Alternative 3 (status quo) recreational
harvest limit of 6.75 million lb (3,062
mt) would be a less than a 1–percent
decrease from the 2007 recreational
harvest limit (due to differences in the
preliminary summer flounder RSA for
the two years) and would represent a
41–percent decrease from 2006
recreational landings.
If recreational landings are the same
in 2008 as in 2007, the Alternative 1
(Council Preferred) recreational harvest
limits will not constrain recreational
landings in 2008. As such, it is likely
that more restrictive limits (i.e., lower
possession limits, greater minimum size
limits, and/or shorter seasons) would be
required to prevent anglers from
exceeding the recreational harvest limit
in 2008. It is expected that this
alternative would likely decrease
recreational satisfaction for the summer
flounder recreational fishery, relative to
the status quo alternative. At the present
time, there is neither behavioral nor
demand data available to estimate how
sensitive party/charter boat anglers
might be to proposed fishing
regulations. In the summer flounder
fishery, there is no mechanism to
deduct overages directly from the
recreational harvest limit. Any overages
must be addressed by way of
adjustments to the management
measures. While it is likely that
proposed management measures may
restrict the recreational fishery for 2008,
and these measures may cause some
decrease in recreational satisfaction (i.e.,
low bag limit, larger fish size or closed
season), there is no indication that any
of these measures may lead to a decline
in the demand for party/charter boat
trips. Currently, the market demand for
this sector is relatively stable. Summer
flounder recreational trips averaged 5.1
million for the 1991 to 2006 period,
ranging from 3.8 million in 1992 to 6.1
million in 2001. For the years 2004
through 2006, summer flounder
recreational fishing trips were estimated
at 5.1, 5.7, and 5.4 per year,
respectively.
Scup: Under Alternative 1, the scup
recreational harvest limit would be 1.82
million lb (825 mt)), 34 percent below
the 2007 recreational harvest limit of
PO 00000
Frm 00030
Fmt 4702
Sfmt 4702
2.47 million lb (1,120 mt), and 38
percent below the 2006 recreational
landings of 2.95 million lb (1,338 mt).
The Alternative 2 scup recreational
harvest limit of 1.33 million lb (603 mt)
would be 52 percent less than the 2007
recreational harvest limit, and 55
percent below 2006 recreational
landings. The Alternative 3 scup
recreational harvest limit of 2.85 million
lb (1,293 mt) would be a 4–percent
increase from the 2007 recreational
harvest limit and would represent a 3–
percent decrease from 2006 recreational
landings.
It is likely that more restrictive limits
(i.e., lower possession limits, greater
minimum size limits, and/or shorter
seasons) with varying degrees of
restrictions would be required under
any scup alternative to prevent anglers
from exceeding the recreational harvest
limit in 2008. It is likely to decrease
recreational satisfaction for the scup
recreational fishery, relative to the
status quo alternative. However, it is not
expected that this will result in any
substantive decreases in the demand for
party/charter boat trips.
Scup recreational trips have shown a
slight upward trend from the early
1990s to the early 2000s, ranging from
approximately 199,000 trips in 1997 to
972,000 trips in 2003, with an average
of approximately 454,000 trips per year
for the 1991 through 2005 period. For
2004 and 2005, scup recreational fishing
trips were estimated at approximately
568,000 and 458,000, respectively.
Black Sea Bass: Under Alternative 1,
the black sea bass recreational harvest
limit would be 2.11 million lb (957 mt)),
15 percent below the 2007 recreational
harvest limit of 2.47 million lb (1,120
mt), and less than 1 percent above the
2006 recreational landings of 2.10
million lb (953 mt). The Alternative 2
recreational harvest limit of 1.87 million
lb (848 mt) would be 24 percent less
than the 2007 recreational harvest limit,
and 11 percent below the 2006
recreational landings. The Alternative 3
black sea bass recreational harvest limit
of 2.51 million lb (1,139 mt) would be
a 2–percent decrease from the 2007
recreational harvest limit and would
represent a 20–percent increase over
2006 recreational landings.
Under Alternative 1, the black sea
bass 2008 recreational harvest limit
(adjusted for RSA) is 2.11 million lb
(957 mt). However, if recreational
landings are the same in 2007 as in 2006
(2.10 million lb; 953 mt), the adjusted
recreational harvest limit is expected to
constrain recreational landings in 2008.
As such, more restrictive limits (i.e.,
lower possession limits, greater
minimum size limits, and/or shorter
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seasons) may not be necessary to
prevent anglers from exceeding this
recreational harvest limit in 2008.
Black sea bass recreational fishing
trips have averaged approximately
247,000 per year for the 1991 through
2005 period, ranging from
approximately 136,000 trips in 1999, to
311,000 trips in 1997. In 2005,
recreational trips for black sea bass
numbered approximately 166,000, the
third lowest value in the 1991 through
2005 time series.
In summary, it is unlikely that the any
of the measures proposed would result
in any substantive decreases in the
demand for party/charter boat trips. It is
likely that party/charter anglers would
target other species when faced with
potential reductions in the amount of
summer flounder, scup, and black sea
bass that they are allowed to catch. The
Council intends to recommend specific
measures to attain the 2008 summer
flounder, scup, and black sea bass
recreational harvest limit in December
2007, and will provide additional
analysis of the measures upon
submission of its recommendations in
early 2008.
Research Set-Aside Impacts
The Council analysis for 2008 RSA
contains two alternatives: Alternative 1
(non-preferred) wherein no RSA would
occur and Alternative 2 (Council
preferred/status quo) wherein the
Council specifies RSA for 2008. The
Council has recommended a maximum
of 3 percent of the TALs for summer
flounder, scup, and black sea bass may
be set aside for research. Details on the
three projects conditionally approved by
NMFS are contained in the preamble to
this rule. For analysis of the impacts of
the two RSA alternatives, the RSA
amounts are either the specific amounts
requested by the conditionally approved
2008 projects or 3 percent of the TAL,
whichever is less.
Under Alternative 1, no RSA would
be deducted from the overall TAL and,
as such, no downward adjustment to the
TALs would occur. There would be no
direct economic or social costs under
the non-preferred Alternative 1,
however collaborative efforts among the
public, research institutions, and
government aimed at broadening
scientific knowledge of Mid-Atlantic
species would cease under the RSA
program. The nation would not receive
the benefit of data or information that
would otherwise be derived through the
RSA program.
Under the Council-preferred
Alternative 2, RSA would be specified
for each species. The effects of doing so
are summarized, as follows:
VerDate Aug<31>2005
16:00 Nov 13, 2007
Jkt 214001
Summer Flounder: The commercial
portion of the summer flounder RSA
preliminary allocation in the proposed
specifications, if made available to the
commercial fishery, could be worth as
much as $250,448 dockside, based on a
2006 ex-vessel price of $1.79/lb.
Assuming an equal reduction in fishing
opportunity among all active vessels,
this could result in a per-vessel
potential revenue loss of approximately
$341. Changes in the summer flounder
recreational harvest limit as a result of
the RSA are not expected to be
significant as the deduction of RSA from
the TAL. Under Alternative 3 (most
restrictive TAL), a relatively marginal
decrease in the recreational harvest
limit from 4.66 million lb (2,114 mt) to
4.56 million lb (2,068 mt) would occur
(approximately 2 percent decrease).
TAL Alternatives 1 and 3, would be
decreased by slightly less than 2 percent
and slightly more than 1 percent,
respectively. Because this is a marginal
change, it is unlikely that the
recreational possession, size, or seasonal
limits would change as the result of the
RSA allocation.
Scup: The commercial scup RSA
allocation, if made available to the
commercial fishery, could be worth as
much as $141,635 dockside for TAL
Alternatives 1 and 3 which would
permit the full amount requested
(214,000 lb; 97 mt) because it is less
than 3 percent of the respective
alternatives TAL and $97,519 under
Alternative 2 which is the most
restrictive and, as such, would only
permit 3 percent of the TAL (150,600 lb;
68 mt). These values are based on a
2006 ex-vessel price of $0.75/lb.
Assuming an equal reduction in fishing
opportunity for all active commercial
vessels, this could result in a loss of
potential revenue of approximately $338
per vessel under Alternatives 1 and 3
and $233 under Alternative 2. For the
analyzed scup TAL alternatives, the
changes in the recreational harvest
limits are from 1.88 to 1.82 million lb
(852 to 826 mt; a 3.2–percent decrease)
under Alternative 1, from 1.37 (621 mt)
to 1.33 million lb (603 mt) (a 2.9–
percent decrease) under Alternative 2,
and from 2.90 (1,315 mt) to 2.85 million
lb (1,293 mt) (a 1.7–percent decrease)
under Alternative 3. It is unlikely that
scup recreational possession, size, or
seasonal limits would change as the
result of the RSA allocation.
Black Sea Bass: The commercial
portion of the black sea bass RSA, if
made available to the commercial
fishery, could be worth as much as
$105,093 dockside, based on a 2006 exvessel price of $2.50/lb. Assuming an
equal reduction in fishing opportunity
PO 00000
Frm 00031
Fmt 4702
Sfmt 4702
64033
for all active commercial vessels, this
could result in a loss of approximately
$196 per vessel. For the analyzed back
sea bass alternatives, the changes in the
recreational harvest limits are from 2.15
(975 mt) to 2.11 million lb (957 mt) (a
1.9–percent decrease) under Alternative
1, from 1.91 (866 mt) to 1.87 million lb
(848 mt) (a 2.1–percent decrease) under
Alternative 2, and from 2.55 (1,157 mt)
to 2.51 million lb (1,139 mt) (a 1.6–
percent decrease) under Alternative 3. It
is unlikely that the black sea bass
possession, size, or seasonal limits
would change as the result of this RSA
allocation.
Overall, long-term benefits are
expected as a result of the RSA program.
The results of these projects will
provide needed information on highpriority fisheries management issues
related to Mid-Atlantic fisheries
management. If the total amount of
quota set-aside is not awarded for any
of the three fisheries, the unused setaside amount will be restored to the
appropriate fishery’s TAL. It should also
be noted that fish harvested under the
RSAs would be sold, and the profits
would be used to offset the costs of
research. As such, total gross revenue to
the industry would not decrease if the
RSAs are utilized.
Summary
The proposed specifications represent
lower 2008 TALs for summer flounder,
scup, and black sea bass. The proposed
specifications were chosen because they
allow for the maximum level of
commercial and recreational landings,
while allowing the NMFS to meet its
legal requirements under the MagnusonStevens Act while achieving the
objectives of the FMP. The summer
flounder TAL was chosen to allow for
rebuilding of the stock by 2013 and was
selected as a means to balance the social
and economic concerns for the 2008
fishery with the need to select a
measure that is more precautionary than
the minimum requirements (i.e., at least
50–percent probability for success) to
ensure that overfishing does not occur
and that the effects of the retrospective
patterns are mitigated. The scup TAL
was selected as it complies with the
fishing mortality objective outlined in
the scup rebuilding plan of Amendment
14 to the FMP. Due to the level of
uncertainty in the black sea bass stock
assessment and to the recent stock
indices, the black sea bass TAL was
selected as a risk-averse management
approach to ensure continued stock
rebuilding. The proposed 2008 adjusted
commercial quotas for summer
flounder, scup, and black sea bass are
4.8 percent, 40.4 percent, and 14.7
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Federal Register / Vol. 72, No. 219 / Wednesday, November 14, 2007 / Proposed Rules
percent lower, respectively, relative to
the adjusted quotas for year 2007. The
proposed recreational harvest limits
(adjusted for RSA) would be 7.2-, 33.6, and 14.6–percent lower than the
adjusted recreational harvest limits for
year 2007.
There are no new reporting or
recordkeeping requirements contained
in any of the alternatives considered for
this action.
Dated: November 8, 2007.
John Oliver,
Deputy Assistant Administrator for
Operations, National Marine Fisheries
Service.
[FR Doc. 07–5647 Filed 11–8–07; 1:58 pm]
BILLING CODE 3510–22–S
DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration
50 CFR Part 679
[Docket No. 071029545–7545–01]
RIN 0648–AU85
Fisheries of the Exclusive Economic
Zone Off Alaska; Individual Fishing
Quota Program; Community
Development Quota Program
National Marine Fisheries
Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
Commerce.
ACTION: Proposed rule; request for
comments.
pwalker on PROD1PC71 with PROPOSALS
AGENCY:
SUMMARY: NMFS proposes regulations to
modify the Individual Fishing Quota
(IFQ) Program for the fixed-gear
commercial Pacific halibut fishery and
sablefish fishery by revising regulations
governing use of commercial halibut
quota share (QS) and processing of nonIFQ species when processed halibut is
onboard a vessel. This action would
amend current regulations to allow
persons holding category A halibut QS
to process IFQ regardless of whether a
QS holder with unused category B, C, or
D halibut QS is onboard the vessel. This
action also would allow catcher/
processor vessels to process non-IFQ
species regardless of whether any
processed IFQ species is onboard the
vessel. This action is necessary to
improve the efficiency of fishermen
fishing on catcher/processor vessels.
The intended effect of this action is to
allow halibut QS holders greater
flexibility in using their QS, allow use
of crew who hold unused category B, C,
or D halibut QS while onboard a
category A halibut QS vessel, and
VerDate Aug<31>2005
16:00 Nov 13, 2007
Jkt 214001
increase the product quality of non-IFQ
species harvested incidentally to IFQ
halibut.
Comments must be received no
later than December 14, 2007.
ADDRESSES: Send comments to Sue
Salveson, Assistant Regional
Administrator, Sustainable Fisheries
Division, Alaska Region, NMFS, Attn:
Ellen Sebastian. Comments may be
submitted by:
• Mail: P.O. Box 21668, Juneau, AK
99802;
• Hand Delivery to the Federal
Building: 709 West 9th Street, Room
420A, Juneau, AK;
• Fax: 907–586–7557;
• E-mail: OMNIV-PR–0648–
AU85@noaa.gov. Include in the subject
line of the e-mail the following
document identifier: IFQ Halibut
Sablefish 0648–AU85. E-mail
comments, with or without attachments,
are limited to 5 megabytes; or
• Webform at the Federal eRulemaking
Portal: https://www.regulations.gov.
Follow the instructions at that site for
submitting comments.
Instructions: All comments received
are a part of the public record and will
generally be posted to https://
www.regulations.gov without change.
All personal identifying information (for
example, name, address, etc.)
voluntarily submitted by the commenter
may be publicly accessible. Do not
submit confidential business
information or otherwise sensitive or
protected information.
NMFS will accept anonymous
comments. Attachments to electronic
comments will be accepted in Microsoft
Word, Excel, WordPerfect, or Adobe
PDF file formats only.
Copies of the Categorical Exclusion
(CE), Regulatory Impact Review (RIR),
and Initial Regulatory Flexibility
Analysis (IRFA) prepared for this action
may be obtained from the North Pacific
Fishery Management Council (Council)
at 605 West 4th, Suite 306, Anchorage,
Alaska 99501–2252, 907–271–2809, or
the NMFS Alaska Region, P.O. Box
21668, Juneau, Alaska 99802, Attn:
Ellen Sebastian, and on the NMFS
Alaska Region website at https://
www.noaa.fakr.gov.
DATES:
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Jay
Ginter, 907–586–7228 or
jay.ginter@noaa.gov.
The
International Pacific Halibut
Commission (IPHC) and NMFS manage
fishing for Pacific halibut (Hippoglossus
stenolepis) through regulations
established under the authority of the
Convention between the United States
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
PO 00000
Frm 00032
Fmt 4702
Sfmt 4702
and Canada for the Preservation of the
Halibut Fishery of the Northern Pacific
Ocean and Bering Sea (Convention) and
the Northern Pacific Halibut Act of 1982
(Halibut Act). The IPHC promulgates
regulations pursuant to the Convention.
The IPHC’s regulations are subject to
approval by the Secretary of State with
concurrence from the Secretary of
Commerce (Secretary). After approval
by the Secretary of State and the
Secretary, the IPHC regulations are
published in the Federal Register as
annual management measures pursuant
to 50 CFR 300.62 (72 FR 11792; March
14, 2007).
The Halibut Act also authorizes the
Council to develop and submit
regulations to the Secretary to allocate
harvesting privileges among U.S.
fishermen. Regulations developed by
the Council are implemented only with
the approval of the Secretary. Like the
original IFQ Program regulations and
subsequent amendments to them, this
action was developed by the Council
under authority of the Halibut Act.
The Council, under the authority of
the Halibut Act (with respect to Pacific
halibut) and the Magnuson-Stevens
Fishery Conservation and Management
Act (with respect to sablefish), adopted
the IFQ Program in 1991. The Halibut
and Sablefish IFQ Program established a
limited access system for managing the
fixed gear Pacific halibut fishery in
Convention waters in and off Alaska
and sablefish fisheries in waters of the
Exclusive Economic Zone, located
between 3 and 200 miles off Alaska. The
IFQ Program was approved by NMFS in
January 1993, and promulgated in
Federal regulation on November 9, 1993
(58 FR 59375). Fishing under the
Halibut and Sablefish IFQ Program
began on March 15, 1995, ending the
open access fishery which preceded its
implementation. Regulations
implementing the Halibut and Sablefish
IFQ Program are at 50 CFR part 679. In
addition, Federal regulations at 50 CFR
part 300, subpart E, also govern the
halibut IFQ fishery.
The Halibut and Sablefish IFQ
Program was developed to reduce
fishing capacity that had increased
during years of management as an open
access fishery, while maintaining the
social and economic character of the
fixed gear fishery that is relied on as a
source of revenue for coastal
communities in Alaska. The Council
and the Secretary concluded that the
Halibut and Sablefish IFQ Program
would provide economic stability for
the commercial hook-and-line fishery
while reducing many of the
conservation and management problems
commonly associated with open access
E:\FR\FM\14NOP1.SGM
14NOP1
Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 72, Number 219 (Wednesday, November 14, 2007)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 64023-64034]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 07-5647]
=======================================================================
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
50 CFR Part 648
[Docket No. 071030625-7626-01]
RIN 0648-XC84
Fisheries of the Northeastern United States; Summer Flounder,
Scup, and Black Sea Bass Fisheries; 2008 Summer Flounder, Scup, and
Black Sea Bass Specifications; 2008 Research Set-Aside Projects
AGENCY: National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS), National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Commerce.
ACTION: Proposed specifications; request for comments.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: NMFS proposes specifications for the 2008 summer flounder,
scup, and black sea bass fisheries and provides notice of three
conditionally approved projects that will be requesting Exempted
Fishing Permits (EFPs) as part of the Mid-Atlantic Fishery Management
Council's (Council) Research Set-Aside (RSA) program. The implementing
regulations for the Summer Flounder, Scup, and Black Sea Bass Fishery
Management Plan (FMP) require NMFS to publish specifications for the
upcoming fishing year for each of these species and to provide an
opportunity for public comment. Furthermore, regulations under the
Magnuson-Stevens Fishery Conservation and Management Act (Magnuson-
Stevens Act) require a notice to be published to provide interested
parties the opportunity to comment on applications for EFPs. The intent
of this action is to establish harvest levels that assure that the
target fishing mortality rates (F) or exploitation rates specified for
these species in the FMP are not exceeded and to allow for rebuilding
of the stocks as well as to provide notice of EFP requests, all in
accordance with the Magnuson-Stevens Act.
DATES: Comments must be received on or before December 3, 2007.
ADDRESSES: You may submit comments, identified by RIN 0648-XC84, by any
one of the following methods:
Electronic Submissions: Submit all electronic public
comments via the Federal eRulemaking Portal https://www.regulations.gov.
Mail and hand delivery: Patricia A. Kurkul, Regional
Administrator, NMFS, Northeast Regional Office, One Blackburn Drive,
Gloucester, MA 01930. Mark the outside of the envelope:
[[Page 64024]]
``Comments on 2008 Summer Flounder, Scup, and Black Sea Bass
Specifications.''
Fax: (978) 281-9135.
Instructions: All comments received are a part of the public record
and will generally be posted to https://www.regulations.gov without
change. All Personal Identifying Information (for example, name,
address, etc.) voluntarily submitted by the commenter may be publicly
accessible. Do not submit Confidential Business Information or
otherwise sensitive or protected information.
NMFS will accept anonymous comments. Attachments to electronic
comments will be accepted in Microsoft Word, Excel, WordPerfect, or
Adobe PDF file formats only.
Copies of the specifications document, including the Environmental
Assessment, Regulatory Impact Review, and Initial Regulatory
Flexibility Analysis (EA/RIR/IRFA) and other supporting documents for
the specifications are available from Daniel Furlong, Executive
Director, Mid-Atlantic Fishery Management Council, Room 2115, Federal
Building, 300 South Street, Dover, DE 19901-6790. These documents are
also accessible via the Internet at https://www.nero.noaa.gov.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Michael Ruccio, Fishery Policy
Analyst, (978) 281-9104.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
Background
The summer flounder, scup, and black sea bass fisheries are managed
cooperatively by the Council and the Atlantic States Marine Fisheries
Commission (Commission), in consultation with the New England and South
Atlantic Fishery Management Councils. The management units specified in
the FMP include summer flounder (Paralichthys dentatus) in U.S. waters
of the Atlantic Ocean from the southern border of North Carolina
northward to the U.S./Canada border, and scup (Stenotomus chrysops) and
black sea bass (Centropristis striata) in U.S. waters of the Atlantic
Ocean from 35[deg]13.3'N. lat. (the latitude of Cape Hatteras
Lighthouse, Buxton, North Carolina) northward to the U.S./Canada
border. Implementing regulations for these fisheries are found at 50
CFR part 648, subpart A (General Provisions), subpart G (summer
flounder), subpart H (scup), and subpart I (black sea bass).
The regulations outline the process for specifying the annual
commercial quotas and recreational harvest limits for the summer
flounder, scup, and black sea bass fisheries, as well as other
management measures (e.g., mesh requirements, minimum fish sizes, gear
restrictions, possession restrictions, and area restrictions) for these
fisheries. The measures are intended to achieve the annual targets set
forth for each species in the FMP, specified either as an F or an
exploitation rate (the proportion of fish available at the beginning of
the year that are removed by fishing during the year). Once the catch
limits are established, they are divided into quotas based on formulas
contained within the FMP.
As required by the FMP, a Monitoring Committee for each species,
made up of members from NMFS, the Commission, and both the Mid-Atlantic
and New England Fishery Management Councils, reviews the best available
scientific information and recommends catch limits and other management
measures that will achieve the target F or exploitation rate for each
fishery. Consistent with the implementation of Framework Adjustment 5
to the FMP (69 FR 62818, October 28, 2004), each Monitoring Committee
meets annually to recommend the Total Allowable Landings (TAL), unless
the TAL has already been established for the upcoming calendar year as
part of a multiple-year specification process, provided that new
information does not require a modification to the multiple-year
quotas. Further, the TALs may be specified in any given year for the
following 1, 2, or 3 years. The Council is not obligated to specify
multi-year TALs, but is able to do so, depending on the information
available and the status of the fisheries.
The Council's Demersal Species Committee and the Commission's
Summer Flounder, Scup, and Black Sea Bass Management Board (Board)
consider the Monitoring Committees' recommendations and any public
comment and make their own recommendations. While the Board action is
final, the Council's recommendations must be reviewed by NMFS to assure
that they comply with FMP objectives and applicable law. The Council
and Board made their recommendations at a joint meeting held August 7-
9, 2007.
Explanation of Research Set-Aside (RSA)
Background: In 2001, regulations were implemented under Framework
Adjustment 1 to the FMP to allow up to 3 percent of the TAL for each
species to be set aside each year for scientific research purposes. For
the 2008 fishing year, a Request for Proposals was published to solicit
research proposals based upon the research priorities that were
identified by the Council (71 FR 77726, December 27, 2006).
NMFS has conditionally approved three research projects for the
harvest of the portion of the quota that has been recommended by the
Council to be set aside for research purposes. In anticipation of
receiving applications for EFPs to conduct this research, the Assistant
Regional Administrator for Sustainable Fisheries, Northeast Region,
NMFS (Assistant Regional Administrator), has made a preliminary
determination that the activities authorized under the EFPs issued in
response to the approved RSA projects would be consistent with the
goals and objectives of the FMP. However, further review and
consultation may be necessary before a final determination is made to
issue any EFP.
For informational purposes, these proposed specifications include a
statement indicating the amount of quota that has been preliminarily
set aside for research purposes (a percentage of the TAL for each
fishery, not to exceed 3 percent, as recommended by the Council and
Board), and a brief description of the RSA projects, including
exemptions requested, and the amount of RSA requested for each project.
The RSA amounts may be adjusted, following consultation with RSA
applicants, in the final rule establishing the 2008 specifications for
the summer flounder, scup, and black sea bass fisheries. If the total
amount of RSA is not awarded, NMFS will publish a document in the
Federal Register to restore the unused amount to the applicable TAL.
For 2008, the conditionally approved projects may collectively be
awarded the following amounts of RSA: 233,192 lb (106 mt) of summer
flounder; 214,000 lb (97 mt) of scup; and 85,790 lb (39 mt) of black
sea bass. The projects may also be collectively awarded up to 50,000 lb
(23 mt) of both Loligo squid and Atlantic bluefish.
2008 RSA Proposal Summaries: The University of Rhode Island
submitted a proposal to conduct a fifth year of work in a fishery-
independent scup survey that would utilize unvented fish traps fished
on hard bottom areas in southern New England waters to characterize the
size composition of the scup population. Survey activities would be
conducted from May 15 through October 15, 2008, at 10 rocky bottom
study sites located offshore, where there is a minimal scup pot fishery
and no active trawl fishery, and at two scup spawning ground sites. Up
to two vessels would conduct the research survey. Sampling would occur
off the coasts of Rhode Island and southern
[[Page 64025]]
Massachusetts. Up to three vessels would harvest the RSA during the
period January 1 through December 31, 2007. The principle investigators
have requested exemptions from trip limits, gear requirements
(excluding marine mammal avoidance and/or release devices), and closed
seasons for harvest of RSA species. The preliminary RSA requested for
this project is 2,000 lb (907 kg) of summer flounder; 64,000 lb (29 mt)
of scup; and 24,000 lb (11 mt) of black sea bass.
The Virginia Institute of Marine Science (VIMS) submitted a
proposal to conduct a near-shore trawl survey in Mid-Atlantic waters
between Gay Head, Massachusetts, and Cape Hatteras, North Carolina,
including both Block Island and Rhode Island Sounds. A stratified
random sampling of approximately 200 stations will occur in depths
between 18-60 feet (8-18 m). The function of the survey would be to
provide stock assessment data for summer flounder, scup, black sea
bass, Loligo squid, butterfish, Atlantic bluefish, several species
managed by the Atlantic States Marine Fisheries Commission (Commission)
such as weakfish and Atlantic croaker, and unmanaged forage species.
The research aspects of the trawl survey will be conducted by one VIMS
scientific research vessel operating under the control of VIMS
personnel. This vessel will operate under a Letter of Authorization
(LOA) as provided for by the specific exemption for scientific research
activities found at 50 CFR 600.745. Up to 35 vessels will harvest the
RSA between January 1 through December 31 during commercial fishing
operations, except that these vessels have requested exemptions for
closed seasons and trip limits to harvest the RSA allocated to the
project. The preliminary RSA requested by this project is 150,000 lb
(68 mt) of both summer flounder and scup and 50,000 lb (23 mt) each of
black sea bass, Atlantic bluefish, and Loligo squid.
The National Fisheries Institute (NFI) has submitted a proposal to
conduct an evaluation of discard mortality for summer flounder in trawl
fisheries. This study is designed to work in concert with a previous
summer flounder mortality RSA-funded study conducted in 2007. Combined
sources of mortality and injury quantification that occur as part of
trawling, tracking and tagging, and scuba diver observation will be
utilized to provide an estimate of trawl-related mortality. Research
sampling will be conducted adjacent to Little Egg Inlet off the New
Jersey coast in September and October 2008. One vessel will conduct the
research activities and may simultaneously participate in harvesting
RSA, if the season for summer flounder is closed or if more fish, above
those needed for the research activities, are caught than are permitted
by possession limits. The principle investigators have requested
exemption from the commercial summer flounder minimum size so that fish
smaller than 14 inches (35.5 cm) may be temporarily retained to assess
viability and to affix tags and data transmitters. Up to 35 vessels
will harvest the RSA between January 1 through December 31 under during
commercial fishing operations, except that these vessels have requested
exemptions for closed seasons and trip limits to harvest the RSA
allocated to the project. The preliminary RSA requested by this project
is 81,192 lb (37 mt) of summer flounder 50,000 lb (23 mt) and 11,790 lb
(5 mt) of black sea bass.
Regulations under the Magnuson-Stevens Act require publication of
this notification to provide interested parties the opportunity to
comment on applications for proposed EFPs.
Explanation of Quota Adjustments Due to Quota Overages
This action proposes commercial quotas based on the proposed TALs
and Total Allowable Catches (TACs) and the formulas for allocation
contained in the FMP. In 2002, NMFS published final regulations to
implement a regulatory amendment (67 FR 6877, February 14, 2002) that
revised the way in which the commercial quotas for summer flounder,
scup, and black sea bass are adjusted if landings in any fishing year
exceed the quota allocated (thus resulting in a quota overage). If NMFS
approves a different TAL or TAC at the final specifications stage
(i.e., in the final rule), the commercial quotas will be recalculated
based on the formulas in the FMP. Likewise, if new information
indicates that overages have occurred and deductions are necessary,
NMFS will publish notice of the adjusted quotas in the Federal
Register. NMFS anticipates that the information necessary to determine
whether overage deductions are necessary will be available by the time
the final specifications are published. The commercial quotas contained
in these proposed specifications for summer flounder, scup, and black
sea bass do not reflect any deductions for overages. The final
specifications, however, will contain quotas that have been adjusted
consistent with the procedures described above.
Summer Flounder
The Southern Demersal Working Group (SDWG), a technical stock
assessment group composed of personnel from the Northeast Fisheries
Science Center (NEFSC), NMFS Northeast Regional Office, Council,
Commission, state marine fisheries agencies, academia, and an
independent participant with stock assessment expertise selected by the
Council, met June 19-20, 2007, to update the summer flounder assessment
through 2006/2007 based on the most recent available research survey
and fisheries catch data. This was a routine annual update, as called
for by the FMP. The update utilized the model and methods evaluated and
recommended for continued use in the most recent peer review conducted
by the NMFS Office of Science and Technology Division (S&T) in 2006.
The 2007 SDWG update shows that summer flounder are overfished and
that overfishing occurred in 2006, the year for which the most recent,
complete fishery-dependent data are available. The F estimated for 2006
is 0.35, a reduction from the estimated F of 0.47 for 2005, but still
above the FMAX threshold of 0.28. FMAX is the
level of fishing mortality that produces maximum yield per recruit. The
updated 2007 assessment confirms that summer flounder have been subject
to overfishing each year of the rebuilding period that began in 2000.
Spawning stock biomass (SSB) in 2006 was estimated to be 93.0 million
lb (42,184 mt), below the S&T updated biomass threshold of \1/2\
SSBMSY= 98.6 million lb (44,724 mt). FMSY is the
fishing mortality rate that, if applied constantly, would result in
maximum sustainable yield (MSY). When F > FMAX, overfishing
is considered to be occurring, and when B<\1/2\ BMSY, the
stock is considered overfished. The arithmetic mean recruitment from
1982 to 2006 is 37 million fish at age 0, with a median of 33 million
fish. The 2006 year class is currently estimated to be about 30 million
fish.
The Virtual Population Analysis (VPA) model used in the summer
flounder assessment tends to underestimate F and overestimate stock
biomass in the most recent years of the analysis until those data
stabilize as new data are added in subsequent years. The model has also
produced variable patterns for recruitment. Typically, the magnitude of
the retrospective patterns get smaller after 5 to 7 years and
completely stabilizes (converges) after 10 years of data have been
added to the model (i.e., the estimates of F, SSB, and
[[Page 64026]]
recruitment for the year 1995 have gradually stabilized over time and
are now expected not to change when new data are added in successive
years' updates).
Over the last 3 years, the annual retrospective increase in fishing
mortality has ranged from +20 to +40 percent. Over the last 3 years,
the annual retrospective decrease in SSB has ranged from -8 to -22
percent. Retrospective analysis shows no definitive trend in estimation
of the abundance of age 0 fish in the most recent years. Over the last
3 years, the annual retrospective change in recruitment has been
variable and ranged from -7 to +13 percent. These patterns are likely
the result of an underestimation of the true catch, due to discards
and/or unreported landings. The impact for management, given these
persistent retrospective patterns, is that the summer flounder stock is
increasing at a lower rate and is currently at a smaller size than
previously forecast.
The regulations state that the Council shall recommend, and NMFS
shall implement, measures (including the TAL) necessary to achieve,
with at least a 50-percent probability of success, a fishing mortality
rate that produces the maximum yield per recruit (FMAX). This
requirement is also consistent with a 2000 Federal Court Order (Natural
Resources Defense Council v. Daley, Civil No. 1:99 CV 00221 (JLG))
regarding the setting of the summer flounder TAL. Summer flounder are
under a rebuilding program whose timeline for completion has been
extended from January 1, 2010, to no later than January 1, 2013, by
section 120(a) of the 2006 reauthorized Magnuson-Stevens Act.
It has been evident in recent years that setting specifications
designed to satisfy the minimum requirement of the regulations (i.e., a
50-percent probability of achieving FMAX) is insufficient to
prevent overfishing and to ensure that rebuilding will occur within the
required timeframe. For the 2007 fishery, NMFS implemented a TAL that
differed from the Council recommendation. The 2007 NMFS implemented TAL
had a more precautionary 75-percent probability of achieving an F rate
calculated to ensure that stock rebuilding will occur within the
remaining years of the rebuilding time frame. This F rate,
FREBUILD, was set at 0.203, which is lower than FMAX
(0.28). It will not be possible to estimate if the 2007 FREBUILD
target was successful in constraining fishing mortality at or below the
0.203 level and in ending overfishing (i.e., F <0.28) until mid-year in
2008, after the final 2007 recreational and commercial fisheries data
have been compiled, audited, and are available for analysis.
The SDWG 2007 assessment update analysis indicated a 2008 TAL of
17.5 million lb (7,938 mt) at an FREBUILD=0.199 is forecast
to rebuild the stock to the S&T recommended SSBMSY=197.2
million lb (89,450 mt) by Nov 1, 2012, and to a Total Stock Biomass
(TSB) =207.3 million lb (94,031 mt) by Jan 1, 2013. Maintaining the
FREBUILD=0.199 rate for the remaining rebuilding period
years of 2009-2012 is forecast by the SDWG's 2007 update to achieve the
required stock rebuilding for summer flounder by the January 1, 2013,
deadline, with at least a 50-percent probability of success. As such,
this is the 2008 TAL analytical baseline that satisfies the minimum
requirements of the Magnuson-Stevens Act rebuilding requirements and is
consistent with the FMP regulations and Court rulings regarding
probabilities for success. A TAL at this level is more conservative
than the regulatory requirement that TAL recommendations have at least
50 percent probability of achieving FMAX (i.e.,
FMAX=0.28, the SDWG baseline TAL is set below this at the
FREBUILD=0.199 level).
The Summer Flounder Monitoring Committee evaluated a range of
options, derived from the SDWG's baseline, for the 2008 TAL and their
associated probabilities for constraining fishing mortality within the
FREBUILD target. In addition, the Monitoring Committee
evaluated TALs and F target probabilities provided by Council staff
wherein the 2008 FREBUILD value of 0.199 would be corrected
in an attempt to compensate for the retrospective pattern which has
resulted from the VPA analysis. Council staff applied a 1-year
correction to the FREBUILD target by reducing the 2008
FREBUILD by 28-percent from 0.199 to 0.143. Council staff
derived the correction to FREBUILD by using the most recent
3-year average underestimation of F in the model (i.e., 28 percent).
The TAL and probability options recommended by Council staff ranged
from a low of 11.64 million lb (5,280 mt) with a 75-percent probability
of achieving the corrected 2008 FREBUILD=0.143, to a high of
15.77 million lb (7,153 mt) that has a 75-percent probability of
achieving the uncorrected 2008 FREBUILD=0.199.
The Monitoring Committee recommended a TAL within the range of
12.90 to 11.64 million lb (5,851 mt to 5,280 mt) to the Council. This
range was based on the corrected FREBUILD value (0.143) and
would achieve a 50- to 75-percent probability of achieving the
corrected F, respectively. Both Council staff and the Monitoring
Committee assumed in their analysis of the adjusted FREBUILD
value for 2008 that the resulting TAL would be sufficient to correct,
within 1 year, the course of the summer flounder rebuilding program
provided the 2008 F target is not exceeded. The Monitoring Committee
projections utilized for rebuilding years 2009-2012 assumes that the
retrospective pattern ceases to occur. The TAL range proposed by the
Monitoring Committee is more conservative than the regulatory
requirements of the FMP and the statutory requirements of the Magnuson-
Stevens Act.
The Council and the Board discussed the Monitoring Committee
recommendation at the August Council meeting. The Council discussed at
length the feasibility of achieving the rebuilding biomass target
within the rebuilding period given recent recruitment levels and
environmental factors, the retrospective patterns that arise from the
VPA modeling approach, and the requirements of National Standard 1 that
mandates management measures shall prevent overfishing while achieving
optimum yield on a continuing basis and National Standard 8 that guides
Councils to minimize, to the extent practicable, adverse impacts of
conservation and management measures on fishing communities. The
Council and the Board considered the various alternatives presented to
them, and considered the need to rebuild the stock within the required
timeframe, the needs of fishery participants, and the need to act with
precaution in the face of uncertainty regarding the retrospective
patterns. The Council adopted a 15.77-million-lb (7,153 mt) TAL that
has a 75-percent probability of constraining mortality to the
FREBUILD target of 0.199 in 2008. As such, the Council's
recommended TAL exceeds the regulatory requirement for success by
employing a probability greater than 50 percent. In addition, the F
target is the lower FREBUILD (0.199) value as opposed to the
minimally required FMAX value (0.28). The Council and Board
agreed to set aside 233,192 lb (106 mt) of the proposed TAL for
research. After deducting the RSA, the TAL would be divided into a
commercial quota (60 percent) and a recreational harvest limit (40
percent). All other management measures were recommended to remain
status quo.
The Commission is expected to maintain the voluntary measures
currently in place to reduce regulatory discards that occur as a result
of landing limits established by the states. The Commission established
a system whereby 15 percent of each state's quota
[[Page 64027]]
would be voluntarily set aside each year to enable vessels to land an
incidental catch allowance after the directed fishery has been closed.
The intent of the incidental catch set-aside is to reduce discards by
allowing fishermen to land summer flounder caught incidentally in other
fisheries during the year, while also ensuring that the state's overall
quota is not exceeded. These Commission set-asides are not included in
these proposed specifications because these measures are not authorized
by the FMP and NMFS does not have authority to implement them.
Table 1 presents the proposed allocations by state, with and
without the commercial portion of the RSA deduction. These state quota
allocations are preliminary and are subject to reductions if there are
overages of states quotas carried over from a previous fishing year
(using the landings information and procedures described earlier). Any
commercial quota adjustments to account for overages will be included
in the final rule implementing these specifications.
Table 1. 2007 Proposed Initial Summer Flounder State Commercial Quotas
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Commercial Quota Commercial Quota less RSA\1\
State Percent Share --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
lb kg\2\ lb kg\2\
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ME 0.04756 4,500 2,041 4,434 2,011
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NH 0.00046 44 20 43 19
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MA 6.82046 645,352 292,732 635,809 288,403
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RI 15.68298 1,483,924 673,108 1,461,981 663,143
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CT 2.25708 213,565 96,873 210,407 95,441
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NY 7.64699 723,558 328,206 712,859 323,348
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NJ 16.72499 1,582,519 717,830 1,559,118 707,204
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DE 0.01779 1,683 764 1,658 752
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MD 2.03910 192,940 87,517 190,087 86,223
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
VA 21.31676 2,016,992 914,892 1,987,166 901,363
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NC 27.44584 2,596,925 1,177,945 2,558,524 1,160,527
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total\3\ 100.00001 9,462,001 4,291,964 9,322,086 4,228,435
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ Preliminary Research Set-Aside amount is 233,192 lb (106 mt).
\2\ Kilograms are as converted from pounds and do not sum to the converted total due to rounding.
\3\ Rounding of quotas results in totals exceeding 100 percent.
Scup
Scup was last formally assessed in June 2002 at the 35th Northeast
Regional SAW. At that time, SARC 35 indicated that the species was no
longer overfished, but that stock status with respect to overfishing
could not be evaluated. The stock is considered overfished when the 3-
year average of scup SSB is less than the biomass threshold (2.77 kg/
tow; the maximum NEFSC spring survey 3-year average of SSB).
On August 18, 2005, NMFS notified the Council that the scup stock
had been designated as overfished and that, within 1 year of that
notice, an amendment or proposed regulations for the scup fishery to
end overfishing and to rebuild the stock must be prepared in accordance
with the Magnuson-Stevens Act. In response, the Council developed and
submitted for Secretarial review, Amendment 14 to the FMP (Amendment
14) to rebuild, during a 7-year period, the scup stock from an
overfished condition to a biomass level (B) associated with MSY or
(BMSY), as required by the Magnuson-Stevens Act. The Secretary approved
Amendment 14 on July 3, 2007. The final rule implementing the amendment
published in the Federal Register on July 23, 2007 (72 FR 40077). The
rebuilding program begins on January 1, 2008 (i.e., year one of the 7-
year plan). The Amendment 14 rebuilding plan applies a constant F of
0.10 in each year of the 7-year rebuilding period.
The 2006 NEFSC Spring SSB 3-year average (2005-2007) index value of
0.76 kg/tow remains below the minimum biomass threshold of 2.77 kg/tow.
The scup stock is considered overfished. The NEFSC spring survey index
increased significantly in 2004 to 1.85 kg/tow relative to the low
value of 0.15 kg/tow derived in 2003. In 2005, the spring index dropped
to 0.10 kg/tow; however, in 2006 this value increased to 2.04 kg/tow.
The 2006 index was the highest value in the spring survey since 1978,
excluding the high value in 2002. In 2007, this value dropped to 0.14
kg/tow.
The FMP specifies that the TAC associated with a given exploitation
rate be allocated 78 percent to the commercial sector and 22 percent to
the recreational sector. Scup discard estimates are deducted from both
sectors' TACs to establish TALs for each sector, i.e., TAC minus
discards equals TAL. The commercial TAC, discards, and TAL (commercial
quota) are then allocated on a percentage basis to three quota periods,
as specified in the FMP: Winter I (January-April)--45.11 percent;
Summer (May-October)--38.95 percent; and Winter II (November-December)-
-15.94 percent.
The Monitoring Committee recommended a 2008 TAL of 7.34 million lb
(3,329 mt) to achieve the target exploitation rate of 9 percent
(F=0.10). The discard estimates used by the Monitoring Committee in the
2008 TAC calculations were based on the average discards of 2005 and
2006 for the commercial and recreational fisheries. This discard
estimate is 2.56 million lb (1,161 mt), resulting in a TAC
[[Page 64028]]
of 9.90 million lb (4,491 mt). The Council and the Board accepted the
Monitoring Committee's recommendations for 2008. NMFS is proposing to
implement the Council and Board recommendation as it complies with the
provisions of the Amendment 14 rebuilding program. This TAL is a 38.8-
percent decrease from the 2007 TAL of 12.0 million lb (5,443 mt).
The commercial TAC would be 7.72 million lb (3,502 mt) and the
recreational TAC would be 2.18 million lb (989 mt). After deducting
estimated discards (2.26 million lb (1,025 mt) for the commercial
sector and 0.30 million lb (136 mt) for the recreational sector), the
initial commercial quota would be 5.46 million lb (2,477 mt) and the
recreational harvest limit would be 1.88 million lb (853 mt). The
Council and Board agreed to set aside 214,000 lb (97 mt) of the TAL for
research activities. Deducting this RSA would result in a commercial
quota of 5.30 million lb (2,404 mt) and a recreational harvest limit of
1.82 million lb (826 mt).
The proposed 2008 specifications would maintain the status quo base
scup possession limits, i.e., 30,000 lb (13,608 kg) for Winter I, to be
reduced to 1,000 lb (454 kg) when 80 percent of the quota is projected
to be reached, and 2,000 lb (907 kg) for Winter II).
Table 2 presents the 2008 commercial allocation recommended by the
Council, with and without the preliminary 214,000-lb (97-mt) RSA
deduction. These 2008 allocations are preliminary and may be subject to
downward adjustment due to 2006 overages in the final rule implementing
these specifications, based on the procedures for calculating overages
described earlier.
Table 2. 2008 Proposed Initial TAC, Commercial Scup Quota, and Possession Limits
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Commercial Quota in Commercial Quota Possession Limits
Period Percent TAC in lb (mt) Discards in lb (mt) lb (mt) less RSA in lb (mt) in lb (kg)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Winter I 45.11 3,483,394(1,580) 1,019,486(462) 2,463,908(1,118) 2,367,373(1,074) 30,000\1\(13,608)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Summer 38.95 3,007,719(1,364) 880,270(399) 2,127,449(965) 2,044,096(927) n/a
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Winter II 15.94 1,230,887(558) 360,244(163) 870,643(395) 836,531(379) 2,000(907)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total\2\ 100.00 7,722,000(3,503) 2,260,000(1,025) 5,462,000(2,478) 5,248,000(2,380) ...................
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\The Winter I landing limit would drop to 1,000 lb (454 kg) upon attainment of 80 percent of the seasonal allocation.
\2\Totals subject to rounding error.
n/a-Not applicable
The final rule to implement Framework 3 to the FMP (68 FR 62250,
November 3, 2003) implemented a process, for years in which the full
Winter I commercial scup quota is not harvested, to allow unused quota
from the Winter I period to be rolled over to the quota for the Winter
II period. As shown in Table 3, the proposed specifications would
maintain the status quo Winter II possession limit-to-rollover amount
ratios (i.e., 1,500 lb (680 kg) per 500,000 lb (227 mt) of unused
Winter I period quota).
Table 3. Potential Increase in Winter II Possession Limits Based on the Amount of Scup Rolled Over from Winter I to Winter II Period
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Initial Winter II Possession Limit Rollover from Winter I to Winter II Increase in Initial Winter II Possession Final Winter II Possession Limit after
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Limit Rollover from Winter I to Winter II
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
lb kg lb kg lb kg lb kg
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2,000 907 0-499,999 0-227 0 0 2,000 907
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2,000 907 500,000-999,999 227-454 1,500 680 3,500 1,588
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2,000 907 1,000,000-1,499,999 454-680 3,000 1,361 5,000 2,268
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2,000 907 1,500,000-1,999,999 680-907 4,500 2,041 6,500 2,948
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2,000 907 2,000,000-2,500,000 907-1,134 6,000 2,722 8,000 3,629
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Black Sea Bass
Amendment 12 to the FMP indicated that the black sea bass stock,
which was determined by SARC 27 to be overfished in 1998, could be
rebuilt to the target biomass within a 10-year period, i.e., by 2010.
The current target exploitation rate is based on the current estimate
of FMAX, or 0.33 (25.6 percent). The northern stock of black
sea bass was last assessed at the 43\rd\ SAW in June 2006. The SARC 43
Panel did not consider the stock assessment to provide an adequate
basis to evaluate stock status against the biological reference points,
but did not recommend any other reference points to replace them.
The most recent Center spring survey results indicate that the
exploitable biomass of black sea bass decreased in 2006. The 2006
biomass index, i.e., the 3-year average exploitable biomass for 2005
through 2007, is estimated to be 0.6 kg/tow, below the threshold
biomass value of 0.976 kg/tow. Based on these results, if the
biological reference points in the FMP are applied, black sea bass once
again would be considered to be overfished.
Because the estimate of exploitable biomass is based on a 3-year
average, the actual estimate for 2007 will not be derived until the
spring 2008 survey results are available; if it is 0.263 (3-year moving
average for 2006), and assuming an exploitation rate of 21 percent in
2003, the TAL associated with the target exploitation rate would be
3.75 million
[[Page 64029]]
lb (1,701 mt). However, if the 2008 estimate is 0.328 (3-year moving
average for 2005), the TAL associated with the target exploitation rate
would be 4.68 million lb (2,123 mt). Given the uncertainty in the black
sea bass survey estimates and the potential underestimation of the 2003
exploitation rate (21 percent), the Monitoring Committee agreed with
the Council staff recommendation to set a 1-year TAL of 4.22 million lb
(1,914 mt). The Council and Board accepted the Monitoring Committee
recommendation. This TAL would represent a 15.6-percent decrease from
2007.
NMFS proposes to implement a 2008 black sea bass TAL of 4.22
million lb (1,194 mt), consistent with the Council and Board
recommendations. The FMP specifies that the TAL associated with a given
exploitation rate be allocated 49 percent to the commercial sector and
51 percent to the recreational sector; therefore, the initial TAL would
be allocated 2.07 million lb (939 mt) to the commercial sector and 2.15
million lb (975 mt) to the recreational sector. The Council and Board
also agreed to set aside 85,790 lb (39 mt) of the black sea bass TAL
for research activities. After deducting the RSA the TAL would be
divided into a commercial quota of 2,025,763 lb (919 mt) and a
recreational harvest limit of 2,108,447 lb (956 mt), as specified in
the FMP.
Classification
Pursuant to section 304 (b)(1)(A) of the Magnuson-Stevens Act, the
NMFS Assistant Administrator has determined that this proposed rule is
consistent with the Summer Flounder, Scup, and Black Sea Bass FMP,
other provisions of the Magnuson-Stevens Act, and other applicable law,
subject to further consideration after public comment.
These proposed specifications are exempt from review under
Executive Order 12866.
An IRFA was prepared, as required by section 603 of the Regulatory
Flexibility Act (RFA). The IRFA describes the economic impact these
proposed specifications, if adopted, would have on small entities. A
description of the action, why it is being considered, and the legal
basis for this action are contained in the preamble to this proposed
rule. A copy of this analysis is available from NMFS (see ADDRESSES). A
summary of the analysis follows.
The economic analysis assessed the impacts of the various
management alternatives. The no action alternative is defined as
follows: (1) No proposed specifications for the 2008 summer flounder,
scup, and black sea bass fisheries would be published; (2) the
indefinite management measures (minimum mesh sizes, minimum sizes,
possession limits, permit and reporting requirements, etc.) would
remain unchanged; (3) there would be no quota set-aside allocated to
research in 2008; (4) the existing gear restrictive areas would remain
in place for 2008; and (5) there would be no specific cap on the
allowable annual landings in these fisheries (i.e., there would be no
quotas). Implementation of the no action alternative would be
inconsistent with the goals and objectives of the FMP, its implementing
regulations, and the Magnuson-Stevens Act. In addition, the no action
alternative would substantially complicate the approved management
program for these fisheries, and would very likely result in
overfishing of the resources. Under the no action alternative, the
fisheries would operate without an identified cap on allowable landings
because the quotas implemented for 2007 expire on December 31, 2007,
and there are no provisions to roll-over those quota provisions into
2008 if specifications are not published for the year. Therefore, the
no action alternative is not considered to be a reasonable alternative
to the preferred action.
The Council prepared economic analyses for Alternatives 1 through
3. Alternative 1 consists of the harvest limits proposed by the Council
and the Board for all three species. Alternative 1 contains the
Monitoring Committee's recommended harvest limits for scup and black
sea bass. Alternative 2 consists of the most restrictive quotas (i.e.,
lowest landings) considered by the Council and the Board for all of the
species. Alternative 2 contains the harvest limit recommended by the
Monitoring Committee for summer flounder. Alternative 3 consists of the
status quo quotas, which were the least restrictive quotas (i.e.,
highest landings) considered by the Council and Board for all three
species.
Table 4 presents the 2008 initial TALs, RSA, commercial quotas
adjusted for RSA, and preliminary recreational harvests for the
fisheries under these three quota alternatives.
Table 4. Comparison, in lb (mt), of the 2008 Summer Flounder, Scup, and Black Sea Bass Quota Alternatives
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Preliminary Preliminary
Initial TAL RSA \2\ Adjusted Commercial Recreational
Quota\1\ Harvest Limit
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quota Alternative 1 (Council's Preferred)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Summer Flounder 15.77 million(7,150) 233,192(106) 9.32 million(4,230) 6.21 million(2,820)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Scup 7.34 million(3,330) 214,000(97) 5.30 million(2,400) 1.82 million(830)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Black Sea Bass 4.22 million(1,910) 85,790(39) 2.03 million(920) 2.11 million(960)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quota Alternative 2 (Most Restrictive)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Summer Flounder 11.64 million(5,280) 233,192(106) 6.84 million(3,100) 4.56 million(2,070)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Scup 5.02 million(2,280) 151,000(68) 3.54 million(1,610) 1.33 million(600)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Black Sea Bass 3.75 million(1,700) 85,790(39) 1.80 million(820) 1.87 million(850)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quota Alternative 3 (Status Quo-Least Restrictive)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Summer Flounder 17.112 233,192(106) 10.13 6.75 million(3,060)
million(7,760) million(4,590)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Scup 12.00 million(5,440) 214,000(97) 8.94 million(4,060) 2.85 million(1,290)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[[Page 64030]]
Black Sea Bass 5.00 million(2,270) 85,790(39) 2.41 million(1,090) 2.51 million(1,140)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ Note that preliminary quotas are provisional and may change to account for overages of the 2007 quotas.
\2\ Conditionally approved RSA amount or 3 percent of the alternative's TAL, whichever is less.
Note: Metric tons are as converted from pounds as shown and are subject to rounding error.
Table 5 presents the percent change associated with each of these
commercial quota alternatives (adjusted for RSA) compared to the final
adjusted quotas for 2007.
Table 5. Percent Change Associated with 2008 Adjusted Commercial Quota Alternatives Compared to 2007 Commercial
Adjusted Quotas
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total Aggregate Changes Including RSA
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quota Alternative 3
Species Quota Alternative 1 Alternative 2 (Most (Least Restrictive/
(Council Preferred) Restrictive) Status Quo)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Summer Flounder -7.8% -32.0% + 1.3%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Scup -38.8% -58.2% + 1.3%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Black Sea Bass -15.6% -25.0% + less than 1.0%
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The total gross revenue for the individual vessels that would be
directly regulated by this action is less than $ 4.0 million each. All
vessels that would be impacted by this proposed rulemaking are
therefore considered to be small entities and, thus, there would be no
disproportionate impacts between large and small entities as a result.
The categories of small entities likely to be affected by this action
include commercial and charter/party vessel owners holding an active
Federal permit for summer flounder, scup, or black sea bass, as well as
owners of vessels that fish for any of these species in state waters.
The Council estimates that the proposed 2007 quotas could affect 2,253
vessels that held a Federal summer flounder, scup, and/or black sea
bass permit in 2006. However, the more immediate impact of this rule
will likely be felt by the 903 vessels that actively participated in
these fisheries (i.e., landed these species) in 2006.
Commercial Fishery Impacts
The Council estimated the total revenues derived from all species
landed by each vessel during calendar year 2007 to determine a vessel's
dependence and revenue derived from a particular species. This estimate
provided the base from which to compare the effects of the proposed
quota changes from 2007 to 2008.
Alternative 1 (Council's Preferred Measures): The analysis of the
harvest limits in Alternative 1 indicated that these harvest levels
would result in 2008 revenue losses, relative to 2007, of less than 5
percent for 115 vessels and greater than or equal to 5 percent for 733
vessels. More specifically, vessels are projected to incur revenue
reductions as follows: Change of 5-9 percent, 374 vessels; 10-19
percent, 249 vessels; 20-29 percent, 29 vessels; 30-39 percent, 29; 40-
49 percent, 19 vessels, and greater than or equal to 50 percent, 2
vessels. Most commercial vessels showing revenue reduction of greater
than 5 percent are concentrated in NJ, RI, NC, NY and MA.
The Council also examined the level of ex-vessel revenues for the
impacted vessels to assess further impacts the impacts of Alternative 1
(Table 6).
Table 6. Comparison of Alternative 1 Impacts to Vessel Total Gross Sales by Revenue Reduction Category
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2007 Total Gross Sales (Ex-Vessel Revenues)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Revenue Reduction Range $1,000 or Less $10,000 or Less
--------------------------------- No. of Vessels in -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(Percent) Range No. of Vessels Percent in Range No. of Vessels Percent in Range
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
5 to 9 374 149 40 63 17
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
10 to 19 249 82 33 138 55
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
20 to 29 60 8 13 17 28
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
30 to 39 29 8 28 16 55
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
40 to 49 19 10 53 17 89
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
[[Page 64031]]
Greater than or equal to 50 2 2 100 0 0
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total 733 259 35 424 58
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Based on the information in Table 6, the dependence on fishing for
some of these vessels is likely small as 35 percent of vessels
incurring revenue reductions of gross sales equal to or less than
$1,000 and 58 percent of impacted vessels had gross sales of less than
or equal to $10,000 for 2006.
The Council also analyzed changes in total gross revenues that
would occur as a result of the quota alternatives. Alternative 1 would
decrease total revenues for summer flounder by approximately $0.84
million, scup by $3.20 million, and black sea bass $0.88 million,
relative to expected revenues earned from the 2007 quotas.
The overall reduction in ex-vessel gross revenue associated with
the potential changes in quotas in 2008 relative to the quotas
implemented in 2007 is approximately $4.92 million (using 2006 ex-
vessel prices) under Alternative 1. Assuming that the decrease in total
ex-vessel gross revenue associated with the proposed rule for each
fishery is distributed equally among the vessels that landed those
species in 2006 (the last full year of data availability), the average
decrease in gross revenue per vessel associated with the preferred
quota would be $1,143 for summer flounder and $3,197, $7,637 for scup,
and $1,642 for black sea bass. The number of vessels landing summer
flounder, scup, and black sea bass in 2006 was 735, 419, and 536,
respectively.
The predicted changes in ex-vessel gross revenues associated with
the potential changes in quotas in 2008 versus 2007 assumed static 2006
prices (summer flounder--$1.79/lb; scup--$0.89/lb; and black sea bass--
$2.50/lb). However, if prices for these species change as a consequence
of changes in landings, then the associated revenue changes could be
different than those estimated above, and could mitigate some of the
revenue reductions associated with lower quantities of quota available
under this alternative.
Alternative 2 (Most Restrictive Measures): The analysis of the
harvest limits of Alternative 2 indicated that all vessels would incur
revenue losses equal to or greater than 5 percent. More specifically,
vessels are projected to incur revenue reductions as follows: 10-19
percent, 45 vessels; 20-29 percent, 292 vessels; 30-39 percent, 456
vessels; 40-49 percent, 61 vessels; and greater or equal to 50 percent,
41 vessels. Further examination shows that 314 of the impacted vessels
(35 percent) had gross sales of $1,000 or less and 547 of the impacted
vessels (61 percent) had gross sales of $10,000 or less, thus likely
indicating that the dependence on these fisheries for some of these
vessels is very small. Table 7 contains additional information on the
specific impacts on gross sales under this alternative.
Table 7. Comparison of Alternative 2 Impacts to Vessel Total Gross Sales by Revenue Reduction Category
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2007 Total Gross Sales (Ex-Vessel Revenues)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Revenue Reduction Range $1,000 or Less $10,000 or Less
--------------------------------- No. of Vessels in -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(Percent) Range No. of Vessels Percent in Range No. of Vessels Percent in Range
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
10 to 19 45 17 38 33 73
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
20 to 29 292 115 39 208 71
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
30 to 39 456 157 34 258 57
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
40 to 49 69 10 14 20 29
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Greater than or equal to 50 41 15 37 28 68
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total 903 314 35 547 61
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
As in Alternative 1, most commercial vessels showing revenue
reduction are concentrated in MA, RI, NY, NJ, and NC.
Alternative 2 was estimated to decrease total summer flounder,
scup, and black sea bass revenues by approximately $5.28 million, $4.77
million and $1.45 million respectively, relative to expected revenues
earned from the 2007 quotas. The overall reduction in ex-vessel gross
revenue associated with the potential changes in quotas in 2008 versus
2007 is approximately $11.50 million (in 2006 dollars) under
Alternative 2. Assuming that the decrease in total ex-vessel gross
revenue associated with the proposed
[[Page 64032]]
rule for each fishery is distributed equally among the vessels that
landed those species in 2006 (the last full year of data availability),
the average decrease in gross revenue per vessel associated with the
Alternative 2 quota would be $7,184 for summer flounder, $11,384 for
scup and $2,706 for black sea bass. The total average gross revenue
reduction for vessels that land summer flounder, scup and black sea
bass would then be $12,735.
Alternative 3 (Status Quo/Least Restrictive Measures): Alternative
3 was estimated to increase total summer flounder, scup, and black sea
bass revenues by approximately $0.61, $0.04, and $0.08 million
respectively, relative to expected revenues earned from the 2007 quotas
(assuming the entire quotas are landed and ex-vessel prices previously