Proposed Fair Market Rents for Fiscal Year 2008 for the Housing Choice Voucher Program and Moderate Rehabilitation Single Room Occupancy Program, 38398-38458 [07-3388]
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38398
Federal Register / Vol. 72, No. 133 / Thursday, July 12, 2007 / Notices
DEPARTMENT OF HOUSING AND
URBAN DEVELOPMENT
[Docket No. FR–5152–N–01]
Proposed Fair Market Rents for Fiscal
Year 2008 for the Housing Choice
Voucher Program and Moderate
Rehabilitation Single Room Occupancy
Program
Office of the Assistant
Secretary for Policy Development and
Research, HUD.
ACTION: Notice of Proposed Fiscal Year
(FY) 2008 Fair Market Rents (FMRs).
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AGENCY:
SUMMARY: Section 8(c)(1) of the United
States Housing Act of 1937 (USHA)
requires the Secretary to publish FMRs
periodically, but not less than annually,
adjusted to be effective on October 1 of
each year. Today’s notice proposes
FMRs for FY2008. The proposed
numbers amend FMR schedules used to
determine payment standard amounts
for the Housing Choice Voucher
program, to determine initial renewal
rents for some expiring project-based
Section 8 contracts, and to determine
initial rents for housing assistance
payment (HAP) contracts in the
Moderate Rehabilitation Single Room
Occupancy program. Other programs
may require use of FMRs for other
purposes.
The proposed FY2008 FMR areas are
based on current Office of Management
and Budget (OMB) metropolitan area
definitions and include HUD
modifications, that were first used in the
determination of FY2006 FMR areas.
The changes OMB made to the
metropolitan area definitions in
December 2006 are also incorporated.
This means that there are two new onecounty Metropolitan Statistical Areas
(MSAs), and a few areas where MSA
name changes add or delete a primary
city name.
Proposed FY2008 FMRs are based on
2000 Census data updated with more
current survey data. For the first time,
HUD is using data from the Census
Bureau’s American Community Survey
(ACS). HUD is largely replacing the
accumulated 2001-through-2005 FMR
update factors from various sources
with data from ACS’s first full
implementation year, 2005. HUD uses
ACS data in different ways according to
how many 2-bedroom standard quality
and recent mover sample cases are
available in the FMR area or in its CoreBased Statistical Area (CBSA), as
described in detail later in this notice.
Random digit dialing (RDD) surveys
performed between 2001 and 2005 may
also be used under certain conditions.
Revised 2005 FMRs based on 2000
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Census and 2005 ACS data have been
updated with Consumer Price Index
(CPI) data through the end of 2006 and
then trended to April 2008, the midpoint of FY2008. Proposed FY2008
FMRs are the first to be able to take
advantage of the full-implementation
ACS, a major new Census survey that is
being conducted annually and that will
replace the Decennial Census ‘‘longform’’ sample survey that is the source
of the Decennial Census rent
information. The ACS will permit more
accurate FMR estimates each year than
were possible using the Decennial
Census trending techniques of previous
FMR estimates.
DATES: Comment Due Date: August 13,
2007.
ADDRESSES: Interested persons are
invited to submit comments regarding
HUD’s estimates of the FMRs, as
published in this notice, to the Office of
General Counsel, Rules Docket Clerk,
Department of Housing and Urban
Development, 451 Seventh Street, SW.,
Room 10276, Washington, DC 20410–
0001. Communications should refer to
the above docket number and title and
should contain the information
specified in the ‘‘Request for
Comments’’ section.
Submission of Hard Copy Comments.
To ensure that the information is fully
considered by all of the reviewers, each
commenter that is submitting hard copy
comments, by mail or hand delivery, is
requested to submit two copies of its
comments to the address above, one
addressed to the attention of the Rules
Docket Clerk and the other addressed to
the attention of Economic and Market
Analysis Division staff in the
appropriate HUD field office. Due to
security measures at all federal agencies,
submission of comments by mail often
results in delayed delivery. To ensure
timely receipt of comments, HUD
recommends that any comments
submitted by mail be submitted at least
2 weeks in advance of the public
comment deadline to ensure timely
receipt by HUD.
Electronic Submission of Comments.
Since July 2004, HUD has been able to
receive comments electronically.
Interested persons may now submit
comments electronically through the
Federal eRulemaking Portal at https://
www.regulations.gov. HUD strongly
encourages commenters to submit
comments electronically, because doing
so allows the commenter maximum
time to prepare and submit a comment,
ensures timely receipt by HUD, and
enables HUD to make comments
immediately available for viewing by
other commenters and interested
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members of the public. Commenters
should follow instructions provided on
that site to submit comments
electronically.
No Facsimile Comments. Facsimile
(FAX) comments are not acceptable.
Public Inspection of Comments. All
comments and communications
submitted to HUD will be available,
without charge, for public inspection
and copying between 8 a.m. and 5 p.m.
weekdays at the above address. Due to
security measures at the HUD
Headquarters building, an advance
appointment to review the public
comments must be scheduled by calling
the Regulations Division at (202) 708–
3055 (this is not a toll-free number).
Copies of all comments submitted are
available for inspection and
downloading at https://
www.regulations.gov.
For
technical information on the
methodology used to develop FMRs or
a listing of all FMRs, please call the
HUD USER information line at (800)
245–2691 or access the information at
the following link on the HUD Web site:
https://www.huduser.org/datasets/
fmr.html. FMRs are listed at the 40th or
50th percentile in Schedule B. For
informational purposes, 40th percentile
recent mover rents for the areas with
50th percentile FMRs will be provided
in the HUD FY2008 FMR
documentation system at https://
www.huduser.org/datasets/fmr/fmrs/
index.asp?data=fmr08.
Questions related to use of FMRs or
voucher payment standards should be
directed to the respective local HUD
program staff. Questions on how to
conduct FMR surveys or further
methodological explanations may be
addressed to Marie L. Lihn or Lynn A.
Rodgers, Economic and Market Analysis
Division, Office of Economic Affairs,
Office of Policy Development and
Research, telephone number (202) 708–
0590. Persons with hearing or speech
impairments may access this number
through TTY by calling the toll-free
Federal Information Relay Service at
(800) 877–8339. (Other than the HUD
USER information line and TTY
numbers, telephone numbers are not
toll-free.)
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
I. Background
Section 8 of the USHA (42 U.S.C.
1437f) authorizes housing assistance to
aid lower-income families in renting
safe and decent housing. Housing
assistance payments are limited by
FMRs established by HUD for different
areas. In the Housing Choice Voucher
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Federal Register / Vol. 72, No. 133 / Thursday, July 12, 2007 / Notices
program, the FMR is the basis for
determining the ‘‘payment standard
amount’’ used to calculate the
maximum monthly subsidy for an
assisted family (see 24 CFR 982.503). In
general, the FMR for an area is the
amount that would be needed to pay the
gross rent (shelter rent plus utilities) of
privately owned, decent, and safe rental
housing of a modest (nonluxury) nature
with suitable amenities. In addition, all
rents subsidized under the Housing
Choice Voucher program must meet
reasonable rent standards. The interim
rule published on October 2, 2000 (65
FR 58870), established 50th percentile
FMRs for certain areas.
Electronic Data Availability: This
Federal Register notice is available
electronically from the HUD Web site at
https://www.hudclips.org. Federal
Register notices also are available
electronically from the U.S. Government
Printing Office Web site, https://
www.gpoaccess.gov/fr/.
Complete documentation of the
methodology and data used to compute
each area’s Proposed FY2008 FMRs is
available at https://www.huduser.org/
datasets/fmr/fmrs/
index.asp?data=fmr08.
II. Procedures for the Development of
FMRs
Section 8(c) of the USHA requires the
Secretary of HUD to publish FMRs
periodically, but not less frequently
than annually. Section 8(c) states in
part, as follows:
Proposed fair market rentals for an area shall
be published in the Federal Register with
reasonable time for public comment and
shall become effective upon the date of
publication in final form in the Federal
Register. Each fair market rental in effect
under this subsection shall be adjusted to be
effective on October 1 of each year to reflect
changes—based on the most recent available
data trended so the rentals will be current for
the year to which they apply—of rents for
existing or newly constructed rental dwelling
Albuquerque, NM MSA
Chicago-Naperville-Joliet, IL HMFA
Fort Worth-Arlington, TX HMFA
Houston-Baytown-Sugar Land, TX HMFA
Las Vegas-Paradise, NV MSA
Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ MSA
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA–NC MSA
Ten areas that became 50th percentile
FMR areas in FY2006, along with the
above 14 areas allowed to continue, will
38399
units, as the case may be, of various sizes and
types in this section.
HUD’s regulations at 24 CFR 888
provide that HUD will develop
proposed FMRs, publish them for public
comment, provide a public comment
period of at least 30 days, analyze the
comments, and publish final FMRs (see
24 CFR 888.115).
In addition, HUD’s regulations at 24
CFR 888.113 set out procedures for HUD
to assess whether areas are eligible for
FMRs at the 50th percentile. For
FY2008, no new areas have become
eligible for 50th percentile rents. Areas
that qualified for 50th percentile FMRs
and were at this FMR for 3 years were
reviewed in FY2006. The 14 areas that
were allowed to continue to use the
50th percentile rents will be reviewed
again in FY2009, to measure their
continued progress towards
deconcentration. These areas are listed
in the table 1 below:
Austin-Round Rock, TX MSA.
Denver-Aurora, CO MSA.
Grand Rapids-Wyoming, MI HMFA.
Kansas City, MO–KS HMFA.
Orange County, CA HMFA.
Richmond, VA HMFA.
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC–VA–MD HMFA.
be evaluated for the first time in
FY2009. These 10 new areas are:
Baltimore-Towson, MD MSA
Honolulu, HI MSA
New Haven-Meriden, CT HMFA
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA MSA
Tacoma, WA HMFA
Hartford-West–Hartford-East–Hartford, CT HMFA.
Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, WI MSA.
Providence-Fall River, RI–MA HMFA.
Sarasota-Bradenton-Venice, FL MSA.
Tucson, AZ MSA.
Four newly eligible 50th percentile
areas in FY2007 will be evaluated in
FY2010. These four areas are:
Dallas, TX HMFA
San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos, CA MSA
The FY2008 FMRs are based on
current OMB metropolitan area
definitions that were first used in the
FY2006 FMRs. The changes OMB made
to the Metropolitan Area Definitions in
December 2006 are incorporated. This
means there are two new one-county
MSAs, and a few areas where MSA
name changes add or delete a primary
city name. These definitions have the
advantages that they are based on more
current (2000 Census) data, use a more
relevant commuting interchange
standard, and generally provide a better
measure of current housing market
relationships. HUD had three objectives
in defining FMR areas for FY2006: (1)
To incorporate new OMB metropolitan
area definitions so the FMR estimation
system can employ new data released
according to those definitions; (2) to
better reflect current housing markets;
and (3) to minimize the number of large
changes in FMRs due to use of the new
OMB definitions. These objectives
continue to apply to the proposed
1 As shown in the table, HMFA is an acronym for
HUD Metro FMR Area, which is a MSA sub-area,
FY2008 FMRs, and area definitions
were developed to achieve these
objectives as follows:
• FMR Census Base Rents and
Median Family Incomes were calculated
for each of the new OMB metropolitan
areas using 2000 Census data.
• Subparts of any of the new areas
that had separate FMRs under the old
OMB definitions, and that had a
sufficiently large 2000 Census count of
recent mover renter households in
standard quality units, were identified,
and 2000 Census Base Rents and
or the remaining portions of a MSA after sub-areas
have been determined.
III. FMR Methodology
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Fort Lauderdale, FL HMFA.
West Palm Beach-Boca Raton, FL HMFA.
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Median Family Incomes for these
subparts were calculated. Only the
subparts within the new OMB
metropolitan area were included in
these calculations (e.g., counties that
had been excluded from the new OMB
metropolitan areas were not included).
• Metropolitan subparts of new areas
that had previously had separate FMRs
were assigned their own FMRs if their
2000 Census Base Rents differed by
more than 5 percent from the new OMB
area 2000 Census Base Rent, or if their
2000 Census Median Family Income
differed by more than 5 percent from the
new OMB area 2000 Census Median
Family Income.
• Former metropolitan counties
removed from metropolitan areas get
their own FMRs.
At HUD’s request, the Census Bureau
prepared a special publicly releasable
census file that permits almost exact
replication of HUD’s 2000 Base Rent
calculations, except for areas with few
rental units. This data set is located on
HUD’s HUD USER Web site at https://
www.huduser.org/datasets/fmr/
CensusRentData/.
A. Data Sources—2000 Census and
2005 American Community Survey
Proposed FY2008 FMRs are based on
2000 Census data updated with more
current survey data. For the first time,
HUD is using data from the Census
Bureau’s ACS; the ACS data are from
2005, the full survey’s first
implementation year. While the Census
Bureau intends for the ACS to replace
the decennial census sample ‘‘long
form’’ for collecting detailed socioeconomic data, the ACS has several
important distinctions from the
decennial long form. These include:
• The ACS is conducted on a
continuous ‘‘rolling’’ basis throughout
the year. As a result, survey responses
do not correspond to a particular date,
whereas the long form responses are as
of the census date of April 1. This has
implications for the as-of date assumed
for ACS-based rents. The ‘‘as of’’ date
for ACS-based rents is set at June 30,
2005.
• The ACS has about one-fifth the
sample size of the decennial long form,
which surveyed approximately one out
of every six households. This means
that an adequate sample size for oneyear ACS data will be available only for
very large population geographic areas,
and that data for smaller areas will be
accumulated over 3 or 5 years to form
the basis of decennial long form
equivalent estimates.
In the proposed FY2008 FMRs, HUD
is largely replacing the accumulated
2001-through-2005 FMR update factors
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from various sources with 2005 ACS
data (RDDs performed between 2001
and 2005 will be used under certain
conditions described below). HUD uses
ACS data in different ways according to
how many two-bedroom standard
quality and recent mover sample cases
are available in the FMR area or the
CBSA. FMR areas are classified into four
ACS data availability categories:
ACS–1. FMR Areas that have at least
200 sample cases of two-bedroom
standard quality rents. ACS–1 areas may
be entire MSAs, sub-areas that are
assigned the CBSA base rents, other subareas, or large nonmetropolitan
counties.
ACS–2. FMR Areas that are sub-areas
of CBSAs where the sub-area is not
assigned the CBSA base rent, and the
sub-area does not have at least 200
sample cases of two-bedroom standard
quality rents, but the CBSA containing
the sub-area does have at least 200
sample cases of two-bedroom standard
quality rents.
ACS–3. FMR Areas that are MSAs or
nonmetropolitan counties that have
fewer than 200 sample cases of twobedroom standard quality rents, or subareas of CBSAs that have fewer than 200
sample cases of two-bedroom standard
quality rents.
ACS–4. FMR Areas that have at least
200 sample cases of two-bedroom recent
mover rents. ACS–4 areas may be entire
MSAs, sub-areas that are assigned CBSA
rents, other sub-areas, or large
nonmetropolitan counties. By
definition, these areas are a subset of
ACS–1 areas.
In ACS–1 FMR areas, the 2000
Census-to-2005 ACS update factor is the
ratio of the 2005 ACS two-bedroom
standard quality rent to the 2000 Census
two-bedroom standard quality rent for
the FMR Area.
In ACS–2 FMR areas, the 2000
Census-to-2005 ACS update factor is
either (1) the ratio of the 2005 ACS twobedroom standard quality rent to the
2000 Census two-bedroom standard
quality rent for the CBSA containing the
FMR Area, or (2) the ratio of the 2005
ACS two-bedroom standard quality rent
to the 2000 Census two-bedroom
standard quality rent for the entire state
(or population-weighted average of
states) containing the FMR area,
whichever brings its 2005 updated rent
closer to the value of its CBSA 2005
updated rent.
In ACS–3 FMR areas, the 2000
Census-to-2005 ACS update factor is the
ratio of the 2005 ACS two-bedroom
standard quality rent to the 2000 Census
two-bedroom standard quality rent for
the parts of the state not in ACS–1 or
ACS–2 FMR areas, or the population-
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weighted average factor across such
parts of the states containing each multistate FMR area. In cases where there are
fewer than 200 sample cases of 2005
ACS two-bedroom standard quality
rents in the parts of the state not in
ACS–1 or ACS–2 areas, HUD uses the
ratio of the 2005 ACS two-bedroom
standard quality rent to the 2000 Census
two-bedroom standard quality rent for
the entire state containing the FMR area
as the update factor.
In ACS–4 FMR areas, the local 2005
ACS recent mover rent becomes a new
base rent for 2005, if the updated 2000
Census base rent is outside its 90
percent confidence interval and the
recent mover rent is greater than the
local standard quality rent. This means
that the ACS is used to replace the
updated 2000 base rent with a 2005
local ACS base rent.
B. Data Sources—Legacy RDDs
The Department regularly obtains
additional rent survey data to update
the FMRs in the form of RDD telephone
rent surveys meeting the Department’s
statistical criteria for updating FMRs.
HUD conducted numerous RDD surveys
between 2001 and 2005, and also
accepted a number of non-HUD RDD
surveys to update FMRs during this
time period. Since these RDDs were
performed according to the FMR area
geography in place at the time, they may
not provide usable coverage of FY2008
FMR areas. RDD surveys performed
between 2001 and 2005 are used to
update or replace 2000 Census base
rents in ACS–2 and ACS–3 FMR areas
under the following conditions (in
ACS–1 and ACS–4 FMR areas the ACS
results are deemed superior to legacy
RDD results and legacy RDDs are not
evaluated 2):
• The RDD was the most recent RDD
performed for the area.
• The RDD is ‘‘Accepted,’’ meaning
the updated 2000 Census base rent for
the RDD area (prorated to the RDD
month) is outside the 95 percent
confidence interval of the RDD.
• If the Accepted RDD area covers at
least 75 percent of the population of the
FMR area, and the FMR area’s
population in the Accepted RDD area is
at least 75 percent of the Accepted RDD
area, the new base rent is the Accepted
RDD result. If these conditions do not
hold, the RDD is not used.
2 The results of certain special case RDDs
performed in ACS–1, ACS–2, and ACS–4 areas that,
for example, adjusted bedroom rent ratios derived
from the 2000 Census, may still be used on a caseby-case basis as noted in the FY2008 FMR
Documentation System; see https://
www.huduser.org/datasets/fmr/fmrs/
index.asp?data-fmr08.
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FMR area base rents affected by
Legacy RDDs from 2001 to 2005 are
updated to 2005 using the prorated 2000
Census to 2005 ACS update factor (from
the RDD month to June 2005) for the
area.
C. FMR Updates from 2005 to 2006
Local CPI data is used to move rents
from June 2005 to the end of 2006 for
FMR areas with at least 75 percent of
their population within Class A
metropolitan areas covered by local CPI
data. Census region CPI data is used for
FMR areas in Class B and C size
metropolitan areas and nonmetropolitan
areas without local CPI update factors.
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D. FMR Updates from 2006 to 2008
The national 1990 to 2000 average
annual rent increase trend of 1.03 is
applied for 1.25 years.
E. Additional Rent Surveys and Other
Data
Post-2005 RDDs are evaluated against
the 2005 ACS-based rent trended to the
RDD month by the appropriate
proportion (root) of the 2005-to-2008
update factors. For example, if the RDD
was conducted in August 2006, then the
appropriate root (14/18) of the 2005-to2006 CPI-based update is used to update
the 2005 ACS rent. If the RDD was
conducted in February 2007, then the
entire CPI update factor is applied to the
2005 rent, and the appropriate root (2/
15) of the December 2006-to-April 2008
update is applied. If the updated 2005
rent is outside the 95 percent
confidence interval of the RDD, then the
RDD is ‘‘Accepted.’’ Accepted RDD
results are trended to April 2008 using
the remainder of the 2005-to-2008
update factors.
The FMR bonuses related to the
impact of Hurricane Katrina for Baton
Rouge, Louisiana, and New Orleans,
first applied on March 6, 2006, are
proposed to continue to be applied in
the FY2008 FMRs. The 2005 ACS was
conducted largely before the impact of
Hurricane Katrina or before its effects on
the rental market could be detected in
the survey. Because the ACS indicates
that the 2000-to-2005 FMR update
factors for these areas should be lower
than for other data sources used in
FY2007 and earlier FMRs, HUD is
adjusting the bonus percentages to 15
percent in Baton Rouge and 35 percent
in New Orleans, as subsequent research
shows that the tight rental market
conditions in both areas indicate that
FMRs should not be reduced.
The area-specific data and
computations used to calculate
proposed FY2008 FMRs and FMR area
definitions can be found at https://
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www.huduser.org/datasets/fmr/fmrs/
index.asp?data=fmr08.
F. Large Bedroom Rents
FMR estimates are calculated for twobedroom units. This generally is the
most common size of rental units, and
therefore the most reliable to survey and
analyze. After each decennial census,
rent relationships between two-bedroom
units and other unit sizes are calculated
and used to set FMRs for other units.
This is done because it is much easier
to update two-bedroom estimates and to
use pre-established cost relationships
with other bedroom sizes than it is to
develop independent FMR estimates for
each bedroom size. This was last done
using 2000 Census data. A publicly
releasable version of the data file used
that permits derivations of rent ratios is
available at https://www.huduser.org/
datasets/fmr/CensusRentData/
index.html.
The rents for three-bedroom and
larger units continue to reflect HUD’s
policy to set higher rents for these units
than would result from using normal
market rents. This adjustment is
intended to increase the likelihood that
the largest families, who have the most
difficulty in leasing units, will be
successful in finding eligible program
units. The adjustment adds bonuses of
8.7 percent to the unadjusted threebedroom FMR estimates and adds 7.7
percent to the unadjusted four-bedroom
FMR estimates. The FMRs for unit sizes
larger than four bedrooms are calculated
by adding 15 percent to the fourbedroom FMR for each extra bedroom.
For example, the FMR for a fivebedroom unit is 1.15 times the fourbedroom FMR, and the FMR for a sixbedroom unit is 1.30 times the fourbedroom FMR. FMRs for single-room
occupancy units are 0.75 times the zerobedroom (efficiency) FMR.
A further adjustment was made using
2000 Census data in establishing rent
ratios for areas with local bedroom-size
intervals above or below what are
considered to be reasonable ranges or
where sample sizes are inadequate to
accurately measure bedroom rent
differentials. HUD’s experience has
shown that highly unusual bedroom
ratios typically reflect inadequate
sample sizes or peculiar local
circumstances that HUD would not
want to utilize in setting FMRs (e.g.,
luxury efficiency apartments that rent
for more than typical one-bedroom
units). Bedroom interval ranges were
established based on an analysis of the
range of such intervals for all areas with
large enough samples to permit accurate
bedroom ratio determinations. The
ranges used were: efficiency units are
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constrained to fall between 0.65 and
0.83 of the two-bedroom FMR; onebedroom units must be between 0.76
and 0.90 of the two-bedroom unit; threebedroom units must be between 1.10
and 1.34 of the two-bedroom unit; and
four-bedroom units must be between
1.14 and 1.63 of the two-bedroom unit.
Bedroom rents for a given FMR area
were then adjusted if the differentials
between bedroom-size FMRs were
inconsistent with normally observed
patterns (i.e., efficiency rents were not
allowed to be higher than one-bedroom
rents and four-bedroom rents were not
allowed to be lower than three-bedroom
rents).
For low-population, nonmetropolitan
counties with small census recentmover rent samples, census-defined
county group data were used in
determining rents for each bedroom
size. This adjustment was made to
protect against unrealistically high or
low FMRs due to insufficient sample
sizes. The areas covered by this new
estimation method had less than the
HUD standard of 200 two-bedroom
census-tabulated observations.
IV. Manufactured Home Space Surveys
The FMR used to establish payment
standard amounts for the rental of
manufactured home spaces in the
Housing Choice Voucher program is 40
percent of the FMR for a two-bedroom
unit. HUD will consider modification of
the manufactured home space FMRs
where public comments present
statistically valid survey data showing
the 40th percentile manufactured home
space rent (including the cost of
utilities) for the entire FMR area.
All approved exceptions to these rents
that were in effect in FY2007 were
updated to FY2008 using the same data
used to estimate the Housing Choice
Voucher program FMRs if the respective
FMR area’s definition had remained the
same. If the result of this computation
was higher than 40 percent of the rebenchmarked two-bedroom rent, the
exception remains and is listed in
Schedule D. The FMR area definitions
used for the rental of manufactured
home spaces are the same as the area
definitions used for the other FMRs.
Areas with definitional changes that
previously had exceptions to their
manufactured housing space rental
FMRs are requested to submit new
surveys to justify higher-than-standard
space rental FMRs if they believe higher
space rental allowances are needed.
V. Request for Public Comments
HUD seeks public comments on FMR
levels for specific areas. Comments on
FMR levels must include sufficient
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information (including local data and a
full description of the rental housing
survey methodology used) to justify any
proposed changes. Changes may be
proposed in all or any one or more of
the unit-size categories on the schedule.
Recommendations and supporting data
must reflect the rent levels that exist
within the entire FMR area.
For the supporting data, HUD
recommends the use of professionally
conducted RDD telephone surveys to
test the accuracy of FMRs for areas
where there is a sufficient number of
Section 8 units to justify the survey cost
of approximately $35,000. Areas with
2,000 or more program units usually
meet this cost criterion, and areas with
fewer units may meet it if actual rents
for two-bedroom units are significantly
different from the FMRs proposed by
HUD. In addition, HUD has developed
a version of the RDD survey
methodology for smaller,
nonmetropolitan PHAs. This
methodology is designed to be simple
enough to be done by the PHA itself,
rather than by professional survey
organizations, at a cost of $5,000 or less.
PHAs in nonmetropolitan areas may,
in certain circumstances, conduct
surveys of groups of counties. HUD
must approve all county-grouped
surveys in advance. PHAs are cautioned
that the resulting FMRs will not be
identical for the counties surveyed.
Each individual FMR area will have a
separate FMR based on the relationship
of rents in that area to the combined
rents in the cluster of FMR areas. In
addition, PHAs are advised that
counties where FMRs are based on the
combined rents in the cluster of FMR
areas will not have their FMRs revised
unless the grouped survey results show
a revised FMR above the combined rent
level.
PHAs that plan to use the RDD survey
technique should obtain a copy of the
appropriate survey guide. Larger PHAs
should request HUD’s survey guide
entitled ‘‘Random Digit Dialing Surveys;
A Guide to Assist Larger Public Housing
Agencies in Preparing Fair Market Rent
Comments.’’ Smaller PHAs should
obtain the guide entitled ‘‘Rental
Housing Surveys: A Guide to Assist
Smaller Public Housing Agencies in
Preparing Fair Market Rent Comments.’’
These guides are available from HUD
USER at HUD’s Web site, in Microsoft
Word format, at the following address:
https://www.huduser.org/datasets/
fmr.html.
Other survey methodologies are
acceptable in providing data to support
comments, if the survey methodology
can provide statistically reliable,
unbiased estimates of the gross rent.
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Survey samples should preferably be
randomly drawn from a complete list of
rental units for the FMR area. If this is
not feasible, the selected sample must
be drawn to be statistically
representative of the entire rental
housing stock of the FMR area. Surveys
must include units at all rent levels and
be representative by structure type
(including single-family, duplex, and
other small rental properties), age of
housing unit, and geographic location.
The decennial census should be used as
a means of verifying if a sample is
representative of the FMR area’s rental
housing stock.
Most surveys of FMR areas cover only
one- and two-bedroom units. If the
survey is statistically acceptable, HUD
will estimate FMRs for other bedroom
sizes using ratios based on the decennial
census. A PHA or contractor that cannot
obtain the recommended number of
sample responses after reasonable
efforts should consult with HUD before
abandoning its survey; in such
situations, HUD may find it appropriate
to relax normal sample size
requirements.
HUD will consider increasing
manufactured home space FMRs where
public comment demonstrates that 40
percent of the two-bedroom FMR is not
adequate. In order to be accepted as a
basis for revising the manufactured
home space FMRs, comments must
include a pad rental survey of the
mobile home parks in the area, identify
the utilities included in each park’s
rental fee, and provide a copy of the
applicable public housing authority’s
utility schedule.
Accordingly, the Fair Market Rent
Schedules, which will not be codified in
24 CFR Part 888, are proposed to be
amended as shown in the Appendix to
this notice.
Dated: June 27, 2007.
Darlene F. Williams,
Assistant Secretary for Policy, Development
and Research.
Fair Market Rents for the Housing
Choice Voucher Program
Schedules B and D—General
Explanatory Notes
1. Geographic Coverage
a. Metropolitan Areas—FMRs are
market-wide rent estimates that are
intended to provide housing
opportunities throughout the geographic
area in which rental-housing units are
in direct competition. The proposed
FY2008 FMRs reflect a change in
metropolitan area definitions. HUD is
using the metropolitan CBSAs, which
are made up of one or more counties, as
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defined by the OMB, with some
modifications. HUD is generally
assigning separate FMRs to the
component counties of CBSA
Micropolitan Areas.
b. Modifications to OMB
Definitions—Following OMB guidance,
the estimation procedure for the FY2008
proposed FMRs incorporates the current
OMB definitions of metropolitan areas
based on the CBSA standards as
implemented with 2000 Census data,
but makes adjustments to the definitions
to separate subparts of these areas where
FMRs or median incomes would
otherwise change significantly if the
new area definitions were used without
modification. In CBSAs where sub-areas
are established, it is HUD’s view that the
geographic extent of the housing
markets are not yet the same as the
geographic extent of the CBSAs, but
may become so in the future as the
social and economic integration of the
CBSA component areas increases.
Modifications to metropolitan CBSA
definitions are made according to a
formula as described below.
Metropolitan area CBSAs (referred to
as Metropolitan Statistical Areas or
MSAs) may be modified to allow for
sub-area FMRs within MSAs based on
the boundaries of old FMR areas (OFAs)
within the boundaries of new MSAs.
(OFAs are the FMR areas defined for the
FY2005 FMRs. Collectively, they
include 1999 definition MSAs/PMSAs,
metropolitan counties deleted from
1999 definition MSAs/PMSAs by HUD
for FMR purposes, and counties and
county parts outside of 1999 definition
MSAs/PMSAs referred to as
nonmetropolitan counties.) Sub-areas of
MSAs are assigned their own FMRs
when the sub-area 2000 Census Base
Rent differs by at least 5 percent from
the MSA 2000 Census Base Rent (i.e., by
at most 95 percent or at least 105
percent), or when the 2000 Census
Median Family Income for the sub-area
differs by at least 5 percent from the
MSA 2000 Census Median Family
Income. MSA sub-areas, and the
remaining portions of MSAs after subareas have been determined, are referred
to as HUD Metro FMR Areas (HMFAs)
to distinguish these areas from OMB’s
official definition of MSAs.
The specific counties and New
England towns and cities within each
state in MSAs and HMFAs are listed in
Schedule B.
2. Bedroom Size Adjustments
Schedule B shows the FMRs for zerobedroom through four-bedroom units.
The FMRs for unit sizes larger than four
bedrooms are calculated by adding 15
percent to the four-bedroom FMR for
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each extra bedroom. For example, the
FMR for a five-bedroom unit is 1.15
times the four-bedroom FMR, and the
FMR for a six-bedroom unit is 1.30
times the four-bedroom FMR. FMRs for
single-room-occupancy (SRO) units are
0.75 times the zero-bedroom FMR.
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3. Arrangement of FMR Areas and
Identification of Constituent Parts
a. The FMR areas in Schedule B are
listed alphabetically by metropolitan
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FMR area and by nonmetropolitan
county within each state. The exception
rents for manufactured home spaces
FMRs are listed alphabetically in
Schedule D.
b. The constituent counties (and New
England towns and cities) included in
each metropolitan FMR area are listed
immediately following the listings of the
FMR dollar amounts. All constituent
parts of a metropolitan FMR area that
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are in more than one state can be
identified by consulting the listings for
each applicable state.
c. Two nonmetropolitan counties are
listed alphabetically on each line of the
nonmetropolitan county listings.
d. The New England towns and cities
included in a nonmetropolitan part of a
county are listed immediately following
the county name.
BILLING CODE 4210–67–P
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BILLING CODE 4210–67–C
Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 72, Number 133 (Thursday, July 12, 2007)]
[Notices]
[Pages 38398-38458]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 07-3388]
[[Page 38397]]
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Part III
Department of Housing and Urban Development
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Proposed Fair Market Rents for Fiscal Year 2008 for the Housing Choice
Voucher Program and Moderate Rehabilitation Single Room Occupancy
Program; Notice
Federal Register / Vol. 72, No. 133 / Thursday, July 12, 2007 /
Notices
[[Page 38398]]
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DEPARTMENT OF HOUSING AND URBAN DEVELOPMENT
[Docket No. FR-5152-N-01]
Proposed Fair Market Rents for Fiscal Year 2008 for the Housing
Choice Voucher Program and Moderate Rehabilitation Single Room
Occupancy Program
AGENCY: Office of the Assistant Secretary for Policy Development and
Research, HUD.
ACTION: Notice of Proposed Fiscal Year (FY) 2008 Fair Market Rents
(FMRs).
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: Section 8(c)(1) of the United States Housing Act of 1937
(USHA) requires the Secretary to publish FMRs periodically, but not
less than annually, adjusted to be effective on October 1 of each year.
Today's notice proposes FMRs for FY2008. The proposed numbers amend FMR
schedules used to determine payment standard amounts for the Housing
Choice Voucher program, to determine initial renewal rents for some
expiring project-based Section 8 contracts, and to determine initial
rents for housing assistance payment (HAP) contracts in the Moderate
Rehabilitation Single Room Occupancy program. Other programs may
require use of FMRs for other purposes.
The proposed FY2008 FMR areas are based on current Office of
Management and Budget (OMB) metropolitan area definitions and include
HUD modifications, that were first used in the determination of FY2006
FMR areas. The changes OMB made to the metropolitan area definitions in
December 2006 are also incorporated. This means that there are two new
one-county Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs), and a few areas where
MSA name changes add or delete a primary city name.
Proposed FY2008 FMRs are based on 2000 Census data updated with
more current survey data. For the first time, HUD is using data from
the Census Bureau's American Community Survey (ACS). HUD is largely
replacing the accumulated 2001-through-2005 FMR update factors from
various sources with data from ACS's first full implementation year,
2005. HUD uses ACS data in different ways according to how many 2-
bedroom standard quality and recent mover sample cases are available in
the FMR area or in its Core-Based Statistical Area (CBSA), as described
in detail later in this notice. Random digit dialing (RDD) surveys
performed between 2001 and 2005 may also be used under certain
conditions. Revised 2005 FMRs based on 2000 Census and 2005 ACS data
have been updated with Consumer Price Index (CPI) data through the end
of 2006 and then trended to April 2008, the mid-point of FY2008.
Proposed FY2008 FMRs are the first to be able to take advantage of the
full-implementation ACS, a major new Census survey that is being
conducted annually and that will replace the Decennial Census ``long-
form'' sample survey that is the source of the Decennial Census rent
information. The ACS will permit more accurate FMR estimates each year
than were possible using the Decennial Census trending techniques of
previous FMR estimates.
DATES: Comment Due Date: August 13, 2007.
ADDRESSES: Interested persons are invited to submit comments regarding
HUD's estimates of the FMRs, as published in this notice, to the Office
of General Counsel, Rules Docket Clerk, Department of Housing and Urban
Development, 451 Seventh Street, SW., Room 10276, Washington, DC 20410-
0001. Communications should refer to the above docket number and title
and should contain the information specified in the ``Request for
Comments'' section.
Submission of Hard Copy Comments. To ensure that the information is
fully considered by all of the reviewers, each commenter that is
submitting hard copy comments, by mail or hand delivery, is requested
to submit two copies of its comments to the address above, one
addressed to the attention of the Rules Docket Clerk and the other
addressed to the attention of Economic and Market Analysis Division
staff in the appropriate HUD field office. Due to security measures at
all federal agencies, submission of comments by mail often results in
delayed delivery. To ensure timely receipt of comments, HUD recommends
that any comments submitted by mail be submitted at least 2 weeks in
advance of the public comment deadline to ensure timely receipt by HUD.
Electronic Submission of Comments. Since July 2004, HUD has been
able to receive comments electronically. Interested persons may now
submit comments electronically through the Federal eRulemaking Portal
at https://www.regulations.gov. HUD strongly encourages commenters to
submit comments electronically, because doing so allows the commenter
maximum time to prepare and submit a comment, ensures timely receipt by
HUD, and enables HUD to make comments immediately available for viewing
by other commenters and interested members of the public. Commenters
should follow instructions provided on that site to submit comments
electronically.
No Facsimile Comments. Facsimile (FAX) comments are not acceptable.
Public Inspection of Comments. All comments and communications
submitted to HUD will be available, without charge, for public
inspection and copying between 8 a.m. and 5 p.m. weekdays at the above
address. Due to security measures at the HUD Headquarters building, an
advance appointment to review the public comments must be scheduled by
calling the Regulations Division at (202) 708-3055 (this is not a toll-
free number). Copies of all comments submitted are available for
inspection and downloading at https://www.regulations.gov.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: For technical information on the
methodology used to develop FMRs or a listing of all FMRs, please call
the HUD USER information line at (800) 245-2691 or access the
information at the following link on the HUD Web site: https://
www.huduser.org/datasets/fmr.html. FMRs are listed at the 40th or 50th
percentile in Schedule B. For informational purposes, 40th percentile
recent mover rents for the areas with 50th percentile FMRs will be
provided in the HUD FY2008 FMR documentation system at https://
www.huduser.org/datasets/fmr/fmrs/index.asp?data=fmr08.
Questions related to use of FMRs or voucher payment standards
should be directed to the respective local HUD program staff. Questions
on how to conduct FMR surveys or further methodological explanations
may be addressed to Marie L. Lihn or Lynn A. Rodgers, Economic and
Market Analysis Division, Office of Economic Affairs, Office of Policy
Development and Research, telephone number (202) 708-0590. Persons with
hearing or speech impairments may access this number through TTY by
calling the toll-free Federal Information Relay Service at (800) 877-
8339. (Other than the HUD USER information line and TTY numbers,
telephone numbers are not toll-free.)
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION:
I. Background
Section 8 of the USHA (42 U.S.C. 1437f) authorizes housing
assistance to aid lower-income families in renting safe and decent
housing. Housing assistance payments are limited by FMRs established by
HUD for different areas. In the Housing Choice Voucher
[[Page 38399]]
program, the FMR is the basis for determining the ``payment standard
amount'' used to calculate the maximum monthly subsidy for an assisted
family (see 24 CFR 982.503). In general, the FMR for an area is the
amount that would be needed to pay the gross rent (shelter rent plus
utilities) of privately owned, decent, and safe rental housing of a
modest (nonluxury) nature with suitable amenities. In addition, all
rents subsidized under the Housing Choice Voucher program must meet
reasonable rent standards. The interim rule published on October 2,
2000 (65 FR 58870), established 50th percentile FMRs for certain areas.
Electronic Data Availability: This Federal Register notice is
available electronically from the HUD Web site at https://
www.hudclips.org. Federal Register notices also are available
electronically from the U.S. Government Printing Office Web site,
https://www.gpoaccess.gov/fr/. Complete documentation of the
methodology and data used to compute each area's Proposed FY2008 FMRs
is available at https://www.huduser.org/datasets/fmr/fmrs/
index.asp?data=fmr08.
II. Procedures for the Development of FMRs
Section 8(c) of the USHA requires the Secretary of HUD to publish
FMRs periodically, but not less frequently than annually. Section 8(c)
states in part, as follows:
Proposed fair market rentals for an area shall be published in the
Federal Register with reasonable time for public comment and shall
become effective upon the date of publication in final form in the
Federal Register. Each fair market rental in effect under this
subsection shall be adjusted to be effective on October 1 of each
year to reflect changes--based on the most recent available data
trended so the rentals will be current for the year to which they
apply--of rents for existing or newly constructed rental dwelling
units, as the case may be, of various sizes and types in this
section.
HUD's regulations at 24 CFR 888 provide that HUD will develop
proposed FMRs, publish them for public comment, provide a public
comment period of at least 30 days, analyze the comments, and publish
final FMRs (see 24 CFR 888.115).
In addition, HUD's regulations at 24 CFR 888.113 set out procedures
for HUD to assess whether areas are eligible for FMRs at the 50th
percentile. For FY2008, no new areas have become eligible for 50th
percentile rents. Areas that qualified for 50th percentile FMRs and
were at this FMR for 3 years were reviewed in FY2006. The 14 areas that
were allowed to continue to use the 50th percentile rents will be
reviewed again in FY2009, to measure their continued progress towards
deconcentration. These areas are listed in the table \1\ below:
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ As shown in the table, HMFA is an acronym for HUD Metro FMR
Area, which is a MSA sub-area, or the remaining portions of a MSA
after sub-areas have been determined.
Albuquerque, NM MSA Austin-Round Rock, TX MSA.
Chicago-Naperville-Joliet, IL HMFA Denver-Aurora, CO MSA.
Fort Worth-Arlington, TX HMFA Grand Rapids-Wyoming, MI
HMFA.
Houston-Baytown-Sugar Land, TX HMFA Kansas City, MO-KS HMFA.
Las Vegas-Paradise, NV MSA Orange County, CA HMFA.
Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ MSA Richmond, VA HMFA.
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC Washington-Arlington-
MSA Alexandria, DC-VA-MD HMFA.
Ten areas that became 50th percentile FMR areas in FY2006, along
with the above 14 areas allowed to continue, will be evaluated for the
first time in FY2009. These 10 new areas are:
Baltimore-Towson, MD MSA Hartford-West-Hartford-East-
Hartford, CT HMFA.
Honolulu, HI MSA Milwaukee-Waukesha-West
Allis, WI MSA.
New Haven-Meriden, CT HMFA Providence-Fall River, RI-MA
HMFA.
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA MSA Sarasota-Bradenton-Venice,
FL MSA.
Tacoma, WA HMFA Tucson, AZ MSA.
Four newly eligible 50th percentile areas in FY2007 will be
evaluated in FY2010. These four areas are:
Dallas, TX HMFA Fort Lauderdale, FL HMFA.
San Diego-Carlsbad-San Marcos, CA MSA West Palm Beach-Boca Raton,
FL HMFA.
III. FMR Methodology
The FY2008 FMRs are based on current OMB metropolitan area
definitions that were first used in the FY2006 FMRs. The changes OMB
made to the Metropolitan Area Definitions in December 2006 are
incorporated. This means there are two new one-county MSAs, and a few
areas where MSA name changes add or delete a primary city name. These
definitions have the advantages that they are based on more current
(2000 Census) data, use a more relevant commuting interchange standard,
and generally provide a better measure of current housing market
relationships. HUD had three objectives in defining FMR areas for
FY2006: (1) To incorporate new OMB metropolitan area definitions so the
FMR estimation system can employ new data released according to those
definitions; (2) to better reflect current housing markets; and (3) to
minimize the number of large changes in FMRs due to use of the new OMB
definitions. These objectives continue to apply to the proposed FY2008
FMRs, and area definitions were developed to achieve these objectives
as follows:
FMR Census Base Rents and Median Family Incomes were
calculated for each of the new OMB metropolitan areas using 2000 Census
data.
Subparts of any of the new areas that had separate FMRs
under the old OMB definitions, and that had a sufficiently large 2000
Census count of recent mover renter households in standard quality
units, were identified, and 2000 Census Base Rents and
[[Page 38400]]
Median Family Incomes for these subparts were calculated. Only the
subparts within the new OMB metropolitan area were included in these
calculations (e.g., counties that had been excluded from the new OMB
metropolitan areas were not included).
Metropolitan subparts of new areas that had previously had
separate FMRs were assigned their own FMRs if their 2000 Census Base
Rents differed by more than 5 percent from the new OMB area 2000 Census
Base Rent, or if their 2000 Census Median Family Income differed by
more than 5 percent from the new OMB area 2000 Census Median Family
Income.
Former metropolitan counties removed from metropolitan
areas get their own FMRs.
At HUD's request, the Census Bureau prepared a special publicly
releasable census file that permits almost exact replication of HUD's
2000 Base Rent calculations, except for areas with few rental units.
This data set is located on HUD's HUD USER Web site at https://
www.huduser.org/datasets/fmr/CensusRentData/.
A. Data Sources--2000 Census and 2005 American Community Survey
Proposed FY2008 FMRs are based on 2000 Census data updated with
more current survey data. For the first time, HUD is using data from
the Census Bureau's ACS; the ACS data are from 2005, the full survey's
first implementation year. While the Census Bureau intends for the ACS
to replace the decennial census sample ``long form'' for collecting
detailed socio-economic data, the ACS has several important
distinctions from the decennial long form. These include:
The ACS is conducted on a continuous ``rolling'' basis
throughout the year. As a result, survey responses do not correspond to
a particular date, whereas the long form responses are as of the census
date of April 1. This has implications for the as-of date assumed for
ACS-based rents. The ``as of'' date for ACS-based rents is set at June
30, 2005.
The ACS has about one-fifth the sample size of the
decennial long form, which surveyed approximately one out of every six
households. This means that an adequate sample size for one-year ACS
data will be available only for very large population geographic areas,
and that data for smaller areas will be accumulated over 3 or 5 years
to form the basis of decennial long form equivalent estimates.
In the proposed FY2008 FMRs, HUD is largely replacing the
accumulated 2001-through-2005 FMR update factors from various sources
with 2005 ACS data (RDDs performed between 2001 and 2005 will be used
under certain conditions described below). HUD uses ACS data in
different ways according to how many two-bedroom standard quality and
recent mover sample cases are available in the FMR area or the CBSA.
FMR areas are classified into four ACS data availability categories:
ACS-1. FMR Areas that have at least 200 sample cases of two-bedroom
standard quality rents. ACS-1 areas may be entire MSAs, sub-areas that
are assigned the CBSA base rents, other sub-areas, or large
nonmetropolitan counties.
ACS-2. FMR Areas that are sub-areas of CBSAs where the sub-area is
not assigned the CBSA base rent, and the sub-area does not have at
least 200 sample cases of two-bedroom standard quality rents, but the
CBSA containing the sub-area does have at least 200 sample cases of
two-bedroom standard quality rents.
ACS-3. FMR Areas that are MSAs or nonmetropolitan counties that
have fewer than 200 sample cases of two-bedroom standard quality rents,
or sub-areas of CBSAs that have fewer than 200 sample cases of two-
bedroom standard quality rents.
ACS-4. FMR Areas that have at least 200 sample cases of two-bedroom
recent mover rents. ACS-4 areas may be entire MSAs, sub-areas that are
assigned CBSA rents, other sub-areas, or large nonmetropolitan
counties. By definition, these areas are a subset of ACS-1 areas.
In ACS-1 FMR areas, the 2000 Census-to-2005 ACS update factor is
the ratio of the 2005 ACS two-bedroom standard quality rent to the 2000
Census two-bedroom standard quality rent for the FMR Area.
In ACS-2 FMR areas, the 2000 Census-to-2005 ACS update factor is
either (1) the ratio of the 2005 ACS two-bedroom standard quality rent
to the 2000 Census two-bedroom standard quality rent for the CBSA
containing the FMR Area, or (2) the ratio of the 2005 ACS two-bedroom
standard quality rent to the 2000 Census two-bedroom standard quality
rent for the entire state (or population-weighted average of states)
containing the FMR area, whichever brings its 2005 updated rent closer
to the value of its CBSA 2005 updated rent.
In ACS-3 FMR areas, the 2000 Census-to-2005 ACS update factor is
the ratio of the 2005 ACS two-bedroom standard quality rent to the 2000
Census two-bedroom standard quality rent for the parts of the state not
in ACS-1 or ACS-2 FMR areas, or the population-weighted average factor
across such parts of the states containing each multi-state FMR area.
In cases where there are fewer than 200 sample cases of 2005 ACS two-
bedroom standard quality rents in the parts of the state not in ACS-1
or ACS-2 areas, HUD uses the ratio of the 2005 ACS two-bedroom standard
quality rent to the 2000 Census two-bedroom standard quality rent for
the entire state containing the FMR area as the update factor.
In ACS-4 FMR areas, the local 2005 ACS recent mover rent becomes a
new base rent for 2005, if the updated 2000 Census base rent is outside
its 90 percent confidence interval and the recent mover rent is greater
than the local standard quality rent. This means that the ACS is used
to replace the updated 2000 base rent with a 2005 local ACS base rent.
B. Data Sources--Legacy RDDs
The Department regularly obtains additional rent survey data to
update the FMRs in the form of RDD telephone rent surveys meeting the
Department's statistical criteria for updating FMRs. HUD conducted
numerous RDD surveys between 2001 and 2005, and also accepted a number
of non-HUD RDD surveys to update FMRs during this time period. Since
these RDDs were performed according to the FMR area geography in place
at the time, they may not provide usable coverage of FY2008 FMR areas.
RDD surveys performed between 2001 and 2005 are used to update or
replace 2000 Census base rents in ACS-2 and ACS-3 FMR areas under the
following conditions (in ACS-1 and ACS-4 FMR areas the ACS results are
deemed superior to legacy RDD results and legacy RDDs are not evaluated
\2\):
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\2\ The results of certain special case RDDs performed in ACS-1,
ACS-2, and ACS-4 areas that, for example, adjusted bedroom rent
ratios derived from the 2000 Census, may still be used on a case-by-
case basis as noted in the FY2008 FMR Documentation System; see
https://www.huduser.org/datasets/fmr/fmrs/index.asp?data-fmr08.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
The RDD was the most recent RDD performed for the area.
The RDD is ``Accepted,'' meaning the updated 2000 Census
base rent for the RDD area (prorated to the RDD month) is outside the
95 percent confidence interval of the RDD.
If the Accepted RDD area covers at least 75 percent of the
population of the FMR area, and the FMR area's population in the
Accepted RDD area is at least 75 percent of the Accepted RDD area, the
new base rent is the Accepted RDD result. If these conditions do not
hold, the RDD is not used.
[[Page 38401]]
FMR area base rents affected by Legacy RDDs from 2001 to 2005 are
updated to 2005 using the prorated 2000 Census to 2005 ACS update
factor (from the RDD month to June 2005) for the area.
C. FMR Updates from 2005 to 2006
Local CPI data is used to move rents from June 2005 to the end of
2006 for FMR areas with at least 75 percent of their population within
Class A metropolitan areas covered by local CPI data. Census region CPI
data is used for FMR areas in Class B and C size metropolitan areas and
nonmetropolitan areas without local CPI update factors.
D. FMR Updates from 2006 to 2008
The national 1990 to 2000 average annual rent increase trend of
1.03 is applied for 1.25 years.
E. Additional Rent Surveys and Other Data
Post-2005 RDDs are evaluated against the 2005 ACS-based rent
trended to the RDD month by the appropriate proportion (root) of the
2005-to-2008 update factors. For example, if the RDD was conducted in
August 2006, then the appropriate root (14/18) of the 2005-to-2006 CPI-
based update is used to update the 2005 ACS rent. If the RDD was
conducted in February 2007, then the entire CPI update factor is
applied to the 2005 rent, and the appropriate root (2/15) of the
December 2006-to-April 2008 update is applied. If the updated 2005 rent
is outside the 95 percent confidence interval of the RDD, then the RDD
is ``Accepted.'' Accepted RDD results are trended to April 2008 using
the remainder of the 2005-to-2008 update factors.
The FMR bonuses related to the impact of Hurricane Katrina for
Baton Rouge, Louisiana, and New Orleans, first applied on March 6,
2006, are proposed to continue to be applied in the FY2008 FMRs. The
2005 ACS was conducted largely before the impact of Hurricane Katrina
or before its effects on the rental market could be detected in the
survey. Because the ACS indicates that the 2000-to-2005 FMR update
factors for these areas should be lower than for other data sources
used in FY2007 and earlier FMRs, HUD is adjusting the bonus percentages
to 15 percent in Baton Rouge and 35 percent in New Orleans, as
subsequent research shows that the tight rental market conditions in
both areas indicate that FMRs should not be reduced.
The area-specific data and computations used to calculate proposed
FY2008 FMRs and FMR area definitions can be found at https://
www.huduser.org/datasets/fmr/fmrs/index.asp?data=fmr08.
F. Large Bedroom Rents
FMR estimates are calculated for two-bedroom units. This generally
is the most common size of rental units, and therefore the most
reliable to survey and analyze. After each decennial census, rent
relationships between two-bedroom units and other unit sizes are
calculated and used to set FMRs for other units. This is done because
it is much easier to update two-bedroom estimates and to use pre-
established cost relationships with other bedroom sizes than it is to
develop independent FMR estimates for each bedroom size. This was last
done using 2000 Census data. A publicly releasable version of the data
file used that permits derivations of rent ratios is available at
https://www.huduser.org/datasets/fmr/CensusRentData/.
The rents for three-bedroom and larger units continue to reflect
HUD's policy to set higher rents for these units than would result from
using normal market rents. This adjustment is intended to increase the
likelihood that the largest families, who have the most difficulty in
leasing units, will be successful in finding eligible program units.
The adjustment adds bonuses of 8.7 percent to the unadjusted three-
bedroom FMR estimates and adds 7.7 percent to the unadjusted four-
bedroom FMR estimates. The FMRs for unit sizes larger than four
bedrooms are calculated by adding 15 percent to the four-bedroom FMR
for each extra bedroom. For example, the FMR for a five-bedroom unit is
1.15 times the four-bedroom FMR, and the FMR for a six-bedroom unit is
1.30 times the four-bedroom FMR. FMRs for single-room occupancy units
are 0.75 times the zero-bedroom (efficiency) FMR.
A further adjustment was made using 2000 Census data in
establishing rent ratios for areas with local bedroom-size intervals
above or below what are considered to be reasonable ranges or where
sample sizes are inadequate to accurately measure bedroom rent
differentials. HUD's experience has shown that highly unusual bedroom
ratios typically reflect inadequate sample sizes or peculiar local
circumstances that HUD would not want to utilize in setting FMRs (e.g.,
luxury efficiency apartments that rent for more than typical one-
bedroom units). Bedroom interval ranges were established based on an
analysis of the range of such intervals for all areas with large enough
samples to permit accurate bedroom ratio determinations. The ranges
used were: efficiency units are constrained to fall between 0.65 and
0.83 of the two-bedroom FMR; one-bedroom units must be between 0.76 and
0.90 of the two-bedroom unit; three-bedroom units must be between 1.10
and 1.34 of the two-bedroom unit; and four-bedroom units must be
between 1.14 and 1.63 of the two-bedroom unit. Bedroom rents for a
given FMR area were then adjusted if the differentials between bedroom-
size FMRs were inconsistent with normally observed patterns (i.e.,
efficiency rents were not allowed to be higher than one-bedroom rents
and four-bedroom rents were not allowed to be lower than three-bedroom
rents).
For low-population, nonmetropolitan counties with small census
recent-mover rent samples, census-defined county group data were used
in determining rents for each bedroom size. This adjustment was made to
protect against unrealistically high or low FMRs due to insufficient
sample sizes. The areas covered by this new estimation method had less
than the HUD standard of 200 two-bedroom census-tabulated observations.
IV. Manufactured Home Space Surveys
The FMR used to establish payment standard amounts for the rental
of manufactured home spaces in the Housing Choice Voucher program is 40
percent of the FMR for a two-bedroom unit. HUD will consider
modification of the manufactured home space FMRs where public comments
present statistically valid survey data showing the 40th percentile
manufactured home space rent (including the cost of utilities) for the
entire FMR area.
All approved exceptions to these rents that were in effect in
FY2007 were updated to FY2008 using the same data used to estimate the
Housing Choice Voucher program FMRs if the respective FMR area's
definition had remained the same. If the result of this computation was
higher than 40 percent of the re-benchmarked two-bedroom rent, the
exception remains and is listed in Schedule D. The FMR area definitions
used for the rental of manufactured home spaces are the same as the
area definitions used for the other FMRs. Areas with definitional
changes that previously had exceptions to their manufactured housing
space rental FMRs are requested to submit new surveys to justify
higher-than-standard space rental FMRs if they believe higher space
rental allowances are needed.
V. Request for Public Comments
HUD seeks public comments on FMR levels for specific areas.
Comments on FMR levels must include sufficient
[[Page 38402]]
information (including local data and a full description of the rental
housing survey methodology used) to justify any proposed changes.
Changes may be proposed in all or any one or more of the unit-size
categories on the schedule. Recommendations and supporting data must
reflect the rent levels that exist within the entire FMR area.
For the supporting data, HUD recommends the use of professionally
conducted RDD telephone surveys to test the accuracy of FMRs for areas
where there is a sufficient number of Section 8 units to justify the
survey cost of approximately $35,000. Areas with 2,000 or more program
units usually meet this cost criterion, and areas with fewer units may
meet it if actual rents for two-bedroom units are significantly
different from the FMRs proposed by HUD. In addition, HUD has developed
a version of the RDD survey methodology for smaller, nonmetropolitan
PHAs. This methodology is designed to be simple enough to be done by
the PHA itself, rather than by professional survey organizations, at a
cost of $5,000 or less.
PHAs in nonmetropolitan areas may, in certain circumstances,
conduct surveys of groups of counties. HUD must approve all county-
grouped surveys in advance. PHAs are cautioned that the resulting FMRs
will not be identical for the counties surveyed. Each individual FMR
area will have a separate FMR based on the relationship of rents in
that area to the combined rents in the cluster of FMR areas. In
addition, PHAs are advised that counties where FMRs are based on the
combined rents in the cluster of FMR areas will not have their FMRs
revised unless the grouped survey results show a revised FMR above the
combined rent level.
PHAs that plan to use the RDD survey technique should obtain a copy
of the appropriate survey guide. Larger PHAs should request HUD's
survey guide entitled ``Random Digit Dialing Surveys; A Guide to Assist
Larger Public Housing Agencies in Preparing Fair Market Rent
Comments.'' Smaller PHAs should obtain the guide entitled ``Rental
Housing Surveys: A Guide to Assist Smaller Public Housing Agencies in
Preparing Fair Market Rent Comments.'' These guides are available from
HUD USER at HUD's Web site, in Microsoft Word format, at the following
address: https://www.huduser.org/datasets/fmr.html.
Other survey methodologies are acceptable in providing data to
support comments, if the survey methodology can provide statistically
reliable, unbiased estimates of the gross rent. Survey samples should
preferably be randomly drawn from a complete list of rental units for
the FMR area. If this is not feasible, the selected sample must be
drawn to be statistically representative of the entire rental housing
stock of the FMR area. Surveys must include units at all rent levels
and be representative by structure type (including single-family,
duplex, and other small rental properties), age of housing unit, and
geographic location. The decennial census should be used as a means of
verifying if a sample is representative of the FMR area's rental
housing stock.
Most surveys of FMR areas cover only one- and two-bedroom units. If
the survey is statistically acceptable, HUD will estimate FMRs for
other bedroom sizes using ratios based on the decennial census. A PHA
or contractor that cannot obtain the recommended number of sample
responses after reasonable efforts should consult with HUD before
abandoning its survey; in such situations, HUD may find it appropriate
to relax normal sample size requirements.
HUD will consider increasing manufactured home space FMRs where
public comment demonstrates that 40 percent of the two-bedroom FMR is
not adequate. In order to be accepted as a basis for revising the
manufactured home space FMRs, comments must include a pad rental survey
of the mobile home parks in the area, identify the utilities included
in each park's rental fee, and provide a copy of the applicable public
housing authority's utility schedule.
Accordingly, the Fair Market Rent Schedules, which will not be
codified in 24 CFR Part 888, are proposed to be amended as shown in the
Appendix to this notice.
Dated: June 27, 2007.
Darlene F. Williams,
Assistant Secretary for Policy, Development and Research.
Fair Market Rents for the Housing Choice Voucher Program
Schedules B and D--General Explanatory Notes
1. Geographic Coverage
a. Metropolitan Areas--FMRs are market-wide rent estimates that are
intended to provide housing opportunities throughout the geographic
area in which rental-housing units are in direct competition. The
proposed FY2008 FMRs reflect a change in metropolitan area definitions.
HUD is using the metropolitan CBSAs, which are made up of one or more
counties, as defined by the OMB, with some modifications. HUD is
generally assigning separate FMRs to the component counties of CBSA
Micropolitan Areas.
b. Modifications to OMB Definitions--Following OMB guidance, the
estimation procedure for the FY2008 proposed FMRs incorporates the
current OMB definitions of metropolitan areas based on the CBSA
standards as implemented with 2000 Census data, but makes adjustments
to the definitions to separate subparts of these areas where FMRs or
median incomes would otherwise change significantly if the new area
definitions were used without modification. In CBSAs where sub-areas
are established, it is HUD's view that the geographic extent of the
housing markets are not yet the same as the geographic extent of the
CBSAs, but may become so in the future as the social and economic
integration of the CBSA component areas increases. Modifications to
metropolitan CBSA definitions are made according to a formula as
described below.
Metropolitan area CBSAs (referred to as Metropolitan Statistical
Areas or MSAs) may be modified to allow for sub-area FMRs within MSAs
based on the boundaries of old FMR areas (OFAs) within the boundaries
of new MSAs. (OFAs are the FMR areas defined for the FY2005 FMRs.
Collectively, they include 1999 definition MSAs/PMSAs, metropolitan
counties deleted from 1999 definition MSAs/PMSAs by HUD for FMR
purposes, and counties and county parts outside of 1999 definition
MSAs/PMSAs referred to as nonmetropolitan counties.) Sub-areas of MSAs
are assigned their own FMRs when the sub-area 2000 Census Base Rent
differs by at least 5 percent from the MSA 2000 Census Base Rent (i.e.,
by at most 95 percent or at least 105 percent), or when the 2000 Census
Median Family Income for the sub-area differs by at least 5 percent
from the MSA 2000 Census Median Family Income. MSA sub-areas, and the
remaining portions of MSAs after sub-areas have been determined, are
referred to as HUD Metro FMR Areas (HMFAs) to distinguish these areas
from OMB's official definition of MSAs.
The specific counties and New England towns and cities within each
state in MSAs and HMFAs are listed in Schedule B.
2. Bedroom Size Adjustments
Schedule B shows the FMRs for zero-bedroom through four-bedroom
units. The FMRs for unit sizes larger than four bedrooms are calculated
by adding 15 percent to the four-bedroom FMR for
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each extra bedroom. For example, the FMR for a five-bedroom unit is
1.15 times the four-bedroom FMR, and the FMR for a six-bedroom unit is
1.30 times the four-bedroom FMR. FMRs for single-room-occupancy (SRO)
units are 0.75 times the zero-bedroom FMR.
3. Arrangement of FMR Areas and Identification of Constituent Parts
a. The FMR areas in Schedule B are listed alphabetically by
metropolitan FMR area and by nonmetropolitan county within each state.
The exception rents for manufactured home spaces FMRs are listed
alphabetically in Schedule D.
b. The constituent counties (and New England towns and cities)
included in each metropolitan FMR area are listed immediately following
the listings of the FMR dollar amounts. All constituent parts of a
metropolitan FMR area that are in more than one state can be identified
by consulting the listings for each applicable state.
c. Two nonmetropolitan counties are listed alphabetically on each
line of the nonmetropolitan county listings.
d. The New England towns and cities included in a nonmetropolitan
part of a county are listed immediately following the county name.
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[FR Doc. 07-3388 Filed 7-11-07; 8:45 am]
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