Milk in the Northeast and Other Marketing Areas; Tentative Final Decision on Proposed Amendments and Opportunity To File Written Exceptions to Tentative Marketing Agreements and Orders, 67467-67489 [06-9340]
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67467
Proposed Rules
Federal Register
Vol. 71, No. 225
Wednesday, November 22, 2006
This section of the FEDERAL REGISTER
contains notices to the public of the proposed
issuance of rules and regulations. The
purpose of these notices is to give interested
persons an opportunity to participate in the
rule making prior to the adoption of the final
rules.
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
Agricultural Marketing Service
7 CFR Parts 1000, 1001, 1005, 1006,
1007, 1030, 1032, 1033, 1124, 1126, and
1131
[Docket no. AO–14–A74, et al.; DA–06–01]
Milk in the Northeast and Other
Marketing Areas; Tentative Final
Decision on Proposed Amendments
and Opportunity To File Written
Exceptions to Tentative Marketing
Agreements and Orders
7
CFR
part
Marketing area
AO Nos.
1001
1005
1006
1007
1030
1032
1033
1124
1126
1131
Northeast ...................
Appalachian ...............
Florida .......................
Southeast ..................
Upper Midwest ..........
Central .......................
Mideast ......................
Pacific Northwest ......
Southwest ..................
Arizona ......................
AO–14–A73
AO–388–A14
AO–356–A37
AO–366–A43
AO–361–A38
AO–313–A47
AO–166–A71
AO–368–A34
AO–231–A67
AO–271–A39
Agricultural Marketing Service,
USDA.
ACTION: Proposed rule.
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AGENCY:
SUMMARY: This tentative final decision
proposes to adopt, on an interim final
and emergency basis, changes to the
manufacturing allowances contained in
the Class III and Class IV product price
formulas applicable to all Federal milk
marketing orders. This decision is
subject to producer approval.
DATES: Comments should be submitted
on or before January 22, 2007.
ADDRESSES: Comments (four copies)
should be filed with the Hearing Clerk,
Stop 9200-Room 1031, United States
Department of Agriculture, 1400
Independence Avenue, SW.,
Washington, DC 20250–9200.
Comments may also be submitted at the
Federal eRulemaking portal: https://
www.regulations.gov or by submitting
comments via e-mail to:
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amsdairycomments@usda.gov.
Reference should be made to the title of
action and docket number.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Jack
Rower, Marketing Specialist, USDA/
AMS/Dairy Programs, Order
Formulation and Enforcement, Stop
0231-Room 2971-S 1400 Independence
Avenue, SW., Washington, DC 20250–
0231, (202) 720–2357, e-mail address:
jack.rower@usda.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: This
tentative final decision adopts on an
interim final and emergency basis,
amendments to the manufacturing
(make) allowances for cheese, butter,
nonfat dry milk (NFDM) and dry whey
powder contained in the Class III and
Class IV product price formulas.
Specifically, this decision proposes the
following manufacturing allowances:
United States in any district in which
the handler is an habitant, or has its
principal place of business, has
jurisdiction in equity to review the
USDA’s ruling on the petition, provided
a bill in equity is filed not later than 20
days after the date of the entry of the
ruling.
Regulatory Flexibility Act and
Paperwork Reduction Act
In accordance with the Regulatory
Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et seq.), the
Agricultural Marketing Service has
considered the economic impact of this
action on small entities and has certified
that this proposed rule will not have a
significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities. For
the purpose of the Regulatory Flexibility
Act, a dairy farm is considered a ‘‘small
business’’ if it has an annual gross
revenue of less than $750,000, and a
Adopted make
dairy products manufacturer is a ‘‘small
allowance
business’’ if it has fewer than 500
Cheese .................................
$0.1682/lb employees.
For the purposes of determining
Butter ....................................
0.1202/lb
NFDM ...................................
0.1570/lb which dairy farms are ‘‘small
Dry whey ...............................
0.1956/lb businesses,’’ the $750,000 per year
criterion was used to establish a
This administrative action is governed production guideline of 500,000 pounds
by the provisions of Sections 556 and
per month. Although this guideline does
557 of Title 5 of the United States Code
not factor in additional monies that may
and, therefore, is excluded from the
be received by dairy producers, it
requirements of Executive Order 12866. should be an inclusive standard for
The amendments to the rules
most ‘‘small’’ dairy farmers. For
proposed herein have been reviewed
purposes of determining a handler’s
under Executive Order 12988, Civil
size, if the plant is part of a larger
Justice Reform. They are not intended to company operating multiple plants that
have a retroactive effect. If adopted, the
collectively exceed the 500-employee
proposed amendments would not
limit, the plant will be considered a
preempt any state or local laws,
large business even if the local plant has
regulations, or policies, unless they
fewer than 500 employees.
present an irreconcilable conflict with
For the month of January 2006, the
this rule.
month the initial public hearing was
The Agricultural Marketing
held, the milk of 52,570 dairy farmers
Agreement Act of 1937 (Act), as
was pooled on the Federal order system.
amended (7 U.S.C. 604–674), provides
Of the total, 49,153 dairy farmers, or 94
that administrative proceedings must be percent, were considered small
exhausted before parties may file suit in businesses. During the same month, 536
court. Under Section 608c(15)(A) of the
plants were regulated by or reported
Act, any handler subject to an order may their milk receipts to be pooled and
request modification or exemption from price on a Federal order. Of the total,
such order by filing with the
286 plants, or 53 percent, were
Department a petition stating that the
considered small businesses.
order, any provision of the order, or any
This decision provides that all orders
obligation imposed in connection with
be amended by changing the make
the order is not in accordance with the
allowances contained in the formulas
law. A handler is afforded the
used to compute component prices and
opportunity for a hearing on the
the minimum class prices in all Federal
petition. After a hearing, the Department milk orders. Specifically, the make
would rule on the petition. The Act
allowance for butter would increase
provides that the district court of the
from $0.1150 to $0.1202 per pound; the
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make allowance for cheese would
increase from $0.1650 to $0.1682 per
pound; the make allowance for NFDM
would increase from $0.1400 to $0.1570
per pound; and the make allowance for
dry whey would increase from $0.1590
to $0.1956 per pound.
The adoption of these new make
allowances serves to approximate the
average cost of producing cheese, butter,
NFDM and dry whey for manufacturing
plants located in Federal milk marketing
areas.
The established criteria for the make
allowance changes are applied in an
identical fashion to both large and small
businesses and will not have any
different impact on those businesses
producing manufactured milk products.
The following economic analysis
discusses impacts of the order
amendments on order participants
including producers and manufacturers.
Based on the economic analysis we have
concluded that the proposed
amendments will not have a significant
economic impact on a substantial
number of small entities.
The Agricultural Marketing Service is
committed to complying with the EGovernment Act, to promote the use of
the Internet and other information
technologies to provide increased
opportunities for citizen access to
Government information and services,
and for other purposes.
This tentative final decision does not
require additional information
collection that needs clearance by the
Office of Management and Budget
(OMB) beyond currently approved
information collection. The primary
sources of data used to complete the
forms are routinely used in most
business transactions. The forms require
only a minimal amount of information
that can be supplied without data
processing equipment or a trained
statistical staff. Thus, the information
collection and reporting burden is
relatively small. Requiring the same
reports for all handlers does not
significantly disadvantage any handler
that is smaller than the industry
average.
Interested parties are invited to
submit comments on the probable
regulatory and informational impact of
this proposed rule on small entities.
Also, parties may suggest modifications
of this proposed rule for the purpose of
tailoring its applicability to small
businesses.
Economic Analysis
Analysis
In order to assess the impact of make
allowance changes in Federal order
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product pricing formulas, the
Department has conducted an economic
analysis. While the primary purpose of
this tentative final decision is to amend
the product pricing formulas used to
price milk regulated under Federal milk
marketing orders and classified as either
Class III or Class IV milk, these product
price formulas also affect the prices of
regulated milk classified as Class I and
Class II.
Scope of Analysis
Impacts of increasing make
allowances were measured as changes
from the USDA Agricultural Baseline
Projections to 2015 (OCE–2006–1,
https://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/
ag_baseline.htm). The baseline
projections are ‘‘a Departmental
consensus on a long-run scenario for the
agricultural sector.’’ Included is a
national, annual projection of the
supply-demand-price situation for milk.
The USDA baseline and the model
baseline assume: (1) The Milk Price
Support Program (MPSP) will continue
unchanged; (2) The Dairy Export
Incentive Program will be utilized to the
maximum extent allowed beginning in
the 2006/07 fiscal year; (3) The Milk
Income Loss Contract (MILC) program
will continue through September 2007 1;
and (4) The Federal Milk Marketing
Order Program will continue
unchanged. This analysis maintains the
first three assumptions as unchanged.
The only changes to the Federal Milk
Marketing Order Program are those that
are brought about by the changes in
make allowances adopted in this
decision. Since the model is an annual
model, a simplifying assumption is
made that the make allowance changes
become effective January 1, 2007.
Demands for fluid milk and
manufactured dairy products are
functions of per capita consumption and
population. Per capita consumption for
the major milk and dairy products are
estimated as functions of own prices,
substitute prices, and income. Retail
margins are assumed unchanged from
the baseline. The demands for fluid
milk and soft manufactured products
are satisfied first by the eligible supply
of milk. The milk supply for
manufactured hard products is the
volume of milk marketings remaining
after satisfying the volumes demanded
for fluid and soft manufactured
products. Milk is manufactured into
cheese, butter or nonfat dry milk
1 Dairy producers are not eligible to choose
September 2007 as a month for which MILC
payments are to be applied. This provision was
included so that it would not be necessary to
include MILC payments in the Federal budget for
fiscal year 2007–08.
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(NFDM) according to returns to
manufacturing in each class. Wholesale
prices for cheese, butter, NFDM and dry
whey reflect supply and demand for
these products. These manufactured
dairy product prices underlie the
Federal order pricing system.
Summary of Results
The impacts of the changes to the
Class III and Class IV formulas that are
set forth in this tentative final decision
are summarized using annual and nineyear, 2007–2015, average changes from
the model baseline. The results
presented for the Federal order system
are in the context of the larger U.S.
market. In particular, the Federal order
price formulas use national
manufactured dairy product prices.
Producers. Over the nine-year period,
the average Federal order minimum
blend price for milk at test decreases
$0.08 (0.55 percent) from a baseline
level of $14.71 per hundredweight
(cwt). The average U.S. all-milk price
decreases by about $0.05 (0.35 percent)
from a baseline level of 14.79 per cwt.
Federal order marketings decrease by an
average 136 million pounds annually
due to the production decrease in
response to lower producer milk prices.
Federal order milk cash receipts
decrease by an average $125 million
annually (0.65 percent) from baseline
receipts of $19,165 million. U.S. milk
marketings decrease by an average 206
million pounds annually (0.11 percent),
yielding an average producer revenue
decrease of $125 million annually (0.44
percent) from average baseline receipts
of $28,396 million.
Milk Manufacturers and Processors.
Increasing Federal order make
allowances benefits dairy manufacturers
by widening the spread between Federal
order minimum prices and the prices
that they receive for manufactured dairy
products. While prices paid for milk are
lower, prices received for dairy products
are higher due to the tighter milk
supply. Over the nine year projection
period, wholesale dairy product prices
increase as follows: $0.0119 per pound
(0.82 percent) for cheddar cheese,
$0.0305 (1.99 percent) for butter,
$0.0012 (0.14 percent) for NFDM, and
$0.0015 (0.56 percent) for dry whey.
With the proposed increases in make
allowances, most Federal order
component prices decrease on average
over the nine-year projection period:
$0.0038 per pound (0.16 percent) for
protein, $0.0156 (2.24 percent) for
nonfat solids, and $0.0361 (30.22
percent) for other solids. For the
butterfat price, the increase in the butter
price more than offsets the increase in
the butter make allowance, resulting in
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an average increase of $0.0303 per
pound (1.78 percent) over the projection
period. Changes in Federal order
component prices translate into
reductions for Federal order skim milk
pricing factors at 3.5 percent butterfat
over the nine-year period: $0.22 per cwt
for Class I and Class III, $0.14 per cwt
for Class II and Class IV. Federal order
Class I and III average prices decrease by
$0.11 per cwt over the projection
period, while Class II and IV prices
decrease by $0.03 per cwt.
There are notable differences between
changes in Federal order class prices at
3.5 percent butterfat and changes in
Federal order class prices at class
butterfat percentages. Butterfat tests for
the four Federal order milk classes differ
from one class to another due to the mix
of products within each class. Butterfat
proportions are higher for Class II and
IV milk than for Class I and III milk.
Average Class I and III prices at test are
below baseline levels over the nine-year
period: $0.16 per cwt (1.12 percent) for
Class I and $0.11 per cwt (0.83 percent)
for Class III. For Class II and Class IV
prices at test, the increase in the
butterfat price more than offsets the
increase in the make allowances,
resulting in prices above baseline levels
for the nine-year period: $0.12 per cwt
(0.58 percent) for Class II and $0.03 per
cwt (0.20 percent) for Class IV.
Consumers. The expected $0.16 per
cwt (1.12 percent) decrease in the
minimum nine-year average Class I
price at test results in an average
$0.0137 per gallon decrease in the price
of fluid milk for consumers. Consumers
increase consumption of fluid milk
products slightly, resulting in an
increase of 17 million pounds (0.04
percent) in Federal order Class I
marketings. Consumers reduce
consumption of manufactured dairy
products in response to higher dairy
product prices. All of the manufacturing
Federal order class marketings decrease
as follows: 26 million pounds (0.15
percent) for Class II, 30 million pounds
(0.06 percent) for Class III and 97
million pounds (0.62 percent) for Class
IV.
Government Outlays. In 2007, with
lower milk prices, MILC payments
increase by $25 million (12.94 percent)
above the baseline level of $190 million.
This impact rounds to approximately
$0.01 per cwt averaged over all of the
milk production.
With an increase in Federal order
make allowances, dairy product prices
increase, milk production declines and
government removals decrease relative
to baseline levels. The analysis assumes
that current MPSP make allowances will
remain in effect throughout the
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projection period. Over the projection
period government removals of NFDM
decrease by an average of 9 million
pounds (2.95 percent) per year. This
reduces government outlays by an
average $7 million per year over the
projection period.
Detailed Analysis Information
A complete Economic Analysis, Class
III and IV Make Allowances, Tentative
Final Decision is available on the
Internet at https://www.ams.usda.gov/
dairy/proposals/
classIII_IV_make_all.htm. For further
information contact Howard McDowell,
Senior Economist, USDA/AMS/Dairy
Programs, Office of the Chief Economist,
Room 2753, South Building, U.S.
Department of Agriculture, Washington,
DC 20250, (202) 720–7091, e-mail
address howard.mcdowell@usda.gov.
Prior Documents in This Proceeding
Notice of Hearing: Issued December
30, 2005; published January 5, 2006 (71
FR 545).
Notice of Intent to Reconvene
Hearing: Issued June 28, 2006;
published June 23, 2006 (71 FR 36715).
Notice to Reconvene Hearing: Issued
August 31, 2006; published September
6, 2006 (71 FR 52502).
Preliminary Statement
Notice is hereby given of the filing
with the Hearing Clerk of this tentative
final decision with respect to the
proposed amendments to the tentative
marketing agreements and the orders
regulating the handling of milk in the
Northeast and other marketing areas.
This notice is issued pursuant to the
provisions of the Agricultural Marketing
Agreement Act (AMAA) and applicable
rules of practice and procedure
governing the formulation of marketing
agreements and marketing orders (7 CFR
Part 900).
Interested parties may file written
exceptions to this decision with the
Hearing Clerk, United States
Department of Agriculture, Room 1031Stop 9200, 1400 Independence Avenue,
SW., Washington, DC 20250–9200, by
the January 22, 2007. Four (4) copies of
the exceptions should be filed. All
written submissions made pursuant to
this notice will be made available for
public inspection at the office of the
Hearing Clerk during regular business
hours (7 CFR 1.27(b)).
A public hearing was held upon
proposed amendments to the marketing
agreement and the orders regulating the
handling of milk in the Northeast and
other marketing areas. The hearing was
held, pursuant to the provisions of the
Agricultural Marketing Agreement Act
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of 1937 (AMAA), as amended (7 U.S.C.
601–674), and the applicable rules of
practice and procedure governing the
formulation of marketing agreements
and marketing orders (7 CFR Part 900).
The hearing notice specifically
invited interested persons to present
evidence concerning the probable
regulatory and informational impact of
the proposals on small businesses. Some
evidence was received that specifically
addressed these issues, and some of the
evidence encompassed entities of
various sizes.
The proposed amendments set forth
below are based on the record of the
first session of a public hearing held in
Alexandria, Virginia, on January 24–27,
2006, pursuant to a notice of a hearing
issued December 30, 2005; published
January 5, 2006 (71 FR 545) and a
second session of a public hearing held
in Strongsville, Ohio, on September 14–
15, 2006, pursuant to a reconvened
hearing notice issued August 31, 2006;
published September 6, 2006 (71 FR
52502).
The material issues on the record of
the hearing relate to:
1. Amending the manufacturing
allowances.
2. Determination of emergency
marketing conditions.
Findings and Conclusions
1. Amending the Manufacturing
Allowances
This tentative final decision adopts on
an interim basis, a proposal published
in the hearing notice as Proposal 1
which seeks to amend the
manufacturing allowances for butter,
cheese, NFDM and dry whey.
Specifically, this decision adopts the
following manufacturing allowances:
cheese—$0.1682 per pound, butter—
$0.1202 per pound, NFDM—$0.1570 per
pound and dry whey—$0.1956 per
pound.
The Federal Milk order system
currently uses product price formulas to
compute prices handlers must account
for in the marketwide pooling of milk
used in Class III and Class IV products.
Class III and Class IV prices form the
base from which Class I and Class II
prices are determined.
The price formulas used to compute
Class III and Class IV prices contain a
factor called a manufacturing (make)
allowance. The make allowance factor
represents the cost manufacturers incur
in making raw milk into one pound of
product. Federal milk order pricing
formulas currently contain the following
make allowances: cheese—$0.1650 per
pound, butter—$0.1150 per pound,
NFDM—$0.1400 per pound and dry
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whey—$0.1590 per pound. These make
allowances were last amended in 2003
and were determined on the basis of a
California Department of Food and
Agriculture (CDFA) and a USDA Rural
Business Cooperative Service (RBCS)
survey of 1998 manufacturing costs. The
current make allowances were
computed by taking a weighted average
of the CDFA and RBCS surveys and
adjusting for return on investment,
general and administrative costs and
marketing costs.
a. The following summary of
testimony and post-hearing briefs
pertains to the first session of the public
hearing held January 24–27, 2006, in
Alexandria, Virginia.
A proposal published in the hearing
notice as Proposal 1 seeking to amend
the current make allowances was
offered by Agri-Mark Dairy Cooperative
(Agri-Mark). Agri-Mark is a CapperVolstead cooperative with
approximately 1300 member-owners
located throughout New England and
40-lb. block
cheese
All cheese
RBCS 2 .................................................................................
CDFA ...................................................................................
$0.13295
Not reported
$0.15136
0.1769
New York and operates 4 manufacturing
plants. Proposal 1 seeks to amend the
make allowances for cheese, butter,
NFDM and dry whey powder contained
in the Class III and Class IV price
formulas based upon the results of the
California State 2004 dairy products
manufacturing cost survey conducted by
the CDFA and a 2004 manufacturing
cost survey conducted by the RBCS. The
results of these surveys, reported in
dollars per pound, are as follows:
Dry whey
powder
$0.11409
0.2673
Butter
$0.16588
0.1368
NDFM
$0.16816
0.1543
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2 Results do not include factors for return on investment, general and administrative costs, marketing costs and milk transportation and procurement costs.
A witness from the RBCS testified
regarding the methodology used by
RBCS in conducting the 2004 Dairy
Product Plant Costs Survey. The witness
did not testify in either support of or in
opposition to Proposal 1. The witness
said the study was conducted at the
request of dairy-farmer owned
cooperatives as a technical assistance
project from which cooperatives could
compare their costs to average costs of
all participating cooperatives. The
witness stated that 9 cooperatives
voluntarily submitted 2004 cost data for
17 cheese plants, 8 butter plants and 16
NFDM plants. Due to data
incompatibility, the witness said that
one butter plant and two NFDM plants
were not included in the final study.
The witness noted that the number of
plants surveyed in 2004 was greater
than the number of plants surveyed in
1998. The witness testified that the
study represents the second time that
this technical assistance project
collected and analyzed cost data for
dried and condensed dry whey
processing. The witness reported that
the data collected did not include costs
from privately owned manufacturing
plants and that none of the plants
surveyed were located in the State of
California.
The RBCS witness testified that the
plant data represented each plant’s cost
of producing butter, NFDM, commodity
cheese and condensed dry whey or
dried dry whey depending on the
product(s) produced at the individual
plants. The RBCS witness explained the
basic data collection methodology used
in requesting data from individual
plants and testified that the
manufacturing costs provided by the
cooperatives represented only those
costs incurred by the plant from the
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receiving deck to the shipping deck of
the plant. The witness testified that milk
procurement, milk transportation, as
well as plant administrative and
management overhead, return on
investment costs and marketing costs
were not included in the data collected.
The witness also noted that the cost of
producing dry whey was excluded from
the cost of cheese manufacturing.
According to the witness, the data
provided were not audited or verified by
an independent party. The witness
explained that the cost data were
aggregated by product category and a
weighted average cost of production for
each product type was then calculated.
The witness said that the RBCS data did
not support concluding that as plant
size increased, costs of production
decreased on a per unit basis.
Two witnesses from CDFA testified
regarding the methodology used in
conducting a 2004 processing costs
survey for cheddar cheese, butter,
NFDM and dry whey powder for
manufacturing plants located in the
State of California. The witnesses noted
that 2003 was the first year that CDFA
included dry whey processing costs in
their manufacturing cost survey. The
witnesses did not testify in either
support of or in opposition to Proposal
1.
The CDFA witnesses explained that
plant participation in the cost survey is
voluntary and that the 2004 survey
represented 99.9 percent of butter
production, 98.5 percent of Cheddar and
Monterey Jack production, 99.17
percent of NFDM production and 79
percent of dry whey powder production
in the State of California. The witnesses
testified that all cost survey data
collected is from audited plant cost
records. The CDFA witnesses noted that
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the audited costs for California plants
demonstrated that costs per unit of
output are inversely related to plant
size. The witnesses elaborated that as
plant size increases, the costs of
production on a per unit basis decrease
consistently across manufacturing
product categories.
A witness appearing on behalf of
Agri-Mark testified in support of
Proposal 1. The witness testified that
the costs of manufacturing dairy
products have increased since the make
allowances were amended in 2003 by
relying on cost data from 1998 and
1999. The witness asserted that many
manufacturing plants are unable to
recoup their increased costs in the
marketplace and, the witness asserted,
caused some plants located in the
Northeast marketing area to cease
operating. The witness argued that the
Class III and Class IV make allowances
should be updated using 2004 data
contained in the CDFA and RBCS
surveys to reflect current manufacturing
costs.
The Agri-Mark witness asserted that
the role of Class III and Class IV plants
is to balance the milk needs of the Class
I and II markets. According to the
witness, monthly Class III milk volumes
as a percentage of the annual average
monthly volume in the Northeast order
for 2005 ranged from a high of 107
percent in May to a low of 92 percent
in October. Class IV usage for that same
time period ranged from 145 percent in
May to 48 percent in September, said
the witness. The witness also stated that
when milk production in the Northeast
marketing area increased in 2000, it was
primarily Class IV plants that balanced
the increased supply.
The Agri-Mark witness stressed that
even though Class IV plants are
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balancing the market by processing the
additional producer milk supply, they
are not profitable in the Northeast
marketing area. The witness explained
that one dairy processor attempted to
recoup their increased energy costs in
the market through an energy surcharge
on its finished products. However,
stated the witness, the surcharge was
captured in the NASS survey price and
subsequently the Class IV milk price
paid by manufacturing plants also
increased.
The Agri-Mark witness estimated that
its members lost $15.5 million in 2004
because manufacturing costs were not
adequately covered in the pricing
formula for cheese. According to the
witness, this resulted in a loss of
$0.6500 per hundredweight (cwt) on all
its producer-member milk. In this
regard, the witness asserted that AgriMark members were subsidizing the
Northeast order blend price because
they are paying a classified price for
Class III and Class IV milk that is higher
than the value of the milk used to make
these products. The witness conceded,
however, that despite incurring a loss
on its producer-member milk Agri-Mark
does pay premiums for milk it
purchases for processing into Class III
and Class IV products.
The Agri-Mark witness proposed that
the updated cheese make allowance is
computed by taking a weighted average
of the RBCS 40-pound block cheddar
and the all California total cheese
manufacturing plant costs. The witness
calculated this value to be $0.1794 per
pound. The witness was of the opinion
that the RBCS 40 pound block cost
should be used because the CDFA
survey had standardized its reported
costs to plants that produce 40 pound
blocks.
The Agri-Mark witness proposed that
the butter make allowance should be
computed by using the weighted
average cost for all RBCS butter plants
with the weighted average costs of all
CDFA butter plants. The witness
calculated this value to be $0.1515 per
pound. The witness explained that only
the high cost sub-group of CDFA butter
plants was used in 2003 when the
current make allowances were adopted.
The witness was of the opinion that
using only the high cost sub-group
would now be inappropriate because
those plants were not similar in size to
the RBCS butter plants.
The Agri-Mark witness proposed that
the NFDM make allowance should be
computed using the RBCS weighted
average cost for all NFDM plants and
the weighted average cost of the
medium cost sub-group of CDFA NFDM
plants. The witness calculated this
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value to be $0.1867 per pound. The
witness was of the opinion that this
methodology and value was appropriate
because of the comparable plant
volumes between the two groups. The
low cost plants in the CDFA survey
produce a large volume of NFDM, the
witness said, and including those plants
in the calculation would distort the
average costs of the plants in the RBCS
study. The witness explained that using
a weighted average by product volume
implies that half of the product will be
produced at a cost lower than the
weighted average and half of the
product would be produced at a cost
higher than the weighted average. If the
low cost CDFA plants were included in
the make allowance calculation, the
witness concluded that because of their
high product volume more than half of
the product and a majority of plants
regulated by the Federal order system
would not be able to cover their
manufacturing costs.
The Agri-Mark witness expressed
concern regarding the large variation in
the CDFA survey cost of dry whey
($0.2673 per pound) and the RBCS
survey cost of dry whey ($0.11409 per
pound). According to the witness, CDFA
has only collected data on dry whey
processing for two years and during that
same time period the survey cost of dry
whey ($0.2670 per pound) was not
recommended as the appropriate make
allowance—instead, a make allowance
of $0.2000 per pound was adopted. This
was also the second time the RBCS
survey collected data for dry whey
production and the witness was of the
opinion that there may have been
problems regarding the reporting and
allocation of dry whey costs that
resulted in the RBCS survey product
cost far below the CDFA cost. The
witness insisted that because dry whey
cost accounting methodology is new
and not standardized, the Department
should not rely on, or adopt the RBCS
or CDFA survey costs for dry whey.
Rather, the witness asserted that it
would be more appropriate to use the
methodology adopted when make
allowances were last amended which
added a factor of $0.0190 to the NFDM
make allowance. The witness was of the
opinion that either a $0.0190 or $0.0250
factor would be appropriate and would
result in a dry whey make allowance of
either $0.2057 or $0.2117 per pound.
The Agri-Mark witness also supported
updating the return on investment,
administrative and marketing cost
factors that are incorporated into the
make allowance calculations. The
previous Department decision amending
the make allowances adopted the cost
factors that were contained in the CDFA
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survey, and the witness was of the
opinion that the same cost factors
contained in the 2004 CDFA survey
should again be used.
The Agri-Mark witness submitted data
estimating the impact the proposed
make allowances would have on class
and component prices. According to the
witness, the price of butterfat would fall
$0.0440 per pound, the price of protein
would remain the same, the price of
nonfat solids would fall $0.0460 per
pound, and the price of other solids
would fall either $0.0480 per pound or
$0.0540 per pound depending on the
factor used to calculate the dry whey
powder make allowance. Additionally,
the witness predicted that the Class III
price would fall either $0.4300 per cwt
or $0.4600 per cwt (depending on the
dry whey powder factor) and the Class
IV price would fall $0.5500 per cwt.
The Agri-Mark witness also offered
data regarding increased energy costs
that have occurred over the past 4 years.
Referring to U.S. Department of Energy
data, the witness asserted that crude oil
prices increased 33 percent in 2004 and
36 percent in 2005, and those prices are
expected to increase 52 percent and 45
percent above 2004 levels in 2006 and
2007, respectively. Other similar
increases were seen in natural gas
prices, the witness noted. In this regard,
the witness offered a modification to
Proposal 1 to include an energy
adjustment for 2005 using the Producer
Price Indexes for Industrial Natural Gas
and Industrial Electric Power
Distribution. According to the witness,
those indexes recorded a 6 percent
increase in electric power costs and a
23.8 percent increase in industrial
natural gas costs from 2004 to 2005.
If the energy adjustment were
incorporated into the make allowance,
the Agri-Mark witness proposed that the
make allowances be set at $0.1815 per
pound for cheese, $0.1543 per pound for
butter, $0.1965 per pound for NFDM,
and either $0.2155 per pound or
$0.2117 per pound for dry whey
powder. This set of proposed make
allowances would result in a decrease of
the Class III price of either $0.5100 or
$0.5400 per cwt and a decrease in the
Class IV price by $0.6500 per cwt.
The Agri-Mark witness conceded that
adoption of Proposal 1 would decrease
the blend prices paid to all dairy
farmers. The witness was of the opinion
that their proposed higher make
allowances would lead to lowering
blend prices by $0.09 to $0.13 per cwt
over 5 years. However, the witness said,
if the make allowances are not amended
to reflect current costs, manufacturing
plants that are unable to recoup their
increased costs would go out of business
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causing disorderly marketing conditions
because there would be fewer local
outlets for producer milk. The witness
claimed that some cooperatives are
currently decreasing the price paid to
their members in an effort to recoup
some of their increased manufacturing
costs. The witness said that while AgriMark pays premiums above the
minimum Federal order blend price to
its members, they also are collecting a
$0.15 per cwt assessment on all of their
members’ milk to offset some of the
cooperative’s losses. The witness said
that if the make allowances were not
increased, dairy farmers who are
members of cooperatives would
continue to lose money as cooperatives
that operate manufacturing plants
would further need to decrease the price
they pay to their members in an effort
to recoup additional loses. The AgriMark witness strongly urged the
Department to expedite the rulemaking
process by eliminating a recommended
decision.
A second witness appearing on behalf
of Agri-Mark offered testimony
regarding the production costs
experienced at Agri-Mark plants. The
witness asserted that their production
costs have steadily increased since 1998
when that cost data was used in
establishing current make allowances.
According to the witness, Agri-Mark has
taken many steps to increase efficiency
and to lower costs, such as installing
more efficient equipment, purchasing
supplies in bulk quantities and forward
pricing their energy needs. Despite these
efforts, explained the witness, AgriMark has still been unable to offset
increases in most production costs. To
support their claim of increased
production costs, the witness provided
data which listed various costs
experienced at Agri-Mark
manufacturing plants from 2001 to
2005.
A post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of Agri-Mark; Northwest Dairy
Association; Foremost Farms USA
Cooperative; Associated Milk Producers,
Inc.; and Land O’Lakes, Inc. expressed
support for updating the make
allowances. Hereinafter, these entities
will be referred to as ‘‘Agri-Mark, et al.’’
The brief argued that the hearing record
clearly establishes that manufacturers
are incurring higher processing costs
since current make allowances were
adopted. The brief asserted that the
current make allowances force many
manufacturers to operate at a financial
loss. The brief estimated that Agri-Mark
members alone are incurring losses in
excess of $700,000 per month.
The Agri-Mark, et al., brief stated that
unlike the competitive pricing system,
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the current pricing system does not give
manufacturers the ability to recoup
increased processing costs from the
marketplace. The current set of fixed
make allowances, wrote Agri-Mark, et
al., do not reflect current manufacturing
costs which are shown in the most
current CDFA and RBCS surveys. The
brief asserted that the inadequate make
allowances have played a role in many
manufacturing plant closures in recent
years, and claimed that more plants
would be forced out of business if the
make allowances were not updated as
quickly as possible.
The Agri-Mark, et al., brief asserted
that the RBCS and CDFA surveys are
reliable and representative of
manufacturing costs throughout the
country. The brief also stressed the
importance of including a 2005 energy
adjuster in determining any amended
make allowances. The brief reiterated
Agri-Mark’s concern with the dry whey
cost data contained in both the RBCS
and CDFA surveys and advocated
deriving the dry whey make allowance
by adding a 1.9 cent per pound factor
to the NFDM make allowance, noting
that the same methodology was used to
derive the current dry whey make
allowance.
The Agri-Mark brief conceded that
any increase in the make allowances
will reduce producer income. However,
the brief stated that the Department did
not account for the current loss of
revenue by cooperative members whose
manufacturing plants are currently
operating at a financial loss in their
baseline analysis. The brief also asserted
that the baseline analysis did not
include the impact on producer revenue
due to closures which might result from
fewer local outlets for their milk supply.
The brief concluded that if these and
other factors were included in the
baseline analysis, the reduction in
producer revenue would not be as large
as projected.
A witness appearing on behalf of
National Milk Producers Federation
(NMPF) testified in support of Proposal
1. According to the witness, NMPF
consists of 33 dairy-farmer cooperative
associations that represent 75 percent of
the country’s dairy farmers. The witness
said that NMPF supports updating the
make allowances to reflect current
manufacturing costs to provide needed
cost relief to the dairy product
manufacturing industry. The witness
stated that the current make allowances
were derived from manufacturing cost
data collected in 1998 and that costs
have increased making the current make
allowances obsolete. The witness
maintained that the updated CDFA and
RBCS survey data should be combined
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according to the same basic
methodology used by the Department
when the current make allowances were
established. The witness urged the
Department to implement these changes
on an emergency basis and omit a
recommended decision.
The NMPF witness explained that
make allowances set the maximum
margin a manufacturer can earn for its
products. According to the witness, if a
manufacturer is able to produce at a per
unit cost less the make allowance, then
they generate a processing premium.
However, the witness said, if a
manufacturer’s per unit cost is greater
than the make allowance they do not
earn a processing premium and have no
method under the current pricing
formulas to recoup those costs from the
marketplace. The witness asserted that
this undermines the ability of
manufacturing plants to provide market
balancing services and the Federal
orders the ability to provide for orderly
marketing conditions.
The NMPF witness testified that the
CDFA and RBCS surveys together
represent a large portion of the domestic
manufacturing industry—41 percent of
cheddar cheese production, 51 percent
of butter production, 81 percent of
NFDM production and 45 percent of dry
whey production. While the witness
supported using the Department’s
methodology for establishing the current
make allowances, NMPF proposed a
modification. The current butter make
allowance was determined after
excluding the lower-cost CDFA butter
plants from the calculation of the
average plant cost, the witness
explained. According to the witness,
this exclusion is no longer justified
because that group represents a large
share of U.S. butter production and
should now be included.
The NMPF witness also explained
that the most volatile input cost of
manufacturing is energy and asserted
that recent increases in energy costs
have countered many cost reducing
measures undertaken by manufacturers
to increase productivity or efficiency.
The witness was of the opinion that the
energy cost factor contained in the make
allowances should be indexed and
adjusted monthly to take into account
the volatile energy market. The witness
insisted that this was an appropriate
way to maintain equity between
producers and manufacturers explaining
that processors would not be unduly
harmed when energy prices rise and
producers would not be harmed when
energy prices fall. Therefore, the witness
said, the Department should adopt a
monthly energy price adjuster using the
monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics
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Producer Price Indexes for Industrial
Electricity and Industrial Natural Gas,
and use the weighted average 2004
electricity and fuels costs from the
RBCS and CDFA surveys as the initial
base for the adjuster. The witness added
that if an energy index is not adopted,
the make allowances that are
determined as a result of the proceeding
may become obsolete before they are
implemented if there are large
fluctuations in energy prices. The
witness supported delaying
implementation of an energy cost factor
until the issuance of a final decision if
its consideration would delay adopting
adjustments in the make allowances. A
post-hearing brief submitted on behalf
of NMPF reiterated their support for
updating the make allowances.
A witness appearing on behalf of
Land O’ Lakes (LOL) testified in support
of Proposal 1. According to the witness,
LOL is a Capper-Volstead cooperative
with more than 4,000 members that
owns manufacturing plants located
throughout the United States. The
witness explained that Class III and
Class IV prices are determined in part
by taking the market price of various
manufactured goods and subtracting the
cost of converting milk into that specific
commodity (make allowance). The
witness said that the current classified
pricing system was implemented in
2000 and the current make allowances
were last adopted in 2003 relying on
data that was collected in 1998. The
LOL witness stated that all of LOL’s
plants have experienced increased
manufacturing costs since 1998. The
witness emphasized that despite efforts
by LOL to reduce costs increase in
processing costs could not be
completely offset.
The LOL witness stressed that relative
plant size, comparable per unit costs
and recognition of balancing costs
should be criteria used by the
Department in appropriately weighting
the CDFA and RBCS surveys to
determine the make allowances. The
witness further suggested that when
establishing the butter make allowance,
the weighted average of the CDFA and
RBCS butter plants should be used
because the costs of the average plant
size measured by both surveys are
comparable. According to the witness,
this would result in a butter make
allowance of $0.1515 per pound. The
NFDM make allowance should be
computed using the weighted average of
the RBCS NFDM plants and Group II of
the CDFA NFDM plants, the witness
stated. The costs of those two groups,
after adjusting the RBCS data for return
on investment, general and
administrative costs and marketing
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expenses, are similar, the witness said,
and would result in a NFDM make
allowance of $0.1867 per pound.
For determining the cheese make
allowance, the LOL witness advocated
using the weighted average RBCS cost
with the weighted average CDFA cost
because those costs are similar. The
witness asserted that the resulting
cheese make allowance should be
$0.1710 per pound. The witness also
insisted that the RBCS and CDFA survey
costs for dry whey processing are
counter-intuitive and supported AgriMark’s modification to add a factor to
the NFDM make allowance to determine
the dry whey make allowance.
The LOL witness maintained that the
make allowances need to be amended to
reflect current manufacturing and to
remedy an error in the RBCS cost data
presented at a 2000 hearing on Federal
order product price formulas that
contained some California plants. The
witness also recognized that lower
blend prices would result if Proposal 1
is adopted. However, the witness said,
LOL cooperative members are currently
bearing the additional cost of processing
manufactured products which the
witness asserted should be born by all
producers. The witness emphasized that
all of the LOL butter, cheese, and NFDM
plants that participated in the RBCS
survey lost money in 2004 even though
the average selling price for the
products were above the NASS average
price for the year. The witness urged the
Department to expedite the hearing
process and omit a recommended
decision to provide cost relief to
manufacturing operations.
A post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of LOL reiterated their support of
adoption of Proposal 1. The brief
supported adoption of the specific make
allowances advanced by Agri-Mark
including a 2005 energy adjuster and
adoption of an energy index in the
calculation of the make allowances that
would be updated quarterly. The brief
expressed opposition to reopening the
hearing record to take evidence
regarding the proper make allowances to
be included in the Class I and Class II
price formulas.
A witness appearing on behalf of the
National Cheese Institute (NCI) testified
in support of Proposal 1. NCI is a trade
association with 70 member companies
representing manufacturers, marketers,
distributors and suppliers of cheese.
The witness said that the make
allowances should be updated with the
2004 CDFA and RBCS survey data using
the methodology that established the
current make allowances and that they
be adjusted for 2005 energy cost
increases. The witness specified that
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after adding an energy adjustment the
make allowance should be set no lower
than the following: $0.1810 per pound
for cheese, $0.2220 per pound for dry
whey, $0.1540 per pound for butter and
$0.1970 per pound for NFDM.
The NCI witness explained that the
Federal order pricing system prior to
Federal order reform was based on the
competitive market prices paid for
unregulated milk in the Upper Midwest
region. The witness asserted that this
pricing scheme reacted to changes in
manufacturing costs and therefore
manufacturers did not need to seek
government intervention to recover any
cost increases. However, the current
pricing system determines the classified
prices received by farmers based on the
products’ finished wholesale prices
minus fixed make allowances that
represents the handlers’ costs incurred
to make the finished products,
explained the witness. The current
system, the witness said, does not react
to cost changes. If a manufacturer’s costs
of production increases, the plant still
only receives the fixed make allowance
to produce that specific product, the
witness said even if this does not cover
all of its processing costs. The witness
noted that while a plant could increase
its finished product prices to recover
additional expenses, the higher prices
would be included in the NASS product
price survey and would consequently
increase their cost for raw milk.
According to the witness this circularity
in price determination undercuts market
forces and justifies increasing the make
allowances.
The NCI witness maintained that
manufacturing costs have increased
substantially since RBCS and CDFA
survey data for 1998 was used to
establish the current make allowances.
The witness asserted that if the make
allowances are not updated, cheese
manufacturers will either have to decide
to lose money on each pound of product
or stop production entirely. While the
witness supported the methodology
used by the Department to set the
current make allowances, NCI offered
their views regarding what CDFA cost
sub-groups should be used in
establishing new make allowances. The
witness also insisted that because the
2004 CDFA and RBCS survey results do
not include 2005 energy cost increases,
an adjustment as proposed by AgriMark, to reflect these increases, is
justified. The witness testified that a 2.5
cent factor should be added to the
NFDM make allowance to establish the
dry whey make allowance. The NCI
witness concluded that the increasing
differences between current make
allowances and actual manufacturing
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costs justifies the need for emergency
action by the Department through the
omission of a recommended decision.
A post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of NCI reiterated their support for
updating the make allowances using
CDFA and RBCS 2004 survey data,
adjusted for 2005 energy costs, on an
emergency basis. The brief stated that
such an update should result in new
make allowances that would be set no
lower than the following: $0.1810 per
pound for cheese, $0.1540 per pound for
butter, $0.1970 per pound for NFDM
and $0.2220 per pound for dry whey.
The brief stated that the hearing record
is replete with evidence demonstrating
a significant increase in manufacturing
costs and the manufacturers’ inability to
recoup those costs though the
marketplace. The brief also argued that
the RBCS data regarding the costs of
producing dry whey do not include all
input costs and are not representative of
typical U.S. dry whey drying plants.
Therefore, the brief said, the Department
should continue the methodology used
in the past and establish a dry whey
make allowance by adding a differential
to the NFDM make allowance.
A witness appearing on behalf of
Lactalis America Group (Lactalis)
testified in support of Proposal 1.
According to the witness, Lactalis
produces and markets a variety of
cheeses across the United States. The
witness testified that their
manufacturing costs of production have
increased 14 percent since 1998 even
though their plant capacity had increase
by 25 percent during that time frame.
The witness projected that Lactalis’
costs of production would increase 16
percent in 2006 as compared to 2005.
The witness urged the Department to
expedite the rulemaking process and
omit a recommended decision.
A witness appearing on behalf of Alto
Dairy Cooperative (Alto) testified in
support of Proposal 1. According to the
witness, Alto is a Capper-Volstead
cooperative located in Wisconsin that
markets over 1.5 billion pounds of milk
annually and operates 2 manufacturing
plants. The witness stated that a
financially stable dairy manufacturing
industry which provides numerous
local outlets for milk is vital to
maintaining a stable market for dairy
farmers. The witness was of the opinion
that the current make allowances
disadvantage cheese manufacturers
because they do not adequately account
for the current costs of manufacturing.
The witness stated that even though
Alto has become more efficient, their
costs of production still increased 3
cents per pound because of increases in
costs for natural gas, packaging
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materials and transportation. The
witness urged the adoption of Proposal
1 on an expedited basis.
A witness appearing on behalf of
Associated Milk Producers, Inc. (AMPI)
testified in support of Proposal 1.
According to the witness, AMPI is a
Capper-Volstead cooperative that
represents 4,000 dairy farmers in 7
Midwestern states and whose milk is
pooled on the Upper Midwest and
Central orders. The witness expressed
support for increasing the make
allowances because of increased
manufacturing costs, particularly for
energy, that have occurred since 2001.
The witness was of the opinion that
adequate make allowances are critical in
allowing a manufacturing plant to cover
their processing costs and earn a
competitive rate of return on equity. The
witness said that if the make allowances
remained too low plant profitability will
continue to erode and investment in
plants and manufacturing equipment
will decrease. The witness emphasized
that manufactured dairy products
compete in a national market against
other unregulated or state-regulated
plants that either have no regulated
pricing system or have a make
allowance that more accurately reflects
current marketing conditions.
The AMPI witness also supported the
inclusion of a 2005 energy adjustor as
advanced by Agri-Mark. The witness
said that AMPI experienced 31 percent
higher average natural gas costs in 2005
than in 2004. The witness noted that for
the months of September through
December 2005, AMPI’s natural gas
costs were on average 65 percent higher
than during the same time period in
2004. The witness asserted that the
steep increases in energy prices that
occurred in 2005 need to be reflected in
any update of the make allowances. The
witness also supported indexing energy
costs as proposed by NMPF, provided
its inclusion would not delay the
issuance of a decision, and that its
inclusion should be contained in a later
decision. The witness urged the
Department to expedite the hearing
process and omit a recommended
decision.
A witness appearing on behalf of
Foremost Farms USA Cooperative
(Foremost) testified in support of
Proposal 1. According to the witness,
Foremost is a Capper-Volstead
cooperative with 3,476 members that
markets 5.05 billion pounds of milk and
operates 15 manufacturing plants and 2
distributing plants. The witness said the
current make allowances have
dramatically risen since 1998 and is
causing manufacturing plants to lose
substantial amounts of money.
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The witness explained that Foremost
has taken numerous steps since 2000 to
increase their competitiveness and
efficiency by reconfiguring their product
mix, closing numerous plants and a
storage and distribution facility,
increasing employee health care
contributions, and purchasing
packaging, ingredients, and other
supplies in bulk. Despite these efforts
Foremost has been unable to completely
offset as the cost increases in energy,
employee healthcare, and packaging
materials, the witness stated. The
witness claimed that at their Lancaster,
Wisconsin, cheese plant, 2004
manufacturing costs per pound for
cheese had increased 25.6 percent since
1999. According to the witness, the
increased costs were linked to higher
natural gas, electricity, and employee
fringe benefits. The witness added that
the 2005 manufacturing costs per pound
of cheese at the same plant was 14.1
percent higher than 2004. The witness
also emphasized that Foremost has
attempted to raise its product prices and
premiums but those increases were
incorporated into the NASS Dairy
Product Price survey that in turn,
resulted in higher Federal order
minimum class prices for their raw
milk.
The Foremost witness stressed that
make allowances need to be increased
quickly; otherwise they will be unable
to continue absorbing cost increases
without paying their members less for
their milk. The witness supported
adoption of Proposal 1 with an energy
adjustor and urged its adoption on an
emergency basis.
A witness appearing on behalf of
Davisco Foods International (Davisco)
testified in support of Proposal 1.
According to the witness, Davisco
operates three manufacturing plants that
collectively produce 1 million pounds
of cheese per day. The witness offered
support for the testimony offered by the
NCI. The witness stated that the price
Davisco is able to charge for products is
not high enough to return the classified
price to the marketwide pool and cover
their manufacturing costs. According to
the witness, many of Davisco’s
processing costs have increased from
1998 to 2004. During this time period,
the witness explained, labor costs have
increased 25 percent per man hour,
employee benefits have increased 92
percent and natural gas costs have
increase 149 percent per therm. The
witness said energy costs increased
substantially again in 2005. The witness
insisted that in order to maintain a
viable dairy manufacturing industry,
make allowances need to be amended
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on an emergency basis to reflect current
market conditions.
A witness appearing on behalf of
Michigan Milk Producers Association
(MMPA) testified in support of Proposal
1. According to the witness, MMPA is
a Capper-Volstead cooperative with
approximately 2,400 members that
markets over 3.3 billion pounds of milk
per year and operates 2 manufacturing
plants. The witness said that MMPA
participated in the 1998 and 2004 RBCS
manufacturing cost surveys and
presented data revealing their cost
increases during that time period.
According to the witness, MMPA’s
manufacturing costs per pound of
NFDM were 54 percent higher in 2004
than in 1998 and represent $2.1 million
in additional processing costs that they
were unable to recoup from the
marketplace. During that same period,
the witness noted, the manufacturing
costs per pound of butter increased 14.3
percent, reducing their profit margin by
$207,000. The witness insisted that
energy costs have been the major driver
of cost increases and said that in 2006
MMPA forecasts their gas costs to
increase by nearly $1.3 million. The
witness stressed that MMPA tried to
increase their product prices but those
higher prices were captured by the
NASS product price survey which in
turn resulted in higher raw milk costs.
The MMPA witness emphasized the
need for increasing make allowances to
reflect current manufacturing costs and
urged the Department to act on an
emergency basis. The witness also
offered support for indexing fuel costs
and periodically adjusting make
allowances to reflect changes in energy
costs.
A post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of MMPA reiterated support for
adoption of Proposal 1. The brief stated
that MMPA manufacturing plants have
been incurring financial losses because
processing costs are not fully recovered
by current make allowances. The brief
supported the make allowances
advanced by Agri-Mark and NMPF. The
brief also advocated that the make
allowances be adjusted for 2005 energy
cost increases and that the new
allowances include a monthly energy
adjuster. MMPA wrote that by indexing
energy costs in the make allowances,
manufacturers would not be harmed if
future energy costs continue to increase
and if energy costs decrease producers
would share in the additional revenue
resulting from lower processing costs.
The brief described large financial
losses that MMPA member-owned
plants would incur if make allowances
are not adjusted as quickly as possible.
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A witness appearing on behalf of
Northwest Dairy Association (NDA)
testified in support of Proposal 1.
According to the witness, NDA is a
Capper-Volstead cooperative with
approximately 640 dairy-farmer
members, of which 520 pool their milk
on the Pacific Northwest order and also
operates manufacturing plants in the
northwest through its subsidiary,
WestFarm Foods. The witness said that
make allowances need to be updated to
reflect the current marketing conditions.
The witness insisted that the current
make allowances do not reflect the
higher costs of energy, labor and
packaging and that efforts to recoup
these costs from the marketplace have
been unsuccessful. Therefore, the
witness asserted that updating the make
allowances is a logical step to ensure
that manufacturing plants do not
continue to lose money from higher
costs that cannot be recouped.
The NDA witness stressed that
balancing costs should be considered as
part of determining the appropriate
make allowances for Class IV
products—butter and NFDM. The
witness claimed that NDA’s NFDM
processing costs were 2 to 5 cents per
pound higher in their NFDM plants that
specifically are used to balance the
market. The witness said that NDA
provided dry whey cost data for the
RBCS survey and noted an error in their
data—NDA did not include the
purchase of a large amount of
condensed dry whey in their total dry
whey processing cost. The witness
claimed that after accounting for this
purchase, their dry whey processing
cost increased 1.969 cents per pound for
all dry whey manufactured by NDA.
The NDA witness offered support for
adjusting the make allowances to reflect
2005 energy costs and for indexing
energy costs to periodically adjust the
make allowances as proposed by NMPF.
However, the witness insisted that
manufacturing plants need immediate
cost relief. The witness urged the
Department to first amend the make
allowances on an emergency basis and
by including a 2005 energy adjuster.
Then if necessary, the witness added,
consider the NMPF proposal to index
energy costs.
A post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of NDA reiterated support for
emergency action by the Department.
The NDA brief focused on the
appropriate level on the appropriate
make allowance for dry whey. The brief
expressed concern over the large cost
difference in CDFA and RBCS dry whey
cost survey data and the unintended
exclusion of some input costs for dry
whey processing by some of the RBCS
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survey participants. The brief
recommended that the dry whey make
allowance be derived by adding a factor
to the NFDM make allowance.
A witness appearing on behalf of
WestFarm Foods (WestFarm) testified in
support of Proposal 1 and offered
testimony explaining the processing
differences and related manufacturing
cost differences between NFDM and dry
whey powder. According to the witness,
WestFarm performs the processing and
marketing operations for NDA. The
witness reviewed the testimony
contained in a 2000 hearing record on
make allowances and concluded that
the assumptions made about dry whey
processing are still valid. The witness
updated the 2000 testimony with costs
from the RBCS study, described the
process of dry whey processing using
reverse osmosis, and compared those
costs to manufacturing NFDM. The
witness concluded that in 2004 the
additional cost of producing a pound of
dry whey powder was 2.905 cents
higher than producing a pound of
NFDM with energy costs accounting for
1.120 cents. The witness attributed the
higher cost of producing dry whey
powder partly to the larger volume of
milk needed to produce a pound of dry
whey powder than a pound of NFDM.
The witness noted that WestFarm uses
reverse osmosis technology to produce
dry whey, and in 2004 their additional
production costs were 2.7151 cents
higher than producing NFDM. The
witness concluded that regardless of the
process used to produce dry whey, the
cost of dry whey production is higher
than that of NFDM production and
urged the Department to take this into
consideration when setting a make
allowance for dry whey.
A witness appearing on behalf of O–
AT–KA Milk Products Cooperative, Inc.
(O–AT–KA) testified in support of
Proposal 1. According to the witness,
O–AT–KA is owned by three producerowned cooperatives—Upstate Farms
Cooperative, Inc.; Niagara Milk
Cooperative, Inc.; and Dairy Farmers of
America, Inc.—and which operates
manufacturing plants that produce a
variety of manufactured milk products.
The witness stated that O–AT–KA
plants provide a vital balancing function
to maintain orderly marketing of milk in
the Northeast order. However, the
witness said, the current fixed make
allowances do not reflect the increased
manufacturing costs that O–AT–KA
members have had to bear and as a
result, O–AT–KA producers are not
being adequately compensated for the
service they provide to the entire
market. The witness asserted that efforts
to recoup their increased costs by
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increasing their product prices would
only result in an increase in their raw
milk costs. Accordingly, the witness
concluded that updating the make
allowances remains the only method to
provide manufacturers with cost relief.
The O–AT–KA witness explained that
after adjusting their 2005 manufacturing
costs to include a return on investment
factor, their cost of producing NFDM
was $0.2218 per pound ($0.0818 more
than the current NFDM make
allowance) and their cost of producing
butter was $0.1497 per pound ($0.0347
per pound more than the current butter
make allowance.) The witness
concluded that these higher
manufacturing costs resulted in a $1.9
million loss in revenue for O–AT–KA
members in 2005. The witness
expressed concern with O–AT–KA’s
ability to continue manufacturing milk
products while continuously
experiencing financial losses.
The O–AT–KA witness offered
support for adoption of Proposal 1 and
the specific make allowances proposed
by Agri-Mark. The witness was also of
the opinion that the make allowances
should be updated to include an energy
adjustor to reflect the large changes in
2005 energy costs. The witness offered
support for a monthly energy cost
adjustment to ensure that energy price
changes are reflected in make
allowances.
The O–AT–KA witness recognized
that increasing make allowances
reduces producer income but asserted
that not updating the make allowances
would result in more plant closings,
increased hauling costs, and lower
producer premiums. The witness urged
the Department to take emergency
action and omit a recommended
decision.
A post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of O–AT–KA and Upstate Farms
Cooperative, Inc. reiterated their
support for updating the make
allowances on an emergency basis. The
brief stated that the make allowances
should be updated with data from the
CDFA and RBCS 2004 costs surveys,
include an adjustment for 2005 energy
costs and adjust make allowances by
changes in energy.
A witness appearing on behalf of
Saputo Cheese USA, Inc. (Saputo)
testified in support of Proposal 1.
According to the witness, Saputo owns
and operates 15 manufacturing plants
throughout the United States and
purchases 3 to 4 billion pounds of milk
annually. The witness stated that the
current make allowances are causing
cheese manufacturers to operate their
plants at a financial loss because of
dramatic increases in manufacturing
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costs. The witness explained that
Saputo has experienced a 96 percent
increase in electricity costs, a 125
percent increase in natural gas costs and
an increase in excess of 150 percent in
packaging costs from March 31, 2000, to
December 31, 2005. The witness
admitted that Saputo does not produce
cheddar cheese but claimed that they
are still unable to recoup their increased
costs in the marketplace because of the
competitive environment. The witness
stated that manufacturing costs have
increased since the 1998 cost data was
used to establish the current make
allowances. The witness urged the
Department to take emergency action to
provide manufacturers with some cost
relief and omit issuing a recommended
decision.
A witness appearing on behalf of
Glanbia Foods, Inc. (Glanbia) testified in
support of Proposal 1. According to the
witness, Glanbia operates three
manufacturing plants in Idaho and the
milk that they purchase is not pooled on
any Federal order. The witness said that
even though they are not Federally
regulated they still pay prices for their
milk supply that must be competitive
with Federal order class prices. The
witness said that Glanbia has
experienced significant increases in
manufacturing costs since 1999 and
particularly so over the past 12–18
months. The witness said that Glanbia’s
electricity costs from 1999–2005
increased by 34 percent; 370 percent for
natural gas; 111 percent for diesel; 44
percent for labor and 90 percent for
employee health insurance. The witness
expressed the opinion that the
Department should act swiftly to update
the make allowances.
A witness appearing on behalf of
Hilmar Cheese Company, Inc. (Hilmar)
testified in support of Proposal 1.
According to the witness, Hilmar
operates a cheese and dry whey
manufacturing plant in California and is
currently building a cheese plant in
Texas that will be receiving Federal
marketing order priced milk. The
witness stated that Hilmar has increased
its efficiency between 1998 and 2004
but those gains have not fully
compensated for increased
manufacturing costs. The witness
attributed increased manufacturing
costs to, among other things,
packaging—an increase of 56 percent,
supplies—an increase of 11 percent, and
repairs and maintenance—an increase of
113 percent. The witness stressed that
their cost increases from 2004 to 2005
alone were higher than the total increase
in costs for the entire period of 1998 to
2004. The witness was of the opinion
that the make allowances should be
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updated and adjusted for higher 2005
energy costs as proposed and modified
by Agri-Mark.
A witness appearing on behalf of Kraft
Foods (Kraft) testified in support of
Proposal 1. According to the witness,
Kraft owns and operates numerous
manufacturing plants throughout the
United States and also purchases dairy
products as ingredients for other
products. The witness said the long-run
viability of the dairy industry depends
on both the profitability of the dairy
farm sector and the manufacturing
sector. Current make allowances do not
accurately represent current
manufacturing costs and attempts to
increase the price of finished products
to recoup some of the increased costs
have proved futile, the witness
emphasized. The witness said that this
situation hampers manufacturer’s efforts
to operate profitably. The witness
explained that manufacturing input
costs have dramatically increased since
the 1997–1999 time period when
manufacturing cost data was collected
to determine the current make
allowances. Relying on Department of
Energy and Department of Labor data,
the witness claimed that from 1998 to
October 2005, electricity prices
increased 24 percent per kilowatt hour,
natural gas prices increased 155 percent
per thousand cubic feet and labor costs
increased 32 percent per hour. The
witness concluded that these cost
increases demonstrate the higher costs
manufacturers face in operating and the
need for higher make allowances to be
adopted on an emergency basis.
A witness appearing on behalf of the
Association of Dairy Cooperatives in the
Northeast (ADCNE) testified in support
of Proposal 1. According to the witness,
ADCNE members include Agri-Mark;
Dairylea Cooperative, Inc.; Dairy
Farmers of America, Inc.; Land O’Lakes,
Inc.; Maryland and Virginia Milk
Producers Cooperative Association, Inc.;
O–AT–KA Milk Products Cooperative,
Inc.; St. Albans Cooperative Creamery,
Inc. and Upstate Farms Cooperative, Inc.
and collectively represent more than 65
percent of the milk pooled on the
Northeast order. The ADCNE witness
offered support for testimony given by
NMPF regarding the need to raise make
allowances. The witness was of the
opinion that the make allowances
should be updated using the CDFA and
RBCS 2004 survey data and should
contain a monthly energy cost adjustor
to reflect price fluctuations in the
energy market. Dairy Farmers of
America, Inc. and Dairylea Cooperative,
Inc. withdrew their support for
increasing the make allowances during
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the hearing and in their post-hearing
brief.
The ADCNE witness asserted that
because the Northeast marketing area
has the largest Class IV utilization in the
Federal order system, marketing 2.9
billion pounds of milk in 2005,
Northeast order Class IV plants play a
vital role in balancing the market’s fluid
needs. In this regard, the witness
stressed that make allowances need to
be amended on an emergency basis to
ensure that Northeast order Class IV
plants are able to recover their
processing costs and continue their
important role in balancing the fluid
needs of the marketing area.
A post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of ADCNE reiterated their
support for adoption of Proposal 1. The
brief stated that current make
allowances are not equitable to
manufacturers because individual plant
processing costs have significantly
increased since the current make
allowances were set using 1998 costs.
The brief also argued that the CDFA and
RBCS survey data are reliable and
together represent a wide variety of
plant sizes located throughout the
United States. The ADCNE brief
supported using the methodology
proposed by NMPF as the best approach
for updating the make allowances.
A witness appearing on behalf of
Leprino Foods Company (Leprino)
testified in support of Proposal 1.
According to the witness, Leprino
operates nine manufacturing plants in
the United States, of which receive milk
pooled on the Federal order system. The
witness said that the current make
allowances no longer accurately reflect
the manufacturing costs to produce
cheese and urgently need to be updated.
The witness was of the opinion that the
RBCS, adjusted for return on
investment, general and administrative
costs and marketing costs, together with
CDFA survey results should be used to
update the make allowances.
However, the Leprino witness
believed that the RBCS results for dry
whey costs were not accurate and
should not be relied upon in setting the
make allowance for dry whey. The
witness explained that the average dry
whey plant size in the RBCS survey was
much larger than the average size of all
U.S. dry whey plants which, because of
economies of scale inherent in larger
plants, could have caused the RBCS
survey result for dry whey to be too low.
The witness also expressed concern that
some input costs relevant for producing
dry whey were not included in the
RBCS survey such as the cost of
condensing dry whey in other plants
and transporting the condensed dry
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whey to a drying facility. Had these
factors been included, the witness
speculated, the RBCS dry whey
processing cost may have been higher.
The Leprino witness supported adding
a factor to the NFDM make allowance to
set the dry whey make allowance and
concluded that a dry whey make
allowance of $0.2215 per pound was
appropriate.
A post-hearing brief filed on behalf of
Leprino reiterated their support for
updating the make allowances. The brief
stated that the hearing record contains
voluminous amounts of evidence to
demonstrate that manufacturing costs
have significantly increased from the
base period of 1997–1999 relied upon to
set the current make allowances. The
Leprino brief offered specific
justification to set each of the make
allowances to: 18.1 cents per pound for
cheese, 22.22 cents per pound for dry
whey, 15.4 cents per pound for butter
and 19.7 cents per pound for NFDM.
The brief urged the Department to take
emergency action.
A dairy-farmer member of Agri-Mark
whose milk is pooled on the Northeast
order testified in support of Proposal 1.
The witness testified that while AgriMark producer members do not like
paying an assessment on their
production, they recognize that their
manufacturing plants are in need of
immediate cost relief due to increased
processing costs. The witness said that
Agri-Mark members are currently
incurring a 15-cent per cwt assessment
on their milk checks in order to cover
some of the operating losses of the
cooperative. The witness noted that
unless the make allowances are
updated, the assessment could soon be
raised to 30 cents per cwt. The witness
insisted that having a strong dairy
processing sector is important to ensure
that all producers have a market for
their milk. Therefore, the witness urged
the Department to update the make
allowances to provide some cost relief
to dairy manufacturers.
A witness appearing on behalf of Rich
Dairy Products (RDP) testified in
support of Proposal 1. According to the
witness, RDP buys and sells a variety of
dairy products but does not own any
manufacturing facilities. The witness
supported updating the make
allowances to reflect cost increases that
have occurred since the establishment
of the current make allowances.
A dairy farmer witness appearing on
behalf of Select Milk Producers (Select),
Lone Star Milk Producers (Lone Star)
and Zia Milk Producers (Zia), testified
in opposition to Proposal 1. Hereinafter,
these entities will be referred to as
‘‘Select, et al.’’ Select, et al., are Capper-
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Volstead cooperatives who collectively
market approximately 40 percent of the
milk pooled on the Southwest order.
The witness stated that dairy farmers
have also been experiencing rising costs
for inputs such as fertilizer, fuel and
electricity. To recoup these costs, the
witness asserted that dairy farmers and
their cooperatives have to become more
efficient to lower their manufacturing
costs.
The Select, et al., witness cited
consolidated hauling routes, building
reverse osmosis plants and only
shipping full tanker loads of milk as
steps Select and other cooperatives have
taken to lower their costs. The witness
insisted that processors should seek out
similar processing efficiencies instead of
seeking to raise manufacturing
allowances which would lower
producer milk prices paid to dairy
farmers. The witness claimed that if the
blend price is reduced 25 cents per cwt
as a result of raising the make
allowances, Select, et al. farm revenue
would be reduced by $300,000 to
$400,000 a year. The witness also added
that Select has long term contracts with
its buyers that are based on the Class III
price. If the make allowances were
raised, the witness claimed that Select
producers would be unable to recover
lost revenue.
A dairy farmer witness appearing on
behalf of Continental Dairy Products,
Inc. (Continental) testified in opposition
to Proposal 1. According to the witness,
Continental is a dairy-farmer owned
cooperative with 21 producers located
in Indiana, Michigan and Ohio. The
witness was opposed to increasing make
allowances because it would result in
lower prices paid to dairy farmers. The
witness stressed that farmers have also
experienced higher costs for inputs such
as energy, fertilizer and labor, and have
had to either absorb these costs by
becoming more efficient. Like
processors, the witness said that dairy
farmers similarly have no recourse for
recouping cost increases from the
marketplace. The witness insisted that
instead of reducing producer revenue to
pay for increased make allowances,
manufacturing plants should seek out
efficiencies to lower their processing
costs.
A brief submitted on behalf of Select,
et al., Continental and the Dairy
Producers of New Mexico (DPNM)
opposed the adoption of Proposal 1. The
brief stated that the DPNM is a trade
association of producers located in New
Mexico and Texas. Hereinafter, these
entities will be referred to as
‘‘Continental, et al.’’
The Continental, et al., brief argued
that while supporters of Proposal 1
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claimed that the 2004 RBCS study was
an update of the 1998 study, it was
actually a completely different study.
The brief stated that the 2004 study
differed from the 1998 survey because it
surveyed twice as many plants, was
designed specifically for the purpose
being used as a basis for changing the
make allowances and contained cost
information for a different set of
commodities. The brief claimed that
because the 2004 RBCS survey is
fundamentally different than the 1998
survey, relying on the 2004 data to
update the make allowances is not
appropriate.
The Continental, et al., brief also
noted the lack of plant profitability
information in the RBCS survey. While
the CDFA survey results contained
information regarding the percentage of
plants that produce at costs above or
below the average cost, the brief stated
that similar information is not available
in the RBCS survey. Continental, et al.,
wrote that plant profitability should be
taken into account when determining
make allowances or, as a result, the
Department could set make allowances
at a rate that would guarantee
profitability for some inefficient plants
at the expense of producer revenue.
The Continental, et al., brief also
insisted that the make allowances
should not be changed because no
consideration was given to changing the
yield factors contained in the Class III
and Class IV price formulas. The brief
claimed that product yields by plants
included in the cost surveys are
significantly higher than the yield
factors contained in the current product
price formulas. Continental, et al., was
of the opinion that changing make
allowances without taking into account
product yields could result in
manufacturers receiving higher returns
and further reduce producer revenue.
The Continental, et al., brief also
opposed using an energy cost adjustor
in the make allowances. The brief stated
that adjusting make allowances by
changes in energy costs was not a
proposal noticed in the hearing notice.
The brief also questioned the accuracy
of the proposed method for adjustments
on changes in energy costs. The brief
noted that such adjustments would
make it difficult for handlers and
producers to minimize their price risk of
monthly changing make allowances.
The Continental, et al., brief stated
that supporters for increasing make
allowances argued that they have been
unable to recoup their higher processing
costs from the marketplace because any
increase to the price of their finished
products is captured by the NASS price
survey which, in turn, results in higher
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raw milk costs. The brief argued that
instead of changing the make
allowances, proponents should seek to
fix what Continental, et al. considers as
the root of the problem—the NASS
survey. The brief also claimed that over
75 percent of the cheese sold in the
United States is not included in the
NASS survey and therefore those plants
can raise the price of their finished
product prices to offset higher
manufacturing costs without increasing
the cost of raw milk.
The Continental, et al., brief asserted
that increasing the make allowances to
any of the levels proposed could, on
average, reduce the blend price paid to
dairy farmers by 19 cents to as much as
59 cents per cwt. The brief stressed that
this would cost dairy farmers millions
of dollars in lost revenue and would
cause many family farms to go out of
business. Increasing the make
allowances, the brief concluded, would
not provide manufacturing plants with
an incentive to become more efficient
because they their higher costs are
financed by lower prices paid to dairy
farmers.
The Continental, et al., brief stated
that after the past few years of high
producer prices, milk prices are
declining and predicted that this trend
would continue for the next few years.
The brief asserted that any further
decline in prices paid to dairy farmers
would only cause market instability and
requested that the proceeding be
terminated.
The Continental, et al., brief said that
if the Department chose to increase the
make allowances, the new make
allowances should not apply to the
minimum prices for the Southwest
order because manufacturing plants
regulated by that order are able to
manufacture profitably under the
current set of make allowances. The
brief argued that producers pooled on
the Southwest order should not have
their revenue decreased because of
inefficient plants located in other parts
of the country.
A witness appearing on behalf of the
National Farmers Union (NFU) testified
in opposition to Proposal 1. The witness
said that NFU has over 250,000
members nationwide. The witness was
of the opinion that increasing make
allowances would essentially guarantee
manufacturers a profit. The witness was
opposed to manufacturers having a
guaranteed profit because dairy farmers
are not assured of a profitable milk price
under the Federal milk order system.
The witness testified that the current
milk pricing system does not include
dairy farmers’ costs of production and
that the adoption of Proposal 1 would
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only financially harm dairy farmers. The
witness urged the Department to deny
Proposal 1 and instead, adopt make
allowances that would also take into
account dairy farmer costs of
production.
A witness appearing on behalf of
Family Dairies USA (Family Dairies)
testified in opposition to Proposal 1.
According to the witness, Family
Dairies is a Capper-Volstead cooperative
located in Wisconsin with 3,700 dairy
farmer-members. The witness testified
that while manufacturing costs have
increased, dairy farmers are similarly
coping with increased production costs
and cannot increase the price they
receive for their milk.
A witness appearing on behalf of
Southeast Milk, Inc. (SMI) testified in
opposition to Proposal 1. According to
the witness SMI is a Capper-Volstead
cooperative that markets milk for
approximately 300 dairy farmers located
in Florida, Georgia, Alabama and
Tennessee. The witness said that SMI
sells most of its milk to Class I plants
and insisted that if make allowances are
increased, their producers’ income will
needlessly decline even though they sell
little milk for manufacturing. According
to the witness, SMI producers could
collectively lose $6.3 million to $14
million of revenue in a single year if the
make allowances are increased. SMI
producers do receive over-order
premiums but the witness claimed that
SMI would be unable to recover any lost
revenue through additional premiums.
The witness insisted that the number of
Southeast and Florida dairy producers
has been declining rapidly and the
remaining dairy farmers in these regions
are already struggling to produce
enough local milk just to meet fluid
demands. The witness claimed that any
reduction in the Class I price would
only accelerate the loss of dairy farmers
in these areas. The witness also insisted
that dairy farmers who supply primarily
Class I plants should not have their
income reduced by subsidizing the
manufacturing market by providing
larger make allowances.
A post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of SMI reiterated their opposition
increasing make allowances. The brief
asserted that the competitive pay price
in the Upper Midwest marketing area is
above the announced blend price and
claimed that if manufacturers are able to
pay above the blend price for their raw
milk, an increase in the make
allowances is unwarranted. The brief
also asserted that dairy farmers located
in high Class I utilization markets
would bear an inequitable loss in
revenue if make allowances are
increased.
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A witness appearing on behalf of
Dairy Farmers of America (DFA) and
Dairylea Cooperative (DLC) testified in
opposition to Proposal 1. The DFA/DLC
witness stated that if the Department
found it appropriate to update the make
allowances, that an energy cost adjuster
should be included to ensure that as
energy prices change, that make
allowance formula would also change.
A post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of DFA/DLC supported updating
the make allowances contingent that
any changes apply only to the Class III
and Class IV price formulas. The brief
argued that unlike Class III and Class IV
processors, manufacturers of Class I and
Class II products have the ability to
recoup higher processing costs from the
marketplace. The brief stated that if
higher make allowances are used in
setting Class I and Class II, then prices
processors of those products will
receive a financial windfall for costs
that they do not incur. The brief stressed
that this would cause extreme financial
harm to dairy farmers nationwide.
A witness appearing on behalf of the
Progressive Agriculture Organization,
Faithopity Farms, Farm Wives United,
Tioga Valley Milk Cooperative, Family
Farm Defenders, American Raw Milk
Producers Association, Pennsylvania
Farmers Union, National Family Farm
Coalition and the South Auburn Grange
testified in opposition to raising make
allowances. The witness testified that
dairy farmer income should not be
reduced to cover higher process costs of
manufacturers of Class III and Class IV
products. The witness stressed that
dairy farmers have also experienced
higher production costs and that dairy
farmers cannot raise their price as a
means to offset higher costs.
An independent dairy farmer witness
appearing on behalf of the Progressive
Agriculture Organization, Pennsylvania
Farmers Union and the National Family
Farm Coalition Dairy subcommittee,
testified in opposition to Proposal 1.
The witness was opposed to raising
make allowances because it will result
in lower dairy farmer income. The
witness also emphasized that dairy
farmers cannot raise their milk price
when their costs of production increase.
The witness stressed that instead of
decreasing farmer income,
manufacturers should strive to recoup
their costs through the marketplace or
by becoming more efficient.
An independent dairy farmer witness,
whose milk is pooled on the Northeast
order, testified in opposition to
increasing make allowances. The
witness stated that their farm is
burdened with higher production costs
and that any reduction in the blend
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price they receive would injure their
farming operation. According to the
witness, if higher make allowances are
adopted, their farm income would be
reduced approximately $3,000 to $5,500
per year. The witness was of the opinion
that manufacturers should recover their
increased costs from the marketplace
and not by reducing the income of dairy
farmers who have no milk order
provisions by which to recover higher
costs.
A second independent dairy farmer
whose milk is pooled on the Northeast
order testified in opposition to
increasing make allowances. The
witness was of the opinion that dairy
manufacturers should recoup their
processing costs from the marketplace
or become more efficient to lower their
production costs. The witness said that
dairy farmers have also faced higher
production costs for items such as fuel
and health insurance. The witness said
that dairy farmers do not have the
ability to pass their higher costs on to
their customers. The witness estimated
that if higher make allowances are
adopted, their farm income would be
reduced to between $7,500 and $13,000
per year.
A dairy farmer from Tennessee whose
milk is pooled on the Southeast order
testified in opposition to increasing
make allowances. The witness was
opposed to increasing the make
allowances because it will lower
producer revenue. The witness said that
the Southeast marketing area has
declining dairy farm numbers and any
decrease in the revenue they receive
would only serve to accelerate the
decline.
A post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of the Kentucky Dairy
Development Council (KDDC) expressed
opposition to increasing the make
allowances. According to the brief,
KDDC represents approximately 300
dairy farmers located in the State of
Kentucky. The brief claimed that if the
make allowances are adopted at levels
proposed by Agri-Mark, Kentucky dairy
farmers would lose an estimated
$426,000 to $1.28 million a month. The
brief stated that Kentucky milk
production has been declining and any
decrease in producer revenue would
only hasten that decline.
b. The following summary of
testimony and post-hearing briefs
pertains to the second session of the
public hearing held September 14–15,
2006, in Strongsville, Ohio.
A professor from Cornell University
testified regarding a research study
conducted by the Cornell Program on
Dairy Markets and Policy (CPDMP), to
assess the cost of processing cheddar
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cheese, dry whey, butter and nonfat dry
milk. The witness did not testify in
support of or in opposition to any
proposal presented at the hearing. The
witness offered a working paper of the
CPDMP study that explained the
methodology and results.
The CPDMP witness explained that
the number of plants surveyed in the
study were drawn from the AMS list of
Dairy Plants Surveyed and Approved for
Grading and a separate plant list
maintained by CPDMP. The witness
explained that plants eligible to
participate in the survey were selected
on the basis that they had to produce
one of the four commodity products
(cheddar cheese, dry whey, NFDM or
butter) but the plant also had to produce
their product(s) in one or more of the
package sizes surveyed by NASS. The
witness said that each plant surveyed
was asked to provide cost data for a
recent 12-month period including fiscal
year data. The witness explained that
the plants participating in the cost
survey were geographically dispersed
throughout the country, though none
were located in the State of California.
The CPDMP witness testified that a
sample of cheese plants was selected by
size and represented both cooperatively
owned and proprietary plants. Five
plants were randomly selected from the
largest ten percent of cheese plants by
volume and all five plants opted to
participate in the study, the witness
said. The witness explained other
cheese plants were selected randomly;
however, only 11 of these cheese plants
had submitted complete cost data. The
other four plants had either submitted
incomplete cost data or had problems
with their data and therefore were not
included in the study. The witness
emphasized that the sample of cheese
plants purposely over-represented large
sized plants. The witness explained that
large plants would have been
underrepresented on a cost basis if the
survey had relied on a purely random
draw of cheese plants.
A total of 12 dry whey plants
surveyed were a subset of the cheese
plant sample and were all proprietary
plants, said the witness. According to
the witness, 8 NFDM plants and 10
butter plants were selected by a nonstratified random draw of the
population. While all 8 of the NFDM
plants selected opted to participate in
the study, only 4 butter plants selected
opted to participate, noted the witness.
The CPDMP witness described the
cost accounting methodology used in
the CPDMP study as very similar to the
methodology used by CDFA’s study of
manufacturing costs. There are
differences, the witness noted, in that
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CPDMP did not have the authority to
audit data collected from the plants, that
CPDMP did not calculate a current
value of assets from schedules of
economic depreciation, and that the
sample of plants used in the CPDMP
study was a less than the total number
of plants. The witness added that the
manufacturing costs contained in the
CPDMP study contain a ROI allowance,
but do not include marketing costs. The
witness noted that the ROI factor used
in the CPDMP study differs from that in
the CDFA study. According to the
witness, the CDFA data used detailed
accounting records and depreciation
Cheese
jlentini on PROD1PC65 with PROPOSAL
Simple Average ...............................................................................................
Weighted Average ...........................................................................................
The CPDMP witness noted that the
study, as well as previous cost of
processing studies conducted by
CPDMP, indicated that economies of
scale are evident across all dairy
manufacturing plant types.
The CPDMP witness explained that
the 16 cheese plants participating in the
study enabled CPDMP to perform a
nonlinear regression in a study
addendum to make inferences of the
cost of processing cheese for the entire
survey population of 53 cheese plants.
According to the witness, the CPDMP
study estimates that the weighted
average cost of processing cheese for the
53 cheese plants is $0.2028 per pound.
The witness estimated that if the cheese
make allowance was set at this level, 82
percent of the volume of cheddar cheese
made in the country and 33 percent of
the cheese plants in the country would
be able to cover their processing costs.
The witness explained that the weighted
average costs of processing for dry
whey, NFDM and butter could not be
made because of the small number of
plants and not knowing the volume of
production.
The CPDMP witness further explained
that the nonlinear regression used the
manufacturing cost data submitted by
the 16 cheese plants to generate a cost
curve and cost equation for the 53
plants that comprise the number of
cheese plants for the study. According
to the witness, the derived cost equation
suggests that a plant producing an
amount of cheese approaching an
infinite number of pounds per year
would have an estimated manufacturing
cost per pound approaching $0.170028
which represents the lowest calculated
cost per pound of cheese produced. On
the other hand, a plant producing
approximately 683,000 pounds of
cheese per year would have a
manufacturing cost per pound
approaching $1.170028 and represents
the highest calculated cost per pound of
cheese produced. The witness reported
that, based on the regression analysis,
87 percent of the variability observed in
the cost of making cheese can be
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$0.2065
0.1638
explained by the volume of cheese
production.
The CPDMP witness also testified
from another study addendum that
during the time period that
manufacturing plants offered cost data,
the cost of energy had increased
significantly. The witness attempted to
index the cost of energy using Producer
Price Indexes for natural gas and
industrial electric from the Bureau of
Labor Statistics and from this adjust
manufacturing cost information to
capture energy cost increases.
According to the witness, to index the
costs of processing to 2005 energy costs,
the following amounts would need to be
added to the make allowances—$0.0034
for cheese, $0.0070 for NFDM, $0.0076
for dry whey and $0.0029 for butter.
A dairy farmer appearing on behalf of
Select, et al., testified in opposition to
changing the make allowances.
According to the witness, Continental
Milk Producers, Inc. and Dairy
Producers of New Mexico endorsed the
CPDMP witness’s testimony. The
witness asserted that the weighted
average costs contained in the CPDMP
study were very similar (with the
exception of dry whey) to the make
allowances used in the current Class III
and Class IV product price formulas.
From this, the witness concluded that
the current make allowances for cheese,
NFDM and butter should not be
increased. In the witness’s opinion, if
the Department chooses to change the
dry whey make allowance, it should be
based on the NFDM make allowance
plus an energy cost adjustment to
account for the additional energy
needed to produce dry whey.
The Select, et al., witness testified
that there are four cheese plants located
in the Southwest region of the country
and asserted that all but one of those
plants are able to operate profitably
under the current make allowances. The
witness testified that the cheese plants
in the Southwest have taken many steps
to lower their manufacturing costs. The
witness was of the opinion that other
cheese plants need to also take steps to
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schedules for plant and equipment
while the CPDMP study relied on plant
estimates of fair market value for plant
and equipment.
The witness concluded that the cost
of processing, given in cost per pound
of product, for the sample of plants in
the CPDMP study was as follows:
Dry whey
$0.2282
0.1941
NFDM
$0.1484
0.1423
Butter
$0.1492
0.1108
improve their efficiency instead of
seeking to increase the make allowances
to cover their costs. The witness
asserted that some producers in the
Southwest region are receiving $1.50
below the Class III price for their milk
because of the abundant supply of milk
in the region and the higher cost of
transporting milk to market. The
witness estimated that if make
allowances were increased such that the
blend price to farmers was lowered by
$0.50 per cwt, dairy farmers in the
Southwest region would lose between
$3 to $5 million dollars per month.
A post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of Select, et al., reiterated their
opposition to increasing make
allowances and appealed to terminate
the proceeding. Select, et al., was of the
opinion that the CPDMP study is the
only valid data that the Department
should consider in whether or not make
allowances should be changed. They
asserted that the CPDMP study weighted
average make allowances are so similar
to the current make allowances that
making any changes would be
unjustified. If the Department
determines that make allowances
should be changed, Select, et al.,
proposed using the CPDMP study
weighted average costs for butter, NFDM
and cheese, but that the NFDM make
allowance for dry whey be adjusted for
additional energy costs. They also
opposed the inclusion of an energy
adjustor or the consideration of plant
balancing costs in setting new make
allowances.
Select, et al., wrote that the adjusted
NFDM weighted average of $0.1423
offered by the CPDMP witness is not
reliable because all of the CDMP study
data was not audited. Select, et al., also
elaborated that the CPDMP weighted
average cost for dry whey is not reliable
because of the small number of plants
represented in the study and because
most industry participants testified that
the dry whey make allowance should be
set at the NFDM make allowance plus
an adjustment for additional energy
costs. Additionally, the brief argued that
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the CPDMP cost estimate derived for the
53 cheese plants should not be used
because the estimates for butter, NFDM
and dry whey could not also be derived.
Select, et al., wrote that the data used to
derive the cheese manufacturing cost
estimate is not current because it does
not contain 2 new large cheese plants in
the southwest region that produce in
excess of 10 percent of the cheese
volume represented by the total 53
cheese plants of the study.
Select, et al., also argued that the
Department should not make any
changes to the make allowances without
first considering changes to the other
parts of the price formulas, specifically
factors for shrinkage and product yields.
The Select, et al., brief characterized
the underlying problem facing
manufacturers is the ‘‘circularity’’ of
price changes that are reflected in the
NASS price survey. If manufacturers are
able to recover their higher cost from the
marketplace by increasing the price of
the product, the NASS survey, in turn,
reflects these higher prices and the
formula, in turn, will result in a higher
value for raw milk. They were of the
opinion that if the circularity problem is
addressed by the Department,
manufacturers will be able to recoup
their additional costs in the marketplace
thus negating any need for raising the
make allowances and lowering producer
revenue.
The Select, et al., brief claimed that
the cheese manufacturers seeking higher
make allowances account for less than
20 percent of the producer milk pooled
on the Federal Order system. The brief
also stated that there is no evidence to
establish a measure of efficiency for
these manufacturers or if there are other
factors affecting or inherent in their
businesses which cause them to be
unable to produce cheese at or below
the current make allowance. The brief
also stressed that although cheese
manufacturers say they are unable to
produce cheese at the current make
allowances, one can not simultaneously
conclude if a plant is not profitable
because the hearing record has no data
regarding product selling prices.
A witness appearing on behalf of
NMPF testified in support of increasing
the make allowances and incorporating
a monthly energy cost adjustor. The
NMPF witness reiterated testimony
given at the first public hearing
regarding that the volatility of energy
costs make an energy adjustor necessary
to ensure that energy cost swings are
reflected in the make allowances. The
witness stated that energy costs have
fallen since January 2006 and surmised
that if new fixed make allowances had
been implemented in late 2005, they
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would now be too high manufacturing
costs have decreased due to lower
energy prices. The witness warned that
if the Department recommends a change
in the make allowances without
containing a monthly energy cost
adjustor, the new make allowances
could become outdated before they are
implemented.
A post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of NMPF reiterated their proposal
for the inclusion of a monthly energy
cost adjustor in the updated make
allowances. NMPF wrote that the
inclusion of a monthly energy cost
adjustor would be the only way to
ensure that make allowances do not
quickly become outdated due to
fluctuating energy costs.
The Secretary of Agriculture for the
Commonwealth of Pennsylvania
(Secretary) testified in opposition to
increasing the make allowances. The
Secretary claimed that within the past
10 years Pennsylvania has lost over
2,000 dairy farms and 75,000 dairy cows
because of low milk prices. The
Secretary was of the opinion that any
change in the make allowances that
would result in a lower milk price
would hurt dairy farmers in
Pennsylvania and would further cause a
decline in the number of dairy farmers
and cows.
An associate professor from Penn
State University (PSU) testified
regarding a study conducted by the
witness to estimate the impacts of
changing make allowances on class
prices, blend prices, and 2006 and 2007
Federal order pool values. The witness
did not testify either in support of or in
opposition to any proposal at the
hearing and did not testify as a
representative of PSU. The witness
explained the study relied on the
manufacturing cost estimates of the
CPDMP study to analyze six different
make allowance scenarios. According to
the witness, the weighted average make
allowances contained in the CPDMP
study were very similar to the make
allowances used in the current Class III
and Class IV product price formulas
with the exception of dry whey.
The witness testified that of the six
different make allowance scenarios
analyzed in the witness’ study only the
scenario relying on the weighted
average manufacturing cost of the low
cost plants from the CPDMP study
resulted in higher estimated uniform
prices to producers. The remaining five
scenarios resulted in lower estimated
uniform prices, ranging from $1.26 per
cwt lower (using the weighted average
manufacturing costs of the high cost
plants in the CPDMP study) to $0.02 per
cwt lower using weighted average
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manufacturing costs of all plants in the
CPDMP study for butter, cheese, NFDM,
and the dry whey weighted average
manufacturing costs plus $0.0256.
The witness was of the opinion that
the current make allowances adequately
cover manufacturing costs and allow
processors to expand their plant
capacities and production levels. The
witness added that with current low
prices, any increase in make allowances
would financially harm dairy farmers.
A post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of NCI supported using the
CPDMP study as a basis for calculating
new make allowances. NCI was of the
opinion that the CPDMP study is the
only publicly available data that
accurately represents costs of processing
for manufacturing plants located outside
California. NCI wrote that a marketing
cost factor of $0.0015 per pound and an
adjustment for the higher energy cost
observed in 2005 should be included in
any new make allowances proposed by
the Department.
NCI was also of the opinion that the
cheese manufacturing cost estimate of
$0.2028 per pound for all 53 cheese
plants should be used as the basis for
determining the cheese make allowance.
NCI asserted that the stratified cheese
plant sample used in the CPDMP survey
was weighted heavily towards large, low
cost plants and as a result the weighted
average manufacturing cost is not
representative of the cost of making
cheese throughout the country. Because
CPDMP was unable to derive
manufacturing cost estimates for butter,
NDFM and dry whey, as CPDMP had for
cheese, NCI wrote that relying on the
manufacturing costs of the surveyed
plants weighted average of those
products as a basis for new make
allowances. The NCI brief offered that
make allowances be set no lower than
the following: cheese—$0.2077 per
pound, dry whey—$0.2032 per pound,
butter—$0.1152 per pound and
NFDM—$0.1508 per pound.
Post-hearing briefs submitted
separately by Lactalis, Kraft, Grande,
Saputo and Glanbia also supported the
use of the CPDMP study as the basis for
setting new make allowances. Each
company expressed the opinion that any
make allowances proposed by the
Department should include a marketing
cost factor of $0.0015 per pound and be
adjusted for 2005 energy costs. They
argued that the manufacturing cost
estimate for the 53 cheese plants should
be used as the basis for determining a
new cheese make allowance because it
accounts for the entire population of
cheese plants and not solely the
surveyed plants that are weighted
towards large, low cost plants.
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According to their briefs, the lack of
plant data for butter, NFDM and dry
whey, each of the companies supported
the use of the CPDMP surveyed plant’s
weighted average manufacturing costs
as the starting point for determining
make allowances.
A post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of Leprino supported the use of
the CPDMP study in determining make
allowances for cheese and dry whey.
Leprino was of the opinion that the
CPDMP study accurately reflects the
cheese manufacturing costs of both
proprietary and cooperative-owned
plants. Beginning with the CPDMP
cheese manufacturing cost estimate of
$0.2028 per pound, adding a $0.0034
per pound to adjust for 2005 energy
costs, and a $0.0015 marking cost factor,
Leprino proposed that the cheese make
allowance be set no lower than $0.2077
per pound. Leprino was of the opinion
that the CPDMP cheese sampleweighted average manufacturing cost
should not be used because it overrepresents large, low-cost cheese
manufacturing plants.
Leprino was of the opinion that the
dry whey make allowance should be set
no lower than $0.2032 per pound.
Leprino computed this make allowance
by starting with the CPDMP dry whey
sample weighted average cost of $0.1941
per pound, adding a $0.0076 to adjust
for 2005 energy costs and a $0.0015
marketing cost factor. Leprino further
argued that the CPDMP dry whey
weighted average manufacturing cost is
most likely skewed in over representing
large, low-cost plants because the dry
whey plants surveyed is a subset of the
cheese plant survey which is skewed
towards large low-cost plants. Leprino
asserted that the Department would be
justified in setting the dry whey make
allowance higher than $0.2032 per
pound because the CPDMP study does
not provide dry whey cost estimates for
all dry whey plants.
A post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of Agri-Mark, et al., offered
varying combinations of the CDFA,
RBCS and CPCMP study results to
determine new make allowances. They
emphasized that make allowances
should be set at a level that would cover
manufacturing costs for most plants.
They are was of the opinion that the
Department should consider the
strengths and weaknesses of each
manufacturing cost survey to determine
what information should be relied upon
in establishing new make allowances.
They wrote that any new make
allowances should be updated to reflect
higher 2005 energy costs and that an
adjustment factor of $0.0015 per pound
be added to reflect marketing costs.
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Although the CPDMP cheese plant
survey is weighted heavily towards
large, low-cost plants, Agri-Mark, et al.,
wrote that this information can be relied
upon to make inferences about all
cheese plants and is the best data
available. By relying on the CPDMP
survey of the average annual plant
volume by region, and the
manufacturing cost equation generated
to determine manufacturing costs of all
plants, Agri-Mark, et al., inferred that
the average manufacturing cost per
pound of cheese in various regions of
the country should be varied and be as
follows: Eastern—$0.2920, Upper
Midwest—$0.2100 and Western—
$0.1860. According to their brief, it was
concluded that if the CPDMP surveyed
plant’s average manufacturing cost for
cheese of $0.1638 is adopted, all average
cost and higher than average cost plants
in these regions would not be able to
recover their manufacturing costs. The
brief expressed the opinion that the
manufacturing cost estimate for all
cheese plants should be a starting point
for updating the cheese make allowance.
After incorporating a $0.0015 marketing
cost factor and adjusting for 2005 energy
costs, Agri-mark, et al., offered that the
cheese make allowance be set no lower
than $0.2077 per pound.
Agri-mark, et al., was of the opinion
that because the CPDMP dry whey
plants surveyed are a subset of the
cheese plants surveyed, it would be
appropriate to use the CPDMP sample
average dry whey manufacturing cost of
surveyed plants as a starting point for
setting a new dry whey make allowance
because as with the cheese plants
surveyed, the dry whey plant surveys
are also heavily weighted toward large,
low-cost plants. The brief claimed that
many small cheese plants incur
transportation and loading costs for
delivering dry whey to other plants for
processing. The brief estimated this cost
at $0.0249 per pound and that it be
included in the manufacturing cost of
producing dry whey. Including an
adjustment factor to reflect higher
energy costs, the brief offered that a new
dry whey make allowance be set no
lower than $0.2281 per pound.
The Agri-Mark, et al., brief said that
using the CPDMP study for determining
a butter make allowance would not be
appropriate because the sample of the 4
plants surveyed only represent
approximately 13 percent of the butter
volume surveyed by NASS. They wrote
also that the surveyed butter plants
manufacturing costs are skewed because
the 4 plants surveyed account for 75
percent of California’s butter
production. Instead, the brief offered
using the weighted average
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manufacturing costs of the RBCS and
CDFA study (after adjusting for
inclusions of a marketing cost factor and
a ROI factor to the RBCS study). After
adjusting for higher 2005 energy costs,
the brief offered that the butter make
allowance be set no lower than $0.1554
per pound.
The Agri-Mark, et al., brief also
argued that the CPDMP study should
not be relied upon for determining a
new NFDM make allowance because it
also over-represents large, low-cost
plants. The brief explained that because
NFDM is a byproduct of the butter
making process, the same method for
computing the butter make allowance
also should be applied in determining a
make allowance for NFDM. Specifically,
the brief offered that the CDFA mediumcost NFDM sub-group should be
weighted with the RBCS NFDM
weighted average manufacturing cost.
After including an adjustment for higher
2005 energy costs and a marketing cost
factor, the brief offered that the NFDM
make allowance be set no lower than
$0.1848 per pound.
The Agri-Mark, et al., brief
maintained that lower producer prices
resulting from higher make allowances
should not be a factor in determining
new make allowance levels. The brief
expressed the opinion that if processing
plants continue to close because they
are unable to recoup their
manufacturing costs, plants will cease
operations and that lost market revenues
would far outweigh producer revenue
losses due to higher make allowances.
In this regard, the brief stressed that the
purpose of the Federal milk orders are
to set minimum milk prices and other
government programs such as the Price
Support Program and the Milk Income
Loss Program are designed to protect
producer prices.
A brief submitted on behalf of O–AT–
KA and Upstate Farms Cooperative, Inc.
(O–AT–KA, et al.) expressed support for
the brief submitted by Agri-Mark for the
reconvened hearing. O–AT–KA, et al.,
was of the opinion that the CPDMP
plants surveyed for butter and NFDM is
too small and biased toward large, lowcost plants and do not accurately reflect
the manufacturing costs of plants not
surveyed throughout the country. The
brief maintains that because not all
surveyed plants had been given the
opportunity to review their submitted
data that cost errors, similar to those
found by a NFDM plant that did review
their submitted costs, could be
contained in the study.
A post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of MMPA opposed the use of the
CPDMP study in calculating new make
allowances. MMPA was of the opinion
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that some of the surveyed plants had
difficulty accurately completing the
survey because it was administered
electronically and not by submission of
cost information on paper. Therefore,
MMPA offered that the study results
may not accurately reflect current
manufacturing costs. The brief said that
new make allowances should be
calculated relying on the RBCS and
CDFA surveys and supported the
specific make allowances offered by
Agri-Mark. The brief expressed
continued support to include a monthly
energy cost adjustor as proposed by
NMPF.
A post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of DFA proposed that only
minimal adjustments be made to
increase the current make allowances
because of the impact higher make
allowances have on reducing producer
revenue. DFA wrote that because only a
portion of manufactured dairy products
are surveyed by NASS, those other
plants producing products not surveyed
by NASS have the ability to pass on
higher processing costs to their
customers. Their brief indicated support
for a monthly energy cost adjustor.
A post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of Dairylea argued that instead of
increasing make allowances, the
Department should hold a hearing to
address the price circularity issue
inherent in the NASS price survey. In
relating production cost increases for
dairy farmers, Dairylea wrote that farm
input costs are higher, but dairy farmers
are not able to receive regulatory relief
similar to what processors are seeking
through higher make allowances.
Dairylea estimated that the average cost
of producing milk has increased by at
least $1.00 per cwt since 2002 and 2003
and that during the middle of 2006
prices to dairy farmers declined
approximately $2.00 per cwt.
Dairylea was of the opinion that the
Federal milk order system was created
to improve milk prices to farmers and to
protect the viability of dairy farms.
Dairylea argued that the law providing
for milk orders does not support the
lowering of blend prices to producers by
the use of higher make allowances
without simultaneously considering
higher farm input costs borne by dairy
farmers. Dairylea also was of the
opinion that Class I and II prices should
not be lowered due to higher make
allowances for the Class III and Class IV
product pricing formulas.
If the Department concludes that
make allowances should be increased,
Dairylea proposed that an increase
should be reduced by 52 percent (to be
reflective of the 2005 Federal order
system average Class I and Class II
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utilization); and an emergency hearing
be held to consider if Class I and Class
II prices should not change resulting
from changes to the make allowances.
Only after such implementation
preventing changes to Class I and Class
II prices, the new make allowances
should be restored to 100 percent of
recommended increases.
A post-hearing brief submitted on
behalf of Family Dairies opposed
increasing all current make allowances.
They contended that dairy farmers also
have higher production costs but do not
have the ability to appeal to the
Government for regulatory relief. They
asserted that if make allowances are
increased, dairy farmer income will be
reduced by $300 million in the first
year. They also noted while
manufacturers claim they have incurred
extremely high energy costs, the cost of
natural gas has declined significantly
from its high in 2005.
Discussion and Findings
Discussion
At issue in this proceeding is whether
the make allowance factors of the
product price formulas used in setting
Class III and Class IV milk prices should
be changed and how they should be
changed. In the context of this
proceeding, make allowances reflect the
cost that manufacturers incur in
processing raw milk into cheese, butter,
NFDM and dry whey. The Class III and
Class IV milk prices are also used to
compute component prices for butterfat,
protein, nonfat solids, and other solids.4
As proposed by Agri-Mark, et al.,
revised make allowances would rely on
the recent 2004 CDFA survey and the
2004 RBCS survey. The revised make
allowances would be established by
using the same methodology (a
weighted average of the RBCS and
CDFA manufacturing costs) used in
establishing current make allowances
(67 FR 67906, published November 7,
2002, and Final Rule, 68 FR 7063,
published February 12, 2003). AgriMark, et al., contended that by
substituting the original cost data with
the most current data available from the
2004 RBCS and CDFA surveys, make
allowances would reflect cost increases
that manufacturers incur but cannot
recover from the marketplace.
Additionally, Agri-Mark, et al.,
proposed that a make allowance for dry
whey would be based on the cost of
manufacturing NFDM.
The Agri-Mark, et al., proposal was
modified by NMPF to adjust Class III
and Class IV pricing formulas by
4 Other solids are defined as nonfat solids less
protein.
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including a monthly energy adjustment
based on monthly changes in the prices
of industrial electricity and industrial
natural gas. The monthly energy
adjustments would be calculated as
percentage changes in current month
prices for industrial electricity and
natural gas components from the 2004
Producer Price Index (PPI) for natural
gas and electricity. The PPIs for natural
gas and electricity items are published
monthly by the U.S. Department of
Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics
(www.bls.gov.) A separate modification
offered by Agri-Mark, et al., would
similarly account for changes in
electricity and natural gas prices but do
so on an annual basis. While the issues
concerning how volatile input costs
should be handled in the product price
formulas have been raised in these
modifications, the scope of this
proceeding is limited to considering
updating the costs associated with make
allowances. In this regard, the broader
consideration of using indices in
accounting for energy price fluctuations
would be more appropriately
considered as part of a separate
rulemaking to consider all aspects of the
Class III and Class IV product price
formulas.
Opponents to increasing make
allowances include independent dairy
farmers from the Northeast and
Appalachian marketing areas, and
cooperatives representing a significant
volume of the milk marketed via Federal
orders—DFA, Dairylea, SMI, Family
Dairies, Select, Continental, Lone Star,
and Zia. These cooperatives view
increasing make allowances as a benefit
for regulated handlers at the expense of
dairy farmers and assert that there is no
industry consensus to support
increasing make allowances. It is
notable that DFA is an owner and
operator of manufacturing plants that
produce cheese, dry whey, and NFDM.
Select, a cooperative that is a part owner
and supplier of two major cheese plants
in the southwestern U.S., testified that
their plants do not require increased
make allowances to operate
successfully. DFA, Dairylea, and SMI,
also opposed increasing make
allowances because doing so would
result in lower Class I and Class II prices
and lower dairy farmer income.
Independent dairy farmers who pool
their milk on the Northeast and
Appalachian orders oppose increasing
make allowances under any
circumstances. These dairy farmers who
testified are of the opinion that
increasing make allowances will lower
milk prices received by dairy farmers
who also are experiencing similar
increases in their operating costs for
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energy and other inputs. SMI similarly
argues that dairy farmers who supply
the high Class I utilization markets of
the Southeast and Florida milk
marketing areas will needlessly suffer
reduced income. They argue that Class
III and Class IV milk costs are
essentially unrelated to their businesses
as suppliers of milk for fluid uses.
Continental and Select oppose
increasing make allowances without
also considering potential changes in
yield factors for cheese, NFDM, and dry
whey that are an important part of the
Class III and Class IV product pricing
formulas. They argue that failure to
simultaneously consider higher yields
and productivity changes would
essentially be the same as overstating
manufacturing costs and would result in
a financial windfall for the most
efficient manufacturing plants. They
also argue that if manufacturers are able
to pay premiums for producer milk,
then existing make allowances should
be considered adequate in accounting
for all manufacturing costs. This
argument is countered by proponents
who note that paying premiums is
necessary to compete with Class I
handlers for a milk supply. Proponents
argue that paying such premiums
requires make allowances be increased
to recover these additional milk costs.
The argument that higher yield factors
will offset lower Class III and Class IV
milk prices and producer blend prices
resulting from increased make
allowances may be important. However,
this proceeding was limited to make
allowance factors only and as a result
the record evidence on yield factors is
limited. Consequently, yield factors may
need to be addressed in the broader,
more inclusive Class III and Class IV
product price formula proceeding.
Likewise, consideration of farm-to-plant
loss as a component of the product price
formulas may need to be considered but
only in a separate proceeding of broader
scope that considers the Class III and
Class IV price formulas in their entirety.
Most importantly, the scope of this
proceeding has been limited to
consideration of the cost elements
comprising make allowances.
Three manufacturing cost surveys
were considered in this proceeding to
determine if make allowances for
cheese, dry whey, nonfat dry milk, and
butter should be changed and by what
amounts. The CDFA 2004
manufacturing cost survey collects and
reports the costs of producing these
commodities for nearly all plants
located in California. The RBCS survey
of dairy manufacturing costs collects
and reports a summary of the plant costs
for certain plants of participating
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cooperatives located in areas regulated
by the Federal milk order program. The
CPDMP manufacturing cost study
examines the processing costs of plants
selectively sampled to be reflective of
costs for plants of various sizes that are
located in areas regulated by Federal
milk marketing orders (FMMOs.)
The CDFA and RBCS surveys have
been conducted for more than 20 years.
The RBCS survey was designed and
implemented to allow participating
cooperatives to compare their operating
costs to an average cost basis. It does not
provide a comprehensive view of
manufacturing costs across plants in the
Federal order system nor exclusively
relied upon to establish manufacturing
allowances. The RBCS survey was used
in combination with the CDFA cost
survey results to establish current make
allowances because at the time, no other
cost information was available from
which to assess manufacturing costs for
FMMO plants.
The CPDMP study is based on a
voluntary structured survey of
participating manufacturing plants
selected to represent a cross sectional
view of manufacturing costs for cheese,
dry whey, butter, and NFDM outside of
California. The CPDMP study is a first
time survey and study of plant
manufacturing costs designed to be
relied upon in establishing make
allowances.
The CDFA survey collects and reports
plant manufacturing costs from audited
financial records provided voluntarily
to establish aggregated costs by
commodity type for plants located in
California. This survey is a continuation
of annual surveys whose purpose and
design includes setting of
manufacturing allowances by the State
of California for their manufactured
dairy products. The CDFA methodology
is comprehensive, representing
manufacturing cost data for almost all
plants located in California and
organizing that data into the welldefined categories that include high and
low (and in some cases medium) cost
plants. Total plant manufacturing cost
categories include: processing labor
costs, processing non-labor costs,
packaging costs, other ingredient costs,
general and administrative costs, and a
return on investment (ROI) cost
element. It includes data for both
cooperative-owned and proprietary
plants.
A total cost for each industry category
(e.g., cheese) in the CDFA survey is
reported as a weighted average for each
of these cost elements by high or low
(and medium for NFDM) cost plant sizes
and a total weighted average for all
plants. Where the collection and
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reporting of plant manufacturing costs
for CDFA are in commodity categories
for which five or fewer plants are
surveyed, separate defined high and low
cost plant calculations are omitted with
only a weighted average manufacturing
cost reported. This was the case for dry
whey in the January 12, 2006, CDFA
publication of costs and make
allowances that are based on 2004 cost
survey data. Because the CDFA survey
comprehensively reports manufacturing
costs for nearly all plants located in
California producing the four
commodities, there is no need to
estimate costs of all plants from the cost
data of surveyed plants.
The CDFA data specifically
establishes that economies of scale are
evident for California processing plants
for all four commodity types. The data
demonstrate that plant size is a major
determinant of plant costs, with larger
plants having significantly lower per
unit costs of processing than smaller
plants. A major difference between the
RBCS survey and both the CDFA survey
and the CPDMP study is that the RBCS
survey does not demonstrate that larger
plants have lower per unit costs when
compared with smaller plants.
Demonstrable economies of scale as
shown in the CDFA survey for
California manufacturing plants and by
the CPDMP study for manufacturing
plants located outside of California meet
the expectations of economic theory and
provide evidence that the CDFA and
CPDMP survey results are reasonable
and comparable. The fact that the RBCS
survey does not reveal plant size as an
important determinant of processing
costs supports concluding that the RBCS
survey does not reasonably reflect costs
across the four commodity plant types
for plants located outside California.
This also provides a basis to conclude
that the RBCS survey costs are not
comparable to costs measured and
reported by the CDFA survey and
CPDMP study. In addition, the RBCS
survey costs do not conform to
reasonable expectations of economic
theory that predicts declining average
costs where production volume
increases directly with plant size.
The CDFA plant cost data, considered
in isolation, have somewhat limited
utility for considering manufacturing
costs for plants located in all FMMO
areas because all of the plants are
located in California. This
comprehensive collection and reporting
of manufacturing costs includes costs
experienced by plants in California for
processing non-labor, processing labor,
and packaging categories that do not
necessarily reflect costs experienced by
manufacturing plants located beyond
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California. Because of the
comprehensiveness of CDFA’s coverage
and California’s importance to national
dairy markets and dairy product
manufacturing, the CDFA survey of
plant manufacturing costs provides an
important reference for considering and
calibrating the costs of similarly-sized
and operated plants located outside of
California. For example, record
evidence shows that California’s NFDM
production can account for more than
half of all U.S. NFDM production.
According to the record, the RBCS
survey is based on data provided on a
voluntary basis by participating
cooperatives but not audited as are
CDFA survey data. The RBCS survey
does not include manufacturing cost
information from proprietary plants.
The RBCS survey released in 2006
contained manufacturing costs for
producing condensed and dry whey for
the first time in the 20-year presentation
of the manufacturing cost survey.
Other cost comparability differences
between the three surveys include data
on handling costs associated with dry
whey and methodology differences in
defining and establishing appropriate
manufacturing costs for dry whey. The
differences in costs collected and
allocated are so significant between the
CDFA and RBCS surveys that the
proponents for increasing make
allowances concluded that the dry whey
manufacturing costs from either survey
should not be relied on to establish a
make allowance. In the CDFA survey,
dry whey drying costs may be
unreasonably high because California
has only three dry whey processing
plants where high cost plants appear to
skew the costs dramatically.
Alternatively, the CPDMP study reports
a relatively large sample of 12 plants
that provides a more reasonable
estimate of dry whey processing costs
for plants outside California.
The record reveals that balancing
functions and balancing costs differ
between California and non-California
butter and NFDM plants contained in
the CPDMP study and the RBCS cost
survey. Plants producing butter and
NFDM products in California that
perform balancing functions are not
explicitly identified as having disparate
costs due to balancing compared to
other similarly situated plants in
California that do not perform market
balancing. The CPDMP study does not
explicitly allocate balancing costs either
but the RBCS survey is largely
represented by balancing plants. The
CPDMP study noted that seasonal
fluctuations in utilizing plant capacity
affects costs, but these costs are not
allocated separately as ‘‘balancing cost’’
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line items. In addition, the cost of fuels
(specifically natural gas and electricity)
is not clearly represented in the RBCS
survey compared with the CPDMP study
or the CDFA survey. Record evidence
reveals that an unknown portion of the
RBCS fuels cost data is combined with
water and sewer costs and not allocated
separately. Accordingly, the record does
not support concluding that the cost of
fuels as reported in the RBCS survey
reasonably represents the costs of fuels
experienced by manufacturing plants.
The CPDMP study and the RBCS
survey differ in how cost data was
collected and verified. The CPDMP
study for example, relied upon
electronic data entry from a
computerized data collection system
that aggregated and produced reports
detailing the cost information. RBCS
collected plant costs through a mail-in
survey form that was reviewed and
aggregated by the RBCS coordinator.
CPDMP followed its data collection
with actual plant visits designed to give
the researcher context within which to
consider the reasonableness of data
collected and cost allocations for each
plant were surveyed. The CPDMP study,
while not providing audited data, does
provide improvement in data collection
and data verification.
A comparison of the CPDMP study to
the CDFA cost survey data does
illustrate significant differences but the
data are more similar than is a
comparison of CDFA’s survey data with
the RBCS survey data. The CPDMP
survey does not include dairy
manufacturing plants located in
California. It uses a cost accounting
reporting format that is very similar to
that used by CDFA. The record shows
that the CPDMP survey differs from
CDFA’s in that CPDMP did not have
audit authority to verify records and
only a fraction of manufacturing plants
outside of California participated in the
survey. While CDFA’s data represents
the manufacturing costs of producing
dairy products for almost all plants in
California, the record indicates that the
CPDMP study sampled the costs of 16
cheese plants, 12 dry whey plants, 8
NFDM plants, and 4 butter plants.
However, unlike the RBCS survey, the
CPDMP study data includes
manufacturing costs of both proprietary
and cooperative-owned plants for
cheese and dry whey, demonstrates
evidence of economies of scale, and
better allocates fuel costs.
The CPDMP study presents the
weighted average manufacturing costs
for high and low cost plants in each of
the four commodity product categories,
as well as weighted average costs for
high cost and low cost plants, in a
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67485
format very similar to CDFA. The
CPDMP study of surveyed plants
consists of eight high cost and eight low
cost cheddar cheese plants, six low cost
and six high cost dry whey processing
plants, four high cost and four low cost
NFDM plants, and four butter plants.
High and low cost plant categories
could not be reported for the small
sample of butter plants without risking
disclosure of confidential business
information of individual plants.
The CPDMP study sample of cheese
plants is not a random sample. It is a
stratified random sample where
randomness only applies to strata (size
related groupings) of the surveyed
plants. The sample universe for cheese
plants include only plants that chose to
participate in the survey and represent
processing volumes that fit the crosssectional sample design. For cheese, a
sample of 20 plants was planned but
only 16 plants participated, with 5
plants from the largest plant size, 6
plants from medium sized plants and 5
plants representing smaller cheese
plants. This sample design was
intentionally biased to over-represent
large, lower cost plants. The record
shows that large plant costs otherwise
would have been seriously
underrepresented if the survey had
relied on a truly random selection of
cheese plants. Random selection of
plants from the total number of plants
that produce cheddar cheese would
have over-represented small plants and
been ‘‘size-biased’’ downward because
of the relatively large number of small
scale plants producing cheddar cheese
outside of California. While the plants
selected for inclusion in the survey
changes the applicability of statistical
methods, the record supports
concluding that this stratified selection
of cheese plants, according to size, is
reasonable for cost data collection
because record evidence shows that 48
percent of all American cheese
produced outside of California is
produced by these large, low-cost
plants. The CPDMP survey design
sought an additional four plants from
the smaller-plant category but plants of
that size did not participate in a manner
meeting the survey time requirements.
Importantly, 7 of 16 cheese plants that
participated in the CPDMP survey were
proprietary plants and these plants also
have an accompanying dry whey
processing plant represented in the
survey. Thus, 7 of the 12 dry whey
plants for which data is reported in the
CPDMP study are proprietary plants.
Unlike the RBCS survey, the inclusion
of proprietary plants in the CPDMP
study more accurately represents cheese
and dry whey manufacturing costs for
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plants outside of California because
large proprietary plants represent a
preponderance of cheese volumes
produced in all locations.
The record reveals that the CDFA,
CPDMP, and RBCS surveys do not
include a marketing cost recovery factor.
However, record evidence provided by
proponents indicates that a marketing
factor is appropriate to account for sales
costs incurred as part of the
manufacturing process. The record
supports concluding that a marketing
cost recovery factor, as contained in the
existing make allowances, should be
continued to account for sales costs at
processing plants. A fixed factor of
$0.0015 will apply identically to the
make allowances for cheese, dry whey,
NFDM, and butter.
The methods and means used by
CDFA and CPDMP cost data differ in
accounting for ROI. CDFA uses detailed
accounting records and depreciation
schedules to compute a ROI cost factor
for plants and equipment. The CPDMP
study relies on plant estimates of the
fair market value for plants and
equipment used in product processing
for its ROI estimate. From the record
evidence it is reasonable to conclude
that an ROI cost factor should be part of
all make allowances even though the
ROI value for each of the four
commodity categories in the CPDMP
study is different than the values
included in the CDFA survey. The RBCS
cost survey does not include a ROI cost
category.
A reasonable conclusion finds that the
CPDMP survey provides more
comprehensive information on the cost
of processing by manufacturing plants
in the Federal milk order program than
does the RBCS survey. The fact that
economies of scale are evident in the
CPDMP study is a marked improvement
which can be used to support using
these costs of processing dairy products
over the RBCS survey costs. The
inclusion of proprietary plant
manufacturing costs, representing a
preponderance of cheese processor
volume outside of California, provides
broader and improved information on
the costs of processing because the
RBCS survey is limited by design and
purpose to survey costs of cooperativeowned plants. The CPDMP study was
designed, in part, to consider the costs
that should be relied upon in
establishing make allowances used in
Federal order product price formulas.
The format that the cost data is
reported by the CPDMP study enables
more direct comparisons with the CDFA
survey than does the RBCS survey. The
enhanced verification of plant
manufacturing costs and cost allocations
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in the CPDMP study represents a
significant improvement to the RBCS
cost survey. The costs attributable to
ROI, despite differences between the
CPDMP study and CDFA’s survey, is
another improvement because this
factor is not included in the RBCS
survey. The record therefore supports
finding that the CPDMP study is
preferred to the RBCS survey for the
purpose of determining make
allowances for cheese, dry whey, NFDM
and butter.
While CPDMP’s study provides
improved manufacturing cost data for
plants in the Federal milk order
program, combining it with the
additional information available in the
CDFA survey establishes a superior set
of data on which to determine revised
make allowances. Specifically, this
tentative final decision finds agreement
with the proponents of Proposal 1 that
combining the CDFA survey with costs
representative of Federal order
manufacturing costs for cheese, NFDM,
and butter (except dry whey) is the most
reasonable approach for determining
changes to the make allowances. CDFA
survey data should be combined with
the CPDMP study results because
California’s production volumes of
cheese, dry whey, NFDM and butter are
of such national significance it would be
unreasonable to ignore California plant’s
manufacturing costs in the Class III and
Class IV product price formulas.
CPDMP’s data gathering was designed
to collect average manufacturing costs
from groups of dairy manufacturing
plants so that representative average
cost estimates could be used in
developing make allowances. Butter
manufacturing costs were estimated
from 4 plants. NFDM costs were
estimated from 8 plants reporting
average costs for 4 high cost and 4 low
cost plants. In the case of cheese,
CPDMP used regression techniques to
derive an average manufacturing cost
that could be used to estimate the costs
of cheese plants that were not surveyed.
The record does not support a finding
for using the estimation results reported
by CPDMP that proponents for
increasing make allowances have based
their arguments because the CPDMP
results are based on the estimation of an
equation which generates an estimated
cost curve based on the cost survey of
16 cheese plants.
CPDMP’s estimated equation coupled
with cheese production volume
estimates from 53 plants yields a low
manufacturing cost of $0.17 per pound
and a high manufacturing cost of $1.17
per pound. The estimated low cost of
$0.17 per pound is higher than the
$0.1459 per pound average of the 8 low
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cost-plants of the study sample. Using
the equation and the 53 plants’ volumes
yields a weighted average
manufacturing cost of $0.2028 per
pound which is 94.7 percent of the
$0.2140 per pound average
manufacturing cost of high cost cheese
plants from the plant sample, and 23.8
percent higher than the weighted
average cost of $0.1638 per pound for
the survey sample of plants. These
comparisons raise questions about the
representativeness of the results of this
simple regression analysis. However,
the 16 plant sample observations are
sufficient for estimating a representative
average manufacturing cost for plants in
both the high cost and low cost strata,
and for estimating a weighted average
cost across all sampled plants.
It is useful to consider the sample
weighted average cost of $0.1638 per
pound in terms of the 8 plant high-cost
average of $0.2140 per pound and 8
plant low-cost average of $0.1459 per
pound. The low-cost and high-cost
production volume shares as provided
in the record show about 74 percent of
production volume is produced at the
low average cost of $0.1459 per pound
and about 26 percent of the volume is
produced at the higher average cost of
$0.2140 per pound. Based on the shape
of the curve represented in the record,
it appears that 74 percent is a
conservative estimate of low-cost
production volume.
In their post-hearing briefs
proponents for raising the cheese make
allowance seek to use this estimation as
justification for increasing it to $0.2028
per pound or higher. Based on the
preceding analysis, increasing the
cheese make allowance from the current
$0.1650 per pound to $0.2028 per
pound is not reasonable.
Even if the methodology used to
calculate the estimated make allowance
of $0.2028 per pound of cheese was
statistically acceptable, the Department
would not use it as the new make
allowance for cheese. The use of
different methodologies to establish
make allowances for different products
likely would result in unintended
consequences that could distort the
competitive situation between cheese
plants and butter-NFDM plants. CPDMP
did not have similar population data
available to do comparable regression
analyses for butter, NFDM and dry
whey. For cheese, the regression
methodology resulted in a make
allowance estimate that was $0.039 per
pound higher than the weighted average
cost of the sample. It is possible that if
the regression methodology could be
used for butter, NFDM and dry whey
that estimated average make allowances
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for those products also would be higher
than the weighted average costs from
the plant samples. Therefore, if
comparable increases in make
allowances would result for the other
products, the use of this different
methodology only for cheese could give
cheese plants a $0.39 per cwt of milk
advantage as it competes for a supply of
milk.
The CPDMP study contains an
addendum concerning the cost of
natural gas and electricity in dairy
manufacturing. This addendum uses a
specific time period for estimating these
costs for each of the four dairy
commodity categories. The collection of
cost data for manufacturing occurred
during a 26 month period that does not
correspond to the 12 month period for
which these energy cost estimates were
derived from data available from the
Bureau of Labor Statistics. While
proponents advance that this energy
cost data should be included in the
manufacturing costs of producing
cheese, dry whey, NFDM, and butter,
the periods for which the costs should
be applied and whether these costs are
already captured in the cost survey data
of the CPDMP study are not clearly
stated in the addendum. The volatility
of energy costs, revealed by the record,
is important in considering total
manufacturing costs. As presented in
the addendum to the CPDMP study, the
energy cost information cannot be relied
upon to consider changes to make
allowances.
Findings
This tentative final decision finds that
combining the weighted average
manufacturing costs of the CDFA survey
and CPDMP study for cheese, nonfat dry
milk and butter into a single weighted
average is appropriate for updating
make allowances for those three
products. The CPDMP study weighted
average manufacturing cost of dry whey
(without California) should be used for
the dry whey make allowance. All four
adopted make allowances include an
additional factor of $0.0015 per pound
to account for product marketing costs.
The make allowances are weighted by
the processing volumes reported in the
2005 NASS Dairy Product Summary and
applied to the manufacturing costs of
plants in California (for CDFA total
average manufacturing costs) and those
States outside of California (for CPDMP
total average manufacturing costs),
respectively.
This tentative final decision finds that
the CPDMP survey of four butter plants
is half of the survey size that would
have been acceptable as representing the
butter manufacturing costs for butter
plants located outside of California. The
eight butter plants appearing in the
CDFA survey located in California
provide a reasonable basis on which to
reinforce and improve estimating the
cost of manufacturing butter outside of
California because no other better
source of cost data is available on which
such costs can be reasonably based. In
this regard, there is merit that CDFA
cost data accurately represents costs for
butter plants outside of California and
should be combined with CPDMP cost
data on a weighted average basis to
provide an updated make allowance for
butter.
67487
This tentative final decision finds
agreement with proponents such as
Kraft, Glanbia, Lactalis, Saputo, and
Leprino, that the CPDMP study’s
weighted average manufacturing cost of
dry whey plus a marketing cost factor of
$0.0015 per pound best represents the
cost of dry whey for plants outside of
California. Three of CDFA’s dry whey
plants have a manufacturing cost
variance so large that it would be
unreasonable to combine the total
weighted CDFA value with the 12 plant
CPDMP sample. The make allowance
adopted for dry whey plus a marketing
factor is $0.1956 per pound.
This tentative final decision finds
agreement with the Agri-Mark, et al.,
proponents’ contention that mediumsized California NFDM plants are
representative of Federal order NFDM
plants. CDFA medium sized plant
weighted total average manufacturing
costs are combined with the CPDMP
eight plant sample total weighted
average manufacturing costs plus a
marketing factor. The NFDM make
allowance adopted is $0.1570 per
pound.
The CDFA weighted average cost for
cheese of $0.1769 is combined with the
CPDMP total weighted average cost for
cheese of $0.1638 plus a marketing
factor to compute a cheese make
allowance. The make allowance for
cheese is weighted by the California and
non-California volumes of American
cheese. The cheese make allowance
adopted is $0.1682 per pound.
The following table summarizes the
proposed changes:
SUMMARY OF MAKE ALLOWANCE CHANGES
Proposed
Cheese .........................................................................................................................................
Dry whey ......................................................................................................................................
NFDM ...........................................................................................................................................
Butter ...........................................................................................................................................
jlentini on PROD1PC65 with PROPOSAL
2. Determining whether emergency
marketing conditions exist that would
warrant omission of a Recommended
Decision and opportunity to file written
exceptions
Evidence presented at the hearing and
in post-hearing briefs establishes that
current manufacturing allowances
contained in the product price formulas
do not reflect the current costs of
manufacturing milk into cheese, butter,
NFDM and dry whey. Data presented at
the hearing demonstrates that
manufacturing costs have increased
since manufacturing allowances were
VerDate Aug<31>2005
16:20 Nov 21, 2006
Jkt 211001
last updated in 2003, relying upon 1998
manufacturing cost data. The record
contains requests by numerous parties
that the rule should be implemented on
an emergency basis.
Consequently, it is determined that
emergency marketing conditions exist
that warrant omitting the issuance of a
recommended decision. The record
clearly establishes a basis as noted
above for amending the orders on an
interim basis. The opportunity to file
written exceptions to the proposed
amended orders remains.
PO 00000
Frm 00021
Fmt 4702
Sfmt 4702
$0.1682
0.1956
0.1570
0.1202
Current
$0.1650
0.1590
0.1400
0.1150
Change
$0.0032
0.0366
0.0170
0.0052
In view of these findings, an interim
final rule amending the orders will be
issued as soon as the procedures to
determine the approval of producers are
completed.
Rulings on Proposed Findings and
Conclusions
Briefs and proposed findings and
conclusions were filed on behalf of
certain interested parties. These briefs,
proposed findings and conclusions, and
the evidence in the record were
considered in making the findings and
conclusions set forth above. To the
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Federal Register / Vol. 71, No. 225 / Wednesday, November 22, 2006 / Proposed Rules
extent that the suggested findings and
conclusions filed by interested parties
are inconsistent with the findings and
conclusions set forth herein, the
requests to make such findings or reach
such conclusions are denied for the
reasons previously stated in this
decision.
General Findings
The findings and determinations
hereinafter set forth supplement those
that were made when the Northeast and
other marketing orders were first issued
and when they were amended. The
previous findings and determinations
are hereby ratified and confirmed,
except where they may conflict with
those set forth herein.
(a) The interim marketing agreements
and the orders, as hereby proposed to be
amended, and all of the terms and
conditions thereof, will tend to
effectuate the declared policy of the Act;
(b) The parity prices of milk as
determined pursuant to section 2 of the
Act are not reasonable in view of the
price of feeds, available supplies of
feeds, and other economic conditions
which affect market supply and demand
for milk in the marketing areas, and the
minimum prices specified in the
tentative marketing agreements and the
orders, as hereby proposed to be
amended, are such prices as will reflect
the aforesaid factors, ensure a sufficient
quantity of pure and wholesome milk,
and be in the public interest; and
(c) The interim marketing agreements
and the orders, as hereby proposed to be
amended, will regulate the handling of
milk in the same manner as, and will be
applicable only to persons in the
respective classes of industrial and
commercial activity specified in,
marketing agreements upon which a
hearing has been held.
jlentini on PROD1PC65 with PROPOSAL
Interim Marketing Agreements and
Interim Order Amending the Orders
Annexed hereto and made a part
hereof are two documents—an Interim
Marketing Agreement regulating the
handling of milk and an Interim Order
amending the orders regulating the
handling of milk in the Northeast and
other marketing areas, which have been
decided upon as the detailed and
appropriate means of effectuating the
foregoing conclusions.
It is hereby ordered, that this entire
tentative decision and the interim
orders and the interim marketing
agreements annexed hereto be
published in the Federal Register.
VerDate Aug<31>2005
16:20 Nov 21, 2006
Jkt 211001
Referendum Order To Determine
Producer Approval; Determination of
Representative Period; and Designation
of Referendum Agent
It is hereby directed that referenda be
conducted and completed on or before
the 30th day from the date this decision
is published in the Federal Register, in
accordance with the procedure for the
conduct of referenda (7 CFR 900.300–
311), to determine whether the issuance
of the orders as amended and as hereby
proposed to be amended, regulating the
handling of milk in the Northeast and
Mideast marketing areas is approved or
favored by producers, as defined under
the terms of the orders (as amended and
as hereby proposed to be amended),
who during such representative period
were engaged in the production of milk
for sale within the aforesaid marketing
areas.
The representative period for the
conduct of such referenda is hereby
determined to be July 2006.
The agents of the Secretary to conduct
such referenda are hereby designated to
be the respective market administrators
of the aforesaid orders.
Determination of Producer Approval
and Representative Period
The month of July 2006 is hereby
determined to be the representative
period for the purpose of ascertaining
whether the issuance of the order, as
amended and as hereby proposed to be
amended, regulating the handling of
milk in the Appalachian, Florida,
Southeast, Upper Midwest, Central,
Pacific Northwest, Southwest and
Arizona marketing areas is approved or
favored by producers, as defined under
the terms of the orders as hereby
proposed to be amended, who during
such representative period were
engaged in the production of milk for
sale within the aforesaid marketing
areas.
List of Subjects in 7 CFR Parts 1000,
1001, 1005, 1006, 1007, 1030, 1032,
1033, 1124, 1126, and 1131
Milk marketing orders.
Dated: November 17, 2006.
Lloyd C. Day,
Administrator, Agricultural Marketing
Service.
Interim Order Amending the Orders
Regulating the Handling of Milk in the
Northeast and Other Marketing Areas
This interim order shall not become
effective until the requirements of
§ 900.14 of the rules of practice and
procedure governing proceedings to
formulate marketing agreements and
marketing orders have been met.
PO 00000
Frm 00022
Fmt 4702
Sfmt 4702
Findings and Determinations
The findings and determinations
hereinafter set forth supplement those
that were made when the orders were
first issued and when they were
amended. The previous findings and
determinations are hereby ratified and
confirmed, except where they may
conflict with those set forth herein.
(a) Findings. A public hearing was
held upon certain proposed
amendments to the tentative marketing
agreements and to the orders regulating
the handling of milk in the Northeast
and other marketing areas. The hearing
was held pursuant to the provisions of
the Agricultural Marketing Agreement
Act of 1937, as amended (7 U.S.C. 601–
674), and the applicable rules of
practice and procedure (7 CFR Part 900).
Upon the basis of the evidence
introduced at such hearing and the
record thereof, it is found that:
(1) The said orders as hereby
amended, and all of the terms and
conditions thereof, will tend to
effectuate the declared policy of the Act;
(2) The parity prices of milk, as
determined pursuant to Section 2 of the
Act, are not reasonable in view of the
price of feeds, available supplies of
feeds, and other economic conditions
which affect market supply and demand
for milk in the aforesaid marketing area.
The minimum prices specified in the
order as hereby amended are such
prices as will reflect the aforesaid
factors, ensure a sufficient quantity of
pure and wholesome milk, and be in the
public interest; and
(3) The said orders as hereby
amended regulate the handling of milk
in the same manner as, and is applicable
only to persons in the respective classes
of industrial or commercial activity
specified in, a marketing agreement
upon which a hearing has been held.
Order Relative to Handling
It is therefore ordered, that on and
after the effective date hereof, the
handling of milk in the Northeast and
other marketing areas shall be in
conformity to and in compliance with
the terms and conditions of the order, as
amended, and as hereby amended, as
follows:
1. The authority citation for 7 CFR
parts 1000, 1001, 1005, 1006, 1007,
1030, 1032, 1033, 1124, 1126 and 1131,
is amended to read as follows:
Authority: 7 U.S.C. 601–674, and 7253.
PART 1000—GENERAL PROVISIONS
OF FEDERAL MILK MARKETING
ORDERS
1. Section 1000.50 is amended by:
a. Revising paragraph (l);
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Federal Register / Vol. 71, No. 225 / Wednesday, November 22, 2006 / Proposed Rules
b. Revising paragraph (m);
c. Revising paragraph (n)(2);
d. Revising paragraph (n)(3)(i); and
e. Revising paragraph (o).
The revisions read as follows:
Section 1000.50 Class Prices,
Component Prices, and Advanced
Pricing Factors.
*
*
*
*
(l) Butterfat price. The butterfat price
per pound, rounded to the nearest onehundredth cent, shall be the U.S.
average NASS AA Butter survey price
reported by the Department for the
month, less 12.02 cents, with the result
multiplied by 1.20.
(m) Nonfat solids price. The nonfat
solids price per pound, rounded to the
nearest one-hundredth cent, shall be the
U.S. average NASS nonfat dry milk
survey price reported by the Department
for the month, less 15.70 and
multiplying the result by 0.99.
(n) * * *
(1) * * *
(2) Subtract 16.82 cents from the price
computed pursuant to paragraph (n)(1)
of this section and multiply the result
by 1.383;
(3) * * *
(i) Subtract 16.82 cents from the price
computed pursuant to paragraph (n)(1)
of this section and multiply the result
by 1.572; and
* * *
(o) Other solids price. The other solids
price per pound, rounded to the nearest
one-hundredth cent, shall be the U.S.
average NASS dry whey survey price
reported by the Department for the
month minus 19.56 cents, with the
result multiplied by 1.03.
* * *
(q) * * *
(3) An advanced butterfat price per
pound, rounded to the nearest onehundredth cent, shall be calculated by
computing a weighted average of the 2
most recent U.S. average NASS AA
Butter survey prices announced before
the 24th day of the month, subtracting
12.02 cents from this average, and
multiplying the result by 1.20.
jlentini on PROD1PC65 with PROPOSAL
*
Marketing Agreement Regulating the
Handling of Milk in Certain Marketing
Areas
The parties hereto, in order to
effectuate the declared policy of the Act,
and in accordance with the rules of
practice and procedure effective
thereunder (7 CFR part 900), desire to
enter into this marketing agreement and
do hereby agree that the provisions
referred to in paragraph I hereof, as
augmented by the provisions specified
in paragraph II hereof, shall be and are
the provisions of this marketing
agreement as if set out in full herein.
VerDate Aug<31>2005
16:20 Nov 21, 2006
Jkt 211001
I. The findings and determinations,
order relative to handling, and the
provisions of § lll to lll5 all
inclusive, of the order regulating the
handling of milk in the llll6
marketing area (7 CFR Part lll7)
which is annexed hereto; and
II. The following provisions:
§ llll8 Record of milk handled and
authorization to correct typographical
errors.
(a) Record of milk handled. The
undersigned certifies that he/she
handled during the month of llll9,
llll hundredweight of milk
covered by this marketing agreement.
(b) Authorization to correct
typographical errors. The undersigned
hereby authorizes the Deputy
Administrator, or Acting Deputy
Administrator, Dairy Programs,
Agricultural Marketing Service, to
correct any typographical errors which
may have been made in this marketing
agreement.
Effective date. This marketing
agreement shall become effective upon
the execution of a counterpart hereof by
the Department in accordance with Sec.
900.14(a) of the aforesaid rules of
practice and procedure.
In Witness Whereof, The contracting
handlers, acting under the provisions of
the Act, for the purposes and subject to
the limitations herein contained and not
otherwise, have hereunto set their
respective hands and seals.
Signature
By (Name) lllllllllllll
(Title) lllllllllllllll
(Address)
lllllllllllll
(Seal)
Attest
lllllllllllllll
[FR Doc. 06–9340 Filed 11–20–06; 3:01 pm]
BILLING CODE 3410–02–P
5 First
and last section of order.
of order.
7 Appropriate Part number.
8 Next consecutive section number.
9 Appropriate representative period for the order.
6 Name
PO 00000
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Fmt 4702
Sfmt 4702
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
Agricultural Marketing Service
7 CFR Parts 1000, 1001, 1005, 1006,
1007, 1030, 1032, 1033, 1124, 1126, and
1131
[Docket No. AO–14–A76, et al.; DA–07–01]
Milk in the Northeast and Other
Marketing Areas; Notice of Hearing on
Proposed Amendments to Tentative
Marketing Agreements and Orders
7
CFR
part
Marketing area
AO Nos.
1001
1005
1006
1007
1030
1032
1033
1124
1126
1131
Northeast ...................
Appalachian ...............
Florida .......................
Southeast ..................
Upper Midwest ..........
Central .......................
Mideast ......................
Pacific Northwest ......
Southwest ..................
Arizona ......................
AO–14–A76
AO–388–A20
AO–356–A41
AO–366–A49
AO–361–A42
AO–313–A51
AO–166–A75
AO–368–A37
AO–231–A70
AO–271–A42
Agricultural Marketing Service,
USDA.
ACTION: Proposed rule; Notice of public
hearing on proposed rulemaking.
AGENCY:
SUMMARY: A national public hearing is
being held to consider and take
evidence on a proposal seeking to
amend the Class I and Class II milk price
formulas applicable to all Federal milk
marketing orders. Evidence also will be
taken at the hearing to determine
whether emergency marketing
conditions exist that would warrant
omission of a recommended decision
under the rules of practice and
procedure (7 CFR 900.12(d)).
DATES: The hearing will convene at 1
p.m., Monday, December 11, 2006.
ADDRESSES: The hearing will be held at
the Sheraton Station Square Hotel, 300
West Station Square Drive, Pittsburgh,
Pa. 15219. Telephone number: (412)
261–2000.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT:
Gino Tosi, Associate Deputy
Administrator for Order Formulation
and Enforcement, USDA/AMS/Dairy
Programs, Stop 0231–Room 2971, 1400
Independence Avenue, SW.,
Washington, DC 20250–0231, (202) 720–
2357, e-mail address:
gino.tosi@usda.gov.
Persons requiring a sign language
interpreter or other special
accommodations should contact David
Walker, Market Administrator, at (330)
225–4758; e-mail:
dwalker@fmmaclev.com before the
hearing begins.
E:\FR\FM\22NOP1.SGM
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Agencies
[Federal Register Volume 71, Number 225 (Wednesday, November 22, 2006)]
[Proposed Rules]
[Pages 67467-67489]
From the Federal Register Online via the Government Printing Office [www.gpo.gov]
[FR Doc No: 06-9340]
========================================================================
Proposed Rules
Federal Register
________________________________________________________________________
This section of the FEDERAL REGISTER contains notices to the public of
the proposed issuance of rules and regulations. The purpose of these
notices is to give interested persons an opportunity to participate in
the rule making prior to the adoption of the final rules.
========================================================================
Federal Register / Vol. 71, No. 225 / Wednesday, November 22, 2006 /
Proposed Rules
[[Page 67467]]
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE
Agricultural Marketing Service
7 CFR Parts 1000, 1001, 1005, 1006, 1007, 1030, 1032, 1033, 1124,
1126, and 1131
[Docket no. AO-14-A74, et al.; DA-06-01]
Milk in the Northeast and Other Marketing Areas; Tentative Final
Decision on Proposed Amendments and Opportunity To File Written
Exceptions to Tentative Marketing Agreements and Orders
------------------------------------------------------------------------
7 CFR part Marketing area AO Nos.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
1001......... Northeast........................ AO-14-A73
1005......... Appalachian...................... AO-388-A14
1006......... Florida.......................... AO-356-A37
1007......... Southeast........................ AO-366-A43
1030......... Upper Midwest.................... AO-361-A38
1032......... Central.......................... AO-313-A47
1033......... Mideast.......................... AO-166-A71
1124......... Pacific Northwest................ AO-368-A34
1126......... Southwest........................ AO-231-A67
1131......... Arizona.......................... AO-271-A39
------------------------------------------------------------------------
AGENCY: Agricultural Marketing Service, USDA.
ACTION: Proposed rule.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
SUMMARY: This tentative final decision proposes to adopt, on an interim
final and emergency basis, changes to the manufacturing allowances
contained in the Class III and Class IV product price formulas
applicable to all Federal milk marketing orders. This decision is
subject to producer approval.
DATES: Comments should be submitted on or before January 22, 2007.
ADDRESSES: Comments (four copies) should be filed with the Hearing
Clerk, Stop 9200-Room 1031, United States Department of Agriculture,
1400 Independence Avenue, SW., Washington, DC 20250-9200. Comments may
also be submitted at the Federal eRulemaking portal: https://
www.regulations.gov or by submitting comments via e-mail to:
amsdairycomments@usda.gov. Reference should be made to the title of
action and docket number.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Jack Rower, Marketing Specialist,
USDA/AMS/Dairy Programs, Order Formulation and Enforcement, Stop 0231-
Room 2971-S 1400 Independence Avenue, SW., Washington, DC 20250-0231,
(202) 720-2357, e-mail address: jack.rower@usda.gov.
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: This tentative final decision adopts on an
interim final and emergency basis, amendments to the manufacturing
(make) allowances for cheese, butter, nonfat dry milk (NFDM) and dry
whey powder contained in the Class III and Class IV product price
formulas. Specifically, this decision proposes the following
manufacturing allowances:
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Adopted make
allowance
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Cheese.................................................. $0.1682/lb
Butter.................................................. 0.1202/lb
NFDM.................................................... 0.1570/lb
Dry whey................................................ 0.1956/lb
------------------------------------------------------------------------
This administrative action is governed by the provisions of
Sections 556 and 557 of Title 5 of the United States Code and,
therefore, is excluded from the requirements of Executive Order 12866.
The amendments to the rules proposed herein have been reviewed
under Executive Order 12988, Civil Justice Reform. They are not
intended to have a retroactive effect. If adopted, the proposed
amendments would not preempt any state or local laws, regulations, or
policies, unless they present an irreconcilable conflict with this
rule.
The Agricultural Marketing Agreement Act of 1937 (Act), as amended
(7 U.S.C. 604-674), provides that administrative proceedings must be
exhausted before parties may file suit in court. Under Section
608c(15)(A) of the Act, any handler subject to an order may request
modification or exemption from such order by filing with the Department
a petition stating that the order, any provision of the order, or any
obligation imposed in connection with the order is not in accordance
with the law. A handler is afforded the opportunity for a hearing on
the petition. After a hearing, the Department would rule on the
petition. The Act provides that the district court of the United States
in any district in which the handler is an habitant, or has its
principal place of business, has jurisdiction in equity to review the
USDA's ruling on the petition, provided a bill in equity is filed not
later than 20 days after the date of the entry of the ruling.
Regulatory Flexibility Act and Paperwork Reduction Act
In accordance with the Regulatory Flexibility Act (5 U.S.C. 601 et
seq.), the Agricultural Marketing Service has considered the economic
impact of this action on small entities and has certified that this
proposed rule will not have a significant economic impact on a
substantial number of small entities. For the purpose of the Regulatory
Flexibility Act, a dairy farm is considered a ``small business'' if it
has an annual gross revenue of less than $750,000, and a dairy products
manufacturer is a ``small business'' if it has fewer than 500
employees.
For the purposes of determining which dairy farms are ``small
businesses,'' the $750,000 per year criterion was used to establish a
production guideline of 500,000 pounds per month. Although this
guideline does not factor in additional monies that may be received by
dairy producers, it should be an inclusive standard for most ``small''
dairy farmers. For purposes of determining a handler's size, if the
plant is part of a larger company operating multiple plants that
collectively exceed the 500-employee limit, the plant will be
considered a large business even if the local plant has fewer than 500
employees.
For the month of January 2006, the month the initial public hearing
was held, the milk of 52,570 dairy farmers was pooled on the Federal
order system. Of the total, 49,153 dairy farmers, or 94 percent, were
considered small businesses. During the same month, 536 plants were
regulated by or reported their milk receipts to be pooled and price on
a Federal order. Of the total, 286 plants, or 53 percent, were
considered small businesses.
This decision provides that all orders be amended by changing the
make allowances contained in the formulas used to compute component
prices and the minimum class prices in all Federal milk orders.
Specifically, the make allowance for butter would increase from $0.1150
to $0.1202 per pound; the
[[Page 67468]]
make allowance for cheese would increase from $0.1650 to $0.1682 per
pound; the make allowance for NFDM would increase from $0.1400 to
$0.1570 per pound; and the make allowance for dry whey would increase
from $0.1590 to $0.1956 per pound.
The adoption of these new make allowances serves to approximate the
average cost of producing cheese, butter, NFDM and dry whey for
manufacturing plants located in Federal milk marketing areas.
The established criteria for the make allowance changes are applied
in an identical fashion to both large and small businesses and will not
have any different impact on those businesses producing manufactured
milk products. The following economic analysis discusses impacts of the
order amendments on order participants including producers and
manufacturers. Based on the economic analysis we have concluded that
the proposed amendments will not have a significant economic impact on
a substantial number of small entities.
The Agricultural Marketing Service is committed to complying with
the E-Government Act, to promote the use of the Internet and other
information technologies to provide increased opportunities for citizen
access to Government information and services, and for other purposes.
This tentative final decision does not require additional
information collection that needs clearance by the Office of Management
and Budget (OMB) beyond currently approved information collection. The
primary sources of data used to complete the forms are routinely used
in most business transactions. The forms require only a minimal amount
of information that can be supplied without data processing equipment
or a trained statistical staff. Thus, the information collection and
reporting burden is relatively small. Requiring the same reports for
all handlers does not significantly disadvantage any handler that is
smaller than the industry average.
Interested parties are invited to submit comments on the probable
regulatory and informational impact of this proposed rule on small
entities. Also, parties may suggest modifications of this proposed rule
for the purpose of tailoring its applicability to small businesses.
Economic Analysis
Analysis
In order to assess the impact of make allowance changes in Federal
order product pricing formulas, the Department has conducted an
economic analysis. While the primary purpose of this tentative final
decision is to amend the product pricing formulas used to price milk
regulated under Federal milk marketing orders and classified as either
Class III or Class IV milk, these product price formulas also affect
the prices of regulated milk classified as Class I and Class II.
Scope of Analysis
Impacts of increasing make allowances were measured as changes from
the USDA Agricultural Baseline Projections to 2015 (OCE-2006-1, https://
www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/ag_baseline.htm). The
baseline projections are ``a Departmental consensus on a long-run
scenario for the agricultural sector.'' Included is a national, annual
projection of the supply-demand-price situation for milk. The USDA
baseline and the model baseline assume: (1) The Milk Price Support
Program (MPSP) will continue unchanged; (2) The Dairy Export Incentive
Program will be utilized to the maximum extent allowed beginning in the
2006/07 fiscal year; (3) The Milk Income Loss Contract (MILC) program
will continue through September 2007 \1\; and (4) The Federal Milk
Marketing Order Program will continue unchanged. This analysis
maintains the first three assumptions as unchanged. The only changes to
the Federal Milk Marketing Order Program are those that are brought
about by the changes in make allowances adopted in this decision. Since
the model is an annual model, a simplifying assumption is made that the
make allowance changes become effective January 1, 2007.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
\1\ Dairy producers are not eligible to choose September 2007 as
a month for which MILC payments are to be applied. This provision
was included so that it would not be necessary to include MILC
payments in the Federal budget for fiscal year 2007-08.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
Demands for fluid milk and manufactured dairy products are
functions of per capita consumption and population. Per capita
consumption for the major milk and dairy products are estimated as
functions of own prices, substitute prices, and income. Retail margins
are assumed unchanged from the baseline. The demands for fluid milk and
soft manufactured products are satisfied first by the eligible supply
of milk. The milk supply for manufactured hard products is the volume
of milk marketings remaining after satisfying the volumes demanded for
fluid and soft manufactured products. Milk is manufactured into cheese,
butter or nonfat dry milk (NFDM) according to returns to manufacturing
in each class. Wholesale prices for cheese, butter, NFDM and dry whey
reflect supply and demand for these products. These manufactured dairy
product prices underlie the Federal order pricing system.
Summary of Results
The impacts of the changes to the Class III and Class IV formulas
that are set forth in this tentative final decision are summarized
using annual and nine-year, 2007-2015, average changes from the model
baseline. The results presented for the Federal order system are in the
context of the larger U.S. market. In particular, the Federal order
price formulas use national manufactured dairy product prices.
Producers. Over the nine-year period, the average Federal order
minimum blend price for milk at test decreases $0.08 (0.55 percent)
from a baseline level of $14.71 per hundredweight (cwt). The average
U.S. all-milk price decreases by about $0.05 (0.35 percent) from a
baseline level of 14.79 per cwt. Federal order marketings decrease by
an average 136 million pounds annually due to the production decrease
in response to lower producer milk prices. Federal order milk cash
receipts decrease by an average $125 million annually (0.65 percent)
from baseline receipts of $19,165 million. U.S. milk marketings
decrease by an average 206 million pounds annually (0.11 percent),
yielding an average producer revenue decrease of $125 million annually
(0.44 percent) from average baseline receipts of $28,396 million.
Milk Manufacturers and Processors. Increasing Federal order make
allowances benefits dairy manufacturers by widening the spread between
Federal order minimum prices and the prices that they receive for
manufactured dairy products. While prices paid for milk are lower,
prices received for dairy products are higher due to the tighter milk
supply. Over the nine year projection period, wholesale dairy product
prices increase as follows: $0.0119 per pound (0.82 percent) for
cheddar cheese, $0.0305 (1.99 percent) for butter, $0.0012 (0.14
percent) for NFDM, and $0.0015 (0.56 percent) for dry whey.
With the proposed increases in make allowances, most Federal order
component prices decrease on average over the nine-year projection
period: $0.0038 per pound (0.16 percent) for protein, $0.0156 (2.24
percent) for nonfat solids, and $0.0361 (30.22 percent) for other
solids. For the butterfat price, the increase in the butter price more
than offsets the increase in the butter make allowance, resulting in
[[Page 67469]]
an average increase of $0.0303 per pound (1.78 percent) over the
projection period. Changes in Federal order component prices translate
into reductions for Federal order skim milk pricing factors at 3.5
percent butterfat over the nine-year period: $0.22 per cwt for Class I
and Class III, $0.14 per cwt for Class II and Class IV. Federal order
Class I and III average prices decrease by $0.11 per cwt over the
projection period, while Class II and IV prices decrease by $0.03 per
cwt.
There are notable differences between changes in Federal order
class prices at 3.5 percent butterfat and changes in Federal order
class prices at class butterfat percentages. Butterfat tests for the
four Federal order milk classes differ from one class to another due to
the mix of products within each class. Butterfat proportions are higher
for Class II and IV milk than for Class I and III milk. Average Class I
and III prices at test are below baseline levels over the nine-year
period: $0.16 per cwt (1.12 percent) for Class I and $0.11 per cwt
(0.83 percent) for Class III. For Class II and Class IV prices at test,
the increase in the butterfat price more than offsets the increase in
the make allowances, resulting in prices above baseline levels for the
nine-year period: $0.12 per cwt (0.58 percent) for Class II and $0.03
per cwt (0.20 percent) for Class IV.
Consumers. The expected $0.16 per cwt (1.12 percent) decrease in
the minimum nine-year average Class I price at test results in an
average $0.0137 per gallon decrease in the price of fluid milk for
consumers. Consumers increase consumption of fluid milk products
slightly, resulting in an increase of 17 million pounds (0.04 percent)
in Federal order Class I marketings. Consumers reduce consumption of
manufactured dairy products in response to higher dairy product prices.
All of the manufacturing Federal order class marketings decrease as
follows: 26 million pounds (0.15 percent) for Class II, 30 million
pounds (0.06 percent) for Class III and 97 million pounds (0.62
percent) for Class IV.
Government Outlays. In 2007, with lower milk prices, MILC payments
increase by $25 million (12.94 percent) above the baseline level of
$190 million. This impact rounds to approximately $0.01 per cwt
averaged over all of the milk production.
With an increase in Federal order make allowances, dairy product
prices increase, milk production declines and government removals
decrease relative to baseline levels. The analysis assumes that current
MPSP make allowances will remain in effect throughout the projection
period. Over the projection period government removals of NFDM decrease
by an average of 9 million pounds (2.95 percent) per year. This reduces
government outlays by an average $7 million per year over the
projection period.
Detailed Analysis Information
A complete Economic Analysis, Class III and IV Make Allowances,
Tentative Final Decision is available on the Internet at https://
www.ams.usda.gov/dairy/proposals/classIII_IV_make_all.htm. For
further information contact Howard McDowell, Senior Economist, USDA/
AMS/Dairy Programs, Office of the Chief Economist, Room 2753, South
Building, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC 20250, (202)
720-7091, e-mail address howard.mcdowell@usda.gov.
Prior Documents in This Proceeding
Notice of Hearing: Issued December 30, 2005; published January 5,
2006 (71 FR 545).
Notice of Intent to Reconvene Hearing: Issued June 28, 2006;
published June 23, 2006 (71 FR 36715).
Notice to Reconvene Hearing: Issued August 31, 2006; published
September 6, 2006 (71 FR 52502).
Preliminary Statement
Notice is hereby given of the filing with the Hearing Clerk of this
tentative final decision with respect to the proposed amendments to the
tentative marketing agreements and the orders regulating the handling
of milk in the Northeast and other marketing areas. This notice is
issued pursuant to the provisions of the Agricultural Marketing
Agreement Act (AMAA) and applicable rules of practice and procedure
governing the formulation of marketing agreements and marketing orders
(7 CFR Part 900).
Interested parties may file written exceptions to this decision
with the Hearing Clerk, United States Department of Agriculture, Room
1031-Stop 9200, 1400 Independence Avenue, SW., Washington, DC 20250-
9200, by the January 22, 2007. Four (4) copies of the exceptions should
be filed. All written submissions made pursuant to this notice will be
made available for public inspection at the office of the Hearing Clerk
during regular business hours (7 CFR 1.27(b)).
A public hearing was held upon proposed amendments to the marketing
agreement and the orders regulating the handling of milk in the
Northeast and other marketing areas. The hearing was held, pursuant to
the provisions of the Agricultural Marketing Agreement Act of 1937
(AMAA), as amended (7 U.S.C. 601-674), and the applicable rules of
practice and procedure governing the formulation of marketing
agreements and marketing orders (7 CFR Part 900).
The hearing notice specifically invited interested persons to
present evidence concerning the probable regulatory and informational
impact of the proposals on small businesses. Some evidence was received
that specifically addressed these issues, and some of the evidence
encompassed entities of various sizes.
The proposed amendments set forth below are based on the record of
the first session of a public hearing held in Alexandria, Virginia, on
January 24-27, 2006, pursuant to a notice of a hearing issued December
30, 2005; published January 5, 2006 (71 FR 545) and a second session of
a public hearing held in Strongsville, Ohio, on September 14-15, 2006,
pursuant to a reconvened hearing notice issued August 31, 2006;
published September 6, 2006 (71 FR 52502).
The material issues on the record of the hearing relate to:
1. Amending the manufacturing allowances.
2. Determination of emergency marketing conditions.
Findings and Conclusions
1. Amending the Manufacturing Allowances
This tentative final decision adopts on an interim basis, a
proposal published in the hearing notice as Proposal 1 which seeks to
amend the manufacturing allowances for butter, cheese, NFDM and dry
whey. Specifically, this decision adopts the following manufacturing
allowances: cheese--$0.1682 per pound, butter--$0.1202 per pound,
NFDM--$0.1570 per pound and dry whey--$0.1956 per pound.
The Federal Milk order system currently uses product price formulas
to compute prices handlers must account for in the marketwide pooling
of milk used in Class III and Class IV products. Class III and Class IV
prices form the base from which Class I and Class II prices are
determined.
The price formulas used to compute Class III and Class IV prices
contain a factor called a manufacturing (make) allowance. The make
allowance factor represents the cost manufacturers incur in making raw
milk into one pound of product. Federal milk order pricing formulas
currently contain the following make allowances: cheese--$0.1650 per
pound, butter--$0.1150 per pound, NFDM--$0.1400 per pound and dry
[[Page 67470]]
whey--$0.1590 per pound. These make allowances were last amended in
2003 and were determined on the basis of a California Department of
Food and Agriculture (CDFA) and a USDA Rural Business Cooperative
Service (RBCS) survey of 1998 manufacturing costs. The current make
allowances were computed by taking a weighted average of the CDFA and
RBCS surveys and adjusting for return on investment, general and
administrative costs and marketing costs.
a. The following summary of testimony and post-hearing briefs
pertains to the first session of the public hearing held January 24-27,
2006, in Alexandria, Virginia.
A proposal published in the hearing notice as Proposal 1 seeking to
amend the current make allowances was offered by Agri-Mark Dairy
Cooperative (Agri-Mark). Agri-Mark is a Capper-Volstead cooperative
with approximately 1300 member-owners located throughout New England
and New York and operates 4 manufacturing plants. Proposal 1 seeks to
amend the make allowances for cheese, butter, NFDM and dry whey powder
contained in the Class III and Class IV price formulas based upon the
results of the California State 2004 dairy products manufacturing cost
survey conducted by the CDFA and a 2004 manufacturing cost survey
conducted by the RBCS. The results of these surveys, reported in
dollars per pound, are as follows:
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
40-lb. block Dry whey
All cheese cheese powder Butter NDFM
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
RBCS \2\........................ $0.13295 $0.15136 $0.11409 $0.16588 $0.16816
CDFA............................ Not reported 0.1769 0.2673 0.1368 0.1543
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
\2\ Results do not include factors for return on investment, general and administrative costs, marketing costs
and milk transportation and procurement costs.
A witness from the RBCS testified regarding the methodology used by
RBCS in conducting the 2004 Dairy Product Plant Costs Survey. The
witness did not testify in either support of or in opposition to
Proposal 1. The witness said the study was conducted at the request of
dairy-farmer owned cooperatives as a technical assistance project from
which cooperatives could compare their costs to average costs of all
participating cooperatives. The witness stated that 9 cooperatives
voluntarily submitted 2004 cost data for 17 cheese plants, 8 butter
plants and 16 NFDM plants. Due to data incompatibility, the witness
said that one butter plant and two NFDM plants were not included in the
final study. The witness noted that the number of plants surveyed in
2004 was greater than the number of plants surveyed in 1998. The
witness testified that the study represents the second time that this
technical assistance project collected and analyzed cost data for dried
and condensed dry whey processing. The witness reported that the data
collected did not include costs from privately owned manufacturing
plants and that none of the plants surveyed were located in the State
of California.
The RBCS witness testified that the plant data represented each
plant's cost of producing butter, NFDM, commodity cheese and condensed
dry whey or dried dry whey depending on the product(s) produced at the
individual plants. The RBCS witness explained the basic data collection
methodology used in requesting data from individual plants and
testified that the manufacturing costs provided by the cooperatives
represented only those costs incurred by the plant from the receiving
deck to the shipping deck of the plant. The witness testified that milk
procurement, milk transportation, as well as plant administrative and
management overhead, return on investment costs and marketing costs
were not included in the data collected. The witness also noted that
the cost of producing dry whey was excluded from the cost of cheese
manufacturing. According to the witness, the data provided were not
audited or verified by an independent party. The witness explained that
the cost data were aggregated by product category and a weighted
average cost of production for each product type was then calculated.
The witness said that the RBCS data did not support concluding that as
plant size increased, costs of production decreased on a per unit
basis.
Two witnesses from CDFA testified regarding the methodology used in
conducting a 2004 processing costs survey for cheddar cheese, butter,
NFDM and dry whey powder for manufacturing plants located in the State
of California. The witnesses noted that 2003 was the first year that
CDFA included dry whey processing costs in their manufacturing cost
survey. The witnesses did not testify in either support of or in
opposition to Proposal 1.
The CDFA witnesses explained that plant participation in the cost
survey is voluntary and that the 2004 survey represented 99.9 percent
of butter production, 98.5 percent of Cheddar and Monterey Jack
production, 99.17 percent of NFDM production and 79 percent of dry whey
powder production in the State of California. The witnesses testified
that all cost survey data collected is from audited plant cost records.
The CDFA witnesses noted that the audited costs for California plants
demonstrated that costs per unit of output are inversely related to
plant size. The witnesses elaborated that as plant size increases, the
costs of production on a per unit basis decrease consistently across
manufacturing product categories.
A witness appearing on behalf of Agri-Mark testified in support of
Proposal 1. The witness testified that the costs of manufacturing dairy
products have increased since the make allowances were amended in 2003
by relying on cost data from 1998 and 1999. The witness asserted that
many manufacturing plants are unable to recoup their increased costs in
the marketplace and, the witness asserted, caused some plants located
in the Northeast marketing area to cease operating. The witness argued
that the Class III and Class IV make allowances should be updated using
2004 data contained in the CDFA and RBCS surveys to reflect current
manufacturing costs.
The Agri-Mark witness asserted that the role of Class III and Class
IV plants is to balance the milk needs of the Class I and II markets.
According to the witness, monthly Class III milk volumes as a
percentage of the annual average monthly volume in the Northeast order
for 2005 ranged from a high of 107 percent in May to a low of 92
percent in October. Class IV usage for that same time period ranged
from 145 percent in May to 48 percent in September, said the witness.
The witness also stated that when milk production in the Northeast
marketing area increased in 2000, it was primarily Class IV plants that
balanced the increased supply.
The Agri-Mark witness stressed that even though Class IV plants are
[[Page 67471]]
balancing the market by processing the additional producer milk supply,
they are not profitable in the Northeast marketing area. The witness
explained that one dairy processor attempted to recoup their increased
energy costs in the market through an energy surcharge on its finished
products. However, stated the witness, the surcharge was captured in
the NASS survey price and subsequently the Class IV milk price paid by
manufacturing plants also increased.
The Agri-Mark witness estimated that its members lost $15.5 million
in 2004 because manufacturing costs were not adequately covered in the
pricing formula for cheese. According to the witness, this resulted in
a loss of $0.6500 per hundredweight (cwt) on all its producer-member
milk. In this regard, the witness asserted that Agri-Mark members were
subsidizing the Northeast order blend price because they are paying a
classified price for Class III and Class IV milk that is higher than
the value of the milk used to make these products. The witness
conceded, however, that despite incurring a loss on its producer-member
milk Agri-Mark does pay premiums for milk it purchases for processing
into Class III and Class IV products.
The Agri-Mark witness proposed that the updated cheese make
allowance is computed by taking a weighted average of the RBCS 40-pound
block cheddar and the all California total cheese manufacturing plant
costs. The witness calculated this value to be $0.1794 per pound. The
witness was of the opinion that the RBCS 40 pound block cost should be
used because the CDFA survey had standardized its reported costs to
plants that produce 40 pound blocks.
The Agri-Mark witness proposed that the butter make allowance
should be computed by using the weighted average cost for all RBCS
butter plants with the weighted average costs of all CDFA butter
plants. The witness calculated this value to be $0.1515 per pound. The
witness explained that only the high cost sub-group of CDFA butter
plants was used in 2003 when the current make allowances were adopted.
The witness was of the opinion that using only the high cost sub-group
would now be inappropriate because those plants were not similar in
size to the RBCS butter plants.
The Agri-Mark witness proposed that the NFDM make allowance should
be computed using the RBCS weighted average cost for all NFDM plants
and the weighted average cost of the medium cost sub-group of CDFA NFDM
plants. The witness calculated this value to be $0.1867 per pound. The
witness was of the opinion that this methodology and value was
appropriate because of the comparable plant volumes between the two
groups. The low cost plants in the CDFA survey produce a large volume
of NFDM, the witness said, and including those plants in the
calculation would distort the average costs of the plants in the RBCS
study. The witness explained that using a weighted average by product
volume implies that half of the product will be produced at a cost
lower than the weighted average and half of the product would be
produced at a cost higher than the weighted average. If the low cost
CDFA plants were included in the make allowance calculation, the
witness concluded that because of their high product volume more than
half of the product and a majority of plants regulated by the Federal
order system would not be able to cover their manufacturing costs.
The Agri-Mark witness expressed concern regarding the large
variation in the CDFA survey cost of dry whey ($0.2673 per pound) and
the RBCS survey cost of dry whey ($0.11409 per pound). According to the
witness, CDFA has only collected data on dry whey processing for two
years and during that same time period the survey cost of dry whey
($0.2670 per pound) was not recommended as the appropriate make
allowance--instead, a make allowance of $0.2000 per pound was adopted.
This was also the second time the RBCS survey collected data for dry
whey production and the witness was of the opinion that there may have
been problems regarding the reporting and allocation of dry whey costs
that resulted in the RBCS survey product cost far below the CDFA cost.
The witness insisted that because dry whey cost accounting methodology
is new and not standardized, the Department should not rely on, or
adopt the RBCS or CDFA survey costs for dry whey. Rather, the witness
asserted that it would be more appropriate to use the methodology
adopted when make allowances were last amended which added a factor of
$0.0190 to the NFDM make allowance. The witness was of the opinion that
either a $0.0190 or $0.0250 factor would be appropriate and would
result in a dry whey make allowance of either $0.2057 or $0.2117 per
pound.
The Agri-Mark witness also supported updating the return on
investment, administrative and marketing cost factors that are
incorporated into the make allowance calculations. The previous
Department decision amending the make allowances adopted the cost
factors that were contained in the CDFA survey, and the witness was of
the opinion that the same cost factors contained in the 2004 CDFA
survey should again be used.
The Agri-Mark witness submitted data estimating the impact the
proposed make allowances would have on class and component prices.
According to the witness, the price of butterfat would fall $0.0440 per
pound, the price of protein would remain the same, the price of nonfat
solids would fall $0.0460 per pound, and the price of other solids
would fall either $0.0480 per pound or $0.0540 per pound depending on
the factor used to calculate the dry whey powder make allowance.
Additionally, the witness predicted that the Class III price would fall
either $0.4300 per cwt or $0.4600 per cwt (depending on the dry whey
powder factor) and the Class IV price would fall $0.5500 per cwt.
The Agri-Mark witness also offered data regarding increased energy
costs that have occurred over the past 4 years. Referring to U.S.
Department of Energy data, the witness asserted that crude oil prices
increased 33 percent in 2004 and 36 percent in 2005, and those prices
are expected to increase 52 percent and 45 percent above 2004 levels in
2006 and 2007, respectively. Other similar increases were seen in
natural gas prices, the witness noted. In this regard, the witness
offered a modification to Proposal 1 to include an energy adjustment
for 2005 using the Producer Price Indexes for Industrial Natural Gas
and Industrial Electric Power Distribution. According to the witness,
those indexes recorded a 6 percent increase in electric power costs and
a 23.8 percent increase in industrial natural gas costs from 2004 to
2005.
If the energy adjustment were incorporated into the make allowance,
the Agri-Mark witness proposed that the make allowances be set at
$0.1815 per pound for cheese, $0.1543 per pound for butter, $0.1965 per
pound for NFDM, and either $0.2155 per pound or $0.2117 per pound for
dry whey powder. This set of proposed make allowances would result in a
decrease of the Class III price of either $0.5100 or $0.5400 per cwt
and a decrease in the Class IV price by $0.6500 per cwt.
The Agri-Mark witness conceded that adoption of Proposal 1 would
decrease the blend prices paid to all dairy farmers. The witness was of
the opinion that their proposed higher make allowances would lead to
lowering blend prices by $0.09 to $0.13 per cwt over 5 years. However,
the witness said, if the make allowances are not amended to reflect
current costs, manufacturing plants that are unable to recoup their
increased costs would go out of business
[[Page 67472]]
causing disorderly marketing conditions because there would be fewer
local outlets for producer milk. The witness claimed that some
cooperatives are currently decreasing the price paid to their members
in an effort to recoup some of their increased manufacturing costs. The
witness said that while Agri-Mark pays premiums above the minimum
Federal order blend price to its members, they also are collecting a
$0.15 per cwt assessment on all of their members' milk to offset some
of the cooperative's losses. The witness said that if the make
allowances were not increased, dairy farmers who are members of
cooperatives would continue to lose money as cooperatives that operate
manufacturing plants would further need to decrease the price they pay
to their members in an effort to recoup additional loses. The Agri-Mark
witness strongly urged the Department to expedite the rulemaking
process by eliminating a recommended decision.
A second witness appearing on behalf of Agri-Mark offered testimony
regarding the production costs experienced at Agri-Mark plants. The
witness asserted that their production costs have steadily increased
since 1998 when that cost data was used in establishing current make
allowances. According to the witness, Agri-Mark has taken many steps to
increase efficiency and to lower costs, such as installing more
efficient equipment, purchasing supplies in bulk quantities and forward
pricing their energy needs. Despite these efforts, explained the
witness, Agri-Mark has still been unable to offset increases in most
production costs. To support their claim of increased production costs,
the witness provided data which listed various costs experienced at
Agri-Mark manufacturing plants from 2001 to 2005.
A post-hearing brief submitted on behalf of Agri-Mark; Northwest
Dairy Association; Foremost Farms USA Cooperative; Associated Milk
Producers, Inc.; and Land O'Lakes, Inc. expressed support for updating
the make allowances. Hereinafter, these entities will be referred to as
``Agri-Mark, et al.'' The brief argued that the hearing record clearly
establishes that manufacturers are incurring higher processing costs
since current make allowances were adopted. The brief asserted that the
current make allowances force many manufacturers to operate at a
financial loss. The brief estimated that Agri-Mark members alone are
incurring losses in excess of $700,000 per month.
The Agri-Mark, et al., brief stated that unlike the competitive
pricing system, the current pricing system does not give manufacturers
the ability to recoup increased processing costs from the marketplace.
The current set of fixed make allowances, wrote Agri-Mark, et al., do
not reflect current manufacturing costs which are shown in the most
current CDFA and RBCS surveys. The brief asserted that the inadequate
make allowances have played a role in many manufacturing plant closures
in recent years, and claimed that more plants would be forced out of
business if the make allowances were not updated as quickly as
possible.
The Agri-Mark, et al., brief asserted that the RBCS and CDFA
surveys are reliable and representative of manufacturing costs
throughout the country. The brief also stressed the importance of
including a 2005 energy adjuster in determining any amended make
allowances. The brief reiterated Agri-Mark's concern with the dry whey
cost data contained in both the RBCS and CDFA surveys and advocated
deriving the dry whey make allowance by adding a 1.9 cent per pound
factor to the NFDM make allowance, noting that the same methodology was
used to derive the current dry whey make allowance.
The Agri-Mark brief conceded that any increase in the make
allowances will reduce producer income. However, the brief stated that
the Department did not account for the current loss of revenue by
cooperative members whose manufacturing plants are currently operating
at a financial loss in their baseline analysis. The brief also asserted
that the baseline analysis did not include the impact on producer
revenue due to closures which might result from fewer local outlets for
their milk supply. The brief concluded that if these and other factors
were included in the baseline analysis, the reduction in producer
revenue would not be as large as projected.
A witness appearing on behalf of National Milk Producers Federation
(NMPF) testified in support of Proposal 1. According to the witness,
NMPF consists of 33 dairy-farmer cooperative associations that
represent 75 percent of the country's dairy farmers. The witness said
that NMPF supports updating the make allowances to reflect current
manufacturing costs to provide needed cost relief to the dairy product
manufacturing industry. The witness stated that the current make
allowances were derived from manufacturing cost data collected in 1998
and that costs have increased making the current make allowances
obsolete. The witness maintained that the updated CDFA and RBCS survey
data should be combined according to the same basic methodology used by
the Department when the current make allowances were established. The
witness urged the Department to implement these changes on an emergency
basis and omit a recommended decision.
The NMPF witness explained that make allowances set the maximum
margin a manufacturer can earn for its products. According to the
witness, if a manufacturer is able to produce at a per unit cost less
the make allowance, then they generate a processing premium. However,
the witness said, if a manufacturer's per unit cost is greater than the
make allowance they do not earn a processing premium and have no method
under the current pricing formulas to recoup those costs from the
marketplace. The witness asserted that this undermines the ability of
manufacturing plants to provide market balancing services and the
Federal orders the ability to provide for orderly marketing conditions.
The NMPF witness testified that the CDFA and RBCS surveys together
represent a large portion of the domestic manufacturing industry--41
percent of cheddar cheese production, 51 percent of butter production,
81 percent of NFDM production and 45 percent of dry whey production.
While the witness supported using the Department's methodology for
establishing the current make allowances, NMPF proposed a modification.
The current butter make allowance was determined after excluding the
lower-cost CDFA butter plants from the calculation of the average plant
cost, the witness explained. According to the witness, this exclusion
is no longer justified because that group represents a large share of
U.S. butter production and should now be included.
The NMPF witness also explained that the most volatile input cost
of manufacturing is energy and asserted that recent increases in energy
costs have countered many cost reducing measures undertaken by
manufacturers to increase productivity or efficiency. The witness was
of the opinion that the energy cost factor contained in the make
allowances should be indexed and adjusted monthly to take into account
the volatile energy market. The witness insisted that this was an
appropriate way to maintain equity between producers and manufacturers
explaining that processors would not be unduly harmed when energy
prices rise and producers would not be harmed when energy prices fall.
Therefore, the witness said, the Department should adopt a monthly
energy price adjuster using the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics
[[Page 67473]]
Producer Price Indexes for Industrial Electricity and Industrial
Natural Gas, and use the weighted average 2004 electricity and fuels
costs from the RBCS and CDFA surveys as the initial base for the
adjuster. The witness added that if an energy index is not adopted, the
make allowances that are determined as a result of the proceeding may
become obsolete before they are implemented if there are large
fluctuations in energy prices. The witness supported delaying
implementation of an energy cost factor until the issuance of a final
decision if its consideration would delay adopting adjustments in the
make allowances. A post-hearing brief submitted on behalf of NMPF
reiterated their support for updating the make allowances.
A witness appearing on behalf of Land O' Lakes (LOL) testified in
support of Proposal 1. According to the witness, LOL is a Capper-
Volstead cooperative with more than 4,000 members that owns
manufacturing plants located throughout the United States. The witness
explained that Class III and Class IV prices are determined in part by
taking the market price of various manufactured goods and subtracting
the cost of converting milk into that specific commodity (make
allowance). The witness said that the current classified pricing system
was implemented in 2000 and the current make allowances were last
adopted in 2003 relying on data that was collected in 1998. The LOL
witness stated that all of LOL's plants have experienced increased
manufacturing costs since 1998. The witness emphasized that despite
efforts by LOL to reduce costs increase in processing costs could not
be completely offset.
The LOL witness stressed that relative plant size, comparable per
unit costs and recognition of balancing costs should be criteria used
by the Department in appropriately weighting the CDFA and RBCS surveys
to determine the make allowances. The witness further suggested that
when establishing the butter make allowance, the weighted average of
the CDFA and RBCS butter plants should be used because the costs of the
average plant size measured by both surveys are comparable. According
to the witness, this would result in a butter make allowance of $0.1515
per pound. The NFDM make allowance should be computed using the
weighted average of the RBCS NFDM plants and Group II of the CDFA NFDM
plants, the witness stated. The costs of those two groups, after
adjusting the RBCS data for return on investment, general and
administrative costs and marketing expenses, are similar, the witness
said, and would result in a NFDM make allowance of $0.1867 per pound.
For determining the cheese make allowance, the LOL witness
advocated using the weighted average RBCS cost with the weighted
average CDFA cost because those costs are similar. The witness asserted
that the resulting cheese make allowance should be $0.1710 per pound.
The witness also insisted that the RBCS and CDFA survey costs for dry
whey processing are counter-intuitive and supported Agri-Mark's
modification to add a factor to the NFDM make allowance to determine
the dry whey make allowance.
The LOL witness maintained that the make allowances need to be
amended to reflect current manufacturing and to remedy an error in the
RBCS cost data presented at a 2000 hearing on Federal order product
price formulas that contained some California plants. The witness also
recognized that lower blend prices would result if Proposal 1 is
adopted. However, the witness said, LOL cooperative members are
currently bearing the additional cost of processing manufactured
products which the witness asserted should be born by all producers.
The witness emphasized that all of the LOL butter, cheese, and NFDM
plants that participated in the RBCS survey lost money in 2004 even
though the average selling price for the products were above the NASS
average price for the year. The witness urged the Department to
expedite the hearing process and omit a recommended decision to provide
cost relief to manufacturing operations.
A post-hearing brief submitted on behalf of LOL reiterated their
support of adoption of Proposal 1. The brief supported adoption of the
specific make allowances advanced by Agri-Mark including a 2005 energy
adjuster and adoption of an energy index in the calculation of the make
allowances that would be updated quarterly. The brief expressed
opposition to reopening the hearing record to take evidence regarding
the proper make allowances to be included in the Class I and Class II
price formulas.
A witness appearing on behalf of the National Cheese Institute
(NCI) testified in support of Proposal 1. NCI is a trade association
with 70 member companies representing manufacturers, marketers,
distributors and suppliers of cheese. The witness said that the make
allowances should be updated with the 2004 CDFA and RBCS survey data
using the methodology that established the current make allowances and
that they be adjusted for 2005 energy cost increases. The witness
specified that after adding an energy adjustment the make allowance
should be set no lower than the following: $0.1810 per pound for
cheese, $0.2220 per pound for dry whey, $0.1540 per pound for butter
and $0.1970 per pound for NFDM.
The NCI witness explained that the Federal order pricing system
prior to Federal order reform was based on the competitive market
prices paid for unregulated milk in the Upper Midwest region. The
witness asserted that this pricing scheme reacted to changes in
manufacturing costs and therefore manufacturers did not need to seek
government intervention to recover any cost increases. However, the
current pricing system determines the classified prices received by
farmers based on the products' finished wholesale prices minus fixed
make allowances that represents the handlers' costs incurred to make
the finished products, explained the witness. The current system, the
witness said, does not react to cost changes. If a manufacturer's costs
of production increases, the plant still only receives the fixed make
allowance to produce that specific product, the witness said even if
this does not cover all of its processing costs. The witness noted that
while a plant could increase its finished product prices to recover
additional expenses, the higher prices would be included in the NASS
product price survey and would consequently increase their cost for raw
milk. According to the witness this circularity in price determination
undercuts market forces and justifies increasing the make allowances.
The NCI witness maintained that manufacturing costs have increased
substantially since RBCS and CDFA survey data for 1998 was used to
establish the current make allowances. The witness asserted that if the
make allowances are not updated, cheese manufacturers will either have
to decide to lose money on each pound of product or stop production
entirely. While the witness supported the methodology used by the
Department to set the current make allowances, NCI offered their views
regarding what CDFA cost sub-groups should be used in establishing new
make allowances. The witness also insisted that because the 2004 CDFA
and RBCS survey results do not include 2005 energy cost increases, an
adjustment as proposed by Agri-Mark, to reflect these increases, is
justified. The witness testified that a 2.5 cent factor should be added
to the NFDM make allowance to establish the dry whey make allowance.
The NCI witness concluded that the increasing differences between
current make allowances and actual manufacturing
[[Page 67474]]
costs justifies the need for emergency action by the Department through
the omission of a recommended decision.
A post-hearing brief submitted on behalf of NCI reiterated their
support for updating the make allowances using CDFA and RBCS 2004
survey data, adjusted for 2005 energy costs, on an emergency basis. The
brief stated that such an update should result in new make allowances
that would be set no lower than the following: $0.1810 per pound for
cheese, $0.1540 per pound for butter, $0.1970 per pound for NFDM and
$0.2220 per pound for dry whey. The brief stated that the hearing
record is replete with evidence demonstrating a significant increase in
manufacturing costs and the manufacturers' inability to recoup those
costs though the marketplace. The brief also argued that the RBCS data
regarding the costs of producing dry whey do not include all input
costs and are not representative of typical U.S. dry whey drying
plants. Therefore, the brief said, the Department should continue the
methodology used in the past and establish a dry whey make allowance by
adding a differential to the NFDM make allowance.
A witness appearing on behalf of Lactalis America Group (Lactalis)
testified in support of Proposal 1. According to the witness, Lactalis
produces and markets a variety of cheeses across the United States. The
witness testified that their manufacturing costs of production have
increased 14 percent since 1998 even though their plant capacity had
increase by 25 percent during that time frame. The witness projected
that Lactalis' costs of production would increase 16 percent in 2006 as
compared to 2005. The witness urged the Department to expedite the
rulemaking process and omit a recommended decision.
A witness appearing on behalf of Alto Dairy Cooperative (Alto)
testified in support of Proposal 1. According to the witness, Alto is a
Capper-Volstead cooperative located in Wisconsin that markets over 1.5
billion pounds of milk annually and operates 2 manufacturing plants.
The witness stated that a financially stable dairy manufacturing
industry which provides numerous local outlets for milk is vital to
maintaining a stable market for dairy farmers. The witness was of the
opinion that the current make allowances disadvantage cheese
manufacturers because they do not adequately account for the current
costs of manufacturing. The witness stated that even though Alto has
become more efficient, their costs of production still increased 3
cents per pound because of increases in costs for natural gas,
packaging materials and transportation. The witness urged the adoption
of Proposal 1 on an expedited basis.
A witness appearing on behalf of Associated Milk Producers, Inc.
(AMPI) testified in support of Proposal 1. According to the witness,
AMPI is a Capper-Volstead cooperative that represents 4,000 dairy
farmers in 7 Midwestern states and whose milk is pooled on the Upper
Midwest and Central orders. The witness expressed support for
increasing the make allowances because of increased manufacturing
costs, particularly for energy, that have occurred since 2001. The
witness was of the opinion that adequate make allowances are critical
in allowing a manufacturing plant to cover their processing costs and
earn a competitive rate of return on equity. The witness said that if
the make allowances remained too low plant profitability will continue
to erode and investment in plants and manufacturing equipment will
decrease. The witness emphasized that manufactured dairy products
compete in a national market against other unregulated or state-
regulated plants that either have no regulated pricing system or have a
make allowance that more accurately reflects current marketing
conditions.
The AMPI witness also supported the inclusion of a 2005 energy
adjustor as advanced by Agri-Mark. The witness said that AMPI
experienced 31 percent higher average natural gas costs in 2005 than in
2004. The witness noted that for the months of September through
December 2005, AMPI's natural gas costs were on average 65 percent
higher than during the same time period in 2004. The witness asserted
that the steep increases in energy prices that occurred in 2005 need to
be reflected in any update of the make allowances. The witness also
supported indexing energy costs as proposed by NMPF, provided its
inclusion would not delay the issuance of a decision, and that its
inclusion should be contained in a later decision. The witness urged
the Department to expedite the hearing process and omit a recommended
decision.
A witness appearing on behalf of Foremost Farms USA Cooperative
(Foremost) testified in support of Proposal 1. According to the
witness, Foremost is a Capper-Volstead cooperative with 3,476 members
that markets 5.05 billion pounds of milk and operates 15 manufacturing
plants and 2 distributing plants. The witness said the current make
allowances have dramatically risen since 1998 and is causing
manufacturing plants to lose substantial amounts of money.
The witness explained that Foremost has taken numerous steps since
2000 to increase their competitiveness and efficiency by reconfiguring
their product mix, closing numerous plants and a storage and
distribution facility, increasing employee health care contributions,
and purchasing packaging, ingredients, and other supplies in bulk.
Despite these efforts Foremost has been unable to completely offset as
the cost increases in energy, employee healthcare, and packaging
materials, the witness stated. The witness claimed that at their
Lancaster, Wisconsin, cheese plant, 2004 manufacturing costs per pound
for cheese had increased 25.6 percent since 1999. According to the
witness, the increased costs were linked to higher natural gas,
electricity, and employee fringe benefits. The witness added that the
2005 manufacturing costs per pound of cheese at the same plant was 14.1
percent higher than 2004. The witness also emphasized that Foremost has
attempted to raise its product prices and premiums but those increases
were incorporated into the NASS Dairy Product Price survey that in
turn, resulted in higher Federal order minimum class prices for their
raw milk.
The Foremost witness stressed that make allowances need to be
increased quickly; otherwise they will be unable to continue absorbing
cost increases without paying their members less for their milk. The
witness supported adoption of Proposal 1 with an energy adjustor and
urged its adoption on an emergency basis.
A witness appearing on behalf of Davisco Foods International
(Davisco) testified in support of Proposal 1. According to the witness,
Davisco operates three manufacturing plants that collectively produce 1
million pounds of cheese per day. The witness offered support for the
testimony offered by the NCI. The witness stated that the price Davisco
is able to charge for products is not high enough to return the
classified price to the marketwide pool and cover their manufacturing
costs. According to the witness, many of Davisco's processing costs
have increased from 1998 to 2004. During this time period, the witness
explained, labor costs have increased 25 percent per man hour, employee
benefits have increased 92 percent and natural gas costs have increase
149 percent per therm. The witness said energy costs increased
substantially again in 2005. The witness insisted that in order to
maintain a viable dairy manufacturing industry, make allowances need to
be amended
[[Page 67475]]
on an emergency basis to reflect current market conditions.
A witness appearing on behalf of Michigan Milk Producers
Association (MMPA) testified in support of Proposal 1. According to the
witness, MMPA is a Capper-Volstead cooperative with approximately 2,400
members that markets over 3.3 billion pounds of milk per year and
operates 2 manufacturing plants. The witness said that MMPA
participated in the 1998 and 2004 RBCS manufacturing cost surveys and
presented data revealing their cost increases during that time period.
According to the witness, MMPA's manufacturing costs per pound of NFDM
were 54 percent higher in 2004 than in 1998 and represent $2.1 million
in additional processing costs that they were unable to recoup from the
marketplace. During that same period, the witness noted, the
manufacturing costs per pound of butter increased 14.3 percent,
reducing their profit margin by $207,000. The witness insisted that
energy costs have been the major driver of cost increases and said that
in 2006 MMPA forecasts their gas costs to increase by nearly $1.3
million. The witness stressed that MMPA tried to increase their product
prices but those higher prices were captured by the NASS product price
survey which in turn resulted in higher raw milk costs.
The MMPA witness emphasized the need for increasing make allowances
to reflect current manufacturing costs and urged the Department to act
on an emergency basis. The witness also offered support for indexing
fuel costs and periodically adjusting make allowances to reflect
changes in energy costs.
A post-hearing brief submitted on behalf of MMPA reiterated support
for adoption of Proposal 1. The brief stated that MMPA manufacturing
plants have been incurring financial losses because processing costs
are not fully recovered by current make allowances. The brief supported
the make allowances advanced by Agri-Mark and NMPF. The brief also
advocated that the make allowances be adjusted for 2005 energy cost
increases and that the new allowances include a monthly energy
adjuster. MMPA wrote that by indexing energy costs in the make
allowances, manufacturers would not be harmed if future energy costs
continue to increase and if energy costs decrease producers would share
in the additional revenue resulting from lower processing costs. The
brief described large financial losses that MMPA member-owned plants
would incur if make allowances are not adjusted as quickly as possible.
A witness appearing on behalf of Northwest Dairy Association (NDA)
testified in support of Proposal 1. According to the witness, NDA is a
Capper-Volstead cooperative with approximately 640 dairy-farmer
members, of which 520 pool their milk on the Pacific Northwest order
and also operates manufacturing plants in the northwest through its
subsidiary, WestFarm Foods. The witness said that make allowances need
to be updated to reflect the current marketing conditions. The witness
insisted that the current make allowances do not reflect the higher
costs of energy, labor and packaging and that efforts to recoup these
costs from the marketplace have been unsuccessful. Therefore, the
witness asserted that updating the make allowances is a logical step to
ensure that manufacturing plants do not continue to lose money from
higher costs that cannot be recouped.
The NDA witness stressed that balancing costs should be considered
as part of determining the appropriate make allowances for Class IV
products--butter and NFDM. The witness claimed that NDA's NFDM
processing costs were 2 to 5 cents per pound higher in their NFDM
plants that specifically are used to balance the market. The witness
said that NDA provided dry whey cost data for the RBCS survey and noted
an error in their data--NDA did not include the purchase of a large
amount of condensed dry whey in their total dry whey processing cost.
The witness claimed that after accounting for this purchase, their dry
whey processing cost increased 1.969 cents per pound for all dry whey
manufactured by NDA.
The NDA witness offered support for adjusting the make allowances
to reflect 2005 energy costs and for indexing energy costs to
periodically adjust the make